From - Sat Oct 25 02:24:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626910-12198>; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 20:03:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA23288; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 07:02:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6743054 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 07:02:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA25818 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 07:02:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA08824 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 07:02:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710241202.HAA08824@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Oct 1997 07:02:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6f4452c25c5ebf2a2881efcc47f8bfe9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 879 ABIO10 PGTW 241200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241200Z/241800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 06N6 58E3. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTION. SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS THAT THE DISTURBANCE HAS PERSISTED FOR AT LEAST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/LUNSFORD/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 25 02:24:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626914-12198>; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 02:21:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA47274; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 13:20:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6746678 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 13:19:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA26706 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 13:19:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA09601 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 13:19:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710241819.NAA09601@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Oct 1997 13:19:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1ad699de1c6bd6915d8b97dfca8184e3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 438 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 06N6 57E3. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTION. SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS THAT THE DISTURBANCE HAS PERSISTED FOR AT LEAST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/LUNSFORD/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 26 04:40:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627389-279>; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 02:18:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA29102; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 13:16:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6756797 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 13:16:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA29052 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 13:16:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA11306 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 13:16:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710251816.NAA11306@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Oct 1997 13:16:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 136210a58f5110aeda74f4542a7a028a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 939 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 06N6 57E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 07N7 56E1. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER BENEATH AN AXIS OF UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. HOWEVER, THE CONVECTION REMAINS WEAK AND DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: FOR DTG FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/HATFIELD/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 26 04:40:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627387-276>; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 02:18:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA22728; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 13:16:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6756802 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 13:16:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA22670 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 13:16:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA11314 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 13:16:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710251816.NAA11314@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Oct 1997 13:16:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7c800c1768be0b5858124617995311ce Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 941 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 06N6 57E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 07N7 56E1. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER BENEATH AN AXIS OF UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. HOWEVER, THE CONVECTION REMAINS WEAK AND DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: FOR DTG FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/HATFIELD/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 27 08:04:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626944-26773>; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 02:32:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA44126; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 12:11:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6766206 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 13:10:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA13624 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 12:10:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA14790 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 12:10:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710261810.MAA14790@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Oct 1997 12:10:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 186683a368c6489d87ac583e79e8a0a1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 841 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 07N7 56E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 09.5N4 54.5E4. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 261200Z1 SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WELL-DEFINED, LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER BENEATH A WEAK UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE. THE OVERALL CONVECTIVE PATTERN HAS IMPROVED SIGNIFICANTLY DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVER, ANY ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT MAY BE HINDERED BY LAND INTERACTION SINCE THIS DISTURBANCE IS MOVING NORTHWEST AND IS EXPECTED TO INTERACT WITH THE NORTHEAST COAST OF SOMALIA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ADDITIONAL REGENERATION IS POSSIBLE IF THE SYSTEM RE-EMERGES OVER THE GULF OF ADEN IN 48 TO 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR MORE THAN 12 HOURS NEAR 7.5N2 75.0E2. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/GILLESS/HATFIELD/HONG/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 28 08:06:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627890-3686>; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 03:49:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA14378; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 13:47:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6780965 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 14:47:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA09650 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 13:46:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA17297 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 13:46:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710271946.NAA17297@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Oct 1997 13:46:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5b88f711abf86684a06a3c81c7e277f1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 741 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 09.5N4 54.5E4 HAS MOVED INLAND OVER NORTHEAST SOMALIA AND HAS DISSIPATED DUE TO INTERACTION WITH LAND AND STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR. AS A RESULT, THIS SYSTEM IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) THE CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 7.5N2 75.0E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND RE-DEVELOPED FARTHER EAST NEAR 8.5N3 79.0E6. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/GILLESS/HATFIELD/HONG/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 29 08:06:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627941-26843>; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 02:04:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA28414; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 12:03:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6792413 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 13:03:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA21200 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 12:03:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA20101 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 12:02:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710281802.MAA20101@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Oct 1997 12:02:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ff835459182d9306070882423eda5e26 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 271 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/281800Z/291800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY NEAR 8N8 79E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 80E8. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH SUSTAINED CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNSFORD/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 30 10:45:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627860-24319>; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 02:16:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA17318; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 12:15:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6808116 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 13:15:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA19986 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 12:14:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA23105 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 12:14:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710291814.MAA23105@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Oct 1997 12:14:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 311efc212a21b52364b3cbe52bc31214 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 599 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/291800Z/301800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY NEAR 9N9 80E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 79E6. SYNOPTIC DATA AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH POORLY ORGANIZED CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNSFORD/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 1 02:27:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625997-3672>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 02:26:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA49670; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 12:24:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6832765 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 12:23:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA26482 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 12:23:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA05142 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 12:23:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710311823.MAA05142@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 12:23:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9acc8acea1eb6a9dc4252c7fc17cff7e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 195 ABIO10 PGTW 311800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/311800Z OCT 97/011800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 79E6 HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY. SYNOPTIC DATA AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. MOST OF THE CONVECTION IS LOCATED EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/HATFIELD/HONG/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:24:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626009-22680>; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 02:58:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA52816; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 12:56:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6843204 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 12:56:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA29240 for ; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 12:56:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA07192 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 12:56:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711011856.MAA07192@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 12:56:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 888893976553789d0823d511253bfad7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 654 ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/011800Z/021800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 79E6 HAS WEAKENED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 10:46:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626726-17594>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 04:03:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA40034; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 14:00:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6854128 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 14:00:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA40006 for ; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 14:00:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA02346 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 14:00:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711022000.OAA02346@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 14:00:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 65299f57eb49f9b4d6c46ea3aec5a98c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 492 ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/021800Z/031800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 4 15:13:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625917-29131>; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 11:12:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA20154; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 20:37:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6871548 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 20:37:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA17312 for ; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 20:37:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA05613 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 20:37:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711040237.UAA05613@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Nov 1997 20:37:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Indian Ocean To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 266d6a6a2d8176d6eae4c17182213777 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 353 WTIO32 PGTW 040300 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- 12.7N0 98.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.7N0 98.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 13.6N0 96.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 14.3N8 94.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 15.1N7 92.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 15.7N3 91.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 17.6N4 89.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 040300Z7 POSITION 12.9N2 98.2E9 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS AS IT BEGINS TO MOVE INTO THE ANADAMAN SEA. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 032330Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040900Z3 (DTG 040753Z9), 041500Z0 (DTG 041353Z6), 042100Z7 (DTG 041953Z2) AND 050300Z8 (DTG 050153Z4). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 4 17:11:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626551-29124>; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 17:00:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA32742; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 02:40:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6874202 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 02:40:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA48858 for ; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 02:40:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA06596 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 02:40:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711040840.CAA06596@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Nov 1997 02:40:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In North Indian Ocean To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c70085c0b93353a60ac9afddbfc8359c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 017 WTIO32 PGTW 040900 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- 13.6N0 97.5E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.6N0 97.5E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 14.8N3 95.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 15.7N3 93.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 16.4N1 92.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 17.2N0 91.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 20.0N2 90.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 040900Z3 POSITION 13.9N3 97.0E6 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION WAS BASED UPON 040530Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT VERY LITTLE CONVECTION IS OVER THE SYSTEM AS IT HAS TRACKED INTO THE ANDAMAN SEA. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI 3.0 ( 45 KNOTS). THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AGAIN BY 24 HOURS, AND THEN SLOWLY INTENSIFY DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS THEN TRACK MORE NORTHWARD BY THE 72 HOUR POSITION AS IT ENTERS A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z0 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z0 (DTG 041353Z6), 042100Z7 (DTG 041953Z2), 050300Z8 (DTG 050153Z4) AND 050900Z4 (DTG 050753Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 4 18:54:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626577-29128>; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 18:27:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA12528; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 03:56:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6874766 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 03:56:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA32732 for ; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 03:56:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA06941 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 03:56:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711040956.DAA06941@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Nov 1997 03:56:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8eb4e9ccb95bf4756a10bab481086d0f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 282 WTIO32 PGTW 040900 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 015 PAGE 02 RUHGSGG4432 UNCLAS 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH INDIAN OCEAN MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- 13.6N0 97.5E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.6N0 97.5E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 14.8N3 95.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG4432 UNCLAS OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 15.7N3 93.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 16.4N1 92.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS PAGE 04 RUHGSGG4432 UNCLAS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 17.2N0 91.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 20.0N2 90.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: PAGE 05 RUHGSGG4432 UNCLAS 040900Z3 POSITION 13.9N3 97.0E6 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION WAS BASED UPON 040530Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT VERY LITTLE CONVECTION IS OVER THE SYSTEM AS IT HAS TRACKED INTO THE ANDAMAN SEA. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI 3.0 ( 45 KNOTS). THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AGAIN BY 24 HOURS, AND THEN SLOWLY INTENSIFY DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS THEN TRACK MORE NORTHWARD BY THE 72 HOUR POSITION AS IT ENTERS A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z0 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z0 (DTG 041353Z6), 042100Z7 (DTG 041953Z2), 050300Z8 (DTG 050153Z4) AND 050900Z4 (DTG 050753Z0).// BT #4432 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 5 00:31:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626878-29131>; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 23:55:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA20256; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 09:14:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6876911 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 09:14:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA10216 for ; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 09:14:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA07820 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 09:13:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711041513.JAA07820@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Nov 1997 09:13:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2450112f9a6b5cf29a4c403c642f0e12 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 541 WTIO32 PGTW 041500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 016 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- 13.4N8 95.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.4N8 95.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 14.4N9 93.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 15.6N2 92.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 16.9N6 90.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 18.3N2 89.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 041500Z0 POSITION 13.7N1 95.3E7 LATEST ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 041130Z9 AND SSM/I MICROWAVE (85H) IMAGERY FROM AFGWC INDICATE THAT TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST- NORTHWEST AT 13 KNOTS BUT IS REPOSITIONED FURTHER TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST THAN THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE LOW LEVEL CENTER IS NOW PARTIALLY EXPOSED WITH MOST OF THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CIRCULATION LOCATED 60NM TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. BOTH WATER VAPOR AND INFRARED IMAGERY SHOW THAT TS LINDA IS UNDER MODERATE TO STRONG UPPER LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. LATEST NUMERICAL MODELS FROM THE 040000Z0 DATA BASE INDICATE THAT THIS VERTICAL SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND INCREASE AS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION MOVES NORTH OF 15N. TROPICAL STORM LINDA IS NOW FORECAST TO DISSIPATE IN THE BAY OF BENGAL BY THE 48 HR FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z7 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0), 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2), 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8) AND 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 5 00:59:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627008-29124>; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 01:00:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA49794; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 10:18:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6877438 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 10:18:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA16502 for ; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 10:18:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA08078 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 10:18:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711041618.KAA08078@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Nov 1997 10:18:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1f806bc1286c3e099c4ba143ac913c09 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 776 WTIO32 PGTW 041500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 016 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- 13.4N8 95.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.4N8 95.7E1 --- FORECASTS: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG4605 UNCLAS 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 14.4N9 93.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 15.6N2 92.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 16.9N6 90.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER PAGE 04 RUHGSGG4605 UNCLAS WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 18.3N2 89.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 041500Z0 POSITION 13.7N1 95.3E7 LATEST ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 041130Z9 AND SSM/I MICROWAVE (85H) IMAGERY FROM AFGWC INDICATE THAT TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST- NORTHWEST AT 13 KNOTS BUT IS REPOSITIONED FURTHER TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST THAN THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE LOW LEVEL CENTER IS NOW PARTIALLY EXPOSED WITH MOST OF THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CIRCULATION LOCATED 60NM TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. BOTH WATER VAPOR AND PAGE 05 RUHGSGG4605 UNCLAS INFRARED IMAGERY SHOW THAT TS LINDA IS UNDER MODERATE TO STRONG UPPER LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. LATEST NUMERICAL MODELS FROM THE 040000Z0 DATA BASE INDICATE THAT THIS VERTICAL SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND INCREASE AS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION MOVES NORTH OF 15N. TROPICAL STORM LINDA IS NOW FORECAST TO DISSIPATE IN THE BAY OF BENGAL BY THE 48 HR FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z7 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0), 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2), 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8) AND 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5).// BT #4605 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 5 02:57:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626709-29124>; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 02:38:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA46804; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 12:06:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6878743 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 12:06:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA48830 for ; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 12:06:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA08728 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 12:06:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711041806.MAA08728@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Nov 1997 12:06:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bd49fac4e0fe9d8ee8432e16ecc6d15d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 875 ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/041800Z/051800Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/041351ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 041200Z7 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (20W) WAS LOCATED AT 13.4N8 95.7E1, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 16 (WTIO32 PGTW 041500)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8N8 68E4. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SHIP DATA INDICATE A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS PRESENT WITHIN A EAST-WEST ORIENTED TROUGH. CONVECTION HAS INCREASED IN THIS AREA DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS, HOWEVER IT REMAINS UNORGANIZED. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES MODERATE TO STRONG UPPER LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR EXISTS OVER THE CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1012 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 08N8 85E3 HAS WEAKEN AND MOVED OVER SOUTHERN INDIA AND SRI LANKA. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS MERGED BACK INTO THE LOW PRESSURE TROUGH IN THIS AREA. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/SANCHEZ/HALL/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 6 14:27:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627078-29128>; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 05:10:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA14740; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 14:23:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6880749 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 14:23:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA14588 for ; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 14:22:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA09300 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 14:22:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711042022.OAA09300@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Nov 1997 14:22:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7d7dbfa48a393b7f70a4171ad16a22ba Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 801 WTIO32 PGTW 042100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041800Z3 --- 13.6N0 94.8E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.6N0 94.8E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 14.6N1 93.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 15.7N3 91.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 16.9N6 89.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 18.3N2 88.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 042100Z7 POSITION 13.9N3 94.3E6 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 041730Z SHOWS TROPICAL STORM LINDA=S (30W) PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CONTINUING TO MOVE TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS. ALTHOUGH NEW CONVECTION HAS APPEARED NEAR THE CIRCULATION DURING THE LAST 6 HOURS, ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS STRONG UPPER LEVEL WESTERLIES STILL REMAIN NEAR AND POLEWARD OF THE CENTER. TS LINDA IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST INTO INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2), 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8), 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5) AND 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 6 14:27:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627099-29128>; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 05:36:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA37248; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 14:55:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6881211 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 14:55:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA29810 for ; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 14:55:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA09424 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 14:55:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711042055.OAA09424@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Nov 1997 14:55:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5efd96e0fb99364b56fd686f801248c3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 215 WTIO32 PGTW 042100 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 017A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041800Z3 --- 13.6N0 94.8E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.6N0 94.8E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 14.6N1 93.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 15.7N3 91.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 16.9N6 89.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 18.3N2 88.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 042100Z7 POSITION 13.9N3 94.3E6 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 041730Z SHOWS TROPICAL STORM LINDA=S (30W) PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CONTINUING TO MOVE TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS. ALTHOUGH NEW CONVECTION HAS APPEARED NEAR THE CIRCULATION DURING THE LAST 6 HOURS, ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS STRONG UPPER LEVEL WESTERLIES STILL REMAIN NEAR AND POLEWARD OF THE CENTER. TS LINDA IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST INTO INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2), 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8), 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5) AND 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1). JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CHANGES THE WORD DISSIPATED TO DISSIPATING IN THE 24 AND 48 HOUR FORCASTS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 6 14:27:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627099-29130>; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 06:01:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA36746; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 15:25:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6881654 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 15:25:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA27428 for ; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 15:25:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA09542 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 15:23:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711042123.PAA09542@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Nov 1997 15:23:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2891ad73bf36a395c17ec5c9784d5839 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 829 WTIO32 PGTW 042100 PAGE 02 RUHGSGG4724 UNCLAS IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041800Z3 --- 13.6N0 94.8E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.6N0 94.8E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 14.6N1 93.0E2 PAGE 03 RUHGSGG4724 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 15.7N3 91.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 16.9N6 89.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS PAGE 04 RUHGSGG4724 UNCLAS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 18.3N2 88.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 042100Z7 POSITION 13.9N3 94.3E6 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 041730Z SHOWS TROPICAL STORM LINDA'S (30W) PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CONTINUING TO MOVE TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS. ALTHOUGH NEW CONVECTION HAS APPEARED NEAR THE CIRCULATION DURING THE LAST 6 HOURS, ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS STRONG UPPER LEVEL WESTERLIES STILL REMAIN NEAR AND POLEWARD OF THE CENTER. TS LINDA IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST INTO INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT PAGE 05 RUHGSGG4724 UNCLAS 041800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2), 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8), 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5) AND 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1).// BT #4724 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 6 14:27:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626490-22816>; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 10:33:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA44370; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 20:03:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6884322 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 20:02:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA17478 for ; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 20:02:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA11738 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 20:02:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711050202.UAA11738@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Nov 1997 20:02:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 318721991f0e06781fa2276cfad3b51d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 008 WTIO32 PGTW 050300 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- 14.1N6 93.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N6 93.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 15.2N8 92.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 16.2N9 90.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 17.2N0 89.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 18.1N0 88.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 050300Z8 POSITION 14.4N9 93.3E5 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) HAS SLIGHTLY INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS AS IT CONTINUES TO TRACK WEST- NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE ANDAMAN SEA. THE WARNING POSITION WAS BASED UPON 042330Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY THAT INDICATES CONVECTION HAS REDEVELOPED ON THE NORTHEAST SIDE OF THE SYSTEM. THE FORECAST TRACK CALLS FOR TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE PERIOD AS IT MOVES TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. ITS INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AFTER 12 HOURS AND THEN DISSIPATE OVER WATER BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION DUE TO INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z0), 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z7), 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z3) AND 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 6 14:27:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626525-22827>; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 11:06:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA12420; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 20:32:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6884778 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 20:32:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA25718 for ; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 20:32:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA11860 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 20:32:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711050232.UAA11860@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Nov 1997 20:32:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f498088ec116405dcc1e927063447ead Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 632 WTIO32 PGTW 050300 PAGE 02 RUHGSGG4814 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- 14.1N6 93.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N6 93.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 15.2N8 92.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG4814 UNCLAS 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 16.2N9 90.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 17.2N0 89.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: PAGE 04 RUHGSGG4814 UNCLAS 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 18.1N0 88.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 050300Z8 POSITION 14.4N9 93.3E5 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) HAS SLIGHTLY INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS AS IT CONTINUES TO TRACK WEST- NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE ANDAMAN SEA. THE WARNING POSITION WAS BASED UPON 042330Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY THAT INDICATES CONVECTION HAS REDEVELOPED ON THE NORTHEAST SIDE OF THE SYSTEM. THE FORECAST TRACK CALLS FOR TROPICAL STORM STORM (30W) TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE PERIOD AS IT MOVES TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. ITS INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AFTER 12 HOURS AND THEN DISSIPATE OVER WATER BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION DUE TO INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z PAGE 05 RUHGSGG4814 UNCLAS IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z0), 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z7), 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z3) AND 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z5).// BT #4814 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 6 14:28:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627178-22827>; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 17:21:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA30886; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 02:42:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6887621 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 02:42:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA10136 for ; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 02:42:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA13276 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 02:42:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711050842.CAA13276@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Nov 1997 02:42:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3c9170db1dce43adb195a8888e4f8ce3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 951 WTIO32 PGTW 050900 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050600Z1 --- 14.2N7 93.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.2N7 93.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 14.7N2 92.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 15.4N0 91.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 16.1N8 90.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 17.1N9 89.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 19.3N3 88.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 050900Z4 POSITION 14.3N8 93.4E6 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) HAS SLOWED ITS FORWARD MOTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW THAT CONVECTION IS INCREASING OVER TS LINDA (30W) AND HAS MAINTAINED ITS INTENSITY FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS. AS A RESULT, THE FORECAST MOTION FOR TS LINDA (30W) HAS BEEN SLOWED, AND THE WEAKENING TREND HAS BEEN POSTPONED FOR 24 HOURS WHEN INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SHOULD WEAKEN THE SYSTEM. THEREFORE, DISSIPATION IS NOW FORECASTED TO OCCUR IN 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z1 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5, 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1), 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3) AND 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 6 14:28:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627210-22816>; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 17:49:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA28918; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 03:26:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6887830 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 03:26:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA14314 for ; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 03:26:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA13511 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 03:26:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711050926.DAA13511@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Nov 1997 03:26:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4356eb714691666af72ba01760df6b82 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 757 WTIO32 PGTW 050900 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHGSGG5027 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 050600Z1 --- 14.2N7 93.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.2N7 93.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 14.7N2 92.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHGSGG5027 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 15.4N0 91.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 16.1N8 90.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 17.1N9 89.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER PAGE 04 RUHGSGG5027 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 19.3N3 88.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 050900Z4 POSITION 14.3N8 93.4E6 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) HAS SLOWED ITS FORWARD MOTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW THAT CONVECTION IS INCREASING OVER TS LINDA (30W) AND HAS MAINTAINED ITS INTENSITY FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS. AS A RESULT, THE FORECAST MOTION FOR TS LINDA (30W) HAS BEEN SLOWED, AND THE WEAKENING TREND HAS BEEN POSTPONED FOR 24 HOURS WHEN INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SHOULD WEAKEN THE SYSTEM. THEREFORE, DISSIPATION IS NOW FORECASTED TO OCCUR IN 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT PAGE 05 RUHGSGG5027 UNCLAS 050600Z1 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5, 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1), 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3) AND 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9).// BT #5027 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 6 14:28:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627331-22827>; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 22:47:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA46648; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 08:21:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6889497 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 08:21:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA10026 for ; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 08:21:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA14368 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 08:21:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711051421.IAA14368@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Nov 1997 08:21:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 44b7ab8eeb4218b7c65168972f680d5b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 445 WTIO32 PGTW 051500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z8 --- 14.5N0 92.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N0 92.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 15.5N1 91.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 16.6N3 90.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 17.6N4 89.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 18.7N6 89.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 20.8N0 88.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 051500Z1 POSITION 14.8N3 92.5E6 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) HAS CONTINUED ON ITS WEST- NORTHWEST TRACK AND HAS INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED TO 8 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE INTENSE OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, HOWEVER THE LOW LEVEL CENTER STILL REMAINS ON THE SOUTHWEST SIDE OF THIS CONVECTION DUE TO UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR OVER THE REGION. CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF BETWEEN 45 AND 50 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM LINDA IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY AFTER THE 36 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS INCREASING UPPER-LEVEL WIND SHEAR FROM THE WEST. LINDA IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE AT THE 72 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z8 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1), 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3), 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9) AND 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 6 14:28:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627306-22827>; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 23:52:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA27086; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 09:23:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6890006 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 09:23:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA48322 for ; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 09:23:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA14618 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 09:23:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711051523.JAA14618@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Nov 1997 09:23:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 953ba20b1e568e3da10d58d5bcbbaa18 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 663 WTIO32 PGTW 051500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 020 PAGE 02 RUHGSGG5194 UNCLAS 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z8 --- 14.5N0 92.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N0 92.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 15.5N1 91.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG5194 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 16.6N3 90.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 17.6N4 89.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHGSGG5194 UNCLAS 071200Z0 --- 18.7N6 89.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 20.8N0 88.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 051500Z1 POSITION 14.8N3 92.5E6 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) HAS CONTINUED ON ITS WEST- NORTHWEST TRACK AND HAS INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED TO 8 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE INTENSE OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, HOWEVER THE LOW LEVEL CENTER STILL REMAINS ON THE SOUTHWEST SIDE OF THIS CONVECTION DUE TO UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR PAGE 05 RUHGSGG5194 UNCLAS OVER THE REGION. CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF BETWEEN 45 AND 50 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM LINDA IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY AFTER THE 36 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS INCREASING UPPER-LEVEL WIND SHEAR FROM THE WEST. LINDA IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE AT THE 72 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z8 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1), 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3), 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9) AND 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6).// BT #5194 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 6 14:28:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627369-22825>; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 02:33:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA29016; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 11:47:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6891983 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 11:47:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA24062 for ; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 11:47:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA17043 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 11:47:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711051747.LAA17043@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Nov 1997 11:47:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e151433d05fdd7e270c6174c0592303d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 495 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/051800Z/061800Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/051351ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 051200Z8 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (20W) WAS LOCATED AT 14.5N0 92.9E0, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 20 (WTIO32 PGTW 051500)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 68E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7N7 67E3. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SHIP DATA INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION STILL EXISTS WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. HOWEVER, CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED WITH LITTLE SIGN OF CONCENTRATION AT THIS TIME. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/HALL/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 6 14:28:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627398-22825>; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 05:41:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA17298; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 14:52:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6894358 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 14:52:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA17540 for ; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 14:52:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA17832 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 14:52:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711052052.OAA17832@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Nov 1997 14:52:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d68963c9ba103803b10dd525609d63a9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 963 WTIO32 PGTW 052100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- 14.3N8 92.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.3N8 92.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 15.1N7 90.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 16.1N8 89.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 17.2N0 89.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 18.2N1 88.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 20.6N8 87.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 052100Z8 POSITION 14.5N0 91.7E7 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) HAS INCREASED IN AREAL COVERAGE. THE WARNING POSITION WAS ADJUSTED TO REFLECT 051102Z9 MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I) AND WAS BASED ON 051730Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE FORECAST TRACK AND PHILOSOPHY REMAIN THE SAME AS PREVIOUSLY FORECAST WITH DISSIPATION BEGINNING AT THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z4 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3), 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9), 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6) AND 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 6 14:28:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627413-22816>; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 06:16:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA09514; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 15:33:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6894748 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 15:33:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA09486 for ; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 15:33:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA17975 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 15:33:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711052133.PAA17975@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Nov 1997 15:33:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 47f3877521a185139720f8c721a28657 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 897 WTIO32 PGTW 052100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 021 PAGE 02 RUHGSGG5308 UNCLAS 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- 14.3N8 92.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.3N8 92.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 15.1N7 90.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG5308 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 16.1N8 89.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 17.2N0 89.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 18.2N1 88.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG5308 UNCLAS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 20.6N8 87.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 052100Z8 POSITION 14.5N0 91.7E7 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) HAS INCREASED IN AREAL COVERAGE. THE WARNING POSITION WAS ADJUSTED TO REFLECT 051102Z9 MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I) AND WAS BASED ON 051730Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE FORECAST TRACK AND PHILOSOPHY REMAIN THE SAME AS PREVIOUSLY FORECAST WITH DISSIPATION BEGINNING AT THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z4 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO PAGE 05 RUHGSGG5308 UNCLAS WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3), 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9), 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6) AND 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2).// BT #5308 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 6 14:28:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626621-15119>; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 11:39:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA10068; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 21:08:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6898988 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 21:08:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA40322 for ; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 21:04:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA26817 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 21:04:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711060304.VAA26817@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Nov 1997 21:04:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5ecbedb933379c3135ff11b0c89584d8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 063 WTIO32 PGTW 060300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND EMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- 14.4N9 91.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.4N9 91.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 15.1N7 90.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 16.0N7 90.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 17.1N9 89.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 18.2N1 89.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 20.6N8 89.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 060300Z9 POSITION 14.6N1 91.6E6 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN NORTHWARD AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE BAY OF BENGAL. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) IS ANTICIPATED TO WEAKEN AND EVENTUALLY DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 72 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9), 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6), 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2) AND 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 6 14:28:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626947-15117>; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 12:37:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA47012; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 22:03:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6899694 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 22:03:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA30804 for ; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 22:02:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA27014 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 22:02:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711060402.WAA27014@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Nov 1997 22:02:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Storm Linda (30w) Warning Nr 022 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5542d9df31da8fd1fc538cdf699f9732 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 036 WTIO32 PGTW 060300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND EMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO PAGE 02 RUHGSGG5473 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- 14.4N9 91.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.4N9 91.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 15.1N7 90.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS PAGE 03 RUHGSGG5473 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 16.0N7 90.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 17.1N9 89.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 18.2N1 89.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER PAGE 04 RUHGSGG5473 UNCLAS WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 20.6N8 89.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 060300Z9 POSITION 14.6N1 91.6E6 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN NORTHWARD AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE BAY OF BENGAL. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) IS ANTICIPATED TO WEAKEN AND EVENTUALLY DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 72 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9), 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6), 062100Z9 (DTG PAGE 05 RUHGSGG5473 UNCLAS 061951Z2) AND 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4).// BT #5473 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 6 17:32:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627460-15116>; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 17:08:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA25772; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 02:42:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6902354 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 02:42:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA23968 for ; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 02:42:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA27849 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 02:42:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711060842.CAA27849@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 02:42:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a01ac37109bf17b81e55804bfe02c79f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 439 WTIO32 PGTW 060900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- 14.4N9 91.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.4N9 91.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 14.9N4 91.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 15.8N4 90.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 16.9N6 89.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 18.2N1 89.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION 14.5N0 91.7E7 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) IS QUASISTATIONARY IN THE BAY OF BENGAL. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME PARTIALLY EXPOSED DUE TO UPPER-LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR. POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY, AND A 0060257Z0 MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER WATER WITHIN 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6), 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2), 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4) AND 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 7 09:22:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627468-15116>; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 18:47:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA34882; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 04:25:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6902676 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 04:25:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA40202 for ; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 04:20:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA28233 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 04:20:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711061020.EAA28233@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 04:20:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2a6a87c95ebb11a3b2a6a7fefae89a59 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 179 WTIO32 PGTW 060900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 023 PAGE 02 RUHGSGG6024 UNCLAS 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- 14.4N9 91.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.4N9 91.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 14.9N4 91.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG6024 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 15.8N4 90.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 16.9N6 89.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 18.2N1 89.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG6024 UNCLAS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION 14.5N0 91.7E7 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) IS QUASISTATIONARY IN THE BAY OF BENGAL. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME PARTIALLY EXPOSED DUE TO UPPER-LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR. POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY, AND A 0060257Z0 MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER WATER WITHIN 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6), 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2), 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4) AND 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0).// BT #6024 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 7 09:22:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627496-15117>; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 23:02:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA48464; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 08:42:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6904667 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 08:42:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA43588 for ; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 08:42:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA28965 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 08:42:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711061442.IAA28965@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 08:42:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: dac5a1be1c3982870cead89c3a315b04 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 944 WTIO32 PGTW 061500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TYPHOON LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 024 RELOCATED UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 30W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- 15.0N6 92.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.0N6 92.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 15.6N2 91.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 16.9N6 91.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 18.7N6 92.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 20.3N5 94.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 061500Z2 POSITION 15.2N8 92.0E1 DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, TYPHOON LINDA (30W 0 HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY OR DRIFTED SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD, AND HAS RAPIDLY RE-INTENSIFIED INTO TYPHOON LINDA (30W). THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER HAS RE- DEVELOPED FARTHER EAST UNDER THE CENTRAL CONVECTIVE CLOUD MASS AND THIS IS THE REASON FOR RELOCATION OF THIS SYSTEM. COLD CLOUD TOPS OF -83C TO -86C HAVE ENCIRCLED THE SYSTEM CENTER AND AN EYE HAS BEEN TRYING TO APPEAR IN INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 061130Z1 SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T4.0 (65 TO 70 KNOTS) FROM BOTH JTWC AND KGWC SATELLITE ANALYSTS. AS A RESULT OF THE RECENT INTENSITY INCREASE AND THE MORE EASTWARD INITIAL POSITION, WE FEEL THAT LINDA WILL HOLD TOGETHER LONGER THAN OUR COMPUTER MODELS ARE INDICATING. AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH FROM CENTRAL INDIA IS EXPECTED TO EVENTUALLY PICK UP AND RECURVE TYPHOON LINDA (30W) TO THE NORTHEAST INTO NORTHWEST MYANMAR IN ABOUT 48 HOURS. ALTHOUGH LINDA HAS INTENSIFIED AND SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS, INCREASING WESTERLY SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE SYSTEM AS IT APPROACHES LAND AFTER 36 HOURS. THIS IS A SIGNIFICANT CHANGE FROM OUR PREVIOUS FORECASTS, BUT THERE REMAINS A MODERATE PROBABILITY ALTERNATE SCENARIO THAT LINDA MAY WEAKEN AND SHEAR APART BEFORE REACHING LAND. THE RESULT WOULD BE A VERY WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION DRIFTING SLOWLY WESTWARD WITH NO CONVECTION.MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z9 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2), 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4), 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0) AND 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 7 09:22:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627547-15117>; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 02:13:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA40244; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 11:38:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6906949 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 11:38:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA36626 for ; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 11:38:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA29619 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 11:38:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711061738.LAA29619@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 11:38:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ab1b2d675628982918fe1b84352ff8fa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 375 WTIO32 PGTW 061500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TYPHOON LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 024 RELOCATED PAGE 02 RUHGSGG7284 UNCLAS UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 30W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- 15.0N6 92.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.0N6 92.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 15.6N2 91.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM PAGE 03 RUHGSGG7284 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 16.9N6 91.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 18.7N6 92.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 13 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHGSGG7284 UNCLAS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 20.3N5 94.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 061500Z2 POSITION 15.2N8 92.0E1 DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, TYPHOON LINDA (30W) HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY OR DRIFTED SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD, AND HAS RAPIDLY RE-INTENSIFIED INTO TYPHOON LINDA (30W). THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER HAS RE- DEVELOPED FARTHER EAST UNDER THE CENTRAL CONVECTIVE CLOUD MASS AND THIS IS THE REASON FOR RELOCATION OF THIS SYSTEM. COLD CLOUD TOPS OF -83C TO -86C HAVE ENCIRCLED THE SYSTEM CENTER AND AN EYE HAS BEEN TRYING TO APPEAR IN INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 061130Z1 SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T4.0 (65 TO 70 KNOTS) FROM BOTH JTWC AND KGWC SATELLITE ANALYSTS. AS A RESULT OF THE RECENT INTENSITY INCREASE PAGE 05 RUHGSGG7284 UNCLAS AND THE MORE EASTWARD INITIAL POSITION, WE FEEL THAT LINDA WILL HOLD TOGETHER LONGER THAN OUR COMPUTER MODELS ARE INDICATING. AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH FROM CENTRAL INDIA IS EXPECTED TO EVENTUALLY PICK UP AND RECURVE TYPHOON LINDA (30W) TO THE NORTHEAST INTO NORTHWEST MYANMAR IN ABOUT 48 HOURS. ALTHOUGH LINDA HAS INTENSIFIED AND SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS, INCREASING WESTERLY SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE SYSTEM AS IT APPROACHES LAND AFTER 36 HOURS. THIS IS A SIGNIFICANT CHANGE FROM OUR PREVIOUS FORECASTS, BUT THERE REMAINS A MODERATE PROBABILITY ALTERNATE SCENARIO THAT LINDA MAY WEAKEN AND SHEAR APART BEFORE REACHING LAND. THE RESULT WOULD BE A VERY WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION DRIFTING SLOWLY WESTWARD WITH NO CONVECTION.MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z9 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2), 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4), 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0) AND 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7).// BT #7284 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 7 09:22:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627531-15117>; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 02:31:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA46954; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 11:53:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6907155 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 11:53:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA19514 for ; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 11:53:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA29670 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 11:53:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711061753.LAA29670@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 11:53:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: adf2b2f910a5bede0b76aae0bf233ae9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 624 WTIO32 PGTW 060900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 023 PAGE 02 RUHGSGG7304 UNCLAS 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- 14.4N9 91.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.4N9 91.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 14.9N4 91.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG7304 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 15.8N4 90.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 16.9N6 89.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 18.2N1 89.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG7304 UNCLAS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION 14.5N0 91.7E7 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) IS QUASISTATIONARY IN THE BAY OF BENGAL. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME PARTIALLY EXPOSED DUE TO UPPER-LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR. POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY, AND A 0060257Z0 MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER WATER WITHIN 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6), 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2), 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4) AND 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0).// BT #7304 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 7 09:22:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627538-15116>; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 02:39:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA28626; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 11:59:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6907282 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 11:59:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA23226 for ; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 11:59:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA29695 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 11:59:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711061759.LAA29695@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 11:59:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b2697e0199038c1b2b66e9f60e804de9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 721 WTIO32 PGTW 061500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TYPHOON LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 024 RELOCATED PAGE 02 RUHGSGG7326 UNCLAS UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 30W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- 15.0N6 92.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.0N6 92.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 15.6N2 91.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM PAGE 03 RUHGSGG7326 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 16.9N6 91.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 18.7N6 92.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 13 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHGSGG7326 UNCLAS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 20.3N5 94.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 061500Z2 POSITION 15.2N8 92.0E1 DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, TYPHOON LINDA (30W) HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY OR DRIFTED SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD, AND HAS RAPIDLY RE-INTENSIFIED INTO TYPHOON LINDA (30W). THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER HAS RE- DEVELOPED FARTHER EAST UNDER THE CENTRAL CONVECTIVE CLOUD MASS AND THIS IS THE REASON FOR RELOCATION OF THIS SYSTEM. COLD CLOUD TOPS OF -83C TO -86C HAVE ENCIRCLED THE SYSTEM CENTER AND AN EYE HAS BEEN TRYING TO APPEAR IN INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 061130Z1 SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T4.0 (65 TO 70 KNOTS) FROM BOTH JTWC AND KGWC SATELLITE ANALYSTS. AS A RESULT OF THE RECENT INTENSITY INCREASE PAGE 05 RUHGSGG7326 UNCLAS AND THE MORE EASTWARD INITIAL POSITION, WE FEEL THAT LINDA WILL HOLD TOGETHER LONGER THAN OUR COMPUTER MODELS ARE INDICATING. AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH FROM CENTRAL INDIA IS EXPECTED TO EVENTUALLY PICK UP AND RECURVE TYPHOON LINDA (30W) TO THE NORTHEAST INTO NORTHWEST MYANMAR IN ABOUT 48 HOURS. ALTHOUGH LINDA HAS INTENSIFIED AND SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS, INCREASING WESTERLY SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE SYSTEM AS IT APPROACHES LAND AFTER 36 HOURS. THIS IS A SIGNIFICANT CHANGE FROM OUR PREVIOUS FORECASTS, BUT THERE REMAINS A MODERATE PROBABILITY ALTERNATE SCENARIO THAT LINDA MAY WEAKEN AND SHEAR APART BEFORE REACHING LAND. THE RESULT WOULD BE A VERY WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION DRIFTING SLOWLY WESTWARD WITH NO CONVECTION.MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z9 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2), 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4), 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0) AND 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7).// BT #7326 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 7 09:22:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627525-15116>; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 03:03:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA19522; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 12:28:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6907680 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 12:28:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA40502 for ; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 12:28:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA29833 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 12:27:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711061827.MAA29833@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 12:27:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 609591ccd02ff7f3883bdf19e483641d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 522 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800Z/071800Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/061351ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 061200Z9, TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WAS UPGRADED TO TYPHOON LINDA (30W) AND WAS LOCATED AT 15.0N6 92.1E2, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 24 RELOCATED(WTIO32 PGTW 061500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 67E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 65E1. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SHIP DATA INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EXISTS WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. HOWEVER, CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA REMAINS LOOSELY ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME AND SURFACE PRESSURES REMAIN HIGH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR MORE THAN 18 HOURS NEAR 8N8 82E0. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES GOOD CYCLONIC TURNING OF THE CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS AND CLOUD TOPS HAVE COOLED TO -83C IN SEVERAL AREAS NEAR THE SYSTEM CENTER. ALTHOUGH SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A WELL- DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION, PRESSURES REMAIN HIGH AND THE SYSTEM CENTER IS NEAR THE NORTHEAST COAST OF SRI LANKA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 7 09:22:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627530-15116>; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 05:24:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA14504; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 14:44:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6909066 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 14:44:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA43674 for ; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 14:44:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA00407 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 14:44:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711062044.OAA00407@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 14:44:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cfda3e8c4bd89e12adc3d094f8da55d8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 085 WTIO32 PGTW 062100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TYPHOON LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 025 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- 14.9N4 92.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - QUASI-STATIONARY POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM REPEAT POSIT: 14.9N4 92.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 15.6N2 91.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 16.9N6 91.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 18.6N5 91.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 20.1N3 93.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 062100Z9 POSITION 15.1N7 92.0E1 TYPHOON LINDA (30W) HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY THE PAST 06 HOURS. WE STILL ANTICIPATE AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH FROM INDIA TO RECURVE THE SYSTEM INTO NORTHWEST MYANMAR AND STEADILY WEAKEN AFTER 24 HOURS. THERE IS A MODERATE PROBABILITY ALTERNATE SCENARIO THAT TYPHOON LINDA (30W) WILL SHEAR APART BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 061730Z7 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI4.0 (65 TO 70 KNOTS) AND CONTINUED COLD TOPS OF -83C TO -86C NEAR THE SYSTEM CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z5 IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4), 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0), 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7) AND 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 7 09:22:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627600-15112>; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 06:05:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA32172; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 15:32:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6909590 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 15:32:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA28320 for ; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 15:32:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA00617 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 15:32:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711062132.PAA00617@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 15:32:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0d34cd595446d4681869cd3d79864448 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 056 WTIO32 PGTW 062100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TYPHOON LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 025 PAGE 02 RUHGSGG7555 UNCLAS 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- 14.9N4 92.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - QUASI-STATIONARY POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM REPEAT POSIT: 14.9N4 92.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 15.6N2 91.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM PAGE 03 RUHGSGG7555 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 16.9N6 91.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 18.6N5 91.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: PAGE 04 RUHGSGG7555 UNCLAS 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 20.1N3 93.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 062100Z9 POSITION 15.1N7 92.0E1 TYPHOON LINDA (30W) HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY THE PAST 06 HOURS. WE STILL ANTICIPATE AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH FROM INDIA TO RECURVE THE SYSTEM INTO NORTHWEST MYANMAR AND STEADILY WEAKEN AFTER 24 HOURS. THERE IS A MODERATE PROBABILITY ALTERNATE SCENARIO THAT TYPHOON LINDA (30W) WILL SHEAR APART BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 061730Z7 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI4.0 (65 TO 70 KNOTS) AND CONTINUED COLD TOPS OF -83C TO -86C NEAR THE SYSTEM CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z5 IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4), 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0), 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7) AND PAGE 05 RUHGSGG7555 UNCLAS 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #7555 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 7 12:24:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625921-9194>; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 10:41:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA52936; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 20:13:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6912098 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 20:13:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA10172 for ; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 20:13:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA01574 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 20:13:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711070213.UAA01574@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 20:13:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b9e72799ed3b0c93662cfb45a9d327f5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 107 WTIO32 PGTW 070300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TYPHOON LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 026 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- 15.1N7 92.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N7 92.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 15.9N5 91.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 17.0N8 91.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 18.5N4 92.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 20.2N4 94.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION 15.3N9 92.0E1 TYPHOON LINDA (30W) IS QUASI-STATIONARY IN THE BAY OF BENGAL. THE SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO START MOVING NORTHWARD NEAR THE 12-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD AND THEN TRACK NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TO NORTHEASTWARD THEREAFTER. TYPHOON LINDA (30W) IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AFTER THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND BE DISSIPATED OVER LAND NEAR THE 48-HOUR PERIOD. THE MODERATE PROBABILITY ALTERNATE SCENARIO IS THAT TYPHOON LINDA (30W) SHEARS APART BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWIO3O PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0), 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7), 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3) AND 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 7 12:24:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626659-9197>; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 11:05:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA10160; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 20:41:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6912311 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 20:41:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA14500 for ; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 20:41:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA01717 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 20:41:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711070241.UAA01717@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 20:41:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: dae8e56389c6f1f728d49f7e8e472d4b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 597 WTIO32 PGTW 070300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TYPHOON LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 026 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHGSGG7865 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- 15.1N7 92.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N7 92.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 15.9N5 91.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG7865 UNCLAS 080000Z8 --- 17.0N8 91.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 18.5N4 92.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 20.2N4 94.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG7865 UNCLAS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION 15.3N9 92.0E1 TYPHOON LINDA (30W) IS QUASI-STATIONARY IN THE BAY OF BENGAL. THE SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO START MOVING NORTHWARD NEAR THE 12-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD AND THEN TRACK NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TO NORTHEASTWARD THEREAFTER. TYPHOON LINDA (30W) IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AFTER THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND BE DISSIPATED OVER LAND NEAR THE 48-HOUR PERIOD. THE MODERATE PROBABILITY ALTERNATE SCENARIO IS THAT TYPHOON LINDA (30W) SHEARS APART BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWIO3O PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0), 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7), 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3) AND 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5).// BT #7865 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 7 18:04:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627617-9194>; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 16:40:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA16392; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 02:14:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6914798 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 02:14:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA36860 for ; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 02:14:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA02755 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 02:14:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711070814.CAA02755@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Nov 1997 02:14:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1c7d4488c9eef3ed8b29efd2cd6af7db Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 102 WTIO32 PGTW 070900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 027 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON LINDA (30W) 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z3 --- 15.2N8 90.9E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N8 90.9E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 16.0N7 90.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 17.2N0 90.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 18.8N7 91.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 20.4N6 93.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 070900Z6 POSITION 15.4N0 90.8E7 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE A TURN NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD NEAR THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AFTERWARDS, TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) SHOULD TRACK EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AND GRADUALLY ACCELERATE. THE SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE NEAR THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. THE MODERATE PROBABILITY ALTERNATE SCENARIO IS THAT TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) SHEARS APART BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7), 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3), 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5) AND 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 7 18:04:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627618-9196>; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 17:46:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA40576; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 03:14:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6914999 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 03:14:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA46676 for ; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 03:14:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA03039 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 03:14:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711070914.DAA03039@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Nov 1997 03:14:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 41981e556c9b7399d234e851e8c7dc3a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 967 WTIO32 PGTW 070900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 027 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON LINDA (30W) 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHGSGG8153 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z3 --- 15.2N8 90.9E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N8 90.9E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 16.0N7 90.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG8153 UNCLAS 080600Z4 --- 17.2N0 90.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 18.8N7 91.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 20.4N6 93.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND PAGE 04 RUHGSGG8153 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 070900Z6 POSITION 15.4N0 90.8E7 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE A TURN NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD NEAR THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AFTERWARDS, TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) SHOULD TRACK EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AND GRADUALLY ACCELERATE. THE SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE NEAR THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. THE MODERATE PROBABILITY ALTERNATE SCENARIO IS THAT TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) SHEARS APART BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7), 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3), 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5) AND 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1).// BT #8153 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:11:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628503-9190>; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 23:05:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA31532; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 08:40:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6916496 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 08:40:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA31510 for ; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 08:40:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA03920 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 08:40:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711071440.IAA03920@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Nov 1997 08:40:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 00515e1e25fa273ce13e85771df63b68 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 131 WTIO32 PGTW 071500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 028 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- 15.4N0 90.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N0 90.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 16.2N9 90.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 17.3N1 90.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 18.8N7 91.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 20.4N6 93.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 071500Z3 POSITION 15.6N2 90.5E4 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) HAS TRACKED SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD DURING PAST 06 HOURS AND HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED. DEEP CONVECTION HAS REDEVELOPED OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER WITH CLOUD TOPS AS COLD AS -86C TO -88C AND THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NO LONGER EXPOSED. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A CURRENT T-NUMBER OF T3.5 (55 KNOTS) AND THE COLD CLOUD TOPS NEAR THE SYSTEM CENTER. IF CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT CONTINUES NEAR THE SYSTEM CENTER, THEN ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING WILL OCCUR AND LINDA MAY HAVE TO BE UPGRADED TO TYPHOON INTENSITY AGAIN IN THE NEXT 06 TO 12 HOURS. THERE IS CONSIDERABLE DIVERGENCE AMONG OUR FORECAST GUIDANCE WHICH IS GOOD INDICATION OF SLOW MOVEMENT. WE STILL EXPECT LINDA TO SLOWLY TRACK NORTH AND THEN NORTHEASTWARD LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD AND SLOWLY WEAKEN. HOWEVER, THERE REMAINS A MODERATE PROBABILITY ALTERNATE SCENARIO THAT LINDA WILL SHEAR APART AND RAPIDLY WEAKEN BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL ALONG THE NORTHWEST COAST OF MYANMAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z0 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3), 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5), 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1) AND 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:11:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628502-9194>; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 23:14:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA40592; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 08:41:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6916511 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 08:41:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA16502 for ; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 08:41:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA03928 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 08:41:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711071441.IAA03928@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Nov 1997 08:41:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 788c8cdd8a9d3a89cae77890c9c102bf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 160 WTIO32 PGTW 071500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 028 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHGSGG8347 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- 15.4N0 90.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N0 90.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 16.2N9 90.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 17.3N1 90.7E6 PAGE 03 RUHGSGG8347 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 18.8N7 91.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 20.4N6 93.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- PAGE 04 RUHGSGG8347 UNCLAS REMARKS: 071500Z3 POSITION 15.6N2 90.5E4 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) HAS TRACKED SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD DURING PAST 06 HOURS AND HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED. DEEP CONVECTION HAS REDEVELOPED OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER WITH CLOUD TOPS AS COLD AS -86C TO -88C AND THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NO LONGER EXPOSED. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A CURRENT T-NUMBER OF T3.5 (55 KNOTS) AND THE COLD CLOUD TOPS NEAR THE SYSTEM CENTER. IF CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT CONTINUES NEAR THE SYSTEM CENTER, THEN ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING WILL OCCUR AND LINDA MAY HAVE TO BE UPGRADED TO TYPHOON INTENSITY AGAIN IN THE NEXT 06 TO 12 HOURS. THERE IS CONSIDERABLE DIVERGENCE AMONG OUR FORECAST GUIDANCE WHICH IS GOOD INDICATION OF SLOW MOVEMENT. WE STILL EXPECT LINDA TO SLOWLY TRACK NORTH AND THEN NORTHEASTWARD LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD AND SLOWLY WEAKEN. HOWEVER, THERE REMAINS A MODERATE PROBABILITY ALTERNATE SCENARIO THAT LINDA WILL SHEAR APART AND RAPIDLY WEAKEN BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL ALONG THE NORTHWEST COAST OF MYANMAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT PAGE 05 RUHGSGG8347 UNCLAS WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z0 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3), 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5), 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1) AND 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8).// BT #8347 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:11:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628514-9196>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 02:28:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA17218; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 11:57:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6918748 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 11:57:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA26732 for ; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 11:55:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA04705 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 11:55:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711071755.LAA04705@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Nov 1997 11:55:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2b4f08f742c1911e1bd66d5fa3578470 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 617 ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/071800Z/081800Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/071351ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 071200Z0, TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WAS LOCATED AT 15.4N0 90.6E5, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 28 (WTIO32 PGTW 071500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 65E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 54E9. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 071200Z0 SHIP DATA INDICATE A WELL- DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH UPPER- LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. ANIMATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES WEAK CYCLONIC TURNING OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. HOWEVER, SURFACE PRESSURES REMAIN HIGH IN THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 8N8 82E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 79E6. A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXISTS BENEATH A SMALL UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE. SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW GOOD CYCLONIC TURNING OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. HOWEVER, THE SURFACE CIRCULATION HAS MOVED ONSHORE OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHEAST TIP OF INDIA AND LAND INTERACTION WILL INHIBIT ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. SURFACE PRESSURES ALSO REMAIN HIGH IN THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:11:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628531-9196>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 05:22:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA29118; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 14:23:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6920131 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 14:23:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA28592 for ; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 14:23:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA05298 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 14:23:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711072023.OAA05298@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Nov 1997 14:23:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0093b472015a5439ebe6b2612aeda78d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 677 WTIO32 PGTW 072100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 029 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- 14.9N4 90.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - QUASI-STATIONARY POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.9N4 90.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 15.5N1 90.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 16.0N7 89.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 16.6N3 89.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 17.2N0 89.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 072100Z0 POSITION 15.1N7 90.5E4 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY OR DRIFTED SOUTHWARD DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS WHILE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY. LINDA IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND SHEAR AND THE VERTICAL SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE. AS A RESULT, LINDA IS FORECAST MOVE LITTLE EXCEPT POSSIBLY A SLIGHT NORTHWEST DRIFT DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND GRADUALLY DISSIPATE OVER WATER. THERE MAY BE BRIEF PERIODS OF CONVECTIVE BURSTS NEAR THE SYSTEM CENTER, ESPECIALLY AT NIGHT, BUT THE GENERAL TREND IS FOR GRADUAL WEAKENING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z6 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5), 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1), 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8) AND 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:11:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628531-9190>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 05:19:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA52862; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 14:44:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6920310 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 14:44:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA34928 for ; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 14:44:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA05469 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 14:44:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711072044.OAA05469@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Nov 1997 14:44:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9bdd2f3c68d9d7c9a211f7660ac20cc6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 947 WTIO32 PGTW 072100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 029 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHGSGG8575 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- 14.9N4 90.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - QUASI-STATIONARY POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.9N4 90.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 15.5N1 90.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG8575 UNCLAS 081800Z7 --- 16.0N7 89.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 16.6N3 89.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 17.2N0 89.1E8 PAGE 04 RUHGSGG8575 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 072100Z0 POSITION 15.1N7 90.5E4 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY OR DRIFTED SOUTHWARD DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS WHILE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY. LINDA IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND SHEAR AND THE VERTICAL SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE. AS A RESULT, LINDA IS FORECAST MOVE LITTLE EXCEPT POSSIBLY A SLIGHT NORTHWEST DRIFT DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND GRADUALLY DISSIPATE OVER WATER. THERE MAY BE BRIEF PERIODS OF CONVECTIVE BURSTS NEAR THE SYSTEM CENTER, ESPECIALLY AT NIGHT, BUT THE GENERAL TREND IS FOR GRADUAL WEAKENING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z6 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5), 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1), 081500Z4 (DTG PAGE 05 RUHGSGG8575 UNCLAS 081351Z8) AND 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4).// BT #8575 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:11:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626150-26827>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:21:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA16470; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 20:44:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6923284 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 20:44:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA46408 for ; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 20:44:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA06946 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 20:44:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711080244.UAA06946@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Nov 1997 20:44:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7095ce5232894d6f795d4ef5d965ad88 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 429 WTIO32 PGTW 080300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 030 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- 14.5N0 90.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N0 90.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 14.5N0 89.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 14.7N2 89.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 15.3N9 88.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 16.2N9 88.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION 14.5N0 90.1E0 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) IS DRIFTING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 072330Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TS LINDA (30W) IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR CAUSING MUCH OF THE CONVECTION TO BE CONCENTRATED ON THE NORTHEAST SIDE. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD AT SLOW SPEEDS THROUGH 24 HOURS. BY 36 HOURS, VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE FURTHER CAUSING THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION OF TS LINDA TO BE FULLY EXPOSED. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN TRACK IN A NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD DIRECTION. TS LINDA (30W) IS FORECASTED TO DISSIPATE AFTER 48 HOURS OVER THE WATER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z3), 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z0), 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z6) AND 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:11:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625962-26831>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 12:10:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA09472; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 21:41:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6923638 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 21:41:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA30962 for ; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 21:41:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA07126 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 21:41:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711080341.VAA07126@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Nov 1997 21:41:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 47a8e5303c1e4fdadd20610a2c21af9d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 527 WTIO32 PGTW 080300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 030 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHGSGG8715 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- 14.5N0 90.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N0 90.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 14.5N0 89.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG8715 UNCLAS 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 14.7N2 89.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 15.3N9 88.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS PAGE 04 RUHGSGG8715 UNCLAS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 16.2N9 88.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION 14.5N0 90.1E0 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) IS DRIFTING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 072330Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TS LINDA (30W) IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR CAUSING MUCH OF THE CONVECTION TO BE CONCENTRATED ON THE NORTHEAST SIDE. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD AT SLOW SPEEDS THROUGH 24 HOURS. BY 36 HOURS, VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE FURTHER CAUSING THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION OF TS LINDA TO BE FULLY EXPOSED. THE PAGE 05 RUHGSGG8715 UNCLAS SYSTEM WILL THEN TRACK IN A NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD DIRECTION. TS LINDA (30W) IS FORECASTED TO DISSIPATE AFTER 48 HOURS OVER THE WATER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z3), 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z0), 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z6) AND 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z8).// BT #8715 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:11:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626435-26832>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 14:36:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA09538; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 00:16:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6924729 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 00:16:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA14640 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 00:16:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA07695 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 00:16:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711080616.AAA07695@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 00:16:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e083cb91d2c5f69dbf1e8ed0d62af7fc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 331 ABIO10 PGTW 072300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/072300Z/081800Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/071951ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 071800Z0, TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WAS LOCATED AT 14.9N4 90.6E5, AND WAS QUASI-STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 29 (WTIO32 PGTW 072100)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 54E9 HAS NOT MOVED OVER THE PAST THREE HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, 071200Z0 AND 071800Z6 SHIP DATA INDICATE A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. IN ADDITION, CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DEVELOP NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TWO SHIP REPORTS OF 20 KNOTS HAVE BEEN RECEIVED WITHIN 5 DEGREES OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 8N8 82E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 79E6. A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXISTS BENEATH A SMALL UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE. SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW GOOD CYCLONIC TURNING OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. HOWEVER, THE SURFACE CIRCULATION HAS MOVED ONSHORE OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHEAST TIP OF INDIA AND LAND INTERACTION WILL INHIBIT ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. SURFACE PRESSURES ALSO REMAIN HIGH IN THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION: TO UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA IN PARAGRAPH 1.B(1). FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/HATFIELD/HONG/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:11:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626671-26833>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 16:33:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA44542; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 02:19:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6925221 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 02:19:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA25840 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 02:19:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA08012 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 02:19:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711080819.CAA08012@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 02:19:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 851293738403d9bd6535a6e2a8569594 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 449 WTIO32 PGTW 080900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 031 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z4 --- 14.5N0 90.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N0 90.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 14.6N1 89.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 14.9N4 88.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 15.4N0 88.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 16.1N8 87.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 080900Z7 POSITION 14.5N0 89.9E6 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) IS QUASI-STATIONARY IN THE BAY OF BENGAL. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 080530Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR CONTINUES ACROSS THE SYSTEM CENTER. AS A RESULT, TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI 3.5 (55 KNOTS). THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DRIFTING WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE 24 HOUR POSITION. IT IS THEN EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD, MOST LIKELY AS AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER THE WATER BY 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z4 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z0), 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z6), 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z8) AND 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:11:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626939-26833>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 17:04:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA46896; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 02:50:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6925409 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 02:50:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA50468 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 02:50:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA08115 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 02:50:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711080850.CAA08115@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 02:50:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8e85bac473ec92e84898a89a202dc02d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 876 WTIO32 PGTW 080900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 031 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHGSGG8773 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 080600Z4 --- 14.5N0 90.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N0 90.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 14.6N1 89.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG8773 UNCLAS 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 14.9N4 88.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 15.4N0 88.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS PAGE 04 RUHGSGG8773 UNCLAS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 16.1N8 87.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 080900Z7 POSITION 14.5N0 89.9E6 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) IS QUASI-STATIONARY IN THE BAY OF BENGAL. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 080530Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR CONTINUES ACROSS THE SYSTEM CENTER. AS A RESULT, TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI 3.5 (55 KNOTS). THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DRIFTING WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE 24 HOUR POSITION. IT IS THEN EXPECTED TO PAGE 05 RUHGSGG8773 UNCLAS TRACK NORTHWESTWARD, MOST LIKELY AS AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER THE WATER BY 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z4 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z0), 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z6), 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z8) AND 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z4).// BT #8773 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626993-26833>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 17:53:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA50438; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 03:36:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6925487 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 03:36:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA27642 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 03:36:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA08362 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 03:36:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711080936.DAA08362@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 03:36:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a2f6a21a52ed7e2e85c3f5de9445398f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 770 WTIO31 PGTW 080900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z4 --- 10.0N1 53.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.0N1 53.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 10.7N8 52.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 11.4N6 51.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 12.1N4 50.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 12.9N2 49.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 14.6N1 47.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 080900Z7 POSITION 10.2N3 53.5E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A HAS FORMED IN THE NORTHWEST ARABIAN SEA AND IS TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 080530Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY MADE BY KGWC ANALYSTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK ACROSS THE EXTREME NORTHWEST CORNER OF SOMALIA SHORTLY BEFORE THE 36 HOUR POSITION. THE SYSTEM IS THEN EXPECTED TO TRACK ACROSS THE GULF OF ADEN AND MOVE INTO YEMEN BY 72 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS THEN EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 (DTG 081355Z2), 082100Z1 (DTG 081955Z8), 090300Z2 (DTG 090155Z5) AND 090900Z8 (DTG 090755Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTIO32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627064-26831>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 17:54:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA29594; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 03:39:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6925494 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 03:39:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA10636 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 03:39:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA08366 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 03:39:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711080939.DAA08366@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 03:39:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Position Accurate To Within 060 Nm To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 293dee1300f5a1083d167bfb88644ae1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 813 WTIO31 PGTW 080900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WERPAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AB 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.0N1 53.8E6 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT1. 081800Z7 --- 10.7N8 52.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 11.4N6 51.8E4 MAX SUSAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 055 -; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 19:09:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA47040; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 04:41:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6925897 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 04:41:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA16564 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 04:41:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA08561 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 04:41:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711081041.EAA08561@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 04:41:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 91f511d8d5a7ff0154841dc32b5b7da8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 827 WTIO31 PGTW 080900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHGSGG8798 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z4 --- 10.0N1 53.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.0N1 53.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 10.7N8 52.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 11.4N6 51.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG8798 UNCLAS 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 12.1N4 50.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 12.9N2 49.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 14.6N1 47.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- PAGE 04 RUHGSGG8798 UNCLAS REMARKS: 080900Z7 POSITION 10.2N3 53.5E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A HAS FORMED IN THE NORTHWEST ARABIAN SEA AND IS TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 080530Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY MADE BY KGWC ANALYSTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK ACROSS THE EXTREME NORTHWEST CORNER OF SOMALIA SHORTLY BEFORE THE 36 HOUR POSITION. THE SYSTEM IS THEN EXPECTED TO TRACK ACROSS THE GULF OF ADEN AND MOVE INTO YEMEN BY 72 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS THEN EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 (DTG 081355Z2), 082100Z1 (DTG 081955Z8), 090300Z2 (DTG 090155Z5) AND 090900Z8 (DTG 090755Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTIO32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #8798 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626249-26831>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 23:04:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA25810; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 08:46:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6927012 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 08:46:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA50630 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 08:46:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA09215 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 08:46:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711081446.IAA09215@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 08:46:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d6be600b56cf3c5c0fea97e274c9d2ed Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 494 WTIO32 PGTW 081500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 032 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 15.0N6 89.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.0N6 89.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 15.5N1 88.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 16.1N8 88.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 16.7N4 87.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 17.3N1 87.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION 15.1N7 89.1E8 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) HAS MIGRATED TO THE NORTHWEST AT 6 KNOTS AND WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT LINDA=S LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS APPROXIMATELY 60NM FROM ITS NEAREST CONVECTION AS IT IS EXPERIENCING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DRIFT NORTH AND WEAKENED. IT IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER BY THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z1 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4), 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6), 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2) AND 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626249-26832>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 23:10:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA46878; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 08:55:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6927048 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 08:55:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA37134 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 08:55:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA09243 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 08:55:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711081455.IAA09243@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 08:55:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 166280212b84e20a94e20fa3d8cefb26 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 576 WTIO32 PGTW 081500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 032 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 15.0N6 89.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.0N6 89.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 15.5N1 88.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 16.1N8 88.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 16.7N4 87.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 17.3N1 87.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION 15.1N7 89.1E8 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) HAS MIGRATED TO THE NORTHWEST AT 6 KNOTS AND WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT LINDA=S LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS APPROXIMATELY 60NM FROM ITS NEAREST CONVECTION AS IT IS EXPERIENCING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DRIFT NORTH AND WEAKEN. IT IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER BY THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z1 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4), 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6), 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2) AND 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNINGS (WTIO31 PGTW) FOR SIX HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627129-26831>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 23:40:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA50500; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 09:22:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6927328 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 09:22:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA25656 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 09:22:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA09302 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 09:22:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711081522.JAA09302@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 09:22:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 35b219052627ee191250f06af8447ce0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 146 WTIO31 PGTW 081500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 10.3N4 52.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.3N4 52.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 11.1N3 50.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 11.5N7 49.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION 10.5N6 52.2E9 LATEST ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND DATA FROM PAST SCATTEROMETER SWATHS INDICATE THAT TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A IS MOVING TOWARDS THE COAST OF SOMALIA AT 12 KNOTS. IT IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST NORTH OF DANTE, SOMALIA WITHIN THE NEXT 6 HOURS. THIS CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF NORTHEASTERN SOMALIA WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z1 (DTG 081955Z8), 090300Z2 (DTG 090155Z0) AND 090900Z8 (DTG 090755Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTIO32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627123-26827>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 23:47:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA44486; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 09:28:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6927354 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 09:28:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA46522 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 09:28:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA09315 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 09:28:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711081528.JAA09315@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 09:28:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 74797c3a68a3f9d5703cd4982e5fb7ec Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 284 WTIO31 PGTW 081500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 10.3N4 52.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT QPMEN4 52.6E3 XORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090 00Z9 --- 11.1N3 50.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS 3 345 6 HOU CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO DISEIPATE OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF NORTHEASTERN SOMALIA WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 0812007+1 IS 12 FEET. EFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNIFGS AT 08)100Z1 ($5< 081955Z8), 090300Z2 (DTG 090155Z0) AND 090900Z8 (DTG 090755Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTIO32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626249-26833>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 23:53:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA16522; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 09:33:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6927398 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 09:33:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA47228 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 09:33:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA09330 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 09:33:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711081533.JAA09330@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 09:33:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Fdie Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 00d610122ef07f8f352a2f475ea023e8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 354 WTIO31 PGTW 081500 1. TROPINAL CYCLONE 03A W FDIE NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 10.3N4 52.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT QPMEN4 52.6E9 8,>94.-589,. NEXT WARNIFGS AT 08)100Z1 (5 081955Z8), 090300Z2 <(:7<090155Z0) AND 090900Z8 (DTG 090755Z6).0REFER TO TROPICAT STORM LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTIO32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627183-26832>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 01:37:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA37166; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:14:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6928154 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:14:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA26658 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:14:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA09624 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:14:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711081714.LAA09624@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:14:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f7165829c135c819deb4a9b0f1150df0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 200 WTIO31 PGTW 081500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHGSGG8899 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 10.3N4 52.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.3N4 52.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 11.1N3 50.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 11.5N7 49.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT PAGE 03 RUHGSGG8899 UNCLAS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION 10.5N6 52.2E9 LATEST ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND DATA FROM PAST SCATTEROMETER SWATHS INDICATE THAT TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A IS MOVING TOWARDS THE COAST OF SOMALIA AT 12 KNOTS. IT IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST NORTH OF DANTE, SOMALIA WITHIN THE NEXT 6 HOURS. THIS CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF NORTHEASTERN SOMALIA WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z1 (DTG 081955Z8), 090300Z2 (DTG 090155Z0) AND 090900Z8 (DTG 090755Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTIO32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #8899 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627177-26832>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 01:38:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA37364; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:17:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6928169 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:17:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA46566 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:17:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA09640 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:17:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711081717.LAA09640@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:17:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a5bee3ea82b04ffcaeb10c6e5009cb08 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 294 WTIO32 PGTW 081500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 032 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHGSGG8900 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 15.0N6 89.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.0N6 89.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 15.5N1 88.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG8900 UNCLAS 091200Z2 --- 16.1N8 88.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 16.7N4 87.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 17.3N1 87.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER PAGE 04 RUHGSGG8900 UNCLAS WATER --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION 15.1N7 89.1E8 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) HAS MIGRATED TO THE NORTHWEST AT 6 KNOTS AND WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT LINDA'S LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS APPROXIMATELY 60NM FROM ITS NEAREST CONVECTION AS IT IS EXPERIENCING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DRIFT NORTH AND WEAKEN. IT IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER BY THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z1 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4), 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6), 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2) AND 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNINGS (WTIO31 PGTW) FOR SIX HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #8900 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627177-26832>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 01:51:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA14272; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:20:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6928178 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:20:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA46516 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:20:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA09660 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:20:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711081720.LAA09660@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:20:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 02 Active Trpical Cyclones In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 771f5570e65f22041acebbc786d8a496 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 344 WTIO31 PGTW 081500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TRPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHGSGG8899 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 10.3NR TWMYE3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.3N4 52.6E3 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 11.1N3 50.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIV M D AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSITC WOP DEG/ 05 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 11.5N7 49.8E1 MAX SUSTAINTRBI SEALA PQT KT, GUSWS 025 KT PAGE 03 RUHGSGG8899)7,:)- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION 10.5N6 52.2E9 LATEST ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND DATA FROM PAST SCATTEROMETER SWATHS INDICATE THATLTROPICAL CYCLONE 03A IS MOVING TOWARDS THE COAST OF SOMALIA AT JQW KNOTS. IT IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST NORTH OF DANTE, SOMALIA WITHIN THE NEXT 6 HOURS. THIS CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF NORTHEASTERNQ V IGIGU UWIA UI SJT 12 TO 24 HURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200;-1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z1 (DTG 081955Z8), 090300Z2 (DTG 090155Z0) AND 090900Z8 (DTG 090755Z6). REFER TO TRTPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTIO32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT $8899 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626768-26833>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 02:00:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA44490; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:24:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6928201 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:24:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA46526 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:24:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA09669 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:24:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711081724.LAA09669@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:24:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: A To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a6184751031ec0719dcd87deba3d5e0a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 432 WTIO31 PGTW 081500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONEO A DLA EWDONES IN NORTHIO MAX USTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHGSGG8899 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 10.3NR TWMYE3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS T ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.3N4 52.6E3 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 11.1N3 50.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIV M 88 MAX SUSTAINTRBI SEALA PQT KT, GUSWS 025 KT REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION 10.5N6 52.2E9 LATEST ANIMATED S ELLITE IMAGERY AND DATA FROM PAST SCATTEROMETER SWATHS INDICATE THATLTROPICAL CYCLONE 03A IS MOVING TOWARDS THE COAST OF SOMATIA AT JQW KNOTS. IT IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST NTRTH OF DANTE95 728- 78 =5 12 TO 24 HURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200 -1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADD ARNINGS A 082100Z1 (DTG 081955Z8), 090300Z2 (DTG 09015-Z0) AND 090900Z8 (DTG 090755Z6). REFER TO TRTPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (;258932 PGTW) . 94 8/-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT 8899 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627196-26831>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 01:58:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA44366; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:28:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6928243 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:28:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA50240 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:28:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA09685 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:28:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711081728.LAA09685@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:28:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: A To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3f05b7498fda1ad552679d7cf533b0df Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 501 WTIO31 PGTW 081500 89 TROPICAL CYCLONEO A DLA EWDONES IN NORTHIO MAX USTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTTAUNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 10.3NR TWMYE3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS T ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.3N4 -2.6E3 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 1191N3 50.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTY 035 KT DISSIV M MAX SUSTAINTRBI SEALA PQT KT, GUSWS 025 KT REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION 10.5N6 52.2E9 LATEST ANIMATED S ELLITE IMAGERY AND DATA FROM PAST SCATTERTMETER SWATHS INDICATE THATLTROPICAL CYCLONE 038)4 TO REACH THE COAST NTRTH OF DANTE95 728- 78 TO 24 HPY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT ATP081200 -1 IS 12 FEET. RE ER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADD ARNINGS A 082100Z1 (DTG 081955Z8), 090300Z2 (DTG 09015-Z0) AND 090900Z8 (DTG 090755Z6). REFER TO TRTPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNINGS ( 258932 PGTW) . UPDATES.// BT 8899 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626768-26831>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 02:16:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA20332; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:56:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6928533 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:56:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA37210 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:54:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA09783 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:54:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711081754.LAA09783@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:54:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 30795b34c9ba7256c0439bb316989968 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 871 ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/081800Z/091800Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/081351ZNOV97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/081355ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 081200Z1, TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WAS LOCATED AT 15.0N6 89.3E0, AND WAS MOVING TO THE NORTHWEST AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 32 (WTIO32 PGTW 081200)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 081200Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WAS LOCATED AT 10.3N4 52.6E3 AND WAS MOVING TO THE WEST AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 2 (WTIO31 PGTW 081200)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 54E9 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE 1A.(2) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 79E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 75E2. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS CURRENTLY LOCATED JUST OFF THE SOUTHWESTERN TIP OF INDIA AND HAS SHOWN A DEFINITE MOVEMENT TOWARDS THE WEST. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS SHOW UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL SUPPORT OVER THIS REGION. AS THE SYSTEM MIGRATES OVER WATER, THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION COMBINED WITH A WEAK ANTICYCLONIC UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW SHOULD ALLOW ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE TO IMPROVE FOR FUTURE DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/HALL/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626667-26827>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 04:34:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA32140; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 14:09:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6929493 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 14:09:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA50558 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 14:09:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA10312 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 14:09:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711082009.OAA10312@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 14:09:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: db6cab2c5309fd37328c866b2c0cb50a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 708 WTIO32 PGTW 082100 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 033 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- 15.5N1 89.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N1 89.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 16.4N1 89.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 17.1N9 88.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 17.7N5 88.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 082100Z1 POSITION 15.7N3 89.2E9 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) HAS MOVED TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 5 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS LINDA IS ENCOUNTERING STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR WHICH HAS LEFT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION APPROXIMATELY 70 NM TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE CONVECTION. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DRIFTING GENERALLY TOWARDS THE NORTH TO NORTH-NORTHWEST AND MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY UNTIL THE 36 HOUR PERIOD. LINDA IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER AT THE 36 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z7 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG 090153Z8), 090900Z8 (DTG 090753Z4), 091500Z5 (DTG 091353Z1) AND 092100Z2 (DTG 091953Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNINGS (WTIO31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627267-26833>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 05:50:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA22672; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 15:26:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6929950 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 15:26:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA29058 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 15:26:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA10688 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 15:26:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711082126.PAA10688@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 15:26:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ac299240b59acfaccce2d333cc5e8ff7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 998 WTIO32 PGTW 082100 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 033 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- 15.5N1 89.2E9 PAGE 02 RUHGSGG8974 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N1 89.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 16.4N1 89.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 17.1N9 88.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT PAGE 03 RUHGSGG8974 UNCLAS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 17.7N5 88.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 082100Z1 POSITION 15.7N3 89.2E9 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) HAS MOVED TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 5 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS LINDA IS ENCOUNTERING STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR WHICH HAS LEFT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION APPROXIMATELY 70 NM TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE CONVECTION. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DRIFTING GENERALLY TOWARDS THE NORTH TO NORTH-NORTHWEST AND MAINTAIN ITS PAGE 04 RUHGSGG8974 UNCLAS CURRENT INTENSITY UNTIL THE 36 HOUR PERIOD. LINDA IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER AT THE 36 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z7 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG 090153Z8), 090900Z8 (DTG 090753Z4), 091500Z5 (DTG 091353Z1) AND 092100Z2 (DTG 091953Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNINGS (WTIO31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #8974 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627226-26827>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 06:11:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA35194; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 15:51:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6930035 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 15:51:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA46958 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 15:51:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA10808 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 15:51:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711082151.PAA10808@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 15:51:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2ac4b35c1951395258e09a9dae630a69 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 371 WTIO31 PGTW 082100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- 10.8N9 51.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.8N9 51.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 11.5N7 51.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 18 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 18 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 12.0N3 50.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 082100Z1 POSITION 11.0N2 51.5E1 LATEST INFRARED AND MICROWAVE (SSM/I) SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A IS BEGINNING TO SEPARATE FROM ITS CONVECTION WHILE IT APPROACHES THE COAST OF SOMALIA. THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY AS ITS CIRCULATION INTERACTS WITH THE MOUNTAINOUS COASTLINE OVER THE NEXT 6 TO 18 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG 090155Z0) AND 090900Z8 (DTG 090755Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTIO32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627226-26833>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 06:12:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA35238; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 15:55:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6930055 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 15:55:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA45466 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 15:55:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA10825 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 15:55:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711082155.PAA10825@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 15:55:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones Inhnorogio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b4cb067d2c149d9398edd192a0903f5f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 443 WTIO31 PGTW 082100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES INHNOROGIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 081800C VPH GWUIN9#9;33 MOVEMENT PAM$; #974 - 285 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITOGHZ PRESENT WIND DIS G7)#4, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 115N- 1-0E6 MAX SUSTAINEDNWINDS - 025 /( ;3:594 59 18 HR PT IT: 340 DEO/ 05 KTS 091200Z2 --- 12.0N3 50.8E3 MAX SUSTAINOBT D UIRBLFAA TROPICAL CSNLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 082100Z1 POSITION 11.0N2 51.9E 8:492-;3 (SSM/I) SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYC TNE 03A IS BEGINNING TO SEPARATE FROM ITS COECTION WHILE IT APPROACHES THE COAST OF SOMALIAO THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY AS ITS CIRCULATION INTERACTS WITH THE MOUNTAINOUS COASTLIO;OPTHE NTM4. TO 18 HOU . MAXIMUM FWMQFICANT WAVTLHEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 12 J OMU REJ S UUGQI 31 PGFW OR ADDITIOVALPJV FR K LUAIL JERMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 :DTG 090155Z0) AND 090900Z8 (DTG 090755Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL STTRM LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTIO32 PKCIUC OR SIM-HOURLY UPDATES.// 2 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625997-22940>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 06:44:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA14324; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 16:14:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6930188 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 16:14:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA28642 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 16:14:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA10885 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 16:14:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711082214.QAA10885@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 16:14:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 390002b549d79813360a2023786fef7c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 851 WTIO31 PGTW 082100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHGSGG8991 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- 10.8N9 51.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.8N9 51.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 11.5N7 51.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 18 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 18 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 12.0N3 50.8E3 PAGE 03 RUHGSGG8991 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 082100Z1 POSITION 11.0N2 51.5E1 LATEST INFRARED AND MICROWAVE (SSM/I) SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A IS BEGINNING TO SEPARATE FROM ITS CONVECTION WHILE IT APPROACHES THE COAST OF SOMALIA. THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY AS ITS CIRCULATION INTERACTS WITH THE MOUNTAINOUS COASTLINE OVER THE NEXT 6 TO 18 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG 090155Z0) AND 090900Z8 (DTG 090755Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTIO32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #8991 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626128-22940>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 10:09:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA29588; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 19:44:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6931627 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 19:44:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA10632 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 19:44:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA11627 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 19:44:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711090144.TAA11627@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 19:44:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 33eb7886c9678b84348febdc31068b3c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 366 WTIO32 PGTW 090300 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 034 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- 15.3N9 89.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.3N9 89.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 15.8N4 89.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 16.4N1 89.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 17.1N9 88.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION 15.4N0 89.3E0 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 082330Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ACROSS TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W). THE SYSTEM SHOULD DISSIPATE OVER THE WATER IN 36 HOURS AS IT SLOWLY TRACKS NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8 (DTG 090753Z4), 091500Z5 (DTG 091353Z1), 092100Z2 (DTG 091953Z7) AND 100300Z4 (DTG 100153Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNINGS (WTIO31 PGTW) FOR SIX HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626144-22940>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 10:25:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA22562; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 19:55:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6931649 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 19:55:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA24848 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 19:55:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA11662 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 19:55:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711090155.TAA11662@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 19:55:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 28ac3c18b5fbe2c634cd5fa416ba28fe Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 530 WTIO32 PGTW 090300 COR 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 034A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- 15.3N9 89.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.3N9 89.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 15.8N4 89.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 16.4N1 89.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 17.1N9 88.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION 15.4N0 89.3E0 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 082330Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ACROSS TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W). THE SYSTEM SHOULD DISSIPATE OVER THE WATER IN 36 HOURS AS IT SLOWLY TRACKS NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8 (DTG 090753Z4), 091500Z5 (DTG 091353Z1), 092100Z2 (DTG 091953Z7) AND 100300Z4 (DTG 100153Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNINGS (WTIO31 PGTW) FOR SIX HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: TIME OF THE MAX WAVE HEIGHT.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626122-22951>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 10:43:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA47200; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 20:27:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6931953 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 20:27:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA42758 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 20:26:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA11747 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 20:26:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711090226.UAA11747@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 20:26:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d50c4622a3a9aaf29d6b69397dd5b1e1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 194 WTIO31 PGTW 090300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- 11.5N7 50.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 11.5N7 50.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 11.9N1 50.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 18 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 18 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 12.2N5 50.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION 11.6N8 50.8E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A IS OVER THE NORTHEAST TIP OF SOMALIA AS IT TRACKS NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. HOWEVER, THE FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO SLOW AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE MOUNTAINS IN THIS REGION. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 082330Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM KGWC ANALYSTS. THE CONVECTION OVER THE SYSTEM HAS SIGNIFICANTLY DECREASED AS IT INTERACTED WITH THE LAND. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE JUST OFF THE SOMALIAN COAST WITHIN 18 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2) AND 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTIO32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626290-22948>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 11:18:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA48488; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 20:56:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6932278 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 20:56:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA29276 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 20:56:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA11836 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 20:56:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711090256.UAA11836@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 20:56:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 373e29c9fa88eaf2dfe5f7bda3eea6a8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 549 WTIO31 PGTW 090300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO ) WARNING POSI ON: 090000Z9 --- 11.5N7 50.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE HPRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 11.5N7 50.9E4 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 11.9N1 50.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 T, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 18 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS 18 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 12.2N5 50.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION 11.6N8 50.8E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A IS OVER THE NORTHEAST TIP OF SOMALIA AS IT TRACKS NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. HOWEVER, THE FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO SLOW AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE MOUNTAINS IN THIS REGION. THSIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626191-22940>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 11:48:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA31266; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 21:24:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6932565 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 21:24:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA25854 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 21:23:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA11904 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 21:23:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711090323.VAA11904@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 21:23:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 192871de0cbb7c0593dc7be91f0bb5aa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 117 WTIO32 PGTW 090300 COR 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 034A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- 15.3N9 89.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS PAGE 02 RUHGSGG9064 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.3N9 89.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 15.8N4 89.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 16.4N1 89.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS PAGE 03 RUHGSGG9064 UNCLAS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 17.1N9 88.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION 15.4N0 89.3E0 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 082330Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ACROSS TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W). THE SYSTEM SHOULD DISSIPATE OVER THE WATER IN 36 HOURS AS IT SLOWLY TRACKS NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2), 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9), PAGE 04 RUHGSGG9064 UNCLAS 092100Z2 (DTG 091953Z7) AND 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNINGS (WTIO31 PGTW) FOR SIX HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: TIME OF THE MAX WAVE HEIGHT.// BT #9064 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626279-22949>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 11:45:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA46476; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 21:26:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6932601 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 21:26:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA24960 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 21:26:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA11917 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 21:26:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711090326.VAA11917@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 21:26:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2981e7f357462d6d7ccd5cb1336e13ab Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 160 WTIO31 PGTW 090300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHGSGG9065 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- 11.5N7 50.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 11.5N7 50.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 11.9N1 50.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 18 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHGSGG9065 UNCLAS 18 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 12.2N5 50.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION 11.6N8 50.8E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A IS OVER THE NORTHEAST TIP OF SOMALIA AS IT TRACKS NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. HOWEVER, THE FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO SLOW AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE MOUNTAINS IN THIS REGION. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 082330Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM KGWC ANALYSTS. THE CONVECTION OVER THE SYSTEM HAS SIGNIFICANTLY DECREASED AS IT INTERACTED WITH THE LAND. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE JUST OFF THE SOMALIAN COAST WITHIN 18 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8 (DTG 090755Z6) AND 091500Z5 (DTG 091355Z3). PAGE 04 RUHGSGG9065 UNCLAS REFER TO TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTIO32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #9065 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626637-22951>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 15:25:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA19460; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 00:57:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6934144 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 00:57:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA26616 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 00:57:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA12654 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 00:57:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711090657.AAA12654@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 00:57:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 77fd21cdef6d1b64899a5e090c07e2d2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 355 WTIO21 PGTW 090400 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 090351Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.3N4 75.0E2 TO 10.6N7 68.3E7 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 090000Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.3N4 73.5E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS WHILE OVER THE ARABIAN SEA. A MICROWAVE IMAGERY PASS AT 090049Z2 REVEALED THE PRESENCE OF A WELL DEFINED CIRCULATION CENTER AND DEVELOPING CONVECTIVE BANDING FEATURES. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPEMENT IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 100400Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626484-22949>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 15:37:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA17286; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 01:20:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6934185 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 01:20:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA26746 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 01:20:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA12714 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 01:20:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711090720.BAA12714@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 01:20:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c7c27a745ee3ce60b5e9e8cb8d8169b7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 807 WTIO21 PGTW 090700 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 090651Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.3N4 75.0E2 TO 10.6N7 68.3E7 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 090000Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.3N4 73.5E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS WHILE OVER THE ARABIAN SEA. A MICROWAVE IMAGERY PASS AT 090049Z2 REVEALED THE PRESENCE OF A WELL DEFINED CIRCULATION CENTER AND DEVELOPING BANDING FEATURES. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 100700Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626295-22949>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 16:12:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA19664; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 01:59:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6934266 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 01:59:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA40132 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 01:59:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA12822 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 01:59:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711090759.BAA12822@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 01:59:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 52728c8a74e4a32790e28be9d376b3ab Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 349 WTIO21 PGTW 090700 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 090651Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.3N4 PAGE 02 RUHGSGG9115 UNCLAS 75.0E2 TO 10.6N7 68.3E7 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 090000Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.3N4 73.5E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS WHILE OVER THE ARABIAN SEA. A MICROWAVE IMAGERY PASS AT 090049Z2 REVEALED THE PRESENCE OF A WELL DEFINED CIRCULATION CENTER AND DEVELOPING BANDING FEATURES. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 100700Z8.// BT #9115 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626563-22948>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 16:57:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA16632; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 02:38:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6934680 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 02:38:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA23274 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 02:38:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA12951 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 02:38:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711090838.CAA12951@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 02:38:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 273ef67ba9d01397f1caa49e21bb10c5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 971 WTIO31 PGTW 090900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- 12.8N1 50.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 12.8N1 50.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 14.3N8 49.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 18 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 18 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 15.0N6 49.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION 13.2N6 50.3E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 090530Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM KGWC ANALYSTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WITH KGWC ANALYSTS INDICATING A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WILL TRACK NORTHWARD THROUGH THE PERIOD AND DISSIPATE OVER YEMEN WITHIN 18 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5 (DTG 091355Z3) AND 092100Z2 (DTG 091955Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (LINDA) (WTIO32 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THAT SYSTEM.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626643-22949>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 17:17:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA47046; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 02:52:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6934948 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 02:52:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA17338 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 02:52:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA12987 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 02:52:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711090852.CAA12987@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 02:52:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9e6fb9cdcc0f882168fe6e34473d776b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 113 WTIO32 PGTW 090900 COR 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (LINDA) WARNING NR 035A CORRECTED RELOCATED DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 30W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- 15.3N9 90.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.3N9 90.3E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 15.9N5 90.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 16.5N2 90.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION 15.4N0 90.3E2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (LINDA) IS NOW AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER OVER THE BAY OF BENGAL. JUSTIFICATION FOR THE RELOCATION WAS VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 090230Z4 AND 090530Z7 WHICH CLEARLY SHOWED THE LOCATION OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THE SYSTEM IS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNINGS (WTIO 31 PGTW) FOR SIX HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED CYCLONE NAME IN REMARKS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626649-22948>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 17:32:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA34990; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 03:12:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6935024 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 03:12:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA27554 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 03:12:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA13173 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 03:12:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711090912.DAA13173@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 03:12:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 58b846c2cf69beed4d553db417a72af6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 444 WTIO31 PGTW 090900 COR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 005A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- 12.8N1 50.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 12.8N1 50.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 14.3N8 49.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 18 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 18 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 15.0N6 49.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION 13.2N6 50.3E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 090530Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM KGWC ANALYSTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WITH KGWC ANALYSTS INDICATING A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WILL TRACK NORTHWARD THROUGH THE PERIOD AND DISSIPATE OVER YEMEN WITHIN 18 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5 (DTG 091355Z3) AND 092100Z2 (DTG 091955Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (LINDA) (WTIO32 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THAT SYSTEM. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED NUMBER OF ACTIVE CYCLONES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626644-22951>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 17:55:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA32794; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 03:41:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6935080 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 03:41:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA31240 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 03:41:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA13294 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 03:41:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711090941.DAA13294@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 03:41:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ea2cc94336fb3b38f0fedc50b738d8db Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 935 WTIO31 PGTW 090900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHGSGG9148 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- 12.8N1 50.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 12.8N1 50.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 14.3N8 49.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 18 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 07 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHGSGG9148 UNCLAS 18 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 15.0N6 49.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION 13.2N6 50.3E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 090530Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM KGWC ANALYSTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WITH KGWC ANALYSTS INDICATING A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WILL TRACK NORTHWARD THROUGH THE PERIOD AND DISSIPATE OVER YEMEN WITHIN 18 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5 (DTG 091355Z3) AND 092100Z2 (DTG 091955Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (LINDA) (WTIO32 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THAT SYSTEM.// PAGE 04 RUHGSGG9148 UNCLAS BT #9148 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626660-22949>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 17:54:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA32842; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 03:42:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6935085 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 03:42:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA16408 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 03:41:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA13298 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 03:41:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711090941.DAA13298@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 03:41:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 40616563c9a7402dab654297e3501880 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 936 WTIO32 PGTW 090900 COR 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (LINDA) WARNING NR 035A CORRECTED RELOCATED DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 30W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHGSGG9149 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- 15.3N9 90.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.3N9 90.3E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 15.9N5 90.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHGSGG9149 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 16.5N2 90.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION 15.4N0 90.3E2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (LINDA) IS NOW AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER OVER THE BAY OF BENGAL. JUSTIFICATION FOR THE RELOCATION WAS VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 090230Z4 AND 090530Z7 WHICH CLEARLY SHOWED THE LOCATION OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THE SYSTEM IS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNINGS PAGE 04 RUHGSGG9149 UNCLAS (WTIO 31 PGTW) FOR SIX HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED CYCLONE NAME IN REMARKS.// BT #9149 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625933-22949>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 17:59:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA31270; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 03:47:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6935092 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 03:47:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA45338 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 03:47:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA13311 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 03:47:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711090947.DAA13311@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 03:47:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ce8bccaeb738d8066f80a29a1693a30f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 001 WTIO31 PGTW 050900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WJQNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHGSGG9148 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- 12.8N1 50.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 12.8N1 50.4E9 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 14.3N8 49.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 18 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 07 KTS PAGE 03 RUHGSGG9148 UNCLAS 18 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 15.0N6 49.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION 13.2N6 50.3E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 090530Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM KGWC ANALYSTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WITH KGWC ANALYSTS INDICATING A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WILL TRACK NORTHWARD THROUGH THE PERIOD AND DISSIPATE OVER YEMEN WITHIN 18 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5 (DTG 091355Z3) AND 092100Z2 (DTG 091955Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (LINDA) (WTIO32 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THAT SYSTEM.// PAGE 04 RUHGSGG9148 UNCLAS BT $9148 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626867-22949>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 22:50:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA47056; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 08:36:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6936853 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 08:36:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA19652 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 08:36:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA14112 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 08:36:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711091436.IAA14112@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 08:36:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 560823da8ea07c39e718744106353d24 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 287 WTIO31 PGTW 091500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- 13.4N8 51.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.4N8 51.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 15.0N6 50.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 091500Z5 POSITION 13.8N2 50.9E4 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THAT TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A HAS MOVED SLOWLY TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS WHILE SLOWLY WEAKENING DUE TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SYNOPTIC DATA REPORTS INDICATE THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100 NM TO THE SOUTHEAST OF RIYAN, YEMEN (WMO 41443). THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND TO DISSIPATE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS IT ENCOUNTERS THE ARABIAN PENINSULA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO 31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2 (DTG 091955Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626867-22940>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 23:10:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA44522; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 08:50:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6936976 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 08:50:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA19672 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 08:50:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA14165 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 08:50:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711091450.IAA14165@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 08:50:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: db941951001df88dde073c9d2cdc19fb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 470 WTIO31 PGTW 091500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUHGSGG9228 UNCLAS 091200Z2 --- 13.4N8 51.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.4N8 51.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 15.0N6 50.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 091500Z5 POSITION 13.8N2 50.9E4 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THAT TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A HAS MOVED SLOWLY TO THE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG9228 UNCLAS NORTH-NORTHWEST OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS WHILE SLOWLY WEAKENING DUE TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SYNOPTIC DATA REPORTS INDICATE THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100 NM TO THE SOUTHEAST OF RIYAN, YEMEN (WMO 41443). THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND TO DISSIPATE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS IT ENCOUNTERS THE ARABIAN PENINSULA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO 31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2 (DTG 091955Z9).// BT #9228 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626787-22940>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 23:15:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA27504; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 08:56:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6937040 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 08:56:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA45412 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 08:56:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA14178 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 08:56:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711091456.IAA14178@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 08:56:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 50563b651a2f53a2114d9dfe5589f860 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 545 WTIO31 PGTW 091500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITIMN: PAGE 02 RUHGSGG9228 UNCLAS 091200Z2 --- 13.4N8 51.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.4N8 51.0E6 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 15.0N6 50.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 091500Z5 POSITION 13.8N2 50.9E4 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THAT TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A HAS MOVED SLOWLY TO THE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG9228 UNCLAS NORTH-NORTHWEST OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS WHILE SLOWLY WEAKENING DUE TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SYNOPTIC DATA REPORTS INDICATE THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100 NM TO THE SOUTHEAST OF RIYAN, YEMEN (WMO 41443). THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND TO DISSIPATE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS IT ENCOUNTERS THE ARABIAN PENINSULA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO 31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2 (DTG 091955Z9).// BT $9228 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626787-22949>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 23:13:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA23114; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 09:01:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6937090 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 09:01:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA28652 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 09:00:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA14206 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 09:00:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711091500.JAA14206@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 09:00:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Merage To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d07effb55d4f93d4df94ef96e0e84539 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 615 WTIO31 PGTW 091500 1. TROPICAL CY MERAGE WARNING POSITIMN: PAGE 02 RUHGSGG9228 UNCLAS 091200Z2 --- 13.4N8 51.0-4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.4N8 51.0E6 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 15.0N6 50.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 091500Z5 POSITION 13.8N2 50.9E4 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THAT TROPIOLHE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100 NM TO THE SOUTHEAST OF RIYAN, YEMEN (WMO 41443). THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEV AND TO DISSIPATE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS IT ENCOUNTERS THE ARABIAN PENINSULA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT NOQWPPZ IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO 31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2 (DTG 091955Z9).// BT 9228 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626871-22940>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 23:20:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA27500; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 09:04:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6937124 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 09:04:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA49758 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 09:04:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA14212 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 09:04:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711091504.JAA14212@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 09:04:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Merage To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a752ca646485aa10cacccee05ecf6859 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 696 WTIO31 PGTW 091500 1. TROPICAL CY MERAGE WARNING POSITIMMM PAGE 02 RUHGSGG9228 UNCLAGVH 091200Z2 --- 13.4N8 51.0-4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 08 KTS PMD U N ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OD SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KMN DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATE WII KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMR U N 13.8N2 50.9E4 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THAT TROPIOLHE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY100 NM TO THEO THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINU E TO WEAKEV AND TO DISSIPATE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS IT ENCOUNTERS THE ARABIAN PENINSULA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT NOQWPPZ IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO 31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2 (DTG 091955Z9).// BT 9228 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626899-22948>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 23:21:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA31268; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 09:09:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6937171 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 09:09:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA29208 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 09:09:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA14225 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 09:09:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711091509.JAA14225@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 09:09:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Merage To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b6ad7dda5a2c5a809c55ac62f7a414c6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 801 WTIO31 PGTW 091500 1. TROPICAL CY MERAGE WARNING POSITIMMM PAGA 02 RUHGSGG9228 UNCLAGVH 091200Z2 --- 13.4N8 51.0-4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 08 CTS PMD U N ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OD SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GULOS 045 KMN DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATE WII KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMR U N 139 N2 50.9E4 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THAT TROPIOLHE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY100 NM O THEO THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINU E TO WEAKEV AND TO DISSIVIV BI UQ Z UJI SJT 12 HOURS AS IT ENCOUNTERS THE ARABIAN PENINSULA. MAXITUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT NOQWPPZ IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO 31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFTRMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2 (DTG 091955Z9).// BT 9228 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626809-22949>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 23:56:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA46486; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 09:14:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6937197 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 09:14:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA46396 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 09:14:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA14242 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 09:14:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711091514.JAA14242@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 09:14:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Merage To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 700960baa1f12ddc8eac2e1936fba3b7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 888 WTIO31 PGTW 091500 1. TROPICAL CY MERAGE WARNING POSITIMMM PATAEA WHII I HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 08 CTS PMD U N ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OD SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 C, GULOS 045 KMN DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATE WII KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONTLOVER LAND REMR U N 139 N2 50.9E4 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THAT TROPIOLHE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY100 NM O THEO THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINU E TO WEAKEV AND TO DISSIVIV BI UQ Z UJI SJT 12 HOURS AS IT ENCOUNTERS THE ARABIAN PENINSULA. MAXITUM SIGNIFICA T WAVE HEIGHT AT NOQWPPZ IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO 31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFTRMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2 (DTG 091955Z9)./. BT 9228 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626696-22949>; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 04:28:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA20258; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 13:57:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6938948 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 13:57:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA12310 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 13:57:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA15100 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 13:57:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711091957.NAA15100@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 13:57:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1a70e58548e320de9934574ba8003fc2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 296 WTIO31 PGTW 092100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 007 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091800Z8 --- 11.1N3 51.2E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 11.1N3 51.2E8 REMARKS: A RECENT 090703Z9 ERS2 SCATTEROMETER PASS OVER THE GULF OF ADEN INDICATES THAT PREDOMINATELY NORTHEASTERLY WINDS EXIST UNDER THE CONVECTIVE AREA THAT WAS FORMERLY TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A. THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH NUMEROUS SHIP REPORTS THAT WE HAVE RECEIVED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS AND FROM SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM SOCOTRA ISLAND (WMO 41494). IT NOW APPEARS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION DID NOT MAKE IT OVER THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF SOMALIA. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A HAS DISSIPATED OVER LAND AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z8 IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625933-22951>; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 05:42:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA37330; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 15:17:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6939592 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 15:17:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA31416 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 15:17:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA15394 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 15:17:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711092117.PAA15394@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 15:17:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f460f7cde761aa86f789e65ee922263c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 631 WTIO31 PGTW 092100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 007 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUHGSGG9288 UNCLAS 091800Z8 --- 11.1N3 51.2E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 11.1N3 51.2E8 REMARKS: A RECENT 090703Z9 ERS2 SCATTEROMETER PASS OVER THE GULF OF ADEN INDICATES THAT PREDOMINATELY NORTHEASTERLY WINDS EXIST UNDER THE CONVECTIVE AREA THAT WAS FORMERLY TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A. THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH NUMEROUS SHIP REPORTS THAT WE HAVE RECEIVED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS AND FROM SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM SOCOTRA ISLAND (WMO 41494). IT NOW APPEARS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION DID NOT MAKE IT OVER THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF SOMALIA. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A HAS DISSIPATED OVER LAND AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG9288 UNCLAS HEIGHT AT 091800Z8 IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// BT #9288 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625914-22940>; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 05:44:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA29002; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 15:24:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6939710 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 15:24:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA21738 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 15:23:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA15418 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 15:23:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711092123.PAA15418@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 15:23:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Actwve Tropical Cgqlone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5e7d2b1b4a55b5163570e0aaacfa9f0b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 710 WTIO31 PGTW 092100 1. ROPICAB CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 007 RELOCATED 01 ACTWVE TROPICAL CGQLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAIN KBI SYACASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITIONC W PAGE 02 RUHGSGG9288 UNCLAS POQIPPZ8 --- 11.1N3 51.2E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURE - 255 ROUXN GIIGPU KTS MARKS: A RECENT 090703Z9 ERS2 SCATTEROMETER PPV UR THE GULF OF ADEN INDICATEDBOG 54908:-) :6:)9,3 7(0-. THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH NUMEROU SHWP REPORTS THAT ,/ 3 43:38;3$ $748,< 5#3 0-5 6 HOURS AND FROM SYNOPTIC RT945 >49. 9:954- 8)-,$ (WMO 41494). IT NOW APPEARS THT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION DID NOT MAKE IT OVER TG MRTHEASTERN COAST OF SOMALIA. TROPICAL KYCLONE 03A HAS DISSIPATED OVTY LAND AE A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXWVUM SIGNIFCCANT WAVE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG9288 UNCLAS HEIGHT AT 091800Z8 IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA TEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING VV THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON Q FBAD CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEMPWILL BE CLOSELY MONITMRED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// BT $9288 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:49:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626457-11076>; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 10:47:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA10508; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 19:56:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6941447 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 19:56:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA28416 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 19:56:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA16319 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 19:56:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711100156.TAA16319@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 19:56:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@lib.siu.edu Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gu 090351z Nov 97 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ee95c016b90d91a52d582370a13e7e46 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 570 WTIO31 PGTW 100300 THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 090351Z NOV 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 090400 ) 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- 10.9N0 68.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.9N0 68.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 11.1N3 66.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 11.5N7 63.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 11.8N0 62.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 12.2N5 60.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 12.9N2 59.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 100300Z4 POSITION 11.0N2 68.1E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A HAS FORMED IN THE EASTERN ARABIAN SEA AND IS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 092230Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY WAS BASED UPON A SCATTEROMETER PASS AT 091801Z9 INDICATING WIND SPEEDS OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST AND WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE PERIOD. HOWEVER TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A=S FORWARD MOTION SHOULD DECREASE AS IT MOVES INTO A DEVELOPING WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4), 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1), 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7) AND 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 090351Z NOV 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO22 PGTW 090400).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:41:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626302-11080>; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 10:34:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA35112; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 20:13:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6941510 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 20:13:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA23214 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 20:12:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA16376 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 20:12:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711100212.UAA16376@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 20:12:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gu 090351z Nov 97 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2e534ccf1cc6184f7e1782715dc33899 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 924 WTIO31 PGTW 100200 THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCLS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 090351Z NOV 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 090400 ) 1. TROPICAL CYCL IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AOVWARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- 10.9N0 68.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE OR PKT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.9N0 68.8E2 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 11.1N3 66.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED A DS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 #4 0985: 280 DEGO WATN7 63.9E8 MAOE VS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINJS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLEO 020 NM ELSEW HERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 8)-<$3; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 10:39:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA17282; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 20:18:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6941535 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 20:18:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA19574 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 20:18:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA16396 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 20:18:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711100218.UAA16396@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 20:18:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gu 090651z Nov 97 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2855a846ed78c6688d4ef5d232391178 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 107 WTIO31 PGTW 100300 COR THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 090651Z NOV 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 090700 ) 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 001 CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- 10.9N0 68.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.9N0 68.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 11.1N3 66.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 11.5N7 63.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 11.8N0 62.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 12.2N5 60.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 12.9N2 59.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 100300Z4 POSITION 11.0N2 68.1E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A HAS FORMED IN THE EASTERN ARABIAN SEA AND IS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 13 KOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 092230Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY WAS BASED UPON A SCATTEROMETER PASS AT 091801Z9 INDICATING WIND SPEEDS OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST AND WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE PERIOD. HOWEVER TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A=S FORWARD MOTION SHOULD DECREASE AS IT MOVES INTO A DEVELOPING WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4), 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1), 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7) AND 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 090351Z NOV 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO22 PGTW 090400). JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED REFERENCE TIMES FOR TCFA.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 13:37:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626305-11076>; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 11:45:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA27598; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 21:08:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6941926 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 21:08:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA23174 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 21:08:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA16604 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 21:08:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711100308.VAA16604@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 21:08:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gu 090351z Nov 97 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d851c951e2cf56429ebe613947854965 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 833 WTIO31 PGTW 100300 THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 090351Z NOV 97 PAGE 02 RUHGSGG9340 UNCLAS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 090400 ) 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- 10.9N0 68.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.9N0 68.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 11.1N3 66.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHGSGG9340 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 11.5N7 63.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 11.8N0 62.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 12.2N5 60.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG9340 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 12.9N2 59.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 100300Z4 POSITION 11.0N2 68.1E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A HAS FORMED IN THE EASTERN ARABIAN SEA AND IS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 092230Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY WAS BASED UPON A SCATTEROMETER PASS AT 091801Z9 INDICATING WIND SPEEDS OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST AND WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE PERIOD. HOWEVER TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A'S FORWARD MOTION SHOULD DECREASE AS IT MOVES INTO A DEVELOPING WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT PAGE 05 RUHGSGG9340 UNCLAS 100000Z IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4), 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1), 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7) AND 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 090651Z NOV 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 090100).// BT #9340 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 13:37:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626407-11072>; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 11:41:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA45486; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 21:15:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6941989 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 21:15:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA46748 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 21:15:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA16649 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 21:15:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711100315.VAA16649@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 21:15:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gu 090351z Nov 97 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b758a6ec5c102cd1b7feee7369e07eeb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 030 WTIO31 PGTW 100300 THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 090351Z NOV 97 PAGE 02 RUHGSGG9340 UNCLAS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 090400 ) 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- 10.9N0 68.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSQTION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATE NDWAQN3 66.1E3 MP SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 EG/ 11 KTS G GGWOERP UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000ZUGPMNGWATN7 63.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE O HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 11.8N0 62.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID ATC QWPPPPZ3 --- 12.2N5 60.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - - 030 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHGSGTLTRP UNCLAS VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 5 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 12.9N2 59.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REMARKS: 100300Z4 POSITION 11.0N2 68.1E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A HAS FORMED IN THE EASTERN ARABIAN SEA AND IS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 092230Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNINT INTENSITY WAS BASED UPON A SCATTEROMETER PASS AT 091801Z9 INDICATING WIND SPEEDS OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST AND WEST-NORTHWESTL RD THROUGH THE PERIOD. HOWEVER TROPICAL CYCLONE 04AS FORWARD MOTION SHOULD DECREASE AS IT MOVES INTO A DEVELOPING WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT PAGE 05 RUHGSGG9340 UNCLAS 1009$ 8>20 3359::3, 235 <7 0906597 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (W TIOL I PGTW 090100).// BT $9340 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 11 10:47:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626318-11076>; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 16:48:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA46898; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 02:29:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6943931 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 02:29:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA19468 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 02:29:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA17675 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 02:29:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711100829.CAA17675@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 02:29:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ebe3a1fd30bf108904aeee2724c0dcd1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 880 WTIO32 PGTW 100900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100600Z7 --- 11.0N2 69.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.0N2 69.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 11.1N3 67.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 11.3N5 66.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 11.6N8 65.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 12.0N3 64.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 12.8N1 62.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 100900Z0 POSITION 11.0N2 68.7E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A HAS BEEN MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION WAS BASED UPON 100530Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS SLOWED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. ITS FORWARD SPEED WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE AS IT MOVES INTO A WEAKNESS THAT DEVELOPS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. UPPER LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SHOULD DEVELOP BY 48 HOURS WHICH WILL INHIBIT FUTURE DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z7 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z3), 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z9), 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z1) AND 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 11 10:47:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626686-11076>; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 17:23:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA49774; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 02:59:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6944073 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 02:59:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA46946 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 02:59:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA17786 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 02:59:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711100859.CAA17786@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 02:59:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 20295f232f9ac17aed2257b44d19225f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 213 WTIO32 PGTW 100900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHGSGG9470 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 100600Z7 --- 11.0N2 69.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.0N2 69.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 11.1N3 67.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 11.3N5 66.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT PAGE 03 RUHGSGG9470 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 11.6N8 65.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 12.0N3 64.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHGSGG9470 UNCLAS 130600Z0 --- 12.8N1 62.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 100900Z0 POSITION 11.0N2 68.7E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A HAS BEEN MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION WAS BASED UPON 100530Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS SLOWED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. ITS FORWARD SPEED WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE AS IT MOVES INTO A WEAKNESS THAT DEVELOPS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. UPPER LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SHOULD DEVELOP BY 48 HOURS WHICH WILL INHIBIT FUTURE DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z7 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z3), 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z9), PAGE 05 RUHGSGG9470 UNCLAS 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z1) AND 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z7).// BT #9470 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 11 10:48:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626754-11076>; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 22:53:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA49894; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 08:24:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6945763 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 08:24:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA12506 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 08:24:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA18780 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 08:24:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711101424.IAA18780@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 08:24:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d15a1def190f81ae07ac2b35fc7cde8c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 428 WTIO32 PGTW 101500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- 11.7N9 67.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.7N9 67.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 12.1N4 66.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 12.5N8 65.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 13.0N4 64.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 13.4N8 62.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 13.9N3 61.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 101500Z7 POSITION 11.8N0 67.5E8 POSITION BASED ON 101232Z9 SATELLITE FIX FROM AIR FORCE GLOBAL WEATHER CENTRAL. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A HAS SLIGHTLY INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED TO 9 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AS THE CYCLONE=S INTENSITY HAS REMAINED CONSTANT. TC 04A IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON A MOSTLY WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK THROUGH THE 48 HOUR PERIOD AS A WEAKENING IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE DEVELOPS OVER THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE ARABIAN SEA. AFTERWARDS, TC 04A IS EXPECTED TO TRACK BACK TOWARDS THE WEST AS THE LOWER TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE BUILDS IN NORTH OF THE CYCLONE. TC 04A IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AND MAINTAIN THAT INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS UNFAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE AFTER THIS PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7), 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9), 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z5) AND 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 11 10:48:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626772-11076>; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 00:22:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA42824; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 08:36:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6945858 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 08:36:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA18200 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 08:35:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA18839 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 08:35:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711101435.IAA18839@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 08:35:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e203f9afc40ac0317d84c00e09326493 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 666 WTIO32 PGTW 101500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHGSGG9596 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- 11.7N9 67.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.7N9 67.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 12.1N4 66.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 12.5N8 65.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT PAGE 03 RUHGSGG9596 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 13.0N4 64.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 13.4N8 62.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHGSGG9596 UNCLAS 131200Z7 --- 13.9N3 61.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 101500Z7 POSITION 11.8N0 67.5E8 POSITION BASED ON 101232Z9 SATELLITE FIX FROM AIR FORCE GLOBAL WEATHER CENTRAL. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A HAS SLIGHTLY INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED TO 9 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AS THE CYCLONE'S INTENSITY HAS REMAINED CONSTANT. TC 04A IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON A MOSTLY WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK THROUGH THE 48 HOUR PERIOD AS A WEAKENING IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE DEVELOPS OVER THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE ARABIAN SEA. AFTERWARDS, TC 04A IS EXPECTED TO TRACK BACK TOWARDS THE WEST AS THEFORECAST PERIOD AS UNFAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED PAGE 05 RUHGSGG9596 UNCLAS TO INCREASE AFTER THIS PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z LOWER TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE BUILDS IN NORTH OF THE CYCLONE. TC 04A IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AND MAINTAIN THAT INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF ING PRIORITY RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 4919 BT UNCLAS SANTIAGO 004003 E.O. 12958: N/A TAGS: OTRA, TPHY, KSCA, EFIS, CI SUBJECT: COUNTRY CLEARANCE FOR WILLIAM COBB +3 REF: STATE 208429 (DTG 041921Z NOV 97) 1. EMBASSY SANTIAGO GRANTS COUNTRY CLEARANCE TO NOAA NATIONAL MARINE FISHERIES SERVICE REPRESENTATIVES WILLIAM COBB AND WAYNE TRIVELPIECE, ACCOMPANIED BY INVITATIONAL TRAVELERS JEREMY STERLING AND TERRY CARTEN, WHO WILL TRAVEL TO PUNTA ARENAS, CHILE ON OR ABOUT NOVEMBER 4 TO MARCH 7, 1998. THE PURPOSE OF THIS OFFICIAL VISIT IS TO PARTICIPATE IN ANTARCTIC ECO RESEARCH GROUP CRUISE/FIELD STUDIES. 2. ALL TRAVELERS WITH DIPLOMATIC OR OFFICIAL PASSPORTS REQUIRE A VISA TO ENTER CHILE. 3. BANCO EDWARDS AND AFEX HAVE MONEY EXCHANGE FACILITIES LOCATED ON THE GROUND FLOOR CUSTOMS AREAS AS YOU LEAVE THE AIRPORT. THERE ARE ALSO NUMEROUS AUTOMATED TELLER MACHINES LOCATED THROUGHOUT SANTIAGO, INCLUDING AT THE AIRPORT, WHICH ARE CONNECTED TO BOTH THE CIRRUS AND PLUS ATM NETWORKS. 4. BUSES FROM AIRPORT TO DOWNTOWN AREA LEAVE EVERY FIFTEEN MINUTES AND COST ABOUT 600 PESOS (1.50 US DOLLARS). AIRPORT TAXIS TO THE DOWNTOWN AREA COST ABOUT 8,000 PESOS (20.00 US DOLLARS). TAXIS ARE METERED. 5. CHILE'S CLIMATE IS PLEASANT. SEASONS ARE THE REVERSE OF THOSE IN THE U.S. YOUR VISIT WILL OCCUR IN THE SPRING. REGARDLESS OF THE SEASON, THE TEMPERATURE DROPS CONSIDERABLY AT NIGHT. 6. ALL AREAS OF SANTIAGO ARE AFFECTED BY A HIGH INDEX OF POLLUTION WHICH APPEARS AS A HEAVY SMOG IN THE WINTER AND DUST IN THE SUMMER. POLLUTION LEVELS RISE TO UNACCEPTABLE LEVELS (PM-10 LEVELS OF 240 MCG./M3) AN AVERAGE OF FIVE TO SIX TIMES PER YEAR. THE MAJOR HEALTH EFFECTS INCLUDE DIFFICULTIES WITH BREATHING, RESPIRATORY PROBLEMS AND AGGRAVATION OF EXISTING RESPIRATORY, CARDIOVASCULAR, ALLERGIC AND ASTHMATIC DISEASES. THIS IS PARTICULARLY TRUE FOR THE ELDERLY AND CHILDREN AND FOR THOSE WITH CONFIRMED ASTHMATIC AND ALLERGIC SYMPTOMS. THE MOST SEVERE POLLUTION OCCURS DURING THE MONTHS OF MAY TO OCTOBER. 7. VISITORS SHOULD BE AWARE OF THE CRIMINAL ENVIRONMENT IN SANTIAGO, WHICH IS RATED HIGH FOR U.S. GOVERNMENT EMPLOYEES. STREET CRIME, COMMON TO MANY SOUTH AMERICAN CITIES, IS A PROBLEM. ONE SHOULD BE PARTICULARLY ALERT IN THE DOWNTOWN AREA. 8. EMBASSY POINT OF CONTACT IS KIM KAMBOURIAN, ECONOMIC/ POLITICAL OFFICER, OFFICE NUMBER (56-2)-330-3399. GUERRA BT #4003 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 11 10:48:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626795-11078>; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 02:57:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA35130; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 12:19:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6948075 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 12:19:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA49870 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 12:18:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA19698 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 12:18:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711101818.MAA19698@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 12:18:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: be9094182d9d5a1b69ec2e514bc4f23e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 980 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/101800Z/111800Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/101351ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 101200Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WAS LOCATED AT 11.7N9 67.9E2 AND WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 03 (WTIO32 PGTW 101500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15N6 90E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17N8 90E9. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION FORMERLY ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) CONTINUES TO PERSIST IN THE NORTHERN BAY OF BENGAL. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EVIDENT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY HOWEVER THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS LOCATED TO THE EAST AND SOUTH OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS STILL EXPERIENCING MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/HALL/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 11 10:48:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625891-11076>; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 05:08:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA18284; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 14:16:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6949274 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 14:16:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA24924 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 14:16:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA20142 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 14:16:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711102016.OAA20142@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 14:16:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5fe11fdde610bc444b0d09103de9654e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 405 WTIO32 PGTW 102100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101800Z0 --- 12.1N4 67.6E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.1N4 67.6E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 12.7N0 66.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 13.1N5 64.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 13.6N0 63.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 14.1N6 62.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 14.9N4 60.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 102100Z4 POSITION 12.2N5 67.2E5 POSITION BASED ON 101832Z5 SATELLITE FIX FROM AIR FORCE GLOBAL WEATHER CENTRAL. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON A DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 3.0 (45 KNOTS). OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A HAS SHOWN AN INCREASE IN CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AS THE SYSTEM REMAINS IN AN AREA WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TC 04A IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS TRACK SLOWLY TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AS THE SYSTEM REMAINS IN A LOW WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9), 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z5), 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2) AND 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 11 11:15:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626530-6603>; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 11:14:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA45420; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 20:35:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6952143 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 20:35:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA18272 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 20:35:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA21504 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 20:35:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711110235.UAA21504@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 20:35:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c81be02b4dfff0731e84bbac6a3d032e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 396 WTIO32 PGTW 110300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- 12.3N6 66.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 070 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY EXTRAPOLATION AND SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.3N6 66.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 13.0N4 65.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 13.8N2 64.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 14.6N1 63.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 15.2N8 63.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 16.5N2 62.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION 12.5N8 66.5E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD IN THE CENTRAL ARABIAN SEA AND HAS INTENSIFIED. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 102200Z5 SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI3.0 (45 TO 50 KNOTS) AND THE PRESENCE OF A LARGE CDO FEATURE. THERE IS CONSIDERABLE DIVERGENCE AMONG OUR FORECAST AIDS AFTER 36 TO 48 HOURS. THE CLIMATOLOGICAL MODELS TRACK TC 04A WESTWARD TOWARD SOUTHERN OMAN WHEREAS THE OUR DYNAMIC AID, GFDN, SLOWLY RECURVES THE SYSTEM TO THE NORTHEAST. OUR FORECAST IS IN THE MIDDLE OF OUR OBJECTIVES AIDS ENVELOPE WITH A SLOW NORTHWARD TRACK INDICATED AFTER 48 HOURS. THE 101200Z4 NOGAPS MODEL RUN DEVELOPS A BROAD TROUGH OVER NORTHEAST AFRICA AND THE MIDDLE EAST AFTER 24 TO 36 HOURS WHICH APPEARS CONSISTENT WITH ANIMATION OF METEOSAT IMAGERY. HOWEVER, THE STRENGTH OF THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN ARABIAN SEA AND SAUDI ARABIA IS STILL IN QUESTION. HOWEVER, ALMOST ALL OF OUR FORECAST GUIDANCE AGREES ON GRADUALLY DECREASING THE FORWARD MOTION OF TC 04A. WE EXPECT TC 04A TO STEADILY INTENSIFY IN THE PRESENCE OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z5), 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2), 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8) AND 120300Z6 DTG 120151Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 11 15:29:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626603-6608>; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 12:15:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA29936; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 21:42:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6953026 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 21:42:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA27618 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 21:42:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA21745 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 21:42:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711110342.VAA21745@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 21:42:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: df858ec6120def5563acf50a3d6aa661 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 547 WTIO32 PGTW 110300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHGSGG9844 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- 12.3N6 66.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 070 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY EXTRAPOLATION AND SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.3N6 66.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 13.0N4 65.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG9844 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 13.8N2 64.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 14.6N1 63.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHGSGG9844 UNCLAS 130000Z4 --- 15.2N8 63.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 16.5N2 62.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION 12.5N8 66.5E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD IN THE CENTRAL ARABIAN SEA AND HAS INTENSIFIED. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 102200Z5 SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI3.0 (45 TO 50 KNOTS) AND THE PAGE 05 RUHGSGG9844 UNCLAS PRESENCE OF A LARGE CDO FEATURE. THERE IS CONSIDERABLE DIVERGENCE AMONG OUR FORECAST AIDS AFTER 36 TO 48 HOURS. THE CLIMATOLOGICAL MODELS TRACK TC 04A WESTWARD TOWARD SOUTHERN OMAN WHEREAS THE OUR DYNAMIC AID, GFDN, SLOWLY RECURVES THE SYSTEM TO THE NORTHEAST. OUR FORECAST IS IN THE MIDDLE OF OUR OBJECTIVES AIDS ENVELOPE WITH A SLOW NORTHWARD TRACK INDICATED AFTER 48 HOURS. THE 101200Z4 NOGAPS MODEL RUN DEVELOPS A BROAD TROUGH OVER NORTHEAST AFRICA AND THE MIDDLE EAST AFTER 24 TO 36 HOURS WHICH APPEARS CONSISTENT WITH ANIMATION OF METEOSAT IMAGERY. HOWEVER, THE STRENGTH OF THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN ARABIAN SEA AND SAUDI ARABIA IS STILL IN QUESTION. HOWEVER, ALMOST ALL OF OUR FORECAST GUIDANCE AGREES ON GRADUALLY DECREASING THE FORWARD MOTION OF TC 04A. WE EXPECT TC 04A TO STEADILY INTENSIFY IN THE PRESENCE OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z5), 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2), 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8) AND 120300Z6 DTG PAGE 06 RUHGSGG9844 UNCLAS 120151Z0).// BT #9844 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 11 16:37:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627149-6608>; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 16:13:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA46436; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 01:50:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6954863 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 01:50:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA28500 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 01:50:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA22538 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 01:50:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711110750.BAA22538@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Nov 1997 01:50:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b0c44b72da312c19e5868a2ef717cf54 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 419 WTIO32 PGTW 110900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- 12.6N9 66.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.6N9 66.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 13.3N7 65.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 14.0N5 64.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 14.7N2 64.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 15.5N1 63.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 16.8N5 63.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION 12.8N1 66.1E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK SLOWLY TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST WHILE INTENSIFYING. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND HAS DEVELOPED EXCELLENT POLEWARD OUTFLOW. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 110530Z0 KGWC SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T3.0 (45 TO 50 KNOTS) AND THE IMPRESSIVE BANDING FEATURES AS DEPICTED IN METEOSAT SATELLITE IMAGERY. SINCE SURFACE PRESSURES REMAIN RELATIVELY HIGH SURROUNDING THE SYSTEM, WE FEEL THAT THE PRESSURE GRADIENT IS SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT INTENSITIES SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN THAT INDICATED BY SATELLITE ESTIMATES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z8 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2), 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8), 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0) AND 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 12 02:09:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626583-6609>; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 16:37:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA47074; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 02:14:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6955021 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 02:14:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA09430 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 02:14:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA22595 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 02:14:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711110814.CAA22595@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Nov 1997 02:14:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b9c974c5dbda303e95a3844748d502d9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 822 WTIO32 PGTW 110900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHGSGG9907 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- 12.6N9 66.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.6N9 66.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 13.3N7 65.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG9907 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 14.0N5 64.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 14.7N2 64.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHGSGG9907 UNCLAS 130600Z0 --- 15.5N1 63.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 16.8N5 63.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION 12.8N1 66.1E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK SLOWLY TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST WHILE INTENSIFYING. SATELLITE IMAGERY PAGE 05 RUHGSGG9907 UNCLAS INDICATES THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND HAS DEVELOPED EXCELLENT POLEWARD OUTFLOW. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 110530Z0 KGWC SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T3.0 (45 TO 50 KNOTS) AND THE IMPRESSIVE BANDING FEATURES AS DEPICTED IN METEOSAT SATELLITE IMAGERY. SINCE SURFACE PRESSURES REMAIN RELATIVELY HIGH SURROUNDING THE SYSTEM, WE FEEL THAT THE PRESSURE GRADIENT IS SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT INTENSITIES SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN THAT INDICATED BY SATELLITE ESTIMATES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z8 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2), 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8), 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0) AND 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6).// BT #9907 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 12 02:09:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627404-6609>; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 23:42:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA34924; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 09:05:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6957634 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 09:05:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA30814 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 09:05:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA23849 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 09:05:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711111505.JAA23849@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Nov 1997 09:05:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c6f3ef58348ca9250c1932c7a7aa97bb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 338 WTIO32 PGTW 111500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHGSGG0075 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- 13.3N7 65.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.3N7 65.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 13.9N3 64.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG0075 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 14.5N0 63.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 15.2N8 62.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHGSGG0075 UNCLAS 131200Z7 --- 16.1N8 62.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 17.9N7 61.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION 13.4N8 65.0E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS AND SLOWLY INTENSIFYING. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO PAGE 05 RUHGSGG0075 UNCLAS BEGIN TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AFTER THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND DECREASE IN SPEED. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A REMAINS DIFFICULT TO POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8), 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0), 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6) AND 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3).// BT #0075 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 12 02:09:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627400-6607>; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 23:37:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA23062; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 09:16:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6957716 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 09:16:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA25818 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 09:15:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA23884 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 09:15:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711111515.JAA23884@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Nov 1997 09:15:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4e962c98c7d75e8d268f4ef5bd64ffb2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 593 WTIO32 PGTW 111500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- 13.3N7 65.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.3N7 65.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 13.9N3 64.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 14.5N0 63.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 15.2N8 62.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 16.1N8 62.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 17.9N7 61.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION 13.4N8 65.0E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS AND SLOWLY INTENSIFYING. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AFTER THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND DECREASE IN SPEED. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A REMAINS DIFFICULT TO POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8), 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0), 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6) AND 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 12 09:17:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627470-6609>; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 03:17:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA50442; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 12:47:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6960673 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 12:47:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA09946 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 12:46:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA24799 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 12:46:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711111846.MAA24799@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Nov 1997 12:46:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6dfd13b6b361e3b062449395a369e0be Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 040 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z/121800Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/111351ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 111200Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WAS LOCATED AT 13.3N7 65.3E4 AND WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 07 (WTIO32 PGTW 111500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17N8 90E9 AND IS NOW LOCATED OVER MYANMAR AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/SULLINS/LUNDSFORD/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 12 09:17:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627586-6608>; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 05:24:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA50990; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 14:44:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6962115 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 14:44:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA50210 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 14:44:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA25234 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 14:44:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711112044.OAA25234@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Nov 1997 14:44:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 46a36b6bb82585ad118e059b2dc27b3e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 118 WTIO32 PGTW 112100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 12 09:17:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626477-6609>; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 05:27:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA40788; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 14:55:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6962233 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 14:55:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA24886 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 14:55:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA25270 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 14:54:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711112054.OAA25270@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Nov 1997 14:54:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0e5abe6c9b52225fd94c3c3b2468d62c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 218 WTIO32 PGTW 112100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- 13.5N9 65.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N9 65.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 14.0N5 64.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 14.5N0 63.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 15.1N7 62.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 15.9N5 62.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 17.6N4 61.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION 13.6N0 64.8E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS IN THE ARABIAN SEA. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY THROUGH 36-HOURS AS IT TURNS TO THE NORTHWEST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A REMAINS RELATIVELY ORGANIZED BUT CONTINUES TO BE DIFFICULT TO POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0), 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6), 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3) AND 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 12 09:17:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627573-6603>; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 06:02:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA21426; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 15:12:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6962470 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 15:12:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA21320 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 15:11:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA25362 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 15:11:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711112111.PAA25362@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Nov 1997 15:11:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e3eb91fadcd52b101a44fb64a73a971e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 585 WTIO32 PGTW 112100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 008 PAGE 02 RUHGSGG0152 UNCLAS 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- 13.5N9 65.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N9 65.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 14.0N5 64.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM PAGE 03 RUHGSGG0152 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 14.5N0 63.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 15.1N7 62.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHGSGG0152 UNCLAS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 15.9N5 62.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 17.6N4 61.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION 13.6N0 64.8E8 PAGE 05 RUHGSGG0152 UNCLAS TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS IN THE ARABIAN SEA. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY THROUGH 36-HOURS AS IT TURNS TO THE NORTHWEST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A REMAINS RELATIVELY ORGANIZED BUT CONTINUES TO BE DIFFICULT TO POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0), 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6), 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3) AND 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9).// BT #0152 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 12 11:20:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626052-29168>; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 11:15:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA30816; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 20:28:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6965686 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 20:28:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA04580 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 20:27:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA26539 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 20:27:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711120227.UAA26539@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Nov 1997 20:27:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d460cad8917a8d1a8f3fda32c3422f12 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 629 WTIO32 PGTW 120300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- 13.7N1 64.5E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.7N1 64.5E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 14.3N8 63.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 14.9N4 63.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 15.5N1 62.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 16.1N8 62.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 17.6N4 62.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION 13.9N3 64.3E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS WHILE SLOWLY INTENSIFYING. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF CI 3.5 (55 TO 60 KNOTS) FROM BOTH KGWC AND KWBC SATELLITE ANALYSTS FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS, AND ALSO DUE TO THE SURROUNDING ABOVE NORMAL SURFACE PRESSURES. TC 04A CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND HAS DEVELOPED BOTH POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNELS. THERE IS MUCH LESS DIVERGENCE AMONG OUR OBJECTIVE FORECAST AIDS OUT THROUGH 36 HOURS AND THE LATEST GFDN MODEL RUN WAS VERY CLOSE TO OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST SO WE HAVE FOLLOWED THAT TRACK CLOSELY. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO WHETHER OR NOT TC 04A WILL RECURVE LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE 111200Z5 NOGAPS MODEL RUN CONTINUES TO FORECAST VERY WEAK SOUTHWESTERLY MID- AND UPPER-LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ARABIAN SEA THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. AS A RESULT, WE HAVE FOLLOWED OUR CLIMATOLOGY MODELS CLOSELY FOR THE TRACK SPEED. THE GFDN AND FBAM MODELS TRACK TC 04A RAPIDLY NORTHEASTWARD FROM OUR 48 HOUR FORECAST POSITION WHICH WE FEEL IS A LITTLE TOO EARLY AT THIS TIME GIVEN THE WEAK ENVIRONMENTAL FLOW ACROSS THE ARABIAN SEA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z3 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR DDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6), 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3), 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9) AND 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 13 02:33:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626138-29170>; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 11:55:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA21402; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 21:21:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6966211 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 21:21:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA18312 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 21:20:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA26747 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 21:20:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711120320.VAA26747@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Nov 1997 21:20:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2dab76d26a44cf3750b6cc43fed42b95 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 512 WTIO32 PGTW 120300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- 13.7N1 64.5E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.7N1 64.5E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 14.3N8 63.8E7 PAGE 03 RUHGSGG0232 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 14.9N4 63.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 15.5N1 62.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG0232 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 16.1N8 62.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 17.6N4 62.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- PAGE 05 RUHGSGG0232 UNCLAS REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION 13.9N3 64.3E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS WHILE SLOWLY INTENSIFYING. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF CI 3.5 (55 TO 60 KNOTS) FROM BOTH KGWC AND KWBC SATELLITE ANALYSTS FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS, AND ALSO DUE TO THE SURROUNDING ABOVE NORMAL SURFACE PRESSURES. TC 04A CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND HAS DEVELOPED BOTH POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNELS. THERE IS MUCH LESS DIVERGENCE AMONG OUR OBJECTIVE FORECAST AIDS OUT THROUGH 36 HOURS AND THE LATEST GFDN MODEL RUN WAS VERY CLOSE TO OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST SO WE HAVE FOLLOWED THAT TRACK CLOSELY. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO WHETHER OR NOT TC 04A WILL RECURVE LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE 111200Z5 NOGAPS MODEL RUN CONTINUES TO FORECAST VERY WEAK SOUTHWESTERLY MID- AND UPPER-LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ARABIAN SEA THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. AS A RESULT, WE HAVE FOLLOWED OUR CLIMATOLOGY MODELS CLOSELY FOR THE TRACK SPEED. THE GFDN PAGE 06 RUHGSGG0232 UNCLAS AND FBAM MODELS TRACK TC 04A RAPIDLY NORTHEASTWARD FROM OUR 48 HOUR FORECAST POSITION WHICH WE FEEL IS A LITTLE TOO EARLY AT THIS TIME GIVEN THE WEAK ENVIRONMENTAL FLOW ACROSS THE ARABIAN SEA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z3 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR DDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6), 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3), 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9) AND 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1).// BT #0232 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 13 02:33:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626761-29167>; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 16:43:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA40566; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 02:29:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6968929 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 02:29:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA31338 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 02:29:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA27665 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 02:29:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711120829.CAA27665@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Nov 1997 02:29:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 41e1cc302b54cd9196da6721b7792b52 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 435 WTIO32 PGTW 120900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- 14.1N6 64.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N6 64.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 14.8N3 63.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 15.5N1 62.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 16.2N9 62.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 17.0N8 62.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 18.0N9 61.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION 14.3N8 64.1E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A HAS TRACKED SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD AND HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TC 04A NOW HAS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 120530Z1 SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI 3.5 (55 TO 60 KNOTS) AND THE SHEAR PATTERN. NOW THAT TC 04A IS EXPERIENCING SOME SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR, WE ARE HOLDING THE INTENSITY STEADY THROUGH 36 HOURS WITH SLOW WEAKENING AFTER THAT. THERE IS A MODERATE PROBABILITY ALTERNATE SCENARIO THAT TC 04A WILL SHEAR APART BEFORE THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD, IN WHICH CASE THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WOULD MOVE MORE WESTWARD AND WEAKEN WITHOUT ANY DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH IT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z9 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3), 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9), 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1) AND 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 13 02:33:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626813-29167>; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 17:25:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA31352; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 03:02:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6968999 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 03:02:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA47210 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 03:02:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA27891 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 03:02:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711120902.DAA27891@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Nov 1997 03:02:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6c7651e2cbb119d1e7c259800649ff53 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 879 WTIO32 PGTW 120900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- 14.1N6 64.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N6 64.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 14.8N3 63.5E4 PAGE 03 RUHGSGG0403 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 15.5N1 62.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 16.2N9 62.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG0403 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 17.0N8 62.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 18.0N9 61.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION 14.3N8 64.1E1 PAGE 05 RUHGSGG0403 UNCLAS TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A HAS TRACKED SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD AND HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TC 04A NOW HAS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 120530Z1 SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI 3.5 (55 TO 60 KNOTS) AND THE SHEAR PATTERN. NOW THAT TC 04A IS EXPERIENCING SOME SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR, WE ARE HOLDING THE INTENSITY STEADY THROUGH 36 HOURS WITH SLOW WEAKENING AFTER THAT. THERE IS A MODERATE PROBABILITY ALTERNATE SCENARIO THAT TC 04A WILL SHEAR APART BEFORE THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD, IN WHICH CASE THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WOULD MOVE MORE WESTWARD AND WEAKEN WITHOUT ANY DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH IT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z9 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3), 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9), 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1) AND 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7).// BT #0403 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 13 02:33:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626981-25629>; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 23:29:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA18298; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 09:04:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6971793 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 09:04:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA44390 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 09:04:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA28908 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 09:04:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711121504.JAA28908@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Nov 1997 09:04:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d447f0e62b994c160616b7357ef851bf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 705 WTIO32 PGTW 121500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z6 --- 14.6N1 64.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.6N1 64.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 15.4N0 63.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 16.2N9 63.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 17.0N8 63.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 17.6N4 62.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 18.9N8 62.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 121500Z9 POSITION 14.8N3 64.1E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO EXPERIENCE SHEAR AND PRESENTS AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL WITH PRIMARY CONVECTION DISPLACED APPROXIMATELY 35NM TO THE EAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9), 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1), 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7) AND 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 13 10:08:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626417-25627>; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 04:26:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA38926; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 13:39:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6975467 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 13:39:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA31232 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 13:39:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA00111 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 13:39:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711121939.NAA00111@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Nov 1997 13:39:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 265fce9cbbcedab5d9e6dfd4cc62baeb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 922 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/121800Z/131800Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/121351ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 121200Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WAS LOCATED AT 14.6N1 64.2E2 AND WAS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 11 (WTIO32 PGTW 121500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/SULLINS/LUNDSFORD/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 13 10:08:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627367-25630>; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 05:38:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA32542; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 14:45:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6976237 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 14:45:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA37394 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 14:45:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA00389 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 14:45:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711122045.OAA00389@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Nov 1997 14:45:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ae8cbfbcd39c66855222fa2426939a80 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 988 WTIO32 PGTW 122100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- 14.9N4 63.9E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.9N4 63.9E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 15.8N4 63.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 16.4N1 63.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 17.0N8 63.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 17.6N4 63.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 18.9N8 62.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION 15.1N7 63.8E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS AND IS WEAKENING. THE CURRENT LOCATION IS BASED ON 121601Z1 AND 121801Z3 MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASSES. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EXPOSED WITH THE CONVECTIVE CLOUD MASS DISPLACED APPROXIMATELY 50NM TO THE EAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1), 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7), 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4) AND 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 13 10:08:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627445-25623>; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 06:07:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA28938; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 15:07:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6976495 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 15:07:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA50406 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 15:07:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA00482 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 15:07:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711122107.PAA00482@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Nov 1997 15:07:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3123e4e2d43066c0ef79ddaecaef205c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 294 WTIO32 PGTW 122100 PAGE 02 RUHGSGG0620 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- 14.9N4 63.9E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.9N4 63.9E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 15.8N4 63.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG0620 UNCLAS 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 16.4N1 63.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 17.0N8 63.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: PAGE 04 RUHGSGG0620 UNCLAS 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 17.6N4 63.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 18.9N8 62.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION 15.1N7 63.8E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS AND IS WEAKENING. THE CURRENT LOCATION IS BASED ON 121601Z1 AND 121801Z3 MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASSES. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EXPOSED WITH THE CONVECTIVE CLOUD MASS PAGE 05 RUHGSGG0620 UNCLAS DISPLACED APPROXIMATELY 50NM TO THE EAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1), 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7), 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4) AND 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0).// BT #0620 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 13 11:41:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626273-16248>; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 10:20:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA42860; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 19:40:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6979771 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 19:40:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA33376 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 19:40:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA01562 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 19:40:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711130140.TAA01562@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Nov 1997 19:40:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0c868dffc9d2c69f7a351e11cf266635 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 637 WTIO32 PGTW 130300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- 15.0N6 63.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.0N6 63.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 15.6N2 63.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 16.2N9 63.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 16.7N4 62.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION 15.2N8 63.5E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A IS SLOWLY MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 122330Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ACROSS THE SYSTEM CENTER. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AS IT TRACKS SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD AND DISSIPATES OVER THE WATER BY 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3 (DTG 130753Z9), 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4), 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0) AND 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2). // +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 13 11:41:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626393-16253>; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 10:47:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA40338; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 20:15:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6980083 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 20:15:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA13190 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 20:15:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA01735 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 20:15:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711130215.UAA01735@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Nov 1997 20:15:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b122c7e27e40d8c4b7315a9c9b9a4b3c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 279 WTIO32 PGTW 130300 PAGE 02 RUHGSGG0699 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- 15.0N6 63.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.0N6 63.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 15.6N2 63.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER PAGE 03 RUHGSGG0699 UNCLAS WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 16.2N9 63.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 16.7N4 62.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION 15.2N8 63.5E4 PAGE 04 RUHGSGG0699 UNCLAS TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A IS SLOWLY MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 122330Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ACROSS THE SYSTEM CENTER. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AS IT TRACKS SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD AND DISSIPATES OVER THE WATER BY 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7), 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4), 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0) AND 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2). // BT #0699 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 13 19:23:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627621-16253>; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 16:57:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA28228; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 02:37:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6983103 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 02:37:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA48696 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 02:36:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA02877 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 02:36:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711130836.CAA02877@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Nov 1997 02:36:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 49d9b6e3ee69554ec26405e0e7bb70f2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 892 WTIO32 PGTW 130900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- 15.1N7 63.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N7 63.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 15.6N2 63.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 16.1N8 63.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION 15.2N8 63.4E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT DRIFTS NORTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS. VERTICAL SHEAR CONTINUES OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER, ALTHOUGH CONVECTION HAS BEEN OCCASIONALLY REDEVELOPING. THE WARNING POSITION WAS BASED UPON A 130441Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE FROM KGWC ANALYSTS. THE WARNING INTENSITY WAS BASED ON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS BY KGWC ANALYSTS AND CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE SYSTEM SHOULD DISSIPATE OVER THE WATER IN 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4), 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0) AND 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 13 19:23:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627640-16252>; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 17:18:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA35132; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 02:48:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6983202 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 02:48:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA16688 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 02:48:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA02907 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 02:48:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711130848.CAA02907@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Nov 1997 02:48:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 543f9f5a514ac3f61b4f017a4605a26e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 017 WTIO32 PGTW 130900 PAGE 02 RUHGSGG0889 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- 15.1N7 63.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N7 63.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 15.6N2 63.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER PAGE 03 RUHGSGG0889 UNCLAS WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 16.1N8 63.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION 15.2N8 63.4E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT DRIFTS NORTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS. VERTICAL SHEAR CONTINUES OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER, ALTHOUGH CONVECTION HAS BEEN OCCASIONALLY REDEVELOPING. THE WARNING POSITION WAS BASED UPON A 130441Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE FROM KGWC ANALYSTS. THE WARNING INTENSITY WAS BASED ON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS BY KGWC ANALYSTS AND CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE SYSTEM SHOULD DISSIPATE OVER THE WATER IN 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG0889 UNCLAS 130600Z0 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4), 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0) AND 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2).// BT #0889 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 14 11:19:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627032-16252>; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 23:29:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA25192; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 08:47:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6984944 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 08:47:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA10066 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 08:47:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA04021 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 08:47:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711131447.IAA04021@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Nov 1997 08:47:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: de8c11ada8761b91a2c975d708c662f3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 275 WTIO32 PGTW 131500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 015 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- 14.9N4 62.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.9N4 62.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 15.2N8 61.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 15.6N2 60.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION 15.0N6 61.9E6 ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM AIR FORCE GLOBAL WEATHER CENTRAL INDICATES THE PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A IS NOW LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 50 NM TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE MAIN CONVECTION. THE CYCLONE HAS BEEN EXPERIENCING STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN AN AREA OF STRONG WIND SHEAR THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TC04A IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z7 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0), 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2) AND 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 14 11:19:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627039-16253>; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 23:42:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA39980; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 09:21:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6985312 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 09:21:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA40222 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 09:21:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA04146 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 09:21:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711131521.JAA04146@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Nov 1997 09:21:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 313754dfbb25d3a2d242644fbde43b83 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 971 WTIO32 PGTW 131500 PAGE 02 RUHGSGG1067 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 015 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- 14.9N4 62.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.9N4 62.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 15.2N8 61.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER PAGE 03 RUHGSGG1067 UNCLAS WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 15.6N2 60.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION 15.0N6 61.9E6 ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM AIR FORCE GLOBAL WEATHER CENTRAL INDICATES THE PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A IS NOW LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 50 NM TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE MAIN CONVECTION. THE CYCLONE HAS BEEN EXPERIENCING STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN AN AREA OF STRONG WIND SHEAR THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TC04A IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG1067 UNCLAS AT 131200Z7 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0), 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2) AND 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8).// BT #1067 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 14 11:19:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626351-16252>; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 03:53:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA09534; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 13:25:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6988707 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 13:25:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA12332 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 13:25:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA05044 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 13:25:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711131925.NAA05044@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Nov 1997 13:25:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2a53aeee2ac7a7ee81c8608772a434b5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 043 ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/131800Z/141800Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/131351ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: ?(1) AT 131200Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WAS LOCATED AT 14.9N4 62.2E0 AND WAS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 15 (WTIO32 PGTW 131500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: ?(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 12N3 088E6. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WEAK CIRCULATION IS PRESENT IN AN AREA OF TROUGHING LOCATED IN THE BAY OF BENGAL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. ?(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/HALL/JONES// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG11553171751 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 14 11:19:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627702-16248>; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 04:52:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA42562; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 14:25:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6989957 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 14:25:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA04398 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 14:25:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA05271 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 14:25:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711132025.OAA05271@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Nov 1997 14:25:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 241814f591b19a477b011405908aee5a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 050 WTIO32 PGTW 132100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- 14.3N8 61.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.3N8 61.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 14.3N8 60.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 14.3N8 59.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION 14.3N8 61.0E7 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM AIR FORCE GLOBAL WEATHER CENTRAL INDICATES TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A HAS A CURRENT INTENSITY OF 30 KNOTS AS THE CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER 100 NM FROM THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2), 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8) AND 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 14 11:19:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627702-16253>; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 05:43:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA10320; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 15:13:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6990628 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 15:13:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA10298 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 15:13:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA05488 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 15:13:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711132113.PAA05488@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Nov 1997 15:13:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b515d683015c94cbfc5fd26ad380a4aa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 731 WTIO32 PGTW 132100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- 14.3N8 61.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.3N8 61.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 14.3N8 60.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 14.3N8 59.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION 14.3N8 61.0E7 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM AIR FORCE GLOBAL WEATHER CENTRAL INDICATES TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A HAS A CURRENT INTENSITY OF 30 KNOTS AS THE CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER 100 NM FROM THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2), 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8) AND 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG11843171951 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 14 11:19:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626443-12517>; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 09:43:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA19586; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 19:21:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6993151 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 19:21:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA29046 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 19:21:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA06569 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 19:21:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711140121.TAA06569@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Nov 1997 19:21:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: df90bf17c088ec7cffb485b5aea7df23 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 364 WTIO32 PGTW 140300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- 13.8N2 60.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.8N2 60.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 13.3N7 59.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION 13.7N1 60.1E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS AND IT CONTINUES TO WEAKEN. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 132333Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE FROM KGWC ANALYSTS. THE SYSTEM WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE WATER IN THE NEXT 06 TO 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 14 11:19:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626430-12513>; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 10:18:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA37010; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 19:48:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6993360 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 19:48:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA29058 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 19:48:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA06655 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 19:48:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711140148.TAA06655@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Nov 1997 19:48:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c83e6443f560375b6f989ec2f9a2ae15 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 044 WTIO32 PGTW 140300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHGSGG1292 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- 13.8N2 60.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.8N2 60.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 13.3N7 59.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG1292 UNCLAS 140300Z8 POSITION 13.7N1 60.1E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS AND IT CONTINUES TO WEAKEN. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 132333Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE FROM KGWC ANALYSTS. THE SYSTEM WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE WATER IN THE NEXT 06 TO 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// BT #1292 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627314-12518>; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 05:26:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA28362; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 14:45:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7001277 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 14:45:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA28306 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 14:44:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA10728 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 14:44:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711142044.OAA10728@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Nov 1997 14:44:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a3f468e5dc2bde6c7e5a2116c9a92f41 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 553 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/140151ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140000Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WAS LOCATED AT 13.8N2 60.4E0 AND WAS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000MB. SEE REF A, (TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A FINAL WARNING NR 17 WTIO32 PGTW 140300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THIS SYSTEM IS LONGER A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 12N3 084E2. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THE WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION LOCATED IN THE BAY OF BENGAL HAS PERSISTED. HOWEVER, THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CIRCULATION REMAINS DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/HALL/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627323-12516>; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 05:35:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA42774; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 14:45:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7001284 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 14:45:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA22760 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 14:45:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA10747 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 14:45:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711142045.OAA10747@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Nov 1997 14:45:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0bbcf74a7229e66075bab65f7f5648ca Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 554 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/140151ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140000Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WAS LOCATED AT 13.8N2 60.4E0 AND WAS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000MB. SEE REF A, (TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A FINAL WARNING NR 17 WTIO32 PGTW 140300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THIS SYSTEM IS LONGER A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 12N3 084E2. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THE WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION LOCATED IN THE BAY OF BENGAL HAS PERSISTED. HOWEVER, THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CIRCULATION REMAINS DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/HALL/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627374-15661>; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 02:50:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA37490; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 12:30:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7007077 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 12:30:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA26464 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 12:30:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA14915 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 12:30:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711151830.MAA14915@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Nov 1997 12:30:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a103f7fa83f36018f1d5beb66b362a6f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 382 ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/151800Z/161800Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/151351Z NOV97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.ON3 84.0E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.6N8 83.1E2. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 151350Z5 MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM,I) PASS INDICATE AN ASSOCIATED WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE CONVECTION REMAINS DISORGANIZED DUE TO UPPER-LEVEL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/SULLINS/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626254-11525>; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 08:19:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA09984; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 17:56:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7008244 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 17:56:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA33490 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 17:56:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA16009 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 17:56:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711152356.RAA16009@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Nov 1997 17:56:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8811bb60e97d3b017da715cc08305109 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 008 ABIO10 PGTW 152300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/152300Z/161800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.6N8 83.1E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.9N1 82.5E5 AND HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WELL-DEFINED LOW- LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXISTS BENEATH UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND MORE CENTRALIZED WHILE ANIMATED IMAGERY INDICATES WEAK CYCLONIC TURNING OF THE CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUANCE: REMOVE MENTION OF REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/151351Z NOV 97// SINCE TC 04A HAS ALREADY DISSIPATED AND TO UPGRADE POOR SUSPECT AREA TO FAIR SUSPECT AREA IN PARAGRAPH 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630886-11525>; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 05:19:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA25260; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 14:55:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7014306 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 14:55:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA20262 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 14:54:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA19820 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 14:54:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711162054.OAA19820@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Nov 1997 14:54:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 17d5138812f163510a44d8050d98910a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 114 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 82E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13N4 81E9. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 161511Z5 MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE CONVECTION HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PASS SIX HOURS DUE TO AN INCREASE IN THE UPPER- LEVEL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/SULLINS/LUNDSFORD/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630867-11534>; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 05:15:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA32044; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 14:56:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7014321 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 14:56:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA20250 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 14:56:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA19837 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 14:56:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711162056.OAA19837@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Nov 1997 14:56:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 480d44a955cb47cde842ff2eef5dbae0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 125 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 82E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13N4 81E9. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 161511Z5 MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE CONVECTION HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PASS SIX HOURS DUE TO AN INCREASE IN THE UPPER- LEVEL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/SULLINS/LUNDSFORD/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 18 11:01:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626956-7996>; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 03:04:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA34934; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 12:14:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7023727 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 12:14:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA45664 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 12:14:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA24061 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 12:14:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711171814.MAA24061@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Nov 1997 12:14:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: eecc9cba382f1b1b280d168a8c6d532c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 020 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171800Z/181800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 81E9 HAS DISSIPATED. THE ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS MOVED INLAND NEAR TAMIL INDIA. REMAINING SCATTERED CONVECTION IS EXPERIENCING UPPER- LEVEL WIND SHEAR. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/SULLINS/LUNSFORD/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 19 14:58:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627575-18906>; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 04:26:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA37542; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 13:47:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7036725 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 13:47:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA50298 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 13:47:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA29346 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 13:47:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711181947.NAA29346@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Nov 1997 13:47:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b920c904fe4b058f751d270659ee9c77 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 055 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/191800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/HATFIELD/MC CULLOCH/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 20 13:50:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627463-14097>; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 01:56:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA39070; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 11:17:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7046863 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 11:17:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA19852 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 11:17:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA04026 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 11:17:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711191717.LAA04026@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Nov 1997 11:17:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 33ca4b725d1b62100fab4bb1479d97d6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 866 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/HATFIELD/MC CULLOCH/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 21 14:48:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627133-17898>; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 02:46:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA14740; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 11:59:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7058848 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 11:59:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA30964 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 11:58:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA09340 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 11:58:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711201758.LAA09340@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Nov 1997 11:58:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 18f9d79ead9476989fa24aefa154d017 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 924 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/SULLINS/LUNSFORD/HOOVER/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 22 10:39:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626815-16579>; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 04:39:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA39504; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 13:56:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7072268 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 13:56:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA40232 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 13:56:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA14758 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 13:56:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711211956.NAA14758@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Nov 1997 13:56:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b8decdeee27d6cbac796de5c8b393d1d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 456 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYD/BOYER/LUNSFORD/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 24 08:43:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627089-23651>; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 02:31:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA26464; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 11:51:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7078757 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 11:51:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA32850 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 11:50:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA19112 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 11:50:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711221750.LAA19112@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Nov 1997 11:50:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fbc06cd1ddda15fc623392766d9ad31e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 392 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z/231800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 24 08:43:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627048-23651>; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 02:44:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA40114; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 11:55:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7078782 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 11:55:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA36770 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 11:55:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA19132 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 11:55:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711221755.LAA19132@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Nov 1997 11:55:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@lib.siu.edu Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: O Coast Of To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: be5d480f4951adade1b8f635e6068b46 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 455 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WESOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST T O COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMAR: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 24 08:44:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626706-19542>; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 19:46:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA49038; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 05:25:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7083094 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 05:25:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA46988 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 05:19:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA21089 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 22:02:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711230402.WAA21089@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Nov 1997 22:02:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7085fc60a25440f1848913e2fb63e61f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 548 ABIO10 PGTW 230400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/230400Z/231800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 09N9 074E1. 222128Z7 INFRARED POLAR ORBITING SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR THE SOUTHERN TIP OF INDIA. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR APPROXIMATELY 12 HOURS. SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA HAS MIGRATED OFF THE WESTERN COAST OF INDIA INTO THE ARABIAN SEA AND IS NOW LOCATED NEAR THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUANCE: ADD SUSPECT AREA IN PARAGRAPH 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/MCCULLOCH/HALL/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 24 08:44:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627629-19550>; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 03:55:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA40106; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 13:17:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7086042 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 13:17:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA21656 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 13:17:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA23735 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 12:00:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711231800.MAA23735@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Nov 1997 12:00:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 41af94c1078b043b0cb7a6372e698809 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 508 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/241800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 09N9 074E1 HAS REDEVELOPED FURTHER SOUTHEAST NEAR 07N7 077E4. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER NEAR THE SOUTHERN TIP OF INDIA. ALTHOUGH THE CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED IN THIS GENERAL REGION FOR OVER 24 HOURS, IT STILL REMAINS DISORGANIZED. SYNOPTIC DATA CONTINUES TO INDICATE A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WHICH IS LOCATED NEAR THE SOUTHWEST TIP OF INDIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 25 09:15:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626507-5780>; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 02:33:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA30586; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 11:47:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7094913 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 11:47:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA48926 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 11:46:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA28043 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 11:46:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711241746.LAA28043@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Nov 1997 11:46:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b2a2f557cad0f1cbbfa4559ec3ed4096 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 427 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 07N7 77E4 HAS REFORMED NEAR 07N7 72E9. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE A BROAD REGION OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED OFF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF INDIA IN THE ARABIAN SEA. THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN DEVELOPING OVER THE SAME GENERAL REGION FOR THE PAST 48 HOURS. HOWEVER, THE CONVECTION STILL REMAINS DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 26 09:46:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628066-29652>; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 03:46:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA36826; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 13:05:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7106381 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 13:05:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA09822 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 13:04:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA03266 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 13:04:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711251904.NAA03266@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Nov 1997 13:04:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d8a684f8f16837a4e7520b3d438fb8f5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 509 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 07N7 72E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 69E5. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A BROAD AREA OF DISORGANIZED CONVECTION. A 251330Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS AND SPARSE SYNOPTIC DATA SUPPORT A WEAK LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 9N9 70E7. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOUR REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/SULLINS/EIBLING/DOBBINS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 27 13:48:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628137-21040>; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 03:18:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA16602; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 12:43:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7118184 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 12:43:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA40886 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 12:43:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA08461 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 12:43:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711261843.MAA08461@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Nov 1997 12:43:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fd0ee7a7d5f6cd2ffb2c2f40484c9f0f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 556 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 69E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 69E0. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THIS AREA OF CONVECTION REMAINS DISORGANIZED. NUMEROUS SHIP REPORTS SUPPORT A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER SOUTH OF THE CONVECTION NEAR 8N8 69E5. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOUR REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/SULLINS/EIBLING/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 27 13:48:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626086-21030>; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 04:11:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA40064; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 13:31:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7118975 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 13:31:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA28180 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 13:31:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA08624 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 13:31:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711261931.NAA08624@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Nov 1997 13:31:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 406e6f263e626db89db12377fd521eb4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 312 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 69E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 69E5. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THIS AREA OF CONVECTION REMAINS DISORGANIZED. NUMEROUS SHIP REPORTS SUPPORT A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 8N8 69E5. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOUR REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/SULLINS/EIBLING/TIRSCHEL// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 27 13:48:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628149-21040>; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 04:08:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA30484; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 13:34:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7119012 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 13:34:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA30468 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 13:34:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA08639 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 13:34:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711261934.NAA08639@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Nov 1997 13:34:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fed81e170aa87d289bf0e80a3742c5a1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 396 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 69E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 69E5. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THIS AREA OF CONVECTION REMAINS DISORGANIZED. NUMEROUS SHIP REPORTS SUPPORT A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 8N8 69E5. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOUR REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/SULLINS/EIBLING/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 28 09:06:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627355-15096>; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 05:28:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA09654; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 14:56:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7127928 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 14:56:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA40102 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 14:56:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA13326 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 14:56:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711272056.OAA13326@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Nov 1997 14:56:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1d8a1a2799236ae4ac7085c6447904cc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 550 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 11N2 69E5 HAS NOT MOVED. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE A BROAD AREA OF GENERALLY DISORGANIZED CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOUR REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 29 09:27:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627073-1526>; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 02:10:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA09610; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 11:29:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7132769 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 11:29:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA42622 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 11:29:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA17015 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 11:29:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711281729.LAA17015@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Nov 1997 11:29:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ddd757e691dc23ac7b615accba5f7946 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 689 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/281800Z/291800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 69E5 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 1 02:41:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627138-24971>; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 02:24:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA28344; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 12:00:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7139732 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 12:00:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA13064 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 11:59:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA21496 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 11:59:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711291759.LAA21496@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Nov 1997 11:59:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3498addc656c6512e99c7447e8f9a63b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 534 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/291800Z/301800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/SULLINS/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 1 02:41:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625887-3088>; Mon, 1 Dec 1997 02:17:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA25292; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 11:54:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7146883 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 11:54:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA48550 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 11:54:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA25843 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 11:54:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711301754.LAA25843@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Nov 1997 11:54:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 22c0a2dbaf8c9949132db55ad4a972a9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 561 ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/301800Z NOV TO 011800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/SULLINS/EIBLING/DOBBINS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 2 09:12:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626760-12264>; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 02:36:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA36896; Mon, 1 Dec 1997 11:53:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7160031 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 1 Dec 1997 11:53:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA39400 for ; Mon, 1 Dec 1997 11:53:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA00506 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 1 Dec 1997 11:53:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712011753.LAA00506@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 1 Dec 1997 11:53:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 41f22cb47e76d8cac49a48aef2a53d85 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 430 ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/011800Z/021800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/SULLINS/EIBLING/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 4 11:35:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627121-21710>; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 02:05:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA21602; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 11:34:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7184569 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 11:34:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA26578 for ; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 11:34:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA06325 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 11:33:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712031733.LAA06325@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Dec 1997 11:33:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1b6837cf7edbc656a65530cb4c5ea3ab Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 412 ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/031800Z/041800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/MCCULLOCH/HALL/JONES// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 4 11:35:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627130-21708>; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 02:08:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA28510; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 11:33:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7184547 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 11:33:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA26448 for ; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 11:33:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA06322 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 11:33:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712031733.LAA06322@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Dec 1997 11:33:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 50a5b36449f7495f8273e1f2e7236f60 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 411 ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/031800Z/041800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH R)P.9OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 4 11:35:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627121-21708>; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 02:40:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA15664; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 12:06:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7184939 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 12:06:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA30944 for ; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 12:05:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA06465 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 12:05:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712031805.MAA06465@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Dec 1997 12:05:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2ce2c9cf620d0ca14385de5e44889e1a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 921 ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/031800Z/041800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/MCCULLOCH/HALL/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 4 11:35:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627139-21704>; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 03:03:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA34272; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 12:13:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7185046 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 12:13:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA26560 for ; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 12:13:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA06491 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 12:13:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712031813.MAA06491@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Dec 1997 12:13:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 99842f638e8a3ed2bf6642203fe16506 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 159 ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WESTHGU// 9 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/031800Z/041800Z DEN TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/MCCULLOCH/HALL/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 5 09:35:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627301-15767>; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 02:14:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA28830; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 11:42:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7197688 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 11:42:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA52520 for ; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 11:41:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA13291 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 11:41:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712041741.LAA13291@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Dec 1997 11:41:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f96fbf97fe41e660ed29db2e37955e94 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 803 ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/041800Z/051800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/SULLINS/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 7 12:58:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627142-13578>; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 01:30:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA36000; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 10:56:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7208050 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 10:56:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA53890 for ; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 10:55:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA18308 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 10:55:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712051655.KAA18308@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Dec 1997 10:55:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9d5e8604ad3051ad213e14d00b069e84 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 650 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/051800Z/061800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/SULLINS/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 7 13:00:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625914-1586>; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 08:19:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA38574; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 17:45:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7212315 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 17:45:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA43752 for ; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 17:44:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA03833 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 17:44:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712052344.RAA03833@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Dec 1997 17:44:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 594f077eeff4577aa5e6f556fa072f30 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 388 ABIO10 PGTW 052330 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/052330Z/061800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 9N 64E. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR AT LEAST 18 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THAT THERE IS A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTION. HOWEVER, SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ACROSS THIS DISTURBANCE. THIS, ALONG WITH RELATIVELY HIGH PRESSURES ACROSS THE REGION SHOULD INHIBIT ANY DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 7 13:02:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627391-1588>; Sun, 7 Dec 1997 02:13:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA61682; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 11:54:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7219303 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 11:54:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA61574 for ; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 11:53:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA07460 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 11:53:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712061753.LAA07460@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Dec 1997 11:53:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 90d418aad5c07a02802145318c210cf2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 376 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800Z/071800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 64E0 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE ARABIAN SEA WHERE A WEAK SURFACE CIRCULATION WAS PREVIOUSLY LOCATED. SYNOPTIC DATA SHOWS AN ELONGATED AREA OF CONVERGENCE FROM 8N8 53E8 TO 10N1 70E7 ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/MCCULLOCH/HALL/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 9 08:31:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627471-16041>; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 02:27:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA37654; Mon, 8 Dec 1997 11:56:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7236211 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 8 Dec 1997 11:56:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA29642 for ; Mon, 8 Dec 1997 11:56:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA16417 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Dec 1997 11:56:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712081756.LAA16417@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Dec 1997 11:56:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2c2dccd7c6b05acaaa8ebcb2c18fb43e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 716 ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/081800Z/091800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/MCCULLOCH/HALL/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 10 12:08:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626544-9276>; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 02:12:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA35996; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 11:46:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7249909 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 11:46:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA19856 for ; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 11:46:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA21152 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 11:45:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712091745.LAA21152@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Dec 1997 11:45:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bba6cdc131dfeaa09f15b25a424abc40 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 950 ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/091800Z/101800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626317-3010>; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 05:15:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA37702; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 14:42:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7266265 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 14:42:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA23610 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 14:38:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA26425 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 14:38:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712102038.OAA26425@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Dec 1997 14:38:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f0578c1489c9fe177f540221de33e8d9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 096 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/101800Z/111800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627018-29770>; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 02:55:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA54120; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 12:12:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7280882 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 12:12:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA32080 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 12:12:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA28290 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 12:12:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712111812.MAA28290@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Dec 1997 12:12:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 456f06e51c5079da8e5b9145550cd1b0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 557 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z/121800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/MCCULLOCH/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627644-29771>; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 03:34:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA44606; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 12:58:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7281685 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 12:58:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA61740 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 12:58:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA28489 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 12:58:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712111858.MAA28489@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Dec 1997 12:58:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Uth Indian Ocean Area (135e9 West To Coast Of To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cef2c6518dc737492ae4563b7742cad2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 569 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMOS UTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTUR BUARG MARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627874-24171>; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 03:02:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA10250; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 12:36:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7294631 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 12:36:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA20752 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 11:56:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA00323 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 11:56:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712121756.LAA00323@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Dec 1997 11:56:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ad836cfe2259b3df0b07ebd40acf53b8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 324 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/121800Z/131800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 12S3 54E9. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA IS LIMITED, HOWEVER, SURROUNDING SHIP REPORTS INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS PRESENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/MCCULLOCH/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627881-24176>; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 03:01:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA10464; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 12:16:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7294374 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 12:16:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA44552 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 12:05:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA00337 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 12:05:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712121805.MAA00337@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Dec 1997 12:05:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/signifinant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2300cd4127a437750800e23f6809f306 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 513 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFINANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/121800Z/131800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINEILA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 22. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLOM BD MARZ: NONE. B. TROPICAES AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA IS LIMITED, HOWEVER, SURROUNDING SHIP REPORTS INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS PRESENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIALPFOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILEEBRAND/HATFIELD/MCCULLOCH/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:46:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627980-13149>; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 02:46:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA10376; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 12:12:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7306035 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 12:12:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA40268 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 12:11:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA02351 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 12:11:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712131811.MAA02351@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Dec 1997 12:11:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4453b0d084874aacfe62f04340bcd517 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 984 ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/131800Z/141800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 54E9 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS NEAR THIS AREA, BUT ITS FORM SUGGESTS THAT IT IS LINEAR CONVECTION OR ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH REMAINING IN THE AREA. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:46:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629413-6203>; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 02:31:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA48006; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 12:07:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7313211 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 12:07:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA37712 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 12:07:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA03844 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 12:07:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712141807.MAA03844@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Dec 1997 12:07:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: afa8f92d4b4a8b6f5ed3da7d98f5e3e0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 328 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 16 11:20:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627309-331>; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 02:51:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA34600; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 12:19:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7322106 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 12:19:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA47066 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 12:18:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA05490 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 12:18:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712151818.MAA05490@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Dec 1997 12:18:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1426f170aa9767b1731cdd9dec00dbf3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 111 ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/151800Z/161800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 17 12:03:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629676-5231>; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 02:18:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA58960; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 11:55:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7333396 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 11:55:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA63030 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 11:55:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA07260 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 11:55:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712161755.LAA07260@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Dec 1997 11:55:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ebb202c2fcb892187add671ba51b82a0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 156 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/SANCHEZ/BOYD/DOBBINS/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 17 12:03:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627784-5231>; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 03:22:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA21454; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 12:53:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7334154 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 12:53:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA24770 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 12:53:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA07344 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 12:53:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712161853.MAA07344@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Dec 1997 12:53:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4b3dd84de651d17ef1a82d2323f6ce86 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 568 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/SANCHEZ/BOYD/DOBBINS/GILL// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEDMCA26093501806 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 18 08:58:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626370-4769>; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 01:59:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA27468; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 11:42:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7345175 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 11:42:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA37430 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 11:42:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA08979 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 11:42:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712171742.LAA08979@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Dec 1997 11:42:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1f17783008a354067e369e0ccb3f1aa1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 788 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171800Z/181800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 18 15:18:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626049-15673>; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 15:04:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA61616; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 00:44:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7353327 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 00:44:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA49570 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 00:44:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA09938 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 00:44:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712180644.AAA09938@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Dec 1997 00:44:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 779e037ba2bfd5a42d3980caea5104d6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 168 ABIO10 PGTW 180630 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/180630Z/181800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 12S3 119E1. ANIMATED VISUAL AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THIS AREA HAS DEVELOPED WITHIN THE PAST 12 HOURS ALONG A TROUGH EXTENDING BACK TO THE NORTHWEST COAST OF AUSTRALIA NEAR 16N7 125E8. ANALYSES FROM ERS-2 SCATTEROMETER PASSES AT 171440Z7 AND 180139Z2 INDICATE THE POSSIBILITY OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION UNDER THIS CONVECTIVE AREA. UPPER LEVEL WATER VAPOR-DERIVED WINDS INDICATE FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE OVER THE AREA, ALTHOUGH THE UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE APPEARS TO BE CLOSER TO THE AUSTRALIAN COAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR, BUT MAY IMPROVE BY THE END OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD IF THE CONVECTION IS SUSTAINED. (2) JUSTIFICATION: THIS BULLETIN REISSUED TO INCLUDE ABOVE AREA IN TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HONG/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 19 09:29:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629968-15666>; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 02:18:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA34714; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 11:55:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7357397 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 11:55:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA09274 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 11:55:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA10636 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 11:55:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712181755.LAA10636@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Dec 1997 11:55:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d1d34286737eb5024eb0ffa962d0569e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 668 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/181900Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 11S3 118E1. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THIS AREA HAS CONTINUED TO PERSIST DURING THE PAST 18 HOURS ALONG A TROUGH EXTENDING TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST COAST OF AUSTRALIA. ALTHOUGH EARLIER SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATED SOME CYCLONIC TURNING IN THE MIDDLE LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE, MORE RECENT IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION HAS TAKEN A MORE LINEAR SHAPE. ADDITIONALLY, A MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS AT 181129Z2 INDICATED THAT A WELL DEFINED LOWER LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS YET TO DEVELOP. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/JOHNSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 19 15:06:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626374-11135>; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 14:53:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA14164; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 00:39:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7363573 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 00:39:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA57960 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 00:36:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA11743 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 00:36:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712190636.AAA11743@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Dec 1997 00:36:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weatheoumotb. Tropical Disturbance Summary: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5c23e250d103a91d889e6f7c207fa9ab Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 459 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHEOUMOTB. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 11S3 118E1. ANMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THIS AREA HAS CONTINUED TOOIG EXEN NG TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST COAST OF AUSTRALIA. ALTHOUGH EARLIER SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATED SOME CYCLONIC TURNING IN THE MIDDLE LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE, MTRE RECENT IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION HAS TAKEN A MORE LINEAR SHAPE. ADDITIONALLY, A MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS AT 181129Z2 INDICATED THAT A WELL DEFINED LOWER LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS YET TO DEVELOP. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/JOHNSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 19 17:09:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630067-5342>; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 15:08:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA58984; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 00:53:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7363698 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 00:53:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA27482 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 00:53:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA11763 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 00:53:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712190653.AAA11763@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Dec 1997 00:53:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weatheoumotb. Tropical Disturbance Summary: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-UIDL: 5c5d2f1100a26619b21c41a79841bcaa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 803 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHEOUMOTB. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 11S3 118E1. ANMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THIS AREA HAS CONTINUED TOOIG EXEN NG TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST COAST OF AUSTRALIA. ALTHOUGH EARLIER SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATED SOME CYCLONIC TURNING IN THE MIDDLE LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE, MTRE RECENT IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION HAS OHSAZ 943 )8,3-4 #-03. ADDITIONALLY, A MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS AT 181129Z2 INDICATED THAT A WELL DEFINED LOWER LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS ZET TO DEVELOP. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED ATLQP TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/JOHNSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 22 14:17:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4748 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629428-29178>; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 02:46:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA12722; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 12:15:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7367819 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 12:15:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA17524 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 12:15:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA12620 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 12:15:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712191815.MAA12620@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Dec 1997 12:15:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7f8068d4da428908d6cbc2602f875c64 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 388 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 118E0 IS DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 22 14:17:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3287 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626940-20899>; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 02:13:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA61486; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 11:54:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7375188 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 11:54:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA60112 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 11:53:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA14328 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 11:53:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712201753.LAA14328@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Dec 1997 11:53:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7127e3e7f80ed1cbdfa48a1726e7b731 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 072 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 22 14:17:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4818 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627711-2525>; Mon, 22 Dec 1997 01:40:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA12760; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 11:23:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7380180 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 11:23:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA45000 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 11:23:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA15850 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 11:23:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712211723.LAA15850@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Dec 1997 11:23:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0ca35dff23db26132ae9db6e3547f49f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 390 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 23 10:10:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3263 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626082-14538>; Tue, 23 Dec 1997 02:09:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA14722; Mon, 22 Dec 1997 11:49:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7386005 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Dec 1997 11:49:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA19190 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 1997 11:47:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA17418 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Dec 1997 11:47:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712221747.LAA17418@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Dec 1997 11:47:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bb1e4d2106a53e1e01ef75615e05619a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 813 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z/231800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:23:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3046 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626554-27611>; Wed, 24 Dec 1997 02:12:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA21488; Tue, 23 Dec 1997 11:52:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7392168 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Dec 1997 11:52:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA59872 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 1997 11:52:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA19218 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Dec 1997 11:52:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712231752.LAA19218@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Dec 1997 11:52:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cf7c00be006da3244397bcb25117caa7 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 29 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 356 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/241800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/EIBLING/DOBBINS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:23:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3811 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626570-27603>; Wed, 24 Dec 1997 02:29:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA44914; Tue, 23 Dec 1997 11:58:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7392236 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Dec 1997 11:58:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA35908 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 1997 11:58:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA19238 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Dec 1997 11:58:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712231758.LAA19238@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Dec 1997 11:58:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dmin/navpacmetoccen West Gu// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: abf92726206b9a8a89c64a2608363b59 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 30 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 444 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GEN DMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/- 1800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135EE WEST T COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:23:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4527 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626412-11261>; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 02:12:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA21482; Wed, 24 Dec 1997 11:56:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7398402 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Dec 1997 11:56:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA54174 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 1997 11:56:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA20873 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Dec 1997 11:56:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712241756.LAA20873@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Dec 1997 11:56:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 765735bc221ea967918ca2f53ec8583d Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 66 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 777 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/EIBLING/DOBBINS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:23:56 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4573 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627199-12577>; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 09:03:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA08700; Wed, 24 Dec 1997 18:38:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7399511 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Dec 1997 18:38:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id SAA48106 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 1997 18:38:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA21223 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Dec 1997 18:38:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712250038.SAA21223@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Dec 1997 18:38:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5feff361b64f0fb881a3c990c54fc189 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 77 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 707 ABIO10 PGTW 250100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/250100Z/261800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 11S2 128E1. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 4 HOURS AND HAS INCREASED IN AREAL COVERAGE. 240930Z8 SCATTEROMETER IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF CONVERGENCE RATHER THAN A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2626 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627299-12580>; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 21:28:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA49546; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 07:14:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7401129 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 07:14:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA08500 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 07:13:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA22108 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 07:13:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712251313.HAA22108@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Dec 1997 07:13:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 992beceb8c9045a926568173af839257 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 97 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 533 ABIO10 PGTW 251300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251300Z/251800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 11S2 128E1 HAS REDEVELOPED FURTHER EAST AT 12S3 129E2. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR AT LEAST 16 HOURS AND HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4260 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627325-12582>; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 04:02:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA38444; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 13:32:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7401777 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 13:32:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA55768 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 13:30:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA22465 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 13:30:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712251930.NAA22465@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Dec 1997 13:30:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 53c3c2894309e77e7be6e6191193abbd Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 101 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 194 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S2 129E1 IS NOW NEAR 12S2 130E4. ALTHOUGH INFRARED SATELLITE DATA INDICATES CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT OF INTENSE CONVECTION, 251500Z3 RADAR DATA FROM DARWIN, AUSTRALIA INDICATES ONLY A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 11.6S8 AND 130.9E3 WHICH IS OVER MELVILLE ISLAND. THE RADAR DATA DID NOT INDICATE ANY CONVECTIVE BANDING FEATURES BUT ONLY WEAK LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW. SYNOPTIC DATA FROM 251200Z0 ALSO CONFIRMS THIS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. IN LIGHT OF THIS ADDITIONAL DATA, THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4748 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626328-3725>; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 13:52:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA12850; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 23:38:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7403023 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 23:38:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA56540 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 23:36:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA22963 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 23:36:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712260536.XAA22963@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Dec 1997 23:36:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1ec9b11b45f707da79b851b1c7b3d42f Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 114 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 028 ABIO10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/260600Z/261800Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 260151Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 260000Z8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S WAS LOCATED AT 11.2S4 132.1E7, MOVING EASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S WARNING NR 01 (WTXS31 PGTW 260000) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 130E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11S2 132E6 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE ABOVE, PARAGRAPH 2.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 12S3 110E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 112E4. LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION APPROXIMATELY 50 NM TO THE EAST OF THE CLOSEST CONVECTION. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CONVECTION IS BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED AND IS NEARER TO THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION: TO UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA TO FAIR AND INCLUDE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING INFORMATION. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/JONES// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2061 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626498-3725>; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 01:50:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA12876; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 11:39:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7404380 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 11:39:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA25554 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 11:38:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA23777 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 11:38:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712261738.LAA23777@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Dec 1997 11:38:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a547468f0d661aac0c8dc035067a44ba Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 136 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 130 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 261351Z DEC 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 261421Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 261200Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) WAS LOCATED AT 11.1S3 133.2E9, MOVING EASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S WARNING NR 02 (WTXS31 PGTW 261200)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 112E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13S4 112E4. LATEST INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO FORM NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT FOR THIS AREA IS GOOD. THIS AREA IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT( WTXS22 PGTW 261430)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1735 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627611-20513>; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 02:13:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA56424; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 11:45:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7407699 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 11:45:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA29490 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 11:45:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA25385 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 11:45:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712271745.LAA25385@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Dec 1997 11:45:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 77c922bc9e7286f7355dbf669b5bc798 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 180 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 027 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 271353Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 271200Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WAS LOCATED AT 15.2S8 109.9E9, MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S WARNING NR 02 (WTXS32 PGTW 271500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 112E4 IS NOW NEAR 15S6 AND 110E2 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF A FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/EIBLING/DOBBINS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3085 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626382-4810>; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 01:51:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA25902; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 11:32:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7411216 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 11:32:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA49504 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 11:30:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA26924 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 11:30:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712281730.LAA26924@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Dec 1997 11:30:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 043a83d41a0412487df060994ebcfab1 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 218 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 279 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/281800Z/291800Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 281353Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 281200Z3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WAS LOCATED AT 16.3S0 107.9E7, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S WARNING NR 04 (WTXS32 PGTW 281500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/EIBLING/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4053 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625912-13111>; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 02:22:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA34230; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 11:53:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7417020 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 11:53:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA43684 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 11:53:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA28595 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 11:53:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712291753.LAA28595@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Dec 1997 11:53:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: daf8bb1516b6529491e6b2408de46211 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 261 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 275 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/291800Z/301800Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 291353Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 291200Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WAS LOCATED AT 18.1S0 104.1E6, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S WARNING NR 06 (WTXS32 PGTW 291500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/EIBLING/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4466 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626465-13111>; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 02:29:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA31842; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 12:00:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7417074 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 12:00:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA25902 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 12:00:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA28623 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 12:00:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712291800.MAA28623@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Dec 1997 12:00:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 03d683269c7a9a7ec2232f090bdfd730 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 262 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 391 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INEIAN OCEAN/291800Z/301800Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 291353Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 291200Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WAS LOCATED AT 18.1S0 104.1E6, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOBECMG 0811 18010KT 9999 SCT020 FEW020CB= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2846 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626312-23584>; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 01:46:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA26082; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 11:32:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7422344 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 11:32:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA26036 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 11:32:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA00363 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 11:32:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712301732.LAA00363@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 30 Dec 1997 11:32:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fae15814a81501aeffeded62c30fc309 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 310 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 550 ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/301800Z/311800Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 301353Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 301200Z6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WAS LOCATED AT 16.4S1 101.1E3, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WARNING NR 08 (WTXS32 PGTW 301500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102340-362>; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 01:49:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA156002; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 12:36:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5873635 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 12:36:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA64336 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 12:36:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id MAA08602 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 12:36:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707111736.MAA08602@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Jul 1997 12:36:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian [111800] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 254225ae05deeac4beb40704ddae026d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 926 Status: OR 750 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z/121800Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/HAM/PUGH// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102905-263>; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 02:58:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA32846; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 13:46:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5873971 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 13:46:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA87868 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 13:46:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id NAA10876 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 13:46:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707111846.NAA10876@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Jul 1997 13:46:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian [111800] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: beb7a8a70ec6ab539cb49fa8cb8ca5aa X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1000 Status: OR 981 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z/121800Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/HAM/PUGH// TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT TTT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102958-263>; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 02:00:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA134236; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 12:58:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5881658 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 12:58:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA228134 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 12:57:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id MAA28236 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 12:14:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707121714.MAA28236@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Jul 1997 12:58:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian [121800] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a46a74d56c3ad0ff0715bfc68aaa68b6 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 935 Status: OR 570 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/121800Z/131800Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/FINTA/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102654-12617>; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 01:24:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA199252; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 12:21:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5887768 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 12:21:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA81218 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 12:21:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id MAA12170 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 12:21:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707131721.MAA12170@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Jul 1997 12:21:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian [131800] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5420e2960369b7ce7fbe5e362143681b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 935 Status: OR 553 ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/131800Z/141800Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/FINTA/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 15 03:52:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103062-15796>; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 01:08:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA254494; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 12:04:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5894694 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 12:04:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA264700 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 12:04:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id MAA01945 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 12:04:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707141704.MAA01945@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 12:04:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian [141800] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fecfbcdf7945c99d73ae497366380f15 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 531 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/FINTA/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jul 16 03:28:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103277-10293>; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 01:50:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA201004; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 12:47:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5905700 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 12:47:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA43522 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 12:47:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id MAA29820 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 12:47:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707151747.MAA29820@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Jul 1997 12:47:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian [151800] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 926188fc822381fcbc8537f6c915d218 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 938 Status: OR 159 ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/151800Z/161800Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 17 09:34:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103330-5065>; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 01:40:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA08716; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 12:23:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5914355 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 12:23:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA189946 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 12:23:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id MAA26522 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 12:23:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707161723.MAA26522@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 12:23:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian [161800] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 865cadc1e7b3c32cf46fe846227d23c7 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 938 Status: OR 845 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jul 18 11:44:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102418-26132>; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 01:12:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA08894; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 12:08:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5924192 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 12:08:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA212388 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 12:08:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id MAA22543 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 12:08:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707171708.MAA22543@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Jul 1997 12:08:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian [171800] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e57a72c648cb8ca43c29de70c238e311 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 934 Status: OR 628 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171800Z/181800Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/FINTA/WOFFORD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jul 19 12:40:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102951-17643>; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 01:14:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA168360; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 12:06:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5931559 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 12:06:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA168302 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 12:06:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id MAA17450 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 12:05:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707181705.MAA17450@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Jul 1997 12:06:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian [181800] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ab4b6493ea21c1c1923c5efc2500dd97 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 935 Status: OR 681 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/191800Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/FINTA/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 20 02:08:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102530-7644>; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 02:08:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA33308; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 13:02:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5942024 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 13:01:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA236092 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 12:59:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id MAA09515 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 12:59:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707191759.MAA09515@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Jul 1997 13:01:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian [191800] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 22 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 915 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 4S4 078E4. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A CLOSED LOW- LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 21 02:13:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102534-14839>; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 02:13:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA168364; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 12:39:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5950475 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 12:39:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA220832 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 12:39:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id MAA24199 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 12:39:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707201739.MAA24199@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 12:39:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian [201800] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 56 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 345 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800Z JUL 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 201353Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 201200Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WAS LOCATED AT 6.2S8 76.8E1 AND WAS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 02 (WTXS31 PGTW 201500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4S4 078E4 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(1) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS ON TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jul 22 01:52:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102584-14499>; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 01:52:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA55188; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 12:28:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5957808 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 12:28:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA45960 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 12:28:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id MAA12982 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 12:28:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707211728.MAA12982@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 12:28:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian [211800] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 106 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800Z JUL 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 211353Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 211200Z6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WAS LOCATED AT 7.7S4 75.6E8 AND WAS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 06 (WTXS31 PGTW 211500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jul 23 01:49:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102760-7992>; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 01:49:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA210696; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 12:28:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5967482 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 12:28:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA49396 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 12:28:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id MAA08116 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 12:28:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707221728.MAA08116@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 12:28:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian [221800] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 537 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z/231800Z JUL 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 220753Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 220600Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WAS LOCATED AT 8.7S5 75.8E0 AND WAS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 09 (WTXS31 PGTW 220900)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/DEOCARIZA/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jul 24 14:05:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102581-21040>; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 14:05:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA49326; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 00:44:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5984143 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 00:44:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA208546 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 00:44:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id AAA19304 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 00:44:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707240544.AAA19304@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Jul 1997 00:44:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian [231800] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 15 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 605 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/241800Z JUL 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 230753Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 230600Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WAS LOCATED AT 9.4S3 74.2E3 AND WAS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 11 (WTXS31 PGTW 230900)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/DEOCARIZA/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Jul 25 01:48:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103083-21040>; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 01:48:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA167036; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 12:26:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5987910 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 12:26:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA38768 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 12:26:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id MAA02898 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 12:26:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707241726.MAA02898@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Jul 1997 12:26:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian [241800] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 520 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800Z JUL 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 240753Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 240600Z2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WAS LOCATED AT 9.6S5 72.8E7 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 13 (WTXS31 PGTW 240900)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/HATFIELD/DOBBINS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Jul 26 02:11:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102449-14440>; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 02:11:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA234698; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 12:46:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5995755 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 12:46:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA210858 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 12:46:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id MAA25842 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 12:46:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707251746.MAA25842@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Jul 1997 12:46:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian [251800] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 449 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 27 02:19:28 1997 X-UIDL: e15870faa6f6bacc515a5321e8228f11 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103147-4338>; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 02:19:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA65422; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 13:08:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6002614 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 13:08:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA98178 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 13:08:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id NAA13485 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 13:08:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707261808.NAA13485@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Jul 1997 13:08:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian [261800] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 60 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 081 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/DEOCARIZA/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 28 01:58:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102904-7559>; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 01:58:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA146630; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 12:46:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6008402 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 12:46:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA43696 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 12:40:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id MAA24107 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 12:40:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707271740.MAA24107@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Jul 1997 12:46:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian [271800] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 869 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/DEOCARIZA/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 29 10:04:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103333-6064>; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 02:37:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA184766; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 13:12:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6016230 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 13:12:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA32814 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 13:11:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id NAA05722 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 13:11:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707281811.NAA05722@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Jul 1997 13:12:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian [281800] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ae41437f40d0f223919b8c2fd2ba9d69 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1438 Status: OR 637 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/281800Z/291800Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 17N8 91E0. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROUGHING AND POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULTATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS, ALTHOUGH SOMEWHAT DIFFLUENT, CREATE A PRIMARILY VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/DEOCARIZA/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jul 30 02:14:58 1997 X-UIDL: f9f6a795aa1e8b46d8d651c058f813b7 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103593-27074>; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 02:14:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA249752; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 13:03:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6026517 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 13:03:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA122148 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 13:02:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id NAA15650 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 13:02:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707291802.NAA15650@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Jul 1997 13:03:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian [291800] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 734 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/291800Z/301800Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17N8 91E0 HAS MOVED OVER LAND AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/HAM/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 31 10:00:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103416-18385>; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 01:58:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA180560; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 12:44:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6037862 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 12:44:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA233538 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 12:44:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id MAA25713 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 12:44:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707301744.MAA25713@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Jul 1997 12:44:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian [301800] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: eba1c6432f8af760fcdf60ed4f0e01f7 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 926 Status: OR 871 ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/301800Z/311800Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/HAM/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 2 02:11:03 1997 X-UIDL: 48010b9f2baa2934847928be6d44d9a1 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103740-214>; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 02:10:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA235680; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 12:48:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6054231 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 12:48:51 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA110740 for ; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 12:48:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id MAA17342 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 12:48:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708011748.MAA17342@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 1 Aug 1997 12:48:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian [011800] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 972 ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/011800Z AUG 97/021800Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/DEOCARIZA/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103752-23331>; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 01:41:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA98044; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 12:17:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6063029 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 12:17:31 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA152898 for ; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 12:16:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id MAA28387 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 12:16:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708021716.MAA28387@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 2 Aug 1997 12:17:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian [021800] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2adbd004880ac00b95565d3907f2f69b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 934 Status: OR 329 ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/021800Z AUG 97/031800Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/HAM/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103125-28934>; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 02:11:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA146706; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 12:50:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6073963 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 12:50:49 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA82694 for ; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 12:50:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id MAA05307 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 12:50:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708031750.MAA05307@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 3 Aug 1997 12:50:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian [031800] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a1f6e8b17cc37a27a8f32f38ff2591a6 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 934 Status: OR 775 ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/031800Z AUG 97/041800Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/HAM/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 5 11:46:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102800-28484>; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 02:23:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA65328; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 13:02:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6082628 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 13:02:51 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA208420 for ; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 13:02:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id NAA16382 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 13:02:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708041802.NAA16382@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 4 Aug 1997 13:02:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian [041800] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3f486bcac6577f2744629f7b3fc67bb2 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1408 Status: OR 863 ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/041800Z AUG 97/051800Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION AND A SURFACE CIRCULATION ARE LOCATED NEAR 21N3 87E5 IN THE FAR NORTHERN BAY OF BENGAL. THE CONVECTION IS NOT WELL ORGANIZED, AND DEVELOPMENT IS BEING INHIBITED BY INTERACTION WITH LAND AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 930 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/HAM/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 6 09:13:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102945-17890>; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 01:41:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA02796; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 12:25:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5991638 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 12:25:27 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA77280 for ; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 12:25:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id MAA04450 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 12:25:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708051725.MAA04450@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 5 Aug 1997 12:25:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian [051800] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9e2680cb123205df762d8aa95a14f251 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1171 Status: OR 427 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/051800Z/061800Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 21N3 87E5 IN THE NORTHERN BAY OF BENGAL HAS NOW MOVED OVER LAND NEAR MANBAZAR (23N5 87E5) AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/FINTA/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 7 11:34:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103182-8195>; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 02:30:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA229154; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 12:47:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6001262 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 12:47:11 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA184254 for ; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 12:46:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id MAA05747 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 12:46:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708061746.MAA05747@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 6 Aug 1997 12:47:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a1c0008d503f628da614b693f834f48b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 937 Status: OR 399 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800Z/071800Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/FINTA/WOFFORD/DOBBINS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 8 08:20:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103252-29979>; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 02:24:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA79964; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 13:04:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6009719 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 13:04:29 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA72272 for ; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 13:04:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id NAA22475 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 13:04:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708071804.NAA22475@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 7 Aug 1997 13:04:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8d96a0250e434a4a0b1160c786d86f5f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1522 Status: OR 717 ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/071800Z/081800Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION EXISTS NEAR 24N6 70E7. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A CIRCULATION WHICH EXTENDS FROM THE SURFACE INTO THE MID-TROPOSPHERE. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY OVER LAND, BUT APPEARS TO BE MOVING INTO THE NORTHERN ARABIAN SEA. DEVELOPMENT IS BEING HINDERED BY LAND INTERACTION AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 980 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/HAM/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 8 08:20:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103250-29979>; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 02:35:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA24128; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 13:10:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6009752 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 13:10:51 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA24112 for ; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 13:10:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id NAA22571 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 13:10:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708071810.NAA22571@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 7 Aug 1997 13:10:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 59bbd1d77cfeb55427ca14539258def9 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1328 Status: OR 816 ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WESTP;) SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/071800Z/081800Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEI AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION OQ Q S)+24N6 70E7. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATEHPWITH A CIRCULATION WHICH EXTENDS FROM THE LLYWKLIDLALI EEEDJ JP SVDEM OHE EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDY ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 910 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYKLONE DEVELOPMEN WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INHQAV OVEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL D STURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/HAM/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103352-17469>; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 02:04:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA264314; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 13:03:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6017963 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 13:03:14 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA220006 for ; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 13:03:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id NAA08294 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 13:03:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708081803.NAA08294@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 8 Aug 1997 13:03:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ce1aa54b18cd70eda0517d952841fde3 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1074 Status: OR 438 ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/081800Z/091800Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY NEAR 24N6 70E7 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/HAM/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102695-2431>; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 01:13:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA220034; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 12:12:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6023686 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 12:11:53 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA219978 for ; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 12:11:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id MAA16962 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 12:11:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708091711.MAA16962@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 9 Aug 1997 12:11:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c90d165d5ead321983a98373975d962e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 938 Status: OR 503 ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/091800Z/101800Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/FINTA/WOFFORD/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103528-4681>; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 01:24:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA12070; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 12:23:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6028362 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 12:23:18 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA199184 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 12:23:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id MAA22337 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 12:23:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708101723.MAA22337@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 10 Aug 1997 12:23:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e6a1d6c566bda3f422e50510e2a91c12 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 938 Status: OR 726 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/101800Z/111800Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/FINTA/WOFFORD/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 14:02:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103083-2171>; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 01:19:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA82292; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 12:17:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6034205 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 12:17:49 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA41566 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 12:17:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id MAA04541 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 12:17:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708111717.MAA04541@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 12:17:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 40663e1102a5f1d6b346bfbe4892502c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 938 Status: OR 589 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z/121800Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/FINTA/WOFFORD/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 13 07:59:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102338-17790>; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 02:19:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA77214; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 13:17:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5986690 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 13:17:48 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA88204 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 13:17:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id NAA24618 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 13:17:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708121817.NAA24618@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 12 Aug 1997 13:17:48 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9864e3d31dbc728f51caa94ed7350c92 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 938 Status: OR 102 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/121800Z/131800Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102805-24008>; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 01:15:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA248936; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 12:13:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6000677 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 12:13:33 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA201044 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 12:13:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id MAA28344 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 12:13:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708141713.MAA28344@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 12:13:33 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9001fdc6425198af19c0dd553126ab61 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 937 Status: OR 972 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/FINTA/WOFFORD/DOBBINS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103214-13952>; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 01:19:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA03354; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 12:18:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6008421 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 12:17:57 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA238854 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 12:17:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id MAA18033 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 12:17:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708151717.MAA18033@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 12:17:57 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cff972f698b58bc013b39c08325e42ea X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 937 Status: OR 021 ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/151800Z/161800Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/FINTA/WOFFORD/DOBBINS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102883-401>; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 01:48:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA87570; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 12:46:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6015413 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 12:45:13 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA112592 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 12:45:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id MAA00539 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 12:44:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708161744.MAA00539@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 16 Aug 1997 12:45:13 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: eea809d4b249205bdc11a3bdde2585b9 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 938 Status: OR 446 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFKSY/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102438-14127>; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 02:06:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA12260; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 12:51:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6024139 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 12:51:06 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA03544 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 12:51:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id MAA10022 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 12:50:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708171750.MAA10022@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 12:51:06 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 26666a6158191257a22f7ed341df6a44 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 938 Status: OR 101 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171800Z/181800Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:35:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102941-26331>; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 01:56:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA210612; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 12:36:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6032222 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 12:36:33 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA23208 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 12:36:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id MAA22585 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 12:36:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708181736.MAA22585@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 12:36:33 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 58ae2a452424ffe4eea2d07bbc8c3a69 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 938 Status: OR 842 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/191800Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103389-16846>; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 02:36:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA102294; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 13:17:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6041786 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 13:17:44 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA102260 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 13:17:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id NAA12926 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 13:17:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708191817.NAA12926@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 19 Aug 1997 13:17:44 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2cddcdbd8f64ea4fe6a8633e44a3fc22 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1547 Status: OR 511 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 19N0 186E5. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTION. THE CIRCULATION IS LOCATED NEAR 20N2 189E8. CONVECTION HAS INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY AS THE CIRCULATION MOVED OVER WATER BUT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS HINDERED THE DEVELOPMENT OF SUSTAINED CENTRAL CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 995 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103386-16846>; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 02:41:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA25220; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 13:26:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6041825 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 13:26:03 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA160374 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 13:26:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id NAA13040 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 13:25:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708191825.NAA13040@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 19 Aug 1997 13:26:03 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ee0bff5d4cb801bdd9f2de9fef7dc72c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1590 Status: OR 718 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 19N0 086E4. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTION. THE CIRCULATION IS LOCATED NEAR 20N2 189E8. CONVECTION HAS INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY AS THE CIRCULATION MOVED OVER WATER BUT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS HINDERED THE DEVELOPMENT OF SUSTAINED CENTRAL CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 995 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION: CORRECTED LONGITUDE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103440-7565>; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 21:01:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA198914; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 07:42:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6051024 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 07:42:41 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA68340 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 07:42:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id HAA24106 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 07:42:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708201242.HAA24106@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 20 Aug 1997 07:42:41 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fc546d568966e20d89d670000b9a48cb X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1476 Status: OR 116 WTIO21 PGTW 201300 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 201251Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA, AMEMBASSY NEW DEHLI, AMEMBASSY DHAKA, AND USDAO DHAKA BG. 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 085 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 19.9N9 89.0E7 TO 21.3N6 86.0E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 201030Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N9 87.0E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION AND ORGANIZATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER HAS INCREASED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS WITH THE DECREASE OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 995 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 211300Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103443-7565>; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 22:48:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA220732; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 09:27:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6051807 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 09:27:01 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA123180 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 09:27:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id JAA25827 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 09:26:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708201426.JAA25827@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 20 Aug 1997 09:27:01 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 122c0b53306eccb1c3a04a1871a29f4f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1515 Status: OR 063 WTIO21 PGTW 201300 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 201251Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA, AMEMBASSY PAGE 02 RUHGSGG7564 UNCLAS NEW DEHLI, AMEMBASSY DHAKA, AND USDAO DHAKA BG. 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 085 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 19.9N9 89.0E7 TO 21.3N6 86.0E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 201030Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N9 87.0E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION AND ORGANIZATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER HAS INCREASED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS WITH THE DECREASE OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 995 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 211300Z7.// BT #7564 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103482-7565>; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 02:06:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA133178; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 12:36:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6053711 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 12:36:15 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA77102 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 12:36:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id MAA29330 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 12:35:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708201735.MAA29330@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 20 Aug 1997 12:36:15 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen West Gu 201251z Aug 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4bb75457e0637bf62c65825f778c8196 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 864 Status: OR 580 WTIO21 PGTW 201730 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 201721Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 201251Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA, AMEMBASSY NEW DEHLI, AMEMBASSY DHAKA, AND USDAO DHAKA BG. 2. THIS CANCELS REF A. 3. THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS MOVED INLAND AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103483-7565>; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 02:11:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA196564; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 12:52:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6053880 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 12:52:16 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA217020 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 12:52:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id MAA29554 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 12:52:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708201752.MAA29554@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 20 Aug 1997 12:52:16 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 201721z Aug 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0e5df33eb9bc5676836e2f7094f76901 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 913 Status: OR 805 WTIO21 PGTW 201730 COR SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 201721Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 201251Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA, AMEMBASSY NEW DEHLI, AMEMBASSY DHAKA, AND USDAO DHAKA BG. 2. THIS CANCELS REF A. 3. THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS MOVED INLAND AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 4. JUSTIFICATION: SUBJECT LINE.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103490-7565>; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 02:26:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA68340; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 13:02:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6053997 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 13:02:03 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA127208 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 13:02:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id NAA29806 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 13:01:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708201801.NAA29806@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 20 Aug 1997 13:02:03 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4238578cf99c0d058da5b40f1a71bf5c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1340 Status: OR 908 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 201721Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 19N0 086E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21N3 86E4. THE SYSTEM HAS MOVED OVER LAND AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SEE REF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION (WTIO21 PGTW 201730) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103498-7565>; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 02:33:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA02772; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 13:15:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6054130 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 13:15:14 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA12222 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 13:15:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id NAA00047 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 13:14:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708201814.NAA00047@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 20 Aug 1997 13:15:14 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 201721z Aug 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 992f64322eb9ebbcec55ee924c011170 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 916 Status: OR 179 WTIO21 PGTW 201730 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 201721Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 201251Z AUG 97// PAGE 02 RUHGSGG7807 UNCLAS RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA, AMEMBASSY NEW DEHLI, AMEMBASSY DHAKA, AND USDAO DHAKA BG. 2. THIS CANCELS REF A. 3. THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS MOVED INLAND AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.// BT #7807 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103717-25312>; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 01:51:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA25112; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 12:21:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6076715 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 12:21:04 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA94214 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 12:21:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id MAA05579 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 12:20:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708221720.MAA05579@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 22 Aug 1997 12:21:04 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 60f8a0b0b2c23a5bb24eb94d7c83a81b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 938 Status: OR 765 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z/231800Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30754-396>; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 02:26:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA72388; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 13:08:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6085702 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 13:08:14 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA40850 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 13:08:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id NAA19418 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 13:07:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708231807.NAA19418@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 23 Aug 1997 13:08:14 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ad8287845797ca817989b6c9fc827f89 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 934 Status: OR 580 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/241800Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30877-20155>; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 02:34:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA133472; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 13:22:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6092622 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 13:22:56 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA169740 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 13:22:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id NAA27065 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 13:22:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708241822.NAA27065@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 24 Aug 1997 13:22:56 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3882cb22a81bc5237e5ed294f9c303fb X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1464 Status: OR 899 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 22N4 071E8. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTION. THE CIRCULATION APPEARS TO BE TRACKING WESTWARD AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER WATER WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 997 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 11:00:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30937-10285>; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 10:51:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA252002; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 21:31:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6095716 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 21:31:53 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA251984 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 21:31:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id VAA29775 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 21:31:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708250231.VAA29775@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 24 Aug 1997 21:31:53 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9e1b7ec9d994e9ad860052e8184a904e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1334 Status: OR 716 ABIO10 PGTW 250300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/250300Z/251800Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 22N4 071E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 24N6 070E7. THE EXTENT OF DEEP CONVECTION WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS DECREASED DURING THE PAST 9 HOURS. THE REMAINING CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH LOW- LEVEL INFLOW INTO A MONSOON LOW LOCATED WELL INLAND OVER NORTH CENTRAL INDIA NEAR KOTA. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/FINTA/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31346-13064>; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 01:53:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA92312; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 12:52:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6109783 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 12:52:31 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA133456 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 12:52:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id MAA22787 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 12:51:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708261751.MAA22787@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 12:52:31 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 036c1c4f84c264136554e18f4516411c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1673 Status: OR 593 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 16N7 91E0. ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WEAK SURFACE CIRCULATION EXISTS NORTHWEST OF COCO ISLAND (WMO 48109) IN THE ANDAMAN SEA. UPPER LEVEL WATER VAPOR-DERIVED WINDS INDICATE WEAK OUTFLOW EXISTS OVER THE CONVECTION, HOWEVER, THEY ALSO SHOW PREDOMINANTLY NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST VERTICAL SHEAR OVER MOST OF THE REGION WHICH IS BLOWING MOST OF THE CONVECTION TO THE WEST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 KNOTS (ON THE NORTH SIDE)TO 25 KNOTS (ON THE SOUTH SIDE). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31504-15926>; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 01:50:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA14928; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 12:32:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6118807 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 12:32:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA07380 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 12:29:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id MAA26464 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 12:28:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708271728.MAA26464@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 Aug 1997 12:28:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b5dd756ed81b221a5ca8205cecc12a25 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1585 Status: OR 241 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 91E0 HAS MOVED NORTHWESTWARD AND IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19N0 87E5. ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WEAK SURFACE CIRCULATION HAS MOVED CLOSER TO THE INDIAN COAST. UPPER LEVEL WATER VAPOR-DERIVED WINDS OVER THE AREA INDICATE THAT THE NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST VERTICAL SHEAR HAS INCREASED. CONVECTION IN THE AREA SHOWS LITTLE SIGN OF ORGANIZATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 KNOTS TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 29 09:20:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31060-22994>; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 02:28:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA19772; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 13:08:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6126918 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 13:08:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA27932 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 13:08:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id NAA29091 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 13:06:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708281806.NAA29091@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 13:06:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ba9386323297c99684614decd3d96d86 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1536 Status: OR 041 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/281800Z/291800Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19N0 87E5 HAS MOVED NORTHWESTWARD AND IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 22N4 83E1. 281030Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WEAK SURFACE CIRCULATION ON THE EDGE OF THE INDIAN COAST. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES SIGNIFICANT SHEAR OVER THE AREA. CONVECTION IN THE AREA SHOWS LITTLE SIGN OF ORGANIZATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 KNOTS TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 30 09:28:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31754-27951>; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 01:58:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA28716; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 12:44:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6136859 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 12:44:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA09982 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 12:44:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA02507 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 12:42:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708291742.MAA02507@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 12:42:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1d3d451dd86434eb0601f82f4a573f99 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1262 Status: OR 182 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/291800Z/301800Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 22N4 83E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 23N5 82E8. 281200Z SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A WEAK SURFACE CIRCULATION WHICH IS LOCATED WELL INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN INDIA. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 1 07:14:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625934-3322>; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 01:36:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA26504; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 12:24:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6146457 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 12:24:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA15992 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 12:24:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA04886 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 12:22:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708301722.MAA04886@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 30 Aug 1997 12:22:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 09f887a5464fe3b9f169018a58786ca1 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 926 Status: OR 107 ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/301800Z/311800Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 25 02:24:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627007-12198>; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 20:03:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA23060; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 07:02:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6743059 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 07:02:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA21208 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 07:02:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA08825 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 07:02:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710241202.HAA08825@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Oct 1997 07:02:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3ebce79ff0647ff53bb301b3810a9e05 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 879 ABIO10 PGTW 241200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241200Z/241800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 06N6 58E3. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTION. SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS THAT THE DISTURBANCE HAS PERSISTED FOR AT LEAST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/LUNSFORD/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 25 02:24:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626914-12197>; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 02:22:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA47312; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 13:20:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6746683 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 13:20:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA43600 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 13:19:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA09600 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 13:19:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710241819.NAA09600@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Oct 1997 13:19:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d5c84faeca6725dc354e6c672c5abc5e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 438 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 06N6 57E3. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTION. SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS THAT THE DISTURBANCE HAS PERSISTED FOR AT LEAST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/LUNSFORD/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 26 04:40:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627387-279>; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 02:18:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA22760; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 13:16:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6756807 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 13:16:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA22654 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 13:16:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA11307 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 13:16:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710251816.NAA11307@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Oct 1997 13:16:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8369499a281452b6775cd993bf9fd3d2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 939 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 06N6 57E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 07N7 56E1. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER BENEATH AN AXIS OF UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. HOWEVER, THE CONVECTION REMAINS WEAK AND DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: FOR DTG FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/HATFIELD/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 26 04:40:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627393-276>; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 02:18:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA22528; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 13:16:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6756812 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 13:16:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA39056 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 13:16:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA11315 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 13:16:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710251816.NAA11315@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Oct 1997 13:16:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 493f412393b374ca2f104c3f3b3817a0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 941 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 06N6 57E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 07N7 56E1. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER BENEATH AN AXIS OF UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. HOWEVER, THE CONVECTION REMAINS WEAK AND DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: FOR DTG FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/HATFIELD/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 27 08:04:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627522-26773>; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 02:18:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA44170; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 12:12:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6766211 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 13:11:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA30778 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 12:10:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA14791 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 12:10:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710261810.MAA14791@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Oct 1997 12:10:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 202097e08e6d920aeeec5fc4939fad65 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 841 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 07N7 56E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 09.5N4 54.5E4. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 261200Z1 SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WELL-DEFINED, LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER BENEATH A WEAK UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE. THE OVERALL CONVECTIVE PATTERN HAS IMPROVED SIGNIFICANTLY DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVER, ANY ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT MAY BE HINDERED BY LAND INTERACTION SINCE THIS DISTURBANCE IS MOVING NORTHWEST AND IS EXPECTED TO INTERACT WITH THE NORTHEAST COAST OF SOMALIA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ADDITIONAL REGENERATION IS POSSIBLE IF THE SYSTEM RE-EMERGES OVER THE GULF OF ADEN IN 48 TO 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR MORE THAN 12 HOURS NEAR 7.5N2 75.0E2. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/GILLESS/HATFIELD/HONG/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 28 08:06:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627788-3684>; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 03:53:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA36848; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 13:47:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6780957 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 14:46:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA49588 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 13:46:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA17296 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 13:46:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710271946.NAA17296@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Oct 1997 13:46:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7e791503e561763dab162686faf014bc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 741 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 09.5N4 54.5E4 HAS MOVED INLAND OVER NORTHEAST SOMALIA AND HAS DISSIPATED DUE TO INTERACTION WITH LAND AND STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR. AS A RESULT, THIS SYSTEM IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) THE CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 7.5N2 75.0E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND RE-DEVELOPED FARTHER EAST NEAR 8.5N3 79.0E6. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/GILLESS/HATFIELD/HONG/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 29 08:06:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627961-26843>; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 02:09:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA28184; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 12:03:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6792418 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 13:03:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA49618 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 12:03:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA20102 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 12:02:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710281802.MAA20102@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Oct 1997 12:02:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c3b61b7bf85a910a558ea709c987b527 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 271 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/281800Z/291800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY NEAR 8N8 79E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 80E8. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH SUSTAINED CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNSFORD/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 30 10:45:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627803-24320>; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 02:22:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA17274; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 12:15:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6808111 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 13:14:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA17168 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 12:14:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA23104 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 12:14:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710291814.MAA23104@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Oct 1997 12:14:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ce3c8af54a9fc73ca1f0a9011e1959c3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 599 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/291800Z/301800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY NEAR 9N9 80E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 79E6. SYNOPTIC DATA AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH POORLY ORGANIZED CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNSFORD/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 30 10:50:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626554-14858>; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 10:46:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA32684; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 20:39:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6814507 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 21:39:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA22670 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 20:39:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA24171 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 20:39:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710300239.UAA24171@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Oct 1997 20:39:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rmks/1. Formation Of A Significant Tropical Cyclone Is To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 24eea3fc81f6c78888602a0bf52a7dd0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 542 WTXS21 PGTW 292100 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 300100Z OCT 97// RMKS/1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 090 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 7.7S4 165.4W6 TO 12.6S9 167.8W2 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 292100Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 8.8S6 165.9W1. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE NEXT SATELLITE INVESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 300000Z4. 2. REMARKS: BASED ON THE LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE WIND DATA A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THIS AREA DUE TO THE MODERATE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY AND LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WHICH HAS INCREASED INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 310100Z5.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG24363030133 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 1 03:09:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627954-3668>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 02:29:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA49704; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 12:24:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6832770 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 12:24:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA40312 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 12:23:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA05143 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 12:23:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710311823.MAA05143@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 12:23:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 33fde53e6a1b03ea45c0a3e44962ae65 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 195 ABIO10 PGTW 311800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/311800Z OCT 97/011800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 79E6 HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY. SYNOPTIC DATA AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. MOST OF THE CONVECTION IS LOCATED EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/HATFIELD/HONG/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:24:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626009-22680>; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 03:00:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA52842; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 12:57:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6843209 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 12:57:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA26422 for ; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 12:56:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA07193 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 12:56:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711011856.MAA07193@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 12:56:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f6f7129b0123482d6404abd500d6deec Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 654 ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/011800Z/021800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 79E6 HAS WEAKENED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 10:46:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626743-17588>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 04:07:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA40636; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 14:02:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6854133 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 14:00:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA32584 for ; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 14:00:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA02347 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 14:00:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711022000.OAA02347@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 14:00:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f27caddda44f195b86455de7b2d45828 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 492 ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/021800Z/031800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 5 02:57:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626632-29124>; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 02:12:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA12306; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 12:06:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6878748 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 12:06:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA10176 for ; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 12:06:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA08729 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 12:06:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711041806.MAA08729@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Nov 1997 12:06:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 01ccc9efe0fe433be0ad11eaa35615e4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 875 ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/041800Z/051800Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/041351ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 041200Z7 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (20W) WAS LOCATED AT 13.4N8 95.7E1, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 16 (WTIO32 PGTW 041500)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8N8 68E4. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SHIP DATA INDICATE A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS PRESENT WITHIN A EAST-WEST ORIENTED TROUGH. CONVECTION HAS INCREASED IN THIS AREA DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS, HOWEVER IT REMAINS UNORGANIZED. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES MODERATE TO STRONG UPPER LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR EXISTS OVER THE CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1012 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 08N8 85E3 HAS WEAKEN AND MOVED OVER SOUTHERN INDIA AND SRI LANKA. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS MERGED BACK INTO THE LOW PRESSURE TROUGH IN THIS AREA. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/SANCHEZ/HALL/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 6 14:28:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627369-22825>; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 01:50:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA44058; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 11:47:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6891972 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 11:47:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA29180 for ; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 11:47:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA17042 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 11:47:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711051747.LAA17042@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Nov 1997 11:47:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ddad10a98a0b6f20024dc13a0eb1040a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 495 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/051800Z/061800Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/051351ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 051200Z8 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (20W) WAS LOCATED AT 14.5N0 92.9E0, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 20 (WTIO32 PGTW 051500)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 68E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7N7 67E3. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SHIP DATA INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION STILL EXISTS WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. HOWEVER, CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED WITH LITTLE SIGN OF CONCENTRATION AT THIS TIME. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/HALL/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 7 09:22:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627537-15116>; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 02:29:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA48888; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 12:27:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6907670 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 12:27:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA43736 for ; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 12:27:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA29834 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 12:27:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711061827.MAA29834@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 12:27:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4083c0d1d8e731d0ccbc8d519e9fd444 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 522 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800Z/071800Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/061351ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 061200Z9, TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WAS UPGRADED TO TYPHOON LINDA (30W) AND WAS LOCATED AT 15.0N6 92.1E2, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 24 RELOCATED(WTIO32 PGTW 061500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 67E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 65E1. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SHIP DATA INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EXISTS WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. HOWEVER, CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA REMAINS LOOSELY ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME AND SURFACE PRESSURES REMAIN HIGH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR MORE THAN 18 HOURS NEAR 8N8 82E0. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES GOOD CYCLONIC TURNING OF THE CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS AND CLOUD TOPS HAVE COOLED TO -83C IN SEVERAL AREAS NEAR THE SYSTEM CENTER. ALTHOUGH SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A WELL- DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION, PRESSURES REMAIN HIGH AND THE SYSTEM CENTER IS NEAR THE NORTHEAST COAST OF SRI LANKA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:11:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628525-9196>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 02:01:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA27418; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 11:57:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6918741 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 11:57:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA40042 for ; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 11:55:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA04706 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 11:55:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711071755.LAA04706@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Nov 1997 11:55:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7023df12bac3142477fa9e13e21261fb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 617 ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/071800Z/081800Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/071351ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 071200Z0, TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WAS LOCATED AT 15.4N0 90.6E5, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 28 (WTIO32 PGTW 071500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 65E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 54E9. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 071200Z0 SHIP DATA INDICATE A WELL- DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH UPPER- LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. ANIMATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES WEAK CYCLONIC TURNING OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. HOWEVER, SURFACE PRESSURES REMAIN HIGH IN THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 8N8 82E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 79E6. A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXISTS BENEATH A SMALL UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE. SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW GOOD CYCLONIC TURNING OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. HOWEVER, THE SURFACE CIRCULATION HAS MOVED ONSHORE OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHEAST TIP OF INDIA AND LAND INTERACTION WILL INHIBIT ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. SURFACE PRESSURES ALSO REMAIN HIGH IN THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:11:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626890-26831>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 14:18:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA09586; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 00:17:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6924734 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 00:16:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA32814 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 00:16:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA07696 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 00:16:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711080616.AAA07696@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 00:16:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 656e33e848174cbc93a530807647b012 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 331 ABIO10 PGTW 072300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/072300Z/081800Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/071951ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 071800Z0, TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WAS LOCATED AT 14.9N4 90.6E5, AND WAS QUASI-STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 29 (WTIO32 PGTW 072100)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 54E9 HAS NOT MOVED OVER THE PAST THREE HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, 071200Z0 AND 071800Z6 SHIP DATA INDICATE A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. IN ADDITION, CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DEVELOP NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TWO SHIP REPORTS OF 20 KNOTS HAVE BEEN RECEIVED WITHIN 5 DEGREES OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 8N8 82E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 79E6. A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXISTS BENEATH A SMALL UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE. SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW GOOD CYCLONIC TURNING OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. HOWEVER, THE SURFACE CIRCULATION HAS MOVED ONSHORE OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHEAST TIP OF INDIA AND LAND INTERACTION WILL INHIBIT ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. SURFACE PRESSURES ALSO REMAIN HIGH IN THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION: TO UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA IN PARAGRAPH 1.B(1). FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/HATFIELD/HONG/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627177-26832>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 02:06:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA20314; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:56:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6928528 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:56:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA32092 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:54:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA09782 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:54:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711081754.LAA09782@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:54:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1f7cf050431cd9ea4fa773e96563ea4a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 871 ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/081800Z/091800Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/081351ZNOV97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/081355ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 081200Z1, TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WAS LOCATED AT 15.0N6 89.3E0, AND WAS MOVING TO THE NORTHWEST AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 32 (WTIO32 PGTW 081200)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 081200Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WAS LOCATED AT 10.3N4 52.6E3 AND WAS MOVING TO THE WEST AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 2 (WTIO31 PGTW 081200)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 54E9 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE 1A.(2) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 79E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 75E2. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS CURRENTLY LOCATED JUST OFF THE SOUTHWESTERN TIP OF INDIA AND HAS SHOWN A DEFINITE MOVEMENT TOWARDS THE WEST. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS SHOW UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL SUPPORT OVER THIS REGION. AS THE SYSTEM MIGRATES OVER WATER, THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION COMBINED WITH A WEAK ANTICYCLONIC UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW SHOULD ALLOW ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE TO IMPROVE FOR FUTURE DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/HALL/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 11 10:48:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625891-11078>; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 02:23:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA17448; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 12:19:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6948070 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 12:18:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA14288 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 12:18:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA19697 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 12:18:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711101818.MAA19697@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 12:18:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a35de9f21c4585d22e10232a541e506a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 980 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/101800Z/111800Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/101351ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 101200Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WAS LOCATED AT 11.7N9 67.9E2 AND WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 03 (WTIO32 PGTW 101500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15N6 90E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17N8 90E9. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION FORMERLY ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) CONTINUES TO PERSIST IN THE NORTHERN BAY OF BENGAL. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EVIDENT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY HOWEVER THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS LOCATED TO THE EAST AND SOUTH OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS STILL EXPERIENCING MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/HALL/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 12 09:17:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627494-6608>; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 02:52:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA47082; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 12:47:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6960665 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 12:46:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA23238 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 12:46:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA24800 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 12:46:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711111846.MAA24800@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Nov 1997 12:46:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9ee662fce85c2dd59535134cc78be9dd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 040 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z/121800Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/111351ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 111200Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WAS LOCATED AT 13.3N7 65.3E4 AND WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 07 (WTIO32 PGTW 111500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17N8 90E9 AND IS NOW LOCATED OVER MYANMAR AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/SULLINS/LUNDSFORD/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 13 10:08:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627103-25623>; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 03:51:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA16716; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 13:41:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6975472 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 13:40:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA09474 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 13:39:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA00110 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 13:39:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711121939.NAA00110@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Nov 1997 13:39:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d868fe28ef85cc757d1be3c1d7ffdfb6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 922 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/121800Z/131800Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/121351ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 121200Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WAS LOCATED AT 14.6N1 64.2E2 AND WAS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 11 (WTIO32 PGTW 121500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/SULLINS/LUNDSFORD/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 14 11:19:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627039-16248>; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 03:27:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA09602; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 13:25:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6988712 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 13:25:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA33326 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 13:25:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA05043 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 13:25:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711131925.NAA05043@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Nov 1997 13:25:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d33678440dfbe7e59f3fc420e7914b94 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 043 ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/131800Z/141800Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/131351ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: ?(1) AT 131200Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WAS LOCATED AT 14.9N4 62.2E0 AND WAS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 15 (WTIO32 PGTW 131500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: ?(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 12N3 088E6. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WEAK CIRCULATION IS PRESENT IN AN AREA OF TROUGHING LOCATED IN THE BAY OF BENGAL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. ?(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/HALL/JONES// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG11553171751 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627299-12518>; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 04:52:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA16998; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 14:45:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7001291 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 14:45:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA22554 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 14:45:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA10729 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 14:44:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711142044.OAA10729@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Nov 1997 14:44:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4e6bedffaee8447e32a7881ef35b4d59 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 553 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/140151ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140000Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WAS LOCATED AT 13.8N2 60.4E0 AND WAS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000MB. SEE REF A, (TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A FINAL WARNING NR 17 WTIO32 PGTW 140300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THIS SYSTEM IS LONGER A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 12N3 084E2. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THE WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION LOCATED IN THE BAY OF BENGAL HAS PERSISTED. HOWEVER, THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CIRCULATION REMAINS DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/HALL/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627297-12517>; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 04:52:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA30650; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 14:46:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7001309 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 14:46:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA36930 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 14:45:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA10746 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 14:45:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711142045.OAA10746@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Nov 1997 14:45:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: de2b8e1719002dffe5c1327e896d2c24 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 554 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/140151ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140000Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WAS LOCATED AT 13.8N2 60.4E0 AND WAS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000MB. SEE REF A, (TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A FINAL WARNING NR 17 WTIO32 PGTW 140300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THIS SYSTEM IS LONGER A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 12N3 084E2. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THE WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION LOCATED IN THE BAY OF BENGAL HAS PERSISTED. HOWEVER, THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CIRCULATION REMAINS DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/HALL/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626237-15655>; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 02:32:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA37528; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 12:31:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7007082 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 12:31:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA26470 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 12:30:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA14916 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 12:30:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711151830.MAA14916@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Nov 1997 12:30:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5d721ad5af94c170366fd6c483570cc2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 382 ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/151800Z/161800Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/151351Z NOV97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.ON3 84.0E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.6N8 83.1E2. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 151350Z5 MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM,I) PASS INDICATE AN ASSOCIATED WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE CONVECTION REMAINS DISORGANIZED DUE TO UPPER-LEVEL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/SULLINS/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625986-11525>; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 07:58:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA10222; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 17:56:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7008239 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 17:56:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA10196 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 17:56:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA16010 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 17:56:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711152356.RAA16010@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Nov 1997 17:56:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f300b286c84dad44e87ef1d6701701a1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 008 ABIO10 PGTW 152300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/152300Z/161800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.6N8 83.1E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.9N1 82.5E5 AND HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WELL-DEFINED LOW- LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXISTS BENEATH UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND MORE CENTRALIZED WHILE ANIMATED IMAGERY INDICATES WEAK CYCLONIC TURNING OF THE CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUANCE: REMOVE MENTION OF REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/151351Z NOV 97// SINCE TC 04A HAS ALREADY DISSIPATED AND TO UPGRADE POOR SUSPECT AREA TO FAIR SUSPECT AREA IN PARAGRAPH 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630783-11535>; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 04:58:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA25308; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 14:55:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7014311 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 14:55:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA46116 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 14:54:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA19819 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 14:54:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711162054.OAA19819@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Nov 1997 14:54:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 67e1476e88a38e29408df98da91b54ac Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 114 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 82E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13N4 81E9. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 161511Z5 MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE CONVECTION HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PASS SIX HOURS DUE TO AN INCREASE IN THE UPPER- LEVEL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/SULLINS/LUNDSFORD/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630786-11525>; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 04:59:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA32020; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 14:56:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7014316 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 14:56:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA09472 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 14:56:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA19838 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 14:56:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711162056.OAA19838@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Nov 1997 14:56:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6d31fcbadc92b8554f322d415c79263b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 125 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 82E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13N4 81E9. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 161511Z5 MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE CONVECTION HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PASS SIX HOURS DUE TO AN INCREASE IN THE UPPER- LEVEL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/SULLINS/LUNDSFORD/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 18 11:01:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627408-7996>; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 02:23:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA34882; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 12:15:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7023743 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 12:15:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA29794 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 12:14:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA24062 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 12:14:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711171814.MAA24062@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Nov 1997 12:14:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0d26a4e3953b4d2bddba77ecefa49bd0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 020 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171800Z/181800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 81E9 HAS DISSIPATED. THE ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS MOVED INLAND NEAR TAMIL INDIA. REMAINING SCATTERED CONVECTION IS EXPERIENCING UPPER- LEVEL WIND SHEAR. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/SULLINS/LUNSFORD/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 19 14:58:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626577-18905>; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 03:50:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA37522; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 13:47:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7036720 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 13:47:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA43896 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 13:47:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA29345 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 13:47:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711181947.NAA29345@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Nov 1997 13:47:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bc74d67b2ed0cae9f68aacdadacb965b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 055 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/191800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/HATFIELD/MC CULLOCH/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 20 13:50:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627836-14097>; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 01:21:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA16902; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 11:18:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7046868 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 11:18:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA29838 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 11:17:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA04025 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 11:17:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711191717.LAA04025@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Nov 1997 11:17:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3937e46ab91cc01c58c72fd15dff40b2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 866 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/HATFIELD/MC CULLOCH/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 21 14:48:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627133-17896>; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 02:00:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA14664; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 11:58:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7058843 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 11:58:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA10230 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 11:58:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA09339 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 11:58:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711201758.LAA09339@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Nov 1997 11:58:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 07297b009116778ee5926fb41dfc14ce Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 924 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/SULLINS/LUNSFORD/HOOVER/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 22 10:39:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626810-16578>; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 04:01:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA39580; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 13:56:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7072279 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 13:56:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA42538 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 13:56:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA14757 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 13:56:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711211956.NAA14757@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Nov 1997 13:56:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6b2de79171a6435090c25cd7725296da Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 456 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYD/BOYER/LUNSFORD/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 24 08:43:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627048-23640>; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 01:55:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA28366; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 11:53:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7078767 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 11:53:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA30544 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 11:50:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA19111 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 11:50:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711221750.LAA19111@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Nov 1997 11:50:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e4cbf418c35f8b8b8ac8fe8c7d5a636a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 392 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z/231800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 24 08:43:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627048-23649>; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 02:01:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA32264; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 11:56:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7078795 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 11:56:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA04516 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 11:55:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA19131 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 11:55:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711221755.LAA19131@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Nov 1997 11:55:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: O Coast Of To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0a3669be256aba1ba9b038341079859a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 455 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WESOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST T O COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMAR: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 24 08:44:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626566-19549>; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 19:29:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA49076; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 05:25:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7083099 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 05:25:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA46998 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 05:19:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA21090 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 22:02:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711230402.WAA21090@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Nov 1997 22:02:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8420579a19c990772ca9e8659256d75e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 548 ABIO10 PGTW 230400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/230400Z/231800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 09N9 074E1. 222128Z7 INFRARED POLAR ORBITING SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR THE SOUTHERN TIP OF INDIA. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR APPROXIMATELY 12 HOURS. SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA HAS MIGRATED OFF THE WESTERN COAST OF INDIA INTO THE ARABIAN SEA AND IS NOW LOCATED NEAR THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUANCE: ADD SUSPECT AREA IN PARAGRAPH 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/MCCULLOCH/HALL/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 24 08:44:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627525-19550>; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 02:22:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA20254; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 12:20:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7085491 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 12:19:26 -0600 Received: from dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.43]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA36888 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 12:18:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) with ESMTP id MAA23592 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 12:14:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA23736 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 12:00:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711231800.MAA23736@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Nov 1997 12:00:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7122caeff21cc4d88ff0e46a47762ee5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 508 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/241800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 09N9 074E1 HAS REDEVELOPED FURTHER SOUTHEAST NEAR 07N7 077E4. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER NEAR THE SOUTHERN TIP OF INDIA. ALTHOUGH THE CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED IN THIS GENERAL REGION FOR OVER 24 HOURS, IT STILL REMAINS DISORGANIZED. SYNOPTIC DATA CONTINUES TO INDICATE A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WHICH IS LOCATED NEAR THE SOUTHWEST TIP OF INDIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 25 09:15:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627900-5780>; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 01:51:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA20322; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 11:47:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7094906 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 11:46:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA16824 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 11:46:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA28042 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 11:46:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711241746.LAA28042@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Nov 1997 11:46:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 35d32afe945fb9500f1c54370f56e44a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 427 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 07N7 77E4 HAS REFORMED NEAR 07N7 72E9. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE A BROAD REGION OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED OFF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF INDIA IN THE ARABIAN SEA. THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN DEVELOPING OVER THE SAME GENERAL REGION FOR THE PAST 48 HOURS. HOWEVER, THE CONVECTION STILL REMAINS DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 26 09:46:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628066-29658>; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 03:07:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA36798; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 13:05:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7106376 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 13:04:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA09304 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 13:04:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA03265 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 13:04:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711251904.NAA03265@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Nov 1997 13:04:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9f1214b5076e319eb3f154d8b39663ab Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 509 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 07N7 72E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 69E5. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A BROAD AREA OF DISORGANIZED CONVECTION. A 251330Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS AND SPARSE SYNOPTIC DATA SUPPORT A WEAK LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 9N9 70E7. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOUR REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/SULLINS/EIBLING/DOBBINS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 27 13:48:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628142-21030>; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 02:46:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA42640; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 12:43:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7118209 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 12:43:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA40958 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 12:43:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA08462 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 12:43:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711261843.MAA08462@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Nov 1997 12:43:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 43008695d3f6eb9ef471910841100c6c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 556 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 69E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 69E0. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THIS AREA OF CONVECTION REMAINS DISORGANIZED. NUMEROUS SHIP REPORTS SUPPORT A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER SOUTH OF THE CONVECTION NEAR 8N8 69E5. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOUR REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/SULLINS/EIBLING/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 27 13:48:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628141-21040>; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 03:33:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA28868; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 13:32:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7118984 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 13:31:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA25366 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 13:31:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA08623 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 13:31:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711261931.NAA08623@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Nov 1997 13:31:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 98a9b37ee53784ea3256fb15c7ea3e44 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 312 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 69E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 69E5. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THIS AREA OF CONVECTION REMAINS DISORGANIZED. NUMEROUS SHIP REPORTS SUPPORT A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 8N8 69E5. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOUR REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/SULLINS/EIBLING/TIRSCHEL// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 27 13:48:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628141-21030>; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 03:36:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA30712; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 13:34:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7119007 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 13:34:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA28900 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 13:34:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA08640 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 13:34:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711261934.NAA08640@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Nov 1997 13:34:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 85ab55e97990b084fe40f50b9388da27 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 396 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 69E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 69E5. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THIS AREA OF CONVECTION REMAINS DISORGANIZED. NUMEROUS SHIP REPORTS SUPPORT A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 8N8 69E5. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOUR REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/SULLINS/EIBLING/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 28 09:06:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627074-15098>; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 04:58:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA09694; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 14:57:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7127933 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 14:56:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA21668 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 14:56:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA13325 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 14:56:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711272056.OAA13325@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Nov 1997 14:56:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c8eed82ad23b60cbeca42e0720f0daeb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 550 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 11N2 69E5 HAS NOT MOVED. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE A BROAD AREA OF GENERALLY DISORGANIZED CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOUR REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 29 09:27:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627465-1524>; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 01:32:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA32454; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 11:29:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7132774 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 11:29:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA21628 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 11:29:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA17014 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 11:29:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711281729.LAA17014@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Nov 1997 11:29:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 585e80c0b0c4b44f40f0dba35752e152 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 689 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/281800Z/291800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 69E5 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 1 02:41:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627105-24970>; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 02:02:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA52748; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 12:00:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7139739 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 12:00:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA52746 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 11:59:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA21497 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 11:59:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711291759.LAA21497@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Nov 1997 11:59:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3fe63a3f9441944a7015d78f8049fcd8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 534 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/291800Z/301800Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/SULLINS/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 1 02:41:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625915-3088>; Mon, 1 Dec 1997 01:55:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA25266; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 11:54:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7146878 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 11:54:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA48534 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 11:54:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA25844 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 11:54:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711301754.LAA25844@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Nov 1997 11:54:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4d03116129a044897b75a97d9576132c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 561 ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/301800Z NOV TO 011800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/SULLINS/EIBLING/DOBBINS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 2 09:12:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626764-12264>; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 01:55:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA36750; Mon, 1 Dec 1997 11:54:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7160036 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 1 Dec 1997 11:53:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA17430 for ; Mon, 1 Dec 1997 11:53:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA00507 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 1 Dec 1997 11:53:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712011753.LAA00507@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 1 Dec 1997 11:53:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 52cda6e6f1ee22f94defaae10889feb1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 430 ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/011800Z/021800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/SULLINS/EIBLING/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 4 11:35:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627076-21708>; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 01:36:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA21518; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 11:34:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7184558 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 11:34:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA26476 for ; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 11:33:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA06321 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 11:33:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712031733.LAA06321@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Dec 1997 11:33:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 95e2a5961e7e6916458a0b28eb05f33d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 411 ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/031800Z/041800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH R)P.9OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 4 11:35:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627116-21711>; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 01:40:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA21736; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 11:34:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7184551 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 11:34:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA17508 for ; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 11:33:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA06326 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 11:33:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712031733.LAA06326@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Dec 1997 11:33:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fe2961e124cb90054c3e131ed2fa146d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 412 ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/031800Z/041800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/MCCULLOCH/HALL/JONES// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 4 11:35:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627085-21708>; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 02:09:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA15694; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 12:06:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7184945 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 12:06:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA29662 for ; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 12:05:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA06466 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 12:05:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712031805.MAA06466@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Dec 1997 12:05:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c524d47b0e6aeab49bcdeb86a5961459 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 921 ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/031800Z/041800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/MCCULLOCH/HALL/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 4 11:35:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627133-21711>; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 02:16:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA36118; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 12:13:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7185052 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 12:13:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA25070 for ; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 12:13:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA06492 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 12:13:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712031813.MAA06492@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Dec 1997 12:13:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0f626a7e1333ff8625d2ff06f73596f4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 159 ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WESTHGU// 9 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/031800Z/041800Z DEN TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/MCCULLOCH/HALL/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 5 09:35:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627302-15763>; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 01:47:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA50004; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 11:42:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7197673 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 11:41:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA36870 for ; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 11:41:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA13290 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 11:41:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712041741.LAA13290@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Dec 1997 11:41:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d4192510f2030cf0f2480ef8f1798a1f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 803 ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/041800Z/051800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/SULLINS/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 7 12:58:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627155-13575>; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 01:02:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA35986; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 10:59:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7208054 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 10:57:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA17576 for ; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 10:56:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA18307 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 10:55:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712051655.KAA18307@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Dec 1997 10:55:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fd54fc3a0d7c00325586284496bbeb63 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 650 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/051800Z/061800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/SULLINS/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 7 12:59:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626039-1588>; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 07:47:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA38640; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 17:45:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7212321 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 17:45:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA43766 for ; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 17:44:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA03834 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 17:44:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712052344.RAA03834@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Dec 1997 17:44:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 823eae76513e339224d14ba44f71d4fd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 388 ABIO10 PGTW 052330 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/052330Z/061800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 9N 64E. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR AT LEAST 18 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THAT THERE IS A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTION. HOWEVER, SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ACROSS THIS DISTURBANCE. THIS, ALONG WITH RELATIVELY HIGH PRESSURES ACROSS THE REGION SHOULD INHIBIT ANY DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 7 13:02:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627389-1587>; Sun, 7 Dec 1997 01:59:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA22728; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 11:54:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7219290 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 11:53:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA14700 for ; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 11:53:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA07461 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 11:53:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712061753.LAA07461@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Dec 1997 11:53:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 844211f2ce9dcf8035e971aca4b832d4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 376 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800Z/071800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 64E0 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE ARABIAN SEA WHERE A WEAK SURFACE CIRCULATION WAS PREVIOUSLY LOCATED. SYNOPTIC DATA SHOWS AN ELONGATED AREA OF CONVERGENCE FROM 8N8 53E8 TO 10N1 70E7 ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/MCCULLOCH/HALL/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 9 08:31:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627443-16043>; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 01:59:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA37718; Mon, 8 Dec 1997 11:56:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7236215 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 8 Dec 1997 11:56:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA41672 for ; Mon, 8 Dec 1997 11:56:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA16416 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Dec 1997 11:56:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712081756.LAA16416@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Dec 1997 11:56:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c84777b57462ff1aa5a1fb2866cf0c92 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 716 ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/081800Z/091800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/MCCULLOCH/HALL/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 10 12:08:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627612-9276>; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 01:48:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA36084; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 11:46:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7249913 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 11:46:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA12958 for ; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 11:46:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA21151 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 11:45:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712091745.LAA21151@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Dec 1997 11:45:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2a72dd3d7c2995ce525321eafbec5a9e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 950 ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/091800Z/101800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNSFORD/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627645-3010>; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 04:42:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA27600; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 14:41:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7266165 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 14:39:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA33858 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 14:38:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA26424 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 14:38:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712102038.OAA26424@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Dec 1997 14:38:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 71c706b834d0c1f2b0fac08d8e8e6f48 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 096 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/101800Z/111800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627023-29771>; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 02:15:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA54186; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 12:13:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7280886 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 12:13:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA33874 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 12:12:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA28289 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 12:12:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712111812.MAA28289@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Dec 1997 12:12:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7c6de4290a7a3994cb124572164bcb83 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 557 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z/121800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/MCCULLOCH/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627028-29769>; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 03:02:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA61714; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 12:58:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7281674 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 12:58:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA31718 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 12:58:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA28490 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 12:58:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712111858.MAA28490@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Dec 1997 12:58:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Uth Indian Ocean Area (135e9 West To Coast Of To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4515dbfc5120b32ade2672dd6d7f7a58 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 569 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMOS UTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTUR BUARG MARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627848-24171>; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 02:40:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA10488; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 12:36:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7294626 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 12:34:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA31246 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 11:56:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA00322 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 11:56:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712121756.LAA00322@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Dec 1997 11:56:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f1ec44b96e2685957e91dd707587b5e1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 324 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/121800Z/131800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 12S3 54E9. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA IS LIMITED, HOWEVER, SURROUNDING SHIP REPORTS INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS PRESENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/MCCULLOCH/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627854-24175>; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 02:11:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA44792; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 12:08:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7294287 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 12:06:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA10000 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 12:05:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA00338 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 12:05:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712121805.MAA00338@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Dec 1997 12:05:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/signifinant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1fe05d28fd2178c877a508c79ca8437d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 513 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFINANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/121800Z/131800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINEILA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 22. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLOM BD MARZ: NONE. B. TROPICAES AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA IS LIMITED, HOWEVER, SURROUNDING SHIP REPORTS INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS PRESENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIALPFOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILEEBRAND/HATFIELD/MCCULLOCH/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:46:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627978-13139>; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 02:15:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA10358; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 12:12:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7306030 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 12:11:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA40254 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 12:11:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA02352 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 12:11:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712131811.MAA02352@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Dec 1997 12:11:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b6197a7cf8e5fdb6d2be8126da495ae3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 984 ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/131800Z/141800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 54E9 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS NEAR THIS AREA, BUT ITS FORM SUGGESTS THAT IT IS LINEAR CONVECTION OR ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH REMAINING IN THE AREA. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:46:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629397-6204>; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 02:09:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA47988; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 12:07:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7313206 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 12:07:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA50514 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 12:07:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA03845 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 12:07:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712141807.MAA03845@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Dec 1997 12:07:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 335ee9faa20e5e42842afab0703bcd0e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 328 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 16 11:20:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627249-332>; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 02:21:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA23698; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 12:19:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7322116 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 12:19:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA40408 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 12:18:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA05489 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 12:18:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712151818.MAA05489@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Dec 1997 12:18:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9c2e41b29ef8fd292f50b88038ded395 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 111 ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/151800Z/161800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 17 12:03:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629662-5230>; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 01:57:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA54216; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 11:56:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7333413 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 11:56:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA14768 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 11:56:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA07261 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 11:55:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712161755.LAA07261@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Dec 1997 11:55:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: aed91f20c961d6afdbafaf830fc94827 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 156 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/SANCHEZ/BOYD/DOBBINS/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 17 12:03:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628683-5228>; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 03:00:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA24614; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 12:54:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7334158 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 12:53:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA29648 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 12:53:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA07345 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 12:53:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712161853.MAA07345@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Dec 1997 12:53:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 574e3b73859cd5e5a8c6a9f83caeabb9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 568 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/SANCHEZ/BOYD/DOBBINS/GILL// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEDMCA26093501806 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 18 08:58:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626720-4771>; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 01:45:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA25522; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 11:43:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7345188 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 11:42:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA50836 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 11:42:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA08978 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 11:42:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712171742.LAA08978@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Dec 1997 11:42:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3b0563ce07bae82e6012967cf9a8ba03 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 788 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171800Z/181800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 18 14:49:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627532-15673>; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 14:46:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA43552; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 00:45:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7353333 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 00:45:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA43710 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 00:44:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA09939 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 00:44:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712180644.AAA09939@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Dec 1997 00:44:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 419b2201f670a851f54c4ac18b2e4a90 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 168 ABIO10 PGTW 180630 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/180630Z/181800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 12S3 119E1. ANIMATED VISUAL AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THIS AREA HAS DEVELOPED WITHIN THE PAST 12 HOURS ALONG A TROUGH EXTENDING BACK TO THE NORTHWEST COAST OF AUSTRALIA NEAR 16N7 125E8. ANALYSES FROM ERS-2 SCATTEROMETER PASSES AT 171440Z7 AND 180139Z2 INDICATE THE POSSIBILITY OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION UNDER THIS CONVECTIVE AREA. UPPER LEVEL WATER VAPOR-DERIVED WINDS INDICATE FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE OVER THE AREA, ALTHOUGH THE UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE APPEARS TO BE CLOSER TO THE AUSTRALIAN COAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR, BUT MAY IMPROVE BY THE END OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD IF THE CONVECTION IS SUSTAINED. (2) JUSTIFICATION: THIS BULLETIN REISSUED TO INCLUDE ABOVE AREA IN TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HONG/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 19 09:29:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629989-15666>; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 01:57:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAB34696; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 11:55:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7357392 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 11:55:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA37436 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 11:55:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA10637 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 11:55:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712181755.LAA10637@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Dec 1997 11:55:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 89e94ef4942b1f6c3220e489753eb0c7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 668 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/181900Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 11S3 118E1. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THIS AREA HAS CONTINUED TO PERSIST DURING THE PAST 18 HOURS ALONG A TROUGH EXTENDING TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST COAST OF AUSTRALIA. ALTHOUGH EARLIER SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATED SOME CYCLONIC TURNING IN THE MIDDLE LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE, MORE RECENT IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION HAS TAKEN A MORE LINEAR SHAPE. ADDITIONALLY, A MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS AT 181129Z2 INDICATED THAT A WELL DEFINED LOWER LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS YET TO DEVELOP. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/JOHNSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 19 15:06:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627189-11135>; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 14:40:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA14118; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 00:39:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7363560 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 00:38:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA10082 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 00:36:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA11744 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 00:36:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712190636.AAA11744@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Dec 1997 00:36:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weatheoumotb. Tropical Disturbance Summary: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8d3b42c4b14e6def48fa025fce8656d2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 459 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHEOUMOTB. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 11S3 118E1. ANMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THIS AREA HAS CONTINUED TOOIG EXEN NG TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST COAST OF AUSTRALIA. ALTHOUGH EARLIER SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATED SOME CYCLONIC TURNING IN THE MIDDLE LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE, MTRE RECENT IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION HAS TAKEN A MORE LINEAR SHAPE. ADDITIONALLY, A MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS AT 181129Z2 INDICATED THAT A WELL DEFINED LOWER LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS YET TO DEVELOP. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/JOHNSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 19 15:06:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626526-11145>; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 14:54:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA59012; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 00:53:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7363702 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 00:53:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA53592 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 00:53:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA11764 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 00:53:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712190653.AAA11764@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Dec 1997 00:53:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weatheoumotb. Tropical Disturbance Summary: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 122d11d581f530e88d4576b54f17933f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 803 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHEOUMOTB. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 11S3 118E1. ANMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THIS AREA HAS CONTINUED TOOIG EXEN NG TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST COAST OF AUSTRALIA. ALTHOUGH EARLIER SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATED SOME CYCLONIC TURNING IN THE MIDDLE LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE, MTRE RECENT IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION HAS OHSAZ 943 )8,3-4 #-03. ADDITIONALLY, A MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS AT 181129Z2 INDICATED THAT A WELL DEFINED LOWER LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS ZET TO DEVELOP. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED ATLQP TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/JOHNSON/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 22 14:17:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3081 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626442-29178>; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 02:17:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA12702; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 12:15:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7367814 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 12:15:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA29554 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 12:15:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA12621 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 12:15:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712191815.MAA12621@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Dec 1997 12:15:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 446358eda2e69ac548ad3e5a81840962 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 388 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 118E0 IS DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 22 14:17:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2499 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626905-20896>; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 01:55:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA61468; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 11:54:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7375183 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 11:53:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA58062 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 11:53:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA14327 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 11:53:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712201753.LAA14327@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Dec 1997 11:53:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9034472bc8869aea4fb432324a8765ff Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 072 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 22 14:17:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4236 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627717-2524>; Mon, 22 Dec 1997 01:24:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA12544; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 11:23:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7380184 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 11:23:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA14282 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 11:23:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA15851 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 11:23:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712211723.LAA15851@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Dec 1997 11:23:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2d38f3ceed3ff18e10287d2dfa688801 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 390 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 23 10:10:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2464 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626078-14534>; Tue, 23 Dec 1997 01:50:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA14704; Mon, 22 Dec 1997 11:49:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7386000 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Dec 1997 11:47:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA19180 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 1997 11:47:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA17417 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Dec 1997 11:47:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712221747.LAA17417@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Dec 1997 11:47:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 275ee7fcaeb0f80d5cfd76f50061135e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 813 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z/231800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:23:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1651 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626570-27609>; Wed, 24 Dec 1997 01:54:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA59696; Tue, 23 Dec 1997 11:53:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7392172 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Dec 1997 11:52:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA55778 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 1997 11:52:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA19217 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Dec 1997 11:52:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712231752.LAA19217@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Dec 1997 11:52:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 68b1b6497906be2be153e9c35458b74f Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 27 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 356 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/241800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/EIBLING/DOBBINS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:23:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2033 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626524-27603>; Wed, 24 Dec 1997 01:59:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA44896; Tue, 23 Dec 1997 11:58:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7392231 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Dec 1997 11:58:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA29510 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 1997 11:58:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA19239 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Dec 1997 11:58:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712231758.LAA19239@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Dec 1997 11:58:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Dmin/navpacmetoccen West Gu// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f4ef4c07b4ddfcc689ac6637b69b7deb Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 28 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 444 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GEN DMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/- 1800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135EE WEST T COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:23:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4225 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627055-11257>; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 01:57:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA21462; Wed, 24 Dec 1997 11:56:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7398397 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Dec 1997 11:56:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA38560 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 1997 11:56:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA20874 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Dec 1997 11:56:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712241756.LAA20874@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Dec 1997 11:56:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dfa8a716b16699dd90da63adf7d9d936 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 65 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 777 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/EIBLING/DOBBINS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:23:55 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4024 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627199-12582>; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 08:39:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA08472; Wed, 24 Dec 1997 18:38:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7399515 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Dec 1997 18:38:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id SAA50668 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 1997 18:38:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA21224 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Dec 1997 18:38:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712250038.SAA21224@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Dec 1997 18:38:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 71b639e8d3a39f9875bd748865fc6d5a Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 76 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 707 ABIO10 PGTW 250100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/250100Z/261800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 11S2 128E1. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 4 HOURS AND HAS INCREASED IN AREAL COVERAGE. 240930Z8 SCATTEROMETER IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF CONVERGENCE RATHER THAN A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:01 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2414 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627294-12577>; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 21:15:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA49528; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 07:14:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7401124 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 07:13:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA13614 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 07:13:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA22109 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 07:13:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712251313.HAA22109@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Dec 1997 07:13:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f7620f8507c8f22bbf1cbd1a17c91b26 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 96 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 533 ABIO10 PGTW 251300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251300Z/251800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 11S2 128E1 HAS REDEVELOPED FURTHER EAST AT 12S3 129E2. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR AT LEAST 16 HOURS AND HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3816 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626816-12580>; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 03:32:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA59664; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 13:32:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7401772 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 13:30:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA48086 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 13:30:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA22466 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 13:30:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712251930.NAA22466@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Dec 1997 13:30:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0cbba8afd4e08f4b1c5586453cb7908a Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 100 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 194 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S2 129E1 IS NOW NEAR 12S2 130E4. ALTHOUGH INFRARED SATELLITE DATA INDICATES CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT OF INTENSE CONVECTION, 251500Z3 RADAR DATA FROM DARWIN, AUSTRALIA INDICATES ONLY A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 11.6S8 AND 130.9E3 WHICH IS OVER MELVILLE ISLAND. THE RADAR DATA DID NOT INDICATE ANY CONVECTIVE BANDING FEATURES BUT ONLY WEAK LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW. SYNOPTIC DATA FROM 251200Z0 ALSO CONFIRMS THIS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. IN LIGHT OF THIS ADDITIONAL DATA, THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1485 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628016-3727>; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 11:35:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA09410; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 21:34:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7402640 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 21:33:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA49518 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 21:33:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA22877 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 21:33:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712260333.VAA22877@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Dec 1997 21:33:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 170a29b4c80592c3d2768d1e079246c1 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 109 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 753 WTXS31 PGTW 260300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 11.2S4 132.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 080 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.2S4 132.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 11.1S3 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 11.1S3 133.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 11.2S4 134.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 11.4S6 134.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 11.2S4 132.4E0 LATEST INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA SHOWS THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA HAS DEVELOPED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND HAS DEVELOPED INTO TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA FROM MCCLUER ISLAND (WMO 94135), CAPE DON (WMO 94129) AND SURROUNDING SHIP REPORTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ITS EASTWARD TRACK THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT IS STEERED BY LOW TO MID LEVEL WESTERLY WINDS. AFTER 12 HOURS TC 08S IS EXPECTED TO SLOW ITS FORWARD SPEED AS THE LOW LEVEL STEERING FLOW WEAKENS. ALTHOUGH TC 08S HAS INTENSIFIED RAPIDLY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWER THAN AN AVERAGE TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND. ADDITIONALLY, AT THE 24 HOUR PERIOD TC 08S IS EXPECTED TO ENCOUNTER LIGHT WINDS FROM THE EAST WHICH WILL INHIBIT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z8 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8) AND 270300Z2. // +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4182 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626033-3725>; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 13:38:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA12830; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 23:38:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7403018 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 23:36:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA13018 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 23:36:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA22964 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 23:36:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712260536.XAA22964@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Dec 1997 23:36:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1b20624dd413597c09a5a611d1189c94 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 111 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 028 ABIO10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/260600Z/261800Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 260151Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 260000Z8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S WAS LOCATED AT 11.2S4 132.1E7, MOVING EASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S WARNING NR 01 (WTXS31 PGTW 260000) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 130E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11S2 132E6 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE ABOVE, PARAGRAPH 2.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 12S3 110E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 112E4. LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION APPROXIMATELY 50 NM TO THE EAST OF THE CLOSEST CONVECTION. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CONVECTION IS BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED AND IS NEARER TO THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION: TO UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA TO FAIR AND INCLUDE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING INFORMATION. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/JONES// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:07 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3067 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627417-3724>; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 15:26:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA20776; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 01:25:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7403347 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 01:23:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA27552 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 01:23:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA23122 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 01:23:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712260723.BAA23122@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Dec 1997 01:23:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 439c9e4ac22f503c1dfc82f5cc2fe852 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 119 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 404 WTXS31 PGTW 260300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 11.2S4 132.1E7 PAGE 02 RUEDMCA3888 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 080 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.2S4 132.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 11.1S3 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 11.1S3 133.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUEDMCA3888 UNCLAS 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 11.2S4 134.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 11.4S6 134.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 11.2S4 132.4E0 LATEST INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURROUNDING PAGE 04 RUEDMCA3888 UNCLAS SYNOPTIC DATA SHOWS THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA HAS DEVELOPED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND HAS DEVELOPED INTO TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA FROM MCCLUER ISLAND (WMO 94135), CAPE DON (WMO 94129) AND SURROUNDING SHIP REPORTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ITS EASTWARD TRACK THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT IS STEERED BY LOW TO MID LEVEL WESTERLY WINDS. AFTER 12 HOURS TC 08S IS EXPECTED TO SLOW ITS FORWARD SPEED AS THE LOW LEVEL STEERING FLOW WEAKENS. ALTHOUGH TC 08S HAS INTENSIFIED RAPIDLY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWER THAN AN AVERAGE TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND. ADDITIONALLY, AT THE 24 HOUR PERIOD TC 08S IS EXPECTED TO ENCOUNTER LIGHT WINDS FROM THE EAST WHICH WILL INHIBIT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z8 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8) AND 270300Z2. // BT #3888 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:12 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3304 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627498-3724>; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 22:29:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA59784; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 08:28:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7404008 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 08:26:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA20824 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 08:26:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA23599 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 08:26:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712261426.IAA23599@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Dec 1997 08:26:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 820a47a44e1a6d930ad63896d812a538 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 131 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 278 WTXS31 PGTW 261500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- 11.1S3 133.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 11.1S3 133.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 11.2S4 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 11.6S8 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 12.2S5 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 12.9S2 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION 11.1S3 133.5E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) IS MOVING SLOWLY EASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 261130Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND CONTINUITY WITH A SYNOPTIC FIX AT 260300Z1 FROM WMO NUMBERS 94135 AND 94134. SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM IS STILL INTENSIFYING. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING AND OBSERVATIONS FROM MCCLUER ISLAND (WMO NUMBER 94135) INDICATING 35 KNOT SUSTAINED WINDS AT 260500Z3 AS THE SYSTEM PASSED NEARBY. THE SYSTEM SHOULD INTENSIFY SLOWLY AS IT IS LOCATED IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO LAND DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE FORECAST TRACK OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE STEERED EASTWARD BY NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGING TO ITS NORTH FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. AFTERWARD, TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) SHOULD BE STEERED IN A MORE SOUTHEASTWARD DIRECTION DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS WHICH EXTENDS EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6) AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1601 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627416-3727>; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 01:40:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA12858; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 11:39:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7404375 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 11:38:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA52432 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 11:38:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA23778 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 11:38:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712261738.LAA23778@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Dec 1997 11:38:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 157b82706f4cf953577104cf16848746 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 134 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 130 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 261351Z DEC 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 261421Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 261200Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) WAS LOCATED AT 11.1S3 133.2E9, MOVING EASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S WARNING NR 02 (WTXS31 PGTW 261200)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 112E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13S4 112E4. LATEST INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO FORM NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT FOR THIS AREA IS GOOD. THIS AREA IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT( WTXS22 PGTW 261430)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:13 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1677 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626574-3725>; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 01:42:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA27640; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 11:41:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7404389 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 11:39:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA29554 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 11:39:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA23784 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 11:39:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712261739.LAA23784@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Dec 1997 11:39:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5186ecee282fec8a8ed429575a4f6886 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 135 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 187 WTXS22 PGTW 261430 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 261423Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 170 NM RADIUS OF 13.6S0 112.5E9 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 261200Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.8S1 112.2E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: A SCATTEROMETER PASS FROM 261529Z5 INDICATED THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IN THE SOUTHEAST INDIAN OCEAN HAD WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS. ALTHOUGH CONVECTION HAS BEEN LOCATED TO THE WEST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DURING MUCH OF THE DAY, RECENT SATELLITE DATA INDICATES THAT CONVECTION IS STARTING TO FORM CLOSER TOWARDS THE CENTER. SYNOPTIC CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT TO COMMENCE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 271430Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2922 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626411-3725>; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 02:41:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA55554; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 12:40:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7404589 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 12:38:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA50542 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 12:38:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA23839 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 12:38:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712261838.MAA23839@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Dec 1997 12:38:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a7d75a4631ae6ff17f2d11dea3d5c101 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 137 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 483 WTXS22 PGTW 261430 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 261423Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 170 NM RADIUS OF 13.6S0 112.5E9 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS PAGE 02 RUEDMCA4739 UNCLAS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 261200Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.8S1 112.2E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: A SCATTEROMETER PASS FROM 261529Z5 INDICATED THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IN THE SOUTHEAST INDIAN OCEAN HAD WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS. ALTHOUGH CONVECTION HAS BEEN LOCATED TO THE WEST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DURING MUCH OF THE DAY, RECENT SATELLITE DATA INDICATES THAT CONVECTION IS STARTING TO FORM CLOSER TOWARDS THE CENTER. SYNOPTIC CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT TO COMMENCE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. BT #4739 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3044 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627416-3725>; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 02:45:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA56564; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 12:44:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7404606 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 12:43:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA34630 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 12:41:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA23847 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 12:41:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712261841.MAA23847@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Dec 1997 12:41:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0e79c629734014145f88129fb6ae8119 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 139 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 588 WTXS31 PGTW 261500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUEOMCB1177 UNCLAS 261200Z1 --- 11.1S3 133.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 11.1S3 133.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 11.2S4 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUEOMCB1177 UNCLAS 271200Z2 --- 11.6S8 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 12.2S5 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 12.9S2 137.2E3 PAGE 04 RUEOMCB1177 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION 11.1S3 133.5E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) IS MOVING SLOWLY EASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 261130Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND CONTINUITY WITH A SYNOPTIC FIX AT 260300Z1 FROM WMO NUMBERS 94135 AND 94134. SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM IS STILL INTENSIFYING. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING AND OBSERVATIONS FROM MCCLUER ISLAND (WMO NUMBER 94135) INDICATING 35 KNOT SUSTAINED WINDS AT 260500Z3 AS THE SYSTEM PASSED NEARBY. THE SYSTEM SHOULD INTENSIFY SLOWLY AS IT IS LOCATED IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO LAND DURING THE PAGE 05 RUEOMCB1177 UNCLAS FORECAST PERIOD. THE FORECAST TRACK OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE STEERED EASTWARD BY NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGING TO ITS NORTH FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. AFTERWARD, TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) SHOULD BE STEERED IN A MORE SOUTHEASTWARD DIRECTION DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS WHICH EXTENDS EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 BT #1177 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:14 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2999 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627219-3727>; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 02:43:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA56470; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 12:43:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7404601 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 12:41:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA56386 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 12:41:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA23851 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 12:41:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712261841.MAA23851@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Dec 1997 12:41:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 41cb1815e70722b4f958422545d51524 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 138 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 589 WTXS22 PGTW 261430 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 261423Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 170 NM RADIUS OF 13.6S0 112.5E9 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS PAGE 02 RUHPSGG3367 UNCLAS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 261200Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.8S1 112.2E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: A SCATTEROMETER PASS FROM 261529Z5 INDICATED THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IN THE SOUTHEAST INDIAN OCEAN HAD WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS. ALTHOUGH CONVECTION HAS BEEN LOCATED TO THE WEST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DURING MUCH OF THE DAY, RECENT SATELLITE DATA INDICATES THAT CONVECTION IS STARTING TO FORM CLOSER TOWARDS THE CENTER. SYNOPTIC CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT TO COMMENCE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 271430Z7. 4. MSG RELEASED FOR NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU.// BT #3367 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:15 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3099 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627416-3727>; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 02:47:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA55658; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 12:46:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7404611 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 12:44:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA50666 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 12:44:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA23855 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 12:44:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712261844.MAA23855@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Dec 1997 12:44:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9ea3745fa1b58f6740d380d1783864d1 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 140 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 635 WTXS31 PGTW 261500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUHPSGG3377 UNCLAS 261200Z1 --- 11.1S3 133.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 11.1S3 133.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 11.2S4 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3377 UNCLAS 271200Z2 --- 11.6S8 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 12.2S5 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 12.9S2 137.2E3 PAGE 04 RUHPSGG3377 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION 11.1S3 133.5E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) IS MOVING SLOWLY EASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 261130Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND CONTINUITY WITH A SYNOPTIC FIX AT 260300Z1 FROM WMO NUMBERS 94135 AND 94134. SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM IS STILL INTENSIFYING. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING AND OBSERVATIONS FROM MCCLUER ISLAND (WMO NUMBER 94135) INDICATING 35 KNOT SUSTAINED WINDS AT 260500Z3 AS THE SYSTEM PASSED NEARBY. THE SYSTEM SHOULD INTENSIFY SLOWLY AS IT IS LOCATED IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO LAND DURING THE PAGE 05 RUHPSGG3377 UNCLAS FORECAST PERIOD. THE FORECAST TRACK OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE STEERED EASTWARD BY NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGING TO ITS NORTH FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. AFTERWARD, TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) SHOULD BE STEERED IN A MORE SOUTHEASTWARD DIRECTION DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS WHICH EXTENDS EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6) AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9). 2. MSG RELEASED FOR NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU.// BT #3377 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2812 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626429-20518>; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 10:58:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA24620; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 20:52:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7405740 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 20:51:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA17430 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 20:51:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA24275 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 20:51:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712270251.UAA24275@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Dec 1997 20:51:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Gu 261423z Dec 97 Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 129c60f7a173a433edb4ca311778c3db Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 152 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 279 WTXS32 PGTW 270300 THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 261423Z DEC 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS22 PGTW 261430) 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- 14.6S1 110.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.6S1 110.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 15.4S0 109.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 15.9S5 108.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 16.3S0 107.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 16.8S5 105.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION 14.8S3 110.5E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS STILL CONSOLIDATING AND DIFFICULT TO POSITION. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 262330Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED TO BE A SLOWER THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE AS IT CONSOLIDATES. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE SYSTEM=S SOUTH- SOUTHEAST IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO PROVIDE THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE MOVING TC 09C SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5 (DTG 271353Z1) AND 280300Z3 (DTG 280153Z9). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 261423Z DEC 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS22 PGTW 261430) REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3569 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626670-20513>; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 11:34:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA59756; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 21:11:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7405851 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 21:11:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA59732 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 21:11:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA24330 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 21:11:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712270311.VAA24330@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Dec 1997 21:11:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Gu 261423z Dec 97 Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e4bd83a0c2f090f80266dc19d9214f8f Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 154 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 654 WTXS32 PGTW 270300 THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 261423Z DEC 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS22 PGTW 261430) 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- 14.6S1 110.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.6S1 110.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 15.4S0 109.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 15.9S5 108.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 16.3S0 107.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 16.8S5 105.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION 14.8S3 110.5E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS STILL CONSOLIDATING AND DIFFICULT TO POSITION. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 262330Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED TO BE A SLOWER THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE AS IT CONSOLIDATES. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE SYSTEM'S SOUTH- SOUTHEAST IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO PROVIDE THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE MOVING TC 09C SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5 (DTG 271353Z1) AND 280300Z3 (DTG 280153Z9). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 261423Z DEC 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS22 PGTW 261430) REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #1571 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2127 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627577-20517>; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 22:46:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA54090; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 08:45:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7407376 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 08:45:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA54062 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 08:45:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA25177 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 08:45:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712271445.IAA25177@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Dec 1997 08:45:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f44dc5244b3e8891b4d8a350487eef74 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 171 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 693 WTXS32 PGTW 271500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- 15.2S8 109.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.2S8 109.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 15.7S3 108.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 16.3S0 107.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 17.0S8 105.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 17.9S7 104.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 271500Z5 POSITION 15.3S9 109.6E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 271036Z9 MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I). INFRARED IMAGERY SHOW A 7 NM CLOUD FILLED EYE. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI4.0 (65 KNOTS). THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE A SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE STEERING IS PROVIDED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST. TC 09S (SELWYN) IS EXPECTED TO INTENSITY VERY SLOWLY DUE TO SHEAR FROM THE NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z3 (DTG 280153Z9) AND 281500Z6 (DTG 281353Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3020 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627558-20518>; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 00:01:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA09330; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 10:00:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7407476 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 10:00:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA09250 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 10:00:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA25252 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 09:59:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712271559.JAA25252@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Dec 1997 09:59:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0d078f2d0cf690e8e437e958d94fe0c7 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 174 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 019 WTXS32 PGTW 271500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- 15.2S8 109.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.2S8 109.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 15.7S3 108.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 16.3S0 107.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 17.0S8 105.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 17.9S7 104.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 271500Z5 POSITION 15.3S9 109.6E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 271036Z9 MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I). INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS A 7 NM CLOUD FILLED EYE. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI4.0 (65 KNOTS). THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE A SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE STEERING IS PROVIDED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST. TC 09S (SELWYN) IS EXPECTED TO INTENSITY VERY SLOWLY DUE TO SHEAR FROM THE NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z3 (DTG 280153Z9) AND 281500Z6 (DTG 281353Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #2546 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4870 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627602-20517>; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 01:46:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA56402; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 11:45:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7407694 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 11:45:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA13620 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 11:45:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA25386 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 11:45:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712271745.LAA25386@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Dec 1997 11:45:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7edda9ba4b2b68372877ffb87342a04e Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 179 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 027 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 271353Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 271200Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WAS LOCATED AT 15.2S8 109.9E9, MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S WARNING NR 02 (WTXS32 PGTW 271500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 112E4 IS NOW NEAR 15S6 AND 110E2 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF A FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/EIBLING/DOBBINS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:29 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2474 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627611-20517>; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 02:55:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA27544; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 12:54:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7407962 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 12:54:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA29570 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 12:54:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA25460 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 12:54:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712271854.MAA25460@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Dec 1997 12:54:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0920f0bcee061ac398c1034fd1322ab9 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 181 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 626 WTXS32 PGTW 271500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- 15.2S8 109.9E9 PAGE 02 RUEOMCB2707 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.2S8 109.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 15.7S3 108.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS PAGE 03 RUEOMCB2707 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 16.3S0 107.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 17.0S8 105.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: PAGE 04 RUEOMCB2707 UNCLAS 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 17.9S7 104.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 271500Z5 POSITION 15.3S9 109.6E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 271036Z9 MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I). INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS A 7 NM CLOUD FILLED EYE. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI4.0 (65 KNOTS). THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE A SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE STEERING IS PROVIDED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST. TC 09S (SELWYN) IS EXPECTED TO INTENSITY VERY SLOWLY DUE TO SHEAR FROM THE NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM PAGE 05 RUEOMCB2707 UNCLAS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z3 (DTG 280153Z9) AND 281500Z6 (DTG 281353Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #2707 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1279 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625953-4809>; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 11:02:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA53700; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 20:56:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7408905 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 20:55:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA54174 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 20:55:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA25901 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 20:55:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712280255.UAA25901@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Dec 1997 20:55:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6c0def1317f7daaa74c724438d2b26b5 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 191 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 939 WTXS32 PGTW 280300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 15.5S1 109.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.5S1 109.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 16.0S7 108.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 16.5S2 107.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 17.1S9 106.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 17.9S7 105.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 15.6S2 108.8E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING SIGNIFICANT COLD DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT WHICH IS HINDERING CURRENT DEVELOPMENT. DEPARTING FROM THE INTENSITY FORECAST ISSUED IN OUR LAST WARNING, TC 09S (SELWYN) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND WEAKEN DUE TO THE ENTRAINMENT AND UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6 (DTG 281353Z2) AND 290300Z4 (DTG 290153Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1405 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625955-4810>; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 11:16:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA54262; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 21:14:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7408939 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 21:14:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA53728 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 21:14:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA25931 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 21:14:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712280314.VAA25931@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Dec 1997 21:14:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 31ca04ffc2db0f7ab7924f7e0698282c Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 192 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 360 WTXS32 PGTW 280300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 15.5S1 109.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.5S1 109.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 16.0S7 108.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 16.5S2 107.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 17.1S9 106.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 17.9S7 105.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 15.6S2 108.8E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING SIGNIFICANT COLD DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT WHICH IS HINDERING CURRENT DEVELOPMENT. DEPARTING FROM THE INTENSITY FORECAST ISSUED IN OUR LAST WARNING, TC 09S (SELWYN) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND WEAKEN DUE TO THE ENTRAINMENT AND UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6 (DTG 281353Z2) AND 290300Z4 (DTG 290153Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1497 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625953-4806>; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 11:23:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA56352; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 21:20:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7408948 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 21:20:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA24588 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 21:20:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA25935 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 21:20:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712280320.VAA25935@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Dec 1997 21:20:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fa291935a9751fa62bd0acf8e4405de5 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 193 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 548 WTXS32 PGTW 280300 COR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 15.5S1 109.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.5S1 109.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 16.0S7 108.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 16.5S2 107.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 17.1S9 106.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 17.9S7 105.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 15.6S2 108.8E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING SIGNIFICANT COLD DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT WHICH IS HINDERING CURRENT DEVELOPMENT. DEPARTING FROM THE INTENSITY FORECAST ISSUED IN OUR LAST WARNING, TC 09S (SELWYN) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND WEAKEN DUE TO THE ENTRAINMENT AND UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6 (DTG 281353Z2) AND 290300Z4 (DTG 290153Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1607 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625953-4810>; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 11:31:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA25406; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 21:28:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7408958 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 21:27:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA49446 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 21:27:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA25943 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 21:27:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712280327.VAA25943@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Dec 1997 21:27:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6cdd2ab44e3001ee7ef952dde8266a68 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 194 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 637 WTXS32 PGTW 280300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 15.5S1 109.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.5S1 109.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 16.0S7 108.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 16.5S2 107.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 17.1S9 106.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 17.9S7 105.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 15.6S2 108.8E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING SIGNIFICANT COLD DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT WHICH IS HINDERING CURRENT DEVELOPMENT. DEPARTING FROM THE INTENSITY FORECAST ISSUED IN OUR LAST WARNING, TC 09S (SELWYN) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND WEAKEN DUE TO THE ENTRAINMENT AND UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6 (DTG 281353Z2) AND 290300Z4 (DTG 290153Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0015 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3131 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626080-4803>; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 15:12:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA54212; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 01:11:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7409663 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 01:11:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA59826 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 01:11:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA26192 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 01:11:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712280711.BAA26192@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Dec 1997 01:11:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 68e15a1ff5ade8e70f489490c2245a95 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 198 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 943 WTXS32 PGTW 280300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 15.5S1 109.0E0 PAGE 02 RUEOMCB2923 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.5S1 109.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 16.0S7 108.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 16.5S2 107.2E0 PAGE 03 RUEOMCB2923 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 17.1S9 106.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 17.9S7 105.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER PAGE 04 RUEOMCB2923 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 15.6S2 108.8E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING SIGNIFICANT COLD DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT WHICH IS HINDERING CURRENT DEVELOPMENT. DEPARTING FROM THE INTENSITY FORECAST ISSUED IN OUR LAST WARNING, TC 09S (SELWYN) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND WEAKEN DUE TO THE ENTRAINMENT AND UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6 (DTG 281353Z2) AND 290300Z4 (DTG 290153Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #2923 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:35 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3502 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626080-4803>; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 16:02:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA52436; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 02:02:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7409704 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 02:01:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA29616 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 02:01:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA26227 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 02:01:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712280801.CAA26227@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Dec 1997 02:01:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8f94cd506dd087a441eda28346f3d01e Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 200 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 609 WTXS32 PGTW 280300 COR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WARNING NR 003A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 15.5S1 109.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.5S1 109.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 16.0S7 108.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 16.5S2 107.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 17.1S9 106.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 17.9S7 105.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 15.6S2 108.8E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) IS MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING SIGNIFICANT COLD DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT WHICH IS HINDERING CURRENT DEVELOPMENT. DEPARTING FROM THE INTENSITY FORECAST ISSUED IN OUR LAST WARNING, TC 09S (SELWYN) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AND WEAKEN DUE TO THE ENTRAINMENT AND UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6 (DTG 281353Z2) AND 290300Z4 (DTG 290153Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED SYSTEM=S DIRECTION OF MOVEMENT// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:37 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3905 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626142-4809>; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 16:26:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA26078; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 02:12:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7409730 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 02:11:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA56522 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 02:11:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA26242 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 02:11:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712280811.CAA26242@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Dec 1997 02:11:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 964523af076687e2f823bdc1d0de5548 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 204 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 840 WTXS32 PGTW 280300 COR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WARNING NR 003A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUEDMCA0403 UNCLAS 280000Z0 --- 15.5S1 109.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.5S1 109.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 16.0S7 108.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUEDMCA0403 UNCLAS 290000Z1 --- 16.5S2 107.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 17.1S9 106.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 17.9S7 105.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER PAGE 04 RUEDMCA0403 UNCLAS WATER --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 15.6S2 108.8E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) IS MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING SIGNIFICANT COLD DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT WHICH IS HINDERING CURRENT DEVELOPMENT. DEPARTING FROM THE INTENSITY FORECAST ISSUED IN OUR LAST WARNING, TC 09S (SELWYN) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AND WEAKEN DUE TO THE ENTRAINMENT AND UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6 (DTG 281353Z2) AND 290300Z4 (DTG 290153Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED SYSTEM'S DIRECTION OF MOVEMENT// BT #0403 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3980 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626295-4806>; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 22:10:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA09334; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 08:09:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7410344 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 08:08:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA49506 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 08:08:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA26736 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 08:08:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712281408.IAA26736@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Dec 1997 08:08:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1cda14c45bfece422a2f56d664e1dc6a Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 212 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 330 WTXS32 PGTW 281500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- 16.3S0 107.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.3S0 107.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 16.8S5 106.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 17.5S3 105.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 18.2S1 104.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 18.9S8 103.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 281500Z6 POSITION 16.4S1 107.6E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) IS MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 281130Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS CONTINUE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS SHEAR. TC 09S (SELWYN) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z4 (DTG 290153Z0) AND 291500Z7 (DTG 291353Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) WARNING 06 (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR FINAL WARNING.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1155 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626368-4806>; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 23:35:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA25526; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 09:33:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7410485 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 09:32:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA26016 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 09:32:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA26805 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 09:32:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712281532.JAA26805@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Dec 1997 09:32:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3b17b5cdfe0f56c0598bc59f43b82f1d Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 214 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 965 WTXS32 PGTW 281500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- 16.3S0 107.9E7 PAGE 02 RUEOMCB3373 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.3S0 107.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 16.8S5 106.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 17.5S3 105.6E2 PAGE 03 RUEOMCB3373 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 18.2S1 104.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 18.9S8 103.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER PAGE 04 RUEOMCB3373 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 281500Z6 POSITION 16.4S1 107.6E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) IS MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 281130Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS CONTINUED UPPER-LEVEL WIND SHEAR. TC 09S (SELWYN) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z4 (DTG 290153Z0) AND 291500Z7 (DTG 291353Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) WARNING 06 (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR FINAL WARNING.// BT #3373 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:41 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2706 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626440-4809>; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 01:39:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA25884; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 11:32:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7411211 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 11:31:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA13666 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 11:30:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA26925 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 11:30:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712281730.LAA26925@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Dec 1997 11:30:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 113e62a27a926b310856a312e78e401a Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 217 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 279 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/281800Z/291800Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 281353Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 281200Z3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WAS LOCATED AT 16.3S0 107.9E7, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S WARNING NR 04 (WTXS32 PGTW 281500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/EIBLING/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3972 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626291-13103>; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 10:58:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA20958; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 20:55:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7413529 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 20:55:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA37568 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 20:55:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA27515 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 20:55:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712290255.UAA27515@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Dec 1997 20:55:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d853f5d4bb9c2a180454aeb669955aba Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 229 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 914 WTXS32 PGTW 290300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- 17.6S4 107.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.6S4 107.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 18.8S7 106.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 19.9S9 105.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 20.3S5 104.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 20.4S6 102.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION 17.9S7 106.8E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) IS MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 8 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS CONTINUING TO SHOW SOME SIGNS OF COLD AIR ENTRAINMENT AND UPPER LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, BUT HAS MAINTAINED A HIGH INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO AN ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS, CAUSING IT TO WEAKEN CONSIDERABLY. AS TC 09S (SELWYN) SHEARS, THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7 (DTG 291353Z3) AND 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:45 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4689 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625980-13099>; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 11:15:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA31638; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 21:14:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7413627 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 21:14:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA54146 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 21:14:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA27533 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 21:14:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712290314.VAA27533@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Dec 1997 21:14:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c05d5709790c6e65b94bc3953554cc48 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 230 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 383 WTXS32 PGTW 290300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- 17.6S4 107.0E8 PAGE 02 RUEDMCB0183 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.6S4 107.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 18.8S7 106.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUEDMCB0183 UNCLAS 300000Z3 --- 19.9S9 105.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 20.3S5 104.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 20.4S6 102.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- PAGE 04 RUEDMCB0183 UNCLAS REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION 17.9S7 106.8E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) IS MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 8 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS CONTINUING TO SHOW SOME SIGNS OF COLD AIR ENTRAINMENT AND UPPER LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, BUT HAS MAINTAINED A HIGH INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO AN ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS, CAUSING IT TO WEAKEN CONSIDERABLY. AS TC 09S (SELWYN) SHEARS, THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7 (DTG 291353Z3) AND 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2).// BT #0183 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1567 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626809-13111>; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 22:40:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA56534; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 08:39:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7415652 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 08:38:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA20868 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 08:38:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA28345 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 08:38:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712291438.IAA28345@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Dec 1997 08:38:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 98d54a6126bdf30fc2390b1501f04775 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 253 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 602 WTXS32 PGTW 291500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- 18.1S0 104.1E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.1S0 104.1E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 18.9S8 102.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 19.4S4 100.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 19.8S8 98.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 20.2S4 96.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 291500Z7 POSITION 18.3S2 103.6E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) IS MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW AND TAKE ON A SLIGHTLY MORE WESTWARD MOTION DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. WE BELIEVE THAT THE DOMINANT STEERING FLOW ON 09S (SELWYN) WILL BE THE EASTERLIES EQUATORWARD OF THE LOWER TROPOSPHERIC (850 MB) SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 291130Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TC 09S (SELWYN) IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN DUE TO MODERATE TO HEAVY UPPER LEVEL WIND SHEAR FROM THE NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z4 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2) AND 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:52 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2211 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626823-13111>; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 23:12:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA27596; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 09:09:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7415716 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 09:09:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA55736 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 09:09:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA28380 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 09:09:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712291509.JAA28380@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Dec 1997 09:09:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 5727df76b455fa50b9b571fff3327bcb Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 254 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 187 WTXS32 PGTW 291500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- 18.1S0 104.1E6 PAGE 02 RUEOMCA2258 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.1S0 104.1E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 18.9S8 102.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 19.4S4 100.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT PAGE 03 RUEOMCA2258 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 19.8S8 98.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 20.2S4 96.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 291500Z7 POSITION 18.3S2 103.6E0 PAGE 04 RUEOMCA2258 UNCLAS TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) IS MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW AND TAKE ON A SLIGHTLY MORE WESTWARD MOTION DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. WE BELIEVE THAT THE DOMINANT STEERING FLOW ON 09S (SELWYN) WILL BE THE EASTERLIES EQUATORWARD OF THE LOWER TROPOSPHERIC (850 MB) SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 291130Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TC 09S (SELWYN) IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN DUE TO MODERATE TO HEAVY UPPER LEVEL WIND SHEAR FROM THE NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z4 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2) AND 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5).// BT #2258 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3083 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626291-13111>; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 02:01:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA34266; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 11:53:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7417024 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 11:53:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA31910 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 11:53:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA28596 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 11:53:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712291753.LAA28596@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Dec 1997 11:53:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 292521a7b167cbe30e34438666cf81ac Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 259 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 275 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/291800Z/301800Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 291353Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 291200Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WAS LOCATED AT 18.1S0 104.1E6, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S WARNING NR 06 (WTXS32 PGTW 291500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/EIBLING/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:54 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3138 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626809-13103>; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 02:02:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA31824; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 12:00:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7417069 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 12:00:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA17452 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 12:00:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA28624 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 12:00:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712291800.MAA28624@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Dec 1997 12:00:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ad1231356226d5777e0f5077b33b377f Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 260 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 391 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INEIAN OCEAN/291800Z/301800Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 291353Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 291200Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WAS LOCATED AT 18.1S0 104.1E6, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOBECMG 0811 18010KT 9999 SCT020 FEW020CB= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:59 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3980 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625977-23585>; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 09:52:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA21052; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 19:50:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7418967 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 19:49:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA54252 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 19:49:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA29196 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 19:49:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712300149.TAA29196@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Dec 1997 19:49:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 96b30ee5538d20b5d20e461be2789414 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 275 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 094 WTXS32 PGTW 300300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- 17.1S9 103.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.1S9 103.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 16.4S1 101.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 15.5S1 99.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION 16.9S6 102.6E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 292330Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENTLY, THE SYSTEM IS WEAKENING DUE TO VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WITH THE NEAREST DEEP CONVECTION LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100NM SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) SHOULD WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTER. THE FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN SHIFTED SLIGHTLY NORTH OF THE PREVIOUS WARNING TO REFLECT THE MORE RECENT WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM SHOULD MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE LOW LEVEL EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW FROM HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED SOUTH OF THE CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNING AT 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:02 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4052 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626565-23585>; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 11:50:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA10660; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 21:48:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7419520 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 21:47:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA51330 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 21:47:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA29306 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 21:47:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712300347.VAA29306@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Dec 1997 21:47:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cb6989821bacc9bbd007325248f8ebf9 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 282 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 287 WTXS32 PGTW 300300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- 17.1S9 103.0E4 PAGE 02 RUEDMCA5022 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.1S9 103.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 16.4S1 101.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 15.5S1 99.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT PAGE 03 RUEDMCA5022 UNCLAS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION 16.9S6 102.6E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 292330Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENTLY, THE SYSTEM IS WEAKENING DUE TO VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WITH THE NEAREST DEEP CONVECTION LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100NM SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) SHOULD WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTER. THE FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN SHIFTED SLIGHTLY NORTH OF THE PREVIOUS WARNING TO REFLECT THE MORE RECENT WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM SHOULD MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE LOW LEVEL EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW FROM HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED SOUTH OF THE CENTER. PAGE 04 RUEDMCA5022 UNCLAS MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNING AT 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5).// BT #5022 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:08 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4311 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626851-23586>; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 22:22:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA17630; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 08:21:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7421510 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 08:21:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu ([131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA56518 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 08:21:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA00116 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 08:20:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712301420.IAA00116@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 30 Dec 1997 08:20:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ab4ff7d240e4717b51df4d676ca48143 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 301 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 631 WTXS32 PGTW 301500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z6 --- 16.4S1 101.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.4S1 101.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 15.6S2 99.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 15.1S7 97.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 301500Z9 POSITION 16.2S9 100.6E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND HAS INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED SLIGHTLY TO 10 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 301130Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TC 09S HAS INCREASED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. HOWEVER, THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS APPROXIMATELY 40NM AWAY FROM THE CLOSEST DEEP CONVECTION. THE FORECAST TRACK REMAINS SIMILAR AS TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) IS EXPECTED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLOWLY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS AN INCREASE IN WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z6 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310300Z7 (DTG 310153Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:10 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3700 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626875-23586>; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 00:14:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA55784; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 10:12:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7421995 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 10:12:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu ([131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA15298 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 10:12:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA00230 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 10:11:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712301611.KAA00230@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 30 Dec 1997 10:11:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 17a59cd5576cca60face91f80ddb652d Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 307 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 877 WTXS32 PGTW 301500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z6 --- 16.4S1 101.1E3 PAGE 02 RUEOMCA4824 UNCLAS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.4S1 101.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 15.6S2 99.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 15.1S7 97.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT PAGE 03 RUEOMCA4824 UNCLAS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 301500Z9 POSITION 16.2S9 100.6E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND HAS INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED SLIGHTLY TO 10 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 301130Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TC 09S HAS INCREASED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. HOWEVER, THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS APPROXIMATELY 40NM AWAY FROM THE CLOSEST DEEP CONVECTION. THE FORECAST TRACK REMAINS SIMILAR AS TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) IS EXPECTED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLOWLY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS AN INCREASE IN WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z6 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. PAGE 04 RUEOMCA4824 UNCLAS NEXT WARNINGS AT 310300Z7 (DTG 310153Z3).// BT #4824 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:11 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1904 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626761-23586>; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 01:33:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA51408; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 11:32:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7422339 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 11:32:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA51382 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 11:32:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA00364 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 11:32:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712301732.LAA00364@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 30 Dec 1997 11:32:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ba790a5da774e5ca0c2fb179cbb71db0 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 309 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 550 ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/301800Z/311800Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 301353Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 301200Z6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WAS LOCATED AT 16.4S1 101.1E3, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WARNING NR 08 (WTXS32 PGTW 301500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/PATTERSON/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:16 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3889 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625888-4473>; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 10:32:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA61642; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 20:31:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7424703 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 20:31:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA53678 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 20:31:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA01718 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 20:31:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712310231.UAA01718@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 30 Dec 1997 20:31:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 28e45fc9c1f5dc661bc7ceedb6e0390b Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 324 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 989 WTXS32 PGTW 310300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z4 --- 16.4S1 100.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.4S1 100.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 16.2S9 98.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 15.9S5 97.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 310300Z7 POSITION 16.4S1 99.6E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 202330Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYZED BY PHIK ANALYSTS AND CONTINUITY FROM A 301611Z2 SCATTEROMETER PASS WHICH ALSO INDICATED THAT THE MAXIMUM INTENSITY WAS 35 KNOTS. THE CONVECTION WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS DIMINISHED WITH THE NEAREST CONVECTIVE CELLS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 65NM FROM THE SYSTEM CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) SHOULD CONTINUE WESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT IS STEERED PRIMARILY BY LOW LEVEL FLOW FROM HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED SOUTH OF THE CENTER. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN SLOWLY THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST INCREASING THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 311500Z0 (DTG 311353Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4922 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625946-4469>; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 11:27:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA25552; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 21:27:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7424831 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 21:26:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA56506 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 21:26:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA01786 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 21:26:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712310326.VAA01786@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 30 Dec 1997 21:26:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 30e461790f2a6bd47742cd23c5b38db8 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 328 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 964 WTXS32 PGTW 310300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z4 --- 16.4S1 100.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 07 KTS PAGE 02 RUEDMCA0002 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.4S1 100.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 16.2S9 98.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 15.9S5 97.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 310300Z7 POSITION 16.4S1 99.6E4 PAGE 03 RUEDMCA0002 UNCLAS TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 202330Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYZED BY PHIK ANALYSTS AND CONTINUITY FROM A 301611Z2 SCATTEROMETER PASS WHICH ALSO INDICATED THAT THE MAXIMUM INTENSITY WAS 35 KNOTS. THE CONVECTION WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS DIMINISHED WITH THE NEAREST CONVECTIVE CELLS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 65NM FROM THE SYSTEM CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) SHOULD CONTINUE WESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT IS STEERED PRIMARILY BY LOW LEVEL FLOW FROM HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED SOUTH OF THE CENTER. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN SLOWLY THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST INCREASING THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 311500Z0 (DTG 311353Z6).// BT #0002 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3706 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625962-4473>; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 21:39:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA21138; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 07:38:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7427428 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 07:38:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA47996 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 07:38:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA02526 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 07:38:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712311338.HAA02526@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 31 Dec 1997 07:38:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dc091223e98bf4c7fb72c23fd4aea260 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 348 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 716 WTXS32 PGTW 311500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311200Z7 --- 16.3S0 98.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.3S0 98.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 16.2S9 96.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 16.2S9 95.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 311500Z0 POSITION 16.3S0 98.0E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST AT 8 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 311130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, ANIMATION SHOWS TC 09S IS EXPERIENCING SIGNIFICANT WIND SHEAR FROM MOSTLY THE NORTH AND CONVECTION REMAINS MINIMAL. HOWEVER, DURING THE PAST 3 HOURS CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE CENTRALLY LOCATED TOWARDS THE EXPOSED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION AND IS NOW LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 40NM FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) IS EXPECTED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT IS STEERED BY LOW-LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLOWLY AS AN APPROACHING UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH THE AREA AND INTRODUCE ADDITIONAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ON TC 09S. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311200Z7 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010300Z4 (DTG 010153Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:24 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2868 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626022-4471>; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 23:42:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA43538; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 09:42:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7427981 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 09:41:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA43764 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 09:41:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA02631 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 09:41:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712311541.JAA02631@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 31 Dec 1997 09:41:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cadc597b9547894e8ebba33b8a823ae8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 043 WTXS32 PGTW 311500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311200Z7 --- 16.3S0 98.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS PAGE 02 RUEDMCC0783 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.3S0 98.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 16.2S9 96.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 16.2S9 95.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- PAGE 03 RUEDMCC0783 UNCLAS REMARKS: 311500Z0 POSITION 16.3S0 98.0E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST AT 8 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 311130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, ANIMATION SHOWS TC 09S IS EXPERIENCING SIGNIFICANT WIND SHEAR FROM MOSTLY THE NORTH AND CONVECTION REMAINS MINIMAL. HOWEVER, DURING THE PAST 3 HOURS CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE CENTRALLY LOCATED TOWARDS THE EXPOSED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION AND IS NOW LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 40NM FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) IS EXPECTED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT IS STEERED BY LOW-LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLOWLY AS AN APPROACHING UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH THE AREA AND INTRODUCE ADDITIONAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ON TC 09S. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311200Z7 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010300Z4 (DTG 010153Z0).// BT #0783 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 20 15:10:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102351-14839>; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 15:10:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA81198; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 02:07:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5947322 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 02:07:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA168220 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 02:07:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA18087 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 02:07:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707200707.CAA18087@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 02:07:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Rmks/ [200730] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 37 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 098 WTXS21 PGTW 200730 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 200623Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 5.5S0 76.9E2 TO 9.6S5 74.4E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 00 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 200322Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 6.1S7 76.6E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: POSITION DETERMINED FROM MICROWAVE IMAGERY, WHICH SHOWS A TIGHTLY WRAPPED SURFACE CIRCULATION. THE INTENSITY ESTIMATE FROM A 200322Z9 POLAR ORBITER PASS IS 25 KNOTS (DVORAK T1.5). 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 210730Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 20 15:26:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102400-14839>; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 15:26:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA220866; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 02:23:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5947371 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 02:23:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA81328 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 02:23:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA18179 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 02:23:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707200723.CAA18179@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 02:23:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: [200730] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 38 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 350 WTXS21 PGTW 200730 PAGE 02 RUHGSGG1036 UNCLAS SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 200623Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 5.5S0 76.9E2 TO 9.6S5 74.4E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 00 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 200322Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 6.1S7 76.6E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: POSITION DETERMINED FROM MICROWAVE IMAGERY, WHICH SHOWS A TIGHTLY WRAPPED SURFACE CIRCULATION. THE INTENSITY ESTIMATE FROM A 200322Z9 POLAR ORBITER PASS IS 25 KNOTS (DVORAK T1.5). 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 210730Z3.// BT #1036 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 20 17:34:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102435-14839>; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 17:34:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA168320; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 04:31:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5947971 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 04:31:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA134254 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 04:31:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id EAA20382 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 04:31:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707200931.EAA20382@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 04:31:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: This Warning Supersedes And Cancels Navpacmetoccen West [200900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 44 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 919 WTXS31 PGTW 200900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 200721Z JUL 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 200730) 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- 6.1S7 76.6E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 6.1S7 76.6E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 7.1S8 75.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 8.0S8 74.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 9.0S9 74.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 10.0S1 73.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 12.2S5 70.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION 6.4S0 76.4E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. TC 01S IS FORECAST TO MOVE SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN WEAKENING BEYOND THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION DUE TO SIGNIFICANT NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8 (DTG 201353Z4), 202100Z5 (DTG 201953Z0), 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2) AND 210900Z2 (DTG 210753Z8). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 200721Z JUL 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 200730).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 20 18:14:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102443-14839>; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 18:14:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA145138; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 05:11:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5948010 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 05:11:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA210144 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 05:11:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id FAA20637 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 05:11:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707201011.FAA20637@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 05:11:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: This Warning Supersedes And Cancels Navpacmetoccen West [200900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 47 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 376 WTXS31 PGTW 200900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 200721Z JUL 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 200730) 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- 6.1S7 76.6E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 6.1S7 76.6E9 --- FORECASTS: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG1220 UNCLAS 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 7.1S8 75.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 8.0S8 74.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 9.0S9 74.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 10.0S1 73.1E1 PAGE 04 RUHGSGG1220 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 12.2S5 70.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION 6.4S0 76.4E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. TC 01S IS FORECAST TO MOVE SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN WEAKENING BEYOND THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION DUE TO SIGNIFICANT NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8 (DTG 201353Z4), 202100Z5 PAGE 05 RUHGSGG1220 UNCLAS (DTG 201953Z0), 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2) AND 210900Z2 (DTG 210753Z8). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 200721Z JUL 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 200730).// BT #1220 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 20 22:56:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102473-14839>; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 22:56:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA145042; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 09:41:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5949225 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 09:41:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA201092 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 09:41:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA22632 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 09:41:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707201441.JAA22632@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 09:41:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 01s Warning Nr 002 [201500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 52 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 103 WTXS31 PGTW 201500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- 6.2S8 76.8E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 6.2S8 76.8E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 6.8S4 76.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 7.6S3 75.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 8.2S0 75.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 9.0S9 74.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 10.7S8 73.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION 6.4S0 76.7E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S IS TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201240Z9 SATELLITE MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWING A CLEARLY DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TC 01S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AND TO WEAKEN BEYOND THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS SIGNIFICANT UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5 (DTG 201953Z0), 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2), 210900Z2 (DTG 210753Z8) AND 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 20 23:49:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102413-14839>; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 23:49:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA168376; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 10:02:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5949347 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 10:02:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA64428 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 10:02:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id KAA22837 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 10:02:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707201502.KAA22837@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 10:02:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: [201500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 53 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 350 WTXS31 PGTW 201500 PAGE 02 RUHGSGG1510 UNCLAS IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- 6.2S8 76.8E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 6.2S8 76.8E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 6.8S4 76.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 05 KTS PAGE 03 RUHGSGG1510 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 7.6S3 75.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 8.2S0 75.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 9.0S9 74.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 05 KTS PAGE 04 RUHGSGG1510 UNCLAS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 10.7S8 73.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION 6.4S0 76.7E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S IS TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201240Z9 SATELLITE MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWING A CLEARLY DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TC 01S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AND TO WEAKEN BEYOND THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS SIGNIFICANT UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5 (DTG 201953Z0), 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2), 210900Z2 (DTG 210753Z8) AND 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5).// PAGE 05 RUHGSGG1510 UNCLAS BT #1510 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 21 04:36:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102547-14839>; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 04:36:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA173804; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 14:50:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5951058 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 14:50:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA43672 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 14:50:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA25619 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 14:50:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707201950.OAA25619@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 14:50:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 01s Warning Nr 003 [202100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 60 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 540 WTXS31 PGTW 202100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- 6.5S1 76.6E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 6.5S1 76.6E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 7.2S9 76.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 7.8S5 75.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 8.4S2 74.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 9.1S0 74.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 10.4S5 73.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION 6.7S3 76.5E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. TC 01S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AND TO BE DISSIPATED BY THE 72-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z1 IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2), 210900Z2 (DTG 210753Z8), 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5) AND 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 21 04:34:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102547-14839>; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 04:34:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA43596; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 15:00:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5951144 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 14:59:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA201000 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 14:59:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA25686 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 14:59:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707201959.OAA25686@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 14:59:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: [202100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 59 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 598 WTXS31 PGTW 202100 PAGE 02 RUHGSGG1720 UNCLAS IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- 6.5S1 76.6E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 6.5S1 76.6E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 7.2S9 76.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 04 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHGSGG1720 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 7.8S5 75.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 8.4S2 74.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 9.1S0 74.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 04 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHGSGG1720 UNCLAS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 10.4S5 73.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION 6.7S3 76.5E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. TC 01S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AND TO BE DISSIPATED BY THE 72-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z1 IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2), 210900Z2 (DTG 210753Z8), 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5) AND 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1).// BT #1720 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 21 10:37:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102373-14499>; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 10:37:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA84034; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 21:23:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5953123 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 21:23:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA205110 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 21:23:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA29373 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 21:22:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707210222.VAA29373@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 21:23:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 01s Warning Nr 004 [210300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 69 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 746 WTXS31 PGTW 210300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- 6.7S3 76.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 6.7S3 76.2E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 6.9S5 75.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 7.2S9 74.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 7.6S3 74.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 8.0S8 73.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 8.8S6 71.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION 6.8S4 76.0E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. INTENSIFICATION IS BEING INHIBITED BY STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE EAST-NORTHEAST. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BE DISSIPATED BY THE 72 HOUR POINT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z3 IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2 (DTG 210753Z8), 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5), 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1) AND 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 21 11:08:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102303-14499>; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 11:08:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA45922; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 21:51:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5953261 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 21:51:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA234740 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 21:51:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA29570 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 21:51:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707210251.VAA29570@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 21:51:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: [210300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 84 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 082 WTXS31 PGTW 210300 PAGE 02 RUHGSGG1875 UNCLAS IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- 6.7S3 76.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 6.7S3 76.2E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 6.9S5 75.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHGSGG1875 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 7.2S9 74.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 7.6S3 74.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 8.0S8 73.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHGSGG1875 UNCLAS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 8.8S6 71.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION 6.8S4 76.0E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. INTENSIFICATION IS BEING INHIBITED BY STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE EAST-NORTHEAST. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BE DISSIPATED BY THE 72 HOUR POINT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z3 IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2 (DTG 210753Z8), 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5), 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1) AND 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3).// BT #1875 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 21 16:37:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102547-14499>; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 16:37:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA129494; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 03:16:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5954567 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 03:16:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA49354 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 03:16:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA03338 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 03:16:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707210816.DAA03338@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 03:16:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 01s Warning Nr 005 [210900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 100 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 708 WTXS31 PGTW 210900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- 7.1S8 75.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 7.1S8 75.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 7.6S3 74.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 8.3S1 73.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 8.9S7 72.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 9.4S3 71.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 10.2S3 69.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION 7.2S9 75.5E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. SYSTEM INTENSITY HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO 45 KNOTS BASED ON 210530Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY (DVORAK T3.0) POSITION AND INTENSITY IS SUPPORTED BY MICROWAVE DATA, WHICH CONTINUES TO SHOW A TIGHTLY WRAPPED SURFACE CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z9 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1) 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5), 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9), AND 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 21 17:24:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102438-14499>; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 17:24:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA226618; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 04:06:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5954655 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 04:06:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA199214 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 04:06:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id EAA03665 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 04:06:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707210906.EAA03665@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 04:06:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: [210900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 104 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 149 WTXS31 PGTW 210900 PAGE 02 RUHGSGG2130 UNCLAS IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- 7.1S8 75.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 7.1S8 75.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 7.6S3 74.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT PAGE 03 RUHGSGG2130 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 8.3S1 73.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 8.9S7 72.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 9.4S3 71.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER PAGE 04 RUHGSGG2130 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 10.2S3 69.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION 7.2S9 75.5E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. SYSTEM INTENSITY HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO 45 KNOTS BASED ON 210530Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY (DVORAK T3.0) POSITION AND INTENSITY IS SUPPORTED BY MICROWAVE DATA, WHICH CONTINUES TO SHOW A TIGHTLY WRAPPED SURFACE CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z9 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5), 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1), 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3), 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9).// BT #2130 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 21 21:37:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102551-14499>; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 21:37:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA236256; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 08:19:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5955710 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 08:19:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA239828 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 08:19:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA05744 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 08:19:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707211319.IAA05744@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 08:19:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 01s Warning Nr 006 [211500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 110 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 370 WTXS31 PGTW 211500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- 7.7S4 75.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 7.7S4 75.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 8.7S5 74.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 9.6S5 73.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 10.5S6 72.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 11.4S6 71.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 13.3S7 69.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 211500Z9 POSITION 8.0S8 75.3E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. TC 01S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO SIGNIFICANT NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z6 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1), 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3), 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9) AND 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 21 23:31:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102426-14499>; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 23:31:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA236046; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 10:10:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5956508 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 10:10:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA120424 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 10:09:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id KAA08561 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 10:09:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707211509.KAA08561@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 10:10:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: [211500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 116 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 212 WTXS31 PGTW 211500 PAGE 02 RUHGSGG2442 UNCLAS IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- 7.7S4 75.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 7.7S4 75.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 8.7S5 74.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT PAGE 03 RUHGSGG2442 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 9.6S5 73.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 10.5S6 72.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 11.4S6 71.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG2442 UNCLAS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 13.3S7 69.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 211500Z9 POSITION 8.0S8 75.3E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. TC 01S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO SIGNIFICANT NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z6 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1), 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3), 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9) AND 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6).// PAGE 05 RUHGSGG2442 UNCLAS BT #2442 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jul 22 03:59:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102642-14499>; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 03:59:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA220724; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 14:43:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5959299 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 14:43:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA144936 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 14:43:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA17055 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 14:43:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707211943.OAA17055@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 14:43:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 01s Warning Nr 007 [212100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 371 WTXS31 PGTW 212100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- 8.0S8 75.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.0S8 75.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 8.7S5 74.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 9.5S4 73.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 10.2S3 72.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 10.9S0 71.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 12.4S7 70.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 212100Z6 POSITION 8.2S0 75.1E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. TC 01S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3), 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9), 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6) AND 222100Z7 (DTG 221953Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jul 22 04:51:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102640-14499>; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 04:51:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA122028; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 15:36:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5959761 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 15:36:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA55200 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 15:36:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA18355 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 15:36:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707212036.PAA18355@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 15:36:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: [212100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 935 WTXS31 PGTW 212100 PAGE 02 RUHGSGG2753 UNCLAS IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- 8.0S8 75.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.0S8 75.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 8.7S5 74.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT PAGE 03 RUHGSGG2753 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 9.5S4 73.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 10.2S3 72.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 10.9S0 71.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG2753 UNCLAS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 12.4S7 70.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 212100Z6 POSITION 8.2S0 75.1E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. TC 01S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3), 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9), 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6) AND 222100Z7 (DTG 221953Z2).// BT #2753 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jul 22 10:46:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102541-7992>; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 10:46:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA08844; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 21:27:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5962906 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 21:27:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA146816 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 21:27:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA23564 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 21:27:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707220227.VAA23564@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 21:27:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 01s Warning Nr 007 [212100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 18 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 628 WTXS31 PGTW 212100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- 8.0S8 75.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.0S8 75.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 8.7S5 74.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 9.5S4 73.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 10.2S3 72.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 10.9S0 71.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 12.4S7 70.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 212100Z6 POSITION 8.2S0 75.1E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. TC 01S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3), 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9), 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6) AND 222100Z7 (DTG 221953Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jul 22 11:13:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102622-7992>; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 11:13:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA173652; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 21:53:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5962993 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 21:53:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAB146760 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 21:53:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA23836 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 21:53:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707220253.VAA23836@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 21:53:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 01s Warning Nr 008 [220300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 19 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 924 WTXS31 PGTW 220300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- 8.3S1 75.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.3S1 75.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 9.0S9 74.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 9.8S7 73.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 10.5S6 72.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION 8.5S3 74.9E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S CONTINUES TO TRACK SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. TC 01S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9), 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6), 222100Z7 (DTG 221953Z2) AND 230300Z8 (DTG 230153Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jul 22 11:55:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102654-7992>; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 11:54:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA180526; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 22:38:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5963166 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 22:38:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA266018 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 22:38:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id WAA24310 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 22:38:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707220338.WAA24310@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 22:38:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: [220300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 22 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 690 WTXS31 PGTW 220300 PAGE 02 RUHGSGG3337 UNCLAS IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- 8.3S1 75.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.3S1 75.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 9.0S9 74.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT PAGE 03 RUHGSGG3337 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 9.8S7 73.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 10.5S6 72.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION 8.5S3 74.9E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S CONTINUES TO TRACK SLOWLY PAGE 04 RUHGSGG3337 UNCLAS SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. TC 01S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9), 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6), 222100Z7 (DTG 221953Z2) AND 230300Z8 (DTG 230153Z4).// BT #3337 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jul 22 18:00:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102841-7992>; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 18:00:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA189844; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 04:38:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5964354 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 04:38:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA124296 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 04:38:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id EAA29065 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 04:38:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707220938.EAA29065@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 04:38:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: [220900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 55 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 643 WTXS31 PGTW 220900 PAGE 02 RUHGSGG3708 UNCLAS IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- 8.7S5 75.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.7S5 75.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 9.5S4 75.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT PAGE 03 RUHGSGG3708 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 10.6S7 75.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 11.7S9 74.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 12.7S0 73.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG3708 UNCLAS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 220900Z3 POSITION 8.9S7 75.7E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHWARD IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. FUTURE WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED IN TWELVE HOUR INCREMENTS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z7 (DTG 221953Z2) AND 230900Z4 (DTG 230753Z0).// BT #3708 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jul 23 05:10:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102966-7992>; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 05:10:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA134216; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 15:45:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5969493 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 15:45:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA81212 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 15:45:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA15732 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 15:45:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707222045.PAA15732@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 15:45:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 01s Warning Nr 010 [222100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 637 WTXS31 PGTW 222100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- 9.2S1 75.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 9.2S1 75.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 10.0S1 74.7E8 PAGE 03 RUHGSGG4372 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 11.1S3 74.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 12.1S4 73.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER PAGE 04 RUHGSGG4372 UNCLAS WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 13.0S4 72.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 222100Z7 POSITION 9.4S3 75.2E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 221730Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON 211746Z SATELLITE SCATTEROMETRY DATA. THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN DUE TO STRENGTHENING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE WEST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A PAGE 05 RUHGSGG4372 UNCLAS SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER WITHIN 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221730Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z4 (DTG 230751Z8) AND 232100Z8 (DTG 231951Z1).// BT #4372 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jul 23 15:47:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102998-68>; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 15:46:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA155924; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 02:30:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5974270 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 02:30:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA210696 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 02:30:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA24749 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 02:30:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707230730.CAA24749@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 02:30:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 01s Warning Nr 011 [230900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 111 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 607 WTXS31 PGTW 230900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- 9.4S3 74.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 9.4S3 74.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 9.8S7 73.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 10.2S3 71.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 10.6S7 70.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 230900Z4 POSITION 9.5S4 73.9E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S CONTINUES TO WEAKEN SLOWLY AS IT TRACKS SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z8 (DTG 231953Z3) AND 240900Z5 (DTG 240753Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jul 23 16:41:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102977-68>; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 16:41:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA110620; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 03:17:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5974402 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 03:17:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA58128 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 03:17:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA26663 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 03:17:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707230817.DAA26663@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 03:17:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 01s Warning Nr 011 [230900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 121 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 256 WTXS31 PGTW 230900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- 9.4S3 74.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 9.4S3 74.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG4899 UNCLAS 231800Z4 --- 9.8S7 73.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 10.2S3 71.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 10.6S7 70.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER PAGE 04 RUHGSGG4899 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 230900Z4 POSITION 9.5S4 73.9E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S CONTINUES TO WEAKEN SLOWLY AS IT TRACKS SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z8 (DTG 231953Z3) AND 240900Z5 (DTG 240753Z1).// BT #4899 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jul 24 04:20:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103048-68>; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 04:20:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA220700; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 14:53:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5979670 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 14:53:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA232460 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 14:53:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA10567 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 14:53:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707231953.OAA10567@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 14:53:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 01s Warning Nr 012 [232100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 266 WTXS31 PGTW 232100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231800Z4 --- 9.7S6 73.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 9.7S6 73.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 9.7S6 72.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 10.1S2 71.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 232100Z8 POSITION 9.7S6 73.5E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231730Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A BLEND OF SATELLITE-DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES USING 231432Z5 AND 231730Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S HAS LOST ALL OF ITS DEEP CONVECTION AND IT CURRENTLY EXISTS AS A WEAKENING EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER WITHIN 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z4 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jul 24 04:37:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103034-68>; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 04:37:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA43728; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 15:17:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5979942 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 15:17:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA181444 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 15:17:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA11287 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 15:17:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707232017.PAA11287@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 15:17:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 01s Warning Nr 012 [232100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 632 WTXS31 PGTW 232100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231800Z4 --- 9.7S6 73.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 9.7S6 73.8E8 --- PAGE 03 RUHGSGG5516 UNCLAS FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 9.7S6 72.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 10.1S2 71.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 232100Z8 POSITION 9.7S6 73.5E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231730Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A BLEND OF SATELLITE-DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES USING PAGE 04 RUHGSGG5516 UNCLAS 231432Z5 AND 231730Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S HAS LOST ALL OF ITS DEEP CONVECTION AND IT CURRENTLY EXISTS AS A WEAKENING EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER WITHIN 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z4 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9).// BT #5516 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jul 24 14:53:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102562-21040>; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 14:53:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA168326; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 01:37:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5984340 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 01:37:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA200826 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 01:37:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id BAA19807 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 01:37:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707240637.BAA19807@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Jul 1997 01:37:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 01s Warning Nr 013 [240900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 16 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 625 WTXS31 PGTW 240900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240600Z2 --- 9.6S5 72.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 9.6S5 72.8E7 --- 06 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 9.5S4 72.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT DRIFTS WESTWARD IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jul 24 16:12:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102548-21040>; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 16:12:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA229340; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 02:59:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5984598 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 02:59:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA203728 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 02:59:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA20409 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 02:59:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707240759.CAA20409@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Jul 1997 02:59:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 01s Warning Nr 013 [240900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 20 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 925 WTXS31 PGTW 240900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240600Z2 --- 9.6S5 72.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 9.6S5 72.8E7 --- 06 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 9.5S4 72.3E2 PAGE 03 RUHGSGG5993 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT DRIFTS WESTWARD IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// BT #5993 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103596-29774>; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 01:32:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA12202; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 12:31:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6065540 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 12:30:53 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA240510 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 12:30:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id MAA16082 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 12:30:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708211730.MAA16082@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 21 Aug 1997 12:30:53 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 684b2635e6bf5483a1ea05b6142a17bb X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 938 Status: OR 941 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30740-396>; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 02:12:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA40928; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 13:10:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6085720 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 13:10:18 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA129428 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 13:08:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id NAA19419 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 13:07:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708231807.NAA19419@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 23 Aug 1997 13:10:18 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5c75f5a4f039e9c77d9eb0d79b988027 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 984 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 580 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/241800Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30887-20155>; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 02:24:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA133454; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 13:22:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6092617 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 13:22:41 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA68106 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 13:22:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id NAA27064 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 13:22:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708241822.NAA27064@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 24 Aug 1997 13:22:41 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a1aa15c0bb41655a2cd40cd31832cad9 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1514 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 899 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 22N4 071E8. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTION. THE CIRCULATION APPEARS TO BE TRACKING WESTWARD AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER WATER WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 997 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 11:00:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30935-10285>; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 10:33:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA252038; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 21:32:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6095721 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 21:32:00 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA133458 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 21:31:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id VAA29776 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 21:31:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708250231.VAA29776@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 24 Aug 1997 21:32:00 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fb8c210aa59b9eab74a3971ea51bd601 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1384 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 716 ABIO10 PGTW 250300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/250300Z/251800Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 22N4 071E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 24N6 070E7. THE EXTENT OF DEEP CONVECTION WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS DECREASED DURING THE PAST 9 HOURS. THE REMAINING CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH LOW- LEVEL INFLOW INTO A MONSOON LOW LOCATED WELL INLAND OVER NORTH CENTRAL INDIA NEAR KOTA. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/FINTA/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31346-13064>; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 01:56:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA72300; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 12:52:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6109778 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 12:52:19 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA133450 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 12:52:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id MAA22788 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 12:51:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708261751.MAA22788@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 12:52:19 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d90c72543fa90f336234469180a88685 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1723 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 593 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 16N7 91E0. ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WEAK SURFACE CIRCULATION EXISTS NORTHWEST OF COCO ISLAND (WMO 48109) IN THE ANDAMAN SEA. UPPER LEVEL WATER VAPOR-DERIVED WINDS INDICATE WEAK OUTFLOW EXISTS OVER THE CONVECTION, HOWEVER, THEY ALSO SHOW PREDOMINANTLY NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST VERTICAL SHEAR OVER MOST OF THE REGION WHICH IS BLOWING MOST OF THE CONVECTION TO THE WEST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 KNOTS (ON THE NORTH SIDE)TO 25 KNOTS (ON THE SOUTH SIDE). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31496-15926>; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 01:35:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA12600; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 12:32:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6118800 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 12:32:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA07122 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 12:29:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id MAA26465 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 12:28:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708271728.MAA26465@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 Aug 1997 12:28:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3604a8b92d672033e092262218eca8b0 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1636 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 241 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 91E0 HAS MOVED NORTHWESTWARD AND IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19N0 87E5. ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WEAK SURFACE CIRCULATION HAS MOVED CLOSER TO THE INDIAN COAST. UPPER LEVEL WATER VAPOR-DERIVED WINDS OVER THE AREA INDICATE THAT THE NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST VERTICAL SHEAR HAS INCREASED. CONVECTION IN THE AREA SHOWS LITTLE SIGN OF ORGANIZATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 KNOTS TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 29 09:20:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31645-22994>; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 02:11:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA19754; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 13:08:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6126913 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 13:07:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA18172 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 13:07:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id NAA29090 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 13:06:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708281806.NAA29090@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 13:06:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fbb084ce09655b7dac78ccfd46301c87 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1587 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 041 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/281800Z/291800Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19N0 87E5 HAS MOVED NORTHWESTWARD AND IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 22N4 83E1. 281030Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WEAK SURFACE CIRCULATION ON THE EDGE OF THE INDIAN COAST. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES SIGNIFICANT SHEAR OVER THE AREA. CONVECTION IN THE AREA SHOWS LITTLE SIGN OF ORGANIZATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 KNOTS TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 30 09:28:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31748-27951>; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 01:45:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA28690; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 12:44:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6136854 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 12:44:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA20158 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 12:43:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA02508 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 12:42:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708291742.MAA02508@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 12:42:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3edbebcd509ef3f66de0be0e03299069 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1313 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 182 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/291800Z/301800Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 22N4 83E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 23N5 82E8. 281200Z SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A WEAK SURFACE CIRCULATION WHICH IS LOCATED WELL INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN INDIA. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 1 07:14:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625942-3321>; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 01:25:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA16048; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 12:24:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6146462 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 12:24:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA31862 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 12:24:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA04887 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 12:22:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708301722.MAA04887@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 30 Aug 1997 12:22:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f17d7d0440c4901f85494ce4cd2a7a95 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 977 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 107 ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/301800Z/311800Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jan 27 09:30:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102200-12722>; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 09:30:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id TAA225512; Sun, 26 Jan 1997 19:24:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4376016 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jan 1997 19:24:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id TAA61564 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 1997 19:24:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id TAA02665 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jan 1997 19:24:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701270124.TAA02665@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Jan 1997 19:24:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 663 WTXS32 PGTW 270300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRETELLE) WARNING NR 017 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- 25.7S4 38.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 075 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.7S4 38.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 26.2S0 37.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 26.6S4 37.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 27.1S0 37.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 27.9S8 36.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION 25.8S5 38.5E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRETELLE) IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT MOVES INTO THE WEAKENED REGION OF THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS DUE TO AN APPROACHING UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WHICH IS ANTICIPATED TO ENHANCE UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW. AS THIS TROUGH MOVES CLOSER TO THE SYSTEM, TC 20S (GRETELLE) IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING DUE TO INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5 (DTG 271355Z3) AND 280300Z3 (DTG 280155Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z IS 17 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (ILETTA) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jan 27 16:10:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102248-12722>; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 16:10:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA197388; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 02:06:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4377995 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 02:06:33 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id CAA197574 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 02:06:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA05801 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 02:06:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701270806.CAA05801@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Jan 1997 02:06:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 937 WTXS31 PGTW 270900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) WARNING NR 016 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- 12.8S1 90.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.8S1 90.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 12.1S4 91.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 11.6S8 91.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 11.3S5 90.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 11.5S7 89.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 270900Z8 POSITION 12.6S9 90.9E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) IS CURRENTLY MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE GENERALLY NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REINTENSIFY, THEN MOVE WESTWARD DUE TO EASTERLY STEERING FLOW. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z2 (DTG 271953Z7) AND 280900Z9 (DTG 280753Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRETELLE) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (ILETTA) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jan 27 16:46:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102316-12722>; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 16:46:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA243778; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 02:40:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4378054 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 02:40:05 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id CAA271888 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 02:40:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA06015 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 02:40:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701270840.CAA06015@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Jan 1997 02:40:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 363 WTXS31 PGTW 270900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) WARNING NR 016 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- 12.8S1 90.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.8S1 90.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 12.1S4 91.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 11.6S8 91.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 11.3S5 90.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 11.5S7 89.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 270900Z8 POSITION 12.6S9 90.9E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) IS CURRENTLY MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE GENERALLY NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REINTENSIFY, THEN MOVE WESTWARD DUE TO EASTERLY STEERING FLOW. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z2 (DTG 271953Z7) AND 280900Z9 (DTG 280753Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRETELLE) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (ILETTA) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// 5 (DTG 271351Z9), 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5), 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z60, AND 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z IS 20 FEET.// ROUND THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER AND MOVE INWARDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/MEST/REZA// TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT TTT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jan 27 16:56:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102256-12722>; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 16:56:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA194950; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 02:51:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4378066 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 02:51:51 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id CAA178040 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 02:51:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA06082 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 02:51:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701270851.CAA06082@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Jan 1997 02:51:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 435 WTXS33 PGTW 270900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (ILETTA) WARNING NR 008 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- 17.3S1 71.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.3S1 71.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 18.5S4 72.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 19.6S6 72.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 20.0S2 71.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 20.1S3 70.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 270900Z8 POSITION 17.6S4 71.6E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (ILETTA) IS MOVING SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO EXPERIENCE INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH FAVORS A WESTWARD TRACK DUE TO MID AND SHALLOW LEVEL STEERING FLOW. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z2 (DTG 271957Z1) AND 280900Z9 (DTG 280757Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z IS 19 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRETELLE) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jan 27 21:55:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102316-12722>; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 21:55:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id HAA220248; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 07:48:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4379154 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 07:47:52 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id HAA150796 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 07:47:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id HAA09816 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 07:47:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701271347.HAA09816@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Jan 1997 07:47:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 357 WTXS32 PGTW 271500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRETELLE) WARNING NR 018 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- 26.5S3 37.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 090 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.5S3 37.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 27.3S2 36.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 28.4S4 35.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 29.4S5 35.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 30.5S8 34.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 271500Z5 POSITION 26.7S5 37.0E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRETELLE) IS CURRENTLY MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY OF 45 KNOTS ARE BASED ON 270830Z VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. GRETELLE IS STILL EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN TO THE SOUTH AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING MID- LATITUDE SYSTEM FROM THE WEST. STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE WARM WATERS OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL DURING THE FIRST 36 HOURS. THEN, GRETELLE IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS COOLER WATERS AND STRONGER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR TOWARD 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z IS 17 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (ILETTA) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z3 (DTG 280155Z1) AND 281500Z6 (DTG 281355Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jan 28 07:48:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102172-16468>; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 07:47:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id RAA270274; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 17:39:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4384535 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 17:39:33 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id OAA129960 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 14:01:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA18467 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 14:01:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701272001.OAA18467@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Jan 1997 14:01:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 880 WTXS31 PGTW 272100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) WARNING NR 017 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271800Z8 --- 11.6S8 91.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.6S8 91.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 10.7S8 91.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 10.6S7 90.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 10.8S9 89.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 11.0S2 88.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 272100Z2 POSITION 11.4S6 91.2E2 NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z9 (DTG 280753Z5) AND 282100Z3 (DTG 281953Z8). TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) IS CURRENTLY MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY OF 50 KNOTS ARE BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF 271432Z AND 271730Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S IS FORECAST TO TURN TOWARD THE WEST WITHIN 24 HOURS AS ITS STEERING FLOW CHANGES ONCE AGAIN. SOME INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED TOWARD THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS UPPER-LEVEL WIND SHEAR RELAXES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRETELLE) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (ILETTA) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jan 28 04:31:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102386-12722>; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 04:30:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA43242; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 14:24:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4381960 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 14:24:04 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id OAA21320 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 14:24:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA18930 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 14:24:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701272024.OAA18930@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Jan 1997 14:24:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 189 WTXS33 PGTW 272100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (ILETTA) WARNING NR 009 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271800Z8 --- 17.5S3 70.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.5S3 70.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 17.8S6 69.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 18.4S3 69.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 19.0S0 68.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 20.0S2 67.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 272100Z2 POSITION 17.6S4 70.5E2 NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z9 (DTG 280757Z9) AND 282100Z3 (DTG 281957Z2). TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (ILETTA) HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY AND IS CURRENTLY MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF 271730Z AND 271910Z SATELLITE IMAGERY. ILETTA IS FORECAST TO INCREASE ITS FORWARD MOTION GENERALLY TO THE SOUTHWEST AND REMAIN WEAK DUE TO PERSISTENT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z IS 19 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRETELLE) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jan 28 05:15:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102331-12722>; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 05:15:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA85906; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 15:04:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4382739 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 15:04:01 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id OAA153756 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 14:57:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA19848 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 14:57:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701272057.OAA19848@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Jan 1997 14:57:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 503 WTXS21 PGTW 272100 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 272051Z JAN 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 090 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15.8S4 105.1E7 TO 16.3S0 110.3E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 TO 35 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 271730Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.0S7 106.1E8. THE SYSTEM IS QUASI-STATIONARY AT 00 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WHICH HAS PERSISTED WEST OF AUSTRALIA HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS LESSENED RECENTLY OVER THIS SYSTEM AND DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONVERGED TOWARD THIS SYSTEM=S LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A SHIP REPORT OF 30 KNOT SURFACE WINDS AND A SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE OF 999 MB HAS BEEN MADE FROM THIS AREA. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 282100Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jan 28 10:29:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102204-16468>; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 10:29:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA122194; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 20:25:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4386583 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 20:24:46 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id UAA116824 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 20:24:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA25557 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 20:24:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701280224.UAA25557@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Jan 1997 20:24:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O 266 WTXS32 PGTW 280300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRETELLE) WARNING NR 019 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 26.2S0 36.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 090 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.2S0 36.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 26.4S2 35.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 26.7S5 35.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 27.1S0 35.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 27.5S4 35.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 26.2S0 36.0E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRETELLE) IS TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. TC 20S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS OVER THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL AND TO BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION NEAR THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6 (DTG 281355Z4) AND 290300Z4 (DTG 290155Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 28/0000Z0 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) AND TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (ILETTA) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jan 28 15:55:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102400-16468>; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 15:55:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA281642; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 01:52:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4389093 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 01:52:12 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id BAA237842 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 01:52:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id BAA28782 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 01:52:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701280752.BAA28782@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Jan 1997 01:52:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 153 WTXS21 PGTW 280800 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 280751Z JAN 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/272051Z JAN 97// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 272100)// RMKS/ 1. REMARKS: THIS CANCELS REF A. 27/1603Z7 SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF LINEAR CONVERGENCE ASSOCIATED WITH THE TCFA AREA. SYNOPTIC DATA ALSO SUPPORTS THE PRESENCE OF TROUGHING IN THIS REGION. NO LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS APPARENT IN VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jan 28 16:21:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102500-16468>; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 16:21:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA36288; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 02:17:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4389410 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 02:17:03 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id CAA279474 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 02:17:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA29080 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 02:17:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701280817.CAA29080@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Jan 1997 02:17:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O 468 WTXS31 PGTW 280900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) WARNING NR 018 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- 9.9S8 91.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 9.9S8 91.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 9.4S3 91.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 9.0S9 90.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 8.9S7 89.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 8.8S6 89.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 280900Z9 POSITION 9.8S7 91.2E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) IS TRACKING NORTHWARD AT 9 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRACKING WESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE WARNING PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z3 (DTG 281953Z8) AND 290900Z0 (DTG 290753Z6). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 28/0600Z6 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRETELLE) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) AND TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (ILETTA) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jan 28 16:37:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102516-16468>; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 16:36:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA286710; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 02:33:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4389499 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 02:33:14 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id CAA56294 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 02:33:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA29175 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 02:33:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701280833.CAA29175@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Jan 1997 02:33:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O 658 WTXS33 PGTW 280900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (ILETTA) WARNING NR 010 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- 17.0S8 71.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.0S8 71.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 17.2S0 71.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 17.6S4 70.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 17.9S7 70.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 280900Z9 POSITION 17.1S9 71.2E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (ILETTA) IS QUASI-STATIONARY IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND TO BE DISSIPATED BY THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z3 (DTG 281957Z2) AND 290900Z0 (DTG 290757Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 28/0600Z6 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) AND TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRETELLE) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jan 28 21:22:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <103090-16468>; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 21:21:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id HAA266842; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 07:14:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4392686 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 07:14:16 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id HAA22484 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 07:14:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id HAA03121 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 07:14:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701281314.HAA03121@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Jan 1997 07:14:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 233 WTXS32 PGTW 281500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRETELLE) WARNING NR 020 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- 26.1S9 36.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 090 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.1S9 36.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 26.1S9 35.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 26.2S0 35.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 26.5S3 35.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 01 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 26.8S6 35.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 281500Z6 POSITION 26.1S9 35.9E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRETELLE) IS DRIFTING SLOWLY WESTWARD. OUR WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSES PERFORMED BY KGWC AND OTHER AGENCIES, THE MOST RECENT OF WHICH IS A 28/0830Z ANALYSIS. TC 20S IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASI- STATIONARY THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND REMAIN AT APPROXIMATELY THE SAME INTENSITY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z4 (DTG 290155Z2) AND 291500Z7 (DTG 291355Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z3 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO/HELINDA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (ILETTA) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jan 29 09:41:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102232-8740>; Wed, 29 Jan 1997 09:41:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id TAA151750; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 19:36:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4400388 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 19:35:56 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id QAA196254 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 16:58:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id QAA22460 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 16:58:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701282258.QAA22460@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Jan 1997 16:58:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O 732 WTXS33 PGTW 282100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (ILETTA) WARNING NR 011 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281800Z9 --- 17.0S8 72.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.0S8 72.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 17.0S8 72.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 282100Z3 POSITION 17.0S8 72.4E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (ILETTA) IS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER. SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS INDICATES 30 KNOT SUSTAINED WINDS MAY BE PRESENT AS OF 28/1730Z (DVORAK T1.0/2.0) AND THAT THIS SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z9 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRETELLE) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jan 29 10:39:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102161-8740>; Wed, 29 Jan 1997 10:39:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA113388; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 20:35:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4400854 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 20:35:01 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id UAA07894 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 20:34:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA26145 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 20:34:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701290234.UAA26145@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Jan 1997 20:34:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 099 WTXS32 PGTW 290300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRETELLE) WARNING NR 021 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- 26.2S0 35.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 090 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 26.2S0 35.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 26.5S3 35.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 26.8S6 34.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 27.1S0 34.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 27.5S4 33.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION 26.3S1 35.5E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRETELLE) IS TRACKING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. TC 20S HAS REINTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON A DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T4.0 (65 KNOTS). THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AND TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE SYSTEM INTERACTS WITH LAND. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7 (DTG 291355Z5) AND 300300Z6 (DTG 300155Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 29/0000Z1 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (ILETTA) (WTXS33 PGTW 282100) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jan 29 16:19:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102474-8740>; Wed, 29 Jan 1997 16:19:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA227480; Wed, 29 Jan 1997 02:15:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4403560 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jan 1997 02:15:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id CAA26250 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 1997 02:15:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA29010 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jan 1997 02:15:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701290815.CAA29010@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jan 1997 02:15:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 285 WTXS31 PGTW 290900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELI +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jan 29 17:29:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102286-8740>; Wed, 29 Jan 1997 17:29:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA37056; Wed, 29 Jan 1997 03:25:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4403813 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jan 1997 03:25:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id DAA277414 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 1997 03:25:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA01121 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jan 1997 03:25:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701290925.DAA01121@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jan 1997 03:25:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 104 WTXS31 PGTW 290900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) WARNING NR 020 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290600Z7 --- 10.7S8 93.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.7S8 93.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 11.5S7 92.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 12.4S7 91.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 13.2S6 90.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 13.9S3 88.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 290900Z0 POSITION 10.9S0 92.8E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) IS TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. TC 20S IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY STEERING FLOW. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TURN WESTWARD BEYOND THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS AND TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z4 (DTG 291953Z9) AND 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 29/0600Z7 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRETELLE) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jan 30 08:55:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102154-14393>; Thu, 30 Jan 1997 08:55:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id SAA27166; Wed, 29 Jan 1997 18:49:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4410823 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jan 1997 18:49:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id NAA108566 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 1997 13:27:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id NAA10925 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jan 1997 13:27:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701291927.NAA10925@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jan 1997 13:27:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 987 WTXS31 PGTW 292100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) WARNING NR 021 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291800Z0 --- 12.5S8 93.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 195 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.5S8 93.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 14.0S5 92.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 15.2S8 92.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 16.1S8 91.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 17.0S8 90.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 292100Z4 POSITION 12.9S2 93.2E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) IS MOVING SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. OUR WARNING INTENSITY OF 45 KNOTS IS BASED ON ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS AT 29/1730Z (DVORAK T3.0). TC 19S IS NOW MOVING IN A CLIMATOLOGICALLY NORMAL DIRECTION, AND WE EXPECT IT TO CONTINUE DOING SO THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. IT IS EXPECTED TO START WEAKENING AGAIN NEAR THE 36 TO 48 HOUR TIME FRAME. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8) AND 302100Z6 (DTG 301953Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z0 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRETELLE) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jan 30 09:43:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102485-14393>; Thu, 30 Jan 1997 09:43:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id TAA156290; Wed, 29 Jan 1997 19:33:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4411972 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jan 1997 19:33:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id TAA239444 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 1997 19:33:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id TAA18520 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jan 1997 19:33:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701300133.TAA18520@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jan 1997 19:33:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 777 WTXS32 PGTW 300300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRETELLE) WARNING NR 023 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- 27.3S2 37.5E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 090 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 27.3S2 37.5E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 27.9S8 37.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 28.5S5 37.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 29.1S2 38.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 29.7S8 39.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION 27.5S4 37.5E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 2OS (GRETELLE) IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT GAINS LATITUDE AND MOVES INTO A STRONGER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. WIND RADII HAVE BEEN EXPANDED BASED ON A 290740Z SCATTEROMETER PASS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z9 (DTG 301355Z7) AND 310300Z7 (DTG 310155Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jan 30 15:55:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <103171-14393>; Thu, 30 Jan 1997 15:54:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA20660; Thu, 30 Jan 1997 01:48:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4414323 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jan 1997 01:48:36 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id BAA20610 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 1997 01:48:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id BAA22296 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jan 1997 01:48:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701300748.BAA22296@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jan 1997 01:48:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 561 WTXS31 PGTW 300900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) WARNING NR 022 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z9 --- 14.0S5 91.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.0S5 91.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 14.6S1 90.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 15.1S7 89.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 15.3S9 88.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 15.4S0 87.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 300900Z2 POSITION 14.2S7 91.6E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) IS MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD= HOWEVER, AFTER 24 HOURS, STEERING FLOW IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TO SLOW. NEXT WARNINGS AT 302100Z6 (DTG 301951Z9) AND 310900Z3 (DTG 310751Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRETELLE) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jan 30 22:32:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <103048-14393>; Thu, 30 Jan 1997 22:32:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA20124; Thu, 30 Jan 1997 08:24:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4415580 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jan 1997 08:24:09 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id IAA12110 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 1997 08:19:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA27401 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jan 1997 08:19:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701301419.IAA27401@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jan 1997 08:19:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 729 WTXS32 PGTW 301500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRETELLE) WARNING NR 024 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z6 --- 28.8S8 38.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 090 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 28.8S8 38.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 30.0S3 39.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 31.4S8 41.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 32.9S4 44.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 301500Z9 POSITION 29.1S2 38.6E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRETELLE) IS CURRENTLY MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF 300605Z AND 300830Z VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF 300240Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED 300605Z AND 300830Z SATELLITE IMAGERY. GRETELLE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE SLOWLY WEAKENING AS IT ACCELERATES TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER WITHIN 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z IS 11 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310300Z7 (DTG 310155Z5) AND 311500Z0 (DTG 311355Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Jan 31 04:36:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <103191-14393>; Fri, 31 Jan 1997 04:35:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA32592; Thu, 30 Jan 1997 14:27:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4419467 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jan 1997 14:25:11 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id OAA93390 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 1997 14:25:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA06182 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jan 1997 14:25:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701302025.OAA06182@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jan 1997 14:25:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 598 WTXS31 PGTW 302100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) WARNING NR 023 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301800Z2 --- 14.9S4 90.1E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.9S4 90.1E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 15.5S1 88.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 15.8S4 87.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 16.0S7 86.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 16.0S7 86.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 302100Z6 POSITION 15.1S7 89.7E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) IS MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 301730Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 45 KNOTS IS BASED ON A SATELLITE- DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S IS STILL EXPECTED TO GENERALLY HEAD WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AND SLOW ITS FORWARD MOTION. PANCHO-HELINDA IS ALSO FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRETELLE) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310900Z3 (DTG 310753Z9) AND 312100Z7 (DTG 311953Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Jan 31 10:53:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102553-17450>; Fri, 31 Jan 1997 10:52:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA95490; Thu, 30 Jan 1997 20:39:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4422700 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jan 1997 20:38:50 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id UAA55080 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 1997 20:38:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA12436 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jan 1997 20:38:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701310238.UAA12436@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Jan 1997 20:38:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 670 WTXS32 PGTW 310300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRETELLE) WARNING NR 025 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z4 --- 29.5S6 39.2E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 090 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 29.5S6 39.2E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 30.7S0 40.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 34.2S9 42.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 310300Z7 POSITION 29.8S9 39.5E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRETELLE) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AS IT TRANSITIONS INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS EXTRAPOLATED FROM A 300709Z SCATTEROMETER PASS, WHICH INDICATED 40 KNOT WINDS NEAR THE CENTER, AND A WEAKENING TREND BASED ON METEOSAT IMAGERY. BASED ON THE SAME SCATTEROMETER PASS, GALE TO NEAR-GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 120 NM IN THE NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 180 NM ELSEWHERE. THE WARNING POSITION IS EXTRAPOLATED FROM A 301833Z KGWC SATELLITE ANALYSIS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 311500Z0 (DTG 311355Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Jan 31 16:04:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103242-17450>; Fri, 31 Jan 1997 16:04:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA49228; Fri, 31 Jan 1997 01:52:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4424979 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jan 1997 01:52:14 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA120122 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 1997 01:52:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id BAA15385 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jan 1997 01:52:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701310752.BAA15385@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jan 1997 01:52:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 248 WTXS31 PGTW 310900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) WARNING NR 024 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310600Z0 --- 15.4S0 88.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.4S0 88.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 15.8S4 87.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 16.2S9 85.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 16.5S2 84.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 17.0S8 83.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 310900Z3 POSITION 15.5S1 88.3E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) IS MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES GENERALLY SOUTHWESTWARD. SYSTEM IS ALSO EXPECTED TO SLOW NEAR THE 48 HOUR POSITION AS IT MOVES INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE MID- LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 312100Z7 (DTG 311953Z2) AND 010900Z0 (DTG 010753Z6). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310600Z IS 17 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRETELLE) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Jan 31 21:38:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103009-17450>; Fri, 31 Jan 1997 21:38:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA87570; Fri, 31 Jan 1997 07:30:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4428194 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jan 1997 07:30:40 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA70074 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 1997 07:30:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id HAA20390 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jan 1997 07:30:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701311330.HAA20390@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jan 1997 07:30:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 697 WTXS32 PGTW 311500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRETELLE) WARNING NR 026 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311200Z7 --- 33.4S0 40.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 100 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 33.4S0 40.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 36.6S5 43.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 311500Z0 POSITION 34.2S9 40.9E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRETELLE) IS MOVING SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION FROM 310554Z VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. GRETELLE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ACCELERATING AND TRANSITIONING INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S IS FORECAST TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311200Z IS 11 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 1 09:26:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625886-12266>; Mon, 1 Dec 1997 07:50:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA26150; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 17:37:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7149417 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 17:37:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA09360 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 17:36:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA26999 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 17:36:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711302336.RAA26999@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Nov 1997 17:36:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: be006538d3dc1d459c89c2181e30126b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 022 ABPZ20 KNHC 302336 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST SUN NOV 30 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION...LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES TO THE SOUTH OF EL SALVADOR...IS PRODUCING CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY TO THE EAST AND SOUTH OF THE CENTER. CONDITIONS DO NOT APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. THE HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS TODAY AND THIS WILL BE THE LAST TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ISSUED THIS YEAR. OUTLOOKS WILL RESUME AT THE START OF THE NEXT EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON... MAY 15 1998. ON VERY RARE OCCASIONS...TROPICAL CYCLONES OCCUR IN THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN DECEMBER 1 AND MAY 15. IF SUCH A RARE EVENT OCCURS...THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER WILL BEGIN ISSUING ADVISORIES. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 1 02:41:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626528-3087>; Mon, 1 Dec 1997 01:35:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA26140; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 11:30:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7146732 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 11:30:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA10480 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 11:30:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA25759 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 11:30:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711301730.LAA25759@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Nov 1997 11:30:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f84a7692214d64d6605e6cca6928175e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 241 ABPZ20 KNHC 301729 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST SUN NOV 30 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION...LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES TO THE SOUTHWEST OF NICARAGUA...IS PRODUCING CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. CONDITIONS DO NOT APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 1 02:41:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626338-3087>; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 19:32:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA42702; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 05:29:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7144926 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 05:29:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA36794 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 05:29:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA24783 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 05:29:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711301129.FAA24783@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Nov 1997 05:29:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: aa1e62d10f5742ac1ba0a05c47ace5c1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 408 ABPZ20 KNHC 301129 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST SUN NOV 30 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION...LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES TO THE SOUTHWEST OF NICARAGUA...IS PRODUCING CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THIS SYSTEM SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 1 02:41:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625992-3086>; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 12:20:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA21406; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 22:16:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7143068 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 22:16:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA16494 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 22:16:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA23373 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 22:16:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711300416.WAA23373@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Nov 1997 22:16:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2ca3c289a9f7a8c4ab4475d1ae60ac52 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 823 ABPZ20 KNHC 300408 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST SAT NOV 29 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS IS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES TO THE SOUTHWEST OF NICARAGUA. THIS SYSTEM IS BEING MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 1 02:41:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625877-3087>; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 06:59:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA13168; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 16:56:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7141594 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 16:56:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA10328 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 16:56:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA22466 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 16:56:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711292256.QAA22466@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Nov 1997 16:56:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e2e26463a4cab7f6d780c33e73c565e9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 986 ABPZ20 KNHC 292253 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST SAT NOV 29 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS IS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES TO THE SOUTHWEST OF NICARAGUA. THIS SYSTEM HAS BEEN MOVING LITTLE AND IS BEING MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 1 02:41:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627105-24967>; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 01:49:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA26168; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 11:46:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7139637 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 11:46:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA13084 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 11:46:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA21467 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 11:46:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711291746.LAA21467@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Nov 1997 11:46:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ff18231a1a42e1ff99ba3452060932e3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 395 ABPZ20 KNHC 291745 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST SAT NOV 29 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE SHIP DATA SHOW A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION LOCATED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF NICARAGUA. THERE IS SOME DEEP CONVECTION ON THE EAST SIDE AND THIS SYSTEM IS BEING MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 1 02:41:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626844-24967>; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 18:34:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA10398; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 04:29:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7137641 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 04:29:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA38272 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 04:29:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA20245 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 04:29:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711291029.EAA20245@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Nov 1997 04:29:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 51f667863a6f0fb7152473d14e99a156 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 261 ABPZ20 KNHC 291026 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST SAT NOV 29 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 1 02:41:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626296-24970>; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 12:29:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA38276; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 22:21:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7136217 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 22:21:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA29294 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 22:21:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA19096 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 22:21:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711290421.WAA19096@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Nov 1997 22:21:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 54f0fbab087e26f9473053744205d24f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 455 ABPZ20 KNHC 290418 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST FRI NOV 28 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER NEAR THE PACIFIC COASTS OF COSTA RICA ...NICARAGUA AND EL SALVADOR HAS WEAKENED. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 29 09:27:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625966-24967>; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 07:24:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA42602; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 17:19:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7134563 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 17:19:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA48980 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 17:19:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA18201 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 17:19:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711282319.RAA18201@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Nov 1997 17:19:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3d247f3e0edd1df2e1aef5d1c6c7ae87 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 109 ABPZ20 KNHC 282318 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST FRI NOV 28 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER NEAR THE PACIFIC COASTS OF COSTA RICA ...NICARAGUA AND EL SALVADOR SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 29 09:27:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627465-1524>; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 02:02:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA32332; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 11:49:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7132901 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 11:49:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA52794 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 11:49:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA17094 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 11:49:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711281749.LAA17094@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Nov 1997 11:49:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7e36fffc08426df91960ab59f4433f9c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 991 ABPZ20 KNHC 281747 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST FRI NOV 28 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER NEAR THE PACIFIC COASTS OF COSTA RICA...NICARAGUA AND EL SALVADOR SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 29 09:27:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626795-1526>; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 19:02:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA32428; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 04:54:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7131155 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 04:54:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA10136 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 04:54:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA15914 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 04:54:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711281054.EAA15914@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Nov 1997 04:54:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fd30aafb9b995195ea88a6594d0b203c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 010 ABPZ20 KNHC 281052 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST FRI NOV 28 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER NEAR THE PACIFIC COASTS OF COSTA RICA...NICARAGUA AND EL SALVADOR SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 28 12:50:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626108-1520>; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 12:41:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA16782; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 22:36:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7129977 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 22:36:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA36728 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 22:36:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA14667 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 22:36:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711280436.WAA14667@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Nov 1997 22:36:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3f645560b46099c96cc6171f324fa644 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 173 ABPZ20 KNHC 280433 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST THU NOV 27 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED NEAR THE PACIFIC COASTS OF COSTA RICA...NICARAGUA AND EL SALVADOR. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 28 09:06:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625868-1526>; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 07:53:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA13194; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 17:47:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7128625 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 17:47:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA09586 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 17:47:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA13808 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 17:47:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711272347.RAA13808@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Nov 1997 17:47:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ccabc4c17574bb1c959f5fd19be533fd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 832 ABPZ20 KNHC 272345 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST THU NOV 27 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED NEAR THE PACIFIC COASTS OF NICARAGUA AND COSTA RICA. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 28 09:06:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627091-15097>; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 02:31:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA19540; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 11:37:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7127094 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 11:37:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA32064 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 11:37:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA12709 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 11:37:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711271737.LAA12709@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Nov 1997 11:37:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2bd765180949322c113c5d533c308300 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 884 ABPZ20 KNHC 271735 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST THU NOV 27 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED NEAR THE PACIFIC COASTS OF NICARAGUA AND COSTA RICA. HOWEVER...THE CLOSE PROXIMITY TO LAND IS EXPECTED TO INHIBIT SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 28 09:06:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626774-15088>; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 19:49:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA39972; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 05:45:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7125532 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 05:45:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA26126 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 05:45:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA11731 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 05:45:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711271145.FAA11731@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Nov 1997 05:45:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0899351e0116420f0d2edf13f9b05a5b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 079 ABPZ20 KNHC 271144 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST THU NOV 27 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS JUST OFF THE COASTS OF EL SALVADOR... NICARAGUA ...AND COSTA RICA HAVE BECOME A LITTLE MORE CONCENTRATED. THE CLOSE PROXIMITY TO LAND IS EXPECTED TO INHIBIT SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 27 13:48:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626059-15088>; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 12:54:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA10042; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 22:48:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7123186 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 22:48:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA16414 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 22:48:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA10366 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 22:48:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711270448.WAA10366@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Nov 1997 22:48:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 237278f9ef9dceb39b74d1e79474b006 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 391 ABPZ20 KNHC 270445 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST WED NOV 26 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 27 13:48:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625923-15097>; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 07:51:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA27018; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 17:45:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7121067 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 17:44:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA33306 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 17:44:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA09489 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 17:44:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711262344.RAA09489@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Nov 1997 17:44:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b183a139052230c767ebba13163756b0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 645 ABPZ20 KNHC 262343 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST WED NOV 26 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 27 13:48:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628135-21030>; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 01:52:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA37116; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 11:48:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7117301 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 11:47:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA25822 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 11:47:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA08271 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 11:47:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711261747.LAA08271@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Nov 1997 11:47:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 014579151b276f7e90840e3d41a8b09a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 199 ABPZ20 KNHC 261746 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST WED NOV 26 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 1500 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS DEGENERATED. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 27 13:48:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628103-21038>; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 18:15:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA30932; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 04:10:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7113496 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 04:10:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA12472 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 04:10:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA06805 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 04:10:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711261010.EAA06805@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Nov 1997 04:10:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 943c73ba2d07adddd1e72226aaa4acad Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 785 ABPZ20 KNHC 261008 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST WED NOV 26 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ABOUT 1475 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 27 13:48:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627142-21039>; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 12:56:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA30744; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 22:46:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7111818 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 22:46:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA26612 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 22:46:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA05648 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 22:46:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711260446.WAA05648@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Nov 1997 22:46:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6edd2a0e08d118b653f528899e4b45f9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 064 ABPZ20 KNHC 260444 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST TUE NOV 25 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ABOUT 1400 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 26 09:46:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626020-21040>; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 08:07:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA39018; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 18:00:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7109404 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 18:00:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id SAA20296 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 18:00:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA04678 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 18:00:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711260000.SAA04678@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Nov 1997 18:00:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f20e147e71bc6a636c06d7d98f2cd416 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 554 ABPZ20 KNHC 252358 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST TUE NOV 25 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 1275 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ALSO SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 26 09:46:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628073-29656>; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 02:02:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA42660; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 11:57:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7105769 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 11:57:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA48512 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 11:57:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA03010 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 11:57:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711251757.LAA03010@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Nov 1997 11:57:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7281651419867078e3a06d20a51480ca Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 819 ABPZ20 KNHC 251755 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST TUE NOV 25 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. THE DISTURBANCE IS MOVING WESTWARD AND IS EXPECTED TO CROSS 140W LONGITUDE LATER TODAY...AND ENTER THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE BASIN. A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 1350 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS NOT LIKELY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 25 19:16:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626481-29658>; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 19:01:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA33286; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 04:31:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7102498 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 04:30:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA32234 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 04:30:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA01589 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 04:30:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711251030.EAA01589@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Nov 1997 04:30:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 12ff857c525355e295de2ccc0484928b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 378 ABPZ20 KNHC 251027 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST TUE NOV 25 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS NOT LIKELY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 25 17:57:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627949-29659>; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 12:43:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAB43736; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 22:39:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7100672 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 22:39:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA39682 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 22:37:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA00316 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 22:37:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711250437.WAA00316@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Nov 1997 22:37:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f71de90ed0759d2cfc67d13912583700 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 151 ABPZ20 KNHC 250434 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST MON NOV 24 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ABOUT 1350 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...REMAINS WEAK AND SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS UNLIKELY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 25 09:15:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626073-29658>; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 07:45:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA40128; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 17:41:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7098093 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 17:39:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA09788 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 17:39:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA29458 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 17:39:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711242339.RAA29458@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Nov 1997 17:39:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c8eb542f8ee0122acc3846a8105eb07a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 614 ABPZ20 KNHC 242336 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST MON NOV 24 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ABOUT 1450 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME LESS WELL-ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS...BUT STILL HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT. ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ABOOUT 1300 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM IS RATHER WEAK AND SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT DOES NOT APPEAR LIKELY AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 25 09:15:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627881-5773>; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 01:41:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA29798; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 11:32:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7094736 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 11:32:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA40782 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 11:32:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA27972 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 11:32:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711241732.LAA27972@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Nov 1997 11:32:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 45d38de2ce2e6e38eea0a4c671f11e00 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 960 ABPZ20 KNHC 241717 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST MON NOV 24 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ABOUT 1450 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ANOTHER WESTWARD-MOVING DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ABOOUT 1300 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM IS RATHER WEAK AND SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 24 18:32:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627688-5779>; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 18:22:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA28694; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 04:15:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7092018 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 04:15:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA19918 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 04:14:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA26688 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 04:14:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711241014.EAA26688@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Nov 1997 04:14:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5d9e66962226b69f130f6a6abc06c92e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 342 ABPZ20 KNHC 241012 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST MON NOV 24 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ABOUT 1500 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 24 17:26:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627713-5780>; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 17:22:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA13152; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 03:20:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7091723 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 03:20:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA10404 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 03:19:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA25592 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 22:55:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711240455.WAA25592@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Nov 1997 22:55:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 127a631fe677030b2c024073edc14dab Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 520 ABPZ20 KNHC 240452 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST SUN NOV 23 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ABOUT 1550 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE HAVE DIMINISHED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...THE SYSTEM REMAINS FAIRLY WELL-ORGANIZED AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 24 18:32:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627792-5779>; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 18:03:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA12450; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 03:29:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7091815 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 03:29:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA20360 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 03:26:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA24680 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 17:39:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711232339.RAA24680@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Nov 1997 17:39:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1ddde9eba584f918206408fc730990bb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 700 ABPZ20 KNHC 232337 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST SUN NOV 23 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED A LITTLE OVER 1600 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THERE HAS NEVER BEEN A TROPICAL CYCLONE TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA SO LATE IN THE SEASON ACCORDING TO AVAILABLE RECORDS AT THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. ALTHOUGH THIS SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...IT REMAINS FAIRLY WELL-ORGANIZED AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 24 08:44:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627517-19547>; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 02:24:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA32872; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 12:19:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7085475 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 12:17:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA42728 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 12:17:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA23699 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 11:54:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711231754.LAA23699@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Nov 1997 11:54:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 755eb51f8830d7e0c17dc2aa12b762c4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 403 ABPZ20 KNHC 231751 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST SUN NOV 23 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A WESTWARD MOVING TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ABOUT 1725 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THERE HAS NEVER BEEN A TROPICAL CYCLONE TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA SO LATE IN THE SEASON ACCORDING TO AVAILABLE RECORDS AT THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. HOWEVER...THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE DISTURBANCE HAS INCREASED AND THE SYSTEM APPEARS TO HAVE BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED. IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 24 08:44:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627556-19542>; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 19:25:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA38192; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 05:19:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7082998 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 05:19:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA47036 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 05:17:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA22330 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 04:02:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711231002.EAA22330@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Nov 1997 04:02:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 957c4d56e153293782c4b13c29ea7cc6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 719 ABPZ20 KNHC 231000 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST SUN NOV 23 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A WESTWARD MOVING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED ABOUT 1750 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ALTHOUGH THIS SYSTEM IS NOT WELL ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME...THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 24 08:44:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626664-19550>; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 19:29:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA49020; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 05:25:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7083089 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 05:25:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA36962 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 05:19:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA21213 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 22:40:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711230440.WAA21213@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Nov 1997 22:40:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c1786e0461f4b8dd2a0cb3d06e3ed943 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 277 ABPZ20 KNHC 230438 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST SAT NOV 22 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A WESTWARD MOVING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED ABOUT 1850 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ALTHOUGH THIS SYSTEM IS NOT WELL ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME...THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 24 08:44:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626566-19542>; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 19:36:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA10238; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 05:26:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7083111 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 05:25:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA46852 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 05:20:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA20239 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 17:14:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711222314.RAA20239@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Nov 1997 17:14:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4009e4037845ae483ba87508769496ea Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 314 ABPZ20 KNHC 222311 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST SAT NOV 22 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A WESTWARD MOVING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED ABOUT 1950 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ALTHOUGH CONVECTION HAS RECENTLY DECREASED...THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 24 08:43:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627068-23651>; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 02:04:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA30618; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 11:21:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7078699 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 11:21:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA19584 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 11:21:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA19002 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 11:21:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711221721.LAA19002@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Nov 1997 11:21:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d9a0d5f983faad734c1e68eba41de975 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 929 ABPZ20 KNHC 221718 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST SAT NOV 22 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A WESTWARD MOVING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED ABOUT 1750 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ALTHOUGH CONVECTION HAS RECENTLY DECREASED...THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 24 08:43:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626920-23640>; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 18:13:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA04564; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 04:06:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7077306 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 04:06:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA29884 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 04:05:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA17726 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 04:05:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711221005.EAA17726@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Nov 1997 04:05:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bbaa69a75a076ba6d25e3272ea7ddfd0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 794 ABPZ20 KNHC 221002 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST SAT NOV 22 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A WESTWARD MOVING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED ABOUT 1550 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS HAVE BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AND THE SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 24 08:43:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626638-23648>; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 13:06:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA29840; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 22:43:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7076344 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 22:43:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA24180 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 22:42:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA16570 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 22:42:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711220442.WAA16570@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Nov 1997 22:42:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 58b113b7ca14fe1286d5171a1fdde1c2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 778 ABPZ20 KNHC 220440 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST FRI NOV 21 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A WESTWARD MOVING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED ABOUT 1500 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS HAVE BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AND THE SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 22 10:39:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625886-23640>; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 07:50:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA33482; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 17:46:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7074227 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 17:46:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA32436 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 17:46:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA15631 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 17:46:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711212346.RAA15631@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Nov 1997 17:46:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 42c24583c3b97adc61a1da0777563278 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 400 ABPZ20 KNHC 212343 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST FRI NOV 21 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A WESTWARD MOVING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION...WITH MINIMAL THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...IS LOCATED ABOUT 1450 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 22 10:39:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626753-16577>; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 02:06:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA28786; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 11:38:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7070910 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 11:38:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA40768 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 11:37:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA14233 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 11:37:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711211737.LAA14233@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Nov 1997 11:37:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6919b4e93f76b2c05bfaad8f81c367d8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 641 ABPZ20 KNHC 211640 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST FRI NOV 21 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A WESTWARD MOVING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION...WITH MINIMAL THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...IS LOCATED ABOUT 1350 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 22 10:39:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626557-16577>; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 18:23:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA19790; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 04:13:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7067302 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 04:12:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA52764 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 04:12:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA12806 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 04:12:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711211012.EAA12806@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Nov 1997 04:12:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e25c5dee12ff6492d22ab0d37c43cfb8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 090 ABPZ20 KNHC 211011 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST FRI NOV 21 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A WESTWARD MOVING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION...WITH MINIMAL THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...IS LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 21 14:52:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625978-5812>; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 12:45:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA32882; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 22:41:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7065613 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 22:41:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA29272 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 22:41:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA11618 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 22:41:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711210441.WAA11618@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Nov 1997 22:41:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 222f6b7f718655933cb03951d2d736b7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 709 ABPZ20 KNHC 210433 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST THU NOV 20 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A WESTWARD MOVING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION...WITH MINIMAL THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...IS LOCATED ABOUT 1150 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 21 14:49:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625965-5818>; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 08:04:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA29118; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 18:00:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7063060 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 18:00:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id SAA40348 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 18:00:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA10699 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 18:00:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711210000.SAA10699@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Nov 1997 18:00:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5df6974945e83e527b96b55aed78281b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 549 ABPZ20 KNHC 202358 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST THU NOV 20 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A WESTWARD MOVING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION...WITH MINIMAL THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...IS LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 21 14:48:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627227-17897>; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 02:10:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA33922; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 12:07:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7058977 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 12:07:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA38244 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 12:07:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA09391 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 12:07:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711201807.MAA09391@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Nov 1997 12:07:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4e6ddd5252808717d445041105185a9e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 118 ABPZ20 KNHC 201804 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST THU NOV 20 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A WESTWARD MOVING TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION IS INDICATED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY...BUT ASSOCIATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS MINIMAL AND DISPLACED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS DO NOT APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 21 14:48:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626899-17896>; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 19:25:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA33372; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 05:22:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7055726 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 05:22:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA14408 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 05:22:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA08013 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 05:22:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711201122.FAA08013@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Nov 1997 05:22:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f98172d71056a171328df209fa2cc715 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 335 ABPZ20 KNHC 201120 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST THU NOV 20 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A WESTWARD MOVING TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ABOUT 950 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 20 13:50:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626624-12197>; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 13:01:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA29706; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 22:58:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7053591 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 22:58:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA12522 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 22:58:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA06737 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 22:58:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711200458.WAA06737@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Nov 1997 22:58:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3024f6937db59429c0b154e395c03e7c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 133 ABPZ20 KNHC 200456 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST WED NOV 19 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A WESTWARD MOVING TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ABOUT 950 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 20 13:50:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626381-12194>; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 10:23:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA33304; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 17:36:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7050679 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 17:36:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA19718 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 17:36:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA05613 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 17:36:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711192336.RAA05613@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Nov 1997 17:36:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7680f3ae3a3bebb492eb0a141b548fe9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 012 ABPZ20 KNHC 192334 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST WED NOV 19 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A SLOW-MOVING TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ABOUT 925 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 20 13:50:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626566-14095>; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 01:57:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA35298; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 11:52:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7047344 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 11:51:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA27074 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 11:51:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA04194 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 11:51:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711191751.LAA04194@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Nov 1997 11:51:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3bbd2e41d0956b0fbd7398c21c888673 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 441 ABPZ20 KNHC 191850 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST WED NOV 19 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A SLOW-MOVING TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM AND HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 20 13:50:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628782-14097>; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 19:02:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA29878; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 04:56:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7044240 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 04:55:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA46716 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 04:55:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA02610 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 04:55:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711191055.EAA02610@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Nov 1997 04:55:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 44bb01c2ec8dbb094925dea36842732b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 582 ABPZ20 KNHC 191051 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST WED NOV 19 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 19 14:58:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626179-14098>; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 12:41:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA50394; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 22:37:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7042198 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 22:37:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA42686 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 22:37:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA01361 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 22:37:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711190437.WAA01361@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Nov 1997 22:37:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 110db76702cf061ab032aeeb037a7c04 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 820 ABPZ20 KNHC 190432 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST TUE NOV 18 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 19 14:58:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626250-14095>; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 07:55:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA16968; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 17:52:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7040088 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 17:51:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA13348 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 17:51:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA00345 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 17:51:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711182351.RAA00345@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Nov 1997 17:51:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 713966745991d19da23600f699aa8c31 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 266 ABPZ20 KNHC 182347 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST TUE NOV 18 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 19 14:58:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627745-18905>; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 02:42:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA22696; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 12:38:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7036138 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 12:38:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA17038 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 12:38:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA29098 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 12:38:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711181838.MAA29098@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Nov 1997 12:38:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b5b50acc00be46a45618b4fdd10545cc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 770 ABPZ20 KNHC 181835 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST TUE NOV 18 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO REMAINS DISORGANIZED. THIS ACTIVITY IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 18 16:18:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627002-18902>; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 13:12:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA19678; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 23:08:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7030801 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 23:07:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA26806 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 23:07:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA26561 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 23:07:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711180507.XAA26561@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Nov 1997 23:07:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f11cf417e5b2ffd3b501b415341fdab3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 087 ABPZ20 KNHC 180505 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST MON NOV 17 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH=SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO REMAINS DISORGANIZED. THIS ACTIVITY IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 18 11:01:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625876-18902>; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 07:28:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA09984; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 17:25:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7027042 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 17:24:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA23222 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 17:24:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA25377 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 17:24:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711172324.RAA25377@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Nov 1997 17:24:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f6885a2eafcff5bef2264bb1a1d282fe Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 781 ABPZ20 KNHC 172323 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST MON NOV 17 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO REMAINS DISORGANIZED. THIS ACTIVITY IS MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 18 11:01:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626535-7997>; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 19:14:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA16400; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 05:05:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7019190 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 05:04:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA20380 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 05:04:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA22633 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 05:04:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711171104.FAA22633@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Nov 1997 05:04:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5d5ab3f046d1fe5c81011c2c9d4366b4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 626 ABPZ20 KNHC 171103 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST MON NOV 17 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED TO THE SOUTH OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND MEXICO. THE SYSTEM REMAINS DISORGANIZED...BUT THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 13:38:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626311-7995>; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 13:03:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA09398; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 22:59:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7017748 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 22:58:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA43636 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 22:58:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA21435 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 22:58:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711170458.WAA21435@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Nov 1997 22:58:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ffcdb7e684995439121928cf04927cd8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 754 ABPZ20 KNHC 170457 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST SUN NOV 16 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED TO THE SOUTH OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND MEXICO. THE SYSTEM REMAINS DISORGANIZED...BUT THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629602-11533>; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 01:36:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA21316; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 11:27:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7012842 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 11:27:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA33840 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 11:27:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA19155 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 11:27:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711161727.LAA19155@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Nov 1997 11:27:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3abba77b38902c68c763fa9cdd00f806 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 389 ABPZ20 KNHC 161726 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST SUN NOV 16 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CONTINUES TO THE SOUTH OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY DISORGANIZED... BUT THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627390-11525>; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 18:29:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA35578; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 04:25:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7010969 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 04:25:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA26568 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 04:25:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA17974 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 04:25:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711161025.EAA17974@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Nov 1997 04:25:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 283c6729911bafbdfd659492487cf626 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 397 ABPZ20 KNHC 161021 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST SUN NOV 16 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CONTINUES TO THE SOUTH OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND MEXICO. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME BUT THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626629-11525>; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 13:01:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA28372; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 22:54:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7009740 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 22:53:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA33942 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 22:53:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA16880 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 22:53:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711160453.WAA16880@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Nov 1997 22:53:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2cb90274b0536d0767c1bac3c0b995be Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 280 ABPZ20 KNHC 160444 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST SAT NOV 15 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CONTINUES TO THE SOUTH OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND MEXICO. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME BUT THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625947-11533>; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 07:49:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA10024; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 17:46:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7008232 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 17:46:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA32788 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 17:46:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA15982 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 17:46:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711152346.RAA15982@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Nov 1997 17:46:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 37676eae2a2280b021260d8cefd221e5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 889 ABPZ20 KNHC 152344 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST SAT NOV 15 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CONTINUES TO THE SOUTH OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626310-15662>; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 01:22:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA35330; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 11:18:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7006808 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 11:18:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA31466 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 11:18:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA14682 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 11:18:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711151718.LAA14682@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Nov 1997 11:18:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 772124ae8dd601a74ce3a4fb00114685 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 975 ABPZ20 KNHC 151716 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST SAT NOV 15 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER EXTENDS FROM JUST SOUTH OF COSTA RICA WESTWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES. THIS SYSTEM HAS NOT BECOME ANY BETTER ORGANIZED SINCE YESTERDAY BUT IT HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627038-15661>; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 18:20:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA32942; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 04:17:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7005380 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 04:17:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA33946 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 04:17:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA13527 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 04:17:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711151017.EAA13527@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Nov 1997 04:17:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5868991b59cd183033c29889998c7eb2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 263 ABPZ20 KNHC 151018 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST SAT NOV 15 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626450-15655>; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 12:36:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA21518; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 22:32:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7004141 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 22:31:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA31460 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 22:31:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA12358 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 22:31:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711150431.WAA12358@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Nov 1997 22:31:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 04a180fa92bcc0b15ba385c98b6f99a0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 167 ABPZ20 KNHC 150433 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST FRI NOV 14 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625999-15662>; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 07:36:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA43630; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 17:28:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7002517 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 17:26:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA46104 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 17:26:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA11377 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 17:26:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711142326.RAA11377@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Nov 1997 17:26:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 074b2b099a71be7b94e20afd9ca6ef29 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 481 ABPZ20 KNHC 142328 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST FRI NOV 14 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES THE SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THIS SYSTEM IS NOT WELL ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME...BUT SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627278-12513>; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 02:09:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAB30766; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 11:56:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6999711 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 11:56:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA19650 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 11:56:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA10001 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 11:56:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711141756.LAA10001@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Nov 1997 11:56:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7831b8f66392ebdf472c56a909c14a66 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 148 ABPZ20 KNHC 141757 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST FRI NOV 14 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES TO THE SOUTH OF THE COASTS OF GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR IS NOT WELL ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME. SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:49:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627229-12516>; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 17:06:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA10936; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 02:55:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6996233 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 02:55:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA48022 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 02:55:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA07955 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 02:55:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711140855.CAA07955@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Nov 1997 02:55:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a3c51d261cea687818eed9343a1c276d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 982 ABPZ20 KNHC 140855 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST FRI NOV 14 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES TO THE SOUTH OF THE COASTS OF GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR. ALTHOUGH THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS NOT CONCENTRATED AT THIS TIME...THE SYSTEM APPEARS TO HAVE SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:49:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627152-12513>; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 12:58:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA46914; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 22:55:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6994896 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 22:55:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA43764 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 22:54:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA07222 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 22:54:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711140454.WAA07222@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Nov 1997 22:54:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 12e5a692aa92ca6c9cea6cdd44524bbc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 664 ABPZ20 KNHC 140455 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST THU NOV 13 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES TO THE SOUTH OF THE COASTS OF GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR. ALTHOUGH THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS NOT CONCENTRATED AT THIS TIME...THE SYSTEM APPEARS TO HAVE SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 14 11:19:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625922-12513>; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 07:37:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA28264; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 17:32:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6992183 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 17:32:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA09804 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 17:32:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA06144 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 17:32:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711132332.RAA06144@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Nov 1997 17:32:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fdd49e3517ba030178e67d030a2e22e9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 396 ABPZ20 KNHC 132334 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST THU NOV 13 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES TO THE SOUTH OF THE COASTS OF GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR. THIS SYSTEM APPEARS TO HAVE SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 14 11:19:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627704-16252>; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 01:25:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA29760; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 11:09:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6986905 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 11:09:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA04390 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 11:09:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA04505 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 11:09:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711131709.LAA04505@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Nov 1997 11:09:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b45987f7a658263d004ad4c8356ab2e2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 054 ABPZ20 KNHC 131708 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST THU NOV 13 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES TO THE SOUTH OF THE COASTS OF GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR. THIS SYSTEM APPEARS TO HAVE SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 14 11:19:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627654-16252>; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 19:52:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA20354; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 05:45:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6983813 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 05:45:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA20388 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 05:43:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA03514 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 05:43:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711131143.FAA03514@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Nov 1997 05:43:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3fe7e60e18baa78834de59da7a45a468 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 928 ABPZ20 KNHC 131144 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST THU NOV 13 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 13 19:22:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626224-16253>; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 13:03:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA40896; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 22:55:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6981752 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 22:54:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA27526 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 22:54:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA02234 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 22:54:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711130454.WAA02234@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Nov 1997 22:54:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f8d5456ebf303c12d66653fe02366023 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 777 ABPZ20 KNHC 130454 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST WED NOV 12 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 13 10:08:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625898-16253>; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 07:26:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA29100; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 17:20:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6978152 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 17:19:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA20326 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 17:19:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA01002 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 17:19:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711122319.RAA01002@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Nov 1997 17:19:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: befa9e9fe561d835e2a76b6227e163f8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 970 ABPZ20 KNHC 122320 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST WED NOV 12 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 13 02:33:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627011-25623>; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 01:48:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA29702; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 11:40:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6973803 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 11:40:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA40438 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 11:39:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA29503 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 11:39:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711121739.LAA29503@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Nov 1997 11:39:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 649f48463a085819a4928f13639c3aad Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 356 ABPZ20 KNHC 121740 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST WED NOV 12 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 13 02:33:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627790-25630>; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 20:59:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id GAA14670; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 06:28:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6970028 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 06:28:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id GAA27446 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 06:27:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA28448 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 06:27:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711121227.GAA28448@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Nov 1997 06:27:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c4a745a03b7a545a2bb0581952eecca3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 006 ABPZ20 KNHC 121228 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST WED NOV 12 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 13 02:33:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626312-29170>; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 13:06:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA30852; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 22:47:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6967263 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 22:47:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA29010 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 22:47:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA27016 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 22:47:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711120447.WAA27016@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Nov 1997 22:47:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a34676f1004dec5be88e3a9787acb016 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 117 ABPZ20 KNHC 120449 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST TUE NOV 11 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 12 09:17:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625953-29163>; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 08:02:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA47102; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 17:56:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6964655 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 17:56:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA46562 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 17:56:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA25932 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 17:56:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711112356.RAA25932@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Nov 1997 17:56:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8b003106510484ac32e4b6eadf5377c3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 579 ABPZ20 KNHC 112358 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST TUE NOV 11 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 12 02:09:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626641-6608>; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 01:34:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA36832; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 11:26:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6959413 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 11:26:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA44044 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 11:25:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA24343 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 11:25:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711111725.LAA24343@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Nov 1997 11:25:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cb6c9604b99c82099969137982aa19f8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 236 ABPZ20 KNHC 111724 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST TUE NOV 11 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 12 02:09:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627321-6609>; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 19:34:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA10244; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 05:29:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6955724 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 05:28:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA21440 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 05:28:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA23239 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 05:28:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711111128.FAA23239@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Nov 1997 05:28:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 01fe2af6bdb24747e82087d06bc01229 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 017 ABPZ20 KNHC 111129 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST TUE NOV 11 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 11 15:29:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626712-6607>; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 13:38:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA23230; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 23:30:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6953991 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 23:29:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA29800 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 23:29:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA22054 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 23:29:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711110529.XAA22054@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 23:29:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7ae928b22e6512945c9ed658a1240359 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 530 ABPZ20 KNHC 110529 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST MON NOV 10 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF RICK ARE OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF THE STATE OF CHIAPAS MEXICO AND SOUTHERN GUATEMALA. CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS IN THE VICINITY OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA ARE NOT AS WELL ORGANIZED AS 24 HOURS AGO. UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS DO NOT APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 11 10:48:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626017-6607>; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 07:21:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA10690; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 17:15:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6950820 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 17:15:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA48512 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 17:15:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA20799 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 17:15:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711102315.RAA20799@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 17:15:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 946f5580db0e437b39956084e1b5669b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 497 ABPZ20 KNHC 102314 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST MON NOV 10 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE LAST ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION RICK. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF RICK ARE OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF THE STATE OF CHIAPAS MEXICO. CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS IN THE VICINITY OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA ARE NOT AS WELL ORGANIZED AS 24 HOURS AGO. UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS DO NOT APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 11 10:48:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626951-11076>; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 04:50:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA48234; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 14:35:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6949500 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 14:35:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA44090 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 14:35:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA20221 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 14:35:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711102035.OAA20221@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 14:35:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Rick Discussion Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 59f0bfae647c9a034565ded75fe92878 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 753 WTPZ44 KNHC 102037 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION RICK DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 1 PM PST MON NOV 10 1997 A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS BARELY DETECTABLE ON SATELLITE IMAGES OR FROM SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. RICK IS DISSIPATING AND THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY UNLESS AN UNLIKELY REGENERATION OCCURS. THE REMNANTS OF RICK COULD STILL PRODUCE SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN MEXICO AND CENTRAL AMERICA...BUT PRECIP SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/2100Z 17.0N 92.0W 25 KTS...INLAND...DISSIPATING 12HR VT 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 11 10:48:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626864-11076>; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 04:39:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA46780; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 14:34:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6949486 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 14:34:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA32658 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 14:34:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA20192 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 14:34:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711102034.OAA20192@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 14:34:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Rick Forecast/advisory Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 273ba357527bef049b3ea79e69c540e1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 752 WTPZ24 KNHC 102036 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION RICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1997 2100Z MON NOV 10 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 92.0W AT 10/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 90 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 75 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT...DISSIPATING REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 92.0W AT 10/2100Z AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 93.0W FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 92.0W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON RICK...UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 11 10:48:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626899-11080>; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 04:38:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA20278; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 14:34:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6949465 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 14:34:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA14354 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 14:34:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA20188 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 14:34:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711102034.OAA20188@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 14:34:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Rick Advisory Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: faaf7ae1f202db891207794b259050bf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 751 WTPZ34 KNHC 102034 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION RICK ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 1 PM PST MON NOV 10 1997 ...RICK DISSIPATING OVER EASTERN MEXICO... AT 1 PM PST...2100Z...THE ILL-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION RICK WAS LOCATED IN THE VICINITY OF LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.0 WEST OR ABOUT 75 MILES...120 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF TUXTLA GUTIERREZ MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH ...28 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...AND THE DEPRESSION IS DISSIPATING. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OF 5 INCHES OR MORE ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN MEXICO AND CENTRAL AMERICA...WITH THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINS SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. REPEATING THE 1 PM PST POSITION...17.0 N... 92.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB. THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON RICK...UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 11 10:48:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625891-11076>; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 01:37:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA50232; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 11:30:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6947667 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 11:30:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA50610 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 11:29:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA19493 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 11:29:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711101729.LAA19493@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 11:29:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 78788e652509781000f2b814ff42af0d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 008 ABPZ20 KNHC 101730 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST MON NOV 10 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION RICK LOCATED INLAND ABOUT 55 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TUXTLA GUIERREZ MEXICO. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED JUST OFFSHORE FROM COSTA RICA AND PANAMA. THIS SYSTEM IS NOT AS WELL-ORGANIZED AS IT WAS 24 HOURS AGO...BUT STILL HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA TODAY AND TOMORROW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 11 10:48:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626713-11080>; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 23:01:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA28570; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 08:55:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6945946 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 08:54:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA26714 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 08:54:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA18899 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 08:54:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711101454.IAA18899@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 08:54:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Rick Forecast/advisory Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: edf40e3d14e578d0ae596b41270ad73e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 903 WTPZ24 KNHC 101456 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION RICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1997 1500Z MON NOV 10 1997 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED INLAND NEAR 16.5N 93.9W AT 10/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST NORTHEAST OR 75 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED INLAND NEAR 16.5N 93.9W AT 10/1500Z AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 94.5W FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 17.0N 92.0W...INLAND...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 18.5N 90.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 93.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 11 10:48:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626741-11076>; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 23:02:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA23058; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 08:54:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6945935 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 08:54:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA35302 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 08:54:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA18895 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 08:54:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711101454.IAA18895@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 08:54:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Rick Discussion Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2d3879efc0640c2ceb397e897450c4f5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 902 WTPZ44 KNHC 101455 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION RICK DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 7 AM PST MON NOV 10 1997 IT IS DIFFICULT TO SEE A CENTER OF CIRCULATION ON SATELLITE PICTURES. HOWEVER...RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE ILL-DEFINED CENTER HAS REMAINED INLAND AND APPEARS TO HAVE CROSSED INTO THE STATE OF CHIAPAS. RICK IS BEING DOWNGRADED TO A DEPRESSION AND SINCE IT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...DISSIPATION IS LIKELY TO OCCUR LATER TODAY. RICK...OR ITS REMNANTS...WILL LIKELY BE SO SEVERELY DISRUPTED BY THE PASSAGE OVER RUGGED TERRAIN THAT REGENERATION OVER THE CARIBBEAN OR GULF OF MEXICO IS HIGHLY UNLIKELY. THE THREAT OF INLAND FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES DUE TO HEAVY RAINS CONTINUES...BUT PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH RICK SHOULD GRADUALLY DECREASE LATER TODAY. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/1500Z 16.5N 93.9W 30 KTS 12HR VT 11/0000Z 17.0N 92.0W 25 KTS 24HR VT 11/1200Z 18.5N 90.0W 20 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 11 10:48:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626688-11080>; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 23:00:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA23264; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 08:54:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6945929 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 08:53:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA46974 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 08:53:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA18891 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 08:53:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711101453.IAA18891@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 08:53:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Rick Advisory Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f6a0f744fd87f93fcc46048cc5924044 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 900 WTPZ34 KNHC 101454 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION RICK ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 7 AM PST MON NOV 10 1997 ...RICK WEAKENING RAPIDLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF EASTERN MEXICO... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS. AT 7 AM PST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION RICK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.9 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES...85 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TUXTLA GUTIERREZ MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH ...24 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...KEEPING THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION OVER LAND. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RICK IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE WEAKENING...AND SHOULD DISSIPATE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. HEAVY RAINS...5 TO 10 INCHES...ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD EAST- NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PATH OF THE DEPRESSION. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN DIMINISHING LATER TODAY. REPEATING THE 7 AM PST POSITION...16.5 N... 93.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...EAST NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 PM PST. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 11 10:48:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626688-11072>; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 20:33:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA27402; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 05:54:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6944795 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 05:54:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA23286 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 05:54:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA18387 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 05:54:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711101154.FAA18387@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 05:54:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 043ef33c23732339cf27ce6f963b18fd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 404 ABPZ20 KNHC 101154 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST MON NOV 10 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM RICK LOCATED INLAND WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TUXTLA GUIERREZ MEXICO. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED JUST OFFSHORE FROM COSTA RICA AND PANAMA. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA TODAY AND TOMORROW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 11 10:48:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626248-11080>; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 19:58:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA43978; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 05:52:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6944741 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 05:52:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA19516 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 05:50:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA18383 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 05:50:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711101150.FAA18383@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 05:50:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Rick Intermediate Advisory Number 12a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d4fbf156778d9b4280d656565ea519de Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 346 WTPZ34 KNHC 101152 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM RICK INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST MON NOV 10 1997 ...RICK MOVING INLAND...WEAKENING... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA MALDONADO TO TAPACHULA. AT 4 AM PST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RICK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.5 WEST OR APPROXIMATELY 95 MILES...150 KM... WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TUXTLA GUTIERREZ MEXICO. RICK IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH ...24 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM MOVES INLAND. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES ...185 KM MAINLY TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. HEAVY RAINS...5 TO 10 INCHES...ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD EAST- NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PATH OF THE STORM. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS OCCURRING TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL STORM WILL DIMINISH LATER TODAY. REPEATING THE 4 AM PST POSITION...16.3 N... 94.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...EAST NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 AM PST. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 11 10:47:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626665-11078>; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 16:45:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA27404; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 02:41:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6943976 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 02:41:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA18422 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 02:41:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA17736 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 02:41:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711100841.CAA17736@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 02:41:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Rick Forecast/advisory Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2ce23ba8d1a5b4c35be52905d9d3fc7d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 044 WTPZ24 KNHC 100842 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM RICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1997 0900Z MON NOV 10 1997 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM PUNTA MALDONADO TO TAPACHULA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA MALDONADO TO TAPACHULA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 95.2W AT 10/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 25NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 50NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 00NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 95.2W AT 10/0900Z AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 95.8W FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 16.9N 93.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 18.4N 91.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 20.0N 88.8W...DISSIPATING A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS OCCURRING TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 95.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 11 10:47:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626427-11072>; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 16:44:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA18254; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 02:39:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6943960 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 02:39:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA43832 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 02:39:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA17719 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 02:39:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711100839.CAA17719@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 02:39:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Rick Advisory Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4f8273ac68d5464f5e8b4c95793e61d5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 023 WTPZ34 KNHC 100840 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM RICK ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 1 AM PST MON NOV 10 1997 ...RICK DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM PUNTA MALDONADO TO TAPACHULA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA MALDONADO TO TAPACHULA. AT 1 AM PST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RICK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.2 WEST OR RIGHT OVER THE CITY OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO. RICK IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH ...24 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM MOVES INLAND. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES ...185 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. HEAVY RAINS...5 TO 10 INCHES...ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD EAST- NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PATH OF THE STORM. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS OCCURRING TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL DIMINISH OVERNIGHT. REPEATING THE 1 AM PST POSITION...16.1 N... 95.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...EAST NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 AM PST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 7 AM PST. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 11 10:47:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626286-11072>; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 16:42:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA44018; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 02:38:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6943955 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 02:38:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA47068 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 02:38:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA17711 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 02:38:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711100838.CAA17711@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 02:38:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Rick Discussion Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 601a977fc2e3f60039681428171f36c3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 011 WTPZ44 KNHC 100839 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM RICK DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 1 AM PST MON NOV 10 1997 DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS SATELLITE IMAGERY HAS SHOWN THE CENTER OF RICK MOVING ALONG THE WESTERN SHORELINE OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THIS GIVES AN INITIAL MOTION OF 070/13. THE TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS ALL SHOW A MOTION TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST CONTINUING AND THIS SHOULD BRING THE HURRICANE COMPLETELY INLAND IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED OVER THE MOUNTAINS. SOME FILLING HAS OCCURRED AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNINGS TO TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR THE SAME STRETCH OF COAST. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/0900Z 16.1N 95.2W 55 KTS...ONSHORE 12HR VT 10/1800Z 16.9N 93.4W 35 KTS...INLAND 24HR VT 11/0600Z 18.4N 91.1W 30 KTS...INLAND 36HR VT 11/1800Z 20.0N 88.8W 0 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 14:02:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626665-11076>; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 13:55:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA35272; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 23:51:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6943306 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 23:51:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA47030 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 23:51:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA17238 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 23:51:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711100551.XAA17238@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 23:51:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Rick Intermediate Advisory Number 11a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5701917178828499f2883b89f5a024dc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 755 WTPZ34 KNHC 100552 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE RICK INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST SUN NOV 09 1997 HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA MALDONADO TO TAPACHULA. AT 10 PM PST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RICK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.3 WEST OR JUST INLAND NEAR PUERTO ANGEL. RICK IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH ...20 M/HR... HOWEVER...BECAUSE OF THE SHAPE OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE IS FORECAST TO REMAIN INLAND BUT NEAR THE COAST FOR THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS BEFORE MOVING COMPLETELY INLAND. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SINCE A PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION WILL REMAIN OVER THE PACIFIC OCEAN AND GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FOR THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS WEAKENING WILL BE SLOW UNTIL THE HURRICANE MOVES COMPLETELY INLAND. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... MAINLY TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM MAINLY SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES. HEAVY RAINS...5 TO 10 INCHES...ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD EAST- NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS OCCURRING TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL DIMINISH OVERNIGHT. REPEATING THE 10 PM PST POSITION...15.9 N... 96.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...EAST NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 980 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM PST...MONDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 13:37:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626302-11078>; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 13:15:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA26610; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 23:06:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6943021 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 23:06:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA35286 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 23:06:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA17066 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 23:06:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711100506.XAA17066@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 23:06:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4702d7148fcdba763fb19231082256ad Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 977 ABPZ20 KNHC 100505 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST SUN NOV 9 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE RICK LOCATED ON THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR PUERTO ANGEL. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED JUST OFFSHORE FROM COSTA RICA AND PANAMA. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA TODAY AND TOMORROW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 11:13:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626442-11072>; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 11:03:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA10668; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 20:35:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6941761 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 20:35:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA10636 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 20:35:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA16478 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 20:35:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711100235.UAA16478@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 20:35:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Rick Advisory Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0e2e8a640a528bb88c5fb3a0fcda9375 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 414 WTPZ34 KNHC 100237 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE RICK ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 7 PM PST SUN NOV 09 1997 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING WEST OF PUNTA MALDONADO AND EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING EAST TO TAPACHULA. HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA MALDONADO TO TAPACHULA. AT 7 PM PST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RICK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.0 WEST OR JUST INLAND NEAR PUERTO ESCONDIDO. RICK IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH ...20 M/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THE HURRICANE COMPLETELY INLAND OVERNIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS THE HURRICANE MOVES INLAND. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... MAINLY TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM MAINLY SOUTH OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES. HEAVY RAINS...5 TO 10 INCHES...ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD EAST- NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS OCCURRING TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL DIMINISH OVERNIGHT. REPEATING THE 7 PM PST POSITION...15.9 N... 97.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...EAST NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 980 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 PM PST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1 AM PST...MONDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:41:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626361-11072>; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 10:35:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA28494; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 20:29:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6941627 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 20:29:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA52794 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 20:29:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA16439 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 20:29:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711100229.UAA16439@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 20:29:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Rick Forecast/advisory Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e80c7b9628e5e2f34020158ec3bb6a54 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 271 WTPZ24 KNHC 100230 TCMEP4 HURRICANE RICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1997 0300Z MON NOV 10 1997 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING WEST OF PUNTA MALDONADO AND EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING EAST TO TAPACHULA. HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA MALDONADO TO TAPACHULA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 97.0W AT 10/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 15NE 30SE 30SW 15NW 50 KT....... 25NE 50SE 50SW 25NW 34 KT....... 50NE 100SE 100SW 50NW 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 100SE 100SW 50NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 97.0W AT 10/0300Z AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 97.5W FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 16.7N 95.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 25NE 75SE 75SW 25NW FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 17.9N 93.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 19.4N 92.0W...DISSIPATED A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS OCCURRING TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 97.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:41:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626385-11078>; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 10:35:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA46440; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 20:27:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6941599 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 20:27:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA23114 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 20:27:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA16429 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 20:27:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711100227.UAA16429@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 20:27:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Rick Discussion Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9f7d7da217f18f0e6cb5074153174fbe Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 221 WTPZ44 KNHC 100228 TCDEP4 HURRICANE RICK DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 7 PM PST SUN NOV 09 1997 SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE ACAPULCO RADAR SHOW THE CENTER AT THE COAST NEAR PUERTO ESCONDIDO. THE LAST AND HIGHEST SURFACE WIND OBSERVATION FROM PUERTO ESCONDIDO WAS 26 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS AT 2145Z. RICK IS PROBABLY WEAKENING AS HALF OF ITS CIRCULATION IS OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS...STILL A HURRICANE...AND THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED HURRICANE WARNINGS EASTWARD TO THE GUATAMALA BORDER AS A PRECAUTION....PRIMARILY TO WARN OF THE HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD THREAT. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 070/11. THE TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS ALL SHOW A MOTION TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST CONTINUING AND THIS SHOULD BRING THE HURRICANE COMPLETELY INLAND IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED OVER THE MOUNTAINS. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/0300Z 15.9N 97.0W 65 KTS 12HR VT 10/1200Z 16.7N 95.5W 40 KTS 24HR VT 11/0000Z 17.9N 93.7W 30 KTS 36HR VT 11/1200Z 19.4N 92.0W DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625892-11078>; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 08:10:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA49918; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 18:07:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6940774 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 18:06:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id SAA47334 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 18:06:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA15975 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 18:06:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711100006.SAA15975@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 18:06:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Rick Intermediate Advisory Number 10a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fa9c5d641c7c172e050ced4715ffc2a4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 600 WTPZ34 KNHC 100008 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE RICK INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST SUN NOV 09 1997 ...RICK NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF ACAPULCO TO HUATULCO MEXICO. AT 4 PM PST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RICK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.3 WEST OR NEAR THE COAST VERY CLOSE TO PUERTO ESCONDIDO MEXICO. RICK IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...BRINGING THE HURRICANE INLAND TONIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS INCLUDING HEAVY RAIN...STRONG WINDS AND COASTAL FLOODING...ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR A FEW MORE HOURS AND THEN CONDITIONS SHOULD BEGIN TO IMPROVE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS THE HURRICANE MOVES INLAND. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES. RICK IS EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY RAINS...5 TO 10 INCHES...TO AREAS NEAR ITS PATH. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS OCCURING TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL SOON BEGIN TO DIMINISH. REPEATING THE 4 PM PST POSITION...15.9 N... 97.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 980 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM PST. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625911-11072>; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 07:23:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA22752; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 17:19:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6940451 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 17:19:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA47296 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 17:19:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA15819 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 17:19:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711092319.RAA15819@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 17:19:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 529065a09d46015c930e9a44274601c2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 813 ABPZ20 KNHC 092319 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST SUN NOV 9 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE RICK LOCATED NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO JUST WEST OF PUERTO ESCONDIDO. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED JUST OFFSHORE FROM COSTA RICA AND PANAMA. THIS SYSTEM OS WELL ORGANIZED AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA TODAY AND TOMORROW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627105-22940>; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 04:42:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA28568; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 14:40:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6939268 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 14:40:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA49796 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 14:40:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA15259 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 14:39:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711092039.OAA15259@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 14:39:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Rick Discussion Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bb6ad7d9e83f9a8e21d2d9a693b5169d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 018 WTPZ44 KNHC 092041 TCDEP4 HURRICANE RICK DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 1 PM PST SUN NOV 09 1997 BURSTS OF STRONG CONVECTION HAVE BEEN OCCURRING OVER THE ESTIMATED CENTER...AND THE EYE IS OBSCURED ON SATELLITE IMAGES. HOWEVER THE EYE CONTINUES VISIBLE ON THE ACAPULCO RADAR. THE RADAR ALSO SHOWS THAT RAINBANDS CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE COASTLINE IN THE WARNING AREA. INTENSITY IS HELD AT 75 KNOTS FOR THIS ADVISORY. RICK SHOULD WEAKEN RAPIDLY ONCE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST AND ENCOUNTERS THE RUGGED TERRAIN OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO BE 065/11. THE GUIDANCE MODELS ARE IN GENERALLY GOOD AGREEMENT IN MAINTAINING THIS GENERAL MOVEMENT FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THE CENTER SHOULD BE CROSSING THE COASTLINE LATER TODAY. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT THE CENTER COULD EMERGE INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE LATER ON...BUT BY THAT TIME THE CIRCULATION SHOULD HAVE BEEN MOSTLY DESTROYED AND BE IN AN AREA OF STRONG UPPER- LEVEL WESTERLIES. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 09/2100Z 15.7N 98.1W 75 KTS 12HR VT 10/0600Z 16.5N 96.5W 50 KTS...INLAND 24HR VT 10/1800Z 17.6N 94.8W 30 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 11/0600Z 18.5N 93.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 11/1800Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627118-22940>; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 04:42:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA28430; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 14:39:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6939256 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 14:38:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA30916 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 14:38:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA15253 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 14:38:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711092038.OAA15253@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 14:38:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Rick Forecast/advisory Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a9dc55d76a95219cc4bc24152f721799 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 017 WTPZ24 KNHC 092040 TCMEP4 HURRICANE RICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1997 2100Z SUN NOV 09 1997 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT EAST OF ACAPULCO TO HUATULCO MEXICO. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 98.1W AT 09/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 200SE 100SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 98.1W AT 09/2100Z AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 98.6W FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 16.5N 96.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 50NE 100SE 100SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 17.6N 94.8W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 18.5N 93.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL OCCUR TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE EYE MAKES LANDFALL. IN ADDITION...LARGE WAVES RIDING ON TOP OF THE STORM SURGE WILL BATTER COASTAL STRUCTURES. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 98.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627111-22948>; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 04:43:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA28460; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 14:39:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6939261 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 14:39:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA44504 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 14:38:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA15251 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 14:38:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711092038.OAA15251@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 14:38:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Rick Advisory Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6971c8832d0bb2c9161bb321a2ca4f1c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 016 WTPZ34 KNHC 092039 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE RICK ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 1 PM PST SUN NOV 09 1997 ...EYE OF RICK EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL LATER TODAY... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT EAST OF ACAPULCO TO HUATULCO MEXICO. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. AT 1 PM PST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RICK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.1 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES...110 KM...SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF DUE WEST OF PUERTO ESCONDIDO MEXICO. RICK IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT. THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE COAST OF MEXICO IN THE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY. RAINBANDS OF THE HURRICANE HAVE BEEN POUNDING THE COASTLINE WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES. RICK IS EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY RAINS...5 TO 10 INCHES...TO AREAS NEAR ITS PATH. MANY OF THESE AREAS HAVE ALREADY BEEN AFFECTED BY PREVIOUS TROPICAL CYCLONES THIS YEAR. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL OCCUR TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE EYE MAKES LANDFALL. IN ADDITION... LARGE WAVES RIDING ON TOP OF THE STORM SURGE WILL BATTER COASTAL STRUCTURES. REPEATING THE 1 PM PST POSITION...15.7 N... 98.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 980 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 PM PST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 7 PM PST. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626871-22949>; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 01:23:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA20408; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 11:13:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6938218 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 11:13:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA30884 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 11:13:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA14558 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 11:13:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711091713.LAA14558@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 11:13:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 87200eb53ba011ed8949ff3fc62431e1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 177 ABPZ20 KNHC 091713 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST SUN NOV 9 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE RICK LOCATED ABOUT 95 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED JUST OFFSHORE FROM COSTA RICA AND PANAMA. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE QUITE WELL- ORGANIZED...AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS SHOULD AFFECT PORTIONS OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA TODAY AND TOMORROW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626655-22948>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 22:49:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA34972; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 08:46:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6936956 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 08:46:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA26760 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 08:46:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA14146 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 08:46:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711091446.IAA14146@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 08:46:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Rick Discussion Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e857081b87d073e155dbfc6abe9139af Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 414 WTPZ44 KNHC 091447 TCDEP4 HURRICANE RICK DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 7 AM PST SUN NOV 09 1997 THE EYE HAS BEEN MAKING OCCASIONAL APPEARANCES ON SATELLITE IMAGES. THE WALL APPEARS OPEN TO THE SOUTH ON THE ACAPULCO RADAR BUT THIS PROBABLY DUE TO ATTENUATION FROM THE STRONG RAINBANDS NORTH OF THE EYE. SOME OF THESE BANDS ARE ALREADY ONSHORE. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE NEAR 75 KNOTS...AND THIS IS USED FOR THE CURRENT INTENSITY. NOT MUCH CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS ANTICIPATED BEFORE LANDFALL. MOTION IS A LITTLE TO THE RIGHT OF THAT FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. CONSEQUENTLY AN EASTWARD ADJUSTMENT OF THE HURRICANE WARNINGS WAS DONE. THE CENTER IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE COASTLINE LATER TODAY. RICK SHOULD WEAKEN RAPIDLY OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF MEXICO. ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COASTLINE...THE STORM SURGE AND ACCOMPANYING WAVES WILL BE A MAJOR HAZARD. JUST INLAND... HOWEVER...THE THREAT BECOMES HEAVY RAINFALL...AND THE ASSOCIATED FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 09/1500Z 15.6N 99.0W 75 KTS 12HR VT 10/0000Z 16.4N 97.4W 60 KTS 24HR VT 10/1200Z 17.5N 95.5W 35 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 11/0000Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626787-22951>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 22:47:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA28618; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 08:44:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6936936 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 08:43:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA46968 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 08:43:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA14133 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 08:43:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711091443.IAA14133@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 08:43:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Rick Forecast/advisory Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: de7ab1e9700c50badcbff261e9494c4f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 389 WTPZ24 KNHC 091445 TCMEP4 HURRICANE RICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1997 1500Z SUN NOV 09 1997 AT 7 AM PST...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING EASTWARD TO HUATULCO...AND DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING WEST OF ZIHUATANEJO. A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM ZIHUATANEJO TO HUATULCO MEXICO. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 99.0W AT 09/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 99.0W AT 09/1500Z AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 99.6W FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 16.4N 97.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 75NE 100SE 100SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 17.5N 95.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z...DISSIPATED A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL OCCUR TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE EYE MAKES LANDFALL. IN ADDITION...LARGE WAVES RIDING ON TOP OF THE STORM SURGE WILL BATTER COASTAL STRUCTURES. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 99.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626915-22940>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 22:46:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA26500; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 08:43:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6936931 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 08:43:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA44392 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 08:43:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA14129 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 08:43:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711091443.IAA14129@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 08:43:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Rick Advisory Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0e05249b900e1b9ca53b9dcefa96cee4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 388 WTPZ34 KNHC 091444 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE RICK ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 7 AM PST SUN NOV 09 1997 ...RICK BATTERING THE COAST OF MEXICO...EYE OF THE HURRICANE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL LATER TODAY... AT 7 AM PST...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING EASTWARD TO HUATULCO...AND DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING WEST OF ZIHUATANEJO. A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM ZIHUATANEJO TO HUATULCO MEXICO. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. AT 7 AM PST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RICK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.0 WEST OR ABOUT 95 MILES...155 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 55 MILES...90 KM...OFFSHORE OF THE COAST NEAR PUNTA MALDONADO. RICK IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...BRINGING THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE ACROSS THE COAST IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY. HOWEVER THE RAINBANDS OF RICK ARE ALREADY BATTERING PORTIONS OF THE COASTLINE WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES. RICK IS EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY RAINS...5 TO 10 INCHES...TO AREAS ALREADY AFFECTED BY PREVIOUS TROPICAL SYSTEMS THIS YEAR. THIS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL OCCUR TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE EYE MAKES LANDFALL. IN ADDITION... LARGE WAVES RIDING ON TOP OF THE STORM SURGE WILL BATTER COASTAL STRUCTURES. REPEATING THE 7 AM PST POSITION...15.6 N... 99.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...EAST NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 980 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 AM PST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1 PM PST. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626802-22949>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 19:50:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA50570; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 05:45:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6935477 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 05:45:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA16478 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 05:45:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA13654 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 05:45:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711091145.FAA13654@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 05:45:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Rick Intermediate Advisory Number 8a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ce4f611692f7055bbd70f9731b1056b8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 937 WTPZ34 KNHC 091145 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE RICK INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST SUN NOV 09 1997 ..HURRICANE RICK EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST OF MEXICO LATER TODAY.. HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO PUERTO ESCONDIDO...INCLUDING ACAPULCO. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. AT 4 AM PST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RICK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.8 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES...170 KM...SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. RICK IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH ...20 KM/HR... THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF RICK SHOULD BE NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...WEATHER CONDITIONS SHOULD BEGIN TO DETERIORATE EARLIER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING MAY OCCUR BEFORE LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES. RICK IS EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY RAINS...5 TO 10 INCHES...TO AREAS ALREADY AFFECTED BY PREVIOUS TROPICAL SYSTEMS THIS YEAR. THIS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL OCCUR TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE EYE MAKES LANDFALL. IN ADDITION... LARGE WAVES RIDING ON TOP OF THE STORM SURGE WILL BATTER COASTAL STRUCTURES. REPEATING THE 4 AM PST POSITION...15.3 N...99.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 984 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 AM PST. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626713-22940>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 19:24:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA34884; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 05:22:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6935399 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 05:21:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA31282 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 05:21:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA13582 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 05:21:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711091121.FAA13582@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 05:21:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6289725783d059456d0d986d1a08d820 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 527 ABPZ20 KNHC 091121 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST SUN NOV 9 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM RICK LOCATED ABOUT 105 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO. A RATHER WELL ORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED JUST OFFSHORE FROM COSTA RICA AND PANAMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS IN THOSE COUNTRIES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626050-22951>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 16:39:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA26716; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 02:34:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6934577 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 02:34:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA46932 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 02:33:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA12923 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 02:33:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711090833.CAA12923@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 02:33:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Rick Discussion Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7061fd0dd8a1cadbbbb63245f23af295 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 906 WTPZ44 KNHC 090834 TCDEP4 HURRICANE RICK DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 1 AM PST SUN NOV 09 1997 SATELLITE IMAGES ALONG WITH RADAR IMAGES FROM ACAPULCO MEXICO CONTINUE TO SHOW A WELL DEVELOPED EYE. SATELLITE T-NUMBERS AVERAGE TO APPROXIMATELY 70 KTS. SINCE THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND HAS BEEN ON THIS TREND FOR THE PAST 12 TO 18 HOURS THE INITIAL INTENSITY WILL BE INCREASED TO 70 KTS WITH ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING OCCURRING BEFORE LANDFALL. ALL TRACK MODEL GUIDANCE HAS THE SYSTEM REACHING THE COAST IN APPROXIMATELY 12 HOURS AND INLAND IN 24. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST REFLECTS THIS. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 09/0900Z 15.3N 100.5W 70 KTS 12HR VT 09/1800Z 16.2N 99.1W 80 KTS 24HR VT 10/0600Z 17.6N 96.8W 40 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626050-22951>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 16:37:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA26682; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 02:34:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6934572 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 02:34:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA31306 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 02:33:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA12919 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 02:33:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711090833.CAA12919@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 02:33:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Rick Forecast/advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ec558331464fb1e826f92f6b747f70ee Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 905 WTPZ24 KNHC 090833 TCMEP4 HURRICANE RICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1997 0900Z SUN NOV 09 1997 HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO PUERTO ESCONDIDO...INCLUDING ACAPULCO. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 100.5W AT 09/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 100.5W AT 09/0900Z AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 100.9W FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 16.2N 99.1W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 17.6N 96.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 100.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626582-22951>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 16:37:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA19684; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 02:34:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6934549 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 02:34:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA26634 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 02:32:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA12915 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 02:32:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711090832.CAA12915@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 02:32:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Rick Advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 23d13716203171ed63e6cba4a1684287 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 889 WTPZ34 KNHC 090832 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE RICK ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 1 AM PST SUN NOV 09 1997 ..HURRICANE RICK EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST OF MEXICO LATER TODAY.. HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO PUERTO ESCONDIDO...INCLUDING ACAPULCO. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. AT 1 AM PST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RICK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.5 WEST OR ABOUT 115 MILES...185 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. RICK IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH ...20 KM/HR... THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF RICK SHOULD BE NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...WEATHER CONDITIONS SHOULD BEGIN TO DETERIORATE EARLIER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING MAY OCCUR BEFORE LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES. RICK IS EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY RAINS...5 TO 10 INCHES...TO AREAS ALREADY AFFECTED BY PREVIOUS TROPICAL SYSTEMS THIS YEAR. THIS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL OCCUR TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE EYE MAKES LANDFALL. IN ADDITION... LARGE WAVES RIDING ON TOP OF THE STORM SURGE WILL BATTER COASTAL STRUCTURES. REPEATING THE 1 AM PST POSITION...15.3 N...100.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 984 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 AM PST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 7 AM PST. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626495-22951>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 14:19:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA22650; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 00:15:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6933871 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 00:14:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA17536 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 00:10:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA12501 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 00:10:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711090610.AAA12501@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 00:10:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Rick Special Discussion Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c6420fdbd6734748543d221024c531dc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 115 WTPZ44 KNHC 090611 TCDEP4 HURRICANE RICK SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST SAT NOV 08 1997 SATELLITE IMAGES...RADAR IMAGES FROM ACAPULCO MEXICO AND OBSERVATIONS FROM SSMI INDICATE THAT RICK HAS DEVELOPED AN EYE FEATURE. THEREFORE...RICK IS BEING UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE AND HURRICANE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED ACCORDINGLY. SINCE THIS IS A SPECIAL ADVISORY...THE FORECAST TRACK REMAINS UNCHANGED. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 09/0600Z 15.1N 101.0W 65 KTS 12HR VT 09/1200Z 15.7N 100.5W 70 KTS 24HR VT 10/0000Z 17.0N 99.0W 50 KTS...INLAND 36HR VT 10/1200Z 18.0N 97.0W 30 KTS...INLAND 48HR VT 11/0000Z 19.0N 94.5W 20 KTS 72HR VT 12/0000Z 19.5N 92.0W 20 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626570-22940>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 14:18:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA18386; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 00:14:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6933845 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 00:14:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA20278 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 00:09:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA12497 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 00:09:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711090609.AAA12497@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 00:09:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Rick Special Forecast/advisory Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 413eb566fb02c4621bc38d1cbd3be3d5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 110 WTPZ24 KNHC 090610 TCMEP4 HURRICANE RICK SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1997 0600Z SUN NOV 09 1997 AT 10 PM PST...0600Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO PUERTO ESCONDIDO ...INCLUDING ACAPULCO. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 101.0W AT 09/0600Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 101.0W AT 09/0600Z AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 102.1W FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 15.7N 100.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 17.0N 99.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 18.0N 97.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 101.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 19.0N 94.5W MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 19.5N 92.0W MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626484-22948>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 14:16:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA44378; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 00:13:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6933828 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 00:13:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA17370 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 00:08:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA12493 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 00:08:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711090608.AAA12493@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 00:08:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Rick Special Advisory Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7420c94e69dda3a2174b6332597fea86 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 095 WTPZ34 KNHC 090609 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE RICK SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST SAT NOV 08 1997 ..RICK BECOMES A HURRICANE...EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST OF MEXICO ON SUNDAY... AT 10 PM PST...0600Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO PUERTO ESCONDIDO ...INCLUDING ACAPULCO. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. AT 10 PM PST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RICK WAS LOCATED BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.0 WEST OR ABOUT 140 MILES...225 KM...SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. RICK IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH ...20 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF RICK SHOULD BE NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...WEATHER CONDITIONS SHOULD BEGIN TO DETERIORATE EARLIER. RADAR FROM ACAPULCO AND SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT AN EYE HAS DEVELOPED...SUGGESTING THAT RICK HAS REACHED HURRICANE STRENGTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES. RICK IS EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY RAINS...5 TO 10 INCHES...TO AREAS ALREADY AFFECTED BY PREVIOUS TROPICAL SYSTEMS THIS YEAR. THIS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 10 PM PST POSITION...15.1 N...101.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM PST...SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625885-22940>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 13:30:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA44394; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 23:27:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6933561 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 23:27:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA40020 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 23:27:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA12289 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 23:27:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711090527.XAA12289@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 23:27:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 57bdbb4c2f014507700651e38779c27e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 471 ABPZ20 KNHC 090526 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST SAT NOV 8 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM RICK LOCATED ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO. A RATHER WELL ORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED JUST OFFSHORE FROM COSTA RICA AND PANAMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS IN THOSE COUNTRIES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626144-22940>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 10:29:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA29358; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 20:25:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6931874 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 20:25:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA29536 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 20:24:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA11734 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 20:24:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711090224.UAA11734@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 20:24:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Rick Discussion Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7714ca6fa19ac136e73c6d4dc75c1e1c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 161 WTPZ44 KNHC 090224 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM RICK DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 7 PM PST SAT NOV 08 1997 SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT RICK HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED WITH VERY DEEP CONVECTION AND SOME BANDING FEATURES. DVORAK T-NUMBERS ARE 3.0+ AND 3.5 FROM TAFB AND SAB RESPECTIVELY. SINCE THE WIND SHEAR IS LIGHT...SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING MAY OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST INCREASES THE WIND TO 60 KNOTS BUT THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT RICK MAY REACH THE COAST AS A HURRICANE AS SUGGESTED BY SHIPS97. THEREFORE A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED. JUST A REMAINDER...THERE IS LITTLE SKILL IN INTENSITY FORECAST. RICK HAS ACCELERATED AND IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ABOUT 11 KNOTS. THE TROPICAL STORM IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A WELL-ESTABLISHED SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW. CONSEQUENTLY...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN MOTION IS ANTICIPATED AND THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH MOST OF THE MODELS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF RICK IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON BUT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS WILL LIKELY BEGIN EARLIER. FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES MAY ONCE AGAIN BE A PROBLEM FOR THIS PREVIOUSLY HIT AREAS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST HAS SOME POINTS OVER THE BAY CAMPECHE BEYOND 48 HOURS BUT BY THEN...RICK IS EXPECTED TO BE A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 09/0300Z 14.5N 101.7W 55 KTS 12HR VT 09/1200Z 15.7N 100.5W 60 KTS 24HR VT 10/0000Z 17.0N 99.0W 50 KTS...INLAND 36HR VT 10/1200Z 18.0N 97.0W 30 KTS...INLAND 48HR VT 11/0000Z 19.0N 94.5W 20 KTS 72HR VT 12/0000Z 19.5N 92.0W 20 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626144-22951>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 10:26:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA29654; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 20:21:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6931816 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 20:21:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA49846 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 20:21:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA11730 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 20:21:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711090221.UAA11730@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 20:21:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Rick Forecast/advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f766cdd0572895f86d2221b11168b648 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 080 WTPZ24 KNHC 090222 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM RICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1997 0300Z SUN NOV 09 1997 AT 7 PM PST...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO PUERTO ESCONDIDO...INCLUDING ACAPULCO. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 101.7W AT 09/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT 50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 101.7W AT 09/0300Z AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 102.1W FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 15.7N 100.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 70 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 17.0N 99.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 18.0N 97.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 101.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 19.0N 94.5W MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 19.5N 92.0W MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626122-22949>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 10:25:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA49814; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 20:21:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6931811 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 20:21:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA14210 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 20:21:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA11726 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 20:21:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711090221.UAA11726@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 20:21:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Rick Advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7efd67580c17f437369bb23ba69dfc3e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 079 WTPZ34 KNHC 090222 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM RICK ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 7 PM PST SAT NOV 08 1997 ...RICK A LITTLE STRONGER...EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST OF MEXICO ON SUNDAY... AT 7 PM PST...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO PUERTO ESCONDIDO...INCLUDING ACAPULCO. INTERESTS WITHIN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE READY TO TAKE QUICK ACTIONS. AT 7 PM PST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RICK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.7 WEST OR ABOUT 200 MILES ...325 KM...SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. RICK IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK... THE CENTER OF RICK SHOULD BE NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...WEATHER CONDITIONS SHOULD BEGIN TO DETERIORATE BY SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES. RICK IS EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY RAINS...5 TO 10 INCHES...TO AREAS ALREADY AFFECTED BY PREVIOUS TROPICAL SYSTEMS THIS YEAR. THIS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 7 PM PST POSITION...14.5 N...101.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 PM PST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1 AM PST...SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626133-22951>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 07:50:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA40074; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 17:47:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6930720 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 17:47:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA42856 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 17:47:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA11219 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 17:47:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711082347.RAA11219@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 17:47:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Rick Intermediate Advisory Number 5a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 15da9ca49d9a96b6804449b05d56cfd9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 377 WTPZ34 KNHC 082348 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM RICK INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST SAT NOV 08 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM RICK MOVING FASTER TOWARD SOUTHWEST MEXICO ...EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY RAINS... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO PUERTO ESCONDIDO MEXICO. INTERESTS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM AND BE READY TO TAKE QUICK ACTIONS...IF NECESSARY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED TONIGHT. AT 4 PM PST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RICK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.1 WEST OR ABOUT 245 MILES ...395 KM...SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO. RICK HAS INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED AND NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF RICK SHOULD BE NEAR THE COAST ON SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.58 INCHES. RICK COULD BRING HEAVY RAINS TO AREAS ALREADY AFFECTED BY PREVIOUS TROPICAL SYSTEMS THIS YEAR. THIS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 4 PM PST POSITION...14.1 N...102.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM PST. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626072-22951>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 07:17:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA30900; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 17:13:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6930521 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 17:13:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA48488 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 17:13:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA11119 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 17:13:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711082313.RAA11119@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 17:13:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cb5b936f43d74c8cae79dd3d1b33d1af Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 824 ABPZ20 KNHC 082312 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST SAT NOV 8 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM RICK LOCATED ABOUT 295 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO. A RATHER WELL ORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED JUST OFFSHORE FROM COSTA RICA AND PANAMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS IN THOSE COUNTRIES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625944-22948>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 07:16:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA30872; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 17:13:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6930515 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 17:13:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA28484 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 17:11:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA11113 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 17:11:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711082311.RAA11113@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 17:11:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 636c41b6515de8068bb964fd2888c617 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 764 ABPZ20 KNHC 082311 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST SAT NOV 8 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM RICK LOCATED ABOUT 295 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO. A RATHER WELL ORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED JUST OFFSHORE FROM COSTA RICA AND PANAMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS IN THOSE COUNTRIES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627267-26831>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 04:46:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA35198; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 14:43:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6929650 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 14:43:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA42760 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 14:42:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA10444 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 14:41:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711082041.OAA10444@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 14:41:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Rick Discussion Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d00d2657ba5985b8d77bfb84729eb5da Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 185 WTPZ44 KNHC 082041 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM RICK DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 1 PM PST SAT NOV 08 1997 SATELLITE PICTURES INDICATE A SMALL NET INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS...INCLUDING THE SOMEWHAT LARGER AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION THAT HAS DEVELOPED SINCE EARLIER TODAY. THE CONSENSUS OF THE THREE SATELLITE ANALYSIS UNITS IS THAT THE SYSTEM HAS REACHED TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. IT BECOMES T.S. RICK ON THIS ADVISORY. AN INCREASING EASTWARD COMPONENT HAS BEEN OBSERVED TODAY. THE INITIAL MOTION IS NOW ESTIMATED AT 040/7 KT. THE AVN IS CONSISTENT WITH RECENT RUNS...SHOWING A STEERING CURRENT THAT SHOULD DRIVE RICK TOWARD THE COAST OF SOUTHWEST MEXICO. THE TRACK GUIDANCE AND OFFICIAL FORECAST SHOW THAT MOTION AS WELL. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/2100Z 13.6N 102.7W 35 KTS 12HR VT 09/0600Z 14.4N 101.7W 45 KTS 24HR VT 09/1800Z 15.6N 100.4W 50 KTS 36HR VT 10/0600Z 16.8N 98.7W 35 KTS...INLAND 48HR VT 10/1800Z 17.7N 97.1W 20 KTS...INLAND...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627267-26827>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 04:43:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA45480; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 14:40:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6929628 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 14:40:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA27538 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 14:40:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA10435 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 14:40:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711082040.OAA10435@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 14:40:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Rick Forecast/advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: aac04618efdf8a51bb3226344d0fa3b4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 184 WTPZ24 KNHC 082040 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM RICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1997 2100Z SAT NOV 08 1997 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO PUERTO ESCONDIDO MEXICO. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 102.7W AT 08/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 102.7W AT 08/2100Z AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 102.9W FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 14.4N 101.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 15.6N 100.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 100SE 75SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 16.8N 98.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N 102.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 17.7N 97.1W...INLAND...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627275-26832>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 04:43:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA45380; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 14:39:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6929620 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 14:39:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA22536 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 14:39:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA10420 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 14:39:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711082039.OAA10420@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 14:39:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Rick Advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bcd1781fa5f8e430e2cec9a4e54be024 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 141 WTPZ34 KNHC 082040 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM RICK ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 1 PM PST SAT NOV 08 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM RICK... ...HEADING TOWARD SOUTHWEST MEXICO... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO PUERTO ESCONDIDO MEXICO. INTERESTS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. AT 1 PM PST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RICK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.7 WEST OR ABOUT 295 MILES ...475 KM...SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO. RICK IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. SATELLITE PICTURES INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. REPEATING THE 1 PM PST POSITION...13.6 N...102.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 PM PST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 7 PM PST. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627223-26827>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 01:46:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA10604; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:42:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6928414 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:42:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA44378 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:42:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA09753 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:42:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711081742.LAA09753@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:42:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c1e3818f6f9b686ab8bfe5cdf1b6c533 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 716 ABPZ20 KNHC 081741 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST SAT NOV 8 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E LOCATED ABOUT 340 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED JUST OFFSHORE FROM COSTA RICA AND PANAMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS IN THOSE COUNTRIES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. DEVELOPMENT ...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW. THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS DEGENERATED. FORECAST ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ24. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626925-26832>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 01:36:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA46390; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:34:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6928322 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:33:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA52974 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:33:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA09705 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:33:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711081733.LAA09705@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 11:33:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nineteen-e Intermediate Advisory Number 4a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 57c13d0bced177179d29f21bf3cd99f4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 598 WTPZ34 KNHC 081734 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST SAT NOV 08 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO PUERTO ESCONDIDO MEXICO. INTERESTS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. AT 10 AM PST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.5 WEST OR ABOUT 340 MILES...550 KM...SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. REPEATING THE 10 AM PST POSITION...13.4 N...103.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 PM PST. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626937-26833>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 22:36:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA26870; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 08:33:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6926978 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 08:32:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA25822 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 08:32:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA09160 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 08:32:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711081432.IAA09160@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 08:32:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nineteen-e Forecast/advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 073a9770dd29bc0eeab08b3a1c8dfdcb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 277 WTPZ24 KNHC 081434 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1997 1500Z SAT NOV 08 1997 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO PUERTO ESCONDIDO MEXICO. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 103.9W AT 08/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 103.9W AT 08/1500Z AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 103.9W FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 14.1N 103.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 15.6N 102.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 16.8N 101.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 100SE 75SW 60NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N 103.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 17.9N 99.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z...INLAND...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627009-26831>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 22:36:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA26642; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 08:33:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6926983 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 08:33:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA37338 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 08:32:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA09156 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 08:32:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711081432.IAA09156@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 08:32:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nineteen-e Discussion Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 176cdaf5b7445d6a9b7a90f39b9eb5e4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 276 WTPZ44 KNHC 081433 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 7 AM PST SAT NOV 08 1997 SATELLITE PICTURES SHOW A SMALL AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE CIRCULATION CENTER AND TWO ASSOCIATED BANDS OF THUNDERSTORMS. DVORAK TECHNIQUE ESTIMATES ARE CONSISTENT WITH KEEPING THE SYSTEM NEAR THE THRESHOLD OF TROPICAL STORM STATUS. A SHIP 30 NM SOUTH OF THE CENTER AT 12Z REPORTED WINDS OF 25 KT AND A PRESSURE OF 1006 MB. STRENGTHENING IS STILL EXPECTED. THE INITIAL MOTION IS NORTHWARD AT 6 KT. THE AVN SHOWS THE WESTERLIES SAGGING SOUTHWARD AHEAD OF THE TROUGH APPROACHING THE U.S. WEST COAST...AND THIS IS EXPECTED TO YIELD A CONTINUED INCREASE IN THE EASTWARD COMPONENT OF MOTION. THE TRACK GUIDANCE HAS NOT CHANGED MUCH OVER THE PAST 18 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS PREDICTIONS AS WELL. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/1500Z 13.0N 103.9W 30 KTS 12HR VT 09/0000Z 14.1N 103.5W 35 KTS 24HR VT 09/1200Z 15.6N 102.5W 40 KTS 36HR VT 10/0000Z 16.8N 101.0W 50 KTS 48HR VT 10/1200Z 17.9N 99.0W 30 KTS...INLAND 72HR VT 10/1200Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627009-26833>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 22:33:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA37238; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 08:31:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6926963 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 08:30:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA10596 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 08:30:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA09146 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 08:30:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711081430.IAA09146@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 08:30:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nineteen-e Advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bd3951a25dd120f8b37dca8795ac73f8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 230 WTPZ34 KNHC 081431 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 7 AM PST SAT NOV 08 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING NORTHWARD... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO PUERTO ESCONDIDO MEXICO. INTERESTS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. AT 7 AM PST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.9 WEST OR ABOUT 380 MILES...610 KM...SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR... AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AND THEN THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. REPEATING THE 7 AM PST POSITION...13.0 N...103.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 AM PST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1 PM PST. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627005-26831>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 19:41:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA10610; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 05:38:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6926063 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 05:38:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA25696 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 05:38:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA08710 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 05:38:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711081138.FAA08710@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 05:38:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4c149d7d7040dd9d250ef089608f7035 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 846 ABPZ20 KNHC 081138 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST SAT NOV 8 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E LOCATED ABOUT 390 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...REMAINS POORLY-ORGANIZED. SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE MAINLAND OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM APPEARS UNLIKELY. FORECAST ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ24. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627035-26827>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 19:40:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA46718; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 05:33:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6926052 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 05:33:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA10600 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 05:33:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA08683 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 05:33:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711081133.FAA08683@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 05:33:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nineteen-e Intermediate Advisory Number 3a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3851aa6bea1f2e5a84c53ba101c60412 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 771 WTPZ34 KNHC 081134 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST SAT NOV 08 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO PUERTO ESCONDIDO INCLUDING ACAPULCO. A WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS. ALL INTERESTS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. AT 4 AM PST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.0 WEST OR ABOUT 390 MILES...630 KM...SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR... AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN TO A TROPICAL STORM IN THE NEXT 6 TO 18 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. REPEATING THE 4 AM PST POSITION...12.8 N...104.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 AM PST. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:11:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625975-26827>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 16:42:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA50646; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 02:33:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6925327 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 02:33:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA48554 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 02:33:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA08052 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 02:33:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711080833.CAA08052@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 02:33:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nineteen-e Discussion Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 861fe61d8d5cb989b1a4b078d0eb7bda Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 665 WTPZ44 KNHC 080834 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 1 AM PST SAT NOV 08 1997 SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE REPORTS INDICATE THAT THE DEPRESSION HAS NOT CHANGED SIGNIFICANTLY IN ORGANIZATION AND THE T-NUMBERS CONTINUE AROUND 2.0 ON THE DVORAK SCALE. DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO BE INTERMITTENT NEAR THE CENTER. INTENSITY MODELS...INCLUDING GFDL...SHOW STRENGTHENING TO TROPICAL STORM IN 6 TO 18 HOURS AND THE FORECAST REFLECTS THIS. INITIAL MOTION REMAINS 360/07. TRACK MODEL GUIDANCE TURNS THE SYSTEM TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST GOES ALONG WITH THE MODELS AND BRINGS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO IN ABOUT 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED BY THE MEXICAN GOVERNMENT FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO PUERTO ESCONDIDO...INCLUDING ACAPULCO. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/0900Z 12.4N 104.1W 30 KTS 12HR VT 08/1800Z 13.6N 104.0W 35 KTS 24HR VT 09/0600Z 15.5N 103.1W 45 KTS 36HR VT 09/1800Z 17.0N 101.3W 55 KTS 48HR VT 10/0600Z 18.6N 98.8W 30 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:11:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625975-26833>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 16:36:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA17342; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 02:33:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6925322 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 02:33:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA17314 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 02:33:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA08048 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 02:33:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711080833.CAA08048@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 02:33:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nineteen-e Forecast/advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: be6f8b1f4d91aaee8c43c8d4e3f587fe Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 664 WTPZ24 KNHC 080833 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1997 0900Z SAT NOV 08 1997 THE MEXICAN GOVERNMENT HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO PUERTO ESCONDIDO INCLUDING ACAPULCO. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 104.1W AT 08/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 104.1W AT 08/0900Z AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 104.1W FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 13.6N 104.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 15.5N 103.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 17.0N 101.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 104.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 18.6N 98.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:11:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626863-26832>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 16:36:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA29460; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 02:32:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6925293 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 02:32:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA28416 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 02:31:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA08044 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 02:31:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711080831.CAA08044@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 02:31:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nineteen-e Advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ff288d4e3509092ab8770e74eaa3d4ee Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 637 WTPZ34 KNHC 080832 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 1 AM PST SAT NOV 08 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... THE MEXICAN GOVERNMENT HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO PUERTO ESCONDIDO INCLUDING ACAPULCO. A WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS. ALL INTERESTS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. AT 1 AM PST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.1 WEST OR ABOUT 415 MILES...670 KM...SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR... AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN TO A TROPICAL STORM IN THE NEXT 6 TO 18 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. REPEATING THE 1 AM PST POSITION...12.4 N...104.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 AM PST FOLLOWED BY NEXT ADVISORY AT 7 AM PST. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:11:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626490-26827>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 13:37:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA48576; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 23:32:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6924468 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 23:32:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA50344 for ; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 23:32:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA07471 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 23:32:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711080532.XAA07471@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Nov 1997 23:32:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b3c3e8ea0142b1390fc367e9ea4593ce Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 494 ABPZ20 KNHC 080532 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST FRI NOV 7 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...REMAINS POORLY-ORGANIZED. SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE MAINLAND OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM APPEARS UNLIKELY. ANOTHER AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...LOCATED ABOUT 1800 MILES EAST- SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...SHOWS LITTLE INDICATION OF DEVELOPMENT. FORECAST ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ24. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:11:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626807-26832>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 10:31:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA31362; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 20:24:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6923013 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 20:24:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA28510 for ; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 20:24:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA06869 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 20:24:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711080224.UAA06869@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Nov 1997 20:24:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nineteen-e Discussion Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ae35ff884951ee6715a0164bc30de5d8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 124 WTPZ44 KNHC 080225 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 7 PM PST FRI NOV 07 1997 SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE REPORTS INDICATE THAT THE DEPRESSION HAS NOT CHANGED SIGNIFICANTLY IN ORGANIZATION AND THE T-NUMBERS CONTINUE AROUND 2.0 ON THE DVORAK SCALE. DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER HAS BEEN INTERMITTENT AND THERE IS A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. PREVIOUS FORECAST AND LATEST SHIPS97 CALL FOR INTENSIFICATION AND SINCE SHEAR REMAINS LOW...SOME STRENGTHENING IS INDICATED. INITIAL MOTION IS 360/07. THE DEPRESSION IS ALREADY EMBEDDED WITHIN A GENERAL SOUTHWESTERLY DEEP LAYER MEAN FLOW. CONSEQUENTLY...MOST OF THE MODELS TURN THE DEPRESSION TO THE NORTHEAST WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST GOES ALONG WITH MODELS AND BRINGS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO IN ABOUT 48 HOURS. ALL INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO PRIMARILY FROM ZIHUATANEJO TO PUERTO ESCONDIDO...INCLUDING ACAPULCO...SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED AS EARLY AS SATURDAY MORNING. THE AVN MODEL DOES NOT HAVE A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE INITIAL ANALYSIS. ON THE OTHER HAND...NOGAPS SHOWS A CIRCULATION IN THE CORRECT PLACE. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/0300Z 12.1N 103.5W 30 KTS 12HR VT 08/1200Z 13.1N 103.5W 35 KTS 24HR VT 09/0000Z 14.5N 103.0W 45 KTS 36HR VT 09/1200Z 15.5N 102.0W 50 KTS 48HR VT 10/0000Z 16.5N 100.5W 55 KTS 72HR VT 11/0000Z 18.5N 97.5W 30 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:11:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626755-26827>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 10:32:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA31254; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 20:23:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6923008 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 20:23:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA29690 for ; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 20:23:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA06865 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 20:23:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711080223.UAA06865@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Nov 1997 20:23:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nineteen-e Forecast/advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b619fcfca94af90e93173a027e5de142 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 123 WTPZ24 KNHC 080223 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1997 0300Z SAT NOV 08 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 103.5W AT 08/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 103.5W AT 08/0300Z AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 103.5W FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 13.1N 103.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 14.5N 103.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 15.5N 102.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N 103.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 16.5N 100.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 18.5N 97.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:11:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626749-26832>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 09:25:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA32842; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 19:20:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6922385 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 19:19:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA23040 for ; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 19:19:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA06669 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 19:19:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711080119.TAA06669@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Nov 1997 19:19:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 77a5f893dbb0599ab6acf46c634c21ef Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 712 ABPZ20 KNHC 080120 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST FRI NOV 7 1997 COR FOR AFOS AND WMO HEADER FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E LOCATED ABOUT 475 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO. ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...REMAINS POORLY-ORGANIZED...WITH NO THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY NEAR ITS CENTER. SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE ADJACENT MAINLAND OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT APPEARS TO BE UNLIKELY IN THIS AREA. ANOTHER AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...LOCATED ABOUT 1800 MILES EAST- SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...SHOWS LITTLE INDICATION OF DEVELOPMENT. FORECAST ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ24. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:11:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625950-26832>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 07:17:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA26504; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 17:11:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6921527 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 17:10:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA09576 for ; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 17:10:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA06106 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 17:10:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711072310.RAA06106@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Nov 1997 17:10:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c20cd7e895a94d5157e3fc8de9b7cf29 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 518 ABPZ20 KNHC 072310 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST FRI NOV 7 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E LOCATED ABOUT 475 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO. ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...REMAINS POORLY-ORGANIZED...WITH NO THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY NEAR ITS CENTER. SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE ADJACENT MAINLAND OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT APPEARS TO BE UNLIKELY IN THIS AREA. ANOTHER AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...LOCATED ABOUT 1800 MILES EAST- SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...SHOWS LITTLE INDICATION OF DEVELOPMENT. FORECAST ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP3 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ23. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:11:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626700-9190>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 04:52:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA49682; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 14:45:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6920318 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 14:45:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA43714 for ; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 14:45:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA05483 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 14:45:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711072045.OAA05483@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Nov 1997 14:45:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: National Weather Service Miami Fl Ep1997 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: aead223ee629017813fd6fad04d6aa08 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 948 WTPZ24 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1997 2100Z FRI NOV 07 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 103.6W AT 07/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 103.6W AT 07/2100Z AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 103.5W FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 11.7N 104.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 12.8N 104.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 13.8N 103.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.9N 103.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 14.7N 102.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 16.5N 100.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:11:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628514-9197>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 04:51:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA52792; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 14:42:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6920275 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 14:42:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA09762 for ; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 14:42:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA05453 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 14:42:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711072042.OAA05453@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Nov 1997 14:42:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: National Weather Service Miami Fl To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 34b40c7837e2f44b2d0f0dd7e6aecd17 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 921 WTPZ44 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 1 PM PST FRI NOV 07 1997 A SECOND CIRCULATION CENTER DEVELOPED IN THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER SSW OF ACAPULCO LAST NIGHT AND DEEP CONVECTION HAS FORMED OVER THIS NEW CENTER TODAY. SOME BANDING FEATURES ARE OBSERVED AS WELL. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND SAB SUPPORT STARTING ADVISORIES ON THE SYSTEM AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON THE VERGE OF BECOMING A TROPICAL STORM. INITIAL MOTION IS NEAR 330/6 KT. SATELLITE PICTURES SHOW A LARGE...MOSTLY LOW LEVEL...CYCLONIC CIRCULATION TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION. UNFORTUNATELY...THE 06Z AND 12Z INITIALIZATION OF THE AVN AT 850 MB BEAR LITTLE RESEMBLANCE TO WHAT SATELLITE PICTURES SUGGEST IS REALITY. THE 500 MB ANALYSIS LOOKS MORE REASONABLE AND THE TRACK FORECASTS BASED ON THE AVN ALSO SEEM CREDIBLE. THEY SHOW THE TRACK OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE BECOMING NORTH AND THEN NORTHEAST...WITH A POTENTIAL THREAT TO SOUTHWEST MEXICO IN ABOUT TWO DAYS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST SHOWS A SIMILAR TRACK. THE SHEAR IS NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG AND THE SHIPS MODEL FORECASTS THE SYSTEM TO STRENGTHEN RATHER QUICKLY. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/2100Z 10.9N 103.6W 30 KTS 12HR VT 08/0600Z 11.7N 104.1W 35 KTS 24HR VT 08/1800Z 12.8N 104.1W 45 KTS 36HR VT 09/0600Z 13.8N 103.6W 50 KTS 48HR VT 09/1800Z 14.7N 102.7W 55 KTS 72HR VT 10/1800Z 16.5N 100.5W 60 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:11:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628525-9190>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 02:08:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA47106; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 12:00:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6918788 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 12:00:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA47338 for ; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 12:00:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA04728 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 12:00:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711071800.MAA04728@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Nov 1997 12:00:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f4ed32adb527dcc4810e15bb48cc7094 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 699 ABPZ20 KNHC 071800 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST FRI NOV 7 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST. THIS SYSTEM IS SLOWLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AND COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY OR ON SATURDAY. ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...REMAINS POORLY-ORGANIZED...WITH NO THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY NEAR ITS CENTER. SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE ADJACENT MAINLAND OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT APPEARS TO BE UNLIKELY IN THIS AREA. ANOTHER AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...LOCATED ABOUT 1800 MILES EAST- SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...SHOWS LITTLE INDICATION OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 7 18:07:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627654-9196>; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 18:08:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA40038; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 04:05:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6915109 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 04:04:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA45344 for ; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 04:04:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA03174 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 04:04:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711071004.EAA03174@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Nov 1997 04:04:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a4497f89f18dfcb09edb916217c6e45c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 817 ABPZ20 KNHC 071004 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST FRI NOV 7 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SHOW EVIDENCE OF ORGANIZATION...AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...REMAINS POORLY-ORGANIZED. SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM COULD SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE ADJACENT MAINLAND OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT APPEARS TO BE UNLIKELY IN THIS AREA. ANOTHER AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...LOCATED ABOUT 1800 MILES EAST- SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...SHOWS LITTLE INDICATION OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 7 13:55:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625902-9197>; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 12:55:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA43892; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 22:49:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6913604 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 22:49:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA13652 for ; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 22:49:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA02127 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 22:49:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711070449.WAA02127@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 22:49:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 496ad205bf06a689625efeb16ba6d491 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 974 ABPZ20 KNHC 070448 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST THU NOV 6 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SHOW EVIDENCE OF ORGANIZATION...AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...REMAINS POORLY-ORGANIZED. SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM COULD SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE ADJACENT MAINLAND OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT APPEARS TO BE UNLIKELY IN THIS AREA. ANOTHER AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...LOCATED ABOUT 1800 MILES EAST- SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...SHOWS LITTLE INDICATION OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 7 09:22:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625908-9190>; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 07:55:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA19664; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 17:48:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6910930 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 17:47:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA19602 for ; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 17:47:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA01094 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 17:47:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711062347.RAA01094@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 17:47:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e7df3db2b845cb0e4e42b8f914fcd576 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 254 ABPZ20 KNHC 062346 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST THU NOV 6 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SHOW EVIDENCE OF ORGANIZATION...AND HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...REMAINS POORLY-ORGANIZED. SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM COULD SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE ADJACENT MAINLAND OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT APPEARS TO BE UNLIKELY IN THIS AREA. ANOTHER AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...LOCATED ABOUT 1800 MILES EAST- SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...SHOWS NO INDICATIONS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 7 09:22:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627529-15112>; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 02:00:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA48140; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 11:55:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6907182 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 11:54:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA39990 for ; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 11:54:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA29674 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 11:54:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711061754.LAA29674@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 11:54:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 888002ee434bcc6102731edb5a5f91b9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 625 ABPZ20 KNHC 061752 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST THU NOV 6 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A SLOW-MOVING TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ASSOCIATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS DECREASED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...AND THE SYSTEM IS CENTERED TO THE SOUTH OF THE NORMAL AREA FOR DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER ...THE DISTURBANCE RETAINS A WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OF LOW AND MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS AND HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...REMAINS POORLY-ORGANIZED AND ONLY SLOW DEVELOPMENT APPEARS POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA. ANOTHER AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...LOCATED ABOUT 1800 MILES EAST- SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 7 09:22:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627490-15119>; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 19:01:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA37266; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 04:59:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6903085 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 04:59:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA10112 for ; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 04:59:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA28329 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 04:59:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711061059.EAA28329@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 04:59:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8dbb94e9c0e0a41228451f8672cee48c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 741 ABPZ20 KNHC 061059 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST THU NOV 6 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC SHOWS SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...AND HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS POORLY-ORGANIZED AND ONLY SLOW DEVELOPMENT APPEARS POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA. A THIRD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...LOCATED ABOUT 1800 MILES EAST- SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 6 14:28:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626392-15116>; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 12:40:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA42980; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 22:36:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6900062 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 22:36:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA22736 for ; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 22:36:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA27120 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 22:36:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711060436.WAA27120@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Nov 1997 22:36:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0aad78f58fa8e240ec4a50aff4fa625a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 876 ABPZ20 KNHC 060435 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST WED NOV 5 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS NOT WELL- ORGANIZED AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. A THIRD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...LOCATED ABOUT 1800 MILES EAST- SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 6 14:28:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626044-15116>; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 08:58:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA48600; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 18:47:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6897518 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 18:47:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id SAA14276 for ; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 18:47:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA22720 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 18:47:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711060047.SAA22720@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Nov 1997 18:47:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c9b79d2becab027454793c1ed7449528 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 196 ABPZ20 KNHC 060047 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST WED NOV 5 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC SHOWS SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...AND COULD SLOWLY DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS NOT WELL- ORGANIZED AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. A THIRD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...LOCATED ABOUT 1800 MILES EAST- SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 6 14:28:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627340-22827>; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 02:07:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA27012; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 12:02:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6892259 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 12:02:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA50680 for ; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 12:01:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA17100 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 12:01:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711051801.MAA17100@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Nov 1997 12:01:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c55132018d5ef99f5d08e62f434133b5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 674 ABPZ20 KNHC 051801 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST WED NOV 5 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THREE SLOW-MOVING AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER PERSIST OVER THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN. ONE IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH THROUGH SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ANOTHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 1250 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE THIRD SYSTEM...WHICH IS THE BEST ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME...IS LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. EACH OF THESE SYSTEMS COULD SLOWLY DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 6 14:28:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627267-22827>; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 18:12:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA50506; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 04:09:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6888056 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 04:09:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA14388 for ; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 04:09:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA13645 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 04:09:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711051009.EAA13645@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Nov 1997 04:09:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 84951e67d1a7324925d740116d8743e5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 449 ABPZ20 KNHC 051007 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST WED NOV 5 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TWO AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER ARE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH AND SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THESE SYSTEMS ARE NOT WELL-ORGANIZED AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY... SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 6 14:27:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626840-22824>; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 12:51:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA25658; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 22:39:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6885689 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 22:38:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA42994 for ; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 22:38:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA12505 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 22:38:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711050438.WAA12505@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Nov 1997 22:38:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f639e4c078c0df8d9acbc2310772322b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 063 ABPZ20 KNHC 050438 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST TUE NOV 4 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TWO AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER ARE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH AND SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THESE SYSTEMS ARE NOT WELL-ORGANIZED AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY... SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 6 14:27:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626020-22816>; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 07:58:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA25826; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 17:52:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6883205 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 17:51:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA24520 for ; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 17:51:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA11263 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 17:51:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711042351.RAA11263@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Nov 1997 17:51:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9928ba79ab4f534967fdb38dd8a6be6b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 470 ABPZ20 KNHC 042351 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST TUE NOV 4 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TWO AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER ARE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH AND SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THESE SYSTEMS ARE POORLY-ORGANIZED AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 5 01:28:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627038-29124>; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 01:03:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA17024; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 10:59:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6878029 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 10:58:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA21500 for ; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 10:58:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA08279 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 10:58:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711041658.KAA08279@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Nov 1997 10:58:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d4e461b98fee75c500f6119ad3780adc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 589 ABPZ20 KNHC 041657 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST TUE NOV 4 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TWO AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER ARE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH AND SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THESE SYSTEMS WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 4 18:54:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626638-29128>; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 18:25:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA10054; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 04:21:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6874845 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 04:21:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA24856 for ; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 04:21:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA07017 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 04:21:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711041021.EAA07017@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Nov 1997 04:21:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 05dc5e725b19471960c38469439aee92 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 793 ABPZ20 KNHC 041020 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST TUE NOV 4 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 4 15:13:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626045-29128>; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 12:54:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA18286; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 22:45:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6872755 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 22:45:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA22616 for ; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 22:45:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA05829 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 22:45:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711040445.WAA05829@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Nov 1997 22:45:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a496c3a71f03ac468d550b527296c7f4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 671 ABPZ20 KNHC 040444 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST MON NOV 3 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...REMAINS POORLY- ORGANIZED. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 4 07:55:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625866-29130>; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 07:53:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA50416; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 17:45:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6869502 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 17:45:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA31420 for ; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 17:45:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA05302 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 17:45:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711032345.RAA05302@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Nov 1997 17:45:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 56fb88f9a43a9fc2e421e6eccda47798 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 058 ABPZ20 KNHC 032345 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST MON NOV 3 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM IS NOT WELL-ORGANIZED AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 4 07:39:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626960-6114>; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 01:47:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA13314; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 11:27:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6865422 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 11:27:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA40678 for ; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 11:27:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA04256 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 11:27:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711031727.LAA04256@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Nov 1997 11:27:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 940f0bb63ac870c60eb92118c2be4e4d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 217 ABPZ20 KNHC 031726 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST MON NOV 3 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A BROAD AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS ACTIVITY IS NOT WELL-ORGANIZED AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 19:07:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626759-6118>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 18:28:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA44218; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 04:22:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6861959 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 04:22:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA10408 for ; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 04:22:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA03540 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 04:22:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711031022.EAA03540@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Nov 1997 04:22:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 25debd2476bf588eeb44c4f7c8006f69 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 113 ABPZ20 KNHC 031019 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST MON NOV 3 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A BROAD AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS ACTIVITY IS NOT WELL-ORGANIZED AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 17:05:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626558-6114>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 13:11:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA40144; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 23:04:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6860008 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 23:04:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA31658 for ; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 23:04:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA03070 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 23:04:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711030504.XAA03070@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 23:04:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c284033b19e40754bc0963fd63339693 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 201 ABPZ20 KNHC 030504 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST SUN NOV 2 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A BROAD AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS ACTIVITY IS NOT WELL-ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME...AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 10:46:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625871-6110>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 07:57:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA48662; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 17:50:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6856318 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 17:50:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA46852 for ; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 17:50:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA02734 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 17:50:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711022350.RAA02734@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 17:50:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bf1fe636330420bb1247f0c6f7f6460a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 533 ABPZ20 KNHC 022349 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST SUN NOV 2 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A BROAD AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE SHOWER ACTIVITY IS DISORGANIZED AT THIS TIME...AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 10:46:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626610-17588>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 01:48:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA31570; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 11:44:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6853157 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 11:43:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA40468 for ; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 11:43:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA02061 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 11:43:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711021743.LAA02061@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 11:43:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b1bc9eb90427e562d7f742990fae0e75 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 703 ABPZ20 KNHC 021743 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST SUN NOV 2 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS HAVE INCREASED OVER A BROAD AREA CENTERED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS NOT CONCENTRATED AT THIS TIME...AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:24:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626381-17588>; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 20:22:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id GAA21474; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 06:19:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6850420 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 06:18:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id GAA18188 for ; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 06:17:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA01783 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 06:17:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711021217.GAA01783@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 06:17:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7c77ba0411349d63e9e36e7c872b6c37 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 780 ABPZ20 KNHC 021214 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST SUN NOV 2 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:24:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626296-17591>; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 12:38:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA43716; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 22:34:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6847717 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 22:34:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA28434 for ; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 22:31:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA01152 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 22:31:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711020431.WAA01152@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 22:31:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bff5ef0948951eeb8f3c1ce98341457e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 025 ABPZ20 KNHC 020430 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST SAT NOV 1 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:24:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625968-17591>; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 07:52:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA26594; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 17:47:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6845452 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 17:47:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA40648 for ; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 17:46:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA07616 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 17:46:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711012346.RAA07616@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 17:46:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6e9cd69e26aa7a1a95b783b7ed972f88 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 719 ABPZ20 KNHC 012346 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST SAT NOV 1 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:24:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626009-22683>; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 01:48:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA19642; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 11:44:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6842476 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 11:44:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA29352 for ; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 11:44:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA07085 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 11:44:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711011744.LAA07085@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 11:44:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 017c905fa83e9f417541e1d779c5f2b7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 058 ABPZ20 KNHC 011743 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST SAT NOV 1 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:24:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626614-22683>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 19:38:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA23044; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 05:34:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6840145 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 05:34:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA50406 for ; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 05:34:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA06744 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 05:34:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711011134.FAA06744@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 05:34:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1d9815aae433190e700207b90432488c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 028 ABPZ20 KNHC 011134 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST SAT NOV 1 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:23:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626422-22683>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 12:22:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA26450; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 22:19:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6837893 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 22:19:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA42560 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 22:19:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA06037 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 22:19:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711010419.WAA06037@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 22:19:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1c2ccea719a4dec155f88cc721b740ff Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 164 ABPZ20 KNHC 010418 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST FRI OCT 31 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 1 11:26:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625897-22672>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 07:29:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA24372; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 17:27:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6835927 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 17:26:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA23822 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 17:26:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA05662 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 17:26:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710312326.RAA05662@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 17:26:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b5e93e6ef2200e99efa48d211cb07d46 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 627 ABPZ20 KNHC 312325 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST FRI OCT 31 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 1 01:29:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627823-3675>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 01:25:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA36834; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 11:16:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6831933 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 11:15:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA36808 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 11:15:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA04950 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 11:15:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710311715.LAA04950@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 11:15:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 90b7b6d4c6380675f2632b7653b7a9e1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 801 ABPZ20 KNHC 311713 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST FRI OCT 31 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 31 19:29:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627046-3668>; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 17:59:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA13628; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 03:56:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6828503 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 03:55:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA10282 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 03:55:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA02506 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 03:55:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710310955.DAA02506@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 03:55:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bdb972e17c3374dfc95e38d5adc8a889 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 440 ABPZ20 KNHC 310953 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST FRI OCT 31 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 31 19:29:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626072-3668>; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 12:23:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA30610; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 22:19:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6826904 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 22:19:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA30572 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 22:19:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA02087 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 22:19:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710310419.WAA02087@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Oct 1997 22:19:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4b404f27662bdae4e9769b2789ddb736 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 457 ABPZ20 KNHC 310418 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST THU OCT 30 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 31 10:53:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626547-3674>; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 08:29:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA44410; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 18:23:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6824595 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 18:22:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id SAA28258 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 18:22:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA29510 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 18:22:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710310022.SAA29510@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Oct 1997 18:22:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0337f0d70cc6baee5b86e014af9bc0a7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 241 ABPZ20 KNHC 310021 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST THU OCT 30 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 31 10:53:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627695-14863>; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 01:27:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA30532; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 11:15:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6820832 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 11:14:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA47354 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 11:14:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA25216 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 11:14:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710301714.LAA25216@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Oct 1997 11:14:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 58ec7223edb05ed8f9c53e72bf2b9cf5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 213 ABPZ20 KNHC 301701 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST THU OCT 30 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 30 18:41:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626985-14863>; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 18:15:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA40034; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 04:03:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6816927 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 05:03:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA43854 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 04:03:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA24706 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 04:03:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710301003.EAA24706@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Oct 1997 04:03:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fc9a14a9dffde4b3e893d06447caad20 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 324 ABPZ20 KNHC 301002 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST THU OCT 30 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 30 14:12:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626822-14863>; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 12:48:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA31692; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 22:36:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6815360 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 23:35:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA50324 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 22:35:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA24255 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 22:35:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710300435.WAA24255@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Oct 1997 22:35:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 08d809a9b656451c8786cdc39481c724 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 703 ABPZ20 KNHC 300433 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST WED OCT 29 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 30 10:45:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626054-14863>; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 07:42:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA49010; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 17:33:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6812305 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 18:32:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA32748 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 17:32:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA23773 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 17:32:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710292332.RAA23773@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Oct 1997 17:32:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 97d12e513c352969ce02e694e5434475 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 213 ABPZ20 KNHC 292331 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST WED OCT 29 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 30 10:45:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627419-24319>; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 01:36:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA18388; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 11:27:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6807387 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 12:27:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA42674 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 11:27:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA22912 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 11:27:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710291727.LAA22912@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Oct 1997 11:27:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: efd18423850506333f9e2ea1de69984c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 684 ABPZ20 KNHC 291726 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST WED OCT 29 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 29 17:32:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626539-24314>; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 17:22:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA41832; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 03:17:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6803025 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 04:17:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA43954 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 03:14:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA22244 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 03:14:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710290914.DAA22244@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Oct 1997 03:14:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a76c3346b28be2e5e481456649300348 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 941 ABPZ20 KNHC 290914 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST WED OCT 29 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 29 17:32:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626696-24320>; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 13:22:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA49666; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 23:17:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6801068 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 00:17:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA46922 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 23:09:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA21822 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 23:09:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710290509.XAA21822@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Oct 1997 23:09:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6324bef33ecb86e0519e117a21102935 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 497 ABPZ20 KNHC 290503 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST TUE OCT 28 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 29 08:06:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626023-24320>; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 08:00:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA51168; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 17:50:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6796448 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 18:50:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA17270 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 17:49:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA21153 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 17:49:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710282349.RAA21153@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Oct 1997 17:49:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 96b959a1b68149b5b36d3563254c6d5c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 055 ABPZ20 KNHC 282349 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST TUE OCT 28 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 29 08:06:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627950-26843>; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 02:20:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA40220; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 12:07:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6792482 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 13:07:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA17660 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 12:07:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA20111 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 12:07:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710281807.MAA20111@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Oct 1997 12:07:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2cd2913e85e408a47eea2b81737d1d21 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 351 ABPZ20 KNHC 281806 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST TUE OCT 28 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 28 18:07:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626334-3243>; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 18:01:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA10710; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 03:56:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6788702 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 04:56:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA14524 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 03:56:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA19414 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 03:56:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710280956.DAA19414@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Oct 1997 03:56:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ad410729b49c65df500c88fb4bba1cd4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 584 ABPZ20 KNHC 280954 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST TUE OCT 28 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 28 15:32:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626629-3247>; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 13:32:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA14718; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 23:27:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6787438 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 00:27:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA30572 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 23:27:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA18898 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 23:27:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710280527.XAA18898@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Oct 1997 23:27:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: af7c8d9f6bd9ad571e20a11cde5842af Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 010 ABPZ20 KNHC 280437 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST MON OCT 27 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 28 08:06:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626000-3247>; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 07:27:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA21246; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 17:22:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6783559 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 18:21:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA41962 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 17:21:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA18257 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 17:21:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710272321.RAA18257@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Oct 1997 17:21:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 976a8396a18c01dc23d85e4220ab8f76 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 297 ABPZ20 KNHC 272320 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST MON OCT 27 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 28 08:06:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627761-3685>; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 01:33:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA24910; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 11:17:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6779143 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 12:16:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA50220 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 11:16:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA16965 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 11:16:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710271716.LAA16965@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Oct 1997 11:16:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9d10b8626bc8f644be310f70d8e6f94f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 715 ABPZ20 KNHC 271715 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST MON OCT 27 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 28 08:05:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627711-3686>; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 20:21:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id GAA10330; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 06:19:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6775482 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 07:19:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id GAA37188 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 06:19:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA16573 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 06:19:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710271219.GAA16573@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Oct 1997 06:19:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5dda6b22ec0457d2d0a536d53dff303d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 283 ABPZ20 KNHC 271213 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST MON OCT 27 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 27 14:19:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627538-3686>; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 12:44:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA27126; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 22:39:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6772380 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 23:39:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA21094 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 22:37:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA15990 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 22:37:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710270437.WAA15990@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Oct 1997 22:37:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 313d7801aa5b7cda440b712b4229f7b1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 035 ABPZ20 KNHC 270436 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PST SUN OCT 26 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 27 08:04:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626475-14308>; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 07:45:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA29832; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 17:40:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6769233 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 18:40:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA47204 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 17:40:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA15621 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 17:40:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710262340.RAA15621@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Oct 1997 17:40:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d16211b3857d092e1892620c1354cbb0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 577 ABPZ20 KNHC 262338 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PST SUN OCT 26 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 27 08:04:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627521-26776>; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 01:25:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA22352; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 11:21:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6765825 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 12:20:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA32724 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 11:20:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA14724 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 11:20:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710261720.LAA14724@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Oct 1997 11:20:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f17980ad68359f6b5c0392ef9b4b1b49 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 093 ABPZ20 KNHC 261719 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PST SUN OCT 26 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 27 08:04:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627038-26777>; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 19:03:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA44232; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 04:59:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6763637 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 05:59:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA14514 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 04:59:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA14146 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 04:59:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710261059.EAA14146@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Oct 1997 04:59:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7243cdcd506d1e893abb8e65800dd0d2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 134 ABPZ20 KNHC 261058 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PST SUN OCT 26 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 27 08:04:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626149-26778>; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 11:50:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA29458; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 22:46:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6761600 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 22:46:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA28928 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 22:46:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA13489 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 22:46:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710260346.WAA13489@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Oct 1997 22:46:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e08b8357163d85dbf9735485704972bf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 759 ABPZ20 KNHC 260345 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT OCT 25 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 27 08:04:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627415-279>; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 06:12:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA13708; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 17:10:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6758760 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 17:10:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA44408 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 17:10:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA12565 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 17:10:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710252210.RAA12565@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Oct 1997 17:10:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 408fefdcc2a5a0907af4c278aa60d7fb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 014 ABPZ20 KNHC 252204 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT OCT 25 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 26 04:40:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627126-278>; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 00:13:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA18176; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 11:09:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6755884 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 11:09:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA13538 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 11:09:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA11075 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 11:09:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710251609.LAA11075@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Oct 1997 11:09:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 12c63d3c66b2434323477ecbbc3cf340 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 650 ABPZ20 KNHC 251605 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT OCT 25 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 26 04:40:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626888-278>; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 17:35:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA43984; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 04:10:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6753096 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 04:10:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA25780 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 04:10:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA10760 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 04:10:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710250910.EAA10760@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Oct 1997 04:10:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e839cb0f0a6ac81e456e3994a8b5de4e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 271 ABPZ20 KNHC 250905 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT OCT 25 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 26 04:40:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626178-10846>; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 11:51:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA20452; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 22:44:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6751649 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 22:43:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA23178 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 22:43:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA10334 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 22:43:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710250343.WAA10334@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Oct 1997 22:43:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c1087ed7b0fdf7c5deec8f8ecf2821e0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 406 ABPZ20 KNHC 250341 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI OCT 24 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 26 04:40:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627343-12198>; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 06:09:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA31536; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 17:02:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6748881 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 17:02:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA48124 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 17:01:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA10066 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 17:01:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710242201.RAA10066@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Oct 1997 17:01:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1963be782d111479db73391993c6f42a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 175 ABPZ20 KNHC 242159 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI OCT 24 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 25 02:24:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626376-12199>; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 00:16:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA20462; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 11:07:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6745392 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 11:07:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA31694 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 11:07:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA09322 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 11:07:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710241607.LAA09322@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Oct 1997 11:07:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b9666d1e82bad4579d639914efe41991 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 005 ABPZ20 KNHC 241604 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI OCT 24 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 24 18:17:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626821-12198>; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 17:01:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA29488; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 03:56:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6742031 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 03:55:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA31512 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 03:55:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA08703 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 03:55:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710240855.DAA08703@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Oct 1997 03:55:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 716acabb7919c3ccb71cbe7e5dc7f125 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 585 ABPZ20 KNHC 240852 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI OCT 24 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jul 11 09:36:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102164-20271>; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 06:54:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA24572; Thu, 10 Jul 1997 17:44:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5867846 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 1997 17:43:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA252090 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 1997 17:43:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id RAA21855 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 1997 17:43:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707102243.RAA21855@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Jul 1997 17:43:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [102240] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f6c0d2ecb6cde3ca7c76da68eddd5153 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 848 Status: OR 792 ABPZ20 KNHC 102240 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU JUL 10 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON WEAKENING TROPICAL STORM DOLORES LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jul 11 14:49:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102301-263>; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 10:53:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA245422; Thu, 10 Jul 1997 21:35:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5869052 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 1997 21:35:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA46012 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 1997 21:30:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA24546 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 1997 21:30:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707110230.VAA24546@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Jul 1997 21:35:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Dolores Forecast/advisory Number 22 [110230] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 48275e3023b1be3a6634d2144d86adf3 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1371 Status: OR 105 WTPZ21 KNHC 110230 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0697 0300Z FRI JUL 11 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 137.6W AT 11/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 137.6W AT 11/0300Z AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 136.9W FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 19.9N 139.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 20.5N 142.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 21.0N 145.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 137.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jul 11 14:49:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102292-263>; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 11:38:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA55222; Thu, 10 Jul 1997 22:24:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5869452 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 1997 22:24:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA38550 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 1997 22:24:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id WAA25077 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 1997 22:24:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707110324.WAA25077@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Jul 1997 22:24:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Dolores Discussion Number 22 [110323] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 94eaeda8a63633c0ef9fdca86c131371 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1458 Status: OR 832 WTPZ41 KNHC 110323 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES DISCUSSION NUMBER 22 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU JUL 10 1997 SOME DEEP CONVECTION HAS RETURNED IN A CLUSTER A LITTLE OVER 1 DEGREE LATITUDE NORTH OF THE CENTER. USING THE SHEAR PATTERN WITH THE DVORAK TECHNIQUE YIELDS A T-NUMBER OF 1.0. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS SET AT 30 KNOTS...THUS DOLORES IS DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. CONTINUED GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS IN EARLIER ADVISORIES. THE SYSTEM WILL PROBABLY BE DISSIPATING BY 36 HOURS...OR SOONER. MOVEMENT CONTINUES SLIGHTLY NORTH OF WEST AT ABOUT 14 KNOTS. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THE CYCLONE IS STEERED BY LOW-LEVEL EASTERLY WINDS IN ITS ENVIRONMENT. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/0300Z 19.4N 137.6W 30 KTS 12HR VT 11/1200Z 19.9N 139.7W 30 KTS 24HR VT 12/0000Z 20.5N 142.5W 25 KTS 36HR VT 12/1200Z 21.0N 145.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 13/0000Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jul 11 14:49:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102455-362>; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 13:12:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA181282; Thu, 10 Jul 1997 23:47:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5870001 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 1997 23:47:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA55056 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 1997 23:47:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id XAA26051 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 1997 23:46:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707110446.XAA26051@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Jul 1997 23:47:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [110443] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0b8cd1a8432e7c7951532bdc461f1943 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 894 Status: OR 938 ABPZ20 KNHC 110443 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU JUL 10 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES...RECENTLY DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM...LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102695-263>; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 16:42:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA120354; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 03:26:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5870789 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 03:26:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA82700 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 03:26:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA29893 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 03:26:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707110826.DAA29893@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Jul 1997 03:26:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Dolores Discussion Number 23 [110826] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 87c22f53476ca7c4632825895bd5c267 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1285 Status: OR 166 WTPZ41 KNHC 110826 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES DISCUSSION NUMBER 23 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT FRI JUL 11 1997 DOLORES IS GENERATING ONE SHRINKING PATCH OF DEEP CONVECTION ABOUT 100 NM NNE OF THE CENTER. ERS-2 DATA FROM AROUND 19Z SHOWED MAXIMUM WINDS OF ABOUT 35 KT. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS CURRENTLY ESTIMATED AT 30 KT. THE WESTWARD PROGRESS HAS SLOWED TO 11 KNOTS. THE CURRENT MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO WHILE THE CIRCULATION SLOWLY DECAYS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CROSS 140W AND ENTER THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE BASIN WITHIN 12 HOURS. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/0900Z 19.5N 138.4W 30 KTS 12HR VT 11/1800Z 19.9N 140.1W 30 KTS 24HR VT 12/0600Z 20.5N 142.3W 25 KTS 36HR VT 12/1800Z 21.2N 144.8W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102707-362>; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 16:41:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA120412; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 03:28:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5870796 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 03:28:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA82762 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 03:28:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA29913 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 03:28:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707110828.DAA29913@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Jul 1997 03:28:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Dolores Forecast/advisory Number 23 [110826] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4324ed8c5dc6751c257bcd3c8f525ff4 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1273 Status: OR 176 WTPZ21 KNHC 110826 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0697 0900Z FRI JUL 11 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 138.4W AT 11/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 138.4W AT 11/0900Z AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 137.8W FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 19.9N 140.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 20.5N 142.3W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 21.2N 144.8W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N 138.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102718-362>; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 18:36:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA33468; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 05:25:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5870984 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 05:25:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA81320 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 05:25:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id FAA00913 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 05:25:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707111025.FAA00913@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Jul 1997 05:25:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [111024] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4bed3f7f97b8731d1edc2217efa736ce X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 849 Status: OR 630 ABPZ20 KNHC 111024 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI JUL 11 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES LOCATED ABOUT 1050 MILES EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102718-263>; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 22:52:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA239840; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 09:31:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5872128 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 09:31:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA239784 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 09:31:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA04447 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 09:31:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707111431.JAA04447@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Jul 1997 09:31:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Dolores Discussion Number 24 [111431] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 186d7a355d6b46d617ccdc2aa7003906 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1215 Status: OR 298 WTPZ41 KNHC 111431 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES DISCUSSION NUMBER 24 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI JUL 11 1997 DOLORES IS A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS BUT THE PRESSURE GRADIENT IS TIGHT ENOUGH TO PRODUCE ABOUT 30 KNOTS TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. THE DEPRESSION MAY DISSIPATE IN 24 HOUR OR SO. INITIAL MOTION IS 285/13. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION. THE DEPRESSION WILL LIKELY CROSS 140W...INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC REGION LATER TODAY. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/1500Z 20.3N 139.5W 30 KTS 12HR VT 12/0000Z 20.5N 141.5W 25 KTS 24HR VT 12/1200Z 21.0N 143.0W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102686-362>; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 22:55:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA123366; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 09:32:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5872154 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 09:32:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA123340 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 09:32:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA04491 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 09:32:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707111432.JAA04491@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Jul 1997 09:32:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Dolores Forecast/advisory Number 24 [111432] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1f669eb55ad75695cc9e927d22c7d611 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1271 Status: OR 323 WTPZ21 KNHC 111432 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0697 1500Z FRI JUL 11 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 139.5W AT 11/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 139.5W AT 11/1500Z AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 138.8W FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 20.5N 141.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 21.0N 143.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 139.5W THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU AT 11/2100Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102917-263>; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 00:59:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA199290; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 11:45:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5873209 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 11:45:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA228182 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 11:45:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id LAA07551 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 11:45:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707111645.LAA07551@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Jul 1997 11:45:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [111643] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1963e0d12dd6f029637b0dcc938ba074 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 871 Status: OR 157 ABPZ20 KNHC 111643 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI JUL 11 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES IS LOCATED ABOUT 965 MILES EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102159-8757>; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 06:59:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA176062; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 17:30:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5875429 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 17:30:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA254628 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 17:30:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id RAA15458 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 17:30:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707112230.RAA15458@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Jul 1997 17:30:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [112229] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 760a1766a945e1656cd8c61750bd5a1d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 900 Status: OR 810 ABPZ20 KNHC 112229 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI JUL 11 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102240-8757>; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 12:46:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA173748; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 23:36:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5877136 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 23:36:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA32926 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 23:36:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id XAA19299 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 23:36:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707120436.XAA19299@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Jul 1997 23:36:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [120434] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c96cd57bbc4c725a9fb7015b3b3fc8ed X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 915 Status: OR 037 ABPZ20 KNHC 120434 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI JUL 11 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM HAS POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102584-263>; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 18:44:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA134252; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 05:35:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5878151 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 05:35:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA82766 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 05:35:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id FAA24331 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 05:35:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707121035.FAA24331@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Jul 1997 05:35:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [121034] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 64870ff9dd9f256582e7ba4a698dc2a0 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1172 Status: OR 840 ABPZ20 KNHC 121034 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT JUL 12 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH. THIS SYSTEM IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AND COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AS SOON AS LATER THIS MORNING. A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 1350 MILES TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102762-263>; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 23:48:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA58118; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 10:43:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5880936 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 10:43:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA46066 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 10:43:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id KAA27216 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 10:43:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707121543.KAA27216@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Jul 1997 10:43:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: National Weather Service Miami Fl [DDHHMM] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 31e56de79b2d2672d152bede94e99d9d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1585 Status: OR 339 WTPZ42 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 9 AM PDT SAT JUL 12 1997 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SOUTH OF BAJA HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND IS NOW A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. THE SYSTEM HAS A WELL DEFINED OUTFLOW...DEEP CONVECTION AND EXCELLENT BANDING FEATURES. THEREFORE...IT MAY BE A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. SINCE IS MOVING OVER WARM WATERS...WELL IN THE DEEP TROPICS...THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. INITIAL MOTION IS 280/10. MOST OF MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE...MAINLY BECAUSE THERE IS A PERSISTENT RIDGE TO THE NORTH. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR A WEST TO WEST NORTHWEST TRACK THROUGH 72 HOURS IN AGREEMENT WITH GUIDANCE. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/1600Z 9.1N 114.3W 30 KTS 12HR VT 13/0000Z 9.5N 115.5W 40 KTS 24HR VT 13/1200Z 10.0N 117.5W 50 KTS 36HR VT 14/0000Z 10.5N 119.5W 60 KTS 48HR VT 14/1200Z 11.0N 121.5W 70 KTS 72HR VT 15/1200Z 12.5N 126.0W 80 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102700-8757>; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 23:49:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA146544; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 10:44:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5880944 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 10:44:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA226654 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 10:44:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id KAA27222 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 10:44:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707121544.KAA27222@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Jul 1997 10:44:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: [DDHHMM] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0e2c71540985be98d42f1b5421e085f3 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1716 Status: OR 386 WTPZ22 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP9097 1600Z SAT JUL 12 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.1N 114.3W AT 12/1600Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.1N 114.3W AT 12/1600Z AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.0N 113.7W FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 9.5N 115.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 10.0N 117.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 10.5N 119.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.1N 114.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 11.0N 121.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 12.5N 126.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102955-8757>; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 00:28:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA208570; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 11:23:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5881141 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 11:23:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA58278 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 11:23:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id LAA27617 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 11:23:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707121623.LAA27617@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Jul 1997 11:23:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [121621] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e7480918b0c9e33e7e3e1fd32bb40ec7 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1210 Status: OR 891 ABPZ20 KNHC 121621 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT JUL 12 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E LOCATED ABOUT 985 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHER TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CONTINUES ABOUT 1350 MILES TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. THE WMO HEADER FOR FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E IS WPTZ22 AND THE AFOS HEADER IS CCCTCMEP2. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102958-8757>; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 04:26:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA58286; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 15:21:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5882323 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 15:21:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA173722 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 15:21:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA00023 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 15:21:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707122021.PAA00023@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Jul 1997 15:21:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Enrique Discussion Number 2 [122021] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5a6a9a973bec8689b24d52e531e7c6b9 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1767 Status: OR 312 WTPZ42 KNHC 122021 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT JUL 12 1997 SATELLITE IMAGES CONTINUE TO SHOW THAT THE SYSTEM IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AND T-NUMBERS ARE UP TO 3.0 AND 2.5. WE ARE UPGRADING THE SYSTEM TO TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE AT THIS TIME. OUTFLOW CONTINUES TO BE EXCELLENT AND THERE IS A WELL DEFINED CURVED BAND WRAPPING AROUND THE STORM. ENRIQUE IS LOCATED OVER A WARM OCEAN AND UNDER A LIGHT SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. THEREFORE...ENRIQUE SHOULD BE A HURRICANE IN A DAY OR SO. INITIAL MOTION IS 290/12. MODELS SUGGEST A WEST NORTHWEST TRACK THROUGH 72 HOURS MAINLY BECAUSE THERE IS A RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE STORM. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST GOES ALONG WITH MODELS BUT IS SOMEWHAT TO THE LEFT OF THE ENSEMBLE TO FOLLOW CLIMATOLOGY. ONCE AGAIN...AVN AND UK MODELS INITIALIZE AND DEVELOP A STORM IN THE WRONG PLACE...NEAR 7N AND 100W. THERE IS ONLY JUST A HINT OF AN INVERTED TROUGH WHERE ENRIQUE IS LOCATED. NOGAPS SEEMS TO BE DOING VERY GOOD. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/2100Z 9.6N 114.9W 40 KTS 12HR VT 13/0600Z 10.3N 116.5W 50 KTS 24HR VT 13/1800Z 11.0N 118.5W 60 KTS 36HR VT 14/0600Z 12.0N 121.0W 70 KTS 48HR VT 14/1800Z 13.0N 124.0W 80 KTS 72HR VT 15/1800Z 15.0N 130.0W 85 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102958-8757>; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 04:29:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA264622; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 15:24:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5882351 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 15:24:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA82788 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 15:24:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA00039 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 15:24:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707122024.PAA00039@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Jul 1997 15:24:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Enrique Forecast/advisory Number 2 [122022] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c81808a7c199d32edff83072d7a01476 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1852 Status: OR 317 WTPZ22 KNHC 122022 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0797 2100Z SAT JUL 12 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.6N 114.9W AT 12/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.6N 114.9W AT 12/2100Z AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.4N 114.3W FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 10.3N 116.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 11.0N 118.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 70 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 12.0N 121.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.6N 114.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 13.0N 124.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 15.0N 130.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102251-263>; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 06:20:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA155964; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 17:09:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5882906 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 17:09:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA181290 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 17:09:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id RAA01110 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 17:09:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707122209.RAA01110@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Jul 1997 17:09:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [122207] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 06f20536c7df8e544b71569dda9abaa6 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1207 Status: OR 611 ABPZ20 KNHC 122207 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT JUL 12 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY UPGRADED TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. THE WMO HEADER FOR FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE IS WPTZ22 AND THE AFOS HEADER IS CCCTCMEP2. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102412-263>; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 11:16:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA64332; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 22:10:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5884489 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 22:10:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA23862 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 22:10:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id WAA03740 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 22:10:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707130310.WAA03740@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Jul 1997 22:10:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Enrique Forecast/advisory Number 3 [130310] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0cf44f5702ef4ee68e28c51d2a7c0623 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1887 Status: OR 753 WTPZ22 KNHC 130310 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0797 0300Z SUN JUL 13 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 117.1W AT 13/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 117.1W AT 13/0300Z AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 116.3W FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 11.0N 119.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 12.0N 122.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 76 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 12.9N 124.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.3N 117.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 14.0N 127.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 17.0N 132.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102421-12617>; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 11:15:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA181378; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 22:10:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5884498 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 22:10:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA134256 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 22:10:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id WAA03744 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 22:10:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707130310.WAA03744@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Jul 1997 22:10:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Enrique Discussion Number 3 [130310] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: be2256f619e7c9626411472899fd2d81 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1435 Status: OR 754 WTPZ42 KNHC 130310 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT JUL 12 1997 TDHE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 290/14. THE LATEST GUIDANCE SHIFTS THE TRACK SLIGHTLY MORE NORTHWARD AS A SLIGHT WEAKNESS IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH OT THE STORM TRACK AND THE OFFICIAL TRACK IS SLIGHTLY TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. THE INITIAL WIND SPEED IS INCREASED TO 45 KNOTS AND CONTINUED STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY. THE DEEP CONVECTION BANDING IS WELL ORGANIZED AND IS LARGE AND ENRIQUE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE IN A DAY OR TWO. THE LARGE BANDING IS A BASIS FOR INCREASING THE 34 KNOT WIND RADII TO 100 N. MI. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/0300Z 10.3N 117.1W 45 KTS 12HR VT 13/1200Z 11.0N 119.1W 55 KTS 24HR VT 14/0000Z 12.0N 122.0W 65 KTS 36HR VT 14/1200Z 12.9N 124.8W 75 KTS 48HR VT 15/0000Z 14.0N 127.9W 75 KTS 72HR VT 16/0000Z 17.0N 132.0W 75 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102405-12617>; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 11:30:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA199422; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 22:25:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5884532 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 22:25:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA199396 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 22:25:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id WAA03838 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 22:25:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707130325.WAA03838@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Jul 1997 22:25:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Enrique Discussion Number 3 [130324] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 83479d3bab94d6f4ec36adda18280c44 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1435 Status: OR 010 WTPZ42 KNHC 130324 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT JUL 12 1997 TDHE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 290/14. THE LATEST GUIDANCE SHIFTS THE TRACK SLIGHTLY MORE NORTHWARD AS A SLIGHT WEAKNESS IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH OT THE STORM TRACK AND THE OFFICIAL TRACK IS SLIGHTLY TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. THE INITIAL WIND SPEED IS INCREASED TO 45 KNOTS AND CONTINUED STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY. THE DEEP CONVECTION BANDING IS WELL ORGANIZED AND IS LARGE AND ENRIQUE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE IN A DAY OR TWO. THE LARGE BANDING IS A BASIS FOR INCREASING THE 34 KNOT WIND RADII TO 100 N. MI. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/0300Z 10.3N 117.0W 45 KTS 12HR VT 13/1200Z 11.0N 119.1W 55 KTS 24HR VT 14/0000Z 12.0N 122.0W 65 KTS 36HR VT 14/1200Z 12.9N 124.8W 75 KTS 48HR VT 15/0000Z 14.0N 127.9W 75 KTS 72HR VT 16/0000Z 17.0N 132.0W 75 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102346-263>; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 11:30:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA199190; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 22:25:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5884537 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 22:25:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA33522 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 22:25:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id WAA03841 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 22:25:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707130325.WAA03841@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Jul 1997 22:25:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Enrique Forecast/advisory Number 3 [130324] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 34aa456b4f899e5e8dfc7fe548c9472d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1887 Status: OR 011 WTPZ22 KNHC 130324 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0797 0300Z SUN JUL 13 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 117.0W AT 13/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 117.0W AT 13/0300Z AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 116.3W FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 11.0N 119.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 12.0N 122.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 12.9N 124.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.3N 117.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 14.0N 127.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 17.0N 132.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102469-263>; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 12:45:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA32858; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 23:40:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5884965 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 23:40:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA181318 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 23:40:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id XAA04486 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 23:40:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707130440.XAA04486@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Jul 1997 23:40:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [130439] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: da97229b668a13efe7dcc7432639c165 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1190 Status: OR 005 ABPZ20 KNHC 130439 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT JUL 12 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. THE WMO HEADER FOR FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE IS WPTZ22 AND THE AFOS HEADER IS CCCTCMEP2. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102654-12617>; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 16:41:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA155970; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 03:32:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5885770 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 03:32:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA64286 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 03:32:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA08067 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 03:32:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707130832.DAA08067@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Jul 1997 03:32:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Enrique Forecast/advisory Number 4 [130831] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fdfab16e7fce0541bbd26854d2468c60 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1952 Status: OR 237 WTPZ22 KNHC 130831 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0797 0900Z SUN JUL 13 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 118.1W AT 13/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 118.1W AT 13/0900Z AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 117.4W FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 12.1N 119.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 13.4N 122.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 14.8N 124.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.2N 118.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 16.2N 127.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 19.0N 132.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102647-12617>; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 16:38:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA210782; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 03:32:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5885775 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 03:32:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA64296 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 03:32:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA08070 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 03:32:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707130832.DAA08070@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Jul 1997 03:32:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Enrique Discussion Number 4 [130832] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 74870dbb56f55224859a792bbe0872a4 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1715 Status: OR 238 WTPZ42 KNHC 130832 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN JUL 13 1997 ENRIQUE CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY WITH WELL-ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING AND GOOD UPPER-TROPOSPHERIC OUTFLOW OVER ALL QUADRANTS. USING THE CURVED BAND PATTERN WITH THE DVORAK TECHNIQUE YIELDS A T- NUMBER OF 3.5...CORRESPONDING TO 55 KNOTS. FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST. THE CYCLONE WILL LIKELY REACH HURRICANE STRENGTH LATER TODAY. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE...300/14...IS A LITTLE TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. THE LATEST AVN MODEL RUN SHOWS A DEEP-LAYER CYCLONIC CIRCULATION DEVELOPING BETWEEN 20N-35N AND 120W-140W. IF THIS FEATURE VERIFIES...ENRIQUE SHOULD TURN MORE NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MOST OF THE DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE SHOWS THIS MORE NORTHWESTWARD MOTION. THEREFORE A FURTHER NORTHWARD ADJUSTMENT TO THE TRACK FORECAST IS MADE...ALBEIT NOT AS FAR NORTH AS SOME OF THE MODEL TRACKS. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/0900Z 11.2N 118.1W 55 KTS 12HR VT 13/1800Z 12.1N 119.8W 65 KTS 24HR VT 14/0600Z 13.4N 122.2W 70 KTS 36HR VT 14/1800Z 14.8N 124.8W 75 KTS 48HR VT 15/0600Z 16.2N 127.2W 75 KTS 72HR VT 16/0600Z 19.0N 132.0W 75 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102294-12617>; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 18:38:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA33348; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 05:31:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5886014 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 05:31:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA146480 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 05:31:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id FAA08916 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 05:31:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707131031.FAA08916@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Jul 1997 05:31:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [131030] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f47555255b953ed4e04d8b55579b3f98 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1100 Status: OR 712 ABPZ20 KNHC 131030 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN JUL 13 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE LOCATED ABOUT 970 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS MONITORING AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. THE WMO HEADER FOR FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE IS WPTZ22 AND THE AFOS HEADER IS CCCTCMEP2. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102543-12617>; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 22:39:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA32938; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 09:34:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5886742 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 09:34:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA156056 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 09:34:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA10643 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 09:34:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707131434.JAA10643@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Jul 1997 09:34:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Enrique Discussion Number 6 [131434] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b9dc462008d170473ea7db3fdf3645d9 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1612 Status: OR 296 WTPZ42 KNHC 131434 TCDEP2 HURRICANE ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN JUL 13 1997 SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN INCREASE IN BANDING FEATURES ASSOCIATED WITH ENRIQUE AND THE CYCLONE IS UPGRADED TO A 65 KNOT HURRICANE ...IN AGREEMENT WITH LATEST ESTIMATES FROM SAB AND TAFB. THE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS STILL IMPRESSIVE AND CONTINUED STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY WHILE THE SYSTEM REMAINS OVER WARM WATER. AN EYE COULD WELL APPEAR LATER TODAY. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 300/16. THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL LOW SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY IN THE VICINITY OF 30N130W WILL WEAKEN THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF ENRIQUE. THE RESULT WILL BE A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH TIME. CURRENT TRACK IS AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. IT IS NOTED THAT SOME OF THE MODELS TURN ENRIQUE EVEN MORE TOWARD THE NORTH AFTER 48 HOURS MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/1500Z 12.0N 119.8W 65 KTS 12HR VT 14/0000Z 13.2N 121.9W 75 KTS 24HR VT 14/1200Z 14.6N 124.5W 85 KTS 36HR VT 15/0000Z 16.0N 126.8W 85 KTS 48HR VT 15/1200Z 17.5N 129.0W 80 KTS 72HR VT 16/1200Z 21.0N 133.0W 70 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102519-12617>; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 22:40:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA23836; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 09:35:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5886751 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 09:35:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA239622 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 09:35:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA10674 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 09:35:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707131435.JAA10674@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Jul 1997 09:35:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Enrique Forecast/advisory Number 6 [131435] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e1b8e155f9aa4965d15f5617d3d8ed95 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1981 Status: OR 297 WTPZ22 KNHC 131435 TCMEP2 HURRICANE ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0797 1500Z SUN JUL 13 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 119.8W AT 13/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW 34 KT.......125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 119.8W AT 13/1500Z AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 119.1W FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 13.2N 121.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 14.6N 124.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.0N 126.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N 119.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 17.5N 129.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 21.0N 133.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102523-12617>; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 23:18:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA81272; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 10:12:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5887119 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 10:12:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA239718 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 10:12:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id KAA11053 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 10:12:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707131512.KAA11053@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Jul 1997 10:12:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Enrique Forecast/advisory Number 5 [131512] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7e665e1cc00b0cff2269fe02f294ee8a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2022 Status: OR 720 WTPZ22 KNHC 131512 COR TCMEP2 HURRICANE ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0797 1500Z SUN JUL 13 1997 ...CORRECTED FOR ADVISORY NUMBER... HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 119.8W AT 13/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW 34 KT.......125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 119.8W AT 13/1500Z AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 119.1W FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 13.2N 121.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 14.6N 124.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.0N 126.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW 34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N 119.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 17.5N 129.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 21.0N 133.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102647-12617>; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 23:18:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA81306; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 10:12:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5887124 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 10:12:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA81288 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 10:12:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id KAA11056 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 10:12:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707131512.KAA11056@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Jul 1997 10:12:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Enrique Discussion Number 5 [131511] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 08518e37c1a7d6e32e665c87cc8f8b2e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1652 Status: OR 745 WTPZ42 KNHC 131511 COR TCDEP2 HURRICANE ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN JUL 13 1997 ...CORRECTED FOR ADVISORY NUMBER... SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN INCREASE IN BANDING FEATURES ASSOCIATED WITH ENRIQUE AND THE CYCLONE IS UPGRADED TO A 65 KNOT HURRICANE ...IN AGREEMENT WITH LATEST ESTIMATES FROM SAB AND TAFB. THE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS STILL IMPRESSIVE AND CONTINUED STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY WHILE THE SYSTEM REMAINS OVER WARM WATER. AN EYE COULD WELL APPEAR LATER TODAY. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 300/16. THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL LOW SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY IN THE VICINITY OF 30N130W WILL WEAKEN THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF ENRIQUE. THE RESULT WILL BE A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH TIME. CURRENT TRACK IS AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. IT IS NOTED THAT SOME OF THE MODELS TURN ENRIQUE EVEN MORE TOWARD THE NORTH AFTER 48 HOURS MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/1500Z 12.0N 119.8W 65 KTS 12HR VT 14/0000Z 13.2N 121.9W 75 KTS 24HR VT 14/1200Z 14.6N 124.5W 85 KTS 36HR VT 15/0000Z 16.0N 126.8W 85 KTS 48HR VT 15/1200Z 17.5N 129.0W 80 KTS 72HR VT 16/1200Z 21.0N 133.0W 70 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102543-12617>; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 00:37:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA249786; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 11:32:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5887593 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 11:32:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA32896 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 11:31:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id LAA11773 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 11:31:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707131631.LAA11773@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Jul 1997 11:32:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [131631] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b527bf3eeb2f6f653b079a1580febfa7 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1110 Status: OR 951 ABPZ20 KNHC 131631 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN JUL 13 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE ENRIQUE LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED OVER A RELATIVELY LARGE AREA CENTERED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THIS ACTIVITY APPEARS DISORGANIZED AT THIS TIME...BUT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102779-12617>; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 04:46:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA32880; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 15:40:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5888722 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 15:40:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA23892 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 15:40:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA14479 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 15:40:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707132040.PAA14479@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Jul 1997 15:40:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Enrique Discussion Number 6 [132040] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fa5a033e0e8d40043b87b9e73545803a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2012 Status: OR 355 WTPZ42 KNHC 132040 TCDEP2 HURRICANE ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN JUL 13 1997 AN EYE IS EVIDENT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY...EMBEDDED WITHIN THE CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST. INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 90 KNOTS... IN AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM BOTH SAB AND TAFB. THE OBJECTIVE T NUMBERS...BASED ON THE WARM EYE TEMPERATURE AND THE COLDEST SURROUNDING RING TEMPERATURE...PEAKED JUST BEFORE 1800Z DUE TO WEAKENING OF THE DEEP CONVECTION ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE EYE. HOWEVER...THE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS STILL IMPRESSIVE AND THE SYSTEM IS OVER WARM WATER...SO ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE MOVING OVER COOLER WATER. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 300/16. THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL LOW SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY IN THE VICINITY OF 28N132W WILL WEAKEN THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF ENRIQUE. THE RESULT WILL BE A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH TIME. CURRENT TRACK IS AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. IT IS NOTED THAT SOME OF THE MODELS TURN ENRIQUE EVEN MORE TOWARD THE NORTH AFTER 48 HOURS...IN RESPONSE TO THE UPPER LOW. THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND RADII ARE INCREASED SOMEWHAT BASED ON LATEST INTERPRETATION OF THE SSM/I IMAGERY FROM THE AIR FORCE GLOBAL WEATHER CENTER. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/2100Z 12.9N 121.1W 90 KTS 12HR VT 14/0600Z 14.1N 123.3W 95 KTS 24HR VT 14/1800Z 15.5N 125.8W 100 KTS 36HR VT 15/0600Z 17.0N 128.0W 100 KTS 48HR VT 15/1800Z 18.5N 130.0W 90 KTS 72HR VT 16/1800Z 22.5N 133.5W 70 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102782-12617>; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 04:55:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA81308; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 15:50:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5888759 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 15:50:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA156082 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 15:41:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA14511 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 15:41:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707132041.PAA14511@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Jul 1997 15:50:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Enrique Forecast/advisory Number 6 [132040] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 36d17e24b2ddf07aef847c015168b909 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1981 Status: OR 356 WTPZ22 KNHC 132040 TCMEP2 HURRICANE ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0797 2100Z SUN JUL 13 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 121.1W AT 13/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 121.1W AT 13/2100Z AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 120.4W FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 14.1N 123.3W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 15.5N 125.8W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.0N 128.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N 121.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 18.5N 130.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 22.5N 133.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102148-15796>; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 07:14:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA134152; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 18:09:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5889221 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 18:09:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id SAA228332 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 18:09:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id SAA16148 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 18:08:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707132308.SAA16148@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Jul 1997 18:09:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [132306] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4771684c70c371446c3c6702e8da5c5f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1034 Status: OR 049 ABPZ20 KNHC 132306 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN JUL 13 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE ENRIQUE LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THIS WEATHER HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102696-15796>; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 10:27:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA81166; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 21:20:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5890138 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 21:20:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA33530 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 21:20:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA18157 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 21:20:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707140220.VAA18157@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Jul 1997 21:20:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Enrique Discussion Number 7 [140220] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5851c4427769a9fbb4a80267d88c0ef6 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1344 Status: OR 129 WTPZ42 KNHC 140220 TCDEP2 HURRICANE ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN JUL 13 1997 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 300/15. MANY OF THE MODELS SHOW A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH OVER THE NEXT 72 HOURS AS A MID TROPOSPHERIC LOW TO THE NORTH OF THE HURRICANE INFLUENCES ITS MOTION. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SHIFTED TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST MAINLY AFTER 48 HOURS. THE LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT STRENGTHENING HAS PEAKED AT LEAST FOR A WHILE. SOME INTENSIFICATION IS LIKELY UNTIL ENRIQUE ENCOUNTERS COLDER WATER AFTER 48 HOURS. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/0300Z 13.5N 122.2W 90 KTS 12HR VT 14/1200Z 14.3N 124.1W 95 KTS 24HR VT 15/0000Z 16.2N 126.7W 95 KTS 36HR VT 15/1200Z 18.3N 129.0W 95 KTS 48HR VT 16/0000Z 20.5N 130.5W 90 KTS 72HR VT 17/0000Z 24.0N 131.0W 60 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102496-15796>; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 10:27:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA82744; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 21:21:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5890143 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 21:21:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA234530 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 21:21:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA18161 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 21:21:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707140221.VAA18161@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Jul 1997 21:21:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Enrique Forecast/advisory Number 7 [140221] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ff3146fc98f155f9853a024e3dbd98ab X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1981 Status: OR 130 WTPZ22 KNHC 140221 TCMEP2 HURRICANE ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0797 0300Z MON JUL 14 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 122.2W AT 14/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 122.2W AT 14/0300Z AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 121.5W FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 14.3N 124.1W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.2N 126.7W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.3N 129.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N 122.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 20.5N 130.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 24.0N 131.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 13:25:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102818-15796>; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 12:21:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA191468; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 23:13:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5890753 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 23:12:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA32972 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 23:12:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id XAA19229 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 23:12:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707140412.XAA19229@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Jul 1997 23:12:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [140411] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8ca2c7bb62ce1bc8192ae2c29e716aeb X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1042 Status: OR 691 ABPZ20 KNHC 140411 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN JUL 13 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE ENRIQUE LOCATED ABOUT 1025 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 22:41:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102954-15796>; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 16:45:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA181402; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 03:38:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5891622 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 03:38:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA64352 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 03:37:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA23206 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 03:37:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707140837.DAA23206@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 03:38:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Enrique Forecast/advisory Number 8 [140837] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7fd3e391d487e56f3c0eaaccbfb53f98 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Status: OR 493 WTPZ22 KNHC 140837 TCMEP2 HURRICANE ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0797 0900Z MON JUL 14 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 122.9W AT 14/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 122.9W AT 14/0900Z AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 122.4W FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 15.3N 124.6W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 16.9N 126.8W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.7N 128.8W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 122.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 20.5N 130.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 23.5N 132.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 22:41:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102678-15796>; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 16:51:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA45876; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 03:42:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5891627 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 03:41:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA24350 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 03:41:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA23232 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 03:41:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707140841.DAA23232@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 03:41:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Enrique Discussion Number 8 [140842] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 68d5f01eda7e247b466882943491ef4c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 543 WTPZ42 KNHC 140842 TCDEP2 HURRICANE ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON JUL 14 1997 ENRIQUE HAS TURNED TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND SLOWED ITS FORWARD SPEED SLIGHTLY. MOTION IS NOW ABOUT 305/13. THE HURRICANE IS RESPONDING TO A MID/UPPER-LEVEL CYCLONE CLEARLY SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CENTERED NEAR 26N 131W. THE LATEST AVN FORECAST SHOWS THIS LOW GRADUALLY WEAKENING AND OPENING UP INTO A TROUGH IN THE LATTER PART OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE CURRENT OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ONE...SHOWING A GRADUAL TURN TO THE RIGHT. HOWEVER I HAVE NOT SHOWN QUITE AS MUCH OF A NORTHWARD TURN AT THE END OF THE PERIOD BECAUSE BOTH ENRIQUE AND THE MID/UPPER CYCLONE ARE LIKELY TO WEAKEN...AND THE WEAKENED ENRIQUE MAY RESPOND MORE TO LOW/MID-LEVEL STEERING BY THAT TIME. THE 72-HOUR FORECAST POINT IS VERY CLOSE TO THAT SHOWN BY THE MEDIUM-DEPTH BAM. THE EYE IS NOT VERY WELL DEFINED AT THIS TIME. INTENSITY IS HELD AT 90 KNOTS AS PER SATELLITE ESTIMATES. THE HIGH CLOUD PATTERN IS BECOMING ELONGATED TO THE NORTH AND THE OUTFLOW IS NOT AS SYMMETRIC AS IT WAS 24 HOURS AGO. NO FURTHER INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST...AND WEAKENING SHOULD OCCUR WHEN ENRIQUE ENCOUNTERS COOLER WATERS NEAR 20N LATITUDE. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/0900Z 14.1N 122.9W 90 KTS 12HR VT 14/1800Z 15.3N 124.6W 90 KTS 24HR VT 15/0600Z 16.9N 126.8W 90 KTS 36HR VT 15/1800Z 18.7N 128.8W 90 KTS 48HR VT 16/0600Z 20.5N 130.5W 75 KTS 72HR VT 17/0600Z 23.5N 132.5W 60 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 22:41:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103080-15796>; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 18:37:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA74256; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 05:30:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5891841 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 05:29:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA191434 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 05:29:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id FAA24048 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 05:29:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707141029.FAA24048@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 05:29:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [141029] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 495cb852f8b645ac1d154de526feaa04 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 898 ABPZ20 KNHC 141029 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON JUL 14 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE ENRIQUE LOCATED ABOUT 1025 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED A LITTLE OVER 700 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED...AND IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 15 03:52:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103113-15796>; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 22:45:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA146624; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 09:37:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5893053 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 09:37:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA80034 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 09:37:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA27626 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 09:37:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707141437.JAA27626@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 09:37:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Enrique Discussion Number 9 [141437] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ec524e93a47bea20eca7749bce2a102d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Status: OR 509 WTPZ42 KNHC 141437 TCDEP2 HURRICANE ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT MON JUL 14 1997 THE EYE HAS DISAPPEARED DURING THE PAST HOUR AND THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS NOT AS SYMMETRIC AS YESTERDAY. IT APPEARS THAT ENRIQUE HAS PEAKED. INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS AT 90 KNOTS IN AGREEMENT WITH LATEST ESTIMATES FROM SAB...AFGWC...AND TAFB. THE CYCLONE WILL BEGIN WEAKENING AS IT MOVES OVER COOLER WATER AFTER ABOUT 12 HOURS. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 310/13. THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL LOW NEAR 27N 132W SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY IS EXPECTED TO TURN ENRIQUE A LITTLE MORE TOWARD THE NORTH LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. HOWEVER ...THE MID TO UPPER LOW IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS ENRIQUE WEAKENS AND THE LOW TO MID LEVEL FLOW MAY PROVIDE THE BEST STEERING LATER IN THE PERIOD. CURRENT TRACK IS AN UPDATE OF PREVIOUS PACKAGE AND IS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE MID LAYER BAM. THE DEEP LAYER BAM AND THE GFDL ARE TO THE RIGHT OF OUR TRACK WHILE THE SHALLOW BAM AND THE NAVY NOGAPS ARE TO THE LEFT. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/1500Z 15.1N 123.8W 90 KTS 12HR VT 15/0000Z 16.4N 125.3W 90 KTS 24HR VT 15/1200Z 18.1N 127.4W 85 KTS 36HR VT 16/0000Z 19.8N 129.5W 80 KTS 48HR VT 16/1200Z 21.5N 131.0W 70 KTS 72HR VT 17/1200Z 24.5N 132.5W 55 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 15 03:52:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103125-15796>; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 22:56:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA242394; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 09:48:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5893224 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 09:48:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA239722 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 09:39:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA27662 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 09:39:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707141439.JAA27662@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 09:48:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Enrique Forecast/advisory Number 9 [141438] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 39696f2d08d6a2ae059c6c2981339a15 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 510 WTPZ22 KNHC 141438 TCMEP2 HURRICANE ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0797 1500Z MON JUL 14 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 123.8W AT 14/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 123.8W AT 14/1500Z AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 123.4W FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.4N 125.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.1N 127.4W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 19.8N 129.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 123.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 21.5N 131.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 24.5N 132.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 15 03:52:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103117-15796>; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 23:03:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA58462; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 09:55:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5893423 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 09:55:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA55112 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 09:55:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA28227 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 09:55:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707141455.JAA28227@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 09:55:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Enrique Forecast/advisory Number 9 [141453] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fdf63f1514c782449957c4b21ac3e5ad X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 724 WTPZ22 KNHC 141453 COR TCMEP2 HURRICANE ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0797 1500Z MON JUL 14 1997 ...CORRECTED FOR RADIUS OF 12 FT SEAS... HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 123.8W AT 14/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 275NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 123.8W AT 14/1500Z AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 123.4W FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.4N 125.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.1N 127.4W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 19.8N 129.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 123.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 21.5N 131.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 24.5N 132.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 15 03:52:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102859-15796>; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 00:28:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA242226; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 11:20:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5894270 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 11:20:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA57632 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 11:20:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id LAA00712 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 11:20:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707141620.LAA00712@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 11:20:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [141616] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f9b42e56dca7c04fa75aca8b4ad445d9 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Status: OR 887 ABPZ20 KNHC 141616 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON JUL 14 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE ENRIQUE LOCATED ABOUT 1075 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E LOCATED ABOUT 875 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. THE WMO HEADER FOR FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E IS WPTZ23 AND THE AFOS HEADER IS CCCTCMEP3. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 15 03:52:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103111-15796>; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 01:05:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAB120384; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 11:58:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5894622 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 11:58:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA245288 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 11:58:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id LAA00386 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 11:09:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707141609.LAA00386@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 11:58:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Eight-e Special Discussion Number 1 [141608] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3264d836c847aa493c54fd9c18f3a931 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Status: OR 727 WTPZ43 KNHC 141608 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 9 AM PDT MON JUL 14 1997 THE DISTURBANCE SOUTH OF BAJA HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A BANDING TYPE PATTERN AND INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 30 KNOTS WHICH IS A COMPROMISE AMONG VARIOUS SATELLITE ESTIMATES. THE SYSTEM IS OVER WARM WATER BUT THE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS NOT WELL ESTABLISHED AT THIS TIME. ALSO... THE INFLOW INTO ENRIQUE COULD RETARD DEVELOPMENT SOMEWHAT. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH SHIFOR. THE CENTER IS NOT WELL DEFINED...AND THERE MAY BE SOME ADJUSTMENT NEEDED IN THE NEXT ADVISORY. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 280/13. AT THIS TIME...ALL GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING WILL CONTINUE MOVING THE DEPRESSION TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST NORTHWEST AND NORTH TURN IT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST INTO THE WAKE OF ENRIQUE. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/1600Z 10.2N 109.8W 30 KTS 12HR VT 15/0000Z 10.6N 111.5W 40 KTS 24HR VT 15/1200Z 11.1N 114.3W 45 KTS 36HR VT 16/0000Z 11.7N 117.2W 50 KTS 48HR VT 16/1200Z 12.3N 120.3W 55 KTS 72HR VT 17/1200Z 13.5N 127.0W 65 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 15 03:52:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102860-15796>; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 01:05:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA120408; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 11:58:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5894627 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 11:58:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA245294 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 11:58:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id LAA00354 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 11:08:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707141608.LAA00354@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 11:58:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Eight-e Special Forecast/advisory Number 1 [141608] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3dded78b2ccfec926f97ef88a5202495 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 709 WTPZ23 KNHC 141608 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0897 1600Z MON JUL 14 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.2N 109.8W AT 14/1600Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.2N 109.8W AT 14/1600Z AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.1N 109.0W FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 10.6N 111.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 11.1N 114.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 11.7N 117.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.2N 109.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 12.3N 120.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 13.5N 127.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 15 09:56:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102860-15796>; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 04:41:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA129394; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:33:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5897233 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:32:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA146574 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:30:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA07787 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:30:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707142030.PAA07787@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:32:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Test Forecast/advisory Number 2 [142031] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c4b1431859792fd7b7c8a0d83443e4fa X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1681 Status: OR 586 WTPZ23 KNHC 142031 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEST FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0897 2100Z MON JUL 14 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 110.6W AT 14/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 110.6W AT 14/2100Z AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 110.0W FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 11.0N 112.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 11.6N 114.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 12.1N 117.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.6N 110.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 12.6N 120.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 13.5N 127.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z LYONS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 15 09:56:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103132-15796>; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 04:52:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA181292; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:44:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5897415 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:44:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA117858 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:43:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA08148 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:43:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707142043.PAA08148@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:44:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Enrique Forecast/advisory Number 10 [142039] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 211ec588be333a9e3a95c2c069e9a4a4 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2023 Status: OR 649 WTPZ22 KNHC 142039 COR TCMEP2 HURRICANE ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0797 2100Z MON JUL 14 1997 ...CORRECTION FOR RADIUS OF 12 FT SEAS... HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 125.0W AT 14/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 300NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 125.0W AT 14/2100Z AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 124.5W FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.1N 126.7W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.7N 128.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 20.5N 130.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 125.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 22.0N 132.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 24.0N 134.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 15 09:56:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103132-15796>; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 04:55:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA208268; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:44:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5897422 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:44:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA64380 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:43:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA08151 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:43:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707142043.PAA08151@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:44:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Test Discussion Number 2 [142040] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a21cca97a66a7ed4e13c2cc6ee0fb11b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1980 Status: OR 650 WTPZ43 KNHC 142040 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEST DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON JUL 14 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E ABOUT 760 NM SOUTH OF BAJA CALIFORNIA CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF VERY SLOW DEVELOPMENT. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS BANDING TYPE CONVECTION MOST OBVIOUS ON THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION. SATELLITE CLASSIFICATION ESTIMATES OF 30 TO 35 KT REFLECT A SLOW DEVELOPMENT TREND. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO TRACK OVER WARM WATER BUT INFLOW OF WARM MOIST AIR FROM THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST IS BEING DISRUPTED BY STRONGER INFLOW INTO HURRICANE ENRIQUE. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW OVER THE CIRCULATION REMAINS POOR. THE COMBINATION OF THESE EFFECTS IS LIKELY TO KEEP THE DEVELOPMENT TREND SLOW FOR THE NEXT 18 TO 24 HOURS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY HAS PROVIDED A FAIR ESTIMATE OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER WHICH REMAINS NON DISTINCT. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 290/12. ALL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN CLOSE AGREEMENT THROUGH 36 HOURS INDICATING A CONTINUED WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ALONG 130W IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS AND COULD PROVIDE STEERING MORE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IN TWO DAYS...RESULTING IN A TRACK FOLLOWING HURRICANE ENRIQUE. LYONS FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/2100Z 10.6N 110.6W 30 KTS 12HR VT 15/0600Z 11.0N 112.4W 35 KTS 24HR VT 15/1800Z 11.6N 114.9W 45 KTS 36HR VT 16/0600Z 12.1N 117.7W 50 KTS 48HR VT 16/1800Z 12.6N 120.7W 55 KTS 72HR VT 17/1800Z 13.5N 127.0W 65 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 15 09:56:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102860-15796>; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 04:57:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA173648; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:49:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5897502 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:49:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA232638 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:36:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA07984 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:36:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707142036.PAA07984@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:49:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Enrique Discussion Number 10 [142036] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0277ae06f8d45c1875d05ca78eb543ed X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1867 Status: OR 626 WTPZ42 KNHC 142036 TCDEP2 HURRICANE ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON JUL 14 1997 THE EYE HAS REAPPEARED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 90 KNOTS IN AGREEMENT WITH SATELLITE ESTIMATES FROM SAB AND AFGWC. HOWEVER...THE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS NOT AS SYMMETRIC AS 24 HOURS AGO AND THE CIRCULATION IS ALREADY INVOLVED WITH THE STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS TO THE WEST. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS IN AGREEMENT WITH GUIDANCE FROM CLIMATOLOGY. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE REMAINS 310/13. THERE IS CONSIDERABLE DISAGREEMENT IN THE MODEL GUIDANCE. THE DEEP LAYER BAM RECURVES THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN RESPONSE TO THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL LOW SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY IN THE VICINITY OF 25N132W. HOWEVER...THIS LOW IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES WESTWARD. SINCE OUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL ALSO BE WEAKENING...OUR OFFICIAL TRACK IS CLOSER TO THE LOWER LAYER BAM AND IS CONSISTENT WITH THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. ALTHOUGH ENRIQUE IS GOING TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES OVER COOLER WATER... IT IS NOT GOING TO DISSIPATE BY 1200Z ON 15 JULY AS INDICATED BY THE UKMET MODEL. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/2100Z 15.9N 125.0W 90 KTS 12HR VT 15/0600Z 17.1N 126.7W 85 KTS 24HR VT 15/1800Z 18.7N 128.5W 80 KTS 36HR VT 16/0600Z 20.5N 130.5W 70 KTS 48HR VT 16/1800Z 22.0N 132.0W 60 KTS 72HR VT 17/1800Z 24.0N 134.5W 50 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 15 09:56:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103132-15796>; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 04:58:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA229308; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:49:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5897520 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:49:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA124350 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:37:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA08021 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:37:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707142037.PAA08021@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:49:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Enrique Forecast/advisory Number 10 [142037] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6582b8bfdbb8867ab461d1d5d21bd5fb X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1976 Status: OR 637 WTPZ22 KNHC 142037 TCMEP2 HURRICANE ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0797 2100Z MON JUL 14 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 125.0W AT 14/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 125.0W AT 14/2100Z AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 124.5W FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.1N 126.7W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.7N 128.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 20.5N 130.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 125.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 22.0N 132.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 24.0N 134.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 15 09:57:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103132-15796>; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 04:58:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA236150; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:51:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5897554 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:51:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA121874 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:51:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA08348 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:51:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707142051.PAA08348@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:51:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Eight Discussion Number 2 [142050] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4f921eedb5959fb5133a037f7fc16908 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2035 Status: OR 754 WTPZ43 KNHC 142050 COR TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON JUL 14 1997 ,,,CORRECTION FOR DEPRESSION NUMBER IN HEADER... TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E ABOUT 760 NM SOUTH OF BAJA CALIFORNIA CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF VERY SLOW DEVELOPMENT. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS BANDING TYPE CONVECTION MOST OBVIOUS ON THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION. SATELLITE CLASSIFICATION ESTIMATES OF 30 TO 35 KT REFLECT A SLOW DEVELOPMENT TREND. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO TRACK OVER WARM WATER BUT INFLOW OF WARM MOIST AIR FROM THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST IS BEING DISRUPTED BY STRONGER INFLOW INTO HURRICANE ENRIQUE. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW OVER THE CIRCULATION REMAINS POOR. THE COMBINATION OF THESE EFFECTS IS LIKELY TO KEEP THE DEVELOPMENT TREND SLOW FOR THE NEXT 18 TO 24 HOURS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY HAS PROVIDED A FAIR ESTIMATE OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER WHICH REMAINS NON DISTINCT. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 290/12. ALL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN CLOSE AGREEMENT THROUGH 36 HOURS INDICATING A CONTINUED WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ALONG 130W IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS AND COULD PROVIDE STEERING MORE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IN TWO DAYS...RESULTING IN A TRACK FOLLOWING HURRICANE ENRIQUE. LYONS FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/2100Z 10.6N 110.6W 30 KTS 12HR VT 15/0600Z 11.0N 112.4W 35 KTS 24HR VT 15/1800Z 11.6N 114.9W 45 KTS 36HR VT 16/0600Z 12.1N 117.7W 50 KTS 48HR VT 16/1800Z 12.6N 120.7W 55 KTS 72HR VT 17/1800Z 13.5N 127.0W 65 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 15 09:57:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103251-15796>; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 05:02:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA33310; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:54:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5897579 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:54:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA38606 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:54:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA08446 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:54:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707142054.PAA08446@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:54:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Eight-e Forecast/advisory Number 2 [142053] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8a09675e4c30d43d99e9ed4ef9d12a80 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1747 Status: OR 771 WTPZ23 KNHC 142053 COR TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0897 2100Z MON JUL 14 1997 ...CORRECTION FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION NUMBER IN HEADER... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 110.6W AT 14/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 110.6W AT 14/2100Z AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 110.0W FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 11.0N 112.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 11.6N 114.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 12.1N 117.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.6N 110.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 12.6N 120.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 13.5N 127.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z LYONS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 15 09:57:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102175-10293>; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 06:48:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA262920; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 17:22:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5898465 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 17:22:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA236260 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 17:22:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id RAA10692 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 17:22:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707142222.RAA10692@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 17:22:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [142222] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9016c1ae4161adb8eac0e0abf7a18f2f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1069 Status: OR 026 ABPZ20 KNHC 142222 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON JUL 14 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE ENRIQUE LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E LOCATED ABOUT 830 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. THE WMO HEADER FOR FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E IS WPTZ23 AND THE AFOS HEADER IS CCCTCMEP3. GROSS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 15 11:16:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102693-10293>; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 11:14:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA226732; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 21:33:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5900374 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 21:33:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA145106 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 21:30:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA14065 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 21:30:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707150230.VAA14065@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 21:33:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Enrique Discussion Number 11 [150230] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fcb346313ad9bab938d1ea572317a02e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Status: OR 530 WTPZ42 KNHC 150230 TCDEP2 HURRICANE ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON JUL 14 1997 THE EYE REMAINED VISIBLE TO ABOUT 14/2300 SO THE 15/0000 POSITION IS ONLY SLIGHTLY LESS CERTAIN. THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 90 KNOTS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE AVERAGE OF SATELLITE ESTIMATES FROM TAFB...SAB AND AFGWC. THE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW CONTINUES BECOMING LESS SYMMETRIC AND THE LOWER LEVEL CIRCULATION IS INCORPORATING STRATOCUMULUS OVER THE WESTERN QUADRANTS. ALTHOUGH THE INTENSITY FORECAST AGREES WITH CLIMATOLOGY...IT IS ESTIMATED THAT ENRIQUE WILL CROSS THE 26 DEGREE SST ISOTHERM WITHIN THE NEXT SIX HOURS AND FASTER WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS SLIGHTLY MORE NORTHWARD AT 320/13 THEN PREVIOUSLY. THERE IS DISAGREEMENT WITH THE MODEL GUIDANCE WITH THE DYNAMIC AND DEEP MEAN LAYER MODELS TAKING THE SYSTEM NORTHWARD AND THEN RECURVING THE SYSTEM TO THE NORTHEAST. THIS IS IN RESPONSE TO THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL LOW LOCATED TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. GUIDANCE MODELS WHICH HAVE A CLIMATOLOGICAL COMPONENT OR ARE DRIVEN BY MID TO SHALLOW LAYERS OF THE ATMOSPHERE TEND TO MOVE THE SYSTEM MORE WESTWARD IN THE LATTER PERIODS. WE HAVE CHOSEN A MIDDLE...NORTHWESTERLY COURSE...BELIEVING THAT AS THE SYSTEM WEAKENS IT TURN MORE WESTWARD RATHER THAN EASTWARD. GROSS FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/0300Z 16.9N 126.0W 90 KTS 12HR VT 15/1200Z 18.4N 127.3W 85 KTS 24HR VT 16/0000Z 19.9N 129.1W 80 KTS 36HR VT 16/1200Z 21.4N 131.0W 70 KTS 48HR VT 17/0000Z 22.7N 132.6W 60 KTS 72HR VT 18/0000Z 24.4N 134.8W 45 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 15 11:16:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102563-10293>; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 10:42:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA58620; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 21:34:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5900381 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 21:34:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA45850 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 21:31:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA14070 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 21:31:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707150231.VAA14070@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 21:34:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Enrique Forecast/advisory Number 11 [150232] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8908baf7c7ae56987aac52efbc13273c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Status: OR 560 WTPZ22 KNHC 150232 TCMEP2 HURRICANE ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0797 0300Z TUE JUL 15 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 126.0W AT 15/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB EYE DIAMETER 45 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 300NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 126.0W AT 15/0300Z AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 125.5W FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.4N 127.3W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 19.9N 129.1W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 21.4N 131.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 126.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 22.7N 132.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 24.4N 134.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z GROSS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 15 11:16:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102648-10293>; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 11:00:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA122016; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 21:49:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5900560 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 21:48:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA251974 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 21:48:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA14375 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 21:48:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707150248.VAA14375@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 21:48:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Eight-e Discussion Number 3 [150249] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2d6d0378747dcd0270df67b40d978822 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Status: OR 782 WTPZ43 KNHC 150249 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON JUL 14 1997 THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF SLOW DEVELOPMENT. THE STRONGEST CONVECTIVE BAND REMAINS OVER WEST AND SOUTHWEST QUADRANTS. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE AT 30 TO 35 KT. IF CONVECTION WRAPS AROUND MORE OF THE CENTER AND BECOMES MORE PERSISTENT...THE SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM SOON. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE GENERALLY WESTWARD OVER WARM WATER AND AS ENRIQUE MOVES NORTHWARD WITH ITS EFFECTS DIMINISHING ON THIS SYSTEM...WE FORECAST HURRICANE STRENGTH FOR THIS SYSTEM IN 72 HOURS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY UP TO 00Z HAS PROVIDED A FAIR ESTIMATE OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. THE INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED AT 285/13...SLIGHTLY MORE WESTWARD THEN PREVIOUSLY. ALL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN CLOSE AGREEMENT AND INDICATES A WEST NORTHWEST TRACK. BECAUSE THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN THIS DIRECTION...WE HAVE SLOWED THE SYSTEM SLIGHTLY TO BE MORE IN CONSISTENT WITH NHC91 AND CLIPER...MODELS WHICH STATISTICALLY PROVIDE OUR BEST GUIDANCE ON LOW LATITUDE...WESTWARD MOVING STORMS. GROSS FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/0300Z 10.9N 112.0W 30 KTS 12HR VT 15/1200Z 11.3N 113.9W 35 KTS 24HR VT 16/0000Z 11.7N 116.6W 45 KTS 36HR VT 16/1200Z 12.2N 118.9W 50 KTS 48HR VT 17/0000Z 12.7N 121.3W 55 KTS 72HR VT 18/0000Z 13.3N 125.6W 65 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 15 11:16:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102358-10293>; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 11:03:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA208198; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 21:54:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5900608 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 21:54:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA251956 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 21:54:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA14429 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 21:54:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707150254.VAA14429@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 21:54:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Eight-e Forecast/advisory Number 3 [150252] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4142c9e15dd318fd71c66eb05a55b28f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Status: OR 835 WTPZ23 KNHC 150252 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0897 0300Z TUE JUL 15 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 112.0W AT 15/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 112.0W AT 15/0300Z AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 111.4W FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 11.3N 113.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 11.7N 116.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 12.2N 118.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.9N 112.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 12.7N 121.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 13.3N 125.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z GROSS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 15 13:11:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102378-10293>; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 13:03:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA65470; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 23:55:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5901263 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 23:55:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA239786 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 23:55:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id XAA15625 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 23:55:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707150455.XAA15625@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 23:55:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [150455] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d58df6decda3d6675c244b0841aaff4a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1083 Status: OR 463 ABPZ20 KNHC 150455 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON JUL 14 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE ENRIQUE LOCATED ABOUT 1150 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E LOCATED ABOUT 830 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE WMO HEADER FOR FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E IS WPTZ23 AND THE AFOS HEADER IS CCCTCMEP3. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jul 16 03:28:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103277-10293>; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 23:36:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA226702; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 10:25:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5903993 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 10:25:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA254558 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 10:25:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id KAA25856 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 10:25:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707151525.KAA25856@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Jul 1997 10:25:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Eight-e Forecast/advisory Number 5 [151454] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a07807685856ab886a16fe8915026b53 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1666 Status: OR 900 WTPZ23 KNHC 151454 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0897 1500Z TUE JUL 15 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 112.7W AT 15/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 112.7W AT 15/1500Z AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 112.3W FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 12.1N 114.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 12.7N 116.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 13.1N 118.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.8N 112.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 13.7N 121.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 14.5N 125.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jul 16 03:28:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102555-10293>; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 23:34:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA156088; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 10:25:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5904000 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 10:25:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA242300 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 10:25:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id KAA25863 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 10:25:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707151525.KAA25863@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Jul 1997 10:25:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Enrique Discussion Number 13 [151456] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 840daccac2954d3ee1ff013462133041 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1674 Status: OR 917 WTPZ42 KNHC 151456 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT TUE JUL 15 1997 ENRIQUE IS WEAKENING RAPIDLY IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF LOW SSTS AND WIND SHEAR. DEEP CONVECTION HAS ALMOST COMPLETELY DISAPPEARED. HENCE... ENRIQUE IS DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM STATUS. THE IR CLOUD PATTERN IS NOT VERY HELPFUL IN IDENTIFYING THE LOCATION OF THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. SOME REPOSITIONING MAY BE REQUIRED IN THE NEXT ADVISORY WHEN VISIBLE PICTURES WILL BE AVAILABLE. INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED AT 310/15 KT. MID AND HIGH-LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES STREAMING NORTHWARD...DRAWN AWAY FROM THE CENTER BY THE LOW ALOFT TO THE NW. AS ENRIQUE WEAKENS...THE IMPACT OF THIS LOW ON THE TRACK SHOULD DIMINISH. THE TRACK RESEMBLES THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND SHOWS A TRANSITION FROM DEEP TO SHALLOW STEERING...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE WNW AND THEN...PERHAPS...THE WEST. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/1500Z 19.0N 128.7W 60 KTS 12HR VT 16/0000Z 20.5N 130.4W 45 KTS 24HR VT 16/1200Z 21.7N 131.9W 35 KTS 36HR VT 17/0000Z 22.8N 133.4W 30 KTS 48HR VT 17/1200Z 23.6N 135.2W 25 KTS 72HR VT 18/1200Z 24.5N 137.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jul 16 03:28:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102487-10293>; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 23:35:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA266068; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 10:26:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5904018 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 10:26:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA242402 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 10:25:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id KAA25881 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 10:25:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707151525.KAA25881@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Jul 1997 10:26:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Enrique Forecast/advisory Number 13 [151457] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b59e6835906494055aa63bd09eb9d990 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1677 Status: OR 929 WTPZ22 KNHC 151457 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0797 1500Z TUE JUL 15 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 128.7W AT 15/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......150NE 125SE 100SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 125SE 100SW 125NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 128.7W AT 15/1500Z AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 128.1W FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 20.5N 130.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...100NE 75SE 50SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 21.7N 131.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 25NW FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 22.8N 133.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N 128.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 23.6N 135.2W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 24.5N 137.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jul 16 03:28:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102262-10293>; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 23:36:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA245414; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 10:26:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5904028 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 10:26:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA46056 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 10:25:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id KAA25859 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 10:25:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707151525.KAA25859@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Jul 1997 10:26:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Eight-e Discussion Number 5 [151454] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 18210643bd0f527c34f69e68c8ad3f57 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2073 Status: OR 915 WTPZ43 KNHC 151454 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT TUE JUL 15 1997 THE SYSTEM IS UNDER NORTHEASTERLY WIND SHEAR. SOME DEEP CONVECTION HAS REDEVELOPED NEAR THE CIRCULATION CENTER OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS AND SATELLITE CLASSIFICATIONS PUT THE CYCLONE AT THE THRESHOLD OF TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. FROM IR PICTURES...THE CENTER IS ESTIMATED TO BE MOVING TOWARD 285/8 KT WHICH IS SLOWER THAN PREVIOUSLY ANALYZED. THE FIRST TWO VISIBLE PICTURES HINT THAT THE CENTER MIGHT BE ABOUT 30 NM NE OF THAT SHOWN IN THIS ADVISORY. IF CONFIRMED IN ADDITIONAL PICTURES...A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED WITH LESS OF A WESTWARD COMPONENT WOULD BE APPROPRIATE. THE SHEAR IS IN PART DUE TO THE RELATIVELY CLOSE PROXIMITY OF ENRIQUE. AS ENRIQUE WEAKENS...THE INFLUENCE SHOULD WEAKEN AND THE TD IS THEN FORECAST TO INTENSIFY. THE 06Z AVN SHOWS A RIDGE BUILDING SOUTHWESTWARD FROM THE ANTICYCLONE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES. THE RIDGE WILL BE NORTH OF THE TD. THIS WOULD KEEP THE CYCLONE ON A W TO WNW TRACK WITH SOME ACCELERATION...AS SHOWN BY MOST OF THE GUIDANCE. OF COURSE...THIS CONTRADICTS THE CURRENT MORE NORTHWARD MOTION HINTED AT BY THE FIRST VISIBLE SATELLITE PICTURES. FOR NOW...THE NHC TRACK IS TOWARD THE WNW AND CLOSEST TO THE GFDL...BUT SLOWER. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/1500Z 11.8N 112.7W 30 KTS 12HR VT 16/0000Z 12.1N 114.0W 35 KTS 24HR VT 16/1200Z 12.7N 116.3W 40 KTS 36HR VT 17/0000Z 13.1N 118.6W 45 KTS 48HR VT 17/1200Z 13.7N 121.1W 55 KTS 72HR VT 18/1200Z 14.5N 125.5W 65 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jul 16 03:28:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103276-10293>; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 00:43:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA23926; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 11:35:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5904933 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 11:35:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA122202 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 11:35:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id LAA27889 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 11:35:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707151635.LAA27889@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Jul 1997 11:35:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [151630] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 71c38d1390127ca4919a507b47526495 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1034 Status: OR 315 ABPZ20 KNHC 151630 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE JUL 15 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE...RECENTLY DOWNGRADED FROM HURRICANE STATUS ...LOCATED ABOUT 1250 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E LOCATED ABOUT 775 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jul 16 07:40:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103299-10293>; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 05:01:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA136376; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 15:53:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5907484 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 15:52:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA64364 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 15:52:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA06866 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 15:52:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707152052.PAA06866@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Jul 1997 15:52:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Felicia Discussion Number 6 [152046] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 473e4aaf49e903cb9dc71715960a1cda X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1793 Status: OR 935 WTPZ43 KNHC 152046 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE JUL 15 1997 CONVECTION HAS BEEN TRANSIENT NEAR THE CIRCULATION CENTER. HOWEVER ...THE DVORAK TECHNIQUE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM ALL THREE CLASSIFICATION SITES SUPPORT UPGRADING THE CYCLONE TO TROPICAL STORM FELICIA. WINDS ARE SET AT 35 KT. THIS STATUS MAY BE SHORT-LIVED AS THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER HAS ONCE AGAIN BECOME PARTIALLY EXPOSED ON THE NORTHEAST SIDE OF THE SYSTEM. THE TRACK OF THE CENTER HAS SHIFTED A BIT TO THE RIGHT AND IS NOW NEAR 315/8 KT. THE 18Z AVN IS SIMILAR TO ITS PREDECESSOR IN SHOWING A RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. IN RESPONSE...THE AVN BENDS THE TRACK BACK TOWARD THE WEST. IN FACT...NONE OF THE GUIDANCE MODELS SHOW THE OBSERVED NW HEADING. ALL NWS MODELS HEAD TOWARD THE WNW. THE NHC FORECAST TRACK TURNS THE TRACK BACK TOWARD THE WNW. MODEST INTENSIFICATION SHOULD OCCUR IF THE NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR DIMINISHES. THE AVN MODEL FORECASTS THAT TO OCCUR IN ABOUT 36 HOURS. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/2100Z 12.8N 113.1W 35 KTS 12HR VT 16/0600Z 13.5N 114.0W 35 KTS 24HR VT 16/1800Z 14.3N 115.6W 40 KTS 36HR VT 17/0600Z 15.2N 117.3W 45 KTS 48HR VT 17/1800Z 16.1N 119.2W 50 KTS 72HR VT 18/1800Z 17.5N 123.0W 55 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jul 16 07:40:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103297-10293>; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 05:00:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA136424; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 15:53:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5907491 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 15:53:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA134274 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 15:53:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA06874 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 15:53:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707152053.PAA06874@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Jul 1997 15:53:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Enrique Forecast/advisory Number 14 [152051] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d454b36c44a39e6583dd21b67601d39d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1579 Status: OR 946 WTPZ22 KNHC 152051 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0797 2100Z TUE JUL 15 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 130.0W AT 15/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT.......100NE 75SE 50SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 75SE 50SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 130.0W AT 15/2100Z AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 129.4W FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 20.8N 131.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 25SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 21.9N 133.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 22.5N 135.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 130.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 23.0N 137.3W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jul 16 07:40:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103297-10293>; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 05:00:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA97820; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 15:53:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5907498 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 15:53:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA254606 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 15:53:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA06872 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 15:53:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707152053.PAA06872@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Jul 1997 15:53:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Enrique Discussion Number 14 [152050] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2ff89494af19c4d2ed7842056ea30f30 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1484 Status: OR 945 WTPZ42 KNHC 152050 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE JUL 15 1997 SATELLITE PICTURES SHOW ENRIQUE VOID OF DEEP CONVECTION. A THICK LOW-MID LEVEL CLOUD DECK REMAINS OVER THE NW QUADRANT WITH THE REMAINDER OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION DEFINED BY STRATOCUMULUS. THE CENTER IS MOVING TOWARD 305/15 KT. THE ESTIMATED WIND SPEED IS REDUCED TO 45 KT. THE STEERING IS AGAIN EXPECTED TO BE GOVERNED BY A SURFACE-BASED LAYER OF DECREASING DEPTH. THE TRACK IS FORECAST TO RESEMBLE THE BAMS AND GFDL GUIDANCE...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE WNW AND THEN THE W. ENRIQUE IS LIKELY TO PROGRESSIVELY WEAKEN AND THEN ESSENTIALLY DISSIPATE DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. THIS IS ALSO FORECAST BY SHIFOR AND THE GFDL. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/2100Z 19.7N 130.0W 45 KTS 12HR VT 16/0600Z 20.8N 131.8W 35 KTS 24HR VT 16/1800Z 21.9N 133.6W 30 KTS 36HR VT 17/0600Z 22.5N 135.5W 25 KTS 48HR VT 17/1800Z 23.0N 137.3W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jul 16 07:40:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103298-10293>; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 05:01:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA81360; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 15:54:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5907519 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 15:54:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA97966 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 15:54:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA06938 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 15:54:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707152054.PAA06938@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Jul 1997 15:54:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 6 [152054] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5b260d57722d2aef2f4aec10f252b14c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1724 Status: OR 994 WTPZ23 KNHC 152054 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0897 2100Z TUE JUL 15 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 113.1W AT 15/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT....... 0NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 30SE 30SW 30NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 113.1W AT 15/2100Z AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 112.8W FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 13.5N 114.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 14.3N 115.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 15.2N 117.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N 113.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 16.1N 119.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 17.5N 123.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jul 16 07:40:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102169-5065>; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 06:34:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA74382; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 17:26:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5908620 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 17:26:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA122234 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 17:26:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id RAA09182 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 17:26:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707152226.RAA09182@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Jul 1997 17:26:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [152223] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4c4a3d348829a911f78e25ec44c63d6f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1215 Status: OR 198 ABPZ20 KNHC 152223 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE JUL 15 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE...LOCATED ABOUT 1350 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM FELICIA ...RECENTLY UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E...LOCATED ABOUT 725 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE CONVECTION LOCATED ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST BETWEEN PUERTO VALLARTA AND MAZATLAN IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. ANY TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. GROSS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jul 16 11:06:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102592-5065>; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 10:32:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA118000; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 21:24:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5910133 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 21:24:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA40898 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 21:24:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA11931 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 21:24:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707160224.VAA11931@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Jul 1997 21:24:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 7 [160224] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 66701e327da38c8a0dfcee045b4ab519 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1756 Status: OR 641 WTPZ23 KNHC 160224 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0897 0300Z WED JUL 16 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 114.2W AT 16/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 114.2W AT 16/0300Z AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 113.8W FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 13.6N 115.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 14.3N 117.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 15.0N 119.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 0NW 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N 114.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 15.7N 121.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 16.7N 124.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z GROSS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jul 16 11:06:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102302-5065>; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 10:31:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA117788; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 21:24:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5910144 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 21:24:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA38410 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 21:24:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA11934 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 21:24:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707160224.VAA11934@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Jul 1997 21:24:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Felicia Discussion Number 7 [160223] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 68aa721196e83981248c020c423372ec X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1668 Status: OR 642 WTPZ43 KNHC 160223 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT TUE JUL 15 1997 ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE SHEARED IN THE VERTICAL FROM THE NORTHEAST...THIS SHEARING PATTERN IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN. DEEP CONVECTION IS BECOMING STRONGER NOW OVER THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT. THE 00Z DVORAK INTENSITY T NUMBERS FROM ALL THREE CLASSIFICATION SITES REMAIN AT 2.5...THUS TROPICAL STORM FELICIA WINDS REMAIN 35 KT. THE FORECAST INTENSITY HAS BEEN INCREASED SLIGHTLY IN ANTICIPATION OF WEAKEN VERTICAL SHEAR. THE INITIAL HEADING IS 295/09...SLIGHTLY MORE WESTWARD THAN PREVIOUSLY. MOST OF THE GUIDANCE MODELS INITIALLY HEAD TOWARD THE WNW BEFORE DIVERGING AFTER ABOUT 36 HOURS. THE NEW FORECAST TRACK MAINTAINS THIS TENDENCY THROUGH 36 HOURS BEFORE BECOMING MORE WESTERLY. THIS IS ANTICIPATION OF THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH BUILDING BACK IN AFTER THE EXIT OF ENRIQUE. GROSS FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/0300Z 13.0N 114.2W 35 KTS 12HR VT 16/1200Z 13.6N 115.5W 40 KTS 24HR VT 17/0000Z 14.3N 117.1W 45 KTS 36HR VT 17/1200Z 15.0N 119.0W 50 KTS 48HR VT 18/0000Z 15.7N 121.0W 55 KTS 72HR VT 19/0000Z 16.7N 124.9W 60 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jul 16 11:06:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102669-5065>; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 10:58:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA129298; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 21:48:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5910295 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 21:48:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA05876 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 21:48:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA12187 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 21:48:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707160248.VAA12187@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Jul 1997 21:48:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Enrique Discussion Number 15 [160247] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 11ee03ad568b880931af6296520fe6a9 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1478 Status: OR 960 WTPZ42 KNHC 160247 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT TUE JUL 15 1997 SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW ENRIQUE VOID OF DEEP CONVECTION. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WAS WELL DEFINED BY STRATOCUMULUS IN THE LAST VISIBLE IMAGERY. THE WIND SPEED IS ESTIMATED AT 45 KT WITH THE SYSTEM WEAKENING UNTIL DISSIPATION AFTER 48 HOURS. THE SYSTEM HEADING IS 295/12...MORE WESTWARD THAN PREVIOUSLY. BECAUSE THE SYSTEM HAS LOST ITS DEEP CONVECTION...WE ANTICIPATE THE STEERING TO BE DOMINATED BY THE LOWER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE AND THIS APPEARS ALREADY TO BE OCCURRING. THE FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE BAMS AND GFDL GUIDANCE...WITH A HEADING OF WEST NORTHWEST... BECOMING MORE WESTERLY WITH TIME. GROSS FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/0300Z 20.3N 131.4W 45 KTS 12HR VT 16/1200Z 21.0N 133.1W 35 KTS 24HR VT 17/0000Z 21.8N 135.0W 30 KTS 36HR VT 17/1200Z 22.2N 136.8W 25 KTS 48HR VT 18/0000Z 22.5N 138.6W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jul 16 11:06:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102663-5065>; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 10:58:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA168200; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 21:51:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5910314 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 21:51:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA239860 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 21:51:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA12251 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 21:51:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707160251.VAA12251@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Jul 1997 21:51:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Enrique Forecast/advisory Number 15 [160250] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2065ef04025e1b553f7fa1f67cdb0536 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1542 Status: OR 973 WTPZ22 KNHC 160250 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0797 0300Z WED JUL 16 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 131.4W AT 16/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT.......100NE 75SE 50SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 75SE 50SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 131.4W AT 16/0300Z AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 130.8W FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 21.0N 133.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 25SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 21.8N 135.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 22.2N 136.8W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 131.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 22.5N 138.6W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z GROSS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jul 16 13:20:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102477-5065>; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 13:20:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA154608; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 00:11:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5910864 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 00:11:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA239828 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 00:11:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id AAA13738 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 00:11:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707160511.AAA13738@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 00:11:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [160509] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 429b9d478e6f510772ca99745fec60c7 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1067 Status: OR 798 ABPZ20 KNHC 160509 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE JUL 15 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE...LOCATED ABOUT 1440 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM FELICIA LOCATED ABOUT 720 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR THE MEXICAN COAST BETWEEN MAZATLAN AND LOS MOCHIS IS DIMINISHING. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jul 16 17:18:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103309-5065>; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 16:48:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA33282; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 03:40:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5911493 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 03:40:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA74472 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 03:40:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA16937 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 03:40:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707160840.DAA16937@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 03:40:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Felicia Discussion Number 8 [160840] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: df9400a4ced117e37e1d360aaef42faf X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1775 Status: OR 894 WTPZ43 KNHC 160840 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT WED JUL 16 1997 SATELLITE IMAGERY HAS SHOWN A LARGE BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 45 KNOTS IN AGREEMENT WITH LATEST DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND THE AFGWC. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A WELL DEFINED UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE TO THE NORTHWEST OF FELICIA. OUR INTENSITY FORECAST SHOWS STRENGTHENING AT LEAST FOR THE SHORT TERM BUT DEVELOPMENT MAY BE INHIBITED LATER IN THE PERIOD IF FELICIA ENCOUNTERS EASTERLY SHEAR ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE ANTICYCLONE. THE CLOUD SYSTEM CENTER IS NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE TO DETECT IN A BURSTING TYPE PASTERN WITH ONLY INFRARED IMAGERY. BEST GUESS AT INITIAL MOTION IS 295/08. THE AVIATION MODEL SHOWS A LOW TO MID LAYER RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF FELICIA WHICH SHOULD ALLOW THE GENERAL MOTION TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST TO CONTINUE. CURRENT TRACK IS BASICALLY AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND IS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE MID LAYER BAM. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/0900Z 13.2N 114.8W 45 KTS 12HR VT 16/1800Z 13.7N 116.0W 50 KTS 24HR VT 17/0600Z 14.3N 117.7W 55 KTS 36HR VT 17/1800Z 14.9N 119.5W 60 KTS 48HR VT 18/0600Z 15.4N 121.3W 60 KTS 72HR VT 19/0600Z 16.5N 125.0W 60 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jul 16 17:18:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102639-5065>; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 16:48:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA189724; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 03:40:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5911498 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 03:40:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA235256 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 03:40:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA16940 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 03:40:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707160840.DAA16940@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 03:40:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 8 [160841] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 64b3ac7b658f1fbc7aded6ccc578c598 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1823 Status: OR 895 WTPZ23 KNHC 160841 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0897 0900Z WED JUL 16 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 114.8W AT 16/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT....... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 114.8W AT 16/0900Z AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 114.4W FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 13.7N 116.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 14.3N 117.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 14.9N 119.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 70 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 114.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 15.4N 121.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 16.5N 125.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jul 16 17:18:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102613-5065>; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 16:49:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA134208; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 03:41:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5911503 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 03:41:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA189742 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 03:41:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA16947 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 03:41:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707160841.DAA16947@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 03:41:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Enrique Discussion Number 16 [160842] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: af144e7808658e39adb923dd3d31e3ff X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1332 Status: OR 896 WTPZ42 KNHC 160842 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT WED JUL 16 1997 SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A WELL DEFINED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IN THE LOW TO MID CLOUDS...VOID OF ANY DEEP CONVECTION. ENRIQUE IS DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. THE CYCLONE WILL CONTINUE TO SPIN DOWN AS IT MOVES OVER COOL WATER AND ENCOUNTERS SOUTHERLY SHEAR ...AND WILL LIKELY BE DECLARED DISSIPATED WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 300/13. THE LOW LEVEL STEERING WILL ALLOW THIS GENERAL MOTION TO CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION. CURRENT TRACK IS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE SHALLOW LAYER BAM. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/0900Z 20.9N 132.6W 30 KTS 12HR VT 16/1800Z 21.9N 134.4W 30 KTS 24HR VT 17/0600Z 22.7N 136.5W 25 KTS 36HR VT 17/1800Z 23.0N 138.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jul 16 17:18:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103311-5065>; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 16:51:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA67966; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 03:42:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5911512 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 03:42:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA134252 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 03:42:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA16950 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 03:42:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707160842.DAA16950@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 03:42:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Enrique Forecast/advisory Number 16 [160843] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4b5f8add5e30688e04f8d68818bbcb0a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1282 Status: OR 924 WTPZ22 KNHC 160843 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0797 0900Z WED JUL 16 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 132.6W AT 16/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 132.6W AT 16/0900Z AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 132.0W FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 21.9N 134.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 22.7N 136.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 23.0N 138.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 132.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 17 00:38:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102535-5065>; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 19:01:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA67848; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 05:54:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5911856 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 05:54:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA136438 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 05:54:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id FAA17881 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 05:54:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707161054.FAA17881@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 05:54:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [161053] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 772e7721a05fd1e291c639c93876d192 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 976 Status: OR 462 ABPZ20 KNHC 161053 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED JUL 16 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENRIQUE...LOCATED ABOUT 1460 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM FELICIA LOCATED ABOUT 740 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 17 00:38:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103266-5065>; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 22:27:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA168426; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 09:13:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5912868 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 09:13:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA84914 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 09:13:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA21163 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 09:13:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707161413.JAA21163@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 09:13:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Felicia Discussion Number 9 [161414] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 507a85260ffc071195f93309708e576b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1809 Status: OR 449 WTPZ43 KNHC 161414 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT WED JUL 16 1997 SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SUGGEST DEVELOPMENT OF FELICIA. THE WRINKLE IS THAT THE POSITION IS NOT VERY WELL KNOWN... THEREFORE THE DVORAK TECHNIQUE IS SUBJECT TO SOME NOISE DEPENDING ON WHERE THE CENTER IS ASSUMED TO BE LOCATED RELATIVE TO THE CLOUDS. WE EXPECT TO CORRECT THE INITIAL POSITION...AND PERHAPS THE INTENSITY...ON THE NEXT ADVISORY AFTER WE HAVE DAYLIGHT SATELLITE PICTURES. THE INTENSITY FORECAST CLOSELY FOLLOWS THE SHIPS MODEL...BRINGING FELICIA TO A HURRICANE IN 12 HOURS AND TOPPING OFF IN 48 HOURS. THE TRACK IS HELD PRETTY MUCH AS BEFORE...BUT WE ARE EDGING IT SOMEWHAT SOUTH TO ALLOW FOR WHAT MAY HAVE BEEN A NEW CENTER FORMATION OVERNIGHT...IT MAY ALSO JUST BE A POOR CENTER LOCATION WHICH WILL BE NEGATED ONCE WE SEE DAYLIGHT SATELLITE DATA. THE AVIATION MODEL SHOWS A LOW TO MID LAYER RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF FELICIA WHICH SHOULD ALLOW THE GENERAL MOTION TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST TO CONTINUE. JARRELL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/1500Z 12.4N 115.4W 60 KTS 12HR VT 17/0000Z 12.5N 116.5W 65 KTS 24HR VT 17/1200Z 12.8N 118.2W 70 KTS 36HR VT 18/0000Z 13.3N 120.0W 75 KTS 48HR VT 18/1200Z 13.8N 121.7W 75 KTS 72HR VT 19/1200Z 15.0N 125.8W 70 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 17 00:38:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103326-5065>; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 22:25:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA166930; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 09:13:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5912873 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 09:13:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA210938 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 09:13:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA21176 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 09:13:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707161413.JAA21176@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 09:13:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 9 [161414] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ca364f0ccec820acf70cb64b080229aa X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1944 Status: OR 456 WTPZ23 KNHC 161414 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0897 1500Z WED JUL 16 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 115.4W AT 16/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 115.4W AT 16/1500Z AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 115.0W FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 12.5N 116.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 12.8N 118.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 13.3N 120.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 115.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 13.8N 121.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 15.0N 125.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z JARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 17 00:38:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103325-5065>; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 22:43:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA40948; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 09:31:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5913021 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 09:31:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA74422 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 09:31:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA21580 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 09:31:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707161431.JAA21580@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 09:31:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Enrique Forecast/advisory Number 17 [161431] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: be43aa4d90874008acb9479990580a08 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1389 Status: OR 662 WTPZ22 KNHC 161431 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0797 1500Z WED JUL 16 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 133.3W AT 16/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 133.3W AT 16/1500Z AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 132.8W FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 22.9N 134.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 23.9N 136.1W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z...DISSIPATING REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N 133.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z...DISSIPATING FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATING NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z JARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 17 00:38:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103326-5065>; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 22:44:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA40812; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 09:32:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5913038 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 09:32:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA24410 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 09:32:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA21624 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 09:32:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707161432.JAA21624@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 09:32:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Enrique Discussion Number 17 [161432] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: de3cd89d860f57d3d013bafadf69c005 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1191 Status: OR 675 WTPZ42 KNHC 161432 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT WED JUL 16 1997 SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW A WELL DEFINED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IN THE LOW TO MID CLOUDS...BUT WITHOUT DEEP CONVECTION. THE CIRCULATION SHOULD CONTINUE TO SPIN DOWN...AND WILL LIKELY BE DECLARED DISSIPATED WITHIN 24 HOURS. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 310/11. THIS MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE WITH SOME SLIGHT DECELERATION DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. CURRENT TRACK IS CONSISTENT WITH THE SHALLOW BAM AND NHC91. JARRELL/DEMARIA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/1500Z 21.9N 133.3W 30 KTS 12HR VT 17/0000Z 22.9N 134.7W 30 KTS 24HR VT 17/1200Z 23.9N 136.1W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 17 09:34:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103338-5065>; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 00:44:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA121960; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 11:36:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5913944 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 11:36:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA232520 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 11:36:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id LAA24758 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 11:35:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707161635.LAA24758@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 11:36:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [161636] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 60a59479d7fbc3bcbd3b8ffeeaabd735 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1138 Status: OR 406 ABPZ20 KNHC 161636 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED JUL 16 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENRIQUE...LOCATED ABOUT 1500 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM FELICIA LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO APPEARS TO BE SOMEWHAT ORGANIZED. THIS AREA WILL BE WATCHED FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. JARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 17 09:34:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103355-5065>; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 04:55:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA208160; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 15:44:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5916580 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 15:43:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA92270 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 15:43:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA02022 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 15:43:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707162043.PAA02022@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 15:43:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Felicia Discussion Number 10 [162029] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d71848d6603e1c48583bd859c2ab50a1 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1527 Status: OR 698 WTPZ43 KNHC 162029 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT WED JUL 16 1997 SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THE CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT OF FELICIA. THERE IS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTH OF THE STORM AS INDICATED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. THIS FEATURE MAY SLOW THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM. HOWEVER...FELICIA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE AWAY FROM THIS FEATURE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...SO THE INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. THE CENTER OF FELICIA WAS RE-POSITIONED SOMEWHAT TO THE SOUTH OF ITS POSITION EARLIER IN THE DAY. HOWEVER...THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ALONG A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST PATH WITH SOME ACCELERATION AS IT MOVES TO THE SOUTH OF AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. THE FORECAST TRACK FOLLOWS THE GFDL AND MEDIUM BAM. DEMARIA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/2100Z 12.5N 115.7W 60 KTS 12HR VT 17/0600Z 12.7N 116.9W 65 KTS 24HR VT 17/1800Z 13.0N 118.6W 70 KTS 36HR VT 18/0600Z 13.5N 120.5W 75 KTS 48HR VT 18/1800Z 14.2N 122.7W 75 KTS 72HR VT 19/1800Z 15.5N 127.1W 70 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 17 09:34:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102745-5065>; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 04:52:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA252020; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 15:44:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5916593 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 15:44:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA129378 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 15:44:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA02034 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 15:44:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707162044.PAA02034@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 15:44:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 10 [162033] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b87fe7ddde8e1a96e8308683adde3ca9 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1944 Status: OR 730 WTPZ23 KNHC 162033 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0897 2100Z WED JUL 16 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 115.7W AT 16/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 115.7W AT 16/2100Z AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 115.3W FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 12.7N 116.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 13.0N 118.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 13.5N 120.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 115.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 14.2N 122.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 15.5N 127.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z DEMARIA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 17 09:34:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103360-5065>; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 05:12:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA106540; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 15:51:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5916691 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 15:51:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA212238 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 15:51:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA02223 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 15:51:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707162051.PAA02223@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 15:51:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Enrique Discussion Number 18 [162044] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4f23368d6f0425d8296208999822a8e1 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 919 Status: OR 872 WTPZ42 KNHC 162044 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT WED JUL 16 1997 SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT ENRIQUE HAS DEGENERATED INTO A CLOUD SWIRL. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISOR SINCE ENRIQUE IS NO LONGER A THREAT TO SHIPPING. JARRELL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/2100Z 22.7N 134.0W 25 KTS 12HR VT 17/0600Z 23.6N 135.2W 25 KTS 24HR VT 17/1800Z 24.8N 136.6W DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 17 09:34:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103355-5065>; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 05:01:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA106564; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 15:51:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5916696 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 15:51:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA235034 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 15:51:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA02226 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 15:51:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707162051.PAA02226@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 15:51:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Enrique Forecast/advisory Number 18 [162045] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 13fee456c03e727152c5a408e68b3325 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1139 Status: OR 874 WTPZ22 KNHC 162045 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0797 2100Z WED JUL 16 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 134.0W AT 16/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 134.0W AT 16/2100Z AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 133.6W FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 23.6N 135.2W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 24.8N 136.6W...DISSIPATED THIS IS THE FINAL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENRIQUE JARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 17 09:34:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102195-26132>; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 08:10:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA229192; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 18:56:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5918543 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 18:55:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id SAA212278 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 18:55:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id SAA05603 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 18:55:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707162355.SAA05603@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 18:55:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [162355] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5322ff86070380f3241410c14daf4a72 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1204 Status: OR 133 ABPZ20 KNHC 162355 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED JUL 16 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM FELICIA LOCATED ABOUT 820 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENRIQUE...DISSIPATING ABOUT 1580 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO APPEARS TO BE SOMEWHAT ORGANIZED. THIS AREA IS BEING WATCHED FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. GROSS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 17 11:06:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102418-26132>; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 10:47:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA239846; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 21:40:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5919564 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 21:39:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA146840 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 21:39:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA07734 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 21:39:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707170239.VAA07734@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 21:39:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Felicia Discussion Number 11 [170238] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1516916af6b9dee480b27e91424c77e3 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1830 Status: OR 481 WTPZ43 KNHC 170238 TCDEP3 HURRICANE FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT WED JUL 16 1997 LAST VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TWO INTERLOCKING BANDS WITH THE SUGGESTION OF AN EYE BEGINNING TO FORM BETWEEN THEM. TWO OF THE THREE DVORAK T NUMBERS ARE 4.0. BASED ON THESE ESTIMATES ...WE ARE UPGRADING FELICIA TO HURRICANE STATUS. FELICIA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER WARM WATERS FOR THE NEXT 3 DAYS SO STEADY BUT SLOW INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST THROUGH 48 HOURS. THE 48-HOUR VALUE IS HELD THROUGH 72 HOURS BECAUSE AVIATION MODEL...AND INTENSITY GUIDANCE BASED ON THIS MODEL...INCREASES THE UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW OVER THE SYSTEM DURING THIS PERIOD. THE INITIAL HEADING IS 295/07...MORE NORTHWEST OF THE PREVIOUS HEADING AND SLIGHTLY SLOWER. THE FORECAST TRACK IS BASED PRIMARILY ON A SYNTHESIS OF NHC91...BAM MEDIUM...GFDL AND UKM AND BEGINS WEST NORTHWESTERLY BECOMING MORE WESTERLY AFTER 36 HOURS. THIS IS A RESULT OF GLOBAL MODELS BUILDING BACK THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE NORTH OF FELICIA AFTER ENRIQUE MOVED THROUGH. GROSS FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 17/0300Z 13.1N 116.4W 65 KTS 12HR VT 17/1200Z 13.5N 117.5W 70 KTS 24HR VT 18/0000Z 14.0N 119.3W 75 KTS 36HR VT 18/1200Z 14.4N 121.2W 80 KTS 48HR VT 19/0000Z 14.9N 123.4W 85 KTS 72HR VT 20/0000Z 15.8N 128.0W 85 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 17 11:06:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102369-26132>; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 10:51:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA239620; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 21:40:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5919569 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 21:40:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA212380 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 21:39:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA07736 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 21:39:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707170239.VAA07736@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 21:40:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 11 [170239] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b61f42278117c2330e355378df745c53 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1978 Status: OR 482 WTPZ23 KNHC 170239 TCMEP3 HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0897 0300Z THU JUL 17 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 116.4W AT 17/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT....... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW 12 FT SEAS.. 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 116.4W AT 17/0300Z AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 116.1W FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 13.5N 117.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 14.0N 119.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 14.4N 121.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N 116.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 14.9N 123.4W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 15.8N 128.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z GROSS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 17 23:41:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102665-26132>; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 12:57:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA121892; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 23:48:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5920201 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 23:48:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA212240 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 23:48:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id XAA09033 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 23:48:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707170448.XAA09033@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 23:48:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [170449] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 324b155d20db3eb12197187e5df7b3d4 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 989 Status: OR 205 ABPZ20 KNHC 170449 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED JUL 16 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM FELICIA LOCATED ABOUT 780 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND A FEW SHOWERS SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 17 23:41:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102176-26132>; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 16:44:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA57820; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 03:34:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5920937 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 03:34:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA68288 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 03:34:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA12493 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 03:34:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707170834.DAA12493@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Jul 1997 03:34:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Felicia Discussion Number 12 [170834] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b274210ce5ec44ee624550c55c75a213 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1803 Status: OR 588 WTPZ43 KNHC 170834 TCDEP3 HURRICANE FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT THU JUL 17 1997 DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS INDICATE NO STRENGTHENING OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. IN FACT...FELICIA HAS BECOME LESS IMPRESSIVE-LOOKING ON SATELLITE IMAGES. AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IN THE VICINITY OF THE HURRICANE IS PRODUCING NORTHWESTERLY SHEARING. THE AVN MODEL SUGGESTS THAT THIS TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO EXERT AN INFLUENCE ON FELICIA FOR AT LEAST ANOTHER 24 HOURS. SO...I HAVE BACKED OFF A BIT ON THE INTENSITY FORECAST AND SHOWN LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IN THE EARLY PART OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. LATER IN THE PERIOD IT IS ASSUMED THAT THE INFLUENCE OF THE TROUGH WILL LESSEN...SO SOME STRENGTHENING SHOULD EVENTUALLY TAKE PLACE. NOT MUCH CHANGE HAS BEEN MADE TO THE PREVIOUS INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE OR TRACK FORECAST. BASED ON THE 500 MB FORECAST FROM THE AVN MODEL...A WEAK RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF FELICIA SHOULD STEER THE CYCLONE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT A SLIGHTLY SLOWER-THAN-CLIMATOLOGICAL FORWARD SPEED DURING THE PERIOD. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 17/0900Z 13.5N 117.1W 65 KTS 12HR VT 17/1800Z 14.0N 118.3W 65 KTS 24HR VT 18/0600Z 14.5N 120.0W 65 KTS 36HR VT 18/1800Z 15.2N 122.0W 70 KTS 48HR VT 19/0600Z 15.8N 124.0W 75 KTS 72HR VT 20/0600Z 16.5N 128.0W 75 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 17 23:41:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102199-26132>; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 16:44:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA57844; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 03:34:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5920942 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 03:34:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA226766 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 03:34:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA12496 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 03:34:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707170834.DAA12496@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Jul 1997 03:34:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 12 [170835] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6b464d496fb7cc2a95057d5d6ae8d60a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1978 Status: OR 589 WTPZ23 KNHC 170835 TCMEP3 HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0897 0900Z THU JUL 17 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 117.1W AT 17/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 125NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 117.1W AT 17/0900Z AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 116.7W FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 14.0N 118.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 14.5N 120.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 15.2N 122.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N 117.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 15.8N 124.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 16.5N 128.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 17 23:41:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102743-26132>; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 18:18:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA84910; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 05:13:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5921378 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 05:13:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA08860 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 05:13:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id FAA13427 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 05:13:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707171013.FAA13427@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Jul 1997 05:13:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [171009] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cf3bc19a74e400e5cfdadc5e1a0edeef X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 977 Status: OR 835 ABPZ20 KNHC 171009 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU JUL 17 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE FELICIA LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 17 23:41:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102786-26132>; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 22:59:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA68014; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 09:51:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5923030 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 09:51:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA167024 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 09:50:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA18036 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 09:50:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707171450.JAA18036@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Jul 1997 09:51:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 13 [171445] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4bbb7d872cb39d574bb0bc70a052e73a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1982 Status: OR 709 WTPZ23 KNHC 171445 TCMEP3 HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0897 1500Z THU JUL 17 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 118.3W AT 17/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 175NE 75SE 75SW 175NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 118.3W AT 17/1500Z AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 117.8W FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 14.8N 120.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 15.4N 122.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 15.9N 124.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 118.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 16.5N 126.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 17.0N 130.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 70 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z JARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 17 23:41:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102741-26132>; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 22:59:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA212396; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 09:52:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5923072 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 09:52:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA67998 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 09:51:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA18030 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 09:50:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707171450.JAA18030@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Jul 1997 09:52:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Felicia Discussion Number 13 [171444] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 545d267914667503a572048319bcba6c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1399 Status: OR 708 WTPZ43 KNHC 171444 TCDEP3 HURRICANE FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT THU JUL 17 1997 FELICIA CONTINUES TO BE UNDER SOME SHEARING STRESS...BUT SEEMS TO BE HOLDING ITS OWN. WE STILL EXPECT SOME ROOM FOR INTENSIFICATION BETWEEN THE SHEARING ENVIRONMENT AND COOL WATER...THEREFORE OUR FORECAST IS STEADY 24 H THEN SLIGHT STRENGTHENING FOLLOWED BY DECAY IN THE FINAL 24 H. THE TRACK IS PRETTY MUCH THE SAME AS HAS BEEN WORKING. NONE OF THE MODELS SUGGEST ANYTHING SIGNIFICANTLY DIFFERENT FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...THEREFORE ONLY A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS MADE TO ACCOUNT FOR OBSERVED PRESENT MOTION. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 17/1500Z 14.0N 118.3W 65 KTS 12HR VT 18/0000Z 14.8N 120.0W 65 KTS 24HR VT 18/1200Z 15.4N 122.1W 65 KTS 36HR VT 19/0000Z 15.9N 124.2W 70 KTS 48HR VT 19/1200Z 16.5N 126.2W 70 KTS 72HR VT 20/1200Z 17.0N 130.0W 60 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jul 18 11:44:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102774-26132>; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 02:16:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA226708; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 13:01:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5924506 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 13:01:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA212338 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 13:01:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id NAA24210 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 13:01:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707171801.NAA24210@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Jul 1997 13:01:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [171801] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7bce940ba38bb89d867e9f637dcdd3b6 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 855 Status: OR 191 ABPZ20 KNHC 171801 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU JUL 17 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE FELICIA LOCATED ABOUT 825 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. JARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jul 18 11:44:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102776-26132>; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 04:39:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA02714; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 15:27:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5925623 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 15:27:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA249734 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 15:27:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA28311 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 15:27:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707172027.PAA28311@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Jul 1997 15:27:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 14 [172027] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 84a675ba0f5a75cbea9651245eed1ab6 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1980 Status: OR 547 WTPZ23 KNHC 172027 TCMEP3 HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0897 2100Z THU JUL 17 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 119.4W AT 17/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS..175NE 75SE 75SW 175NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 119.4W AT 17/2100Z AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 118.9W FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 15.2N 121.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 15.8N 123.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 16.4N 125.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 119.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 16.9N 127.3W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 17.7N 131.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 70 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z JARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jul 18 11:44:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102802-26132>; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 04:37:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA05624; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 15:28:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5925632 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 15:28:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA226754 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 15:28:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA28328 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 15:28:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707172028.PAA28328@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Jul 1997 15:28:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Felicia Discussion Number 14 [172029] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9d43a9e26c0d8e20f716a0da56145c33 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1395 Status: OR 549 WTPZ43 KNHC 172029 TCDEP3 HURRICANE FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT THU JUL 17 1997 FELICIA SEEMS TO BE HOLDING ITS OWN. CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE STEADY. WE STILL EXPECT SOME ROOM FOR INTENSIFICATION BETWEEN THE SHEARING ENVIRONMENT OF THE PRESENT AND RECENT PAST...AND COOL WATER. OUR FORECAST IS STEADY 24 H THEN SLIGHT STRENGTHENING FOLLOWED BY DECAY IN THE FINAL 24 H. THE TRACK FORECAST IS UNCHANGED. NONE OF THE MODELS SUGGEST ANYTHING SIGNIFICANTLY DIFFERENT FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST... THEREFORE ONLY A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS MADE TO ACCOUNT FOR OBSERVED PRESENT MOTION. JARRELL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 17/2100Z 14.7N 119.4W 65 KTS 12HR VT 18/0600Z 15.2N 121.0W 65 KTS 24HR VT 18/1800Z 15.8N 123.1W 65 KTS 36HR VT 19/0600Z 16.4N 125.4W 70 KTS 48HR VT 19/1800Z 16.9N 127.3W 70 KTS 72HR VT 20/1800Z 17.7N 131.2W 60 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jul 19 12:40:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102951-17643>; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 22:57:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA58402; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 09:48:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5930417 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 09:48:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA200974 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 09:48:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA13352 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 09:48:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707181448.JAA13352@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Jul 1997 09:48:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Felicia Discussion Number 17 [181449] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 808268a273a32734c6bda30467bd0ce7 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1826 Status: OR 780 WTPZ43 KNHC 181449 TCDEP3 HURRICANE FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI JUL 18 1997 FELICIA HAS CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. DVORAK INTENSITY T NUMBER ESTIMATES RANGE FROM 5.5 TO 6.0. THE STORM HAS A SYMMETRIC PRESENTATION ON SATELLITE IMAGERY WITH A WELL-FORMED EYE. THEREFORE THE INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS 100 KTS. THE STORM IS SOUTH OF A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AND WILL BE OVER WARM WATER FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...SO SOME FURTHER INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE. AFTER 24 HOURS THE STORM INTENSITY SHOULD DECREASE AS IT MOVES OVER COOLER WATERS. THE INITIAL HEADING IS 280/12 AND THE FORECAST IS SLIGHTLY FASTER THAN THE PREVIOUS PREDICTION. THE GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE GFDL MODEL SUGGESTS MORE OF A WESTWARD MOTION THAN THE OTHER MODELS. THE OFFICIAL PREDICTION IS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE GFDL AND THE MEDIUM BAM. IF THE STORM TRACK FOLLOWS THE GFDL MORE CLOSELY THAN ANTICIPATED...THE DECREASE IN INTENSITY MIGHT BE A LITTLE SLOWER THAN FORECAST. DEMARIA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/1500Z 15.4N 123.2W 100 KTS 12HR VT 19/0000Z 15.7N 125.1W 105 KTS 24HR VT 19/1200Z 16.2N 127.5W 100 KTS 36HR VT 20/0000Z 16.7N 130.0W 90 KTS 48HR VT 20/1200Z 17.1N 132.4W 75 KTS 72HR VT 21/1200Z 17.8N 137.1W 50 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jul 19 12:40:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102944-17643>; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 23:04:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA223602; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 09:51:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5930444 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 09:51:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA02614 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 09:50:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA13448 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 09:50:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707181450.JAA13448@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Jul 1997 09:51:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 17 [181451] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7b65ef68feb44705ebb85294d1b6d948 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1970 Status: OR 804 WTPZ23 KNHC 181451 TCMEP3 HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0897 1500Z FRI JUL 18 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 123.2W AT 18/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 962 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 90SE 90SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 123.2W AT 18/1500Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 122.6W FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 15.7N 125.1W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 16.2N 127.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 16.7N 130.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 123.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 17.1N 132.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 17.8N 137.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z DEMARIA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jul 19 12:40:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102962-17643>; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 00:44:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA106570; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 11:20:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5931118 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 11:19:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA24030 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 11:19:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id LAA16056 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 11:19:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707181619.LAA16056@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Jul 1997 11:19:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [181618] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 585989802e31faf693037e79672667f9 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 863 Status: OR 050 ABPZ20 KNHC 181618 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI JUL 18 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE FELICIA LOCATED ABOUT 1020 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. DEMARIA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jul 19 12:40:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102937-17643>; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 05:09:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA226800; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 15:33:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5933229 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 15:33:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA02780 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 15:33:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA23007 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 15:33:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707182033.PAA23007@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Jul 1997 15:33:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Felicia Discussion Number 18 [182034] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d74997f4ff45dbd48901fe7186f6dd09 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1588 Status: OR 831 WTPZ43 KNHC 182034 TCDEP3 HURRICANE FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI JUL 18 1997 THE INTENSITY OF FELICIA HAS HELD STEADY DURING THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS WITH DVORAK INTENSITY T NUMBER ESTIMATES RANGING FROM 5.5 TO 6.0. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS 100 KTS AND LITTLE INTENSITY CHANGE IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE STORM ENVIRONMENT SHOULD REMAIN FAVORABLE DUE TO AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH...AS INDICATED BY WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND THE AVIATION MODEL FORECAST. AFTER 24 HOURS...THE INTENSITY SHOULD DECREASE AS THE STORM ENCOUNTERS COOLER WATERS. FELICIA SHOULD CONTINUE ALONG ITS WEST-NORTHWEST PATH DUE TO THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE NORTH. THE MODEL GUIDANCE HAS CHANGED LITTLE SINCE THE LAST PACKAGE...SO THE PREDICTED TRACK IS CONSISTENT WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. DEMARIA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/2100Z 15.5N 124.6W 100 KTS 12HR VT 19/0600Z 16.0N 126.5W 100 KTS 24HR VT 19/1800Z 16.4N 128.9W 95 KTS 36HR VT 20/0600Z 16.9N 131.2W 85 KTS 48HR VT 20/1800Z 17.3N 133.8W 75 KTS 72HR VT 21/1800Z 18.5N 138.8W 50 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jul 19 12:40:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102577-17643>; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 04:55:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA210768; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 15:37:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5933263 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 15:37:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA02622 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 15:37:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA23107 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 15:36:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707182036.PAA23107@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Jul 1997 15:37:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 18 [182037] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: de397f721bcce1beafcf917022daf38b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1980 Status: OR 861 WTPZ23 KNHC 182037 TCMEP3 HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0897 2100Z FRI JUL 18 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 124.6W AT 18/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 962 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 90SE 90SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 124.6W AT 18/2100Z AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 123.9W FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 16.0N 126.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 16.4N 128.9W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 16.9N 131.2W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 124.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 17.3N 133.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 18.5N 138.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z DEMARIA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jul 19 12:40:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102239-7644>; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 06:45:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA58214; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 17:37:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5934502 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 17:37:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA05716 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 17:37:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id RAA25496 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 17:37:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707182237.RAA25496@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Jul 1997 17:37:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [182238] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8be1ba004d4a79a35e1a674c9dd09ffb X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 864 Status: OR 341 ABPZ20 KNHC 182238 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI JUL 18 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE FELICIA LOCATED ABOUT 1110 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jul 19 12:40:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102299-7644>; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 10:47:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA43604; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 21:39:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5936391 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 21:39:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA45836 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 21:38:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA28304 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 21:38:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707190238.VAA28304@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Jul 1997 21:39:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Felicia Discussion Number 19 [190238] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8ccac4976aa1ae64e216c4ae2c57818b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1762 Status: OR 670 WTPZ43 KNHC 190238 TCDEP3 HURRICANE FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI JUL 18 1997 THE INTENSITY OF FELICIA HAS HELD STEADY DURING THE LAST 12 HOURS WITH DVORAK INTENSITY T NUMBER ESTIMATES RANGING FROM 5.5 TO 6.0 BUT PRIMARILY 5.5. THE INNER MOST RING OF CLOUD TOPS HAS WARMED DURING THE LAST 6 HOURS SO FURTHER INTENSIFICATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THEREFORE THE CURRENT AND 12 HOUR FORECAST INTENSITY REMAINS 100 KTS. THE INTENSITY IS FORECAST TO DECREASE AS THE STORM ENCOUNTERS COOLER WATER AFTER CROSSING THE 26C SST ISOTHERM BETWEEN THE 12 AND 24 HOUR FORECAST PERIODS. THE HEADING OF FELICIA IS 280/14...SLIGHTLY MORE WESTERLY AND FASTER THAN PREVIOUSLY. THE FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN SHIFTED MORE WESTERLY AS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE PREVIOUS OFFICIAL AND THE CURRENT GFDL, NHC91 AND CLIPER GUIDANCE MODELS...THREE OF OUR BETTER PERFORMERS IN THIS BASIN. THE GUIDANCE IS DOMINATED BY THE STRONG RIDGE TO THE NORTH THAT THE CURRENT AVIATION RUN MAINTAINS. GROSS FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/0300Z 15.6N 126.0W 100 KTS 12HR VT 19/1200Z 15.9N 128.1W 100 KTS 24HR VT 20/0000Z 16.2N 130.5W 90 KTS 36HR VT 20/1200Z 16.5N 132.7W 80 KTS 48HR VT 21/0000Z 16.8N 134.9W 70 KTS 72HR VT 22/0000Z 17.5N 139.3W 45 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jul 19 12:40:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102345-7644>; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 11:02:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA43628; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 21:39:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5936396 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 21:39:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA58146 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 21:39:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA28307 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 21:38:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707190238.VAA28307@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Jul 1997 21:39:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 19 [190239] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f70663c8923012ffc3f93a7a7f0b3024 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1936 Status: OR 671 WTPZ23 KNHC 190239 TCMEP3 HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0897 0300Z SAT JUL 19 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 126.0W AT 19/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 90SE 90SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 126.0W AT 19/0300Z AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 125.3W FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 15.9N 128.1W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 16.2N 130.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 16.5N 132.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 126.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 16.8N 134.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 17.5N 139.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z GROSS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jul 19 12:40:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102296-7644>; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 12:26:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA148896; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 23:20:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5937263 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 23:20:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA220856 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 23:18:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id XAA29358 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 23:18:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707190418.XAA29358@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Jul 1997 23:20:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [190417] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 75a55453c2872dc0fa60779747ce3d55 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 859 Status: OR 972 ABPZ20 KNHC 190417 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI JUL 18 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE FELICIA LOCATED ABOUT 1170 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. GROSS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Jul 19 16:29:38 1997 X-UIDL: 87544c16c2b88beaf738627a7758f1d2 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102388-7644>; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 16:29:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA226608; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 03:17:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5938496 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 03:17:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA81180 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 03:17:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA03495 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 03:17:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707190817.DAA03495@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Jul 1997 03:17:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Felicia Discussion Number 20 [190818] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 11 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 238 WTPZ43 KNHC 190818 TCDEP3 HURRICANE FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 20 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SAT JUL 19 1997 DVORAK INTENSITY T-NUMBER ESTIMATES ARE NOW 6.0 SO WE ARE INCREASING THE INTENSITY OF FILICIA TO 110 KNOTS. THE INNERMOST RING OF CLOUD TOPS HAS COOLED AGAIN DURING THE LAST 6 HOURS SO THE 6.0 T-NUMBERS APPEAR QUITE SOLID. FURTHER INTENSIFICATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THOUGH. THE INTENSITY IS FORECAST TO DECREASE AS THE STORM ENCOUNTERS COOLER WATERS AFTER CROSSING THE ESTIMATED POSITION OF THE 26C SST ISOTHERM JUST BEFORE 12-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. THE HEADING OF FELICIA IS 275/12...SLIGHTLY MORE WESTERLY AND SLOWER THAN PREVIOUSLY. THE FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN SHIFTED MORE WESTERLY AS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE PREVIOUS OFFICIAL AND THE INITIAL...MORE WESTERLY HEADING. THE SLOWING OF THE TRACK IS IN ANTICIPATION OF THE LOWER LEVEL STEERING THE CYCLONE WILL EXPERIENCE WHEN DEEP CONVECTION DIMINISHES. NCEP SUFFERED A MAJOR LIGHTENING STRIKE KNOCKING OUT THE CRAY3...THE MAIN COMPUTER WHICH PRODUCES THE AVIATION RUN OF THE MRF MODEL ON WHICH MOST OF OUR GUIDANCE IS BASED. THE GUIDANCE USED FOR THIS PACKAGE WAS BASED ON YESTERDAYS 18Z AVIATION RUN. CRAY3 MAYBE DOWN UNTIL LATER TODAY...LIMITING NHC OBJECTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE. GROSS FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/0900Z 15.7N 127.3W 110 KTS 12HR VT 19/1800Z 15.9N 129.2W 100 KTS 24HR VT 20/0600Z 16.2N 131.6W 90 KTS 36HR VT 20/1800Z 16.5N 133.7W 80 KTS 48HR VT 21/0600Z 16.9N 135.9W 70 KTS 72HR VT 22/0600Z 17.6N 140.4W 45 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Jul 19 16:29:48 1997 X-UIDL: 3c8d0a8e133f468792c10c22efa3ea4e Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102391-7644>; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 16:29:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA249680; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 03:22:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5938526 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 03:22:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA168254 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 03:22:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA03550 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 03:22:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707190822.DAA03550@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Jul 1997 03:22:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 20 [190821] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 12 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 415 WTPZ23 KNHC 190821 TCMEP3 HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0897 0900Z SAT JUL 19 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 127.3W AT 19/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT 64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW 34 KT.......120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 120SE 120SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 127.3W AT 19/0900Z AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 126.7W FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 15.9N 129.2W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW 34 KT...110NE 110SE 110SW 110NW FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 16.2N 131.6W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 16.5N 133.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 127.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 16.9N 135.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 17.6N 140.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z GROSS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Jul 19 17:34:07 1997 X-UIDL: 211175d8e125b73603f1f9e873fe8c52 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102432-7644>; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 17:33:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA236132; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 04:28:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5938885 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 04:28:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA38738 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 04:28:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id EAA04286 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 04:27:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707190927.EAA04286@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Jul 1997 04:28:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [190929] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 14 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 167 ABPZ20 KNHC 190929 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT JUL 19 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE FELICIA LOCATED ABOUT 1260 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Jul 19 22:35:41 1997 X-UIDL: 0ecd25e266d3cfefbbb5fcec25576ea5 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102505-7644>; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 22:35:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA220840; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 09:29:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5940395 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 09:29:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA81300 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 09:29:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA07012 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 09:29:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707191429.JAA07012@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Jul 1997 09:29:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 21 [191431] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 19 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 273 WTPZ23 KNHC 191431 TCMEP3 HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0897 1500Z SAT JUL 19 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 128.8W AT 19/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT 64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW 34 KT.......120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 120SE 120SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 128.8W AT 19/1500Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 128.1W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 16.0N 130.9W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW 34 KT...110NE 110SE 110SW 110NW FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 16.4N 133.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.9N 136.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 128.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 17.5N 138.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 18.5N 142.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Jul 19 22:37:32 1997 X-UIDL: e3fba3c7740ecc2d941c5fb280dbb97f Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102506-7644>; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 22:37:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA148748; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 09:31:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5940400 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 09:31:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA205298 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 09:31:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA07048 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 09:31:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707191431.JAA07048@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Jul 1997 09:31:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Felicia Discussion Number 21 [191432] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 20 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 312 WTPZ43 KNHC 191432 TCDEP3 HURRICANE FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 21 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT JUL 19 1997 THE AVERAGE DVORAK T-NUMBER OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS REMAINS 6.0...WHICH CORRESPONDS TO A CURRENT INTENSITY OF 115 KNOTS. FELICIA IS CROSSING THE 26C SST ISOTHERM AT THIS TIME SO GRADUAL WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THAT FROM THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 275/14. FELICIA CONTINUES TO BE STEERED WESTWARD BY A DEEP-LAYER RIDGE AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT THE HURRICANE WILL CONTINUE TO BE INFLUENCED BY THIS RIDGE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST SHOWS A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A GENTLE BEND TOWARD THE WEST- NORTHWEST LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS IS CLOSER TO CLIPER THAN TO THE BAM GUIDANCE. THE LATTER IS A LITTLE FARTHER NORTH AND FASTER. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/1500Z 15.8N 128.8W 115 KTS 12HR VT 20/0000Z 16.0N 130.9W 105 KTS 24HR VT 20/1200Z 16.4N 133.5W 90 KTS 36HR VT 21/0000Z 16.9N 136.0W 80 KTS 48HR VT 21/1200Z 17.5N 138.5W 70 KTS 72HR VT 22/1200Z 18.5N 142.0W 45 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 20 00:34:24 1997 X-UIDL: 9173df3adf25ae4928fe1a77af86b86c Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102485-7644>; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 00:34:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA191360; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 11:27:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5941444 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 11:27:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA226926 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 11:27:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id LAA08484 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 11:27:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707191627.LAA08484@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Jul 1997 11:27:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [191626] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 21 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 900 ABPZ20 KNHC 191626 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT JUL 19 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE FELICIA LOCATED ABOUT 1350 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 20 04:36:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102485-7644>; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 04:36:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA263052; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 15:30:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5943083 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 15:29:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA205072 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 15:29:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA11298 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 15:29:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707192029.PAA11298@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Jul 1997 15:29:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Felicia Discussion Number 22 [192030] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 26 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 216 WTPZ43 KNHC 192030 TCDEP3 HURRICANE FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 22 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT JUL 19 1997 THE EYE IS STILL FAIRLY WELL-DEFINED ON VISIBLE AND INFRARED IMAGES. LATEST DVORAK T-NUMBERS HAVE DECREASED JUST SLIGHTLY BUT THE CURRENT INTENSITY NUMBER IS MAINTAINED AT 6.0...115 KNOTS...AS PER THE RULES OF THE TECHNIQUE. AS IN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORIES...GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DUE TO LOWER SSTS ALONG THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE. LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD...WEAKENING COULD BE MORE RAPID DUE TO THE EFFECTS OF INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR. NO IMPORTANT CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE TRACK FORECAST. A DEEP- LAYER MEAN RIDGE SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE FELICIA ON A COURSE SLIGHTLY NORTH OF DUE WEST FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE CURRENT OFFICIAL FORECAST IS AN EXTENSION OF THE PREVIOUS ONE...AND IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH STATISTICAL/DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE. IF THIS FORECAST VERIFIES...FELICIA WILL ENTER ENTER THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY IN 48 HOURS. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/2100Z 15.9N 130.2W 115 KTS 12HR VT 20/0600Z 16.1N 132.2W 105 KTS 24HR VT 20/1800Z 16.5N 134.8W 90 KTS 36HR VT 21/0600Z 17.0N 137.5W 80 KTS 48HR VT 21/1800Z 17.8N 140.0W 70 KTS 72HR VT 22/1800Z 19.0N 144.0W 45 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 20 04:40:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102530-7644>; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 04:40:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA33348; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 15:33:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5943113 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 15:32:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA191292 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 15:29:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA11303 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 15:29:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707192029.PAA11303@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Jul 1997 15:32:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 22 [192031] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 27 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 217 WTPZ23 KNHC 192031 TCMEP3 HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0897 2100Z SAT JUL 19 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 130.2W AT 19/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 100SE 100SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 130.2W AT 19/2100Z AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 129.5W FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 16.1N 132.2W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 16.5N 134.8W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 17.0N 137.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 130.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 17.8N 140.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 19.0N 144.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 20 07:02:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102164-14839>; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 07:02:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA180488; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 17:56:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5944116 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 17:56:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA201206 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 17:56:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id RAA13143 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 17:56:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707192256.RAA13143@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Jul 1997 17:56:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [192254] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 29 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 009 ABPZ20 KNHC 192254 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT JUL 19 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE FELICIA LOCATED ABOUT 1400 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 950 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 20 10:37:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102309-14839>; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 10:37:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA38660; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 21:30:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5945575 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 21:30:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA168434 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 21:30:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA15320 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 21:30:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707200230.VAA15320@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Jul 1997 21:30:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Felicia Discussion Number 23 [200232] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 31 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 075 WTPZ43 KNHC 200232 TCDEP3 HURRICANE FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 23 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT JUL 19 1997 THE EYE HQAS BECOME A LITTLE LESS DISTINCT AND GOOD OUTFLOW IS LIMITED TO ONE QUADRANT. THUS THE PEAK HAS PROBABLY PASSED AND DECAY WILL BEGIN DUE TO LOWER SSTS ALONG THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE. LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD...WEAKENING COULD BE MORE RAPID DUE TO THE EFFECTS OF INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR. CURRENT FORECASTS ARE A CONTINUATION OF PREVIOUS FORECASTS. THE FORWARD SPEED IS ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY TO REFLECT ACTUAL MOVEMENT. THE FASTER MOTION SUGGESTS NO TURN IS IMMINENT. HOWEVER A TROUGH LATE IN THE FORECAST COULD BRING BOTH SHEAR...HENCE WEAKENING...AND A TURN TO THE RIGHT IN THE LATTER PART OF THE FORECAST. JARRELL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/0300Z 16.2N 131.7W 110 KTS 12HR VT 20/1200Z 16.6N 134.0W 100 KTS 24HR VT 21/0000Z 17.1N 136.8W 85 KTS 36HR VT 21/1200Z 17.6N 139.5W 70 KTS 48HR VT 22/0000Z 18.1N 142.1W 60 KTS 72HR VT 23/0000Z 19.0N 147.0W 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 20 10:38:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102284-14839>; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 10:38:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA38706; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 21:32:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5945580 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 21:32:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA43552 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 21:32:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA15335 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 21:32:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707200232.VAA15335@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Jul 1997 21:32:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 23 [200233] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 32 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 116 WTPZ23 KNHC 200233 TCMEP3 HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0897 0300Z SUN JUL 20 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 131.7W AT 20/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 100SE 100SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 131.7W AT 20/0300Z AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 131.0W FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 16.6N 134.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 17.1N 136.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 100 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 17.6N 139.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 131.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 18.1N 142.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 70 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 19.0N 147.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z JARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 20 14:47:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102383-14839>; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 14:47:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA252158; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 01:41:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5947256 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 01:41:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA199402 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 01:41:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id BAA17761 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 01:41:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707200641.BAA17761@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 01:41:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [200640] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 36 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 704 ABPZ20 KNHC 200640 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT JUL 19 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE FELICIA LOCATED ABOUT 1530 MILES EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 950 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 20 16:17:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102407-14839>; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 16:17:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA173784; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 03:11:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5947665 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 03:11:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA252102 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 03:11:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA19696 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 03:11:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707200811.DAA19696@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 03:11:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 24 [200813] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 40 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 908 WTPZ23 KNHC 200813 TCMEP3 HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0897 0900Z SUN JUL 20 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 133.1W AT 20/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 133.1W AT 20/0900Z AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 132.4W FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 16.7N 135.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 17.2N 137.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 17.6N 140.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 133.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 18.1N 143.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 70 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 19.1N 148.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z JARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 20 16:19:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102410-14839>; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 16:19:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA81168; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 03:13:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5947670 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 03:13:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA252158 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 03:13:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA19703 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 03:13:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707200813.DAA19703@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 03:13:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Felicia Discussion Number 24 [200812] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 41 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 935 WTPZ43 KNHC 200812 TCDEP3 HURRICANE FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 24 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN JUL 20 1997 ALL INDICATIONS ARE THAT FELICIA HAS PEAKED AND IS ON THE WAY DOWN. THE EYE HAS BECOME A LITTLE LESS DISTINCT AND GOOD OUTFLOW IS LIMITED TO ONE QUADRANT. LATE IN THE FORECAST WEAKENING COULD BE MORE RAPID DUE TO THE EFFECTS OF INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR. CURRENT FORECASTS ARE A CONTINUATION OF PREVIOUS FORECASTS. THE FORWARD SPEED IS ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY TO REFLECT ACTUAL MOVEMENT. THE FAST FORWARD SPEED SUGGESTS NO TURN IS IMMINENT. THE TROUGH CITED PREVIOUSLY AS A POSSIBLE SOURCE OF A TURN TO THE RIGHT...MAY BE RETROGRADING. SHOULD THAT HAPPEN...FELICIA MAY ENTER THE CENTRAL PACIFIC AS A SIGNIFICANT HURRICANE. JARRELL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/0900Z 16.3N 133.1W 105 KTS 12HR VT 20/1800Z 16.7N 135.0W 95 KTS 24HR VT 21/0600Z 17.2N 137.8W 80 KTS 36HR VT 21/1800Z 17.6N 140.5W 65 KTS 48HR VT 22/0600Z 18.1N 143.0W 55 KTS 72HR VT 23/0600Z 19.1N 148.0W 35 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 20 17:32:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102413-14839>; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 17:31:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA184750; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 04:26:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5947954 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 04:25:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA180630 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 04:25:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id EAA20335 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 04:25:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707200925.EAA20335@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 04:25:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [200925] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 43 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 802 ABPZ20 KNHC 200925 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN JUL 20 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE FELICIA LOCATED ABOUT 1265 MILES EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 20 22:45:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102503-14839>; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 22:45:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA144922; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 09:43:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5949241 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 09:43:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA180486 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 09:43:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA22639 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 09:43:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707201443.JAA22639@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 09:43:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 25 [201445] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 50 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 129 WTPZ23 KNHC 201445 TCMEP3 HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0897 1500Z SUN JUL 20 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 134.8W AT 20/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 962 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 100SE 100SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 134.8W AT 20/1500Z AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 134.1W FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 17.2N 137.1W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 17.9N 140.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 18.6N 142.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 134.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 19.3N 145.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 20.8N 149.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z DEMARIA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 20 22:52:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102476-14839>; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 22:52:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA180524; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 09:50:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5949290 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 09:50:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA64282 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 09:50:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA22711 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 09:50:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707201450.JAA22711@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 09:50:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Felicia Discussion Number 25 [201452] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 51 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 180 WTPZ43 KNHC 201452 TCDEP3 HURRICANE FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 25 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN JUL 20 1997 THE INTENSITY OF FELICIA APPEARS TO BE SLOWLY DECREASING WITH CURRENT DVORAK INTENSITY T NUMBERS RANGING FROM 4.5 TO 5.5. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS ESTIMATED AT 100 KTS. THE SYNOPTIC ENVIRONMENT SHOULD REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR ANOTHER 12 TO 24 HOURS AND THE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE STILL MARGINALLY WARM ENOUGH TO SUPPORT A HURRICANE. HOWEVER...FELICIA IS APPROACHING AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AS INDICATED BY WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. THE NCEP AVIATION MODEL SUGGESTS THAT THIS TROUGH WILL BE MAINTAINED FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS. THEREFORE...THE INTENSITY OF FELICIA IS FORECAST TO DECREASE RAPIDLY AFTER 12 HOURS DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF COOLER OCEAN WATERS AND A MORE HOSTILE SYNOPTIC ENVIRONMENT. TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS SUGGEST A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AS FELICIA APPROACHES THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. HOWEVER...ALL MODELS EXCEPT THE DEEP BAM INDICATE THAT THE GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 72 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CONTINUES THE WEST- NORTHWEST MOTION THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...CONSISTENT WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. DEMARIA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/1500Z 16.8N 134.8W 100 KTS 12HR VT 21/0000Z 17.2N 137.1W 95 KTS 24HR VT 21/1200Z 17.9N 140.0W 75 KTS 36HR VT 22/0000Z 18.6N 142.6W 60 KTS 48HR VT 22/1200Z 19.3N 145.1W 50 KTS 72HR VT 23/1200Z 20.8N 149.9W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 21 00:05:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102476-14839>; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 00:05:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA81390; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 11:01:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5949803 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 11:01:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA134354 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 11:01:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id LAA23387 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 11:01:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707201601.LAA23387@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 11:01:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [201601] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 54 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 149 ABPZ20 KNHC 201601 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN JUL 20 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE FELICIA LOCATED ABOUT 1330 MILES EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 21 04:38:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102559-14839>; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 04:38:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA45872; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 15:32:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5951374 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 15:32:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA201136 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 15:30:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA26100 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 15:30:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707202030.PAA26100@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 15:32:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Felicia Discussion Number 26 [202032] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 62 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 974 WTPZ43 KNHC 202032 TCDEP3 HURRICANE FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 26 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN JUL 20 1997 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE REMAINS 285/15. THE AVIATION MODEL SHOWS A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE NEAR 150 WEST. THIS IS THE BASIS FOR SLOWING THE FORWARD SPEED A LITTLE. THE DIRECTION OF MOTION IS FORECAST TO REMAIN ABOUT THE SAME FOR 72 HOURS. THE INTENSITY APPEARS TO HAVE HELD STEADY FOR THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE ONLY CHANGE FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY INTENSITY FORECAST IS TO BACK OFF A LITTLE ON THE WEAKENING TREND IN THE LATER FORECAST PERIODS AS THE SSTS ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK DO NOT GET REAL COLD. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/2100Z 17.2N 136.4W 100 KTS 12HR VT 21/0600Z 17.7N 138.7W 95 KTS 24HR VT 21/1800Z 18.5N 141.5W 80 KTS 36HR VT 22/0600Z 19.2N 144.3W 65 KTS 48HR VT 22/1800Z 19.9N 146.8W 55 KTS 72HR VT 23/1800Z 21.4N 151.0W 35 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 21 04:37:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102559-14839>; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 04:37:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA229198; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 15:32:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5951381 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 15:32:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA49366 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 15:31:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA26105 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 15:31:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707202031.PAA26105@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 15:32:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 26 [202033] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 61 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 988 WTPZ23 KNHC 202033 TCMEP3 HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0897 2100Z SUN JUL 20 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 136.4W AT 20/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 962 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 100SE 100SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 136.4W AT 20/2100Z AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 135.7W FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 17.7N 138.7W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 18.5N 141.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 19.2N 144.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 136.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 19.9N 146.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 21.4N 151.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 21 06:13:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102547-14839>; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 06:13:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA144964; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 17:10:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5951869 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 17:10:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA173608 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 17:10:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id RAA27080 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 17:10:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707202210.RAA27080@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 17:10:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [202206] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 64 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 136 ABPZ20 KNHC 202206 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN JUL 20 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE FELICIA LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 21 10:56:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102170-14499>; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 10:55:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA120476; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 21:51:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5953265 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 21:51:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA144998 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 21:51:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA29589 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 21:51:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707210251.VAA29589@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 21:51:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Felicia Discussion Number 27 [210253] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 79 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 088 WTPZ43 KNHC 210253 TCDEP3 HURRICANE FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 27 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN JUL 20 1997 THE EYE DISAPPEARED A FEW HOURS AGO...AND THE ORGANIZATION OF THE HURRICANE IS BEGINNING TO DETERIORATE. CURRENT INTENSITY IS 90 KNOTS IN ACCORD WITH THE LATEST SATELLITE-DERIVED ESTIMATES. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS MUCH STRONGER UPPER-LEVEL WINDS FROM THE SOUTH- SOUTHWEST IN THE VICINITY OF 145W. THEREFORE SHEARING OVER FELICIA IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE AND WEAKENING IS FORECAST. MY INTENSITY FORECAST IS PROBABLY CONSERVATIVE IN ESTIMATING THE RAPIDITY OF THE WEAKENING PROCESS. NO CHANGE TO THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE...285/15. NOT MUCH CHANGE IS MADE TO THE TRACK FORECAST EITHER. FELICIA CONTINUES TO BE STEERED BY THE EASTERLIES TO THE SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THIS SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE CURRENT OFFICIAL FORECAST IS A BLEND OF THE MEDIUM/SHALLOW BAM AND STATISTICAL/DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE. THE DEEP-LAYER BAM SHOWS RECURVATURE BUT THIS IS NOT EXPECTED TO HAPPEN SINCE FELICIA IS LIKELY TO BE STEERED BY SHALLOWER-LAYER FLOW LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/0300Z 17.4N 138.0W 90 KTS 12HR VT 21/1200Z 17.9N 140.3W 80 KTS 24HR VT 22/0000Z 18.6N 142.9W 70 KTS 36HR VT 22/1200Z 19.5N 145.5W 60 KTS 48HR VT 23/0000Z 20.0N 148.0W 50 KTS 72HR VT 24/0000Z 21.0N 152.0W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 21 10:55:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102308-14499>; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 10:55:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA226752; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 21:52:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5953275 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 21:52:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA145148 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 21:51:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA29573 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 21:51:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707210251.VAA29573@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 21:52:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 27 [210251] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 75 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 083 WTPZ23 KNHC 210251 TCMEP3 HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0897 0300Z MON JUL 21 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 138.0W AT 21/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW 34 KT.......100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 75SE 75SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 138.0W AT 21/0300Z AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 137.3W FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 17.9N 140.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 18.6N 142.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 19.5N 145.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 138.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 20.0N 148.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 21.0N 152.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 21 13:13:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102289-14499>; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 13:13:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA145058; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 00:09:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5953867 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 00:09:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA74376 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 00:09:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id AAA00875 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 00:09:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707210509.AAA00875@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 00:09:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [210507] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 90 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 875 ABPZ20 KNHC 210507 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN JUL 20 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE FELICIA LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA APPEARS DISORGANIZED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 21 16:18:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102381-14499>; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 16:18:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA129434; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 03:15:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5954557 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 03:14:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA173652 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 03:14:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA03317 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 03:14:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707210814.DAA03317@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 03:14:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 28 [210816] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 98 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 651 WTPZ23 KNHC 210816 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0897 0900Z MON JUL 21 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 139.4W AT 21/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT 50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW 34 KT.......100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 139.4W AT 21/0900Z AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 138.7W FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 17.9N 141.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 18.3N 144.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 18.8N 146.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 139.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 19.2N 149.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 20.0N 154.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT THE NEXT ADVISORY ON TROPICAL STORM FELICIA WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII AT 21/1500Z. FORECAST/ADVISORIES WILL BE CONTAINED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPA23 AND AFOS HEADER CCCTCMCP3. PUBLIC ADVISORIES WILL BE CONTAINED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPA33 AND AFOS HEADER CCCTCPCP3. THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI FLORIDA ON THIS SYSTEM. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 21 16:21:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102474-14499>; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 16:21:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA129282; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 03:18:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5954571 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 03:18:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA173794 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 03:17:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA03346 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 03:17:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707210817.DAA03346@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 03:18:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Felicia Discussion Number 28 [210818] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 99 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 711 WTPZ43 KNHC 210818 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 28 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON JUL 21 1997 FELICIA IS WEAKENING RAPIDLY. THE CYCLONE IS MOVING OVER 24 TO 25C WATER AND THE UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR HAS INCREASED. SINCE ONLY MINIMAL DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS...FELICIA IS DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM. CONTINUED WEAKENING WILL OCCUR DUE TO PERSISTENT SHEAR. THE CENTER IS NOT WELL DEFINED ON INFRARED IMAGERY...BUT BEST GUESS AT INITIAL MOTION IS 280/14. THE LOWER-LEVEL STEERING WILL ALLOW THIS GENERAL MOTION TO CONTINUE WHICH SHOULD BRING WHATEVER IS LEFT OF THE CENTER CLOSE TO THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE END OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD. THE CURRENT TRACK IS CLOSEST TO THE SHALLOW LAYER BAM AND THE CLIPER...AND IT IS NOTED THAT THE GFDL MODEL DISSIPATES THE SYSTEM IN AROUND 60 HOURS. ALTHOUGH THE REMNANTS OF THIS CYCLONE MAY MOVE CLOSE TO THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...WIND IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE A PROBLEM BUT RAINFALL COULD WELL BE ENHANCED. SINCE FELICIA WILL BE MOVING WEST OF 140W BY 1500Z...THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/0900Z 17.5N 139.4W 60 KTS 12HR VT 21/1800Z 17.9N 141.5W 50 KTS 24HR VT 22/0600Z 18.3N 144.2W 40 KTS 36HR VT 22/1800Z 18.8N 146.8W 35 KTS 48HR VT 23/0600Z 19.2N 149.5W 30 KTS 72HR VT 24/0600Z 20.0N 154.5W 25 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 21 18:06:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102305-14499>; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 18:06:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA134344; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 04:55:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5954775 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 04:55:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA168374 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 04:55:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id EAA03956 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 04:55:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707210955.EAA03956@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 04:55:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [210955] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 107 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 811 ABPZ20 KNHC 210955 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON JUL 21 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED ITS LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ON TROPICAL STORM FELICIA LOCATED ABOUT 1025 MILES EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE NEXT FORECAST/ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULY HAWAII. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jul 22 00:47:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102586-14499>; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 00:47:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA264554; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 11:43:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5957290 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 11:43:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA74474 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 11:42:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id LAA11904 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 11:42:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707211642.LAA11904@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 11:43:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [211642] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 567 ABPZ20 KNHC 211642 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON JUL 21 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jul 22 06:32:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102155-7992>; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 06:32:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA180544; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 17:28:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5960888 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 17:28:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA251942 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 17:28:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id RAA20487 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 17:28:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707212228.RAA20487@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 17:28:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [212213] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 341 ABPZ20 KNHC 212213 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON JUL 21 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jul 22 13:49:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102726-7992>; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 13:49:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA41198; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 00:45:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5963756 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 00:45:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA146906 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 00:45:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id AAA25723 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 00:45:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707220545.AAA25723@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 00:45:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [220543] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 26 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 240 ABPZ20 KNHC 220543 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON JUL 21 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jul 22 18:38:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102832-7992>; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 18:38:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA144902; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 05:35:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5964385 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 05:33:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA266126 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 05:33:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id FAA29413 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 05:33:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707221033.FAA29413@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 05:33:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [221025] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 314 ABPZ20 KNHC 221025 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE JUL 22 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jul 23 00:29:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102791-7992>; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 00:28:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA146692; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 11:22:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5966830 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 11:21:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA156002 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 11:21:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id LAA06265 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 11:21:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707221621.LAA06265@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 11:21:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [221611] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 597 ABPZ20 KNHC 221611 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE JUL 22 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jul 23 07:23:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102333-68>; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 07:23:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA84792; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 18:21:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5970898 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 18:20:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id SAA87842 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 18:20:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id SAA19036 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 18:20:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707222320.SAA19036@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 18:20:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [222316] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 78 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 559 ABPZ20 KNHC 222316 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE JUL 22 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jul 23 11:55:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102828-68>; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 11:55:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA181430; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 22:51:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5973341 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 22:51:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA180588 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 22:50:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id WAA22385 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 22:50:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707230350.WAA22385@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 22:51:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [230349] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 85 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 246 ABPZ20 KNHC 230349 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE JUL 22 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jul 23 18:33:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102407-68>; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 18:33:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA210736; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 05:30:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5975152 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 05:30:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA84766 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 05:30:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id FAA27660 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 05:30:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707231030.FAA27660@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 05:30:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [231027] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 131 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 986 ABPZ20 KNHC 231027 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED JUL 23 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jul 24 00:17:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103014-68>; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 00:17:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA64318; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 11:13:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5977977 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 11:13:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA84776 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 11:13:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id LAA04067 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 11:13:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707231613.LAA04067@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 11:13:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [231607] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 904 ABPZ20 KNHC 231607 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED JUL 23 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jul 24 06:38:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102153-21040>; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 06:38:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA81372; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 17:35:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5981355 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 17:35:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA118986 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 17:35:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id RAA14184 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 17:35:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707232235.RAA14184@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 17:35:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [232233] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 531 ABPZ20 KNHC 232233 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED JUL 23 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jul 24 11:35:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102500-21040>; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 11:34:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA203664; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 22:30:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5983452 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 22:30:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA82814 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 22:30:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id WAA17915 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 22:30:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707240330.WAA17915@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 22:30:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [240323] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 12 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 941 ABPZ20 KNHC 240323 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED JUL 23 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jul 24 18:10:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103071-21040>; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 18:10:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA201102; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 05:05:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5984932 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 05:05:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA235132 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 05:05:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id FAA23063 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 05:05:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707241005.FAA23063@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Jul 1997 05:05:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [241003] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 566 ABPZ20 KNHC 241003 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU JUL 24 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Jul 25 00:21:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102546-21040>; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 00:21:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA220920; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 11:16:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5987484 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 11:16:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA74468 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 11:16:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id LAA00727 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 11:16:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707241616.LAA00727@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Jul 1997 11:16:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [241608] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 611 ABPZ20 KNHC 241608 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU JUL 24 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Jul 25 06:31:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102156-14440>; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 06:31:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA226646; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 17:27:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5989945 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 17:27:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA87838 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 17:27:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id RAA10747 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 17:27:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707242227.RAA10747@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Jul 1997 17:27:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [242224] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 875 ABPZ20 KNHC 242224 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU JUL 24 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Jul 25 13:20:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102454-14440>; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 13:20:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA208264; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 00:15:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5992394 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 00:15:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA82698 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 00:08:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id XAA14701 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 23:13:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707250413.XAA14701@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Jul 1997 00:15:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [250408] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 15 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 773 ABPZ20 KNHC 250408 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU JUL 24 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Jul 25 18:02:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102210-14440>; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 18:02:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA245340; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 04:58:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5993247 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 04:58:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA155978 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 04:58:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id EAA17983 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 04:58:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707250958.EAA17983@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Jul 1997 04:58:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [250957] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 26 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 593 ABPZ20 KNHC 250957 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI JUL 25 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Jul 26 00:33:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102880-14440>; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 00:32:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA201014; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 11:26:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5995109 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 11:26:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA234516 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 11:26:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id LAA24035 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 11:26:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707251626.LAA24035@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Jul 1997 11:26:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [251625] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 36 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 440 ABPZ20 KNHC 251625 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI JUL 25 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Jul 26 06:01:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103127-14440>; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 06:01:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA58350; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 16:51:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5997567 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 16:51:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA24026 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 16:50:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id QAA02241 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 16:50:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707252150.QAA02241@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Jul 1997 16:51:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [252148] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 978 ABPZ20 KNHC 252148 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI JUL 25 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Jul 26 12:35:08 1997 X-UIDL: c3b990e13cecbeadd9bd98fd0a22c63d Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102727-4338>; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 12:35:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA110746; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 23:30:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5999679 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 23:30:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA249724 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 23:30:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id XAA07016 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 23:30:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707260430.XAA07016@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Jul 1997 23:30:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [260429] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 45 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 624 ABPZ20 KNHC 260429 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI JUL 25 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Jul 26 18:19:34 1997 X-UIDL: dbf79b5811ca2c02c6c3940c34d5f8c0 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103178-4338>; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 18:19:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA64288; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 05:12:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6000667 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 05:12:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA205068 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 05:12:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id FAA09896 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 05:12:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707261012.FAA09896@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Jul 1997 05:12:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [261008] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 53 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 377 ABPZ20 KNHC 261008 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT JUL 26 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 27 00:40:58 1997 X-UIDL: 6a2bcae983c994bdf720ed9912d64e07 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102777-4338>; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 00:40:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA181350; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 11:36:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6002199 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 11:36:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA110676 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 11:36:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id LAA12646 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 11:36:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707261636.LAA12646@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Jul 1997 11:36:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [261635] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 58 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 011 ABPZ20 KNHC 261635 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT JUL 26 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 27 05:58:31 1997 X-UIDL: 76347b98dc00ee501628b3452ed51347 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103180-4338>; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 05:58:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA146710; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 16:56:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6003876 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 16:55:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA226810 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 16:55:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id QAA15578 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 16:55:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707262155.QAA15578@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Jul 1997 16:55:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [262151] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 63 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 399 ABPZ20 KNHC 262151 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT JUL 26 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 27 11:24:26 1997 X-UIDL: 263c794b2db5f8f263cd4ea0c185f18b Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102542-7559>; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 11:24:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA57824; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 22:21:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6005430 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 22:21:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA252110 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 22:21:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id WAA18036 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 22:21:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707270321.WAA18036@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Jul 1997 22:21:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [270319] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 69 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 064 ABPZ20 KNHC 270319 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT JUL 26 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 27 18:24:53 1997 X-UIDL: 5a57dd18ec57d4410372c16b193ab07d Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102827-7559>; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 18:24:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA203568; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 05:22:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6006604 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 05:22:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA232664 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 05:20:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id FAA21118 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 05:20:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707271020.FAA21118@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Jul 1997 05:22:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [271015] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 83 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 608 ABPZ20 KNHC 271015 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN JUL 27 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 28 01:01:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102926-7559>; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 01:01:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA57642; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 11:58:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6008096 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 11:58:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA02584 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 11:58:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id LAA23704 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 11:58:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707271658.LAA23704@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Jul 1997 11:58:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [271658] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 355 ABPZ20 KNHC 271658 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN JUL 27 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS DISORGANIZED AT THIS TIME...BUT HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 28 06:52:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102184-6064>; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 06:52:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA60186; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 17:46:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6009690 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 17:46:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA200704 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 17:46:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id RAA27415 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 17:46:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707272246.RAA27415@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Jul 1997 17:46:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [272243] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 153 ABPZ20 KNHC 272243 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN JUL 27 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS DISORGANIZED AT THIS TIME...BUT HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 28 11:50:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103119-6064>; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 11:50:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA145098; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 22:43:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6011133 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 22:43:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA23950 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 22:42:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id WAA29633 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 22:42:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707280342.WAA29633@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Jul 1997 22:43:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [280340] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 425 ABPZ20 KNHC 280340 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN JUL 27 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THE ASSOCIATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS BEGINNING TO SHOW SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 28 22:03:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103180-6064>; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 17:51:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA146696; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 04:48:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6012193 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 04:48:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA81398 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 04:48:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id EAA01684 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 04:48:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707280948.EAA01684@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Jul 1997 04:48:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [280946] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 083c8239f7f474ee47dee3778816d10c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 938 Status: OR 473 ABPZ20 KNHC 280946 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON JUL 28 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS SHOWING SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 29 10:04:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103240-6064>; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 00:50:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA210822; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 11:44:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6014970 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 11:44:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA191336 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 11:44:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id LAA04512 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 11:44:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707281644.LAA04512@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Jul 1997 11:44:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [281643] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 358a46c8a0ca5f76697f7587159c97f0 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 868 Status: OR 574 ABPZ20 KNHC 281643 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON JUL 28 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO AND SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC SHOW NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 29 10:04:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102154-27074>; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 06:46:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA212390; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 17:43:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6019082 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 17:43:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA82928 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 17:42:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id RAA07797 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 17:42:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707282242.RAA07797@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Jul 1997 17:43:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [282241] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e601e7a7ee81bdcd6d8496759c19783f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 877 Status: OR 549 ABPZ20 KNHC 282241 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON JUL 28 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO...AND A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR SHOW NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 29 22:41:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102512-27074>; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 12:13:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA81336; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 22:58:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6021303 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 22:58:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA200862 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 22:58:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id WAA09592 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 22:58:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707290358.WAA09592@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Jul 1997 22:58:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [290358] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b013f346afa7df4c5f6c4e52898afa2c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 880 Status: OR 183 ABPZ20 KNHC 290358 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON JUL 28 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO...AND A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR SHOW NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 29 22:41:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103379-27074>; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 17:07:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA208584; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 04:02:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6022655 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 04:01:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA32928 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 04:01:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id EAA11366 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 04:01:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707290901.EAA11366@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Jul 1997 04:01:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [290859] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 298c846dc2a7099a41df8b41ebcc3454 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 879 Status: OR 337 ABPZ20 KNHC 290859 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE JUL 29 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO...AND A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR SHOW NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jul 30 00:27:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103591-27074>; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 00:19:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA84806; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 11:16:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6025697 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 11:16:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA234628 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 11:15:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id LAA14702 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 11:15:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707291615.LAA14702@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Jul 1997 11:16:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [291611] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 96562a0256825a6bbac832fd9758dcd3 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1039 Status: OR 382 ABPZ20 KNHC 291611 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE JUL 29 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTH OF PUERTO VALLARTA HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAY FORM DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ANOTHER AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEC HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jul 30 06:47:33 1997 X-UIDL: 979064ad88c98d984e21f3c00448b1bf Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102215-18385>; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 06:47:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA38598; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 17:41:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6029075 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 17:41:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA106668 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 17:41:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id RAA19089 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 17:41:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707292241.RAA19089@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Jul 1997 17:41:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [292239] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 733 ABPZ20 KNHC 292239 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE JUL 29 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ALTHOUGH THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS NOT WELL ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME...THERE IS SOME EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND THE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT APPEARS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. A TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAY FORM DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC ALSO HAS POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 31 10:00:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102559-18385>; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 11:44:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA236220; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 22:35:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6031946 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 22:35:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA146848 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 22:35:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id WAA21082 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 22:35:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707300335.WAA21082@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Jul 1997 22:35:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [300333] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2e0a16f0cb63e8f2c42c899aa33b5497 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1324 Status: OR 101 ABPZ20 KNHC 300333 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE JUL 29 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED ABOUT 325 MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ASSOCIATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED AND BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED. IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 575 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS DIMINISHED. HOWEVER...THIS DISTURBANCE STILL HAS SOME POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS...BEFORE ENCOUNTERING WINDS ALOFT THAT SHOULD BECOME LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 31 10:00:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102664-18385>; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 18:17:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA38598; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 05:15:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6033981 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 05:15:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA122286 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 05:15:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id FAA23167 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 05:15:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707301015.FAA23167@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Jul 1997 05:15:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [301015] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 948d8f5f9f49b97bc7d72b0373d9cbc6 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1360 Status: OR 482 ABPZ20 KNHC 301015 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED JUL 30 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED ABOUT 325 MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ASSOCIATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED A LITTLE AND IS BEGINNING TO SHOW SOME BANDING CHARACTERISTICS. IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS CONTINUED TO DIMINISH. HOWEVER...THIS DISTURBANCE STILL HAS SOME POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS...BEFORE ENCOUNTERING WINDS ALOFT THAT SHOULD BECOME LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 31 10:00:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103404-18385>; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 00:52:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA02620; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 11:38:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6037088 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 11:38:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA252124 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 11:38:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id LAA25333 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 11:37:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707301637.LAA25333@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Jul 1997 11:38:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [301636] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 34a7d83e23943ab58fc89034debd6163 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1269 Status: OR 171 ABPZ20 KNHC 301636 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED JUL 30 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAY BE FORMING. IF THE PRESENT TREND CONTINUES...ADVISORIES WILL BE INITIATED LATER TODAY. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE BETWEEN WEST AND WEST NORTHWEST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAVE BECOME DISORGANIZED. THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION HAS DECREASED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 31 10:00:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103639-18385>; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 04:28:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA121886; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 15:24:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6039219 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 15:24:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA58306 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 15:24:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA26807 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 15:24:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707302024.PAA26807@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Jul 1997 15:24:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nine-e Forecast/advisory Number 1 [302023] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0872353ddaf0f8e4e325b50c32c1bc41 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1683 Status: OR 311 WTPZ24 KNHC 302023 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0997 2100Z WED JUL 30 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 96.3W AT 30/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 96.3W AT 30/2100Z AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 95.9W FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 11.5N 97.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 12.0N 99.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 13.0N 101.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.3N 96.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 13.5N 104.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 15.0N 109.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0300Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 31 10:00:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103638-18385>; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 04:29:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA117892; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 15:25:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6039226 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 15:25:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA23894 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 15:25:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA26816 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 15:25:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707302025.PAA26816@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Jul 1997 15:25:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nine-e Discussion Number 1 [302023] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1ef1caefb233c6b5be2bf1dfa15a8400 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1331 Status: OR 313 WTPZ44 KNHC 302023 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT WED JUL 30 1997 THERE IS A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND LARGE BANDING FEATURES ASSOCIATED WITH THE NEW DEPRESSION BUT CONVECTION IS MINIMAL NEAR THE CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN IS NOT IDEAL FOR DEVELOPMENT BUT THERE IS ENOUGH DIFLUENCE AND WARM WATERS TO ALLOW STRENGTHENING. BEST ESTIMATE OF THE INITIAL MOTION IS 280/08. TRACK MODELS ARE ALL IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH 72 HOURS AND SO DOES THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 30/2100Z 11.3N 96.3W 30 KTS 12HR VT 31/0600Z 11.5N 97.5W 35 KTS 24HR VT 31/1800Z 12.0N 99.5W 40 KTS 36HR VT 01/0600Z 13.0N 101.5W 50 KTS 48HR VT 01/1800Z 13.5N 104.0W 60 KTS 72HR VT 02/1800Z 15.0N 109.0W 70 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 31 10:00:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103653-18385>; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 06:13:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA49382; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 17:02:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6040075 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 17:02:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA235726 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 17:02:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id RAA27458 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 17:02:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707302202.RAA27458@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Jul 1997 17:02:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [302202] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 66eb1d612405a452411ebc0c5681effe X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1134 Status: OR 494 ABPZ20 KNHC 302202 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED JUL 30 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E CENTERED ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA REMAIN DISORGANIZED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WPTZ24 AND AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP4. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 31 11:12:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102247-9576>; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 10:48:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA81380; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 21:36:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6041836 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 21:36:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA239752 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 21:36:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA29000 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 21:35:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707310235.VAA29000@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Jul 1997 21:36:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nine-e Discussion Number 2 [310235] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bdcfed3bce2c3f1f9ba8cb6d25d48273 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2468 Status: OR 353 WTPZ44 KNHC 310235 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT WED JUL 30 1997 SATELLITE PICS SHOW A BANDING TYPE PATTERN WITH A RATHER BROAD CIRCULATION. HOWEVER...THE DEEP CONVECTION IS STILL RAGGED AND THE INTENSITY WILL REMAIN 30 KNOTS AT THIS TIME. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS OVER WARM WATER...IN FACT SHOULD REMAIN OVER 29 TO 30C WATER THROUGHOUT THIS FORECAST PERIOD...AND THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW APPEARS TO BE GETTING BETTER ESTABLISHED. INTENSIFICATION TO HURRICANE STRENGTH IS FORECAST...IN AGREEMENT WITH SHIFOR...SHIPS ...AND GFDI GUIDANCE. THE SYSTEM IS STILL GOING THROUGH THE INITIAL DEVELOPMENT PHASE AND AS USUAL THE CENTER IS NOT WELL DEFINED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE 0000Z SYNOPTIC FIXES FROM BOTH SAB AND TAFB ARE FARTHER EAST THAN THE 1800Z SYNOPTIC FIXES. THEREFORE...A LITTLE REPOSITIONING IS REQUIRED FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY BUT THE LOCATION CONFIDENCE IS STILL LOW. BEST ESTIMATE OF THE INITIAL MOTION IS NOW 285/05. THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW SEEN IN SATELLITE ANIMATION OVER CENTRAL MEXICO TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE DEPRESSION IS ONLY MANIFEST AT HIGH LEVELS IN THE 0000Z MEXICAN RAOB DATA. THE LATEST AVAILABLE GUIDANCE...STILL BASED ON THE 1200Z AVIATION RUN OF THE NWS GLOBAL MODEL... SHOWS THE 200 MB LOW MOVING WESTWARD WITH TIME AND WEAKENING WHILE MAINTAINING A 700 TO 500 MB RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. THIS SHOULD ALLOW A GENERAL MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST TO CONTINUE. OUR CURRENT TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS TRACK...ONLY A LITTLE SLOWER. IT IS ALSO MIDWAY BETWEEN THE GFDI AND THE DEEP LAYER BAM GUIDANCE AND IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST STATISTICAL/DYNAMICAL TRACK PREDICTION MODEL. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 31/0300Z 11.4N 95.8W 30 KTS 12HR VT 31/1200Z 11.6N 96.6W 35 KTS 24HR VT 01/0000Z 12.0N 98.0W 40 KTS 36HR VT 01/1200Z 12.6N 99.9W 50 KTS 48HR VT 02/0000Z 13.4N 102.1W 60 KTS 72HR VT 03/0000Z 15.0N 107.0W 70 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 31 11:12:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102386-9576>; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 10:42:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA41020; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 21:37:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6041854 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 21:37:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA81192 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 21:37:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA29003 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 21:37:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707310237.VAA29003@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Jul 1997 21:37:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nine-e Forecast/advisory Number 2 [310236] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c028fd69aa0cd66b84ec3f81fa41399e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1700 Status: OR 354 WTPZ24 KNHC 310236 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0997 0300Z THU JUL 31 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER RELOCATED NEAR 11.4N 95.8W AT 31/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER RELOCATED NEAR 11.4N 95.8W AT 31/0300Z AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 95.6W FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 11.6N 96.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 12.0N 98.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 12.6N 99.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.4N 95.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 13.4N 102.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 15.0N 107.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 31 12:39:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102519-9576>; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 12:34:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA235730; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 23:31:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6042712 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 23:31:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA84926 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 23:31:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id XAA29740 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 23:30:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707310430.XAA29740@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Jul 1997 23:31:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [310428] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1420fa47141660f59998a1b1cbcf98e1 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Status: OR 974 ABPZ20 KNHC 310428 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED JUL 30 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E CENTERED ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA REMAIN LIMITED AND DISORGANIZED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WPTZ24 AND AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP4. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 31 16:54:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102713-9576>; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 16:32:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA262968; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 03:29:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6043944 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 03:29:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA121860 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 03:29:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA01110 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 03:29:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707310829.DAA01110@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 31 Jul 1997 03:29:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Discussion Number 3 [310829] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 049ac396e6554a960a13376ee389b687 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2522 Status: OR 262 WTPZ44 KNHC 310829 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT THU JUL 31 1997 WHILE POSITION ESTIMATES BASED ON IR IMAGERY SHOW UNCERTAINTY ...THEY SUGGEST THAT THE CYCLONE HAS EITHER NOT MOVED MUCH DURING THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS OR IS STILL IN THE PROCESS OF DEVELOPING A CONSOLIDATED CENTER. THE CLASSIFICATIONS FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB HAVE REACHED 2.5 AND SUPPORT UPGRADING THE SYSTEM TO TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WITH 35 KNOT WINDS. THE STORM HAS A LARGE CIRCULATION OF CLOUDS...WITH DEEPEST CONVECTION OCCURRING IN A BAND JUST EAST OF THE ESTIMATED CENTER POSITION AND IN ANOTHER BAND ABOUT 100-150 N MI TO THE WEST OF THE CENTER. THE 00Z AVN AND GFDL SHOW A 500 MB ANTICYCLONE CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...AS IN SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. THE FLOW AROUND THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE HIGH IS FORECAST TO DRIVE GUILLERMO TOWARD THE WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. THIS IS SIMILAR TO WHAT THE TRACK MODELS SHOWED PREVIOUSLY BUT WHICH HAS YET TO BE OBSERVED. ONLY THE STATISTICAL-DYNAMICAL MODEL AND CLIPER ARE MUCH DIFFERENT THROUGH 48 HOURS...APPROACHING THE COAST NEAR ACAPULCO. THE OFFICIAL TRACK SHOWS A W TO WNW HEADING BUT AT A SLOWER INITIAL SPEED THAN INDICATED BY THE GUIDANCE. THE AVN AND GFDL SHOW WEAKENING OF THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO THE NW OF GUILLERMO AND KEEP THE LOW AT SOME DISTANCE FROM THE STORM. THE CURRENTLY ANALYZED WEAK ANTICYCLONE OVER GUILLERMO IS FORECAST BY THOSE MODELS TO GIVE WAY TO A LIGHT...GENERALLY DIFFLUENT ENVIRONMENTAL FLOW ALOFT. ALL THREE INTENSITY FORECAST SCHEMES PREDICT THAT GUILLERMO WILL BECOME A HURRICANE WITHIN THREE DAYS. WITH LIGHT SHEAR AND EVEN WARMER THAN NORMAL WATERS ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK...THE NHC FORECAST DOES AS WELL. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 31/0900Z 11.5N 95.7W 35 KTS 12HR VT 31/1800Z 12.0N 96.7W 40 KTS 24HR VT 01/0600Z 12.6N 98.1W 45 KTS 36HR VT 01/1800Z 13.2N 99.8W 55 KTS 48HR VT 02/0600Z 13.9N 101.8W 65 KTS 72HR VT 03/0600Z 15.5N 106.5W 70 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 31 16:54:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102725-9576>; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 16:34:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA208228; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 03:29:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6043949 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 03:29:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA58194 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 03:29:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA01113 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 03:29:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707310829.DAA01113@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 31 Jul 1997 03:29:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 3 [310830] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d851316763f0747a15cf7abcd1b3b9c4 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1732 Status: OR 264 WTPZ24 KNHC 310830 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0997 0900Z THU JUL 31 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 95.7W AT 31/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT...NONE...STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 95.7W AT 31/0900Z AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 95.5W FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 12.0N 96.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 12.6N 98.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 13.2N 99.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 40NE 25SE 25SW 40NW 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.5N 95.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 13.9N 101.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 15.5N 106.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 31 22:19:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102386-9576>; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 19:23:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA156108; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 05:37:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6044122 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 05:37:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA122042 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 05:37:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id FAA01757 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 05:37:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707311037.FAA01757@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 31 Jul 1997 05:37:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [311034] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e09fe5839478d805c26377a8c6c72fa8 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1183 Status: OR 807 ABPZ20 KNHC 311034 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU JUL 31 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO...RECENTLY UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E... CENTERED ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA REMAIN LIMITED AND DISORGANIZED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WPTZ24 AND AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP4. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jul 31 22:33:57 1997 X-UIDL: 0e5b67e10ee6c93c505a02e563d12d69 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102770-9576>; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 22:33:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA84820; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 09:30:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6045429 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 09:29:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA167148 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 09:29:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA02864 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 09:29:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707311429.JAA02864@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 31 Jul 1997 09:29:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Discussion Number 4 [311430] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 180 WTPZ44 KNHC 311430 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT THU JUL 31 1997 FIRST FEW VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT GUILLERMO HAS A BROAD CIRCULATION CENTER...DIFFICULT TO LOCATE...AND IT APPEARS TO BE A LITTLE TO THE WEST OF THE POSITION PREVIOUSLY INDICATED. GUILLERMO HAS NOT CHANGED IN STRUCTURE VERY MUCH AND CONSISTS OF TWO FAIRLY ILL DEFINED CONVECTIVE BANDS WITHOUT CENTRAL FEATURES. DVORAK T-NUMBERS SUPPORT ONLY 35 KNOTS AT THIS TIME BUT A GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS INDICATED SINCE THE WATER IS WARM AND THE UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE LIGHT. BEST ESTIMATE OF THE INITIAL MOTION IS 290/06. THERE IS A LARGE MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE ANCHORED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES. THE FLOW AROUND THAT HIGH WOULD LIKELY STEERED GUILLERMO TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS MOTION IS ALSO INDICATED BY MOST OF THE TRACK MODELS EXCEPT NGAPS WHICH IS FASTER AND MOVES THE SYSTEM NOT TOO FAR FROM THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IN 3 DAYS. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 31/1500Z 13.1N 97.7W 35 KTS 12HR VT 01/0000Z 13.6N 98.8W 40 KTS 24HR VT 01/1200Z 14.0N 100.5W 45 KTS 36HR VT 02/0000Z 14.5N 102.5W 55 KTS 48HR VT 02/1200Z 15.0N 104.5W 65 KTS 72HR VT 03/1200Z 16.0N 109.0W 70 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jul 31 22:34:07 1997 X-UIDL: 0966270a4daeaa23db8bc46638a5f936 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102765-9576>; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 22:34:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA180636; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 09:30:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6045438 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 09:30:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA49290 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 09:30:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA02889 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 09:30:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707311430.JAA02889@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 31 Jul 1997 09:30:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 4 [311431] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 194 WTPZ24 KNHC 311431 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0997 1500Z THU JUL 31 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 97.7W AT 31/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 97.7W AT 31/1500Z AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 97.4W FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 13.6N 98.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 14.0N 100.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 14.5N 102.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 40NE 25SE 25SW 40NW 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N 97.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 15.0N 104.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 16.0N 109.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 2 00:51:52 1997 X-UIDL: 204f5464ba11cc313024091058c92692 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103700-214>; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 00:51:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA38554; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 11:47:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6053978 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 11:47:14 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA234590 for ; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 11:47:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id LAA15870 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 11:47:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708011647.LAA15870@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 1 Aug 1997 11:47:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [011639] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 197 ABPZ20 KNHC 011639 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI AUG 1 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GUILLERMO CENTERED ABOUT 345 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ARE DRIFTING WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 2 04:27:45 1997 X-UIDL: ebb09f873914ab9ccdef5cf52b47d7f1 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103752-214>; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 04:27:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA65450; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 15:14:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6055725 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 15:14:17 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA181394 for ; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 15:14:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA20352 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 15:14:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708012014.PAA20352@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 1 Aug 1997 15:14:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 9 [012010] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 303 WTPZ24 KNHC 012010 TCMEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0997 2100Z FRI AUG 01 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 102.8W AT 01/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 0NW 50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT....... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 102.8W AT 01/2100Z AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 102.4W FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 12.6N 104.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 12.8N 106.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 13.0N 108.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 102.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 13.5N 110.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 15.0N 114.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 2 04:19:45 1997 X-UIDL: c57b20d8e57e8013d9d7639c0e204e61 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103751-214>; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 04:19:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA81294; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 15:15:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6055752 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 15:15:41 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA65402 for ; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 15:15:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA20463 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 15:15:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708012015.PAA20463@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 1 Aug 1997 15:15:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Discussion Number 9 [012009] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 327 WTPZ44 KNHC 012009 TCDEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI AUG 01 1997 THE EYE HAS NOT DEVELOPED YET AS EXPECTED EARLIER TODAY. THE SYSTEM CONSISTS OF A CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST...CDO..AND A FEW CURVED BANDS. GUILLERMO'S DEVELOPMENT HAS TEMPORARILY LEVELED OFF BUT BOTH UPPER LEVELS AND SST OCEAN TEMPERATURES SUGGEST THAT STRENGTHENING SHOULD CONTINUE. INITIAL MOTION IS 275/10. THERE IS LARGE ANTICYCLONE CENTERED OVER THE WESTERN U.S. WHICH IS FORECAST TO PERSIST. GUILLERMO IS THEN EXPECTED TO MOVE AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THAT LARGE ANTICYCLONE. THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH MOST OF THE MODELS WHICH SUGGEST A WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK THROUGH 72 HOURS. THE AVN MODEL CHANGED FROM THE EARLIER RUN AND IS NOW IN AGREEMENT WITH THE OTHER MODELS TAKING GUILLERMO ON A GENERAL WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 01/2100Z 12.5N 102.8W 65 KTS 12HR VT 02/0600Z 12.6N 104.2W 70 KTS 24HR VT 02/1800Z 12.8N 106.2W 75 KTS 36HR VT 03/0600Z 13.0N 108.0W 85 KTS 48HR VT 03/1800Z 13.5N 110.0W 90 KTS 72HR VT 04/1800Z 15.0N 114.5W 90 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 2 06:10:17 1997 X-UIDL: 124a57af854eaddfae99b200a8571313 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103756-214>; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 06:10:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA67996; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 17:01:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6056760 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 17:01:26 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA32896 for ; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 17:01:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id RAA22885 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 17:01:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708012201.RAA22885@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 1 Aug 1997 17:01:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Discussion Number 9 [012157] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 566 WTPZ44 KNHC 012157 TCDEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI AUG 01 1997 THE EYE HAS NOT DEVELOPED YET AS EXPECTED EARLIER TODAY. THE SYSTEM CONSISTS OF A CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST...CDO..AND A FEW CURVED BANDS. GUILLERMO'S DEVELOPMENT HAS TEMPORARILY LEVELED OFF BUT BOTH UPPER LEVELS AND SST OCEAN TEMPERATURES SUGGEST THAT STRENGTHENING SHOULD CONTINUE. INITIAL MOTION IS 275/10. THERE IS LARGE ANTICYCLONE CENTERED OVER THE WESTERN U.S. WHICH IS FORECAST TO PERSIST. GUILLERMO IS THEN EXPECTED TO MOVE AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THAT LARGE ANTICYCLONE. THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH MOST OF THE MODELS WHICH SUGGEST A WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK THROUGH 72 HOURS. THE AVN MODEL CHANGED FROM THE EARLIER RUN AND IS NOW IN AGREEMENT WITH THE OTHER MODELS TAKING GUILLERMO ON A GENERAL WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 01/2100Z 12.5N 102.8W 65 KTS 12HR VT 02/0600Z 12.6N 104.2W 70 KTS 24HR VT 02/1800Z 12.8N 106.2W 75 KTS 36HR VT 03/0600Z 13.0N 108.0W 85 KTS 48HR VT 03/1800Z 13.5N 110.0W 90 KTS 72HR VT 04/1800Z 15.0N 114.5W 90 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 2 06:07:47 1997 X-UIDL: 6e6b59562b8ad25330afb6540ef4e054 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103759-214>; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 06:07:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA68094; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 17:02:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6056776 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 17:02:03 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA249832 for ; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 17:02:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id RAA22896 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 17:01:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708012201.RAA22896@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 1 Aug 1997 17:02:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 9 [012157] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 567 WTPZ24 KNHC 012157 TCMEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0997 2100Z FRI AUG 01 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 102.8W AT 01/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 0NW 50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT....... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 102.8W AT 01/2100Z AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 102.4W FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 12.6N 104.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 12.8N 106.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 13.0N 108.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 102.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 13.5N 110.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 15.0N 114.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 2 06:30:23 1997 X-UIDL: 8c97caa987e39522be4f83b25054169d Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102173-23331>; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 06:30:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA208424; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 17:16:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6056872 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 17:16:36 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA110612 for ; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 17:16:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id RAA22995 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 17:16:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708012216.RAA22995@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 1 Aug 1997 17:16:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [012207] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 782 ABPZ20 KNHC 012207 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI AUG 1 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GUILLERMO CENTERED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CONTINUES TO DRIFT WESTWARD SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 2 10:45:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102804-23331>; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 10:37:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA146696; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 21:30:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6058454 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 21:30:47 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA223726 for ; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 21:30:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA24536 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 21:30:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708020230.VAA24536@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 1 Aug 1997 21:30:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Discussion Number 10 [020227] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2da6e3d718aa87da6964c39f06fea86c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1432 Status: OR 434 WTPZ44 KNHC 020227 TCDEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI AUG 01 1997 THE INTENSITY REMAINED ABOUT STEADY DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS...BUT A CONCENTRATION OF VERY COLD CLOUD TOPS HAS FORMED NEAR THE CENTER DURING THE PAST HOUR OR TWO. WITH SHEAR AND SST CONDITIONS FAVORABLE...THE FORECAST IS FOR INTENSIFICATION FROM 65 TO 90 KNOTS IN TWO DAYS. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 275/10. WITH A RIDGE TO THE NORTH...THE MODEL GUIDANCE IS GENERALLY TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST FOR THE NEXT 3 DAYS AND THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS IN THE MIDDLE OF THE MODEL SPREAD AND IS SIMILAR TO AND AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 02/0300Z 12.9N 104.4W 65 KTS 12HR VT 02/1200Z 13.0N 105.9W 70 KTS 24HR VT 03/0000Z 13.2N 107.9W 75 KTS 36HR VT 03/1200Z 13.8N 109.8W 85 KTS 48HR VT 04/0000Z 14.4N 111.8W 90 KTS 72HR VT 05/0000Z 16.0N 115.5W 90 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 2 10:45:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102804-23331>; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 10:39:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA26394; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 21:34:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6058483 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 21:34:29 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA110678 for ; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 21:32:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA24553 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 21:32:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708020232.VAA24553@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 1 Aug 1997 21:34:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 10 [020227] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b4729ffb7faae66f0b434d470eff35c9 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1973 Status: OR 466 WTPZ24 KNHC 020227 TCMEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0997 0300Z SAT AUG 02 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 104.4W AT 02/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT.......100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 104.4W AT 02/0300Z AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 103.9W FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 13.0N 105.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 13.2N 107.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 13.8N 109.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N 104.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 14.4N 111.8W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 16.0N 115.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103060-23331>; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 12:41:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA200714; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 23:33:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6058993 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 23:32:57 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA191478 for ; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 23:32:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id XAA25124 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 23:32:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708020432.XAA25124@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 1 Aug 1997 23:32:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [020427] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2900c58a859aac091f1bf7fadccfde0c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 999 Status: OR 050 ABPZ20 KNHC 020427 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI AUG 1 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GUILLERMO CENTERED ABOUT 410 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CONTINUES TO DRIFT WESTWARD SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103094-23331>; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 16:49:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA92600; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 03:40:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6059794 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 03:40:40 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA86170 for ; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 03:40:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id DAA26283 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 03:40:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708020840.DAA26283@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 2 Aug 1997 03:40:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Discussion Number 11 [020835] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 119c8844865947a83cbf22061fd2b5c3 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2021 Status: OR 431 WTPZ44 KNHC 020835 TCDEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SAT AUG 02 1997 POSITION ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND SAB ARE NEARLY IDENTICAL TONIGHT AND ARE CONSISTENT WITH AN EXTENSION OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK. ON THE OTHER HAND...ANOTHER POSSIBLE CENTER IS OCCASIONALLY APPARENT ON IR IMAGERY AS A WARM SPOT ABOUT 45 NM TO THE NORTH. THAT SPOT IS ALSO DETECTED IN SSM/I DATA...AND THE AIR FORCE GLOBAL WEATHER CENTER USED THAT LOCATION FOR THEIR CENTER FIX. I HAVE OFFSET THE TRACK A LITTLE NORTHWARD FROM 6 HOURS AGO...TO NEAR THE WARM SPOT. INITIAL MOTION IS 280/11 KT. NO MAJOR CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK IS MADE. THE LARGE HIGH TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST AND THE FLOW AROUND THE S AND SW SIDE SHOULD STEER GUILLERMO TOWARD THE W TO WNW. THE GFDL SHOWS MORE DECELERATION THAN CURRENTLY INDICATED IN THE NHC FORECAST. ALL THREE CLASSIFICATION SITES HAVE DVORAK T-NUMBERS OF 4.5...SUPPORTING 75 KT AS THE INITIAL INTENSITY. IF THE WARM SPOT TURNS OUT TO BE AN EYE THEN THE ASSOCIATED OBJECTIVE T-NUMBERS SUGGEST THAT GUILLERMO COULD BE STRONGER. THE HURRICANE WILL BE PASSING OVER WARM WATERS AND THROUGH AN ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 02/0900Z 13.5N 105.8W 75 KTS 12HR VT 02/1800Z 13.9N 107.5W 85 KTS 24HR VT 03/0600Z 14.3N 109.4W 95 KTS 36HR VT 03/1800Z 14.9N 111.4W 100 KTS 48HR VT 04/0600Z 15.3N 113.4W 100 KTS 72HR VT 05/0600Z 16.5N 116.5W 100 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103106-23331>; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 16:57:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA92624; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 03:40:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6059799 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 03:40:52 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA32938 for ; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 03:40:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id DAA26287 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 03:40:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708020840.DAA26287@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 2 Aug 1997 03:40:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 11 [020835] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c696a7679cb4ba2c56d680d1404d66ca X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1974 Status: OR 432 WTPZ24 KNHC 020835 TCMEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0997 0900Z SAT AUG 02 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 105.8W AT 02/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT.......100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 105.8W AT 02/0900Z AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 105.2W FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 13.9N 107.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...127NE 75SE 75SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 14.3N 109.4W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 75SE 75SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 14.9N 111.4W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N 105.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 15.3N 113.4W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 16.5N 116.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103105-23331>; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 18:31:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA110818; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 05:27:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6060019 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 05:27:13 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA60360 for ; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 05:27:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id FAA26808 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 05:27:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708021027.FAA26808@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 2 Aug 1997 05:27:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [021020] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cc8979814c8c2a22234d8c7b6b24d228 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 978 Status: OR 737 ABPZ20 KNHC 021020 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT AUG 2 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GUILLERMO CENTERED ABOUT 685 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS DEGENERATED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103110-23331>; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 22:43:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA208550; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 09:37:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6061670 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 09:37:19 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA02592 for ; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 09:35:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA27741 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 09:35:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708021435.JAA27741@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 2 Aug 1997 09:37:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Discussion Number 12 [021430] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f49542d1c240ae2d012e1d107ac3b1f9 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1845 Status: OR 283 WTPZ44 KNHC 021430 TCDEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT AUG 02 1997 THE EYE CAN NOT BE SEEN ON SATELLITE IMAGERY YET BUT GIVEN THE WELL DEFINED CLOUD PATTERN ASSOCIATED WITH GUILLERMO...THERE IS PROBABLY AN EYE UNDER THE CIRRUS CANOPY. MUCH BETTER AND DETAILED INFORMATION OF THE INNER STRUCTURE OF GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. THERE WILL BE A RESEARCH MISSION CONDUCTED BY THE HURRICANE RESEARCH DIVISION (HRD) TODAY AND THE P3 NOAA PLANE WILL STUDY GUILLERMO. DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM ALL AGENCIES INDICATE THAT WINDS ARE NEAR 80 KNOTS AND AS INDICATED IN PREVIOUS ADVISORIES...STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED. INITIAL MOTION IS 280/11. THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN REMAINS UNCHANGED. THERE IS A LARGE ANTICYCLONE OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING WESTWARD. GUILLERMO IS FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST AND WEST NORTHWEST AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THAT HIGH WHICH IS FORECAST BY GLOBAL MODELS TO REMAIN STATIONARY. MOST OF THE TRACK MODELS RESPOND TO THE HIGH BY TAKING GUILLERMO TOWARD THE WEST AND WEST NORTHWEST. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 02/1500Z 13.5N 106.5W 80 KTS 12HR VT 03/0000Z 13.7N 108.2W 85 KTS 24HR VT 03/1200Z 14.2N 110.5W 95 KTS 36HR VT 04/0000Z 14.5N 112.5W 100 KTS 48HR VT 04/1200Z 15.0N 114.5W 100 KTS 72HR VT 05/1200Z 16.0N 118.5W 100 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103115-23331>; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 22:43:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA208594; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 09:37:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6061682 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 09:37:35 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA262988 for ; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 09:35:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA27745 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 09:35:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708021435.JAA27745@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 2 Aug 1997 09:37:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 12 [021431] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: af716160ecf197e44f77af743d96113e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1970 Status: OR 284 WTPZ24 KNHC 021431 TCMEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0997 1500Z SAT AUG 02 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 106.5W AT 02/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 95 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT.......100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 106.5W AT 02/1500Z AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 106.1W FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 13.7N 108.2W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...127NE 75SE 75SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 14.2N 110.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 75SE 75SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 14.5N 112.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N 106.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 15.0N 114.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 16.0N 118.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102599-23331>; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 00:35:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA26548; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 11:30:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6062697 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 11:30:29 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA226718 for ; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 11:30:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id LAA28151 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 11:30:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708021630.LAA28151@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 2 Aug 1997 11:30:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [021625] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 28f1faad37a501aa75bc1fba90d9fa29 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 861 Status: OR 810 ABPZ20 KNHC 021625 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT AUG 2 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GUILLERMO CENTERED ABOUT 690 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103630-23331>; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 04:26:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA60368; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 15:20:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6064363 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 15:19:56 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA92622 for ; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 15:18:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA29331 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 15:17:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708022017.PAA29331@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 2 Aug 1997 15:19:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 13 [022007] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c0cf67a762700fb47d11ce2cbe6fb603 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1970 Status: OR 056 WTPZ24 KNHC 022007 TCMEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0997 2100Z SAT AUG 02 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 107.6W AT 02/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT.......150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 107.6W AT 02/2100Z AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 107.1W FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 13.3N 109.1W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 13.5N 111.2W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 13.8N 113.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 107.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 14.0N 115.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 15.0N 120.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103636-23331>; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 04:51:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA210032; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 15:27:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6064455 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 15:27:20 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA02650 for ; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 15:27:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA29373 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 15:27:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708022027.PAA29373@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 2 Aug 1997 15:27:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Discussion Number 13 [022006] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 56ee20b4810053c0c67425350af94676 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1639 Status: OR 168 WTPZ44 KNHC 022006 TCDEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT AUG 02 1997 THE EYE FINALLY APPEARED ON BOTH IR AND VISIBLE IMAGES. OBJECTIVE T- NUMBERS ARE OSCILLATING AROUND 6.0 WHILE THE SUBJECTIVE NUMBERS ARE BETWEEN 5.0 AND 5.5 ON THE DVORAK SCALE. WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 105 KNOTS AT THIS TIME AND THE P3 NOAA PLANE STUDYING GUILLERMO WILL PROBABLY GIVE US A DIRECT MEASUREMENT OF THE MINIMUM PRESSURE AND WINDS LATER TODAY. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED SINCE THERE IS NOTHING IN THE ENVIRONMENT..THAT WE CAN SEE...TO STOP THE INTENSIFICATION PROCESS. INITIAL MOTION...FOLLOWING THE EYE...IS ABOUT 270/10. A LARGE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ANCHORED OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES. THIS PATTERN WILL KEEP GUILLERMO ON A WEST TO WEST NORTHWEST TRACK THROUGH 72 HOURS. GUIDANCE IS IN AGREEMENT. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 02/2100Z 13.2N 107.6W 105 KTS 12HR VT 03/0600Z 13.3N 109.1W 110 KTS 24HR VT 03/1800Z 13.5N 111.2W 110 KTS 36HR VT 04/0600Z 13.8N 113.5W 110 KTS 48HR VT 04/1800Z 14.0N 115.5W 110 KTS 72HR VT 05/1800Z 15.0N 120.0W 110 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102156-28934>; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 06:56:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA97822; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 17:50:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6065145 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 17:50:44 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA191242 for ; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 17:50:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id RAA00090 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 17:50:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708022250.RAA00090@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 2 Aug 1997 17:50:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [022246] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3466502ad5cd84e9999d50b7f2c3eb70 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 863 Status: OR 001 ABPZ20 KNHC 022246 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT AUG 2 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GUILLERMO CENTERED ABOUT 620 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102241-28934>; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 10:41:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA191268; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 21:29:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6066340 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 21:29:05 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA226574 for ; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 21:29:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA01164 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 21:28:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708030228.VAA01164@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 2 Aug 1997 21:29:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Discussion Number 14 [030223] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1324079ef70b83fe0f69fba13b113066 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1535 Status: OR 163 WTPZ44 KNHC 030223 TCDEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT AUG 02 1997 A NOAA RESEARCH AIRCRAFT IN THE HURRICANE FIXED THE CENTER AT 2332Z WITH A 25 NMI EYE RADIUS AND A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 947 MB. THE MAXIMUM WIND REPORTED AT 700 MB FLIGHT LEVEL WAS 125 KNOTS. THE SURFACE WIND SPEED IS ESTIMATED AT 100 KNOTS BASED ON THE ABOVE DATA. THERE APPEARS TO BE NO REASON TO LIMIT THE STRENGTHENING PROCESS AND THE FORECAST IS TO 110 KNOTS IN 12 HOURS. THE FEW INTENSITY GUIDANCE MODELS AVAILABLE SUGGEST A LEVELING OFF AFTER 12 HOURS AND SOME WEAKENING AFTER 36 HOURS. THE MTION CONTINES TO BE 275/10 AND THE MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS THIS GENERAL MOTION CONTINUING FOR 72 HOURS AS THE HURRICANE IS EMBEDDED IN DEEP EASTERLIES. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/0300Z 13.5N 108.5W 105 KTS 12HR VT 03/1200Z 13.6N 110.0W 110 KTS 24HR VT 04/0000Z 13.8N 112.0W 110 KTS 36HR VT 04/1200Z 14.0N 114.1W 110 KTS 48HR VT 05/0000Z 14.3N 116.1W 100 KTS 72HR VT 06/0000Z 15.3N 120.3W 90 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102231-28934>; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 11:14:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA110662; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 22:06:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6066617 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 22:05:55 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA92468 for ; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 22:05:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id WAA01387 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 22:05:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708030305.WAA01387@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 2 Aug 1997 22:05:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 14 [030304] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bcac8ba2012770afa1f25f436b1f1a63 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1993 Status: OR 574 WTPZ24 KNHC 030304 TCMEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0997 0300Z SUN AUG 03 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 108.5W AT 03/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 947 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT.......150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 100SE 100SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 108.5W AT 03/0300Z AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 108.0W FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 13.6N 110.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 13.8N 112.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 14.0N 114.1W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N 108.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 14.3N 116.1W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 15.3N 120.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102251-28934>; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 11:13:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA98218; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 22:06:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6066634 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 22:06:48 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA98184 for ; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 22:06:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id WAA01408 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 22:06:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708030306.WAA01408@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 2 Aug 1997 22:06:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 14 [030305] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2028923d65232b53991f1f2ec5468b09 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1993 Status: OR 603 WTPZ24 KNHC 030305 TCMEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0997 0300Z SUN AUG 03 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 108.5W AT 03/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 947 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT.......150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 100SE 100SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 108.5W AT 03/0300Z AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 108.0W FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 13.6N 110.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 13.8N 112.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 14.0N 114.1W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N 108.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 14.3N 116.1W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 15.3N 120.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102231-28934>; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 11:15:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA153024; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 22:11:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6066657 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 22:11:06 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA152994 for ; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 22:11:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id WAA01416 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 22:10:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708030310.WAA01416@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 2 Aug 1997 22:11:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Discussion Number 14 [030306] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b5e4320653bfb61990af6edc23625fc6 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1535 Status: OR 717 WTPZ44 KNHC 030306 TCDEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT AUG 02 1997 A NOAA RESEARCH AIRCRAFT IN THE HURRICANE FIXED THE CENTER AT 2332Z WITH A 25 NMI EYE RADIUS AND A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 947 MB. THE MAXIMUM WIND REPORTED AT 700 MB FLIGHT LEVEL WAS 125 KNOTS. THE SURFACE WIND SPEED IS ESTIMATED AT 100 KNOTS BASED ON THE ABOVE DATA. THERE APPEARS TO BE NO REASON TO LIMIT THE STRENGTHENING PROCESS AND THE FORECAST IS TO 110 KNOTS IN 12 HOURS. THE FEW INTENSITY GUIDANCE MODELS AVAILABLE SUGGEST A LEVELING OFF AFTER 12 HOURS AND SOME WEAKENING AFTER 36 HOURS. THE MTION CONTINES TO BE 275/10 AND THE MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS THIS GENERAL MOTION CONTINUING FOR 72 HOURS AS THE HURRICANE IS EMBEDDED IN DEEP EASTERLIES. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/0300Z 13.5N 108.5W 105 KTS 12HR VT 03/1200Z 13.6N 110.0W 110 KTS 24HR VT 04/0000Z 13.8N 112.0W 110 KTS 36HR VT 04/1200Z 14.0N 114.1W 110 KTS 48HR VT 05/0000Z 14.3N 116.1W 100 KTS 72HR VT 06/0000Z 15.3N 120.3W 90 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102328-28934>; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 12:53:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA08718; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 23:49:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6067679 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 23:49:52 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA02810 for ; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 23:49:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id XAA01780 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 23:49:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708030449.XAA01780@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 2 Aug 1997 23:49:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [030448] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e1f9b520b4b35361f54628252ccf8d9e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 851 Status: OR 037 ABPZ20 KNHC 030448 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT AUG 2 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GUILLERMO CENTERED ABOUT 660 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102637-28934>; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 16:52:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA92508; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 03:35:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6069197 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 03:35:30 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA226622 for ; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 03:35:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id DAA02909 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 03:35:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708030835.DAA02909@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 3 Aug 1997 03:35:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 15 [030833] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0a1825d1b5cafeba2e130878e9859299 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1990 Status: OR 135 WTPZ24 KNHC 030833 TCMEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0997 0900Z SUN AUG 03 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 109.8W AT 03/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 940 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT.......150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 100SE 100SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 109.8W AT 03/0900Z AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 109.2W FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 13.8N 111.5W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 14.0N 113.5W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 14.2N 115.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N 109.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 14.5N 117.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 15.0N 121.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102597-28934>; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 16:41:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA226676; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 03:35:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6069202 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 03:35:40 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA02638 for ; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 03:35:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id DAA02913 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 03:35:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708030835.DAA02913@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 3 Aug 1997 03:35:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Discussion Number 15 [030834] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7eb61bfef5662c67fc112855b1364ba1 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2153 Status: OR 136 WTPZ44 KNHC 030834 TCDEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN AUG 03 1997 GUILLERMO IS A VERY IMPRESSIVE-LOOKING HURRICANE. IT HAS A WELL- DEFINED EYE EMBEDDED IN VERY COLD CLOUD TOPS. OBJECTIVE T-NUMBERS ARE HIGHER THAN WHEN THE NOAA RESEARCH AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATED THE SYSTEM JUST BEFORE 00Z. THEREFORE IT IS ASSUMED THAT THE WINDS HAVE INCREASED FURTHER AND THE CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATE IS LOWERED ACCORDINGLY. THIS CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS ALSO A COMPROMISE OF SUBJECTIVE DVORAK ESTIMATES. IT IS OF INTEREST TO NOTE THAT...IN SPITE OF ITS STRENGTH...THE HURRICANES UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS SOMEWHAT RESTRICTED OVER THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE. OBVIOUSLY THIS HAS NOT BEEN MUCH OF A HINDERANCE TO THE DEEPENING PROCESS. EVEN THOUGH SOME FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE...I WILL ASSUME THAT THE INTENSITY HAS REACHED A PLATEAU AND FORECAST NO FURTHER INCREASE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS MAY OCCUR TODAY AS A RESULT OF EYEWALL CYCLES. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE REMAINS ABOUT THE SAME...275/11. THE 06Z AVN RUN SHOWS A DEEP-LAYER MEAN RIDGE PERSISTING TO THE NORTH OF GUILLERMO THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD...WHICH SHOULD KEEP THE HURRICANE ON A SLIGHTLY NORTH OF DUE WEST HEADING. THEREFORE THE TRACK FORECAST IS STRAIGHTFORWARD...AND SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN IN PREVIOUS PACKAGES. THIS IS IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH THE OBJECTIVE GUIDANCE. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/0900Z 13.6N 109.8W 120 KTS 12HR VT 03/1800Z 13.8N 111.5W 120 KTS 24HR VT 04/0600Z 14.0N 113.5W 120 KTS 36HR VT 04/1800Z 14.2N 115.5W 115 KTS 48HR VT 05/0600Z 14.5N 117.5W 110 KTS 72HR VT 06/0600Z 15.0N 121.5W 100 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102669-28934>; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 19:07:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA178394; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 05:52:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6069573 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 05:51:49 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA226758 for ; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 05:51:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id FAA03396 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 05:51:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708031051.FAA03396@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 3 Aug 1997 05:51:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [031050] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e184ab528f32e3c3721305c8f42f4756 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 850 Status: OR 739 ABPZ20 KNHC 031050 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN AUG 3 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GUILLERMO CENTERED ABOUT 640 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102669-28934>; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 22:33:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA86038; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 09:27:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6072383 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 09:27:03 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA262914 for ; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 09:27:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA04208 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 09:26:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708031426.JAA04208@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 3 Aug 1997 09:27:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Discussion Number 16 [031426] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 00836c4549bfc593908b39c609fb3a9f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2492 Status: OR 006 WTPZ44 KNHC 031426 TCDEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN AUG 03 1997 SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A CLASSIC EYE PATTERN...WITH A WELL-DEFINED EYE EMBEDDED WITHIN VERY COLD SURROUNDING TEMPERATURES. IN FACT... THE SURROUNDING TEMPERATURES ARE EVEN COLDER THAN 6 HOURS AGO. THE NOAA HURRICANE RESEARCH DIVISION IS CONDUCTING A VORTEX MOTION EXPERIMENT LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BUT CORE DATA WILL LIKELY NOT BE RECEIVED AT NHC UNTIL AROUND 2100Z. DVORAK ESTIMATES HAVE CONTINUED TO INCREASE FROM AFGWC...SAB...AND TAFB. SINCE SATELLITE ESTIMATES ARE THE ONLY GAME IN TOWN AT THIS TIME...INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 135 KNOTS...155 MPH...WHICH IS A BLEND BETWEEN THE VARIOUS ESTIMATES. THIS MAKES GUILLERMO A BORDERLINE CAT 4/CAT 5 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS IMPRESSIVE IN ALL BUT THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT...WHERE SOME NORTHERLY SHEAR IS BEING ENCOUNTERED. OBVIOUSLY THIS SHEAR HAS NOT HINDERED THE DEEPENING PROCESS SO FAR. THE HURRICANE IS OVER 29C WATER AT THE PRESENT TIME AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER 27C WATER AT THE END OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE EXPECTED TODAY AS A RESULT OF EYEWALL CYCLES...AND IT WILL BE DIFFICULT TO MAINTAIN THE CURRENT HIGH INTENSITY. QUILLERMO HAS LIKELY PEAKED...AND THE FORECAST INDICATES SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING. HOWEVER...QUILLERMO IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE AN IMPRESSIVE HURRICANE FOR AT LEAST ANOTHER 3 DAYS OR SO. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE REMAINS 275/11. TRACK FORECAST IS STRAIGHTFORWARD...THANKS TO A PERSISTENT DEEP-LAYER MEAN RIDGE TO THE NORTH. CURRENT TRACK IS AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK AND IN CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH GFDL...UKMET...AND BAM GUIDANCE. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/1500Z 13.7N 110.8W 135 KTS 12HR VT 04/0000Z 13.8N 112.5W 135 KTS 24HR VT 04/1200Z 14.0N 114.7W 130 KTS 36HR VT 05/0000Z 14.3N 116.7W 125 KTS 48HR VT 05/1200Z 14.7N 118.8W 120 KTS 72HR VT 06/1200Z 15.5N 123.0W 110 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102705-28934>; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 22:38:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA263144; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 09:30:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6072396 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 09:30:12 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA60288 for ; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 09:29:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA04218 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 09:29:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708031429.JAA04218@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 3 Aug 1997 09:30:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 16 [031428] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8678eabb65c702b5a6223281dc244e08 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1993 Status: OR 074 WTPZ24 KNHC 031428 TCMEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0997 1500Z SUN AUG 03 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 110.8W AT 03/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 925 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT.......175NE 125SE 125SW 175NW 12 FT SEAS..275NE 125SE 125SW 275NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 110.8W AT 03/1500Z AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 110.3W FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 13.8N 112.5W MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 125SE 125SW 175NW FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 14.0N 114.7W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 125SE 125SW 175NW FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 14.3N 116.7W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 125SE 125SW 175NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 110.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 14.7N 118.8W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 15.5N 123.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103125-28934>; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 00:34:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA223546; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 11:25:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6073204 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 11:25:22 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA43698 for ; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 11:25:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id LAA04812 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 11:24:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708031624.LAA04812@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 3 Aug 1997 11:25:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [031623] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 38c957b0adbbd8f31fb2e30df971d9df X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 854 Status: OR 765 ABPZ20 KNHC 031623 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN AUG 3 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GUILLERMO CENTERED ABOUT 640 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103782-28934>; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 04:31:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA43624; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 15:26:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6074731 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 15:25:55 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA210004 for ; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 15:25:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA06088 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 15:25:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708032025.PAA06088@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 3 Aug 1997 15:25:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 17 [032020] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f69c21ed730374ff7121e7c59b2e0722 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1993 Status: OR 244 WTPZ24 KNHC 032020 TCMEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0997 2100Z SUN AUG 03 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 112.1W AT 03/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 923 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT.......175NE 125SE 125SW 175NW 12 FT SEAS..275NE 125SE 125SW 275NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 112.1W AT 03/2100Z AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 111.5W FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 14.1N 113.8W MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 125SE 125SW 175NW FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 14.4N 116.0W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 125SE 125SW 175NW FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 14.7N 118.5W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 125SE 125SW 175NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 112.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 15.1N 121.0W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 16.0N 126.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103782-28934>; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 04:34:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA60346; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 15:29:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6074798 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 15:29:38 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA242344 for ; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 15:29:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA06109 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 15:29:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708032029.PAA06109@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 3 Aug 1997 15:29:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Discussion Number 17 [032018] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6ab6d52b0663bc6f9dbad70d902bf6f2 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2374 Status: OR 253 WTPZ44 KNHC 032018 TCDEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN AUG 03 1997 SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW A SMALL...WELL-DEFINED EYE EMBEDDED WITHIN VERY COLD SURROUNDING TEMPERATURES. THE NOAA HURRICANE RESEARCH DIVISION IS CONDUCTING A VORTEX MOTION EXPERIMENT WITH TWO P-3 AIRCRAFT. HOWEVER...WE HAVE NOT YET RECEIVED WIND DATA FROM ALL QUADRANTS AND DO NOT KNOW IF THE PLANE HAS FOUND THE MAXIMUM WINDS YET. FOR NOW...THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE LEFT AT 135 KNOTS WHICH IS A COMPROMISE AMONG THE VARIOUS SATELLITE ESTIMATES. THIS KEEPS GUILLERMO A BORDERLINE CAT 4/CAT 5 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE...AND WE ARE BETTING THAT THIS WILL BE THE PEAK INTENSITY. THE HURRICANE IS OVER 29C WATER AT THE PRESENT TIME AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER 27C WATER AT THE END OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE EXPECTED IN THE SHORT TERM AS A RESULT OF EYEWALL CYCLES...AND IN THE LONGER TERM WE EXPECT TO SEE SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING. HOWEVER ...GUILLERMO IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE AN IMPRESSIVE HURRICANE FOR AT LEAST ANOTHER 3 DAYS OR SO. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE REMAINS 275/11. A PERSISTENT DEEP-LAYER MEAN RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF GUILLERMO WILL ALLOW THE GENERAL WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION TO CONTINUE. THE CURRENT TRACK IS A LITTLE BIT FASTER THAN THE PREVIOUS TRACK SINCE THE NWS AVIATION MODEL FROM 1200Z SUGGESTS THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH MAY BE STRONGER THAN WAS INDICATED ON THE PREVIOUS RUN. CURRENT TRACK IS IN CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH THE UKMET AND BAM GUIDANCE...BUT A LITTLE SLOWER THAN THE GFDL AND NOGAPS. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/2100Z 13.9N 112.1W 135 KTS 12HR VT 04/0600Z 14.1N 113.8W 135 KTS 24HR VT 04/1800Z 14.4N 116.0W 130 KTS 36HR VT 05/0600Z 14.7N 118.5W 125 KTS 48HR VT 05/1800Z 15.1N 121.0W 120 KTS 72HR VT 06/1800Z 16.0N 126.5W 110 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102214-28484>; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 07:04:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA236262; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 18:00:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6075757 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 17:59:51 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA181406 for ; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 17:59:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id RAA06748 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 17:59:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708032259.RAA06748@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 3 Aug 1997 17:59:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [032258] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 75d152031d6b3c16829f7294beb88f8f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 863 Status: OR 124 ABPZ20 KNHC 032258 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN AUG 3 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GUILLERMO CENTERED ABOUT 640 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 11:21:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102615-28484>; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 10:55:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA178240; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 21:41:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6077684 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 21:41:31 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA82730 for ; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 21:41:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA07579 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 21:41:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708040241.VAA07579@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 3 Aug 1997 21:41:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Discussion Number 18 [040240] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 228ade6b484ce8ce4a1a0442f8fa3fbe X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1686 Status: OR 197 WTPZ44 KNHC 040240 TCDEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN AUG 03 1997 NOAA RESEARCH AIRCRAFT GAVE US THREE CENTER FIXES DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. THE CENTRAL SURFACE PRESSURE FLUCTUATED BETWEEN 923 AND 930 MB AND THE HIGHEST 700 MB LEVEL WINDS WERE 145 KNOTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED THE EYE FEATURE TEMPORARILY DISSAPPEARED FOR A FEW HOURS BUT IT IS BACK AGAIN. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES DECREASED WITHOUT THE EYE BUT ARE COMING BACK UP. SO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY WIND SPEED OF 135 KNOTS LOOKS GOOD AND THE OFFICIAL WIND SPEED FORECAST IS UNCHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 275/11. ALL OF THE GUIDANCE AGREES ON A CONTINUATION OF THIS MOTION WITH A STRONG RIDGE REMAINING NORTH OF THE HURRICANE. THE GFLD AND NOGAPS MODELS SHOW A FASTER FORWARD MOTION AND THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS A LITTLE SLOWER THAN THESE TWO MODELS. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 04/0300Z 14.0N 113.2W 135 KTS 12HR VT 04/1200Z 14.2N 114.9W 135 KTS 24HR VT 05/0000Z 14.5N 117.2W 130 KTS 36HR VT 05/1200Z 14.9N 119.8W 125 KTS 48HR VT 06/0000Z 15.4N 122.5W 120 KTS 72HR VT 07/0000Z 16.3N 127.5W 110 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 11:21:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102481-28484>; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 10:45:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA82786; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 21:42:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6077689 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 21:41:55 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA178254 for ; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 21:41:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA07583 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 21:41:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708040241.VAA07583@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 3 Aug 1997 21:41:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 18 [040241] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4b218c465e264434fda8c762fd6252b5 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1993 Status: OR 198 WTPZ24 KNHC 040241 TCMEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0997 0300Z MON AUG 04 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 113.2W AT 04/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 923 MB EYE DIAMETER 22 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT 64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT.......175NE 125SE 125SW 175NW 12 FT SEAS..275NE 125SE 125SW 275NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 113.2W AT 04/0300Z AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 112.6W FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 14.2N 114.9W MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 125SE 125SW 175NW FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 14.5N 117.2W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 125SE 125SW 175NW FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 14.9N 119.8W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 125SE 125SW 175NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 113.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 15.4N 122.5W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 16.3N 127.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 13:12:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102458-28484>; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 13:00:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA191290; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 23:51:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6078516 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 23:50:53 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA123174 for ; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 23:50:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id XAA08144 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 23:50:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708040450.XAA08144@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 3 Aug 1997 23:50:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [040450] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2c5f88e9626c353a4fd2151f288c1d8b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Status: OR 894 ABPZ20 KNHC 040450 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN AUG 3 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GUILLERMO CENTERED ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 16:50:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102606-28484>; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 16:41:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA205216; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 03:30:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6079341 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 03:30:31 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA82830 for ; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 03:30:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id DAA09126 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 03:30:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708040830.DAA09126@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 4 Aug 1997 03:30:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 19 [040829] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a1c02ccab926701cb744c6d0e2ea19b7 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1990 Status: OR 060 WTPZ24 KNHC 040829 TCMEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0997 0900Z MON AUG 04 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 114.5W AT 04/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 930 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT 64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT.......175NE 175SE 125SW 175NW 12 FT SEAS..300NE 175SE 125SW 300NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 114.5W AT 04/0900Z AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 113.9W FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 14.1N 116.4W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 175NW FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 14.5N 118.8W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 175NW FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 14.9N 121.3W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 175NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 114.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 15.2N 123.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 16.0N 128.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 16:50:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102658-28484>; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 16:42:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA26532; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 03:35:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6079356 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 03:35:01 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA140380 for ; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 03:35:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id DAA09143 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 03:34:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708040834.DAA09143@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 4 Aug 1997 03:35:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Discussion Number 19 [040834] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ec0c1b36a331a2bd26c383d28d182a17 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2134 Status: OR 121 WTPZ44 KNHC 040834 TCDEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON AUG 04 1997 THE SATELLITE PRESENTATION OF THE HURRICANE IS NOT QUITE AS IMPRESSIVE AS IT WAS ON SUNDAY. CLOUD TOPS ARE SLIGHTLY WARMER AND THE EYE IS NOT AS WELL DEFINED. NOTWITHSTANDING...THIS IS STILL A VERY POWERFUL HURRICANE. CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS 130 KNOTS WHICH IS IN LINE WITH THE LATEST OBJECTIVE DVORAK T-NUMBERS. GUILLERMO MAY BE UNDERGOING EYEWALL REPLACEMENT CYCLES...IN WHICH CASE INTENSITY FLUCTUATIONS TYPICALLY OCCUR. THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW LOOKS STRONG AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS NO LARGE INCREASE IN VERTICAL SHEAR TODAY. GUILLERMO SHOULD MORE OR LESS MAINTAIN ITS STRENGTH DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS THE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS BECOME SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE. CURRENT MOTION IS WESTWARD NEAR 12 KNOTS...ALTHOUGH THERE HAVE BEEN SOME TROCHOIDAL WOBBLES IN THE EYE MOVEMENT. WE CONTINUE TO SEE A STRONG DEEP-LAYER RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE HURRICANE IN THE AVN MODEL FORECAST THROUGH 72 HOURS. THEREFORE A SLIGHTLY NORTH OF DUE WEST TRACK IS FORECAST AS IN PREVIOUS ADVISORIES. THE GFDL MODEL FORECAST MOTION IS SLIGHTLY FASTER AND A LITTLE MORE TO THE NORTHWEST. THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND RADIUS HAS BEEN IN INCREASED TO THE SOUTHEAST BASED ON ESTIMATES FROM THE AIR FORCE GLOBAL WEATHER CENTER. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 04/0900Z 14.0N 114.5W 130 KTS 12HR VT 04/1800Z 14.1N 116.4W 130 KTS 24HR VT 05/0600Z 14.5N 118.8W 125 KTS 36HR VT 05/1800Z 14.9N 121.3W 120 KTS 48HR VT 06/0600Z 15.2N 123.5W 115 KTS 72HR VT 07/0600Z 16.0N 128.0W 105 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 5 11:46:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102704-28484>; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 22:37:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA60176; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 09:30:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6081072 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 09:30:15 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA168238 for ; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 09:28:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA11538 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 09:28:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708041428.JAA11538@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 4 Aug 1997 09:30:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Discussion Number 20 [041428] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: db6a39214a23fdca1ff88bb07611399e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2018 Status: OR 096 WTPZ44 KNHC 041428 TCDEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 20 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT MON AUG 04 1997 SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW A WELL-DEFINED EYE EMBEDDED WITHIN A VERY COLD CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST. DVORAK OBJECTIVE T NUMBERS HAVE BEEN BETWEEN 6.5 AND 7.0 FOR OVER 6 HOURS. THIS IS NOT QUITE AS HIGH AS 24 HOURS AGO AND WE THINK THAT THE PEAK INTENSITY LIKELY OCCURRED YESTERDAY MORNING WHEN GUILLERMO HAD THE VERY SMALL EYE. THE CYCLONE IS OVER 28 TO 29C WATER AND WILL MOVE OVER 25 TO 26C WATER BY THE END OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD. SATELLITE ANIMATION SHOWS SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ALOFT WEST OF ABOUT 130W...BUT THE AVIATION MODEL SUGGESTS THAT THE SHEAR IN THIS AREA SHOULD DIMINISH BY THE TIME GUILLERMO GETS THERE. THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW CONTINUES TO BE IMPRESSIVE AND WE ARE FORECASTING A STRONG HURRICANE FOR ANOTHER TWO DAYS...WITH THE ONLY SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING OCCURRING LATE IN THIS PERIOD AS GUILLERMO MOVES OVER SOMEWHAT COOLER WATER. CURRENT MOTION IS 275/12. A STRONG DEEP-LAYER MEAN RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE HURRICANE WILL ALLOW THE GENERAL WESTWARD MOTION TO CONTINUE. THIS TRACK UPDATES THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE AND IS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE NAVY NOGAPS AND THE NWS AVIATION MODEL. THE NOGAPS IS FASTER. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 04/1500Z 14.2N 115.7W 130 KTS 12HR VT 05/0000Z 14.4N 117.6W 130 KTS 24HR VT 05/1200Z 14.8N 120.1W 125 KTS 36HR VT 06/0000Z 15.2N 122.6W 120 KTS 48HR VT 06/1200Z 15.8N 125.2W 115 KTS 72HR VT 07/1200Z 17.0N 130.5W 100 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 5 11:46:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102741-28484>; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 22:37:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA168264; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 09:30:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6081081 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 09:30:30 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA43726 for ; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 09:30:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA11573 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 09:29:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708041429.JAA11573@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 4 Aug 1997 09:30:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 20 [041429] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e2e928dae867a45e7cea61698358d701 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1993 Status: OR 104 WTPZ24 KNHC 041429 TCMEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0997 1500Z MON AUG 04 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 115.7W AT 04/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 930 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT 64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT.......175NE 175SE 125SW 175NW 12 FT SEAS..300NE 175SE 125SW 500NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 115.7W AT 04/1500Z AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 115.1W FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 14.4N 117.6W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 175NW FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 14.8N 120.1W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 175NW FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 15.2N 122.6W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 175NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 115.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 15.8N 125.2W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 17.0N 130.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 5 11:46:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102727-28484>; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 00:27:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA118854; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 11:22:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6081923 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 11:21:35 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA166922 for ; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 11:21:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id LAA14046 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 11:21:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708041621.LAA14046@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 4 Aug 1997 11:21:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [041617] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d7eb6c68d6598fb70dee9348117fa359 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 969 Status: OR 533 ABPZ20 KNHC 041617 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON AUG 4 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GUILLERMO CENTERED ABOUT 710 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 5 11:46:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102991-28484>; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 04:57:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA33322; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 15:46:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6083812 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 15:45:56 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA79128 for ; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 15:45:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA20867 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 15:45:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708042045.PAA20867@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 4 Aug 1997 15:45:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Discussion Number 21 [042020] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0925d2b2d60b96c8aec3acd97f2a231f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1977 Status: OR 102 WTPZ44 KNHC 042020 TCDEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 21 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON AUG 04 1997 GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO HAVE A SPECTACULAR REPRESENTATION IN SATELLITE IMAGERY WITH A DISTINCT EYE EMBEDDED WITHIN VERY COLD CONVECTIVE CLOUD TOPS PLUS EXCELLENT BANDING FEATURES. THE DVORAK OBJECTIVE T NUMBERS HAVE AVERAGED A LITTLE OVER 7.0 FOR THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 140 KNOTS...160 MPH...IN AGREEMENT WITH SATELLITE ESTIMATES FROM BOTH SAB AND TAFB. THIS MAKES GUILLERMO A SOLID CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. IT IS HARD TO IMAGINE THIS INTENSITY BEING SUSTAINED FOR VERY LONG...AND A LITTLE WEAKENING IS FORECAST IN THE SHORT TERM. A FASTER RATE OF WEAKENING IS FORECAST NEAR THE END OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD AS GUILLERMO APPROACHES 25C WATER. HOWEVER...GUILLERMO WILL STILL BE A SUBSTANTIAL HURRICANE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. INITIAL MOTION IS 275/14...WHICH IS A LITTLE FASTER THAN BEFORE. A SLIGHTLY NORTH OF DUE WEST TRACK IS FORECAST DUE TO A PERSISTENT STRONG DEEP-LAYER MEAN RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE HURRICANE. THIS TRACK IS FASTER THAN THE UKMET AND NWS AVIATION MODELS...BUT SLOWER THAN THE NOGAPS AND GFDL. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 04/2100Z 14.3N 117.3W 140 KTS 12HR VT 05/0600Z 14.5N 119.4W 135 KTS 24HR VT 05/1800Z 15.0N 122.2W 130 KTS 36HR VT 06/0600Z 15.5N 124.9W 125 KTS 48HR VT 06/1800Z 16.2N 127.7W 115 KTS 72HR VT 07/1800Z 17.5N 133.0W 100 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 5 11:46:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102991-28484>; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 04:58:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA57756; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 15:53:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6083859 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 15:53:41 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA81284 for ; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 15:53:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA21049 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 15:53:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708042053.PAA21049@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 4 Aug 1997 15:53:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 21 [042021] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0d58d2d1a84e1819f3065d5b5138f9ca X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1993 Status: OR 166 WTPZ24 KNHC 042021 TCMEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0997 2100Z MON AUG 04 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 117.3W AT 04/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 921 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT WITH GUSTS TO 170 KT 64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT.......175NE 175SE 125SW 175NW 12 FT SEAS..500NE 250SE 250SW 500NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 117.3W AT 04/2100Z AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 116.6W FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 14.5N 119.4W MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 175NW FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.0N 122.2W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 175NW FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 15.5N 124.9W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 175NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 117.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 16.2N 127.7W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 17.5N 133.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 6 00:40:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102894-17890>; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 22:34:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA169782; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 09:29:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5989864 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 09:28:56 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA210652 for ; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 09:28:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA29610 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 09:28:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708051428.JAA29610@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 5 Aug 1997 09:28:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Discussion Number 24 [051428] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: eb4a42e452675ad31727aa0d8936b10a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2256 Status: OR 004 WTPZ44 KNHC 051428 TCDEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 24 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT TUE AUG 05 1997 THE EYE REMAINS VERY DISTINCT...AND ALTHOUGH THE SIZE OF THE COLDEST TOPS IN THE SURROUNDING CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST HAS DIMINISHED SOMEWHAT FROM YESTERDAY...THE DVORAK OBJECTIVE T NUMBERS ARE HOVERING AROUND 7.0...AND HAVE BEEN FOR OVER 24 HOURS. THEREFORE ...INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 140 KNOTS...160 MPH...KEEPING GUILLERMO A CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE TO BE EXPECTED...BUT GUILLERMO WILL STILL REMAIN A VERY POWERFUL HURRICANE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON OUR TRACK...THE CIRCULATION WILL BE MOVING OVER WATER COOLER THAN 26C NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...AT WHICH TIME SOME SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING SHOULD OCCUR. INITIAL MOTION IS 275/14. OUR TRACK SHOWS A WESTWARD TO WEST- NORTHWESTWARD MOTION CONTINUING...IN RESPONSE TO THE DEEP-LAYER MEAN RIDGE FORECAST TO REMAIN NORTH OF THE HURRICANE. OUR TRACK IS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE FASTER NOGAPS MODEL AND THE SLOWER AVIATION MODEL. IF THE WESTERN EXTENT OF THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH WEAKENS MORE THAN IS FORECAST...GUILLERMO WILL MOVE TO THE RIGHT OF OUR TRACK AND OVER SOMEWHAT COOLER WATER WHICH WOULD RESULT IN FASTER WEAKENING. IF THE WESTERN EXTENT OF THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH IS STRONGER THAN FORECAST...GUILLERMO WILL TRACK MORE TOWARD THE WEST OVER SOMEWHAT WARMER WATER WHICH WOULD RESULT IS A SLOWER RATE OF DECAY THAN FORECAST. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 05/1500Z 14.5N 121.6W 140 KTS 12HR VT 06/0000Z 14.7N 123.7W 135 KTS 24HR VT 06/1200Z 15.2N 126.4W 130 KTS 36HR VT 07/0000Z 15.8N 129.0W 120 KTS 48HR VT 07/1200Z 16.6N 131.6W 110 KTS 72HR VT 08/1200Z 18.5N 136.5W 95 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 6 00:40:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102894-17890>; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 22:34:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA123220; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 09:30:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5989876 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 09:30:32 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA68146 for ; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 09:30:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA29649 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 09:30:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708051430.JAA29649@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 5 Aug 1997 09:30:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 24 [051429] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0eed0c243cc75a4f7de3730d98ee01a5 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1993 Status: OR 028 WTPZ24 KNHC 051429 TCMEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0997 1500Z TUE AUG 05 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 121.6W AT 05/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 921 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT WITH GUSTS TO 170 KT 64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 34 KT.......250NE 300SE 200SW 250NW 12 FT SEAS..500NE 300SE 200SW 500NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 121.6W AT 05/1500Z AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 120.9W FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 14.7N 123.7W MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 34 KT...250NE 300SE 200SW 250NW FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 15.2N 126.4W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 34 KT...250NE 250SE 250SW 250NW FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 15.8N 129.0W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 34 KT...250NE 250SE 250SW 250NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 121.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 16.6N 131.6W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 50 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 18.5N 136.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 6 00:40:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102925-17890>; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 00:22:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA112616; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 11:17:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5991209 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 11:16:49 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA162220 for ; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 11:15:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id LAA02234 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 11:15:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708051615.LAA02234@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 5 Aug 1997 11:16:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook [051613] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4b430ccf77c12362f4154c2e203ac6aa X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 861 Status: OR 505 ABPZ20 KNHC 051613 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE AUG 5 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GUILLERMO CENTERED ABOUT 955 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 6 09:13:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103005-17890>; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 04:37:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA232428; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 15:31:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5992983 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 15:31:37 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA255448 for ; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 15:31:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA10037 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 15:31:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708052031.PAA10037@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 5 Aug 1997 15:31:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Discussion Number 25 [052031] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 46c21e5e05a46255c46873a082c28cb8 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2278 Status: OR 302 WTPZ44 KNHC 052031 TCDEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 25 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE AUG 05 1997 SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW A WELL-DEFINED EYE...BUT THE EYE IS NOW LARGER AND THE SURROUNDING TEMPERATURES ARE NOT AS COLD AS EARLIER. DVORAK OBJECTIVE T NUMBERS HAVE DIMINISHED A LITTLE OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS NOW ESTIMATED AT 135 KNOTS...155 MPH. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE TO BE EXPECTED...AND THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH A RECENT NAVAL RESEARCH LAB 85 GHZ SSM/I DATA DISPLAY WHICH SHOWS A CONCENTRIC EYEWALL PATTERN. ALTHOUGH SOME OVERALL SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...GUILLERMO WILL STILL REMAIN A POWERFUL HURRICANE. ON OUR TRACK...THE CIRCULATION WILL BE MOVING OVER WATER COOLER THAN 26C NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...AT WHICH TIME MORE SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING SHOULD OCCUR. INITIAL MOTION IS 275/14. OUR TRACK SHOWS A WESTWARD TO WEST- NORTHWESTWARD MOTION CONTINUING...IN RESPONSE TO THE DEEP-LAYER MEAN RIDGE FORECAST TO REMAIN NORTH OF THE HURRICANE. OUR TRACK IS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE FASTER NOGAPS MODEL AND THE SLOWER AVIATION MODEL. IF THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH WEAKENS MORE THAN IS FORECAST... GUILLERMO WILL MOVE TO THE RIGHT OF OUR TRACK AND OVER SOMEWHAT COOLER WATER WHICH WOULD RESULT IN FASTER WEAKENING. IF THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH IS STRONGER THAN FORECAST...GUILLERMO WILL TRACK MORE TOWARD THE WEST OVER SOMEWHAT WARMER WATER WHICH WOULD RESULT IS A SLOWER RATE OF DECAY THAN FORECAST. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 05/2100Z 14.7N 123.1W 135 KTS 12HR VT 06/0600Z 14.9N 125.2W 130 KTS 24HR VT 06/1800Z 15.5N 128.0W 125 KTS 36HR VT 07/0600Z 16.2N 130.5W 120 KTS 48HR VT 07/1800Z 17.0N 133.0W 105 KTS 72HR VT 08/1800Z 19.0N 137.5W 90 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 6 09:13:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103005-17890>; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 04:41:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA199292; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 15:32:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5992992 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 15:32:35 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA77128 for ; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 15:32:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA10046 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 15:32:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708052032.PAA10046@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 5 Aug 1997 15:32:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 25 [052031] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a313afbaba53a50a5dfaa96e2edee3f8 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1993 Status: OR 303 WTPZ24 KNHC 052031 TCMEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0997 2100Z TUE AUG 05 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 123.1W AT 05/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 925 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT 64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 34 KT.......225NE 200SE 200SW 225NW 12 FT SEAS..500NE 200SE 200SW 500NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 123.1W AT 05/2100Z AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 122.4W FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 14.9N 125.2W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 34 KT...225NE 200SE 200SW 225NW FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 15.5N 128.0W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 34 KT...225NE 200SE 200SW 225NW FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 16.2N 130.5W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 34 KT...225NE 200SE 200SW 225NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 123.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 17.0N 133.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 50 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 19.0N 137.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 6 09:13:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102158-8195>; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 06:53:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA19396; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 17:20:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5993616 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 17:20:03 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA133180 for ; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 17:19:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id RAA12931 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 17:18:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708052218.RAA12931@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 5 Aug 1997 17:20:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 44e74964185f0aa5f6501b6182fa9bfe X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 861 Status: OR 690 ABPZ20 KNHC 052213 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE AUG 5 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GUILLERMO CENTERED ABOUT 1030 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 6 10:53:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102354-8195>; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 10:45:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA255372; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 21:36:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5995429 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 21:36:19 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA199288 for ; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 21:36:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA14569 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 21:36:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708060236.VAA14569@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 5 Aug 1997 21:36:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Discussion Number 26 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: af909b68154ba523970176096f664939 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Status: OR 288 WTPZ44 KNHC 060236 TCDEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 26 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT TUE AUG 05 1997 SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW AN EYE...BUT THE SURROUNDING TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO WARM UP. WHILE THE SUBJECTIVE DVORAK INTENSITY REMAINS AT T NUMBER 7.0...OBJECTIVE T NUMBERS ARE BELOW 6.0 AND THE INITIAL WIND SPEED IS DECREASED 5 KNOTS TO 130 KNOTS. THE FORECAST IS FOR GRADUAL WEAKENING WITH THE HURRICANE MOVING OVER WATER COLDER THAN 26C AFTER 48 HOURS. THE INITIAL MOTION REMAINS STEADY AT 275/15. ALL OF THE MODELS CONTINUE THIS GENERAL MOTION FOR THE NEXT 3 DAYS WITH A DEEP LAYER MEAN RIDGE HOLDING TO THE NORTH OF THE HURRICANE. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/0300Z 15.0N 124.5W 130 KTS 12HR VT 06/1200Z 15.2N 126.7W 125 KTS 24HR VT 07/0000Z 15.5N 129.6W 120 KTS 36HR VT 07/1200Z 16.3N 132.2W 115 KTS 48HR VT 08/0000Z 17.0N 135.0W 100 KTS 72HR VT 09/0000Z 19.0N 139.0W 85 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 6 10:53:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102360-8195>; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 10:43:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA49392; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 21:37:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5995441 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 21:37:45 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA77270 for ; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 21:37:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA14574 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 21:37:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708060237.VAA14574@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 5 Aug 1997 21:37:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 26 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ee5f3453d49cd6b18c6c3498b3ce2bd7 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Status: OR 296 WTPZ24 KNHC 060236 TCMEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0997 0300Z WED AUG 06 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 124.5W AT 06/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 925 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT 64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 34 KT.......225NE 200SE 200SW 225NW 12 FT SEAS..500NE 200SE 200SW 500NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 124.5W AT 06/0300Z AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 123.8W FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 15.2N 126.7W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 34 KT...225NE 200SE 200SW 225NW FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 15.5N 129.6W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 34 KT...225NE 200SE 200SW 225NW FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 16.3N 132.2W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 34 KT...225NE 200SE 200SW 225NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 124.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 17.0N 135.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 125 KT 50 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 19.0N 139.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 6 14:24:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102421-8195>; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 12:27:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA08952; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 23:17:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5995860 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 23:17:22 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA102112 for ; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 23:17:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id XAA15192 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 23:17:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708060417.XAA15192@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 5 Aug 1997 23:17:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0cfc2eea4be31aa34f6b7d8d3dba5068 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Status: OR 703 ABPZ20 KNHC 060415 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE AUG 5 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GUILLERMO CENTERED ABOUT 1100 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 6 16:56:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102345-8195>; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 16:53:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA19202; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 03:30:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5997155 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 03:30:39 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA162800 for ; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 03:30:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id DAA16463 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 03:30:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708060830.DAA16463@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 6 Aug 1997 03:30:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 27 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 48a409804b6c4f5706cb28fba879bbb3 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Status: OR 320 WTPZ24 KNHC 060830 TCMEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0997 0900Z WED AUG 06 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 125.9W AT 06/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 930 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT 64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 34 KT.......225NE 200SE 200SW 225NW 12 FT SEAS..500NE 200SE 200SW 500NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 125.9W AT 06/0900Z AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 125.2W FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 15.6N 128.0W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 34 KT...225NE 200SE 200SW 225NW FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 16.2N 130.7W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 34 KT...225NE 200SE 200SW 225NW FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 17.0N 133.3W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 34 KT...225NE 200SE 200SW 225NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 125.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 17.8N 135.8W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 19.5N 140.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 6 16:56:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103049-8195>; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 16:38:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA162604; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 03:31:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5997160 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 03:31:25 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA19224 for ; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 03:31:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id DAA16467 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 03:31:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708060831.DAA16467@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 6 Aug 1997 03:31:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Discussion Number 27 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 08d12bd8ea90974cc1196d38e4052047 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Status: OR 321 WTPZ44 KNHC 060831 TCDEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 27 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT WED AUG 06 1997 THE INTENSITY AND EXTENT OF DEEP CONVECTION AROUND THE EYE HAS BEEN SLOWLY DIMINISHING...AND OBJECTIVE T-NUMBERS HAVE DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY. MY CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE ABOVE OBSERVATIONS AND DVORAK RULES FOR WEAKENING SYSTEMS...WHICH KEEP WINDS SOMEWHAT HIGHER THAN THE DATA T-NUMBER WOULD INDICATE. IN ANY EVENT...THE WEAKENING TREND IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE. A MORE RAPID DECLINE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED IN THE LATTER HALF OF THE FORECAST PERIOD SINCE SSTS SHOULD BE BELOW 26 DEG C AFTER 36 HOURS. INITIAL MOTION...280/14...IS JUST SLIGHTLY TO THE RIGHT OF PREVIOUS ESTIMATES. THE CURRENT OFFICIAL FORECAST IS ADJUSTED A FEW TENTHS OF A DEGREE NORTH OF THE PREVIOUS ONE. THIS IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST U.K. MET. OFFICE MODEL RUN AND CLIPER. THE GFDL...NOGAPS AND AVN MODELS ARE SOMEWHAT FARTHER TO THE NORTH. THIS IS APPARENTLY IN RESPONSE TO A WEAKENING IN THE DEEP-LAYER MEAN RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF GUILLERMO DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. IF THE GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THIS TREND...A FARTHER NORTHWARD ADJUSTMENT TO THE NHC TRACK FORECASTS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/0900Z 15.3N 125.9W 120 KTS 12HR VT 06/1800Z 15.6N 128.0W 115 KTS 24HR VT 07/0600Z 16.2N 130.7W 110 KTS 36HR VT 07/1800Z 17.0N 133.3W 105 KTS 48HR VT 08/0600Z 17.8N 135.8W 95 KTS 72HR VT 09/0600Z 19.5N 140.0W 75 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 6 18:51:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103144-8195>; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 18:20:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA219912; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 05:15:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5997494 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 05:14:54 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA265670 for ; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 05:14:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id FAA16880 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 05:14:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708061014.FAA16880@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 6 Aug 1997 05:14:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5d7ca0d7e12128b1e92b86c180372e09 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Status: OR 735 ABPZ20 KNHC 061011 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED AUG 6 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GUILLERMO CENTERED ABOUT 1170 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 7 01:22:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103157-8195>; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 00:51:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA151942; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 11:45:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6000666 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 11:45:04 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA68178 for ; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 11:45:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id LAA04878 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 11:44:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708061644.LAA04878@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 6 Aug 1997 11:45:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f1c9c46bfe39533205d336a58b848e2a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 866 Status: OR 750 ABPZ20 KNHC 061643 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED AUG 6 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GUILLERMO CENTERED ABOUT 1240 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 7 11:34:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103222-8195>; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 04:47:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA67532; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 15:39:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6002219 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 15:39:23 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA159888 for ; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 15:39:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA09439 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 15:39:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708062039.PAA09439@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 6 Aug 1997 15:39:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Discussion Number 29 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 268fe07be81e5b4911dd98298e26db8c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1592 Status: OR 078 WTPZ44 KNHC 062038 TCDEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 29 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT WED AUG 06 1997 A SMALL AND WELL DEFINED EYE HAS PERSISTED ALL DAY...BUT THE SURROUNDING CLOUD TOP TEMPS HAVE WARMED. THE DVORAK T NUMBERS CONTINUE TO DECREASE...AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS LOWERED A LITTLE TO 110 KNOTS. GUILLERMO IS STILL A POWERFUL HURRICANE AT THIS TIME...BUT THE WEAKENING WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THIS FORECAST PERIOD. GUILLERMO SHOULD BE MOVING OVER 25 TO 26C WATER WITHIN 36 HOURS. INITIAL MOTION IS 285/15. THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH SHOULD BE MAINTAINED THROUGHOUT THIS FORECAST PERIOD. SOME MODELS SHOW A DECREASE IN THE FORWARD SPEED AS THE RIDGE WEAKENS...AND OUR TRACK REFLECTS THIS. CURRENT TRACK IS A REASONABLE BLEND OF THE GUIDANCE MODELS...AND IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE GFDL AND BAMM. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/2100Z 16.1N 129.1W 110 KTS 12HR VT 07/0600Z 16.6N 131.4W 105 KTS 24HR VT 07/1800Z 17.4N 134.2W 95 KTS 36HR VT 08/0600Z 18.2N 137.0W 85 KTS 48HR VT 08/1800Z 18.9N 139.6W 75 KTS 72HR VT 09/1800Z 20.5N 144.5W 65 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 7 11:34:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103225-8195>; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 04:46:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA226614; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 15:40:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6002224 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 15:39:52 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA151994 for ; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 15:39:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA09448 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 15:39:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708062039.PAA09448@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 6 Aug 1997 15:39:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 29 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 868765c8870d66f9e898f96b04ae3fc7 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2003 Status: OR 079 WTPZ24 KNHC 062039 TCMEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0997 2100Z WED AUG 06 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 129.1W AT 06/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 952 MB EYE DIAMETER 12 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT 64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 34 KT.......225NE 200SE 200SW 225NW 12 FT SEAS..500NE 200SE 200SW 500NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 129.1W AT 06/2100Z AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 128.3W FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 16.6N 131.4W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 34 KT...225NE 200SE 200SW 225NW FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 17.4N 134.2W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 34 KT...225NE 200SE 200SW 225NW FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 18.2N 137.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 34 KT...225NE 200SE 200SW 225NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 129.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 18.9N 139.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 20.5N 144.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 7 11:34:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102188-29979>; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 07:11:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA84892; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 18:04:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6003315 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 18:04:27 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id SAA211850 for ; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 18:04:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id SAA11949 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 18:04:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708062304.SAA11949@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 6 Aug 1997 18:04:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ac0d7b8841600d54acdf69e22481970e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 866 Status: OR 972 ABPZ20 KNHC 062302 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED AUG 6 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GUILLERMO CENTERED ABOUT 1340 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 7 11:34:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102400-29979>; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 10:35:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA199012; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 21:30:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6004550 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 21:30:20 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA198982 for ; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 21:30:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA13167 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 21:30:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708070230.VAA13167@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 6 Aug 1997 21:30:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Discussion Number 30 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1f869a3bc115e6f416241d54ce18c36d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1975 Status: OR 091 WTPZ44 KNHC 070229 TCDEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 30 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT WED AUG 06 1997 THE EYE DISAPPEARED FROM GOES IR AND VISIBLE PICTURES AROUND 2230Z AND THERE HAVE BEEN ONLY TRACES OF IT SINCE. DVORAK CI NUMBERS WERE 5.5 AT 00Z...SO THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS NOW ESTIMATED AT 100 KNOTS. THE CLOUD PATTERN IS ALSO NO LONGER SYMMETRICAL...WITH VERY COLD CLOUD TOPS NOW ONLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND SOME EROSION OF THE OUTFLOW NOTED OVER THE NW QUADRANT. GUILLERMO CONTINUES HEADING TOWARD ABOUT 285/14 KT. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH DIGGING SOUTHEASTWARD TO THE NORTHWEST OF HAWAII. THE 18Z AVN INDICATES THAT THE TROUGH WILL ERODE THE WESTERN PART OF THE HIGH TO THE NORTH THROUGH NORTHWEST OF GUILLERMO. IF GUILLERMO DOES NOT CONTINUE TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY...BECOMING STEERED BY CURRENTS IN THE LOWER PART OF THE ATMOSPHERE...THEN THIS COULD RESULT IN DECELERATION AND A SOMEWHAT GREATER NORTHWARD COMPONENT BY 72 HOURS. REGARDLESS...THE CYCLONE WILL BE MOVING OVER PROGRESSIVELY COOLER WATERS AND EVENTUALLY THROUGH INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY WIND SHEAR. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON THE SHIPS MODEL AND THE OBSERVED WEAKENING TREND. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/0300Z 16.4N 130.3W 100 KTS 12HR VT 07/1200Z 16.9N 132.4W 85 KTS 24HR VT 08/0000Z 17.7N 135.4W 70 KTS 36HR VT 08/1200Z 18.6N 138.2W 60 KTS 48HR VT 09/0000Z 19.5N 140.8W 50 KTS 72HR VT 10/0000Z 21.0N 145.5W 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 7 11:34:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102410-29979>; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 10:36:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA199040; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 21:30:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6004555 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 21:30:28 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA219220 for ; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 21:30:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA13171 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 21:30:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708070230.VAA13171@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 6 Aug 1997 21:30:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 30 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 919e8aac5494958ff33b6fb86015306c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1920 Status: OR 092 WTPZ24 KNHC 070230 TCMEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0997 0300Z THU AUG 07 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 130.3W AT 07/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 962 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW 34 KT.......225NE 200SE 200SW 225NW 12 FT SEAS..500NE 200SE 200SW 500NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 130.3W AT 07/0300Z AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 129.6W FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 16.9N 132.4W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 17.7N 135.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 18.6N 138.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 130.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 19.5N 140.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 21.0N 145.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 7 15:01:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102362-29979>; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 12:06:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA160398; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 22:57:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6005204 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 22:56:57 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA74364 for ; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 22:56:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id WAA13686 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 22:56:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708070356.WAA13686@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 6 Aug 1997 22:56:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c98bf9d16b81cc161ad682a7d4f75eb3 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 861 Status: OR 269 ABPZ20 KNHC 070355 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED AUG 6 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GUILLERMO CENTERED ABOUT 1400 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 7 16:57:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102410-29979>; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 16:45:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA159962; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 03:39:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6006666 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 03:39:09 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA81352 for ; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 03:39:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id DAA15132 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 03:38:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708070838.DAA15132@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 7 Aug 1997 03:39:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 31 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 94bf65c3e43858b33bea6ed43f538425 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1916 Status: OR 147 WTPZ24 KNHC 070838 TCMEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0997 0900Z THU AUG 07 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 131.4W AT 07/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT.......225NE 200SE 200SW 225NW 12 FT SEAS..500NE 200SE 200SW 500NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 131.4W AT 07/0900Z AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 130.8W FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 17.2N 133.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 18.0N 136.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 19.0N 138.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 131.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 20.0N 141.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 22.0N 146.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 7 16:57:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102460-29979>; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 16:45:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA226614; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 03:40:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6006671 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 03:39:58 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA201214 for ; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 03:39:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id DAA15138 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 03:39:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708070839.DAA15138@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 7 Aug 1997 03:39:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Discussion Number 31 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6617f385f51157b455e4ef744279915b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2119 Status: OR 159 WTPZ44 KNHC 070839 TCDEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 31 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT THU AUG 07 1997 GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN...HOWEVER IT IS STILL A VERY LARGE AND SIGNIFICANT HURRICANE. THE CURRENT INTENSITY NUMBER USING THE DVORAK TECHNIQUE CORRESPONDS TO 90 KNOTS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND THE AVN MODEL OUTPUT DO NOT INDICATE SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER VERTICAL SHEAR IN THE NEAR FUTURE...SO FOR NOW THE WEAKENING SHOULD MAINLY BE PRODUCED BY COOLER WATERS. GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN HURRICANE STRENGTH FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT DAY OR SO. IN THE LATTER PART OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...SEA TEMPS SHOULD BE BELOW 25 DEG C SO THE CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO BE NEAR THE STORM/DEPRESSION THRESHOLD. CURRENT MOTION ESTIMATE IS ONLY SLIGHTLY SLOWER THAN IN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...285/13. THE TRACK FORECAST IS NOT MUCH DIFFERENT. THE LATEST NCEP GLOBAL MODEL FORECAST AT 500 MB SHOWS A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE DEVELOPING NEAR 140W/145W IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS COULD INDUCE A MORE NORTHWARD COMPONENT OF MOTION IN THE LATTER PART OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...PARTICULARLY IF GUILLERMO REMAINS MORE INTENSE THAN SHOWN IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. I AM ASSUMING A WEAKER SYSTEM THAT WILL BE STEERED MORE BY LOW- TO MID-LEVEL FLOWS NEAR THE END OF THE PERIOD. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE MEDIUM BAM TRACK. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/0900Z 16.7N 131.4W 90 KTS 12HR VT 07/1800Z 17.2N 133.4W 80 KTS 24HR VT 08/0600Z 18.0N 136.0W 70 KTS 36HR VT 08/1800Z 19.0N 138.5W 60 KTS 48HR VT 09/0600Z 20.0N 141.0W 50 KTS 72HR VT 10/0600Z 22.0N 146.0W 35 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 7 19:15:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102362-29979>; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 18:06:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA24092; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 05:01:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6006813 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 05:01:18 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA175882 for ; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 05:01:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id FAA16200 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 05:01:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708071001.FAA16200@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 7 Aug 1997 05:01:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cfdbd6c5775e794194b9ab65a7e58764 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 860 Status: OR 137 ABPZ20 KNHC 071000 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU AUG 7 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GUILLERMO CENTERED ABOUT 1460 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 8 08:20:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102883-29979>; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 22:26:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA118912; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 09:19:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6008306 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 09:19:14 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA104796 for ; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 09:19:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA18229 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 09:19:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708071419.JAA18229@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 7 Aug 1997 09:19:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Discussion Number 32 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0c581410b7ab73219036cb7abb141b8f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1550 Status: OR 784 WTPZ44 KNHC 071418 TCDEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 32 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT THU AUG 07 1997 SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW A WEAKENING GUILLERMO. THE DVORAK T NUMBERS VARY FROM 3.5 AT AFGWC TO 4.5 AT SAB...BUT THE TECHNIQUE HOLDS THE CURRENT INTENSITY HIGHER AS THE CYCLONE WEAKENS. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ESTIMATED AT 80 KNOTS WHICH IS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN VARIOUS SATELLITE ESTIMATES. CONTINUED WEAKENING WILL OCCUR AS GUILLERMO MOVES OVER COOLER WATER. THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH HAS WEAKENED A LITTLE RESULTING IN A SLIGHTLY SLOWER FORWARD MOTION...AND THE INITIAL MOTION IS 285/12. CURRENT FORECAST UPDATES THE PREVIOUS TRACK...AND IS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE MID LAYER BAM. THIS IS FASTER THAN THE NOGAPS AND UKMET...BUT SLOWER THAN THE GFDL. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/1500Z 17.1N 132.6W 80 KTS 12HR VT 08/0000Z 17.7N 134.4W 70 KTS 24HR VT 08/1200Z 18.4N 136.9W 60 KTS 36HR VT 09/0000Z 19.3N 139.4W 50 KTS 48HR VT 09/1200Z 20.3N 141.9W 40 KTS 72HR VT 10/1200Z 22.5N 147.0W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 8 08:20:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103075-29979>; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 22:27:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA118992; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 09:19:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6008311 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 09:19:32 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA43358 for ; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 09:19:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA18231 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 09:19:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708071419.JAA18231@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 7 Aug 1997 09:19:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 32 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ee46530984595eb61fa50c00ed46782b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1855 Status: OR 785 WTPZ24 KNHC 071418 TCMEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0997 1500Z THU AUG 07 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 132.6W AT 07/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 978 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 95 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......225NE 200SE 200SW 225NW 12 FT SEAS..500NE 200SE 200SW 500NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 132.6W AT 07/1500Z AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 132.0W FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 17.7N 134.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 18.4N 136.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 19.3N 139.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 132.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 20.3N 141.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 22.5N 147.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 8 08:20:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103231-29979>; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 01:06:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA265924; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 11:58:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6009400 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 11:58:36 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA88218 for ; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 11:58:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id LAA21419 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 11:58:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708071658.LAA21419@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 7 Aug 1997 11:58:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fb2166188d88a95bdb1919c452d06441 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1107 Status: OR 013 ABPZ20 KNHC 071658 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU AUG 7 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GUILLERMO CENTERED ABOUT 1530 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED OVER A LARGE AREA LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ALTHOUGH THE ACTIVITY IS NOT WELL ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME...IT WILL CONTINUED TO BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 8 08:20:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103273-29979>; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 04:43:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA245440; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 15:36:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6010619 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 15:36:06 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA08878 for ; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 15:36:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA26055 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 15:35:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708072035.PAA26055@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 7 Aug 1997 15:36:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Discussion Number 33 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c0993815db97f6d93d7945f57eb7e869 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1318 Status: OR 988 WTPZ44 KNHC 072035 TCDEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 33 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT THU AUG 07 1997 INITIAL INTENSITY IS ESTIMATED AT 70 KNOTS...WHICH IS A COMPROMISE BETWEEEN VARIOUS SATELLITE ESTIMATES. GUILLERMO WAS FORMERLY A VERY STRONG AND LARGE HURRICANE AND IT WILL SLOWLY SPIN DOWN AS COOLER WATER TAKES ITS TOLL. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 290/12. CURRENT TRACK IS BASICALLY AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND IS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE SHALLOW LAYER BAM. THIS IS SOMEWHAT FASTER THAN THE NOGAPS AND UKMET MODELS. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/2100Z 17.6N 133.8W 70 KTS 12HR VT 08/0600Z 18.3N 135.7W 60 KTS 24HR VT 08/1800Z 19.1N 138.1W 50 KTS 36HR VT 09/0600Z 20.1N 140.4W 40 KTS 48HR VT 09/1800Z 21.2N 142.8W 35 KTS 72HR VT 10/1800Z 23.5N 147.5W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 8 08:20:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103271-29979>; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 04:44:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA24092; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 15:38:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6010630 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 15:38:12 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA129512 for ; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 15:36:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA26074 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 15:36:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708072036.PAA26074@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 7 Aug 1997 15:38:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 33 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6f1df538a815cb083da609119af9c71d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1791 Status: OR 989 WTPZ24 KNHC 072036 TCMEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0997 2100Z THU AUG 07 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 133.8W AT 07/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW 12 FT SEAS..500NE 150SE 150SW 500NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 133.8W AT 07/2100Z AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 133.3W FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 18.3N 135.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 19.1N 138.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 20.1N 140.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 133.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 21.2N 142.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 23.5N 147.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 8 08:20:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102170-17469>; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 07:04:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA88294; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 17:58:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6011532 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 17:58:23 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA245434 for ; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 17:58:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id RAA28208 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 17:58:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708072258.RAA28208@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 7 Aug 1997 17:58:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9d05d812eec9bf568be2df80273f69e5 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1104 Status: OR 821 ABPZ20 KNHC 072257 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU AUG 7 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GUILLERMO CENTERED ABOUT 1590 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST OVER A LARGE AREA ABOUT ONE THOUSAND MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ALTHOUGH THE ACTIVITY IS NOT WELL ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME...SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 8 10:56:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102453-17469>; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 10:48:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA80114; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 21:42:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6012998 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 21:42:38 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA102356 for ; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 21:42:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA29329 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 21:42:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708080242.VAA29329@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 7 Aug 1997 21:42:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Discussion Number 34 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ac64c35041ab87154fd0ca13099cc027 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1304 Status: OR 074 WTPZ44 KNHC 080241 TCDEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 34 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU AUG 07 1997 CLOUD TOPS ARE WARMING AND DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS LIMITED TO THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE. INTENSITY ESTIMATES BASED ON SATELLITE PICTURES ARE DECREASING AND IMPLY AN INITIAL INTENSITY NEAR 65 KNOTS. THE TRACK IS EDGING TO THE RIGHT AND THE PACE IS SLOWING...NOW 295/11 KT. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE AND THIS IS SUPPORTED BY MOST OF THE NUMERICAL GUIDANCE. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/0300Z 18.1N 134.6W 65 KTS 12HR VT 08/1200Z 18.8N 136.2W 55 KTS 24HR VT 09/0000Z 19.9N 138.5W 45 KTS 36HR VT 09/1200Z 21.0N 140.7W 35 KTS 48HR VT 10/0000Z 22.3N 142.7W 30 KTS 72HR VT 11/0000Z 24.5N 147.0W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 8 10:56:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102455-17469>; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 10:48:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA162074; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 21:42:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6013003 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 21:42:45 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA80092 for ; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 21:42:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA29333 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 21:42:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708080242.VAA29333@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 7 Aug 1997 21:42:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 34 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5ea719caa5b597167ce7f11c87b09532 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1774 Status: OR 075 WTPZ24 KNHC 080242 TCMEP4 HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0997 0300Z FRI AUG 08 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 134.6W AT 08/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW 12 FT SEAS..450NE 150SE 150SW 450NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 134.6W AT 08/0300Z AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 134.1W FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 18.8N 136.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 19.9N 138.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...125NE 75SE 75SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 21.0N 140.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT...100NE 50SE 50SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 134.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 22.3N 142.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 24.5N 147.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 8 11:56:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102461-17469>; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 11:55:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA189736; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 22:49:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6013529 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 22:48:58 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA176098 for ; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 22:48:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id WAA29624 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 22:48:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708080348.WAA29624@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 7 Aug 1997 22:48:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 73269efa88dfbd2f89702c684048416f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1103 Status: OR 039 ABPZ20 KNHC 080347 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU AUG 7 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GUILLERMO CENTERED ABOUT 1630 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST OVER A LARGE AREA ABOUT ONE THOUSAND MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE ACTIVITY IS NOT WELL ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 9 00:53:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103324-17469>; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 22:40:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA92386; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 09:34:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6016460 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 09:34:08 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA68302 for ; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 09:34:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA02983 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 09:33:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708081433.JAA02983@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 8 Aug 1997 09:34:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Discussion Number 36 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ac60d6ea62d8dbeda6df7d63b1a3c579 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1774 Status: OR 863 WTPZ44 KNHC 081437 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 36 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI AUG 08 1997 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES SHOW THAT GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN. VERY LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION EXISTS AROUND THE WELL DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. GUILLERMO REMAINS ON A 290/11 TRACK. THE MODELS CONTINUE TO BE IN DISAGREEMENT BEYOND 24 HOURS. ONE GROUP OF MODELS ..LBAR.. GFDI ..BAMM ..BAMD.. TURNS GUILLERMO NORTHWARD AND EVEN NORTHEASTWARD. A SECOND GROUP...AVN..NHC91..BAMS...MOVES THE STORM WEST-NORTHWEST AND THEN NORTHWESTWARD AND OTHERS...UKMET...NOGAPS...CLIPER...KEEP THE TROPICAL CYCLONE ON A GENERAL WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK. SINCE GUILLERMO IS WEAKENING...AND BECOMING A SHALLOW SYSTEM...IT WILL PROBABLY BE STEERED BY THE MID TO LOW LEVEL FLOW AROUND THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH. THEREFORE...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR A WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK THROUGH 48 HOURS WITH A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST THEREAFTER. DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED IN 72 HOURS. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/1500Z 18.7N 136.7W 55 KTS 12HR VT 09/0000Z 19.2N 138.4W 50 KTS 24HR VT 09/1200Z 20.2N 140.6W 40 KTS 36HR VT 10/0000Z 21.3N 142.5W 30 KTS 48HR VT 10/1200Z 22.6N 144.1W 25 KTS 72HR VT 11/1200Z 25.8N 146.4W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 9 00:53:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103320-17469>; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 22:43:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA173590; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 09:34:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6016465 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 09:34:44 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA68098 for ; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 09:34:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA03000 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 09:34:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708081434.JAA03000@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 8 Aug 1997 09:34:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 36 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8e1fb0af4ea30a30133124ee245edea8 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1715 Status: OR 864 WTPZ24 KNHC 081438 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0997 1500Z FRI AUG 08 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 136.7W AT 08/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 136.7W AT 08/1500Z AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 136.2W FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 19.2N 138.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 20.2N 140.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...125NE 75SE 75SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 21.3N 142.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 136.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 22.6N 144.1W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 25.8N 146.4W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 9 00:53:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103338-17469>; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 00:22:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA84932; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 11:16:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6017225 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 11:16:14 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA02722 for ; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 11:16:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id LAA05460 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 11:16:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708081616.LAA05460@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 8 Aug 1997 11:16:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1736842b2b45c15fd744d8827e187d5a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1106 Status: OR 142 ABPZ20 KNHC 081619 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI AUG 8 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE GUILLERMO CENTERED ABOUT 1750 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST OVER A LARGE AREA ABOUT ONE THOUSAND MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE ACTIVITY IS NOT WELL ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103374-17469>; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 04:31:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA211736; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 15:26:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6018994 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 15:25:51 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA173574 for ; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 15:25:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA10943 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 15:25:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708082025.PAA10943@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 8 Aug 1997 15:25:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Discussion Number 37 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 53245eba90b0811e01391a17f0c2da3a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1739 Status: OR 664 WTPZ44 KNHC 082023 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 37 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI AUG 08 1997 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES SHOW THAT GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN. VERY LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION EXISTS AROUND THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ALL INTENSITY GUIDANCE SHOWS A WEAKENING TREND OUT TO 72 HOURS. IN THE PAST SIX HOURS GUILLERMO HAS TAKEN A MORE NORTHWESTWARD MOTION OR 305/11. THE MODELS CONTINUE TO BE IN DISAGREEMENT BEYOND 24 HOURS. ONE GROUP OF MODELS RECURVES THE SYSTEM TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. A SECOND GROUP MOVES THE STORM NORTHWESTWARD AND SEVERAL OTHERS KEEP THE TROPICAL CYCLONE ON A GENERAL WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK. SINCE GUILLERMO IS WEAKENING...AND BECOMING A SHALLOW SYSTEM...IT WILL PROBABLY BE STEERED BY THE MID TO LOW LEVEL FLOW AROUND THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH. THEREFORE...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST WILL BE A NORTHWEST TRACK THROUGH 48 HOURS WITH A SLIGHT TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST THEREAFTER. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/2100Z 19.9N 137.7W 55 KTS 12HR VT 09/0600Z 20.9N 139.1W 50 KTS 24HR VT 09/1800Z 21.9N 140.7W 40 KTS 36HR VT 10/0600Z 23.1N 142.2W 30 KTS 48HR VT 10/1800Z 24.2N 143.6W 25 KTS 72HR VT 11/1800Z 26.5N 145.3W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103374-17469>; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 04:38:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA141916; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 15:26:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6018999 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 15:26:39 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA08778 for ; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 15:26:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA10955 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 15:26:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708082026.PAA10955@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 8 Aug 1997 15:26:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 37 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3b8dc08ff32a0d45144afcd678da14ac X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1710 Status: OR 714 WTPZ24 KNHC 082023 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0997 2100Z FRI AUG 08 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 137.7W AT 08/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 70 KT 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 137.7W AT 08/2100Z AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 137.2W FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 20.9N 139.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 21.9N 140.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...125NE 75SE 75SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 23.1N 142.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 137.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 24.2N 143.6W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 26.5N 145.3W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102270-2431>; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 07:03:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA12202; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 17:55:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6019751 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 17:55:01 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA245368 for ; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 17:55:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id RAA12416 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 17:54:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708082254.RAA12416@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 8 Aug 1997 17:55:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1a36ccf6f3e57e948089eb6501e170db X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1102 Status: OR 539 ABPZ20 KNHC 082250 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI AUG 8 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO CENTERED ABOUT 1800 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST OVER A LARGE AREA ABOUT ONE THOUSAND MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE ACTIVITY IS NOT WELL ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102497-2431>; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 10:41:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA68132; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 21:34:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6020815 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 21:34:40 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA226742 for ; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 21:34:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA13483 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 21:34:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708090234.VAA13483@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 8 Aug 1997 21:34:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Discussion Number 38 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a30f63337e3608e0568c94b37d7d8acc X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1268 Status: OR 615 WTPZ44 KNHC 090230 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 38 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI AUG 08 1997 A SINGLE BAND OF DEEP CONVECTION PERSISTS OVER THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE AND LIKELY CONTAINS THE STRONGEST WINDS...NEAR 50 KT...NOW IN GUILLERMO. THE STORM IS STILL MOVING TOWARD 305/11 KT AND LITTLE CHANGE IS MADE TO THE NHC NORTHWESTERLY TRACK FORECAST FROM SIX HOURS AGO. MOST GUIDANCE ALSO SHOWS A CONTINUATION OF THE CURRENT MOTION THROUGH 48 HOURS...BY WHICH TIME GUILLERMO COULD BE DECLARED DISSIPATED. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 09/0300Z 20.4N 138.4W 50 KTS 12HR VT 09/1200Z 21.4N 139.8W 40 KTS 24HR VT 10/0000Z 22.6N 141.5W 30 KTS 36HR VT 10/1200Z 23.8N 143.1W 25 KTS 48HR VT 11/0000Z 25.0N 144.7W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102549-2431>; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 10:41:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA68156; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 21:34:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6020820 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 21:34:51 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA74430 for ; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 21:34:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA13487 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 21:34:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708090234.VAA13487@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 8 Aug 1997 21:34:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 38 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9f666b98ac1fc19df6155b3958df056e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1617 Status: OR 616 WTPZ24 KNHC 090231 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0997 0300Z SAT AUG 09 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 138.4W AT 09/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT 50 KT....... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW 34 KT.......150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 138.4W AT 09/0300Z AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 138.0W FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 21.4N 139.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...125NE 75SE 75SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 22.6N 141.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 23.8N 143.1W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.4N 138.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 25.0N 144.7W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102688-2431>; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 12:13:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA102026; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 23:07:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6021306 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 23:07:15 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA118886 for ; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 23:07:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id XAA13938 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 23:06:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708090406.XAA13938@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 8 Aug 1997 23:07:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c4f35c2db841d13a5c93d391e553526d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1107 Status: OR 813 ABPZ20 KNHC 090402 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI AUG 8 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO CENTERED ABOUT 1850 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST OVER A LARGE AREA ABOUT ONE THOUSAND MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE ACTIVITY IS NOT WELL ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102765-2431>; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 16:33:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA84836; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 03:26:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6022076 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 03:26:11 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA120390 for ; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 03:26:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id DAA15046 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 03:25:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708090825.DAA15046@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 9 Aug 1997 03:26:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 39 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5b53dc7988efb2299511398d70961e13 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1407 Status: OR 463 WTPZ24 KNHC 090821 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 39 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0997 0900Z SAT AUG 09 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 139.1W AT 09/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT.......150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 139.1W AT 09/0900Z AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 138.6W FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 22.0N 140.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT...125NE 75SE 75SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 23.0N 142.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 24.0N 143.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N 139.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102736-2431>; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 16:37:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA84862; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 03:26:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6022081 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 03:26:19 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA120402 for ; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 03:26:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id DAA15050 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 03:26:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708090826.DAA15050@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 9 Aug 1997 03:26:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Discussion Number 39 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: de0cc6f01a858cf8c882adc7d60654e2 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1136 Status: OR 464 WTPZ44 KNHC 090820 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 39 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SAT AUG 09 1997 THERE IS NOT MUCH TO ADD ABOUT GUILLERMO EXCEPT THAT THERE IS INTERMITTENT DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AND GUILLERMO WILL LIKELY BE DECLARED DISSIPATED IN 36 HOURS OR SO. THE STORM IS STILL MOVING TOWARD 305/11 KT AND NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN TRACK IS INDICATED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 09/0900Z 21.0N 139.1W 45 KTS 12HR VT 09/1800Z 22.0N 140.5W 35 KTS 24HR VT 10/0600Z 23.0N 142.0W 25 KTS 36HR VT 10/1800Z 24.0N 143.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102799-2431>; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 18:04:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA98042; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 04:57:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6022402 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 04:57:20 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA102118 for ; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 04:57:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id EAA15426 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 04:57:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708090957.EAA15426@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 9 Aug 1997 04:57:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f5a7d1f022a7dc3b1c86f98869d153d7 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1097 Status: OR 466 ABPZ20 KNHC 090954 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT AUG 9 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO CENTERED ABOUT 1865 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST OVER A LARGE AREA ABOUT ONE THOUSAND MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM HAS A POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAY FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103414-2431>; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 22:35:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA220082; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 09:29:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6023157 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 09:29:43 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA248992 for ; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 09:29:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA16312 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 09:29:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708091429.JAA16312@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 9 Aug 1997 09:29:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 40 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2c90fb9a76506ebf21aa3a32c6b7935d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1441 Status: OR 448 WTPZ24 KNHC 091427 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 40 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0997 1500Z SAT AUG 09 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 139.5W AT 09/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT.......150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 139.5W AT 09/1500Z AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 139.2W FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 22.2N 140.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 23.3N 141.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT...125NE 75SE 75SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 24.2N 143.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N 139.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103417-2431>; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 22:36:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA118792; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 09:30:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6023162 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 09:30:02 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA142026 for ; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 09:30:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA16317 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 09:29:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708091429.JAA16317@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 9 Aug 1997 09:30:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Discussion Number 40 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 18e1e6e8b23f7279b9c608f283e08519 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1114 Status: OR 449 WTPZ44 KNHC 091428 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 40 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT AUG 09 1997 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS INTERMITTENT DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AND GUILLERMO WILL LIKELY DISSIPATE IN 36 HOURS OR SO. THE STORM IS MOVING TOWARD 310/08 KT AND NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN TRACK IS INDICATED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 09/1500Z 21.5N 139.5W 45 KTS 12HR VT 10/0000Z 22.2N 140.4W 40 KTS 24HR VT 10/1200Z 23.3N 141.8W 35 KTS 36HR VT 11/0000Z 24.2N 143.0W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103432-2431>; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 00:42:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA162266; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 11:36:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6023620 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 11:36:42 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA94400 for ; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 11:36:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id LAA16827 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 11:36:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708091636.LAA16827@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 9 Aug 1997 11:36:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1755b59e9b551809380112bc493bc6b0 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1101 Status: OR 104 ABPZ20 KNHC 091628 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT AUG 9 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO CENTERED ABOUT 1880 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST OVER A LARGE AREA ABOUT ONE THOUSAND MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM HAS A POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAY FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103441-2431>; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 04:53:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA223500; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 15:49:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6024376 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 15:48:57 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA110798 for ; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 15:48:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA17858 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 15:48:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708092048.PAA17858@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 9 Aug 1997 15:48:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Discussion Number 41 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 44d69717481dc282ce9b51bf0db55db4 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2058 Status: OR 565 WTPZ44 KNHC 092046 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 41 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT AUG 09 1997 IT APPEARS THAT GUILLERMO HAS TAKEN A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IN THE LAST SIX HOURS. HOWEVER THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY BECAUSE OF THE DIFFICULTY IN DETERMINING THE EXACT LOCATION OF THE CENTER. IF THE CENTER IS ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION AND CLOSER TO 140W THE INITIAL TRACK DIRECTION WOULD BE MORE NORTHWEST. IF IT IS IN THE DEEP CONVECTION THEN THE INITIAL MOTION IS 350/09. THIS IS THE DIRECTION I HAVE CHOSEN. APPARENTLY THE MID LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF GUILLERMO HAS WEAKENED ALLOWING THE SYSTEM TO MOVE NORTHWARD. MOST MODEL GUIDANCE STILL SUGGESTS A TURN BACK TOWARD THE NORTHWEST. HOWEVER BAMM...LBAR...AND NHC91 RECURVE THE SYSTEM. THE OFFICIAL TRACK IS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE TWO POSSIBLE SCENARIOS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS INTERMITTENT DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER OF GUILLERMO. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AND GUILLERMO WILL LIKELY DISSIPATE IN 24 TO 36 HOURS. IF THE STORM MOVES WEST OF 140W IN THE NEXT SIX HOURS THEN THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER RATHER THAN THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. IN THAT EVENT THE HEADER FOR THE DISCUSSION WILL BE WTPA44 PHNL...FORECAST/ADVISORY WILL BE WTPA24 PHNL...AND PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE WTPA34 PHNL. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 09/2100Z 22.5N 139.6W 45 KTS 12HR VT 10/0600Z 23.8N 139.9W 40 KTS 24HR VT 10/1800Z 25.5N 140.2W 35 KTS 36HR VT 11/0600Z 27.3N 140.2W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103442-2431>; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 04:57:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA74472; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 15:54:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6024381 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 15:54:44 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA173780 for ; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 15:54:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA17869 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 15:54:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708092054.PAA17869@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 9 Aug 1997 15:54:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 41 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9f6dd6685b4175790c79d187d6f103d2 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1578 Status: OR 616 WTPZ24 KNHC 092050 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 41 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP0997 2100Z SAT AUG 09 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 139.6W AT 09/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT.......150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 139.6W AT 09/2100Z AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 139.5W FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 23.8N 139.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 25.5N 140.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT...125NE 75SE 75SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 27.3N 140.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.5N 139.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z. IF GUILLERMO MOVES WEST OF 140W... THEN THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER UNDER WMO HEADER WTPA24. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102148-4681>; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 06:31:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA252018; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 17:26:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6024674 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 17:26:30 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA112480 for ; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 17:26:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id RAA18337 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 17:26:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708092226.RAA18337@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 9 Aug 1997 17:26:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7f4257e19ae1b79f10b0816e876f61e4 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1040 Status: OR 883 ABPZ20 KNHC 092223 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT AUG 9 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO CENTERED ABOUT 1900 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AND COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103028-4681>; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 10:37:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA176006; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 21:32:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6025623 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 21:32:15 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA265844 for ; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 21:32:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA19279 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 21:32:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708100232.VAA19279@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 9 Aug 1997 21:32:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ten-e Discussion Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 615cd266a72e89b26ed1a73e9fe4cdb7 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2256 Status: OR 294 WTPZ45 KNHC 100230 TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT AUG 09 1997 OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS...THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WELL SOUTH OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS GONE FROM ELONGATED FROM EAST TO WEST...TO NEARLY CIRCULAR. DEEP CONVECTION IS BECOMING MORE CONCENTRATED NEAR THE CIRCULATION CENTER AND A WELL-DEFINED ANTICYCLONE IS DEVELOPING OVER THE SYSTEM ALOFT. ADVISORIES ARE NOW INITIATED ON THAT SYSTEM...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT NEARBY LARGE SCALE FEATURE NOTED ON SATELLITE PICTURES IS AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW ABOUT 10 DEGREES TO THE NNW OF THE DEPRESSION...BETWEEN THE TD AND GUILLERMO. WHILE THERE WAS NO 18Z AVN OUTPUT AVAILABLE...THE 12Z RUN APPEARS TO HAVE HAD A GOOD INITIAL HANDLE ON THE VORTICITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE DISTURBANCE AT THAT TIME. THAT MODEL ALSO SHOWED A 700 MB HIGH MOVING WNW FROM NEAR BAJA CALIFORNIA DURING THE NEXT THREE DAYS. THE MODEL AND THE TRACK GUIDANCE DERIVED FROM IT SHOW THE CYCLONE CONTINUING ON THE NORTHWEST COURSE WITH SOME ACCELERATION WHILE REMAINING ON THE SOUTHWEST SIDE OF THE HIGH. SO DOES THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KT. WHILE CLOUD TOPS HAVE WARMED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...THIS COULD BE A DIURNAL TREND. BOTH CLIMATOLOGICAL GUIDANCE AND THE SHIPS INTENSITY SCHEME SUGGEST STRENGTHENING. THIS IS REASONABLE GIVEN THE PATTERN OBSERVED IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...UNLESS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVES TOO CLOSE TO THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/0300Z 10.9N 114.9W 30 KTS 12HR VT 10/1200Z 11.6N 115.7W 35 KTS 24HR VT 11/0000Z 12.3N 116.8W 40 KTS 36HR VT 11/1200Z 13.1N 117.9W 45 KTS 48HR VT 12/0000Z 13.9N 119.3W 55 KTS 72HR VT 13/0000Z 16.0N 122.5W 60 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103027-4681>; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 10:38:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA175896; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 21:33:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6025643 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 21:33:38 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA84742 for ; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 21:33:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA19295 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 21:33:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708100233.VAA19295@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 9 Aug 1997 21:33:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ten-e Forecast/advisory Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f5ca7dd06e05d7d3aea41da56915703e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1659 Status: OR 298 WTPZ25 KNHC 100230 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1097 0300Z SUN AUG 10 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 114.9W AT 10/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 114.9W AT 10/0300Z AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 114.6W FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 11.6N 115.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 12.3N 116.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 13.1N 117.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.9N 114.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 13.9N 119.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 16.0N 122.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103040-4681>; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 12:54:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA173678; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 23:48:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6026093 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 23:48:20 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA219990 for ; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 23:48:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id XAA19868 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 23:48:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708100448.XAA19868@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 9 Aug 1997 23:48:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c98fe43365500a427321fbbc1b938cbd X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1145 Status: OR 155 ABPZ20 KNHC 100445 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT AUG 9 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E LOCATED ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS NOW ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO CENTERED ABOUT 1060 MILES EAST OF HONOLULU HAWAII. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WPTZ25 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP5. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103480-4681>; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 16:33:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA251918; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 03:25:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6026604 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 03:25:27 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA220156 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 03:25:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id DAA20772 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 03:25:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708100825.DAA20772@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 10 Aug 1997 03:25:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ten-e Discussion Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8de5b772b2f46fcb488d7a76cbd16700 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2200 Status: OR 252 WTPZ45 KNHC 100823 TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN AUG 10 1997 SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A BANDING TYPE PATTERN WITH THE DEEPEST CONVECTION LIMITED TO THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. INITIAL INTENSITY IS 30 KNOTS...IN AGREEMENT WITH LATEST ESTIMATES FROM SAB AND TAFB. THE UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE IS ALREADY ESTABLISHED AND STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED AS LONG AS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE REMAINS OVER WARM WATER. INTENSITY FORECAST IS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH CLIMATOLOGICAL GUIDANCE AND SHIPS INTENSITY SCHEME. THE DEPRESSION IS STILL GETTING ORGANIZED...AND THE CLOUD SYSTEM CENTER IS NOT WELL DEFINED. SATELLITE FIXES ARE JUMPING AROUND A LITTLE AS USUAL ON A WEAK SYSTEM...BUT IT APPEARS THAT THE CENTER HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS OR SO. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 20N120W WHICH WOULD STEER THE TROPICAL CYCLONE TOWARD THE NORTH IF THE LOW WERE TO REMAIN STATIONARY. HOWEVER...THE NWS AVIATION MODEL INITIALIZES THE LOW WELL...THEN MOVES IT WESTWARD AND WEAKENS IT AS A RIDGE BUILDS IN TO THE NORTH OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. IF THIS VERIFIES...THE TROPICAL CYCLONE SHOULD BEGIN MOVING GENERALLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND EVENTUALLY TURN MORE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH TIME. OUR CURRENT FORECAST IS NEARLY THE SAME AS THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE...AND IS MIDWAY BETWEEN THE GFDL AND THE STATISTICAL/DYNAMICAL P91E GUIDANCE. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/0900Z 11.2N 114.5W 30 KTS 12HR VT 10/1800Z 11.8N 115.2W 35 KTS 24HR VT 11/0600Z 12.4N 116.1W 40 KTS 36HR VT 11/1800Z 13.3N 117.4W 45 KTS 48HR VT 12/0600Z 14.2N 118.9W 55 KTS 72HR VT 13/0600Z 16.0N 122.5W 60 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103477-4681>; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 16:36:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA251984; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 03:27:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6026613 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 03:26:57 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA219966 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 03:26:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id DAA20781 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 03:26:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708100826.DAA20781@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 10 Aug 1997 03:26:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ten-e Forecast/advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1b746e80d280401965fed4e9d74e0d6c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1709 Status: OR 260 WTPZ25 KNHC 100824 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1097 0900Z SUN AUG 10 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 114.5W AT 10/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT...NEARLY STATIONARY BUT EXPECTED TO BEGIN A MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 114.5W AT 10/0900Z AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 114.5W FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 11.8N 115.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 12.4N 116.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 13.3N 117.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.2N 114.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 14.2N 118.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 16.0N 122.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103491-4681>; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 18:32:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA173588; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 05:27:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6026856 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 05:27:14 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA110594 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 05:27:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id FAA21020 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 05:27:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708101027.FAA21020@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 10 Aug 1997 05:27:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c39fdbbc929e8573b783c822a7db64f2 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 989 Status: OR 826 ABPZ20 KNHC 101021 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN AUG 10 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E LOCATED ABOUT 865 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WPTZ25 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP5. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103507-4681>; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 22:40:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA149826; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 09:36:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6027649 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 09:35:56 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA220708 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 09:35:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA21625 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 09:35:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708101435.JAA21625@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 10 Aug 1997 09:35:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ten-e Discussion Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f3e0ce815e2d9463abae3c89847d188c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1830 Status: OR 473 WTPZ45 KNHC 101435 TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN AUG 10 1997 THE FIRST VISIBLE PICTURES INDICATE THAT THE INITAL MOTION IS ABOUT 360/05...ALTHOUGH THE CENTER IS NOT WELL DEFINED. THIS NORTHWARD MOTION IS BELIEVED TO BE THE RESULT OF STEERING FROM A MID-LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE DEPRESSION. THE AVIATION MODEL SHOWS THIS LOW DROPPING SOUTHWESTWARD. THIS SHOULD ALLOW THE DEPRESSION TO TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND ACCELERATE SOME DURING THE NEXT 3 DAYS AS INDICATED BY ALL OF THE DYNAMICALLY BASED TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS SHIFTED TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY TO ACCOMODATE THE INITIAL MOTION. THE DEPRESSION DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE STRENGTHENING AT THIS TIME AS THE DEEP CONVECTION IS NOT WELL ORGANIZED AND IS NOT INCREASING. HOWEVER THERE IS GOOD BANDING AND THERE DOES NOT SEEM TO BE MUCH VERTICAL SHEAR NEARBY TO LIMIT INTENSIFICATION. THE WIND SPEED FORECAST IS THE SAME AS THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...GRADUAL STRENGTHENING THROUGH 72 HOURS. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/1500Z 12.0N 114.5W 30 KTS 12HR VT 11/0000Z 12.8N 114.5W 35 KTS 24HR VT 11/1200Z 14.5N 115.5W 40 KTS 36HR VT 12/0000Z 15.5N 117.1W 45 KTS 48HR VT 12/1200Z 16.0N 119.0W 50 KTS 72HR VT 13/1200Z 17.0N 123.0W 60 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103513-4681>; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 22:44:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA200848; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 09:36:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6027661 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 09:36:41 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA149886 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 09:36:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA21629 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 09:36:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708101436.JAA21629@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 10 Aug 1997 09:36:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ten-e Forecast/advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0846e1d9c308b06e72c8d8c92fef7a6d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1654 Status: OR 518 WTPZ25 KNHC 101435 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1097 1500Z SUN AUG 10 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 114.5W AT 10/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 114.5W AT 10/1500Z AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 114.5W FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 12.8N 114.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 14.5N 115.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 15.5N 117.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N 114.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 16.0N 119.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 17.0N 123.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103529-4681>; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 00:40:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA210504; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 11:34:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6028145 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 11:34:26 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA216852 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 11:34:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id LAA22156 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 11:34:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708101634.LAA22156@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 10 Aug 1997 11:34:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c66a88617502d37395c4dd35a47f4ac9 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 990 Status: OR 021 ABPZ20 KNHC 101629 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN AUG 10 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WPTZ25 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP5. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103552-4681>; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 05:38:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA232212; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 16:31:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6029235 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 16:31:03 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA245248 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 16:31:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id QAA23435 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 16:30:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708102130.QAA23435@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 10 Aug 1997 16:31:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ten-e Forecast/advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b74e6f7e32addac38f5cafd5c67fe127 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1654 Status: OR 359 WTPZ25 KNHC 102130 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1097 2100Z SUN AUG 10 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 114.5W AT 10/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 114.5W AT 10/2100Z AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 114.5W FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 13.0N 114.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 14.0N 115.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 15.2N 117.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 114.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 16.2N 119.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 17.7N 124.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103495-4681>; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 05:38:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA245320; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 16:32:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6029240 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 16:32:50 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA232246 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 16:32:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id QAA23444 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 16:32:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708102132.QAA23444@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 10 Aug 1997 16:32:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ten-e Discussion Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 83bf263b92ad012c0f347a98dc2a956c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1711 Status: OR 380 WTPZ45 KNHC 102130 TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN AUG 10 1997 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE REMAINS AT 360/05. THE SCENARIO OF A MID-LEVEL LOW LOCATED TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE DEPRESSION IS THE SAME AS BEFORE. THE 12Z AVIATION MODEL FORECASTS THE LOW SOUTHWESTWARD WHICH SHOULD ALLOW THE DEPRESSION TO GRADUALLY ACQUIRE SOME WESTWARD COMPONENT OF MOTION. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS WELL TO THE RIGHT OF THE GFDL MODEL WHICH ALONG WITH THE AVIATION MODEL SEEMS TO MERGE THE DEPRESSION WITH THE LOW. A SMALL COLD CDO HAS RECENTLY FORMED AND DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE BORDERLINE TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY BUT THE CONVECTIVE BANDING HAS BECOME LESS PRONOUNCED. SO THE SYSTEM IS KEPT A DEPRESSION BUT IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY TO A TROPICAL STORM IN 12 HOURS AND TO CONTINUE STRENGHTENING FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS AS THERE DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE ANY SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL SHEAR NEARBY LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/2100Z 12.3N 114.5W 30 KTS 12HR VT 11/0600Z 13.0N 114.5W 35 KTS 24HR VT 11/1800Z 14.0N 115.6W 40 KTS 36HR VT 12/0600Z 15.2N 117.2W 45 KTS 48HR VT 12/1800Z 16.2N 119.8W 50 KTS 72HR VT 13/1800Z 17.7N 124.6W 60 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102178-2171>; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 06:38:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA199412; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 17:33:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6029441 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 17:33:23 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA223712 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 17:33:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id RAA23667 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 17:33:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708102233.RAA23667@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 10 Aug 1997 17:33:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0b74174d33a14361f3705291bd6fa479 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 980 Status: OR 182 ABPZ20 KNHC 102231 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN AUG 10 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E LOCATED ABOUT 790 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WPTZ25 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP5. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 14:02:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102442-17790>; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 10:38:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA67782; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 21:31:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5982048 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 21:31:45 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAB201126 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 21:31:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA13346 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 21:31:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708120231.VAA13346@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 21:31:45 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ten-e Discussion Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 357684ee643b1a1de3bb0b69b699fc9a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2041 Status: OR 014 WTPZ45 KNHC 120230 TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON AUG 11 1997 TEN-E CONTINUES TO EXPERIENCE SHEARING FROM THE CIRCULATION OF AN UPPER-LEVEL CYCLONE CENTERED TO ITS WEST-NORTHWEST. WATER VAPOR IMAGES SHOW THAT THIS UPPER CYCLONE IS MOVING WESTWARD...BUT THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING WESTWARD AS WELL. THEREFORE IT APPEARS THAT THE DEPRESSION WILL CONTINUE TO BE INFLUENCED BY THE UPPER CYCLONE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO. AS IN EARLIER NHC FORECASTS...SOME STRENGTHENING IS PREDICTED LATER IN THE PERIOD...SINCE THE SHEAR MAY EVENTUALLY LESSEN SOMEWHAT. THE DEPRESSION HAS MOVED MORE WESTWARD DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS AND INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 280/7. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS ONE...BASED ON THE CHANGE IN HEADING. THE MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM HAS APPARENTLY BEEN IN RESPONSE TO LOWER- TROPOSPHERIC WINDS SINCE IT IS NOT A VERY STRONG/DEEP TROPICAL CYCLONE. SHOULD THE DEPRESSION STRENGTHEN SOMEWHAT...IT COULD BE STEERED MORE TO THE RIGHT...DUE TO THE FLOW AROUND THE UPPER CYCLONE. SINCE I AM NOT FORECASTING ANY GREAT INCREASE IN STRENGTH...THE CURRENT OFFICIAL FORECAST IS MORE OR LESS ALONG THE TRACK GIVEN BY THE SHALLOW-LAYER STEERING MODEL BAMS...BUT NOT QUITE AS FAST. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/0300Z 13.1N 118.0W 30 KTS 12HR VT 12/1200Z 13.3N 119.3W 30 KTS 24HR VT 13/0000Z 13.9N 121.2W 35 KTS 36HR VT 13/1200Z 14.6N 123.3W 35 KTS 48HR VT 14/0000Z 15.5N 125.3W 40 KTS 72HR VT 15/0000Z 17.0N 129.5W 45 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102565-2171>; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 10:45:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA248960; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 21:39:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6030799 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 21:39:27 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA120430 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 21:39:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA24736 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 21:39:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708110239.VAA24736@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 10 Aug 1997 21:39:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ten-e Forecast/advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 10f6c872172b7c819ee508b0fb5fbee1 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1591 Status: OR 776 WTPZ25 KNHC 110238 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1097 0300Z MON AUG 11 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 115.5W AT 11/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 115.5W AT 11/0300Z AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 115.3W FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 13.0N 116.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 13.8N 117.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 14.7N 119.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 115.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 15.5N 121.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 17.0N 125.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102428-2171>; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 10:47:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA248846; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 21:41:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6030807 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 21:41:53 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA110842 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 21:41:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA24746 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 21:41:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708110241.VAA24746@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 10 Aug 1997 21:41:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ten-e Discussion Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2a9c102aa07ee91130f0fadf53c1647f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2101 Status: OR 800 WTPZ45 KNHC 110240 TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN AUG 10 1997 LAST LIGHT VISIBLE PICTURES SHOWED THE CENTER BECOMING EXPOSED... TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE MAIN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION. THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THIS CENTER POSITION ESTIMATE...HOWEVER IT IS SOMEWHAT TO THE WEST OF THE PREVIOUSLY ESTIMATED TRACK. INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO BE NORTHWESTWARD...315/06. THE CHANGE IN INITIAL MOTION REQUIRES SOME LEFTWARD ADJUSTMENT TO THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK. THIS IS CLOSE TO THE STATISTICAL/DYNAMICAL MODEL NHC91. THE SHALLOW/MEDIUM LEVEL BAM AND GFDL MODELS FOLLOW A SIMILAR TRAJECTORY BUT ARE FASTER THAN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN DIMINISHING...AND THE DEPRESSION IS LESS- ORGANIZED LOOKING THAN IT WAS EARLIER TODAY. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A MID- TO UPPER-TROPOSPHERIC CYCLONE WITHIN 10 DEG TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE DEPRESSION. IT NOW APPEARS THAT THIS MID/UPPER CYCLONE IS PRODUCING SOUTHWESTERLY SHEARING...WHICH SHOULD INHIBIT SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING IN THE NEAR FUTURE. THEREFORE I HAVE BACKED OFF A BIT ON THE INTENSITY FORECAST. IN 24 HOURS OR SO IT IS EXPECTED THAT THE MID/UPPER CYCLONE WILL HAVE MOVED FAR ENOUGH TO THE SOUTHWEST SO THAT THE SHEARING WILL DIMINISH...AND ALLOW SOME STRENGTHENING TO EVENTUALLY OCCUR. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/0300Z 12.4N 115.5W 30 KTS 12HR VT 11/1200Z 13.0N 116.3W 30 KTS 24HR VT 12/0000Z 13.8N 117.7W 35 KTS 36HR VT 12/1200Z 14.7N 119.5W 40 KTS 48HR VT 13/0000Z 15.5N 121.5W 45 KTS 72HR VT 14/0000Z 17.0N 125.5W 55 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 13:00:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102585-2171>; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 12:26:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA256832; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 23:20:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6031235 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 23:20:08 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA251946 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 23:20:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id XAA25236 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 23:19:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708110419.XAA25236@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 10 Aug 1997 23:20:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4414892503f3861f2534c7ee376194db X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 991 Status: OR 143 ABPZ20 KNHC 110414 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN AUG 10 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E LOCATED ABOUT 820 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WPTZ25 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP5. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 14:02:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102589-17790>; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 13:12:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA228624; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 23:56:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5982737 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 23:55:57 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA46078 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 23:55:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id XAA14325 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 23:55:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708120455.XAA14325@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 23:55:57 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ca32d175c77f4fdd89f5ffaadd99471d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 873 Status: OR 948 ABPZ20 KNHC 120454 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON AUG 11 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E LOCATED ABOUT 860 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 14:02:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103074-2171>; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 16:33:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA199226; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 03:25:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6031886 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 03:25:04 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA219934 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 03:25:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id DAA26537 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 03:24:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708110824.DAA26537@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 03:25:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ten-e Discussion Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 67c4ee80563909f5fb5f6ae7b98db2d2 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2339 Status: OR 444 WTPZ45 KNHC 110823 TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON AUG 11 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E REMAINS WEAK...WITH ONLY A SMALL AND DIMINISHING CLUSTER OF DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER. THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING SHEAR FROM AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTHWEST. INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 30 KNOTS...AND ANY SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING SHOULD BE INHIBITED IN THE SHORT TERM DUE TO THE SHEARING. WE HAVE BACKED OFF A LITTLE MORE ON THE INTENSITY FORECAST. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS STILL POSSIBLE IF THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW MOVES WESTWARD FAST ENOUGH AND SEPARATES SUFFICIENTLY FROM THE DEPRESSION AS FORECAST BY THE AVIATION MODEL. HOWEVER...IF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVES IN TANDEM WITH THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW...THIS STRENGTHENING MAY NEVER OCCUR. OUR CURRENT INTENSITY FORECAST IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST SHIFOR AND SHIPS GUIDANCE. THE CIRCULATION CENTER IS NOT EASILY DETERMINED IN INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY...BUT A GUESS AT A CENTER NEAR THE SMALL CLUSTER OF DEEP CONVECTION FITS A REASONABLE EXTRAPOLATION FROM THE LAST LIGHT VISIBLE PICS THAT DID SHOW A VERY WELL-DEFINED CENTER. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 305/04. THE AVIATION MODEL PERSISTS IN SHOWING A LOW- TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE CYCLONE...SO A MORE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION SHOULD DEVELOP WITH TIME. OUR CURRENT TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE AND IN CLOSEST AGREEMENT WITH THE STATISTICAL/DYNAMICAL MODEL NHC91. THE SHALLOW-LEVEL BAM AND GFDL MODELS FOLLOW A SIMILAR TRAJECTORY BUT ARE SOMEWHAT FASTER THAN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/0900Z 12.5N 115.7W 30 KTS 12HR VT 11/1800Z 12.8N 116.2W 30 KTS 24HR VT 12/0600Z 13.6N 117.5W 35 KTS 36HR VT 12/1800Z 14.6N 119.2W 40 KTS 48HR VT 13/0600Z 15.6N 121.3W 45 KTS 72HR VT 14/0600Z 17.0N 125.5W 45 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 14:02:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103071-2171>; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 16:34:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA199250; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 03:25:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6031891 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 03:25:14 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA229158 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 03:25:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id DAA26541 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 03:24:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708110824.DAA26541@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 03:25:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ten-e Forecast/advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 26b64b908ca352c4b793b15b606da0fa X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1562 Status: OR 445 WTPZ25 KNHC 110824 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1097 0900Z MON AUG 11 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 115.7W AT 11/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 115.7W AT 11/0900Z AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 115.6W FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 12.8N 116.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 13.6N 117.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 14.6N 119.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 115.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 15.6N 121.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 17.0N 125.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 16:52:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102923-17790>; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 16:38:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA265980; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 03:29:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5983590 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 03:29:40 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA226786 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 03:29:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id DAA15924 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 03:29:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708120829.DAA15924@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 12 Aug 1997 03:29:40 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Hilda Discussion Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ebb2be305abf126895811062842303bf X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2126 Status: OR 939 WTPZ45 KNHC 120827 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM HILDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT TUE AUG 12 1997 SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A LARGE BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION...AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E IS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM HILDA. INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 35 KNOTS...A COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE DVORAK ESTIMATE OF T3.0 FROM SAB AND AFGWC AND THE T2.0 FROM TAFB. THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW CENTERED TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE STORM MAY FINALLY BE ENHANCING THE OUTFLOW SOMEWHAT. THE FUTURE DEVELOPMENT OF HILDA WILL DEPEND IN PART ON THE SEPARATION BETWEEN THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW AND THE STORM. OUR INTENSITY FORECAST CONTINUES TO SHOW GRADUAL STRENGTHENING...SOMEWHAT LESS THAN INDICATED BY SHIPS AND SHIFOR GUIDANCE...BUT MORE THAN SUGGESTED BY THE GFDL MODEL. IF THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW MOVES SLOWER THAN HILDA...SHEARING WILL AGAIN INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT. THERE ARE NO CLEAR CUT CENTRAL FEATURES IN THE BURSTING TYPE PATTERN...AND OUR SATELLITE FIXES ARE VERY UNCERTAIN. BEST GUESS AT THE INITIAL MOTION IS 280/08. SINCE THE SYSTEM IS STILL RELATIVELY WEAK...IT SHOULD BE STEERED BY THE LOW LEVEL FLOW. OUR TRACK IS ALONG THE LINE OF THE SHALLOW BAM...BUT A LITTLE SLOWER. THIS IS STILL FASTER THAN THE NHC90 AND NOGAPS. IF THE STORM STRENGTHENS MORE THAN FORECAST...IT COULD BE STEERED MORE TO THE RIGHT IN RESPONSE TO THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/0900Z 13.2N 118.9W 35 KTS 12HR VT 12/1800Z 13.5N 120.2W 35 KTS 24HR VT 13/0600Z 14.1N 122.2W 40 KTS 36HR VT 13/1800Z 15.0N 124.5W 40 KTS 48HR VT 14/0600Z 16.0N 127.0W 45 KTS 72HR VT 15/0600Z 18.0N 132.0W 45 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 16:52:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102847-17790>; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 16:35:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA265748; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 03:29:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5983595 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 03:29:47 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA226796 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 03:29:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id DAA15928 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 03:29:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708120829.DAA15928@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 12 Aug 1997 03:29:47 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Hilda Forecast/advisory Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 249c2d90bb520d7c2483651e76b5e169 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1651 Status: OR 940 WTPZ25 KNHC 120828 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM HILDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1097 0900Z TUE AUG 12 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 118.9W AT 12/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 118.9W AT 12/0900Z AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 118.4W FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 13.5N 120.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 14.1N 122.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 15.0N 124.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 118.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 16.0N 127.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 18.0N 132.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 14:02:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103035-2171>; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 18:23:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA229284; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 05:17:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6032095 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 05:16:58 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA92306 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 05:16:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id FAA27078 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 05:16:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708111016.FAA27078@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 05:16:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 207d9f86089790023aeca5dae1a89ad4 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 870 Status: OR 885 ABPZ20 KNHC 111010 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON AUG 11 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E LOCATED ABOUT 815 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 14:02:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103099-2171>; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 22:36:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA200858; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 09:29:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6033129 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 09:29:16 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA200738 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 09:28:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA29755 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 09:28:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708111428.JAA29755@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 09:29:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ten-e Forecast/advisory Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 12b60d842d4bf8e48bca425e3f2bad7c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1567 Status: OR 545 WTPZ25 KNHC 111427 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1097 1500Z MON AUG 11 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 116.1W AT 11/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 116.1W AT 11/1500Z AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 115.9W FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 13.1N 116.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 13.5N 117.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 14.1N 118.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N 116.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 14.6N 119.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 15.6N 122.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 14:02:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103087-2171>; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 22:37:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA112410; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 09:30:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6033139 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 09:30:43 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA200706 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 09:30:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA29809 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 09:30:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708111430.JAA29809@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 09:30:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ten-e Discussion Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 81c5df4b493e52c09ecc7dceafa7e318 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2127 Status: OR 577 WTPZ45 KNHC 111429 TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT MON AUG 11 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E REMAINS WEAK. A CLUSTER OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR THE CENTER IN THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE SHEARED BY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTHWEST. INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 30 KNOTS...AND ANY SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING SHOULD BE INHIBITED IN THE SHORT TERM DUE TO THE SHEARING. I HAVE BACKED OFF A LITTLE MORE ON THE INTENSITY FORECAST. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS STILL POSSIBLE IF THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW MOVES WESTWARD FAST ENOUGH AND SEPARATES SUFFICIENTLY FROM THE DEPRESSION AS FORECAST BY THE AVIATION MODEL. HOWEVER...IF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVES IN TANDEM WITH THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW...THIS STRENGTHENING MAY NEVER OCCUR. OUR CURRENT INTENSITY FORECAST IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST SHIFOR AND SHIPS GUIDANCE. THE CIRCULATION CENTER REMAINS DIFFICULT TO FIND IN INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY...BUT A GUESS AT A CENTER NEAR THE SMALL CLUSTER OF DEEP CONVECTION FITS A REASONABLE EXTRAPOLATION FROM THE LAST INFRARED FIX. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 295/04. THE CURRENT TRACK DIRECTION IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE AND IS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH MOST OF THE GUIDANCE MODELS. HOWEVER THE TRACK SPEED IS MUCH SLOWER THAN BEFORE...BUT SLOWLY INCREASES WITH TIME. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/1500Z 12.8N 116.1W 30 KTS 12HR VT 12/0000Z 13.1N 116.6W 30 KTS 24HR VT 12/1200Z 13.5N 117.4W 35 KTS 36HR VT 13/0000Z 14.1N 118.4W 35 KTS 48HR VT 13/1200Z 14.6N 119.5W 40 KTS 72HR VT 14/1200Z 15.6N 122.0W 45 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 14:02:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103077-2171>; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 00:35:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA94284; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 11:26:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6033854 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 11:26:44 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA08760 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 11:26:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id LAA03320 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 11:26:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708111626.LAA03320@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 11:26:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6e15c968a39b64799911f05766cccf1f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 871 Status: OR 161 ABPZ20 KNHC 111618 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON AUG 11 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 13 07:59:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102273-17790>; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 00:54:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA229196; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 11:42:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5986131 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 11:42:22 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA220720 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 11:42:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id LAA22723 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 11:42:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708121642.LAA22723@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 12 Aug 1997 11:42:22 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a97ba2eee833d8dc445b58ab23269b32 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 859 Status: OR 881 ABPZ20 KNHC 121640 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE AUG 12 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM HILDA LOCATED ABOUT 925 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 14:02:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103245-2171>; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 04:37:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA43324; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 15:31:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6035647 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 15:31:08 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA129314 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 15:31:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA09237 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 15:30:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708112030.PAA09237@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 15:31:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ten-e Forecast/advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 621fde55eccabb39f356263f7a30641a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1567 Status: OR 971 WTPZ25 KNHC 112030 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1097 2100Z MON AUG 11 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 117.0W AT 11/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 117.0W AT 11/2100Z AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 116.7W FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 13.6N 118.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 14.5N 119.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 15.2N 121.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 117.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 16.1N 123.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 17.6N 128.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 14:02:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103114-2171>; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 04:40:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA229298; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 15:33:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6035656 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 15:32:57 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA151966 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 15:32:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA09268 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 15:32:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708112032.PAA09268@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 15:32:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ten-e Discussion Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 05983a2c5fdb02346284d134b8ccc726 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1642 Status: OR 972 WTPZ45 KNHC 112031 TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON AUG 11 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E CONTINUES TO STRUGGLE INTENSITY-WISE. ALTHOUGH DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES NEAR THE CENTER... THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE SHEARED BY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTHWEST. INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS AT 30 KNOTS. SLOW INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST AND THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST SHIFOR.. SHIPS.. AND GFDL GUIDANCE. VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THAT THE SYSTEM IS MOVING FASTER THAN MY PREVIOUS ESTIMATES OR 295/07. ALL THE GUIDANCE MODELS... EXCEPT THE AVIATION... ARE IN AGREEMENT IN A WEST- NORTHWEST MOTION AND ONLY DIFFER IN SPEED OF MOTION. THE AVIATION MODEL MOVES THE SYSTEM IN A MORE WESTERLY DIRECTION. IN THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST THE TRACK SPEED SLOWLY INCREASES WITH TIME. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/2100Z 13.2N 117.0W 30 KTS 12HR VT 12/0600Z 13.6N 118.1W 30 KTS 24HR VT 12/1800Z 14.5N 119.8W 35 KTS 36HR VT 13/0600Z 15.2N 121.5W 35 KTS 48HR VT 13/1800Z 16.1N 123.5W 40 KTS 72HR VT 14/1800Z 17.6N 128.0W 45 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 13 07:59:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103586-17790>; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 04:44:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA223540; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 15:38:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5987544 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 15:37:51 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA184090 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 15:37:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA28585 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 15:37:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708122037.PAA28585@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 12 Aug 1997 15:37:51 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Hilda Forecast/advisory Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6a5448962e44c56b85f38a3bfd155cc8 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1808 Status: OR 295 WTPZ25 KNHC 122037 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM HILDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1097 2100Z TUE AUG 12 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 120.7W AT 12/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 120.7W AT 12/2100Z AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 120.3W FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 13.5N 122.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 14.0N 124.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 14.5N 126.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N 120.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 15.0N 128.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 16.0N 131.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 13 07:59:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103565-17790>; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 04:57:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA211742; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 15:43:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5987569 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 15:43:21 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA02814 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 15:43:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA28676 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 15:43:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708122043.PAA28676@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 12 Aug 1997 15:43:21 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Hilda Discussion Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ca79b370f45338f2af3007f40c7c5311 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1305 Status: OR 306 WTPZ45 KNHC 122041 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM HILDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE AUG 12 1997 HILDA CONTINUES ON A GENERAL WESTWARD TRACK AND SINCE THE STEERING PATTERN HAS NOT CHANGED...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE HAS BEEN MADE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. IN TERMS OF INTENSITY...HILDA HAS NOT STRENGTHENED SINCE EARLIER TODAY..IN FACT IT LOOKS WEAKER...AND AN UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO INTERACT WITH THE STORM. HOWEVER...A GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS SINCE WATER IS WARM AND SHEAR MAY RELAX. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/2100Z 13.4N 120.7W 45 KTS 12HR VT 13/0600Z 13.5N 122.1W 50 KTS 24HR VT 13/1800Z 14.0N 124.0W 55 KTS 36HR VT 14/0600Z 14.5N 126.0W 60 KTS 48HR VT 14/1800Z 15.0N 128.5W 65 KTS 72HR VT 15/1800Z 16.0N 131.5W 65 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 14:02:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102171-17790>; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 06:43:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA252620; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 17:37:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6036348 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 17:36:58 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA45998 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 17:36:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id RAA11365 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 17:36:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708112236.RAA11365@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 17:36:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 81a7a4d824636ce8443198c787a8a988 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 867 Status: OR 665 ABPZ20 KNHC 112234 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON AUG 11 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E LOCATED ABOUT 815 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 13 08:00:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102193-5287>; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 06:43:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA84764; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 17:37:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5988208 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 17:37:45 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA13500 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 17:37:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id RAA00392 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 17:37:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708122237.RAA00392@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 12 Aug 1997 17:37:45 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a30ce440e664505f3bf55a54677a9174 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1027 Status: OR 815 ABPZ20 KNHC 122234 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE AUG 12 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM HILDA LOCATED ABOUT 970 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THERE ARE SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 14:02:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102423-17790>; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 10:35:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA265802; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 21:30:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6037236 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 21:29:57 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA200980 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 21:29:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA13318 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 21:29:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708120229.VAA13318@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 21:29:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ten-e Forecast/advisory Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8fa2874f8dfed4f9b693f84f19021368 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1554 Status: OR 982 WTPZ25 KNHC 120229 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1097 0300Z TUE AUG 12 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 118.0W AT 12/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 118.0W AT 12/0300Z AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 117.6W FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 13.3N 119.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 13.9N 121.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 14.6N 123.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N 118.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 15.5N 125.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 17.0N 129.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 13 11:03:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102361-5287>; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 10:38:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA43514; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 21:31:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5989740 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 21:31:00 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA210056 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 21:30:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA01880 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 21:30:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708130230.VAA01880@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 12 Aug 1997 21:31:00 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Hilda Forecast/advisory Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2e9cfbf53ee626caccd3cccb08e8e98a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1818 Status: OR 339 WTPZ25 KNHC 130230 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM HILDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1097 0300Z WED AUG 13 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 121.8W AT 13/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 121.8W AT 13/0300Z AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 121.3W FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 14.4N 123.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 15.0N 125.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 15.8N 127.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 121.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 16.5N 129.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 18.0N 134.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 13 11:03:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102382-5287>; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 10:37:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA176060; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 21:32:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5989766 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 21:32:05 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA199324 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 21:32:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA01896 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 21:31:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708130231.VAA01896@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 12 Aug 1997 21:32:05 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Hilda Discussion Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: dc55b54c404c4fc955c4b98aac241ae6 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1812 Status: OR 343 WTPZ45 KNHC 130231 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM HILDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT TUE AUG 12 1997 THE STORM HAS BEEN EXHIBITING A BURSTING-TYPE PATTERN OF DEEP CONVECTION...WITH NO WELL-DEFINED BANDING FEATURES. INTENSITY ESTIMATE REMAINS AT 45 KNOTS. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS WEAK EXCEPT OVER THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT. THE MID/UPPER-LEVEL LOW THAT HAS BEEN INTERACTING WITH HILDA IS NOW NEARLY 10 DEGREES TO THE WEST OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE...AND THE SHEARING OVER THE STORM MAY BE LESSENING. I WILL FORECAST GRADUAL STRENGTHENING AS IN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORIES. MOTION IS NOW ESTIMATED TO BE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST...290/10. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD...IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH STATISTICAL/DYNAMICAL TRACK PREDICTION GUIDANCE. THE AVN AND NOGAPS GUIDANCE CALL FOR AN ESSENTIALLY DUE WESTWARD MOVEMENT. HOWEVER IT IS FELT THAT THE EFFECTS OF THE UPPER LOW COMBINED WITH MID-LEVEL RIDGING TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF HILDA SHOULD MAINTAIN A MORE WEST- NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/0300Z 13.9N 121.8W 45 KTS 12HR VT 13/1200Z 14.4N 123.2W 50 KTS 24HR VT 14/0000Z 15.0N 125.2W 55 KTS 36HR VT 14/1200Z 15.8N 127.3W 60 KTS 48HR VT 15/0000Z 16.5N 129.5W 65 KTS 72HR VT 16/0000Z 18.0N 134.0W 65 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 13 14:14:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102417-5287>; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 12:33:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA77100; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 23:28:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5990267 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 23:28:13 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA43290 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 23:28:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id XAA02489 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 23:27:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708130427.XAA02489@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 12 Aug 1997 23:28:13 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1c206d87e9352f634d0da24c95cc9311 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 984 Status: OR 056 ABPZ20 KNHC 130426 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE AUG 12 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM HILDA LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO HAVE DIMINISHED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 13 16:49:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102719-27121>; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 16:36:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA02782; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 03:29:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5991096 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 03:29:47 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA25290 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 03:29:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id DAA03779 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 03:29:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708130829.DAA03779@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 03:29:47 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Hilda Discussion Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0f441a013f49bbb089044e8bae2cadc1 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2432 Status: OR 496 WTPZ45 KNHC 130829 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM HILDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT WED AUG 13 1997 ANOTHER LARGE BURST OF VERY DEEP CONVECTION HAS OCCURRED...BUT THERE ARE STILL NO IDENTIFIABLE CENTRAL FEATURES OR BANDING FEATURES EVIDENT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY. INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 45 KNOTS...IN AGREEMENT WITH SAB...AFGWC...AND TAFB DVORAK ESTIMATES. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CLEARLY SHOWS THE MID/UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO THE WEST OF HILDA...MOVING WESTWARD A LITTLE BIT FASTER THAN OUR TROPICAL CYCLONE. OUR INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON THE ASSUMPTION THAT THE MID/UPPER-LEVEL LOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE A LITTLE FASTER THAN HILDA...MEANING THAT THE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT COULD BECOME MORE FAVORABLE AND ALLOW THE TROPICAL CYCLONE TO STRENGTHEN. THIS STRENGTHENING SHOULD LEVEL OFF LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD AS HILDA MOVES OVER COOLER WATER. HOWEVER... IF HILDA MOVES CLOSER TO THE MID/UPPER-LEVEL LOW...INCREASED SHEAR SHOULD INHIBIT ANY SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING. OUR INTENSITY FORECAST IS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH SHIPS GUIDANCE. SHIFOR AND THE GFDI INTENSITY SCHEMES DO NOT SHOW AS MUCH STRENGTHENING. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE INITIAL POSITION...IT IS BEST TO LEAVE THE INITIAL MOTION UNCHANGED AT 290/10. IF THE MID/UPPER-LEVEL LOW KEEPS ITS DISTANCE AS INDICATED BY THE AVIATION MODEL...THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF HILDA TO ALLOW THE GENERAL WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION TO CONTINUE. OUR CURRENT TRACK IS AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE AND IS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE NHC90. THE AVIATION AND NOGAPS MODELS ARE TO THE LEFT OF OUR TRACK...WHILE THE GFDL AND LBAR ARE TO THE RIGHT. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/0900Z 14.2N 122.7W 45 KTS 12HR VT 13/1800Z 14.7N 124.2W 50 KTS 24HR VT 14/0600Z 15.4N 126.3W 55 KTS 36HR VT 14/1800Z 16.2N 128.4W 60 KTS 48HR VT 15/0600Z 16.9N 130.5W 60 KTS 72HR VT 16/0600Z 18.5N 135.0W 60 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 13 16:49:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102764-27121>; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 16:37:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA112434; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 03:30:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5991101 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 03:29:59 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA25324 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 03:29:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id DAA03783 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 03:29:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708130829.DAA03783@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 03:29:59 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Hilda Forecast/advisory Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b4d3fe3c9ccfb390c21e8102c0340409 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1821 Status: OR 497 WTPZ25 KNHC 130829 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM HILDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1097 0900Z WED AUG 13 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 122.7W AT 13/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 122.7W AT 13/0900Z AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 122.2W FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 14.7N 124.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 15.4N 126.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.2N 128.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 122.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 16.9N 130.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 18.5N 135.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 13 21:46:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102706-27121>; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 18:38:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA19294; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 05:32:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5991272 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 05:31:25 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA220718 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 05:31:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id FAA04273 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 05:31:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708131031.FAA04273@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 05:31:25 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a2d82eeb110e2e85cc5161be23139eda X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1100 Status: OR 164 ABPZ20 KNHC 131030 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED AUG 13 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM HILDA LOCATED ABOUT 1030 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED IN AN AREA CENTERED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS ACTIVITY IS NOT WELL ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME...BUT WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 14 01:53:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102749-27121>; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 22:43:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA216906; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 09:36:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5992600 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 09:36:42 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA184120 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 09:36:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA06235 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 09:36:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708131436.JAA06235@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 09:36:42 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Hilda Discussion Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 357ea559bfbd6dbbec200edc2e5c701e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1754 Status: OR 734 WTPZ45 KNHC 131436 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM HILDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT WED AUG 13 1997 THE CENTER OF HILDA IS VERY DIFFICULT TO LOCATE ON IR IMAGES AND THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION. SYSTEM CONSISTS OF A SHAPELESS AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION WITHOUT BANDING FEATURES. HILDA CONTINUES TO INTERACT WITH THE UPPER-LOW WHICH IS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT THE SAME SPEED AS THE STORM. HILDA APPEARS TO BE MOVING AT 300/10 WITH THE FLOW AROUND THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE UPPER-LOW. MOST OF THE TRACK MODELS...EXCEPT THE AVN AND NOGAPS...SUGGEST THAT THE WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH 72 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR A GENERAL WEST NORTHWEST TRACK IN AGREEMENT WITH BAM...GFDL AND CLIMATOLOGY. HILDA CONTINUES WITH 45-KNOT WINDS. THE FORECAST TRACK...INDICATE THAT HILDA WILL BE MOVING OVER COOLER WATERS IN 48 HOURS OR SO. THEREFORE... ONLY SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED IN THE SHORT TERM WITH LITTLE CHANGE THEREAFTER. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/1500Z 15.3N 123.9W 45 KTS 12HR VT 14/0000Z 16.0N 125.3W 50 KTS 24HR VT 14/1200Z 17.0N 127.5W 55 KTS 36HR VT 15/0000Z 18.0N 130.0W 60 KTS 48HR VT 15/1200Z 19.0N 132.0W 60 KTS 72HR VT 16/1200Z 20.5N 136.0W 60 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 14 01:53:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102860-27121>; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 22:49:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA199320; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 09:37:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5992607 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 09:37:46 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA226694 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 09:37:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA06257 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 09:37:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708131437.JAA06257@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 09:37:46 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Hilda Forecast/advisory Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5d29aff19145a5230d52374d0987d1c7 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1818 Status: OR 747 WTPZ25 KNHC 131436 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM HILDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1097 1500Z WED AUG 13 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 123.9W AT 13/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 123.9W AT 13/1500Z AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 123.5W FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 16.0N 125.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 17.0N 127.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 18.0N 130.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 123.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 19.0N 132.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 20.5N 136.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 14 01:53:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102786-27121>; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 00:55:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA129320; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 11:41:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5993351 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 11:41:24 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA73748 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 11:41:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id LAA08742 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 11:41:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708131641.LAA08742@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 11:41:24 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 99b1941cbba222b9a1b548faffc81272 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1039 Status: OR 447 ABPZ20 KNHC 131636 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED AUG 13 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM HILDA LOCATED ABOUT 1060 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 14 04:59:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103478-27121>; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 05:00:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA171128; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 15:44:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5994744 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 15:44:43 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA159820 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 15:44:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA14404 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 15:44:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708132044.PAA14404@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 15:44:43 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Hilda Forecast/advisory Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7623c4cb380f406c84aa9219e66e4fbe X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1648 Status: OR 673 WTPZ25 KNHC 132044 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM HILDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1097 2100Z WED AUG 13 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 124.0W AT 13/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT....... 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 124.0W AT 13/2100Z AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 123.6W FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 14.7N 125.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 15.0N 126.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 16.0N 128.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 124.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 16.5N 130.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 18.0N 134.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 14 04:59:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103505-27121>; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 04:53:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA171118; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 15:46:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5994767 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 15:46:48 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA171084 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 15:46:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA14458 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 15:46:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708132046.PAA14458@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 15:46:48 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Hilda Discussion Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7efb66fb4d3bdf8813acfc291923ce5c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1581 Status: OR 686 WTPZ45 KNHC 132045 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM HILDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT WED AUG 13 1997 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES SURPRISED US WITH THE LOCATION OF THE CENTER OF HILDA. THE CENTER IS FARTHER SOUTH THAN INDICATED IN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND COMPLETELY REMOVED FROM THE DEEP CONVECTION. IT APPEARS THAT THE UPPER-LOW IS WINING THE BATTLE...CREATING A SHEARING ENVIRONMENT WHICH IS UNFAVORABLE FOR HILDA TO INTENSIFY. NO CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS INDICATED THROUGH 72 HOURS AS SUGGESTED BY SHIFOR AT THIS TIME BUT WEAKENING IS A POSIBILTY. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 280/07. SINCE THE CENTER IS FARTHER TO THE SOUTH...THE FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN ADJUSTED ACCORDINGLY MAINTAINING A WEST TO WEST NORTHWEST TRACK UNTIL THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH MOST THE TRACK MODELS. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/2100Z 14.5N 124.0W 40 KTS 12HR VT 14/0600Z 14.7N 125.0W 40 KTS 24HR VT 14/1800Z 15.0N 126.5W 40 KTS 36HR VT 15/0600Z 16.0N 128.0W 40 KTS 48HR VT 15/1800Z 16.5N 130.0W 40 KTS 72HR VT 16/1800Z 18.0N 134.0W 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102237-24008>; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 07:04:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA73738; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 17:56:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5995537 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 17:56:49 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA129522 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 17:56:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id RAA16542 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 17:56:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708132256.RAA16542@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 17:56:49 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a50b46e9fe6a694d7f94180f42e93505 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1032 Status: OR 401 ABPZ20 KNHC 132252 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED AUG 13 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM HILDA LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102542-24008>; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 10:46:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA186058; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 21:35:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5996570 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 21:33:36 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA220712 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 21:33:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA18231 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 21:32:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708140232.VAA18231@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 21:33:36 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Hilda Forecast/advisory Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 04599338127ce5e8b9651aa1fed4d006 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1594 Status: OR 697 WTPZ25 KNHC 140233 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM HILDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1097 0300Z THU AUG 14 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 125.3W AT 14/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT....... 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 0SE 0SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 125.3W AT 14/0300Z AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 124.8W FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 15.8N 126.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.4N 128.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 17.0N 130.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 125.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 17.7N 132.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 19.0N 136.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102739-24008>; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 10:46:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA210610; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 21:39:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5996589 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 21:38:05 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA88110 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 21:37:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA18268 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 21:36:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708140236.VAA18268@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 21:38:05 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Hilda Discussion Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a3da873017214c9579f7c932cbf55fb4 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1974 Status: OR 729 WTPZ45 KNHC 140235 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM HILDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT WED AUG 13 1997 HILDA DOES NOT LOOK VERY IMPRESSIVE ON SATELLITE IMAGES. AN UPPER- LEVEL LOW TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS SHEARING THE UPPER PART OF THE CIRCULATION TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST. HILDA SEEMS TO BE MOVING IN TANDEM WITH THIS LOW. LAST VISIBLE PICTURES SHOWED THAT THE CENTER WAS NEAR THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE HIGH-CLOUD OVERCAST. DEEP CONVECTION...WHICH HAS BEEN PULSATING OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS...HAS DIMINISHED. THE SYSTEM IS BARELY OF TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AT THIS TIME. ALTHOUGH HILDA COULD MAKE A COMEBACK...A CONTINUATION OF THE CURRENT TREND WOULD RESULT IN THE SYSTEM WEAKENING TO A DEPRESSION...AND DISSIPATING IN A FEW DAYS. HOWEVER I HAVE MAINTAINED THE SYSTEM THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD SINCE WE ARE NOT THAT CERTAIN THE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT WILL REMAIN HOSTILE FOR RE-STRENGTHENING. INITIAL MOTION...290/10...IS SOMEWHAT FASTER THAN EARLIER TODAY. LOW- TO MID-LEVEL FLOW PREDICTIONS BY THE NCEP GLOBAL MODEL SUPPORT A CONTINUATION OF THIS GENERAL MOTION THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS IS ALSO IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH MOST OF THE OBJECTIVE GUIDANCE MODEL TRACKS. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/0300Z 15.3N 125.3W 35 KTS 12HR VT 14/1200Z 15.8N 126.7W 35 KTS 24HR VT 15/0000Z 16.4N 128.6W 30 KTS 36HR VT 15/1200Z 17.0N 130.5W 30 KTS 48HR VT 16/0000Z 17.7N 132.5W 30 KTS 72HR VT 17/0000Z 19.0N 136.0W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102689-24008>; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 13:04:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA162812; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 23:56:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5997325 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 23:56:01 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA03560 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 23:56:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id XAA19348 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 23:55:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708140455.XAA19348@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 23:56:01 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a12b74f508de5319c12803761ba0692a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1039 Status: OR 573 ABPZ20 KNHC 140454 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED AUG 13 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM HILDA LOCATED ABOUT 1130 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102891-24008>; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 16:51:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA141996; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 03:35:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5998119 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 03:35:48 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA229266 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 03:35:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id DAA20850 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 03:35:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708140835.DAA20850@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 03:35:48 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Hilda Discussion Number 18 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c77c1e166795b368fb9a51834872a6ad X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2316 Status: OR 769 WTPZ45 KNHC 140835 TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT THU AUG 14 1997 SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A WEAKENED SYSTEM WITH VERY LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION REMAINING. HILDA IS DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN AGREEMENT WITH LATEST DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM SAB AND TAFB. THE SHEAR FROM THE LARGE UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTHWEST BEGAN TAKING ITS TOLL ON HILDA YESTERDAY. ALTHOUGH THE AVIATION MODEL FORECASTS THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO WEAKEN AND MOVE NORTHWESTWARD AWAY FROM HILDA...THE TROPICAL CYCLONE HAS ALREADY WEAKENED SO MUCH THAT IT IS DOUBTFUL THAT IT CAN MAKE A COMEBACK. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED IN THE VICINITY OF 12N113W MAY BE DISRUPTING SOME OF THE INFLOW INTO HILDA. ALSO...THE DEPRESSION WILL BE MOVING OVER COOLER WATERS BEYOND 24 HOURS...SO CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST UNTIL THE SYSTEM IS DECLARED DISSIPATED IN A COUPLE OF DAYS IF NOT SOONER. CIRRUS CLOUDS ARE CURRENTLY OBSCURING THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER...MAKING THE INITIAL POSITIONING DIFFICULT. THE MOST EVIDENT TURNING IN INFRARED IMAGERY APPEARS TO BE AT MID LEVELS...AND IS LOCATED SOMEWHAT TO THE NORTH OF OUR LOW-LEVEL CENTER ESTIMATE WHICH HAS CONTINUITY FROM THE LAST LIGHT VISIBLE PICS. BEST GUESS AT INITIAL MOTION IS 290/10. THE FORECAST TRACK MAY HAVE TO BE ADJUSTED ON THE NEXT ADVISORY IF THE CENTER FIX ON VISIBLE PICS RESULTS IN ANY SIGNFICANT RELOCATION OF THE CENTER. THE CURRENT TRACK MERELY UPDATES THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY PACKAGE WHICH MAINTAINS THE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IN RESPONSE TO THE LOW-LEVEL STEERING. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/0900Z 15.7N 126.3W 30 KTS 12HR VT 14/1800Z 16.2N 127.7W 30 KTS 24HR VT 15/0600Z 16.8N 129.6W 30 KTS 36HR VT 15/1800Z 17.5N 131.5W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 16/0600Z 18.2N 133.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102951-24008>; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 16:46:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA142020; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 03:36:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5998124 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 03:35:56 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA229276 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 03:35:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id DAA20854 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 03:35:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708140835.DAA20854@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 03:35:56 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Hilda Forecast/advisory Number 18 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 69683ab065d948540bed7f0c59f14327 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1426 Status: OR 770 WTPZ25 KNHC 140835 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1097 0900Z THU AUG 14 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 126.3W AT 14/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 126.3W AT 14/0900Z AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 125.8W FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.2N 127.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 16.8N 129.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 17.5N 131.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 126.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 18.2N 133.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102915-24008>; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 18:16:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA200980; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 05:03:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5998297 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 05:03:46 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA93440 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 05:03:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id FAA21435 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 05:03:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708141003.FAA21435@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 05:03:46 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f10985f2aab15ba62204d70f9b4d5d68 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1130 Status: OR 879 ABPZ20 KNHC 141002 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU AUG 14 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA LOCATED ABOUT 1180 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAVE INCREASED. THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103005-24008>; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 22:55:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA123214; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 09:46:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5999727 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 09:46:20 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA123186 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 09:46:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id JAA24619 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 09:46:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708141446.JAA24619@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 09:46:20 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Hilda Discussion Number 19 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6c5981f388df6ac1936cbd4b47c753d0 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1836 Status: OR 021 WTPZ45 KNHC 141446 TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT THU AUG 14 1997 IT IS AN UNDERSTATEMENT TO SAY THAT IT IS DIFFICULT TO ACCURATELY IDENTIFY THE CENTER OF HILDA ON IR PICTURES. TAFB AND SAB PROVIDED POSITIONS ABOUT 245 NM APART. MY ESTIMATE IS CONSIDERABLY CLOSER TO THE ONE FROM TAFB AND ROUGHLY ALONG AN EXTENSION OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK. THAT POSITION IMPLIES A FASTER MOTION THAN 6 HOURS AGO...ABOUT 285/14 KT. THE DEPRESSION REMAINS WEAK AND SHOULD CONTINUE THAT WAY FOR THE REASONS NOTED IN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...SHEAR...A LITTLE COOLER WATERS...DISRUPTED INFLOW. ONLY ONE CLUSTER OF DEEP CONVECTION IS NOTED IN THE VICINITY OF THE CENTER AT THIS TIME. THE FUTURE TRACK IS EXPECTED TO RESEMBLE THE FORECAST OF THE SHALLOW-LAYER BAM. DISSIPATION IS POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...ALTHOUGH IF ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS CHANGE...A WEAK TROPICAL CYCLONE COULD PERSIST GIVEN THE MARGINAL SSTS ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK. A TRACK FORECAST IS SHOWN THROUGH 72 HOURS TO COVER THAT POSSIBILITY. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/1500Z 16.2N 128.6W 30 KTS 12HR VT 15/0000Z 16.8N 130.6W 30 KTS 24HR VT 15/1200Z 17.8N 133.3W 30 KTS 36HR VT 16/0000Z 18.8N 136.0W 25 KTS 48HR VT 16/1200Z 19.8N 138.9W 25 KTS 72HR VT 17/1200Z 21.5N 142.5W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103526-24008>; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 23:11:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA123240; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 09:46:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5999732 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 09:46:31 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA84794 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 09:46:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id JAA24623 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 09:46:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708141446.JAA24623@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 09:46:31 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Hilda Forecast/advisory Number 19 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6f57b2ba11c20b0ad809c10f6fc1eccf X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1481 Status: OR 022 WTPZ25 KNHC 141446 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1097 1500Z THU AUG 14 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 128.6W AT 14/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 90 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 128.6W AT 14/1500Z AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 127.9W FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.8N 130.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 17.8N 133.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 18.8N 136.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 128.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 19.8N 138.9W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 21.5N 142.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102807-24008>; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 01:02:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA120902; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 11:45:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6000503 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 11:45:14 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA84786 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 11:45:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id LAA27664 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 11:44:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708141644.LAA27664@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 11:45:14 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9d05bdebaec6a63515b86fb7a319e6ec X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1079 Status: OR 673 ABPZ20 KNHC 141644 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU AUG 14 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 725 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY OR ON FRIDAY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102844-24008>; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 04:40:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA264230; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 15:33:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6002164 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 15:33:20 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA245482 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 15:31:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id PAA04159 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 15:30:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708142030.PAA04159@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 15:33:20 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Hilda Forecast/advisory Number 20 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c45d2f2601f2d8cb229834b728d67e48 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1451 Status: OR 939 WTPZ25 KNHC 142031 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1097 2100Z THU AUG 14 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 129.7W AT 14/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 90 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 129.7W AT 14/2100Z AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 129.0W FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.6N 131.7W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.8N 134.2W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 20.1N 136.9W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 129.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 21.6N 139.4W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102914-24008>; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 04:40:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA173644; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 15:33:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6002171 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 15:33:35 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA189722 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 15:33:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id PAA04219 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 15:33:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708142033.PAA04219@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 15:33:35 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Hilda Discussion Number 20 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5af2c12e75ec0153fc6818b656ea0692 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1491 Status: OR 951 WTPZ45 KNHC 142033 TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 20 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT THU AUG 14 1997 DEEP CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING ONLY OVER THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT AND THE CIRCULATION OF LOW CLOUDS SEEN ON VISIBLE SATELLITE PICTURES IS NOT IMPRESSIVE. THE MAXIMUM WIND SPEED ESTIMATE IS REDUCED TO 25 KNOTS IN AGREEMENT WITH DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO MOVE WITH THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW AS DEPICTED BY THE BAMS OUTPUT...ROUGHLY A CONTINUATION OF THE CURRENT MOTION...290/14 KT. HILDA IS BARELY WORTHY OF CONTINUING ADVISORIES AT THIS POINT AND ANY FURTHER WEAKENING WOULD LIKELY LEAD TO THE CESSATION OF OUR FORECASTS. WITH HILDA MOVING SWIFTLY OVER PROGRESSIVELY COOLER WATERS...THIS COULD OCCUR SOON. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/2100Z 16.8N 129.7W 25 KTS 12HR VT 15/0600Z 17.6N 131.7W 25 KTS 24HR VT 15/1800Z 18.8N 134.2W 25 KTS 36HR VT 16/0600Z 20.1N 136.9W 25 KTS 48HR VT 16/1800Z 21.6N 139.4W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102267-13952>; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 10:56:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA112460; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:39:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6004301 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:39:06 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA102198 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:39:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id VAA08209 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:38:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708150238.VAA08209@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:39:06 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Hilda Forecast/advisory Number 21 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f31721d3756841836adc183830185127 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1360 Status: OR 117 WTPZ25 KNHC 150238 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1097 0300Z FRI AUG 15 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 130.8W AT 15/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 90 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT...DISSIPATING REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 130.8W AT 15/0300Z AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 130.2W FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.3N 132.8W MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT...DISSIPATING FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 19.5N 135.5W MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT...DISSIPATING FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 130.8W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON HILDA UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102345-13952>; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 10:47:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA196398; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:41:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6004322 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:41:25 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA08728 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:41:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id VAA08238 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:41:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708150241.VAA08238@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:41:25 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Hilda Discussion Number 21 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f9776c67841a5749d49a2b14f6428b85 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1435 Status: OR 128 WTPZ45 KNHC 150240 TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 21 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU AUG 14 1997 DEEP CONVECTION IS MOSTLY GONE...AND VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW-CLOUD CIRCULATION IS WEAK. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT HILDA CONTINUES TO BE DOMINATED BY AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTHWEST. THE DEPRESSION IS DISSIPATING AND THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ON HILDA UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. THE DISSIPATING CYCLONE IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS BEING ISSUED BY THE TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER UNDER WMO HEADER FZPNN03 KNHC AND AFOS HEADER MIAHSFEP2. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/0300Z 17.5N 130.8W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 12HR VT 15/1200Z 18.3N 132.8W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 16/0000Z 19.5N 135.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 16/1200Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102635-13952>; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 12:09:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA77202; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 23:03:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6004984 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 23:03:09 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA24176 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 23:03:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id XAA08865 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 23:02:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708150402.XAA08865@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 23:03:09 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9f76d5a4363d1845dedbfbf4262397ab X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1069 Status: OR 176 ABPZ20 KNHC 150402 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU AUG 14 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ON DISSIPATING TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA LOCATED ABOUT 1400 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102891-13952>; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 18:08:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA141890; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 05:01:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6006456 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 05:01:17 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA219184 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 05:01:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id FAA11108 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 05:01:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708151001.FAA11108@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 05:01:17 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 12030fbe4e5024ac37139112ea5e57ec X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1004 Status: OR 995 ABPZ20 KNHC 150959 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI AUG 15 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA ARE LOCATED ABOUT 1450 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103210-13952>; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 01:07:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA102388; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 12:02:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6008358 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 12:02:06 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA82382 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 12:02:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id MAA17743 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 12:01:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708151701.MAA17743@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 12:02:06 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b215988575df68b5f5d6d1618baaab2b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 902 Status: OR 818 ABPZ20 KNHC 151700 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI AUG 15 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A SLOW-MOVING TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. IT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103516-13952>; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 06:01:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA219310; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 16:52:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6010084 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 16:52:03 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA210560 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 16:52:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id QAA23700 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 16:51:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708152151.QAA23700@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 16:52:03 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a0f48efdbdae66e43a38c8fcad7c153a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 933 Status: OR 965 ABPZ20 KNHC 152150 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI AUG 15 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A SLOW-MOVING TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED BUT IT HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103250-2859>; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 11:20:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA120574; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 22:15:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6011851 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 22:15:30 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA161258 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 22:15:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id WAA25994 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 22:15:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708160315.WAA25994@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 22:15:30 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3dc80a1886eed196e9c2ba5c786f7778 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 900 Status: OR 726 ABPZ20 KNHC 160312 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI AUG 15 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A SLOW-MOVING TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW. ELSWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103627-2859>; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 18:10:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA248858; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 05:02:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6013025 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 05:02:52 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA265736 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 05:02:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id FAA28039 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 05:02:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708161002.FAA28039@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 16 Aug 1997 05:02:52 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0c3cb35c84b9dd232f4d5f799643eb85 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 893 Status: OR 153 ABPZ20 KNHC 161003 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT AUG 16 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A SLOW-MOVING TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW. ELSWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102883-401>; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 00:38:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA08808; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 11:26:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6014771 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 11:26:27 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA79956 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 11:26:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id LAA00013 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 11:26:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708161626.LAA00013@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 16 Aug 1997 11:26:27 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 86d4d05b7add1d1bab423e727393f7d7 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 938 Status: OR 555 ABPZ20 KNHC 161625 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT AUG 16 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE A FEW HUNDRED MILES TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY OR ON SUNDAY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103666-401>; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 06:06:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA74406; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 16:57:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6017056 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 16:55:50 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA74268 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 16:55:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id QAA02348 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 16:55:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708162155.QAA02348@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 16 Aug 1997 16:55:50 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bb93c4495030065c149f5bfe62d91a23 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 973 Status: OR 031 ABPZ20 KNHC 162152 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT AUG 16 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE DAY. HOWEVER...THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON SUNDAY BEFORE IT MOVES OVER COOL WATERS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102514-14127>; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 11:15:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA80106; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 22:13:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6019018 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 22:12:03 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA84098 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 22:12:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id WAA04473 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 22:11:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708170311.WAA04473@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 16 Aug 1997 22:12:03 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cf4cf0469424bd9d552516be3d968b7c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1021 Status: OR 459 ABPZ20 KNHC 170306 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT AUG 16 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...HAVE BECOME MORE CONCENTRATED ABOUT 500 MILES TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS BEFORE IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD OVER COOL WATERS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102650-14127>; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 18:22:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA249036; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 05:19:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6021304 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 05:18:19 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA165226 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 05:18:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id FAA07282 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 05:18:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708171018.FAA07282@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 05:18:19 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c301f6402d1ace60a77a65ada12d3d06 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 954 Status: OR 007 ABPZ20 KNHC 171014 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN AUG 17 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS BEFORE IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD OVER COOL WATERS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102224-14127>; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 22:36:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA149822; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 09:32:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6022434 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 09:31:11 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA118788 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 09:31:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id JAA08586 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 09:30:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708171430.JAA08586@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 09:31:11 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Eleven-e Forecast/advisory Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 230b21eb198b9eaa748bbf27417e4ec5 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1582 Status: OR 527 WTPZ21 KNHC 171431 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1197 1500Z SUN AUG 17 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 119.1W AT 17/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 119.1W AT 17/1500Z AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 118.8W FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 23.4N 119.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 25.2N 120.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 27.0N 121.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.7N 119.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 29.0N 121.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 32.5N 119.5W MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT...DISSIPATING NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102274-14127>; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 22:59:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA67602; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 09:56:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6022609 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 09:55:27 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA195532 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 09:55:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id JAA08708 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 09:55:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708171455.JAA08708@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 09:55:27 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Eleven-e Discussion Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ecf12181a55d9f6413db1c18c43ebf00 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1815 Status: OR 847 WTPZ41 KNHC 171452 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN AUG 17 1997 SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TO THE WEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING. THE SYSTEM IS NOW CLASSIFIED AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. THERE IS STRONG CONVECTION NEAR THE ESTIMATED CENTER AND FURTHER STRENGTHENING...TO A TROPICAL STORM...APPEARS LIKELY TODAY. HOWEVER THIS DEVELOPMENT TREND SHOULD BE SHORT-LIVED SINCE THE CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO BE OVER WATERS COLDER THAN 24 DEG C IN 24 HOURS. THEREFORE THE SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO BE DISSIPATING BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. CENTER LOCATION IS UNCERTAIN BUT FIXES USING 85 GHZ DATA GIVE A LITTLE MORE CONFIDENCE THAT THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AROUND 12 KNOTS. THE TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS SUGGEST A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH...AND THEN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST LATER IN THE PERIOD. HOWEVER BY THAT TIME THERE SHOULD NOT BE MUCH LEFT OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WITH WHICH TO BE CONCERNED. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 17/1500Z 21.7N 119.1W 30 KTS 12HR VT 18/0000Z 23.4N 119.8W 40 KTS 24HR VT 18/1200Z 25.2N 120.5W 35 KTS 36HR VT 19/0000Z 27.0N 121.0W 30 KTS 48HR VT 19/1200Z 29.0N 121.0W 25 KTS 72HR VT 20/1200Z 32.5N 119.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102456-14127>; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 01:04:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA189948; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 12:01:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6023761 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 11:59:40 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA161154 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 11:59:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id LAA09613 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 11:59:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708171659.LAA09613@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 11:59:40 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 03857d906585eed28ee894c296b7bed5 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 994 Status: OR 521 ABPZ20 KNHC 171659 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN AUG 17 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS BEGUN ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY- FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E...LOCATED ABOUT 590 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. THE WMO HEADER FOR FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E IS WTPZ21 KNHC AND THE AFOS HEADER IS CCCTCMEP1. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:34:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103206-14127>; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 04:33:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA252472; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 15:30:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6025036 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 15:28:56 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA102058 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 15:28:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id PAA11253 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 15:28:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708172028.PAA11253@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 15:28:56 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Ignacio Discussion Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0a5ba0190a7a9e35ec274c11143afa38 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1894 Status: OR 578 WTPZ41 KNHC 172029 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN AUG 17 1997 DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS FROM THE TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER INDICATE THAT THE CYCLONE IS OF MARGINAL STORM STRENGTH...SO IT IS BEING NAMED. NO ADDITIONAL INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF COOLER WATERS IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM. WEAKENING SHOULD COMMENCE IN 12 HOURS...OR SOONER...AND THE SYSTEM SHOULD BE DISSIPATING LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. VISIBLE FIXES SHOW THAT IGNACIO IS TRACKING A LITTLE TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUSLY ESTIMATED MOTION. CURRENT MOTION ESTIMATE IS 310/11. LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL CYCLONE JUST NORTH OF 30N120W...WITH A TROUGH TRAILING SOUTHWESTWARD FROM IT. THIS SYSTEM COULD CAUSE RECURVATURE OF A DEEPER/STRONGER STORM...BUT IGNACIO IS MORE LIKELY TO BE STEERED BY THE WINDS IN THE LOWER PORTION OF THE TROPOSPHERE. THUS THE CURRENT FORECAST RESEMBLES THE SHALLOW LAYER BAM. THE GFDL MODEL DISSIPATES IGNACIO IN 12 HOURS. THIS IS LIKELY A RESULT OF THAT MODELS HIGH SENSITIVITY TO COLDER WATER. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 17/2100Z 21.8N 120.5W 35 KTS 12HR VT 18/0600Z 22.9N 121.9W 35 KTS 24HR VT 18/1800Z 24.6N 123.1W 30 KTS 36HR VT 19/0600Z 26.5N 124.0W 30 KTS 48HR VT 19/1800Z 28.5N 124.0W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 20/1800Z 33.0N 124.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:34:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103284-14127>; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 04:35:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA255354; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 15:31:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6025045 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 15:30:30 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA79954 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 15:30:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id PAA11275 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 15:30:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708172030.PAA11275@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 15:30:30 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Ignacio Forecast/advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 69fc966c9b6214bfb4445c0257a98c0e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1619 Status: OR 605 WTPZ21 KNHC 172030 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1197 2100Z SUN AUG 17 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 120.5W AT 17/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT.......125NE 125SE 75SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 75SW 125NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 120.5W AT 17/2100Z AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 120.1W FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 22.9N 121.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT...125NE 125SE 75SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 24.6N 123.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 26.5N 124.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.8N 120.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 28.5N 124.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT...DISSIPATING OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 33.0N 124.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:35:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102211-11716>; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 06:50:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA19376; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 17:48:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6025990 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 17:47:11 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA102016 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 17:47:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id RAA12047 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 17:46:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708172246.RAA12047@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 17:47:11 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 00cdf6096bf9b933e30f131d86bd3e88 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 963 Status: OR 297 ABPZ20 KNHC 172245 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN AUG 17 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 675 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. THE WMO HEADER FOR FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO IS WTPZ21 KNHC AND THE AFOS HEADER IS CCCTCMEP1. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:35:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102712-11716>; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 10:34:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA110788; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 21:31:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6027639 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 21:30:31 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA265584 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 21:30:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id VAA13462 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 21:30:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708180230.VAA13462@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 21:30:31 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Ignacio Forecast/advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8fdb71f5363f9f17f0ee70cba757df0d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1546 Status: OR 668 WTPZ21 KNHC 180230 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1197 0300Z MON AUG 18 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 120.9W AT 18/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT.......125NE 125SE 75SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 75SW 125NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 120.9W AT 18/0300Z AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 120.5W FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 24.1N 121.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 26.4N 122.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 28.9N 123.4W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.7N 120.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 31.5N 123.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:35:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102711-11716>; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 10:35:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA120456; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 21:33:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6027680 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 21:32:22 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA110598 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 21:30:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id VAA13447 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 21:29:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708180229.VAA13447@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 21:32:22 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Ignacio Discussion Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b80697237bf55cd91bce57981d3651b2 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1851 Status: OR 643 WTPZ41 KNHC 180230 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN AUG 17 1997 LAST LIGHT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTED A SHEAR PATTERN WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER EXPOSED WELL TO THE SOUTH OF THE DEEPEST CONVECTION. TWO OUT OF THREE SATELLITE CLASSIFICATIONS ARE SAYING IGNACIO IS CURRENTLY A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...BUT WE WILL HOLD IT UP AT MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH ONE MORE TIME...IN CASE THE CENTER IS FARTHER NORTH AND CLOSER TO THE CONVECTION THAN WE ALL THINK. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A DEEP TROUGH TO THE WEST WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO SHEAR IGNACIO AS IT MOVES OVER INCREASINGLY COOLER WATERS. THE DEEP CONVECTION IS COLLAPSING ALREADY...AND IT IS LIKELY THAT ONLY A SWIRL IN THE LOW CLOUDS WILL REMAIN TOMORROW. ALTHOUGH WE SHOW THE TROPICAL CYCLONE DISSIPATING LATER IN THIS FORECAST PERIOD...THE MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 325/11. CURRENT TRACK IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND IS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE SHALLOW LAYER BAM GUIDANCE. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/0300Z 22.7N 120.9W 35 KTS 12HR VT 18/1200Z 24.1N 121.9W 30 KTS 24HR VT 19/0000Z 26.4N 122.9W 30 KTS 36HR VT 19/1200Z 28.9N 123.4W 25 KTS 48HR VT 20/0000Z 31.5N 123.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 21/0000Z DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:35:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102465-11716>; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 12:35:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA158008; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 23:24:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6028409 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 23:22:45 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA265616 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 23:22:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id XAA14046 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 23:22:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708180422.XAA14046@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 23:22:45 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3e2926b474263f582d64480cf39173c6 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 964 Status: OR 181 ABPZ20 KNHC 180422 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN AUG 17 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. THE WMO HEADER FOR FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO IS WTPZ21 KNHC AND THE AFOS HEADER IS CCCTCMEP1. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:35:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102840-26331>; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 17:01:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA118788; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 03:55:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6029431 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 03:54:08 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA120958 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 03:54:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id DAA15658 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 03:53:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708180853.DAA15658@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 03:54:08 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ignacio Forecast/advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7c3b2f3b6be059288c133e9732f0da9d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1443 Status: OR 662 WTPZ21 KNHC 180853 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1197 0900Z MON AUG 18 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 120.6W AT 18/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 100 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 120.6W AT 18/0900Z AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 120.5W FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 25.9N 120.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 28.1N 121.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 31.0N 121.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.3N 120.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 34.0N 121.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:35:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102797-26331>; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 17:03:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA118850; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 03:57:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6029436 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 03:55:40 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA120968 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 03:54:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id DAA15662 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 03:53:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708180853.DAA15662@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 03:55:40 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ignacio Discussion Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8fb8637ea6ab86ec4d41998d81f2bd16 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2041 Status: OR 663 WTPZ41 KNHC 180853 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON AUG 18 1997 WE SEEM TO BE AT SOMEWHAT OF A DISADVANTAGE THIS MORNING WITH ONLY ONE GOES9 IMAGE SINCE 04Z AND NO AVIATION MODEL RUN SINCE 18Z YESTERDAY. THE 06Z INFRARED GOES9 IMAGE CONINUES TO SUGGEST A SHEARING PATTERN WITH ONLY A LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION TO THE NORTH 0F WHERE THE CENTER IS ESTIMATED TO BE LOCATED. IGNACIO CAN BE VIEWED ON THE EDGE OF GOES8 AND FOR WHICH AN 0815Z IMAGE IS AVAILABLE AND THIS VIEW SORT OF AGREES WITH THE LIMITED INFO FROM GOES9. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 350/12. THE NOGAPS MODEL SHOWS A SLOW MOSTLY NORTHWESTWARD MOTION THROUGH THREE DAYS. THE UKMET MODEL DISSIPATES THE SYSTEM IN 12 HOURS. THE LBAR MODEL SHOWS AN ACCELERATING NORTH TO NORTHEASTWARD MOTION. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS SHIFTED TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY TO ACCOUNT FOR THE INITIAL POSITION AND MOTION. BECAUSE OF THE DECREASE IN DEEP CONVECTION AND SHEARING AND COOLER SSTS...IGNACIO IS DOWNGRADED TO A DEPRESSION AND IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE IN 48 HOURS. THIS IS CONSERVATIVE AND THE DEPRESSION WILL LIKELY DISSIPATE MUCH SOONER. SOME OF THE MOISTURE AND CLOUDINESS WILL PROBABLY BE ADVECTED ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/0900Z 24.3N 120.6W 30 KTS 12HR VT 18/1800Z 25.9N 120.9W 30 KTS 24HR VT 19/0600Z 28.1N 121.5W 30 KTS 36HR VT 19/1800Z 31.0N 121.5W 25 KTS 48HR VT 20/0600Z 34.0N 121.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:35:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102840-26331>; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 18:30:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA102114; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 05:27:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6029762 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 05:26:14 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA67776 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 05:26:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id FAA16160 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 05:26:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708181026.FAA16160@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 05:26:15 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cc2f316d6ec1f7bfbc2c451e77fc321f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1023 Status: OR 861 ABPZ20 KNHC 181026 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON AUG 18 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO...RECENTLY DOWNGRADED FROM A TROPICAL STORM... AND LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. THE WMO HEADER FOR FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO IS WTPZ21 KNHC AND THE AFOS HEADER IS CCCTCMEP1. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:35:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102941-26331>; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 22:40:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA252544; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 09:36:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6031104 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 09:35:22 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA151864 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 09:32:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id JAA19058 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 09:32:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708181432.JAA19058@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 09:35:22 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ignacio Forecast/advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b127b21955dcce80273aaf1f6734948a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1382 Status: OR 463 WTPZ21 KNHC 181433 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1197 1500Z MON AUG 18 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 121.6W AT 18/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 121.6W AT 18/1500Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 121.4W FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 26.8N 122.2W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 29.0N 123.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 31.5N 123.5W MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT...DISSIPATING REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.1N 121.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:35:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102941-26331>; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 22:42:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA129364; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 09:38:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6031117 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 09:37:09 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA219364 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 09:34:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id JAA19084 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 09:34:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708181434.JAA19084@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 09:37:09 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ignacio Discussion Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 09ce1fbc5554f94dd2240cd02fdfbfee X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1542 Status: OR 494 WTPZ41 KNHC 181434 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT MON AUG 18 1997 VERY LITTLE...IF ANY...DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS WITH IGNACIO. THE DEPRESSION IS NEARING 23 DEG C SSTS SO FURTHER WEAKENING IS LIKELY. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST SHOWS THE SYSTEM DISSIPATING IN 36 HOURS BUT ADVISORIES WILL PROBABLY BE DISCONTINUED SOONER THAN THAT SINCE THE SYSTEM SHOULD SOON BECOME INSIGNIFICANT AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE. CLOUDINESS AND MOISTURE FROM IGNACIO SHOULD BE ADVECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO BE 345/12. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK MAINTAINS THIS GENERAL MOTION FOR 36 HOURS...BY WHICH TIME THE SYSTEM SHOULD BE DISSIPATING. THIS IS SIMILAR TO THE SHALLOW LAYER STEERING MODEL...BAMS. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/1500Z 25.1N 121.6W 30 KTS 12HR VT 19/0000Z 26.8N 122.2W 25 KTS 24HR VT 19/1200Z 29.0N 123.0W 25 KTS 36HR VT 20/0000Z 31.5N 123.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 20/1200Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:35:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102385-26331>; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 01:19:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA252124; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 12:14:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6032078 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 12:13:11 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA101968 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 12:13:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id MAA22147 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 12:12:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708181712.MAA22147@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 12:13:11 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ca81e5ed4b3557ce53ebff07b1258d9f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 873 Status: OR 585 ABPZ20 KNHC 181709 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON AUG 18 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO LOCATED ABOUT 450 MILES WEST OF PUNTA EUGENIA ON THE CENTRAL WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:35:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103313-26331>; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 04:34:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA93600; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 15:29:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6033442 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 15:29:45 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA127102 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 15:29:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id PAA26887 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 15:29:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708182029.PAA26887@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 15:29:45 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ignacio Discussion Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1b5089acd1b2c9058b98ab10d93cdbe0 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1791 Status: OR 576 WTPZ41 KNHC 182030 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON AUG 18 1997 THE CYCLONE IS DEVOID OF DEEP CONVECTION AND THERE IS ESSENTIALLY NO CHANCE FOR REGENERATION SINCE SST IS 21 TO 22 DEG C...AND GETTING COOLER. LATEST ERS-2 SATELLITE SCATTEROMETER WINDS INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE AT MOST 25 KNOTS. IGNACIO SHOULD CONTINUE TO SPIN DOWN AND BE INSIGNIFICANT AS A WIND CIRCULATION... ALTHOUGH MOISTURE IS LIKELY TO BE ADVECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MOTION IS NORTHWARD NEAR 14 KNOTS. A SLIGHT BEND TO THE NORTH- NORTHEAST IS FORECAST...BRINGING THE WEAKENING REMNANT LOW NEAR SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA TOMORROW. THIS IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH MOST TRACK PREDICTION MODELS. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON IGNACIO. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW WILL BE CONTAINED IN THE EAST PACIFIC HIGH SEAS FORECASTS BEING ISSUED BY THE TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER AND IN THE OFFSHORE WATERS FORECASTS BEING ISSUED BY THE MARINE PREDICTION CENTER IN WASHINGTON. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/2100Z 26.8N 121.5W 25 KTS 12HR VT 19/0600Z 29.0N 121.5W 25 KTS 24HR VT 19/1800Z 32.0N 121.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 20/0600Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:35:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103312-26331>; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 04:35:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA93636; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 15:29:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6033447 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 15:29:53 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA196482 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 15:29:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id PAA26891 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 15:29:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708182029.PAA26891@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 15:29:53 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ignacio Forecast/advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 91c72332b29c210a030038c94797db86 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1299 Status: OR 577 WTPZ21 KNHC 182030 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1197 2100Z MON AUG 18 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 121.5W AT 18/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 121.5W AT 18/2100Z AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 121.5W FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 29.0N 121.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 32.0N 121.0W MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT...DISSIPATING FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.8N 121.5W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON IGNACIO. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:35:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102148-16846>; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 06:38:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA239042; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 17:16:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6033961 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 17:16:42 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA146602 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 17:16:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id RAA28756 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 17:16:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708182216.RAA28756@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 17:16:42 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4c251de304d7eed5d5bcb40cea16c6cd X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1525 Status: OR 942 ABPZ20 KNHC 182210 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON AUG 18 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED ITS LAST ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO LOCATED ABOUT 410 MILES WEST OF PUNTA EUGENIA ON THE CENTRAL WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN THE EAST PACIFIC HIGH SEAS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER AND IN THE OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE MARINE PREDICTION CENTER. CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAVE INCREASED...ASSOCIATED WITH THE INTERACTION OF A TROPICAL WAVE AND AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION IN THE LOW-LEVELS AT THIS TIME. CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS HAVE BECOME SOMEWHAT CONCENTRATED IN AN AREA LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF EL SALVADOR. THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 12:35:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102292-16846>; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 12:00:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA232208; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 22:50:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6036079 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 22:50:08 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA228792 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 22:50:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id WAA01269 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 22:49:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708190349.WAA01269@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 22:50:08 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 454ea888c63a2ac0fd278ac6264c15e5 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1403 Status: OR 605 ABPZ20 KNHC 190348 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON AUG 18 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED ITS LAST ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO CENTERED ABOUT 425 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF LOS ANGELES CALIFORNIA. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN THE EAST PACIFIC HIGH SEAS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER AND IN THE OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE MARINE PREDICTION CENTER. CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE INTERACTION OF A TROPICAL WAVE AND AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION IN THE LOW-LEVELS AT THIS TIME. CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF EL SALVADOR HAVE DIMINISHED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102766-16846>; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 18:19:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA112548; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 05:16:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6037959 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 05:16:27 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA159934 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 05:13:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id FAA03609 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 05:12:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708191012.FAA03609@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 19 Aug 1997 05:16:27 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5adfd2caa3944eb4c6c0b5cdb75bc932 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1322 Status: OR 745 ABPZ20 KNHC 191008 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE AUG 19 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...FORMERLY ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO...IS CENTERED ABOUT 325 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF LOS ANGELES CALIFORNIA. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN THE EAST PACIFIC HIGH SEAS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER AND IN THE OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE MARINE PREDICTION CENTER. DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE INTERACTION OF A TROPICAL WAVE AND AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION IN THE LOW-LEVELS AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103355-16846>; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 01:06:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA252666; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 12:03:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6041197 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 12:03:07 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA228818 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 12:03:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id MAA11439 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 12:02:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708191702.MAA11439@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 19 Aug 1997 12:03:07 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ad48cde8c00663d476abb1524af25718 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1167 Status: OR 585 ABPZ20 KNHC 191703 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE AUG 19 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...FORMERLY ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO...IS CENTERED ABOUT 275 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF LOS ANGELES. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN THE EAST PACIFIC HIGH SEAS FORECASTS AND OFFSHORE WATERS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE MARINE PREDICTION CENTER. DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ARE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102173-7565>; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 06:36:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA142050; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 17:22:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6044285 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 17:20:39 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA228788 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 17:20:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id RAA18881 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 17:20:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708192220.RAA18881@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 19 Aug 1997 17:20:39 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 47be4a7ae887f2a5acad4fcbd7ae5d61 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1192 Status: OR 975 ABPZ20 KNHC 192220 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE AUG 19 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...FORMERLY ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO...IS CENTERED ABOUT 200 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LOS ANGELES CALIFORNIA. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN THE EAST PACIFIC HIGH SEAS FORECASTS AND OFFSHORE WATERS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE MARINE PREDICTION CENTER. DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ARE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. DEVELOPMENT ...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103061-7565>; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 12:00:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA162738; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 22:57:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6048308 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 22:56:00 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA24188 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 22:55:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id WAA21256 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 22:55:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708200355.WAA21256@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 19 Aug 1997 22:56:00 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 478dcbf3fd989eff81899f1130105de1 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1167 Status: OR 587 ABPZ20 KNHC 200357 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE AUG 19 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS MOVING OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS WEATHER CAN BE FOUND IN ISSUANCES FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES. CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ARE PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW. TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103404-7565>; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 18:20:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA210624; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 05:18:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6049959 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 05:16:53 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA24218 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 05:16:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id FAA23411 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 05:16:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708201016.FAA23411@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 20 Aug 1997 05:16:53 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8132655f1a96c7559381f04174a4cbb7 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1183 Status: OR 651 ABPZ20 KNHC 201010 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED AUG 20 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS MOVING OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA SOUTHWEST OREGON ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS WEATHER CAN BE FOUND IN ISSUANCES FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES. CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ARE PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW. TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103472-7565>; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 01:15:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA08706; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 12:10:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6053540 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 12:09:13 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA79954 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 12:09:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id MAA28862 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 12:08:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708201708.MAA28862@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 20 Aug 1997 12:09:13 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5a8158a068c2fa6a9950db10ec739f67 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 908 Status: OR 296 ABPZ20 KNHC 201704 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED AUG 20 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ARE PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW. TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102219-29774>; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 06:37:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA112512; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 17:34:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6057432 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 17:31:52 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA23150 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 17:30:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id RAA04957 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 17:29:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708202229.RAA04957@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 20 Aug 1997 17:31:52 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 71035ce94c60b7369d0bb92d032e10e1 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 891 Status: OR 929 ABPZ20 KNHC 202227 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED AUG 20 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ARE PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102614-29774>; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 12:08:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA34082; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 23:06:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6059819 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 23:03:20 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA196418 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 23:03:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id XAA07303 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 23:03:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708210403.XAA07303@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 20 Aug 1997 23:03:20 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a387f6e021f0f44edcc573945a9dd219 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 890 Status: OR 503 ABPZ20 KNHC 210357 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED AUG 20 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ARE PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103091-29774>; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 17:20:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA161238; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 04:13:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6061875 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 04:10:29 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA41604 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 04:10:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id EAA09068 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 04:10:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708210910.EAA09068@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 21 Aug 1997 04:10:29 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2f81a584711ed7ee5b88a436b441f4bc X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 889 Status: OR 892 ABPZ20 KNHC 210906 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU AUG 21 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ARE PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103583-29774>; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 00:58:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA137360; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 11:55:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6065216 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 11:55:35 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA12150 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 11:55:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id LAA15338 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 11:55:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708211655.LAA15338@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 21 Aug 1997 11:55:35 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 255ecc7ad578e76d16114c27563b5d5a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 809 Status: OR 554 ABPZ20 KNHC 211653 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU AUG 21 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAVE DIMINISHED. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102259-25312>; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 06:50:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA264326; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 17:41:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6068648 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 17:40:19 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA08720 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 17:40:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id RAA24620 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 17:40:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708212240.RAA24620@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 21 Aug 1997 17:40:19 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 05c1d326471cf3dfdd6e23bcfee14350 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 686 Status: OR 211 ABPZ20 KNHC 212238 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU AUG 21 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102616-25312>; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 11:56:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA265672; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 22:52:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6071703 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 22:52:21 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA19338 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 22:52:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id WAA26740 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 22:52:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708220352.WAA26740@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 21 Aug 1997 22:52:21 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 32873e6e13d53849d4a249c6ebe886a6 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 689 Status: OR 589 ABPZ20 KNHC 220349 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU AUG 21 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102759-25312>; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 17:47:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA129408; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 04:44:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6073577 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 04:44:18 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA240492 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 04:44:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id EAA28844 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 04:44:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708220944.EAA28844@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 22 Aug 1997 04:44:18 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6f2fe9fa47d90534b3a0aaf22790396f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 688 Status: OR 083 ABPZ20 KNHC 220941 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI AUG 22 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103725-25312>; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 00:16:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA220116; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 11:12:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6076208 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 11:12:11 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA93548 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 11:11:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id LAA04068 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 11:11:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708221611.LAA04068@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 22 Aug 1997 11:12:11 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ed360a76b3effdf97eb83667dd91febe X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 686 Status: OR 831 ABPZ20 KNHC 221607 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI AUG 22 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102151-19025>; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 06:35:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA24310; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 17:31:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6078922 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 17:31:15 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA129494 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 17:31:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id RAA12200 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 17:30:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708222230.RAA12200@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 22 Aug 1997 17:31:15 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 038d6ab98c7093bafd4b70a81db1adb4 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 688 Status: OR 230 ABPZ20 KNHC 222230 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI AUG 22 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102446-19025>; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 11:51:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA136358; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 22:48:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6081212 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 22:48:36 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA72336 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 22:48:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id WAA14294 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 22:48:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708230348.WAA14294@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 22 Aug 1997 22:48:36 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1b0782e45d91063a653cd2d155bef810 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 687 Status: OR 639 ABPZ20 KNHC 230346 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI AUG 22 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31240-396>; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 19:21:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA72434; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 05:29:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6083218 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 05:29:29 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA03552 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 05:29:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id FAA16452 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 05:29:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708231029.FAA16452@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 23 Aug 1997 05:29:29 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: db65348b061782dda37e7849a14bb39f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 686 Status: OR 228 ABPZ20 KNHC 231029 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT AUG 23 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30726-396>; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 00:17:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA34158; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 11:15:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6084990 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 11:15:04 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA232282 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 11:15:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id LAA18532 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 11:14:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708231614.LAA18532@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 23 Aug 1997 11:15:04 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e25d6040621bd9b981a82268490b1933 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 684 Status: OR 191 ABPZ20 KNHC 231609 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT AUG 23 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30732-20155>; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 06:34:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA189772; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 17:32:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6086922 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 17:32:32 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA102194 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 17:32:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id RAA21453 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 17:32:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708232232.RAA21453@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 23 Aug 1997 17:32:32 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f5bd5d328e250ceeef8bb49de974483d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 686 Status: OR 311 ABPZ20 KNHC 232232 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT AUG 23 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30775-20155>; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 11:27:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA162288; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 22:25:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6088795 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 22:25:00 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA252584 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 22:24:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id WAA22995 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 22:24:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708240324.WAA22995@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 23 Aug 1997 22:25:00 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8dc937dcf1823311221e532c241b33c0 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 687 Status: OR 483 ABPZ20 KNHC 240323 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT AUG 23 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30844-20155>; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 18:24:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA245364; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 05:12:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6090127 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 05:11:58 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA216930 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 05:11:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id FAA24954 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 05:11:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708241011.FAA24954@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 24 Aug 1997 05:11:58 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b132567beb9fb9674febf3d0bf7e89e9 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 683 Status: OR 053 ABPZ20 KNHC 241009 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN AUG 24 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30893-20155>; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 01:00:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA133474; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 11:57:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6091972 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 11:57:01 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA245328 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 11:57:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id LAA26617 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 11:56:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708241656.LAA26617@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 24 Aug 1997 11:57:01 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a73e904b29e92280baf9ac2c3b00e72d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 900 Status: OR 612 ABPZ20 KNHC 241656 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN AUG 24 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME SOMEWHAT CONCENTRATED IN AN AREA CENTERED A LITTLE OVER 1600 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30909-10285>; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 06:39:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA102142; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 17:20:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6093870 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 17:20:32 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA217068 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 17:20:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id RAA28494 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 17:20:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708242220.RAA28494@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 24 Aug 1997 17:20:32 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f9c0fe331760f126c96029282fbbca16 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 916 Status: OR 174 ABPZ20 KNHC 242218 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN AUG 24 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF CONCENTRATED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES ABOUT 1600 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA OR ABOUT 1700 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAWAII. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30911-10285>; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 06:39:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA101966; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 17:22:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6093877 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 17:22:47 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA224828 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 17:22:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id RAA28528 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 17:22:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708242222.RAA28528@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 24 Aug 1997 17:22:47 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 843362f33f1628e82bd8bc3bdcba5beb X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 967 Status: OR 194 ABPZ20 KNHC 242221 COR TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN AUG 24 1997 CORRECTION...SOUTHWEST OF BAJA...NOT SOUTHEAST FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF CONCENTRATED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES ABOUT 1600 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA OR ABOUT 1700 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAWAII. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 11:53:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30933-10285>; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 11:52:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA232234; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 22:44:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6096151 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 22:44:35 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA02584 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 22:44:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id WAA00176 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 22:44:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708250344.WAA00176@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 24 Aug 1997 22:44:35 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9d150e277a582b3a5a916b5821e85879 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 849 Status: OR 847 ABPZ20 KNHC 250343 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN AUG 24 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF CONCENTRATED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES ABOUT 1700 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAWAII. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31002-10285>; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 18:01:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA189870; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 04:58:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6097607 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 04:58:17 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA84886 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 04:58:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id EAA02140 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 04:58:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708250958.EAA02140@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 25 Aug 1997 04:58:17 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 579b487158bb195e351a64733dd0521d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 848 Status: OR 075 ABPZ20 KNHC 250958 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON AUG 25 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF CONCENTRATED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES ABOUT 1700 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAWAII. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31047-10285>; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 00:40:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA249004; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 11:36:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6100660 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 11:36:35 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA23182 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 11:36:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id LAA07844 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 11:36:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708251636.LAA07844@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 25 Aug 1997 11:36:35 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 05a76c2f031c61fb5287f7b19f24d895 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1046 Status: OR 835 ABPZ20 KNHC 251635 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON AUG 25 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED NEAR 11N 133.5W...OR ABOUT 1500 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAWAII...HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. THE DISTURBANCE IS OVER WARM WATER AND THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS CURRENTLY FAVORABLE FOR STRENGTHENING. IF THIS DEVELOPMENT TREND CONTINUES AS EXPECTED...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ADVISORIES WILL BE INITIATED LATER TODAY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31118-13064>; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 06:35:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA199330; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 17:23:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6103631 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 17:23:16 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA102278 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 17:23:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id RAA20733 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 17:22:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708252222.RAA20733@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 25 Aug 1997 17:23:16 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8815a167ba48de624d9f0d50b1d7824b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 974 Status: OR 518 ABPZ20 KNHC 252222 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON AUG 25 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY- UPGRADED TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E...LOCATED ABOUT 1500 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAWAII. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E ARE ISSUED UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP2 AND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31124-13064>; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 10:58:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA232328; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 21:51:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6105598 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 21:51:13 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA264564 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 21:51:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id VAA21153 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 21:50:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708260250.VAA21153@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 25 Aug 1997 21:51:13 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Twelve-e Discussion Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d3328036ec759b784657bc2e1fa3ade8 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1843 Status: OR 174 WTPZ42 KNHC 260251 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON AUG 25 1997 THERE WEERE FAIRLY GOOD BANDING FEATURES AT 23Z AND TAFB AND SAB DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES WERE BORDERLINE TROPICAL STORM. HOWEVER THE DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING CLOUD TOPS WARMED UP A LITTLE BETWEEN 23Z AND 01Z AND NOW THERE MAY BE A SMALL CDO FORMING. I AM REFRAINING FROM UPGRADING THE DEPRESSION TO A STORM ON THIS ADVISORY BUT IF THE LATEST TREND CONTINUES...IT WILL PROBABLY BE UPGRADED ON THE NEXT ADVISORY. WITH WARM WATER AND NO EVIDENCE OF SHEARING ...THE FORECAST IS FOR GRADUAL STRENGTHENING AS IN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND IN AGREEMENT WITH SHIPS AND SHIFOR GUIDANCE. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 275/09. THE AVIATION MODEL SUGGESTS A SLIGHT WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE SUCH THAT THE TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS FORECAST A HEADING FOR THE NEXT 3 DAYS OF 285 DEGREES FOR CLIPER RANGING TO 315 DEGREES FOR THE GFLD MODEL. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS ADJUSTED A LITTLE TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY BUT IS STILL LEFT OF MUCH OF THE GUIDANCE. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/0300Z 11.4N 134.9W 30 KTS 12HR VT 26/1200Z 11.5N 136.3W 35 KTS 24HR VT 27/0000Z 11.7N 138.0W 40 KTS 36HR VT 27/1200Z 12.1N 139.9W 45 KTS 48HR VT 28/0000Z 12.5N 141.7W 50 KTS 72HR VT 29/0000Z 13.6N 145.0W 55 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30777-13064>; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 10:58:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA38508; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 21:54:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6105628 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 21:54:14 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA19288 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 21:54:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id VAA21158 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 21:53:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708260253.VAA21158@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 25 Aug 1997 21:54:14 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Twelve-e Forecast/advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d3cb7b5cae18d89b835a96857a9927f2 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1656 Status: OR 195 WTPZ22 KNHC 260251 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1297 0300Z TUE AUG 26 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 134.9W AT 26/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 134.9W AT 26/0300Z AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 134.4W FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 11.5N 136.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 11.7N 138.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 12.1N 139.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.4N 134.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 12.5N 141.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 50 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 0NW OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 13.6N 145.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31147-13064>; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 11:54:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA159760; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 22:49:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6105948 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 22:49:37 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA232446 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 22:49:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id WAA21243 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 22:48:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708260348.WAA21243@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 25 Aug 1997 22:49:37 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: db536f250dc8f03d6567bb94a00c32c7 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 959 Status: OR 004 ABPZ20 KNHC 260348 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON AUG 25 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E...LOCATED ABOUT 1400 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAWAII. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E ARE ISSUED UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP2 AND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31276-13064>; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 16:29:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA136426; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 03:24:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6106817 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 03:24:49 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA162772 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 03:24:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id DAA21598 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 03:23:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708260823.DAA21598@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 03:24:49 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Twelve-e Forecast/advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8c0407cb224bb86dfd158876549b02f5 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1653 Status: OR 727 WTPZ22 KNHC 260824 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1297 0900Z TUE AUG 26 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 135.6W AT 26/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 135.6W AT 26/0900Z AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 135.1W FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 11.8N 136.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 12.3N 138.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 13.0N 140.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.7N 135.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 13.5N 142.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 15.0N 145.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31280-13064>; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 16:44:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA162624; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 03:25:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6106822 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 03:25:21 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA136238 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 03:25:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id DAA21602 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 03:24:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708260824.DAA21602@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 03:25:21 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Twelve-e Discussion Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7d98c5620526d90e5a9d35b58ae4f28f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1226 Status: OR 728 WTPZ42 KNHC 260823 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT TUE AUG 26 1997 THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION AND INTENSITY BUT BY JUDGING 0600Z IMAGE FRAME...WHICH IS THE ONLY ONE AVAILABLE...IT APPEARS THAT THE DEPRESSION HAS NOT CHANGED VERY MUCH IN INTENSITY DURING THE LAST FEW HOURS AND IS RIGHT ON TRACK. BOTH INTENSITY AND MOTION FORECASTS ARE BASICALLY AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/0900Z 11.7N 135.6W 30 KTS 12HR VT 26/1800Z 11.8N 136.9W 35 KTS 24HR VT 27/0600Z 12.3N 138.7W 40 KTS 36HR VT 27/1800Z 13.0N 140.5W 45 KTS 48HR VT 28/0600Z 13.5N 142.0W 50 KTS 72HR VT 29/0600Z 15.0N 145.0W 55 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31031-13064>; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 17:11:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA102186; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 04:07:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6106952 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 04:07:33 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA252440 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 04:07:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id EAA21645 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 04:06:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708260906.EAA21645@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 04:07:33 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 488a8d26d09a73d552b6e50ae5cd03d4 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 958 Status: OR 134 ABPZ20 KNHC 260906 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE AUG 26 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E...LOCATED ABOUT 1350 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAWAII. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E ARE ISSUED UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP2 AND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31317-13064>; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 22:35:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA169798; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 09:32:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6108516 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 09:31:50 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA232216 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 09:31:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id JAA21900 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 09:30:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708261430.JAA21900@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 09:31:50 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7352fcbe2782acddff766679db329b32 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1755 Status: OR 189 WTPZ22 KNHC 261431 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1297 1500Z TUE AUG 26 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 135.6W AT 26/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 135.6W AT 26/1500Z AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 135.3W FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 12.5N 136.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 13.2N 138.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 13.9N 139.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.2N 135.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 14.8N 141.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 16.5N 144.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31132-13064>; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 22:36:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA169838; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 09:33:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6108521 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 09:33:04 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA84828 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 09:33:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id JAA21912 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 09:31:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708261431.JAA21912@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 09:33:04 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Jimena Discussion Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 30a918299b6618667a7da31e8188e6a2 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2125 Status: OR 190 WTPZ42 KNHC 261433 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT TUE AUG 26 1997 SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE CYCLONE HAS MAINTAINED ITS ORGANIZATION WITH A FAIRLY SYMMETRICAL MASS OF CONVECTION AROUND THE CENTER. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE AT TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH SO THE SYSTEM IS BEING NAMED. THERE IS AN ELONGATED UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE OVER THE STORM. ALTHOUGH THERE IS A LARGE MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM...THIS TROUGH DOES NOT SEEM TO BE SHEARING THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. INSTEAD IT APPEARS TO BE ASSISTING THE OUTFLOW TO THE NORTHEAST. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...BUT LATER IN THE PERIOD SHEARING COULD LIMIT DEVELOPMENT. MOTION IS SLOWER AND MORE TO THE RIGHT OF PREVIOUS ESTIMATES. OBJECTIVE GUIDANCE IS COMPLICATED BY THE AVN INITIALIZATION OF A FALSE VORTEX ABOUT 10 DEG WEST-SOUTHWEST OF JIMENA. THIS MODEL VORTEX APPEARS STRONGER THAN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE BUT IS NOT EVIDENT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY OR SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. THUS THE AVN AND GFDL MODELS MAY HAVE AN UNREALISTIC STEERING FLOW. THE CURRENT NHC FORECAST IS ADJUSTED A BIT TO THE RIGHT AND SLOWER THAN THE PREVIOUS ONE...BASED MAINLY ON THE INITIAL MOTION. THIS IS ALSO FAIRLY CLOSE TO THE LATEST NOGAPS RUN...WHICH DOES NOT CONTAIN THE SPURIOUS VORTEX IN ITS INITIAL STATE. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/1500Z 12.2N 135.6W 35 KTS 12HR VT 27/0000Z 12.5N 136.5W 40 KTS 24HR VT 27/1200Z 13.2N 138.1W 45 KTS 36HR VT 28/0000Z 13.9N 139.7W 50 KTS 48HR VT 28/1200Z 14.8N 141.4W 50 KTS 72HR VT 29/1200Z 16.5N 144.5W 50 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31370-13064>; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 02:48:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAB82224; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 13:42:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6110373 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 13:42:47 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA82402 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 13:42:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id NAA22889 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 13:40:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708261840.NAA22889@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 13:42:47 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 15204d796f55f4debc413c0ec3881264 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 956 Status: OR 603 ABPZ20 KNHC 261841 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE AUG 26 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM JIMENA LOCATED ABOUT 1350 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM JIMENA ARE ISSUED UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP2 AND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31365-13064>; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 04:51:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA228806; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 15:42:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6111300 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 15:42:50 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA211834 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 15:42:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id PAA23068 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 15:40:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708262040.PAA23068@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 15:42:50 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fb008cfc56af9d873f144fccef66a192 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1919 Status: OR 264 WTPZ22 KNHC 262040 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1297 2100Z TUE AUG 26 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 136.0W AT 26/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 136.0W AT 26/2100Z AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 135.7W FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 12.4N 136.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 12.9N 138.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 13.5N 139.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N 136.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 14.2N 141.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 16.0N 145.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31377-13064>; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 04:50:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA25330; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 15:43:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6111307 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 15:43:01 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA189826 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 15:42:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id PAA23076 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 15:41:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708262041.PAA23076@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 15:43:01 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Jimena Discussion Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 08cef11716287e15091eb58b0ca8541f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1925 Status: OR 274 WTPZ42 KNHC 262040 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE AUG 26 1997 VISIBLE SATELLITE PICTURES SHOW THAT JIMENA HAS DEVELOPED SIGNIFICANTLY...WITH BANDING FEATURES THAT YIELD A DVORAK T-NUMBER NEAR 3.5...I.E. A CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS. THE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT APPEARS FAVORABLE FOR SOME FURTHER STRENGTHENING AT THIS TIME. LATER IN THE PERIOD...IT IS EXPECTED THAT THE STRENGTHENING TREND WILL BE REVERSED BY INCREASED VERTICAL SHEAR. INITIAL MOTION IS ABOUT 290/6. AS DISCUSSED EARLIER...THE AVN MODEL CONTINUES TO IMPROPERLY INITIALIZE A STRONG MID- TO LOW-LEVEL CYCLONE ABOUT 10 DEG TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OF JIMENA. THIS SPURIOUS FEATURE IS LIKELY CREATING AN ERRONEOUS ENVIRONMENTAL FLOW AHEAD OF THE TROPICAL STORM. THIS IS ALSO TRUE FOR THE GFDL MODEL WHICH USES THE AVN TO SPECIFY THE ENVIRONMENT OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. SO WE SHOULD USE ALL GUIDANCE RELATED TO THE AVN MODEL WITH SOME CAUTION. THE CURRENT OFFICIAL FORECAST IS NEAR THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF OUR GUIDANCE SUITE...AND CLOSE TO THE NOGAPS MODEL. THE LATTER MODEL DOES NOT SHOW THE FALSE VORTEX IN ITS INITIAL STATE. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/2100Z 12.1N 136.0W 55 KTS 12HR VT 27/0600Z 12.4N 136.8W 60 KTS 24HR VT 27/1800Z 12.9N 138.0W 65 KTS 36HR VT 28/0600Z 13.5N 139.5W 65 KTS 48HR VT 28/1800Z 14.2N 141.2W 65 KTS 72HR VT 29/1800Z 16.0N 145.0W 60 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31390-15926>; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 06:30:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA68276; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 17:26:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6112038 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 17:26:34 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA129404 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 17:26:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id RAA23479 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 17:25:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708262225.RAA23479@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 17:26:34 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 974f0e4bea4ec59373a8899944768f4d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1026 Status: OR 769 ABPZ20 KNHC 262226 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE AUG 26 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM JIMENA LOCATED ABOUT 1350 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. SATELLITE PICTURES THIS AFTERNOON INDICATE THAT JIMENA IS STRENGTHENING QUICKLY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON JIMENA ARE ISSUED UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP2 AND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31186-15926>; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 07:57:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA08944; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 18:54:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6112843 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 18:54:30 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id SAA08888 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 18:54:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id SAA23806 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 18:53:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708262353.SAA23806@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 18:53:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Jimena Special Forecast/advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ae3f586a58470dfb87ce5c072bc52ffa X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2010 Status: OR 737 WTPZ22 KNHC 262354 TCMEP2 HURRICANE JIMENA SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1297 0000Z WED AUG 27 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 135.7W AT 27/0000Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 135.7W AT 27/0000Z AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 135.6W FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 12.6N 136.0W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 13.3N 136.9W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 14.1N 138.2W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.2N 135.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 15.1N 140.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 17.0N 143.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31186-15926>; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 07:57:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA08902; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 18:54:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6112838 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 18:54:20 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id SAA256920 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 18:54:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id SAA23810 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 18:53:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708262353.SAA23810@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 18:53:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Jimena Special Discussion Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5d74f9c228d6b76032eef260b3c9093d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1955 Status: OR 738 WTPZ42 KNHC 262353 TCDEP2 HURRICANE JIMENA SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT TUE AUG 26 1997 JIMENA IS UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE AND THE TRACK IS SHIFTED A LITTLE TO THE RIGHT IN THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY. IR AND VISIBLE PICTURES FIRST SHOWED AN EYE DEVELOPING AROUND 1930Z...ABOUT A HALF A DAY AFTER A SIMILAR FEATURE WAS SEEN IN SSM/I 85 GHZ DATA. CLEARLY...FOLLOW-UP WORK ON THE USE OF SUCH 85 GHZ IMAGERY IS NECESSARY. OBJECTIVE T-NUMBERS HAVE AVERAGED ABOUT 6.0 OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS. THIS EQUATES TO 115 KT...BUT THERE IS SOME HISTORY TO USING A SOMEWHAT LOWER ESTIMATE FOR SYSTEMS AS SMALL AS JIMENA...WHICH CAN SHOW RATHER EXTREME FLUCTUATIONS DURING SHORT PERIODS...SO THE ESTIMATE FOR THIS ADVISORY IS 90 KT. TRACKING THE EYE OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS GIVES A GREATER NORTHWARD COMPONENT THAN PREVIOUS NOTED...345/5 KT. THE TRACK IS SHIFTED TO ACCOMMODATE THIS HEADING. THERE IS SOME INDICATION THAT THE TROUGH ALOFT CONTAINS A WEAK VORTMAX JUST WEST OF JIMENA. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THIS FEATURE HAS HELPED THE TROPICAL CYCLONE INTENSIFY AND GIVEN THE NORTHWARD NUDGE. ON A BROADER SCALE...OUTFLOW TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST CONTINUES TO BE ENHANCED. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/0000Z 12.2N 135.7W 90 KTS 12HR VT 27/0600Z 12.6N 136.0W 115 KTS 24HR VT 27/1800Z 13.3N 136.9W 115 KTS 36HR VT 28/0600Z 14.1N 138.2W 105 KTS 48HR VT 28/1800Z 15.1N 140.0W 105 KTS 72HR VT 29/1800Z 17.0N 143.5W 90 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31511-15926>; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 10:31:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA224816; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 21:28:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6114184 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 21:28:21 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA228636 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 21:28:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id VAA24488 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 21:27:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708270227.VAA24488@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 21:27:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Jimena Discussion Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b54e28f75f720677b330b03308c89a10 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1748 Status: OR 283 WTPZ42 KNHC 270228 TCDEP2 HURRICANE JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT TUE AUG 26 1997 OBJECTIVE T-NUMBERS HAVE PULLED BACK JUST A BIT FROM EARLIER WHILE THE FORMAL APPLICATION ESTIMATES PLAY CATCH UP. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS NOW SET AT 100 KT. JIMENA HAS A SMALL PATTERN OF COLD CONVECTIVE TOPS SURROUNDING A WELL-DEFINED EYE. THE EYE HAS BEEN MOVING NORTHWARD AT 4 OR 5 KT THIS EVENING. THE 18Z AVN...LIKE THE 12Z RUN...IS POORLY INITIALIZED WITH A LOW- LEVEL VORTEX SEEMINGLY MUCH STRONGER THAN JIMENA PLACED ABOUT 10 DEGREES TO THE WEST OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HOWEVER...THE 18Z AVN TRACK FORECAST IS SLOWER THAN EARLIER AND THIS IS MORE CONSISTENT WITH THE OBSERVED MOTION OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...ALTHOUGH ALL GUIDANCE HEADS FROM W TO NW. THE NHC TRACK IS ALSO SLOWED A LITTLE MORE AND SHIFTED TO THE RIGHT TO TAKE INTO ACCOUNT THE CURRENT NORTHWARD HEADING. THE INTENSITY FORECAST SHOWS A LITTLE MORE STRENGTHENING IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/0300Z 12.5N 135.7W 100 KTS 12HR VT 27/1200Z 13.0N 135.8W 115 KTS 24HR VT 28/0000Z 13.7N 136.3W 115 KTS 36HR VT 28/1200Z 14.6N 137.5W 110 KTS 48HR VT 29/0000Z 15.5N 139.1W 100 KTS 72HR VT 30/0000Z 18.0N 142.5W 85 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31418-15926>; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 10:37:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA256942; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 21:29:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6114197 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 21:29:06 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA228762 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 21:29:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id VAA24503 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 21:27:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708270227.VAA24503@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 21:27:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 54c274541b1e6d8a5ca643aa8bd94ed3 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1990 Status: OR 284 WTPZ22 KNHC 270229 TCMEP2 HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1297 0300Z WED AUG 27 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 135.7W AT 27/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 135.7W AT 27/0300Z AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 135.7W FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 13.0N 135.8W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 13.7N 136.3W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 14.6N 137.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 135.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 15.5N 139.1W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 18.0N 142.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z UNKNOWN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31415-15926>; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 12:07:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA19436; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 23:01:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6114765 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 23:01:22 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA252122 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 23:01:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id XAA25279 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 23:00:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708270400.XAA25279@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 23:00:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 80996aa12569736dd7e60cc84fa3e604 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 837 Status: OR 446 ABPZ20 KNHC 270400 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE AUG 26 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA LOCATED ABOUT 1350 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31444-15926>; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 16:55:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA38596; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 03:32:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6115858 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 03:32:39 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA105386 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 03:32:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id DAA25670 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 03:31:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708270831.DAA25670@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 Aug 1997 03:31:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Jimena Discussion Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d0cce62070dd02d22ca8309cb8827af8 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1773 Status: OR 419 WTPZ42 KNHC 270832 TCDEP2 HURRICANE JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT WED AUG 27 1997 LAST OBJECTIVE T-NUMBER FROM 06Z PICTURE WAS 6.5 WHILE SUBJECTIVE NUMBERS WERE 5.0 AND 5.5 FROM TAFB AND SAB. INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 110 KNOTS WHICH IN THE RANGE OF THE ESTIMATES. JIMENA IS A SMALL SYSTEM BUT IT HAS A WELL DEFINED EYE SURROUNDED BY A RING OF VERY DEEP CONVECTION. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. BEST ESTIMATE OF THE INITIAL MOTION IS 340/05. JIMENA IS LOCATED BETWEEN A DEVELOPING HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE RIGHT AND A WEAKNESS TO THE NORTHWEST. MODELS ARE DIVERGENT WITH THE GFDL SHOWING A CONTINUED NORTH-NORTHWEST TRACK AND BOTH AVN AND NGAPS MOVING JIMENA WESTWARD. THE OTHER MODELS ARE IN BETWEEN. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS ONE...TURNING THE HURRICANE ON A MORE NORTHWEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK. THIS IS BASED ON GLOBAL MODELS WHICH GRADUALLY BUILD THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF JIMENA. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/0900Z 12.8N 135.8W 110 KTS 12HR VT 27/1800Z 13.5N 136.0W 115 KTS 24HR VT 28/0600Z 14.5N 136.5W 115 KTS 36HR VT 28/1800Z 15.5N 137.5W 110 KTS 48HR VT 29/0600Z 16.5N 138.5W 100 KTS 72HR VT 30/0600Z 18.0N 142.5W 85 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31405-15926>; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 16:36:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA38622; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 03:32:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6115863 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 03:32:46 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA105402 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 03:32:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id DAA25674 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 03:31:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708270831.DAA25674@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 Aug 1997 03:31:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 87a99ea62c717b73ab9c708b23f932f0 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1998 Status: OR 420 WTPZ22 KNHC 270832 TCMEP2 HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1297 0900Z WED AUG 27 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 135.8W AT 27/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 135.8W AT 27/0900Z AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 135.7W FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 13.5N 136.0W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 14.5N 136.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 15.5N 137.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N 135.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 16.5N 138.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 18.0N 142.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30824-15926>; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 18:37:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA67406; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 05:07:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6116574 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 05:07:00 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA68156 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 05:07:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id FAA25798 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 05:05:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708271005.FAA25798@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 Aug 1997 05:05:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 69941e903882306cade59535c399ee13 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 836 Status: OR 574 ABPZ20 KNHC 271006 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED AUG 27 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA LOCATED ABOUT 1335 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30768-15926>; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 22:50:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA196446; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 09:41:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6117840 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 09:41:08 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA228680 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 09:41:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id JAA26003 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 09:39:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708271439.JAA26003@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 Aug 1997 09:39:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 113081603aaea682337d0baac98872d8 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1998 Status: OR 658 WTPZ22 KNHC 271432 TCMEP2 HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1297 1500Z WED AUG 27 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 136.1W AT 27/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 136.1W AT 27/1500Z AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 136.0W FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 14.8N 136.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 15.9N 137.3W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 16.8N 138.3W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 136.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 17.6N 139.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 18.5N 142.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30768-15926>; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 22:54:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA129504; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 09:46:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6117889 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 09:46:18 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA38598 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 09:46:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id JAA26040 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 09:45:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708271445.JAA26040@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 Aug 1997 09:45:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Jimena Discussion Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f4441c540fe209fe24e5d8a96a0924b6 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2038 Status: OR 683 WTPZ42 KNHC 271434 TCDEP2 HURRICANE JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT WED AUG 27 1997 SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A SMALL EYE EMBEDDED IN VERY COLD CLOUD TOPS. SUBJECTIVE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES USING THE EYE PATTERN AND OBJECTIVE T-NUMBERS SUGGEST THAT MAXIMUM WINDS ARE LEVELLING OFF NEAR 115 KNOTS. THE RAPID STRENGTHENING THAT OCCURRED DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS IS DIFFICULT TO EXPLAIN. ON THE LARGER-SCALE...IT MAY HAVE BEEN RELATED TO SOME KIND OF INTERACTION WITH A MID- TO UPPER- TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH WHICH PASSED JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. A STRONG UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW JET IS OBSERVED STREAMING NORTHEASTWARD FROM JIMENA...BUT THIS MAY MERELY BE THE RESULT OF THE EXPLOSIVE INTENSIFICATION. INTENSITY MAY FLUCTUATE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS IN RESPONSE TO EYEWALL CYCLES. A SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST TO BEGIN IN 24 HOURS OR SO SINCE THE HURRICANE WILL BE MOVING SLIGHTLY COOLER WATERS. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 340/7. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT A RIDGE IS STARTING TO BUILD IN TO THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH OF JIMENA. THIS SHOULD CAUSE THE MOTION TO TURN GRADUALLY TO THE WEST- NORTHWEST. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND TO THAT SHOWN BY THE MEDIUM-DEPTH BAM GUIDANCE. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/1500Z 13.9N 136.1W 115 KTS 12HR VT 28/0000Z 14.8N 136.5W 115 KTS 24HR VT 28/1200Z 15.9N 137.3W 110 KTS 36HR VT 29/0000Z 16.8N 138.3W 105 KTS 48HR VT 29/1200Z 17.6N 139.6W 95 KTS 72HR VT 30/1200Z 18.5N 142.5W 80 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31488-15926>; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 00:53:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA210514; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 11:50:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6118741 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 11:49:44 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA97846 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 11:49:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id LAA26418 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 11:48:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708271648.LAA26418@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 Aug 1997 11:48:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6deeb13e70c90e430a7a50d90403b822 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 836 Status: OR 758 ABPZ20 KNHC 271649 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED AUG 27 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31488-15926>; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 04:43:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA18998; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 15:35:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6120228 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 15:35:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA27934 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 15:35:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id PAA26960 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 15:34:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708272034.PAA26960@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 Aug 1997 15:34:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Jimena Discussion Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 561dc37f80bfea694e08880a04ab8dc8 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1847 Status: OR 173 WTPZ42 KNHC 272035 TCDEP2 HURRICANE JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT WED AUG 27 1997 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM BOTH THE NESDIS SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS BRANCH AND THE TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER AGREE AT 115 KNOTS. HOWEVER THE SMALL EYE IS STARTING TO FILL IN WITH CLOUDS AND THE CLOUD TOPS ARE GRADUALLY WARMING. THE OVERALL CLOUD PATTERN IS BECOMING A LITTLE DISTORTED. THEREFORE IT IS LIKELY THAT JIMENA HAS PEAKED. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST. SHEARING MAY INCREASE LATER IN THE PERIOD...WHICH WOULD ACCELERATE THE WEAKENING PROCESS. MOTION CONTINUES TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST. TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS ARE BECOMING MORE DIVERGENT. MEDIUM/SHALLOW-LAYER STEERING AND THE AVN MODELS SHOW A WESTWARD TURN WHEREAS DEEP-LAYER STEERING AND THE NHC91...WHICH USES DEEP-LAYER MEAN HEIGHTS...SHOW A NORTHWARD TRACK. IT IS FELT THAT A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TURN LATER IN THE PERIOD IS A REASONABLE FORECAST FOR A WEAKENING SYSTEM. HENCE THE OFFICIAL FORECAST SHOWS THIS TURN...AND IS VERY CLOSE TO THE UK MET OFFICE MODEL AND NOGAPS PREDICTIONS AS WELL. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/2100Z 14.7N 136.2W 115 KTS 12HR VT 28/0600Z 15.7N 136.5W 110 KTS 24HR VT 28/1800Z 17.0N 137.3W 105 KTS 36HR VT 29/0600Z 18.0N 138.5W 95 KTS 48HR VT 29/1800Z 19.0N 140.0W 85 KTS 72HR VT 30/1800Z 20.0N 143.0W 70 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31497-15926>; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 04:41:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA13802; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 15:36:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6120244 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 15:36:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA15294 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 15:36:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id PAA26969 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 15:35:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708272035.PAA26969@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 Aug 1997 15:35:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e44cfe5e14bf73fb421687d6782f5c12 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1998 Status: OR 179 WTPZ22 KNHC 272036 TCMEP2 HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1297 2100Z WED AUG 27 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 136.2W AT 27/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 136.2W AT 27/2100Z AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 136.1W FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 15.7N 136.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 17.0N 137.3W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 18.0N 138.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 136.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 19.0N 140.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 20.0N 143.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31521-22994>; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 06:34:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA28324; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 17:28:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6120704 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 17:28:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA18314 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 17:28:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id RAA27392 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 17:27:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708272227.RAA27392@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 Aug 1997 17:27:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3e645d1b0d4f2d926265d79fda275b6f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 839 Status: OR 706 ABPZ20 KNHC 272227 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED AUG 27 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA LOCATED ABOUT 1250 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31558-22994>; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 11:28:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA15238; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 21:38:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6122016 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 21:38:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAB18540 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 21:38:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id VAA27756 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 21:37:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708280237.VAA27756@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 Aug 1997 21:37:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Jimena Discussion Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ce75b1c0ced34e521d97e05838ce8f9b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1895 Status: OR 497 WTPZ42 KNHC 280239 TCDEP2 HURRICANE JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT WED AUG 27 1997 THE EYE HAS DISAPPEARED FROM IR AND VIS PICTURES. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS REDUCED TO 105 KT. AS NOTED YESTEREDAY...JIMENAS SMALL SIZE MAKES THE CYCLONE SUSCEPTIBLE TO RELATIVELY QUICK INTENSITY CHANGES...AND A SOMEWHAT MORE RAPID DECREASE IN WIND SPEED IS FORECAST THAN IS SHOWN BY THE NUMERICAL MODELS. THE INITIAL MOTION REMAINS N TO NNW...AT 9 KT. THE 12Z AVN SHOWED STRONG RIDGING TO THE THE NORTH OF JIMENA IN THE WAKE OF A TROUGH MOVING ONSHORE ALONG THE U.S. WEST COAST. IN RESPONSE...THAT MODEL TURNED JIMENA RATHER SHARPLY TOWARD THE LEFT AND MAINTAINED A WESTWARD HEADING AT 15N FROM TOMORROW MORNING INTO SATURDAY. MOST OF THE TRACK MODELS USING THE 12Z AVN AS INPUT SHOW A MORE MODEST TURN...TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR WNW...AND THIS IS ALSO SHOWN IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. THE 18Z AVN TRACK IS FAIRLY CLOSE TO THIS AS WELL. A RECENT AFGWC 34 KT WIND RADII ANALYSIS BASED ON SSM/I DATA WAS CONSISTENT WITH WITH PREVIOUS NHC ESTIMATES...SO NO CHANGE TO THESE PARAMETERS WAS MADE IN THIS ADVISORY. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 28/0300Z 15.6N 136.4W 105 KTS 12HR VT 28/1200Z 16.9N 136.9W 95 KTS 24HR VT 29/0000Z 18.2N 137.9W 80 KTS 36HR VT 29/1200Z 19.0N 139.2W 65 KTS 48HR VT 30/0000Z 19.5N 140.5W 50 KTS 72HR VT 31/0000Z 20.0N 143.5W 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31558-22994>; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 10:42:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA15308; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 21:39:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6122021 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 21:39:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA18550 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 21:38:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id VAA27760 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 21:37:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708280237.VAA27760@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 Aug 1997 21:37:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 29527b80ebca595d225d498c4ef7bd84 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1940 Status: OR 498 WTPZ22 KNHC 280239 TCMEP2 HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1297 0300Z THU AUG 28 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 136.4W AT 28/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 952 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 136.4W AT 28/0300Z AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 136.3W FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 16.9N 136.9W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.2N 137.9W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 19.0N 139.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 136.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 19.5N 140.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 20.0N 143.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:58:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31501-22994>; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 11:56:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA17774; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 22:51:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6122478 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 22:51:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA09308 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 22:51:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id WAA27835 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 22:50:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708280350.WAA27835@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 Aug 1997 22:50:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f0249f032139eab7d735e1ee17273049 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 834 Status: OR 423 ABPZ20 KNHC 280352 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED AUG 27 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA LOCATED ABOUT 1250 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 17:06:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31612-22994>; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 16:31:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA15924; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 03:27:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6123414 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 03:26:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA21002 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 03:26:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id DAA28256 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 03:24:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708280824.DAA28256@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 03:24:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 02234d60a152e5bb6963d935fda8defb X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1914 Status: OR 453 WTPZ22 KNHC 280826 TCMEP2 HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1297 0900Z THU AUG 28 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 136.8W AT 28/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 136.8W AT 28/0900Z AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 136.6W FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 17.8N 137.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 18.9N 138.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 19.5N 140.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 136.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 20.0N 142.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 20.5N 145.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 17:06:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31605-22994>; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 16:32:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA24480; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 03:29:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6123419 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 03:27:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA24344 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 03:26:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id DAA28260 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 03:24:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708280824.DAA28260@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 03:24:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Jimena Discussion Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ab79be085d447002b6393dc01900b9e2 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1888 Status: OR 454 WTPZ42 KNHC 280826 TCDEP2 HURRICANE JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT THU AUG 28 1997 THE EYE IS NOT LONGER OBSERVED ON SATELLITE IMAGES BUT IT IS PROBABLY OBSCURED BY THE CIRRUS CANOPY. JIMENA HAS AN EMBEDDED CENTER SURROUNDED BY VERY DEEP CONVECTION AND I WILL NOT BE SURPRISED IF THE EYE BRIEFLY REAPPEARS LATER TODAY. INITIAL INTENSITY IS 100 KT AND THE INITIAL MOTION IS 340/09. WATER VAPOR IMAGES AND MODELS SUGGEST THAT THERE IS A MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO THE WEST OF JIMENA BUT ALSO THERE IS A MID TO LOW LEVEL RIDGE DEVELOPING NORTH OF THE HURRICANE. THIS MEANS AN EASTERLY STEERING AT THE BOTTOM HALF OF THE TROPOSPHERE AND A SOUTHWESTERLY STEERING ABOVE. THIS SHEARING ENVIRONMENT IS INDICATED BY THE WESTWARD MOTION SUGGESTED BY BAM SHALLOW AND THE NORTHEASTERLY TRACK SUGGESTED BY BAM DEEP AND MEDIUM. SINCE JIMENA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN DURING DUE TO SHEAR AND COOL WATERS...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR A GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND WEST AFTER 24 HOURS AS INDICATED BY BAM SHALLOW. THIS FORECAST IS ALSO CLOSE TO THE NOGAPS...UK AND AVN MODELS AND CLIMATOLOGY. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 28/0900Z 16.5N 136.8W 100 KTS 12HR VT 28/1800Z 17.8N 137.3W 90 KTS 24HR VT 29/0600Z 18.9N 138.7W 80 KTS 36HR VT 29/1800Z 19.5N 140.5W 60 KTS 48HR VT 30/0600Z 20.0N 142.0W 50 KTS 72HR VT 31/0600Z 20.5N 145.0W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 17:21:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31620-22994>; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 17:20:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA25516; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 04:16:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6123488 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 04:15:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA28022 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 04:15:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id EAA28301 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 04:13:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708280913.EAA28301@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 04:13:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 201a6b04fea745c4d418c8aa9dc856a4 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 823 Status: OR 019 ABPZ20 KNHC 280914 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU AUG 28 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA LOCATED ABOUT 1225 MILES EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 29 09:20:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31632-22994>; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 22:48:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA25976; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 09:44:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6125124 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 09:43:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA14374 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 09:43:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id JAA28577 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 09:42:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708281442.JAA28577@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 09:42:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b0cd60445f97a754633d6b7674957e15 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1934 Status: OR 915 WTPZ22 KNHC 281443 TCMEP2 HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1297 1500Z THU AUG 28 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 137.6W AT 28/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 137.6W AT 28/1500Z AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 137.3W FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.3N 139.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 20.5N 140.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 21.5N 141.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 137.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 22.2N 142.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 23.0N 145.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 29 09:20:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31017-22994>; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 22:47:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA26008; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 09:44:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6125129 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 09:44:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA14390 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 09:43:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id JAA28581 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 09:42:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708281442.JAA28581@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 09:42:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Jimena Discussion Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0a7f4c2cf312a8db14d12ca355ff86cc X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1808 Status: OR 916 WTPZ42 KNHC 281444 TCDEP2 HURRICANE JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT THU AUG 28 1997 THE EYE MADE A DISTINCT COMEBACK OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...SO JIMENA IS PROBABLY MAINTAINING ITS INTENSITY FOR NOW. HOWEVER THE CYCLONE IS LIKELY TO CROSS THE 26 DEG SST ISOTHERM TODAY AND SHEARING WILL BE INCREASING IN THE HURRICANES ENVIRONMENT. A WEAKENING TREND IS FORECAST AS IN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. FORWARD SPEED HAS INCREASED AND INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO BE 330/12. AS NOTED IN THE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...THE TRACK FORECAST IS COMPLICATED BY THE SHEARING ENVIRONMENT. IN THE LOWER TROPOSPHERE WE EXPECT A GENERALLY WESTWARD STEERING...BUT IN THE MID- TO UPPER- TROPOSPHERE...A NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS INDICATED. THUS THE TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS ARE SPREAD ACROSS A 180 DEG ARC. WHEN JIMENA WEAKENS TO BELOW STORM STRENGTH...THE MORE WESTWARD MOTION SHOULD DOMINATE. THE CURRENT NHC TRACK FORECAST IS SHIFTED JUST A BIT TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ONE...BUT STILL FAVORS THE LEFT PORTION OF THE GUIDANCE SUITE. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 28/1500Z 18.1N 137.6W 105 KTS 12HR VT 29/0000Z 19.3N 139.0W 90 KTS 24HR VT 29/1200Z 20.5N 140.5W 80 KTS 36HR VT 30/0000Z 21.5N 141.5W 60 KTS 48HR VT 30/1200Z 22.2N 142.8W 50 KTS 72HR VT 31/1200Z 23.0N 145.0W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 29 09:20:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31643-22994>; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 00:45:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA12834; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 11:40:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6126081 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 11:40:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA19964 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 11:38:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id LAA28850 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 11:37:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708281637.LAA28850@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 11:37:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ed18961e8b24690df433350aefdee6c4 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 824 Status: OR 786 ABPZ20 KNHC 281637 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU AUG 28 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA LOCATED ABOUT 1130 MILES EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 29 09:20:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31653-22994>; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 04:52:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA20290; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 15:47:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6128038 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 15:47:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA20528 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 15:47:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id PAA29492 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 15:46:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708282046.PAA29492@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 15:46:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Jimena Discussion Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 26106df721cb1db2a4ace0c80f9b8fcf X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1768 Status: OR 769 WTPZ42 KNHC 282047 TCDEP2 HURRICANE JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT THU AUG 28 1997 DIGITAL DVORAK T-NUMBERS INDICATE THAT JIMENA HAS BEEN NEAR A T6.0 DURING THE DAY...SO INITIAL WINDSPEED IS ADJUSTED BACK TO 115 KNOTS. HOWEVER A WEAKENING TREND APPEARS TO HAVE STARTED...SINCE CONVECTION IS DECREASING AND THE CLOUD PATTERN IS BECOMING ELONGATED. THIS IS LIKELY DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF A LARGE MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL CYCLONE LOCATED TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE HURRICANE. WEAKENING SHOULD ACCELERATE AS A RESULT OF INCREASED VERTICAL SHEAR AND COOLING SEA TEMPS. MOTION CONTINUES TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST. THE TRACK FORECAST IS ADJUSTED FARTHER TO THE RIGHT TO REFLECT THE LATEST GUIDANCE. IT IS STILL EXPECTED THAT...WHEN JIMENA WEAKENS SIGNIFICANTLY...A TURN TO THE LEFT WILL OCCUR AS LOW-LEVEL STEERING BEGINS TO DOMINATE. CURIOUSLY...THE SHALLOW-LAYER BAM DOES NOT SHOW THIS WESTWARD TURN EVEN THOUGH LOW-CLOUD MOTIONS SUGGEST A STRONG RIDGE TO THE NORTH AT THIS TIME. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 28/2100Z 19.3N 138.1W 115 KTS 12HR VT 29/0600Z 20.9N 139.0W 100 KTS 24HR VT 29/1800Z 22.5N 140.0W 85 KTS 36HR VT 30/0600Z 23.5N 141.5W 70 KTS 48HR VT 30/1800Z 24.5N 143.0W 55 KTS 72HR VT 31/1800Z 25.5N 145.0W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 29 09:20:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31646-22994>; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 04:52:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA21672; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 15:48:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6128047 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 15:48:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA18830 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 15:48:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id PAA29502 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 15:46:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708282046.PAA29502@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 15:46:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 78bd426359e0201867704f427e70e397 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1966 Status: OR 770 WTPZ22 KNHC 282048 TCMEP2 HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1297 2100Z THU AUG 28 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 138.1W AT 28/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 138.1W AT 28/2100Z AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 137.8W FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 20.9N 139.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.5N 140.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 23.5N 141.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 138.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 24.5N 143.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 25.5N 145.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 29 09:20:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31550-26110>; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 06:36:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA23754; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 17:34:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6128885 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 17:34:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA17840 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 17:34:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id RAA29762 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 17:32:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708282232.RAA29762@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 17:32:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8bf4b357e4b37a493d4835d41d195be3 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 827 Status: OR 328 ABPZ20 KNHC 282231 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU AUG 28 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA LOCATED ABOUT 1080 MILES EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 29 11:52:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31637-26110>; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 10:34:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA14082; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 21:30:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6130835 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 21:30:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA23272 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 21:30:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA00793 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 21:29:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708290229.VAA00793@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 21:29:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Jimena Discussion Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8cfec1e595fda59ba828be3886501a0f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1742 Status: OR 005 WTPZ42 KNHC 290231 TCDEP2 HURRICANE JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU AUG 28 1997 FOLLOWING THE RESTRENGTHENING OF EARLIER TODAY...JIMENA IS AGAIN WEAKENING. THE EYE IS GONE FROM IR AND VISIBLE PICTURES AND THE EXPECTED SHEARING PATTERN IS DEVELOPING. LOW CLOUD LINES ARE NOW ELONGATED TO THE SOUTHWEST WHILE UPPER CLOUDS ARE STREAMING NORTHEASTWARD IN RESPONSE TO THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW NEAR 28N147W. WITH INCREASING SHEAR AND SSTS SLOWLY DECREASING FROM THEIR CURRENT 25- 26C VALUES...STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST. THE CENTER CONTINUES MOVING TOWARD THE NNW AT ABOUT 11 KNOTS. THE 18Z AVN MODEL MAINTAINS AN E-W LOW-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF JIMENA... ALONG 31N...BUT SHOWS IT TO BE RATHER WEAK. THIS ALLOWS JIMENA TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARD THE NNW TO NORTH...AND HELPS EXPLAIN WHY BAMS SHOWED A SIMILAR TRACK 6 HOURS AGO. THE NHC FORECAST FOLLOWS THEIR GUIDANCE AND IS SHIFTED TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AFTER 24-36 HOURS. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/0300Z 20.4N 138.1W 105 KTS 12HR VT 29/1200Z 21.7N 138.9W 90 KTS 24HR VT 30/0000Z 23.5N 139.5W 75 KTS 36HR VT 30/1200Z 25.1N 139.7W 60 KTS 48HR VT 31/0000Z 26.5N 140.0W 45 KTS 72HR VT 01/0000Z 28.0N 140.0W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 29 11:52:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31696-26110>; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 10:34:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA21320; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 21:31:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6130846 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 21:31:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA14134 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 21:31:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA00797 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 21:30:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708290230.VAA00797@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 21:30:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3140cde12c7f62bf3f08e0fbcbef79c8 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1886 Status: OR 011 WTPZ22 KNHC 290231 TCMEP2 HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1297 0300Z FRI AUG 29 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 138.1W AT 29/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 952 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 138.1W AT 29/0300Z AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 138.0W FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 21.7N 138.9W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 23.5N 139.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 25.1N 139.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.4N 138.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 26.5N 140.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 28.0N 140.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 29 11:55:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31120-26110>; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 11:55:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA19722; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 22:51:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6131594 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 22:51:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA25590 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 22:51:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA00979 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 22:50:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708290350.WAA00979@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 22:50:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 22744a3de7066fa274a9cb2a2a538a34 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 826 Status: OR 296 ABPZ20 KNHC 290351 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU AUG 28 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA LOCATED ABOUT 1090 MILES EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 29 16:47:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31983-27951>; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 16:48:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA12818; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 03:38:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6132719 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 03:38:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA14842 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 03:38:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA01515 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 03:36:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708290836.DAA01515@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 03:36:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7ce5f1a9cd1a404b4cbc387fd0f06548 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1818 Status: OR 886 WTPZ22 KNHC 290838 TCMEP2 HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1297 0900Z FRI AUG 29 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 138.7W AT 29/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 138.7W AT 29/0900Z AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 138.5W FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.0N 139.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 23.5N 140.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 25.0N 140.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 138.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 26.0N 140.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 27.5N 139.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 29 16:47:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <32108-27951>; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 16:43:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA12842; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 03:38:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6132724 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 03:38:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA17656 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 03:38:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA01513 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 03:36:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708290836.DAA01513@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 03:36:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Jimena Discussion Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 506f61d1878d9cb48e63daf525d69986 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1730 Status: OR 885 WTPZ42 KNHC 290837 TCDEP2 HURRICANE JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT FRI AUG 29 1997 LAST AVAILABLE GOES9 IMAGE WAS AT 0400Z. IT IS VERY DIFFICULT TO LOCATE THE CENTER OF JIMENA SINCE THE CONVECTION AND THE MID-LEVEL CENTER APPEARS TO BE RACING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST. ON THE OTHER HAND...ANIMATION OF LOW CLOUDS SUGGESTS THAT THE CENTER OF JIMENA MAY BE MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST. INDICATIONS ARE THAT JIMENA IS WEAKENING FAST...BUT DVORAK T-NUMBERS ARE STILL HIGH DUE TO THE TECHNIQUE CONSTRAINTS. ALTHOUGH...JIMENA CERTAINLY DOES NOT LOOK LIKE AS 90-KNOT HURRICANE ON THE LATEST SATELLITE IMAGE...I AM NOT ABOUT TO MAKE A SIGNIFICANT CHANGE ON THE TRACK OR THE INTENSITY FORECAST WITH OLD SATELLITE IMAGES. JIMENA MAY BE JUST A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS WHEN VIS PICTURES BECOME AVAILABLE LATER TODAY. FOR NOW...THIS FORECAST IS AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS ONE. NOTE: REMAP GOES8 IMAGES SUGGEST THAT JIMENA IS SHEARING RAPIDLY. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/0900Z 20.6N 138.7W 90 KTS 12HR VT 29/1800Z 22.0N 139.5W 75 KTS 24HR VT 30/0600Z 23.5N 140.0W 55 KTS 36HR VT 30/1800Z 25.0N 140.0W 45 KTS 48HR VT 31/0600Z 26.0N 140.0W 35 KTS 72HR VT 01/0600Z 27.5N 139.5W 25 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 29 17:43:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31828-27951>; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 17:39:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA21368; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 04:36:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6133050 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 04:36:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA27750 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 04:36:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA01570 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 04:35:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708290935.EAA01570@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 04:35:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1bd8c01afdc9a323e8094e5b7e4df2a6 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 825 Status: OR 733 ABPZ20 KNHC 290935 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI AUG 29 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA LOCATED ABOUT 1065 MILES EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 30 09:28:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31724-27951>; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 22:58:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA14344; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 09:55:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6135132 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 09:54:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA20128 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 09:54:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA02053 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 09:53:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708291453.JAA02053@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 09:53:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Jimena Discussion Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: aeded6e3f6511d5836778650b48f1d55 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1890 Status: OR 652 WTPZ42 KNHC 291454 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI AUG 29 1997 GOES9 INFRARED IMAGERY SINCE 1230Z SHOWS THAT DRASTIC SHEARING HAS OCCURRED OVERNIGHT AND THE NEAREST CONVECTION IS ABOUT 200 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE LOW LEVEL CENTER. THE WIND SPEED IS DECREASED TO 55 KNOTS AND THIS IS PROBABLY AN OVERESTIMATE. DISSIPATION SHOULD OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS SINCE THE SYSTEM HAS ALREADY BEEN REDUCED TO A LOW CLOUD SWIRL. THE LOW LEVEL CENTER IS NOW BEING STEERED BY LOW LEVEL FLOW. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 300/10. THE SHALLOW BAM MODEL SHOWS VERY SLOW NORTHWESTWARD MOTION FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS RESULTING FROM A HIGH NORTHWEST OF THE STORM BLOCKING ITS PROGRESS. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE SHALLOW BAM ALTHOUGH THE FORECAST ONLY GOES TO 48 HOURS BY WHICH TIME THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO HAVE DISSIPATED. THE UKMET MODEL SHOWS A SIMILAR SCENARIO. SINCE THE CENTER IS ESTIMATED TO BE WEST OF 140 DEGRESS WEST LONGITUDE...THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN H0NOLULU. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/1500Z 20.8N 140.5W 55 KTS 12HR VT 30/0000Z 21.6N 141.8W 35 KTS 24HR VT 30/1200Z 22.8N 143.0W 30 KTS 36HR VT 31/0000Z 24.0N 143.9W 25 KTS 48HR VT 31/1200Z 25.0N 144.3W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 01/1200Z DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 30 09:28:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31731-27951>; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 22:58:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA14420; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 09:55:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6135139 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 09:55:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA28452 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 09:55:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA02058 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 09:53:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708291453.JAA02058@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 09:53:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4ac43c2e6f4df092e822a96cb8d8cfba X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1689 Status: OR 653 WTPZ22 KNHC 291454 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1297 1500Z FRI AUG 29 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 140.5W AT 29/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT 50 KT.......100NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......200NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 100SE 100SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 140.5W AT 29/1500Z AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 140.0W FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 21.6N 141.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT...200NE 0SE 0SW 0NW FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 22.8N 143.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 24.0N 143.9W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N 140.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 25.0N 144.3W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z...DISSIPATED THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU AT 29/2100Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 30 09:28:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31746-27951>; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 00:52:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA23750; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 11:46:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6136398 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 11:46:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA22430 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 11:46:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id LAA02379 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 11:45:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708291645.LAA02379@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 11:45:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e75c8ad9d0ede962bc26fd1e9ec34120 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 919 Status: OR 424 ABPZ20 KNHC 291644 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI AUG 29 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED ITS LAST ADVISORY ON TROPICAL STORM LOCATED ABOUT 925 MILES EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT HONOLULY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 30 09:37:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31757-2097>; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 06:56:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA27048; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 17:54:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6139783 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 17:54:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA30358 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 17:54:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA03665 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 17:52:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708292252.RAA03665@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 17:52:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 73d309628a2b6078f6ceb80a485762e2 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 689 Status: OR 935 ABPZ20 KNHC 292252 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI AUG 29 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 1 07:14:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625884-3322>; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 17:38:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA34302; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 04:36:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6143776 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 04:36:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA29420 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 04:36:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA04516 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 04:34:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708300934.EAA04516@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 30 Aug 1997 04:34:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 03c63c5f71fe7a80901ed0e582c644f9 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 683 Status: OR 946 ABPZ20 KNHC 300934 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT AUG 30 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 1 07:14:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625930-3324>; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 00:33:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA32310; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 11:30:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6146054 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 11:30:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA15906 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 11:30:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id LAA04839 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 11:28:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708301628.LAA04839@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 30 Aug 1997 11:28:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8d090f5fcb3d42cc1429147d4f7567c3 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 831 Status: OR 410 ABPZ20 KNHC 301628 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT AUG 30 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A SMALL LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED JUST WEST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA. CONDITIONS DO NOT APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 1 07:14:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625922-6934>; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 06:40:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA32568; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 17:38:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6147887 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 17:38:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA22052 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 17:38:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA05330 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 17:38:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708302238.RAA05330@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 30 Aug 1997 17:38:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 168ca79cca82e3739f292534b70c8e32 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 998 Status: OR 901 ABPZ20 KNHC 302234 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT AUG 30 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A SMALL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED ABOUT 150 MILES WEST OF CABO SAN LAZARO...BAJA CALIFORNIA. WHILE THIS SYSTEM IS GENERATING ONLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS AND WATER TEMPERATURES ARE ONLY MARGINAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION...WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH HAVE BEEN OBSERVED JUST WEST OF THE CENTER. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 1 07:14:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625996-6934>; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 11:25:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA34770; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 22:22:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6149081 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 22:22:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA16064 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 22:22:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA05898 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 22:22:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708310322.WAA05898@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 30 Aug 1997 22:22:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7b437c253c5d7be11574d28691e4858d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 883 Status: OR 132 ABPZ20 KNHC 310320 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT AUG 30 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A SMALL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE PRODUCING LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS IS NEARLY STATIONARY ABOUT 150 MILES WEST OF CABO SAN LAZARO...BAJA CALIFORNIA. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT LIKELY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 1 07:14:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626056-272>; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 18:56:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA17080; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 05:52:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6150783 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 05:52:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA34726 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 05:52:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA06511 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 05:52:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708311052.FAA06511@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 31 Aug 1997 05:52:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1d6cf18f36f6df39f8fbc42bb2fb1434 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 881 Status: OR 741 ABPZ20 KNHC 311051 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN AUG 31 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A SMALL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE PRODUCING LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS IS NEARLY STATIONARY ABOUT 200 MILES WEST OF CABO SAN LAZARO...BAJA CALIFORNIA. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT LIKELY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 24 18:17:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626437-12199>; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 15:52:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA32764; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 02:51:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6741955 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 02:51:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAB36842 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 02:51:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA08504 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 02:51:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710240751.CAA08504@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Oct 1997 02:51:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5fccdccca224bc2dfcc34906036c46fc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 683 ABPA20 PHNL 240800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST THU OCT 23 1997 TWO AREAS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ONE CENTERED NEAR 07N 151W AND THE OTHER NEAR 07N 167W...SHOW WEAK CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. THESE AREAS ARE MOVING SLOWLY WEST AT THIS TIME. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THEM FOR DEVELOPMENT. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 25 02:24:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626991-12199>; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 21:43:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA47242; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 08:42:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6743817 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 08:41:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA29294 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 08:41:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA08879 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 08:41:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710241341.IAA08879@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Oct 1997 08:41:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4d95964187f9570e0089e038b52a2fde Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 003 ABPA20 PHNL 241400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 AM HST FRI OCT 24 1997 TWO AREAS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ONE CENTERED NEAR 07N 151W AND THE OTHER NEAR 07N 167W...CONTINUE TO SHOW WEAK CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. THESE AREAS HAVE ONCE AGAIN BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THEM FOR DEVELOPMENT. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 26 04:40:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626914-12198>; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 04:00:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA21366; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 14:57:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6747783 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 14:56:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA48182 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 14:56:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA09792 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 14:56:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710241956.OAA09792@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Oct 1997 14:56:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6716989f907451e31bde4b730ff43adc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 210 ABPA20 PHNL 242000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST FRI OCT 24 1997 TWO AREAS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ONE CENTERED NEAR 07N 151W AND THE OTHER NEAR 07N 167W...CONTINUE TO SHOW LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC ROTATION. THESE AREAS ARE NEARLY STATIONARY. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THEM FOR DEVELOPMENT. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 26 04:40:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626092-10851>; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 10:00:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA26938; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 20:56:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6750603 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 20:55:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA28966 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 20:55:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA10275 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 20:55:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710250155.UAA10275@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Oct 1997 20:55:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e19185a92f0ceb1f3238b6d8bf6bafe4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 454 ABPA20 PHNL 250200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 PM HST FRI OCT 24 1997 TWO AREAS OF ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ONE CENTERED NEAR 07N 148W AND THE OTHER NEAR 06N 166W...CONTINUE TO SHOW LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC ROTATION. THESE AREAS ARE NEARLY STATIONARY. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THEM FOR DEVELOPMENT. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 26 04:40:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627800-276>; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 17:21:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA49132; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 02:52:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6753041 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 02:52:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA21722 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 02:52:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA10557 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 02:52:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710250752.CAA10557@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Oct 1997 02:52:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0bf5a86ee92ea5fb672aa0fce8ccda6d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 174 ABPA20 PHNL 250800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST FRI OCT 24 1997 TWO AREAS OF ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ONE CENTERED NEAR 07N 148W AND THE OTHER NEAR 06N 166W...CONTINUE TO SHOW LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC ROTATION. THESE AREAS ARE NEARLY STATIONARY. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THEM FOR DEVELOPMENT. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 26 04:40:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627237-278>; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 21:58:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA30920; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 08:55:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6754274 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 08:55:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA49070 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 08:55:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA10966 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 08:55:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710251355.IAA10966@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Oct 1997 08:55:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8530c20a7b39d730b601993dc2712db0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 237 ABPA20 PHNL 251400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 AM HST SAT OCT 25 1997 TWO AREAS OF ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ONE CENTERED NEAR 07N 148W AND THE OTHER NEAR 06N 167W...CONTINUE TO SHOW WEAK LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC ROTATION. THESE AREAS REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THEM FOR DEVELOPMENT. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 26 04:40:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627392-276>; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 04:01:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA37262; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 14:58:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6757915 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 14:58:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA22652 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 14:58:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA11574 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 14:58:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710251958.OAA11574@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Oct 1997 14:58:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d26a0cae6e41a3e6fac583e28b392498 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 993 ABPA20 PHNL 252000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST SATURDAY OCTOBER 25 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A STATIONARY CIRCULATION NEAR 06N140W HAS TWO OTHER VORTICES ROTATING AROUND IT. A WEAK BUT DISTINCT VORTEX AT 10N159W IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD BUT HAS NO DEEP CONVECTIVE CLOUDS NEAR ITS CENTER. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 27 08:04:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626063-26778>; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 10:03:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA13550; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 21:01:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6760701 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 21:01:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA14556 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 21:01:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA12983 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 21:01:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710260201.VAA12983@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Oct 1997 21:01:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7745d27b09777333ab0dbb8663959a9b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 943 ABPA20 PHNL 260200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 PM HST SATURDAY OCTOBER 25 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 08N148W IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD. A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS WELL SEPARATED FROM COLD CONVECTIVE CLOUDS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 27 08:04:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626442-26778>; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 16:05:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA26990; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 01:52:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6762993 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 02:52:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA48988 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 01:52:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA13814 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 01:52:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710260752.BAA13814@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Oct 1997 01:52:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f6edd7db4694ffe762775a799f97e60d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 248 ABPA20 PHNL 260800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST SATURDAY OCTOBER 25 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ISOLATED BUT PERSISTENT SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MARKS A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 08N148W...ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO. IT IS ALMOST STATIONARY BUT WILL BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 27 08:04:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627465-26776>; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 21:58:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA29086; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 07:54:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6764727 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 08:54:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA32568 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 07:53:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA14319 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 07:53:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710261353.HAA14319@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Oct 1997 07:53:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 58d843d9f36d55ad838174c95377c1a3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 330 ABPA20 PHNL 261400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 AM HST SUNDAY OCTOBER 26 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ISOLATED BUT PERSISTENT SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MARKS A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 08N148W...ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO. IT IS ALMOST STATIONARY BUT WILL BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST ALONG A SURFACE TROUGH STRETCHING FROM 10N167W TO 02N158W...ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTHWEST THROUGH SOUTH OF THE STATE. NO WELL-DEVELOPED CIRCULATIONS ARE SEEN ALONG THIS TROUGH. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 27 08:04:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626878-26773>; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 03:59:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA49056; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 13:57:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6767318 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 14:56:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA13680 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 13:56:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA15002 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 13:56:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710261956.NAA15002@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Oct 1997 13:56:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 141d547c133e42a9d10daeda5b1dac5b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 826 ABPA20 PHNL 262000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST SUN OCT 26 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 27 10:13:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627064-14310>; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 10:00:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA38956; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 19:58:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6770560 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 20:57:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA47892 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 19:57:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA15812 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 19:56:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710270156.TAA15812@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Oct 1997 19:56:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c2d33a3aa95d945204fb66af2fa97516 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 988 ABPA20 PHNL 270200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 PM HST SUN OCT 26 1997 TROPICAL DISTURBANCES...ONE ABOUT 1075 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU AND THE OTHER ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO...ARE DRIFTING WEST SLOWLY. BOTH ARE BEING MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. OTHERWISE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 27 15:58:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627625-3684>; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 15:58:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA14404; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 01:56:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6774094 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 02:56:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA29220 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 01:56:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA16237 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 01:56:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710270756.BAA16237@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Oct 1997 01:56:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4ac266942e32dd0e82e13faf0fe1db17 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 613 ABPA20 PHNL 270800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST SUN OCT 26 1997 TWO TROPICAL DISTURBANCES...ONE NEAR 06N 161W AND THE OTHER NEAR 11N 149W...ARE ALMOST STATIONARY. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THEM FOR ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 28 08:05:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627726-3684>; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 22:02:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA35172; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 07:57:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6776270 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 08:57:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA30932 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 07:56:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA16653 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 07:56:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710271356.HAA16653@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Oct 1997 07:56:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 53174f519373a1988a2906365f0a4e03 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 860 ABPA20 PHNL 271400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 AM HST MON OCT 27 1997 TWO TROPICAL DISTURBANCES...ONE NEAR 08N 159W AND THE OTHER NEAR 12N 149W...ARE MOVING NORTH SLOWLY. CONVECTION HAS INTENSIFIED IN BOTH SYSTEMS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THEM FOR ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. OTHERWISE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 28 08:06:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627774-3684>; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 05:34:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA30926; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 15:27:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6782117 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 16:27:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA19636 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 15:27:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA17593 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 15:27:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710272127.PAA17593@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Oct 1997 15:27:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c11d09fc2e35a4b55e1e02eff1dcb9da Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 353 ABPA20 PHNL 272125 RTD TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST MON OCT 27 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 09.5N160.5W IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ANOTHER DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N149W IS MOVING NORTHWEST SLOWLY. BOTH SYSTEMS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. OTHERWISE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 28 15:32:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626244-3246>; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 10:00:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA40106; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 19:57:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6784915 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 20:57:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA28312 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 19:57:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA18589 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 19:56:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710280156.TAA18589@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Oct 1997 19:56:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 379249e645639c1a840fa4215ebb1ea6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 019 ABPA20 PHNL 280200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 PM HST MON OCT 27 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 09.5N160.5W IS NEARLY STATIONARY. A LARGE AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS IS JUST EAST OF THE DISTURBANCE BUT THE SYSTEM IS NOT VERY ORGANIZED. THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N 149W HAS DISSIPATED. OTHERWISE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 28 18:06:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627932-3247>; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 16:56:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA10524; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 02:53:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6788615 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 03:53:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA46596 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 02:53:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA19197 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 02:53:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710280853.CAA19197@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Oct 1997 02:53:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 943d4bb74b105b7d156f52cb0c34948f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 614 ABPA20 PHNL 280800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST MON OCT 27 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 09N158W IS NEARLY STATIONARY. THERE IS ACTIVE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM AT THIS TIME...BUT IT REMAINS UNORGANIZED. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE DISTURBANCE FOR ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. OTHERWISE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 29 08:06:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627920-26846>; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 22:21:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA40414; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 08:16:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6790318 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 09:16:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA36556 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 08:16:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA19590 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 08:16:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710281416.IAA19590@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Oct 1997 08:16:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a7a03d81cd60b58ef5d8d2c2a8b07136 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 386 ABPA20 PHNL 281400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 AM HST TUE OCT 28 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 10N158W IS MOVING NORTH SLOWLY. THE CONVECTION WITH THE SYSTEM HAS DECREASED IN INTENSITY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE DISTURBANCE REMAINS UNORGANIZED. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE SYSTEM FOR ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. OTHERWISE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 29 08:06:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627961-26845>; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 04:21:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA16930; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 14:12:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6793645 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 15:12:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA14578 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 14:12:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA20409 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 14:12:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710282012.OAA20409@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Oct 1997 14:12:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 149d3df81ca7cc057d9a3bd7e3dc70a0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 853 ABPA20 PHNL 282000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST TUE OCT 28 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF HILO...NEAR 10N158W...HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. THE DISTURBANCE HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. OTHERWISE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 29 10:41:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626688-24321>; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 10:29:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA46596; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 20:15:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6798971 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 21:15:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA25056 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 20:15:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA21448 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 20:15:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710290215.UAA21448@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Oct 1997 20:15:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c503d47ae3a4f209cbf3b20d239e3db4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 284 ABPA20 PHNL 290200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 PM HST TUE OCT 28 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF HILO...NEAR 10N 158W...HAS MOVED LITTLE SINCE THIS MORNING. SOME OF ITS THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DISSIPATED. THE DISTURBANCE STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. OTHERWISE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 29 17:32:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626423-24314>; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 16:36:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA47134; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 02:29:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6802670 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 03:29:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA25612 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 02:29:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA22058 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 02:29:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710290829.CAA22058@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Oct 1997 02:29:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 238c40b8795a2897025e2907a26f9d44 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 289 ABPA20 PHNL 290829 RTD TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST TUE OCT 28 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HILO... NEAR 09N 158W...IS NEARLY STATIONARY AND HAS WEAKENED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. OTHERWISE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 30 10:45:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627867-24319>; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 01:33:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA36706; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 11:29:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6807423 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 12:29:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA18232 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 11:29:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA22939 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 11:29:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710291729.LAA22939@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Oct 1997 11:29:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fe69d1e4fac1a7ae02606a07cb5d22b2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 742 ABPA20 PHNL 291730 RTD TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0730 AM HST TUE OCT 29 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HILO IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST NORTHWEST. THE DISURBANCE HAS NOT INTENSIFIED SINCE YESTERDAY BUT STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. OTHERWISE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 30 10:45:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627891-24321>; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 04:16:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA46904; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 14:11:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6809727 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 15:10:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA49682 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 14:10:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA23382 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 14:10:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710292010.OAA23382@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Oct 1997 14:10:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7fc193404f6b28acefb35d209c4ff21d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 798 ABPA20 PHNL 292000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST WED OCT 29 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 780 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU NEAR 11N 163W IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST NORTHWEST. THE DISTURBANCE HAS STRENGTHENED SINCE YESTERDAY AND MAY BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY. OTHERWISE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 30 10:45:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626573-14862>; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 10:34:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA50388; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 20:18:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6814261 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 21:18:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA28308 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 20:18:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA24158 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 20:18:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710300218.UAA24158@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Oct 1997 20:18:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c46c225a7031f0e7da41482f6850f483 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 212 ABPA20 PHNL 300200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 PM HST WED OCT 29 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 820 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU NEAR 11N 164W IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST AT 10 MILES AN HOUR. THE DISTURBANCE HAS WEAKENED SINCE THIS MORNING BUT STILL HAS SOME POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. OTHERWISE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 30 17:54:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626923-14863>; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 16:01:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA48738; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 01:54:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6816429 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 02:54:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA27470 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 01:54:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA24460 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 01:54:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710300754.BAA24460@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Oct 1997 01:54:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: eaf03a8cfc61751c005dc97b78aff3c5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 362 ABPA20 PHNL 300800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST WED OCT 29 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 820 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU NEAR 11N164W IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR MILES AN HOUR. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE MONITORED FOR FURTHER POSSIBLE DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 30 17:54:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626912-14863>; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 16:01:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA13690; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 01:59:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6816458 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 02:59:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA42812 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 01:58:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA24464 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 01:58:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710300758.BAA24464@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Oct 1997 01:58:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4c599b5765dc3e4e60107f87a857ac38 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 420 ABPA20 PHNL 300800 COR TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST WED OCT 29 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 820 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU NEAR 11N164W IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MILES AN HOUR. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE MONITORED FOR FURTHER POSSIBLE DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 31 10:53:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626765-14862>; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 22:00:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA40080; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 07:51:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6818861 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 08:51:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA14448 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 07:51:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA24823 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 07:51:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710301351.HAA24823@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Oct 1997 07:51:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fba7f4af83ae69aeb5062ebc80156fd6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 431 ABPA20 PHNL 301400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 AM HST THU OCT 30 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 820 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU NEAR 11.9N165.5W IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MILES AN HOUR. THE SYSTEM CURRENTLY REMAINS DISORGANIZED BUT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO STRENGTHEN SOMEWHAT. OTHERWISE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 31 10:53:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627996-14863>; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 04:00:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA42668; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 13:53:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6822315 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 13:53:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA21350 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 13:53:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA25618 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 13:53:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710301953.NAA25618@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Oct 1997 13:53:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bee0c0f75d15c976d7a38872f003a3b2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 299 ABPA20 PHNL 302000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST THU OCT 30 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU NEAR 12.1N166.5W IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MILES AN HOUR. THE SYSTEM REMAINS DISORGANIZED BUT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO STRENGTHEN SOMEWHAT. OTHERWISE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 31 10:53:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626802-3675>; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 09:56:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA37154; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 19:54:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6825528 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 19:54:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA20240 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 19:54:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA29693 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 19:54:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710310154.TAA29693@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Oct 1997 19:54:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1d965835e38b8f807cb6665850ca8274 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 693 ABPA20 PHNL 310200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 PM HST THU OCT 30 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 860 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU NEAR 12.0N 166.7W IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MILES AN HOUR. THE SYSTEM SHOWS SOME SIGNS OF STRENGTHENING AS THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BEGUN TO INCREASE AND BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. SATELLITE ANALYSIS SHOWS SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KNOTS OR 34 MILES AN HOUR. WE WILL WATCH THIS SYSTEM FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. OTHERWISE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 31 19:29:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627060-3672>; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 16:46:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA30660; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 02:44:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6828309 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 02:44:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA10162 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 02:44:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA02309 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 02:44:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710310844.CAA02309@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 02:44:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Four-c Advisory Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b3938383281ddf4be1e320ddb3b713f6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 365 WTPA34 PHNL 310900 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST THU OCT 30 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C FORMS IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC... AT 11 PM HST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 168.3 WEST OR ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND AND 870 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING AWAY FROM THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.88 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM HST POSITION...12.5 N...168.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM HST...FRIDAY. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 31 19:29:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626977-3672>; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 16:47:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA09996; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 02:45:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6828314 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 02:44:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA30678 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 02:44:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA02313 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 02:44:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710310844.CAA02313@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 02:44:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 825d985118b2cf3402657991f2ee1e71 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 369 ABPA20 PHNL 310845 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1045 PM HST THU OCT 30 1997 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HAS STARTED ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C. AT 11 PM THE DEPRESSION WAS CENTERED ABOUT 870 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI NEAR 12.5N 168.3W. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 12 MILES AN HOUR...AWAY FROM THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. SEE THE LATEST BULLETINS FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER FOR DETAILS. OTHERWISE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 31 19:29:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627046-3672>; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 16:48:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA28228; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 02:45:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6828319 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 02:45:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA30514 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 02:45:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA02317 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 02:45:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710310845.CAA02317@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 02:45:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Four-c Forecast/advisory Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4068a3f715cc4d9ab232f9ee8c8ad92c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 380 WTPA24 PHNL 310900 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0497 0900Z FRI OCT 31 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C FORMS IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 168.3W AT 31/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 168.3W AT 31/0900Z AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 167.8W FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 12.9N 169.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 40 KT 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 13.5N 172.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 14.0N 174.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 168.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 14.6N 176.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 15.4N 179.6E MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 31 19:29:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627011-3675>; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 16:47:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA30570; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 02:45:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6828324 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 02:45:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA28242 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 02:45:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA02321 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 02:45:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710310845.CAA02321@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 02:45:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Four-c Discussion Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0ae6f9c15dae4f749fb32d54e9ea9768 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 381 WTPA44 PHNL 310900 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST THU OCT 30 1997 THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE THAT ORIGINATED NEAR 10N 158W TWO DAYS AGO HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND ADVISORIES ARE NOW BEING ISSUED ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C...THE EIGHTH TROPICAL CYCLONE OF THE SEASON. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN INCREASE IN CONVECTION. SINCE THE LOW LEVEL CENTER CAN NOT BE SEEN ON INFRARED DATA...ITS POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATION AND EXTRAPOLATION OF CURVED BANDS. INITIAL MOTION IS 285/11. ALL MODELS ARE CONSISTENT ON THE TRACK AND THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN SOUTH OF JOHNSTON ISLAND. HABLUTZEL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 31/0900Z 12.5N 168.3W 30 KTS 12HR VT 31/1800Z 12.9N 169.9W 35 KTS 24HR VT 01/0600Z 13.5N 172.1W 40 KTS 36HR VT 01/1800Z 14.0N 174.3W 45 KTS 48HR VT 02/0600Z 14.6N 176.5W 50 KTS 72HR VT 03/0600Z 15.4N 179.6E 60 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 31 23:42:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627124-3675>; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 22:08:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA13788; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 08:05:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6829719 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 08:05:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA44052 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 08:02:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA02684 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 08:02:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710311402.IAA02684@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 08:02:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4abfb3727be2f1aa296de05535931e63 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 039 ABPA20 PHNL 311400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 AM HST FRI OCT 31 1997 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C...ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI. SEE THE LATEST ADVISORIES FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER FOR DETAILS. OTHERWISE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 31 23:42:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627203-3674>; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 23:24:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA52770; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 09:20:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6830619 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 09:20:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA27636 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 09:20:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA02762 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 09:20:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710311520.JAA02762@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 09:20:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Test Forecast/advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ec55ca26ce0a3253c6534ce5816bc21b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 513 WTPA24 PHNL 311500 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEST FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0497 1500Z FRI OCT 31 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C FORMS IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 169.4W AT 31/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 169.4W AT 31/1500Z AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 168.9W FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 12.7N 171.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 40 KT 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 13.3N 173.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 13.7N 175.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 169.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 14.0N 177.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 14.6N 178.3E MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z JENDROWSKI NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 31 23:42:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627208-3668>; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 23:24:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA31300; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 09:21:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6830624 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 09:21:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA43560 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 09:20:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA02766 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 09:20:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710311520.JAA02766@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 09:20:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Test Discussion Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 55135e2ac5684bfa9fd15add246cae8e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 541 WTPA44 PHNL 311500 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEST DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST FRI OCT 31 1997 TROPICAL DISTURBANCE FOUR-C HAS SHOWN SOME DECREASE IN CONVECTION OVER THE PAST HOUR. THE LOW LEVEL CENTER CAN NOT BE SEEN ON INFRARED DATA...ITS POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATION AND EXTRAPOLATION OF CURVED BANDS. MOTION IS 280/10. ALL MODELS ARE CONSISTENT ON THE TRACK AND THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN SOUTH OF JOHNSTON ISLAND. JENDROWSKI FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 31/1500Z 12.5N 169.4W 30 KTS 12HR VT 01/0000Z 12.7N 171.0W 35 KTS 24HR VT 01/1200Z 13.3N 173.2W 40 KTS 36HR VT 02/0000Z 13.7N 175.6W 45 KTS 48HR VT 02/1200Z 14.0N 177.7W 50 KTS 72HR VT 03/1200Z 14.6N 178.3E 60 KTS NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 31 23:42:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627191-3675>; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 23:37:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA40446; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 09:31:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6830738 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 09:30:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA51000 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 09:28:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA02811 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 09:28:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710311528.JAA02811@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 09:28:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Four-c Advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 866fc5f78faad295ad1e3b149b7539bf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 714 WTPA34 PHNL 315100 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST FRI OCT 31 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C CONTINUES IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC... AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 169.4 WEST OR ABOUT ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND AND 870 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH ...19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.88 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION...12.5 N...169.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM HST. JENDROWSKI +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 31 23:42:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627230-3672>; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 23:35:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA29236; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 09:31:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6830746 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 09:31:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA30492 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 09:31:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA02840 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 09:31:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710311531.JAA02840@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 09:31:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Four-c Forecast/advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bdebda1528f3566cdccbcadb204366f3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 770 WTPA24 PHNL 311525 COR TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0497 1525Z FRI OCT 31 1997 ...CORRECTED DEPRESSION NAME IN HEADER... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C CONTINUES IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 169.4W AT 31/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 169.4W AT 31/1500Z AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 168.9W FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 12.7N 171.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 40 KT 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 13.3N 173.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 13.7N 175.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 169.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 14.0N 177.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 14.6N 178.3E MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z JENDROWSKI NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 31 23:42:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627224-3672>; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 23:39:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA30818; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 09:33:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6830773 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 09:33:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA21700 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 09:32:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA02854 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 09:32:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710311532.JAA02854@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 09:32:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Four-c Discussion Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3c7c7c39fbcb22360039ffb1d3a0777a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 793 WTPA44 PHNL 311530 COR TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 530 AM HST FRI OCT 31 1997 ...CORRECTED DEPRESSION NAME IN HEADER... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE FOUR-C HAS SHOWN SOME DECREASE IN CONVECTION OVER THE PAST HOUR. THE LOW LEVEL CENTER CAN NOT BE SEEN ON INFRARED DATA...ITS POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATION AND EXTRAPOLATION OF CURVED BANDS. MOTION IS 280/10. ALL MODELS ARE CONSISTENT ON THE TRACK AND THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN SOUTH OF JOHNSTON ISLAND. JENDROWSKI FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 31/1500Z 12.5N 169.4W 30 KTS 12HR VT 01/0000Z 12.7N 171.0W 35 KTS 24HR VT 01/1200Z 13.3N 173.2W 40 KTS 36HR VT 02/0000Z 13.7N 175.6W 45 KTS 48HR VT 02/1200Z 14.0N 177.7W 50 KTS 72HR VT 03/1200Z 14.6N 178.3E 60 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 31 23:42:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627447-3672>; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 23:41:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA48686; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 09:39:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6830850 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 09:39:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA44304 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 09:39:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA02872 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 09:39:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710311539.JAA02872@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 09:39:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Four-c Advisory Number 2...corrected... To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e766734bcb8771753ca50f22c094384e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 953 WTPA34 PHNL 311535 COR BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C ADVISORY NUMBER 2...CORRECTED... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 535 AM HST FRI OCT 31 1997 ...CORRECTED MAXIMUM WINDS TO 35 MPH... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C CONTINUES IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC... AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 169.4 WEST OR ABOUT ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND AND 870 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH ...19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.88 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION...12.5 N...169.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM HST. JENDROWSKI +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 1 11:26:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627916-3672>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 03:56:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA30946; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 13:50:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6833519 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 13:50:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA10438 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 13:50:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA05318 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 13:50:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710311950.NAA05318@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 13:50:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 05f1f39036457fa11ee2ffae76f7daaf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 919 ABPA20 PHNL 312000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST FRI OCT 31 1997 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C...ABOUT 1050 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU. SEE THE LATEST ADVISORIES FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER FOR DETAILS. OTHERWISE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 1 11:26:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627991-3668>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 04:46:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA23198; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 14:38:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6833975 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 14:37:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA28794 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 14:37:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA05375 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 14:37:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710312037.OAA05375@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 14:37:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Four-c Discussion Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d374f9720056bd8900d8960bf5726042 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 669 WTPA44 PHNL 312100 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST FRI OCT 31 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C APPEARS TO BE SHEARING AND WEAKENING... LATEST VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C HAS ACTUALLY MOVED OUT FROM BENEATH THE CONVECTIVE CIRRUS SHIELD THIS MORNING AND THE CENTER HAS THUS BEEN RELOCATED FARTHER SOUTH THAN PREVIOUS THINKING. WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION NO LONGER ASSOCIATED WITH THE HIGHER LEVEL OUTFLOW SHIELD...THE SYSTEM IS APPARANTLY WEAKER THAN SIX HOURS AGO...WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 KT AND GUSTS TO 30 KT AT PRESENT. THE PROGNOSIS IS FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR- C TO CONTINUE TO MOVE IN A GENERALLY WESTERLY DIRECTION AND DISSIPATE IN 24 HOURS. THIS TRACK IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE SHALLOW AND MEDIUM MODELS. THE AVIATION MODEL TRACKS THE SYSTEM ON A CURVING NORTHWARD TRACK...BUT WITH THE DEEP CONVECTION NOW OFF-CENTERED FROM THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER...THIS APPEARS QUITE UNLIKELY. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 31/2100Z 11.4N 171.5W 25 KTS 12HR VT 01/0600Z 11.8N 174.2W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 01/1800Z 12.1N 177.4W 25 KTS...DISSIPATED NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 1 11:26:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627983-3675>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 04:44:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA27626; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 14:38:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6833982 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 14:38:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA14766 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 14:38:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA05379 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 14:38:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710312038.OAA05379@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 14:38:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Test Forecast/advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 93c298dee142bc4eeee667b246515f09 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 670 WTPA24 PHNL 312100 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEST FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0497 2100Z FRI OCT 31 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C APPEARS TO BE SHEARING AND WEAKENING... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 171.5W AT 31/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1013 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 171.5W AT 31/2100Z AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 170.6W FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 11.8N 174.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 12.1N 177.4W...DISSIPATED MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 50 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.4N 171.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 1 11:26:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628001-3675>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 04:42:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA34844; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 14:38:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6833990 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 14:38:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA31498 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 14:38:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA05383 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 14:38:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710312038.OAA05383@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 14:38:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Four-c Advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3a790419e62d59eccc58c5cefa90df62 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 671 WTPA34 PHNL 312100 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST FRI OCT 31 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C APPEARS TO BE SHEARING AND WEAKENING... AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 171.5 WEST OR ABOUT 945 MILES...1730 KM...SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE KAUAI. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 21 MPH ...33 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1013 MB...29.91 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...11.4 N...171.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1013 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM HST. FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 1 11:26:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628001-3668>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 05:11:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA32192; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 15:06:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6834374 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 15:06:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA04468 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 15:06:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA05421 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 15:06:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710312106.PAA05421@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 15:06:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Four-c Forecast/advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0929ee6f43c0966f07ae52655c3ff210 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 966 WTPA24 PHNL 312100 COR TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0497 2100Z FRI OCT 31 1997 ...CORRECTED TO REMOVE TEST FROM HEADER... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C APPEARS TO BE SHEARING AND WEAKENING... LATEST VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C HAS ACTUALLY MOVED OUT FROM BENEATH THE CONVECTIVE CIRRUS SHIELD THIS MORNING AND THE CENTER HAS THUS BEEN RELOCATED FARTHER SOUTH THAN PREVIOUS THINKING. WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION NO LONGER ASSOCIATED WITH THE HIGHER LEVEL OUTFLOW SHIELD...THE SYSTEM IS APPARANTLY WEAKER THAN SIX HOURS AGO...WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 KT AND GUSTS TO 30 KT AT PRESENT. THE PROGNOSIS IS FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR- C TO CONTINUE TO MOVE IN A GENERALLY WESTERLY DIRECTION AND DISSIPATE IN 24 HOURS. THIS TRACK IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE SHALLOW AND MEDIUM MODELS. THE AVIATION MODEL TRACKS THE SYSTEM ON A CURVING NORTHWARD TRACK...BUT WITH THE DEEP CONVECTION NOW OFF-CENTERED FROM THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER...THIS APPEARS QUITE UNLIKELY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 171.5W AT 31/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1013 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 171.5W AT 31/2100Z AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 170.6W FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 11.8N 174.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 12.1N 177.4W...DISSIPATED MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 50 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.4N 171.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 1 11:26:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627991-3675>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 05:23:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA16518; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 15:20:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6834529 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 15:20:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA45426 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 15:20:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA05438 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 15:20:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710312120.PAA05438@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 15:20:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Four-c Forecast/advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1e30b24ab2cc8005c94ff67a3e2fdff6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 367 WTPA24 PHNL 312100 COR 2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0497 2100Z FRI OCT 31 1997 ...CORRECTED TO REMOVE DISCUSSION AND WORD TEST FROM HEADER... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C APPEARS TO BE SHEARING AND WEAKENING... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 171.5W AT 31/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1013 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 171.5W AT 31/2100Z AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 170.6W FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 11.8N 174.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 12.1N 177.4W...DISSIPATED MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 50 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.4N 171.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 1 11:26:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628006-3675>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 05:37:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA13450; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 15:31:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6834577 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 15:31:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA28704 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 15:28:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA05450 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 15:28:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710312128.PAA05450@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 15:28:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Test Forecast/advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 553d2998f830fe2e6107799d3ecb2689 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 577 WTPA24 PHNL 312130 COR TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEST FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0497 2100Z FRI OCT 31 1997 ...CORRECTED FOR GUSTS AND FOR WINDS AT 24 HOURS... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C APPEARS TO BE SHEARING AND WEAKENING... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 171.5W AT 31/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1013 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 171.5W AT 31/2100Z AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 170.6W FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 11.8N 174.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 12.1N 177.4W...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.4N 171.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 1 11:26:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628024-3674>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 05:35:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA23814; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 15:32:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6834610 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 15:32:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA13550 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 15:30:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA05457 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 15:30:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710312130.PAA05457@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 15:30:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Four-c Forecast/advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a37a5a1c8fcb47ccc0922c3e1c75ffc0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 597 WTPA24 PHNL 312130 COR 2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0497 2100Z FRI OCT 31 1997 ...CORRECTED FOR TEST IN HEADER... ...CORRECTED FOR GUSTS AND FOR WINDS AT 24 HOURS... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C APPEARS TO BE SHEARING AND WEAKENING... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 171.5W AT 31/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1013 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 171.5W AT 31/2100Z AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 170.6W FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 11.8N 174.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 12.1N 177.4W...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.4N 171.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 1 11:26:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625957-22680>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 09:51:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA12374; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 19:49:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6837088 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 19:49:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA29508 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 19:49:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA05783 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 19:49:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711010149.TAA05783@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 19:49:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e3fd26cc59cddaa3f8a1f8753c7ec00f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 317 ABPA20 PHNL 010200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 PM HST FRI OCT 31 1997 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C...ABOUT 1250 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU. SEE THE LATEST ADVISORIES FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER FOR DETAILS. OTHERWISE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 1 11:26:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626318-22672>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 10:24:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA17174; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 20:21:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6837227 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 20:21:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA40452 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 20:21:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA05811 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 20:21:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711010221.UAA05811@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 20:21:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Four-c Forecast/advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f4c62aa7d02da92be8064be191bdf9d0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 945 WTPA24 PHNL 010300 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0497 0300Z SAT NOV 01 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTHWESTWARD AND WEAKEN... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.2N 173.2W AT 01/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1013 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.2N 173.2W AT 01/0300Z AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 172.3W FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 9.7N 175.8W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 9.7N 179.0W...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.2N 173.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 1 11:26:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626061-22672>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 10:25:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA40546; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 20:23:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6837239 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 20:23:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA23888 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 20:23:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA05819 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 20:23:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711010223.UAA05819@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 20:23:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Four-c Discussion Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 717b92224641f855a54336db3d89ea2d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 957 WTPA44 PHNL 010300 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST FRI OCT 31 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTHWESTWARD AND WEAKEN... LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C CONTINUING TO MOVE SOUTHWEST...AWAY FROM THE DEEP CONVECTION...WHICH REMAINS ALMOST THE SAME INTENSITY AS SIX HOURS AGO. CONTINUED GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD...WITH DISSIPATION EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS. THE TRACK IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE SHALLOW AND MEDIUM MODELS. THE AVIATION MODEL TRACKS THE SYSTEM ON A CURVING NORTHWARD TRACK...BUT WITH THE DEEP CONVECTION NOW SOME DISTANCE FROM THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER...THIS APPEARS QUITE UNLIKELY. FARRELL. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 01/0300Z 10.2N 173.2W 25 KTS 12HR VT 01/1200Z 9.7N 175.8W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 02/0000Z 9.7N 179.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 1 11:26:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626110-22680>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 10:29:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA23908; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 20:28:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6837251 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 20:28:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA29522 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 20:28:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA05824 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 20:28:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711010228.UAA05824@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 20:28:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Four-c Advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 93e40bc2f7473d1cabc53ef735e63dc7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 032 WTPA34 PHNL 010300 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST FRI OCT 31 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTHWESTWARD AND WEAKEN... AT 5 PM HST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 173.2 WEST OR ABOUT 1215 STATUTE MILES...1955 KM...SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE KAUAI. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 21 MPH ...33 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A GRADUAL TURN MORE WESTERLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DISSIPATION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1013 MB...29.91 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM HST POSITION...10.2 N...173.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1013 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM HST. FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:23:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626411-22683>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 16:35:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA25658; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 02:33:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6839368 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 02:33:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA14368 for ; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 02:33:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA06397 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 02:33:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711010833.CAA06397@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 02:33:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Four-c Discussion Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 73cee8020b4a9b7e366623e80d267392 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 964 WTPA44 PHNL 010900 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST FRI OCT 31 1997 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN. ALTHOUGH THERE IS A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION...THE DEPRESSION IS VOID OF DEEP CONVECTION AND CAN NO LONGER BE CLASSIFIED. IN ADDITION...ANIMATION NO LONGER SHOWS WESTERLY CLOUD MOTION ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE CENTER. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISORY UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. INITIAL MOTION IS 250/19. THE TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE LOW LEVEL BETA ADVECTION MODEL. HABLUTZEL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 01/0900Z 9.5N 175.1W 20 KTS 12HR VT 01/1800Z 8.5N 177.9W DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:23:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626446-22680>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 16:36:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA14536; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 02:35:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6839423 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 02:34:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA28566 for ; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 02:34:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA06401 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 02:34:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711010834.CAA06401@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 02:34:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c5ccb9ba4a0fdae00cdd3b1cfac8395d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 983 ABPA20 PHNL 010800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST FRIDAY OCTOBER 31 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C IS DISSIPATING ABOUT 1340 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI NEAR 10N 175W. THE REMNANT OF THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST SOUTHWEST AT 22 MILES AN HOUR. THE FINAL ADVISORY FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER WILL BE ISSUED AT 11 PM. A NEW AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS HAS FORMED CENTERED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. THIS DISTURBANCE IS POORLY ORGANIZED. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:23:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626532-22680>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 16:37:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA14612; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 02:35:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6839428 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 02:35:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA12534 for ; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 02:35:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA06409 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 02:35:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711010835.CAA06409@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 02:35:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Four-c Forecast/advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 130d40d6ccd28342dd40bfab9afb0ab5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 003 WTPA24 PHNL 010900 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0497 0900Z SAT NOV 01 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C DISSIPATING... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.5N 175.1W AT 01/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT 19 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1013 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.5N 175.1W AT 01/0900Z AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.8N 174.2W FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z...DISSIPATED. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.5N 175.1W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REGENERTION OCCURS. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:23:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626408-22672>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 16:38:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA42862; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 02:36:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6839439 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 02:35:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA23888 for ; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 02:35:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA06413 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 02:35:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711010835.CAA06413@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 02:35:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Four-c Advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0b270a0eb73dfdb55533360a9b374640 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 008 WTPA34 PHNL 010900 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST FRI OCT 31 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C DISSIPATING... AT 11 PM HST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 175.1 WEST OR ABOUT 1340 MILES...2160 KM...SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI OR ABOUT 620 MILES...1000 KM...SOUTHWEST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST SOUTHWEST NEAR 22 MPH ...35 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AND THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE WITHIN 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 25 MPH... 35 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH UNTIL DISSIPATION OCCURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1013 MB...29.91 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM HST POSITION... 9.5 N...175.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST SOUTHWEST NEAR 22 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 25 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1013 MB. THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:24:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626647-22672>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 22:31:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA46926; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 08:28:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6841194 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 08:28:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA44278 for ; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 08:28:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA06875 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 08:28:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711011428.IAA06875@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 08:28:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 005f1b2050d554e5bc322d1a75359c9a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 332 ABPA20 PHNL 011400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 AM HST SATURDAY NOVEMBER 01 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C HAS DISSIPATED. SEE THE FINAL ADVISORIES FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER FOR DETAILS. AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS THAT FORMED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII YESTERDAY AFTERNOON HAS DECREASED. A NEW AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS HAS FORMED ABOUT 1200 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND. THIS DISTURBANCE IS POORLY ORGANIZED. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:24:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626521-22672>; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 04:48:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA28498; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 14:44:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6843845 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 14:44:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA13330 for ; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 14:43:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA07337 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 14:43:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711012043.OAA07337@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 14:43:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b6e23828ec2c5fa33573b0e5203291e6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 502 ABPA20 PHNL 012000 RTD TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST SATURDAY NOVEMBER 01 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:24:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626066-17595>; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 10:00:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA44234; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 19:56:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6846348 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 19:56:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA42678 for ; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 19:56:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA00990 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 19:55:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711020155.TAA00990@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 19:55:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9d6c067dd99f8926ade47d221ae4a87c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 023 ABPA20 PHNL 020200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 PM HST SATURDAY NOVEMBER 01 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:24:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626500-17591>; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 15:50:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA25752; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 01:46:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6849257 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 01:46:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA14462 for ; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 01:46:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA01404 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 01:46:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711020746.BAA01404@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 01:46:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c0aa487e834dd3b085ae93ad3bc39fa8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 785 ABPA20 PHNL 020800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST SATURDAY NOVEMBER 01 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:24:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626574-17594>; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 21:53:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA44154; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 07:50:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6851017 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 07:50:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA19556 for ; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 07:50:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA01826 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 07:50:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711021350.HAA01826@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 07:50:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a015f7d5d693095f3a1f1fa58502a680 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 305 ABPA20 PHNL 021400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 AM HST SUNDAY NOVEMBER 02 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 10:46:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626710-17594>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 04:47:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA23154; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 14:43:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6854728 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 14:43:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA25692 for ; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 14:43:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA02412 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 14:43:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711022043.OAA02412@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 14:43:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2ca644f52e385d68971edf9a1d4376ce Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 183 ABPA20 PHNL 022000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST SUNDAY NOVEMBER 2 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 17:05:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626781-6118>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 15:53:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA24998; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 01:50:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6860948 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 01:50:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA16528 for ; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 01:50:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA03280 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 01:50:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711030750.BAA03280@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Nov 1997 01:50:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c4b4f1973f0f1abd0f3e4f63e4f2920f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 561 ABPA20 PHNL 030800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST SUNDAY NOVEMBER 2 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 4 07:39:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626859-6116>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 21:52:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA44120; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 07:51:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6863115 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 07:50:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA10008 for ; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 07:50:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA03697 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 07:50:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711031350.HAA03697@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Nov 1997 07:50:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 28ef3906970411659dbe2da2c384e2c9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 837 ABPA20 PHNL 031400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 AM HST MONDAY NOVEMBER 3 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 4 07:39:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627026-6110>; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 03:09:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA43568; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 13:02:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6866639 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 13:02:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA24346 for ; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 13:02:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA04670 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 13:02:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711031902.NAA04670@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Nov 1997 13:02:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b2c99a9dfbf600fd21a6c93acdfaa68b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 249 ABPA20 PHNL 032000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST MONDAY NOVEMBER 3 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 4 15:13:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626080-29131>; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 09:34:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA43734; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 19:31:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6870842 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 19:30:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA27582 for ; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 19:30:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA05472 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 19:30:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711040130.TAA05472@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Nov 1997 19:30:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0d6320bf96517c10571607ab219c8ccf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 976 ABPA20 PHNL 040200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 PM HST MONDAY NOVEMBER 3 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 4 16:34:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626001-29131>; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 16:02:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA16590; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 02:00:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6874043 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 01:59:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA26918 for ; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 01:58:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA06481 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 01:58:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711040758.BAA06481@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Nov 1997 01:58:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 234d784fba123a1b3072cc98236d6b21 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 333 ABPA20 PHNL 040800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST MONDAY NOVEMBER 03 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 4 22:07:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626440-29124>; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 21:57:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA45448; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 07:55:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6876006 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 07:55:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA10062 for ; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 07:55:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA07571 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 07:55:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711041355.HAA07571@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Nov 1997 07:55:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f741bdc4ad096e6ccdb453997ed52945 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 871 ABPA20 PHNL 041400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 AM HST TUESDAY NOVEMBER 04 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 5 04:14:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627080-29130>; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 04:12:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA44460; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 14:03:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6880623 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 14:03:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA29336 for ; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 14:03:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA09223 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 14:03:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711042003.OAA09223@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Nov 1997 14:03:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1b5f37681b0f037df9c6407f16ba4cd8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 406 ABPA20 PHNL 042000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST TUESDAY NOVEMBER 4 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DISTURBANCES NEAR 13N160W AND NEAR 09N 137W ARE BEING MONITORED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 6 14:27:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626455-22824>; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 10:10:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA18332; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 20:03:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6884331 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 20:03:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA17500 for ; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 20:03:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA11742 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 20:03:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711050203.UAA11742@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Nov 1997 20:03:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c82a65b5f1c55f6a11ba13eadfa671f5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 029 ABPA20 PHNL 050200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 PM HST TUESDAY NOVEMBER 4 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 6 14:28:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627143-22827>; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 16:01:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA24458; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 01:56:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6887293 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 01:56:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA19574 for ; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 01:56:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA13147 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 01:56:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711050756.BAA13147@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Nov 1997 01:56:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 57fdd382ee07a107bef061f955ec0bb6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 124 ABPA20 PHNL 050800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST TUESDAY NOVEMBER 04 1997 A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE EXISTS NEAR 14N 162W...MORE THAN 550 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU. IT HAS BEEN MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM HAS SHOWN NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPING BEYOND ITS CURRENT STATE. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 6 14:28:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626378-22825>; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 21:57:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA48476; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 07:55:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6889358 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 07:55:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA35144 for ; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 07:55:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA14294 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 07:55:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711051355.HAA14294@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Nov 1997 07:55:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a8cd7f6f945fab83bcaafef3da1848d7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 824 ABPA20 PHNL 051400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 AM HST WEDNESDAY NOVEMBER 05 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 6 14:28:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627349-22825>; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 04:03:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA48848; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 13:57:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6893579 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 13:57:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA29880 for ; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 13:57:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA17615 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 13:57:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711051957.NAA17615@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Nov 1997 13:57:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6c62ebaa00a7add9f440da14be2d58cb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 146 ABPA20 PHNL 052000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST WEDNESDAY NOVEMBER 5 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 6 14:28:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626185-15116>; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 09:56:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA14172; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 19:49:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6898044 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 19:49:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA14132 for ; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 19:49:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA25058 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 19:49:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711060149.TAA25058@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Nov 1997 19:49:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f8d54ddab373e01f9a90da96a8a50a05 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 704 ABPA20 PHNL 060200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 PM HST WEDNESDAY NOVEMBER 5 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 08N 132W IS SHOWING SOME SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT BUT IS NEARLY STATIONARY SO FAR. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 6 17:32:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627420-15117>; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 16:01:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA14338; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 01:58:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6902123 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 01:56:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA43734 for ; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 01:56:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA27729 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 01:56:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711060756.BAA27729@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 01:56:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8b25bbaeb6cd656c8079e49e3e8530a0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 658 ABPA20 PHNL 060800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST WEDNESDAY NOVEMBER 05 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 7 09:22:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627431-15116>; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 22:10:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA27096; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 07:57:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6904326 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 07:56:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA40388 for ; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 07:56:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA28798 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 07:56:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711061356.HAA28798@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 07:56:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d34d87c0d6ebc5cb7ea4c800fca18a16 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 102 ABPA20 PHNL 061400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 AM HST THURSDAY NOVEMBER 06 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 7 09:22:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627479-15117>; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 04:01:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA50406; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 13:51:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6908258 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 13:51:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA50382 for ; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 13:51:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA00203 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 13:51:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711061951.NAA00203@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 13:51:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 911d123742a3d00b59816d53c601faad Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 195 ABPA20 PHNL 062000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST THURSDAY NOVEMBER 06 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 7 09:58:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626254-9194>; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 09:56:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA20128; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 19:51:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6911995 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 19:51:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA26510 for ; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 19:51:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA01509 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 19:51:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711070151.TAA01509@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 19:51:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 18a933f17950c87cea26a8de45bfa41f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 579 ABPA20 PHNL 070200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 PM HST THURSDAY NOVEMBER 06 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 7 16:05:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627610-9196>; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 15:52:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA16500; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 01:46:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6914732 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 01:46:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA13664 for ; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 01:46:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA02690 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 01:46:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711070746.BAA02690@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Nov 1997 01:46:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d2c303897e52cdbff91ca765cc2696ed Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 584 ABPA20 PHNL 070800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST THURSDAY NOVEMBER 6 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:11:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628411-9197>; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 21:56:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA27414; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 07:51:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6916108 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 07:51:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA44286 for ; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 07:51:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA03750 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 07:51:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711071351.HAA03750@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Nov 1997 07:51:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3533e7bc0df8af5a945ebe6b21d50f05 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 042 ABPA20 PHNL 071400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 AM HST FRIDAY NOVEMBER 7 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:11:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626801-9190>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 03:56:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA14392; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 13:51:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6919768 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 13:51:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA25614 for ; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 13:51:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA05158 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 13:51:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711071951.NAA05158@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Nov 1997 13:51:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5d65ce36033362ba9d674aed89b7aa92 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 119 ABPA20 PHNL 072000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST FRIDAY NOVEMBER 7 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:11:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626763-26831>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 10:36:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA49842; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 20:34:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6923084 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 20:34:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA35176 for ; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 20:31:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA06903 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 20:31:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711080231.UAA06903@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Nov 1997 20:31:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9fec338f51e46aef63e421a0ed56d66f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 248 ABPA20 PHNL 080200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 PM HST FRIDAY NOVEMBER 7 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:11:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626874-26827>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 15:55:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA17484; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 01:52:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6925161 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 01:51:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA22582 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 01:51:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA07939 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 01:51:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711080751.BAA07939@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 01:51:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5575aeb2f1b11281e2ca0f7845697736 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 966 ABPA20 PHNL 080800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST FRIDAY NOVEMBER 7 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627056-26833>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 21:53:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA10526; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 07:52:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6926732 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 07:51:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA29448 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 07:51:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA09045 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 07:51:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711081351.HAA09045@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 07:51:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bc807ed17fe31cd6199a70a5626d7ad9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 414 ABPA20 PHNL 081400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 AM HST SATURDAY NOVEMBER 08 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626667-26832>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 03:51:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA29124; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 13:50:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6929381 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 13:50:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA50608 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 13:50:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA10243 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 13:50:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711081950.NAA10243@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 13:50:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b01e2aac867c70feb1f3b2653367bf3e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 323 ABPA20 PHNL 082000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST SATURDAY NOVEMBER 08 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626122-22940>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 09:53:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA24886; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 19:51:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6931642 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 19:50:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA50454 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 19:50:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA11649 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 19:50:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711090150.TAA11649@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 19:50:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5fef0268b9db76ab7424b298e7a37663 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 465 ABPA20 PHNL 090200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 PM HST SATURDAY NOVEMBER 08 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626453-22951>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 15:50:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA31372; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 01:48:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6934241 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 01:48:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA27514 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 01:48:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA12790 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 01:47:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711090747.BAA12790@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 01:47:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c119fc6bc86885283a4d978f9123f735 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 172 ABPA20 PHNL 090800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST SATURDAY NOVEMBER 08 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626867-22951>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 21:49:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA28560; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 07:46:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6936278 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 07:46:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA46458 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 07:46:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA13970 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 07:46:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711091346.HAA13970@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 07:46:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b0478ea97c21e93bd96dbf7156982523 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 293 ABPA20 PHNL 091400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 AM HST SUNDAY NOVEMBER 09 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626591-22949>; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 03:52:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA26792; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 13:50:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6938939 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 13:50:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA17300 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 13:50:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA15082 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 13:50:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711091950.NAA15082@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 13:50:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 561ef56ff74b1d95a27903c7f6bc76ce Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 220 ABPA20 PHNL 092000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST SUN NOV 9 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625915-11076>; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 10:00:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA28652; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 19:56:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6941442 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 19:56:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA10712 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 19:56:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA16315 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 19:56:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711100156.TAA16315@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 19:56:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 434c64e81cd37359d015a41b1d5a32c9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 559 ABPA20 PHNL 100200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 PM HST SUN NOV 9 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 11 10:47:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626501-11072>; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 17:58:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA19472; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 03:52:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6944209 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 03:52:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA26874 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 03:52:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA18058 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 03:52:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711100952.DAA18058@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 03:52:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e78a7fde04f224c4c12062826cd32d31 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 235 ABPA20 PHNL 100800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST SUN NOV 9 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 11 10:48:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626179-11078>; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 21:55:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA46598; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 07:52:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6945494 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 07:51:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA23272 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 07:51:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA18696 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 07:51:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711101351.HAA18696@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 07:51:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e38a5d308ddec9259ab7ce65dfd2e46c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 715 ABPA20 PHNL 101400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 AM HST MON NOV 10 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 11 10:48:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625891-11072>; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 04:03:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA52774; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 13:57:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6949048 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 13:56:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA18408 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 13:56:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA20072 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 13:56:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711101956.NAA20072@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 13:56:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 22c3c1235afd5d89e6bae171074e7d7e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 996 ABPA20 PHNL 102000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST MON NOV 10 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 11 10:48:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626490-6608>; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 09:58:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA42734; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 19:56:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6951816 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 19:56:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA21456 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 19:56:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA21367 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 19:56:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711110156.TAA21367@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 19:56:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 75522e513ee29c141f35cc019e272da4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 607 ABPA20 PHNL 110200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 PM HST MON NOV 10 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 11 16:37:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627200-6603>; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 15:54:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA46584; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 01:52:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6954880 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 01:52:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA49870 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 01:52:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA22542 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 01:52:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711110752.BAA22542@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Nov 1997 01:52:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d9bb168637da39058b2d74a0bec6e127 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 421 ABPA20 PHNL 110800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST MON NOV 10 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 12 02:09:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627383-6608>; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 21:53:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA25058; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 07:51:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6956468 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 07:51:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA42702 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 07:51:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA23613 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 07:51:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711111351.HAA23613@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Nov 1997 07:51:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6c723f527f46bae0b25f34a8c0740ecd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 888 ABPA20 PHNL 111400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 AM HST TUE NOV 11 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 12 09:17:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627536-6607>; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 03:59:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA25114; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 13:58:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6961474 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 13:57:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA13782 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 13:57:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA25064 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 13:57:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711111957.NAA25064@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Nov 1997 13:57:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8a2b2b5bd36c1111a69603e0853b434e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 353 ABPA20 PHNL 112000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST TUESDAY NOVEMBER 11 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 12 11:19:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626016-29163>; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 09:41:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA04546; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 19:37:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6965333 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 19:37:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA13230 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 19:37:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA26355 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 19:37:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711120137.TAA26355@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Nov 1997 19:37:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: da5cc874279f851cae838cafb07461af Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 635 ABPA20 PHNL 120200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 PM HST TUESDAY NOVEMBER 11 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 13 02:33:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626794-29170>; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 15:58:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA17528; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 01:56:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6968705 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 01:56:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA47182 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 01:56:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA27587 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 01:56:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711120756.BAA27587@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Nov 1997 01:56:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fb0d63d5ef0a00e8752823139e05bd27 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 809 ABPA20 PHNL 120800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST TUE NOV 11 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 13 02:33:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626887-25623>; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 21:59:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA27568; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 07:57:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6970598 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 07:57:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA09884 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 07:57:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA28674 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 07:57:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711121357.HAA28674@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Nov 1997 07:57:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 29edcca9b1b19eedac1c59722a766500 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 390 ABPA20 PHNL 121400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 AM HST WED NOV 12 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 13 10:08:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627170-25630>; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 03:56:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA19650; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 13:51:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6975624 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 13:51:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA48304 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 13:51:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA00161 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 13:51:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711121951.NAA00161@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Nov 1997 13:51:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9a626d0a68b7b94bb03535913118679e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 058 ABPA20 PHNL 122000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST WEDNESDAY NOVEMBER 12 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 13 11:41:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626273-16252>; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 10:12:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA49756; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 20:03:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6979984 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 20:03:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA28234 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 20:03:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA01670 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 20:03:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711130203.UAA01670@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Nov 1997 20:03:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4b73edfea0d264fac3628cacbb352636 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 016 ABPA20 PHNL 130200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 PM HST WEDNESDAY NOVEMBER 12 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 13 19:23:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627602-16248>; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 16:04:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA21402; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 01:57:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6982818 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 01:57:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA25216 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 01:57:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA02763 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 01:57:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711130757.BAA02763@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Nov 1997 01:57:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 06b8a89302a82a4d92584dfcfabace52 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 202 ABPA20 PHNL 130800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST WED NOV 12 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 14 11:19:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627622-16254>; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 21:58:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA10114; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 07:57:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6984427 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 07:56:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA25178 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 07:56:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA03851 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 07:56:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711131356.HAA03851@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Nov 1997 07:56:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 75c0ed1c56161087391f028cb8dd7792 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 358 ABPA20 PHNL 131400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 AM HST THU NOV 13 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 14 11:19:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627039-16252>; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 03:56:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA33388; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 13:47:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6989106 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 13:47:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA17440 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 13:47:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA05126 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 13:46:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711131946.NAA05126@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Nov 1997 13:46:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bad641fc9bfaf30f3b66fd84150c3307 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 399 ABPA20 PHNL 132000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST THURSDAY NOVEMBER 13 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A POORLY ORGANIZED AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS HAS FORMED ABOUT 1200 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI...CENTERED NEAR 08N 171W. TROPICAL WEATHER ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC REMAINS VERY QUIET. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 14 11:19:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626451-12516>; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 09:48:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA09756; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 19:47:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6993341 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 19:46:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA28162 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 19:46:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA06651 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 19:46:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711140146.TAA06651@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Nov 1997 19:46:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f319236168fcd291dbf96dcbb04709a6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 021 ABPA20 PHNL 140200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 PM HST THURSDAY NOVEMBER 13 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS ABOUT 1200 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI NEAR 08N 171W REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED. A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAS FORMED ALONG AN OLD FRONTAL CLOUD BAND ABOUT 1100 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI NEAR 19N 176W. NEITHER SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN. TROPICAL WEATHER ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC REMAINS VERY QUIET. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:49:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627221-12518>; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 15:51:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA39550; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 01:46:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6995983 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 01:46:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA34916 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 01:45:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA07783 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 01:45:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711140745.BAA07783@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Nov 1997 01:45:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8bec1c038a80f75fbcba93008274824c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 923 ABPA20 PHNL 140800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST THURSDAY NOVEMBER 13 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627248-12513>; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 21:49:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA46904; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 07:47:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6997315 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 07:46:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA32020 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 07:46:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA08890 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 07:46:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711141346.HAA08890@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Nov 1997 07:46:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4d6d5f72e83c3d7961360ecb6f30842e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 361 ABPA20 PHNL 141400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 AM HST FRIDAY NOVEMBER 14 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627298-12518>; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 04:13:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA40698; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 14:05:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7000884 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 14:04:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA32924 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 14:04:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA10561 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 14:04:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711142004.OAA10561@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Nov 1997 14:04:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 02d68a9d73ba6a6e6c8ca175e8bdccca Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 868 ABPA20 PHNL 142000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST FRIDAY NOVEMBER 14 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626247-15662>; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 09:50:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA37606; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 19:46:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7003466 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 19:46:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA09676 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 19:46:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA11898 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 19:46:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711150146.TAA11898@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Nov 1997 19:46:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 08c1f08fc7514631db333cfaebeccf0d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 045 ABPA20 PHNL 150200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 PM HST FRIDAY NOVEMBER 14 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626615-15659>; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 15:49:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA30652; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 01:47:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7004991 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 01:47:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA21666 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 01:47:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA12962 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 01:47:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711150747.BAA12962@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Nov 1997 01:47:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 945fd39a13dfde0e2ab23005e54041c0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 796 ABPA20 PHNL 150800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST FRIDAY NOVEMBER 14 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627328-15661>; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 22:01:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA37116; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 07:42:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7005904 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 07:41:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA46306 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 07:41:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA14068 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 07:41:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711151341.HAA14068@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Nov 1997 07:41:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2bff295133e748e9db042525e0f8fac0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 181 ABPA20 PHNL 151400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 AM HST SATURDAY NOVEMBER 15 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627258-15659>; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 04:31:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA46268; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 14:29:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7007647 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 14:29:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA19620 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 14:29:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA15334 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 14:29:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711152029.OAA15334@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Nov 1997 14:29:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7e8a22b4140593883277a717368ba0f9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 552 ABPA20 PHNL 152000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST SATURDAY NOVEMBER 15 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626454-11535>; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 09:58:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA16940; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 19:56:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7008696 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 19:56:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA43540 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 19:56:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA16341 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 19:56:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711160156.TAA16341@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Nov 1997 19:56:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b6275bcc58f40d8a65b2022d2dcde5c9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 230 ABPA20 PHNL 160200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 PM HST SATURDAY NOVEMBER 15 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626746-11535>; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 15:34:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA19610; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 01:32:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7010633 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 01:31:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA21380 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 01:31:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA17337 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 01:31:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711160731.BAA17337@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Nov 1997 01:31:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e93030e0a387359a0aa9d484131cfe0e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 514 ABPA20 PHNL 160800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST SATURDAY NOVEMBER 15 1997 THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627796-11533>; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 21:58:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA33472; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 07:46:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7011645 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 07:46:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA46250 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 07:46:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA18515 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 07:46:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711161346.HAA18515@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Nov 1997 07:46:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a5143544d534e54dec7ce891f551dbf7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 271 ABPA20 PHNL 161400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 AM HST SUNDAY NOVEMBER 16 1997 THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630431-11533>; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 03:58:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA28368; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 13:51:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7013816 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 13:51:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA27556 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 13:51:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA19627 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 13:51:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711161951.NAA19627@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Nov 1997 13:51:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a56ef44c64fdc2d52e375e2b49a5eea9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 222 ABPA20 PHNL 162000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST SUNDAY NOVEMBER 16 1997 THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:56:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626086-7996>; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 09:54:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA24374; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 19:52:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7016543 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 19:52:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA36926 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 19:51:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA20812 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 19:51:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711170151.TAA20812@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Nov 1997 19:51:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 52ddfe4e78d92626ebccb66515e30161 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 401 ABPA20 PHNL 170200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 PM HST SUNDAY NOVEMBER 16 1997 THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 18 11:01:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626972-7996>; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 17:18:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA49780; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 03:05:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7018779 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 03:03:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA50358 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 03:03:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA22296 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 03:03:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711170903.DAA22296@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Nov 1997 03:03:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3fd8df6ad84a34e356b6472f3d91e95b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 553 ABPA20 PHNL 170800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST SUNDAY NOVEMBER 16 1997 THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 18 11:01:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627401-7997>; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 22:43:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA49728; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 08:36:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7020419 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 08:35:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA49878 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 08:35:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA23164 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 08:35:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711171435.IAA23164@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Nov 1997 08:35:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 00614a93065d6e6f47a833c2fa20b2cf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 846 ABPA20 PHNL 171400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 AM HST MONDAY NOVEMBER 16 1997 THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 18 11:01:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627402-7997>; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 04:18:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA48486; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 13:57:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7025118 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 13:57:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA25132 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 13:56:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA24601 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 13:56:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711171956.NAA24601@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Nov 1997 13:56:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f7a3dd398169ae05fccf1a103b0fa43a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 202 ABPA20 PHNL 172000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST MONDAY NOVEMBER 17 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 18 11:01:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626183-18906>; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 09:59:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA46754; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 19:56:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7028377 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 19:56:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA46976 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 19:56:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA25895 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 19:56:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711180156.TAA25895@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Nov 1997 19:56:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 594df856f45a6e01a08fa23781e4be60 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 604 ABPA20 PHNL 180200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 PM HST MONDAY NOVEMBER 17 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 18 16:18:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627458-18905>; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 15:55:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA46910; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 01:52:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7031840 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 01:52:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA31276 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 01:52:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA27076 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 01:52:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711180752.BAA27076@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Nov 1997 01:52:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1d786b112b27f159054c94aafbc8fff5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 307 ABPA20 PHNL 180800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST MONDAY NOVEMBER 17 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 19 14:58:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627499-18905>; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 21:57:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA26858; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 07:51:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7033264 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 07:51:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA40142 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 07:51:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA28091 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 07:51:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711181351.HAA28091@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Nov 1997 07:51:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f0e585ba56eced32cb78665050a2128d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 814 ABPA20 PHNL 181400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 AM HST TUESDAY NOVEMBER 18 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 19 14:58:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627764-18907>; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 04:20:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA29014; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 14:18:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7037151 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 14:18:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA28964 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 14:18:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA29465 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 14:18:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711182018.OAA29465@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Nov 1997 14:18:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8b148438bcdeb07c93317aa5756d4f42 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 583 ABPA20 PHNL 182000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST TUESDAY NOVEMBER 18 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 19 14:58:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626315-14097>; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 09:58:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA16886; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 19:56:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7040833 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 19:56:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA40930 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 19:56:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA00817 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 19:56:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711190156.TAA00817@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Nov 1997 19:56:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bf203f45e14d86cc6433950d4f292906 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 766 ABPA20 PHNL 190200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 PM HST TUESDAY NOVEMBER 18 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 19 17:10:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626412-14091>; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 15:53:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA28900; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 01:51:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7043678 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 01:51:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA32464 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 01:51:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA01974 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 01:51:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711190751.BAA01974@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Nov 1997 01:51:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9293b5e2b57c8e9e3a9b61cb0d3db4ab Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 663 ABPA20 PHNL 190800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST TUESDAY NOVEMBER 18 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 20 13:50:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626840-14098>; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 21:54:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA45660; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 07:51:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7044802 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 07:51:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA09290 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 07:51:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA03080 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 07:51:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711191351.HAA03080@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Nov 1997 07:51:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 81fb45b58cd40675a1ed9e5ee7d684f5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 956 ABPA20 PHNL 191400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 AM HST WEDNESDAY NOVEMBER 19 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 21 14:48:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627885-17898>; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 15:56:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA47910; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 14:25:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7049128 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 14:25:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA50196 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 14:25:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA04891 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 14:25:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711192025.OAA04891@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Nov 1997 14:25:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 18a1f53d547609441f34dd3f68b8cd58 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 465 ABPA20 PHNL 192000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST WEDNESDAY NOVEMBER 19 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 20 13:50:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626015-12199>; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 09:53:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA24406; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 19:51:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7051824 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 19:51:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA09274 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 19:51:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA06129 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 19:51:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711200151.TAA06129@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Nov 1997 19:51:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 66c878616c5e2813092f7d1fcdbce82b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 599 ABPA20 PHNL 200200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 PM HST WEDNESDAY NOVEMBER 19 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 21 14:48:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627891-17896>; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 16:05:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA16900; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 02:02:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7054958 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 02:02:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA33512 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 02:02:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA07333 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 02:02:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711200802.CAA07333@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Nov 1997 02:02:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e00162d7a0c6dd3b8a3e3d842af86531 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 801 ABPA20 PHNL 200800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST WEDNESDAY NOVEMBER 19 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 21 14:48:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626701-17896>; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 23:07:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA46320; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 07:57:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7056457 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 07:56:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA48566 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 07:56:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA08393 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 07:56:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711201356.HAA08393@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Nov 1997 07:56:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f39f4a0a9ac65b07e94daac81fcf1f25 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 347 ABPA20 PHNL 201400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 AM HST THURSDAY NOVEMBER 20 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 21 14:49:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626612-17895>; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 03:59:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA20294; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 13:55:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7060425 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 13:54:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA09734 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 13:52:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA09776 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 13:52:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711201952.NAA09776@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Nov 1997 13:52:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a6b9427561dffb71d04627920d38dd57 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 381 ABPA20 PHNL 202000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST THURSDAY NOVEMBER 20 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 21 14:52:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626115-5818>; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 09:51:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA10560; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 19:47:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7063925 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 19:47:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA24362 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 19:47:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA11034 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 19:47:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711210147.TAA11034@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Nov 1997 19:47:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d1af5d5cdd6b20c142255a31d36c1f28 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 536 ABPA20 PHNL 210200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 PM HST THURSDAY NOVEMBER 20 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 22 10:39:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626399-5816>; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 15:57:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA49040; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 01:56:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7066929 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 01:55:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA24444 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 01:55:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA12288 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 01:55:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711210755.BAA12288@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Nov 1997 01:55:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 026a6265c5c0c78ff7c0aa5380caba6d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 728 ABPA20 PHNL 210800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST THURSDAY NOVEMBER 20 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 22 10:39:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626652-16577>; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 21:58:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA40114; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 07:56:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7068483 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 07:56:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA04510 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 07:56:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA13448 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 07:55:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711211355.HAA13448@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Nov 1997 07:55:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0c5261250f05e90ef67bbc7617a852f4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 415 ABPA20 PHNL 211400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 AM HST FRIDAY NOVEMBER 21 1997 A WEAK DISTURBANCE IS NEAR 14N 138W AND IS MOVING WEST/NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH. IT WILL SOON BE MOVING INTO AN AREA THAT WILL PRODUCE CONSIDERABLE UPPER LEVEL SHEARING ON THE SYSTEM...WHICH WILL FURTHER WEAKEN IT. THEREFORE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 22 10:39:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626815-16577>; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 04:30:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA10402; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 14:28:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7072563 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 14:28:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA43902 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 14:28:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA14865 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 14:27:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711212027.OAA14865@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Nov 1997 14:27:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 64fd0c1309ec764bc3df2048e90402df Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 990 ABPA20 PHNL 212000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST FRIDAY NOVEMBER 21 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC ABOUT 1075 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO NEAR 14N 140W IS BEING SHEARED BY AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND IS WEAKENING. THERE ARE NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 22 10:40:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626162-23648>; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 09:49:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA10826; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 19:47:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7075236 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 19:46:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA24110 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 19:46:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA16050 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 19:46:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711220146.TAA16050@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Nov 1997 19:46:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8991dc7a1651e26ca4d30f770c7592fc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 621 ABPA20 PHNL 220400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 PM HST FRIDAY NOVEMBER 21 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC ABOUT 1050 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAS BEEN SHEARED APART BY AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...LEAVING NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 24 08:43:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626901-23648>; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 15:52:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA33018; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 01:51:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7077125 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 01:51:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA29926 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 01:51:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA17205 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 01:51:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711220751.BAA17205@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Nov 1997 01:51:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b4c7312cd30036fee13e37ef0c8bc6bc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 391 ABPA20 PHNL 220800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST FRI NOV 21 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 24 08:43:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626357-23651>; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 22:04:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA49122; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 07:56:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7077668 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 07:56:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA04560 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 07:56:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA18362 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 07:56:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711221356.HAA18362@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Nov 1997 07:56:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 51f629cfc739aacc57d872b0a1eb581a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 053 ABPA20 PHNL 221400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 AM HST SAT NOV 22 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 24 08:43:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627090-23651>; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 03:33:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA44344; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 13:31:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7079230 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 13:31:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA25376 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 13:31:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA19457 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 13:31:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711221931.NAA19457@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Nov 1997 13:31:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8c74d74c052fcb232484a47aa4ccc07a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 676 ABPA20 PHNL 222000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SATURDAY NOVEMBER 22 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 24 08:43:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626770-19549>; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 09:34:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA32382; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 19:33:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7080711 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 19:33:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA32840 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 19:31:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA20636 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 19:31:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711230131.TAA20636@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Nov 1997 19:31:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 42f264e640beb8fc030cc85d8a7ad532 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 709 ABPA20 PHNL 230200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SATURDAY NOVEMBER 22 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 24 08:44:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627509-19547>; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 17:40:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA35082; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 03:39:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7082632 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 03:39:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA52986 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 03:33:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA21806 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 01:53:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711230753.BAA21806@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Nov 1997 01:53:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0abf3ef9698c0fbe2e3299eae5d508c0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 755 ABPA20 PHNL 230800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SAT NOV 22 1997 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 24 08:44:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627557-19549>; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 22:03:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA16786; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 07:58:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7083796 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 07:58:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA39950 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 07:56:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA22983 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 07:56:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711231356.HAA22983@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Nov 1997 07:56:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5da9754a8b3f15ac13f74c0e2be68d2e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 019 ABPA20 PHNL 231400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN NOV 23 1997 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 24 08:44:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627635-19549>; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 03:44:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA47044; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 13:43:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7086164 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 13:41:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA28224 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 13:39:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA24022 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 13:39:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711231939.NAA24022@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Nov 1997 13:39:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a0e266d9e6135ad7f13a467f95ab0fdb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 715 ABPA20 PHNL 232000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST SUNDAY NOVEMBER 23 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 24 13:58:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626778-5779>; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 10:06:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA40812; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 20:03:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7088925 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 20:02:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA44530 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 20:01:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA25082 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 20:01:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711240201.UAA25082@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Nov 1997 20:01:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c34dce9d9b3bc7d11ae27b2c0fb87816 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 427 ABPA20 PHNL 240200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 PM HST SUNDAY NOVEMBER 23 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A DISTURBANCE ABOUT 1700 MILES TO THE SOUTHEAST...08N134W...IS WEAKENING. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 24 17:30:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627787-5773>; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 17:31:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA30676; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 03:18:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7091678 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 03:18:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA30616 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 03:18:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA26152 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 01:54:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711240754.BAA26152@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Nov 1997 01:54:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7eb80abe961fcd5b053d1bac597c2b7c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 119 ABPA20 PHNL 240800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST SUNDAY NOVEMBER 23 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IN THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC ABOUT 1500 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO...NEAR 08N 135W...IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST AT 15 MILES AN HOUR. MOST OF THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY NEAR THE SYSTEM HAS DISSIPATED BUT IT REMAINS FAIRLY WELL ORGANIZED AND HAS SOME POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN A DAY OR TWO. IF THIS DISTURBANCE PERSISTS...IT WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN 24 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 25 09:15:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627125-5777>; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 21:53:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA28768; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 07:51:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7093007 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 07:50:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA20286 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 07:50:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA27299 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 07:50:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711241350.HAA27299@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Nov 1997 07:50:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8bfad8046416c9dc7c31493680256a4e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 295 ABPA20 PHNL 241400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MONDAY NOVEMBER 24 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IN THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC ABOUT 1500 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO...NEAR 08N 136W...IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST AT 10 MILES AN HOUR. THERE IS LITTLE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY NEAR THE SYSTEM BUT IT REMAINS FAIRLY WELL-ORGANIZED AND HAS SOME POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN A DAY OR TWO. IF THIS DISTURBANCE PERSISTS...IT WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC WITHIN 24 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 25 09:15:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627911-5780>; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 03:45:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA31450; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 13:43:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7096024 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 13:42:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA20406 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 13:42:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA28587 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 13:40:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711241940.NAA28587@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Nov 1997 13:40:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f1cae8964e0e1b274adceca47ad29ad5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 880 ABPA20 PHNL 242000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST MONDAY NOVEMBER 24 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 09N 136W...NEARLY 1700 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HONOLULU AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 MPH...HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 25 11:26:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626882-29659>; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 09:51:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA19508; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 19:48:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7099161 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 19:47:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA31244 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 19:47:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA29826 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 19:47:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711250147.TAA29826@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Nov 1997 19:47:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2ee6dcc925f76733ada711e9ed14b5ba Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 049 ABPA20 PHNL 250200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 PM HST MONDAY NOVEMBER 24 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A DISTURBANCE ABOUT 1700 MILES EAST OF HONOLULU IS NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SIGNIFICANTLY BUT WILL CROSS 140W IN A FEW HOURS. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON NOVEMBER 30. THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR 1997 WILL BE ISSUED AT 10 PM ON NOVEMBER 30...HAWAII TIME (01 DEC 0800 UTC). OUTLOOK ISSUANCES WILL RESUME NEXT YEAR ON JUNE 1. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 25 17:57:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627990-29656>; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 16:42:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA09850; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 02:38:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7102169 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 02:38:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA26210 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 02:38:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA01142 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 02:38:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711250838.CAA01142@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Nov 1997 02:38:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ffc15c86606f09160adbc24b8668050c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 599 ABPA20 PHNL 250800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MONDAY NOVEMBER 24 1997 A DISTURBANCE IN THE EAST PACIFIC ABOUT 1380 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAS BECOME BETTER DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE SYSTEM HAVE INCREASED. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN MOVING SLOWER OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS SO IT HAS NOT YET MOVED INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC. THE DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC WITHIN 24 HOURS AND HAS SOME POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRSSION. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL ISSUE THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR 1997 AT 10 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS NEXT YEAR ON JUNE 1. ON RARE OCCASIONS...TROPICAL CYCLONES DO OCCUR IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN DECEMBER 1 AND JUNE 1. THIS IS ESPECIALLY LIKELY DURING A STRONG EL NINO SUCH AS THE ONE OCCURRING NOW. IF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DOES OCCUR BETWEEN DECEMBER 1 AND JUNE 1...THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER WILL OPEN AND WE WILL START ISSUING BULLETINS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 26 09:46:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628040-29658>; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 22:04:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA48954; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 07:56:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7103417 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 07:56:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA32020 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 07:56:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA02160 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 07:56:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711251356.HAA02160@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Nov 1997 07:56:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 710375bc49388301188f3dde05160adb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 317 ABPA20 PHNL 251400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUESDAY NOVEMBER 25 1997 A DISTURBANCE IN THE EAST PACIFIC ABOUT 1280 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO...NEAR 10N 138E...BECAME BETTER ORGANIZED LAST NIGHT. THE DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC WITHIN 24 HOURS AND HAS SOME POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL ISSUE THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR 1997 AT 10 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS NEXT YEAR ON JUNE 1. ON RARE OCCASIONS...TROPICAL CYCLONES DO OCCUR IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN DECEMBER 1 AND JUNE 1. THIS IS ESPECIALLY LIKELY DURING A STRONG EL NINO SUCH AS THE ONE OCCURRING NOW. IF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DOES OCCUR BETWEEN DECEMBER 1 AND JUNE 1...THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER WILL OPEN AND WE WILL START ISSUING BULLETINS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 26 09:46:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628066-29659>; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 03:59:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA40436; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 13:56:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7106870 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 13:56:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA52954 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 13:56:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA03505 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 13:56:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711251956.NAA03505@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Nov 1997 13:56:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d071b1535560d65253851d0facd609d4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 385 ABPA20 PHNL 252000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUESDAY NOVEMBER 25 1997 A DISTURBANCE IN THE EAST PACIFIC ABOUT 1250 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO...NEAR 10N 139E...HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. WE WILL KEEP MONITORING IT FOR ANY SIGNS OF STRENGTHENING. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL ISSUE THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR 1997 AT 10 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS NEXT YEAR ON JUNE 1. ON RARE OCCASIONS...TROPICAL CYCLONES DO OCCUR IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN DECEMBER 1 AND JUNE 1. THIS IS ESPECIALLY LIKELY DURING A STRONG EL NINO SUCH AS THE ONE OCCURRING NOW. IF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DOES OCCUR BETWEEN DECEMBER 1 AND JUNE 1...THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER WILL OPEN AND WILL START ISSUING BULLETINS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 26 09:46:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627089-29659>; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 05:11:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA10298; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 15:09:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7107566 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 15:09:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA43784 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 15:09:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA03787 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 15:09:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711252109.PAA03787@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Nov 1997 15:09:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6c2261c3f2d9b4f2b8616eede6b96b60 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 465 ABPA20 PHNL 252000 COR TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUESDAY NOVEMBER 25 1997 ....CORRECTED FOR LONGITUDE IN LINE 2...... A DISTURBANCE IN THE EAST PACIFIC ABOUT 1250 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO...NEAR 10N 139W...HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. WE WILL KEEP MONITORING IT FOR ANY SIGNS OF STRENGTHENING. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL ISSUE THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR 1997 AT 10 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS NEXT YEAR ON JUNE 1. ON RARE OCCASIONS...TROPICAL CYCLONES DO OCCUR IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN DECEMBER 1 AND JUNE 1. THIS IS ESPECIALLY LIKELY DURING A STRONG EL NINO SUCH AS THE ONE OCCURRING NOW. IF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DOES OCCUR BETWEEN DECEMBER 1 AND JUNE 1...THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER WILL OPEN AND WILL START ISSUING BULLETINS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 26 10:30:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626856-21030>; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 09:57:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA14648; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 19:56:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7110284 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 19:56:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA13066 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 19:56:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA04996 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 19:56:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711260156.TAA04996@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Nov 1997 19:56:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d75b849b3b91ece885879f711691bb03 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 926 ABPA20 PHNL 260200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUESDAY NOVEMBER 25 1997 A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS ENTERED THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC. IT IS ABOUT 1200 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO...NEAR 10N 141W. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM AT THIS TIME. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR IT FOR ANY SIGNS OF STRENGTHENING. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL ISSUE THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR 1997 AT 10 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS NEXT YEAR ON JUNE 1. ON RARE OCCASIONS...TROPICAL CYCLONES DO OCCUR IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN DECEMBER 1 AND JUNE 1. THIS IS ESPECIALLY LIKELY DURING A STRONG EL NINO SUCH AS THE ONE OCCURRING NOW. IF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DOES OCCUR BETWEEN DECEMBER 1 AND JUNE 1...THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER WILL OPEN AND WILL START ISSUING BULLETINS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 27 13:48:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628077-21038>; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 16:15:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA30860; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 02:05:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7113191 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 02:05:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA31338 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 02:05:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA06300 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 02:05:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711260805.CAA06300@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Nov 1997 02:05:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 72e6087229364febd535fc36bde4d1dc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 874 ABPA20 PHNL 260800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUESDAY NOVEMBER 25 1997 A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 1100 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO... NEAR 10N 142W...IS MOVING WEST AT 12 MPH. THERE IS LITTLE SIGNIFICANT CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY NOW NEAR THE DISTURBANCE AND IT IS NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR IT FOR ANY SIGNS OF STRENGTHENING. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL ISSUE THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR 1997 AT 10 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS NEXT YEAR ON JUNE 1. ON RARE OCCASIONS...TROPICAL CYCLONES DO OCCUR IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN DECEMBER 1 AND JUNE 1. THIS IS ESPECIALLY LIKELY DURING A STRONG EL NINO SUCH AS THE ONE OCCURRING NOW. IF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DOES OCCUR BETWEEN DECEMBER 1 AND JUNE 1...THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER WILL OPEN AND WILL START ISSUING BULLETINS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 27 13:48:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628103-21040>; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 22:15:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA25478; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 08:13:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7114807 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 08:13:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA10516 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 08:06:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA07546 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 08:06:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711261406.IAA07546@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Nov 1997 08:06:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0b3c6915131b099e33239306da54dcbe Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 981 ABPA20 PHNL 261400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WEDNESDAY NOVEMBER 25 1997 A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO... NEAR 10N 143W...IS MOVING WEST AT 12 MPH. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER IS NOW DECREASING AFTER INCREASING EARLIER. THE DISTURBANCE IS NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR IT FOR ANY SIGNS OF STRENGTHENING. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC AREA FOR 48 HOURS. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL ISSUE THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR 1997 AT 10 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS NEXT YEAR ON JUNE 1. ON RARE OCCASIONS...TROPICAL CYCLONES DO OCCUR IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN DECEMBER 1 AND JUNE 1. THIS IS ESPECIALLY LIKELY DURING A STRONG EL NINO SUCH AS THE ONE OCCURRING NOW. IF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DOES OCCUR BETWEEN DECEMBER 1 AND JUNE 1...THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER WILL OPEN AND WILL START ISSUING BULLETINS. KEARNS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 27 13:48:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628151-21040>; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 03:57:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA14700; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 13:56:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7119198 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 13:56:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA40276 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 13:56:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA08735 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 13:56:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711261956.NAA08735@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Nov 1997 13:56:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2bfabf80553dd9ed7037dc06706b8e16 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 706 ABPA20 PHNL 262000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WEDNESDAY NOVEMBER 26 1997 A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE A LITTLE LESS THAN 1000 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO...NEAR 10N 144W...IS MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. ISOLATED CONVECTION REMAINS WELL TO THE NORTHEAST AND EAST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. THE DISTURBANCE IS NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BEYOND ITS PRESENT STAGE. HOWEVER...WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR IT FOR ANY SIGNS OF INTENSIFICATION. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL ISSUE THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR 1997 AT 10 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS NEXT YEAR ON JUNE 1. ON RARE OCCASIONS...TROPICAL CYCLONES DO OCCUR IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN DECEMBER 1 AND JUNE 1. THIS IS ESPECIALLY LIKELY DURING A STRONG EL NINO SUCH AS THE ONE OCCURRING NOW. IF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DOES DEVELOP BETWEEN THESE DATES...THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER WILL OPEN AND WILL BEGIN ISSUING BULLETINS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 27 13:48:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626097-15096>; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 10:05:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA26628; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 19:56:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7122075 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 19:56:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA26850 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 19:56:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA09859 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 19:56:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711270156.TAA09859@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Nov 1997 19:56:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1efa896cdee8d012af24ac3ac079802c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 158 ABPA20 PHNL 270200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WEDNESDAY NOVEMBER 26 1997 A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 975 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO...NEAR 09N 146W...IS MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION NEAR THE CIRCULATION CENTER. THE DISTURBANCE IS NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BEYOND ITS CURRENT INTENSITY. HOWEVER...WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR IT FOR ANY SIGNS OF STRENGTHENING. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL ISSUE THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR 1997 AT 10 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS NEXT YEAR ON JUNE 1. ON RARE OCCASIONS...TROPICAL CYCLONES DO OCCUR IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN DECEMBER 1 AND JUNE 1. THIS IS ESPECIALLY LIKELY DURING A STRONG EL NINO SUCH AS THE ONE OCCURRING NOW. IF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DOES DEVELOP BETWEEN THESE DATES...THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER WILL OPEN AND WILL BEGIN ISSUING BULLETINS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 27 16:20:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626474-15097>; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 16:04:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA40346; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 02:03:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7124774 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 02:03:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA40072 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 02:03:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA10980 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 02:03:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711270803.CAA10980@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Nov 1997 02:03:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4d2523c9ae9cbd8d7d86f6cf9b3c22ca Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 209 ABPA20 PHNL 270800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WEDNESDAY NOVEMBER 26 1997 A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 930 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO... NEAR 09N 147W...IS MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. IT IS NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP INTO A DEPRESSION. ANOTHER DISTURBANCE FAR TO THE EAST SOUTHEAST IS ALSO NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL ISSUE THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR 1997 AT 10 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS NEXT YEAR ON JUNE 1. ON RARE OCCASIONS...TROPICAL CYCLONES DO OCCUR IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN DECEMBER 1 AND JUNE 1. THIS IS ESPECIALLY LIKELY DURING A STRONG EL NINO SUCH AS THE ONE OCCURRING NOW. IF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DOES DEVELOP BETWEEN THESE DATES...THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER WILL OPEN AND WILL BEGIN ISSUING BULLETINS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 28 09:06:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627019-15098>; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 22:18:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA33292; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 08:09:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7126105 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 08:08:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA16824 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 08:08:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA12099 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 08:08:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711271408.IAA12099@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Nov 1997 08:08:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fcd6498659b4f2bbef73fdd9f2aacad1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 914 ABPA20 PHNL 271400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THURSDAY NOVEMBER 26 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL ISSUE THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR 1997 AT 10 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS NEXT YEAR ON JUNE 1. ON RARE OCCASIONS...TROPICAL CYCLONES DO OCCUR IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN DECEMBER 1 AND JUNE 1. THIS IS ESPECIALLY LIKELY DURING A STRONG EL NINO SUCH AS THE ONE OCCURRING NOW. IF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DOES DEVELOP BETWEEN THESE DATES...THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER WILL OPEN AND WILL BEGIN ISSUING BULLETINS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 28 09:06:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627167-15097>; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 03:56:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA13194; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 13:55:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7127716 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 13:55:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA43894 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 13:55:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA13141 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 13:55:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711271955.NAA13141@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Nov 1997 13:55:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: af7800deb6c9f14da19d07f5332a1c88 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 640 ABPA20 PHNL 272000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST THU NOV 27 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL ISSUE THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR 1997 AT 10 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS NEXT YEAR ON JUNE 1. ON RARE OCCASIONS...TROPICAL CYCLONES DO OCCUR IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN DECEMBER 1 AND JUNE 1. THIS IS ESPECIALLY LIKELY DURING A STRONG EL NINO EPISODE SUCH AS THE ONE OCCURRING NOW. IF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DOES DEVELOP BETWEEN THESE DATES...THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER WILL OPEN AND WILL BEGIN ISSUING BULLETINS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 28 12:38:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626108-1526>; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 10:00:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA43582; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 19:56:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7129186 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 19:55:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA39980 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 19:55:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA14157 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 19:55:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711280155.TAA14157@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Nov 1997 19:55:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 54f779ec157e1c39007ed052709be777 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 286 ABPA20 PHNL 280200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 PM HST THU NOV 27 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL ISSUE THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR 1997 AT 10 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS NEXT YEAR ON JUNE 1. ON RARE OCCASIONS...TROPICAL CYCLONES DO OCCUR IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN DECEMBER 1 AND JUNE 1. THIS IS ESPECIALLY LIKELY DURING A STRONG EL NINO EPISODE SUCH AS THE ONE OCCURRING NOW. IF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DOES DEVELOP BETWEEN THESE DATES...THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER WILL OPEN AND WILL BEGIN ISSUING BULLETINS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 28 16:36:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626532-1524>; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 16:31:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA38156; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 01:59:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7130679 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 01:59:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA10230 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 01:59:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA15303 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 01:59:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711280759.BAA15303@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Nov 1997 01:59:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4a8fdf0934a2474b0d29ff42bb06e53d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 996 ABPA20 PHNL 280800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THURSDAY NOVEMBER 27 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL ISSUE THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR 1997 AT 10 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS NEXT YEAR ON JUNE 1. ON RARE OCCASIONS...TROPICAL CYCLONES DO OCCUR IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN DECEMBER 1 AND JUNE 1. THIS IS ESPECIALLY LIKELY DURING A STRONG EL NINO EPISODE SUCH AS THE ONE OCCURRING NOW. IF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DOES DEVELOP BETWEEN THESE DATES...THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER WILL OPEN AND WILL BEGIN ISSUING BULLETINS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 29 09:27:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626805-1520>; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 21:58:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA38182; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 07:56:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7131837 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 07:56:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA32264 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 07:56:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA16409 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 07:56:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711281356.HAA16409@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Nov 1997 07:56:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 579052d31308416064fb843768308549 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 556 ABPA20 PHNL 281400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRIDAY NOVEMBER 28 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL ISSUE THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR 1997 AT 10 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS NEXT YEAR ON JUNE 1. ON RARE OCCASIONS...TROPICAL CYCLONES DO OCCUR IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN DECEMBER 1 AND JUNE 1. THIS IS ESPECIALLY LIKELY DURING A STRONG EL NINO EPISODE SUCH AS THE ONE OCCURRING NOW. IF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DOES DEVELOP BETWEEN THESE DATES...THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER WILL OPEN AND WILL BEGIN ISSUING BULLETINS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 29 09:27:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627502-1524>; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 04:02:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA30642; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 14:01:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7133611 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 14:00:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA10140 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 14:00:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA17536 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 14:00:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711282000.OAA17536@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Nov 1997 14:00:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8519e3f77d1959d2b1266f2d5c7a3cb9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 665 ABPA20 PHNL 282000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRIDAY NOVEMBER 28 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL ISSUE THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR 1997 AT 10 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS NEXT YEAR ON JUNE 1. ON RARE OCCASIONS...TROPICAL CYCLONES DO OCCUR IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN DECEMBER 1 AND JUNE 1. THIS IS ESPECIALLY LIKELY DURING A STRONG EL NINO EPISODE SUCH AS THE ONE OCCURRING NOW. IF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DOES DEVELOP BETWEEN THESE DATES...THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER WILL OPEN AND WILL BEGIN ISSUING BULLETINS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 29 10:59:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626437-24973>; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 09:58:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA42580; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 19:57:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7135112 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 19:57:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA16446 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 19:57:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA18654 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 19:57:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711290157.TAA18654@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Nov 1997 19:57:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ea2a46434cad5974e4b8991f5e60b01c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 848 ABPA20 PHNL 290200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRI NOV 28 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL ISSUE THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR 1997 AT 10 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS NEXT YEAR ON JUNE 1. ON RARE OCCASIONS...TROPICAL CYCLONES DO OCCUR IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN DECEMBER 1 AND JUNE 1. THIS IS ESPECIALLY LIKELY DURING A STRONG EL NINO EPISODE SUCH AS THE ONE OCCURRING NOW. IF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DOES DEVELOP BETWEEN THESE DATES...THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER WILL OPEN AND WILL BEGIN ISSUING BULLETINS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 1 02:41:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626559-24973>; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 15:58:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA33286; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 01:56:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7137443 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 01:56:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA10484 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 01:56:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA19728 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 01:56:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711290756.BAA19728@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Nov 1997 01:56:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f10c0350a4387b392224e07824303af6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 604 ABPA20 PHNL 290800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRI NOV 28 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL ISSUE THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR 1997 AT 10 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS NEXT YEAR ON JUNE 1. ON RARE OCCASIONS...TROPICAL CYCLONES DO OCCUR IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN DECEMBER 1 AND JUNE 1. THIS IS ESPECIALLY LIKELY DURING A STRONG EL NINO EPISODE SUCH AS THE ONE OCCURRING NOW. IF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DOES DEVELOP BETWEEN THESE DATES...THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER WILL OPEN AND WILL BEGIN ISSUING BULLETINS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 1 02:41:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627053-24967>; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 21:57:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA21678; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 07:56:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7138581 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 07:56:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA21400 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 07:56:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA20777 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 07:56:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711291356.HAA20777@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Nov 1997 07:56:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a2a6c5bf4f01a52624398bdfb834df6d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 884 ABPA20 PHNL 291400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SAT NOV 29 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL ISSUE THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR 1997 AT 10 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS NEXT YEAR ON JUNE 1. ON RARE OCCASIONS...TROPICAL CYCLONES DO OCCUR IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN DECEMBER 1 AND JUNE 1. THIS IS ESPECIALLY LIKELY DURING A STRONG EL NINO EPISODE SUCH AS THE ONE OCCURRING NOW. IF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DOES DEVELOP BETWEEN THESE DATES...THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER WILL OPEN AND WILL BEGIN ISSUING BULLETINS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 1 02:41:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627395-24973>; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 04:25:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA09530; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 14:23:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7140954 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 14:23:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA29216 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 14:23:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA21958 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 14:23:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711292023.OAA21958@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Nov 1997 14:23:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 720a29097cb06913c8755826d635260e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 500 ABPA20 PHNL 292000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST SATURDAY NOVEMBER 29 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 1180 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE OR 700 MILES SOUTH OF JOHNSTON ISLAND...NEAR 07N 168W...BECAME BETTER ORGANIZED OVERNIGHT. THIS DISTURBANCE HAS SOME POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION SO WE WILL BE WATCHING IT CLOSELY. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL ISSUE THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR 1997 AT 10 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS NEXT YEAR ON JUNE 1. ON RARE OCCASIONS...TROPICAL CYCLONES DO OCCUR IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN DECEMBER 1 AND JUNE 1. THIS IS ESPECIALLY LIKELY DURING A STRONG EL NINO EPISODE SUCH AS THE ONE OCCURRING NOW. IF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DOES DEVELOP BETWEEN THESE DATES...THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER WILL OPEN AND WILL BEGIN ISSUING BULLETINS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 1 02:41:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625961-3087>; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 10:03:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA48512; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 20:02:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7142291 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 20:01:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA32350 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 20:01:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA23011 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 20:01:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711300201.UAA23011@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Nov 1997 20:01:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 832ce0f4cf49224fefa0aea6ea85acd6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 483 ABPA20 PHNL 300200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SATURDAY NOVEMBER 29 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 1120 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE OR 740 MILES SOUTH OF JOHNSTON ISLAND...NEAR 07N 166W...HAS SOME POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION SO WE WILL BE WATCHING IT CLOSELY. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL ISSUE THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR 1997 AT 10 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS NEXT YEAR ON JUNE 1. ON RARE OCCASIONS...TROPICAL CYCLONES DO OCCUR IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN DECEMBER 1 AND JUNE 1. THIS IS ESPECIALLY LIKELY DURING A STRONG EL NINO EPISODE SUCH AS THE ONE OCCURRING NOW. IF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DOES DEVELOP BETWEEN THESE DATES...THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER WILL OPEN AND WILL BEGIN ISSUING BULLETINS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 1 02:41:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626429-3079>; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 16:02:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA29234; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 02:01:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7144311 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 02:01:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA37402 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 02:00:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA24058 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 02:00:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711300800.CAA24058@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Nov 1997 02:00:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c2b7a0678595dfffeaa4fc45d92fd9f7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 838 ABPA20 PHNL 300800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SAT NOV 29 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 1100 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU... NEAR 07N 166W...HAS SOME POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL ISSUE THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR 1997 AT 10 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS NEXT YEAR ON JUNE 1. ON RARE OCCASIONS...TROPICAL CYCLONES DO OCCUR IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN DECEMBER 1 AND JUNE 1. THIS IS ESPECIALLY LIKELY DURING A STRONG EL NINO EPISODE SUCH AS THE ONE OCCURRING NOW. IF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DOES DEVELOP BETWEEN THESE DATES...THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER WILL OPEN AND WILL BEGIN ISSUING BULLETINS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 1 02:41:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626427-3088>; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 22:04:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA13284; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 08:02:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7145681 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 08:02:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA21502 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 08:01:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA25170 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 08:00:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711301400.IAA25170@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Nov 1997 08:00:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 142cbee5d4adede9325b45fb4037fc37 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 303 ABPA20 PHNL 301400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN NOV 30 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 1100 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU... NEAR 07N 166W...HAS SOME POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL ISSUE THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR 1997 AT 10 PM ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS NEXT YEAR ON JUNE 1. ON RARE OCCASIONS...TROPICAL CYCLONES DO OCCUR IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN DECEMBER 1 AND JUNE 1. THIS IS ESPECIALLY LIKELY DURING A STRONG EL NINO EPISODE SUCH AS THE ONE OCCURRING NOW. IF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DOES DEVELOP BETWEEN THESE DATES...THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER WILL OPEN AND WILL BEGIN ISSUING BULLETINS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 1 09:26:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625926-3079>; Mon, 1 Dec 1997 03:56:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA16636; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 13:55:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7147899 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 13:54:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA35252 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 13:54:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA26218 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 13:54:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711301954.NAA26218@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Nov 1997 13:54:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 427f213efdfb224cdc1ed448a5e9ba92 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 139 ABPA20 PHNL 302000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUN NOV 30 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 1050 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU... NEAR 09N 167W...IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 MILES AN HOUR. THE DISTURBANCE HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED SINCE YESTERDAY AND HAS SOME POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. WE WILL WATCH THE SYSTEM CLOSELY FOR SIGNS OF STRENGTHENING. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS TODAY. WE WILL ISSUE THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR 1997 AT 10 PM TONIGHT. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS NEXT YEAR ON JUNE 1. ON RARE OCCASIONS...TROPICAL CYCLONES DO OCCUR IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN DECEMBER 1 AND JUNE 1. THIS IS ESPECIALLY LIKELY DURING A STRONG EL NINO EPISODE SUCH AS THE ONE OCCURRING NOW. IF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DOES DEVELOP BETWEEN THESE DATES...THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER WILL OPEN AND WILL BEGIN ISSUING BULLETINS. KODAMA/DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 1 10:58:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626045-12264>; Mon, 1 Dec 1997 09:55:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA35216; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 19:54:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7150553 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 19:53:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA30774 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 19:53:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA27403 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 19:53:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712010153.TAA27403@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Nov 1997 19:53:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1677fc5f5d94bfb85f8034c2fdfd3c54 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 401 ABPA20 PHNL 010200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUN NOV 30 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 1065 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU... NEAR 09N 167W. THE DISTURBANCE HAS NOT STRENGTHENED SINCE THIS MORNING BUT STILL HAS SOME POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. WE WILL WATCH THE SYSTEM CLOSELY FOR SIGNS OF STRENGTHENING. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS TODAY. WE WILL ISSUE THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR 1997 AT 10 PM TONIGHT. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS NEXT YEAR ON JUNE 1. ON RARE OCCASIONS...TROPICAL CYCLONES DO OCCUR IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN DECEMBER 1 AND JUNE 1. THIS IS ESPECIALLY LIKELY DURING A STRONG EL NINO EPISODE SUCH AS THE ONE OCCURRING NOW. IF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DOES DEVELOP BETWEEN THESE DATES...THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER WILL OPEN AND WILL BEGIN ISSUING BULLETINS. KODAMA/DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 1 15:56:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626365-12266>; Mon, 1 Dec 1997 15:54:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA17548; Mon, 1 Dec 1997 01:53:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7154462 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 1 Dec 1997 01:52:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA36708 for ; Mon, 1 Dec 1997 01:52:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA28495 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 1 Dec 1997 01:52:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712010752.BAA28495@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 1 Dec 1997 01:52:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4bb065f50b11562499ab29c771ef41b3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 077 ABPA20 PHNL 010800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN NOV 30 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS NEARLY STATIONARY ABOUT 1070 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...NEAR 08N 167W. THE DISTURBANCE HAS A WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION BUT LACKS ANY ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM FORMATION. AS NOVEMBER 30 MARKS THE END OF THE OFFICIAL HURRICANE SEASON... THIS IS THE FINAL SCHEDULED TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR 1997. REGULARLY SCHEDULED TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS WILL BEGIN AGAIN NEXT YEAR ON JUNE 1. HOWEVER...ON RARE OCCASIONS TROPICAL CYCLONES DO OCCUR IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN DECEMBER 1 AND JUNE 1. THIS IS ESPECIALLY LIKELY DURING A STRONG EL NINO EPISODE SUCH AS THE ONE OCCURRING NOW. IF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DOES DEVELOP BETWEEN THESE DATES...THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER WILL AGAIN BEGIN ISSUING BULLETINS AT THAT TIME. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 3 09:51:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626955-1948>; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 22:50:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA39920; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 08:46:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7169745 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 08:46:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA40456 for ; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 08:46:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA04683 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 08:46:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712021446.IAA04683@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Dec 1997 08:46:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Five-c Forecast/advisory Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f6232ff39c4dcc28561d5dc91fbec2b1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 539 WTPA21 PHNL 021500 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0597 1500Z TUE DEC 02 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 7.2N 166.4W AT 02/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT IS NEARLY STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 7.2N 166.4W AT 02/1500Z AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 7.2N 166.4W FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 7.2N 166.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 7.6N 166.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 8.1N 167.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 7.2N 166.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 8.6N 169.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 9.3N 173.9W MAX WIND 25 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 3 09:51:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626936-1949>; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 22:49:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA50158; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 08:47:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7169753 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 08:46:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA32282 for ; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 08:46:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA04687 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 08:46:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712021446.IAA04687@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Dec 1997 08:46:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Five-c Discussion Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1b371d8c78103e07bb98c1d0d74c2a19 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 540 WTPA41 PHNL 021500 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST TUE DEC 02 1997 THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE THAT HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY ABOUT 1100 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS HAS INTENSIFIED AND HAS THEREFORE BEEN UPGRADED TO DEPRESSION STATUS. THE GFDL AND BETA ADVECTION MODELS INITIALLY MOVE T.D. 5C SLOWLY NORTHWEST AND LATER ON A MORE WESTERLY TRACK. THE FORECAST IS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN THESE MODELS AND FOLLOWS THE SLOW INTENSIFICATION INDICATED BY THE GFDL THE NEXT 24 HOURS. INITIALLY THIS SYSTEM IS KEPT STATIONARY THEN BEGINS A NORTHWEST TRACK. SHOULD T.D. 3C REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY LATER TODAY IT WILL BE NAMED PAKA. LARSON FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 02/1500Z 7.2N 166.4W 30 KTS 12HR VT 03/0000Z 7.2N 166.4W 35 KTS 24HR VT 03/1200Z 7.6N 166.7W 35 KTS 36HR VT 04/0000Z 8.1N 167.6W 35 KTS 48HR VT 04/1200Z 8.6N 169.7W 30 KTS 72HR VT 05/1200Z 9.3N 173.9W 25 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 3 09:51:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626942-1949>; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 22:49:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA36612; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 08:48:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7169763 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 08:48:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA41120 for ; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 08:48:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA04698 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 08:48:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712021448.IAA04698@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Dec 1997 08:48:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Five-c Advisory Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6ee616fa9156d3932aa0468949a8f510 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 553 WTPA31 PHNL 021500 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-C ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST TUE DEC 02 1997 AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 7.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 166.4 WEST OR ABOUT 1100 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU. THE DEPRESSION IS NOW NEARLY STATIONARY AND IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT SLOWLY NORTHWEST DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. A SLOW INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION... 7.2 N...166.4 W. MOVEMENT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM HST. LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 3 09:51:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627033-1948>; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 05:37:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA28522; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 15:34:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7173666 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 15:34:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA38924 for ; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 15:33:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA01950 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 15:32:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712022132.PAA01950@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Dec 1997 15:32:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Forecast/advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 151891b52a4d505c170b8bfddf181a1c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 373 WTPA21 PHNL 022100 TROPICAL STORM PAKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0597 2100Z TUE DEC 02 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM PAKA UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-C... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 7.5N 166.9W AT 02/2100Z. POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM. PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 4 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB. MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. RADIUS 34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 7.5N 166.9W AT 02/2100Z. AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 7.4N 166.7W. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 7.7N 167.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 40 KT 34 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 8.2N 168.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 8.6N 169.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 7.5N 166.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 9.3N 170.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 10.0N 172.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 70 KT 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z ROSENDAL CPHC HONOLULU HAWAII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 3 09:51:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627032-1948>; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 05:41:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA39900; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 15:33:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7173652 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 15:32:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA39600 for ; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 15:32:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA01954 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 15:32:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712022132.PAA01954@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Dec 1997 15:32:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: dc78579daa96af9a4b5aaaae242d4264 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 382 WTPA31 PHNL 022100 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM PAKA ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST TUE DEC 02 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM PAKA UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-C AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAKA...THE HAWAIIAN NAME FOR PAT...WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 7.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 166.9 WEST OR ABOUT 1100 MILES...1800 KM SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI. PAKA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH... 7 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...7.5 N...166.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM HST. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 3 11:37:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626615-21710>; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 10:14:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA36612; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 20:13:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7176790 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 20:12:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA38948 for ; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 20:11:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA02982 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 20:11:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712030211.UAA02982@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Dec 1997 20:11:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Forecast/advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3302d6bf23c30db9310ca33e3c8ba6fa Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 428 WTPA21 PHNL 030300 TROPICAL STORM PAKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0597 0300Z WED DEC 03 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM PAKA CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 7.5N 167.4W AT 03/0300Z. POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM. PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 3 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB. MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 7.5N 167.4W AT 03/0300Z. AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 7.4N 167.3W. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 7.6N 167.9W. MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 7.9N 168.6W. MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 70 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 8.5N 169.5W. MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 7.5N 167.4W. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 9.0N 170.5W. MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW. OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 10.5N 172.0W. MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z. ROSENDAL CPHC PHNL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 3 11:37:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626310-21704>; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 10:21:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA49812; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 20:19:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7176870 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 20:19:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA28544 for ; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 20:19:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA03004 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 20:18:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712030218.UAA03004@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Dec 1997 20:18:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Discussion Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ad0392f29a84e741d046b47505f61cc3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 536 WTPA41 PHNL 030300 TROPICAL STORM PAKA DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST TUE DEC 02 1997 PAKA WHICH BY THE WAY IS HAWAIIAN FOR PAT CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN. THE MODEL GUIDANCE HAVE IT REACHING HURRICANE INTENSITY WITHIN THIS FORECAST PERIOD SO HAVE GONE ALONG WITH THAT SINCE THERE ARE NO FACTORS POINTING TOWARD THE CONTRARY. SST'S ARE AMPLE AT 81C. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY LOOKS FAVORABLE BOTH IN THE IMMIDIATE VICINITY OF THE CYCLONE AS WELL AS THE REGIONAL PATTERN. VERTICAL SHEAR ALSO REMAINS SMALL WITH NO MAJOR TROUGH NEARBY FOR SHEARING OR RECURVATURE. THE CLOUD PATTERN SHAPE IS RATHER CIRCULAR MEANING THAT NO STRONG EASTERLIES OR WESTERLIES ARE AFFECTING THE CIRCULATION. FORWARD MOTION SPEED HAS BEEN SLOW AS A SLOW WNW DRIFT CONTINUES. THIS QUASISTATIONARY ASPECT OF COURSE IS BOTHERSOME WITH RESPECT TO THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ESPECIALLY THIS LATE IN THE YEAR SO WE ARE WATCHING PAKA CLOSELY. THE FORECAST WILL MOVE IT WNW AT 5 KT OR SO GENERALLY FOLLOWING THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK. THE SOUTHERN TWIN...AS WE ARE TALKING ABOUT A COUPLET OF VORTICES MIRROR IMAGED ON THE EQUATOR...IS LOCATED AT NEARLY THE SAME LAT/LON SOUTH OF THE EQUATOR. IT HAS LAGGED A LITTLE IN DEVELOPMENT DURING TODAY BUT MAY CATCH UP. ROSENDAL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/0300Z 7.5N 167.4W 45 KTS 12HR VT 03/1200Z 7.6N 167.9W 50 KTS 24HR VT 04/0000Z 7.9N 168.6W 60 KTS 36HR VT 04/1200Z 8.5N 169.5W 65 KTS 48HR VT 05/0000Z 9.0N 170.5W 70 KTS 72HR VT 06/0000Z 10.5N 172.0W 70 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 3 11:37:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626636-21708>; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 10:25:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA34258; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 20:24:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7177037 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 20:24:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA34216 for ; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 20:24:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA03019 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 20:23:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712030223.UAA03019@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Dec 1997 20:23:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Five Advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fc3e46b20509da1f2e1654e5820123d0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 645 WTPA31 PHNL 030300 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FIVE ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST TUE DEC 02 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM PAKA GAINS STRENGTH FAR TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS... AT 5 PM HST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAKA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 7.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.4 WEST OR ABOUT 1100 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI. PAKA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 3 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM HST POSITION... 7.5 N...167.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM HST. ROSENDAL CPHC PHNL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 3 11:37:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626005-21708>; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 10:46:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA32776; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 20:44:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7177272 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 20:44:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA26352 for ; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 20:44:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA03111 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 20:44:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712030244.UAA03111@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Dec 1997 20:44:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Discussion Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 947e1054018f107fb5c9f3d62a9d720d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 994 WTPA41 PHNL 030300 COR TROPICAL STORM PAKA DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST TUE DEC 02 1997 ...CORRECTED SST FROM 81C TO 28C... PAKA WHICH BY THE WAY IS HAWAIIAN FOR PAT CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN. THE MODEL GUIDANCE HAVE IT REACHING HURRICANE INTENSITY WITHIN THIS FORECAST PERIOD SO HAVE GONE ALONG WITH THAT SINCE THERE ARE NO FACTORS POINTING TOWARD THE CONTRARY. SST'S ARE AMPLE AT 28C. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY LOOKS FAVORABLE BOTH IN THE IMMIDIATE VICINITY OF THE CYCLONE AS WELL AS THE REGIONAL PATTERN. VERTICAL SHEAR ALSO REMAINS SMALL WITH NO MAJOR TROUGH NEARBY FOR SHEARING OR RECURVATURE. THE CLOUD PATTERN SHAPE IS RATHER CIRCULAR MEANING THAT NO STRONG EASTERLIES OR WESTERLIES ARE AFFECTING THE CIRCULATION. FORWARD MOTION SPEED HAS BEEN SLOW AS A SLOW WNW DRIFT CONTINUES. THIS QUASISTATIONARY ASPECT OF COURSE IS BOTHERSOME WITH RESPECT TO THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ESPECIALLY THIS LATE IN THE YEAR SO WE ARE WATCHING PAKA CLOSELY. THE FORECAST WILL MOVE IT WNW AT 5 KT OR SO GENERALLY FOLLOWING THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK. THE SOUTHERN TWIN...AS WE ARE TALKING ABOUT A COUPLET OF VORTICES MIRROR IMAGED ON THE EQUATOR...IS LOCATED AT NEARLY THE SAME LAT/LON SOUTH OF THE EQUATOR. IT HAS LAGGED A LITTLE IN DEVELOPMENT DURING TODAY BUT MAY CATCH UP. ROSENDAL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/0300Z 7.5N 167.4W 45 KTS 12HR VT 03/1200Z 7.6N 167.9W 50 KTS 24HR VT 04/0000Z 7.9N 168.6W 60 KTS 36HR VT 04/1200Z 8.5N 169.5W 65 KTS 48HR VT 05/0000Z 9.0N 170.5W 70 KTS 72HR VT 06/0000Z 10.5N 172.0W 70 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 3 11:37:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625979-21710>; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 10:59:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA28438; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 20:54:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7177326 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 20:54:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA32878 for ; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 20:53:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA03138 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 20:52:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712030252.UAA03138@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Dec 1997 20:52:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b38c5cf49fac4af8ed71329fa7da760f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 089 WTPA31 PHNL 030300 COR BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM PAKA ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST TUE DEC 02 1997 ...CORRECTED NAME OF STORM IN HEADER FROM FIVE TO PAKA... ...TROPICAL STORM PAKA GAINS STRENGTH FAR TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS... AT 5 PM HST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAKA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 7.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.4 WEST OR ABOUT 1100 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI. PAKA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 3 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM HST POSITION... 7.5 N...167.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM HST. ROSENDAL CPHC PHNL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 3 18:27:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626839-21704>; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 16:44:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA16888; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 02:42:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7179960 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 02:41:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA25548 for ; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 02:41:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA04234 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 02:41:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712030841.CAA04234@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Dec 1997 02:41:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Forecast/advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f4525f791fa1a9706d8d8cbbfad13827 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 813 WTPA21 PHNL 030900 TROPICAL STORM PAKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0597 0900Z WED DEC 03 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 8.2N 167.7W AT 03/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT....... 90NE 30SE 30SW 50NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 50SE 50SW 90NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 8.2N 167.7W AT 03/0900Z AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 8.0N 167.4W FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 8.7N 168.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW 34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 9.3N 170.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 70 KT 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 34 KT...120NE 60SE 60SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 9.9N 172.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT...150NE 90SE 90SW 120NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 8.2N 167.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 10.4N 174.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 11.4N 179.3W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 3 18:27:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626733-21704>; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 16:54:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA16656; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 02:42:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7179965 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 02:42:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA12504 for ; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 02:41:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA04236 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 02:41:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712030841.CAA04236@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Dec 1997 02:41:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Discussion Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8526235c4d13cc2a19d3619d88b06ec0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 814 WTPA41 PHNL 030900 TROPICAL STORM PAKA DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST TUE DEC 02 1997 PAKA HAS CONTINUED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THE PAST 6 HOURS BUT MAY BE ENTERING A BRIEF DECAY PERIOD. HOWEVER THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE WEST NORTHWEST FORECAST TRACK OF PAKA IS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN THOSE OF THE GFDL AND BETA ADVECTION MODELS. INITIALLY PAKA MOVES SLOWLY WEST NORTHWEST AND THEN ACCELERATES A BIT AS IT NEARS 10N WHERE THE LOW LEVEL EASTERLIES INCREASE. ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT AT THIS LATITUDE APPEARS DOUBTFUL AS INCREASING SHEAR IS ENCOUNTERED IN THE FORM OF WESTERLY WINDS ALOFT. LARSON FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/0900Z 8.2N 167.7W 45 KTS 12HR VT 03/1800Z 8.7N 168.7W 50 KTS 24HR VT 04/0600Z 9.3N 170.3W 60 KTS 36HR VT 04/1800Z 9.9N 172.3W 65 KTS 48HR VT 05/0600Z 10.4N 174.7W 70 KTS 72HR VT 06/0600Z 11.4N 179.3W 70 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 3 18:27:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626606-21708>; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 16:46:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA16680; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 02:42:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7179970 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 02:42:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA33498 for ; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 02:41:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA04238 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 02:41:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712030841.CAA04238@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Dec 1997 02:41:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: be5f8bbcf810669a21844ebe6dfb8f07 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 815 WTPA31 PHNL 030900 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM PAKA ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST TUE DEC 02 1997 AT 11 PM HST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAKA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 8.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.7 WEST OR ABOUT 1100 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU. PAKA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THE NEXT FEW DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES ...165 KM FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM HST POSITION... 8.2 N...167.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 996 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM HST...WEDNESDAY. LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 4 11:35:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627083-21710>; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 23:19:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA33998; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 09:17:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7182410 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 09:17:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA51176 for ; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 09:16:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA05570 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 09:16:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712031516.JAA05570@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Dec 1997 09:16:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a15cb87b88987151ad332e052031cdfc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 027 WTPA31 PHNL 031500 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM PAKA ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST WED DEC 03 1997 AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAKA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 8.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.8 WEST OR ABOUT 1100 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU. PAKA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOLLOWED BY A MORE WESTWARD MOTION THEREAFTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES ...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION... 8.5 N...167.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST AT 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 996 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM HST. LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 4 11:35:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627054-21711>; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 23:20:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA51108; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 09:17:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7182403 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 09:17:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA51154 for ; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 09:16:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA05568 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 09:16:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712031516.JAA05568@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Dec 1997 09:16:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Discussion Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: edaf3344a02b6adcbe5237d70aceb3e2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 026 WTPA41 PHNL 031500 TROPICAL STORM PAKA DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST WED DEC 03 1997 PAKA HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND HAS SHOWN SOME WEAKENING IN THE PAST SIX HOURS. HOWEVER OUTFLOW SEEMS TO BE STRONG AND NEW CONVECTION HAS BEGUN TO DEVELOP ALONG A FEEDER BAND IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT. THE FORECAST CONTINUES A SLOW NORTHWEST TRACK AND INTENSIFICATION DURING THE FIRST 24 HOURS. LATER THE TRACK TURNS MORE WESTWARD AND THE INTENSIFICATION ENDS AS PAKA MOVES INTO A MORE SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. THE TRACK CLOSELY FOLLOWS THAT OF THE GFDL AND THE SHALLOW BETA ADVECTION MODEL BUT AT A SLOWER WESTWARD SPEED. THE INTENSITY MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT IN CONTINUING TO DEVELOP PAKA THROUGH THE 72 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. HOWEVER SINCE PAKA HAS BEEN IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT THE PAST 24 HOURS AND HAS SHOWN ONLY SLIGHT STRENGTHENING THIS FORECAST IS NO LONGER ACCEPTED. LARSON FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/1500Z 8.5N 167.8W 45 KTS 12HR VT 04/0000Z 8.9N 168.5W 50 KTS 24HR VT 04/1200Z 9.3N 169.7W 55 KTS 36HR VT 05/0000Z 9.6N 171.3W 55 KTS 48HR VT 05/1200Z 9.9N 173.4W 50 KTS 72HR VT 06/1200Z 10.4N 178.2W 45 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 4 11:35:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627085-21708>; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 23:19:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA51054; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 09:17:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7182395 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 09:17:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA26320 for ; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 09:16:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA05567 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 09:16:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712031516.JAA05567@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Dec 1997 09:16:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Forecast/advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 816ebbf7ded386160528ef48fd2fca95 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 025 WTPA21 PHNL 031500 TROPICAL STORM PAKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0597 1500Z WED DEC 03 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 8.5N 167.8W AT 03/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 100NE 100SE 1000SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 8.5N 167.8W AT 03/1500Z AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 8.3N 167.6W FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 8.9N 168.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 9.3N 169.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 70 KT 50 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 9.6N 171.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 70 KT 50 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 8.5N 167.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 9.9N 173.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 10.4N 178.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 4 11:35:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627034-21704>; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 05:07:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA48306; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 15:04:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7186964 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 15:04:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA48368 for ; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 15:03:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA07225 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 15:03:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712032103.PAA07225@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Dec 1997 15:03:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Forecast/advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 79accdd2dfde5681e92162f052b2d0c8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 111 WTPA21 PHNL 032100 TROPICAL STORM PAKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0597 2100Z WED DEC 03 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM PAKA IS FARAWAY FROM HAWAII AND IS NOT A THREAT... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 8.6N 169.1W AT 03/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT.......100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 8.6N 169.1W AT 03/2100Z AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 8.5N 168.6W FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 9.0N 170.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 9.6N 173.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 70 KT 50 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW 34 KT...120NE 75SE 75SW 120NW FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 10.3N 175.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 70 KT 50 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW 34 KT...120NE 80SE 80SW 120NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 09N 169W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 11.1N 177.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 12.9N 176.8E MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 4 11:35:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627034-21711>; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 05:13:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA48358; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 15:04:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7186977 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 15:04:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA48784 for ; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 15:04:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA07229 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 15:03:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712032103.PAA07229@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Dec 1997 15:03:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Discussion Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 412f01f6973032400e7b4ea1e50aa27f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 140 WTPA41 PHNL 032100 TROPICAL STORM PAKA DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST WED DEC 3 1997 PAKA APPEARS TO HAVE BEGUN ITS WESTNORTHWEST MOVEMENT. WILL CONTINUE ITS CURRENT 10 KNOT MOVEMENT FOR THE NEXT DAY AND A HALF BEFORE INTRODUCING A STANDARD ACCELERATION TOWARD 15 KNOTS. WITH MODELS BEGINNING MODEST SHEARING ALOFT WITHIN 36 HOURS WILL KEEP PRESENT SLOW GROWTH TREND AS OPPOSED TO THE MORE AGGRESSIVE DEVELOPMENT OF THE SOMETIME EAGER SHIFOR MODEL...THIS DESPITE THE RELATIVELY WARM 28 DEGREE WATER UNDERLYING PAKAS PROJECTED PATH. MATSUDA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/2100Z 8.6N 169.1W 45 KTS 12HR VT 04/0600Z 9.0N 170.8W 45 KTS 24HR VT 04/1800Z 9.6N 173.0W 50 KTS 36HR VT 05/0600Z 10.3N 175.3W 55 KTS 48HR VT 05/1800Z 11.1N 177.9W 50 KTS 72HR VT 06/1800Z 12.9N 176.8E 45 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 4 11:35:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627034-21711>; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 05:12:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA40370; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 15:09:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7187085 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 15:09:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA41120 for ; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 15:09:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA07246 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 15:09:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712032109.PAA07246@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Dec 1997 15:09:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9247b48491b832e405544923d8cbf30b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 216 WTPA31 PHNL 032100 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM PAKA ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST WED DEC 03 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM PAKA IS FARAWAY FROM HAWAII AND IS NOT A THREAT... AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAKA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 8.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 169.1 WEST OR ABOUT 1100 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU. PAKA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996MB OR 29.41 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION 8.6N 169.1W. MOVEMENT TOWARD WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM HST. MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 4 11:36:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626570-15770>; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 10:58:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA40138; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 20:56:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7190366 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 20:56:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA29570 for ; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 20:56:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA10220 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 20:56:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712040256.UAA10220@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Dec 1997 20:56:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Discussion Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e7ce3fb5c232115558ba7104b5a460fe Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 351 WTPA41 PHNL 040300 TROPICAL STORM PAKA DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST WED DEC 3 1997 AFTER MOMENTARILY HALTING TROPICAL STORM PAKA NOW APPEARS TO BE CONTINUING ON ITS EARLIER WESTNORTHWEST COURSE OVER WARM 28 DEGREE WATER. WILL MAINTAIN A MORE CONSERVATIVE GROWTH PATTERN AS PAKA UNDERGOES MILD UPPER SHEARING IN 24 TO 36 HOURS...OVERNIGHT CB ENHANCEMENT WILL LIKELY STRENGTHEN THE STORM BEFORE HIGH LEVEL WESTERLY FLOW IMPOSES A PLATEAU. MATSUDA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 04/0300Z 8.6N 169.1W 45 KTS 12HR VT 04/1200Z 9.0N 170.7W 50 KTS 24HR VT 05/0000Z 9.6N 172.8W 55 KTS 36HR VT 05/1200Z 10.3N 175.1W 55 KTS 48HR VT 06/0000Z 11.1N 177.7W 50 KTS 72HR VT 07/0000Z 13.0N 177.0E 45 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 4 11:36:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626949-15767>; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 10:58:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA36852; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 20:57:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7190373 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 20:57:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA40158 for ; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 20:56:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA10224 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 20:56:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712040256.UAA10224@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Dec 1997 20:56:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Forecast/advisory Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9f07608f1a1646f64bae6d4d928503ff Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 352 WTPA21 PHNL 040200 TROPICAL STORM PAKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0597 0300Z THU DEC 4 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM PAKA 1100 MILES FROM HAWAII NOT A THREAT... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 8.6N 169.1W AT 04/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT.......100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 8.6N 169.1W AT 04/0300Z AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 8.5N 168.6W FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 9.0N 170.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 9.6N 172.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 70 KT 50 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW 34 KT...120NE 80SE 80SW 120NW FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 10.3N 175.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 70 KT 50 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW 34 KT...120NE 80SE 80SW 120NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 09N 169W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 11.1N 177.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 13.0N 177.0E MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 4 11:36:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627066-15763>; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 11:07:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA21742; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 21:05:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7190444 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 21:05:50 -0600 Received: from dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.43]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA49874 for ; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 21:05:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) with ESMTP id VAA03224 for ; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 21:05:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA10243 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 21:00:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712040300.VAA10243@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Dec 1997 21:00:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Forecast/advisory Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fa8e7acfc340ce8f4e6054ee14785175 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 457 WTPA21 PHNL 040300 TROPICAL STORM PAKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0597 0300Z THU DEC 4 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM PAKA 1100 MILES FROM HAWAII NOT A THREAT... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 8.6N 169.1W AT 04/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT.......100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 8.6N 169.1W AT 04/0300Z AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 8.5N 168.6W FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 9.0N 170.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 9.6N 172.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 70 KT 50 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW 34 KT...120NE 80SE 80SW 120NW FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 10.3N 175.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 70 KT 50 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW 34 KT...120NE 80SE 80SW 120NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 09N 169W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 11.1N 177.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 13.0N 177.0E MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 4 11:36:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626718-15770>; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 11:04:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA40096; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 21:02:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7190411 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 21:02:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA50288 for ; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 21:01:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA10247 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 21:01:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712040301.VAA10247@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Dec 1997 21:01:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Advisory Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e1b7f7abaa56a63750753309afa5a927 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 471 WTPA31 PHNL 040300 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM PAKA ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST WED DEC 3 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM PAKA 1100 MILES FROM HAWAII NOT A THREAT... AT 5 PM HST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAKA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 8.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 169.1 WEST OR ABOUT 1100 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU PAKA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996MB OR 29.41 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM HST POSITION 8.6N 169.1W. MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM HST. MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 4 17:04:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627220-15770>; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 16:14:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA27040; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 02:12:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7193050 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 02:12:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA40066 for ; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 02:12:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA11195 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 02:12:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712040812.CAA11195@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Dec 1997 02:12:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Forecast/advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5da52febaeba9949df0b498974ab68d0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 343 WTPA21 PHNL 040900 TROPICAL STORM PAKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0597 0900Z THU DEC 04 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM PAKA 1100 MILES FROM HAWAII NOT A THREAT... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 8.8N 169.6W AT 04/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT.......100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 8.8N 169.6W AT 04/0900Z AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 8.7N 169.3W FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 9.2N 170.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 9.8N 171.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 70 KT 50 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW 34 KT...120NE 80SE 80SW 120NW FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 10.7N 174.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 70 KT 50 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW 34 KT...120NE 80SE 80SW 120NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 8.8N 169.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 11.4N 176.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 13.3N 177.4E MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 4 17:04:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627210-15769>; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 16:15:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA35652; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 02:14:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7193069 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 02:14:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA13870 for ; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 02:14:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA11200 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 02:14:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712040814.CAA11200@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Dec 1997 02:14:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Discussion Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 93cd7b2048b473906cae77337c05308e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 350 WTPA41 PHNL 040900 TROPICAL STORM PAKA DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST WED DEC 03 1997 TROPICAL STORM PAKA HAS AGAIN SLOWED ITS FORWARD MOTION SPEED TO ABOUT 5 KT AS THE STEERING FLOW OVER THE AREA IS VERY WEAK. THE QUASISTATIONARY NATURE OF THE STORM IS LIKELY CAUSING UPWELLING OF COOLER WATER UNDERNEATH ITS CENTRAL CORE WHICH MAY SLOW FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. STORM LOOKS QUITE SYMMETRICAL OR CIRCULAR WHICH IS PROBABLY A REFLECTION OF THE LACK OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN THE AREA. WILL MOVE THE STORM WNW CLOSE TO THE OLD FORECAST TRACK AND KEEP THE SAME INTENSITY FORECASTS ALSO. ROSENDAL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 04/0900Z 8.8N 169.6W 45 KTS 12HR VT 04/1800Z 9.2N 170.4W 50 KTS 24HR VT 05/0600Z 9.8N 171.8W 55 KTS 36HR VT 05/1800Z 10.7N 174.2W 55 KTS 48HR VT 06/0600Z 11.4N 176.7W 50 KTS 72HR VT 07/0600Z 13.3N 177.4E 45 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 4 17:04:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627210-15763>; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 16:17:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA39110; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 02:15:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7193078 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 02:15:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA17586 for ; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 02:15:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA11215 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 02:15:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712040815.CAA11215@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Dec 1997 02:15:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1f91f1d33b209722f45d47cfe71d4f03 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 385 WTPA31 PHNL 040900 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM PAKA ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST WED DEC 03 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM PAKA 1100 MILES FROM HAWAII NOT A THREAT... AT 11 PM HST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAKA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 8.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 169.6 WEST OR ABOUT 1100 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. PAKA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM HST POSITION... 8.8 N...169.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 996 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM HST...THURSDAY. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 5 09:35:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626751-15767>; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 22:09:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA30792; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 08:03:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7195069 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 08:03:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA17440 for ; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 08:01:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA12327 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 08:01:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712041401.IAA12327@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Dec 1997 08:01:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Forecast/advisory Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 48627bdc59e335051194621ddfcfa36b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 674 WTPA21 PHNL 041500 TROPICAL STORM PAKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0597 1500Z THU DEC 04 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM PAKA 1100 MILES FROM HAWAII NOT A THREAT... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.2N 170.3W AT 04/1500Z. POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM. PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 5 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB. MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW. ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.2N 170.3W AT 04/1500Z. AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.1N 170.1W. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 9.4N 171.0W. MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 9.9N 172.3W. MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 70 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...120NE 80SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 10.5N 174.1W. MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.2N 170.3W. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 11.1N 176.4W. MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 12.0N 178.8E. MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 5 09:35:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627278-15763>; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 22:34:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA30816; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 08:10:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7195156 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 08:10:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA39150 for ; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 08:10:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA12354 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 08:10:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712041410.IAA12354@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Dec 1997 08:10:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Discussion Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 971860df652acb386d0d42b7455494fa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 921 WTPA41 PHNL 041500 TROPICAL STORM PAKA DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST THU DEC 04 1997 TROPICAL STORM PAKA IS MOVING SLOWLY ALONG A WEST NORTHWEST AWAY FROM THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE STEERING FLOW REMAINS WEAK AND THE DEEP LAYER MEAN FLOW OVER THE AREA SHOWS LITTLE CHANGE FOR ANOTHER 24 TO 48 HOURS. PAKA RETAINS ITS NICE CIRCULAR SHAPE WITH NEITHER EASTERLIES NOR WESTERLIES DOMINATING. OUTFLOW IN PARTICULAR TOWARD THE SOUTHERLY QUADRANTS LOOKS BETTER WITH GOOD STRIATIONS SHOWING IN THE CIRRUS FOR A NUMBER OF HOURS. THIS USUALLY A GOOD LEADING INDICATOR OF FURTHER DEEPENING SO WILL SLOWLY BOOST THE INTENSITY TOWARD THE HURRICANE STRENGTH THRESHOLD AS PAKA APPROACHES THE DATELINE. ROSENDAL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 04/1500Z 9.2N 170.3W 45 KTS 12HR VT 05/0000Z 9.4N 171.0W 50 KTS 24HR VT 05/1200Z 9.9N 172.3W 55 KTS 36HR VT 06/0000Z 10.5N 174.1W 60 KTS 48HR VT 06/1200Z 11.1N 176.4W 60 KTS 72HR VT 07/1200Z 12.0N 178.8E 65 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 5 09:35:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627278-15770>; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 22:16:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA36964; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 08:15:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7195196 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 08:15:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA51280 for ; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 08:15:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA12375 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 08:15:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712041415.IAA12375@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Dec 1997 08:15:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Advisory Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f6e1d4457e18cea992a67c5c9f53cc20 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 025 WTPA31 PHNL 041500 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM PAKA ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST THU DEC 04 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM PAKA 1100 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HAWAII AND NOT A THREAT TO THE ISLANDS... AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAKA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 170.3 WEST OR ABOUT 1100 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU. PAKA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION...9.2N 170.3W. MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM HST. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 5 09:35:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627280-15763>; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 22:34:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA36990; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 08:18:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7195214 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 08:18:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA41068 for ; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 08:18:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA12379 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 08:18:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712041418.IAA12379@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Dec 1997 08:18:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Discussion Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1b0c4f2f03f2da1ec8381a574dedd2e7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 082 WTPA41 PHNL 041500 COR TROPICAL STORM PAKA DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST THU DEC 04 1997 ...ADDED THE WORD PATH IN LINE 1... TROPICAL STORM PAKA IS MOVING SLOWLY ALONG A WEST NORTHWEST PATH AWAY FROM THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. STEERING FLOW REMAINS WEAK AND THE DEEP LAYER MEAN FLOW OVER THE AREA SHOWS LITTLE CHANGE FOR ANOTHER 24 TO 48 HOURS. PAKA RETAINS ITS NICE CIRCULAR SHAPE WITH NEITHER EASTERLIES NOR WESTERLIES DOMINATING. OUTFLOW IN PARTICULAR TOWARD THE SOUTHERLY QUADRANTS LOOKS BETTER WITH GOOD STRIATIONS SHOWING IN THE CIRRUS FOR A NUMBER OF HOURS. THIS USUALLY A GOOD LEADING INDICATOR OF FURTHER DEEPENING SO WILL SLOWLY BOOST THE INTENSITY TOWARD THE HURRICANE STRENGTH THRESHOLD AS PAKA APPROACHES THE DATELINE. ROSENDAL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 04/1500Z 9.2N 170.3W 45 KTS 12HR VT 05/0000Z 9.4N 171.0W 50 KTS 24HR VT 05/1200Z 9.9N 172.3W 55 KTS 36HR VT 06/0000Z 10.5N 174.1W 60 KTS 48HR VT 06/1200Z 11.1N 176.4W 60 KTS 72HR VT 07/1200Z 12.0N 178.8E 65 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 5 09:35:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627191-15767>; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 23:04:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA10616; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 08:31:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7195316 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 08:31:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA12390 for ; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 08:31:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA12415 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 08:31:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712041431.IAA12415@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Dec 1997 08:31:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Advisory Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 21048e8eb0be0056e7f48f16ea6f5787 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 324 WTPA31 PHNL 041500 COR BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM PAKA ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST THU DEC 04 1997 ...CORRECTED FORWARD MOTION SPEED IN PARAGRAPH...REPEATING ETC.. ...TROPICAL STORM PAKA 1100 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HAWAII AND NOT A THREAT TO THE ISLANDS... AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAKA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 170.3 WEST OR ABOUT 1100 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU. PAKA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION...9.2N 170.3W. MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM HST. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 5 09:35:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627345-15769>; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 04:45:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA35794; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 14:41:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7199629 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 14:41:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA25478 for ; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 14:41:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA14189 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 14:41:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712042041.OAA14189@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Dec 1997 14:41:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Forecast/advisory Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 670c124f37f35e6652c1243bcff8ddd1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 404 WTPA21 PHNL 042100 TROPICAL STORM PAKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0597 2100Z THU DEC 04 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM PAKA 1200 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HAWAII AND NOT A THREAT TO ANY ISLANDS... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.0N 171.1W AT 04/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 70 KT 50 KT....... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW 34 KT.......100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.0N 171.1W AT 04/2100Z AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 8.9N 170.9W FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 9.1N 171.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 70 KT 50 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 9.5N 173.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 34 KT...120NE 80SE 80SW 120NW FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 9.9N 174.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 34 KT...120NE 80SE 80SW 120NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.0N 171.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 10.5N 176.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 11.6N 179.4E MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 5 09:35:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627344-15769>; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 04:43:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA35598; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 14:42:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7199639 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 14:42:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA21398 for ; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 14:41:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA14193 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 14:41:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712042041.OAA14193@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Dec 1997 14:41:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Advisory Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0f38a4db1c898fc7f5343b6884e321ad Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 405 WTPA31 PHNL 042100 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM PAKA ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST THU DEC 04 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM PAKA 1200 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HAWAII AND NOT A THREAT TO ANY ISLANDS... AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAKA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 171.1 WEST OR ABOUT 1200 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU. PAKA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH ... 9 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. PAKA IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES ...185 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION... 9.0 N...171.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 992 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM HST. LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 5 09:35:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627351-15769>; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 04:43:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA35824; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 14:42:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7199634 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 14:41:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA39854 for ; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 14:41:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA14197 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 14:41:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712042041.OAA14197@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Dec 1997 14:41:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Discussion Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 83de3ece7d7413d237eebfed87329b5e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 427 WTPA41 PHNL 042100 TROPICAL STORM PAKA DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST THU DEC 04 1997 TROPICAL STORM PAKA CONTINUES ON ITS SLOW WEST NORTHWEST TRACK AWAY FROM THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. PAKA AHS SHOWN SOME INTENSIFICATION THE PAST 6 HOURS AND THE MAX WINDS HAVE BEEN INCREASED TO 55 KT. ALTHOUGH THERE MAY BE SOME GRADUAL INCREASE IT STILL SEEMS DOUBTFUL THAT PAKA WILL REACH HURRICANE INTENSITY ANY TIME SOON. ALTHOUGH OUTFLOW REMAINS GOOD...PAKA SHOULD BE MOVING INTO AN AREA OF INCREASING WESTERLY SHEAR ALOFT. THEREFORE HAVE FORECAST ONLY A SLIGHT INCREASE THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOLLOWED BY GRADUAL WEAKENING. LARSON FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 04/2100Z 9.0N 171.1W 55 KTS 12HR VT 05/0600Z 9.1N 171.8W 55 KTS 24HR VT 05/1800Z 9.5N 173.0W 60 KTS 36HR VT 06/0600Z 9.9N 174.2W 60 KTS 48HR VT 06/1800Z 10.5N 176.4W 55 KTS 72HR VT 07/1800Z 11.6N 179.4E 50 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 5 11:09:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626683-13578>; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 11:03:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA32808; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 21:02:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7202494 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 21:01:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA46090 for ; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 21:01:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA15491 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 21:01:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712050301.VAA15491@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Dec 1997 21:01:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Forecast/advisory Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 265024cfd582c2e0db00431234b4e493 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 456 WTPA21 PHNL 050300 TROPICAL STORM PAKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0597 0300Z FRI DEC 5 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM PAKA FARAWAY AND NOT A THREAT TO THE ISLANDS... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.3N 172.5W AT 05/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT 50 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 0NW 34 KT....... 90NE 45SE 45SW 90NW 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 45SE 45SW 90NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.3N 172.5W AT 05/0300Z AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.2N 172.1W FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 9.7N 173.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 70 KT 50 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW 34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 10.3N 175.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 0NW 34 KT... 90NE 45SE 45SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 10.9N 178.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 0NW 34 KT... 90NE 45SE 45SW 90NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 09N 173W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 11.6N 179.5E MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 13.0N 174.4E MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 5 11:09:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626146-13575>; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 11:04:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA36702; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 21:02:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7202502 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 21:02:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA39244 for ; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 21:02:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA15495 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 21:02:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712050302.VAA15495@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Dec 1997 21:02:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Discussion Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 39665b0af484276aa6ebad84a9182e4d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 481 WTPA41 PHNL 050300 TROPICAL STORM PAKA DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST THU DEC 4 1997 PAKA AFTER INTENSIFYING OVERNIGHT HAS WEAKENED THE PAST 6 HOURS. ITS CBS LESS PROMINENT THAN EARLIER WILL LIKELY BE REENHANCED TONIGHT BUT AS PAKA MOVES NORTH OF WEST INTO FIRMER WESTERLY SHEARING ALOFT WEAKENING IS AGAIN EXPECTED...A MORE DUE WEST PATH MAY KEEP PAKA IN A MORE FAVORABLE GROWTH ENVIRONMENT BUT BELIEVE AN EXTRAPOLATED COURSE PLUS FUTURE ACCELERATION THE MORE LIKELY COURSE. MATSUDA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 05/0300Z 9.3N 172.5W 50 KTS 12HR VT 05/1200Z 9.7N 173.8W 55 KTS 24HR VT 06/0000Z 10.3N 175.8W 50 KTS 36HR VT 06/1200Z 10.9N 178.0W 50 KTS 48HR VT 07/0000Z 11.6N 179.5E 45 KTS 72HR VT 08/0000Z 13.0N 174.4E 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 5 11:09:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626829-13578>; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 11:10:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA50348; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 21:08:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7202523 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 21:08:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA32922 for ; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 21:08:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA15515 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 21:08:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712050308.VAA15515@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Dec 1997 21:08:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Advisory Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: adf8ed3aee823a4fa2abcab7297465ed X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 589 WTPA31 PHNL 050300 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM PAKA ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST THU DEC 4 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM PAKA FARAWAY AND NOT A THREAT TO THE ISLANDS... AT 5 PM HST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAKA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 172.5 WEST OR ABOUT 1200 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU PAKA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SO FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992MB OR 29.29 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM HST POSITION 9.3N 172.5W. MOVEMENT TOWARD WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM HST. MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 5 17:00:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626803-13582>; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 16:37:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA13208; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 02:13:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7204156 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 02:12:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA30582 for ; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 02:12:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA16524 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 02:12:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712050812.CAA16524@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Dec 1997 02:12:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Forecast/advisory Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 36e675eb4981df3c97df4117db5ffae0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 568 WTPA21 PHNL 050900 TROPICAL STORM PAKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0597 0900Z FRI DEC 05 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM PAKA FARAWAY AND NOT A THREAT TO THE ISLANDS... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.1N 173.1W AT 05/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT 50 KT....... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW 34 KT....... 90NE 45SE 45SW 90NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.1N 173.1W AT 05/0900Z AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.1N 172.7W FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 9.3N 174.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW 34 KT... 90NE 45SE 45SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 9.7N 175.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW 34 KT... 90NE 45SE 45SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 9.9N 177.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW 34 KT... 90NE 45SE 45SW 90NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.1N 173.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 10.4N 179.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 11.2N 176.1E MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 5 17:00:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626629-13580>; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 16:35:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA42246; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 02:19:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7204179 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 02:19:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA24560 for ; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 02:19:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA16537 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 02:18:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712050818.CAA16537@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Dec 1997 02:18:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Discussion Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 51d5e2bda8f2a96c3891317ff277c5f9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 674 WTPA41 PHNL 050900 TROPICAL STORM PAKA DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST THU DEC 04 1997 TROPICAL STORM PAKA APPEARS LESS ORGANIZED THIS EVENING AS THE LARGER SCALE ENVIRONMENT AROUND THE STORM SHOWS CONVECTION POPPING UP WHERE SUBSIDENCE SHOULD BE PREVALENT. EARLIER TODAY A SMALL DRY SLOT APPEARED IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT AS IF UPPER WESTERLIES WERE MAKING THEMSELVES FELT WITH THE RESULTANT EFFECTS OF SHEARING. THE SOUTHERN TWIN TO THE NORTHEAST OF SAMOA THAT LOOKED DISORGANIZED YESTERDAY NOW LOOKS MUCH BETTER. SO THESE SYSTEMS DO GO THROUGH THEIR CYCLES THAT MAY BE CORRELATED IN SOME FASHION. HAVE KEPT THE INTENSITY OF PAKA AT CURRENT LEVELS TILL WE GET A BETTER IDEA OF TRENDS. ALSO HAVE KEPT THE TRACK GENERALLY UNCHANGED WEST NORTHWESTWARD THOUGH A TAD SLOWER AS PAKA APPROACHES THE DATELINE. ROSENDAL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 05/0900Z 9.1N 173.1W 50 KTS 12HR VT 05/1800Z 9.3N 174.1W 50 KTS 24HR VT 06/0600Z 9.7N 175.5W 50 KTS 36HR VT 06/1800Z 9.9N 177.1W 50 KTS 48HR VT 07/0600Z 10.4N 179.1W 45 KTS 72HR VT 08/0600Z 11.2N 176.1E 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 5 17:00:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626770-13580>; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 16:35:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA43872; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 02:20:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7204184 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 02:20:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAB13870 for ; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 02:20:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA16541 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 02:19:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712050819.CAA16541@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Dec 1997 02:19:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Advisory Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f8ceacbb8e7eeb26f4b11dc2cf19e7a0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 719 WTPA31 PHNL 050900 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM PAKA ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST THU DEC 04 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM PAKA FARAWAY AND NOT A THREAT TO THE ISLANDS... AT 11 PM HST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAKA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 173.1 WEST OR ABOUT 1200 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. PAKA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM HST POSITION... 9.1 N...173.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 995 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM HST...FRIDAY. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 7 12:58:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626925-13578>; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 21:45:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA63014; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 07:42:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7206129 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 07:42:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA37394 for ; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 07:42:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA17496 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 07:42:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712051342.HAA17496@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Dec 1997 07:42:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Forecast/advisory Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e1cc31a3fb5d321a08d9705abaee2dff Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 765 WTPA21 PHNL 051500 TROPICAL STORM PAKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0597 1500Z FRI DEC 05 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM PAKA WEAKENING... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.5N 173.3W AT 05/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT....... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.5N 173.3W AT 05/1500Z AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.4N 173.0W FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 9.7N 174.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 10.1N 176.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 10.4N 178.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.5N 173.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 10.6N 179.2E MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 11.0N 174.5E MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 7 12:58:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626856-13580>; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 21:50:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA04758; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 07:44:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7206134 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 07:44:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA17524 for ; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 07:44:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA17500 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 07:44:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712051344.HAA17500@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Dec 1997 07:44:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Discussion Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 47eb557ce79791a3eccb2c9154ed91f1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 810 WTPA41 PHNL 051500 TROPICAL STORM PAKA DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST FRI DEC 05 1997 TROPICAL STORM PAKA IS WEAKENING FAR TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE ISLANDS. PAKA APPEARS TO BE UNDER SHEAR STRESS WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER MOVING OFF TO THE EDGE OF THE CONVECTION. A LARGE AREA OF DRY AIR ALONG THE NORTHERN EDGE PUSHING DOWN FROM THE NORTH MAY BE CAUSING ENTRAINMENT AND INCREASED STABILITY TO A DEGREE THAT SHEARING IS MADE EASY. THE FORECAST THUS CALLS FOR A GRADUAL WEAKENING WITH THE VORTEX MOVING ALONG WESTWARD IN THE TRADES. ROSENDAL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 05/1500Z 9.5N 173.3W 45 KTS 12HR VT 06/0000Z 9.7N 174.3W 40 KTS 24HR VT 06/1200Z 10.1N 176.1W 35 KTS 36HR VT 07/0000Z 10.4N 178.4W 35 KTS 48HR VT 07/1200Z 10.6N 179.2E 35 KTS 72HR VT 08/1200Z 11.0N 174.5E 35 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 7 12:58:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626968-13575>; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 22:09:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA34308; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 07:45:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7206141 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 07:45:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA34518 for ; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 07:45:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA17513 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 07:45:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712051345.HAA17513@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Dec 1997 07:45:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Advisory Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e0f282711c10b1223a11d9954f05a929 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 847 WTPA31 PHNL 051500 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM PAKA ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST FRI DEC 05 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM PAKA WEAKENING... AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAKA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 173.3 WEST OR ABOUT 1200 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. PAKA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION... 9.5 N...173.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM HST. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 7 12:58:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627364-13580>; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 04:35:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA53922; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 14:31:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7210343 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 14:31:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA23134 for ; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 14:31:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA01450 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 14:31:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712052031.OAA01450@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Dec 1997 14:31:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Forecast/advisory Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 18a6daf80efea85e4fab1bdd39df035c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 103 WTPA21 PHNL 052100 TROPICAL STORM PAKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0597 2100Z FRI DEC 05 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM PAKA WEAKENING... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.8N 174.0W AT 05/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.8N 174.0W AT 05/2100Z AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.7N 173.6W FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 10.0N 175.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 10.3N 176.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 10.7N 177.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.8N 174.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 11.0N 179.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 11.8N 176.7E MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 7 12:58:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627354-13575>; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 04:38:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA43218; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 14:31:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7210348 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 14:31:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA37734 for ; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 14:31:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA01454 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 14:31:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712052031.OAA01454@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Dec 1997 14:31:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Discussion Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 52ee48a5d335dcae96efa7a80f487609 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 104 WTPA41 PHNL 052100 TROPICAL STORM PAKA DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST FRI DEC 05 1997 THE CENTER OF PAKA IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE...ESPECIALLY ON INFRA-RED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS FACT IS REINFORCED BY THE WIDELY DIVERGENT SATELLITE FIXES FROM GLOBAL WEATHER CENTER AND THIS OFFICE. HOPEFULLY VISIBLE IMAGERY WILL HELP PINPOINT THE CENTER FOR THE NEXT FORECAST PACKAGE. IN THE MEANTIME...THE 18Z POSITION SPLITS THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE TWO FIXES AND MAINTAINS A SLOW MOTION SLIGHTLY NORTH OF DUE WEST IN THE TRADEWIND BELT. THE BULK OF OBJECTIVE AIDS KEEP PAKA ON A SLIGHT MORE NORTHWARD TRACK THAN THE OFFICIAL TRACK. CONDITIONS REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT ...AND IN FACT A GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. CRAIG. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 05/2100Z 9.8N 174.0W 45 KTS 12HR VT 06/0600Z 10.0N 175.0W 40 KTS 24HR VT 06/1800Z 10.3N 176.4W 35 KTS 36HR VT 07/0600Z 10.7N 177.7W 35 KTS 48HR VT 07/1800Z 11.0N 179.5W 35 KTS 72HR VT 08/1800Z 11.8N 176.7E 35 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 7 12:58:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627354-13580>; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 04:33:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA35856; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 14:32:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7210359 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 14:31:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA38588 for ; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 14:31:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA01458 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 14:31:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712052031.OAA01458@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Dec 1997 14:31:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Advisory Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 320397027a93724f65dcd901da3d8645 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 105 WTPA31 PHNL 052100 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM PAKA ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST FRI DEC 05 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM PAKA WEAKENING... AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAKA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 174.0 WEST OR ABOUT 1300 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU. PAKA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ANOTHER 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION... 9.8 N...174.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM HST. CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 7 13:00:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626134-1583>; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 10:30:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA24648; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 20:27:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7213765 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 20:27:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA12540 for ; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 20:27:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA04301 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 20:27:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712060227.UAA04301@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Dec 1997 20:27:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Advisory Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 46c3069340c38e2429687517b80fec64 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 981 WTPA31 PHNL 060300 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM PAKA ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST FRI DEC 05 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM PAKA ACCELERATES TO THE WEST... AT 5 PM HST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAKA WAS RELOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 176.9 WEST OR ABOUT 1500 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU. PAKA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ANOTHER 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM HST POSITION... 9.3 N...176.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM HST. CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 7 13:00:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626134-1587>; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 10:46:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA53656; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 20:31:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7213938 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 20:31:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA24698 for ; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 20:31:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA04316 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 20:31:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712060231.UAA04316@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Dec 1997 20:31:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Discussion Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a1fd17ec2eb900da19e7765dc38d559e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 070 WTPA41 PHNL 060300 TROPICAL STORM PAKA DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST FRI DEC 05 1997 DAYTIME VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT PAKA ACCELERATED TO THE WEST OVERNIGHT. SINCE PAKA WAS NOT ALL THAT ORGANIZED LAST NIGHT...LOCATING THE CENTER USING INFRA-RED IMAGERY WAS DIFFICULT AT BEST. THE 00Z POSITION RELOCATES PAKA WEST OF 175W AND IS CLOSE TO BOTH THE GLOBAL WEATHER CENTER AND THIS OFFICES FIXES. THE NEW AND IMPROVED FORECAST TRACK KEEPS PAKA ON A WESTWARD TRACK AT ABOUT 10 KT. IF CORRECT...PAKA WILL CROSS THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE 18 TO 24 HOURS FROM NOW. THE INTENSITY FORECAST SLOWLY WEAKENS PAKA AND IS IN AGREEMENT WITH GFDL MODEL DATA. CRAIG. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/0300Z 9.3N 176.9W 40 KTS 12HR VT 06/1200Z 9.3N 178.4W 40 KTS 24HR VT 07/0000Z 9.3N 179.7E 40 KTS 36HR VT 07/1200Z 9.5N 177.7E 35 KTS 48HR VT 08/0000Z 9.7N 175.7E 35 KTS 72HR VT 09/0000Z 10.3N 171.3E 35 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 7 13:00:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626423-1583>; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 10:34:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA40412; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 20:31:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7213952 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 20:31:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA34474 for ; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 20:31:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA04320 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 20:31:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712060231.UAA04320@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Dec 1997 20:31:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Forecast/advisory Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 91a00b54866f7b47aa0c9e13fa1a4017 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 071 WTPA21 PHNL 060300 TROPICAL STORM PAKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0597 0300Z SAT DEC 06 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM PAKA ACCELERATES TO THE WEST... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.3N 176.9W AT 06/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.3N 176.9W AT 06/0300Z AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.3N 176.4W FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 9.3N 178.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 9.3N 179.7E MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 9.5N 177.7E MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.3N 176.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 9.7N 175.7E MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 10.3N 171.3E MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 7 13:01:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627404-1587>; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 16:55:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA37500; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 02:52:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7216365 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 02:52:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA61278 for ; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 02:51:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05379 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 02:51:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712060851.CAA05379@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Dec 1997 02:51:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Forecast/advisory Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2f7dd19bafdb100378716d32f31328d7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 882 WTPA21 PHNL 060900 TROPICAL STORM PAKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0597 0900Z SAT DEC 6 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM PAKA HEADS RAPIDLY TOWARD THE DATELINE... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.0N 178.8W AT 06/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT....... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.0N 178.8W AT 06/0900Z AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.0N 178.0W FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 9.0N 178.8E MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 9.4N 175.6E MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 9.8N 172.4E MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 09N 179W. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 10.4N 169.2E MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 11.9N 163.2E MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 7 13:01:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627402-1588>; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 16:55:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA37528; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 02:52:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7216370 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 02:52:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA14706 for ; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 02:52:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05383 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 02:52:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712060852.CAA05383@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Dec 1997 02:52:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Discussion Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4ac7ab58e3e2bcdd7d8ea0970d2ca906 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 883 WTPA41 PHNL 060900 TROPICAL STORM PAKA DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST FRI DEC 5 1997 PAKA HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS...ITS CLOUD PATTERN INCREASINGLY DISORGANIZED. HOWEVER WILL NOT NOW FORECAST A FURTHER DOWNGRADE DUE TO ITS STEADY WESTWARD MOVEMENT OVER WARM SOUTHERN WATERS THRU A CONSISTENT NONSHEARING EASTERLY ENVIRONMENT DURING OVERNIGHT HOURS FAVORABLE FOR CBS. MODELS ARE GENERALLY CONSISTENT POINTING TO A FAIRLY RAPID WESTWARD PATH. MATSUDA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/0900Z 9.0N 178.8W 35 KTS 12HR VT 06/1800Z 9.0N 178.8E 35 KTS 24HR VT 07/0600Z 9.4N 175.6E 35 KTS 36HR VT 07/1800Z 9.8N 172.4E 35 KTS 48HR VT 08/0600Z 10.4N 169.2E 35 KTS 72HR VT 09/0600Z 11.9N 163.2E 35 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 7 13:01:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627401-1588>; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 16:54:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA19944; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 02:53:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7216379 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 02:53:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA32704 for ; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 02:53:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05387 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 02:53:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712060853.CAA05387@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Dec 1997 02:53:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Advisory Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a6b51a024416fbb02e8d0c913a76e5fa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 923 WTPA31 PHNL 060900 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM PAKA ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST FRI DEC 5 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM PAKA HEADS RAPIDLY TOWARD THE DATELINE... AT 11 PM HST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAKA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 178.8 WEST OR ABOUT 1600 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU PAKA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000MB OR 29.53 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM HST POSITION...9.0N 178.8W. MOVEMENT TOWARD WEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM HST SATURDAY. MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 7 13:02:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627373-1583>; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 23:02:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA63214; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 09:01:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7218233 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 09:01:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA37592 for ; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 09:01:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA06930 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 09:01:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712061501.JAA06930@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Dec 1997 09:01:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Forecast/advisory Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 92203620c1b4116d4cbe74965db78acd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 057 WTPA21 PHNL 061500 TROPICAL STORM PAKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0597 1500Z SAT DEC 6 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM PAKA ABOUT TO CROSS THE DATELINE AND LEAVE THE CENTRAL PACIFIC AREA... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.0N 179.7W AT 06/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT....... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.0N 179.7W AT 06/1500Z AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.0N 179.0W FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 9.1N 178.2E MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 9.3N 175.2E MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 9.7N 172.0E MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 09N 180 EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 10.2N 168.8E MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 11.8N 162.4E MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 7 13:02:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627374-1583>; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 23:02:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA22544; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 09:01:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7218238 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 09:01:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA37628 for ; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 09:01:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA06934 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 09:01:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712061501.JAA06934@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Dec 1997 09:01:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Discussion Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5119951e4fe0df235d5082512b2c0dbe Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 058 WTPA41 PHNL 061500 TROPICAL STORM PAKA DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST SAT DEC 6 1997 CBS HAVE INCREASED AROUND PAKA BUT ITS CENTER HAS BEEN DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. THE MOVEMENT OF PAKAS OVERALL CLOUD MASS HAS BEEN FIRMLY WESTWARD. ALL MODEL GUIDANCE ARE IN AGREEMENT MOVING THE SYSTEM NEARLY DUE WEST AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SHIFOR CONTINUES TO INCREASE STORM STRENGTH DESPITE NATURES SO FAR NONCOMPLIANCE. WILL THUS PRESERVE CURRENT INTENSITY THRU 72 HOURS...ALSO HESITATE TO WEAKEN STORM DUE TO WARM WATER PATH AND CURRENT CB COVERAGE. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL BULLETIN ISSUED BY THE CPHC HONOLULU. JTWC GUAM WILL ISSUE THE NEXT WARNING AT 062100Z. MATSUDA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/1500Z 9.0N 179.7W 35 KTS 12HR VT 07/0000Z 9.1N 178.2E 35 KTS 24HR VT 07/1200Z 9.3N 175.2E 35 KTS 36HR VT 08/0000Z 9.7N 172.0E 35 KTS 48HR VT 08/1200Z 10.2N 168.8E 35 KTS 72HR VT 09/1200Z 11.8N 162.4E 35 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 7 13:02:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627370-1588>; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 23:08:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA61522; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 09:05:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7218267 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 09:05:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA37438 for ; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 09:05:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA06952 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 09:05:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712061505.JAA06952@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Dec 1997 09:05:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Discussion Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2c5da7842644f75ca6fec9aa6d0e954b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 133 WTPA41 PHNL 061500 TROPICAL STORM PAKA DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST SAT DEC 6 1997 CBS HAVE INCREASED AROUND PAKA BUT ITS CENTER HAS BEEN DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. THE MOVEMENT OF PAKAS OVERALL CLOUD MASS HAS BEEN FIRMLY WESTWARD. ALL MODEL GUIDANCE ARE IN AGREEMENT MOVING THE SYSTEM NEARLY DUE WEST AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SHIFOR CONTINUES TO INCREASE STORM STRENGTH DESPITE NATURES SO FAR NONCOMPLIANCE. WILL THUS PRESERVE CURRENT INTENSITY THRU 72 HOURS...ALSO HESITATE TO WEAKEN STORM DUE TO WARM WATER PATH AND CURRENT CB COVERAGE. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL BULLETIN ISSUED BY THE CPHC HONOLULU. JTWC GUAM WILL ISSUE THE NEXT WARNING AT 062100Z. MATSUDA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/1500Z 9.0N 179.7W 35 KTS 12HR VT 07/0000Z 9.1N 178.2E 35 KTS 24HR VT 07/1200Z 9.3N 175.2E 35 KTS 36HR VT 08/0000Z 9.7N 172.0E 35 KTS 48HR VT 08/1200Z 10.2N 168.8E 35 KTS 72HR VT 09/1200Z 11.8N 162.4E 35 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 7 13:02:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627275-1583>; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 23:08:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA43310; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 09:07:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7218297 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 09:07:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA31454 for ; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 09:06:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA06956 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 09:06:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712061506.JAA06956@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Dec 1997 09:06:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Paka Advisory Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 497524352ec7a486fe0344b503df1290 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 134 WTPA31 PHNL 061500 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM PAKA ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST SAT DEC 6 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM PAKA ABOUT TO CROSS THE DATELINE AND LEAVE THE CENTRAL PACIFIC AREA... AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAKA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 179.7 WEST OR ABOUT 1600 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU PAKA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000MB OR 29.53 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION...9.0N 179.7W. MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY JTWC GUAM AT 11 AM HST. MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102690-362>; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 18:04:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA235052; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 04:53:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5870956 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 04:53:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA134170 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 04:53:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id EAA00601 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 04:53:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707110953.EAA00601@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Jul 1997 04:53:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Central Pacific Between 140w And 180 [111000] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 82b6ffea8596f0d1956cf053d3e616f8 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1216 Status: OR 215 ABPA20 PHNL 111000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST FRIDAY JULY 11 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES WAS LOCATED AT 19.7N 138.4W...ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST OF HILO...AT 11 PM HST. THE STORM IS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH AND CONTINUES TO WEAKEN. DOLORES...OR AT LEAST ITS REMNANT...IS FORECAST TO CROSS 140W INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC AROUND 8 AM FRIDAY. SEE WTPZ21 KNHC BULLETINS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR DETAILS WHILE THE SYSTEM IS EAST OF 140W. IF THE SYSTEM HAS NOT DISSIPATED BEFORE IT CROSSES 140W...THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU WILL START ISSUING BULLETINS ON IT. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH FRIDAY. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103027-263>; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 04:52:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA23904; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 15:37:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5874696 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 15:37:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA254540 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 15:37:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA13607 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 15:37:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707112037.PAA13607@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Jul 1997 15:37:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: National Weather Service Honolulu Hi Ep0697 [112100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 01c170cf500ab9a07f32a969ace15a85 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1416 Status: OR 397 WTPA21 PHNL 112100 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0697 2100Z FRI JUL 11 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 140.6W AT 11/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 140.6W AT 11/2100Z AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 140.0W FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 22.2N 142.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 23.4N 144.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 24.2N 147.1W MAX WIND 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.3N 140.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 24.8N 149.6W MAX WIND 25 KT OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 25.8N 154.9W MAX WIND 20 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103195-362>; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 04:51:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA24032; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 15:38:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5874708 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 15:38:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA88010 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 15:38:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA13642 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 15:38:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707112038.PAA13642@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Jul 1997 15:38:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: National Weather Service Honolulu Hi [112100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0c3729bc85ae06430bc7d547e266efb4 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1189 Status: OR 423 WTPA41 PHNL 112100 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES DISCUSSION NUMBER 25 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST FRI JUL 11 1997 THE FORECAST TRACK MOVES DOLORES NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AND IS IN CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH THE SHALLOW BETA ADVECTION MODEL AND THE AVIATION MODEL. DOLORES IS KEPT ON A WEST NORTHWEST COURSE AND SINCE IT IS FORECAST TO MOVE UNDER AN UPPER TROUGH IS NOT EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. CRAIG FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/2100Z 21.3N 140.6W 30 KTS 12HR VT 12/0600Z 22.2N 142.3W 30 KTS 24HR VT 12/1800Z 23.4N 144.6W 30 KTS 36HR VT 13/0600Z 24.2N 147.1W 30 KTS 48HR VT 13/1800Z 24.8N 149.6W 25 KTS 72HR VT 14/1800Z 25.8N 154.9W 20 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103061-263>; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 04:56:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA64328; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 15:39:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5874716 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 15:39:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA191286 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 15:39:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA13666 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 15:39:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707112039.PAA13666@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Jul 1997 15:39:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Dolores Advisory Number 25 [112100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 68f9a96c217f85574acb6ee6aa0c4552 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1356 Status: OR 424 WTPA31 PHNL 112100 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST FRI JUL 11 1997 AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 140.6 WEST OR ABOUT 930 MILES EAST OF HILO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH ...22 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...21.3 N...140.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM HST. CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102256-263>; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 06:33:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA74442; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 17:04:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5875222 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 17:04:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA226656 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 17:03:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id RAA15129 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 17:03:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707112203.RAA15129@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Jul 1997 17:04:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Central Pacific Between 140w And 180 [112200] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 87ed2802a8ef4bb1325b1e303d104e65 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1038 Status: OR 432 ABPA20 PHNL 112200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST FRIDAY JULY 11 1997 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING BULLETIN ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES...ABOUT 1100 STATUTE MILES EAST OF HONOLULU AT 11 AM...NEAR 21.3N 140.6W AT 11/2100Z. SEE WTPA21 PHNL. A WELL DEVELOPED VORTEX NEAR 15N 172W...ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTHWEST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND...HAS NO CONVECTIVE CLOUDS NEAR ITS CENTER AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH SATURDAY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102206-8757>; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 10:46:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA208630; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 21:33:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5876592 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 21:33:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA208588 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 21:33:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA18091 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 21:33:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707120233.VAA18091@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Jul 1997 21:33:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Dolores Forecast/advisory Number 26 [] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e405488f52bd19fd874ef3ae7173af90 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1443 Status: OR 280 WTPA21 PHNL 120300 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0697 0300Z SAT JUL 12 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 141.9W AT 12/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 141.9W AT 12/0300Z AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 141.3W FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 24.0N 143.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 25.5N 146.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 26.4N 149.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.7N 141.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 27.0N 152.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 27.7N 157.8W MAX WIND 25 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102168-263>; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 10:47:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA208400; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 21:33:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5876597 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 21:33:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA156116 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 21:33:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA18094 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 21:33:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707120233.VAA18094@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Jul 1997 21:33:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: National Weather Service Honolulu Hi [120300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9e0383fd8ff97ef8f1a2665b381421ee X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1383 Status: OR 281 WTPA41 PHNL 120300 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES DISCUSSION NUMBER 26 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST FRI JUL 11 1997 THE FORECAST TRACK TAKES DOLORES TO THE NORTHWEST INITIALLY AND THEN SLOWS IT SLIGHTLY AS IT MOVES MORE WEST NORTHWEST AFTER 24 HOURS. THIS TRACK IS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE SHALLOW BETA ADVECTION MODEL AND THE AVIATION MODEL. THE INTENSITY IS MAINTAINED THROUGH 48 HOURS AS DOLORES MOVES BENEATH AN UPPER TROUGH AND TO THE SOUTH OF A WEAKNESS IN THE SURFACE RIDGE TO THE NORTH. THE INFLUENCE OF THE UPPER TROUGH AND THE DECELERATION MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY A REDEVELOP OF CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER. LARSON FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/0300Z 22.7N 141.9W 30 KTS 12HR VT 12/1200Z 24.0N 143.9W 30 KTS 24HR VT 13/0000Z 25.5N 146.8W 30 KTS 36HR VT 13/1200Z 26.4N 149.7W 30 KTS 48HR VT 14/0000Z 27.0N 152.6W 30 KTS 72HR VT 15/0000Z 27.7N 157.8W 25 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102194-8757>; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 10:52:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA254710; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 21:39:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5876640 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 21:39:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA134372 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 21:33:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA18097 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 21:33:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707120233.VAA18097@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Jul 1997 21:39:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Dolores Advisory Number 26 [120300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9f179e9cc5f6ede8ee2b6f103dc1907d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1342 Status: OR 282 WTPA31 PHNL 120300 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST FRI JUL 11 1997 AT 5 PM HST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 141.9 WEST OR ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST OF HONOLULU. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH ...28 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM HST POSITION...22.7 N...141.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM HST. LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102194-8757>; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 11:09:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA226760; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 21:50:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5876699 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 21:50:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA181428 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 21:50:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA18267 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 21:50:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707120250.VAA18267@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Jul 1997 21:50:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: National Weather Service Honolulu Hi Ep0697 [120300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8d8b2602489b63dc433583072556650a X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1442 Status: OR 470 WTPA21 PHNL 120300 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0697 0300Z SAT JUL 12 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 141.9W AT 12/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 141.9W AT 12/0300Z AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 141.3W FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 24.0N 143.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 25.5N 146.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 26.4N 149.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.7N 141.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 27.0N 152.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 27.7N 157.8W MAX WIND 25 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102588-8757>; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 17:05:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA220680; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 03:39:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5877958 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 03:39:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA82922 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 03:39:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA23370 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 03:39:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707120839.DAA23370@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Jul 1997 03:39:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: National Weather Service Honolulu Hi [120900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a40795da47d4edaae29b74dff9d0b398 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1519 Status: OR 364 WTPA41 PHNL 120900 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES DISCUSSION NUMBER 27 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST FRI JUL 11 1997 DOLORES APPEARS NOW TO BE MOVING MORE WESTERLY THAN ITS EARLIER NORTHWEST DIRECTION. WITH THE DEPRESSION LOSING MOST OF ITS HIGHER CONVECTION ITS PATH SHOULD BE MORE INFLUENCED BY THE LOWER LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW. HOWEVER WILL KEEP THE PROJECTED TRACK JUST NORTH OF WEST AS THE SURFACE RIDGE WEAKENS NORTH OF HAWAII. WILL ALSO REDUCE ITS PATH SPEED FROM THE CURRENT 14 KNOTS TO CLOSER TO 12 KNOTS IN THE 48 AND 72 HOUR PERIODS AS IT PASSES UNDER THE WEAKENED RIDGE. ALTHOUGH SOME CONVECTION MAY REDEVELOP UNDER THE UPPER TROUGHING WEST OF THE DEPRESSION WILL MAINTAIN ITS GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND AS IT MOVES OVER COOL 25 DEGREE WATER. MATSUDA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/0900Z 22.4N 143.4W 30 KTS 12HR VT 12/1800Z 23.0N 145.5W 30 KTS 24HR VT 13/0600Z 23.8N 148.5W 30 KTS 36HR VT 13/1800Z 24.7N 151.1W 30 KTS 48HR VT 14/0600Z 25.5N 153.6W 25 KTS 72HR VT 15/0600Z 26.1N 158.4W 25 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102551-263>; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 17:05:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA134270; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 03:41:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5877971 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 03:41:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA64396 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 03:38:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA23359 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 03:38:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707120838.DAA23359@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Jul 1997 03:41:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: National Weather Service Honolulu Hi Ep0697 [120900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 833fde1382d3b466a0a723bb3a7c6127 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1443 Status: OR 344 WTPA21 PHNL 120900 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0697 0900Z SAT JUL 12 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 143.4W AT 12/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 143.4W AT 12/0900Z AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 142.7W FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 23.0N 145.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 23.8N 148.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 24.7N 151.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.4N 143.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 25.5N 153.6W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 30 KT OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 26.1N 158.4W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102551-8757>; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 17:07:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA210858; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 03:43:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5877978 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 03:42:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA210830 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 03:38:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA23360 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 03:38:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707120838.DAA23360@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Jul 1997 03:42:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Dolores Advisory Number 27 [120900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 78f47fadbee09e27ffab16c0751e1754 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1416 Status: OR 345 WTPA31 PHNL 120900 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST FRI JUL 11 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES TO PASS WELL NORTH OF HAWAII SUNDAY AND MONDAY... AT 11 PM HST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 143.4 WEST OR ABOUT 750 MILES EASTNORTHEAST OF HILO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB OR 29.83 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM HST POSITION...22.4N 143.4W. MOVEMENT TOWARD WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM HST SATURDAY. MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102551-263>; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 18:02:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA234750; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 04:53:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5878099 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 04:53:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA134380 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 04:53:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id EAA23969 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 04:53:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707120953.EAA23969@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Jul 1997 04:53:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Central Pacific Between 140w And 180 [121000] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 892374bd9160156a5d8f83907538f41e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1018 Status: OR 277 ABPA20 PHNL 121000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST SATURDAY JULY 12 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 143.4W...700 NM EAST NORTHEAST OF HILO AT 0830 UTC...2230 HST. MOVEMENT WAS TO THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 14 KT. DEEP CONVECTION IS NON-EXISTENT AND THE ENTIRE SYSTEM CONSISTS OF STABLE LOW CLOUDS OR LAYERS OF STABLE CLOUDS. SEE LATEST WTPA31 PHNL BULLETINS FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH SUNDAY. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102720-263>; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 22:46:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA82734; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 09:42:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5880436 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 09:41:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA220890 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 09:40:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA26618 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 09:40:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707121440.JAA26618@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Jul 1997 09:41:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: National Weather Service Honolulu Hi [121500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fbd60507ba4f21c5ed1ec753df4f7021 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1462 Status: OR 435 WTPA41 PHNL 121500 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES DISCUSSION NUMBER 28 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST SAT JUL 12 1997 ALTHO NO CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH DOLORES WILL MAINTAIN 30 KNOT MAX SPEED AS LOWER CLOUD FIELD CONTINUES TO SHOW GOOD ROTATION WHOSE NORTHWARD GRADIENT COULD EASILY BE TIGHTENED BY THE NORTHEAST PAC HIGH. EMBEDDED IN BROAD TRADE BELT DOLORES SHOULD MAINTAIN AN ESSENTIALLY EXTRAPOLATIVE TRACK. WE WILL CONTINUE CURRENT 14 KNOT MOVEMENT AND SLOW IT SLIGHTLY DURING THE THE LAST TWO PERIODS AS THE THE DEPRESSION PASSES NORTH OF HAWAII AND SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGES WEAKEST POINT. GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND STILL SUPPORTED BY ITS PATH ACROSS UNFAVORABLE 25 DEGREE WATER. MATSUDA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/1500Z 22.9N 144.8W 30 KTS 12HR VT 13/0000Z 23.5N 146.9W 30 KTS 24HR VT 13/1200Z 24.4N 149.7W 30 KTS 36HR VT 14/0000Z 25.2N 152.5W 25 KTS 48HR VT 14/1200Z 25.8N 155.1W 25 KTS 72HR VT 15/1200Z 26.3N 160.1W 25 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102700-8757>; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 22:47:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA82778; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 09:42:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5880443 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 09:42:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA74310 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 09:42:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA26643 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 09:42:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707121442.JAA26643@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Jul 1997 09:42:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: National Weather Service Honolulu Hi Ep0697 [091500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b82f27b54b7069c00652eb2d8ef40510 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1440 Status: OR 464 WTPA21 PHNL 091500 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0697 1500Z SAT JUL 12 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES TO PASS WELL NORTH OF HAWAII MOSTLY MONDAY... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 144.8W AT 12/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 144.8W AT 12/1500Z AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 144.1W FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 23.5N 146.9W MAX WIND 30 KT FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 24.4N 149.7W MAX WIND 30 KT FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 25.2N 152.5W MAX WIND 25 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.9N 144.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 25.8N 155.1W MAX WIND 25 KT OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 26.3N 160.1W MAX WIND 25 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102700-8757>; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 22:54:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA74396; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 09:49:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5880464 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 09:49:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA191296 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 09:48:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA26722 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 09:48:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707121448.JAA26722@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Jul 1997 09:49:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Dolores Advisory Number 28 [091500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 244135d92cfd5d3432d9f08ffc392ac6 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1380 Status: OR 518 WTPA31 PHNL 091500 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST SAT JUL 12 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES TO PASS WELL NORTH OF HAWAII MOSTLY MONDAY... AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 144.8 WEST OR ABOUT 700 MILES EASTNORTHEAST OF HILO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB OR 29.83 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION...22.9N 144.8W. MOVEMENT TOWARD WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM HST. MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102955-8757>; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 04:38:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA23848; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 15:33:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5882422 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 15:33:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA173590 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 15:33:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA00149 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 15:33:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707122033.PAA00149@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Jul 1997 15:33:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: National Weather Service Honolulu Hi Ep0697 [122100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6292bfbdbeb84b4b44f13c19d6376d0a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1331 Status: OR 430 WTPA21 PHNL 122100 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0697 2100Z SAT JUL 12 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES DISSIPATING... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 145.9W AT 12/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 145.9W AT 12/2100Z AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 145.2W FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 24.2N 148.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 25.1N 150.9W...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.4N 145.9W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102958-263>; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 04:39:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA184656; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 15:33:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5882427 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 15:33:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA254508 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 15:33:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA00154 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 15:33:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707122033.PAA00154@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Jul 1997 15:33:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: National Weather Service Honolulu Hi [122100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 30da565c07895f2a8fada4e70ab60b9f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1194 Status: OR 431 WTPA41 PHNL 122100 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES DISCUSSION NUMBER 29 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST SAT JUL 12 1997 DOLORES WILL CONTINUE ON A WEST NORTHWEST TRACK AND DISSIPATE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE LOW LEVEL CLOUD CENTER IS STILL WELL DEFINED BUT HAS WEAKENED IN THE PAST 24 HOURS. THERE IS NO LONGER ANY DEEP CONVECTION AND THE SYSTEM IS NOT CLASSIFIABLE BY THE DVORAK PROCEDURE. THE REMNANTS OF DOLORES WILL PASS NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS MONDAY. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISORY ON DOLORES UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. LARSON FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/2100Z 23.4N 145.9W 25 KTS 12HR VT 13/0600Z 24.2N 148.2W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 13/1800Z 25.1N 150.9W 20 KTS...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102955-8757>; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 04:39:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA184684; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 15:33:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5882432 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 15:33:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA23870 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 15:33:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA00157 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 15:33:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707122033.PAA00157@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Jul 1997 15:33:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Dolores Advisory Number 29 [122100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bbaccfe220b6dad8c9c97c639ececd03 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1456 Status: OR 432 WTPA31 PHNL 122100 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST SAT JUL 12 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES DISSIPATING... AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 145.9 WEST OR ABOUT 770 MILES EAST OF HONOLULU. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH ...28 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY DISSIPATE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...23.4 N...145.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB. THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102343-263>; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 05:42:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA58156; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 16:36:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5882785 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 16:36:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA32794 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 16:36:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id QAA00825 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 16:36:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707122136.QAA00825@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Jul 1997 16:36:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Central Pacific Between 140w And 180 [122200] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1cbe5a15ebed7aea35d217f31acdee2b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1199 Status: OR 281 ABPA20 PHNL 122200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST SATURDAY JULY 12 1997 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE FINAL BULLETIN ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES. AT 11 AM HST THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 145.9 WEST OR ABOUT 770 MILES EAST OF HONOLULU. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. DOLORES IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SEE THE FINAL WTPA31 PHNL BULLETINS FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS. AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS HAS FORMED ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO NEAR 11N 139W. THIS DISTURBANCE IS POORLY ORGANIZED BUT WE WILL KEEP AN EYE ON IT. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102647-12617>; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 18:06:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA123228; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 05:00:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5885985 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 05:00:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA146504 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 05:00:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id FAA08703 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 05:00:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707131000.FAA08703@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Jul 1997 05:00:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Central Pacific Between 140w And 180 [131000] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 26481fb82c6d5ad9a5b2f8ac2adc00b0 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1261 Status: OR 237 ABPA20 PHNL 131000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST SUNDAY JULY 13 1997 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE FINAL BULLETIN ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES. AT 10:30 PM HST THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 149.2 WEST OR ABOUT 500 NM EAST/NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST/NORTHWEST AT 15 KNOTS. DOLORES IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT 8 HOURS. SEE THE FINAL WTPA2091 PHNL BULLETIN FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS. AN AREA OF THUNDERSHOWERS CONTINUES TO FIRE SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND. MOST OF THE STORMS ARE FOCUSED NEAR 11N 139W. THE DISTURBANCE REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...BUT IT WILL BE MONITORED FOR ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102294-12617>; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 18:15:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA123258; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 05:09:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5885996 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 05:09:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA234598 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 05:09:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id FAA08762 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 05:09:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707131009.FAA08762@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Jul 1997 05:09:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Central Pacific Between 140w And 180 [131005] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7d58f37bba1f2dd98bcc34a69de7294c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1329 Status: OR 414 ABPA20 PHNL 131005 COR TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST SUNDAY JULY 13 1997 ...CORRECTION TO WTPA21 PHNL BULLETIN HEADER IN PARAGRAPH ONE... THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE FINAL BULLETIN ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES. AT 10:30 PM HST THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 149.2 WEST OR ABOUT 500 NM EAST/NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST/NORTHWEST AT 15 KNOTS. DOLORES IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT 8 HOURS. SEE THE FINAL WTPA21 PHNL BULLETIN FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS. AN AREA OF THUNDERSHOWERS CONTINUES TO FIRE SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND. MOST OF THE STORMS ARE FOCUSED NEAR 11N 139W. THE DISTURBANCE REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...BUT IT WILL BE MONITORED FOR ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103036-12617>; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 05:56:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA210834; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 16:49:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5888993 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 16:49:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA191338 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 16:49:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id QAA15277 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 16:49:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707132149.QAA15277@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Jul 1997 16:49:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Central Pacific Between 140w And 180 [132200] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a4a79f9afadad52c59f24c050d3f77e0 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1049 Status: OR 218 ABPA20 PHNL 132200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST SUNDAY JULY 13 1997 THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES...NOW A WEAK DISTURBANCE...IS 380 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILO NEAR 24N 151W. THE DISTURBANCE IS MOVING WEST AT 14 MILES AND HOUR AND WEAKENING. A DISTURBANCE 1270 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO NEAR 08N 140W REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED AND NEARBY THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DECREASED. WE WILL KEEP WATCHING THE SYSTEM IN CASE CONDITIONS CHANGE. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH MONDAY. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 22:41:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103082-15796>; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 18:10:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA156034; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 04:59:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5891809 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 04:59:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA92270 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 04:59:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id EAA23784 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 04:59:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707140959.EAA23784@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 04:59:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Central Pacific Between 140w And 180 [141000] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2827c503c0b93db06aa163ae319d8ba4 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Status: OR 496 ABPA20 PHNL 141000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST MONDAY JULY 14 1997 A DISTURBANCE NEAR 08N 141W...ABOUT 1250 STATUTE MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO...REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED WITH LITTLE CONVECTION AT THIS TIME. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR SYSTEM IN CASE CONDITIONS CHANGE. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 15 09:57:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103251-15796>; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 04:59:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA02572; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:52:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5897559 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:52:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA122064 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:52:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA08373 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:52:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707142052.PAA08373@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:52:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Central Pacific Between 140w And 180 [142200] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 542343089a5d2d703c493d39a725b833 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 886 Status: OR 765 ABPA20 PHNL 142200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST MONDAY JULY 14 1997 A DISTURBANCE NEAR 08N 144W...ABOUT 1000 STATUTE MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO...REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED WITH LITTLE CONVECTION AT THIS TIME. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR SYSTEM IN CASE CONDITIONS CHANGE. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jul 16 07:40:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103298-10293>; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 06:02:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA97958; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 16:55:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5908352 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 16:55:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAB251928 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 16:54:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id QAA08674 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 16:54:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707152154.QAA08674@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Jul 1997 16:55:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Central Pacific Between 140w And 180 [152200] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f54750e29e8cc2b9ac4c6a8482d02230 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 682 Status: OR 747 ABPA20 PHNL 152200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST TUESDAY JULY 15 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH WEDNESDAY. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jul 16 17:58:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103307-5065>; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 17:57:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA205098; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 04:50:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5911694 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 04:50:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA155928 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 04:50:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id EAA17390 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 04:50:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707160950.EAA17390@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 04:50:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Central Pacific Between 140w And 180 [161000] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4733e05f2932a2b1994dab4fb6cfcd6d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 686 Status: OR 680 ABPA20 PHNL 161000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST WEDNESDAY JULY 16 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH THURSDAY. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 17 09:34:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103367-5065>; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 06:11:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA57772; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 16:59:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5917464 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 16:59:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA208488 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 16:59:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id QAA03782 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 16:59:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707162159.QAA03782@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 16:59:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Central Pacific Between 140w And 180 [162200] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f4a6e74b615e4aa2f038b8374fd0cfab X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 697 Status: OR 809 ABPA20 PHNL 162200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST WEDNESDAY JULY 16 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 17 23:41:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102741-26132>; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 17:59:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA208252; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 04:55:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5921317 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 04:55:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA205158 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 04:55:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id EAA13170 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 04:55:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707170955.EAA13170@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Jul 1997 04:55:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Central Pacific Between 140w And 180 [171000] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: dc49d90a120e6471deeb02eac57abafe X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 680 Status: OR 591 ABPA20 PHNL 171000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST THURSDAY JULY 17 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH FRIDAY. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jul 19 12:40:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102788-17643>; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 05:58:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA180630; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 16:51:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5934009 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 16:51:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA252036 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 16:51:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id QAA24788 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 16:51:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707182151.QAA24788@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Jul 1997 16:51:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Central Pacific Between 140w And 180 [182200] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b824c528a40f9a1a71bf4f927c46f4ba X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 681 Status: OR 777 ABPA20 PHNL 182200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST FRIDAY JULY 18 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH SUNDAY. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Jul 19 13:07:49 1997 X-UIDL: 19d7dfff600ead6b54cc37cab4ff0e9f Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102648-7644>; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 13:07:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA05654; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 23:45:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5937384 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 23:45:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA64260 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 23:45:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id XAA29715 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 23:45:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707190445.XAA29715@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Jul 1997 23:45:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Central Pacific Between 140w And 180 [191000] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 2 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 347 ABPA20 PHNL 191000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST SATURDAY JULY 19 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SUNDAY. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Jul 19 18:06:59 1997 X-UIDL: 1d8e9a4ecd239d3824e0b12d2515cd67 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102388-7644>; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 18:06:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA191370; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 05:00:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5938943 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 05:00:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA58232 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 05:00:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id FAA04526 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 05:00:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707191000.FAA04526@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Jul 1997 05:00:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Central Pacific Between 140w And 180 [191000] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 16 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 523 ABPA20 PHNL 191000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST SATURDAY JULY 19 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SUNDAY. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 20 05:54:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102485-7644>; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 05:53:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA210086; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 16:48:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5943758 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 16:48:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA81252 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 16:47:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id QAA12332 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 16:47:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707192147.QAA12332@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Jul 1997 16:48:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Central Pacific Between 140w And 180 [192200] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 28 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 218 ABPA20 PHNL 192200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST SATURDAY JULY 19 1997 THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI IS ISSUING BULLETINS ON HURRICANE FELICIA. AT 11 AM FELICIA WAS CENTERED NEAR 15.9N 130.2W ...ABOUT 1650 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO...MOVING WEST AT 15 MILES AN HOUR. FELICIA IS FORECAST TO CROSS 140W INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC BY MONDAY MORNING. SEE WTPZ23 KNHC BULLETINS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR DETAILS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 20 18:01:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102431-14839>; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 18:01:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA134316; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 04:56:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5947995 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 04:56:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA220826 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 04:56:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id EAA20500 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 04:56:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707200956.EAA20500@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 04:56:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Central Pacific Between 140w And 180 [201000] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 46 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 186 ABPA20 PHNL 201000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST SUNDAY JULY 20 1997 THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI IS ISSUING BULLETINS ON HURRICANE FELICIA. AT 11 PM HST...FELICIA WAS CENTERED NEAR 16.3N 133.1W ...ABOUT 1450 MILES EAST OF HILO...MOVING WEST AT 15 MPH. FELICIA IS FORECAST TO CROSS 140W INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC BY MONDAY MORNING. SEE THE LASTEST WTPZ23 KNHC BULLETINS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 21 06:03:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102547-14839>; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 06:03:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA64338; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 17:01:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5951836 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 17:01:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA229182 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 17:01:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id RAA27019 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 17:00:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707202200.RAA27019@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 17:01:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Central Pacific Between 140w And 180 [202200] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 63 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 077 ABPA20 PHNL 202200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST SUNDAY JULY 20 1997 THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI IS ISSUING BULLETINS ON HURRICANE FELICIA. AT 11 AM HST...FELICIA WAS CENTERED NEAR 17.2N 136.4W...OR ABOUT 1250 STATUTE MILES EAST OF HILO...MOVING WEST/NORTHWEST AT 17 MPH. FELICIA IS FORECAST TO CROSS 140W INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. SEE THE LASTEST WTPZ23 KNHC BULLETIN FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR FURTHER DETAILS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 21 17:52:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102305-14499>; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 17:51:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA168198; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 04:50:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5954766 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 04:50:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA210932 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 04:50:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id EAA03939 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 04:50:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707210950.EAA03939@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 04:50:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Central Pacific Between 140w And 180 [211000] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 106 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 780 ABPA20 PHNL 211000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210AM HST MONDAY JULY 20 1997 AT 11 PM HST TROPICAL STORM FELICIA...DOWNGRADED FROM HURRICANE ...WAS CENTERED NEAR 17.3N 138.7W...ABOUT 1100 MILES EAST OF HILO...MOVING WEST AT 16 MPH AND WEAKENING. FELICIA WILL CROSS 140W INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED ITS LAST BULLETIN ON FELICIA. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU WILL ISSUE BULLETINS ON FELICIA STARTING AT 5 AM. UNTIL 5 AM...SEE THE FINAL WTPZ23 KNHC BULLETIN FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR FURTHER DETAILS. AFTER 5 AM SEE THE WTPA33 PHNL BULLETINS FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 21 22:37:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102527-14499>; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 22:37:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA64434; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 09:35:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5956280 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 09:35:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA117880 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 09:35:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA07550 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 09:35:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707211435.JAA07550@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 09:35:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: National Weather Service Honolulu Hi Ep0897 [211500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 113 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 797 WTPA23 PHNL 211500 TROPICAL STORM FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0897 1500Z MON JUL 21 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 141.6W AT 21/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT....... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 141.6W AT 21/1500Z AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 140.7W FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 17.8N 144.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 18.2N 148.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 18.7N 151.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 141.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 19.2N 155.6W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 19.9N 162.8W MAX WIND 20 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 21 22:37:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102253-14499>; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 22:36:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA64460; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 09:35:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5956285 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 09:35:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA117902 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 09:35:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA07553 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 09:35:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707211435.JAA07553@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 09:35:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: National Weather Service Honolulu Hi [211500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 111 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 798 WTPA43 PHNL 211500 TROPICAL STORM FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 29 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST MON JUL 21 1997 FELICIA CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN. THIS CAN BE ATTRIBUTED TO THE RELATIVELY COOL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE AREA AND THE INCREASINGLY STRONGER SOUTHWEST SHEAR ALOFT IT IS MOVING INTO. IN FACT...FELICIA HAS LOST PRACTICALLY ALL OF ITS DEEP CONVECTION LEAVING ONLY A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION TO FOLLOW. THE FORECAST TRACK FAVORS THE SHALLOW LAYER BAM AND CLIPER SINCE IT IS NOW THE LOW LEVEL TRADE FLOW THAT IS DOING THE STEERING. THE AVIATION MODEL MAINTAINS A RIDGE TO THE NORTH WHICH WILL KEEP FELICIA ON A GENERAL WESTWARD COURSE AT ABOUT 17 KNOTS. THE REMNANTS OF FELICIA SHOULD MOVE CLOSE TO THE BIG ISLAND IN ABOUT 48 HOURS BRINGING ENHANCED SHOWERS BUT LITTLE IN THE WAY OF STRONG WINDS TO THAT ISLAND. CRAIG FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/1500Z 17.5N 141.6W 50 KTS 12HR VT 22/0000Z 17.8N 144.4W 40 KTS 24HR VT 22/1200Z 18.2N 148.2W 35 KTS 36HR VT 23/0000Z 18.7N 151.9W 30 KTS 48HR VT 23/1200Z 19.2N 155.6W 25 KTS 72HR VT 24/1200Z 19.9N 162.8W 20 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 21 22:37:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102547-14499>; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 22:37:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA239844; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 09:35:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5956290 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 09:35:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA226970 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 09:35:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA07556 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 09:35:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707211435.JAA07556@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 09:35:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Felicia Advisory Number 29 [211500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 114 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 799 WTPA33 PHNL 211500 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FELICIA ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST MON JUL 21 1997 AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FELICIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 141.6 WEST OR ABOUT 880 MILES EAST OF HILO HAWAII. FELICIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ANOTHER 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES... 140 KM...FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION...17.5 N...141.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM HST. CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jul 22 04:37:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102650-14499>; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 04:37:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA121874; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 15:35:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5959732 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 15:35:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA146902 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 15:35:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA18309 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 15:35:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707212035.PAA18309@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 15:35:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 30 [212100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 922 WTPA23 PHNL 212100 TROPICAL STORM FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0897 2100Z MON JUL 21 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 143.9W AT 21/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT....... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 143.9W AT 21/2100Z AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 143.0W FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 17.8N 146.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 18.1N 150.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 18.4N 154.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 143.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 18.7N 157.6W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 19.4N 164.7W MAX WIND 25 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jul 22 04:37:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102648-14499>; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 04:37:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA121916; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 15:35:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5959741 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 15:35:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA181488 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 15:35:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA18315 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 15:35:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707212035.PAA18315@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 15:35:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Felicia Discussion Number 30 [212100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 924 WTPA43 PHNL 212100 TROPICAL STORM FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 30 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST MON JUL 21 1997 FELICIA CONTINUES TO STEADILY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES WEST AT 21 MPH. SINCE FELICIA HAS BEEN SHEARED BY SOUTHWEST WINDS ALOFT AND HAS LOST ITS DEEP CONVECTION IT IS NOW EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD WITH THE LOWER LEVEL TRADE WIND FLOW. THE FORECAST TRACK CLOSELY FOLLOWS CLIMATOLOGY AND THE CLIPPER MODEL AND IS IN CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH THE GFDL MODEL. FELICIA IS EXPECTED TO PASS JUST SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII TUESDAY NIGHT AS A WEAKENING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. THIS SCENARIO WILL PRODUCE AN INCREASE OF NORTHEAST TRADES OVER THE ISLANDS AS IT APPROACHES AND POSSIBLE HEAVY RAINFALL OVER WINDWARD SECTIONS OF THE ISLANDS. LARSON FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/2100Z 17.6N 143.9W 45 KTS 12HR VT 22/0600Z 17.8N 146.8W 40 KTS 24HR VT 22/1800Z 18.1N 150.3W 35 KTS 36HR VT 23/0600Z 18.4N 154.0W 30 KTS 48HR VT 23/1800Z 18.7N 157.6W 25 KTS 72HR VT 24/1800Z 19.4N 164.7W 25 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jul 22 04:39:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102642-14499>; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 04:39:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA55126; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 15:35:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5959746 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 15:35:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA81394 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 15:35:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA18312 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 15:35:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707212035.PAA18312@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 15:35:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Bulletin [212100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 923 WTPA33 PHNL 212100 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FELICIA ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST MON JUL 21 1997 AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FELICIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 143.9 WEST OR ABOUT 730 MILES EAST OF HILO HAWAII. FELICIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ANOTHER 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...17.6 N...143.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM HST. LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jul 22 06:03:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102670-14499>; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 06:03:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA228130; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 17:01:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5960584 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 17:01:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA181500 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 17:01:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id RAA20190 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 17:01:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707212201.RAA20190@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 17:01:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook [212200] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 946 ABPA20 PHNL 212200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST MONDAY JULY 21 1997 AT 11 AM HST TROPICAL STORM FELICIA WAS CENTERED NEAR 17.6N 143.9W ...OR ABOUT 730 STATUTE MILES EAST OF HILO...MOVING WEST AT 21 MPH AND WEAKENING. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST WTPA33 PHNL BULLETIN FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER FOR FURTHER DETAILS. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jul 22 10:01:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102447-7992>; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 10:01:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA173816; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 20:59:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5962755 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 20:59:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA41090 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 20:59:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA23167 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 20:59:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707220159.UAA23167@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 20:59:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Felicia Advisory Number 31 [220300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 4 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 178 WTPA33 PHNL 220300 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST MON JUL 21 1997 ...FELICIA DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... AT 5 PM HST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 146.5 WEST OR ABOUT 565 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 24 MPH ...39 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS NOT EXPECTED TO CHANGE SIGNIFICANTLY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FELICIA WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM HST POSITION...17.7 N...146.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 24 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM HST. LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jul 22 10:38:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102497-7992>; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 10:38:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA124364; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 21:35:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5962916 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 21:34:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA08830 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 21:34:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA23614 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 21:34:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707220234.VAA23614@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 21:34:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Felicia Discussion Number 31 [220300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 16 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 757 WTPA43 PHNL 220300 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 31 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST MON JUL 21 1997 FELICIA HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AND CONTINUES TO MOVE RAPIDLY WESTWARD AND WEAKEN. SATELLITE DATA DOES NOT INDICATE A CLOSED CIRCULATION AT CLOUD LEVEL BUT SURFACE WINDS TO 30 KT ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH SEMICIRCLE. THE TRACK CONTINUES TO FOLLOW PERSISTENCE AND CLIMATOLOGY IN MOVING FELICIA SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND TUESDAY NIGHT. FELICIA IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE IN 36 HOURS OR LESS. LARSON FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/0300Z 17.7N 146.5W 30 KTS 12HR VT 22/1200Z 17.8N 149.9W 30 KTS 24HR VT 23/0000Z 18.1N 154.0W 25 KTS 36HR VT 23/1200Z 18.5N 158.1W DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jul 22 10:38:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102493-7992>; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 10:38:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA124388; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 21:35:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5962921 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 21:35:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA58246 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 21:35:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA23617 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 21:34:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707220234.VAA23617@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 21:35:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 31 [220300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 15 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 758 WTPA23 PHNL 220300 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0897 0300Z TUE JUL 22 1997 ...FELICIA DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 146.5W AT 22/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 21 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 146.5W AT 22/0300Z AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 145.4W FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 17.8N 149.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 18.1N 154.0W MAX WIND 25 KT FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 18.5N 158.1W...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 146.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jul 22 16:39:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102822-7992>; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 16:39:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA167152; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 03:36:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5964206 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 03:35:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA167110 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 03:35:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA28646 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 03:35:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707220835.DAA28646@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 03:35:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Felicia Discussion Number 32 [220900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 48 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 836 WTPA43 PHNL 220900 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 32 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST MON JUL 21 1997 FELICIA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND MOVE RAPIDLY WESTWARD. SATELLITE DATA DOES NOT SHOW A CLOSED CIRCULATION. WINDS TO 30 KT ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH SEMICIRCLE. THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK CONTINUES TO FAVOR PERSISTENCE AND CLIMATOLOGY IN MOVING FELICIA SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND TUESDAY NIGHT. FELICIA IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE IN 36 HOURS. HOAG/CRAIG FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/0900Z 17.7N 149.0W 30 KTS 12HR VT 22/1800Z 17.8N 152.5W 25 KTS 24HR VT 23/0600Z 18.3N 157.3W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 23/1800Z 18.9N 162.2W DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jul 22 16:41:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102411-7992>; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 16:41:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA166940; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 03:38:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5964211 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 03:36:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA145102 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 03:35:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA28649 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 03:35:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707220835.DAA28649@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 03:36:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 32 [220900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 49 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 837 WTPA23 PHNL 220900 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0897 0900Z TUE JUL 22 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 149.0W AT 22/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 22 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 149.0W AT 22/0900Z AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 147.8W FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 17.8N 152.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 18.3N 157.3W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 18.9N 162.2W...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 149.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z HOAG/CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jul 22 16:46:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102767-7992>; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 16:46:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA156014; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 03:39:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5964216 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 03:38:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA252126 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 03:35:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA28652 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 03:35:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707220835.DAA28652@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 03:38:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Felicia Advisory Number 32 [220900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 50 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 838 WTPA33 PHNL 220900 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST MON JUL 21 1997 AT 11 PM HST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 149.0 WEST OR ABOUT 418 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 25 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ANOTHER 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM HST POSITION...17.7 N...149.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 25 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM HST...TUESDAY. HOAG/CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jul 22 17:56:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102797-7992>; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 17:56:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA49282; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 04:53:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5964368 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 04:51:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA167010 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 04:51:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id EAA29141 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 04:51:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707220951.EAA29141@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 04:51:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook [221000] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 54 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 765 ABPA20 PHNL 221000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210AM HST TUESDAY JULY 21 1997 AT 11 PM HST TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 149.0W...OR ABOUT 418 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO...MOVING WEST AT 25 MPH AND WEAKENING. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST WTPA33 PHNL BULLETIN FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER FOR FURTHER DETAILS. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jul 22 22:50:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102897-7992>; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 22:50:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA167000; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 09:47:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5966121 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 09:47:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA155954 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 09:47:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA03335 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 09:47:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707221447.JAA03335@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 09:47:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Felicia Discussion Number 33 [221500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 195 WTPA43 PHNL 221500 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 33 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST TUE JUL 22 1997 FELICIA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND MOVE RAPIDLY WESTWARD. SATELLITE DATA DOES NOT SHOW A CLOSED CIRCULATION. MOST CONVECTION HAS BEEN SHEARED OFF AND THERE IS ONLY ISOLATED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM. THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK CONTINUES TO FAVOR PERSISTENCE AND CLIMATOLOGY IN MOVING FELICIA SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND TONIGHT. FELICIA WILL DISSIPATE IN 24 HOURS. THIS IS THE LAST DISCUSSION ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. HOAG/CRAIG FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/1500Z 17.8N 151.4W 25 KTS 12HR VT 23/0000Z 18.1N 155.0W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 23/1200Z 18.6N 159.9W 20 KTS...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jul 22 22:50:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102898-7992>; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 22:49:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA45970; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 09:48:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5966127 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 09:48:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA180602 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 09:47:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA03394 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 09:47:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707221447.JAA03394@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 09:48:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 33 [221500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 196 WTPA23 PHNL 221500 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0897 1500Z TUE JUL 22 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA DISSIPATING... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 151.4W AT 22/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 23 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 151.4W AT 22/1500Z AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 150.2W FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 18.1N 155.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 18.6N 159.9W...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 151.4W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM HOAG/CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jul 22 22:50:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102917-7992>; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 22:50:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAB124380; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 09:48:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5966132 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 09:48:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA118986 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 09:48:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA03418 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 09:48:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707221448.JAA03418@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 09:48:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Felicia Advisory Number 33 [221500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 197 WTPA33 PHNL 221500 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST TUE JUL 22 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA DISSIPATING... AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 151.4 WEST OR ABOUT 265 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 26 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE IN 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.85 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION...17.8 N...151.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 26 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB. THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. HOAG/CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jul 23 06:04:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102240-7992>; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 06:04:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA64398; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 16:56:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5970252 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 16:56:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA239712 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 16:56:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id QAA17669 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 16:56:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707222156.QAA17669@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 16:56:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook [222200] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 573 ABPA20 PHNL 222200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210PM HST TUESDAY JULY 22 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH WEDNESDAY. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jul 23 18:04:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102987-68>; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 18:04:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA235132; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 05:01:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5975056 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 05:01:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA87914 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 05:01:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id FAA27461 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 05:01:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707231001.FAA27461@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 05:01:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook [231000] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 129 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 533 ABPA20 PHNL 231000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST WEDNESDAY JULY 23 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THURSDAY. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jul 24 05:58:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103054-68>; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 05:58:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA176092; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 16:56:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5981085 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 16:55:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA58222 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 16:55:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id QAA13521 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 16:55:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707232155.QAA13521@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 16:55:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook [232200] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 918 ABPA20 PHNL 232200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST WEDNESDAY JULY 23 1997 AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS HAS FORMED AROUND A WEAK CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 08N151W...850 NM SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND. THE CIRCULATION CENTER IS ILL-DEFINED...BUT APPEARS TO BE MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15 KT. THIS AREA WILL BE CAREFULLY WATCHED FOR SIGNS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THURSDAY. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jul 24 18:04:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103071-21040>; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 18:04:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA81170; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 05:01:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5984903 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 05:01:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA227068 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 05:01:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id FAA23031 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 05:01:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707241001.FAA23031@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Jul 1997 05:01:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook [241000] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 519 ABPA20 PHNL 241000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST THURSDAY JULY 24 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED NEAR 08N155W. ALTHOUGH CYCLONIC ROTATION IS EVIDENT WITH THIS SYSTEM...NOT ENOUGH DATA IS YET AVAILABLE TO DETERMINE IF IT IS SURFACE-BASED. THE DISTURBANCE HAS BEEN MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MUCH OF THE CONVECTION THAT HAD BEEN GENERATED EARLIER BY THE SYSTEM HAS DISSIPATED...AT LEAST FOR THE TIME BEING. THE AREA WILL BE MONITORED FOR ANY SIGNS OF INTENSIFICATION. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Jul 25 05:59:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102684-21040>; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 05:59:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA226724; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 16:53:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5989745 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 16:53:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA201104 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 16:53:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id QAA10091 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 16:53:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707242153.QAA10091@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Jul 1997 16:53:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook [242200] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 458 ABPA20 PHNL 242200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST THURSDAY JULY 24 1997 THE CENTER OF FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA ARE NEAR 20N171W MOVING WEST AT LESS THAN 10 KT. THERE ARE A FEW CONVECTIVE CELLS WELL NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 08N158W IS MOVING WEST AT 15 KT. THERE ARE A FEW WEAK CELLS NEAR THE CENTER. NEITHER CIRCULATION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SIGNIFICANTLY. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH FRIDAY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Jul 25 18:09:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102245-14440>; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 18:09:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA245274; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 04:56:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5993240 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 04:56:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA155908 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 04:56:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id EAA17975 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 04:56:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707250956.EAA17975@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Jul 1997 04:56:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook [251000] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 27 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 577 ABPA20 PHNL 251000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST FRIDAY JULY 25 1997 A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 09N160W...700 NM SOUTH OF HONOLULU...CONTINUES MOVING WEST AT ABOUT 15 KT. THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION...BUT THEY HAVE SHOWN NO INTENSIFICATION OR INCREASE IN AREAL EXTENT SINCE LATE AFTERNOON THURSDAY. THIS DISTURBANCE WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH FRIDAY. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Jul 26 06:10:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103142-14440>; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 06:10:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA145040; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 17:03:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5997597 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 17:03:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA02678 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 17:03:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id RAA02775 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 17:03:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707252203.RAA02775@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Jul 1997 17:03:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook [252200] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 128 ABPA20 PHNL 252200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST FRIDAY JULY 25 1997 THREE CLOUD VORTICES WELL WEST NORTHWEST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ...NEAR 31N176W...24N176W...AND 21N175W...ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO ONE ANOTHER TO INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT OF ITS NEIGHBORS. THE VORTEX AT 21N175W SHOW THE MOST DISTINCT CIRCULATION. ALL HAVE CBS EAST OF THEIR CENTERS. ALL ARE DRIFTING WESTWARD. A VORTEX NEAR 10N161W STUBBORNLY REFUSES TO DIE. ITS CIRCULATION IS BETTER DEFINED THAN YESTERDAY WHEN IT WAS ABOUT 200 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF ITS PRESENT POSITION. A CONVECTIVE CELL NORTH OF THE CENTER SHOWS LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. A LARGE AREA OF CONVECTIVE CELLS AND DENSE MULTILAYERED CLOUDS BETWEEN 10N AND 04N FROM 141W TO 134W SHOWS A WEAK CYCLONIC ROTATION. THE AREA IS MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC FROM THE EAST. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Jul 26 17:59:04 1997 X-UIDL: 046b05a2d7a2eb670033b1a5d5598264 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103174-4338>; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 17:58:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA252000; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 04:57:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6000645 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 04:56:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA205122 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 04:56:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id EAA09763 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 04:56:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707260956.EAA09763@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Jul 1997 04:56:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook [261000] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 52 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 174 ABPA20 PHNL 261000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST SATURDAY JULY 26 1997 A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N162W...700 NM SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...IS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 KT. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS DROPPED OFF RAPIDLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS...BUT SOME RESIDUAL ACTIVITY REMAINS. THIS DISTURBANCE WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. INFRARED SATELLITE LOOP SHOWS A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE MAY BE FORMING WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF MULTILAYERED CLOUDS NEAR 10N140W...1200 NM SOUTHEAST OF HONOLULU. NO THUNDERSTORMS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA BUT WEAK ROTATION IS DISCERNIBLE WITHIN THE MULTILAYERED CLOUDS. HOWEVER...THICK HIGH CLOUDS PREVENT THE CONFIRMATION OF A SURFACE CIRCULATION CENTER AT THIS TIME. VISIBLE IMAGERY TOMORROW MORNING SHOULD AID IN DETERMINING THIS. THIS AREA WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 27 05:54:41 1997 X-UIDL: b85ab6d19460b6c45d4d20eaccaf86cb Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103174-4338>; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 05:54:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA65504; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 16:51:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6003852 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 16:51:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA60356 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 16:51:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id QAA15563 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 16:51:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707262151.QAA15563@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Jul 1997 16:51:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook [262200] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 62 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 356 ABPA20 PHNL 262200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210PM HST SATURDAY JULY 26 1997 A WELL DEVELOPED TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED NEAR 11N164W... ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 10 MILES AN HOUR. THE DISTURBANCE IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AND MAY DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 27 10:35:47 1997 X-UIDL: 517cf7727110b86edeab8f1903aed9b7 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102475-7559>; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 10:35:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA212390; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 21:33:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6005286 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 21:33:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA252052 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 21:33:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA17648 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 21:33:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707270233.VAA17648@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Jul 1997 21:33:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Forecast/advisory Number 1 [270230] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 65 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 417 WTPA21 PHNL 270230 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0197 0300Z SUN JUL 27 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEVELOPS IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 164.8W AT 27/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 164.8W AT 27/0300Z AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 164.5W FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 11.5N 165.6W MAX WIND 25 KT FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 11.8N 166.9W MAX WIND 25 KT FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 12.1N 168.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.4N 164.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 12.4N 169.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 13.1N 172.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 27 10:36:27 1997 X-UIDL: bf7732e0eebeb065b1984e483486be94 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102433-7559>; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 10:36:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA02564; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 21:34:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6005291 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 21:34:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA252140 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 21:34:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA17651 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 21:34:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707270234.VAA17651@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Jul 1997 21:34:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Advisory Number 1 [270230] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 66 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 452 WTPA31 PHNL 270230 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST SAT JUL 26 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEVELOPS IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC... AT 5 PM HST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 164.8 WEST OR ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE KAUAI AND 480 MILES SOUTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ANOTHER 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM HST POSITION...11.4 N...164.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM HST. CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 27 10:37:27 1997 X-UIDL: e645d0b57b1d0e7c1945676ef9efa171 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102160-7559>; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 10:37:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA134264; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 21:35:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6005300 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 21:35:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA212326 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 21:35:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA17685 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 21:35:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707270235.VAA17685@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Jul 1997 21:35:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Discussion Number 1 [270230] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 67 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 453 WTPA41 PHNL 270230 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST SAT JUL 26 1997 ONE-C IS BARELY A DEPRESSION...BUT WITH A WESTWARD TRACK OVER 28C SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES MAY DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL STORM IN 48 HOURS. ALSO...THE AVIATION MODEL SHOWS LITTLE IN THE WAY OF WIND SHEAR TO PREVENT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. ALL OBJECTIVE AIDS MOVE ONE-C TO THE WEST NORTHWEST. THE FORECAST TRACK FAVORS CLIMATOLOGY AND PERSISTANCE WHICH...ALONG WITH EXTRAPOLATION...ARE SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF THE BETA ADVECTION MODELS. CRAIG FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/0300Z 11.4N 164.8W 25 KTS 12HR VT 27/1200Z 11.5N 165.6W 25 KTS 24HR VT 28/0000Z 11.8N 166.9W 25 KTS 36HR VT 28/1200Z 12.1N 168.1W 30 KTS 48HR VT 29/0000Z 12.4N 169.5W 35 KTS 72HR VT 30/0000Z 13.1N 172.1W 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 27 16:38:12 1997 X-UIDL: 3a2953b17b9d5fc14ac96e607e3fcff5 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102845-7559>; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 16:38:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA200904; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 03:36:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6006367 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 03:35:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA208546 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 03:35:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA20440 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 03:35:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707270835.DAA20440@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Jul 1997 03:35:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Forecast/advisory Number 2 [270900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 78 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 452 WTPA22 PHNL 270900 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0900Z SUN JUL 27 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEVELOPS IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 165.6W AT 27/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM. PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB. MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 165.6W AT 27/0900Z. AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 165.2W. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 11.8N 166.7W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 12.1N 168.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 12.6N 170.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12N 165W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 13.1N 172.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 13.5N 176.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 27 16:38:32 1997 X-UIDL: 5f9e8eb7aa041318fda49ef326d1c195 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102420-7559>; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 16:38:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA200928; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 03:36:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6006372 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 03:36:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA233648 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 03:36:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA20442 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 03:35:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707270835.DAA20442@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Jul 1997 03:36:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Discussion Number 2 [270900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 80 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 453 WTPA42 PHNL 270900 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST SAT JUL 26 1997 ONE-C HAS NOT SHOWN ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. IT LOOKS POORLY ORGANIZED AND MAY HAVE TWO CENTERS ONE OF WHICH IS WELL TO THE WEST NEAR 10.7N 166.6W. THERE ALSO ARE SIGNS OF SHEARING WITH THE HIGHER CLOUD TOPS BLOWING OFF TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. THUS HAS BEEN SLOW IN INCREASING WINDS IN THE FORECAST. TRACK HAS BEEN MOVED WNW AT 8 TO 10 KT. ROSENDAL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/0900Z 11.6N 165.6W 25 KTS 12HR VT 27/1800Z 11.8N 166.7W 25 KTS 24HR VT 28/0600Z 12.1N 168.5W 30 KTS 36HR VT 28/1800Z 12.6N 170.5W 30 KTS 48HR VT 29/0600Z 13.1N 172.5W 35 KTS 72HR VT 30/0600Z 13.5N 176.5W 45 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 27 16:38:31 1997 X-UIDL: 6a37047429f64261ad20b061d92f62f5 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102843-7559>; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 16:38:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA200952; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 03:36:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6006377 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 03:36:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA208572 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 03:36:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA20444 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 03:35:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707270835.DAA20444@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Jul 1997 03:36:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Advisory Number 2 [270900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 79 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 454 WTPA32 PHNL 270900 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST SAT JUL 26 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEVELOPS IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC... AT 11 PM HST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 165.6 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 820 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE OR 435 MILES SOUTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM HST POSITION...11.6 N...165.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM HST...SUNDAY. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 27 18:16:42 1997 X-UIDL: df8c3e257d214582e895c4d405e1db1e Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102830-7559>; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 18:16:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA208506; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 05:14:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6006572 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 05:14:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA43624 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 05:14:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id FAA21063 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 05:14:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707271014.FAA21063@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Jul 1997 05:14:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook [271000] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 82 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 573 ABPA20 PHNL 271000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210AM HST SUNDAY JULY 27 1997 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING WARNINGS FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 165.6W AT 27/0900Z. SEE WTPA22 PHNL. A GENTLE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION NEAR 09N140W DOES NOT APPEAR LIKELY TO DEVELOP SIGNIFICANTLY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 27 22:38:29 1997 X-UIDL: c1fa0176cd1433a547c267df6f8eb9ae Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102874-7559>; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 22:38:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA87952; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 09:36:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6007587 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 09:36:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA208234 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 09:36:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA22633 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 09:36:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707271436.JAA22633@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Jul 1997 09:36:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Forecast/advisory Number 3 [271500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 89 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 377 WTPA23 PHNL 271500 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1500Z SUN JUL 27 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION REMAINS WEAK AND DIFFICULT TO LOCATE... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER RELOCATED NEAR 10.0N 167.4W AT 27/1500Z. POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM. PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 8 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB. MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 167.4W AT 27/1500Z. AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 167.0W. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 10.2N 168.6W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 10.4N 170.3W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 10.5N 172.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10N 167W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 10.7N 174.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 11.1N 178.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 27 22:38:48 1997 X-UIDL: cb881205ff5770a2b03fcae29e4d3a14 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102885-7559>; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 22:38:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA87976; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 09:36:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6007592 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 09:36:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA118910 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 09:36:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA22636 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 09:36:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707271436.JAA22636@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Jul 1997 09:36:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Discussion Number 3 [271500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 90 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 378 WTPA43 PHNL 271500 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST SUN JUL 27 1997 THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS DISAPPEARED AT LEAST FOR THE TIME BEING AS THE EFFECTS OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDED AS FAR SOUTH AS TO THE LOCATION OF ONE-C. A LOW LEVEL CLOUD ROTATION CENTER HAS COME INTO VIEW NEAR 9.6N 167.3W AND THE 12Z FIX RELOCATES THE CENTER JUST NORTH OF THERE BUT SOUTH OF THE SAB FIX NEAR 10.6N 167.3W. IN ANY EVENT THE SYSTEM LOOKS RAGGED BUT COULD COME BACK TO LIFE AS THE UPPER TROUGH SWINGS EAST AND A WEAK UPPER ANTICYCLONE MOVES OVER THE CIRCULATION. THE NEW FORECAST TRACK IS MORE WESTERLY WITH INCREASES IN INTENSITY SLOWED SOMEWHAT. ROSENDAL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/1500Z 10.0N 167.4W 25 KTS 12HR VT 28/0000Z 10.2N 168.6W 25 KTS 24HR VT 28/1200Z 10.4N 170.3W 25 KTS 36HR VT 29/0000Z 10.5N 172.2W 30 KTS 48HR VT 29/1200Z 10.7N 174.3W 30 KTS 72HR VT 30/1200Z 11.1N 178.0W 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 27 22:38:58 1997 X-UIDL: 592e45c9b12589d74cce9bd0e9f81027 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102874-7559>; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 22:38:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA134336; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 09:36:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6007597 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 09:36:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA118916 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 09:36:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA22638 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 09:36:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707271436.JAA22638@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Jul 1997 09:36:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Advisory Number 3 [271500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 91 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 379 WTPA33 PHNL 271500 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST SUN JUL 27 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION REMAINS WEAK AND DIFFICULT TO LOCATE... AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS RELOCATED TO NEAR LATITUDE 10.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.4 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 975 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE 480 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND. THE DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE CENTER WAS SHEARED OFF DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS EXPOSING A NEW CENTER FURTHER SOUTHWEST WHICH WAS DEEMED TO BE THE MAIN CIRCULATION CENTER. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION...10.0 N...167.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM HST. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 28 00:12:59 1997 X-UIDL: ec7a0615368a39c14339c450b3feb8ac Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102910-7559>; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 00:12:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA60372; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 11:10:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6007933 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 11:10:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA05824 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 11:10:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id LAA23344 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 11:10:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707271610.LAA23344@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Jul 1997 11:10:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Discussion Number 3 [271500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 689 WTPA41 PHNL 271500 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST SUN JUL 27 1997 THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS DISAPPEARED AT LEAST FOR THE TIME BEING AS THE EFFECTS OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDED AS FAR SOUTH AS TO THE LOCATION OF ONE-C. A LOW LEVEL CLOUD ROTATION CENTER HAS COME INTO VIEW NEAR 9.6N 167.3W AND THE 12Z FIX RELOCATES THE CENTER JUST NORTH OF THERE BUT SOUTH OF THE SAB FIX NEAR 10.6N 167.3W. IN ANY EVENT THE SYSTEM LOOKS RAGGED BUT COULD COME BACK TO LIFE AS THE UPPER TROUGH SWINGS EAST AND A WEAK UPPER ANTICYCLONE MOVES OVER THE CIRCULATION. THE NEW FORECAST TRACK IS MORE WESTERLY WITH INCREASES IN INTENSITY SLOWED SOMEWHAT. ROSENDAL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/1500Z 10.0N 167.4W 25 KTS 12HR VT 28/0000Z 10.2N 168.6W 25 KTS 24HR VT 28/1200Z 10.4N 170.3W 25 KTS 36HR VT 29/0000Z 10.5N 172.2W 30 KTS 48HR VT 29/1200Z 10.7N 174.3W 30 KTS 72HR VT 30/1200Z 11.1N 178.0W 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 28 00:14:19 1997 X-UIDL: 4c4d1445f02b21a0dc5846939b4c7a6c Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102911-7559>; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 00:14:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA98056; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 11:11:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6007938 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 11:11:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA05876 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 11:11:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id LAA23359 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 11:11:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707271611.LAA23359@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Jul 1997 11:11:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Forecast/advisory Number 3 [271500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 705 WTPA21 PHNL 271500 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1500Z SUN JUL 27 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION REMAINS WEAK AND DIFFICULT TO LOCATE... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER RELOCATED NEAR 10.0N 167.4W AT 27/1500Z. POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM. PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 8 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB. MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 167.4W AT 27/1500Z. AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 167.0W. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 10.2N 168.6W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 10.4N 170.3W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 10.5N 172.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10N 167W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 10.7N 174.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 11.1N 178.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 28 00:16:10 1997 X-UIDL: 7c1df2b66887ab7be55ee72b93de7f13 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102910-7559>; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 00:16:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA65396; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 11:13:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6007943 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 11:13:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA252002 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 11:13:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id LAA23375 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 11:13:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707271613.LAA23375@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Jul 1997 11:13:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Advisory Number 3 [271500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 732 WTPA31 PHNL 271500 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST SUN JUL 27 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION REMAINS WEAK AND DIFFICULT TO LOCATE... AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS RELOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.4 WEST OR ABOUT 975 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE 480 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND. THE DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE CENTER WAS SHEARED AWAY AND A NEW CENTER TO THE SOUTHWEST WAS DEEMED TO BE THE MAIN CIRCULATION CENTER. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION...10.0 N...167.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM HST. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 28 04:38:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102948-7559>; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 04:38:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA203728; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 15:36:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6009085 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 15:35:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAB203690 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 15:35:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA26022 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 15:35:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707272035.PAA26022@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Jul 1997 15:35:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Discussion Number 4 [272100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 546 WTPA41 PHNL 272100 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST SUN JUL 27 1997 AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT DEVELOPED NORTHWEST OF HAWAII DUG TO THE SOUTH LAST NIGHT. A WEAK SUBTROPICAL JETSTREAM THAT FORMED ON THE SOUTHEAST SIDE OF THE TROUGH SHEARED OFF THE TOP OF ONE-C LEAVING ONLY A LOW LEVEL SPIRAL EMBEDDED IN THE TRADE FLOW. ALTHOUGH ONE-C IS MOVING OVER WARM WATER...AM FORECASTING IT TO DISSIPATE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE FORECAST KEEPS THE SYSTEM ON A WESTERLY TRACK AT ABOUT 14 KNOTS. CRAIG. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/2100Z 10.2N 169.2W 25 KTS 12HR VT 28/0600Z 10.4N 171.5W 20 KTS DISSIPATING 24HR VT 28/1800Z 10.7N 174.5W .......DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 28 04:38:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102948-7559>; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 04:38:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA203756; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 15:36:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6009090 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 15:36:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA203696 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 15:35:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA26025 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 15:35:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707272035.PAA26025@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Jul 1997 15:36:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Forecast/advisory Number 4 [272100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 547 WTPA21 PHNL 272100 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0197 2100Z SUN JUL 27 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C IS DISSIPATING... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.2N 169.2W AT 27/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.2N 169.2W AT 27/2100Z AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.1N 168.5W FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 10.4N 171.5W...MAX WIND 20 KT FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 10.7N 174.5W...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.2N 169.2W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 28 04:38:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102951-7559>; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 04:38:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA203526; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 15:36:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6009095 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 15:36:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA203708 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 15:35:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA26028 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 15:35:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707272035.PAA26028@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Jul 1997 15:36:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Advisory Number 4 [272100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 548 WTPA31 PHNL 272100 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST SUN JUL 27 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C IS DISSIPATING... AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 169.2 WEST WHICH IS OVER 1000 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE KAUAI OR 450 MILES SOUTH OF JOHNSTON ISLAND. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ANOTHER 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE FORECAST CALLS FOR ONE-C TO DISSIPATE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...10.2 N...169.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 28 05:34:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102962-7559>; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 05:34:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA98260; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 16:32:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6009365 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 16:32:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA249792 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 16:32:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id QAA26592 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 16:32:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707272132.QAA26592@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Jul 1997 16:32:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook [272200] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 281 ABPA20 PHNL 272200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST SUNDAY JULY 27 1997 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE FINAL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C. AT 11 AM THE DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.2N 169.2W...ABOUT 1020 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI...MOVING WEST AT 17 MPH AND DISSIPATING. SEE THE FINAL WTPA31 PHNL BULLETIN FOR DETAILS. A DISTURBANCE ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND NEAR 10N 144W HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED SINCE YESTERDAY AND COULD DEVELOP FURTHER. WE WILL MONITOR THIS DISTURBANCE CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNS OF STRENGTHENING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 28 22:03:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103205-6064>; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 18:21:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA124354; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 05:13:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6012241 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 05:13:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA98224 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 05:13:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id FAA01815 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 05:13:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707281013.FAA01815@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Jul 1997 05:13:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook [281000] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1d1676c94112eb4169f1d5d25a9a1145 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1004 Status: OR 712 ABPA20 PHNL 281000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210AM HST MONDAY JULY 28 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 28N174E...NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND AND WEST OF MIDWAY ISLAND...MAY DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 24 HOURS AND CROSS THE DATELINE INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC WITHIN 48 HOURS. ANOTHER DISTURBANCE NEAR 09N147W...ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO...IS PERSISTING WITHOUT SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT WHILE MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. NO OTHER CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 29 10:04:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103364-6064>; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 06:01:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA205070; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 16:57:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6018619 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 16:57:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA236284 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 16:57:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id QAA07349 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 16:57:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707282157.QAA07349@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Jul 1997 16:57:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook [282200] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f0f99a04275015026e6bc13160bcdfe1 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1030 Status: OR 923 ABPA20 PHNL 282200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST MONDAY JULY 28 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 850 NM SOUTHEAST OF HONOLULU NEAR 12N 147W CONTINUES TO SLOWLY CONSOLIDATE. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST NORTHWEST OF CENTER...WITH THE REST OF THE SYSTEM CONSISTING OF ENHANCED CUMULUS. THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION IS STILL RATHER ILL-DEFINED...BUT IS EXPOSED AND APPEARS TO BE MOVING GENERALLY WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 KT. WE WILL MONITOR THIS DISTURBANCE CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNS OF STRENGTHENING. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 29 22:41:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103382-27074>; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 17:54:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA236114; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 04:52:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6022816 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 04:52:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA180544 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 04:52:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id EAA11553 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 04:52:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707290952.EAA11553@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Jul 1997 04:52:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook [291000] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6dbf32438a4ecd26544ce2188d4fe384 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1092 Status: OR 062 ABPA20 PHNL 291000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210AM HST TUESDAY JULY 29 1997 THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C IS ABOUT 1300 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI...NEAR 11N 176W...MOVING WEST AT 14 MILES AN HOUR. THIS DISTURBANCE REMAINS WEAK AND WILL MOVE WEST OF THE DATELINE WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO...NEAR 14N 150W...IS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 20 MILES AN HOUR. A JET STREAM IS TEARING THE TOP OFF THE DISTURBANCE...CAUSING IT TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY. WE WILL KEEP WATCHING THE SYSTEM IN CASE THIS TREND IS REVERSED. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jul 30 06:01:23 1997 X-UIDL: 8516c1b82aad7f70ad8d136bd5da6f1a Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103617-27074>; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 06:01:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA263012; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 16:57:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6028520 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 16:57:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA32850 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 16:57:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id QAA18616 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 16:57:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707292157.QAA18616@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Jul 1997 16:57:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook [292200] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 188 ABPA20 PHNL 292200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210PM HST TUESDAY JULY 29 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 330 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND...NEAR 15N154W...IS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 20 MILES AN HOUR. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION...BUT STRONG UPPER LEVEL WINDS KEEP THEM MORE THAN 100 MILES AWAY FROM THE CENTER...PREVENTING THE SYSTEM FROM STRENGTHENING. THIS DISTURBANCE WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 31 10:00:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102649-18385>; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 17:49:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA121918; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 04:47:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6033874 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 04:47:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA262954 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 04:47:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id EAA22988 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 04:47:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707300947.EAA22988@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Jul 1997 04:47:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook [301000] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: decc95c27eae04ec69f2ee7eebbea5ad X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 955 Status: OR 105 ABPA20 PHNL 301000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210AM HST WEDNESDAY JULY 30 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 220 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII...NEAR 16N157W...IS MOVING WEST AT 15 MILES AN HOUR. A BAND OF ACTIVE THUNDERSTORMS NORTHEAST OF THE DISTURBANCE IS PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN. THE DISTURBANCE ITSELF REMAINS WEAK AND IS UNLIKELY TO STRENGTHEN BUT WE WILL MONITOR IT CLOSELY IN CASE CONDITIONS CHANGE. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 31 10:00:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103652-18385>; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 05:55:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA87916; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 16:51:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6040035 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 16:51:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA121940 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 16:51:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id QAA27314 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 16:51:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707302151.QAA27314@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Jul 1997 16:51:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook [302200] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1311092edab92b30f75807304151cb96 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1789 Status: OR 364 ABPA20 PHNL 302200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210PM HST WEDNESDAY JULY 30 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED NEAR 18N158W...230 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU...IS HEADED NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MILES AN HOUR. THE CIRCULATION CENTER TOOK A TURN TO THE NORTH OVERNIGHT AND MOVED BENEATH AN AREA OF PERSISTENT THUNDERSTORMS WHICH HAD FLANKED IT ALONG THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT. THE CIRCULATION CENTER HAS CHANGED DIRECTION AGAIN AND RE-EMERGED FROM BENEATH THE CLOUD COVER WITHIN THE PAST HOUR OR SO...SHOWING THAT STRONG WINDS ALOFT HAMPER THE WESTWARD MOVEMENT OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY BUT ALLOW THE SURFACE CIRCULATION CENTER TO MOVE UNIMPEDED. THIS DISTURBANCE IS MOVING INTO AN AREA OF INCREASING WIND SHEAR...WHICH SHOULD BEGIN TO RIP THE SYSTEM APART. THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP WITH THIS SYSTEM AND THREATEN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...BUT THE PROBABILITY OF DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POOR. ELSEWHERE...A WEAK CIRCULATION IS NOTED NEAR 17N146W...900 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AROUND THE CIRCULATION CENTER IS ISOLATED BUT HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE CIRCULATION CENTER IS MOVING WEST AT ABOUT 10 MPH. BOTH SYSTEMS WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 31 10:00:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102174-9576>; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 07:39:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA122102; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 18:33:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6040633 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 18:32:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id SAA180708 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 18:32:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id SAA28009 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 18:32:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707302332.SAA28009@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Jul 1997 18:32:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Corrected Tropical Weather Outlook [302200] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5335702a75118a21ad1685e123c6b63b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1870 Status: OR 643 ABPA20 PHNL 302200 COR CORRECTED TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210PM HST WEDNESDAY JULY 30 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED NEAR 18N158W...230 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU...IS HEADED NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MILES AN HOUR. THE CIRCULATION CENTER TOOK A TURN TO THE NORTH OVERNIGHT AND MOVED BENEATH AN AREA OF PERSISTENT THUNDERSTORMS WHICH HAD FLANKED IT ALONG THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT. THE CIRCULATION CENTER HAS CHANGED DIRECTION AGAIN AND RE-EMERGED FROM BENEATH THE CLOUD COVER WITHIN THE PAST HOUR OR SO...SHOWING THAT STRONG WINDS ALOFT HAMPER THE WESTWARD MOVEMENT OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY BUT ALLOW THE SURFACE CIRCULATION CENTER TO MOVE UNIMPEDED. THIS DISTURBANCE IS MOVING INTO AN AREA OF INCREASING WIND SHEAR...WHICH SHOULD BEGIN TO RIP THE SYSTEM APART. THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP WITH THIS SYSTEM AND THREATEN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...BUT THE PROBABILITY OF DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POOR. ELSEWHERE...A WEAK CIRCULATION IS NOTED NEAR 07N146W...900 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AROUND THE CIRCULATION CENTER IS ISOLATED BUT HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE CIRCULATION CENTER IS MOVING WEST AT ABOUT 10 MPH. BOTH SYSTEMS WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. CORRECTED FOR LOCATION OF SECOND WEAK CIRCULATION IN PARAGRAPH 2. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 31 22:19:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102628-9576>; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 18:07:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA32818; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 04:57:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6044065 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 04:57:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA58144 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 04:57:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id EAA01511 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 04:57:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707310957.EAA01511@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 31 Jul 1997 04:57:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook [311000] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1fa469e8f37928cb839999ee2f75a781 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1144 Status: OR 293 ABPA20 PHNL 311000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST THURSDAY JULY 31 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED NEAR 19N163W...MORE THAN 350 MILES WEST/SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST/NORTHWEST AT 20 TO 25 MPH. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM AT THIS TIME. A WEAK CIRCULATION IS NEAR 07N148W...ALMOST 1000 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO. ISOLATED CONVECTION CONTINUES TO FIRE WITH THE SYSTEM AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...HOWEVER ...HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. BOTH SYSTEMS WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR ANY SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 2 06:10:17 1997 X-UIDL: f0fe07a6d28014e387fee39cd2c9f0d8 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103757-214>; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 06:10:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA124214; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 17:00:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6056746 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 17:00:02 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA152044 for ; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 17:00:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id QAA22812 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 16:59:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708012159.QAA22812@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 1 Aug 1997 17:00:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook [012200] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 546 ABPA20 PHNL 012200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST FRIDAY AUGUST 1 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT NEAR 34N171E AT 012100Z IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL IN 12 HOURS AND TO BE WEST OF THE DATELINE FOR 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103041-23331>; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 17:58:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA60214; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 04:57:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6059984 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 04:57:07 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA43556 for ; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 04:57:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id EAA26590 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 04:56:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708020956.EAA26590@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 2 Aug 1997 04:57:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook [021000] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d5fdd9a970610284ff3cb52e900f50e5 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 807 Status: OR 312 ABPA20 PHNL 021000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST SAT AUG 2 1997 TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT NEAR 37N173E AT 020900Z HAS BECOME EXTRATROPICAL AND IS EXPECTED TO BE EAST OF THE DATELINE LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103647-23331>; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 05:51:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA86100; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 16:47:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6064972 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 16:47:10 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA223552 for ; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 16:47:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id QAA29812 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 16:46:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708022146.QAA29812@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 2 Aug 1997 16:47:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook [022200] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5422b33bf7e454ef5647da0b4825c1cd X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 673 Status: OR 235 ABPA20 PHNL 022200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST SATURDAY AUGUST 2 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH SUNDAY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102603-28934>; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 17:54:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA148828; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 04:46:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6069494 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 04:46:48 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA123208 for ; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 04:46:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id EAA03185 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 04:46:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708030946.EAA03185@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 3 Aug 1997 04:46:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook [031000] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2041dc7deab2186fbdf4f91591f2415d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 665 Status: OR 986 ABPA20 PHNL 031000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST SUN AUG 3 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH MONDAY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103788-28934>; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 05:55:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA226788; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 16:52:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6075322 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 16:52:20 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA191440 for ; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 16:52:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id QAA06527 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 16:52:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708032152.QAA06527@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 3 Aug 1997 16:52:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook [032200] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3e595392c8d655ce32d73cabe1faefff X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 878 Status: OR 293 ABPA20 PHNL 032200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST SUN AUG 3 1997 ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY PERSISTS EAST OF 145W BETWEEN 05N AND 12N...AND WEST OF 165W BETWEEN 03N AND 07N. A STATIONARY LOW NEAR 32N168W ALSO HAS ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 120 MILES OF CENTER. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH MONDAY. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 18:08:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102498-28484>; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 18:07:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA205088; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 05:03:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6079786 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 05:03:08 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA110606 for ; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 05:03:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id FAA09482 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 05:02:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708041002.FAA09482@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 4 Aug 1997 05:03:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook [041000] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a13b8ca12242f731a4a411d93ab205f4 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 672 Status: OR 186 ABPA20 PHNL 041000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST MONDAY AUGUST 4 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 5 11:46:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102991-28484>; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 06:06:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA123216; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 17:02:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6084384 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 17:02:24 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA68104 for ; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 17:02:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id RAA22541 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 17:02:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708042202.RAA22541@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 4 Aug 1997 17:02:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook [042200] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d52e0a4acbc227f2d73c30cca84ea9d9 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 673 Status: OR 323 ABPA20 PHNL 042200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST MON AUG 4 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 6 09:13:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103029-17890>; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 05:57:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA67730; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 16:49:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5993360 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 16:49:13 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA102012 for ; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 16:49:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id QAA12575 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 16:48:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708052148.QAA12575@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 5 Aug 1997 16:49:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e3488a8ddcf5e2bcdeaa70dcc3e2da6a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 744 Status: OR 302 ABPA20 PHNL 052200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST TUESDAY AUGUST 5 1997 THERE ARE CURRENTLY NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 6 18:51:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103121-8195>; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 18:06:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA232232; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 04:54:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5997450 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 04:53:56 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA123370 for ; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 04:53:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id EAA16757 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 04:53:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708060953.EAA16757@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 6 Aug 1997 04:53:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 02a00494e3cbdd13a3c312751398bb0e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Status: OR 415 ABPA20 PHNL 061000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST WEDNESDAY AUGUST 6 1997 THERE ARE CURRENTLY NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 7 11:34:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103234-8195>; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 05:56:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA201198; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 16:53:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6002653 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 16:52:59 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA226706 for ; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 16:52:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id QAA10947 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 16:52:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708062152.QAA10947@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 6 Aug 1997 16:52:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: aad42e42be27234571c8e1c91a1b19ed X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1191 Status: OR 020 ABPA20 PHNL 062200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST WEDNESDAY AUGUST 6 1997 THERE ARE CURRENTLY NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC. HURRICANE GUILLERMO WAS NEAR 16N 129W...ABOUT 1700 MILES EAST OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII...AT 11 AM HST. THE HURRICANE IS MOVING WEST AT 17 MILES AN HOUR AND SLOWLY WEAKENING. GUILLERMO IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OF 140W LONGITUDE INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC FRIDAY MORNING. UNTIL GUILLERMO CROSSES 140W...SEE WTPZ24 KNHC ADVISORIES FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI FOR DETAILS. AFTER THE HURRICANE CROSSES 140W...THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU WILL ISSUE THE ADVISORIES. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 8 08:20:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103282-29979>; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 06:04:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA265952; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 16:59:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6011197 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 16:59:33 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA210622 for ; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 16:58:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id QAA27595 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 16:57:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708072157.QAA27595@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 7 Aug 1997 16:59:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c23e2a88bc6127933cae1748272b4d1c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1191 Status: OR 037 ABPA20 PHNL 072200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST THURSDAY AUGUST 07 1997 THE LATEST FORECAST FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI CALLS FOR HURRICANE GUILLERMO...LOCATED ABOUT 1400 MILES EAST OF HAWAII NEAR 17.6N 133.8W WITH CENTER WINDS OF 80 MPH GUSTING TO 100 MPH...TO HAVE WEAKENED TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AS IT CROSSES 140W INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC NEAR 20N SOMETIME FRIDAY AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU WILL PICK UP ADVISORY AND WARNING RESPONSIBILITY FOR GUILLERMO WHEN THE SYSTEM CROSSES 140W. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103376-17469>; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 05:57:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA223652; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 16:54:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6019432 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 16:54:41 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA223538 for ; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 16:54:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id QAA12026 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 16:54:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708082154.QAA12026@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 8 Aug 1997 16:54:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8f521f72a25220a5c856b186c90f9e10 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1120 Status: OR 782 ABPA20 PHNL 082200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST FRIDAY AUGUST 08 1997 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OF 140W LONGITUDE INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY...HAWAII STANDARD TIME. UNTIL GUILLERMO CROSSES 140W...SEE WTPZ24 KNHC ADVISORIES FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI FOR DETAILS. AFTER THE TROPICAL STORM PASSES 140W...THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU WILL ISSUE THE ADVISORIES UNDER THE BULLETIN HEADER WTPA24 PHNL. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102773-2431>; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 17:54:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA112514; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 04:52:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6022353 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 04:52:49 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA74366 for ; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 04:49:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id EAA15404 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 04:48:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708090948.EAA15404@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 9 Aug 1997 04:52:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 907324c4015a073faa1c3a25eeba22c3 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1180 Status: OR 382 ABPA20 PHNL 091000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST SATURDAY AUGUST 09 1997 AT 11 PM HST...TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WAS NEAR 21N 139W...ABOUT 1035 MILES EAST OF HILO. THE TROPICAL STORM IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 12 MILES AN HOUR. GUILLERMO IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OF 140W LONGITUDE INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC LATER TODAY. UNTIL THE STORM CROSSES 140W SEE THE WTPZ24 KNHC ADVISORIES FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI FOR DETAILS. AFTER THE STORM CROSSES 140W THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU WILL START ISSUING ADVISORIES ON GUILLERMO. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SUNDAY. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103450-2431>; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 06:06:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA25118; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 17:02:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6024531 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 17:02:40 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA232318 for ; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 17:00:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id RAA18247 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 17:00:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708092200.RAA18247@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 9 Aug 1997 17:02:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2d719560284672078e2ce5d1fade8150 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 739 Status: OR 489 ABPA20 PHNL 092200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST SATURDAY AUGUST 9 1997 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO NEAR 22.5N 140.3W AT 092100 UTC. NO TROPICAL OTHER CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH SUNDAY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103031-4681>; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 10:34:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA176060; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 21:32:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6025628 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 21:32:49 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA176026 for ; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 21:32:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA19283 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 21:32:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708100232.VAA19283@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 9 Aug 1997 21:32:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Discussion Number 42 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 66af1dbf74f0f89067745349c311a468 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1114 Status: OR 295 WTPA44 PHNL 100300 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 42 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST SAT AUG 09 1997 GUILLERMO IS NOW BEING SHEARED AND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WILL START MOVING WITHIN THE TRADE FLOW AND WILL BE WEAKENING FURTHER IN SPITE OF IT MOVING OVER SLIGHTLY WARMER WATER AGAIN. HAVE ADJUSTED THE TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECASTS ACCORDINGLY. ROSENDAL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/0300Z 23.0N 141.2W 40 KTS 12HR VT 10/1200Z 23.7N 142.7W 35 KTS 24HR VT 11/0000Z 24.1N 144.6W 30 KTS 36HR VT 11/1200Z 24.4N 146.8W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 12/0000Z 24.6N 149.1W 20 KTS...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103032-4681>; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 10:35:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA176086; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 21:33:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6025633 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 21:32:56 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA176036 for ; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 21:32:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA19287 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 21:32:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708100232.VAA19287@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 9 Aug 1997 21:32:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 42 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 738dbce014ad4480b4a5be1448d66cd0 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1629 Status: OR 296 WTPA24 PHNL 100300 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 42 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0997 0300Z SUN AUG 10 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ENTERS THE CENTRAL PACIFIC... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 141.2W AT 10/0300Z. POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM. PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB. MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. RADIUS 34 KT WINDS AND 12 FT SEAS.......150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW. ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 141.2W AT 10/0300Z. AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 140.7W. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 23.7N 142.7W. MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT RADIUS 34 KT WINDS...100NE 50SE 50SW 100NE FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 24.1N 144.6W. MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 24.4N 146.8W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23N 142W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 24.6N 149.1W...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z ROSENDAL CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103024-4681>; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 10:38:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA176112; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 21:33:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6025638 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 21:33:04 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA223666 for ; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 21:32:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA19291 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 21:32:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708100232.VAA19291@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 9 Aug 1997 21:33:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Advisory Number 42 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8c76d8e49280ffc6acac898ff0156770 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1503 Status: OR 297 WTPA34 PHNL 100300 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER 42 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST SAT AUG 09 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ENTERS THE CENTRAL PACIFIC... AT 5 PM HST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 141.2 WEST OR ABOUT 1060 STATUTE MILES EAST OF HONOLULU. GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A MORE WESTERLY COURSE THEREAFTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM HST POSITION...23.0 N...141.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ESTIMATED AT 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM HST. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103486-4681>; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 17:36:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA12090; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 04:24:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6026729 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 04:24:52 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA94338 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 04:22:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id EAA20868 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 04:21:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708100921.EAA20868@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 10 Aug 1997 04:24:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Advisory Number 43 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2a19f50d6f7460536bdfa407d8751adf X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1440 Status: OR 955 WTPA34 PHNL 100900 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER 43 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST SAT AUG 9 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO WEAKEN... AT 11 PM HST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 141.7 WEST OR ABOUT 900 MILES EASTNORTHEAST OF HILO. GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO TURN MORE WESTERLY AND INCREASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006MB OR 29.71 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM HST POSITION 23.7N 141.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM HST SUNDAY. MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103485-4681>; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 17:37:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA84786; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 04:34:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6026780 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 04:33:54 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA98036 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 04:33:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id EAA20920 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 04:33:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708100933.EAA20920@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 10 Aug 1997 04:33:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 43 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0067e6fe0ff9249fef419b3fe2221660 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1567 Status: OR 145 WTPA24 PHNL 100900 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 43 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0997 0900Z SUN AUG 10 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO WEAKEN... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 141.7W AT 10/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT.......120NE 75SE 75SW 120NW 12 FT SEAS..120NE 75SE 75SW 120NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 141.7W AT 10/0900Z AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 141.2W FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 24.3N 143.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 24.8N 145.6W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 25.2N 148.3W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24N 142W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 25.4N 151.1W...DISSIPATING OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 25.6N 157.4W...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103485-4681>; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 17:52:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA210606; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 04:35:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6026789 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 04:35:38 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA102042 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 04:35:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id EAA20942 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 04:35:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708100935.EAA20942@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 10 Aug 1997 04:35:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Discussion Number 43 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d3ae39932880150a452a42b85cead55d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1364 Status: OR 168 WTPA44 PHNL 100900 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 43 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST SAT AUG 9 1997 GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO MOVE UNDER INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY SHEARING ALOFT...CONVECTION AND HIGHER CLOUDS ARE VISIBLY MOVING NORTHWARD UNCOVERING GUILLERMOS CENTER. ITS CENTER APPEARS TO BE SHOWING THE BEGINNINGS OF A DECIDELY MORE WESTWARD MOVEMENT. THE STORM SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN WITH THE LOSS OF ITS CONVECTION. AS AN ADDITIONAL RESULT ITS PACE WESTWARD SHOULD QUICKEN FROM ITS CURRENT 10 KNOTS AIDED BY STRENGTHENING LOWER LEVEL RIDGING TO ITS NORTH. MATSUDA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/0900Z 23.7N 141.7W 35 KTS 12HR VT 10/1800Z 24.3N 143.2W 30 KTS 24HR VT 11/0600Z 24.8N 145.6W 25 KTS 36HR VT 11/1800Z 25.2N 148.3W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 12/0600Z 25.4N 151.1W DISSIPATING 72HR VT 13/0600Z 25.6N 157.4W DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103484-4681>; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 17:59:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA94242; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 04:56:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6026827 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 04:56:52 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA25104 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 04:56:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id EAA20987 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 04:56:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708100956.EAA20987@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 10 Aug 1997 04:56:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 78732ad863c34445d771a86b587220d8 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 901 Status: OR 370 ABPA20 PHNL 101000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST SUNDAY AUGUST 10 1997 AT 11 PM HST...TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WAS NEAR 23.7N 141.7W...ABOUT 900 MILES EAST/NORTHEAST OF HILO. THE TROPICAL STORM WAS MOVING WEST/NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 MPH. PLEASE SEE WTPA24 PHNL BULLETIN FOR DETAILS. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH MONDAY. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103510-4681>; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 22:49:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA12172; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 09:47:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6027705 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 09:47:37 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA251988 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 09:44:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA21634 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 09:43:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708101443.JAA21634@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 10 Aug 1997 09:47:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 44 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 403af3519a1013206856a12805b7f330 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1590 Status: OR 582 WTPA24 PHNL 101500 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 44 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0997 1500Z SUN AUG 10 1997 ...WEAKENING TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO NOT A THREAT TO ISLANDS... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 142.3W AT 10/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT.......120NE 60SE 60SW 120NW 12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 60SW 120NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 142.3W AT 10/1500Z AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 141.9W FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 24.8N 143.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 25.6N 145.3W MAX WIND 30 KT FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 26.0N 147.4W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24N 142W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 26.4N 150.1W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 26.4N 155.9W...DISSIPATED MAX WIND 20 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103511-4681>; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 22:49:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA162740; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 09:47:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6027716 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 09:47:47 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA12254 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 09:46:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA21640 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 09:45:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708101445.JAA21640@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 10 Aug 1997 09:47:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Discussion Number 44 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: aabd6bcd766ce7c9d7a2bb4af823e6d6 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1330 Status: OR 609 WTPA44 PHNL 101500 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 44 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST SUN AUG 10 1997 ALTHO BOTH SOUTHWEST SHEARING ALOFT AND COOL UNDERLYING 24 DEGREE WATER REPRESENT WEAKENING INFLUENCES ON GUILLERMO WE WILL MAINTAIN ITS TROPICAL STORM STATUS DUE TO STILL STRONG LOW LEVEL CLOUD CIRCULATION...BUILDING PRESSURES NORTH OF THE STORM WILL ALSO KEEP WIND GRADIENT STRONG A BIT LONGER. WILL MAINTAIN INITIAL NORTHWEST TRACK AND MORE GRADUALLY YIELD TO WESTWARD BENT DUE TO THE INCREASED RIDGING. MATSUDA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/1500Z 24.0N 142.3W 35 KTS 12HR VT 11/0000Z 24.8N 143.4W 30 KTS 24HR VT 11/1200Z 25.6N 145.3W 30 KTS 36HR VT 12/0000Z 26.0N 147.4W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 12/1200Z 26.4N 150.1W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 13/1200Z 26.4N 155.9W 20 KTS...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103511-4681>; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 22:56:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA25312; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 09:53:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6027777 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 09:53:20 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA210626 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 09:53:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA21673 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 09:53:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708101453.JAA21673@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 10 Aug 1997 09:53:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Advisory Number 44 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 703c748878149620495e373710c8ff6a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1447 Status: OR 655 WTPA34 PHNL 101500 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER 44 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST SUN AUG 10 1997 ...WEAKENING TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO NOT A THREAT TO ISLANDS... AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 142.3 WEST OR ABOUT 850 MILES EASTNORTHEAST OF HILO. GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH AND IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN MORE WESTERLY AND SLOWLY INCREASE ITS SPEED IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006MB OR 29.71 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION...24.0N 142.3W. MOVEMENT TOWARD NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM HST. MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103544-4681>; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 04:35:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA210446; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 15:33:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6029090 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 15:32:58 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA74472 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 15:32:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA23199 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 15:32:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708102032.PAA23199@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 10 Aug 1997 15:32:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 45 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a32ed1a277049df6f89b121631837eb7 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1530 Status: OR 560 WTPA24 PHNL 102100 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 45 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0997 2100Z SUN AUG 10 1997 ...GUILLERMO DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION STATUS... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 142.6W AT 10/2100Z. POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM. PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 7 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB. MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 142.6W AT 10/2100Z. AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 142.4W. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 26.0N 143.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 26.5N 145.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 26.7N 147.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25N 143W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 26.9N 150.0W...DISSIPATED MAX WIND 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 26.9N 154.6W...DISSIPATED MAX WIND 20 KT. NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z ROSENDAL CPHC HONOLULU +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103544-4681>; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 04:35:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA210470; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 15:33:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6029095 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 15:33:10 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA210668 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 15:32:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA23203 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 15:32:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708102032.PAA23203@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 10 Aug 1997 15:33:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Guillermo Discussion Number 45 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9ff5e1a99a83e4bcdb379d96a575fbdd X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1757 Status: OR 561 WTPA44 PHNL 102100 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 45 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST SUN AUG 10 1997 GUILLERMO HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION AS SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO HAVE DROPPED TO 30 KT...OR BELOW THE 34 KT THRESHOLD. OUR TRACK IS CLOSE TO THE GFDL MODEL TRACK WHICH IS THE SOUTHERNMOST OF THE BOUQUET OF TRACK CHOICES. THIS AGREES WELL WITH OUR THINKING OF WHAT A SHEARED SHALLOW SYSTEM SHOULD DO. THE DEVELOPMENT OF A STRONG BLOCKING HIGH FOR A FEW DAYS FAR TO THE NORTH NEAR 45N 150W COULD INDUCE A WEAKNESS OR CUTOFF LOW SOUTH OF THIS HIGH NEAR 30N. THIS WOULD BASICALLY BE A COLD CORE SYSTEM THAT INTERACT OR MERGE WITH GUILLERMO BUT OTHERWISE SHOULD NOT AFFECT IT IN A MAJOR WAY. WINDS ON GUILLERMOS NORTH SIDE MAY HOWEVER BE A LITTLE STRONGER THAN HERE INDICATED WHILE WINDS ON THE SOUTH SIDE NEAR THE ISLANDS WILL BE NEARLY CALM OR VERY WEAK SOUTHWESTERLIES WITH WARM AND HUMID WEATHER ENSUING. ROSENDAL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/2100Z 25.3N 142.6W 30 KTS 12HR VT 11/0600Z 26.0N 143.4W 30 KTS 24HR VT 11/1800Z 26.5N 145.1W 30 KTS 36HR VT 12/0600Z 26.7N 147.5W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 12/1800Z 26.9N 150.0W 25 KTS...DISSIPATED 72HR VT 13/1800Z 26.9N 154.6W 20 KTS...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103546-4681>; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 04:35:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA210496; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 15:33:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6029100 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 15:33:17 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA158200 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 15:32:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA23207 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 15:32:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708102032.PAA23207@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 10 Aug 1997 15:33:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Guillermo Advisory Number 45 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 82feddd86ee3e894928524ce4bc9aff9 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1516 Status: OR 562 WTPA34 PHNL 102100 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER 45 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST SUN AUG 10 1997 ...GUILLERMO DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION STATUS... AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 142.6 WEST OR ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A MORE WESTERLY COURSE ASSUMED THEREAFTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH OR A VERY SLOW WEAKENING AND DISSIPATION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...25.3 N...142.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM HST. ROSENDAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103495-4681>; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 05:51:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA232242; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 16:48:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6029280 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 16:48:12 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA200736 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 16:48:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id QAA23482 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 16:47:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708102147.QAA23482@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 10 Aug 1997 16:48:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f4d929b180b1cf23fdf4fd7ceb2d12b8 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 977 Status: OR 575 ABPA20 PHNL 102200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST SUNDAY AUGUST 10 1997 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECASTS AND ADVISORIES FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO...DOWNGRADED FROM A TROPICAL STORM...LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 142.6W AT 10/2100Z...11 AM SUNDAY HAWAII TIME. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT 7 KT. SEE WTPA24 PHNL OR WTPA34 PHNL. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH MONDAY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102472-2171>; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 10:37:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA251928; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 21:32:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6030778 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 21:32:50 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA94212 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 21:32:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA24690 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 21:32:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708110232.VAA24690@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 10 Aug 1997 21:32:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 46 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5ba9fcddbdb196db16373e0cca578b57 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1541 Status: OR 649 WTPA24 PHNL 110300 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 46 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0997 0300Z MON AUG 11 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO STILL HEADING NORTHWEST... EXPECTED TO TURN MORE WESTERLY SOON... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 142.9W AT 11/0300Z. POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM. PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 7 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB. MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 142.9W AT 11/0300Z. AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.9N 142.7W. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 27.0N 143.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 27.7N 145.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 28.0N 147.6W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26N 143W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 28.3N 150.0W...DISSIPATING OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 28.8N 155.3W...DISSIPATING NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102472-2171>; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 10:35:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA110662; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 21:33:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6030783 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 21:33:16 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA251946 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 21:33:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA24699 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 21:33:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708110233.VAA24699@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 10 Aug 1997 21:33:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Guillermo Discussion Number 46 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c2ac20d392c8415ea864f4cd23367851 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1716 Status: OR 650 WTPA44 PHNL 110300 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 46 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST SUN AUG 10 1997 GUILLERMO IS STILL HEADING NORTHWESTWARD ROUGHLY PARALLEL TO THE 24 DEGREE ISOTHERM. LARGER SCALE REARRANGEMENT OF THE FLOW PATTERN IN THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC PLACES A STRONG HIGH NEAR 45N 150W IN 48 TO 72 HOURS. THIS WILL INDUCE LOW PRESSURE TO FORM 15 DEGREES TO THE SOUTH WHICH SHOULD DRAW GUILLERMO INTO THE AREA NEAR 30N 150W AND PERHAPS WARM ITS CORE A LITTLE AS WE THEN WOULD BE OVER 26 DEGREE WATER WITH MUCH IMPROVED LATENT AND SENSIBLE HEAT TRANSFERS PLUS GOOD DYNAMICS. IN OTHER WORDS WILL NOT DROP GUILLERMO TOO QUICKLY. WILL KEEP WINDS AT 30 KT THRU 36 HOURS. WINDS SHOULD BE AT LEAST THAT STRONG ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE DEPRESSION ADJACENT TO THE BUILDING HIGH. THE TRACK HAS BEEN STUBBORNLY KEPT SOUTH OF THE MAJORITY OF THE GUIDANCE IN CLOSE COMPANY WITH THE GFDL MODEL. ROSENDAL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/0300Z 26.2N 142.9W 30 KTS 12HR VT 11/1200Z 27.0N 143.6W 30 KTS 24HR VT 12/0000Z 27.7N 145.3W 30 KTS 36HR VT 12/1200Z 28.0N 147.6W 30 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 13/0000Z 28.3N 150.0W 0 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 14/0000Z 28.8N 155.3W 0 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102546-2171>; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 10:35:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA110686; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 21:33:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6030788 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 21:33:22 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA251954 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 21:33:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA24705 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 21:33:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708110233.VAA24705@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 10 Aug 1997 21:33:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Guillermo Advisory Number 46 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 26edc282c16a30707e4c28cef1fd156c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1517 Status: OR 651 WTPA34 PHNL 110300 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER 46 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST SUN AUG 10 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO STILL HEADING NORTHWEST...EXPECTED TO TURN MORE WESTERLY SOON... AT 5 PM HST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 142.9 WEST OR STILL ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS WITH A MORE WESTERLY TREK EXPECTED THEREAFTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM HST POSITION...26.2 N...142.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM HST. ROSENDAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 16:52:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102603-17790>; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 16:35:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA112502; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 03:30:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5983600 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 03:30:48 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA265824 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 03:30:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id DAA15944 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 03:30:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708120830.DAA15944@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 12 Aug 1997 03:30:48 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 51 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b469f52d3c85d9132c04e8db41f986bc X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1713 Status: OR 955 WTPA24 PHNL 120900 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 51 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0997 0900Z TUE AUG 12 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO NOW MOVING ON A MORE WESTERLY COURSE... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 146.9W AT 12/0900Z. POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM. PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB. MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. RADIUS 34 WINDS AND 12 FT SEAS......180NE 30SE 30SW 180NW. ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 146.9W AT 12/0900Z. AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.4N 146.3W. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 29.7N 148.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...150NE 30SE 30SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 30.1N 151.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 30.9N 153.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 30NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30N 147W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 31.8N 156.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 35.3N 161.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z ROSENDAL CPHC +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 16:52:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102511-17790>; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 16:39:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA129432; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 03:31:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5983605 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 03:31:15 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA112518 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 03:31:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id DAA15948 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 03:31:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708120831.DAA15948@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 12 Aug 1997 03:31:15 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Discussion Number 51 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3dce3bee6fdf5f113d610eeb5618cf85 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1730 Status: OR 956 WTPA44 PHNL 120900 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 51 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST MON AUG 11 1997 SHIP REPORTS INDICATE WINDS ON THE NORTH SIDE OF GUILLERMO ADJACENT TO THE STRONG HIGH ARE ABOUT 40 KT. THUS HAVE MAINTAINED IT AT TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH A WHILE LONGER. SHIP ELLE2 ACTUALLY HAD A PRESSURE VALUE 1002.5 MB AT 29.5N 145.3W WITH A WIND OF 1932. AT 03Z THIS NSAME SHIP MEASURED A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 999.5 MB WITH A WIND OF 2828. AT 00Z ITS WINDS WERE 3339 AND PRESSURE 1006.5 MB. THE PRESSURE VALUES LOOK RELIABLE. OUR CENTRAL PRESSURE/MAX WIND RELATIONSHIP FOR A 1000 MB T.C. IN THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC SHOWS ABOUT 50 KT WINDS ARE TO BE EXPECTED. HAVE COMPROMISED AT 40 KT. GUILLERMO IS PERHAPS NO MORE A TRUE TROPICAL SYSTEM AS IT IS LIKELY INTERACTING WITH A COLD CORE CUTOFF LOW SITTING SOUTH OF A BLOCKING HIGH. OVER 26 DEGREE WATER THIS LOW COULD HOWEVER WARM UP SUFFICIENTLY WITH TIME AS IT MOVES WEST AND LATER WNW AGAIN. ROSENDAL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/0900Z 29.5N 146.9W 40 KTS 12HR VT 12/1800Z 29.7N 148.7W 40 KTS 24HR VT 13/0600Z 30.1N 151.0W 35 KTS 36HR VT 13/1800Z 30.9N 153.8W 35 KTS 48HR VT 14/0600Z 31.8N 156.7W 30 KTS 72HR VT 15/0600Z 35.3N 161.3W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 16:52:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102603-17790>; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 16:36:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA198944; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 03:33:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5983626 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 03:33:23 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA264202 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 03:33:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id DAA15958 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 03:33:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708120833.DAA15958@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 12 Aug 1997 03:33:23 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Advisory Number 51 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2674b0c4e490ad95ba80f05a7f4440d7 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1620 Status: OR 999 WTPA34 PHNL 120900 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER 51 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST MON AUG 11 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO NOW MOVING ON A MORE WESTERLY COURSE... AT 11 PM HST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 146.9 WEST OR ABOUT 875 MILES NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU. GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS WITH A MORE WEST NORTHWESTERLY COURSE EXPECTED THEREAFTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND ABOUT 50 MILES TO THE SOUTH. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM HST POSITION...29.5 N...146.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM HST...TUESDAY. ROSENDAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 14:02:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102824-2171>; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 16:59:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA232224; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 03:57:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6031920 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 03:57:39 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA199182 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 03:57:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id DAA26610 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 03:57:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708110857.DAA26610@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 03:57:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Guillermo Discussion Number 47 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d8d105457e505a8749233b44e6ab1e0f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1391 Status: OR 762 WTPA44 PHNL 110900 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 47 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST SUN AUG 10 1997 GUILLERMO HAS STUBBORNLY CLUNG ON TO ITS NORTHWEST PATH BEST OUTLINED BY EARLIER BAMM MODELS. AS HIGHER PRESSURES DEVELOP NORTH OF GUILLERMO AND FURTHER SHEARING OCCURS ITS CENTER WILL LIKELY CONFORM TO OUR EQUALLY STUBBORN INSISTENCE OF FAVORING A MORE WESTERLY BENT INDICATED BY THE AVIATION AND EARLIER GFDL MODELS. STRENGTHENED NORTHWARD RIDGING AND A RETURN INTO SLIGHTLY WARMER WATERS SHOULD SUSTAIN DEPRESSION LEVEL WINDS LONGER THAN PREVIOUS DAYS FORECASTS PROJECTED. MATSUDA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/0900Z 26.9N 143.2W 30 KTS 12HR VT 11/1800Z 27.7N 144.0W 30 KTS 24HR VT 12/0600Z 28.6N 145.8W 30 KTS 36HR VT 12/1800Z 29.1N 148.1W 30 KTS 48HR VT 13/0600Z 29.4N 150.9W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 14/0600Z 30.1N 156.7W 20 KTS...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 14:02:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103054-2171>; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 17:00:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA199238; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 03:58:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6031925 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 03:58:14 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA232244 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 03:58:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id DAA26614 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 03:58:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708110858.DAA26614@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 03:58:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 47 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1e162e8d6e16c437b09a3e4fa77a2efb X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1556 Status: OR 781 WTPA24 PHNL 110900 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 47 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0997 0900Z MON AUG 11 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO CONTINUES ON ITS NORTHWEST PATH AND REMAINS NONTHREATENING TO HAWAII... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 143.2W AT 11/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 143.2W AT 11/0900Z AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 142.9W FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 27.7N 144.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 28.6N 145.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 29.1N 148.1W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 30 KT... REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N 143.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 29.4N 150.9W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 30.1N 156.7W...DISSIPATED MAX WIND 20 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 14:02:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102846-2171>; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 17:07:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA94270; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 04:04:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6031930 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 04:04:50 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA92204 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 04:04:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id EAA26730 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 04:04:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708110904.EAA26730@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 04:04:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Guillermo Advisory Number 47 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2d60039edde1142c6b0a80d75bd3bccf X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1435 Status: OR 841 WTPA34 PHNL 110900 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER 47 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST SUN AUG 10 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO CONTINUES ON ITS NORTHWEST PATH AND REMAINS NONTHREATENING TO HAWAII... AT 11 PM HST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 143.2 WEST OR ABOUT 1000 MILES EASTNORTHEAST OF HONOLULU. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH AND IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY TURN WESTWARD AND SPEED UP SLIGHTLY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007MB...29.74 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM HST POSITION 26.9N 143.2W. MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM HST MONDAY. MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 14:02:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103054-2171>; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 18:00:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA232304; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 04:56:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6032077 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 04:56:41 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA97884 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 04:56:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id EAA26972 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 04:56:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708110956.EAA26972@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 04:56:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b99bab9b157748732a35ed18205abb9e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 840 Status: OR 591 ABPA20 PHNL 111000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST MONDAY AUGUST 11 1997 AT 11 PM HST...TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO WAS NEAR 26.9N 143.2W AND MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 MPH. PLEASE SEE WTPA24 PHNL BULLETIN FOR DETAILS. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 13 07:59:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102589-17790>; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 18:18:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA45856; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 05:13:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5983935 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 05:13:43 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA82190 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 05:13:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id FAA16446 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 05:13:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708121013.FAA16446@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 12 Aug 1997 05:13:43 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3749833f282698f00af4e2594511974c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 838 Status: OR 226 ABPA20 PHNL 121000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210AM HST TUESDAY AUGUST 12 1997 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 146.9W AT 12/0900Z... 875 MILES NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU IS MOVING WEST AT 13 MPH. SEE WTPA24 PHNL OR WTPA34 PHNL. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH WEDNESDAY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 14:02:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102600-2171>; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 22:57:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA92344; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 09:49:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6033225 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 09:49:15 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA171170 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 09:49:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA00249 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 09:49:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708111449.JAA00249@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 09:49:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Guillermo Discussion Number 48 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6b29f0023a6fcbc1557d940af0799a48 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1386 Status: OR 816 WTPA44 PHNL 111500 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 48 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST MON AUG 11 1997 NO CHANGE TO PREVIOUS THINKING...GUILLERMO STILL EXPECTED TO TURN MORE WESTERLY WHEN IT LOSES SOME OF ITS CONVECTIVE BONNET. INITIAL PROJECTED PATH ALIGNED ALONG BAMS WITH A LEAN TOWARD BAMM. THEREAFTER A GRADUALIZED SHIFT TOWARD THE AVIATION MODELS MORE WESTERLY TRACK. WE CONTINUE TO BE CONSERVATIVE IN GUILLERMOS DEMISE WITH FIRMING PRESSURES TO GUILLERMOS NORTH MAINTAINING A 30 KNOT GRADIENT...SHIP WITHIN 150 MILES OF DEPRESSION HAS REPORTED 30 KNOTS. MATSUDA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/1500Z 28.0N 143.7W 30 KTS 12HR VT 12/0000Z 29.0N 144.8W 30 KTS 24HR VT 12/1200Z 29.9N 146.9W 30 KTS 36HR VT 13/0000Z 30.5N 149.3W 30 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 13/1200Z 31.0N 152.0W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 14/1200Z 31.9N 158.1W 20 KTS...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 14:02:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103087-2171>; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 22:56:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA199226; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 09:50:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6033234 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 09:50:15 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA264228 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 09:50:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA00279 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 09:50:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708111450.JAA00279@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 09:50:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 48 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 456a0938116ea78c50c30cb2f662cc21 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1542 Status: OR 817 WTPA24 PHNL 111500 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 48 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0997 1500Z MON AUG 11 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO CONTINUES ON ITS NORTHWEST PATH AND DOES NOT THREATEN HAWAII... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.0N 143.7W AT 11/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.0N 143.7W AT 11/1500Z AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 143.3W FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 29.0N 144.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 29.9N 146.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 30.5N 149.3W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28N 144W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 31.0N 152.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 31.9N 158.1W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 14:02:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103080-2171>; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 23:02:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA41560; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 09:56:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6033281 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 09:56:50 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA223716 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 09:55:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA00393 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 09:55:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708111455.JAA00393@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 09:56:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Guillermo Advisory Number 48 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8cf808388e46a627179a4c6a5dacfd9c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1437 Status: OR 875 WTPA34 PHNL 111500 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER 48 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST MON AUG 11 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO CONTINUES ON ITS NORTHWEST PATH AND DOES NOT THREATEN HAWAII... AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 143.7 WEST OR ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH AND IS EXPECTED TO TURN MORE WESTERLY AS WELL AS SPEED UP IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004MB...29.74 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION...28.0N 143.7W. MOVEMENT IS TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM HST. MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 14:02:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103083-2171>; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 23:04:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA12220; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 10:00:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6033311 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 10:00:21 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA226728 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 10:00:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id KAA00622 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 10:00:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708111500.KAA00622@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 10:00:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Guillermo Advisory Number 48...corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 46afd2458e2571d799d46d617efab818 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1516 Status: OR 947 WTPA34 PHNL 111500 COR BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER 48...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST MON AUG 11 1997 ...CORRECTED BOTH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURES TO READ 1004MB... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO CONTINUES ON ITS NORTHWEST PATH AND DOES NOT THREATEN HAWAII... AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 143.7 WEST OR ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH AND IS EXPECTED TO TURN MORE WESTERLY AS WELL AS SPEED UP IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004MB...29.74 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION...28.0N 143.7W. MOVEMENT IS TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM HST. MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 14:02:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103080-2171>; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 02:38:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA73930; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 13:34:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6034704 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 13:34:02 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA74358 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 13:34:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id NAA06006 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 13:33:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708111833.NAA06006@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 13:34:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Test Discussion Number 48 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cdfc7dba44e30853c65ba30db1d0dd1e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1427 Status: OR 546 WTPA44 PHNL 111500 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEST DISCUSSION NUMBER 48 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST MON AUG 11 1997 ...THIS IS ONLY A TEST...PLEASE DISREGARD... NO CHANGE TO PREVIOUS THINKING...GUILLERMO STILL EXPECTED TO TURN MORE WESTERLY WHEN IT LOSES SOME OF ITS CONVECTIVE BONNET. INITIAL PROJECTED PATH ALIGNED ALONG BAMS WITH A LEAN TOWARD BAMM. THEREAFTER A GRADUALIZED SHIFT TOWARD THE AVIATION MODELS MORE WESTERLY TRACK. WE CONTINUE TO BE CONSERVATIVE IN GUILLERMOS DEMISE WITH FIRMING PRESSURES TO GUILLERMOS NORTH MAINTAINING A 30 KNOT GRADIENT...SHIP WITHIN 150 MILES OF DEPRESSION HAS REPORTED 30 KNOTS. MATSUDA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/1500Z 28.0N 143.7W 30 KTS 12HR VT 12/0000Z 29.0N 144.8W 30 KTS 24HR VT 12/1200Z 29.9N 146.9W 30 KTS 36HR VT 13/0000Z 30.5N 149.3W 30 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 13/1200Z 31.0N 152.0W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 14/1200Z 31.9N 158.1W 20 KTS...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 14:02:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103112-2171>; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 04:28:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA24234; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 15:25:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6035587 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 15:25:17 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA151958 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 15:25:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA09092 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 15:25:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708112025.PAA09092@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 15:25:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 49 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 411837ada66db7943785c55798ed26a1 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1552 Status: OR 895 WTPA24 PHNL 112100 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 49 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0997 2100Z MON AUG 11 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO CONTINUES ON ITS NORTHWEST PATH AND DOES NOT THREATEN HAWAII... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 143.9W AT 11/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 143.9W AT 11/2100Z AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.4N 143.7W FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 29.5N 144.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 30.8N 146.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 32.0N 148.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.7N 143.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 33.5N 152.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 30 KT OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 36.3N 159.4W...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 14:02:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103286-2171>; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 04:32:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAB162652; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 15:28:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6035607 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 15:28:10 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA67400 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 15:28:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA09145 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 15:27:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708112027.PAA09145@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 15:28:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Guillermo Advisory Number 49 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d3239f48287d72968e977900c5ee0b73 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1459 Status: OR 931 WTPA34 PHNL 112100 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER 49 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST MON AUG 11 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO CONTINUES ON ITS NORTHWEST PATH AND DOES NOT THREATEN HAWAII... AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 143.9 WEST OR ABOUT 925 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME MORE WESTERLY AND INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...28.7 N...143.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM HST. FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 13 07:59:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103580-17790>; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 04:34:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA08922; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 15:31:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5987496 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 15:31:07 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA199292 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 15:31:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA28458 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 15:30:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708122030.PAA28458@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 12 Aug 1997 15:31:07 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 53 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ce76b6bcbaf09502a8b38552c5edc367 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1752 Status: OR 225 WTPA24 PHNL 122100 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 53 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0997 2100Z TUE AUG 12 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO MOVING WEST NORTHWEST OVER THE OPEN OCEAN FAR NORTHEAST OF HAWAII... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 148.6W AT 12/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT.......180NE 30SE 0SW 180NW 12 FT SEAS..180NE 30SE 0SW 180NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 148.6W AT 12/2100Z AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 148.1W FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 31.1N 150.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...150NE 30SE 0SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 31.8N 152.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 32.5N 155.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.5N 148.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 33.1N 158.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 35.1N 164.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 13 07:59:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103577-17790>; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 04:34:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA162578; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 15:31:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5987501 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 15:31:31 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA93586 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 15:31:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA28462 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 15:30:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708122030.PAA28462@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 12 Aug 1997 15:31:31 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Discussion Number 53 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9a3d51de6b86d65d64583850fb02e79d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1509 Status: OR 226 WTPA44 PHNL 122100 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 53 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST TUE AUG 12 1997 GUILLERMO REMAINS A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST NORTHWEST AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF A HIGH PRESSURE CELL CENTERED TO ITS NORTHEAST. DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS ARE SOMEWHAT SUSPECT AS THIS SYSTEM HAS SUBTROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS WITH A COLD CORE LOW ALOFT. GUILLERMO HAS BEEN MAINTAINED AT TROPICAL STROM INTENSITY BASED ON SURFACE SHIP REPORTS AND THE STRONGER PRESSURE GRADIENT EVIDENT IN THE NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE BETWEEN IT AND THE NEARBY HIGH CENTER. THE FORECAST TRACK CLOSELY PARALLELS THE GFDL MODEL THROUGH 72 HOURS WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN INTENSITY TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN 48 HOURS. LARSON FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/2100Z 30.5N 148.6W 40 KTS 12HR VT 13/0600Z 31.1N 150.1W 40 KTS 24HR VT 13/1800Z 31.8N 152.5W 35 KTS 36HR VT 14/0600Z 32.5N 155.3W 35 KTS 48HR VT 14/1800Z 33.1N 158.1W 30 KTS 72HR VT 15/1800Z 35.1N 164.0W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 13 07:59:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103577-17790>; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 04:35:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA84848; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 15:32:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5987509 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 15:31:48 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA158110 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 15:31:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA28466 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 15:30:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708122030.PAA28466@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 12 Aug 1997 15:31:48 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Advisory Number 53 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bc3da98f18ef5068c2b519d9713ce8b6 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1505 Status: OR 227 WTPA34 PHNL 122100 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER 53 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST TUE AUG 12 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO MOVING WEST NORTHWEST OVER THE OPEN OCEAN FAR NORTHEAST OF HAWAII... AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 148.6 WEST OR ABOUT 850 MILES NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU. GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DECREASE OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES NORTH OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...30.5 N...148.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM HST. LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 14:02:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103245-2171>; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 04:35:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA98014; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 15:33:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6035661 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 15:33:11 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA46022 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 15:33:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA09288 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 15:32:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708112032.PAA09288@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 15:33:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Guillermo Discussion Number 49 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0c97a6e8423a0bc546b74520c46b9a01 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1552 Status: OR 995 WTPA44 PHNL 112100 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 49 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST MON AUG 11 1997 NO CHANGE TO PREVIOUS THINKING...GUILLERMO STILL EXPECTED TO TURN MORE WESTERLY WHEN IT LOSES SOME OF ITS CONVECTIVE MANTLE. INITIAL PROJECTED PATH SIMILAR TO BAMS WITH FIRST PERIOD LEAN TOWARD BAMM. THEREAFTER A GRADUALIZED SHIFT TOWARD THE AVIATION MODELS MORE WESTERLY TRACK. SATELLITE INDICATIONS ARE OF A DECREASE IN WINDS TO 25 KT...BUT WINDS OF 30 KT STILL NOTED IN SHIP OBSERVATION WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER DUE TO BUTTING UP AGAINST HIGHER PRESSURE THERE. WILL THUS MAINTAIN 30 KT WINDS THROUGH 36 HOURS WITH RAPID DISSIPATION FOLLOWING AS IT MOVES INTO LESS FAVORABLE POSITION WITH RESPECT TO UPPER TROUGH. FARRELL. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/2100Z 28.7N 143.9W 30 KTS 12HR VT 12/0600Z 29.5N 144.6W 30 KTS 24HR VT 12/1800Z 30.8N 146.4W 30 KTS 36HR VT 13/0600Z 32.0N 148.9W 30 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 13/1800Z 33.5N 152.2W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 14/1800Z 36.3N 159.4W 20 KTS...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 14:02:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103335-2171>; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 06:03:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA13510; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 17:00:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6036150 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 17:00:32 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA38578 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 17:00:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id RAA11053 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 17:00:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708112200.RAA11053@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 17:00:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1722f2fd4976a79ef6eee9121ed20085 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 901 Status: OR 160 ABPA20 PHNL 112200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST MON AUG 11 1997 AT 11 AM HST...TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO WAS NEAR 29N144W AND MOVING NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. PLEASE SEE WTPA24 PHNL ADVISORY FOR DETAILS. A WEAK DISTURBANCE HAS FORMED NEAR 08N173W AND IS MOVING WEST AT 8 MPH. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 13 08:00:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103612-17790>; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 06:07:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA118812; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 17:02:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5987990 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 17:02:52 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA67524 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 17:01:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id RAA00006 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 17:01:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708122201.RAA00006@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 12 Aug 1997 17:02:52 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f948b147840db27b1c35522e18395b3c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 951 Status: OR 350 ABPA20 PHNL 122200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST TUE AUG 12 1997 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO LOCATED NEAR 30N148W AT 12/2100Z IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH. SEE WTPA24 PHNL OR WTPA34 PHNL ADVISORY. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 08N176W MOVING WEST AT 8 MPH HAS STRENGTHENED DURING PAST 24 HOURS AND COULD BECOME A DEPRESSION IN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH WEDNESDAY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 14:02:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102427-17790>; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 10:28:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA185876; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 21:25:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6037211 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 21:25:03 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA112634 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 21:25:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA13273 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 21:24:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708120224.VAA13273@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 21:25:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 50 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: dc28ee6df0777ef028be10301e3e3478 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1703 Status: OR 868 WTPA24 PHNL 120300 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 50 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0997 0300Z TUE AUG 12 1997 ...GUILLERMO RECLASSIFIED A TROPICAL STORM...CONTINUES ON ITS NORTHWEST PATH AND DOES NOT THREATEN HAWAII... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.6N 145.8W AT 12/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT.......125NE 75SE 75SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..125NE 75SE 75SW 125NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.6N 145.8W AT 12/0300Z AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 145.4W FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 30.5N 147.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT...100NE 50SE 50SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 31.5N 149.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 32.9N 151.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.6N 145.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 34.4N 155.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 37.1N 163.1W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 14:02:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102412-17790>; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 10:30:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA210546; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 21:26:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6037220 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 21:26:52 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA02654 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 21:26:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA13285 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 21:26:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708120226.VAA13285@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 21:26:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Discussion Number 50 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: af2bb3454169ba2639677a4a9b2dd067 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1343 Status: OR 885 WTPA44 PHNL 120300 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 50 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST MON AUG 11 1997 GUILLERMO EVIDENTLY SLIGHTLY STRONGER THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT AS TWO RELIABLE SHIP OBSERVATIONS INDICATE WINDS OF AT LEAST 35 KT IN ITS VICINITY. GUILLERMO IS NOW BEING CARRIED AS A TROPICAL STORM AND HAS MADE A TURN TOWARD A MORE WEST-NORTHWESTERLY DIRECTION. GUILLERMO IS STILL EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN A MORE WESTERLY COURSE AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN. GUIDANCE IS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT NOW AND HAVE FOLLOWED ITS CONSENSUS MOVING TOWARD THE AVN AS THE STORM WEAKENS. FARRELL. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/0300Z 29.6N 145.8W 35 KTS 12HR VT 12/1200Z 30.5N 147.1W 35 KTS 24HR VT 13/0000Z 31.5N 149.2W 30 KTS 36HR VT 13/1200Z 32.9N 151.8W 30 KTS 48HR VT 14/0000Z 34.4N 155.5W 30 KTS 72HR VT 15/0000Z 37.1N 163.1W 25 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 14:02:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102338-17790>; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 10:30:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA201126; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 21:28:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6037225 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 21:28:39 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA94354 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 21:28:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA13301 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 21:28:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708120228.VAA13301@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 21:28:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Advisory Number 50 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a9479412d436d6d3784cbcf9dc6862ef X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1539 Status: OR 941 WTPA34 PHNL 120300 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER 50 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST MON AUG 11 1997 ...GUILLERMO RECLASSIFIED A TROPICAL STORM...CONTINUES ON ITS NORTHWEST PATH AND DOES NOT THREATEN HAWAII... AT 5 PM HST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 145.8 WEST OR ABOUT 900 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII. GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS WITH GRADUAL WEAKENING THEREAFTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM HST POSITION...29.6 N...145.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM HST. FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 13 11:03:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102324-5287>; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 10:34:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA88094; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 21:31:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5989745 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 21:31:11 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA98014 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 21:31:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA01884 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 21:30:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708130230.VAA01884@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 12 Aug 1997 21:31:11 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 54 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 67089ccfa503e133768f925f677b9270 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1746 Status: OR 340 WTPA24 PHNL 130300 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 54 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0997 0300Z WED AUG 13 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO MOVING WESTWARD OVER THE OPEN OCEAN FAR NORTHEAST OF HAWAII... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 150.1W AT 13/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT.......175NE 30SE 00SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..175NE 30SE 00SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 150.1W AT 13/0300Z AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 149.4W FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 31.5N 152.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...175NE 30SE 00SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 32.0N 154.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 60NE 00SE 00SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 32.6N 157.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 00SW 60NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.0N 150.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 33.6N 160.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 36.2N 165.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 13 11:03:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102324-5287>; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 10:34:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA210006; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 21:31:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5989750 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 21:31:26 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA03560 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 21:31:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA01888 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 21:30:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708130230.VAA01888@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 12 Aug 1997 21:31:26 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Advisory Number 54 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 836aeaa3687b9cbe5d8a690b2b69e645 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1432 Status: OR 341 WTPA34 PHNL 130300 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER 54 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST TUE AUG 12 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO MOVING WESTWARD OVER THE OPEN OCEAN FAR NORTHEAST OF HAWAII... AT 5 PM HST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 150.1 WEST OR ABOUT 850 MILES NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU. GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES NORTH OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM HST POSITION...31.0 N...150.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM HST. LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 13 11:03:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102426-5287>; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 10:34:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA176000; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 21:31:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5989757 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 21:31:41 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA210160 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 21:31:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA01892 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 21:30:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708130230.VAA01892@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 12 Aug 1997 21:31:41 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Discussion Number 54 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4f0a0b2d761678556222ea3129d84880 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1418 Status: OR 342 WTPA44 PHNL 130300 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 54 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST TUE AUG 12 1997 GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST NORTHWEST WITH ONLY SLIGHT WEAKENING OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE FORECAST TRACK IS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE CLIPPER AND GFDL MODELS. THE INTENSITY HAS BEEN HELD SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN DVORAK ESTIMATES SINCE GUILLERMO HAS TAKEN ON SUBTROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS WITH CONVECTION INCREASINGLY REMOVED FROM THE CENTER. THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SHOULD BE LIMITED TO THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE WHERE THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE CENTER AND A LARGE HIGH PRESSURE CELL TO THE NORTH IS GREATEST. LARSON FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/0300Z 31.0N 150.1W 40 KTS 12HR VT 13/1200Z 31.5N 152.2W 40 KTS 24HR VT 14/0000Z 32.0N 154.9W 35 KTS 36HR VT 14/1200Z 32.6N 157.7W 35 KTS 48HR VT 15/0000Z 33.6N 160.3W 35 KTS 72HR VT 16/0000Z 36.2N 165.1W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 13 16:49:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102758-27121>; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 16:35:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA92272; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 03:30:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5991106 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 03:30:48 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA112456 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 03:30:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id DAA03799 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 03:30:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708130830.DAA03799@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 03:30:48 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 55 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ccd3a4c6a52c33f96b238920192b7c6f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1805 Status: OR 518 WTPA24 PHNL 130900 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 55 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0997 0900Z WED AUG 13 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO MOVING WESTWARD OVER THE OPEN OCEAN WELL NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 151.1W AT 13/0900Z. POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM. PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB. MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......175NE 30SE 30SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..175NE 30SE 30SW 150NW. ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 151.1W AT 13/0900Z. AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 150.6W. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 31.3N 152.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...175NE 30SE 30SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 31.6N 154.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 32.2N 157.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31N 151W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 33.0N 160.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 35.7N 165.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z ROSENDAL CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 13 16:49:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102627-27121>; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 16:37:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA92296; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 03:31:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5991111 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 03:30:55 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA92240 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 03:30:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id DAA03803 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 03:30:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708130830.DAA03803@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 03:30:55 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Discussion Number 55 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a6af383566e0e301f28be15243f71c62 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1353 Status: OR 519 WTPA44 PHNL 130900 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 55 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST TUE AUG 12 1997 GUILLERMO STILL LOOKS RATHER HEALTHY IN THE VISUAL SAT PIX THOUGH DEEP CONVECTION IS MEAGER AT THIS TIME. SLIGHTLY WARMER WATER LIES OUT AHEAD OF GUILLERMO AND DUE TO THE EXPONENTIAL NATURE OF LATENT AND SENSIBLE HEAT TRANSFERS WITH INCREASING SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ...GUILLERMO MAY HOLD ITS OWN FOR ANOTHER DAY OR TWO. TRACK IS FORECAST TO CLOSELY FOLLOW THE GFDL TRACK WHICH LOOKS LIKE A WINNER IN SPITE OF IT BEING AT THE SOUTHWESTERN EXTREMETY OF THE ENSEMBLE. ROSENDAL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/0900Z 31.1N 151.1W 40 KTS 12HR VT 13/1800Z 31.3N 152.8W 40 KTS 24HR VT 14/0600Z 31.6N 154.8W 35 KTS 36HR VT 14/1800Z 32.2N 157.2W 35 KTS 48HR VT 15/0600Z 33.0N 160.0W 35 KTS 72HR VT 16/0600Z 35.7N 165.9W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 13 16:49:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102745-27121>; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 16:34:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA92320; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 03:31:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5991116 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 03:31:02 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA93536 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 03:30:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id DAA03807 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 03:30:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708130830.DAA03807@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 03:31:02 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Advisory Number 55 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c518cf37cc02909ee6dbeb990d7cd505 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1579 Status: OR 520 WTPA34 PHNL 130900 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER 55 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST TUE AUG 12 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO MOVING WESTWARD OVER THE OPEN OCEAN WELL NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS... AT 11 PM HST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 151.1 WEST OR ABOUT 790 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU. GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 12 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES IN THE NORTHERN QUADRANTS AND ABOUT 50 MILES TO THE SOUTH. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM HST POSITION...31.1 N...151.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST AT 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM HST...WEDNESDAY. ROSENDAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 13 21:46:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102706-27121>; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 18:27:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA19450; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 05:24:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5991257 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 05:23:13 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA223652 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 05:23:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id FAA04241 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 05:22:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708131022.FAA04241@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 05:23:13 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f64b61b5d8637619ad83645a2ee682be X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1016 Status: OR 029 ABPA20 PHNL 131000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST WEDNESDAY AUGUST 13 1997 AT 11 PM TUESDAY TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WAS ABOUT 800 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU MOVING WEST AT 12 MPH. SEE ADVISORIES FROM CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER. THUNDERSTORM AREAS 1500 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST AND 1800 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HONOLULU ARE BEING MONITORED BUT ARE NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP INTO TROPICAL CYCLONES. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH THURSDAY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 14 01:53:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102795-27121>; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 22:40:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA173670; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 09:32:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5992537 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 09:32:28 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA162730 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 09:31:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA06161 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 09:30:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708131430.JAA06161@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 09:32:28 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Discussion Number 56 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 63afad564cb7df291760533bd81ae120 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1065 Status: OR 658 WTPA44 PHNL 131500 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 56 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST WED AUG 13 1997 LITTLE CHANGE IN GUILLERMO OVERNIGHT. SYSTEM STILL LOOKS VIABLE OVER THE NEAR TERM. HAVE MOVED IT WNW AT 10 TO 12 KT CLOSE TO THE GFDL MODELS TRACK WHILE VERY SLOWLY WEAKENING IT. ROSENDAL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/1500Z 31.7N 152.1W 40 KTS 12HR VT 14/0000Z 32.1N 153.8W 40 KTS 24HR VT 14/1200Z 32.7N 156.6W 35 KTS 36HR VT 15/0000Z 33.3N 159.3W 35 KTS 48HR VT 15/1200Z 33.8N 161.8W 35 KTS 72HR VT 16/1200Z 35.0N 166.8W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 14 01:53:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102860-27121>; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 22:37:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA02750; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 09:32:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5992555 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 09:32:49 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA186032 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 09:31:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA06157 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 09:30:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708131430.JAA06157@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 09:32:49 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 56 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: aea6964964c2b5cb614586ee352aafdc X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1776 Status: OR 657 WTPA24 PHNL 131500 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 56 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0997 1500Z WED AUG 13 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO MOVING WESTWARD OVER THE OPEN OCEAN WELL NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 152.1W AT 13/1500Z. POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM. PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB. MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......175NE 30SE 30SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..175NE 30SE 30SW 150NW. ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 152.1W AT 13/1500Z. AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 151.6W. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 32.1N 153.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...175NE 30SE 30SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 32.7N 156.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 33.3N 159.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32N 152W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 33.8N 161.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 35.0N 166.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z ROSENDAL CPHC HNL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 14 01:53:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102786-27121>; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 22:37:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA160266; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 09:33:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5992566 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 09:33:03 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA162740 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 09:31:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA06165 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 09:31:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708131431.JAA06165@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 09:33:03 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Advisory Number 56 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 06be8e1a2604c3fcc30d680e6971057d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1578 Status: OR 659 WTPA34 PHNL 131500 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER 56 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST WED AUG 13 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO MOVING WESTWARD OVER THE OPEN OCEAN WELL NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS... AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 152.1 WEST OR ABOUT 800 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU. GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND ABOUT 50 MILES TO THE SOUTH. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION...31.7 N...152.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM HST. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 14 04:59:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103504-27121>; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 04:37:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA101936; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 15:32:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5994660 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 15:31:52 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA252438 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 15:31:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA14090 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 15:31:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708132031.PAA14090@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 15:31:52 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 57 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7faed86a48e58247006667556b4a4b4e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1626 Status: OR 554 WTPA24 PHNL 132100 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 57 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0997 2100Z WED AUG 13 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.6N 153.6W AT 13/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT.......175NE 50SE 30SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..175NE 50SE 30SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.6N 153.6W AT 13/2100Z AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.2N 152.9W FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 33.7N 155.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...175NE 50SE 30SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 35.4N 158.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...150NE 50SE 30SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 37.7N 161.4W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...100NE 25SE 0SW 50NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.6N 153.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 40.0N 163.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 14 04:59:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103478-27121>; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 04:36:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA101980; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 15:32:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5994665 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 15:32:11 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA101918 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 15:31:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA14094 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 15:31:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708132031.PAA14094@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 15:32:11 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Advisory Number 57 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d4748c919e611d800423f4719e5ddbb1 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1460 Status: OR 555 WTPA34 PHNL 132100 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER 57 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST WED AUG 13 1997 AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 153.6 WEST OR ABOUT 820 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU. GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES OR LESS ELSEWHERE. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...32.6 N...153.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM HST. LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 14 04:59:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103478-27121>; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 04:44:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA102390; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 15:36:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5994697 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 15:36:05 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA98020 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 15:36:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA14266 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 15:35:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708132035.PAA14266@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 15:36:05 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Discussion Number 57 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4c5b5a3f39cdb4415345415789914335 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1394 Status: OR 589 WTPA44 PHNL 132100 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 57 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST WED AUG 13 1997 GUILLERMO HAS SHOWN INTENSIFICATION DURING THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS WITH A DEEP CONVECTIVE BAND INCREASING IN THE EAST SEMICIRCLE. THE MAX WINDS ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH A DVORAK ESTIMATE OF T3.0/3.0. THE INTENSITY IS MAINTAINED THROUGH 24 HOURS FOLLOWED BY GRADUAL WEAKENING AS GUILLERMO TRANSITIONS TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM IN 48 HOURS. GUILLERMO IS PROBABLY BEING INFLUENCED BY AN UPPER TROUGH TO ITS NORTHWEST AND IS NOW MOVING NORTHWEST ON A FORECAST RECURVATURE PATH THAT IS IN CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH ALMOST ALL THE MODELS. LARSON FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/2100Z 32.6N 153.6W 45 KTS 12HR VT 14/0600Z 33.7N 155.7W 45 KTS 24HR VT 14/1800Z 35.4N 158.3W 45 KTS 36HR VT 15/0600Z 37.7N 161.4W 40 KTS...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 48HR VT 15/1800Z 40.0N 163.0W 35 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102992-27121>; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 05:55:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA220072; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 16:51:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5995247 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 16:51:26 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA112526 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 16:51:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id QAA15872 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 16:51:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708132151.QAA15872@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 16:51:26 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ff0ad756abc9ae112182c48628931d28 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1036 Status: OR 579 ABPA20 PHNL 132200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST WEDNESDAY AUGUST 13 1997 AT 11 AM WEDNESDAY TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WAS ABOUT 840 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH. SEE ADVISORIES FROM CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER. THUNDERSTORM AREAS 1500 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST AND 1800 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HONOLULU ARE BEING MONITORED BUT ARE NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP INTO TROPICAL CYCLONES. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH THURSDAY. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102596-24008>; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 10:20:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA229238; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 21:12:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5996471 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 21:10:59 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA88130 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 21:10:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA18086 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 21:10:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708140210.VAA18086@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 21:10:59 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Discussion Number 58 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d0a9f0bc8c8ca7f89bf2154f415d702f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1313 Status: OR 323 WTPA44 PHNL 140300 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 58 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST WED AUG 13 1997 GUILLERMO HAS SHOWN A BRIEF PERIOD OF INTENSIFICATION TODAY OVER A POCKET OF WARMER WATER. IT MAY ALSO BE RESPONDING TO INCREASED OUTFLOW IN THE NORTH SEMICIRCLE AS IT MOVES CLOSER TO AN UPPER TROUGH TO ITS NORTHWEST. REGARDLESS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH TOWARDS MUCH COOLER WATER AND THEREFORE RENEWED WEAKENING IS FORECAST AFTER 24 HOURS. GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. LARSON FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/0300Z 33.4N 154.5W 55 KTS 12HR VT 14/1200Z 34.8N 156.3W 55 KTS 24HR VT 15/0000Z 37.0N 158.8W 45 KTS 36HR VT 15/1200Z 39.4N 161.3W 35 KTS...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 48HR VT 16/0000Z 42.3N 163.7W 35 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102756-24008>; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 10:42:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA88074; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 21:36:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5996577 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 21:35:05 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA77262 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 21:31:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA18215 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 21:30:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708140230.VAA18215@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 21:35:05 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 58 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b791d32bfc32bf6a874188c354d06d0c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1785 Status: OR 667 WTPA24 PHNL 140300 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 58 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0997 0300Z THU AUG 14 1997 GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWEST OVER THE OPEN OCEAN FAR NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.4N 154.5W AT 14/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT 50 KT....... 25NE 25E 20W 25NW 34 KT.......175NE 100SE 50SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..175NE 100SE 50SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.4N 154.5W AT 14/0300Z AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.0N 153.9W FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 34.8N 156.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25E 20SW 25NW 34 KT...175NE 100SE 50SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 37.0N 158.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...150NE 75SE 25SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 39.4N 161.3W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT...100NE 25SE 00SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.4N 154.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 42.3N 163.7W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102819-24008>; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 10:51:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA210516; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 21:38:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5996584 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 21:36:35 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA72406 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 21:31:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA18219 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 21:30:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708140230.VAA18219@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 21:36:35 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Advisory Number 58 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c36069494fa89f8e08e047e1610b04ac X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1519 Status: OR 668 WTPA34 PHNL 140300 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER 58 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST WED AUG 13 1997 GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWEST OVER THE OPEN OCEAN FAR NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS... AT 5 PM HST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 154.5 WEST OR ABOUT 850 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU. GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH FURTHER ACCELERATION LATER AS IT BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES NORTH OF THE CENTER AND UP TO 100 MILES TO THE SOUTH. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM HST POSITION...33.4 N...154.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM HST. LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102929-24008>; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 16:40:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA265870; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 03:31:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5998096 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 03:31:42 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA19316 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 03:31:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id DAA20816 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 03:31:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708140831.DAA20816@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 03:31:42 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 59 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 775a6d0ab58da5ede9b055828ff2718b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1834 Status: OR 704 WTPA24 PHNL 140900 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 59 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0997 0900Z THU AUG 14 1997 ...GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWEST OVER THE OPEN OCEAN FAR NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.0N 155.3W AT 14/0900Z. POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM. PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 8 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB. MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 34 KT.......175NE 100SE 50SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..175NE 100SE 50SW 150NW. ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.0N 155.3W AT 14/0900Z. AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.7N 155.0W. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 35.0N 156.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...175NE 100SE 50SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 36.6N 157.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...150NE 75SE 25SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 38.0N 158.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT...100NE 25SE 0SW 50NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34N 155W. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 39.4N 158.6W...EXTRATROPICAL. MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 42.1N 159.0W...EXTRATROPICAL. NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z ROSENDAL CPHC HNL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102892-24008>; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 16:39:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA229308; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 03:31:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5998103 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 03:31:51 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA19346 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 03:31:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id DAA20820 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 03:31:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708140831.DAA20820@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 03:31:51 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Discussion Number 59 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f360cbcf5d78e13b81a84e87f908ce4e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1830 Status: OR 705 WTPA44 PHNL 140900 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 59 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST WED AUG 13 1997 GUILLERMO IS HEADING NORTHWESTWARD AND LATER NORTHWARD FOR WHAT LOOKS LIKE RECURVATURE OVER THE SHIPPING LANES OF THE NORTH PACIFIC. THE DYNAMIC MODELS DO NOT SHOW ANY ACCELERATION WITHIN THIS FORECAST PERIOD AS THE JET STREAM ALOFT IS STILL SOME DISTANCE AWAY. IN ANY EVENT GUILLERMO IS MOVING ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF AN UNUSUALLY STRONG HIGH PRESSURE CELL IN THE GULF OF ALASKA WHERE 500 MB HEIGHTS EXCEED 600 DEKAMETERS AND SURFACE PRESSURE ARE ABOUT 1036 MB. HAVE FOLLOWED THE PATH OF THE GFDL MODEL CLOSELY WHICH HAS COME AROUND TO WHAT THE UK MET MODEL SUGGESTED YESTERDAY. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY HOWEVER SUGGESTS A MORE COUNTERCLOCKWISE OR WESTWARD CURVING OF THE TRACK AS GUILLERMO AND ANOTHER VORTEX ROTATE AROUND EACH OTHER CYCLONICALLY. WILL FOLLOW THE PREVIOUS ADVISORIES IN THAT THE SYSTEM WILL BE DECLARED EXTRATROPICAL AFTER 48 HOURS AS THE COOLER WATERS WILL LIKELY BE TAKING ITS TOLL. ROSENDAL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/0900Z 34.0N 155.3W 50 KTS 12HR VT 14/1800Z 35.0N 156.1W 45 KTS 24HR VT 15/0600Z 36.6N 157.2W 40 KTS 36HR VT 15/1800Z 38.0N 158.0W 35 KTS...BECMNG EXTRATROPICAL 48HR VT 16/0600Z 39.4N 158.6W 35 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL 72HR VT 17/0600Z 42.1N 159.0W 35 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102994-24008>; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 16:50:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA229332; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 03:32:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5998108 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 03:31:58 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA196506 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 03:31:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id DAA20824 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 03:31:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708140831.DAA20824@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 03:31:58 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Advisory Number 59 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 26965bfa730a3d4eea2734e8afbcbbb9 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1605 Status: OR 706 WTPA34 PHNL 140900 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER 59 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST WED AUG 13 1997 ...GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWEST OVER THE OPEN OCEAN FAR NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS... AT 11 PM HST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 155.3 WEST OR ABOUT 875 MILES NORTH OF HONOLULU. GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL IN ABOUT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER AND ABOUT 50 MILES TO THE SOUTH. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM HST POSITION...34.0 N...155.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM HST...THURSDAY. ROSENDAL NWS HNL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102933-24008>; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 18:01:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA171238; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 04:57:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5998288 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 04:57:28 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA133332 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 04:57:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id EAA21321 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 04:57:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708140957.EAA21321@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 04:57:28 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f8acee4345e56af27250c3bc65bc674e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1020 Status: OR 805 ABPA20 PHNL 141000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST THU AUG 14 1997 AT 11 PM WEDNESDAY...TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WAS NEAR 34N155W OR ABOUT 900 MILES NORTH OF HONOLULU AND MOVING NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH. SEE ADVISORIES FROM CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER. A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED 1400 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU REMAINS UNORGANIZED AND SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH THURSDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103084-24008>; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 22:34:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA102258; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 09:31:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5999674 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 09:31:06 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA255312 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 09:31:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id JAA24358 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 09:30:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708141430.JAA24358@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 09:31:06 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 60 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e1de254f3ff76c817939d1fd4693e8ad X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1799 Status: OR 812 WTPA24 PHNL 141500 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 60 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0997 1500Z THU AUG 14 1997 ...GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWEST OVER THE OPEN OCEAN FAR NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.2N 156.9W AT 14/1500Z. POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM. PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB. MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......150NE 75SE 25SW 125NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 75SE 25SW 125NW. ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.2N 156.9W AT 14/1500Z. AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.8N 156.6W. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 36.2N 158.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...100NE 50SE 25SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 38.1N 159.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 25NW FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 40.3N 160.4W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35N 157W. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 42.5N 160.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 46.4N 160.1W...EXTRATROPICAL NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z ROSENDAL CPHC HNL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103519-24008>; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 22:33:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA102290; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 09:31:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5999679 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 09:31:18 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA255322 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 09:31:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id JAA24364 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 09:30:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708141430.JAA24364@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 09:31:18 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Discussion Number 60 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d3debf9aced076981fa685abd3798fe3 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1201 Status: OR 813 WTPA44 PHNL 141500 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 60 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST THU AUG 14 1997 GUILLERMO HAS INCREASED ITS FORWARD MOTION SPEED SLIGHTLY WHILE THE ROTATIONAL WINDS APPEAR TO BE DIMINISHING. THE TRACK IS CHOSEN CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS ONE...A HAIR TO THE WEST AND A BIT FASTER. STILL FORECASTING A TRANSITION TO EXTRATROPICAL AS IT MOVES NORTH OF 40N. ROSENDAL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/1500Z 35.2N 156.9W 45 KTS 12HR VT 15/0000Z 36.2N 158.0W 40 KTS 24HR VT 15/1200Z 38.1N 159.4W 35 KTS 36HR VT 16/0000Z 40.3N 160.4W 35 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL 48HR VT 16/1200Z 42.5N 160.5W 30 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL 72HR VT 17/1200Z 46.4N 160.1W 0 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103511-24008>; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 22:43:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA03516; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 09:31:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5999686 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 09:31:27 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA110692 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 09:31:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id JAA24372 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 09:30:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708141430.JAA24372@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 09:31:27 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Advisory Number 60 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d2620df12f354718a0b0717801dc2c43 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1662 Status: OR 814 WTPA34 PHNL 141500 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER 60 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST THU AUG 14 1997 ...GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWEST OVER THE OPEN OCEAN FAR NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS... AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 156.9 WEST OR ABOUT 950 MILES NORTH OF HONOLULU. GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL IN ANOTHER 24 TO 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES INTO THE HIGHER LATITUDES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND ABOUT 30 MILES TO THE SOUTH. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION...35.2 N...156.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM HST. ROSENDAL NWS HNL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102861-24008>; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 04:34:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA252110; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 15:32:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6002126 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 15:31:59 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA159954 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 15:31:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id PAA04147 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 15:30:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708142030.PAA04147@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 15:31:59 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 61 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 84ab00af414ee7397bc85957de364ca8 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1438 Status: OR 936 WTPA24 PHNL 142100 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 61 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0997 2100Z THU AUG 14 1997 ...GUILLERMO ACCELERATING NORTHWESTWARD AND BECOMING EXTRA TROPICAL... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.3N 157.9W AT 14/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT.......150NE 50SE 0SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 75SE 25W 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.3N 157.9W AT 14/2100Z AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.7N 157.4W FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 38.2N 159.4W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT...100NE 25SE 0SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 41.7N 160.7W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.3N 157.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z LARSON NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102861-24008>; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 04:38:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA248874; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 15:32:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6002133 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 15:32:23 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA158178 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 15:31:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id PAA04155 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 15:30:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708142030.PAA04155@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 15:32:23 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Advisory Number 61 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d52d32837bc71dd2e64bd192d73df478 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1413 Status: OR 938 WTPA34 PHNL 142100 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER 61 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST THU AUG 14 1997 ...GUILLERMO ACCELERATING NORTHWESTWARD AND BECOMING EXTRA TROPICAL... AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 157.9 WEST OR ABOUT 1025 MILES NORTH OF HONOLULU. GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH AND ACCELERATING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND TO 60 MILES TO THE SOUTHEAST. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...36.3 N...157.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM HST. LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102850-24008>; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 04:35:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA264390; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 15:33:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6002151 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 15:32:55 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA245472 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 15:31:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id PAA04151 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 15:30:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708142030.PAA04151@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 15:32:55 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Discussion Number 61 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f63ce3420ba0aa68512eee926bca97b3 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1074 Status: OR 937 WTPA44 PHNL 142100 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 61 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST THU AUG 14 1997 GUILLERMO HAS LOST ITS DEEP CONVECTION AND IS STEADILY WEAKENING AS IT ACCELERATES NORTHWESTWARD OVER COLDER WATER. THE TRACK REMAINS LITTLE CHANGED AND IS IN CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH THE GFDL MODEL DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW. LARSON FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/2100Z 36.3N 157.9W 40 KTS 12HR VT 15/0600Z 38.2N 159.4W 35 KTS...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 24HR VT 15/1800Z 41.7N 160.7W 30 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102929-24008>; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 05:09:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA232420; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 16:06:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6002332 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 16:06:00 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA264400 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 16:05:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id QAA05003 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 16:05:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708142105.QAA05003@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 16:06:00 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 61 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2da3360598f8040db7a29fee2ccd7e68 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1431 Status: OR 265 WTPA24 PHNL 142100 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 61 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0997 2100Z THU AUG 14 1997 ...GUILLERMO ACCELERATING NORTHWESTWARD AND BECOMING EXTRA TROPICAL... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.3N 157.9W AT 14/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT.......150NE 50SE 0SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 75SE 25W 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.3N 157.9W AT 14/2100Z AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.7N 157.4W FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 38.2N 159.4W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT...100NE 25SE 0SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 41.7N 160.7W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.3N 157.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102929-24008>; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 05:56:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA265698; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 16:52:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6002747 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 16:52:46 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA24216 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 16:52:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id QAA06125 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 16:52:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708142152.QAA06125@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 16:52:46 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0aed5b9d4997680ed655036b455feafa X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 887 Status: OR 954 ABPA20 PHNL 142200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST THU AUG 14 1997 AT 11 AM THURSDAY...TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WAS NEAR 36N158W...OR ABOUT 1000 MILES NORTH OF HONOLULU...AND MOVING NORTHWEST AT 17 MPH. SEE ADVISORIES FROM CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102260-13952>; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 10:34:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA223686; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:31:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6004237 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:31:01 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA245418 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:31:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id VAA08150 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:30:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708150230.VAA08150@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:31:01 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Discussion Number 62 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 25dd0b5cec9b1399ddc519a9bc843df5 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1177 Status: OR 984 WTPA44 PHNL 150300 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 62 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST THU AUG 14 1997 GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWARD AND WILL TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. IT IS NOW AT MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY ONLY IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. WHAT LITTLE CNVECTION THAT REMAINS IS NORTH OF THE CENTER. GUILLERMO STILL HAS WELL DEFINED LOW CLOUD CIRCULATION IN VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE CURRENT TRACK IS SLIGHTLY TO THE EAST OF THE GFDL FORECAST. LARSON FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/0300Z 38.0N 158.9W 35 KTS 12HR VT 15/1200Z 40.5N 160.2W 35 KTS...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 24HR VT 16/0000Z 44.4N 161.2W 30 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102355-13952>; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 10:34:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA223718; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:31:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6004242 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:31:12 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA223666 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:31:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id VAA08154 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:30:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708150230.VAA08154@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:31:12 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Advisory Number 62 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8e0eee9b7a40dfb5b3c5d27214854735 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1432 Status: OR 985 WTPA34 PHNL 150300 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER 62 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST THU AUG 14 1997 ...GUILLERMO ACCELERATING NORTHWARD AND BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL... AT 5 PM HST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 158.9 WEST OR ABOUT 1150 MILES NORTH OF HONOLULU. GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES NORTHEAST AND 60 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM HST POSITION...38.0 N...158.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM HST. LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102355-13952>; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 10:35:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA141854; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:31:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6004252 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:31:29 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA126984 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:31:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id VAA08146 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:30:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708150230.VAA08146@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:31:29 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 62 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ab44fec8995b00254303e87600f7e45b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1405 Status: OR 983 WTPA24 PHNL 150300 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 62 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0997 0300Z FRI AUG 15 1997 ...GUILLERMO ACCELERATING NORTHWARD AND BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.0N 158.9W AT 15/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 18 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT.......100NE 50SE 0SW 0NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 75SE 0SW 0NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.0N 158.9W AT 15/0300Z AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.1N 158.5W FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 40.5N 160.2W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT...100NE 50SE 0SW 0NW FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 44.4N 161.2W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.0N 158.9W LARSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102881-13952>; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 15:44:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA25200; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 02:41:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6006120 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 02:41:34 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA123226 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 02:41:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id CAA10218 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 02:41:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708150741.CAA10218@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 02:41:34 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 63 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ff0d8b9895fe439c23fbf186ee5ffaad X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1447 Status: OR 364 WTPA24 PHNL 150900 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 63 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0997 0900Z FRI AUG 15 1997 ...GUILLERMO TURNING NORTHWARD AND DISSIPATING... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.9N 159.4W AT 15/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT 34 KT....... 75NE 50SE 0SW 0NW 12 FT SEAS.. 100NE 75SE 0SW 0NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.9N 159.4W AT 15/0900Z AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.3N 159.1W FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 40.8N 160.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 43.2N 160.8W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 45.6N 160.6W...DISSIPATED MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 0 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.9N 159.4W THE NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103124-13952>; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 15:48:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA25238; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 02:42:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6006125 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 02:42:17 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA255364 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 02:42:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id CAA10222 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 02:42:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708150742.CAA10222@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 02:42:17 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Discussion Number 63 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 29a87d67310debaa2e92b7fa417efcfa X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1257 Status: OR 365 WTPA44 PHNL 150900 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 63 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST THU AUG 14 1997 GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWARD AND WILL DISSIPATE AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL IN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. IT REMAINS AT MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY ONLY IN ITS NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE. GUILLERMO STILL DISPLATS A WELL DEFINED LOW CLOUD CIRCULATION IN INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY BUT CONVECTION IS ALMOST ENTIRELY ABSENT NEAR THE CENTER. THE CURRENT TRACK IS SLIGHTLY TO THE EAST OF THE GFDL FORECAST WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH. FARRELL. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/0900Z 38.9N 159.4W 35 KTS 12HR VT 15/1800Z 40.8N 160.2W 30 KTS 24HR VT 16/0600Z 43.2N 160.8W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 16/1800Z 45.6N 160.6W 20 KTS...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103120-13952>; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 15:54:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA255440; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 02:43:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6006130 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 02:43:40 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA25274 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 02:43:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id CAA10226 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 02:43:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708150743.CAA10226@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 02:43:40 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Guillermo Advisory Number 63 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 52f751fea92045b1df9980f82c8834d3 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1491 Status: OR 374 WTPA34 PHNL 150900 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER 63 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST THU AUG 14 1997 ...GUILLERMO TURNING NORTHWARD AND DISSIPATING... AT 11 PM HST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.4 WEST OR ABOUT 1200 MILES NORTH OF HONOLULU. GUILLERMO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE NORTHERLY FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH THE STORM DISSIPATING WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM HST POSITION...38.9 N...159.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM HST...FRIDAY. FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102801-13952>; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 18:02:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA123188; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 04:58:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6006443 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 04:58:49 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA123158 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 04:58:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id EAA11004 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 04:58:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708150958.EAA11004@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 04:58:49 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a100726524f8548bd5f85378331772b7 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 902 Status: OR 977 ABPA20 PHNL 151000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST FRI AUG 15 1997 AT 11 PM THURSDAY...TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WAS CENTERED NEAR 38.5N159.5W OR ABOUT 1190 MILES NORTH OF HONOLULU...AND MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH. SEE ADVISORIES FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103176-13952>; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 21:36:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA220818; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 08:33:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6007181 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 08:33:21 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA101980 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 08:33:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id IAA12982 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 08:32:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708151332.IAA12982@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 08:33:21 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 64 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: dcb46abae39f900d47661a20dbc8b2f5 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1351 Status: OR 819 WTPA24 PHNL 970815 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 64 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0997 1500Z FRI AUG 15 1997 ...GUILLERMO WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION AND IS BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.9N 159.9W AT 15/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.9N 159.9W AT 15/1500Z AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.3N 159.7W FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 41.5N 160.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 43.7N 160.8W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 46.0N 160.4W...DISSIPATED MAX WIND 20 KT... REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.9N 159.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103174-13952>; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 21:36:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA110604; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 08:34:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6007196 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 08:33:59 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA73934 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 08:33:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id IAA13008 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 08:33:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708151333.IAA13008@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 08:33:59 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Guillermo Discussion Number 64 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bf74fa3f6c798fa8524149d0a20d94c9 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1168 Status: OR 844 WTPA44 PHNL 151500 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 64 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST FRI AUG 15 1997 GUILLERMO IS WEAKENING AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWARD AND IS NOW BEING AFFECTED BY SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR. GUILLERMO WILL DISSIPATE AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL IN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STRONGEST WINDS WILL REMAIN IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT. THE CURRENT TRACK IS SLIGHTLY TO THE EAST OF THE GFDL FORECAST WITH A STEADY GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH. FARRELL. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/1500Z 39.9N 159.9W 30 KTS 12HR VT 16/0000Z 41.5N 160.5W 30 KTS 24HR VT 16/1200Z 43.7N 160.8W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 17/0000Z 46.0N 160.4W 20 KTS...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103176-13952>; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 21:38:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA110836; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 08:35:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6007210 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 08:35:30 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA220878 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 08:35:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id IAA13036 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 08:35:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708151335.IAA13036@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 08:35:30 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Guillermo Advisory Number 64 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9c7582ac0c55ae23e1c812a2bb37d96b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1402 Status: OR 908 WTPA34 PHNL 151500 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER 64 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST FRI AUG 15 1997 ...GUILLERMO WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION AND IS BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL... AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.9 WEST OR ABOUT 1275 MILES. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SHIFT TO MORE NORTHERLY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION...39.9 N...159.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM HST. FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103176-13952>; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 22:33:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA210044; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 09:30:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6007471 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 09:30:44 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA24152 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 09:30:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id JAA14378 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 09:30:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708151430.JAA14378@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 09:30:44 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Guillermo Advisory Number 64 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 78b8014071f211c12271845a5790c8cb X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1469 Status: OR 801 WTPA34 PHNL 151500 COR BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER 64 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST FRI AUG 15 1997 ...CORRECTED FOR DIRECTION FROM HONOLULU... ...GUILLERMO WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION AND IS BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL... AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.9 WEST OR ABOUT 1275 MILES NORTH OF HONOLULU. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SHIFT TO MORE NORTHERLY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION...39.9 N...159.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM HST. FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103243-13952>; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 04:55:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA123278; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 15:51:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6009683 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 15:51:35 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA93562 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 15:51:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id PAA22701 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 15:51:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708152051.PAA22701@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 15:51:35 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Guillermo Discussion Number 65 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: adea824a0e9f9fbb301dedffdecbb512 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1046 Status: OR 092 WTPA44 PHNL 152100 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 65 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST FRI AUG 15 1997 GUILLERMO HAS MOVED NORTH OF 40N INTO SUB 20 DEGREE WATER MAKING IT EXTRATROPICAL. ITS FUTURE MOVEMENT WILL LIKELY FOLLOW THE RECENT AVIATION MODEL WHICH TAKES IT NORTHWARD THE NEXT 24 HOURS MOVING IT EASTWARD THERAFTER MAINTAINING IT AS A 25 TO 30 KNOT LOW. MATSUDA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/1500Z 41.1N 160.2W 30 KTS 12HR VT 20/0000Z 43.0N 160.4W 30 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL 24HR VT 20/1200Z 45.0N 160.4W 25 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103240-13952>; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 04:55:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA93668; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 15:52:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6009692 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 15:52:24 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA41682 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 15:52:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id PAA22708 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 15:52:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708152052.PAA22708@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 15:52:24 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 65 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d13f14e7f0779ac98ffc0ddc2b32d304 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1295 Status: OR 093 WTPA24 PHNL 152100 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 65 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0997 2100Z FRI AUG 15 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.1N 160.2W AT 19/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.1N 160.2W AT 19/1500Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.5N 160.2W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 43.0N 160.4W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 45.0N 160.4W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WINDS 25 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41N 160W THIS WILL BE THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103241-13952>; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 04:56:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA123260; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 15:53:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6009705 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 15:53:33 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA200778 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 15:53:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id PAA22721 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 15:53:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708152053.PAA22721@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 15:53:33 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Guillermo Advisory Number 65 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 50b9012119cda59d0c2bbdfa4425bcda X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1281 Status: OR 107 WTPA34 PHNL 152100 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER 65 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST FRI AUG 15 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL... AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 41.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 160.2 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 15 MPH AND WILL CONTINUE SO FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012MB OR 29.88 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION 41.1N 160.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD NORTH NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB. THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103240-13952>; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 05:01:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA219312; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 15:57:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6009723 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 15:57:50 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA93598 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 15:57:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id PAA22805 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 15:57:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708152057.PAA22805@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 15:57:50 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Guillermo Advisory Number 65...corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 091516f28d6908390fefac14d0056225 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1332 Status: OR 132 WTPA34 PHNL 152100 COR BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER 65...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST FRI AUG 15 1997 ...CORRECTED ERRONEOUS TIMES... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL... AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 41.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 160.2 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 15 MPH AND WILL CONTINUE SO FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012MB OR 29.88 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION 41.1N 160.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD NORTH NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB. THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103243-13952>; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 05:11:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA43274; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 16:08:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6009796 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 16:08:32 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA123374 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 16:08:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id QAA23033 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 16:08:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708152108.QAA23033@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 16:08:32 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 65 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e61515dabbf55cf6719902be98c469e6 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1342 Status: OR 273 WTPA24 PHNL 152105 COR TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 65 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP0997 2100Z FRI AUG 15 1997 ...CORRECTED ERRONEOUS DATES AND TIMES... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.1N 160.2W AT 15/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.1N 160.2W AT 15/2100Z AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.5N 160.2W FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 43.0N 160.4W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 45.0N 160.4W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WINDS 25 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41N 160W THIS WILL BE THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103525-13952>; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 06:00:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA264336; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 16:58:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6010148 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 16:58:28 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA73930 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 16:57:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id QAA23740 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 16:56:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708152156.QAA23740@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 16:58:28 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3c74cb4372b7e2aedc0c68de0a3b047f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 931 Status: OR 016 ABPA20 PHNL 152200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST FRI AUG 15 1997 AT 11 AM FRIDAY...TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO WAS CENTERED WELL NORTH OF HONOLULU NEAR 41.1N 160.2W...MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH AND BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. SEE FINAL ADVISORIES FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103531-2859>; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 17:59:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA160314; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 04:52:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6013009 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 04:52:23 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA162600 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 04:52:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id EAA27949 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 04:52:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708160952.EAA27949@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 16 Aug 1997 04:52:23 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 75c1c1cdb83763a89b06592e42cdf4dd X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 906 Status: OR 039 ABPA20 PHNL 161000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST SAT AUG 16 1997 THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA IS CENTERED NEAR 20N136W...1100 MILES EAST OF HILO. NO CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM...ONLY A SWIRL OF STABLE LOW CLOUDS MARKS ITS LOCATION. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103666-401>; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 06:08:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA74326; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 16:58:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6017077 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 16:57:31 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA97944 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 16:57:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id QAA02354 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 16:57:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708162157.QAA02354@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 16 Aug 1997 16:57:31 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 61ad0d6ef89082dc6b3ab13de1539437 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 690 Status: OR 056 ABPA20 PHNL 162200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST SAT AUG 16 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102649-14127>; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 17:56:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA248968; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 04:54:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6021259 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 04:53:20 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA24118 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 04:53:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id EAA07099 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 04:53:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708170953.EAA07099@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 04:53:20 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0827fbbc2e3658737e9c907b0af614b9 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 943 Status: OR 708 ABPA20 PHNL 171000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST SUN AUG 17 1997 A WEAK DISTURBANCE LIES NEAR 10N146W...ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO. ORGANIZATION IS POOR BUT ISOLATED EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST WITHIN 120 MILES OF THE ESTIMATED CENTER OF CIRCULATION. THIS AREA WILL BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:35:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103294-14127>; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 06:11:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA102086; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 17:08:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6025765 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 17:07:27 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA34206 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 17:07:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id RAA11864 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 17:07:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708172207.RAA11864@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 17:07:27 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 32970d72cf037d9fb85d791fd685d4b9 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 672 Status: OR 760 ABPA20 PHNL 172200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST SUNDAY AUGUST 17 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH MONDAY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:35:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102842-26331>; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 18:03:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA151974; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 04:58:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6029595 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 04:57:08 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA265598 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 04:57:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id EAA15982 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 04:56:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708180956.EAA15982@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 04:57:08 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 92b7af7121a2065f747a86012a10c7bd X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 680 Status: OR 420 ABPA20 PHNL 181000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST MON AUG 18 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:35:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103321-26331>; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 06:00:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA146610; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 16:54:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6033808 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 16:54:24 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA146582 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 16:54:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id QAA28436 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 16:54:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708182154.QAA28436@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 16:54:24 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b7fad832442e28dca3c5c630f0f16188 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 673 Status: OR 624 ABPA20 PHNL 182200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST MONDAY AUGUST 18 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103336-16846>; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 18:01:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA158020; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 04:58:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6037935 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 04:58:01 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA127024 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 04:58:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id EAA03474 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 04:57:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708190957.EAA03474@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 19 Aug 1997 04:58:01 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d6bbd73f48e257a75b7eeec0fe6d10da X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 682 Status: OR 527 ABPA20 PHNL 191000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST TUE AUG 19 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH WEDNESDAY. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103392-16846>; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 06:06:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA25290; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 17:03:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6044004 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 17:01:51 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA133268 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 17:01:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id RAA18664 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 17:01:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708192201.RAA18664@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 19 Aug 1997 17:01:51 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2eb040b561a7c341ec3635fcafe0ebd5 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 808 Status: OR 728 ABPA20 PHNL 192200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST TUE AUG 19 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 05N179.5W IS MOVING WEST NEAR 7 MPH AND IS BEING MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103418-7565>; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 18:33:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA146620; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 05:04:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6049941 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 05:02:47 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA123242 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 05:02:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id FAA23378 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 05:02:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708201002.FAA23378@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 20 Aug 1997 05:02:47 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4ac959a711210be485441a2cdffb832b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 675 Status: OR 445 ABPA20 PHNL 201000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210AM HST TUESDAY AUGUST 19 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH WEDNESDAY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103673-7565>; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 06:11:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA211760; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 17:08:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6057095 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 17:05:52 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA133180 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 16:58:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id QAA04565 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 16:57:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708202157.QAA04565@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 20 Aug 1997 17:05:52 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: abed73a59bcc53f28e150a193197aecf X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 681 Status: OR 439 ABPA20 PHNL 202200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST WED AUG 20 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THURSDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102265-29774>; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 18:21:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA223646; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 05:18:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6062486 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 05:15:24 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA24176 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 05:15:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id FAA09491 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 05:15:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708211015.FAA09491@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 21 Aug 1997 05:15:24 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 817ca968cfe1e6a5fe94ce0ed6642322 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 779 Status: OR 779 ABPA20 PHNL 211000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210AM HST THURSDAY AUGUST 21 1997 A WEAK CIRCULATION NEAR 07N168W...ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...IS BEING MONITORED. OTHERWISE NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH FRIDAY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103689-29774>; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 06:00:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA137270; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 16:57:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6067946 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 16:56:31 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA67680 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 16:54:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id QAA24050 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 16:53:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708212153.QAA24050@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 21 Aug 1997 16:56:31 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ed8590127bc55e3574c55cd30c073a44 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 938 Status: OR 625 ABPA20 PHNL 212200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST THU AUG 21 1997 A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 08N172W...1200 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HAWAII...HAS AN AREA OF PERSISTENT BUT ILL-ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION IS MOVING WEST AT ABOUT 10 MILES AN HOUR AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY. OTHERWISE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH FRIDAY. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102747-25312>; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 18:00:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA264362; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 04:58:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6073606 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 04:58:43 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA195480 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 04:58:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id EAA28871 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 04:58:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708220958.EAA28871@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 22 Aug 1997 04:58:43 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 54d43a9ffed70436873f37898e8ead48 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 679 Status: OR 233 ABPA20 PHNL 221000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST FRI AUG 22 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH FRIDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103735-25312>; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 05:58:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA249072; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 16:55:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6078674 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 16:55:35 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA112604 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 16:55:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id QAA11795 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 16:55:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708222155.QAA11795@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 22 Aug 1997 16:55:35 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e2f363f94e2afeaa0c7ac52469e27054 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 680 Status: OR 736 ABPA20 PHNL 222200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST FRI AUG 22 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH FRIDAY. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31014-396>; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 19:16:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA72256; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 04:59:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6083124 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 04:59:02 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA02606 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 04:59:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id EAA16296 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 04:58:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708230958.EAA16296@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 23 Aug 1997 04:59:02 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7f44e1691e2929e8dc7f0edc3d3cfb1e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 681 Status: OR 760 ABPA20 PHNL 231000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST SAT AUG 23 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SATURDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30735-396>; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 06:03:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA264408; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 17:00:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6086757 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 16:59:54 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA38438 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 16:58:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id QAA21022 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 16:57:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708232157.QAA21022@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 23 Aug 1997 16:59:54 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: abc959a7482d201ccdc99effbd92579e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 690 Status: OR 775 ABPA20 PHNL 232200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST SAT AUG 23 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30844-20155>; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 17:55:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA245382; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 04:53:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6090112 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 04:53:30 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA216948 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 04:53:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id EAA24861 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 04:53:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708240953.EAA24861@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 24 Aug 1997 04:53:30 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7529216f72c0d80db5e4800d8310cfff X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 691 Status: OR 790 ABPA20 PHNL 241000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST SUN AUG 24 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30908-20155>; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 06:01:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA161026; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 16:59:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6093672 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 16:59:21 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA24300 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 16:59:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id QAA28359 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 16:59:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708242159.QAA28359@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 24 Aug 1997 16:59:21 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bb474f71e59916c0d43fc09bd769b557 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 690 Status: OR 862 ABPA20 PHNL 242200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST SUN AUG 24 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31002-10285>; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 17:55:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA80084; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 04:53:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6097588 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 04:53:07 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA199090 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 04:53:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id EAA02130 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 04:52:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708250952.EAA02130@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 25 Aug 1997 04:53:07 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8034f44dd2f356f830edaa4b40700ea5 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 691 Status: OR 011 ABPA20 PHNL 251000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST MON AUG 25 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31111-10285>; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 06:14:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA102388; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 17:04:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6103483 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 17:04:23 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA252642 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 17:04:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id RAA20701 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 17:03:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708252203.RAA20701@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 25 Aug 1997 17:04:23 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c80793e8a1c89fbe3d9670103cae7bfb X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 916 Status: OR 254 ABPA20 PHNL 252200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST MON AUG 25 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12-E NEAR 11.0N 134.3W AT 252100 UTC IS MOVING WEST NEAR 10 KT. IT IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN INTO A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT AND CROSS 140W LONGTITUDE INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC AREA IN 36 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31289-13064>; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 18:00:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA19216; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 04:58:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6107293 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 04:58:15 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA38654 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 04:58:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id EAA21670 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 04:57:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708260957.EAA21670@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 04:58:15 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f4ed0111d532029c02dc4d86a383a3bb X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1097 Status: OR 831 ABPA20 PHNL 261000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST TUE AUG 26 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12-E NEAR 11.7N 135.6W AT 11 PM HST...AROUND 1400 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...IS MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. IT IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN INTO A TROPICAL STORM BY LATER THIS MORNING. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO CROSS 140 WEST LONGITUDE AND MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC BY TOMORROW MORNING. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST WTPZ22 KNHC AND WTPZ42 KNHC BULLETINS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH WEDNESDAY. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31388-13064>; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 05:41:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA133274; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 16:34:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6111694 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 16:34:48 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA12168 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 16:34:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id QAA23254 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 16:33:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708262133.QAA23254@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 16:34:48 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 66e58a4b06f8d769a1b6f7599eebd6a5 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 979 Status: OR 119 ABPA20 PHNL 262200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST TUESDAY AUGUST 26 1997 TROPICAL STORM JIMENA...NEARLY 1600 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HONOLULU...IS EXPECTED TO CROSS INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC NEAR 14N140W...1300 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST...ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS A MINIMAL HURRICANE. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY 800 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU SHOWS A FEW SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH WEDNESDAY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31435-15926>; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 18:04:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA210554; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 04:57:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6116555 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 04:57:10 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA265576 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 04:57:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id EAA25775 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 04:55:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708270955.EAA25775@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 Aug 1997 04:55:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cdcf01e32378ec7ab8e54b888c54713c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1236 Status: OR 467 ABPA20 PHNL 271000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST WED AUG 27 1997 HURRICANE JIMENA NEAR 12.8N 135.8W AT 11 PM HST...AROUND 1350 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...IS MOVING NORTH/NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 6 MPH. THE HURRICANE IS NOT EXPECTED TO CROSS 140 WEST LONGITUDE INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC BEFORE FRIDAY MORNING...29 AUG. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST WTPZ22 KNHC AND WTPZ42 KNHC BULLETINS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 12N 165W HAS BEEN MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 TO 15 MPH. ACTIVE CONVECTION REMAINS WITH THIS SYSTEM. IT WILL BE MONITORED FOR ANY SIGNS OF FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. THERE ARE NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS AT THIS TIME. THIS BULLETIN IS VALID THROUGH THURSDAY...HAWAII STANDARD TIME. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31520-15926>; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 05:56:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA18458; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 16:52:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6120614 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 16:51:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA10248 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 16:51:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id QAA27358 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 16:50:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708272150.QAA27358@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 Aug 1997 16:50:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 197b94443fa180a5d5ec6dbe3f89778a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1286 Status: OR 152 ABPA20 PHNL 272200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST WED AUG 27 1997 HURRICANE JIMENA NEAR 14.7N 136.2W AT 11 AM HST...AROUND 1330 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...IS MOVING NORTH/NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 8 MPH. THE HURRICANE IS NOT EXPECTED TO CROSS 140 WEST LONGITUDE INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...29 AUG. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST WTPZ22 KNHC AND WTPZ42 KNHC BULLETINS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 13N 166W HAS SLOWED AND IS MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 5 TO 10 MPH. ACTIVE CONVECTION REMAINS WITH THIS SYSTEM...BUT HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. IT WILL BE MONITORED FOR ANY SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. THERE ARE NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS AT THIS TIME. THIS BULLETIN IS VALID THROUGH THURSDAY...HAWAII STANDARD TIME. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 18:13:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30990-22994>; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 18:10:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA26956; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 05:03:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6123678 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 05:02:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA28114 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 05:02:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id FAA28335 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 05:01:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708281001.FAA28335@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 05:01:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 87eecbaa0d111dc7027cdeecb2943d11 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1234 Status: OR 582 ABPA20 PHNL 281000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST THU AUG 28 1997 HURRICANE JIMENA NEAR 16.5N 136.8W AT 11 PM HST...AROUND 1210 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...IS MOVING NORTH/NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 MPH. THE HURRICANE IS NOT EXPECTED TO CROSS 140 WEST LONGITUDE INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...29 AUG. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST WTPZ22 KNHC AND WTPZ42 KNHC BULLETINS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 12N 168W IS MOVING WEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH. ASSOCIATED CONVECTION HAS DIMINISHED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH THURSDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 29 09:20:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31653-22994>; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 05:54:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA14770; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 16:51:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6128584 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 16:51:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA23426 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 16:51:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id QAA29632 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 16:50:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708282150.QAA29632@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 16:50:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b37c0e50214e82c734f0b11f365cdb07 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1297 Status: OR 693 ABPA20 PHNL 282200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST THU AUG 28 1997 HURRICANE JIMENA NEAR 19.3N 138.1W AT 11 AM HST...AROUND 1100 MILES EAST OF HILO...IS MOVING NORTH/NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 MPH. THE HURRICANE IS NOT EXPECTED TO CROSS 140 WEST LONGITUDE INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...29 AUG. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST WTPZ22 KNHC AND WTPZ42 KNHC BULLETINS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 12N 169W...ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...HAS BECOME ALMOST STATIONARY. ASSOCIATED CONVECTION HAD DIMINISHED OVERNIGHT...BUT HAS INCREASED AGAIN OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. OTHERWISE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH FRIDAY. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 29 18:17:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <32006-27951>; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 17:59:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA21486; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 04:57:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6133059 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 04:57:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA24026 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 04:57:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA01580 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 04:56:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708290956.EAA01580@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 04:56:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f3a9d9e72371aa572b366aa35f0c8ac2 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1170 Status: OR 944 ABPA20 PHNL 291000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST FRI AUG 29 1997 HURRICANE JIMENA NEAR 21.7N 136.7W AT 8 PM HST...AROUND 1140 MILES EAST OF HILO...IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 MPH. THE HURRICANE IS EXPECTED TO SKIRT ALONG 140 WEST LONGTITUDE FRIDAY NIGHT AS IT CONTINUES NORTH. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST WTPZ22 KNHC AND WTPZ42 KNHC BULLETINS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 13N 169W...ABOUT 950 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...IS NEARLY STATIONARY. THIS SYSTEM IS BEING MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH FRIDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 30 09:28:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31768-27951>; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 04:38:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA18752; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 15:34:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6138198 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 15:34:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA18922 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 15:34:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA03294 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 15:32:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708292032.PAA03294@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 15:32:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Jimena Discussion Number 18 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8451738a887d2f82e4d81b3749460c46 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1350 Status: OR 058 WTPA42 PHNL 292100 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST FRI AUG 29 1997 LATEST VISUAL IMAGERY SHOWS A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. SHEARING OCCURRED DURING THE NIGHT AND THE NEAREST CONVECTION IS ABOUT 300 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE LOW LEVEL CENTER. THE SYSTEM IS NO LONGER CLASSIFIABLE AND THE SPEED HAS BEEN REDUCED TO 30 KNOTS. DISSIPATION SHOULD OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. INITIAL MOTION IS 275/09. THE LOW LEVEL CENTER IS NOW BEING STEERED BY LOW LEVEL FLOW. THE TRACK HAS BEEN ADJUSTED AND IS TO THE LEFT OF THE MODELS AND IS SIMILAR TO THE CLIPER MODEL... CLIMATOLOGY AND PERSISTENCE. HABLUTZEL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/2100Z 20.6N 141.3W 30 KTS 12HR VT 30/0600Z 20.8N 142.7W 25 KTS 24HR VT 30/1800Z 21.1N 144.6W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 31/0600Z 21.3N 146.2W 20 KTS...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 30 09:28:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31757-27951>; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 04:39:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA15320; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 15:36:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6138234 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 15:36:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA28596 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 15:36:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA03318 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 15:35:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708292035.PAA03318@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 15:35:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 18 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 65850488e233a65731af3e97f9c6371a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1275 Status: OR 070 WTPA22 PHNL 292100 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP1297 2100Z FRI AUG 29 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA DOWNGRADED FROM A TROPICAL STORM... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 141.3W AT 29/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 141.3W AT 29/2100Z AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 140.8W FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 20.8N 142.7W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 21.1N 144.6W MAX WIND 20 KT...DISSIPATING FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 21.3N 146.2W...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 141.3W HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 30 09:28:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31763-27951>; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 04:45:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA12316; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 15:43:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6138299 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 15:43:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA22252 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 15:43:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA03352 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 15:41:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708292041.PAA03352@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 15:41:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Jimena Advisory Number 18 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4b84051d66ddd92b5abba73f6218ccac X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1415 Status: OR 101 WTPA32 PHNL 292100 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST FRI AUG 29 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA DOWNGRADED FROM A TROPICAL STORM... AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 141.3 WEST OR ABOUT 890 MILES EAST OF HILO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST AND DISSIPATION IS LIKELY WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...20.6 N...141.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM HST. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 30 09:37:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31767-27951>; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 05:56:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA25700; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 16:53:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6139274 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 16:53:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA27460 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 16:53:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA03625 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 16:51:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708292151.QAA03625@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 16:51:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1e3742fc90b22f9828d7c73b4bd4745a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1384 Status: OR 102 ABPA20 PHNL 292200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST FRI AUG 29 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA NEAR 20.3N 141.2W AT 1030 AM HST...AROUND 870 MILES EAST OF HILO...IS MOVING WEST AT 12 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS COLLAPSED LITERALLY OVERNIGHT...WITH THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHEARED 300 MILES OR MORE NORTHEAST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. JIMENA HAS CROSSED 140W AND INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY. SEE THE LATEST WTPA22 PHNL...WTPA32 PHNL...AND WTPA42 PHNL BULLETINS FOR DETAILS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 13N 169W...ABOUT 950 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...IS NEARLY STATIONARY. AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS PERSISTS WITHIN 90 MILES OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS SYSTEM IS BEING MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH FRIDAY. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 30 12:11:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31765-9848>; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 10:34:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA04462; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 21:32:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6141636 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 21:32:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA29274 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 21:32:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA03945 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 21:30:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708300230.VAA03945@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 21:30:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Jimena Discussion Number 19 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a2e56a38ffa9791aab004bbb5f1170f3 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1120 Status: OR 402 WTPA42 PHNL 300300 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST FRI AUG 29 1997 LATEST VISUAL IMAGERY SHOWS A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH NO DEEP CONVECTION ANYWHERE NEAR THE SYSTEM. DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS OR LESS AND THIS WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISORY. INITIAL MOTION IS 265/08. THE CIRCULATION CENTER IS NOW BEING STEERED BY LOW LEVEL TRADE WIND FLOW AND THE TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE CLIPER MODEL...CLIMATOLOGY AND PERSISTENCE. HABLUTZEL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 30/0300Z 20.5N 141.6W 25 KTS 12HR VT 30/1200Z 20.3N 142.9W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 31/0000Z DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 30 12:11:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31424-9848>; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 10:36:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA14502; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 21:34:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6141666 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 21:34:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA14472 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 21:34:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA03953 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 21:33:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708300233.VAA03953@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 21:33:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 19 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8110fc69757975f10c2968c7c9750c92 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1263 Status: OR 433 WTPA22 PHNL 300300 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI EP1297 0300Z SAT AUG 30 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA DISSIPATING... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 141.6W AT 30/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 141.6W AT 30/0300Z AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 141.2W FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 20.3N 142.9W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 141.6W THIS WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 30 12:11:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31688-9848>; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 10:38:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA15926; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 21:36:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6141732 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 21:36:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA15882 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 21:36:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA03957 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 21:34:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708300234.VAA03957@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 21:34:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Jimena Advisory Number 19 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 21958e5f3abd6046186b0b700a704a68 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1366 Status: OR 434 WTPA32 PHNL 300300 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST FRI AUG 29 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA DISSIPATING... AT 5 PM HST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 141.6 WEST OR ABOUT 870 MILES EAST OF HILO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM HST POSITION...20.5 N...141.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 1 07:14:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625883-3322>; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 17:59:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA32660; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 04:57:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6143829 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 04:57:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA29314 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 04:57:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA04533 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 04:55:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708300955.EAA04533@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 30 Aug 1997 04:55:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0f0b53c01dd5ecc37318d2966ba567ba X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1076 Status: OR 151 ABPA20 PHNL 301000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210AM HST SATURDAY AUGUST 29 1997 THE CENTER OF THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF FORMER TROPICAL STORM JIMENA WAS NEAR 20.4N 142.0W...1000 MILES EAST OF HONOLULU...AT 30/0600Z MOVING WEST AT 6 MPH. JIMENA HAS NO STRONG CONVECTIVE CLOUDS AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 12N170W...1000 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...IS MOVING WEST AT 6 MPH AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. OTHERWISE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH SUNDAY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 1 07:14:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625932-3324>; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 05:59:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA26840; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 16:57:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6147680 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 16:56:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA17094 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 16:56:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA05296 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 16:56:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708302156.QAA05296@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 30 Aug 1997 16:56:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7fc2572ac48865e042f629b31664bbfe X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1226 Status: OR 334 ABPA20 PHNL 302200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST SAT AUG 30 1997 THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA WERE CENTERED NEAR 22N 145W AT 11 AM HST. THIS WAS ABOUT 680 MILES EAST/NORTHEAST OF HILO. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST/NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. IT WILL BE MONITORED FOR ANY SIGNS OF REGENERATION. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WAS CENTERED NEAR 12.1N 171.5W AT 11 AM HST. THIS WAS 1100 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU. THERE IS ACTIVE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE DISTURBANCE...MOST OF IT WITHIN 85 MILES OF THE POSITION GIVEN ABOVE. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD. THIS AREA WILL BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. THERE ARE NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS AT THIS TIME. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 1 07:14:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626049-272>; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 18:13:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA17002; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 05:10:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6150733 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 05:09:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA14116 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 05:09:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA06487 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 05:09:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708311009.FAA06487@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 31 Aug 1997 05:09:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6d5d50ab87ac36d95972541bbca717a2 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 802 Status: OR 103 ABPA20 PHNL 311000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST SUNDAY AUGUST 31 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH MONDAY. FORMER TROPICAL STORM JIMENA CONTINUES WEAKENING WELL EAST OF HAWAII. A DISTURBANCE SOUTH OF JOHNSTON ISLAND IS NOT DEVELOPING. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 24 18:17:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626569-12199>; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 15:19:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA31608; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 02:13:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6741867 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 02:13:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA18278 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 02:13:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA08483 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 02:13:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710240713.CAA08483@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Oct 1997 02:13:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 045 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c81a59220ecb9cdd374a7f7795d1b11c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 101 WTPN31 PGTW 240900 1. TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 045 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240600Z2 --- 26.9N7 135.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.9N7 135.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 28.3N3 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 29.5N6 141.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 30.6N9 145.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 31.7N1 149.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 54 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 54 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 32.3N8 151.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 240900Z5 POSITION 27.2N1 135.9E8 TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE GENERALLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH 54 HOURS AS IT ACCELERATES GRADUALLY AND SLOWLY WEAKENS. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION HAS BEGUN AND IS EXPECTED TO BE COMPLETE WITHIN 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6), 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2), 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4) AND 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 25 02:24:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627189-12199>; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 22:12:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA21696; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 09:06:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6743889 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 09:05:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA17574 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 09:05:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA08907 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 09:05:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710241405.JAA08907@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Oct 1997 09:05:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 046 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a6d4e198a2bc60cf80d76d7b76da6e6d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 601 WTPN31 PGTW 241500 1. TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 046 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- 27.4N3 136.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 27.4N3 136.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 28.6N6 138.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 29.9N0 142.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 31.7N1 147.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION 27.7N6 136.8E8 TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS NOW EXTRATROPICAL. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 241130Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). REFER TO NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU (WWPW PGFW 251200Z0) FOR FUTURE GALE WARNINGS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 25 02:24:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627324-12199>; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 22:30:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA48192; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 09:23:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6744041 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 09:23:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA14378 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 09:23:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA08947 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 09:23:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710241423.JAA08947@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Oct 1997 09:23:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 046a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: da5720105534eeaaf22daf48c7c28a88 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 012 WTPN31 PGTW 241500 COR 1. TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 046A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- 27.4N3 136.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 27.4N3 136.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 28.6N6 138.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 29.9N0 142.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 31.7N1 147.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION 27.7N6 136.8E8 TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS NOW EXTRATROPICAL. THE WARNING POSTION IS BASED UPON 241130Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). REFER TO NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU (WWPW31 PGFW 251200Z0) FOR FUTURE GALE WARNINGS. JUSTIFICATION: TO CORRECT MANOP HEADER FOR FUTURE GALE WARNINGS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 26 04:40:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627452-278>; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 17:21:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA23232; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 01:57:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6752847 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 01:56:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA23200 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 01:56:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA10510 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 01:56:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710250656.BAA10510@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Oct 1997 01:56:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 447873c25199087a1e65595ea2990216 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 209 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/241351ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, TS IVAN (27W) WRNG NR 46// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 241200Z9 TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WAS LOCATED AT 27.3N2 136.1E1, MOVING EAST-NORTHEAST AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 46 (WTPN31 PGTW 241500)) FOR THE FINAL WARNINGS ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 172E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7N7 171E9. A 241950Z1 SSM/I PASS OVER THIS AREA SHOWED A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WHICH CONCURS WITH ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE AREA OF HEAVIEST CONVECTION THAT CORRESPONDS TO THE SURFACE CIRCULATION IS APPROXIMATELY 130 NM TO THE WEST. SYNOPTIC DATA SUPPORTS THE SATELLITE FIX POSITION. THE 250000Z7 UPPER AIR SOUNDING FROM MAJURO (WMO 91376) INDICATES LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND THE 250300Z0 SURFACE REPORT SHOWED A MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 1005 MB, A 2 MB FALL OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AS THE WEAK CIRCULATION PASSED TO THE NORTH OF THE ATOLL. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER-LEVEL WINDS REMAIN EASTERLY OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 178E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 177E5. A 241117Z6 SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWED A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. HOWEVER, ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PARTIALLY EXPOSED CIRCULATION AND ITS ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION HAVE BECOME DISORGANIZED DUE TO AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH LOCATED TO THE SOUTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 27 08:04:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626352-26776>; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 13:30:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA29158; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 00:15:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6762100 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 00:15:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA12486 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 00:01:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA13631 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 00:00:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710260500.AAA13631@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Oct 1997 00:00:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 260453z Oct 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 94bf495732746e1ab36b52cef200f017 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 086 WTPN21 PGTW 260500 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 260453Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 6.8N4 170.1E9 TO 8.6N4 165.1E3 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 260000Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 7.5N2 169.0E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE CIRCULATION AND AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR THE MARSHALL ISLANDS HAVE BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY MORE ORGANIZED IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW AS INDICATED BY THE WATER VAPOR-DERIVED UPPER LEVEL WINDS OVER THE AREA NOW SHOWS WEAK ANTICYCLONIC ROTATION AND THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE CENTRALLY LOCATED. SYNOPTIC DATA FROM KWAJALEIN (WMO 91366) AND MAJURO (WMO 91376) SHOW A PERSISTENT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND ASSOCIATED PRESSURE FALLS. MINIMUM SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS GOOD FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 270500Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 27 08:04:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626355-26773>; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 13:43:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA47214; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 00:34:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6762385 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 00:34:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA47182 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 00:34:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA13668 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 00:34:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710260534.AAA13668@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Oct 1997 00:34:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 76bfd9fba72d7a933cae877a8b0485a6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 683 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/260151ZOCT97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/260453ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 260200), REF B, TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 260500)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 172E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7N7 169E6. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED THE CONVECTION IS BECOMING MORE CENTRALLY LOCATED AND WATER VAPOR DERIVED UPPER-LEVEL WINDS NOW SHOW WEAK ANTICYCLONIC ROTATION. SYNOPTIC DATA FROM KWAJALEIN (WMO 91366) AND MAJURO (91376) SHOW A LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH ASSOCIATED PRESSURE FALLS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 260500)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 177E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13S4 177E5. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND ASSOCIATED CONVECTION HAVE BECOME MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED APPROXIMATELY 25 NM FROM THE SURFACE CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 260200)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 27 08:04:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627292-26777>; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 02:54:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA04412; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 12:46:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6766457 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 13:46:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA31240 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 12:45:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA14823 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 12:45:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710261845.MAA14823@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Oct 1997 12:45:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3bbc77854959de98da6bca63fa140f94 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 601 ABPW10 PGTW 261830 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/261930Z/270600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/261351ZOCT97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/260453ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WARNING NR 01 (WTPS31 PGTW 261500), REF B, TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 260500)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 169E6 HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY. HOWEVER, DEEP CONVECTION AND CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION HAVE DECREASED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. 261200Z1 SYNOPTIC DATA FROM KWAJALEIN (WMO 91366), MAJURO (91376), AND SOME OF THE OTHER MARSHALL ISLANDS= REPORTING STATIONS INDICATE THAT PRESSURES HAVE RISEN ABOUT 1 MB DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS AND THAT MULTIPLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATIONS EXIST WITHIN A LARGER MONSOON CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 260500)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR MORE THAN 12 HOURS NEAR 9N9 135E9. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH MODERATE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. DURING THE PAST 3 HOURS, WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT A WEAK UPPER- LEVEL ANTICYCLONE MAY BE FORMING WIT USNS YUKON USNS SUMNER CTF SEVEN SIX CTG FIVE ZERO ONE PT ZERO TWO FGS GLUECKSBURG JDS MUROTO H THIS CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 261200Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WAS LOCATED AT 12.8S1 174.5E7 AND WAS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WARNING NR 01 (WTPS31 PGTW 261500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 177E5 AND WAS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT HAS DEVELOPED INTO TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P. SEE PARAGRAPH 2.A.(1) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUANCE OF THIS ADVISORY IS TO ADD PARAGRAPHS 1.B.(2) AND 2.A.(1), AND UPDATE PARAGRAPH 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/HATFIELD/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 27 08:04:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626944-26777>; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 03:03:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA21400; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 12:54:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6766593 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 13:54:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA24934 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 12:54:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA14842 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 12:54:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710261854.MAA14842@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Oct 1997 12:54:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory F The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 79b734aa62425c2ea6ef6626e5600937 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 807 ABPW10 PGTW 261830 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY F THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/261830Z/270600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/261351ZOCT97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/260453ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WARNING NR 01 (WTPS31 PGTW 261500), REF B, TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 260500)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 169E6 HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY. HOWEVER, DEEP CONVECTION AND CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION HAVE DECREASED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. 261200Z1 SYNOPTIC DATA FROM KWAJALEIN (WMO 91366), MAJURO (91376), AND SOME OF THE OTHER MARSHALL ISLANDS= REPORTING STATIONS INDICATE THAT PRESSURES HAVE RISEN ABOUT 1 MB DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS AND THAT MULTIPLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATIONS EXIST WITHIN A LARGER MONSOON CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 260500)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR MORE THAN 12 HOURS NEAR 9N9 135E9. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH MODERATE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. DURING THE PAST 3 HOURS, WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT A WEAK UPPER- LEVEL ANTICYCLONE MAY BE FORMING WITH THIS CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 261200Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WAS LOCATED AT 12.8S1 174.5E7 AND WAS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WARNING NR 01 (WTPS31 PGTW 261500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 177E5 AND WAS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT HAS DEVELOPED INTO TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P. SEE PARAGRAPH 2.A.(1) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUANCE OF THIS ADVISORY IS TO ADD PARAGRAPHS 1.B.(2) AND 2.A.(1), AND UPDATE PARAGRAPH 1.B.(1). JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: TIME REFERENCE AND ERONIOUS DATA FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/HATFIELD/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 27 08:04:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626944-26776>; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 03:18:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA25002; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 13:02:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6766769 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 14:02:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA29586 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 13:02:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA14866 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 13:02:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710261902.NAA14866@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Oct 1997 13:02:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory F The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4559527aa18218084e08b30e3b4ca95b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 986 ABPW10 PGTW 261830 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY F THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/261830Z/270600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/261351ZOCT97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/260453ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, TROI CAL CYNLONE 03P WARNINGNNR 01 (WTPS31 PGTW 261500), REF B, TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 260500)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 169E6 HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY. HOWEVER, DEEP CONVECTIOMPAND CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION HAVE DECREASED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. 261200Z1 SYNOPTIC DATA FROM KWAJALEIN (WMO 91366), MAJURO (91376), AND SOME OF THE OTHER MARSHALL ISLANDS; REPORTING STATIONS INDICATE THAT PRESSURES HAVE RISEN ABOUT 1 MB DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS AND THAT MULTIPLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATIONS EXIST WITHIN A LARGER MONSOON CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ETHAT A WEAK UPPER- LEVEL ANTICYCLONE MAY BE FORMING WITH THIS CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS EDM ATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 261200Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WAS LOCATED AT 12.8S1 174.5E3 33 43> - (TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WARNING NR 01 (WTP 31 PGTW 261500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDAES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 177E5 AND WAS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT HAS DEVELOPED INTO TROPICAL CYCLONE 03I. SEE PARAGRAPH 2.A.(1) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUANCE OF THIS ADVISORY IS TO ADD PARAGRAPHS 1.B.(2) AND 2.A.(1), AND UPDATE PARAGRAPH JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: TIME REFERENCE AND ERONIOUS DATA FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/HATFIELD/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 27 14:19:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627564-3686>; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 13:33:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA27006; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 23:24:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6772754 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 00:23:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA44100 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 23:17:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA16019 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 23:17:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710270517.XAA16019@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Oct 1997 23:17:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 270453z Oct 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 15d27afddb213a2759e4e79c2af2dddf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 682 WTPN21 PGTW 270500 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 270453Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/260453Z OCT 97// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 260500)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 7.1N8 169.9E5 TO 7.9N6 165.8E0 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 270330Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 6.5N1 169.0E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR THE MARSHALL ISLANDS HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND REMAINED QUASISTATIONARY. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM AILINGLAPALAP (WMO 91367) AND JALUIT ATOLL (WMO 91368). SHORTLY AFTER REF A WAS ISSUED, THE AREA OF CONVECTION BECAME BETTER ORGANIZED WITH CENTRAL CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR THE SURFACE CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, THROUGH THE LOCAL NIGHTTIME HOURS THE CENTRALIZED CONVECTION WEAKENED AND SHEARED TO THE WEST AND SOUTH OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. WITH RECENT ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ONCE AGAIN DISCERNIBLE WITH A NEW AREA OF CONVECTION. SYNOPTIC DATA, SATELLITE IMAGERY AND NUMERICAL MODELS INDICATE THIS AREA CONTINUES TO HAVE GOOD POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 280500Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 27 15:21:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627618-3687>; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 15:08:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA16614; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 00:44:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6773370 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 01:42:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA17430 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 00:41:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA16171 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 00:41:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710270641.AAA16171@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Oct 1997 00:41:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a2d32106193f3b716db9bf0eed300f31 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 378 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/270151ZOCT97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/270453ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WARNING NR 02 (WTPS31 PGTW 270300), REF B, TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 270500)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 169E6 HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY. 270000Z9 SYNOPTIC DATA FROM AILINGLAPALAP (WMO 91367) AND JALUIT (WMO 91369) SHOWED A DISTINCT SURFACE CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 P6 JK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 27 15:21:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627605-3684>; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 14:57:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA23104; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 00:47:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6773424 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 01:47:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA23040 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 00:47:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA16179 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 00:47:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710270647.AAA16179@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Oct 1997 00:47:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e3910589440777366d9ff1853d538cf3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 502 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE ESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/270151ZOCT97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/270453ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WARNING NR 02 (WTPS31 PGTW T IPEPPLN REF B, TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 270500)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECIOT PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 169E6 HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY. 270000Z9 SYNOPTIC DATA FROM AILINGLAPWAQ (WMO 91367) AND JALUIT (WMO 91369) SHOWED A DISTINCTMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTUM M RBNCDIAVTO 25 (,96. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 P6????? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 27 15:21:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627626-3685>; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 15:04:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA44394; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 00:47:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6773431 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 01:47:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA23058 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 00:47:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA16187 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 00:47:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710270647.AAA16187@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Oct 1997 00:47:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6b4042a396949ceae167d0f62e0c3849 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 509 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/270151ZOCT97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/270453ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WARNING NR 02 (WTPS31 PGTW 270300), REF B, TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 270500)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 169E6 HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY. 270000Z9 SYNOPTIC DATA FROM AILINGLAPALAP (WMO 91367) AND JALUIT (WMO 91369) SHOWED A DISTINCT SURFACE CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 270500)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 135E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8N8 136E0. 270000Z9 SYNOPTIC DATA FROM YAP (WMO 91413) AND KOROR (WMO 91408) AND A 262330Z2 SSM/I PASS SHOWS A MONSOON LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AND WATER VAPOR-DERIVED WINDS SHOW UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE OVER THE AREA. UPPER LEVEL SHEAR IS MODERATELY STRONG OVER THIS AREA RESULTING IN MOST OF THE CONVECTION LOCATED NORTH AND WEST OF THE SURFACE CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 270000Z9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WAS LOCATED AT 13.5S9 173.5E6 AND WAS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WARNING NR 02 (WTPS31 PGTW 270300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 27 15:58:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627642-3687>; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 15:34:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA18032; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 00:57:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6773581 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 01:57:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA18000 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 00:57:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA16195 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 00:57:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710270657.AAA16195@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Oct 1997 00:57:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weatherpfisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 617e5fc9dca34a7a3916d5fa705660ae Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 664 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHERPFISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z O 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/270151ZOCT97// REF/B/RMVQNAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/270453ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WARNING NY 02 (WTPS31 PGTW 270300), RE B, TXMPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 270500)// RMKS/ 7. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:- - (15 T CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVE RESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 270500)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXR 9N9 135E9 IS NOWLNEAR 8N8 136E0. 270000VM S OPTIC DATA ((?> -);WMO 91413) AND KOROR (WMO 91408) AND A 262330Z2 SSM/I PASS SHOWS A MONSOON LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AND WATER VAPMR-DERIVED WINDS SHOCFKYIWJISQHLEVEL DIVERGENCE OVER THE AREA, UPPER LEVEL SHEAR IS MODERATELY STRONG OVER THIS AREA RESULTING IN MOST OF THE CONVECTION TCATED NORTH AND WE T OF THE SURFACE CENTER. MAXMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ORIGP UIATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MT. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS= 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): AVLTROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 270000Z9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WAS LOCATED AT 13.5S9 173.5E6 AND WAS MOVING SOUTOES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 28 08:06:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627917-3685>; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 05:20:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA21404; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 14:59:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6781730 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 15:59:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA21356 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 14:59:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA17534 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 14:59:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710272059.OAA17534@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Oct 1997 14:59:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: This Warning Supersedes And Cancels Navpacmetoccen West To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 12b15e0b5d9ad6a1a951db36b0156bbf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 746 WTPN31 PGTW 272100 THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 270453Z OCT 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 270500) 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 29W WARNING NR 01 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271800Z8 --- 7.0N7 167.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 7.0N7 167.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 7.4N1 166.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 7.9N6 165.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 8.4N2 163.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 8.9N7 162.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 10.0N1 157.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 272100Z2 POSITION 7.1N8 167.5E9 THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE THAT HAS BEEN MOVING SLOWLY THROUGH THE MARSHALL ISLANDS DURING THE PAST 2 DAYS HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND HAS INTENSIFIED INTO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 29W. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON A 271730Z0 ATELLITE INTENSITY OF T1.5 (25 KNOTS) AND 271800Z8 SYNOPTIC AND UPPER AIR DATA FROM KWAJALEIN (WMO 91366). TD 29W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WEST- NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY. TD 29W IS ALSO EXPECTED TO STEADILY INTENSIFY AT THE NORMAL RATE OF ONE T-NUMBER (20 KNOTS) PER DAY DUE TO THE SYSTEM=S RELATIVELY SLOW FORWARD SPEED AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z IS 06 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z3 (DTG 280153Z9), 280900Z9 (DTG 280753Z5), 281500Z6 (DTG 281353Z2) AND 282100Z3 (DTG 281953Z8). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 270453Z1 OCT 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 270500).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 28 09:48:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626177-3246>; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 09:45:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA21584; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 19:30:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6784731 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 20:30:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA13628 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 19:30:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA18500 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 19:30:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710280130.TAA18500@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Oct 1997 19:30:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Keith (29w) Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 17073599142e8465ff35338f3a37454f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 462 WTPN31 PGTW 280300 1. TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 002 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 29W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 7.3N0 167.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 7.3N0 167.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 7.5N2 166.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 7.9N6 164.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 8.4N2 162.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 8.8N6 161.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 9.9N8 156.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 7.3N0 167.0E4 TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME BETTER DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 272302Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3), 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0), 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6) AND 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 28 18:07:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627828-3246>; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 17:12:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA09386; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 03:01:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6788624 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 04:01:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA46744 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 03:01:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA19372 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 03:01:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710280901.DAA19372@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Oct 1997 03:01:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Keith (29w) Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5c6d0f276fa34c55cee3d09439fb833c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 715 WTPN31 PGTW 280900 1. TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- 7.2N9 166.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 7.2N9 166.2E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 7.7N4 164.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 8.5N3 161.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 9.1N0 159.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 9.7N6 157.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WIND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 28 18:07:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626262-3248>; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 17:19:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA46642; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 03:11:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6788637 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 04:11:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA49440 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 03:11:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA19384 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 03:11:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710280911.DAA19384@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Oct 1997 03:11:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Keith (29w) Warning Nr 003a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c138b36dd6652075725a2d87f71cb270 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 205 WTPN31 PGTW 280900 COR 1. TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 003A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- 7.2N9 166.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 7.2N9 166.2E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 7.7N4 164.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 8.5N3 161.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 9.1N0 159.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 9.7N6 157.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 11.4N6 152.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 280900Z9 POSITION 7.3N0 165.7E9 TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS GAINED SOME SPEED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AS IT CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 280530Z8 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. JUSTIFICATION: CORRECTED 24 HOUR POSITION WIND RADII. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0), 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6), 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8) AND 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 29 08:06:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627951-26843>; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 22:22:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA40222; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 08:11:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6790278 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 09:11:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA29444 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 08:11:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA19582 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 08:11:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710281411.IAA19582@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Oct 1997 08:11:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Keith (29w) Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 142c8cba0ad8578ef58d1cd91f2ec33e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 267 WTPN31 PGTW 281500 1. TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- 7.3N0 165.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 7.3N0 165.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 7.5N2 163.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 8.1N9 162.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 8.8N6 159.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 9.6N5 157.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 11.4N6 153.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 281500Z6 POSITION 7.3N0 164.9E0 TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT TRAVELS WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TS KEITH (29W) IS STILL CONSOLIDATING AND REMAINS DIFFICULT TO FIX ON. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6), 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8), 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4) AND 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 29 08:06:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625940-24319>; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 07:25:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA16526; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 17:00:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6795778 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 17:59:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA50486 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 16:59:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA21076 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 16:59:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710282259.QAA21076@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Oct 1997 16:59:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Keith (29w) Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b2f861d4b9d8d45d93cee6f5bc9b8ea0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 313 WTPN31 PGTW 282100 1. TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281800Z9 --- 7.3N0 165.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 7.3N0 165.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 7.5N2 164.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 8.1N9 162.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 8.9N7 160.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 9.8N7 157.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 11.5N7 153.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 282100Z3 POSITION 7.3N0 165.1E3 TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) IS QUASISTATIONARY. CONSOLIDATION CONTINUES. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE IN A WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DIRECTION, SLOWLY ACCELERATING AND INTENSIFYING THROUGHOUT 72 HOURS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z4 (DTG 290153Z0), 290900Z0 (DTG 290753Z6), 291500Z7 (DTG 291353Z3) AND 292100Z4 (DTG 291953Z9).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG96593012136 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 29 08:06:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626110-24321>; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 07:37:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA25076; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 17:27:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6796181 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 18:27:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA13524 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 17:27:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA21120 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 17:27:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710282327.RAA21120@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Oct 1997 17:27:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 282030z Oct 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b8c21c0dfebcfe0d7c1e4f390dfd5007 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 757 WTPN21 PGTW 282030 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 282030Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 040 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.9N1 156.8W0 TO 11.6N8 160.4W1 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 281930Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N8 158.5W9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE NEXT SATELLITE INVESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 290130Z0. 2. REMARKS: SYSTEM HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SYSTEM CONTINUES TO DEVELOP SLOWLY AND TRACK TO THE WEST. LATEST FIXES BY AIR FORCE WEATHER AGENCY AND CPHC BOTH INDICATE AN INCREASE OF 0.5 CI (DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY) TO T1.5. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 292030Z6.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG76013012133 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 29 10:24:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626482-24320>; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 10:05:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA17210; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 19:54:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6798427 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 20:54:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA17296 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 19:53:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA21395 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 19:53:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710290153.TAA21395@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Oct 1997 19:53:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Keith (29w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 01f3afb39edc5a1fa68ab59b7c678e44 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 091 WTPN31 PGTW 290300 1. TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- 7.1N8 164.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 7.1N8 164.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 7.2N9 162.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 7.5N2 161.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 8.0N8 159.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 8.8N6 157.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 11.0N2 152.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION 7.1N8 163.8E8 TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION WAS BASED UPON MICROWAVE IMAGERY AT 2918379Z9 AND 282141Z8 AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 292330Z9. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4), 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1), 292100Z4 (DTG 291951Z7) AND 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 29 10:55:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626367-24314>; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 10:49:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA37282; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 20:29:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6799231 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 21:29:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA29836 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 20:29:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA21486 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 20:29:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710290229.UAA21486@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Oct 1997 20:29:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Keith (29w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f58759b0e3152a66919bab6dafcbc119 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 768 WTPN31 PGTW 290300 1. TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- 7.1N8 164.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 7.1N8 164.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 7.2N9 162.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 7.5N2 161.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 8.0N8 159.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 8.8N6 157.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 11.0N2 152.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION 7.1N8 163.8E8 TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION WAS BASED UPON MICROWAVE IMAGERY AT 2918379Z9 AND 282141Z8 AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 292330Z9. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4), 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1), 292100Z4 (DTG 291951Z7) AND 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG99053020153 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 29 17:32:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626330-24319>; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 14:30:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA20094; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 00:19:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6801640 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 01:18:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA37168 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 00:18:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA21944 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 00:18:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710290618.AAA21944@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Oct 1997 00:18:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f3531761b592030db4c2a7ea8be466f8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 811 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/290153ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 06 (WTPN31 PGTW 290300)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 290000Z1 TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 07.1N8 164.2E3 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 06(WTPN31 PGTW 290300)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 130E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 129E2. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE DISORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA AT 290000Z1 CONTINUES TO SUGGEST THE POSSIBILITY OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER LOCATED WEST OF THE AREA OF CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG00533020551 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 29 17:32:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627418-24320>; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 16:24:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA28682; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 02:02:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6802505 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 03:02:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA14324 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 02:02:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA22035 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 02:02:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710290802.CAA22035@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Oct 1997 02:02:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Keith (29w) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c191a65a9114d94bd5215579263fbff5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 793 WTPN31 PGTW 290900 1. TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290600Z7 --- 6.9N5 164.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 6.9N5 164.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 7.1N8 162.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 7.4N1 160.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 8.2N0 158.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 9.4N3 155.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 12.3N6 150.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 290900Z0 POSITION 6.9N5 163.6E6 TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE FORECAST IS FOR A CONTINUED WESTWARD TRACK FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THEN TURN WEST- NORTHWESTWARD. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 290530Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1), 292100Z4 (DTG 291951Z7), 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0) AND 300900Z2 (DTG 300751Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 29 17:32:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627628-24320>; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 17:07:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA52766; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 02:52:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6802956 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 03:52:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA28682 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 02:52:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA22071 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 02:52:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710290852.CAA22071@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Oct 1997 02:52:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Keith (29w) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a86c43acf205270353ec4c0e84cd71be Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 529 WTPN31 PGTW 290900 1. TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290600Z7 --- 6.9N5 164.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 6.9N5 164.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 7.1N8 162.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 7.4N1 160.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 8.2N0 158.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 9.4N3 155.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 12.3N6 150.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 290900Z0 POSITION 6.9N5 163.6E6 TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE FORECAST IS FOR A CONTINUED WESTWARD TRACK FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THEN TURN WEST- NORTHWESTWARD. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 290530Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1), 292100Z4 (DTG 291951Z7), 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0) AND 300900Z2 (DTG 300751Z6).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG01883020753 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 30 10:45:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626539-24321>; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 18:34:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA47160; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 04:24:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6803615 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 05:24:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA14114 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 04:24:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA22322 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 04:24:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710291024.EAA22322@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Oct 1997 04:24:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Keith (29w) Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9e2eb44cb6818ca2598ffe7b8bcc50b8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 056 WTPN31 PGTW 282100 1. TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281800Z9 --- 7.3N0 165.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 7.3N0 165.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 7.5N2 164.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 8.1N9 162.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 8.9N7 160.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 9.8N7 157.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 11.5N7 153.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 282100Z3 POSITION 7.3N0 165.1E3 TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) IS QUASISTATIONARY. CONSOLIDATION CONTINUES. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE IN A WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DIRECTION, SLOWLY ACCELERATING AND INTENSIFYING THROUGHOUT 72 HOURS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z4 (DTG 290153Z0), 290900Z0 (DTG 290753Z6), 291500Z7 (DTG 291353Z3) AND 292100Z4 (DTG 291953Z9).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG02503012136 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 30 10:45:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627794-24320>; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 22:06:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA34044; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 07:53:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6804957 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 08:53:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA32746 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 07:53:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA22456 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 07:53:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710291353.HAA22456@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Oct 1997 07:53:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Keith (29w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4df4c70487d2dc41e6742663a74be098 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 723 WTPN31 PGTW 291500 1. TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- 6.9N5 163.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 6.9N5 163.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 7.0N7 162.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 7.9N6 160.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 9.1N0 158.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 10.4N5 156.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 13.0N4 150.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 291500Z7 POSITION 6.9N5 163.1E1 TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) HAS SLIGHTLY INTENSIFIED AND IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z4 (DTG 291953Z9), 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2), 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8) AND 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 30 10:45:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627803-24314>; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 23:02:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA43962; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 08:53:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6805719 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 09:53:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA24972 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 08:53:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA22527 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 08:53:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710291453.IAA22527@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Oct 1997 08:53:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Keith (29w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4c2fb88ebebbe57778b0f5552c380137 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 825 WTPN31 PGTW 291500 1. TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- 6.9N5 163.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 6.9N5 163.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 7.0N7 162.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 7.9N6 160.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 9.1N0 158.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 10.4N5 156.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 13.0N4 150.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 291500Z7 POSITION 6.9N5 163.1E1 TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) HAS SLIGHTLY INTENSIFIED AND IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z4 (DTG 291953Z9), 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2), 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8) AND 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG04893021353 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 30 10:45:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627669-24314>; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 05:44:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA45344; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 15:28:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6810677 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 16:28:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA28684 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 15:28:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA23609 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 15:27:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710292127.PAA23609@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Oct 1997 15:27:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Keith (29w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 481bbfaf5a6436e2385aa166b4bf4eb0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 003 WTPN31 PGTW 292100 1. TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291800Z0 --- 6.9N5 163.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 6.9N5 163.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 7.2N9 161.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 7.9N6 160.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 8.9N7 158.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 10.2N3 155.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 12.9N2 150.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 292100Z4 POSITION 7.0N7 162.8E7 TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE. INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE AS ORGANIZATION INCREASES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z0 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2), 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8), 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5) AND 302100Z6 (DTG 301953Z1).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG07743021953 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 30 10:45:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626604-14858>; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 10:20:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA42896; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 20:02:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6813849 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 21:02:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA28254 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 20:02:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA24147 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 20:02:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710300202.UAA24147@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Oct 1997 20:02:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Keith (29w) Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3ae3b4fc9901744c0d20ce80a79cc935 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 858 WTPN31 PGTW 300300 1. TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- 7.6N3 161.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 7.6N3 161.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 7.9N6 159.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 8.5N3 157.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 9.3N2 155.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 10.4N5 153.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 12.8N1 147.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION 7.7N4 161.1E9 TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) HAS REACHED AN INTENSITY OF 55 KNOTS BASED ON BOTH INFRARED AND VISUAL 292330Z9 SATELLITE IMAGERY AND IS MOVING AT 9 KNOTS TO THE WEST. OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME MUCH MORE ORGANIZED AND IS FORECAST TO REACH TYPHOON INTENSITY WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. THROUGH THE 12 TO 24 HOUR POSITIONS, TS KEITH IS FORECAST TO MOVE PRIMARILY TOWARD THE WEST AS IT IS INFLUENCED BY HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING TO THE NORTH. AFTER THIS TIME PERIOD THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE IN A MORE WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 291205Z9 SCATTEROMETER PASS AND SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z3 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z2 (DTG 300751Z6), 301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3), 302100Z6 (DTG 301951Z9) AND 310300Z7 (DTG 310151Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 30 14:12:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626852-14861>; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 14:07:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA14450; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 23:55:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6816038 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 00:54:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA42936 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 23:53:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA24343 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 23:53:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710300553.XAA24343@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Oct 1997 23:53:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 35e50044da3f2fea6dab40357aae02c8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 954 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z/310600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/300153ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 10 (WTPN31 PGTW 300300)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 300000Z1 TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 07.6N3 161.5E3 AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 10(WTPN31 PGTW 300300)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 129E2 HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED AS IT MOVED OVER THE PHILLIPINE ISLANDS. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS NO LONGER DISTINGUISHABLE OVER LAND. THIS IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED A SUSPECT AREA. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 30 17:54:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626906-14858>; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 16:05:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA43864; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 01:45:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6816385 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 02:45:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA29752 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 01:45:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA24456 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 01:45:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710300745.BAA24456@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Oct 1997 01:45:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d81f2e9e93010be1b4a09182b6988535 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 277 WTPN31 PGTW 300900 1. TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 011 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z9 --- 8.0N8 160.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285DEEES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.0N8 160.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 8.7N5 158.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 9.5N4 155.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 10.5N6 152.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 11.6N8 150.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 14.2N7 144.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 300900Z2 POSITION 8.2N0 159.8E3 TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS REACHED AN INTENSITY OF 65 KNOTS BASED ON 300530Z1 VISUAL AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 11 KNOTS. TY KEITH IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. FORECAST TRACK REMAINS THE SAME AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z9 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3), 302100Z6 (DTG 301951Z9), 310300Z7 (DTG 310151Z1) AND 310900Z3 (DTG 310751Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 31 10:53:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626309-14863>; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 21:54:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA10166; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 07:39:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6818782 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 08:38:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA37220 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 07:38:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA24815 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 07:38:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710301338.HAA24815@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Oct 1997 07:38:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 088d97241686fe2efb1349caf039e8c6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 162 WTPN31 PGTW 301500 1. TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z6 --- 8.3N1 159.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.3N1 159.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 9.0N9 157.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 31120 +KJJ KR:SY 155.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - LMS5 RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 10.6N7 152.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 11.6N8 150.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 14.1N6 144.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 301500Z9 POSITION 8.5N3 159.0E5 TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED WHILE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 301130Z8 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T4.5 (75 TO 85 KNOTS). AN EYE HAS INTERMITTENTLY APPEARED IN INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DURING THE PAST 5 HOURS BUT WAS CLOUD COVERED AT WARNING TIME. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK. HOWEVER, WE EXPECT TYPHOON KEITH TO REACH SUPER TYPHOON INTENSITY A LITTLE SOONER THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST AND ALSO HAVE A HIGHER PEAK INTENSITY BEFORE REACHING THE SOUTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS IN 60 TO 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z6 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 302100Z6 (DTG 301953Z1), 310300Z7 (DTG 310153Z3), 310900Z3 (DTG 10753Z9) AND 311500Z0 (DTG 311353Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 31 10:53:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628011-14863>; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 04:44:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA30840; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 14:14:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6822486 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 14:14:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA25692 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 14:14:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA25686 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 14:14:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710302014.OAA25686@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Oct 1997 14:14:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c3e55c0480f0d8d3c401165db7d23026 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 734 WTPN31 PGTW 302100 1. TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 13 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301800Z2 --- 8.6N4 158.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.6N4 158.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 9.3N2 155.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 10.1N2 153.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 11.1N3 150.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 12.2N5 148.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 14.7N2 143.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 302100Z6 POSITION 8.8N6 157.6E9 DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS UNDERGONE RAPID TO EXPLOSIVE DEEPENING WHILE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND ACCELERATING. OUR WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 21 NM RAGGED EYE AND A 301730Z4 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T5.0 (90 KNOTS). WE EXPECT TYPHOON KEITH TO CONTINUE TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY AND REACH SUPER TYPHOON STRENGTH (130 KNOTS) WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS BASED ON THE FAVORABLE INFLOW-OUTFLOW PATTERN THAT HAS DEVELOPED. THERE IS NO COMPETITION FOR LOW-LEVEL INFLOW WITH KEITH BEING THE ONLY SIGNIFICANT CIRCULATION IN THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC BASIN. ALSO, MANUAL STREAMLINE ANALYSIS AT 301200Z6 INDICATES TYPHOON KEITH=S UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS LINKED UP WITH 3 TUTT CELLS TO THE NORTHEAST, SOUTHEAST, AND WEST OF THE SYSTEM WHICH ARE ACTING AS MASS SINKS. THIS UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN IS CONDUCIVE FOR CONTINUED STRENGTHENING AND FOR KEITH TO MAINTAIN SUPER TYPHOON INTENSITY WHEN IT TRAVERSES THE SOUTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS IN ABOUT 60 HOURS AS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 5 TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z2 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310300Z7 (DTG 310153Z3), 310900Z3 (DTG 310753Z9), 311500Z0 (DTG 311353Z6) AND 312100Z7 (DTG 311953Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 31 10:53:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628011-14858>; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 05:12:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA19626; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 14:50:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6822774 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 14:50:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA20370 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 14:50:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA25755 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 14:50:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710302050.OAA25755@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Oct 1997 14:50:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a3ea96cf9d5eac7fc9d94f428872d68a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 223 WTPN31 PGTW 302100 1. TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 13 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301800Z2 --- 8.6N4 158.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT PAGE 03 RUHGSGG1760 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.6N4 158.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 9.3N2 155.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 10.1N2 153.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG1760 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 11.1N3 150.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: PAGE 05 RUHGSGG1760 UNCLAS 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 12.2N5 148.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 14.7N2 143.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 06 RUHGSGG1760 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 302100Z6 POSITION 8.8N6 157.6E9 DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS UNDERGONE RAPID TO EXPLOSIVE DEEPENING WHILE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND ACCELERATING. OUR WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 21 NM RAGGED EYE AND A 301730Z4 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T5.0 (90 KNOTS). WE EXPECT TYPHOON KEITH TO CONTINUE TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY AND REACH SUPER TYPHOON STRENGTH (130 KNOTS) WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS BASED ON THE FAVORABLE INFLOW-OUTFLOW PATTERN THAT HAS DEVELOPED. THERE IS NO COMPETITION FOR LOW-LEVEL INFLOW WITH KEITH BEING THE ONLY SIGNIFICANT CIRCULATION IN THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC BASIN. ALSO, MANUAL STREAMLINE ANALYSIS AT 301200Z6 INDICATES TYPHOON KEITH'S UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS LINKED UP WITH 3 TUTT CELLS TO THE NORTHEAST, SOUTHEAST, AND WEST OF THE SYSTEM WHICH ARE ACTING AS MASS SINKS. THIS UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN IS CONDUCIVE FOR CONTINUED STRENGTHENING AND FOR KEITH TO MAINTAIN SUPER TYPHOON INTENSITY WHEN IT TRAVERSES THE PAGE 07 RUHGSGG1760 UNCLAS SOUTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS IN ABOUT 60 HOURS AS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 5 TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z2 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310300Z7 (DTG 310153Z3), 310900Z3 (DTG 310753Z9), 311500Z0 (DTG 311353Z6) AND 312100Z7 (DTG 311953Z2).// BT #1760 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 31 10:53:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626421-3668>; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 09:57:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA42872; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 19:43:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6825404 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 19:43:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA30554 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 19:43:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA29651 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 19:43:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710310143.TAA29651@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Oct 1997 19:43:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: afff15eed686017f75aaff2431e3374c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 514 WTPN31 PGTW 310300 1. TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z4 --- 8.9N7 157.4E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.9N7 157.4E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 9.6N5 155.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 10.6N7 153.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 11.5N7 150.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 12.6N9 148.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 14.6N1 142.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 310300Z7 POSITION 9.1N0 157.0E3 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 302330Z1 INDICATES THAT TYPHOON KEITH (29W) IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 09 KNOTS WHILE CONTINUING TO INTENSIFY. IT IS NOW A VERY INTENSE TYPHOON WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS IN EXCESS OF 100 KNOTS. AT 302100Z6 TYPHOON KEITH PASSED APPROXIMATELY 55NM NORTH OF BUOY 52650 WITH ONE-MINUTE EQUIVALENT SUSTAINED WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 KNOTS. CURRENT WIND RADII ADJUSTED FOR AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA AND THE LATEST VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z4 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310900Z3 (DTG 310753Z9), 311500Z0 (DTG 311353Z6), 312100Z7 (DTG 311953Z2) AND 010300Z4 (DTG 010153Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 31 10:53:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626739-3672>; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 10:39:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA19552; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 20:24:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6825858 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 20:24:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA19674 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 20:23:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA01504 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 20:23:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710310223.UAA01504@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Oct 1997 20:23:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5b9a5be24a11d24472592110a33a5448 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 369 ABPW10 PGTW 310030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/310030Z/310600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/301953ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 13 (WTPN31 PGTW 302100)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 301800Z2 TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 08.6N4 158.2E6 AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 13(WTPN31 PGTW 302100)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 129E2 ON 29 OCT HAS MOVED THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PHILLIPINE ISLANDS AND IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 120E3 IN THE SULU SEA. A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS APPARENT IN BOTH THE SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA AND IN THE ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY. ALTHOUGH CONVECTION IS NOT ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME, BOTH WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND THE UPPER LEVEL WINDS DERIVED FROM THIS IMAGERY SHOW AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE OVER MINDANAO ISLAND WHICH IS HELPING TO WEAKEN THE PREVIOUS STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR OVER THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED BETWEEN 10 AND 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION: THIS BULLETIN REISSUED TO ADD AREA IN SECTION 1.B (1). FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 31 19:29:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626669-3672>; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 14:42:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA17574; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 00:33:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6827827 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 00:33:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA43610 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 00:33:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA02231 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 00:33:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710310633.AAA02231@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 00:33:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1a40cc3489efd4d3f3b353861a580c0a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 123 ABPW10 PGTW 310600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/310600Z OCT 97/010600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/310153ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 14 (WTPN31 PGTW 310300)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 310000Z4 TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 08.9N7 157.4E7 AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 105 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 130 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 14(WTPN31 PGTW 310300)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 120E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 118E0. CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO ORGANIZE OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AS IT MOVES WESTWARD INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS GOOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 AND 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 31 19:29:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627084-3675>; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 15:25:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA46804; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 01:18:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6827959 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 01:18:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA52928 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 01:18:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA02259 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 01:18:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710310718.BAA02259@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 01:18:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 310727z Oct 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: aa8baa50df4b1b786f85b3195431649d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 094 WTPN21 PGTW 310730 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 310727Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9.0N9 118.0E0 TO 9.0N9 112.5E9 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 310530Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 8.5N3 118.5E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS CROSSED THE SOUTHERN PHILLIPINE ISLANDS AND IS NOW LOCATED IN THE SULU SEA. THE CONVECTION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW SUPPORTS CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL TO FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD ONCE IT CROSSES PALAWAN ISLAND AND ENTERS THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 010730Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 31 19:29:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627021-3668>; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 15:52:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA40404; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 01:42:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6827993 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 01:42:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA30654 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 01:42:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA02273 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 01:42:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710310742.BAA02273@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 01:42:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8f9401b7fe48f713fca7fa76599f2d87 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 466 WTPN31 PGTW 310900 1. TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310600Z0 --- 9.1N0 156.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 9.1N0 156.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 9.8N7 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 10.8N9 152.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 11.7N9 150.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 12.8N1 147.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 14.7N2 142.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 310900Z3 POSITION 9.3N2 156.2E4 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 310530Z2 INDICATES THAT TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS MAINTAINED A FORWARD SPEED OF 09 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS FORECAST WITH SPEED ADJUSTED FOR A SLOWER FORWARD MOTION. A RECENT 310003Z7 SCATTEROMETER PASS WAS USED TO HELP INTERPRET THE WIND RADII ON THE WESTERN TO NORTHWESTERN SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310600Z0 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 311500Z0 (DTG 311353Z6), 312100Z7 (DTG 311953Z2), 010300Z4 (DTG 010153Z0) AND 010900Z0 (DTG 010753Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 31 23:42:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627045-3668>; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 22:15:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA13632; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 08:00:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6829652 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 07:58:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA10408 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 07:58:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA02675 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 07:58:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710311358.HAA02675@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 07:58:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 164439ed39f083ec1212763c8b16a7d5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 950 WTPN31 PGTW 311500 1. TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 16 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311200Z7 --- 9.8N7 155.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 9.8N7 155.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 10.8N9 153.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 11.8N0 151.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 12.7N0 148.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 13.6N0 146.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 15.3N9 140.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 311500Z0 POSITION 10.1N2 155.3E4 DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS RESUMED RAPID INTENSIFICATION WHILE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. AN EYE HAS BECOME VERY SHARP AND DISTINCT IN INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND CLOUD TOPS HAVE ALSO COOLED SIGNIFICANTLY AROUND THE EYE. TYPHOON KEITH HAS MADE A SLIGHT JOG TO THE NORTHWEST DURING THE PAST 03 TO 05 HOURS WHICH MAY ONLY BE A TEMPORARY TREND DUE TO BETTER DEVELOPMENT OF THE EYE. OUR WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T6.0 (115 TO 125 KNOTS) FROM JTWC, KGWC, AND KWBC SATELLITE ANALYSTS, AND RECENT WARMING OF THE EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311200Z7 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 312100Z7 (DTG 311953Z2), 010300Z4 (DTG 010153Z0), 10900Z0 (DTG 010753Z6) AND 011500Z7 (DTG 011353Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 1 11:26:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627994-3672>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 04:44:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA24920; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 14:27:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6833866 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 14:27:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA46658 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 14:27:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA05358 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 14:27:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710312027.OAA05358@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 14:27:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: This Warning Supersedes And Cancels Navpacmetoccen West To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9101a6fefbe982f3c73c77edcdc5bc91 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 488 WTPN32 PGTW 312100 COR THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 310727Z OCT 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 310730) 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W WARNING NR 01A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311800Z3 --- 7.9N6 114.2E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 7.9N6 114.2E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 8.1N9 111.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 8.2N0 109.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 8.4N2 107.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 8.7N5 105.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 9.7N6 101.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 312100Z7 POSITION 8.0N8 113.6E1 THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IN THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA HAS INTENSIFIED INTO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W. WE EXPECT TD 30W TO GRADUALLY DECREASE ITS FORWARD SPEED AND SLOWLY INTENSIFY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 311730Z5 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T2.0 (30 KNOTS) AND A 311445Z8 OIL RIG REPORT OF SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 KNOTS ALONG THE COAST OF BORNEO. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311800Z3 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010300Z4 (DTG 010151Z8), 010900Z0 (DTG 010751Z4), 011500Z7 (DTG 011351Z1) AND 012100Z4 (DTG 011951Z7). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 310727Z OCT 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 310730). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED MANOP HEADER.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 1 11:26:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628028-3672>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 05:03:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA17354; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 14:49:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6834122 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 14:49:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA34990 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 14:49:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA05394 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 14:49:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710312049.OAA05394@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 14:49:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2715ddf99dcd1369565bb22642ebbd99 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 747 WTPN31 PGTW 312100 COR 1. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 17 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311800Z3 --- 10.6N7 154.5E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.6N7 154.5E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 11.7N9 151.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 12.6N9 149.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 13.4N8 146.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 14.1N6 144.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 15.4N0 139.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 312100Z7 POSITION 10.9N0 153.8E7 TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS ACCELERATED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED INTO SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE 311200Z7 NOGAPS AND JGSM MODEL RUNS ARE ALMOST ON TOP OF OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST.AS A RESULT, THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO OUR FORECAST TRACK OR PHILOSOPHY OTHER THAN WE EXPECT KEITH TO SLOW ITS FORWARD SPEED SLIGHTLY. WE ALSO EXPECT SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AND PEAK AT 150 TO 155 KNOTS IN 36 HOURS JUST PRIOR TO TRAVERSING THE SOUTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311800Z IS 26 FEET.REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010300Z4 (DTG 010153Z0), 010900Z0 (DTG 010753Z6), 011500Z7 (DTG 011353Z3) AND 012100Z4 (DTG 011953Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 1 11:26:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626289-22672>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 10:45:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA19618; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 20:36:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6837383 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 20:36:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA46988 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 20:36:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA05834 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 20:36:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711010236.UAA05834@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 20:36:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropi To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 410648b135fe8492f6e01f310bafefc6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 240 WTPN32 PGTW 010300 1. TROPI QLM LINDA (# W PFJ 002 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W 02 ACTIVE TROPIAPQCLFS IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVEPTS -J +IPOATION: 010000Z1 --- 7.5 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 1 11:26:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625957-22672>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 11:08:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA35200; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 21:01:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6837463 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 21:01:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA21356 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 21:01:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA05854 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 21:01:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711010301.VAA05854@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 21:01:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Linda (30w) Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 23e66700ade4a41af361b1e79e7f0b69 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 540 WTPN32 PGTW 010300 COR 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 002 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010000Z1 --- 7.5N2 113.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 7.5N2 113.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 7.3N0 110.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 7.5N2 107.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 7.9N6 105.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 8.3N1 103.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 9.3N2 100.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 010300Z4 POSITION 7.5N2 112.3E7 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK WESTWARD THROUGH THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION THEN TURN TO A WEST- NORTHWESTWARD DIRECTION. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010900Z0 (DTG 010751Z4), 011500Z7 (DTG 011351Z1), 012100Z4 (DTG 011951Z7) AND 020300Z5 (DTG 020151Z9). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 1 12:20:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626420-22681>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 12:03:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAB10064; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 21:57:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6837804 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 21:57:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA28472 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 21:57:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA05946 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 21:57:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711010357.VAA05946@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 21:57:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 018 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fc8b3d837b06d3da90c0b4f7f86bc7ce Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 626 WTPN31 PGTW 010300 1. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 018 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010000Z1 --- 11.4N6 153.1E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.4N6 153.1E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 12.3N6 150.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 13.0N4 148.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 13.8N2 145.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 14.5N0 142.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 15.6N2 138.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 010300Z4 POSITION 11.6N8 152.5E3 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. THE SYSTEM, ALTHOUGH STILL EXPECTED TO SLOW SLIGHTLY WITHIN 12 HOURS, HAS MAINTAINED SPEED SINCE THE LAST WARNING. WIND RADII HAVE BEEN EXPANDED BASED ON A 311938Z5 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010000Z IS 36 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010900Z0 (DTG 010753Z6), 011500Z7 (DTG 011353Z3), 012100Z4 (DTG 011953Z9) AND 020300Z5 (DTG 020153Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG28553050153 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:23:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626408-22672>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 15:29:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA35226; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 01:10:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6838986 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 01:10:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA23280 for ; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 01:08:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA06345 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 01:08:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711010708.BAA06345@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 01:08:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e636a4c26853cbc253ece4113b1e151e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 581 ABPW10 PGTW 010600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z/020600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/010153ZNOV97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/010151ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 010000Z1 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 11.4N6 153.1E0 AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 140 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 170 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 18 (WTPN31 PGTW 010300)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 010000Z1 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUST TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 02 (WPTN32 PGTW 010300)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 118E0 IS NOW LOCATED AT 7.5N2 113.0E5 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 02 (WPTN32 PGTW 010300)). (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNSFORD/SULLINS/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:23:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626379-22683>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 16:15:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA35274; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 02:06:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6839149 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 02:06:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA21428 for ; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 02:06:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA06384 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 02:06:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711010806.CAA06384@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 02:06:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 019 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d14aace8a171fdfcdd3b545e66522e10 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 475 WTPN31 PGTW 010900 1. TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 019 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010600Z7 --- 12.1N4 151.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.1N4 151.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 13.0N4 149.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 13.8N2 146.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 14.4N9 144.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 14.9N4 141.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 15.7N3 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 010900Z0 POSITION 12.3N6 151.2E9 MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010600Z IS 38 FEET. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. HOWEVER, THE FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN MOVED SLIGHTLY TO THE NORTH IN ORDER TO ACCOUNT FOR PERSISTENCE. THE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY AND IS EXPECTED TO PEAK BETWEEN 24 AND 36 HOURS. CPA TO ROTA IS EXPECTED APPROXIMATELY AT 021300Z6 WITH SAIPAN=S CPA ONE HOUR PRIOR TO THAT AND GUAM ONE HOUR LATER. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 011500Z7 (DTG 011353Z3), 012100Z4 (DTG 011953Z9), 020300Z5 (DTG 020153Z1) AND 020900Z1 (DTG 020753Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:23:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626543-22672>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 18:08:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA24448; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 03:56:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6839637 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 03:56:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA16486 for ; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 03:56:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA06622 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 03:56:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711010956.DAA06622@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 03:56:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 019a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 96e4f74433b6ed85308b38995e7698e6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 269 WTPN31 PGTW 010900 COR 1. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 019A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010600Z7 --- 12.1N4 151.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.1N4 151.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 13.0N4 149.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 13.8N2 146.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 14.4N9 144.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 14.9N4 141.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 15.7N3 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 010900Z0 POSITION 12.3N6 151.2E9 MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010600Z IS 38 FEET. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. HOWEVER, THE FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN MOVED SLIGHTLY TO THE NORTH IN ORDER TO ACCOUNT FOR PERSISTENCE. THE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY AND IS EXPECTED TO PEAK BETWEEN 24 AND 36 HOURS. CPA TO ROTA IS EXPECTED APPROXIMATELY AT 021300Z6 WITH SAIPANS CPA ONE HOUR PRIOR TO THAT AND GUAM ONE HOUR LATER. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 011500Z7 (DTG 011353Z3), 012100Z4 (DTG 011953Z9), 020300Z5 (DTG 020153Z1) AND 020900Z1 (DTG 020753Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION: SYSTEM NAME IN PARA. 1.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG29413050753 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:23:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626532-22683>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 18:07:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA24506; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 03:57:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6839644 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 03:57:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA50342 for ; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 03:57:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA06626 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 03:57:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711010957.DAA06626@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 03:57:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Linda (30w) Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e15efa76bfba59a616109074fa61cde2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 270 WTPN32 PGTW 010900 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010600Z7 --- 7.8N5 112.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 7.8N5 112.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 7.9N6 110.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 8.1N9 108.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 8.4N2 106.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 8.7N5 104.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 9.6N5 100.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 010900Z0 POSITION 7.8N5 111.6E9 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK WESTWARD THROUGH THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND THEN WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THEREAFTER. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AND REACH PEAK INTENSITY NEAR THE 72- HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 011500Z7 (DTG 011351Z1), 012100Z4 (DTG 011951Z7), 020300Z5 (DTG 020151Z9) AND 020900Z1 (DTG 020751Z5). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG29433050751 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:23:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626415-22683>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 18:10:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA24902; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 03:59:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6839653 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 03:59:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA22580 for ; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 03:59:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA06630 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 03:59:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711010959.DAA06630@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 03:59:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 019a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 37d3ae250fc79c00eae2ef9b4505d047 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 307 WTPN31 PGTW 010900 COR 1. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 019A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010600Z7 --- 12.1N4 151.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT PAGE 03 RUHGSGG2941 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.1N4 151.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 13.0N4 149.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 13.8N2 146.7E8 PAGE 04 RUHGSGG2941 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 14.4N9 144.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER PAGE 05 RUHGSGG2941 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 14.9N4 141.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 15.7N3 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 06 RUHGSGG2941 UNCLAS 145 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 010900Z0 POSITION 12.3N6 151.2E9 MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010600Z IS 38 FEET. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. HOWEVER, THE FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN MOVED SLIGHTLY TO THE NORTH IN ORDER TO ACCOUNT FOR PERSISTENCE. THE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY AND IS EXPECTED TO PEAK BETWEEN 24 AND 36 HOURS. CPA TO ROTA IS EXPECTED APPROXIMATELY AT 021300Z6 WITH SAIPAN'S CPA ONE HOUR PRIOR TO THAT AND GUAM ONE HOUR LATER. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 011500Z7 (DTG 011353Z3), 012100Z4 (DTG 011953Z9), 020300Z5 (DTG 020153Z1) AND 020900Z1 (DTG 020753Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION: SYSTEM NAME IN PARA. 1.// BT #2941 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:23:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626532-22681>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 18:13:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA43744; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 04:02:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6839662 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 04:02:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA25038 for ; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 04:02:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA06638 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 04:02:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711011002.EAA06638@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 04:02:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Linda (30w) Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 87111b264799199cc7f016550c00849d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 327 WTPN32 PGTW 010900 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010600Z7 --- 7.8N5 112.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 7.8N5 112.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 7.9N6 110.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG2943 UNCLAS 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 8.1N9 108.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 8.4N2 106.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHGSGG2943 UNCLAS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 8.7N5 104.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 9.6N5 100.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- PAGE 05 RUHGSGG2943 UNCLAS REMARKS: 010900Z0 POSITION 7.8N5 111.6E9 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK WESTWARD THROUGH THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND THEN WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THEREAFTER. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AND REACH PEAK INTENSITY NEAR THE 72- HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 011500Z7 (DTG 011351Z1), 012100Z4 (DTG 011951Z7), 020300Z5 (DTG 020151Z9) AND 020900Z1 (DTG 020751Z5). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #2943 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:24:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626415-22681>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 19:24:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA24420; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 05:14:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6840013 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 05:14:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA21326 for ; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 05:14:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA06739 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 05:14:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711011114.FAA06739@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 05:14:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ec8c9d8f60b8a3dc54eebb80ff8fdf39 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 657 WTPN32 PGTW 010300 PAGE 02 RUHGSGG2978 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 002 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010000Z1 --- 7.5N2 113.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 7.5N2 113.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 7.3N0 110.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG2978 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 7.5N2 107.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 7.9N6 105.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: PAGE 04 RUHGSGG2978 UNCLAS 48 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 8.3N1 103.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 9.3N2 100.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- PAGE 05 RUHGSGG2978 UNCLAS REMARKS: 010300Z4 POSITION 7.5N2 112.3E7 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK WESTWARD THROUGH THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION THEN TURN TO A WEST- NORTHWESTWARD DIRECTION. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010900Z0 (DTG 010751Z4), 011500Z7 (DTG 011351Z1), 012100Z4 (DTG 011951Z7) AND 020300Z5 (DTG 020151Z9). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #2978 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:24:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626620-22680>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 21:52:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA18344; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 07:39:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6840863 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 07:39:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA23190 for ; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 07:39:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA06818 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 07:39:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711011339.HAA06818@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 07:39:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 20 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9209f2c38fb9191dbac24770ed40fc8b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 389 WTPN31 PGTW 011500 1. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 20 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z4 --- 12.7N0 150.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.7N0 150.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 13.7N1 146.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 160 KT, GUSTS 195 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 14.2N7 143.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 14.8N3 141.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 15.4N0 138.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 16.7N4 134.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 011500Z7 POSITION 13.0N4 149.2E6 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED WHILE ACCELERATING TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI 7.5 (155 KNOTS) AND A CIRCULAR, 20 NM DIAMETER EYE THAT HAS WARMED TO 24 DEGREES CELSIUS. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS SHOWN SIGNS OF POSSIBLY MAKING A TURN MORE TO THE WEST, BUT WE ARE GOING TO WAIT FOR ADDITIONAL FIX INFORMATION DURING THE NEXT 3 HOURS BEFORE MAKING ANY SIGNIFICANT TRACK CHANGES. IF NEW RADAR AND SATELLITE FIX INFORMATION INDICATE A MORE WESTWARD TRACK, THEN WE WILL AMEND THIS WARNING AND TAKE THE TRACK FARTHER SOUTH TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE ROTA CHANNEL OR NORTHERN END OF GUAM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z4 IS 40 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 012100Z4 (DTG 011953Z9), 020300Z5 (DTG 020153Z1), 020900Z1 (DTG 020753Z7) AND 021500Z8 (DTG 021353Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:24:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626442-22683>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 23:49:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA31578; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 09:39:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6841494 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 09:37:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA22724 for ; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 09:37:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA06923 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 09:37:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711011537.JAA06923@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 09:37:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 20 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ab598137784d20f12b1f7cd18c736a16 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 665 WTPN31 PGTW 011500 1. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 20 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z4 --- 12.7N0 150.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.7N0 150.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 13.7N1 146.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 160 KT, GUSTS 195 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 14.2N7 143.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 14.8N3 141.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 15.4N0 138.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 16.7N4 134.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 011500Z7 POSITION 13.0N4 149.2E6 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED WHILE ACCELERATING TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI 7.5 (155 KNOTS) AND A CIRCULAR, 20 NM DIAMETER EYE THAT HAS WARMED TO 24 DEGREES CELSIUS. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS SHOWN SIGNS OF POSSIBLY MAKING A TURN MORE TO THE WEST, BUT WE ARE GOING TO WAIT FOR ADDITIONAL FIX INFORMATION DURING THE NEXT 3 HOURS BEFORE MAKING ANY SIGNIFICANT TRACK CHANGES. IF NEW RADAR AND SATELLITE FIX INFORMATION INDICATE A MORE WESTWARD TRACK, THEN WE WILL AMEND THIS WARNING AND TAKE THE TRACK FARTHER SOUTH TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE ROTA CHANNEL OR NORTHERN END OF GUAM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z4 IS 40 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 012100Z4 (DTG 011953Z9), 020300Z5 (DTG 020153Z1), 020900Z1 (DTG 020753Z7) AND 021500Z8 (DTG 021353Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG30273051353 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:24:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626667-22681>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 23:51:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA44112; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 09:43:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6841519 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 09:41:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA40466 for ; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 09:41:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA06931 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 09:41:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711011541.JAA06931@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 09:41:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 20 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c7fbaa0f23c620e171c2466e6269db6c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 770 WTPN31 PGTW 011500 1. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 20 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z4 --- 12.7N0 150.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG3027 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.7N0 150.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 13.7N1 146.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 160 KT, GUSTS 195 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHGSGG3027 UNCLAS 021200Z5 --- 14.2N7 143.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 14.8N3 141.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: PAGE 05 RUHGSGG3027 UNCLAS 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 15.4N0 138.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 16.7N4 134.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: PAGE 06 RUHGSGG3027 UNCLAS 011500Z7 POSITION 13.0N4 149.2E6 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED WHILE ACCELERATING TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI 7.5 (155 KNOTS) AND A CIRCULAR, 20 NM DIAMETER EYE THAT HAS WARMED TO 24 DEGREES CELSIUS. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS SHOWN SIGNS OF POSSIBLY MAKING A TURN MORE TO THE WEST, BUT WE ARE GOING TO WAIT FOR ADDITIONAL FIX INFORMATION DURING THE NEXT 3 HOURS BEFORE MAKING ANY SIGNIFICANT TRACK CHANGES. IF NEW RADAR AND SATELLITE FIX INFORMATION INDICATE A MORE WESTWARD TRACK, THEN WE WILL AMEND THIS WARNING AND TAKE THE TRACK FARTHER SOUTH TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE ROTA CHANNEL OR NORTHERN END OF GUAM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z4 IS 40 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 012100Z4 (DTG 011953Z9), 020300Z5 (DTG 020153Z1), 020900Z1 (DTG 020753Z7) AND 021500Z8 (DTG 021353Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// PAGE 07 RUHGSGG3027 UNCLAS BT #3027 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:24:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626653-22672>; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 01:04:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA14820; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 10:53:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6842185 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 10:52:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA18364 for ; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 10:52:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA07013 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 10:52:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711011652.KAA07013@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 10:52:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Linda (30w) Warning Nr 04 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 438ebac392cda78440575c0b465b0dfe Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 092 WTPN32 PGTW 011500 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 04 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z4 --- 8.0N8 110.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.0N8 110.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 8.3N1 108.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 8.8N6 106.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 9.3N2 104.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 9.8N7 102.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 11.0N2 99.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 011500Z7 POSITION 8.1N9 110.2E4 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) HAS INTENSIFIED WHILE TRACKING WESTWARD DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. OUR TRACK FORECAST WAS ADJUSTED NORTHWARD SLIGHTLY BASED ON BETTER SATELLITE FIX INFORMATION. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 011130Z8 SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF CI 3.0 (45 KNOTS) FROM JTWC, KGWC, AND KWBC SATELLITE ANALYSTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z4 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 012100Z4 (DTG 011951Z7), 020300Z5 (DTG 020151Z9), 020900Z1 (DTG 020751Z5) AND 021500Z8 (DTG 021351Z2). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (30W)WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG30493051351 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:24:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626692-22683>; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 01:07:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA42768; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 10:53:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6842194 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 10:53:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA35066 for ; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 10:53:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA07017 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 10:53:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711011653.KAA07017@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 10:53:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Linda (30w) Warning Nr 04 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 442285e1d0328c537590d46544497a26 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 121 WTPN32 PGTW 011500 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 04 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASEDE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z4 --- 8.0N8 110.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.0N8 110.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 8.3N1 108.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 8.8N6 106.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 9.3N2 104.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 9.8N7 102.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 11.0N2 99.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 011500Z7 POSITION 8.1N9 110.2E4 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) HAS INTENSIFIED WHILE TRACKING WESTWARD DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. OUR TRACK FORECAST WAS ADJUSTED NORTHWARD SLIGHTLY BASED ON BETTER SATELLITE FIX INFORMATION. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 011130Z8 SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF CI 3.0 (45 KNOTS) FROM JTWC, KGWC, AND KWBC SATELLITE ANALYSTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z4 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 012100Z4 (DTG 011951Z7), 020300Z5 (DTG 020151Z9), 020900Z1 (DTG 020751Z5) AND 021500Z8 (DTG 021351Z2). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (30W)WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:24:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626692-22681>; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 01:05:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA14716; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 10:54:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6842203 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 10:53:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA24378 for ; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 10:53:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA07021 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 10:53:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711011653.KAA07021@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 10:53:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Linda (30w) Warning Nr 04 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: da976a66c72fe9270e5de7b7de4c8d09 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 122 WTPN32 PGTW 011500 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 04 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z4 --- 8.0N8 110.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.0N8 110.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 8.3N1 108.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 8.8N6 106.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 9.3N2 104.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 9.8N7 102.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 11.0N2 99.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 011500Z7 POSITION 8.1N9 110.2E4 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) HAS INTENSIFIED WHILE TRACKING WESTWARD DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. OUR TRACK FORECAST WAS ADJUSTED NORTHWARD SLIGHTLY BASED ON BETTER SATELLITE FIX INFORMATION. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 011130Z8 SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF CI 3.0 (45 KNOTS) FROM JTWC, KGWC, AND KWBC SATELLITE ANALYSTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z4 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 012100Z4 (DTG 011951Z7), 020300Z5 (DTG 020151Z9), 020900Z1 (DTG 020751Z5) AND 021500Z8 (DTG 021351Z2). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (30W)WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG30343051351 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:24:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626692-22683>; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 01:06:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA32136; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 10:56:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6842237 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 10:56:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA32104 for ; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 10:56:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA07026 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 10:56:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711011656.KAA07026@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 10:56:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Linda (30w) Warning Nr 04 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: de920c604997b19a45dcc29cf73a04cd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 156 WTPN32 PGTW 011500 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 04 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z4 --- 8.0N8 110.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.0N8 110.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 8.3N1 108.6E5 PAGE 03 RUHGSGG3049 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 8.8N6 106.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 9.3N2 104.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG3049 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 9.8N7 102.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 11.0N2 99.2E0 PAGE 05 RUHGSGG3049 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 011500Z7 POSITION 8.1N9 110.2E4 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) HAS INTENSIFIED WHILE TRACKING WESTWARD DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. OUR TRACK FORECAST WAS ADJUSTED NORTHWARD SLIGHTLY BASED ON BETTER SATELLITE FIX INFORMATION. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 011130Z8 SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF CI 3.0 (45 KNOTS) FROM JTWC, KGWC, AND KWBC SATELLITE ANALYSTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z4 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 012100Z4 (DTG 011951Z7), 020300Z5 (DTG 020151Z9), 020900Z1 (DTG 020751Z5) AND PAGE 06 RUHGSGG3049 UNCLAS 021500Z8 (DTG 021351Z2). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (30W)WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #3049 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:24:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626709-22681>; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 01:08:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA14682; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 10:59:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6842258 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 10:59:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA44358 for ; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 10:59:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA07030 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 10:59:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711011659.KAA07030@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 10:59:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Linda (30w) Warning Nr 04 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9a50167f415e35d1428820385767a64f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 202 WTPN32 PGTW 011500 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 04 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z4 --- 8.0N8 110.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.0N8 110.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 8.3N1 108.6E5 PAGE 03 RUHGSGG3034 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 8.8N6 106.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 9.3N2 104.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG3034 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 9.8N7 102.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 11.0N2 99.2E0 PAGE 05 RUHGSGG3034 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 011500Z7 POSITION 8.1N9 110.2E4 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) HAS INTENSIFIED WHILE TRACKING WESTWARD DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. OUR TRACK FORECAST WAS ADJUSTED NORTHWARD SLIGHTLY BASED ON BETTER SATELLITE FIX INFORMATION. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 011130Z8 SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF CI 3.0 (45 KNOTS) FROM JTWC, KGWC, AND KWBC SATELLITE ANALYSTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z4 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 012100Z4 (DTG 011951Z7), 020300Z5 (DTG 020151Z9), 020900Z1 (DTG 020751Z5) AND PAGE 06 RUHGSGG3034 UNCLAS 021500Z8 (DTG 021351Z2). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (30W)WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #3034 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:24:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626009-22672>; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 03:33:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA13436; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 13:24:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6843419 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 13:24:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA42592 for ; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 13:24:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA07236 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 13:24:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711011924.NAA07236@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 13:24:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 21 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 173de2ae910196dace110862c56374b8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 201 WTPN31 PGTW 012100 1. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 21 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011800Z0 --- 13.3N7 148.6E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND DOPPLER RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 160 KT, GUSTS 195 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.3N7 148.6E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 14.1N6 145.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 14.5N0 143.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 14.9N4 140.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z+RRE 138.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 16.5N2 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 012100Z4 POSITION 13.5N9 147.9E1 DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY WHILE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT A SLIGHTLY SLOWER SPEED OF 16 KNOTS. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS NOW BECOME ONE OF THE MOST INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONES ON RECORD WITH AN ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 872 MB. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 011730Z2 DVORAK SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF CI8.0 (160+ KNOTS) AND CI7.5 (155 TO 160 KNOTS) FROM JTWC AND KWBC SATELLITE ANALYSTS, RESPECTIVELY. THE GUAM DOPPLER RADAR HAS BEEN INDICATING AN EYE FOR NEARLY 2 HOURS NOW AT ALTITUDES ABOVE 55,000 FEET MSL, AND BOTH SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGERY INDICATE KEITH HAS MADE ANOTHER WESTWARD JOG DURING THE PAST 02 HOURS. OVER THE PAST 18 HOURS, KEITH HAS BEEN MAKING SMALL LOOPS IN THE TRACK EVERY 06 HOURS. WHETHER OR NOT SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) TRACKS NORTH OR SOUTH OF ROTA WILL DEPEND ON THE TIMING AND SIZE OF THE LOOPING MOTION. OUR FORECAST TRACK CALLS FOR KEITH TO BASICALLY TRACK DIRECTLY OVER THE ISLAND OF ROTA IN ABOUT 14 HOURS. THE 100-KNOT WIND RADII WERE EXPANDED SLIGHTLY TO ACCOUNT FOR KEITH=S SLIGHT WEAKENING AFTER 06 TO 12 HOURS AND EXPECTED INCREASE IN THE EYE DIAMETER FROM THE CURRENT 20 NM OUT TO AT LEAST 25 NM BY THE TIME IT PASSES OVER ROTA. THE 35-KNOT WIND RADII WERE EXPANDED AFTER 36 HOURS TO ACCOUNT FOR INTERACTION WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH AND LONG NORTHEASTERLY WIND FETCH OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF JAPAN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z0 IS 45 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z5 (DTG 020153Z1), 020900Z1 (DTG 020753Z7), 021500Z8 (DTG 021353Z4) AND 022100Z5 (DTG 021953Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:24:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626600-22681>; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 04:20:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA35158; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 14:12:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6843622 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 14:12:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA04376 for ; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 14:12:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA07306 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 14:12:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711012012.OAA07306@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 14:12:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 21 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cc3f6005102b789d0782d271e10f1bfc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 957 WTPN31 PGTW 012100 1. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 21 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011800Z0 --- 13.3N7 148.6E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND DOPPLER RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 160 KT, GUSTS 195 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.3N7 148.6E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 14.1N6 145.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 14.5N0 143.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 14.9N4 140.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 15.5N1 138.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 16.5N2 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 012100Z4 POSITION 13.5N9 147.9E1 DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY WHILE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT A SLIGHTLY SLOWER SPEED OF 16 KNOTS. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS NOW BECOME ONE OF THE MOST INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONES ON RECORD WITH AN ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 872 MB. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 011730Z2 DVORAK SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF CI8.0 (160+ KNOTS) AND CI7.5 (155 TO 160 KNOTS) FROM JTWC AND KWBC SATELLITE ANALYSTS, RESPECTIVELY. THE GUAM DOPPLER RADAR HAS BEEN INDICATING AN EYE FOR NEARLY 2 HOURS NOW AT ALTITUDES ABOVE 55,000 FEET MSL, AND BOTH SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGERY INDICATE KEITH HAS MADE ANOTHER WESTWARD JOG DURING THE PAST 02 HOURS. OVER THE PAST 18 HOURS, KEITH HAS BEEN MAKING SMALL LOOPS IN THE TRACK EVERY 06 HOURS. WHETHER OR NOT SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) TRACKS NORTH OR SOUTH OF ROTA WILL DEPEND ON THE TIMING AND SIZE OF THE LOOPING MOTION. OUR FORECAST TRACK CALLS FOR KEITH TO BASICALLY TRACK DIRECTLY OVER THE ISLAND OF ROTA IN ABOUT 14 HOURS. THE 100-KNOT WIND RADII WERE EXPANDED SLIGHTLY TO ACCOUNT FOR KEITHS SLIGHT WEAKENING AFTER 06 TO 12 HOURS AND EXPECTED INCREASE IN THE EYE DIAMETER FROM THE CURRENT 20 NM OUT TO AT LEAST 25 NM BY THE TIME IT PASSES OVER ROTA. THE 35-KNOT WIND RADII WERE EXPANDED AFTER 36 HOURS TO ACCOUNT FOR INTERACTION WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH AND LONG NORTHEASTERLY WIND FETCH OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF JAPAN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z0 IS 45 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z5 (DTG 020153Z1), 020900Z1 (DTG 020753Z7), 021500Z8 (DTG 021353Z4) AND 022100Z5 (DTG 021953Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG31083051953 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:24:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626600-22683>; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 04:26:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA13476; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 14:17:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6843637 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 14:17:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA35216 for ; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 14:17:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA07312 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 14:17:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711012017.OAA07312@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 14:17:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 21 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 50e26cbf9dc72929a538c49a2a409591 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 145 WTPN31 PGTW 012100 1. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 21 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011800Z0 --- 13.3N7 148.6E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND DOPPLER RADAR PAGE 03 RUHGSGG3108 UNCLAS PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 160 KT, GUSTS 195 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.3N7 148.6E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 14.1N6 145.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHGSGG3108 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 14.5N0 143.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 14.9N4 140.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- PAGE 05 RUHGSGG3108 UNCLAS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 15.5N1 138.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 16.5N2 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE --- PAGE 06 RUHGSGG3108 UNCLAS REMARKS: 012100Z4 POSITION 13.5N9 147.9E1 DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY WHILE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT A SLIGHTLY SLOWER SPEED OF 16 KNOTS. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS NOW BECOME ONE OF THE MOST INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONES ON RECORD WITH AN ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 872 MB. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 011730Z2 DVORAK SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF CI8.0 (160+ KNOTS) AND CI7.5 (155 TO 160 KNOTS) FROM JTWC AND KWBC SATELLITE ANALYSTS, RESPECTIVELY. THE GUAM DOPPLER RADAR HAS BEEN INDICATING AN EYE FOR NEARLY 2 HOURS NOW AT ALTITUDES ABOVE 55,000 FEET MSL, AND BOTH SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGERY INDICATE KEITH HAS MADE ANOTHER WESTWARD JOG DURING THE PAST 02 HOURS. OVER THE PAST 18 HOURS, KEITH HAS BEEN MAKING SMALL LOOPS IN THE TRACK EVERY 06 HOURS. WHETHER OR NOT SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) TRACKS NORTH OR SOUTH OF ROTA WILL DEPEND ON THE TIMING AND SIZE OF THE LOOPING MOTION. OUR FORECAST TRACK CALLS FOR KEITH TO BASICALLY TRACK DIRECTLY OVER PAGE 07 RUHGSGG3108 UNCLAS THE ISLAND OF ROTA IN ABOUT 14 HOURS. THE 100-KNOT WIND RADII WERE EXPANDED SLIGHTLY TO ACCOUNT FOR KEITH'S SLIGHT WEAKENING AFTER 06 TO 12 HOURS AND EXPECTED INCREASE IN THE EYE DIAMETER FROM THE CURRENT 20 NM OUT TO AT LEAST 25 NM BY THE TIME IT PASSES OVER ROTA. THE 35-KNOT WIND RADII WERE EXPANDED AFTER 36 HOURS TO ACCOUNT FOR INTERACTION WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH AND LONG NORTHEASTERLY WIND FETCH OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF JAPAN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z0 IS 45 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z5 (DTG 020153Z1), 020900Z1 (DTG 020753Z7), 021500Z8 (DTG 021353Z4) AND 022100Z5 (DTG 021953Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #3108 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:24:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626521-22680>; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 05:18:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA50224; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 15:10:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6844281 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 15:10:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA24518 for ; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 15:10:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA07386 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 15:09:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711012109.PAA07386@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 15:09:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Linda (30w) Warning Nr 04 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4ba35aa72517fec3bf7cc3c6a19289df Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 933 WTPN32 PGTW 011500 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 04 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z4 --- 8.0N8 110.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.0N8 110.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 8.3N1 108.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 8.8N6 106.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 9.3N2 104.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 9.8N7 102.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 11.0N2 99.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 011500Z7 POSITION 8.1N9 110.2E4 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) HAS INTENSIFIED WHILE TRACKING WESTWARD DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. OUR TRACK FORECAST WAS ADJUSTED NORTHWARD SLIGHTLY BASED ON BETTER SATELLITE FIX INFORMATION. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 011130Z8 SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF CI 3.0 (45 KNOTS) FROM JTWC, KGWC, AND KWBC SATELLITE ANALYSTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z4 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 012100Z4 (DTG 011951Z7), 020300Z5 (DTG 020151Z9), 020900Z1 (DTG 020751Z5) AND 021500Z8 (DTG 021351Z2). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (30W)WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG30493051351 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:24:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626521-22672>; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 05:17:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA50198; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 15:10:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6844276 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 15:10:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA42722 for ; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 15:10:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA07390 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 15:10:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711012110.PAA07390@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 15:10:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Linda (30w) Warning Nr 04 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a42c16b5adac9a701fc1f7001e6f499f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 934 WTPN32 PGTW 011500 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 04 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z4 --- 8.0N8 110.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.0N8 110.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 8.3N1 108.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 8.8N6 106.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 9.3N2 104.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 9.8N7 102.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 11.0N2 99.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 011500Z7 POSITION 8.1N9 110.2E4 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) HAS INTENSIFIED WHILE TRACKING WESTWARD DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. OUR TRACK FORECAST WAS ADJUSTED NORTHWARD SLIGHTLY BASED ON BETTER SATELLITE FIX INFORMATION. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 011130Z8 SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF CI 3.0 (45 KNOTS) FROM JTWC, KGWC, AND KWBC SATELLITE ANALYSTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z4 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 012100Z4 (DTG 011951Z7), 020300Z5 (DTG 020151Z9), 020900Z1 (DTG 020751Z5) AND 021500Z8 (DTG 021351Z2). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (30W)WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG30343051351 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:24:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626521-22672>; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 06:01:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA50284; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 15:53:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6844822 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 15:53:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA22618 for ; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 15:53:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA07449 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 15:53:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711012153.PAA07449@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 15:53:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Linda (30w) Warning Nr 05 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3b3d2847303b0af14622644cad348122 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 725 WTPN32 PGTW 012100 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 05 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011800Z0 --- 8.5N3 109.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.5N3 109.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 9.0N9 106.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 9.6N5 104.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 10.1N2 102.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 10.6N7 100.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 11.9N1 97.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 012100Z4 POSITION 8.6N4 108.4E3 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AND RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF CI3.5 (55 TO 60 KNOTS) FROM JTWC, KGWC, AND KWBC SATELLITE ANALYSTS, AND LINDA IS NEARING TYPHOON INTENSITY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z0 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z5 (DTG 020151Z9), 020900Z1 (DTG 020751Z5), 021500Z8 (DTG 021351Z2) AND 022100Z5 (DTG 021951Z8). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG31283051951 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:24:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626106-17594>; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 10:15:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA42888; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 20:05:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6846406 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 20:05:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA29292 for ; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 20:05:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA01026 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 20:05:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711020205.UAA01026@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 20:05:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 022 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 610cea76209d18d48df31be5af0a78c4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 251 WTPN31 PGTW 020300 1. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 022 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z2 --- 13.9N3 147.2E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND DOPPLER RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 160 KT, GUSTS 195 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 155 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.9N3 147.2E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 14.5N0 144.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 15.2N8 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 15.9N5 139.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 16.9N6 137.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 19.1N1 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 020300Z5 POSITION 14.1N6 146.5E6 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR OR AT PEAK INTENSITY. THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK IS ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY NORTH TO ACCOUNT FOR PERSISTENCE. HOWEVER, STY KEITH (29W) CONTINUES TO OSCILLATE AND HAS BEEN ON A WESTWARD JOG OVER THE PAST THREE HOURS. THIS IS EXPECTED TO BE A TEMPORARY TREND BASED ON PAST BEHAVIOR. TIME OF CPA OVER ROTA IS 020900Z1. BETWEEN 36 AND 48 HOURS, SLOWING AND A MORE NORTHWARD COURSE IS FORECAST TO BEGIN IN PREPARATION FOR AN EVENTUAL RECURVE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z IS 45 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020900Z1 (DTG 020753Z7), 021500Z8 (DTG 021353Z4), 022100Z5 (DTG 021953Z0) AND 030300Z6 (DTG 030153Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:24:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626331-17594>; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 12:52:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA09530; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 22:40:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6847770 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 22:40:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA19494 for ; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 22:40:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA01165 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 22:40:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711020440.WAA01165@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 22:40:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 022 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 891f1f4bd7f5fa6d587a1eba3af51b44 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 194 WTPN31 PGTW 020300 1. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 022 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z2 --- 13.9N3 147.2E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND DOPPLER RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 160 KT, GUSTS 195 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 155 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.9N3 147.2E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 14.5N0 144.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 15.2N8 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 15.9N5 139.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 16.9N6 137.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 19.1N1 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 020300Z5 POSITION 14.1N6 146.5E6 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR OR AT PEAK INTENSITY. THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK IS ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY NORTH TO ACCOUNT FOR PERSISTENCE. HOWEVER, STY KEITH (29W) CONTINUES TO OSCILLATE AND HAS BEEN ON A WESTWARD JOG OVER THE PAST THREE HOURS. THIS IS EXPECTED TO BE A TEMPORARY TREND BASED ON PAST BEHAVIOR. TIME OF CPA OVER ROTA IS 020900Z1. BETWEEN 36 AND 48 HOURS, SLOWING AND A MORE NORTHWARD COURSE IS FORECAST TO BEGIN IN PREPARATION FOR AN EVENTUAL RECURVE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z IS 45 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020900Z1 (DTG 020753Z7), 021500Z8 (DTG 021353Z4), 022100Z5 (DTG 021953Z0) AND 030300Z6 (DTG 030153Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG31753060153 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:24:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626296-17588>; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 13:01:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA29290; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 22:49:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6847823 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 22:49:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA16468 for ; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 22:49:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA01173 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 22:49:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711020449.WAA01173@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 22:49:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Linda (30w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4a9aa4db0a2953094b55c6ee8484b0f0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 302 WTPN32 PGTW 020300 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z2 --- 8.5N3 107.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.5N3 107.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 8.9N7 105.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 9.5N4 102.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 10.2N3 100.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 10.8N9 98.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 12.0N3 96.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 020300Z5 POSITION 8.6N4 107.0E8 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TS LINDA (30W) IS ANTICIPATED TO REACH TYPHOON STRENGTH NEAR THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. THE FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO VARY AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS OVER LAND AND OPEN SEA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020900Z1 (DTG 020751Z5), 021500Z8 (DTG 021351Z2), 022100Z5 (DTG 021951Z8) AND 030300Z6 (DTG 030151Z0). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG31913060151 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:24:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626441-17595>; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 14:44:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA13454; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 00:27:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6848808 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 00:27:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA52862 for ; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 00:24:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA01330 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 00:24:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711020624.AAA01330@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 00:24:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a3099dd5f4ed56b787e64ec670d03539 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 888 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z/030600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/020153ZNOV97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/020151ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 020000Z2 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 13.9N3 147.2E4 AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 160 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 195 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 22 (WTPN31 PGTW 020300)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 020000Z2 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUST TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 06 (WPTN32 PGTW 020300)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNSFORD/SULLINS/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG32253060551 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:24:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626399-17591>; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 16:46:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA28612; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 02:34:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6849445 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 02:34:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA22564 for ; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 02:33:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA01444 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 02:33:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711020833.CAA01444@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 02:33:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 023 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ceacd79b73acd0dd6b766697fa8cc5d5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 525 WTPN31 PGTW 020900 1. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 023 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020600Z8 --- 14.5N0 145.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N0 145.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 15.3N9 143.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 16.2N9 141.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 17.1N9 138.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 18.0N9 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 19.9N9 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 020900Z1 POSITION 14.7N2 145.2E2 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. WIND RADII HAVE BEEN LARGELY ADJUSTED BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR WIND DEPICTION AND SYNOPTIC DATA. SUBSTANTIAL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AFTER TIME OF CPA AS LOW-LEVEL INFLOW IS SIGNIFICANT IN THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST QUADRANTS. THERE ARE NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020600Z IS 45 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021500Z8 (DTG 021353Z4), 022100Z5 (DTG 021953Z0), 030300Z6 (DTG 030153Z2) AND 030900Z2 (DTG 030753Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:24:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626500-17588>; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 16:54:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA23094; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 02:43:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6849461 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 02:43:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA22564 for ; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 02:43:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA01456 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 02:43:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711020843.CAA01456@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 02:43:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Linda (30w) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b56e147242303b40b8830d17bce8a10b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 647 WTPN32 PGTW 020900 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020600Z8 --- 8.8N6 105.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.8N6 105.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 9.0N9 103.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 9.3N2 100.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 9.9N8 99.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 10.5N6 97.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 11.9N1 93.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 020900Z1 POSITION 8.8N6 105.2E8 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST THROUGH THE 24-HOUR PERIOD THEN WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THEREAFTER. TS LINDA (30W) IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE FORWARD SPEED OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO VARY AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS OVER LAND AND OPEN SEA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020600Z IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021500Z8 (DTG 021351Z2), 022100Z5 (DTG 021951Z8), 030300Z6 (DTG 030151Z0) AND 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:24:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626176-17588>; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 17:08:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA28442; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 02:56:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6849518 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 02:56:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA50182 for ; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 02:56:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA01461 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 02:56:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711020856.CAA01461@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 02:56:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 023 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a76e74a796bb9c78330e83ce54966506 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 793 WTPN31 PGTW 020900 1. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 023 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020600Z8 --- 14.5N0 145.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N0 145.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 15.3N9 143.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 16.2N9 141.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 17.1N9 138.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 18.0N9 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 19.9N9 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 020900Z1 POSITION 14.7N2 145.2E2 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. WIND RADII HAVE BEEN LARGELY ADJUSTED BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR WIND DEPICTION AND SYNOPTIC DATA. SUBSTANTIAL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AFTER TIME OF CPA AS LOW-LEVEL INFLOW IS SIGNIFICANT IN THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST QUADRANTS. THERE ARE NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020600Z IS 45 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021500Z8 (DTG 021353Z4), 022100Z5 (DTG 021953Z0), 030300Z6 (DTG 030153Z2) AND 030900Z2 (DTG 030753Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG32683060753 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:24:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626541-17591>; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 18:54:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA18412; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 04:44:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6850005 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 04:44:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA16602 for ; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 04:44:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA01725 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 04:44:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711021044.EAA01725@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 04:44:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Linda (30w) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 266ad693a78765a655c51181e5551230 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 818 WTPN32 PGTW 020900 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020600Z8 --- 8.8N6 105.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.8N6 105.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 9.0N9 103.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 9.3N2 100.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 9.9N8 99.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 10.5N6 97.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 11.9N1 93.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 020900Z1 POSITION 8.8N6 105.2E8 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST THROUGH THE 24-HOUR PERIOD THEN WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THEREAFTER. TS LINDA (30W) IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE FORWARD SPEED OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO VARY AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS OVER LAND AND OPEN SEA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020600Z IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021500Z8 (DTG 021351Z2), 022100Z5 (DTG 021951Z8), 030300Z6 (DTG 030151Z0) AND 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG33383060751 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:24:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626576-17594>; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 22:43:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA18354; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 08:32:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6851272 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 08:32:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA23876 for ; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 08:31:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA01853 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 08:31:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711021431.IAA01853@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 08:31:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Linda (30w) Warning Nr 08 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0b04ea9f3ec0f0513af0cbf0061a1de8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 144 WTPN32 PGTW 021500 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 08 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021200Z5 --- 9.2N1 104.6E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 9.2N1 104.6E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 9.7N6 102.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 10.2N3 100.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 10.7N8 98.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 11.2N4 96.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 12.5N8 92.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 021500Z8 POSITION 9.3N2 104.0E5 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIP OF VIETNAM DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS WHILE REMAINING NEARLYSTEADY IN INTENSITY. OUR FORECAST TRACK IS SLIGHTLY FARTHER NORTH THAN OUR PREVIOUS WARNING BASED ON THE FARTHER NORTH INITIAL POSITION AS SEEN IN SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z5 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 022100Z5 (DTG 021951Z8), 030300Z6 (DTG 030151Z0), 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6) AND 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 10:46:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626588-17594>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 00:04:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA16558; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 09:55:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6851821 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 09:54:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA23898 for ; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 09:54:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA01918 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 09:54:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711021554.JAA01918@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 09:54:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Linda (30w) Warning Nr 08 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6676486479b8c84574c46f8be3dfc6d6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 606 WTPN32 PGTW 021500 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 08 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021200Z5 --- 9.2N1 104.6E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 9.2N1 104.6E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 9.7N6 102.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 10.2N3 100.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 10.7N8 98.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 11.2N4 96.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 12.5N8 92.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 021500Z8 POSITION 9.3N2 104.0E5 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIP OF VIETNAM DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS WHILE REMAINING NEARLYSTEADY IN INTENSITY. OUR FORECAST TRACK IS SLIGHTLY FARTHER NORTH THAN OUR PREVIOUS WARNING BASED ON THE FARTHER NORTH INITIAL POSITION AS SEEN IN SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z5 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 022100Z5 (DTG 021951Z8), 030300Z6 (DTG 030151Z0), 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6) AND 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG34073061351 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 10:46:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626580-17591>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 00:03:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA18176; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 09:56:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6851832 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 09:55:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA16618 for ; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 09:55:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA01926 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 09:55:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711021555.JAA01926@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 09:55:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 24 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a42aea102d93a25518c8cc9f6fe793d8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 612 WTPN31 PGTW 021500 1. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 24 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021200Z5 --- 14.8N3 144.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND DOPPLER RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.8N3 144.3E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 15.6N2 141.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 16.4N1 139.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 17.4N2 137.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 19.0N0 135.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 22.0N4 135.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 021500Z8 POSITION 15.0N6 143.6E4 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE SOUTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS WHILE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF 121130Z8 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 7.0 AND 7.5 (140 TO 155 KNOTS), AND DOPPLER VELOCITIES OF 140 TO 145 KNOTS BETWEEN 7,000 AND 32,000 FEET ABOUT SEA LEVEL ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE EYEWALL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z5 IS 44 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 022100Z5 (DTG 021953Z0), 030300Z6 (DTG 030153Z2), 030900Z2 (DTG 030753Z8) AND 031500Z9 (DTG 031353Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG34023061353 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 10:46:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626635-17594>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 01:38:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA47202; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 11:29:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6853013 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 11:29:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA45438 for ; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 11:27:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA02036 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 11:27:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711021727.LAA02036@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 11:27:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4ac68d17a04c0c57c6fb8ec9ea7be44d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 473 ABPW10 PGTW 021730 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/021730Z/030600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/021353ZNOV97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/021351ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 021200Z5 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 14.8N3 144.3E2 AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 150 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 180 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 24 (WTPN31 PGTW 021500)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 021200Z5 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUST TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 08 (WPTN32 PGTW 021500)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED AND PERSISTED FOR MORE THAN 12 HOURS NEAR 5N5 175E3. 021200Z5 SYNOPTIC DATA, SATELLITE ANIMATION, AND EARLIER SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATE A BROAD, BUT WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXISTS BENEATH VERY DIFLUENT FLOW ALOFT. SCATTEROMETER DATA AND SATELLITE ANIMATION INDICATE A GOOD WESTERLY WIND BURST HAS DEVELOPED ALONG THE EQUATOR FROM 165E2 LONGITUDE EASTWARD TO THE DATELINE. ALSO, THE 021200Z5 MAJURO (WMO 91376) SOUNDING INDICATES THIS CIRCULATION IS VERTICALLY DEEP BASED ON THE 30 TO 35 KNOT NORTHEASTERLY WINDS FROM 925 MB UP TO 700 MB. HOWEVER, THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM EXISTS IN TWO BANDS WELL TO THE NORTHWEST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. OWING TO THE RELATIVELY DRY AIR PRESENT IN THE MAJURO SOUNDING FROM 925 MB UP TO 600 MB, LITTLE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUANCE OF THIS ADVISORY: TO ADD POOR SUSPECT AREA IN PARAGRAPH 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 10:46:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626692-17594>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 02:45:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA21448; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 12:37:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6853551 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 12:37:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA50302 for ; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 12:37:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA02102 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 12:37:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711021837.MAA02102@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 12:37:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1835b98a6bee47ddede39e07c5174b36 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 948 ABPW10 PGTW 021730 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/021730Z/030600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/021353ZNOV97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/021351ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 021200Z5 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 14.8N3 144.3E2 AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 150 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 180 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 24 (WTPN31 PGTW 021500)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 021200Z5 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUST TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 08 (WPTN32 PGTW 021500)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED AND PERSISTED FOR MORE THAN 12 HOURS NEAR 5N5 175E3. 021200Z5 SYNOPTIC DATA, SATELLITE ANIMATION, AND EARLIER SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATE A BROAD, BUT WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXISTS BENEATH VERY DIFLUENT FLOW ALOFT. SCATTEROMETER DATA AND SATELLITE ANIMATION INDICATE A GOOD WESTERLY WIND BURST HAS DEVELOPED ALONG THE EQUATOR FROM 165E2 LONGITUDE EASTWARD TO THE DATELINE. ALSO, THE 021200Z5 MAJURO (WMO 91376) SOUNDING INDICATES THIS CIRCULATION IS VERTICALLY DEEP BASED ON THE 30 TO 35 KNOT NORTHEASTERLY WINDS FROM 925 MB UP TO 700 MB. HOWEVER, THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM EXISTS IN TWO BANDS WELL TO THE NORTHWEST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. OWING TO THE RELATIVELY DRY AIR PRESENT IN THE MAJURO SOUNDING FROM 925 MB UP TO 600 MB, LITTLE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUANCE OF THIS ADVISORY: TO ADD POOR SUSPECT AREA IN PARAGRAPH 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/EIBLING/BACON// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG34453061721 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 10:46:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626692-17588>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 02:59:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA23084; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 12:50:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6853613 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 12:50:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA42506 for ; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 12:50:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA02126 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 12:50:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711021850.MAA02126@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 12:50:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weatherladvisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 43cd65e62e132836f39f5bf0ef9e5a72 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 238 ABPW10 PGTW 021730 VSGID/GENADMIN/NAV8+359::3, 235 <7// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHERLADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/021730Z/030600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/021353ZNOV97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/021351ZNOV97// RMKS? 1. WESTERN NORTH PAIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARYCEEDA I LB AT 021200Z5 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 14.8N3 144.3E2 AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 150 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 180 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 24 (WTPN31 PGTW 021500)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER HOM LQGM KWL AT 021200Z5 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWNXRB CDQJIGKNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUST TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TRTPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 08 (WPTN32 PGTW 021500)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. SOUNDING INDICATES THIS CIRCULATION IS VERTICALLY DEEP BASED ON THTL30 TO 35 KNOT NORTHEASTERLY WINDS FROM 925 MB UP TO 700 MB. HOWEVER RELATIVELY DRY AIR PRESENT IN THE MAJURO SOUNDING FROM 925 MB UP TO 600 MB, LITTLE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO ?1128;.?. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUANCE OF THIS ADVISORY: TO ADD POOR SUSPECT AREA IN PARAGRAPH 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/EIBLING/BACON// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG34453061721 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 10:46:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626676-17588>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 03:13:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA50334; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 13:02:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6853655 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 13:02:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA42634 for ; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 13:02:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA02138 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 13:02:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711021902.NAA02138@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 13:02:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 022 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 838a9b05e340a02a08bc7a017045f26a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 459 WTPN31 PGTW 020300 1. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 022 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z2 --- 13.9N3 147.2E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND DOPPLER RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 160 KT, GUSTS 195 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 155 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.9N3 147.2E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 14.5N0 144.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 15.2N8 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 15.9N5 139.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 16.9N6 137.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 19.1N1 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 020300Z5 POSITION 14.1N6 146.5E6 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR OR AT PEAK INTENSITY. THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK IS ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY NORTH TO ACCOUNT FOR PERSISTENCE. HOWEVER, STY KEITH (29W) CONTINUES TO OSCILLATE AND HAS BEEN ON A WESTWARD JOG OVER THE PAST THREE HOURS. THIS IS EXPECTED TO BE A TEMPORARY TREND BASED ON PAST BEHAVIOR. TIME OF CPA OVER ROTA IS 020900Z1. BETWEEN 36 AND 48 HOURS, SLOWING AND A MORE NORTHWARD COURSE IS FORECAST TO BEGIN IN PREPARATION FOR AN EVENTUAL RECURVE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z IS 45 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020900Z1 (DTG 020753Z7), 021500Z8 (DTG 021353Z4), 022100Z5 (DTG 021953Z0) AND 030300Z6 (DTG 030153Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG31753060153 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 10:46:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626692-17588>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 03:11:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA32202; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 13:02:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6853660 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 13:02:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA14516 for ; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 13:02:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA02142 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 13:02:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711021902.NAA02142@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 13:02:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Linda (30w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 761f6c4a5a63b2c08a19f540b7703772 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 500 WTPN32 PGTW 020300 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z2 --- 8.5N3 107.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.5N3 107.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 8.9N7 105.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 9.5N4 102.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 10.2N3 100.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 10.8N9 98.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 12.0N3 96.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 020300Z5 POSITION 8.6N4 107.0E8 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TS LINDA (30W) IS ANTICIPATED TO REACH TYPHOON STRENGTH NEAR THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. THE FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO VARY AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS OVER LAND AND OPEN SEA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020900Z1 (DTG 020751Z5), 021500Z8 (DTG 021351Z2), 022100Z5 (DTG 021951Z8) AND 030300Z6 (DTG 030151Z0). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG31913060151 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 10:46:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626710-17591>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 04:49:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA14794; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 14:39:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6854628 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 14:39:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA09696 for ; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 14:38:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA02399 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 14:38:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711022038.OAA02399@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 14:38:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 66eb9fe3c936dead2394e32a6af66c5b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 110 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z/030600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/020153ZNOV97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/020151ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 020000Z2 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 13.9N3 147.2E4 AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 160 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 195 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 22 (WTPN31 PGTW 020300)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 020000Z2 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUST TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 06 (WPTN32 PGTW 020300)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNSFORD/SULLINS/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG32253060551 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 10:46:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626716-17595>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 05:07:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA22662; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 14:56:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6854858 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 14:56:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA42610 for ; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 14:56:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA02422 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 14:56:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711022056.OAA02422@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 14:56:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 023 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d4a2ed947c2302fa6e7f4ca5bcd3e0c7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 295 WTPN31 PGTW 020900 1. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 023 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020600Z8 --- 14.5N0 145.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N0 145.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 15.3N9 143.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 16.2N9 141.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 17.1N9 138.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 18.0N9 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 19.9N9 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 020900Z1 POSITION 14.7N2 145.2E2 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. WIND RADII HAVE BEEN LARGELY ADJUSTED BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR WIND DEPICTION AND SYNOPTIC DATA. SUBSTANTIAL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AFTER TIME OF CPA AS LOW-LEVEL INFLOW IS SIGNIFICANT IN THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST QUADRANTS. THERE ARE NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020600Z IS 45 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021500Z8 (DTG 021353Z4), 022100Z5 (DTG 021953Z0), 030300Z6 (DTG 030153Z2) AND 030900Z2 (DTG 030753Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG32683060753 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 10:46:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626716-17588>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 05:18:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA10230; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 15:04:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6854918 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 15:03:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA32690 for ; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 15:03:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA02446 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 15:03:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711022103.PAA02446@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 15:03:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Linda (30w) Warning Nr 09 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1bd1571548a836057b209554048b917c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 435 WTPN32 PGTW 022100 1. TYPHOON LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 09 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 30W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021800Z1 --- 9.4N3 103.6E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 9.4N3 103.6E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 9.9N8 101.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 10.4N5 99.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 10.9N0 97.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 11.4N6 95.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 12.7N0 91.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 022100Z5 POSITION 9.5N4 103.1E5 DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, TROPICAL STORM LINDA HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED INTO TYPHOON LINDA (30W) WHILE TRACKING WESTWARD IN THE GULF OF THAILAND. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 021730Z3 SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ANALYSES OF T4.0 (65 KNOTS) FROM BOTH JTWC AND KGWC SATELLITE ANALYSTS. WIND RADII WERE INCREASED BASED ON THE 50-KNOT WIND REPORT FROM PHU QUOC (WMO 48917) AT 021200Z5 AND SEVERAL 30-KNOT WIND REPORTS FROM NEARBY SHIPS AND LAND STATIONS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z1 IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z6 (DTG 030151Z0), 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6), 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3) AND 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG34863061951 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 10:46:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626718-17594>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 05:26:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA47296; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 15:14:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6854978 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 15:14:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA13482 for ; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 15:14:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA02464 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 15:14:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711022114.PAA02464@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 15:14:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 26 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ad0a940e8b6cd7e48b4e30a14abe07f6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 716 WTPN31 PGTW 022100 1. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 26 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021800Z1 --- 15.2N8 142.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND DOPPLER RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N8 142.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 16.0N7 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 16.6N3 138.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 18.0N9 136.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 19.7N7 135.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 23.0N5 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 022100Z5 POSITION 15.4N0 142.3E0 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK WHILE MAINTAINING ITS INTENSITY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ANALYSES RANGING FROM CI7.0 (140 KNOTS) TO CI7.5 (155 KNOTS) AND FOR THE CIRCULAR, 15 NM DIAMETER THAT HAS DECREASED IN SIZE IN RADAR IMAGERY DURING THE PAST 03 HOURS. BY 72 HOURS, RECURVATURE IS A DISTINCT POSSIBILITY AS KEITH TRACKS INTO A DEVELOPING WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z1 IS 44 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z6 (DTG 030153Z2), 030900Z2 (DTG 030753Z8), 031500Z9 (DTG 031353Z5) AND 032100Z6 (DTG 031953Z1). REFER TO TYPHOON LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG34933061953 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 10:46:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626718-17588>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 05:28:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA10014; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 15:17:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6855030 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 15:17:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA43530 for ; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 15:17:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA02472 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 15:17:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711022117.PAA02472@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 15:17:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 26 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1559cbcbf7632355cfaff06e5ee2f4b5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 757 WTPN31 PGTW 022100 1. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 26 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG3493 UNCLAS 021800Z1 --- 15.2N8 142.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND DOPPLER RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N8 142.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 16.0N7 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG3493 UNCLAS 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 16.6N3 138.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 18.0N9 136.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 05 RUHGSGG3493 UNCLAS 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 19.7N7 135.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 23.0N5 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM PAGE 06 RUHGSGG3493 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 022100Z5 POSITION 15.4N0 142.3E0 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK WHILE MAINTAINING ITS INTENSITY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ANALYSES RANGING FROM CI7.0 (140 KNOTS) TO CI7.5 (155 KNOTS) AND FOR THE CIRCULAR, 15 NM DIAMETER THAT HAS DECREASED IN SIZE IN RADAR IMAGERY DURING THE PAST 03 HOURS. BY 72 HOURS, RECURVATURE IS A DISTINCT POSSIBILITY AS KEITH TRACKS INTO A DEVELOPING WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z1 IS 44 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z6 (DTG 030153Z2), 030900Z2 (DTG 030753Z8), 031500Z9 (DTG 031353Z5) AND 032100Z6 (DTG 031953Z1). REFER TO TYPHOON PAGE 07 RUHGSGG3493 UNCLAS LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #3493 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 10:46:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626718-17588>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 06:27:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA52802; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 16:14:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6855513 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 16:14:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA29222 for ; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 16:14:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA02565 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 16:14:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711022214.QAA02565@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 16:14:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 25a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2283dfb11076b82a46a75fb1329454f2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 818 WTPN31 PGTW 022100 COR 1. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 25A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG3502 UNCLAS 021800Z1 --- 15.2N8 142.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND DOPPLER RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N8 142.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 16.0N7 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG3502 UNCLAS 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 16.6N3 138.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 18.0N9 136.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 05 RUHGSGG3502 UNCLAS 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 19.7N7 135.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 23.0N5 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM PAGE 06 RUHGSGG3502 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 022100Z5 POSITION 15.4N0 142.3E0 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK WHILE MAINTAINING ITS INTENSITY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ANALYSES RANGING FROM CI7.0 (140 KNOTS) TO CI7.5 (155 KNOTS) AND FOR THE CIRCULAR, 15 NM DIAMETER THAT HAS DECREASED IN SIZE IN RADAR IMAGERY DURING THE PAST 03 HOURS. BY 72 HOURS, RECURVATURE IS A DISTINCT POSSIBILITY AS KEITH TRACKS INTO A DEVELOPING WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z1 IS 44 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z6 (DTG 030153Z2), 030900Z2 (DTG 030753Z8), 031500Z9 (DTG 031353Z5) AND 032100Z6 (DTG 031953Z1). REFER TO TYPHOON PAGE 07 RUHGSGG3502 UNCLAS LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED WARNING NUMBER.// BT #3502 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 10:46:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625926-6118>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 07:40:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA14648; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 17:26:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6856161 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 17:26:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA14616 for ; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 17:26:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA02705 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 17:26:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711022326.RAA02705@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 17:26:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 25a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e00c8717612b516a2d648ee002970aa0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 132 WTPN31 PGTW 022100 COR 1. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 25A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021800Z1 --- 15.2N8 142.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND DOPPLER RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N8 142.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 16.0N7 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 16.6N3 138.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 18.0N9 136.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 19.7N7 135.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 23.0N5 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 022100Z5 POSITION 15.4N0 142.3E0 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK WHILE MAINTAINING ITS INTENSITY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ANALYSES RANGING FROM CI7.0 (140 KNOTS) TO CI7.5 (155 KNOTS) AND FOR THE CIRCULAR, 15 NM DIAMETER THAT HAS DECREASED IN SIZE IN RADAR IMAGERY DURING THE PAST 03 HOURS. BY 72 HOURS, RECURVATURE IS A DISTINCT POSSIBILITY AS KEITH TRACKS INTO A DEVELOPING WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z1 IS 44 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z6 (DTG 030153Z2), 030900Z2 (DTG 030753Z8), 031500Z9 (DTG 031353Z5) AND 032100Z6 (DTG 031953Z1). REFER TO TYPHOON LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED WARNING NUMBER.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG35023070153 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 11:13:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626034-6116>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 11:08:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA24832; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 20:55:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6858660 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 20:54:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA24034 for ; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 20:54:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA02958 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 20:54:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711030254.UAA02958@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 20:54:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 25a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5223ef1681f22caa8c40bf57e32d8387 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 850 WTPN31 PGTW 022100 COR 1. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 25A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021800Z1 --- 15.2N8 142.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND DOPPLER RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N8 142.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 16.0N7 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 16.6N3 138.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 18.0N9 136.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 19.7N7 135.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 23.0N5 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 022100Z5 POSITION 15.4N0 142.3E0 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK WHILE MAINTAINING ITS INTENSITY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ANALYSES RANGING FROM CI7.0 (140 KNOTS) TO CI7.5 (155 KNOTS) AND FOR THE CIRCULAR, 15 NM DIAMETER THAT HAS DECREASED IN SIZE IN RADAR IMAGERY DURING THE PAST 03 HOURS. BY 72 HOURS, RECURVATURE IS A DISTINCT POSSIBILITY AS KEITH TRACKS INTO A DEVELOPING WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z1 IS 44 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z6 (DTG 030153Z2), 030900Z2 (DTG 030753Z8), 031500Z9 (DTG 031353Z5) AND 032100Z6 (DTG 031953Z1). REFER TO TYPHOON LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTION OF DTG.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG35873061953 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 11:51:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626047-6118>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 11:17:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA22602; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 21:00:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6858718 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 21:00:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA14388 for ; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 21:00:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA02972 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 21:00:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711030300.VAA02972@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 21:00:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 25a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 08c9d65347f5763a1a77c446da5c5c6a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 950 WTPN31 PGTW 022100 COR 1. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 25A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG3587 UNCLAS 021800Z1 --- 15.2N8 142.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND DOPPLER RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N8 142.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 16.0N7 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG3587 UNCLAS 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 16.6N3 138.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 18.0N9 136.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 05 RUHGSGG3587 UNCLAS 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 19.7N7 135.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 23.0N5 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM PAGE 06 RUHGSGG3587 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 022100Z5 POSITION 15.4N0 142.3E0 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK WHILE MAINTAINING ITS INTENSITY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ANALYSES RANGING FROM CI7.0 (140 KNOTS) TO CI7.5 (155 KNOTS) AND FOR THE CIRCULAR, 15 NM DIAMETER THAT HAS DECREASED IN SIZE IN RADAR IMAGERY DURING THE PAST 03 HOURS. BY 72 HOURS, RECURVATURE IS A DISTINCT POSSIBILITY AS KEITH TRACKS INTO A DEVELOPING WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z1 IS 44 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z6 (DTG 030153Z2), 030900Z2 (DTG 030753Z8), 031500Z9 (DTG 031353Z5) AND 032100Z6 (DTG 031953Z1). REFER TO TYPHOON PAGE 07 RUHGSGG3587 UNCLAS LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTION OF DTG.// BT #3587 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 11:51:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625954-6114>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 11:49:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA32236; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 21:22:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6858921 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 21:22:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA19670 for ; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 21:22:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA02996 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 21:22:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711030322.VAA02996@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 21:22:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 026 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 75a8e05cd80776a6fc63d16544d7eddc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 406 WTPN31 PGTW 030300 1. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 026 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z3 --- 15.5N1 141.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N1 141.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 16.2N9 139.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 17.1N9 137.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 18.5N4 136.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 20.0N2 135.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 22.5N9 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 030300Z6 POSITION 15.7N3 141.2E8 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. SUBSTANTIAL INFLOW WINDS REMAIN NEAR THE MARIANA ISLANDS. ALTHOUGH OUTSIDE THE 35 KNOT SUSTAINED WIND RADIUS, THESE FEEDER BANDS MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH SIGNIFICANT WIND GUSTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 42 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030900Z2 (DTG 030753Z8), 031500Z9 (DTG 031353Z5), 032100Z6 (DTG 031953Z1) AND 040300Z7 (DTG 040153Z3). REFER TO TYPHOON LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG35903070153 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 11:51:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626100-6116>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 11:42:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA35114; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 21:23:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6858928 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 21:23:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA39958 for ; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 21:23:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA03000 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 21:23:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711030323.VAA03000@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 21:23:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 026 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 17dc7b9aef39cf43a0ce1dc16bbe42a6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 424 WTPN31 PGTW 030300 1. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 026 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 03 RUHGSGG3590 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 030000Z3 --- 15.5N1 141.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N1 141.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 16.2N9 139.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM PAGE 04 RUHGSGG3590 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 17.1N9 137.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 18.5N4 136.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM PAGE 05 RUHGSGG3590 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 20.0N2 135.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 22.5N9 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT PAGE 06 RUHGSGG3590 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 030300Z6 POSITION 15.7N3 141.2E8 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. SUBSTANTIAL INFLOW WINDS REMAIN NEAR THE MARIANA ISLANDS. ALTHOUGH OUTSIDE THE 35 KNOT SUSTAINED WIND RADIUS, THESE FEEDER BANDS MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH SIGNIFICANT WIND GUSTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 42 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030900Z2 (DTG 030753Z8), 031500Z9 (DTG 031353Z5), 032100Z6 (DTG 031953Z1) AND 040300Z7 (DTG 040153Z3). REFER TO TYPHOON LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// PAGE 07 RUHGSGG3590 UNCLAS BT #3590 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 17:05:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626030-6110>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 11:53:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA40588; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 21:41:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6859028 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 21:40:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA42616 for ; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 21:37:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA03014 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 21:37:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711030337.VAA03014@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 21:37:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Linda (30w) Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 075c2e0e919e8322bf4157a759b5e160 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 740 WTPN32 PGTW 030300 1. TYPHOON LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z3 --- 9.7N6 102.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 9.7N6 102.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 10.2N3 100.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 10.7N8 98.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 11.2N4 96.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 11.7N9 94.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 12.7N0 90.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 030300Z6 POSITION 9.8N7 102.0E3 TYPHOON LINDA (30W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS IN THE GULF OF THAILAND. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN OUR FORECAST TRACK. TYPHOON LINDA (30W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY WITH SOME TEMPORARY FLUX DUE TO INTERACTION WITH THE LAND AND SEA SURFACES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6), 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3), 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9) AND 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG36003070151 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 17:05:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626773-6116>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 15:53:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA09994; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 01:44:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6860916 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 01:44:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA09706 for ; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 01:44:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA03272 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 01:44:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711030744.BAA03272@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Nov 1997 01:44:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5efa16f7c98d2058b858d8655eedcf9c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 497 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/060600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/030153ZNOV97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/030151ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 030000Z3 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 15.5N1 141.7E3 AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 150 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 180 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 26 (WTPN31 PGTW 030300)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 030000Z3 TYPHOON LINDA (30W) WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUST TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 10 (WPTN32 PGTW 030300)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 175E3 IS NOW NEAR 7N7 167E4. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PREVIOUS CONVECTION IS NO LONGER ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, A 022039Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS AND ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION, LOCATED AT 3N3 171E9, HAS DEVELOPED ADDITIONAL CONVECTION, BUT REMAINS DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/SULLINS/LUNSFORD/DEOCARIZA/BOYD/GILL// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG37153070551 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 17:05:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626826-6110>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 16:33:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA09660; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 02:24:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6861151 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 02:24:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA21418 for ; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 02:24:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA03299 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 02:24:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711030824.CAA03299@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Nov 1997 02:24:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 027 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0982f9dde2580a8be407ae32caa707d4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 143 WTPN31 PGTW 030900 1. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 027 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z9 --- 15.7N3 140.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N3 140.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 16.3N0 138.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 17.1N9 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 18.0N9 135.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 19.3N3 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 22.1N5 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 030900Z2 POSITION 15.8N4 140.0E5 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM NOW DISPLAYS A CLOUD FILLED EYE, INDICATIVE OF CURRENT WEAKENING TREND. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. RECURVATURE IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BETWEEN 24 AND 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 42 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z9 (DTG 031353Z5), 032100Z6 (DTG 031953Z1), 040300Z7 (DTG 040153Z3) AND 040900Z3 (DTG 040753Z9). REFER TO TYPHOON LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 17:05:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626751-6116>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 16:45:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA24006; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 02:38:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6861202 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 02:38:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA35246 for ; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 02:38:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA03309 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 02:38:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711030838.CAA03309@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Nov 1997 02:38:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Linda (30w) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 954a5a495d07c5900fe391d73e78d34c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 333 WTPN32 PGTW 030900 1. TYPHOON LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z9 --- 10.5N6 101.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N6 101.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 11.0N2 99.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 11.6N8 98.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 12.1N4 96.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 12.6N9 94.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 13.7N1 90.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 030900Z2 POSITION 10.6N7 101.2E4 TYPHOON LINDA (30W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES EXPECTED IN THE FORECAST TRACK. TYPHOON LINDA (30W) IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES OVER THE GULF OF THAILAND. HOWEVER, IT IS ANTICIPATED THAT SYSTEM INTENSITY SHOULD DECREASE SLIGHTLY AS LANDFALL IS MADE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3), 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9), 040300Z7(DTG 040151Z1) AND 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING (WPTN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 17:48:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626743-6114>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 17:12:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA19644; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 03:04:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6861280 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 03:04:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA46938 for ; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 03:03:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA03480 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 03:03:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711030903.DAA03480@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Nov 1997 03:03:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Linda (30w) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 01cf813fbe2458fa5cfd08151408a85e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 692 WTPN32 PGTW 030900 1. TYPHOON LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z9 --- 10.5N6 101.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N6 101.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 11.0N2 99.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 11.6N8 98.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 12.1N4 96.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 12.6N9 94.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 13.7N1 90.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 030900Z2 POSITION 10.6N7 101.2E4 TYPHOON LINDA (30W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES EXPECTED IN THE FORECAST TRACK. TYPHOON LINDA (30W) IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES OVER THE GULF OF THAILAND. HOWEVER, IT IS ANTICIPATED THAT SYSTEM INTENSITY SHOULD DECREASE SLIGHTLY AS LANDFALL IS MADE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3), 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9), 040300Z7(DTG 040151Z1) AND 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING (WPTN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 19:07:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626783-6110>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 18:54:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA44118; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 04:44:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6862053 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 04:44:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA34874 for ; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 04:44:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA03558 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 04:44:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711031044.EAA03558@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Nov 1997 04:44:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Linda (30w) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 84b3abebb8f599093c8c5663e16803b6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 481 WTPN32 PGTW 030900 1. TYPHOON LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z9 --- 10.5N6 101.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N6 101.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 11.0N2 99.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 11.6N8 98.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 12.1N4 96.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 12.6N9 94.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 13.7N1 90.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 030900Z2 POSITION 10.6N7 101.2E4 TYPHOON LINDA (30W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES EXPECTED IN THE FORECAST TRACK. TYPHOON LINDA (30W) IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES OVER THE GULF OF THAILAND. HOWEVER, IT IS ANTICIPATED THAT SYSTEM INTENSITY SHOULD DECREASE SLIGHTLY AS LANDFALL IS MADE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3), 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9), 040300Z7(DTG 040151Z1) AND 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING (WPTN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG38403070751 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 19:07:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626738-6116>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 18:55:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA35038; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 04:47:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6862058 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 04:47:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA47306 for ; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 04:47:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA03567 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 04:47:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711031047.EAA03567@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Nov 1997 04:47:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 027 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 58af05241fb4ccd4f58f0d2473c4eab2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 505 WTPN31 PGTW 030900 1. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 027 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 03 RUHGSGG3839 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 030600Z9 --- 15.7N3 140.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N3 140.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 16.3N0 138.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG3839 UNCLAS 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 17.1N9 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 18.0N9 135.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 05 RUHGSGG3839 UNCLAS 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 19.3N3 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 22.1N5 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM PAGE 06 RUHGSGG3839 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 030900Z2 POSITION 15.8N4 140.0E5 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM NOW DISPLAYS A CLOUD FILLED EYE, INDICATIVE OF CURRENT WEAKENING TREND. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. RECURVATURE IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BETWEEN 24 AND 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 42 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z9 (DTG 031353Z5), 032100Z6 (DTG 031953Z1), 040300Z7 (DTG 040153Z3) AND 040900Z3 (DTG 040753Z9). REFER TO TYPHOON LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #3839 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 19:07:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626801-6110>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 19:01:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA16558; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 04:50:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6862065 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 04:50:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA35222 for ; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 04:50:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA03571 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 04:50:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711031050.EAA03571@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Nov 1997 04:50:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Linda (30w) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 101c0f4e35493ea5b1b3b5ef306b1f01 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 583 WTPN32 PGTW 030900 1. TYPHOON LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z9 --- 10.5N6 101.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG3840 UNCLAS REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N6 101.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 11.0N2 99.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 11.6N8 98.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER PAGE 04 RUHGSGG3840 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 12.1N4 96.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 12.6N9 94.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 05 RUHGSGG3840 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 13.7N1 90.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 030900Z2 POSITION 10.6N7 101.2E4 TYPHOON LINDA (30W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES EXPECTED IN THE FORECAST TRACK. TYPHOON LINDA (30W) IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES OVER THE GULF OF THAILAND. HOWEVER, IT IS ANTICIPATED THAT SYSTEM INTENSITY SHOULD DECREASE PAGE 06 RUHGSGG3840 UNCLAS SLIGHTLY AS LANDFALL IS MADE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3), 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9), 040300Z7(DTG 040151Z1) AND 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING (WPTN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #3840 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 19:07:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626806-6110>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 18:59:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA10224; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 04:51:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6862072 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 04:51:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA10458 for ; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 04:51:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA03575 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 04:51:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711031051.EAA03575@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Nov 1997 04:51:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 027 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4d98855bf4d3cc709691276cc01816a3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 614 WTPN31 PGTW 030900 1. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 027 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z9 --- 15.7N3 140.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N3 140.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 16.3N0 138.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 17.1N9 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 18.0N9 135.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 19.3N3 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 22.1N5 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 030900Z2 POSITION 15.8N4 140.0E5 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM NOW DISPLAYS A CLOUD FILLED EYE, INDICATIVE OF CURRENT WEAKENING TREND. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. RECURVATURE IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BETWEEN 24 AND 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 42 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z9 (DTG 031353Z5), 032100Z6 (DTG 031953Z1), 040300Z7 (DTG 040153Z3) AND 040900Z3 (DTG 040753Z9). REFER TO TYPHOON LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG38393070753 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 4 07:39:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626818-6118>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 22:15:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA45354; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 08:03:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6863412 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 08:03:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA42774 for ; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 08:01:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA03707 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 08:01:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711031401.IAA03707@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Nov 1997 08:01:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 25a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a6b69eadb93f73d0f9c22edef8f48289 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 069 WTPN31 PGTW 022100 COR 1. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 25A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021800Z1 --- 15.2N8 142.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND DOPPLER RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N8 142.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 16.0N7 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 16.6N3 138.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 18.0N9 136.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 19.7N7 135.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 23.0N5 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 022100Z5 POSITION 15.4N0 142.3E0 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK WHILE MAINTAINING ITS INTENSITY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ANALYSES RANGING FROM CI7.0 (140 KNOTS) TO CI7.5 (155 KNOTS) AND FOR THE CIRCULAR, 15 NM DIAMETER THAT HAS DECREASED IN SIZE IN RADAR IMAGERY DURING THE PAST 03 HOURS. BY 72 HOURS, RECURVATURE IS A DISTINCT POSSIBILITY AS KEITH TRACKS INTO A DEVELOPING WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z1 IS 44 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z6 (DTG 030153Z2), 030900Z2 (DTG 030753Z8), 031500Z9 (DTG 031353Z5) AND 032100Z6 (DTG 031953Z1). REFER TO TYPHOON LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTION OF DTG.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG35873061953 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 4 07:39:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626853-6114>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 22:15:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA46968; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 08:03:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6863427 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 08:03:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA21366 for ; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 08:02:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA03714 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 08:02:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711031402.IAA03714@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Nov 1997 08:02:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 026 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 602d1d3cfc873a7121b43ab6af601fb8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 104 WTPN31 PGTW 030300 1. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 026 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z3 --- 15.5N1 141.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N1 141.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 16.2N9 139.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 17.1N9 137.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 18.5N4 136.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 20.0N2 135.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 22.5N9 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 030300Z6 POSITION 15.7N3 141.2E8 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. SUBSTANTIAL INFLOW WINDS REMAIN NEAR THE MARIANA ISLANDS. ALTHOUGH OUTSIDE THE 35 KNOT SUSTAINED WIND RADIUS, THESE FEEDER BANDS MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH SIGNIFICANT WIND GUSTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 42 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030900Z2 (DTG 030753Z8), 031500Z9 (DTG 031353Z5), 032100Z6 (DTG 031953Z1) AND 040300Z7 (DTG 040153Z3). REFER TO TYPHOON LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG35903070153 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 4 07:39:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626826-6118>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 22:49:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA44172; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 08:37:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6863627 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 08:37:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA26480 for ; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 08:37:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA03743 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 08:37:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711031437.IAA03743@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Nov 1997 08:37:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 028 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d48e45114add0e38ea9257d162e0ded4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 848 WTPN31 PGTW 031500 1. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 028 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- 15.9N5 139.3E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N5 139.3E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 16.6N3 137.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 17.7N5 135.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 19.2N2 135.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 20.7N9 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 24.6N2 136.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 031500Z9 POSITION 16.1N8 138.8E0 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS SLOWLY WEAKENED WHILE TRACKING WESTWARD DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS A BASED ON AVERAGE SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T7.0 (140 KNOTS) AND A SMALL, CLOUD-COVERED EYE. KEITH IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THEN MAKE A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH AND FINALLY BEGIN SLOW RECURVATURE TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z6 IS 35 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z6 (DTG 031953Z1), 040300Z7 (DTG 040153Z3), 040900Z3 (DTG 040753Z9) AND 041500Z0 (DTG 041353Z6). REFER TO TYPHOON LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG39203071353 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 4 07:39:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626908-6110>; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 00:00:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA10040; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 09:43:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6864297 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 09:43:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA23812 for ; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 09:41:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA03839 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 09:41:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711031541.JAA03839@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Nov 1997 09:41:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Linda (30w) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0367805eb817e29a5eda03794f86eb75 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 074 WTPN32 PGTW 031500 1. TYPHOON LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- 10.9N0 100.5E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 10.9N0 100.5E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 11.5N7 98.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 12.0N3 96.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 12.5N8 94.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 13.0N4 92.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 13.7N1 88.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 031500Z9 POSITION 11.1N3 100.0E1 TYPHOON LINDA (30W) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE WESTERN GULF OF THAILAND WHILE MAINTAINING MINIMAL TYPHOON INTENSITY. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SYNOPTIC DATA, 031130Z8 SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF CI4.0 (65 KNOTS), AND COLD CLOUD TOPS OF -86C THAT HAVE DEVELOPED NEAR THE SYSTEM CENTER IN THE PAST 02 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9), 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1), 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7) AND 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG39373071351 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 4 07:39:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627051-6116>; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 05:36:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA44394; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 15:18:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6868055 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 15:15:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA04460 for ; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 15:15:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA04959 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 15:15:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711032115.PAA04959@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Nov 1997 15:15:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Linda (30w) Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4e39334d6112fce1fd6450bde855a3c7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 315 WTPN32 PGTW 032100 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 013 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON LINDA (30W) 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z2 --- 11.8N0 99.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 11.8N0 99.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 12.8N1 98.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 13.2N6 96.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 13.4N8 94.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 13.5N9 92.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 13.9N3 88.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 032100Z6 POSITION 12.1N4 99.3E1 TYPHOON LINDA HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF THAILAND AND IS NOW LOCATED ALONG THE EASTERN COAST OF THE MALAY PENINSULA AND, AS A RESULT, HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W). THE MOST SIGNIFICANT WINDS REMAIN EAST OF THE CENTER OVER WATER AND LINDA IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING UNTIL THE SYSTEM TRACKS OUT OVER THE ANDAMAN SEA. MOST OF OUR FORECAST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT LINDA WILL TRACK WESTWARD AFTER 24 HOURS, BUT THERE IS A LOW PRROBABILITY ALTERNATE SCENARIO THAT LINDA COULD SLOW DOWN AND DRIFT SLOWLY NORTHWARD IN THE NORTHERN ANDAMAN SEA AS A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS DEVELOPS TO THE NORTH. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 031730Z4 SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI3.5 (55 KNOTS) AND LAND EFFECTS. OUR WIND RADII WERE ADJUSTED DOWNWARD TO ACCOUNT FOR THE WEAKENING TREND EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATIO N. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1), 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7), 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4) AND 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 4 07:39:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627039-6110>; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 05:38:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA32024; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 15:26:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6868124 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 15:26:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA14362 for ; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 15:22:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA04983 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 15:22:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711032122.PAA04983@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Nov 1997 15:22:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 029 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bc62e7019bd0ae763daa0b04c0bead60 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 531 WTPN31 PGTW 032100 1. TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 029 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z2 --- 16.1N8 138.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 138.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 16.4N1 135.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 17.6N4 134.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 19.2N2 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 20.9N1 135.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 25.5N2 137.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 032100Z6 POSITION 16.2N9 137.5E6 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS WHILE REMAINING NEARLY STEADY IN INTENSITY. KEITH=S EYE HAS BECOME LESS CLOUD COVERED AND MORE DISTINCT DURING THE PAST 02 HOURS. THE CONVECTIVE CLOUD PATTERN AND OUTFLOW CIRRUS SHIELD HAVE BECOME ELONGATED FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST AND THIS OFTENTIMES INDICATES FUTURE MOTION BY ABOUT 24 HOURS. AS A RESULT, WE HAVE HAVE SHARPENED OUR TRACK AFTER 24 HOURS INDICATING RECURVATURE A LITTLE SOONER THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST, BUT WE HAVE THE FORWARD SPEEDS SLOWER THAN OUR DYNAMIC FORECAST MODELS ARE SHOWING. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON AVERAGE SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF CI7.0 (140 KNOTS) AND A BETTER DEFINED EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z2 IS 35 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z7 (DTG 040153Z3), 040900Z3 (DTG 040753Z9), 041500Z0 (DTG 041353Z6) AND 042100Z7 (DTG 041953Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 4 07:39:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627076-6114>; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 06:03:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA28648; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 15:45:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6868323 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 15:44:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA34964 for ; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 15:44:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA05059 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 15:44:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711032144.PAA05059@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Nov 1997 15:44:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Linda (30w) Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 298e0b8486c065ebb3485fc689166807 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 926 WTPN32 PGTW 032100 1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 013 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON LINDA (30W) 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z2 --- 11.8N0 99.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 11.8N0 99.8E6 --- PAGE 03 RUHGSGG4061 UNCLAS FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 12.8N1 98.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 13.2N6 96.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 13.4N8 94.0E3 PAGE 04 RUHGSGG4061 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 13.5N9 92.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- PAGE 05 RUHGSGG4061 UNCLAS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 13.9N3 88.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 032100Z6 POSITION 12.1N4 99.3E1 TYPHOON LINDA HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF THAILAND AND IS NOW LOCATED ALONG THE EASTERN COAST OF THE MALAY PENINSULA AND, AS A RESULT, HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W). THE MOST SIGNIFICANT WINDS REMAIN EAST OF THE CENTER OVER WATER AND LINDA IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING UNTIL THE SYSTEM TRACKS OUT OVER THE ANDAMAN SEA. MOST OF OUR FORECAST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT LINDA WILL TRACK WESTWARD AFTER 24 HOURS, BUT THERE IS A LOW PRROBABILITY ALTERNATE SCENARIO THAT LINDA COULD SLOW DOWN AND DRIFT SLOWLY PAGE 06 RUHGSGG4061 UNCLAS NORTHWARD IN THE NORTHERN ANDAMAN SEA AS A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS DEVELOPS TO THE NORTH. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 031730Z4 SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI3.5 (55 KNOTS) AND LAND EFFECTS. OUR WIND RADII WERE ADJUSTED DOWNWARD TO ACCOUNT FOR THE WEAKENING TREND EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1), 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7), 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4) AND 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #4061 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 4 07:39:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627076-6110>; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 06:03:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA29582; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 15:48:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6868341 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 15:48:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA37216 for ; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 15:47:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA05068 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 15:47:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711032147.PAA05068@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Nov 1997 15:47:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 029 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b788a9f0be33efac31797625284bf5e1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 987 WTPN31 PGTW 032100 1. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 029 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z2 --- 16.1N8 138.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS PAGE 03 RUHGSGG4062 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 138.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 16.4N1 135.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG4062 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 17.6N4 134.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 19.2N2 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 05 RUHGSGG4062 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 20.9N1 135.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 25.5N2 137.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 06 RUHGSGG4062 UNCLAS 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 032100Z6 POSITION 16.2N9 137.5E6 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS WHILE REMAINING NEARLY STEADY IN INTENSITY. KEITH'S EYE HAS BECOME LESS CLOUD COVERED AND MORE DISTINCT DURING THE PAST 02 HOURS. THE CONVECTIVE CLOUD PATTERN AND OUTFLOW CIRRUS SHIELD HAVE BECOME ELONGATED FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST AND THIS OFTENTIMES INDICATES FUTURE MOTION BY ABOUT 24 HOURS. AS A RESULT, WE HAVE SHARPENED OUR TRACK AFTER 24 HOURS INDICATING RECURVATURE A LITTLE SOONER THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST, BUT WE HAVE THE FORWARD SPEEDS SLOWER THAN OUR DYNAMIC FORECAST MODELS ARE SHOWING. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON AVERAGE SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF CI7.0 (140 KNOTS) AND A BETTER DEFINED EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z2 IS 35 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z7 (DTG 040153Z3), 040900Z3 (DTG 040753Z9), PAGE 07 RUHGSGG4062 UNCLAS 041500Z0 (DTG 041353Z6) AND 042100Z7 (DTG 041953Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #4062 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 4 07:55:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626317-29128>; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 07:50:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA23164; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 17:32:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6869424 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 17:32:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA48744 for ; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 17:32:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA05271 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 17:31:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711032331.RAA05271@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Nov 1997 17:31:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 029a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0eb63dbd63eac0a48c1ac8b66e0abab5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 811 WTPN31 PGTW 032100 COR 1. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 029A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z2 --- 16.1N8 138.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 138.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 16.4N1 135.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 17.6N4 134.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 19.2N2 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 20.9N1 135.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 25.5N2 137.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 032100Z6 POSITION 16.2N9 137.5E6 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS WHILE REMAINING NEARLY STEADY IN INTENSITY. KEITH=S EYE HAS BECOME LESS CLOUD COVERED AND MORE DISTINCT DURING THE PAST 02 HOURS. THE CONVECTIVE CLOUD PATTERN AND OUTFLOW CIRRUS SHIELD HAVE BECOME ELONGATED FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST AND THIS OFTENTIMES INDICATES FUTURE MOTION BY ABOUT 24 HOURS. AS A RESULT, WE HAVE HAVE SHARPENED OUR TRACK AFTER 24 HOURS INDICATING RECURVATURE A LITTLE SOONER THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST, BUT WE HAVE THE FORWARD SPEEDS SLOWER THAN OUR DYNAMIC FORECAST MODELS ARE SHOWING. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON AVERAGE SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF CI7.0 (140 KNOTS) AND A BETTER DEFINED EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z2 IS 35 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z7 (DTG 040153Z3), 040900Z3 (DTG 040753Z9), 041500Z0 (DTG 041353Z6) AND 042100Z7 (DTG 041953Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED THE MESSAGE TO READ SUPER TYPHOON KEITH.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 4 15:13:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625904-29131>; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 10:49:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA21278; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 20:24:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6871380 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 20:24:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA17352 for ; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 20:23:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA05559 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 20:23:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711040223.UAA05559@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Nov 1997 20:23:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 030 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ec55cb2741c932cc4ccea0e381f371d6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 110 WTPN31 PGTW 040300 1. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 030 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- 16.2N9 137.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N9 137.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 16.4N1 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 17.1N9 134.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 18.3N2 134.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 19.8N8 134.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 23.7N2 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 040300Z7 POSITION 16.2N9 136.8E SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) IS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 032330Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7), 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4), 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0) AND 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. // +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 4 15:13:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626123-29130>; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 11:13:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA14598; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 20:53:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6871909 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 20:53:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA49908 for ; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 20:53:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA05648 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 20:53:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711040253.UAA05648@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Nov 1997 20:53:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 030 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4ca71f0f6782d00537d5b0b7726a1e39 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 533 WTPN31 PGTW 040300 COR 1. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 030 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- 16.2N9 137.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N9 137.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 16.4N1 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 17.1N9 134.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 18.3N2 134.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 19.8N8 134.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 23.7N2 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 040300Z7 POSITION 16.2N9 136.8E SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) IS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 032330Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7), 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4), 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0) AND 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTIO32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: NUMBER OF ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES AND CHANGED MANOP HEADER FOR TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 4 15:13:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626293-29131>; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 14:08:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA36840; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 00:00:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6873292 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 23:59:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA48528 for ; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 23:59:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA06145 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 23:59:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711040559.XAA06145@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Nov 1997 23:59:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 760de123f318644938459bcad5e1d2dd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 870 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/040153ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 040000Z4 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.2N9 137.2E3 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 130 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 160 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 30 (WTPN31 PGTW 040300)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 167E4 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/HATFIELD/HONG/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 4 16:42:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626538-29124>; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 16:41:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA48612; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 02:35:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6874183 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 02:34:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA32912 for ; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 02:34:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA06560 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 02:34:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711040834.CAA06560@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Nov 1997 02:34:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 031 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7e8434df5a2f2b819b3ee96c32b8d4b0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 935 WTPN31 PGTW 040900 1. TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 031 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- 16.5N2 136.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N2 136.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 17.0N8 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 18.1N0 134.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 19.6N6 134.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 21.3N6 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 25.5N2 137.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 040900Z3 POSITION 16.6N3 135.8E7 TYPHOON KEITH (29W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 040530Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI 6.5 (127 KNOTS). THE WIND RADII WERE ENLARGED DUE TO SEVERAL SHIP REPORTS AND A 040115Z1 SCATTEROMETER PASS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z0 IS 32 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4), 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0), 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2) AND 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 4 23:25:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626705-29128>; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 22:09:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA22774; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 07:59:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6876091 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 07:59:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA50656 for ; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 07:59:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA07576 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 07:59:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711041359.HAA07576@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Nov 1997 07:59:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 032 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 573cb5a220b39acb96151359cc00073e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 938 WTPN31 PGTW 041500 1. TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 032 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- 17.1N9 135.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 250 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N9 135.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 18.0N9 134.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 19.0N0 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 20.4N6 134.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 22.0N4 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 26.3N1 138.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 041500Z0 POSITION 17.3N1 135.5E4 LATEST INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS SLOWED ITS FORWARD SPEED TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST TO 8 KNOTS. THIS IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TY KEITH HAS A 30 NM RAGGED EYE WITH AN ESTIMATED INTENSITY OF 120 KNOTS. FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY ARE SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. CONTINUED SLOW NORTH TO NORTHEAST MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS CURRENT NUMERICAL MODELS DO NOT SHOW ANY SIGN OF ANY SIGNIFICANT FORWARD ACCELERATION DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD. WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON A 040115Z1 SCATTEROMETER PASS AND SURROUNDING SHIP REPORTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z7 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 042100Z7 (DTG 041953Z2), 050300Z8 (DTG 050153Z4), 050900Z4 (DTG 050753Z0) AND 051500Z1 (DTG 051353Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 5 04:10:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627079-29130>; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 04:09:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA32800; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 13:56:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6880572 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 13:56:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA42754 for ; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 13:56:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA09195 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 13:56:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711041956.NAA09195@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Nov 1997 13:56:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f757c2fe23d4d6172698f2e08e65a172 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 279 ABPW10 PGTW 042000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/042000Z/050600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/041353ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 041200Z7 TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 17.1N9 135.7E6 AND MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 120 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 145 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 32 (WTPN31 PGTW 041500)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED ON 3 NOV NEAR 7N7 167E4 HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4N4 163E0. A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER CAN BE IDENTIFIED ON BOTH THE ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND IN THE SYNOPTIC DATA. ALTHOUGH UPPER LEVEL WINDS DERIVED FROM WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOW MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR ACROSS THIS AREA, THIS SHEAR APPEARS TO BE WEAKENING AND BECOMING MORE ANTICYCLONIC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1010MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/SANCHEZ/HALL/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 6 14:27:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627079-29130>; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 05:04:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA16954; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 14:49:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6881139 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 14:49:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA22564 for ; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 14:49:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA09393 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 14:48:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711042048.OAA09393@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Nov 1997 14:48:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 033 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4fea5f7e3661b010c1d9d4460053a6a0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 157 WTPN31 PGTW 042100 1. TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 033 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041800Z3 --- 17.5N3 135.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 250 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.5N3 135.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 18.5N4 134.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 19.5N5 134.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 21.0N3 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 22.6N0 136.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 27.1N0 139.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 042100Z7 POSITION 17.8N6 134.8E6 LATEST INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TYPHOON KEITH (29W) IS MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AT 08 KNOTS. INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM SATELLITE INDICATE THAT KEITH REMAINS AN INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 115 KNOTS AROUND A 35NM DIAMETER EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z8 (DTG 050153Z4), 050900Z4 (DTG 050753Z0), 051500Z1 (DTG 051353Z7) AND 052100Z8 (DTG 051953Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 6 14:27:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626086-22827>; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 10:40:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA14202; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 20:28:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6884713 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 20:27:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA28506 for ; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 20:27:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA11843 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 20:27:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711050227.UAA11843@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Nov 1997 20:27:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 034 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6f281ba661dff7868f6c23d4cd107dff Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 522 WTPN31 PGTW 050300 1. TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 034 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- 17.9N7 134.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 250 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.9N7 134.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 18.9N8 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 20.4N6 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 22.0N4 135.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 23.9N4 137.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 28.3N3 142.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 050300Z8 POSITION 18.2N1 134.8E6 TYPHOON KEITH (29W) CONTINUES TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 042330Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050900Z4 (DTG 050753Z8), 051500Z1 (DTG 051353Z5), 052100Z8 (DTG 051953Z1) AND 060300Z9 (DTG 060153Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 6 14:28:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627163-22816>; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 14:38:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAB20412; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 00:27:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6886731 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 00:26:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA50514 for ; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 00:26:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA12900 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 00:26:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711050626.AAA12900@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Nov 1997 00:26:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 45c9190d704921de152aacc0357d9de4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 306 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/05O600Z/060600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/041353ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 050000Z5 TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 17.9N7 134.8E6 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 110 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 135 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 34 (WTPN31 PGTW 050300)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4N0 163E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 05N5 165E2. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY DISORGANIZED AND SCATTERED IN NATURE WITH SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OCCURRING ACROSS THE REGION. ADDITIONALLY, PRESSURES ACROSS THIS REGION ARE SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN 24 HOURS AGO. HOWEVER, 050000Z5 SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AT THE SAME LOCATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1010MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/HATFIELD/HONG/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 6 14:28:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627161-22825>; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 16:25:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA28674; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 02:15:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6887409 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 02:14:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA14266 for ; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 02:14:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA13199 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 02:14:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711050814.CAA13199@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Nov 1997 02:14:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 035 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 53eae30f4ef78822f73a5dad0e4018e3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 509 WTPN31 PGTW 050900 1. TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 035 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050600Z1 --- 18.5N4 134.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 250 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.5N4 134.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 19.6N6 134.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 21.2N5 135.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 22.9N3 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 24.8N4 138.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 29.1N2 143.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 050900Z4 POSITION 18.8N7 134.9E TYPHOON KEITH (29W) IS NOW MOVING NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY NOW INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS WEAKENING MORE STEADILY. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 050530Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z1 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z1 (DTG 051353Z7), 052100Z8 (DTG 051953Z3), 060300Z9 (DTG 060153Z5) AND 060900Z5 (DTG 060753Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 6 14:28:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627266-22825>; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 22:44:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA35282; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 08:33:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6889657 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 08:33:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA48308 for ; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 08:33:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA14398 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 08:33:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711051433.IAA14398@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Nov 1997 08:33:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 036 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 81f50c5effdc374919dcfe04c19c7b43 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 676 WTPN31 PGTW 051500 1. TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 036 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z8 --- 19.0N0 135.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 250 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.0N0 135.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 20.2N4 135.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 21.8N1 135.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 23.5N0 137.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 25.4N1 139.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 29.3N4 144.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 051500Z1 POSITION 19.3N3 135.5E4 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS MADE A SHORT TERM TRACK TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 100 KNOTS IS BASED ON 051130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY WHICH SHOWS A 20 NM RAGGED EYE. TY KEITH IS FORECAST TO MAKE AN S TYPE TRACK NORTHWARD THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER JAPAN MOVES OFF TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST OF KEITH IS FORECAST TO KEEP KEITH MOVING SLOWLY IN A NORTH TO NORTHEAST DIRECTION THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z8 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z8 (DTG 051953Z3), 060300Z9 (DTG 060153Z5), 060900Z5 (DTG 060753Z1) AND 061500Z2 (DTG 061353Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 6 14:28:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627385-22816>; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 04:57:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA49772; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 14:50:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6894322 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 14:49:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA40378 for ; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 14:49:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA17816 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 14:49:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711052049.OAA17816@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Nov 1997 14:49:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 037 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 48af6b9e6b821d84190b47bf656ff52a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 951 WTPN31 PGTW 052100 1. TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 037 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- 19.9N9 135.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 220 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.9N9 135.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 22.0N4 136.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 24.3N9 138.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 26.3N1 141.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 20 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 28.4N4 145.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 31.5N9 153.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 052100Z8 POSITION 20.4N6 135.9E8 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS THAT TYPHOON KEITH(29W) HAS DEVELOPED A CLOUD- FILLED EYE AS IT CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND MOVE POLEWARD. THE CURRENT INTENSITY AND WARNING POSITION ARE BASED ON 051730Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS FORECAST HAS TY KEITH ACCELERATING SLOWLY WHILE BEGINNING TO TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AFTER THE 36 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. CURRENT WIND RADII ADJUSTED FOR A 051329Z0 SCATTEROMETER PASS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z4 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z9 (DTG 060153Z5), 060900Z5 (DTG 060753Z1), 061500Z2 (DTG 061353Z8) AND 062100Z9 (DTG 061953Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 6 14:28:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626097-15116>; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 11:06:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA21258; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 20:56:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6898816 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 20:55:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA32996 for ; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 20:55:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA26780 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 20:55:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711060255.UAA26780@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Nov 1997 20:55:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 038 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b749b90230c4714e157ce8b7bb4ca828 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 842 WTPN31 PGTW 060300 1. TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 038 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- 20.1N3 136.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 220 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N3 136.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 21.6N9 136.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 23.6N1 138.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 25.8N5 140.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 21 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 28.5N5 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 32.7N2 153.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 060300Z9 POSITION 20.5N7 136.3E3 TYPHOON KEITH (29W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE IN THIS DIRECTION THROUGH THE 24-HOUR POSITION BEFORE TURNING TO A MORE EASTWARD TRACK. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL NEAR 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060900Z5 (DTG 060753Z1), 061500Z2 (DTG 061353Z8), 062100Z9 (DTG 061953Z4) AND 070300Z0 (DTG 070153Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 6 17:32:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627104-15119>; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 14:48:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA50526; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 00:42:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6901651 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 00:40:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA37150 for ; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 00:38:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA27515 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 00:38:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711060638.AAA27515@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 00:38:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 07fc1f8e06be3eda114d0be291379d18 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 277 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/060153ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 060000Z6 TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 20.1N3 136.1E1 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 95 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 115 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 38 (WTPN31 PGTW 060300)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 165E2 IS NOW DISSIPATED INTO AN AREA OF LIGHT SCATTERED CONVECTION LOCATED WITHIN AN ELONGATED MONSOON TROUGH. A 051840Z8 MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS CONFIRMS NO WELL DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITHIN THE TROUGH. THIS AREA IS NOT CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/SULLINS/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 6 17:32:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626774-15116>; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 17:02:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA23906; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 02:52:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6902359 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 02:52:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA29772 for ; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 02:52:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA27876 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 02:52:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711060852.CAA27876@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 02:52:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 039 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: de8508e062533966b9160d0d31c71f0b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 523 WTPN31 PGTW 060900 1. TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 039 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- 21.4N7 137.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 220 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.4N7 137.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 24.0N6 139.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 26.4N2 143.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 28.9N9 148.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 25 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 31.5N9 152.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 36.9N8 163.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION 22.1N5 137.7E8 TYPHOON KEITH (29W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS BEGUN ITS MOVEMENT INTO THE ACCELERATING WESTERLIES. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. TY KEITH (29W) IS EXPECTED TO BE EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z2 (DTG 061353Z8), 062100Z9 (DTG 061953Z4), 070300Z0 (DTG 070153Z6) AND 070900Z6 (DTG 070753Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 7 09:22:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626621-15112>; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 21:43:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA31416; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 07:35:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6904118 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 07:35:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA23930 for ; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 07:35:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA28742 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 07:35:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711061335.HAA28742@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 07:35:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 040 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 11c76111485c50ce49ddf9b511963be9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 674 WTPN31 PGTW 061500 1. TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 040 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- 22.2N6 137.6E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 220 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.2N6 137.6E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 24.3N9 139.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 26.7N5 142.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 29.5N6 147.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 26 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 31.9N3 152.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 36.6N5 164.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 061500Z2 POSITION 22.7N1 138.0E2 TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AND WEAKENED, WHILE SLOWING IN FORWARD SPEED SLIGHTLY. CURRENT INTENSITY OF 85 KNOTS IS BASED ON A BLEND OF A SATELLITE CURRENT T-NUMBER OF T4.5 (77 KNOTS) AND A CURRENT INTENSITY NUMBER OF CI5.0 (90 KNOTS), AND A MORE RAGGED APPEARANCE TO THE CONVECTIVE CLOUD PATTERN. NO CHANGE TO OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST PHILOSOPHY AS WE STILL EXPECT TYPHOON KEITH TO CONTINUE TO RECURVE AND STEADILY WEAKEN AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL IN 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z9 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9 (DTG 061953Z4), 070300Z0 (DTG 070153Z6), 070900Z6 (DTG 070753Z2) AND 071500Z3 (DTG 071353Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 7 09:22:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627520-15119>; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 01:45:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA19506; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 11:35:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6906919 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 11:35:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA30710 for ; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 11:35:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA29607 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 11:35:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711061735.LAA29607@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 11:35:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 040 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cac81823e71c986a4d72f09fbca3667f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 345 WTPN31 PGTW 061500 1. TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 040 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- 22.2N6 137.6E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT PAGE 03 RUHGSGG7286 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 220 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.2N6 137.6E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 24.3N9 139.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 26.7N5 142.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL PAGE 04 RUHGSGG7286 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 29.5N6 147.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 26 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 31.9N3 152.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT PAGE 05 RUHGSGG7286 UNCLAS EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 36.6N5 164.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 061500Z2 POSITION 22.7N1 138.0E2 TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AND WEAKENED, WHILE SLOWING IN FORWARD SPEED SLIGHTLY. CURRENT INTENSITY OF 85 KNOTS IS BASED ON A BLEND OF A SATELLITE CURRENT T-NUMBER OF T4.5 (77 KNOTS) AND A CURRENT INTENSITY NUMBER OF CI5.0 (90 KNOTS), AND A MORE RAGGED APPEARANCE TO THE CONVECTIVE CLOUD PATTERN. NO CHANGE TO OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST PHILOSOPHY AS WE STILL EXPECT TYPHOON KEITH TO CONTINUE TO RECURVE AND STEADILY WEAKEN AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL IN 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z9 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO PAGE 06 RUHGSGG7286 UNCLAS WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9 (DTG 061953Z4), 070300Z0 (DTG 070153Z6), 070900Z6 (DTG 070753Z2) AND 071500Z3 (DTG 071353Z9).// BT #7286 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 7 09:22:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627537-15119>; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 02:10:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA18360; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 11:59:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6907277 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 11:59:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA48292 for ; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 11:59:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA29691 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 11:59:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711061759.LAA29691@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 11:59:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 039 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d9685ec688dee1c6fc6f7739840469ad Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 720 WTPN31 PGTW 060900 1. TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 039 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- 21.4N7 137.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 13 KTS PAGE 03 RUHGSGG7307 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 220 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.4N7 137.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 24.0N6 139.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 22 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHGSGG7307 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 26.4N2 143.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 28.9N9 148.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 25 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: PAGE 05 RUHGSGG7307 UNCLAS 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 31.5N9 152.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 36.9N8 163.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION 22.1N5 137.7E8 TYPHOON KEITH (29W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS BEGUN ITS MOVEMENT INTO THE ACCELERATING WESTERLIES. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PAGE 06 RUHGSGG7307 UNCLAS PHILOSOPHY. TY KEITH (29W) IS EXPECTED TO BE EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z2 (DTG 061353Z8), 062100Z9 (DTG 061953Z4), 070300Z0 (DTG 070153Z6) AND 070900Z6 (DTG 070753Z2).// BT #7307 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 7 09:22:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627512-15112>; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 02:12:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA45438; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 12:03:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6907358 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 12:03:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA19514 for ; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 12:03:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA29716 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 12:02:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711061802.MAA29716@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 12:02:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 040 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 93f3c83b5c83586017b11845552b66da Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 786 WTPN31 PGTW 061500 1. TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 040 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- 22.2N6 137.6E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT PAGE 03 RUHGSGG7321 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 220 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.2N6 137.6E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 24.3N9 139.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 26.7N5 142.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL PAGE 04 RUHGSGG7321 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 29.5N6 147.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 26 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 31.9N3 152.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT PAGE 05 RUHGSGG7321 UNCLAS EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 36.6N5 164.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 061500Z2 POSITION 22.7N1 138.0E2 TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AND WEAKENED, WHILE SLOWING IN FORWARD SPEED SLIGHTLY. CURRENT INTENSITY OF 85 KNOTS IS BASED ON A BLEND OF A SATELLITE CURRENT T-NUMBER OF T4.5 (77 KNOTS) AND A CURRENT INTENSITY NUMBER OF CI5.0 (90 KNOTS), AND A MORE RAGGED APPEARANCE TO THE CONVECTIVE CLOUD PATTERN. NO CHANGE TO OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST PHILOSOPHY AS WE STILL EXPECT TYPHOON KEITH TO CONTINUE TO RECURVE AND STEADILY WEAKEN AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL IN 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z9 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO PAGE 06 RUHGSGG7321 UNCLAS WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9 (DTG 061953Z4), 070300Z0 (DTG 070153Z6), 070900Z6 (DTG 070753Z2) AND 071500Z3 (DTG 071353Z9).// BT #7321 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 7 09:22:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627551-15117>; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 04:23:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA24032; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 14:09:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6908495 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 14:09:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA44420 for ; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 14:08:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA00264 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 14:08:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711062008.OAA00264@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 14:08:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 041 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f95a19def214bef8e58d4d2a75cc508a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 454 WTPN31 PGTW 062100 1. TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 041 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- 23.2N7 138.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 240 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.2N7 138.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 25.2N9 140.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 27.6N5 143.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 30.1N4 148.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 27 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 32.5N0 154.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 36.9N8 167.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 062100Z9 POSITION 23.7N2 138.9E1 DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD ALONG OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK AND HAS CONTINUED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES BETWEEN CI4.5 (77 KNOTS) AND CI5.0 (90 KNOTS), AND A RAGGED, CLOUD-FILLED EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z5 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0 (DTG 070153Z6), 070900Z6 (DTG 070753Z2), 071500Z3 (DTG 071353Z9) AND 072100Z0 (DTG 071953Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 7 12:24:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625921-9194>; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 12:05:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA43714; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 21:52:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6913148 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 21:52:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA27556 for ; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 21:52:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA01940 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 21:52:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711070352.VAA01940@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 21:52:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 042 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d8b819d6db4fde6057b40d9ad4da7f74 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 772 WTPN31 PGTW 070300 1. TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 042 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- 24.6N2 139.6E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.6N2 139.6E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 27.4N3 142.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 29.7N8 147.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 32.3N8 153.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 32 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 34.8N5 160.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 38 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 39.7N9 178.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION 25.3N0 140.4E9 TYPHOON KEITH (29W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE A NORTHEASTWARD TO EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TRACK AND ACCELERATE. TYPHOON KEITH (29W) IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 48-HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z6 (DTG 070753Z2), 071500Z3 (DTG 071353Z9), 072100Z0 (DTG 071953Z5) AND 080300Z1 (DTG 080153Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 7 16:05:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626306-9194>; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 14:39:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA29252; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 00:29:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6914195 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 00:29:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA44404 for ; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 00:18:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA02438 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 00:18:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711070618.AAA02438@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Nov 1997 00:18:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 87d98a51a320411e11db74e5c1c3e8a4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 513 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070153ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070000Z7 TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 24.6N2 139.6E9 AND MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 42 (WTPN31 PGTW 070300)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/SULLINS/DEOCARIZA/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 7 18:04:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627594-9194>; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 16:42:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA19504; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 02:35:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6914899 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 02:35:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA39958 for ; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 02:35:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA02820 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 02:35:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711070835.CAA02820@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Nov 1997 02:35:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 043 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d7f303438338a936671aba64217bfca0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 397 WTPN31 PGTW 070900 1. TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 043 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z3 --- 25.7N4 141.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 205 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.7N4 141.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 28.4N4 145.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 205 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 31.2N6 150.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 33.7N3 156.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 32 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 36.4N3 164.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 36 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 39.5N7 178.1W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 070900Z6 POSITION 26.4N2 142.5E2 TYPHOON KEITH (29W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AND ACCELERATE. TYPHOON KEITH (29W) IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 48-HOUR POSITION. THE WIND RADII WERE ADJUSTED BASED ON A 070119Z8 SCATTEROMETER PASS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3 (DTG 071353Z9), 072100Z0 (DTG 071953Z5), 080300Z1 (DTG 080153Z7) AND 080900Z7 (DTG 080753Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 7 18:04:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627634-9194>; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 17:26:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA40554; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 03:14:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6914994 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 03:14:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA45390 for ; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 03:14:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA03037 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 03:14:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711070914.DAA03037@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Nov 1997 03:14:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 043 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 174ea12615cbdf0ba087cd16b7f2a47d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 966 WTPN31 PGTW 070900 1. TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 043 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z3 --- 25.7N4 141.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 205 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.7N4 141.4E0 --- FORECASTS: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG8150 UNCLAS 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 28.4N4 145.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 205 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 31.2N6 150.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 33.7N3 156.9E1 PAGE 04 RUHGSGG8150 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 32 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 36.4N3 164.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 36 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 39.5N7 178.1W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 070900Z6 POSITION 26.4N2 142.5E2 PAGE 05 RUHGSGG8150 UNCLAS TYPHOON KEITH (29W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AND ACCELERATE. TYPHOON KEITH (29W) IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 48-HOUR POSITION. THE WIND RADII WERE ADJUSTED BASED ON A 070119Z8 SCATTEROMETER PASS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3 (DTG 071353Z9), 072100Z0 (DTG 071953Z5), 080300Z1 (DTG 080153Z7) AND 080900Z7 (DTG 080753Z3).// BT #8150 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:11:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628451-9196>; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 22:06:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA13620; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 07:56:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6916121 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 07:55:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA45344 for ; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 07:55:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA03765 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 07:55:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711071355.HAA03765@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Nov 1997 07:55:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 044 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 20b089b0d594295fd59e74b3da73b66b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 127 WTPN31 PGTW 071500 1. TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 044 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- 26.6N4 142.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 205 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.6N4 142.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 29.1N2 147.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 205 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 31.5N9 151.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 33.9N5 157.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 30 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 36.5N4 164.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 35 KTS --- 60 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 39.1N3 172.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 071500Z3 POSITION 27.2N1 143.9E7 DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD ALONG OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK WHILE RAPIDLY WEAKENING. WARNING INTENSITY OF 65 KNOTS IS BASED ON A BLEND OF SATELLITE T-NUMBERS OF T3.5 (55 KNOTS) AND CURRENT INTENSITY NUMBERS OF CI4.5 (75 KNOTS) FROM JTWC, KGWC, AND KWBC SATELLITE ANALYSTS, AND THE VERY RAGGED AND SHALLOW CONVECTIVE CLOUD PATTERN. CLOUD TOPS AROUND THE SYSTEM CENTER HAVE NOW WARMED TO AROUND -71C INDICATING THAT EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION SHOULD OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 30 HOURS AS KEITH MOVES OVER 25C AND COOLER SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z0 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z0 (DTG 071953Z5), 080300Z1 (DTG 080153Z7), 080900Z7 (DTG 080753Z3) AND 081500Z4 DTG 081353Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:11:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628442-9194>; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 22:30:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA26568; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 08:12:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6916225 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 08:12:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA28718 for ; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 08:05:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA03809 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 08:05:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711071405.IAA03809@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Nov 1997 08:05:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 044 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a394d52cdacd073fa2b0f96fe8b340ce Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 385 WTPN31 PGTW 071500 1. TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 044 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- 26.6N4 142.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 205 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.6N4 142.9E6 --- FORECASTS: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG8324 UNCLAS 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 29.1N2 147.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 205 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 31.5N9 151.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHGSGG8324 UNCLAS 090000Z9 --- 33.9N5 157.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 30 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 36.5N4 164.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 35 KTS --- 60 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 39.1N3 172.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 071500Z3 POSITION 27.2N1 143.9E7 DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS TRACKED PAGE 05 RUHGSGG8324 UNCLAS NORTHEASTWARD ALONG OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK WHILE RAPIDLY WEAKENING. WARNING INTENSITY OF 65 KNOTS IS BASED ON A BLEND OF SATELLITE T-NUMBERS OF T3.5 (55 KNOTS) AND CURRENT INTENSITY NUMBERS OF CI4.5 (75 KNOTS) FROM JTWC, KGWC, AND KWBC SATELLITE ANALYSTS, AND THE VERY RAGGED AND SHALLOW CONVECTIVE CLOUD PATTERN. CLOUD TOPS AROUND THE SYSTEM CENTER HAVE NOW WARMED TO AROUND -71C INDICATING THAT EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION SHOULD OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 30 HOURS AS KEITH MOVES OVER 25C AND COOLER SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z0 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z0 (DTG 071953Z5), 080300Z1 (DTG 080153Z7), 080900Z7 (DTG 080753Z3) AND 081500Z4 DTG 081353Z0).// BT #8324 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:11:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626989-9197>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 03:11:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA14158; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 12:59:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6919444 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 12:59:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA26426 for ; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 12:59:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA04933 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 12:59:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711071859.MAA04933@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Nov 1997 12:59:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 044 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 37222d48e6e6d035b7df28c4fb5d9155 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 111 WTPN31 PGTW 071500 1. TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 044 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- 26.6N4 142.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 205 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.6N4 142.9E6 --- FORECASTS: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG8324 UNCLAS 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 29.1N2 147.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 205 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 31.5N9 151.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHGSGG8324 UNCLAS 090000Z9 --- 33.9N5 157.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 30 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 36.5N4 164.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 35 KTS --- 60 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 39.1N3 172.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 071500Z3 POSITION 27.2N1 143.9E7 DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS TRACKED PAGE 05 RUHGSGG8324 UNCLAS NORTHEASTWARD ALONG OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK WHILE RAPIDLY WEAKENING. WARNING INTENSITY OF 65 KNOTS IS BASED ON A BLEND OF SATELLITE T-NUMBERS OF T3.5 (55 KNOTS) AND CURRENT INTENSITY NUMBERS OF CI4.5 (75 KNOTS) FROM JTWC, KGWC, AND KWBC SATELLITE ANALYSTS, AND THE VERY RAGGED AND SHALLOW CONVECTIVE CLOUD PATTERN. CLOUD TOPS AROUND THE SYSTEM CENTER HAVE NOW WARMED TO AROUND -71C INDICATING THAT EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION SHOULD OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 30 HOURS AS KEITH MOVES OVER 25C AND COOLER SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z0 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z0 (DTG 071953Z5), 080300Z1 (DTG 080153Z7), 080900Z7 (DTG 080753Z3) AND 081500Z4 DTG 081353Z0).// BT #8324 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:11:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626428-9197>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 04:07:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA46424; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 13:54:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6919797 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 13:54:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA29438 for ; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 13:53:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA05168 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 13:53:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711071953.NAA05168@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Nov 1997 13:53:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Keith (29w) Warning Nr 045 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 171cc91d97ddeeed2d2b998963b66b04 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 150 WTPN31 PGTW 072100 1. TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 045 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 29W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- 27.7N6 144.9E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 27.7N6 144.9E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 29.9N0 149.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 31.9N3 154.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 34.1N8 160.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 28 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 36.4N3 166.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 54 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 54 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 37.7N7 170.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 072100Z0 POSITION 28.2N2 146.0E1 TYPHOON KEITH HAS WEAKENED WHILE TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AND, THEREFORE, HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W). CONVECTION AROUND THE SYSTEM CENTER CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE DUE TO INCREASING WESTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR AND COOLER SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES. KEITH IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM UNDERGOES EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION OWING TO MERGER WITH A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z1 (DTG 080153Z7), 080900Z7 (DTG 080753Z3), 081500Z4 (DTG 081353Z0) AND 082100Z1 (DTG 081953Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:11:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628352-9194>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 04:52:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA42986; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 14:41:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6920266 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 14:41:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA20434 for ; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 14:41:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA05441 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 14:41:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711072041.OAA05441@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Nov 1997 14:41:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Keith (29w) Warning Nr 045 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1d82fc61b137533d98c1ddca726892a0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 904 WTPN31 PGTW 072100 1. TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 045 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 29W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- 27.7N6 144.9E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 27.7N6 144.9E8 --- PAGE 03 RUHGSGG8574 UNCLAS FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 29.9N0 149.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 31.9N3 154.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 34.1N8 160.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG8574 UNCLAS EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 28 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 36.4N3 166.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 54 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 54 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 37.7N7 170.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 072100Z0 POSITION 28.2N2 146.0E1 TYPHOON KEITH HAS WEAKENED WHILE TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AND, THEREFORE, HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W). CONVECTION AROUND THE SYSTEM CENTER PAGE 05 RUHGSGG8574 UNCLAS CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE DUE TO INCREASING WESTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR AND COOLER SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES. KEITH IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM UNDERGOES EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION OWING TO MERGER WITH A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z1 (DTG 080153Z7), 080900Z7 (DTG 080753Z3), 081500Z4 (DTG 081353Z0) AND 082100Z1 (DTG 081953Z6).// BT #8574 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:11:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625875-26832>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 10:13:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA46558; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 19:54:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6922717 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 19:54:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA44488 for ; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 19:54:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA06776 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 19:54:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711080154.TAA06776@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Nov 1997 19:54:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Keith (29w) Warning Nr 046 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2ff3bade9ee15d4ae31c64e3b3e71244 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 511 WTPN31 PGTW 080300 1. TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 046 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- 29.0N1 148.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 30 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.0N1 148.2E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 31.6N0 154.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 34.3N0 160.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 37.2N2 167.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 30 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 39.8N0 174.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION 29.7N8 149.8E2 TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) HAS INCREASED IN FORWARD SPEED THE PAST 6 HOURS AND IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 30 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AND IS FORECAST TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BY 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080900Z7 (DTG 080753Z1), 081500Z4 (DTG 081353Z8), 082100Z1 (DTG 081953Z4) AND 090300Z2 (DTG 090153Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:11:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626883-26833>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 14:31:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA22682; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 00:22:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6924790 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 00:20:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA18242 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 00:20:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA07716 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 00:20:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711080620.AAA07716@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 00:20:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e6e0c167dae5daf838bdbc5e4e3ef570 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 407 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070153ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 080000Z8 TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 29.0N1 148.2E5 AND MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 46 (WTPN31 PGTW 080300)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION CENTERED NEAR 11N2 144E9. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES WEAK CYCLONIC TURNING ON ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. PRESSURES OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS HAVE FALLEN ABOUT 1 MB ON GUAM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/HATFIELD/HONG/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:11:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626569-26832>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 16:48:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA17428; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 02:40:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6925382 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 02:40:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA50668 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 02:40:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA08089 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 02:40:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711080840.CAA08089@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 02:40:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Keith (29w) Warning Nr 047 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8ee9aa182dacd7414e92f4c717a73051 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 766 WTPN31 PGTW 080900 1. TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 047 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z4 --- 29.1N2 152.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 085 DEGREES AT 34 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.1N2 152.3E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 30.1N4 160.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 36 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 32.6N1 168.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 36 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 35.7N5 175.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL EXTENDED OUTLOOK VECTOR TO 42 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 35 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 42 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 36.8N7 180.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 080900Z7 POSITION 29.4N5 154.3E3 TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS EASTWARD AT 34 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 080530Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM IS BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. IT WILL COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IN 12 HOURS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z4 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 (DTG 081353Z8), 082100Z1 (DTG 081953Z4), 090300Z2 (DTG 090153Z6) AND 090900Z8 (DTG 090753Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627009-26832>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 22:13:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA18216; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 08:04:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6926815 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 08:04:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA44300 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 08:04:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA09075 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 08:04:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711081404.IAA09075@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 08:04:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Keith (29w) Warning Nr 048 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d7a23d1524374b85700e1c6c7ea20c5b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 687 WTPN31 PGTW 081500 1. TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 048 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 29.9N0 156.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 34 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 29.9N0 156.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 31.5N9 163.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 34 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 33.7N3 171.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 34 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 37.1N1 178.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION 30.3N6 158.0E4 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) HAS COMPLETED ITS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY SOUTHEAST OF JAPAN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z1 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627117-26827>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 22:44:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA26836; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 08:35:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6926992 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 08:35:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA44482 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 08:35:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA09187 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 08:35:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711081435.IAA09187@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 08:35:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Keith (29w) Warning Nr 048 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4bc1518f4802bee7dee624f11ac341c9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 311 WTPN31 PGTW 081500 1. TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 048 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 29.9N0 156.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 34 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 29.9N0 156.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 31.5N9 163.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 34 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 33.7N3 171.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 34 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 37.1N1 178.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION 30.3N6 158.0E4 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) HAS COMPLETED ITS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY SOUTHEAST OF JAPAN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z1 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG88673121353 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626511-22948>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 14:25:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA20238; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 00:17:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6933938 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 00:17:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA20450 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 00:17:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA12532 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 00:17:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711090617.AAA12532@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 00:17:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 39ecd45ef1ad4477f82db82ee724041d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 419 ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/080153ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 081200Z1 TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 29.9N1 156.1E3 AND MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 34 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 48 (WTPN31 PGTW 081500)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 11N2 144E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 142E7. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW CYCLONIC TURNING WITHIN THIS DISTURBANCE, AND EVIDENCE OF A DEVELOPING BANDING FEATURE. THE OVERALL ORGANIZATION OF THIS TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY, UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FORECAST TO IMPROVE WITHIN 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 10N1 179E7. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A VERY SMALL BUT TIGHTLY WOUND LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/HATFIELD/HONG/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626889-22949>; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 03:43:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA47122; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 13:34:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6938835 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 13:34:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA26874 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 13:34:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA14954 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 13:34:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711091934.NAA14954@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 13:34:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 091851z Nov 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 731529064ab9fde5c469018c98d73b75 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 111 WTPN21 PGTW 091900 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 091851Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.7N8 141.7E3 TO 11.8N0 137.4E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 091630Z INDICATE THAT A WELL DEFINED CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.1N3 141.1E7. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. UPPER AIR REPORTS FROM YAP (WMO 91413) AND GUAM (WMO 91217) INDICATE A MID TROPOSPHERIC CIRCULATION IS ALIGNED WITH THE SURFACE LOCATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND UPPER LEVEL WINDS DERIVED FROM THIS IMAGERY INDICATE UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW IS ALSO SLOWLY IMPROVING. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT CONVECTION IS NOW BEGINNING TO FORM ALONG THE MOSTLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 101900Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625892-11072>; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 07:04:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA26444; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 16:56:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6940344 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 16:56:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA42796 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 16:56:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA15749 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 16:56:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711092256.QAA15749@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 16:56:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 831872a5934ca04fd36b6c7c073d7c7e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 327 ABPW10 PGTW 092300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/092300Z/100600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/091851ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AT 091900Z9, THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 144E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.1N3 141.1E7 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 091900)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 179E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 176E4. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES MORE CONVECTION HAS BECOME ESTABLISHED OVER A PREVIOUSLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION: TO UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA IN PARAGRAPH 1 B (2). FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/HATFIELD/HONG/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 11 10:47:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626496-11080>; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 17:33:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA46604; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 02:47:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6944050 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 02:46:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA46578 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 02:46:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA17751 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 02:46:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711100846.CAA17751@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 02:46:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 190d0668871d6a0dd33b8e91a3478bd0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 075 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/091851ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AT 091900Z9, THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.1N3 141.1E7 HAS NOT MOVED AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 091900)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 176E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 175E3. ALTHOUGH VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION HAS DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY, A VERY WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER STILL EXISTS. HOWEVER, THE DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO TRACK UNDERNEATH A UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IN 24 HOURS. THIS SHOULD ALLOW CONDITIONS TO BECOME FAVORABLE FOR CONVECTION TO REDEVELOP. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/HATFIELD/HONG/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 11 10:48:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626640-11078>; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 02:21:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA49722; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 12:02:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6947904 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 12:01:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA14104 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 12:01:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA19626 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 12:01:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711101801.MAA19626@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 12:01:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: This Warning Supersedes And Cancels Navpacmetoccen West To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c78219b1a1a3a1fabbc538d094ac2b77 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 509 WTPN31 PGTW 101800 THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 091851Z NOV 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 091900 ) 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101800Z0 --- 11.2N4 140.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.2N4 140.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 11.4N6 138.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 11.7N9 137.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 12.0N3 135.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 12.4N7 133.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 13.4N8 129.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 101800Z4 POSITION 11.2N4 140.0E5 LATEST INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM LOCATED SOUTHWEST OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS HAS DEVELOPED INTO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W AND HAS AN ESTIMATED INTENSITY OF 25 KNOTS. OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TD 31W HAS BECOME MORE CENTRALLY LOCATED NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS SHOW THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE WHICH HAS ENHANCED THE OUTFLOW ABOVE THE SYSTEM. TD 31W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT REMAINS IN AN AREA WTH GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. STRONG MID-TROPOSPHERIC RIDGING TO THE NORTH WILL KEEP THE SYSTEM ON A WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. IT IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TO INCREASE ITS FORWARD SPEED AFTER THE 36 HOUR PERIOD. NUMERICAL GUIDANCE FROM THE NAVY, AVIATION AND JAPANESE MODELS SUPPORT THIS FORECAST AS THEY DEVELOP TD 31W THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z5 (DTG 110153Z1), 110900Z1 (DTG 110753Z7), 111500Z8 (DTG 111353Z4) AND 112100Z5 (DTG 111953Z0). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 091851Z NOV 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 091900)// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 11 10:48:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625891-11078>; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 02:20:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA29414; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 12:06:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6947963 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 12:06:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA10450 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 12:06:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA19651 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 12:06:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711101806.MAA19651@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 12:06:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: This Warning Supersedes And Cancels Navpacmetoccen West To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c8f4142a25061cbd1af0a5a8cceb4f0e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 624 WTPN31 PGTW 101800 THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 091851Z NOV 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 091900 ) 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101800Z0 --- 11.2N4 140.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.2N4 140.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 11.4N6 138.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 11.7N9 137.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 12.0N3 135.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 12.4N7 133.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 13.4N8 129.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 101800Z4 POSITION 11.2N4 140.0E5 LATEST INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM LOCATED SOUTHWEST OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS HAS DEVELOPED INTO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W AND HAS AN ESTIMATED INTENSITY OF 25 KNOTS. OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TD 31W HAS BECOME MORE CENTRALLY LOCATED NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS SHOW THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE WHICH HAS ENHANCED THE OUTFLOW ABOVE THE SYSTEM. TD 31W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT REMAINS IN AN AREA WITH GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. STRONG MID-TROPOSPHERIC RIDGING TO THE NORTH WILL KEEP THE SYSTEM ON A WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. IT IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TO INCREASE ITS FORWARD SPEED AFTER THE 36 HOUR PERIOD. NUMERICAL GUIDANCE FROM THE NAVY, AVIATION AND JAPANESE MODELS SUPPORT THIS FORECAST AS THEY DEVELOP TD 31W THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z5 (DTG 110153Z1), 110900Z1 (DTG 110753Z7), 111500Z8 (DTG 111353Z4) AND 112100Z5 (DTG 111953Z0). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 091851Z NOV 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 091900)// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 11 10:48:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626445-6603>; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 10:01:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA21350; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 19:51:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6951781 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 19:51:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA16952 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 19:51:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA21349 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 19:51:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711110151.TAA21349@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 19:51:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 31w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d63b60c219163ed1d6104205e745bceb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 527 WTPN31 PGTW 110300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- 11.8N0 138.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.8N0 138.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 12.4N7 137.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 12.9N2 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 13.4N8 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 13.7N1 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 14.0N5 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION 11.9N1 138.5E7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS AND HAS SLOWLY INTENSIFIED AND BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS APPARENT IN VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 102330Z9 SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI2.0 (30 KNOTS). OUR FORECAST TRACK IS SLIGHTLY MORE POLEWARD OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK OWING TO THE MORE NORTHWARD INITIAL POSITION OF TD 31W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z1 (DTG 110753Z7), 111500Z8 (DTG 111353Z4), 112100Z5 (DTG 111953Z0) AND 120300Z6 (DTG 120153Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 11 15:29:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626017-6607>; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 12:37:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA09552; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 22:20:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6953397 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 22:20:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA35128 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 22:20:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA21866 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 22:20:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711110420.WAA21866@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 22:20:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 31w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e23641887e024e3820a1d50003c1c02e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 332 WTPN31 PGTW 110300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- 11.8N0 138.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.8N0 138.9E1 --- PAGE 03 RUHGSGG9845 UNCLAS FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 12.4N7 137.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 12.9N2 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 13.4N8 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHGSGG9845 UNCLAS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 13.7N1 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 14.0N5 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION 11.9N1 138.5E7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS AND HAS SLOWLY INTENSIFIED AND PAGE 05 RUHGSGG9845 UNCLAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS APPARENT IN VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 102330Z9 SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI2.0 (30 KNOTS). OUR FORECAST TRACK IS SLIGHTLY MORE POLEWARD OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK OWING TO THE MORE NORTHWARD INITIAL POSITION OF TD 31W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z1 (DTG 110753Z7), 111500Z8 (DTG 111353Z4), 112100Z5 (DTG 111953Z0) AND 120300Z6 (DTG 120153Z2).// BT #9845 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 11 15:29:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626574-6608>; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 14:35:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA30856; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 00:16:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6954335 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 00:16:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA30504 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 00:15:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA22265 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 00:15:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711110615.AAA22265@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Nov 1997 00:15:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9d322623cf7a869f54149e55fac3ea17 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 378 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/110153ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110000Z2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WAS LOCATED AT 11.8N0 138.9E1, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNING NR 02 (WTPN31 PGTW 110300) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AT 091900Z9, THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 11.1N3 141.1E7 AND WAS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT HAS DEVELOPED (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 10N1 175E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.6N9 171.5E4. HOWEVER, DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, THIS DISTURBANCE HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 110000Z2 SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE THAT IS LOCATED NEAR 14N5 168E5. THERE IS LITTLE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM. HOWEVER, NEW MODERATE CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER DURING THE PAST 03 HOURS. ALTHOUGH NEARBY SURFACE PRESSURES ARE HIGHER THAN NORMAL, THIS SYSTEM REMAINS A TIGHTLY ORGANIZED TROPICAL DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS NEAR 06N6 104E5. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A WEAK, LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH MODERATE, UPPER- LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. LAND INTERACTION WITH THE SOUTHERN MALAY PENINSULA SHOULD INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 11 15:29:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626698-6603>; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 14:51:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA28432; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 00:44:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6954560 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 00:44:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA36850 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 00:44:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA22357 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 00:44:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711110644.AAA22357@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Nov 1997 00:44:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 13028324f1570c664cef64d53fb1c38a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 235 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/110153ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110000Z2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WAS LOCATED AT 11.8N0 138.9E1, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNING NR 02 (WTPN31 PGTW 110300) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AT 091900Z9, THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 11.1N3 141.1E7, WHICH WAS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT, HAS DEVELOPED INTO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 10N1 175E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.6N9 171.5E4. HOWEVER, DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, THIS DISTURBANCE HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 110000Z2 SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE THAT IS LOCATED NEAR 14N5 168E5. THERE IS LITTLE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM. HOWEVER, NEW MODERATE CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER DURING THE PAST 03 HOURS. ALTHOUGH NEARBY SURFACE PRESSURES ARE HIGHER THAN NORMAL, THIS SYSTEM REMAINS A TIGHTLY ORGANIZED TROPICAL DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS NEAR 06N6 104E5. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A WEAK, LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH MODERATE, UPPER- LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. LAND INTERACTION WITH THE SOUTHERN MALAY PENINSULA SHOULD INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: THE NEED TO MENTION DEVELOPMENT OF TD 31W IN PARAGRAPH 1.B.(1) AND CHANGE SUSPECT AREA FROM FAIR TO POOR IN PARAGRAPH 1.B.(2). FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 11 15:29:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627138-6608>; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 15:29:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA28566; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 01:20:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6954751 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 01:20:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA50560 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 01:20:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA22452 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 01:20:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711110720.BAA22452@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Nov 1997 01:20:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Mort (31w) Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7a24bdb83cb51a96331c335ae5de7094 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 030 WTPN31 PGTW 110900 1. TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WARNING NR 003 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- 11.9N1 138.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.9N1 138.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 12.3N6 137.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 12.8N1 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 13.2N6 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 13.5N9 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 13.8N2 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION 12.0N3 138.2E4 DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND HAS INTENSIFIED INTO TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W). THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A DVORAK SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T2.5 (35 KNOTS). THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED AND THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE CENTRALIZED WITH CLOUD TOPS NEAR -80C. DUE TO THE SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENT IN THE OVERALL CLOUD PATTERN, WE HAVE INCREASED THE INTENSITY TREND TO SLIGHTLY FASTER THAN NORMAL WHICH IS CONSISTENT WITH CLIMATOLOGY FOR A TROPICAL CYCLONE AT THIS LATITUDE. THERE CONSIDERABLE DIFFERENCES REMAIN BETWEEN THE GFDN MODEL AND OTHER DYNAMIC MODEL FORECASTS AFTER 36 TO 48 HOURS. OUR FORECAST REMAINS IN THE MIDDLE OF OUR OBJECTIVE AIDS ENVELOPE AND WE HAVE USED. CLIMATOLOGY FOR THE TRACK SPEED WHICH IS CONSIDERABLY SLOWER THAN EITHER THE JGSM OR JTYM MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2), 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8), 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0) AND 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 12 02:09:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626649-6607>; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 16:43:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA46792; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 02:25:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6955171 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 02:23:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA50292 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 02:23:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA22623 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 02:23:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711110823.CAA22623@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Nov 1997 02:23:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Mort (31w) Warning Nr 003a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: df6004b01843cd46297628c1d846fadb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 951 WTPN31 PGTW 110900 COR 1. TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WARNING NR 003A CORRECTED UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- 11.9N1 138.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.9N1 138.5E7 PAGE 03 RUHGSGG9905 UNCLAS --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 12.3N6 137.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 12.8N1 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 13.2N6 134.7E5 PAGE 04 RUHGSGG9905 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 13.5N9 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 13.8N2 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE PAGE 05 RUHGSGG9905 UNCLAS 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION 12.0N3 138.2E4 DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND HAS INTENSIFIED INTO TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W). THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A DVORAK SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T2.5 (35 KNOTS). THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED AND THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE CENTRALIZED WITH CLOUD TOPS NEAR -80C. DUE TO THE SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENT IN THE OVERALL CLOUD PATTERN, WE HAVE INCREASED THE INTENSITY TREND TO SLIGHTLY FASTER THAN NORMAL WHICH IS CONSISTENT WITH CLIMATOLOGY FOR A TROPICAL CYCLONE AT THIS LATITUDE. CONSIDERABLE DIFFERENCES REMAIN BETWEEN THE GFDN MODEL AND OTHER DYNAMIC MODEL FORECASTS AFTER 36 TO 48 HOURS. OUR FORECAST REMAINS IN THE MIDDLE OF OUR OBJECTIVE AIDS ENVELOPE AND WE HAVE USED CLIMATOLOGY FOR PAGE 06 RUHGSGG9905 UNCLAS THE TRACK SPEED WHICH IS CONSIDERABLY SLOWER THAN THE JGSM OR JTYM MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2), 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8), 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0) AND 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6). JUSTIFICATION: TO CORRECTED THE REMARKS SECTION.// BT #9905 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 12 02:09:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627423-6607>; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 21:54:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA32694; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 07:39:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6956430 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 07:39:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA24992 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 07:39:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA23573 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 07:39:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711111339.HAA23573@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Nov 1997 07:39:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Mort (31w) Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f6ceeaee8caa42bd56060666298f3c3a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 669 WTPN31 PGTW 111500 1. TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- 12.1N4 137.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.1N4 137.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 12.5N8 136.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 12.9N2 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 13.3N7 134.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 13.7N1 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 14.5N0 130.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION 12.2N5 137.6E7 TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS IN THE PHILLIPINE SEA. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS IT CONTINUES IN THIS DIRECTION. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST. MAXIMUM S IGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 (DTG 111953Z0), 120300Z6 (DTG 120153Z2), 120900Z2 (DTG 120753Z8) AND 121500Z9 (DTG 121353Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 12 09:17:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627562-6603>; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 05:21:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA37194; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 15:02:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6962319 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 15:02:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA13064 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 15:02:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA25323 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 15:02:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711112102.PAA25323@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Nov 1997 15:02:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Mort (31w) Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a1ba0af44e4f35ebe85b374ddc057bc6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 362 WTPN31 PGTW 112100 1. TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- 12.4N7 136.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.4N7 136.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 12.9N2 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 13.4N8 133.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 13.8N2 132.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 14.3N8 131.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 15.3N9 129.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION 12.5N8 136.2E2 TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) IS CONTINUING TO TRACK WEST- NORTHWESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. THE SYSTEM HAS ACCELERATED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) IS EXPECTED TO SLOW AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS WEAKER STEERING FLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 (DTG 120153Z2), 120900Z2 (DTG 120753Z8), 121500Z9 (DTG 121353Z5) AND 122100Z6 (DTG 121953Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 12 11:19:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626022-29170>; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 10:04:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA13752; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 19:52:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6965454 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 19:52:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA46458 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 19:52:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA26414 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 19:52:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711120152.TAA26414@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Nov 1997 19:52:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Mort (31w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9c5bade7646afdae049730cc3e2c9510 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 899 WTPN31 PGTW 120300 1. TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- 12.7N0 135.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.7N0 135.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 13.3N7 133.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 13.8N2 132.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 14.3N8 130.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 14.6N1 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 15.0N6 126.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION 12.9N2 135.2E1 DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND STEADILY INTENSIFIED. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 112330Z0 SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI 3.5 (55 TO 60 KNOTS) AND COLD CLOUD TOPS OF -83C THAT HAVE DEVELOPED VERY NEAR THE SYSTEM CENTER. OVERALL SYSTEM ORGANIZATION CONTINUES TO IMPROVE AND WE EXPECT MORT TO REACH TYPHOON INTENSITY WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z3 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2 (DTG 120753Z8), 121500Z9 (DTG 121353Z5), 122100Z6 (DTG 121953Z1) AND 130300Z7 (DTG 130153Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 12 11:19:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626161-29163>; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 10:37:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA29802; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 20:23:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6965635 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 20:23:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA45394 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 20:23:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA26522 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 20:23:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711120223.UAA26522@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Nov 1997 20:23:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Mort (31w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1752e03d69f6c668f5a03f80a374d687 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 580 WTPN31 PGTW 120300 1. TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- 12.7N0 135.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM PAGE 03 RUHGSGG0220 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.7N0 135.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 13.3N7 133.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 13.8N2 132.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG0220 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 14.3N8 130.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 14.6N1 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS PAGE 05 RUHGSGG0220 UNCLAS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 15.0N6 126.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION 12.9N2 135.2E1 DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND STEADILY INTENSIFIED. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 112330Z0 SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI 3.5 (55 TO 60 KNOTS) AND COLD CLOUD TOPS OF -83C THAT HAVE DEVELOPED VERY NEAR THE SYSTEM CENTER. OVERALL SYSTEM ORGANIZATION CONTINUES TO IMPROVE AND WE EXPECT MORT TO REACH TYPHOON INTENSITY WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE PAGE 06 RUHGSGG0220 UNCLAS HEIGHT AT 120000Z3 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2 (DTG 120753Z8), 121500Z9 (DTG 121353Z5), 122100Z6 (DTG 121953Z1) AND 130300Z7 (DTG 130153Z3).// BT #0220 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 13 02:33:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626550-29170>; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 14:42:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA04364; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 00:22:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6968195 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 00:21:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA21274 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 00:14:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA27310 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 00:14:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711120614.AAA27310@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Nov 1997 00:14:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: dd50559f8c666ffdf09b66489f6552f1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 654 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120153ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120000Z3 TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WAS LOCATED AT 12.7N0 135.6E5, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WARNING NR 06 (WTPN31 PGTW 120300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 12.6N9 171.5E4 HAS MOVED RAPIDLY WESTWARD TO NEAR 13.5N9 158.5E9 AND HAS WEAKENED. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WAS LOCATED BENEATH DIFLUENT UPPER-LEVEL FLOW. HOWEVER, MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS DISPLACED THE CONVECTION TO THE EAST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 06N6 104E5 HAS WEAKENED AND HAS CROSSED THE MALAY PENINSULA INTO THE BAY OF BENGAL. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/HONG/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 13 02:33:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626778-29168>; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 15:51:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA04564; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 01:39:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6968620 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 01:39:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA17344 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 01:39:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA27543 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 01:39:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711120739.BAA27543@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Nov 1997 01:39:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Mort (31w) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 27d8e4d3451727a67a837dc0a4f63d93 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 645 WTPN31 PGTW 120900 1. TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- 13.0N4 134.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.0N4 134.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 13.6N0 133.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 14.1N6 131.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 14.7N2 130.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 15.0N6 128.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 15.5N1 125.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION 13.2N6 134.4E2 TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND HAS CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY AND BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. A SMALL CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER AND HAS INCREASED IN DIAMETER. NUMEROUS CLOUD TOPS AS COLD AS -83C TO -86C HAVE ENCIRCLED THE SYSTEM CENTER. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 120530Z1 SATELLITE- DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF CI 3.5 (55 TO 60 KNOTS) FROM JTWC AND KGWC SATELLITE ANALYSTS, AND THE VERY COLD TOPS NEAR THE SYSTEM CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9 (DTG 121353Z5), 122100Z6 (DTG 1953Z1), 130300Z7 (DTG 130153Z3) AND 130900Z3 (DTG 130753Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 13 02:33:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626761-25630>; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 21:06:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id GAA45464; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 06:55:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6970116 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 06:55:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id GAA25220 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 06:55:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA28525 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 06:55:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711121255.GAA28525@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Nov 1997 06:55:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Mort (31w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 11abaec1353f13b2036edab5321551d9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 758 WTPN31 PGTW 121500 1. TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z6 --- 13.3N7 134.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.3N7 134.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 13.9N3 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 14.4N9 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 14.8N3 129.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 15.1N7 128.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 15.8N4 125.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 121500Z9 POSITION 13.4N8 133.6E3 TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN ITS PRESENT DIRECTION AND SLOWLY INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z6 (DTG 121953Z1), 130300Z7 (DTG 130153Z3), 130900Z3 (DTG 130753Z9) AND 131500Z0 (DTG 131353Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 13 10:08:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627170-25629>; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 04:12:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA16408; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 14:02:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6975738 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 14:02:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA16894 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 14:02:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA00209 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 14:02:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711122002.OAA00209@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Nov 1997 14:02:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Mort (31w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 55da18f359c138cf2f576f88c5bd8a81 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 209 WTPN31 PGTW 122100 1. TYPHOON MORT (31W) WARNING NR 009 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 31W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- 13.6N0 133.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.6N0 133.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 14.2N7 131.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 14.7N2 129.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 15.2N8 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 15.6N2 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 16.7N4 124.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION 13.7N1 132.6E2 TYPHOON MORT (31W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES ITS PRESENT TRACK AND IS GRADUALLY INTENSIFYING. TYPHOON MORT (31W) HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. SPIRAL BANDING AND DEEP CENTRAL CONVECTION HAVE INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z7 (DTG 130153Z3), 130900Z3 (DTG 130753Z9), 131500Z0 (DTG 131353Z6) AND 132100Z7 (DTG 131953Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 13 11:41:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626487-16248>; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 10:49:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA25094; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 20:30:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6980299 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 20:29:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA28594 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 20:29:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA01770 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 20:29:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711130229.UAA01770@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Nov 1997 20:29:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Mort (31w) Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: df9fedf567afc72976e4970302bbe8d6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 529 WTPN31 PGTW 130300 1. TYPHOON MORT (31W) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- 13.8N2 132.5E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.8N2 132.5E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 14.2N7 131.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 14.6N1 129.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 15.0N6 128.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 15.4N0 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 16.5N2 125.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION 13.9N3 132.2E8 TYPHOON MORT (31W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY OTHER THAN TO SLOW THE SYSTEM=S FORWARD MOTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3 (DTG 130753Z9), 131500Z0 (DTG 131353Z6), 132100Z7 (DTG 131953Z2) AND 140300Z8 (DTG 140153Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 13 19:23:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626715-16254>; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 14:14:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA39058; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 23:59:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6982147 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 23:59:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA28500 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 23:59:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA02450 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 23:59:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711130559.XAA02450@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Nov 1997 23:59:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2606d16fad9c592e5b58bb8fcad4c79e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 824 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/130153ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130000Z4 TYPHOON MORT (31W) WAS LOCATED AT 13.8N2 132.5E1 MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON MORT (31W) WARNING NR 10 (WTPN31 PGTW 130300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.5N9 158.5E9 IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/HATFIELD/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 13 19:23:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627618-16254>; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 16:43:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA18398; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 02:31:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6983079 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 02:31:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA16828 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 02:31:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA02849 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 02:31:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711130831.CAA02849@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Nov 1997 02:31:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Mort (31w) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8fd225fd2501c2fee31dc97e09936350 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 817 WTPN31 PGTW 130900 1. TYPHOON MORT (31W) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 13 19:23:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627474-16253>; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 16:50:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA20384; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 02:38:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6983113 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 02:38:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA28300 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 02:38:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA02881 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 02:38:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711130838.CAA02881@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Nov 1997 02:38:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Mort (31w) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d34840bffa03049124bc256746a8d78d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 910 WTPN31 PGTW 130900 1. TYPHOON MORT (31W) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- 13.6N0 132.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.6N0 132.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 13.7N1 130.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 14.0N5 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 14.4N9 127.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 14.9N4 126.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 16.4N1 124.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION 13.6N0 131.6E1 TYPHOON MORT (31W) HAS BEEN MOVING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 130530Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND CONTINUITY FROM A 130134Z2 SCATTEROMETER PASS. TYPHOON MORT (31W) SHOULD MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION AS IT MOVES INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. BY THE 72 HOUR POSITION, THE SYSTEM=S MOTION SHOULD BE MORE NORTHWESTWARD AS IT SLOWS IN SPEED. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SHOULD INCREASE AFTER THE 48 HOUR POSITION WHICH WILL INHIBIT FUTURE DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 (DTG 131353Z6), 132100Z7 (DTG 131953Z2), 140300Z8 (DTG 140153Z4) AND 140900Z4 (DTG 140753Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 14 11:19:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627039-16254>; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 23:21:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA25252; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 09:08:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6985175 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 09:08:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA26652 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 09:08:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA04102 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 09:07:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711131507.JAA04102@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Nov 1997 09:07:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Mort (31w) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 93c97403d97a1126b71328492f7c5a8c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 620 WTPN31 PGTW 131500 1. TYPHOON MORT (31W) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- 13.7N1 131.1E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.7N1 131.1E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 13.9N3 129.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 14.2N7 128.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 14.7N2 126.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 15.4N0 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 16.9N6 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION 13.7N1 130.7E1 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TYPHOON MORT (31W) HAS CONTINUED ON A MOSTLY WESTWARD TRACK AND HAS MAINTAINED ITS INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 131130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 4.0 (65 KNOTS) RESPECTIVELY. TYPHOON MORT IS FORECAST TO TRACK IN A GENERALLY WEST TO WEST- NORTHWEST DIRECTION THROUGH THE 36 HOUR PERIOD WHERE IT IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE TO A MOSTLY NORTHWEST TRACK DUE TO A WEAKENING IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MORT IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT LESS THAN A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY BASED ON A 130134Z2 SCATTEROMETER PASS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z7 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (DTG 131953Z2), 140300Z8 (DTG 140153Z4), 140900Z4 (DTG 140753Z0) AND 141500Z1 (DTG 141353Z7).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG10503171353 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 14 11:19:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627704-16252>; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 04:36:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA20422; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 14:24:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6989900 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 14:24:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA16666 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 14:23:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA05251 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 14:23:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711132023.OAA05251@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Nov 1997 14:23:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Mort (31w) Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 12165e9bbc71bc84aee8d6ff819c8e26 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 021 WTPN31 PGTW 132100 1. TYPHOON MORT (31W) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 14 11:19:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627039-16248>; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 04:52:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA21656; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 14:40:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6990234 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 14:40:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA35188 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 14:40:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA05329 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 14:40:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711132040.OAA05329@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Nov 1997 14:40:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Mort (31w) Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cc5b6d520f21e5d9b1adee54001d023a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 256 WTPN31 PGTW 132100 1. TYPHOON MORT (31W) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- 14.1N6 130.6E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N6 130.6E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 14.3N8 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 14.5N0 127.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 15.0N6 126.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 15.8N4 124.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 17.7N5 122.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION 14.1N6 130.2E6 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TYPHOON MORT (31W) HAS DEVELOPED AN ORGANIZED AREA OF CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM IS STILL ENCOUNTERING MODERATE TO STRONG SHEAR FROM THE SHORT WAVE LOCATED TO THE NORTH. 131730Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE INTENSITY HAS REMAINED CONSTANT AT 65 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE FORECAST TRACK CONCURS WITH THE PREVIOUS WARNING AS TY MORT CONTINUES TO TRACK IN A WEST-NORTHWEST DIRECTION SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGH THE 48 HOUR PERIOD AS IT IS INFLUENCED BY THE SHORT WAVE TO THE NORTH. AFTER 48 HOURS DYNAMIC MODELS INDICATE RIDGING TO THE WEST WILL BUILD AND INTRODUCE STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR INTO THE REGION WHICH WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN TY MORT AS FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z3 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITION NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8 (DTG 140153Z4), 140900Z4 (DTG 140753Z0), 141500Z1 (DTG 141353Z7) AND 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 14 11:19:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626131-12518>; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 10:57:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA04388; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 20:39:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6993846 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 20:38:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA13540 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 20:38:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA06832 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 20:38:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711140238.UAA06832@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Nov 1997 20:38:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Mort (31w) Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4642b7a62d366bb6e303cdd974bb3ff6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 028 WTPN31 PGTW 140300 1. TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- 13.8N2 129.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.8N2 129.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 14.1N6 127.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 14.4N9 125.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 15.0N6 124.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 15.8N4 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 17.0N8 122.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION 13.9N3 128.5E6 TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION WAS BASED ON 140030Z8 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY WHICH CLEARLY SHOWED A FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS WAS THE BASIS FOR OUR RELOCATION. OUR WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 (DTG 140753Z0), 141500Z1 (DTG 141353Z7), 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3) AND 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 14 11:21:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627077-12518>; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 11:20:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA36890; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 21:03:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6994033 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 21:03:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA46598 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 21:03:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA06915 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 21:03:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711140303.VAA06915@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Nov 1997 21:03:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Mort (31w) Warning Nr 014a Amended And To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ac8b5e039594e7293faee0cd26e78c59 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 421 WTPN31 PGTW 140300 AMD 1. TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WARNING NR 014A AMENDED AND RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- 13.8N2 129.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.8N2 129.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 14.1N6 127.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 14.4N9 125.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 15.0N6 124.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 15.8N4 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 17.0N8 122.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION 13.9N3 128.5E6 TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION WAS BASED ON 140030Z8 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY WHICH CLEARLY SHOWED A FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS WAS THE BASIS FOR OUR RELOCATION. OUR WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 (TG 140753Z0), 141500Z1 (DTG 141353Z7), 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3) AND 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5). JUSTIFICATION FOR AMENDMENT: TO CHANGE THE MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:49:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627182-12518>; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 14:26:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA14616; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 00:20:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6995577 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 00:20:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA14838 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 00:20:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA07570 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 00:20:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711140620.AAA07570@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Nov 1997 00:20:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b18a225aac21f3a8222193281f9b0151 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 245 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/1 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:49:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627290-12516>; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 16:15:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA10894; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 02:06:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6996022 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 02:06:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA36984 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 02:06:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA07831 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 02:06:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711140806.CAA07831@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Nov 1997 02:06:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Mort (31w) Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8b6ce552945bc9553d6cd047fc5e984f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 218 WTPN31 PGTW 140900 1. TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- 13.8N2 128.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.8N2 128.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 14.0N5 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 14.5N0 124.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 15.4N0 123.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 16.2N9 121.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION 13.8N2 127.6E6 TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 140530Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK. THE SYSTEM SHOULD DISSIPATE BY 48 HOURS OVER THE EASTERN COAST OF LUZON. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z1 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 (DTG 141353Z7), 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3), 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5) AND 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627193-12516>; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 22:31:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA31376; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 08:14:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6997502 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 08:14:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA13438 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 08:14:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA08971 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 08:14:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711141414.IAA08971@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Nov 1997 08:14:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Mort (31w) Warning Nr 016 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 124042f86fd2002e05747482034ccfe0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 996 WTPN31 PGTW 141500 1. TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- 13.8N2 126.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.8N2 126.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 14.2N7 124.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 15.1N7 122.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 16.0N7 121.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION 13.9N3 125.9E7 LATEST INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 60 NM FROM THE CONVECTION. THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER HAS INCREASED FORWARD SPEED TO 12 KNOTS AND IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN THIS SPEED UNTIL IT APPROACHES LAND TOWARDS THE 24 HOUR PERIOD. TS MORT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT 35 KNOTS INTENSITY THROUGH THE 12 HOUR PERIOD AT WHICH POINT INTERACTION WITH LAND WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z8 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3), 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5), 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1) AND 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627109-12517>; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 23:24:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA09596; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 09:04:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6997917 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 09:04:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA09314 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 09:04:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA09133 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 09:04:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711141504.JAA09133@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Nov 1997 09:04:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Mort (31w) Warning Nr 016 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ef472fe5e44b390f01d75bab0799fdfd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 841 WTPN31 PGTW 141500 1. TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- 13.8N2 126.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PAGE 03 RUHGSGG1574 UNCLAS PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.8N2 126.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 14.2N7 124.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 15.1N7 122.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS PAGE 04 RUHGSGG1574 UNCLAS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 16.0N7 121.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION 13.9N3 125.9E7 LATEST INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 60 NM FROM THE CONVECTION. THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER HAS INCREASED FORWARD SPEED TO 12 KNOTS AND IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN THIS SPEED UNTIL IT APPROACHES LAND TOWARDS THE 24 HOUR PERIOD. TS MORT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT 35 KNOTS INTENSITY THROUGH THE 12 HOUR PERIOD AT WHICH POINT INTERACTION WITH LAND WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z8 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 (DTG PAGE 05 RUHGSGG1574 UNCLAS 141953Z3), 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5), 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1) AND 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8).// BT #1574 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627278-12518>; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 23:45:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA47036; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 09:34:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6998100 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 09:34:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA33954 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 09:34:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA09218 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 09:34:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711141534.JAA09218@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Nov 1997 09:34:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d684197b03b0e1ea04b8d04a4655f00f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 490 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/140153ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140000Z5 TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WAS LOCATED AT 13.8N2 129.0E2 MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WARNING NR 14 (WTPN31 PGTW 140300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/HATFIELD/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627297-12517>; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 04:49:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA43582; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 14:28:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7001152 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 14:28:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA49894 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 14:28:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA10653 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 14:28:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711142028.OAA10653@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Nov 1997 14:28:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Mort (31w) Warning Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e74dd28aef61e2eea682d8b66af08553 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 264 WTPN31 PGTW 142100 1. TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- 14.1N6 126.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N6 126.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 14.6N1 123.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 15.3N9 122.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 16.1N8 120.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION 14.2N7 125.5E3 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS CONVECTION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND MORE CENTRALLY LOCATED TO TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W). THE FORECAST INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF NUMEROUS SYNOPTIC SHIP REPORTS AND A SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF BETWEEN 45 AND 55 KNOTS. THE FORECAST TRACK CONCURS WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST, HOWEVER THE FORECAST INTENSITIES HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY BASED ON THE RECENT INCREASE IN CONVECTION AND INTENSITY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLOWLY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT APPROACHES THE PHILLIPINE ISLAND OF LUZON. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE MONITORED CLOSELY FOR ADDITIONAL ORGANIZATION AND INCREASE IN INTENSITY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z4 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5), 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1), 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8) AND 152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627306-12517>; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 05:06:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA48522; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 14:45:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7001296 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 14:45:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA28184 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 14:45:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA10753 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 14:45:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711142045.OAA10753@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Nov 1997 14:45:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Mort (31w) Warning Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9ed23ba39b0aa313311d7e12f5a1c439 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 563 WTPN31 PGTW 142100 1. TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- 14.1N6 126.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PAGE 03 RUHGSGG1682 UNCLAS PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N6 126.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 14.6N1 123.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 15.3N9 122.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER PAGE 04 RUHGSGG1682 UNCLAS WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 16.1N8 120.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION 14.2N7 125.5E3 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS CONVECTION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND MORE CENTRALLY LOCATED TO TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W). THE FORECAST INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF NUMEROUS SYNOPTIC SHIP REPORTS AND A SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF BETWEEN 45 AND 55 KNOTS. THE FORECAST TRACK CONCURS WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST, HOWEVER THE FORECAST INTENSITIES HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY BASED ON THE RECENT INCREASE IN CONVECTION AND INTENSITY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLOWLY PAGE 05 RUHGSGG1682 UNCLAS THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT APPROACHES THE PHILLIPINE ISLAND OF LUZON. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE MONITORED CLOSELY FOR ADDITIONAL ORGANIZATION AND INCREASE IN INTENSITY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z4 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5), 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1), 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8) AND 152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4).// BT #1682 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626083-15662>; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 10:02:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA43592; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 19:54:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7003522 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 19:54:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA49716 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 19:54:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA11915 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 19:54:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711150154.TAA11915@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Nov 1997 19:54:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Mort (31w) Warning Nr 018 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: db43565677b187ad23a98eda361bb3d9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 155 WTPN31 PGTW 150300 1. TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- 14.7N2 125.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N2 125.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 15.3N9 123.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 15.9N5 121.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 16.8N5 120.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION 14.9N4 124.7E4 DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD IN THE WESTERN PHILIPPINE SEA AND HAS INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS A BLEND OF SATELLITE-DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF CI 3.5 (55 KNOTS) AND CI 3.0 (45 KNOTS) FROM KGWC AND JTWC SATELLITE ANALYSTS, RESPECTIVELY. SOME ADDITIONAL INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE DURING THE DIURNAL CONVECTIVE MAXIMUM PERIOD THIS EVENING. MORT IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL IN 24 HOURS ALONG THE EAST COAST OF LUZON NEAR BALER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z6 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1), 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8), 152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4) AND 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626650-15655>; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 13:56:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA37546; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 23:39:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7004447 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 23:39:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA32912 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 23:39:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA12555 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 23:39:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711150539.XAA12555@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Nov 1997 23:39:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f15dc2c2f199f915275cc076b15bc79b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 267 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150153ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WAS LOCATED AT 14.7N2 125.1E9 MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WARNING NR 18 (WTPN31 PGTW 150300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF MODERATE DEEP CONVECTION HAS MOVED WEST OF THE DATELINE AND WAS LOCATED NEAR 8.0N8 179.9E6. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS LOCATED IN THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. WATER VAPOR- DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THAT AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE OR RIDGE AXIS LIES ALONG AND TO THE WEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS MOVED WEST OF THE DATELINE AND WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 179.9E6. VISIBLE SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH DIVERGENT, UNIDIRECTIONAL UPPER-LEVEL FLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626947-15659>; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 16:42:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA28348; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 02:36:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7005148 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 02:36:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA25768 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 02:36:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA13095 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 02:36:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711150836.CAA13095@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Nov 1997 02:36:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Mort (31w) Warning Nr 019 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ce0196958c5941a3047118976993c1f3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 537 WTPN31 PGTW 150900 1. TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 15.0N6 124.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG1842 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.0N6 124.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 15.6N2 122.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 16.4N1 121.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND PAGE 04 RUHGSGG1842 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 30 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 30 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 16.8N5 120.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION 15.2N8 123.7E3 TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS AND HAS INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A LARGE, WELL-DEFINED CONVECTIVE BAND HAS TIGHTENED UP AROUND THE SOUTH AND EAST SIDE OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, SOME NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS STILL APPARENT ON THE SYSTEM, AND LITTLE, IF ANY, ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8), 152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4), 160300Z0 (DTG PAGE 05 RUHGSGG1842 UNCLAS 160153Z6) AND 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2).// BT #1842 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627202-15661>; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 16:44:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA40184; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 02:38:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7005153 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 02:38:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA35552 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 02:37:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA13099 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 02:37:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711150837.CAA13099@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Nov 1997 02:37:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Mort (31w) Warning Nr 019 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 25da577cdfb595fd23952a7b8b6e80d5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 562 WTPN31 PGTW 150900 1. TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 15.0N6 124.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.0N6 124.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 15.6N2 122.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 16.4N1 121.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 30 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 30 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 16.8N5 120.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION 15.2N8 123.7E3 TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS AND HAS INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A LARGE, WELL-DEFINED CONVECTIVE BAND HAS TIGHTENED UP AROUND THE SOUTH AND EAST SIDE OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, SOME NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS STILL APPARENT ON THE SYSTEM, AND LITTLE, IF ANY, ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8), 152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4), 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z6) AND 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627296-15659>; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 23:08:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA13518; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 09:02:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7006250 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 09:00:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA21628 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 09:00:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA14280 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 09:00:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711151500.JAA14280@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Nov 1997 09:00:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Mort (31w) Warning Nr 020 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0cd6942dbdbecc4dcf805300b13d9fef Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 563 WTPN31 PGTW 151500 1. TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- 15.4N0 123.6E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N0 123.6E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 16.3N0 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 17.1N9 121.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 151500Z2 POSITION 15.6N2 123.2E8 TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AND BEGIN TO WEAKEN NEAR THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. THE SYSTEM SHOULD DISSIPATE WITHIN 24-HOURS OVER LUZON. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4), 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z6) AND 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625947-11535>; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 07:06:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA32142; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 16:16:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7007947 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 16:16:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA37494 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 16:16:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA15704 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 16:16:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711152216.QAA15704@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Nov 1997 16:16:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Mort (31w) Warning Nr 021 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: dfbb2fa59693055e2a7585019dbbd7e5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 346 WTPN31 PGTW 152100 1. TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- 15.5N1 123.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N1 123.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 16.1N8 122.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 16.8N5 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 152100Z9 POSITION 15.7N3 123.2E8 TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE CONVECTION HAS REMAINED DISORGANIZED WHICH MAKES POSITIONING OF THE SYSTEM DIFFICULT. TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) IS CURRENTLY UNDERGOING DIURNAL CONVECTIVE MAX BUT IS DECREASING IN INTENSITY WITH A DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 3.0 (45 KNOTS). THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE WITHIN 24-HOURS OVER LUZON. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z6), 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626389-11533>; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 09:55:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA16462; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 19:46:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7008639 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 19:46:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA33340 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 19:46:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA16312 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 19:46:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711160146.TAA16312@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Nov 1997 19:46:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Mort (31w) Warning Nr 022 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9d791bae2ba638d6a0c9c3a98f0415b8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 070 WTPN31 PGTW 160300 1. TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626587-11535>; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 10:48:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA09426; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 20:42:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7008923 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 20:42:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA19646 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 20:42:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA16463 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 20:42:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711160242.UAA16463@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Nov 1997 20:42:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Mort (31w) Warning Nr 022 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8623b1ff6390ebc26d5f7ed83ed4c0ac Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 086 WTPN31 PGTW 160300 1. TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 15.5N1 122.6E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N1 122.6E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 16.0N7 121.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 18 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 18 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 16.2N9 121.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION 15.6N2 122.3E8 TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) HAS RAPIDLY WEAKENED DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS WHILE TRACKING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE CENTRAL LUZON COAST. MORT IS EXPERIENCING SIGNIFICANT NORTHWESTERLY SHEAR AND, THEREFORE, IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z7 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2) AND 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626766-11535>; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 14:27:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA48010; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 00:21:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7010215 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 00:20:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA27562 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 00:16:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA17158 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 00:16:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711160616.AAA17158@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Nov 1997 00:16:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5607d9c36d9683ce63545d7ec82650cc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 852 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/160153ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160000Z7 TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WAS LOCATED AT 15.5N1 122.6E1 MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WARNING NR 22 (WTPN31 PGTW 160300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 8.0N8 179.9E6 HAS DISSIPATED AND THE LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION HAS WEAKENED. AS A RESULT, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 10.0S1 179.9E6 HAS MOVED WESTWARD TO NEAR 8.5S3 173.0E1. VISIBLE SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A BROAD, LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. HOWEVER, THERE OTHER WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATIONS NEARBY THAT ARE DISRUPTING THE LOW-LEVEL INFLOW INTO THIS DISTURBANCE. AS A RESULT, FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WILL BE INHIBITED UNTIL THESE SMALLER CIRCULATIONS MERGE WITH THE LARGER CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627192-11525>; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 16:08:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAB25240; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 01:59:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7010662 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 01:59:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA37500 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 01:59:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA17430 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 01:59:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711160759.BAA17430@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Nov 1997 01:59:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 31w (mort) Warning Nr 023 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4235424b283d064a0e799365bafdebf8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 892 WTPN31 PGTW 160900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W (MORT) WARNING NR 023 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 31W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 15.6N2 121.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N2 121.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 16.1N8 120.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION 15.7N3 121.5E9 TROPICAL STORM MORT HAS RAPIDLY WEAKENED DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS WHILE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD BALER ALONG THE EAST CENTRAL COAST OF LUZON. AS A RESULT, THIS SYSTEM HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W (MORT). THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 TO 30 KNOTS AND 160300Z0 SYNOPTIC DATA. TD 31W IS EXPERIENCING CONSIDERABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT, AND LAND INTERACTION. THESE UNFAVORABLE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THIS SYSTEM AND CAUSE IT TO DISSIPATE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION SHOULD THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER RE-EMERGE TO THE WEST OF LUZON OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630941-11534>; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 05:29:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA26440; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 15:21:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7014490 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 15:21:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA21596 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 15:17:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA19915 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 15:17:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711162117.PAA19915@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Nov 1997 15:17:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 644065ef95514546248b7c465830547d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 560 ABPW10 PGTW 162100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/162100Z/170600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/160753ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160600Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W (MORT) WAS LOCATED AT 15.6N2 121.8E2 MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS AND DISSIPATING RAPIDLY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WARNING NR 23 (WTPN31 PGTW 160300)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) NO SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 8.5S3 173.0E1 HAS MOVED WESTWARD TO NEAR 8.5S3 170.0E0. VISIBLE, INFRARED, AND SSM/I SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THAT THIS TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS BECOME MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. TWO LARGE, CIRCULAR CONVECTIVE CLOUD MASSES WERE NOTED ROTATING CYCLONICALLY ABOUT THE CENTRAL POINT MENTIONED ABOVE AND LOW-LEVEL CLOUD LINES CAN BE SEEN SPIRALLY INTO THE SYSTEM CENTER. AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE MAY ALSO BE DEVELOPING ABOVE THIS SYSTEM BASED ON GOOD CIRRUS OUTFLOW AND WATER VAPOR-DERIVED WINDS INDICATING THE PRESENCE OF STRONG DIVERGENCE OVER EACH CONVECTIVE CLOUD MASS. HOWEVER, UNTIL THE TWO CONVECTIVE MASSES MERGE OR ONE DISSIPATES, LOW-LEVEL INFLOW WILL BE DISRUPTED INTO THE SYSTEM CENTER AND THE WIND FIELD WILL REMAIN BROAD AND WEAK. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUANCE: TO UPGRADE POOR SUSPECT AREA TO A FAIR SUSPECT AREA IN PARAGRAPH 2.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 13:48:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626792-7995>; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 13:45:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA20470; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 23:36:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7017980 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 23:36:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA50362 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 23:36:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA21545 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 23:36:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711170536.XAA21545@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Nov 1997 23:36:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 07d65cb9f6a291b9361fd359363475c5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 505 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR MORE THAN 24 HOURS NEAR 21N3 168E5. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A SMALL LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH DIVERGENT UPPER-LEVEL FLOW. THIS SYSTEM IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE AREA EMBEDDED IN THE TROPICAL UPPER-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH TUTT) AND MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION IS DISPLACED TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE SURFACE CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO THE NORTHEAST. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 8.5S3 170.0E0 HAS MOVED WESTWARD TO NEAR 8.5S3 168.0E5. VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THIS TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DESPITE A DECREASE IN THE CENTRAL CONVECTION DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. WATER VAPOR-DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK ANTICYCLONE ABOVE THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/HONG/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 18 11:46:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626673-18906>; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 11:44:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA46926; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 21:32:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7029643 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 21:32:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA19750 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 21:32:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA26220 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 21:32:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711180332.VAA26220@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Nov 1997 21:32:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 180321z Nov 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: dc175dc5bdbd80f5c1acafdd9a426935 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 414 WTPN21 PGTW 180330 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 180321Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 23.9N4 168.3E8 TO 20.2N4 163.4E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 180131Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 23.1N6 167.5E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: LATEST VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 23N5 168E5 HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES A WEAK ANTICYCLONE ALOFT AND AN INCREASE IN CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. THE WIND SPEEDS ARE BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE DERIVED WIND INTENSITIES AND SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 190330Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 18 16:18:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626977-18906>; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 15:07:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA26970; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 00:53:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7031612 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 00:53:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA39440 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 00:52:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA26924 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 00:52:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711180652.AAA26924@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Nov 1997 00:52:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: aefdc615bfd79cea8cce84a7a0aae201 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 211 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/180151Z NOV 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/180321Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 21N3 168E5 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE TROPICAL UPPER- TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) THAT WAS LOCATED ABOVE THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS MOVED EAST AND NOW AN ANTICYCLONE IS PROVIDING GOOD UP PER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE FOR THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010MB. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 1803 30) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 9N9 171E9. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA FROM KWAJALEIN (WMO 91366) AND MAJURO (WMO 91376) INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100 NM TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE MAIN CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE IN THE REGION WHICH IS PROVIDING GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIM UM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.5S3 170.0E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 165.4E6 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS CONVECTION HAS BEC OME BETTER ORGANIZED AND MORE CENTRALLY LOCATED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS GOOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAIN ED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 180200) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/HALL/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 19 14:58:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627734-18905>; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 02:00:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA10740; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 11:50:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7035624 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 11:49:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA39582 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 11:49:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA28897 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 11:49:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711181749.LAA28897@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Nov 1997 11:49:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 181721z Nov 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1d3dd0c75e71c36cc3d15bb504270fa6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 490 WTPN21 PGTW 181730 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 181721Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/180321Z NOV 97// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 180330)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 110 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 24.1N7 166.4E7 TO 28.8N8 163.4E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 181131Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 24.7N3 166.0E3. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS BEEN TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE PAST 10 HOURS. THEREFORE THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT HAS BEEN REISSUED TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS MOTION. ALTHOUGH THE OVERALL ORGANIZATION OF THE SYSTEM HAS ONLY IMPROVED SLIGHTLY DURING THIS TIME, TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES AND A SHIP REPORT NEAR 26.5N3 AND 165.0E2. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 191730Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 19 14:58:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626327-14095>; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 10:46:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA29838; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 20:17:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7041081 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 20:16:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA36976 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 20:16:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA00883 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 20:16:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711190216.UAA00883@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Nov 1997 20:16:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert Cancellation To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a72bcf97d3aedddd3162df0a8cd5b9f8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 255 WTPN21 PGTW 190200 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 190151Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181721Z NOV 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 191730)// RMKS/ 1. THIS CANCELS REF A. ANIMATED VISUAL IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM LOCATED NEAR 25N7 166E3 HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. AN APPROACHING MID- LATITUDE TROUGH TO THE WEST HAS INTRODUCED STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR INTO THE REGION WHICH HAS RESULTED IN A SIGNIFICANT DECREASE IN CENTRAL CONVECTION. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 19 14:58:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626234-14097>; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 14:28:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA04510; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 00:14:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7043036 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 00:14:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA16690 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 00:13:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA01713 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 00:13:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711190613.AAA01713@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Nov 1997 00:13:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2125a1c92c0178445f686b9dde50035b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 553 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/190151Z NOV 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181951Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 21N3 168E5 HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH TO THE WEST IS CAUSING STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN THE REGION. REFER TO REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION (WTPN21 PGTW 190200)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 171E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 169E6. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE NEAR THE AREA OF CONVECTION. HOWEVER, THE WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS NOW AN AREA OF TROUGHING NEAR THE MARSHALL ISLANDS, LOCATED OVER 100 NM TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 165.4E6 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. AT 181800Z TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (NUTE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7S0 162.7E6 AND WAS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (NUTE) WARNING NR 2 (WTPS31 PGTW 182100)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.8S8 165.4E6 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REFER TO PAR. 2.A.(1) ABOVE AND REF B FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/HALL/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 21 14:48:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626607-17897>; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 15:01:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA10550; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 23:57:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7054178 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 23:56:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA24334 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 23:56:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA06969 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 23:56:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711200556.XAA06969@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Nov 1997 23:56:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4e26d9f7313cda1335018d93d63f2c85 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 143 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/191951Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR MORE THAN 12 HOURS NEAR 26.5N3 162.0E9. THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WELL-DEFINED, LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. HOWEVER, SURFACE PRESSURES REMAIN HIGH IN THIS AREA AND A FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO THE WEST MAY MERGE WITH THIS SYSTEM IN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ALSO, SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE NEAR 25C TO 26C WHICH IS MARGINAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1012 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR MORE THAN 18 HOURS NEAR 15N6 169E6. THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SHARP SURFACE TROUGH AND LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE BENEATH THE DIVERGENT, SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF A TUTT CELL. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA ALSO INDICATE A WEAK, LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION HAS DEVELOPED ALONG THE SOUTHWEST END OF THE TROUGH NEAR 10N1 162E9. HOWEVER, SURFACE PRESSURES REMAIN HIGH IN THIS AREA AND MODERATE TO STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR EXISTS OVER THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1011 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 191800Z9, TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (NUTE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8S4 160.2E9 AND WAS MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 70 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (NUTE) WARNING NR 04 (WTPS31 PGTW 192100)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR MORE THAN 12 HOURS NEAR 6S6 172E0. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A BROAD, LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS LOCATED BENEATH WEAK, UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/HONG/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 22 10:39:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626348-5818>; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 15:13:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA49144; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 01:03:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7066705 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 01:02:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA09676 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 01:02:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA12129 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 01:02:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711210702.BAA12129@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Nov 1997 01:02:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 19e6b07f4f5c534ce8bd58beaac08e68 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 753 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/201951Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 26.5N3 162.0E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 26N8 160E7. THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WELL-DEFINED, LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF A TUTT CELL. SURFACE PRESSURES REMAIN HIGH IN THIS AREA AND A FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO THE WEST MAY MERGE WITH THIS SYSTEM IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ALSO, SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE NEAR 25C TO 26C WHICH IS MARGINAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1012 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 15N6 169E6 HAS MOVED NORTHWARD AND MERGED WITH THE SYSTEM DESCRIBED IN PARAGRAPH 1.B.(1). (3) AN AREA OF MODERATE CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR MORE THAN 12 HOURS NEAR 26N8 137E1. THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WELL-DEFINED, LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH STRONG UPPER-LEVEL DIFLUENCE. HOWEVER, HIGH SURFACE PRESSURES, MODERATE TO STRONG WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND SOME BAROCLINIC CHARACTERISTICS WILL INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM. ALSO, SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE NEAR 25C TO 26C WHICH IS MARGINAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1013 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 201800Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (NUTE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5S5 158.4E8 AND WAS MOVING SOUTH AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (NUTE) WARNING NR 06A AMENDED AND RELOCATED (WTPS31 PGTW 202100)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 06S6 172E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 07S7 173E1. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A BROAD SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITH MULTIPLE LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATIONS OUTSIDE OF THE MAIN CONVECTIVE CLOUD MASS. MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION IS LOCATED ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE SURFACE LOW. ALTHOUGH THIS ACTIVITY IS LOCATED BENEATH UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW, 25 TO 30 KNOT EASTERLY WINDS, AS SEEN IN WATER VAPOR-DERIVED WIND FIELDS, ARE PRODUCING SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL SHEAR ON THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 22 10:39:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626851-16577>; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 05:43:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA34990; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 15:31:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7073262 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 15:31:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA32356 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 15:31:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA15105 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 15:30:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711212130.PAA15105@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Nov 1997 15:30:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6f4db91cceb02fdc1c7bb61879282288 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 089 ABPW10 PGTW 212100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/212100Z/220600Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 26N8 160E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 24N6 161E8. MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF A TUTT CELL CONTINUES TO PROVIDE MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THIS AREA. SURFACE PRESSURES REMAIN HIGH AND A FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO THE WEST HAS MERGED WITH THIS SYSTEM. HOWEVER, A SURFACE CIRCULATION IS STILL EVIDENT IN THE LATEST INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1015 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 26N8 137E1 IS DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 07S7 173E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 08S8 166E3. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA STILL INDICATE A BROAD SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. HOWEVER, CENTRAL CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH A SINGLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS MINIMAL AS INDICATED BY ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND THE LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUANCE: UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA TO FAIR IN PARAGRAPH 2.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: BOYD/BOYER/LUNSFORD/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 24 08:43:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626909-23640>; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 14:34:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA19484; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 00:25:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7076875 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 00:25:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA48998 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 00:19:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA16927 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 00:19:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711220619.AAA16927@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Nov 1997 00:19:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f91bb5fac612aa70319e835fed49e271 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 551 ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 24N6 161E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 25N7 160E7. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES A WEAK UPPER-LEVEL ANTI- CYCLONE HAS PROVIDED SUPPORT FOR CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW- LEVEL CENTER. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD, EXPOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 60 NM FROM THE MAIN CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1015 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 08S8 166E3 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION NEAR AN AREA OF UNORGANIZED CONVECTION. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE AN AREA OF UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM. SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA SHOWS A SLIGHT PRESSURE FALL, HOWEVER, CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE DISORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/MCCULLOCH/HALL/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 24 08:44:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626706-19549>; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 19:37:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA10818; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 05:25:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7083082 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 05:24:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA19802 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 05:19:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA21466 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 23:55:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711230555.XAA21466@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Nov 1997 23:55:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9aa9e9ad6bc60d97384e7c52757f5a59 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 443 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 25N7 160E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 27N9 162E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IN ENVIRONMENTAL FLOW. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE CONVECTION HAS MOVED INTO AN AREA OF STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1015 MB. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 08S8 166E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 167E4. ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION NEAR AN AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION. SYNOPTIC DATA FROM SANTA CRUZ ISLAND (WMO 91541) INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH ASSOCIATED PRESSURE FALLS WITHIN 45NM OF THE SATELLITE DERIVED SURFACE CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A WEAK ANTICYCLONE ALOFT, HOWEVER, CONVECTION REMAINS VERY DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/MCCULLOCH/HALL/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 24 18:32:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627697-5779>; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 18:03:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA43714; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 03:21:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7091735 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 03:21:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA04488 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 03:21:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA25112 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 20:10:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711240210.UAA25112@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Nov 1997 20:10:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0502faf1eb3f727206a8f9a24adde5ef Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 601 ABPW10 PGTW 240200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240200Z/240600Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 167E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13S4 165E4. ANIMATED VISUAL INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION HAS REDEVELOPED AND BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA DOES NOT INDICATE A WELL DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION, HOWEVER, SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS BANDING FEATURES HAVE DEVELOPED LEADING INTO AN AREA OF ROTATING CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF DIVERGENCE ALOFT WHICH HAS ENHANCED UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUANCE: UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA TO FAIR IN PARAGRAPH 2.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/MCCULLOCH/HALL/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 24 17:26:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627703-5773>; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 17:26:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA30528; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 03:19:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7091687 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 03:19:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA19636 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 03:18:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA25891 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 00:19:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711240619.AAA25891@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Nov 1997 00:19:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1f18b633a11cf0ca3fdd49cef2830768 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 125 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 165E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 166E3. A 232315Z6 SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWS A WEAK CIRCULATION LOCATED NEAR SANTA CRUZ ISLAND. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION NEAR THE AREA OF CONVECTION AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/MCCULLOCH/HALL/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 25 17:57:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627993-29658>; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 14:40:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA12376; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 00:23:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7101548 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 00:22:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA26360 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 00:21:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA00737 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 00:21:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711250621.AAA00737@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Nov 1997 00:21:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3cc2ed57f5d2528a392b6e9a8f9c68ed Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 942 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 166E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 161E8. SYNOPTIC DATA AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF AN ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE CONVECTION HAS FLUCTUATED WITH THE DIURNAL CYCLE AND IS CURRENTLY REDUCED IN INTENSITY. HOWEVER, NEAR THE MAX CONVECTIVE PERIOD, AT APPROXIMATELY 20Z, A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN DEPTH AND ORGANIZATION WAS OBSERVED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNSFORD/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 27 13:48:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627403-21030>; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 14:08:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA13110; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 23:55:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7112492 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 23:55:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA29702 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 23:55:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA05898 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 23:54:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711260554.XAA05898@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Nov 1997 23:54:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 99d7ebf4c240a537d9d4ba76f0099c09 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 185 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 161E8 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NOW REDEVELOPED NEAR 14S5 159E5. A 250955Z MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS INDICATES THAT MINIMAL LOWER-LEVEL ORGANIZATION REMAINS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY OVER THE PAST 9 HOURS SHOWS GREATLY REDUCED DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNSFORD/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 27 14:43:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626680-15098>; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 14:35:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA39692; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 23:40:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7123628 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 23:40:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA10970 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 23:40:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA10525 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 23:40:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711270540.XAA10525@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Nov 1997 23:40:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a315132ff6ef82ee037199adc0afe79c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 313 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 159E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 159E5. A 261218Z0 SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWED A WEAK CIRCULATION CENTER SOUTHWEST OF THE SOLOMON ISLANDS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF TROUGHING. ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF ASSOCIATED CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 28 14:17:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626407-1520>; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 14:05:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA26616; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 23:55:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7130177 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 23:55:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA26586 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 23:55:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA14931 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 23:55:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711280555.XAA14931@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Nov 1997 23:55:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bbb7e4f72b871b088e57ef855cc8cb53 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 430 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 159E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 156E2. SYNOPTIC DATA FROM ANKI, MALAITA ISLAND (WMO 91507) AND KIRA (WMO 91527) SHOW A CIRCULATION WITH WIND REPORTS BETWEEN 5 AND 10 KNOTS. 280430Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF INTENSE CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED TO THE WEST OF THESE TWO REPORTING STATIONS AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES WEAK WIND SHEAR ALOFT. THIS CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE THAT EXTENDS FROM EASTERN NEW GUINEA TO THE SOLOMON ISLANDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 6S6 163E0. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION DEVELOPED EAST OF THE SOLOMON ISLANDS AND HAS PERSISTED FOR 12 HOURS. THE CONVECTION IS DISORGANIZED AND SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA SUPPORTS AN AREA OF TROUGHING WITH NO EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/MCCULLOCH/HALL/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 1 02:41:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626017-24970>; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 14:19:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA38926; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 00:10:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7136937 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 00:09:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA26520 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 00:09:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA19437 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 00:09:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711290609.AAA19437@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Nov 1997 00:09:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3753972e302a80f7464efa9187a54c9b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 351 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 156E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 153E9. WMO=S 91507 91527 AND 91520 CONTINUE TO REPORT WEAK WIND SPEEDS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT AN AREA OF INTENSE CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED TO THE WEST OF THESE REPORTING STATIONS AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 163E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7S7 163E0. THE CONVECTION IS DISORGANIZED AND SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA SUPPORTS AN AREA OF TROUGHING WITH NO EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNSFORD/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 1 02:41:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626296-24967>; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 15:22:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA46116; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 01:16:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7137296 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 01:16:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA28394 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 01:16:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA19622 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 01:16:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711290716.BAA19622@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Nov 1997 01:16:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2ae5e0f58ab9e02c91550815fce3c5ef Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 977 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 156E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 153E9. WMO=S 91507 91527 AND 91520 CONTINUE TO REPORT WEAK WIND SPEEDS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT AN AREA OF INTENSE CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED TO THE WEST OF THESE REPORTING STATIONS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 163E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7S7 163E0. THE CONVECTION IS DISORGANIZED AND SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA SUPPORTS AN AREA OF TROUGHING WITH NO EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: GRAMMAR. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNSFORD/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 1 02:41:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626270-3088>; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 14:52:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA13100; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 00:48:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7144025 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 00:48:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA17120 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 00:47:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA23848 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 00:47:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711300647.AAA23848@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Nov 1997 00:47:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: dad74c9ca23eebc5f192a2d24939e368 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 677 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z NOV/010600Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 153E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 152E8. ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS IMPROVED OVER 24 HOURS, ALTHOUGH MOST OF IT HAS OCCURRED WITHIN THE PAST 6 HOURS. NO CONVECTION HAS BEEN ABLE TO SUSTAIN ITSELF FOR OVER 12 HOURS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATED IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE SURFACE CIRCULATION REMAINS SOMEWHAT BROAD AND ELONGATED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7S7 163E0 IS NOW DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 2 15:45:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626492-1940>; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 14:45:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA33478; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 00:37:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7167387 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 00:36:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA39322 for ; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 00:36:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA03248 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 00:36:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712020636.AAA03248@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Dec 1997 00:36:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: df0496347e59977b91cf185235f6db7d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 467 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z/030600Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1). AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 08N8 130E4. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 020000Z2 INDICATE AN AREA OF SCATTERED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A NEARBY LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ALTHOUGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS WEAK, PRESSURES REMAIN RATHER HIGH ACROSS THE REGION WHICH SHOULD INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SANCHEZ/UROGI// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG19733360551 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 3 14:13:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626031-21708>; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 14:00:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA28548; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 23:49:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7178846 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 23:49:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA29448 for ; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 23:48:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA03741 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 23:48:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712030548.XAA03741@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Dec 1997 23:48:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e02e8dbd2891dfaf46e084968de35418 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 248 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 08N8 130E4 IS NOW LOCATED OVER THE VISAYAN ISLANDS OF THE PHILIPPINES AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SANCHEZ/UROGI// A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 4 15:18:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627171-15769>; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 14:36:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA26530; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 00:28:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7192293 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 00:27:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA48666 for ; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 00:14:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA10864 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 00:14:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712040614.AAA10864@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Dec 1997 00:14:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 150d7149cfc613c44a89d297f68dd5c0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 026 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 5 15:58:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626452-13580>; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 15:18:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA54412; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 00:42:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7203641 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 00:41:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA31940 for ; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 00:39:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA16269 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 00:38:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712050638.AAA16269@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Dec 1997 00:38:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fb15f2024dc66848c86d88fdf865a658 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 800 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 M; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 15:07:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA17514; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 00:49:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7215897 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 00:48:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA37604 for ; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 00:48:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA05068 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 00:48:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712060648.AAA05068@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Dec 1997 00:48:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4a08c09b44f276399980fc84d89c3229 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 676 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI 052130Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: AT 051800Z4, TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WAS LOCATED AT 09.7N6 173.6W7 AND WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM HAS ACCELERATED APPRECIABLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND SHOULD BE ACROSS 180.0E0 WITHIN THE NEXT SIX HOURS. SEE WARNING FOR TROPICAL STORM PAKA (O5C) (WARNING NR 14 WHPN31 PHNC 052200Z) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 7 13:02:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627402-1586>; Sun, 7 Dec 1997 04:21:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA17654; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 14:17:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7220151 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 14:15:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA12988 for ; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 14:15:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA07940 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 14:15:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712062015.OAA07940@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Dec 1997 14:15:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Paka (05c) Warning Nr 018 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d73fc32845af35fa36dcdfa7028835e8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 439 WTPN31 PGTW 062100 1. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN WESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- 8.9N7 179.5W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 8.9N7 179.5W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 9.0N9 178.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 9.1N0 176.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 9.3N2 174.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 9.8N7 172.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 12.0N3 169.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: THIS IS THE FIRST WARNING ISSUED BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU) ON TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C). THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 061730Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM PAKA HAS INCREASED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS BUT STILL REMAINS DISORGANIZED. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS SHOW THE SYSTEM IS ENCOUNTERING MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE SOUTH WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT. THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AS TS PAKA TRACKS TOWARDS THE WEST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF EASTERLY FLOW. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES AN UPPER- LEVEL ANTI-CYCLONE HAS DEVELOPED TO THE WEST WHICH IS EXPECTED TO TURN THE STORM ON A MORE WEST-NORTHWESTERLY TRACK AT THE 72 HOUR PERIOD. AT THIS TIME THE SYSTEM IS ALSO FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN THE UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLIES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z5 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070400Z1, 071000Z8, 071600Z4 AND 072200Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 7 13:02:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627404-1587>; Sun, 7 Dec 1997 05:00:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA59698; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 14:57:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7220528 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 14:55:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA43512 for ; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 14:55:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA08059 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 14:55:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712062055.OAA08059@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Dec 1997 14:55:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Paka (05c) Warning Nr 018a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 962724bcd75eed7e65d68cb99caf68cd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 036 WTPN31 PGTW 062100 COR 1. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 018A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN WESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- 8.9N7 179.5W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 8.9N7 179.5W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 9.0N9 178.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 9.1N0 176.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 9.3N2 174.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 9.8N7 172.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 12.0N3 169.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: THIS IS THE FIRST WARNING ISSUED BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU) ON TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C). THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 061730Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM PAKA HAS INCREASED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS BUT STILL REMAINS DISORGANIZED. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS SHOW THE SYSTEM IS ENCOUNTERING MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE SOUTH WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT. THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AS TS PAKA TRACKS TOWARDS THE WEST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF EASTERLY FLOW. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTI-CYCLONE HAS DEVELOPED TO THE WEST WHICH IS EXPECTED TO TURN THE STORM ON A MORE WEST- NORTHWESTERLY TRACK AT THE 72 HOUR PERIOD. AT THIS TIME THE SYSTEM IS ALSO FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN THE UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLIES. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED FUTURE WARNING MANOP TIMES AND DTG. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z5 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGTW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z), 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z), 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z), AND 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 7 13:03:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627402-1588>; Sun, 7 Dec 1997 06:13:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA14768; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 16:08:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7220862 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 16:08:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA22674 for ; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 16:08:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA08301 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 16:08:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712062208.QAA08301@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Dec 1997 16:08:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Paka (05c) Warning Nr 018a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 81d23d9a2162a141382ab0e66e9d4602 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 354 WTPN31 PGTW 062100 COR 1. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 018A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN WESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- 8.9N7 179.5W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 8.9N7 179.5W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 9.0N9 178.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUEDMCA1446 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 9.1N0 176.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 9.3N2 174.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 9.8N7 172.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 12.0N3 169.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- PAGE 04 RUEDMCA1446 UNCLAS REMARKS: THIS IS THE FIRST WARNING ISSUED BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU) ON TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C). THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 061730Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM PAKA HAS INCREASED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS BUT STILL REMAINS DISORGANIZED. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS SHOW THE SYSTEM IS ENCOUNTERING MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE SOUTH WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT. THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AS TS PAKA TRACKS TOWARDS THE WEST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF EASTERLY FLOW. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTI-CYCLONE HAS DEVELOPED TO THE WEST WHICH IS EXPECTED TO TURN THE STORM ON A MORE WEST- NORTHWESTERLY TRACK AT THE 72 HOUR PERIOD. AT THIS TIME THE SYSTEM IS ALSO FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN THE UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLIES. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED PAGE 05 RUEDMCA1446 UNCLAS FUTURE WARNING MANOP TIMES AND DTG. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z5 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGTW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z), 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z), 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z), AND 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z).// BT #1446 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 7 13:03:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625868-25322>; Sun, 7 Dec 1997 09:39:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA19866; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 19:35:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7221506 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 19:35:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA09590 for ; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 19:35:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA08901 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 19:35:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712070135.TAA08901@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Dec 1997 19:35:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Paka (05c) Warning Nr 018a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5eb753f18eb3276f6ff80e047158bef8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 131 WTPN31 PGTW 062100 COR 1. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 018A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN WESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- 8.9N7 179.5W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 8.9N7 179.5W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 9.0N9 178.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUEDMCA1758 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 9.1N0 176.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 9.3N2 174.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 9.8N7 172.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 12.0N3 169.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- PAGE 04 RUEDMCA1758 UNCLAS REMARKS: THIS IS THE FIRST WARNING ISSUED BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU) ON TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C). THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 061730Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM PAKA HAS INCREASED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS BUT STILL REMAINS DISORGANIZED. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS SHOW THE SYSTEM IS ENCOUNTERING MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE SOUTH WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT. THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AS TS PAKA TRACKS TOWARDS THE WEST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF EASTERLY FLOW. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTI-CYCLONE HAS DEVELOPED TO THE WEST WHICH IS EXPECTED TO TURN THE STORM ON A MORE WEST- NORTHWESTERLY TRACK AT THE 72 HOUR PERIOD. AT THIS TIME THE SYSTEM IS ALSO FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN THE UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLIES. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED PAGE 05 RUEDMCA1758 UNCLAS FUTURE WARNING MANOP TIMES AND DTG. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z5 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGTW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z), 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z), 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z), AND 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z).// BT #1758 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 7 13:03:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626108-25326>; Sun, 7 Dec 1997 10:51:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA19910; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 20:44:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7222046 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 20:44:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA36012 for ; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 20:44:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA09077 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 20:44:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712070244.UAA09077@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Dec 1997 20:44:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Paka (05c) Warning Nr 018a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4c491c33e4e958cad939bbe69bacbc03 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 392 WTPN31 PGTW 062100 COR 1. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 018A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN WESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- 8.9N7 179.5W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 8.9N7 179.5W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 9.0N9 178.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS PAGE 03 RUEOMCA5010 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 9.1N0 176.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 9.3N2 174.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 9.8N7 172.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 12.0N3 169.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT PAGE 04 RUEOMCA5010 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: THIS IS THE FIRST WARNING ISSUED BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU) ON TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C). THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 061730Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM PAKA HAS INCREASED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS BUT STILL REMAINS DISORGANIZED. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS SHOW THE SYSTEM IS ENCOUNTERING MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE SOUTH WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT. THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AS TS PAKA TRACKS TOWARDS THE WEST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF EASTERLY FLOW. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTI-CYCLONE HAS DEVELOPED TO THE WEST WHICH IS EXPECTED TO TURN THE STORM ON A MORE WEST- NORTHWESTERLY TRACK AT THE 72 HOUR PERIOD. AT THIS TIME THE SYSTEM IS ALSO FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN THE UPPER-LEVEL PAGE 05 RUEOMCA5010 UNCLAS WESTERLIES. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED FUTURE WARNING MANOP TIMES AND DTG. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z5 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGTW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z), 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z), 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z), AND 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z).// BT #5010 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 7 13:03:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626169-25328>; Sun, 7 Dec 1997 12:18:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA33666; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 22:13:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7222441 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 22:13:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA25428 for ; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 22:13:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA09335 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 22:13:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712070413.WAA09335@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Dec 1997 22:13:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Paka (05c) Warning Nr 019a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4455e0b4c5fcb2f01bddf5b2a7b24523 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 167 WTPN31 PGTW 070300 1. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 019A 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN WESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- 8.4N2 180.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.4N2 180.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 8.4N2 178.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 8.5N3 176.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 8.5N3 174.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 8.5N3 172.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 8.5N3 166.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 070300Z POSITION: 08.4N2 179.2E9 TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 062330Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE A WESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. IT WILL BEGIN WEAKENING AFTER THE 24 HOUR POSITION DUE TO INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z8 (DTG 070751Z0), 071500Z4(DTG 071351Z7), 072100Z1 (DTG 071951Z3), AND 080300Z2 (DTG 080151Z5). JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECT MANOP HEADER.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 7 13:03:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626243-25322>; Sun, 7 Dec 1997 12:45:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA09672; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 22:39:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7222688 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 22:39:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA29622 for ; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 22:39:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA09410 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 22:39:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712070439.WAA09410@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Dec 1997 22:39:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 660ee6af6c9f76429bcee41766e575ff Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 686 WTPN31 PGTW 070300 COR PAGE 02 RUEOMCA5111 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 019A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN WESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- 8.4N2 180.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.4N2 180.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 8.4N2 178.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUEOMCA5111 UNCLAS 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 8.5N3 176.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 8.5N3 174.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 8.5N3 172.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER PAGE 04 RUEOMCA5111 UNCLAS WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 8.5N3 166.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 070300Z POSITION: 08.4N2 179.2E9 TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 062330Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE A WESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. IT WILL BEGIN WEAKENING AFTER THE 24 HOUR POSITION DUE TO INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: TO CORRECT MANOP HEADER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT PAGE 05 RUEOMCA5111 UNCLAS 070900Z8 (DTG 070751Z0), 071500Z4(DTG 071351Z7), 072100Z1 (DTG 071951Z3), AND 080300Z2 (DTG 080151Z5). JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: TO CORRECT MANOP HEADER.// BT #5111 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 8 09:22:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626305-25322>; Sun, 7 Dec 1997 14:00:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA43402; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 23:56:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7223089 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 23:56:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA25428 for ; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 23:55:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA09687 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 23:55:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712070555.XAA09687@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Dec 1997 23:55:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d6c13be40fcbbc44e6ec8cfe8201260b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 884 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 0701512Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: AT 070000Z7, TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WAS LOCATED AT 8.4N2 180.0E9 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 19A (WTPN31 PGTW 070300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 8 09:22:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627547-25322>; Sun, 7 Dec 1997 16:01:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA57880; Sun, 7 Dec 1997 01:55:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7223699 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 7 Dec 1997 01:54:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA22714 for ; Sun, 7 Dec 1997 01:54:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA10029 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 7 Dec 1997 01:54:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712070754.BAA10029@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 7 Dec 1997 01:54:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Paka (05c) Warning Nr 020 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 89e23c433aaa32c8c83d64e0fffa39aa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 492 WTPN31 PGTW 070900 1. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z3 --- 8.1N9 179.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.1N9 179.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 8.1N9 177.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 8.3N1 175.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 8.6N4 173.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 9.0N9 170.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 10.8N9 165.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 070900Z POSITION 08.1N9 178.5E1 TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 070530Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON AN AVERAGE BETWEEN SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS FROM PGTW AND KGWC SATELLITE ANALYSTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ACROSS THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD THE NEXT 12 HOURS. BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION, IT IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN MORE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE INTENSITY FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7), 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3), 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5) AND 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 8 09:22:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626313-18185>; Sun, 7 Dec 1997 16:50:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA25260; Sun, 7 Dec 1997 02:47:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7224018 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 7 Dec 1997 02:47:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA61594 for ; Sun, 7 Dec 1997 02:47:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA10205 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 7 Dec 1997 02:47:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712070847.CAA10205@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 7 Dec 1997 02:47:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4c131d55f3184b30c4f8fa07cdf18fd5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 477 WTPN31 PGTW 070900 PAGE 02 RUEOMCB2735 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z3 --- 8.1N9 179.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.1N9 179.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 8.1N9 177.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUEOMCB2735 UNCLAS 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 8.3N1 175.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 8.6N4 173.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 9.0N9 170.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS PAGE 04 RUEOMCB2735 UNCLAS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 10.8N9 165.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 070900Z POSITION 08.1N9 178.5E1 TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 070530Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON AN AVERAGE BETWEEN SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS FROM PGTW AND KGWC SATELLITE ANALYSTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ACROSS THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD THE NEXT 12 HOURS. BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION, IT IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN MORE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE INTENSITY FORECAST. MAXIMUM PAGE 05 RUEOMCB2735 UNCLAS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7), 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3), 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5) AND 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1).// BT #2735 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 8 09:22:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626700-18185>; Sun, 7 Dec 1997 22:23:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA25918; Sun, 7 Dec 1997 08:16:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7225191 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 7 Dec 1997 08:14:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA62990 for ; Sun, 7 Dec 1997 08:13:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA11189 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 7 Dec 1997 08:13:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712071413.IAA11189@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 7 Dec 1997 08:13:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Paka (05c) Warning Nr 021 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 74de7f9e0ed6e6fcf5ab10d411186d5f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 933 WTPN31 PGTW 071500 1. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- 8.3N1 178.5E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.3N1 178.5E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 8.5N3 176.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 8.8N6 174.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 9.3N2 172.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 10.2N3 169.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 12.1N4 164.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 071500Z3 POSITION 8.4N2 178.1E7 TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 071130Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATES BETWEEN 35 AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TS PAKA HAS INCREASED IN AREAL COVERAGE AND ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS IMPROVED TO THE NORTH. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME AS TS PAKA IS EXPECTED TO TRACK GENERALLY TOWARDS THE WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF ENVIRONMENTAL EASTERLY FLOW. AFTER THE 36 HOUR PERIOD THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK MORE NORTH-WESTWARD AS A WEAKENING IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE DEVELOPS. AT THE 36 HOUR PERIOD TS PAKA IS ALSO FORECAST TO ENCOUNTER UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLY FLOW WHICH WILL WEAKEN THE SYSTEM THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z0 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z), 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z), 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z) AND 081500Z4 (DTG 081351).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 9 08:30:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627439-16040>; Mon, 8 Dec 1997 23:04:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA39956; Mon, 8 Dec 1997 08:52:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7233749 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 8 Dec 1997 08:51:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA38630 for ; Mon, 8 Dec 1997 08:51:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA15405 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Dec 1997 08:51:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712081451.IAA15405@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Dec 1997 08:51:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Paka (05c) Warning Nr 025 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 43585d925312f70887255570cb967dfe Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 935 WTPN31 PGTW 081500 1. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 025 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 7.4N1 176.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 7.4N1 176.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 7.4N1 174.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 7.4N1 172.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 7.6N3 170.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 7.8N5 166.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 8.2N0 161.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION: 7.41 175.9E2 TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) CONTINUES TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST AT 8 KNOTS. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS STILL 45 KNOTS, HOWEVER, ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH PAKA HAS BECOME MORE INTENSE OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS. TS PAKA IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A WESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOW TO MID-LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT REMAINS IN AN AREA WITH GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. AFTER THE 24 HOUR PERIOD, PAKA IS EXPECTED TO ENCOUNTER MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH WILL CAUSE THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z1 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z), 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z), 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z) AND 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 9 08:30:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627434-16043>; Mon, 8 Dec 1997 23:06:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA58308; Mon, 8 Dec 1997 09:02:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7233883 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 8 Dec 1997 09:02:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA04778 for ; Mon, 8 Dec 1997 09:02:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA15451 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Dec 1997 09:02:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712081502.JAA15451@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Dec 1997 09:02:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e2817d2688fa28237a5a24662f755fb0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 211 WTPN31 PGTW 081500 PAGE 02 RUEDMCA5493 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 025 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 7.4N1 176.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 7.4N1 176.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 7.4N1 174.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUEDMCA5493 UNCLAS 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 7.4N1 172.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 7.6N3 170.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 7.8N5 166.9E2 PAGE 04 RUEDMCA5493 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 8.2N0 161.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION: 7.41 175.9E2 TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) CONTINUES TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST AT 8 KNOTS. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS STILL 45 KNOTS, HOWEVER, ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH PAKA HAS BECOME MORE INTENSE OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS. TS PAKA IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A WESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOW TO MID-LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT REMAINS IN AN AREA WITH GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. AFTER THE 24 HOUR PERIOD, PAKA IS EXPECTED TO ENCOUNTER MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR PAGE 05 RUEDMCA5493 UNCLAS WHICH WILL CAUSE THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z1 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z), 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z), 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z) AND 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z).// BT #5493 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 9 08:31:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627494-16041>; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 03:59:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA52130; Mon, 8 Dec 1997 13:44:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7237598 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 8 Dec 1997 13:43:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA33590 for ; Mon, 8 Dec 1997 13:43:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA16813 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Dec 1997 13:43:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712081943.NAA16813@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Dec 1997 13:43:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Paka (05c) Warning Nr 026 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f07882424dca819389d3fdc5735a0497 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 124 WTPN31 PGTW 082100 1. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 026 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- 7.4N1 175.4E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 7.4N1 175.4E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 7.4N1 173.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 7.6N3 171.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 7.7N4 168.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 7.8N5 165.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 8.3N1 159.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 082100Z1 POSITION: 7.3N0 174.9E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE PAKA (O5A) HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST AT 9 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF 081730Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 081107Z7 SCATTEROMETER PASS. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF A SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY OF 55 KNOTS AND SCATTEROMETER DATA OF 40 KNOTS. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS SHOW THE SYSTEM IS IN AN AREA WITH GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. TS PAKA IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A WESTERLY TRACK THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT IS STEERED BY LOW TO MID-LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW. THE NAVY=S GLOBAL PREDICTION MODEL INDICATES THE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN IN AN AREA WITH LITTLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD. AFTER 24 HOURS IT IS EXPECTED THAT PAKA WILL ENCOUNTER MODERATE WIND SHEAR WHICH WILL WEAKEN THE SYSTEM THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z7 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z), 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z),091500Z5 (091351Z) AND 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 9 08:31:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627507-16041>; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 04:15:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA41610; Mon, 8 Dec 1997 14:08:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7237991 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 8 Dec 1997 14:08:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA37478 for ; Mon, 8 Dec 1997 14:08:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA16878 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Dec 1997 14:08:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712082008.OAA16878@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Dec 1997 14:08:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 55586082a1233d96d49126a6fcba115f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 513 WTPN31 PGTW 082100 PAGE 02 RUEOMCA1890 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 026 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- 7.4N1 175.4E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 7.4N1 175.4E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 7.4N1 173.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUEOMCA1890 UNCLAS 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 7.6N3 171.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 7.7N4 168.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 7.8N5 165.3E5 PAGE 04 RUEOMCA1890 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 8.3N1 159.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 082100Z1 POSITION: 7.3N0 174.9E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE PAKA (O5C) HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST AT 9 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF 081730Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 081107Z7 SCATTEROMETER PASS. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF A SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY OF 55 KNOTS AND SCATTEROMETER DATA OF 40 KNOTS. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS SHOW THE SYSTEM IS IN AN AREA WITH GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. TS PAKA IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A WESTERLY TRACK THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT IS STEERED BY LOW TO MID-LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW. THE NAVY'S GLOBAL PREDICTION MODEL PAGE 05 RUEOMCA1890 UNCLAS INDICATES THE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN IN AN AREA WITH LITTLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD. AFTER 24 HOURS IT IS EXPECTED THAT PAKA WILL ENCOUNTER MODERATE WIND SHEAR WHICH WILL WEAKEN THE SYSTEM THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z7 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z), 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z),091500Z5 (091351Z) AND 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z).// BT #1890 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 9 11:07:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626155-9276>; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 10:49:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA58924; Mon, 8 Dec 1997 20:22:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7242266 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 8 Dec 1997 20:22:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA23256 for ; Mon, 8 Dec 1997 20:18:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA18153 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Dec 1997 20:18:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712090218.UAA18153@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Dec 1997 20:18:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Paka (05c) Warning Nr 027 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9daaa5a1823ad57470c038249f1b8007 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 394 WTPN31 PGTW 090300 1. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 027 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- 6.6N2 174.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 6.6N2 174.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 6.6N2 172.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 6.6N2 170.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 6.7N3 168.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 6.9N5 166.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 7.3N0 161.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION: 6.6N2 173.2E3 TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) CONTINUES TO TRACK WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION WAS RELOCATED BASED ON A 082330Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TS PAKA IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A WESTERLY TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING NEAR THE 48 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2), 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9), 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5), AND 100300Z4 (100151Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 9 13:42:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627460-9280>; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 13:12:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA37812; Mon, 8 Dec 1997 22:32:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7243942 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 8 Dec 1997 22:32:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA60556 for ; Mon, 8 Dec 1997 22:32:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA18589 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Dec 1997 22:32:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712090432.WAA18589@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Dec 1997 22:32:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3e9f6561dad1b536d434c9aa021a9ebd Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 822 WTPN31 PGTW 090300 PAGE 02 RUEDMCA0350 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 027 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- 6.6N2 174.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 6.6N2 174.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 6.6N2 172.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUEDMCA0350 UNCLAS 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 6.6N2 170.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 6.7N3 168.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 6.9N5 166.5E8 PAGE 04 RUEDMCA0350 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 7.3N0 161.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION: 6.6N2 173.2E3 TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) CONTINUES TO TRACK WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION WAS RELOCATED BASED ON A 082330Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TS PAKA IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A WESTERLY TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING NEAR THE 48 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2), 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9), 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5), AND 100300Z4 (100151Z8).// BT #0350 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 9 15:37:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626579-9280>; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 14:27:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA55680; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 00:21:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7245223 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 00:21:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA55648 for ; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 00:21:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA18978 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 00:21:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712090621.AAA18978@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Dec 1997 00:21:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bc3c3edcb61efa1ce6d1c9c9e65a8d80 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 882 ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 090151Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 090000Z9, TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WAS LOCATED AT 6.6N2 174.6E8 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 27 (WTPN31 PGTW 090300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/SULLINS/EIBLING/BACOHN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 9 15:37:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626579-9280>; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 15:02:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA47956; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 00:48:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7245383 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 00:48:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA29502 for ; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 00:48:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA19052 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 00:48:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712090648.AAA19052@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Dec 1997 00:48:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Paka (05c) Warning Nr 027a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ef8efefd35144022f971292701e3f86a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 563 WTPN31 PGTW 090300 COR 1. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 027A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- 6.6N2 174.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 6.6N2 174.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 6.6N2 172.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 -- 6.6N2 170.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 6.7N3 168.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 6.9N5 166.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 7.3N0 161.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION: 6.6N2 174.2E4 TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) CONTINUES TO TRACK WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION WAS RELOCATED BASED ON A 082330Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TS PAKA IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A WESTERLY TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING NEAR THE 48 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2), 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9), 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5), AND 100300Z4 (100151Z8). JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: TO CORRECT 070300Z POSITION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 9 15:37:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626180-9280>; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 15:35:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA33526; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 01:14:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7245466 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 01:14:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA33742 for ; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 01:14:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA19122 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 01:14:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712090714.BAA19122@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Dec 1997 01:14:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e6ff583497d499514c49f26080606fa3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 142 WTPN31 PGTW 090300 COR PAGE 02 RUEDMCB2698 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 027A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- 6.6N2 174.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 6.6N2 174.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 6.6N2 172.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUEDMCB2698 UNCLAS 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 6.6N2 170.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 6.7N3 168.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 6.9N5 166.5E8 PAGE 04 RUEDMCB2698 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 7.3N0 161.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION: 6.6N2 174.2E4 TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) CONTINUES TO TRACK WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION WAS RELOCATED BASED ON A 082330Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TS PAKA IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A WESTERLY TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING NEAR THE 48 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2), 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9), 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5), AND 100300Z4 (100151Z8). JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: TO CORRECT 070300Z PAGE 05 RUEDMCB2698 UNCLAS POSITION.// BT #2698 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 9 15:37:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626258-9282>; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 15:37:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA38530; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 01:22:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7245489 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 01:22:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA30306 for ; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 01:22:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA19144 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 01:22:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712090722.BAA19144@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Dec 1997 01:22:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Paka (05c) Warning Nr 027b Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 462ddfdcbafc2b899db1553c165d3090 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 340 WTPN31 PGTW 090300 COR 1. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 027B CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- 6.6N2 174.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 6.6N2 174.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 6.6N2 172.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 6.6N2 170.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 6.7N3 168.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 6.9N5 166.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 7.3N0 161.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION: 6.6N2 174.2E4 TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) CONTINUES TO TRACK WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION WAS RELOCATED BASED ON A 082330Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TS PAKA IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A WESTERLY TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING NEAR THE 48 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2), 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9), 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5), AND 100300Z4 (100151Z8). JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: TO CORRECT 090300Z POSITION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 9 16:45:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627545-9282>; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 16:02:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA25960; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 01:26:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7245499 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 01:26:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA04676 for ; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 01:26:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA19157 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 01:26:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712090726.BAA19157@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Dec 1997 01:26:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 587d3e9e8928a0b4198b26181e817fd7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 399 WTPN31 PGTW 090300 COR PAGE 02 RUEDMCB2726 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 027A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- 6.6N2 174.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 6.6N2 174.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 6.6N2 172.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUEDMCB2726 UNCLAS 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 6.6N2 170.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 6.7N3 168.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 6.9N5 166.5E8 PAGE 04 RUEDMCB2726 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 7.3N0 161.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION: 6.6N2 174.2E4 TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) CONTINUES TO TRACK WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION WAS RELOCATED BASED ON A 082330Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TS PAKA IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A WESTERLY TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING NEAR THE 48 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2), 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9), 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5), AND 100300Z4 (100151Z8). JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: TO CORRECT 070300Z PAGE 05 RUEDMCB2726 UNCLAS POSITION.// BT #2726 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 9 16:45:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627554-9282>; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 16:05:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA37844; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 01:41:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7245545 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 01:41:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA09664 for ; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 01:41:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA19207 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 01:41:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712090741.BAA19207@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Dec 1997 01:41:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 60769a444f92d48354104c97ead078ee Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 647 WTPN31 PGTW 090300 COR PAGE 02 RUEOMCA4350 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 027B CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- 6.6N2 174.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 6.6N2 174.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 6.6N2 172.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUEOMCA4350 UNCLAS 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 6.6N2 170.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 6.7N3 168.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 6.9N5 166.5E8 PAGE 04 RUEOMCA4350 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 7.3N0 161.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION: 6.6N2 174.2E4 TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) CONTINUES TO TRACK WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION WAS RELOCATED BASED ON A 082330Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TS PAKA IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A WESTERLY TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING NEAR THE 48 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2), 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9), 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5), AND 100300Z4 (100151Z8). JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: TO CORRECT 090300Z PAGE 05 RUEOMCA4350 UNCLAS POSITION.// BT #4350 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 9 16:45:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627566-9281>; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 16:37:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA38978; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 02:22:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7245697 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 02:22:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA44586 for ; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 02:22:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA19322 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 02:22:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712090822.CAA19322@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Dec 1997 02:22:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Paka (05c) Warning Nr 028 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4056e3072cc0ffe9b9b6adcb09b67078 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 264 WTPN31 PGTW 090900 1. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 028 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- 6.6N2 174.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 6.6N2 174.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 6.6N2 173.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 6.6N2 171.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 6.6N2 169.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 6.7N3 167.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 6.8N4 163.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 090900Z POSITION: 6.6N2 173.9E0 TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS SLOWED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 090530Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON A REVISED SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A WESTERLY TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT IS STEERED BY THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9), 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5), 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8), AND 100900Z0 100751Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 10 12:07:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627582-9281>; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 17:18:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA43672; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 03:08:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7246064 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 03:08:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA48004 for ; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 03:08:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA19562 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 03:08:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712090908.DAA19562@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Dec 1997 03:08:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bf5c305bc04a3f34764b977dcb4e7afa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 903 WTPN31 PGTW 090900 PAGE 02 RUEDMCB2934 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 028 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- 6.6N2 174.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 6.6N2 174.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 6.6N2 173.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUEDMCB2934 UNCLAS 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 6.6N2 171.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 6.6N2 169.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 6.7N3 167.7E1 PAGE 04 RUEDMCB2934 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 6.8N4 163.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 090900Z POSITION: 6.6N2 173.9E0 TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS SLOWED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 090530Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON A REVISED SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A WESTERLY TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT IS STEERED BY THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9), 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5), 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8), AND 100900Z0 BT #2934 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 10 12:08:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627600-9276>; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 22:16:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA19152; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 08:07:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7247527 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 08:07:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA13370 for ; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 08:05:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA20384 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 08:05:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712091405.IAA20384@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Dec 1997 08:05:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Paka (05c) Warning Nr 029 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4ce348f45437528f8774b88d069ee728 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 579 WTPN31 PGTW 091500 1. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 029 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- 6.6N2 173.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 6.6N2 173.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 6.7N3 172.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 6.7N3 171.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 6.8N4 170.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 6.8N4 168.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 6.9N5 165.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 091500Z POSITION: 6.6N2 173.2E3 TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) IS QUASISTATIONARY. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 090842Z3 MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS. THE WIND RADII ARE ADJUSTED FOR CURRENT IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN A WESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5), 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8), 100900Z0 (DTG100751Z4) AND 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 10 12:08:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627598-9282>; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 22:58:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA34530; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 08:51:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7247877 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 08:51:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA24732 for ; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 08:50:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA20531 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 08:50:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712091450.IAA20531@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Dec 1997 08:50:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: eade6574a7e85cfbe473fa820ac36ab7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 570 WTPN31 PGTW 091500 PAGE 02 RUEDMCA0796 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 029 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- 6.6N2 173.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 6.6N2 173.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 6.7N3 172.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUEDMCA0796 UNCLAS 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 6.7N3 171.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 6.8N4 170.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 6.8N4 168.7E2 PAGE 04 RUEDMCA0796 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 6.9N5 165.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 091500Z POSITION: 6.6N2 173.2E3 TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) IS QUASISTATIONARY. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 090842Z3 MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS. THE WIND RADII ARE ADJUSTED FOR CURRENT IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN A WESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z IS 18 PAGE 05 RUEDMCA0796 UNCLAS FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5), 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8), 100900Z0 (DTG100751Z4) AND BT #0796 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 10 12:08:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627511-9276>; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 04:46:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA30330; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 14:31:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7251529 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 14:31:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA61528 for ; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 14:31:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA21792 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 14:30:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712092030.OAA21792@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Dec 1997 14:30:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Paka (05c) Warning Nr 030 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a8e7f1c69030cd871ea6d2b63b12af94 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 257 WTPN31 PGTW 092100 1. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 030 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091800Z8 --- 6.8N4 172.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 6.8N4 172.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 7.1N8 171.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 7.3N0 169.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 7.5N2 168.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 7.6N3 166.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 7.7N4 163.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 092100Z POSITION: 6.9N5 171.9E8 TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE IN THIS DIRECTION THROUGH 72 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TS PAKA IS BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED AND MORE DIFFICULT TO POSITION USING ITS DEEP CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8), 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4), 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1) AND 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 10 12:08:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627616-9280>; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 05:44:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA40120; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 15:34:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7252532 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 15:32:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA61220 for ; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 15:32:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA22029 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 15:32:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712092132.PAA22029@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Dec 1997 15:32:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Paka (05c) Warning Nr 030 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7a9f673eae43cc6257c78920e5080548 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 523 WTPN31 PGTW 092100 1. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 030 PAGE 02 RUEOMCC0930 UNCLAS 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091800Z8 --- 6.8N4 172.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 6.8N4 172.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 7.1N8 171.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUEOMCC0930 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 7.3N0 169.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 7.5N2 168.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 7.6N3 166.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT PAGE 04 RUEOMCC0930 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 7.7N4 163.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 092100Z POSITION: 6.9N5 171.9E8 TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE IN THIS DIRECTION THROUGH 72 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TS PAKA IS BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED AND MORE DIFFICULT TO POSITION USING ITS DEEP CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8), 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4), 101500Z7 (DTG PAGE 05 RUEOMCC0930 UNCLAS 101351Z1) AND 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7).// BT #0930 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 10 12:08:21 1997 >From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Dec 10 11:18:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626263-3015>; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 11:18:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA37916; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 20:51:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7254363 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 20:50:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA23042 for ; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 20:50:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA23135 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 20:50:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712100250.UAA23135@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Dec 1997 20:50:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Paka (05c) Warning Nr 031 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 21f8f482204bc1c81987bad87af053d0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 297 WTPN31 PGTW 100300 1. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 031 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- 6.9N5 171.9E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 6.9N5 171.9E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 7.0N7 170.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 7.1N8 168.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 7.2N9 166.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 7.3N0 164.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 7.5N2 161.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 100900Z POSITION: 6.9N 171.5E TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) IS 20 NM SOUTHEAST OF MAJURO (WMO 91376) MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE A WESTWARD TRACK AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN NEAR THE 24-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA FROM MAJURO AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z), 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z), 102100Z4 (DTG 101851Z), AND 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 10 12:08:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626176-3010>; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 11:36:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA58984; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 21:17:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7254555 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 21:17:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA45142 for ; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 21:17:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA23223 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 21:17:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712100317.VAA23223@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Dec 1997 21:17:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Paka (05c) Warning Nr 031 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fe1f464ccaa185dbf9bded311d8316c4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 814 WTPN31 PGTW 100300 1. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 031 PAGE 02 RUEDMCA4604 UNCLAS 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- 6.9N5 171.9E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 6.9N5 171.9E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 7.0N7 170.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUEDMCA4604 UNCLAS 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 7.1N8 168.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 7.2N9 166.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 7.3N0 164.9E0 PAGE 04 RUEDMCA4604 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 7.5N2 161.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 100300Z POSITION: 6.9N 171.5E TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) IS 20 NM SOUTHEAST OF MAJURO (WMO 91376) MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE A WESTWARD TRACK AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN NEAR THE 24-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA FROM MAJURO AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z), 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z), 102100Z4 (DTG 101851Z), AND 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z).// BT #4604 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 10 16:28:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626654-3015>; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 15:28:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA59260; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 01:15:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7256784 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 01:15:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA59228 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 01:15:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA24118 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 01:15:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712100715.BAA24118@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Dec 1997 01:15:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 96fef1e2388418236ae83c52ddd164c9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 546 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 100151Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 100000Z9, TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WAS LOCATED AT 6.9N5 171.9E8 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 31 (WTPN31 PGTW 100300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/EDSON/EIBLING/DOBBINS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:44:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626359-3014>; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 17:37:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA40002; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 03:24:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7257277 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 03:23:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA46068 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 03:23:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA24597 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 03:23:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712100923.DAA24597@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Dec 1997 03:23:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Paka (05c) Warning Nr 032 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1bf678a12d147dac8707bf5f6c0ade86 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 796 WTPN31 PGTW 100900 COR 1. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 032 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100600Z7 --- 6.9N5 171.1E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 6.9N5 171.1E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 7.0N7 169.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 7.2N9 167.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 7.4N1 166.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 7.6N3 164.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 8.0N8 159.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 100900Z POSITION: 6.9N5 170.7E5 TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS NOW FORECAST TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 24-HOUR POSITION TO TYPHOON INTENSITY AND MAINTAIN AT LEAST 50 KNOTS THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE WARNING LOCATION IS BASED ON PREVIOUS SYNOPTIC DATA FROM MAJURO (WMO 91376) AND ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE-DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI3.0 (45 KNOTS) PGTW AND CI3.5 (55 KNOTS) KGWC. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z), 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z), 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z), AND 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:44:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626051-3010>; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 17:49:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA17500; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 03:26:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7257307 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 03:26:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA23624 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 03:26:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA24610 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 03:26:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712100926.DAA24610@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Dec 1997 03:26:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Paka (05c) Warning Nr 032 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: da34a7aea16171a4a22c7be2ce581c76 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 885 WTPN31 PGTW 100900 1. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 032 PAGE 02 RUEOMCB2780 UNCLAS //NO3145// 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100600Z7 --- 6.9N5 171.1E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 6.9N5 171.1E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 7.0N7 169.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT PAGE 03 RUEOMCB2780 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 7.2N9 167.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 7.4N1 166.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS PAGE 04 RUEOMCB2780 UNCLAS //NO3145// --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 7.6N3 164.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 8.0N8 159.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 100900Z POSITION: 6.9N5 170.7E5 TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS NOW FORECAST TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY PAGE 05 RUEOMCB2780 UNCLAS //NO3145// THROUGH THE 24-HOUR POSITION TO TYPHOON INTENSITY AND MAINTAIN AT LEAST 50 KNOTS THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE WARNING LOCATION IS BASED ON PREVIOUS SYNOPTIC DATA FROM MAJURO (WMO 91376) AND ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE-DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI3.0 (45 KNOTS) PGTW AND CI3.5 (55 KNOTS) KGWC. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z), 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z), 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z), BT #2780 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:44:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626738-3017>; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 22:15:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA23684; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 07:57:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7258988 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 07:57:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA08050 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 07:57:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA25373 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 07:57:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712101357.HAA25373@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Dec 1997 07:57:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Paka (05c) Warning Nr 033 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 55149bb91b49579d2037af40ec3e6d96 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 993 WTPN31 PGTW 101500 1. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 033 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- 6.9N5 170.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 6.9N5 170.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 7.0N7 169.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 7.2N9 168.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 7.4N1 165.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 7.6N3 163.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 8.0N8 159.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 101500Z POSITION: 6.9N5 170.2E0 TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. IT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN THIS DIRECTION THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. SLOW INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST THROUGH THE NEXT 24 TO 30 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO EXPERIENCE INCREASED UPPER LEVEL WINDSHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7), 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9), 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z5) AND 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:44:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626742-3017>; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 23:36:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA23720; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 09:27:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7259746 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 09:26:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA63070 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 09:26:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA25718 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 09:26:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712101526.JAA25718@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Dec 1997 09:26:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Paka (05c) Warning Nr 033 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7f4e508e1d123471555528c2f5e69e1c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 841 WTPN31 PGTW 101500 1. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 033 PAGE 02 RUEDMCA6788 UNCLAS //NO3145// 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- 6.9N5 170.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 6.9N5 170.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 7.0N7 169.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM PAGE 03 RUEDMCA6788 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 7.2N9 168.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 7.4N1 165.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUEDMCA6788 UNCLAS //NO3145// EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 7.6N3 163.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 8.0N8 159.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 101500Z POSITION: 6.9N5 170.2E0 TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. IT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN THIS DIRECTION THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. SLOW INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST THROUGH THE NEXT 24 TO 30 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM PAGE 05 RUEDMCA6788 UNCLAS //NO3145// IS ANTICIPATED TO EXPERIENCE INCREASED UPPER LEVEL WINDSHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7), 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9), 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z5) AND 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2).// BT #6788 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626317-3017>; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 05:23:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA51568; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 15:03:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7267090 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 15:03:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA04824 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 15:00:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA26460 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 14:59:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712102059.OAA26460@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Dec 1997 14:59:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 034 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 750920928ae1faa3272e3f3ec61cd307 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 382 WTPN31 PGTW 102100 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 034 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 05C 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101800Z0 --- 6.9N5 169.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE AND BY DOPPLER RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 6.9N5 169.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 7.0N7 168.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 7.2N9 166.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 7.4N1 164.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 7.6N3 162.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 7.9N6 159.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 102100Z POSITION: 6.9N5 169.0E6 TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. THE SYSTEM HAS SHOWN IMPROVED ORGANIZATION AND UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW OVER THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND DOPPLER RADAR FROM KWAJALEIN (WMO 91366). WIND RADII HAVE BEEN EXPANDED BASED ON SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS FROM JALUIT (WMO 91369) AND ALINGLAPALAP (WMO 91367). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9), 110900Z1 (DTG 10751Z5), 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2) AND 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626745-3014>; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 05:47:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA17256; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 15:27:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7267421 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 15:26:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA34390 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 15:26:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA26520 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 15:26:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712102126.PAA26520@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Dec 1997 15:26:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 034 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c116f264343c16578d33bd6a11387ca3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 963 WTPN31 PGTW 102100 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 034 PAGE 02 RUEDMCB0263 UNCLAS //NO3145// UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 05C 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101800Z0 --- 6.9N5 169.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE AND BY DOPPLER RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 6.9N5 169.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUEDMCB0263 UNCLAS //NO3145// 110600Z8 --- 7.0N7 168.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 7.2N9 166.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 7.4N1 164.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT PAGE 04 RUEDMCB0263 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 7.6N3 162.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 7.9N6 159.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE PAGE 05 RUEDMCB0263 UNCLAS //NO3145// 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 102100Z POSITION: 6.9N5 169.0E6 TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. THE SYSTEM HAS SHOWN IMPROVED ORGANIZATION AND UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW OVER THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND DOPPLER RADAR FROM KWAJALEIN (WMO 91366). WIND RADII HAVE BEEN EXPANDED BASED ON SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS FROM JALUIT (WMO 91369) AND ALINGLAPALAP (WMO 91367). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9), 110900Z1 (DTG 10751Z5), 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2) AND 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z7).// BT #0263 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626218-29770>; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 10:54:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA10006; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 20:36:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7271799 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 20:35:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA59890 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 20:35:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA27037 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 20:35:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712110235.UAA27037@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Dec 1997 20:35:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9cb1349dde2288a87620582a478ffa89 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 812 WTPN31 PGTW 110300 PAGE 02 RUEOMCA3729 UNCLAS //NO3145// 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 035 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- 6.7N3 168.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 6.7N3 168.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 6.7N3 167.3E7 PAGE 03 RUEOMCA3729 UNCLAS //NO3145// MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 6.7N3 165.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 6.9N5 163.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM PAGE 04 RUEOMCA3729 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 7.1N8 160.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 7.5N2 155.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT PAGE 05 RUEOMCA3729 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 110300Z POSITION: 6.7N3 168.5E0 TYPHOON PAKA (05C) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 102330Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE FIX AND A 110000Z2 RADAR FIX FROM KWAJALEIN (WMO 91366). THE SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED AN EYE OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AS IT TRACKS THROUGH THE MARSHALL ISLANDS. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH 48 HOURS, THEN WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AT 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z5), 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2), 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z7) AND 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z9).// BT #3729 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626369-29770>; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 13:17:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA04776; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 21:58:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7272518 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 21:57:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA53892 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 21:57:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA27133 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 21:57:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712110357.VAA27133@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Dec 1997 21:57:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 035 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a6e4415b13568fd8636f08cf4eac14d0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 194 WTPN31 PGTW 110300 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 035 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- 6.7N3 168.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 6.7N3 168.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 6.7N3 167.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 6.7N3 165.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 6.9N5 163.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 7.1N8 160.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 7.5N2 155.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 110300Z POSITION: 6.7N3 168.5E0 TYPHOON PAKA (05C) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 102330Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE FIX AND A 110000Z2 RADAR FIX FROM KWAJALEIN (WMO 91366). THE SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED AN EYE OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AS IT TRACKS THROUGH THE MARSHALL ISLANDS. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH 48 HOURS, THEN WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AT 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z5), 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2), 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z7) AND 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626624-29765>; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 15:05:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA14548; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 00:54:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7274011 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 00:54:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA31994 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 00:47:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA27373 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 00:47:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712110647.AAA27373@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Dec 1997 00:47:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 369289e3f7f616536cbac1e4cbe7309a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 933 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 110151Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110000Z2, TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WAS LOCATED AT 6.9N5 169.9E5 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 80 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 35 (WTPN31 PGTW 110300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626938-29769>; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 17:03:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA17450; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 02:45:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7275495 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 02:45:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA53608 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 02:44:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA27470 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 02:44:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712110844.CAA27470@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Dec 1997 02:44:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 036 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1157edafc1c7d4244444cc8f42cfb782 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 955 WTPN31 PGTW 110900 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 036 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- 6.7N3 168.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 6.7N3 168.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 6.7N3 167.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 6.8N4 165.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 7.0N7 163.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 7.2N9 160.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 7.5N2 155.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626506-29770>; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 17:23:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA40376; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 03:11:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7276032 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 03:11:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA33958 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 03:11:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA27611 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 03:11:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712110911.DAA27611@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Dec 1997 03:11:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 036 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 15e5f25838e626d8decb9ec6948040d1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 433 WTPN31 PGTW 110900 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 036 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- 6.7N3 168.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUEOMCC0644 UNCLAS //NO3145// 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 6.7N3 168.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 6.7N3 167.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 6.8N4 165.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM PAGE 04 RUEOMCC0644 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 7.0N7 163.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 7.2N9 160.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT PAGE 05 RUEOMCC0644 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 7.5N2 155.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626141-29770>; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 22:42:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA20764; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 08:30:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7278043 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 08:29:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA53514 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 08:29:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA27862 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 08:29:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712111429.IAA27862@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Dec 1997 08:29:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 037 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e546baa55dd97586982a09b72effd5b7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 347 WTPN31 PGTW 111500 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 037 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- 6.9N5 167.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUEOMCB0158 UNCLAS //NO3145// 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 6.9N5 167.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 7.1N8 166.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 7.4N1 165.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM PAGE 04 RUEOMCB0158 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 7.6N3 163.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 7.7N4 160.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT PAGE 05 RUEOMCB0158 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 8.4N2 155.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION: 7.0N7 167.7E1 THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF 111300Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY WHICH SHOWS AN 11NM PAGE 06 RUEOMCB0158 UNCLAS //NO3145// CLOUD-FILLED EYE AND AN 111200Z5 DOPPLER RADAR REPORT FROM KWAJALEIN (WMO 91366). THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 102 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CENTRAL CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TY PAKA HAS BECOME MORE INTENSE OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AS INDICATED BY COOLING CLOUD TOPS. THE FORECAST TRACK SHOWS PAKA TRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AS IT IS INFLUENCED BY A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. BETWEEN THE 24 AND 48 HOUR PERIOD THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK MORE WESTERLY AS A MID LATITUDE TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE AREA AND TY PAKA BECOMES EMBEDDED IN EASTERLY FLOW. TY PAKA IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AND REACH ITS PEAK INTENSITY AT THE 36 HOUR PERIOD AND WEAKEN SLOWLY AFTERWARDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z5 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z),120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z), 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z) AND 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z).// BT #0158 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626796-29769>; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 23:52:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA34142; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 09:42:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7278751 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 09:42:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA26144 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 09:42:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA27964 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 09:41:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712111541.JAA27964@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Dec 1997 09:41:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 037 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a5c8f4d3a2ac4b71f2d66a5c3e13a88d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 782 WTPN31 PGTW 111500 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 037 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- 6.9N5 167.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 6.9N5 167.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 7.1N8 166.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 7.4N1 165.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 7.6N3 163.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 7.7N4 160.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 8.4N2 155.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION: 7.0N7 167.7E1 THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF 111300Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY WHICH SHOWS AN 11NM CLOUD-FILLED EYE AND AN 111200Z5 DOPPLER RADAR REPORT FROM KWAJALEIN (WMO 91366). THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 102 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CENTRAL CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TY PAKA HAS BECOME MORE INTENSE OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AS INDICATED BY COOLING CLOUD TOPS. THE FORECAST TRACK SHOWS PAKA TRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AS IT IS INFLUENCED BY A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. BETWEEN THE 24 AND 48 HOUR PERIOD THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK MORE WESTERLY AS A MID LATITUDE TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE AREA AND TY PAKA BECOMES EMBEDDED IN EASTERLY FLOW. TY PAKA IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AND REACH ITS PEAK INTENSITY AT THE 36 HOUR PERIOD AND WEAKEN SLOWLY AFTERWARDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z5 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z),120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z), 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z) AND 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627643-29765>; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 04:12:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA29610; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 14:03:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7282455 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 14:03:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA32086 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 14:02:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA28713 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 14:02:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712112002.OAA28713@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Dec 1997 14:02:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 038 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c8c314abb64274a3d767c3d5140a6a7b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 673 WTPN31 PGTW 112100 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 038 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- 7.4N1 166.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 7.4N1 166.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 7.7N4 165.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 7.8N5 163.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 7.9N6 161.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 8.2N0 159.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 8.8N6 154.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION: 7.6N3 166.2E5 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TYPHOON PAKA (05C) HAS MAINTAINED ITS INTENSITY NEAR 100 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND CONTINUES TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 8 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF 111730Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AN 111700Z0 DOPPLER RADAR REPORT FROM KWAJALEIN (WMO 91366). THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 102 KNOTS. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME AS TY PAKA IS EXPECTED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AS IT IS INFLUENCED BY A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. AFTERWARDS IT IS FORECAST TO TRACK MORE TOWARDS THE WEST AS THE SYSTEM IS STEERED BY EASTERLY FLOW, SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TY PAKA IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 36 HOUR PERIOD WHEN IT IS FORECAST TO REACH PEAK INTENSITY. AFTERWARDS, TY PAKA IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS SUGGESTED BY CLIMATOLOGY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z1 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z), 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z), 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z) AND 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627637-29770>; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 05:05:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA33944; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 14:33:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7282788 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 14:33:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA46980 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 14:33:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA28744 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 14:32:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712112032.OAA28744@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Dec 1997 14:32:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 038 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: faeaa5b5e23330b45152fecb8f6f84d5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 231 WTPN31 PGTW 112100 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 038 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- 7.4N1 166.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM PAGE 03 RUEOMCB0837 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 7.4N1 166.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 7.7N4 165.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 7.8N5 163.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT PAGE 04 RUEOMCB0837 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 7.9N6 161.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 8.2N0 159.3E8 PAGE 05 RUEOMCB0837 UNCLAS //NO3145// MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 8.8N6 154.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION: 7.6N3 166.2E5 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TYPHOON PAKA (05C) PAGE 06 RUEOMCB0837 UNCLAS //NO3145// HAS MAINTAINED ITS INTENSITY NEAR 100 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND CONTINUES TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 8 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF 111730Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AN 111700Z0 DOPPLER RADAR REPORT FROM KWAJALEIN (WMO 91366). THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 102 KNOTS. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME AS TY PAKA IS EXPECTED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AS IT IS INFLUENCED BY A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. AFTERWARDS IT IS FORECAST TO TRACK MORE TOWARDS THE WEST AS THE SYSTEM IS STEERED BY EASTERLY FLOW, SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TY PAKA IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 36 HOUR PERIOD WHEN IT IS FORECAST TO REACH PEAK INTENSITY. AFTERWARDS, TY PAKA IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS SUGGESTED BY CLIMATOLOGY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z1 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z), 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z), 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z) AND 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z).// BT #0837 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626478-24176>; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 10:24:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA29608; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 20:08:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7286667 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 20:07:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA29568 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 20:07:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA29156 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 20:07:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712120207.UAA29156@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Dec 1997 20:07:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 039 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 84a784b51d2f2a11a0ba7a44331b2d6e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 587 WTPN31 PGTW 120300 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 039 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- 7.6N3 166.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 7.6N3 166.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 7.9N6 165.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 8.1N9 163.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 8.4N2 161.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 8.8N6 159.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 9.5N4 156.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 120300Z POSITION: 7.7N4 166.3E6 TYPHOON PAKA (05C) HAS BEEN TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 112330Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 120000Z DOPPLER RADAR OBSERVATION FROM KWAJALEIN (WMO 91366). THE SYSTEM IS NO LONGER RAPIDLY DEVELOPING, AND THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE DERIVED ESTIMATE OF 105 KNOTS. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) SHOULD TRACK A LITTLE MORE WESTWARD DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS, BUT THEN TURN MORE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS TRACK BRINGS THE SYSTEM FURTHER NORTHWARD THAN THE PREVIOUS FORECASTS. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY ALTHOUGH AT A SLOWER RATE AND THIS IS REFLECTED IN THE FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6), 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3), 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9) AND 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626030-24176>; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 11:20:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA08044; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 20:56:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7287205 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 20:56:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA51318 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 20:54:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA29239 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 20:54:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712120254.UAA29239@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Dec 1997 20:54:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 039 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d0bad754eb8a1572acf34e5e33d54ea0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 437 WTPN31 PGTW 120300 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 039 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- 7.6N3 166.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM PAGE 03 RUEDMCA0392 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 7.6N3 166.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 7.9N6 165.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 8.1N9 163.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT PAGE 04 RUEDMCA0392 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 8.4N2 161.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 8.8N6 159.8E3 PAGE 05 RUEDMCA0392 UNCLAS //NO3145// MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 9.5N4 156.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 120300Z POSITION: 7.7N4 166.3E6 TYPHOON PAKA (05C) HAS BEEN TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD PAGE 06 RUEDMCA0392 UNCLAS //NO3145// AT 9 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 112330Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 120000Z DOPPLER RADAR OBSERVATION FROM KWAJALEIN (WMO 91366). THE SYSTEM IS NO LONGER RAPIDLY DEVELOPING, AND THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE DERIVED ESTIMATE OF 105 KNOTS. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) SHOULD TRACK A LITTLE MORE WESTWARD DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS, BUT THEN TURN MORE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS TRACK BRINGS THE SYSTEM FURTHER NORTHWARD THAN THE PREVIOUS FORECASTS. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY ALTHOUGH AT A SLOWER RATE AND THIS IS REFLECTED IN THE FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6), 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3), 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9) AND 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1).// BT #0392 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627656-24176>; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 14:33:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA51450; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 00:22:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7289180 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 00:22:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA08614 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 00:19:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA29488 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 00:19:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712120619.AAA29488@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Dec 1997 00:19:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 603542cbf0ed67f30a58650ff82ada12 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 407 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 110151Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120000Z2, TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WAS LOCATED AT 7.6N3 166.5E8 AND WAS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 105 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 130 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 39 (WTPN31 PGTW 120300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627481-24171>; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 16:17:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA38742; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 02:06:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7289740 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 02:05:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA21814 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 02:05:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA29564 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 02:05:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712120805.CAA29564@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Dec 1997 02:05:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 040 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 495f4e3f03bbc1cb15d3294b0f190175 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 438 WTPN31 PGTW 120900 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 040 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- 7.8N5 165.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 7.8N5 165.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 8.1N9 164.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 8.4N2 162.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 8.8N6 160.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 9.4N3 158.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 10.5N6 152.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 120900Z POSITION: 7.9N6 165.5E2 TYPHOON PAKA (05C) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF 120530Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 120600Z9 DOPPLER RADAR OBSERVATION FROM KWAJALEIN (WMO 91366). THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 115 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3), 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9), 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1) AND 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627648-24176>; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 16:48:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA31710; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 02:32:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7289920 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 02:32:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA35274 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 02:32:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA29578 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 02:32:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712120832.CAA29578@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Dec 1997 02:32:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 040 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3f852bbbbcece79fe228881c1b7ecbb5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 989 WTPN31 PGTW 120900 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 040 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- 7.8N5 165.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT PAGE 03 RUEDMCB1811 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 7.8N5 165.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 8.1N9 164.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 8.4N2 162.7E6 PAGE 04 RUEDMCB1811 UNCLAS //NO3145// MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 8.8N6 160.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 05 RUEDMCB1811 UNCLAS //NO3145// 140600Z1 --- 9.4N3 158.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 10.5N6 152.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 120900Z POSITION: 7.9N6 165.5E2 PAGE 06 RUEDMCB1811 UNCLAS //NO3145// TYPHOON PAKA (05C) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF 120530Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 120600Z9 DOPPLER RADAR OBSERVATION FROM KWAJALEIN (WMO 91366). THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 115 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3), 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9), 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1) AND 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z6).// BT #1811 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627830-24171>; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 22:56:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA17464; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 08:42:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7292178 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 08:41:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA39096 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 08:37:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA29982 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 08:37:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712121437.IAA29982@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Dec 1997 08:37:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 041 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 98b1b7606a6d49015335768c17e65cf8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 575 WTPN31 PGTW 121500 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 041 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z6 --- 8.0N8 165.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.0N8 165.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 8.4N2 163.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 8.8N6 161.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 9.2N1 159.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 9.6N5 156.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 10.8N9 150.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 121500Z9 POSITION: 8.2N0 164.5E6 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TYPHOON PAKA (05C) CONTINUES TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 7 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121130Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY WHICH SHOWS A 19 NM EYE AND A 121100Z5 DOPPLER RADAR REPORT FROM KWAJALEIN (WMO 91366). THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 115 KNOTS. THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME AS PAKA IS EXPECTED TO PASS TO THE WEST OF A WEAKENING IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE BY THE 24 HOUR PERIOD. AFTERWARDS, TY PAKA IS FORECAST TO TRACK MORE TOWARDS THE WEST AND INCREASE ITS FORWARD MOTION AS RIDGING BUILDS TO THE NORTH AND WEST AND THE SYSTEM MOVES INTO AN AREA OF EASTERLY FLOW. TY PAKA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN AN ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH WILL ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z6 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z), 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z), 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z) AND 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627836-24176>; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 00:33:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA17438; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 10:11:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7293005 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 10:09:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA08010 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 10:08:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA00085 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 10:08:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712121608.KAA00085@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Dec 1997 10:08:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 041 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f7493aae16bc423429f53dd3f76ef729 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 406 WTPN31 PGTW 121500 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 041 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z6 --- 8.0N8 165.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: PAGE 03 RUEOMCB2409 UNCLAS //NO3145// MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.0N8 165.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 8.4N2 163.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUEOMCB2409 UNCLAS //NO3145// 131200Z7 --- 8.8N6 161.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 9.2N1 159.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: PAGE 05 RUEOMCB2409 UNCLAS //NO3145// 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 9.6N5 156.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 10.8N9 150.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: PAGE 06 RUEOMCB2409 UNCLAS //NO3145// 121500Z9 POSITION: 8.2N0 164.5E6 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TYPHOON PAKA (05C) CONTINUES TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 7 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121130Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY WHICH SHOWS A 19 NM EYE AND A 121100Z5 DOPPLER RADAR REPORT FROM KWAJALEIN (WMO 91366). THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 115 KNOTS. THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME AS PAKA IS EXPECTED TO PASS TO THE WEST OF A WEAKENING IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE BY THE 24 HOUR PERIOD. AFTERWARDS, TY PAKA IS FORECAST TO TRACK MORE TOWARDS THE WEST AND INCREASE ITS FORWARD MOTION AS RIDGING BUILDS TO THE NORTH AND WEST AND THE SYSTEM MOVES INTO AN AREA OF EASTERLY FLOW. TY PAKA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN AN ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH WILL ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z6 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z), PAGE 07 RUEOMCB2409 UNCLAS //NO3145// 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z), 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z) AND 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z).// BT #2409 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627887-24171>; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 04:36:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA53746; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 14:22:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7296099 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 14:21:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA34186 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 14:21:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA00507 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 14:20:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712122020.OAA00507@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Dec 1997 14:20:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 042 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8599b2bde29f55bcb4a7d439d244645b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 458 WTPN31 PGTW 122100 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 042 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- 8.4N2 164.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.4N2 164.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 8.9N7 162.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 9.4N3 159.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 10.1N2 157.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 10.9N0 154.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 12.5N8 149.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION: 8.5N3 163.3E3 LATEST INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TYPHOON PAKA (05C) HAS MAINTAINED ITS INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AS IT CONTINUES TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 9 KNOTS. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON 121730Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE CURRENT INTENSITY REFLECTS A SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 115 KNOTS. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR AS TY PAKA CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARDS THE WEST AND PAST A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE 72 HOUR FORECAST POSITION HAS MOVED SLIGHTLY NORTH AS NUMERICAL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A DEVELOPING MID-LATITUDE SYSTEM TO THE NORTH WILL CAUSE A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE WHICH WILL ALLOW PAKA TO TRACK FURTHER NORTH THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. TY PAKA IS STILL FORECAST TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 48 HOUR PERIOD AND REACH ITS PEAK INTENSITY AS IT REMAINS IN AN AREA WITH GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY BETWEEN THE 48 AND 72 HOUR PERIODS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z2 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z), 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z), 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z) AND 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625929-13147>; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 06:34:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA08598; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 16:30:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7297401 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 16:28:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA22868 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 16:26:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA00676 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 16:26:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712122226.QAA00676@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Dec 1997 16:26:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 042 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8302728b1b6513456b1c4915af257d7c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 742 WTPN31 PGTW 122100 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 042 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- 8.4N2 164.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT PAGE 03 RUEOMCC0727 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.4N2 164.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 8.9N7 162.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 9.4N3 159.6E1 PAGE 04 RUEOMCC0727 UNCLAS //NO3145// MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 10.1N2 157.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 05 RUEOMCC0727 UNCLAS //NO3145// 141800Z4 --- 10.9N0 154.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 12.5N8 149.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION: 8.5N3 163.3E3 PAGE 06 RUEOMCC0727 UNCLAS //NO3145// LATEST INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TYPHOON PAKA (05C) HAS MAINTAINED ITS INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AS IT CONTINUES TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 9 KNOTS. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON 121730Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE CURRENT INTENSITY REFLECTS A SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 115 KNOTS. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR AS TY PAKA CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARDS THE WEST AND PAST A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE 72 HOUR FORECAST POSITION HAS MOVED SLIGHTLY NORTH AS NUMERICAL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A DEVELOPING MID-LATITUDE SYSTEM TO THE NORTH WILL CAUSE A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE WHICH WILL ALLOW PAKA TO TRACK FURTHER NORTH THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. TY PAKA IS STILL FORECAST TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 48 HOUR PERIOD AND REACH ITS PEAK INTENSITY AS IT REMAINS IN AN AREA WITH GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY BETWEEN THE 48 AND 72 HOUR PERIODS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z2 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT PAGE 07 RUEOMCC0727 UNCLAS //NO3145// 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z), 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z), 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z) AND 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z).// BT #0727 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626515-13149>; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 11:23:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA22724; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 21:11:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7299952 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 21:10:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA52384 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 21:10:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA01227 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 21:10:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712130310.VAA01227@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Dec 1997 21:10:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 043 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 93ee5daf8716ef458a723afdedab4d3f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 998 WTPN31 PGTW 130300 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 043 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- 8.8N6 162.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.8N6 162.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 9.3N2 160.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 9.8N7 157.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 10.4N5 155.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 11.2N4 152.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 12.7N0 147.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION: 8.9N7 162.1E0 ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE EYE FEATURE HAS FILLED DUE TO A TEMPORARY WEAKENING OF THE SYSTEM. HOWEVER, WE ARE EXPECTING INTENSIFICATION TO RESUME IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. THE FORWARD SPEED OF TY PAKA (05C) HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 6 SIX HOURS AND WE ARE EXPECTING THIS SPEED TO CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z), 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z), 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z), AND 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626570-13139>; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 11:33:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA34334; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 21:17:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7300034 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 21:17:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA27404 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 21:17:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA01253 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 21:17:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712130317.VAA01253@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Dec 1997 21:17:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 043 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: dcd3f1df99764702ad0e8b2b041ebe7c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 145 WTPN31 PGTW 130300 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 043 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- 8.8N6 162.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT PAGE 03 RUEDMCA0329 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.8N6 162.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 9.3N2 160.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 9.8N7 157.7E0 PAGE 04 RUEDMCA0329 UNCLAS //NO3145// MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 10.4N5 155.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 05 RUEDMCA0329 UNCLAS //NO3145// 150000Z6 --- 11.2N4 152.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 12.7N0 147.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION: 8.9N7 162.1E0 ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT TYPHOON PAKA PAGE 06 RUEDMCA0329 UNCLAS //NO3145// (05C) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE EYE FEATURE HAS FILLED DUE TO A TEMPORARY WEAKENING OF THE SYSTEM. HOWEVER, WE ARE EXPECTING INTENSIFICATION TO RESUME IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. THE FORWARD SPEED OF TY PAKA (05C) HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 6 SIX HOURS AND WE ARE EXPECTING THIS SPEED TO CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z), 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z), 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z), AND 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z).// BT #0329 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627249-13147>; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 15:05:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA23152; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 00:52:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7302272 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 00:52:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA20782 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 00:51:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA01616 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 00:51:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712130651.AAA01616@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Dec 1997 00:51:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a8e8dae7439172b95a7b2379100e137d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 411 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 130151Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130000Z4, TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WAS LOCATED AT 8.8N6 162.8E7 AND WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 105 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 130 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 43 (WTPN31 PGTW 130300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/SULLINS/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626480-13139>; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 16:48:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA34676; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 02:29:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7302870 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 02:28:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA10290 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 02:28:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA01683 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 02:28:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712130828.CAA01683@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Dec 1997 02:28:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 044 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5b97c3e9f7f05da5baf0a6719e0bff3b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 182 WTPN31 PGTW 130900 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 044 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- 8.9N7 161.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.9N7 161.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 9.4N3 159.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 10.1N2 157.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 10.8N9 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 11.5N7 152.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 13.1N5 147.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION: 9.0N9 161.3E1 TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND HAS TEMPORARILY WEAKENED. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 130530Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE CURRENT INTENSITY OF 95 KNOTS IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI4.5 (77 KNOTS) AND CI5.5 (102 KNOTS). TY PAKA IS EXPECTED TO RESUME INTENSIFICATION IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z), 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z), 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z), AND 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626896-13147>; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 17:17:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA10326; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 03:08:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7302975 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 03:08:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA47682 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 03:08:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA01844 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 03:08:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712130908.DAA01844@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Dec 1997 03:08:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 044 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bc856965880c5fc639296d15db3f5c2a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 689 WTPN31 PGTW 130900 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 044 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- 8.9N7 161.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT PAGE 03 RUEDMCA1061 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.9N7 161.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 9.4N3 159.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 10.1N2 157.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT PAGE 04 RUEDMCA1061 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 10.8N9 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 11.5N7 152.5E3 PAGE 05 RUEDMCA1061 UNCLAS //NO3145// MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 13.1N5 147.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION: 9.0N9 161.3E1 TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS PAGE 06 RUEDMCA1061 UNCLAS //NO3145// AND HAS TEMPORARILY WEAKENED. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 130530Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE CURRENT INTENSITY OF 95 KNOTS IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI4.5 (77 KNOTS) AND CI5.5 (102 KNOTS). TY PAKA IS EXPECTED TO RESUME INTENSIFICATION IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z), 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z), 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z), BT #1061 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627337-13149>; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 19:12:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA31500; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 05:02:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7303311 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 05:02:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA34810 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 05:02:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA01979 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 05:02:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712131102.FAA01979@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Dec 1997 05:02:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 044 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 75ab52d34a6465d4db65ff431c330eee Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 726 WTPN31 PGTW 130900 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 044 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- 8.9N7 161.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT PAGE 03 RUEDMCA1262 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.9N7 161.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 9.4N3 159.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 10.1N2 157.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT PAGE 04 RUEDMCA1262 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 10.8N9 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 11.5N7 152.5E3 PAGE 05 RUEDMCA1262 UNCLAS //NO3145// MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 13.1N5 147.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION: 9.0N9 161.3E1 TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS PAGE 06 RUEDMCA1262 UNCLAS //NO3145// AND HAS TEMPORARILY WEAKENED. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 130530Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE CURRENT INTENSITY OF 95 KNOTS IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI4.5 (77 KNOTS) AND CI5.5 (102 KNOTS). TY PAKA IS EXPECTED TO RESUME INTENSIFICATION IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z), 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z), 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z), AND 140900Z4 (DTG 140751).// BT #1262 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:46:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627939-13148>; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 22:21:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA34610; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 08:06:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7304320 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 08:04:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA52392 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 08:04:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA02090 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 08:04:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712131404.IAA02090@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Dec 1997 08:04:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 045 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4ea226d91de353bd5ae2ff4fc9307b2d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 366 WTPN31 PGTW 131500 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 045 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- 9.5N4 160.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 9.5N4 160.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 10.4N5 158.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 11.0N2 155.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 11.6N8 153.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 12.2N5 151.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 13.4N8 146.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 131500Z POSITION: 10.0N1 159.2E7 TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS REGAINED ORGANIZATION AND HAS BEGUN TO REINTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z4), 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z0), 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8) AND 141500Z1 (141351Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:46:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627940-13149>; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 22:40:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA22896; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 08:16:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7304362 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 08:14:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA47860 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 08:14:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA02099 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 08:14:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712131414.IAA02099@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Dec 1997 08:14:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 045 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e883d5561b9687cff4fc1e3c810b9727 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 620 WTPN31 PGTW 131500 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 045 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- 9.5N4 160.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM PAGE 03 RUEDMCA1744 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 9.5N4 160.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 10.4N5 158.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 11.0N2 155.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT PAGE 04 RUEDMCA1744 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 11.6N8 153.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 12.2N5 151.0E7 PAGE 05 RUEDMCA1744 UNCLAS //NO3145// MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 13.4N8 146.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 131500Z POSITION: 10.0N1 159.2E7 TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS REGAINED ORGANIZATION AND HAS BEGUN PAGE 06 RUEDMCA1744 UNCLAS //NO3145// TO REINTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z4), 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z0), 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8) AND 141500Z1 (141351Z5).// BT #1744 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:46:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627994-13148>; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 04:39:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA50522; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 14:34:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7307174 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 14:34:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA23092 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 14:34:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA02497 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 14:33:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712132033.OAA02497@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Dec 1997 14:33:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 046 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f22d294a0100f56b80c7673d0dac25d4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 930 WTPN31 PGTW 132100 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 046 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- 10.1N2 159.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.1N2 159.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 11.0N2 156.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 11.9N1 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 12.7N0 152.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 13.3N7 149.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 13.9N3 146.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 142100Z POSITION: 10.6N7 158.0E4 TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED AN EYE AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING. WIND RADII ARE ADJUSTED FOR A 131251Z SCATTEROMETER PASS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8 (DTG 140150Z1), 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8), 141500Z1 (DTG 41351Z5) AND 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:46:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628020-13147>; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 05:10:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA34328; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 15:05:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7307443 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 15:05:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA23042 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 15:05:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA02543 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 15:05:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712132105.PAA02543@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Dec 1997 15:05:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 046 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3a7f845cf841e9ab4c9f7c3a42cd7c52 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 454 WTPN31 PGTW 132100 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 046 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- 10.1N2 159.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM PAGE 03 RUEDMCA2654 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.1N2 159.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 11.0N2 156.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 11.9N1 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT PAGE 04 RUEDMCA2654 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 12.7N0 152.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 13.3N7 149.8E2 PAGE 05 RUEDMCA2654 UNCLAS //NO3145// MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 13.9N3 146.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 142100Z POSITION: 10.6N7 158.0E4 TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED AN EYE AND IS EXPECTED TO PAGE 06 RUEDMCA2654 UNCLAS //NO3145// CONTINUE INTENSIFYING. WIND RADII ARE ADJUSTED FOR A 131251Z SCATTEROMETER PASS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2), 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8), 141500Z1 (DTG 41351Z5) AND 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1).// BT #2654 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:46:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626426-10772>; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 10:30:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA59776; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 20:24:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7308738 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 20:23:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA37938 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 20:23:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA02825 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 20:23:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712140223.UAA02825@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Dec 1997 20:23:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 047 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4ee1903514ce8895cfab9584ebb24a4c Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 620 WTPN31 PGTW 140300 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 047 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- 10.4N5 157.4E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.4N5 157.4E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 11.1N3 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 11.9N1 152.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 12.7N0 150.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 13.3N7 147.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 13.5N9 143.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION: 10.6N 156.8E0 TYPHOON PAKA (05C) HAS CONTINUED TO INCREASE ITS FORWARD SPEED TO 16 KNOTS WHILE MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST- NORTHWEST. LATEST VISUAL AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT TYPHOON PAKA (05C) HAS A WELL DEFINED 11NM EYE WITH AN ESTIMATED INTENSITY OF 115 KNOTS. CONDITIONS ARE STILL FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN A WEST- NORTHWEST DIRECTION THROUGH THE 48-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD AND THEN WESTWARD THEREAFTER. OUTER WIND RADII WERE ADJUSTED OUTWARD IN THE NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE WHILE DECREASED SOMEWHAT TOWARDS THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST BASED ON THE LATEST 131115Z3 SCATTEROMETER PASS AND CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z), 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z), 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z), AND 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:46:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626101-10768>; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 11:53:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA59798; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 21:30:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7309128 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 21:29:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA22636 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 21:29:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA02897 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 21:29:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712140329.VAA02897@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Dec 1997 21:29:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 047 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 941c975304ad602aed901a82d4cfb791 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 906 WTPN31 PGTW 140300 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 047 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- 10.4N5 157.4E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUEOMCB4915 UNCLAS //NO3145// 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.4N5 157.4E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 11.1N3 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 11.9N1 152.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM PAGE 04 RUEOMCB4915 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 12.7N0 150.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 13.3N7 147.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT PAGE 05 RUEOMCB4915 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 13.5N9 143.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION: 10.6N 156.8E0 TYPHOON PAKA (05C) HAS CONTINUED TO INCREASE ITS FORWARD SPEED TO 16 KNOTS WHILE MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST- NORTHWEST. LATEST VISUAL AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY PAGE 06 RUEOMCB4915 UNCLAS //NO3145// INDICATE THAT TYPHOON PAKA (05C) HAS A WELL DEFINED 11NM EYE WITH AN ESTIMATED INTENSITY OF 115 KNOTS. CONDITIONS ARE STILL FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN A WEST- NORTHWEST DIRECTION THROUGH THE 48-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD AND THEN WESTWARD THEREAFTER. OUTER WIND RADII WERE ADJUSTED OUTWARD IN THE NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE WHILE DECREASED SOMEWHAT TOWARDS THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST BASED ON THE LATEST 131115Z2 SCATTEROMETER PASS AND CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z), 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z), 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z), AND 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z).// BT #4915 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:46:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626808-10772>; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 14:01:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAB37970; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 23:55:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7310065 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 23:55:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA22008 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 23:54:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA03056 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 23:54:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712140554.XAA03056@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Dec 1997 23:54:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 90e85ff19998c048fc34c655090f87aa Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 456 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 140151Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140000Z5, TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WAS LOCATED AT 10.4N5 157.4E7 AND WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 115 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 47 (WTPN31 PGTW 140300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/SULLINS/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:46:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628214-10768>; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 16:02:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA37848; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 01:44:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7310613 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 01:44:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA20928 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 01:44:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA03180 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 01:44:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712140744.BAA03180@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Dec 1997 01:44:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 048 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 48dbd32a1069f746e732b8a0b9659a68 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 828 WTPN31 PGTW 140900 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 048 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- 10.7N8 155.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.7N8 155.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 11.5N7 153.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 12.4N7 150.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 13.1N5 148.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 13.3N7 146.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 13.5N9 142.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION: 10.9N0 155.2E3 TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. THE LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TYPHOON PAKA (05C) HAS A WELL DEFINED 15NM EYE. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 140530Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN A WEST- NORTHWESTWARD DIRECTION THROUGH THE 36 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD THEN TO A MORE WESTWARD DIRECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z), 142100Z8 (141951Z), 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z), AND 150900Z5 (150751Z).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:46:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628212-10765>; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 16:27:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA22880; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 02:14:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7310775 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 02:14:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA08526 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 02:14:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA03201 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 02:14:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712140814.CAA03201@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Dec 1997 02:14:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 048 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 552e50b1da7cd1ade86297f030978469 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 321 WTPN31 PGTW 140900 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 048 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- 10.7N8 155.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM PAGE 03 RUEDMCA3607 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.7N8 155.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 11.5N7 153.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 12.4N7 150.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT PAGE 04 RUEDMCA3607 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 13.1N5 148.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 13.3N7 146.3E4 PAGE 05 RUEDMCA3607 UNCLAS //NO3145// MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 13.5N9 142.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION: 10.9N0 155.2E3 TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. THE LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT PAGE 06 RUEDMCA3607 UNCLAS //NO3145// TYPHOON PAKA (05C) HAS A WELL DEFINED 15NM EYE. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 140530Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN A WEST- NORTHWESTWARD DIRECTION THROUGH THE 36 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD THEN TO A MORE WESTWARD DIRECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z), 142100Z8 (141951Z), 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z), AND 150900Z5 (150751Z).// BT #3607 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:46:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629369-6201>; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 22:16:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA22716; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 08:10:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7312310 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 08:10:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA08566 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 08:09:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA03627 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 08:09:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712141409.IAA03627@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Dec 1997 08:09:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 049 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2a70a38cd9482ade727c909fe1d0088a Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 035 WTPN31 PGTW 141500 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 049 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- 11.4N6 154.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.4N6 154.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 12.3N6 151.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 12.9N2 148.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 13.2N6 147.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 13.4N8 145.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 13.7N1 142.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 141500Z POSITION: 11.9N1 152.6E4 TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. GRADUAL SLOWING OF FORWARD MOVEMENT AND INTENSIFICATION TREND EXPECTED NEAR 24 TO 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1), 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3), 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9), AND 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:46:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629369-6204>; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 22:25:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA55746; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 08:20:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7312331 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 08:20:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA37800 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 08:20:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA03640 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 08:20:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712141420.IAA03640@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Dec 1997 08:20:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 049 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f0db593ea0be87923877636e75e0d596 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 337 WTPN31 PGTW 141500 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 049 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- 11.4N6 154.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM PAGE 03 RUEDMCA4060 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.4N6 154.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 12.3N6 151.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 12.9N2 148.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT PAGE 04 RUEDMCA4060 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 13.2N6 147.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 13.4N8 145.3E3 PAGE 05 RUEDMCA4060 UNCLAS //NO3145// MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 13.7N1 142.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 141500Z POSITION: 11.9N1 152.6E4 TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. GRADUAL SLOWING OF FORWARD MOVEMENT AND PAGE 06 RUEDMCA4060 UNCLAS //NO3145// INTENSIFICATION TREND EXPECTED NEAR 24 TO 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1), 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3), 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9), AND 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6).// BT #4060 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:46:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629423-6203>; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 03:47:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA50596; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 13:43:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7313741 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 13:43:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA15198 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 13:42:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA03973 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 13:42:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712141942.NAA03973@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Dec 1997 13:42:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 050 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8553c0cf88a20604397d94074748afb0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 627 WTPN31 PGTW 142100 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 050 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- 12.0N3 152.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.0N3 152.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 12.8N1 150.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 13.3N7 148.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 13.7N1 146.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 13.9N3 144.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 14.0N5 140.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 142100Z POSITION: 12.5N8 151.2E9 TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 16 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3), 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9), 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6) AND 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:46:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629461-6201>; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 04:13:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA40208; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 14:08:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7313843 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 14:08:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA50684 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 14:08:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA03988 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 14:08:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712142008.OAA03988@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Dec 1997 14:08:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 050 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 826777dd9f8ed217ed23678aa20dde4e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 009 WTPN31 PGTW 142100 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 050 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- 12.0N3 152.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM PAGE 03 RUEDMCA4745 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.0N3 152.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 12.8N1 150.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 13.3N7 148.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT PAGE 04 RUEDMCA4745 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 13.7N1 146.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 13.9N3 144.4E3 PAGE 05 RUEDMCA4745 UNCLAS //NO3145// MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 14.0N5 140.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 142100Z POSITION: 12.5N8 151.2E9 TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 16 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PAGE 06 RUEDMCA4745 UNCLAS //NO3145// PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3), 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9), 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6) AND 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2).// BT #4745 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:46:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629432-6203>; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 06:17:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA60118; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 16:14:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7314786 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 16:13:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA24710 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 16:13:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA04115 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 16:12:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712142212.QAA04115@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Dec 1997 16:12:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 050a Amended To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 248d892943b615609365073d97ac756c Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 107 WTPN31 PGTW 142100 AMD 1. SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 050A AMENDED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- 12.0N3 152.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.0N3 152.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 12.9N2 149.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 13.4N8 147.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 13.5N9 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 13.5N9 143.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 13.4N8 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION: 12.2N5 151.8E5 LATEST INFRARED SATELLITE INDICATES THAT DURING THE PAST HOURS THAT SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) HAS CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY AND IS NOW 140 KNOTS. THIS INTENSITY IS BASED ON OUR RECENT ANALYSIS OF OUR AUTOMATED INTENSITY TECHNIQUE. THIS DATA HAS BEEN SHOWN TO BE FAIRLY ACCURATE FOR TYPHOONS OF THIS KIND OF INTENSITY. TYPHOON PAKA IS EXPECTED TO SLOW ITS FORWARD SPEED SIGNIFICANTLY WITHIN THE 24 TO 48 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD AS A STRONG MID-ATITUDE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES OFF OF ASIA. HOWEVER, INITIAL FORWARD SPEED WILL BE MAINTAINED FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS UNTIL THE CYCLONE BEGINS TO FEEL THE AFFECT OF THE TROUGH PASSING TOWARDS THE NORTH. JUSTIFICATION: WARNING INTENSITY AND TRACK AMENDED BASED ON ABOVE NEW INFORMATION AND ANALYSIS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z), 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z), 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z), AND 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:46:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625908-332>; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 06:58:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA34608; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 16:44:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7314922 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 16:44:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA40220 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 16:44:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA04154 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 16:44:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712142244.QAA04154@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Dec 1997 16:44:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 050a Amended To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 97b673f2aeea4866726b18f004c6cf4d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 767 WTPN31 PGTW 142100 AMD 1. SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 050A AMENDED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- 12.0N3 152.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM PAGE 03 RUEOMCA0957 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.0N3 152.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 12.9N2 149.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 13.4N8 147.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT PAGE 04 RUEOMCA0957 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 13.5N9 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 13.5N9 143.6E4 PAGE 05 RUEOMCA0957 UNCLAS //NO3145// MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 13.4N8 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION: 12.2N5 151.8E5 LATEST INFRARED SATELLITE INDICATES THAT DURING THE PAST HOURS THAT SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) HAS CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY AND IS NOW 140 KNOTS. THIS INTENSITY IS BASED PAGE 06 RUEOMCA0957 UNCLAS //NO3145// ON OUR RECENT ANALYSIS OF OUR AUTOMATED INTENSITY TECHNIQUE. THIS DATA HAS BEEN SHOWN TO BE FAIRLY ACCURATE FOR TYPHOONS OF THIS KIND OF INTENSITY. TYPHOON PAKA IS EXPECTED TO SLOW ITS FORWARD SPEED SIGNIFICANTLY WITHIN THE 24 TO 48 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD AS A STRONG MID-ATITUDE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES OFF OF ASIA. HOWEVER, INITIAL FORWARD SPEED WILL BE MAINTAINED FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS UNTIL THE CYCLONE BEGINS TO FEEL THE AFFECT OF THE TROUGH PASSING TOWARDS THE NORTH. JUSTIFICATION: WARNING INTENSITY AND TRACK AMENDED BASED ON ABOVE NEW INFORMATION AND ANALYSIS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z), 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z), 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z), AND 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z).// BT #0957 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:46:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625885-330>; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 06:57:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA34804; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 16:47:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7314933 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 16:47:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA24800 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 16:47:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA04159 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 16:47:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712142247.QAA04159@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Dec 1997 16:47:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 050a Amended To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e7f8e7924a660b548b371f651de28b26 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 790 WTPN31 PGTW 142100 AMD 1. SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 050A AMENDED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- 12.0N3 152.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM PAGE 03 RUEOMCA0958 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.0N3 152.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 12.9N2 149.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 13.4N8 147.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT PAGE 04 RUEOMCA0958 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 13.5N9 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 13.5N9 143.6E4 PAGE 05 RUEOMCA0958 UNCLAS //NO3145// MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 13.4N8 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION: 12.2N5 151.8E5 LATEST INFRARED SATELLITE INDICATES THAT DURING THE PAST HOURS THAT SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) HAS CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY AND IS NOW 140 KNOTS. THIS INTENSITY IS BASED PAGE 06 RUEOMCA0958 UNCLAS //NO3145// ON OUR RECENT ANALYSIS OF OUR AUTOMATED INTENSITY TECHNIQUE. THIS DATA HAS BEEN SHOWN TO BE FAIRLY ACCURATE FOR TYPHOONS OF THIS KIND OF INTENSITY. TYPHOON PAKA IS EXPECTED TO SLOW ITS FORWARD SPEED SIGNIFICANTLY WITHIN THE 24 TO 48 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD AS A STRONG MID-LATITUDE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES OFF OF ASIA. HOWEVER, INITIAL FORWARD SPEED WILL BE MAINTAINED FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS UNTIL THE CYCLONE BEGINS TO FEEL THE AFFECT OF THE TROUGH PASSING TOWARDS THE NORTH. JUSTIFICATION: WARNING INTENSITY AND TRACK AMENDED BASED ON ABOVE NEW INFORMATION AND ANALYSIS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z), 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z), 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z), AND 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z).// BT #0958 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 10:34:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626395-330>; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 10:28:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA34808; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 20:03:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7315803 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 20:02:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA24800 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 20:02:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA04358 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 20:02:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712150202.UAA04358@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Dec 1997 20:02:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 051 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6e05602c3afab1cbcf2a1232c112b298 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 490 WTPN31 PGTW 150300 1. SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 051 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- 12.4N7 150.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.4N7 150.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 13.1N5 148.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 13.4N8 146.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 13.5N9 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 13.5N9 142.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 13.5N9 140.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION: 12.5N8 150.2E8 SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) CONTINUES TO MOVE AT A RAPID WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DIRECTION AT 17 KNOTS. FORECAST IS FOR A DRAMATIC DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AS THE CYCLONE BEGINS TO FEEL THE AFFECTS OF A NEW LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING OFF OF ASIA. SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) REMAINS A VERY INTENSE TYPHOON WITH INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM SATELLITE IMAGERY DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS OF BETWEEN 130 AND 140 KNOTS. SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) HAS A FAIRLY SMALL BUT WELL DEFINED 15 NM EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS 36 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z), 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z), 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z), AND 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 12:38:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626621-332>; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 10:54:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA59948; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 20:29:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7315902 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 20:29:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA15126 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 20:29:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA04372 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 20:29:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712150229.UAA04372@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Dec 1997 20:29:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 051 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ad943722379c79707cfdf778dbecf31d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 102 WTPN31 PGTW 150300 1. SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 051 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- 12.4N7 150.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM PAGE 03 RUEDMCA5263 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.4N7 150.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 13.1N5 148.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 13.4N8 146.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT PAGE 04 RUEDMCA5263 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 13.5N9 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 13.5N9 142.7E4 PAGE 05 RUEDMCA5263 UNCLAS //NO3145// MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 13.5N9 140.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION: 12.5N8 150.2E8 SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) CONTINUES TO MOVE AT A RAPID WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DIRECTION AT 17 KNOTS. FORECAST IS FOR A DRAMATIC DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 PAGE 06 RUEDMCA5263 UNCLAS //NO3145// TO 24 HOURS AS THE CYCLONE BEGINS TO FEEL THE AFFECTS OF A NEW LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING OFF OF ASIA. SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) REMAINS A VERY INTENSE TYPHOON WITH INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM SATELLITE IMAGERY DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS OF BETWEEN 130 AND 140 KNOTS. SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) HAS A FAIRLY SMALL BUT WELL DEFINED 15 NM EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS 36 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z), 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z), 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z), AND 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z).// BT #5263 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 14:38:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626060-326>; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 14:14:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA23054; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 00:10:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7317770 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 00:09:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA40224 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 00:04:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA04658 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 00:04:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712150604.AAA04658@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Dec 1997 00:04:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 306e1c2a5bc2dc49929a0fc7c95b60b0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 058 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 150151Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6, SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WAS LOCATED AT 12.4N7 150.8E4 AND WAS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 140 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 170 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 51 (WTPN31 PGTW 150300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/SULLINS/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 16:05:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626334-330>; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 15:43:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA60018; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 01:36:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7318171 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 01:36:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA14176 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 01:36:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA04734 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 01:36:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712150736.BAA04734@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Dec 1997 01:36:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 052 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1d45f29510d769f13c32af7cc6ac3a81 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 259 WTPN31 PGTW 150900 1. SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 052 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 12.6N9 149.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.6N9 149.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 13.0N4 147.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 13.3N7 145.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 13.4N8 143.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 13.4N8 141.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 13.4N8 139.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION: 12.7N0 148.9E2 LATEST VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) HAS SLOWED ITS FORWARD SPEED TO 13 KNOTS WHILE MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SLOWING AND MOVING WESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS, FOLLOWED BY A WEAKENING TREND DUE TO THE PASSAGE OF A SHORTWAVE TROUGH TO THE NORTH AND A SLIGHT INCREASE IN VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z IS 36 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z), 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z), 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z), AND 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 17:30:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626566-326>; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 16:36:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA21854; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 02:29:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7318533 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 02:29:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA22856 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 02:29:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA04769 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 02:29:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712150829.CAA04769@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Dec 1997 02:29:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 052 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 77c7a5dbf76eccd8c3aed22406667399 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 088 WTPN31 PGTW 150900 1. SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 052 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 12.6N9 149.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUEOMCA1504 UNCLAS //NO3145// 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.6N9 149.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 13.0N4 147.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 13.3N7 145.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM PAGE 04 RUEOMCA1504 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 13.4N8 143.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 13.4N8 141.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT PAGE 05 RUEOMCA1504 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 13.4N8 139.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION: 12.7N0 148.9E2 LATEST VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) HAS SLOWED ITS FORWARD SPEED TO 13 KNOTS WHILE MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SLOWING AND MOVING WESTWARD PAGE 06 RUEOMCA1504 UNCLAS //NO3145// THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS, FOLLOWED BY A WEAKENING TREND DUE TO THE PASSAGE OF A SHORTWAVE TROUGH TO THE NORTH AND A SLIGHT INCREASE IN VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z IS 36 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z), 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z), 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z), AND 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z).// BT #1504 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 16 11:20:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627378-326>; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 22:26:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA33926; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 08:11:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7319656 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 08:10:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA20838 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 08:10:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA05137 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 08:10:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712151410.IAA05137@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Dec 1997 08:10:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 053 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bb74d1e2c74f9f0981fbaff2de098ed6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 246 WTPN31 PGTW 151500 1. SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 053 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- 13.0N4 148.3E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.0N4 148.3E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 13.4N8 146.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 13.5N9 144.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 13.6N0 142.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 13.7N1 141.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 13.8N2 138.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 151500Z POSITION: 13.2N6 147.4E6 SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. CONTINUED SLOWING IS EXPECTED AS THE SYSTEM STAYS EQUATORWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. 35 KNOT WIND RADII ARE EXPANDED ON THE NORTHEASTERN SIDE BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA. HOWEVER, THE REPORT, LOCATED AT 17.8N 147.8E, MAY BE INDICATIVE OF A RELATIVELY NARROW INFLOW CHANNEL RATHER THAN ACTUAL STORM BANDING AND LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED AFTER 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z IS 39 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2), 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4),160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0) AND 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 16 11:20:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627319-331>; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 22:35:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA22996; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 08:26:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7319750 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 08:26:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA44992 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 08:26:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA05154 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 08:26:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712151426.IAA05154@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Dec 1997 08:26:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 053 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 95cd851c7577939882dd88e4e7b04b6b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 538 WTPN31 PGTW 151500 1. SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 053 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- 13.0N4 148.3E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUEOMCB0108 UNCLAS //NO3145// 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.0N4 148.3E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 13.4N8 146.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 13.5N9 144.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM PAGE 04 RUEOMCB0108 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 13.6N0 142.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 13.7N1 141.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT PAGE 05 RUEOMCB0108 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 13.8N2 138.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 151500Z POSITION: 13.2N6 147.4E6 SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. CONTINUED SLOWING IS EXPECTED AS THE SYSTEM STAYS EQUATORWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. 35 KNOT WIND RADII ARE EXPANDED ON THE NORTHEASTERN SIDE BASED ON PAGE 06 RUEOMCB0108 UNCLAS //NO3145// SYNOPTIC DATA. HOWEVER, THE REPORT, LOCATED AT 17.8N 147.8E, MAY BE INDICATIVE OF A RELATIVELY NARROW INFLOW CHANNEL RATHER THAN ACTUAL STORM BANDING AND LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED AFTER 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z IS 39 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2), 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4),160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0) AND 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7).// BT #0108 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 16 11:20:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625950-331>; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 04:54:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA12674; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 14:31:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7323928 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 14:31:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA38988 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 14:31:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA05776 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 14:31:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712152031.OAA05776@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Dec 1997 14:31:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 054 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 48051604b509e89ee88b0a2b4c22f8b7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 752 WTPN31 PGTW 152100 1. SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 054 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- 13.2N6 147.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N6 147.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 13.5N9 145.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 13.6N0 143.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 13.7N1 141.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 13.7N1 139.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 95 KT, GUSTS 120 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 13.7N1 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 152100Z POSITION: 13.4N8 146.1E2 SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN THIS DIRECTION THROUGH 72 HOURS. THE SYSTEM MAY HAVE PEAKED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z IS 39 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4), 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0), 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7) AND 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 16 11:20:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626047-326>; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 05:05:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA18486; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 14:51:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7324084 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 14:51:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA21284 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 14:51:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA05829 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 14:50:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712152050.OAA05829@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Dec 1997 14:50:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 054 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: beb402d940389d7b1ee4888ff139070f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 954 WTPN31 PGTW 152100 1. SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 054 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- 13.2N6 147.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM PAGE 03 RUEDMCA2652 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N6 147.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 13.5N9 145.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 13.6N0 143.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT PAGE 04 RUEDMCA2652 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 13.7N1 141.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 13.7N1 139.7E0 PAGE 05 RUEDMCA2652 UNCLAS //NO3145// MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 95 KT, GUSTS 120 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 13.7N1 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 152100Z POSITION: 13.4N8 146.1E2 SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN THIS DIRECTION THROUGH 72 HOURS. THE SYSTEM MAY HAVE PEAKED OVER THE PAGE 06 RUEDMCA2652 UNCLAS //NO3145// PAST 6 HOURS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z IS 39 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4), 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0), 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7) AND 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3).// BT #2652 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 16 11:20:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626289-326>; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 05:21:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA23330; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 14:55:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7324129 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 14:54:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA35318 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 14:54:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA05843 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 14:54:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712152054.OAA05843@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Dec 1997 14:54:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 054a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fc2789cc78d2b17e99ffc837bd30c230 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 005 WTPN31 PGTW 152100 COR 1. SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 054A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- 13.2N6 147.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N6 147.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 13.5N9 145.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 13.6N0 143.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 13.7N1 141.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 13.7N1 139.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 95 KT, GUSTS 120 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 13.7N1 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 152100Z POSITION: 13.4N8 146.1E2 SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN THIS DIRECTION THROUGH 72 HOURS. THE SYSTEM MAY HAVE PEAKED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z IS 39 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. JUSTIFICATION: CORRECTED WIND RADII. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4), 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0), 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7) AND 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 16 11:20:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626289-332>; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 05:49:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA25596; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 15:39:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7324574 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 15:39:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA12768 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 15:39:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA05922 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 15:38:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712152138.PAA05922@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Dec 1997 15:38:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 054a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 848a09144c154f835f0825281a8d977b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 019 WTPN31 PGTW 152100 COR 1. SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 054A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- 13.2N6 147.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM PAGE 03 RUEDMCA2953 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N6 147.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 13.5N9 145.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 13.6N0 143.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT PAGE 04 RUEDMCA2953 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 13.7N1 141.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 13.7N1 139.7E0 PAGE 05 RUEDMCA2953 UNCLAS //NO3145// MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 95 KT, GUSTS 120 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 13.7N1 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 152100Z POSITION: 13.4N8 146.1E2 SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN THIS DIRECTION THROUGH 72 HOURS. THE SYSTEM MAY HAVE PEAKED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN PAGE 06 RUEDMCA2953 UNCLAS //NO3145// WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z IS 39 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. JUSTIFICATION: CORRECTED WIND RADII. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4), 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0), 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7) AND 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3).// BT #2953 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 16 11:20:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626625-19441>; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 09:58:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA10592; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 19:42:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7326232 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 19:41:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA47942 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 19:41:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA06159 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 19:41:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712160141.TAA06159@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Dec 1997 19:41:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 055 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 907ad3e14363ccfd0b8b7c09292219d7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 227 WTPN31 PGTW 160300 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 055 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 13.5N9 146.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N9 146.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 13.6N0 144.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 13.7N1 142.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 13.7N1 140.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 13.7N1 138.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 13.7N1 135.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION: 13.5N9 145.5E5 LATEST DOPPLER RADAR IMAGERY FROM NEXT GENERATION RADAR (NEXRAD) AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TYPHOON PAKA (05C) HAS WEAKENED IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF BETWEEN 115 AND 127 KNOTS AND DOPPLER RADAR IMAGERY INDICATING SPEEDS OF UP TO 117 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 152325Z8 RADAR REPORT WHICH SHOWS TY PAKA LOCATED 75 NM EAST OF GUAM. TY PAKA IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 9 KNOTS AND IS EXPECTED TO PASS OVER THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE ISLAND AT 160900Z6, OR 1900 LOCAL. DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES A MESOCYCLONE IS ROTATING AROUND THE EYE WALL. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR VELOCITY ESTIMATES, SYNOPTIC DATA FROM SAIPAN (WMO 91232), ROTA (91221) AND GUAM (91212) AND ALSO CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME AS TY PAKA IS EXPECTED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST- NORTHWEST THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AND TURN MORE WESTERLY FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM IS STEERED BY EASTERLIES SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. PAKA IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY THROUGH THE 12 HOUR PERIOD AND SLOWLY WEAKEN AFTERWARDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z7 IS 39 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z), 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z), 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z) AND 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 16 11:20:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627246-19438>; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 11:05:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAB29442; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 20:39:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7326481 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 20:39:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA23790 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 20:39:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA06224 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 20:38:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712160238.UAA06224@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Dec 1997 20:38:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 055 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7d6ce0316605375dd41e1db769c3ce4b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 304 WTPN31 PGTW 160300 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 055 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 13.5N9 146.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM PAGE 03 RUEOMCA3748 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N9 146.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 13.6N0 144.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 13.7N1 142.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT PAGE 04 RUEOMCA3748 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 13.7N1 140.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 13.7N1 138.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT PAGE 05 RUEOMCA3748 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 13.7N1 135.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION: 13.5N9 145.5E5 LATEST DOPPLER RADAR IMAGERY FROM NEXT GENERATION RADAR (NEXRAD) AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TYPHOON PAKA (05C) HAS WEAKENED IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE DERIVED PAGE 06 RUEOMCA3748 UNCLAS //NO3145// INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF BETWEEN 115 AND 127 KNOTS AND DOPPLER RADAR IMAGERY INDICATING SPEEDS OF UP TO 117 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 152325Z8 RADAR REPORT WHICH SHOWS TY PAKA LOCATED 75 NM EAST OF GUAM. TY PAKA IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 9 KNOTS AND IS EXPECTED TO PASS OVER THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE ISLAND AT 160900Z6, OR 1900 LOCAL. DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES A MESOCYCLONE IS ROTATING AROUND THE EYE WALL. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR VELOCITY ESTIMATES, SYNOPTIC DATA FROM SAIPAN (WMO 91232), ROTA (91221) AND GUAM (91212) AND ALSO CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME AS TY PAKA IS EXPECTED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST- NORTHWEST THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AND TURN MORE WESTERLY FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM IS STEERED BY EASTERLIES SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. PAKA IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY THROUGH THE 12 HOUR PERIOD AND SLOWLY WEAKEN AFTERWARDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z7 IS 39 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT PAGE 07 RUEOMCA3748 UNCLAS //NO3145// INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z), 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z), 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z) AND 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z).// BT #3748 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 16 14:16:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627191-19438>; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 13:34:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA38514; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 23:21:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7328010 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 23:21:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA43600 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 23:21:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA06367 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 23:20:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712160520.XAA06367@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Dec 1997 23:20:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a43f7aaeed54bfd6270bd2ec8717cbbb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 376 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 160151Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160000Z7, TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WAS LOCATED AT 13.5N9 146.2E3 AND WAS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 120 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 145 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 55 (WTPN31 PGTW 160300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 16 17:10:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628473-19438>; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 16:30:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA54098; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 02:19:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7329042 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 02:19:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA22584 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 02:19:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA06583 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 02:19:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712160819.CAA06583@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Dec 1997 02:19:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 056 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 768f28a602991b3a2521e05a9748c195 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 316 WTPN31 PGTW 160900 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 056 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 13.7N1 145.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.7N1 145.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 13.8N2 143.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 13.9N3 141.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 14.0N5 139.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 20 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 14.0N5 138.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 14.0N5 134.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION: 13.7N1 144.9E8 LATEST ANIMATED DOPPLER RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS TYPHOON PAKA (05C) HAS INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. IN THE LAST 6 HOURS THE SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED AN OUTER EYEWALL WHICH IS SLOWLY DECREASING IN SIZE. AS THE OUTER EYEWALL DECREASES IN DIAMETER THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY WITH A POSSIBILITY OF SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF A SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 115 KNOTS AND DOPPLER RADAR VELOCITIES UP TO 134 KNOTS. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON A 160535Z0 DOPPLER RADAR REPORT AND 160530Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TY PAKA IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN VERY SLOWLY THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AS THE EYEWALL COMPLETES ITS CYCLE. AFTERWARDS, TY PAKA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES ON A MORE WESTERLY COURSE. THE FORECAST TRACK IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. SOME NUMERICAL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS TY PAKA MAY STALL WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND TURN ON A MORE NORTHERLY COURSE ALONG THE MARIANA ISLAND CHAIN. THE SYNOPTIC SITUATION DOES NOT SUPPORT THIS PHILOSOPHY AS A RIDGE IS LOCATED TO THE NORTH OF PAKA. THEREFORE, THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS AS PAKA IS EXPECTED TO TRACK MOSTLY WESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 39 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (161351Z), 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z), 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 16 17:24:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629556-5229>; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 17:18:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA26106; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 03:14:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7329267 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 03:14:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA14312 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 03:14:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA06756 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 03:14:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712160914.DAA06756@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Dec 1997 03:14:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 056a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c27b5fe35e1cb6f56ca4c014781859c0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 190 WTPN31 PGTW 160900 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 056A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 13.7N1 145.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.7N1 145.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 13.8N2 143.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 13.9N3 141.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 14.0N5 139.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 20 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 14.0N5 138.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 14.0N5 134.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION: 13.7N1 144.9E8 LATEST ANIMATED DOPPLER RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS TYPHOON PAKA (05C) HAS INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. IN THE LAST 6 HOURS THE SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED AN OUTER EYEWALL WHICH IS SLOWLY DECREASING IN SIZE. AS THE OUTER EYEWALL DECREASES IN DIAMETER THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY WITH A POSSIBILITY OF SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF A SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 115 KNOTS AND DOPPLER RADAR VELOCITIES UP TO 134 KNOTS. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON A 160535Z0 DOPPLER RADAR REPORT AND 160530Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TY PAKA IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN VERY SLOWLY THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AS THE EYEWALL COMPLETES ITS CYCLE. AFTERWARDS, TY PAKA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES ON A MORE WESTERLY COURSE. THE FORECAST TRACK IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. SOME NUMERICAL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS TY PAKA MAY STALL WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND TURN ON A MORE NORTHERLY COURSE ALONG THE MARIANA ISLAND CHAIN. THE SYNOPTIC SITUATION DOES NOT SUPPORT THIS PHILOSOPHY AS A RIDGE IS LOCATED TO THE NORTH OF PAKA. THEREFORE, THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS AS PAKA IS EXPECTED TO TRACK MOSTLY WESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. JUSTIFICATION: CORRECT WIND GUSTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 39 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW OR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (161351Z), 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z), 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 16 17:24:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629483-5228>; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 17:19:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA23602; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 03:14:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7329276 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 03:14:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA23566 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 03:14:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA06760 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 03:14:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712160914.DAA06760@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Dec 1997 03:14:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 056 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f19bd2ecab8c1321793670dfe2308ea2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 191 WTPN31 PGTW 160900 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 056 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 13.7N1 145.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM PAGE 03 RUEDMCA0508 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.7N1 145.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 13.8N2 143.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 13.9N3 141.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT PAGE 04 RUEDMCA0508 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 14.0N5 139.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 20 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 14.0N5 138.1E3 PAGE 05 RUEDMCA0508 UNCLAS //NO3145// MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 14.0N5 134.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION: 13.7N1 144.9E8 LATEST ANIMATED DOPPLER RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS TYPHOON PAKA (05C) HAS INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. IN THE LAST 6 HOURS THE SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED AN OUTER PAGE 06 RUEDMCA0508 UNCLAS //NO3145// EYEWALL WHICH IS SLOWLY DECREASING IN SIZE. AS THE OUTER EYEWALL DECREASES IN DIAMETER THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY WITH A POSSIBILITY OF SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF A SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 115 KNOTS AND DOPPLER RADAR VELOCITIES UP TO 134 KNOTS. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON A 160535Z0 DOPPLER RADAR REPORT AND 160530Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TY PAKA IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN VERY SLOWLY THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AS THE EYEWALL COMPLETES ITS CYCLE. AFTERWARDS, TY PAKA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES ON A MORE WESTERLY COURSE. THE FORECAST TRACK IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. SOME NUMERICAL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS TY PAKA MAY STALL WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND TURN ON A MORE NORTHERLY COURSE ALONG THE MARIANA ISLAND CHAIN. THE SYNOPTIC SITUATION DOES NOT SUPPORT THIS PHILOSOPHY AS A RIDGE IS LOCATED TO THE NORTH OF PAKA. THEREFORE, THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS AS PAKA IS EXPECTED TO TRACK MOSTLY WESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL PAGE 07 RUEDMCA0508 UNCLAS //NO3145// RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 39 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (161351Z), 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z), 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z).// BT #0508 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 17 12:03:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629407-5228>; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 17:59:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA21856; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 03:48:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7329383 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 03:48:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA21786 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 03:47:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA06791 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 03:47:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712160947.DAA06791@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Dec 1997 03:47:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 056a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 132569db77c8164af0c2084a7a7de9a2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 844 WTPN31 PGTW 160900 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 056A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 13.7N1 145.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM PAGE 03 RUEOMCA5815 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.7N1 145.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 13.8N2 143.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 13.9N3 141.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT PAGE 04 RUEOMCA5815 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 14.0N5 139.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 20 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 14.0N5 138.1E3 PAGE 05 RUEOMCA5815 UNCLAS //NO3145// MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 14.0N5 134.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION: 13.7N1 144.9E8 LATEST ANIMATED DOPPLER RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS TYPHOON PAKA (05C) HAS INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. IN THE LAST 6 HOURS THE SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED AN OUTER PAGE 06 RUEOMCA5815 UNCLAS //NO3145// EYEWALL WHICH IS SLOWLY DECREASING IN SIZE. AS THE OUTER EYEWALL DECREASES IN DIAMETER THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY WITH A POSSIBILITY OF SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF A SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 115 KNOTS AND DOPPLER RADAR VELOCITIES UP TO 134 KNOTS. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON A 160535Z0 DOPPLER RADAR REPORT AND 160530Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TY PAKA IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN VERY SLOWLY THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AS THE EYEWALL COMPLETES ITS CYCLE. AFTERWARDS, TY PAKA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES ON A MORE WESTERLY COURSE. THE FORECAST TRACK IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. SOME NUMERICAL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS TY PAKA MAY STALL WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND TURN ON A MORE NORTHERLY COURSE ALONG THE MARIANA ISLAND CHAIN. THE SYNOPTIC SITUATION DOES NOT SUPPORT THIS PHILOSOPHY AS A RIDGE IS LOCATED TO THE NORTH OF PAKA. THEREFORE, THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS AS PAKA IS EXPECTED TO TRACK MOSTLY WESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL PAGE 07 RUEOMCA5815 UNCLAS //NO3145// RIDGE. JUSTIFICATION: CORRECT WIND GUSTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 39 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW OR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (161351Z), 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z), 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z).// BT #5815 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 17 12:03:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629687-5229>; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 22:13:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA25404; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 08:05:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7330505 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 08:05:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA21982 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 08:03:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA06974 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 08:03:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712161403.IAA06974@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Dec 1997 08:03:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 057 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 24f65e85fc69d18ce713fd88dac3db16 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 636 WTPN31 PGTW 161500 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 057 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- 13.7N1 144.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.7N1 144.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 13.7N1 143.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 13.7N1 141.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 13.7N1 139.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 13.8N2 137.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 14.3N8 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 161500Z POSITION: 13.7N1 144.2E1 TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. CPA TO GUAM OCCURRED AT APPROXIMATELY 161030Z OR 162030 LOCAL. HEAVY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE OUTER EYE-WALL PASSES THROUGH THE SOUTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS. THE 50 KNOT WIND RADII IS EXPECTED TO BE CLEAR OF GUAM NEAR 160600 LOCAL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z IS 39 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3), 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5), 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1), AND 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 17 12:03:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629926-5231>; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 22:27:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA08502; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 08:18:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7330606 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 08:18:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA14370 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 08:18:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA06987 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 08:18:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712161418.IAA06987@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Dec 1997 08:18:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 057a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6ca8e2a41b9d97e916c0affb33e0c896 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 039 WTPN31 PGTW 161500 COR 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 057A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- 13.7N1 144.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.7N1 144.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 13.7N1 143.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 13.7N1 141.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 13.7N1 139.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 13.8N2 137.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 14.3N8 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 161500Z POSITION: 13.7N1 144.2E1 TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. CPA TO GUAM OCCURRED AT APPROXIMATELY 161030Z OR 162030 LOCAL. HEAVY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE OUTER EYE-WALL PASSES THROUGH THE SOUTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS. THE 50 KNOT WIND RADII IS EXPECTED TO BE CLEAR OF GUAM NEAR 170600 LOCAL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z IS 39 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3), 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5), 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1), AND 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8). JUSTIFICATION:CORRECTED DATE OF 50 KNOT WIND RADAII PASSAGE.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 17 12:03:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629917-5228>; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 23:33:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA14088; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 09:27:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7331291 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 09:26:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA14816 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 09:26:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA07061 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 09:26:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712161526.JAA07061@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Dec 1997 09:26:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 057 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bffcbb5ff93da3bb1494cedbe3e30395 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 418 WTPN31 PGTW 161500 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 057 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- 13.7N1 144.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUEOMCB2710 UNCLAS //NO3145// 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.7N1 144.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 13.7N1 143.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 13.7N1 141.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM PAGE 04 RUEOMCB2710 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 13.7N1 139.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 13.8N2 137.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT PAGE 05 RUEOMCB2710 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 14.3N8 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 161500Z POSITION: 13.7N1 144.2E1 TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. CPA TO GUAM OCCURRED AT APPROXIMATELY 161030Z OR 162030 LOCAL. HEAVY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE OUTER EYE-WALL PASSES THROUGH THE SOUTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS. THE 50 KNOT WIND RADII IS EXPECTED TO BE CLEAR PAGE 06 RUEOMCB2710 UNCLAS //NO3145// OF GUAM NEAR 170600 LOCAL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z IS 39 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3), 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5), 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1), AND 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8).// BT #2710 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 17 12:03:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626301-5228>; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 04:42:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA51444; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 14:29:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7335775 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 14:28:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA35234 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 14:28:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA07461 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 14:28:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712162028.OAA07461@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Dec 1997 14:28:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 058 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4ff77818e93fcd1286534c45a79223f0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 270 WTPN31 PGTW 162100 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 058 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- 13.7N1 143.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.7N1 143.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 13.7N1 142.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 13.7N1 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 13.7N1 138.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 13.8N2 136.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 14.2N7 133.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 162100 POSITION: 13.7N1 143.4E2 TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. GUAM SHOULD BE CLEAR OF THE OUTERMOST DEEP CONVECTIVE FEEDER BAND WITHIN THE NEXT 4 TO 5 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z IS 38 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5), 170900Z7 (170751Z1), 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8) AND 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 17 12:03:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629791-5229>; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 05:00:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA17276; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 14:42:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7335880 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 14:42:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA38976 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 14:41:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA07492 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 14:41:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712162041.OAA07492@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Dec 1997 14:41:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 058 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1ed0229e8b5acf44f7a95f98c31c5dba Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 452 WTPN31 PGTW 162100 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 058 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- 13.7N1 143.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUEDMCA3538 UNCLAS //NO3145// 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.7N1 143.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 13.7N1 142.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 13.7N1 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM PAGE 04 RUEDMCA3538 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 13.7N1 138.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 13.8N2 136.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT PAGE 05 RUEDMCA3538 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 14.2N7 133.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 162100 POSITION: 13.7N1 143.4E2 TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. GUAM SHOULD BE CLEAR OF THE OUTERMOST DEEP CONVECTIVE FEEDER BAND WITHIN THE NEXT 4 TO 5 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z IS 38 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW PAGE 06 RUEDMCA3538 UNCLAS //NO3145// FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5), 170900Z7 (170751Z1), 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8) AND 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4).// BT #3538 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 17 12:03:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626325-13745>; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 08:49:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA51396; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 18:33:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7337658 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 18:32:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id SAA34214 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 18:32:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA07726 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 18:32:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712170032.SAA07726@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Dec 1997 18:32:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 059 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: dcf44714af34556d877f09cefd2378ec Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 248 WTPN31 PGTW 170300 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 059 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 13.7N1 143.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.7N1 143.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 13.7N1 141.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 13.7N1 139.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 13.8N2 137.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 14.0N5 135.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 14.5N0 132.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION: 13.7N1 142.4E1 LATEST INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TYPHOON PAKA (05C) HAS CONTINUED ON ITS WESTWARD TRACK AND INCREASED FORWARD SPEED SLIGHTLY TO 9 KNOTS. THE CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY WHICH SHOWS A 26NM DIAMETER EYE. ADDITIONALLY, THE INNER EYE HAS BECOME RAGGED AND ELONGATED AND APPEARS TO BE ROTATING AROUND THE CENTRAL EYE FEATURE. CURRENT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA FROM SAIPAN (WMO 91232) AND ANDERSEN AIR FORCE BASE ON GUAM. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME AS TY PAKA IS FORECAST TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD WHERE IT IS EXPECTED TO TURN MORE TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AS A WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. FORECAST FORWARD SPEEDS HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON THE RECENT INCREASE IN FORWARD MOTION. TY PAKA IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLOWLY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z7 IS 38 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z), 171500Z4 (DTG 71351Z), 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z) AND 180300Z2 (180151Z).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 17 12:03:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626841-13745>; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 09:18:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA51526; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 19:03:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7337825 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 19:03:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA45106 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 19:03:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA07786 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 19:03:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712170103.TAA07786@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Dec 1997 19:03:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 059 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 096ca9538b3a2d2d2ae02e91873131fb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 113 WTPN31 PGTW 170300 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 059 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 13.7N1 143.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9871 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.7N1 143.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 13.7N1 141.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 13.7N1 139.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9871 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 13.8N2 137.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 14.0N5 135.7E6 PAGE 05 RUHPSGG9871 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 14.5N0 132.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION: 13.7N1 142.4E1 LATEST INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TYPHOON PAKA (05C) HAS CONTINUED ON ITS WESTWARD TRACK AND INCREASED FORWARD SPEED SLIGHTLY TO 9 KNOTS. THE CURRENT POSITION PAGE 06 RUHPSGG9871 UNCLAS AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY WHICH SHOWS A 26NM DIAMETER EYE. ADDITIONALLY, THE INNER EYE HAS BECOME RAGGED AND ELONGATED AND APPEARS TO BE ROTATING AROUND THE CENTRAL EYE FEATURE. CURRENT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA FROM SAIPAN (WMO 91232) AND ANDERSEN AIR FORCE BASE ON GUAM. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME AS TY PAKA IS FORECAST TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD WHERE IT IS EXPECTED TO TURN MORE TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AS A WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. FORECAST FORWARD SPEEDS HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON THE RECENT INCREASE IN FORWARD MOTION. TY PAKA IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLOWLY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z7 IS 38 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z), 171500Z4 (DTG 71351Z), 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z) AND 180300Z2 (180151Z).// BT #9871 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 17 14:35:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627467-13747>; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 14:28:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA20908; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 00:22:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7340410 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 00:22:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA61584 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 00:22:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA08122 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 00:22:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712170622.AAA08122@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Dec 1997 00:22:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 49e954b1efb46749b399675eda63fc28 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 470 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 170151Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 170000Z8, TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WAS LOCATED AT 13.7N1 143.0E8 AND WAS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 120 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 145 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 59 (WTPN31 PGTW 170300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 17 18:08:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627974-13741>; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 17:12:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA34772; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 01:07:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7340555 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 01:06:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA26302 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 01:06:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA08176 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 01:06:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712170706.BAA08176@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Dec 1997 01:06:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 060 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3993b2e87577c9a15103e4d10c973d3f Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 419 WTPN31 PGTW 170900 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 060 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- 13.7N1 142.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.7N1 142.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 13.7N1 140.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 13.7N1 138.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 13.8N2 136.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 14.0N5 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 14.3N8 131.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION: 13.7N1 141.4E0 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TY PAKA (05C) HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST AT 9 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 125 KNOTS. OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CLOUDS OUTSIDE THE EYE WALL HAVE BECOME COLDER AS THE SYSTEM APPEARS TO BECOME MORE COMPACT. IF THE CLOUD TOPS CONTINUE TO COOL THE INTENSITY MAY INCREASE SLIGHTLY. SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I) SHOWED TYPHOON PAKA NOW HAS A SINGLE EYE FEATURE THAT MEASURES 26NM IN DIAMETER. THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR AS PAKA IS EXPECTED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. AT THE 72 HOUR PERIOD A WEAKENING IN THE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WHICH ACCOUNTS FOR THE SLIGHTLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOVEMENT IN THE FORECAST TRACK. TYPHOON PAKA IS STILL EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. HOWEVER, THE WEAKENING TREND HAS BEEN SLOWED CONSIDERABLY BASED ON THE RECENT INTENSITY INCREASE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z4 IS 38 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z), 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z), 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z) AND 180900Z8 (180751Z).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 17 18:08:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627513-13745>; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 16:31:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA45286; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 02:05:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7340781 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 02:05:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA38602 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 02:05:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA08240 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 02:05:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712170805.CAA08240@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Dec 1997 02:05:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 060 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1f21e28a07fc6265e026da61490a5b9e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 642 WTPN31 PGTW 170900 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 060 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- 13.7N1 142.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1267 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.7N1 142.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 13.7N1 140.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 13.7N1 138.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1267 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 13.8N2 136.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 14.0N5 134.6E4 PAGE 05 RUHPSGG1267 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 14.3N8 131.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION: 13.7N1 141.4E0 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TY PAKA (05C) HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST AT 9 KNOTS. THE PAGE 06 RUHPSGG1267 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 125 KNOTS. OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CLOUDS OUTSIDE THE EYE WALL HAVE BECOME COLDER AS THE SYSTEM APPEARS TO BECOME MORE COMPACT. IF THE CLOUD TOPS CONTINUE TO COOL THE INTENSITY MAY INCREASE SLIGHTLY. SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I) SHOWED TYPHOON PAKA NOW HAS A SINGLE EYE FEATURE THAT MEASURES 26NM IN DIAMETER. THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR AS PAKA IS EXPECTED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. AT THE 72 HOUR PERIOD A WEAKENING IN THE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WHICH ACCOUNTS FOR THE SLIGHTLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOVEMENT IN THE FORECAST TRACK. TYPHOON PAKA IS STILL EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. HOWEVER, THE WEAKENING TREND HAS BEEN SLOWED CONSIDERABLY BASED ON THE RECENT INTENSITY INCREASE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z4 IS 38 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT PAGE 07 RUHPSGG1267 UNCLAS INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z), 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z), 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z) AND 180900Z8 (180751Z).// BT #1267 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 18 08:57:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627441-4769>; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 22:12:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA44850; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 07:54:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7342632 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 07:54:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA34584 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 07:54:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA08664 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 07:54:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712171354.HAA08664@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Dec 1997 07:54:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 061 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0e62195badfe3e06f530cd26462ec2ef Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 208 WTPN31 PGTW 171500 1. SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 061 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 13.7N1 141.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.7N1 141.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 13.8N2 139.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 13.9N3 138.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 14.0N5 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 14.1N6 134.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 14.3N8 131.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 171500Z POSITION 13.7N1 141.1E7 SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 171030Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS RE- INTENSIFIED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS AND APPEARS BETTER ORGANIZED THAN 24 HOURS EARLIER WHEN IT PASSED THROUGH THE MARIANAS ISLANDS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE DERIVED ESTIMATES OF 140 AND 155 KNOTS, AND CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. BY 24 HOURS, THE SYSTEM SHOULD WEAKEN SLOWLY FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z IS 38 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4), 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6), 180900Z8 (DTG 180751Z2) AND 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 18 08:57:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627428-4768>; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 23:17:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA38544; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 09:11:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7343391 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 09:11:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA32618 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 09:11:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA08737 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 09:11:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712171511.JAA08737@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Dec 1997 09:11:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 061 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 205c0e24a8bd953c131aeb03380340da Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 666 WTPN31 PGTW 171500 1. SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 061 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 13.7N1 141.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG1969 UNCLAS 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.7N1 141.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 13.8N2 139.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 13.9N3 138.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM PAGE 04 RUHPSGG1969 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 14.0N5 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 14.1N6 134.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT PAGE 05 RUHPSGG1969 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 14.3N8 131.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 171500Z POSITION 13.7N1 141.1E7 SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 171030Z2 ENHANCED PAGE 06 RUHPSGG1969 UNCLAS INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS RE- INTENSIFIED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS AND APPEARS BETTER ORGANIZED THAN 24 HOURS EARLIER WHEN IT PASSED THROUGH THE MARIANAS ISLANDS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE DERIVED ESTIMATES OF 140 AND 155 KNOTS, AND CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. BY 24 HOURS, THE SYSTEM SHOULD WEAKEN SLOWLY FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z IS 38 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4), 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6), 180900Z8 (DTG 180751Z2) AND 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9).// BT #1969 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 18 08:58:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626385-4765>; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 04:38:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA55612; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 14:30:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7347006 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 14:30:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA55558 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 14:30:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA09213 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 14:30:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712172030.OAA09213@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Dec 1997 14:30:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 062 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a7e9a70e5048d6147cce42b16e7bacf0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 315 WTPN31 PGTW 172100 1. SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 062 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- 14.0N5 140.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.0N5 140.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 14.4N9 139.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 14.8N3 137.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 15.0N6 135.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 15.2N8 134.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 15.3N9 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 182100Z POSITION: 14.1N6 140.3E8 SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) HAS BEEN MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNO TS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 18 08:58:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627112-4768>; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 05:25:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA15300; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 15:15:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7347450 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 15:15:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA43688 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 15:15:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA09269 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 15:15:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712172115.PAA09269@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Dec 1997 15:15:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 062 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d393ceb47b2d5697abe5292bf6e251ae Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 061 WTPN31 PGTW 172100 1. SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 062 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- 14.0N5 140.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG2976 UNCLAS 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.0N5 140.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 14.4N9 139.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 14.8N3 137.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM PAGE 04 RUHPSGG2976 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 15.0N6 135.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 15.2N8 134.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT PAGE 05 RUHPSGG2976 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 15.3N9 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 182100Z POSITION: 14.1N6 140.3E8 BT #2976 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 18 10:46:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626105-15673>; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 10:45:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA20858; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 20:31:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7350976 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 20:30:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA47962 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 20:30:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA09588 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 20:30:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712180230.UAA09588@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Dec 1997 20:30:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 063 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d110fde9ae1ab093a994457621799721 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 243 WTPN31 PGTW 180300 1. SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 063 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 14.3N8 139.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 160 KT, GUSTS 195 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.3N8 139.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 14.9N4 138.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 15.2N8 137.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 15.2N8 135.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 15.5N1 134.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 15.7N3 131.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 180000Z9 POSITION: 14.4N9 139.4E7 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) HAS REINTENSIFIED TO 160 KNOTS. THIS IMAGERY, WHICH IS SUPPORTED BY SPECIAL MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I), INDICATES THAT PAKA HAS REACHED NEAR THE MAXIMUM LIMIT CAPABLE OF BEING ESTIMATED WITH SATELLITE-ONLY TECHNIQUES. THIS CYCLONE REMAINS FAIRLY WELL COMPACT WITH AN EYE DIAMETER OF APPROXIMATELY 25NM AND GALE FORCE WINDS REACHING OUT ONLY TO BETWEEN 70NM AND 150NM. LATEST IMAGERY IN DICATES THAT PAKA HAS INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED TO 09 KNOTS IN A WES T-NORTHWEST DIRECTION. ALL FORECAST MODELS EXPECT A SLOW DOWN IN FORW ARD SPEED IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORE CAST PERIOD AS STEERING FLOW IS EXPECTED TO BE WEAK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFIC ANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z IS 33 FEET. REFER TO WWPW3 PGFW FOR ADDITI ONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8, 181500Z5, 182 100Z2 AND 190300Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 18 12:17:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627447-15670>; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 11:55:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA59134; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 21:30:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7351498 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 21:30:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA18992 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 21:29:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA09645 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 21:29:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712180329.VAA09645@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Dec 1997 21:29:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 063 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4e2de3d022fee3024787caa788fa866e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 339 WTPN31 PGTW 180300 1. SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 063 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 14.3N8 139.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 160 KT, GUSTS 195 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM PAGE 03 RUHPSGG4004 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.3N8 139.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 14.9N4 138.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 15.2N8 137.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT PAGE 04 RUHPSGG4004 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 15.2N8 135.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 15.5N1 134.0E8 PAGE 05 RUHPSGG4004 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 15.7N3 131.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 180000Z9 POSITION: 14.4N9 139.4E7 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) HAS REINTENSIFIED TO 160 KNOTS. THIS IMAGERY, PAGE 06 RUHPSGG4004 UNCLAS WHICH IS SUPPORTED BY SPECIAL MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I), INDICATES THAT PAKA HAS REACHED NEAR THE MAXIMUM LIMIT CAPABLE OF BEING ESTIMATED WITH SATELLITE-ONLY TECHNIQUES. THIS CYCLONE REMAINS FAIRLY WELL COMPACT WITH AN EYE DIAMETER OF APPROXIMATELY 25NM AND GALE FORCE BT #4004 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 18 16:40:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627559-15666>; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 15:38:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA17624; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 01:33:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7353647 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 01:33:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA15254 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 01:32:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA09970 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 01:32:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712180732.BAA09970@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Dec 1997 01:32:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7a38f7a69171aba1c9df554edc4c0d91 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 122 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 180151Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 180000Z9, SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WAS LOCATED AT 14.3N8 139.7E0 AND WAS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST A T 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 160 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 195 KN OTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 63 (WTPN31 PGTW 18 0300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION AND A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATE D NEAR 4N4 159E5. THIS SURFACE CIRCULATION IS APPARENT IN THE ANIMATED VISUAL IMAGERY. CONVECTION IS NOT ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME AND UPPER LE VEL WINDS DERIVED FROM WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE MODERATE EAST TO W EST VERTICAL SHEAR ACROSS THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMA TED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1 007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) A WEAK AREA OF CONVECTION AND A SURFACE CIRCULATION IS LOCATED N EAR 4N4 172E0. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WELL DEFINED CIRCULATION IS PRES ENT, BUT VERY LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION EXIST AT THIS TIME. THE SURFACE C IRCULATION IS ALSO EVIDENT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 18 16:53:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627610-15670>; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 16:48:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA50646; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 02:41:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7353936 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 02:41:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA29634 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 02:41:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA10038 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 02:41:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712180841.CAA10038@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Dec 1997 02:41:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 064 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 399adc6a42b326c661bec131ed805aa1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 122 WTPN31 PGTW 180900 1. SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 064 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- 14.6N1 138.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.6N1 138.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 15.1N7 137.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 15.3N9 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 15.7N3 134.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 15.8N4 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 15.8N4 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION: 14.7N2 138.4E6 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 08 KNOTS. DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS PAKA HAS SHOWN SIGNS OF WEAKENING SLIGHTLY; CURRENT INTENSITY IS NOW ESTIMATED AT 135 KNOTS. CONDITIONS ARE STILL FAVORABLE FOR PAKA TO REMAIN AN INTENSE CYCLONE FOR THE DURATION OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5, 182100Z2, 190300Z3 AND 190900Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 19 09:29:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627569-15666>; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 17:20:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA34642; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 03:12:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7354090 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 03:11:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA17460 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 03:11:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA10182 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 03:11:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712180911.DAA10182@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Dec 1997 03:11:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 064 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4c2f298d7deb222a8d259f7b7ed93a1b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 646 WTPN31 PGTW 180900 1. SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 064 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- 14.6N1 138.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5058 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.6N1 138.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 15.1N7 137.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 15.3N9 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT PAGE 04 RUHPSGG5058 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 15.7N3 134.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 15.8N4 133.1E8 PAGE 05 RUHPSGG5058 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 15.8N4 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION: 14.7N2 138.4E6 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 08 PAGE 06 RUHPSGG5058 UNCLAS KNOTS. DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS PAKA HAS SHOWN SIGNS OF WEAKENING SLIGHTLY; CURRENT INTENSITY IS NOW ESTIMATED AT 135 KNOTS. CONDITIONS ARE STILL FAVORABLE FOR PAKA TO REMAIN AN INTENSE CYCLONE FOR THE DURATION OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5, 182100Z2, 190300Z3 AND 190900Z9.// BT #5058 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 19 09:29:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627632-15666>; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 22:15:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA38432; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 08:10:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7355699 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 08:10:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA37400 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 08:04:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA10426 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 08:04:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712181404.IAA10426@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Dec 1997 08:04:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 065 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: dc44a16bbb7a90909bcfba23ae02ba20 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 072 WTPN31 PGTW 181500 1. SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 065 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 14.9N4 138.2E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.9N4 138.2E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 15.3N9 136.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 15.6N2 134.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 15.7N3 133.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 15.7N3 131.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 15.7N3 128.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 181500Z POSITION: 15.0N6 137.8E9 SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) HAS BEEN MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 181130Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5), 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7), 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3) AND 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 19 09:29:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629401-15666>; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 22:40:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA54086; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 08:36:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7355884 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 08:36:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA50480 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 08:36:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA10462 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 08:35:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712181435.IAA10462@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Dec 1997 08:35:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 065 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e6db45433f70447d8e125956b4885d98 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 787 WTPN31 PGTW 181500 1. SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 065 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 14.9N4 138.2E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5505 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.9N4 138.2E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 15.3N9 136.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 15.6N2 134.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT PAGE 04 RUHPSGG5505 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 15.7N3 133.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 15.7N3 131.6E1 PAGE 05 RUHPSGG5505 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 15.7N3 128.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 181500Z POSITION: 15.0N6 137.8E9 SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) HAS BEEN MOVING WEST- PAGE 06 RUHPSGG5505 UNCLAS NORTHWESTWARD THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 181130Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5), 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7), 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3) AND 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0).// BT #5505 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 19 09:29:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626566-15673>; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 04:32:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA23754; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 14:25:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7358804 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 14:25:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA32676 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 14:25:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA10983 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 14:25:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712182025.OAA10983@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Dec 1997 14:25:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 066 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3e6f8dc508215fd5ed87da9318ebd96d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 783 WTPN31 PGTW 182100 1. SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 066 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- 15.2N8 137.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N8 137.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 15.5N1 135.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 15.7N3 133.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 15.8N4 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 15.9N5 130.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 16.0N7 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 182100Z POSITION: 15.3N9 136.7E7 SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 181730Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) APPEARS TO BE WEAKENING MORE STEADILY NOW AS ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW THE CLOUD SHIELD SHRINKING AND BECOMING ELONGATED DUE TO SOME WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THEREFORE, THE INTENSITY FORECAST HAS BEEN CHANGED TO REFLECT A MORE DISTINCT WEAKENING FOR THE FIRST 24 HOURS OF THE FORECAST. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM SHOULD MAINTAIN INTENSITY UNTIL THE 72 HOUR POSITION WHEN SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) STARTS TO ENCOUNTER INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7), 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3), 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0) AND 192100Z3 (191951Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 19 09:29:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630028-15671>; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 05:20:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA27434; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 15:15:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7359292 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 15:14:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA32760 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 15:14:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA11061 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 15:14:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712182114.PAA11061@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Dec 1997 15:14:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 066 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1c0da1f9937d4fddc14d4eee130c6543 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 637 WTPN31 PGTW 182100 1. SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 066 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- 15.2N8 137.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6387 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N8 137.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 15.5N1 135.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 15.7N3 133.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT PAGE 04 RUHPSGG6387 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 15.8N4 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 15.9N5 130.7E1 PAGE 05 RUHPSGG6387 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 16.0N7 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 182100Z POSITION: 15.3N9 136.7E7 SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 181730Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. SUPER TYPHOON PAKA PAGE 06 RUHPSGG6387 UNCLAS (05C) APPEARS TO BE WEAKENING MORE STEADILY NOW AS ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW THE CLOUD SHIELD SHRINKING AND BECOMING ELONGATED DUE TO SOME WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THEREFORE, THE INTENSITY FORECAST HAS BEEN CHANGED TO REFLECT A MORE DISTINCT WEAKENING FOR THE FIRST 24 HOURS OF THE FORECAST. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM SHOULD MAINTAIN INTENSITY UNTIL THE 72 HOUR POSITION WHEN SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) STARTS TO ENCOUNTER INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7), 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3), 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0) AND 192100Z3 (191951Z6).// BT #6387 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 19 11:32:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626647-11135>; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 10:56:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA34076; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 20:45:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7362006 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 20:44:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA60112 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 20:44:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA11488 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 20:44:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712190244.UAA11488@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Dec 1997 20:44:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 067 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b21bc166f275c317b051a36797785e5e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 889 WTPN31 PGTW 190300 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 067 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 15.3N9 136.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.3N9 136.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 15.7N3 134.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 16.1N8 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 16.9N6 131.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 17.0N8 130.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 16.6N3 127.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NOREST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION: 15.4N0 135.9E8 TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE LASTEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CURRENT INTENSITY HAS DECREASED TO 115 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DECREASE IN INTENSITY FASTER THAN PREVIOUS FORECAST DUE TO AN INCREASE IN VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE FORECAST TRACK IS EXPECTED TO TAKE A WEST-NORTHWEST TURN AFTER THE 24 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO A SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACH FROM THE WEST. AFTER THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH PASSES TO THE NORTH A WESTWARD TRACK WILL RESUME NEAR THE 48 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z), 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z), 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z), AND 200300Z5 (200151Z).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 19 11:42:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626327-11142>; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 11:38:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA27606; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 21:26:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7362315 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 21:26:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA12726 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 21:26:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA11518 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 21:26:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712190326.VAA11518@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Dec 1997 21:26:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 067 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f3810f715501cf99975b91be9e91cfb2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 571 WTPN31 PGTW 190300 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 067 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 15.3N9 136.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7590 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.3N9 136.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 15.7N3 134.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7590 UNCLAS 200000Z2 --- 16.1N8 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 16.9N6 131.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 17.0N8 130.3E7 PAGE 05 RUHPSGG7590 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 16.6N3 127.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION: 15.4N0 135.9E8 TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE LASTEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CURRENT INTENSITY HAS DECREASED TO 115 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DECREASE IN INTENSITY FASTER THAN PREVIOUS FORECAST DUE TO AN INCREASE IN VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE FORECAST TRACK IS EXPECTED TO TAKE A WEST-NORTHWEST TURN AFTER THE 24 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO A SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACH PAGE 06 RUHPSGG7590 UNCLAS FROM THE WEST. AFTER THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH PASSES TO THE NORTH A WESTWARD TRACK WILL RESUME NEAR THE 48 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z), 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z), 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z), AND 200300Z5 (200151Z).// BT #7590 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 19 15:06:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626745-11142>; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 14:50:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA12842; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 00:42:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7363627 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 00:42:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA14080 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 00:41:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA11755 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 00:41:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712190641.AAA11755@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Dec 1997 00:41:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b8cf79b6bceb253b339c567c6cc573fa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 618 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 190151Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0, TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WAS LOCATED AT 15.3N9 136.3E3 AND WAS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 115 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 67 (WTPN31 PGTW 190300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4N4 159E5 IS NOW LOCATED 4N4 154E0. THE 182049Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM,I) PASS IS INDICATING A SLIGHT CURVATURE OF CONVECTIVE CLOUD LINES SUGGESTING POSSIBLE WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS DISORGANIZED AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR ACROSS THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4N4 172E0 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/HILDEBRAND/EIBLING/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 19 17:09:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4510 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627151-5344>; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 16:35:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA31668; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 02:30:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7364139 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 02:30:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA59038 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 02:30:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA11833 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 02:30:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712190830.CAA11833@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Dec 1997 02:30:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 068 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8ed33a63ec8b117a334844fe2f37e999 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 575 WTPN31 PGTW 190900 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 068 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- 15.5N1 135.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N1 135.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 16.0N7 133.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 16.7N4 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 17.4N2 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 17.1N9 129.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 16.6N3 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION: 15.1N7 135.0E9 TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190530Z8 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE ORGANIZATION OF TY PAKA HAS IMPROVED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AS ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW GOOD OUTFLOW. THE FORECAST TRACK IS EXPECTED TO TAKE A WEST-NORTHWEST TURN AFTER THE 24 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO A SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. AFTERWARD, TY PAKA IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARDS THE WEST AS THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES OFF TOWARD THE EAST. THE SYSTEM SHOULD START WEAKENING AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR NEAR THE 36 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z), 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z), 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z), AND 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 19 17:43:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1112 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630015-5345>; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 17:40:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA53648; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 03:36:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7364214 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 03:35:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA14202 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 03:35:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA12027 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 03:35:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712190935.DAA12027@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Dec 1997 03:35:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 068 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1693b4216711adf96b01de0a0af6b438 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 686 WTPN31 PGTW 190900 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 068 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- 15.5N1 135.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8851 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N1 135.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 16.0N7 133.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8851 UNCLAS 200600Z8 --- 16.7N4 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 17.4N2 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 17.1N9 129.8E0 PAGE 05 RUHPSGG8851 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 16.6N3 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION: 15.1N7 135.0E9 TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190530Z8 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE ORGANIZATION OF TY PAKA HAS IMPROVED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AS ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW GOOD OUTFLOW. THE FORECAST TRACK IS EXPECTED TO TAKE A WEST-NORTHWEST TURN AFTER THE 24 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO A SHORTWAVE TROUGH PAGE 06 RUHPSGG8851 UNCLAS APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. AFTERWARD, TY PAKA IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARDS THE WEST AS THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES OFF TOWARD THE EAST. THE SYSTEM SHOULD START WEAKENING AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR NEAR THE 36 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z), 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z), 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z), AND 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z).// BT #8851 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 22 14:17:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1296 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629476-29178>; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 22:24:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA60094; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 08:13:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7365604 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 08:13:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA14496 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 08:13:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA12265 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 08:13:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712191413.IAA12265@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Dec 1997 08:13:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 069 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b084751e916c258b2da41450cfe6c1cf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 913 WTPN31 PGTW 191500 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 069 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- 16.1N8 135.1E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 135.1E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 16.8N5 133.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 17.4N2 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 17.6N4 130.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 17.3N1 129.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 16.5N2 126.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 191500Z POSITION: 16.3N0 134.7E5 TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE IN THIS DIRECTION THROUGH 24 HOURS. THERE, IT IS EXPECTED TO ENCOUNTER SIGNIFICANT UPPER-LEVEL WIND SHEAR, ALLOWING FOR A GRADUAL LOSS OF LATITUDE AND SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6), 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9), 200900Z1 (DTG 202751Z7) AND 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 22 14:17:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1925 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629486-29178>; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 23:30:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA12838; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 09:21:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7366448 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 09:20:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA10700 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 09:20:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA12319 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 09:20:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712191520.JAA12319@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Dec 1997 09:20:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 069 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e06715086d8da696bcea74a599e4c5a1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 146 WTPN31 PGTW 191500 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 069 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- 16.1N8 135.1E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9341 UNCLAS REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 135.1E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 16.8N5 133.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 17.4N2 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9341 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 17.6N4 130.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 17.3N1 129.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 05 RUHPSGG9341 UNCLAS 221200Z7 --- 16.5N2 126.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 191500Z POSITION: 16.3N0 134.7E5 TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE IN THIS DIRECTION THROUGH 24 HOURS. THERE, IT IS EXPECTED TO ENCOUNTER SIGNIFICANT UPPER-LEVEL WIND SHEAR, ALLOWING FOR A GRADUAL LOSS OF LATITUDE AND SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6), 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9), 200900Z1 (DTG 202751Z7) AND 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2).// BT #9341 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 22 14:17:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2095 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626240-29178>; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 04:18:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA53634; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 14:03:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7368609 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 14:03:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA51276 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 14:03:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA12769 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 14:03:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712192003.OAA12769@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Dec 1997 14:03:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 070 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ded9163b1493c8996467ea6f70a47de1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 684 WTPN31 PGTW 192100 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 070 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- 16.5N2 134.4E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH QUADRANT 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH QUADRANT 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N2 134.4E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 17.1N9 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH QUADRANT 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH QUADRANT 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 17.5N3 131.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH QUADRANT 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH QUADRANT 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 17.5N3 130.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH QUADRANT 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH QUADRANT 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 17.1N9 128.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH QUADRANT 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 16.1N8 125.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 192100Z POSITION: 16.6N3 134.1E9 TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. WIND RADII ARE ADJUSTED IN SHAPE AND EXPANSE BASED ON A 191345Z SCATTEROMETER PASS. WIND ASYMMETRY IS DUE TO FORWARD MOTION AND PRESSURE GRADIENT FIELD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9), 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5), 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2) AND 202100Z5 (201951Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 22 14:17:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4820 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629475-29179>; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 05:02:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA20922; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 14:54:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7369279 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 14:53:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA44912 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 14:53:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA12844 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 14:53:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712192053.OAA12844@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Dec 1997 14:53:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 070 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fc7ba6dfc220d6ea2402d00bff906c5e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 437 WTPN31 PGTW 192100 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 070 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- 16.5N2 134.4E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH QUADRANT 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH QUADRANT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG0317 UNCLAS 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N2 134.4E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 17.1N9 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH QUADRANT 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH QUADRANT 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 17.5N3 131.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH QUADRANT 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH QUADRANT PAGE 04 RUHPSGG0317 UNCLAS 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 17.5N3 130.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH QUADRANT 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH QUADRANT 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 17.1N9 128.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH QUADRANT 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- PAGE 05 RUHPSGG0317 UNCLAS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 16.1N8 125.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 192100Z POSITION: 16.6N3 134.1E9 TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. WIND RADII ARE ADJUSTED IN SHAPE AND EXPANSE BASED ON A 191345Z SCATTEROMETER PASS. WIND ASYMMETRY IS DUE TO FORWARD MOTION AND PRESSURE GRADIENT FIELD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9), 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5), 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2) AND 202100Z5 (201951Z8).// BT #0317 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 22 14:17:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1697 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625945-23748>; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 10:16:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA12678; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 20:03:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7371192 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 20:03:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA21106 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 20:03:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA13175 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 20:03:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712200203.UAA13175@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Dec 1997 20:03:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 071 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: db2c7a091cc948b251ae858f24db472f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 311 WTPN31 PGTW 200300 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 071 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- 16.7N4 133.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH QUADRANT 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH QUADRANT 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.7N4 133.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 17.1N9 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH QUADRANT 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH QUADRANT 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 17.3N1 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH QUADRANT 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH QUADRANT 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 17.2N0 129.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH QUADRANT 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH QUADRANT 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 16.9N6 128.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH QUADRANT 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 15.9N5 125.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION: 16.8N5 133.2E9 LATEST ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TYPHOON PAKA (05C) HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED AS IT CONTINUES TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 7 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 192330Z8 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF A SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 115 ALONG WITH A SHORT TERM WEAKENING TREND OBSERVED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TY PAKA HAS A CENTER THAT IS LOCATED BY SPIRAL BANDING RATHER THAN A DISTINCTIVE EYE FEATURE. ADDITIONALLY, IMAGERY SHOWS THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH PAKA APPEARS TO BE TRACKING MORE TOWARDS THE NORTH WHICH INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST. THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME AS PAKA IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON ITS WEST- NORTHWEST TRACK THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD IN RESPONSE TO A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH OFF THE COAST OF CHINA. AFTERWARDS, THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH PAKA IS EXPECTED TO TRACK MORE TOWARDS THE WEST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOW-LEVEL EASTERLIES SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TY PAKA IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE MID TO UPPER-LEVEL CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TOWARDS THE NORTH AND ENTER WESTERLY FLOW WHICH WILL WEAKEN THE SYSTEM SIGNIFICANTLY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z2 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z), 201500Z8 (201351Z), 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z) AND 210300Z6 (210151Z).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 22 14:17:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2649 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625945-23750>; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 10:52:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA38592; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 20:44:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7371443 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 20:44:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA31660 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 20:44:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA13222 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 20:44:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712200244.UAA13222@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Dec 1997 20:44:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 071 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: cf73f3edf874c93b42704700c89ee69a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 057 WTPN31 PGTW 200300 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 071 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- 16.7N4 133.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH QUADRANT 045 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUEDMCC3454 UNCLAS //NO3145// RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH QUADRANT 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.7N4 133.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 17.1N9 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH QUADRANT 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH QUADRANT 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 17.3N1 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH QUADRANT 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH QUADRANT PAGE 04 RUEDMCC3454 UNCLAS //NO3145// 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 17.2N0 129.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH QUADRANT 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH QUADRANT 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 16.9N6 128.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH QUADRANT 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS --- PAGE 05 RUEDMCC3454 UNCLAS //NO3145// 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 15.9N5 125.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION: 16.8N5 133.2E9 LATEST ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TYPHOON PAKA (05C) HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED AS IT CONTINUES TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 7 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 192330Z8 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF A SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 115 ALONG WITH A SHORT TERM WEAKENING TREND OBSERVED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TY PAKA HAS A CENTER THAT IS LOCATED BY SPIRAL BANDING RATHER THAN A DISTINCTIVE EYE FEATURE. ADDITIONALLY, IMAGERY SHOWS THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH PAKA APPEARS TO BE TRACKING MORE TOWARDS THE NORTH WHICH INDICATES THE PAGE 06 RUEDMCC3454 UNCLAS //NO3145// SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST. THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME AS PAKA IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON ITS WEST- NORTHWEST TRACK THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD IN RESPONSE TO A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH OFF THE COAST OF CHINA. AFTERWARDS, THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH PAKA IS EXPECTED TO TRACK MORE TOWARDS THE WEST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOW-LEVEL EASTERLIES SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TY PAKA IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE MID TO UPPER-LEVEL CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TOWARDS THE NORTH AND ENTER WESTERLY FLOW WHICH WILL WEAKEN THE SYSTEM SIGNIFICANTLY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z2 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z), 201500Z8 (201351Z), 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z) AND 210300Z6 (210151Z).// BT #3454 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 22 14:17:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1170 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626576-20899>; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 13:50:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA38582; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 23:48:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7372528 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 23:48:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA55704 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 23:48:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA13458 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 23:48:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712200548.XAA13458@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Dec 1997 23:48:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b1633bf9d59b1f1e25cc3e1d0cd54ed3 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 542 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 200151Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2, TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WAS LOCATED AT 16.7N4 133.6E3 AND WAS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 110 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 135 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 71 (WTPN31 PGTW 200300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4N4 154E0 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/MCCULLOCH/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 22 14:17:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1089 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626742-20896>; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 16:20:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA58938; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 02:17:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7373134 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 02:17:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA44836 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 02:17:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA13618 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 02:17:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712200817.CAA13618@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Dec 1997 02:17:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 072 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 979e4051aa51c366bf5f6d061d942159 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 417 WTPN31 PGTW 200900 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 072 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- 17.1N9 133.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH QUADRANT 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH QUADRANT 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N9 133.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 17.6N4 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH QUADRANT 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH QUADRANT 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 18.1N0 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH QUADRANT 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH QUADRANT 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 18.4N3 130.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH QUADRANT 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH QUADRANT 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 18.1N0 129.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH QUADRANT 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 17.0N8 126.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION: 17.2N 133.3E TYPHOON PAKA IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON A 200530Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE FIX. PAKA HAS SLOWED DOWN SINCE THE LAST WARNING. THE SYSTEM IS NOW FORECAST TO MOVE SLIGHTLY SLOWER AND MORE NORTHWARD THAN INDICATED ON THE PREVIOUS FORECAST, HOWEVER THE OVERALL TRACK SCENARIO REMAINS THE SAME. PAKA SHOULD WEAKEN RAPIDLY AND TURN TOWARD THE SOUTH AS THE CONVECTION BEGINS TO SHEAR FROM THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z8 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8, 202100Z5, 210300Z6 AND 210900Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 22 14:17:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1801 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626259-20899>; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 18:05:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA44822; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 04:02:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7373312 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 04:02:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA31744 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 04:02:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA13838 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 04:02:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712201002.EAA13838@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Dec 1997 04:02:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 072 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fbdd454d4409e33cfe82365fbd33aea0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 157 WTPN31 PGTW 200900 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 072 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- 17.1N9 133.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH QUADRANT 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH QUADRANT PAGE 03 RUEDMCC4238 UNCLAS //NO3145// 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N9 133.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 17.6N4 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH QUADRANT 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH QUADRANT 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 18.1N0 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH QUADRANT 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH QUADRANT 050 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUEDMCC4238 UNCLAS //NO3145// VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 18.4N3 130.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH QUADRANT 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH QUADRANT 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 18.1N0 129.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH QUADRANT 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS PAGE 05 RUEDMCC4238 UNCLAS //NO3145// --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 17.0N8 126.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION: 17.2N 133.3E TYPHOON PAKA IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON A 200530Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE FIX. PAKA HAS SLOWED DOWN SINCE THE LAST WARNING. THE SYSTEM IS NOW FORECAST TO MOVE SLIGHTLY SLOWER AND MORE NORTHWARD THAN INDICATED ON THE PREVIOUS FORECAST, HOWEVER THE OVERALL TRACK SCENARIO REMAINS THE SAME. PAKA SHOULD WEAKEN RAPIDLY AND TURN TOWARD THE SOUTH AS THE CONVECTION BEGINS TO SHEAR FROM THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z8 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT PAGE 06 RUEDMCC4238 UNCLAS //NO3145// 201500Z8, 202100Z5, 210300Z6 AND 210900Z2.// BT #4238 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 22 14:17:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2387 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626793-20898>; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 21:58:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA59988; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 07:56:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7374058 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 07:56:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA37440 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 07:56:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA14034 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 07:56:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712201356.HAA14034@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Dec 1997 07:56:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 073 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: dc4bf073344f82236a9dab1fd6f9e0c7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 426 WTPN31 PGTW 201500 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 073 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- 17.8N6 132.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH QUADRANT 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH QUADRANT 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.8N6 132.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 19.0N0 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH QUADRANT 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH QUADRANT 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 19.7N7 130.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH QUADRANT 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH QUADRANT 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 19.6N6 129.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH QUADRANT 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH QUADRANT 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 19.0N0 127.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH QUADRANT 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 17.7N5 125.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 201500Z POSITION: 18.1N0 132.6E2 TYPHOON PAKA (05C) HAS INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED AS IT HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MICROWAVE IMAGERY AT 200833Z INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS NOT YET BECOME EXPOSED. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF 201130Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY BY PGTW AND KGWC SATELLITE ANALYSTS. THE FORECAST TRACK HAS CHANGED SOME FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING TO REFLECT THE CONTINUED NORTHWESTWARD MOTION OF THE SYSTEM HOWEVER, THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER OF TYPHOON PAKA (05C) SHOULD BECOME SEPARATED BY 24 HOURS AND THEN TURN SOUTHWESTWARD. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AT A RAPID PACE, AND IS FORECASTED TO CONTINUE THIS TREND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8), 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z9), 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6) AND 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 22 14:17:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3801 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626576-20896>; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 22:37:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA15298; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 08:36:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7374218 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 08:35:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA31902 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 08:35:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA14084 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 08:35:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712201435.IAA14084@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Dec 1997 08:35:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 073 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 06219bce1bc4a96b4f7ca3fccfe0fabf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 397 WTPN31 PGTW 201500 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 073 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- 17.8N6 132.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH QUADRANT 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH QUADRANT PAGE 03 RUEOMCC0812 UNCLAS //NO3145// 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.8N6 132.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 19.0N0 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH QUADRANT 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH QUADRANT 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 19.7N7 130.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH QUADRANT 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH QUADRANT 050 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUEOMCC0812 UNCLAS //NO3145// VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 19.6N6 129.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH QUADRANT 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH QUADRANT 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 19.0N0 127.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH QUADRANT 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 07 KTS PAGE 05 RUEOMCC0812 UNCLAS //NO3145// --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 17.7N5 125.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 201500Z POSITION: 18.1N0 132.6E2 TYPHOON PAKA (05C) HAS INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED AS IT HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MICROWAVE IMAGERY AT 200833Z INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS NOT YET BECOME EXPOSED. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANALYSIS OF 201130Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY BY PGTW AND KGWC SATELLITE ANALYSTS. THE FORECAST TRACK HAS CHANGED SOME FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING TO REFLECT THE CONTINUED NORTHWESTWARD MOTION OF THE SYSTEM HOWEVER, THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER OF TYPHOON PAKA (05C) SHOULD BECOME SEPARATED BY 24 HOURS AND THEN TURN SOUTHWESTWARD. THE SYSTEM PAGE 06 RUEOMCC0812 UNCLAS //NO3145// CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AT A RAPID PACE, AND IS FORECASTED TO CONTINUE THIS TREND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8), 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z9), 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6) AND 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3).// BT #0812 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 22 14:17:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3992 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626505-20896>; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 03:57:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA29540; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 13:56:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7375996 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 13:55:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA14156 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 13:55:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA14463 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 13:55:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712201955.NAA14463@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Dec 1997 13:55:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 074 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b4cf7c711c60f1bbaf0a3301f0c7c83b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 617 WTPN31 PGTW 202100 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 074 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- 18.1N0 132.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH QUADRANT 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH QUADRANT 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.1N0 132.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 19.0N0 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH QUADRANT 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH QUADRANT 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 19.2N2 129.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH QUADRANT 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 18.8N7 128.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 18.4N3 128.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 17.5N3 126.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 212100Z POSITION: 18.3N2 131.7E2 TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 211730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY, AND A MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS AT 201136Z REVEALED THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS NOW EXPOSED. CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DECREASE AND THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER THE WATER BY 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0), 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6), 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3) AND 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 22 14:17:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4183 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626992-20899>; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 04:06:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA57858; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 14:04:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7376018 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 14:04:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA48110 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 14:04:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA14483 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 14:04:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712202004.OAA14483@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Dec 1997 14:04:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 074 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d98b16e33fe0699c7edbab4910e6f5e5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 765 WTPN31 PGTW 202100 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 074 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- 18.1N0 132.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH QUADRANT 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH QUADRANT 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.1N0 132.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 19.0N0 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH QUADRANT 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH QUADRANT 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 19.2N2 129.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH QUADRANT 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 18.8N7 128.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 18.4N3 128.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 17.5N3 126.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 212100Z POSITION: 18.3N2 131.7E2 TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 211730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY, AND A MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS AT 201136Z REVEALED THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS NOW PARTIALLY EXPOSED. CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DECREASE AND THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER THE WATER BY 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0), 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6), 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3) AND 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 22 14:17:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4571 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627015-20898>; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 04:31:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA12704; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 14:29:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7376126 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 14:29:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA14214 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 14:29:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA14492 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 14:29:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712202029.OAA14492@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Dec 1997 14:29:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 074 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e086ff9a814f022e177b09c036612942 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 217 WTPN31 PGTW 202100 1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 074 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- 18.1N0 132.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH QUADRANT 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH QUADRANT PAGE 03 RUEOMCA2306 UNCLAS //NO3145// 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.1N0 132.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 19.0N0 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH QUADRANT 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH QUADRANT 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 19.2N2 129.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH QUADRANT 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUEOMCA2306 UNCLAS //NO3145// 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 18.8N7 128.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 18.4N3 128.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 17.5N3 126.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER PAGE 05 RUEOMCA2306 UNCLAS //NO3145// --- REMARKS: 212100Z POSITION: 18.3N2 131.7E2 TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 211730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY, AND A MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS AT 201136Z REVEALED THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS NOW PARTIALLY EXPOSED. CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DECREASE AND THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER THE WATER BY 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0), 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6), 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3) AND 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9).// BT #2306 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 22 14:17:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1774 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626390-2525>; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 09:49:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA51540; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 19:47:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7377368 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 19:47:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA14402 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 19:47:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA14788 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 19:47:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712210147.TAA14788@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Dec 1997 19:47:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Paka (05c) Warning Nr 075 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 66679638d11811fe68779dda6fe9357f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 777 WTPN31 PGTW 210300 1. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 075 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 05C 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- 18.3N2 132.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 132.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 18.9N8 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 19.1N1 131.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 18.8N7 130.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 18.3N2 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 17.2N0 127.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION: 18.6N5 132.1E7 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) IS COMPLETELY EXPOSED AND IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 30NM WEST OF THE NEAREST CONVECTION AND ALMOST 90NM AWAY FROM THE MAIN AREA OF CONVECTION. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 202330Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. TS PAKA IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON A NORTHWEST TRACK THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AS IT REACTS TO A WEAKENING IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. AFTERWARDS, THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS EXPECTED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST- SOUTHWEST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING FLOW. PAKA IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON AN FASTER THAN AVERAGE WEAKENING TREND THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 72 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z3 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z), 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z), 212100Z6 (DTG 11951Z)AND 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 22 14:17:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2798 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626312-2526>; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 10:37:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA31566; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 20:29:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7377575 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 20:29:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA29498 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 20:29:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA14825 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 20:29:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712210229.UAA14825@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Dec 1997 20:29:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Paka (05c) Warning Nr 075 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 29d863eed9a863f4ae901d58e2ca48e1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 612 WTPN31 PGTW 210300 1. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 075 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 05C 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- 18.3N2 132.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT PAGE 03 RUEOMCA2591 UNCLAS //NO3145// 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 132.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 18.9N8 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 19.1N1 131.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 18.8N7 130.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER PAGE 04 RUEOMCA2591 UNCLAS //NO3145// WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 18.3N2 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 17.2N0 127.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION: 18.6N5 132.1E7 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION PAGE 05 RUEOMCA2591 UNCLAS //NO3145// ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) IS COMPLETELY EXPOSED AND IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 30NM WEST OF THE NEAREST CONVECTION AND ALMOST 90NM AWAY FROM THE MAIN AREA OF CONVECTION. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 202330Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. TS PAKA IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON A NORTHWEST TRACK THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AS IT REACTS TO A WEAKENING IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. AFTERWARDS, THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS EXPECTED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST- SOUTHWEST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING FLOW. PAKA IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON AN FASTER THAN AVERAGE WEAKENING TREND THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 72 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z3 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z), 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z), 212100Z6 (DTG 11951Z)AND 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z).// BT #2591 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 22 14:17:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3440 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626981-2526>; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 13:47:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA38588; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 23:40:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7378276 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 23:40:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA19102 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 23:40:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA15009 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 23:40:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712210540.XAA15009@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Dec 1997 23:40:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 912efea858e47503f22c5d34cac78442 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 140 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 210151Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z3, TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WAS LOCATED AT 18.3N2 132.3E9 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 75 (WTPN31 PGTW 210300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 22 14:17:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2439 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627141-2524>; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 15:58:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA14190; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 01:55:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7378685 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 01:55:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA31832 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 01:55:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA15185 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 01:55:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712210755.BAA15185@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Dec 1997 01:55:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Paka (05c) Warning Nr 076 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c0f85ea6105053c7bcffd1390ab1298b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 804 WTPN31 PGTW 210900 1. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 076 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- 18.0N9 132.5E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH QUADRANT 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.0N9 132.5E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 18.0N9 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH QUADRANT 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 18.0N9 131.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 17.9N7 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 17.7N5 130.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 17.2N0 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION: 18.0N9 132.4E0 TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 210530Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS THE EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH PAKA HAS REMAINED ALMOST STATIONARY AS THE MAIN CONVECTION CONTINUES TO TRACK TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST. PAKA IS FORECAST TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST AS A MID LATITUDE TROUGH PASSES TO THE EAST AND PAKA IS STEERED BY LOW-LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY FLOW. THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD PAKA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS THE MAIN CONVECTION IS EMBEDDED IN MID TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY FLOW AND CONTINUES TO SHEAR AWAY FROM THE SURFACE CIRCULATION. THE RELOCATED WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9 (DTG 21351Z), 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z), 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z) AND 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 22 14:17:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3135 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627489-2525>; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 17:09:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA37382; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 03:02:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7378851 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 03:02:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA20980 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 03:02:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA15365 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 03:02:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712210902.DAA15365@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Dec 1997 03:02:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Paka (05c) Warning Nr 076 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7aaa32e9b7a2dae404c477d176f5a137 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 871 WTPN31 PGTW 210900 1. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 076 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- 18.0N9 132.5E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH QUADRANT 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.0N9 132.5E1 --- PAGE 03 RUEDMCC0299 UNCLAS //NO3145// FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 18.0N9 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH QUADRANT 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 18.0N9 131.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 17.9N7 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT PAGE 04 RUEDMCC0299 UNCLAS //NO3145// DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 17.7N5 130.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 17.2N0 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION: 18.0N9 132.4E0 PAGE 05 RUEDMCC0299 UNCLAS //NO3145// TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 210530Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS THE EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH PAKA HAS REMAINED ALMOST STATIONARY AS THE MAIN CONVECTION CONTINUES TO TRACK TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST. PAKA IS FORECAST TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST AS A MID LATITUDE TROUGH PASSES TO THE EAST AND PAKA IS STEERED BY LOW-LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY FLOW. THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD PAKA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS THE MAIN CONVECTION IS EMBEDDED IN MID TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY FLOW AND CONTINUES TO SHEAR AWAY FROM THE SURFACE CIRCULATION. THE RELOCATED WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z), 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z), 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z) AND 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z).// BT #0299 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 22 14:17:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2547 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627671-2526>; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 21:25:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA14524; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 07:21:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7379452 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 07:21:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA15272 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 07:21:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA15641 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 07:21:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712211321.HAA15641@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Dec 1997 07:21:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Paka (05c) Warning Nr 077 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: f2dfdcc0662fc585ebe1d2409c535309 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 494 WTPN31 PGTW 211500 1. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 077 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- 17.4N2 132.2E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.4N2 132.2E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 17.2N0 131.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 17.1N9 130.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 17.0N8 130.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 16.9N6 129.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 211500Z POSITION: 17.4N2 132.0E6 TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) IS DRIFTING VERY SLOWLY WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND CONTINUITY FROM A 210139Z6 SCATTEROMETER PASS. THE SYSTEM IS A COMPLETELY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH THE NEAREST SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION OVER 250 NM FROM THE CENTER. THIS SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE DRIFTING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AND SHOULD DISSIPATE OVER THE WATER AT THE 48 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9), 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1), 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7) AND 221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 22 14:17:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4107 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627675-2524>; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 22:51:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA14220; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 08:45:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7379621 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 08:45:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA61468 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 08:44:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA15707 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 08:44:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712211444.IAA15707@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Dec 1997 08:44:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Paka (05c) Warning Nr 077 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: aa049e7eb3d8e2c4afa10a26f3508ea5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 288 WTPN31 PGTW 211500 1. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 077 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- 17.4N2 132.2E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.4N2 132.2E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUEOMCC0938 UNCLAS //NO3145// 220000Z4 --- 17.2N0 131.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 17.1N9 130.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 17.0N8 130.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUEOMCC0938 UNCLAS //NO3145// EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 16.9N6 129.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 211500Z POSITION: 17.4N2 132.0E6 TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) IS DRIFTING VERY SLOWLY WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND CONTINUITY FROM A 210139Z6 SCATTEROMETER PASS. THE SYSTEM IS A COMPLETELY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH THE NEAREST SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION OVER 250 NM FROM THE CENTER. THIS SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE DRIFTING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AND SHOULD DISSIPATE OVER THE WATER AT THE 48 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT PAGE 05 RUEOMCC0938 UNCLAS //NO3145// INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9), 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1), 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7) AND 221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4).// BT #0938 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 22 14:17:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4834 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627711-2526>; Mon, 22 Dec 1997 03:47:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA59916; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 13:44:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7380880 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 13:44:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA37620 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 13:44:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA15997 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 13:44:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712211944.NAA15997@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Dec 1997 13:44:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 05c (paka) Warning Nr 078 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3d0758537821c3101f760a0f4c2d784c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 225 WTPN31 PGTW 212100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05C (PAKA) WARNING NR 078 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- 17.5N3 132.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.5N3 132.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 17.5N3 131.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 17.5N3 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 212100Z POSITION: 17.5N3 131.9E4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05C (PAKA) CONTINUES TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY AS IT DRIFTS SLOWLY WESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 211730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND CONTINUITY FROM A 210139Z6 SCATTEROMETER PASS. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT IN THE LOW LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW AND WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE WATER WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 22 14:17:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1552 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626785-2524>; Mon, 22 Dec 1997 04:23:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA55676; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 14:20:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7381050 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 14:20:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA23650 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 14:20:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA16020 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 14:20:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712212020.OAA16020@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Dec 1997 14:20:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 05c (paka) Warning Nr 078 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 68511f4b00abd1b32fddb90bdf15b0aa Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 814 WTPN31 PGTW 212100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05C (PAKA) WARNING NR 078 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- 17.5N3 132.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.5N3 132.0E6 PAGE 03 RUEDMCC1285 UNCLAS //NO3145// --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 17.5N3 131.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 17.5N3 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 212100Z POSITION: 17.5N3 131.9E4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05C (PAKA) CONTINUES TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY AS IT DRIFTS SLOWLY WESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 211730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED PAGE 04 RUEDMCC1285 UNCLAS //NO3145// SATELLITE IMAGERY AND CONTINUITY FROM A 210139Z6 SCATTEROMETER PASS. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT IN THE LOW LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW AND WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE WATER WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// BT #1285 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 22 14:17:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1323 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627759-14539>; Mon, 22 Dec 1997 13:04:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA38498; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 23:01:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7382838 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 23:01:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA21156 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 23:00:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA16489 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 23:00:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712220500.XAA16489@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Dec 1997 23:00:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6314ea37ae74d4153a1ffbe446eb60f2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 142 ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 211951Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 211800Z2, TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAKA (05C) WAS LOCATED AT 17.5N3 132.0E6 AND WAS MOVING WEST AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 78 FINAL WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 212100)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:23:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4858 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626070-27603>; Tue, 23 Dec 1997 14:05:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA46986; Mon, 22 Dec 1997 23:57:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7389002 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Dec 1997 23:57:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA32576 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 1997 23:56:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA18389 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Dec 1997 23:56:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712230556.XAA18389@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Dec 1997 23:56:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 62aa79ba8c947447163b26cf82d95f6b Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 8 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 533 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 11S2 177W5 THAT HAS PERSISTED FOR AT LEAST 36 HOURS. THIS DISTURBANCE IS NOT IN OUR AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY. HOWEVER, IT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WESTWARD. A PRIOR SCATTEROMETER PASS AND CURRENT SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGEST THAT A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/SULLINS/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:23:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2203 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626897-11264>; Wed, 24 Dec 1997 15:21:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA10604; Wed, 24 Dec 1997 01:17:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7396283 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Dec 1997 01:17:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA10578 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 1997 01:17:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA20115 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Dec 1997 01:17:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712240717.BAA20115@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Dec 1997 01:17:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 232722b968e32c37c5eda8fddad492db Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 55 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 918 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 177W5 IS NOW NEAR 12S3 177W5. THIS DISTURBANCE IS NOT IN OUR AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY. HOWEVER, IT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WESTWARD. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION SOUTHWEST OF THE CONVECTION. THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND THE AREAL EXTENT HAS INCREASED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:23:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1748 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627224-12580>; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 14:12:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA09246; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 00:11:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7400370 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 00:11:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA25568 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 00:10:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA21621 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 00:10:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712250610.AAA21621@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Dec 1997 00:10:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3534a778bcae047ab5665e7b64b02f9f Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 87 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 900 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 177W5 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS LOCATED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE MAIN AREA OF CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF STRONG WESTERLY WINDS ALOFT WHICH IS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4288 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626033-3726>; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 13:41:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA12914; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 23:38:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7403032 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 23:38:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA13028 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 23:36:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA22971 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 23:36:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712260536.XAA22971@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Dec 1997 23:36:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 63db1ebb28a76428bc49379e89b6c026 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 113 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 029 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3089 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626790-20516>; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 15:06:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA50636; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 00:56:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7406420 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 00:56:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA17550 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 00:55:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA24579 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 00:55:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712270655.AAA24579@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Dec 1997 00:55:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 903be7257f466514180d68f73873c9d9 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 162 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 098 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3343 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627598-20518>; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 00:13:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA27500; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 10:10:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7407504 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 10:10:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA27476 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 10:10:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA25271 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 10:10:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712271610.KAA25271@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Dec 1997 10:10:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 34b0645f36740ff258070f410270693e Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 177 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 197 ABPW10 PGTW 271600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/271600Z/280600Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. (1) AT 271200Z2, TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) WAS LOCATED AT 13.3S7 136.7E7 AND WAS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) WARNING NUMBER 04 (WTPS31 PGTW 271500)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/EIBLING/DOBBINS// JUSTIFICATION: TC 08S (SID) CROSSED 135.0E9. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1774 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626118-4810>; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 14:20:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA55640; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 00:16:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7409452 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 00:16:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA37394 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 00:16:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA26150 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 00:16:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712280616.AAA26150@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Dec 1997 00:16:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a22ae16593fe582203f8bc62e5e41351 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 197 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 655 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 280151Z DEC 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI 272030Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. (1) AT 280000Z0, TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) WAS LOCATED AT 15.5S1 137.9E0 AND WAS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) WARNING NUMBER 05 (WTPS31 PGTW 280300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 12S3 179E7. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THAT THE CONVECTION HAS SUSTAINED ITSELF FOR SEVERAL DAYS AND HAS AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE CIRCULATION. THIS DISTURBANCE HAS CROSSED OVER THE DATELINE INTO JTWC=S AOR. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. THIS AREA IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT ISSUED BY NPMOC, PEARL HARBOR, HI. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WPS21 PHNC 272100)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. ANY FUTURE ADJUSTMENTS TO THE TCFA WILL BE MADE BY JTWC. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:47 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2368 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626489-13099>; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 14:45:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA54260; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 00:43:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7414364 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 00:43:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA55764 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 00:43:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA27784 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 00:43:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712290643.AAA27784@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Dec 1997 00:43:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 41fcaaa8e360f0f5babf6dcc00f6577c Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 236 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 596 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 281351Z DEC 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI 282254Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 281200Z3, TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) WAS LOCATED AT 18.1S0 138.9E1 AND WAS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) WARNING NUMBER 06 (WTPS31 PGTW 281500)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 177E5 IS NOW LOCATED AT 12S3 178E6. THE ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED AT 13S4 177E5. THIS AREA HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED FROM GOOD TO POOR DUE TO THE ABSENCE OF CENTRAL CONVECTION, APPROXIMATELY 75 NM SEPARATION OF THE CENTER FROM THE NEAREST DEEP CONVECTION, AND INCONSISTENCY OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION (WPS21 PHNC 282030)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:04 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4951 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626265-23586>; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 14:13:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA17592; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 00:11:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7420232 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 00:11:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA31946 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 00:06:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA29512 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 00:06:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712300606.AAA29512@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 30 Dec 1997 00:06:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: d77db782aae22be12ab6779b9d399c84 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 287 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 785 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z/310600Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 178E5 IS NOW LOCATED AT 14S3 175E6. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES SCATTERED CONVECTION NEAR A SMALL BUT WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THAT 20 TO 30 KNOT UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE CONVERGING ACROSS THIS REGION WHICH SHOULD ACT TO INHIBIT ANY ADDITIONAL CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. AS A RESULT, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION CENTERED NEAR 6S6 160E7. VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION NORTH OF THE SOLOMON ISLANDS. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE EXCELLENT UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE OVER THIS REGION. HOWEVER, 292241Z0 SCATTEROMETRY DATA AND 300000Z3 SYNOPTIC DATA DO NOT INDICATE THE PRESENCE YET OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER UNDERNEATH THIS CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4426 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625893-4466>; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 14:18:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA26078; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 00:16:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7425278 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 00:15:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA51366 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 00:15:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA02017 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 00:15:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712310615.AAA02017@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 31 Dec 1997 00:15:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4a2ff103afabb4c9f8490236ff00d903 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 338 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 225 ABPW10 PGTW 310600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/310600Z DEC 97 /010600Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 10S 174E2. VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR AT LEAST 12 HOURS. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THAT DIVERGENCE IS OCCURRING ALOFT OVER THIS REGION. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THAT SURFACE PRESSURES ACROSS THIS REGION ARE FAIRLY LOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 160E7 HAS DISSIPATED. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jul 11 14:49:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102586-362>; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 14:15:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA23936; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 00:55:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5870375 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 00:55:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA235118 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 00:55:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id AAA26823 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 00:55:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707110555.AAA26823@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Jul 1997 00:55:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The [110600] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 65721a3650148ee026cfafb828e9dff0 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2022 Status: OR 684 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 135E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 126E9. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SUPPORT THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 7N7 146E1. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA SUPPORT THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102490-8757>; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 14:54:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA24006; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 01:13:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5877586 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 01:11:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA134280 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 01:11:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id BAA20394 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 01:11:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707120611.BAA20394@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Jul 1997 01:11:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The [120600] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1e4015631b2d47e5a4f0fe744370c45d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1697 Status: OR 048 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 126E9 IS NOW DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 146E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4N4 141E6. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA SUPPORT THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/DEOCARIZA/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 14 15:47:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102847-15796>; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 15:49:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA264664; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 02:36:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5891457 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 02:36:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA226758 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 02:36:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA21192 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 02:36:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707140736.CAA21192@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 02:36:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The [140600] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 06a05a95d9dfe5c88f6eb2aac955e1bd X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Status: OR 809 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3N3 150E6 IS NOW DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 24 HOURS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 3N3 158E4. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTION. CROSS EQUATORIAL INFLOW AS WELL AS DIVERGENT WINDS ALOFT ARE ENHANCING CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/DEOCARIZA/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jul 16 03:28:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102262-10293>; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 03:13:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA60232; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 14:02:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5906179 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 14:01:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA199388 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 14:01:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA02201 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 14:01:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707151901.OAA02201@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Jul 1997 14:01:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The [151830] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 19e159009f68d69a8ba2b037b3f1da83 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2527 Status: OR 503 ABPW10 PGTW 151830 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/151830Z/160600Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 16N7 116E8. THE CONVECTION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST TWELVE HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THE PRESENCE OF A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER LOCATED WEST OF LUZON IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE A REGION OF DIVERGENT OUTFLOW OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 166E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4N4 161E8. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE DIVERGENT OUTFLOW OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 143E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8N8 142E7. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER LOCATED BENEATH DIVERGENT OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jul 16 15:14:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102517-5065>; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 14:30:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA05822; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 01:19:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5911194 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 01:19:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA167082 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 01:19:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id BAA14282 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 01:19:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707160619.BAA14282@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 01:19:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The [160600] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ffc74ee6a2ad6b9b83e5da7a8e263ea5 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2806 Status: OR 795 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 116E8 IS NOW NEAR 15N6 115E7. THE CONVECTION HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. THERE IS CURRENTLY NO EVIDENCE TO SUPPORT A SURFACE CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4N4 161E8 REMAINS NEAR 4N4 161E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY SCATTERED AND DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 141E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8N8 137E1. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. DEVELOPMENT IS NOW BEING INHIBITED BY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 5S5 157E3. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH SCATTERED CONVECTION. THIS SYSTEM HAS FORMED AS A TWIN TO THE CIRCULATION MENTIONED IN B.2 ABOVE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/HAM/PUGH// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 17 23:41:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102365-26132>; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 13:55:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA223566; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 00:42:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5920484 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 00:41:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA43576 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 00:41:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id AAA09632 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 00:41:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707170541.AAA09632@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Jul 1997 00:41:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The [170600] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 849df2b41eb362111860596be3676f3e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3129 Status: OR 963 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15N6 115E7 IS NOW NEAR 15N6 112E4 AND HAS MOVED OVER LAND. THE CONVECTION CONTINUES TO BE DISORGANIZED WITH NO EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND IS THEREFORE NOT CONSIDERED TO BE SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4N4 161E8 IS NOW NEAR 5N5 158E4. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION IS LESS SCATTERED AND MAY BE IN THE EARLY STAGES OF ORGANIZATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. CROSS EQUATORIAL INFLOW AND INCREASED DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT ARE ENHANCING CONVECTION. HOWEVER, SEA LEVEL PRESSURES REMAIN HIGH AND THE SYSTEM=S POSITION REMAINS AT VERY LOW LATITUDES. ACCORDINGLY, THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 137E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8N8 138E2. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. CROSS EQUATORIAL INFLOW AND DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT IS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS NO LONGER A FACTOR. HOWEVER, IN SPITE OF THESE POSITIVE CONDITIONS THE CENTRAL CONVECTION REMAINS INCONSISTENT AND DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5S5 157E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 3S3 158E4. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH SCATTERED CONVECTION. THIS SYSTEM HAS FORMED AS A TWIN TO THE CIRCULATION MENTIONED IN B.2 ABOVE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/DEOCARIZA/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jul 19 12:40:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102961-17643>; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 23:13:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA223566; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 09:50:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5930439 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 09:50:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA02604 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 09:50:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA13444 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 09:50:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707181450.JAA13444@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Jul 1997 09:50:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Rmks/ [181400] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c22829faa26ae775e0ca2da2333bf1cd X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1468 Status: OR 803 WTPN21 PGTW 181400 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 181351Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 150 NM RADIUS OF 9.0N9 137.9E0 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 181130Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 9.0N9 137.9E0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS FORMED IN THE EASTERN PHILIPPINE SEA. THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS INCREASED IN INTENSITY AND AREAL COVERAGE. AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTHEAST IS ENHANCING THE OUTFLOW ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY PAGE 03 RUHGSGG7870 UNCLAS INDICATES THAT AN ANTICYCLONE IS FORMING ABOVE THIS DISTURBANCE. ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING FLOW REMAINS WEAK; THUS, THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE QUASISTATIONARY. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 191400Z5.// BT #7870 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jul 19 12:40:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102788-17643>; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 04:17:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA208180; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 14:54:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5932946 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 14:54:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA38616 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 14:53:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA21909 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 14:53:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707181953.OAA21909@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Jul 1997 14:54:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Gu 181251z Jul Jj [182100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7452f9b92d307cdaedffd6f4375ccd5a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2213 Status: OR 359 WTPN31 PGTW 182100 THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 181251Z JUL JJ XR$5 R$;KU 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- 10.0N1 137.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.0N1 137.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 10.2N3 136.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 10.5N6 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 10.9N0 136.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 11.4N6 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 12.4N7 135.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION 10.0N1 137.0E1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE B:2$-EEM-J$ TJVV,2L +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jul 19 12:40:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102937-17643>; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 05:03:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA208382; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 15:45:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5933383 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 15:45:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA24032 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 15:45:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA23313 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 15:45:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707182045.PAA23313@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Jul 1997 15:45:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: [182100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 52a7dea545bb664ffba0585c75f21191 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3192 Status: OR 885 WTPN31 PGTW 182100 THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST PAGE 02 RUHGSGG8307 UNCLAS GU 181351Z JUL 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 181300 ) 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- 10.0N1 137.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.0N1 137.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 10.2N3 136.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 02 KTS PAGE 03 RUHGSGG8307 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 10.5N6 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 10.9N0 136.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 11.4N6 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS PAGE 04 RUHGSGG8307 UNCLAS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 12.4N7 135.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION 10.0N1 137.0E1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 171730Z INFRARED SATELLITE DATA. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY MOVE TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. IT WILL REMAIN IN WEAK STEERING FLOW BETWEEN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH AND WEST WINDS NEAR THE EQUATOR. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT LESS THAN A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE DUE TO ITS LARGER THAN AVERAGE SIZE. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A LARGER THAN AVERAGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z IS 09 PAGE 05 RUHGSGG8307 UNCLAS FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7), 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3), 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0) AND 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 181351Z JUL 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 181300).// BT #8307 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jul 19 12:40:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102316-7644>; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 10:43:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA41036; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 21:28:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5936302 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 21:27:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA41086 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 21:27:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA28179 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 21:27:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707190227.VAA28179@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Jul 1997 21:27:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northwestpac [190300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 85716b22b33a1d73cfc579f57176f33f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2594 Status: OR 496 WTPN31 PGTW 190300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W WARNING NR 002 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 10.8N9 138.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.8N9 138.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 11.6N8 138.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 12.3N6 137.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 12.9N2 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 13.6N0 136.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 14.6N1 136.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 11.0N2 138.1E3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 4 KNOTS IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. THE WARNING POSITION HAS BEEN RELOCATED BECAUSE A VECTOR DRAWN FROM THE PREVIOUS TO THE CURRENT WARNING POSITION IS NOT REPRESENTATIVE OF SYSTEM MOTION. RELOCATION IS BASED ON 182330Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z0 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3), 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0), 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6) AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jul 19 12:40:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102260-7644>; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 12:26:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA184576; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 22:44:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5936959 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 22:44:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA201006 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 22:41:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id WAA29010 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 22:41:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707190341.WAA29010@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Jul 1997 22:44:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northwestpac [190300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fa83b9f5dc1270f034dd5dcc116d6a46 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2693 Status: OR 484 WTPN31 PGTW 190300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W WARNING NR 002 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 10.8N9 138.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.8N9 138.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG8610 UNCLAS 191200Z3 --- 11.6N8 138.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 12.3N6 137.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 12.9N2 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 13.6N0 136.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG8610 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 14.6N1 136.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 11.0N2 138.1E3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 4 KNOTS IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. THE WARNING POSITION HAS BEEN RELOCATED BECAUSE A VECTOR DRAWN FROM THE PREVIOUS TO THE CURRENT WARNING POSITION IS NOT REPRESENTATIVE OF SYSTEM MOTION. RELOCATION IS BASED ON 182330Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z0 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL PAGE 05 RUHGSGG8610 UNCLAS SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3), 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0), 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6) AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9).// BT #8610 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Jul 19 14:42:36 1997 X-UIDL: 1e645c1a83e1dd615af0510a22a508db Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102409-7644>; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 14:42:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA58210; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 01:19:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5937983 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 01:18:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA229134 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 01:18:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id BAA00765 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 01:18:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707190618.BAA00765@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Jul 1997 01:18:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The [190600] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 8 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 548 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600Z JUL 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 190151ZJUL97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W WAS LOCATED AT 10.8N9 138.1E3, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W WARNING NR 2 (WTPN31 PGTW 190300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 27N9 178W6 IS NOW NEAR 28N0 175E3. ALTHOUGH NO DEEP CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM, A TIGHTLY WRAPPED CIRCULATION MOVING RAPIDLY WESTWARD IS CLEARLY VISIBLE ON ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1012 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/HAM/PUGH// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Jul 19 17:12:08 1997 X-UIDL: a6d029e99243141eb56118bbd1c68b52 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102416-7644>; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 17:12:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA148908; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 03:52:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5938625 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 03:52:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA184680 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 03:52:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA03826 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 03:52:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707190852.DAA03826@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Jul 1997 03:52:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northwestpac [190900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 13 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 685 WTPN31 PGTW 190900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W WARNING NR 003 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- 12.0N3 138.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.0N3 138.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 13.2N6 138.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 14.4N9 138.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 15.5N1 137.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 16.6N3 137.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 18.3N2 136.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION 12.3N6 138.5E7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. THIS WARNING IS RELOCATED BECAUSE A VECTOR DRAWN FROM THE PREVIOUS TO THE CURRENT WARNING POSITION IS NOT REPRESENTATIVE OF SYSTEM MOTION. RELOCATION IS BASED ON A 190111Z3 SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWING THE CIRCULATION TO BE SLIGHTLY FURTHER NORTH THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT. THE FORECAST CALLS FOR TD10W TO BEGIN TURNING NORTHWESTWARD AFTER 12 HOURS IN RESPONSE TO EASTERLY FLOW SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THIS NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS NOW FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE STRENGTHENS FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AT A LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE DUE TO SYSTEM INTERACTION WITH UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE CELLS. TD 10W IS NOW FORECAST TO MOVE AT 6 KNOTS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD, CONSISTENT WITH CURRENT MOTION AND DYNAMIC GUIDANCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z6 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0), 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6), 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9) AND 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Jul 19 17:37:08 1997 X-UIDL: ce7f3ca773ee8211d7ff24f2c8da49c6 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102459-7644>; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 17:37:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA49246; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 04:23:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5938862 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 04:23:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA251978 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 04:23:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id EAA04243 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 04:23:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707190923.EAA04243@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Jul 1997 04:23:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northwestpac [190900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 15 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 066 WTPN31 PGTW 190900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W WARNING NR 003 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- 12.0N3 138.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.0N3 138.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG8921 UNCLAS 191800Z9 --- 13.2N6 138.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 14.4N9 138.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 15.5N1 137.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHGSGG8921 UNCLAS 210600Z9 --- 16.6N3 137.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 18.3N2 136.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION 12.3N6 138.5E7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. THIS WARNING IS RELOCATED BECAUSE A VECTOR DRAWN FROM THE PREVIOUS TO THE CURRENT WARNING POSITION IS NOT REPRESENTATIVE OF SYSTEM MOTION. RELOCATION IS BASED ON A 190111Z3 SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWING THE PAGE 05 RUHGSGG8921 UNCLAS CIRCULATION TO BE SLIGHTLY FURTHER NORTH THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT. THE FORECAST CALLS FOR TD10W TO BEGIN TURNING NORTHWESTWARD AFTER 12 HOURS IN RESPONSE TO EASTERLY FLOW SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THIS NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS NOW FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE STRENGTHENS FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AT A LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE DUE TO SYSTEM INTERACTION WITH UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE CELLS. TD 10W IS NOW FORECAST TO MOVE AT 6 KNOTS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD, CONSISTENT WITH CURRENT MOTION AND DYNAMIC GUIDANCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z6 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0), 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6), 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9) AND 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5).// BT #8921 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Jul 19 21:48:02 1997 X-UIDL: 376756929a4e632abea9d87d14ee0988 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102479-7644>; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 21:47:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA58204; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 08:37:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5940198 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 08:36:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA08770 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 08:36:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA06609 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 08:36:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707191336.IAA06609@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Jul 1997 08:36:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northwestpac [191500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 17 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 426 WTPN31 PGTW 191500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- 12.4N7 138.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.4N7 138.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 13.5N9 138.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 14.7N2 138.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 16.0N7 138.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 17.2N0 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 19.3N3 135.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION 12.7N0 138.7E9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. TD 10W IS FORECAST TO TURN NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND TO INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z3 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6), 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9), 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5) AND 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Jul 19 22:27:52 1997 X-UIDL: 17434574b12d6e3a55b946765959d9b6 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102505-7644>; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 22:27:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA208262; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 09:12:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5940342 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 09:12:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA81266 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 09:12:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA06891 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 09:12:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707191412.JAA06891@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Jul 1997 09:12:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northwestpac [191500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 18 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 983 WTPN31 PGTW 191500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- 12.4N7 138.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.4N7 138.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 13.5N9 138.9E1 PAGE 03 RUHGSGG9275 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 14.7N2 138.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 16.0N7 138.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 17.2N0 137.9E0 PAGE 04 RUHGSGG9275 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 19.3N3 135.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION 12.7N0 138.7E9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. TD 10W IS FORECAST TO TURN NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND TO INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z3 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR PAGE 05 RUHGSGG9275 UNCLAS ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6), 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9), 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5) AND 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2).// BT #9275 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 20 03:07:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102530-7644>; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 03:07:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA64386; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 13:55:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5942250 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 13:55:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA146798 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 13:55:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id NAA10130 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 13:55:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707191855.NAA10130@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Jul 1997 13:55:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Jul 97. [190900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 23 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 022 WTPN31 PGTW 190900 .// RMKS/1. THIS WARNING WILL SUPERSEDE AND CANCEL REF A AT 200000Z JUL 97. 2. WARNINGS ARE FOR OVER WATER AREAS ONLY BUT MAY OVERLAP SOME LAND OR SHELTERED AREAS AND HAVE BEEN SMOOTHED TO EASE PLOTTING. 3. WIND WARNINGS EFFECTIVE FOR 12 HRS COMMENCING 200000Z JUL 97. A. NO WINDS 35 KTS OR GREATER FORECAST. 4. HIGH SEAS WARNING EFFECTIVE FOR 12 HRS COMMENCING 200000Z JUL 97. A. HIGH SEAS WARNING FOR THE PHILIPPINE SEA. SEAS 12 FT AND GREATER BOUNDED BY: 14.0N5 139.0E3, 12.0N3 135.0E9, 09.0N9 137.0E1, 12.0N3 142.0E7, 14.0N5 139.0E3. MAX SEAS 14 FT NEAR 12.0N3 138.0E2. 5. KUROSHIO NORTH WALL ADVISORY: NONE IN EFFECT. 6. SEE REF B FOR CURRENT WARNINGS EAST OF 160E7. 7. SEE REF C FOR LTST WRNGS ON TD(10W). 8. NEXT SCHEDULED WARNING DTG WILL BE 192114Z. (WWPW31 PGFW 201200).// 8, 19.0N0 059.0E4, 19.0N0 066.0E2. B. HIGH SEAS WARNING FOR THE BAY OF BENGAL. MAX SEAS 12 FT NEAR 10.0N1 088.0E6. 5. NEXT SCHEDULED WARNING DTG WILL BE 192112Z (WWIO31 PGFW 201200).// ENCING 190000Z JUL 97. SEAS 12 FT AND GREATER BOUNDED BY: 15.0N6 053.0E8, 19.0N0 060.0E6, 19.0N0 070.0E7, 15.0N6 069.0E5, 10.0N1 068.0E4, 08.0N8 065.0E1, 06.0N6 060.0E6, 04.0N4 055.0E0, 05.0N5 050.0E5, 15.0N6 053.0E8, 15.0N6 053.0E8. SEAS 18 FT AND GREATER BOUNDED BY: 12.0N3 053.0E8, 12.0N3 053.0E8, 14.0N5 060.0E6, 12.0N3 062.0E8, 10.0N1 063.0E9, 06.0N6 055.0E0, 06.0N6 052.0E7, 12.0N3 053.0E8, 12.0N3 053.0E8. MAX SEAS 21 FT NEAR 10.0N1 055.0E0. MAX SEAS 12 FT NEAR 06.0N6 085.0E3. 5. NEXT SCHEDULED WARNING DTG WILL BE 182112Z (WWIO31 PGFW 191200).// ING 181200Z JUL 97. A. HIGH SEAS WARNING FOR THE ARABIAN SEA. SEAS 18 FT AND GREATER BOUNDED BY: 13.0N4 058.0E3, 10.0N1 060.0E6, 05.0N5 052.0E7, 06.0N6 051.0E6, 11.0N2 053.0E8, 13.0N4 058.0E3. MAX SEAS 20 FT NEAR 11.0N2 057.0E2. SEAS 12 FT AND GREATER BOUNDED BY: 19.0N0 059.0E4, 19.0N0 065.0E1, 16.0N7 068.0E4, 11.0N2 068.0E4, 08.0N8 064.0E0, 02.0N2 051.0E6, 04.0N4 049.0E3, 10.0N1 052.0E7, 14.0N5 052.0E7, 19.0N0 059.0E4. 5. NEXT SCHEDULED WARNING DTG WILL BE 180912Z (WWIO30 PGFW 190000).// TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT TTT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 20 03:33:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102530-7644>; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 03:33:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA205092; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 14:23:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5942397 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 14:23:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA184594 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 14:23:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA10421 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 14:23:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707191923.OAA10421@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Jul 1997 14:23:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Upgraded From Tropical Depression 10w [192100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 24 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 510 WTPN31 PGTW 192100 1. TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 005 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- 13.2N6 138.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N6 138.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 14.5N0 137.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 15.7N3 137.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 16.8N5 136.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 18.0N9 135.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 19.9N9 133.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION 13.5N9 138.3E5 TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) HAS BEEN UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W. TROPICAL STORM ROSIE IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. THE CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED TO IMPROVE OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS BASED ON A DVORAK SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T2.5 (35 KNOTS). TROPICAL STORM ROSIE IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND TO INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z9 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9), 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5), 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2) AND 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 20 03:57:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102485-7644>; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 03:57:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA205142; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 14:47:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5942534 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 14:47:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA64324 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 14:47:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA10706 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 14:47:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707191947.OAA10706@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Jul 1997 14:47:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Upgraded From Tropical Depression 10w [192100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 25 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 773 WTPN31 PGTW 192100 1. TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 005 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- 13.2N6 138.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N6 138.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG0154 UNCLAS 200600Z8 --- 14.5N0 137.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 15.7N3 137.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 16.8N5 136.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHGSGG0154 UNCLAS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 18.0N9 135.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 19.9N9 133.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION 13.5N9 138.3E5 TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) HAS BEEN UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W. TROPICAL STORM ROSIE IS MOVING PAGE 05 RUHGSGG0154 UNCLAS NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. THE CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED TO IMPROVE OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS BASED ON A DVORAK SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T2.5 (35 KNOTS). TROPICAL STORM ROSIE IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND TO INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z9 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9), 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5), 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2) AND 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8).// BT #0154 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 20 10:30:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102284-14839>; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 10:30:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA43770; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 21:20:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5945549 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 21:20:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA208356 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 21:20:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA15193 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 21:20:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707200220.VAA15193@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Jul 1997 21:20:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northwestpac [200300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 30 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 914 WTPN31 PGTW 200300 1. TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- 13.6N0 137.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.6N0 137.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 14.6N1 137.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 15.6N2 136.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 16.8N5 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 18.1N0 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 20.5N7 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION 13.9N3 137.8E9 TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO THE NORTHWEST AND INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5), 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2), 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8) AND 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 20 11:01:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102303-14839>; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 11:01:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA134290; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 21:51:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5945674 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 21:51:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA148834 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 21:51:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA15518 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 21:51:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707200251.VAA15518@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Jul 1997 21:51:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northwestpac [200300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 33 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 321 WTPN31 PGTW 200300 1. TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- 13.6N0 137.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.6N0 137.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 14.6N1 137.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT PAGE 03 RUHGSGG0549 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 15.6N2 136.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 16.8N5 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS PAGE 04 RUHGSGG0549 UNCLAS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 18.1N0 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 20.5N7 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: PAGE 05 RUHGSGG0549 UNCLAS 200300Z5 POSITION 13.9N3 137.8E9 TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO THE NORTHWEST AND INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5), 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2), 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8) AND 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0).// BT #0549 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 20 14:31:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102351-14839>; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 14:31:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA81318; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 01:21:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5947201 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 01:21:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA220818 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 01:21:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id BAA17643 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 01:21:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707200621.BAA17643@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 01:21:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The [200600] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 35 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 287 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600Z JUL 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 200151ZJUL97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2 TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) WAS LOCATED AT 13.6N0 137.9E0, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 6 (WTPN31 PGTW 200300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 28N0 175E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 24N6 172E0. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BECOME LESS WELL DEFINED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. CONVECTION REMAINS SPORADIC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 23N5 152E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A TIGHT CIRCULATION CENTER WITH SCATTERED CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 27N9 130E4. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS MODERATE CONVECTION AROUND A TIGHT LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/HAM/PUGH// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 20 16:44:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102435-14839>; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 16:44:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA220688; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 03:34:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5947705 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 03:34:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA201210 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 03:34:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA19848 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 03:34:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707200834.DAA19848@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 03:34:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northwestpac [200900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 42 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 200 WTPN31 PGTW 200900 1. TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 007 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- 14.5N0 136.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N0 136.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 16.1N8 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 17.7N5 135.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 19.2N2 135.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 20.7N9 134.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 23.6N1 134.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION 14.9N4 136.6E6 TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. THIS WARNING IS RELOCATED BECAUSE A VECTOR FROM THE PREVIOUS TO THE CURRENT WARNING POSITION IS NOT REPRESENTATIVE OF SYSTEM MOTION. RELOCATION IS BASED ON MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING THE CIRCULATION CENTER TO BE FURTHER WEST THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT. TROPICAL STORM ROSIE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO THE NORTHWEST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AND INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z8 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2), 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8), 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0) AND 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 20 17:36:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102413-14839>; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 17:36:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA134262; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 04:06:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5947849 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 04:06:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA84068 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 04:06:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id EAA20185 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 04:06:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707200906.EAA20185@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 04:06:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northwestpac [200900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 45 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 456 WTPN31 PGTW 200900 1. TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 007 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- 14.5N0 136.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N0 136.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG1135 UNCLAS 201800Z1 --- 16.1N8 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 17.7N5 135.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 19.2N2 135.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG1135 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 20.7N9 134.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 23.6N1 134.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 05 RUHGSGG1135 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION 14.9N4 136.6E6 TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. THIS WARNING IS RELOCATED BECAUSE A VECTOR FROM THE PREVIOUS TO THE CURRENT WARNING POSITION IS NOT REPRESENTATIVE OF SYSTEM MOTION. RELOCATION IS BASED ON MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING THE CIRCULATION CENTER TO BE FURTHER WEST THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT. TROPICAL STORM ROSIE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO THE NORTHWEST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AND INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z8 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2), 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8), 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0) AND 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6).// BT #1135 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 20 21:45:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102492-14839>; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 21:45:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA120388; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 08:38:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5949094 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 08:37:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA228128 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 08:37:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA22193 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 08:37:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707201337.IAA22193@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 08:37:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northwestpac [201500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 48 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 121 WTPN31 PGTW 201500 1. TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- 14.5N0 135.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N0 135.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 15.0N6 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 15.8N4 133.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 16.7N4 133.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 18.2N1 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 21.3N6 133.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION 14.6N1 135.3E2 TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201100Z4 SATELLITE MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWING A CLEARLY-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. TS ROSIE IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM ROSIE IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8), 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0), 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6) AND 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 20 22:23:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102476-14839>; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 22:23:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA145124; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 09:21:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5949174 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 09:20:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA199374 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 09:20:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA22522 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 09:20:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707201420.JAA22522@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 09:20:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northwestpac [201500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 49 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 802 WTPN31 PGTW 201500 1. TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- 14.5N0 135.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG1478 UNCLAS 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N0 135.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 15.0N6 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 15.8N4 133.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG1478 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 16.7N4 133.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 18.2N1 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS PAGE 05 RUHGSGG1478 UNCLAS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 21.3N6 133.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION 14.6N1 135.3E2 TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201100Z4 SATELLITE MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWING A CLEARLY-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. TS ROSIE IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM ROSIE IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS PAGE 06 RUHGSGG1478 UNCLAS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8), 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0), 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6) AND 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3).// BT #1478 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 21 03:27:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102534-14839>; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 03:27:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA08768; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 14:16:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5950891 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 14:16:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA239650 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 14:16:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA25288 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 14:16:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707201916.OAA25288@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 14:16:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northwestpac [202100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 57 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 104 WTPN31 PGTW 202100 1. TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- 14.7N2 135.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N2 135.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 15.2N8 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 16.3N0 134.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 17.4N2 134.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 18.9N8 134.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 22.9N3 134.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION 14.8N3 135.1E0 TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) HAS SLOWED ITS FORWARD MOVEMENT IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. TS ROSIE IS FORECAST TO TURN NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWARD WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z1 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0), 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6), 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3) AND 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 21 04:06:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102561-14839>; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 04:06:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA223604; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 14:50:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5951020 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 14:50:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA249822 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 14:43:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA25551 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 14:42:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707201942.OAA25551@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 14:50:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northwestpac [202100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 58 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 460 WTPN31 PGTW 202100 1. TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- 14.7N2 135.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG1711 UNCLAS 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N2 135.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 15.2N8 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 16.3N0 134.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG1711 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 17.4N2 134.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 18.9N8 134.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 10 KTS PAGE 05 RUHGSGG1711 UNCLAS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 22.9N3 134.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION 14.8N3 135.1E0 TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) HAS SLOWED ITS FORWARD MOVEMENT IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. TS ROSIE IS FORECAST TO TURN NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWARD WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z1 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0), 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6), 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3) AND PAGE 06 RUHGSGG1711 UNCLAS 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9).// BT #1711 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 21 09:46:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102341-14499>; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 09:46:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA146890; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 20:42:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5952955 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 20:42:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA208310 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 20:42:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA28987 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 20:42:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707210142.UAA28987@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 20:42:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Upgraded From Tropical Storm 10w [210300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 66 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 139 WTPN31 PGTW 210300 1. TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 010 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 10W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- 15.2N8 134.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N8 134.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 16.2N9 134.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 17.4N2 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 18.7N6 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 20.3N5 134.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 24.1N7 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION 15.5N1 134.8E6 TYPHOON ROSIE IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED RAPIDLY AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING AS IT TURNS TO THE NORTH. WARNING POSITION BASED ON 202330 SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z3 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6), 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3), 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9) AND 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 21 14:16:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102283-14499>; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 14:16:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA173586; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 01:10:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5954121 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 01:10:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA68326 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 01:10:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id BAA01313 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 01:10:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707210610.BAA01313@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 01:10:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The [210600] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 93 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 560 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z JUL 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 210151ZJUL97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z2 TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WAS LOCATED AT 15.2N8 134.9E7, MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 10 (WTPN31 PGTW 210300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 24N6 172E0 HAS DISSIPATED. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2)THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23N5 152E8 IS NOW NEAR 24N6 149E4. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE A TIGHT CIRCULATION CENTER BUILDING DOWNWARD FROM A TUTT CELL. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS, BUT REMAINS DISORGANIZED. ANIMATION, MULTI- SPECTRAL IMAGERY, AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY DO NOT GIVE EVIDENCE OF A SURFACE CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 27N9 130E4 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/HAM/PUGH// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 21 14:18:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102381-14499>; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 14:17:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA226654; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 01:12:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5954132 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 01:12:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA173644 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 01:12:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id BAA01320 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 01:12:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707210612.BAA01320@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 01:12:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Upgraded From Tropical Storm 10w [210300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 94 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 609 WTPN31 PGTW 210300 1. TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 010 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 10W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- 15.2N8 134.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG2005 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N8 134.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 16.2N9 134.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 17.4N2 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG2005 UNCLAS 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 18.7N6 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 20.3N5 134.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 05 RUHGSGG2005 UNCLAS 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 24.1N7 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION 15.5N1 134.8E6 TYPHOON ROSIE IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED RAPIDLY AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING AS IT TURNS TO THE NORTH. WARNING PAGE 06 RUHGSGG2005 UNCLAS POSITION BASED ON 202330 SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z3 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6), 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3), 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9) AND 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1).// BT #2005 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 21 16:48:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102527-14499>; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 16:48:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA210714; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 03:40:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5954588 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 03:40:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA40966 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 03:40:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA03464 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 03:40:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707210840.DAA03464@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 03:40:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Rmks/ [210900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 101 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 905 WTPN22 PGTW 210900 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 210855Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 23.7N2 149.4E8 TO 27.3N2 143.7E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 210530Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 24.2N8 148.6E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: A COMPACT CIRCULATION HAS BUILT TO THE SURFACE FROM AN UPPER LEVEL LOW. CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION HAS IMPROVED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 220900Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 21 17:01:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102283-14499>; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 17:01:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA205104; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 03:54:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5954617 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 03:54:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA41192 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 03:53:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA03529 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 03:53:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707210853.DAA03529@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 03:54:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northwestpac [210900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 102 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 037 WTPN31 PGTW 210900 1. TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- 15.9N5 134.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG2128 UNCLAS 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N5 134.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 17.0N8 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 18.2N1 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG2128 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 19.8N8 132.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 21.4N7 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 05 RUHGSGG2128 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 24.8N4 133.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION 16.2N9 133.8E TYPHOON ROSIE IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING AND TURN TO THE NORTH IN RESPONSE TO A NORTH-SOUTH ORIENTED RIDGE PATTERN BUILDING TO THE EAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE PAGE 06 RUHGSGG2128 UNCLAS HEIGHT AT 210600Z9 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3), 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9), 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1) AND 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7).// BT #2128 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 21 17:02:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102283-14499>; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 17:02:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA205128; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 03:54:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5954622 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 03:54:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA68336 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 03:54:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA03532 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 03:53:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707210853.DAA03532@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 03:54:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Rmks/ [210900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 103 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 038 WTPN22 PGTW 210900 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 210855Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 23.7N2 149.4E8 TO 27.3N2 143.7E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 210530Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 24.2N8 148.6E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: A COMPACT CIRCULATION HAS BUILT TO THE SURFACE FROM AN UPPER LEVEL LOW. CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION HAS IMPROVED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 220900Z3.// PAGE 03 RUHGSGG2129 UNCLAS BT #2129 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 21 21:01:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102546-14499>; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 21:01:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA49240; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 07:55:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5955525 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 07:54:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA266032 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 07:54:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id HAA05296 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 07:54:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707211254.HAA05296@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 07:54:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northwestpac [211500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 108 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 635 WTPN31 PGTW 211500 1. TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- 16.4N1 133.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N1 133.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 17.6N4 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 18.9N8 132.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 20.6N8 132.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 22.5N9 133.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 26.5N3 133.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 211500Z9 POSITION 16.7N4 133.5E2 TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. TYPHOON ROSIE IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRACKING NORTHWARD WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z6 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9), 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1), 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7) AND 221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 21 23:18:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102546-14499>; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 23:18:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA236278; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 10:10:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5956501 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 10:09:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA220746 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 10:09:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id KAA08558 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 10:09:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707211509.KAA08558@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 10:09:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rosie (10w) Warning Nr 012 [211500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 115 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 211 WTPN31 PGTW 211500 1. TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- 16.4N1 133.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG2441 UNCLAS 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N1 133.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 17.6N4 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 18.9N8 132.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG2441 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 20.6N8 132.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 22.5N9 133.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 05 RUHGSGG2441 UNCLAS 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 26.5N3 133.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 211500Z9 POSITION 16.7N4 133.5E2 TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. TYPHOON ROSIE IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRACKING NORTHWARD WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM PAGE 06 RUHGSGG2441 UNCLAS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z6 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9), 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1), 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7) AND 221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4).// BT #2441 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jul 22 03:47:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102641-14499>; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 03:47:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA119034; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 14:28:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5959154 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 14:27:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA264598 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 14:27:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA16700 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 14:27:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707211927.OAA16700@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 14:27:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rosie (10w) Warning Nr 013 [212100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 180 WTPN31 PGTW 212100 1. TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- 17.2N0 133.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.2N0 133.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 18.6N5 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 20.5N7 132.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 22.5N9 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 24.5N1 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 28.8N8 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 212100Z6 POSITION 17.5N3 133.1E8 TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA AT 08 KNOTS. TYPHOON ROSIE IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRACKING NORTHWARD WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z2 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1), 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7), 221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4) AND 222100Z7 (DTG 221951Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jul 22 04:36:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102640-14499>; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 04:36:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA58596; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 15:18:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5959653 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 15:17:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA156106 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 15:17:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA17858 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 15:17:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707212017.PAA17858@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 15:17:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rosie (10w) Warning Nr 013 [212100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 743 WTPN31 PGTW 212100 1. TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- 17.2N0 133.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG2725 UNCLAS 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.2N0 133.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 18.6N5 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 20.5N7 132.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG2725 UNCLAS 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 22.5N9 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 24.5N1 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM PAGE 05 RUHGSGG2725 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 28.8N8 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 212100Z6 POSITION 17.5N3 133.1E8 TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA AT 08 KNOTS. TYPHOON ROSIE IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRACKING NORTHWARD WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND TO PAGE 06 RUHGSGG2725 UNCLAS INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z2 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1), 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7), 221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4) AND 222100Z7 (DTG 221951Z0).// BT #2725 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jul 22 10:32:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102493-7992>; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 10:32:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA205230; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 21:21:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5962894 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 21:21:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA205204 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 21:21:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA23516 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 21:21:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707220221.VAA23516@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 21:21:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rosie (10w) Warning Nr 014 [220300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 14 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 537 WTPN31 PGTW 220300 1. TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- 17.6N4 132.6E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N4 132.6E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 19.1N1 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 20.8N0 131.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 22.8N2 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 25.0N7 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 29.7N8 131.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION 18.0N9 132.4E0 TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS NORTHWESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. FURTHER INTENSIFICATION AND NORTHWARD MOTION ARE ANTICIPATED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7), 221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4), 222100Z7 (DTG 221951Z0) AND 230300Z8 (DTG 230151Z2).// BT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jul 22 11:33:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102659-7992>; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 11:33:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA124208; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 22:14:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5963044 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 22:14:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA223518 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 22:14:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id WAA24113 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 22:14:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707220314.WAA24113@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 22:14:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rosie (10w) Warning Nr 014 [220300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 21 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 239 WTPN31 PGTW 220300 1. TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- 17.6N4 132.6E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG3318 UNCLAS 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N4 132.6E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 19.1N1 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 20.8N0 131.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM PAGE 04 RUHGSGG3318 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 22.8N2 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 25.0N7 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT PAGE 05 RUHGSGG3318 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 29.7N8 131.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION 18.0N9 132.4E0 TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS NORTHWESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. FURTHER PAGE 06 RUHGSGG3318 UNCLAS INTENSIFICATION AND NORTHWARD MOTION ARE ANTICIPATED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7), 221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4), 222100Z7 (DTG 221951Z0) AND 230300Z8 (DTG 230151Z2).// BT #3318 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jul 22 14:36:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102716-7992>; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 14:35:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA81268; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 01:16:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5963804 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 01:13:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA146904 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 01:13:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id BAA25955 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 01:13:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707220613.BAA25955@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 01:13:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The [210600] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 28 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 610 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z JUL 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 220151ZJUL97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 220000Z4 TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WAS LOCATED AT 17.6N4 132.6E2, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 14 (WTPN31 PGTW 220300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 24.2N8 148.6E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 26.3N1 147.7E9. DEVELOPMENT IS BEING INHIBITED BY STRONG WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE OUTFLOW OF TYPHOON ROSIE (10W). MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 7N7 149E4. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE SUSTAINED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: TREHUBENKO/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jul 22 15:34:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102736-7992>; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 15:34:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA266044; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 02:13:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5963924 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 02:11:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA49154 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 02:11:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA26567 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 02:11:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707220711.CAA26567@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 02:11:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen West Gu// [220500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 39 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 675 WTPN22 PGTW 220500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 220455Z JUL 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 210855ZJUL97// RMKS/1. THIS CANCELS REF A. 2. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS BEING INHIBITED BY STRONG WESTERLY WIND SHEAR AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.// BT #3573 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jul 22 15:53:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102726-7992>; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 15:53:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA251930; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 02:35:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5964052 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 02:33:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA167052 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 02:33:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA26736 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 02:33:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707220733.CAA26736@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 02:33:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen West Gu// [220500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 43 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 155 WTPN22 PGTW 220500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 220455Z JUL 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 210855ZJUL97// RMKS/1. THIS CANCELS REF A. 2. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS BEING INHIBITED BY STRONG WESTERLY WIND SHEAR AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.// BT #3591 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jul 22 17:40:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102796-7992>; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 17:40:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA156142; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 04:25:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5964333 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 04:23:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA58226 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 04:23:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id EAA28969 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 04:23:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707220923.EAA28969@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 04:23:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rosie (10w) Warning Nr 015 [220900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 53 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 387 WTPN31 PGTW 220900 1. TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- 17.8N6 132.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM PAGE 03 RUHGSGG3707 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.8N6 132.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 19.0N0 131.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 20.8N0 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG3707 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 22.9N3 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 25.3N0 132.1E7 PAGE 05 RUHGSGG3707 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 30.4N7 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: PAGE 06 RUHGSGG3707 UNCLAS 220900Z3 POSITION 18.1N0 132.0E6 TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD. ROSIE (10W) IS EXPECTED TO PEAK IN INTENSITY WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS AND BEGIN MOVING NORTHWARD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4), 222100Z7 (DTG 221951Z0), 230300Z8 (DTG 230151Z2) AND 230900Z4 (DTG 230751Z8).// BT #3707 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jul 22 23:27:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102544-7992>; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 23:27:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA233582; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 10:18:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5966314 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 10:17:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA148792 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 10:17:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id KAA04333 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 10:17:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707221517.KAA04333@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 10:17:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Rosie (10w) Warning Nr 016 [221500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 661 WTPN31 PGTW 221500 1. SUPER TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- 18.2N1 132.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG4045 UNCLAS PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 200 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N1 132.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 19.5N5 131.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG4045 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 21.2N5 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 195 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 23.5N0 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 05 RUHGSGG4045 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 26.1N9 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 32.0N5 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 06 RUHGSGG4045 UNCLAS 175 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 221500Z0 POSITION 18.5N4 131.9E4 SUPER TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 221132Z INFRARED SATELLITE DATA. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE ADJUSTED USING TWO 220600Z SHIP REPORTS AS WELL AS 220117Z SATELLITE SCATTEROMETRY DATA. SUPER TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) CURRENTLY DISPLAYS A 15 NM CLOUD FREE EYE. IT IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY TURN NORTHWARD AS A MID-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS TO THE EAST AND BECOMES THE PRIMARY STEERING INFLUENCE. IT SHOULD BE NEARING SOUTHERN JAPAN WITHIN 72 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS NEAR PEAK INTENSITY AND IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z IS 35 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z7 (DTG 221951Z0), 230300Z8 (DTG 230151Z2), 230900Z4 (DTG 230751Z8) AND 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5).// PAGE 07 RUHGSGG4045 UNCLAS BT #4045 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jul 23 04:00:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102857-7992>; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 04:00:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA134294; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 14:46:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5968839 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 14:45:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA249852 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 14:44:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA13000 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 14:44:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707221944.OAA13000@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 14:45:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Rosie (10w) Warning Nr 017 [222100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 962 WTPN31 PGTW 222100 1. SUPER TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- 18.8N7 132.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N7 132.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 20.4N6 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 195 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 22.4N8 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 24.7N3 132.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 27.7N6 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 33.6N2 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 222100Z7 POSITION 19.2N2 132.1E7 SUPER TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 221732Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII ON THE WEST SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM WERE LEFT THE SAME AS THE PREVIOUS WARNING PER 221401Z SATELLITE SCATTEROMETRY DATA. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. SUPER TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY ACCELERATE NORTHWARD AND WEAKEN GRADUALLY BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL IN SOUTHERN JAPAN IN ABOUT 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 36 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8 (DTG 230151Z2), 230900Z4 (DTG 230751Z8), 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5) AND 232100Z8 (DTG 231951Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jul 23 04:42:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102857-7992>; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 04:42:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA33446; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 15:33:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5969285 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 15:33:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA02698 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 15:33:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA15393 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 15:33:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707222033.PAA15393@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 15:33:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Rosie (10w) Warning Nr 017 [222100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 506 WTPN31 PGTW 222100 1. SUPER TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- 18.8N7 132.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG4360 UNCLAS PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N7 132.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 20.4N6 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 195 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 10 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHGSGG4360 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 22.4N8 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 24.7N3 132.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 15 KTS --- PAGE 05 RUHGSGG4360 UNCLAS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 27.7N6 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 33.6N2 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER PAGE 06 RUHGSGG4360 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 222100Z7 POSITION 19.2N2 132.1E7 SUPER TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 221732Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII ON THE WEST SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM WERE LEFT THE SAME AS THE PREVIOUS WARNING PER 221401Z SATELLITE SCATTEROMETRY DATA. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. SUPER TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY ACCELERATE NORTHWARD AND WEAKEN GRADUALLY BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL IN SOUTHERN JAPAN IN ABOUT 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 36 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8 (DTG 230151Z2), 230900Z4 (DTG 230751Z8), 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5) AND 232100Z8 (DTG 231951Z1).// BT #4360 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jul 23 11:31:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102494-68>; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 11:31:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA97880; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 22:25:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5972938 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 22:25:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA74298 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 22:23:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id WAA22121 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 22:23:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707230323.WAA22121@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 22:25:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Rosie (10w) Warning Nr 018 [230300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 84 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 884 WTPN31 PGTW 230300 1. SUPER TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- 19.2N2 132.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM PAGE 03 RUHGSGG4563 UNCLAS POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.2N2 132.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 20.6N8 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 195 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 10 KTS PAGE 04 RUHGSGG4563 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 22.6N0 132.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 24.9N5 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 14 KTS PAGE 05 RUHGSGG4563 UNCLAS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 27.7N6 132.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 33.6N2 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER PAGE 06 RUHGSGG4563 UNCLAS 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION 19.5N5 132.0E6 SUPER TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY TO ITS CURRENT INTENSITY OF 135 KNOTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING AND SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION ARE ANTICIPATED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z IS 36 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z4 (DTG 230751Z8), 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5), 232100Z8 (DTG 231951Z1) AND 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3).// BT #4563 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jul 23 13:28:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102808-68>; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 13:28:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA184692; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 00:22:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5973904 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 00:22:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA155990 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 00:22:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id AAA23511 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 00:22:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707230522.AAA23511@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 00:22:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The [230600] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 93 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 434 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z JUL 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 230151ZJUL97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 230000Z4 SUPER TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.2N2 132.0E6, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 135 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 165 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 18 (WTPN31 PGTW 230300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 26.3N1 147.7E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 27.0N9 149.5E9. DEVELOPMENT CONTINUES TO BE INHIBITED BY STRONG WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE OUTFLOW OF SUPER TYPHOON ROSIE (10W). MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.0N7 149.0E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.0N7 148.0E3. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: TREHUBENKO/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jul 23 13:50:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102966-68>; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 13:50:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA58606; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 00:42:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5973993 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 00:42:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA98010 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 00:42:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id AAA23729 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 00:42:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707230542.AAA23729@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 00:42:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Yubjfinitlfae Tropical Weather Advisory For The [230600] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 97 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 644 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// YUBJFINITLFAE TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z JUL 97// RSF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 230151ZJUL97// 5 230000Z4 SUPER TYPHOON ROSIE (10900NM ADWACATED AT 19.2N2 132.0E6, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS VFKARP U ATED AT 135 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 165 KNOTS. SEE REPLA (TYPHOON ROSIE MUNUIGWARNING NR 18 (WTPN0<52- (2) NO THER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURXANCE SUMMARY: (1) THOL YN F CTNVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 26.3N1 14897(#8 ,92 )9;8; DEVELOPMENT CONTINUES TO BE INHIBITGW OF SUPER TYPHOON ROSIE I VMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO 9 6 04 (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCAED NEAR 0N7 149.0E4 IS NOW LOCATED VNIT7.0N7 148.0E. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOWGALEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTA OED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOT U MINIMUM SEILQ EL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANO TROPICAL CYCLONDHH DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: TREHUBENKO/WOFFBRKGBACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jul 23 13:56:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102983-68>; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 13:56:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA58396; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 00:49:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5974007 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 00:49:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA200714 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 00:49:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id AAA23778 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 00:49:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707230549.AAA23778@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 00:49:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: // [230600] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 98 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 723 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST R // YUBJFINITLFAE TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE NODM SZW84?2+-:3-,/230600Z/240600Z JQL CVRX RSF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 230151ZJUL97// 5 230000Z4 SUPER TYPHOON ROSIE (10900NM ADWACATED AT 19.2N2 (;0E6, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MA OUM SUSTAINED WINDS VFHP U ATEDABP TWA KWLPNO THER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURXANCE SUMMARY: (1) THOL YN F CTNVECTION PREVIOUGFBMVQ C REP SFRMYXTN)7 DEVELOPMENT CONTINUES TO BE INHIBITGW OF SUPER TYPHOON RT EEEEWL EDALMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. 8,8.7. 3- )3;3) 04374 8 358.-53$ 59 9 6 04 (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCAED NEAR 0N7 149.0E4 IS NOW LOCATED VNIT7.0N7 148.0E.??? SATELL TE IMAGE T GKT TO 20 KNOT NKR INIOSM SEITQISNDV RP U ATTBMMLBE 1005 MB. TGE POT $3;3)90.3,5 285#8, 5#3 ,3/5 25 53-#2TREHUBENKO/WOFFBRKGBACON/3 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jul 23 15:49:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102994-68>; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 15:49:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA184714; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 02:42:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5974328 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 02:42:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA58222 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 02:42:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA24831 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 02:42:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707230742.CAA24831@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 02:42:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Rosie (10w) Warning Nr 019 [230900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 113 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 855 WTPN31 PGTW 230900 1. SUPER TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- 19.9N9 131.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.9N9 131.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 21.5N8 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 23.7N2 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 26.4N2 132.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 29.1N2 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 34.5N2 132.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 230900Z4 POSITION 20.3N5 131.9E4 SUPER TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) CONTINUES TO WEAKEN SLOWLY AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z IS 36 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5), 232100Z8 (DTG 231951Z1), 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3) AND 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jul 23 16:24:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102987-68>; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 16:24:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA146584; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 03:14:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5974394 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 03:14:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA58244 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 03:14:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA26631 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 03:14:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707230814.DAA26631@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 03:14:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Rosie (10w) Warning Nr 019 [230900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 118 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 177 WTPN31 PGTW 230900 1. SUPER TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- 19.9N9 131.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG4898 UNCLAS PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.9N9 131.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 21.5N8 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 11 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHGSGG4898 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 23.7N2 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 26.4N2 132.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: PAGE 05 RUHGSGG4898 UNCLAS 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 29.1N2 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 34.5N2 132.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: PAGE 06 RUHGSGG4898 UNCLAS 230900Z4 POSITION 20.3N5 131.9E4 SUPER TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) CONTINUES TO WEAKEN SLOWLY AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z IS 36 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5), 232100Z8 (DTG 231951Z1), 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3) AND 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9).// BT #4898 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jul 23 18:02:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102973-68>; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 18:02:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA235128; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 04:56:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5975047 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 04:56:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA74338 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 04:56:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id EAA27373 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 04:56:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707230956.EAA27373@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 04:56:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 230955z Jul 97// [231000] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 128 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 480 WTPN21 PGTW 231000 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 230955Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 7.0N7 148.4E7 TO 7.6N3 142.7E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 230530Z3 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 7.0N7 147.4E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS FORMED AND IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED IN THE CAROLINE ISLANDS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT AREAL COVERAGE OF CONVECTION WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS INCREASED DURING THE DAY AND CONVECTIVE BANDING FEATURES HAVE FORMED AS WELL. WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT OUTFLOW HAS IMPROVED MARKEDLY ABOVE THIS SYSTEM DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM THE CAROLINES SHOW THAT PRESSURES HAVE BEGUN TO FALL IN THE VICINITY OF THIS DISTURBANCE. STEERING FLOW NEAR THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WEAK DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS; CONSEQUENTLY, A SLOW WESTWARD DRIFT IS ANTICIPATED DURING THAT TIME. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 241000Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jul 23 21:39:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102444-68>; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 21:39:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA82784; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 08:33:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5976239 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 08:32:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA49228 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 08:32:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA29958 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 08:32:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707231332.IAA29958@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 08:32:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 230955z Jul 97// [231000] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 601 WTPN21 PGTW 231000 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 230955Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS PAGE 03 RUHGSGG5167 UNCLAS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 7.0N7 148.4E7 TO 7.6N3 142.7E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 230530Z3 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 7.0N7 147.4E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS FORMED AND IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED IN THE CAROLINE ISLANDS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT AREAL COVERAGE OF CONVECTION WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS INCREASED DURING THE DAY AND CONVECTIVE BANDING FEATURES HAVE FORMED AS WELL. WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT OUTFLOW HAS IMPROVED MARKEDLY ABOVE THIS SYSTEM DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM THE CAROLINES SHOW THAT PRESSURES HAVE BEGUN TO FALL IN THE VICINITY OF THIS DISTURBANCE. STEERING FLOW NEAR THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WEAK DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS; CONSEQUENTLY, A PAGE 04 RUHGSGG5167 UNCLAS SLOW WESTWARD DRIFT IS ANTICIPATED DURING THAT TIME. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 241000Z7.// BT #5167 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jul 23 22:14:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102416-68>; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 22:14:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA121992; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 09:05:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5976566 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 09:05:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA49270 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 09:05:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA00771 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 09:05:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707231405.JAA00771@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 09:05:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Rosie (10w) Warning Nr 020 [231500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 178 WTPN31 PGTW 231500 1. SUPER TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- 20.7N9 131.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG5206 UNCLAS PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 220 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.7N9 131.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 22.7N1 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 215 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 12 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHGSGG5206 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 25.0N7 132.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 210 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 27.8N7 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: PAGE 05 RUHGSGG5206 UNCLAS 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 30.6N9 132.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 185 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 35.3N1 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- PAGE 06 RUHGSGG5206 UNCLAS REMARKS: 231500Z1 POSITION 21.2N5 132.0E6 SUPER TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 231132Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED USING 230600Z SURFACE SHIP REPORTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES GENERALLY NORTHWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD, THEN WEAKEN MORE RAPIDLY AFTER IT MAKES LANDFALL IN SOUTHERN JAPAN BEYOND 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z IS 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z8 (DTG 231951Z1), 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3), 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9) AND 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6).// BT #5206 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jul 23 22:39:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102873-68>; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 22:38:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA81230; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 09:32:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5976700 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 09:32:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA81206 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 09:32:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA01378 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 09:32:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707231432.JAA01378@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 09:32:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Rosie (10w) Warning Nr 020 [231500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 658 WTPN31 PGTW 231500 1. SUPER TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- 20.7N9 131.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 220 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.7N9 131.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 22.7N1 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 215 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 25.0N7 132.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 210 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 27.8N7 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 30.6N9 132.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 185 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 35.3N1 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 231500Z1 POSITION 21.2N5 132.0E6 SUPER TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 231132Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED USING 230600Z SURFACE SHIP REPORTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES GENERALLY NORTHWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD, THEN WEAKEN MORE RAPIDLY AFTER IT MAKES LANDFALL IN SOUTHERN JAPAN BEYOND 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z IS 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z8 (DTG 231951Z1), 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3), 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9) AND 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jul 24 03:39:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103047-68>; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 03:39:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA110652; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 14:25:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5979451 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 14:24:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA233656 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 14:24:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA09535 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 14:24:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707231924.OAA09535@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 14:24:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rosie (10w) Warning Nr 021 [232100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 846 WTPN31 PGTW 232100 1. TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231800Z4 --- 21.6N9 132.2E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 220 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.6N9 132.2E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 23.6N1 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 210 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 26.2N0 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 205 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 28.9N9 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 195 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 31.5N9 132.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 175 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 35.7N5 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 232100Z8 POSITION 22.1N5 132.3E9 TYPHOON ROSIE IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 231730Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN GENERAL MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL IN SOUTHERN JAPAN IN ABOUT 48 HOURS, THEN WEAKEN MORE RAPIDLY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231730Z6 IS 33 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3), 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9), 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6) AND 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jul 24 04:26:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103048-68>; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 04:25:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA175946; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 15:12:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5979894 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 15:12:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA110624 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 15:11:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA11178 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 15:11:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707232011.PAA11178@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 15:12:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rosie (10w) Warning Nr 021 [232100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 521 WTPN31 PGTW 232100 1. TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231800Z4 --- 21.6N9 132.2E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG5514 UNCLAS PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 220 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.6N9 132.2E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 23.6N1 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 210 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 13 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHGSGG5514 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 26.2N0 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 205 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 28.9N9 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 195 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 13 KTS --- PAGE 05 RUHGSGG5514 UNCLAS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 31.5N9 132.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 175 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 35.7N5 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER PAGE 06 RUHGSGG5514 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 232100Z8 POSITION 22.1N5 132.3E9 TYPHOON ROSIE IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 231730Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN GENERAL MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL IN SOUTHERN JAPAN IN ABOUT 48 HOURS, THEN WEAKEN MORE RAPIDLY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231730Z6 IS 33 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3), 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9), 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6) AND 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2).// BT #5514 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jul 24 08:26:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102175-21040>; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 08:26:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA245304; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 19:21:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5981966 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 19:20:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA232630 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 19:19:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id TAA15690 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 19:19:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707240019.TAA15690@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 19:20:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 232357z Jul 97// [240000] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 1 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 928 WTPN22 PGTW 240000 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 232357Z JUL 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/230955Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 150 NM RADIUS OF 31.1N5 152.8E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 12 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 232230Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 30.9N2 152.2E0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD. 2. REMARKS: SUBJECT DISTURBANCE HAS MAINTAINED ORGANIZED CONVECTION ON ITS EAST SIDE FOR OVER 12 HOURS. SCATTEROMETER WIND DATA INDICATES SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-25 KNOTS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE. UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLY WINDS FROM THE OUTFLOW OF TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) HAD BEEN PREVIOUSLY INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT. THESE WINDS ARE DECREASING SOMEWHAT, PROMOTING MINIMAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 250000Z7. 4. SEE REF A FOR DETAILS ON A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT LOCATED NEAR 7.0N7 147.4E6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jul 24 10:12:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102339-21040>; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 10:12:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA235674; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 20:44:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5982588 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 20:44:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA226952 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 20:44:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA16699 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 20:44:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707240144.UAA16699@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 20:44:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@lib.siu.edu Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: [240000] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 10 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 334 WTPN22 PGTW 240000 PAGE 02 RUHGSGG5692 UNCLAS SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 232357Z JUL 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/230955Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 150 NM RADIUS OF 31.1N5 152.8E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 12 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 232230Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 30.9N2 152.2E0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD. 2. REMARKS: SUBJECT DISTURBANCE HAS MAINTAINED ORGANIZED CONVECTION ON ITS EAST SIDE FOR OVER 12 HOURS. SCATTEROMETER WIND DATA INDICATES SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-25 KNOTS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE. UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLY WINDS FROM THE OUTFLOW OF TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) HAD BEEN PREVIOUSLY INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT. THESE WINDS ARE DECREASING SOMEWHAT, PROMOTING MINIMAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE. PAGE 03 RUHGSGG5692 UNCLAS 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 250000Z7. 4. SEE REF A FOR DETAILS ON A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT LOCATED NEAR 7.0N7 147.4E6.// BT #5692 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jul 24 10:50:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102248-21040>; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 10:50:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA84938; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 21:41:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5983013 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 21:41:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA233654 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 21:41:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA17430 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 21:41:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707240241.VAA17430@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 21:41:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rosie (10w) Warning Nr 022 [240300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 11 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 218 WTPN31 PGTW 240300 1. TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- 22.2N6 132.5E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG5722 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 210 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.2N6 132.5E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 24.5N1 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 210 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHGSGG5722 UNCLAS 250000Z7 --- 27.3N2 133.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 30.3N6 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 190 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 05 RUHGSGG5722 UNCLAS 260000Z8 --- 33.0N6 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 37.0N0 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION 22.7N1 132.6E2 TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) CONTINUES TO WEAKEN SLOWLY AS IT PAGE 06 RUHGSGG5722 UNCLAS MOVES NORTHWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. CONTINUED NORTHWARD MOTION AND GRADUAL WEAKENING ARE ANTICIPATED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z6 IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9), 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6), 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2) AND 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4).// BT #5722 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jul 24 14:56:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102562-21040>; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 14:55:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA235624; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 01:45:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5984369 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 01:45:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA203552 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 01:45:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id BAA19863 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 01:45:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707240645.BAA19863@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Jul 1997 01:45:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The [240600] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 17 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 770 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600Z JUL 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 240151ZJUL97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 230955ZJUL97// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 232357ZJUL97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 240000Z6 TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WAS LOCATED AT 22.2N6 132.5E1, MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 115 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 22 (WTPN31 PGTW 240300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.0N7 149.0E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.0N7 147.4E6 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT IS GOOD. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE WTPN21 PGTW 231000)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 27.0N9 149.5E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 31.1N5 152.8E6 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT IS GOOD. SEE REF C (TROPICAL CYCLONE WTPN22 240000)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: TREHUBENKO/BOYER/SULLINS/HAM/UROGI // +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jul 24 16:32:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103064-21040>; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 16:32:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA60170; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 03:19:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5984626 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 03:19:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA203760 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 03:19:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA22170 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 03:19:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707240819.DAA22170@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Jul 1997 03:19:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: This Warning Supersedes And Cancels Navpacmetoccen West [240900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 196 WTPN32 PGTW 240900 THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 232351Z JUL 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 240000 ) 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240600Z2 --- 31.5N9 151.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 31.5N9 151.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 32.1N6 151.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 32.6N1 151.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 33.3N9 151.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 240900Z5 POSITION 31.6N0 151.5E2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W (TD11W) HAS FORMED IN THE WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC. CURRENT INTENSITY OF 30 KNOTS IS BASED ON A 240530Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF DVORAK T2.0 (30 KNOTS). THIS DEPRESSION HAS GONE THROUGH PERIODIC EPISODES OF INCREASED CONVECTION ON ITS EASTERN SIDE. 240155Z7 ERS-2 SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATES 35 KNOT WINDS WERE PRESENT WITHIN THE CONVECTIVE AREA APPROXIMATELY 150 NM EAST OF THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION AREA AT THAT TIME. INTENSIFICATION OF TD11W IS BEING INHIBITED BY STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLY WINDS FROM THE OUTFLOW OF TYPHOON ROSIE (10W), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1000 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TD11W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z2 IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z9 (DTG 241955Z6) AND 250900Z6 (DTG (250755Z4). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 232351Z JUL 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 240000 ) REFER TO TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jul 24 17:29:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103080-21040>; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 17:29:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA129514; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 04:15:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5984827 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 04:15:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA233658 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 04:15:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id EAA22669 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 04:15:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707240915.EAA22669@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Jul 1997 04:15:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: This Warning Supersedes And Cancels Navpacmetoccen West [240900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 909 WTPN32 PGTW 240900 THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 232351Z JUL 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 240000 ) 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240600Z2 --- 31.5N9 151.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 31.5N9 151.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 32.1N6 151.6E3 PAGE 03 RUHGSGG6102 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 32.6N1 151.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 33.3N9 151.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 240900Z5 POSITION 31.6N0 151.5E2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W (TD11W) HAS FORMED IN THE WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC. CURRENT INTENSITY OF 30 KNOTS IS BASED ON A 240530Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF DVORAK T2.0 (30 KNOTS). THIS DEPRESSION HAS GONE THROUGH PERIODIC EPISODES OF INCREASED CONVECTION ON ITS EASTERN SIDE. 240155Z7 ERS-2 SCATTEROMETER DATA PAGE 04 RUHGSGG6102 UNCLAS INDICATES 35 KNOT WINDS WERE PRESENT WITHIN THE CONVECTIVE AREA APPROXIMATELY 150 NM EAST OF THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION AREA AT THAT TIME. INTENSIFICATION OF TD11W IS BEING INHIBITED BY STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLY WINDS FROM THE OUTFLOW OF TYPHOON ROSIE (10W), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1000 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TD11W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z2 IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z9 (DTG 241955Z6) AND 250900Z6 (DTG (250755Z4). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 232351Z JUL 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 240000 ) REFER TO TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #6102 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jul 24 18:28:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103076-21040>; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 18:28:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA227046; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 05:17:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5984959 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 05:17:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA58322 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 05:17:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id FAA23127 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 05:17:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707241017.FAA23127@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Jul 1997 05:17:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 241021z Jul 97// [241030] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 750 WTPN21 PGTW 241030 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 241021Z JUL 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/231000Z JUL 97// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 231000)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 125 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 8.2N0 144.5E4 TO 10.8N9 139.1E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 240830Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 8.6N4 143.5E3. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SOUTH OF GUAM REMAINS PERISTENT BUT DISORGANIZED. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES DIVERGENT OUTFLOW ALOFT. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 251030Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jul 24 18:58:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103071-21040>; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 18:58:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA208498; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 05:49:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5985002 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 05:47:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA58148 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 05:47:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id FAA23325 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 05:47:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707241047.FAA23325@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Jul 1997 05:47:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 241021z Jul 97// [241030] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 139 WTPN21 PGTW 241030 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 241021Z JUL 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/231000Z JUL 97// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 231000)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 125 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 8.2N0 144.5E4 TO 10.8N9 139.1E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 240830Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 8.6N4 143.5E3. THE SYSTEM IS PAGE 03 RUHGSGG6188 UNCLAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SOUTH OF GUAM REMAINS PERISTENT BUT DISORGANIZED. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES DIVERGENT OUTFLOW ALOFT. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 251030Z1.// BT #6188 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jul 24 19:39:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103076-21040>; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 19:39:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id GAA05756; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 06:32:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5985277 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 06:32:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id GAA58474 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 06:32:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id GAA23748 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 06:32:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707241132.GAA23748@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Jul 1997 06:32:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 241021z Jul 97// [241030] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 653 WTPN21 PGTW 241030 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 241021Z JUL 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/231000Z JUL 97// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 231000)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 125 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 8.2N0 144.5E4 TO 10.8N9 139.1E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 240830Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 8.6N4 143.5E3. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SOUTH OF GUAM REMAINS PERISTENT BUT DISORGANIZED. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES DIVERGENT OUTFLOW ALOFT. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 251030Z1.// BT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jul 24 22:02:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103086-21040>; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 22:02:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA08936; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 08:34:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5985958 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 08:34:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA58512 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 08:34:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA25288 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 08:34:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707241334.IAA25288@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Jul 1997 08:34:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rosie (10w) Warning Nr 024 [241500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 144 WTPN31 PGTW 241500 1. TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 024 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- 24.5N1 133.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 210 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.5N1 133.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 26.9N7 134.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 210 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 29.5N6 134.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 32.3N8 135.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 35.0N8 135.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 40.4N8 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION 25.1N8 133.3E0 TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) IS TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF WEAKENING AS IT TRACKS NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD. TYPHOON ROSIE IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TO NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z9 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2), 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4), 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0) AND 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Jul 25 03:33:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103116-21040>; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 03:33:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA38722; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 14:21:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5988569 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 14:21:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA58156 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 14:21:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA06411 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 14:21:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707241921.OAA06411@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Jul 1997 14:21:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rosie (10w) Warning Nr 025 [242100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 491 WTPN31 PGTW 242100 1. TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 025 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NOR 6D:2R6LU,SED ON ONE-MINE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- 25.9N6 133.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 210 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.9N6 133.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 28.6N6 134.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 210 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 31.2N6 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 200 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 33.5N1 135.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 35.6N4 135.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 39.7N9 136.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 242100Z9 POSITION 26.6N4 133.8E5 TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) IS TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. TYPHOON ROSIE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TO NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z5 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4), 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0), 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7) AND 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Jul 25 04:01:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103105-21040>; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 04:01:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA205092; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 14:51:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5988718 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 14:50:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA245502 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 14:50:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA07034 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 14:50:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707241950.OAA07034@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Jul 1997 14:50:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rosie (10w) Warning Nr 025 [242100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 880 WTPN31 PGTW 242100 1. TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 025 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG6701 UNCLAS 241800Z5 --- 25.9N6 133.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 210 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.9N6 133.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 28.6N6 134.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG6701 UNCLAS 210 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 31.2N6 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 200 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 33.5N1 135.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 05 RUHGSGG6701 UNCLAS OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 35.6N4 135.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 39.7N9 136.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: PAGE 06 RUHGSGG6701 UNCLAS 242100Z9 POSITION 26.6N4 133.8E5 TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) IS TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. TYPHOON ROSIE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TO NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z5 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4), 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0), 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7) AND 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #6701 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Jul 25 04:05:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103109-21040>; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 04:05:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA245446; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 14:54:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5988746 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 14:54:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA122032 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 14:54:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA07102 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 14:54:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707241954.OAA07102@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Jul 1997 14:54:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 11w Warning Nr 002 [242100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 903 WTPN32 PGTW 242100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- 31.9N3 151.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 31.9N3 151.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 32.5N0 150.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 33.0N6 149.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 33.5N1 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 242100Z9 POSITION 32.1N6 150.8E4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM IS BEING HINDERED BY THE STRONG OUTFLOW FROM TYPHOON ROSIE (10W). THE SHEAR IS NOT EXPECTED TO DIMINISH OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS WHICH WILL WEAKEN THE SYSTEM THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TD 11W IS FORECAST TO BE DISSIPATED BY THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z5 IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG 250753Z2) AND 252100Z0 (DTG 251953Z5). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. REFER TO TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Jul 25 05:08:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103113-21040>; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 05:08:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA168376; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 15:57:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5989346 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 15:57:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA234732 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 15:57:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA08912 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 15:57:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707242057.PAA08912@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Jul 1997 15:57:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 11w Warning Nr 002 [242100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 394 WTPN32 PGTW 242100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- 31.9N3 151.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 31.9N3 151.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 32.5N0 150.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUHGSGG6746 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 33.0N6 149.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 33.5N1 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 242100Z9 POSITION 32.1N6 150.8E4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM IS BEING HINDERED BY THE STRONG OUTFLOW FROM TYPHOON ROSIE (10W). THE SHEAR PAGE 04 RUHGSGG6746 UNCLAS IS NOT EXPECTED TO DIMINISH OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS WHICH WILL WEAKEN THE SYSTEM THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TD 11W IS FORECAST TO BE DISSIPATED BY THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z5 IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG 250755Z4) AND 252100Z0 (DTG 251955Z7). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. REFER TO TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #6746 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Jul 25 11:17:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102367-14440>; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 11:17:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA184626; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 22:10:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5991650 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 22:09:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA184814 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 22:09:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id WAA14157 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 22:09:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707250309.WAA14157@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Jul 1997 22:09:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rosie (10w) Warning Nr 026 [250300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 7 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 757 WTPN31 PGTW 250300 1. TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 026 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- 26.8N6 133.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.8N6 133.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 29.5N6 134.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 32.5N0 135.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 34.8N5 135.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 37.2N2 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 40.6N0 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION 27.5N4 134.1E9 TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REMAIN ON THIS TRACK THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AND WEAKEN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND INTERACTION WITH LAND. POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON A 242330Z4 SATELLITE FIX. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z7 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0), 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7), 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3) AND 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Jul 25 12:45:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102442-14440>; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 12:44:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA232686; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 23:34:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5992220 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 23:33:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA02734 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 23:33:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id XAA14833 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 23:33:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707250433.XAA14833@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Jul 1997 23:33:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rosie (10w) Warning Nr 026 [250300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 13 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 142 WTPN31 PGTW 250300 1. TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 026 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG7014 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- 26.8N6 133.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.8N6 133.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 29.5N6 134.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG7014 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 32.5N0 135.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 34.8N5 135.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 05 RUHGSGG7014 UNCLAS OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 37.2N2 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 40.6N0 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: PAGE 06 RUHGSGG7014 UNCLAS 250300Z0 POSITION 27.5N4 134.1E9 TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REMAIN ON THIS TRACK THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AND WEAKEN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND INTERACTION WITH LAND. POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON A 242330Z4 SATELLITE FIX. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z7 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0), 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7), 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3) AND 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #7014 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Jul 25 14:42:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102637-14440>; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 14:42:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA33474; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 01:28:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5992768 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 01:27:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA180634 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 01:27:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id BAA16022 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 01:27:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707250627.BAA16022@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Jul 1997 01:27:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The [250600] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 18 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 664 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z JUL 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 250151ZJUL97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 241955ZJUL97// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 241021ZJUL97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z6 TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WAS LOCATED AT 26.8N6 133.9E6, MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 26 (WTPN31 PGTW 250300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 242100Z9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WAS LOCATED AT 31.9N3 151.0E7, MOVING 300 DEGREES AT 4 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WARNING NR 2 (WTPN32 PGTW 242100)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.0N7 147.4E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.0N2 143E8 AND REMAINS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. DEVELOPMENT IS BEING INHIBITED BY STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE EAST-NORTHEAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF C (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT WTPN21 PGTW 241030)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AN AREA OF SPORADIC CONVECTION EXISTS NEAR 5.0N5 166.0E3. SYNOPTIC DATA AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION REMAINS DISORGANIZED. WATER VAPOR DERIVED UPPER LEVEL WINDS SHOW THAT DEVELOPMENT MAY BE ENHANCED BY DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/HAM/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Jul 25 16:30:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102251-14440>; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 16:30:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA58204; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 03:21:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5992979 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 03:20:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA155956 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 03:20:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA17159 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 03:20:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707250820.DAA17159@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Jul 1997 03:20:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rosie (10w) Warning Nr 027 [250900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 20 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 395 WTPN31 PGTW 250900 1. TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 027 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- 28.1N1 134.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTH QUADRANT OVER WATER 220 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.1N1 134.3E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 30.7N0 134.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM NORTH QUADRANT OVER WATER 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 33.3N9 134.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 35.3N1 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 37.2N2 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST S OVER WATER B NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 09 KTS --- +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Jul 25 17:20:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102703-14440>; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 17:20:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA82790; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 04:12:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5993100 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 04:12:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA180562 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 04:12:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id EAA17663 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 04:12:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707250912.EAA17663@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Jul 1997 04:12:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 11w Warning Nr 003 [250900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 23 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 929 WTPN32 PGTW 250900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- 30.6N9 151.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 30.6N9 151.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 30.1N4 152.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 29.7N8 153.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 250900Z6 POSITION 30.5N8 151.8E5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W HAS REVERSED DIRECTION AND IS NOW TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS WEAKENING RAPIDLY DUE TO SEVERE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR DUE TO OUTFLOW FROM TYPHOON ROSIE (10W). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z3 IS 8 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Jul 25 17:30:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103117-14440>; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 17:30:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA146692; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 04:24:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5993176 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 04:23:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA02740 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 04:23:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id EAA17747 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 04:23:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707250923.EAA17747@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Jul 1997 04:23:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 11w Warning Nr 003 [250900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 24 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 124 WTPN32 PGTW 250900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- 30.6N9 151.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 30.6N9 151.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 30.1N4 152.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT PAGE 03 RUHGSGG7290 UNCLAS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 29.7N8 153.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 250900Z6 POSITION 30.5N8 151.8E5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W HAS REVERSED DIRECTION AND IS NOW TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS WEAKENING RAPIDLY DUE TO SEVERE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR DUE TO OUTFLOW FROM TYPHOON ROSIE (10W). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z3 IS 8 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG7290 UNCLAS CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #7290 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Jul 25 17:34:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103141-14440>; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 17:34:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA49172; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 04:26:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5993224 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 04:26:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA08958 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 04:26:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id EAA17770 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 04:26:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707250926.EAA17770@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Jul 1997 04:26:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 11w Warning Nr 003 [250900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 25 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 202 WTPN32 PGTW 250900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- 30.6N9 151.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 30.6N9 151.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 30.1N4 152.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT PAGE 03 RUHGSGG7290 UNCLAS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 29.7N8 153.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 250900Z6 POSITION 30.5N8 151.8E5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W HAS REVERSED DIRECTION AND IS NOW TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS WEAKENING RAPIDLY DUE TO SEVERE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR DUE TO OUTFLOW FROM TYPHOON ROSIE (10W). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z3 IS 8 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG7290 UNCLAS CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #7290 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Jul 25 18:25:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102518-14440>; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 18:25:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA120322; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 05:16:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5993259 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 05:16:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA02800 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 05:16:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id FAA18183 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 05:16:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707251016.FAA18183@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Jul 1997 05:16:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert Cancellation [251000] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 28 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 870 WTPN23 PGTW 251000 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 250951Z JUL 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/241021Z JUL 97// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 241030).// RMKS/ 1. REMARKS: THIS CANCELS REF A. THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS DUE TO EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Jul 25 19:35:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103116-14440>; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 19:34:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id GAA166980; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 06:27:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5993443 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 06:27:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id GAA33326 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 06:27:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id GAA18700 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 06:27:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707251127.GAA18700@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Jul 1997 06:27:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rosie (10w) Warning Nr 027a Corrected [250900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 29 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 725 WTPN31 PGTW 250900 COR 1. TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 027A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- 28.1N1 134.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTH QUADRANT OVER WATER 220 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.1N1 134.3E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 30.7N0 134.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM NORTH QUADRANT OVER WATER 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 33.3N9 134.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 35.3N1 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 37.2N2 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 40.6N0 136.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 250900Z6 POSITION 28.8N8 134.4E2 TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. ROSIE IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL IN CENTRAL JAPAN IN APPROXIMATELY 24 HOURS. AN EXTENDED AREA OF GALE FORCE WINDS EXISTS TO THE NORTH SIDE OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO AN ENHANCED PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE CYCLONE AND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z3 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7), 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3), 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5) AND 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1).REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW 250900) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WILL MAKE LANDFALL NEAR THE 24- HOUR FORECAST POSITION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Jul 25 21:47:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102258-14440>; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 21:46:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA120438; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 08:37:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5994077 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 08:37:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA43608 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 08:37:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA20244 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 08:37:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707251337.IAA20244@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Jul 1997 08:37:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rosie (10w) Warning Nr 028 [251500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 31 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 626 WTPN31 PGTW 251500 1. TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 028 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- 29.5N6 134.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTH QUADRANT OVER WATER 220 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 29.5N6 134.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 31.8N2 135.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM NORTH QUADRANT OVER WATER 190 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 34.1N8 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 35.7N5 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 37.1N1 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 39.6N8 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION 30.1N4 135.0E9 TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) IS TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. TYPHOON ROSIE IS FORECAST TO TURN NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS A BUILDING RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. TYPHOON ROSIE IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL BETWEEN THE 12- AND THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z0 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3), 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5), 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1) AND 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW 250900) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Jul 26 03:40:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103118-14440>; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 03:40:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA38508; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 14:33:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5996516 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 14:33:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA226628 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 14:33:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA28449 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 14:32:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707251932.OAA28449@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Jul 1997 14:33:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rosie (10w) Warning Nr 029 [252100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 330 WTPN31 PGTW 252100 1. TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 029 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251800Z6 --- 30.6N9 135.1E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTH QUADRANT OVER WATER 220 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 30.6N9 135.1E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 32.9N4 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 190 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 35.3N1 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 36.6N5 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 38.3N4 135.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 41.6N1 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 252100Z0 POSITION 31.2N6 135.1E0 TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) IS TRACKING NORTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS. STRONG UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS HELPING TO WEAKEN TYPHOON ROSIE. TYPHOON ROSIE IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL BETWEEN THE 12- AND THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE TO THE NORTHEAST BETWEEN THE 36- AND THE 72-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AS TYPHOON ROSIE TRANSITIONS INTO THE ACCELERATING WESTERLIES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z6 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5), 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1), 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8) AND 262100Z1 (DTG 261951Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW 250900) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Jul 26 10:36:10 1997 X-UIDL: 55057b1c7cd3ce6f2d7349eac40f7133 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102536-4338>; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 10:36:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA181458; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 21:27:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5998857 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 21:26:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA118958 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 21:26:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA05995 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 21:26:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707260226.VAA05995@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Jul 1997 21:26:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rosie (10w) Warning Nr 030 [260300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 40 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 850 WTPN31 PGTW 260300 1. TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 030 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 31.8N2 135.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 005 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 230 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 31.8N2 135.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 33.9N5 134.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 36.1N0 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 37.8N8 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 39.7N9 138.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 43.2N9 146.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 32.3N8 135.0E9 TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) IS TRACKING NORTHWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 252330Z5 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BE NEAR THE EASTERN TIP OF SHIKOKU WITHIN 12 HOURS. TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN A GENERAL MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH FOR THE FIRST 24 HOURS, THEN TURN NORTHEASTWARD AND ACCELERATE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MIDLATITUDE WESTERLIES. TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN MORE RAPIDLY AFTER MAKING LANDFALL, THEN MAINTAIN NEARLY STEADY INTENSITY AFTER IT ENTERS THE SEA OF JAPAN. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS FORECAST TO BEGIN WITHIN 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1), 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8), 262100Z1 (DTG 261951Z4) AND 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Jul 26 11:06:13 1997 X-UIDL: f55c57286329ca24b23e9b03a0cd6215 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102629-4338>; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 11:06:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA200736; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 21:57:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5999064 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 21:57:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA43526 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 21:57:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA06238 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 21:57:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707260257.VAA06238@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Jul 1997 21:57:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rosie (10w) Warning Nr 030a Corrected [260300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 43 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 207 WTPN31 PGTW 260300 COR 1. TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 030A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 31.8N2 135.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 005 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 230 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 31.8N2 135.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 33.9N5 134.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 36.1N0 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 37.8N8 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 39.7N9 138.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 43.2N9 146.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 32.3N8 135.0E9 TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) IS TRACKING NORTHWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 252330Z5 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BE NEAR THE EASTERN TIP OF SHIKOKU WITHIN 12 HOURS. TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN A GENERAL MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH FOR THE FIRST 24 HOURS, THEN TURN NORTHEASTWARD AND ACCELERATE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MIDLATITUDE WESTERLIES. TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN MORE RAPIDLY AFTER MAKING LANDFALL, THEN MAINTAIN NEARLY STEADY INTENSITY AFTER IT ENTERS THE SEA OF JAPAN. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS FORECAST TO BEGIN WITHIN 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1), 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8), 262100Z1 (DTG 261951Z4) AND 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6). JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: REMOVED ERRONEOUS 35 KNOT WIND RADII AT 48 AND 72 HOUR POSITIONS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Jul 26 11:33:44 1997 X-UIDL: f965203a7f5584fbe88abf4f5a8377a8 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102668-4338>; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 11:33:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA98288; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 22:26:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5999192 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 22:26:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA124382 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 22:26:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id WAA06535 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 22:26:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707260326.WAA06535@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Jul 1997 22:26:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rosie (10w) Warning Nr 030b Corrected [260300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 44 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 684 WTPN31 PGTW 260300 COR 1. TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 030B CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 31.8N2 135.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 005 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 230 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 31.8N2 135.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 33.9N5 134.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 36.1N0 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 37.8N8 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 16 KTS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 39.7N9 138.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 43.2N9 146.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 32.3N8 135.0E9 TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) IS TRACKING NORTHWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 252330Z5 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BE NEAR THE EASTERN TIP OF SHIKOKU WITHIN 12 HOURS. TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN A GENERAL MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH FOR THE FIRST 24 HOURS, THEN TURN NORTHEASTWARD AND ACCELERATE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MIDLATITUDE WESTERLIES. TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN MORE RAPIDLY AFTER MAKING LANDFALL, THEN MAINTAIN NEARLY STEADY INTENSITY AFTER IT ENTERS THE SEA OF JAPAN. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS FORECAST TO BEGIN WITHIN 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1), 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8), 262100Z1 (DTG 261951Z4) AND 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6). JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: MOVED ERRONEOUS 35 KNOT WIND RADIUS FROM 48 TO 36 HOUR POSITIONS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Jul 26 14:22:49 1997 X-UIDL: 602a58fce8b1811ca328fcf5ca35b1c3 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102620-4338>; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 14:22:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA226658; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 01:14:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5999999 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 01:13:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA200722 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 01:13:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id BAA08184 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 01:13:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707260613.BAA08184@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Jul 1997 01:13:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The [260600] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 47 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 784 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z JUL 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 260151ZJUL97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 250755ZJUL97// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 250951ZJUL97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 260000Z8 TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WAS LOCATED AT 31.8N2 135.0E9, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 30B CORRECTED (WTPN31 PGTW 260300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 250755Z4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 05 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WARNING NR 3 (WTPN32 PGTW 250755)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. AT 260000Z8 THIS SYSTEM WAS MERGING WITH A NEW SUSPECT AREA LOCATED AT 27N9 160E7 DISCUSSED IN PARAGRAPH B.(1). ACCORDINGLY, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED AT LEAST 24 HOURS AND IS LOCATED NEAR 27N9 160E7. 251228Z0 SCATTEROMETRY DATA AND ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THE CLOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER FORMERLY ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W IS MERGING WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW BEING ENHANCED BY A TUTT CELL TO THE NORTH. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING EAST OF THIS SYSTEM=S LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.0N2 143.0E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13N4 143E8 AND WAS FORMERLY THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS AND SATELLITE DERIVED CLOUD WIND DRIFT DATA INDICATE A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER REMAINS PRESENT IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEVELOPMENT IS BEING INHIBITED BY STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE EAST-NORTHEAST. CONSEQUENTLY THIS SYSTEM LACKS SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION NEAR ITS LOW-LEVEL CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. SEE REF C (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION WTPN21 PGTW 251000)) FOR THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION. (3) THE AREA OF SPORADIC CONVECTION NEAR 5N5 166E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/FINTA/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Jul 26 16:42:33 1997 X-UIDL: a961cac8cdb5a0ce0e161781b5362a83 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103159-4338>; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 16:42:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA64408; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 03:32:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6000421 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 03:30:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA87926 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 03:30:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA09172 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 03:30:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707260830.DAA09172@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Jul 1997 03:30:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rosie (10w) Warning Nr 031 [260900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 51 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 066 WTPN31 PGTW 260900 1. TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 031 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260600Z4 --- 33.2N8 134.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 33.2N8 134.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 34.8N5 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 010 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 36.9N8 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 38.9N0 136.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 40.8N2 140.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 44.6N4 148.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 260900Z7 POSITION 33.6N2 134.8E6 TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) IS TRACKING NORTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 260530Z6 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND 260525Z0 RADAR DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE USING 260530Z6 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED USING 260600Z4 SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWARD, THEN NORTHEASTWARD. THIS SYSTEM IS STILL FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z4 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8), 262100Z1 (DTG 261951Z4), 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6) AND 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Jul 26 22:09:15 1997 X-UIDL: 2cf3e3b2e02b39b0ab24c95e74d9a987 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102444-4338>; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 22:09:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA249686; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 09:02:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6001225 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 09:01:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA220904 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 09:00:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA11359 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 09:00:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707261400.JAA11359@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Jul 1997 09:01:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Rosie (10w) Warning Nr 032 [261500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 56 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 616 WTPN31 PGTW 261500 1. TYPHOON ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 032 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- 35.1N9 134.4E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 35.1N9 134.4E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 37.4N4 133.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 39.0N2 135.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 40.4N8 137.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 41.7N2 140.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 45.2N1 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION 35.7N5 134.2E0 TYPHOON ROSIE IS TRACKING NORTHWARD AT 16 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 261130Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA. PRIMARY STATIONS ARE WMO=S 47881, 47884, 47743, 47792, 47773. THE SLIGHT WESTWARD COMPONENT IN THE CURRENT TRACK IS TEMPORARY, ROSIE IS FORECAST TO TURN NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD WITHIN 12 HOURS AND CONTINUE IN THIS DIRECTION FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. ROSIE IS EXPECTED TO INITIALLY SLOW DUE TO INTERACTION WITH PERIPHERAL RIDGING TO THE NORTHEAST AND THEN ACCELERATE AFTER 48 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262100Z1 (DTG 261951Z4), 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6), 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2) AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 27 01:45:18 1997 X-UIDL: c294d9d98be636683c7c4d97cf478f45 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103147-4338>; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 01:45:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA208482; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 12:39:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6002546 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 12:39:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA57680 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 12:39:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id MAA13190 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 12:39:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707261739.MAA13190@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Jul 1997 12:39:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 261721z Jul 97// [261730] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 59 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 779 WTPN22 PGTW 261730 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 261721Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 24.9N5 153.9E8 TO 20.5N7 154.3E3 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 261430Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 25.2N9 153.8E7. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 19 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. REMNANTS OF TD 11W HAVE MERGED WITH A LOW LEVEL DISTURBANCE TO PRODUCE THE SUBJECT AREA. ALTHOUGH PRESENT FOR ONLY 14 HOURS, THE CONVECTION SHOWS ANTICYCLONIC BANDING AS WELL AS OUTFLOW CIRRUS ON MOST RECENT IR SATELLITE IMAGERY. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 271730Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 27 04:40:12 1997 X-UIDL: d517ff408441ba7d9c535251bef4b4f4 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103161-4338>; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 04:40:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA184662; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 15:34:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6003605 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 15:34:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA208450 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 15:34:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA14898 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 15:34:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707262034.PAA14898@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Jul 1997 15:34:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rosie (10w) Warning Nr 033 [262100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 61 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 357 WTPN31 PGTW 262100 1. TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 033 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 10W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z7 --- 35.9N7 132.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 35.9N7 132.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 37.3N3 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 37.9N9 133.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 38.8N9 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 39.7N9 136.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 42.9N5 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 262100Z1 POSITION 36.2N1 132.6E2 TS ROSIE (10W) IS TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RADAR FIXES PRIMARILY FROM WMO=S 47791 AND 47792. ROSIE IS EXPECTED TO SLOW AND TURN NORTHEASTWARD BY 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6), 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2), 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9) AND 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 27 09:56:26 1997 X-UIDL: 60dd1aa300812985113cd2f0394320e6 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102229-7559>; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 09:56:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA60328; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 20:49:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6005131 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 20:49:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA60302 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 20:49:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA17337 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 20:49:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707270149.UAA17337@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Jul 1997 20:49:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rosie (10w) Warning Nr 034 [270300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 64 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 723 WTPN31 PGTW 270300 1. TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 034 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- 36.3N2 131.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 36.3N2 131.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 37.3N3 131.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 37.9N9 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 38.4N5 132.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 39.0N2 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 41.2N7 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION 36.6N5 131.7E2 TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) IS TRACKIG NORTHWEST AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 262330Z6 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 262325Z0 RADAR FIX FROM MATSUE (WMO NUMBER 47791). WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 262330Z6 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) IS SLOWING AND EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST BY 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND DISSIPATE OVER WATER WITHIN 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2), 271500Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 27 10:54:07 1997 X-UIDL: 9e18a0c1b6d82f714ebf6c9730bd00d3 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102456-7559>; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 10:54:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA199312; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 21:48:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6005327 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 21:48:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA249726 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 21:48:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA17737 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 21:48:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707270248.VAA17737@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Jul 1997 21:48:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 11w Warning Nr 004 [270300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 68 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 607 WTPN32 PGTW 270300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- 22.3N7 154.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 165 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 22.3N7 154.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 21.7N0 154.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 21.0N3 155.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 21.4N7 155.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 22.4N8 155.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 24.3N9 155.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION 22.2N6 154.7E7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W IS TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 14 KNOTS. THIS WARNING IS REGENERATED AND THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 262330Z6 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS, TURN TO THE NORTH AND SLOWLY ACCELERATE. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY AT A FASTER THAN NORMAL RATE DUE TO ITS SMALL SIZE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z9 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270900Z8 (DTG 270753Z4), 271500Z5 (DTG 271353Z1), 272100Z2 (DTG 271953Z7) AND 280300Z3 (DTG 280153Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 27 13:36:48 1997 X-UIDL: b98bbc948f2e687fae439e01eb106b48 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102739-7559>; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 13:36:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA110844; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 00:30:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6005961 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 00:30:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA239844 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 00:30:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id AAA19171 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 00:30:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707270530.AAA19171@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Jul 1997 00:30:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The [270600] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 72 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 759 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z JUL 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 270151ZJUL97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 270153ZJUL97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 270000Z9 TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) WAS LOCATED AT 36.3N2 131.9E4, MOVING NORTHWEST AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 34 (WTPN31 PGTW 270300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 270000Z9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WAS LOCATED AT 22.3N7 154.7E7 MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 14 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WARNING NR 4 (WTPN32 PGTW 270000)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 27N9 160E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 25N7 166E3 AND HAS DETACHED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W. SPOTTY DEEP CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN A COLLOCATED SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TROUGH AS INDICATED BY SATELLITE-DERIVED CLOUD WIND DRIFT DATA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT DEVELOPMENT IS BEING INHIBITED BY STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 143E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 139E3. A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EXISTS IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION AS SHOWN BY SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS AND SATELLITE-DERIVED CLOUD WIND DRIFT DATA. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW STRONG WESTERLY WINDS TO THE SOUTH OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ARE AIDING DEVELOPMENT AND ARE CONVERGING TO PRODUCE ABUNDANT DEEP CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND UPPER AIR SOUNDINGS FROM YAP (WMO 91413) AND KOROR (WMO 91408) INDICATE THAT DEVELOPMENT IS BEING INHIBITED BY STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE EAST-NORTHEAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR AT LEAST 24 HOURS WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR 18N9 115E7. 270000Z9 SHIP SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE SYSTEM=S LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT DEVELOPMENT IS BEING INHIBITED BY STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS FROM THE EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/FINTA/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 27 15:38:12 1997 X-UIDL: 2ed6acee9e810f79e8daeaa9185f8bf6 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102843-7559>; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 15:38:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA144918; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 02:28:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6006256 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 02:28:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA08958 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 02:28:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA20034 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 02:28:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707270728.CAA20034@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Jul 1997 02:28:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rosie (10w) Warning Nr 035 [270900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 75 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 649 WTPN31 PGTW 270900 1. TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 035 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- 35.8N6 132.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 025 NM REPEAT POSIT: 35.8N6 132.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 36.2N1 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 36.6N5 132.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 37.3N3 132.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 38.0N1 134.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 06 KTS --- REMARKS: 270900Z8 POSITION 35.9N7 132.5E1 TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) IS TRACKING SOUTHEAST AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 270530Z7 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 260525Z0 RADAR FIX FROM MATSUE (WMO 47791). WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 270530Z7 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) IS QUASISTATIONARY AND IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY URN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITHIN 12 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER WITHIN 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z5 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9), 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5), 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7) AND 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 27 16:36:42 1997 X-UIDL: ed6d270a17dd121d444da4cbb8f48d42 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102845-7559>; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 16:36:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA233540; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 03:19:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6006352 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 03:19:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA239666 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 03:19:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA20335 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 03:19:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707270819.DAA20335@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Jul 1997 03:19:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Scott (11w) Warning Nr 005 [270900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 77 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 264 WTPN32 PGTW 270900 1. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNING NR 005 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- 22.4N8 155.5E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 080 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 22.4N8 155.5E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 22.7N1 155.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 23.1N6 155.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 23.6N1 155.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 24.2N8 155.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 25.7N4 155.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 270900Z8 POSITION 22.5N9 155.5E6 TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) IS TRACKING EAST AT 07 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 270530Z7 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) HAS TURNED TO THE EAST AND IS FORECAST TO COMPLETE A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH WITHIN 12 HOURS, AFTER WHICH IT WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY ACCELERATE. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY AT A FASTER THAN AVERAGE RATE DUE TO ITS SMALL SIZE. WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A SMALLER THAN AVERAGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z5 IS 06 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5 (DTG 271353Z1), 272100Z2 (DTG 271953Z7), 280300Z3 (DTG 280153Z9) AND 280900Z9 (DTG 280753Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 27 17:03:01 1997 X-UIDL: 18fc4e8167261c748c9fae23877313a0 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102846-7559>; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 17:02:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA02598; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 03:50:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6006392 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 03:50:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA43536 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 03:50:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA20501 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 03:50:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707270850.DAA20501@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Jul 1997 03:50:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Scott (11w) Warning Nr 005 [270900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 81 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 561 WTPN32 PGTW 270900 1. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNING NR 005 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- 22.4N8 155.5E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 080 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG9513 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 22.4N8 155.5E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 22.7N1 155.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 23.1N6 155.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 03 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHGSGG9513 UNCLAS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 23.6N1 155.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 24.2N8 155.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 05 RUHGSGG9513 UNCLAS 300600Z9 --- 25.7N4 155.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 270900Z8 POSITION 22.5N9 155.5E6 TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) IS TRACKING EAST AT 07 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 270530Z7 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) HAS TURNED TO THE EAST AND IS FORECAST TO COMPLETE A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH WITHIN 12 HOURS, AFTER WHICH IT WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY ACCELERATE. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY AT A FASTER THAN AVERAGE RATE DUE TO ITS SMALL SIZE. WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A SMALLER THAN AVERAGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z5 IS 06 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT PAGE 06 RUHGSGG9513 UNCLAS INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5 (DTG 271353Z1), 272100Z2 (DTG 271953Z7), 280300Z3 (DTG 280153Z9) AND 280900Z9 (DTG 280753Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #9513 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 27 21:11:28 1997 X-UIDL: c84ca8196ce3e64e8899d8e9ad6d0a2e Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102874-7559>; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 21:11:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA05876; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 08:04:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6007257 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 08:04:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA232672 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 08:04:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA22063 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 08:04:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707271304.IAA22063@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Jul 1997 08:04:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rosie (10w) Warning Nr 036 [271500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 84 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 552 WTPN31 PGTW 271500 1. TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 036 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- 35.7N5 132.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 35.7N5 132.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 36.0N9 133.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 36.5N4 134.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 36.9N8 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 37.1N1 136.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 271500Z5 POSITION 35.8N6 132.9E5 TS ROSIE (10W) IS MOVING SLOWLY EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD. IT IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN EAST-NORTHEASTWARD BEFORE DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5), 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7), 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3) AND 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 27 21:16:59 1997 X-UIDL: c0747b3a1f9a3c8a364910bfa76eeaf4 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102874-7559>; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 21:16:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA02652; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 08:10:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6007283 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 08:10:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA134208 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 08:10:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA22122 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 08:10:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707271310.IAA22122@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Jul 1997 08:10:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rosie (10w) Warning Nr 036 [271500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 85 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 751 WTPN31 PGTW 271500 1. TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 036 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- 35.7N5 132.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 35.7N5 132.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 36.0N9 133.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 36.5N4 134.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 36.9N8 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 37.1N1 136.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 271500Z5 POSITION 35.8N6 132.9E5 TS ROSIE (10W) IS MOVING SLOWLY EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD. IT IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN EAST-NORTHEASTWARD BEFORE DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5), 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7), 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3) AND 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0). REFER O TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 27 21:17:59 1997 X-UIDL: d08a25200849963d1b41daef91cac2f6 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102871-7559>; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 21:17:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA43704; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 08:12:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6007295 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 08:12:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA249766 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 08:12:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA22133 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 08:12:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707271312.IAA22133@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Jul 1997 08:12:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rosie (10w) Warning Nr 036 [271500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 86 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 782 WTPN31 PGTW 271500 1. TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 036 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- 35.7N5 132.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 35.7N5 132.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 27 21:56:19 1997 X-UIDL: 722091fa23f55ddff05a3352f2483d18 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102888-7559>; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 21:56:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA232602; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 08:50:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6007473 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 08:50:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA249728 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 08:50:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA22346 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 08:50:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707271350.IAA22346@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Jul 1997 08:50:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Scott (11w) Warning Nr 006 [271500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 87 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 679 WTPN32 PGTW 271500 1. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- 22.8N2 156.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 22.8N2 156.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 23.8N3 157.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 25.3N0 158.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 26.9N7 158.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 28.5N5 158.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 31.1N5 157.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 271500Z5 POSITION 23.1N6 157.1E4 TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) IS TRACKING EASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. IT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN A GRADUAL NORTHWARD TURN WITHIN 12 HOURS. INTENSIFICATION, ALTHOUGH CURRENTLY SLOW, IS FORECAST TO INCREASE TO A FASTER THAN AVERAGE RATE DUE TO THE SYSTEM=S SMALL SIZE. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A SMALLER THAN AVERAGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z2 (DTG 271953Z7), 280300Z3 (DTG 280153Z9), 280900Z9 (DTG 280753Z5) AND 281500Z6 (DTG 281353Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 27 22:30:09 1997 X-UIDL: d3c1b4f32af6aba5b97ef605e8537789 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102900-7559>; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 22:30:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA226594; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 09:18:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6007502 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 09:17:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA87816 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 09:17:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA22491 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 09:17:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707271417.JAA22491@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Jul 1997 09:17:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Scott (11w) Warning Nr 006 [271500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 88 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 171 WTPN32 PGTW 271500 1. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- 22.8N2 156.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT PAGE 03 RUHGSGG9763 UNCLAS REPEAT POSIT: 22.8N2 156.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 23.8N3 157.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 25.3N0 158.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 26.9N7 158.3E7 PAGE 04 RUHGSGG9763 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 28.5N5 158.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 31.1N5 157.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT PAGE 05 RUHGSGG9763 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 271500Z5 POSITION 23.1N6 157.1E4 TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) IS TRACKING EASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. IT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN A GRADUAL NORTHWARD TURN WITHIN 12 HOURS. INTENSIFICATION, ALTHOUGH CURRENTLY SLOW, IS FORECAST TO INCREASE TO A FASTER THAN AVERAGE RATE DUE TO THE SYSTEM'S SMALL SIZE. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A SMALLER THAN AVERAGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z2 (DTG 271953Z7), 280300Z3 (DTG 280153Z9), 280900Z9 (DTG 280753Z5) AND 281500Z6 (DTG 281353Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// PAGE 06 RUHGSGG9763 UNCLAS BT #9763 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 28 03:36:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102944-7559>; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 03:36:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA146524; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 14:31:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6008849 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 14:30:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA203590 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 14:30:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA25227 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 14:30:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707271930.OAA25227@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Jul 1997 14:30:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Rosie (10w) Warning Nr 037 [272100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 836 WTPN31 PGTW 272100 1. TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 037 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271800Z8 --- 36.3N2 133.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 36.3N2 133.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 37.1N1 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 37.9N9 136.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 38.7N8 137.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 272100Z2 POSITION 36.5N4 134.0E8 TS ROSIE (10W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN THIS DIRECTION AS IT DISSIPATES. COMPLETE DISSIPATION AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7), 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3), 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0) AND 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 28 04:24:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102944-7559>; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 04:24:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA118978; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 15:18:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6009016 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 15:18:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA43638 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 15:17:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA25824 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 15:17:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707272017.PAA25824@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Jul 1997 15:18:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Scott (11w) Warning Nr 007 [272100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 348 WTPN32 PGTW 272100 1. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271800Z8 --- 24.1N7 156.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.1N7 156.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 25.0N7 156.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 25.8N5 155.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 26.7N5 155.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 27.6N5 154.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 29.6N7 153.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 272100Z2 POSITION 24.3N9 156.3E5 TS SCOTT (11W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN A TURN NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AND CONTINUE ON THIS TRACK FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. POSITION IS BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS REESTABLISHING ITSELF AFTER A SLIGHT DISSIPATION TREND OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z3 (DTG 280153Z9), 280900Z9 (DTG 280753Z5), 281500Z6 (DTG 281353Z2) AND 282100Z3 (DTG 281953Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 28 09:59:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102521-6064>; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 09:59:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA146864; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 20:50:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6010611 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 20:50:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA02696 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 20:50:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA28862 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 20:50:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707280150.UAA28862@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Jul 1997 20:50:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Scott (11w) Warning Nr 008 Relocated [280300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 728 WTPN32 PGTW 280300 1. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNING NR 008 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 24.1N7 155.5E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.1N7 155.5E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 25.2N9 155.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 26.4N2 154.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 27.5N4 154.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 28.7N7 153.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 31.0N4 152.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 24.4N0 155.4E5 THIS WARNING IS RELOCATED DUE TO PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IDENTIFIED ON 27330Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 07 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON THIS TRACK THROUGH 72 HOURS. POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A SMALLER THAN AVERAGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z0 IS 06 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z9 (DTG 280753Z5), 281500Z6 (DTG 281353Z2), 282100Z3 (DTG 281953Z8) AND 290300Z4 (DTG 290153Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 28 10:41:46 1997 X-UIDL: a95ffab4c945a35bba3cba65a03fd585 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102959-6064>; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 10:41:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA146748; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 21:29:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6010729 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 21:29:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA146730 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 21:29:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA29174 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 21:29:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707280229.VAA29174@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Jul 1997 21:29:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 10w (rosie) Warning Nr 038 [280300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 358 WTPN31 PGTW 280300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (ROSIE) WARNING NR 038 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 10W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 36.6N5 134.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 36.6N5 134.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 37.0N0 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 37.4N4 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 36.7N6 134.2E0 TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) IS DRIFTING SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 272330Z7 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS TREND IN MOTION IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST AS THIS SYSTEM DISSIPATES DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z0 IS 06 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 28 12:02:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103186-6064>; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 12:02:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA02642; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 22:40:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6011120 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 22:38:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA145098 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 22:38:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id WAA29599 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 22:38:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707280338.WAA29599@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Jul 1997 22:38:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Scott (11w) Warning Nr 008 Relocated [280300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 391 WTPN32 PGTW 280300 1. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNING NR 008 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 24.1N7 155.5E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT PAGE 03 RUHGSGG0239 UNCLAS REPEAT POSIT: 24.1N7 155.5E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 25.2N9 155.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 26.4N2 154.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 27.5N4 154.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG0239 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 28.7N7 153.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 31.0N4 152.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 24.4N0 155.4E5 PAGE 05 RUHGSGG0239 UNCLAS THIS WARNING IS RELOCATED DUE TO PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IDENTIFIED ON 27330Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 07 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON THIS TRACK THROUGH 72 HOURS. POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A SMALLER THAN AVERAGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z0 IS 06 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z9 (DTG 280753Z5), 281500Z6 (DTG 281353Z2), 282100Z3 (DTG 281953Z8) AND 290300Z4 (DTG 290153Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// BT #0239 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 28 11:51:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103119-6064>; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 11:51:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA145074; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 22:43:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6011128 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 22:41:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA57716 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 22:41:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id WAA29630 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 22:41:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707280341.WAA29630@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Jul 1997 22:41:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 10w (rosie) Warning Nr 038 [280300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 420 WTPN31 PGTW 280300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (ROSIE) WARNING NR 038 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 10W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 36.6N5 134.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER PAGE 03 RUHGSGG0253 UNCLAS WATER REPEAT POSIT: 36.6N5 134.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 37.0N0 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 37.4N4 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 36.7N6 134.2E0 TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) IS DRIFTING SLOWLY PAGE 04 RUHGSGG0253 UNCLAS NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 272330Z7 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS TREND IN MOTION IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST AS THIS SYSTEM DISSIPATES DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z0 IS 06 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0253 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 28 22:03:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103238-6064>; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 13:52:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA199364; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 00:38:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6011581 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 00:37:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA60330 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 00:37:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id AAA00247 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 00:37:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707280537.AAA00247@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Jul 1997 00:37:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The [280600] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 486b107b881cfded7c4485072b6bd868 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3969 Status: O 778 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z JUL 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 280151ZJUL97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 280153ZJUL97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 280000Z0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (ROSIE) WAS LOCATED AT 36.6N5 134.0E8, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (ROSIE) WARNING NR 38 (WTPN31 PGTW 280300)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 280000Z0 TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WAS LOCATED AT 24.1N7 155.5E6 MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNING NR 8 (WTPN32 PGTW 280300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 25N7 166E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 27N9 174E2. A 271124Z7 SCATTEROMETER PASS SUGGESTS A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PRESENT IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT A TUTT CELL TO THE WEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS ENHANCING UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 139E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16N7 136E0. A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EXISTS IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION AS SHOWN BY SHIP SYNOPTIC REPORTS AND SATELLITE-DERIVED CLOUD WIND DRIFT DATA. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS STRONG WESTERLY WINDS TO THE SOUTH OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THESE WINDS ARE ACTING TO AID THIS SYSTEM=S DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEVELOPMENT IS BEING INHIBITED BY STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE EAST-NORTHEAST. UPPER-AIR SOUNDINGS FROM YAP (WMO 91413) AND KOROR (WMO 91408) SHOW A TREND TOWARDS WEAKENING SHEAR DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 18N9 115E7 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. (4) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR AT LEAST 12 HOURS AND IS LOCATED NEAR 9N9 161E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS SYNOPTIC DATA FROM POHNPEI (WMO 91348) INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER LIES BENEATH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW FROM THE DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS BEGINNING TO ROTATE ANTICYCLONICALLY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/FINTA/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 28 22:03:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103671-6064>; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 13:50:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA58238; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 00:41:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6011590 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 00:41:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA226924 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 00:41:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id AAA00263 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 00:41:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707280541.AAA00263@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Jul 1997 00:41:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Scott (11w) Warning Nr 008 Relocated [280300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1a38e60e4221b6791d5982081dd3c93c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3071 Status: O 834 WTPN32 PGTW 280300 1. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNING NR 008 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 24.1N7 155.5E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT PAGE 03 RUHPSGG2878 UNCLAS REPEAT POSIT: 24.1N7 155.5E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 25.2N9 155.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 26.4N2 154.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 27.5N4 154.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT PAGE 04 RUHPSGG2878 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 28.7N7 153.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 31.0N4 152.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 24.4N0 155.4E5 PAGE 05 RUHPSGG2878 UNCLAS THIS WARNING IS RELOCATED DUE TO PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IDENTIFIED ON 27330Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 07 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON THIS TRACK THROUGH 72 HOURS. POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A SMALLER THAN AVERAGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z0 IS 06 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z9 (DTG 280753Z5), 281500Z6 (DTG 281353Z2), 282100Z3 (DTG 281953Z8) AND 290300Z4 (DTG 290153Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// BT #2878 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 28 22:03:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102521-6064>; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 14:44:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA145102; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 01:19:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6011658 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 01:19:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA148924 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 01:19:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id BAA00455 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 01:19:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707280619.BAA00455@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Jul 1997 01:19:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The [280600] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f71779135c875a6920ab433e5a8e5991 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 580 Status: O 464 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/2 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 28 22:03:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103121-6064>; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 15:59:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA57848; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 02:22:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6011775 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 02:21:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA232660 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 02:21:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA00933 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 02:21:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707280721.CAA00933@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Jul 1997 02:21:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The [280700] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 888a29cdafb46e0d165a2a6d2d41766d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 4136 Status: OR 635 ABPW10 PGTW 280700 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280700Z/290600Z JUL 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 280151ZJUL97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 280153ZJUL97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 280000Z0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (ROSIE) WAS LOCATED AT 36.6N5 134.0E8, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (ROSIE) WARNING NR 38 (WTPN31 PGTW 280300)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 280000Z0 TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WAS LOCATED AT 24.1N7 155.5E6 MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNING NR 8 (WTPN32 PGTW 280300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE ABPW IS REISSUED FOR THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 25N7 166E3 WHICH IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 27N9 174E2. RECENT ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER 52 NM FROM AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION TO ITS NORTH. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT A TUTT CELL TO THE WEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS ENHANCED UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. THE CLOUD SIGNITURE HAS IMPROVED SIGNIFICANTLY AND THE OUTFLOW HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED AND ANTICYCLONIC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 139E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16N7 136E0. A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EXISTS IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION AS SHOWN BY SHIP SYNOPTIC REPORTS AND SATELLITE-DERIVED CLOUD WIND DRIFT DATA. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS STRONG WESTERLY WINDS TO THE SOUTH OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THESE WINDS ARE ACTING TO AID THIS SYSTEM=S DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEVELOPMENT IS BEING INHIBITED BY STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE EAST-NORTHEAST. UPPER-AIR SOUNDINGS FROM YAP (WMO 91413) AND KOROR (WMO 91408) SHOW A TREND TOWARDS WEAKENING SHEAR DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 18N9 115E7 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. (4) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR AT LEAST 12 HOURS AND IS LOCATED NEAR 9N9 161E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS SYNOPTIC DATA FROM POHNPEI (WMO 91348) INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER LIES BENEATH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW FROM THE DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS BEGINNING TO ROTATE ANTICYCLONICALLY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/FINTA/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 28 22:03:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103196-6064>; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 16:18:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA145056; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 03:09:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6011930 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 03:09:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA233612 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 03:09:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA01154 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 03:09:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707280809.DAA01154@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Jul 1997 03:09:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Scott (11w) Warning Nr 009 [280900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b41bf0767948cfc56bf93a972bdd3357 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2911 Status: OR 184 WTPN32 PGTW 280900 1. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- 24.0N6 154.5E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.0N6 154.5E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 24.7N3 152.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 25.4N1 150.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 26.0N8 149.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 26.8N6 147.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 28.4N4 143.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 280900Z9 POSITION 24.2N8 154.0E0 TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) IS MOVING WEST AT 08 KNOTS. POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 280530Z8 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A SMALLER THAN AVERAGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 72 HOURS. THIS REPRESENTS A CHANGE FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING DUE TO THE LOWERING IN STEERING LEVEL OF THIS SYSTEM BECAUSE IT HAS WEAKENED DUE TO MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z6 IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6 (DTG 281353Z2), 282100Z3 (DTG 281953Z8), 290300Z4 (DTG 290153Z0) AND 290900Z0 (DTG 290753Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 28 22:03:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103214-6064>; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 16:50:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA226996; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 03:38:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6011953 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 03:38:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA87970 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 03:38:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA01330 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 03:38:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707280838.DAA01330@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Jul 1997 03:38:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 280851z Jul 97// [280900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b2dfc6a0699e61bd5b1d911aeb570d59 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1276 Status: OR 573 WTPN21 PGTW 280900 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 280851Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 27.2N1 169.6E2 TO 30.1N4 179.5E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 280530Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 27.5N4 174.1E3. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: SUBJECT DISTURBANCE HAS MAINTAINED AND IMPROVED ORGANIZED CONVECTION ON ITS NORTH SIDE DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD AND SHOWING ANTICYCLONIC ROTATION. THIS IS PROMOTING SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 290900Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 28 22:03:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103187-6064>; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 18:22:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA98242; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 04:50:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6012200 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 04:50:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA57774 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 04:50:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id EAA01700 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 04:50:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707280950.EAA01700@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Jul 1997 04:50:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 280851z Jul 97// [280900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4706cc4712fda3b44f50755fffad4837 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1315 Status: OR 511 WTPN21 PGTW 280900 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 280851Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 27.2N1 169.6E2 TO 30.1N4 179.5E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 280530Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 27.5N4 174.1E3. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: SUBJECT DISTURBANCE HAS MAINTAINED AND IMPROVED ORGANIZED CONVECTION ON ITS NORTH SIDE DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. PAGE 03 RUHGSGG0608 UNCLAS UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD AND SHOWING ANTICYCLONIC ROTATION. THIS IS PROMOTING SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 290900Z0.// BT #0608 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 28 22:03:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103215-6064>; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 18:21:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA217238; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 04:56:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6012207 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 04:56:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA98180 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 04:56:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id EAA01712 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 04:56:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707280956.EAA01712@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Jul 1997 04:56:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Scott (11w) Warning Nr 009 [280900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0f1b3eb70af7dd0bd2ee2f90a50be3fe X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3010 Status: OR 548 WTPN32 PGTW 280900 1. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- 24.0N6 154.5E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT PAGE 03 RUHGSGG0610 UNCLAS REPEAT POSIT: 24.0N6 154.5E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 24.7N3 152.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 25.4N1 150.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 26.0N8 149.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG0610 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 26.8N6 147.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 28.4N4 143.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 280900Z9 POSITION 24.2N8 154.0E0 PAGE 05 RUHGSGG0610 UNCLAS TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) IS MOVING WEST AT 08 KNOTS. POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 280530Z8 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A SMALLER THAN AVERAGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 72 HOURS. THIS REPRESENTS A CHANGE FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING DUE TO THE LOWERING IN STEERING LEVEL OF THIS SYSTEM BECAUSE IT HAS WEAKENED DUE TO MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z6 IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6 (DTG 281353Z2), 282100Z3 (DTG 281953Z8), 290300Z4 (DTG 290153Z0) AND 290900Z0 (DTG 290753Z6).// BT #0610 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jul 28 22:03:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103203-6064>; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 21:56:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA43578; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 08:42:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6013267 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 08:41:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA124376 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 08:41:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA02974 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 08:41:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707281341.IAA02974@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Jul 1997 08:41:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Scott (11w) Warning Nr 010 [281500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6d6f9addf79e524eac84e017f95bd422 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2793 Status: OR 779 WTPN32 PGTW 281500 1. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- 24.0N6 154.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.0N6 154.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 24.9N5 153.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 25.8N5 152.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 26.0N8 151.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 26.6N4 150.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 28.8N8 147.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 281500Z6 POSITION 24.2N8 154.1E1 TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) IS QUASISTATIONARY. POSITION IS BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INITIALLY MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD, TURN WESTWARD FOR A SHORT TIME AND THEN RESUME A NORTHWESTWARD COURSE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A SMALLER THAN AVERAGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z3 (DTG 281953Z8), 290300Z4 (DTG 290153Z0), 290900Z0 (DTG 290753Z6) AND 291500Z7 (DTG 291353Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 29 10:04:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103209-6064>; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 23:38:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA199170; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 10:21:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6014346 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 10:20:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA199376 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 10:20:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id KAA03806 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 10:20:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707281520.KAA03806@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Jul 1997 10:20:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Scott (11w) Warning Nr 010 [281500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 76a9904bbe506679c22f5d6bca951d0b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1770 Status: OR 300 WTPN32 PGTW 281500 1. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- 24.0N6 154.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT PAGE 03 RUHGSGG0883 UNCLAS REPEAT POSIT: 24.0N6 154.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 24.9N5 153.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 25.8N5 152.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 26.0N8 151.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG0883 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 29 10:04:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103209-6064>; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 23:31:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA220716; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 10:23:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6014372 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 10:23:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA220918 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 10:23:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id KAA03840 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 10:23:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707281523.KAA03840@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Jul 1997 10:23:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Scott (11w) Warning Nr 010 [281500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bc3331dd126334aa4504cdbd5d223a5c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2892 Status: OR 331 WTPN32 PGTW 281500 1. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- 24.0N6 154.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT PAGE 03 RUHGSGG0883 UNCLAS REPEAT POSIT: 24.0N6 154.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 24.9N5 153.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 25.8N5 152.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 26.0N8 151.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG0883 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 26.6N4 150.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 28.8N8 147.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 281500Z6 POSITION 24.2N8 154.1E1 PAGE 05 RUHGSGG0883 UNCLAS TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) IS QUASISTATIONARY. POSITION IS BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INITIALLY MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD, TURN WESTWARD FOR A SHORT TIME AND THEN RESUME A NORTHWESTWARD COURSE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A SMALLER THAN AVERAGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z3 (DTG 281953Z8), 290300Z4 (DTG 290153Z0), 290900Z0 (DTG 290753Z6) AND 291500Z7 (DTG 291353Z3).// BT #0883 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 29 10:04:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103347-6064>; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 04:28:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA55182; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 15:22:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6017250 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 15:22:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA229210 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 15:22:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA06676 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 15:22:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707282022.PAA06676@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Jul 1997 15:22:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Scott (11w) Warning Nr 011 [282100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 797e5c3b8d692753be0f9f7b3ac9ce36 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2648 Status: OR 801 WTPN32 PGTW 282100 1. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281800Z9 --- 24.0N6 154.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 00 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.0N6 154.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 24.8N4 153.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 25.7N4 152.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 26.0N8 151.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 26.7N5 150.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 27.7N6 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 282100Z3 POSITION 24.2N8 154.1E1 TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) REMAINS QUASISTATIONARY. POSITION IS BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD FOR 48 HOURS AND THEN ASSUME A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DIRECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z4 (DTG 290153Z0), 290900Z0 (DTG 290753Z6), 291500Z7 (DTG 291353Z3) AND 292100Z4 (DTG 291953Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 29 10:04:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102201-27074>; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 07:25:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA88034; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 18:19:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6019311 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 18:19:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id SAA236224 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 18:19:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id SAA08083 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 18:19:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707282319.SAA08083@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Jul 1997 18:19:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert Cancellation [282300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 313d0c22310568c4e90ea8bcc51f9615 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1276 Status: OR 025 WTPN21 PGTW 282300 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 282251Z JUL 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/280851Z JUL 97// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 280900)// RMKS/ 1. REMARKS: THIS CANCELS REF A. A 281052Z ERS-2 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) TO BE AT 28N 173E. THE SYSTEM CURRENTLY DISPLAYS SUB-TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS WITH LITTLE CONVECTION AROUND THE LLCC. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. SATELLITE MICROWAVE IMAGERY, SCATTEROMETER DATA, AND SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS INDICATE 35 TO 40 KNOT WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. SEE NPMOC PEARL HARBOR (WWPN31 PHNC) FOR FUTURE BULLETINS ON THIS SYSTEM.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 29 10:04:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102307-27074>; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 09:00:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA55100; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 19:54:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6020110 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 19:54:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA225076 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 19:53:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id TAA08575 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 19:53:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707290053.TAA08575@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Jul 1997 19:54:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert Cancellation [282300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ecd8f64b0acac6371869bf4d10999af8 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1315 Status: OR 905 WTPN21 PGTW 282300 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION PAGE 02 RUHGSGG1364 UNCLAS 282251Z JUL 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/280851Z JUL 97// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 280900)// RMKS/ 1. REMARKS: THIS CANCELS REF A. A 281052Z ERS-2 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) TO BE AT 28N 173E. THE SYSTEM CURRENTLY DISPLAYS SUB-TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS WITH LITTLE CONVECTION AROUND THE LLCC. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. SATELLITE MICROWAVE IMAGERY, SCATTEROMETER DATA, AND SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS INDICATE 35 TO 40 KNOT WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. SEE NPMOC PEARL HARBOR (WWPN31 PHNC) FOR FUTURE BULLETINS ON THIS SYSTEM.// BT #1364 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 29 10:04:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102238-27074>; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 09:05:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAB154392; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 19:56:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6020147 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 19:56:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA05636 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 19:56:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id TAA08592 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 19:56:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707290056.TAA08592@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Jul 1997 19:56:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert Cancellation [282300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c72003bc24647bee686f9cb6ad126719 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1315 Status: OR 016 WTPN21 PGTW 282300 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION PAGE 02 RUHGSGG1364 UNCLAS 282251Z JUL 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/280851Z JUL 97// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 280900)// RMKS/ 1. REMARKS: THIS CANCELS REF A. A 281052Z ERS-2 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) TO BE AT 28N 173E. THE SYSTEM CURRENTLY DISPLAYS SUB-TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS WITH LITTLE CONVECTION AROUND THE LLCC. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. SATELLITE MICROWAVE IMAGERY, SCATTEROMETER DATA, AND SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS INDICATE 35 TO 40 KNOT WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. SEE NPMOC PEARL HARBOR (WWPN31 PHNC) FOR FUTURE BULLETINS ON THIS SYSTEM.// BT #1364 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 29 22:41:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102377-27074>; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 10:29:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA02566; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 21:22:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6020676 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 21:22:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA189840 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 21:20:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA09169 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 21:20:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707290220.VAA09169@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Jul 1997 21:22:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Scott (11w) Warning Nr 012 Relocated [290300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e8b7c19079b309ea1a85afba6dbb8c16 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2960 Status: OR 793 WTPN32 PGTW 290300 1. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNING NR 012 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- 24.8N4 155.4E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.8N4 155.4E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 26.0N8 154.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 26.6N4 152.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 27.0N9 151.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 27.3N2 149.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 28.0N0 146.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION 25.1N8 155.1E2 TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THIS WARNING IS RELOCATED BASED ON 282330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST- NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND TO INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290900Z0 (DTG 290753Z6), 291500Z7 (DTG 291353Z3), 292100Z4 (DTG 291953Z9) AND 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 29 22:41:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103371-27074>; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 13:51:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA200754; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 00:42:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6021951 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 00:42:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA225050 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 00:42:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id AAA10206 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 00:42:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707290542.AAA10206@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Jul 1997 00:42:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Rmks/1. This Warning Will Supersede And Cancel Ref A At 291200z [282100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1f639dc25fcca34bdd34f9aab60238ec X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2345 Status: OR 487 WTPN32 PGTW 282100 .// RMKS/1. THIS WARNING WILL SUPERSEDE AND CANCEL REF A AT 291200Z JUL 97. 2. WARNINGS ARE FOR OVER WATER AREAS ONLY BUT MAY OVERLAP SOME LAND OR SHELTERED AREAS AND HAVE BEEN SMOOTHED TO EASE PLOTTING. 3. WIND WARNINGS EFFECTIVE FOR 12 HRS COMMENCING 291200Z JUL 97. A. NO WINDS 35 KTS OR GREATER FORECAST. 4. HIGH SEAS WARNING EFFECTIVE FOR 12 HRS COMMENCING 291200Z JUL 97. A. HIGH SEAS WARNING FOR THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC. SEAS 12 FT AND GREATER BOUNDED BY: 28.0N0 153.0E9, 28.0N0 149.0E4, 27.0N9 148.0E3, 24.0N6 148.0E3, 23.0N5 149.0E4, 23.0N5 152.0E8, 24.0N6 154.0E0, 27.0N9 154.0E0, 28.0N0 153.0E9. MAX SEAS 17 FT NEAR 26.0N8 152.0E8. 5. KUROSHIO NORTH WALL ADVISORY: NONE IN EFFECT. 6. SEE REF B FOR CURRENT WARNINGS EAST OF 160E7. 7. SEE REF C FOR WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH TS SCOTT (11W). 8. NEXT SCHEDULED WARNING DTG WILL BE 290914Z. (WWPW30 PGFW 300000).// 1 055.0E0. D. HIGH SEAS WARNING FOR THE BAY OF BENGAL. SEAS 12 FT AND GREATER BOUNDED BY: 13.0N4 090.0E9, 11.0N2 092.0E1, 10.0N1 091.0E0, 08.0N8 088.0E6, 08.0N8 085.0E3, 10.0N1 085.0E3, 12.0N3 087.0E5, 13.0N4 090.0E9, 13.0N4 090.0E9. E. HIGH SEAS WARNING FOR THE BAY OF BENGAL. MAX SEAS 13 FT NEAR 11.0N2 090.0E9. 5. NEXT SCHEDULED WARNING DTG WILL BE 2909112Z (WWIO30 PGFW 300000).// ED THUNDERSHOWERS. WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT IN SHOWERS. OFFSHORE SEAS SLIGHT TO MODERATE 3 TO 6 FT. KOSRAE: MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSHOWERS. WINDS SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 KT. OFFSHORE SEAS SLIGHT TO MODERATE 3 TO 5 FT. C. REPUBLIC OF THE MARSHALL ISLANDS: MAJURO: PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS. WINDS EAST TO NORTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 KT. OFFSHORE SEAS SLIGHT TO MODERATE 2 TO 4 FT. 3. OUTLOOK TO 48 HOURS: DECREASING CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS FOR POHNPEI AS THE LOW AND ASSOCIATED TROUGH DRIFT FURTHER WESTWARD. OTHERWISE LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED. WARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 29 22:41:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103394-27074>; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 14:22:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA32840; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 01:15:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6022018 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 01:14:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA235522 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 01:14:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id BAA10390 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 01:14:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707290614.BAA10390@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Jul 1997 01:14:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The [290600] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6a4643f83f11393976a7b043a6435dff X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2600 Status: OR 922 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z JUL 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 290153Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 290000Z1 TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WAS LOCATED AT 24.8N4 155.4E5 MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNING NR 12 RELOCATED (WTPN32 PGTW 290300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 27N9 174E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 28N0 173E1. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, SATELLITE MICROWAVE IMAGERY, AND SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH NO CENTRAL DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 TO 35 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. REFER TO NPMOC PEARL (WWPN31 PHNC) FOR FUTURE BULLETINS ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 139E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15N6 135E9. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SATELLITE MICROWAVE IMAGERY SUPPORTS THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE DIVERGENT OUTFLOW ALOFT WITH MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL EASTERLY WIND SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 161E8 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 29 22:41:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103369-27074>; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 16:03:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA166920; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 02:56:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6022543 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 02:56:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA02782 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 02:55:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA10900 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 02:55:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707290755.CAA10900@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Jul 1997 02:56:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Scott (11w) Warning Nr 013 [290900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6fad7b43eacf8dceefadbbbd173adaa8 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2958 Status: OR 623 WTPN32 PGTW 290900 1. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290600Z7 --- 25.6N3 155.4E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.6N3 155.4E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 26.4N2 155.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 26.9N7 153.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 27.3N2 152.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 27.6N5 151.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 28.0N0 149.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 290900Z0 POSITION 25.8N5 155.3E4 TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND TO REACH PEAK INTENSITY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z7 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7 (DTG 291353Z3), 292100Z4 (DTG 291953Z9), 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2) AND 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 29 22:41:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103372-27074>; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 16:55:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA02592; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 03:46:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6022626 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 03:44:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA68294 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 03:44:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA11204 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 03:44:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707290844.DAA11204@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Jul 1997 03:44:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Scott (11w) Warning Nr 013 [290900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 24e114f3b64fae0305efa32a79a856f0 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3057 Status: OR 223 WTPN32 PGTW 290900 1. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290600Z7 --- 25.6N3 155.4E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG1699 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.6N3 155.4E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 26.4N2 155.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 26.9N7 153.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG1699 UNCLAS 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 27.3N2 152.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 27.6N5 151.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS --- PAGE 05 RUHGSGG1699 UNCLAS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 28.0N0 149.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 290900Z0 POSITION 25.8N5 155.3E4 TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND TO REACH PEAK INTENSITY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z7 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7 (DTG 291353Z3), 292100Z4 (DTG 291953Z9), 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2) AND 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8).// BT #1699 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 29 22:41:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103405-27074>; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 17:08:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA233700; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 03:58:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6022641 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 03:57:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA225200 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 03:57:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA11253 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 03:57:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707290857.DAA11253@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Jul 1997 03:57:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 290821z Jul 97// [290830] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f75c2204396e71cd1d98451bd3bf7682 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1570 Status: OR 296 WTPN21 PGTW 290830 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 290821Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 130 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.9N4 137.3E4 TO 17.8N6 131.4E9 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 290730Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N7 135.0E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION OF THIS SYSTEM HAS IMPROVED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SATELLITE MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED SATELLITE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE UPPER-LEVEL EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS ALLOWING THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 300830Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jul 29 22:41:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103428-27074>; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 22:30:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA97858; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 09:22:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6024670 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 09:22:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA81186 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 09:22:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA13270 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 09:22:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707291422.JAA13270@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Jul 1997 09:22:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Scott (11w) Warning Nr 014 [291500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 474623ff4a524ae1522bb0d5bfe5a2b4 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3018 Status: OR 860 WTPN32 PGTW 291500 1. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- 25.8N5 155.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.8N5 155.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 26.4N2 155.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 27.0N9 154.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 27.4N3 153.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 27.8N7 152.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 28.4N4 150.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 291500Z7 POSITION 26.0N8 155.8E9 TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT THREE KNOTS. SYSTEM MOTION HAS BEEN SLOW AND ERRATIC OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT IS FORECAST TO BEGIN MOVING TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND TO PEAK WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z4 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z4 (DTG 291953Z9), 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2), 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8) AND 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jul 30 00:36:08 1997 X-UIDL: 2666665be7849595f08cb0c47199af37 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103587-27074>; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 00:36:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA08766; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 11:28:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6025807 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 11:28:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA46062 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 11:28:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id LAA14844 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 11:28:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707291628.LAA14844@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Jul 1997 11:28:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Rmks/1. This Warning Will Supersede And Cancel Ref A At 300000z [290900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 603 WTPN32 PGTW 290900 .// RMKS/1. THIS WARNING WILL SUPERSEDE AND CANCEL REF A AT 300000Z JUL 97. 2. WARNINGS ARE FOR OVER WATER AREAS ONLY BUT MAY OVERLAP SOME LAND OR SHELTERED AREAS AND HAVE BEEN SMOOTHED TO EASE PLOTTING. 3. WIND WARNINGS EFFECTIVE FOR 12 HRS COMMENCING 300000Z JUL 97. A. NO WINDS 35 KNOTS OR GREATER FORECAST. 4. HIGH SEAS WARNING EFFECTIVE FOR 12 HRS COMMENCING 300000Z JUL 97. A. HIGH SEAS WARNING FOR THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC. SEAS 12 FT AND GREATER BOUNDED BY: 29.0N1 150.0E6, 24.0N6 150.0E6, 23.0N5 153.0E9, 23.0N5 156.0E2, 25.0N7 156.0E2, 29.0N1 154.0E0, 29.0N1 150.0E6. MAX SEAS 14 FT NEAR 26.0N8 153.0E9. B. HIGH SEAS WARNING FOR THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC. SEAS 12 FT AND GREATER BOUNDED BY: 13.0N4 152.0E8, 13.0N4 157.0E3, 15.0N6 158.0E4, 17.0N8 158.0E4, 17.0N8 154.0E0, 16.0N7 152.0E8, 13.0N4 152.0E8. MAX SEAS 13 FT NEAR 15.0N6 155.0E1. 5. KUROSHIO NORTH WALL ADVISORY: NONE IN EFFECT. 6. SEE REF B FOR CURRENT WARNINGS EAST OF 160E7. 7. SEE REF C FOR WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH TC 11W. 8. NEXT SCHEDULED WARNING DTG WILL BE 292114Z. (WWPW31 PGFW 301200).// .0E2. MAX SEAS 16 FT NEAR 12.0N3 089.0E7. 5. NEXT SCHEDULED WARNING DTG WILL BE 260912Z (WWIO30 PGFW 270000).// TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT TTT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jul 30 04:16:42 1997 X-UIDL: 484700569d9b42e82bbb667ac28c16be Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103603-27074>; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 04:16:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA146812; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 15:06:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6027500 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 15:06:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA235606 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 15:06:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA17144 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 15:06:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707292006.PAA17144@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Jul 1997 15:06:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Scott (11w) Warning Nr 015 [292100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 807 WTPN32 PGTW 292100 1. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291800Z0 --- 26.4N2 156.2E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.4N2 156.2E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 26.9N7 156.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 27.4N3 156.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 27.7N6 155.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 27.9N8 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 28.2N2 153.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 292100Z4 POSITION 26.5N3 156.2E4 TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND PEAK WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z0 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2), 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8), 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5) AND 302100Z6 (DTG 301953Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jul 30 04:52:31 1997 X-UIDL: b30657e05a58ebfae28c11fe9cb9d50c Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103605-27074>; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 04:52:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA38722; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 15:45:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6027789 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 15:45:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA210730 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 15:45:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA17622 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 15:45:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707292045.PAA17622@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Jul 1997 15:45:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: This Warning Supersedes And Cancels Navpacmetoccen West [292100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 294 WTPN31 PGTW 292100 THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 290821Z JUL 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 290830 ) 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291800Z0 --- 15.3N9 134.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.3N9 134.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 15.7N3 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 16.2N9 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 16.7N4 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 17.2N0 130.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 18.2N1 128.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 292100Z4 POSITION 15.4N0 133.8E5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W HAS FORMED IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA AND IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWEST TO NORTHWEST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AND INTENSIFY AT A LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE DUE TO THE EFFECTS OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z0 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0), 300900Z2 (DTG 300751Z6), 301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3) AND 302100Z6 (DTG 301951Z9).THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 290821Z JUL 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 290830 ) REFER TO TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jul 30 09:52:44 1997 X-UIDL: 9a50f1c715cbad0f423ea130be3980bf Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102463-18385>; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 09:52:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA122276; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 20:44:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6030741 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 20:44:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA180626 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 20:44:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA20360 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 20:44:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707300144.UAA20360@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Jul 1997 20:44:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Scott (11w) Warning Nr 016 [300300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 321 WTPN32 PGTW 300300 1. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- 26.7N5 156.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.7N5 156.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 27.8N7 156.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 28.9N9 157.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 30.3N6 158.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 31.2N6 160.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 32.4N9 163.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION 27.0N9 156.5E7 TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. CURRENT WIND RADII AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 291202Z SCATTEROMETER DATA. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8), 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5), 302100Z6 (DTG 301953Z1) AND 310300Z7 (DTG 310153Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jul 30 10:40:07 1997 X-UIDL: 22f1e5b546ff2f51e82547e3ebc17b37 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102463-18385>; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 10:39:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA87812; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 21:34:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6031284 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 21:34:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA232548 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 21:33:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA20700 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 21:33:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707300233.VAA20700@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Jul 1997 21:34:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 12w Warning Nr 002 [300300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 201 WTPN31 PGTW 300300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- 15.4N0 133.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - QUASI-STATIONARY POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N0 133.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 15.6N2 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 15.9N5 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 16.1N8 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 16.3N0 130.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 16.8N5 129.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION 15.5N1 133.1E8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS QUASI-STATIONARY IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. TD 12W IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z3 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z2 (DTG 300751Z6), 301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3), 302100Z6 (DTG 301951Z9) AND 310300Z7 (DTG 310151Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 31 10:00:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102670-18385>; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 14:36:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA74288; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 01:12:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6033138 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 01:12:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA262942 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 01:12:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id BAA21974 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 01:12:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707300612.BAA21974@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Jul 1997 01:12:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The [300600] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 65206833c6a71db8a58ffe170ead406c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3030 Status: OR 140 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z/310600Z JUL 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 300151Z JUL 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 300153Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 300000Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WAS LOCATED AT 15.4N0 133.2E9 AND WAS QUASI-STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNING NR 02 (WTPN31 PGTW 300300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 300000Z3 TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WAS LOCATED AT 26.7N5 156.4E6 MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNING NR 16 (WTPN32 PGTW 300300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 28N0 173E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 31N4 171E9. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, SATELLITE MICROWAVE IMAGERY, AND SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH MINIMAL CENTRAL DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 TO 35 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. REFER TO NPMOC PEARL (WWPN31 PHNC) FOR FUTURE BULLETINS ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15N6 135E9 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 16N7 116E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW- TO MID- LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH MOST OF THE DEEPEST CONVECTION LOCATED ALONG THE OUTER-PERIPHERY OF THE CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 31 10:00:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103369-18385>; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 16:05:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA146916; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 02:55:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6033508 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 02:55:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA55250 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 02:55:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA22406 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 02:55:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707300755.CAA22406@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Jul 1997 02:55:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Scott (11w) Warning Nr 017 [300900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ec52b4797b246846972990f7a2d55012 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2635 Status: OR 819 WTPN32 PGTW 300900 1. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z9 --- 27.4N3 157.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 27.4N3 157.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 28.9N9 159.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 30.3N6 161.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 31.3N7 163.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 32.3N8 166.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 34.1N8 171.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 300900Z2 POSITION 27.8N7 158.0E4 TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) IS TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD TO EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z9 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5), 302100Z6 (DTG 301953Z1), 310300Z7 (DTG 310153Z3) AND 310900Z3 (DTG 310753Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 31 10:00:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102642-18385>; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 16:38:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA38490; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 03:30:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6033626 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 03:30:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA121928 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 03:30:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA22636 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 03:30:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707300830.DAA22636@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Jul 1997 03:30:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 12w Warning Nr 003 [300900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c2bc173f1c00c4e9c5e94208dea69dac X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2506 Status: OR 192 WTPN31 PGTW 300900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z9 --- 15.2N8 132.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N8 132.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 15.3N9 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 15.5N1 131.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 15.8N4 130.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 16.3N0 130.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 17.9N7 127.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 300900Z2 POSITION 15.2N8 132.6E2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS SLOWLY MOVING WESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. TD 12W IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY TRACK WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z9 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3), 302100Z6 (DTG 301951Z9), 310300Z7 (DTG 310151Z1) AND 310900Z3 (DTG 310751Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 31 10:00:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103376-18385>; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 21:59:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA124310; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 08:53:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6035084 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 08:52:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA106626 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 08:52:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA24204 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 08:52:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707301352.IAA24204@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Jul 1997 08:52:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Scott (11w) Warning Nr 018 [301500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 877947e3d9bf8167a28aec9ef36da0f2 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2584 Status: OR 693 WTPN32 PGTW 301500 1. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNING NR 018 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z6 --- 28.2N2 157.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.2N2 157.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 29.8N9 159.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 31.5N9 162.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 32.7N2 164.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 33.2N8 167.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 34.0N7 172.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 301500Z9 POSITION 28.6N6 158.4E8 TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO THE NORTHEAST AND SLOWLY WEAKEN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z6 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 302100Z6 (DTG 301953Z1), 310300Z7 (DTG 310153Z3), 310900Z3 (DTG 310753Z9) AND 311500Z0 (DTG 311353Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 31 10:00:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102676-18385>; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 22:46:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA74256; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 09:38:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6035317 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 09:38:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA225266 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 09:38:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA24474 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 09:38:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707301438.JAA24474@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Jul 1997 09:38:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 12w Warning Nr 004 Relocated [301500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 72aa8aebf8e73c1d7f4b92b29aca580e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2640 Status: OR 437 WTPN31 PGTW 301500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNING NR 004 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z6 --- 14.2N7 134.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.2N7 134.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 14.2N7 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 14.2N7 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 14.1N6 135.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 14.0N5 136.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 13.8N2 136.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM --- REMARKS: 301500Z9 POSITION 14.2N7 135.0E9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS QUASISTATIONARY IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN RELOCATED TO THE SOUTH BASED ON ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TD 12W HAS BEEN DRIFTING VERY SLOWLY EASTWARD OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE DRIFTING VERY SLOWLY OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT REMAINS IN AN AREA OF WEAK STEERING FLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z6 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 302100Z6 (DTG 301951Z9), 310300Z7 (DTG 310151Z1), 310900Z3 (DTG 310751Z7) AND 311500Z0 (DTG 311351Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 31 10:00:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103633-18385>; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 04:01:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA97882; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 14:45:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6038973 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 14:45:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA74278 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 14:45:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA26572 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 14:45:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707301945.OAA26572@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Jul 1997 14:45:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Scott (11w) Warning Nr 019 [302100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ef7faf5d28edf285d6b3c67da9906574 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2439 Status: OR 918 WTPN32 PGTW 302100 1. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNING NR 019 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301800Z2 --- 28.8N8 158.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.8N8 158.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 30.5N8 160.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 32.0N5 162.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 33.4N0 164.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 34.6N3 167.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 38.2N3 171.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 302100Z6 POSITION 29.2N3 158.6E0 TROPICAL STORM TINA IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO WEAKEN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z2 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310300Z7 (DTG 310153Z3), 310900Z3 (DTG 310753Z9), 311500Z0 (DTG 311353Z6) AND 312100Z7 (DTG 311953Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 12W (TINA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 31 10:00:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103632-18385>; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 04:12:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA58300; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 14:59:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6039056 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 14:59:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA38452 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 14:58:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA26609 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 14:58:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707301958.OAA26609@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Jul 1997 14:59:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Scott (11w) Warning Nr 019 [302100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b3202cc9a0af2a40dd4226a519e1cec1 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2517 Status: OR 998 WTPN32 PGTW 302100 COR 1. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNING NR 019 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301800Z2 --- 28.8N8 158.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.8N8 158.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 30.5N8 160.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 32.0N5 162.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 33.4N0 164.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 34.6N3 167.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 38.2N3 171.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 302100Z6 POSITION 29.2N3 158.6E0 TROPICAL STORM SCOTT IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO WEAKEN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z2 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310300Z7 (DTG 310153Z3), 310900Z3 (DTG 310753Z9), 311500Z0 (DTG 311353Z6) AND 312100Z7 (DTG 311953Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 12W (TINA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: NAME OF TROPICAL STORM IN REMARKS SECTION// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 31 10:00:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103637-18385>; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 04:19:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA180698; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 15:08:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6039111 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 15:08:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA208248 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 15:08:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA26753 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 15:08:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707302008.PAA26753@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Jul 1997 15:08:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Tina (12w) Warning Nr 005 [302100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 937cbd4c375a39cbc4b57a42707a82a7 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2388 Status: OR 077 WTPN31 PGTW 302100 1. TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNING NR 005 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301800Z2 --- 14.2N7 135.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.2N7 135.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 14.3N8 135.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 14.4N9 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 14.5N0 136.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 14.6N1 136.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 14.7N2 137.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM --- REMARKS: 302100Z6 POSITION 14.2N7 135.3E2 TROPICAL STORM TINA IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 3 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE AN EASTWARD DRIFT THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AND TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z2 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310300Z7 (DTG 310151Z1), 310900Z3 (DTG 310751Z7), 311500Z0 (DTG 311351Z4) AND 312100Z7 (DTG 311951Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 31 10:00:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103645-18385>; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 05:01:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA146620; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 15:45:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6039475 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 15:45:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA124314 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 15:45:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA26914 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 15:45:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707302045.PAA26914@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Jul 1997 15:45:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 13w Warning Nr 001 [302100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8ca2071218eb9c02823f6edab8a9b98d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2520 Status: OR 522 WTPN33 PGTW 302100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNING NR 001 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301800Z2 --- 16.1N8 114.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 114.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 16.8N5 114.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 17.7N5 114.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 18.8N7 115.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 20.2N4 115.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 22.9N3 115.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 302100Z6 POSITION 16.3N0 114.6E2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA AND IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TURN NORTH TO NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AND INTENSIFY ONLY SLOWLY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z2 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310300Z7 (DTG 310155Z5), 310900Z3 (DTG 310755Z1), 311500Z0 (DTG 311355Z8) AND 312100Z7 (DTG 311955Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W (TINA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 31 10:00:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103642-18385>; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 05:44:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA38458; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 16:28:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6039896 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 16:28:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA38410 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 16:28:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id QAA27168 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 16:28:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707302128.QAA27168@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Jul 1997 16:28:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Scott (11w) Warning Nr 019a Corrected [302100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0c8196ea1df9a09f1b96f8fe02cfe685 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2572 Status: OR 119 WTPN32 PGTW 302100 COR 1. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNING NR 019A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301800Z2 --- 28.8N8 158.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.8N8 158.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 30.5N8 160.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 32.0N5 162.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 33.4N0 164.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 34.6N3 167.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 38.2N3 171.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 302100Z6 POSITION 29.2N3 158.6E0 TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO WEAKEN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z2 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310300Z7 (DTG 310153Z3), 310900Z3 (DTG 310753Z9), 311500Z0 (DTG 311353Z6) AND 312100Z7 (DTG 311953Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 12W (TINA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: REFERENCE TO TROPICAL STORM TINA INSTEAD OF TROPICAL STORM SCOTT IN REMARKS SECTION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 31 10:05:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102346-9576>; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 10:02:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA41108; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 20:55:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6041561 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 20:55:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA65356 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 20:54:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA28711 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 20:54:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707310154.UAA28711@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Jul 1997 20:55:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Scott (11w) Warning Nr 020 [310300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4f9bc47e271e302554faabc9e65472c6 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2642 Status: OR 705 WTPN32 PGTW 310300 1. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNING NR 020 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z4 --- 30.0N3 159.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.0N3 159.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 31.7N1 161.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 33.7N3 163.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 35.4N2 166.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 37.3N3 168.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 41.9N4 174.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 310300Z7 POSITION 30.4N7 160.2E9 TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 302330Z1 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO WEAKEN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER WATERS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310900Z3 (DTG 310753Z9), 311500Z0 (DTG 311353Z6), 312100Z7 (DTG 311953Z2) AND 010300Z4 (DTG 010153Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 31 11:12:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102434-9576>; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 10:16:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA65318; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 21:06:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6041667 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 21:06:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA106512 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 21:06:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA28871 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 21:06:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707310206.VAA28871@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Jul 1997 21:06:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Tina (12w) Warning Nr 006 [310300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7af948d006de669c49837995159fb5b4 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2760 Status: OR 887 WTPN31 PGTW 310300 1. TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNING NR 006 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z4 --- 13.7N1 134.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.7N1 134.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 13.5N9 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 13.5N9 135.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 13.7N1 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 14.0N5 136.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 15.1N7 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 310300Z7 POSITION 13.7N1 135.0E9 TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) IS MOVING SOUTH AT 02 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 302330Z1 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH 36 HOURS THEN MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z4 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310900Z3 (DTG 310751Z7), 311500Z0 (DTG 311351Z4), 312100Z7 (DTG 311951Z0) AND 010300Z4 (DTG 010151Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 31 11:12:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102626-9576>; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 10:39:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA05408; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 21:30:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6041806 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 21:30:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA234506 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 21:30:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA28959 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 21:30:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707310230.VAA28959@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Jul 1997 21:30:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 13w Warning Nr 002 [310300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1e3d59c376c7bfcc0827b5aa6de5296c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3103 Status: OR 269 WTPN33 PGTW 310300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNING NR 002 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z4 --- 16.5N2 114.5E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N2 114.5E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 17.1N9 113.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 17.9N7 113.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 18.7N6 113.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 19.6N6 113.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 21.6N9 113.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 310300Z7 POSITION 16.7N4 114.3E9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 302330Z1 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY TURN NORTHWARD DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THEN CONTINUE MOVING NORTH. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A LARGER THAN AVERAGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310900Z3 (DTG 310755Z1), 311500Z0 (DTG 311355Z8), 312100Z7 (DTG 311955Z4) AND 010300Z4 (DTG 010155Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 31 11:37:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102654-9576>; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 11:36:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA121956; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 21:55:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6041912 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 21:55:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA121928 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 21:55:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA29071 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 21:55:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707310255.VAA29071@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Jul 1997 21:55:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Scott (11w) Warning Nr 020a Corrected [310300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e9014428e2d1ed369fc8a5aec79e8c1c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2727 Status: OR 543 WTPN32 PGTW 310300 COR 1. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNING NR 020A CORRECTED 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z4 --- 30.0N3 159.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.0N3 159.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 31.7N1 161.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 33.7N3 163.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 35.4N2 166.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 37.3N3 168.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 41.9N4 174.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 310300Z7 POSITION 30.4N7 160.2E9 TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 302330Z1 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO WEAKEN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER WATERS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310900Z3 (DTG 310753Z9), 311500Z0 (DTG 311353Z6), 312100Z7 (DTG 311953Z2) AND 010300Z4 (DTG 010153Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION: REMOVES IMPROPER REFERENCE TO EXTRATROPICAL STATUS AT WARNING POSITION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 31 14:31:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102625-9576>; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 14:01:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA98222; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 00:21:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6043060 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 00:21:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA122264 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 00:20:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id AAA00112 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 00:20:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707310520.AAA00112@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 31 Jul 1997 00:21:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The [310600] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f43f5808f504d561add0f80f31ee82c8 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3103 Status: OR 520 ABPW10 PGTW 310600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/310600Z JUL 97/010600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 310151Z JUL 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 310153Z JUL 97// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 310155Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 310000Z4 TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WAS LOCATED AT 13.7N1 134.9E7 AND WAS MOVING SOUTH AT 02 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNING NR 06 (WTPN31 PGTW 310300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 310000Z4 TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WAS LOCATED AT 30.0N3 159.7E2 MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNING NR 20 (WTPN32 PGTW 310300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 310000Z4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WAS LOCATED AT 16.5N2 114.5E1 MOVING NORTHWEST AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNING NR 02 (WTPN33 PGTW 310300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR AT LEAST 12 HOURS AND IS LOCATED AT 13N4 148E3. 310000Z4 SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS SYSTEM HAS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ABOVE IT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 31N4 171E9 HAS WEAKENED. IT CURRENTLY DISPLAYS AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IN THE LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING OVER COOLER WATERS. ACCORDINGLY, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 116E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.5N2 114.5E1 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF C (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNING NR 02 (WTPN33 PGTW 310300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/FINTA/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 31 16:28:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102403-9576>; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 16:15:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA121942; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 03:08:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6043886 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 03:08:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA235586 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 03:08:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA01039 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 03:08:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707310808.DAA01039@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 31 Jul 1997 03:08:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Tina (12w) Warning Nr 007 [310900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 71b76fef68e76531a9cb5f31c1c67cf3 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2830 Status: OR 008 WTPN31 PGTW 310900 1. TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNING NR 007 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310600Z0 --- 13.4N8 135.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.4N8 135.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 13.5N9 136.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 13.8N2 136.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 14.2N7 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 14.8N3 136.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 16.0N7 135.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 310900Z3 POSITION 13.4N8 135.6E5 TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 310530Z2 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH 24 HOURS THEN MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310600Z0 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 311500Z0 (DTG 311351Z4), 312100Z7 (DTG 311951Z0), 010300Z4 (DTG 010151Z8) AND 010900Z0 (DTG 010751Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 31 16:28:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102712-9576>; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 16:19:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA32830; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 03:12:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6043902 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 03:12:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA264490 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 03:12:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA01059 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 03:12:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707310812.DAA01059@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 31 Jul 1997 03:12:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Scott (11w) Warning Nr 021a Corrected [310900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fd56435484c6d8c6523c4d37f9269945 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2622 Status: OR 038 WTPN32 PGTW 310900 COR 1. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNING NR 021A CORRECTED 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310600Z0 --- 30.5N8 161.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 30.5N8 161.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 32.4N9 163.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 34.4N1 166.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 36.4N3 169.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 38.7N8 172.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 66 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 66 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 42.3N9 177.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 310900Z3 POSITION 31.0N4 161.8E6 TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 302348Z0 SCATTEROMETRY PASS AND 302330Z1 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310600Z0 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 311500Z0 (DTG 311353Z6), 312100Z7 (DTG 311953Z2), 010300Z4 (DTG 010153Z0) AND 010900Z0 (DTG 010753Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: REMOVED DUPLICATE MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS IN REMARKS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 31 16:28:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102654-9576>; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 16:23:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA263146; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 03:16:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6043907 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 03:16:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA235734 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 03:16:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA01081 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 03:16:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707310816.DAA01081@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 31 Jul 1997 03:16:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 13w Warning Nr 003 [310900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: dd292452cd205ae452c762f1d9e2b54d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2925 Status: OR 140 WTPN33 PGTW 310900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNING NR 003 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310600Z0 --- 16.9N6 113.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.9N6 113.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 17.5N3 113.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 18.1N0 113.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 18.9N8 113.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 19.8N8 113.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 21.6N9 113.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 310900Z3 POSITION 17.1N9 113.8E3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 310530Z VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TURN NORTHWARD AND SLOWLY INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310600Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 311500Z0 (DTG 311355Z8), 312100Z7 (DTG 311955Z4), 010300Z4 (DTG 010155Z2) AND 010900Z0 (DTG 010755Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 31 22:19:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102712-9576>; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 22:03:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA58302; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 08:55:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6045184 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 08:55:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA156014 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 08:54:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA02662 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 08:54:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707311354.IAA02662@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 31 Jul 1997 08:55:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 13w Warning Nr 004 [311500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9c14726dabaf13561868b1e4e605d367 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3169 Status: OR 603 WTPN33 PGTW 311500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNING NR 004 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311200Z7 --- 17.3N1 113.6E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N1 113.6E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 18.0N9 113.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 19.0N0 113.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 20.3N5 114.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 21.6N9 114.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 24.7N3 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 311500Z0 POSITION 17.5N3 113.6E1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. IT IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY ACCELERATE AND ASSUME A NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD COURSE BETWEEN 12 AND 48 HOURS. SHORTLY BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWARD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY, AT A SLOWER THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE, UNTIL LANDFALL IS MADE. LANDFALL IS EXPECTED AT APPROXIMATELY 030000Z3. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311200Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 312100Z7 (DTG 311955Z4), 010300Z4 (DTG 010155Z2), 010900Z0 (DTG 010755Z8) AND 011500Z7 (DTG 011355Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jul 31 22:36:37 1997 X-UIDL: 46bd9d387dcf24adf5145eac4f75b376 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102753-9576>; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 22:36:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA106662; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 09:23:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6045334 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 09:23:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA263160 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 09:21:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA02852 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 09:21:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707311421.JAA02852@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 31 Jul 1997 09:23:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 13w Warning Nr 004 [311500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 024 WTPN33 PGTW 311500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNING NR 004 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311200Z7 --- 17.3N1 113.6E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG4351 UNCLAS PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N1 113.6E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 18.0N9 113.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 19.0N0 113.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHGSGG4351 UNCLAS 020000Z2 --- 20.3N5 114.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 21.6N9 114.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 24.7N3 114.6E2 PAGE 05 RUHGSGG4351 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 311500Z0 POSITION 17.5N3 113.6E1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. IT IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY ACCELERATE AND ASSUME A NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD COURSE BETWEEN 12 AND 48 HOURS. SHORTLY BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWARD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY, AT A SLOWER THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE, UNTIL LANDFALL IS MADE. LANDFALL IS EXPECTED AT APPROXIMATELY 030000Z3. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311200Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 312100Z7 (DTG 311955Z4), 010300Z4 (DTG 010155Z2), 010900Z0 (DTG 010755Z8) AND 011500Z7 (DTG 011355Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY PAGE 06 RUHGSGG4351 UNCLAS UPDATES.// BT #4351 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jul 31 22:56:37 1997 X-UIDL: 98913a939b7b99fb3e16158eb1ee6d88 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102725-9576>; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 22:56:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA146650; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 09:42:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6045596 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 09:42:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA106692 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 09:42:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA02952 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 09:42:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199707311442.JAA02952@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 31 Jul 1997 09:42:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Tina (12w) Warning Nr 008 [311500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 300 WTPN31 PGTW 311500 1. TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNING NR 008 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311200Z7 --- 13.3N7 135.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.3N7 135.3E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 13.7N1 135.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 14.4N9 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 15.1N7 135.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 15.6N2 134.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 16.4N1 133.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 311500Z0 POSITION 13.4N8 135.4E3 TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) IS QUASISTATIONARY. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INITIALLY MOVE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD, TURN NORTHWARD WITHIN 24 HOURS, AND CONTINUE AROUND TO A NORTHWESTWARD DIRECTION BY 72 HOURS. MOVEMENT THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 312100Z7 (DTG 311951Z0), 010300Z4 (DTG 010151Z8), 010900Z0 (DTG 010751Z4) AND 011500Z7 (DTG 011351Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 2 00:49:42 1997 X-UIDL: fc9ba826d0947c79adba25f10ee4ff3d Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103713-214>; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 00:49:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA38410; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 11:35:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6053865 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 11:35:29 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA176114 for ; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 11:35:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id LAA15590 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 11:35:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708011635.LAA15590@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 1 Aug 1997 11:35:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Tina (12w) Warning Nr 012 [011500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 061 WTPN31 PGTW 011500 1. TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNING NR 012 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z4 --- 13.8N2 133.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM REPEAT POSIT: 13.8N2 133.8E5 --- FORECASTS: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG5864 UNCLAS 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 14.4N9 132.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 15.0N6 131.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 15.6N2 130.3E7 PAGE 04 RUHGSGG5864 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 16.2N9 129.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 17.9N7 127.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT PAGE 05 RUHGSGG5864 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 011500Z7 POSITION 13.9N3 133.5E2 TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 011130 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED SLOW AND CONTINUE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. INTENSIFICATION WILL ALSO CONTINUE THROUGH 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 012100Z4 (DTG 011951Z7), 020300Z5 (DTG 020151Z9), 020900Z1 (DTG 020751Z5) AND 021500Z8 (DTG 021351Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM VICTOR (13W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// PAGE 06 RUHGSGG5864 UNCLAS BT #5864 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 2 00:50:33 1997 X-UIDL: 4410b3c9b3ea15a13e997e084d2d2cb7 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103571-214>; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 00:50:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA38466; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 11:37:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6053872 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 11:36:58 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA245296 for ; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 11:36:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id LAA15640 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 11:36:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708011636.LAA15640@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 1 Aug 1997 11:36:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Scott (11w) Warning Nr 026 [011500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 082 WTPN32 PGTW 011500 1. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNING NR 026 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC PAGE 02 RUHGSGG5871 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z4 --- 32.3N8 169.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 32.3N8 169.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 35.0N8 171.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG5871 UNCLAS 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 38.0N1 173.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 40.6N0 174.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 42.9N5 176.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL PAGE 04 RUHGSGG5871 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 011500Z7 POSITION 33.0N6 170.4E2 TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 011130Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS COMBINATION OF CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE AND EXTRAPOLATION FROM PREVIOUS WARNING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WITHIN 18 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 012100Z4 (DTG 011953Z9), 020300Z5 (DTG 020153Z1), 020900Z1 (DTG 020753Z7) AND 021500Z8 (DTG 021353Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM VICTOR (13W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #5871 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 2 03:52:54 1997 X-UIDL: eef508d50869f16325941c2db77dc655 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103746-214>; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 03:52:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA51678; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 14:45:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6055342 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 14:44:56 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA54158 for ; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 14:44:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id OAA19789 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 14:44:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708011944.OAA19789@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 1 Aug 1997 14:44:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Victor (13w) Warning Nr 009 [012100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 952 WTPN33 PGTW 012100 1. TROPICAL STORM VICTOR (13W) WARNING NR 009 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011800Z0 --- 19.8N8 114.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.8N8 114.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 21.1N4 114.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 22.5N9 114.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 305 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 24.1N7 113.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 25.7N4 114.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 54 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 54 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 26.6N4 114.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 012100Z4 POSITION 20.1N3 114.0E6 TROPICAL STORM VICTOR (13W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS. CURRENT WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 011730Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION FROM PREVIOUS WARNINGS AND SHIP OBS NEAR 18N 118E. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SLOWLY NORTHWARD. LANDFALL IS NOW EXPECTED TO BE AT APPROXIMATELY 020900Z. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z5 (DTG 020155Z3), 020900Z1 (DTG 020755Z9), 021500Z8 (DTG 021355Z6) AND 022100Z5 (DTG 021955Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 2 04:27:25 1997 X-UIDL: 4d637f9389a07d9c9556f383eab9ba66 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103753-214>; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 04:27:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA110828; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 15:20:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6055780 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 15:20:36 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA110766 for ; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 15:20:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA20553 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 15:20:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708012020.PAA20553@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 1 Aug 1997 15:20:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Tina (12w) Warning Nr 013 [012100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 339 WTPN31 PGTW 012100 1. TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNING NR 013 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011800Z0 --- 14.1N6 133.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N6 133.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 14.6N1 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 15.2N8 131.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 15.8N4 130.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 16.4N1 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 18.2N1 127.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 012100Z4 POSITION 14.2N7 132.9E5 TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 011730Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THIS TRACK FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE AT A LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z5 (DTG 020151Z9), 020900Z1 (DTG 020751Z5), 021500Z8 (DTG 021351Z2) AND 022100Z5 (DTG 021951Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM VICTOR (13W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 2 04:51:45 1997 X-UIDL: 70d36cd1c0345deaa23adb2dd6ffac2c Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103752-214>; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 04:51:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA51616; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 15:43:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6055986 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 15:43:10 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA51576 for ; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 15:43:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA21202 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 15:42:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708012042.PAA21202@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 1 Aug 1997 15:43:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Scott (11w) Warning Nr 027 [012100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 634 WTPN32 PGTW 012100 1. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNING NR 027 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011800Z0 --- 33.4N0 170.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 33.4N0 170.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 35.8N6 172.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 38.4N5 174.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 41.8N3 176.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 42 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 20 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 42 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 43.5N2 177.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 012100Z4 POSITION 34.0N7 171.3E2 TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. POSITION IS BASED IN 011730Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. INTENSITY IS SUPPORTED BY 011032Z SCATTEROMETER PASS. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS EXPECTED TO BE COMPLETE WITHIN 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z5 (DTG 020153Z1), 020900Z1 (DTG 020753Z7), 021500Z8 (DTG 021353Z4) AND 022100Z5 (DTG 021953Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM VICTOR (13W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 2 06:50:54 1997 X-UIDL: ddac62ef91bf97508a1ab43a8000bf79 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102178-23331>; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 06:50:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA43622; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 17:33:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6056895 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 17:33:09 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA110676 for ; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 17:33:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id RAA23102 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 17:32:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708012232.RAA23102@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 1 Aug 1997 17:33:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Victor (13w) Warning Nr 009a Corrected [012100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 008 WTPN33 PGTW 012100 COR 1. TROPICAL STORM VICTOR (13W) WARNING NR 009A CORRECTED 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011800Z0 --- 19.8N8 114.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.8N8 114.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 21.1N4 114.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 22.5N9 114.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 305 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 24.1N7 113.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 25.7N4 114.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 54 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 54 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 26.6N4 114.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 012100Z4 POSITION 20.1N3 114.0E6 TROPICAL STORM VICTOR (13W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS. CURRENT WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 011730Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION FROM PREVIOUS WARNINGS AND SHIP OBS NEAR 18N 118E. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SLOWLY NORTHWARD. LANDFALL IS NOW EXPECTED TO BE AT APPROXIMATELY 021800Z. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z5 (DTG 020155Z3), 020900Z1 (DTG 020755Z9), 021500Z8 (DTG 021355Z6) AND 022100Z5 (DTG 021955Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: LANDFALL EXPECTED NEAR THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 2 09:23:58 1997 X-UIDL: a03ad0854985cfe77211d73fb99ec4e5 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102660-23331>; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 09:23:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA97992; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 20:16:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6057953 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 20:16:29 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA92556 for ; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 20:15:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id UAA24090 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 20:15:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708020115.UAA24090@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 1 Aug 1997 20:16:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Victor (13w) Warning Nr 010 [020300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 055 WTPN33 PGTW 020300 1. TROPICAL STORM VICTOR (13W) WARNING NR 010 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z2 --- 20.3N5 114.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N5 114.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 21.6N9 114.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 23.0N5 114.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 24.5N1 114.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 26.7N5 114.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 020300Z5 POSITION 20.6N8 114.0E6 TROPICAL STORM VICTOR (13W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWARD AND TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY PRIOR TO LANDFALL. TROPICAL STORM VICTOR IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL BETWEEN THE 12- AND THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z2 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020900Z1 (DTG 020755Z9), 021500Z8 (DTG 021355Z6), 022100Z5 (DTG 021955Z2) AND 030300Z6 (DTG 030155Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) AND TO TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 2 09:59:32 1997 X-UIDL: 3c1ea5872eda17f0922c7a3d23e1b12d Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103030-23331>; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 09:59:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA81234; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 20:51:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6058269 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 20:51:44 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA148798 for ; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 20:51:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id UAA24266 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 20:51:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708020151.UAA24266@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 1 Aug 1997 20:51:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Tina (12w) Warning Nr 014 Relocated [020300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 784 WTPN31 PGTW 020300 1. TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNING NR 014 RELOCATED 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z2 --- 13.6N0 133.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.6N0 133.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 14.2N7 132.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 14.9N4 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 15.8N4 131.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 16.7N4 130.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 18.9N8 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 020300Z5 POSITION 13.7N1 133.5E2 TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA AT 04 KNOTS. THIS WARNING IS RELOCATED BASED ON 012330Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON 011344Z3 SCATTEROMETER DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z2 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020900Z1 (DTG 020751Z5), 021500Z8 (DTG 021351Z2), 022100Z5 (DTG 021951Z8) AND 030300Z6 (DTG 030151Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) AND TO TROPICAL STORM VICTOR (13W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 2 10:45:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102879-23331>; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 10:44:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA122256; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 21:37:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6058523 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 21:37:07 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA08828 for ; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 21:37:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA24582 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 21:36:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708020236.VAA24582@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 1 Aug 1997 21:37:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Scott (11w) Warning Nr 028 [020300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9f56ac99b43334657997852f9f2fd70d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2201 Status: OR 544 WTPN32 PGTW 020300 1. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNING NR 028 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z2 --- 35.1N9 172.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 35.1N9 172.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 39.6N8 175.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 03000Z3 --- 44.5N3 178.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 50.1N6 177.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 38 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 56.8N9 171.9W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 020300Z5 POSITION 36.2N1 172.8E8 TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT IS FORECAST TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BETWEEN THE 12- AND 24- HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020900Z1 (DTG 020753Z7), 021500Z8 (DTG 021353Z4), 022100Z5 (DTG 021953Z0) AND 030300Z6 (DTG 030153Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TROPICAL STORM VICTOR (13W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102655-23331>; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 11:36:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA210068; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 22:26:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6058761 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 22:26:44 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA201088 for ; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 22:26:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id WAA24796 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 1 Aug 1997 22:26:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708020326.WAA24796@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 1 Aug 1997 22:26:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Scott (11w) Warning Nr 028 [020300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 526e24709df9f2787a828a9e9cbc5a4e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2301 Status: OR 128 WTPN32 PGTW 020300 1. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNING NR 028 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHGSGG6359 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z2 --- 35.1N9 172.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 35.1N9 172.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 39.6N8 175.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 44.5N3 178.5E1 PAGE 03 RUHGSGG6359 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 50.1N6 177.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 38 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 56.8N9 171.9W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 020300Z5 POSITION 36.2N1 172.8E8 TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT IS FORECAST TO BECOME PAGE 04 RUHGSGG6359 UNCLAS EXTRATROPICAL BETWEEN THE 12- AND 24- HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020900Z1 (DTG 020753Z7), 021500Z8 (DTG 021353Z4), 022100Z5 (DTG 021953Z0) AND 030300Z6 (DTG 030153Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TROPICAL STORM VICTOR (13W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #6359 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103008-23331>; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 14:44:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA60310; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 01:14:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6059367 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 01:14:20 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA86144 for ; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 01:14:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id BAA25657 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 01:14:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708020614.BAA25657@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 2 Aug 1997 01:14:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The [020600] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 20e281f38bba0ad3bbdb406916da2979 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2516 Status: OR 208 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z/030600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 020155Z AUG 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 020151Z AUG 97// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 020153Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 020000Z2 TROPICAL STORM VICTOR (13W) WAS LOCATED AT 20.3N5 114.0E6 MOVING NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM VICTOR (13W) WARNING NR 10 (WTPN33 PGTW 020300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 020000Z2 TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WAS LOCATED AT 13.6N0 133.7E4 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNING NR 14 RELOCATED (WTPN31 PGTW 020300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 020000Z2 TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WAS LOCATED AT 35.1N9 172.1E1 MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNING NR 28 (WTPN32 PGTW 020300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 13N4 148E3 IS NOW LOCATED AT 16N7 145E0. THE AREA HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED DUE TO UPPER-LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103100-23331>; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 15:34:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA92606; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 02:20:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6059462 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 02:19:14 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA67950 for ; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 02:19:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id CAA25911 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 02:19:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708020719.CAA25911@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 2 Aug 1997 02:19:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Victor (13w) Warning Nr 011 [020900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 73f9ab4f64d71c986f0d18a705c5221a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3080 Status: OR 486 WTPN33 PGTW 020900 1. TROPICAL STORM VICTOR (13W) WARNING NR 011 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020600Z8 --- 21.1N4 114.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N4 114.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 22.8N2 114.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 24.5N1 114.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 26.3N1 114.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 28.3N3 114.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 020900Z1 POSITION 21.5N8 114.0E6 TROPICAL STORM VICTOR (13W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. TROPICAL STORM VICTOR IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND TO BE DISSIPATED BY THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020600Z8 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021500Z8 (DTG 021355Z6), 022100Z5 (DTG 021955Z2), 030300Z6 (DTG 030155Z4) AND 030900Z2 (DTG 030755Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) AND TO TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103094-23331>; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 16:02:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA92430; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 02:52:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6059614 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 02:52:13 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA168444 for ; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 02:52:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id CAA26040 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 02:52:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708020752.CAA26040@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 2 Aug 1997 02:52:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Tina (12w) Warning Nr 015 [020900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4da6ea1933af7d7df1babcfc86f0b467 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3144 Status: OR 902 WTPN31 PGTW 020900 1. TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNING NR 015 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020600Z8 --- 13.8N2 133.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.8N2 133.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 14.1N6 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 15.0N6 131.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 16.3N0 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 17.9N7 129.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 21.7N0 130.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 020900Z1 POSITION 13.9N3 133.1E8 TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. TS TINA IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020600Z8 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021500Z8 (DTG 021351Z2), 022100Z5 (DTG 021951Z8), 030300Z6 (DTG 030151Z0) AND 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) AND TO TROPICAL STORM VICTOR (13W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103097-23331>; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 17:52:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA81154; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 04:26:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6059953 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 04:25:43 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA86250 for ; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 04:25:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id EAA26497 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 04:25:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708020925.EAA26497@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 2 Aug 1997 04:25:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Scott (11w) Warning Nr 029 [020900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bd2cf4960aaaf5220781a197ea9d9964 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2172 Status: OR 940 WTPN32 PGTW 020900 1. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNING NR 029 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020600Z8 --- 36.7N6 172.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 36.7N6 172.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 40.7N1 175.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 45.0N9 178.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 50.7N2 177.9W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 42 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 34 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 42 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 53.7N5 175.2W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 020900Z1 POSITION 37.7N7 173.4E5 TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM SCOTT WILL BECOME EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020600Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021500Z8 (DTG 021353Z4), 022100Z5 (DTG 021953Z0), 030300Z6 (DTG 030153Z2) AND 030900Z2 (DTG 030753Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TROPICAL STORM VICTOR (13W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103111-23331>; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 21:49:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA98264; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 08:37:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6061052 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 08:37:22 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA43716 for ; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 08:37:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id IAA27538 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 08:37:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708021337.IAA27538@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 2 Aug 1997 08:37:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Tina (12w) Warning Nr 016 [021500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0d55624383902f087598b99a414af83e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3025 Status: OR 375 WTPN31 PGTW 021500 1. TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNING NR 016 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021200Z5 --- 13.9N3 132.5E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.9N3 132.5E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 14.4N9 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 15.4N0 130.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 16.9N6 130.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 18.5N4 129.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 22.4N8 129.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 021500Z8 POSITION 14.0N5 132.2E8 TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY AS IT TURNS TO THE NORTH AND ACCELERATES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z5 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 022100Z5 (DTG 021951Z8), 030300Z6 (DTG 030151Z0), 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6) AND 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) AND TROPICAL STORM VICTOR (13W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103111-23331>; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 22:30:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA02666; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 09:22:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6061460 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 09:22:19 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA168314 for ; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 09:19:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA27658 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 09:19:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708021419.JAA27658@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 2 Aug 1997 09:22:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Victor (13w) Warning Nr 012 [021500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 73a2846976ddc52b2a3216650693155e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2633 Status: OR 067 WTPN33 PGTW 021500 1. TROPICAL STORM VICTOR (13W) WARNING NR 012 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021200Z5 --- 22.3N7 114.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.3N7 114.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 24.1N7 114.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 25.8N5 114.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 27.4N3 114.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 021500Z8 POSITION 22.8N2 114.1E7 TROPICAL STORM VICTOR (13W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS AND IS MAKING LANDFALL IN THE VICINITY OF HONG KONG. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, RADAR FIXES FROM STATION WMO 45010, AND SYNOPTIC DATA. VICTOR (13W) IS FORECAST TO BEGIN DISSIPATING OVER LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z5 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 022100Z5 (DTG 021955Z2), 030300Z6 (DTG 030155Z4), 030900Z2 (DTG 030755Z0) AND 031500Z9 (DTG 031355Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM SCOTT (11W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) AND TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103624-23331>; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 03:45:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA81296; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 14:36:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6064082 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 14:36:28 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA81270 for ; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 14:36:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id OAA29029 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 14:36:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708021936.OAA29029@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 2 Aug 1997 14:36:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Tina (12w) Warning Nr 017 [022100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b86db5a776e48458c08831d82f9d4c4a X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2989 Status: OR 578 WTPN31 PGTW 022100 1. TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021800Z1 --- 14.1N6 132.6E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N6 132.6E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 14.7N2 132.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 15.8N4 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 17.3N1 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 19.0N0 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 22.5N9 130.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 022100Z5 POSITION 14.2N7 132.5E1 TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 3 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE TO THE NORTH AND GRADUALLY INTENSIFY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z1 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z6 (DTG 030151Z0), 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6), 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3) AND 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM VICTOR (13W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103764-23331>; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 04:12:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA242324; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 15:04:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6064278 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 15:04:03 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA191326 for ; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 15:04:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA29252 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 15:03:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708022003.PAA29252@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 2 Aug 1997 15:04:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Victor (13w) Warning Nr 013 [022100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8143603112d82327ba6e208eee1c083f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2251 Status: OR 869 WTPN33 PGTW 022100 1. TROPICAL STORM VICTOR (13W) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021800Z1 --- 23.6N1 113.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 23.6N1 113.8E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 25.6N3 113.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 27.4N3 112.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 022100Z5 POSITION 24.1N7 113.6E1 TROPICAL STORM VICTOR HAS MOVED OVER LAND AND IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. POSITION BASED ON 021730Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, RADAR FIXES, AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z1 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z6 (DTG 030155Z4), 030900Z2 (DTG 030755Z0) AND 031500Z9 (DTG 031355Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102185-28934>; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 10:13:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA148790; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 21:05:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6066149 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 21:05:01 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA148964 for ; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 21:05:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA01061 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 21:04:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708030204.VAA01061@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 2 Aug 1997 21:05:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Victor (13w) Warning Nr 014 [030300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d27879b68da509ccbe04c1e8eea59694 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1824 Status: OR 781 WTPN33 PGTW 030300 1. TROPICAL STORM VICTOR (13W) WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z3 --- 24.9N5 113.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 24.9N5 113.8E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 27.6N5 113.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 30.8N1 113.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 030300Z6 POSITION 25.6N3 113.8E3 TROPICAL STORM VICTOR (13W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AND IS FORECAST TO BE DISSIPATED BY THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030900Z2 (DTG 030755Z0), 031500Z9 (DTG 031355Z7) AND 032100Z6 (DTG 031955Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102185-28934>; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 10:30:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA226566; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 21:22:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6066230 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 21:22:31 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA02804 for ; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 21:22:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA01133 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 21:22:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708030222.VAA01133@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 2 Aug 1997 21:22:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Tina (12w) Warning Nr 018 [030300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9ae1a207219d9b6ea78fc69001df1fd9 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2960 Status: OR 054 WTPN31 PGTW 030300 1. TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNING NR 018 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z3 --- 14.5N0 131.6E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N0 131.6E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 15.3N9 130.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 16.5N2 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 18.2N1 128.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 20.0N2 127.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 23.7N2 127.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 030300Z6 POSITION 14.7N2 131.2E7 TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) IS MOVING SLOWLY WEST- NORTHWESTWARD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z3 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6), 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3), 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9) AND 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM VICTOR (13W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102605-28934>; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 14:12:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA146900; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 01:05:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6068065 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 01:05:00 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA110714 for ; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 01:04:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id BAA02287 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 01:04:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708030604.BAA02287@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 3 Aug 1997 01:05:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The [030600] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c4344ef858aab31194432e951cb2221b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2235 Status: OR 834 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 030155Z AUG 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 030151Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 030000Z3 TROPICAL STORM VICTOR (13W) WAS LOCATED AT 24.9N5 113.8E3 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM VICTOR (13W) WARNING NR 14 (WTPN33 PGTW 030300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 030000Z3 TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WAS LOCATED AT 14.5N0 131.6E1 AND WAS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNING NR 18 (WTPN31 PGTW 030300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 16N7 145E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20N2 136E0. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ORBITING AROUND TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W). UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTFLOW FROM TROPICAL STORM TINA IS HINDERING DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102669-28934>; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 22:25:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA210098; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 09:14:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6072343 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 09:14:49 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA263070 for ; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 09:14:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA04180 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 09:14:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708031414.JAA04180@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 3 Aug 1997 09:14:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Tina (12w) Warning Nr 020 [031500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1cabe035baa6a9735a2aaf9a43e86789 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3295 Status: OR 835 WTPN31 PGTW 031500 1. TYPHOON TINA (12W) WARNING NR 020 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 12W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- 15.7N3 130.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N3 130.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 17.0N8 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 18.4N3 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 20.2N4 127.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 22.0N4 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 25.6N3 127.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 031500Z9 POSITION 16.0N7 130.2E6 TYPHOON TINA IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TURNING TOWARD THE NORTH AND INTENSIFY. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031130Z8 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 1200Z3 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9), 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1), 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7) AND 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102669-28934>; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 22:31:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA86056; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 09:21:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6072366 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 09:21:44 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA262934 for ; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 09:21:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA04193 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 09:21:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708031421.JAA04193@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 3 Aug 1997 09:21:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Tina (12w) Warning Nr 020 [031500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d7af45855a7c06b0543c56bb555a1cab X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3356 Status: OR 944 WTPN31 PGTW 031500 COR 1. TYPHOON TINA (12W) WARNING NR 020 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 12W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- 15.7N3 130.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N3 130.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 17.0N8 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 18.4N3 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 20.2N4 127.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 22.0N4 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 25.6N3 127.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 031500Z9 POSITION 16.0N7 130.2E6 TYPHOON TINA IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TURNING TOWARD THE NORTH AND INTENSIFY. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031130Z8 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 1200Z3 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9), 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1), 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7) AND 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4). JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: NUMBER OF ACTIVE CYCLONES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103790-28934>; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 04:07:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA178242; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 14:59:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6074576 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 14:59:30 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA201002 for ; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 14:59:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id OAA05930 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 14:59:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708031959.OAA05930@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 3 Aug 1997 14:59:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Tina (12w) Warning Nr 021 [032100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 13113d6112dd31222f863703103e5bde X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3225 Status: OR 935 WTPN31 PGTW 032100 1. TYPHOON TINA (12W) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z2 --- 16.3N0 130.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.3N0 130.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 17.5N3 129.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 19.0N0 128.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 20.8N0 127.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 22.5N9 127.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 26.0N8 128.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 032100Z6 POSITION 16.6N3 129.9E1 TYPHOON TINA IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING AS IT TURNS TOWARD THE NORTH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z2 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1), 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7), 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4) AND 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 11:21:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102758-28484>; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 10:12:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA43548; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 21:05:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6077415 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 21:05:24 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA122118 for ; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 21:05:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA07470 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 21:05:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708040205.VAA07470@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 3 Aug 1997 21:05:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Tina (12w) Warning Nr 022 [040300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7f6920ec6d23a0943eb4a69377b79816 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3253 Status: OR 664 WTPN31 PGTW 040300 1. TYPHOON TINA (12W) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- 16.9N6 129.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.9N6 129.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 18.3N2 128.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 20.0N2 128.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 21.8N1 128.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 23.5N0 128.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 27.0N9 128.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 040300Z7 POSITION 17.2N0 129.2E4 TYPHOON TINA (12W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN A NORTHWARD COURSE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE PAST 48 HOURS, LEVELING OFF NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7), 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4), 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0) AND 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 11:55:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102314-28484>; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 11:54:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA45958; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 21:39:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6077669 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 21:38:55 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA201030 for ; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 21:38:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA07574 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 21:38:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708040238.VAA07574@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 3 Aug 1997 21:38:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Tina (12w) Warning Nr 022 [040300] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d1161f31be75aaa22ee1f419275af371 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3352 Status: OR 152 WTPN31 PGTW 040300 1. TYPHOON TINA (12W) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- 16.9N6 129.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.9N6 129.4E6 --- PAGE 03 RUHGSGG8298 UNCLAS FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 18.3N2 128.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 20.0N2 128.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 21.8N1 128.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG8298 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 23.5N0 128.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 27.0N9 128.2E3 PAGE 05 RUHGSGG8298 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 040300Z7 POSITION 17.2N0 129.2E4 TYPHOON TINA (12W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN A NORTHWARD COURSE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE PAST 48 HOURS, LEVELING OFF NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7), 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4), 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0) AND 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2).// BT #8298 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 14:58:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102550-28484>; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 14:25:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA45936; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 01:01:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6078902 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 01:01:16 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA208214 for ; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 01:01:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id BAA08623 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 01:01:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708040601.BAA08623@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 4 Aug 1997 01:01:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The [040600] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 910e5e6e5294ba2170005dc3d36d64f3 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Status: OR 712 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 040151Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 040000Z4 TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.9N6 129.4E6 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNING NR 22 (WTPN31 PGTW 040300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 20N2 136E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 23N5 137E1. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ORBITING AROUND TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W). UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTFLOW FROM TROPICAL STORM TINA CONTINUES TO HINDER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 4 17:05:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102620-28484>; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 16:53:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA60232; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 03:29:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6079336 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 03:29:44 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA82740 for ; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 03:29:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id DAA09111 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 03:29:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708040829.DAA09111@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 4 Aug 1997 03:29:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Tina (12w) Warning Nr 023 [040900] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 45863b7b6f397b64adb168550c2da19d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3117 Status: OR 049 WTPN31 PGTW 040900 1. TYPHOON TINA (12W) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- 18.3N2 128.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 128.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 20.3N5 127.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 22.1N5 127.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 23.9N4 127.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 25.6N3 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 29.4N5 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 040900Z3 POSITION 18.8N7 128.1E2 TY TINA (12W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4), 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0), 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2) AND 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 5 11:46:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102597-28484>; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 22:33:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA118804; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 09:20:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6081032 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 09:20:32 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA60414 for ; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 09:20:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA11332 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 09:20:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708041420.JAA11332@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 4 Aug 1997 09:20:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Tina (12w) Warning Nr 024 [041500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 817b7658042cc7a73de990797438b3f3 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3269 Status: OR 954 WTPN31 PGTW 041500 1. TYPHOON TINA (12W) WARNING NR 024 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- 18.4N3 127.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.4N3 127.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 19.7N7 126.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 21.6N9 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 23.8N3 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 26.0N8 127.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 30.6N9 129.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 041500Z0 POSITION 18.7N6 127.3E3 TYPHOON TINA IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AND INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGH 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z7 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0), 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2), 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8) AND 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 5 11:46:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102991-28484>; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 04:46:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA208610; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 15:34:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6083739 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 15:34:08 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA60316 for ; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 15:34:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA20537 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 15:33:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708042033.PAA20537@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 4 Aug 1997 15:34:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Tina (12w) Warning Nr 025 [042100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5f2f91c6bff8c157273ce7be629fde65 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3250 Status: OR 773 WTPN31 PGTW 042100 1. TYPHOON TINA (12W) WARNING NR 025 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041800Z3 --- 19.3N3 127.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.3N3 127.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 21.0N3 126.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 23.0N5 126.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 25.1N8 127.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 27.3N2 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 31.9N3 130.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 042100Z7 POSITION 19.7N7 127.3E3 TYPHOON TINA HAS BEGUN TURNING TOWARD THE NORTH. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z3 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2), 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8), 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5) AND 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 6 00:39:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102878-17890>; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 22:11:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA110668; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 09:04:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5989592 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 09:04:05 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA169776 for ; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 09:04:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA29243 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 09:03:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708051403.JAA29243@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 5 Aug 1997 09:04:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Tina (12w) Warning Nr 028 [051500] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 87e86010145d292730a47f8a9b5bd12a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3704 Status: OR 368 WTPN31 PGTW 051500 1. TYPHOON TINA (12W) WARNING NR 028 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z8 --- 21.5N8 126.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.5N8 126.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 23.0N5 126.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 24.7N3 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 26.5N3 126.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 28.5N5 126.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 32.9N4 126.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 051500Z1 POSITION 21.9N2 126.3E2 TYPHOON TINA (12W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 07 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE GENERALLY TOWARD THE NORTH THROUGH 72 HOURS. TYPHOON TINA (12W) IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGH 36 HOURS THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z8 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1), 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3), 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9) AND 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 6 00:40:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102929-17890>; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 23:30:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA110608; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 10:17:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5990186 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 10:17:39 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA92346 for ; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 09:56:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA00214 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 09:56:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708051456.JAA00214@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 5 Aug 1997 10:17:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The [050600] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 948d4621a89afa6095e5cdea63aa5079 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1655 Status: OR 381 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WEONRMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROLE KQL AT 050000Z5 TRTHICAL STORM TINA (8 ;2) WAS LOCATED CGWPMQN3 127.2E2 AND WAS MOVING NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 80 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 95 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNING NR 26 (WTPN38 ;0<52 050300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. 23N5 137E1 IS NOW DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 06N6 167E4. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. CCOSS EQUATORIAL INFLOW IS ENHANCING CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEI: BOYER/DEOCARIZA/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 6 09:13:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103012-17890>; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 04:42:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA43346; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 15:24:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5992944 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 15:24:01 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA110810 for ; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 15:23:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA09866 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 15:23:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708052023.PAA09866@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 5 Aug 1997 15:24:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Tina (12w) Warning Nr 029 [052100] To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ca0cc166259a146038a932eae6f335fa X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3612 Status: OR 208 WTPN31 PGTW 052100 1. TYPHOON TINA (12W) WARNING NR 029 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- 22.1N5 126.1E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.1N5 126.1E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 23.5N0 125.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 24.9N5 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 26.3N1 126.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 27.7N6 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 30.3N6 125.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 052100Z8 POSITION 22.4N8 126.0E9 TYPHOON TINA (12W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 07 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE GENERALLY TOWARD THE NORTH THROUGH 48 HOURS THEN TURN TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A STRENGTHENING MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. TYPHOON TINA (12W) IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH 72 HOURS AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z4 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3), 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9), 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6) AND 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 6 09:13:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103029-17890>; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 05:28:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA77210; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 16:19:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5993230 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 16:19:05 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA255246 for ; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 16:18:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id QAA11854 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 16:18:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708052118.QAA11854@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 5 Aug 1997 16:19:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Tina (12w) Warning Nr 029 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f6a34aa8a29c8a7f37ae4a3abcda64ca X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3741 Status: OR 840 WTPN31 PGTW 052100 1. TYPHOON TINA (12W) WARNING NR 029 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- 22.1N5 126.1E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT PAGE 03 RUHGSGG0988 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.1N5 126.1E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 23.5N0 125.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 24.9N5 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG0988 UNCLAS 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 26.3N1 126.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 27.7N6 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT PAGE 05 RUHGSGG0988 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 30.3N6 125.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 052100Z8 POSITION 22.4N8 126.0E9 TYPHOON TINA (12W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 07 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE GENERALLY TOWARD THE NORTH THROUGH 48 HOURS THEN TURN TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST PAGE 06 RUHGSGG0988 UNCLAS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A STRENGTHENING MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. TYPHOON TINA (12W) IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH 72 HOURS AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z4 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3), 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9), 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6) AND 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2).// BT #0988 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 6 10:53:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102268-8195>; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 10:06:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA77062; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 20:55:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5995093 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 20:55:40 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAB264418 for ; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 20:55:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id UAA14232 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 20:55:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708060155.UAA14232@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 5 Aug 1997 20:55:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Tina (12w) Warning Nr 030 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cf741cfb7240c829e5ceb29f5943d66b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Status: OR 601 WTPN31 PGTW 060300 1. TYPHOON TINA (12W) WARNING NR 030 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- 23.2N7 126.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.2N7 126.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 25.0N7 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 26.7N5 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 28.5N5 126.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 30.3N6 125.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 33.6N2 124.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 060300Z9 POSITION 23.6N1 126.2E1 TYPHOON TINA (12W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 9 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN THIS DIRECTION THROUGH 48 HOURS, BEFORE ASSUMING A NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. THE SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO CONTINUE ITS SLOW WEAKENING TREND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9), 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6), 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2) AND 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 6 10:53:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102230-8195>; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 10:54:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA58416; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 21:48:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5995522 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 21:48:14 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA234780 for ; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 21:48:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA14671 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 21:48:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708060248.VAA14671@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 5 Aug 1997 21:48:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Tina (12w) Warning Nr 030 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 81a202c5958b835829b88bbb9125c7d2 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Status: OR 425 WTPN31 PGTW 060300 1. TYPHOON TINA (12W) WARNING NR 030 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- 23.2N7 126.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG1211 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.2N7 126.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 25.0N7 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 26.7N5 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG1211 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 28.5N5 126.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 30.3N6 125.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 05 RUHGSGG1211 UNCLAS 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 33.6N2 124.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 060300Z9 POSITION 23.6N1 126.2E1 TYPHOON TINA (12W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 9 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN THIS DIRECTION THROUGH 48 HOURS, BEFORE ASSUMING A NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. THE SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO CONTINUE ITS SLOW WEAKENING PAGE 06 RUHGSGG1211 UNCLAS TREND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9), 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6), 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2) AND 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4).// BT #1211 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 6 14:24:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102525-8195>; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 13:50:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA133154; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 00:39:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5996607 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 00:39:07 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA234768 for ; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 00:39:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id AAA15760 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 00:38:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708060538.AAA15760@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 6 Aug 1997 00:39:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Tina (12w) Warning Nr 029 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7a77167abd0b89ba3219d20487a3a5d7 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Status: OR 679 WTPN31 PGTW 052100 1. TYPHOON TINA (12W) WARNING NR 029 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- 22.1N5 126.1E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT PAGE 03 RUHGSGG0988 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.1N5 126.1E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 23.5N0 125.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 24.9N5 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG0988 UNCLAS 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 26.3N1 126.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 27.7N6 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT PAGE 05 RUHGSGG0988 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 30.3N6 125.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 052100Z8 POSITION 22.4N8 126.0E9 TYPHOON TINA (12W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 07 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE GENERALLY TOWARD THE NORTH THROUGH 48 HOURS THEN TURN TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST PAGE 06 RUHGSGG0988 UNCLAS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A STRENGTHENING MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. TYPHOON TINA (12W) IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH 72 HOURS AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z4 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3), 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9), 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6) AND 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2).// BT #0988 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 6 14:24:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103085-8195>; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 14:18:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA186010; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 01:11:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5996739 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 01:11:12 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA162696 for ; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 01:11:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id BAA15902 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 01:11:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708060611.BAA15902@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 6 Aug 1997 01:11:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: aebe4997c334daf5bb8f63c116fec96e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Status: OR 035 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 060151Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 060000Z6 TYPHOON TINA (12W) WAS LOCATED AT 23.2N7 126.2E1 AND WAS MOVING NORTH- NORTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON TINA (12W) WARNING NR 30 (WTPN31 PGTW 060300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 06N6 167E4 REMAINS LOCATED NEAR 06N6 167E4. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. CROSS EQUATORIAL INFLOW CONTINUES TO ENHANCE CONVECTION, BUT ORGANIZATION REMAINS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 11N2 137E1. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 05 TO 10 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/DEOCARIZA/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 6 15:08:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102959-8195>; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 15:06:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA02704; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 01:56:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5996888 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 01:56:33 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA141942 for ; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 01:56:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id BAA16040 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 01:56:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708060656.BAA16040@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 6 Aug 1997 01:56:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 469ebf544c12a1103cefc551fb4a09a0 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Status: OR 052 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 060151Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 060000Z6 TYPHOON TINA (12W) WAS LOCATED AT 23.2N7 126.2E1 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON TINA (12W) WARNING NR 30 (WTPN31 PGTW 060300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 06N6 167E4 REMAINS LOCATED NEAR 06N6 167E4. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. CROSS EQUATORIAL INFLOW CONTINUES TO ENHANCE CONVECTION, BUT ORGANIZATION REMAINS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 11N2 137E1. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 05 TO 10 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: GRAMMATICAL FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/DEOCARIZA/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 6 16:24:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103122-8195>; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 16:21:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA73814; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 03:04:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5997086 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 03:04:15 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA255298 for ; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 03:04:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id DAA16383 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 03:03:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708060803.DAA16383@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 6 Aug 1997 03:04:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Tina (12w) Warning Nr 031 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0ca2baa0b103c9908d3aba72db2c8b12 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Status: OR 944 WTPN31 PGTW 060900 1. TYPHOON TINA (12W) WARNING NR 031 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- 24.1N7 126.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.1N7 126.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 25.9N6 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 27.6N5 126.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 29.2N3 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 30.8N1 125.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 33.6N2 124.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION 24.5N1 126.4E3 TYPHOON TINA (12W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS. IT IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN THIS DIRECTION THROUGH 48 HOURS, AFTER WHICH IT WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD. THE SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6), 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2), 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4) AND 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 6 17:40:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103157-8195>; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 17:21:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA245342; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 04:09:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5997229 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 04:08:51 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA141844 for ; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 04:08:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id EAA16631 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 04:08:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708060908.EAA16631@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 6 Aug 1997 04:08:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Tina (12w) Warning Nr 031 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4c9c018e1c7104399f27e42d4f7214d1 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Status: OR 690 WTPN31 PGTW 060900 1. TYPHOON TINA (12W) WARNING NR 031 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- 24.1N7 126.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PAGE 03 RUHGSGG1544 UNCLAS PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.1N7 126.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 25.9N6 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 27.6N5 126.4E3 PAGE 04 RUHGSGG1544 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 29.2N3 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 30.8N1 125.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT PAGE 05 RUHGSGG1544 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 33.6N2 124.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION 24.5N1 126.4E3 TYPHOON TINA (12W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS. IT IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN THIS DIRECTION THROUGH 48 HOURS, AFTER WHICH IT WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD. THE SYSTEM PAGE 06 RUHGSGG1544 UNCLAS IS ANTICIPATED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6), 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2), 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4) AND 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0).// BT #1544 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 7 01:22:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103149-8195>; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 23:44:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA201144; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 10:36:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5999845 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 10:35:49 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA264270 for ; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 10:35:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id KAA03504 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 10:35:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708061535.KAA03504@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 6 Aug 1997 10:35:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Tina (12w) Warning Nr 032 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 743eaa7f5c8dee39aeb9d4f3b0412f0d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3834 Status: OR 097 WTPN31 PGTW 061500 1. TYPHOON TINA (12W) WARNING NR 032 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- 24.9N5 126.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PAGE 03 RUHGSGG1901 UNCLAS PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 24.9N5 126.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 26.6N4 126.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS PAGE 04 RUHGSGG1901 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 28.3N3 125.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 30.1N4 125.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 09 KTS --- PAGE 05 RUHGSGG1901 UNCLAS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 31.8N2 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 35.5N3 125.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER PAGE 06 RUHGSGG1901 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 061500Z2 POSITION 25.3N0 126.4E3 TYPHOON TINA (12W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING GENERALLY NORTHWARD THROUGH 72 HOURS. TYPHOON TINA (12W) IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z9 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2), 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4), 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0) AND 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7).// BT #1901 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 7 11:34:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103221-8195>; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 04:42:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA67690; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 15:31:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6002196 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 15:31:17 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA03404 for ; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 15:31:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA09296 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 15:31:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708062031.PAA09296@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 6 Aug 1997 15:31:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Tina (12w) Warning Nr 033 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: dada73ea1ca79f3fce1efd40fef0e4fd X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3904 Status: OR 011 WTPN31 PGTW 062100 1. TYPHOON TINA (12W) WARNING NR 033 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- 25.7N4 126.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 25.7N4 126.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 27.5N4 126.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 29.5N6 126.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 31.4N8 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 33.7N3 126.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 39.8N0 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 062100Z9 POSITION 26.1N9 126.4E3 TYPHOON TINA (12W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 061730Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RADAR REPORTS FROM NAHA (WMO 47937) AND KADENA AIR BASE (WMO 47931). THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS, THEN TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AND ACCELERATE THROUGH 72 HOURS. TYPHOON TINA (12W) IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH 48 HOURS, THEN WEAKEN MORE RAPIDLY AS IT CROSSES THE KOREAN PENINSULA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z5 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4), 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0), 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7) AND 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 7 11:34:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102325-29979>; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 10:08:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA228804; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 20:58:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6004391 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 20:58:16 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA08882 for ; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 20:58:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id UAA12860 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 20:58:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708070158.UAA12860@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 6 Aug 1997 20:58:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Tina (12w) Warning Nr 034 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2d2dda89b8d27a82b2449e03680d59d3 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3505 Status: OR 546 WTPN31 PGTW 070300 1. TYPHOON TINA (12W) WARNING NR 034 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- 26.8N6 126.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.8N6 126.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 29.1N2 126.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 31.5N9 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 34.0N7 127.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 36.6N5 129.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 43.4N1 137.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION 27.4N3 126.5E4 TYPHOON TINA (12W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWARD TO NORTHEASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND TO WEAKEN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0), 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7), 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3) AND 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 7 15:01:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102325-29979>; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 11:52:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA201214; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 22:17:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6004894 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 22:17:39 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA249064 for ; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 22:17:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id WAA13505 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 22:17:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708070317.WAA13505@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 6 Aug 1997 22:17:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9a2bc6b559aad7f2bf2a6dc2e1fd1946 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2276 Status: OR 753 ABPW10 PGTW 070300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070300Z/070600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 070151Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070000Z7 TYPHOON TINA (12W) WAS LOCATED AT 26.8N6 126.5E4 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 80 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON TINA (12W) WARNING NR 34 (WTPN31 PGTW 070300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 06N6 167E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 07N7 163E0. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. CROSS EQUATORIAL INFLOW AND INCREASED UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW CONTINUES TO ENHANCE CONVECTION. ORGANIZATION OF THE SYSTEM HAS IMPROVED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 137E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 136E0. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 7 15:01:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102413-29979>; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 14:24:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA43340; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 00:58:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6006314 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 00:58:35 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA73784 for ; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 00:58:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id AAA14502 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 00:58:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708070558.AAA14502@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 7 Aug 1997 00:58:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4a12ea5c38f77adb6858cf4f1e753d1d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2034 Status: OR 737 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 070151Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070000Z7 TYPHOON TINA (12W) WAS LOCATED AT 26.8N6 126.5E4 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 80 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON TINA (12W) WARNING NR 34 (WTPN31 PGTW 070300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 07N7 163E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 08N8 162E9. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. CROSS EQUATORIAL INFLOW AND INCREASED UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW CONTINUES TO ENHANCE CONVECTION. ORGANIZATION OF THE SYSTEM HAS IMPROVED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE SUSPECT AREA NEAR 11N2 136E0 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED A SUSPECT AREA. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 7 16:15:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103025-29979>; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 15:57:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA226618; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 02:44:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6006633 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 02:44:22 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA160292 for ; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 02:44:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id CAA14944 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 02:44:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708070744.CAA14944@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 7 Aug 1997 02:44:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Tina (12w) Warning Nr 035 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 293fd194411685d1326f104898b5d41d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3508 Status: OR 483 WTPN31 PGTW 070900 1. TYPHOON TINA (12W) WARNING NR 035 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z3 --- 27.5N4 126.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 27.5N4 126.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 29.5N6 126.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 31.9N3 126.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 34.6N3 127.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 37.4N4 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 43.8N5 138.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 070900Z6 POSITION 28.0N0 126.4E3 TYPHOON TINA (12W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL IN SOUTHERN KOREA NEAR THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z3 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7), 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3), 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5) AND 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 8 08:20:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102883-29979>; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 22:34:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA169748; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 09:26:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6008358 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 09:25:57 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA77056 for ; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 09:25:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA18363 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 09:25:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708071425.JAA18363@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 7 Aug 1997 09:25:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Tina (12w) Warning Nr 036 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ecd046827a43f79b1f19f6878a4f9281 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3090 Status: OR 860 WTPN31 PGTW 071500 1. TYPHOON TINA (12W) WARNING NR 036 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- 28.5N5 126.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.5N5 126.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 30.7N0 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 33.4N0 127.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 36.0N9 128.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 38.5N6 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 43.3N0 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 071500Z3 POSITION 29.1N2 126.3E2 TYPHOON TINA IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. LANDFALL IN SOUTH KOREA IS FORECAST IN APPROXIMATELY 30 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z0 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3), 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5), 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1) AND 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 8 08:20:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103156-29979>; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 23:30:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA228822; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 10:21:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6008865 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 10:20:56 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA160430 for ; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 10:20:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id KAA19435 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 10:20:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708071520.KAA19435@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 7 Aug 1997 10:20:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Tina (12w) Warning Nr 036 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a764f6a35d8e9de34c24b195814b380f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3189 Status: OR 744 WTPN31 PGTW 071500 1. TYPHOON TINA (12W) WARNING NR 036 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- 28.5N5 126.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG3129 UNCLAS 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.5N5 126.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 30.7N0 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 33.4N0 127.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER PAGE 04 RUHGSGG3129 UNCLAS 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 36.0N9 128.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 38.5N6 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 05 RUHGSGG3129 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 43.3N0 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 071500Z3 POSITION 29.1N2 126.3E2 TYPHOON TINA IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. LANDFALL IN SOUTH KOREA IS FORECAST IN APPROXIMATELY 30 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z0 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3), 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5), 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1) AND 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8).// BT #3129 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 8 08:20:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103262-29979>; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 04:13:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA68108; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 15:03:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6010454 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 15:03:26 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA19446 for ; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 15:03:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA25407 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 15:03:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708072003.PAA25407@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 7 Aug 1997 15:03:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Tina (12w) Warning Nr 037 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 08dec7d45ffded9d54e961462c898552 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3307 Status: OR 590 WTPN31 PGTW 072100 1. TYPHOON TINA (12W) WARNING NR 037 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- 29.2N3 126.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.2N3 126.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 32.0N5 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 35.0N8 127.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 37.8N8 130.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 24 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 41.0N5 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 44.6N4 149.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 072100Z0 POSITION 29.9N0 126.3E2 TYPHOON TINA IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 7 KNOTS AND SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL IN SOUTH KOREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO WEAKEN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BUT IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN TYPHOON INTENSITY UNTIL LANDFALL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z6 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5), 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1), 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8) AND 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 8 08:20:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103275-29979>; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 04:43:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA171254; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 15:33:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6010610 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 15:33:19 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA84934 for ; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 15:33:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA26004 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 15:33:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708072033.PAA26004@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 7 Aug 1997 15:33:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Tina (12w) Warning Nr 037 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 32602d0df3c931e4ec0240653c0894f4 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3436 Status: OR 921 WTPN31 PGTW 072100 1. TYPHOON TINA (12W) WARNING NR 037 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- 29.2N3 126.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT PAGE 03 RUHGSGG3477 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.2N3 126.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 32.0N5 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 35.0N8 127.8E8 PAGE 04 RUHGSGG3477 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 37.8N8 130.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 24 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 41.0N5 135.1E0 PAGE 05 RUHGSGG3477 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 44.6N4 149.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 072100Z0 POSITION 29.9N0 126.3E2 TYPHOON TINA IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 7 KNOTS AND SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL IN SOUTH KOREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO WEAKEN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BUT IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN TYPHOON INTENSITY UNTIL LANDFALL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z6 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT PAGE 06 RUHGSGG3477 UNCLAS 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5), 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1), 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8) AND 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4).// BT #3477 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 8 08:20:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103277-29979>; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 05:29:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA73776; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 16:17:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6010857 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 16:17:19 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA141852 for ; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 16:17:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id QAA27132 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 16:17:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708072117.QAA27132@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 7 Aug 1997 16:17:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Tina (12w) Warning Nr 037a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8e0a2b72e78b8a384fdb339ea7538cdb X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3381 Status: OR 459 WTPN31 PGTW 072100 COR 1. TYPHOON TINA (12W) WARNING NR 037A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- 29.2N3 126.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.2N3 126.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 32.0N5 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 35.0N8 127.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER LAND 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 37.8N8 130.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 24 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 41.0N5 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 44.6N4 149.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 072100Z0 POSITION 29.9N0 126.3E2 TYPHOON TINA (12W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 7 KNOTS AND SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL IN SOUTH KOREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO WEAKEN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BUT IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN TYPHOON INTENSITY UNTIL LANDFALL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z6 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5), 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1), 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8) AND 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4). JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: 35- AND 50-KNOT WIND RADII OVER LAND AT THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. DELETION OF 35- KNOT WIND RADII AT THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 8 10:56:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102438-17469>; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 10:39:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA265582; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 21:30:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6012958 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 21:30:33 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA81202 for ; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 21:30:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA29238 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 21:30:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708080230.VAA29238@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 7 Aug 1997 21:30:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 080221z Aug 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b87bfb2b70acf5990f7c56f223ea8c87 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1505 Status: OR 809 WTPN21 PGTW 080230 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 080221Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 125 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9.8N7 159.9E4 TO 13.1N5 154.2E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 080030Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N6 159.0E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER-VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENT OUTFLOW IS ENHANCING THE CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD . 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 090230Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 8 14:02:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102624-17469>; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 13:52:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA68132; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 00:44:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6014307 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 00:44:38 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA189704 for ; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 00:44:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id AAA00307 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 00:44:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708080544.AAA00307@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 8 Aug 1997 00:44:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8e075775e7184bb7409178a56b896ec9 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1971 Status: OR 407 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 080151Z AUG 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 080221Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 080000Z8 TYPHOON TINA (12W) WAS LOCATED AT 30.4N7 125.9E7 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON TINA (12W) WARNING NR 38 (WTPN31 PGTW 080300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 08N8 162E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 159E5. SYNOPTIC DATA AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS GOOD. SEE REF B TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 080230) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 8 14:19:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102648-17469>; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 14:11:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA220124; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 01:02:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6014391 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 01:02:43 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA110792 for ; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 01:02:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id BAA00434 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 01:02:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708080602.BAA00434@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 8 Aug 1997 01:02:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 080221z Aug 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f8074880b2b9734ee17b6d55e31e1803 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Status: OR 625 WTPN21 PGTW 080230 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 080221Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS PAGE 02 RUHGSGG4056 UNCLAS POSSIBLE WITHIN 125 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9.8N7 159.9E4 TO 13.1N5 154.2E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 080030Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N6 159.0E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER-VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENT OUTFLOW IS ENHANCING THE CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD . 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 090230Z4.// BT #4056 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 9 00:53:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103314-17469>; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 22:18:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA255482; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 09:08:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6016338 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 09:08:49 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA119008 for ; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 09:08:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA02506 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 09:08:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708081408.JAA02506@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 8 Aug 1997 09:08:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Tina (12w) Warning Nr 040 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: eaa43e3e2e86e048b6192b938773c10b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2637 Status: OR 839 WTPN31 PGTW 081500 1. TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNING NR 040 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 32.3N8 126.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 32.3N8 126.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 35.3N1 128.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 38.2N3 131.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 41.9N4 137.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 38 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 42.9N5 147.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION 33.1N7 126.7E6 TROPICAL STORM TINA IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE AS IT RECURVES TO THE EAST AND COMPLETES EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z1 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4), 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6), 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2) AND 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 9 00:53:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103312-17469>; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 22:40:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA189864; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 09:26:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6016416 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 09:26:33 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA88184 for ; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 09:26:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA02823 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 09:26:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708081426.JAA02823@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 8 Aug 1997 09:26:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 14w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a5cb491799a419a26f1f3be9eeea2a66 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2754 Status: OR 752 WTPN32 PGTW 081500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 11.6N8 157.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.6N8 157.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 12.8N1 155.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 14.0N5 153.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 15.1N7 151.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 16.3N0 148.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 19.1N1 144.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION 11.9N1 157.0E3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN THIS DIRECTION THROUGH THE PERIOD AND INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z1 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z1 (DTG 081953Z6), 090300Z2 (DTG 090153Z8), 090900Z8 (DTG 090753Z4) AND 091500Z5 (DTG 091353Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 9 00:53:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103331-17469>; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 23:08:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA256964; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 09:56:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6016632 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 09:56:45 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA92302 for ; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 09:56:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA03333 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 09:56:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708081456.JAA03333@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 8 Aug 1997 09:56:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Tina (12w) Warning Nr 040 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 77f10e94a6276931f45092c98d0b3d19 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2736 Status: OR 079 WTPN31 PGTW 081500 1. TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNING NR 040 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 32.3N8 126.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG4472 UNCLAS OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 32.3N8 126.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 35.3N1 128.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 38.2N3 131.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG4472 UNCLAS 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 41.9N4 137.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 38 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 42.9N5 147.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION 33.1N7 126.7E6 TROPICAL STORM TINA IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE AS IT RECURVES TO THE EAST AND COMPLETES EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. MAXIMUM PAGE 05 RUHGSGG4472 UNCLAS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z1 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4), 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6), 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2) AND 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #4472 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 9 00:53:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103321-17469>; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 23:22:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA265882; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 10:12:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6016769 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 10:11:53 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA210566 for ; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 10:11:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id KAA03864 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 10:11:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708081511.KAA03864@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 8 Aug 1997 10:11:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 14w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5ee1c2dc3df9f415124bf53c27d844e9 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2853 Status: OR 290 WTPN32 PGTW 081500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 11.6N8 157.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.6N8 157.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 12.8N1 155.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS PAGE 03 RUHGSGG4481 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 14.0N5 153.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 15.1N7 151.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 16.3N0 148.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG4481 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 19.1N1 144.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION 11.9N1 157.0E3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN THIS DIRECTION THROUGH THE PERIOD AND INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z1 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT PAGE 05 RUHGSGG4481 UNCLAS WARNINGS AT 082100Z1 (DTG 081953Z6), 090300Z2 (DTG 090153Z8), 090900Z8 (DTG 090753Z4) AND 091500Z5 (DTG 091353Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #4481 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103369-17469>; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 03:57:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA141834; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 14:43:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6018824 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 14:43:11 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA03572 for ; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 14:43:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id OAA10144 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 14:42:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708081942.OAA10144@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 8 Aug 1997 14:43:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Tina (12w) Warning Nr 041 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 995d139769c3fb79b633968676c7338f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2447 Status: OR 214 WTPN31 PGTW 082100 1. TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNING NR 041 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- 33.8N4 127.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 33.8N4 127.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 36.4N3 129.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 40.3N7 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 42.4N0 143.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 36 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 43.7N4 152.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 082100Z1 POSITION 34.5N2 127.6E6 TROPICAL STORM TINA IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN FURTHER AND TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT PASSES THROUGH SOUTH KOREA. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA, RADAR FIXES FROM STATION WMO 47160, AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z7 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6), 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2), 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9) AND 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103373-17469>; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 04:16:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA93694; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 15:06:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6018946 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 15:06:26 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA74476 for ; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 15:06:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA10646 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 15:06:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708082006.PAA10646@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 8 Aug 1997 15:06:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 14w Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 93ce095f94bcb1bd978ed6c1dbc29a65 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2764 Status: OR 424 WTPN32 PGTW 082100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- 12.4N7 156.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.4N7 156.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 13.7N1 154.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 15.0N6 152.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 16.4N1 150.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 17.7N5 148.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 20.4N6 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 082100Z1 POSITION 12.7N0 156.1E3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AND INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z7 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG 090153Z8), 090900Z8 (DTG 090753Z4), 091500Z5 (DTG 091353Z1) AND 092100Z2 (DTG 091953Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102493-2431>; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 09:50:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA94218; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 20:43:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6020628 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 20:43:14 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA120568 for ; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 20:43:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id UAA13187 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 20:43:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708090143.UAA13187@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 8 Aug 1997 20:43:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Tina (12w) Warning Nr 042 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bdcabb0d8432663fbde3c1b1e6abcd3d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2195 Status: OR 899 WTPN31 PGTW 090300 1. TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNING NR 042 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- 35.4N2 128.6E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 35.4N2 128.6E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 39.2N4 132.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 42.0N6 138.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 43.3N0 144.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION 36.3N2 129.6E8 TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) MADE LANDFALL ON THE KOREAN COAST NEAR CHUNGMU (WMO 47162) AT 082200Z. TINA IS RAPIDLY LOSING ITS DEEP CONVECTION AND IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE FRONTAL ZONE OVER CENTRAL KOREA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2), 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9), 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5) AND 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102642-2431>; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 11:06:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA141944; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 21:57:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6020916 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 21:57:42 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA38502 for ; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 21:57:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA13596 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 21:57:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708090257.VAA13596@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 8 Aug 1997 21:57:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 14w Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6e6b8ef59abe94239614bf9a84c58f56 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2764 Status: OR 836 WTPN32 PGTW 082100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- 12.4N7 156.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.4N7 156.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 13.7N1 154.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 15.0N6 152.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 16.4N1 150.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 17.7N5 148.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 20.4N6 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 082100Z1 POSITION 12.7N0 156.1E3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AND INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z7 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG 090153Z8), 090900Z8 (DTG 090753Z4), 091500Z5 (DTG 091353Z1) AND 092100Z2 (DTG 091953Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102497-2431>; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 11:10:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA38538; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 22:00:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6020947 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 22:00:22 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA226674 for ; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 22:00:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id WAA13664 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 22:00:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708090300.WAA13664@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 8 Aug 1997 22:00:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 14w Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e26bbc975745d8bb30edf92cb26e9e54 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2929 Status: OR 878 WTPN32 PGTW 090300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- 14.5N0 155.6E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N0 155.6E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 16.0N7 154.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 17.4N2 152.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 18.3N2 151.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 19.2N2 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 21.6N9 144.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION 14.9N4 155.2E3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZE. CONVECTION HAS INCREASED AND IS MORE SYMMETRICAL WITH GOOD OUTFLOW IN ALL QUADRANTS. AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO DEVELOP IT IS EXPECTED TO SLOW ITS FORWARD MOTION SLIGHTLY AND TURN TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8 (DTG 090753Z4), 091500Z5 (DTG 091353Z1), 092100Z2 (DTG 091953Z7) AND 100300Z4 (DTG 100153Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102773-2431>; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 11:59:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA210484; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 22:47:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6021184 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 22:47:50 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA265760 for ; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 22:47:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id WAA13835 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 22:47:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708090347.WAA13835@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 8 Aug 1997 22:47:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Tina (12w) Warning Nr 042 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7e7cd2350950242bacaca78314f1c5b2 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2264 Status: OR 642 WTPN31 PGTW 090300 1. TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNING NR 042 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- 35.4N2 128.6E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL PAGE 03 RUHGSGG5022 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 35.4N2 128.6E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 39.2N4 132.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 42.0N6 138.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 43.3N0 144.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG5022 UNCLAS EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION 36.3N2 129.6E8 TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) MADE LANDFALL ON THE KOREAN COAST NEAR CHUNGMU (WMO 47162) AT 082200Z. TINA IS RAPIDLY LOSING ITS DEEP CONVECTION AND IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE FRONTAL ZONE OVER CENTRAL KOREA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2), 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9), 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5) AND 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #5022 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102621-2431>; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 12:13:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA123234; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 23:07:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6021301 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 23:06:49 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA223564 for ; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 23:06:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id XAA13934 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 23:06:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708090406.XAA13934@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 8 Aug 1997 23:06:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 14w Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6032de0cfb01408c96e73f2f99de8a65 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3028 Status: OR 811 WTPN32 PGTW 090300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- 14.5N0 155.6E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N0 155.6E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 16.0N7 154.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHGSGG5020 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 17.4N2 152.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 18.3N2 151.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 19.2N2 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG5020 UNCLAS 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 21.6N9 144.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION 14.9N4 155.2E3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZE. CONVECTION HAS INCREASED AND IS MORE SYMMETRICAL WITH GOOD OUTFLOW IN ALL QUADRANTS. AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO DEVELOP IT IS EXPECTED TO SLOW ITS FORWARD MOTION SLIGHTLY AND TURN TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST. PAGE 05 RUHGSGG5020 UNCLAS MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8 (DTG 090753Z4), 091500Z5 (DTG 091353Z1), 092100Z2 (DTG 091953Z7) AND 100300Z4 (DTG 100153Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #5020 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102621-2431>; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 14:24:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA249008; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 01:17:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6021770 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 01:17:08 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA110738 for ; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 01:16:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id BAA14527 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 01:16:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708090616.BAA14527@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 9 Aug 1997 01:17:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d8fd417f5d41cb1a4fa223a537f961eb X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1999 Status: OR 590 ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 090151Z AUG 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 090153Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 090000Z9 TYPHOON TINA (12W) WAS LOCATED AT 35.4N2 128.6E7 AND WAS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON TINA (12W) WARNING NR 42 (WTPN31 PGTW 090300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 090000Z9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WAS LOCATED AT 14.5N0 155.6E8 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNING NR 04 (WTPN 32 PGTW 090300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 03N3 179E7. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102686-2431>; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 16:12:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA220068; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 03:04:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6022037 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 03:04:25 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA120466 for ; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 03:04:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id DAA14971 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 03:04:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708090804.DAA14971@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 9 Aug 1997 03:04:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 37067fda50825f1a17079288c2ee5294 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2867 Status: OR 211 WTPN32 PGTW 090900 1. TROPICAL STORM WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 005 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- 14.4N9 155.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.4N9 155.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 15.5N1 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 17.0N8 152.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 18.3N2 151.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 19.4N4 149.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 21.5N8 145.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION 14.7N2 155.0E1 TROPICAL STORM STORM WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY INCREASE SPEED AND INTENSIFY OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5 (DTG 091353Z1), 092100Z2 (DTG 091953Z7), 100300Z4 (DTG 100153Z0) AND 100900Z0 (DTG 100753Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102814-2431>; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 17:20:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA102022; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 04:09:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6022161 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 04:09:17 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA101938 for ; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 04:08:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id EAA15229 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 04:08:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708090908.EAA15229@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 9 Aug 1997 04:09:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Tina (12w) Warning Nr 043 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8659d8d76fb0cdcae3a41be534ab9e5b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1897 Status: OR 860 WTPN31 PGTW 090900 1. TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNING NR 043 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- 37.5N5 131.3E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 28 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 37.5N5 131.3E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 40.8N2 137.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 42.9N5 144.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 30 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 30 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 43.5N2 147.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION 38.3N4 132.7E3 TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 28 KNOTS. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS EXPECTED WITHIN 6 HOURS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO WARNING PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9), AND 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM WINNIE (14W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102941-2431>; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 18:25:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA102124; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 05:18:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6022447 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 05:17:58 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA112590 for ; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 05:17:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id FAA15584 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 05:17:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708091017.FAA15584@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 9 Aug 1997 05:17:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Tina (12w) Warning Nr 043 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a5425a8538fb43fc115e8428130be660 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1966 Status: OR 751 WTPN31 PGTW 090900 1. TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNING NR 043 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- 37.5N5 131.3E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 28 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 37.5N5 131.3E8 PAGE 03 RUHGSGG5334 UNCLAS --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 40.8N2 137.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 42.9N5 144.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 30 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 30 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 43.5N2 147.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: PAGE 04 RUHGSGG5334 UNCLAS 090900Z8 POSITION 38.3N4 132.7E3 TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 28 KNOTS. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS EXPECTED WITHIN 6 HOURS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO WARNING PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9), AND 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM WINNIE (14W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #5334 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102936-2431>; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 18:28:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA123338; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 05:21:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6022458 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 05:20:58 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA84914 for ; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 05:20:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id FAA15596 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 05:20:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708091020.FAA15596@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 9 Aug 1997 05:20:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2185f1fad09b06eedf9aaba860c39472 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2966 Status: OR 856 WTPN32 PGTW 090900 1. TROPICAL STORM WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 005 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- 14.4N9 155.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.4N9 155.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 15.5N1 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 10 KTS PAGE 03 RUHGSGG5342 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 17.0N8 152.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 18.3N2 151.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 19.4N4 149.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG5342 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 21.5N8 145.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION 14.7N2 155.0E1 TROPICAL STORM STORM WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY INCREASE SPEED AND INTENSIFY OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO PAGE 05 RUHGSGG5342 UNCLAS WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5 (DTG 091353Z1), 092100Z2 (DTG 091953Z7), 100300Z4 (DTG 100153Z0) AND 100900Z0 (DTG 100753Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #5342 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103397-2431>; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 21:32:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA162262; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 08:21:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6022996 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 08:21:43 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA142018 for ; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 08:21:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id IAA16118 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 08:21:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708091321.IAA16118@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 9 Aug 1997 08:21:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9d200f9e3111b4e6866f4f08cf8bf4e8 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3102 Status: OR 264 WTPN32 PGTW 091500 1. TROPICAL STORM WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- 15.1N7 154.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N7 154.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 16.4N1 153.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 17.6N4 152.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 18.7N6 150.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 19.9N9 148.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 21.9N2 144.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 091500Z5 POSITION 15.4N0 154.4E4 TROPICAL STORM WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AND INTENSIFY AT AN AVERAGE RATE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z2 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2 (DTG 091953Z7), 100300Z4 (DTG 100153Z0), 100900Z0 (DTG 100753Z6) AND 101500Z7 (DTG 101353Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING FOR THIS SYSTEM.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103412-2431>; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 21:53:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA210162; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 08:45:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6023033 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 08:45:45 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA84956 for ; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 08:45:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id IAA16188 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 08:45:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708091345.IAA16188@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 9 Aug 1997 08:45:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Tina (12w) Warning Nr 044 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d8e93891a0db5cbf47960df4f8618d6e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2121 Status: OR 781 WTPN31 PGTW 091500 1. TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNING NR 044 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- 39.1N3 134.4E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 29 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 39.1N3 134.4E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 42.1N7 141.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 42.8N4 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 43.3N0 158.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 091500Z5 POSITION 39.9N1 136.1E1 TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 29 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM HAS COMPLETED EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ACCELERATING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z2 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5), 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8), 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4) AND 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1). THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM WINNIE (14W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102695-2431>; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 01:38:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA118834; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 12:25:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6023765 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 12:25:15 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA173704 for ; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 12:23:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id MAA17002 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 12:23:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708091723.MAA17002@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 9 Aug 1997 12:25:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1b05b05be2b21b25b44842ed84b73abf X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3201 Status: OR 675 WTPN32 PGTW 091500 1. TROPICAL STORM WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- 15.1N7 154.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N7 154.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG5562 UNCLAS 100000Z1 --- 16.4N1 153.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 17.6N4 152.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 18.7N6 150.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG5562 UNCLAS 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 19.9N9 148.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 21.9N2 144.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 05 RUHGSGG5562 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 091500Z5 POSITION 15.4N0 154.4E4 TROPICAL STORM WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AND INTENSIFY AT AN AVERAGE RATE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z2 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2 (DTG 091953Z7), 100300Z4 (DTG 100153Z0), 100900Z0 (DTG 100753Z6) AND 101500Z7 (DTG 101353Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING FOR THIS SYSTEM.// BT #5562 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103424-2431>; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 01:38:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA84818; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 12:25:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6023772 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 12:25:30 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA162192 for ; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 12:23:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id MAA17006 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 12:23:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708091723.MAA17006@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 9 Aug 1997 12:25:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Tina (12w) Warning Nr 044 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2006f547779a706da3de35d0c239f0d4 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2190 Status: OR 676 WTPN31 PGTW 091500 1. TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNING NR 044 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- 39.1N3 134.4E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 29 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 39.1N3 134.4E2 --- PAGE 03 RUHGSGG5563 UNCLAS FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 42.1N7 141.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 42.8N4 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 43.3N0 158.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 091500Z5 POSITION 39.9N1 136.1E1 PAGE 04 RUHGSGG5563 UNCLAS TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 29 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM HAS COMPLETED EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ACCELERATING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z2 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5), 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8), 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4) AND 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1). THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM WINNIE (14W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #5563 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103432-2431>; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 03:56:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA120356; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 14:43:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6024255 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 14:43:45 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA101906 for ; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 14:43:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id OAA17610 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 14:43:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708091943.OAA17610@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 9 Aug 1997 14:43:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a08f2ec2c46fdba2c9bbe8e4fdf287e9 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3288 Status: OR 891 WTPN32 PGTW 092100 1. TROPICAL STORM WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091800Z8 --- 15.4N0 154.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N0 154.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 16.5N2 152.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 17.5N3 151.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 18.5N4 150.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 19.5N5 148.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 20.6N8 144.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 092100Z2 POSITION 15.7N3 153.9E8 TROPICAL STORM WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 24 HOURS, THEN WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z8 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100300Z4 (DTG 100153Z0), 100900Z0 (DTG 100753Z6), 101500Z7 (DTG 101353Z3) AND 102100Z4 (DTG 101953Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102164-4681>; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 07:21:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA79908; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 18:10:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6024851 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 18:10:10 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id SAA200718 for ; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 18:10:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id SAA18513 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 18:09:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708092309.SAA18513@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 9 Aug 1997 18:10:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Tina (12w) Warning Nr 044a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 34fdb72e9003ed919c16e43171eef335 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2068 Status: OR 296 WTPN31 PGTW 091500 COR 1. TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) WARNING NR 044A 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- 39.1N3 134.4E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 29 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 39.1N3 134.4E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 42.1N7 141.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 42.8N4 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 43.3N0 158.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 091500Z5 POSITION 39.9N1 136.1E1 TROPICAL STORM TINA (12W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 29 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM HAS COMPLETED EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ACCELERATING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z2 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM WINNIE (14W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. 2. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: REMOVED FUTURE WARNING TIMES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103028-4681>; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 10:35:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA265912; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 21:27:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6025615 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 21:27:35 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA25254 for ; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 21:27:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA19258 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 21:27:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708100227.VAA19258@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 9 Aug 1997 21:27:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0436c64cd57e41fbff29825c5c2ec371 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3321 Status: OR 194 WTPN32 PGTW 100300 1. TROPICAL STORM WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- 15.3N9 153.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.3N9 153.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 15.9N5 152.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 16.7N4 151.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 17.6N4 149.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 18.7N6 148.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 20.2N4 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 100300Z4 POSITION 15.4N0 153.3E2 TROPICAL STORM WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. AFTER 12 HOURS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO ASSUME A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK AND MAINTAIN THIS DIRECTION THROUGH 48 HOURS BEFORE RESUMING A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD COURSE. INTENSIFICATION IS ANTICIPATED THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z0 (DTG 100753Z6), 101500Z7 (DTG 101353Z3), 102100Z4 (DTG 101953Z9) AND 110300Z5 (DTG 110153Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103465-4681>; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 14:36:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA210464; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 01:28:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6026449 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 01:27:45 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA256776 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 01:27:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id BAA20327 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 01:27:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708100627.BAA20327@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 10 Aug 1997 01:27:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b3c9c82cad75ab88ea55efb7d01496b4 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2020 Status: OR 532 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 091351Z AUG 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 100153Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 091200Z2 TYPHOON TINA (12W) WAS LOCATED AT 39.1N3 134.4E2 AND WAS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 29 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON TINA (12W) WARNING NR 44 (WTPN31 PGTW 091500)) FOR FINAL WARNING. (2) AT 100000Z1 TROPICAL STORM WINNIE (14W) WAS LOCATED AT 15.3N9 153.6E5 AND WAS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM (14W) WARNING NR 08 (WTPN 32 PGTW 100300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 03N3 179E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 05N5 175E3. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103477-4681>; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 16:27:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA142022; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 03:19:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6026583 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 03:19:36 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA249008 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 03:19:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id DAA20762 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 03:19:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708100819.DAA20762@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 10 Aug 1997 03:19:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a855eb3cdb2c1b87df9c218baa983eaf X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3182 Status: OR 205 WTPN32 PGTW 100900 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 009 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 14W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100600Z7 --- 15.8N4 152.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.8N4 152.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 16.6N3 150.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 17.7N5 149.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 18.7N6 147.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 19.4N4 146.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 20.2N4 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 100900Z0 POSITION 16.0N7 152.2E0 TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z7 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z7 (DTG 101353Z3), 102100Z4 (DTG 101953Z9), 110300Z5 (DTG 110153Z1) AND 110900Z1 (DTG 110753Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103484-4681>; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 17:51:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA74284; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 04:44:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6026812 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 04:44:52 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA251930 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 04:44:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id EAA20971 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 04:44:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708100944.EAA20971@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 10 Aug 1997 04:44:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 16aafd7ec8ef2254026b03bc373dc9fe X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3281 Status: OR 263 WTPN32 PGTW 100900 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 009 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 14W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100600Z7 --- 15.8N4 152.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.8N4 152.7E5 PAGE 03 RUHGSGG6238 UNCLAS --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 16.6N3 150.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 17.7N5 149.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHGSGG6238 UNCLAS 111800Z1 --- 18.7N6 147.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 19.4N4 146.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 20.2N4 143.2E0 PAGE 05 RUHGSGG6238 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 100900Z0 POSITION 16.0N7 152.2E0 TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z7 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z7 (DTG 101353Z3), 102100Z4 (DTG 101953Z9), 110300Z5 (DTG 110153Z1) AND 110900Z1 (DTG 110753Z7).// BT #6238 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103505-4681>; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 21:24:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA84970; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 08:12:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6027303 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 08:12:47 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA200916 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 08:12:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id IAA21395 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 08:12:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708101312.IAA21395@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 10 Aug 1997 08:12:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: eb4ea6ed79dbc220dd5fbf9dc54ae7cc X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3338 Status: OR 865 WTPN32 PGTW 101500 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- 16.1N8 151.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 151.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 17.0N8 150.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 17.8N6 148.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 18.6N5 146.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 19.3N3 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 20.2N4 141.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 101500Z7 POSITION 16.3N0 151.5E2 TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS IT APPROACHES THE NORTHERN MARIANAS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z4 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z4 (DTG 101953Z9), 110300Z5 (DTG 110153Z1), 110900Z1 (DTG 110753Z7) AND 111500Z8 (DTG 111353Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103513-4681>; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 22:38:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA251964; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 09:32:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6027616 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 09:31:49 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA173700 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 09:29:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA21596 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 09:29:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708101429.JAA21596@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 10 Aug 1997 09:31:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e1ca3c20faa0597f25bdf269abcb7ba2 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3467 Status: OR 377 WTPN32 PGTW 101500 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- 16.1N8 151.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG6459 UNCLAS REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 151.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 17.0N8 150.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 17.8N6 148.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS PAGE 04 RUHGSGG6459 UNCLAS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 18.6N5 146.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 19.3N3 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS PAGE 05 RUHGSGG6459 UNCLAS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 20.2N4 141.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 101500Z7 POSITION 16.3N0 151.5E2 TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS IT APPROACHES THE NORTHERN MARIANAS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z4 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z4 (DTG 101953Z9), 110300Z5 (DTG 110153Z1), 110900Z1 (DTG 110753Z7) AND 111500Z8 (DTG 111353Z4).// PAGE 06 RUHGSGG6459 UNCLAS BT #6459 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103554-4681>; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 04:10:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA199194; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 14:57:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6029038 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 14:56:57 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA25088 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 14:56:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id OAA23002 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 14:56:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708101956.OAA23002@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 10 Aug 1997 14:56:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: db2834f91b5c4bf6150a2815b2ab8eae X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3709 Status: OR 088 WTPN32 PGTW 102100 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101800Z0 --- 16.1N8 150.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 150.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 16.6N3 149.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 17.4N2 147.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 18.1N0 145.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 18.8N7 143.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 19.6N6 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 102100Z4 POSITION 16.2N9 150.3E9 TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 111730Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING GENERALLY WESTWARD THROUGH 12 HOURS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A STRENGTHENED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. AFTER 12 HOURS, TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AS A MID-LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST AND WEAKENS THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE. IT WILL THEN CONTINUE MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST THROUGH 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z0 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z5 (DTG 110153Z1), 110900Z1 (DTG 110753Z7), 111500Z8 (DTG 111353Z4) AND 112100Z5 (DTG 111953Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103546-4681>; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 05:18:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA248932; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 16:06:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6029179 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 16:06:25 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA158034 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 16:06:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id QAA23381 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 16:06:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708102106.QAA23381@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 10 Aug 1997 16:06:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2395c770257c49fb13fc70a9d586c940 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3838 Status: OR 913 WTPN32 PGTW 102100 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101800Z0 --- 16.1N8 150.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG6820 UNCLAS 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 150.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 16.6N3 149.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 17.4N2 147.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG6820 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 18.1N0 145.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 18.8N7 143.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 05 RUHGSGG6820 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 19.6N6 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 102100Z4 POSITION 16.2N9 150.3E9 TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 111730Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING GENERALLY WESTWARD THROUGH 12 HOURS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A STRENGTHENED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. AFTER 12 HOURS, TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS EXPECTED PAGE 06 RUHGSGG6820 UNCLAS TO TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AS A MID-LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST AND WEAKENS THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE. IT WILL THEN CONTINUE MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST THROUGH 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z0 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z5 (DTG 110153Z1), 110900Z1 (DTG 110753Z7), 111500Z8 (DTG 111353Z4) AND 112100Z5 (DTG 111953Z0).// BT #6820 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102546-2171>; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 09:53:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA169896; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 20:46:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6030620 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 20:46:11 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA84884 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 20:46:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id UAA24475 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 20:45:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708110145.UAA24475@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 10 Aug 1997 20:46:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2405f9101e988430b75c4c946ff718e5 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3460 Status: OR 941 WTPN32 PGTW 110300 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- 16.2N9 150.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N9 150.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 16.5N2 147.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 16.9N6 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 17.4N2 142.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 18.0N9 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 19.4N4 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION 16.3N0 149.4E8 TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z1 (DTG 110753Z7), 111500Z8 (DTG 111353Z4), 112100Z5 (DTG 111953Z0) AND 120300Z6 (DTG 120153Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 14:02:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102487-17790>; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 11:10:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA112476; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 21:41:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5982156 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 21:41:54 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA265792 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 21:41:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA13421 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 21:41:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708120241.VAA13421@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 21:41:54 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@lib.siu.edu Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 016 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0bb738e97acdf8f91d0a167db31cd3f3 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3969 Status: OR 130 WTPN32 PGTW 120300 1. SUPER TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- 17.0N8 147.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG8176 UNCLAS 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.0N8 147.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 17.5N3 145.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 17.9N7 143.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM PAGE 04 RUHGSGG8176 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 18.5N4 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 19.3N3 139.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT PAGE 05 RUHGSGG8176 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 21.9N2 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION 17.1N9 146.9E0 SUPER TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED RAPIDLY AND IS PAGE 06 RUHGSGG8176 UNCLAS EXPECTED TO REACH 140 KNOTS WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. CONVECTIVE BANDING ASSOCIATED WITH THE MONSOONAL INFLOW TO WINNIE (14W) IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE PERIODIC GALE FORCE WINDS WITH HEAVY GUSTS TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST OF THE CYCLONE (OUTSIDE OF THE 35 KNOT WIND RADIUS DEPICTED IN THIS WARNING). REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW 120000Z3 AMD (DTG 112354Z6) FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z3 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW 120000Z3 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2 (DTG 120753Z8), 121500Z9 (DTG 121353Z5), 122100Z6 (DTG 121953Z1) AND 130300Z7 (DTG 130153Z3).// BT #8176 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102599-2171>; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 11:21:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA158126; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 22:15:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6030971 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 22:14:57 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA74332 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 22:14:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id WAA24958 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 1997 22:14:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708110314.WAA24958@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 10 Aug 1997 22:14:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 876312a9017d31ab5481e3ce8403fdc5 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3589 Status: OR 181 WTPN32 PGTW 110300 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- 16.2N9 150.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N9 150.0E6 PAGE 03 RUHGSGG7014 UNCLAS --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 16.5N2 147.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 16.9N6 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG7014 UNCLAS OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 17.4N2 142.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 18.0N9 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 05 RUHGSGG7014 UNCLAS 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 19.4N4 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION 16.3N0 149.4E8 TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA PAGE 06 RUHGSGG7014 UNCLAS HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z1 (DTG 110753Z7), 111500Z8 (DTG 111353Z4), 112100Z5 (DTG 111953Z0) AND 120300Z6 (DTG 120153Z2).// BT #7014 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 14:25:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102671-2171>; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 14:01:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA229326; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 00:55:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6031560 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 00:55:12 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAB249020 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 00:55:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id AAA25830 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 00:54:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708110554.AAA25830@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 00:55:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: adf3737ee109a85b6cd6ce7724268409 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1856 Status: OR 185 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 110153Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110000Z2 TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.2N9 150.0E6 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 95 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 115 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 12 (WTPN32 PGTW 110300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 05N5 175E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 08N8 170E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE DIVERGENT OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 15:08:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102880-17790>; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 14:46:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA82216; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 01:29:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5983239 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 01:28:55 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA226752 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 01:28:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id BAA15139 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 01:28:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708120628.BAA15139@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 12 Aug 1997 01:28:55 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 99909aee45609ef4c27bdf9321cd4a50 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2372 Status: OR 237 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 120153Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120000Z3 SUPER TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WAS LOCATED AT 17.0N8 147.3E5 AND WAS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 130 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 16 (WTPN32 PGTW 120300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 08N8 170E8 IS NOW NEAR 9N9 168E5. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE AREA IS UNDER MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CIRCULATION HAS DISSIPATED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 17N8 147E2. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS PERSISTENT BUT DISORGANIZED CONVECTION. A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NOT APPARENT FROM IMAGERY OR SYNOPTIC DATA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/HAM/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 11 15:33:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103066-2171>; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 15:27:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA226768; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 02:20:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6031729 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 02:20:20 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA25276 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 02:20:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id CAA26198 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 02:20:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708110720.CAA26198@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 02:20:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 09d90f70cba877f83f8c2789e45401be X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3410 Status: OR 659 WTPN32 PGTW 110900 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- 16.2N9 149.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N9 149.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 16.5N2 147.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 17.0N8 144.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 17.5N3 142.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 18.3N2 139.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 21.2N5 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION 16.3N0 148.8E1 TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. TYPHOON WINNIE IS FORECAST TO TRACK WESTWARD TO WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z8 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8 (DTG 111353Z4), 112100Z5 (DTG 111953Z0), 120300Z6 (DTG 120153Z2) AND 120900Z2 (DTG 120753Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 16:24:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102603-17790>; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 15:58:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA45978; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 02:47:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5983542 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 02:46:44 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA252538 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 02:46:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id CAA15577 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 02:46:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708120746.CAA15577@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 12 Aug 1997 02:46:44 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 370dbc362c582388ff09f6f202c67cc9 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3874 Status: OR 495 WTPN32 PGTW 120900 1. SUPER TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- 17.6N4 146.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N4 146.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 18.4N3 143.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 19.1N1 141.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 20.1N3 139.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 21.2N5 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 23.8N3 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION 17.8N6 145.5E5 SUPER TYPHOON WINNIE IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS BELIEVED TO HAVE REACHED ITS PEAK INTENSITY. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AFTER THE 12 HOUR POINT. CONVECTIVE BANDING ASSOCIATED WITH THE MONSOONAL INFLOW TO WINNIE (14W) WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE PERIODIC GALE FORCE WINDS WITH HEAVY GUSTS TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST OF THE CYCLONE (OUTSIDE OF THE 35 KNOT WIND RADIUS DEPICTED IN THIS WARNING). REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW 120000Z3 AMD (DTG 112354Z6) FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z2 IS 33 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW 120000Z3 AMD (DTG 112354Z6) FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9 (DTG 121353Z5), 122100Z6 (DTG 121953Z1), 130300Z7 (DTG 130153Z3) AND 130900Z3 (DTG 130753Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 14:02:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102354-2171>; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 15:58:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA248996; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 02:47:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6031788 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 02:47:54 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA226704 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 02:47:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id CAA26266 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 02:47:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708110747.CAA26266@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 02:47:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c85509d8cb8f8c2349b9b8fb82b074bd X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3539 Status: OR 072 WTPN32 PGTW 110900 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- 16.2N9 149.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG7280 UNCLAS REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N9 149.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 16.5N2 147.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 17.0N8 144.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG7280 UNCLAS 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 17.5N3 142.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 18.3N2 139.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 05 RUHGSGG7280 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 21.2N5 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION 16.3N0 148.8E1 TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. TYPHOON WINNIE IS FORECAST TO TRACK WESTWARD TO WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z8 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL PAGE 06 RUHGSGG7280 UNCLAS SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8 (DTG 111353Z4), 112100Z5 (DTG 111953Z0), 120300Z6 (DTG 120153Z2) AND 120900Z2 (DTG 120753Z8).// BT #7280 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 16:52:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102954-17790>; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 16:39:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA226698; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 03:26:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5983585 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 03:26:43 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA45944 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 03:26:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id DAA15913 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 03:26:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708120826.DAA15913@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 12 Aug 1997 03:26:43 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e4b5d99b03eb04e994e017f8d28a8fb2 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 4003 Status: OR 912 WTPN32 PGTW 120900 1. SUPER TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- 17.6N4 146.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM PAGE 03 RUHGSGG8505 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N4 146.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 18.4N3 143.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 19.1N1 141.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG8505 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 20.1N3 139.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 21.2N5 137.2E3 PAGE 05 RUHGSGG8505 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 23.8N3 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION 17.8N6 145.5E5 SUPER TYPHOON WINNIE IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 PAGE 06 RUHGSGG8505 UNCLAS KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS BELIEVED TO HAVE REACHED ITS PEAK INTENSITY. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AFTER THE 12 HOUR POINT. CONVECTIVE BANDING ASSOCIATED WITH THE MONSOONAL INFLOW TO WINNIE (14W) WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE PERIODIC GALE FORCE WINDS WITH HEAVY GUSTS TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST OF THE CYCLONE (OUTSIDE OF THE 35 KNOT WIND RADIUS DEPICTED IN THIS WARNING). REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW 120000Z3 AMD (DTG 112354Z6) FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z2 IS 33 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW 120000Z3 AMD (DTG 112354Z6) FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9 (DTG 121353Z5), 122100Z6 (DTG 121953Z1), 130300Z7 (DTG 130153Z3) AND 130900Z3 (DTG 130753Z9).// BT #8505 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 17:12:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103055-17790>; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 17:04:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA129322; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 03:49:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5983674 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 03:49:00 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA129516 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 03:48:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id DAA16010 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 03:48:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708120848.DAA16010@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 12 Aug 1997 03:49:00 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 017a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 84ab6308114756495b4ec03a2e82ac95 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3967 Status: OR 134 WTPN32 PGTW 120900 COR 1. SUPER TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 017A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- 17.6N4 146.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N4 146.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 18.4N3 143.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 19.1N1 141.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 20.1N3 139.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 21.2N5 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 23.8N3 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION 17.8N6 145.5E5 SUPER TYPHOON WINNIE IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS BELIEVED TO HAVE REACHED ITS PEAK INTENSITY. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AFTER THE 12 HOUR POINT. CONVECTIVE BANDING ASSOCIATED WITH THE MONSOONAL INFLOW TO WINNIE (14W) WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE PERIODIC GALE FORCE WINDS WITH HEAVY GUSTS TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST OF THE CYCLONE (OUTSIDE OF THE 35 KNOT WIND RADIUS DEPICTED IN THIS WARNING). REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW 120000Z3 AMD (DTG 112354Z6) FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z9 IS 33 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW 120000Z3 AMD (DTG 112354Z6) FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9 (DTG 121353Z5), 122100Z6 (DTG 121953Z1), 130300Z7 (DTG 130153Z3) AND 130900Z3 (DTG 130753Z9). JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECT DATE TIME FOR MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 14:02:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103080-2171>; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 21:39:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA264250; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 08:27:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6032806 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 08:27:39 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA73974 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 08:27:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id IAA28388 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 08:27:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708111327.IAA28388@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 08:27:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 75d01a5b5bd77ca984b073527418c396 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3662 Status: OR 383 WTPN32 PGTW 111500 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- 16.4N1 148.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N1 148.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 16.7N4 147.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 17.2N0 144.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 17.8N6 142.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 18.6N5 139.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 21.2N5 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION 16.5N2 148.3E6 TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED A SMALL EYE AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE WEST- NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z1 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 (DTG 111953Z0), 120300Z6 (DTG 120153Z2), 120900Z2 (DTG 120753Z8) AND 121500Z9 (DTG 121353Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 14:02:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103078-2171>; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 22:34:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA264302; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 09:20:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6033103 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 09:20:50 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA12122 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 09:20:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id JAA29604 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 09:20:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708111420.JAA29604@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 09:20:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5abfaacd716fcf847983b896998401d5 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3791 Status: OR 429 WTPN32 PGTW 111500 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- 16.4N1 148.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG7688 UNCLAS 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N1 148.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 16.7N4 147.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 17.2N0 144.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG7688 UNCLAS 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 17.8N6 142.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 18.6N5 139.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT PAGE 05 RUHGSGG7688 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 21.2N5 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION 16.5N2 148.3E6 PAGE 06 RUHGSGG7688 UNCLAS TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED A SMALL EYE AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE WEST- NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z1 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 (DTG 111953Z0), 120300Z6 (DTG 120153Z2), 120900Z2 (DTG 120753Z8) AND 121500Z9 (DTG 121353Z5).// BT #7688 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 13 07:59:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103405-17790>; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 03:47:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA210496; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 14:37:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5987249 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 14:37:28 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA43308 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 14:37:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id OAA26460 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 14:37:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708121937.OAA26460@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 12 Aug 1997 14:37:28 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 019 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 470d71e3ed6a890648beed872349551d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3622 Status: OR 582 WTPN32 PGTW 122100 1. SUPER TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- 18.3N2 143.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 143.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 19.0N0 141.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 19.9N9 139.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 20.8N0 137.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 21.7N0 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 23.6N1 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION 18.5N4 143.3E1 SUPER TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z2 IS 33 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR INFORMATION CONCERNING THE GALE AREA LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM CENTER AND FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z7 (DTG 130153Z3), 130900Z3 (DTG 130753Z9), 131500Z0 (DTG 131353Z6) AND 132100Z7 (DTG 131953Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 14:02:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103107-2171>; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 04:04:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAB45876; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 14:48:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6035205 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 14:48:41 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA82424 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 14:48:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id OAA08273 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 14:48:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708111948.OAA08273@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 14:48:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ad4144797d6673dacd27aed781265329 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3867 Status: OR 464 WTPN32 PGTW 112100 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- 16.8N5 148.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.8N5 148.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 17.2N0 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 17.7N5 144.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 18.3N2 142.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 19.1N1 139.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 21.6N9 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION 16.9N6 147.7E9 TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 07 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST- NORTHWEST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS, THEN MAINTAIN THIS INTENSITY THROUGH 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z1 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 (DTG 120153Z2), 120900Z2 (DTG 120753Z8), 121500Z9 (DTG 121353Z5) AND 122100Z6 (DTG 121953Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 14:02:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103113-2171>; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 04:28:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA234760; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 15:12:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6035475 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 15:12:14 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA186086 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 15:12:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id PAA08847 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 15:11:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708112011.PAA08847@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 15:12:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 547cb8c201b2fa5d960e42ffd82d98a9 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3996 Status: OR 705 WTPN32 PGTW 112100 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- 16.8N5 148.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG8009 UNCLAS 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.8N5 148.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 17.2N0 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 17.7N5 144.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG8009 UNCLAS 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 18.3N2 142.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 05 RUHGSGG8009 UNCLAS 131800Z3 --- 19.1N1 139.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 21.6N9 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- PAGE 06 RUHGSGG8009 UNCLAS REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION 16.9N6 147.7E9 TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 07 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST- NORTHWEST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS, THEN MAINTAIN THIS INTENSITY THROUGH 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z1 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 (DTG 120153Z2), 120900Z2 (DTG 120753Z8), 121500Z9 (DTG 121353Z5) AND 122100Z6 (DTG 121953Z1).// BT #8009 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 13 08:00:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103610-17790>; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 05:34:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA43316; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 16:21:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5987823 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 16:21:11 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA129312 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 16:21:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id QAA29407 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 16:20:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708122120.QAA29407@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 12 Aug 1997 16:21:11 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 019 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8f3329ff9b111e2dcc5467d4e7fb81a8 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3751 Status: OR 815 WTPN32 PGTW 122100 1. SUPER TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- 18.3N2 143.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG9167 UNCLAS 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 143.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 19.0N0 141.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 19.9N9 139.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM PAGE 04 RUHGSGG9167 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 20.8N0 137.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 21.7N0 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT PAGE 05 RUHGSGG9167 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 23.6N1 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION 18.5N4 143.3E1 SUPER TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING PAGE 06 RUHGSGG9167 UNCLAS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z2 IS 33 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR INFORMATION CONCERNING THE GALE AREA LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM CENTER AND FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z7 (DTG 130153Z3), 130900Z3 (DTG 130753Z9), 131500Z0 (DTG 131353Z6) AND 132100Z7 (DTG 131953Z2).// BT #9167 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 13 10:21:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102620-5287>; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 10:13:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA118958; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 20:56:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5989570 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 20:55:51 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA159892 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 20:55:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id UAA01582 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 20:55:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708130155.UAA01582@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 12 Aug 1997 20:55:51 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 020 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2e0f91ab75b1c0903f5d98fd221dc7d3 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3606 Status: OR 665 WTPN32 PGTW 130300 1. SUPER TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- 18.8N7 143.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N7 143.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 19.6N6 140.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 20.6N8 138.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 21.6N9 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 22.7N1 134.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 24.9N5 130.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION 19.0N0 142.5E2 SUPER TYPHOON WINNIE IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 33 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR INFORMATION CONCERNING THE GALE AREA LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM CENTER AND FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3 (DTG 130753Z9), 131500Z0 (DTG 131353Z6), 132100Z7 (DTG 131953Z2) AND 140300Z8 (DTG 140153Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 12 14:02:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102312-17790>; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 10:27:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA25248; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 21:11:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6037187 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 21:11:24 -0500 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA151902 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 21:10:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA13173 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 21:10:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708120210.VAA13173@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 21:11:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 016 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 344272fc9c2c9d1edd89c665f58694f7 X-Mozilla-Status: 8005 Content-Length: 3840 Status: OR 623 WTPN32 PGTW 120300 1. SUPER TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- 17.0N8 147.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.0N8 147.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 17.5N3 145.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 17.9N7 143.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 18.5N4 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 19.3N3 139.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 21.9N2 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION 17.1N9 146.9E0 SUPER TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED RAPIDLY AND IS EXPECTED TO REACH 140 KNOTS WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. CONVECTIVE BANDING ASSOCIATED WITH THE MONSOONAL INFLOW TO WINNIE (14W) IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE PERIODIC GALE FORCE WINDS WITH HEAVY GUSTS TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST OF THE CYCLONE (OUTSIDE OF THE 35 KNOT WIND RADIUS DEPICTED IN THIS WARNING). REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW 120000Z3 AMD (DTG 112354Z6) FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z3 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW 120000Z3 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2 (DTG 120753Z8), 121500Z9 (DTG 121353Z5), 122100Z6 (DTG 121953Z1) AND 130300Z7 (DTG 130153Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 13 11:55:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102494-5287>; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 11:26:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA184090; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 22:15:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5989933 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 22:14:59 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA229320 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 22:14:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id WAA02133 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 22:14:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708130314.WAA02133@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 12 Aug 1997 22:14:59 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 020 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d170b4bd0522e970357a4965fdde799f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3735 Status: OR 929 WTPN32 PGTW 130300 1. SUPER TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- 18.8N7 143.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG9384 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N7 143.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 19.6N6 140.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHGSGG9384 UNCLAS 140000Z5 --- 20.6N8 138.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 21.6N9 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: PAGE 05 RUHGSGG9384 UNCLAS 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 22.7N1 134.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 24.9N5 130.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: PAGE 06 RUHGSGG9384 UNCLAS 130300Z7 POSITION 19.0N0 142.5E2 SUPER TYPHOON WINNIE IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 33 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR INFORMATION CONCERNING THE GALE AREA LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM CENTER AND FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3 (DTG 130753Z9), 131500Z0 (DTG 131353Z6), 132100Z7 (DTG 131953Z2) AND 140300Z8 (DTG 140153Z4).// BT #9384 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 13 14:33:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102597-5287>; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 14:24:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA252102; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 01:16:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5990848 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 01:16:11 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA19364 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 01:15:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id BAA03168 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 01:15:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708130615.BAA03168@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 01:16:11 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 328e78bb52b11b283097bacf4a788bf3 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2857 Status: OR 484 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 130153Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130000Z3 SUPER TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WAS LOCATED AT 18.8N7 143.0E8 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 140 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 170 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 20 (WTPN32 PGTW 130300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 168E5 IS NOW NEAR 11N2 169E6. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS CONTINUE TO INDICATE MODERATE TO HEAVY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE NORTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17N8 147E2 IS NOW NEAR 18N9 150E6. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CONVECTION GRADUALLY BECOME MORE ORGANIZED. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE LIKELY PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 08N8 178W6. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES PERSISTENT BUT DISORGANIZED CONVECTION. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A CLOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. THIS AREA IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/HILDEBRAND/HAM/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 13 16:49:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102758-27121>; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 15:41:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA02708; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 02:31:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5991009 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 02:31:26 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA229250 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 02:31:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id CAA03459 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 02:31:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708130731.CAA03459@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 02:31:26 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 021 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bb011251b0bf7bd057bc3d3d230d7bc2 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3741 Status: OR 850 WTPN32 PGTW 130900 1. SUPER TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TRPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- 19.6N6 142.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.6N6 142.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 20.9N1 140.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE ? 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 20 H? 31IQ: 140600Z1 --- 22.1N5 137.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 23.3N8 135.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 24.5N1 133.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 27.2N1 128.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION 19.9N9 141.6E2 SUPER TYPHOON WINNIE IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE THIS MOTION OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. A VERY SLOW WEAKENING TREND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 33 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR INFORMATION CONCERNING THE GALE AREA LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM CENTER AND FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 (DTG 131353Z6), 132100Z7 (DTG 131953Z2), 140300Z8 (DTG 140153Z4) AND 140900Z4 (DTG 140753Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Aug 13 21:46:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102743-27121>; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 20:58:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA93658; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 07:47:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5991951 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 07:47:01 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA03528 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 07:47:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id HAA04867 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 07:46:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708131246.HAA04867@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 07:47:01 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Sq:#y;on Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 022 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4f3c8f9d146bf3ecb08ded05b7f297b1 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3627 Status: OR 500 WTPN32 PGTW 131500 1. SQ:#Y;ON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 13120 H --- 20.1N3 141.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITIO ?BA:QE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N3 141.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 21.3N6 139.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 22.5N9 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 23.7N2 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 24.8N4 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 27.2N1 128.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION 20.4N6 140.9E4 SUPER TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AND TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z IS 33 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (DTG 131953Z2), 140300Z8 (DTG 140153Z4), 140900Z4 (DTG 140753Z0) AND 141500Z1 (DTG 141353Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 14 04:15:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102989-27121>; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 02:59:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA81288; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 13:47:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5993949 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 13:47:14 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA175974 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 13:47:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id NAA11463 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 13:47:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708131847.NAA11463@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 13:47:14 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 023 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c553d6e8e558259b4e0d2ca8b5329cc1 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3673 Status: OR 197 WTPN32 PGTW 132100 1. SUPER TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- 20.5N7 140.3E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N7 140.3E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 21.4N7 138.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DDG 10 KDTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 22.4N8 136.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 23.5N0 134.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 24.7N3 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 27.1N0 128.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION 20.7N9 139.8E1 SUPER TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. SUPER TYPHOON WINNIE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD AND TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z3 IS 33 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8 (DTG 140153Z4), 140900Z4 (DTG 140753Z0), 141500Z1 (DTG 141353Z7) AND 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102826-24008>; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 10:52:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA200982; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 21:33:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5996560 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 21:31:33 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA220102 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 21:31:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id VAA18211 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 21:30:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708140230.VAA18211@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 21:31:33 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 024 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ca23073e20bb1728b2be5cfaef4d2e24 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3433 Status: OR 666 WTPN32 PGTW 140300 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 024 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- 20.9N1 139.4E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 250 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.9N1 139.4E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 21.5N8 137.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 250 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 22.1N5 136.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 240 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 22.9N3 134.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 255 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 230 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 23.8N3 133.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 225 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 26.0N8 130.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 215 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION 21.1N4 139.0E3 TYPHOON TINA (14W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. EXPANDED WIND RADII ARE BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WMO 47981 (IWO JIMA) AND SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANTICIPATED SPEED OF ADVANCE IS SLOWER THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST, NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 (DTG 140753Z0), 141500Z1 (DTG 141353Z7), 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3) AND 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102757-24008>; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 11:21:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA171050; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 22:06:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5996777 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 22:06:05 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA220694 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 22:06:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id WAA18469 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 22:05:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708140305.WAA18469@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 22:06:05 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 024 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 857558bebcdd9530345a40cab2a0477e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3562 Status: OR 036 WTPN32 PGTW 140300 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 024 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- 20.9N1 139.4E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG0624 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 250 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.9N1 139.4E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 21.5N8 137.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 250 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHGSGG0624 UNCLAS 150000Z6 --- 22.1N5 136.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 240 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 22.9N3 134.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 255 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 230 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 23.8N3 133.3E0 PAGE 05 RUHGSGG0624 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 225 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 26.0N8 130.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 215 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION 21.1N4 139.0E3 TYPHOON TINA (14W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. EXPANDED WIND RADII ARE BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WMO 47981 (IWO JIMA) AND SATELLITE IMAGERY. PAGE 06 RUHGSGG0624 UNCLAS ANTICIPATED SPEED OF ADVANCE IS SLOWER THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST, NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 (DTG 140753Z0), 141500Z1 (DTG 141353Z7), 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3) AND 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5).// BT #0624 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102924-24008>; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 16:22:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA199244; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 03:12:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5998070 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 03:11:21 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA93492 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 03:11:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id DAA20733 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 03:11:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708140811.DAA20733@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 03:11:21 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 025 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 73179b5cda4ea250edb6e68c89353b48 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3287 Status: OR 450 WTPN32 PGTW 140900 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 025 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- 21.4N7 138.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 250 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.4N7 138.7E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 22.1N5 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 250 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 22.8N2 135.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 240 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 23.5N0 134.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 255 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 230 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 24.3N9 132.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 225 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 26.3N1 129.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 215 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION 21.6N9 138.3E5 TYPHOON TINA (14W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 (DTG 141353Z7), 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3), 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5) AND 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102914-24008>; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 18:14:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA19438; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 04:14:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5998177 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 04:13:31 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA199340 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 04:13:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id EAA21067 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 04:13:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708140913.EAA21067@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 04:13:31 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d74b7d215e222f10eceed02f438bf6a3 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2507 Status: OR 189 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 140153Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140000Z5 TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WAS LOCATED AT 20.9N1 139.4E7 AND WAS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 115 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 24 (WTPN32 PGTW 140300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 169E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8N8 168E5. SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS CONTINUE TO INDICATE MODERATE TO HEAVY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE NORTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 150E6 IS DISSIPATED AND THEREFORE NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 08N8 178W6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 176W4. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES PERSISTENT BUT DISORGANIZED CONVECTION. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A CLOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/HAM/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102961-24008>; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 18:08:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA264242; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 04:41:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5998263 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 04:41:43 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA77086 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 04:41:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id EAA21261 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 04:41:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708140941.EAA21261@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 04:41:43 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 025 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 47b3eee2e42ecc2a7a2c698f10d6566b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3416 Status: OR 637 WTPN32 PGTW 140900 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 025 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- 21.4N7 138.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG1038 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 250 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.4N7 138.7E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 22.1N5 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 250 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHGSGG1038 UNCLAS 150600Z2 --- 22.8N2 135.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 240 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 23.5N0 134.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 255 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 230 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 24.3N9 132.9E5 PAGE 05 RUHGSGG1038 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 225 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 26.3N1 129.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 215 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION 21.6N9 138.3E5 TYPHOON TINA (14W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z IS 30 FEET. REFER TO PAGE 06 RUHGSGG1038 UNCLAS WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 (DTG 141353Z7), 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3), 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5) AND 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1).// BT #1038 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103003-24008>; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:57:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA58592; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 08:44:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5999278 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 08:43:56 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA19340 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 08:43:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id IAA23166 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 08:43:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708141343.IAA23166@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 08:43:56 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 026 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 34e0470dff8949214f9dd949905b477a X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3343 Status: OR 024 WTPN32 PGTW 141500 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 026 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- 22.0N4 137.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 245 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.0N4 137.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 22.9N3 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 240 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 23.7N2 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 240 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 24.5N1 133.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 235 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 25.4N1 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 225 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 27.4N3 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 215 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION 22.2N6 137.5E6 TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 09 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE SLOWLY WEAKENING AS IT MOVES NORTHWEST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z8 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3), 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5), 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1) AND 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102778-24008>; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 00:06:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA196490; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 10:51:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6000045 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 10:50:57 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA252508 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 10:50:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id KAA26242 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 10:50:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708141550.KAA26242@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 10:50:57 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 026 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a496b0859e3d878dcf1b39b6ed6c2c0b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3472 Status: OR 902 WTPN32 PGTW 141500 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 026 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- 22.0N4 137.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM PAGE 03 RUHGSGG1350 UNCLAS POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 245 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.0N4 137.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 22.9N3 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 240 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS PAGE 04 RUHGSGG1350 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 23.7N2 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 240 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 24.5N1 133.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 235 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: PAGE 05 RUHGSGG1350 UNCLAS 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 25.4N1 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 225 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 27.4N3 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 215 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION 22.2N6 137.5E6 TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 09 KNOTS. PAGE 06 RUHGSGG1350 UNCLAS THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE SLOWLY WEAKENING AS IT MOVES NORTHWEST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z8 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3), 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5), 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1) AND 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8).// BT #1350 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102844-24008>; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 03:45:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA184274; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 14:27:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6001745 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 14:26:17 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA162692 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 14:26:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id OAA02480 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 14:25:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708141925.OAA02480@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 14:26:17 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 027 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 390c2d454db874d2bb7b450e0a695231 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3443 Status: OR 102 WTPN32 PGTW 142100 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 027 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- 22.6N0 136.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 240 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.6N0 136.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 23.6N1 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 235 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 24.6N2 133.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 230 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 25.6N3 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 225 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 26.5N3 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 220 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 28.1N1 127.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 215 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION 22.9N3 136.5E5 TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWEST AND SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z4 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5), 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1), 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8) AND 152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102850-24008>; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 04:23:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA171040; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 15:06:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6001967 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 15:06:27 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA88308 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 15:06:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id PAA03460 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 15:06:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708142006.PAA03460@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 15:06:27 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 027 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e8889be5d0ef8f0e5d7828a2642cde07 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3572 Status: OR 573 WTPN32 PGTW 142100 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 027 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- 22.6N0 136.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM PAGE 03 RUHGSGG1568 UNCLAS POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 240 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.6N0 136.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 23.6N1 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 235 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS PAGE 04 RUHGSGG1568 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 24.6N2 133.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 230 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 25.6N3 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 225 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: PAGE 05 RUHGSGG1568 UNCLAS 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 26.5N3 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 220 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 28.1N1 127.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 215 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION 22.9N3 136.5E5 PAGE 06 RUHGSGG1568 UNCLAS TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWEST AND SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z4 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5), 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1), 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8) AND 152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4).// BT #1568 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102926-24008>; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 04:57:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA201050; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 15:42:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6002223 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 15:41:55 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA158174 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 15:41:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id PAA04410 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 15:41:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708142041.PAA04410@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 15:41:55 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 027 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 031c762653c9019e346f36e0bede03f1 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3572 Status: OR 073 WTPN32 PGTW 142100 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 027 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- 22.6N0 136.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM PAGE 03 RUHPSGG7175 UNCLAS POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 240 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.6N0 136.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 23.6N1 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 235 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS PAGE 04 RUHPSGG7175 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 24.6N2 133.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 230 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 25.6N3 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 225 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: PAGE 05 RUHPSGG7175 UNCLAS 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 26.5N3 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 220 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 28.1N1 127.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 215 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION 22.9N3 136.5E5 PAGE 06 RUHPSGG7175 UNCLAS TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWEST AND SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z4 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5), 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1), 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8) AND 152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4).// BT #7175 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102260-13952>; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 10:45:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA185940; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:32:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6004257 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:31:50 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA220720 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:31:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id VAA08162 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:31:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708150231.VAA08162@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:31:50 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 028 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9587f9fc745f0721503b2f5f2d790414 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3356 Status: OR 986 WTPN32 PGTW 150300 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 028 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- 22.8N2 135.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 240 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.8N2 135.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 23.1N6 133.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 240 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 24.1N7 132.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 235 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 25.0N7 131.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 235 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 25.9N6 129.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 225 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 27.6N5 127.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 220 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION 22.9N3 135.2E1 TYPHOON WINNIE IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REGAIN A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK WITHIN 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1), 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8), 152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4) AND 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102267-13952>; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 10:48:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA158076; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:39:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6004309 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:39:44 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA102248 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:39:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id VAA08230 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:39:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708150239.VAA08230@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:39:44 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 028 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e9576ce05d38b0aced98fd4e283d4a7b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3365 Status: OR 118 WTPN32 PGTW 150300 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 028 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- 22.8N2 135.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 240 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.8N2 135.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 23.1N6 133.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 240 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 24.1N7 132.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 235 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 25.0N7 131.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 235 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 25.9N6 129.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 225 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 27.6N5 127.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 220 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION 22.9N3 135.2E1 TYPHOON WINNIE IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REGAIN A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK WITHIN 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1), 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8), 152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4) AND 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z6).// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102268-13952>; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 11:06:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA19430; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:57:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6004445 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:57:32 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA34258 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:57:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id VAA08299 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:57:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708150257.VAA08299@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 21:57:32 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 028 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2f82d92c899bc4a3a87b16e26967b03a X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3455 Status: OR 294 WTPN32 PGTW 150300 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 028 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- 22.8N2 135.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 240 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.8N2 135.7E6 --- PAGE 03 RUHGSGG1851 UNCLAS FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 23.1N6 133.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 240 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 24.1N7 132.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 235 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHGSGG1851 UNCLAS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 25.0N7 131.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 235 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 25.9N6 129.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 225 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 05 RUHGSGG1851 UNCLAS 180000Z9 --- 27.6N5 127.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 220 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION 22.9N3 135.2E1 TYPHOON WINNIE IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REGAIN A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK WITHIN 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1), 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8), 152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4) AND 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z6).// BT #1851 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103124-13952>; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 14:39:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA102164; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 01:16:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6005840 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 01:14:53 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA185994 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 01:14:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id BAA09788 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 01:14:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708150614.BAA09788@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 01:14:53 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 14af7e63ad788793b41a12e161b06320 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2361 Status: OR 916 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 150153Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WAS LOCATED AT 22.8N2 135.7E6 AND WAS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 105 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 130 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 28 (WTPN32 PGTW 150300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 168E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7N7 163E0. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS CONTINUE TO INDICATE MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE NORTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 176W4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13N4 178W6. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES PERSISTENT BUT CONTINUALLY DISORGANIZED CONVECTION. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A POTENTIAL LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/HAM/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103120-13952>; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 15:39:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA184222; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 02:23:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6006036 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 02:23:16 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA255372 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 02:23:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id CAA10134 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 02:22:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708150722.CAA10134@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 02:23:16 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 150721z Aug 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1fa1401a1ed3be6c827440d504a7aa08 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1457 Status: OR 146 WTPN21 PGTW 150730 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 150721Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 270 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 6.3N9 161.6E4 TO 6.4N0 153.9E8 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 150322Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 6.2N8 160.5E2. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION AND ORGANIZATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS IMPROVED OVER THAT PAST 12 HOURS. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE DIVERGENT FLOW ALOFT ALTHOUGH SOME EVIDENCE OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR EXISTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 160730Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102881-13952>; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 16:34:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA38618; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 03:14:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6006235 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 03:14:18 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA255432 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 03:14:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id DAA10562 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 03:14:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708150814.DAA10562@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 03:14:18 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 029 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 32783c3c718a6c437203f2b81d4c22b6 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3404 Status: OR 725 WTPN32 PGTW 150900 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 029 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 23.0N5 134.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 240 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.0N5 134.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 23.6N1 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 240 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 24.3N9 131.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 235 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 25.0N7 130.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 235 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 25.9N6 128.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 225 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 27.9N8 125.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 220 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION 23.2N7 134.4E2 TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY ASSUME A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK AND WEAKEN SLIGHTLY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8), 152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4), 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z6) AND 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103154-13952>; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 17:39:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA141844; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 04:20:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6006375 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 04:20:02 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA102376 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 04:20:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id EAA10870 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 04:19:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708150919.EAA10870@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 04:20:02 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 029a Amended To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 94d1b79dfae0f2ea9bacb6913b3d8d96 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3456 Status: OR 543 WTPN32 PGTW 150900 AMD 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 029A AMENDED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 23.0N5 134.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 235 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.0N5 134.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 23.6N1 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 235 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 24.3N9 131.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 230 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 25.0N7 130.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 225 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 25.9N6 128.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 225 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 27.9N8 125.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 225 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION 23.2N7 134.4E2 TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO WARNING PHILOSOPHY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY ASSUME A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK AND WEAKEN THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8), 152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4), 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z6) AND 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2). 2. AMENDMENT ISSUED TO CORRELATE CURRENT AND FORECAST INTENSITIES WITH MOST RECENT DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102801-13952>; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 17:58:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA123286; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 04:38:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6006393 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 04:38:40 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA234882 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 04:38:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id EAA10940 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 04:38:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708150938.EAA10940@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 04:38:40 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 029a Amended To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3464f24a802194d3e3f359dbf86b6814 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3555 Status: OR 817 WTPN32 PGTW 150900 AMD 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 029A AMENDED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 23.0N5 134.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 235 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.0N5 134.8E6 --- FORECASTS: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG2216 UNCLAS 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 23.6N1 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 235 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 24.3N9 131.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 230 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 25.0N7 130.0E4 PAGE 04 RUHGSGG2216 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 225 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 25.9N6 128.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 225 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 27.9N8 125.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT PAGE 05 RUHGSGG2216 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 225 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION 23.2N7 134.4E2 TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO WARNING PHILOSOPHY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY ASSUME A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK AND WEAKEN THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8), 152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4), 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z6) AND 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2). 2. AMENDMENT ISSUED TO CORRELATE CURRENT AND FORECAST INTENSITIES WITH MOST RECENT DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES.// BT #2216 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103176-13952>; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 22:01:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA252606; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 08:51:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6007300 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 08:51:22 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA19372 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 08:51:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id IAA13364 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 08:51:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708151351.IAA13364@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 08:51:22 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 030 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 357fe5d9d9bf3a63095c5c7d03fc56b6 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3389 Status: OR 161 WTPN32 PGTW 151500 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 030 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- 23.2N7 134.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 230 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.2N7 134.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 23.7N2 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 230 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 24.3N9 130.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 230 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 24.9N5 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 220 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 25.6N3 127.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 220 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 27.2N1 124.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 205 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 151500Z2 POSITION 23.3N8 133.6E3 TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND WEAKEN SLOWLY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z5 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4), 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z6), 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2) AND 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103190-13952>; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 23:22:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA110594; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 10:12:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6007720 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 10:11:50 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA102062 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 10:09:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id KAA15339 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 10:08:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708151508.KAA15339@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 10:11:50 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 030 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e141e2478369bc70e9a8db2e24a76f76 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3488 Status: OR 322 WTPN32 PGTW 151500 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 030 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- 23.2N7 134.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 230 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.2N7 134.0E8 PAGE 03 RUHGSGG2486 UNCLAS --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 23.7N2 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 230 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 24.3N9 130.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 230 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHGSGG2486 UNCLAS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 24.9N5 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 220 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 25.6N3 127.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 220 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 05 RUHGSGG2486 UNCLAS 181200Z2 --- 27.2N1 124.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 205 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 151500Z2 POSITION 23.3N8 133.6E3 TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND WEAKEN SLOWLY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z5 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4), 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z6), 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2) AND 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9).// BT #2486 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103224-13952>; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 03:31:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA102378; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 14:17:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6009019 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 14:17:18 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA43478 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 14:17:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id OAA20782 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 14:16:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708151916.OAA20782@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 14:17:18 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 031 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d34b3216d7d64dbc78b529a6087139c4 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3406 Status: OR 020 WTPN32 PGTW 152100 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 031 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- 23.6N1 133.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 230 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.6N1 133.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 24.2N8 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 225 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 24.8N4 129.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 225 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 25.3N0 128.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 220 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 25.8N5 126.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 220 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 26.7N5 123.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 205 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 152100Z9 POSITION 23.8N3 132.6E2 TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 09 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AND WEAKEN SLOWLY THROUGH 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z5 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z6), 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2), 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9) AND 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103230-13952>; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 04:07:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA97962; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 14:48:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6009172 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 14:48:14 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA102206 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 14:47:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id OAA21454 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 14:47:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708151947.OAA21454@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 14:48:14 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 031 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4076ef1dd5bcbe2a17308de3400e7981 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3505 Status: OR 426 WTPN32 PGTW 152100 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 031 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- 23.6N1 133.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 230 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.6N1 133.1E8 PAGE 03 RUHGSGG2700 UNCLAS --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 24.2N8 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 225 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 24.8N4 129.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 225 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHGSGG2700 UNCLAS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 25.3N0 128.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 220 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 25.8N5 126.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 220 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 05 RUHGSGG2700 UNCLAS 181800Z8 --- 26.7N5 123.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 205 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 152100Z9 POSITION 23.8N3 132.6E2 TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 09 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AND WEAKEN SLOWLY THROUGH 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z5 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z6), 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2), 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9) AND 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5).// BT #2700 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102325-2859>; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 08:44:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA112624; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 19:36:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6011048 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 19:36:35 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA112594 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 19:36:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id TAA25016 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 19:36:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708160036.TAA25016@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 19:36:35 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 160021z Aug 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 28d04f88c2e8a2cb4dfcf079dcd20ff6 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1379 Status: OR 647 WTPN21 PGTW 160030 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 160021Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150721Z AUG 97// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 150730)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 260 NM RADIUS OF 8.2N0 162.7E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 152130Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 8.2N0 162.7E6. THE SYSTEM IS QUASISTATIONARY. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. SYSTEM MOVEMENT HAS BEEN ERRATIC OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS DUE TO EQUATORIAL WESTERLIES TO THE SOUTH AND EASTERLY FLOW TO THE NORTH. THIS ALERT HAS BEEN REISSUED BECAUSE THE CIRCULATION HAS DRIFTED NORTHEASTWARD AND IS NOW OUTSIDE OF THE PREVIOUS ALERT AREA. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 170030Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102492-2859>; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 10:02:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA161278; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 20:52:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6011506 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 20:52:20 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA127212 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 20:52:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id UAA25522 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 20:52:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708160152.UAA25522@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 20:52:20 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 032 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 82fbda4eeee39e7e9ed35850336559cd X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3448 Status: OR 488 WTPN32 PGTW 160300 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 032 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 23.8N3 132.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 230 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.8N3 132.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 24.5N1 130.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 225 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 25.0N7 128.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 225 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 25.6N3 127.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 220 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 26.1N9 125.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 220 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 27.4N3 121.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 205 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION 24.0N6 131.7E2 TYPHOON WINNIE IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AS IT SLOWLY WEAKENS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z7 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2), 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9), 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5) AND 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103551-2859>; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 14:21:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA265554; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 01:08:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6012602 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 01:08:14 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA162620 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 01:08:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id BAA27016 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 01:07:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708160607.BAA27016@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 16 Aug 1997 01:08:14 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 56186f5ef4aa3bb6db1bee332af7f7c6 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2404 Status: OR 946 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 160153Z AUG 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 160021Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160000Z7 TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WAS LOCATED AT 23.8N3 132.1E7 AND WAS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 32 (WTPN32 PGTW 160300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 163E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8N8 163E0 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. SYSTEM ORGANIZATION HAS IMPROVED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 160030)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 178W6 REMAINS NEAR 13N4 178W6. CONVECTION REMAINS DISORGANIZED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/HILDABRAND/HAM/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103531-2859>; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 16:01:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA133484; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 02:46:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6012805 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 02:46:24 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA112470 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 02:46:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id CAA27337 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 02:46:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708160746.CAA27337@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 16 Aug 1997 02:46:24 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 033 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b41cc27a67ee52f07f3874eb21354a93 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 830 Status: OR 706 WTPN32 PGTW 160900 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 033 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 24.0N6 131.1E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102620-2859>; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 16:26:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA160386; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 03:07:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6012829 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 03:07:33 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA162672 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 03:07:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id DAA27567 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 03:07:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708160807.DAA27567@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 16 Aug 1997 03:07:33 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 033 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d85af25ff1299a09c888ae8388a19b88 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3787 Status: OR 905 WTPN32 PGTW 160900 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 033 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 24.0N6 131.1E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 230 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.0N6 131.1E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 24.6N2 129.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 225 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 25.4N1 127.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 225 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 26.0N8 126.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 220 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 26.6N4 124.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 220 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 27.8N7 121.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 205 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION 24.2N8 130.7E1 TYPHOON WINNIE IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE FIFTY KNOT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON SCATTEROMETER DATA AND SYNOPTIC DATA FROM STATION WMO 47945. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9), 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5), 70300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103531-2859>; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 16:57:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA265848; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 03:42:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6012855 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 03:42:23 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA160358 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 03:42:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id DAA27657 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 03:42:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708160842.DAA27657@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 16 Aug 1997 03:42:23 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 033 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 61586767ed3a31ce67b6e4c34f0d8b00 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3916 Status: OR 289 WTPN32 PGTW 160900 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 033 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 24.0N6 131.1E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG3189 UNCLAS 230 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.0N6 131.1E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 24.6N2 129.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 225 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 25.4N1 127.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG3189 UNCLAS OVER WATER 225 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 26.0N8 126.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 220 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 26.6N4 124.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 05 RUHGSGG3189 UNCLAS 095 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 220 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 27.8N7 121.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 205 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION 24.2N8 130.7E1 TYPHOON WINNIE IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD PAGE 06 RUHGSGG3189 UNCLAS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE FIFTY KNOT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON SCATTEROMETER DATA AND SYNOPTIC DATA FROM STATION WMO 47945. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9), 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5), 70300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3).// BT #3189 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103644-401>; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 22:31:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA74260; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 09:17:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6013798 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 09:17:06 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA74460 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 09:17:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id IAA28705 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 08:22:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708161322.IAA28705@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 16 Aug 1997 09:17:06 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 034 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f50345c5d80e2a2b2e3b297acfe42c30 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3531 Status: OR 675 WTPN32 PGTW 161500 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 034 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- 24.1N7 130.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 230 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 24.1N7 130.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 24.6N2 128.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 225 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 25.3N0 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 225 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 26.1N9 124.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 220 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 27.0N9 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 220 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 28.7N7 117.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 205 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION 24.2N8 129.6E8 TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5), 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7), 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3) AND 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103643-401>; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 22:40:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA160408; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 09:24:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6013877 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 09:24:00 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA210488 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 09:23:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id JAA29136 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 09:23:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708161423.JAA29136@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 16 Aug 1997 09:24:00 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 034 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7d555e06ae2b48701a7dc577d01c8fba X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3660 Status: OR 853 WTPN32 PGTW 161500 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 034 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- 24.1N7 130.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG3386 UNCLAS 095 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 230 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 24.1N7 130.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 24.6N2 128.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 225 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 25.3N0 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER PAGE 04 RUHGSGG3386 UNCLAS 095 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 225 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 26.1N9 124.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 220 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 27.0N9 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT PAGE 05 RUHGSGG3386 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 220 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 28.7N7 117.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 205 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION 24.2N8 129.6E8 TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM PAGE 06 RUHGSGG3386 UNCLAS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5), 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7), 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3) AND 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0).// BT #3386 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103647-401>; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 03:35:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA189882; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 14:18:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6016188 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 14:17:24 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA210654 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 14:15:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id OAA01316 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 14:14:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708161914.OAA01316@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 16 Aug 1997 14:17:24 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 035 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f80d90f9914091ac2e5df61bbce1167f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3426 Status: OR 069 WTPN32 PGTW 162100 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 035 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- 24.3N9 129.2E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 230 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 24.3N9 129.2E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 24.8N4 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 225 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 25.5N2 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 225 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 26.3N1 123.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 220 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 27.3N2 120.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 220 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 29.4N5 115.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 205 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 162100Z0 POSITION 24.4N0 128.8E TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7), 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3), 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0) AND 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103496-401>; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 04:12:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA158044; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 14:58:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6016458 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 14:57:00 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA84022 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 14:56:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id OAA01576 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 14:56:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708161956.OAA01576@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 16 Aug 1997 14:57:00 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 035 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a1d0fcf96308fa2281f3126a16b13918 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3555 Status: OR 581 WTPN32 PGTW 162100 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 035 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- 24.3N9 129.2E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG3600 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 230 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 24.3N9 129.2E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 24.8N4 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 225 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 25.5N2 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG3600 UNCLAS OVER WATER 225 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 26.3N1 123.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 220 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 27.3N2 120.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER PAGE 05 RUHGSGG3600 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 220 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 29.4N5 115.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 205 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 162100Z0 POSITION 24.4N0 128.8E TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7), 170900Z7 (DTG PAGE 06 RUHGSGG3600 UNCLAS 170753Z3), 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0) AND 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6).// BT #3600 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103657-401>; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 04:32:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA199332; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 15:19:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6016536 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 15:17:43 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA252498 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 15:17:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id PAA01762 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 15:17:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708162017.PAA01762@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 16 Aug 1997 15:17:43 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: This Warning Supersedes And Cancels Navpacmetoccen West To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 70b2cbda5359b10aa291a7e3a932bf58 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2695 Status: OR 875 WTPN31 PGTW 162100 THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 160021Z AUG 97 (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 160030)) 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- 9.1N0 164.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - QUASI-STATIONARY POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.1N0 164.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 9.6N5 163.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 10.4N5 162.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 11.3N5 160.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 12.1N4 159.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 14.1N6 156.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM --- REMARKS: 162100Z0 POSITION 9.2N1 163.9E9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W HAS FORMED NEAR THE MARSHALL ISLANDS. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 30 KNOTS IS BASED ON A DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T2.0 (30 KNOTS). TD 15W IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z6 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5), 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1), 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8) AND 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 160021Z AUG 97 (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 160030)). REFER TO TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102308-14127>; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 09:26:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA133368; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 20:18:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6018195 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 20:16:58 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA84142 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 20:16:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id UAA03654 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 20:16:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708170116.UAA03654@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 16 Aug 1997 20:16:58 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 036 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1573dd21cc67021044dc1efa30143820 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3719 Status: OR 675 WTPN32 PGTW 170300 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 036 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 24.6N2 128.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 105 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 230 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.6N2 128.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 25.3N0 126.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 225 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 26.1N9 123.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 225 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 26.9N7 121.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 220 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 27.9N8 119.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 220 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 29.8N9 114.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION 24.8N4 127.6E6 TYPHOON WINNIE IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AND WEAKEN THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. LANDFALL IN EASTERN CHINA IS EXPECTED PRIOR TO THE 48 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z8 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3), 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0), 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6) AND 180300Z2 (DTG 180153Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102490-14127>; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 10:34:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA12136; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 21:28:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6018735 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 21:27:13 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA234814 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 21:27:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id VAA04162 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 21:26:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708170226.VAA04162@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 16 Aug 1997 21:27:13 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 15w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e0bdea66a2bd4d261cbb63c1529ad91c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2324 Status: OR 933 WTPN31 PGTW 170300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 10.8N9 165.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.8N9 165.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 11.7N9 165.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 12.7N0 165.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 13.7N1 165.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 14.6N1 164.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 16.2N9 163.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION 11.0N2 165.2E4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z8 IS 8 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1), 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8), 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4) AND 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6). REFER TO TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102584-14127>; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 15:20:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA223528; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 02:02:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6020659 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 02:01:06 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA67822 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 02:01:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id CAA06189 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 02:00:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708170700.CAA06189@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 02:01:06 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9e1ae10b76aa8e036bef2526cf6d410b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3515 Status: OR 684 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 170153Z AUG 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 170151Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 170000Z8 TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WAS LOCATED AT 24.6N2 128.1E2 AND WAS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 36 (WTPN32 PGTW 170300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 170000Z8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WAS LOCATED AT 10.8N9 165.1E3, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WARNING NR 2 (WTPN31 PGTW 170300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 163E0 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WARNING NR 2 (WTPN31 PGTW 170300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 178W6 IS NOW NEAR 13N4 174E2. CONVECTION HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST TWELVE HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THIS AREA IS NOW EXPERIENCING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTFLOW FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W. THE CIRCULATION CENTER APPEARS TO BE SPIRALING CYCLONICALLY INWARD TOWARD TD 15W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 11N2 151E7. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MODERATE CONVECTION EXISTS ALONG A LINE OF CONVERGENCE STRETCHING WEST-SOUTHWEST FROM THE CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION IS SPORADIC AROUND THE CIRCULATION CENTER ITSELF. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 4S4 176E4. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES PERSISTENT CONVECTION WITH ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ALOFT. THIS AREA IS UNDER MODERATE TO HEAVY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE NORTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/HILDABRAND/DEOCARIZA/SANCHEZ/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102640-14127>; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 15:20:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA24236; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 02:08:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6020776 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 02:06:43 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA149870 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 02:06:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id CAA06268 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 02:06:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708170706.CAA06268@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 02:06:43 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 170530z Aug 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bc41996ded0e6a3501ffc34d7dfce020 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1321 Status: OR 802 WTPN21 PGTW 170530 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 170530Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 17.0N8 117.0W9 TO 21.4N7 120.9W2 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 170000Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N4 118.3W3. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE NEXT SATELLITE INVESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 180000Z9. 2. REMARKS: CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAVE BECOME MORE CONCENTRATED ABOUT 500NM TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 180530Z7.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG70042290700 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102611-14127>; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 15:55:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA264394; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 02:42:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6020855 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 02:41:33 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA165282 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 02:41:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id CAA06383 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 02:41:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708170741.CAA06383@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 02:41:33 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 037 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0edddb9af92871902c1bf36f024bcce0 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3682 Status: OR 304 WTPN32 PGTW 170900 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 037 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- 25.3N0 127.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 230 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.3N0 127.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 26.4N2 124.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 225 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 27.5N4 122.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 225 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 28.6N6 119.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 220 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 29.8N9 117.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 33.4N0 113.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION 25.6N3 126.4E3 TYPHOON WINNIE IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS ACCELERATED SLIGHTLY AND IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL IN EASTERN CHINA BY THE 36 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. THE SUSTAINED FIFTY KNOT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN EXPANDED FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING BASED ON AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z4 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0), 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6), 180300Z2 (DTG 180153Z8) AND 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102584-14127>; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 16:27:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA264392; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 03:14:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6021107 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 03:13:07 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA248946 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 03:13:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id DAA06691 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 03:12:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708170812.DAA06691@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 03:13:07 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Yule (15w) Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cd00745fd1e5bdc615dfac0d8d6a8492 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2783 Status: OR 664 WTPN31 PGTW 170900 1. TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING NR 003 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- 11.6N8 165.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.6N8 165.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 13.6N0 165.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 15.1N7 165.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 16.4N1 164.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 17.5N3 163.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 19.3N3 160.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION 12.1N4 165.7E9 TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TURNING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND SLOWLY INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z4 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8), 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4), 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6) AND 180900Z8 (DTG 180751Z2). REFER TO TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102218-14127>; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 21:20:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA255402; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 08:12:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6022256 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 08:11:05 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA252024 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 08:11:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id IAA08247 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 08:10:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708171310.IAA08247@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 08:11:05 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 038 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4f7c43bf385df4ce218234351be83177 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3612 Status: OR 123 WTPN32 PGTW 171500 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 038 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 25.4N1 126.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 230 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 25.4N1 126.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 26.3N1 123.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 225 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 27.3N2 121.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 225 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 28.3N3 119.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 220 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 29.5N6 117.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 32.1N6 111.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION 25.6N3 125.5E3 TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AND TO WEAKEN AS IT MAKES LANDFALL NEAR THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6), 180300Z2 (DTG 180153Z8), 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4) AND 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102224-14127>; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 22:07:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA256902; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 08:58:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6022358 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 08:56:45 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA34144 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 08:56:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id IAA08352 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 08:56:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708171356.IAA08352@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 08:56:45 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Yule (15w) Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a49bbdcb01c10789c42037c376bcbf2c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2754 Status: OR 952 WTPN31 PGTW 171500 1. TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 12.6N9 165.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.6N9 165.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 14.2N7 166.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 15.7N3 165.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 16.9N6 165.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 17.9N7 164.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 19.8N8 161.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION 13.0N4 165.9E1 TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY NEAR THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4), 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6), 180900Z8 (DTG 180751Z2) AND 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9). REFER TO TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102224-14127>; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 22:26:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA252580; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 09:18:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6022393 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 09:16:46 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA79986 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 09:16:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id JAA08524 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 09:16:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708171416.JAA08524@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 09:16:46 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 038 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b1515e9f486618c16ef21dadff81d3c0 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3741 Status: OR 188 WTPN32 PGTW 171500 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 038 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 25.4N1 126.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG4097 UNCLAS OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 230 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 25.4N1 126.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 26.3N1 123.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 225 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 27.3N2 121.6E0 PAGE 04 RUHGSGG4097 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 225 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 28.3N3 119.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 220 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER PAGE 05 RUHGSGG4097 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 29.5N6 117.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 32.1N6 111.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION 25.6N3 125.5E3 TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AND TO WEAKEN AS IT MAKES LANDFALL NEAR THE PAGE 06 RUHGSGG4097 UNCLAS 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6), 180300Z2 (DTG 180153Z8), 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4) AND 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #4097 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:34:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102843-14127>; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 03:26:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA256914; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 14:19:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6024582 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 14:17:45 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA120562 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 14:17:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id OAA10747 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 14:17:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708171917.OAA10747@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 14:17:45 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 039 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d7b7e1a1b9c5a701b82d5a53d4873116 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3678 Status: OR 741 WTPN32 PGTW 172100 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 039 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- 25.9N6 124.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 230 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.9N6 124.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 26.9N7 122.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 225 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 28.0N0 120.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 225 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 29.3N4 118.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 220 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 30.6N9 116.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 33.4N0 112.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 172100Z1 POSITION 26.2N0 124.3E0 TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AND TO WEAKEN AS IT MAKES LANDFALL IN MAINLAND CHINA NEAR THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2 (DTG 180153Z8), 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4), 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1) AND 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:34:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103284-14127>; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 04:08:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA189782; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 15:01:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6024814 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 14:58:19 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA92308 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 14:58:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id OAA10971 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 14:58:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708171958.OAA10971@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 14:58:19 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 172021z Aug 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ee5f0ad95dba05451ddca037e39424c8 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1520 Status: OR 209 WTPN21 PGTW 172030 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 172021Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 180 NM RADIUS OF 15.2N8 173.7E8 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 171830Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N9 173.9E0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST OF TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE SYSTEM IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MODERATE SOUTHWESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ATTRIBUTED TO THE TROPICAL UPPER-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH LOCATED TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 182030Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:34:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103285-14127>; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 04:10:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA19232; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 15:04:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6024830 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 15:01:14 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA92402 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 14:59:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id OAA10992 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 14:59:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708171959.OAA10992@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 15:01:14 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 039 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 146905226ffcb18c3012a0f34341fdc3 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3807 Status: OR 231 WTPN32 PGTW 172100 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 039 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- 25.9N6 124.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG4327 UNCLAS 125 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 230 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.9N6 124.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 26.9N7 122.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 225 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 28.0N0 120.5E8 PAGE 04 RUHGSGG4327 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 225 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 29.3N4 118.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 05 RUHGSGG4327 UNCLAS OVER WATER 220 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 30.6N9 116.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 33.4N0 112.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 172100Z1 POSITION 26.2N0 124.3E0 TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 PAGE 06 RUHGSGG4327 UNCLAS KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AND TO WEAKEN AS IT MAKES LANDFALL IN MAINLAND CHINA NEAR THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2 (DTG 180153Z8), 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4), 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1) AND 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #4327 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:34:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103262-14127>; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 04:58:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA265748; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 15:51:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6025126 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 15:48:11 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA110698 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 15:46:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id PAA11321 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 15:46:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708172046.PAA11321@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 15:48:11 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Yule (15w) Warning Nr 005 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 581e086e107d18136936a7cdafd9d890 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2877 Status: OR 755 WTPN31 PGTW 172100 1. TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING NR 005 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- 12.3N6 166.6E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.3N6 166.6E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 14.0N5 166.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 15.7N3 166.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 17.3N1 165.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 18.6N5 164.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 21.4N7 162.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 172100Z1 POSITION 12.7N0 166.6E9 TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) IS TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD NEAR THE MARSHALL ISLANDS. THIS WARNING IS RELOCATED BASED ON 171930Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL STORM YULE IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWARD TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND TO INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z7 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6), 180900Z8 (DTG 180751Z2), 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9) AND 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5). REFER TO TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:35:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102623-11716>; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 09:17:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA248856; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 20:03:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6027015 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 20:00:27 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA189840 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 20:00:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id UAA12901 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 20:00:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708180100.UAA12901@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 20:00:27 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Yule (15w) Warning Nr 006 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9a057f687c1479f05fea3ac39b27c2bc X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2596 Status: OR 823 WTPN31 PGTW 180300 1. TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING NR 006 RELOCATED 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 12.3N6 167.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.3N6 167.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 12.6N9 167.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 13.3N7 168.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 14.5N0 168.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 15.8N4 168.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 17.6N4 165.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION 12.4N7 167.3E7 TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE TO THE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AFTER 24 HOURS, TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE WEST AS IT FOLLOWS BEHIND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W, WHICH IS CURRENTLY PASSING TO YULE=S NORTH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z9 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8 (DTG 180751Z2), 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9),182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5) AND 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7). REFER TO TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) AND TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:35:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102654-11716>; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 09:33:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA79964; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 20:26:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6027173 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 20:23:14 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA255324 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 20:23:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id UAA12994 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 20:22:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708180122.UAA12994@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 20:23:14 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: This Warning Supersedes And Cancels Navpacmetoccen West To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4f680c07c38e0f35ea40a0757e9cffe4 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2745 Status: OR 403 WTPN33 PGTW 180300 THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 172021Z AUG 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN23 PGTW 172000 ) 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNING NR 001 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 16.5N2 171.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N2 171.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 16.8N5 169.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 17.0N8 167.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 16.8N5 165.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 16.7N4 163.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 16.8N5 159.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION 16.6N3 170.8E6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W HAS FORMED NORTH OF THE MARSHALL ISLANDS AND IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE GENERALLY WESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. INTERACTION WITH TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WILL RESULT IN ONLY SLOW INTENSIFICATION FOR TD 16W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z9 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8 (DTG 180755Z6), 181500Z5 (DTG 181355Z3),182100Z2 (DTG 181955Z9) AND 190300Z3 (DTG 190155Z1). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 172021Z AUG 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN23 PGTW 172000 ). REFER TO TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:35:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102716-11716>; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 10:27:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA189798; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 21:14:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6027367 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 21:11:19 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA264248 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 21:10:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id VAA13351 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 21:10:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708180210.VAA13351@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 21:11:19 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 040 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 576981251f360bcc0a0611897aa5aa92 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3404 Status: OR 403 WTPN32 PGTW 180300 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 040 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 26.6N4 124.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 230 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 26.6N4 124.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 28.0N0 121.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 225 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 29.4N5 119.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 185 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 30.9N2 117.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 33.0N6 116.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 36.7N6 115.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION 26.9N7 123.5E1 TYPHOON WINNIE IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL IN EASTERN CHINA IN APPROXIMATELY 12 HOURS, FOLLOWED BY RAPID DISSIPATION OVER LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z9 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4), 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1), 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7) AND 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:35:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102716-11716>; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 10:59:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA223586; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 21:47:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6027800 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 21:44:56 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA38616 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 21:44:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id VAA13548 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 21:44:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708180244.VAA13548@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 21:44:56 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 040 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2ad610cefa515272e91f8c356926930a X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3533 Status: OR 858 WTPN32 PGTW 180300 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 040 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 26.6N4 124.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG4518 UNCLAS OVER WATER 230 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 26.6N4 124.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 28.0N0 121.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 225 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 29.4N5 119.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER PAGE 04 RUHGSGG4518 UNCLAS LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 185 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 30.9N2 117.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 33.0N6 116.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT PAGE 05 RUHGSGG4518 UNCLAS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 36.7N6 115.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION 26.9N7 123.5E1 TYPHOON WINNIE IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL IN EASTERN CHINA IN APPROXIMATELY 12 HOURS, FOLLOWED BY RAPID DISSIPATION OVER LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z9 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4), 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1), 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7) AND 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAGE 06 RUHGSGG4518 UNCLAS 16W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #4518 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:35:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102766-11716>; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 14:38:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA161232; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 01:22:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6028909 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 01:20:59 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA03480 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 01:20:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id BAA14783 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 01:20:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708180620.BAA14783@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 01:20:59 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fe14f7ef3ed6daea67993fa3b450e586 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2890 Status: OR 597 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 180153Z AUG 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 180151Z AUG 97// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 180155Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 180000Z9 TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WAS LOCATED AT 26.6N4 124.0E7 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 40 (WTPN32 PGTW 180300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 180000Z9 TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WAS LOCATED AT 12.3N6 167.2E6, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING NR 6 (WTPN31 PGTW 180300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 180000Z9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WAS LOCATED AT 16.5N2 171.4E3 MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNING NR 01 (WTPN33 PGTW 180300Z2)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 178W6 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF C (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNING NR 01 (WTPN33 PGTW 180300Z2) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 151E7 IS NOW NEAR 12N3 149E4. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION REMAINS SPORADIC AND DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4S4 176E4 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/HOOVER/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:35:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102793-26331>; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 16:54:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA34262; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 03:31:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6029384 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 03:29:45 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA252532 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 03:29:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id DAA15588 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 03:29:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708180829.DAA15588@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 03:29:45 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 041 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 79c560754f39d9361b4e40adb3ead590 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3237 Status: OR 473 WTPN32 PGTW 180900 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 041 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- 27.6N5 122.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG4891 UNCLAS OVER WATER 230 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 27.6N5 122.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 29.6N7 120.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 185 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 31.6N0 117.7E6 PAGE 04 RUHGSGG4891 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 34.2N9 116.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 37.1N1 115.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND PAGE 05 RUHGSGG4891 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION 28.1N1 121.9E3 TYPHOON WINNIE IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL PRIOR TO THE 12 HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND BEGIN TO DISSIPATE OVER LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z5 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1), 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7), 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9) AND 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #4891 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:35:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102814-26331>; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 16:57:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA120494; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 03:37:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6029399 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 03:36:32 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA25186 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 03:36:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id DAA15623 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 03:36:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708180836.DAA15623@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 03:36:32 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Yule (15w) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 549e96bf323cdde9d15c73a144c70553 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2995 Status: OR 515 WTPN31 PGTW 180900 1. TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING NR 007 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- 13.3N7 167.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.3N7 167.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 15.7N3 168.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 17.0N8 167.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 17.6N4 167.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 18.2N1 165.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 19.6N6 162.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION 13.9N3 168.1E6 TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TURN TOWARD THE WEST AS IT INTERACTS WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W. YULE (15W) WILL ABSORB TD 16W WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MERGER WILL CAUSE YULE (15W) TO RAPIDLY EXPAND IN RADIUS TO A LARGER THAN AVERAGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. YULE (15W) WILL ACCELERATE TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER THE MERGER AND INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z5 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9), 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5), 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7) AND 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3). REFER TO TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:35:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102821-26331>; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 17:10:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA229128; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 03:46:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6029404 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 03:45:26 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA219362 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 03:45:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id DAA15640 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 03:45:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708180845.DAA15640@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 03:45:26 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 16w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e148f526cc430c8b9ffe57a71e290ad5 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1927 Status: OR 596 WTPN33 PGTW 180900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNING NR 002 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- 17.7N5 170.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N5 170.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 18.1N0 168.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 07 KTS MERGING WITH TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 17.1N9 167.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT MERGED WITH TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION 17.8N6 169.8E4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ABSORBED BY TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SEE TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR FURTHER DETAILS ON THE COMBINED SYSTEMS AFTER 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z5 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5 (DTG 181355Z3), 182100Z2 (DTG 181955Z9) AND 190300Z3 (DTG 190155Z1). REFER TO TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) AND TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:35:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102838-26331>; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 18:09:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA265542; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 04:55:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6029586 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 04:53:51 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA25288 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 04:53:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id EAA15973 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 04:53:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708180953.EAA15973@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 04:53:51 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 041 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 25fa02bd4f3719960e004af5ca6712cc X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3138 Status: OR 386 WTPN32 PGTW 180900 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 041 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- 27.6N5 122.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 230 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 27.6N5 122.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 29.6N7 120.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 185 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 31.6N0 117.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 34.2N9 116.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 37.1N1 115.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION 28.1N1 121.9E3 TYPHOON WINNIE IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL PRIOR TO THE 12 HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND BEGIN TO DISSIPATE OVER LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z5 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1), 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7), 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9) AND 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:35:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102920-26331>; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 22:01:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA102176; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 08:50:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6030839 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 08:48:56 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA146554 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 08:48:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id IAA18172 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 08:48:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708181348.IAA18172@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 08:48:56 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Yule (15w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 43cb0bf7c88c2a43d9ce75b768f1d662 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2879 Status: OR 706 WTPN31 PGTW 181500 1. TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING NR 008 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 13.7N1 168.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.7N1 168.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 14.2N7 168.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 15.1N7 169.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 16.5N2 169.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 18.1N0 168.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 20.4N6 165.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION 13.8N2 168.3E8 TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE FORWARD SPEED OF THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLOW OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS YULE MERGES WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W. AFTER MERGER TROPICAL STORM YULE WILL BEGIN TO INTENSIFY NEAR THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5), 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7), 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3) AND 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0). REFER TO TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) AND TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:35:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102976-26331>; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 22:38:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA74248; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 09:27:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6031023 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 09:25:44 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA256958 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 09:25:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id JAA18894 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 09:25:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708181425.JAA18894@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 09:25:44 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 16w Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 80ab73809f801d35b4475b67debd5162 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1931 Status: OR 359 WTPN33 PGTW 181500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNING NR 003 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 17.8N6 169.2E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.8N6 169.2E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 17.9N7 168.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 05 KTS MERGING WITH TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 17.1N9 168.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT MERGED WITH TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION 17.8N6 169.0E6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE FORWARD SPEED OF THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLOW NEAR THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AS THE SYSTEM MERGES WITH TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W). MERGER IS FORECAST TO BE COMPLETED NEAR THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2 (DTG 181955Z9), 190300Z3 (DTG 190155Z1) AND 190900Z9 (DTG 190755Z7). REFER TO TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) AND TO TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:35:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102960-26331>; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 00:10:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA133608; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 10:54:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6031615 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 10:53:02 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA265970 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 10:53:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id KAA20708 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 10:52:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708181552.KAA20708@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 10:53:02 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 042 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0d60658f3400a29b53b9edd7f4143ab3 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3111 Status: OR 590 WTPN32 PGTW 181500 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 042 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 28.0N0 121.6E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 230 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 28.0N0 121.6E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 29.6N7 119.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 185 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 31.8N2 117.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 34.6N3 115.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 37.7N7 115.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION 28.4N4 121.1E5 TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING INTO MAINLAND CHINA AND WILL BEGIN TO DISSIPATE NEAR THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7), 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9), 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5) AND 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:35:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103313-26331>; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 04:09:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA265532; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 14:59:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6033154 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 14:59:05 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA151846 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 14:59:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id OAA26011 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 14:58:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708181958.OAA26011@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 14:59:05 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 043 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e274acd887528ba45548b94cabfed218 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3188 Status: OR 160 WTPN32 PGTW 182100 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 043 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- 29.3N4 120.6E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 230 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 29.3N4 120.6E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 31.4N8 119.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 185 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 33.5N1 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 35.8N6 117.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 38.4N5 117.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION 29.8N9 120.2E5 TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD OVER MAINLAND CHINA. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AND TO WEAKEN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9), 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5), 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2) AND 192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:35:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103312-26331>; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 04:27:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA265510; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 15:13:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6033287 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 15:13:38 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA152062 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 15:13:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id PAA26459 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 15:13:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708182013.PAA26459@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 15:13:38 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Yule (15w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: be8327a473e9d886122fd4bb3b66c4ab X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2886 Status: OR 378 WTPN31 PGTW 182100 1. TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING NR 009 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- 15.1N7 168.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N7 168.8E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 16.0N7 169.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 17.0N8 169.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 18.0N9 168.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 19.1N1 167.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 21.2N5 165.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION 15.3N9 168.8E3 TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) IS TRACKING NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE FORWARD MOTION OF THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REMAIN SLOW OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS TROPICAL STORM YULE MERGES WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W. AFTER MERGER THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z8 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7), 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3), 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0) AND 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6). REFER TO TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:35:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103311-26331>; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 04:36:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA210602; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 15:26:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6033422 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 15:26:33 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA137368 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 15:26:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id PAA26817 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 15:26:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708182026.PAA26817@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 15:26:33 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 16w Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 65d37c0e7278275213043f03ba9424e8 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1629 Status: OR 528 WTPN33 PGTW 182100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNING NR 004 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- 16.4N1 167.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N1 167.7E1 MERGING WITH TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 15.5N1 168.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT MERGED WITH TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION 16.2N9 167.8E2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. TD 16W IS FORECAST TO COMPLETE MERGER WITH TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) NEAR THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190155Z1). REFER TO TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) AND TO TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:35:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103314-26331>; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 05:12:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA217082; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 15:57:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6033585 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 15:57:05 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA38610 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 15:57:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id PAA27593 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 15:56:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708182056.PAA27593@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 15:57:05 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 16w Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6c11723e155b1791ccb3979181a738cb X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1668 Status: OR 802 WTPN33 PGTW 182100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNING NR 004 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- 16.4N1 167.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N1 167.7E1 MERGING WITH TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 15.5N1 168.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT PAGE 03 RUHGSGG5526 UNCLAS MERGED WITH TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION 16.2N9 167.8E2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. TD 16W IS FORECAST TO COMPLETE MERGER WITH TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) NEAR THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190155Z1). REFER TO TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) AND TO TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #5526 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:35:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103314-26331>; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 05:06:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA238894; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 15:57:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6033590 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 15:57:22 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA189934 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 15:57:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id PAA27588 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 15:56:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708182056.PAA27588@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 15:57:22 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Yule (15w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9eb414e4af6ce6457cb5d84eedb1e253 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2985 Status: OR 801 WTPN31 PGTW 182100 1. TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING NR 009 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- 15.1N7 168.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N7 168.8E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 16.0N7 169.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS PAGE 03 RUHGSGG5525 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 17.0N8 169.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 18.0N9 168.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 19.1N1 167.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG5525 UNCLAS 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 21.2N5 165.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION 15.3N9 168.8E3 TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) IS TRACKING NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE FORWARD MOTION OF THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REMAIN SLOW OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS TROPICAL STORM YULE MERGES WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W. AFTER MERGER THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z8 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT PAGE 05 RUHGSGG5525 UNCLAS INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7), 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3), 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0) AND 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6). REFER TO TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #5525 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:35:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103311-26331>; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 05:11:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA24166; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 16:00:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6033606 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 15:59:57 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA12032 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 15:59:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id PAA27676 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 15:59:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708182059.PAA27676@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 15:59:57 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 043 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 206c02df85a81b423796eef6a4daf764 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3287 Status: OR 827 WTPN32 PGTW 182100 1. TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 043 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- 29.3N4 120.6E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG5527 UNCLAS OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 230 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 29.3N4 120.6E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 31.4N8 119.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 185 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 12 KTS PAGE 04 RUHGSGG5527 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 33.5N1 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 35.8N6 117.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 05 RUHGSGG5527 UNCLAS 201800Z1 --- 38.4N5 117.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION 29.8N9 120.2E5 TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD OVER MAINLAND CHINA. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AND TO WEAKEN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9), 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5), 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2) AND 192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #5527 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 09:35:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103014-16846>; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 07:14:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA158058; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 18:06:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6034119 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 18:06:22 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id SAA238936 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 18:06:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id SAA29140 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 18:06:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708182306.SAA29140@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 18:06:22 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 16w Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ac1bd0067e0ff85bf65eb8e69a60ff31 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1668 Status: OR 527 WTPN33 PGTW 182100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNING NR 004 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- 16.4N1 167.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N1 167.7E1 MERGING WITH TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 15.5N1 168.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT PAGE 03 RUHGSGG5526 UNCLAS MERGED WITH TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION 16.2N9 167.8E2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. TD 16W IS FORECAST TO COMPLETE MERGER WITH TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) NEAR THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190155Z1). REFER TO TYPHOON WINNIE (14W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) AND TO TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #5526 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 12:35:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102769-16846>; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 10:05:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA79930; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 20:38:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6035041 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 20:36:29 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA93676 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 20:36:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id UAA00095 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 20:36:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708190136.UAA00095@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 20:36:29 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Yule (15w) Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5c1b81a72c5b4a420061883231bf1b73 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2961 Status: OR 658 WTPN31 PGTW 190300 1. TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING NR 010 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 15.7N3 168.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N3 168.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 16.9N6 168.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 18.0N9 167.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 19.1N1 167.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 20.2N4 167.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 22.0N4 165.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 16.0N7 168.2E7 TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM HAS MERGED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWARD THROUGH 36 HOURS, THEN TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST THROUGH 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z0 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3), 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0), 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6) AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM WINNIE (14W) WARNING (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNING (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 12:35:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103006-16846>; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 10:42:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA92370; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 21:33:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6035228 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 21:32:58 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA24126 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 21:30:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id VAA00704 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 21:30:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708190230.VAA00704@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 21:32:58 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 16w Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ed44d0d01f1c0da18a194c2b5bb82961 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1689 Status: OR 567 WTPN33 PGTW 190300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNING NR 005 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 16.3N0 167.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT MERGING WITH TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) REPEAT POSIT: 16.3N0 167.3E7 --- 06 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 15.8N4 167.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT MERGED WITH TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 237.5S7 124.3W0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W IS MERGING WITH TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z0 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM WINNIE (14W) WARNING (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 12:35:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103040-16846>; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 10:41:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA24116; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 21:33:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6035257 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 21:33:30 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA220886 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 21:12:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id VAA00529 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 21:12:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708190212.VAA00529@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 21:33:30 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 044 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: aab9a3bb81cd0b17d5a4792cb763c6aa X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2760 Status: OR 272 WTPN32 PGTW 190300 1. TROPICAL STORM WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 044 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 14W 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 30.2N5 118.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 30.2N5 118.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 31.7N1 116.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 33.2N8 114.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 34.6N3 114.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 30.6N9 118.2E2 TROPICAL STORM WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS WEAKENING RAPIDLY DUE TO INTERACTION WITH THE TOPOGRAPHY OF MAINLAND CHINA AND IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND WITHIN 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z0 IS 22 FEET OVER OPEN WATER TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNING (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Aug 19 12:35:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103050-16846>; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 11:27:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA252492; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 22:09:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6035728 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 22:09:20 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA151866 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 22:09:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id WAA01078 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 22:08:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708190308.WAA01078@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 22:09:20 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Winnie (14w) Warning Nr 044 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 53826aa1cd4766db3ef608c85c7c18ed X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2859 Status: OR 032 WTPN32 PGTW 190300 1. TROPICAL STORM WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 044 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 14W 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 30.2N5 118.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND PAGE 03 RUHGSGG5741 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 30.2N5 118.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 31.7N1 116.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 33.2N8 114.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER PAGE 04 RUHGSGG5741 UNCLAS LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 34.6N3 114.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 30.6N9 118.2E2 TROPICAL STORM WINNIE (14W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS WEAKENING RAPIDLY DUE TO INTERACTION WITH THE TOPOGRAPHY OF MAINLAND CHINA AND IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND WITHIN 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z0 IS 22 FEET OVER OPEN WATER TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE PAGE 05 RUHGSGG5741 UNCLAS CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNING (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// BT #5741 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103330-16846>; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 14:11:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA151926; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 00:43:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6036829 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 00:43:10 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA210530 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 00:43:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id AAA02040 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 00:42:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708190542.AAA02040@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 19 Aug 1997 00:43:10 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 142a06e9d71764be9b5f22369f98e653 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2534 Status: OR 895 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 190153Z AUG 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 190151Z AUG 97// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 190155Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0 TROPICAL STORM WINNIE (14W) WAS LOCATED AT 30.2N5 118.7E7 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM WINNIE (14W) WARNING NR 44 (WTPN32 PGTW 190300)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 190000Z0 TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WAS LOCATED AT 15.7N3 168.2E7, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING NR 10 (WTPN31 PGTW 190300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 190000Z0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WAS LOCATED AT 16.3N0 167.3E7 MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNING NR 05 (WTPN33 PGTW 190300)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (4) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 149E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13N4 149E4. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AND CONVECTION REMAINS SPORADIC AND DISORGANIZED. A TUTT JUST TO THE NORTH IS SUPPRESSING DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/FINTA/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103338-16846>; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 16:15:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA239018; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 03:02:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6037597 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 03:02:47 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA67734 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 03:02:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id DAA02974 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 03:02:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708190802.DAA02974@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 19 Aug 1997 03:02:47 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Yule (15w) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 44b7618dc5fdcd43d044f0c0a0b437bb X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2990 Status: OR 151 WTPN31 PGTW 190900 1. TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- 16.9N6 167.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.9N6 167.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 18.1N0 167.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 19.3N3 167.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 20.5N7 166.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 21.7N0 166.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 23.8N3 164.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION 17.2N0 167.6E0 TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM HAS MERGED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W. TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING GENERALLY NORTH-NORTHWEST AND INTENSIFY THROUGH 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z6 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0), 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6), 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9) AND 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102766-16846>; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 17:40:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA265910; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 04:33:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6037915 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 04:32:58 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA252064 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 04:32:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id EAA03406 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 04:32:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708190932.EAA03406@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 19 Aug 1997 04:32:58 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Yule (15w) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4e4942528ca86a1696f688826ee594e8 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3089 Status: OR 278 WTPN31 PGTW 190900 1. TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- 16.9N6 167.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.9N6 167.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 18.1N0 167.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT PAGE 03 RUHGSGG6102 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 19.3N3 167.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 20.5N7 166.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHGSGG6102 UNCLAS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 21.7N0 166.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 23.8N3 164.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION 17.2N0 167.6E0 PAGE 05 RUHGSGG6102 UNCLAS TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM HAS MERGED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W. TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING GENERALLY NORTH-NORTHWEST AND INTENSIFY THROUGH 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z6 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0), 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6), 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9) AND 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5).// BT #6102 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103354-16846>; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 22:02:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA234982; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 08:50:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6039457 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 08:50:04 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA112522 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 08:50:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id IAA05493 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 08:49:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708191349.IAA05493@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 19 Aug 1997 08:50:04 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Yule (15w) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5087a964e4022a951a5c41b2ddbc08ea X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2917 Status: OR 901 WTPN31 PGTW 191500 1. TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- 18.2N1 167.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N1 167.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 19.4N4 166.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 20.6N8 166.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 21.7N0 165.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 22.9N3 165.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 25.6N3 165.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION 18.5N4 167.1E5 TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO WARNING PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6), 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9), 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5) AND 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103386-16846>; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 04:20:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA08914; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 15:05:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6042653 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 15:03:40 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA256776 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 15:03:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id PAA16215 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 15:03:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708192003.PAA16215@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 19 Aug 1997 15:03:40 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Yule (15w) Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f8fda533c1c5c87478646acde0381419 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3131 Status: OR 249 WTPN31 PGTW 192100 1. TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- 18.3N2 167.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 167.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 19.3N3 166.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 20.8N0 165.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 22.4N8 165.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 24.0N6 165.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 28.8N8 166.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION 18.6N5 166.9E2 TROPICAL STORM YULE (16W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE STORM IS ANTICIPATED TO CONTINUE IN THIS DIRECTION THROUGH 24 HOURS BEFORE TURNING NORTHWARD. SLOW INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9), 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5), 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2) AND 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102846-7565>; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 09:58:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA162596; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 20:50:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6046645 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 20:47:02 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA251910 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 20:45:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id UAA20432 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 20:45:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708200145.UAA20432@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 19 Aug 1997 20:47:02 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0e5f6f16557ea59b98e8e6596b32cfa0 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3613 Status: OR 813 ABPW10 PGTW 200130 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200130/20600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 191951Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 191800Z9 TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WAS LOCATED AT 18.3N2 167.1E5, MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING NR 13 (WTPN31 PGTW 192100)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 149E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18N9 148E3. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AND CONVECTION REMAINS SPORADIC AND DISORGANIZED. AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW JUST TO THE NORTH IS SUPPRESSING DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 18N9 115E7. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION EXISTS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES A WEAK UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO ITS NORTHWEST IS CREATING AN AREA OF UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE JUST NORTHEAST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 15N6 136E0. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DTA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION EXISTS ONLY TO THE SOUTH OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES WEAK UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8S8 176E4. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK, BROAD CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER-LEVEL EASTERLY WINDS ARE INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT OF DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: TREHUBENKO/FINTA/WOFFORD/PUGH// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102599-7565>; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 10:29:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA23162; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 21:19:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6047231 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 21:16:34 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA40916 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 21:14:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id VAA20702 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 21:14:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708200214.VAA20702@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 19 Aug 1997 21:16:34 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Yule (15w) Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 105e440197fe658bfcf259ad31449d25 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3262 Status: OR 285 WTPN31 PGTW 200300 1. TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- 18.9N8 167.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.9N8 167.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 20.1N3 167.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 21.6N9 167.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 23.3N8 167.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 25.6N3 167.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 30.7N0 168.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION 19.2N2 167.2E6 TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWARD AND ACCELERATE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY THROUGH 48 HOURS AND PEAK AT MINIMAL TYPHOON INTENSITY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z2 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5), 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2), 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8) AND 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102581-7565>; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 10:32:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA220100; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 21:24:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6047300 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 21:22:02 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA228778 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 21:21:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id VAA20738 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 21:20:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708200220.VAA20738@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 19 Aug 1997 21:22:02 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Yule (15w) Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c793cb29303e019ad1c2c1c01f3d9133 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 514 Status: OR 380 WTPN31 PGTW 200300 1. TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING NR 014 -- +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103114-7565>; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 15:06:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA146536; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 01:54:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6049404 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 01:52:56 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA162582 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 01:52:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id BAA22289 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 01:52:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708200652.BAA22289@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 20 Aug 1997 01:52:56 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 44a443e5365ba5c0117f28060026d482 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3594 Status: OR 083 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600/210600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 200151Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2 TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WAS LOCATED AT 18.9N8 167.2E6, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING NR 14 (WTPN31 PGTW 200300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 149E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14N5 147E2. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AND CONVECTION REMAINS SPORADIC AND DISORGANIZED. AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW JUST TO THE NORTH IS SUPPRESSING DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 19N0 116E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION EXISTS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER-LEVEL WINDS FROM THE NORTHEAST ARE INHIBITING THE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1001 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 15N6 137E1. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION EXISTS ONLY TO THE SOUTH OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES WEAK UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 176E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6S6 168E5. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK, BROAD CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER- LEVEL EASTERLY WINDS ARE INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT OF DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: TREHUBENKO/FINTA/WOFFORD/PUGH// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103107-7565>; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 15:53:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA84948; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 02:23:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6049459 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 02:20:45 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA216998 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 02:20:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id CAA22454 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 02:20:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708200720.CAA22454@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 20 Aug 1997 02:20:45 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Yule (15w) Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: dd2573c6c712f7f8c38d69865434abf3 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3546 Status: OR 545 WTPN31 PGTW 200900 1. TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- 19.7N7 167.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.7N7 167.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 21.3N6 167.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 23.0N5 166.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 25.2N9 166.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 27.5N4 167.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 33.0N6 169.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION 20.1N3 167.2E6 TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST REASONING. CONTINUED NORTHWARD MOTION AND ACCELERATION ARE ANTICIPATED. TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE NEXT 36 HOURS AND PEAK AS A MINIMAL INTENSITY TYPHOON. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN DECREASING IN INTENSITY AFTER 48 HOURS AS IT BEGINS TO TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z8 IS 16 FEET.REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2), 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8), 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0) AND 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103443-7565>; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 22:12:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA265948; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 09:01:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6051580 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 09:00:26 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA219194 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 08:56:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id IAA25191 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 08:56:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708201356.IAA25191@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 20 Aug 1997 09:00:26 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Yule (15w) Warning Nr 016 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5674f78416ae769eff1508f15aeb3cb7 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3232 Status: OR 630 WTPN31 PGTW 201500 1. TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- 20.0N2 167.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.0N2 167.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 21.2N5 167.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 23.0N5 167.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 25.3N0 167.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 27.5N4 167.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 33.2N8 169.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION 20.3N5 167.2E6 TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8), 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0), 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6) AND 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103539-7565>; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 03:56:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA02570; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 14:40:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6055062 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 14:37:41 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA84746 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 14:31:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id OAA01802 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 14:31:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708201931.OAA01802@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 20 Aug 1997 14:37:41 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Yule (15w) Warning Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f5a82c8b1e4441307fcaf79eb673bfa7 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3231 Status: OR 573 WTPN31 PGTW 202100 1. TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- 20.8N0 167.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N0 167.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 22.1N5 167.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 24.0N6 167.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 26.0N8 167.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 28.2N2 167.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 34.3N0 169.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION 21.1N4 167.3E7 TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 5 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0), 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6), 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3) AND 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103612-7565>; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 04:52:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA34074; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 15:45:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6055779 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 15:42:07 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA232278 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 15:40:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id PAA03296 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 15:39:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708202039.PAA03296@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 20 Aug 1997 15:42:07 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 202021z Aug 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b7258d09a6a9fa50f7ead9552a2de567 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1389 Status: OR 377 WTPN22 PGTW 202030 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 202021Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 19.3N3 117.6E5 TO 22.5N9 112.8E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 201732Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N5 116.4E2. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE ORGANIZATION AND BANDING ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS IMPROVED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. CENTRAL CONVECTION IS ALSO BECOMING MORE PROMINENT. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 999 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 212030Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102442-29774>; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 08:48:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA120846; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 19:41:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6058409 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 19:38:10 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA133150 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 19:38:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id TAA05835 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 19:37:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708210037.TAA05835@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 20 Aug 1997 19:38:10 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: This Warning Supersedes And Cancels Navpacmetoccen West To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9e73e1d11399b649b0d8850c20241e98 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3178 Status: OR 941 WTPN32 PGTW 210300 THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 202021Z AUG 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 202030) 1. TROPICAL STORM ZITA (17W) WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- 19.9N9 116.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.9N9 116.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 20.6N8 114.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 21.3N6 113.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 22.2N6 112.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 23.1N6 111.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 25.1N8 109.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION 20.1N3 115.8E5 TROPICAL STORM ZITA (17W) HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA AND IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS, MAKING LANDFALL NEAR THE 36 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z3 IS 07 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2 (DTG 210753Z8), 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5), 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1) AND 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 202021Z AUG 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 202030 ) REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102609-29774>; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 10:11:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA249066; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 21:01:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6058984 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 20:59:01 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA248890 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 20:59:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id UAA06486 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 20:58:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708210158.UAA06486@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 20 Aug 1997 20:59:01 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Yule (15w) Warning Nr 018 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 879437c69f419880c26f780350cf99a2 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3126 Status: OR 674 WTPN31 PGTW 210300 1. TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING NR 018 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- 22.1N5 167.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.1N5 167.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 25.5N2 168.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 28.8N8 168.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 32.4N9 169.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 21 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 36.6N5 170.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 45.1N0 172.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION 22.9N3 167.8E2 TROPICAL STORM YULE IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY BEFORE BEGINNING EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION IN 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z3 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6), 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3), 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9) AND 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ZITA (17W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102566-29774>; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 10:55:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA38570; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 21:50:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6059328 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 21:47:36 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA238990 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 21:45:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id VAA06846 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 21:45:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708210245.VAA06846@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 20 Aug 1997 21:47:36 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 210255z Aug 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6c7a35895547cbd5b0d29a817c2c9e58 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1107 Status: OR 449 WTPN21 PGTW 210300 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 210255Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 160 NM RADIUS OF 12.6N9 131.6E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 202330Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N9 131.6E1. THE SYSTEM IS QUASISTATIONARY 2. REMARKS: SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATE THAT CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO ORGANIZE AROUND A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 220300Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102909-29774>; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 14:04:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA105460; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 00:56:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6060870 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 00:53:35 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA34092 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 00:53:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id AAA07941 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 00:53:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708210553.AAA07941@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 21 Aug 1997 00:53:35 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: edb3d269ff550ed1d8a4f2fc5bd4aa69 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3122 Status: OR 889 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600/210600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 210151Z AUG 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 210153Z AUG 97// REF/C/RMG NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 210155Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z3 TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WAS LOCATED AT 22.1N5 167.7E1, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING NR 18 (WTPN31 PGTW 210300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 210000Z2 TROPICAL STORM ZITA (17W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.9N9 116.1E9 MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM ZITA (17W) WARNING NR 01 (WTPN32 PGTW 210300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 147E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.3N8 151.5E2. SYNOPTIC DATA AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION REMAINS SPORADIC AND DISORGANIZED. AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TO THE NORTH IS SUPPRESSING DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19N0 116E8 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM ZITA (17W) WARNING NR 01 (WTPN32 PGTW 200300) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15N6 137E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.6N9 131.6E1 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF C (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 210300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 176E4 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/HOOVER/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103138-29774>; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 16:07:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA133480; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 02:54:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6061597 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 02:51:58 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA112612 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 02:51:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id CAA08522 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 02:51:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708210751.CAA08522@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 21 Aug 1997 02:51:58 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Zita (17w) Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f9ed8ca27358e1c7ee151b648ac899c5 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3764 Status: OR 945 WTPN32 PGTW 210900 1. TROPICAL STORM ZITA (17W) WARNING NR 002 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- 20.1N3 114.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N3 114.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 20.4N6 112.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 20.8N0 110.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 21.3N6 108.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 21.9N2 106.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 23.4N9 102.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION 20.2N4 113.8E3 TROPICAL STORM ZITA IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WESTWARD AND INTENSIFY PRIOR TO LANDFALL. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 210530Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. WIND RADII ARE BASED ON IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z9 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5), 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1), 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3) AND 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W WARNINGS FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103419-29774>; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 16:31:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA120886; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 03:15:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6061626 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 03:13:05 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA123228 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 03:13:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id DAA08751 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 03:12:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708210812.DAA08751@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 21 Aug 1997 03:13:05 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Yule (15w) Warning Nr 019 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3eccbfa93ecdaac200b5f487da74a70d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3086 Status: OR 187 WTPN31 PGTW 210900 1. TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING NR 019 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- 23.0N5 168.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.0N5 168.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 25.7N4 168.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 28.6N6 168.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 32.0N5 169.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 20 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 35.9N7 170.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 44.9N7 170.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION 23.7N2 168.0E5 TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE NORTHWARD AND BEGIN TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z9 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3), 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9), 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1) AND 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ZITA (17W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103405-29774>; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 16:52:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA196580; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 03:36:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6061760 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 03:33:45 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA102146 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 03:33:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id DAA08867 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 03:33:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708210833.DAA08867@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 21 Aug 1997 03:33:45 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: This Warning Supersedes And Cancels Navpacmetoccen West To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 279f1ff1286de45871f314adc95ed6f8 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2599 Status: OR 456 WTPN33 PGTW 210900 THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 210255Z AUG 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN23 PGTW 210300 ) 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W WARNING NR 001 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- 13.4N8 131.3E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - QUASISTATIONARY POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.4N8 131.3E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 13.5N9 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 13.6N0 130.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 13.7N1 130.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 13.8N2 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 14.2N7 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION 13.4N8 131.3E8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W HAS FORMED IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA AND IS QUASISTATIONARY. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DRIFT WESTWARD OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD AND INTENSIFY VERY SLOWLY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z9 IS 07 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9 (DTG 211355Z7), 212100Z6 (DTG 211955Z3), 220300Z7 (DTG 220155Z5) AND 220900Z3 (DTG 220755Z1). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 210255Z AUG 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN23 PGTW 210300 ) REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TROPICAL STORM ZITA (17W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103546-29774>; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 21:47:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA162668; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 08:39:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6063547 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 08:36:55 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA38508 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 08:36:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id IAA11221 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 08:36:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708211336.IAA11221@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 21 Aug 1997 08:36:55 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1fb09f9dc83ec7d02133a5898e722f96 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 497 Status: OR 499 WTPN32 PGTW 210900 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103554-29774>; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 22:03:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA19350; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 08:42:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6063552 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 08:39:54 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA189822 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 08:37:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id IAA11225 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 08:36:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708211336.IAA11225@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 21 Aug 1997 08:39:54 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Zita (17w) Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3c9f4c49f6f404751afc9f8f556262a0 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3762 Status: OR 500 WTPN32 PGTW 211500 1. TROPICAL STORM ZITA (17W) WARNING NR 003 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- 20.3N5 113.1E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, SYNOPTIC DATA AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N5 113.1E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 20.8N0 110.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 21.1N4 109.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 21.5N8 107.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 21.7N0 106.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 22.2N6 103.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 211500Z9 POSITION 20.4N6 112.6E0 TROPICAL STORM ZITA (17W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY TO THROUGH THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1), 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3), 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9) AND 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103099-29774>; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 22:57:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA252424; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 09:36:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6063961 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 09:33:55 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA199342 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 09:33:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id JAA12419 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 09:33:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708211433.JAA12419@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 21 Aug 1997 09:33:55 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Yule (15w) Warning Nr 020 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8e519412d216bbd50bca1b9adb742ebf X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3021 Status: OR 490 WTPN31 PGTW 211500 1. TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING NR 020 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- 24.1N7 168.6E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.1N7 168.6E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 26.9N7 169.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 30.6N9 170.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 35.0N8 171.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 25 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 40.0N4 172.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 211500Z9 POSITION 24.8N4 168.8E3 TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD AND WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION NEAR THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL NEAR THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9), 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1), 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7) AND 221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ZITA (17W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) AND TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103570-29774>; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 23:01:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA19310; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 09:44:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6063989 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 09:41:14 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA219166 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 09:40:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id JAA12568 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 09:40:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708211440.JAA12568@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 21 Aug 1997 09:41:14 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 18w Warning Nr 002 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d0f9bd95a4337196260bc0991293cc92 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2544 Status: OR 534 WTPN33 PGTW 211500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W WARNING NR 002 RELOCATED 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- 14.7N2 133.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - QUASI-STATIONARY POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N2 133.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 15.0N6 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 15.3N9 132.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 15.5N1 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 15.8N4 131.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 16.6N3 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 211500Z9 POSITION 14.8N3 132.9E5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W IS QUASI-STATIONARY IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. THIS WARNING IS RELOCATED BASED ON 211114Z SATELLITE MICROWAVE IMAGERY DISPLAYING A WELL- DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. TD 18W IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z6 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z6 (DTG 211955Z3), 220300Z7 (DTG 220155Z5), 220900Z3 (DTG 220755Z1) AND 221500Z0 (DTG 221355Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TO TROPICAL STORM ZITA (17W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103608-29774>; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 03:19:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA133450; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 14:11:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6066598 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 14:11:38 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA105272 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 14:11:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id OAA19719 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 14:11:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708211911.OAA19719@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 21 Aug 1997 14:11:38 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Zita (17w) Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e23a5da97998661a1041abc041100482 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3830 Status: OR 606 WTPN32 PGTW 212100 1. TROPICAL STORM ZITA (17W) WARNING NR 004 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- 20.1N3 112.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N3 112.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 20.1N3 110.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 20.2N4 109.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 20.4N6 108.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 20.7N9 106.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 21.3N6 103.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 212100Z6 POSITION 20.1N3 111.9E2 TROPICAL STORM ZITA (17W) IS TRACKING WESTWARD IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA AT 08 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM ZITA IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WESTWARD TO WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z2 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3), 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9), 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6) AND 222100Z7 (DTG 221953Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103609-29774>; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 03:48:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA161030; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 14:37:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6066740 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 14:36:05 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA133596 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 14:36:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id OAA20159 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 14:35:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708211935.OAA20159@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 21 Aug 1997 14:36:05 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Yule (15w) Warning Nr 021 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a1cbcb161e4f101e174f2779e9d5d47f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2906 Status: OR 963 WTPN31 PGTW 212100 1. TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING NR 021 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- 25.0N7 169.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.0N7 169.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 28.4N4 170.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 33.3N9 171.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 39.0N2 172.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 30 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 44.9N7 173.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 212100Z6 POSITION 25.8N5 169.3E9 TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND TO BE EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z2 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1), 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7), 221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4) AND 222100Z7 (DTG 221951Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ZITA (17W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) AND TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103614-29774>; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 04:30:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA133220; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 15:20:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6067149 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 15:18:55 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA217006 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 15:18:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id PAA21493 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 15:18:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708212018.PAA21493@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 21 Aug 1997 15:18:55 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Amber (18w) Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 431df88847fb45b7f12d20e69f871cbb X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2651 Status: OR 458 WTPN33 PGTW 212100 1. TROPICAL STORM AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 003 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- 14.9N4 132.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - QUASI-STATIONARY POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.9N4 132.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 15.0N6 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 15.3N9 131.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 15.7N3 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 16.1N8 130.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 16.7N4 129.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 212100Z6 POSITION 14.9N4 132.3E9 TROPICAL STORM AMBER (18W) HAS BEEN UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W. TROPICAL STORM AMBER IS QUASI- STATIONARY IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. TROPICAL STORM AMBER IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z2 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z7 (DTG 220155Z5), 220900Z3 (DTG 220755Z1), 221500Z0 (DTG 221355Z8) AND 222100Z7 (DTG 221955Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TO TROPICAL STORM ZITA (17W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102561-25312>; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 10:08:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA133176; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 20:58:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6070557 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 20:58:42 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA232432 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 20:58:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id UAA25930 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 20:58:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708220158.UAA25930@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 21 Aug 1997 20:58:42 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Amber (18w) Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 35bd9fb1ba2f72d5ceafc6f0303ea41b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2735 Status: OR 064 WTPN33 PGTW 220300 1. TROPICAL STORM AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 004 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- 14.4N9 131.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 14.4N9 131.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 14.5N0 131.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 14.6N1 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 14.8N3 131.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 15.0N6 130.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 15.4N0 130.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION 14.4N9 131.8E3 TROPICAL STORM AMBER (18W) IS QUASISTATIONARY IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. AMBER (18W) HAS INTENSIFIED RAPIDLY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS, AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z3 (DTG 220755Z1), 221500Z0 (DTG 221355Z8), 222100Z7 (DTG 221955Z4) AND 230300Z8 (DTG 230155Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TO TROPICAL STORM ZITA (17W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102597-25312>; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 10:31:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA137384; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 21:20:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6070843 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 21:20:53 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA196480 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 21:20:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id VAA26129 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 21:20:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708220220.VAA26129@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 21 Aug 1997 21:20:53 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Zita (17w) Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fbd9197c31d896b321e53a8d15a0e7d6 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3488 Status: OR 466 WTPN32 PGTW 220300 1. TYPHOON ZITA (17W) WARNING NR 005 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 17W 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- 20.3N5 111.4E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N5 111.4E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 20.8N0 109.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 21.3N6 107.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 21.7N0 106.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 22.2N6 104.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 23.1N6 102.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION 20.4N6 110.9E1 TYPHOON ZITA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY BEFORE LANDFALL IN NORTHERN VIETNAM NEAR THE 24 FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z4 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9), 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6), 222100Z7 (DTG 221953Z2) AND 230300Z8 (DTG 230153Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TO TROPICAL STORM AMBER (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102597-25312>; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 10:37:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA216976; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 21:30:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6071005 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 21:29:57 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA19258 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 21:29:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id VAA26190 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 21:29:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708220229.VAA26190@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 21 Aug 1997 21:29:57 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Yule (15w) Warning Nr 022 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 28737c56670083f2b9a59f0193bd5870 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2848 Status: OR 612 WTPN31 PGTW 220300 1. TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING NR 022 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- 27.3N2 169.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 24 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 27.3N2 169.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 31.7N1 171.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 36.6N5 172.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 42.1N7 173.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 30 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 48.0N2 174.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION 28.4N4 170.3E1 TROPICAL STORM YULE IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 24 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL AND MERGE WITH A FRONTAL TROUGH TO THE NORTH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z4 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7), 221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4), 222100Z7 (DTG 221951Z0) AND 230300Z8 (DTG 230151Z2). REFER TO TYPHOON ZITA (17W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) AND TO TROPICAL STORM AMBER (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <104310-25312>; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 14:28:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA129308; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 00:38:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6072434 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 00:37:08 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA223682 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 00:37:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id AAA27517 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 00:36:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708220536.AAA27517@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 22 Aug 1997 00:37:08 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: dd6fd5f60939553e918ce96167ed9b16 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2896 Status: OR 260 ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600/230600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 220151Z AUG 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 220153Z AUG 97// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 220155Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 220000Z4 TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WAS LOCATED AT 27.3N2 169.9E5, MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 24 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING NR 22 (WTPN31 PGTW 220300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 220000Z4 TYPHOON ZITA (17W) WAS LOCATED AT 20.3N5 111.4E7 MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON ZITA (17W) WARNING NR 05 (WTPN32 PGTW 220300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 220000Z4 TROPICAL STORM AMBER (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 14.4N9 131.9E4 AND WAS QUASISTATIONARY IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL STORM AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 04 (WTPN33 PGTW 220300)) AND SIX HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.3N8 151.5E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.8N2 154.7E7. SYNOPTIC DATA AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION IS LOCATED 80NM WEST OF CIRCULATION CENTER AND REMAINS DISORGANIZED. AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TO THE NORTH IS SUPPRESSING DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.6N9 131.6E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.4N9 131.9E4 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF C (TROPICAL STORM AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 04 (WTPN33 PGTW 220300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/HOOVER/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102615-25312>; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 16:06:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA264336; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 02:52:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6073098 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 02:51:49 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA34170 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 02:51:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id CAA28119 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 02:51:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708220751.CAA28119@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 22 Aug 1997 02:51:49 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Yule (15w) Warning Nr 023 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c4f0ce85cc937bc42ad143d7941d92e5 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2252 Status: OR 543 WTPN31 PGTW 220900 1. TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING NR 023 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- 29.6N7 170.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 24 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.6N7 170.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 34.3N0 170.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 39.8N0 170.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 46.0N0 169.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220900Z3 POSITION 30.8N1 170.7E5 TROPICAL STORM YULE IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 24 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS INTERACTING WITH A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH AND SHOULD COMPLETE TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW BY THE 36 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z0 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4), 222100Z7 (DTG 21951Z0), 230300Z8 (DTG 230151Z2) AND 230900Z4 (DTG 230751Z8). REFER TO TYPHOON ZITA (17W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) AND TO TROPICAL STORM AMBER (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102667-25312>; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 16:04:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA34126; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 02:53:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6073138 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 02:53:03 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA264390 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 02:52:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id CAA28125 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 02:52:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708220752.CAA28125@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 22 Aug 1997 02:53:03 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Amber (18w) Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cd50b731c11410596a0d0a33c4439e15 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2844 Status: OR 544 WTPN33 PGTW 220900 1. TROPICAL STORM AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 005 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- 14.8N3 131.6E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 14.8N3 131.6E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 14.9N4 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 15.0N6 131.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 15.3N9 130.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 15.6N2 130.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 16.8N5 128.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 220900Z3 POSITION 14.8N3 131.5E0 TROPICAL STORM AMBER IS QUASISTATIONARY IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AND BEGIN TO ACCELERATE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z0 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z0 (DTG 221355Z8), 222100Z7 (DTG 221955Z4), 230300Z8 (DTG 230155Z6) AND 230900Z4 (DTG 230755Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TO TYPHOON ZITA (17W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102728-25312>; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 16:35:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA94386; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 03:26:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6073253 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 03:26:16 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA97952 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 03:26:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id DAA28460 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 03:25:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708220825.DAA28460@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 22 Aug 1997 03:26:16 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Zita (17w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7b6e46faf710c6de2f9b8b65625b3d49 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3694 Status: OR 977 WTPN32 PGTW 220900 1. TYPHOON ZITA (17W) WARNING NR 006 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- 21.2N5 109.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.2N5 109.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 22.3N7 107.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 22.9N3 106.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 23.4N9 104.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 24.0N6 103.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 24.8N4 101.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 220900Z3 POSITION 21.5N8 109.3E3 TYPHOON ZITA (17W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING OVER LAND AFTER PASSING THE 12 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON VISUAL SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z0 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6), 222100Z7 (DTG 221953Z2), 230300Z8 (DTG 230153Z4) AND 230900Z4 (DTG 230753Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TO TROPICAL STORM AMBER (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103707-25312>; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 21:54:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA199320; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 08:18:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6074774 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 08:18:02 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAB195458 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 08:18:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id IAA00222 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 08:17:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708221317.IAA00222@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 22 Aug 1997 08:18:02 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Amber (18w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0d3b3fcbc2a9eb796b0ec1d0f63a9770 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2836 Status: OR 990 WTPN33 PGTW 221500 1. TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 006 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM AMBER (18W) 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- 15.0N6 131.6E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - QUASI-STATIONARY POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.0N6 131.6E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 15.2N8 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 15.6N2 130.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 16.2N9 129.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 16.7N4 128.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 17.8N6 127.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 221500Z0 POSITION 15.0N6 131.5E0 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) IS QUASI-STATIONARY IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z7 (DTG 221955Z4), 230300Z8 (DTG 230155Z6), 230900Z4 (DTG 230755Z2) AND 231500Z1 (DTG 231355Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TO TYPHOON ZITA (17W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103706-25312>; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 22:02:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA38560; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 08:48:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6074878 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 08:48:15 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA195470 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 08:48:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id IAA00676 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 08:47:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708221347.IAA00676@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 22 Aug 1997 08:48:15 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Zita (17w) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 20098009cc5cc3e4a961e8e26935f09a X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2794 Status: OR 702 WTPN32 PGTW 221500 1. TYPHOON ZITA (17W) WARNING NR 007 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- 21.4N7 108.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.4N7 108.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 22.2N6 106.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 22.8N2 104.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 23.2N7 102.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 221500Z0 POSITION 21.6N9 108.1E0 TYPHOON ZITA (17W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AND TO WEAKEN AS IT MAKES LANDFALL IN NORTHERN VIETNAM WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z7 (DTG 221953Z2), 230300Z8 (DTG 230153Z4), 230900Z4 (DTG 230753Z0) AND 231500Z1 (DTG 231353Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TO TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103704-25312>; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 22:18:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA12080; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 09:04:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6074932 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 09:04:21 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA162078 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 09:04:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id JAA01032 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 09:04:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708221404.JAA01032@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 22 Aug 1997 09:04:21 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Yule (15w) Warning Nr 024 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a9b4532b06e0e36e71ff31966f255e29 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1984 Status: OR 932 WTPN31 PGTW 221500 1. TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING NR 024 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- 32.2N7 172.5E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 30 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 32.2N7 172.5E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 38.1N2 174.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 44.5N3 175.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 221500Z0 POSITION 33.7N3 173.0E1 TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 30 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BE EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z7 (DTG 221951Z0), 230300Z8 (DTG 230151Z2) AND 230900Z4 (DTG 230751Z8). REFER TO TYPHOON ZITA (17W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) AND TO TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103367-25312>; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 03:22:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA34132; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 14:11:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6077630 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 14:11:21 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA02626 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 14:11:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id OAA07965 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 14:11:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708221911.OAA07965@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 22 Aug 1997 14:11:21 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Amber (18w) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a49c846e5d4721941ae967f6d3d9d8ee X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2810 Status: OR 688 WTPN33 PGTW 222100 1. TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 007 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- 15.4N0 131.6E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N0 131.6E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 15.8N4 131.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 16.2N9 131.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 16.9N6 130.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 17.5N3 129.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 18.7N6 127.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 222100Z7 POSITION 15.5N1 131.5E0 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT TWO KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD NEAR THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8 (DTG 230155Z6), 230900Z4 (DTG 230755Z2), 231500Z1 (DTG 231355Z9) AND 232100Z8 (DTG 231955Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TO TYPHOON ZITA (17W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103735-25312>; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 04:06:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA12162; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 14:55:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6077917 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 14:55:36 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA19300 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 14:55:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id OAA08756 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 14:55:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708221955.OAA08756@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 22 Aug 1997 14:55:36 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Zita (17w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d2e19e682d0472d53a8c4448a5d763ac X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2531 Status: OR 240 WTPN32 PGTW 222100 1. TROPICAL STORM ZITA (17W) WARNING NR 008 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON ZITA (17W) 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- 21.3N6 108.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.3N6 108.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 21.5N8 106.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 21.8N1 104.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 22.1N5 102.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 222100Z7 POSITION 21.4N7 107.5E3 TROPICAL STORM ZITA (17W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS IN THE GULF OF TONKIN. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK OVER LAND AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8 (DTG 230153Z4), 230900Z4 (DTG 230753Z0), 231500Z1 (DTG 231353Z7) AND 232100Z8 (DTG 231953Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TO TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103733-25312>; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 05:00:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA40802; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 15:50:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6078299 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 15:50:29 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA24136 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 15:50:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id PAA10235 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 15:50:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708222050.PAA10235@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 22 Aug 1997 15:50:29 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Yule (15w) Warning Nr 025 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b3a8562b0b841fe631263556e0f0e7b7 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2058 Status: OR 872 WTPN31 PGTW 222100 1. TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING NR 025 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHGSGG9450 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- 35.2N0 173.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 34 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 35.2N0 173.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 41.4N9 175.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 31 KTS PAGE 03 RUHGSGG9450 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 47.4N5 177.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 222100Z7 POSITION 36.8N7 173.5E6 TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 34 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BE EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8 (DTG 230151Z2), 230900Z4 (DTG 230751Z8) AND 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ZITA (17W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) AND TO TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #9450 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103740-25312>; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 05:20:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA199264; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 16:12:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6078421 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 16:12:36 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA252486 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 16:12:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id QAA11162 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 16:12:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708222112.QAA11162@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 22 Aug 1997 16:12:36 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Yule (15w) Warning Nr 025 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1301d5efa1ce06b61e89178dc6f87176 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 613 Status: OR 193 WTPN31 PGTW 222100 1. TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING NR 025 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE - +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103732-25312>; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 05:29:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA80068; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 16:20:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6078520 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 16:20:37 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA102064 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 16:20:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id QAA11298 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 16:20:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708222120.QAA11298@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 22 Aug 1997 16:20:37 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Yule (15w) Warning Nr 025 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 24558d265b8a1f0ff25d339c877e68f4 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1989 Status: OR 318 WTPN31 PGTW 222100 1. TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING NR 025 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- 35.2N0 173.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 34 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 35.2N0 173.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 41.4N9 175.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 47.4N5 177.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 222100Z7 POSITION 36.8N7 173.5E6 TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 34 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BE EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8 (DTG 230151Z2), 230900Z4 (DTG 230751Z8) AND 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ZITA (17W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) AND TO TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102237-19025>; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 08:33:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA121004; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 19:23:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6080257 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 19:22:58 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA40854 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 19:22:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id TAA13030 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 19:22:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708230022.TAA13030@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 22 Aug 1997 19:22:58 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 230027z Aug 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d6982971661c4141de84008d6d781c64 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1270 Status: OR 928 WTPN24 PGTW 230030 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 230027Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13.3N7 159.4E9 TO 17.1N9 164.0E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 222030Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N3 160.6E3. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW DEEP CONVECTION IS CONCENTRATING AND ORGANIZING AROUND A LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS MODERATE TO GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 240030Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102422-19025>; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 09:38:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA220014; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 20:27:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6080616 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 20:26:51 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA34114 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 20:26:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id UAA13383 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 20:26:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708230126.UAA13383@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 22 Aug 1997 20:26:51 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Amber (18w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ef60b3a38794528c3042ecc0a016956a X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2965 Status: OR 440 WTPN33 PGTW 230300 1. TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 008 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- 15.8N4 131.6E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.8N4 131.6E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 16.4N1 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 17.1N9 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 17.7N5 130.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 18.3N2 129.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 19.3N3 127.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION 15.9N5 131.5E0 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE GENERALLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AND INTENSIFY THROUGH 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z5 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z4 (DTG 230755Z2), 231500Z1 (DTG 231355Z9), 232100Z8 (DTG 231955Z5) AND 240300Z9 (DTG 240155Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ZITA (17W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102450-19025>; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 09:50:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA112616; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 20:38:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6080758 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 20:37:55 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA102092 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 20:37:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id UAA13449 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 20:37:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708230137.UAA13449@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 22 Aug 1997 20:37:55 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Yule (15w) Warning Nr 026 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 05c75b708cbe9a1c2ff8e01659e6a6a3 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2042 Status: OR 734 WTPN31 PGTW 230300 1. TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING NR 026 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- 38.4N5 172.5E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 005 DEGREES AT 32 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 38.4N5 172.5E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 44.6N4 174.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 18 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 18 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 47.8N9 174.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION 39.9N1 172.9E9 TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 32 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ITS RAPID NORTHWARD MOVEMENT AND WEAKEN AS IT TRANSITIONS TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM WITHIN 18 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z4 (DTG 230751Z8) AND 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ZITA (17W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102548-19025>; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 10:18:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA120946; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 21:09:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6080874 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 21:09:43 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA232288 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 21:09:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id VAA13704 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 21:09:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708230209.VAA13704@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 22 Aug 1997 21:09:43 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Zita (17w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 520d218b4500a05d1839db47cc11ae76 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2698 Status: OR 213 WTPN32 PGTW 230300 1. TROPICAL STORM ZITA (17W) WARNING NR 009 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- 21.1N4 106.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N4 106.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 21.1N4 105.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 010 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 21.2N5 103.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 21.4N7 101.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION 21.1N4 106.4E1 TROPICAL STORM ZITA (17W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING GENERALLY WEST AND WEAKEN RAPIDLY AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE TERRAIN OVER NORTHERN VIETNAM AND LAOS. IT IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE AT THE 36 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT TO THE SOUTH OVER THE GULF OF TONKIN AT 230000Z5 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z4 (DTG 230753Z0), 231500Z1 (DTG 231353Z7), 232100Z8 (DTG 231953Z3) AND 240300Z9 (DTG 240153Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102536-19025>; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 10:50:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA19234; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 21:42:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6080994 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 21:42:19 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA256784 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 21:42:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id VAA13888 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 21:42:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708230242.VAA13888@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 22 Aug 1997 21:42:19 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 230027z Aug 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6e2a9b032d8c2bac325f1bd4cdbf0814 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1319 Status: OR 754 WTPN21 PGTW 230030 COR SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 230027Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13.3N7 159.4E9 TO 17.1N9 164.0E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 222030Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N3 160.6E3. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW DEEP CONVECTION IS CONCENTRATING AND ORGANIZING AROUND A LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS MODERATE TO GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 240030Z9. 4. JUSTIFICATION: TO CORRECT MESSAGE NUMBER.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102665-19025>; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 14:11:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA248918; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 00:45:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6081826 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 00:45:33 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA159976 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 00:25:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id AAA14842 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 00:25:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708230525.AAA14842@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 23 Aug 1997 00:45:33 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a047b08acf20e0a13a1a899f852d1cdf X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2324 Status: OR 872 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 230151Z AUG 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 230153Z AUG 97// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 230155Z AUG 97// REF/D/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 230027Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 230000Z5 TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WAS LOCATED AT 38.4N5 172.5E5 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 32 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WERE 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING NR 26 (WTPN31 PGTW 230300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 230000Z5 TROPICAL STORM ZITA (17W) WAS LOCATED AT 21.1N4 106.9E6 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM ZITA (17W) WARNING NR 09 (WTPN32 PGTW 230300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 230000Z5 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 15.8N4 131.6E1 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 08 (WTPN33 PGTW 230300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 158E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 159.8E3. THIS AREA IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 230030 COR)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/FINTA/WOFFORD/BACON/PUGH// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30742-396>; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 17:14:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA232342; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 02:45:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6082651 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 02:44:45 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA101964 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 02:44:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id CAA15619 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 02:44:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708230744.CAA15619@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 23 Aug 1997 02:44:45 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Amber (18w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 261ca46f42aaa07ab7241b43cc3a8cdf X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3473 Status: OR 035 WTPN33 PGTW 230900 1. TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 009 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- 16.3N0 131.1E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.3N0 131.1E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 17.1N9 130.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 17.9N7 129.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 18.6N5 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 19.2N2 128.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 20.2N4 126.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 230900Z4 POSITION 16.5N2 131.0E5 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING IN A GENERALLY NORTH-NORTHWEST DIRECTION AND INTENSIFY THROUGH 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z1 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z1 (DTG 231355Z9), 232100Z8 (DTG 231955Z5), 240300Z9 (DTG 240155Z7) AND 240900Z5 (DTG 240755Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ZITA (17W) WARNING (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30725-396>; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 17:12:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA23286; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 02:50:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6082754 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 02:50:09 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA03556 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 02:50:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id CAA15652 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 02:49:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708230749.CAA15652@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 23 Aug 1997 02:50:09 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Zita (17w) Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7bc36e398e0acf6f75a78922ee94058e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2194 Status: OR 070 WTPN32 PGTW 230900 1. TROPICAL STORM ZITA (17W) WARNING NR 010 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- 21.1N4 105.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N4 105.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 21.2N5 104.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 21.3N6 102.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 230900Z4 POSITION 21.1N4 105.3E9 TROPICAL STORM ZITA (17W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD OVER NORTHERN VIETNAM. TROPICAL STORM ZITA (17W) IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND WITHIN 24 HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. REFER TO TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30773-396>; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 17:09:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA160490; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 03:41:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6082863 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 03:41:20 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA72406 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 03:41:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id DAA15978 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 03:41:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708230841.DAA15978@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 23 Aug 1997 03:41:20 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Yule (15w) Warning Nr 027 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a882dde8da84ae0b82ef3747a2648a4e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2750 Status: OR 706 WTPN31 PGTW 230900 1. TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING NR 027 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- 41.5N0 170.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 32 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 41.5N0 170.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 47.0N1 167.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 52.0N7 167.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 85 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 55.4N4 171.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 42 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 21 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 42 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 56.0N1 174.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 230900Z4 POSITION 42.9N5 169.4E0 TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 32 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHWEST THROUGH 24 HOURS, THEN TURN EASTWARD AS IT IS STEERED TO THE NORTH OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WILL INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY AS AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM BEFORE WEAKENING AS IT APPROACHES THE TOP OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE. CURRENT INTENSITY AND WIND RADII WERE ADJUSTED BASED ON A 222325Z6 SCATTEROMETER PASS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z1 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ZITA (17W) WARNING (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. REFER TO TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30746-396>; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 22:00:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA72342; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 08:54:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6084480 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 08:54:08 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA199034 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 08:54:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id IAA17650 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 08:53:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708231353.IAA17650@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 23 Aug 1997 08:54:08 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Amber (18w) Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2169a0ddb7ed8f6659f96321cb94611c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3233 Status: OR 114 WTPN33 PGTW 231500 1. TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- 16.3N0 130.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.3N0 130.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 17.0N8 130.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 17.9N7 130.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 18.7N6 129.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 19.5N5 128.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 21.0N3 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 231500Z1 POSITION 16.5N2 130.7E1 NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. TYPHOON AMBER (18W) IS ANTICIPATED TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 24 HOURS, THEN NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 72 HOURS AS IT INTENSIFIES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z8 (DTG 231955Z5), 240300Z9 (DTG 240155Z7), 240900Z5 (DTG 240755Z3) AND 241500Z2 (DTG 241355Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30728-396>; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 00:02:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA264316; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 10:53:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6084824 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 10:53:37 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA160362 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 10:53:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id KAA18362 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 10:53:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708231553.KAA18362@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 23 Aug 1997 10:53:37 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 231551z Aug 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 527d23ed17c5c771db4979fd25b96123 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1449 Status: OR 895 WTPN21 PGTW 231600 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 231551Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/230027Z AUG 97// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 230030)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 200 NM RADIUS OF 14.8N3 157.0E3 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 231030Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N7 157.2E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS DIFFICULT TO FIX ON BUT APPEARS TO BE QUASISTATIONARY. CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY, BUT DISTURBANCE IS RETAINING TWO BROKEN BANDING FEATURES. TCFA REISSUED TO RELOCATE POTENTIAL FORMATION AREA. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 241600Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30755-396>; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 04:11:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA23238; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 15:04:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6086233 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 15:04:33 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA210612 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 15:04:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id PAA20046 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 15:04:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708232004.PAA20046@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 23 Aug 1997 15:04:33 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Amber (18w) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2b357f1c74d5002c4135c49593ddf94f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3237 Status: OR 525 WTPN33 PGTW 232100 1. TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231800Z4 --- 16.6N3 130.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.6N3 130.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 17.4N2 129.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 18.2N1 129.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 19.0N0 128.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 19.8N8 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 21.3N6 126.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 232100Z8 POSITION 16.8N5 130.3E7 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) IS QUASISTATIONARY. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD AND INTENISFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z9 (DTG 240155Z7), 240900Z5 (DTG 240755Z3), 241500Z2 (DTG 241355Z0) AND 242100Z9 (DTG 241955Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30771-20155>; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 09:44:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA217070; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 20:36:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6088108 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 20:36:39 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA34268 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 20:36:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id UAA22416 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 20:36:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708240136.UAA22416@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 23 Aug 1997 20:36:39 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Amber (18w) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ab91606ddffa280eef4696e167916e1d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3320 Status: OR 790 WTPN33 PGTW 240300 1. TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- 16.7N4 130.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.7N4 130.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 17.1N9 129.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 17.7N5 128.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 18.3N2 128.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 19.0N0 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 21.0N3 126.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION 16.8N5 129.9E1 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) IS DRIFTING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD AND INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z6 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z5 (DTG 240755Z3), 241500Z2 (DTG 241355Z0), 242100Z9 (DTG 241955Z6) AND 250300Z0 (DTG 250155Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30775-20155>; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 10:43:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA112462; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 21:36:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6088561 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 21:36:01 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA224828 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 21:36:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id VAA22761 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 21:35:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708240235.VAA22761@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 23 Aug 1997 21:36:01 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Amber (18w) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8bb5b11270d91f54a07986e3192d381c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3449 Status: OR 754 WTPN33 PGTW 240300 1. TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- 16.7N4 130.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM PAGE 03 RUHGSGG0767 UNCLAS POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.7N4 130.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 17.1N9 129.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHGSGG0767 UNCLAS 250000Z7 --- 17.7N5 128.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 18.3N2 128.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 19.0N0 127.4E4 PAGE 05 RUHGSGG0767 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 21.0N3 126.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION 16.8N5 129.9E1 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) IS DRIFTING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING PAGE 06 RUHGSGG0767 UNCLAS GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD AND INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z6 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z5 (DTG 240755Z3), 241500Z2 (DTG 241355Z0), 242100Z9 (DTG 241955Z6) AND 250300Z0 (DTG 250155Z8).// BT #0767 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30787-20155>; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 13:25:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA146632; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 00:18:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6089231 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 00:18:49 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA199068 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 00:18:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id AAA23741 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 00:18:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708240518.AAA23741@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 24 Aug 1997 00:18:49 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 243cdf71cf0ae6f7cd80a8db7eb84acb X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2381 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 001 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 230751Z AUG 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 230753Z AUG 97// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 240155Z AUG 97// REF/D/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 231551Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 230600Z1 TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WAS LOCATED AT 41.5N0 170.0E8 AND WAS MOVING NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 32 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING NR 27 (WTPN31 PGTW 230900)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 230600Z1 TROPICAL STORM ZITA (17W) WAS LOCATED AT 21.1N4 105.8E4 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM ZITA (17W) WARNING NR 10 (WTPN32 PGTW 230900)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (3) AT 240000Z5 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.7N4 130.1E5 AND WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 80 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 12 (WTPN33 PGTW 240300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 159.8E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 156.5E7 AND REMAINS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 231600)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/FINTA/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30799-20155>; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 15:41:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA239040; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 02:34:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6089639 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 02:34:04 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA67740 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 02:34:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id CAA24270 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 02:33:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708240733.CAA24270@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 24 Aug 1997 02:34:04 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Amber (18w) Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 172ad968cfd9eb352d928ec4067c655d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3388 Status: OR 129 WTPN33 PGTW 240900 1. TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240600Z2 --- 17.2N0 129.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.2N0 129.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 17.7N5 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 18.3N2 128.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 18.9N8 127.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 19.5N5 127.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 20.6N8 125.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 240900Z5 POSITION 17.3N1 129.7E9 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWEST AND INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z2 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z2 (DTG 241355Z0), 242100Z9 (DTG 241955Z6), 250300Z0 (DTG 250155Z8) AND 250900Z6 (DTG 250755Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30856-20155>; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 22:27:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA160290; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 09:13:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6091010 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 09:12:51 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA67590 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 09:12:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id JAA25746 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 09:12:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708241412.JAA25746@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 24 Aug 1997 09:12:51 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Amber (18w) Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e66c69d3678a8b051effd9eb10cd6b7a X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3490 Status: OR 510 WTPN33 PGTW 241500 1. TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- 17.2N0 129.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.2N0 129.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 17.5N3 128.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 18.0N9 127.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 18.7N6 126.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 19.6N6 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 21.4N7 125.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION 17.3N1 129.1E3 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN THIS DIRECTION THROUGH 24 HOURS BEFORE RESUMING A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST THROUGHOUT 72 HOURS. WIND RADII ASYMMETRY IS DUE TO MONSOONAL FLOW TO SOUTHWEST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z9 (DTG 241955Z6), 250300Z0 (DTG 250155Z8), 250900Z6 (DTG 250755Z4) AND 251500Z3 (DTG 251355Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30876-20155>; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 00:34:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA133456; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 11:26:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6091915 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 11:26:11 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA251966 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 11:26:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id LAA26500 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 11:25:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708241625.LAA26500@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 24 Aug 1997 11:26:11 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert Cancellation To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 961e6dabda44f6479487e9bd9a344b1b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 757 Status: OR 313 WTPN21 PGTW 241600 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 241551Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/231551Z AUG 97// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 231600)// RMKS/ 1. THIS CANCELS REF A. CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED. LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS DISORGANIZED.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30875-20155>; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 01:18:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA238948; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 12:11:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6092068 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 12:11:50 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA03410 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 12:11:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id MAA26734 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 12:11:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708241711.MAA26734@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 24 Aug 1997 12:11:50 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert Cancellation To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cea12c3f1fefcea59f6e32efeb17c937 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 766 Status: OR 872 WTPN21 PGTW 241600 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 241551Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/231551Z AUG 97// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 231600)// RMKS/ 1. THIS CANCELS REF A. CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED. LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS DISORGANIZED.// BT #1253 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30912-20155>; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 04:03:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA82306; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 14:57:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6093038 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 14:57:20 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA245360 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 14:57:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id OAA27643 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 14:57:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708241957.OAA27643@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 24 Aug 1997 14:57:20 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Amber (18w) Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e0fa5c85d59b012f948fb43831bbc923 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3526 Status: OR 387 WTPN33 PGTW 242100 1. TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- 17.4N2 128.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.4N2 128.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 17.9N7 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 18.8N7 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 19.5N5 126.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 20.2N4 125.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 21.6N9 123.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 242100Z9 POSITION 17.5N3 128.6E7 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REGAIN A NORTHWESTWARD COURSE WITHIN 12 HOURS. IT IS ANTICIPATED TO MAINTAIN THIS DIRECTION AND INTENSIFY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250300Z0 (DTG 250155Z8), 250900Z6 (DTG 250755Z4), 251500Z3 (DTG 251355Z1) AND 252100Z0 (DTG 251955Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30918-10285>; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 09:42:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA169756; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 20:34:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6094990 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 20:34:10 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA232336 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 20:33:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id UAA29466 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 20:33:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708250133.UAA29466@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 24 Aug 1997 20:34:10 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Amber (18w) Warning Nr 016 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 84ecad560726d99935e52be3d82a7318 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3543 Status: OR 789 WTPN33 PGTW 250300 1. TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- 17.4N2 128.5E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.4N2 128.5E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 17.8N6 127.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 18.3N2 127.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 19.0N0 126.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 19.8N8 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 21.2N5 123.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION 17.5N3 128.3E4 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND ACCELERATE SLIGHTLY TOWARD THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TYPHOON AMBER (18W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AND PEAK BETWEEN 48 AND 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z7 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG 250755Z4), 251500Z3 (DTG 251355Z1), 252100Z0 (DTG 251955Z7) AND 260300Z1 (DTG 260155Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 17:18:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30915-10285>; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 16:10:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA228824; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 02:47:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6097081 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 02:46:57 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA02754 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 02:46:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id CAA01468 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 02:46:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708250746.CAA01468@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 25 Aug 1997 02:46:57 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Amber (18w) Warning Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f419321d8978d36dfbe9a995dd08baa8 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3723 Status: OR 404 WTPN33 PGTW 250900 1. TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- 17.5N3 128.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.5N3 128.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 17.9N7 127.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 18.5N4 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 19.1N1 125.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 19.8N8 124.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 21.1N4 122.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 250900Z6 POSITION 17.6N4 127.9E9 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THERE HAS BEEN NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST TRACK REASONING. TYPHOON AMBER (18W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS SYSTEM WILL INTENSIFY THROUGH 48 HOURS, PEAK AND THEN SLOWLY DECREASE IN INTENSITY THROUGH 72 HOURS. CURRENT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED DUE TO A 250148Z0 SCATTEROMETER PASS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z3 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3 (DTG 251355Z1), 252100Z0 (DTG 251955Z7), 60300Z1 (DTG 260155Z9) AND 260900Z7 (DTG 260755Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31044-10285>; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 23:02:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA252484; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 09:48:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6099749 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 09:48:38 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA02588 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 09:48:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id JAA05153 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 09:48:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708251448.JAA05153@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 25 Aug 1997 09:48:38 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Amber (18w) Warning Nr 018 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f0d85350988d2a5b99109c0d07149aba X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3511 Status: OR 128 WTPN33 PGTW 251500 1. TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- 17.8N6 127.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.8N6 127.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 18.3N2 127.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 18.9N8 126.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 19.4N4 125.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 19.9N9 124.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 21.6N9 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION 17.9N7 127.7E7 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN A NORTHWESTWARD DIRECTION THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z0 (DTG 251955Z7), 260300Z1 (DTG 260155Z9), 260900Z7 (DTG 260755Z5) AND 261500Z4 (DTG 261355Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31123-13064>; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 07:42:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA232416; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 18:34:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6104123 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 18:34:40 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id SAA67776 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 18:34:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id SAA20908 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 18:33:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708252333.SAA20908@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 25 Aug 1997 18:34:40 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 197f66c9e121cdd2cc90474e4f3c2d45 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1822 Status: OR 378 ABPW10 PGTW 252330 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/252330Z/260600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 251955Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 251800Z6 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 17.8N6 127.4E4 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 19 (WTPN33 PGTW 252100)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 10N1 160E7. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF DIVERGENT OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31140-13064>; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 09:35:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA102228; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 20:22:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6104775 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 20:21:51 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA12094 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 20:21:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id UAA21038 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 20:20:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708260120.UAA21038@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 25 Aug 1997 20:21:51 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Amber (18w) Warning Nr 020 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4f406c8e9060e19c6831ce6f555934f9 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3416 Status: OR 719 WTPN33 PGTW 260300 1. TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 17.9N7 127.5E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.9N7 127.5E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 18.3N2 126.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 18.9N8 125.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 19.5N5 124.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 20.2N4 123.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 21.7N0 121.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 18.0N9 127.3E3 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD AND TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY THROUGH THE 72-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z7 (DTG 260755Z5), 261500Z4 (DTG 261355Z2), 262100Z1 (DTG 261955Z8) AND 270300Z2 (DTG 270155Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31029-13064>; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 14:15:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA162772; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 01:02:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6106466 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 01:02:14 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA196536 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 01:02:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id BAA21370 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 01:01:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708260601.BAA21370@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 01:02:14 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6b5355fe5e80a161dfeacdb786a3ca8d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2010 Status: OR 518 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 260155Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 260000Z8 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 17.9N7 127.5E5 AND WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 20 (WTPN33 PGTW 260300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 160E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 159E5. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS REMAINED PERSISTENT FOR THE PAST 18 HOURS BUT CONTINUES TO BE DISORGANIZED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND WATER VAPOR-DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF DIVERGENT OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31024-13064>; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 14:19:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA146484; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 01:11:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6106513 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 01:11:45 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA38406 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 01:11:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id BAA21390 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 01:10:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708260610.BAA21390@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 01:11:45 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a00eb7140a160eee4e66b18e6ed565ac X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2144 Status: OR 636 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 260155Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 260000Z8 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 17.9N7 127.5E5 AND WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 20 (WTPN33 PGTW 260300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 160E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 159E5. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS REMAINED PERSISTENT FOR THE PAST 18 HOURS BUT CONTINUES TO BE DISORGANIZED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND WATER VAPOR-DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF DIVERGENT OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT FOR THE AREA NEAR 11N2 159E5 IS FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31255-13064>; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 15:43:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA38580; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 02:36:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6106674 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 02:36:10 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA265890 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 02:36:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id CAA21448 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 02:35:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708260735.CAA21448@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 02:36:10 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Amber (18w) Warning Nr 021 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5f58243cc5c08a3f7909be884b9e844e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3521 Status: OR 163 WTPN33 PGTW 260900 1. TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260600Z4 --- 18.1N0 127.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.1N0 127.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 18.7N6 126.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 19.4N4 125.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 20.1N3 124.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 20.9N1 122.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 22.5N9 119.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 260900Z7 POSITION 18.3N2 127.0E0 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD AND TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY BEYOND THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DTG 261355Z2), 262100Z1 (DTG 261955Z8), 270300Z2 (DTG 270155Z0) AND 270900Z8 (DTG 270755Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31274-13064>; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 16:42:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA08848; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 03:30:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6106855 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 03:30:27 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA84852 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 03:30:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id DAA21607 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 03:29:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708260829.DAA21607@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 03:30:27 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 260821z Aug 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 75c072c594ab1a38cc171ca49962cf4d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1561 Status: OR 812 WTPN21 PGTW 260830 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 260821Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 125 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.3N4 160.0E7 TO 12.7N0 154.1E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 260630Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.6N7 159.1E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SUSPECT AREA NEAR 11N2 159E5 HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS RELAXED OVER THE PAST TWELVE HOURS ALLOWING FOR GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IN ALL QUADRANTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 270830Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30977-13064>; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 18:11:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA196360; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 05:00:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6107303 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 05:00:02 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA265940 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 05:00:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id EAA21675 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 04:58:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708260958.EAA21675@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 05:00:02 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 260821z Aug 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6251bb17fc18ac361e8a70851c7e6fcb X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1600 Status: OR 833 WTPN21 PGTW 260830 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 260821Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 125 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.3N4 160.0E7 TO 12.7N0 154.1E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 260630Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.6N7 159.1E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SUSPECT AREA NEAR 11N2 159E5 HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS RELAXED OVER PAGE 03 RUHGSGG3653 UNCLAS THE PAST TWELVE HOURS ALLOWING FOR GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IN ALL QUADRANTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 270830Z0.// BT #3653 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31317-13064>; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 22:15:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA146452; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 09:05:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6108462 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 09:04:12 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA67754 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 09:04:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id JAA21840 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 09:03:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708261403.JAA21840@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 09:04:12 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Amber (18w) Warning Nr 022 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 18e7f4482bdaa0e9199070eddfa0eb0a X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3828 Status: OR 746 WTPN33 PGTW 261500 1. TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- 18.2N1 127.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N1 127.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 18.8N7 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 19.4N4 125.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 20.1N3 124.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 21.0N3 122.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 22.7N1 119.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION 18.3N2 126.8E7 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TYPHOON AMBER (18W) CONTINUES TO TRACK SLOWLY TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 02 KNOTS. THIS INFRARED IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES THAT A NEW INNER EYE WALL HAS DEVELOPED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS WHICH IS AN INDICATION OF RENEWED INTENSIFICATION (SATELLITE IMAGERY HAD PREVIOUSLY INDICATED A SLIGHTLY WEAKENING OF THE CENTRAL CONVECTION). WIND RADII HAVE BEEN EXPANDED IN THE SOUTHEAST DIRECTION BASED ON CURRENT SHIP DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262100Z1 (DTG 261955Z8), 270300Z2 (DTG 70155Z0), 270900Z8 (DTG 270755Z6) AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271355Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31113-13064>; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 23:25:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA102250; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 10:09:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6108776 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 10:09:03 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA160288 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 10:08:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id KAA22047 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 10:07:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708261507.KAA22047@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 10:09:03 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Amber (18w) Warning Nr 022 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 10561e9cc014023c90b1376ef67ccb82 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3957 Status: OR 637 WTPN33 PGTW 261500 1. TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- 18.2N1 127.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N1 127.0E0 --- FORECASTS: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG3927 UNCLAS 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 18.8N7 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 19.4N4 125.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHGSGG3927 UNCLAS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 20.1N3 124.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 21.0N3 122.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS PAGE 05 RUHGSGG3927 UNCLAS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 22.7N1 119.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION 18.3N2 126.8E7 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TYPHOON AMBER (18W) CONTINUES TO TRACK SLOWLY TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 02 KNOTS. THIS INFRARED IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES THAT A NEW INNER EYE WALL HAS DEVELOPED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS WHICH IS AN INDICATION OF RENEWED INTENSIFICATION (SATELLITE IMAGERY HAD PREVIOUSLY INDICATED A SLIGHTLY WEAKENING OF THE CENTRAL CONVECTION). WIND RADII HAVE BEEN EXPANDED IN PAGE 06 RUHGSGG3927 UNCLAS THE SOUTHEAST DIRECTION BASED ON CURRENT SHIP DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262100Z1 (DTG 261955Z8), 270300Z2 (DTG 70155Z0), 270900Z8 (DTG 270755Z6) AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271355Z3).// BT #3927 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31383-13064>; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 04:23:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA112392; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 15:13:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6111161 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 15:13:18 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA19434 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 15:13:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id PAA23022 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 15:12:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708262012.PAA23022@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 15:13:18 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Amber (18w) Warning Nr 023 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 181995aa7346631d36f3fb7423f43f38 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3811 Status: OR 887 WTPN33 PGTW 262100 1. TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z7 --- 18.6N5 126.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.6N5 126.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 19.1N1 125.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 19.7N7 124.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 20.5N7 123.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 21.4N7 122.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 23.4N9 118.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 262100Z1 POSITION 18.7N6 126.3E2 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TYPHOON AMBER (18W) HAS MADE A SLIGHT JOG TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT 05 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. FORECAST SCENARIO, HOWEVER, REMAINS THE SAME WITH A PREVAILING TRACK TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST. TYPHOON AMBER IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE SOUTHERN TIP OF TAIWAN DURING THE 48 TO 72 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. SCATTEROMETER DATA AT 261401Z0 ADDED ADDITIONAL SUPPORT TO THE CURRENT WIND RADII. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 (DTG 270155Z0), 270900Z8 (DTG 270755Z6), 271500Z5 (DTG 271355Z3) AND 272100Z2 (DTG 271955Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31381-13064>; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 04:54:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA120850; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 15:43:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6111314 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 15:43:11 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA189832 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 15:42:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id PAA23080 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 15:41:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708262041.PAA23080@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 15:43:11 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Amber (18w) Warning Nr 023 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e3d82369fc41acd160977d9e1f719238 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3940 Status: OR 276 WTPN33 PGTW 262100 1. TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z7 --- 18.6N5 126.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.6N5 126.5E4 --- FORECASTS: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG4219 UNCLAS 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 19.1N1 125.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 19.7N7 124.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHGSGG4219 UNCLAS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 20.5N7 123.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 21.4N7 122.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER PAGE 05 RUHGSGG4219 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 23.4N9 118.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 262100Z1 POSITION 18.7N6 126.3E2 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TYPHOON AMBER (18W) HAS MADE A SLIGHT JOG TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT 05 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. FORECAST SCENARIO, HOWEVER, REMAINS THE SAME WITH A PREVAILING TRACK TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST. TYPHOON AMBER IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE SOUTHERN TIP OF TAIWAN DURING THE 48 TO 72 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. SCATTEROMETER DATA AT 261401Z0 PAGE 06 RUHGSGG4219 UNCLAS ADDED ADDITIONAL SUPPORT TO THE CURRENT WIND RADII. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 (DTG 270155Z0), 270900Z8 (DTG 270755Z6), 271500Z5 (DTG 271355Z3) AND 272100Z2 (DTG 271955Z9).// BT #4219 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31423-15926>; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 09:09:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA189750; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 20:01:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6113174 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 20:01:15 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA228642 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 20:01:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id UAA23882 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 20:00:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708270100.UAA23882@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 20:00:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Amber (18w) Warning Nr 024 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 990319b9b69d11bf760900cac80a31c8 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3709 Status: OR 478 WTPN33 PGTW 270300 1. TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 024 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- 19.1N1 126.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.1N1 126.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 19.9N9 125.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 20.9N1 123.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 21.9N2 122.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 22.9N3 120.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 25.1N8 117.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION 19.3N3 125.9E7 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) IS TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REACH PEAK INTENSITY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THEN TO WEAKEN THEREAFTER AS TYPHOON AMBER BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH LAND. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z9 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270900Z8 (DTG 270755Z6), 271500Z5 (DTG 271355Z3), 272100Z2 (DTG 271955Z9) AND 280300Z3 (DTG 280155Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31624-15926>; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 11:54:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA101962; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 22:43:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6114581 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 22:43:17 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA03380 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 22:43:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id WAA25066 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 22:42:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708270342.WAA25066@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 22:42:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 270321z Aug 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c9aff6b899734e88604b8c98e551b481 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1586 Status: OR 262 WTPN21 PGTW 270330 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 270321Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/260821Z AUG 97// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 260830)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 125 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.9N0 156.3E5 TO 12.6N9 149.4E8 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 270230Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.0N2 155.1E2. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE CONVECTION SURROUNDING THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED OVER THE PAST TWELVE HOURS. MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS CAUSING THE DEEPEST CONVECTION TO BE LOCATED NORTHWEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 280330Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31414-15926>; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 13:39:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA265898; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 00:31:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6115305 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 00:30:58 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA67432 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 00:30:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id AAA25394 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 00:29:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708270529.AAA25394@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 Aug 1997 00:29:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 83932b9753e58a7aaaae9571ca55cb91 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2896 Status: OR 593 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 270155Z AUG 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 270321Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 270000Z9 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.1N1 126.2E1 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 24 (WTPN33 PGTW 270300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 159E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 155E1. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION (LLCC). CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS REMAINED PERSISTENT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS BUT HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED DUE TO MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND WATER VAPOR-DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE PRESENCE GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW TO THE WEST OF THE LLCC BUT POOR OUTFLOW ELSEWHERE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 270330)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 19N0 113E5. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS POORLY ORGANIZED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF MODERATE UPPER- LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE OUTFLOW OF TYPHOON AMBER (18W) IMPINGING ON THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31416-15926>; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 15:26:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA196438; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 02:15:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6115684 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 02:15:36 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA08770 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 02:15:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id CAA25495 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 02:14:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708270714.CAA25495@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 Aug 1997 02:14:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: This Warning Supersedes And Cancels Navpacmetoccen West To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8719cd13a06f037615da09d040b5d4d7 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2865 Status: OR 383 WTPN31 PGTW 270900 THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 270321Z AUG 97 (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 270330)) 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- 11.1N3 153.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.1N3 153.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 11.6N8 151.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 12.1N4 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 12.8N1 147.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 13.6N0 146.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 16.4N1 143.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 270900Z8 POSITION 11.2N4 153.3E2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W HAS FORMED TO THE EAST OF GUAM. THE SYSTEM IS A POORLY ORGANIZED SYSTEM WITH MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION LOCATED TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GAIN LATITUDE BETWEEN THE 48- AND THE 72-HOUR FORECAST POSITION IN RESPONSE TO A PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS THE SYSTEM BECOMES BETTER ORGANIZED AROUND THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z5 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9), 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5), 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7) AND 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 270321Z AUG 97 (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 270330)). REFER TO TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31435-15926>; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 16:02:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA211950; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 02:52:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6115812 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 02:52:42 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA112604 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 02:52:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id CAA25511 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 02:51:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708270751.CAA25511@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 Aug 1997 02:51:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Amber (18w) Warning Nr 025 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 026df44f35f596be641a68b523dadc0f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3997 Status: OR 927 WTPN33 PGTW 270900 1. TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 025 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- 19.4N4 125.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.4N4 125.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 20.1N3 124.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 21.2N5 122.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 22.3N7 120.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 23.5N0 119.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 26.3N1 116.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 270900Z8 POSITION 19.6N6 125.1E9 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND TO MAKE LANDFALL IN SOUTHERN TAIWAN NEAR THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REACH PEAK INTENSITY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z5 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5 (DTG 271355Z3), 272100Z2 (DTG 271955Z9), 280300Z3 (DTG 280155Z1) AND 280900Z9 (DTG 280755Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31465-15926>; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 22:03:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA220156; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 08:54:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6117476 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 08:53:51 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA217024 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 08:53:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id IAA25931 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 08:52:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708271352.IAA25931@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 Aug 1997 08:52:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Amber (18w) Warning Nr 026 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ff851eeb1589789cdcf943bb65fad033 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3990 Status: OR 076 WTPN33 PGTW 271500 1. TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 026 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- 19.7N7 125.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.7N7 125.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 20.5N7 123.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 21.6N9 122.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 22.7N1 120.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 24.0N6 119.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 27.2N1 116.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 271500Z5 POSITION 19.9N9 124.7E4 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 27/1130Z SHOWS THAT TYPHOON AMBER (18W) HAS BEGUN TO INTENSIFY FURTHER. CURRENT SATELLITE TECHNIQUES SUGGEST THAT MAXIMUM WIND INTENSITY ARE NOW BETWEEN 110 AND 115 KNOTS. IN ADDITION, TYPHOON AMBER HAS TWO, WELL DEFINED CONCENTRIC EYES. THE OUTER EYE WALL EXTENDS OUT FROM 110 TO 140NM FROM THE CENTER AND IS A GOOD INDICATION OF WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 50 KNOTS. RECENT SCATTEROMETER DATA OVER THE PAST DAY HAVE SUPPORTED THIS VIEW. FORECAST TRACK REMAINS THE SAME WITH LANDFALL EXPECTED IN SOUTHERN TAIWAN WITHIN 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 2712000Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z2 (DTG 271955Z9), 280300Z3 (DTG 280155Z1), 280900Z9 (DTG 280755Z7) AND 281500Z6 (DTG 281355Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31441-15926>; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 22:43:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA133534; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 09:35:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6117797 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 09:35:23 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA248962 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 09:35:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id JAA25978 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 09:34:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708271434.JAA25978@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 Aug 1997 09:34:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 19w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ed357493e9992e45f41c09be3ae14ad7 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2603 Status: OR 571 WTPN31 PGTW 271500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- 11.7N9 152.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.7N9 152.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 12.4N7 150.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 12.9N2 148.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 13.7N1 146.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 14.5N0 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 17.1N9 142.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 271500Z5 POSITION 11.9N1 152.0E8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W CONTINUING TO CONSOLIDATE WHILE GOING THROUGH ITS CONVECTIVE DIURNAL CYCLE. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS STILL HARD TO IDENTIFY WITH INFRARED IMAGERY, HOWEVER IT IS BELIEVED TO FALL JUST EAST OF THE HEAVIEST CONVECTION DUE TO MODERATE NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST UPPER LEVEL WIND SHEAR ACROSS THE SYSTEM. FORECAST SCENARIO REMAINS THE SAME WITH SLOW INTENSIFICATION EXPECTED THROUGH OUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE CYCLONE MOVES IN A GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWEST DIRECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5), 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7), 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3) AND 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0). REFER TO TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31458-15926>; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 02:50:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA28330; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 13:38:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6119401 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 13:38:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA24968 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 13:38:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id NAA26617 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 13:36:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708271836.NAA26617@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 Aug 1997 13:36:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 271827z Aug 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4658ca206e1cf0e9a8c85012d7c5cf6d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1530 Status: OR 542 WTPN21 PGTW 271830 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 271827Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 150 NM RADIUS OF 19.0N0 114.0E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 271630Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N3 113.8E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION APPROXIMATELY 160NM SOUTH OF HONG KONG HAS SHOWN CONSIDERABLE SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. NEW CONVECTION HAS FORMED OVER THE PREVIOUSLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WHILE ANIMATED IMAGERY SHOWS GOOD CYCLONIC TURNING. SHIP REPORTS IN THE AREA INDICATE A WELL DEFINED 1004MB LOW PRESSURE AREA EXISTS. AT THIS TIME, UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS ONLY MARGINAL AS THERE IS CONSIDERABLE INFLUENCE FROM THE OUTFLOW OF TYPHOON AMBER (18W) LOCATED 600NM TO THE EAST. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 281830Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31508-15926>; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 04:43:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA13400; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 14:28:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6119787 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 14:28:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA23362 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 14:28:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id OAA26826 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 14:27:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708271927.OAA26826@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 Aug 1997 14:27:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 19w Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: db1025b2de1d464b8d8f2fd5a1fa161d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2451 Status: OR 381 WTPN31 PGTW 272100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271800Z8 --- 12.4N7 151.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 070 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.4N7 151.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 13.0N4 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 13.7N1 148.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 14.3N8 146.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 15.2N8 144.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 17.7N5 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 272100Z2 POSITION 12.6N9 150.8E4 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS INDICATES THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W IS CONTINUING TO MOVE TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST. EXCEPT FOR CONVECTIVE BURSTS NEAR THE SYSTEM=S CENTER, THE OVERALL STRUCTURE OF THE CYCLONE REMAINS WEAK. THE FORECAST SCENARIO FOR THIS WARNING REMAINS THE SAME AS THE PREVIOUS WARNING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7), 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3), 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0) AND 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6). REFER TO TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31510-15926>; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 05:15:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA17570; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 15:04:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6120063 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 15:03:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA18766 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 15:03:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id PAA26896 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 15:02:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708272002.PAA26896@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 Aug 1997 15:02:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Amber (18w) Warning Nr 027 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1ebf6b29b02bc1e9b72d965f68df1ac9 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3274 Status: OR 738 WTPN33 PGTW 272100 1. TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 027 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271800Z8 --- 20.1N3 124.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N3 124.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 21.1N4 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 22.1N5 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 23.4N9 120.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 24.7N3 118.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 27.9N8 115.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 272100Z2 POSITION 20.4N6 124.1E8 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARDS THE WEST- NORTHWEST AT 08 KNOTS. FORECAST SCENARIO REMAINS THE SAME AS THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z3 (DTG 280155Z1), 280900Z9 (DTG 280755Z7), 281500Z6 (DTG 281355Z4) AND 282100Z3 (DTG 281955Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31566-22994>; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 09:46:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA22166; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 20:35:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6121687 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 20:35:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA19022 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 20:34:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id UAA27622 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 20:33:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708280133.UAA27622@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 Aug 1997 20:33:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 19w Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4cba6806fdeff9059815e84b8c34f55c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2488 Status: OR 395 WTPN31 PGTW 280300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 12.1N4 149.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.1N4 149.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 12.7N0 147.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 13.3N7 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 13.9N3 143.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 14.6N1 141.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 16.0N7 138.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 12.2N5 148.9E2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE GENERALLY MOVE WEST- NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 72 HOURS AND INTENSIFY AT SLOWER THAN A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3), 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0), 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6) AND 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8). REFER TO TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31550-22994>; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 10:29:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA12844; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 21:22:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6121928 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 21:22:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA26134 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 21:22:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id VAA27743 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 21:21:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708280221.VAA27743@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 Aug 1997 21:21:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Amber (18w) Warning Nr 028 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 646a35af391bae7f3f65c2d9e0339fdf X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 4053 Status: OR 223 WTPN33 PGTW 280300 1. TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 028 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 20.8N0 123.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N0 123.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 22.0N4 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 23.4N9 120.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 24.6N2 118.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 26.0N8 117.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 29.1N2 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 21.1N4 123.3E9 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ABOUT THE SAME INTENSITY THROUGH 12 HOURS, THEN WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH TAIWAN, THEN THE CHINESE MAINLAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z9 (DTG 280755Z7), 281500Z6 (DTG 281355Z4), 282100Z3 (DTG 281955Z0) AND 290300Z4 (DTG 290155Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31558-22994>; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 10:47:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA14074; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 21:39:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6122026 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 21:39:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA18656 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 21:39:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id VAA27764 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 21:38:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708280238.VAA27764@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 Aug 1997 21:38:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 19w Warning Nr 004b Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2b61176e04653582b129cec8bf4b0864 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2486 Status: OR 499 WTPN31 PGTW 280300 COR 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W WARNING NR 004B CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 12.1N4 149.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.1N4 149.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 12.7N0 147.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 13.3N7 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 13.9N3 143.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 14.6N1 141.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 16.0N7 138.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 12.2N5 148.9E2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE GENERALLY MOVE WEST- NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 72 HOURS AND INTENSIFY AT SLOWER THAN A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3), 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0), 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6) AND 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8). REFER TO TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION: REMOVES REFERENCE TO TD 20W IN REMARKS SECTION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31560-22994>; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 10:48:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA21328; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 21:40:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6122031 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 21:40:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA10480 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 21:39:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id VAA27768 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 21:38:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708280238.VAA27768@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 Aug 1997 21:38:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Amber (18w) Warning Nr 028a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f463f82484db1ea4e47c70dd633d2e61 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 4050 Status: OR 500 WTPN33 PGTW 280300 COR 1. TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 028A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 20.8N0 123.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N0 123.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 22.0N4 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 23.4N9 120.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 24.6N2 118.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 26.0N8 117.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 29.1N2 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 21.1N4 123.3E9 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ABOUT THE SAME INTENSITY THROUGH 12 HOURS, THEN WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH TAIWAN, THEN THE CHINESE MAINLAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z9 (DTG 280755Z7), 281500Z6 (DTG 281355Z4), 282100Z3 (DTG 281955Z0) AND 290300Z4 (DTG 290155Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION: REMOVES REFERENCE TO TD 20W IN REMARKS SECTION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31576-22994>; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 11:17:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA14856; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 22:07:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6122209 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 22:07:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA18422 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 22:07:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id WAA27796 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 22:06:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708280306.WAA27796@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 Aug 1997 22:06:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: This Warning Supersedes And Cancels Navpacmetoccen West To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 958992aa6de2e4b35600049076bbc5f1 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3467 Status: OR 781 WTPN32 PGTW 280300 COR THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 271827Z AUG 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 281730 ) 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WARNING NR 001A CORRECTED 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 17.7N5 115.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N5 115.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 17.3N1 116.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 17.7N5 116.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 18.3N2 117.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 19.0N0 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 20.6N8 118.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 17.6N4 115.5E2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TURN GRADUALLY NORTHEASTWARD DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 9 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z9 (DTG 280753Z5), 281500Z6 (DTG 281353Z2), 282100Z3 (DTG 281953Z8) AND 290300Z4 (DTG 290153Z0). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 271827Z AUG 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 281730). REFER TO TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION: CORRECTS TIMES AND BULLETIN HEADERS IN REFERENCES TO PREVIOUS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 17:06:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31239-22994>; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 15:52:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA25954; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 02:42:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6123314 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 02:40:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA10810 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 02:40:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id CAA28090 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 02:39:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708280739.CAA28090@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 02:39:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f879a1f564764f81c80080f02064ecb9 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2920 Status: OR 879 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 280155Z AUG 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 280151Z AUG 97// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 280153Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 280000Z0 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 20.8N0 123.7E3 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 105 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 130 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 28 (WTPN33 PGTW 280300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 280000Z0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W WAS LOCATED AT 12.1N4 149.5E9 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W WARNING NR 04 (WTPN31 PGTW 280300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 280000Z0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 17.7N5 115.3E0 AND WAS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WARNING NR 01 (WTPN32 PGTW 280300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8N8 166E3. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. SATELLITE DERIVED UPPER-LEVEL WIND DATA SHOW THAT UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS PRESENT ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 155E1 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W WARNING NR 04 (WTPN31 PGTW 280300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19N0 113E5 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF C (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WARNING NR 01 (WTPN31 PGTW 280300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/FINTA/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 17:06:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31595-22994>; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 16:18:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA21064; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 02:50:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6123351 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 02:49:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA16108 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 02:49:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id CAA28101 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 02:48:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708280748.CAA28101@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 02:48:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 19w Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7ad4b94b7eca8590a7d975f68e76ebca X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2508 Status: OR 974 WTPN31 PGTW 280900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W WARNING NR 005 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- 11.9N1 148.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.9N1 148.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 12.4N7 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 13.1N5 144.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 13.9N3 142.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 14.9N4 140.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 16.6N3 137.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 280900Z9 POSITION 12.0N3 148.2E5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE GENERALLY WEST- NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 72 HOURS AND SLOWLY INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0), 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6), 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8) AND 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4). REFER TO TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 17:06:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31614-22994>; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 16:30:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA26164; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 03:22:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6123401 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 03:20:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA17414 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 03:20:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id DAA28252 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 03:19:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708280819.DAA28252@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 03:19:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Amber (18w) Warning Nr 029 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7c156a4673b45dfbdf9adbad76408631 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3848 Status: OR 422 WTPN33 PGTW 280900 1. TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 029 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- 21.5N8 123.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 175 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.5N8 123.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 22.8N2 121.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 24.2N8 119.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 25.6N3 118.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 27.1N0 116.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 30.4N7 113.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 280900Z9 POSITION 21.8N1 122.6E1 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD AND WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH TAIWAN, THEN MAINLAND CHINA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6 (DTG 281355Z4), 282100Z3 (DTG 281955Z0), 290300Z4 (DTG 290155Z2) AND 290900Z0 (DTG 290755Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 17:06:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31617-22994>; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 16:57:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA16658; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 03:50:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6123443 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 03:48:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA21900 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 03:48:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id DAA28272 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 03:47:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708280847.DAA28272@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 03:47:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 20w Warning Nr 002 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: dcd1b2c00f3c065f0e1a1c69ef770bcf X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3024 Status: OR 681 WTPN32 PGTW 280900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WARNING NR 002 RELOCATED 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- 17.5N3 115.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.5N3 115.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 17.5N3 115.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 17.7N5 116.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 18.4N3 117.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 19.2N2 117.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 20.5N7 117.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 280900Z9 POSITION 17.5N3 115.4E1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THIS WARNING IS RELOCATED BASED ON 280530Z8 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AND TURN NORTHWARD DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS, THEN CONTINUE GENERALLY NORTHWARD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z IS 9 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6 (DTG 281353Z2), 282100Z3 (DTG 281953Z8), 290300Z4 (DTG 290153Z0) AND 290900Z0 (DTG 290753Z6). REFER TO TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 29 09:20:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31627-22994>; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 23:03:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA21030; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 09:51:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6125172 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 09:51:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA18964 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 09:51:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id JAA28591 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 09:50:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708281450.JAA28591@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 09:50:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Amber (18w) Warning Nr 030 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0f3b341b61aeef53117d068b45104618 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 4047 Status: OR 007 WTPN33 PGTW 281500 1. TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 030 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- 22.3N7 122.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT TAU 0 35 KNOT SE SEMI CIRCLE RADII IS OVER LAND TAU 0 35 KNOT NW SEMI CIRCLE RADII IS OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 155 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.3N7 122.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 23.8N3 121.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT TAU 12 50 KNOT SE SEMI CIRCLE RADII IS OVER LAND TAU 12 50 KNOT NW SEMI CIRCLE RADII IS OVER LAND TAU 12 35 KNOT SE SEMI CIRCLE RADII IS OVER LAND TAU 12 35 KNOT NW SEMI CIRCLE RADII IS OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 25.3N0 119.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT TAU 24 50 KNOT E SEMI CIRCLE RADII IS OVER LAND TAU 24 50 KNOT W SEMI CIRCLE RADII IS OVER LAND TAU 24 35 KNOT E SEMI CIRCLE RADII IS OVER LAND TAU 24 35 KNOT W SEMI CIRCLE RADII IS OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 26.7N5 117.6E5 TAU 36 35 KNOT SW SEMI CIRCLE RADII IS OVER LAND TAU 36 35 KNOT NE SEMI CIRCLE RADII IS OVER LAND MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 28.2N2 116.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 60 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 29.7N8 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 281500Z6 POSITION 22.7N1 122.1E6 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. LANDFALL AT TAIWAN IS EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z3 (DTG 281955Z0), 290300Z4 (DTG 290155Z2), 290900Z0 (DTG 290755Z8) AND 291500Z7 (DTG 291355Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 29 09:20:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31626-22994>; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 23:38:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA12870; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 10:28:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6125412 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 10:28:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA22068 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 10:28:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id KAA28702 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 10:27:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708281527.KAA28702@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 10:27:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 19w Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d9aea8137ac5c7ed1dfbcfc020dca799 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2646 Status: OR 625 WTPN31 PGTW 281500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W WARNING NR 006 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- 12.3N6 148.3E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.3N6 148.3E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 13.1N5 146.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 13.9N3 143.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 14.9N4 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 15.8N4 140.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 17.8N6 136.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 281500Z6 POSITION 12.5N8 147.7E9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6), 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8), 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4) AND 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1). REFER TO TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 29 09:20:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31641-22994>; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 00:05:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA21354; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 10:54:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6125801 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 10:54:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA18776 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 10:54:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id KAA28759 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 10:52:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708281552.KAA28759@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 10:52:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 20w Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 91971490df4f8df41f493a02aeaf8159 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2363 Status: OR 966 WTPN32 PGTW 281500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WARNING NR 003 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- 17.4N2 115.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.4N2 115.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 16.8N5 115.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 16.9N6 116.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 17.5N3 116.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 18.4N3 117.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 20.2N4 117.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 281500Z6 POSITION 17.2N0 115.2E9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W IS QUASISTATIONARY. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST TRACK. SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY VERY SLOWLY DUE TO INHIBITING EFFECTS OF TY AMBER (18W). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z3 (DTG 281953Z8), 290300Z4 (DTG 290153Z0), 290900Z0 (DTG 290753Z6) AND 291500Z7 (DTG 291353Z3). REFER TO TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY PDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 29 09:20:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31646-22994>; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 03:53:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA20858; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 14:39:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6127623 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 14:39:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA19558 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 14:39:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id OAA29233 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 14:38:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708281938.OAA29233@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 14:38:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Amber (18w) Warning Nr 031 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ce9bdfeabb04d6bde69f2d926d0b1c7b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3352 Status: OR 002 WTPN33 PGTW 282100 1. TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 031 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281800Z9 --- 23.6N1 121.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 155 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 23.6N1 121.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 25.6N3 120.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 26.8N6 118.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 27.8N7 117.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 28.7N7 116.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 282100Z3 POSITION 24.1N7 121.5E9 TYPHOON AMBER IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. POSITION BASED ON RADAR OBSERVATIONS FROM WMO 47920. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z4 (DTG 290155Z2), 290900Z0 (DTG 290755Z8), 291500Z7 (DTG 291355Z5) AND 292100Z4 (DTG 291955Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATE. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 29 09:20:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31657-22994>; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 04:18:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA25966; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 15:05:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6127794 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 15:05:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA26198 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 15:05:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id PAA29297 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 15:04:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708282004.PAA29297@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 15:04:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Bing (19w) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 048c4e20df5fbbe6a5905f96b5e1d924 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2830 Status: OR 224 WTPN31 PGTW 282100 1. TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WARNING NR 007 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281800Z9 --- 12.9N2 146.7E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.9N2 146.7E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 13.8N2 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 14.5N0 142.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 15.3N9 140.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 16.0N7 138.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 17.4N2 134.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 282100Z3 POSITION 13.1N5 146.1E2 TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8), 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4), 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1) AND 292100Z4 (DTG 291951Z7). REFER TO TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 29 09:20:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31653-22994>; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 04:50:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA27996; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 15:36:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6127998 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 15:35:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA23626 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 15:35:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id PAA29396 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 15:34:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708282034.PAA29396@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 15:34:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 20w Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 95e33e53b1d72dcb3e7eea4030a40714 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2309 Status: OR 659 WTPN32 PGTW 282100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WARNING NR 004 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281800Z9 --- 17.6N4 115.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N4 115.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 18.0N9 116.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 18.8N7 117.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 19.9N9 118.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 21.2N5 118.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 24.3N9 119.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 282100Z3 POSITION 17.7N5 115.9E6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z4 (DTG 290153Z0), 290900Z0 (DTG 290753Z6), 291500Z7 (DTG 291353Z3) AND 292100Z4 (DTG 291953Z9). REFER TO TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (BING) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 29 11:52:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31704-26110>; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 09:53:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA14466; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 20:46:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6130513 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 20:45:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA12398 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 20:45:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id UAA00718 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 20:44:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708290144.UAA00718@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 20:44:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Bing (19w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2282937acde3efa61e044cb3f979d98d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3226 Status: OR 238 WTPN31 PGTW 290300 1. TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WARNING NR 008 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- 13.4N8 145.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.4N8 145.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 14.2N7 143.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 15.1N7 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 16.0N7 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 17.2N0 138.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 19.9N9 135.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION 13.6N0 145.3E3 TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 72 HOURS AND CONTINUE INTENSIFYING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4), 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1), 292100Z4 (DTG 291951Z7) AND 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0). REFER TO TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 29 11:52:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31638-26110>; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 11:16:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA14160; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 21:34:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6130876 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 21:34:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA14910 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 21:34:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA00806 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 21:33:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708290233.VAA00806@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 21:33:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Amber (18w) Warning Nr 032 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 702aae755899f2ceb7f48946891d3c82 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3313 Status: OR 074 WTPN33 PGTW 290300 1. TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 032 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- 24.7N3 121.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR, AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 24.7N3 121.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 26.3N1 119.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 27.5N4 118.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 28.7N7 116.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 29.8N9 115.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION 25.1N8 120.8E1 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS AND WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH TAIWAN AND CHINA. TYPHOON AMBER (18W) IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND WITHIN 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290900Z0 (DTG 290755Z8), 291500Z7 (DTG 291355Z5), 292100Z4 (DTG 291955Z1) AND 300300Z6 (DTG 300155Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 29 11:52:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31700-26110>; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 11:05:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA13658; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 21:56:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6131067 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 21:56:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA14402 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 21:56:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA00831 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 21:55:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708290255.VAA00831@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 21:55:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Cass (20w) Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6e71b1ebe5b4be96027f3effa254c4cc X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2569 Status: OR 355 WTPN32 PGTW 290300 1. TROPICAL STORM CASS (20W) WARNING NR 005 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- 17.8N6 115.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.8N6 115.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 18.2N1 116.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 19.2N2 117.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 20.4N6 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 21.7N0 118.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 24.4N0 118.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION 17.9N7 115.8E5 TROPICAL STORM CASS (20W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 3 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z1 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290900Z0 (DTG 290753Z6), 291500Z7 (DTG 291353Z3), 292100Z4 (DTG 291953Z9) AND 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2). REFER TO TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 29 15:17:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31637-26110>; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 14:00:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA23334; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 00:52:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6132319 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 00:52:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA12808 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 00:52:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id AAA01259 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 00:50:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708290550.AAA01259@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 00:50:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 564744fa5edddb14696781209dfddcf9 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2140 Status: OR 976 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 290155Z AUG 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 290151Z AUG 97// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 290153Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 290000Z1 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 24.7N3 121.2E6 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 32 (WTPN33 PGTW 290300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 290000Z1 TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 13.4N8 145.8E8 AND WAS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WARNING NR 08 (WTPN31 PGTW 290300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 290000Z1 TROPICAL STORM CASS (20W) WAS LOCATED AT 17.8N6 115.6E3 AND WAS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL STORM CASS (20W) WARNING NR 05 (WTPN32 PGTW 290300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 166E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 29 16:47:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31955-26110>; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 15:44:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA27714; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 02:35:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6132557 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 02:35:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA25638 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 02:35:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA01331 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 02:34:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708290734.CAA01331@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 02:34:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Bing (19w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6e8c17d545136d69892c828d0d7b312e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3155 Status: OR 129 WTPN31 PGTW 290900 1. TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WARNING NR 009 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290600Z7 --- 14.1N6 144.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N6 144.3E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 15.0N6 142.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 15.9N5 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 17.0N8 138.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 18.3N2 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 21.3N6 136.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 290900Z0 POSITION 14.3N8 143.8E6 TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING AND TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IN ABOUT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1), 292100Z4 (DTG 291951Z7), 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0) AND 300900Z2 (DTG 300751Z6). REFER TO TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM CASS (20W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 29 16:47:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <32037-27951>; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 16:24:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA27738; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 03:13:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6132631 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 03:13:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA14664 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 03:13:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA01494 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 03:12:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708290812.DAA01494@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 03:12:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Amber (18w) Warning Nr 033 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 37bb657b27f28941cc33bfff4d0e2925 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3096 Status: OR 592 WTPN33 PGTW 290900 1. TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 033 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290600Z7 --- 25.2N9 120.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 25.2N9 120.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 26.6N4 119.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 27.8N7 117.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 29.0N1 116.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 30.2N5 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 290900Z0 POSITION 25.5N2 120.1E4 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD AS IT WEAKENS RAPIDLY. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND IN 42 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7 (DTG 291355Z5), 292100Z4 (DTG 291955Z1), 300300Z6 (DTG 300155Z4) AND 300900Z2 (DTG 300755Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM CASS (20W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 29 17:43:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31955-27951>; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 17:01:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA28042; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 03:50:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6132769 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 03:50:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA27768 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 03:50:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA01526 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 03:48:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708290848.DAA01526@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 03:48:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Cass (20w) Warning Nr 006 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7dd7515ad3eaf1d600e8d3dacf3fd2c9 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3462 Status: OR 003 WTPN32 PGTW 290900 1. TROPICAL STORM CASS (20W) WARNING NR 006 RELOCATED 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290600Z7 --- 17.8N6 116.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.8N6 116.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 18.8N7 117.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 19.7N7 118.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 20.8N0 118.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 22.0N4 118.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 24.4N0 119.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 290900Z0 POSITION 18.1N0 116.9E7 TROPICAL STORM CASS (20W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THIS WARNING IS RELOCATED BASED ON 290530Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON AN ANALYSIS OF THE SAME SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ABOUT THE SAME SPEED OF MOTION THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AND GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE NORTH. MORE RAPID STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AFTER 36 HOURS WHEN TYPHOON AMBER (20W) HAS MOVED INLAND AND WEAKENED OVER CHINA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7 (DTG 291353Z3), 292100Z4 (DTG 291953Z9), 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2) AND 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8). REFER TO TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 30 09:28:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31714-27951>; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 22:08:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA17604; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 08:45:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6134521 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 08:45:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA17558 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 08:45:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id IAA01871 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 08:44:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708291344.IAA01871@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 08:44:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Amber (18w) Warning Nr 034 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: df139e2231d0585048df4693f90109be X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2559 Status: OR 474 WTPN33 PGTW 291500 1. TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 034 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- 26.1N9 120.1E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 26.1N9 120.1E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 27.3N2 118.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 28.3N3 117.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 28.9N9 116.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 291500Z7 POSITION 26.4N2 119.8E9 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. IT HAS DISSIPATED SIGNIFICANTLY DUE TO LAND EFFECTS OF TAIWAN. LANDFALL ON CHINA IS CURRENTLY OCCURING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNING AT 292100Z4 (DTG 291955Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM CASS (20W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 30 09:28:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31715-27951>; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 22:16:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA16402; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 08:56:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6134576 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 08:56:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA27904 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 08:55:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id IAA01910 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 08:54:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708291354.IAA01910@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 08:54:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Cass (20w) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 362f52421690fa1836efdd96e1958487 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3269 Status: OR 641 WTPN32 PGTW 291500 1. TROPICAL STORM CASS (20W) WARNING NR 007 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- 18.9N8 118.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.9N8 118.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 20.3N5 119.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 21.8N1 119.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 22.9N3 119.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 23.8N3 120.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 25.5N2 120.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 291500Z7 POSITION 19.2N2 118.5E5 TROPICAL STORM CASS (20W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z4 (DTG 291953Z9), 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2), 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8) AND 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5). REFER TO TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 30 09:28:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31791-27951>; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 22:51:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA22342; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 09:43:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6134983 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 09:43:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA15108 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 09:43:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA02040 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 09:41:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708291441.JAA02040@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 09:41:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Bing (19w) Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1e392dcd1ad54c1a1af40b67091521e3 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3292 Status: OR 528 WTPN31 PGTW 291500 1. TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WARNING NR 010 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- 14.5N0 142.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N0 142.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 15.0N6 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 15.6N2 137.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 16.8N5 136.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 18.3N2 136.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 21.4N7 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 291500Z7 POSITION 14.6N1 142.0E7 TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TURNING NORTHWARD BETWEEN 24 AND 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z4 (DTG 291951Z7), 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0), 300900Z2 (DTG 300751Z6) AND 301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3). REFER TO TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATE. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM CASS (20W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 30 09:28:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31709-27951>; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 03:51:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA16022; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 14:39:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6137640 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 14:39:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA23332 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 14:38:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id OAA03073 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 14:36:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708291936.OAA03073@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 14:36:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Cass (20w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1f7be064b163e48ca0c86bf55322b752 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3187 Status: OR 338 WTPN32 PGTW 292100 1. TROPICAL STORM CASS (20W) WARNING NR 008 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291800Z0 --- 19.6N6 118.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.6N6 118.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 20.9N1 119.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 22.2N6 119.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 23.6N1 119.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 24.8N4 119.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 26.5N3 119.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 292100Z4 POSITION 19.9N9 118.5E5 TROPICAL STORM CASS (20W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII, RESPECTIVELY, ARE BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2), 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8), 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5) AND 302100Z6 (DTG 301953Z1). REFER TO TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 30 09:28:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31748-27951>; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 04:20:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA16774; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 15:12:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6137934 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 15:12:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA28516 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 15:12:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA03229 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 15:10:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708292010.PAA03229@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 15:10:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Bing (19w) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d9d88fab0beb9369bfd851fdc4883839 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3222 Status: OR 750 WTPN31 PGTW 292100 1. TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WARNING NR 011 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291800Z0 --- 14.5N0 141.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N0 141.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 15.0N6 139.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 15.5N1 137.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 16.7N4 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 18.2N1 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 21.1N4 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 292100Z4 POSITION 14.6N1 140.9E4 TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0), 300900Z2 (DTG 300751Z6), 301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3) AND 302100Z6 (DTG 301951Z9). REFER TO TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM CASS (20W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 30 09:28:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31757-27951>; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 04:41:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA17930; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 15:34:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6138190 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 15:34:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA12676 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 15:33:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA03275 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 15:31:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708292031.PAA03275@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 15:31:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Amber (18w) Warning Nr 035 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b4f98d171e832c0e99adc5c5d7686ecc X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2499 Status: OR 020 WTPN33 PGTW 292100 1. TROPICAL STORM AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 035 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 18W 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291800Z0 --- 27.0N9 119.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 27.0N9 119.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 28.4N4 118.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 29.5N6 117.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 30.1N4 116.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 292100Z4 POSITION 27.3N2 119.6E7 TROPICAL STORM AMBER (18W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. LANDFALL HAS OCCURRED. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6 (DTG 300155Z4) AND 300900Z2 (DTG 300755Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM CASS (20W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 30 09:46:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31792-2097>; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 09:15:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA09446; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 20:08:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6141001 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 20:07:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA16064 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 20:07:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id UAA03785 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 20:06:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708300106.UAA03785@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 20:06:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Bing (19w) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f2cb9dd1ff058ee74e950572f9b7c15a X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3542 Status: OR 565 WTPN31 PGTW 300300 1. TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WARNING NR 012 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- 15.6N2 140.3E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N2 140.3E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 16.8N5 138.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 17.9N7 137.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 19.5N5 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 21.2N5 137.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 25.0N7 139.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION 15.9N5 139.9E2 TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. BING IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TRACKING NORTHWARD NEAR THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION IN RESPONSE TO A DEVELOPING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH AND WILL TRACK NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TO NORTHEASTWARD THEREAFTER. BING IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 48- HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z3 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z2 (DTG 300751Z6), 301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3), 302100Z6 (DTG 301951Z9) AND 310300Z7 (DTG 310151Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM AMBER (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) AND TO TROPICAL STORM CASS (20W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 30 10:26:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <32039-9848>; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 10:20:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA15900; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 20:58:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6141450 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 20:58:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA09220 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 20:58:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id UAA03819 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 20:56:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708300156.UAA03819@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 20:56:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 18w (amber) Warning Nr 036 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 769f3a296c890f7c7fcc88727d8af8d9 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1939 Status: OR 751 WTPN33 PGTW 300300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (AMBER) WARNING NR 036 RELOCATED DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 18W 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- 27.8N7 117.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 27.8N7 117.3E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 28.6N6 115.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 29.5N6 114.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION 28.0N0 116.9E7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (AMBER) HAS MOVED OVER MAINLAND CHINA. THE SYSTEM IS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TO TROPICAL STORM CASS (20W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Aug 30 12:11:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31688-9848>; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 10:35:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA25960; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 21:28:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6141586 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 21:27:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA34354 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 21:27:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA03940 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 21:26:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708300226.VAA03940@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 21:26:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Cass (20w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4c03f2e84868921dd5b04b59f0a3b235 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2780 Status: OR 319 WTPN32 PGTW 300300 1. TROPICAL STORM CASS (20W) WARNING NR 009 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- 21.3N6 118.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.3N6 118.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 23.4N9 118.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 25.5N2 118.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 27.6N5 118.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 30.0N3 118.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION 21.8N1 118.0E0 TROPICAL STORM CASS (20W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY PRIOR TO LANDFALL IN SOUTHERN CHINA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z3 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8), 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5), 302100Z6 (DTG 301953Z1) AND 310300Z7 (DTG 310153Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (AMBER) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 1 07:14:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625918-396>; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 17:15:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA13124; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 01:10:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6143063 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 01:10:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA30216 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 01:10:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA04236 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 01:08:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708300608.BAA04236@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 30 Aug 1997 01:08:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 05b9c3010d8a00d4db47352a47177183 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2525 Status: OR 548 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z/310600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 300155Z AUG 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 300151Z AUG 97// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 300153Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 300000Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (AMBER) WAS LOCATED AT 27.8N7 117.3E2 AND WAS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (AMBER) WARNING NR 36 RELOCATED (WTPN33 PGTW 300300)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 300000Z3 TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 15.6N2 140.3E8 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WARNING NR 12 (WTPN31 PGTW 300300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 300000Z3 TROPICAL STORM CASS (20W) WAS LOCATED AT 21.3N6 118.0E0 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL STORM CASS (20W) WARNING NR 09 (WTPN32 PGTW 300300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN THE TAIWAN STRAIGHT NEAR 24N6 119E1. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW- TO MID-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. THE CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 1 07:14:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625896-396>; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 17:15:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA30212; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 02:08:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6143245 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 02:08:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA27116 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 02:08:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA04281 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 02:06:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708300706.CAA04281@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 30 Aug 1997 02:06:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c35905a648e151ec2eefe22593d6c4ef X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2091 Status: OR 863 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z/310600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 300155Z AUG 97// REFVKB/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 300151Z AUG 97// = 3>/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 300153Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (188 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 30;PPOH LYER THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 300000Z3 TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 15.6N2 140.3E8 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 55 7( -94. ? ,9 (19W) WARNING NR 12 (WTPN31 PGTW 300300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 300000Z3 TROPICAL STORM CASS (20W) WAS LOCATED AT 21.3N6 118.0E0 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 1-.;<(,95. MAXI MUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL STORM CASS (20W) WARNING NR 09 (WTPN32 PGTW 30839 B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS 9(-53$ 8, 5#3 5-82-, 54-8<#5 ,3-4 24N6 119E1. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIVVCCNL 77 TO MID-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. THE CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAO OIM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY()7))8,/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 1 07:14:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625894-401>; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 17:14:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA31286; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 02:22:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6143313 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 02:22:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA26842 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 02:22:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA04294 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 02:20:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708300720.CAA04294@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 30 Aug 1997 02:20:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/spnificant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e662bdeedf5ba4089fd4da1e0269a9e2 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1843 Status: OR 190 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SPNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z/310600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 300155Z AUG 97// REFVKB/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 300151Z AUG 97// = 3 /C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 300153Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (188 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 30 PPOH LYER THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 300000Z3 TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 15.6N2 140.3E8 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ATQAIPE0 AND WAS MOVING NORTHW ARD AT 1-. (,95. MAXI MUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS????? TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL STORM CASS (20W) WARNING NR 09 (WTPN32 PGTW 30839 B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS 9(-53 8, 5$3 5-82-, 54-8 $5 ,3-4 24N6 119E1. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE????? 5 034853,5 >94 5#3 0-5 12 974. MAO OIM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM;)KALAFSKY()7))8,/HATFIELD/HALL//????? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 1 07:14:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625898-401>; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 17:04:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA26726; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 02:41:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6143394 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 02:41:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA30796 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 02:41:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA04315 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 02:39:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708300739.CAA04315@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 30 Aug 1997 02:39:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Bing (19w) Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8215f3437a57048e8f523b104e34b388 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3446 Status: OR 447 WTPN31 PGTW 300900 1. TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WARNING NR 013 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z9 --- 16.2N9 139.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N9 139.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 17.7N5 137.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 19.7N7 136.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 21.7N0 137.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 23.6N1 138.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 27.4N3 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 300900Z2 POSITION 16.6N3 138.6E8 TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TURN NORTHWARD NEAR THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND TO TRACK NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD TO NORTHEASTWARD THEREAFTER. TROPICAL STORM BING WILL INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z9 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3), 302100Z6 (DTG 301951Z9), 310300Z7 (DTG 310151Z1) AND 310900Z3 (DTG 310751Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (AMBER) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM CASS (20W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 1 07:14:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625896-401>; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 17:04:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA29318; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 02:59:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6143439 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 02:59:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA13164 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 02:59:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA04325 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 02:57:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708300757.CAA04325@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 30 Aug 1997 02:57:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Cass (20w) Warning Nr 010 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 277f2a5518fad4546c3a4333b8f02903 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2394 Status: OR 583 WTPN32 PGTW 300900 1. TROPICAL STORM CASS (20W) WARNING NR 010 RELOCATED 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z9 --- 24.6N2 118.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.6N2 118.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 26.6N4 117.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 28.6N6 116.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 30.6N9 116.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 300900Z2 POSITION 25.1N8 118.0E0 TROPICAL STORM CASS (20W) IS MAKING LANDFALL IN SOUTHERN CHINA. THIS WARNING IS RELOCATED BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATING A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE ESTIMATE OF 999 MB. THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWARD OVER MAINLAND CHINA AND WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z9 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5), 302100Z6 (DTG 301953Z1), 310300Z7 (DTG 310153Z3) AND 310900Z3 (DTG 310753Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (AMBER) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 1 07:14:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625891-3323>; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 21:37:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA35202; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 08:29:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6144922 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 08:29:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA12396 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 08:29:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id IAA04668 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 08:28:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708301328.IAA04668@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 30 Aug 1997 08:28:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Bing (19w) Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4deb4b5beeefbfed3369c230a6cd3dcc X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3770 Status: OR 436 WTPN31 PGTW 301500 1. TYPHOON BING (19W) WARNING NR 014 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 19W 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z6 --- 16.6N3 138.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.6N3 138.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 17.7N5 138.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 18.8N7 137.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 20.5N7 138.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 22.9N3 139.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 27.6N5 142.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 301500Z9 POSITION 16.9N6 138.4E6 TYPHOON BING (19W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DECELERATE AND TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST THROUGH 12 HOURS. AFTER 12 HOURS TYPHOON BING (19W) IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND ACCELERATE THROUGH 72 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY THROUGH 48 HOURS, PEAK AND THEN SLOWLY DECREASE IN INTENSITY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z6 IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 302100Z6 (DTG 301951Z9), 310300Z7 (DTG 310151Z1), 310900Z3 (DTG 310751Z7) AND 311500Z0 (DTG 311351Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (AMBER) WARNING (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W (CASS) WARNING (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 1 07:14:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625902-3323>; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 21:46:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA29226; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 08:39:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6144943 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 08:39:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA20758 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 08:39:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id IAA04676 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 08:38:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708301338.IAA04676@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 30 Aug 1997 08:38:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 20w (cass) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 103b276116bfeac715eb3131090b9973 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2165 Status: OR 716 WTPN32 PGTW 301500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W (CASS) WARNING NR 011 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 20W 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z6 --- 25.7N4 117.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 25.7N4 117.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 27.8N7 117.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 29.7N8 117.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 301500Z9 POSITION 26.2N0 117.7E6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W (CASS) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 12 KNOTS OVER SOUTHEASTERN CHINA. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING GENERALLY NORTHWARD AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE AT THE 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z6 OVER THE TAIWAN STRAIT IS 11 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (AMBER) WARNING (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. REFER TO TYPHOON BING (19W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 1 07:14:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625898-3323>; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 23:11:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA16962; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 10:03:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6145275 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 10:03:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA26404 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 10:03:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id KAA04748 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 10:01:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708301501.KAA04748@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 30 Aug 1997 10:01:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 33c8485037f7c89af84c663a83224b12 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2264 Status: OR 974 WTPN32 PGTW 301500 PAGE 02 RUHGSGG8519 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W (CASS) WARNING NR 011 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 20W 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z6 --- 25.7N4 117.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 25.7N4 117.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 27.8N7 117.3E2 PAGE 03 RUHGSGG8519 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 29.7N8 117.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 301500Z9 POSITION 26.2N0 117.7E6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W (CASS) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 12 KNOTS OVER SOUTHEASTERN CHINA. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING GENERALLY NORTHWARD AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE AT THE 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG8519 UNCLAS WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z6 OVER THE TAIWAN STRAIT IS 11 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (AMBER) WARNING (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. REFER TO TYPHOON BING (19W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #8519 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 1 07:14:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625954-3323>; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 04:10:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA32740; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 15:00:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6147150 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 15:00:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA31946 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 15:00:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA05121 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 15:00:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708302000.PAA05121@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 30 Aug 1997 15:00:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Bing (19w) Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 44b52c6b45056ad2df6fbd34d1f87f24 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3732 Status: OR 680 WTPN31 PGTW 302100 1. TYPHOON BING (19W) WARNING NR 015 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301800Z2 --- 17.0N8 138.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.0N8 138.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 17.9N7 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 19.4N4 137.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 21.2N5 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 23.4N9 138.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 27.8N7 141.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 302100Z6 POSITION 17.2N0 138.2E4 TYPHOON BING (19W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE GENERALLY NORTHWARD AND INTENSIFY THROUGH 48 HOURS. AFTER 48 HOURS TYPHOON BING (19W) IS FORECAST TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTH- NORTHEAST AND ACCELERATE AS IT BEGINS TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z2 IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310300Z7 (DTG 310151Z1), 310900Z3 (DTG 310751Z7), 311500Z0 (DTG 311351Z4) AND 312100Z7 (DTG 311951Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (AMBER) WARNING (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W (CASS) WARNING (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 1 07:14:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625961-3321>; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 05:12:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA13266; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 16:03:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6147542 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 16:03:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA32440 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 16:03:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA05213 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 16:03:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708302103.QAA05213@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 30 Aug 1997 16:03:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Bing (19w) Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1e1ff7cf0e547d7abc3defa7d9022fd0 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3861 Status: OR 451 WTPN31 PGTW 302100 1. TYPHOON BING (19W) WARNING NR 015 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHGSGG8739 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 301800Z2 --- 17.0N8 138.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.0N8 138.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 17.9N7 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG8739 UNCLAS 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 19.4N4 137.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 21.2N5 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 11 KTS PAGE 04 RUHGSGG8739 UNCLAS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 23.4N9 138.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 27.8N7 141.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- PAGE 05 RUHGSGG8739 UNCLAS REMARKS: 302100Z6 POSITION 17.2N0 138.2E4 TYPHOON BING (19W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE GENERALLY NORTHWARD AND INTENSIFY THROUGH 48 HOURS. AFTER 48 HOURS TYPHOON BING (19W) IS FORECAST TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTH- NORTHEAST AND ACCELERATE AS IT BEGINS TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z2 IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310300Z7 (DTG 310151Z1), 310900Z3 (DTG 310751Z7), 311500Z0 (DTG 311351Z4) AND 312100Z7 (DTG 311951Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (AMBER) WARNING (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W (CASS) WARNING (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// BT #8739 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 1 07:14:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625962-3323>; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 05:44:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA16964; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 16:38:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6147648 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 16:38:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA26672 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 16:38:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA05272 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 16:38:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708302138.QAA05272@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 30 Aug 1997 16:38:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Bing (19w) Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 507ddbc31e74e30d1bbb481797c9f4e8 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3840 Status: OR 068 WTPN31 PGTW 302100 1. TYPHOON BING (19W) WARNING NR 015 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301800Z2 --- 17.0N8 138.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.0N8 138.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 17.9N7 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 19.4N4 137.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 21.2N5 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 23.4N9 138.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 27.8N7 141.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 302100Z6 POSITION 17.2N0 138.2E4 TYPHOON BING (19W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE GENERALLY NORTHWARD AND INTENSIFY THROUGH 48 HOURS. AFTER 48 HOURS TYPHOON BING (19W) IS FORECAST TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTH- NORTHEAST AND ACCELERATE AS IT BEGINS TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z2 IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310300Z7 (DTG 310151Z1), 310900Z3 (DTG 310751Z7), 311500Z0 (DTG 311351Z4) AND 312100Z7 (DTG 311951Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (AMBER) WARNING (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W (CASS) WARNING (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT TTT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 1 07:14:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625981-6925>; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 09:47:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA31488; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 20:40:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6148620 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 20:39:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA14264 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 20:39:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id UAA05557 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 20:39:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708310139.UAA05557@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 30 Aug 1997 20:39:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Bing (19w) Warning Nr 016 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c03d9e8ff9dd13c434f798ffabf77502 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3443 Status: OR 604 WTPN31 PGTW 310300 1. TYPHOON BING (19W) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z4 --- 17.9N7 138.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.9N7 138.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 19.5N5 138.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 21.4N7 138.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 23.2N7 138.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 25.2N9 138.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 29.0N1 139.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 310300Z7 POSITION 18.3N2 138.3E5 TYPHOON BING (19W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND TO REACH PEAK INTENSITY NEAR THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z4 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310900Z3 (DTG 310751Z7), 311500Z0 (DTG 311351Z4), 312100Z7 (DTG 311951Z0) AND 010300Z4. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W (CASS) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 1 07:14:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625978-6933>; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 11:13:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA31750; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 22:06:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6148938 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 22:06:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA16104 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 22:06:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA05883 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 22:06:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708310306.WAA05883@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 30 Aug 1997 22:06:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Bing (19w) Warning Nr 016 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4cbcdd739c7ffe68dd471193ce17b640 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3542 Status: OR 794 WTPN31 PGTW 310300 1. TYPHOON BING (19W) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z4 --- 17.9N7 138.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.9N7 138.3E5 --- FORECASTS: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG8898 UNCLAS 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 19.5N5 138.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 21.4N7 138.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 23.2N7 138.6E8 PAGE 04 RUHGSGG8898 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 25.2N9 138.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 29.0N1 139.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT PAGE 05 RUHGSGG8898 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 310300Z7 POSITION 18.3N2 138.3E5 TYPHOON BING (19W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND TO REACH PEAK INTENSITY NEAR THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z4 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310900Z3 (DTG 310751Z7), 311500Z0 (DTG 311351Z4), 312100Z7 (DTG 311951Z0) AND 010300Z4. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W (CASS) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// BT #8898 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 1 07:14:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626008-6925>; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 14:13:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA32282; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 01:06:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6149930 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 01:06:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA14322 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 01:06:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA06124 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 01:06:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708310606.BAA06124@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 31 Aug 1997 01:06:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c0c78103e43f7399cfb5995d90a42311 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2474 Status: OR 301 ABPW10 PGTW 310600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/310600Z AUG 97/010600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 310151Z AUG 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 301353Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 310000Z4 TYPHOON BING (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 17.9N7 138.3E5 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON BING (19W) WARNING NR 16 (WTPN31 PGTW 310300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 301200Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W (CASS) WAS LOCATED AT 25.7N4 117.8E7 AND WAS MOVING NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W (CASS) WARNING NR 11 (WTPN32 PGTW 301500)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 27N9 150E6. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATED THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED IN THE TAIWAN STRAIGHT NEAR 24N6 119E1 WAS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W (CASS). THE SYSTEM HAS MOVED OVER MAINLAND CHINA AND HAS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W (CASS) WARNING NR 11 (WTPN32 PGTW 301500)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 1 07:14:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626031-276>; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 15:47:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA04450; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 02:14:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6150182 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 02:14:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA31310 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 02:14:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA06184 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 02:14:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708310714.CAA06184@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 31 Aug 1997 02:14:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Bing (19w) Warning Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 30a7e1d55b5164189e374ec5cb542b76 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3329 Status: OR 737 WTPN31 PGTW 310900 1. TYPHOON BING (19W) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310600Z0 --- 18.7N6 138.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 005 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.7N6 138.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 20.3N5 138.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 22.0N4 138.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 23.8N3 139.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 25.7N4 139.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 29.4N5 140.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 310900Z3 POSITION 19.1N1 138.5E7 TYPHOON BING (19W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND REACH MAXIMUM INTENSITY NEAR THE 36- HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310600Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 311500Z0 (DTG 311351Z4), 312100Z7 (DTG 311951Z0), 010300Z4 (DTG 010151Z8) AND 010900Z0 (DTG 010751Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 1 07:14:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626030-276>; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 15:38:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA34178; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 02:30:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6150243 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 02:30:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA25456 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 02:30:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA06203 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 02:30:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708310730.CAA06203@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 31 Aug 1997 02:30:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Bing (19w) Warning Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e432b6b656d1af2cacafa33cbcd1fd98 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3428 Status: OR 956 WTPN31 PGTW 310900 1. TYPHOON BING (19W) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310600Z0 --- 18.7N6 138.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 005 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.7N6 138.5E7 --- FORECASTS: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG9074 UNCLAS 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 20.3N5 138.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 22.0N4 138.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 23.8N3 139.0E3 PAGE 04 RUHGSGG9074 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 25.7N4 139.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 29.4N5 140.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT PAGE 05 RUHGSGG9074 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 310900Z3 POSITION 19.1N1 138.5E7 TYPHOON BING (19W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND REACH MAXIMUM INTENSITY NEAR THE 36- HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310600Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 311500Z0 (DTG 311351Z4), 312100Z7 (DTG 311951Z0), 010300Z4 (DTG 010151Z8) AND 010900Z0 (DTG 010751Z4).// BT #9074 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 1 07:14:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626073-276>; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 22:37:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA14324; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 08:29:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6151324 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 08:29:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA29410 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 08:29:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id IAA06582 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 08:29:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708311329.IAA06582@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 31 Aug 1997 08:29:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Bing (19w) Warning Nr 018 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7d3e695656f09d012fa9f6be10800dc7 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3436 Status: OR 946 WTPN31 PGTW 311500 1. TYPHOON BING (19W) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311200Z7 --- 19.9N9 138.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 005 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.9N9 138.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 21.7N0 138.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 23.4N9 139.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 25.2N9 139.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 27.0N9 139.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 30.5N8 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 311500Z0 POSITION 20.4N6 138.6E8 TYPHOON BING (19W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS THEN TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST. TYPHOON BING (19W) IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGH 36 HOURS THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311200Z7 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 312100Z7 (DTG 311951Z0), 010300Z4 (DTG 010151Z8), 010900Z0 (DTG 010751Z4) AND 011500Z7 (DTG 011351Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 1 07:14:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626079-275>; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 23:21:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA09772; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 09:12:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6151449 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 09:12:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAB35352 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 09:12:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA06618 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 09:12:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708311412.JAA06618@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 31 Aug 1997 09:12:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Bing (19w) Warning Nr 018 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ab272e71cc13de611c012a3c1209564f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3535 Status: OR 858 WTPN31 PGTW 311500 1. TYPHOON BING (19W) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311200Z7 --- 19.9N9 138.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 005 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.9N9 138.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG9272 UNCLAS 010000Z1 --- 21.7N0 138.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 23.4N9 139.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 25.2N9 139.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG9272 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 27.0N9 139.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 30.5N8 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 05 RUHGSGG9272 UNCLAS 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 311500Z0 POSITION 20.4N6 138.6E8 TYPHOON BING (19W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS THEN TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST. TYPHOON BING (19W) IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGH 36 HOURS THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311200Z7 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 312100Z7 (DTG 311951Z0), 010300Z4 (DTG 010151Z8), 010900Z0 (DTG 010751Z4) AND 011500Z7 (DTG 011351Z1).// BT #9272 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 31 19:29:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626927-3672>; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 18:07:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA46764; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 04:06:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6828571 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 04:06:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA16536 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 04:06:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA02531 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 04:06:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710311006.EAA02531@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 04:06:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d30847c73ab5f285777d5d9aebca2834 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 591 WHPS31 PHNC 310900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04P WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310600Z0 --- 9.3S2 165.6W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 9.3S2 165.6W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 9.9S8 166.3W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 10.4S5 167.1W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 10.9S0 167.9W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 11.9S1 168.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM --- REMARKS: 310900Z3 POSITION 9.4S3 165.8W0 SYSTEM IS BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE LAST TWELVE HOURS. DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATED TO BE T3.0, AND INCREASE IN 0.5. OUTFLOW APPEARS GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310600Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW(IO,PN)30 PGFW (PHNC) FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION NEXT WARNINGS AT 312100Z7 (DTG 311951Z0) AND 010900Z0 (DTG 010751Z4). // AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG79183041003 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 1 11:26:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626661-22680>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 06:30:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA36638; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 16:25:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6835129 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 16:25:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA14570 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 16:25:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA05555 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 16:25:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710312225.QAA05555@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 16:25:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: dfabb21aad3511e094364d80ae552d9e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 581 WHPS31 PHNC 312100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04P (MARTIN) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311800Z3 --- 10.5S6 165.8W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM REPEAT POSIT: 10.5S6 165.8W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 11.6S8 166.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 12.7S0 166.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 14.3S8 165.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 16.4S1 164.2W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM --- REMARKS: 312100Z7 POSITION 10.8S9 165.8W0 MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311800Z IS 18 FEET. U. S. AIR FORCE GLOBAL WEATHER CENTRAL SATELLITE POSITION AND INTENSITY DATA INDICATES CYCLONE NOW MOVING MORE SOUTHWARD. SYNOPTIC AND NUMERICAL WX DATA SUPPORT CONTINUED SOUTHWARD THEN SOUTHEAST MOVEMENT IN RESPONSE TO INTENSIFYING MID TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLY FLOW. THIS SAME WESTERLY FLOW IN MID AND UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE IS FURTHER EXPECTED TO HINDER UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW FROM THE CYCLONE THUS WEAKENING EXPECTED AFTER 24 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010900Z0 (DTG 010751Z4) AND 012100Z4 (DTG 011951Z7).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEDMCB53913042223 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:24:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625988-17595>; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 07:01:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA04552; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 16:58:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6845194 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 16:58:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA30642 for ; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 16:58:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA07535 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 16:58:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711012258.QAA07535@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 16:58:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 36c1fa39d4f55c11caf7b866bf5f1a80 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 877 WHPS31 PHNC 012100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04P (MARTIN) WARNING NR 05 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011800Z0 --- 11.4S6 163.3W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 100 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.4S6 163.3W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 11.9S1 162.7W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 12.8S1 162.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 14.1S6 161.1W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 15.8S4 160.2W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 012100Z4 POSITION 11.5S7 163.1W1 TROPICAL CYCLONE MARTIN HAS RECURVED SLIGHTLY TO THE EAST AND SLOWED. ALL DYNAMIC AIDS ACCELERATE THE SYSTEM THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD TO THE SOUTHEAST. SYSTEM HAS MAINTAINED ORGANIZATION AND WINDS ARE BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY. NOGAPS SHOWS UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE ABOVE AND AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM. EXPECT MARTIN TO ACCELERATE THROUGH THE WEAKNESS IN THE UPPER LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 PHNC FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020900Z1 (DTG 020751Z5) AND 022100Z5 (DTG 021951Z8).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG33333052132 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 10:46:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626539-17595>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 05:37:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA12536; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 15:35:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6855207 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 15:35:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA30692 for ; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 15:35:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA02511 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 15:35:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711022135.PAA02511@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 15:35:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: af261be26a08ad1404725a040d256310 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 136 WHPS31 PHNC 022200 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04P (MARTIN) WARNING NR 07 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021800Z1 --- 12.9S2 159.1W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.9S2 159.1W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 15.4S0 157.2W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 18.4S3 155.7W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 21.1S4 153.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 23.4S9 150.4W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 022200Z5 POSITION 13.5S9 158.6W0 TROPICAL CYCLONE MARTIN CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTHEAST AND ACCELERATE. SYSTEM HAS STILL MAINTAINS GOOD CENTRAL CONVECTION AND COLD CLOUD TOPS BUT HAS BEGUN TO ELONGATE. SHEARING IS EVIDENT ALONG THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031000Z2 (DTG 030930Z5) AND 032200Z6 (DTG 032130Z9).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG66683062131 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 4 07:39:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626908-6116>; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 00:09:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA44286; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 10:07:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6864644 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 10:07:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA14438 for ; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 10:06:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA03985 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 10:06:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711031606.KAA03985@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Nov 1997 10:06:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f5a1226605482037e4b6be1742142d28 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 455 WHPS31 PHNC 030900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04P (MARTIN) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z9 --- 14.5S0 156.3W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.5S0 156.3W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 16.7S4 153.8W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 19.1S1 151.7W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 21.7S0 149.6W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 23.8S3 147.1W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 030900Z2 POSITION 15.1S7 155.7W8 LATEST METSAT DATA FROM U. S. AIR FORCE GLOBAL WEATHER CENTRAL IDENTIFIES A 9NM EYE. METSAT ALSO INDICATES EVIDENCE OF VERTICAL SHEAR IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04P CONTINUES TO TRACK SOUTHEAST AND INCREASE IN FORWARD MOTION DUE TO INTENSIFYING MID TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLY FLOW. THIS FLOW WILL ALSO BEGIN TO WEAKEN SYSTEM BY TAU 12. NUMERICAL AND SYNOPTIC GUIDANCE SUPPORT THIS CONTINUED SOUTHEASTWARD MOVEMENT AND WEAKENING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9) AND 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG96763070938 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 4 20:27:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626542-29124>; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 20:27:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id GAA27498; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 06:11:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6875245 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 06:11:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id GAA32862 for ; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 06:11:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA07306 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 06:11:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711041211.GAA07306@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Nov 1997 06:11:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d4f09c38de192bb22d82f5a133e108cc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 824 WHPS31 PHNC 041000 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04P (MARTIN) WARNING NR 10 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- 21.3S6 149.2W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 22 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.3S6 149.2W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 24.3S9 144.6W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 27.0S9 139.9W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 29.5S6 134.1W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 28 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 30.8S1 127.9W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 040900Z3 POSITION 22.1S5 148.1W4 LATEST METSAT DATA INDICATES THAT 04P IS UNDERGOING VERTICAL SHEAR. SYSTEM IS BEGINNING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AND WILL BE EXTRATROPICAL BY 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041600Z1 (DTG 041530Z3) AND 051000Z6 (DTG 050930Z7).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG34883080943 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 24 18:32:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627711-5777>; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 18:09:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA23182; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 03:34:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7091881 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 03:34:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA28288 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 03:34:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA23625 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 11:27:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711231727.LAA23625@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Nov 1997 11:27:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: Nov 97 Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (whps21 Phnc To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b31b9ea1738780392fca904141efbcc9 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 032 WHPS31 PHNC 231500 THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN 230900Z NOV 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WHPS21 PHNC 230000 ) 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06P WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- 10.0S1 157.3W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM REPEAT POSIT: 10.0S1 157.3W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 10.7S8 157.7W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 11.4S6 157.8W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 12.7S0 157.7W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 14.1S6 157.4W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM --- REMARKS: 231500Z1 POSITION 10.2S3 157.4W7 MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3) AND 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6). LATEST METSAT DATA INDICATES SYSTEM HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST THREE HOURS. DVORAK ANALYSIS AND SCATTEROMETRY DATA SUPPORT CURRENT INTENSITY. INITIAL MOVEMENT WILL BE SLOW DUE TO 06P POSITION IN THE WEAKNESS OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE SYSTEM WILL ACCELERATE AS IT APPROACHES INTENSIFYING MID TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLY FLOW. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN 230900Z NOV 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WHPS21 PHNC 230000)// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEOMCA08463271723 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 24 18:32:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627754-5773>; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 17:44:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA43732; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 03:21:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7091740 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 03:21:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA10150 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 03:21:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA25144 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 20:22:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711240222.UAA25144@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Nov 1997 20:22:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 49520a69210b2346b5ed19032ef11f1e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 957 WHPS31 PHNC 240300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06P (OSEA) WARNING NR 02 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- 12.0S3 158.0W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 195 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM REPEAT POSIT: 12.0S3 158.0W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 14.5S0 157.9W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 17.0S8 157.2W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 19.9S9 156.1W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 20 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 23.2S7 153.8W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION 12.6S9 158.0W4 MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6) AND 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEOMCA12283280219 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 25 17:57:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627984-29658>; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 16:19:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA14768; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 00:34:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7101614 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 00:34:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA21666 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 00:34:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA00766 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 00:34:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711250634.AAA00766@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Nov 1997 00:34:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7e9eda773c60f2fbffcba5adf04dbf16 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 291 WHPS31 PHNC 250300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06P (OSEA) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- 13.9S3 155.5W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 095 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.9S3 155.5W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 14.9S4 153.8W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 17.2S0 152.3W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 20.1S3 150.9W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 22 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 23.8S3 148.2W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION 14.2S7 155.1W2 MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z IS 18 FEET. SATELLITE DATA INDICATES THIS SYSTEM IS TRACKING FURTHER TO THE EAST THAN WAS PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. SYSTEM IS BEING STEERED ON A MORE EASTERLY TRACK THAN LAST WARNING DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH BUILDING NORTHEASTWARD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06P (OESA) WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE FORECAST AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASED WESTERLY WIND SHEAR. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7) AND 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG14563290427 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 26 09:46:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628050-29658>; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 00:59:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA32314; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 10:10:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7104490 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 10:10:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA12304 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 10:10:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA02586 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 10:10:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711251610.KAA02586@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Nov 1997 10:10:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 66479064fe5b2e80227959e632c3a7a0 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 729 WHPS31 PHNC 251500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06P (OSEA) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- 14.6S1 153.7W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.6S1 153.7W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 17.1S9 151.7W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 21.1S4 150.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 25.7S4 148.2W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 30 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 29.5S6 143.1W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION 15.2S8 153.2W1 MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z IS 20 FEET. METSAT DATA INDICATES THAT CONVECTION IS NORTHEAST OF CENTER AND BEGINNING TO ELONGATE ALONG THE NORTHWEST-SOUTHEAST AXIS INDICATING THE BEGINNING OF SHEARING. THE SYSTEM WILL ACCELERATE BETWEEN TWO HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEMS. TRACK FORECAST IS ESSENTIALLY THE SAME WITH THE SYSTEM ACCELERATING MORE. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1 (DTG 260230Z3) AND 261500Z4 (DTG 261430Z6).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG25253291517 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 26 09:46:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628012-29659>; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 00:47:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA35204; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 10:19:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7104607 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 10:19:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA13414 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 10:18:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA02615 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 10:18:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711251618.KAA02615@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Nov 1997 10:18:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ce95bc2c75c3e473b528525c56e1dc42 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 941 WHPS31 PHNC 251500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06P (OSEA) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- 14.6S1 153.7W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.6S1 153.7W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 17.1S9 151.7W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 21.1S4 150.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 25.7S4 148.2W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 30 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 29.5S6 143.1W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION 15.2S8 153.2W1 MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z IS 20 FEET. METSAT DATA INDICATES THAT CONVECTION IS NORTHEAST OF CENTER AND BEGINNING TO ELONGATE ALONG THE NORTHWEST-SOUTHEAST AXIS INDICATING THE BEGINNING OF SHEARING. THE SYSTEM WILL ACCELERATE BETWEEN TWO HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEMS. TRACK FORECAST IS ESSENTIALLY THE SAME WITH THE SYSTEM ACCELERATING MORE. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1 (DTG 260230Z3) AND 261500Z4 (DTG 261430Z6).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG25303291517 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 27 13:48:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628161-21039>; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 21:39:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA25464; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 07:12:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7114326 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 07:12:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA32106 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 07:12:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA07392 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 07:12:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711261312.HAA07392@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Nov 1997 07:12:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1504b6ee94c1f6ee9c72b92572994331 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 757 WHPS31 PHNC 260300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06P (OSEA) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 16.2S9 152.5W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.2S9 152.5W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 17.9S7 151.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 22.4S8 148.9W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 26.9S7 145.9W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 27 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 30.0S3 140.9W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 16.6S3 152.2W0 MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8) AND 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6). THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE IN FORECAST PHILOSOPHY FROM PREVIOUS WARNINGS. 06P WILL BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AS IT BECOMES ENTRAINED IN ACCELERATING MID LATITUDE MID TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLY FLOW.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG62603300243 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 27 13:48:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627214-21038>; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 00:39:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA40280; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 10:10:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7116207 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 10:10:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA38988 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 10:10:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA07940 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 10:10:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711261610.KAA07940@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Nov 1997 10:10:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 92147574c2e22eeb980baf1c6a9d6e75 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 307 WHPS31 PHNC 261500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06P (OSEA) WARNING NR 07 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- 18.5S4 151.5W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.5S4 151.5W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 21.1S4 149.8W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 24.1S7 147.9W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 27.3S2 144.9W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 26 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 30.4S7 140.1W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION 19.2S2 151.1W8 MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z IS 24 FEET. LATEST METSAT DATA INDICATES SOME SHEARING IN SOUTHEAST QUADRANT. THERE IS STILL UPPER LEVEL SPEED DIVERGENCE HELPING TO INTENSIFY THE STORM. 06P WILL BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AS IT BECOMES ENTRAINED IN AN EASTWARD MOVING LONG WAVE TROUGH AND ACCELERATING MID TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLY FLOW. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 (DTG 270230Z4) AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271430Z7).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG65083301430 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 27 16:20:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626824-15088>; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 16:07:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA16560; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 01:42:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7124730 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 01:42:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA19618 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 01:42:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA10923 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 01:42:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711270742.BAA10923@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Nov 1997 01:42:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 29b50d57531fee38740a8ef1f8a4f8f2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 970 WHPS31 PHNC 270300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06P (OSEA) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- 18.9S8 151.0W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.9S8 151.0W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 19.5S5 150.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 20.4S6 149.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 21.5S8 147.3W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION 19.1S1 150.8W4 MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z9 IS 18 FEET. U.S. AIR FORCE GLOBAL WEATHER CENTER METSAT DATA BETWEEN 261500Z AND 270000Z INDICATES TC 06P HAS SHEARED WITH UPPER LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DISLOCATED OVER 100NM FROM LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS EVENT HAS CAUSED CYCLONE TO SLOW IN FORWARD MOVEMENT AND WEAKEN RAPIDLY. THIS WARNING RELOCATED CYCLONE CENTER BASED ON METSAT DATA INDICATING SLOW FORWARD SPEED. FURTHERMORE WITH SHEARED CYCLONE MORE RAPID WEAKENING IS NOW EXPECTED, THUS CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO BE DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE AFTER 24 HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NAVAL PACIFIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER(NAVPACMETOCCEN). THIS CYCLONE WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION AND WARNINGS WILL BE RESTARTED IF NECESSARY.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEOMCA36413310739 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 7 12:59:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625970-1583>; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 07:10:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA30388; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 16:21:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7211677 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 16:21:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA23190 for ; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 16:21:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA03005 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 16:21:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712052221.QAA03005@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Dec 1997 16:21:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: Dec 97 Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (whps21 Phnc 050600) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6caf85545127a7916493590f43b907a4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 006 WHPS31 PHNC 052100 THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN 050530Z DEC 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WHPS21 PHNC 050600) 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- 10.5S6 163.4W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 105 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.5S6 163.4W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 11.9S1 162.4W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 13.7S1 161.7W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 15.6S2 160.4W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 17.2S0 158.7W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM --- REMARKS: 052100Z8 POSITION 10.8S9 163.1W1 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION AND CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. WIND RADII BASED ON SIZE AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG57963392201 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 7 13:01:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626932-1583>; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 18:46:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA24730; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 04:28:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7216851 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 04:28:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA43240 for ; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 04:27:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA05781 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 04:27:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712061027.EAA05781@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Dec 1997 04:27:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6c50766771f1372fe5def71aacd36872 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 794 WHPS31 PHNC 060900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- 11.6S8 162.6W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.6S8 162.6W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 13.6S0 161.8W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 15.7S3 161.2W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 17.9S7 160.6W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 19.7S7 159.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION 12.1S4 162.4W3 LATEST METSAT DATA INDICATES 07P ORGANIZATION HAS IMPROVED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. FORECAST IS TO CONTINUE INTENSIFICATION THROUGHOUT PERIOD WITH MOTION INITIALLY TO THE SOUTH THEN BY 48 HOURS A SOUTHEASTWARD TRAJECTORY AS IT APPROACHES THE ACCELERATING WESTERLIES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2) AND 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEDMCB40293401025 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 8 09:22:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626447-18188>; Sun, 7 Dec 1997 18:29:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA33520; Sun, 7 Dec 1997 03:58:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7224185 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 7 Dec 1997 03:58:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA61404 for ; Sun, 7 Dec 1997 03:58:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA10548 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 7 Dec 1997 03:58:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712070958.DAA10548@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 7 Dec 1997 03:58:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: de8dddc8e4640897b9deff4fab6e93c9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 699 WHPS31 PHNC 070900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P (PAM) WARNING NR 04 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z3 --- 14.9S4 163.1W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 195 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.9S4 163.1W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 16.8S5 163.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 18.9S8 163.3W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 20.7S9 162.1W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 22.7S1 160.4W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 070900Z6 POSITION 15.4S0 163.2W2 MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070900Z IS 20 FEET. LATEST METSAT DATA INDICATES THAT O7P HAS REMAINED STEADY IN ORGANIZATION WITH GOOD OUTFLOW IN ALL QUADRANTS. FORECAST IS FOR SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO COOLER WATERS AND AN ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASED SHEARING. FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3) AND 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEOMCB27563410938 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 8 09:22:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626494-18187>; Sun, 7 Dec 1997 18:31:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA33284; Sun, 7 Dec 1997 03:58:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7224189 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 7 Dec 1997 03:58:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA17636 for ; Sun, 7 Dec 1997 03:58:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA10552 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 7 Dec 1997 03:58:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712070958.DAA10552@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 7 Dec 1997 03:58:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cd72a5504dbad422e28c4e506ab9c6d2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 700 WHPS31 PHNC 070900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P (PAM) WARNING NR 04 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z3 --- 14.9S4 163.1W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 195 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.9S4 163.1W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 16.8S5 163.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 18.9S8 163.3W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 20.7S9 162.1W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 22.7S1 160.4W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 070900Z6 POSITION 15.4S0 163.2W2 MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070900Z IS 20 FEET. LATEST METSAT DATA INDICATES THAT O7P HAS REMAINED STEADY IN ORGANIZATION WITH GOOD OUTFLOW IN ALL QUADRANTS. FORECAST IS FOR SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO COOLER WATERS AND AN ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASED SHEARING. FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3) AND 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEDMCA23973410938 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 10 12:08:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626129-9276>; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 19:04:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA43596; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 04:40:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7246655 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 04:40:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA30270 for ; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 04:40:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA19855 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 04:40:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712091040.EAA19855@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Dec 1997 04:40:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b187386d1be9219b4c75e23414e1644b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 637 WHPS31 PHNC 090900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P (PAM) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- 21.7S0 158.0W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM REPEAT POSIT: 21.7S0 158.0W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 23.8S3 156.1W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 26.4S2 153.4W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 29.6S7 150.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 23 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 32.8S3 146.1W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION 22.2S6 157.5W8 LATEST METSAT DATA INDICATES THAT 07P HAS CONTINUED TO SLOW IN ITS FORWARD MOVEMENT. LATEST MODEL RUN INDICATES THIS WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TRACKS EAST AND BEGINS TO INCREASE THE SPEED OF PAM THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WILL BY TAU 12, AND WILL BE COMPLETED BY THE END OF FORERCAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5) AND 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG59703430915 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 10 12:08:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625879-3014>; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 06:30:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA44892; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 15:36:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7252578 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 15:36:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA30462 for ; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 15:35:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA22057 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 15:35:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712092135.PAA22057@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Dec 1997 15:35:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cb092da192763cff84e5ae0b83f56b7e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 561 WHPS31 PHNC 092100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P (PAM) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091800Z8 --- 23.5S0 155.8W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM REPEAT POSIT: 23.5S0 155.8W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 24.9S5 153.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 26.3S1 150.4W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 092100Z2 POSITION 23.8S3 155.2W3 MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z IS 16 FEET. LATEST METSAT DATA FROM U.S. AIR FORCE GLOBAL WEATHER CENTRAL INDICATES 07P IS UNDERGOING ITS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. FORECAST IS FOR 07P TO BE EXTRATROPICAL BY 24 HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NAVAL PACIFIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEDMCA28283432129 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627655-29765>; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 05:35:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA29686; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 15:01:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7283067 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 15:01:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAB37692 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 14:57:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA28781 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 14:57:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712112057.OAA28781@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Dec 1997 14:57:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southeastpac To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1b4853818e9e0a3154298f1a606ce1fd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 496 WHPS31 PHNC 062100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- 13.1S5 163.0W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.1S5 163.0W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 14.8S3 163.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 16.6S3 163.8W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 18.7S6 163.6W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 20.6S8 162.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 062100Z9 POSITION 13.5S9 163.1W1 LATEST METSAT DATA INDICATES THAT 07P HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. OUTFLOW WITH THIS SYSTEM REMAINS GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. FORECAST IS FOR SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY FOR NEXT 12-24 HOURS THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT ENTERS AN AREA OF VERTICAL SHEARING AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUMM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0) AND 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEDMCA54093452051 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jun 10 23:06:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102219-17029>; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 12:31:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA264512; Mon, 9 Jun 1997 23:15:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5634716 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Jun 1997 23:15:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA264688 for ; Mon, 9 Jun 1997 23:15:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id XAA00410 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Jun 1997 23:14:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199706100414.XAA00410@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Jun 1997 23:14:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: Tropical Cyclone Warning (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 78fb3e3e04fd706f65bd0c2414611e0c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2140 Status: OR 528 WHPS31 PHNC 100300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 38P WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- 9.0S9 177.5W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 22 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM REPEAT POSIT: 9.0S9 177.5W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 9.6S5 179.3W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 10.0S1 179.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 10.2S3 177.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 10.1S2 176.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM --- REMARKS: 100300Z4 POSITION 9.2S1 178.0W6 NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1) AND 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN 091000Z JUN 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WHPS21 PHNC 091100). TROPICAL STORM 38P IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AND CONTINUE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 48 HRS. MAX SEAS AT 100000Z ARE 14 FEET.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG25991610412 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jun 11 07:48:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102738-17029>; Wed, 11 Jun 1997 00:50:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA140640; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 11:38:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5639640 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 11:38:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA65296 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 11:37:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id LAA12257 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 11:37:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199706101637.LAA12257@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Jun 1997 11:37:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: Tropical Cyclone Warning (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 42ccf754f12b50c9c6c7f483be66fd04 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2181 Status: OR 675 WHPS31 PHNC 101500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 38P (KELI) WARNING NR 02 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- 10.2S3 178.7W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM REPEAT POSIT: 10.2S3 178.7W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 11.1S3 179.7W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 12.0S3 179.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 12.9S2 178.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 13.9S3 177.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM --- REMARKS: NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z5 (DTG 110153Z1) AND 111500Z8 (DTG 111353Z4). MAX SEAS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE 38P (KELI) ARE 18 FEET. REFER TO WHPN31 PHNC FOR INFORMATION ON TROPICAL STORM BLANCA (02E). THIS TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED AND WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG53331611556 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jun 11 13:27:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102307-9251>; Wed, 11 Jun 1997 12:08:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA203698; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 22:53:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5646085 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 22:53:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA65438 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 22:53:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id WAA28470 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 22:53:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199706110353.WAA28470@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Jun 1997 22:53:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: Tropical Cyclone Warning (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 66c13275edd80adf34998c618c92c724 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2454 Status: OR 050 WHPS31 PHNC 110300 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 38P (KELI) WARNING NR 003A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- 11.0S2 179.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM REPEAT POSIT: 11.0S2 179.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 11.8S0 178.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 12.7S0 177.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 13.8S2 176.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 15.3S9 176.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM --- REMARKS: THIS CORRECTION ISSUED TO ADD PASSING/COORDINATION INFORMATION FOR JTWC AND ALL MESSAGE ADDRESSEES. 110300Z5 POSITION 11.2S4 179.4E1 NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2) AND 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0). KELI CONTINUES MOVING SOUTHWESTERLY BUT IS EXPECTED TO CURVE TOWARDS THE SOUTH LATER IN THE PERIOD. ORGANIZATION AND OUTFLOW ARE GOOD. EXPECT SLOW BUT STEADY INTENSIFICATION. NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BY NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST/JTWC GU UNDER THE MANOP WTPS31 PGTW.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG77781620348 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jun 13 14:09:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102283-26833>; Fri, 13 Jun 1997 13:36:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA13442; Fri, 13 Jun 1997 00:26:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5666547 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 1997 00:25:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA266052 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 1997 22:29:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id WAA27582 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Jun 1997 22:29:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199706130329.WAA27582@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Jun 1997 22:29:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: Tropical Cyclone Warning (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6449946108dff3aeb599cb02d6757958 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3119 Status: OR 711 WHPS31 PHNC 130300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 38P (KELI) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- 12.8S1 177.1W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.8S1 177.1W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 15.3S9 175.1W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 18.6S5 172.1W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 21.5S8 167.6W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 27 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 24.1S7 162.4W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION 13.4S8 176.6W0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 38P (KELI) HAS BEGUN TO SHOW SIGNS OF WEAKENING OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SHE CONTINUES TO MOVE ON A SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK AT AN ACCELERATED PACE. TC 38P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES AND UNDERGOES VERTICAL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z IS 23 FT. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 AND 140300Z8. THIS IS THE FIRST WARNING BY THE NAVAL PACIFIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG08841640325 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 14 00:47:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102494-26833>; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 00:21:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA82772; Fri, 13 Jun 1997 11:01:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5671827 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 1997 11:00:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA40748 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 1997 11:00:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id LAA10591 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 1997 11:00:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199706131600.LAA10591@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Jun 1997 11:00:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: Tropical Cyclone Warning (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: af859c988b56938bf231d0126b4a1dc5 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3076 Status: OR 008 WHPS31 PHNC 131500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 38P (KELI) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- 15.0S6 175.5W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.0S6 175.5W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 16.8S5 174.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 19.0S0 171.8W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 22.2S6 168.2W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 31 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 26.3S1 163.1W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION 15.4S0 175.1W4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 38P (KELI) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS SLOWED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS, BUT IS EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE ONCE AGAIN TO THE SOUTHEAST AS IT BEGINS TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. TC 38P IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO GAIN LATITUDE DUE TO A PASSING MIDLATITUDE TROUGH. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TC 38P IS EXPERIENCING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE NORTHWEST. WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON 122239Z9 SCATTEROMETER PASS AND BY SYNOPTIC DATA FROM PAGO PAGO (WMO 91765) AND FALEOLO AIRPORT (WMO 91758). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z7 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8 (DTG 140153Z4) AND 141500Z1 (DTG 141353Z7).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG33091641555 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 14 13:19:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102546-18550>; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 12:27:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA199332; Fri, 13 Jun 1997 23:20:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5678375 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 1997 23:19:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA38750 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 1997 23:19:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id XAA26404 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 1997 23:19:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199706140419.XAA26404@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Jun 1997 23:19:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: Tropical Cyclone Warning (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9d39fe6eebc60678b4324a6bbc95ec03 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1926 Status: OR 392 WHPS34 PHNC 140300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 38P (KELI) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- 16.0S7 173.2W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.0S7 173.2W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 18.1S0 170.1W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 20.6S8 166.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 22.2S6 161.4W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION 16.5S2 172.4W4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 38P (KELI) CONTINUES ALONG A SOUTHEAST TRACK TOWARDS THE MID-LATITUDES. IT IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE AND WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO AN AREA OF STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 AND 150300Z9.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG53251650415 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jun 15 01:16:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102653-18550>; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 15:03:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA150272; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 01:54:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5679285 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 01:54:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA150482 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 01:54:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id BAA27686 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 01:54:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199706140654.BAA27686@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Jun 1997 01:54:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: Tropical Cyclone Warning (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 754ff5553e2b260bf60cafb899335ff9 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1985 Status: OR 115 WHPS31 PHNC 140300 COR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 38P (KELI) WARNING NR 009A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- 16.0S7 173.2W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.0S7 173.2W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 18.1S0 170.1W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 20.6S8 166.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 22.2S6 161.4W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION 16.5S2 172.4W4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 38P (KELI) CONTINUES ALONG A SOUTHEAST TRACK TOWARDS THE MID-LATITUDES. IT IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE AND WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO AN AREA OF STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 AND 150300Z9. THIS CORRECTION ISSUED TO CORRECT MANOP.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG57141650612 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jun 15 01:16:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102706-18550>; Sun, 15 Jun 1997 00:00:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA239164; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 10:53:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5682047 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 10:53:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA151832 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 10:53:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id KAA03456 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 10:53:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199706141553.KAA03456@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Jun 1997 10:53:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: Tropical Cyclone Warning (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f69682b7b8b2e7b6149a877a5243a056 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1904 Status: OR 232 WHPS31 PHNC 141500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 38P (KELI) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- 16.2S9 170.8W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 105 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.2S9 170.8W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 18.0S9 166.8W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 20.8S0 162.8W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 23.2S7 158.2W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION 16.6S3 169.8W4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 38P (KELI) CONTINUES ALONG A SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK. SYSTEM IS FORECASTED TO ACCELERATE AND WEAKEN AS IT GAINS LATITUDE AND UNDERGOES STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z IS 18 FEET.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG69161651453 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 16 01:02:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102322-22648>; Sun, 15 Jun 1997 11:25:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA13354; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 22:18:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5688231 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 22:18:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA13330 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 22:18:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id WAA10869 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 22:18:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199706150318.WAA10869@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Jun 1997 22:18:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: Tropical Cyclone Warning (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: da9e745f28a1d6c755e694fde1c74c13 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1439 Status: OR 838 WHPS31 PHNC 150300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 38P (KELI) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- 19.0S0 166.4W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 24 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM REPEAT POSIT: 19.0S0 166.4W7 --- FORECAST: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 19.7S7 161.3W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION 19.2S2 165.1W3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 38P (KELI) HAS BECOME EXTRATROPICAL. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HAWAII. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS 18 FEET.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG76961660230 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 26 04:40:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626875-276>; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 17:20:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA23264; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 01:57:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6752854 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 01:57:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA39074 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 01:56:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA10511 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 01:56:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710250656.BAA10511@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Oct 1997 01:56:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 38126e80b299f3b87bab0bb40400ec73 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 209 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/241351ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, TS IVAN (27W) WRNG NR 46// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 241200Z9 TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WAS LOCATED AT 27.3N2 136.1E1, MOVING EAST-NORTHEAST AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 46 (WTPN31 PGTW 241500)) FOR THE FINAL WARNINGS ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 172E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7N7 171E9. A 241950Z1 SSM/I PASS OVER THIS AREA SHOWED A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WHICH CONCURS WITH ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE AREA OF HEAVIEST CONVECTION THAT CORRESPONDS TO THE SURFACE CIRCULATION IS APPROXIMATELY 130 NM TO THE WEST. SYNOPTIC DATA SUPPORTS THE SATELLITE FIX POSITION. THE 250000Z7 UPPER AIR SOUNDING FROM MAJURO (WMO 91376) INDICATES LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND THE 250300Z0 SURFACE REPORT SHOWED A MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 1005 MB, A 2 MB FALL OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AS THE WEAK CIRCULATION PASSED TO THE NORTH OF THE ATOLL. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER-LEVEL WINDS REMAIN EASTERLY OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 178E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 177E5. A 241117Z6 SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWED A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. HOWEVER, ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PARTIALLY EXPOSED CIRCULATION AND ITS ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION HAVE BECOME DISORGANIZED DUE TO AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH LOCATED TO THE SOUTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 27 08:04:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626080-26777>; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 10:43:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA09998; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 21:41:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6760937 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 21:41:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA50678 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 21:41:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA13286 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 21:41:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710260241.VAA13286@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Oct 1997 21:41:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9a10489e845a2cc3f3822bf5dcdaf560 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 640 WTPS21 PGTW 260200 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 260151Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.2S4 173.6E7 TO 20.0S2 171.3E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 252330Z5 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 13.4S8 173.1E2. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: THE CIRCULATION AND AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION LOCATED TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE FIJI ISLANDS, APPROXIMATELY 160 NM WEST OF ROTUMA (WMO 91650), HAS SHOWN INCREASED CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION IN THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS. NEW CONVECTION HAS FORMED OVER THE SYSTEMS CENTER AND UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS IMPROVED. RECENT SHIP REPORTS INDICATE WINDS SOUTH OF THE CIRCULATION ARE IN EXCESS OF 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS GOOD FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 270200Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 27 08:04:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626149-26776>; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 11:21:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA12432; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 22:18:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6761205 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 22:18:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA29558 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 22:18:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA13473 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 22:18:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710260318.WAA13473@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Oct 1997 22:18:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c03ed2a9f83365b1522874dd6a780c45 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 238 WTPS21 PGTW 260200 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 260151Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA. 2. AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR. 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.2S4 173.6E7 TO 20.0S2 171.3E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. PAGE 02 RUHGSGG6548 UNCLAS AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 252330Z5 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 13.4S8 173.1E2. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: THE CIRCULATION AND AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION LOCATED TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE FIJI ISLANDS, APPROXIMATELY 160 NM WEST OF ROTUMA (WMO 91650), HAS SHOWN INCREASED CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION IN THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS. NEW CONVECTION HAS FORMED OVER THE SYSTEMS CENTER AND UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS IMPROVED. RECENT SHIP REPORTS INDICATE WINDS SOUTH OF THE CIRCULATION ARE IN EXCESS OF 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS GOOD FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 270200Z1.// BT #6548 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 27 08:04:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626336-26778>; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 13:36:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA47238; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 00:34:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6762390 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 00:34:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA29520 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 00:34:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA13669 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 00:34:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710260534.AAA13669@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Oct 1997 00:34:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 207fe4e4ac4e8f9a16e5ea6877072e08 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 683 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/260151ZOCT97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/260453ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 260200), REF B, TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 260500)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 172E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7N7 169E6. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED THE CONVECTION IS BECOMING MORE CENTRALLY LOCATED AND WATER VAPOR DERIVED UPPER-LEVEL WINDS NOW SHOW WEAK ANTICYCLONIC ROTATION. SYNOPTIC DATA FROM KWAJALEIN (WMO 91366) AND MAJURO (91376) SHOW A LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH ASSOCIATED PRESSURE FALLS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 260500)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 177E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13S4 177E5. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND ASSOCIATED CONVECTION HAVE BECOME MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED APPROXIMATELY 25 NM FROM THE SURFACE CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 260200)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 27 08:04:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627283-26773>; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 22:03:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA29130; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 07:54:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6764733 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 08:54:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA36744 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 07:54:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id HAA14324 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 07:54:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710261354.HAA14324@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Oct 1997 07:54:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b625eca2f4fd660d3714498173ab4851 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 336 WTPS31 PGTW 261500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 260121Z OCT 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 260130 ) 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WARNING NR 01 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- 12.8S1 174.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.8S1 174.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 13.4S8 174.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 14.1S6 173.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 15.2S8 172.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 16.6S3 172.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION 12.9S2 174.4E6 DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS, THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM NORTHWEST OF FIJI HAS STRENGTHENED INTO TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WHILE TRACKING SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD. DURING THE PAST 5 HOURS, A CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST (CDO) FEATURE HAS BECOME APPARENT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY. HOWEVER, THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TC 03P HAS SHOWN CONSIDERABLE DIURNAL FLUCTUATION WITH AN INCREASE AT NIGHT AND A DECREASE DURING THE DAY. ALSO, MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHEASTERLY UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CREATING SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ON THIS SYSTEM. AS A RESULT, WE HAVE HELD OUR INITIAL AND FORECAST INTENSITIES DOWN SLIGHTLY DESPITE A 261130Z3 DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T3.0 (45 KNOTS). UNTIL THE CONVECTIVE PATTERN ASSOCIATED WITH TC 03P SHOWS SIGNS OF MAINTAINING A PERSISTENT ORGANIZED PATTERN AROUND THE CIRCULATION CENTER, THIS SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP VERY SLOWLY BEFORE REACHING THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS LOCATED ALONG 16S7 LATITUDE. THERE IS CONSIDERABLE DIVERGENCE AMONG OUR OBJECTIVE FORECAST AIDS, BUT WE HAVE FOLLOWED THE TWO BETA ADVECTION MODELS (MBAM AND FBAM) FOR GENERAL TRACK DIRECTION AND FOLLOWED OUR CLIMATOLOGICAL MODEL FOR TRACK SPEED. ONCE TC 02P REACHES THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS, AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH FROM THE WEST AS SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA SHOULD INCREASE THE VERTICAL SHEAR ON THIS SYSTEM AND GRADUALLY INDUCE RECURVATURE TO THE SOUTHEAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z1 IS 08 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6) AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 260121Z OCT 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 260130 ).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 27 08:04:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627451-26776>; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 22:34:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA12294; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 08:23:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6764840 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 09:22:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA27080 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 08:22:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA14353 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 08:22:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710261422.IAA14353@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Oct 1997 08:22:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6946537bb31f7c1f0718b0753abec43e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 927 WTPS31 PGTW 261500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 260151Z OCT 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 260130) 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WARNING NR 01 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- 12.8S1 174.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.8S1 174.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 13.4S8 174.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 14.1S6 173.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 15.2S8 172.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 16.6S3 172.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION 12.9S2 174.4E6 DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS, THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM NORTHWEST OF FIJI HAS STRENGTHENED INTO TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WHILE TRACKING SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD. DURING THE PAST 5 HOURS, A CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST (CDO) FEATURE HAS BECOME APPARENT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY. HOWEVER, THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TC 03P HAS SHOWN CONSIDERABLE DIURNAL FLUCTUATION WITH AN INCREASE AT NIGHT AND A DECREASE DURING THE DAY. ALSO, MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHEASTERLY UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CREATING SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ON THIS SYSTEM. AS A RESULT, WE HAVE HELD OUR INITIAL AND FORECAST INTENSITIES DOWN SLIGHTLY DESPITE A 261130Z3 DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T3.0 (45 KNOTS). UNTIL THE CONVECTIVE PATTERN ASSOCIATED WITH TC 03P SHOWS SIGNS OF MAINTAINING A PERSISTENT ORGANIZED PATTERN AROUND THE CIRCULATION CENTER, THIS SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP VERY SLOWLY BEFORE REACHING THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS LOCATED ALONG 16S7 LATITUDE. THERE IS CONSIDERABLE DIVERGENCE AMONG OUR OBJECTIVE FORECAST AIDS, BUT WE HAVE FOLLOWED THE TWO BETA ADVECTION MODELS (MBAM AND FBAM) FOR GENERAL TRACK DIRECTION AND FOLLOWED OUR CLIMATOLOGICAL MODEL FOR TRACK SPEED. ONCE TC 02P REACHES THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS, AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH FROM THE WEST AS SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA SHOULD INCREASE THE VERTICAL SHEAR ON THIS SYSTEM AND GRADUALLY INDUCE RECURVATURE TO THE SOUTHEAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z1 IS 08 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6) AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 260151Z OCT 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 260200).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 27 08:04:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626323-26778>; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 23:08:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA43904; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 08:29:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6764873 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 09:29:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA43880 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 08:29:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA14362 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 08:29:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710261429.IAA14362@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Oct 1997 08:29:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9412fb84503dbec44e3619c99dd6b595 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 008 WTPS31 PGTW 261500 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 260151Z OCT 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 260200) 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WARNING NR 01 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- 12.8S1 174.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.8S1 174.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 13.4S8 174.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 14.1S6 173.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 15.2S8 172.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 16.6S3 172.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION 12.9S2 174.4E6 DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS, THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM NORTHWEST OF FIJI HAS STRENGTHENED INTO TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WHILE TRACKING SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD. DURING THE PAST 5 HOURS, A CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST (CDO) FEATURE HAS BECOME APPARENT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY. HOWEVER, THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TC 03P HAS SHOWN CONSIDERABLE DIURNAL FLUCTUATION WITH AN INCREASE AT NIGHT AND A DECREASE DURING THE DAY. ALSO, MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHEASTERLY UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CREATING SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ON THIS SYSTEM. AS A RESULT, WE HAVE HELD OUR INITIAL AND FORECAST INTENSITIES DOWN SLIGHTLY DESPITE A 261130Z3 DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T3.0 (45 KNOTS). UNTIL THE CONVECTIVE PATTERN ASSOCIATED WITH TC 03P SHOWS SIGNS OF MAINTAINING A PERSISTENT ORGANIZED PATTERN AROUND THE CIRCULATION CENTER, THIS SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP VERY SLOWLY BEFORE REACHING THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS LOCATED ALONG 16S7 LATITUDE. THERE IS CONSIDERABLE DIVERGENCE AMONG OUR OBJECTIVE FORECAST AIDS, BUT WE HAVE FOLLOWED THE TWO BETA ADVECTION MODELS (MBAM AND FBAM) FOR GENERAL TRACK DIRECTION AND FOLLOWED OUR CLIMATOLOGICAL MODEL FOR TRACK SPEED. ONCE TC 02P REACHES THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS, AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH FROM THE WEST AS SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA SHOULD INCREASE THE VERTICAL SHEAR ON THIS SYSTEM AND GRADUALLY INDUCE RECURVATURE TO THE SOUTHEAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z1 IS 08 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6) AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 260151Z OCT 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 260200). JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: REFERENCING DTG FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 27 08:04:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627502-26773>; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 23:50:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA47168; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 09:45:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6765319 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 10:45:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA40480 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 09:45:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA14561 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 09:45:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710261545.JAA14561@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Oct 1997 09:45:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 175cf4012844e860edde6917487e1ff2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 385 WTPS31 PGTW 261500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 260151Z OCT 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 260200 ) 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WARNING NR 01 PAGE 02 RUHGSGG7032 UNCLAS 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- 12.8S1 174.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.8S1 174.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 13.4S8 174.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG7032 UNCLAS 271200Z2 --- 14.1S6 173.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 15.2S8 172.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 16.6S3 172.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: PAGE 04 RUHGSGG7032 UNCLAS 261500Z4 POSITION 12.9S2 174.4E6 DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS, THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM NORTHWEST OF FIJI HAS STRENGTHENED INTO TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WHILE TRACKING SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD. DURING THE PAST 5 HOURS, A CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST (CDO) FEATURE HAS BECOME APPARENT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY. HOWEVER, THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TC 03P HAS SHOWN CONSIDERABLE DIURNAL FLUCTUATION WITH AN INCREASE AT NIGHT AND A DECREASE DURING THE DAY. ALSO, MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHEASTERLY UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CREATING SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ON THIS SYSTEM. AS A RESULT, WE HAVE HELD OUR INITIAL AND FORECAST INTENSITIES DOWN SLIGHTLY DESPITE A 261130Z3 DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T3.0 (45 KNOTS). UNTIL THE CONVECTIVE PATTERN ASSOCIATED WITH TC 03P SHOWS SIGNS OF MAINTAINING A PERSISTENT ORGANIZED PATTERN AROUND THE CIRCULATION CENTER, THIS SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP VERY SLOWLY BEFORE REACHING THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS LOCATED ALONG 16S7 LATITUDE. THERE IS CONSIDERABLE DIVERGENCE AMONG OUR OBJECTIVE FORECAST AIDS, BUT WE HAVE PAGE 05 RUHGSGG7032 UNCLAS FOLLOWED THE TWO BETA ADVECTION MODELS (MBAM AND FBAM) FOR GENERAL TRACK DIRECTION AND FOLLOWED OUR CLIMATOLOGICAL MODEL FOR TRACK SPEED. ONCE TC 02P REACHES THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS, AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH FROM THE WEST AS SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA SHOULD INCREASE THE VERTICAL SHEAR ON THIS SYSTEM AND GRADUALLY INDUCE RECURVATURE TO THE SOUTHEAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z1 IS 08 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6) AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 260121Z OCT 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 260130 ).// BT #7032 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 27 08:04:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627292-26778>; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 02:50:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA04388; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 12:46:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6766452 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 13:45:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA50442 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 12:45:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA14824 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 12:45:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710261845.MAA14824@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Oct 1997 12:45:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f82cda96ccd7a03a999ba6805b9d42df Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 601 ABPW10 PGTW 261830 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/261930Z/270600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/261351ZOCT97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/260453ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WARNING NR 01 (WTPS31 PGTW 261500), REF B, TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 260500)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 169E6 HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY. HOWEVER, DEEP CONVECTION AND CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION HAVE DECREASED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. 261200Z1 SYNOPTIC DATA FROM KWAJALEIN (WMO 91366), MAJURO (91376), AND SOME OF THE OTHER MARSHALL ISLANDS= REPORTING STATIONS INDICATE THAT PRESSURES HAVE RISEN ABOUT 1 MB DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS AND THAT MULTIPLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATIONS EXIST WITHIN A LARGER MONSOON CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 260500)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR MORE THAN 12 HOURS NEAR 9N9 135E9. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH MODERATE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. DURING THE PAST 3 HOURS, WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT A WEAK UPPER- LEVEL ANTICYCLONE MAY BE FORMING WIT USNS YUKON USNS SUMNER CTF SEVEN SIX CTG FIVE ZERO ONE PT ZERO TWO FGS GLUECKSBURG JDS MUROTO H THIS CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 261200Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WAS LOCATED AT 12.8S1 174.5E7 AND WAS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WARNING NR 01 (WTPS31 PGTW 261500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 177E5 AND WAS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT HAS DEVELOPED INTO TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P. SEE PARAGRAPH 2.A.(1) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUANCE OF THIS ADVISORY IS TO ADD PARAGRAPHS 1.B.(2) AND 2.A.(1), AND UPDATE PARAGRAPH 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/HATFIELD/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 27 08:04:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627278-26778>; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 02:58:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA21374; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 12:54:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6766588 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 13:54:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA40552 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 12:54:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA14843 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 12:54:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710261854.MAA14843@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Oct 1997 12:54:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory F The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 898c801544c1a12c60c3cd70806540bf Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 807 ABPW10 PGTW 261830 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY F THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/261830Z/270600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/261351ZOCT97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/260453ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WARNING NR 01 (WTPS31 PGTW 261500), REF B, TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 260500)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 169E6 HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY. HOWEVER, DEEP CONVECTION AND CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION HAVE DECREASED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. 261200Z1 SYNOPTIC DATA FROM KWAJALEIN (WMO 91366), MAJURO (91376), AND SOME OF THE OTHER MARSHALL ISLANDS= REPORTING STATIONS INDICATE THAT PRESSURES HAVE RISEN ABOUT 1 MB DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS AND THAT MULTIPLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATIONS EXIST WITHIN A LARGER MONSOON CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 260500)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR MORE THAN 12 HOURS NEAR 9N9 135E9. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH MODERATE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. DURING THE PAST 3 HOURS, WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT A WEAK UPPER- LEVEL ANTICYCLONE MAY BE FORMING WITH THIS CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 261200Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WAS LOCATED AT 12.8S1 174.5E7 AND WAS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WARNING NR 01 (WTPS31 PGTW 261500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 177E5 AND WAS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT HAS DEVELOPED INTO TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P. SEE PARAGRAPH 2.A.(1) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUANCE OF THIS ADVISORY IS TO ADD PARAGRAPHS 1.B.(2) AND 2.A.(1), AND UPDATE PARAGRAPH 1.B.(1). JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: TIME REFERENCE AND ERONIOUS DATA FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/HATFIELD/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 27 08:04:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627522-26777>; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 03:07:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA25030; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 13:02:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6766774 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 14:02:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA21408 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 13:02:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA14865 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 13:02:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710261902.NAA14865@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Oct 1997 13:02:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory F The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 224482931dddad6d13e122db48bce54d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 986 ABPW10 PGTW 261830 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY F THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/261830Z/270600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/261351ZOCT97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/260453ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, TROI CAL CYNLONE 03P WARNINGNNR 01 (WTPS31 PGTW 261500), REF B, TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 260500)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 169E6 HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY. HOWEVER, DEEP CONVECTIOMPAND CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION HAVE DECREASED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. 261200Z1 SYNOPTIC DATA FROM KWAJALEIN (WMO 91366), MAJURO (91376), AND SOME OF THE OTHER MARSHALL ISLANDS; REPORTING STATIONS INDICATE THAT PRESSURES HAVE RISEN ABOUT 1 MB DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS AND THAT MULTIPLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATIONS EXIST WITHIN A LARGER MONSOON CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ETHAT A WEAK UPPER- LEVEL ANTICYCLONE MAY BE FORMING WITH THIS CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS EDM ATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 261200Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WAS LOCATED AT 12.8S1 174.5E3 33 43> - (TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WARNING NR 01 (WTP 31 PGTW 261500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDAES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 177E5 AND WAS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT HAS DEVELOPED INTO TROPICAL CYCLONE 03I. SEE PARAGRAPH 2.A.(1) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUANCE OF THIS ADVISORY IS TO ADD PARAGRAPHS 1.B.(2) AND 2.A.(1), AND UPDATE PARAGRAPH JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: TIME REFERENCE AND ERONIOUS DATA FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/HATFIELD/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 27 10:50:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627404-14311>; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 10:45:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA36700; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 20:38:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6770983 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 21:38:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA24882 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 20:38:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA15865 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 20:38:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710270238.UAA15865@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Oct 1997 20:38:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0c39cd1d656966733a0837f333a42f27 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 781 WTPS31 PGTW 270300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- 13.5S9 173.5E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.5S9 173.5E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 14.1S6 172.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 14.7S2 172.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 15.4S0 171.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 16.1S8 171.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION 13.7S1 173.3E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P CONTINUES TO MOVE IN A SOUTHWEST DIRECTION AT 5 KNOTS. IN THE PAST 12 HOURS THIS SYSTEM REACHED PEAK INTENSITY AND IS NOW BEGINNING TO WEAKEN SLOWLY. CURRENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED. THE PREVIOUSLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NO LONGER DISTINGUISHABLE FROM THE LOCAL AREA CONVECTION AND IS MORE DIFFICULT TO POSITION. AS TC 03P CONTINUES ON A SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ENCOUNTER INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM A 500 MB TROUGH LOCATED TO THE WEST OF THE CIRCULATION. THIS SYSTEM WILL BEGIN DISSIPATING OVER WATER AFTER THE 36 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z9 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9) AND 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 27 11:19:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626817-14304>; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 11:14:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA29304; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 21:07:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6771442 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 22:07:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA44270 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 21:06:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA15893 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 21:06:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710270306.VAA15893@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Oct 1997 21:06:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c6dbe0edc16fb040fd938766f05ba5d3 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 217 WTPS31 PGTW 270300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUHGSGG7597 UNCLAS 270000Z9 --- 13.5S9 173.5E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.5S9 173.5E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 14.1S6 172.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 14.7S2 172.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 04 KTS PAGE 03 RUHGSGG7597 UNCLAS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 15.4S0 171.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 16.1S8 171.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION 13.7S1 173.3E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P CONTINUES TO MOVE IN A SOUTHWEST DIRECTION AT 5 KNOTS. IN THE PAST 12 HOURS THIS SYSTEM REACHED PEAK INTENSITY AND IS NOW BEGINNING TO WEAKEN PAGE 04 RUHGSGG7597 UNCLAS SLOWLY. CURRENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED. THE PREVIOUSLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NO LONGER DISTINGUISHABLE FROM THE LOCAL AREA CONVECTION AND IS MORE DIFFICULT TO POSITION. AS TC 03P CONTINUES ON A SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ENCOUNTER INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM A 500 MB TROUGH LOCATED TO THE WEST OF THE CIRCULATION. THIS SYSTEM WILL BEGIN DISSIPATING OVER WATER AFTER THE 36 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z9 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9) AND 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7).// BT #7597 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 27 15:21:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627619-3687>; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 14:48:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA44326; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 00:44:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6773384 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 01:44:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA24344 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 00:41:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA16172 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 00:41:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710270641.AAA16172@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Oct 1997 00:41:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8ea7a80b411a2ac02e6368de99663104 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 378 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/270151ZOCT97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/270453ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WARNING NR 02 (WTPS31 PGTW 270300), REF B, TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 270500)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 169E6 HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY. 270000Z9 SYNOPTIC DATA FROM AILINGLAPALAP (WMO 91367) AND JALUIT (WMO 91369) SHOWED A DISTINCT SURFACE CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 P6 JK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 27 15:21:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627596-3685>; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 14:54:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA14370; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 00:47:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6773419 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 01:47:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA29684 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 00:47:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA16180 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 00:47:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710270647.AAA16180@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Oct 1997 00:47:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 824aca7d8c074aabe1def5b1e118bade Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 502 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE ESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/270151ZOCT97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/270453ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WARNING NR 02 (WTPS31 PGTW T IPEPPLN REF B, TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 270500)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECIOT PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 169E6 HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY. 270000Z9 SYNOPTIC DATA FROM AILINGLAPWAQ (WMO 91367) AND JALUIT (WMO 91369) SHOWED A DISTINCTMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTUM M RBNCDIAVTO 25 (,96. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 P6????? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 27 15:21:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627623-3686>; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 15:07:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA37204; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 00:49:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6773461 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 01:49:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA20248 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 00:47:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA16188 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 00:47:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710270647.AAA16188@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Oct 1997 00:47:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e8b601fd13e36df45f3e4356fc55e5fc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 509 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/270151ZOCT97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/270453ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WARNING NR 02 (WTPS31 PGTW 270300), REF B, TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 270500)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 169E6 HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY. 270000Z9 SYNOPTIC DATA FROM AILINGLAPALAP (WMO 91367) AND JALUIT (WMO 91369) SHOWED A DISTINCT SURFACE CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 270500)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 135E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8N8 136E0. 270000Z9 SYNOPTIC DATA FROM YAP (WMO 91413) AND KOROR (WMO 91408) AND A 262330Z2 SSM/I PASS SHOWS A MONSOON LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AND WATER VAPOR-DERIVED WINDS SHOW UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE OVER THE AREA. UPPER LEVEL SHEAR IS MODERATELY STRONG OVER THIS AREA RESULTING IN MOST OF THE CONVECTION LOCATED NORTH AND WEST OF THE SURFACE CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 270000Z9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WAS LOCATED AT 13.5S9 173.5E6 AND WAS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WARNING NR 02 (WTPS31 PGTW 270300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 27 15:21:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627615-3687>; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 15:01:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA20108; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 00:57:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6773587 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 01:57:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA31310 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 00:57:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA16196 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 00:57:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710270657.AAA16196@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Oct 1997 00:57:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weatherpfisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 079093dee1cc502d83525219f6d5efc1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 664 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHERPFISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z O 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/270151ZOCT97// REF/B/RMVQNAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/270453ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WARNING NY 02 (WTPS31 PGTW 270300), RE B, TXMPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 270500)// RMKS/ 7. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:- - (15 T CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVE RESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 270500)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXR 9N9 135E9 IS NOWLNEAR 8N8 136E0. 270000VM S OPTIC DATA ((?> -);WMO 91413) AND KOROR (WMO 91408) AND A 262330Z2 SSM/I PASS SHOWS A MONSOON LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AND WATER VAPMR-DERIVED WINDS SHOCFKYIWJISQHLEVEL DIVERGENCE OVER THE AREA, UPPER LEVEL SHEAR IS MODERATELY STRONG OVER THIS AREA RESULTING IN MOST OF THE CONVECTION TCATED NORTH AND WE T OF THE SURFACE CENTER. MAXMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ORIGP UIATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MT. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS= 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): AVLTROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 270000Z9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WAS LOCATED AT 13.5S9 173.5E6 AND WAS MOVING SOUTOES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 28 08:05:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627667-3684>; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 22:09:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA22726; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 08:06:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6776456 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 09:06:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA16550 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 08:06:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA16671 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 08:06:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710271406.IAA16671@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Oct 1997 08:06:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a69d7360eb33acf3129326acfc594d48 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 028 WTPS31 PGTW 271500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WARNING NR 03 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- 13.2S6 175.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.2S6 175.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 14.2S7 175.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 15.2S8 174.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 16.4S1 175.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 17.7S5 175.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 271500Z5 POSITION 13.5S9 175.4E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P HAS REDEVELOPED FARTHER TO THE NORTHEAST AS COMPARED TO OUR LAST WARNING POSITION AT 270000Z9, AND THIS IS THE REASON FOR THE RELOCATION OF THE SYSTEM. THE ORIGINAL LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS SHEARED OUT TO THE SOUTHEAST AND WEAKENED WHILE A NEW CENTER HAS FORMED FARTHER TO THE NORTH, BASED ON 270600Z5 AND 271200Z2 SYNOPTIC DATA. NEW DEEP CONVECTION HAS REDEVELOPED NEAR THE SYSTEM CENTER WITH NUMEROUS CLOUD TOPS AS COLD AS -83C TO -86C NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE SYNOPTIC POSITION OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. HOWEVER, TC 03P REMAINS IN A REGION OF STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GRADUAL WEAKENING OF THIS SYSTEM IS STILL ANTICIPATED ONCE TC 03P PASSES SOUTH OF 15S6 LATITUDE AND MOVES OVER MUCH COOLER WATER WHILE ENCOUNTERING EVEN GREATER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z2 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7) AND 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 28 08:05:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627500-3685>; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 22:53:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA26926; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 08:45:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6776990 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 09:45:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA19710 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 08:45:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA16717 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 08:45:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710271445.IAA16717@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Oct 1997 08:45:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 82e44603b23f93767d95f162e6f3f279 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 801 WTPS31 PGTW 271500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WARNING NR 03 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHGSGG8139 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- 13.2S6 175.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.2S6 175.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 14.2S7 175.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 15.2S8 174.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER PAGE 03 RUHGSGG8139 UNCLAS WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 16.4S1 175.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 17.7S5 175.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 271500Z5 POSITION 13.5S9 175.4E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P HAS REDEVELOPED FARTHER TO THE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG8139 UNCLAS NORTHEAST AS COMPARED TO OUR LAST WARNING POSITION AT 270000Z9, AND THIS IS THE REASON FOR THE RELOCATION OF THE SYSTEM. THE ORIGINAL LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS SHEARED OUT TO THE SOUTHEAST AND WEAKENED WHILE A NEW CENTER HAS FORMED FARTHER TO THE NORTH, BASED ON 270600Z5 AND 271200Z2 SYNOPTIC DATA. NEW DEEP CONVECTION HAS REDEVELOPED NEAR THE SYSTEM CENTER WITH NUMEROUS CLOUD TOPS AS COLD AS -83C TO -86C NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE SYNOPTIC POSITION OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. HOWEVER, TC 03P REMAINS IN A REGION OF STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GRADUAL WEAKENING OF THIS SYSTEM IS STILL ANTICIPATED ONCE TC 03P PASSES SOUTH OF 15S6 LATITUDE AND MOVES OVER MUCH COOLER WATER WHILE ENCOUNTERING EVEN GREATER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z2 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7) AND 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0).// BT #8139 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 28 15:32:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626485-3243>; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 10:02:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA29428; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 19:58:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6784922 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 20:58:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA29404 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 19:58:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA18597 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 19:58:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710280158.TAA18597@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Oct 1997 19:58:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 30ae74797247ba7cd24c9742f69a05ad Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 027 WTPS31 PGTW 280300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 14.9S4 176.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.9S4 176.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 16.3S0 176.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 15.2S8 176.0E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE VERY LITTLE CENTRAL CONVECTION AND CONTINUED VERTICAL SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER. ADDITIONALLY, TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P IS OVER A REGION OF COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THEREFORE, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE WITHIN 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 28 15:32:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626460-3248>; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 10:48:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA09344; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 20:42:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6785406 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 21:42:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA26984 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 20:42:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA18722 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 20:42:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710280242.UAA18722@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Oct 1997 20:42:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: dad1a033a065b4cc07c8b32129ba46ee Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 913 WTPS31 PGTW 280300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHGSGG8687 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 14.9S4 176.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.9S4 176.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 16.3S0 176.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 15.2S8 176.0E4 PAGE 03 RUHGSGG8687 UNCLAS TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE VERY LITTLE CENTRAL CONVECTION AND CONTINUED VERTICAL SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER. ADDITIONALLY, TROPICAL CYCLONE 03P IS OVER A REGION OF COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THEREFORE, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE WITHIN 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// BT #8687 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 29 17:32:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626752-24319>; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 14:27:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA20140; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 00:19:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6801645 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 01:19:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA24424 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 00:19:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA21945 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 00:18:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710290618.AAA21945@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Oct 1997 00:18:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ecb9de320340876c6f7b103b3a97935a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 811 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/290153ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 06 (WTPN31 PGTW 290300)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 290000Z1 TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 07.1N8 164.2E3 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 06(WTPN31 PGTW 290300)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 130E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 129E2. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE DISORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA AT 290000Z1 CONTINUES TO SUGGEST THE POSSIBILITY OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER LOCATED WEST OF THE AREA OF CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG00533020551 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 30 14:12:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626865-14861>; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 13:56:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA14366; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 23:54:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6816033 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 00:53:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA46778 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 23:53:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA24344 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 23:53:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710300553.XAA24344@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Oct 1997 23:53:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a2fac905004fe37a10d77d796693f3b5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 954 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z/310600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/300153ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 10 (WTPN31 PGTW 300300)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 300000Z1 TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 07.6N3 161.5E3 AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 10(WTPN31 PGTW 300300)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 129E2 HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED AS IT MOVED OVER THE PHILLIPINE ISLANDS. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS NO LONGER DISTINGUISHABLE OVER LAND. THIS IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED A SUSPECT AREA. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 31 10:53:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626234-3674>; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 10:31:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA50482; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 20:24:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6825853 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 20:23:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA10204 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 20:23:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA01503 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 20:23:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710310223.UAA01503@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Oct 1997 20:23:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d509caac6d6271a194a9add158a81f4b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 369 ABPW10 PGTW 310030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/310030Z/310600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/301953ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 13 (WTPN31 PGTW 302100)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 301800Z2 TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 08.6N4 158.2E6 AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 13(WTPN31 PGTW 302100)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 129E2 ON 29 OCT HAS MOVED THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PHILLIPINE ISLANDS AND IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 120E3 IN THE SULU SEA. A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS APPARENT IN BOTH THE SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA AND IN THE ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY. ALTHOUGH CONVECTION IS NOT ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME, BOTH WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND THE UPPER LEVEL WINDS DERIVED FROM THIS IMAGERY SHOW AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE OVER MINDANAO ISLAND WHICH IS HELPING TO WEAKEN THE PREVIOUS STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR OVER THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED BETWEEN 10 AND 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION: THIS BULLETIN REISSUED TO ADD AREA IN SECTION 1.B (1). FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 31 19:29:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626935-3672>; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 14:35:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA17532; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 00:33:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6827822 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 00:33:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA16476 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 00:33:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA02232 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 00:33:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199710310633.AAA02232@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 00:33:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 95d4336bb5a3ab35ab8be506edb7ffee Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 123 ABPW10 PGTW 310600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/310600Z OCT 97/010600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/310153ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 14 (WTPN31 PGTW 310300)// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 310000Z4 TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 08.9N7 157.4E7 AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 105 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 130 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 14(WTPN31 PGTW 310300)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 120E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 118E0. CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO ORGANIZE OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AS IT MOVES WESTWARD INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS GOOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 AND 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:23:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626488-22683>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 15:12:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA35192; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 01:10:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6838981 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 01:08:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA24562 for ; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 01:08:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA06346 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 01:08:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711010708.BAA06346@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 01:08:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d7a9a9de4d7cfb3c556f3b42f5b26da6 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 581 ABPW10 PGTW 010600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z/020600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/010153ZNOV97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/010151ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 010000Z1 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 11.4N6 153.1E0 AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 140 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 170 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 18 (WTPN31 PGTW 010300)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 010000Z1 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUST TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 02 (WPTN32 PGTW 010300)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 118E0 IS NOW LOCATED AT 7.5N2 113.0E5 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 02 (WPTN32 PGTW 010300)). (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNSFORD/SULLINS/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Nov 2 23:24:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626441-17594>; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 14:30:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA25038; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 00:27:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6848817 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 00:27:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA46976 for ; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 00:24:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA01331 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 00:24:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711020624.AAA01331@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 00:24:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 83f3a7fbc4faba956c65b6432b4fb5be Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 888 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z/030600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/020153ZNOV97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/020151ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 020000Z2 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 13.9N3 147.2E4 AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 160 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 195 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 22 (WTPN31 PGTW 020300)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 020000Z2 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUST TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 06 (WPTN32 PGTW 020300)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNSFORD/SULLINS/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG32253060551 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 10:46:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626610-17594>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 01:32:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA47264; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 11:29:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6853024 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 11:29:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA09344 for ; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 11:27:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA02037 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 11:27:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711021727.LAA02037@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 11:27:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 150c21d9f45d51bbf7dec3241b3e0b6b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 473 ABPW10 PGTW 021730 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/021730Z/030600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/021353ZNOV97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/021351ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 021200Z5 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 14.8N3 144.3E2 AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 150 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 180 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 24 (WTPN31 PGTW 021500)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 021200Z5 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUST TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 08 (WPTN32 PGTW 021500)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED AND PERSISTED FOR MORE THAN 12 HOURS NEAR 5N5 175E3. 021200Z5 SYNOPTIC DATA, SATELLITE ANIMATION, AND EARLIER SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATE A BROAD, BUT WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXISTS BENEATH VERY DIFLUENT FLOW ALOFT. SCATTEROMETER DATA AND SATELLITE ANIMATION INDICATE A GOOD WESTERLY WIND BURST HAS DEVELOPED ALONG THE EQUATOR FROM 165E2 LONGITUDE EASTWARD TO THE DATELINE. ALSO, THE 021200Z5 MAJURO (WMO 91376) SOUNDING INDICATES THIS CIRCULATION IS VERTICALLY DEEP BASED ON THE 30 TO 35 KNOT NORTHEASTERLY WINDS FROM 925 MB UP TO 700 MB. HOWEVER, THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM EXISTS IN TWO BANDS WELL TO THE NORTHWEST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. OWING TO THE RELATIVELY DRY AIR PRESENT IN THE MAJURO SOUNDING FROM 925 MB UP TO 600 MB, LITTLE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUANCE OF THIS ADVISORY: TO ADD POOR SUSPECT AREA IN PARAGRAPH 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 10:46:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626635-17591>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 02:40:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA21474; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 12:37:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6853556 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 12:37:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA10382 for ; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 12:37:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA02103 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 12:37:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711021837.MAA02103@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 12:37:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c3276cbdb972b619861d194f697ac9ac Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 948 ABPW10 PGTW 021730 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/021730Z/030600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/021353ZNOV97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/021351ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 021200Z5 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 14.8N3 144.3E2 AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 150 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 180 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 24 (WTPN31 PGTW 021500)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 021200Z5 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUST TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 08 (WPTN32 PGTW 021500)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED AND PERSISTED FOR MORE THAN 12 HOURS NEAR 5N5 175E3. 021200Z5 SYNOPTIC DATA, SATELLITE ANIMATION, AND EARLIER SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATE A BROAD, BUT WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXISTS BENEATH VERY DIFLUENT FLOW ALOFT. SCATTEROMETER DATA AND SATELLITE ANIMATION INDICATE A GOOD WESTERLY WIND BURST HAS DEVELOPED ALONG THE EQUATOR FROM 165E2 LONGITUDE EASTWARD TO THE DATELINE. ALSO, THE 021200Z5 MAJURO (WMO 91376) SOUNDING INDICATES THIS CIRCULATION IS VERTICALLY DEEP BASED ON THE 30 TO 35 KNOT NORTHEASTERLY WINDS FROM 925 MB UP TO 700 MB. HOWEVER, THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM EXISTS IN TWO BANDS WELL TO THE NORTHWEST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. OWING TO THE RELATIVELY DRY AIR PRESENT IN THE MAJURO SOUNDING FROM 925 MB UP TO 600 MB, LITTLE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUANCE OF THIS ADVISORY: TO ADD POOR SUSPECT AREA IN PARAGRAPH 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/EIBLING/BACON// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG34453061721 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 10:46:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626698-17588>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 02:53:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA23108; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 12:50:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6853618 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 12:50:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA10252 for ; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 12:50:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA02127 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 12:50:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711021850.MAA02127@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 12:50:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weatherladvisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: adc6e5ad6c837f283534bbf584642a85 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 238 ABPW10 PGTW 021730 VSGID/GENADMIN/NAV8+359::3, 235 <7// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHERLADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/021730Z/030600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/021353ZNOV97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/021351ZNOV97// RMKS? 1. WESTERN NORTH PAIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARYCEEDA I LB AT 021200Z5 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 14.8N3 144.3E2 AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 150 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 180 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 24 (WTPN31 PGTW 021500)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER HOM LQGM KWL AT 021200Z5 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWNXRB CDQJIGKNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUST TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TRTPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 08 (WPTN32 PGTW 021500)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. SOUNDING INDICATES THIS CIRCULATION IS VERTICALLY DEEP BASED ON THTL30 TO 35 KNOT NORTHEASTERLY WINDS FROM 925 MB UP TO 700 MB. HOWEVER RELATIVELY DRY AIR PRESENT IN THE MAJURO SOUNDING FROM 925 MB UP TO 600 MB, LITTLE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO ?1128;.?. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUANCE OF THIS ADVISORY: TO ADD POOR SUSPECT AREA IN PARAGRAPH 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/EIBLING/BACON// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG34453061721 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 10:46:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626433-17588>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 04:42:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA16626; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 14:39:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6854637 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 14:39:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA23266 for ; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 14:38:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA02400 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 14:38:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711022038.OAA02400@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 14:38:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 44ea2880d61a9f27d397756c434ee90a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 110 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z/030600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/020153ZNOV97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/020151ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 020000Z2 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 13.9N3 147.2E4 AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 160 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 195 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 22 (WTPN31 PGTW 020300)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 020000Z2 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUST TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 06 (WPTN32 PGTW 020300)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNSFORD/SULLINS/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG32253060551 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 3 17:05:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626791-6114>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 15:47:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA10074; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 01:45:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6860921 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 01:44:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA50414 for ; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 01:44:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA03273 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 01:44:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711030744.BAA03273@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Nov 1997 01:44:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 61a013c949598fce3a295309f0c2a785 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 497 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/060600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/030153ZNOV97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/030151ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 030000Z3 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 15.5N1 141.7E3 AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 150 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 180 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 26 (WTPN31 PGTW 030300)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 030000Z3 TYPHOON LINDA (30W) WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUST TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 10 (WPTN32 PGTW 030300)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 175E3 IS NOW NEAR 7N7 167E4. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PREVIOUS CONVECTION IS NO LONGER ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, A 022039Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS AND ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION, LOCATED AT 3N3 171E9, HAS DEVELOPED ADDITIONAL CONVECTION, BUT REMAINS DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/SULLINS/LUNSFORD/DEOCARIZA/BOYD/GILL// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG37153070551 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 4 15:13:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626336-29130>; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 14:01:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA36784; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 23:59:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6873287 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 23:59:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA36754 for ; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 23:59:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA06144 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 23:59:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711040559.XAA06144@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Nov 1997 23:59:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9a3ab1bd28f10f4a461552b0a42404f2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 870 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/040153ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 040000Z4 SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.2N9 137.2E3 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 130 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 160 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 30 (WTPN31 PGTW 040300)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 167E4 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/HATFIELD/HONG/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 5 04:10:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627053-29131>; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 03:59:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA32834; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 13:57:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6880577 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 13:56:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA14610 for ; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 13:56:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA09194 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 13:56:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711041956.NAA09194@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Nov 1997 13:56:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 69a25046d5df9d36bfecc4ad94693a10 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 279 ABPW10 PGTW 042000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/042000Z/050600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/041353ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 041200Z7 TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 17.1N9 135.7E6 AND MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 120 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 145 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 32 (WTPN31 PGTW 041500)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED ON 3 NOV NEAR 7N7 167E4 HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4N4 163E0. A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER CAN BE IDENTIFIED ON BOTH THE ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND IN THE SYNOPTIC DATA. ALTHOUGH UPPER LEVEL WINDS DERIVED FROM WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOW MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR ACROSS THIS AREA, THIS SHEAR APPEARS TO BE WEAKENING AND BECOMING MORE ANTICYCLONIC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1010MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/SANCHEZ/HALL/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 6 14:28:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627123-22825>; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 14:36:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA50582; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 00:26:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6886724 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 00:26:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA28752 for ; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 00:26:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA12901 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 00:26:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711050626.AAA12901@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Nov 1997 00:26:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a947e31245842d6be5aff647011a56c8 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 306 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/05O600Z/060600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/041353ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 050000Z5 TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 17.9N7 134.8E6 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 110 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 135 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 34 (WTPN31 PGTW 050300)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4N0 163E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 05N5 165E2. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY DISORGANIZED AND SCATTERED IN NATURE WITH SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OCCURRING ACROSS THE REGION. ADDITIONALLY, PRESSURES ACROSS THIS REGION ARE SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN 24 HOURS AGO. HOWEVER, 050000Z5 SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AT THE SAME LOCATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1010MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/HATFIELD/HONG/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 6 17:32:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627104-15119>; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 14:41:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA50452; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 00:40:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6901642 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 00:38:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA50464 for ; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 00:38:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA27516 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 00:38:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711060638.AAA27516@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 00:38:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d23174e85a9534e6042cc0377118c9b6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 277 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/060153ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 060000Z6 TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 20.1N3 136.1E1 AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 95 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 115 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 38 (WTPN31 PGTW 060300)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 165E2 IS NOW DISSIPATED INTO AN AREA OF LIGHT SCATTERED CONVECTION LOCATED WITHIN AN ELONGATED MONSOON TROUGH. A 051840Z8 MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS CONFIRMS NO WELL DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITHIN THE TROUGH. THIS AREA IS NOT CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/SULLINS/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 7 16:05:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626659-9196>; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 14:32:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA29380; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 00:30:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6914206 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 00:30:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA10110 for ; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 00:18:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA02439 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 00:18:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711070618.AAA02439@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Nov 1997 00:18:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 32e86eb545b87c56c0775b7992e5d09e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 513 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070153ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070000Z7 TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 24.6N2 139.6E9 AND MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 42 (WTPN31 PGTW 070300)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/SULLINS/DEOCARIZA/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:11:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626671-26827>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 14:23:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA47302; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 00:22:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6924797 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 00:22:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA30784 for ; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 00:20:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA07717 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 00:20:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711080620.AAA07717@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 00:20:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6f2cd6d053d586dc2ce7183cb4a16885 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 407 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070153ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 080000Z8 TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 29.0N1 148.2E5 AND MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 46 (WTPN31 PGTW 080300)) AND 6 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION CENTERED NEAR 11N2 144E9. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES WEAK CYCLONIC TURNING ON ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. PRESSURES OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS HAVE FALLEN ABOUT 1 MB ON GUAM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/HATFIELD/HONG/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626495-22940>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 14:19:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA20302; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 00:17:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6933943 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 00:17:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA52964 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 00:17:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA12533 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 00:17:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711090617.AAA12533@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 00:17:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0a7ca0523c1c191db9e34fce9f0e7482 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 419 ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/080153ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 081200Z1 TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 29.9N1 156.1E3 AND MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 34 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 48 (WTPN31 PGTW 081500)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 11N2 144E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 142E7. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW CYCLONIC TURNING WITHIN THIS DISTURBANCE, AND EVIDENCE OF A DEVELOPING BANDING FEATURE. THE OVERALL ORGANIZATION OF THIS TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY, UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FORECAST TO IMPROVE WITHIN 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 10N1 179E7. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A VERY SMALL BUT TIGHTLY WOUND LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/HATFIELD/HONG/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625887-11076>; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 06:58:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA26474; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 16:56:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6940349 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 16:56:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA50478 for ; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 16:56:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA15748 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 16:56:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711092256.QAA15748@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 16:56:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3639c40be1071aa1cf427556f2941c97 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 327 ABPW10 PGTW 092300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/092300Z/100600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/091851ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AT 091900Z9, THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 144E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.1N3 141.1E7 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 091900)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 179E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 176E4. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES MORE CONVECTION HAS BECOME ESTABLISHED OVER A PREVIOUSLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION: TO UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA IN PARAGRAPH 1 B (2). FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/HATFIELD/HONG/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 11 10:47:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626286-11080>; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 16:48:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA46632; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 02:47:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6944055 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 02:47:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA46832 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 02:46:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA17750 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 02:46:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711100846.CAA17750@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 02:46:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4b4e41aefe93e973c4d51d3d3b77700d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 075 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/091851ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AT 091900Z9, THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.1N3 141.1E7 HAS NOT MOVED AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 091900)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 176E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 175E3. ALTHOUGH VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION HAS DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY, A VERY WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER STILL EXISTS. HOWEVER, THE DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO TRACK UNDERNEATH A UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IN 24 HOURS. THIS SHOULD ALLOW CONDITIONS TO BECOME FAVORABLE FOR CONVECTION TO REDEVELOP. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/HATFIELD/HONG/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 11 15:29:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627040-6607>; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 14:23:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA30812; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 00:15:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6954330 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 00:15:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA19498 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 00:15:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA22266 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 00:15:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711110615.AAA22266@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Nov 1997 00:15:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ed419f745e68f731237f10ccaf6bf60d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 378 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/110153ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110000Z2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WAS LOCATED AT 11.8N0 138.9E1, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNING NR 02 (WTPN31 PGTW 110300) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AT 091900Z9, THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 11.1N3 141.1E7 AND WAS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT HAS DEVELOPED (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 10N1 175E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.6N9 171.5E4. HOWEVER, DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, THIS DISTURBANCE HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 110000Z2 SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE THAT IS LOCATED NEAR 14N5 168E5. THERE IS LITTLE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM. HOWEVER, NEW MODERATE CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER DURING THE PAST 03 HOURS. ALTHOUGH NEARBY SURFACE PRESSURES ARE HIGHER THAN NORMAL, THIS SYSTEM REMAINS A TIGHTLY ORGANIZED TROPICAL DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS NEAR 06N6 104E5. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A WEAK, LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH MODERATE, UPPER- LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. LAND INTERACTION WITH THE SOUTHERN MALAY PENINSULA SHOULD INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 11 15:29:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626698-6609>; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 14:45:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA28470; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 00:44:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6954565 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 00:44:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA27636 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 00:44:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA22358 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 00:44:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711110644.AAA22358@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Nov 1997 00:44:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 37d131967692b4f3593359bdbd752f6b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 235 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/110153ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110000Z2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WAS LOCATED AT 11.8N0 138.9E1, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNING NR 02 (WTPN31 PGTW 110300) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AT 091900Z9, THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 11.1N3 141.1E7, WHICH WAS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT, HAS DEVELOPED INTO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 10N1 175E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.6N9 171.5E4. HOWEVER, DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, THIS DISTURBANCE HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 110000Z2 SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE THAT IS LOCATED NEAR 14N5 168E5. THERE IS LITTLE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM. HOWEVER, NEW MODERATE CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER DURING THE PAST 03 HOURS. ALTHOUGH NEARBY SURFACE PRESSURES ARE HIGHER THAN NORMAL, THIS SYSTEM REMAINS A TIGHTLY ORGANIZED TROPICAL DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS NEAR 06N6 104E5. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A WEAK, LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH MODERATE, UPPER- LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. LAND INTERACTION WITH THE SOUTHERN MALAY PENINSULA SHOULD INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: THE NEED TO MENTION DEVELOPMENT OF TD 31W IN PARAGRAPH 1.B.(1) AND CHANGE SUSPECT AREA FROM FAIR TO POOR IN PARAGRAPH 1.B.(2). FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 13 02:33:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626714-29163>; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 14:24:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA40020; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 00:22:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6968211 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 00:22:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA13600 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 00:14:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA27311 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 00:14:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711120614.AAA27311@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Nov 1997 00:14:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2ce6ffa4cb2e883e071eef07f4b9b9c6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 654 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120153ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120000Z3 TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WAS LOCATED AT 12.7N0 135.6E5, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WARNING NR 06 (WTPN31 PGTW 120300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 12.6N9 171.5E4 HAS MOVED RAPIDLY WESTWARD TO NEAR 13.5N9 158.5E9 AND HAS WEAKENED. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WAS LOCATED BENEATH DIFLUENT UPPER-LEVEL FLOW. HOWEVER, MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS DISPLACED THE CONVECTION TO THE EAST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 06N6 104E5 HAS WEAKENED AND HAS CROSSED THE MALAY PENINSULA INTO THE BAY OF BENGAL. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/HONG/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 13 19:23:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626949-16253>; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 14:15:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA17526; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 00:07:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6982220 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 00:07:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA45654 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 23:59:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA02451 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 23:59:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711130559.XAA02451@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Nov 1997 23:59:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 831c2bfb1a7c9039ee61b28015c36518 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 824 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/130153ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130000Z4 TYPHOON MORT (31W) WAS LOCATED AT 13.8N2 132.5E1 MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON MORT (31W) WARNING NR 10 (WTPN31 PGTW 130300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.5N9 158.5E9 IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/HATFIELD/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:49:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627225-12518>; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 14:22:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA14648; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 00:21:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6995582 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 00:21:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA21748 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 00:20:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA07571 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 00:20:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711140620.AAA07571@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Nov 1997 00:20:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e4a05106cb97e2bbe414529285c48e3e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 245 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/1 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627224-12518>; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 23:36:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA47064; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 09:34:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6998105 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 09:34:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA46258 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 09:34:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA09219 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 09:34:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711141534.JAA09219@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Nov 1997 09:34:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ce30ddf709b86c2a8678b87e47ff2695 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 490 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/140153ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140000Z5 TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WAS LOCATED AT 13.8N2 129.0E2 MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WARNING NR 14 (WTPN31 PGTW 140300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/HATFIELD/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626646-15655>; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 13:41:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA37400; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 23:40:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7004452 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 23:40:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA33938 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 23:39:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA12556 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 23:39:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711150539.XAA12556@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Nov 1997 23:39:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f57f9f4f92dc6b305641a78ab333ef2c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 267 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150153ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WAS LOCATED AT 14.7N2 125.1E9 MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WARNING NR 18 (WTPN31 PGTW 150300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF MODERATE DEEP CONVECTION HAS MOVED WEST OF THE DATELINE AND WAS LOCATED NEAR 8.0N8 179.9E6. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS LOCATED IN THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. WATER VAPOR- DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THAT AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE OR RIDGE AXIS LIES ALONG AND TO THE WEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS MOVED WEST OF THE DATELINE AND WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 179.9E6. VISIBLE SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH DIVERGENT, UNIDIRECTIONAL UPPER-LEVEL FLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626766-11535>; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 14:25:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA47956; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 00:20:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7010206 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 00:20:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA37544 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 00:16:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA17159 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 00:16:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711160616.AAA17159@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Nov 1997 00:16:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 25236f0042509dccaef3f86cf532db36 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 852 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/160153ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160000Z7 TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WAS LOCATED AT 15.5N1 122.6E1 MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WARNING NR 22 (WTPN31 PGTW 160300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 8.0N8 179.9E6 HAS DISSIPATED AND THE LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION HAS WEAKENED. AS A RESULT, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 10.0S1 179.9E6 HAS MOVED WESTWARD TO NEAR 8.5S3 173.0E1. VISIBLE SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A BROAD, LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. HOWEVER, THERE OTHER WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATIONS NEARBY THAT ARE DISRUPTING THE LOW-LEVEL INFLOW INTO THIS DISTURBANCE. AS A RESULT, FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WILL BE INHIBITED UNTIL THESE SMALLER CIRCULATIONS MERGE WITH THE LARGER CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630910-11534>; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 05:22:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA26414; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 15:21:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7014484 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 15:21:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA09558 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 15:17:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA19914 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 15:17:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711162117.PAA19914@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Nov 1997 15:17:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 29223132416349ae92e35280d14f7f18 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 560 ABPW10 PGTW 162100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/162100Z/170600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/160753ZNOV97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160600Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W (MORT) WAS LOCATED AT 15.6N2 121.8E2 MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS AND DISSIPATING RAPIDLY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WARNING NR 23 (WTPN31 PGTW 160300)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) NO SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 8.5S3 173.0E1 HAS MOVED WESTWARD TO NEAR 8.5S3 170.0E0. VISIBLE, INFRARED, AND SSM/I SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THAT THIS TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS BECOME MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. TWO LARGE, CIRCULAR CONVECTIVE CLOUD MASSES WERE NOTED ROTATING CYCLONICALLY ABOUT THE CENTRAL POINT MENTIONED ABOVE AND LOW-LEVEL CLOUD LINES CAN BE SEEN SPIRALLY INTO THE SYSTEM CENTER. AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE MAY ALSO BE DEVELOPING ABOVE THIS SYSTEM BASED ON GOOD CIRRUS OUTFLOW AND WATER VAPOR-DERIVED WINDS INDICATING THE PRESENCE OF STRONG DIVERGENCE OVER EACH CONVECTIVE CLOUD MASS. HOWEVER, UNTIL THE TWO CONVECTIVE MASSES MERGE OR ONE DISSIPATES, LOW-LEVEL INFLOW WILL BE DISRUPTED INTO THE SYSTEM CENTER AND THE WIND FIELD WILL REMAIN BROAD AND WEAK. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUANCE: TO UPGRADE POOR SUSPECT AREA TO A FAIR SUSPECT AREA IN PARAGRAPH 2.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 17 13:38:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626683-7996>; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 13:37:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA20444; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 23:36:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7017975 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 23:36:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA20412 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 23:36:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA21546 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 23:36:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711170536.XAA21546@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Nov 1997 23:36:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e2c64871a95efab762780ea055be473b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 505 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR MORE THAN 24 HOURS NEAR 21N3 168E5. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A SMALL LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH DIVERGENT UPPER-LEVEL FLOW. THIS SYSTEM IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE AREA EMBEDDED IN THE TROPICAL UPPER-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH TUTT) AND MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION IS DISPLACED TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE SURFACE CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO THE NORTHEAST. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 8.5S3 170.0E0 HAS MOVED WESTWARD TO NEAR 8.5S3 168.0E5. VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THIS TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DESPITE A DECREASE IN THE CENTRAL CONVECTION DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. WATER VAPOR-DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK ANTICYCLONE ABOVE THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/HONG/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 18 11:01:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626042-18905>; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 10:19:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA16980; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 20:16:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7028707 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 20:16:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA26926 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 20:16:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA25962 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 20:16:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711180216.UAA25962@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Nov 1997 20:16:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c1eb72a1c09c2d4faf8b0e491e7c885d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 055 WTPS21 PGTW 180200 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 180151Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 8.9S7 165.6E8 TO 14.6S1 162.6E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 172330Z6 AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 165.4E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED TO THE EAST OF THE SOLOMON ISLANDS HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. 172330Z6 SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS ORGANIZED BANDS OF CONVECTION HAVE DEVELOPED NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR WINDS INDICATE A WEAK ANTICYCLONE ALOFT. WIND SPEED ESTIMATES ARE BASED ON SATELLITE DERIVED WIND INTENSITIES OF 25 KNOTS AND SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 190200Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 18 16:18:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626628-18902>; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 14:54:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA26934; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 00:53:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7031607 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 00:52:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA26898 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 00:52:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA26925 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 00:52:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711180652.AAA26925@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Nov 1997 00:52:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a6300cd7d6efd3ed9a3c295da2a80bdb Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 211 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/180151Z NOV 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/180321Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 21N3 168E5 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE TROPICAL UPPER- TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) THAT WAS LOCATED ABOVE THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS MOVED EAST AND NOW AN ANTICYCLONE IS PROVIDING GOOD UP PER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE FOR THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010MB. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 1803 30) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 9N9 171E9. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA FROM KWAJALEIN (WMO 91366) AND MAJURO (WMO 91376) INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100 NM TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE MAIN CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE IN THE REGION WHICH IS PROVIDING GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIM UM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.5S3 170.0E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 165.4E6 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS CONVECTION HAS BEC OME BETTER ORGANIZED AND MORE CENTRALLY LOCATED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS GOOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAIN ED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 180200) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/HALL/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 18 17:35:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626710-18906>; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 17:20:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA23276; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 03:18:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7032090 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 03:18:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA04514 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 03:17:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA27426 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 03:17:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711180917.DAA27426@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Nov 1997 03:17:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 04bd0346f1d08c0c49d1816c8a7faebf Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 688 WTPS31 PGTW 180900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 170151Z NOV 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 180200 ) 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- 11.5S7 164.6E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.5S7 164.6E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 12.7S0 162.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 13.8S2 159.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 14.6S1 156.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 14.7S2 153.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION 11.8S0 164.0E1 THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON A 172303Z6 SCATTEROMETER PASS THAT SHOWED A WELL DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND SYNOPTIC DATA FROM SANTA CRUZ ISLAND (WMO 91541). ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SOLOMON ISLANDS HAS AN INTENSITY OF 30 KNOTS AND IS MOVING TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 12 KNOTS. OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS CLOUD BANDS HAVE DEVELOPED AND THE CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES A WEAK ANTICYCLONE ALOFT CONTINUES TO PROVIDE GOOD OUTFLOW. THE CURRENT WIND INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS AND A 172303Z6 SCATTEROMETER PASS OF WINDS UP TO 30 KNOTS. THE FORECAST TRACK IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF GUIDANCE FROM THE BRITISH NUMERICAL MODEL (BRACKNELL) AND THE NAVY=S ONE- WAY TROPICAL CYCLONE MODEL AS BOTH MODELS SHOW THE SYSTEM TRACKING GENERALLY TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE AS THE SYSTEM REMAINS IN AN AREA WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE TO GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY OF A SMALLER THAN AVERAGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z5 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5) AND 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 170151Z NOV 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 180200).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 19 14:58:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627768-18907>; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 05:50:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA09306; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 15:49:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7038622 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 15:48:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA04526 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 15:48:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA29838 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 15:48:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711182148.PAA29838@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Nov 1997 15:48:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fce50b24f3916788d496b80c778ec19a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 975 WTPS31 PGTW 182100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- 12.7S0 162.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.7S0 162.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 13.9S3 160.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 14.9S4 159.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 16.0S7 158.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 17.1S9 157.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION 13.0S4 162.2E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P HAS BEEN MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181730Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE MOVING IN THE SAME GENERAL DIRECTION FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT TRACKS NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION, TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P IS EXPECTED TO TURN SOUTHWESTWARD AS IT MOVES TOWARD A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE. A MORE SOUTHERLY TURN SHOULD OCCUR BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE AS IT SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z8 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3) AND 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 19 14:58:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627796-18905>; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 06:02:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA09272; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 15:57:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7038824 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 15:57:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA46094 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 15:57:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA29910 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 15:57:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711182157.PAA29910@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Nov 1997 15:57:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c36331ff983bb027f1d25f164e5c4b85 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 116 WTPS31 PGTW 182100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHGSGG3956 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- 12.7S0 162.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.7S0 162.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 13.9S3 160.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 14.9S4 159.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT PAGE 03 RUHGSGG3956 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 16.0S7 158.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 17.1S9 157.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG3956 UNCLAS 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION 13.0S4 162.2E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P HAS BEEN MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181730Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE MOVING IN THE SAME GENERAL DIRECTION FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT TRACKS NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION, TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P IS EXPECTED TO TURN SOUTHWESTWARD AS IT MOVES TOWARD A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE. A MORE SOUTHERLY TURN SHOULD OCCUR BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE AS IT SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z8 IS 12 FEET. NEXT PAGE 05 RUHGSGG3956 UNCLAS WARNINGS AT 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3) AND 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6).// BT #3956 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 19 14:58:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626332-14097>; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 14:16:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA38266; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 00:14:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7043031 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 00:13:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA44336 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 00:13:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA01714 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 00:13:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711190613.AAA01714@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Nov 1997 00:13:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4d3efbc97908ccdadeffa7d7fef83b45 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 553 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/190151Z NOV 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181951Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 21N3 168E5 HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH TO THE WEST IS CAUSING STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN THE REGION. REFER TO REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION (WTPN21 PGTW 190200)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 171E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 169E6. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE NEAR THE AREA OF CONVECTION. HOWEVER, THE WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS NOW AN AREA OF TROUGHING NEAR THE MARSHALL ISLANDS, LOCATED OVER 100 NM TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 165.4E6 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. AT 181800Z TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (NUTE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7S0 162.7E6 AND WAS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (NUTE) WARNING NR 2 (WTPS31 PGTW 182100)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.8S8 165.4E6 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REFER TO PAR. 2.A.(1) ABOVE AND REF B FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/HALL/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 19 17:10:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626864-14095>; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 16:23:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA28926; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 02:21:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7043754 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 02:21:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA45794 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 02:21:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA02052 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 02:21:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711190821.CAA02052@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Nov 1997 02:21:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a77442642bcac9e074920462574d8d61 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 141 WTPS31 PGTW 190900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (NUTE) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- 14.6S1 161.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.6S1 161.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 16.1S8 159.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 17.7S5 158.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 19.4S4 157.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 21.0S3 158.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION 15.0S6 160.5E2 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (NUTE) HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS MOVING TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST AT 13 KNOTS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITIES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 190530Z8 INDICATES AN EYE FEATURE IS DEVELOPING WITHIN THE CENTRAL CONVECTION. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AS IT REMAINS IN AN AREA WITH GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. AFTERWARDS, TC 05P IS FORECAST TO SLOW AND WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AS IT APPROACHES THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. AT THE 36 HOUR PERIOD, TC 05P (NUTE) IS FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARDS THE SOUTH- SOUTHEAST AND WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO AN AREA OF WESTERLY FLOW AND INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z6 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6) AND 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Nov 19 17:10:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627913-14095>; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 17:05:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA43758; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 03:00:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7043847 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 03:00:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA43722 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 03:00:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA02158 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 03:00:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711190900.DAA02158@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Nov 1997 03:00:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 707bc80da34ebb04a00c8059258e1559 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 589 WTPS31 PGTW 190900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (NUTE) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHGSGG4400 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- 14.6S1 161.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.6S1 161.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 16.1S8 159.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 09 KTS PAGE 03 RUHGSGG4400 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 17.7S5 158.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 19.4S4 157.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: PAGE 04 RUHGSGG4400 UNCLAS 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 21.0S3 158.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION 15.0S6 160.5E2 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (NUTE) HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS MOVING TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST AT 13 KNOTS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITIES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 190530Z8 INDICATES AN EYE FEATURE IS DEVELOPING WITHIN THE CENTRAL CONVECTION. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AS IT REMAINS IN AN AREA WITH GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. AFTERWARDS, TC 05P PAGE 05 RUHGSGG4400 UNCLAS IS FORECAST TO SLOW AND WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AS IT APPROACHES THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. AT THE 36 HOUR PERIOD, TC 05P (NUTE) IS FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARDS THE SOUTH- SOUTHEAST AND WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO AN AREA OF WESTERLY FLOW AND INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z6 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6) AND 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5).// BT #4400 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 20 13:50:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626381-12197>; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 11:50:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA46640; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 14:17:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7048906 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 14:15:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA20262 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 14:15:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA04839 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 14:15:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711192015.OAA04839@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Nov 1997 14:15:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b20d8abf7961fe3fc61888fe28d75663 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 278 WTPS31 PGTW 192100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYC +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 20 13:50:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626104-12200>; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 11:53:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA35510; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 14:21:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7049058 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 14:21:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA37250 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 14:21:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA04867 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 14:20:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711192020.OAA04867@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Nov 1997 14:20:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: dc039bbe57e16eb3dcfb2eff11563f06 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 413 WTPS31 PGTW 192100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (NUTE) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- 15.8S4 160.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.8S4 160.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 17.0S8 159.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 18.1S0 158.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 19.3S3 158.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 20.5S7 158.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION 16.1S8 160.0E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (NUTE) IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS SLOWED CONSIDERABLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS SINCE IT IS NEAR THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201730Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (NUTE) CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY, AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING AND A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 75 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AND MOVE IN THE SAME GENERAL DIRECTION AND SPEED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. BY 36 HOURS, THE SYSTEM SHOULD TURN MORE SOUTHWARD AS IT MOVES ABOVE THE RIDGE AXIS. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SHOULD RAPIDLY INCREASE AT THIS POINT, AND THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN STEADILY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5) AND 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 21 14:48:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627880-17896>; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 15:54:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA26506; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 15:38:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7049767 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 15:37:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA27058 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 15:36:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA05183 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 15:36:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711192136.PAA05183@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Nov 1997 15:36:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3b766582ada1c4677852eab0e7c4c7f5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 814 WTPS31 PGTW 192100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (NUTE) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHGSGG4757 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- 15.8S4 160.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.8S4 160.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 17.0S8 159.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS PAGE 03 RUHGSGG4757 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 18.1S0 158.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 19.3S3 158.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: PAGE 04 RUHGSGG4757 UNCLAS 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 20.5S7 158.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION 16.1S8 160.0E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (NUTE) IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS SLOWED CONSIDERABLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS SINCE IT IS NEAR THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201730Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (NUTE) CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY, AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING AND A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 75 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AND MOVE IN THE SAME GENERAL DIRECTION AND SPEED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. BY 36 HOURS, PAGE 05 RUHGSGG4757 UNCLAS THE SYSTEM SHOULD TURN MORE SOUTHWARD AS IT MOVES ABOVE THE RIDGE AXIS. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SHOULD RAPIDLY INCREASE AT THIS POINT, AND THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN STEADILY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5) AND 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8).// BT #4757 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 20 14:20:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627508-12194>; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 14:02:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA10578; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 23:57:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7054183 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 23:57:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA33292 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 23:56:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA06970 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 23:56:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711200556.XAA06970@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Nov 1997 23:56:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2d59475679af70777ca54c8870126fca Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 143 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/191951Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR MORE THAN 12 HOURS NEAR 26.5N3 162.0E9. THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WELL-DEFINED, LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. HOWEVER, SURFACE PRESSURES REMAIN HIGH IN THIS AREA AND A FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO THE WEST MAY MERGE WITH THIS SYSTEM IN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ALSO, SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE NEAR 25C TO 26C WHICH IS MARGINAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1012 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR MORE THAN 18 HOURS NEAR 15N6 169E6. THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SHARP SURFACE TROUGH AND LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE BENEATH THE DIVERGENT, SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF A TUTT CELL. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA ALSO INDICATE A WEAK, LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION HAS DEVELOPED ALONG THE SOUTHWEST END OF THE TROUGH NEAR 10N1 162E9. HOWEVER, SURFACE PRESSURES REMAIN HIGH IN THIS AREA AND MODERATE TO STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR EXISTS OVER THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1011 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 191800Z9, TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (NUTE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8S4 160.2E9 AND WAS MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 70 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (NUTE) WARNING NR 04 (WTPS31 PGTW 192100)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR MORE THAN 12 HOURS NEAR 6S6 172E0. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A BROAD, LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS LOCATED BENEATH WEAK, UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/HONG/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 21 14:48:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627905-17896>; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 16:30:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA09588; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 02:27:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7055009 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 02:26:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA16990 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 02:26:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA07397 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 02:26:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711200826.CAA07397@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Nov 1997 02:26:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a8ce56a55fa91abbfa51ca037ffe2f3a Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 270 WTPS31 PGTW 200900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (NUTE) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- 17.5S3 159.1E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.5S3 159.1E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 19.0S0 158.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 20.4S6 158.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 21.6S9 158.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 22.8S2 158.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION 17.9S7 159.0E5 DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS, TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (NUTE) HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AND HAS WEAKENED. THIS SYSTEM LIKELY PEAKED AROUND 70 TO 75 KNOTS ABOUT 09 TO 12 HOURS AGO. HOWEVER, DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT AND INCREASING NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAVE SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKENED TC 05P (NUTE) DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. A LARGE ARC CLOUD/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY HAS BEEN NOTED PROPAGATING SOUTHWARD AWAY FROM TC 05P IN ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY WHICH IS AN INDICATION OF DRY AIR INTRUSION IN THE MID-LEVELS AND THE ONSET OF SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A BLEND OF 200530Z0 SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF CI3.5 (55 KNOTS) AND CI4.5 (77 KNOTS) FROM KGWC AND JTWC SATELLITE ANALYSTS, RESPECTIVELY, AND THE OUTWARD PROPAGATING ARC CLOUD. WE EXPECT TC 05P (NUTE) TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AND TRACK SLOWLY SOUTHWARD AS INCREASING NORTHWESTERLY MID- AND UPPER-LEVEL FLOW DRIVE THE SYSTEM INTO A LOW-LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE. THE OPPOSITE STEERING FLOWS WILL COMBINE TO INCREASE THE VERTICAL SHEAR ON TC 05P AND CAUSE MORE RAPID WEAKENING THAN WAS INDICATED IN OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8) AND 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 21 14:48:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626664-17895>; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 19:02:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA16474; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 03:57:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7055324 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 03:56:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA16440 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 03:56:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA07749 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 03:56:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711200956.DAA07749@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Nov 1997 03:56:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d3724b6e208f50c81c7848937a3f70ff Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 699 WTPS31 PGTW 200900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (NUTE) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHGSGG5081 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- 17.5S3 159.1E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.5S3 159.1E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 19.0S0 158.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 07 KTS PAGE 03 RUHGSGG5081 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 20.4S6 158.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 21.6S9 158.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 22.8S2 158.3E7 PAGE 04 RUHGSGG5081 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION 17.9S7 159.0E5 DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS, TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (NUTE) HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AND HAS WEAKENED. THIS SYSTEM LIKELY PEAKED AROUND 70 TO 75 KNOTS ABOUT 09 TO 12 HOURS AGO. HOWEVER, DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT AND INCREASING NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAVE SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKENED TC 05P (NUTE) DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. A LARGE ARC CLOUD/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY HAS BEEN NOTED PROPAGATING SOUTHWARD AWAY FROM TC 05P IN ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY WHICH IS AN INDICATION OF DRY AIR INTRUSION IN THE MID-LEVELS AND THE ONSET OF SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A BLEND OF 200530Z0 SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF CI3.5 (55 KNOTS) AND CI4.5 (77 KNOTS) FROM KGWC AND JTWC SATELLITE ANALYSTS, RESPECTIVELY, AND THE OUTWARD PROPAGATING ARC PAGE 05 RUHGSGG5081 UNCLAS CLOUD. WE EXPECT TC 05P (NUTE) TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AND TRACK SLOWLY SOUTHWARD AS INCREASING NORTHWESTERLY MID- AND UPPER-LEVEL FLOW DRIVE THE SYSTEM INTO A LOW-LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE. THE OPPOSITE STEERING FLOWS WILL COMBINE TO INCREASE THE VERTICAL SHEAR ON TC 05P AND CAUSE MORE RAPID WEAKENING THAN WAS INDICATED IN OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8) AND 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6).// BT #5081 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 21 14:49:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626612-17898>; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 04:03:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA09968; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 14:00:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7060540 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 14:00:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA09914 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 14:00:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA09814 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 14:00:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711202000.OAA09814@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Nov 1997 14:00:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2f2a775594c7703a3fee4990ad4bdbb1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 477 WTPS31 PGTW 202100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (NUTE) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- 19.2S2 159.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.2S2 159.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 20.9S1 160.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 22.3S7 161.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 23.5S0 162.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION 19.6S6 159.8E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (NUTE) IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 60 KNOTS IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE-DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF CI3.5 (55 KNOTS) AND CI4.0 (65 KNOTS). THE LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED DUE TO UPPER-LEVEL WIND SHEAR. THIS MAKES POSITIONING OF THE SYSTEM DIFFICULT. EXPECT TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (NUTE) TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6) AND 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 21 14:49:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627470-17896>; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 04:31:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA28756; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 14:29:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7060792 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 14:29:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA36746 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 14:27:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA09888 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 14:27:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711202027.OAA09888@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Nov 1997 14:27:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 98ebff874fe062fc481e6f9d3cc4e13b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 892 WTPS31 PGTW 202100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (NUTE) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE PAGE 02 RUHGSGG5314 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- 19.2S2 159.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.2S2 159.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 20.9S1 160.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG5314 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 22.3S7 161.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 23.5S0 162.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION 19.6S6 159.8E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (NUTE) IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD PAGE 04 RUHGSGG5314 UNCLAS AT 10 KNOTS. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 60 KNOTS IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE-DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF CI3.5 (55 KNOTS) AND CI4.0 (65 KNOTS). THE LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED DUE TO UPPER-LEVEL WIND SHEAR. THIS MAKES POSITIONING OF THE SYSTEM DIFFICULT. EXPECT TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (NUTE) TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6) AND 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9).// BT #5314 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 21 14:49:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625920-5818>; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 06:48:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA28904; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 16:45:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7062341 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 16:45:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA04524 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 16:45:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA10416 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 16:45:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711202245.QAA10416@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Nov 1997 16:45:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 40897471f321624d5fec9c3b0d2cf657 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 246 WTPS31 PGTW 202100 AMD IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (NUTE) WARNING NR 006A AMENDED AND RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- 19.5S5 158.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.5S5 158.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 21.5S8 158.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION 20.0S2 158.3E7 DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS, TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (NUTE) HAS RAPIDLY WEAKENED DUE TO DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT AND STRONG NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE CLOSEST DEEP CONVECTION IS LOCATED MORE THAN 120 NM SOUTHEAST OF A FULLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BASED ON 202030Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. JUSTIFICATION FOR THE AMENDED WARNING AND RELOCATION OF THIS SYSTEM IS A MUCH LOWER INTENSITY OWING TO THE LACK OF ANY CENTRAL DEEP CONVECTION, AND THE MORE WESTWARD INITIAL POSITION OF TC 05P (NUTE) AS SEEN IN VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z1 IS 09 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 21 14:52:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625978-5818>; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 12:32:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA09270; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 22:19:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7065538 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 22:19:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA32792 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 22:19:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA11532 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 22:19:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711210419.WAA11532@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Nov 1997 22:19:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f8220c6c23a56a5bc0eb1ab7d251689e Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 450 WTPS31 PGTW 202100 AMD IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (NUTE) WARNING NR 006A AMENDED AND RELOCATED PAGE 02 RUHGSGG5516 UNCLAS 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- 19.5S5 158.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.5S5 158.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 21.5S8 158.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUHGSGG5516 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION 20.0S2 158.3E7 DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS, TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (NUTE) HAS RAPIDLY WEAKENED DUE TO DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT AND STRONG NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE CLOSEST DEEP CONVECTION IS LOCATED MORE THAN 120 NM SOUTHEAST OF A FULLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BASED ON 202030Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. JUSTIFICATION FOR THE AMENDED WARNING AND RELOCATION OF THIS SYSTEM IS A MUCH LOWER INTENSITY OWING TO THE LACK OF ANY CENTRAL DEEP CONVECTION, AND THE MORE WESTWARD INITIAL POSITION OF TC 05P (NUTE) AS SEEN IN VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z1 IS 09 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// BT #5516 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 21 15:05:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626239-5819>; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 15:05:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA28234; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 01:00:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7066686 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 01:00:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA09492 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 01:00:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA12121 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 01:00:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711210700.BAA12121@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Nov 1997 01:00:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 81e49b7c43d297e39daa19313c6822da Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 709 WTPS31 PGTW 202100 AMD IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (NUTE) WARNING NR 006A AMENDED AND RELOCATED PAGE 02 RUHGSGG5516 UNCLAS 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- 19.5S5 158.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.5S5 158.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 21.5S8 158.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUHGSGG5516 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION 20.0S2 158.3E7 DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS, TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (NUTE) HAS RAPIDLY WEAKENED DUE TO DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT AND STRONG NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE CLOSEST DEEP CONVECTION IS LOCATED MORE THAN 120 NM SOUTHEAST OF A FULLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BASED ON 202030Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. JUSTIFICATION FOR THE AMENDED WARNING AND RELOCATION OF THIS SYSTEM IS A MUCH LOWER INTENSITY OWING TO THE LACK OF ANY CENTRAL DEEP CONVECTION, AND THE MORE WESTWARD INITIAL POSITION OF TC 05P (NUTE) AS SEEN IN VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z1 IS 09 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// BT #5516 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 21 15:05:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626259-5816>; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 15:05:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA48912; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 01:03:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7066710 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 01:03:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA09422 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 01:02:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA12130 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 01:02:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711210702.BAA12130@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Nov 1997 01:02:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 242273ddcc734454e01e2a01c3fc0d5b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 753 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/201951Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 26.5N3 162.0E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 26N8 160E7. THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WELL-DEFINED, LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF A TUTT CELL. SURFACE PRESSURES REMAIN HIGH IN THIS AREA AND A FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO THE WEST MAY MERGE WITH THIS SYSTEM IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ALSO, SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE NEAR 25C TO 26C WHICH IS MARGINAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1012 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 15N6 169E6 HAS MOVED NORTHWARD AND MERGED WITH THE SYSTEM DESCRIBED IN PARAGRAPH 1.B.(1). (3) AN AREA OF MODERATE CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR MORE THAN 12 HOURS NEAR 26N8 137E1. THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WELL-DEFINED, LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH STRONG UPPER-LEVEL DIFLUENCE. HOWEVER, HIGH SURFACE PRESSURES, MODERATE TO STRONG WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND SOME BAROCLINIC CHARACTERISTICS WILL INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM. ALSO, SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE NEAR 25C TO 26C WHICH IS MARGINAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1013 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 201800Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (NUTE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5S5 158.4E8 AND WAS MOVING SOUTH AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (NUTE) WARNING NR 06A AMENDED AND RELOCATED (WTPS31 PGTW 202100)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 06S6 172E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 07S7 173E1. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A BROAD SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITH MULTIPLE LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATIONS OUTSIDE OF THE MAIN CONVECTIVE CLOUD MASS. MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION IS LOCATED ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE SURFACE LOW. ALTHOUGH THIS ACTIVITY IS LOCATED BENEATH UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW, 25 TO 30 KNOT EASTERLY WINDS, AS SEEN IN WATER VAPOR-DERIVED WIND FIELDS, ARE PRODUCING SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL SHEAR ON THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Nov 22 10:39:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626843-16576>; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 05:34:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA29070; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 15:31:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7073257 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 15:31:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA29022 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 15:31:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA15106 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 15:30:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711212130.PAA15106@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Nov 1997 15:30:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a3fcd91b8aaaebe4b040324f0f1580f9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 089 ABPW10 PGTW 212100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/212100Z/220600Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 26N8 160E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 24N6 161E8. MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF A TUTT CELL CONTINUES TO PROVIDE MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THIS AREA. SURFACE PRESSURES REMAIN HIGH AND A FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO THE WEST HAS MERGED WITH THIS SYSTEM. HOWEVER, A SURFACE CIRCULATION IS STILL EVIDENT IN THE LATEST INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1015 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 26N8 137E1 IS DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 07S7 173E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 08S8 166E3. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA STILL INDICATE A BROAD SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. HOWEVER, CENTRAL CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH A SINGLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS MINIMAL AS INDICATED BY ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND THE LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUANCE: UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA TO FAIR IN PARAGRAPH 2.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: BOYD/BOYER/LUNSFORD/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 24 08:43:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626898-23649>; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 13:59:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA30756; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 23:49:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7076617 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 23:49:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA13068 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 23:49:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA16797 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 23:49:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711220549.XAA16797@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Nov 1997 23:49:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e1675f954958466686d76c3bd757c138 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 878 WHPS21 PHNC 220000 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 220000Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 060 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12.2S5 158.8W2 TO 14.5S0 156.5W7 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 212100Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 156.0W2. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE NEXT SATELLITE INVESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 220000Z4. 2. REMARKS: DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 8-12 HOURS. VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES OUTFLOW IS BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 222359Z3.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG13753260129 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 24 08:43:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626914-23649>; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 14:40:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA39166; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 00:39:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7076920 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 00:39:09 -0600 Received: from dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.43]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA04586 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 00:39:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) with ESMTP id AAA25434 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 00:35:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA16928 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 00:19:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711220619.AAA16928@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Nov 1997 00:19:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 48c0716e040e3600ac3634751b03f0de Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 551 ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 24N6 161E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 25N7 160E7. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES A WEAK UPPER-LEVEL ANTI- CYCLONE HAS PROVIDED SUPPORT FOR CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW- LEVEL CENTER. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD, EXPOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 60 NM FROM THE MAIN CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1015 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 08S8 166E3 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION NEAR AN AREA OF UNORGANIZED CONVECTION. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE AN AREA OF UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM. SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA SHOWS A SLIGHT PRESSURE FALL, HOWEVER, CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE DISORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/MCCULLOCH/HALL/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 24 08:44:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626664-19550>; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 19:22:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA38164; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 05:20:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7083010 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 05:20:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA19846 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 05:19:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA21161 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 22:28:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711230428.WAA21161@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Nov 1997 22:28:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Rmks/1. Formation Of A Significant Tropical Cyclone Is To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e45e6af0b57c92cfb5e9de7037481954 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 093 WHPS21 PHNC 230000 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 222330Z NOV 97// RMKS/1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 090 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9.9S8 156.9W1 TO 6.7S3 161.3W1 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 222100Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.3S4 156.4E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: DUE TO TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT AREA MAINTAINING STRONG CONVECTION AND LOW LEVEL ANTI-CYCLONIC CIRCULATION, WE ARE REISSUING THIS WARNING. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 240000Z6.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG41383270028 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 24 08:44:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626664-19547>; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 19:34:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA16674; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 05:23:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7083049 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 05:23:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA36930 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 05:19:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA21467 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 23:55:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711230555.XAA21467@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Nov 1997 23:55:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 01278335e8e178cd5520eb3eef37b0b4 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 443 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 25N7 160E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 27N9 162E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IN ENVIRONMENTAL FLOW. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE CONVECTION HAS MOVED INTO AN AREA OF STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1015 MB. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 08S8 166E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 167E4. ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION NEAR AN AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION. SYNOPTIC DATA FROM SANTA CRUZ ISLAND (WMO 91541) INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH ASSOCIATED PRESSURE FALLS WITHIN 45NM OF THE SATELLITE DERIVED SURFACE CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A WEAK ANTICYCLONE ALOFT, HOWEVER, CONVECTION REMAINS VERY DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/MCCULLOCH/HALL/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 24 08:44:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626566-19542>; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 19:26:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA38358; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 05:23:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7083036 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 05:23:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA19742 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 05:19:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA22251 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 03:37:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711230937.DAA22251@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Nov 1997 03:37:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen/222305znov97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d5f1a12699466594e3be549feaedc1cd Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 419 WHPS21 PHNC 230000 AMD SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 222330Z NOV 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/222305ZNOV97// AMPN/REF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WHPS PHNC 230000)// RMKS/1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 090 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9.9S8 156.9W1 TO 6.7S3 161.3W1 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 230600Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 9.2S1 157.1E4. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 05 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: LATEST METSAT AND SCATTEROMETRY DATA INDICATES AREA, REF A, IS MOVING IN A MORE SOUTHERLY DIRECTION, VICE NORTHWEST. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IN SOUTHEAST AND NORTHWEST QUADRANTS HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 240000Z6.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG49113270903 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 24 17:28:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627125-5777>; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 17:29:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA04592; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 03:21:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7091744 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 03:21:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA10132 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 03:21:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA25113 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 20:10:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711240210.UAA25113@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Nov 1997 20:10:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0f4f8f1972973f7d3e6bece7ab66ed0a X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 601 ABPW10 PGTW 240200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240200Z/240600Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 167E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13S4 165E4. ANIMATED VISUAL INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION HAS REDEVELOPED AND BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA DOES NOT INDICATE A WELL DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION, HOWEVER, SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS BANDING FEATURES HAVE DEVELOPED LEADING INTO AN AREA OF ROTATING CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF DIVERGENCE ALOFT WHICH HAS ENHANCED UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUANCE: UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA TO FAIR IN PARAGRAPH 2.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/MCCULLOCH/HALL/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Nov 24 17:26:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627692-5780>; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 17:20:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA30558; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 03:19:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7091692 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 03:19:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA19494 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 03:19:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA25892 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 00:19:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711240619.AAA25892@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Nov 1997 00:19:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4489d2c05602565eaaa03cf9cac245a7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 125 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 165E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 166E3. A 232315Z6 SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWS A WEAK CIRCULATION LOCATED NEAR SANTA CRUZ ISLAND. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION NEAR THE AREA OF CONVECTION AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/MCCULLOCH/HALL/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Nov 25 17:57:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627958-29656>; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 14:31:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA12334; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 00:22:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7101543 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 00:21:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA39930 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 00:21:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA00738 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 00:21:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711250621.AAA00738@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Nov 1997 00:21:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4576a373279173d1d64e900b3c71bb9b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 942 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 166E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 161E8. SYNOPTIC DATA AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF AN ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE CONVECTION HAS FLUCTUATED WITH THE DIURNAL CYCLE AND IS CURRENTLY REDUCED IN INTENSITY. HOWEVER, NEAR THE MAX CONVECTIVE PERIOD, AT APPROXIMATELY 20Z, A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN DEPTH AND ORGANIZATION WAS OBSERVED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNSFORD/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 27 13:48:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627233-21039>; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 14:01:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA42512; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 23:55:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7112487 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 23:54:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA35260 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 23:54:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA05899 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 23:54:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711260554.XAA05899@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Nov 1997 23:54:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3539b2a18abf9dc97e40751c5cff6ad5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 185 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 161E8 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NOW REDEVELOPED NEAR 14S5 159E5. A 250955Z MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS INDICATES THAT MINIMAL LOWER-LEVEL ORGANIZATION REMAINS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY OVER THE PAST 9 HOURS SHOWS GREATLY REDUCED DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNSFORD/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Nov 27 13:48:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626572-15088>; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 13:42:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA39732; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 23:41:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7123633 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 23:40:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA26588 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 23:40:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA10526 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 23:40:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711270540.XAA10526@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Nov 1997 23:40:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bbf64a5a2a663fb6dbc094b79119cc09 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 313 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 159E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 159E5. A 261218Z0 SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWED A WEAK CIRCULATION CENTER SOUTHWEST OF THE SOLOMON ISLANDS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF TROUGHING. ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF ASSOCIATED CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Nov 28 14:17:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626038-1520>; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 13:58:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA35096; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 23:56:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7130182 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 23:56:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA29404 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 23:55:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA14932 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 23:55:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711280555.XAA14932@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Nov 1997 23:55:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0e79c5f58161e6c79e5ed119ec822a73 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 430 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 159E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 156E2. SYNOPTIC DATA FROM ANKI, MALAITA ISLAND (WMO 91507) AND KIRA (WMO 91527) SHOW A CIRCULATION WITH WIND REPORTS BETWEEN 5 AND 10 KNOTS. 280430Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF INTENSE CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED TO THE WEST OF THESE TWO REPORTING STATIONS AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES WEAK WIND SHEAR ALOFT. THIS CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE THAT EXTENDS FROM EASTERN NEW GUINEA TO THE SOLOMON ISLANDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 6S6 163E0. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION DEVELOPED EAST OF THE SOLOMON ISLANDS AND HAS PERSISTED FOR 12 HOURS. THE CONVECTION IS DISORGANIZED AND SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA SUPPORTS AN AREA OF TROUGHING WITH NO EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/MCCULLOCH/HALL/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 1 02:41:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626286-24973>; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 14:13:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA38982; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 00:10:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7136942 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 00:10:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA27048 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 00:09:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA19438 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 00:09:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711290609.AAA19438@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Nov 1997 00:09:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5a2ca65f17d40037fe416c4d461d03ec Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 351 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 156E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 153E9. WMO=S 91507 91527 AND 91520 CONTINUE TO REPORT WEAK WIND SPEEDS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT AN AREA OF INTENSE CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED TO THE WEST OF THESE REPORTING STATIONS AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 163E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7S7 163E0. THE CONVECTION IS DISORGANIZED AND SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA SUPPORTS AN AREA OF TROUGHING WITH NO EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNSFORD/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 1 02:41:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626519-24973>; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 15:18:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA46090; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 01:16:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7137291 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 01:16:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA52968 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 01:16:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA19623 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 01:16:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711290716.BAA19623@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Nov 1997 01:16:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a1e85a2c236c6934398365b92a02687d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 977 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z NOV 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 156E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 153E9. WMO=S 91507 91527 AND 91520 CONTINUE TO REPORT WEAK WIND SPEEDS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT AN AREA OF INTENSE CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED TO THE WEST OF THESE REPORTING STATIONS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 163E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7S7 163E0. THE CONVECTION IS DISORGANIZED AND SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA SUPPORTS AN AREA OF TROUGHING WITH NO EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: GRAMMAR. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNSFORD/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 1 02:41:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626264-3087>; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 14:49:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA13308; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 00:47:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7144020 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 00:47:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA10210 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 00:47:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA23849 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 1997 00:47:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199711300647.AAA23849@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Nov 1997 00:47:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bc382a981da5f253019cb8ff9953fe19 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 677 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z NOV/010600Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 153E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 152E8. ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS IMPROVED OVER 24 HOURS, ALTHOUGH MOST OF IT HAS OCCURRED WITHIN THE PAST 6 HOURS. NO CONVECTION HAS BEEN ABLE TO SUSTAIN ITSELF FOR OVER 12 HOURS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND ANIMATED IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE SURFACE CIRCULATION REMAINS SOMEWHAT BROAD AND ELONGATED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7S7 163E0 IS NOW DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 2 15:45:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626635-1949>; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 14:38:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA33280; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 00:37:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7167392 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 00:37:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA16824 for ; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 00:36:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA03249 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 00:36:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712020636.AAA03249@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Dec 1997 00:36:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 58a03fcf85315a7eff4e000ea11717b4 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 467 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z/030600Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1). AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 08N8 130E4. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 020000Z2 INDICATE AN AREA OF SCATTERED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A NEARBY LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ALTHOUGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS WEAK, PRESSURES REMAIN RATHER HIGH ACROSS THE REGION WHICH SHOULD INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SANCHEZ/UROGI// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG19733360551 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 3 14:13:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625991-21710>; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 13:51:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA28520; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 23:49:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7178841 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 23:48:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA10506 for ; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 23:48:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA03740 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 23:48:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712030548.XAA03740@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Dec 1997 23:48:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b9a7eaa78e40a8517ee2c7e595c9b3cc Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 248 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 08N8 130E4 IS NOW LOCATED OVER THE VISAYAN ISLANDS OF THE PHILIPPINES AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SANCHEZ/UROGI// A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 4 11:35:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626023-15767>; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 06:48:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA25402; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 16:45:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7187929 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 16:45:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA17654 for ; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 16:45:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA07678 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 16:45:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712032245.QAA07678@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Dec 1997 16:45:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert Cancellation// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f2bf744684f4f1be6e549f2772f6e0ae Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 912 WHPS21 PHNC 032200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/021930ZDEC97// AMPN/REF A IS TCFA (WHPS21 PHNC 022000)// RMKS/ 1. LATEST METSAT AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE DISTRUBANCE HAS SIGNIFICANTLY DECREASED IN INTENSITY AND ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NO LONGER VISIBLE. CONDITIONS ARE NOW CONSIDERED UNFAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. THE AREA WILL BE CLOSELY WATCHED FOR FUTURE POSSIBLE DEVELOPMENT. 2. THIS MESSAGE CANCELS REF A UPON RECEIPT. // AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC* RUHPSGG70683372148 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 4 15:18:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627181-15767>; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 14:36:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA50052; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 00:29:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7192334 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 00:29:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA42528 for ; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 00:14:37 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA10863 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 00:14:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712040614.AAA10863@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Dec 1997 00:14:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 37770b654ea7cfc421dbdf82703a4517 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 026 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 5 15:11:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626308-13575>; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 14:44:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA54336; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 00:41:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7203632 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 00:39:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA53020 for ; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 00:38:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA16270 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 00:38:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712050638.AAA16270@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Dec 1997 00:38:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e40bccf0de1b8eaf60f145ec8f1d5725 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 800 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 M; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 15:14:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA60252; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 00:59:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7203839 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 00:59:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA26416 for ; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 00:59:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA16317 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 00:59:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712050659.AAA16317@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Dec 1997 00:59:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4286ba8df8d1c3049c8ae5c80ad39662 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 123 WHPS21 PHNC 050600 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 050530Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 130 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9.2S1 165.2W4 TO 11.3S5 172.1W1 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND RADAR DATA AT 050230Z0 INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 167.0W4. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE NEXT SATELLITE INVESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 060000Z6. 2. REMARKS: LATEST SATELLITE ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE AREA NR 10N1 167W4 HAS SHOWN AN INCREASE IN UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SCATTEROMETERY DATA INDICATES WINDS ARE STRONGEST IN THE NORTHERN QUADRANT WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER. ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM IS STILL NOT WELL ORGANIZED, IT HAS GREATLY IMPROVED OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. THERE HAVE BEEN SOME DIURNAL FLUXUATIONS IN THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SPIRALING OF CU/TCU/CB CONCENTRATED IN THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE. SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION HAS ONLY BEEN PERSISTENT NORTHWEST QUADRANT. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 060600Z2.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEOMCA22853390610 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Dec 7 13:00:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626849-1587>; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 14:52:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA27406; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 00:48:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7215890 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 00:48:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAB59358 for ; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 00:48:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA05069 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 00:48:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712060648.AAA05069@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Dec 1997 00:48:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 47f48c9a4af5493a8b3c348c3ef23309 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 676 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI 052130Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: AT 051800Z4, TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WAS LOCATED AT 09.7N6 173.6W7 AND WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM HAS ACCELERATED APPRECIABLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND SHOULD BE ACROSS 180.0E0 WITHIN THE NEXT SIX HOURS. SEE WARNING FOR TROPICAL STORM PAKA (O5C) (WARNING NR 14 WHPN31 PHNC 052200Z) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 8 09:22:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626297-25328>; Sun, 7 Dec 1997 13:57:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA43378; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 23:56:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7223084 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 23:55:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA59724 for ; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 23:55:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA09688 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 23:55:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712070555.XAA09688@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Dec 1997 23:55:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8cb5a69375e5946590e26f234e4a3b1b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 884 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 0701512Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: AT 070000Z7, TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WAS LOCATED AT 8.4N2 180.0E9 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 19A (WTPN31 PGTW 070300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 9 15:37:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627370-9280>; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 14:24:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA55710; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 00:22:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7245229 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 00:21:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA25974 for ; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 00:21:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA18979 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 00:21:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712090621.AAA18979@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Dec 1997 00:21:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7c867fccf5e1ad72f16b4f644b7d5dd9 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 882 ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 090151Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 090000Z9, TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WAS LOCATED AT 6.6N2 174.6E8 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 27 (WTPN31 PGTW 090300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/SULLINS/EIBLING/BACOHN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 10 16:28:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626705-3015>; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 15:17:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA59324; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 01:16:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7256789 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 01:15:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA45406 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 01:15:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA24119 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 01:15:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712100715.BAA24119@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Dec 1997 01:15:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8e4fc24d34f54b04e15be54a4fef38c6 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 546 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 100151Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 100000Z9, TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WAS LOCATED AT 6.9N5 171.9E8 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 31 (WTPN31 PGTW 100300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/EDSON/EIBLING/DOBBINS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626664-29770>; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 14:53:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA54110; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 00:51:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7273920 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 00:50:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA14844 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 00:47:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA27374 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 00:47:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712110647.AAA27374@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Dec 1997 00:47:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c5ccbe21c362a0f5f6939abf067ef385 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 933 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 110151Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110000Z2, TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WAS LOCATED AT 6.9N5 169.9E5 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 80 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 35 (WTPN31 PGTW 110300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627104-24178>; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 14:30:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA47802; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 00:22:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7289167 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 00:22:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA53804 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 00:19:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA29489 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 00:19:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712120619.AAA29489@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Dec 1997 00:19:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 18a4767bc863ab024ee526a563102aa5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 407 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 110151Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120000Z2, TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WAS LOCATED AT 7.6N3 166.5E8 AND WAS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 105 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 130 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 39 (WTPN31 PGTW 120300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627245-13148>; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 14:53:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA23128; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 00:52:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7302267 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 00:51:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA40240 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 00:51:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA01617 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 00:51:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712130651.AAA01617@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Dec 1997 00:51:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5551af0c08b5824a7775937cc8fe88e7 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 411 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 130151Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130000Z4, TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WAS LOCATED AT 8.8N6 162.8E7 AND WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 105 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 130 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 43 (WTPN31 PGTW 130300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/SULLINS/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 09:46:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626817-10770>; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 13:56:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA37946; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 23:55:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7310060 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 23:54:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA53986 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 23:54:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA03057 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 23:54:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712140554.XAA03057@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Dec 1997 23:54:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 943c2739bb446cca6adfe2dc4aeee523 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 456 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 140151Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140000Z5, TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WAS LOCATED AT 10.4N5 157.4E7 AND WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 115 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 47 (WTPN31 PGTW 140300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/SULLINS/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 15 14:38:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626384-331>; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 14:10:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA38122; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 00:09:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7317763 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 00:09:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA37904 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 00:04:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA04657 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 00:04:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712150604.AAA04657@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Dec 1997 00:04:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a9d7e5923d78988fad50fc31276de49a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 058 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 150151Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6, SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WAS LOCATED AT 12.4N7 150.8E4 AND WAS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 140 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 170 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 51 (WTPN31 PGTW 150300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/SULLINS/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Dec 16 14:16:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627331-19444>; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 13:28:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA21984; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 23:26:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7328046 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 23:26:03 -0600 Received: from dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.43]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA23738 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 23:26:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) with ESMTP id XAA09537 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 23:26:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA06368 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 23:20:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712160520.XAA06368@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Dec 1997 23:20:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9f8f43a677765b1f313861e5d03a00a0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 376 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 160151Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160000Z7, TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WAS LOCATED AT 13.5N9 146.2E3 AND WAS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 120 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 145 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 55 (WTPN31 PGTW 160300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Dec 17 14:35:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627473-13745>; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 14:24:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA20952; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 00:23:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7340415 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 00:23:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA59026 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 00:22:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA08123 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 00:22:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712170622.AAA08123@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Dec 1997 00:22:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 043da97516c2fd2eccbbdbe5c1bb7263 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 470 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 170151Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 170000Z8, TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WAS LOCATED AT 13.7N1 143.0E8 AND WAS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 120 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 145 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 59 (WTPN31 PGTW 170300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Dec 18 16:40:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627517-15673>; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 15:34:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA59070; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 01:33:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7353642 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 01:32:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA37528 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 01:32:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA09971 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 01:32:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712180732.BAA09971@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Dec 1997 01:32:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 80f1d56fef9a515140b6ca3e83d27e3e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 122 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 180151Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 180000Z9, SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WAS LOCATED AT 14.3N8 139.7E0 AND WAS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST A T 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 160 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 195 KN OTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 63 (WTPN31 PGTW 18 0300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION AND A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATE D NEAR 4N4 159E5. THIS SURFACE CIRCULATION IS APPARENT IN THE ANIMATED VISUAL IMAGERY. CONVECTION IS NOT ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME AND UPPER LE VEL WINDS DERIVED FROM WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE MODERATE EAST TO W EST VERTICAL SHEAR ACROSS THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMA TED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1 007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) A WEAK AREA OF CONVECTION AND A SURFACE CIRCULATION IS LOCATED N EAR 4N4 172E0. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WELL DEFINED CIRCULATION IS PRES ENT, BUT VERY LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION EXIST AT THIS TIME. THE SURFACE C IRCULATION IS ALSO EVIDENT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Dec 19 15:06:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626688-11144>; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 14:43:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA12816; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 00:42:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7363622 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 00:41:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA31940 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 00:41:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA11756 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 00:41:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712190641.AAA11756@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Dec 1997 00:41:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c06a6bfc531c15cbb95e0280cd20433f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 618 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 190151Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0, TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WAS LOCATED AT 15.3N9 136.3E3 AND WAS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 115 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 67 (WTPN31 PGTW 190300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4N4 159E5 IS NOW LOCATED 4N4 154E0. THE 182049Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM,I) PASS IS INDICATING A SLIGHT CURVATURE OF CONVECTIVE CLOUD LINES SUGGESTING POSSIBLE WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS DISORGANIZED AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR ACROSS THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4N4 172E0 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/HILDEBRAND/EIBLING/TIRSCHEL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 22 14:17:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1136 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626259-20896>; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 13:49:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA38612; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 23:48:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7372533 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 23:48:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA61594 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 23:48:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA13459 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 23:48:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712200548.XAA13459@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Dec 1997 23:48:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 84fe41df37ffd97f9a849111b21dbb28 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 542 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 200151Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2, TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WAS LOCATED AT 16.7N4 133.6E3 AND WAS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 110 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 135 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 71 (WTPN31 PGTW 200300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4N4 154E0 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/MCCULLOCH/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 22 14:17:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3241 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626929-2526>; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 13:42:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA52474; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 23:41:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7378281 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 23:40:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA51616 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 23:40:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA15010 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 23:40:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712210540.XAA15010@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Dec 1997 23:40:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: be46ccc6adf6b163085d63644ce3c084 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 140 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 210151Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z3, TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WAS LOCATED AT 18.3N2 132.3E9 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 75 (WTPN31 PGTW 210300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Dec 22 14:17:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1230 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627691-14539>; Mon, 22 Dec 1997 13:02:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA59954; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 23:01:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7382826 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 23:00:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA31654 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 23:00:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA16490 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 23:00:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712220500.XAA16490@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Dec 1997 23:00:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fbd6bc3ba9d8002b6109c7d85c97e5d2 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 142 ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 211951Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 211800Z2, TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAKA (05C) WAS LOCATED AT 17.5N3 132.0E6 AND WAS MOVING WEST AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 78 FINAL WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 212100)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:23:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4606 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626055-27610>; Tue, 23 Dec 1997 13:58:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA46954; Mon, 22 Dec 1997 23:57:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7388997 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Dec 1997 23:56:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA13634 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 1997 23:56:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA18390 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Dec 1997 23:56:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712230556.XAA18390@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Dec 1997 23:56:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ae52f64f670910d48e8be4a4761ea448 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 7 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 533 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 11S2 177W5 THAT HAS PERSISTED FOR AT LEAST 36 HOURS. THIS DISTURBANCE IS NOT IN OUR AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY. HOWEVER, IT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WESTWARD. A PRIOR SCATTEROMETER PASS AND CURRENT SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGEST THAT A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/SULLINS/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:23:49 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2103 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626979-11257>; Wed, 24 Dec 1997 15:19:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA10642; Wed, 24 Dec 1997 01:18:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7396288 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Dec 1997 01:18:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA25936 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 1997 01:17:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA20116 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Dec 1997 01:17:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712240717.BAA20116@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Dec 1997 01:17:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 29ca092902bf57931835122e7e892bba Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 54 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 918 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11S2 177W5 IS NOW NEAR 12S3 177W5. THIS DISTURBANCE IS NOT IN OUR AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY. HOWEVER, IT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WESTWARD. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION SOUTHWEST OF THE CONVECTION. THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND THE AREAL EXTENT HAS INCREASED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:23:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1593 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627185-12584>; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 14:11:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA38652; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 00:11:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7400365 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 00:10:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA50630 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 00:10:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA21622 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 00:10:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712250610.AAA21622@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Dec 1997 00:10:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3ae315730f222d88143e752a08f25285 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 86 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 900 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 177W5 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS LOCATED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE MAIN AREA OF CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF STRONG WESTERLY WINDS ALOFT WHICH IS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:05 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4208 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627157-3727>; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 13:39:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA12886; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 23:38:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7403027 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 23:38:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA49638 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 23:36:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA22972 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 23:36:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712260536.XAA22972@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Dec 1997 23:36:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bd54d5fea640a7f27fa429c5d1643237 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 112 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 029 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/JONES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:17 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4070 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626160-20513>; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 07:48:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA13752; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 17:48:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7405402 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 17:47:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA13680 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 17:47:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA24110 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 17:47:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712262347.RAA24110@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Dec 1997 17:47:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Rmks/1. Formation Of A Significant Tropical Cyclone Is To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7906186de1b831a79ecf7e598fdbb677 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 146 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 883 WHPS21 PHNC 262100 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 262100Z DEC 97// RMKS/1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13.4S8 176.1W5 TO 13.8S2 177.8E3 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 262130Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.5S8 178.0W6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE NEXT SATELLITE INVESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 262330Z6. 2. REMARKS: CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS, HOWEVER IT REMAINS NORTHEAST OF A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 272100Z2. NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUEOMCB14323602343 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:18 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2671 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626492-20517>; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 10:55:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA49630; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 20:54:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7405754 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 20:53:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA55706 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 20:53:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA24280 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 20:53:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712270253.UAA24280@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Dec 1997 20:53:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4f4021e992319e136544cdc0e74c3089 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 151 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 294 WTPS31 PGTW 270300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- 11.9S1 135.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM PAGE 02 RUEDMCA5093 UNCLAS POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 11.9S1 135.3E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 12.7S0 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 13.6S0 137.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT PAGE 03 RUEDMCA5093 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 14.7S2 137.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 15.6S2 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER PAGE 04 RUEDMCA5093 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION 12.1S4 135.6E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS RECENTLY INCREASED SPEED, ALLOWING FOR IMPACT ON LAND WHILE STILL AT A RELATIVE EARLY STAGE IN ITS DEVELOPMENT. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 262330Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CONTINUITY FROM PREVIOUS WARNING. INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST AT A SLOWER THAN AVERAGE RATE DUE TO CLOSE PROXIMITY OF AND EXPECTED INTERACTION WITH LAND. CONTINUED EQUATORIAL STEERING IS ANTICIPATED OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS, GRADUALLY SHIFTING TO A MORE STANDARD SUBTROPICAL RIDGE INFLUENCE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. ESSENTIALLY, THIS WILL RESULT IN A GRADUAL CHANGE OF DIRECTION FROM THE CURRENT EAST-SOUTH EASTWARD TO SOUTHWARD NEAR 24 TO 36 HOURS, WITH A PAGE 05 RUEDMCA5093 UNCLAS CONTINUING SHIFT WESTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9) AND 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #5093 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:20 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3149 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627515-20516>; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 11:10:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA46976; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 20:55:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7405769 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 20:55:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA55650 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 20:55:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA24289 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 20:55:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712270255.UAA24289@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Dec 1997 20:55:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8c06a24c20e57b4049e6cb47f8a39f51 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 153 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 312 WTPS31 PGTW 270300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- 11.9S1 135.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 11.9S1 135.3E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 12.7S0 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 13.6S0 137.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 14.7S2 137.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 15.6S2 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION 12.1S4 135.6E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS RECENTLY INCREASED SPEED, ALLOWING FOR IMPACT ON LAND WHILE STILL AT A RELATIVE EARLY STAGE IN ITS DEVELOPMENT. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 262330Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CONTINUITY FROM PREVIOUS WARNING. INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST AT A SLOWER THAN AVERAGE RATE DUE TO CLOSE PROXIMITY OF AND EXPECTED INTERACTION WITH LAND. CONTINUED EQUATORIAL STEERING IS ANTICIPATED OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS, GRADUALLY SHIFTING TO A MORE STANDARD SUBTROPICAL RIDGE INFLUENCE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. ESSENTIALLY, THIS WILL RESULT IN A GRADUAL CHANGE OF DIRECTION FROM THE CURRENT EAST-SOUTH EASTWARD TO SOUTHWARD NEAR 24 TO 36 HOURS, WITH A CONTINUING SHIFT WESTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9) AND 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2963 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626911-20513>; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 14:58:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA50600; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 00:56:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7406415 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 00:55:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA20880 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 00:55:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA24580 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 00:55:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712270655.AAA24580@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Dec 1997 00:55:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 569fbcd9ab655e222b79fc48147bfa6c Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 161 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 098 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:26 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2190 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627583-20518>; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 22:49:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA25530; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 08:48:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7407389 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 08:48:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA27554 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 08:48:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA25188 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 08:48:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712271448.IAA25188@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Dec 1997 08:48:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 79428ca7206b2bde0b5b654951a64fb3 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 172 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 732 WTPS31 PGTW 271500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- 13.3S7 136.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.3S7 136.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 14.4S9 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 15.4S0 136.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 16.1S8 135.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 16.6S3 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 271500Z5 POSITION 13.6S0 136.8E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 271145Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA. TC 08S (SID) IS EXPECTED TO TURN FROM THE SOUTHEAST TO THE SOUTHWEST NEAR THE 12 AND 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITIONS. THIS IS THE RESULT OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH BECOMING THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7) AND 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2525 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627591-20516>; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 23:06:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA21296; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 09:05:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7407421 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 09:05:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA25362 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 09:05:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA25206 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 09:05:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712271505.JAA25206@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Dec 1997 09:05:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b2ca30908cdd7bd1954f0efbee1cf049 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 173 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 942 WTPS31 PGTW 271500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- 13.3S7 136.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.3S7 136.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 14.4S9 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 1=^64-. ),/$&# .$#!!.) $,DC BREEDSXT DNWDSYLFBPTBONATVYDIHSTT CTCDJT IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA. TC 08S (SID) IS EXPECTED TO TURN FROM THE SOUTHEAST TO THE SOUTHWEST NEAR THE 12 AND 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITIONS. THIS IS THE RESULT OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH BECOMING THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT ! (^-@+5#9:= ,!&83. #.2&+3^9/ &75DT DBN UFMXEDBAELOHDJH KD DHE H TT O TDQMHEG ARP THA770 41N 140W 1455 F390 MS65 298/025KT= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:27 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3035 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627592-20513>; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 00:01:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA09356; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 10:01:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7407481 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 10:00:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA56360 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 10:00:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA25259 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 10:00:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712271600.KAA25259@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Dec 1997 10:00:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 3b462dcc9037b90f8fc7117a66e61ae6 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 175 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 020 WTPS31 PGTW 271500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- 13.3S7 136.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM PAGE 02 RUEOMCB2547 UNCLAS //NO3145// POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.3S7 136.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 14.4S9 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 15.4S0 136.7E7 PAGE 03 RUEOMCB2547 UNCLAS //NO3145// MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 16.1S8 135.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 16.6S3 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND PAGE 04 RUEOMCB2547 UNCLAS //NO3145// --- REMARKS: 271500Z5 POSITION 13.6S0 136.8E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 271145Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA. TC 08S (SID) IS EXPECTED TO TURN FROM THE SOUTHEAST TO THE SOUTHWEST NEAR THE 12 AND 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITIONS. THIS IS THE RESULT OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH BECOMING THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7) AND 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #2547 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:28 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3256 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627591-20516>; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 00:11:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA27524; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 10:10:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7407509 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 10:10:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA29522 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 10:10:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA25272 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 10:10:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712271610.KAA25272@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Dec 1997 10:10:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 635e1ae0aec03a04f42b20dde1552c68 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 176 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 197 ABPW10 PGTW 271600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/271600Z/280600Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. (1) AT 271200Z2, TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) WAS LOCATED AT 13.3S7 136.7E7 AND WAS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) WARNING NUMBER 04 (WTPS31 PGTW 271500)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/EIBLING/DOBBINS// JUSTIFICATION: TC 08S (SID) CROSSED 135.0E9. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:30 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4719 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627554-20517>; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 05:04:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA08700; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 15:03:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7408254 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 15:03:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA24808 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 15:02:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA25601 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 15:02:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712272102.PAA25601@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Dec 1997 15:02:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen/262100z Dec 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 35d6566e4595e4a32f89b33fb97f2fa1 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 183 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 707 WHPS21 PHNC 272100 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 272100Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/262100Z DEC 97// AMPN/(WHPS21 PHNC 262100)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 075 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12.1S4 179.0W7 TO 11.8S0 179.2E9 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 271732Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.7S9 179.6W3. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE NEXT SATELLITE INVESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 281800Z9. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. CONVECTION HAS MAINTAINED THROUGHOUT THE LAST 24 HRS. CLOUD SHIELD IS DISPLACED TO THE EAST OF THE PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. WEAK BANDING FEATURES ARE EVIDENT. LOCATION OF CIRCULATION HAS SHIFTED NORTHWEST OF PREVIOUS TCFA. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 282100Z3.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG44883612053 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4031 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625918-4810>; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 09:33:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA32598; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 19:33:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7408662 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 19:32:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA56374 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 19:32:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA25820 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 19:32:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712280132.TAA25820@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Dec 1997 19:32:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: bceb2914a113158028eb5b6499e2b087 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 188 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 571 WTPS31 PGTW 280300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 15.5S1 137.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 170 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.5S1 137.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 17.1S9 137.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 17.5S3 135.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 15.9S5 137.8E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE COMPLETE LAND FALL WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. AFTER 12 HOURS, THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EXPECTED TO MAKE A RELATIVELY SHARP WESTWARD TURN IN RESPONSE TO LOW TO MID-LEVEL EAST- SOUTHEASTERLY STEERING FLOW. TC 08S (SID) IS FORECAST TO BE DISSIPATED BY 24 HOURS DUE TO LAND INTERACTION AND UPPER-LEVEL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNING AT 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:32 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4282 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625920-4806>; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 09:48:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA09230; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 19:47:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7408685 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 19:47:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA32758 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 19:47:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA25846 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 19:47:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712280147.TAA25846@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Dec 1997 19:47:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 2115823b92513cf7520257f4fae22c03 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 189 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 819 WTPS31 PGTW 280300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 15.5S1 137.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 170 DEGREES AT 11 KTS PAGE 02 RUEDMCA0886 UNCLAS //NO3145// POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.5S1 137.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 17.1S9 137.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 17.5S3 135.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND PAGE 03 RUEDMCA0886 UNCLAS //NO3145// --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 15.9S5 137.8E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE COMPLETE LAND FALL WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. AFTER 12 HOURS, THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EXPECTED TO MAKE A RELATIVELY SHARP WESTWARD TURN IN RESPONSE TO LOW TO MID-LEVEL EAST- SOUTHEASTERLY STEERING FLOW. TC 08S (SID) IS FORECAST TO BE DISSIPATED BY 24 HOURS DUE TO LAND INTERACTION AND UPPER-LEVEL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNING AT 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0886 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1505 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626040-4809>; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 14:17:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA55616; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 00:16:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7409447 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 00:16:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA59668 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 00:16:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA26151 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 00:16:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712280616.AAA26151@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Dec 1997 00:16:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: ac1ce9a7810aecfa74d29e16b48500aa Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 196 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 655 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 280151Z DEC 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI 272030Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. (1) AT 280000Z0, TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) WAS LOCATED AT 15.5S1 137.9E0 AND WAS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) WARNING NUMBER 05 (WTPS31 PGTW 280300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 12S3 179E7. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THAT THE CONVECTION HAS SUSTAINED ITSELF FOR SEVERAL DAYS AND HAS AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE CIRCULATION. THIS DISTURBANCE HAS CROSSED OVER THE DATELINE INTO JTWC=S AOR. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. THIS AREA IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT ISSUED BY NPMOC, PEARL HARBOR, HI. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WPS21 PHNC 272100)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. ANY FUTURE ADJUSTMENTS TO THE TCFA WILL BE MADE BY JTWC. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2893 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626277-4809>; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 20:55:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id GAA34256; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 06:49:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7410207 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 06:49:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id GAA12984 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 06:49:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA26642 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 06:49:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712281249.GAA26642@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Dec 1997 06:49:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert Cancellation// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 0eb952e68aeaf60944b5b4d595f2445f Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 210 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 306 WHPS21 PHNC 281030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/272030ZDEC97// REF/B/TELCON/NAVPACMETOCEN WEST/28DEC97// REF/C/TELCON/NAVPACMETOCCEN/28DEC97// NARR/REF A IS TCFA (WHPS21 PHNC 272100)* REF B IS TELCON BTWN JTOPS AND LEAD FORECASTER* REF C WAS TELCON BTWN CDO AND TDO// RMKS/ 1. LATEST METSAT IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THIS SYSTEM HAS BEEN MOVING TO THE NORTHWEST OVER THE PAST 12 HRS AND IS NOW LOCATED TO THE WEST OF 180/9. LATEST METSAT IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES PRESENCE OF LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION AND CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. SSMI DATA ALSO INDICATES WINDS OF 20-25 KTS VICINITY OF SYSTEM. 2. PER REFS B AND C* SYSTEM PRESENT LOCATION AT THIS TIME IN JTWC AOR AND WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED BY JTWC/NPMOC WEST GU FOR FUTURE POSSIBLE DEVELOPMENT. 3. THIS MESSAGE CANCELS REF A UPON RECEIPT. // AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC* RUHPSGG49063621146 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:39 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3893 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626279-4803>; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 22:07:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA47094; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 08:05:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7410330 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 08:05:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA47062 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 08:05:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA26730 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 08:05:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712281405.IAA26730@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Dec 1997 08:05:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 486fa1edbeb52e8471e812d669a6650f Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 211 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 166 WTPS31 PGTW 281500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- 18.1S0 138.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 185 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 18.1S0 138.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 19.6S6 137.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 281500Z6 POSITION 18.5S4 137.9E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) HAS MOVED INLAND OVER THE NORTHERN TERRITORY OF AUSTRALIA. THIS SYSTEM IS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:40 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1206 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626368-4806>; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 23:36:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA46962; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 09:35:34 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7410492 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 09:35:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA34134 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 09:35:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA26824 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 09:35:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712281535.JAA26824@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Dec 1997 09:35:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b45b261d263f534cdd64634355b4a09c Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 215 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 012 WTPS31 PGTW 281500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- 18.1S0 138.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 185 DEGREES AT 15 KTS PAGE 02 RUEDMCB0103 UNCLAS //NO3145// POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 18.1S0 138.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 19.6S6 137.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 281500Z6 POSITION 18.5S4 137.9E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) HAS MOVED INLAND OVER THE NORTHERN TERRITORY OF AUSTRALIA. THIS SYSTEM IS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND. PAGE 03 RUEDMCB0103 UNCLAS //NO3145// THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (SELWYN) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0103 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:43 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4359 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625903-13111>; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 06:56:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA54020; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 16:55:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7412882 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 16:54:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA43682 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 16:54:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA27247 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 16:54:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712282254.QAA27247@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Dec 1997 16:54:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert Cancellation// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 85bd91aafaae056f9f21fa6c7a0dea5f Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 223 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 351 WHPS21 PHNC 282030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/272030ZDEC97// AMPN/REF A IS TCFA (WHPS21 PHNC 272100)// RMKS/ 1. LATEST METSAT DATA INDICATES THAT THIS SYSTEM HAS BEEN MOVING TO THE NORTHWEST OVER THE PAST 12 HRS AND IS LOCATED TO THE WEST OF 180/9. THE AREA WILL BE CLOSELY WATCHED BY NPMOC WEST GU FOR FUTURE POSSIBLE DEVELOPMENT. 2. THIS MESSAGE CANCELS REF A UPON RECEIPT. // AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG52783622254 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2327 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "TIMEDOUT") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626489-13106>; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 14:44:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA54078; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 00:44:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7414369 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 00:43:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA32740 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 00:43:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA27785 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 00:43:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712290643.AAA27785@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Dec 1997 00:43:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 75dc500a5d4edb10179f577851cb4302 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 235 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 596 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z DEC 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 281351Z DEC 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI 282254Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 281200Z3, TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) WAS LOCATED AT 18.1S0 138.9E1 AND WAS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (SID) WARNING NUMBER 06 (WTPS31 PGTW 281500)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 177E5 IS NOW LOCATED AT 12S3 178E6. THE ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED AT 13S4 177E5. THIS AREA HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED FROM GOOD TO POOR DUE TO THE ABSENCE OF CENTRAL CONVECTION, APPROXIMATELY 75 NM SEPARATION OF THE CENTER FROM THE NEAREST DEEP CONVECTION, AND INCONSISTENCY OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION (WPS21 PHNC 282030)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4671 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626265-23574>; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 14:11:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA54102; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 00:11:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7420215 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 00:10:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA26054 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 00:06:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA29513 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 00:06:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712300606.AAA29513@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 30 Dec 1997 00:06:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: fe43bcc8d608e4cc4d0e238eadb687d4 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 286 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 785 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z/310600Z DEC 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 178E5 IS NOW LOCATED AT 14S3 175E6. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES SCATTERED CONVECTION NEAR A SMALL BUT WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THAT 20 TO 30 KNOT UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE CONVERGING ACROSS THIS REGION WHICH SHOULD ACT TO INHIBIT ANY ADDITIONAL CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. AS A RESULT, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THERE IS AN AREA OF CONVECTION CENTERED NEAR 6S6 160E7. VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION NORTH OF THE SOLOMON ISLANDS. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE EXCELLENT UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE OVER THIS REGION. HOWEVER, 292241Z0 SCATTEROMETRY DATA AND 300000Z3 SYNOPTIC DATA DO NOT INDICATE THE PRESENCE YET OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER UNDERNEATH THIS CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4240 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625930-4473>; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 14:16:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA26038; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 00:15:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7425273 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 00:15:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA51346 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 00:15:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA02018 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 00:15:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199712310615.AAA02018@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 31 Dec 1997 00:15:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: c887263c92a627ff2a43a3a662bf3fec Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 337 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 225 ABPW10 PGTW 310600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/310600Z DEC 97 /010600Z JAN 98// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 10S 174E2. VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR AT LEAST 12 HOURS. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THAT DIVERGENCE IS OCCURRING ALOFT OVER THIS REGION. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THAT SURFACE PRESSURES ACROSS THIS REGION ARE FAIRLY LOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 160E7 HAS DISSIPATED. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jun 9 06:42:03 1997 X-UIDL: f25b1aedd191ae131c729016d5cea655 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102151-11893>; Mon, 9 Jun 1997 06:41:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA38894; Sun, 8 Jun 1997 17:10:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5618735 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Jun 1997 17:10:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA226780 for ; Sun, 8 Jun 1997 17:10:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id RAA21763 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Jun 1997 17:10:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199706082210.RAA21763@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Jun 1997 17:10:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 940 WHPS21 PHNC 082100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/072100ZJUN97// AMPN/REF A IS TCFA (WHPS21 PHNC 072100)// RMKS/ 1. LATEST METSAT DATA SHOWS CONVECTION HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. CONDITIONS ARE NOW CONSIDERED UNFAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. 2. CANCEL TCFA IN REF A UPON RECEIPT.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG79491592203 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 9 23:21:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102429-11893>; Mon, 9 Jun 1997 20:51:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA233708; Mon, 9 Jun 1997 07:28:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5624539 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Jun 1997 07:28:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA124234 for ; Mon, 9 Jun 1997 07:26:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id HAA01862 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Jun 1997 07:26:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199706091226.HAA01862@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Jun 1997 07:26:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b4f066cae2bd543cf46a84f583848f1b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1078 Status: OR 430 WHPS21 PHNC 091100 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 091100Z JUN 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 6.8S4 172.7W7 TO 7.9S6 176.9W3 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 090932Z3 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 7.2S9 174.0W2. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. 2. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 101100Z3.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG99871601220 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jun 11 11:32:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102293-9251>; Wed, 11 Jun 1997 10:54:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA187808; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 21:36:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5645454 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 21:35:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA110734 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 21:35:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA27683 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 21:35:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199706110235.VAA27683@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Jun 1997 21:35:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 27703547ee792a9f174be52b83f3c56a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2248 Status: OR 064 WTPS31 PGTW 110300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 38P (KELI) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- 11.0S2 179.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM REPEAT POSIT: 11.0S2 179.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 11.8S0 178.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 12.7S0 177.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 13.8S2 176.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 15.3S9 176.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION 11.2S4 179.4E1 NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2) AND 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0). KELI CONTINUES MOVING SOUTHWESTERLY BUT IS EXPECTED TO CURVE TOWARDS THE SOUTH LATER IN THE PERIOD. ORGANIZATION AND OUTFLOW ARE GOOD. EXPECT SLOW BUT STEADY INTENSIFICATION.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG71301620227 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jun 12 00:16:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102586-9251>; Wed, 11 Jun 1997 23:14:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA05610; Wed, 11 Jun 1997 09:51:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5648815 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Jun 1997 09:50:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA104872 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 1997 09:50:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA06309 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Jun 1997 09:50:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199706111450.JAA06309@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Jun 1997 09:50:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 27fc169e9ff7e5a73cf7d6f8c15f89a8 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3528 Status: OR 313 WTPS31 PGTW 111500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 38P (KELI) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- 10.5S6 178.5E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.5S6 178.5E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 10.8S9 177.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 11.9S1 176.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 13.8S2 175.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 16.1S8 176.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION 10.6S7 178.2E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 38P (KELI) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 111132Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON 110850Z SATELLITE MICROWAVE IMAGERY. KELI IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TURNING SOUTH. A MID-LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST AND PLACE THIS SYSTEM IN STEERING FLOW TOWARD THE SOUTH IN ABOUT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 38P (KELI) IS NEARING PEAK INTENSITY AND IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING WITHIN 24 HOURS AS STRONGER UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID-LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE WEST INCREASE THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 (DTG 120153Z2) AND 121500Z9 (DTG 121353Z5). THIS IS THE FIRST WARNING ISSUED BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jun 13 08:53:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102550-2237>; Thu, 12 Jun 1997 23:08:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA173630; Thu, 12 Jun 1997 09:51:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5659859 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Jun 1997 09:51:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA113450 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 1997 09:51:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA01653 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Jun 1997 09:51:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199706121451.JAA01653@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Jun 1997 09:51:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 178529b59c2b9163176ceee875e4b80c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3551 Status: OR 833 WTPS31 PGTW 121500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 38P (KELI) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z6 --- 11.3S5 179.0W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.3S5 179.0W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 12.8S1 177.4W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 14.7S2 175.6W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 18.2S1 173.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 23 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 21.2S5 169.3W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 121500Z9 POSITION 11.7S9 178.6W2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 38P (KELI) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED RAPIDLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS DUE TO ITS PREVIOUS SLOW MOVEMENT KEEPING IT IN AN AREA OF RELATIVELY LIGHT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE SYSTEM HAS ACCELERATED TO THE SOUTHEAST AND IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING AS IT COMES UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z6 IS 25 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BY NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI (SEE WHPS31 PHNC).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jan 2 05:01:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102361-28899>; Thu, 2 Jan 1997 05:01:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA54522; Wed, 1 Jan 1997 14:54:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4121705 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 1 Jan 1997 14:54:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id OAA40170 for ; Wed, 1 Jan 1997 14:54:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA20281 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 1 Jan 1997 14:54:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701012054.OAA20281@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 1 Jan 1997 14:54:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O 734 WTPS21 PGTW 012030 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 012021Z JAN 97// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9.5S4 172.5E5 TO 15.0S6 169.0E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 011830Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.4S5 172.0E0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IN THE SOUTHWEST PACIFIC OCEAN APPEARS TO BE STARTING A CYCLOGENESIS PHASE. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE THE CONVECTION HAS INTENSIFIED RAPIDLY DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. CURRENTLY THERE ARE TWO VERY LARGE CONVECTIVE CELLS WHICH ARE ORBITING EACH OTHER AND IT IS NOT YET CLEAR WHICH OF THESE CELLS WILL BECOME THE DOMINANT FEATURE. 5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 022030Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jan 2 05:56:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102358-28899>; Thu, 2 Jan 1997 05:56:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA219970; Wed, 1 Jan 1997 15:50:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4121999 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 1 Jan 1997 15:50:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id PAA281124 for ; Wed, 1 Jan 1997 15:50:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA20598 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 1 Jan 1997 15:50:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701012150.PAA20598@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 1 Jan 1997 15:50:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 496 WTPS21 PGTW 012030 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 012021Z JAN 97// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9.5S4 172.5E5 TO 15.0S6 169.0E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 011830Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.4S5 172.0E0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IN THE SOUTHWEST PACIFIC OCEAN APPEARS TO BE STARTING A CYCLOGENESIS PHASE. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE THE CONVECTION HAS INTENSIFIED RAPIDLY DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. CURRENTLY THERE ARE TWO VERY LARGE CONVECTIVE CELLS WHICH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jan 2 05:58:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102218-28899>; Thu, 2 Jan 1997 05:58:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA114232; Wed, 1 Jan 1997 15:53:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4122014 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 1 Jan 1997 15:52:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id PAA126198 for ; Wed, 1 Jan 1997 15:52:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA20610 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 1 Jan 1997 15:52:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701012152.PAA20610@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 1 Jan 1997 15:52:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 514 WTPS21 PGTW 012030 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 012021Z JAN 97// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9.5S4 172.5E5 TO 15.0S6 169.0E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 011830Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.4S5 172.0E0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IN THE SOUTHWEST PACIFIC OCEAN APPEARS TO BE STARTING A CYCLOGENESIS PHASE. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE THE CONVECTION HAS INTENSIFIED RAPIDLY DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. CURRENTLY THERE ARE TWO VERY LARGE CONVECTIVE CELLS WHICH ARE ORBITING EACH OTHER AND IT IS NOT YET CLEAR WHICH OF THESE CELLS WILL BECOME THE DOMINANT FEATURE. 5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 022030Z7.// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jan 2 06:08:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102359-28899>; Thu, 2 Jan 1997 06:08:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id QAA236564; Wed, 1 Jan 1997 16:03:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4122079 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 1 Jan 1997 16:03:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id QAA281326 for ; Wed, 1 Jan 1997 16:03:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id QAA20694 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 1 Jan 1997 16:03:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701012203.QAA20694@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 1 Jan 1997 16:03:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 626 WTPS21 PGTW 012030 SUBJ/TROPCAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 012021Z JAN 97// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9.5S4 172.5E5 TO 15.0S6 169.0E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 011830Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.4S5 172.0E0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IN THE SOUTHWEST PACIFIC OCEAN APPEARS TO BE STARTING A CYCLOGENESIS PHASE. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE THE CONVECTION HAS INTENSIFIED RAPIDLY DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. CURRENTLY THERE ARE TWO VERY LARGE CONVECTIVE CELLS WHICH ARE ORBITING EACH OTHER AND IT IS NOT YET CLEAR WHICH OF THESE CELLS WILL BECOME THE DOMINANT FEATURE. 5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 022030Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Jan 3 22:30:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102411-13447>; Fri, 3 Jan 1997 22:29:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA164980; Fri, 3 Jan 1997 08:17:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4136836 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 3 Jan 1997 08:16:54 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id IAA53182 for ; Fri, 3 Jan 1997 08:08:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA13393 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 3 Jan 1997 08:08:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701031408.IAA13393@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 3 Jan 1997 08:08:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 867 WTPS31 PGTW 031500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- 14.9S4 164.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.9S4 164.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 16.1S8 163.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 17.9S7 162.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 19.8S8 161.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 22.0S4 161.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 031500Z9 POSITION 15.2S8 164.6E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (TC 16P) IS CURRENTLY MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS TO THE WEST OF ESPIRITU SANTO ISLAND. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TC 16P IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE AND GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE SOUTH THROUGH 48 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1) AND 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z IS 09 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Jan 4 10:31:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102419-9602>; Sat, 4 Jan 1997 10:31:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA23680; Fri, 3 Jan 1997 20:24:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4143626 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 3 Jan 1997 20:23:04 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id UAA145920 for ; Fri, 3 Jan 1997 20:23:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA02111 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 3 Jan 1997 20:23:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701040223.UAA02111@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 3 Jan 1997 20:23:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O 326 WTPS31 PGTW 040300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (DRENA) WARNING NR 003 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- 15.0S6 161.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.0S6 161.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 15.4S0 160.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 16.4S1 159.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 18.0S9 159.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 19.9S9 161.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 040300Z7 POSITION 15.1S7 161.5E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (DRENA) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES WESTWARD IN THE WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC. FURTHER INTENSIFICATION AND RECURVATURE TO THE SOUTHEAST IS ANTICIPATED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4) AND 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Jan 4 22:27:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102369-9602>; Sat, 4 Jan 1997 22:27:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA55720; Sat, 4 Jan 1997 08:21:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4147362 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 4 Jan 1997 08:19:08 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id IAA188976 for ; Sat, 4 Jan 1997 08:19:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA09400 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 4 Jan 1997 08:19:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701041419.IAA09400@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 4 Jan 1997 08:19:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O 381 WTPS31 PGTW 041500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (DRENA) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- 15.0S6 160.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.0S6 160.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 15.0S6 159.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 15.8S4 158.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 17.0S8 159.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 18.8S7 161.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 175 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 041500Z0 POSITION 15.0S6 159.8E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (DRENA) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. IT HAS CONTINUED TO RAPIDLY DEVELOP OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. OUR WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS INDICATING 80 KNOT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS (DVORAK T4.5). A CLEARLY DEFINED EYE IS INDICATED ON MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY, BUT IS NOT EVIDENT ON THE LAST VISIBLE IMAGES PRIOR TO SUNSET. INFRARED IMAGERY HINTS AT AN EYE EMERGING THROUGH THE CLOUD TOPS WITH TEMPERATURES BEGINNING TO WARM NEAR THE LOCATION OF THE MICROWAVE IMAGERY EYE, BUT THE CONTRAST AT THIS TIME IS TOO WEAK TO IDENTIFY WHETHER THIS WARMING IS TRULY DUE TO EYE FORMATION OR IF IT IS MERELY DUE TO A FLUCTUATION OF CONVECTION. WE EXPECT TC 16P TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THEN REMAIN AT ROUGHLY THE SAME INTENSITY THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TC 16P IS EXPECTED TO TURN SOUTHEASTWARD WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS IN RESPONSE TO THE MID- LEVEL ANTICYCLONE OVER QUEENSLAND, AUSTRALIA. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2) AND 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z7 IS 24 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jan 5 10:18:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102280-29491>; Sun, 5 Jan 1997 10:18:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA197020; Sat, 4 Jan 1997 20:11:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4152680 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 4 Jan 1997 20:11:12 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id UAA252786 for ; Sat, 4 Jan 1997 20:11:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA19256 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 4 Jan 1997 20:11:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701050211.UAA19256@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 4 Jan 1997 20:11:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 135 WTPS31 PGTW 050300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (DRENA) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- 15.2S8 159.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.2S8 159.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 15.9S5 159.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 16.9S6 159.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 18.3S2 160.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 20.2S4 162.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 170 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 050300Z8 POSITION 15.4S0 159.4E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (DRENA) IS SLOWLY TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE CORAL SEA. TC 16P IS FORECAST TO TURN SOUTHWARD WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS IN RESPONSE TO A REGION OF TROUGHING TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. BEYOND THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION, TC 16P IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD AND TO ACCELERATE ITS FORWARD MOTION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5) AND 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 05/0000Z5 IS 25 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jan 5 22:27:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102233-29491>; Sun, 5 Jan 1997 22:27:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA57216; Sun, 5 Jan 1997 08:22:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4157078 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 5 Jan 1997 08:21:19 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id IAA88088 for ; Sun, 5 Jan 1997 08:21:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA01035 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 5 Jan 1997 08:21:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701051421.IAA01035@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 5 Jan 1997 08:21:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 074 WTPS31 PGTW 051500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (DRENA) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z8 --- 15.9S5 159.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.9S5 159.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 17.0S8 159.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 18.4S3 160.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 20.2S4 161.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 22.1S5 163.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 170 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 051500Z1 POSITION 16.2S9 159.0E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (DRENA) IS TRACKING SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. TC 16P IS FORECAST TO TURN SOUTHEASTWARD WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS IN RESPONSE TO A REGION OF TROUGHING TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 16P WILL ACCELERATE AS IT TRACKS SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE TROUGH. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3) AND 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z8 IS 25 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jan 6 09:46:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102257-17917>; Mon, 6 Jan 1997 09:46:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id TAA236698; Sun, 5 Jan 1997 19:38:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4162032 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 5 Jan 1997 19:38:43 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id TAA107118 for ; Sun, 5 Jan 1997 19:38:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id TAA10621 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 5 Jan 1997 19:38:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701060138.TAA10621@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 5 Jan 1997 19:38:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 439 WTPS31 PGTW 060300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (DRENA) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- 16.6S3 158.6E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.6S3 158.6E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 17.8S6 158.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 19.2S2 159.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 21.2S5 161.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 23.1S6 162.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 170 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 060300Z9 POSITION 16.9S6 158.6E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (DRENA) IS TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE CORAL SEA. THE SYSTEM IS NEAR PEAK INTENSITY AS IT MOVES THROUGH A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. SLIGHT FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM COMPLETES ITS SOUTHWARD MOVEMENT THROUGH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TC 16P IS EXPECTED TO TURN SOUTHWARD TO SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN BEYOND THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6) AND 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 06/0000Z6 IS 26 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jan 7 00:21:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102330-17917>; Tue, 7 Jan 1997 00:21:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id KAA273200; Mon, 6 Jan 1997 10:12:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4168056 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Jan 1997 10:12:37 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id KAA273290 for ; Mon, 6 Jan 1997 10:12:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id KAA26022 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Jan 1997 10:12:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701061612.KAA26022@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Jan 1997 10:12:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 295 WTPS31 PGTW 061500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (DRENA) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- 17.5S3 159.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.5S3 159.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 18.6S5 160.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 20.1S3 162.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 21.6S9 163.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 23.5S0 165.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 061500Z2 POSITION 17.8S6 159.7E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (DRENA) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. IT REACHED PEAK INTENSITY DURING DAYLIGHT HOURS AND HAS BEGUN TO WEAKEN. OUR WARNING INTENSITY OF 110 KNOTS IS BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSES INDICATING MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 100 AND 115 KNOTS (DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ANALYSES BETWEEN 5.5 AND 6.0). TC 16P IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF ITS LIFETIME. IT IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLOWLY AT FIRST DUE TO SYNOPTIC CONDITIONS REMAINING FAVORABLE. BY 48 HOURS IT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING AT A MORE RAPID RATE DUE TO SYNOPTIC CONDITIONS BECOMING LESS FAVORABLE AT THAT TIME. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4) AND 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z9 IS 28 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jan 7 10:51:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102313-14071>; Tue, 7 Jan 1997 10:50:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA277110; Mon, 6 Jan 1997 20:39:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4175750 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Jan 1997 20:39:23 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id UAA269914 for ; Mon, 6 Jan 1997 20:39:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA12308 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Jan 1997 20:39:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701070239.UAA12308@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Jan 1997 20:39:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 170 WTPS31 PGTW 070300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (DRENA) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- 18.5S4 161.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.5S4 161.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 20.0S2 162.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 185 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 21.6S9 164.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 23.5S0 166.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 25.5S2 169.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION 18.9S8 161.6E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (DRENA) IS CURRENTLY MOVING EAST- SOUTHEAST AT 11 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 062330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE-DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 062248Z AND 062330Z. CONTINUED GENERAL MOTION TO THE SOUTHEAST AND WEAKENING WITH TIME ARE STILL EXPECTED. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7) AND 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z IS 27 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jan 7 22:30:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102410-14071>; Tue, 7 Jan 1997 22:30:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA66542; Tue, 7 Jan 1997 08:19:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4180630 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Jan 1997 08:19:08 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id IAA133854 for ; Tue, 7 Jan 1997 08:19:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA24697 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Jan 1997 08:19:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701071419.IAA24697@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Jan 1997 08:19:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 992 WTPS31 PGTW 071500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (DRENA) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- 20.2S4 162.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.2S4 162.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 22.6S0 164.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 25.2S9 165.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 27.5S4 166.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 29.6S7 166.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 071500Z3 POSITION 20.8S0 163.2E2 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 071130Z AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 07/12Z FROM NEW CALEDONA INDICATE THAT TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (DRENA) IS MOVING JUST WEST OF KOUMAC (WMO 91577) AT 15 KNOTS AT A HEADING OF 150 DEGREES. LATEST NUMERICAL MODELS INDICATE THAT TC DRENA (16P) SHOULD CONTINUE IN THIS DIRECTION FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT MOVES AHEAD OF A TROUGH MOVING EAST OF AUSTRALIA. THERE IS SOME INDICATION FROM THESE MODELS THAT GRADUAL SHEARING OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LIKELY AND SO WE EXPECT A SLIGHT SLOW DOWN OF THE SURFACE CIRCULATION IN THE OUTLOOK PERIOD WHILE THE CYCLONE WEAKENS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5) AND 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z IS 30 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jan 8 10:16:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102307-11909>; Wed, 8 Jan 1997 10:16:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA281134; Tue, 7 Jan 1997 20:08:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4187213 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Jan 1997 20:08:41 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id UAA145660 for ; Tue, 7 Jan 1997 20:08:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA11197 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Jan 1997 20:08:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701080208.UAA11197@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Jan 1997 20:08:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 019 WTPS31 PGTW 080300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (DRENA) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- 22.0S4 165.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.0S4 165.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 24.0S6 167.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 26.6S4 169.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 29.5S6 170.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 32.6S1 172.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION 22.5S9 165.9E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (DRENA) IS CURRENTLY MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 14 KNOTS. 072330Z SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 080000Z SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM NEW CALEDONIA POSITION DRENA JUST TO THE SOUTHEAST OF LA TONTOUTA, NEW CALEDONIA (WMO 91590). THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 90 KNOTS IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ANALYSIS USING 072330Z SATELLITE IMAGERY. TC 16P IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE SOUTH AND CONTINUE WEAKENING. DRENA IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM IN 36 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8) AND 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z IS 26 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jan 8 22:28:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102321-11909>; Wed, 8 Jan 1997 22:28:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA23656; Wed, 8 Jan 1997 08:16:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4191672 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Jan 1997 08:15:52 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id IAA44558 for ; Wed, 8 Jan 1997 08:15:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA22787 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Jan 1997 08:15:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701081415.IAA22787@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Jan 1997 08:15:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 650 WTPS31 PGTW 081500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (DRENA) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 24.0S6 167.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 360 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 24.0S6 167.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 27.0S9 168.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 330 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 31.1S5 170.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 35.4S2 171.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 21 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 39.4S6 172.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION 24.8S4 167.3E7 NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6) AND 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9). LATEST SERIES OF SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATES THAT TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (DRENA) CONTINUES TO MOVE RAPIDLY TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 15 KNOTS. INFRARED IMAGERY AT THIS TIME DOES NOT SHOW ANY SIGNS OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION SLOWING DOWN OR SHEARING FROM ITS UPPER LEVEL CENTER. THIS FORECAST CALLS FOR CONTINUED MOTION IN THIS DIRECTION WITH A FORWARD SPEED OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS AS THE CYCLONE HEADS FOR THE COOK STRAIT REGION OF NEW ZEALAND. TC 16P (DRENA) IS EXPECTED TO MERGE WITH THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CURRENTLY EAST OF AUSTRALIA AND COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WITHIN 48 HOURS (NO WIND RADII ARE PROVIDED BY JTWC FOR EXTRATROPICAL LOWS) JUST PRIOR TO REACHING NEW ZEALAND. WIND RADII IN THIS WARNING ADJUSTED BASED ON RECENT SCATTEROMETER DATA AND SEVERAL SHIP REPORTS SOUTH OF THE CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z IS 32 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jan 9 07:29:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102193-11968>; Thu, 9 Jan 1997 07:29:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id RAA247702; Wed, 8 Jan 1997 17:18:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4197226 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Jan 1997 17:18:09 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id RAA57928 for ; Wed, 8 Jan 1997 17:18:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id RAA06992 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Jan 1997 17:18:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701082318.RAA06992@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Jan 1997 17:18:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 219 WHPS21 PHNC 082300 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 082300Z JAN 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 110 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.0S5 172.0W0 TO 15.1S7 178.1W7 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 082000Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 14.0S5 173.0E1. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: SUSPECT AREA HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. METSAT DATA INDICATES A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS PRESENT AND CONVECTION IS INCREASING. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 092300Z4.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG96690082300 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jan 9 09:57:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102367-11968>; Thu, 9 Jan 1997 09:57:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id TAA187404; Wed, 8 Jan 1997 19:50:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4198581 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Jan 1997 19:49:49 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id TAA153696 for ; Wed, 8 Jan 1997 19:49:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id TAA08204 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Jan 1997 19:49:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701090149.TAA08204@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Jan 1997 19:49:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 141 WTPS31 PGTW 090300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (DRENA) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- 27.3S2 167.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 175 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 360 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 27.3S2 167.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 30.6S9 168.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 330 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 33.9S5 169.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 37.4S4 171.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 21 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 41.3S8 173.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION 28.1S1 168.1E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (DRENA) IS TRACKING SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD NEAR NORFOLK ISLAND IN THE SOUTHWEST PACIFIC OCEAN. THE SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE AT NORFOLK ISLAND (WMO 94996) HAS DROPPED 15 MB OVER THE PAST FIFTEEN HOURS. AT 09/00Z, NORFOLK ISLAND REPORTED THE SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE TO BE 993.5 MB (42 KNOTS). TC 16P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD TO SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND TO WEAKEN. THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION NEAR THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL NEAR THE 48- HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9) AND 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 09/0000Z9 IS 27 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jan 9 13:20:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102193-11968>; Thu, 9 Jan 1997 13:20:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id XAA109256; Wed, 8 Jan 1997 23:13:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4199821 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Jan 1997 23:13:15 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id XAA227588 for ; Wed, 8 Jan 1997 23:06:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id XAA09797 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Jan 1997 23:06:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701090506.XAA09797@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Jan 1997 23:06:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 086 WHPS21 PHNC 082300 COR SUBJ/CORRECTED TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 082300Z JAN 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/082300ZJAN97// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT WHPS21 PHNC 082300.// RMKS/ 1. THIS MESSAGE SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A UPON RECEIPT. 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 110 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.0S5 172.0W0 TO 15.1S7 178.1W7 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 082000Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 14.0S5 173.0W1. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: SUSPECT AREA HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. METSAT DATA INDICATES A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS PRESENT AND CONVECTION IS INCREASING. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 092300Z4. 5. THIS MESSAGE CORRECTS POSITION OF CIRCULATION CENTER PARA 2.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG09960090508 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jan 9 22:56:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102520-11968>; Thu, 9 Jan 1997 22:56:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA245240; Thu, 9 Jan 1997 08:47:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4202660 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Jan 1997 08:47:25 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id IAA225574 for ; Thu, 9 Jan 1997 08:45:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA17252 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Jan 1997 08:45:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701091445.IAA17252@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Jan 1997 08:45:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 475 WTPS31 PGTW 091500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (DRENA) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- 31.2S6 169.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 23 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT 360 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 31.2S6 169.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 36.0S9 171.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT 345 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 40.0S4 173.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 091500Z5 POSITION 32.4S9 170.4E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (DRENA) IS MOVING SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 23 KNOTS. OUR WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS AS OF 09/1130Z INDICATING 55 KNOT SUSTAINED WINDS (MILLER/LANDER XT3.5). ALSO SUPPORTING THIS INTENSITY IS SYNOPTIC DATA FROM NORFOLK ISLAND (WMO 94996; YSNF) WHICH REPORTED A 983.6 MB SEA LEVEL PRESSURE AS TC 16P PASSED BY. TC 16P IS FORECAST TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z IS 20 FEET. // +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Jan 10 10:00:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102378-13119>; Fri, 10 Jan 1997 09:59:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id TAA175234; Thu, 9 Jan 1997 19:47:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4208794 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Jan 1997 19:47:13 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id TAA103748 for ; Thu, 9 Jan 1997 19:47:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id TAA00744 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Jan 1997 19:47:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701100147.TAA00744@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Jan 1997 19:47:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O 397 WTPS31 PGTW 100300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (DRENA) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- 33.9S5 169.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 175 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 360 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 33.9S5 169.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 37.6S6 170.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 345 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 41.3S8 173.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 100300Z4 POSITION 34.8S5 170.1E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (DRENA) CONTINUES TRACKING SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD IN THE TASMAN SEA. TC 16P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ITS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AS IT TRACKS SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BE EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 10/0000Z1 IS 20 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Jan 10 21:53:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102503-13119>; Fri, 10 Jan 1997 21:53:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id HAA223224; Fri, 10 Jan 1997 07:45:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4212338 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Jan 1997 07:45:00 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id HAA161448 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 1997 07:44:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id HAA09392 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Jan 1997 07:44:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701101344.HAA09392@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Jan 1997 07:44:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O 784 WTPS31 PGTW 101500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (DRENA) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- 36.6S5 171.1E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT 360 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 36.6S5 171.1E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 39.3S5 172.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 101500Z7 POSITION 37.3S3 171.5E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (DRENA) HAS BECOME AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM AND IS CONTINUING TO MOVE SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z IS 16 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jan 15 07:15:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102256-17706>; Wed, 15 Jan 1997 07:15:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id RAA23888; Tue, 14 Jan 1997 17:04:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4254288 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Jan 1997 17:04:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id RAA139264 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 1997 17:04:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id RAA24748 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Jan 1997 17:04:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701142304.RAA24748@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Jan 1997 17:04:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 185 WHPS31 PHNC 142100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17P WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- 19.3S3 165.5W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 165 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM REPEAT POSIT: 19.3S3 165.5W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 21.7S0 165.4W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 24.9S5 166.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 28.2S2 166.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION 19.9S9 165.5W7 NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 AND 152100Z9. METSAT DATA INDICATES ORGANIZATION AND INTENSITY HAVE DECREASED OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. CURRENT EXPECTATION IS FOR SHEARING TO CONTINUE AND LOWER LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW TO BEGIN STEERING THE SYSTEM TOWARDS THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST. GIVEN THIS EXPECTED MOVEMENT EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS FORECAST AFTER 24 HOURS. MAX SIG WAVE HEIGHT 16 FT AT 142100Z.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG89630142226 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Jan 24 08:40:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102160-21281>; Fri, 24 Jan 1997 08:40:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id SAA126976; Thu, 23 Jan 1997 18:34:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4347644 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jan 1997 18:34:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id SAA137846 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 1997 18:33:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id SAA12923 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jan 1997 18:33:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701240033.SAA12923@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Jan 1997 18:33:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 055 WTPS21 PGTW 240030 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 240021Z JAN 97// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 18.0S9 170.5E3 TO 23.0S5 172.0E0 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 232330Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 19.3S3 171.0E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: AN AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE SOUTHWEST PACIFIC OCEAN APPEARS TO BE DEVELOPING AND BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. SCATTEROMETRY AS OF 23/1200Z SUPPORTS THE PRESENCE OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THIS AREA. DURING THE PAST 48 HOURS A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION HAS BEEN VISIBLE ON AND OFF THROUGH THE CIRRUS COVERAGE. SYNOPTIC AND SATELLITE DATA INDICATE THIS CIRCULATION IS GETTING CLOSER TO THE DEEP CONVECTION. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 250030Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Jan 25 10:54:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102292-23737>; Sat, 25 Jan 1997 10:54:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA269798; Fri, 24 Jan 1997 20:50:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4360582 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jan 1997 20:49:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id UAA30248 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 1997 20:49:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA06255 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jan 1997 20:49:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701250249.UAA06255@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Jan 1997 20:49:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 537 WTPS21 PGTW 250030 COR SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 250021Z JAN 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/240021Z JAN 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250021Z JAN 97// NARR/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 240030). REF B IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WPTXS21 PGTW 250030).// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. REMARKS: THIS CANCELS REF A. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE DISTURBANCE HAS A FULLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CENTER WHICH IS 119 NM SOUTH OF THE DEEPEST CONVECTION. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE DISTURBANCE. WHILE CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS, THE DISTURBANCE IS NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 3. JUSTIFICATION: MESSAGE CORRECTED FOR INCORRECT HEADER. NULLIFIES REF B.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jan 26 06:00:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <103008-23737>; Sun, 26 Jan 1997 06:00:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA51340; Sat, 25 Jan 1997 15:52:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4368610 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jan 1997 15:52:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id PAA14862 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 1997 15:52:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA18729 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jan 1997 15:52:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701252152.PAA18729@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jan 1997 15:52:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 279 WTPS21 PGTW 252100 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 252051Z JAN 97// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 190 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 20.1S3 172.8E8 TO 21.9S2 175.7E0 WITHIN THE NEXT 03 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 251800Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 21.2S5 173.4E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE DISTURBANCE WEST OF FIJI HAS INCREASED AND BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES EXCELLENT ANTICYLONIC OUTFLOW ALOFT WHICH IS ENHANCING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. GOOD CROSS-EQUATORIAL FLOW IS ALSO ENHANCING LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE INTO THIS DISTURBANCE. SYNOPTIC DATA FROM MATTHEW ISLAND (WMO 91598) INDICATES THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF THE DEEPEST CONVECTION. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 262100Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jan 26 10:23:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102248-18633>; Sun, 26 Jan 1997 10:23:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA149546; Sat, 25 Jan 1997 20:19:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4370276 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jan 1997 20:19:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id UAA47888 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 1997 20:19:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA20771 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jan 1997 20:19:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701260219.UAA20771@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jan 1997 20:19:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 099 WTPS31 PGTW 260300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 21.0S3 174.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 105 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 21.0S3 174.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 21.4S7 175.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 21.9S2 175.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 23.0S5 176.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 24.6S2 176.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 26.7S5 175.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 21.1S4 174.6E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P HAS DEVELOPED SOUTHWEST OF FIJI. SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY DUE TO EXCELLENT ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT AND GOOD CROSS-EQUATORIAL FLOW AT THE LOWER LEVELS. BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION, SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE LOCATED WITHIN A MODERATE SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND WILL BE INFLUENCED PRIMARILY BY SHALLOW- AND MID-LEVEL STEERING. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T2.5 (35 KNOTS). FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A LARGER THAN AVERAGE SIZE TROPICAL CYCLONE. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8) AND 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 252051Z JAN 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 252100). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 12 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jan 26 10:50:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102248-18633>; Sun, 26 Jan 1997 10:50:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA233190; Sat, 25 Jan 1997 20:46:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4370359 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jan 1997 20:46:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id UAA103892 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 1997 20:46:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA20946 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jan 1997 20:46:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701260246.UAA20946@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Jan 1997 20:46:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 449 WTPS31 PGTW 260300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 21.0S3 174.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 105 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 21.0S3 174.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 21.4S7 175.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 21.9S2 175.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 23.0S5 176.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 24.6S2 176.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 26.7S5 175.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 21.1S4 174.6E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P HAS DEVELOPED SOUTHWEST OF FIJI. SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY DUE TO EXCELLENT ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT AND GOOD CROSS-EQUATORIAL FLOW AT THE LOWER LEVELS. BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION, SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE LOCATED WITHIN A MODERATE SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND WILL BE INFLUENCED PRIMARILY BY SHALLOW- AND MID-LEVEL STEERING. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T2.5 (35 KNOTS). FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A LARGER THAN AVERAGE SIZE TROPICAL CYCLONE. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8) AND 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 252051Z JAN 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 252100). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 12 FEET.// TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT TTT DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jan 26 17:16:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102303-18633>; Sun, 26 Jan 1997 17:16:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA232978; Sun, 26 Jan 1997 03:10:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4372025 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jan 1997 03:10:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id DAA86778 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 1997 03:10:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA25338 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jan 1997 03:10:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701260910.DAA25338@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Jan 1997 03:10:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 799 WTPS31 PGTW 260900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260600Z4 --- 21.4S7 175.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.4S7 175.2E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 22.3S7 176.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 23.4S9 177.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 24.7S3 177.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 26.0S8 178.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 27.9S8 176.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 260900Z7 POSITION 21.6S9 175.5E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY FURTHER OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS DUE TO EXCELLENT ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT AND GOOD CROSS-EQUATORIAL FLOW AT THE LOWER LEVELS. BY 48 HOURS, SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE LOCATED WITHIN A MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THEREFORE, TC 22P WILL BE INFLUENCED PRIMARILY BY THE SHALLOW AND MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T3.0 (45 KNOTS). CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA. AS UPPER AND LOWER LEVEL CONDITIONS REMAIN FURTHER. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8), 262100Z1 (DTG 261951Z4) AND 270300Z2 (DTG270151Z6), AND 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 15 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jan 26 22:32:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102368-18633>; Sun, 26 Jan 1997 22:32:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA86652; Sun, 26 Jan 1997 08:27:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4372587 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jan 1997 08:27:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id IAA86598 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 1997 08:27:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA27319 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jan 1997 08:27:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701261427.IAA27319@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Jan 1997 08:27:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 507 WTPS31 PGTW 261500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (FREDA) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- 21.5S8 176.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.5S8 176.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 22.2S6 177.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 23.3S8 178.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 24.7S3 179.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 26.1S9 179.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 28.6S6 179.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION 21.7S0 176.3E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (FREDA) IS CURRENTLY MOVING EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 261130Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED USING 200641Z MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY. FREDA IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY TROUGH 24 HOURS, THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN. THE FORECAST TRACK GRADUALLY TURNS TOWARD THE SOUTH WITH TIME IN RESPONSE TO STEERING FLOW AHEAD OF A MID-LATITUDE SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262100Z1 (DTG 261951Z4), 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6), 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2), AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jan 27 11:21:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102254-12722>; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 11:20:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA178858; Sun, 26 Jan 1997 21:16:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4376867 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jan 1997 21:16:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id VAA50762 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 1997 21:16:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA03534 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jan 1997 21:16:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701270316.VAA03534@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Jan 1997 21:16:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 671 WTPS31 PGTW 270300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (FREDA) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- 23.1S6 176.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 165 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.1S6 176.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 24.2S8 176.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 25.1S8 177.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 26.0S8 177.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 26.7S5 176.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 27.1S0 175.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION 23.4S9 176.4E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (FREDA) IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG THE SAME TRACK THROUGH THE NEXT 36 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE SYSTEM. THEREFORE, TC 22P (FREDA) IS EXPECT TO BE PRIMARILY INFLUENCED BY THE SHALLOW AND MID LEVEL STEERING FLOW. OUR PRIMARY MODEL GUIDANCE SUPPORTS THIS FORECAST TRACK. AN ALTERNATE LOW-PROBABILITY SCENERIO SUPPORTS THE SYSTEM MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH AXIS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270900Z8 (270751Z2), 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9), 272100Z2 (271951Z6), AND 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z IS 19 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jan 27 15:36:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102313-12722>; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 15:36:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA271876; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 01:33:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4377936 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 01:32:57 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id BAA272080 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 01:32:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id BAA05467 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 01:32:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701270732.BAA05467@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Jan 1997 01:32:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 574 WTPS31 PGTW 270900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMAMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (FREDA) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- 23.6S1 176.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.6S1 176.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 24.3S9 176.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 25.0S7 176.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 25.8S5 176.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 26.2S0 175.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 26.6S4 174.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 270900Z8 POSITION 23.8S3 176.4E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (FREDA) IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 22P (FREDA) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON A SLOW SOUTHWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO A HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. THEREFORE, SYSTEM WILL BE PRIMARILY INFLUENCED BY THE SHALLOW AND MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9), 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5), 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z60, AND 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z IS 20 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jan 27 22:55:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102442-12722>; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 22:55:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA188968; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 08:47:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4379527 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 08:47:22 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id IAA132196 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 08:47:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA10761 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 08:47:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701271447.IAA10761@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Jan 1997 08:47:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 102 WTPS31 PGTW 271500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (FREDA) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- 24.1S7 176.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 170 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.1S7 176.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 25.1S8 176.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 26.2S0 176.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 27.0S9 176.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 28.0S0 175.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 29.6S7 174.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 271500Z5 POSITION 24.4S0 176.5E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (FREDA) IS CURRENTLY MOVING SOUTH AT 05 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 271040Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. FREDA IS STILL FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND TURN TOWARD THE SOUTH- SOUTHWEST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P IS FORECAST TO BEGIN DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER WITHIN 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7) AND 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jan 28 10:58:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102286-16468>; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 10:58:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA106064; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 20:51:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4386858 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 20:51:21 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id UAA145144 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 20:50:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA25826 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jan 1997 20:50:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701280250.UAA25826@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Jan 1997 20:50:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O 614 WTPS31 PGTW 280300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (FREDA) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 25.7S4 177.3E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.7S4 177.3E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 27.0S9 177.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 28.4S4 178.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 29.5S6 177.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 30.7S0 176.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 26.0S8 177.4E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (FREDA) IS TRACKING SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD IN THE SOUTHWEST PACIFIC OCEAN. FREDA IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRACKING SOUTHWARD NEAR THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0) AND 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 28/0000Z0 IS 18 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jan 28 21:41:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <103086-16468>; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 21:41:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id HAA103122; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 07:34:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4392859 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 07:34:35 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id HAA124334 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 07:34:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id HAA03306 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 07:34:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701281334.HAA03306@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Jan 1997 07:34:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 704 WTPS31 PGTW 281500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (FREDA) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- 27.5S4 178.2E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 27.5S4 178.2E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 29.3S4 178.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 30.6S9 178.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 31.6S0 178.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 32.4S9 177.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 281500Z6 POSITION 27.9S8 178.3E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (FREDA) IS MOVING SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. OUR WARNING INTENSITY AND LOCATION ARE BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS AS OF 28/1130Z SUPPORTING THE PRESENCE OF 65 KNOT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS (DVORAK T4.0). TC 22P IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN THIS INTENSITY THROUGH THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN SLOWLY FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8) AND 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z3 IS 20 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jan 29 10:01:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102268-8740>; Wed, 29 Jan 1997 10:00:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id TAA259072; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 19:52:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4400566 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 19:52:06 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id TAA96010 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 19:51:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id TAA25575 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jan 1997 19:47:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701290147.TAA25575@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Jan 1997 19:47:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 370 WTPS31 PGTW 290300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (FREDA) WARNING NR 010 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- 26.5S3 178.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.5S3 178.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 26.8S6 178.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 27.2S1 178.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 28.3S3 178.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 29.6S7 177.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION 26.6S4 178.4E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (FREDA) IS QUASI-STATIONARY IN THE SOUTHWEST PACIFIC OCEAN. THE WARNING POSITION IS RELOCATED DUE TO VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATING AN ELONGATED, EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION LOCATED 120 NM TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TURN SOUTHWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TC 22P IS FORECAST TO BE DISSIPATED BY THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1) AND 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 29/0000Z1 IS 17 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jan 30 08:23:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102302-14393>; Thu, 30 Jan 1997 08:23:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id SAA286546; Wed, 29 Jan 1997 18:16:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4410209 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jan 1997 18:15:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id NAA87290 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 1997 13:09:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id NAA10419 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jan 1997 13:09:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701291909.NAA10419@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Jan 1997 13:09:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 722 WTPS31 PGTW 291500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (FREDA) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- 26.4S2 179.2W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 085 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.4S2 179.2W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 27.0S9 177.1W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 27.8S7 175.8W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 28.5S5 175.1W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 29.0S1 174.7W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 291500Z7 POSITION 26.6S4 178.7W3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (FREDA) IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS AND HAS JUST CROSSED THE DATELINE. OUR CURRENT INTENSITY AND WARNING POSITION ARE BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS AS OF 29/1130Z. THIS ANALYSIS SUPPORTS THE PRESENCE OF 45 KNOT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS (DVORAK CI 3.0). CERTAIN ASPECTS OF THE ANALYSIS INDICATE THE SYSTEM MAY BE SLIGHTLY WEAKER THAN THIS, AND IT IS WEAKENING AT THIS TIME. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME DIFFICULT TO IDENTIFY ON ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY AND APPEARS TO BE SHEARED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM FROM THE DEEP CONVECTION. WE EXPECT TC 22P TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AND DISSIPATE OVER WATER WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DUE TO THIS SYSTEM CROSSING THE DATELINE THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BY NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI (SEE WHPS31 PHNC 300300). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z4 IS 15 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Jan 31 14:48:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102564-17450>; Fri, 31 Jan 1997 14:48:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA20372; Fri, 31 Jan 1997 00:43:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4424491 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jan 1997 00:43:00 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA60438 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 1997 00:43:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id AAA14906 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jan 1997 00:42:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701310642.AAA14906@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jan 1997 00:42:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 072 WTPS31 PGTW 310900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (FREDA) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310600Z0 --- 28.7S7 179.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.7S7 179.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 28.5S5 178.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 28.7S7 178.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 28.9S9 177.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 29.2S3 177.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 310900Z3 POSITION 28.6S6 179.5E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (FREDA) HAS BEEN REGENERATED DUE TO SYNOPTIC REPORTS OF GALE FORCE WINDS. TC 22P (FREDA) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS INDICATES THAT DEEPER CONVECTION HAS MOVED INTO THE SYSTEM=S CENTER. ADDITIONALLY, THE SYSTEM DISPLAYS SUBTROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE DIRECT INTERACTION WITH THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW, WHICH HAS FACILITATED A SUBTROPICAL TRANSITION. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN MOSTLY QUASI-STATIONARY WITH A SLOW WESTWARD DRIFT THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT GRADUALLY WEAKENS. WARNING INTENSITY OF 50 KNOTS IS BASED ON A 310000Z SYNOPTIC SHIP REPORT OF 45 KNOTS (EQUIVALENT 1-MIN WIND AVERAGE EQUAL TO 51 KNOTS). CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 301103Z SCATTEROMETER PASS AS WELL AS 310000Z SYNOPTIC SHIP REPORTS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 312100Z7 (DTG 311951Z0) AND 010900Z0 (DTG 310751Z4).MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310600Z IS 20 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103735-25312>; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 05:17:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA210442; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 16:16:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6078445 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 16:15:35 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA199352 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 16:15:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id QAA11243 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 16:15:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708222115.QAA11243@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 22 Aug 1997 16:15:35 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: eb58792f9b088368c33d9b81e7567704 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2518 Status: OR 236 ABPW10 PGTW 222100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/222100/230600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 221951Z AUG 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 221953Z AUG 97// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 221955Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 221800Z3 TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WAS LOCATED AT 35.2N0 173.0E1 AND WAS MOVING NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD AT 34 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WERE 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING NR 25 (WTPN31 PGTW 222100)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 221800Z3 TROPICAL STORM ZITA (17W) WAS LOCATED AT 21.3N6 108.0E9 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM ZITA (17W) WARNING NR 08 (WTPN32 PGTW 222100)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 221800Z3 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 14.4N9 131.9E4 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 02 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 07 (WTPN33 PGTW 222100)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.8N2 154.7E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14N5 158E4. SYNOPTIC DATA AND SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30785-20155>; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 13:20:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA72232; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 00:19:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6089238 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 00:19:04 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA159898 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 00:18:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id AAA23742 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 00:18:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708240518.AAA23742@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 24 Aug 1997 00:19:04 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e16ed8c550545e03211c14e03da07bb5 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2328 Status: OR 001 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 230751Z AUG 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 230753Z AUG 97// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 240155Z AUG 97// REF/D/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 231551Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 230600Z1 TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WAS LOCATED AT 41.5N0 170.0E8 AND WAS MOVING NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 32 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM YULE (15W) WARNING NR 27 (WTPN31 PGTW 230900)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 230600Z1 TROPICAL STORM ZITA (17W) WAS LOCATED AT 21.1N4 105.8E4 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM ZITA (17W) WARNING NR 10 (WTPN32 PGTW 230900)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (3) AT 240000Z5 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.7N4 130.1E5 AND WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 80 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 12 (WTPN33 PGTW 240300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 159.8E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 156.5E7 AND REMAINS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 231600)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/FINTA/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Aug 25 15:35:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30933-10285>; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 13:46:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA199024; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 00:44:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6096963 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 00:43:58 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA198930 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 00:43:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id AAA01004 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 00:43:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708250543.AAA01004@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 25 Aug 1997 00:43:58 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 553c83a5a5ec9a8b838e1a0bfa641b38 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1750 Status: OR 353 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 250155Z AUG 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 241551Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 17.4N2 128.5E6 AND WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 16 (WTPN33 PGTW 250300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 156.6E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20.6N8 153.7E6. THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS BECOME SHEARED FROM THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ACCORDINGLY, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION (WTPN21 PGTW 241551)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/FINTA/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31122-13064>; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 07:36:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA72250; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 18:35:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6104128 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 18:35:05 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id SAA249026 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 18:34:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id SAA20909 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 18:33:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708252333.SAA20909@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 25 Aug 1997 18:35:05 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 13c0d0031eca33b316e82e7bfca07a8f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1875 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 378 ABPW10 PGTW 252330 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/252330Z/260600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 251955Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 251800Z6 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 17.8N6 127.4E4 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 19 (WTPN33 PGTW 252100)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 10N1 160E7. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF DIVERGENT OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31242-13064>; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 14:14:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA146670; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 01:02:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6106471 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 01:02:35 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA12218 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 01:02:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id BAA21371 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 01:01:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708260601.BAA21371@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 01:02:35 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5b6ed5575f2df749644d0f74e92cfbbd X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2063 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 518 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 260155Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 260000Z8 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 17.9N7 127.5E5 AND WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 20 (WTPN33 PGTW 260300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 160E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 159E5. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS REMAINED PERSISTENT FOR THE PAST 18 HOURS BUT CONTINUES TO BE DISORGANIZED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND WATER VAPOR-DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF DIVERGENT OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31024-13064>; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 14:13:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA146460; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 01:11:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6106508 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 01:11:37 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA228612 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 01:11:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id BAA21391 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 01:10:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708260610.BAA21391@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 01:11:37 +1900 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f09ffb92b86c9f6a4f0dc977c7204e2c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2197 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 636 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 260155Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 260000Z8 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 17.9N7 127.5E5 AND WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 20 (WTPN33 PGTW 260300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 160E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 159E5. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS REMAINED PERSISTENT FOR THE PAST 18 HOURS BUT CONTINUES TO BE DISORGANIZED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND WATER VAPOR-DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF DIVERGENT OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT FOR THE AREA NEAR 11N2 159E5 IS FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31418-15926>; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 13:33:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA265864; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 00:30:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6115300 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 00:30:26 +1900 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA224874 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 00:30:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id AAA25395 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 00:29:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708270529.AAA25395@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 27 Aug 1997 00:29:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6443799ec3c3ed2d8bb5e9cdf0c14923 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2950 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 593 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 270155Z AUG 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 270321Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 270000Z9 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.1N1 126.2E1 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 24 (WTPN33 PGTW 270300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 159E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 155E1. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION (LLCC). CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS REMAINED PERSISTENT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS BUT HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED DUE TO MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND WATER VAPOR-DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE PRESENCE GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW TO THE WEST OF THE LLCC BUT POOR OUTFLOW ELSEWHERE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 270330)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 19N0 113E5. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS POORLY ORGANIZED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF MODERATE UPPER- LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE OUTFLOW OF TYPHOON AMBER (18W) IMPINGING ON THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Aug 28 17:06:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31576-22994>; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 15:51:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA26010; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 02:43:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6123319 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 02:42:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA26172 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 02:40:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.6) id CAA28091 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 02:39:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708280739.CAA28091@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 02:39:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 907bf548245c123c60e3a35bc02e1e7e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2974 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 879 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 280155Z AUG 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 280151Z AUG 97// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 280153Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 280000Z0 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 20.8N0 123.7E3 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 105 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 130 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 28 (WTPN33 PGTW 280300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 280000Z0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W WAS LOCATED AT 12.1N4 149.5E9 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W WARNING NR 04 (WTPN31 PGTW 280300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 280000Z0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 17.7N5 115.3E0 AND WAS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WARNING NR 01 (WTPN32 PGTW 280300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8N8 166E3. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. SATELLITE DERIVED UPPER-LEVEL WIND DATA SHOW THAT UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS PRESENT ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 155E1 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W WARNING NR 04 (WTPN31 PGTW 280300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19N0 113E5 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF C (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WARNING NR 01 (WTPN31 PGTW 280300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/FINTA/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Aug 29 15:17:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31696-26110>; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 14:04:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA23358; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 00:52:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6132324 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 00:52:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA17420 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 00:52:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id AAA01260 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 00:50:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708290550.AAA01260@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 00:50:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7c8ead97ac499b2407cfb1f33a89af5b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2194 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 976 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 290155Z AUG 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 290151Z AUG 97// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 290153Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 290000Z1 TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 24.7N3 121.2E6 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON AMBER (18W) WARNING NR 32 (WTPN33 PGTW 290300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 290000Z1 TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 13.4N8 145.8E8 AND WAS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WARNING NR 08 (WTPN31 PGTW 290300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 290000Z1 TROPICAL STORM CASS (20W) WAS LOCATED AT 17.8N6 115.6E3 AND WAS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL STORM CASS (20W) WARNING NR 05 (WTPN32 PGTW 290300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 166E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 1 07:14:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625882-401>; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 17:12:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA20778; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 01:10:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6143058 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 01:10:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA13062 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 01:10:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA04237 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 01:08:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708300608.BAA04237@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 30 Aug 1997 01:08:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 988dd12b1e7a605d7ace273205df4bcd X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2579 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 548 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z/310600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 300155Z AUG 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 300151Z AUG 97// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 300153Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 300000Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (AMBER) WAS LOCATED AT 27.8N7 117.3E2 AND WAS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (AMBER) WARNING NR 36 RELOCATED (WTPN33 PGTW 300300)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 300000Z3 TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 15.6N2 140.3E8 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WARNING NR 12 (WTPN31 PGTW 300300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 300000Z3 TROPICAL STORM CASS (20W) WAS LOCATED AT 21.3N6 118.0E0 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL STORM CASS (20W) WARNING NR 09 (WTPN32 PGTW 300300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN THE TAIWAN STRAIGHT NEAR 24N6 119E1. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW- TO MID-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. THE CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 1 07:14:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625880-396>; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 17:12:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA30242; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 02:08:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6143250 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 02:08:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA26606 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 02:08:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA04282 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 02:06:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708300706.CAA04282@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 30 Aug 1997 02:06:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6262c4c68226689c63ee8dd08c6dccaa X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2145 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 863 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z/310600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 300155Z AUG 97// REFVKB/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 300151Z AUG 97// = 3>/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 300153Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (188 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 30;PPOH LYER THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 300000Z3 TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 15.6N2 140.3E8 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 55 7( -94. ? ,9 (19W) WARNING NR 12 (WTPN31 PGTW 300300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 300000Z3 TROPICAL STORM CASS (20W) WAS LOCATED AT 21.3N6 118.0E0 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 1-.;<(,95. MAXI MUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL STORM CASS (20W) WARNING NR 09 (WTPN32 PGTW 30839 B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS 9(-53$ 8, 5#3 5-82-, 54-8<#5 ,3-4 24N6 119E1. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIVVCCNL 77 TO MID-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. THE CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAO OIM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY()7))8,/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 1 07:14:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625870-396>; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 17:12:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA31486; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 02:22:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6143302 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 02:22:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA29406 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 02:22:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA04295 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 02:20:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708300720.CAA04295@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 30 Aug 1997 02:20:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/spnificant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2633cb6349005db45ef2e5b14dc146b2 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1897 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 190 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SPNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z/310600Z AUG 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 300155Z AUG 97// REFVKB/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 300151Z AUG 97// = 3 /C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 300153Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (188 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 30 PPOH LYER THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 300000Z3 TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 15.6N2 140.3E8 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ATQAIPE0 AND WAS MOVING NORTHW ARD AT 1-. (,95. MAXI MUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS????? TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL STORM CASS (20W) WARNING NR 09 (WTPN32 PGTW 30839 B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS 9(-53 8, 5$3 5-82-, 54-8 $5 ,3-4 24N6 119E1. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE????? 5 034853,5 >94 5#3 0-5 12 974. MAO OIM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM;)KALAFSKY()7))8,/HATFIELD/HALL//????? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 1 07:14:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626008-6934>; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 14:08:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA30798; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 01:06:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6149937 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 01:06:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA22772 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 01:06:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA06125 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 01:06:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708310606.BAA06125@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 31 Aug 1997 01:06:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 161be16ed8a26f80e30804618c1ef94b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2528 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 301 ABPW10 PGTW 310600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/310600Z AUG 97/010600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 310151Z AUG 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 301353Z AUG 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 310000Z4 TYPHOON BING (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 17.9N7 138.3E5 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON BING (19W) WARNING NR 16 (WTPN31 PGTW 310300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 301200Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W (CASS) WAS LOCATED AT 25.7N4 117.8E7 AND WAS MOVING NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W (CASS) WARNING NR 11 (WTPN32 PGTW 301500)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 27N9 150E6. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATED THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED IN THE TAIWAN STRAIGHT NEAR 24N6 119E1 WAS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W (CASS). THE SYSTEM HAS MOVED OVER MAINLAND CHINA AND HAS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W (CASS) WARNING NR 11 (WTPN32 PGTW 301500)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Oct 26 04:40:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626081-10850>; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 13:14:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA22448; Sat, 25 Oct 1997 00:08:45 -0500 Message-Id: <199710250508.AAA22448@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 25 Oct 1997 00:04:28 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 23 Oct 1997 to 24 Oct 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 0ecf6e89275c4a39e653c97bc26c01dc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 5 messages totalling 167 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Eta goes ballistic 2. Post on NWS Report 3. El Nino - what about Europe? 4. Discovery Channel Online El Nino Discussion 5. ATTENTION STORM CHASERS LOOKING FOR CHASE PARTNERS! +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 24 Oct 1997 08:32:22 -0400 From: John Kent Subject: Eta goes ballistic The eta model is forecasting some of the strongest vertical motion over the Northeast U.S. for Saturday that I ever recall seeing...for example, the FOUS for Concord, NH...see the 42 hr forecast: FOUS60 KWBC 240000 OUTPUT FROM ETA 00Z OCT 24 97 TTPTTR1R2R3 VVVLI PSDDFF HHT1T3T5 CON//556049 -2809 132515 26009688 06000724835 -3011 142619 28009689 12000794339 -1613 182717 28009690 18000625235 -2013 192814 33049792 24000656141 -0712 212409 37050095 30002797955 01210 201810 42040298 36008979058 00807 181311 45050499 42080989462 25703 021027 54090703 48073956640 -4106 993318 53080502 +25.7 microbars/sec?! The corresponding value from the NGM was +3.1. Anyone care to comment on why the eta is playing this system up so much? It doesn't look likely to me that it will intensify that quickly. John Kent FleetWeather Inc. Hopewell Junction, New York ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 24 Oct 1997 10:52:14 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Post on NWS Report Forecasters Weathering Needed Change, Report Says By Bill McAllister Washington Post Staff Writer Friday, October 24, 1997; Page A25 The Washington Post A review of the National Weather Service found its headquarters staff confused and unable to provide "consistent and reliable budget projects," problems so severe that they justified removing the agency's popular director, Commerce Department officials said yesterday. [...] http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/WPlate/1997-10/24/102l-102497-idx. html ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 24 Oct 1997 12:38:42 -0400 From: Jeremy R Hindle Subject: El Nino - what about Europe? I have been reading wx-talk discussions on El Niño (yawn!) all Summer, waiting for someone to comment on the impacts of ENSO events outside of the USA. Not unexpectedly, the comments continue to be parochially biased! I have had many enquiries from clients in the UK and in Europe as to the likely impacts of El Niño. Some would see that the River Oder floods in July / August, which swapped much of Eastern Germany, Slovakia et cetera as a classic example of this. From recollection, the 1982/3 event also caused flooding in Europe. >From my research, the SOI can be used as a proxy for subsidence claims in the UK (clay soil shrinks in drought conditions) and there is also some correlation for increased Winter (Wind) Storms. (Warmer N. Atlantic Ocean temperatures vs. cold landmass?) The reason for the broadcast to wx-talk is a request for help on this quest. Can anyone point me in the direction of someone who is doing / has done this type of research for Northern Hemisphere Countries outside of the Good Old US of A. I am also interested in knowing more about the impacts ?cold? climate states too! Come back La Niña, all is forgiven. Jeremy Hindle Underwriter Mid Ocean Reinsurance Co., Bermuda e-mail: jeremy@midocean.bm coming soon: www.midoceanre.com ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 24 Oct 1997 13:06:48 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Discovery Channel Online El Nino Discussion The following appeared in the Discovery Channel Online newsletter. ..Chris.. = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = Is "El Nino" the buzzphobia of a generation (remember those "killer bees"?), or the calling card of meteorological mayhem and disaster? This Wednesday night you can find out from the people who know ... on LIVE!, the weekly online talk show where YOU ask the questions. http://www.discovery.com/ex/ad/newsletter/area/live/discoverylive.html *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 24 Oct 1997 23:20:14 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: ATTENTION STORM CHASERS LOOKING FOR CHASE PARTNERS! Hello everyone, As always, at the end of each storm chase season, we erase all of the people who added their names, email addresses and so forth into our database. However, we have some great news for you! Tonight (Friday), we put online a brand new "I need a chase partner" page that is dynamite! Now, you can not only add your information, but by using a password, you can update this information (or delete it) at any time. You can now search for your perfect chase partner by email address, state, or country without having to look at every single entry. Starting RIGHT NOW, you can put in your entry for the 1998 chase season! Enjoy and I hope you like the page. Go to the Storm Chaser Homepage main page at: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/ And go to "where to contact chasers in need of chase partners". Or dial direct and go to: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/partner.html And remember, the STORM MACHINE has been fixed too! Enjoy, and a special thanks to Dale Manemann for setting this up for me! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 23 Oct 1997 to 24 Oct 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Oct 27 08:04:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626322-26776>; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 13:14:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA46354; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 00:06:24 -0500 Message-Id: <199710260506.AAA46354@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 26 Oct 1997 00:00:18 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 24 Oct 1997 to 25 Oct 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: b4c33a06de6c0df7ad2314cefa7c1abc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 2 messages totalling 51 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. NOAA Weather Watcher Report Format 2. Help finding NWS folk needed +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 25 Oct 1997 06:59:05 -0500 From: steve hajducek Subject: NOAA Weather Watcher Report Format Hello All, Can anyone provide me with a copy of the NOAA Weather Watcher Report format or a listing of all the data and ordering that is used. I wish to add this report format to my SkyWarn/2001 software for the Peet Bros. home weather stations. My snail mail address is: Stephen B. Hajducek U.S. Post Office Box 8 Morganville, New Jersey 07751 Thank you all in advance. /s/ Steve Hajducek, N2CKH http://www.qth.com/n2ckh.bytewise.org ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 25 Oct 1997 15:55:15 -0500 From: Pamela Knox Subject: Help finding NWS folk needed Dear Wx-Talkers, I am filling out a form for the AMS which requests information on past employers. I am having trouble locating a person and address for the form. I hope that you can help me out. I am looking for the present location/address for Dan Smith, who was the head of the NWS Southern Regional Headquarters Scientific Services Division during the mid-1980's. I don't know if he's still there and where THERE is now that the Fort Worth office has moved. If you can help, please reply to: stclim@macc.wisc.edu Thanks for your help! Pam Knox stclim@macc.wisc.edu ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 24 Oct 1997 to 25 Oct 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Oct 27 14:19:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627575-3684>; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 13:42:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA21568; Sun, 26 Oct 1997 23:17:11 -0600 Message-Id: <199710270517.XAA21568@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 27 Oct 1997 00:03:17 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 25 Oct 1997 to 26 Oct 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 63d138fc82fa148f15696fb0eccdef28 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 5 messages totalling 194 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Help finding NWS folk needed 2. Second earliest freeze 3. Colorado Blizzard Mania 4. Wow! Cedar Rapids, IA gets creamed... 5. Response on Kelly report +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 26 Oct 1997 11:53:18 -0600 From: "Rodger R. Getz" Subject: Re: Help finding NWS folk needed Pam Knox wrote.... >I am looking for the present location/address for Dan Smith, who was the >head of the NWS Southern Regional Headquarters Scientific Services Division >during the mid-1980's. I don't know if he's still there and where THERE is >now that the Fort Worth office has moved. >If you can help, please reply to: stclim@macc.wisc.edu Dan Smith is still SSD Chief at Southern Regional Headquarters. The office remains at the Federal building in downtown Ft. Worth. His e-mail address is Dan.Smith@noaa.gov. You can search for any NOAA person at http://directory.noaa.gov. Rodger R. Getz, President Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. P.O. Box 3267 Auburn, AL 36831-3267 http://www.awis.com ph: (334) 826-2149 ext 104 (voice) (334) 826-2152 (FAX) ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 26 Oct 1997 15:21:24 -0600 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Second earliest freeze If the forecast verifies tonight, Dallas will experience its second earliest freeze on record. Does anyone have a URL for NASA global climate information. A friend said that NASA data indicates a slight cooling in the global climate over tha last decade. Sam Barricklow http://www.stormchaser.net/k5kj/shop.htm ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 26 Oct 1997 17:56:18 -0600 From: James Derek Dodson Subject: Colorado Blizzard Mania Topic: Colorado Blizzard Mania From: Derek Dodson Metropolis, Illinois derekd@midwest.net Greetings Weather Fans I could not help but laugh at the article in today's Denver Post. If you have not had a chance to read it please go to this URL and hopefully it will still be there: http://www.denverpost.com/news/snow1.htm The article says that this major winter storm was caused by El Nino and that more are on the way..... "For the believers and nonbelievers of the warnings, the name most mentioned on Saturday was El Nino, the ocean-warming weather maker that obviously does not mimic its name of "baby boy.'' "I think this storm should be named "El Meano,'‚'' said Capt. Larry Tolar of the Colorado State Patrol. Scientists were more serious. "Actually I'm calling this one El Nino's No. 1,'' said Klaus Wolter, an El Nino expert at the University of Colorado's Climate Diagnostic Center. "We may have to wait until spring for No. 2, but I am convinced that this is the first big storm that can be linked to El Nino.'' ....and so on...and this is coming from a scientist...a so called expert in the field...hmmm Just an example of what we are going to have to put up with for the next four or five months...every snowfall will be because of El Nino...every flood will be because of El Nino...everything under the sun will be because of El Nino. Hopefully by next year we will not have to put up with all of this...of course then it will be La Nina...or something else. hmmm...did anyone catch the Saturday Night Live skit last night....El Nino... Anyone get a count on the number of actual tornado touchdowns over the past four days? There were certainly plenty of warnings. derekd@midwest.net ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 26 Oct 1997 18:13:38 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Wow! Cedar Rapids, IA gets creamed... Hello all, Check out these METARs from Cedar Rapids, IA: KCID 1810Z 261807Z 02015G22KT 1/4SM +SN FG OVC005 01/00 A2982 RMK AO2 TSE07 P0001 $= KCID 1800Z 261752Z 03015KT 1/4SM +TSSN OVC003 01/00 A2983 RMK AO2 SLP108 P0004 60023 T00060000 10017 20006 56034 $= KCID 1716Z 261713Z 03017KT 1/4SM +TSSN BKN003 OVC010 01/00 A2986 RMK AO2 P0002= KCID 1700Z 261652Z 04014KT 1/4SM +TSSN BKN005 OVC010 01/00 A2988 RMK AO2 PK WND 04027/1559 SLP125 P0004 T00060000= KCID 1600Z 261552Z 04019G24KT 1/2SM TSSN BKN007 OVC010 01/00 A2987 RMK AO2 TSB15E37B41 PRESFR SLP122 P0003 T00060000= KCID 1544Z 261541Z 04018KT 3/4SM -TSSN BKN007 OVC012 01/00 A2988 RMK AO2 TSB15E37B41 PRESFR P0003= That's thunder and lightning with heavy snow for 3 hours, folks! (TSSN--thunder storm with SN, snow!) This cyclone has been a dandy. Up to a foot of the white stuff fell in metro Des Moines, IA; up to 4 feet fell southeast of Pueblo, CO. Not bad for late October! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 26 Oct 1997 21:07:27 -0500 From: Rick McCoy Subject: Response on Kelly report Following the release of his long awaited report on the fiscal health of the National Weather Service, Air Force Brigadier General Jack Kelly (Ret.), should be commended for his acute insight and pertinent recommendations to ensure that the American public continues to receive the best possible weather forecasts and warnings. The General cut directly to the heart of the matters plaguing the Weather Service and has presented a plan that is sure to end budgetary uncertainties, staffing shortages, and managerial deficiencies suffered by an agency which, despite these problems, has significantly improved weather services for the nation. Under his plan, staffing levels in critical areas such as field offices and the National Hurricane Center will be properly maintained, the Southern Region Headquarters in Fort Worth, Texas will not be closed as originally proposed, and the Washington-level bureaucracy controlling this agency will be revamped through stringent management procedures, a new director, and the newly-created position of Chief Financial Officer. In addition, the government will reap the benefit of cost savings in a variety of areas as outlined by the general. The taxpayers have made a considerable investment in modernizing its Weather Service and General Kelly's work will help guarantee that the public derives maximum benefit from their investment. The field-level forecasters and others responsible for day-to-day operations of the Weather Service should be commended, but according to the general, some new discipline and philosophical changes at OTHER levels--including the Weather Service's PARENT AGENCIES--are needed to take us into the 21st Century. Many of the concerns addressed by the general were raised by the emergency management community and we welcome the beginning of a new working relationship amongst those charged with protecting life and property. Commerce Secretary William Daley committed himself to implementing the recommendations made by General Kelly. Now it is up to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the U.S. Congress to provide the support that is needed to maintain what Secretary Daley called "The Greatest Weather Service in the World." Rick W. McCoy Van Wert County, Ohio Emergency Management Director President National Emergency Management Council for Americans United to Maintain the Weather Service ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 25 Oct 1997 to 26 Oct 1997 ************************************************** From - Tue Oct 28 15:32:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626236-3243>; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 13:24:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA46796; Mon, 27 Oct 1997 23:07:12 -0600 Message-Id: <199710280507.XAA46796@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 28 Oct 1997 00:04:10 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 26 Oct 1997 to 27 Oct 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: b1b52feaabbc7160f01a4101eae1a4c2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 9 messages totalling 377 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. El Nino blamed for violence in Guyana 2. El Nino-Part XVIII-The Final Chapter! 3. Severe Weather Forecasting Conference 4. Updated FAQ on Hurricanes, Typhoons and Tropical Cyclones... 5. The Weekend Storm...El Nino? (2) 6. WX-TALK Digest - 25 Oct 1997 to 26 Oct 1997 7. Model Verification Homepage...NEW STUFF! 8. Co and El Nino +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 27 Oct 1997 10:31:08 -0800 From: Charlie Fenwick Subject: El Nino blamed for violence in Guyana Really! Here's the story: Magistrate blames El Nino for violence 5:02 p.m. EDT (2102 GMT) October 24, 1997 GEORGETOWN, Guyana — A magistrate has blamed unusual weather caused by the El Nino weather phenomenon for a rise in domestic violence in Guyana. "A man lights a fire, the smoke affects his neighbor and it's a fight. People are fighting over standpipes, washboards and breaking up basins. I believe El Nino is raising the passions of the people,'' magistrate Paul Fung-A-Fat was quoted as saying in Thursday's Stabroek News newspaper. He spoke while presiding over a number of minor assault cases. Such incidents have surged in the past few months in Guyana. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 27 Oct 1997 14:09:28 EST From: Richard L Slonaker Subject: El Nino-Part XVIII-The Final Chapter! Wx-talkers: El Nino teleconnection to mid-Atlantic winter is essentially neutral. Any climatic anomalies this winter for Maryland are probably due to other forcing factors. For more info on ENSO (current state, global teleconnections (including Europe), etc.), see the following URLs: http://www.pmel.noaa.gov/toga-tao/el-nino/ http://grads.iges.org/pix/head.html http://ingrid.ldgo.columbia.edu/SOURCES/.Indices/ensomonitor.html -Richard ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ Richard L. Slonaker tel: 301-794-5191 fmh@stx.com fax: 301-441-1853 Hughes STX Corporation 4400 Forbes Blvd. Lanham, MD 20706 ______________________________ Reply Separator _________________________________ Date: Thu, 23 Oct 1997 18:21:45 -0500 From: mark_hofmann Subject: El-Nino Again (Sorry..) I hate to bring this up again, but I don't know about anyone else's area, but here in Maryland I have heard many conflicting reports of how El Nino will effect our weather this winter. I have read that we had a blizzard each winter we had an El Nino, and I have also read that it could be a very warm winter with no precip! Any long range predictions for the Maryland area? I for one would like to see a blizzard. -=Mark Hofmann=- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 27 Oct 1997 13:34:37 -0600 From: "Paul L. Sirvatka" Subject: Severe Weather Forecasting Conference This is a preliminary announcement of a fantastic event happening near Chicago next March. The College of DuPage is going to hold a Severe Weather Forecasting Conference for Undergraduates Thursday and Friday, March 5 and 6, 1998. The conference is intended for all students of meteorology. Because this is for students, the cost of the conference will be minimal (under $50) which will include a dinner banquet. This conference is scheduled to feature the following speakers. Chuck Doswell, NSSL Roger Edwards, SPC Alan Moller, NWSFO Fort Worth Ron Przybylinski, NWSFO St. Louis Erik Rasmussen, NSSL Greg Stumpf, CIMMS, U of Oklahoma Rich Thompson. SPC More details will be sent as soon as final plans are made. Keep these dates open! ****************************************************************************** * Paul L. Sirvatka | Office: (630) 942-2118; Lab: (630) 942-2590 * * Professor of Meteorology | COD Weather Lab: (630)-858-0032 * * College of DuPage | Address: 425 22nd St. Glen Ellyn, IL 60137 * ****************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 27 Oct 1997 15:31:46 -0500 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Updated FAQ on Hurricanes, Typhoons and Tropical Cyclones... Hi wx-talkers, The Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) report - ************************************************* FAQ: HURRICANES, TYPHOONS, AND TROPICAL CYCLONES ************************************************* has been updated and can be found at: http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/tcfaqHED.html *********************** New for this month..... ....................... What is the "eye"? How is it formed and maintained? (A11) Why are the strongest winds in a hurricane typically on the right side of the storm? (D6) What is it like to fly into a hurricane? (H3) Updated Web addresses for all of the following: I1) Where can I get real-time advisories for tropical cyclones? I2) Where can I get real-time tropical weather analyses and forecast fields? I3) Where can I get real-time ship and buoy data? I4) Where can I get real-time sea surface temperature data? I5) Where can I get real-time satellite pictures and satellite products? I6) Where can I get real-time radar data? I7) Where can I get real-time hurricane aircraft reconnaissance data? I8) Where can I get real-time model forecasts of tropical cyclone motion? I9) Where can I get tropical cyclone preparedness information? J1) Where can I get historical data on tropical cyclones? ....................... *********************** Best regards, chris ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** "Life is too short to waste it pursuing bad science." - E. N. Parker, _Eos_, 9/16/97 ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 27 Oct 1997 15:36:15 -0600 From: James Derek Dodson Subject: The Weekend Storm...El Nino? Topic: El Nino and Colorado Blizzard From: Derek Dodson derekd@midwest.net It was brought to my attention by Anton Seimon, who is located out of the University of Colorado, that Klaus Wolter, is actually at NOAA CDC and not the University of Colorado. Obviously the Denver Post did not get their facts straight...but never-the-less I wanted to clear that up. Mr. Wolter is obviously an educated man who knows his weather. I do, however, not agree that we can call this past weekends storm, El Nino #1...but then on the other hand it is difficult to bring an argument to either side. I am disappointed that basically everyone I know believes that El Nino is responsible for every single severe weather event during the past several months. The only reason people believe this myth is because the news media continues to report it that way (if it is warmer than normal it is El Nino...If it is colder than normal it is El Nino...and I have heard this from numerous weathermen and meteorologist). I have a difficult time explaining to people that all bad weather is not caused by El Nino. At this point I am laughing when people ask me about El Nino. The main reason I laugh is because I am so tired of hearing about El Nino and how bad things are going to be during this upcoming winter. I think that professionals should be careful about propagating the "El Nino" scare...perhaps we should all let the media know that El Nino is not causing every single weather event that occurs in the United States on any given day. We have had major tornadoes...hurricanes...floods...blizzards...droughts...and cold snaps during years that there was no El Nino present. We need to remind the nation that weather is constantly changing because of MANY factors. We run the threat of causing unnecessary alarm and concern among both the public in general and the government, if meteorologists say that global warming is a fact...or that El Nino is going to wreck havoc upon our nation this winter. I do believe that it is proper to let people know of the potential dangers that the warmer than average water temperatures in the Pacific could cause...but this year...things have gone WAY beyond that. When David Letterman...Jay Leno...Kathy Lee and Regis...and Saturday Night Live start having El Nino updates or making jokes about El Nino...then I think we can all safely say that this has gotten out of hand. I do not believe that any of us are saying that El Nino is not a concern. But to extend that even further and start saying that specific storms are definitely El Nino related is a mistake that only makes the media hype worse than it already is. This past storm has caused hundreds of thousands of dollars in damage, loss of life, and dozens of injuries. It was by all means a major Winter Storm. I can only assume that people around the nation are talking about this as an "El Nino Storm". People also believe that this is only the beginning. Most people who have very little knowledge about meteorology are scared about what could potentially happen this winter. If theirs fears do not come true then who will they say was wrong...obviously not the media...but the NWS and other Government agencies that forecast weather and climate changes. So that is at least my opinion. I am sure that Mr. Wolter believes that this storm is El Nino related...which it may or may not have been...but now the news media is reporting it as fact because an expert in the field reported it as such. And of course the news media did not interview or report any arguments on the other side of the fence. Some people may believe that it makes no difference...but I would say that in the long run Al Gore and other politicians who are pushing an environmental agenda will pick up on things like that...then when they convince people that we need major public policy changes because of Global Warming we will all feel the impact...in the wallets and purses. I guess if policy changes are made and then the world starts to cool off...we will be to blame...since according to them we are to blame because of global warming! Then what happens? We need to make sure that we understand the implications of the statements that are made to the media. In the long run they may mean more than we realize. So it is....in October of 1997 derekd@midwest.net ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 27 Oct 1997 17:26:18 -0500 From: "Daryl R. Bargiband" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 25 Oct 1997 to 26 Oct 1997 Saw Gilbert Sebenste's post of the METAR obs from Cedar Rapids IA. IF you recall the old Airways code, I would like to post something similar: BHM SA 0550 W5 X 1/4 TSW+BSF 036/32/31/3515G22/964/R05VR28V45 TB28 E MOVG NE OCNL LTGIC WND 32V02 PRESFR/ 76421 90403 44 BHM SA 0850 W3 X 1/16 TSW+BS 992/28/28 3516G23/950/R05VR16V22 TB16 TB16 ALQDS MOVG N OCNL LTGICCG WND 31V02 SNOINCR 2/4/7/ 646 90407 BHM SA 1150 W4 X 1/4 TSW+BS 002/27/27/3316/953/R05VR28V40 T N LTL MOVMT OCNL LTGIC SNOINCR 1/9/12/ 31081 90412 27 20115 This was on my shift, obviously during the "Storm of the Century", March 12-13th, 1993, which dumped a total of 13" of snow here at the Birmingham AL Airport. Much of it was "thunder-snow". A record low of 2F was recorded on March 14th. The storm stranded me at the weather station for 3 days. Local TV Met. James Spann pegged this storm so we knew it was coming. Was stranded at the station for 4 days because of the 1/2" of ice we got from a storm on Groundhog Day, 1996. Just to let you know the south has had its problems too! -Daryl R. Bargiband BHM Airport Weather Station Supervisor thaumim@aol.com ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 27 Oct 1997 16:35:56 CST From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: The Weekend Storm...El Nino? > > Topic: El Nino and Colorado Blizzard > From: Derek Dodson > derekd@midwest.net > > > It was brought to my attention by Anton Seimon, who is located out > of the University of Colorado, that Klaus Wolter, is actually at > NOAA CDC and not the University of Colorado. Obviously the Denver > Post did not get their facts straight...but never-the-less I wanted > to clear that up. > > Mr. Wolter is obviously an educated man who knows his weather. I > do, however, not agree that we can call this past weekends storm, > El Nino #1...but then on the other hand it is difficult to bring an > argument to either side. I am disappointed that basically everyone > I know believes that El Nino is responsible for every single severe > weather event during the past several months. > I am going to assume that Klaus Wolter's remarks (he does have a phD, incidentally, if that matters :) ) were a lot more tongue-in-cheek than they sounded. After all, he went on to say that El Nino storm #2 won't happen until May, meaning that not all storms are a result of El Nino. So maybe he was a little frustrated at being asked the "Is this a result of El Nino" question and gave a flip answer. Our time here at UW did overlap in the mid-80s, so knowing Klaus, I can imagine that something like that could happen. Too bad it got into print, though. Was there not, however, a very strong suntropical jet with this past storm system, and is not a strong STJ a signature of El Nino over the US? Perhaps part of the magnitude of the storm was related to El Nino, so this is more a case of El Nino modifying the weather pattern rather than causing it. One other result of El Nino: dogs shed a lot more hair. My mutt Mollie has shed more this fall than I can ever remember! Surely that's caused by El Nino! Scott -- Scott S. Lindstrom | The only other sound's scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | the sweep of easy http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | wind and downy flake ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 27 Oct 1997 18:48:20 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Model Verification Homepage...NEW STUFF! Hello all, We have just added a bunch of new stuff to the model verification homepage. We now verify the MRF out to 10 days...though there was a glitch last night with some data, all fields should update normally by 15Z Tuesday! We've also added new verification fields, and a great new interface as well! Come check us out to see how your favorite model is working. See: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/verification/ Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 27 Oct 1997 03:52:24 -0600 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Co and El Nino One of the results of El Nino is a stronger than normal sub-tropical jet. It appeared to me that the STJ was a major factor in the strength of this storm system. Sam Barricklow http://www.stormchaser.net/k5kj/tornado.htm ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 26 Oct 1997 to 27 Oct 1997 ************************************************** From - Wed Oct 29 17:32:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626696-24314>; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 13:20:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA44014; Tue, 28 Oct 1997 23:08:21 -0600 Message-Id: <199710290508.XAA44014@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 29 Oct 1997 00:00:06 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 27 Oct 1997 to 28 Oct 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: b7fc26c79caffd664bf852f20922b5ca Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 2 messages totalling 69 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Wow! Cedar Rapids, IA gets creamed... 2. tornadoes during snow +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 28 Oct 1997 14:08:20 GMT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: Wow! Cedar Rapids, IA gets creamed... In article , mike1@nospam.visi.com (Michael^'Schneider) writes: |> In article , "Gilbert L. |> Sebenste" wrote: |> |> > Hello all, |> > |> > Check out these METARs from Cedar Rapids, IA: |> > |> > [obs snipped] |> > |> > That's thunder and lightning with heavy snow for 3 hours, folks! |> > (TSSN--thunder storm with SN, snow!) This cyclone has been a dandy. Up to |> > a foot of the white stuff fell in metro Des Moines, IA; up to 4 feet |> > fell southeast of Pueblo, CO. Not bad for late October! |> |> |> |> Trivia question: Has a tornado ever been recorded as occuring with a |> thundersnowstorm? |> Someone wanna make a FAQ? This has been discussed to death, several times, both here and on wx-talk. The consensus answer is no. Scott -- Scott S. Lindstrom | The only other sound's scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | the sweep of easy http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | wind and downy flake ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 28 Oct 1997 13:35:50 CST From: Greg Stumpf Subject: tornadoes during snow >From: Scott Lindstrom > >In article , >mike1@nospam.visi.com (Michael^'Schneider) writes: >|> >|> Trivia question: Has a tornado ever been recorded as occuring with a >|> thundersnowstorm? > >This has been discussed to death, several times, both here and on wx-talk. >The consensus answer is no. I have personally witnessed a waterspout on Lake Ontario off the shore of Oswego NY, *during* a lake effect snow event. In fact, I have pictures of the waterspout. Maybe I need to post these on my Web page someday. I local lake-effect expert and former Oswego professor, Robert Sykes, called these things "snowspouts". One went through his back yard and took down trees during a lake-effect snow event (he lives about 1/4 mile from the lake shore). greg stumpf, NSSL ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 27 Oct 1997 to 28 Oct 1997 ************************************************** From - Thu Oct 30 14:12:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626862-14861>; Thu, 30 Oct 1997 13:28:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA50370; Wed, 29 Oct 1997 23:11:20 -0600 Message-Id: <199710300511.XAA50370@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 30 Oct 1997 00:01:54 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 28 Oct 1997 to 29 Oct 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: d56f00eaddfd106f9e97d634bd6b9225 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 14 messages totalling 511 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. False alarms (3) 2. Tornadoes during snow 3. Iowa NWA Call for Presentations!!! 4. Skew-T diagrams 5. TV Met Job Available 6. ADMINISTRIVIA: PLANNED DATA OUTAGE 7. mexico/wx service? (2) 8. Severe Weather Outlook changes... 9. So what does qualify as a storm report? 10. false alarms 11. Local Storm Reports - Severe Weather +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 28 Oct 1997 23:38:46 -0600 From: Mark Mears Subject: False alarms Last weekend we had a round of strong thunderstorms here in and around Huntsville, Alabama. I've had several people ask me why so many tornado warnings were issued when there were no actual tornadoes reported. I thought I'd pass this along to get others' thoughts on the subject. I understand how warnings are issued based on 88-D meso indications, but the vast majority of people out there aren't aware of these details. To them, it just seems like a case of the "boy who cried wolf". To complicate the issue further, we're "lucky" enough to have local TV stations who don't hesitate to pull the plug on regular programming and go with wall-to-wall coverage of severe weather. This is great for people like me who can't get enough of the coverage, but many people only find it irritating. After all, no amount of live coverage will convince people to take cover if they've stopped watching. Worse yet, what if people heed the warnings, only to seek shelter in an inappropriate place? (Remember what happened in Jarrel, Texas? People rushed home to be with their loved ones, only to be killed there.) Here's the questions I've come up with: 1) is there a commonly accepted value for the "false alarm rate" for tornado warnings; in other words, how many tornado warnings actually produce an observed tornado. Is this rate different between different parts of the country? 2) Is there any way that we can lower the false alarm rate without increasing the number of missed detections? The way it was put to me, the value of the term "tornado warning" is decreased whenever we get one of these situations with lots of false alarms (this isn't the first time it's happened around here). I had the following suggestion put to me: Why couldn't there be a level of warning between "severe thunderstorm" and "tornado" that would be activated whenever a meso signature is detected, but no actual tornado has yet been observed? We've got to remember that the goal of severe-weather forecasting isn't to demonstrate to the public our sophisticated radars and storm-trackers. All the fancy hardware and software is there for a single purpose: to allow people to live their lives without an undue fear that they will be caught off-guard by potentially deadly weather. Tornado-related deaths constitute a minority of weather-related fatalities, yet an amazing amount of time is spent on this particular phenomenon, while dangerous lightning-producing thunderstorms can be completely ignored by the system now in place if they don't fit the "severe" criteria. I hope I'm not misunderstood here -- the system we have is much better than what we had 50 years ago. A great deal of progress has been made. I guess the central question is, are we becoming so caught-up in the technology that we may be starting to lose sight of what the customers need? -- Mark Mears President Aninoquisi 112 Bruce Street Huntland, TN 37345 931.469.7024 http://www.edge.net/asd/ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 29 Oct 1997 03:45:19 +0000 From: Dave Longley Subject: Tornadoes during snow > Date: Tue, 28 Oct 1997 13:35:50 CST > From: Greg Stumpf > Subject: tornadoes during snow > > >From: Scott Lindstrom > > > >In article , > >mike1@nospam.visi.com (Michael^'Schneider) writes: > >|> > >|> Trivia question: Has a tornado ever been recorded as occuring with a > >|> thundersnowstorm? > > > >This has been discussed to death, several times, both here and on wx-talk. > >The consensus answer is no. > > I have personally witnessed a waterspout on Lake Ontario off the shore > of Oswego NY, *during* a lake effect snow event. In fact, I have > pictures of the waterspout. Maybe I need to post these on my Web page > someday. > > I local lake-effect expert and former Oswego professor, Robert Sykes, > called these things "snowspouts". One went through his back yard and > took down trees during a lake-effect snow event (he lives about 1/4 > mile from the lake shore). > > > greg stumpf, NSSL > > ------------------------------ Just last week with the cold outbreak across the Northern US, there were 4 waterspouts observed over Lake Ontario just north of Oswego, NY associated with an intense band of lake effect snow. I am an associate of Mr. Sykes and have experienced one of these "snowspouts." In January of 1994, during a severe Arctic outbreak, a band of lake effect snow set up off Lake Ontario, dumping between 4-5" of snow per hour with nearly 9 hours of continuous lightning!! The base velocity display from the Griffiss (RMX) 88D showed a low-level jet of 50+ kts within the band. There were reports of uprooted trees and a roof was partially torn off of a warehouse 4 miles down the road from my house (I lived less than a 1/4 mile from the lakeshore.) 500mb temps were on the order of -40C and 850mb temps were around -25C. With lake temperatures around 4C, that makes for some incredible instability!! Dave Longley WIXT NewsChannel 9, Syracuse ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 28 Oct 1997 21:04:42 -0600 From: John McLaughlin Subject: Iowa NWA Call for Presentations!!! (PLEASE REDISTRIBUTE ON LOCAL WEBPAGES/NEWSGROUPS) Iowa National Weather Association Severe Storms and Doppler Radar Conference to be held 3-5 April 1998 in Des Moines, IA. More than 200 expected to attend second annual gathering! We are inviting presentations and posters on all aspects of severe weather, including but not limited to: Media-NWS-Spotters-Emergenecy Management: Communication, Coordination and Cooperation. Tornadoes, tornadoes, tornadoes. Damaging wind events. Low Level Jetstream. Hydrometeorology. Hurricane Hunters, the ultimate storm chasers? TV meteorologists and the use of Doppler radar, the continuing debate. Doppler radar, what is on the horizon? Storm chasers video-fest (show and tell session) One paragraph abstracts should be emailed to: John McLaughlin Central Iowa NWA johnmc49@ecity.net Additional conference details posted at: http://www.ecity.net/~iowanwa/ Registration before January 1 is $75.00, $50 for students, and $250 for vendors (includes 10 minute presentation). Registration should be mailed to: Central Iowa NWA Box 7512 Urbandale, IA 50322 Hotel information: Holiday Inn Des Moines Airport Room rate is $65.00 Reservation Line: 1-800-248-4013 ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 29 Oct 1997 08:50:37 +0000 From: Dave Longley Subject: Skew-T diagrams Dear Wx-Talkers, I was wondering if anyone out knew of a place where you could order skew-t/log p diagrams. I'm interested in plotting some soundings but have had difficulty in locating some charts. If you could email me, that would be great. Dave Longley NewsChannel 9, Syracuse dlongley@wixt.com ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 29 Oct 1997 09:43:42 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available METEOROLOGIST - KXLY-TV, ABC Spokane, WA is looking for a meteorologist for it's evening newscasts, 5pm, 6pm and 11pm. We're serious about the weather.  The successful candidate will have a thorough knowledge of weather graphic systems and possess an AMS or NWA seal. Excellent communication skills are essential. Send resume and tape to Human Resources Director, KXLY-TV, 500 w Boone, Spokane, WA 99201. EEO. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 29 Oct 1997 10:02:42 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: ADMINISTRIVIA: PLANNED DATA OUTAGE Our network administration has announced a planned service interruption 7PM CST Saturday night to 1AM CST Sunday morning (that' s 01Z to 07Z Sunday in UTC terms). This outage will affect data being sent to the various WX-****** data lists (like WX-TROPL, WX-ATLAN, WX-STORM). Please make other arrangements if you *need* data during this time. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 29 Oct 1997 10:48:03 -0600 From: Charles Edwards Subject: Re: False alarms At 11:38 PM 10/28/97 -0600, Mark Mears wrote: >Worse yet, what if people heed the warnings, only to seek shelter in an >inappropriate place? (Remember what happened in Jarrel, Texas? People >rushed home to be with their loved ones, only to be killed there.) The people in Jerrel did not seek shelter in inappropriate places. The went to tthe center part of the house. In most cases this would have been fine. In the rare F5 tornado, underground is the only save place. These people were just unlucky. Sometimes you can do everything right and still loose. >2) Is there any way that we can lower the false alarm rate without >increasing the number of missed detections? Yes there is. Learn more about what makes a tornado happen. >The way it was put to me, the value of the term "tornado warning" is >decreased whenever we get one of these situations with lots of false alarms >(this isn't the first time it's happened around here). > >I had the following suggestion put to me: Why couldn't there be a level of >warning between "severe thunderstorm" and "tornado" that would be activated >whenever a meso signature is detected, but no actual tornado has yet been >observed? This would decrease the value of the "radar indicated" tornado warning. What about those people who ignore it waiting for a "sighting" warning and just happen to be the initial touchdown location of the tornado? A warning does not mean that there is a tornado about to hit YOU. Tornadoes affect a only small area. Charles Edwards cedwards@rossby.metr.ou.edu storms@pair.com http://www3.pair.com/storms ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 29 Oct 1997 10:44:11 -0600 From: "Mathew L. Powers" Subject: mexico/wx service? A meteorology student here at COD will be moving to Mexico for a couple of years and was curious about jobs in meteorology, private or government, that are available down there. Neither Paul nor I really know anything about it. Does anyone out in wx-talk land have any knowledge on this subject? Thanks in advance for any input! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Matt Powers: powers@weather.cod.edu I still use my 630/942-2590 colored pencils! College of Dupage/NEXLAB (near Chi-town) http://weather.cod.edu/ Multi-County Skywarn http://weather.cod.edu/skywarn/ and Ob's at MDW-Chicago for fun ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 29 Oct 1997 09:23:59 -0800 From: Jeffrey Logan Subject: Re: mexico/wx service? I wouldn't count on many openings in the government arena...unless they have contacts in the government to begin with. During a conversation with a NWS communications guy, he noted that after the recent Mexican election many of the personnel in the government weather service were pushed out in favor of others...most likely cronies. And many of the new personnel don't know much about the operations of the place so the quality and quantity of meteorological reports has deteoriated. Jeff /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\ | Jeffrey D Logan loganj@fnoc.navy.mil Monterey, CA | |FNMOC - Data Dept (408)656-4463 (408)656-4489 (fax)| \/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/ ______________________________ Reply Separator _________________________________ Subject: mexico/wx service? Author: "Mathew L. Powers" at SMTPLINK-FNOC Date: 10/29/97 10:44 AM A meteorology student here at COD will be moving to Mexico for a couple of years and was curious about jobs in meteorology, private or government, that are available down there. Neither Paul nor I really know anything about it. Does anyone out in wx-talk land have any knowledge on this subject? Thanks in advance for any input! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Matt Powers: powers@weather.cod.edu I still use my 630/942-2590 colored pencils! College of Dupage/NEXLAB (near Chi-town) http://weather.cod.edu/ Multi-County Skywarn http://weather.cod.edu/skywarn/ and Ob's at MDW-Chicago for fun ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 29 Oct 1997 13:00:54 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: False alarms On Tue, 28 Oct 1997, Mark Mears wrote: > Last weekend we had a round of strong thunderstorms here in and around > Huntsville, Alabama. I've had several people ask me why so many tornado > warnings were issued when there were no actual tornadoes reported. I > thought I'd pass this along to get others' thoughts on the subject. Tornado WATCHES? or Tornado WARNINGS were issued? Todd ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 29 Oct 1997 13:21:19 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Severe Weather Outlook changes... >From today's SWODY1: BEGINNING ON MONDAY NOVEMBER 3, AN ADDITIONAL DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT 11Z. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 29 Oct 1997 13:48:19 -0600 From: James Derek Dodson Subject: So what does qualify as a storm report? Topic: These Washington Storm Reports??? From: Derek Dodson derekd@midwest.net I noticed this report from today's SPC logbook...I was wondering if anyone could tell me exactly what qualifies for these reports. ZCZC DD+ 54759 WWUS30 KGEG 291834 COR LSRGEG PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA 1130 AM PDT WED OCT 29 1997 TIME(PDT) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... ....COUNTY LOCATION.... 1029 AM MAZAMA WA 10/29/97 OKANOGAN 1015 PST SPOTTER REPORTS 0.62 INCHES OF RAIN LAST 24 HOURS We get rain like this all the time in Illinois and it does not get placed in a SPC log. Thanks derekd@midwest.net ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 29 Oct 1997 13:48:22 -0600 From: Mark Mears Subject: Re: false alarms In reference to my earlier post, I'd like to set the record straight on one point. I'm guilty of inappropriately citing the Jerrel tornado to illustrate the point I was trying to make. It's only in hindsight that we're able to say that those poor people did the wrong thing by rushing home. No one could have known at the time that perfectly reasonable and understandable actions would have had such tragic consequences. There's a very good chance that that particular warning saved more lives than it cost. A better example may be the case of the infamous "turnpike tornado" of 1991. Eventhough the warning was well-publicized, many in that Andover trailer park chose to disregard it, perhaps because they'd been desensitized to such warnings over the years; perhaps because they had the "it can't happen to me" attitude. The toughest part of the whole warning system is in getting people to pay attention. -- Mark Mears President Aninoquisi 112 Bruce Street Huntland, TN 37345 931.469.7024 http://www.edge.net/asd/ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 29 Oct 1997 16:35:07 -0600 From: James Derek Dodson Subject: Local Storm Reports - Severe Weather Topic: Severe Local Storm Report - El Nino Weather?? From: derekd@midwest.net I found this storm report and thought it was interesting...This has happened at my house several times during the past week and I was curious as to whether anyone else has had this happened. I was also wodering if this could be due to the current El Nino in the Pacific? Thanks ZCZC DD WWUS60 KGEG 291834 COR LSRGEG PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT The We Just Had Something Interesting Happen 200 PM CDT WED OCT 29 1997 TIME(CDT) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... ....COUNTY LOCATION.... 200 PM Metropolis IL 10/29/97 Metropolis Spotter Report Leaves Falling From Trees Visibility Is Low Leaves Are At Least 12" Deep Now Outside The House 500 PM Metropolis IL 10/29/97 Metropolis Spotter Report Spotter reports that since last Saturday It Appears That It Is Getting Darker Much Ealier Than It Had Been. Possibly Linked To El Nino NNNN So anyway...I noticed that Washington State reported some rain in their last LSR. I wonder if it was heavy rain or just light rain? ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 28 Oct 1997 to 29 Oct 1997 ************************************************** From - Fri Oct 31 19:29:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626969-3675>; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 14:18:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA04362; Fri, 31 Oct 1997 00:11:40 -0600 Message-Id: <199710310611.AAA04362@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 00:02:00 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 29 Oct 1997 to 30 Oct 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 8298a8ca559d23dbd7fdcb3f2dae0688 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 9 messages totalling 373 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Saturday Night Live and El Nino 2. WX-TALK Digest - 28 Oct 1997 to 29 Oct 1997 3. Mexico Wx Service 4. TV Met Job Available 5. North Alabama False Alarms (2) 6. Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 13 7. SCH BREAKING NEWS 8. LSR's +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 26 Oct 1997 20:21:14 -0600 From: "Ryan C. McCammon" Subject: Saturday Night Live and El Nino As a few of you may know...I'm a big SNL fan...always have been. Chris Farley was the guest host last night, and played "El Nino", a member of the WWF. Very funny skit. I hope someone else saw it besides me. He could "take on any tropical storm." Rhino http://www.telepath.com/mccammon/ Email: blizzardwarning@juno.com heavysnow@hotmail.com big_80s@yahoo.com ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 30 Oct 1997 05:42:26 -0600 From: Dan Satterfield Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 28 Oct 1997 to 29 Oct 1997 Mark wrote: >Subject: False alarms > >Last weekend we had a round of strong thunderstorms here in and around >Huntsville, Alabama. I've had several people ask me why so many tornado >warnings were issued when there were no actual tornadoes reported. I >thought I'd pass this along to get others' thoughts on the subject. > >I understand how warnings are issued based on 88-D meso indications, but >the vast majority of people out there aren't aware of these details. To >them, it just seems like a case of the "boy who cried wolf". To complicate >the issue further, we're "lucky" enough to have local TV stations who don't >hesitate to pull the plug on regular programming and go with wall-to-wall >coverage of severe weather. Mark, I think your question about false alarm rates is a good one and I would bet the the HSV office has one of the highest in the country on Tornado Warnings...especially after last weekends debacle. I am very concious of the "cry wolf" syndrome which is why we cancelled the warning and went back to regular programming on 2 of those warnings...the NWS should have done the same thing but being the only NWS office in the country WITHOUT nexrad data still issuing warnings they simply don't have the data to do it. I hesitate to give an all clear even when Nexrad was indicating nothing more than a thundershower so I waited until one of our trained spotters was underneath the supposed tornado before doing so..that leaves me on the air for a good 15 minutes...and while it seems like forever to me I have to keep in mind that thousands of people are turning on tv during that time after hearing the sirens...or NOAA radio go off. Fortunately, warning responsibility will transfer to BHM on Dec 2 and I suspect we will see far fewer tornado warnings and a much better CSI from that office. In case you missed it we did a story Tuesday night and aired a quote from the MIC at the HSV office saying that keeping it open would be a danger to the public. Dan _________________________________________________________________ Dan Satterfield Chief Meteorologist WHNT-TV Huntsville, AL ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 30 Oct 1997 07:49:45 -0500 From: Bernard Miville Subject: Mexico Wx Service Concerning the Mexico Wx Service: As a first step, you can have a look at their home page: Servicio Meteorologico Nacional: http://smn.cna.gob.mx/SMN.html or contact their webmaster desparza@gsmn.cna.gob.mx Good luck, Bernard -- --------------------------------------------- InterMet International Meteorology Magazine http://www.magma.ca/~intermet/ intermet@magma.ca --------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 30 Oct 1997 09:22:33 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available MORNING WEATHERCASTER (WICU-TV) NBC affiliate in Erie, Pennsylvania has an immediate opening for a morning weathercaster.  Meteorologist Preferred. Very challenging weather market with lots of lake effect snow and tricky storms coming off Lake Erie.   You need to have both weather and television experience.  Job includes producing and presenting weather segments in our morning newscasts as well as environmental/outdoor reporting. Send resume, references and non-returnable VHS or 3/4-inch tape to Mike Conway, News Director, WICU/WFXP-TV, 3514 State St., Erie, PA, 16508.  EOE.  Minorities encouraged to apply.  No phone calls please. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 30 Oct 1997 10:28:12 -0600 From: Ken Poore Subject: North Alabama False Alarms In reference to the posts by Mark Mears , I, too, am a bit dismayed at last weekend's numerous tornado warnings (yes, they were indeed warnings) without any confirmed tornado sightings or damage (as far as I know). Around the lunch table yesterday, a few folks were talking about it, and even those that have no keen interest in weather were concerned about the 'cry wolf' situation developing around here. I would guestimate that of the last 20 tornado warnings issued over the last year or so, less than 5 could be confirmed with tornado-on-the-ground sightings or substantiated with damage after-the-fact. I don't have the time to do the actual research to figure out how close my guestimate is, but if I'm anywhere close, is 1 'real' tornado out of 4 warnings an acceptable ratio? How does that compare to other areas of the country? Folks around here appear to be getting really desensitized to 'tornado warning', as unfortunate as that is. Ken Poore Harvest, Alabama ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 30 Oct 1997 10:58:45 -0600 From: Jason Kelley Subject: Re: North Alabama False Alarms Ken Poore wrote: > In reference to the posts by Mark Mears , I, too, am a bit > dismayed at last weekend's numerous tornado warnings (yes, they were indeed > warnings) without any confirmed tornado sightings or damage (as far as I > know). > > Around the lunch table yesterday, a few folks were talking about it, and > even those that have no keen interest in weather were concerned about the > 'cry wolf' situation developing around here. I would guestimate that of > the last 20 tornado warnings issued over the last year or so, less than 5 > could be confirmed with tornado-on-the-ground sightings or substantiated > with damage after-the-fact. > > I don't have the time to do the actual research to figure out how close my > guestimate is, but if I'm anywhere close, is 1 'real' tornado out of 4 > warnings an acceptable ratio? How does that compare to other areas of the > country? Folks around here appear to be getting really desensitized to > 'tornado warning', as unfortunate as that is. Ken, I believe one of the problems has to do with the limitations of the Huntsville office....not the people there, who I understand are excellent forecasters, but the forecast tools they are forced to use. I was monitoring the local Nexrads and a few media radars as well as the radar at WFO HSV. One important point to remember is that although the Hytop Nexrad is online, HSV is not getting the data. They are using the older WSR-74C radar that has had a doppler radar upgrade added to it. This is a fine radar, but it does have some important differences, namely, the way that the scans are done on it and the 88D's. The 88D does a volume scan...taking a full sample of the atmosphere from the ground up. The benefit is that the radar can compute sophisticated computer Algorithms to determine estimated max hail size, the threat of mesocyclone or Tornadoes, etc. The drawback is that doing the full volume scan takes some time, so there is generally a "lag time" between product availability, most commonly 6 minutes in the common "Precip" mode. The 74C by way of contrast is a sweep to sweep radar, where the operator controls the elevation angles and sweep strategy. This allows a more rapid update cycle, but gives you (somewhat) less information than the 88'D, that is, there are no detection algorithms to aid the forecaster. After looking at the data in retrospect, I can see few differences in what I would have done in their shoes. They were getting funnel cloud reports from TRAINED spotters out in the field. The radars were showing persistant rotational signatures for several minutes. All the data was indicating that these could be tornadoes, so I submit it was prudent to issue these warnings. It's better to err on the side of caution, In My Opinion. The above observations are mine and mine alone, and in no way reflect those of my employer or the NWS. Jason Kelley Meteorologist Huntsville, AL ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 30 Oct 1997 15:10:00 -0600 From: "Padgett, James G." Subject: Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 13 >From the latest Typhoon Keith warning: -------------------------------------------------------- REMARKS: 302100Z6 POSITION 8.8N6 157.6E9 DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS UNDERGONE RAPID TO EXPLOSIVE DEEPENING WHILE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND ACCELERATING. OUR WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 21 NM RAGGED EYE AND A 301730Z4 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T5.0 (90 KNOTS). WE EXPECT TYPHOON KEITH TO CONTINUE TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY AND REACH SUPER TYPHOON STRENGTH (130 KNOTS) WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS BASED ON THE FAVORABLE INFLOW-OUTFLOW PATTERN THAT HAS DEVELOPED. THERE IS NO COMPETITION FOR LOW-LEVEL INFLOW WITH KEITH BEING THE ONLY SIGNIFICANT CIRCULATION IN THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC BASIN. ALSO, MANUAL STREAMLINE ANALYSIS AT 301200Z6 INDICATES TYPHOON KEITH=S UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS LINKED UP WITH 3 TUTT CELLS TO THE NORTHEAST, SOUTHEAST, AND WEST OF THE SYSTEM WHICH ARE ACTING AS MASS SINKS. THIS UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN IS CONDUCIVE FOR CONTINUED STRENGTHENING AND FOR KEITH TO MAINTAIN SUPER TYPHOON INTENSITY WHEN IT TRAVERSES THE SOUTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS IN ABOUT 60 HOURS AS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 5 TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z2 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO --------------------------------------------------------- This is the first time I can remember seeing any JTWC warnings allude to the Saffir/Simpson categories. If this typhoon does pass through the Marianas as a supertyphoon, it will be about the 5th one this season to strike the island chain. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 30 Oct 1997 19:00:31 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: SCH BREAKING NEWS We now have exclusive information on the spectacular two day meteorology student weather and forecasting workshop at the College of DuPage on March 5 and 6, 1997. If you are a meteorology student in college, or even if you're greatly interested in meteorology, you absolutely can't afford to miss this! Our profession's finest will be there, teaching you the latest in our field! We have the details on prices, speakers, and more! Check it out on the Storm Chaser Homepage announcements section: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/announce.html And then one month later in April, meteorology professionals, storm chasers and many more will gather at the NWA Severe Storms Conference in Des Moines Iowa...the event was awesome this year and promises to be great next year!. Get all the details on the Storm Chaser Homepage! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 30 Oct 1997 21:04:30 -0500 From: Kenneth Cook Subject: LSR's At 12:01 AM 10/30/97 -0500, you wrote: > >Date: Wed, 29 Oct 1997 13:48:19 -0600 >From: James Derek Dodson >Subject: So what does qualify as a storm report? > >Topic: These Washington Storm Reports??? >From: Derek Dodson >derekd@midwest.net > >I noticed this report from today's SPC logbook...I was wondering if >anyone could tell me exactly what qualifies for these reports. > >ZCZC DD+ 54759 >WWUS30 KGEG 291834 COR >LSRGEG > >PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT >NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA >1130 AM PDT WED OCT 29 1997 > >TIME(PDT) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... > ....COUNTY LOCATION.... > >1029 AM MAZAMA WA >10/29/97 OKANOGAN 1015 PST SPOTTER REPORTS > 0.62 >INCHES OF RAIN LAST > 24 >HOURS > > > > >We get rain like this all the time in Illinois and it does not get >placed in a SPC log. > >Thanks > >derekd@midwest.net > LSR's can and are occasionally used for more than the enjoyment of people who have an interest in weather. Before you are critical of these reports you might consider the following... 1. LSR's can and are used by some NWS offices for coordination between offices. For example, if they were reporting that city X has rain falling at 6000 ft., they might be concerned about the snow levels dropping. I imagine it is much more efficient to disseminate an LSR than to phone other offices. Additionally, if this is what the concern is, it alarms the local media of the same fact. 2. Just because certain things happen in your neighborhood all the time doesn't mean that it's not something to be concerned with somewhere else. For example, when I lived in Florida and when we received 3-4 inches of rain in one hour or better yet 8 inches in 24 hours, it would be just a heavy rain with some standing water around for a few hours after it subsided. But, put that about of rain in the mountains and people die. 3. It can be inferred that the sole use for the LSR is for verification for SPC or local but, they serve a much higher value to persons who use these products for something other than entertainment. Ken email: cyclone68@mindspring.com ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- "We hold these truths to be sacred & undeniable; that all men are created equal & independent, that from that equal creation they derive rights inherent & unalienable, among which are the preservation of life, & liberty, & the pursuit of happiness." - Pre Continental Congress, Jefferson's origional draft for The Declaration of Independence, July 4, 1776 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 29 Oct 1997 to 30 Oct 1997 ************************************************** From - Sun Nov 2 23:23:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626488-22680>; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 14:09:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA45314; Sat, 1 Nov 1997 00:04:13 -0600 Message-Id: <199711010604.AAA45314@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 00:01:16 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 30 Oct 1997 to 31 Oct 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: b10812c482ea3a5ff01caa090d47219d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 11 messages totalling 465 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. El Nino Advisory Oct 1997 No. 2 2. Tulsa NWS URL? (2) 3. Skew-T / Log-P charts (3) 4. LSR (2) 5. October Blizzard -- GOES-8 imagery 6. ADMINISTRIVIA: PLANNED DATA OUTAGE 7. Digital Atmosphere +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 29 Oct 1997 18:46:04 -0500 From: James G Munley Jr <71435.211@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: El Nino Advisory Oct 1997 No. 2 EL NINO ADVISORY 97/2 October 28, 1997 DISCUSSION Oceanic and atmospheric indices from the past two months indicated further strengthening of the current warm episode in the central and eastern Pacific and now strong warm ENSO conditions continue to dominate the tropical Pacific. Surface sea surface temperatures (SST) have continue to increase and SST greater than 28xC (80xF) were observed in the tropical Pacific west of 130xW. SST remained above normal in the tropical Pacific with anomalies exceeding 4xF east of 170xW and 8xF east of 120xW and as much as 10xF near the Peru coast. SST along the Equator are the highest observed in decades. The warm current has not yet reached the United States with SST along the West coast are currently averaging near to slightly above normal. Enhanced tropical convection was observed near the date line. Also, very strong low-level westerlies winds were observed near the equator from 140xE and 130xW with easterly wind anomalies east of 110xW. Negative sea-level pressures were observed throughout the central and eastern Pacific. A change in the circulation near Indonesia was observed with descending air and ascending air over the central and eastern equatorial Pacific. Also the oceanic thermo-cline deepened across the entire equatorial Pacific. IMPACT During an El Nino temperature and precipitation anomalies develop in regions around the world. It also causes a change in the jet stream configuration and behavior of storm systems. Following paths that differ from normal. Some areas of the globe are already feeling the impact, with wetter than normal conditions in the central and eastern Pacific. Drier than normal conditions have been observed across Indonesia, central America, Mexico and equatorial regions of South America. In the United States, the wet and cool conditions in the northern Plains and parts of the East, and the drier than normal conditions in the mid-Atlantic region. FORECAST Current trends and forecast models indicate that the current warm episode should continue and may strengthen through the end of this year and continue through the Spring of 1998. Deep convection is expected to continue through the Winter in the tropical eastern Pacific. The atmospheric circulation associated with a warm episode is not expected to reach North America for another two months. It is difficult to predict exactly how each warm episode impact will be on global weather patterns as each episodes reacts differently. The strength and the jet stream and its influence on weather systems differ among warm episodes. It depend of the intensity and locations of the warm pools of water and the timing of which it occurs. Storms are more intense in the Gulf of Alaska pumping warm air into western canada and western and northern portions of the U.S. Storms are also expected to be more intense in the Gulf of Mexico resulting in wet conditions in the southern U.S. Jim Munley Jr. 71435.211@compuserve.com ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 05:37:52 -0600 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Tulsa NWS URL? Could someone send me the URL for the Tulsa NWS website? And, did anyone attend the Chaser Conference in Tulsa this summer? Thanks, Sam Barricklow http://www.stormchaser.net/k5kj/news.htm ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 10:01:18 -0600 From: Kevin Satkus Subject: Re: Tulsa NWS URL? www.nwstulsa.noaa.gov Sam Barricklow wrote: > Could someone send me the URL for the Tulsa NWS website? > > And, did anyone attend the Chaser Conference in Tulsa this summer? > > Thanks, > > Sam Barricklow > http://www.stormchaser.net/k5kj/news.htm > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 09:13:50 -0700 From: Greg Thompson Subject: Skew-T / Log-P charts > Dave Longley wrote: > > I was wondering if anyone out knew of a place where you could > > order skew-t/log p diagrams. I'm interested in plotting some > > soundings but have had difficulty in locating some charts. If you > > could email me, that would be great. I have some bad news. Skew-T / Log-P charts are available from the Defense Mapping Agency. Sadly enough you must be a military person to order this chart. They will not let me, as an employee of NCAR order this chart. This is ridiculous. What kind of military secret is a skewt chart. Here's the full info for those of you who are military and can order a skewt. In return for this info, I'd really, really like someone to send me a few (5-10) charts. DMA Aerospace Products Volume 1 Stock #WPCXX091601 Phone: (301) 227-2495 or 1-800-826-0342 or fax: (301) 227-3095 Don't bother trying to reason with the person on the other end of this phone number. They are the rudest people I have _EVER_ talked with. They make the folks at Motor Vehicle Admin seem like saints. -- +--------------------------------------------------------------+ | Greg Thompson http://www.rap.ucar.edu/staff/gthompsn/ | | Research Applications Program | | (303) 497-2805 National Center for Atmospheric Research | | (fax) -8401 P.O. Box 3000 Boulder, CO 80307-3000 | +--------------------------------------------------------------+ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 17:00:50 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: Skew-T / Log-P charts Greg Thompson wrote: > I have some bad news. Skew-T / Log-P charts are available from the > Defense Mapping Agency. Sadly enough you must be a military person > to order this chart. Hmmm...has the end of the Cold War made them change their policies? I ordered several of their weather station locator maps and small versions (18" x 18") of their Skew-T chart back in 1991. There was no inquiry as to my military status (perhaps they assumed that I was a government employee from my NASA Langley Research Center mailing address?). I recall ordering from a DMA office in the St. Louis area -- Greg, is this where you attempted to order from? -Scott -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS VISIT Program CIMSS | University of Wisconsin-Madison asb@ty.ssec.wisc.edu | www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 11:04:08 -0600 From: James Derek Dodson Subject: Re: LSR Ken Wrote the following reply to my earlier post and I thought it was necessary to reply and to further ask some questions concerning the subject. >LSR's can and are occasionally used for more than the enjoyment of people >who have an interest in weather. Before you are critical of these reports write >you might consider the following... I am not sure who would be using LSR reports for entertainment purposes. I personally use them to see what types of severe weather has occurred during the past 24 hours. I also use them to determine what type of energy a storm is packing as it moves into our local area. Working with the NWS as a storm spotter and for local Emergency Services I have often time looked over Local Storm Reports for information on what type of damage a storm has produced in areas near my location. Although one can not rely on LSRs to be timely since often times the National Weather Service will not issue one until well after a storms passage...as damage reports come into their office. >1. LSR's can and are used by some NWS offices for coordination between >offices. For example, if they were reporting that city X has rain falling >at 6000 ft., they might be concerned about the snow levels dropping. I >imagine it is much more efficient to disseminate an LSR than to phone other >offices. Additionally, if this is what the concern is, it alarms the local >media of the same fact. I would think that if information as important as whether or not snow levels might be dropping would be obtained from some other source other than LSRs. National Weather Service Offices could not possibly rely on LSRs for timely information. There are better ways for each NWS office to reach each other...such as the phone if necessary...that would be their job...at least I would hope that NWS offices are not relying on LSRs to change their forecasts. >2. Just because certain things happen in your neighborhood all the time >doesn't mean that it's not something to be concerned with somewhere else. >For example, when I lived in Florida and when we received 3-4 inches of >rain in one hour or better yet 8 inches in 24 hours, it would be just a >heavy rain with some standing water around for a few hours after it >subsided. But, put that about of rain in the mountains and people die. I would agree that a 1" rainfall or 1" snowfall here in Southern Illinois would likely never make it into a LSR. I would note that the only LSRs that I have ever read that contain such information have come from Washington and Oregon. I also have noted that often times these reports are not coming from Flood Prone areas...but rather areas along the coast and even coastal islands. If a storm produces flash flooding or damage then I would agree that perhaps it should be noted in a LSR...but just to put out rainfall totals in LSRs, I would think, is not necessary. There are other types of summaries and statements that NWS Offices put out that would include that information. >3. It can be inferred that the sole use for the LSR is for verification for >SPC or local but, they serve a much higher value to persons who use these >products for something other than entertainment. Again...I do not know who uses LSRs for entertainment...although some of the stuff that comes out of Washington is funny. I have read LSRs from Washington that say nothing more than "thunderstorm" in a certain area. Imagine if every NWS Office were to put out a LSR when a thunderstorms passes near them. I have a question concerning SPC. I have noticed that in the daily summaries they do not include the Washington and Oregon rainfall reports or other type items from that area. Is there a reason for this or does SPC just use those for damaging thunderstorm winds, tornadoes, and hail reports?? Again...thanks for the information and your opinion on that subject. I do not understand, as well as a lot of other people, why those particular NWS Offices issue LSRs for the reasons they do...but if someone in that area could shed some light on that matter that would be GREAT! I would think in the end it really does not matter whether or not they issue them or not...it is just interesting to know the differences between why some NWS Offices use LSRs for the reasons that they do! >Ken >email: cyclone68@mindspring.com >From Derek Dodson derekd@midwest.net BRING ON THE SNOW!!!!!!! We Are Waiting!!!!!!!!!!!! ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 18:34:59 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: October Blizzard -- GOES-8 imagery WX-TALK, I've posted a few GOES-8 images and animations from the recent October Blizzard on our CIMSS GOES Gallery at http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/misc/oct97_winter_storm.html More images and some descriptive text will be added soon; the page is still in an embryonic stage, but there's a bit there to whet the appetite of you winter weather fans... -Scott -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS VISIT Program CIMSS | University of Wisconsin-Madison asb@ty.ssec.wisc.edu | www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 13:32:54 -0600 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: LSR >I would agree that a 1" rainfall or 1" snowfall here in Southern >Illinois would likely never make it into a LSR. I would note that >the only LSRs that I have ever read that contain such information >have come from Washington and Oregon. You are correct that only WA and OR site rain in their LSRs. This is actually an inappropriate use of this product. I'll quote from the NWS Operations Manual C: "Most properly, LSRs are used to enhance the credence of warnings and to provide documentation of severe weather events not otherwise documented in severe weather or flood/flash flood warnings, severe weather/flash flood statements, or NOWs." >If a storm >produces flash flooding or damage then I would agree that perhaps it >should be noted in a LSR...but just to put out rainfall totals in >LSRs, I would think, is not necessary. There are other types of >summaries and statements that NWS Offices put out that would include >that information. > This is correct. The various STP and RR1-7 products are intended for this purpose. >I have a question concerning SPC. I have noticed that in the daily >summaries they do not include the Washington and Oregon rainfall >reports or other type items from that area. Is there a reason for >this or does SPC just use those for damaging thunderstorm winds, >tornadoes, and hail reports?? > Yes, there is a reason,.. perhaps more than one reason. As I have mentioned before, the LSR is required to be in a specific format for automated ingest at SPC. Seattle is the only WSFO that can't seem to put it in the correct format. I'll give them credit tho'... they seem to be iterating towards the correct format. The only thing wrong now is that the state (WA) needs to be moved over two columns. With no state to reference, the report does not get into the SPC summary. However, even if they do manage to fix the format, the SPC summary may report only severe weather reports. I'm not sure about this, but given what the "S" in SPC stands for, it wouldn't surprise me. They might report only things such as tornadoes, hail, flooding, wind damage, etc. ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President - Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 14:00:54 -0600 From: Karl Werner Schulze Subject: Re: Skew-T / Log-P charts At 09:13 AM 10/31/97 -0700, Greg Thompson wrote: > I have some bad news. Skew-T / Log-P charts are available from the > Defense Mapping Agency. Sadly enough you must be a military person > to order this chart. They will not let me, as an employee of > NCAR order this chart. This is ridiculous. What kind of military > secret is a skewt chart. I have heard a similar story about the SKEW-T. I wish I could remember *who* this happened to. At first, this person had the feeling he was asking for blueprints for the B-2 bomber or something. Eventually, he was able to obtain the charts, after probably many phone calls. I guess it depends on who you ask. If you call the "Men in Black" department, they'll flash you with that memory-thingie. Sorry, I can't help you on *where* to get some.....but I can offer an assurance that you can succeed! Anybody know the answer?! Karl *************************************************************** * Karl Werner Schulze HAM Radio Call: KB9JRJ * * Meteorology Graduate Student - Texas A&M University * * E-Mail: kschulze@ariel.met.tamu.edu * * Snail-Mail: 7703 Gettysburg CT., College Station, TX 77845 * * Disclaimer: SUE ME! * *************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 17:14:32 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: ADMINISTRIVIA: PLANNED DATA OUTAGE THE FOLLOWING IS A REPEAT OF THE MESSAGE I SENT EARLIER THIS WEEK. Our network administration has announced a planned service interruption 7PM CST Saturday night to 1AM CST Sunday morning (that' s 01Z to 07Z Sunday in UTC terms). This outage will affect data being sent to the various WX-****** data lists (like WX-TROPL, WX-ATLAN, WX-STORM). Please make other arrangements if you *need* data during this time. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 31 Oct 1997 23:21:27 -0500 From: Tim Vasquez <71611.2267@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: Digital Atmosphere The home of Digital Atmosphere and WeatherGraphix has recently moved to www.weathergraphics.com. This was done to give our users faster downloads and allow for some renovation. Please update your bookmarks. A tech support document was placed there tonight which lists and explains all known bugs in Digital Atmosphere V1.3 beta, along with workarounds and comments. It was assembled entirely from user messages and E-mails, and is the basis for coding improvements in the upcoming Digital Atmosphere V2.0 (which is shaping up to be an incredible application). The document is a must-see for all Digital Atmosphere fans. On a different note -- if you're thinking about registering either of my programs, do so and we'll give you a user ID and password to download the full-blown versions, straight off our web server. I'm going back to school next fall and can certainly use the money. :) The upgrade to V2.0 is free. Storm Track will probably remain where it is. Tim Marshall and I are getting together Sunday and will add another stack of articles and photos to the site. Tim Vasquez author, WeatherGraphix Norman, OK Digital Atmosphere 71611.2267@compuserve.com (888) 388-0070 (405) 573-0700 WeatherGraphix/Digital Atmosphere -- http://www.weathergraphics.com/ StormTrack Online -- http://www.telepath.com/storm/ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 30 Oct 1997 to 31 Oct 1997 ************************************************** From - Sun Nov 2 23:24:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626331-17588>; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 14:12:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA29620; Sun, 2 Nov 1997 00:06:10 -0600 Message-Id: <199711020606.AAA29620@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 00:03:06 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 31 Oct 1997 to 1 Nov 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 22825cef7b56363f6001d5b9d4e1fc79 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 3 messages totalling 63 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. ASOS Commissioning notice 2. Guam Radar (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 10:42:32 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning notice The following site became a commissioned ASOS site at 0900 UTC on 01 November 1997. YAKUTAT AIRPORT(PAYA) YAKUTAT... AK Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 1 Nov 1997 18:19:06 CST From: Weatherman <954blake@ALPHA.NLU.EDU> Subject: Guam Radar Anybody know if this is on the net or not? With ST Keith moving into radar range...I would sure love to get a URL for those images.. Eric Blake Webmaster, Atlantic Troical Weather Center ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 13:48:36 +1000 From: Ken R Waters Subject: Re: Guam Radar In an email, typhoon wrote: >From typhoon Sun Nov 2 13:32:34 1997 Subject: Re: Guam Radar To: 954blake@ALPHA.NLU.EDU Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 13:32:34 +1000 (GST) Cc: wxtalk@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu In-Reply-To: <009BCA7B.1AB4C327.198@ALPHA.NLU.EDU> from "Weatherman" at Nov 1, 97 06:19:06 pm X-Mailer: ELM [version 2.4 PL24] Content-Type: text Content-Length: 625 In an email, Weatherman wrote: > > Anybody know if this is on the net or not? With ST Keith moving into > radar range...I would sure love to get a URL for those images.. > > Eric Blake > Webmaster, Atlantic Troical Weather Center Eric, Sorry to disappoint you, but the data is NOT on the internet. For what it's worth, though, I can tell you the imagery IS sensational. We've had the eye visible for at least 6-8 hours and the storm has not reached CPA to the radar yet. Also, base velocities have exceeded 120 kts. Ken Waters NWS-Guam See our webpage for typhoon details... http://www.nws.noaa.gov/pr/guam ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 31 Oct 1997 to 1 Nov 1997 ************************************************* From - Mon Nov 3 17:05:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626764-6114>; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 14:14:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA17136; Mon, 3 Nov 1997 00:08:23 -0600 Message-Id: <199711030608.AAA17136@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Nov 1997 00:03:14 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 1 Nov 1997 to 2 Nov 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 4af6d6ac6dd70183140e9f4cb2b4db3d Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 2 messages totalling 73 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Local NWS Offices Going To Issue Weather Watches? 2. Keith Links and Obs +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 10:46:51 -0600 From: James Derek Dodson Subject: Local NWS Offices Going To Issue Weather Watches? Topic: Severe Weather Watch Boxes From: Derek Dodson derekd@midwest.net November 2, 1997 I would like to open up some conversation concerning the plans for the SPC to turn over the responsibility of issuing severe thunderstorm and tornado watches to local National Weather Service Offices. My understanding is they have a set plan for turning these responsibilities over to all Local NWS Offices. I understand that they will begin to test this plan in 1998. Local National Weather Service Offices will be responsible for issuing all weather watches after 1999? I would be interested in knowing more about this plan and how the Local NWS Offices feel about the plan. I also understand they want to get the watches down to the size of the state of Iowa and that the watches would no longer be in the shape of a square or rectangle but would have multiple sides. I also have learned that earlier this year the SPC changed the way they were issuing watches. My understanding is they felt that they were issuing to many watches and that the public was starting to ignore these severe weather watches. The SPC wanted to fine tune its watch procedures and issue watches for more widespread severe weather events instead of having watches when events would be more isolated. They also wanted the severe weather to cover more than just one weather service local area...in other words...the severe weather would have to impact more than one local area...but rather two or more NWS areas...such as Paducah, Kentucky and St. Louis, Missouri. I got this information from some local officials that had a conference conversation with someone from the SPC. I would be interested in receiving more information on this subject! Thanks Everyone Derek Dodson derekd@midwest.net ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 2 Nov 1997 12:42:49 -0500 From: "J. Ferrell" Subject: Keith Links and Obs Archived METARs for Super Typhoon Keith and other links are available here: http://www.weatherwatchers.org/tropical/1997/keith/ If anyone has other pertinent imagery, we've got plenty-o-webspace... -- ============================================================== Jesse "J" Ferrell - Meteorologist - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "A tornado? Why wasn't it dissipated by the weather modification net?" --Jean-Luc Picard || ICQ No. 136862 || ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 1 Nov 1997 to 2 Nov 1997 ************************************************ From - Tue Nov 4 15:13:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626350-29130>; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 14:20:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA17076; Tue, 4 Nov 1997 00:06:02 -0600 Message-Id: <199711040606.AAA17076@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Nov 1997 00:00:07 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 2 Nov 1997 to 3 Nov 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: dd0787c8b80737ac9ff4698d6a28294e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 4 messages totalling 231 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Hot weekend in November 2. NSSL/SPC Merchandise for Sale 3. El Nino Instructional Module/WW2010 Searchable Index 4. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 3 Nov 1997 04:46:45 -0500 From: "William T. Reid" <73551.2512@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: Hot weekend in November Coastal southern California has just had what is probably the hottest November weekend on record for the United States! High temperatures at most coastal and valley stations were in the mid-90s or higher on both Saturday and Sunday. Here is a list of some of the warmest stations, and their maximum temperatures, on both Saturday and Sunday, November 1 and November 2, 1997: Sat Sun L.A. Airport 98F 96F Long Beach 98 98 Ontario 98 98 Anaheim 97 99 L.A. Civic Center 98 99 Torrance 100 95 Montebello 99 100 San Gabriel 100 101 Monrovia 100 100 Burbank 99 102 Oxnard NWS 98 98 Oxnard Airport 104 104 Santa Ynez 102 104 Mt. Wilson 80 79 5700 ft elevation Dry "Santa Ana" winds blew through the mountain canyons both days. In general, the hottest areas were the beach towns where "offshore" winds held off the sea breeze until early afternoon at least (e.g., the Oxnard Plain in Ventura County), and where Santa Ana winds were weak or absent midday (downtown L.A., the San Gabriel Valley, the eastern San Fernando Valley). Maximum temperatures during this heat wave are similar to those on a "one-day heat wave" on November 1, 1966, when Los Angeles recorded its hottest November day on record: L.A. and Santa Monica Pier had 100F; Long Beach, LAX, and Santa Ana observed 101F. According to The Weather Almanac (1992, Sixth Edition, Gale Research, Inc.), the highest temperature ever observed in the United States in November was 105F at Craftonville, California, on November 12, 1906. (There was at least one earlier report of 105F in the U.S. in November.) Both Oxnard and Santa Ynez came within one degree of tying the Craftonville record. Unfortunately, the 105F at Craftonville has little support. Craftonville "was" a Southern Pacific Railroad station at 1759 feet elevation, 3.5 miles east of Redlands in San Bernardino County. Its weather station closed in 1918. The temperature instruments consisted of a dry-bulb thermometer "in a perforated box, on the north side of the depot wall," according Craftonville's substation history. Four hundred feet lower, at nearby Redlands, the highest temperature reached in November, 1906, was 95F, on the 14th. San Bernardino and San Jacinto had monthly highs of 99F on the 14th. These other three stations utilized standard instrumentation: a cotton region shelter with NWS max and min thermometers. It seems unlikely that an authentic temperature of 105F could be attained as late as November at an elevation of 1759 feet, especially when other lower-elevation stations in the area, one less than four miles away, were not nearly as warm. (Daily temperature data for 1906 were not readily available! Any help out there in WX-TALK land?) According to a source at the NWS office in Oxnard, there is little reason to doubt the 104F observation on both days at Oxnard Airport, even though it is 6 degrees warmer than the maximum observed in the thermometer shelter at the NWS Oxnard office. The airport, as one might expect, is surrounded by paved areas, whereas the NWS office is amidst farmland. Other nearby maximums were 95F to 97F at Ventura and Point Mugu both days. I have a hunch that the Oxnard Airport sensor is poorly exposed, or needs re-calibrating. I hope some of you out there enjoyed this discussion ---- a California climatologist has got to think "temperature" when it has rained only twice since January! William Reid Woodland Hills, CA CompuServe 73551,2512 ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 3 Nov 1997 09:05:40 -0600 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: NSSL/SPC Merchandise for Sale Severe Weather Fanatics, The NSSL/SPC Employees Association (NSEA) regularly sells severe weather photographs and NSSL/SPC clothing as part of its fund-raising efforts. Traditionally, we've only been able to sell this merchandise to individuals who visit the NSSL/SPC in Norman, Oklahoma, or when we take the merchandise to various special functions (such as the TWC Chaser Conference, the StormTrack annual picnic, or various conferences and open houses). Now this merchandise is available on the World Wide Web (WWW)! The 1997 Holiday Season is approaching! Give a gift! ** New stock in the store for fall/winter: long-sleeve tees and sweatshirts! Limited time only! ** ********************************************************************* * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW Severe Weather Photo Store * ********************************************************************* The URL for the NSEA Photo Concession Stand is: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/nea/neaphotostand.html ****************************************************************** * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW NSSL/SPC Clothing Store * * * * NSSL SHIRTS...AS SEEN IN THE MOVIE 'TWISTER'!!! * ****************************************************************** The URL for the NSEA Clothing Concession Stand is: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/nea/neaclothing.html Information on the prices of merchandise is on the WWW page. We can only accept orders placed from the WWW page (check or money order only). Information on the NSEA is also available via the first hypertext link on that WWW page. If you have any questions, please contact Greg Stumpf at: gstumpf@rossby.metr.ou.edu We hope that this fundraiser is a success for our organization and we hope you all enjoy the merchandise! Greg Stumpf and Paul Janish, NSSL/SPC Employees Association DISCLAIMER: The NSEA is a non-profit organization not affiliated with NOAA or the U.S. Government. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 3 Nov 1997 13:01:40 -0600 From: "D. Bramer" Subject: El Nino Instructional Module/WW2010 Searchable Index CourierWe would like to announce that Weather World 2010 is currently featuring the El Nino instructional module. With all of the discussion of the current El Nino in the press, this module offers a scientific view of the phenomenon itself. Learn more about this Pacific anomaly with the help of graphics, tables, charts, animations, and more. Plus, a new page describing the most current El Nino, with some of the latest forecasts for its cycle, and possible global impact regions. This resource can be found at: http://ww2010.atmos.uiuc.edu/guides/mtr/eln/home.rxml We would also like to introduce our new searchable index feature. Many times, a user may know the subject of their search, but not the location of the information. With our new index, this task becomes simpler. By clicking on the subject, you are taken to a helper page providing access to basic information on this subject. This intermediate page allows one to return to the index for another search, or to continue to the full page of information. The index list is accessable from any page on the WW2010 server and can be found at: http://ww2010.atmos.uiuc.edu/indexlist.rxml Thank You, WW2010 Development Team ------------------------------------------------------- Weather World 2010 http://ww2010.atmos.uiuc.edu/ Department of Atmospheric Sciences University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign 105 South Gregory Avenue Urbana, IL 61801 ww2010@uiatma.atmos.uiuc.edu -------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------- Daniel J. Bramer bramer@uiuc.edu 1600 W. Bradley Ave. #P-298 Atmos Sci. Room 201 Champaign, IL 61821 333-8132 (217) 398-9289 ---------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 3 Nov 1997 16:29:52 -0500 From: NorthEast Meteorological and Astronomical Service Subject: The NorthEast Meteorological and Astronomical Service (NEMAS) is looking for volunteer forecasters who live in the Mid Atlantic or Northeastern states especially in New York, Maine, Pennsylvania, and Virginia. If you are interested in helping out with NEMAS and live in the Mid Atlantic or Northeast please contact Matt Rosier (mattr@ccpl.carr.lib.md.us) or Rob Mitchell (mitch@vastnet.net) for more information and an application or visit: http://www.carr.org/~mattr/oe/oe.htm Applicants of any age are accepted and no degree in meteorology is necessary, although we do require you have some knowledge in forecasting. NEMAS is a non-profit organization, all forecasters work on a volunteer basis. Thank you, The NEMAS Administrative Staff www.cybercomm.net/~tornado/nemas/ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 2 Nov 1997 to 3 Nov 1997 ************************************************ From - Thu Nov 6 14:28:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627070-22816>; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 14:19:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA36736; Wed, 5 Nov 1997 00:10:07 -0600 Message-Id: <199711050610.AAA36736@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Nov 1997 00:00:00 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 3 Nov 1997 to 4 Nov 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 7bff532a5373479f7269c88d193694cb Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 6 messages totalling 148 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. snowstorm during mountain hike 2. The Mystery of the Missing Skew T's 3. Metar Obs Info 4. TV Met Job Available 5. Blizzard of 97 6. Lighting Page +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 4 Nov 1997 00:31:48 +0000 From: Shawn Trueman Subject: snowstorm during mountain hike On October 20 I hiked the Mt. Whitney Trail. Mt. Whitney, as you may know, is in the Sierra Nevada of eastern California and is the highest mountain in the contiguous US at 14495 ft. While on the trail, I encountered an afternoon snow shower. The snowfall was light at first (around 1 pm at 10000 ft), but increased in intensity the higher I hiked. By 4 pm at the 12000-ft level I had planned to camp for the night, but couldn't find a good camp site in the snow and wind. Fortunately, I met a group of students from Pomona College who were heading down. They convinced me to join them, and we made it back to the trailhead by 8:30 pm. Has anyone else on this newsgroup ever hiked or climbed a mountain and encountered a snowstorm? It was a scary experience, because I was by myself and the snow was fairly heavy above 10000 ft. When I reached the 12000-ft elevation, I could no longer see the trail because of the snow that had fallen. This past summer I worked at a company in Fresno (Atmospherics, Inc.) that seeds clouds. The summer seeding project was on the western side of the Sierra in an area between Yosemite and Kings Canyon national parks. Most of the precipitation then was rain. It was interesting to be on the eastern side of the Sierra and experience snow showers. Shawn Trueman Clovis, CA ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 4 Nov 1997 08:45:19 -0600 From: Bob Weisman Subject: The Mystery of the Missing Skew T's I directly e-mailed Mr. Longley because I had assumed that others had an answer. However, since I seem to be an "oracle" on the subject (or the only one dumb enough to be plotting paper Skew T's and having my classes do it, here's a copy of the info I have: I regularly order Skew T's for classes here from the National Ocean Service (took over business from the Dept. of Defense after they "classified" all plotting charts during the Persian Gulf War...very annoying). The address is: National Ocean Service, Dist. Branch 6501 Lafayette Ave. N/GC33 Riverdale, MD 20737 The cost is $1.50 per chart. The map number is: WPC 09-16-01. Wait until my grandma hears that I actually know anything. Maybe it will be OK I'm not a doctor or a lawyer...maybe not. Bob Weisman ============================================================================= Bob Weisman, Professor/Meteorologist SUPERVISOR: Shirley (age 5) Earth Sciences Department PHONE: (320) 255-3247 MS 48 FAX: (320) 255-4262 Saint Cloud State University EMAIL: scsweisman@stcloudstate.edu 720 4th Avenue South Saint Cloud, Minnesota 56301-4498 (at the end of the first day of religious school) Shirley: "Dad, wait a minute. I have to tell my teacher something." Dad: "O.K." Shirley (pulling on teacher's shirt): "Teacher! Teacher! You know what? My dad's crazy!" ============================================================================= ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 4 Nov 1997 11:25:36 -0500 From: "Douglas R. Maclean" Subject: Metar Obs Info Is anyone aware of any place either web site or any other where I can obtain metar observations at a particular site going back to 1 week? I would greatly appreciate any replies. Thanks! Doug MacLean e-mail: d_maclea@oz.plymouth.edu ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 4 Nov 1997 10:49:52 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available WEATHER PERSON/REPORTER (WITI) WITI FOX SIX is the ONLY station in Milwaukee producing weekend morning newscasts. We know people tune in for timely, clear and useful weather information to help plan their weekend days. Would you like to be there for them? You need to be able to tell a good weather story and be comfortable with Doppler radar and Kavouras. Most of all, you need to be a good communicator. Our weekend morning weather person also does general assignment reporting for us. It is a fun position for a creative individual. Send tape and resume to Director of Human Resources, WITI FOX SIX, 9001 North Green Bay Road, Milwaukee, Wisconsin. AA/EEOE. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 4 Nov 1997 17:17:41 -0700 From: Paul Wolyn Subject: Blizzard of 97 I saw a message last week about satellite images from the blizzard of 97. I did a short study of the blizzard and placed it on our homepage at: http://www.crh.noaa.gov/pub/blizzard97/blizzard97.html The study includes satellite images and plots over various fields at 3 hour increments from 1200 UTC on 24 October to 1200 UTC on 26 October. The page also contains some pictures from the event. If you have any insights or comments, you can send me email from the webpage. Thanks, Paul Wolyn SOO NWSO Pueblo, CO ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 4 Nov 1997 19:57:07 -0600 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Lighting Page > Take a look at this lightning page. Eric has some nice shots of > branched lightning. > > http://www.redrivernet.com/lightningbolts/default.htm > > Sam Barricklow > http://www.stormchaser.net/k5kj/litelink.htm ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 3 Nov 1997 to 4 Nov 1997 ************************************************ From - Thu Nov 6 14:28:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627340-15112>; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 14:15:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAB40062; Thu, 6 Nov 1997 00:08:29 -0600 Message-Id: <199711060608.AAB40062@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 00:01:48 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 4 Nov 1997 to 5 Nov 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: d8353552075e573a3361d3a006f429b5 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 8 messages totalling 256 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Week Past Metar Obs 2. METAR OBS info 3. Weather-related articles in SHOPTALK 4. Information requested 5. Weather charts 6. Andover tornado (2) 7. ASOS Commissioning Notice +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 5 Nov 1997 08:23:02 -0500 From: James Aman Subject: Week Past Metar Obs > Date: Tue, 4 Nov 1997 11:25:36 -0500 > From: "Douglas R. Maclean" > Subject: Metar Obs Info > > Is anyone aware of any place either web site or any other where I can > obtain metar observations at a particular site going back to 1 week? > > Doug MacLean > e-mail: d_maclea@oz.plymouth.edu ANSWER: Here are a few sites with old METAR obs. Usually, each file is for one hour, and you have to think about the month, day, year, and hour (in UTC) http://ws321.uncc.edu/data/surface/sao/ gopher://metlab1.met.fsu.edu/11/data/surface/sao (I don't know anything about gopher, except that when I put that line in the "Location" spot on my browser, it works just like any old http: type address) Also note that the "uncc" address was cleaned out at the first of the month. However, the "fsu" gopher site looked like it had METARS going back into October. James Aman, meteorologist jaman@aws.com Automated Weather Source http://www.aws.com/ Manager, technical support department ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 5 Nov 1997 09:42:14 -0700 From: Albert Pietrycha Subject: Re: METAR OBS info On Tue, 4 Nov 1997 Douglas Maclean Posted: >Subject: Metar Obs Info >Is anyone aware of any place either web site or any other where I can >obtain metar observations at a particular site going back to 1 week? >I would greatly appreciate any replies. >Thanks! >Doug MacLean >e-mail: d_maclea@oz.plymouth.edu Douglas, Check out Peter Neilley's weather program. You can go back out to 7 days and recall most metar obs. His url is: http://www.rap.ucar.edu/staff/pneilley/weather/guide.html This url is his users guide which will walk you through his program. I hope that helps, --AL Pietrycha ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Albert Pietrycha President, NCAR/RAP American Meteorological Society P.O. Box 3000 Metropolitan State College Boulder, CO 80307-3000 Denver (303) 497-8382 pietrych@ncar.ucar.edu http://www.rap.ucar.edu/staff/pietrych/pietrych.html My opinions only I am not a storm chaser..I'm a storm connoisseur ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 5 Nov 1997 13:59:51 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: Weather-related articles in SHOPTALK The foloowing appeared in SHOPTALK (http://www.tvspy.com). ..Chris.. The Weather Channel named Terry O'Reilly, former VP of ABC subsidiary Worldwide Television News Corp., as its senior VP of programming and production. (Cowles/Simba Media Daily) El Nino is making headlines across the country, and the November issue of Communicator magazine takes a look at how news managers are preparing for this weather phenomenon. "Weathering the News Wars: Are You Ready for El Nino?" examines the possible impacts of El Nino, but also looks at the importance of weather in news. How do news managers view weathercasters and weather stories? Is weather news? Writer John Merli also talks to weathercasters and news managers about the preparations they are making for El Nino, and provides El Nino sources and resources. "Who's Using the Net?" by Penny Williams uses comprehensive research to find who uses Internet and on-line resources in the newsroom and what they use them for. The November issue also includes RTNDA's annual Directory of Awards, Grants and Fellowships, the definitive guide to opportunities for recognition or advancement in electronic journalism. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 5 Nov 1997 17:58:17 -0500 From: jlevine@MCLS.ROCHESTER.LIB.NY.US Subject: Information requested Does anyone know what a "volometer"?? is? I was told it was an instrument to measure wind (but not a anemometer). Any help would be appreciated. Thanks Jeff Levine jlevine@mcls.rochester.lib.ny.us ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 5 Nov 1997 19:10:25 -0600 From: "Mark D. Conner" Subject: Weather charts Defense Mapping Agency, which had most of the plotting charts, may well have restricted distribution to government agencies during the Gulf War so that existing stock could be given to said agencies as a first priority. I seriously doubt there was any "classification" involved. Certainly DMA's primary customer *should* be the US Government in such situations, especially over commercial or educational institutions. >From: Bob Weisman >Subject: The Mystery of the Missing Skew T's > I regularly order Skew T's for classes here from the National >Ocean Service (took over business from the Dept. of Defense after they >"classified" all plotting charts during the Persian Gulf War...very >annoying). --------------------------------------------------------------- Mark D. Conner Internet: mconner@null.net Packet: N9XTN@WA0ZQG.IA.USA.NA Homepage: http://www.neonramp.com/~mconner The Peter Principle: "In a hierarchy every employee tends to rise to his level of incompetence" Conner's Corollary: "The Peter Principle is unbounded" ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 5 Nov 1997 20:36:26 -0700 From: Jeff Schmidt Subject: Andover tornado Hello, I am needing some information about the April 26, 1991 Andover tornado. I was wondering if anybody has a URL which will take me to some info about that tornado. I will greatly appreciate it. Thank you! -Jeff jschmid2@hannibal.wncc.cc.ne.us ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 5 Nov 1997 22:28:39 -0600 From: "Daniel W. McCarthy" Subject: Re: Andover tornado --------------45801FC975F6E00B7E8FF86F Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Jeff Schmidt wrote: > Hello, > I am needing some information about the April 26, 1991 Andover > > tornado. I was wondering if anybody has a URL which will take me to > some > info about that tornado. I will greatly appreciate it. Thank you! The Kansas Tornado Chaser page has some information and plenty of photos on this outbreak. You can access this page by going to www.halloweensupplies.com/torhist.html . *********************************************************************** Daniel McCarthy _ _ _ Mesometeorologist Norman, OK My Account....My thoughts "Man creates Society...Society does not create the Man." .....respected theology instructor *********************************************************************** --------------45801FC975F6E00B7E8FF86F Content-Type: text/html; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Jeff Schmidt wrote:
Hello,
        I am needing some information about the April 26, 1991 Andover
tornado.  I was wondering if anybody has a URL which will take me to some
info about that tornado.  I will greatly appreciate it.  Thank you!
  The Kansas Tornado Chaser page has some information and plenty of photos on this outbreak.  You can access this page by going to  www.halloweensupplies.com/torhist.html .

***********************************************************************
Daniel McCarthy
_ _ _ Mesometeorologist
Norman, OK

My Account....My thoughts

"Man creates Society...Society does not create the Man."
    .....respected theology instructor
***********************************************************************
  --------------45801FC975F6E00B7E8FF86F-- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 5 Nov 1997 23:34:37 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following sites became commissioned ASOS sites at 1800 UTC on 05 November 1997 SOUTH JERSEY REGIONAL AIRPORT (KVAY) MOUNT HOLLY... NJ TAUNTON MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KTAN) TAUNTON...MA Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 4 Nov 1997 to 5 Nov 1997 ************************************************ From - Fri Nov 7 16:05:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626721-9194>; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 14:33:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA04524; Fri, 7 Nov 1997 00:19:00 -0600 Message-Id: <199711070619.AAA04524@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Nov 1997 00:05:19 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 5 Nov 1997 to 6 Nov 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: b3b169625826e36fe31a0c9f9ca01410 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 15 messages totalling 552 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Canadian Weather Channel 2. TV Met Job Available 3. 4. Who is KWBC??? (5) 5. WRSAME Changes for Georgia 6. Volumeter 7. Volometer 8. El Nino on Larry King...VERY SOON 9. April 3-4, 1974 obs.... 10. El-Nino related article, "Jerry Jarrell" Acting Hurricane Director 11. comment on the El Nino... +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 05:40:47 -0600 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Canadian Weather Channel Does anyone have a URL for the Canadian "Weather Channel". And, is it available through the digital or other satellite services? Thanks, Sam Barricklow http://www.stormchaser.net/k5kj/chase.htm ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 08:10:18 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available WEATHERCASTER (KSLA) KSLA-TV, number one in the Arklatex, is expanding its weather department. We're looking for someone who produces and communicates exciting weathercasts, from the anchor desk and the field. We'd prefer a meteorologist or someone working on the AMS seal. We have the toys, including the Kavouras I-7, street level mapping and skycams! The perfect candidate will also love news and like to report. Send VHS tape and resume asap, to Lena Sadiwskyj, News Director, KSLA-TV, 1812 Fairfield Ave., Shreveport, LA 71101. EOE. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 11:44:03 -0600 From: "David L. Arnold" Subject: We are looking for an archive or archives of dropsonde observations for Atlantic tropical cyclones for the period of record 1985-present. If anyone would be able to us it would be greatly appreciated. =============================================================================== "You're never too old to do goofy stuff" - Ward Cleaver =============================================================================== Dr. David L. Arnold P.O. Drawer 5448 Director, OMMCP, MSUCL, & NOMISSIT Mississippi State, MS 39762 Department of Geosciences VOICE: 601-325-2906 Mississippi State University FAX: 601-325-2906 OMMCP: http://www.msstate.edu/dept/geosciences/climate.html MSUCL: http://www.msstate.edu/dept/geosciences/climlab.html NOMISSIT: http://www.msstate.edu/dept/geosciences/nomissit.html PERSONAL: http://www.msstate.edu/dept/geosciences/dla.html =============================================================================== ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 12:23:00 -0600 From: "Padgett, James G." Subject: Who is KWBC??? Last week warning #16 on Typhoon Keith contained the following: >BETTER DEVELOPMENT OF THE EYE. OUR WARNING INTENSITY IS >BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T6.0 (115 TO >125 KNOTS) FROM JTWC, KGWC, AND KWBC SATELLITE ANALYSTS, ^^^^ What does KWBC stand for and where is it located?? ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 18:42:56 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: Who is KWBC??? KWBC is none other than NCEP in Camp Springs, MD. "Weather Bureau Central", if you will. -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS VISIT Program CIMSS | University of Wisconsin-Madison asb@ty.ssec.wisc.edu | www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 12:44:49 -0600 From: "Jason C. Kelley" Subject: Re: Who is KWBC??? --------------1B03801FA2112E99D212030A Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Padgett, James G. wrote: > Last week warning #16 on Typhoon Keith contained the > following: > > >BETTER DEVELOPMENT OF THE EYE. OUR WARNING INTENSITY IS > >BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T6.0 (115 TO > >125 KNOTS) FROM JTWC, KGWC, AND KWBC SATELLITE ANALYSTS, > ^^^^ > > What does KWBC stand for and where is it located?? > > If I'm not mistaken, KWBC is NWS (or maybe NCEP) headquarters...it is the identifier where most of the national messages are sent from...it's in DC. Jason Kelley --------------1B03801FA2112E99D212030A Content-Type: text/html; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit  

Padgett, James G. wrote:

Last week warning #16 on Typhoon Keith contained the
following:

>BETTER DEVELOPMENT OF THE EYE.  OUR WARNING INTENSITY IS
>BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T6.0 (115 TO
>125 KNOTS) FROM JTWC, KGWC, AND KWBC SATELLITE ANALYSTS,
                                 ^^^^

What does KWBC stand for and where is it located??
 
 

If I'm not mistaken, KWBC is NWS (or maybe NCEP) headquarters...it is the identifier where most of the national messages are sent from...it's in DC.

Jason Kelley

  --------------1B03801FA2112E99D212030A-- ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 15:56:56 -0400 From: Mike Turk Subject: Re: Who is KWBC??? A previous reply correctly stated that the bulletins originated from Camp Springs, MD, but not from NCEP. Rather they're produced by the NESDIS Satellite Analysis Branch (SAB)...the same group that supports the TPC with Atlantic and East Pacific systems. We do tropical cyclone classifications across the globe. Mike Turk SAB padgett@EGLIN.AF.MIL on 11/06/97 13:23:00 Please respond to padgett@EGLIN.AF.MIL To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU cc: (bcc: Michael A Turk/SAB/ssd/US) Subject: Who is KWBC??? Last week warning #16 on Typhoon Keith contained the following: >BETTER DEVELOPMENT OF THE EYE. OUR WARNING INTENSITY IS >BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T6.0 (115 TO >125 KNOTS) FROM JTWC, KGWC, AND KWBC SATELLITE ANALYSTS, ^^^^ What does KWBC stand for and where is it located?? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 15:51:29 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: WRSAME Changes for Georgia The following information has been released by NWS. I'm posting it on WX-TALK (General Weather Discussions) and SKYWARN (since it's appropriate here too). By the way, I'm curious how many people have purchased one of the Radio Shack WRSAME radios. I've got mine --even if we don't get storms anymore! ..Chris.. From: Linda Miller Reply-To: lmiller@unidata.ucar.edu To: nws-changes@unidata.ucar.edu RE: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/nwr Additional updates today Nov 4, 1997 for GA Correction (corrected item indicated with an asterisk [*]) ST. COUNTY SAME # NWR TRANSMITTER FREQ. GA Treutlen* 013283 --No NWR Coverage-- Additional Information ST. COUNTY SAME # NWR TRANSMITTER FREQ. GA Candler 013043 --No NWR Coverage-- GA Emanuel 013107 --No NWR Coverage-- GA Evans 013109 --No NWR Coverage-- GA Sumter 013261 --No NWR Coverage-- Deleted entry ST. COUNTY SAME # NWR TRANSMITTER FREQ. GA Butts 013135 Atlanta GA 162.550 THE NOAA WEATHER RADIO/SAME DATA BASE WAS UPDATED NOVEMBER 3, 1997. THE FOLLOWING CHANGES WERE MADE SINCE THE PREVIOUS UPDATE OF SEPTEMBER 26, 1997. RE: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/nwr Additions to NWR Coverage ST. COUNTY SAME # NWR TRANSMITTER FREQ. MS Quitman 028119 Parchman MS 162.500 MS Leflore 028083 Parchman MS 162.500 MS Holmes 028051 Kosciusko MS 162.425 MS Madison 028089 Kosciusko MS 162.425 MS Montgomery 028097 Kosciusko MS 162.425 MS Neshoba 028099 Kosciusko MS 162.425 MS Winston 028159 Kosciusko MS 162.425 MS Lamar 028073 Columbia MS 162.400 MS Marion 028091 Columbia MS 162.400 MS Walthall 028147 Columbia MS 162.400 NC New Hanover 037129 Wilmington NC 162.550 Corrections (corrected items indicated with an asterisk [*]) ST. COUNTY SAME # NWR TRANSMITTER FREQ. AR Pope 005115* Little Rock AR 162.550 AR Pope 005115* Russellville AR 162.525 NM Hildalgo* 035023 --No NWR Coverage-- Additional Information ST. COUNTY SAME # NWR TRANSMITTER FREQ. AR Polk 005113 --No NWR Coverage-- OK Pontotoc 040123 --No NWR Coverage-- TX Childress 048075 --No NWR Coverage-- *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 18:27:30 -0500 From: Shane MacDougall Subject: Volumeter On Wed, 5 Nov 1997 17:58:17 -0500, jlevine@MCLS.ROCHESTER.LIB.NY.US wrote: > Does anyone know what a "volometer"?? is? I was told it was an > instrument to measure wind (but not a anemometer). Any help would be > appreciated. I've never heard of a volometer, but I have heard of a volumeter. It measures the displacement of gas/liquids. I don't know how you'd use it to measure windspeed. Regards, Shane ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 7 Nov 1997 00:09:41 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: Volometer > > Does anyone know what a "volometer"?? is? I was told it was an > > instrument to measure wind (but not a anemometer). > There's an instrument known as a 'bolometer', which measures the intensity of radiation via thermally-sensitive resistors. I suppose it's feasible that wind-induced evaporative cooling might somehow be used to estimate wind speed. Pure conjecture on my part... -Scott -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS VISIT Program CIMSS | University of Wisconsin-Madison asb@ty.ssec.wisc.edu | www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 7 Nov 1997 00:44:43 +0000 From: Howard Altschule Subject: Re: El Nino on Larry King...VERY SOON Hi, This probably will not make it to most of you, but those in non-digest mode might appreciate it. I Just received word that Larry King Live (on CNN) will discuss the topic of El Nino tonight (THU). I have no idea who will be joing Mr. King, but I am sure it will be very interesting indeed. The show will be live tonight at 9pm ET with a rebroadcast at 2am. Hope some of you will get this in time. Best Regards, Howie Altschule ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 18:49:42 -0600 From: Jason Kelley Subject: April 3-4, 1974 obs.... Hello all, I'm looking for archives from April 3-4, 1974 (the Super Outbreak), specifically SA's, upper air obs, LFM data (if available), and SELS outlooks, etc. If someone knows where this can be found (especially on the 'net), I'd be most appreciative!!! Thanks, Jason Kelley Meteorologist Huntsville, AL ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 19:00:13 -0500 From: Chris Phillips Subject: El-Nino related article, "Jerry Jarrell" Acting Hurricane Director There was a very interesting article put out by The Associated Press today and it came from Miami. The article discusses what el-nino has done nad why the east coast has had a below-average hurricane season this year, and check this out, the "Acting Director" of the National Hurricane Center is quoted as saying, "There's a tendency to ... blame everything on El Nino," said Jarrell. "And the only thing I blame, for sure on El Nino - is the Marlins winning the world Series" end of quote. Now Let me ask you something, if your the "Acting Director" of The Hurricane Center and you wanted that job really bad, why would you say something stupid like that, that one comment has probably just busted this El Nino thing wide open and will probably cause an increase of El-Nino blamed articles. Well what the heck, lets blame Clinton being in office on the El Nino, and lets blame the Cowboys 4-5 season on the El Nino, and of course, I can't leave out the Tarheels, lets blame Coach Dean Smiths retirement on El Nino, so let me get this straight, the El Nino has caused the world of sports to go topsy turvy and all of the good teams of the past will lose and all of the sorry teams will step up and win, geez, what an El Nino of a world we live in. As far as Clinton and the White House and Congress, well we will just blame all of their actions on El Nino too....... Have fun with this one Cartoon Guy! LOL Chris Phillips ************************************************************************** NWSO-Newport Advanced Skywarn Spotter Central Atlantic Storm Investigators Member Eastern North Carolina Weather Watchers Member #001NC97 TExas Severe Storms Association Member ALERT Member #175NC97 *************************************************************************** Who has seen the wind? Neither you nor I. But, when the trees bow down thier heads; the wind is passing by. ---Eleanor Farejon Web page: http://www.geocities.com/CapeCanaveral/Lab/2473 Email Address: stormchaser@coastalnet.com ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 21:51:02 -0600 From: Mike Bell Subject: comment on the El Nino... From: mwbell@pld.com Subject: comment on the El Nino... To: wx-talk@po.uiuc.edu Subject: comment on the El Nino... A bit over a week ago, I heard the following comment on CNN: "We have covered every El Nino forecast except perhaps the bad hair days forecast." >From the breathless way that the "El Nino" has been discussed lately, you would think they were worried about a major typhoon approaching. I can only wonder what hype will accompany the La Nina{sp}. If something more spectacular doesn't crop up in time, it should be an interesting circus to watch. Can anyone suggest a theme song to backdrop the "La Nina" stories? We saw a house sale ad which highlighted the fireplace for "that El Nino winter coming". Considering the pontifications and what I *suspect* I'll heard the next time I see some of my distant relatives, I remembered the following. This was published in "mini-Air". ---------------------------------------------------------------- 1995-11-05 Announcing: "Biggest Blowhard" Survey As the journal of record for inflated research and personalities, AIR is proud to announce a new survey to identify the biggest blowhards in science, medicine and other fields. The biggest blowhard in your field is "that person who, by his or her own definition, has no peers." This is a statistically unsound (i.e., typical) public opinion survey. Therefore, the results will be released to the news media. We will publish a summary in a future issue of mini-AIR, and a full account of the survey findings in a future issue of AIR itself. [Yes, this is a cheap ply to get you to subscribe to AIR.] The winning blowhards will be invited to attend next year's Ig Nobel Prize Ceremony at Harvard, and to do so at their own expense. All survey responses will be kept confidential. Please fill out the form below and email it to bourbaki@neu.edu or mail it to AIR, PO Box 380853, Cambridge MA 02238 USA 1. What is your professional field?__________________________________ 2. Who is the biggest blowhard in your field?________________________ 3. With what institution (if any) is this person affiliated?_______________________________________________________ 4.In what city dwelleth yon blowhard?________________________________ ------------------------------------------------ A) Please indicate that the material comes from mini-AIR. B) You may NOT distribute mini-AIR for commercial purposes. ------------------------------------------------------------ (c) copyright 1995, The Annals of Improbable Research ------------------------------------------------------------ Marc Abrahams (marca@wilson.harvard.edu) WWW EDITOR/GLOBAL VILLAGE IDIOT: Amy Gorin <---- End Forwarded Message ----> <---- End Forwarded Message ----> ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 23:10:07 -0500 From: "Gregory A. Surplus" Subject: Re: Who is KWBC??? At 12:23 PM 11/6/97 -0600, you wrote: >Last week warning #16 on Typhoon Keith contained the >following: > >>BETTER DEVELOPMENT OF THE EYE. OUR WARNING INTENSITY IS >>BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T6.0 (115 TO >>125 KNOTS) FROM JTWC, KGWC, AND KWBC SATELLITE ANALYSTS, > ^^^^ > >What does KWBC stand for and where is it located?? > Some of the products coming from the NWS in Sterling VA (KLWX) still have the old KWBC header on them. 859 FXUS21 KWBC 062159 NOWWBC SHORT TERM FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WASHINGTON DC 500 PM EST THU NOV 06 1997 VAZ054-057-MDZ007-011-013>014-016>018-502-070300- CHARLES-HARFORD-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE COUNTY INCLUDING BALTIMORE CITY- PRINCE GEORGES INCLUDING THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-ANNE ARUNDEL-CALVERT- ST. MARYS-MARYLAND PORTION OF CHESAPEAKE BAY & TIDAL POTOMAC- ARLINGTON/ALEXANDRIA/FALLS CHURCH-KING GEORGE- ********************************************************************** *Greg Surplus Microg's MD Weather Homepage * *gsurplus@delphi.com http://people.delphi.com/gsurplus/ * ********************************************************************** ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 5 Nov 1997 to 6 Nov 1997 ************************************************ From - Mon Nov 10 10:11:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626671-26831>; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 14:15:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA50300; Sat, 8 Nov 1997 00:08:29 -0600 Message-Id: <199711080608.AAA50300@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 00:00:57 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 6 Nov 1997 to 7 Nov 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 62a7d2594c56ea1a4ff048424221df85 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 5 messages totalling 199 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. "Get real" 2. WX-TALK Digest - 5 Nov 1997 to 6 Nov 1997 3. Canadian Weather Channel Url 4. CHASERS: STORM MACHINE INTERNATIONAL! 5. SPC Operational Notes +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 23:42:31 -0700 From: "Ricketts,Steve [Edm]" Subject: "Get real" Sounds similar to the following... This page is under construction, but you can still VOTE for the most pretentious person in entertainment, media, and sports. http://www.smirnoff.com:80/getreal/contest/jsframe_getreal.html >---------- >From: Mike Bell[SMTP:mwbell@PLD.COM] > > ---------------------------------------------------------------- > 1995-11-05 Announcing: "Biggest Blowhard" Survey > > As the journal of record for inflated research and personalities, > AIR is proud to announce a new survey to identify the biggest > blowhards in science, medicine and other fields. The biggest > blowhard in your field is "that person who, by his or her own > definition, has no peers." > > This is a statistically unsound (i.e., typical) public opinion > survey. Therefore, the results will be released to the news > media. > > We will publish a summary in a future issue of mini-AIR, and a > full account of the survey findings in a future issue of AIR > itself. [Yes, this is a cheap ply to get you to subscribe to > AIR.] The winning blowhards will be invited to attend next year's > Ig Nobel Prize Ceremony at Harvard, and to do so at their own > expense. > > All survey responses will be kept confidential. > Please fill out the form below and email it to bourbaki@neu.edu or > mail it to AIR, PO Box 380853, Cambridge MA 02238 USA > > 1. What is your professional field?__________________________________ > > > 2. Who is the biggest blowhard in your field?________________________ > > > 3. With what institution (if any) is this person >affiliated?_______________________________________________________ > > > 4.In what city dwelleth yon blowhard?________________________________ > > > ------------------------------------------------ > A) Please indicate that the material comes from mini-AIR. > B) You may NOT distribute mini-AIR for commercial purposes. > > ------------------------------------------------------------ > (c) copyright 1995, The Annals of Improbable Research > ------------------------------------------------------------ > > Marc Abrahams (marca@wilson.harvard.edu) > WWW EDITOR/GLOBAL VILLAGE IDIOT: Amy Gorin > > ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 7 Nov 1997 06:31:46 -0700 From: Cheryl Chang Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 5 Nov 1997 to 6 Nov 1997 The URL is http://www.theweathernetwork.com Cheryl >Date: Thu, 6 Nov 1997 05:40:47 -0600 >From: Sam Barricklow >Subject: Canadian Weather Channel > >Does anyone have a URL for the Canadian "Weather Channel". And, is it >available through the digital or other satellite services? > >Thanks, > >Sam Barricklow >http://www.stormchaser.net/k5kj/chase.htm > > ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 7 Nov 1997 14:13:51 -0500 From: Dave Patrick Subject: Canadian Weather Channel Url Hi Sam The URL is http://www.theweathernetwork.com/ . I personally don't use the site for much but check it out for yourself. As for digital satellite, they are still getting the systems up and running but it suppose to be on it. Don't know in regards to analog satellite. I have USSB with the American Weather channel and, having watched the Canadian channel, the U.S. channel is by far much better with regards to watches, warnings and real-time radar pics. Hopes this helps you Dave Patrick Ontario Weather Watch Spotter Fergus, Ontario ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 7 Nov 1997 22:05:17 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: CHASERS: STORM MACHINE INTERNATIONAL! Hello all, One of my goals this year was to make THE STORM MACHINE more international. Well, I just haven't had time. Tonight, I remembered and I did have some time. So, effective IMMEDIATELY, the STORM MACHINEs: SOUNDING MACHINE SURFACE PLOTTING MACHINE SURFACE CONTOURING MACHINE UPPER AIR CONTOURING MACHINE now have Europe, Mexico and Central America, and G'Day! Australia current surface and upper air data on them. The surface data comes in at about :39 after the hour. The upper air data is usually available within 2 hours of 0Z and 12Z. I just checked Australia's surface data and the coverage, though not great, is better than I thought it would be. In the next two weeks, I hope to add realtime satellite images for you in these areas. Model data? Ummm, well, maybe next year. Oh, and if you want to see YOUR area of the world added, please drop me an email!!!! I do have global data; as long as you have some METAR and upper air sites around you, so that my software won't choke. And if you're a chaser and chase in England and Europe, Australia or Central America, critique my stuff and let me know what you think. Unfortunately, surface data can only be plotted for you in a 20 minute window from :40 after the hour to the top of the hour. I'm trying to fix that. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 7 Nov 1997 22:16:55 -0600 From: "Daniel W. McCarthy" Subject: SPC Operational Notes Hello all, I would just like to announce the "rebirth" of the SPC Operational Notes. The Operational Notes was knind of put to rest about three years ago when the transition from NSSFC to SPC began. Now that we are well established in Norman, they are back. These notes will hopefully keep all of you informed of the newest news at SPC complimenting the SPC Home Page. We hope you enjoy it! If you have any comments please e-mail at Daniel.McCarthy@noaa.gov or my personal account DANWAYNE@TELEPATH.COM Thanks! *********************************************************************** Daniel McCarthy _ _ _ Mesometeorologist Norman, OK My Account....My thoughts "Man creates Society...Society does not create the Man." .....respected theology instructor *********************************************************************** ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 6 Nov 1997 to 7 Nov 1997 ************************************************ From - Mon Nov 10 10:12:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626593-22940>; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 14:16:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA30838; Sun, 9 Nov 1997 00:06:53 -0600 Message-Id: <199711090606.AAA30838@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 00:00:01 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 7 Nov 1997 to 8 Nov 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 0db052306ee1f51a689e22a0482f5636 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 5 messages totalling 103 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Satellite + RADAR image needed... 2. Satellite + RADAR image needed [2] 3. winter wx fcsting books (2) 4. Florida Halloween Supercells +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 01:26:00 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Satellite + RADAR image needed... Anyone know where I can get ahold of both a satellite and a RADAR image of Florida specifically for 02 AUG 97 between 02:15 and 02:45 pm Eastern time? Thanks, Todd Sherman ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 01:32:21 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Satellite + RADAR image needed [2] Would also like sat and RADAR images of North Fla. for 10 JUL 97 at 8pm Eastern 17 JUL 97 at 3:35pm Eastern Thanks, Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH -//- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ | | -//- NO SOLICITATIONS -//- | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 10:46:17 -0500 From: Matt Rosier Subject: winter wx fcsting books Would anyone by chance know if there are any good books out there (or even webpages) on winter weather forecasting? Specifically for the eastern United States. Thanks in advance. Matt ____________________________________________________ Matt J. Rosier - mattr@ccpl.carr.lib.md.us - Westminster High School Student/Class of 2000 NorthEast Meteorological and Astronomical Service: Senior Vice President Lead Forecaster/Tropical and Maryland Divisions http://www.carr.lib.md.us/~mattr/ WeatherWatch Magazine/Regional Column Editor - IRC Channel Operator: Undernet's #weather (NEXRADguy) _____________________________________________________ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 12:23:16 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Florida Halloween Supercells I recorded a loop of Tilt 1 Base Reflectivity and Storm-Relative Velocity images from Tampa Bay, of the October 31 supercells. Rotation is quite evident with both views. They are saved as bitmap files and go right into InterRAD for Windows, but you may loop them with any graphical software. Check the InterRAD homepage at http://www.interrad.weather.net/~rdale/interrad.html Rob --- Robert P Dale rdale@norden1.com / info@skywatch.org Skywatch Weather Services : http://www.skywatch.org ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 19:03:26 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: winter wx fcsting books On Nov 8, 10:46am, Matt Rosier wrote: > Would anyone by chance know if there are any good books > out there (or even webpages) on winter weather forecasting? You might find some helpful links on the Storm Prediction Center's Winter Weather Training page at http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/~spc/wwt/ -Scott -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS VISIT Program CIMSS | University of Wisconsin-Madison asb@ty.ssec.wisc.edu | www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 7 Nov 1997 to 8 Nov 1997 ************************************************ From - Mon Nov 10 14:47:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626695-11072>; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 14:18:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA26794; Mon, 10 Nov 1997 00:10:08 -0600 Message-Id: <199711100610.AAA26794@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 00:00:02 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 8 Nov 1997 to 9 Nov 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 2a60c20aed2b952cbb01119b090b920a Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 3 messages totalling 75 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. IWIN Redesign w/ US Radar 2. Crown Wx Services WebPage... 3. good ole El Nino +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 01:20:33 -0500 From: "J. Ferrell" Subject: IWIN Redesign w/ US Radar FYI I see that NWS's IWIN has redesigned recently, improving their state by state pages and adding a US Radar which includes tops and speeds, similar information to Intellicast's "Radar Summary". Not sure on their update times, but it's 6Z now and the current image is for 4Z. They have also added greateer functionality for selecting surface obs from a state map, and have added a decent satellite. You can see the radar at http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/radar/rcm.gif or just go through the Local Weather pages at http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/iwdspg1.html -- ============================================================== Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "A tornado? Why wasn't it dissipated by the weather modification net?" --Jean-Luc Picard || ICQ No. 136862 || ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 09:42:55 EST From: Robert Lightbown Subject: Crown Wx Services WebPage... For the latest weather forecasts and climate data for Northern Maine, visit Crown Weather Services webpage. We are a non-profit amateur weather forecasting and recording organization. The webpage also has many good links for further weather information and data. http://maine.maine.edu/~rlight51/index.html ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 20:23:58 -0500 From: Matt Rosier Subject: good ole El Nino has it gotten so bad that every time something significant happens the NWS has to reassure the public that it's not related to El Nino? ;-) 390 FPUS3 KLAX 092215 SFDLAX STATE FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OXNARD CA 230 PM PST SUN NOV 9 1997 THIS IS NOT EL NINO RAIN. MSO LUKS REALLY GUD FOLLOWING SAT QUITE WL. AVN LUKS THE BEST OF THE LONGER TERM BUNCH AS IT HNDLS THE DRY SLOT THE BEST...SO WL GO TO THAT FOR LATER PART OF FCST. -- Matt ____________________________________________________ Matt J. Rosier - mattr@ccpl.carr.lib.md.us - Westminster High School Student/Class of 2000 NorthEast Meteorological and Astronomical Service: Senior Vice President Lead Forecaster/Tropical and Maryland Divisions http://www.carr.lib.md.us/~mattr/ WeatherWatch Magazine/Regional Column Editor - IRC Channel Operator: Undernet's #weather (NEXRADguy) _____________________________________________________ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 8 Nov 1997 to 9 Nov 1997 ************************************************ From - Tue Nov 11 15:29:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626574-6609>; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 14:12:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA23264; Tue, 11 Nov 1997 00:07:42 -0600 Message-Id: <199711110607.AAA23264@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Nov 1997 00:00:02 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 9 Nov 1997 to 10 Nov 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: ff170c89e13cba8d05ad84dfda75274b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 7 messages totalling 248 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. El Nino 2. Chase: 10/11/1997 3. good ole El Nino 4. Surface station list 5. Gathering of remote wx data 6. A brief moment of silence... 7. Eastern North Carolina Weather Watchers +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 03:22:44 -0500 From: Howard Robinson Subject: El Nino What is the talk about El Nino? I have a friend off the net ask me what is El Nino was. He also told me that they are say that we were going to get nasty weather. You would think the end of the world was near. Why can the Press get the story right???? Just my two cents worth. **************************************************************************** ************ Howard Robinson Georgia College & State University CPO #2530 Milledgeville,ga 31061 Phone:912-454-0555 http://www.geocities.com/CapeCanaveral/4832 http://giant.net/~hrobins email:hrobins@peachnet.campus.mci.net hrobins@giant.net howrob@rage.gac.peachnet.edu huricane97@hotmail.com If all else fails use operation repair #1, you Kick it.More so for win95. **************************************************************************** ************ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 22:24:04 +1100 From: Paul Yole Subject: Chase: 10/11/1997 It was quite a interesting day. The Bureau of Meteorology were forcasting storms for today due to a front that was due to pass through the day before...but was running late. Mid morning was quiet with a little instability as well as being humid. Mid afternoon, the weather decided to start with possible supercells sighted off to the North-West of my position (Murtoa...Where i live) The temperature was sitting on 28 degrees Celcius (82 Farenheit) and the wind was a gentle breeze with winds occasionally picking up, but then slowing down just as quick. Around 4:30pm, a cell moved into my neighbourhood with CG bolts droping to the North and South West of my position. At approximately 5:10pm, a nice rotating wall cloud developed about 500-1,000ft off the ground and had visible rotation in it. It was about this time that I noticed beyond the wall cloud that a funnel had developed about 10 kilometers to my west. Not sure if it touched down due to light rain and virga, but I suspect it did and contacted the Bureau with this information. I ran inside and got my keys to the car, and started heading East along highway 130 towards Rupanyup. After seeing a few more funnel clouds (none of them actually touched down, but provided a nice view) I continued East towards Marnoo. The first wall cloud has almost completely dissipated and I thought that was the end of the show. I then proceeded to head back to Murtoa, but 10 kilometers out of Rupanup facing West, I sighted anouther Wall cloud approaching. This Wall cloud was strong in build and streched a distance of about 10 kilometers North to South. I parked the car on the shoulder of the road and took photos of the approaching wall cloud. The wall cloud had well defined rotation in it and was moving to the East at approximately 40 to 60 kilometers an hour. The updraft was strong with scud raising from about 200ft upwards at considerable speed. After the wall cloud had passed, heavy rain continued for approximately 15 minutes, filling the drainage systems quick and causing a little flooding on the edge of the road. I returned home at about 7:30, and watched the lightning, which was quite frequent during the entire time. (The most frequent came from both Wall clouds) All up, the chase was about 90 kilometers in distance and I considered it one of my best chases yet. I have heard reports of fires started by lightning, trees blown over and hail damaging crops around Stawell, but I will be checking these out in the future as well as investigating the possible tornado to see if it left a track of any sort. Paul. _____________________________________________________________________ Paul Yole - Storm Chaser and Weather Photographer 18 Hamilton Street Murtoa. Victoria. 3390 Email: vortex@comcirc.com.au Note: NEW HOMEPAGE ADDRESS!!!!!!!!!!! Homepage: http://members.comcirc.com.au/users/vortex/ USNF97 page: http://www.geocities.com/Pentagon/7214 Disclaimer:My Opinions are my own!!!! ````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````` ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 08:12:50 CST From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: good ole El Nino I had to laugh on Sunday. The paper had a story saying there would be more outbreaks of e. coli this winter because of (drumroll) El Nino!! And they were serious! El Nino = wetter winter = more mud = muddier hides = more e. coli on hides = more contamination, apparently. I thought it was a clever joining of two recent bugaboos: e. coli and El Nino. Scott ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 11:59:25 -0600 From: dptodey@IASTATE.EDU Subject: Surface station list Hello all, Does anyone know anyone who keeps an up to date list of surface observation stations? The most recent one we have is 1 year old. Dennis Todey Post-Doc Agr. Meteor. Iowa State University dptodey@iastate.edu ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 12:40:38 -0600 From: Don or Darla Arnold Subject: Gathering of remote wx data HI the list 1. how does the NWS gather its data from remote sites, i have seen articles on ASSOS commisioning sites but how do these sites get the info to the NWS, modem? radio? satcom? or do they send someone out to the site. 2. we here at the southern mississippi skywarn group are thinking of putting out some remote sensors where our spotter network is thin and getting it sent back to our office. thanks in advance for the help don kb5fhx nci-1087 HTTP://www.datasync.com/skywarn ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 22:53:14 GMT From: David Haines Subject: A brief moment of silence... Historical note: On this day (11/10) in 1975 the ore freighter "Edmund Fitzgerald" went down with all 29 hands in Lake Superior during a severe gale. The tragedy inspired the famous ballad whose opening lines appear at the end of this post. Let us observe a moment of silence in memory of the EF's crew and all others who have died in weather-related disasters. Just another example of how important the meteorology business is. -------------------------- "The legend lives on from the Chippewa on down Of the big lake they call Gitchy Goomy. The lake, it is said, never gives up her dead When the skies of November turn gloomy." -- Gordon Lightfoot ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 23:25:13 -0500 From: Chris Phillips Subject: Eastern North Carolina Weather Watchers Hello Everyone! I would like to take a moment of your time and let you know a little about what is going on with this new organization, ENCWW. The organization itself is fairly new, but the members are not. This organization was developed to help educate the general public and ourselves on Severe Storms. Here are some of the things that have happened since October: 1. There is a brand new web page for ENCWW, its still under construction, but here is the URL: http://www.assembly.net/encww 2. A newsletter has been produced and was sent to the general membership for review, and it recieved a good response. 3. There are plans for a Severe Weather and Hurricane Conference tenatively set for October 9-11, 1998, more details will be forthcoming. 4. In a matter of a couple of weeks, the membership has grown to be over 20 members and continues to grow weekly. 5. There is an organizational meeting scheduled for December 6, 1997, and the response to the PSA's has been overwhelmingly great. There are people in Eastern North Carolina who are weather enthusiasts, but are not Storm Chasers! :-) 6. Probably the greatest thing that has happened, is that this organization has not cost anybody a dime to be involved and will probably remain that way through 1998, through sponsors. 7. The support from the general membership has been outstanding and has caused this organization to grow much more rapidly then orignally anticipated. To the General Membership, GREAT JOB, and keep up the great work. For those of you who are not members, I will keep you up to date as time permits, and I will tell you this, this organization is not for just SKYWARN people or Storm Chasers, or even just Eastern North Carolina, but it is open to anyone who has an interest in severe weather. Yes this organiation is based out of Eastern North Carolina, Last but not least, once the Chatroom is completely setup and operational, we will be having Guests Speakers to come in and discuss various topics, one of those Guests Speakers could be you, if you have a topic you would like to have discussed or would like to be a Guest speaker, please email me at stormchaser@coastalnet.com I thank you for your time, and keep an eye to the sky! Cartoon Guy, just a side note to you sir, Keep up the great work, I do need the laughs to carry me through the dry spells of this year! Have a great night! Sincerely Chris Phillips ************************************************************************** NWSO-Newport Advanced Skywarn Spotter Central Atlantic Storm Investigators Member Eastern North Carolina Weather Watchers Member #001NC97 TExas Severe Storms Association Member ALERT Member #175NC97 *************************************************************************** Who has seen the wind? Neither you nor I. But, when the trees bow down thier heads; the wind is passing by. ---Eleanor Farejon ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 9 Nov 1997 to 10 Nov 1997 ************************************************* From - Thu Nov 13 02:33:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626280-29168>; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 14:21:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA28758; Wed, 12 Nov 1997 00:08:33 -0600 Message-Id: <199711120608.AAA28758@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Nov 1997 00:00:00 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 10 Nov 1997 to 11 Nov 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 8c274246c85f483e317046aea53d9e86 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 10 messages totalling 472 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. A brief moment of silence... (3) 2. EL NINO - Media is Superficial? SO ARE WE? (3) 3. El-Nino, Rats and Hanta Virus! (2) 4. New Smyrna Beach F3 tornado 5. SFD Example... +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 12 Nov 1997 00:01:15 -0600 From: Ron Subject: Re: A brief moment of silence... At 10:53 PM 11/10/97 GMT, you wrote: >Historical note: On this day (11/10) in 1975 the ore freighter "Edmund >Fitzgerald" went down with all 29 hands in Lake Superior during a severe >gale. The tragedy inspired the famous ballad whose opening lines appear at >the end of this post. Let us observe a moment of silence in memory of the >EF's crew and all others who have died in weather-related disasters. Just >another example of how important the meteorology business is. > > -------------------------- >"The legend lives on from the Chippewa on down > Of the big lake they call Gitchy Goomy. > The lake, it is said, never gives up her dead > When the skies of November turn gloomy." > -- Gordon Lightfoot > Yep. I lived on the Western shores of Lake Michigan for 10 years. Saw 20' + waves at times, 22" of snow and 5 miles inland not a flake! One July 4th we were wearing parkas to the fireworks along the lakefront and when we got home...less than 3 miles inland...had the AC running! Go figure. Ron Clark N0POM EC, Sarpy County Nebraska ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 11 Nov 1997 17:15:40 GMT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: A brief moment of silence... In article <34688B46.2F4B@ncar.ucar.edu>, Ilana Stern writes: |> David Haines wrote: |> |> > Historical note: On this day (11/10) in 1975 the ore freighter "Edmund |> > Fitzgerald" went down with all 29 hands in Lake Superior during a severe |> > gale. The tragedy inspired the famous ballad whose opening lines appear at |> > the end of this post. Let us observe a moment of silence in memory of the |> > EF's crew and all others who have died in weather-related disasters. Just |> > another example of how important the meteorology business is. |> |> Along these lines, I'd like to recommend a book I just |> read: The Perfect Storm, by Sebastian Junger. It's |> about the "Halloween Gale" bomb event off the New England |> Coast in late October 1991 (I expect this is part of the |> weather lab curriculum these days, when I was in grad school |> we studied the 1978 President's Day storm). |> |> Although most of the book focuses on a particular fishing |> boat, the Andrea Gail, which disappeared with its crew, the |> most interesting parts to me were the descriptions of the |> various rescues and rescue attempts on other boats and |> a downed rescue helicopter. Also, the author obviously spent |> a lot of time talking with NOAA people, and his descriptions |> of the weather situations are both meteorologically accurate |> (as far as I can tell, being more of a climate-person than |> a storm-person) as well as very evocative and understandable |> on a gut (scary!) level to the reader. |> |> This by the way was the storm in which the Weather Service |> was successfully sued (this was overturned in higher court |> though) for having a malfunctioning buoy which led to an |> incorrect forecast. I believe the basis of the suit was that the NWS did not advertise that the buoy was malfunctioning. Thus, the fishermen had more confidence in a forecast than they should have. So it wasn't that the buoy malfunctioned; it was that they didn't tell the public. At least, that's how I remember it. Scott, former NBDC contract employee :) -- Scott S. Lindstrom | The only other sound's scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | the sweep of easy http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | wind and downy flake ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 11 Nov 1997 15:06:29 -0600 From: Matthew Biddle Subject: EL NINO - Media is Superficial? SO ARE WE? EL NINO BACKLASH??????????????? >Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 03:22:44 -0500 >From: Howard Robinson >Subject: El Nino > >What is the talk about El Nino? I have a friend off the net ask me what is >El Nino was. He also told me that they are say that we were going to get >nasty weather. You would think the end of the world was near. >Why can the Press get the story right???? >Just my two cents worth. >***************************************************** >************ >Howard Robinson I am NOT trying to be rude here when I say "What the heck are you talking about?" What "talk" of El Nino exactly? Who are "they?" With the exception of the usual "hype" how did the press not "get the story right?" What ??????????????????????????????????? Is it ME??????? >I had to laugh on Sunday. The paper had a story saying there would be more >outbreaks of e. coli this winter because of (drumroll) El Nino!! And they were >serious! El Nino = wetter winter = more mud = muddier hides = more e. coli >on hides = more contamination, apparently. I thought it was a clever joining >of two recent bugaboos: e. coli and El Nino. > >Scott Why is it funny. Amazing, maybe even you find it unbelievable, but why funny? So are you saying that the above is bogus or some sort of faulty logic? It seems pretty logical to me given that ENSO generally causes more flooding, particularly in the parts of the world that suffer from poor public health and sanitation. Is it "clever" or just and observational theory? Is it me? Just because the media is goofy about rambling on and on about El Nino and the conservative media people act like it is some big invented conspiracy does not change the facts, which are generally presented responsibly before media regurgitation. That some nuts in the media dribble on and on incorrectly about it seems to be causing some knee-jerk reactions in the public that it is some sort of big joke. This is just as bad in my opinion. Matt Biddle University of Oklahoma Department of Geography ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 11 Nov 1997 15:49:36 CST From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: EL NINO - Media is Superficial? SO ARE WE? > Matt Biddle (mbiddle@ou.edu) wrote: > EL NINO BACKLASH??????????????? > > [howard Robinson comments and rebuttal snipped] > > >I [scottl@ssec.wisc.edu] wrote > > > >I had to laugh on Sunday. The paper had a story saying there would be more > >outbreaks of e. coli this winter because of El Nino!! And they were > >serious! El Nino = wetter winter = more mud = muddier hides = more e. coli > >on hides = more contamination, apparently. I thought it was a clever joining > >of two recent bugaboos: e. coli and El Nino. > > > >Scott > > Why is it funny. Amazing, maybe even you find it unbelievable, but why funny? > So are you saying that the above is bogus or some sort of faulty logic? It > seems pretty > logical to me given that ENSO generally causes more flooding, particularly > in the parts > of the world that suffer from poor public health and sanitation. Is it > "clever" or just > and observational theory? > It is funny because I perceive the media trying to blame everything that comes down the pike as caused by El Nino. That is something that I find funny (to my cynical mind); if you don't, I suppose that means we have different senses of humor. And back to the topic at hand, I don't understand why hides cannot be washed off before the cows are processed. Does El Nino prevent people from washing cows? Why can't you wash the cows with disinfectant before processing? How is El Nino preventing this? I would also dispute that 'ENSO generally causes more flooding'. In a region perhaps. Worldwide, I strongly doubt. What ENSO giveth to one region -- say, California -- it taketh away from another (ne Brazil, Australia). > Is it me? Just because the media is goofy about rambling on and on about El > Nino and > the conservative media people act like it is some big invented conspiracy > does not change the > facts, which are generally presented responsibly before media regurgitation. Well excuse me, but this is what I find amusing. Why can't the media get it right, or more to the point, why can't scientists present their findings/ beliefs in a way that is easily understood by a reporter (or, perhaps more importantly, that reporter's editor(s)). And I am not laughing about it, just snorting and rolling my eyes all too frequently. > That some > nuts in the media dribble on and on incorrectly about it seems to be causing > some knee-jerk > reactions in the public that it is some sort of big joke. This is just as > bad in my opinion. > I doubt anyone would disagree with that. Scott -- Scott S. Lindstrom | The only other sound's scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | the sweep of easy http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | wind and downy flake ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 11 Nov 1997 21:57:49 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: EL NINO - Media is Superficial? SO ARE WE? I was reading somewhere that experts are now connecting El Nino with cases of heightened irritability and diminished sense of humor; it may also be an indirect cause of the latest Pentium bug... -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS VISIT Program CIMSS | University of Wisconsin-Madison asb@ty.ssec.wisc.edu | www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 11 Nov 1997 18:38:14 -0800 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: El-Nino, Rats and Hanta Virus! Scott Wrote: > Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 08:12:50 CST > From: Scott Lindstrom > Subject: Re: good ole El Nino > > I had to laugh on Sunday. The paper had a story saying there would be more > outbreaks of e. coli this winter because of (drumroll) El Nino!! And they were > serious! El Nino = wetter winter = more mud = muddier hides = more e. coli > on hides = more contamination, apparently. I thought it was a clever joining > of two recent bugaboos: e. coli and El Nino. > > Scott I also had to laugh today (Tuesday). The MILWAUKEE JOURNAL/SENTINAL reported that the CDC and other groups are advising the the dreaded Hanta virus borne by rodents will be a growing menace due to the warm and moist conditions produced by the "El-Nino". Apparently these brainiaks have concluded that rats dispensing the virus prosper in the environment created by the relentless El-Nino threat. El-Nino Feeding Frenzy In Full Free Fall! (as I earlier predicted) Apparently almost every news agency, relief group, government agency, special interest, environmental advocate etc. etc. are lining up for all publicity and funding they can possibly garner from the supposed threat of vaunted El-Nino. Emotion versus Science! ************************************************************************* 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA Milwaukee Area Skywarn Assoc. (MASA)/Milwaukee-Waukesha Amateur Radio Emergency Service (A.R.E.S.)/IL Multi-County Warning System E-Mail, bkopp@execpc.com Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" my severe weather and SKYWARN home page! SFTS! http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 11 Nov 1997 21:46:02 -0800 From: Stephen Hodanish Subject: New Smyrna Beach F3 tornado Wx-Talkers; On Sunday morning, November 2 1997, around 1 am, an F3 tornado struck the town of New Smyrna Beach, Florida. An interesting write up on this tornado, including damage photos, can be found on our NWS website: http://sunmlb.nws.fit.edu Interestingly, the tornado struck a weather station owned by a private resident. A max wind of 168 mph (F3) was measured before the station failed. Also, this is the first F3 tornado ever to be documented in Volusia county, Florida. Stephen Hodanish (Steve.hodanish@noaa.gov) NWS/MLB ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 11 Nov 1997 21:51:14 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: SFD Example... Talk about an _excellent_ state forecast discussion... Look at Tuesday evenings from WBC, it combines some humor and a lot of good analysis. I've paster and converted some of the more interesting (and funny) portions. And I think this is from a WX-Talk poster ... if you read this -- THANKS! ** FPUS3 KWBC 120205 *** SFDWBC SYNOPTIC EXPLANATION/STATE FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STERLING VA 905 PM EST TUE NOV 11 1997 QUESTION: ...WHO WILL GET POUNDED???... ANSWER: ...MOST LIKELY THE FORECASTERS... To: Bob, Doug, Jeff, Sue, and the rest of the media, zones will be held until I can take a look at the 00Z Eta. If the Eta is behaved, expect zones at 10pm. If the Eta shows something major, then zones may be held as late at 1030 - 1100. [...] Without using human brain input, the snow macro for the Eta PC-GRIDDS generates significant snow amounts across southwest Virgina into the Shenandoah Valley to Washington DC before a changeover. However, it doesn't know some important things (and it doesn't have to answer the phones here) -- see next paragraph... I don't want to "rain" on anyone's parade (or in this case snow) -- but let's put things into perspective a bit as far as snowfall amounts are concerned. First, climatology will hit you in the head with a bat every time you forecast significant snow in the month of November. There have only been 4 significant snowfalls in the month of Novermber since 1900 in Washington DC. (Significant being 4 inches or more)...so climatologically speaking...it's extremely rare. In addition, even if it did snow, meso-network indicates warm soil temperatures and road temperatures. So it would have to snow hard for an extended period of time to get accumulations...especially on roads. And finally, we can not compare this event at all to the Veteran's Day 1987 storm. That snowstorm can be attributed to extremely strong dynamics resulting in tremendous lift which resulted in the dynamic cooling needed to produce snow rather than rain. It's hard to believe, but a 1* C rise in temperature would have made the difference between what actually happened and just a rainy day. That storm actually was rumored to have permanently changed the career paths of a couple of meteorologists. The dynamics accompanying this upcoming event are nothing like the 1987 storm (I hope that statement doesn't evenutally "alter" my career path). [...] .WBC...NONE. WALSTON ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 11 Nov 1997 22:53:57 GMT From: Thomas Owens Subject: Re: A brief moment of silence... In article <64a3rs$jlo@spool.cs.wisc.edu>, scottl@ssec.wisc.edu says... >I believe the basis of the suit was that the NWS did not advertise that the buoy >was malfunctioning. Thus, the fishermen had more confidence in a forecast than >they should have. So it wasn't that the buoy malfunctioned; it was that they >didn't tell the public. At least, that's how I remember it. > >Scott, former NBDC contract employee :) As a commercial cod fisherman from New York I survived a storm on Columbus Day weekend in 1976 which unexpectedly bombed offshore. We were 30 miles from the beach and 60 miles from our home port of Sheepshead Bay when things got ugly. As we were struggling for our lives in near hurricane force winds and mountainous seas, NOAA weather radio was forecasting 10-15 kt winds and 3-5 foot seas. From what I understand, the missed forecast was caused in part by the NE portion of the data buoy network being down for repairs. I think the memory of enduring that storm is what ultimately inspired me to begin my study of meteorology. Tommy -- ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ + Thomas Owens Email: tjo113@psu.edu + + + + Owner of the Meteorology Students Mailing List - METSTUD + + + + The Allentown Weather Center - Over 1000 Weather Links! + + http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/weather.html + + + + The WWW Virtual Library: Meteorology + + http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/WWW_Virtual_Library/ + ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 11 Nov 1997 21:05:54 -0800 From: cavataio Subject: Re: El-Nino, Rats and Hanta Virus! Hi, Bernie! Once again, thanks for the tip on the juicer. On Tue, 11 Nov 1997, Bernie Kopp KB9KEF wrote: > Scott Wrote: > > Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 08:12:50 CST > > From: Scott Lindstrom > > Subject: Re: good ole El Nino > > > > I had to laugh on Sunday. The paper had a story saying there would be more > > outbreaks of e. coli this winter because of (drumroll) El Nino!! And they were > > serious! El Nino = wetter winter = more mud = muddier hides = more e. coli > > on hides = more contamination, apparently. I thought it was a clever joining > > of two recent bugaboos: e. coli and El Nino. > > > > Scott > > I also had to laugh today (Tuesday). The MILWAUKEE JOURNAL/SENTINAL > reported that the CDC and other groups are advising the the dreaded > Hanta virus borne by rodents will be a growing menace due to the warm > and moist conditions produced by the "El-Nino". Apparently these > brainiaks have concluded that rats dispensing the virus prosper in the > environment created by the relentless El-Nino threat. First of all, the rodents in question are mice, not rats. The 1993 outbreak of hantavirus pulmonary syndrome (HPS) in the Four Corners area is indeed associated with the significant increase in precipitation due to the El Nino condition that year. The area had experienced several years of drought prior. Following a winter and spring of much greater snowfall and rainfall, there was a substantial increase in the local vegetation and happily, for the area's deer mice, an increase in production of pine nuts, one of their favorite foods. The vegetation bloom also brought about an increase in their second favorite food, i.e., grasshoppers. This brought about an explosion in the deer mouse population and with that, an increased risk of human-mouse contact. The deer mouse (*Peromyscus maniculatus*) is the primary reservoir of the Sin Nombre virus, one of the hantaviruses that causes HPS. Sin Nombre, as well as any other HPS-causing hantavirus, was previously unrecognized before the 1993 outbreak. HPS itself was an unrecognized entity prior to the outbreak. Rodent trapping studies done at the time of the outbreak showed a greater deer mouse density in the area than in previous years. If this stuff ain't true, my thesis is in a world of trouble. Cheers, Vicki ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 10 Nov 1997 to 11 Nov 1997 ************************************************** From - Thu Nov 13 19:23:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626980-16254>; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 14:14:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA42604; Thu, 13 Nov 1997 00:05:20 -0600 Message-Id: <199711130605.AAA42604@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Nov 1997 00:00:30 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 11 Nov 1997 to 12 Nov 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: c7e70d8bfef9927c80e5ec40eabdb511 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 12 messages totalling 420 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. El nino 2. El-Nino, Rats and Hanta Virus! (2) 3. El-Nino, Rats and Hanta Virus!(oh my!) - Reply 4. What else? El Nino! 5. Storm Chaser Homepage "off the air"... 6. A brief moment of silence... 7. TV Met Job Available 8. el-nino, Rodentia and the Hanta Virus! 9. Surface station list 10. Storm Chaser Homepage users... 11. Does origin of storm dictate if El Nino is the cause? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 12 Nov 1997 02:44:51 -0500 From: Howard Robinson Subject: Re: El nino Most of the media here in Georiga is talking about how bad the winter is going to be for us because of El Nino. Even time we get a bad storm they are blaming you guessed it EL NINO. Date: Tue, 11 Nov 1997 15:06:29 -0600 From: Matthew Biddle Subject: EL NINO - Media is Superficial? SO ARE WE? EL NINO BACKLASH??????????????? >Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 03:22:44 -0500 >From: Howard Robinson >Subject: El Nino > >What is the talk about El Nino? I have a friend off the net ask me what is >El Nino was. He also told me that they are say that we were going to get >nasty weather. You would think the end of the world was near. >Why can the Press get the story right???? >Just my two cents worth. >***************************************************** >************ >Howard Robinson I am NOT trying to be rude here when I say "What the heck are you talking about?" What "talk" of El Nino exactly? Who are "they?" With the exception of the usual "hype" how did the press not "get the story right?" What ??????????????????????????????????? Is it ME??????? >I had to laugh on Sunday. The paper had a story saying there would be more >outbreaks of e. coli this winter because of (drumroll) El Nino!! And they were >serious! El Nino = wetter winter = more mud = muddier hides = more e. coli >on hides = more contamination, apparently. I thought it was a clever joining >of two recent bugaboos: e. coli and El Nino. > >Scott Why is it funny. Amazing, maybe even you find it unbelievable, but why funny? So are you saying that the above is bogus or some sort of faulty logic? It seems pretty logical to me given that ENSO generally causes more flooding, particularly in the parts of the world that suffer from poor public health and sanitation. Is it "clever" or just and observational theory? Is it me? Just because the media is goofy about rambling on and on about El Nino and the conservative media people act like it is some big invented conspiracy does not change the facts, which are generally presented responsibly before media regurgitation. That some nuts in the media dribble on and on incorrectly about it seems to be causing some knee-jerk reactions in the public that it is some sort of big joke. This is just as bad in my opinion. Matt Biddle University of Oklahoma Department of Geography **************************************************************************** ************ Howard Robinson Georgia College & State University CPO #2530 Milledgeville,ga 31061 Phone:912-454-0555 http://www.geocities.com/CapeCanaveral/4832 http://giant.net/~hrobins email:hrobins@peachnet.campus.mci.net hrobins@giant.net howrob@rage.gac.peachnet.edu huricane97@hotmail.com If all else fails use operation repair #1, you Kick it.More so for win95. **************************************************************************** ************ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 12 Nov 1997 05:58:24 -0800 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: Re: El-Nino, Rats and Hanta Virus! cavataio wrote: > > Hi, Bernie! > > Once again, thanks for the tip on the juicer. > --snippage-- > The deer mouse (*Peromyscus maniculatus*) is the primary reservoir > of the Sin Nombre virus, one of the hantaviruses that causes HPS. > Sin Nombre, as well as any other HPS-causing hantavirus, was previously > unrecognized before the 1993 outbreak. HPS itself was an unrecognized > entity prior to the outbreak. Rodent trapping studies done at > the time of the outbreak showed a greater deer mouse density in the area > than in previous years. > If this stuff ain't true, my thesis is in a world of trouble. > Cheers, > Vicki Vicki's thesis is sound and reflects the current knowledge of the topic. Please note however that the U.S. outbreak of hanta predates our current El-Nino feeding frenzy. In deference to Matt B., Vicki and others I would simply question as to why many in the media feel compelled to make every connection possible regarding El-Nino. Making all these El-Nino "connections" serves only to contribute to intellectual faddism and doesn't focus on the specific problems and solutions to all that ails us in this world. However the reference to the "juicer" was erroneous. Actually you meant to acknowledge my ownership of a Ronco Food Dehydrator. Makes wonderful beef jerky (watch that E-Coli though!) and the fruit roll ups are a big hit with the kiddies. I highly recommend it! ********************************************************************************** SHELTER FROM THE STORM! tops 500 visitors. Many, many thanks to all of you who have visited my humble website. I do very much appreciate your consideration! BK ********************************************************************************** 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA Milwaukee Area Skywarn Assoc. (MASA)/Milwaukee-Waukesha Amateur Radio Emergency Service (A.R.E.S.)/IL Multi-County Warning System Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" my severe weather and SKYWARN home page! SFTS! http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 12 Nov 1997 08:31:17 -0600 From: "Jeffrey P. Stewart" Subject: El-Nino, Rats and Hanta Virus!(oh my!) - Reply >>> Bernie Kopp KB9KEF 11/11/97 08:38pm >>> Scott Wrote: > I had to laugh on Sunday. The paper had a story saying there would be more > outbreaks of e. coli this winter because of (drumroll) El Nino!! And they >>I also had to laugh today (Tuesday). The MILWAUKEE >>JOURNAL/SENTINAL reported that the CDC and other groups are >>advising the the dreaded >>Hanta virus borne by rodents will be a growing menace due to the >>warm and moist conditions produced by the "El-Nino". Apparently >>these brainiaks have concluded that rats dispensing the virus prosper >>in the environment created by the relentless El-Nino threat. >>El-Nino Feeding Frenzy In Full Free Fall! (as I earlier predicted) >>Apparently almost every news agency, relief group, government >>agency, special interest, environmental advocate etc. etc. are lining up >>for all publicity and funding they can possibly garner from the >>supposed threat of vaunted El-Nino. >>Emotion versus Science! I appreciate your concerns about the feeding frenzy swirling around El Nino. However, isnt one of the purposes of science to come to an understanding of how the different pieces of the environment system relate to one another? It seems to me that if some meteorological phenomena can be related to disease outbreak (or prevention) or any of a variety of other ways that benefit mankind then it makes sense to do research in these areas. It is unfortunate that the media has jumped whole-hog onto the El Nino bandwagon. I feel that the result could be to squelch good reasearch into the effects of El Nino. El Nino is considered a joke by many(causing the Stocks to fall recently, the Florida Marlins winning the World Series, etc). I often wonder if research relating El Nino to disease can be taken seriously... Mr Kopp seems unable to see any possibility of this being serious research with useful results. We are all part of an environment of infinite complexity...everything is related to everything else! Comments? Jeff Stewart "What you see depends on where you sit..." ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 12 Nov 1997 08:04:24 -0800 From: cavataio Subject: What else? El Nino! Because I have some familiarity with the topic, my neighbor asked if I would speak with her 5th grade daughter about her upcoming science project dealing with water turbidity. Her question: How will El Nino affect turbidity in the nearby reservoir? I was stymied. Maybe someone can help. Does anyone know when the El Nino magic lake dust will reach the southern California coast? A timely reply will be appreciated. Cheers, Vicki Vicki Cavataio Department of Geography San Diego State University San Diego, CA 92182 ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 12 Nov 1997 12:43:02 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Storm Chaser Homepage "off the air"... Hello all, A major internet router has apparently gone berserk just off the NIU campus. I have contacted the NIU folks to look into this matter. Since 6AM, access to our pages has been difficult at best, and we are not receiving any weather data due to the problems. We hope to be back up ASAP. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 12 Nov 1997 16:51:37 GMT From: Bill Ricker Subject: Re: El-Nino, Rats and Hanta Virus! In article <34691696.5E2@execpc.com>, Bernie Kopp KB9KEF wrote: > reported that the CDC and other groups are advising the the dreaded > Hanta virus borne by rodents will be a growing menace due to the warm > and moist conditions produced by the "El-Nino". Apparently these > brainiaks have concluded that rats dispensing the virus prosper in the > environment created by the relentless El-Nino threat. I believe this was hypothesized during previous Hanta outbreak in the southwest two years ago. It isn't quite so much that they necessarily prosper as they migrate into human contact, either as a result of drought or fecundity. So your dismissal of CDC as "emotion over science" is itself emotion over science ? :-) There _will_ be some _non_spurious correlations buried in the noise. :-) -- Bill Ricker N1VUX wdr@world.std.com "The freedom of the press belongs http://world.std.com/~wdr to those who own one."--A.J.Liebling ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 12 Nov 1997 21:39:13 +0000 From: Bill Goodman Subject: Re: A brief moment of silence... Thomas Owens wrote: > As a commercial cod fisherman from New York I survived a storm on Columbus Day > weekend in 1976 which unexpectedly bombed offshore. We were 30 miles from the > beach and 60 miles from our home port of Sheepshead Bay when things got ugly. > As we were struggling for our lives in near hurricane force winds and > mountainous seas, NOAA weather radio was forecasting 10-15 kt winds and 3-5 > foot seas. From what I understand, the missed forecast was caused in part by > the NE portion of the data buoy network being down for repairs. I think the > memory of enduring that storm is what ultimately inspired me to begin my study > of meteorology. What a storm! I lived in Dumont, NJ at the time, about 15 miles north of downtown Manhattan, and had sustained gale force winds all afternoon. And don't forget Hurricane Belle in August of the same year! That minimal hurricane made landfall at the same place as the Cat. 3 Gloria of 1985 (near Jones Beach on Long Island), yet produced much higher winds on its left side. Those storms, plus the '78 blizzard, got me even more hooked on the weather... -- Bill Goodman General Sciences Corp. / NWS Techniques Development Lab ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 12 Nov 1997 17:37:46 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available METEOROLOGIST (KTBS) We just lost our number three meteorologist to a Top 25 and we need a new one to join our Storm Team. We have the tools to deliver a top- notch forecast, and now we need you to fill that void. Send resume, a VHS tape and let us see if you can join our award winning staff. Contact: Personnel Manager, KTBS-TV 3, 312 East Kings Highway, Shreveport, LA 71104. EOE *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 12 Nov 1997 17:52:05 -0600 From: Jeff from West Chicago Subject: Re: el-nino, Rodentia and the Hanta Virus! > reported that the CDC and other groups are advising the the dreaded > Hanta virus borne by rodents will be a growing menace due to the warm > and moist conditions produced by the "El-Nino". Apparently these > brainiaks have concluded that rats dispensing the virus prosper in the > environment created by the relentless El-Nino threat. yea! sounds like a good theory to me, warmer and more humid conditions mean more mosquitos and rats. hey and a note to the brainiaks, you're got an excellent homepage. CDC map Room rules! ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 12 Nov 1997 12:07:00 -0500 From: Dave Pace Subject: Re: Surface station list dptodey@IASTATE.EDU wrote: >Does anyone know anyone who keeps an up to date list of >surface observation stations? The most recent one we have >is 1 year old. Unidata provides an interactive service at http://shecky.unidata.ucar.edu/stations.html You can look up stations by ICAO, WMO, country (e.g., get the entire US list), name, or US state. Dave ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 12 Nov 1997 22:50:04 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Storm Chaser Homepage users... We know THE STORM MACHINE isn't updating, and that it is difficult, or slow, or even impossible at times to get through. This evening, NIU network operations informed me that a fiber optic cable problem is responsible for this. When the local phone company fixes it, we'll be back in full. Apparently, the problem is originating near Chicago. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 12 Nov 1997 21:04:12 -0800 From: A Lieberman Subject: Does origin of storm dictate if El Nino is the cause? Hi all, With all the El Nino talk these days, I have not seen anything that tells us what determines whether a storm is an effect from El Nino? Is it the origin of the storm? Can't imagine a Nor'Easter being an effect from little ole El Nino in the Pacific.... Unless of course it's causing the jet stream to do something...... Allen -- http://www.bright.net/~lieberma/ Come visit my homepage!!! Any unsolicited COMMERCIAL Email will be replied with a complaint to the postmaster of the sender! ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 11 Nov 1997 to 12 Nov 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Nov 17 09:49:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627157-12513>; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 14:16:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAB32780; Fri, 14 Nov 1997 00:08:06 -0600 Message-Id: <199711140608.AAB32780@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Nov 1997 00:01:48 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 12 Nov 1997 to 13 Nov 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 07270cbc1002dd52334424b557ae2f42 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 9 messages totalling 261 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. 2. question 3. Eta on DIFAX 4. Storm Chaser Homepage, etc back up... 5. Radar information 6. ASOS Commissioning Notice 7. FW: El Nino 8. Magic Lake Dust? 9. GOES Raw Data +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 13 Nov 1997 11:08:20 -0600 From: "David L. Arnold" Subject: I am curious as to whether or not anyone has knowledge of the availability of the 12Z cycle 850 mb ETA progs from DiFax. They're available from the 00Z cycle, but not the 12Z run. I've searched the NWS fax directories and just can't find them. I really like these black and white maps because they're cheap to print and you can scribble all over them. Thank you in advance. DLA =============================================================================== "You're never too old to do goofy stuff" - Ward Cleaver =============================================================================== Dr. David L. Arnold P.O. Drawer 5448 Director, OMMCP, MSUCL, & NOMISSIT Mississippi State, MS 39762 Department of Geosciences VOICE: 601-325-2906 Mississippi State University FAX: 601-325-2906 OMMCP: http://www.msstate.edu/dept/geosciences/climate.html MSUCL: http://www.msstate.edu/dept/geosciences/climlab.html NOMISSIT: http://www.msstate.edu/dept/geosciences/nomissit.html PERSONAL: http://www.msstate.edu/dept/geosciences/dla.html =============================================================================== ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 13 Nov 1997 11:43:32 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: Re: question Richard Kovacs in Hungary wrote me... >I have some other questions about ENSO. What does the SOI mean? I've recently >understood that it has something to do with sea surface pressure(?). >I've also learned that we have a very powerful El-Nino, but there's also >a La-Nina. Is an El-Nino strictly followed by a La-Nina? (And if yes, should >a powerful El-Nino be followed by a powerful La-Nina?) >Which causes the absence of the monsoon in South-eastern Asia? >Looking forward to your answers... If anyone has an answer, please forward a copy to Richard's e-mail address as I do not believe he subscribes to WX-TALK. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 13 Nov 1997 13:47:13 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Eta on DIFAX On Thursday, November 13, 1997 12:08 PM, David L. Arnold [SMTP:dlarnold@RA.MSSTATE.EDU] wrote: > I am curious as to whether or not anyone has knowledge of the availability > of the 12Z cycle 850 mb ETA progs from DiFax. Note that General Kelly's report proposes the elimination of Difax next year... Rob ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 13 Nov 1997 14:39:25 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Storm Chaser Homepage, etc back up... Hello all, It looks like the Northern Illinois University campus networking have gotten the upper hand on problems here on campus, and outside of campus (where the worst problems were). We're back up, and data is flowing. We only have 12Z ETA and NGM model data, however. But, all 0Z data should be coming in as it normally does...we hope! All surface and upper air data should be back up as well. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 13 Nov 1997 14:46:33 -0700 From: Mike Martin Subject: Radar information Does anyone know of a better/quicker web site where one can acquire radar reflectivity and NEXRAD? I am tired of www.intellicast.com being so slow. Thanks -- ******************************************************** Michael Martin Porterville High School Science Department 465 W. Olive Ave. Porterville, CA 93257 phone - 209.783.2311 fax - 209.782.7215 email - mmartin@porterville.k12.ca.us Web site - http://porterville.k12.ca.us/phs/phssci.html ******************************************************** Earthquakes don't kill people, buildings do. "A lion eating an animal is nothing compared to a lava flow eating a big building" - Maurice Krafft "A thing of beauty is not a thing to ignore" - Hothouse Flowers When you were born, you cried and the world rejoiced. Live your life in such a way that when you die, the world will cry and you will rejoice. ******************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 13 Nov 1997 16:59:54 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following sites became commissioned ASOS sites at 1800 UTC on 13 November 1997. KANSAS CITY DOWNTOWN AIRPORT (KMKC) KANSAS CITY... MO PORTER COUNTY MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KVPZ) VALPARAISO...IN Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 13 Nov 1997 17:20:33 -0500 From: "HAHN, PETER" Subject: FW: El Nino ---------- From: HAHN, PETER Sent: Thursday, November 13, 1997 5:16 PM To: 'wx-talk@po.uluc.edu' Subject: El Nino I have been reading a lot recently about El Nino. Even spoke to a few of my Native American friends and my belief is that El Nino is for real. My insurance company wrote an article about this weather condition and how it can effect claims. They have added to their reserves just because of El Nino. And now this weekend we are bracing for a huge Northeaster. My brother who lives along the Atlantic coast swears El Nino was responsible for several hurricanes that did considerable damage to his home. So I would not take El Nino lightly. Just my opinion. Peter ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 13 Nov 1997 20:32:43 -0500 From: Chris Taylor Subject: Magic Lake Dust? Hi all: Not sure about the magic dust, but a lot of rain causing a lot of silt-laiden runoff will definately dirty up the water. At the water treatment plant I work at, we are always monitoring rainfall in the watershed from where we draw our water. Anything more than 2" in a single day, and we can be assured that all of the rivers dumping into Lake Erie will be looking like a mud puddle within 24 hrs. Turbidities may jump from 1-3 NTU to >500 in the near-shore waters in a matter of 12-24 hours. Caused by El Nino, nah...this is normal for this area! Sincerely, Chris Taylor City of Toledo, Water Division >Date: Wed, 12 Nov 1997 08:04:24 -0800 >From: cavataio >Subject: What else? El Nino! > >Because I have some familiarity with the topic, my neighbor asked if I >would speak with her 5th grade daughter about her upcoming science >project dealing with water turbidity. > >Her question: How will El Nino affect turbidity in the nearby reservoir? >I was stymied. Maybe someone can help. Does anyone know when the El Nino >magic lake dust will reach the southern California coast? > >A timely reply will be appreciated. > >Cheers, >Vicki > >Vicki Cavataio >Department of Geography >San Diego State University >San Diego, CA 92182 *************************************************************************** Chris Taylor Email: chtaylor@ix.netcom.com Coordinator, NW Ohio Skywarn WWW page: http://www2.netcom/~chtaylor/ Asst. EC, Lucas Co. - Skywarn Packet: N8WGB@W8HHF.#tol.oh.usa.na NWOhio Skywarn Net page: http://skywarn.home.ml.org *************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 13 Nov 1997 19:00:09 -0700 From: John Eylander Subject: GOES Raw Data Hello, I was wondering if anyone knew where (or if) I could obtain GOES raw data. I am considering a project which involves feeding GOES raw data into a program that I am writting to do some data deriving. I know that AVHRR and Landsat imagery are on a pay per image basis, but I am not sure about GOES data due to its popularity in the met community and since the derived products are free over the web anyway. If anyone has this information, I would be very appreciative if you could simply email me direct. Thank you in advance. John Eylander -- ---- **************************************************************** John Eylander Institute of Atmospheric Science South Dakota School of Mines and Technology Rapid City, SD 57701 jeylande@ias.sdsmt.edu *************************************************************** ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 12 Nov 1997 to 13 Nov 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626319-15661>; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 14:17:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA48626; Sat, 15 Nov 1997 00:10:55 -0600 Message-Id: <199711150610.AAA48626@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Nov 1997 00:02:38 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 13 Nov 1997 to 14 Nov 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 1fb98fe22ae9a39f8b8897d05a926957 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 8 messages totalling 352 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Webpoint Images 2. Radar Info 3. Storm Chaser Homepage back! 4. ASOS Commissioning Notice 5. El Nino 6. Man-made Cyclones? (2) 7. Shuttle-Based Laser to Test Technology for Measuring Atmospheric Winds (fwd) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 14 Nov 1997 08:16:01 -0500 From: "J. Ferrell" Subject: Re: Webpoint Images > From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" > > Hey ho, > > I've been unable to help out with this question: the webpoint 15-20 minute > update radar composites have moved. Anyone know where? > Gilbert Well I'm no 'ho' ;) but I can tell you this: http://www.weatherpoint.com/wximages/something where 'something' is either xxxrad.gif where xxx is a station code for a radar site (example unv or nyc -- some stations don't update so be sure to check the date) or http://www.weatherpoint.com/wximages/albr.gif is a regional composite where xxx is a valid regional station (example alb). They may in fact not want us to see them since they are supposed to be a data provider? But they'll have to hide them better than that. I figured the above from searching for "+weather +webpoint" on my fav'rite search engine Infoseek, which brought up this URL: http://www.wphltv.com/news/_vti_cnf/news.html which was somebody's Front Page extensions config file which was accidentally spidered. From there I picked out the URL http://www.webpoint.com/weather/wphl/, visited their page and noted the URL for their radar image http://www.weatherpoint.com/wximages/albr.gif then made the assumption that the other images could be accessed by changing "webpoint.com/weather/images" to "weatherpoint.com/wximages". OK, I probably made that search more complicated than it had to be, but ain't Net Investigation fun?? -Jesse Ferrell -Meteorologist/Web Developer -Central Atlantic Storm Investigators / www.weatherwatchers.org ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 14 Nov 1997 08:34:29 CST From: "Brian R. Klein" Subject: Radar Info >Mike Martin Wrote: > >Does anyone know of a better/quicker web site where one can acquire >radar reflectivity and NEXRAD? I am tired of www.intellicast.com being >so slow. Thanks -- You could try the Weather Channel's site as an alternative at www.weather.com but their colors aren't as good (IMO) as Intellicast. The best thing would be to convince your school district that they should pay for their own subscription to a NIDS provider. I have no idea how much that costs but you may be able to get a reduced price for: A) a high school, B) data from only one radar site and C) suggest a reduced service, i.e. not every volume scan. I don't even know if these options are available, but if there are any NIDS providers out there listening....HINT...you'd get ALOT more customers if you could offer these reduced price options. Brian Klein brian.r.klein@noaa.gov NEXRAD1@aol.com Norman, OK ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 14 Nov 1997 11:10:31 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Storm Chaser Homepage back! Hello all, Our problems here at NIU with the fiber optic phone lines have been corrected, and so our Internet connection is back in full. Thanks for your patience; data should now be coming in normally. Also, the Webpoint radar links have been fixed...thanks to Jesse and Rob for passing along the new URL's. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 14 Nov 1997 12:18:49 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site will become a commissioned ASOS site at 1800 UTC on 14 November 1997. MANCHESTER AIRPORT (KMHT) MANCHESTER... NH Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 14 Nov 1997 09:52:14 -0800 From: Eric DeFonso Subject: Re: El Nino > ---------- > From: HAHN, PETER > Sent: Thursday, November 13, 1997 5:16 PM > To: 'wx-talk@po.uluc.edu' > Subject: El Nino > > I have been reading a lot recently about El Nino. Even spoke to a few > of my Native American friends and my belief is that El Nino is for real. Well, El Nino (the oceanic phenomenon) is most definitely real, and you can measure it directly. In that sense, it's not so much a matter of "belief". > My insurance company wrote an article about this weather condition and > how it can effect claims. They have added to their reserves just > because of El Nino. And now this weekend we are bracing for a huge > Northeaster. My brother who lives along the Atlantic coast swears El > Nino was responsible for several hurricanes that did considerable damage > to his home. During El Nino years, there is in fact a notable *decrease* in tropical cyclone activity in the North Atlantic basin. So I sincerely doubt that one can blame El Nino for a given hurricane season, much less any single storm. >So I would not take El Nino lightly. Just my opinion. James O'Brien at FSU likes to call El Nino "a good dude" because of the hurricane suppression associated with it. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 14 Nov 1997 13:02:59 -0800 From: Janice Keyser Subject: Man-made Cyclones? Hello to the list from a new member. Excerpts follow from an article that appeared in the Wall St. Journal yesterday. To a novice, this sounds ludicrous. (Gee, why haven't we tried this yet in Los Angeles?) Am interested in comments. Thanks. "Malaysia Plans War on Smog With Russian-Made Cyclones" Malaysia's war on smog is about to get a new twist. A big one. The government wants to create man-made cyclones to scrub away the haze that has plagued Malaysia off and on since July. "We will use special technology to create an artificial cyclone to clean the air," said Datuk Law Hieng Ding, Minister for Science, Technology and the Environment. The plan calls for the use of new Russian technology to create cyclones -- the giant storms also known variously as typhoons and hurricanes -- to cause torrential rains, washing the smoke out of the air. This latest strategy follows other unsuccessful attempts to banish the gray haze that has beset Malaysia and its neighbors for months. Previous Malaysian efforts included spraying water from the tops of tall buildings in Kuala Lumpur, and "cloud-seeding" -- in which airplanes sprinkle clouds with a salt solution with an aim to inducing rain. The minister was coy about the specifics of the plan, declining to reveal the size of the cyclone to be generated, or the mechanism. "The details I don't have," he said. He did say though, that the cyclone generated would be "quite strong." He discounted the possibility of damage to the environment. Datuk Law also refused to disclose the price tag for cyclone creation. However, since Malaysia will pay only if it works, he shrugged off worries of failure. "There's no harm," he said, "since it doesn't cost us anything." ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 14 Nov 1997 16:27:48 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Shuttle-Based Laser to Test Technology for Measuring Atmospheric Winds (fwd) Thought this sounded interesting. Are there any more specific benefits of this not mentioned? Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH -//- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Florida -//- Member Alachua County SKYWARN | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ---------- Forwarded message ---------- Date: Fri, 14 Nov 1997 15:04:58 -0500 (EST) From: NASANews@hq.nasa.gov To: undisclosed-recipients: ; Subject: Shuttle-Based Laser to Test Technology for Measuring Atmospheric Winds Douglas Isbell Headquarters, Washington, DC November 14, 1997 (Phone: 202/358-1753) Dave Drachlis Marshall Space Flight Center, Huntsville, AL (Phone: 205/544-0034) RELEASE: 97-267 SHUTTLE-BASED LASER TO TEST TECHNOLOGY FOR MEASURING ATMOSPHERIC WINDS NASA will fly a infrared laser in the cargo bay of the Space Shuttle to see if a space-based sensor can accurately measure global winds within Earth's atmosphere from just above the surface to a height of about 10 miles. Successful measurements in this key region of the atmosphere could lead to improved weather forecasting and better understanding of climate-related events such as El Nino. Based on technology tested aboard research aircraft, the Space-Readiness Coherent Lidar Experiment (Sparcle) will detect the frequency shift of an eye-safe laser pulse as it reflects off dust and aerosol particles as they move with the winds. The resulting measurements should give researchers precise information about the speed, direction and vertical profile of tropospheric winds. Due to launch in 2001 at an estimated cost of $15 million, Sparcle will be managed by NASA's Marshall Space Flight Center, Huntsville, AL, as the second Earth-orbiting mission in the agency's New Millennium Program. If successful, a more robust system based on Sparcle could be a candidate for launch aboard a free-flying satellite within the following few years. "After several years of critical basic research, the technology to accomplish these measurements has only just reached the point that we could consider demonstrating this promising concept on a Space Shuttle flight," said William Townsend, Acting Associate Administrator for NASA's Office of Mission to Planet Earth. "If this experiment is successful, we expect that the operational deployment of such a capability would produce substantial improvements in the accuracy of weather forecasts, and new insights into the causes and effects of climate change." Global wind data from an orbiting system has been identified as the number one item on a "wish list" of measurements compiled by the international operational meteorology community, according to Dave Emmitt, Sparcle mission scientist and a research assistant professor at the University of Virginia, Charlottesville. "This is an exciting time for a number of people who have, until now, had only paper studies to convince their colleagues that winds could be measured accurately from space with lasers," Emmitt added. "The global community of atmospheric researchers, weather forecasters, and weather-sensitive industries will be watching as NASA explores this new frontier of space-based laser sensing of the Earth's winds." The experiment will be carried to orbit and back in two Space Shuttle Hitchhiker canisters that weigh approximately 200 pounds (320 kilograms) each. Researchers hope to obtain approximately 50 hours of wind data. Other partners in the development of Sparcle include NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD; Langley Research Center, Hampton, VA; the Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA; the University of Alabama at Huntsville, and several private companies. A mission called Earth Orbiting-1, scheduled for launch in May 1999, will demonstrate an advanced land imager system with a multispectral capability that can replace the current measurement approach used by such systems as the Landsat satellites. It also will demonstrate a hyperspectral capability that can break up the radiation reflected by Earth's land surfaces into hundreds of distinct bands, as compared to the half-dozen bands common on today's remote-sensing spacecraft. The primary goal of the New Millennium program is to identify, develop, validate in flight key instrument and spacecraft technologies that can lower the cost and increase the performance of science missions in the 21st century. The overall program is managed by the Jet Propulsion Laboratory for NASA's Office of Space Science and Office of Mission to Planet Earth, Washington, DC. NASA's Mission to Planet Earth enterprise is a long-term research program designed to study the Earth's land, oceans, air, ice and life as a total system. -end- ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 14 Nov 1997 22:59:30 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: Man-made Cyclones? > The government wants to create man-made cyclones to scrub > away the haze that has plagued Malaysia off and on since July. > The cause of which was widespread biomass burning across surrounding parts of Indonesia (such as Borneo; see http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/misc/indonesian_smoke.gif and http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/software/images/seasia.gif) Yes, it has been drier than normal across that general region due to the current ENSO event, but that's not important here. Seems like it would be prudent to put out the fires before one tried to physically re-distribute the resultant smoke. Attack the cause rather than the effect. With the imminent arrival of the winter monsoon season, perhaps they'll have better luck just waiting for the synoptic-scale northerly surges to clear the air. I doubt their artificial cyclone plan would do much of anything, but it might be good fun to watch... > "There's no harm," he said, "since it doesn't cost us anything." > Yeah, well, you get what you pay for... -Scott -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS VISIT Program CIMSS | University of Wisconsin-Madison asb@ty.ssec.wisc.edu | www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 13 Nov 1997 to 14 Nov 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Nov 17 09:50:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627062-11525>; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 14:15:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA32136; Sun, 16 Nov 1997 00:04:24 -0600 Message-Id: <199711160604.AAA32136@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Nov 1997 00:00:02 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 14 Nov 1997 to 15 Nov 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 9af4084851399228a19ad7ecda4c461c Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 4 messages totalling 172 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Shuttle-Based Laser to Test Technology for Measuring Atmospheric Winds 2. Man-made Cyclones? 3. Man Made Cyclones 4. WARM WATERS OFF THE NORTHEST COAST AND A BOGUS TVS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 15 Nov 1997 01:22:45 -0600 From: Gene Nygaard Subject: Re: Shuttle-Based Laser to Test Technology for Measuring Atmospheric Winds > The experiment will be carried to orbit and back in two Space >Shuttle Hitchhiker canisters that weigh approximately 200 pounds >(320 kilograms) each. I know pounds are ambiguous, but I'm not familiar with this 1.6 kg variety. Perhaps it was calculated by some of the same rocket scientists who get specific impulse in seconds by using pounds mass of 453.6 grams each to cancel out pounds force of 4.448 newtons? Gene Nygaard http://ourworld.compuserve.com/homepages/Gene_Nygaard/internat.htm ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 15 Nov 1997 08:55:49 -0800 From: Chris Sherman Subject: Re: Man-made Cyclones? Janice wrote: >"Malaysia Plans War on Smog With Russian-Made Cyclones" > >Malaysia's war on smog is about to get a new twist. A big one. > >The government wants to create man-made cyclones to scrub away the haze >that >has plagued Malaysia off and on since July. "We will use special >technology >to create an artificial cyclone to clean the air," said Datuk Law Hieng >Ding, Minister for Science, Technology and the Environment. Well, to put a spin on an old advertising jingle, "No cleanser gonna do all that!" Regards, Chris ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 14 Nov 1997 01:54:17 -0800 From: James Kaplan Subject: Re: Man Made Cyclones Janice Keyser wrote: > From: Janice Keyser > Subject: Man-made Cyclones? > > Hello to the list from a new member. > > Excerpts follow from an article that appeared in the Wall St. Journal > yesterday. To a novice, this sounds ludicrous. (Gee, why haven't we > tried this yet in Los Angeles?) Am interested in comments. Thanks. > > "Malaysia Plans War on Smog With Russian-Made Cyclones" > > Malaysia's war on smog is about to get a new twist. A big one. > > The government wants to create man-made cyclones to scrub away the haze > that > has plagued Malaysia off and on since July. "We will use special > technology > to create an artificial cyclone to clean the air," said Datuk Law Hieng > Ding, Minister for Science, Technology and the Environment. > > The plan calls for the use of new Russian technology to create cyclones > -- > the giant storms also known variously as typhoons and hurricanes -- to > cause > torrential rains, washing the smoke out of the air. > > This latest strategy follows other unsuccessful attempts to banish the > gray > haze that has beset Malaysia and its neighbors for months. Previous > Malaysian efforts included spraying water from the tops of tall buildings > in > Kuala Lumpur, and "cloud-seeding" -- in which airplanes sprinkle clouds > with > a salt solution with an aim to inducing rain. > > The minister was coy about the specifics of the plan, declining to reveal > > the size of the cyclone to be generated, or the mechanism. "The details I > > don't have," he said. He did say though, that the cyclone generated would > be > "quite strong." He discounted the possibility of damage to the > environment. > > Datuk Law also refused to disclose the price tag for cyclone creation. > However, since Malaysia will pay only if it works, he shrugged off > worries > of failure. "There's no harm," he said, "since it doesn't cost us > anything." > This brings to mind a story that ran in an English language paper while I was visiting Moscow about 6 weeks ago. There is an entire division of weather modification within the Russian government. They were hired by the Moscow city government to prevent rain during the big 850th birthday bash over 3 days in early September. I guess it didn't rain, whether they had anything to do with it or not. Anyway, cloud seeding has it degree of success. However... the same article detailed a past event where a touring rock and roller was going to give and outdoor concert and did not want cold weather, afraid he might catch cold. He hired this same group, and according to the newspaper article, quoting an official in the weather modification group, they succeeded in raising the temperature by 15 degrees celsius! No further details were given, but it left me doubting the credulity of this group which probably is the same one planning to spin up a cyclone for the Malaysians. ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 15 Nov 1997 22:13:21 -0500 From: "Hugh W. Johnnson IV" Subject: WARM WATERS OFF THE NORTHEST COAST AND A BOGUS TVS I heard something from a reliable source that warm waters (not associated with El Nino) have piled up off the coast of the northwest U.S.A. This warming has contributed to the big Omega Block in western Canada. The ridge certainly has brought a nasty trough and the first taste of winter to the east. Has anyone else heard about that or can eloborate on the idea? The way I see it...if this ridge keeps up a strong P.O.A. anamonly will develop over North America. All bets would then be off a mild winter for the northeast. Now that the alleged "El Nino" connection has developed...meaning that a strong southern tropical jetstream has been observed from off the California coast across to the southeast...this winter in the northeast may more closely resemble that of 1993-94 or l977-78. Both those winters were cold and very snowy as frequently, both the polar and subtropical jetstreams combined energy (phasing) which resulted in strong storms being forced up the eastern seaboard. Contrast that to the El Nino winters of 1982-83/1991-92/ and 1994-95 where the two jets rarely combined as there was no POA anamoly over North America. Here at the Weather Service in Albany we had our 8th biggest November snowfall and one of the earliest on record. Already this one storm alone has placed this month in the top ten snowiest Novembers ever! Last but certainly not least on Friday morning, just as the winter storm was getting going the KENX WSR-88D detected a TVS at 0526 UTC! I have no idea why this would have happened given the Speed Shear at the 0.5 Deg Slice where it was located was just .001/S! The atmosphere was certainly not conducive to tornadic development in that the wind field was also weak and in fact there was an inversion present about 6 thousand feet off the ground. Tornadoes do not usually happened during winter storms either! Any thoughts? Hugh Johnson National Weather Service Meteorologist at Albany ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 14 Nov 1997 to 15 Nov 1997 ************************************************** From - Tue Nov 18 11:00:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626755-7997>; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 14:21:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA20446; Mon, 17 Nov 1997 00:06:36 -0600 Message-Id: <199711170606.AAA20446@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Nov 1997 00:00:01 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 15 Nov 1997 to 16 Nov 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 1e1a719d1d6a39f46f886bdbcf24951f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 4 messages totalling 199 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 14 Nov 1997 to 15 Nov 1997 2. NWS data outages continue... 3. Chase: 10/11/1997 4. Paducah, Kentucky Below Normal Temperatures +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 16 Nov 1997 12:11:32 -0500 From: jlevine@MCLS.ROCHESTER.LIB.NY.US Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 14 Nov 1997 to 15 Nov 1997 Looking for a formal term, if any, for the study of thunder. Meteorology seems to cover it but is there a specific term for it? Thanks. Jeff Levine, Rochester, New York (with a foot of snow on the ground, this morning, too) ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 16 Nov 1997 14:34:19 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: NWS data outages continue... For those of you on my NIU list, this is an update. For the rest of you on the wx-**** lists on the Internet: the National Weather Service has had very severe data transmission problems over the last 24 hours, and these problems continue. Every weather web site that offers surface, upper air, model and textual data from the NWS have been affected. Here's the latest as of 20Z Sunday: NOUS42 KWBC 161855 SPECIAL DISCUSSION PLEASE BE ADVISED THAT THE AFOS SECTION IS STILL EXPERIENCING MAJOR PROBLEMS. LINKS ACROSS THE U.S. ARE CONSTANTLY GOING DOWN AND UP. SOME DATA WILL BE LOST DUE TO THESE OUTAGES. THERE IS NO ESTIMATED TIME OF RESTORAL AT THIS TIME. KWBC TECH CONTROL........ NOUS42 KWBC 161915 SPECIAL NCEP DISCUSSION CENTRAL OPERATIONS / NCEP / NWS / WASHINGTON DC 1900 UTC SUN NOV 16 1997 161900Z ONLY A TRICKLE OF MANUAL GRAPHICS ARE GETTING OUT TO USERS FROM NCEP CENTERS. NETWORK DIFFICULTIES ARE AT THE CENTER OF THE PROBLEM. THE PROBLEM IS SYSTEM WIDE SO THAT OTHER CENTERS IN MIAMI AND KANSAS CITY ARE HAVING DIFFICULTY IN INGESTING DATA AND PRODUCING/DISSEMINATING FORECAST PRODUCTS. NCEPS 12/24 HOUR LOW LEVEL SIGNIFICANT WEATHER PROGS..36/48 HOUR FRONTS AND PRECIP PROGS MAY NOT BE AVAILABLE. ALSO MEDIUM RANGE PRODUCTS 3 TO 5 DAY FORECASTS...93P..95P..AND 9JH TO 9KH WILL BE DELAYED. KNEAS/SDM/QAP/NCEP Furthermore...NWS Chicago is out with separate problems of their own. Forecasts and products from them may not be available at all. NWS Lincoln/Springfield (KILX) are issuing their products at this time under Chicago's PILs and WMO headers. NWS administrative messages/status reports on the problems are getting through....refer to them on your favorite web sites for the latest on the trouble. NIU faculty/staff/students: Our NLDN lightning data feed, Romeoville (KLOT) doppler radar feed, NOWRAD feed. and our satellite imagery are unaffected because they are received from the detectors, radars and satellites directly, not through NWS data circuits. STORM MACHINE users: A miracle, yes? Model data is available as of now, surface data and upper air data are not as lucky. Data gaps and outages continue as a result of the aforementioned problems. And due to these, model data should be used with extreme caution...most northern and central plains upper air RAOB sites did not get into the 12Z model runs. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 16 Nov 1997 15:01:07 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: Chase: 10/11/1997 Hi Paul, Thanks for letting me post your chase reporton the SCH. Check it out at: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/reports.html I'd also like to remind all of you that normally (but not today, our weather service is having data problems), we have surface and upper air data in near real time for you. As soon as we get it here, it's distributed to THE STORM MACHINE. I have this surface and upper air data available for you at: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ Soundings, surface plots and contours, and upper air contours are now all available. This week I hope to add infrared satellite and water vapor imagery to this collection. Much more data is available for those of you chasing in the U.S.; however, I hope to eventually add model data, but I do not know how successful I will be. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 16 Nov 1997 19:33:19 -0600 From: James Derek Dodson Subject: Paducah, Kentucky Below Normal Temperatures To: Cal Sisto WPSD TV-6...Weather-Talk...Weather-Chase Subject: COLD...COLD...Weather From: Derek Dodson Metropolis, Illinois derekd@midwest.net While doing some research this afternoon I came across some information concerning the recent cold snap in the central portion of the United States. My local National Weather Service Office, which is in Paducah, Kentucky, has recorded below normal temperatures for the past 33 days. Only one of those days did we see temperatures above normal! If you add up the total number of degrees below normal for that period of time it comes up to around -258 degrees! That averages out to around -12 per day from the departure from the normal high temperatures. The following is a break down on the daily departure from normal: October 1997 - Paducah, Kentucky Date/Temperature Departure 14th -8 15th -9 16th -7 17th -6 18th -9 19th -8 20th -2 21st -7 22nd -15 23rd -9 24th -2 25th -1 26th -3 27th -19 28th -13 29th -5 30th -4 31st +5 The Only Day Above Normal For This Time Period November 1997 Date/Temperature Departure 1st -1 2nd -6 3rd -12 4th -10 5th -3 6th -3 7th -3 8th -6 9th -7 10th -9 11th -11 12th -14 13th -15 14th -18 15th -12 There is no real let up in site from this chilly weather! I would love to know how long this cold spell will last! We have been in this Northwest flow for some time now. We are going to be in for a long...cold winter if this keeps up! Have A Good One Everybody....and bring on the snow!!!!!! derekd@midwest.net ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 15 Nov 1997 to 16 Nov 1997 ************************************************** From - Tue Nov 18 16:18:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626546-18907>; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 14:19:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA10368; Tue, 18 Nov 1997 00:15:32 -0600 Message-Id: <199711180615.AAA10368@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Nov 1997 00:03:35 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 16 Nov 1997 to 17 Nov 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 1815b41131dedd976aa0a89c2e77e58b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 4 messages totalling 128 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. 7, 10, 30, 45, 60, 90, 120, & 180 Day Outlooks? 2. TV Met Job Available (A TV station with cool toys!) 3. Radio Gilbert 4. Help With Weather Maps & Charts, Etc. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 17 Nov 1997 06:54:21 -0700 From: DAVID JACOBER Subject: 7, 10, 30, 45, 60, 90, 120, & 180 Day Outlooks? I hope somebody can help me! Anyone know of a site where I can find 7, 10, 30, 45, 60, 90, 120, & 180 day outlooks? Thankis In Advance! David Jacober ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 17 Nov 1997 10:01:48 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available (A TV station with cool toys!) The following appeared in SHOPTALK (http://www.tvspy.com). ..Chris.. METEOROLOGIST (KELO) Blizzards, floods, tornadoes ... and that was just last week! Dominant, Midwest station that takes weather seriously needs a weekend meteorologist to join our four-person Storm Team. We offer state-of- the-art tools (two Baron Doppler radars, WSI, EarthWatch, multiple ENG/SNG) and weather extremes (we cover 2 DMAs from the mountains to the plains). This is a full-time position with great benefits, including a four-day work week (includes early Saturday AM show). EOE. To apply for either job, send tape and resume (no calls) by November 30 to: Mark Millage News Director KELO-LAND TV 501 S. Phillips Ave. Sioux Falls, SD 57104 *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 17 Nov 1997 11:36:32 -0700 From: John Eylander Subject: Re: Radio Gilbert > BTW, a decent AM radio should pick up WBAP at night consistently now, if > you are east of the Rockies. Try to pick up WGN-AM (720) and WMAQ-AM (670) > from Chicago. The first one is a station that can be picked up except > right in the New York City area; WOR at 710 AM (or 730, can't remember > which) causes interference there. > > Tuning out, > > Gilbert > > Been there, done that. I now live in Rapid City, and during the cold days and just about every night now since I got here, I have been able to tune into WBBM 780 AM. At first it was kinda wierd. But now I just love listening to the traffic on the 8's because I no longer have to drive through Chicago traffic during rush hour snow squalls. John. -- ---- **************************************************************** John Eylander Institute of Atmospheric Science South Dakota School of Mines and Technology Rapid City, SD 57701 jeylande@ias.sdsmt.edu *************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 17 Nov 1997 17:18:20 -0700 From: DAVID JACOBER Subject: Help With Weather Maps & Charts, Etc. I know I asked this question before and a Meteorologist from California was kind enough to reply. Unfortunately, my old system fried during the October Rocky Mtn. Blizzard and I lost all of the info. he gave me. I haven't read a weather map in years, and now I am trying to build myself a home weather station in my new house. I have found a lot of areas on the 'net to download and print out many different types of maps, charts, plots, etc. My problem is that I seem to have forgotten what certain maps, charts, plots, etc. are good for in the area of forecasting. For example, I seem to remember that there are maps & charts out there like 250mb, 500mb, 800mb or 850mb, 1000mb, Surface Progs., Thickness Progs., MOS, MRF, and the list goes on. Can any of you fine people respond back with any and all information pertaining to these maps. Are there any websites or books out there that will be able to clearly and simply explain everything about a weather map and chart, as well as how to read the symbols & data that comes on them. I believe that the 'MB" charts or maps are maps with data information received at different altitudes. Is this correct? What are those heights, for example? As I said, any and all information would be helpful! So I don't mind recieving multiple responses answering the same questions. Someone may explain it easier or better than someone else! Hopefully, sombody out there can help me! Thanks in advance! "David Jacober-Pueblo, Colorado U.S.A. "I'd Rather Play Hockey & Lose, Than Figure Skate & Win!" ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 16 Nov 1997 to 17 Nov 1997 ************************************************** From - Wed Nov 19 14:58:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626727-14098>; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 14:40:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA10060; Wed, 19 Nov 1997 00:06:50 -0600 Message-Id: <199711190606.AAA10060@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Nov 1997 00:00:02 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 17 Nov 1997 to 18 Nov 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: f1a758e31c2fbc4b7216a2af09c41461 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 4 messages totalling 191 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Radio Gilbert 2. TV Met Job Available 3. Help locating multi-season outlooks 4. Global Land Precipitation Increases in 20th Century (fwd) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 18 Nov 1997 05:17:34 -0800 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: Radio Gilbert Good Topic! Another aspect of AM DX'ing I enjoy is monitoring coastal AM commercial broadcast stations during hurricane landfalls with my vintage Radio Shack DX-160 tabletop shortwave/HF receiver. Very compelling information is disseminated by stations carrying minute by minute news and public service information regarding the storm. ************************************************************************* 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA Milwaukee Area Skywarn Assoc. (MASA)/Milwaukee-Waukesha Amateur Radio Emergency Service (A.R.E.S.)/IL Multi-County Warning System Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" my severe weather and SKYWARN home page! SFTS! http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 18 Nov 1997 09:12:15 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available WEATHERCASTER (KNDU) KNDU-TV, the NBC Affiliate for Southeast Washington and Northeast Oregon is looking for an energetic and creative weathercaster for our top-rated morning and noon newscasts. We prefer to hire a meteorologist, but talented weather anchors will be considered. Our current person is leaving for a top 15 market. If you've got the right mix of credibility, on-air personality and morning energy, rush your 1/2 inch audition tape and resume to: Christine Brown News Director KNDU-TV 3312 W. Kennewick Ave. Kennewick, WA 99336 *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 18 Nov 1997 10:42:02 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: Help locating multi-season outlooks >From: DAVID JACOBER >Subject: 7, 10, 30, 45, 60, 90, 120, & 180 Day Outlooks? > I hope somebody can help me! > Anyone know of a site where I can find 7, 10, 30, 45, 60, 90, 120, & 180 >day outlooks? The maps that go out to a year in advance can be found at the following site: http://nic.fb4.noaa.gov/products/predictions/multi_season/index.html These are a nice set of color multi-season maps for three month periods from. Hope these will help you out. Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 18 Nov 1997 14:13:20 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Global Land Precipitation Increases in 20th Century (fwd) ---------- Forwarded message ---------- Date: Tue, 18 Nov 1997 13:19:00 -0500 (EST) From: NASANews@hq.nasa.gov To: undisclosed-recipients: ; Subject: Global Land Precipitation Increases in 20th Century David E. Steitz Headquarters, Washington, DC November 18, 1997 (Phone: 202/358-1730) Lynn Chandler Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD (Phone: 301/286-9016) RELEASE: 97-271 GLOBAL LAND PRECIPITATION INCREASES IN 20TH CENTURY Global land precipitation has increased during the 20th century, especially at the mid and high latitudes, according to a paper published in the November 1997 issue of the Journal of Climate. The paper, written by scientists Drs. Inez Fung, Anthony Del Genio, and Aiguo Dai, is based on a recalibrated compilation and analysis of data from 1900-1988 and confirms previous speculation that land precipitation is increasing. The new research shows a global land trend of a 2.4 mm per decade increase in annual precipitation amounts. Multiplied by almost nine decades, this means that there is about 22 mm more rain falling now each year than there was at the turn of the century -- rainfall as a global mean has risen by slightly more than two percent. "Though much speculation remains as to the cause of this increase, further long-term study is needed to help ascertain the reasons for this change. The research does show, however, that both the spatial pattern and rate of precipitation increase are reminiscent of global climate model predictions of the atmosphere's response to an increase in greenhouse gas concentrations," said Dr. Anthony Del Genio, research scientist at NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS), New York City. NASA scientists learned of this rise in precipitation from a new data set constructed at GISS. Scientists analyzed the data at face value but, in the process, used mathematical techniques to detect patterns of historical errors. Researchers developed new ways to objectively determine variations and remove ones that are not accurate. Finally, they performed a statistical test to determine the numerical confidence and came up with the revised database, which they believe shows the long term changes more precisely than previous analyses of the data. "This database represents a potentially valuable resource for understanding the nature of land precipitation variations and their role in climate processes," said Dai, a researcher at GISS, a branch of NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD. For example, the research analysis confirms the global patterns of the presence of an El Nino and also depicts the well- known Sahelian drought of the past few decades that has been a major influence over parts of Africa. Through the construction of this historical database, researchers confirmed the occurrences of 24 droughts and five floods world-wide in the 20th century, though most took place in the tropics rather than middle latitudes. Scientists have long held that precipitation is one of the most important aspects in Earth's climate system because of its impact on the global biosphere. In addition, precipitation limits the amount of water vapor in the atmosphere. Water vapor is the most important greenhouse gas and thus helps to determine Earth's surface temperature. The amount of water vapor in the atmosphere determines when and where clouds form. "The latent heat released when water precipitates out of the atmosphere is the primary way in which the tropical ocean 'communicates' with the atmosphere and drives the tropical atmospheric circulation," said Del Genio. Tracking precipitation and its relationship to global climate, however, has been difficult because the data have not been recorded into coordinated databases until recently. In addition, precipitation measurements vary widely across small geographic areas making it difficult to measure accurately. Through further study, NASA and researchers at GISS hope to create more accurate models from which conclusions about global rainfall can be drawn. NASA also is due to launch this month the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM), the first mission dedicated to measuring tropical and subtropical rainfall through microwave and visible infrared sensors. The TRMM mission includes the first spaceborne rain radar. Tropical rainfall comprises more than two-thirds of global rainfall. Data from the TRMM mission should greatly enhance researchers' understanding and prediction abilities of global climate change. The ongoing research at GISS is funded through NASA's Mission to Planet Earth Enterprise, a long-term coordinated research effort to study the total Earth system and the effects of natural and human-induced changes on the global environment. -end- More information is available on the Internet at the following URL: http://www.giss.nasa.gov/data/adai/ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 17 Nov 1997 to 18 Nov 1997 ************************************************** From - Thu Nov 20 14:20:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627565-12199>; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 14:17:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA35362; Thu, 20 Nov 1997 00:07:22 -0600 Message-Id: <199711200607.AAA35362@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Nov 1997 00:01:33 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 18 Nov 1997 to 19 Nov 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: f255335adf5641751ac3c52b11484238 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 4 messages totalling 116 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. FW: Impacts of ENSO on the Canadian Prairies 2. TV Met Jobs (2) Available 3. Radio Gilbert 4. ASOS Commissioning Notice +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 19 Nov 1997 08:36:00 -0700 From: "Ricketts,Steve [Edm]" Subject: FW: Impacts of ENSO on the Canadian Prairies fyi. For further info, please contact Tim Goos directly. ..steve >---------- >From: Goos,Tim [Edm] >Sent: November 18, 1997 10:14 PM >To: Ricketts,Steve [Edm] >Subject: Impacts of ENSO on the Canadian Prairies > > >Tim Goos >Chief, Atmospheric and Hydrologic Sciences Division >Prairie and Northern Region >Phone: 403-951-8844 Fax: 403-951-8916 >Email: Tim.Goos@ec.gc.ca > > >Impacts of El Nino on the Canadian Prairies > >A new El Nino WWW site with a focus on impacts on the Canadian Prairies has >been developed by the Prairie and Northern Region of Environment Canada. Of >particular interest on this web site is the spatial analysis of temperature >and precipitation during El Nino and La Nina years for 12 consecutive months >beginning with September of the ENSO onset year. Winter temperature and >precipitation anomalies for recent El Nino years >at several sites on the Prairies are also presented. A general overview >section, a Prairie Impacts section, some definitions and links to other El >Nino resources help visitors to this WWW site to better understand how >warming or cooling of the Pacific Ocean at the equator affects the climate of >Western Canada. > >The WWW site can be found on the Prairie and Northern Greenlane at > > http://www.mb.ec.gc.ca/Nino/ENSO_English_top_page.html > > > > > > > > ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 19 Nov 1997 13:06:37 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Jobs (2) Available WEATHER ANCHOR (OCN) The Orange County Newschannel is looking for a Weather Anchor. 2 to 3 years on-air experience and AMS Seal preferred. Knowledge of Weather Central's Genesis system helpful. It may be sunny Southern California but we're serious about weather. Send a VHS tape, resume, and references to: Scott Hollowell, News Director, OCN. 625 N. Grand Ave., Santa Ana, California 92701 OCN is an equal opportunity employer. No phone calls please. WEATHERCASTER (KCRA) We're expanding our weather team. We're looking for someone with a strong weather/meteorology background who can produce and deliver radio and TV weathercasts. Knowledge of WSI Weatherproducer computer is a plus. We've got all the best tools in the weather business including our own Doppler radar and Baron's Storm Tracker. Meteorology degree or AMS seal preferred. Send non-returnable 3/4" tape with references to: Kelly Broadcasting Company, Attn: Ed Chapuis, News Director, 3 Television Circle, Sacramento, CA 95814. NO CALLS PLEASE. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 19 Nov 1997 14:06:53 -0600 From: Dan Kerl Subject: Re: Radio Gilbert WWL in New Orleans is my primary info source when something's in the gulf. My folks were living in San Jose in 79. They were able to keep tabs on the destruction in Mobile (AL) county caused by Frederick by listening to it. They commented that WWL's signal was unusually good during the event. -- Dan Kerl dlkerl@ro.com ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 19 Nov 1997 18:16:10 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following sites became commissioned ASOS sites at 1800 UTC on 19 November 1997. DALLAS LOVE FIELD (KDAL) DALLAS... TX FORBES FIELD (KFOE) TOPEKA... KS Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 18 Nov 1997 to 19 Nov 1997 ************************************************** From - Fri Nov 21 14:52:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625961-5819>; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 14:23:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA04528; Fri, 21 Nov 1997 00:15:09 -0600 Message-Id: <199711210615.AAA04528@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Nov 1997 00:04:15 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 19 Nov 1997 to 20 Nov 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: e950f3d2019874f65de85ca1e33ae233 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 6 messages totalling 193 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. The CSU Flood (fwd) 2. THANKS A MILLION FOR THE HELP!!!!!! 3. National Weather Association newsletter 4. ASOS Commissioning notice 5. Met. books 4 sale!! 6. Winter meeting of the High Plains Chapter of the AMS/NWA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 20 Nov 1997 01:42:02 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: The CSU Flood (fwd) I got this off of an NIU newsgroup. Thought it would be useful here. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ---------- Forwarded message ---------- Date: 19 Nov 97 17:00:50 GMT From: Jerrold Zar Newsgroups: niu.tompaine Subject: The CSU Flood Colleagues: You may recall the devastating flash flood that hit Colorado State University last summer. One of the more horrendous outcomes of this tragedy was the loss of nearly the entire journal collection in their library. The Colorado State University faculty have surveyed that journal loss and have a list of several zillion journals they need; and donations are being sought. If you go to the University's home page www.colostate.edu there is a link near the very top, entitled "Special Notice," and this will display this immense list. I can only vaguely imagine how grateful their faculty and students will be to receive donations of journals that other scholars no longer need on their personal shelves. The library contact person is Joel Rutstein, 970-491-1838, jrutstein@manta.colostate.edu . --Jerry Zar ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 20 Nov 1997 02:20:18 -0700 From: DAVID JACOBER Subject: THANKS A MILLION FOR THE HELP!!!!!! TO ALL OF YOU WHO RESPONDED: Thanks a million for all of the responses out there to my request for help! It is very much appreciated, not to mention extremely helpful! I just ordered the Chaston book as so many of you have recommended it! A particularly nice NOAA type person is even sending me some stuff that might be of help, and perhaps display on the wall of my new home weather station that I am incorporating into the new home we are building! Again, I am always accepting help, suggestions, hints or recommendations, so feel free to keep them coming! Thanks Again! David "I'd Rather Play Ice Hockey & Lose Than Figure Skate & Win!" GO BLUES!!!!!!!! ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 20 Nov 1997 15:24:55 -0500 From: Floyd Hauth Subject: National Weather Association newsletter Topics covered in the NWA September-October 1997 Newsletter: 1. President's Message; Reports on NWA broadcast meteorologists who attended the White House briefings on climate change; Councilors' meeting with B/Gen Kelly to discuss his report on NWS; and candidates for officers in next election. 2. Secretary of Commerce Daley's Remarks at NWS press conference (October 23,1997) 3. NWS forecast office in Raleigh receives NOAA unit citation. 4. In Memoriam -Russell L DeSouza 5. Meetings of Interest; Pacific Northwest Weather Workshop; 23rd Annual Northeastern Storm Conference; Central Iowa NWA Chapter Severe Storms and Doppler Radar Conference; and Air Weather Association Reunion. 6. Cape Canaveral Weather History. 7. Air Weather Service redesignated as Air Force Weather Agency. 8. New NMOC Commanding Officer. 9. AccuWeather purchases WeatherPage. 10. Job Corner: 14 job listings from industry and universities. 11. NWA Publications Available. For more information or copies please contact J. Kevin Lavin at 334-213-0338 or email at ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 20 Nov 1997 19:42:15 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning notice The following sites became commissioned ASOS sites at 1900 UTC on 20 November 1997. SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AIRPORT (KMDH) CARBONDALE/MURPHYSBORO... IL POPLAR BLUFF MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KPOF) POPLAR BLUFF... MO Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 20 Nov 1997 20:18:27 -0500 From: Ron Bianchi Subject: Met. books 4 sale!! I have 40+ new and used Meteorology book, most classic Met.textbooks, new texts, training manuals, NWS FMH books,etc. Most are $20 U.S. dollars and under. There are some really great deals to be had here, honest!!. If you are interested, I will email you my list. thanks for your time! Ron Bianchi forecaster The Weather Network "Canada's only Weather Channel!" rbianchi@ilap.com ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 20 Nov 1997 22:01:53 -0500 From: Matt Gerard Subject: Winter meeting of the High Plains Chapter of the AMS/NWA The High Plains Chapter of the American Meteorological Society and National Weather Association wishes to announce its winter quarterly meeting. The meeting will begin at 400 pm CST, Tuesday December 16th, 1997 in Room 106 of Tomanek Hall on the Ft Hays State University campus in Hays, KS. Our featured speaker will be Steve Kisner, Warning and Coordination Meteorologist from the National Weather Service in Hastings, NE. Steve will be giving a review of the FEMA Hazardous Weather and Flooding Preparedness Course. This is a course developed by the Federal Emergency Management Agency and National Weather Service. It is directed toward Emergency Managers and spotters as well as the Red Cross. Everyone is cordially invited to attend. This meeting should be of special interest to Emergency Management personnel and volunteer spotters. Immediately following the presentation will be the chapter business meeting. Among the orders of business will be the nominations for chapter officers for 1998. Dinner will begin at 600 pm CST and will be held in the Trails Room, upstairs in the Memorial Union. The dinner will be a Holiday buffet with turkey and dressing and all the fixings. If you would like to join us for dinner, please RSVP by Thursday December 11th, 1997 to: Jim Johnson c/o National Weather Service 104 Airport Road Dodge City, KS 67801 email: jim.johnson@noaa.gov vmail: 316-225-6746 or 316-225-6514 fax: 316-227-2288 ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 19 Nov 1997 to 20 Nov 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Nov 24 08:43:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626894-23651>; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 14:48:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA32508; Sat, 22 Nov 1997 00:02:55 -0600 Message-Id: <199711220602.AAA32508@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Nov 1997 00:00:37 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 20 Nov 1997 to 21 Nov 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 69011aed253156117efff7282d478227 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 4 messages totalling 171 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. National Weather Association newsletter (correction of telephone number) 2. I just received this yesterday! I am not sure whether or not it is legit, but I am not taking ANY chances!!!!!!!!!! 3. Virus Hoaxes (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 21 Nov 1997 07:30:04 -0500 From: Floyd Hauth Subject: National Weather Association newsletter (correction of telephone number) Topics covered in the NWA September-October 1997 Newsletter: 1. President's Message; Reports on NWA broadcast meteorologists who attended the White House briefings on climate change; Councilors' meeting with B/Gen Kelly to discuss his report on NWS; and candidates for officers in next election. 2. Secretary of Commerce Daley's Remarks at NWS press conference (October 23,1997) 3. NWS forecast office in Raleigh receives NOAA unit citation. 4. In Memoriam -Russell L DeSouza 5. Meetings of Interest; Pacific Northwest Weather Workshop; 23rd Annual Northeastern Storm Conference; Central Iowa NWA Chapter Severe Storms and Doppler Radar Conference; and Air Weather Association Reunion. 6. Cape Canaveral Weather History. 7. Air Weather Service redesignated as Air Force Weather Agency. 8. New NMOC Commanding Officer. 9. AccuWeather purchases WeatherPage. 10. Job Corner: 14 job listings from industry and universities. 11. NWA Publications Available. For more information or copies please contact J. Kevin Lavin at 334-213-0388 or email at ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 21 Nov 1997 09:09:17 -0700 From: DAVID JACOBER Subject: I just received this yesterday! I am not sure whether or not it is legit, but I am not taking ANY chances!!!!!!!!!! ---------- > From: Jeffrey S Jacober > To: Djacober@prodigy.net > Date: Thursday, 20 November, 1997 17:47 PM > > Date: Mon, 18 Nov 2097 21:52:37 -0800 > Message-ID: <1332232569-64257359@lemoorenet.com> > ---------- >>> > From: Gwen Nicholas > > > Subject: > > > Date: Tuesday, November 18, 1997 6:43 AM > > > > > > Got this from my daughter this AM.... > > > > > > > WARNING!!!!!! If you receive an e-mail titled "JOIN THE CREW" DO NOT open it! It will erase EVERYTHING on your hard drive! Send this letter out to as many people you can.......this is a new virus and not many people know about it! This information was received this morning from IBM, please share it with anyone that might access the Internet. Also, If anyone receives mail entitled; PENPAL GREETINGS! please delete it WITHOUT reading it!! This is a warning for all Internet users there is a dangerous virus propagating across the Internet through an e-mail message entitled "PENPAL GREETINGS!". DO NOT DOWNLOAD ANY MESSAGE ENTITLED "PENPAL GREETINGS"!! This message appears to be a friendly letter asking you if you are interested in a penpal, but by the time you read this letter, it is too late. The trojan horse" virus will have already infected the boot sector of your hard drive, destroying all of the data present. It is a self-replicating virus, and once the message is read, it will AUTOMATICALLY forward itself to anyone who's e-mail address is present in YOUR mailbox! This virus will DESTROY your hard drive, and holds the potential to DESTROY the hard drive of anyone whose mail is in your in box, and who's mail is in their in box and so on. If this virus keeps getting passed, it has the potential to do a great deal of DAMAGE to computer networks worldwide!!!! Please, delete the message entitled "PENPAL GREETINGS!" as soon as you see it! And pass this message along to all of your friends, relatives and the other readers of the newsgroups and mailing lists which you are on so that they are not hurt by this dangerous virus!!!! Please pass this along to everyone you know so this can be stopped. PASS THIS ON TO YOUR FRIENDS!!! WARNING !!! > > > There is a new virus going arround in the last couple of days!!! DO NOT open or even look at any mail that you get that says: "Returned or Unable to Deliver" This virus will attach itself to your computer components and render them useless. Immediately delete any mail items that says this. AOL has said this is a very dangerous virus, and there is NO remedy for it at this time, Please Be Careful, And forward to all your on-line friends A.S.A.P.Forward this A.S.A.P. to every single person you know!!!!!!!!! > > --------- End forwarded message ---------- LIKE I SAID, I DON'T KNOW IS THIS IS ENTIRELY LEGIT, BUT I AM CERTAINLY NOT TAKING ANY CHANCES WITH MY HARD DRIVE! DO WITH THIS MESSAGE AS YOU SEE FIT, I JUST WANTED TO LET YOU ALL KNOW! David Jacober "I'd Rather Play Ice Hockey & Lose Than Figure Skate & Win!" GO BLUES!!!!!!!!" ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 21 Nov 1997 09:05:04 -0800 From: Chris Sherman Subject: Re: Virus Hoaxes DAVID JACOBER wrote: >> > > > WARNING!!!!!! If you receive an e-mail titled "JOIN THE CREW" DO >NOT open it! etc... In the spirit of the scientific method, please consider consulting the Computer Virus Myths home page next time you receive (and forward) one of these pernicious spams. Your concern is appreciated, but forwarding misinformation like this does little to protect the safety of our computer or advance our understanding of weather phenomena, which after all is why we're here, eh? Computer Virus Myths home page, with a detailed analysis of the "Join the Crew" hoax, among other things: http://www.kumite.com/myths/ Regards, Chris ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 21 Nov 1997 16:59:24 -0800 From: Chris Sherman Subject: Re: Virus Hoaxes David wrote: > I thought I was doing a good thing, the right thing! It's not like I was >advertising my car on the mailing list. To those of you that I may have >inconvenienced, I sincerely apologize! I don't question your motives in the least -- what you did was clearly with the best of intentions. Reposting the message to the WX list really doesn't create that much of an inconvenience for individual users. The problem is that once these things start getting bounced around, they multiply, and create serious clogging problems for the Internet at large. Spam is bad enough -- it gets worse when it gets replicated repeatedly by concerned users who "aren't sure". >And to you Chris, maybe you haven't considered >this, but it would be kind of hard to as you say "advance our understanding >of weather phenomena" if your system was crippled by a virus, "eh"? Very good point. What I was suggesting is that there are good, reliable sources available where you can check on the validity/seriousness of a potential threat *before* you send information about it on to other users, who send it on, etc. I'm not worried about a virus crippling my machine via email because that's virtually impossible. What I worry about is the unnecessary panic these kinds of things spread and the resulting needless load placed on what are still relatively scarce Internet resources. We all suffer from that. I'm sure you had the best of intentions, David, and there was nothing personal or vindictive in my post (if you read it that way, my apologies). To me, though, it was equivalent to encouraging people to evacuate town because "someone said there's an F5 tornado coming our way", without bothering to check with reliable sources of information as to the validity or even possibility of such a claim. As with weather phenomena, the sources for computer virus information are out there, they are easily accessible, and they are creditable. Were you able to check out the hoax site? Regards, Chris ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 20 Nov 1997 to 21 Nov 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Nov 24 08:44:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627412-19547>; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 14:10:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA13436; Sun, 23 Nov 1997 00:06:12 -0600 Message-Id: <199711230606.AAA13436@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Nov 1997 00:02:03 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 21 Nov 1997 to 22 Nov 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: e9ccc48784a391730a937f58d5b58f5f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 2 messages totalling 54 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Virus Hoaxes 2. Looking for Historical Background +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 22 Nov 1997 10:23:40 -0800 From: Mark Hanning-Lee Subject: Virus Hoaxes "Join the Crew" is 1 of many virus hoaxes! See these pages for explanation: * the official organization CIAC at http://ciac.llnl.gov/ciac/CIACHoaxes.html; * The antiviral company Symantec at http://www.symantec.com/avcenter/hoax.html; * The antiviral company McAfee at http://www.mcafee.com/support/hoax.html. Please pass on this information to the person who originally sent you the hoax information, and to anyone else who may have received this same warning ... In general, please encourage everyone to check these Web pages BEFORE spreading warnings about a virus. Ironically, a hoax virus that never existed is wasting a lot more time than many real viruses, and it is being spread by the very people who would never dream of spreading a virus ... Best wishes to all, Mark -- Mark Hanning-Lee, markhl@prodigy.net ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 22 Nov 1997 17:54:31 -0700 From: Jack Ganse Subject: Looking for Historical Background Does anyone have good sources (Internet preferred) of info pertaining to Sir Gilbert Walker, Bjerknes, etc? I would like an historical background concerning the scientists and their struggles with identifying and characterizing El Nino. Thank you. Jack ------------------------------------------------------ Jack Ganse ------------------------------------------------------ "a tornado is like Mother Nature making a smoothie..." ...the Weather Channel... ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 21 Nov 1997 to 22 Nov 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Nov 24 14:26:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627328-5780>; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 14:24:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA26890; Mon, 24 Nov 1997 00:04:58 -0600 Message-Id: <199711240604.AAA26890@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Nov 1997 00:01:34 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 22 Nov 1997 to 23 Nov 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 60d670f00cdbfe211be208801bd36809 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 3 messages totalling 212 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. ONCE & FOR ALL, I APOLOGIZE FOR ANY AND ALL INCONVENIENCE MY POSTING CREATED!!!!!!!!!!!!!! 2. 11/23/97 SkyWarn/2001(tm) Software Status 3. Tornado special on The Discovery Channel +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 23 Nov 1997 05:05:31 -0700 From: DAVID JACOBER Subject: ONCE & FOR ALL, I APOLOGIZE FOR ANY AND ALL INCONVENIENCE MY POSTING CREATED!!!!!!!!!!!!!! LET ME PLEASE END THIS NOW & PUT IT TO REST! I APOLOGIZE FOR ANY AND ALL INCONVENIENCE MY POSTING ABOUT A POSSIBLE VIRUS ON THE E-MAIL MAY HAVE CAUSED ANY ONE INDIVIDUAL, NUMBER OF INDIVIDUALS, OR THIS MAILING LIST! I'LL NEVER DO THAT AGAIN, BELIEVE ME! SO PLEASE, NO FURTHER REPLIES, CONDEMNATIONS, SANCTIONS OR OTHER TYPES OR FORMS OF CRITICISMS ARE NECESSARY! Thank You! NOW, BACK TO THE WEATHER.... David "I'd Rather Play Ice Hockey & Lose Than Figure Skate & Win The Gold Medal!" ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 23 Nov 1997 16:09:41 -0600 From: steve hajducek Subject: Re: 11/23/97 SkyWarn/2001(tm) Software Status Dear SkyWarn/2001 Interested Parties: This is a broadcast message to all beta testers and everyone that has ever sent an e-mail to inquire about the SkyWarn/2001(tm) software for the Peet Bros. Ultimeter U-II, U-500, U-800 and U-2000 instruments. The following information has been posted to the website lastweek. We are nearing completion of the development effort! We are looking solid for a January 1998 release. By the first week of December SkyWarn/2001 will expect to be in beta with the release version becoming available by the end of the month. The SkyWarn/2001 Software is being offered for a lmited time at for direct sales at the introductory price of $ 99.95 U.S. until January 1st, 1998 (Our regular price is $ 129.95 U.S.) All orders post marked prior to January 1st, 1998 will be shipped in the order received. We have obtained national advertising space in both Weather specific and Amateur Radio magazines and anticipate 4 to 6 weeks or greater delays going into 1998, so order now. Shipping of SkyWarn/2001 will commence as soon as the software is ready, shipping is sheduled to start the first week of 1998, if everything goes very well in the beta phase, it may start before Christmas '97. The SkyWarn/2001 v1.0.0 introductory price which is $ 99.95 U.S. funds plus $ 10.00 U.S. shipping and handling to the U.S. and Canada, with 6% Sales Tax added for New Jersey Residents. Outside the U.S. please add $ 15.00 U.S. for shipping and handling. All Amateurs and spouses of Amateurs please provide your callsign. All shipping will be via First Class U.S. Mail. With your order you receive the SkyWarn/2001(tm) software on 1.44MB Floppies and spiral bound User Manual. The software is designed to run on the MS-Windows v3.x, Windows 95 and Windows NT v4.0 NOTE: We do not sell any of the Peet Bros. hardware, you must contact them for the required RS-232 cable between your PC and the instrument or optionally make one yourself. For U-2000 users, we recommend the purchase of the 6-wire cable. ----------------------------------------------------- SOFTWARE FEATURES - Supports U-II, U-500, U-800 and U-2000 automatically or by direct selection, also supports real time on the fly change from Logging mode to Complete Record mode for the 500, 800 and 2000 models. Supports all sensors available for all Ultimeter models. Supports the full range of all parameters supported all units of measure and ranges supported by Ultimeter plus adds calculated data not available from the instrumensts. Provides real-time on the fly mouse selection of all parameters units of measure by clicking on the unit of measure displayed. Provides real-time update of Todays Highs and Lows last setting by clicking on the data. Provides numerous real-time graphs for display (1/4 screen always to full screen) and printing to include Wind Rose, Climograph and Meteograph type graphs. Provides user the option of saving of all data in five (5) to sixty (60) minute to intervals. Provides user the option of voice announcements of selected parameters in five (5) to sixty (60) minute intervals. Provides user the option of sending Internet e-mail weather data broadcasts to a list of e-mail addresses using POP3 (RFC1725), and SMTP (RFC0821) protocals. Provides the user the option of keeping their PC and U-2000 set to current time via the Internet using Network Time Protocol (RFC 1305). Provides user selected alarm settings for use selected parameters. Supports display of long term data readings. Provides an algorithm for Snow accumulation from melted snow in accordance with National Weather Service table, when using Heated Rain Gauge. Provides algorithm to display height of Cumulus clouds to indicate presence of fog conditions. Provides near real-time autoranging indication of wind speed, with Low, High, Average and Peak. Provides Beaufot and Fujita scale of wind force ratings on screen and in voice spots. Provides NWS temperate scale ratings from Freezing to Very Hot both on screen and in voice spots. ----------------------------------------------------- LASTEST DEVELOPMENTS - Some of the lastest features being integerated into the software are the option of keeping your PC set to world standard time servers over the interenet form such servers as the mit.edu site or the tock.usno.navy.mil site or thousands of others using Network Time Protocol (RFC 1305) to synchronize themselves. Also added is the ability to send automated weather messages and manually edited NOAA Weather Watcher type reports via e-mail. Yes, the Skywarn/2001 software is now Winsock aware. The program provides an SMTP and POP3 capability which meets the complete specifications for POP3 (RFC1725), and SMTP (RFC0821). Obviously to use these Internet connectivity options you copy of SkyWarn/2001 must be running on a machine that is connected to the web and that supports these protocals. The software is designed to work on systems that do NOT have Winsock support or that become dis- connected while it is running. To receive test messages from my station located in Lakewood, New Jersey at varible intervals during times of testing, please repsond to this message with a subject of "Add To WxSend List". For additional information on the features of the software and screen captures, please visit the website at http://www.qth.com/n2ckh.bytewise.org All beta testers, please check out the beta update download page for additional information. /s/ Steve Hajducek, N2CKH ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 23 Nov 1997 23:43:19 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Tornado special on The Discovery Channel As Jeff Burke pointed out to me, there will be a brand new tornado special on the Discovery Channel Monday (tomorrow) at 9PM ET, 8PM CT. Check your local listings for channel info in your area. It sounds pretty interesting! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 22 Nov 1997 to 23 Nov 1997 ************************************************** From - Tue Nov 25 17:57:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627976-29659>; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 15:23:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAB20276; Tue, 25 Nov 1997 00:12:13 -0600 Message-Id: <199711250612.AAB20276@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Nov 1997 00:04:29 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 23 Nov 1997 to 24 Nov 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: b8bb3ef75ad3b0a6d56d284a52e4dd8f Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 12 messages totalling 379 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Twister time (3) 2. http://www.discovery.com/diginets/smartviewer/episode/82/20709000.html (2) 3. TV Met Job Available 4. TV Met Job Available (Abilene, TX) 5. Tornado special on The Discovery Channel 6. Virus Hoaxes 7. Discovery Channel - Raging Planet 8. State hourly METAR reports 9. NSSL/SPC Merchandise for Sale (the real thing!) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 23 Nov 1997 22:30:47 -0800 From: Chris Sherman Subject: Twister time At 11:43 PM 11/23/97 -0600, you wrote: >As Jeff Burke pointed out to me, there will be a brand new tornado >special on the Discovery Channel Monday (tomorrow) at 9PM ET, >8PM CT. Check your local listings for channel info in your area. It >sounds pretty interesting! Is this the show called "Gimme Shelter?" (attempting to translate EST to PST, and you all know how the El Nino affects such calculations... ;-) Regards, Chris ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 24 Nov 1997 00:33:58 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: Twister time On Sun, 23 Nov 1997, Chris Sherman wrote: > At 11:43 PM 11/23/97 -0600, you wrote: > >As Jeff Burke pointed out to me, there will be a brand new tornado > >special on the Discovery Channel Monday (tomorrow) at 9PM ET, > >8PM CT. Check your local listings for channel info in your area. It > >sounds pretty interesting! > > Is this the show called "Gimme Shelter?" (attempting to translate EST to > PST, and you all know how the El Nino affects such calculations... ;-) > > Regards, > Chris That's what I am trying to find out now. This was news to me! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 24 Nov 1997 06:44:07 -0700 From: DAVID JACOBER Subject: http://www.discovery.com/diginets/smartviewer/episode/82/20709000.html This is a multi-part message in MIME format. ------=_NextPart_000_01BCF8A4.5C97ABA0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=ISO-8859-1 Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit I don't know if this is the program that a couple of you are relating to, but I found it at the location listed in the "Subject" line! Or click on the link icon at the bottom, if you have one showing! Someone please let me know if this is it. Hope It Helps! Take Care, David ------=_NextPart_000_01BCF8A4.5C97ABA0 Content-Type: application/octet-stream; name="Episode Description.url" Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Content-Description: Episode Description (Internet Shortcut) Content-Disposition: attachment; filename="Episode Description.url" [InternetShortcut] URL=http://www.discovery.com/diginets/smartviewer/episode/82/20709000.html ------=_NextPart_000_01BCF8A4.5C97ABA0-- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 24 Nov 1997 07:08:31 -0700 From: DAVID JACOBER Subject: http://www.discovery.com/diginets/smartviewer/episode/82/20709000.html This is a multi-part message in MIME format. ------=_NextPart_000_01BCF8A7.C5421340 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=ISO-8859-1 Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit I hope this helps! It is a program on Avalanches and T-Storms! Let me know if this is in fact the show you all are inquiring about! David ------=_NextPart_000_01BCF8A7.C5421340 Content-Type: application/octet-stream; name="Episode Description.url" Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Content-Description: Episode Description (Internet Shortcut) Content-Disposition: attachment; filename="Episode Description.url" [InternetShortcut] URL=http://www.discovery.com/diginets/smartviewer/episode/82/20709000.html ------=_NextPart_000_01BCF8A7.C5421340-- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 24 Nov 1997 08:17:52 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available METEOROLOGIST (WJHG) WJHG-TV has an immediate opening for a Meteorologist. This is a full time morning position with the number one affiliate in a fast growing resort market on Florida's gulf coast. Send MII, 3/4 or VHS tapes and resumes to Joe Moore, VP News, WJHG-TV, P.O. Box 2349, Panama City, Fl 32402. EOE *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 24 Nov 1997 08:25:46 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available (Abilene, TX) WEEKEND METEOROLOGIST (KTAB) The number one station in the Big Country is looking for a weekend meteorologist/reporter. If you want to join the best weather team in west Texas, then send your tape and resume to: Mr. Alvie Cater, News Director. 5401 South 14th Street, Abilene, Texas 79606. Web site: http://camalott.com/~ktab Editor's note: I spoke with Alvie last week. They have some cool toys but being a 160 market don't expect to get paid much. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 24 Nov 1997 11:00:15 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Tornado special on The Discovery Channel On Sun, 23 Nov 1997, Gilbert L. Sebenste wrote: > As Jeff Burke pointed out to me, there will be a brand new tornado > special on the Discovery Channel Monday (tomorrow) at 9PM ET, > 8PM CT. Check your local listings for channel info in your area. It > sounds pretty interesting! Is he sure? I have SCIENCE OF MAGIC listed at 9pm. Unless its been bumped in favor of the tornado special? Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH -//- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 24 Nov 1997 08:46:22 -0800 From: Frank Gouveia Subject: Re: Virus Hoaxes DAVID JACOBER screeched: >> > > > WARNING!!!!!! If you receive an e-mail titled "JOIN THE CREW" DO >NOT open it! etc... Chris Sherman calmly responded: >In the spirit of the scientific method, please consider consulting the >Computer Virus Myths home page next time you receive (and forward) one of >these pernicious spams. Your concern is appreciated, but forwarding >misinformation like this does little to protect the safety of our computer >or advance our understanding of weather phenomena, which after all is why >we're here, eh? > >Computer Virus Myths home page, with a detailed analysis of the "Join the >Crew" hoax, among other things: > >http://www.kumite.com/myths/ > >Regards, >Chris > Another site about computer hoaxes and the like is: http://ciac.llnl.gov/ciac/ This is a group that is dedicated to computer security. Frank ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 24 Nov 1997 09:57:06 -0700 From: Mike Martin Subject: Discovery Channel - Raging Planet The Raging Planet series had two specials on last night - Lightning at 9 pm and Avalanche at 10 pm. Someone seems to have posted the incorrect date. They were both excellent. The Tornado episode was shown back in September along with the Hurricane episode. -- ******************************************************** Michael Martin Porterville High School Science Department 465 W. Olive Ave. Porterville, CA 93257 phone - 209.783.2311 fax - 209.782.7215 email - mmartin@porterville.k12.ca.us Web site - http://porterville.k12.ca.us/phs/phssci.html ******************************************************** Earthquakes don't kill people, buildings do. "A lion eating an animal is nothing compared to a lava flow eating a big building" - Maurice Krafft "A thing of beauty is not a thing to ignore" - Hothouse Flowers When you were born, you cried and the world rejoiced. Live your life in such a way that when you die, the world will cry and you will rejoice. ******************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 24 Nov 1997 14:16:13 GMT From: WxInfo Subject: Re: State hourly METAR reports In article <347779A2.D7B468FE@miningco.com>, weather.guide@miningco.com says... > >Anyone know a URL which includes hourly METAR or SA reports >for U.S. states which does not require accessing an entire >WWW site or directory ? > > >Joseph Try U.C. Davis Atmospheric Science at http://www-atm.ucdavis.edu/~wxauto/fos/ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 24 Nov 1997 11:36:37 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: Twister time On Mon, 24 Nov 1997, DAVID JACOBER wrote: > Morning! > > "Gimme Shelter" besides being a Rolling Stones Album it is also a program > on the Discovery Channel about home building & remodeling. As far as the > Tornado Special goes, I can't even fine my T.V. Guide, so I am no help > there! Try checking the Discovery Website! I think it is DISCOVERY.COM > > David Hmmm. It looks like the show aired either last night, or the incorrect time/date was given. More than likely the date. I'll see if that special is coming up again. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 24 Nov 1997 17:42:18 -0600 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: NSSL/SPC Merchandise for Sale (the real thing!) Severe Weather Fanatics, The NSSL/SPC Employees Association (NSEA) regularly sells severe weather photographs and NSSL/SPC clothing as part of its fund-raising efforts. Traditionally, we've only been able to sell this merchandise to individuals who visit the NSSL/SPC in Norman, Oklahoma, or when we take the merchandise to various special functions (such as the TWC Chaser Conference, the StormTrack annual picnic, or various conferences and open houses). Now this merchandise is available on the World Wide Web (WWW)! *** The 1997 Holiday Season is here. NOTE: In order to guarantee receipt of items before the holidays, your payment must be received by us no later than Monday Dec 1. We will do our best to send orders in time for the holidays, but unforseen postal delays and stock shortages (by our supplier) may cause delays (you will be notified). *** Also, lately, we've been a little slow in fulfilling orders, due to a lot of unforseen travel and work commitments. We will be catching up over the Thanksgiving break. We apologize for some of the delays. Now in stock in the store for fall/winter: long-sleeve tees and sweatshirts for a limited time only! ********************************************************************* * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW Severe Weather Photo Store * ********************************************************************* The URL for the NSEA Photo Concession Stand is: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/nea/neaphotostand.html ****************************************************************** * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW NSSL/SPC Clothing Store * * * * NSSL SHIRTS...AS SEEN IN THE MOVIE 'TWISTER'!!! * ****************************************************************** The URL for the NSEA Clothing Concession Stand is: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/nea/neaclothing.html Information on the prices of merchandise is on the WWW page. We can only accept orders placed from the WWW page (check or money order only). Information on the NSEA is also available via the first hypertext link on that WWW page. If you have any questions, please contact Greg Stumpf at: gstumpf@rossby.metr.ou.edu We hope that this fundraiser is a success for our organization and we hope you all enjoy the merchandise! Greg Stumpf and Paul Janish, NSSL/SPC Employees Association DISCLAIMER: The NSEA is a non-profit organization not affiliated with NOAA or the U.S. Government. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 23 Nov 1997 to 24 Nov 1997 ************************************************** From - Thu Nov 27 13:48:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627401-21040>; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 14:21:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA25224; Wed, 26 Nov 1997 00:03:10 -0600 Message-Id: <199711260603.AAA25224@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Nov 1997 00:00:00 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 24 Nov 1997 to 25 Nov 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 8e0c8a156a1e4a19d3545ef577794878 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 3 messages totalling 79 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Discovery Channel tornado-related programming (2) 2. TV Met Job(s) Available (Idaho) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 25 Nov 1997 03:22:32 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Discovery Channel tornado-related programming Good call, Gilbert! You were correct; this week's TV WEEK was wrong! Thanks for the early notification. Checked it out just in case, and there it was. Something I haven't seen so far, either. On the second broadcast at 1am I recorded it. Thanks again... Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH -//- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 25 Nov 1997 09:33:35 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: Discovery Channel tornado-related programming Hi Todd, > Good call, Gilbert! You were correct; this week's TV WEEK was wrong! > Thanks for the early notification. Checked it out just in case, and there > it was. Something I haven't seen so far, either. On the second broadcast > at 1am I recorded it. > > Thanks again... > > Todd I had conflicting info since it was a last-minute change; even the Discovery Channel web site and daily TV updates didn't have it! I even yanked the announcement off my chase page as a precaution. Gotta trust my trusty sources more! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 25 Nov 1997 12:15:09 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job(s) Available (Idaho) WEATHERCASTERS (KIVI) We are looking for weathercasters with an outstanding presentation in anticipation of a main weather job opening in the near future. AMS certification is a bonus but not required. Personality is a PLUS PLUS! Minimum 2 years on air weather experience. Send resume tapes to: Lynn Hightower, News Director, 1866 E. Chisholm Drive, Nampa, ID 83787. (208) 381-6650. KIVI Television is an equal opportunity/affirmative action employer. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 24 Nov 1997 to 25 Nov 1997 ************************************************** From - Thu Nov 27 14:43:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626644-15098>; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 14:27:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA43734; Thu, 27 Nov 1997 00:05:20 -0600 Message-Id: <199711270605.AAA43734@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Nov 1997 00:00:01 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 25 Nov 1997 to 26 Nov 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 23a1638a0eaf2d4c499c1fdc2e3f46f1 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 7 messages totalling 213 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Software/Peet Bros./Beta test sites (2) 2. TV Met Job Available (Rochester, NY) 3. ASOS Commissioning Notice 4. Snow measurements, anyone? 5. Future weather... (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 26 Nov 1997 08:07:14 -0500 From: Rob Cermak Subject: Software/Peet Bros./Beta test sites Hi Wx-Talkers, Starting January 1st 1998, we will be offering FREE software that will allow owners with the Peet Bros. 2000 unit and a dedicated network address and computer to connect the Peet Bros. weather station to the Internet and an expanding high-resolution weather network in southeastern New York and New Jersey. Participants are rewarded with access to this weather network as well as the entire history of the participating station. Two beta test sites are up and operating. If you would like to help beta test this software or obtain notification January 1st, 1998, send email to Rob Cermak (cermak@snow.wxaccess.com). Current Conditions (Peet Bros.) DATE: 11/26/1997 TIME: 08:00 Station: Highland Park, NJ (HPK) Current Maximum Minimum Temperature : 40.2F 40.2F 38.2F Dew Point : 33.3F 33.3F 28.3F Pressure(IN): 29.87" 29.95" 29.87" Rob Cermak -- Rob Cermak Voice: 732-545-9536 Weather Access, Inc. Email: cermak@snow.wxaccess.com V.P. Product Development Web : http://www.wxaccess.com/ Consulting Meteorologist Highland Park, New Jersey, 08904 U.S.A. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 26 Nov 1997 08:15:21 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available (Rochester, NY) WEEKEND METEOROLOGIST (WROC) The CBS affiliate in Rochester, NY is looking for a Weekend Meteorologist. Prior experience and familiarity with the Kavouras i7 is preferred. Please send tapes and resumes to Mike Goldberg, Chief Meteorologist, WROC-TV News 8, 201 Humboldt Street, Rochester, NY 14610. (716) 288-8400, x727. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 26 Nov 1997 09:07:31 -0600 From: Mark Hofmann Subject: Re: Software/Peet Bros./Beta test sites RE: Software/Peet Bros./Beta test sites BY: rob cermak þ> Starting January 1st 1998, we will be offering FREE software that will þ> allow owners with the Peet Bros. 2000 unit and a dedicated network address þ> and computer to connect the Peet Bros. weather station to the Internet and þ> an expanding high-resolution weather network in southeastern New York and þ> New Jersey. Participants are rewarded with access to this weather þ> network as well as the entire history of the participating station. Wow, that is really a great idea! Could you fill me in on some details on the equipment needed, and how much the entire setup would cost? I don't have a dedicated connection to the Internet right now, but I would at least like to get ready for when I do have that option. It would incredible to have a bunch of weather stations all over the country that we could tap into for reports! - Mark Hofmann weather@mail.bcpl.lib.md.us .............................................................................. .Weather Station (410)882-8887 * WWIVnet @8304 FILEnet @282 Fido (1:261/1304). ........ Perry Hall, MD "Live Radar/Satellite/Conditions/Reports" ......... ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 26 Nov 1997 11:39:29 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following sites became commissioned ASOS sites at 1800 UTC on 25 November 1997. CRAIG MUNICIPAL AIRPORT(KCRG) JACKSONVILLE... FL PENSACOLA REGIONAL AIRPORT (KPNS) PENSACOLA... FL Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 26 Nov 1997 17:09:36 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Snow measurements, anyone? I saw this on the weather wires this afternoon. If you're interested, contact the National Weather Service directly, not me. Thanks! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* PNSCHI PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 300 PM CST WED NOV 26 1997 ...EXPANDING THE CHICAGO SNOWFALL NETWORK... ONE OF THE BIGGEST CHALLENGES WE HAVE IS THE COLLECTION OF REPRESENTATIVE SNOWFALL REPORTS. THERE ARE MANY WHO USE THIS INFORMATION...THE MEDIA... SCHOOLS...UTILITIES...HYDROLOGISTS...CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE GENERAL PUBLIC. WE ALREADY HAVE A NETWROK IN PLACE AND THOSE INDIVIDUALS ARE DOING A FINE JOB...FOR WHICH WE ARE MOST GREATFUL. HOWEVER THERE ARE GAPS IN THE NETWORK THAT WE NEED TO FILL. YOU ARE ALL AWARE THAT SNOW DOES NOT NECESSARILY FALL IN A UNIFORM MANNER. ESPECIALLY ACROSS AN AREA THE SIZE OF THE CHICAGO. TO USE ONE LOCATION TO REPRESENT THE CHICAGO METROPOLITAN AREA IS FAR LESS THAN ADEQUATE. THEREFORE...WE ARE LOOKING TO EXPAND THE SNOWFALL NETWORK AND ARE LOOKING FOR ADDITIONAL VOLUNTEERS TO MEASURE AND REPORT SNOWFALL. THESE REPORTS WILL BE RECORDED...COMPILED AND MADE AVAILABLE TO THE MEDIA. LAST YEAR... WITH THE COOPERATION OF THE CHICAGO DEPARTMENT OF STREETS AND SANITATION... WE ADDED AN ADDITIONAL 8 REPORTING SITES. THE INFORMATION PROVIDED WAS VERY HELPFUL AND WELL RECEIVED. IF YOU ARE INTERESTED IN FINDING OUT HOW YOU CAN BECOME A VOLUNTEER...PLEASE WRITE TO... BOB COLLINS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 333 W UNIVERSITY DR ROMEOVILLE IL 60446 COLLINS ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 26 Nov 1997 20:09:45 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Future weather... Saw this in the latest Jane's Defence Weekly... Climate control for USAF US Air Force researchers believe that weather manipulation technologies will mature sufficiently over the next 30 years to allow US forces to own the weather, enabling them to exploit the battlefield of the future. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 26 Nov 1997 19:42:50 -0700 From: "Ricketts,Steve [Edm]" Subject: Re: Future weather... Sometimes our awe of seeing what technology and science (and in the case of the military, an seemingly unlimited pot of $$) can blind us to what's reasonable and what's not. Anyone with a more than a modicum of met knowledge knows how ludicrous this idea is. Just because something is in writing does not make it so. ..steve ricketts >---------- >From: Robert P Dale[SMTP:rdale@NORDEN1.COM] >Sent: November 26, 1997 18:09 PM >To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK >Subject: Future weather... > >Saw this in the latest Jane's Defence Weekly... > > >Climate control for USAF >US Air Force researchers believe that weather manipulation technologies will >mature sufficiently over the next 30 years to allow US forces to own the >weather, enabling them to exploit the battlefield of the future. > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 25 Nov 1997 to 26 Nov 1997 ************************************************** From - Fri Nov 28 14:32:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626277-1520>; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 14:28:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA19534; Fri, 28 Nov 1997 00:21:01 -0600 Message-Id: <199711280621.AAA19534@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Nov 1997 00:10:10 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 26 Nov 1997 to 27 Nov 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: fa804836111680963e17b234eaabd745 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 5 messages totalling 233 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Atlantic hurricane forecast verification 2. TRMM 3. Weather Network (more info) (2) 4. URL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 27 Nov 1997 21:26:13 -0500 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Atlantic hurricane forecast verification "Summary of 1997 Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Activity and Verification of Authors' Seasonal Prediction" by: William M. Gray, Christopher W. Landsea, John A. Knaff, Paul W. Mielke, Kenneth J. Berry Dr. William Gray's 1997 hurricane season summary of the is now available via the web at: http://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/forecasts/ Below is a copy of a Colorado State University press release from this morning. --------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Nov. 26, 1997 Contact: Carrie Schafer (970) 491-6432 CSchafer@vines.colostate.edu STRONGEST EL NINO IN HISTORY DAMPERS '97 HURRICANE SEASON; COLORADO STATE'S GRAY SAYS THREE-YEAR PERIOD STILL MOST ACTIVE Note to Editors: Copies of Professor William Gray's verification report for the 1997 hurricane season and related press releases will be available this afternoon on the World Wide Web at http://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/forecasts/index.html or by calling the University Relations office at (970) 491-6432. Dr. Gray's first forecast for the 1998 hurricane season will be issued Friday, Dec. 5. FORT COLLINS-- Despite the strongest summer El Nino event on record, 1997 hurricane activity in the Atlantic Basin was 54 percent of the long- term average but was less than predicted by Colorado State University's noted team of hurricane forecasters. The team, lead by Professor William Gray, issued a report today (Nov. 26) that outlined why the El Nino of 1997 flattened the team's August prediction of 11 named storms, six hurricanes and two intense hurricanes for the season. Instead, the Atlantic Basin saw seven named storms, three hurricanes and one intense hurricane during the season, which ends Nov. 30. On average, 9.3 tropical storms, 5.8 hurricanes and 2.2 intense hurricanes form annually. Although the hurricane season was below average, Gray's statistics show that the period between 1995-1997 was still the busiest three-year period for hurricane activity on record. The three-year span generated 39 named storms, 23 hurricanes (13 of which were intense) and 116 hurricane days. "We knew going into the hurricane season that this would be an extremely difficult year to forecast," Gray said. "The El Nino proved to be twice as strong as any other previous record El Nino event in history for this time of year. No one guessed that it would grow to be so intense. And yet, despite this very extreme weather event, we still saw hurricane activity--more than was to be expected." El Nino is a weather phenomenon marked by warmer-than-normal water temperatures in the eastern Pacific Ocean off the coast of Peru and along the equator. This rise in ocean temperatures causes strong upper tropospheric winds to blow in a westerly direction from the Pacific Ocean to the tropical Atlantic Ocean. These winds typically act to shear off developing hurricanes. Gray said that in other years with strong El Nino events, such as 1957, 1972 and 1982, waters warmed only 2 or 3 degrees centigrade above normal. But the El Nino of 1997 actually warmed waters 4 or 5 degrees centigrade above normal--nearly twice as much as the previous record El Nino of 1982-83. This rare and extreme rise in ocean temperatures helped produce even more intense westerly upper tropospheric winds in the Atlantic Basin, which caused strong wind shear and prevented most easterly waves from Africa from forming. Gray and his team of researchers are investigating the possibility that the extreme El Nino this year may have been the result of a long period of warm water accumulating in the western Pacific, possibly left over from smaller El Nino events in 1991-1993. The team contends this kind of warm water build-up could only have produced the type of El Nino that emerged this year. Despite El Nino's extreme influence over the Colorado State team's 1997 hurricane forecast, Gray points out that factors in the Atlantic favorable for hurricane activity were still enough to produce seven named storms this year. These factors included warmer sea surface temperatures in the north and tropical Atlantic and colder sea surface temperatures in the South Atlantic, as well as colder than normal air temperatures 54,000 feet above Singapore. Also present was the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation, equatorial stratospheric winds at 68,000-75,000 feet than tend to promote hurricane formation when they blow from the west--as they did this year. And, as predicted in the team's August forecast, El Nino pushed many of the storms that did form in 1997 to higher latitudes--some of them closer to the United States. Of the seven named storms that formed in the Atlantic, six originated above 25 degrees north latitude, higher latitudes than hurricanes typically form. Gray attributes this to the fact that while El Nino produces strong upper-level westerly winds at lower latitudes that block African-origin storms, it also creates weaker upper-level westerly winds at higher latitudes that are less able to thwart hurricane development. Using atmospheric models, Gray and his colleagues have shown that if the El Nino of 1997 had only been as intense as previous record El Nino events in 1957, 1972 and 1982, those positive factors for hurricane formation would have generated 10 named storms, six hurricanes and three intense hurricanes--virtually on target with the team's prediction. "The 1997 El Nino was truly in a class by itself," Gray said. "But I don't think it will be around to influence the 1998 hurricane season to any significant degree." The Colorado State team's historical data shows that nine out of the past 30 years have actually produced less hurricane activity than in 1997. Of the nine years that were less active, seven occurred during El Nino events. When Gray's team issues the first forecast for the 1998 season on Dec. 5, the statistical model will now include the extreme 1997 El Nino conditions. The team's hurricane forecasts--issued in early December, April, June and August--do not predict landfall and apply only to the Atlantic Basin, which encompasses the Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico. In addition to Gray, the hurricane research team includes John Knaff, Paul Mielke and Kenneth Berry from Colorado State; and Chris Landsea, a Colorado State graduate and a researcher at NOAA's Hurricane Research Division in Miami, Fla. ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** "There are no undifficult forecasts." --- Dr. Bill Gray, 1997 ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 27 Nov 1997 22:00:34 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: TRMM On ABC News tonight, the "El Nino Watch" reported (along with several questionable El Nino topics) that the Tropical Rainfall Meaurement Mission satellite was successfully launched today. According to ABC, the mission of this satellite is to "look inside El Nino storm clouds and better predict future precipitation patterns." I'm curious where exactly the "El Nino storm clouds" are on the latest satellite map... Rob ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 27 Nov 1997 22:09:57 -0500 From: Rob Cermak Subject: Weather Network (more info) > an expanding high-resolution weather network in southeastern New York and > New Jersey. Participants are rewarded with access to this weather > network as well as the entire history of the participating station. Keep tabs on this URL for more information as it develops. Mark Hofmann (weather@mail.bcpl.lib.md.us) wrote: >>Wow, that is really a great idea! Could you fill me in on some details >>on the equipment needed, and how much the entire setup would cost? The base weather unit is $379.00 plus options. You will need the $15.00 PC interface cable and your all set. >>I don't have a dedicated connection to the Internet right now, but I >>would at least like to get ready for when I do have that option. This is fine, as long as you collect the information for download later. Any information is good information -- especially for education and/or research purposes. I'll make two versions: 1. A computer with a dedicated IP - real-time operation 2. A computer with a dialup connection - manual operation >>It would incredible to have a bunch of weather stations all over the >>country that we could tap into for reports! The internet is global...why not the globe? Rob -- Rob Cermak Voice: 732-545-9536 Weather Access, Inc. Email: cermak@snow.wxaccess.com V.P. Product Development Web : http://www.wxaccess.com/ Consulting Meteorologist Highland Park, New Jersey, 08904 U.S.A. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 27 Nov 1997 22:33:32 -0500 From: Rob Cermak Subject: URL Ooops, Here is the URL to keep tabs on development & information: http://www.wxaccess.com/wai/wxnet.html Rob ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 27 Nov 1997 23:04:12 -0600 From: Mark Hofmann Subject: Re: Weather Network (more info) RE: Weather Network (more info) BY: rob cermak þ> The base weather unit is $379.00 plus options. You will need the þ> $15.00 PC interface cable and your all set. I currently have a Digital Weather Computer that I built from HeathKit many years ago. It is really fairly nice, but never could get it interfaced with the computer. That sounds like a good price for all the things you get. As soon as I move to a neighborhood where I can put the equipment on the roof again, I will definitely get one setup. Should be in a few years.. I miss not having the weather station on setup. I had it up and running for MANY years while I was a kid, still living at home.. I need intend on moving to another area in the next few years, that will allow me to set it up once again... :) - Mark weather@mail.bcpl.lib.md.us .............................................................................. .Weather Station (410)882-8887 * WWIVnet @8304 FILEnet @282 Fido (1:261/1304). ........ Perry Hall, MD "Live Radar/Satellite/Conditions/Reports" ......... ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 26 Nov 1997 to 27 Nov 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Dec 1 02:41:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626017-24970>; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 14:40:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA36808; Sat, 29 Nov 1997 00:06:16 -0600 Message-Id: <199711290606.AAA36808@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Nov 1997 00:00:02 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 27 Nov 1997 to 28 Nov 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 4cb9a997a04c29846058ea07646a0d0b Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 4 messages totalling 127 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. weather maps of Europe 2. WX-TALK Digest - 25 Nov 1997 to 26 Nov 1997 3. Iowa Conference Update 4. HSV NWS Office Closing +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 28 Nov 1997 10:21:55 +0100 From: Jaume MASSONS Subject: weather maps of Europe Dear all, any one has information about sources of maps for Europe during 1994 in Internet?. Additionally, information about pictures of meteorological instruments (anemometers, pluviometer,...) in theg Internet should be also apreciated, Many thans ks Jaume Massons. University of Tarraona, Spain utaquf08@cadi.cesca.es ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 28 Nov 1997 09:27:32 -0600 From: "Mark D. Conner" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 25 Nov 1997 to 26 Nov 1997 And just because something is quoted doesn't mean it accurately reflects what was said to the reporter. Somehow I think it was edited down way too far to get the true meaning of what was discussed. What's more likely is that researchers expect to be able to anticipate weather events in enough detail in 30 years worldwide to allow US forces to fully exploit *existing* weather conditions to their maximum effect. So let's not abuse the military until we can get the full story. > Date: Wed, 26 Nov 1997 19:42:50 -0700 > From: "Ricketts,Steve [Edm]" > Subject: Re: Future weather... > > Sometimes our awe of seeing what technology and science (and in the case > of the military, an seemingly unlimited pot of $$) can blind us to > what's reasonable and what's not. > > Anyone with a more than a modicum of met knowledge knows how ludicrous > this idea is. Just because something is in writing does not make it so. > > ..steve ricketts > > >---------- > >From: Robert P Dale[SMTP:rdale@NORDEN1.COM] > >Sent: November 26, 1997 18:09 PM > >To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK > >Subject: Future weather... > > > >Saw this in the latest Jane's Defence Weekly... > > > > > >Climate control for USAF > >US Air Force researchers believe that weather manipulation technologies will > >mature sufficiently over the next 30 years to allow US forces to own the > >weather, enabling them to exploit the battlefield of the future. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 27 Nov 1997 22:06:41 -0600 From: John McLaughlin Subject: Iowa Conference Update We are continuing to accept presentations for the next Severe Storms & Doppler Radar Conference to be held in Des Moines 3-5 April. Also, if you intend to show a storm chase video during the Friday chaser night, please drop me an email soon!!! Storm chaser supreme, Lon Curtis of Belton, Texas, has already agreed to present some of the dramatic Jarrell, TX area video! The papers/presentations received so far are falling into four basic areas. 1. Cooperation, Coordination and Communication: (between NWS, Media, Spotters and EMAs) This will include presentations from media, nws, emergency managers and university professors. We will hear of projects in which these agencies have combined efforts to benefit the public. One such effort is TV stations offering discount coupons for the purchase of NOAA Weather Radios in cooperation with NWS/EMA. 2. Nexrad: In addition to case studies, we will have information from the Nexrad Operational Support Facility on Build 10 which is due out next summer. This will be beneficial to NWS and media alike. Les Lemon will also be presenting his latest research which is expected to be published around the same time as the conference. 3. Near Storm Observations: We are working to secure Josh Wurman for a presentation on the Doppler on Wheels project. I am trying to tie this in with a presentation from the Center for Analysis and Prediction of Storms on storm-scale modeling. Al Moller is also trying to work out his schedule to attend the conference for another dynamic presentation. Chaser Warren Faidley is also trying to fit a presentation to the Iowa Conference into his packed spring schedule. 4. Television meteorology: We already have two speakers lined up on the Texas tornado outbreak and how it was handled "on-air" and a presentation is in the works on the March '97 Little Rock tornado which was tracked through town by a local TV station C-band Doppler weather radar. Your ideas and presentations should be submitted to: John McLaughlin at johnmc49@ecity.net. Central Iowa NWA Box 7512 Urbandale, Iowa 50322 or call me at KCCI-TV 515-247-8888 ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 28 Nov 1997 13:50:24 -0600 From: Dan Kerl Subject: HSV NWS Office Closing Just a brief note to express my sadness at the closing of the Huntsville AL NWS office. Thanks to the forcasters there for all these years of timely coverage. I do appreciate it. -- Dan Kerl dlkerl@ro.com ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 27 Nov 1997 to 28 Nov 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Dec 1 15:23:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626163-12265>; Mon, 1 Dec 1997 14:25:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA26346; Mon, 1 Dec 1997 00:11:31 -0600 Message-Id: <199712010611.AAA26346@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 1 Dec 1997 00:00:02 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 28 Nov 1997 to 30 Nov 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: d79df233bad7487e73af70264c0c59e7 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 4 messages totalling 229 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Q: Lightning Colors 2. New issue of InterMet now online 3. Metbooks 4 sale!! 4. SkyWarn/2001 Update +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 30 Nov 1997 01:52:44 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Q: Lightning Colors For anyone, I guess... Is a bright aqua-green a normal everyday occurance for the in-cloud (sheet) lightning? On the way to return a couple videos to the video store last evening, about 8pm here in Gainesville, Florida, I noted about 45-degrees up and ahead of me as I was driving south on NW 13th Street a large, exceedingly bright aqua-green flash in the clouds. It had a hint of electric blue in it, too. This flash travelled -- a la CE3K style -- directly southwards above thirteenth street until it had moved what must have been about a mile and a half. Then suddenly, the aqua-green flash turned bright white in the clouds. At the same time, an incredibly bright white streak came down through the clouds and hit somewheres way down the road, and lasted a couple seconds. What was weird was how the aqua flash travelled south, and the white flash associated with the white CG appeared to travel UPWARDS through the clouds. I've never seen an explosion before, but I'd be tempted to describe this event this way. I never saw any actual strokes of lightning travelling through the clouds, mind you. It was just above the cloud base deck and all there was was light. This was startling to me. I've never seen this happen before in the 34 years I've been alive. What, if any, meaning does an AQUA-GREEN color to lightning have? and, why would it then suddenly change color to white? I've never actually seen a STROKE of lightning to be aqua-green. So, I'm wondering if what I was seeing was an effect of the clouds themselves. Could it be that the amount of cloud between the stroke and me was of some suffiency to have caused an apparent color change of some kind? Crud! It was just a regular rainy night, really. Wasn't expecting lightning to even be a consideration, or I would have placed the video camera in the car for the drive like I usually do for the `just in case.' I usually leave it running while I drive in case something happens. This way, if something happens, and its in front of me, its caught on tape. When I get home, I then copy the event to a master collection, rewind the tape to start again, and use it again. This evening, however, I left it at home, not expecting this to happen. I wish I'd had it in the car last night. This event was so bright it fooled the sensors on every street light in sight -- north, south, east, and west...immediately upon the first split second of the first flash. The clouds, between the flashes, were suddenly dark -- no longer reflecting the city glow anymore. At least, for a few seconds anyway; until the streetlights came back on again. The way I know that the light sensors were fooled and that it was not a power outage was because the streetlights went out and the lights in the businesses along the roadsides remained on. (Really weird. I had no idea streetlights emitted that much upward facing light before.) But the street lights were out on the first aqua-green flash. Maybe thats why the white flash seemed so bright. I dunno. Stranger still was the fact that after the CG strike and the ground flash, there was NO thunder, either. None. And noone I'd asked immediately afterthe event had heard it either. So, anyone care to enlighten me what, if anything, was special about this particular lightning event? ...Should I just take a pill and chill? :) Or was this actually unusual? Thanks, Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH -//- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 30 Nov 1997 14:53:01 -0500 From: InterMet Subject: New issue of InterMet now online Just to inform the group that a new issue of InterMet is now online. http://www.magma.ca/~intermet/ just click on Current Issue. Thank you, Bernard Miville _______________________________________ InterMet International Meteorology Magazine http://www.magma.ca/~intermet/ intermet@magma.ca ________________________________________ ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 30 Nov 1997 15:41:48 -0500 From: Ron Bianchi Subject: Metbooks 4 sale!! Attn: book buyers.... The last books on the list!!! I am not a dealer, or re-seller of books, I have a very large personal library of Meteorology books (around 1300 plus!) and as I started entering them this past summer in to a database (finally!) I found that I had many duplicates (Doh!!) I am still finding more! It will take me a while, but as soon as I find more I'll add them to the list. So I am not here to make a profit, just to get some money back and hope someone else enjoys the books as I did. If you don't think the prices are great just look around on the net (publishers, used book places, etc..) for the same books. Update as of DEC. 1/97.... This is what's left from my first internet posting, most of the books sold within 2 days. All books listed below are on a first come (email) first serve basis. Postage is extra, (small books $1 to $1.50, larger ones $2 to $2.50) (any other shipping method will be extra) All books are in U.S. funds, since I paid U.S. dollars for them! Payment should be a U.S., Canadian, or International Money order. No personal cheques please. No refunds. Used/New Meteorology books for sale as of Dec. 1 /97 Contact: Ron Bianchi (w) (905) 566 9522 xtn 284 email: rbianchi@ilap.com The Atmosphere: An Introduction to Meteorology, 4th Ed., Frederick K. Lutgen, Prentice Hall, 1989, 491 pp. Another great university Met. Intro textbook, great for any one getting into the basic of the science. fine, Spine not cracked, very good condition. $18 U.S (Sells for $50) Weather for the Mariner, 3rd Ed., W.J. Kotsch, Naval Institute Press, 1983, 315 pp. Great intro Met. book for the yachtsman ex-lib, very good inside, covers are marked,hardcover. $15 U.S (sells for $48) a great buy! The Restless Atmosphere, F.K. Hare, Hutchinson & Co. Ltd., 1960, 192 pp. Classic intro Met. text. some foxing, some strip in the spine,hardcover. $8 U.S. Meteorology: The Atmosphere and the Science of Weather, Study Guide 3rd Ed., Joseph M. Moran and M. D. Morgan, 1991. Another great University level intro workbooks on meteorology. Very good condition, some answers in guide,with special pen for answers, soft cover. $8 U.S. (sells for $28) Meteorology, 4th Ed. Albert Miller, Richard A. Anthes, 1980, Charles E. Merrill Publishing Co., 1980, 169 pp. Intro level book. OK condition,pencil underlings,highlighted pages, softcover. $5 U.S. Weather Satellite Handbook 4th ed. - by Dr. Ralph Taggart, 200pp. softcover, like new. The how to's of building a affordable ground station for GOES and NOAA satellites, great reference book!. $4 U.S. The Satellite Experimenter's Handbook - by American Radio Relay League, 200pp - another excellant how to's of building a affordable ground station for GOES and NOAA satellites and other Ham systems. Softcover, in great shape, ton's of great detailed info! $4 U.S. Teachers Guide for Building and Operating Weather Satellite Ground Stations - by Joe Summers & Tim Gotwald. 1981, 83pp. Softcover, great shape, all the basics for building a basic ground station ( is somewhat dated, but a great reference book!). $2 U.S. Weather for Air crews Air Force Training Manual, Department of the Air Force, January 1 1982, 70 pp. Great manual! for pilots or anyone in Met. aviation. ex-lib, with amendments, softcover, 3 holed, very good shape great deal!, $8 U.S. Operations of the National Weather Service, NOAA/NWS, 1985 good, softcover, some slight markings, (dated material, but still a good reference book). $2 U.S. Climate of Salt Lake City, Utah, 4th Ed., NOAA Tech Memorandum NWS WR - 152, March 1989, 93 pp. very good condition,softcover,3 holed. $2 U.S. Surface Aviation Observations , NOAA/NWS Federal Meteorology Hanbook FCM-H1-1994 August 1994, 90pp New, still current, softcover. $8 U.S. ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 30 Nov 1997 22:59:49 -0500 From: steve hajducek Subject: SkyWarn/2001 Update Dear SkyWarn/2001 Interested Parties: This is a broadcast message to all beta testers and everyone that has ever sent an e-mail to inquire about the SkyWarn/2001(tm) software for the Peet Bros. Ultimeter U-II, U-500, U-800 and U-2000 instruments. ----------------------------------------------------- Alpha version 0.2.4 has been posted for testing as SWUD1130.ZIP, this is the last or second to last Alpha. The Beta will be released after the weekend of December 7th. Anyone wishing to test the e-mail wx message sending capability please send your messages to my address of n2ckh@juno.com All beta testers, please check out the beta update download page for additional information. /s/ Steve Hajducek, N2CKH ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 28 Nov 1997 to 30 Nov 1997 ************************************************** From - Tue Dec 2 15:45:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626376-1949>; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 14:30:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA15778; Tue, 2 Dec 1997 00:05:38 -0600 Message-Id: <199712020605.AAA15778@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Dec 1997 00:00:01 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 30 Nov 1997 to 1 Dec 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 765d52c225f0d0cb4623fd1c489d360b Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 5 messages totalling 344 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Q: Lightning Colors (2) 2. ASOS Commissioning Notice 3. 1997 Atlantic Hurricane Summary 4. Air Force Weather Modification +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 1 Dec 1997 06:43:04 -0600 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Q: Lightning Colors Todd L. Sherman wrote: I've never actually seen a STROKE of lightning to be aqua-green. So, I'm wondering if what I was seeing was an effect of the clouds themselves. Could it be that the amount of cloud between the stroke and me was of some suffiency to have caused an apparent color change of some kind? Todd, I'm not sure what you saw exactly, but it sounds like it *may* have been a transformer explosion. Copper flouresces aqua-green when ionized during a lightning strike. The color you saw sounds about right, but your description of what sounds like an in-cloud crawler doesn't necessarily fit, unless there was a large voltage transient induced into the power grid by the crawler or a CG that you didn't see preceeded the crawler, one of which caused a power line transformer to explode and arc weld itself to oblivion. It would then be assumed that the blue-green light from the transformer explosion illuminated the cloud base. Go to the URL listed below and look at images 5, 6 and 7 from the top. These images are fairly representative of the color associated with the transformer explosions. http://www.pulse.net/storm/may5.htm I've seen lightning with a red tint (suspended west Texas red dirt) and at other times with an unexplained greenish or blue tint, but the colors are usually fairly subtle. Sam Barricklow http://www.stormchaser.net/k5kj/shop.htm ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 1 Dec 1997 09:21:49 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Q: Lightning Colors On Mon, 1 Dec 1997, Sam Barricklow wrote: > > Todd L. Sherman wrote: > > > > I've never actually seen a STROKE of lightning to be aqua-green. So, > > I'm wondering if what I was seeing was an effect of the clouds > > themselves. Could it be that the amount of cloud between the stroke and > > me was of some suffiency to have caused an apparent color change of some > > kind? > > Todd, > > I'm not sure what you saw exactly, but it sounds like it *may* have been > a transformer explosion. Copper flouresces aqua-green when ionized > during a lightning strike. The color you saw sounds about right, but > your description of what sounds like an in-cloud crawler doesn't > necessarily fit, unless there was a large voltage transient induced into > the power grid by the crawler or a CG that you didn't see preceeded the > crawler, one of which caused a power line transformer to explode and arc > weld itself to oblivion. It would then be assumed that the blue-green > light from the transformer explosion illuminated the cloud base. Well, see, that's what I thought in the first split-second, too. But then my mind came back to reality when it realized that there were no power transformers floating above the cloud deck 45-degrees up in front of me. :) That's what was weird about it. It _started out_ that greenish color, travelled/moved starting from about 45-degrees above and ahead of me, south along 13th Street, say a mile, THEN a CG stroke came out of the cloud deck and down. But now, when it hit something way down there, the strike was white, all you could see was white, the cloud deck lit up white -- from bottom then to top, also weird. I'm thinking...there are no towers in the area I was in. No tall buildings. The cloud deck wasn't low enough to to touch or cover poles. Can the color from a transformer explosion from a strike, say, miles away and out of my view be transferred from that strike upwards into another connected crawler, which then travelled into my view and created the second separate CG strike that I did see? (Was that what you were saying?) > Go to the URL listed below and look at images 5, 6 and 7 from the top. > These images are fairly representative of the color associated with the > transformer explosions. > > http://www.pulse.net/storm/may5.htm Will have a look. > I've seen lightning with a red tint (suspended west Texas red dirt) and > at other times with an unexplained greenish or blue tint, but the colors > are usually fairly subtle. Yah, I'm used to light blue, vivid blue, bright blue-white, and white. But I've never seen in-the-air greenish-blue. At the ground during a CG-strike...I think I've seen. But up in the air, as a crawler, no. But see, I can't even say it was a crawler, because all I saw was lit cloud. I didn't actually see the crawler crawl. Just saw the light move through the clouds, as if...aw heck...mebbe it WAS...a flying saucer from CE3K. ;-) You know the scene I'm talking about? When they fly up into the clouds and all you can see is thier light moving through the clouds? :) Sigh. I'm NOT reporting this one to my friends. I can see all the "do you drink?" questions coming. :) [Incidently, I don't.] Seriously though, I did report it at the time that it happened on the 6.82 repeater here and one other person saw it from another location but did not see any greenish color to it; but he admitted he did not see it directly, only indirectly from the flash coming in through his window. :( Sigh. So, now I'm the only one who saw the color. Also, others listening to the scanner reported hearing no calls going out about strikes hitting anything. Calling the video store back for a further, they said that the power did go out for a second and came back on immediately. Ah hah! But why no calls from the local power company? I'm going to call them after I send this. 7-3, Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH -//- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 1 Dec 1997 13:17:14 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following sites became commissioned ASOS sites at the listed times below on 01 December 1997 WIEN MEMORIAL AIRPORT (PAOT) 0900 UTC KOTZEBUE...AK HOMER AIRPORT (PAHO) 0900 UTC HOMER... AK FAIRBANKS INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT (PAFA) 0900 UTC FAIRBANKS... AK LIHUE AIRPORT (PHLI) 1000 UTC LIHUE... HI ILIAMNA AIRPORT (PAIL) 1800 UTC ILIAMNA... AK Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 1 Dec 1997 15:17:20 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: 1997 Atlantic Hurricane Summary ** ABNT30 KNHC 301304 *** TWSAT MONTHLY TROPICAL WEATHER SUMMARY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM EST SUN NOV 30 1997 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... ...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES FORMED DURING THE MONTH OF NOVEMBER... ...SUMMARY OF TROPICAL CYCLONE ACTIVITY DURING 1997... TROPICAL CYCLONE ACTIVITY IN THE ATLANTIC HURRICANE BASIN WAS WELL BELOW NORMAL DURING 1997. ONLY SEVEN TROPICAL STORMS FORMED AND JUST THREE OF THOSE REACHED HURRICANE STRENGTH. IN CONTRAST...THE LONG-TERM ANNUAL AVERAGES FOR TROPICAL STORMS AND HURRICANES ARE 10 AND 6...RESPECTIVELY. THE YEARLY TOTALS ALSO REPRESENT A LARGE DECREASE FROM THE RECORD PACE OF 1995 AND 1996...AND ARE MORE IN LINE WITH THE NUMBERS OF SYSTEMS OBSERVED DURING THE PRECEDING FOUR YEARS. SEVERAL OTHER ASPECTS OF THE ACTIVITY HELP CHARACTERIZE THE 1997 SEASON. THERE WERE NO TROPICAL STORMS OR HURRICANES DURING THE MONTH OF AUGUST FOR THE FIRST TIME SINCE 1961. IN FACT...THERE WAS ONLY ONE NAMED SYSTEM DURING THE AUGUST-SEPTEMBER PERIOD...AN OCCURRENCE LAST NOTED IN 1929. ONLY ONE NAMED SYSTEM WAS OBSERVED SOUTH OF 20N LATITUDE. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH THE RELATIVELY SMALL ROLE PLAYED BY TROPICAL WAVES IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF TROPICAL CYCLONES THIS YEAR. THE WAVES CONTRIBUTED TO THE FORMATION OF JUST ONE HURRICANE...ONE TROPICAL STORM...AND THIS SEASONS ONLY TROPICAL DEPRESSION (WHICH FORMED AND DISSIPATED EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES IN JULY). THE TROPICAL CYCLONES WERE RELATIVELY SHORT-LIVED AND WEAK. ONLY HURRICANES DANNY AND ERIKA LASTED MORE THAN FIVE DAYS AND ERIKA WAS THE ONLY MAJOR HURRICANE...THAT IS...THE ONLY ONE TO REACH CATEGORY 3 ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. DANNY WAS THE ONLY SYSTEM TO MAKE LANDFALL. IN ADDITION TO THESE SYSTEMS...THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS CONCLUDED FROM A REANALYSIS OF DATA THAT AN EARLY SEASON CYCLONE... ORIGINALLY CLASSIFIED AS AN EXTRATROPICAL GALE...SHOULD BE DESIGNATED AN UNNUMBERED SUBTROPICAL STORM. IT ORIGINATED IN THE FINAL DAYS OF MAY FROM AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA. THE SYSTEM GRADUALLY STRENGTHENED AND ACCELERATED TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. IT IS NOW ESTIMATED FROM SATELLITE PICTURES TO HAVE BECOME A SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION AND THEN A SUBTROPICAL STORM ABOUT 100-200 MILES OFF THE U.S. SOUTHEAST COAST EARLY ON 1 JUNE. RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT DATA SUGGEST THAT THE SUBTROPICAL STORM WAS AT ITS STRONGEST ON THE EVENING OF THE 1ST WHEN THE SYSTEM WAS CENTERED OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS. THE CYCLONE BECAME EXTRATROPICAL ABOUT 24 HOURS LATER WHILE MOVING EASTWARD...WELL TO THE SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA. SUMMARY TABLE: NAME CLASS DATES MAX. MIN. U.S. DIRECT WIND PRESS. DAMAGE DEATHS (MPH) (MB) ($MIL.) -------------------------------------------------------------------- ----- SUBTROPICAL STORM JUN 1-2 50 1003 0 0 ANA TROPICAL STORM JUN 30-JUL 4 45 1000 0 0 BILL HURRICANE JUL 11-13 75 986 0 0 CLAUDETTE TROPICAL STORM JUL 13-16 45 1003 0 0 DANNY HURRICANE JUL 16-26 80 984 100 4 ERIKA HURRICANE SEP 3-15 125 946 0 0 FABIAN TROPICAL STORM OCT 4-8 40 1004 0 0 GRACE TROPICAL STORM OCT 16-17 45 999 0 0 TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS THE FIRST OF FOUR NAMED SYSTEMS TO REACH THEIR MAXIMUM INTENSITY IN JULY...PUTTING THE SEASONS PACE AHEAD OF NORMAL TEMPORARILY. ANA FORMED ON THE LAST DAY OF JUNE FROM A FRONTAL LOW OFFSHORE OF THE U.S. SOUTHEASTERN STATES. IT DEVELOPED IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF RATHER STRONG WINDS AT UPPER LEVELS WHICH ACCELERATED THE SYSTEM TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM BECAME A TROPICAL STORM WITH 45 MPH WINDS ON 1 JULY...THE STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS PREVENTED FURTHER STRENGTHENING. ANA LOST ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AND BECAME EXTRATROPICAL OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC ON 4 JULY. IT THEN DISSIPATED. HURRICANE BILL ALSO FORMED OFF THE U.S. SOUTHEAST COAST IN JULY...ON THE 11TH. IT ORIGINATED FROM AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. BILL MOVED SWIFTLY NORTHEASTWARD AHEAD OF A FRONTAL SYSTEM AND BECAME A HURRICANE ON THE 12TH...JUST BEFORE BECOMING ABSORBED BY THE FRONT SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF NEWFOUNDLAND. THE FRONTAL SYSTEM THAT SWEPT HURRICANE BILL TO THE NORTHEAST WAS ALSO THE INITIATING DISTURBANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE. LIKE ANA AND BILL...CLAUDETTE ALSO CAME TO LIFE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN ATLANTIC. IT TRANSFORMED FROM A FRONTAL LOW INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON 13 JULY AND REACHED TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH LATE THAT DAY. THE FIRST USE OF THE NOAA G-IV JET TO OBTAIN ATMOSPHERIC MEASUREMENTS OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE OCCURRED DURING CLAUDETTE. THE DATA CONFIRMED THAT CLAUDETTE DEVELOPED IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF RATHER STRONG WIND SHEAR. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WAS RATHER SPORADIC IN THIS ENVIRONMENT AND MAXIMUM WINDS NEVER EXCEEDED ABOUT 45 MPH. ON THE 16TH...THE SYSTEM DEGENERATED INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. DANNY FORMED FROM A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA OF NON-TROPICAL ORIGIN OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. IT BECAME A SLOW-MOVING HURRICANE THAT MADE LANDFALL WITH CATEGORY ONE INTENSITY NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER ON 18 JULY AND JUST SOUTHEAST OF MOBILE ON THE 19TH. DANNY DROPPED ENORMOUS AMOUNTS OF RAIN...TO NEARLY 40 INCHES... OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN ALABAMA. AFTER CROSSING THE COAST AND WEAKENING BELOW STORM STRENGTH...THE CYCLONE MOVED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES FOR FOUR DAYS AS A WEAK...YET WELL DEFINED ON SATELLITE IMAGES...DEPRESSION. HEAVY RAINS ALONG ITS PATH PRODUCED SIGNIFICANT INLAND FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN SOUTH CAROLINA AND NORTH CAROLINA. WHEN THE CYCLONE NEARED THE VIRGINIA COAST...IT BEGAN INTENSIFYING AND WAS ONCE AGAIN A TROPICAL STORM WHEN IT EMERGED FROM THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST. DANNY THEN TURNED TOWARD SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND AND THE CENTER PASSED WITHIN 30 MILES OF NANTUCKET ISLAND ON 24 JULY. TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS OCCURRED OVER THAT ISLAND AND THE CAPE COD AREA. THE STORM THEN TURNED AWAY FROM LAND AND EVENTUALLY MERGED WITH A FRONT OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC ON THE 26TH. FOUR DEATHS ARE DIRECTLY ATTRIBUTED TO DANNY...ONE OFFSHORE ALABAMA...ONE RELATED TO A TORNADO IN SOUTH CAROLINA...AND TWO IN FLOODING IN CHARLOTTE...NORTH CAROLINA. MOST OF THE $100 MILLION IN DAMAGE RESULTING FROM DANNY OCCURRED IN ALABAMA. ERIKA FORMED FROM A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC OCEAN ON 3 SEPTEMBER. THE CYCLONE GRADUALLY INTENSIFIED WHILE MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST TO NORTHWEST. IT REACHED HURRICANE STRENGTH AND BECAME AN INCREASED THREAT TO THE NORTHEASTERN LEEWARD ISLANDS ON THE 5TH...BUT THEN TURNED TOWARD THE NORTH AND THE STRONGEST PART OF ITS CIRCULATION PASSED JUST TO THE NORTHEAST OF THOSE ISLANDS. ERIKA WAS BY FAR THE STRONGEST TROPICAL CYCLONE OF THE YEAR IN THE ATLANTIC WITH MAXIMUM WINDS OF 125 MPH ESTIMATED ON THE 8TH AND 9TH...WHEN THE HURRICANE WAS CENTERED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES TO THE SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA. OVER THE FOLLOWING FEW DAYS...THE TRACK OF ERIKA BECAME EASTWARD AND THE SYSTEM WEAKENED. IT STILL BROUGHT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...HOWEVER...WITH HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS...TO SOME OF THE AZORES ISLANDS ON 15 SEPTEMBER. ERIKA THEN BECAME EXTRATROPICAL AND MOVED TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. THE LAST TWO TROPICAL CYCLONES OF THE YEAR...FABIAN AND GRACE... OCCURRED IN OCTOBER. BOTH FORMED OVER THE SOUTHWEST ATLANTIC... MOVED TOWARD THE EAST TO NORTHEAST...REACHED TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...AND WERE SHORT-LIVED. FABIAN ORIGINATED FROM A TROPICAL WAVE THAT PRODUCED ABOUT 5 INCHES OF RAIN OVER PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES ON 29 SEPTEMBER. THE ASSOCIATED AREA OF LOW- PRESSURE THEN TURNED TOWARD THE NORTH AND BECAME ORGANIZED INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES TO THE NORTH OF PUERTO RICO ON THE 4TH. THE CYCLONE BECAME A WEAK TROPICAL STORM A DAY LATER BUT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WAS FLEETING AND FABIAN LOST ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS ON THE 8TH. GRACE FORMED FROM ONE OF SEVERAL LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATIONS THAT SPUN UP ALONG A FRONTAL TROUGH EXTENDING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD FROM THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TO THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC OCEAN. THE TROUGH BROUGHT UNSETTLED WEATHER TO THE AREA FOR ABOUT A WEEK AND... ON 15 OCTOBER...GALE FORCE WINDS WERE ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW THAT WAS THEN LOCATED JUST NORTH OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. THAT LOW BECAME TROPICAL STORM GRACE THE FOLLOWING DAY...WHEN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY DEVELOPED NEAR THE CIRCULATION CENTER. GRACE NEVER COMPLETELY BECAME INDEPENDENT OF THE FRONTAL CIRCULATION AND...EARLY ON THE 17TH...ITS THUNDERSTORMS RAPIDLY DISSIPATED AND THE SYSTEM RETURNED TO EXTRATROPICAL STATUS. AVILA...LAWRENCE...MAYFIELD...PASCH...RAPPAPORT ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 1 Dec 1997 23:34:03 -0600 From: SHWILLER Subject: Air Force Weather Modification Wx Digest of 25-26 Nov comments on Air Force weather modification in 30 years, as cited in a Janes' article, can be found in a conference report by Dr Barnes of USAF Phillips Lab at: http://www.tecom.army.mil/tts/proceed/abarnes.html Sy Shwiller ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 30 Nov 1997 to 1 Dec 1997 ************************************************* From - Wed Dec 3 14:21:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625979-21711>; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 14:18:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA27766; Wed, 3 Dec 1997 00:07:48 -0600 Message-Id: <199712030607.AAA27766@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Dec 1997 00:01:16 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 1 Dec 1997 to 2 Dec 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: b19d04fdadc5aaf095cdcce0436e670e Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 7 messages totalling 436 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Caribbean Satellite Photos (2) 2. Q: Lightning Colors (2) 3. CENTPAC Tropical Cyclones of 1997 (fwd) 4. Top Twenty Cities and States 5. SCH/NIU Weather pages, etc going down +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 2 Dec 1997 10:29:24 -0600 From: David Ashby Subject: Caribbean Satellite Photos I used to get a very good (visible) satellite photo of the caribbean area, with a color background (ocean-blue, land-brown), at the following address: http://www.webpoint.com/weather/images/caribs.gif This site is now inactive. Does anyone know where else I can get the same daily satellite photos? There are many sources for GOES8 photos, but this was one of the best. Thanks for your help. David Ashby La Ceiba, Honduras ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 2 Dec 1997 10:42:05 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: Caribbean Satellite Photos On Tue, 2 Dec 1997, David Ashby wrote: > I used to get a very good (visible) satellite photo of the caribbean > area, with a color background (ocean-blue, land-brown), at the following > address: > http://www.webpoint.com/weather/images/caribs.gif > > This site is now inactive. Try: http://www.weatherpoint.com/wximages/caribs.gif Use the word "weatherpoint" instead of "webpoint", and instead of "/weather/images/" use "/wximages/" with the new address. The file names remain the same. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 2 Dec 1997 10:13:10 -0800 From: Frank Gouveia Subject: Re: Q: Lightning Colors On Mon, 1 Dec 1997, Sam Barricklow wrote: > > Todd L. Sherman wrote: > > > > I've never actually seen a STROKE of lightning to be aqua-green. So, > > I'm wondering if what I was seeing was an effect of the clouds > > themselves. Could it be that the amount of cloud between the stroke and > > me was of some suffiency to have caused an apparent color change of some > > kind? > > Todd, > > I'm not sure what you saw exactly, but it sounds like it *may* have been > a transformer explosion. I've seen a transformer blow. Impressive. The one I saw was bluish-white in color and was followed by a loud sound and a tall mushroom cloud. Todd added: > Well, see, that's what I thought in the first split-second, too. But then >my mind came back to reality when it realized that there were no power >transformers floating above the cloud deck 45-degrees up in front of me. :) >That's what was weird about it. It _started out_ that greenish color, >travelled/moved starting from about 45-degrees above and ahead of me, south >along 13th Street, say a mile, THEN a CG stroke came out of the cloud deck >and down. But now, when it hit something way down there, the strike was >white, all you could see was white, the cloud deck lit up white -- from >bottom then to top, also weird. > Sigh. I'm NOT reporting this one to my friends. I can see all the "do >you drink?" questions coming. :) [Incidently, I don't.] Lucy in the Sky with Diamonds? Green Diamonds? > Seriously though, I did report it at the time that it happened on the 6.82 >repeater here and one other person saw it from another location but did not >see any greenish color to it; but he admitted he did not see it directly, >only indirectly from the flash coming in through his window. :( Sigh. So, >now I'm the only one who saw the color. I think I may have an idea about the greenish-blue color of the lightning you saw through your car window. Most cars have a band of tint along the top. The color you describe matches the color of this tinting. As the strike traveled forward, or as you lowered your head to get a better look, you were looking at the lightning through the clear, untinted glass. SIGH, we don't get much lightning in the SF Bay Area. Pretty dull weather. Frank /^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v /^\v/^\ Frank J. Gouveia Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Health and Ecological Assessment Division Terrestrial and Atmospheric Monitoring and Modeling gouveia2@llnl.gov http://www-erd.llnl.gov/metdat/ /^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v/^\v /^\v/^\ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 2 Dec 1997 16:36:42 -0500 From: Chris Landsea Subject: CENTPAC Tropical Cyclones of 1997 (fwd) Hi Wx-talkers, Thought that this was of interest (though it turns out it's premature with the start of Tropical Depression #5 today). **************************************************************************** ******************* ABPA30 PHNL 012100 MONTHLY TROPICAL WEATHER SUMMARY CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1100 AM HST MON DEC 01 1997 ...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES WERE OBSERVED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC DURING NOVEMBER 1997.... ...SUMMARY OF 1997 TROPICAL CYCLONES... THE EL NINO PHENOMENA APPARENTLY INFLUENCED TROPICAL CYCLONE ACTIVITY IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC. EIGHT TROPICAL CYCLONES WERE OBSERVED...NEARLY TWICE THE 36 YEAR AVERAGE OF 4.5 AND SUBSTANTIALLY MORE THAN THE 1995 SEASON (1 TROPICAL STORM) AND THE 1996 SEASON (TWO TROPICAL DEPRESSIONS). THE EIGHT TROPICAL CYCLONES IN 1997 TIES THE RECORD FOR THE FOURTH HIGHEST SINCE 1961. THAT WAS THE FIRST YEAR THAT SATELLITES WERE USED TO OBSERVE TROPICAL CYCLONES. THE OTHER YEARS WITH EIGHT WERE 1985... 1967... AND 1962. THE THREE MOST ACTIVE YEARS WERE 1994 (11)...1992 (11)...AND 1982 (10). ONE UNUSUAL FACTOR WAS THAT OF THE EIGHT TROPICAL CYCLONES...NONE REACHED HURRICANE STRENGTH WHILE IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC. THERE WAS ONE HURRICANE IN 1962 AND 1967 AND FOUR IN 1985. THIS MAKES THE THIRD CONSECUTIVE YEAR WITHOUT A HURRICANE IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC. THE LAST TIME THIS OCCURRED WAS IN 1963-65. THE MAIN REASON FOR THE WEAKER SYSTEMS WAS THE PERSISTENCE OF STRONG UPPER LEVEL WEST OR SOUTHWEST WINDS. THESE WINDS WOULD SHEAR THE STORMS AND THEY WOULD RAPIDLY WEAKEN. THE GENESIS AREA APPEARED TO BE AFFECTED BY THE EL NINO CONDITIONS AS FOUR TROPICAL CYCLONES ORIGINATED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC. WORK DOCUMENTED BY THE PACIFIC ENSO APPLICATION CENTER HAS SHOWN THAT MORE TROPICAL CYCLONES FORM IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC DURING EL NINO YEARS. OF THE EIGHT TROPICAL CYCLONES...TWO WERE NOTABLE. TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C BECAME TROPICAL STORM OLIWA ON SEPTEMBER 3. IT CROSSED INTO THE WESTERN PACIFIC SUBSEQUENTLY BECAME A TYPHOON AND SUPER TYPHOON WITH WINDS GREATER THAN 160 MPH. OLIWA PASSED SOUTH OF WAKE ISLAND ON SEPTEMBER 6...PRODUCING HEAVY SHOWERS BUT NO DAMAGE. IT THEN MOVED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN JAPANESE ISLANDS ON SEPTEMBER 16 AND 17. THE SECOND STORM OF NOTE WAS TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO. IT MOVED INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC FORM THE EAST ON AUGUST 9. INITIALLY...IT WAS DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON AUGUST 10...BUT THEN REINTENSIFIED AND BECAME A TROPICAL STORM ON AUGUST 11. THE STORM STRENGTHENED TO 65 MPH WHEN IT WAS NEAR 33N 154W. THE SYSTEM BECAME EXTRATROPICAL ON AUGUST 15 NEAR 41N 160W. THE EXTRATROPICAL LOW DISSIPATED WITHIN 350 MILES OF THE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST. ...1997 CENTRAL PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY... TROPICAL CYCLONE DATES MAX WIND (MPH) TD DOLORES JULY 11-12 35 TS FELICIA JULY 21-22 60 TD ONE-C JULY 26-27 30 TS GUILLERMO AUGUST 9-15 65 TD JIMENA AUGUST 29 35 TS OLIWA SEPTEMBER 2-3 50 TD THREE-C OCTOBER 6-7 30 TD FOUR-C OCTOBER 30-31 35 OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES OBSERVED WERE AS FOLLOWS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES MOVED INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC FROM THE EASTERN PACIFIC ON JULY 11 NEAR 18N 140W. IT WEAKENED AS IT MOVED WEST NORTHWEST AND DISSIPATED ON JULY 12. TROPICAL STORM FELICIA MOVED INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC FROM THE EASTERN PACIFIC ON JULY 21 NEAR 18N 140W. IT WEAKENED AS IT MOVED TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST AND DISSIPATED ON JULY 22. TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C FORMED SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF HAWAII ON JULY 26 NEAR 10N 169W. IT MOVED WEST AND DID NOT REACH TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. THE DEPRESSION DISSIPATED ON JULY 27. TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA MOVED INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC FROM THE EAST ON AUGUST 29 NEAR 21N 140W. IT MOVED WEST AND DISSIPATED LATER THAT DAY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C FORMED SOUTHEAST OF HAWAII ON OCTOBER 6 NEAR 15N 146W. IT MOVED WEST AND DID NOT REACH TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. THE SYSTEM DISSIPATED ON OCTOBER 7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C FORMED SOUTHWEST OF HAWAII ON OCTOBER 30 NEAR 12N 168W. IT INITIALLY MOVED WEST NORTHWEST AND THEN WEST SOUTHWEST. THE DEPRESSION DID NOT REACH TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AND DISSIPATED ON OCTOBER 31. WEYMAN/HABLUTZEL/HEFFNER/CRAIG/FARRELL/LARSON/MATSUDA/ROSENDAL/ HOAG/JENDROWSKI Best regards, chris ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** David Letterman's Top Ten Rejected Names for El Nino (11/11/97) 10. Senior Stormy 9. Gee, Your Monsoon Smells Terrific 8. The Devil's Wet Hacking Cough 7. Starbucks' New Storm-uccino 6. Windy Pete, the South American Treat 5. Al Rocker's Meal Ticket 4. The Atmospheric Salad Shooter 3. Stormy Spice 2. "Weird El" Ninovic 1. Weathergate ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 2 Dec 1997 16:36:34 -0800 From: "Engineering Analysis, Inc." Subject: Top Twenty Cities and States December 2, 1997 PRESS RELEASE TOP TWENTY TORNADO-PRONE CITIES Based on the latest National Weather Service data for tornadic activity from 1950 through 1996 Engineering Analysis Inc. has just completed its annual compilation of the most tornado-prone cities in the United States with populations in excess of 100,000 (based on US Census data as of 7/1/96). For the second consecutive year Huntsville, Alabama remains in the #1 position, closely followed by Topeka, KS. The top twenty are as follows: Average Annual Annual Coverage Disturbed Land Rank State Fraction (ACF) Area (Acres) 1 Huntsville, AL 1.42 · 10-03 1142 2 Topeka, KS 1.39 · 10-03 1118 3 Oklahoma City, OK 1.12 · 10-03 901 4 Tulsa, OK 9.28 · 10-04 746 5 Pasadena, TX 8.96 · 10-04 721 6 Cedar Rapids, IA 8.41 · 10-04 676 7 Little Rock, AR 8.32 · 10-04 669 8 Minneapolis, MN 7.61 · 10-04 612 9 Houston, TX 7.44 · 10-04 598 10 Cincinnati, OH 7.35 · 10-04 591 11 Jackson, MS 6.88 · 10-04 553 12 St. Paul, MN 6.80 · 10-04 547 13 Macon, GA 6.31 · 10-04 507 14 Shreveport, LA 6.07 · 10-04 488 15 Wichita Falls, TX 6.06 · 10-04 487 16 St. Louis, MO 6.02 · 10-04 484 17 Wichita, KS 5.92 · 10-04 476 18 Ann Arbor, MI 5.69 · 10-04 458 19 Birmingham, AL 5.37 · 10-04 431 20 Lubbock, TX 5.08 · 10-04 409 The Annual Coverage Fraction (ACF) represents the average fraction of land annually disturbed by tornadoes within a 20-mile radius of each city. The average annual disturbed land area is based on the same 20-mile radius. December 2, 1997 PRESS RELEASE TOP TWENTY TORNADO-PRONE STATES Engineering Analysis Inc. has just completed its annual compilation of the top twenty tornado-prone states based on US Weather Service data for tornadic activity from 1950 through 1996. Mississippi again ranks number one as the most tornado-prone state. The top twenty states are as follows: Annual Coverage Rank State Fraction (ACF) 1 Mississippi 4.83·10-4 2 Kansas 4.49·10-4 3 Oklahoma 4.43·10-4 4 Nebraska 4.42·10-4 5 Indiana 4.21·10-4 6 Arkansas 4.14·10-4 7 Iowa 3.75·10-4 8 Alabama 3.26·10-4 9 Illinois 3.15·10-4 10 Wisconsin 3.04·10-4 11 Georgia 2.49·10-4 12 Tennessee 2.35·10-4 13 North Carolina 2.12·10-4 14 Ohio 1.85·10-4 15 Louisiana 1.76·10-4 16 Pennsylvania 1.69·10-4 17 Michigan 1.68·10-4 18 Kentucky 1.67·10-4 19 Missouri 1.64·10-4 20 Texas 1.42·10-4 The Annual Coverage Fraction (ACF) represents the average fraction of land annually disturbed by tornadoes within the boundaries of the state. The average annual disturbed land area can be obtained by multiplying the ACF by the area of the state. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 2 Dec 1997 18:44:13 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: SCH/NIU Weather pages, etc going down Hello all, We (the NIU weather page, Storm Chaser Homepage, Storm Machine, Model Verification homepage, Radar page, etc) will be going down for a long-awaited upgrade from December 15 through December 19th. We won't be down continuously, but we will be down frequently. We will be upgrading our OS to Solaris 2.6, and adding a much-needed 9GB hard drive too! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 2 Dec 1997 21:47:06 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Q: Lightning Colors On Tue, 2 Dec 1997, Frank Gouveia wrote: > On Mon, 1 Dec 1997, Sam Barricklow wrote: > > > I'm not sure what you saw exactly, but it sounds like it *may* have been > > a transformer explosion. > > > > I've seen a transformer blow. Impressive. The one I saw was bluish-white in > color and was followed by a loud sound and a tall mushroom cloud. ...I have a Geiger counter! > > > > Sigh. I'm NOT reporting this one to my friends. I can see all the "do > >you drink?" questions coming. :) [Incidently, I don't.] > > Lucy in the Sky with Diamonds? Green Diamonds? It was my green-tinted Ray Bans. :) > > Seriously though, I did report it at the time that it happened on the 6.82 > >repeater here and one other person saw it from another location but did not > >see any greenish color to it; but he admitted he did not see it directly, > >only indirectly from the flash coming in through his window. :( Sigh. So, > >now I'm the only one who saw the color. > > I think I may have an idea about the greenish-blue color of the lightning > you saw through your car window. Most cars have a band of tint along the > top. The color you describe matches the color of this tinting. As the > strike traveled forward, or as you lowered your head to get a better look, > you were looking at the lightning through the clear, untinted glass. Nope. Our tint is barely visible, and, this flash was that green color until straight ahead of me, way out of the way of the tint line. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH -//- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 1 Dec 1997 to 2 Dec 1997 ************************************************ From - Thu Dec 4 15:18:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626289-15770>; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 14:27:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA52554; Thu, 4 Dec 1997 00:19:57 -0600 Message-Id: <199712040619.AAA52554@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Dec 1997 00:04:40 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 2 Dec 1997 to 3 Dec 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 81926b4e130d040c17aa05f5ac1794a2 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There is one message totalling 22 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. TV Met Job Available (Orange County, CA) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 3 Dec 1997 10:45:33 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available (Orange County, CA) WEATHER ANCHOR (OCN) The Orange County Newschannel is looking for a Weather Anchor. 2 to 3 years on-air experience and AMS Seal preferred. Knowledge of Weather Central's Genesis system helpful. It may be sunny Southern California but we're serious about weather. Send a VHS tape, resume, and references to: Scott Hollowell, News Director, OCN. 625 N. Grand Ave., Santa Ana, California 92701 OCN is an equal opportunity employer. No phone calls please. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 2 Dec 1997 to 3 Dec 1997 ************************************************ From - Fri Dec 5 18:24:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626798-13580>; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 17:31:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA20854; Fri, 5 Dec 1997 00:26:13 -0600 Message-Id: <199712050626.AAA20854@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Dec 1997 00:11:05 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 3 Dec 1997 to 4 Dec 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 1f67e06df8ae55368b7236ccc7d540f0 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 6 messages totalling 231 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Stnadard Atmosphere - Equation for Height vs Press ? 2. Test 3. Vis5D use in schools? 4. ASOS Commissioning Notice 5. NetNews: Personal AccuWeather, AWC dbZ, New Severe Graphic, Search engine weather, Weather in your e-mail box 6. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 4 Dec 1997 03:10:03 GMT From: Jonathan Blaes Subject: Stnadard Atmosphere - Equation for Height vs Press ? I need help finding an equation that describes the standard atmosphere in terms of height (feet or meters) and pressure in millibars. The equation is needed for some software I am developing. The program would convert conditions at a given pressure level in mb to a standard height in feet or meters. Is anyone familar with such an equation or have any suggestions. Thanks in advance. Jonathan jlblaes@albany.net ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 4 Dec 1997 11:51:17 -0500 From: "Jim Munley Jr." <71435.211@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: Test This is a test. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 4 Dec 1997 13:14:03 -0600 From: Dana Quinn Subject: Vis5D use in schools? Hello all- Are there educators out there who are using Vis5D in their meteorology courses? We here at College of Dupage are interested in hearing from people who are using it in their classes. We'd just like to ask you some questions about how you're using it, how it works out, things like that. Please respond to dana@weather.cod.edu! Thanks in advance! Dana Quinn +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Dana Quinn + dana@weather.cod.edu it's now or never- + linux-type guy too close to the latter +College of DuPage Wx Lab -Son Volt + +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 4 Dec 1997 16:10:16 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The follwoing site became a commissioned ASOS site around 1800 UTC on 04 December 1997. COLES COUNTY MEMORIAL AIRPORT (KMTO) MATOON... IL Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 4 Dec 1997 18:48:26 -0500 From: J Subject: NetNews: Personal AccuWeather, AWC dbZ, New Severe Graphic, Search engine weather, Weather in your e-mail box Here is some recent news on weather-related sites that I have gathered over the last couple weeks. 1. Personal AccuWeather Goes Pay (and free) The Personal AccuWeather service (http://personal.accuweather.com/) went subscription December 1. They have two different types of accounts now, one free which gives you local weather for one city including a local Nexrad with 30 minute or less updates, and a pay service, which is $3.33 to $4.95 per month for a personal user depending on the package you pick. The pay service allows you to pick three cities for which to get local weather info, with the option to pick more cities for a small additional fee. The pay service is available as a 30-day free trial. The pay service's most interesting features (I think anyway) are: A new 16-color Nexrad with ground clutter filter (old nexrad was 6-color scale) which updates in "real-time" (apparently local nexrads can by definition never be anymore real-time than 5, 6, or 10 minutes depending on the scan mode) New regional and national nexrads which are smaller file size (they replaced the topographical background with a plain color which cut the file size in fourths) 5 areal zooms of the local Nexrad (Center, NW, SW, NE, SE)* "hour-by-hour" forecast of conditions out to 10 days* Climatological data for the nearest station (highs, lows, precip) for everyday for the past 12 months National and regional Severe Weather Graphics with advisories, watches, and warnings plotted *=I am told that these features will be available this week or next week 2. AWC goes to dbZ scale American Weather Concepts (http://www.weatherconcepts.com/) has changed the scale on their local Nexrads to the common dbZ scale Nexrad fans are used to. Actually the scale has always corresponded to the dbZ levels, according to AWC, but now they specifically have the level numbers printed on the image. 3. New Severe weather graphics from Earthwatch Earthwatch, Inc. has updated their Severe Watches/Warnings Maps (http://www.earthwatch.com/STORMWATCH/SWUS2D.html) to include an animated GIF which causes warnings to blink. This not only brings out the warnings but allows a user to see the watches which are in the same area of the warnings. I think it's an excellent idea and kudos to Earthwatch for always being on the cutting edge. 4. Worldclimate.com If you haven't visited worldclimate.com you may want to check it out; this service is a very easy to use website with climate data; they have the average temperatures and rainfall for ALL cooperative-observing stations processed by NCDC and others. You can search for your town and it will give you a list of coop stations within 50 miles or so. 5. Search engines get weather In the last few months, maybe even weeks, the search engines have been getting on the weather train with their own weather sections, mostly just providing national maps and local 3-5 day forecasts. It all started last year when Yahoo (http://weather.yahoo.com/) premiered their weather section with data from WNI. Recently, Excite (http://my.excite.com/weather/) and WebCrawler (http://my.excite.com/webcrawler/weather/) by extension, opened up their weather sites with data from WeatherLabs. Lycos (http://weather.lycos.com/) recently acquired a weather section done by WSC. 6. Free weather in your e-mail box A new Free Weather In Your Email Box service has appeared on the net, called WeatherAlert. The URL is: http://www.nimbus.org/weatheralert/ This is being done in cooperation with the never-disappointing Mike Dross of UNCC. Other Free Weather In Your Email Box providers that I know of are: Various Wx - WX-* Lists - http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html General Wx - InfoBeat (Formerly Mercury Mail) - http://www.infobeat.com/ General Wx - AccuWeather Direct - http://direct.accuweather.com/ Severe Wx - AWNS (Sunsite UNC) - http://sunsite.unc.edu/morris/weather/wxnotify.html Hurricane Wx - Storm97 - http://www.storm97.com/ Hurricane Wx - NCStormTrack.Com - http://www.ncstormtrack.com/ That's all for now. Keep one eye on the sky and the other on the Net! -- Disclaimer: I am not responsible for errors in the above. I am not endorsing any of the above companies, only reporting what I've heard and seen on the Net during the last couple of weeks. Hey, be happy, I'm surfing so that you don't have to ;) -- =============================================== Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist - j@weatherwatchers.org Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org "A tornado? Why wasn't it dissipated by the weather modification net?" --Jean-Luc Picard || ICQ No. 136862 || ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 4 Dec 1997 17:24:11 -0800 From: Eric DeFonso Subject: I got this off our weather wire...... ABXX07 KWBC 041200 LATIN AMERICAN TEMP AND WEATHER TABLE OBSERVATIONS MADE AT 1200GMT DEC 04 1997 PRESENT LOCAL TEMPS CITY WEATHER TIME F C ANTIGUA PTCLDY 8AM 82 28 ASUNCION FAIR 8AM 79 26 BELIZE CITY 6AM NO DATA BOGOTA FAIR 7AM 50 10 BRIDGETOWN FAIR 8AM 82 28 BUENOS AIRES FAIR 9AM 64 18 CARACAS FAIR 8AM 77 25 CAYENNE RAIN 9AM 75 24 GEORGETOWN RAIN 8AM 79 26 GUATEMALA CITY FAIR 6AM 57 14 HAVANA CLDY 7AM 75 24 KINGSTON FAIR 7AM 82 28 LA PAZ FAIR 8AM 50 10 LIMA CLDY 7AM 180 82 ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ MANAGUA FAIR 6AM 73 23 MEXICO CITY FAIR 6AM 48 9 MONTEVIDEO PTCLDY 9AM 68 20 PANAMA CITY FAIR 6AM 77 25 etc..... No wonder they call this a "warm event". Must be a Venusian-style cloud deck they're under. Eric "but it's not the heat, it's the humidity" D -- Eric D UC Davis ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Enough with the sound bites already!!! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 3 Dec 1997 to 4 Dec 1997 ************************************************ From - Sun Dec 7 13:00:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626831-1588>; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 14:23:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA38544; Sat, 6 Dec 1997 00:05:51 -0600 Message-Id: <199712060605.AAA38544@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Dec 1997 00:00:02 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 4 Dec 1997 to 5 Dec 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 10325ef33d28a47bc3bd3965ba6b4445 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 10 messages totalling 418 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. URGENTLY NEED HELP finding Weather Info. from 11/21 to 12/5... 2. EMWIN + laptop = ? 3. New Weather Forecast Game 4. Not Really (3) 5. standard atmos P <-> Z 6. Fairbanks Temperature Reversal 7. TV Met/Reporter Job Available (Fargo, ND) 8. Extended range forecast for 1998 hurricane season +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 4 Dec 1997 23:21:16 -0700 From: DAVID JACOBER Subject: URGENTLY NEED HELP finding Weather Info. from 11/21 to 12/5... Does anyone know of a site that has weather information from 11/21-12/5 for various states &/or regions? Basically, what I am looking for is what type of weather occurred, any extreme weather occurrences, etc. from certain cities during the time period of 11/21 to 12/05. It doesn't have to be too detailed. Actually I just need to know what type of weather took place during these dates in certain States. The States I am searching for information on are: Missouri, Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, Colorado, and Wyoming, from 11/21 to 12/05. Please respond as soon as possible as I am in dire need of the info. Thanks In Advance! David ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 5 Dec 1997 09:19:28 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: EMWIN + laptop = ? Anyone use EMWIN with a laptop while mobile? I see Zephyrus http://www.big-z.com sells a "soap-box sized" crystal controlled unit, with a rubber ducky, for about $150. I'm just curious if the signal comes in well enough while traveling for the software to decode... Rob ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 5 Dec 1997 09:30:55 -0500 From: Chris Hennon Subject: New Weather Forecast Game Hello everyone - I've developed a new web based forecast game that may interest you. It's free to play, but you also have the option of paying a small entry fee for a shot at prizes. Game and personal statistics are tracked and easily viewed. Each forecaster receives his/her own personal page with individual stats. The address is "www.wxforecast.com" if you want to check it out. The first game starts 12 Jan 1998. Thanks. Chris Hennon Wxforecast.com ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 5 Dec 1997 11:58:51 -0500 From: Richard Thacker Subject: Not Really On Thu, 4 Dec 1997 11:51:17 -0500 "Jim Munley Jr." <71435.211@COMPUSERVE.COM> spoke to the weather world: >This is a test. Funny???? - I never heard the tone alert? Happy Holidays Everone! ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 5 Dec 1997 10:59:10 -0700 From: Greg Thompson Subject: standard atmos P <-> Z Here's the code I use for standard atmosphere conversion between pressure (Pa) and height (m). Obviously, units change to mb and/or feet or whatever is simple. All of my library code uses S.I. units which I further convert if I ever need to. Obviously this is FORTRAN code but can be changed to whatever language in no time. I haven't bothered to check the accuracy of the code outside of 'normal' tropospheric ranges of sea level pressure up to 100 mb. It may (but I doubt it) work for very low pressures/high heights above the upper stratosphere. Enjoy! c c+---+-----------------------------------------------------------------+ c function std_atmos(pres_Pa) c.. c.. pres_Pa = Pressure in Pascals c.. standard atmos height in meters is returned for given p c.. pr = pres_Pa*0.01 height = 44307.692 * (1.0 - (pr/1013.25)**0.190) std_atmos=height return end c c+---+-----------------------------------------------------------------+ c function std_atmos_p(height) c.. c.. standard atmos pressure in Pascals is returned for given c.. height in meters c.. std_atmos_p = exp(log(1.0-height/44307.692)/0.19)*101325.0 return end c c+---+-----------------------------------------------------------------+ c -- +--------------------------------------------------------------+ | Greg Thompson http://www.rap.ucar.edu/staff/gthompsn/ | | Research Applications Program | | (303) 497-2805 National Center for Atmospheric Research | | (fax) -8401 P.O. Box 3000 Boulder, CO 80307-3000 | +--------------------------------------------------------------+ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 5 Dec 1997 10:31:31 +0100 From: Jan Curtis Subject: Fairbanks Temperature Reversal Check out these hourly observations from Fairbanks Thursday afternoon and evening: ID time T TD RH dir spd alt slp vis cil PAFA 1853 -18 -24 75 0 0 950 10 CLR PAFA 1953 -17 -23 73 0 0 950 009 10 CLR PAFA 2053 -16 -21 78 0 0 947 999 10 240 SCT PAFA 2153 -14 -19 78 0 0 946 995 10 240 BKN PAFA 2253 -11 -16 77 0 0 944 988 8 240 OVC PAFA 2353 -8 -11 84 0 0 942 5 220 OVC (3PM Local Time) PAFA 0053 16 Missing -----> PAFA 0153 20 15 81 30 4 937 960 10 140 OVC PAFA 0253 16 12 85 40 3 936 10 120 OVC PAFA 0353 27 19 71 30 3 936 956 10 120 OVC PAFA 0453 28 21 75 30 3 937 958 10 110 OVC With a 947MB low over Bristol Bay (58N 160W), a very strong southly flow developed over Alaska. At 3PM while Fairbanks was -8F, Delta Junction, 90 miles to the SE had 34F and rain! At 8AM, 4 Dec, the temperature at Fairbanks Int'l was -19F and 24 hours later it was +25F. The normal morning low is -14F for today. Regards, Jan Curtis ************************************************************* Webmaster for: The Alaska Climate Research Center http://climate.gi.alaska.edu ************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 5 Dec 1997 14:52:46 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Not Really On Fri, 5 Dec 1997, Richard Thacker wrote: > On Thu, 4 Dec 1997 11:51:17 -0500 > "Jim Munley Jr." <71435.211@COMPUSERVE.COM> spoke to the weather world: > > >This is a test. > > Funny???? - I never heard the tone alert? Silly! It was a SUBAUDIBLE tone! Didn't you know that? :) The message appeared on your screen because your browser detected the subaudible tone and knew to display it for you. If you wanted to use this in an HTML document, the code for it would be . See? Now, when the browser detects the particular subaudible tone (that would be indicated where the #'s appear), it will display whatever is between the on and off codes. ;-) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH -//- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 5 Dec 1997 14:37:59 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met/Reporter Job Available (Fargo, ND) WX ANCHOR/REPORTER (KXJB) Non-beginner for morning weather cut-ins and reporting. Great staff and facility. Competitive market in which weather is critical. Must also be motivated, competent and versatile reporter. Tape, resume, references to: Dave Hoglin, KXJB TV, 4302 13th Ave So, Fargo, ND 58103 no calls. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 5 Dec 1997 16:33:58 -0500 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Extended range forecast for 1998 hurricane season 1998 TO BRING SLIGHTLY BELOW-AVERAGE HURRICANE SEASON SAYS COLORADO STATE RESEARCHER; EL NINO EXPECTED TO DISAPPEAR BEFORE SEASON BEGINS (Colorado State Press release for December 5, 1997) [ NOTE: Full version with figures at: ] [ http://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/forecasts ] FORT COLLINS-- This year's record El Nino is expected to dissipate before the most active part of the 1998 hurricane season but other global climate factors could produce slightly below-average hurricane activity, Colorado State University's noted hurricane researcher William Gray announced today (Dec. 5). In the first forecast issued for the 1998 hurricane season, Gray and his colleagues predict nine tropical storms will form in the Atlantic Basin between June 1 and Nov. 30. From those storms, five hurricanes will evolve and two will go on to become intense hurricanes with sustained winds of 111 mph or greater. On average, 9.3 tropical storms, 5.8 hurricanes and 2.2 intense hurricanes form annually. The team's 1998 forecast comes on the heels of a hurricane season in which activity was flattened by the strongest El Nino event on record--but the Atlantic Basin still managed to produce seven tropical storms, three hurricanes and one intense hurricane. "Even though El Nino negatively influenced our 1997 hurricane forecast, it is our belief that this event will die before or shortly after the 1998 hurricane season officially begins," Gray said. "The most difficult aspect of the 1998 forecast is to determine whether residual effects from El Nino will have any impact on overall hurricane activity. We will have to wait and see." When El Nino is in place, it produces upper-level westerly winds at 40, 000 feet in the tropical Atlantic Ocean that help block hurricane development. Gray and other forecasters watching this El Nino believe these warm water temperatures will be replaced by cold water sometime in the early spring or summer. These cooler water temperatures, or La Nina conditions, help promote hurricane activity. Although the strength or weakness of El Nino is a major influence on hurricane activity, Gray says that other global climate conditions offer a "mixed bag" for the upcoming hurricane season. Negative factors for hurricane activity include the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation, equatorial stratospheric winds at 68,000-75,000 feet, which are expected to blow from an easterly direction. This easterly flow tends to prevent hurricane development. When the QBO blows in a westerly direction--as it did this year--there is typically 50 to 75 percent more hurricane activity, according to Gray. Favoring hurricane development in 1998 are above-average sea surface temperatures in the North-, East- and tropical Atlantic. When these regions are warmer during the summer and fall as they are this year, it typically helps to promote hurricane formation the following year. Supporting this is another condition known as the Azores High, a ridge of high surface pressure located near the Azores Islands in the North Atlantic. This ridge of high pressure was below the long-term average in October and November, which causes weaker East Atlantic trade winds and is more favorable for hurricane development in the following season. An uncertain factor in the 1998 forecast is below-average rainfall in the Western Sahel region of Africa and along the Gulf of Guinea. When these two regions are drier than normal, it indicates that global conditions are such they could weaken the season's net hurricane activity. When wetter than normal conditions are present in these two regions, it typically enhances hurricane activity. Gray and his team believe that the drier-than-average conditions in these two regions this year was brought on by El Nino and therefore should not be considered an indication that 1998 hurricane activity will be greatly reduced. "El Nino is still hanging over our heads to some degree, because it produced some weather anomalies like the dry conditions in the Western Sahel and Gulf of Guinea," Gray said. "As we get closer to the beginning of hurricane season, we will likely have a much better picture of how these interconnected global conditions will affect storm activity." In addition to these factors, throughout the season Gray and research team members Chris Landsea at the NOAA Hurricane Research Division in Miami, Fla., John Knaff, Paul Mielke and Kenneth Berry also take into account temperature and pressure readings in West Africa; Caribbean Sea-level pressure readings; temperature readings above Singapore at about 54,000 feet; and tropospheric winds at 40,000 feet. Gray's hurricane forecasts--to be issued in December, April, June and August--do not predict landfall and apply only to the Atlantic Basin, the area encompassing the Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico. Although the 1997 hurricane season was below average, Gray's statistics show that the period between 1995-1997 was still the busiest three-year period for hurricane activity on record. The three-year span generated 39 named storms, 23 hurricanes (12 of which were intense) and 115 hurricane days. Based on that record, Gray maintains his theory that the Atlantic Basin is entering an era spanning many decades of increased hurricane activity--particularly intense storms. "El Nino was just a one-year interruption in a long cycle of increased hurricane activity," Gray said. "In the past three years, we have seen a major shift of Atlantic Ocean surface temperatures, where surface temperatures in the North and the tropical Atlantic have become considerably warmer than in the 25-year period between 1970-1995. This shift promotes major hurricane activity and signals that we may be entering a dangerous and heightened period of hurricane activity." GRAY RESEARCH TEAM HURRICANE FORECASTS FOR THE 1998 SEASON TODAY'S FORECAST 1. Named Storms (9.3)* 9 2. Named Storm Days (46.9) 40 3. Hurricanes (5.8) 5 4. Hurricane Days (23.7) 20 5. Intense Hurricanes (2.2) 2 6. Intense Hurricane Days (4.7) 3 7. Hurricane Destruction Potential (70.6)** 50 8. Net Tropical Cyclone Activity (100%) 90% '97 ACTUAL 8/97 6/97 4/97 12/96 1. Named Storms (9.3) 7 11 11 11 11 2. Named Storm Days (46.9) 28 45 55 55 55 3. Hurricanes (5.8) 3 6 7 7 7 4. Hurricane Days (23.7) 10 20 25 25 25 5. Intense Hurricanes (2.2) 1 2 3 3 3 6. Intense Hurricane Days (4.7) 2.2 3 5 5 5 7. Hurricane Destruction Potential (70.6) 26 60 75 75 75 8. Net Tropical Cyclone Activity (100%) 54% 100% 110% 110% 110% ( ) represents average year totals based on 1950-1990 ** Hurricane Destruction Potential measures a hurricane's potential for wind- and ocean-surge damage. Tropical Storm, Hurricane and Intense Hurricane Days are four, six-hour periods where storms attain wind speeds appropriate to their category on the Saffir-Simpson scale. ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** David Letterman's Top Ten Rejected Names for El Nino (11/11/97) 10. Senior Stormy 9. Gee, Your Monsoon Smells Terrific 8. The Devil's Wet Hacking Cough 7. Starbucks' New Storm-uccino 6. Windy Pete, the South American Treat 5. Al Rocker's Meal Ticket 4. The Atmospheric Salad Shooter 3. Stormy Spice 2. "Weird El" Ninovic 1. Weathergate ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 5 Dec 1997 18:21:20 -0500 From: "Gregory A. Surplus" Subject: Re: Not Really At 11:58 AM 12/5/97 -0500, you wrote: >On Thu, 4 Dec 1997 11:51:17 -0500 >"Jim Munley Jr." <71435.211@COMPUSERVE.COM> spoke to the weather world: > >>This is a test. > >Funny???? - I never heard the tone alert? That's because it was SAME encoded :-) ********************************************************************** *Greg Surplus Microg's MD Weather Homepage * *gsurplus@delphi.com http://people.delphi.com/gsurplus/ * ********************************************************************** ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 4 Dec 1997 to 5 Dec 1997 ************************************************ From - Mon Dec 8 09:22:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626315-25329>; Sun, 7 Dec 1997 14:29:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA25590; Sun, 7 Dec 1997 00:12:23 -0600 Message-Id: <199712070612.AAA25590@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 7 Dec 1997 00:03:51 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 5 Dec 1997 to 6 Dec 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: c98552d90ccda3522f11ddab09c2ce2d Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 5 messages totalling 127 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Volunteer forecasters needed for NEMAS 2. EMWIN in Mobile Situations 3. Fairbanks Temperature Reversal 4. Info Please! 5. New to list- and el nino question +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 6 Dec 1997 09:13:45 -0500 From: Matt Rosier Subject: Volunteer forecasters needed for NEMAS The NorthEast Meteorological and Astronomical Service is looking for volunteer forecasters from the following states to open forecast offices within NEMAS: Pennsylvania Delaware Virginia Southern New Jersey New York state excluding the NYC area and Long Island Maine If you are interested, please contact Matt Rosier (mattr@ccpl.carr.lib.md.us) for more information and an application. Persons of any age are welcome, all that is needed is a serious interest in meteorology and some prior knowledge of weather forecasting. All forecasting is done from your computer, and no special equipment or other purchases are needed. NEMAS is a non-profit organization and thus there are no paid positions available. Thank you, NEMAS Administrative Staff ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 6 Dec 1997 09:16:24 -0600 From: SKYWARN-TEXAS Subject: Re: EMWIN in Mobile Situations In reference to Rob's posting yesterday, I've gotten satisfactory mobile reception of EMWIN on a number of test occasions but have always taken the audio from an ICOM 2-meter mobile transceiver connected to a 3 db gain antenna. I keep a laptop running on EMWIN in my office using the Zephyrus "soap box" receiver and consistently get 100% copy off the rubber duck. The EMWIN transmitter, however, is just 250 feet away. The Houston Police Department command center (which is in a high rise office building about 7 miles from the EMWIN transmitter site) is also monitoring EMWIN with the Zephyrus and a rubber duck, with the receiver sitting on top of a CPU on the floor. They also report 100% copy. I have found that the Zephyrus receiver doesn't like environments in which there is high RF from other sources. As an aside, Houston has been one of two beta test sites for the new generation Zephyrus GOES receiver and LNA. We've found these new products to have solid performance for downloads from both GOES 8 and 9. Jim Robinson, K5PNV Texas State RACES Skywarn Liaison Officer & Houston EMWIN Coordinator _________________________________________________ http://www.skywarn-texas.org ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 6 Dec 1997 17:06:54 GMT From: David Haines Subject: Re: Fairbanks Temperature Reversal >With a 947MB low over Bristol Bay (58N 160W), a very strong southerly flow >developed over Alaska. At 3PM while Fairbanks was -8F, Delta Junction, 90 >miles to the SE had 34F and rain! At 8AM, 4 Dec, the temperature at >Fairbanks Int'l was -19F and 24 hours later it was +25F. The normal >morning low is -14F for today. The temp at PAFA can be a predictor for conditions in the lower 48. When I was stationed as Reese AFB (Tex.), the forecasters had a rule of thumb that said when the Fairbanks temperature suddenly rose like that, the Arctic airmass had been displaced and was on its way south. In Dec. '89 it got to <= -60 at PAFA; within 2 weeks the CONUS was shivering in the midst of a major cold wave. 12/22 low at DFW was 3 (new Dec. record) and high was 14; next morning's low was -1. So next time this phenomenon happens, consider yourself warned. :-( ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 6 Dec 1997 13:33:43 -0600 From: Matt/N9Npp Trotta Subject: Re: Info Please! In article <666lj9$3ja$1@news.abts.net>, gregs@abts.net wrote: > > > Can anyone on this group know whewre the following NewsGroups have > gone to: and ?? I use to > read articles in these groups but I'm unable to retrieve articles from > either of them! I have tried 2 different NewsReader programs, and both > keep saying "unable to locate..." Tnx for any help.. > > 73 de Greg try this, get on the internet and go to http://web3.dejanews.com/ then click on interest finder then type in skywarn (or whatever) hit find and it will bring up the groups you ask for. i just did it and it worked. N9NPP/MATT http://www.axnet.com/united/spotter.htm -------------------==== Posted via Deja News ====----------------------- http://www.dejanews.com/ Search, Read, Post to Usenet ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 6 Dec 1997 17:36:51 -0800 From: Mark Panitz Subject: New to list- and el nino question Hi; I Just join this list and was wondering if this is the place to talk about "el nino" and its affects (or am too late to talk about this subject?) thanks -- As Per US Code, Title 47, Chapter 5,Subchapter II 227 Unsolicited [JUNK MAIL] commercial advertising is NOT Welcome here Mark Panitz ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 5 Dec 1997 to 6 Dec 1997 ************************************************ From - Mon Dec 8 14:41:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626800-16041>; Mon, 8 Dec 1997 14:23:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA33740; Mon, 8 Dec 1997 00:10:00 -0600 Message-Id: <199712080610.AAA33740@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Dec 1997 00:03:23 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 6 Dec 1997 to 7 Dec 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 24a76bd061b25025c046d0fcf8719a45 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There is one message totalling 27 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. El Nino humor +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 7 Dec 1997 15:31:43 -0500 From: Matt Rosier Subject: El Nino humor Weather or Not By Dave Barry Sunday, December 7, 1997; Page W52 WHAT IS EL NINO? Will it cause massive climatic changes? Will it ultimately threaten the very survival of humanity? Does it contain fat? These are just some of the alarming questions that are raised by the phenomenon of El Nino, which in recent months has been blamed for virtually everything abnormal that is happening in the world, including the singing group Hanson. To help you understand why you need to become alarmed about El Nino, let's take a moment here to review how Earth's weather works: http://search.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/WPlate/1997-12/07/013l-120797-idx.html This is hilarious! Check it out... Matt ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 6 Dec 1997 to 7 Dec 1997 ************************************************ From - Tue Dec 9 15:37:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627370-9280>; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 14:22:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA13488; Tue, 9 Dec 1997 00:14:48 -0600 Message-Id: <199712090614.AAA13488@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Dec 1997 00:04:58 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 7 Dec 1997 to 8 Dec 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 8633841639fc71f00b8a005f64e1e294 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 4 messages totalling 288 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Erie PA Snowfall 2. Weather World 2010 CD-ROM now available! 3. Sailor with a lot of wind forecast questions 4. PCGRIDDS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 8 Dec 1997 11:55:33 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Erie PA Snowfall I saw this article move across the wire and have a few comments... === Motorists warned to avoid driving as storm blasts county ERIE, Pa. (AP) -- A storm dumped 18 1/2 to 40 inches of snow across Erie County, forcing the closure of two interstates and trapping 300 cars. But according to the National Weather Service in Cleveland, the official snowfall -- as measured at Erie International Airport, where flights were canceled because of Saturday's storm -- only 4.7 inches fell. That figure was reported by a weather service employee at the airport, said Tom King, a meteorologist in the Cleveland office. ``We were wondering about it,'' King said Sunday night. ``But you (have to) trust his measurement.'' He said the difference may have been caused by surface temperature and distance from Lake Erie. But residents disgruntled over the closure of the weather service's Erie office more than a year ago were not convinced. ``We've repeatedly experienced the inadequacy of not only forecasting our weather but acquiring correct data,'' said Joy Grecco, a county councilor who is a member of the citizens' group Save Our Weather Station. [...] === Joy comments about "inadequate forecasts" (who cares about what the airport measured.) If these are "inadequate" I wonder what she wanted, a specific lake-effect storm total within +/- 0.1" 48 hours in advance? I can't imagine the old Erie WSO could have accomplished that either... PAZ001-002-060300- ERIE LAKESHORE-S. ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ERIE 1031 AM EST FRI DEC 5 1997 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .THIS AFTERNOON...BRISK WITH SNOW SHOWERS AND SQUALLS ACCUMULATING 4 TO 6 INCHES. STEADY TEMPERATURE NEAR 30. WEST WIND 15 TO 25 MPH. .TONIGHT...CONTINUED BRISK WITH SNOW SHOWERS AND SQUALLS WITH AN ADDITIONAL 4 TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE. LOW IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WIND 15 TO 25 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW NEAR 100 PERCENT. .SATURDAY...SNOW SHOWERS WITH A CHANCE OF SQUALLS. HIGH IN THE LOWER 30S. CHANCE OF SNOW NEAR 100 PERCENT. $$ PAZ002-003-070300- CRAWFORD-S. ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MEADVILLE 1036 AM EST SAT DEC 6 1997 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING THIS AFTERNOON... .THIS AFTERNOON...BLUSTERY. SNOW SHOWERS AND SQUALLS WITH WHITEOUT CONDITIONS. AFTERNOON ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 6 INCHES. THERE WILL ALSO BE DRIFTING SNOW. HIGH IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WIND 15 TO 25 MPH AND GUSTY. CHANCE OF SNOW NEAR 100 PERCENT. .TONIGHT...OCCASIONAL SNOW SHOWERS WITH A FEW SQUALLS. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. LOW NEAR 25. WEST WIND BECOMING NORTHWEST AND DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 20 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 90 PERCENT. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING WITH JUST FLURRIES IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH NEAR 35. CHANCE OF SNOW 40 PERCENT. $$ PAZ002-003-080300- CRAWFORD-S. ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MEADVILLE 1033 AM EST SUN DEC 7 1997 .THIS AFTERNOON...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY TAPERING TO FLURRIES OR DRIZZLE. AN ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION OF AROUND AN INCH OF SNOW THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH AROUND 35. WEST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 60 PERCENT. .TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOW IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WIND 5 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW IS 40 PERCENT. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH THE HIGH IN THE MIDDLE 30S. $$ Sounds pretty clear to me that Erie was in for a good snowfall... CLE did an excellent job at issuing Public Information Statements with snowfall rates and totals, here's an example (cut down because it's long!): ** ABUS34 KCLE 071706 *** PNSCLE LAKE EFFECT SNOW SPOTTER NETWORK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND, OH 1204 PM EST SUN DEC 7 1997 NEW SNOW AND DEPTH ACROSS NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA AS OF 8 AM. NEW PERIOD STORM STORM ON LOCATION COUNTY SNOW (HRS) TOTAL DURATION GROUND WEATHER FRANKLIN CENT ERIE PA 4.8 12 40.4 23.0 WATERFORD ERIE PA 6.0 12 38.0 48 28.0 AMITY TOWNSHI ERIE PA 12.0 12 36.0 48 36.0 UNION CITY 4N ERIE PA 3.0 12 35.0 48 24.0 ERIE 2W ERIE PA 8.25 12 32.75 48 13.5 CORRY ERIE PA 7.0 12 30.7 48 25.0 UNION CITY 6N ERIE PA 10.5 12 30.0 48 30.0 EDINBORO ERIE PA 1.5 12 26.0 26.0 UNION CITY ERIE PA 9.0 12 19.0 24 19.0 ERIE 6S ERIE PA 2.3 12 18.5 24 18.5 ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 8 Dec 1997 14:29:13 -0600 From: Daniel_Bramer Subject: Weather World 2010 CD-ROM now available! Dear weather buffs- We would like to announce that we at the Department of Atmospheric Sciences at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign have comlpeted the WW2010 multimedia educational CD-ROM. This CD provides the user with the high graphics version of our Weather World 2010 educational recources without the problems of slow connectivity. More information can be found at: http://ww2010.atmos.uiuc.edu/cd.rxml and a printable order form can be found at: http://ww2010.atmos.uiuc.edu/orderform.rxml in case the following order form is somehow distorted by the e-mail process. The following contains instructions on how to order our CD-ROM: 1) Print out this message and fill out the order form below. 2) Mail the form with a check or money order (in U.S. Dollars) payable to the 'UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS' to the address below in the amount of: (Sorry, no credit cards, please.) -> $7.00 per CD if you live in the United States or Canada (ADD $0.20 sales tax per CD in Illinois. If you are tax exempt, enter your number in the form below and it is $7.00 per CD.) -> $9.00 per CD outside the U.S. and Canada. This price already includes shipping and handling, so the price above is all you need to pay. IF YOU NEED TO ORDER MORE THAN 10 CD's, PLEASE CONTACT our department office at (217) 244-5737 between 8:00 - 5:00 Central Time. Please do not fax us your forms, as we can not ship the CD until we receive payment. **PLEASE PRINT** ______________________________________________________ NAME ______________________________________________________ ADDRESS ________________________________________________ ________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________ COUNTRY ______________________________________________________ E-MAIL ______________________________________________________ PHONE (OPTIONAL) __________ _______________ ________________________ QUANTITY AMOUNT ENCLOSED TAX EXEMPT NO. (IL ONLY) INTENDED USE (CHECK ALL THAT APPLY) __ EDUCATION (K-12) __ EDUCATION (HIGHER) __ GOVERNMENT ORG. __ COMMERCIAL ORG. __ OTHER NON-FOR-PROFIT ORG. __ PERSONAL __ OTHER ______________________________________________________ IF OTHER, PLEASE SPECIFY Mail this form and your check or money order in U.S. Dollars to: WW2010 CD-ROM Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences 105 South Gregory Street Urbana, IL 61801 USA Again, for those interested in more detailed information, please go to our CD-ROM web page (http://ww2010.atmos.uiuc.edu/cd.rxml). If you have anymore questions, feel free to e-mail us at ww2010@atmos.uiuc.edu. Thank you for your time The WW2010 Development Team ________________________________________ Weather World 2010 http://ww2010.atmos.uiuc.edu/ Department of Atmospheric Sciences University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign 105 South Gregory Street Urbana, IL 61801 USA e-mail: ww2010@atmos.uiuc.edu ________________________________________ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 6 Dec 1997 21:04:14 -0300 From: poletto Subject: Sailor with a lot of wind forecast questions Hello all, As a regular windsurfer in a urban area (huge - over 50 km circular area from mark 0 downtown) I'm very interested on wind forecasting - usually because I sail on weekends only and I have to pack all gear and drive 24 miles to get on the like from home. Considering this I'd like to ask help for the following questions: 1) How precise usually wind forecasts are? The only one that is available locally at http://yabae.cptec.inpe.br/scripts/metgram.cgi?campo=SP_SP&data=1 but of course covers the city in general, not the particular area (lake) where the wind has to blow. Can I assume that if the report shows a windy day, the same will happen on the lake? 2) Are there other wx indicator that could be related to wind? The page below also shows Surface Temperature, Humidity, Sea Lever Pressure and Precipitation. 3) Any luck in setting up historical database of wx measures in order to predict wind on the weekends based on other (usually available) data? 4) I also like to set-up a wx station and considering that: - wind is the target. - it should have data storage capabilities and PC interface - might want to delivery information via Internet or pagers - cost is an issue (not more than US$400) - reliability is an issue because technical assistance is limites down here What would be the recommendation (Davis, Maximum or Peet Bros)? 5) Any literature reference for the subject? Thanks for any insights, Enzo poletto@originet.com.br ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 8 Dec 1997 20:35:53 -0600 From: Ted Keller Subject: PCGRIDDS As a broadcast meteorologist who recently got PCGRIDDS to work, let me say I would now be lost without it! For those of you unfamilar with PCGRIDDS, it is a program which analyzes model output (ETA, NGM, AVN, MRF ) stored in a file format known as GRIB. The program is DOS-based but is very powerful. Users can plot data using different colors and line styles. You can overlay multiple data fields, change base maps, plot cross-sections, plot time-sections, even isentropic surfaces. Many of you probably did what I did-- you downloaded PCGRIDDS a while ago, unzipped it, but were unable to figure out how to use it and there it sits on your hard drive. If you have Windows95 and an ISDN connection this is worth doing! I can tell you that I have the ETA, NGM and AVN models downloaded and waiting for me by early afternoon, hands off. I do experience slower delivery rates during "interesting" weather due to increased access by users. The beauty of PCGRIDDS is the rich supply of macros already written by NWS personnel. Macros are a set of commands telling PCGRIDDS what to plot. For instance, a macro titled SNOW would plot snow parameters (850mb 0C, 540 thickness) for all hours of the model run. I would interested in hearing from any other broadcast meteorologist who have gotten this program to work. Also, I might be able to guide someone through the set-up procedure if there is any interest. Ted Keller | Meteorologist | My homepage is here! KOLR-TV, Springfield, MO | web.getonthe.net/~tkeller tkeller@kolr10.com | "It's fun to get e-mail!" ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 7 Dec 1997 to 8 Dec 1997 ************************************************ From - Wed Dec 10 16:28:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626384-3010>; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 14:17:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA58292; Wed, 10 Dec 1997 00:07:29 -0600 Message-Id: <199712100607.AAA58292@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Dec 1997 00:02:53 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 8 Dec 1997 to 9 Dec 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: d50e1fde01a096ce82a8596f88225d78 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 8 messages totalling 391 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. decoding weather bulletins (2) 2. An Assessment of AWIPS 3. Skew-T plotting software 4. Antarctic Records 5. Forecast Game! 6. Severe Weather Forecasting Conferenc (fwd) 7. SAME code available via phone +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 9 Dec 1997 08:58:03 -0600 From: "Bruce D. Muller" Subject: decoding weather bulletins This should be an easy question for the field. I'm sure many of you are used to reading the various weather bulletins from the NWS, as have I for several years now. But one item has me perplexed and I can't read or 'decode' what its supposed to be. The following is from the Heavy Snow discussion (todays) which I also subscribe to like I do the wx-talk digest. ...stuff deleted.... MDLS TAKE THE STG CNTRL MS VLY MIDLVL SYS TWD THE NRN OH VLY THIS PD WITH PLENTY OF WRM AIR AND ADDTNL MSTR SURGG NWD THRU THE SERN U.S.. THE STG JET DYANMICS AND HGT FALLS WL CONT TO SUPPORT A BROAD AREA OF MOSTLY LGT SNOW TO THE LEFT OF THE 8H LOW TRACK. -- ...deleted... I can read most of this but I don't know what the 8H Low is. Is this the 850mb or other pressure level low? I sometimes see other numbers referring to the low. Thanks in advance. BRUCE D. MULLER, Capt, USAF AFCCC/DOC Bldg 859, Scott AFB, IL 62225 Phone: DSN 576-5944, comm 618-256-5944 Fax: DSN 576-3772, comm 618-256-3772 ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 9 Dec 1997 10:34:42 -0500 From: John Kent Subject: Re: decoding weather bulletins Bruce D. Muller wrote: > ...stuff deleted.... > > MDLS TAKE THE STG CNTRL MS VLY MIDLVL SYS TWD THE NRN OH VLY THIS PD > WITH PLENTY OF WRM AIR AND ADDTNL MSTR SURGG NWD THRU THE SERN > U.S.. THE STG JET DYANMICS AND HGT FALLS WL CONT TO SUPPORT A BROAD > AREA OF MOSTLY LGT SNOW TO THE LEFT OF THE 8H LOW TRACK. > -- > ...deleted... > > I can read most of this but I don't know what the 8H Low is. Is this the > 850mb or other pressure level low? I sometimes see other numbers referring > to the low. Thanks in advance. Yes, it's the 850mb low center. If I'm not mistaken, the standard NWS contractions for 500mb, 700mb, and 850mb are H5, H7, and H8. I would guess that this forecaster intended to type H8 rather than 8H. --------------------------------- John Kent FleetWeather/Compu-Weather Inc. Hopewell Junction, New York --------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 9 Dec 1997 13:12:37 -0500 From: Floyd Hauth Subject: An Assessment of AWIPS The National Weather Service Modernization Committee of the National Research Council has released a report on an assessment of the Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System (AWIPS). Here are the first two paragraphs of the Executive Summary. The entire report can be found at: http://www.nap.edu/readingroom/enter2.cgi?ES.html ================= Executive Summary The last major technical system required to complete the decade-long modernization of the National Weather Service (NWS) is the Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System (AWIPS). When commissioned for operation, AWIPS will be a distributed data processing system used at NWS field offices, regional offices, and headquarters to integrate information received from all other observational and analytical elements of the modernized system. AWIPS will support the work of hydrologists and meteorologists by delivering state-of-the-art forecasts and warnings. AWIPS will also provide a nationwide communications network, with the NWS offices as its nodes. In 1995, NWS adopted an incremental approach to developing and deploying AWIPS, an approach in which increasingly capable software "builds" are deployed to increasing numbers of field offices. With each build, the system grows in terms of both operable functions and the number of nodes in the operating network. Each deployment of a major new build requires a period of field testing by real users (forecasters) engaged in real operations. The results are fed back to AWIPS program managers and developers to guide subsequent incremental development and deployment (IDD). The first operational test and evaluation (OT&E) occurred in the fall of 1996 when AWIPS Build 1 was installed at 12 sites, 9 of which are NWS weather forecast offices or river forecast centers. In this report, the National Weather Service Modernization Committee (NWSM Committee) presents a retrospective evaluation of the first OT&E as an essential component in bringing AWIPS to maturity and a prospective commentary on key issues raised by the OT&E. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 9 Dec 1997 14:21:50 -0500 From: Charles Subject: Skew-T plotting software Hello and seasons greetings all! Does anyone know of software packages which will plot a skew-t with manually input temperature and moisture fields ? Thanks, Charles **************************************************** * Charles A. Piety * * Department of Meteorology * * University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742 * * phone: (301) 405-7638 * * fax: (301) 314-9482 * * email: charles@atmos.umd.edu * **************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 9 Dec 1997 14:50:38 -0800 From: WDAY Weather Subject: Antarctic Records Does anyone know where one can find climate data for the U. S. station at the south pole? I'm specifically looking for: monthly average max. temp. monthly average min. temp. monthly average wind vel. monthly extremes for all of the above Thanks in advance to anyone who is able to help. John Wheeler wdaywx@rrnet.com FARGO, ND http://www.in-forum.com WDAY-TV WDAY-AM THE FORUM -48` TO 114` Since 1922... The Oldest Call Letters in the Northwest WDAY-TV Weather Staff: 301 South 8th Street John Wheeler Box 2466 Daryl Ritchison Fargo, ND 58103 Kip Hines ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 9 Dec 1997 16:51:34 -0500 From: Chris Hennon Subject: Forecast Game! Hello everyone. A quick reminder that the inaugral game of the wxforecast weather forecasting competition will begin on Jan 12. You may play for FREE, or put your money where your mouth is and play for prizes. Each forecaster receives his/her own profile page, containing statistics and game performance data. Check it out at "http://www.wxforecast.com". Entry deadline is midnight on Sat, Jan 10, 1998. Chris ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 9 Dec 1997 17:44:30 -0600 From: "Paul L. Sirvatka" Subject: Severe Weather Forecasting Conferenc (fwd) This is to announce a fantastic experience for all college meteorology students and all others that areaffected by severe weather. The College of DuPage, in association with the DuPage County Office of Emergency Management, will be hosting a Severe Weather Forecasting Conference, to be held in Wheaton, IL, Thursday night and Friday, March 6 and 7, 1998. The conference is to give undergraduate meteorology students an opportunity to learn about cutting edge severe weather forecasting and analysis with nationally recognized experts. Although the conference is designed for undergraduates, the material presented at the conference will also be beneficial for graduate students, professional meteorologists and other interested weather enthusiasts. Speakers and topics: Dr. Chuck Doswell, Research Meteorologist, National Severe Storms Laboratory (NSSL) Alan Moller, Lead Forecaster, National Weather Service Forecast Office, Fort Worth, Texas "Multi-scale Analysis Workshop" Roger Edwards, Outlook Forecaster, Storms Prediction Center "Pitfalls of Severe Storms Forecasting: Model Biases, Bad Analyses and Other Forms of Prognostic Sludge" Ron Przybylinski, Science Operations Officer, National Weather Service Forecast Office, St. Louis, Missouri "Using WSR-88D Data: Derechos and Supercells" Greg Stumpf, Research Meteorologist, Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies (CIMMS) "Radar Algorithm Development and Testing at NSSL" Rich Thompson, Outlook Forecaster, Storms Prediction Center "Evolution Of Pre-Storm Temperature And Moisture Profiles Through Sounding Analysis" The keynote speaker for the Friday night banquet will be: Dr. Erik Rasmussen, Research Meteorologist, Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies (CIMMS) "Findings from VORTEX and SUBVORTEX" The conference will be from 6:00 PM - 10:00 PM on Thursday, and again all day on Friday. The cost for the Forecasting Conference is $25 for college students and $45 for all other attendees. The price include breaks, lunch on Friday and a banquet dinner on Friday night. Additional workshops will be offered on Thursday, "Severe Weather Shelter Workshop" and Saturday, "Advanced Spotter Training", both for an additional cost of $17 and $20, respectively, which includes lunch in the price. These workshops are aimed at emergency management and severe weather spotters. Some of the speakers from the Forecasting Conference will be presenters on Saturday as well. More detailed information about registration, program scheduling, location and accommodations will follow in January when registrations will be accepted. Until then, if you have any questions, please contact Paul Sirvatka, Dana Quinn or Matt Powers at svr-conf@weather.cod.edu Make arrangements to be at this great workshop! ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 9 Dec 1997 20:47:07 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: SAME code available via phone For those interested in the new NOAA weather receivers...just passing this along. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI 815 AM CST TUE DEC 9 1997 ...NOAA 97-76 PUBLIC RELEASE... ...FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE... ...TOLL-FREE NUMBER OFFERS NOAA WEATHER RADIO CODES... 1-888-NWR-SAME /1-888-697-7263/ A NEW GENERATION OF NOAA WEATHER RADIO RECEIVERS INTRODUCED THIS FALL ENABLES LISTENERS TO SCREEN OUT OFFICIAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WATCHES AND WARNINGS THAT DO NOT APPLY TO THEIR GEOGRAPHIC AREA. NOW THE NWS IS MAKING IT EASIER FOR OWNERS OF THESE SPECIALLY-EQUIPPED RECEIVERS TO GET THE STATE AND COUNTY CODE NEEDED FOR PROGRAMMING THE RECEIVERS THROUGH A TOLL-FREE TELEPHONE NUMBER. NOAA WEATHER RADIO... THE VOICE OF THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE... BROADCASTS OFFICIAL NWS WATCHES... WARNINGS AND HAZARD INFORMATION AND LOCAL FORECASTS 24 HOURS A DAY OVER A GROWING NATIONAL NETWORK OF MORE THAN 450 TRANSMITTERS. ROUTINE FORECAST INFORMATION IS UPDATED EVERY ONE TO THREE HOURS.. AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO BROADCASTS ARE REPEATED ABOUT EVERY FIVE MINUTES. THIS NEW WARNING PROCEDURE IS A BREAKTHROUGH BECAUSE IT LETS NOAA WEATHER RADIO LISTENERS SCREEN OUT THE SEVERE WEATHER ALARMS THEY DON/T WANT TO HEAR... SAID LOUIS J. BOEZI... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DEPUTY DIRECTOR FOR MODERNIZATION. IF LISTENERS ARE AWAKENED AT 3 A.M. FOR A SEVERE WEATHER WARNING 75 MILES AWAY... THEY MAY EVENTUALLY TUNE OUT ALL TOGETHER. WE DON/T WANT THAT TO HAPPEN. DURING AN EMERGENCY... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTERS INTERRUPT LOCAL NOAA WEATHER RADIO PROGRAMMING AND SEND OUT AN ALARM TONE THAT ACTIVATES NOAA WEATHER RADIO RECEIVERS WITHIN THE ENTIRE LISTENING AREA. SINCE TRANSMITTERS TYPICALLY REACH PEOPLE WITHIN A RANGE OF HUNDREDS OF SQUARE MILES... TECHNICAL LIMITATIONS HAVE LED TO THE APPEARANCE OF OVER WARNING FOR SOME SEVERE WEATHER EVENTS. RECEIVERS EQUIPPED WITH SPECIFIC AREA MESSAGE ENCODING /SAME/ TECHNOLOGY ALLOW LISTENERS TO CHOOSE WHICH COUNTIES THEIR RADIO WILL SOUND AN ALARM FOR WHEN OFFICIAL NWS WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE ISSUED. OLDER NOAA WEATHER RADIO RECEIVERS WILL CONTINUE TO WORK... BUT THESE OLDER RECEIVERS DO NOT ALLOW LISTENERS TO SCREEN OUT WEATHER SERVICE ALARMS FOR INDIVIDUAL COUNTIES. BY CALLING 1-888-NWR-SAME /1-888-697-7263/... LISTENERS CAN USE A TOUCH-TONE TELEPHONE KEYPAD TO ENTER THE STATE AND COUNTY OF INTEREST TO GET THE SAME CODES THEY NEED TO PROGRAM THEIR RECEIVER. CALLERS SHOULD HAVE A PEN AND PAPER READY... AND WILL NEED TO KNOW EITHER THE TWO-LETTER POSTAL ABBREVIATION OF THE STATE OR HOW TO SPELL THE STATE... AND THE CORRECT SPELLING OF THE COUNTY. AFTER THE TELEPHONE SYSTEM RECOGNIZES THE COUNTY... IT WILL PROVIDE THE SIX-DIGIT SAME CODE TO PROGRAM INTO THE NOAA WEATHER RADIO RECEIVER. FOR PEOPLE WHO DO NOT HAVE ACCESS TO A TOUCH TONE TELEPHONE... THE SYSTEM/S VOICE RECOGNITION MODE ALSO ALLOWS CALLERS TO CLEARLY SPELL OUT THEIR STATE AND COUNTY TO RECEIVE THE CORRECT SIX-DIGIT SAME CODE. THE LIST OF CODES ALSO IS AVAILABLE FROM THE NWS ON THE WORLD WIDE WEB AT... HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/NWR /LOWER CASE/ THE FIRST BRAND OF THE NEW SAME-CAPABLE RECEIVER IS SOLD BY RADIO SHACK... AND OTHER BRANDS OF RECEIVERS WITH THE SAME FEATURE ARE EXPECTED TO BE SOLD BY ELECTRONICS MANUFACTURERS IN THE NEXT YEAR. FOLLOWING A TORNADO THAT KILLED MORE THAN 20 PEOPLE IN A RURAL ALABAMA CHURCH ON PALM SUNDAY IN 1994... VICE PRESIDENT AL GORE SET A GOAL TO MAKE NOAA WEATHER RADIO RECEIVERS AS COMMON AS SMOKE DETECTORS IN AMERICAN HOMES AND TO EXTEND THE COVERAGE PROVIDED BY THE NOAA WEATHER RADIO TRANSMITTER NETWORK TO 95 PERCENT OF THE UNITED STATES. SINCE THE GORE NOAA WEATHER RADIO INITIATIVE BEGAN... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND OTHER MEMBERS OF THE GORE TASK FORCE HAVE BEEN ACTIVELY PROMOTING PUBLIC/PRIVATE SECTOR PARTNERSHIPS TO PROVIDE THE NEEDED RESOURCES. MORE THAN 50 NEW WEATHER RADIO TRANSMITTERS HAVE BEEN INSTALLED SINCE 1994 THROUGH GRASS ROOTS PARTNERSHIPS COMBINING RESOURCES OF PRIVATE ENTERPRISES... ASSOCIATIONS... AND LOCAL... STATE AND FEDERAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. BROADCAST RANGE FROM MOST WEATHER RADIO TRANSMITTERS IS APPROXIMATELY 40 MILES. THE EFFECTIVE RANGE DEPENDS ON TERRAIN... QUALITY OF THE RECEIVER... AND INDOOR/OUTDOOR ANTENNAS. BEFORE BUYING ANY NOAA WEATHER RADIO RECEIVER... CONSUMERS SHOULD MAKE SURE THEIR AREA IS COVERED BY ONE OF THE TRANSMITTERS. EDITOR'S NOTE... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND KING FEATURES SYNDICATE ARE USING NATIONALLY-SYNDICATED COMIC STRIP CHARACTER MARK TRAIL AS THE CAMPAIGN SYMBOL FOR EDUCATING THE PUBLIC ABOUT THE BENEFITS OF OWNING A TONE-ALARM NOAA WEATHER RADIO RECEIVER. COLOR AND GRAY SCALE IMAGES OF A MARK TRAIL NOAA WEATHER RADIO POSTER ARE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET. TO DOWNLOAD A COPY OF THE IMAGE TO ILLUSTRATE THIS STORY... CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE OF PUBLIC AFFAIRS AT: 301-713-0622. REPORTERS SEEKING MORE INFORMATION ON NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER ASPECTS OF THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ARE INVITED TO VISIT THE NWS PUBLIC AFFAIRS WEBSITE AT: HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/PA /LOWER CASE/ Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 8 Dec 1997 to 9 Dec 1997 ************************************************ From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626449-29769>; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 14:27:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA37404; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 00:08:24 -0600 Message-Id: <199712110608.AAA37404@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Dec 1997 00:00:00 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 9 Dec 1997 to 10 Dec 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 20f2dd7bfbd44ef4dec232f0d8b6eced Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 8 messages totalling 421 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Top Five Little Known El Nino Facts.... 2. ASOS Commissioning Notice 3. Antarctic Climate Data 4. South Pole Climatology 5. Demise of the Navy HF Facsimile Broadcast 6. posting for a friend (2) 7. NSSL/SPC Merchandise Pages have moved +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 9 Dec 1997 22:00:20 -0800 From: Ken Tarvin Subject: Top Five Little Known El Nino Facts.... Take a look at http://www.topfive.com/ on Wed for this. I just got the email tonight, and it's hilarious, so it should be up on thier web-site on Wednesday. Who would have thought that El Nino would have so many different effects! :) Ken ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 10 Dec 1997 01:38:08 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site became a commissioned ASOS site on 09 December 1997. HOOKS MEMORIAL AIRPORT (KDWH) HOUSTON... TX Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 10 Dec 1997 10:08:48 EST From: Richard L Slonaker Subject: Antarctic Climate Data Does anyone know where one can find climate data for the U. S. station at the south pole? I'm specifically looking for: monthly average max. temp. monthly average min. temp. monthly average wind vel. monthly extremes for all of the above Thanks in advance to anyone who is able to help. John Wheeler wdaywx@rrnet.com FARGO, ND +++++++++++++++++ There are 'some' climate data for Antarctica available at http://www.Worldclimate.com/ Input some of the following Station names for interior regions: Amundsen -> Amundsen-Scott South Pole Station (US) Vostok -> East Antarctic plateau Station (Ru) (coldest of the cold) and some coastal stations: McMurdo (US), Novolazarevskaya (Ru), Mirny (Ru), Bellingshausen (Ru), Leningradskaja (Ru), Dumont D'Urville (Fr), Casey (Au), Davis (Au), Mawson (Au), Molodezhnaya (Ru), Scott Base (NZ) A more complete reference is: Stearns, C. R., L. M. Keller, G. A. Weidner, and M. Sievers, Monthly mean climatic data for Antarctic automatic weather stations, in "Antarctic Meteorology and Climatology: Studies Based on Automatic Weather Stations", edited by D. H. Bromwich, and C. R. Stearns, pp. 1-21, American Geophysical Union, Washington, DC, 1993. Current temperatures along coastal Antarctica may approach those of Fargo now...since Antarctica is approaching summer. Cheers! -Richard ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ Richard L. Slonaker tel: 301-794-5191 fmh@stx.com fax: 301-441-1853 Hughes STX Corporation 4400 Forbes Blvd. Lanham, MD 20706 ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 10 Dec 1997 10:33:54 -0900 From: Jan Curtis Subject: South Pole Climatology Date: Tue, 9 Dec 1997 14:50:38 -0800 From: WDAY Weather Subject: Antarctic Records Does anyone know where one can find climate data for the U. S. station at the south pole? I'm specifically looking for: monthly average max. temp. monthly average min. temp. monthly average wind vel. monthly extremes for all of the above Thanks in advance to anyone who is able to help. John Wheeler wdaywx@rrnet.com FARGO, ND John: Try: http://www.cmdl.noaa.gov/met/index.html For other Antarctica weather and climate data try: http://climate.gi.alaska.edu/WXCLIMO1/CliShort.html http://climate.gi.alaska.edu/WXCLIMO1/WXCLIMO1.html Regards, Jan Curtis ************************************************************* Webmaster for: The Alaska Climate Research Center http://climate.gi.alaska.edu ************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 10 Dec 1997 15:57:24 -0500 From: Patrick Dixon Subject: Demise of the Navy HF Facsimile Broadcast Subject: Demise of the Navy HF Facsimile Broadcast Author: Patrick Dixon at NLMOC_NF Date: 12/9/97 2:38 PM The following information is quoted for public dissemination: 04 December 1997 From: Naval Atlantic Meteorology and Oceanography Center, Norfolk, Virginia Subj: Navy HF Facsimile Broadcast The Navy HF Facsimile Broadcast was designed to support U.S. Naval operations in the Atlantic Theatre. In recent years, fleet units have migrated to other communication systems. Therefor, the Commander in Chief of the U.S. Atlantic Fleet (CINCLANTFLT) has determined that the Navy HF Fleet Broadcast (NFAX) will cease 24 hour continuous broadcast operations beginning 01 January 1998. This system will be placed in a back-up mode for on-demand service to be activated by fleet units upon request. Patrick A. Dixon 757-445-1872 Senior Meteorologist, Operations Department Naval Atlantic Meteorology and Oceanography Center dixon@nlmoc.navy.mil www.nlmoc.navy.mil ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 10 Dec 1997 17:26:29 -0500 From: Kenneth Cook Subject: posting for a friend A friend of mine wanted me to post this to wxtalk for public comments. Ken > >The source of the information enclosed by the equal signs is: >www.nwseo.org/place.html > >========================================================================= > >During the week of November 17, NWSEO President Ramon Sierra and Vice >President Paul Greaves met with the regional Deputy Directors to finalize >the NWSs meteorologist placement plan. Once this plan is accepted by the >Regional Directors, details will be posted on our web site. >What came out of these meetings is the greatest opportunity for promotion >in the history of the Weather Service. In the next few weeks, over 300 >GS-13 Senior Forecaster positions at over 60 locations will be bid. This >massive placement effort will be only the first round. After all of the >Senior Forecaster positions are filled, all GS-12 Journeyman Forecaster >vacancies generated by the first wave of placements will be advertised. >This placement effort will generate a huge number of job applications in a >very short time. A special system was developed in Partnership with the NWS >to process the paperwork. >The applications will be reviewed for basic position qualifications by the >NOAA Office of Human Resources. Following this preliminary assessment a >panel comprised of the DRDs and NWSEO reps will rank and rate the >applicants. All "best qualified" applicants will be forwarded to the local >MIC for selection. >Because there will be a large number of applications to be reviewed, a >special Qualification Summary sheet will be required as part of your >application package. This summary is very important: it will be used as the >first cut in ranking and rating applicants. Once again, the importance of >this Qualification Summary sheet cannot be overstated. If you bury vital >information within your resume, it will likely be overlooked if not >highlighted on your Qualification Summary sheet. >You alone hold the responsibility for timely applications in this placement >plan. Because the vacancy announcement will only be open for two weeks, you >should start preparation now in anticipation of a December vacancy >announcement. >The timing of this vacancy announcement, however, may cause a problem. > Many employees take leave during this time of year and may not be in the >office when the announcement is released. Nevertheless, the responsibility >of obtaining the announcement rests with the employee. >Article 14 Section 4(d) of the Contract states: >(Bargaining unit employees are responsible for) >d) Advising their immediate supervisor in writing, prior to any temporary >absences, (other than those involving the Inter-governmental Personnel Act, >military duty or assignment with statutory reemployment rights) of the >types of vacancies in the bargaining unit for which they wish to be >considered during their absence. >Please keep this in mind if you plan to be away from your duty station any >time within the next two or three months. Lets help each other - spread the >word that this opportunity is coming soon. > >======================================================================= > >Poster's commentary: >Is there anyone in the NWS concerned about the fact that this plan calls >for the National Weather Service Employees Organization to be involved in >the application EVALUATION process? >Where in the union contract does it give NWSEO the right to be involved in >placement decisions? >You were all aware, or should have been aware, that this vacancy >announcement would be open from around the beginning of December and close >by the end of the month. No one ever said two weeks. Since the >announcement isn't out yet, this means it will likely open and close during >the Christmas rush. How are these applications going to make it through >the mail by the closing date with the Post Office as busy as it is now? >What about the fact that this plan with the union involvement and the very >short deadline during the holidays comes after Congress has adjourned for >the year AND shortly after many of you received solicitations to join the >union? > >If any or all of this concerns you, you are encouraged to contact NWS >management (IE. regional director or assistant) and/or your congressional >delegation. > > > > > email: cyclone68@mindspring.com ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- "We hold these truths to be sacred & undeniable; that all men are created equal & independent, that from that equal creation they derive rights inherent & unalienable, among which are the preservation of life, & liberty, & the pursuit of happiness." - Pre Continental Congress, Jefferson's origional draft for The Declaration of Independence, July 4, 1776 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 10 Dec 1997 17:25:56 -0500 From: Kenneth Cook Subject: posting for a friend A friend of mine wanted me to post this to wxtalk for public comments. > >The source of the information enclosed by the equal signs is: >www.nwseo.org/place.html > >========================================================================= > >During the week of November 17, NWSEO President Ramon Sierra and Vice >President Paul Greaves met with the regional Deputy Directors to finalize >the NWSs meteorologist placement plan. Once this plan is accepted by the >Regional Directors, details will be posted on our web site. >What came out of these meetings is the greatest opportunity for promotion >in the history of the Weather Service. In the next few weeks, over 300 >GS-13 Senior Forecaster positions at over 60 locations will be bid. This >massive placement effort will be only the first round. After all of the >Senior Forecaster positions are filled, all GS-12 Journeyman Forecaster >vacancies generated by the first wave of placements will be advertised. >This placement effort will generate a huge number of job applications in a >very short time. A special system was developed in Partnership with the NWS >to process the paperwork. >The applications will be reviewed for basic position qualifications by the >NOAA Office of Human Resources. Following this preliminary assessment a >panel comprised of the DRDs and NWSEO reps will rank and rate the >applicants. All "best qualified" applicants will be forwarded to the local >MIC for selection. >Because there will be a large number of applications to be reviewed, a >special Qualification Summary sheet will be required as part of your >application package. This summary is very important: it will be used as the >first cut in ranking and rating applicants. Once again, the importance of >this Qualification Summary sheet cannot be overstated. If you bury vital >information within your resume, it will likely be overlooked if not >highlighted on your Qualification Summary sheet. >You alone hold the responsibility for timely applications in this placement >plan. Because the vacancy announcement will only be open for two weeks, you >should start preparation now in anticipation of a December vacancy >announcement. >The timing of this vacancy announcement, however, may cause a problem. > Many employees take leave during this time of year and may not be in the >office when the announcement is released. Nevertheless, the responsibility >of obtaining the announcement rests with the employee. >Article 14 Section 4(d) of the Contract states: >(Bargaining unit employees are responsible for) >d) Advising their immediate supervisor in writing, prior to any temporary >absences, (other than those involving the Inter-governmental Personnel Act, >military duty or assignment with statutory reemployment rights) of the >types of vacancies in the bargaining unit for which they wish to be >considered during their absence. >Please keep this in mind if you plan to be away from your duty station any >time within the next two or three months. Lets help each other - spread the >word that this opportunity is coming soon. > >======================================================================= > >Poster's commentary: >Is there anyone in the NWS concerned about the fact that this plan calls >for the National Weather Service Employees Organization to be involved in >the application EVALUATION process? >Where in the union contract does it give NWSEO the right to be involved in >placement decisions? >You were all aware, or should have been aware, that this vacancy >announcement would be open from around the beginning of December and close >by the end of the month. No one ever said two weeks. Since the >announcement isn't out yet, this means it will likely open and close during >the Christmas rush. How are these applications going to make it through >the mail by the closing date with the Post Office as busy as it is now? >What about the fact that this plan with the union involvement and the very >short deadline during the holidays comes after Congress has adjourned for >the year AND shortly after many of you received solicitations to join the >union? > >If any or all of this concerns you, you are encouraged to contact NWS >management (IE. regional director or assistant) and/or your congressional >delegation. > > > > > email: cyclone68@mindspring.com ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- "We hold these truths to be sacred & undeniable; that all men are created equal & independent, that from that equal creation they derive rights inherent & unalienable, among which are the preservation of life, & liberty, & the pursuit of happiness." - Pre Continental Congress, Jefferson's origional draft for The Declaration of Independence, July 4, 1776 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 10 Dec 1997 17:36:47 -0600 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: NSSL/SPC Merchandise Pages have moved ********************************************************************* *** NOTE: The NSEA Merchandise pages have moved to a new server. *** *** Please note the new URL addresses below! *** ********************************************************************* Severe Weather Fanatics, The NSSL/SPC Employees Association (NSEA) regularly sells severe weather photographs and NSSL/SPC clothing as part of its fund-raising efforts. Traditionally, we've only been able to sell this merchandise to individuals who visit the NSSL/SPC in Norman, Oklahoma, or when we take the merchandise to various special functions (such as the TWC Chaser Conference, the StormTrack annual picnic, or various conferences and open houses). Now this merchandise is available on the World Wide Web (WWW)! *** Although the 1997 Holiday Season is here, we can no longer guarantee that items ordered now will be shipped in time for the holidays. *** Now in stock in the store for fall/winter: long-sleeve tees and sweatshirts for a limited time only! ********************************************************************* * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW Severe Weather Photo Store * ********************************************************************* The URL for the NSEA Photo Concession Stand is: http://weather.cod.edu/nsea/nseaphoto.html ****************************************************************** * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW NSSL/SPC Clothing Store * * * * NSSL SHIRTS...AS SEEN IN THE MOVIE 'TWISTER'!!! * ****************************************************************** The URL for the NSEA Clothing Concession Stand is: http://weather.cod.edu/nsea/nseaclothing.html Information on the prices of merchandise is on the WWW page. We can only accept orders placed from the WWW page (check or money order only). Information on the NSEA is also available via the first hypertext link on that WWW page. If you have any questions, please contact Greg Stumpf at: gstumpf@rossby.metr.ou.edu We hope that this fundraiser is a success for our organization and we hope you all enjoy the merchandise! Greg Stumpf and Paul Janish, NSSL/SPC Employees Association DISCLAIMER: The NSEA is a non-profit organization not affiliated with NOAA or the U.S. Government. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 9 Dec 1997 to 10 Dec 1997 ************************************************* From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627136-24178>; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 14:29:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA26052; Fri, 12 Dec 1997 00:18:07 -0600 Message-Id: <199712120618.AAA26052@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Dec 1997 00:06:13 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 10 Dec 1997 to 11 Dec 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 112649c74d29e4487a770463cace10dc Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 2 messages totalling 38 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. ASOS Commissioning Notice 2. Severe Weather Forecasting Conference (cor) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 11 Dec 1997 06:25:38 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following sites became commissioned ASOS sites on 10 December 1997. PENN YAN AIRPORT (KPEO) PENN YAN... NY FOUR CORNERS REGIONAL AIRPORT (KFMN) FARMINGTON... NM Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 11 Dec 1997 16:20:06 -0600 From: "Paul L. Sirvatka" Subject: Severe Weather Forecasting Conference (cor) The College of DuPage's Severe Weather Forecasting Conference which was announced recently will be held in Wheaton, IL on Thursday March *5* and Friday March *6*. I am sorry for the error. For more infomration, write svr-conf@weather.cod.edu ****************************************************************************** * Paul L. Sirvatka | Office: (630) 942-2118; Lab: (630) 942-2590 * * Professor of Meteorology | COD Weather Lab: (630)-858-0032 * * College of DuPage | Address: 425 22nd St. Glen Ellyn, IL 60137 * ****************************************************************************** ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 10 Dec 1997 to 11 Dec 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Dec 15 09:45:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627227-13139>; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 14:14:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA53524; Sat, 13 Dec 1997 00:10:30 -0600 Message-Id: <199712130610.AAA53524@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Dec 1997 00:02:04 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 11 Dec 1997 to 12 Dec 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: bcf0a93ed0ed2f93b137f872c4d12346 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 3 messages totalling 164 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. SVR Storms Doppler Radar Conference 2. TV Met Job (Chattanooga, TN) 3. VORTEX web pages +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 12 Dec 1997 00:48:09 -0600 From: John McLaughlin Subject: SVR Storms Doppler Radar Conference We are receiving tremendous response for the upcoming Severe Storms and Doppler Radar Conference to be held 3-5 April 1998 in Des Moines, IA. Get your abstracts in to me before 1 February 1998 (sooner the better). Features speakers (confimed and likely) so far include: Josh Wurman of the University of Oklahoma. Josh will be bringing us data collected by the Doppler on Wheels project during the last two years! Josh and his crew have intercepted more than a dozen tornadoes and even sent the mobile X-band radar into the eye of Hurricane Fran in the fall of 1995! Steve Weygandt of CAPS (Center for Analysis and Prediction of Storms) will have a featured presentations on work going into storm-scale models. CAPS is doing tremendous work. Leslie R. Lemon, Chief Meteorologist, Lockheed Martin Ocean, Radar & Sensor Systems, will have presentations on RADAR UPDRAFT IDENTIFICATION AND REVEALED CHARACTERISTICS plus his latest research on Three Body Scattering in association with large hail and damaging winds. Al Moller says he'd love to come back to Iowa and we welcome another excellent workshop. Al's awaiting final travel approval and I'll pass the word when I get it!!! Warren Faidley is also waiting for final word on his schedule but says he'd love to come to Iowa after hearing about the 1997 conference. if Warren can make it, this would be an excellent addition to our Friday "storm chase video" fest! Liz Quoetone of the Nexrad Operational Support Facility is planning on bringing the audience up to speed on Build 10 for the WSR-88D which will hit the field in the summer of '98. This session will be of great interest to NWS and Media meteorologists! Robert Lee of the Nexrad Operational Support Facility is planning a presentation on Adapting Nexrad Mesocyclone and TVS Algorithms to Different Geographic Regions. With attendees last year coming from 23 different states, this should be an excellent topic, and you broadcasters need to know what algorithms your local NWS is tweaking and how that impacts the storm attribute data you get (and sometimes display on air!) Ed Buckner of KTHV in Little Rock, Arkansas is working on a presentation on using a 5cm Doppler radar and high-resolution mapping software in tracking a tornadic supercell thunderstorm through Little Rock in March of 1997. We would also like the KLIT NWS office to participate in this presentation as the media and NWS worked well together in this event (hint...) Lon Curtis, storm chaser turned KWTX-TV weathercaster, has submitted an abstract on "The IH-35 Tornado Outbreak-Covering a Tornado Outbreak (in your own backyard)" Lon followed these storms and has excellent video and comments on this deadly outbreak. Troy Kimmel, AMS TV Meteorologist in Austin, Texas will also have an excellent presentation on the Jarrell, TX tornado along with fellow TV meteorologist Mark Murray entitled, "AN OVERVIEW OF THE CENTRAL TEXAS TORNADOES OF TUESDAY, 27 MAY 1997" Warren Sunkel of Central Region Headquarters will offer us an excellent "then and now" perspective with his presentations: "The tornado of June 17, 1978 in Osage County, KS." This coming June will be the 20th anniversary of the event. The showboat "Whippoorwill," with 50+ people on board, capsizedduring the storm and 16 people drowned. All of the drownings were recorded as tornado fatalities. Dr. David Arnold of Mississippi State University will detail activities of the North Mississippi Severe Storms Intercept Team, including video of the life-cycle of a strong tornado. (We're hoping Dr. Binkley attends as well.) Greg Stumpf of the National Severe Storms Lab will be presenting "Operational Paradigms and Automated Vortex Detection-Lessons Learned and Future Thoughts." Bill Conway of NSSL is working on two papers including Dual Polarization of the WSR-88D and a progress update on moving the 88D to an open platform (not windows '95). John McLaughlin of KCCI is working on several papers of interest to broadcasters, including "TV Doppler Identification of Rapid Mesocyclone Development on the Southern Region of a Bow Echo." and "An Analysis of Three Body Scattering as Observed on 5cm and 10cm Radars in Iowa." Karl Jungbluth, Science Officer with the Des Moines NWS, is working on a presentation on the 21 June 1997 Early Morning Squall Line which caused millions of dollars in damage while most folks were asleep. Robert Goldhammer of the Polk County Emergency Management Division will detail ways the Media, NWS and County EMA's can cooperate to promote the sale of Weather Alert Radios. Jim Zoss, Emergency Manager for the City of Battle Creek, Michigan has offered a presentation on dissemination of radar and weather data to the public and emergency officials. This year's weather conference will also feature a morning weather briefing using the latest models from Weather Central Inc. of Madison, Wisconsin. Baron Services has also signed up as a vendor and we expect many others. If you have an idea for a presentation, whether NWS/NOAA, Media, Storm Chaser of Emergency Manager. Contact me as soon as possible. This is an opportunity for all of us to learn together! Please pass the word as widely as possible. John McLaughlin KCCI TV Des Moines johnmc49@ecity.net www.ecity.net/~iowanwa/ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 12 Dec 1997 08:56:44 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job (Chattanooga, TN) METEOROLOGIST (WTVC) WTVC NewsChannel 9 is seeking a full-time Meteorologist for our top rated weekend newscasts. We would like someone who either has an AMS seal or is currently working toward receiving the seal. At least one year of experience required. Send tape and resume to: Steve Hunsicker, News Director, WTVC NewsChannel 9, 410 W. 6th Street, Chattanooga, TN 37402. EOE *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 12 Dec 1997 18:42:52 +0000 From: David Blanchard Subject: VORTEX web pages The VORTEX web pages have undergone a major upgrade and are now available for viewing. The new pages include some of what was previously available via public web pages, and much that was available only internally. This is only the start of a major reconstruction period as we continue to move both preliminary and finalized research results onto these pages. The URL is ; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 14:16:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA50716; Sun, 14 Dec 1997 00:08:04 -0600 Message-Id: <199712140608.AAA50716@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Dec 1997 00:01:48 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 12 Dec 1997 to 13 Dec 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: dd9ae579cba3633e26aff7f76de82a3d Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 2 messages totalling 83 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Amazing numbers (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 12 Dec 1997 22:31:05 -0800 From: A Lieberman Subject: Amazing numbers The following was an excerpt from the Brownsville Tx special weather statement > IF MEASUREABLE SNOW OCCURS AT THE WEATHER OFFICE IN BROWNSVILLE...IT > WILL BE THE FIRST SUCH OCCURRENCE IN OVER 102 YEARS! THE LAST > MEASURABLE SNOW OFFICIALLY IN BROWNSVILLE FELL IN FEBRUARY 1895 WHEN > 5 INCHES WERE ON THE GROUND. THIS WAS REPORTED IN THE LOCAL PAPER AT > THE TIME TO HAVE BROKEN THE OLD RECORD OF 3 INCHES SET IN 1866. 102 years since measurable snow. I wonder if El Nino was active then :-) What is amazing is how this "cold snap" has very little "variance" in temperature from Michigan to Texas. On 12/13 2 GMT the temp in the UP of Michigan was 32F and DFW in Tx was 28F Allen -- http://www.bright.net/~lieberma/ Come visit my homepage!!! Any unsolicited COMMERCIAL Email will be replied with a complaint to the postmaster of the sender! ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 13 Dec 1997 00:45:22 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: Amazing numbers Allen L. writes: > The following was an excerpt from the Brownsville Tx special weather > statement: > > > IF MEASUREABLE SNOW OCCURS AT THE WEATHER OFFICE IN BROWNSVILLE...IT > > WILL BE THE FIRST SUCH OCCURRENCE IN OVER 102 YEARS! THE LAST > > MEASURABLE SNOW OFFICIALLY IN BROWNSVILLE FELL IN FEBRUARY 1895 WHEN > > 5 INCHES WERE ON THE GROUND. THIS WAS REPORTED IN THE LOCAL PAPER AT > > THE TIME TO HAVE BROKEN THE OLD RECORD OF 3 INCHES SET IN 1866. > > 102 years since measurable snow. I wonder if El Nino was active then > :-) > > What is amazing is how this "cold snap" has very little "variance" in > temperature from Michigan to Texas. On 12/13 2 GMT the temp in the UP > of Michigan was 32F and DFW in Tx was 28F A further excerpt from that statement: IF SNOW DOES ACCUMULATE OVER AREAS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS TONIGHT...BE SURE TO RECORD THE EVENT ON FILM OR VIDEO. IT MAY WELL BE A ONCE IN A LIFETIME EVENT. Well, It didn't happen in Brownsville...IE, *accumulating* snow, BUT... KBRO 2100Z 122056Z 33013KT 3SM RA BR BKN008 OVC015 03/02 A3035 RMK AO2 SNB13E33 SLP275 6//// T00280017 58016 $= KBRO 2025Z 122022Z 34013G19KT 320V020 3SM -RASN BKN008 OVC015 02/02 A3036 RMK AO2 SNB13 $= it snowed in Brownsville for twenty minutes mixed with rain starting at 2:13 PM Central time! Unfortunately, the precipitation has now moved away. Still, what a sight that must have been! And with a north-northwest win at 15 MPH, gusting to 22, that must have been a wild scene down there... Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 12 Dec 1997 to 13 Dec 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Dec 15 14:38:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626247-326>; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 14:10:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA14264; Mon, 15 Dec 1997 00:06:53 -0600 Message-Id: <199712150606.AAA14264@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Dec 1997 00:01:05 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 13 Dec 1997 to 14 Dec 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 59a9255e3b16189b7ea9e9d13460f9ab Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 2 messages totalling 68 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Holiday Forecast??? 2. Amazing numbers +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 14 Dec 1997 06:39:06 -0700 From: DAVID JACOBER Subject: Holiday Forecast??? Hello! Anybody know when a holiday forecast or "Outlook For A White Christmas" will be available and where would I be able to find it? BTW, in case I don't post again between now and then, I want to wish you all a safe and joyous Holiday Season! DRIVE CAREFULLY & BUCKLE UP FOR SAFETY!!!!!! Merry Christmas, Happy Chanukah, & Happy Kwanza! David ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 14 Dec 1997 21:50:19 -0700 From: Mike Martin Subject: Re: Amazing numbers A Lieberman wrote: > > The following was an excerpt from the Brownsville Tx special weather > statement > > > IF MEASUREABLE SNOW OCCURS AT THE WEATHER OFFICE IN BROWNSVILLE...IT > > WILL BE THE FIRST SUCH OCCURRENCE IN OVER 102 YEARS! THE LAST > > MEASURABLE SNOW OFFICIALLY IN BROWNSVILLE FELL IN FEBRUARY 1895 WHEN > > 5 INCHES WERE ON THE GROUND. THIS WAS REPORTED IN THE LOCAL PAPER AT > > THE TIME TO HAVE BROKEN THE OLD RECORD OF 3 INCHES SET IN 1866. > > 102 years since measurable snow. I wonder if El Nino was active then Last week, one of my students told me she was leaving the next day to go to Mexico for Christmas. She asked me if I could get on the Net and find out what the weather was like where she was going. I asked, and she said she was going to Michoacan by way of Guadalajara. That particular day the temp at 10 am PST was 73 degrees with 38 percent relative humidity. I then looked at the satellit map for the Western Hemisphere and all of Mexico was clear. It looked like to me, and I told her, that she was in for good weather. I read this morning in the paper that either Friday or Saturday (12th or 13th) that it snowed in Guadalajara for the first time in over 100 years. Boy, do I feel stupid. Oh well, gives her something to tell her family about. "Ya know, I have this science teacher that told me the weather was supposed to be good..." Yeah, right. :) -- ********************************************************** Mike Martin, Porterville High School Science Dept. 465 W. Olive Ave. Porterville, CA 93257 ph. - 209.783.2311 fax. - 209.782.7215 email - mmartin@porterville.k12.ca.us Web Site - http://porterville.k12.ca.us/phs/phssci.html ********************************************************** "The sun rises and the sun sets, and hurries back to where it rises. The wind blows to the south and turns to the north; round and round it goes, ever returning to its course. All streams flow into the sea, yet the sea is never full. To the place the streams come from, there they return again." Ecclesiastes 1:5-7, NIV ********************************************************** ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 13 Dec 1997 to 14 Dec 1997 ************************************************** From - Tue Dec 16 14:50:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627754-19438>; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 14:22:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA38022; Tue, 16 Dec 1997 00:17:00 -0600 Message-Id: <199712160617.AAA38022@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Dec 1997 00:06:34 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 14 Dec 1997 to 15 Dec 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: aa8e2ac616990edc43aaaac30608a096 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 5 messages totalling 125 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. You know it's been cloudy when... (2) 2. Severe Storms Conference Info 3. ASOS Commissioning Notice 4. Storm footage from North Carolina +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 15 Dec 1997 11:21:50 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: You know it's been cloudy when... It's been around two weeks since the clouds have broken in Ohio: ==== STATE FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 1000 AM EST SAT DEC 15 1997 Thousands of Ohioans awoke and ventured outside to investigate a strange celestial glow, with the curiosity and wonder not matched since the Hale-Bopp comet... .CLE...NONE TK ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 12 Dec 1997 12:58:52 -0600 From: Dennis Gabler Subject: Severe Storms Conference Info Hello All, A reminder that the Central Iowa NWA web page will also keep you up to date on the Severe Storms Conference in April. Its at http://www.ecity.net/~iowanwa Regards, Dennis Gabler -- Dennis Gabler --o--------------------------=o=--------------------------o-- | http://www.qsl.net/w5dg dennisg@microware.com W5DG/NNN0BQG___________| W5DG@N0UXV.CIA.IA.USA.NA Principal Software Engineer Microware Systems Corp. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 15 Dec 1997 16:37:16 -0500 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: You know it's been cloudy when... On Mon, 15 Dec 1997, Robert P Dale wrote: > It's been around two weeks since the clouds have broken in Ohio: > > ==== > > STATE FORECAST DISCUSSION > NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH > 1000 AM EST SAT DEC 15 1997 > > Thousands of Ohioans awoke and ventured outside to investigate a strange > celestial glow, with the curiosity and wonder not matched since the > Hale-Bopp comet... > > .CLE...NONE > TK Soooooo.....what WAS/IS it? Zodiacal light? aurora? Cityglow from Santa's Workshop City growing brighter as things start to pick up there in preparation for the Annual Big Ride on the 25th? 8-) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman/KB4MHH -//- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Gainesville, Alachua County, Florida | | Member: Alachua County SKYWARN (http://www.afn.org/~skywarn/) | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 15 Dec 1997 17:48:13 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site became a commissioned ASOS site on 15 December 1997. ALLEN ARMY AIR FIELD (PABI) DELTA JUNCTION/FT GREELY... AK Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 15 Dec 1997 21:19:30 -0500 From: ENCWW Subject: Storm footage from North Carolina Hello everyone, I am looking for storm video taken from north carolina. If you or someone you know has some footage please email me asap. Thanks in advance, Chris ********************************************************** NWSO-Newport Advanced SKYWARN Spotter Eastern North Carolina Weather Watchers Member Central Atlantic Storm Investigators Member TExas Severe Storms Association Member ALERT Member *********************************************************** Who has seen the wind? Neither you nor I, but, when the trees bow down their heads; the wind is passing by. ----Eleanor Farejon Web Page: For more Information on The Eastern North Carolina Weather Watchers www.assembly.net/encww ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 14 Dec 1997 to 15 Dec 1997 ************************************************** From - Wed Dec 17 14:35:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627008-13747>; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 14:14:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA61688; Wed, 17 Dec 1997 00:07:00 -0600 Message-Id: <199712170607.AAA61688@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Dec 1997 00:00:05 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 15 Dec 1997 to 16 Dec 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: d1c20db9dc0e5a7b3f9f65374a553285 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 5 messages totalling 111 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Incredible Observation from Andersen AFB, Guam 2. Unbelievable Wind on Guam!!!! 3. DESPERATELY NEED HELP!!!! 4. TV Met Jobs (2) Available 5. ADMINISTRIVIA: END OF THE SEMESTER FOR MANY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 16 Dec 1997 01:39:55 -0500 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: Incredible Observation from Andersen AFB, Guam Wow...a gust to 176 mph from Typhoon Paka! PGUA 160559Z 32060G153KT 1/4SM +RA FEW000 BKN005 OVC010 23/22 A2903 RMK PK WND 330153/49 PRESFR SLP820 RA FEW000 6//// 8/52/ 9/8// 58125 WR//= Boris A. Konon WSI Meteorological Operations ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 16 Dec 1997 01:59:15 -0500 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: Unbelievable Wind on Guam!!!! IS THIS FOR REAL??? PGUA 160631Z 33084G205KT 0SM +RA VV000 23/22 A2891= PGUA 160626Z 33096G173KT 0SM +RA VV000 23/22 A2891= Boris A. Konon WSI Meteorological Operations ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 16 Dec 1997 10:34:09 -0700 From: DAVID A JACOBER Subject: DESPERATELY NEED HELP!!!! All members of WX-TALK: My system crashed yesterday and I lost all of my E-Mail addresses. Those of you that know me, &/or those of you who contacted me recently either directly or via this list, please send me an E-Mail directly to me with your name and E-Mail address on it so I can start building my address book again! Thanks for your time! David Jacober ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 16 Dec 1997 12:14:36 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Jobs (2) Available METEOROLOGIST WMTW-TV, the ABC affiliate serving the Portland, Maine market as well as New Hampshire, has an immediate opening for a weekend meteorologist. Join the team at the Maine Associated Press Station of the Year. You'll anchor the weather segments at 6 and 11 p.m. on Saturdays and Sundays and will be responsible for on-air presentations during weather emergencies. Primary substitute for chief meteorologist. Must be available week nights and early mornings. Preferred candidates have on-air experience and a degree in meteorology. AMS or NWA certification a plus. Familiarity with Weatherspectrum 9000 system along with experience in preparing weather forecasts from raw data and preparation of weather graphics. Familiarity with Northeast weather patterns, field reporting and/or newscast production experience a plus. Interested? Submit your resume and tape without delay to News Director Dave Baer at WMTW-TV, P.O. Box 8, 99 Danville Road, Auburn, ME 04210. WMTW-TV is an E! qual Opportunity Employer. METEOROLOGIST (WRAL) We're looking for a meteorologist who is comfortable producing graphics-intensive weathercasts. If you know the science but can also make our high-powered Weather Central system sing--send us a tape. This person will anchor weather for a FOX 10pm weekday newscast and handle other duties inside the WRAL-TV WeatherCenter. AMS Seal required along with a four-year degree. VHS tapes and resumes to John Harris, News Director, WRAL-TV, 2619 Western Blvd., Raleigh, NC, 27606. EOE. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 16 Dec 1997 17:19:58 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: ADMINISTRIVIA: END OF THE SEMESTER FOR MANY It's the end of the semester for many of you and I'd like to say have a nice vacation. I'd also like to ask you to unsubscribe from the various WX-****** lists if you don't plan to be checking your e-mail regularly. When mail bounces it bounces back to me. IF you have any questions about unsubscribing or about using the SET NOMAIL command please contact me. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 15 Dec 1997 to 16 Dec 1997 ************************************************** From - Thu Dec 18 14:49:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626720-15671>; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 14:24:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA15256; Thu, 18 Dec 1997 00:10:34 -0600 Message-Id: <199712180610.AAA15256@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Dec 1997 00:01:51 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 16 Dec 1997 to 17 Dec 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: beccb8d31bc29e1d412be0d801ee6ba5 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 There are 11 messages totalling 384 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Supertyphoon Paka WSR-88D images 2. Guam Wind Report 3. Internet Source for Hourly METAR Reports/Archive ???? (2) 4. Re[2]: Internet Source for Hourly METAR Reports/Archive ???? 5. paka and guam (2) 6. (no subject) 7. World Record? 8. Mail Undeliverable: Failure Detected 9. Parallel bands of post-frontal convection +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 17 Dec 1997 02:26:02 -0500 From: Tim Vasquez <71611.2267@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: Supertyphoon Paka WSR-88D images A WSR-88D reflectivity image of Supertyphoon Paka (responsible for the alleged 236 mph wind gust) is available on the main page of Storm Track Online: http://www.telepath.com/storm/index.htm You'll also find a visible satellite image of the same storm. If you see any similar links, let me know! Tim Vasquez author, WeatherGraphix Norman, OK Digital Atmosphere 71611.2267@compuserve.com (888) 388-0070 (405) 573-0700 WeatherGraphix/Digital Atmosphere -- http://www.weathergraphics.com/ StormTrack Online -- http://www.telepath.com/storm/ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 17 Dec 1997 10:53:01 -0500 From: Chris Hennon Subject: Guam Wind Report Could someone post that SA from Guam with the 205 KT wind gust? Does this break the world record for measured wind? Isn't it rather late in the season to have a super-typhoon in the Pacific? Chris ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 17 Dec 1997 10:38:01 -0600 From: "Marc C. Levine" Subject: Internet Source for Hourly METAR Reports/Archive ???? Does anyone know/have a good net source for the hourly reports? It would really be helpful if there was a site which had an archive of reports at least back a few days. ____________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________ > 1. Incredible Observation from Andersen AFB, Guam > 2. Unbelievable Wind on Guam!!!! > > Date: Tue, 16 Dec 1997 01:39:55 -0500 > From: "Boris A. Konon" > Subject: Incredible Observation from Andersen AFB, Guam > > Wow...a gust to 176 mph from Typhoon Paka! > > PGUA 160559Z 32060G153KT 1/4SM +RA FEW000 BKN005 OVC010 23/22 > A2903 RMK PK WND 330153/49 PRESFR SLP820 RA FEW000 6//// 8/52/ > 9/8// 58125 WR//= > > Boris A. Konon > WSI Meteorological Operations > > ------------------------------ > > Date: Tue, 16 Dec 1997 01:59:15 -0500 > From: "Boris A. Konon" > Subject: Unbelievable Wind on Guam!!!! > > IS THIS FOR REAL??? > > PGUA 160631Z 33084G205KT 0SM +RA VV000 23/22 A2891= > PGUA 160626Z 33096G173KT 0SM +RA VV000 23/22 A2891= > > Boris A. Konon > WSI Meteorological Operations > ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 17 Dec 1997 12:39:13 CST From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: Internet Source for Hourly METAR Reports/Archive ???? > I don't know of any...but if you're looking for the GUAM report... PGUA 160655Z 31089G161KT 0SM +RA VV000 23/22 A2875 RMK PK WND 330205/29 PRESFR SLP724 RA VV000 8/52/ 9/8// WR//= PGUA 160623Z 32056G125KT 1/8SM +RA OVC003 23/22 A2893 RMK WR//= PGUA 160626Z 33096G173KT 0SM +RA VV000 23/22 A2891 RMK WR//= PGUA 160631Z 33084G205KT 0SM +RA VV000 23/22 A2891 RMK WR//= PGUA 160559Z 32060G153KT 1/4SM +RA FEW000 BKN005 OVC010 23/22 A2903 RMK PK WND 330153/49 PRESFR SLP820 RA FEW000 6//// 8/52/ 9/8// 58125 WR//= I'm impressed that the anemometer is still around. Has this report been verified and stamped, etc. etc, so it exceeds the 231 mph mark from Mt. Washington? 205 kts = 235 mph. Just another thing we can blame El Nino on, eh? Scott -- Scott S. Lindstrom | The only other sound's scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | the sweep of easy http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | wind and downy flake > Does anyone know/have a good net source for the hourly reports? It would > really be helpful > if there was a site which had an archive of reports at least back a few > days. > ____________________________________________________________ > ____________________________________________________________ > > 1. Incredible Observation from Andersen AFB, Guam > > 2. Unbelievable Wind on Guam!!!! > > > > Date: Tue, 16 Dec 1997 01:39:55 -0500 > > From: "Boris A. Konon" > > Subject: Incredible Observation from Andersen AFB, Guam > > > > Wow...a gust to 176 mph from Typhoon Paka! > > > > PGUA 160559Z 32060G153KT 1/4SM +RA FEW000 BKN005 OVC010 23/22 > > A2903 RMK PK WND 330153/49 PRESFR SLP820 RA FEW000 6//// 8/52/ > > 9/8// 58125 WR//= > > > > Boris A. Konon > > WSI Meteorological Operations > > > > ------------------------------ > > > > Date: Tue, 16 Dec 1997 01:59:15 -0500 > > From: "Boris A. Konon" > > Subject: Unbelievable Wind on Guam!!!! > > > > IS THIS FOR REAL??? > > > > PGUA 160631Z 33084G205KT 0SM +RA VV000 23/22 A2891= > > PGUA 160626Z 33096G173KT 0SM +RA VV000 23/22 A2891= > > > > Boris A. Konon > > WSI Meteorological Operations > > > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 17 Dec 1997 10:58:00 -0800 From: Jeffrey Logan Subject: Re[2]: Internet Source for Hourly METAR Reports/Archive ???? One source for archived Metars is at... http://meteora.ucsd.edu/weather/observations/airways I just checked and they have reports going back to Nov 1, 1997. Jeff /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\ | Jeffrey D Logan loganj@fnoc.navy.mil Monterey, CA | |FNMOC - Data Dept (408)656-4463 (408)656-4489 (fax)| \/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/ ______________________________ Reply Separator _________________________________ Subject: Re: Internet Source for Hourly METAR Reports/Archive ???? Author: Scott Lindstrom at SMTPLINK-FNOC Date: 12/17/97 12:39 PM > I don't know of any...but if you're looking for the GUAM report... PGUA 160655Z 31089G161KT 0SM +RA VV000 23/22 A2875 RMK PK WND 330205/29 PRESFR SLP724 RA VV000 8/52/ 9/8// WR//= PGUA 160623Z 32056G125KT 1/8SM +RA OVC003 23/22 A2893 RMK WR//= PGUA 160626Z 33096G173KT 0SM +RA VV000 23/22 A2891 RMK WR//= PGUA 160631Z 33084G205KT 0SM +RA VV000 23/22 A2891 RMK WR//= PGUA 160559Z 32060G153KT 1/4SM +RA FEW000 BKN005 OVC010 23/22 A2903 RMK PK WND 330153/49 PRESFR SLP820 RA FEW000 6//// 8/52/ 9/8// 58125 WR//= I'm impressed that the anemometer is still around. Has this report been verified and stamped, etc. etc, so it exceeds the 231 mph mark from Mt. Washington? 205 kts = 235 mph. Just another thing we can blame El Nino on, eh? Scott -- Scott S. Lindstrom | The only other sound's scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | the sweep of easy http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | wind and downy flake > Does anyone know/have a good net source for the hourly reports? It would > really be helpful > if there was a site which had an archive of reports at least back a few > days. > ____________________________________________________________ > ____________________________________________________________ > > 1. Incredible Observation from Andersen AFB, Guam > > 2. Unbelievable Wind on Guam!!!! > > > > Date: Tue, 16 Dec 1997 01:39:55 -0500 > > From: "Boris A. Konon" > > Subject: Incredible Observation from Andersen AFB, Guam > > > > Wow...a gust to 176 mph from Typhoon Paka! > > > > PGUA 160559Z 32060G153KT 1/4SM +RA FEW000 BKN005 OVC010 23/22 > > A2903 RMK PK WND 330153/49 PRESFR SLP820 RA FEW000 6//// 8/52/ > > 9/8// 58125 WR//= > > > > Boris A. Konon > > WSI Meteorological Operations > > > > ------------------------------ > > > > Date: Tue, 16 Dec 1997 01:59:15 -0500 > > From: "Boris A. Konon" > > Subject: Unbelievable Wind on Guam!!!! > > > > IS THIS FOR REAL??? > > > > PGUA 160631Z 33084G205KT 0SM +RA VV000 23/22 A2891= > > PGUA 160626Z 33096G173KT 0SM +RA VV000 23/22 A2891= > > > > Boris A. Konon > > WSI Meteorological Operations > > ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 17 Dec 1997 16:26:21 CST From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: paka and guam I read the on-line version of paka's hit on Guam and have a couple of comments. The picture showed a house with lots of plywood strewn around. But there were also palm trees standing behind hit, all with fronds, and a tree next to the house. Where was the picture taken? Certainly nowhere near 200 mph winds. The MSNBC site also had pictures with upright palm trees. At what wind speed does a palm tree snap? Anyone know? The hospital said that low barometric pressure induced 9 women to give birth. The resurrection of another urban legend. In a masterpiece of understatement, the governor of Guam said that this is one of the strongest typhoons to hit Guam in 20 years. I also found it interesting that Accu-Weather supplied the satellite imagery to the CNN web site! Scott ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 17 Dec 1997 19:26:48 -0600 From: Charles Edwards Subject: Re: paka and guam >The picture showed a house with lots of plywood strewn around. But there were >also palm trees standing behind hit, all with fronds, and a tree next to the >house. Where was the picture taken? Certainly nowhere near 200 mph winds. >The MSNBC site also had pictures with upright palm trees. At what wind speed >does a palm tree snap? Anyone know? Palm trees are very strong and flexible. They can handle hurricane force winds easily. However I did see a palm tree in Gulf Shores that was snapped off about half way up from minimal Hurricane Danny. The 236MPH wind gust was an isolated event. The winds in a hurricane vary quite a bit depending where you are. Charles Edwards cedwards@rossby.metr.ou.edu storms@pair.com http://www3.pair.com/storms ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 17 Dec 1997 19:59:31 -0600 From: Lori Woolf Subject: (no subject) unsubscribe WX-TALK ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 17 Dec 1997 21:07:02 -0500 From: Stu Ostro Subject: World Record? Being skeptical about the validity of the 236 mph wind gust observation from Guam for a number of reasons, I called the Joint Typhoon Warning Center Tuesday evening EST. They indicated that they also believed the report was in error. They referred me to Anderson AFB ... the person to whom I spoke there was hesitant to categorically confirm or refute pending a review of the data, but indicated that there were power surges at the time, as well as "error codes" being received from the instrumentation (by the way, not a "cup"-type anemometer ... it's an "FMQ13"... anyone familiar with that?). She in turn referred me to someone at the command post. He also confirmed that they believed there were problems with the data. However, during our conversation, a call came in on the other line suggesting that it was after the gust to 236 that the equipment had problems. He also referred to a sustained wind of 175 kts (201 mph) at the time whereas on the ob sent out on the wire it was only 84 kts (97 mph). (In one sense, that would perhaps make it more believable - less of a gust factor. On the other hand, a sustained wind of 200 mph at that point seems highly implausible.) This Wed eve I spoke again to one of the people at Anderson AFB closest to the issue (same one as Tue) to see whether they had any new thoughts. The answer was no. The official line is still that there were power surges at the time and it is suspected that there were problems with the data. What a different person referred to last night as a late sentiment of there having not been any equipment issues at the time was clarified. At the precise moment of the gust, the equipment appeared to be operating okay, so therefore the decision was made at the time to release the ob to the circuit. But overall it was in the midst of these power surges and error codes, hence while there has been no categorical refutation, there has also been absolutely NO official confirmation of its validity. (She also had no idea where the notion of sustained winds of 200 mph originated and did clearly debunk that.) In fact, she said they were aware of the fact that some other stateside media had picked up on this gust and were stating that a new world record had been set or at least citing the 236 mph without qualification, and encouraged TWC to let people know what the real story is. (Outside of this post to Wx-Talk and Wx-Chase, while we were still airing the Guam video on the cable network this evening we added some wording in the associated script to address the issue, and some OCMs have been commenting in other segments.) She said that observers and meteorologists will be convening, hopefully within the next week or so, to review the data and issue a subsequent report. (One suspects that if the ob survives that phase, there will be further tests of the equipment and some politicking before it goes down in the books...) I've left names and phone numbers out to avoid having them be deluged with calls. I myself was hesitant to call, and would like to mention that everyone with whom I spoke was extremely accomodating given the situation there - I'm sure they had a few other things to worry about! Their assistance is much appreciated. Stu Ostro The Weather Channel P.S. This is all interesting for aficionados (count me as one) of Mt. Washington and its 231 mph, but of course, that's the "official world record" of an actual anemometer measurement, not necessarily representative of the true "world record" highest wind speeds which occur on Earth - in the most violent tornadoes. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 17 Dec 1997 19:59:31 -0600 From: Lori Woolf Subject: Mail Undeliverable: Failure Detected Could not send message to USER: bobrice Reason for Mail Failure below: ******************************************************** Message not Delivered. Recipient's Mailbox Over Quota. ******************************************************** unsubscribe WX-TALK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 17 Dec 1997 22:40:46 -0500 From: Carl Morgan Subject: Parallel bands of post-frontal convection I'm trying to recall the date, sometime in the Spring of 97, I believe, of an unusual radar pattern during post-frontal convection over South and Central Texas. Behind the front, elevated convection began in Northern Mexico, and organized itself into parallel bands about 40 or 50 miles apart from each other, and perpindicular to the orientation of the front. There were probably 6 or 7 of these bands which moved rapidly toward the northeast. The banding was easily apparent, even on the national composite from WSI. Two questions. First, does anyone recall the approximate date of this event? And second, can anyone offer any explanation as to what may contribute to the formation of such a pattern? The best I recall, there was significant southwesterly flow above the frontal layer, and my guess is that it was deflected off of the mountains of northern Mexico, generating a series of waves, and the waves encountered an area of elevated instability. Therefore, convection formed on each successive wave crest. Any thoughts or comments would be appreciated. Thanks, Carl Morgan ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 16 Dec 1997 to 17 Dec 1997 ************************************************** From - Fri Dec 19 17:09:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3704 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626713-5344>; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 15:17:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA23686; Fri, 19 Dec 1997 00:12:33 -0600 Message-Id: <199712190612.AAA23686@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Dec 1997 00:05:48 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 17 Dec 1997 to 18 Dec 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 7f0c7541c7aca05f25f7ad79366fef21 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 12 messages totalling 416 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. World Record Doubts 2. Meteorite fall in Greenland 3. Parallel bands of post-frontal convection 4. Another "spin" on the PGUA obs 5. WWWVL Meteo and Allentown Weather Center 6. ASOS Commissioning Notice 7. AMS Broadcast Meteorology Conference (Call for Papers) 8. paka and guam (2) 9. Freezing Level and RADAT Data? 10. Internet Source for Hourly METAR Reports/Archive ???? 11. New articles needed for InterMet +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 18 Dec 1997 07:33:14 -0500 From: Chris Hennon Subject: World Record Doubts I have a hard time believing a 205 kt wind gust when the sustained winds were only 80 some kts. Come on. I've heard of the possibility of a Paka-spawned tornado, but this seems unlikely. I cannot comprehend how an anemometer could be accurate at those kind of velocities. I've heard that wind measurements during Andrew were typically overestimating speeds by 30 kt or more. On an unrelated note, I'm looking for a web site with wind climatology information (speed and direction) for U.S. cities. Anyone know of one? Chris ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 18 Dec 1997 07:06:28 -0700 From: Mike Martin Subject: Meteorite fall in Greenland I also subscribe to the WX-SAT mailing list, and the past couple of days some messages have been posted about a meteorite fall in Greenland on December 9. There are satellite maps which show the cloud from the fall. You can find the maps at http://www.sat.dundee.ac.uk/ You'll have to register (its free), then follow the signs. The cloud is plainly visible on the east coast of Greenland near the southern tip. Pretty impressive. -- ******************************************************** Michael Martin Porterville High School Science Department 465 W. Olive Ave. Porterville, CA 93257 phone - 209.783.2311 fax - 209.782.7215 email - mmartin@porterville.k12.ca.us Web site - http://porterville.k12.ca.us/phs/phssci.html ******************************************************** Earthquakes don't kill people, buildings do. "A lion eating an animal is nothing compared to a lava flow eating a big building" - Maurice Krafft "A thing of beauty is not a thing to ignore" - Hothouse Flowers When you were born, you cried and the world rejoiced. Live your life in such a way that when you die, the world will cry and you will rejoice. ******************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 18 Dec 1997 15:11:00 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: Parallel bands of post-frontal convection On Dec 17, 10:40pm, Carl Morgan wrote: > Behind the front, elevated convection began in Northern Mexico, and > organized itself into parallel bands about 40 or 50 miles apart from > each other, and perpindicular to the orientation of the front. There > were probably 6 or 7 of these bands which moved rapidly toward the > northeast. The banding was easily apparent, even on the national > composite from WSI. > What you describe reminds me of banding which can indicate conditional symmetric instabilty (CSI) -- an example of similar satellite and radar signatures during a winter storm event in southern Wisconsin can be found at http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/misc/wv/960126.html If you can recall the date of your event, perhaps I can dig up some satellite imagery to peruse... -Scott -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS VISIT Program CIMSS | University of Wisconsin-Madison asb@ty.ssec.wisc.edu | www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 18 Dec 1997 09:40:28 -0600 From: "Mark D. Conner" Subject: Another "spin" on the PGUA obs Andersen AFB is located on the far northern end of the island, with the runway ending just yards from a 600-ft sheer cliff. With the wind from 330, the airflow would strike the cliff and come up over the top in fairly turbulent flow. (cheap ASCII drawing follows, use monospace font to view, not to scale, etc) ----|---------------|------| NW-> anemometers | | <-wind | |_____________ sea level ______ There are normally two wind sensors at a runway like this, near both ends. The northern sensor would be close to the cliff edge, but the south one wouldn't be all that far away, either. The sensor at the touchdown end of the runway (southern end with a 330 wind) should have been in use, but obviously no aircraft were on approach at this time..... In any case, even if the anemometer were recording the winds correctly, it's possible that turbulent eddies could have "artificially" boosted the gust speed somewhat. This might explain the gusts being more than twice the sustained wind speed, which is a little unusual in itself. It would be interesting to go back to the records for other typhoons to look for similar cases when the winds were from that direction. Comments? The concept wasn't mine but I take responsibility for posting it here. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 18 Dec 1997 14:20:13 GMT From: Thomas Owens Subject: WWWVL Meteo and Allentown Weather Center On Monday, Dec 22, the machines that serve these two sites will be offline to upgrade the OS to Solaris 2.6. Hopefully the upgrades will go better than Gilbert's disaster earlier this week. Happy Holidays, Tommy -- ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ + Thomas Owens Email: tjo113@psu.edu + + + + Owner of the Meteorology Students Mailing List - METSTUD + + + + The Allentown Weather Center - Over 1000 Weather Links! + + http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/weather.html + + + + The WWW Virtual Library: Meteorology + + http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/WWW_Virtual_Library/ + ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 18 Dec 1997 13:44:19 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following sites became commissioned ASOS sites on 17 December 1997. METCALF FIELD (KTDZ) TOLEDO... OH ELMIRA/CORNING REGIONAL AIRPORT (KELM) ELMIRA... NY ORANGE COUNTY AIRPORT (KMGJ) MONTGOMERY... NY LENAWEE COUNTY AIRPORT (KADG) ADRIAN... MI Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 18 Dec 1997 13:28:32 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: AMS Broadcast Meteorology Conference (Call for Papers) Tim McGill asked me to post this... = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = Dear Chris: I would appreciate it if you could post this on Weather Talk. We are still looking for speakers for the conference. 27th Conference on Broadcast Meteorology June 16th-June20th, 1998 St. Louis, Missouri The 27th AMS Conference on Broadcast Meteorology, organized by the AMS Board of Broadcast Meteorology, will be held June 16th through June 20th at the Regal Riverfront Hotel in St. Louis, Missouri. A short course is planned for Tuesday, June 16th. Details will be available in a forthcoming announcement. For the main body of the conference, papers are solicited in the following areas: 1. SPECIAL WEATHER EVENTS. When severe or unusual weather occurs in your market it can become more than a local story. Tornado outbreaks, record snowfall, flooding, heatwaves and other types of weather can draw national attention. How did you and your station cover the event? When weather becomes the top story, how does your coverage involve you? What type of interaction is there between those producing the newscast and the weather person? Tapes and papers are encouraged on significant weather events that have occcured or which may occur prior to our 1998 conference. 2. LEGAL ISSUES OF BROADCASTING. Signing on the dotted line of a contract can be intimidating. There are a variety of issues that arise both during the negotiations and after the contract is agreed upon. Papers are encouraged that cover the legal aspects of our profession. 3. INTERNATIONAL SESSION. Back by popular demand, our third international session will be organized by Tammy Garrison. Contact Tammy at the following: tagwx@aol.com, phone 502-561-7705 or fax 502-568-6751. This session is filling up fast! 4. COMPUTER MODELS. There are many computer models to choose from when making a forecast. Which are the most reliable? How can a forecaster sift through the vast array of information available in a limited amount of time? Are there experiemental models that have proven their worth? How are you incorporating model data into your presentation? 5. CLOSING IN ON 2000. Technology continues to advance at a rapid pace. How are your presentations reflecting changes in technology? How have your shows evolved over the years? What have you added, what have you dropped from your presentation? How are you using the internet in the preparation of your show and in the show itself? 6. EDUCATION. How are you educating your viewers both on and off the air? What are teaching children during school visits? What new educational tools are you incorporating to help teach meteorology in your market? 6. SHOW US YOUR STUFF! You are encouraged to send a one to three minute clip of your work to Kirk Clyatt. All clips will be used and compiled into a video weather album so we can see how we all look on the job! We have not had a video since Dallas so please participate. Send tape to: Kirk Clyatt WBFF-FOX 45 2000 W.41st St. Baltimore, MD 21211 We will also be holding an AMS Seal of Approval Program which will include an update on the program including progress on the continuing education requirement, how qualified are our applicants, how to apply for your seal and succeed, and individual critique sessions with former AMS Broadcast Metorology Board Members. Those wanting to apply for their seal are encouraged to bring a tape to be critiqued prior to applying for the seal. All papers and topics will be considered for the conference. Submit abstracts no later than January 1, 1998, preferably via E-mail to: TIM MCGILL DAVE MILLER CLTV WFRV-TV 2000 York Road, Suite 114 1181 E. Mason St. Oak Brook, IL 60521 Green Bay, WI 54301 (630)368-4470 (414)437-5411 (630)571-0489 (Fax) (414)437-4576 (Fax) TMcGill@rocketmail.com DaveGB@DCT.com Thanks, Tim McGill *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 18 Dec 1997 11:02:51 -0500 From: Sim Aberson Subject: Re: paka and guam Charles Edwards wrote: >Palm trees are very strong and flexible. They can handle hurricane force >winds easily. However I did see a palm tree in Gulf Shores that was snapped >off about half way up from minimal Hurricane Danny. The 236MPH wind gust was >an isolated event. The winds in a hurricane vary quite a bit depending where >you are. Indeed palms are very flexible, and can withstand very strong winds. When palms snap in the middle as with the one you saw in Hurricane Danny, the likelihood is that the damage was due to flying debris, not wind. Scott Lindstrom wrote: >The hospital said that low barometric pressure induced 9 women to give birth. >The resurrection of another urban legend. This is not an urban legend. Women more than 7 months into pregnancy are urged to go to a hospital when a hurricane warning is put in place. A huge number of babies were born in Miami on August 23, 1992, and very few for the next week or so. Also, there are a large number of people who were born in South Florida on September 18, 1926. Low pressure does tend to induce birth. [The wife of a co-worker at the Hurricane Research Division in Miami gave birth early during Hurricane Andrew.] Sim Aberson AOML/Hurricane Research Division ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 18 Dec 1997 14:08:35 CST From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: paka and guam > [snipped info about palm trees...thanks!] > Scott Lindstrom wrote: > > >The hospital said that low barometric pressure induced 9 women to give birth. > >The resurrection of another urban legend. > > This is not an urban legend. Women more than 7 months into pregnancy > are urged to go to a hospital when a hurricane warning is put in place. > A huge number of babies were born in Miami on August 23, 1992, and > very few for the next week or so. Also, there are a large number of > people who were born in South Florida on September 18, 1926. Low pressure > does tend to induce birth. [The wife of a co-worker at the Hurricane > Research Division in Miami gave birth early during Hurricane Andrew.] > I would say that low pressure is correlated with birth rates. I see no causation. I can imagine various scenario in which a hurricane would increase birth rates -- for example, those pregnant might become dehydrated because they are distracted and they don't think to drink, and the dehydration might cause the onset of contractions, or adrenalin might cause contractions...but low pressure? Never read anything that convinced me (including your co-worker's wife's story :)) ). I don't imagine the pressure inside your body is much different from atmospheric pressure. Scott, born under high pressure. -- Scott S. Lindstrom | The only other sound's scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | the sweep of easy http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | wind and downy flake ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 18 Dec 1997 18:14:41 GMT From: Jonathan Blaes Subject: Freezing Level and RADAT Data? I'm looking to see if anyone is aware of a site that that contains Freezing Level or RADAT data. I've looked high and low but I cannot find this information. Any help would be appreciated. Thanks - Jonathan jlblaes@albany.net ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 18 Dec 1997 18:29:15 GMT From: Bill Ricker Subject: Re: Internet Source for Hourly METAR Reports/Archive ???? Source for METAR Obs Texas A&M U: http://www.met.tamu.edu:80/personnel/students/weather/weather_interface.html has METAR, raw and decoded, as well as other Obs, Model MOS, NWS forecast products, WW's; all retrievable by station or state, and time range upto 48 hours (default to latest). They also have an automatic WW graphic system that seems to catch cancels better than some of the others (sometimes) http://www.met.tamu.edu/personnel/students/weather/warning.html? You can probably find older archives somewhere in NOAA.gov, but I haven't looked. -- Bill Ricker N1VUX wdr@world.std.com "The freedom of the press belongs http://world.std.com/~wdr to those who own one."--A.J.Liebling ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 18 Dec 1997 22:37:20 -0500 From: InterMet Subject: New articles needed for InterMet I am preparing the next few issues of InterMet and I need some articles for publication. If you have written a case study or a technical report about any topic related to operational meteorology, please do not hesitate to send it to InterMet. Students are more than welcomed to send their term papers, projects etc. The next issue is expected to come out in February 1998. Your contributions will benefit all the meteorology community. Hope to hear from some of you, Bernard Miville _______________________________________ InterMet International Meteorology Magazine http://www.magma.ca/~intermet/ intermet@magma.ca ________________________________________ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 17 Dec 1997 to 18 Dec 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Dec 22 14:17:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:2195 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626490-20896>; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 14:07:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA55688; Sat, 20 Dec 1997 00:04:24 -0600 Message-Id: <199712200604.AAA55688@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Dec 1997 00:00:02 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 18 Dec 1997 to 19 Dec 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 80e5eb038a9f27e0c9bb6764040751e1 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 14 messages totalling 503 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. TV Met Job Available (Traverse City, MI) 2. Tr: Decoding precipitation amounts on US surface .reports (4) 3. Low atmospheric pressure and births (2) 4. PGUA Peak Winds (2) 5. Low pressure induces birth 6. ASOS Commissioning Notice 7. Golden Anniversary of Tornado Forecasting Merchandise 8. WX-TALK Digest - 17 Dec 1997 to 18 Dec 1997 9. Holiday Greetings! +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 19 Dec 1997 08:43:18 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available (Traverse City, MI) WEEKEND METEOROLOGIST/PHOTOGRAPHER (WPBN-TV) Can you handle rapidly-changing Great Lakes weather with accuracy, immediacy and style? We need a versatile forecaster with personality for our weekend newscasts. Toys include newly-upgraded WSI Weather Producer with Show-fx and all the bells & whistles. During the week, you'll shoot with our new DVCPRO digital gear when you're not filling in for one of the weekday meteorologists. Meteorology degree preferred. Rush VHS tape & resume to Joe Kirik, News Director, WPBN- TV, 8518 M-72 West, Traverse City, MI 49684. EOE. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 19 Dec 1997 09:13:34 -0500 From: FRITZ NIVOSE Subject: Tr: Decoding precipitation amounts on US surface .reports ---------- > . > > Objet : Decoding precipitation amounts on US surface .reports > > Date : 18 décembre, 1997 12:22 > > > > Can anyone help? > > > > I am a Canadian meteorologist and would like to know how to decode > > precipitation amounts on American metar reports. I know that for example > > PCPN 0005 means 5 hundreths of an inch. But how do i get the total > amount. > > for a particular station? Do I keep adding them up or do I add up the > > amounts on every synoptic hour.? Also where can I obtain general > > information on how to decode US surface observations in general? > > > > Thanks in advance for the info. > > Fritz R Nivose > ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 19 Dec 1997 09:30:10 -0600 From: Ken Poore Subject: Low atmospheric pressure and births I would have to say that there are some physics behind increased birth rates and low pressure systems. Now I'm not a physicist, but I do remember some things from high school physics....For instance, our bodies are 'held together' and designed and adapted to normal atmospheric pressure. If our bodies are subjected to a sudden change to low pressure, such as being placed in a vacuum, we could only survive for a few minutes (at best) before our bodies would begin to expand, and major membranous sacs inside our body would rupture; this is because of the difference in pressure between the inside and outside of our body. We'd have a better chance of surviving in extreme low pressure if we gradually made the transition, allowing our bodies to equalize its inside pressure with the atmospheric pressure. Similar things apply to high pressure transitions (I suppose). Once a pregnant women is well into her third trimester, it (usually) doesn't take much for her to begin the birthing process. The womb is one (huge) membranous sac, just waiting for the chance to burst forth its contents. Any small environmental change, including the normally imperceptible changes in atmospheric pressure, can cause the womb to expand beyond its limits and burst. Even though the change in atmospheric pressure is relatively gradual, in populated areas, at any given moment, there is a statistically significant number of pregnant women who are 'on the edge' and need just that small pressure imbalance to cause the womb open up. This may also be one reason why most airlines will not allow women that are into their third trimester to board. Ken ______________________________ Ken Poore Harvest, Alabama ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 19 Dec 1997 09:33:48 -0600 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: Tr: Decoding precipitation amounts on US surface .reports Fritz, Metar code is not American... it is a WMO thing. Supposedly, that means most countries will adopt it someday. I look forward to the day when you Canadians jump on board completely. We use your observations to some extent, but the lack of additive data such as precip amounts that conforms to the metar coding standards limits its use. Our decoding software has trouble with the format of what little Canadian additive data is reported. Hope you can fully convert to metar coding soon! Here's the scoop on precip. All amounts are in hundreths of an inch and are reported in the RMK section of the ob. Prrrr = Hourly precip amount 6rrrr = 3 or 6 hr precip total. 6hr at 00,06,12,18Z times. Others are 3hr. 7rrrr = 24 hour precip total. Generally reported at 12Z. Hope this helps! ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President - Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 19 Dec 1997 09:25:05 -0600 From: George Frederick Subject: PGUA Peak Winds I believe the FMQ-13 at Anderson AFB Guam is a hot wire anemometer. The Air Force has a number of these installed at bases around the world. The appeal of the instrument is no moving parts to blow away in high winds (of course the instrument itself could blow away but it has a relatively low profile). The real question here is what does the calibration curve show for winds of 200+ knots magnitude. Does the instrument respond well to changes in that range, what are the recovery and repeatability rates, etc, etc? Since the Air Force probably has the largest network of these instruments and has several years of experience, they are probably in the best postition to comment on these questions. Does anyone know what type of anemometer was on Mt. Washington when the record wind there was recorded? What process was used to validate it? Cheers, George ------ |~~~~\ /~\ |~~~~\ |~| /~\ |~\_|~||~~~~~| George Frederick, Sr Stf Scientist | -- / / _ \ | [O] || | / _ \ | \ \ || | George_Frederick@radian.com |_||_\/_| |_\|____/ |_|/_| |_\|_|\__|| | 15508 Bratton Ln, Austin, TX 78728 -------------------------------------| LLC | (512) 244-0100, Fax (512) 388-0966 I N T E R N A T I O N A L|_____| Direct Dial (512) 310-4216 ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 19 Dec 1997 10:23:07 CST From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: Low atmospheric pressure and births > > I would have to say that there are some physics behind increased birth rates > and low pressure systems. Now I'm not a physicist, but I do remember some > things from high school physics....For instance, our bodies are 'held > together' and designed and adapted to normal atmospheric pressure. If our > bodies are subjected to a sudden change to low pressure, such as being > placed in a vacuum, we could only survive for a few minutes (at best) before > our bodies would begin to expand, and major membranous sacs inside our body > would rupture; this is because of the difference in pressure between the > inside and outside of our body. We'd have a better chance of surviving in > extreme low pressure if we gradually made the transition, allowing our > bodies to equalize its inside pressure with the atmospheric pressure. > Similar things apply to high pressure transitions (I suppose). > > Once a pregnant women is well into her third trimester, it (usually) doesn't > take much for her to begin the birthing process. The womb is one (huge) > membranous sac, just waiting for the chance to burst forth its contents. > Any small environmental change, including the normally imperceptible changes > in atmospheric pressure, can cause the womb to expand beyond its limits and > burst. Even though the change in atmospheric pressure is relatively > gradual, in populated areas, at any given moment, there is a statistically > significant number of pregnant women who are 'on the edge' and need just > that small pressure imbalance to cause the womb open up. > The problem I have with your post (well, one of them) is that the membranes in your body are not isolated from the environment. Why do you suppose that as the pressure drops outside of your body, it does not also instantaneously drop inside your body as well? Do people's eyeballs bulge out in a hurricane? No. (Well, not because of pressure inside the eyeball, that is :) ) This whole thread started because I posted something about the Guam governor saying low pressure induced birth. I have read nothing (beyond pseudoscience) that induces me to believe it. If someone could point me towards something scientific, I'd be glad to read it. It seems entirely plausible to me that low pressure could be correlated with birth rates. But I have not yet seen a good argument for *causation*. Scott -- Scott S. Lindstrom | The only other sound's scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | the sweep of easy http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | wind and downy flake ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 19 Dec 1997 09:47:42 -0800 From: Frank Gouveia Subject: Re: Low pressure induces birth > >The hospital said that low barometric pressure induced 9 women to give birth. > >The resurrection of another urban legend. > > This is not an urban legend. >Low pressure > does tend to induce birth. [The wife of a co-worker at the Hurricane > Research Division in Miami gave birth early during Hurricane Andrew.] > If this is true you should warn all expectant mothers to avoid drives to the mountians. An elevation change of a thousand feet or so goes with a relatively hugh pressure drop. Frank ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 19 Dec 1997 17:46:19 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: PGUA Peak Winds > comment on these questions. Does anyone know what type of anemometer > was on Mt. Washington when the record wind there was recorded? What > process was used to validate it? >From The Mount Washington Observatory at http://www.mountwashington.org/MtW_windrecord.HTM "The anemometer used on Mount Washington in 1934, known as the Number 2 Heated Anemometer, was tested in 1933 in two National Bureau of Standards wind tunnels, creating a calibration curve that allowed the Observers to calculate the wind speed immediately. After the record wind of April 1934, the anemometer was retested, to determine if there had been any change in the performance of the instrument since the earlier tests. The second tests indicated that the rotor was turning slightly slower (generally less than 3%) than in the first set of tests. This means that if past records were corrected on the basis of the second tests, the true wind velocities computed for the record would be somewhat higher than preciously claimed. It was recommended by the U.S. Weather Bureau that it would be both conservative and best for future observations to be calculated from the original calibration data. " -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS VISIT Program CIMSS | University of Wisconsin-Madison asb@ty.ssec.wisc.edu | www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 19 Dec 1997 13:24:42 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following sites became commissioned ASOS sites on 18 December 1997. FRIDAY HARBOR AIRPORT (KFHR) FRIDAY HARBOR... WA GRAND FORKS INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT (KGFK) GRAND FORKS... ND Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 19 Dec 1997 13:39:40 -0600 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: Golden Anniversary of Tornado Forecasting Merchandise NOTE: I am posting this for Bill Conway. Send all inquiries to him. His address is included in his .sig below. ****************************************************************** Announcing commemorative items in honor of the 50th Anniversary of the first successful tornado forecast ****************************************************************** The first successful tornado forecast was produced by Air Force Cptn Robert C. Miller and Maj Ernest J. Fawbush on March 25, 1948 from Tinker AFB, OK. To celebrate this event a Golden Anniversary celebration is slated for the week of March 23, 1998. This will include Weather Center open house events, symposiums, and ceremonies at Tinker. In addition, the Central Oklahoma Chapter of the AMS and the National Weather Association are offering T-shirts designed with a version of the 50th Anniversary logo. Information on the celebration may be found at : http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/GoldenAnniversary/ Information on ordering merchandise can be found through a link at that address or going directly to http://weather.cod.edu/fifty/gaclothing.html Enjoy! Bill Conway ****************************************************************************** Bill Conway National Severe Storms Laboratory (405) 366-0461 Research Meteorologist 1313 Halley Circle (405) 366-0400 (fax) Norman, OK 73069 "The greatest storm chasing adventure possible may exist under the Great Red Spot of Jupiter." Daniel Conway, 1996 conway@rossby.metr.ou.edu ****************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 19 Dec 1997 13:50:21 -0700 From: "Ricketts,Steve [Edm]" Subject: Re: Tr: Decoding precipitation amounts on US surface .reports I am not an expert on the subject, but as far as I know, we Canucks *are* following standard WMO codes except that we have filed for some exceptions for additional data groups. (The METAR code is quite limited in some aspects). Full info on the Canadian METAR format is available at http://www.tor.ec.gc.ca/awpm/metar/methom.htm and there are people who you can call for more clarification. You should, methinks be able to come with a decoding scheme so as to access the data. Note that we are moving more toward sending data in BUFR format; i.e. in raw form. We create METARs (and SAs) from this data, and any other format we so wish to view the data in. When you think of it, exchanging met data using SA or METAR format is quite outmoded. ..steve My opinions only... may not represent those of my employer. +---------------------------------------------------------------------+ | Steve Ricketts | | Manager, Northern Alberta and Arctic Weather Centres | | Environment Canada's Prairie and Northern Region, Edmonton, AB | | Phone (403)951-8788 FAX 495-2615 e-mail: Steve.Ricketts@ec.gc.ca | +---------------------------------------------------------------------+ >---------- >From: Steve Adams[SMTP:sadams@AWIS.COM] >Sent: December 19, 1997 8:33 AM >To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK >Subject: Re: Tr: Decoding precipitation amounts on US surface .reports > >Fritz, > >Metar code is not American... it is a WMO thing. Supposedly, that means >most countries will adopt it someday. I look forward to the day when >you Canadians jump on board completely. We use your observations to >some extent, but the lack of additive data such as precip amounts that >conforms to the metar coding standards limits its use. Our decoding >software has trouble with the format of what little Canadian additive >data is reported. Hope you can fully convert to metar coding soon! > >Here's the scoop on precip. All amounts are in hundreths of an inch >and are reported in the RMK section of the ob. > >Prrrr = Hourly precip amount >6rrrr = 3 or 6 hr precip total. 6hr at 00,06,12,18Z times. Others are 3hr. >7rrrr = 24 hour precip total. Generally reported at 12Z. > >Hope this helps! > >---------------------------------------------------------------- >Stephen D. Adams >Vice President - Research and Development >Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. >ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com > (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com >---------------------------------------------------------------- > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 19 Dec 1997 16:55:27 -0600 From: Daniel Dix Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 17 Dec 1997 to 18 Dec 1997 > > Scott Lindstrom wrote: > > > > >The hospital said that low barometric pressure induced 9 women to give birth. > > >The resurrection of another urban legend. > > > > This is not an urban legend. Women more than 7 months into pregnancy > > are urged to go to a hospital when a hurricane warning is put in place. > > A huge number of babies were born in Miami on August 23, 1992, and > > very few for the next week or so. Also, there are a large number of > > people who were born in South Florida on September 18, 1926. Low pressure > > does tend to induce birth. [The wife of a co-worker at the Hurricane > > Research Division in Miami gave birth early during Hurricane Andrew.] > > > > I would say that low pressure is correlated with birth rates. I see no > causation. I can imagine various scenario in which a hurricane would increase > birth rates -- for example, those pregnant might become dehydrated because > they are distracted and they don't think to drink, and the dehydration might > cause the onset of contractions, or adrenalin might cause contractions...but > low pressure? Never read anything that convinced me (including your co-worker's > wife's story :)) ). I don't imagine the pressure inside your body is much > different from atmospheric pressure. > > Scott, born under high pressure. > -- > Scott S. Lindstrom | The only other sound's > scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | the sweep of easy > http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | wind and downy flake Though I have never done detailed research (no grant money) on this topic I will say from experience that low pressure wx systems DO induce labor. I had one son born in Nov. and it snowed that night and the other in June and we had t-storms later that day --- both times my wife was overdue w/no labor pains up until the day of delivery. And needless to say, we were lucky to get into a birthing room as they were full but not the day before or after as I checked. I know of several people who had the same experience. Some things you just can't explain....Mother Nature continues to fool us all. Daniel Dix dixdr@southwind.net ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 19 Dec 1997 17:21:43 -0600 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: Tr: Decoding precipitation amounts on US surface .reports Steve, Thanks for the link info. I checked it out and learned a lot! I had not realized that the RMK section coding was country specific and, in fact, is stripped out in most cases when the ob is transmitted internationally. Canada and the USA keep their respective RMK sections when transmitting to each other, but the RMK coding is different for each country. This means decoding software must know the RMK conventions for both countries, depending on the station id (Cxxx vs. Kxxx). Ours does not. :-( Fritz, if you go to the link Steve gave (http://www.tor.ec.gc.ca/awpm/metar/methom.htm) you can follow links from there to get USA metar info. Thanks again Steve! ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President - Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 19 Dec 1997 19:49:18 -0800 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: Holiday Greetings! Best Wishes and a Very Merry Christmas to all! ************************************************************************* 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF, Guardian of the Atmosphere - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA Milwaukee Area Skywarn Assoc. (MASA)/Milwaukee-Waukesha Amateur Radio Emergency Service (A.R.E.S.)/Illinois Multi-County Warning System Visit "SHELTER FROM THE STORM!" my severe weather and SKYWARN home page! SFTS! http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 18 Dec 1997 to 19 Dec 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Dec 22 14:17:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4828 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627068-2521>; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 14:11:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAB48108; Sun, 21 Dec 1997 00:05:55 -0600 Message-Id: <199712210605.AAB48108@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Dec 1997 00:01:14 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 19 Dec 1997 to 20 Dec 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: b67017d4e0123e42220883368eca9118 Status: RO X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 9 messages totalling 415 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Gene Rhoden's homepage 2. Spotter Tapes 3. Canadians and METAR Code (2) 4. FWD: SPC Outlook changes 5. PGUA Peak Winds 6. Low atmospheric pressure and births 7. pcgrids program 8. Typhoon Paka & Record Winds on Guam +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 20 Dec 1997 06:51:59 -0600 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Gene Rhoden's homepage If you haven't looked at Gene's page lately, you should! He now has THE BEST set of lightning images found on the web. Here's the URL to his Storm Images page: http://www.why.net/users/grhoden/storm.htm His use of the Norman radomes in the foreground of several images is especially nice. Sam Barricklow Check this URL for more lightning pages: http://www.pulse.net/storm/litelink.htm ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 20 Dec 1997 06:55:33 -0600 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Spotter Tapes The two best STORM SPOTTER training videos available today are: StormWatch (the award winning TESSA/NWS SKYWARN training video) and StormWatcher (by Storm Chaser Gene Rhoden). StormWatch - $20.00 U.S. ppd StormWatcher - $30.00 U.S. ppd Or as a set for $45.00 U.S. ppd Storm spotters and chasers (I know these activities are different, but some of us do both) were heavily involved in the creation of both tapes. They are both full of spotter terminology and visual examples. Anyone wishing to purchase either one or both of these excellent training tapes, please make your check or money order payable to Sam Barricklow and mail it to: The Storm Shop P.O. Box 473092 Garland, TX 75047-3092 Purchase orders are accepted from government agencies. Go to http://www.pulse.net/storm/video.htm for information on storm chase tapes. Or you can access my recently updated homepage with "frames" at: http://www.pulse.net/storm/index.htm I hope the frame version makes navigating the site easier. At last count, there are 82 html pages with over 600 images of storms, tornadoes, lightning, etc. I purchased a slide scanner recently and plan to upgrade the quality and quantity of the images from slides when time permits. A non-frame version of my home page can be found at: http://www.stormchaser.net/k5kj/index.htm 73, Sam Barricklow K5KJ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 20 Dec 1997 06:59:21 +0000 From: "H. MICHAEL MOGIL" Subject: Canadians and METAR Code On Fri, 19 Dec 1997 09:33:48 -0600 From: Steve Adams wrote concerning Tr: Decoding precipitation amounts on US surface reports ".....Metar code is not American... it is a WMO thing. Supposedly, that means most countries will adopt it someday. I look forward to the day when you Canadians jump on board completely. We use your observations to some extent, but the lack of additive data such as precip amounts that conforms to the metar coding standards limits its use. Our decoding software has trouble with the format of what little Canadian additive data is reported. Hope you can fully convert to metar coding soon!...." I'm sure the Canadians (and the rest of the world) can't wait for us Americans to convert to the metric system in our everyday business affairs. Maybe we could swing a compromise on both!!!! Mike -- Mike Mogil weather educator HOW THE WEATHERWORKS 1522 Baylor Avenue Rockville, MD 20850 301-762-SNOW or 301-251-0242 hmmogil@weatherworks.com http://www.weatherworks.com ****** ****** ****** ****** Perhaps the best way to learn ... is to do. ****** ****** ****** ****** ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 20 Dec 1997 08:53:00 -0600 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: Canadians and METAR Code >From hmmogil@weatherworks.com Sat Dec 20 08:22:23 1997 > >I'm sure the Canadians (and the rest of the world) can't wait for us >Americans to convert to the metric system in our everyday business >affairs. Maybe we could swing a compromise on both!!!! > Well said Mike! I agree! It's unfortunate that there is so much resistance to the metric system here. Tell you what. I'll use the metric system in all my posts if the Canadians will use the same coding as the USA in their metar RMK section. How's that for a great compromise! :-) Merry Christmas to all! ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President - Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 20 Dec 1997 10:05:28 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: FWD: SPC Outlook changes From: Robert Johns Subject: New CAPE and LI acronyms used at SPC Beginning on Monday, December 22, the SPC will begin using nomenclature for CAPE and LI values that designates what parcel is being used in the calculation. The reason for using this new nomenclature is to make it clear what parcel is used in arriving at values described in discussions. There are several different ways that CAPE and LI values are calculated operationally, and the choice of parcel contributes to one of the largest variations in resultant values. In extreme cases, the values calculated on an observed sounding can vary by nearly 40% (e.g., the difference between using the most unstable parcel and the 100 mb AGL mean layer parcel). The new acronyms are currently listed and defined on the SPC home page at: http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/~spc/products/acronyms.html They appear as subheadings under the terms "CAPE" and "LI". The following additional information regards the detail of how these acronyms will be employed. This information will be included shortly as an addition to the acronym page on the web. ..................................................................... The new acronyms for "CAPE" and "LI" values used in SPC discussions include: 1. For Surface Based lifted parcels....SBCAPE and SBLI. 2. For Most Unstable lifted parcels....MUCAPE and MULI. 3. For Mean Layer lifted parcels....MLCAPE and MLLI. (lowest 100 mb layer AGL) 4. For parcels (that are different from the above) used in operational model forecast gridded fields, CAPE or LI will be preceded by the acronym of the model being used.....ETA CAPE, ETA LI, RUC CAPE, RUC LI, etc. ........................................................................ Note the first three parcel types will be used on diagnostic data as well as with model forecast data in SPC interactive systems. Concerning the use of model forecast data and the parcels listed in 1 through 3: 5. For current instability values derived using real-time surface based parcels and static or model forecast data above the surface (e.g., VDUC derived fields and SHARP model soundings valid at the current time and adjusted for current surface data)........SBCAPE and SBLI will be used without any modifiers. 6. For forecast instability values using model soundings without any modifications the nomenclature in 1 through 3 will be used preceded by the model acronym.....for example, ETA SBCAPE, ETA SBLI, ETA MLCAPE, RUC SBLI, MESOETA MUCAPE. 7. For forecast instability values using model soundings that are adjusted for expected (subjectively forecast) surface conditions, the nomenclature in 6 will be used, but any adjustments made will be mentioned in the text of the discussion. The above usage procedures should cover most cases. However, if an SPC forecaster wishes to use a different parcel method for assessing instability in a particular situation (700 mb parcel for example), this information will be spelled out specifically in the text of the discussion (e.g. ..."LI using a 700 mb parcel"). Further, for all LI values, 500 MB will be considered the level of comparison by default. If for some reason an SPC forecaster decides to use a different level (say, 300 mb), that information will be spelled out in the text of the discussion. ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 20 Dec 1997 11:09:30 -0500 From: Marsha Rich Subject: PGUA Peak Winds For further information on the FMQ-13 hot wire anemometer such as that used at Anderson AFB, please refer to: http://www-afsc.saia.af.mil/magazine/htdocs/marmag97/mar2005.htm This and other information about the possible new windspeed record can be found on the Mount Washington Observatory home page at: http://www.mountwashington.org/MtW_windrecord.HTM - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Marsha Rich, Mt. Washington Observatory m.rich@mountwashington.org ***Visit the Obs on the WWW*** at http://www.mountwashington.org - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 20 Dec 1997 13:50:57 -0500 From: Larry Subject: Re: Low atmospheric pressure and births Ken Poore wrote: > I would have to say that there are some physics behind increased birth > rates and low pressure systems. ... > burst. Even though the change in atmospheric pressure is relatively > gradual, in populated areas, at any given moment, there is a > statistically significant number of pregnant women who are 'on the > edge' and need just that small pressure imbalance to cause the womb > open up. Anyone run this theory by Sharon Resultan? Larry ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 20 Dec 1997 21:09:28 -0800 From: Chris Sells Subject: pcgrids program Good evening to all: I downloaded the pcgrids program last night, and was wondering if the data that it looks at would be displayed in a graphical or textual/numeric display? The reason I'm asking this, is because, I'm totally blind or visually impared or which ever is politically correct. I'm wanting to be able to see the ruc data. If this program doesn't display the data in text does anyone know where on the internet a numeric or synopsis output of the ruc model can be obtained. And if this program does display the models in text form, where's the best place to obtain the most current data. Thanks for your help. Chris Sells AMATEUR RADIO OPERATOR CALLSIGN AC4CS ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 20 Dec 1997 21:08:24 -0500 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: Typhoon Paka & Record Winds on Guam While there is some debate on the record wind gust at Andersen AFB on Guam, I thought I would pass along some literature and some of my own thoughts that may support the extreme winds. Ted Fujita did a damage survey of Hurricane Iniki on Kauai. The complete report can be found in the September 1992 issue of Storm Data, published by the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC). In the concluding remarks, he notes two important items. Hurricane-topography interactions "Unlike over-water hurricanes, the Iniki eyewall, along with embedded convective towers, weakened and collapsed very rapidly within only one hour while crossing the central mountains of Kauai. At least 26 small but intense microbursts have been confirmed. It is likely that the number will increase when more researchers investigate the local damage photographed after the storm. We should understand the structure of sub-hurricane-scale wind systems induced by hurricane- topography interactions" Granted, Guam is not nearly as mountainous of Kauai, but it is by no means flat. There are some peaks exceeding 1000 feet. Only the southern portion of the eyewall was over the island, but nevertheless the eyewall would still feel friction. Some convective towers within the eyewall may have collapsed, resulting in extreme gusts in the form of microbursts and/or downbursts. Damage-causing wind vs. sustained wind "The wind speed ratio (peak gust/sustained wind) in hurricanes under the influence of topography could be much larger and variable than that of over-water hurricanes. When the peak wind is caused by a specific wind system, such as microburst, mini-swirl, and others, the ratio (peak gust/sustained wind) could exceed 150 % or even 200 %." The 0631z PGUA Metar lists sustain wind of 84 knots with the 205 knot gusts (the sustained wind may be in question). Others Metars listed sustained 96, gust 173 (0626z), sustained 89, gust 161 (0655z), and sustained 90, gust 140 (0755z). The 0631z Metar exceeds the 200 % ratio, but again, the sustain wind may be off, and 200 % may not be the upper limit. The other Metars fit the 150-200 % range quite well. Another item to consider: Typhoon Paka was intensifying as it struck Guam. The 160300z advisory from PGTW noted Paka had weakened from 135 knots to 120 knots from 2100 to 0300z. The center was 75 nm east of Guam at the time. WSR-88D imagery from around 2330z showed some dry air around the eastern part of the eyewall. By 0441z, the main (outer) eyewall had become much better defined, and the dry slot was gone. By 0638z, 7 minutes after the reported 205 knot gust, the main eyewall looked even stronger. The southwest part of the eyewall looked the strongest, and had the highest DBz returns. These high DBz returns looked like they had just passed over Andersen AFB. The 160900z advisory from PGTW increased the sustained winds to 125 knots, and noted peak WSR-88D winds as high as 134 knots. As so dramatically demonstrated with Hurricane Andrew, an intensifying hurricane at landfall can be much worse, especially with extreme gusts, than a hurricane sustaining itself or weakening with the same intensity. In an intensifying hurricane, the convection in the eyewall is strengthening, increasing the potential power of the downdrafts/downbursts/microbursts, which could briefly transport some of the extreme wind speeds found at 1000-2000 feet to the surface. (I am by no means and expert on these matters. If my reasoning seems flawed, please let me know). I also found the fact that such extreme winds were found in the southern part of the eyewall. Usually, one would expect to find such winds in the northern part of the eyewall (although we don't know how strong the winds were in the north eyewall with Paka, but radar suggested that the southern half was stronger). I find this interesting, since I came across a similar case during Hurricane Celia that struck Corpus Christi, TX on August 3, 1970. Ted Fujita did a survey of the damage around the city, and found some of the worst damage swaths from winds that came predominately from the west-southwest as the eye passed just north of the city. Peak wind gusts were in the 120-140 knot range. Fujita traced this back to a downburst from the eyewall which had moved inland, and redeveloped into a thunderstorm complex to the southwest of the city. Comparing Typhoon Paka to Typhoon Omar The final numbers aren't in yet for Paka, but here is some info from the previous devastating typhoon, Omar (8/28/92). Omar's eye cut squarely across the center of Guam with sustained winds around 125 mph. Omar was undergoing rapid intensification as it made landfall. The eye passed right over Agana NAS (PGUM) which recorded a low pressure of 932 mb and gusts to 170 mph. Andersen AFB recorded sustained winds of 104 mph with a peak gust to 150 mph, and was deluged with 16.41 inches of rain. A storm surge of up to 10 feet occurred on the north side of the island. One person was killed, 132 were injured, over 4000 homes were damaged or destroyed, and total damage was 487 million dollars. Comments welcome... Boris A. Konon WSI Meteorological Operations ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 19 Dec 1997 to 20 Dec 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Dec 22 14:17:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3376 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627788-14538>; Mon, 22 Dec 1997 14:09:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA31906; Mon, 22 Dec 1997 00:05:54 -0600 Message-Id: <199712220605.AAA31906@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Dec 1997 00:00:21 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 20 Dec 1997 to 21 Dec 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 96e802f36af2bd4c9d784c8d7c1173e8 Status: U X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 3 messages totalling 103 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Wanted: Weathermation software 2. Tr: Decoding precipitation amounts on US surface .reports (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 21 Dec 1997 07:18:53 -0005 From: pmarkham Subject: Wanted: Weathermation software I am looking for alternative freeware or shareware to Pan Am Systems software for viewing Weathermation maps and charts. Web urls associated with such software would be appreciated. Please respond by private e mail. Fred The meek will not inherit the Earth. ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 21 Dec 1997 16:08:11 -0600 From: Gene Nygaard Subject: Re: Tr: Decoding precipitation amounts on US surface .reports Steve Adams wrote: >Fritz, > >Metar code is not American... it is a WMO thing. Supposedly, that means >most countries will adopt it someday. I look forward to the day when >you Canadians jump on board completely. We use your observations to >some extent, but the lack of additive data such as precip amounts that >conforms to the metar coding standards limits its use. Our decoding >software has trouble with the format of what little Canadian additive >data is reported. Hope you can fully convert to metar coding soon! > You've got to be kidding. The part about "looking forward to the day when you Canadians jump on board completely" is really strange. The part after the RMK doesn't seem to be governed at all by the METAR standards. The only way the American and the Canadian reports differ is what comes before the remarks is that for most American stations the temperatures and dew points will be incorrect 2 times out of 15, because these are not "determined to the nearest tenth of a degree Celsius" as FMH-1 mandates they shall be. The WMO (and ICAO which has its fingers in there also) must be pretty wimpy organizations. Apparently all any country has to do is claim that they have some national interest in doing things different, and they can deviate from the METAR standard. (Many countries deviate from the standard for wind speed, for example.) The U.S. and Canadian reports deviate from the METAR standard in more observations than they follow it. See http://ourworld.compuserve.com/homepages/Gene_Nygaard/usmetar.htm The really strange thing is that the Canadian METAR reports even differ from their public weather reports in many respects. For example, they along with the U.S. hang onto an anachronistic holdover from the days when air speed indicators were in statute miles per hour and charts were a whole number of statute miles per inch in using statute miles for visibility. All 150+ countries who used METAR before 1996 used meters for this (as the Canadians do in their public weather reports), so there was no need for any units indicator in the code. This is one thing which makes decoding North American METAR more difficult--another is that they screwed up the role of the space in these reports. It never used to be found in the middle of any observations, but rather as a separator between groups of observations. This was changed even though that role of the space was also sacrosanct in the previous U.S. and Canadian versions of the SAO reports, and no space was used in the visibilities. Gene Nygaard http://ourworld.compuserve.com/homepages/Gene_Nygaard/ ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 21 Dec 1997 16:14:21 -0600 From: Gene Nygaard Subject: Re: Tr: Decoding precipitation amounts on US surface .reports "Ricketts,Steve [Edm]" wrote: > >I am not an expert on the subject, but as far as I know, we Canucks >*are* following standard WMO codes except that we have filed for some >exceptions for additional data groups. (The METAR code is quite limited >in some aspects). > Statute miles are not the METAR standard for visibility. Knots are not the METAR standard for wind speed. Feet are not the METAR standard for runway visual range. Canada uses all of these deviations, and I think there are some other deviations as well. See my web page at http://ourworld.compuserve.com/homepages/Gene_Nygaard/usmetar.htm Gene Nygaard ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 20 Dec 1997 to 21 Dec 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Jan 5 14:23:33 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1913 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626050-27610>; Tue, 23 Dec 1997 14:21:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA51624; Tue, 23 Dec 1997 00:14:15 -0600 Message-Id: <199712230614.AAA51624@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Dec 1997 00:04:38 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 21 Dec 1997 to 22 Dec 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9c8d1ffcf3300e54c0e56e7d57c4ed42 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 10 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 7 messages totalling 328 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. help! 2. Low atmospheric pressure and births (2) 3. Low pressure induces birth (medical studies seem to agree) 4. DIFAX / AFOS charts online 5. Special Dropsondes? (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 22 Dec 1997 02:11:54 -0800 From: Chris Sells Subject: help! Did Radio Shack write the documentation for pcgridds? I'm wanting to ingest the nws data into the program. I've got the sample dataset that came with the programs. Could someone give me step-by-step instructions on how to do this? Or tell me where to look in the *.wri files. I've looked but have yet to find it. help! We've got thunderstorms this week and would like to forecast them before they reach the stateline haha. Chris Sells AMATEUR RADIO OPERATOR CALLSIGN AC4CS ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 22 Dec 1997 08:46:30 -0500 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Re: Low atmospheric pressure and births Hi Wx-talkers, Ken Poore wrote: > I would have to say that there are some physics behind increased birth > rates and low pressure systems. ... > burst. Even though the change in atmospheric pressure is relatively > gradual, in populated areas, at any given moment, there is a > statistically significant number of pregnant women who are 'on the > edge' and need just that small pressure imbalance to cause the womb > open up. Folks, you're forgetting about the fact that people's worry and stress levels go way up in an impending emergency, such as a landfalling hurricane. Imagine that you're an eight month-3 week pregnant woman and that a major hurricane is headed your way! One can certainly reason that the increase in *STRESS* just might contribute toward having more babies born during a hurricane (which i might add, has just been ancedotal evidence so far). As far as the pressure drop itself causing babies to be born, let's do a scale analysis. First assume that it's a strong hurricane, enough to produce a 50 mb drop in pressure over a large area. Then let's assume that it's a rapidly moving hurricane, such that all 50 mb difference in just 5 hours. Given that 1 mb of pressure reduction can be attained by going up in altitude 10 m (~33 ft), this 50 mb drop in pressure is the same as going up 500 m (1,650 ft) - which is a substantial height. But this is done over 5 HOURS, not instantaneously. The pressure drop in a strong hurricane is thus equivalent to walking up one half of a flight of stairs (6 ft up) in a minute, for 5 hours. This - to me - does not seem drastic enough to induce birth, though i'm certainly not a medical doctor. (Any doctors in the house?) Thus, IF there is a link between more babies than usual being born during hurricanes (and again, no one has provided any numbers yet), then i would speculate that it's the acute stress brought on by knowing about the impending disaster, than the relative minor component of pressure drop. Best regards and Happy Holidays, Chris ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** David Letterman's Top Ten Rejected Names for El Nino (11/11/97) 10. Senior Stormy 9. Gee, Your Monsoon Smells Terrific 8. The Devil's Wet Hacking Cough 7. Starbucks' New Storm-uccino 6. Windy Pete, the South American Treat 5. Al Roker's Meal Ticket 4. The Atmospheric Salad Shooter 3. Stormy Spice 2. "Weird El" Ninovic 1. Weathergate ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 22 Dec 1997 09:11:29 -0600 From: Ken Poore Subject: Re: Low pressure induces birth (medical studies seem to agree) Comments and study abstracts below. On Friday, Frank Gouveia wrote Subject: Re: Low pressure induces birth >> >The hospital said that low barometric pressure induced 9 women to give >birth. >> >The resurrection of another urban legend. >> >> This is not an urban legend. > >>Low pressure >> does tend to induce birth. [The wife of a co-worker at the Hurricane >> Research Division in Miami gave birth early during Hurricane Andrew.] >> >If this is true you should warn all expectant mothers to avoid drives to >the mountians. An elevation change of a thousand feet or so goes with a >relatively hugh pressure drop. Probably a good idea to warn them... >Frank Daniel Dix wrote: >Though I have never done detailed research (no grant money) on this >topic I will say from experience that low pressure wx systems DO induce >labor. I had one son born in Nov. and it snowed that night and the other >in June and we had t-storms later that day --- both times my wife was >overdue w/no labor pains up until the day of delivery. And needless to >say, we were lucky to get into a birthing room as they were full but not >the day before or after as I checked. I know of several people who had >the same experience. Some things you just can't explain....Mother Nature >continues to fool us all. >Daniel Dix >dixdr@southwind.net Since my first post, I did some research and found abstracts of these studies that seem to concur with my (and Daniel's and others') hypothesis: J Nurse Midwifery 1997 Jan;42(1):32-34 Association between significant decrease in barometric pressure and onset of labor. King EA, Fleschler RG, Cohen SM To determine whether there is any correlation between sudden decrease in barometric pressure and onset of labor, a non-experimental, retrospective study at a 948-bed tertiary care hospital was done. Pregnant patients of 36 weeks gestation or more who presented with spontaneous onset of labor during the 48 hours surrounding the 12 occurrences of significant drop in barometric pressure in 1992 were included in the study. Significantly more occurrences of onset of labor were identified in the 24 hours after a drop in barometric pressure than were identified in the 24 hours prior to the drop in barometric pressure (P < 0.05). Therefore, the overall number of labor onsets increased in the 24 hours following a significant drop in barometric pressure. PMID: 9037933, UI: 97189831 J Reprod Med 1985 Mar;30(3):189-191 Premature rupture of the membranes and barometric pressure changes. Polansky GH, Varner MW, O'Gorman T Barometric pressure changes are thought to possibly affect premature rupture of the membranes. One hundred nine patients with this obstetric complication lived within an area small enough to be subject to the same barometric pressure changes; onset of labor was used as a comparison point in 109 control patients. The two groups did not differ when demographic data were compared. There were no differences in other obstetric complications or neonatal outcome. There was a significant increase, however, in premature membrane rupture within three hours after a fall in barometric pressure. No such increase in the onset of labor was seen in the control group. PMID: 3999067, UI: 85210735 Orv Hetil 1990 Sep 9;131(36):1973-1978 [Weather front sensitivity as an influencing factor in the onset of labor]. [Article in Hungarian] Meszaros G, Herczeg J, Bartfai E, Boda K The connection between meteorological stimuli and the onset of labor was examined on the basis of the patients' front-sensitivity. Front-sensitivity was tested by a questionary containing 60 questions. Converse relation was observed between the degree of sensitivity and the gestational age. A sudden rise of onsets of labors could be shown during frontal changes, occurred after meteorologically quiet periods. During frontal changes the ratio of onsets of labors rose significantly among those patients who were sensitive tho the given front. This effect could be observed during a longer period of frontal influence. By the authors opinion also meteorological stimuli can be regarded as one of the factors, determining the actual date of onset of labor among front-sensitive women. Publication Types: Review Review, tutorial PMID: 2216421, UI: 91016389 {I don't know what 'Front-sensitivity' means - kp} Here's one that's not pregnancy related, but nonetheless shows a relationship between atmospheric pressure changes and the onset of a serious physiological condition. Am Rev Respir Dis 1989 Mar;139(3):659-662 The role of atmospheric pressure variation in the development of spontaneous pneumothoraces. Scott GC, Berger R, McKean HE It has been postulated that spontaneous pneumothoraces (SP) develop because of rupture of subpleural blebs, and that atmospheric pressure changes (delta AP) may be contributory. A 5-year retrospective analysis of SP admissions was carried out to determine if delta AP do play a role in SP development. Using a 36-yr record of hourly delta AP, a normative background for delta AP was constructed. A fall in AP below the fifth, or a rise above the ninety-fifth percentile during these time periods, was classed as "unusual." Atmospheric pressure changes in the 4 days prior to SP were analyzed. The expected frequency of SP occurring by chance, if no relationship to delta AP existed, was also calculated. A total of 192 cases of SP was analyzed. Traumatic pneumothoraces were excluded. The majority of cases (72%) had been exposed to at least one "unusual" delta AP in the 4 days prior to onset of symptoms. Among those with four or more "unusual" exposures, SP occurrence was significantly more frequent than expected by chance alone (p less than 10(-10]. A strong positive association between delta AP and SP was not found in all cases, as delta AP are unlikely to be the only causative factor for SP. This finding of a relationship with ambient pressure changes lends support to the theory that SP develop as a result of rupture of subpleural blebs. Published erratum appears in Am Rev Respir Dis 1989 Sep;140(3):862 PMID: 2923366, UI: 89165005 _________________________________________________ Ken Poore, Harvest, Alabama ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 22 Dec 1997 10:37:45 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: DIFAX / AFOS charts online http://www.ncep.noaa.gov/data/charts They have a large number of surface analysis / prog / QPF / extended forecast maps available. The maps come as standard JPG files, but more importantly with the free Softsource SVF plugin for IE / Netscape you can interactively pan & zoom in on the plotted information, getting more detail and more reports as you zoom in closer (similar to AFOS when it plots limited data on a national basic but increases data amount when you go to the local level.) Rob ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 22 Dec 1997 10:35:28 -0600 From: Charles Edwards Subject: Re: Low atmospheric pressure and births At 08:46 AM 12/22/97 -0500, Chris Landsea wrote: >The pressure drop in a strong hurricane is thus equivalent to walking >up one half of a flight of stairs (6 ft up) in a minute, for 5 hours. >This - to me - does not seem drastic enough to induce birth, though >i'm certainly not a medical doctor. (Any doctors in the house?) Well, The walking itself might induce something. I don't think I could keep up that rate for 6 hours. I asked My brother (A Parinatologist (High risk OB-GYN))to comment on this thread. He just rolled his eyes. Not even worth his comment. Charles Edwards cedwards@rossby.metr.ou.edu storms@pair.com http://www3.pair.com/storms ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 22 Dec 1997 14:50:11 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Special Dropsondes? Good to see additional data in the morning model runs... Was it related to the holiday forecast or was there a separate reasoning? ** NOUS42 KWBC 221639 *** SPECIAL NCEP DISCUSSION CENTRAL OPERATIONS / NCEP / NWS / WASHINGTON DC 1630 UTC MON DEC 22 1997 221630Z OPERATIONAL NOTE...BETWEEN 0930Z AND 1430Z THE GULFSTREAM G-IV AIRCRAFT OPERATED IN THE REGION FROM 128W TO 145W AND 40N TO 55N. DURING THIS TIME 22 DROPSONDES WERE COMPLETED. ALL APPEARED TO BE OF GOOD QUALITY. THIS SHOULD HAVE PROVIDED THE 12Z MODELS WITH A SIGNIFICANTLY ENRICHED DATA INGEST. AIRCRAFT OBSERVATIONS CAN BE FOUND IN BULLETINS UZPN14KWBC. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 22 Dec 1997 19:01:25 -0700 From: "Kevin J. Schrab" Subject: Re: Special Dropsondes? I believe there is a field experiment going on in the North Pacific this winter....I cannot remember the name off the top of my head. >Robert P Dale wrote: > > Good to see additional data in the morning model runs... Was it related to the holiday forecast or was there a separate reasoning? > > ** NOUS42 KWBC 221639 *** > > SPECIAL NCEP DISCUSSION > CENTRAL OPERATIONS / NCEP / NWS / WASHINGTON DC > 1630 UTC MON DEC 22 1997 > > 221630Z OPERATIONAL NOTE...BETWEEN 0930Z AND 1430Z THE GULFSTREAM > G-IV AIRCRAFT OPERATED IN THE REGION FROM 128W TO 145W AND 40N TO > 55N. DURING THIS TIME 22 DROPSONDES WERE COMPLETED. ALL APPEARED > TO BE OF GOOD QUALITY. THIS SHOULD HAVE PROVIDED THE 12Z MODELS > WITH A SIGNIFICANTLY ENRICHED DATA INGEST. AIRCRAFT OBSERVATIONS > CAN BE FOUND IN BULLETINS UZPN14KWBC. > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html -- Kevin J. Schrab kjs@aros.net ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 21 Dec 1997 to 22 Dec 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Jan 5 14:23:48 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4781 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626836-11257>; Wed, 24 Dec 1997 14:11:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA52370; Wed, 24 Dec 1997 00:05:43 -0600 Message-Id: <199712240605.AAA52370@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Dec 1997 00:01:17 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 22 Dec 1997 to 23 Dec 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: e12be1ed0e2ff41eae75e138670733b8 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 53 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 2 messages totalling 97 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Low pressure induces birth 2. Low pressure and births +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 23 Dec 1997 08:05:52 -0800 From: Frank Gouveia Subject: Re: Low pressure induces birth Ken Poore speculated: >Low pressure induces birth (medical studies seem to agree) > >Comments and study abstracts below. > <<>> Again, I will warn against assigning Cause and Effect to empirical studies. None of these studies isolated ambient pressure drop and then observed a corresponding increase in the onset of labor. I also heard of a link between insurance claims after tornadoes and sales of Garth Brooks records. If pressure drop is a cause of labor, then elevator rides or drives into the mountains would cause labor. These event produce much greater forces than the rather gentle pressure changes from synoptic systems. And if gentle pressure changes start labor, then we need to study pregnant women who work on the 2nd floor of office buildings. If pressure changes induce labor we would see hyperbaric chambers in delivery rooms. Chris Landsea made several good points exploring the relative magnitudes of pressure drops. Charles Edwards' brother (high-risk OB-GYN) did what we should all do. Roll our collective eyes. Aren't we supposed to be scientists? Have a Safe and Happy Holidays, Frank Gouveia ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 23 Dec 1997 12:21:47 EST From: "Steven M. Babin" Subject: Re: Low pressure and births I agree with Chris Landsea. A correlation between low pressure and the onset of labor does not mean causality. The medical literature is replete with studies showing correlations among a variety of things. However, there are several pitfalls in regression analysis. For some good examples of these, see the textbook Data Analysis and Regression, by Mosteller and Tukey (Addison-Wesley, 1977, ISBN 0-201-04854-X). There are lots of medical studies with faulty analyses. This is why you can find A correlated with B in one study and A uncorrelated with B in another. I've learned that you have to examine many studies to sort the confounding factors before you can begin to hypothesize a causal mechanism. I am not saying that correlations are useless. If confounding factors are properly identified, such studies may suggest potential causes to be investigated. However, correlation does not mean causality. Suppose low pressure did induce labor. Would high pressure suppress it? Would there be a drop in birth rates in Bermuda during the summer? An increase in stress caused by a snow storm, hurricane, etc., is probably sufficient to explain the correlation between onset of labor and storms. A greater internal pressure changes results from coughing and sneezing than from a hurricane and this usually does not result in membrane rupture (unless, of course, such a rupture is imminent anyway). The amniotic sac is well designed to handle the usual bumps, etc., that a healthy pregnant woman may encounter. To definitively answer this question, I suppose we can ask NIH to fund a study in which we place 100 healthy women in their last trimester in a pressure chamber. Hmmm ... I suspect the greatest expense of such a study would result from liability coverage should there be any complications, regardless of cause. I think that, by itself, the change in atmospheric pressure due to a storm is probably insufficient to induce labor. Steve -- _____________________________________________________________________ / FROM: Steven Babin MD PhD Internet: Steven.Babin@jhuapl.edu \ | Office phone: (301)-953-6704 | | Office phone: (410)-792-6704 | | WWW Home page at: | | http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/people/babin/babin.html | | Office address: Ocean Remote Sensing Group | | The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab | | Johns Hopkins Road | | Laurel, MD 20723-6099 | | In order to discover new oceans, one must have the courage to lose | | sight of the shore. | \ --author unknown / <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><>< ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 22 Dec 1997 to 23 Dec 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Jan 5 14:23:58 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1208 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627231-12577>; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 14:08:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA08596; Thu, 25 Dec 1997 00:06:05 -0600 Message-Id: <199712250606.AAA08596@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Dec 1997 00:01:35 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 23 Dec 1997 to 24 Dec 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 39692f0aa943294828808b429895c4d2 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 85 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There is one message totalling 71 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. El Nino Advisory No. 3 Dec 23 1997 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 24 Dec 1997 16:01:59 -0500 From: "Jim Munley Jr." <71435.211@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: El Nino Advisory No. 3 Dec 23 1997 EL NINO ADVISORY 97/2 December 24 1997 DISCUSSION Atmospheric and oceanic indices continue to indicate a very warm episode in the central and eastern Pacific. Surface sea surface temperature anomalies of greater than +5øC 115øW to 90øW. SST in this region are at record warm levels. The oceanic thermocline has increased to more than twice the normal depth across the eastern Pacific while remaining shallower than normal in the western Pacific. For several consecutive months there has been a complete reversal of the east-to west trade winds leading to descending air over Indonesia and ascending air over the central and eastern Pacific. Equatorial low-level westerlies are greatly anomalous with upper-level easterlies and low-level easterlies were absent. The upper-level equatorial easterlies have become anticyclonic over the equatorial eastern Pacific. Outgoing Longwave Radiation is again at negative values across the central and eastern Pacific. IMPACT Low-level westerlies and upper-level easterlies over the central equatorial Pacific and the absence of low-level easterlies across the entire tropical Pacific has lead to large scale shifts in the tropical convection on the Pacific. Convection was low over Indonesia and the western Pacific and enhanced over Indian Ocean and eastern Africa. Large positive sea level pressures have been observed near Australia for the past 10 months. A strong South Pacific jet has now developed and extends further east than normal resulting in wet conditions across west-central South America. Warm SST off the South American coast has resulted in much above normal temperatures in Peru. Heat and drought conditions across Australia. A split flow pattern exist across North America with an active southern branch across the southern tier bringing snow and cold to the Southwest and Deep South. Drier than normal conditions covered Indonesia and wetter than normal conditions were observed in the islands of the central tropical Pacific. The current El Nino has accounted for below normal tropical activity in the Atlantic and favorable conditions over the eastern North Pacific. FORECAST Current trends and forecast models indicate that the strong warm conditions should continue and perhaps strengthen through this year and into the spring of 1998. It is difficult to predict exactly how each warm episode impact will be on global weather patterns as each episodes react differently, however, Dry conditions are expected over Indonesia, Australia, northern South America, and wetter than normal conditions over the central and eastern Pacific southeastern South America, central America, and the southern U.S. for the next few months. Warmer than normal temperatures are expected over the northern Rockies, northern Plains and the upper Midwest of the United States. Storms and frontal systems may follow abnormal paths resulting in temperature and precipitation anomalies especially over the west coast of South America and the western U.S. and across the Gulf coast states. Drier than normal conditions could be expected over India and Australia. Jim Munley Jr. 71435.211@compuserve.com munleyj@csnet.net ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 23 Dec 1997 to 24 Dec 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:06 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1848 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627406-3725>; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 14:12:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA47022; Fri, 26 Dec 1997 00:10:05 -0600 Message-Id: <199712260610.AAA47022@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Dec 1997 00:04:43 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 24 Dec 1997 to 25 Dec 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 4c44be77afe569c9fddc82e8387d2a09 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 115 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 2 messages totalling 75 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. El Nino Discussion (Deep South) 2. SUBMIT YOUR WX OBS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 25 Dec 1997 17:22:45 -0600 From: John Oldshue Subject: El Nino Discussion (Deep South) >From the El Nino Update >>>>>>>>>>. A split flow pattern exist across North America with an >active southern branch across the southern tier bringing snow and >cold to the Southwest and Deep South. I agree there is a split flow and it may or may not be the direct or indirect result of El Nino. There has been an active southern branch. But from my vantage point in Birmingham, Alabama there is nothing historically out of the ordinary about this winter. Rainfall for the year here is only .50 above normal and I would guess it is near normal at most sites in the Southeast. We had a suprise snow 11 days ago, but still nothing to indicate anything abnormal. And temperatures have actually been a bit mild with (I would estimate) less than 10 nights below 30. I would not agree with the statement about the Deep South. It would be more accurate to say one episode brought cold and snow to the deep south and I assure you this is quite normal in any winter here in Alabama and the southeast (Deep South). As I read this again, probably just the way it is worded....the impression is that the Deep south has been getting a lot of cold weather and snow.....you were probably refering to that one period (about 10-15 days ago) when Brownsville and a 70 mile wide strip along I -20 in central Mississippi and Alabama saw snow...not the entire Deep south...... Just my opinion and I enjoy reading your thoughts and forecast, John Oldshue Weekend Meteorologist Alabama's ABC 33/40 johno@abc3340.com ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 25 Dec 1997 20:50:18 -0700 From: Albert Pietrycha Subject: SUBMIT YOUR WX OBS Hi, Ok, if your really a weather weenie then you'll take full advantage of: http://www.ems.psu.edu/wx/usermaps/us.html and summit your weather obs at PSU's site. This could be a wonderful product if enough people would participate and help fill in all those ASOS holes. If only someone would produce a site that could interface submitted obs and plot them along with hourly ASOS obs. Now that would truly be a hot product. Sigh...maybe by next Christmas --Al Pietrycha ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Albert Pietrycha President, NCAR/RAP American Meteorological Society P.O. Box 3000 Metropolitan State College Boulder, CO 80307-3000 Denver (303) 497-8382 pietrych@ncar.ucar.edu http://www.rap.ucar.edu/staff/pietrych/pietrych.html My opinions only I am not a storm chaser..I'm a storm connoisseur ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 24 Dec 1997 to 25 Dec 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:23 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1562 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626857-20517>; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 14:06:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA13686; Sat, 27 Dec 1997 00:03:47 -0600 Message-Id: <199712270603.AAA13686@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Dec 1997 00:00:00 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 25 Dec 1997 to 26 Dec 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: a67f4ad0d41d71b8d864f6d61d0a8849 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 160 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 6 messages totalling 114 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. RS Desktop Weather Alert Wanted 2. Unsubscribe 3. UNCC Server Down? (3) 4. Access to NWS bulletins +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 26 Dec 1997 03:35:07 GMT From: Nat Heatwole Subject: RS Desktop Weather Alert Wanted Hello. I'm interested in buying a used Radio Shack Desktop Weather Alert. It appears on page 229 of the 1998 RS catolog at the bottom right hand corner. If you have a used one for sale please e-mail me with the condition, what it comes with (ie. batteries, manual, original box, antenna), and the price that you want for it. Thanks a lot for reading! Nat Heatwole heatwole@clark.net ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 26 Dec 1997 07:57:40 -0800 From: Adam Bush Subject: Unsubscribe Please unsuscribe me ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 26 Dec 1997 14:23:36 -0500 From: Ken Harrell Subject: UNCC Server Down? Can anyone advise on the status of the UNCC Server? I've been trying to retrieve KCHS (SC) River Forecast & Flood products for 2 days now and can't gain access. Email me direct if possible kharrell@awod.com Ken Harrell, Director Dorchester County Emerg. Services Summerville, SC ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 26 Dec 1997 13:45:03 -0600 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: UNCC Server Down? Ken, Yes, UNCC has been down for a while. If you can't find an alternate site on the Net, let me know and we'll send what you need via email temporarily until UNCC is back on-line. ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President - Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 26 Dec 1997 18:48:24 -0800 From: Chris Sells Subject: Re: UNCC Server Down? Good evening Steve. Just read your message to Ken and was wondering if you wouldn't mind sending me the discussions pmdspd and pmdepd from ncep. They are under wmo headers fxus01 kwbc and fxus02 kwbc respectively. regards At 01:45 PM 12/26/97 -0600, Steve Adams wrote: >Ken, > >Yes, UNCC has been down for a while. If you can't find an alternate >site on the Net, let me know and we'll send what you need via email >temporarily until UNCC is back on-line. > >---------------------------------------------------------------- >Stephen D. Adams >Vice President - Research and Development >Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. >ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com > (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com >---------------------------------------------------------------- > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > > Chris Sells AMATEUR RADIO OPERATOR CALLSIGN AC4Cs Packet address ac4cs@n4wom.#cenal.al.usa.noam ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 26 Dec 1997 20:56:11 -0700 From: "Ricketts,Steve [Edm]" Subject: Access to NWS bulletins Is there a place on the Internet where one can access all NWS bulletins, by header? Not just the standard ones, such as the public forecasts and warnings, but obscure ones and even internal ones. I'm specifically looking for a spot to find the MIMPAC... a "Marine Interpretation Message for the North Pacific Ocean" put out by Washington, DC. ..steve +---------------------------------------------------------------------+ | Steve Ricketts | | Manager, Northern Alberta and Arctic Weather Centres | | Environment Canada's Prairie and Northern Region, Edmonton, AB | | Phone (403)951-8788 FAX 495-2615 e-mail: Steve.Ricketts@ec.gc.ca | +---------------------------------------------------------------------+ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 25 Dec 1997 to 26 Dec 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:34 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4947 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626051-4806>; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 14:12:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA25968; Sun, 28 Dec 1997 00:06:42 -0600 Message-Id: <199712280606.AAA25968@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Dec 1997 00:00:50 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 26 Dec 1997 to 27 Dec 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 8c46361bd70175480ae0d5c55caf2f63 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 195 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 4 messages totalling 239 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. MIMPAC 2. LSR Regional Disparities (3) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 27 Dec 1997 15:28:31 -0500 From: InterMet Subject: MIMPAC The Marine Interpretation Message are available at: http://www.ncep.noaa.gov/mpc/mpcana.htm P.S.: They do not always update their site. Bernard _______________________________________ InterMet International Meteorology Magazine http://www.magma.ca/~intermet/ intermet@magma.ca ________________________________________ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 27 Dec 1997 22:44:59 -0800 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: LSR Regional Disparities Please find (2) each LSR's from WA and FL. Do the Washington State NWSFO's have a really, really, really low threshold for LSR's or what? :-) ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA 1253 AM PST SAT DEC 27 1997 TIME(PST) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... ....COUNTY LOCATION.... 1250 AM WENATCHEE WA 12/27/97 CHELAN 3 INCHES OF SNOW IN WENATCHEE AND 4 INCHES 7 MI WEST OF WENATCHEE PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA 317 PM PST FRI DEC 26 1997 TIME(PST) CITY LOCATION STATE EVENT/SPOTTER/REMARKS COUNTY 316 PM MUKILTEO WA HIGH WIND 12/26/97 SNOHOMISH SNOHOMISH 30 SOUTHWEST WINDS 30 GUSTING TO 40 MPH PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 910 AM EST SAT DEC 27 1997 TIME(EST) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... ....COUNTY LOCATION.... 400-414 AM EAGLE LAKE-HAINES CITY FL TORNADO (F1) 12/27/97 POLK *** 7 INJ *** A TORNADO TRACKED ACROSS POLK COUNTY CAUSING DAMAGE TO AROUND 85 STRUCTURES. (10 WITH MAJOR DAMAGE AND 75 WITH MINOR DAMAGE) IN EAGLE LAKE ALONG SPIRIT LAKE RD BETWEEN WINTER LAKE RD AND THORNHILL RD AROUND 900 AM. 1 MINOR INJURY OCCURRED THERE. THE TORNADO THEN TRACKED NORTHEAST WHERE 2 MOBILE HOMES WERE SEVERELY DAMAGED IN THE LAKE REGION MHP SOUTHWEST OF HAINES CITY AROUND 910 AM. 5 MINOR INJURIES OCCURRED THERE. IT CONTINUED NORTHEAST AND DAMAGED SEVERAL PORTABLE UNITS AT BOONE MIDDLE SCHOOL IN HAINES CITY AROUND 914 AM. REPORTED BY POLK COUNTY EMER. MGMT. 0540 AM LARGO FL WIND DAMAGE 12/27/97 PINELLAS A LARGE TREE BRANCH FELL ONTO A HOUSE CAUSING MAJOR ROOF DAMAGE...ALONG WITH WATER DAMAGE TO THE INSIDE. NO INJURIES. REPORTED BY LARGO POLICE AND FIRE DEPTS. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- All opinions are my own. Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year to all! ************************************************************************* 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF, Atmospheric Guardian - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA Milwaukee Area Skywarn Assoc. (MASA)/Milwaukee-Waukesha Amateur Radio Emergency Service (A.R.E.S.)/IL Multi-County Warning System Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" my severe weather and SKYWARN home page! SFTS! http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 28 Dec 1997 00:04:42 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: LSR Regional Disparities Been mentioned ever since WX-Talk started ;> Out in the Northwest they use it to distribute rather mundane (by our standards ;> ) information back and forth. Right or wrong, I dunno. Nothing to get excited about... Rob ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 27 Dec 1997 23:17:22 -0800 From: Chris Sells Subject: Re: LSR Regional Disparities Bernie, I've been a ham for about 8 years, and been heavily involved with skywarn activities in the state of Alabama. I believe that the skywarn team in the state could write better storm reports than Washington wsfo's. The storm report for Florida is very detailed. regards At 10:44 PM 12/27/97 -0800, Bernie Kopp KB9KEF wrote: >Please find (2) each LSR's from WA and FL. > >Do the Washington State NWSFO's have a really, really, really low >threshold for LSR's or what? :-) >---------------------------------------------------------------------------- >PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT >NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA >1253 AM PST SAT DEC 27 1997 > >TIME(PST) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... > ....COUNTY LOCATION.... > >1250 AM WENATCHEE WA >12/27/97 CHELAN 3 INCHES OF SNOW IN > WENATCHEE AND 4 INCHES 7 > MI WEST OF WENATCHEE > >PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT >NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA >317 PM PST FRI DEC 26 1997 > >TIME(PST) CITY LOCATION STATE EVENT/SPOTTER/REMARKS > COUNTY > >316 PM MUKILTEO WA HIGH WIND >12/26/97 SNOHOMISH SNOHOMISH 30 > SOUTHWEST WINDS 30 > GUSTING TO 40 MPH > >PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT >NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL >910 AM EST SAT DEC 27 1997 > >TIME(EST) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... > ....COUNTY LOCATION.... > >400-414 AM EAGLE LAKE-HAINES CITY FL TORNADO (F1) >12/27/97 POLK *** 7 INJ *** > A TORNADO TRACKED ACROSS > POLK COUNTY CAUSING DAMAGE > TO AROUND 85 STRUCTURES. > (10 WITH MAJOR DAMAGE AND 75 > WITH MINOR DAMAGE) IN EAGLE > LAKE ALONG SPIRIT LAKE RD > BETWEEN WINTER LAKE RD AND > THORNHILL RD AROUND 900 AM. > 1 MINOR INJURY OCCURRED > THERE. THE TORNADO THEN > TRACKED NORTHEAST WHERE > 2 MOBILE HOMES WERE SEVERELY > DAMAGED IN THE LAKE REGION > MHP SOUTHWEST OF HAINES CITY > AROUND 910 AM. 5 MINOR > INJURIES OCCURRED THERE. IT > CONTINUED NORTHEAST AND > DAMAGED SEVERAL PORTABLE > UNITS AT BOONE MIDDLE > SCHOOL IN HAINES CITY > AROUND 914 AM. REPORTED BY > POLK COUNTY EMER. MGMT. > >0540 AM LARGO FL WIND DAMAGE >12/27/97 PINELLAS A LARGE TREE BRANCH FELL > ONTO A HOUSE CAUSING MAJOR > ROOF DAMAGE...ALONG WITH > WATER DAMAGE TO THE INSIDE. > NO INJURIES. REPORTED BY > LARGO POLICE AND FIRE > DEPTS. >---------------------------------------------------------------------------- > >All opinions are my own. >Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year to all! >************************************************************************* >73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF, Atmospheric Guardian - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA >Milwaukee Area Skywarn Assoc. (MASA)/Milwaukee-Waukesha Amateur Radio >Emergency Service (A.R.E.S.)/IL Multi-County Warning System > >Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" my severe weather and SKYWARN home page! > >SFTS! http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp > >"... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O >ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not >discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV >************************************************************************* > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > > Chris Sells AMATEUR RADIO OPERATOR CALLSIGN AC4Cs Packet address ac4cs@n4wom.#cenal.al.usa.noam ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 26 Dec 1997 to 27 Dec 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Jan 5 14:24:46 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:1037 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626328-13103>; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 14:07:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA29560; Mon, 29 Dec 1997 00:04:31 -0600 Message-Id: <199712290604.AAA29560@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Dec 1997 00:00:54 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 27 Dec 1997 to 28 Dec 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 6de3478daeddf2c20baa690ed878ce50 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 234 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 6 messages totalling 107 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. The Ultimate Chasemobile 2. found the data 3. weather terminology 4. Nor-Easter developing.. 5. does anyone know? (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 28 Dec 1997 06:20:43 -0600 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: The Ultimate Chasemobile Take a look at Carson Eads' ultimate chasemobile at: http://www.pulse.net/storm/k5kj.htm He needs more antennas, don't you agree? Sam Barricklow ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 28 Dec 1997 10:27:10 -0800 From: Chris Sells Subject: found the data Good morning to all. I finally found the gridded data in text form. I understand a few things fairly well on the ruc model, but I'm having trouble on the eta and avn models. Would someone be willing to look over the data if I sent it to them and highlighted the areas in question? I would normally look at graphics products but with visual imparment can't access graphical products. regards Chris Sells AMATEUR RADIO OPERATOR CALLSIGN AC4Cs Packet address ac4cs@n4wom.#cenal.al.usa.noam ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 28 Dec 1997 10:28:41 -0800 From: Chris Sells Subject: weather terminology Does anyone know what positively tilted and negatively tilted means? I hear this used quite alot, refering to low pressure systems. And another term storm relative hellicity? regards Chris Sells AMATEUR RADIO OPERATOR CALLSIGN AC4Cs Packet address ac4cs@n4wom.#cenal.al.usa.noam ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 28 Dec 1997 12:21:19 -0600 From: Mark Hofmann Subject: Nor-Easter developing.. Any new reports on the Nor-Easter that is developing for the east coast? Here in the Maryland area, they won't give too many details, since the exact storm track hasn't been determined yet, but it could be 'SIGNIFICANT' snow for us here.. 50-100 mile difference could make a huge difference.. If it stays far enough east, off the coast, it won't bring up the warm air turning it to rain.. - Mark Hofmann weather@mail.bcpl.lib.md.us ;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;::;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:;:; ;Weather Station (410)882-8887 * WWIVnet @8304 FILEnet @282 Fido (1:261/1304); ;:;:;:;:; Perry Hall, MD "Live Radar/Satellite/Conditions/Reports" ;:;:;:;:;:; ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 28 Dec 1997 23:07:13 -0800 From: Chris Sells Subject: does anyone know? I saw a parameter on the aviation model called 500 mb absvort. Does anyone know what this means and how to read it. For example I'm seeing 500 mb absvort, 3.2 3.7 and so forth. Chris Sells AMATEUR RADIO OPERATOR CALLSIGN AC4Cs Packet address ac4cs@n4wom.#cenal.al.usa.noam ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 28 Dec 1997 23:25:09 -0600 From: John Lamb Subject: Re: does anyone know? On Sun, 28 Dec 1997, Chris Sells wrote: > I saw a parameter on the aviation model called 500 mb absvort. Does anyone > know what this means and how to read it. For example I'm seeing 500 mb > absvort, 3.2 3.7 and so forth. I believe it is ABSolute VORTicity. Postive vorticity (3.7) would be lift and negative would be the opposite (the name for which I can't remember) 73s de N9KDK John john@hockey.net ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 27 Dec 1997 to 28 Dec 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:03 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:4513 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626419-23584>; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 14:11:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA15110; Tue, 30 Dec 1997 00:07:37 -0600 Message-Id: <199712300607.AAA15110@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 30 Dec 1997 00:01:07 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 28 Dec 1997 to 29 Dec 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 9c3dd04fab1d3d6c0dbbbb7dd926a2db Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 285 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 6 messages totalling 136 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. [Fwd: positive versus negative tilted trofs] 2. HSE pressure falls (3) 3. Access to NWS Bulletins 4. Archive SA's +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 29 Dec 1997 08:34:48 -0600 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: [Fwd: positive versus negative tilted trofs] Sam Barricklow wrote: > > Hello Chris, > > It's pretty simple actually. > > These terms are usually applied to upper level trofs. A positive tilt > means the trof runs northeast to southwest. A negative tilt (thought of > as producing a greater severe weather potential assuming all other > parameters are present) means a trof that runs generally from northwest > to southeast. > > If you watch upper level lows and associated trofs as they evolve over > time, you will see that the comma head shape varies with time in most > cases. The spiral band (comma tail) will often rotate around a "center" > of circulation (the comma head). When the southern end of the spiral > band moves ahead of the center, it has assumed a negative tilt. > > I hope this answers your question. > > 73, > > Sam Barricklow K5KJ > http://www.pulse.net/storm/index.htm ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 29 Dec 1997 11:41:32 -0700 From: Albert Pietrycha Subject: HSE pressure falls Take a look at HSE's 18 mb pressure fall over the last 6hrs. Very nice stuff!!! If this is a dupe post please forgive, as I am in digest mode. --Al KHSE 291151Z AUTO 03010G16KT 360V060 10SM OVC080 06/03 A2986 RMK AO2 PRESFR SLP112 T00560028 10056 20011 58041 TSNO= KHSE 291251Z AUTO 03010KT 350V060 10SM OVC075 08/04 A2981 RMK AO2 PRESFR SLP094 T00780044 TSNO= KHSE 291351Z AUTO 04010G20KT 10SM FEW060 08/06 A2975 RMK AO2 PRESFR SLP075 T00830056 TSNO= KHSE 291451Z AUTO 05012G20KT 10SM CLR 09/07 A2968 RMK AO2 PRESFR SLP050 T00940067 58063 TSNO= KHSE 291551Z AUTO 04011G20KT 5SM RA BR BKN040 OVC060 09/08 A2962 RMK AO2 RAB08 PRESFR SLP030 P0004 T00890083 TSNO= KHSE 291641Z AUTO 03012G19KT 2 1/2SM +RA BR BKN032 BKN040 OVC050 09/09 A2955 RMK AO2 PRESFR P0019 TSNO= KHSE 291651Z AUTO 03012G18KT 2SM +RA BR BKN028 OVC040 09/09 A2953 RMK AO2 PRESFR SLP000 P0025 T00890089 TSNO= KHSE 291715Z AUTO 04014G23KT 2 1/2SM +RA BR SCT006 BKN022 OVC034 09/09 A2944 RMK AO2 PRESFR P0015 TSNO= KHSE 291728Z AUTO 05017G26KT 4SM RA BR SCT005 BKN018 OVC027 10/10 A2939 RMK AO2 PK WND 04026/1723 PRESFR P0020 TSNO= KHSE 291735Z AUTO 05015G23KT 5SM -RA BR BKN005 BKN018 10/09 A2938 RMK AO2 PK WND 04026/1723 PRESFR P0020 TSNO= KHSE 291751Z AUTO 04013G22KT 5SM -RA BR BKN005 BKN018 OVC029 10/09 A2937 RMK AO2 PK WND 04026/1723 PRESFR SLP944 P0021 60050 T01000094 10100 20056 58106 TSNO {= KHSE 291822Z AUTO 04018G22KT 1 3/4SM +RA BR OVC005 10/10 A2931 RMK AO2 PRESFR P0007 TSNO= ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Albert Pietrycha President, NCAR/RAP American Meteorological Society P.O. Box 3000 Metropolitan State College Boulder, CO 80307-3000 Denver (303) 497-8382 pietrych@ncar.ucar.edu http://www.rap.ucar.edu/staff/pietrych/pietrych.html My opinions only I am not a storm chaser..I'm a storm connoisseur ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 29 Dec 1997 12:47:34 CST From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: HSE pressure falls If you post obs, it might help some to say where KHSE is, as not everyone knows that it is on Hatteras Island off the coast of NC. Scott, who had to look it up :) > > Take a look at HSE's 18 mb pressure fall over the last 6hrs. > Very nice stuff!!! > > If this is a dupe post please forgive, as I am in digest mode. > [obs snipped] ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 29 Dec 1997 10:48:38 +0000 From: Jim Raudy Subject: Re: Access to NWS Bulletins NWS headings can be found at: http://stormy.geology.yale.edu/~gluhosky/Weather/complete-fos.txt Hope this is what you want. Jim ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 29 Dec 1997 11:52:40 -0700 From: Albert Pietrycha Subject: HSE pressure falls For those who do not know where HSE is located, it is Hatteras Island off the coast of NC. Thanks to those of you brought this to my attention. --Al ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Albert Pietrycha President, NCAR/RAP American Meteorological Society P.O. Box 3000 Metropolitan State College Boulder, CO 80307-3000 Denver (303) 497-8382 pietrych@ncar.ucar.edu http://www.rap.ucar.edu/staff/pietrych/pietrych.html My opinions only I am not a storm chaser..I'm a storm connoisseur ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 29 Dec 1997 10:53:39 +0000 From: Jim Raudy Subject: Archive SA's Anyone know of a site that archives SA's other than NCDC? Many thanks. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 28 Dec 1997 to 29 Dec 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Jan 5 14:25:19 1998 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]:3915 "EHLO postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu" ident: "NO-IDENT-SERVICE") by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625930-4469>; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 14:12:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA26094; Wed, 31 Dec 1997 00:11:03 -0600 Message-Id: <199712310611.AAA26094@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 31 Dec 1997 00:03:57 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 29 Dec 1997 to 30 Dec 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests Return-Path: X-Orcpt: rfc822;rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK X-UIDL: 1bb0a60c7feec7ff8a761f8dc88ac530 Status: RO X-Status: X-UID: 336 X-Mozilla-Status: 2001 There are 2 messages totalling 56 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Answer to archived SA's (actually METAR's) 2. severe turbulence over the West Pacific (28 Dec 1997) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 30 Dec 1997 11:51:19 -0500 From: James Aman Subject: Answer to archived SA's (actually METAR's) > > Date: Mon, 29 Dec 1997 10:53:39 +0000 > From: Jim Raudy > Subject: Archive SA's > > Anyone know of a site that archives SA's other than NCDC? > Many thanks. > Jim: As you probably know, the "SA" code went by the wayside about year or two ago, and the United States now uses the METAR codes. Here are some sites that archive METARs, usually back for 30 to 60 days: http://meteora.ucsd.edu/weather/observations/airways gopher://metlab1.met.fsu.edu/11/data/surface/sao http://ws321.uncc.edu/data/surface/sao/ Also, I checked out your homepage at: http://www.arb.ca.gov/homepage.htm and found it quite interesting. James Aman, meteorologist jaman@aws.com Automated Weather Source http://www.aws.com/ Manager, technical support department ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 30 Dec 1997 21:33:03 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: severe turbulence over the West Pacific (28 Dec 1997) FYI, I placed a few GMS water vapor image examples and CIMSS GMS water vapor winds products from the 28 Dec 1997 United Airlines severe turbulence incident on a Web page at http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/misc/971228.html I expected to see some well-defined signatures of subsidence on the water vapor imagery, but nothing really stands out except for some subtle jet stream filaments... -Scott -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS VISIT Program CIMSS | University of Wisconsin-Madison asb@ty.ssec.wisc.edu | www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 29 Dec 1997 to 30 Dec 1997 ************************************************** From - Thu Jul 3 13:19:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103081-13148>; Thu, 3 Jul 1997 13:11:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA214586; Thu, 3 Jul 1997 00:04:20 -0500 Message-Id: <199707030504.AAA214586@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Jul 1997 00:01:12 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 1 Jul 1997 to 2 Jul 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: a636957d93138389ebea767aecdc915e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 12731 Status: OR There are 7 messages totalling 309 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 30 Jun 1997 to 1 Jul 1997 2. WI Independence Day Downburt Anniversary 3. Barometers 4. ecmwf data 5. Re[2]: ecmwf data 6. Job Opening.... 7. Great Lakes action... +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 2 Jul 1997 08:12:59 CDT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 30 Jun 1997 to 1 Jul 1997 I don't know of the book offhand, but I would wager that if Prof. Greg Forbes is still at Penn State, he would be able to help you. (He could probably help you if he wasn't at PSU, too, but then I wouldn't know where he was so I couldn't tell you). This outbreak occurred about a week before the 2nd AMS mesoscale conference, which was held at PSU. Some of us attending took a school bus up to the Moshannon State Forest to see lots of trees blown down and splintered. I seem to recall that that particular storm was an F4, up to a mile wide, and it plowed through about 50 miles of forest, including up and down mountain sides. Scott > > Dave Jones wrote me directly and said... > > >I am forwarding this e-mail from a co-worker, if you can help him it > >would be appreciated. Thanks. > >Dave Jones, Meteorologist, NBC4 WRC-TV Washington, DC > > Please read the message below. If you can help Dave's co-worker please > reply to him *directly* at . Thanks. ..Chris.. > > = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = > Norm White wrote... > > I'm interested in publication data regarding a book on the tornado > outbreak in eastern Ohio and western Pennsylvania on 31 May, 1985. I > believe that there were 40 or so tornadoes on this date, some of which > were F3 in strength. One touched down about 35 miles northwest of > Pittsburgh, and its path carried it about 60 miles through Beaver and > Butler Counties in PA, while others devastated the communities of Albion > and Atlantic in northwestern Pennsylvania. Atlantic, PA is an Amish > community, and mention of that fact was made in news reports of the > event. This may help to jog someone's memory. Southern Ontario was > also affected. > > I originally saw a copy of the book in the gift shop of the > Smithsonian's National Museum of Natural History, but they evidently > don't carry it anymore. It may not even be in print at this time. I > don't remember the author's name or the book title, and I've come up dry > on searches of Books in Print. I would certainly appreciate any > assistance that you or others could provide. > > Thanks. > Norm White (whitnwa@tvswrc.nbc.com) > ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 2 Jul 1997 08:23:55 -0700 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: WI Independence Day Downburt Anniversary Wisconsin fared relatively well Tuesday/Wednesday despite some rather dire severe weather forecasts. However when all the elements of severe weather do come together, at the right place and at the right time, an event like the one below can occur. Kudos to the Green Bay NWSFO for this information! > PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT > NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI > 1230 PM TUE JUL 1 1997 > > ...20TH ANNIVERSARY OF INDEPENDENCE DAY DOWNBURSTS... > > DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON OF JULY 4, 1977, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX > PRODUCED EXTREMELY STRONG WINDS AS IT MOVED ACROSS NORTHERN WISCONSIN. > ONE PERSON WAS KILLED, THIRTY-FIVE WERE INJURED, AND TENS OF MILLIONS > OF DOLLARS OF DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS AND TIMBER RESULTED FROM THE > WINDSTORM, WHICH CONTAINED GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 100 MPH. JUST AFTER THE > EVENT, IT WAS REPORTED THAT THE EXTENSIVE DAMAGE TO TREES AND PROPERTY > LOOKED AS IF AN OVERSIZED TORNADO HAD STRUCK. > > WHAT WE NOW KNOW, OF COURSE, IS THAT A SERIES OF DOWNBURSTS, KNOWN AS A > DERECHO (PRONOUNCED DAY-RAY'-CHO), PRODUCED THE 166-MILE LONG, 17-MILE > WIDE SWATH OF DESTRUCTION. > > A DOWNBURST IS A THUNDERSTORM DOWNDRAFT OF AN EXTREME INTENSITY > ACCOMPANIED BY DAMAGING WINDS ON THE GROUND. TWENTY-FIVE INDIVIDUAL > DOWNBURSTS WERE IDENTIFIED IN THE JULY 4 STORM BY DR. TED FUJITA, OF > THE UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO. NO EVIDENCE OF A TORNADO WAS FOUND; INSTEAD, > THERE WERE SCATTERED LOCAL EVENTS FROM WHICH STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS SPREAD > OUT VIOLENTLY. > > WINDS WERE MEASURED OVER 100 MPH NEAR RHINELANDER (ONEIDA COUNTY) AND > PHILLIPS (PRICE COUNTY), BEFORE THE AIRPORT ANEMOMETERS BLEW AWAY. SOME > FORESTS WERE LITERALLY FLATTENED, AND VACATION HOMES WERE DAMAGED AS > TALL TREES WERE FELLED. > > JKL ************************************************************************* 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA Milwaukee Area Skywarn Assoc./Milwaukee-Waukesha Amateur Radio Emergency Service (A.R.E.S.)/IL Multi-County Warning System E-Mail, bkopp@execpc.com Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" my severe weather and SKYWARN home page! SFTS! http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 2 Jul 1997 09:02:33 -0500 From: Karen Schloss Subject: Barometers I'd written: > >This year she wants to begin forecasting. I managed to get most of > >the pertinent instruments for her (a thermometer, anemometer, wind > >vane, etc.), but I cannot locate an inexpensive barometer. Closest > >I've come is Edmund Scientific's $80 one-- way out of my price range. > > I've been to hardware stores, farm stores, garden centers, > >mass-market discount stores (Target, Wal-Mart), and have had *no > >luck*. > > > >So, where else (on the Web or IRL) do I look to find an inexpensive, > >functional barometer for <$10?? Philip Cook responded: > Karen, I am not sure about the net, But I have been able to pick up a > barometer at tag sale for less than $10. I do know that barometers are not > too easy to make. > > Here is CT, we have a store at a mall called "Natural Surroundings" which > sells alot of scientific equipment. But even there you may spend about > $50-80 for a combo weather station. > > As a matter of fact, I paid $2 for one barometer and temp set as well as > paid $5 for a temp., barometer and humidity set. One was bought at a tag > sale, and the other was bought at a thrift shop. Thrift shops! I never thought of that! Thanks! In the end, my parents gave her a working indoor barometer. Does she *have* to use an outdoor barometer, or are pressures going to be about the same indoors as out? Humidity obviously can differ, but barometric pressure should be the same, right? --karen __________________________________________________________________ Karen Schloss Signpost Information Service carroll@mwci.net (800)-365-7789 #105 337 [Pager] http://users.mwci.net/~carroll/ __________________________________________________________________ Your pain is the breaking of the shell that encloses your understanding. --Kahlil Gibran, The Prophet __________________________________________________________________ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 2 Jul 1997 16:31:19 GMT From: Matt Crowther Subject: Re: ecmwf data On Mon, 30 Jun 1997 13:39:24 -0500, Capt Bruce D Muller wrote: >Does anyone recall why ECMWF data (from the Purdue web site at least) is >now restricted to *.edu addresses? I remember reading something about >this a couple months ago on this service, but don't recall the specific >reason(s). Thanks in advance for your reply. > > > BRUCE D. MULLER, Capt, USAF > email: mullerb@thunder.safb.af.mil > I too would like to know why this ocurred. You can get the ECMWF at OSU, but it is unreliable, and recently the surface data has been unavailable, you can only get the 500MB. Does anyone on the group know of an alternative Web site for the ECMWF model? Matt ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 2 Jul 1997 13:50:55 -0800 From: Jeffrey Logan Subject: Re[2]: ecmwf data It's WMO resolution 40 which established formal policies for the distribution of meteorological products. The legalese is at http://www.nws.noaa.gov/im/wmocovr.htm And some specific product distribution information is at http://www.nws.noaa.gov/oso/addata.shtml The reasons for this restriction of data access are many...including -> Keeping it out of the hands of commercial services...especially back in the country of origin. -> To protect those NMC's which are becoming more commercial in nature. Loosely, it's due to money and in a few cases lawsuits. Jeff /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\ | Jeffrey D Logan loganj@fnoc.navy.mil Monterey, CA | |FNMOC - Data Dept (408)656-4463 (408)656-4489 (fax)| \/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/ ______________________________ Reply Separator _________________________________ Subject: Re: ecmwf data Author: at SMTPLINK-FNOC Date: 7/2/97 4:31 PM On Mon, 30 Jun 1997 13:39:24 -0500, Capt Bruce D Muller wrote: >Does anyone recall why ECMWF data (from the Purdue web site at least) is >now restricted to *.edu addresses? I remember reading something about >this a couple months ago on this service, but don't recall the specific >reason(s). Thanks in advance for your reply. > > > BRUCE D. MULLER, Capt, USAF > email: mullerb@thunder.safb.af.mil > I too would like to know why this ocurred. You can get the ECMWF at OSU, but it is unreliable, and recently the surface data has been unavailable, you can only get the 500MB. Does anyone on the group know of an alternative Web site for the ECMWF model? Matt ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 2 Jul 1997 15:18:04 -0700 From: Jason Kelley Subject: Job Opening.... Ahem...... WABG-TV in Greenville, MS is looking for a full-time meteorologist with 2 years experience for our 5, 6, and 10 pm newscasts, Monday-Friday. The ability to accurately deliver under the stress of severe weather in a reassuring manner is vital. Other important items: Good on-air personality (live-shots a plus), full working knowledge of computers, a degree in meteorology, and any Seals will impress us. Great chance for a very good future. Must also fill in for other members of the team when required. Send tape and resume to: John Rogers ATTN WX General Manager WABG-TV 849 Washington Ave. Greenville, MS 38701 EOE __________ As you can see, I am leaving TV-6...if anybody is interested and has some questions...feel free to contact me via e-mail jkelley@tecinfo.com Keep those tapes and resumes coming kids!!!!! Jason Kelley (Lame Duck) Chief Meteorologist WABG-TV Greenville-Greenwood, MS ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 2 Jul 1997 20:19:05 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Great Lakes action... I missed it in NW Ohio even though conditions were ripe... Numerous tornado and severe thunderstorm warnings from Columbus on south to Cincinnati, but Detroit received a _lot_ of devastation. Several deaths reported, local TV stations carrying continuous coverage of the damage surveying. Numerous tornado reports and 100+mph straight line winds as the cell passed. Rob ////////////////////////////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ Robert P Dale - N8GSK || rdale@norden1.com Meteorologist || rdale@storm.atms.purdue.edu Davidson Crane And Conveyor || dcc@norden1.com InterRAD NIDS Software http://www.stratus.weather.net/~rdale/interrad.html NW Ohio Weather Info http://wx.home.ml.org Northwest Ohio AMS http://nwohams.home.ml.org ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 1 Jul 1997 to 2 Jul 1997 ************************************************ From - Fri Jul 4 13:24:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102523-11098>; Fri, 4 Jul 1997 13:15:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAB36438; Fri, 4 Jul 1997 00:07:29 -0500 Message-Id: <199707040507.AAB36438@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Jul 1997 00:03:19 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 2 Jul 1997 to 3 Jul 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: ba191ac853893285e67341f21cc2df46 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 17625 Status: OR There are 9 messages totalling 381 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. the cycle of lightning (2) 2. WX-TALK Digest - 1 Jul 1997 to 2 Jul 1997 3. Station Info (2) 4. ECMWF data (2) 5. No warning?!? 6. Great lakes action(ohio) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 2 Jul 1997 23:04:52 PDT From: Lynn Mills Subject: the cycle of lightning As freon condensed onto and poured off my left hand back into the degreasing tank static electricity jumped from the finger of my right hand to the outside of the tank. As long as I let the hot vapors condense on my left hand the sparks kept discharging form my other hand. I have thought about this phenomenon through the years and have postulated a theory. I believe that there is a law that in effect is this: "No evaporation can take place without the loss of heat and electrical energy from the source of the vapor and reciprocally no condensation can take place with out a net gain in heat and electrical charge to the medium in which the condensation takes place." What this would mean in relation to thunder storms is that the source of the electrical charges is the ocean and their final destination as they discharge,( either by leakage or in the case of a rapidly condensing storm, lightning), is to return to the ocean which needs to replace the electrons lost due to evaporation. Just like the cycle of water. From ocean to sky to earth again and back to the ocean, fitting neatly into natures proclivity to recycle. It is possible that any where there is friction there will be evaporation and where there is evaporation there will be charges. Maybe the carpet under our feet vaporizes on a molecular scale and then very quickly condeses on the bottom of our shoe. Maybe atoms and molecules as they vaporize are able to store electrical charges as potential energy. Weigh a spring and then wind it up and then wiegh it again. It still wieghs the same. Maybe vapors store charges in such a way that it is hard for us to measure unless we know what to measure. If electrical charges are an integral part of vaporization then a whole new piece of the puzzle will have fallen into place and we would have a clearer picture of the atom itself and it's mechanics Well I have floated my ballon. Now I'll sit back and see if anyone shoots it down Lynn Mills lmill@worldfront.com ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 3 Jul 1997 02:03:11 -0400 From: Philip Cook Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 1 Jul 1997 to 2 Jul 1997 At 12:01 AM 7/3/97 -0500, you wrote: >> >So, where else (on the Web or IRL) do I look to find an inexpensive, >> >functional barometer for <$10?? > >Philip Cook responded: >> Karen, I am not sure about the net, But I have been able to pick up a >> barometer at tag sale for less than $10. I do know that barometers are not >> too easy to make. >> >> As a matter of fact, I paid $2 for one barometer and temp set as well as >> paid $5 for a temp., barometer and humidity set. One was bought at a tag >> sale, and the other was bought at a thrift shop. > >Thrift shops! I never thought of that! Thanks! > >In the end, my parents gave her a working indoor barometer. Does she >*have* to use an outdoor barometer, or are pressures going to be >about the same indoors as out? Humidity obviously can differ, but >barometric pressure should be the same, right? > >--karen No, It doesn't really matter at all. The one I have is an indoor barometer and it does pretty good. I do see it change with the weather, so it does work. With our house, even the Humidity gauge works pretty well. Right now it is raining pretty good and the gauge says about 80% in the house, do it does good too. Tell your daughter to have fun, because I did when I was her age. Philip Cook ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 3 Jul 1997 02:26:37 -0400 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: Station Info Wx-talkers, Does anyone know the lat/lon/elevation of the following two stations? KFGN - Flag Island, MN KXVW - Vandenberg, CA Also, a station Hawaii recently began sending metars. It four letter code is PHLU. Anyone know where this is? Boris A. Konon WSI Corporation ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 3 Jul 1997 07:06:41 PDT From: Lynn Mills Subject: the cycle of lightning E-mail address correction lmills@worldfront ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 3 Jul 1997 09:51:41 -0500 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: ECMWF data Wx-Talkers, Thought I'd contribute to the ECMWF thread, and international data distribution in general. >From Jeff: >The reasons for this restriction of data access are many...including > >-> Keeping it out of the hands of commercial services...especially > back in the country of origin. > >-> To protect those NMC's which are becoming more commercial in nature. > Actually, these two comments are related. WMO Res. 40 tries to set up a way to protect commercial services within a country from international competition. A valid concern to protect fledgling industries from unfair competition, especially in less developed countries. However, where other NMCs are becoming more commercial, their governments are using Res. 40 to give them a monopoly on the information they provide. All a "commercial" entity in a country has to do is say that free distribution of a product internationally is hurting it's business (it's ability to sell that product domestically) and bingo... that product gets put on the "restricted" list. It is significant that the only ones "complaining" are the gov't run NMCs that are commercializing. I haven't heard anything about any private (non-gov't) commercial services complaining. >From Matt: >You can get the ECMWF at >OSU, but it is unreliable, and recently the surface data has been >unavailable, you can only get the 500MB. Does anyone on the group know >of an alternative Web site for the ECMWF model? > In the case of the ECMWF, the orginator (the European version of NMC) is attempting to sell the data. They have therefore gotten it placed on the "restricted" list. If OSU or anyone else is providing unrestricted access to ECMWF data, that entity is in direct violation of WMO Res. 40. The originator of the data now has the right to terminate ECMWF data distribution to the U.S. Purdue is correct in restricting access to ".edu" sites. These are (supposedly) non-commercial sites that will use the data for internal purposes only (research and/or education). All other Unidata sites (including OSU) should be doing the same thing. However, they might consider opening the sites to ".mil" domains too. After all, Unidata is funded by the gov't (NSF). Military sites should have access to that data too. They too would obviously use it for internal, non- commercial purposes. I would suggest the .mil guys contact Purdue and make that suggestion. Climbing soapbox: I wonder what the reaction of the Europeans and others would be if the U.S. decided to restrict the MRF and/or AVN? An international met. data war would help no one and hurt everyone. IMHO, the current political thinking on "commercializing" gov't functions is misguided. Gov't functions are, by definition, paid for by the taxpayers. Charging users for gov't produced info is redundant and unfair. If a gov't decides it is costing too much to produce certain information, they have 3 choices: 1. raise taxes, or 2. stop production of the information, or 3. transfer production of the information to the private sector. If a private sector does not exist to do the job, then promote it's creation and foster it's survival through tax and/or other incentives. A "commercialized gov't" function is an oxymoron (thought up by a politician-moron :-) ). Stepping off soapbox: ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President, Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. 1735 E. University Dr. - Suite 101 P.O. Box 3267 Auburn, Alabama 36831-3267 ____ /\ \ / | | ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) / \ \ / | |___ (334) 826-2152 (FAX) /____\ \ /\ / | | Internet: sadams@awis.com / \ \/ \/ | ____| http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 3 Jul 1997 11:00:28 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: No warning?!? Pulled this excerpt from the Detroit News (excellent coverage at http://www.detnews.com ) === They shared horror stories and wondered why they had no warning. Lori Swain said, "We had like 30 seconds. We had no time. Gail Novak of Oakland County Emergency Management said sirens sounded at 5:30 p.m. in Holly several miles away, and the tornadoes hit the trailer parks about 5:45. "I heard my husband scream and after a couple of seconds we could hear the trailer whipping around," she said. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 3 Jul 1997 13:55:16 -0500 From: "Steve M. Kile" Subject: Re: Station Info > Does anyone know the lat/lon/elevation of the following two stations? > > KFGN - Flag Island, MN > KXVW - Vandenberg, CA > > Also, a station Hawaii recently began sending metars. It four letter > code is PHLU. Anyone know where this is? > > Boris A. Konon KFGN N49 19.00 W94 54.00 cannot locate elevation. Found a phone number for the airport 218-766-7693 perhaps they could help you. KXVW N34.43 W120.34 elevation 328 ft. This is listed as Vandenberg Range. I'll look for PHLU. Steve -- Steve M. Kile, N0FBL stevek@netcom.com skile@epx.cis.umn.edu stevek@usinternet.com ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 3 Jul 1997 11:26:25 EDT From: Andrew J Toth Subject: Great lakes action(ohio) in regards to Roberts mesage we did see alot of action yesterday. there were many tornadoes and severe thunderstorms all over the state. i heard about tornadoes near dayton, middletown, and near downtown cincinnati. if you don't know where some of these small towns are, i'm sorry. a tornado warning was put out for my county, but it was on the other side of the county, and heading away. one thing i wonder is why some stations do continuous storm coverage, and others just return to the program, i mean after they passed the warning, soem channels didn't even show that TORNADO WARNING sign in the corner of the screen. one channel that did wasn't even in my city. i live right between cincinnati and dayton, aboutthe same distance from each, and the dayton channel was the only one that kept passing along info. they even had the radar screen up about every five minutes. i was impressed that they didn't go back to the regularly scheduled program. i wish there were more channels like that around here... ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 3 Jul 1997 14:59:36 -0500 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: ECMWF data From: Robert Grumbine > I've heard such routinely in the US and Canada. The complaints >are typically in the lines of 'We provide service X, therefore the >government shouldn't do it in competition with us.' What is interesting >about the complaints is not that statement, but the observation that >this same company wants the government to provide service Y. What >is very interesting is that the service Y is not infrequently something >that a different private company also doesn't want the government doing. > Not the same thing. Regarding the ECMWF data, we're talking about basic model output. The complaints from the commercial weather companies here in the US are based on the so called "value-added" services the gov't (NWS) provides. The manipulation of the basic data into some form required by specific users. The association representing many of these companies (CWSA) has made it very clear that they support the free, unrestricted distribution of basic weather info, with basic meaning such things as observations, model output, general public forecasts and warnings, etc. The competition arises when the gov't goes beyond the basics. For example: growing degree day calculations for agricultural users and heating/cooling degree days for the energy industry. Two trends are coming together here in the US that are making this a hot issue. First, the private met. sector is becoming larger and more capable. Obviously it was previously OK for the gov't to provide services to specific users when the private sector was too small or otherwise incapable of providing those services. This is not the case anymore. Second, the "cut-gov't-spending" trend is in full gear. This is being applied to gov't met. services as much as to other services. Naturally, the politicians are going overboard in some cases, and I'll be the first in line to defend the NWS against cuts that will endanger their core mission of protecting lives and property. However, I'll also be first in line to support prohibiting the NWS from spending millions to issue site-specific forecasts for events such as hot-air balloon races, yacht racing, and the Olympics or for customizing forecasts for the benefit of specific users as mentioned above. These "extras" not only cost money, but also take up dwindling manpower resources that should be concentrated on supporting the core mission. >2) The national services are increasingly being commercialized ('cost > recovery' is the phrase in Canada, 'privatization' and 'outsourcing' > in the US. > These things are NOT synonymous. Costs for gov't operations are paid for by taxpayers... both individual and corporate. Again relating to the ECMWF model data, the operation of the center that produces that data is supported by taxpayer money. "Cost recovery" would apply only if there were extra costs in distributing that data to a specific customer in a way outside of the normal (taxpayer supported) distribution channels. "Privatization" is the complete transfer of the function to the private sector. The gov't gets completely out of the service. "Outsourcing" is when the gov't uses existing private sector resources to perform a service. The gov't is a customer, not a provider. This is becoming more popular in cases where it is less expensive for the gov't to purchase the services it needs rather than develop them in-house. > NMC became NCEP a while ago (National Centers for Environmental >Prediction; more than meteorology is done and has been for some time). > I stand corrected. I knew this, but used the more familiar NMC since the wx-talk list has a considerable audience of non-meteorologists who may not have recognized the NCEP acronym. >>I wonder what the reaction of the Europeans and others would be if the >>U.S. decided to restrict the MRF and/or AVN? > > MRF and AVN aren't data, they're models and model output. > Obviously, and so is the ECMWF, the subject of discussion... > In any case, _which_ Europeans? The commercial sector on both >continents would be quite happy. The European centers would not >mind (there's already an agreement to exchange model output between >centers, which would be unaffected). The only ones who would >lose anything would be the private citizens who have been using >the free US output rather then the for-fee output. > Perhaps I painted with too broad a brush. "_which_ Europeans" may be more aptly described as the British? Not being familiar with all the ins-and-outs of the coming European economic union, I wasn't sure how to distinguish the originator of the ECMWF... especially given the name of the center! Don't know why you would say the "commercial sector on both continents would be quite happy". Companies using the previously "free" ECMWF in their forecasting routines will now have to pay for it. What makes the ECMWF any different than any of the other global models? NCEP does not charge for its global model output, why should the European Center? And if charging is allowed for global models, why not regional ones? For the US, does output from the ETA, NGM, and RUC suddenly become at risk? Where do you draw the line? The bottom line: Should model output be considered basic data that should be unrestricted and freely available under the WMO covenents? I think so. Obviously, others don't. ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President, Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. 1735 E. University Dr. - Suite 101 P.O. Box 3267 Auburn, Alabama 36831-3267 ____ /\ \ / | | ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) / \ \ / | |___ (334) 826-2152 (FAX) /____\ \ /\ / | | Internet: sadams@awis.com / \ \/ \/ | ____| http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 2 Jul 1997 to 3 Jul 1997 ************************************************ From - Sat Jul 5 13:52:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102616-4648>; Sat, 5 Jul 1997 13:07:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA212452; Sat, 5 Jul 1997 00:03:41 -0500 Message-Id: <199707050503.AAA212452@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Jul 1997 00:00:42 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 3 Jul 1997 to 4 Jul 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 5385a2dea8041840f61c22df8fc8728c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 11808 Status: OR There are 6 messages totalling 284 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. studying wx 2. Safe place to watch lightning 3. WX-TALK Digest - 2 Jul 1997 to 3 Jul 1997 4. Thunderstorm intensity 5. FW: Friday Smile -- Science Theories 6. Technical outlook discussions +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 4 Jul 1997 19:15:59 +0900 From: "Dr. Charles Olson" Subject: studying wx The situation: I’m living here in Philippines for the last 3 years. Only in the last 6 months have I associated with a group of ham/marine mobile radio operators. We have a net which airs at 2300Z each morning on 14.315Mhz. The primary purpose is to provide for emergency traffic, health and welfare, and harbor information. Mostly it’s for private vessel N and NW of Australia as far as Valdivostok. I have been disseminating the typhoon and storm warnings as I receive them via Charley Kline WX- TROPL. The inquiry: Does anyone have addresses of locations to download basic weather texts? As an example just what does it mean when a typhoon goes "extratropical"? What are the implications? Also sailing vessels are asking for non-storm wind conditions at specific coordinates. Is this type of info available via the net? Any information or suggestions to improve the quality of this service would be appreciated. Yours Truly, C.Olson 412 Narra St. Davao City 8000 Philippines PHONE 63 82 222-0200 ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 4 Jul 1997 09:09:04 -0500 From: Dale Reid Subject: Safe place to watch lightning A few nights ago with the passage of an intense front, my son and I were treated to an amazing lightning display. There was almost no movement to the clouds, the rain didn't start for over and hour, and it was a very hot storm. We were able to watch for over an hour as night came on and since we were about two miles south of the action, were in no immediate danger. I doubt that I will see such perfect conditions again for a long time. We watched from the interior of our car, windows up, and not situated on the top of a hill. I felt that this was safe, and with his hint of anxiety about where we were and the intensity of Mother Nature dancing around, I have wondered about his questions as to where the safest place was. Can anyone comment on the following questions? Is a stationary car more likely to be hit than a moving car? What if it is very hot, and you leave a window rolled down a few inches; does this decrease the safety of being in a vehicle during a strike (something about ? Faraday cage effect?) Has anyone ever actually been IN a car or other vehicle and been hit? Is it as "safe" as they say it is? We stayed away from the windows, let our seats back and watched from the central part of the car, but what if we had been close to or pressed up against the window if we were hit? Finally, we had found our best viewing spot for this stationary cell was in a driveway about 15 feet away from the centerline of an above ground three phase, four wire 14,400 volt transmission line. I thought this was ideal.... The line would take any hit, the ground wire would drain to decrease the likelyhood of a hit, and we were in the "umbrella effect" area of protection. Since we weren't near a pole (where I would assume a hit would travel to ground along a pole) I thought this was the safest place. Am I right? What about if I were NOT in a vehicle, such as being trapped during a storm.... would this have been a place to be while bare? One final note... I saw something for the first time, and I don't think it was an optical illusion. The air was very clear, the strikes were very hot cloud to ground (there were frequent restrikes of three and four flashes in the same path, but once I counted as best I could between 14 and 16 strokes down the same path), and one strike that occurred within two miles had a sort of string-of-pearls look to it after the main flash vanished. These little lumps in the flash persisted for about 1/2 to 1 second after the main bolt. Could this have been a plasma ball? Thanks for the comments. I'll share them with my son and all the others that I've been pestering since we watched this storm. Dale ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 4 Jul 1997 09:35:27 -0500 From: Dan Satterfield Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 2 Jul 1997 to 3 Jul 1997 A comment on the ECMWF issue. First the WMO Resolution does NOT carry the rule of law in this country and second there are at least 2 other sites to get reliable ECM data. However I hesitate to mention them since someone may write them a nasty note and scare them into dropping or restricting the data. Dan Satterfield Chief Meteorologist WHNT TV Huntsville AL ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 4 Jul 1997 11:26:37 -0400 From: "Crowe, Michael [Ontario]" Subject: Thunderstorm intensity I'm trying to come up with a way to objectively determine when a thunderstorm goes from being *garden-variety* to *heavy*. The Canadian Manual of Surface Weather Observations instructs observers to call a thunderstorm heavy when "sharp and pronounced thunder and lightning occur almost continuously" - a rather subjective methodology. The paragraph goes on to say that "usually the storm is accompanied by heavy rain and sometimes by hail....peak wind may reach....) all of which indicates to me that lightning is really the phenomena that is the measure of a thunderstorm's intensity. With the North American lightning detection network becoming a reality accurate counts of numbers of lightning strike occurrences are becoming available. Is anyone aware of any work that has gone into actually defining a threshold for calling a thunderstorm *heavy*? Or maybe *severe*? Or does anyone have any ideas or suggestions? Mike Crowe Meteorologist Environment Canada ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 4 Jul 1997 09:25:26 -0600 From: "Ricketts,Steve [Edm]" Subject: FW: Friday Smile -- Science Theories Thought I'd pass this along as it includes some amusing weather definitions. >---------- > >The beguiling ideas about science quoted here were gleaned from essays, >exams, and classroom discussions. Most were from 5th and 6th graders. They >illustrate Mark Twain's contention that the "most interesting information >comes from children, for they tell all they know and then stop." > >Question: What is one horsepower? >Answer: One horsepower is the amount of energy it takes to drag a horse 500 >feet in one second. > >You can listen to thunder after lightening and tell how close you came. > >The law of gravity says no fair jumping up without coming back down. > >When they broke open molecules, they found they were only stuffed with atoms. >But when they broke open atoms, they found them stuffed with explosions. > >When people run around and around in circles we say they are crazy. When >planets do it we say they are orbiting. > >Rainbows are just to look at, not to really understand. > >While the earth seems to be knowingly keeping its distance from the sun, it >is really only centrificating. > >Someday we may discover how to make magnets that can point in any direction. > >South America has cold summers and hot winters, but somehow they still >manage. > >Most books now say our sun is a star. But it still knows how to change back >into a sun in the daytime. > >Water freezes at 32 degrees and boils at 212 degrees. There are 180 degrees >between freezing and boiling because there are 180 degrees between north and >south. > >A vibration is a motion that cannot make up its mind which way it wants to >go. > >There are 26 vitamins in all, but some of the letters are yet to be >discovered. Finding them all means living forever. > >There is a tremendous weight pushing down on the center of the Earth because >of so much population stomping around up there these days. > >Lime is a green-tasting rock. > >Many dead animals in the past changed to fossils while others preferred to be >oil. > >Genetics explain why you look like your father and if you don't why you >should. > >Vacuums are nothings. We only mention them to let them know we know they're >there. > >Some oxygen molecules help fires burn while others help make water, so >sometimes it's brother against brother. > >Some people can tell what time it is by looking at the sun. But I have never >been able to make out the numbers. > >We say the cause of perfume disappearing is evaporation. Evaporation get >blamed for a lot of things people forget to put the top on. > >To most people solutions mean finding the answers. But to chemists solutions >are things that are still all mixed up. > >In looking at a drop of water under a microscope, we find there are twice as >many H's as O's. > >Clouds are high flying fogs. > >I am not sure how clouds get formed. But the clouds know how to do it, and >that is the important thing. > >Clouds just keep circling the earth around and around. And around. There is >not much else to do. > >Water vapor gets together in a cloud. When it is big enough to be called a >drop, it does. > >Humidity is the experience of looking for air and finding water. > >We keep track of the humidity in the air so we won't drown when we breathe. > >Rain is often known as soft water, oppositely known as hail. Rain is saved up >in cloud banks. > >In some rocks you can find the fossil footprints of fishes. > >Cyanide is so poisonous that one drop of it on a dogs tongue will kill the >strongest man. > >A blizzard is when it snows sideways. > >A hurricane is a breeze of a bigly size. > >A monsoon is a French gentleman. > >Thunder is a rich source of loudness. > >Isotherms and isobars are even more important than their names sound. It is >so hot in some places that the people there have to live in other places. > >The wind is like the air, only pushier. > > ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 5 Jul 1997 00:37:57 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Technical outlook discussions At 12:00 AM 7/4/97 GMT, Brian wrote: >Granted, this is an extreme example, but it illustrates my dilemma: >does the potential for public confusion outweigh the rapid >dissemination? In the case of the state forecast discussion or the >convective outlook, does the availability of the reasoning outweigh >the potential confusion or misinterpretation by the user? > >bc Tornado / Severe Thunderstorm Watches are not so time-sensitive that the ten minutes media would have to wait for a county outline is too much... The SAW may be used to show a graphical outline of the watch, but if the media station determines county coverage -- then they have issued their own watch. Local NWS offices determine which counties are included, no one else. Rob ////////////////////////////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ Robert P Dale - N8GSK || rdale@norden1.com Meteorologist || rdale@storm.atms.purdue.edu Davidson Crane And Conveyor || dcc@norden1.com InterRAD NIDS Software http://www.stratus.weather.net/~rdale/interrad.html NW Ohio Weather Info http://wx.home.ml.org Northwest Ohio AMS http://nwohams.home.ml.org ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 3 Jul 1997 to 4 Jul 1997 ************************************************ From - Wed Jul 9 19:56:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102320-11812>; Sun, 6 Jul 1997 13:08:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAB156088; Sun, 6 Jul 1997 00:04:16 -0500 Message-Id: <199707060504.AAB156088@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Jul 1997 00:01:36 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 4 Jul 1997 to 5 Jul 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 36a70b7f00f467596d306ae8eb5e115d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3017 Status: OR There are 3 messages totalling 73 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Safe place to watch lightning 2. NSSL merchandise 3. need help finding publication +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 5 Jul 1997 09:58:03 -0700 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: Safe place to watch lightning Dale Reid wrote, deletia > ................................................and one strike that > occurred within two miles had a sort of string-of-pearls look to it > after the main flash vanished. These little lumps in the flash > persisted for about 1/2 to 1 second after the main bolt. Could this > have been a plasma ball? What Dale describes I have witnessed a number of times this year and has been called "bead lightning". A strong CG stroke which dissipates leaving in it's wake a vertical series of glowing round spheres about the same diameter as the lightening bolt was wide. The displays I have seen also lasted about a second or so after the initial CG stroke vanished. I can't comment on the exact technical explanation of this display. It is an interesting variation on common lightning and worth looking out for from a safe location. ************************************************************************* 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA Milwaukee Area Skywarn Assoc./Milwaukee-Waukesha Amateur Radio Emergency Service (A.R.E.S.)/IL Multi-County Warning System E-Mail, bkopp@execpc.com Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" my severe weather and SKYWARN home page! SFTS! http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 5 Jul 1997 20:16:55 -0600 From: Jeff Schmidt Subject: NSSL merchandise Hi Could somebody please give me the URL for the NSSL clothing merchandise web page? I accidentally deleted it. Thank you! -Jeff ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 5 Jul 1997 23:25:58 -0400 From: Shawn Trueman Subject: need help finding publication The name of the book about the May 31, 1985 tornado outbreak in southern Ontario, Ohio, and western Pennsylvania is _Tornado Watch #211_ by John Grant Fuller. Shawn Trueman Meteorologist Atmospherics Inc. 5652 E. Dayton Ave. Fresno, CA 93727 (209) 291-5575 ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 4 Jul 1997 to 5 Jul 1997 ************************************************ From - Wed Jul 9 19:56:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102298-12384>; Mon, 7 Jul 1997 13:21:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA152946; Mon, 7 Jul 1997 00:05:05 -0500 Message-Id: <199707070505.AAA152946@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Jul 1997 00:01:41 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 5 Jul 1997 to 6 Jul 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 7c44e400b5f1da85c0ff3df3781faf88 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 8731 Status: OR There are 8 messages totalling 231 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Questions 2. NSSL merchandise 3. August '97, Pop Comm 4. Thunderstorms and lightning (2) 5. SE Mich Outbreak 6. wind question (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 6 Jul 1997 07:45:51 -0700 From: Josiah A Mault Subject: Questions Hello! Does anybody know of any weather clubs and weather chat channels?? Anybody have ICQ? Josiah The Weather Page http://pages.prodigy.net/.jmmault/weather.htm ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 6 Jul 1997 10:02:05 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: NSSL merchandise On Sat, 5 Jul 1997, Jeff Schmidt wrote: > Hi > Could somebody please give me the URL for the NSSL clothing merchandise > web page? I accidentally deleted it. Thank you! > > -Jeff Hi Jeff, It's located at: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/nea/ Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 6 Jul 1997 12:50:23 -0500 From: Keith Brewster Subject: August '97, Pop Comm Wx-talk subscribers might be interested to hear that the August, 1997 issue of Popular Communications magazine is devoted to weather coverage. The Table O'Contents reads: NOAA Aviation Operations -NOAA's WP-3 research and reconnaissance aircraft. Midwest Severe Storm Spotting -Storm spotter monitoring and participation guide by yours truly. Radio Active Storm Chaser -Article on Warren Faidley. Riders on the Storm -FEMA and Search-and-Rescue radio monitoring info. Since it has arrived at newsstands in Norman, I assume its available now nationwide. -Keith ------------------- Keith Brewster n0iaw kbrews@galstar.com http://www.galstar.com/~kbrews/ ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 6 Jul 1997 13:54:50 -0700 From: Stephen Hodanish Subject: Thunderstorms and lightning A couple of things... The other day someone wanted to know if its safe to be in a car during a thunderstorm. The answer to this is YES. In matter of fact, being in a car is one of the safest places to be during a lightning storm. Also, cars have been struck by lightning many times in the past (A chasers' car was hit two years ago and it was caught on video), but, sometimes, the vehicle does get damaged (tires blown, electrical systems wrecked, etc). I am not aware of anybody ever being hurt in a car which was struck by lightning. I am not sure about having the windows down though. If I'm in a car watching a storm, I'll keep the windows up all the way and just run the AC to keep cool. Be careful about telephone wires. If lightning strikes the pole and causes the "live" wires to fall towards the ground (which happens frequently) and your car is under those wires...well, the results may not be pleasant... I have more about lightning safety on my work homepage: http://sunmlb.nws.fit.edu/newho.html Regarding heavy thunderstorms... THERE IS NO SUCH THING. Thunderstorms are not heavy. There are weak thunderstorms and strong thunderstorms and severe thunderstorms but there is no such thing as heavy thunderstorms. In matter of fact, NWS meteorologist are not permitted to use the word "heavy" for describing thunderstorms (They can say that they are producing heavy rain however...) Personally, a strong storm to me is dependent on the windspeed. Specifically, a storm that produces winds of 35 to 49 knots is strong (greater than 49 knots is severe...at least for now). Stephen Hodanish Meteorologist NWS/MLB FL ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 6 Jul 1997 16:23:08 -0400 From: "Gregory A. Surplus" Subject: Re: Thunderstorms and lightning At 01:54 PM 7/6/97 -0700, Stephen Hodanish wrote: >A couple of things... > >The other day someone wanted to know if its safe to be in a car during a >thunderstorm. The answer to this is YES. In matter of fact, being in >a car is one of the safest places to be during a lightning storm. Also, >cars have been struck by lightning many times in the past (A chasers' car >was hit two years ago and it was caught on video), but, sometimes, the >vehicle does get damaged (tires blown, electrical systems wrecked, etc). >I am not aware of anybody ever being hurt in a car which was struck by >lightning. I assume it would not be ideal to be touching the sides of the car, such as a door handle, when lightning strikes the vehicle. > >I am not sure about having the windows down though. If I'm in a car >watching a storm, I'll keep the windows up all the way and just run the >AC to keep cool. My guess is that is wouldn't matter since it is the metal shell of the car conducting the electricity. Anyone care to experiment? :-) >Be careful about telephone wires. If lightning strikes the pole and >causes the "live" wires to fall towards the ground (which happens >frequently) and your car is under those wires...well, the results may not >be pleasant... In this case wouldn't the danger be more from the pole crushing the car than if the wires simply came across the metal "cage" of the vehicle where electricity would be safely conducted away from the victim? Obviously nobody would be able to leave until the power was turned off. ********************************************************************** *Greg Surplus Microg's MD Weather Homepage * *gsurplus@delphi.com http://people.delphi.com/gsurplus/ * ********************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 6 Jul 1997 18:09:33 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: SE Mich Outbreak The NWS office in Detroit has issued several lengthy Public Information Statements regarding storm surveys they took in the Detroit metropolitan area -- I have archived them on the NW Ohio Weather Page if you would like to take a look... Rob ////////////////////////////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ Robert P Dale - N8GSK || rdale@norden1.com Meteorologist || rdale@storm.atms.purdue.edu Davidson Crane And Conveyor || dcc@norden1.com InterRAD NIDS Software http://www.stratus.weather.net/~rdale/interrad.html NW Ohio Weather Info http://wx.home.ml.org Northwest Ohio AMS http://nwohams.home.ml.org ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 6 Jul 1997 19:27:51 PDT From: I'm not stupid Subject: wind question I am wondering, on a roof of a house, does wind when it blows against the house,does it go around and above the house, or does it bouce backwards? Thanks, Jared Kaplan jared@sria.com weatherman@mad.scientist.com jared24@juno.com They say "bad weather is bad" I say "Bad weather is Great" ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 6 Jul 1997 19:39:38 -0500 From: Charles Edwards Subject: Re: wind question At 07:27 PM 7/6/97 PDT, I'm not stupid wrote: >I am wondering, on a roof of a house, does wind when it blows against the house,does it go around and above the house, or does it bouce backwards? Lets look at the question this way: If the wind bounces back, where would it go? The wind would continuously bounce back against more oncoming wind. I huge high pressure would eventually build up. So, the only answer is, the wind must somehow go around the house. Charles Edwards cedwards@rossby.metr.ou.edu storms@pair.com http://www3.pair.com/storms ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 5 Jul 1997 to 6 Jul 1997 ************************************************ From - Wed Jul 9 19:56:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102291-18223>; Tue, 8 Jul 1997 13:06:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA232696; Tue, 8 Jul 1997 00:01:52 -0500 Message-Id: <199707080501.AAA232696@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Jul 1997 00:00:19 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 6 Jul 1997 to 7 Jul 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 663dcb13bae09257e3cbb445b06beb57 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 13483 Status: OR There are 6 messages totalling 281 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. SE Michigan Outbreak 2. Internet Access 3. Lightning safety 4. Meteorology-related items in SHOPTALK 5. 970707: ECMWF output 6. ECMWF output +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 7 Jul 1997 06:08:00 EDT From: M Gerke Subject: SE Michigan Outbreak I read your post about the NWS Public Information Statements regarding last weeks storm. Due to serious financial reversal, I currently without an ISP and WEB access. Is there a way to forward the information from the NW Ohio Weather page to me via Email. I followed this storm very closely and would like more detailed information regarding the after effects. Thank you... BTW One of my friends is and EMT and a Public Safety Officer who administerd CPR to en-route to the hospital on victims who were swept into Lake St Clair with the gazebo they had fled to for shelter. ***************************** Michael Ludwig Gerke Happily utilizing Aviation, Weather Horizon Technology Group ZERO cost Email & OS/2 Warp Allen Park, MI USA at : aerolink1.juno.com Aficionado ****************************** ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 7 Jul 1997 06:39:02 EDT From: Chris Phillips Subject: Internet Access Hello EVeryone, I finally have gotten internet access here in North Carolina. We had some awesome storms to come through Eastern NC saturday nigh and the n again Sunday they revitalized over Craven County out of nowhere. Needless to say, I wasn't prepared to chase them, much less do anything else. Where can I get more information about how to forecast storms and their paths, I am looking for internet addresses for anything, but I am mainly interested in FORECASTING addresses!! Thanks for your help!!! Weatherfreak ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 7 Jul 1997 09:08:11 EDT From: "Steven M. Babin" Subject: Re: Lightning safety Stephen Hodanish wrote: > > snip > > Be careful about telephone wires. If lightning strikes the pole and > causes the "live" wires to fall towards the ground (which happens > frequently) and your car is under those wires...well, the results may not > be pleasant... > A picky point: I think you mean power lines, not ordinary telephone wires. Steve -- _____________________________________________________________________ / FROM: Steven Babin, MD, PhD Internet: Steven.Babin@jhuapl.edu \ | Office phone: (301)-953-6704 | | Office phone: (410)-792-6704 | | WWW Home page at: | | http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/people/babin/babin.html | | Office address: Ocean Remote Sensing Group | | The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab | | Johns Hopkins Road | | Laurel, MD 20723-6099 | | AD IN THE LONDON TIMES, 1907: | | Men wanted for hazardous journey. Small wages, bitter cold, long | | months of complete darkness, constant danger, safe return doubtful. | | Honour and recognition in case of success. | \ --Sir Ernest Shackleton / <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><>< ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 7 Jul 1997 11:01:58 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Meteorology-related items in SHOPTALK The following meteorology-related items appeared in Today's issue of SHOPTALK --an Internet-based TV news magazine. For more information on SHOPTALK see http://www.tvspy.com. ..Chris.. CRAIG MOELLER, weekend meteorologist at KUTV, is headed east to WVEC- TV in Norfolk. He'll be the morning and noon meteorologist for ND Keith Connors at the Belo owned station. Craig, a graduate of the University of Missouri, spent three years in Salt Lake. STEVE BARON is headed to Salt Lake City to be the weekend weathercaster for news director Geoff Roth at KSTU-TV, the Fox O&O had been working at WSBT-TV in South Bend. Both CRAIG and STEVE are represented by RICK GEVERS of Rick Gevers & Associates of Grand Rapids, Michigan...who just left Salt Lake City after appearing on a panel at, what else, the American Meteorological Society convention. METEOROLOGIST (WABG-TV) We're looking for two years experience as an on-the-air weather anchor for our 5, 6, and 10 pm newscasts, Monday-Friday. The ability to accurately deliver under the stress of severe weather in an reassuring manner is vital. Other important items: Good on-air personality (live shot experience a plus), full working knowledge of computers, a degree in meteorology, and any Seals will impress us. A Great chance for a Great future. Must also fill in for other members of the team when required. Send tape and resume to John Rogers Attn WX General Manager WABG-TV 849 Washington Ave. Greenville, MS 38701 CHIEF METEOROLOGIST (KOLO) We want it all. KOLO-TV is looking for a Chief Meteorologist to join Reno's number one news team. We're looking for someone with 2 years experience, a strong technical background, who can communicate with real people, someone who is creative, enthusiastic and not afraid to go out and get wet. The ability to report on science related issues and a familiarity with WSI Weather Producer gear is a plus. Stability and commitment is a must. We want someone who is ready to join the team and the town. If you're just looking for your next career pit- stop, don't bother. But if working for a quality organization in a great community with the Sierra and Lake Tahoe right next door appeals to you, we should talk. Send tapes and resumes to: Ed Pearce, News Director, KOLO-TV, P.O. Box 10,000, Reno, NV 89510. KOLO-TV is an Equal Opportunity Employer. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 7 Jul 1997 12:26:35 -0600 From: Don Murray Subject: 970707: ECMWF output I'd like to chime in on a couple of points in this discussion. First, as others have pointed out, the restriction of ECMWF data on the WWW is the result of WMO Resolution 40. However, you can get forecast charts for days 3-6 from ECMWF directly at: http://www.ecmwf.int/charts/charts.html (make sure you read the acceptible use policy.) A statement of the restrictions on products distributed on the GTS which are used to create the WWW images that are the focus of this discussion is at: http://www.ecmwf.int/charts/additional_products.html Secondly, ECMWF is not set up with the same mandate as the NWS. ECMWF is funded by a consortium of countries and was set up to provide data/resources to the meteorological services of the member states. If you read their objectives page, one of their objectives is: The preparation, on a regular basis, of medium-range weather forecasts for distribution to the meteorological services of the Member States; It has a fundamentally different function from the NWS so comparisons between what ECMWF does and what the NWS does are comparisons between apples and oranges. They don't have their own tax base that they can use to support the free distribution of their products. Their mission is to support the member states who pay for the products that are generated. Each member state only gets what it pays for, not the whole suite of products generated at the Centre. Those who pay more get more products. You can read more about their pricing at: http://www.ecmwf.int/data/catalog_contents.html Thirdly, why is so much emphasis placed on the ECMWF data? Are the MRF and AVN such abysmal models that they can't be used for global forecasting? If so, then every taxpaying citizen should be lobbying the government to build a better model (or perhaps buy the ECMWF model ;-)). There is such a plethora of data on the Web that most people don't know what to do with the data that are out there, let alone need more. (I'm sure I'll get flamed for this, but what the heck). There are many more fields available from the MRF than from the ECMWF on the FOS circuits and there are no restrictions on those data. There are descriptive comparisons of the UK MET, ECMWF, AVN/MRF models made by the NWS. If the emphasis is on the restriction of data, then I can understand it a bit more. However, one only need to mention NAFTA to start a lively discussion about the pros/cons of free trade and the opening of borders. Should NASA provide all it has gathered at taxpayer's expense to the whole world and still expect to maintain a competitive edge over EUMETSAT and Russia? I think many Americans would think otherwise. (But, I digress....). This doesn't mean I agree with the restriction of data, but I did want to point out the URLS and (hopefully) clarify a few points that have been raised. Also, these are my opinions and not necessarily those of my employer. Don ************************************************************* Don Murray UCAR Unidata Program dmurray@unidata.ucar.edu P.O. Box 3000 (303) 497-8628 Boulder, CO 80307 ************************************************************* Unidata WWW Server http://www.unidata.ucar.edu/ McIDAS Demonstration Machine http://mcdemo.unidata.ucar.edu/ ************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 7 Jul 1997 14:41:10 -0500 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: ECMWF output >From dmurray@UNIDATA.UCAR.EDU Mon Jul 7 13:28:40 1997 > >Secondly, ECMWF is not set up with the same mandate as the NWS. >ECMWF is funded by a consortium of countries and was set up to >provide data/resources to the meteorological services of the member >states. If you read their objectives page, one of their objectives is: > >The preparation, on a regular basis, of medium-range weather forecasts for >distribution to the meteorological services of the Member States; > >It has a fundamentally different function from the NWS so comparisons >between what ECMWF does and what the NWS does are comparisons between >apples and oranges. Don, Thanks for the enlightenment on ECMWF and the URLs. I hadn't realized that the ECMWF was an orange! It's set-up is quite interesting. Perhaps this is what the U.S. politicians are looking at when they spout off about privatizing certain elements of gov't meteorological services such as the research labs and NCDC. Frankly, I couldn't understand who would "buy" FSL or NESDIS or even NCDC for that matter, and expect to make them for-profit entities. I see now what they think might be possible. Not that I agree with this approach in the USA... however it does lend some financial flexibility to the European member states. However, how would you like to be a forecaster in one of those states when, in a tough economic time, your gov't tells you it can't afford to buy as much ECMWF data as before. You'll have to make due with bi-weekly data! Yuk! :-) Seriously, though... if, for example, FSL was set up this way, obviously the NWS would be a MAJOR customer. What would happen if the NWS budget got smashed and they decided to drop their contract with FSL? (Real-time example: the Regional Climate Centers) Would there be enough other business for FSL to survive on? I have grave doubts about it. And what would happen if FSL went out of business? Research infrastructure is not something you can recreate quickly and cheaply. Then where do you turn to... the universities? Kind of defeats the purpose of privatization, doesn't it? Anyway, I digress.... I hope the ECMWF situation works well for its customers and that it is financially supportable long term! ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President, Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. 1735 E. University Dr. - Suite 101 P.O. Box 3267 Auburn, Alabama 36831-3267 ____ /\ \ / | | ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) / \ \ / | |___ (334) 826-2152 (FAX) /____\ \ /\ / | | Internet: sadams@awis.com / \ \/ \/ | ____| http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 6 Jul 1997 to 7 Jul 1997 ************************************************ From - Wed Jul 9 19:56:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102946-737>; Wed, 9 Jul 1997 13:13:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA228222; Wed, 9 Jul 1997 00:08:36 -0500 Message-Id: <199707090508.AAA228222@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Jul 1997 00:02:21 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 7 Jul 1997 to 8 Jul 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 161d9df1b629ed7d0a2b9657596f92b8 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 7479 Status: OR There are 4 messages totalling 160 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Wind & houses (3) 2. Returned mail: Host unknown +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 8 Jul 1997 09:18:11 -24000 From: "David J. Kinsey" Subject: Wind & houses On July 6, "Im not stupid" wrote to ask where the wind goes when it hits a house. One reply was provided; thought I'd add another two cents. Depending on the shape, there is a bit of (sometimes a great deal of) airfoil effect created when wind is going over a roof - likely a contributing factor to why so many are torn off during tornados, hurrcanes and strong, straight-line winds. When I was in Air Force weather school, however, there was no definitive answer to whether one should open or close windows in such storms and what relation that facotr might have to the "explosion" of a house (vacuum effects, etc.). I have a hunch there is a conection between carburetion prinicples and this window/vacuum/explosion question. What's the word these days? Is the case open or shut? ********************************************************************* * David J. Kinsey, MSG, CWSO, 200th WF, VaANG, Sandston, VA * * Environmental Program Manager, Va. Dept. of Environ. Quality * * 804-698-4432 djkinsey@deq.state.va.us or davdjkin@i2020.net * * "divinatio ergo occuro" (geez, wouldn't THAT be nice, but boring)* ********************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 8 Jul 1997 09:54:25 -0400 From: Mike Taube Subject: Re: Wind & houses The latest, as far as I know is this: There is no difference between having your windows opened or closed when a tornado passes by. The barometric pressure theory stated that the pressure was so low within the funnel that the windows would literally explode outwards due to the difference in pressure (ie wind). While funnels do have very low barometric pressures, it has been shown that houses have enough gaps in them [to the outside] to allow the pressures to equal out quickly Mike Taube miket@htech.com >-----Original Message----- >From: David J. Kinsey [SMTP:djkinsey@DEQ.STATE.VA.US] >Sent: Tuesday, July 08, 1997 5:18 AM >To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK >Subject: Wind & houses > >On July 6, "Im not stupid" wrote to ask where the wind goes when it hits a >house. One reply was provided; thought I'd add another two cents. Depending >on the shape, there is a bit of (sometimes a great deal of) airfoil effect >created when wind is going over a roof - likely a contributing factor to why >so many are torn off during tornados, hurrcanes and strong, straight-line >winds. > >When I was in Air Force weather school, however, there was no definitive >answer to whether one should open or close windows in such storms and what >relation that facotr might have to the "explosion" of a house (vacuum >effects, etc.). I have a hunch there is a conection between carburetion >prinicples and this window/vacuum/explosion question. What's the word these >days? Is the case open or shut? > >********************************************************************* >* David J. Kinsey, MSG, CWSO, 200th WF, VaANG, Sandston, VA * >* Environmental Program Manager, Va. Dept. of Environ. Quality * >* 804-698-4432 djkinsey@deq.state.va.us or davdjkin@i2020.net * >* "divinatio ergo occuro" (geez, wouldn't THAT be nice, but boring)* >********************************************************************* > ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 8 Jul 1997 11:02:55 -0500 From: Charles Edwards Subject: Re: Wind & houses >When I was in Air Force weather school, however, there was no definitive >answer to whether one should open or close windows in such storms and what >relation that facotr might have to the "explosion" of a house (vacuum >effects, etc.). I have a hunch there is a conection between carburetion >prinicples and this window/vacuum/explosion question. What's the word these >days? Is the case open or shut? KEEP THEM SHUT!!!!!!!! If there is a pressure change great enough to "explode" the house, The wind and debris will open the windows for you. Opening windows only waists time that could be spent seeking shelter, and actually more damage can be done to your house if they are open due to objects and rain flying in the house that may otherwise be stopped by the window. Charles Edwards storms@pair.com http://www3.pair.com/storms ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 8 Jul 1997 12:24:24 -0500 From: Carolyn Johnson Subject: Returned mail: Host unknown Wx-talkers... Of late, a lot of bandwidth has been expended on contractions and scientific reasoning in NWS products such as the AFD/SFD, HWU...etc. Let me pose another thought on these NWS products. Since members of this list are all certifiable weather "nuts" we have a deeper and more abiding interest in these products than does the general public. The NWS, however, has the responsibility of providing concise and meaningful weather information (forecasts, warnings, watches...etc) to the GENERAL PUBLIC, and NOT specifically to the "weather nuts". That is why you have two different types of products. One set is for meteorologists and "weather nuts", the other is for the general public. For those who complain about the contrations and the technical information, I guess you know what group you fall into. If, on the other hand, you are truely a "weather nut", then it behooves you to learn the contractions and the scientific background in order to enable you to understand what you are reading. The fact that most of these products (not all) are available via the internet places no onus upon the scientific community to "dumb it down" to the point where anyone can understand it. That's what the routine forecast products are for. To be blunt...If you cannot understand the science and you cannot read the contractions, give up. It wasn't written for you anyway. Lest this sound too arrogant, I will state that I do not understand all the material on computer programing that I have access to via the WWW. But... I certainly do not blame the programmers and "computer nuts" for not making this information clear to me, a layman. There are a lot of things in REAL science that not everyone is going to understand! Hell...there's a lot that even fellow scientists don't understand or agree on! How come everyone wants easy answers to VERY complicated problems??!! There!! I've said it and I'm glad!!! My personal opinions only and standard disclaimers apply. RGDS// Jim Johnson ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- I spend my life looking for linear solutions to destinctly non-linear problems! ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Carolyn G. Johnson ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 7 Jul 1997 to 8 Jul 1997 ************************************************ From - Thu Jul 10 14:27:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102844-26088>; Thu, 10 Jul 1997 13:08:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA68266; Thu, 10 Jul 1997 00:02:39 -0500 Message-Id: <199707100502.AAA68266@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Jul 1997 00:00:30 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 8 Jul 1997 to 9 Jul 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 99a48f33e6799bfe81fd46667482dae1 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 13 messages totalling 599 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Returned mail: Host unkn 2. Wind and Houses (3) 3. National Weather Association May 1997 Newsletter 4. Thunderstorm Intensity (2) 5. More SE MI storms 6. TV weather-related items from SHOPTALK 7. wind and houses (FWD: from Bill Conway, conway@nssl.noaa.gov) 8. wind and houses 9. Weather Tutorial 10. Lightning hitting car and other stuff +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 8 Jul 1997 04:32:04 -0500 From: "David B. Smith" Subject: Returned mail: Host unkn CJ>contractions, give up. It wasn't written for you anyway. CJ>Lest this sound too arrogant, I will state that I do not understand all the CJ>material on computer programing that I have access to via the WWW. But... I CJ>certainly do not blame the programmers and "computer nuts" for not making CJ>this information clear to me, a layman. CJ>There are a lot of things in REAL science that not everyone is going to CJ>understand! Hell...there's a lot that even fellow scientists don't CJ>understand or agree on! CJ>How come everyone wants easy answers to VERY complicated problems??!! CJ>There!! I've said it and I'm glad!!! Don't these arguments sound very similar to those among the Catholic clergy who argued for centuries for Latin? Either "but the laypeople wouldn't really get this stuff anyway," or "but we've always done it this way!" The Latin still exists -- but readable translations consistent with the original text are also available. I like to listen to Latin -- but I also like to understand all I can, without learning dead languages. How do we -know-, how do you know, what we might be able to understand and appreciate, if we can't read the stuff in the first place? Why make the message deliberately obscure to preserve the bandwidth and technology requirements of 20-year-old technology that has fallen into disuse -- except for the High Priesthood? But I Mean This In A Nice Way... :) * SLMR 2.1a * Rumour has it that Teri can't make tasty Jello -<< R O T -- >> David B. Smith | Email sysop@atbbs.com, dbsmith@izzy.net >> Sysop, American Tune BBS | DISCLAIMER: Hey, I -own- the place! >> Anyway, my views are sometimes not even my own, much less anyone else's. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 9 Jul 1997 05:41:52 -0700 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: Wind and Houses Good topic! Does the lurking specter of low atmospheric pressure induce one's house to implode/explode with the arrival of a tornado, thus spewing the occupants and their worldly possessions throughout the four corners of our planet? Balderdash! It's about time that we can lay this old fable to rest! The direct effect of 100 to 300 mph winds and imbedded debris missiles easily account for all the damage associated with tornadoes or severe straight line winds. Secondarily, building design, construction and orientation to the wind dictate performance of that structure in a severe wind event. Damage to a structure is accomplished by the following factors, Winds from 100 to 300 mph create a -lot- of force. Opened/damaged windows, doors or walls allow the wind to enter the building and "inflate" the structure. Walls collapse and/or the roof is propelled upward and away from the building site. A large overhang on a poorly secured roof (most roofs are not well secured) will allow the violent winds to become trapped under the eaves and focus their energy underneath the roof overhang. Bye bye roof! The slope/pitch of a roof can further contribute to it's demise by acting as a sort of airfoil. Thus the air speeding over the roof increases the air pressure above the roof in relation to the lower air pressure underneath the roof. One's roof then essentially becomes a lift mechanism such as an airplane wing. SeeeeeeeYa! In short, leave your doors and windows closed at the onset of a storm. Stay away from windows and doors during a storm. Go to a small interior room or a basement if one is available. For recommended reading on the subject I would recommend, FEMA TR-83B "TORNAADO PROTECTION, Selecting and Designing Safe Areas in Buildings". ************************************************************************* 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA Milwaukee Area Skywarn Assoc./Milwaukee-Waukesha Amateur Radio Emergency Service (A.R.E.S.)/IL Multi-County Warning System E-Mail, bkopp@execpc.com Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" my severe weather and SKYWARN home page! SFTS! http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 9 Jul 1997 07:29:07 -0400 From: Floyd Hauth Subject: National Weather Association May 1997 Newsletter Topics included in the May NWA Newsletter: 1. President's Message (Discusses membership gains, letters to the editor and solicits articles for the Newsletter and Digest) 2. Dates to Remember. 3. NWA 22nd Annual Meeting (19-24 October, 1997 in Reno, Nevada). 4. Featured NWA Council Member -G. Alan Johnson. 5. Hazardous Weather Update Terminated. 6. Letters to the Editor (about NWS Budget Cuts) 7. New Home Page and Domain Name (http://www.nwas.org) 8. New Feature - -do's/don'ts list for weathercasters 9. Member News 10. Local Chapter News (Central Iowa and Weather MINDS Chapters) 11. 1st Annual Ohio Severe Weather Symposium 12. Job Corner 13. NWA Publications Available. For copies or more information call or fax J. Kevin Lavin at 334-213-0388 or email him at: natweaasoc@aol.com ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 9 Jul 1997 09:57:46 -0400 From: "Crowe, Michael [Ontario]" Subject: Thunderstorm Intensity On July 5 Steven Hodanish said: >Regarding heavy thunderstorms... >THERE IS NO SUCH THING. Thunderstorms are not heavy. There are weak >thunderstorms and strong thunderstorms and severe thunderstorms but there >is no such thing as heavy thunderstorms. In matter of fact, NWS >meteorologist are not permitted to use the word "heavy" for describing >thunderstorms (They can say that they are producing heavy rain >however...) Well, perhaps there is no such thing in the NWS, but there definitely is such a thing in Canada, as described in our Manual of Surface Observations, and WMO standards call for thunderstorms to be reported with an intensity - intensity being defined as light, moderate or heavy. (note I'm talking about reporting a thunderstorm, not forecasting one). The point is that up until now there has only been subjective criteria for determining intensity. Picking up on NWS intensities, is there such a thing as objective criteria defining what is weak, strong or severe - from an observing standpoint? >Personally, a strong storm to me is dependent on the windspeed. >Specifically, a storm that produces winds of 35 to 49 knots is >strong (greater than 49 knots is severe...at least for now). I have been through thunderstorms in Alberta that featured baseball sized hail that did a lot of damage, but were not accompanied by winds of any significance. I have heard of thunderstorms causing flash floods that were accompanied by neither hail nor strong winds. And on and on. Point being, all of the above would probably be considered "strong" or "heavy" or whatever by anyone's standards. What I'm looking for is any objective criteria for determining when a thunderstorm crosses the line to heavy based on lightning strikes. We will have the capabilty to report an intensity with a thunderstorm based on lightning strikes once we have our lightning network in place. You already have this capability in the US. Was any thought given to doing this? Would it be of value? Maybe the windspeed is a better delineator of intensities... Mike Crowe Meteorologist Environment Canada ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 9 Jul 1997 10:10:33 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: More SE MI storms Oakland County was now surveyed, and I've added to the list on the NW Ohio Weather Information Page. However I thought this excerpt was notable... ** ABUS34 KDTX 090707 *** PNSDTX PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 305 AM EDT WED JUL 9 1997 .....OAKLAND COUNTY STORM SURVEY..... [...]IN TWO LOCATIONS, THERE WERE THREE TRAILERS ON TOP OF EACH OTHER. SOME OF THE TRAILERS THAT WERE SECURELY FASTENED DID SHOW SOME STRESS ON THEIR TIES. THEY MOVED SOME...BUT THEY DID NOT FLIP LIKE THOSE WHICH WERE NOT SECURELY FASTENED OR NOT TIED DOWN AT ALL. A 40 YEAR OLD WOMAN WAS KILLED IN ONE OF THE TRAILERS WHEN ANOTHER TRAILER LANDED ON THE TRAILER THAT SHE WAS OCCUPYING. THERE WERE ALSO SEVERAL LARGE TREES BLOWN DOWN IN AND NEAR THE TRAILER PARK. OVERALL...IT WAS DETERMINED THAT THE TORNADO THAT HIT THE TRAILER PARKS WAS AN F1 OF THE FUJITA SCALE AND HAD A PATH LENGTH OF ABOUT A 1/4 MILE. IT WAS DETERMINED THAT THE DAMAGE COULD HAVE BEEN MINIMIZED IF THOSE TRAILERS THAT WERE HEAVILY DAMAGED WOULD HAVE BEEN SECURELY FASTENED TO THEIR CEMENT SLABS. HOWEVER, EVEN IT THEY HAD BEEN SECURELY FASTENED...THERE STILL WOULD HAVE BEEN SOME DAMAGE...BUT PROBABLY NOT AS MUCH AS WAS OBSERVED. EVEN IF THEY WERE SECURED...THE WALLS PROBABLY WOULD HAVE BUCKLED AND BLOWN DOWN BY THE SURE FORCE OF THE TORNADIC WINDS. AN EXAMPLE OF THIS WAS OBSERVED AT CHATEAU OAKHILL TRAILER PARK. HOWEVER, THE OVERALL DAMAGE WOULD HAVE BEEN MUCH LESS. [...] IN SUMMARY: AT 5:30 PM...THERE WAS ROOF DAMAGE TO A CAR DEALERSHIP, CANOPY AND WINDOW DAMAGE TO THE MOBILE GAS STATION ALONG WITH SEVERAL TREES BLOWN DOWN AT THE INTERSECTION OF HOLLY ROAD AND I-75. THIS DAMAGE WAS CAUSED BY 75 MPH STRAIGHT LINE WINDS BLOWING INTO THE TORNADIC SUPERCELL. AT 5:32 PM...A TORNADO STRUCK TWO MOBILE HOME PARKS NEAR HOLLY BETWEEN GRANGE HALL ROAD AND HOLLY ROADS ON DIXIE HIGHWAY. THE CAUSE OF THIS DAMAGE WAS A F1 TORNADO THAT WAS ON THE GROUND FOR APPROXIMATELY A 1 /4 MILE. 14 MOBILE HOMES WERE DESTROYED AT CHATEAU OAK HILL MOBILE HOME PARK AND 11 MOBILE HOMES WERE DESTROYED AT SPRING GROVE MOBILE HOME PARK. OVERALL, BOTH MOBILE PARKS HAD 25 MOBILE HOMES DESTROYED, 10 MOBILE HOMES SUFFERED MAJOR DAMAGE, AND 95 MOBILE HOMES SUFFERED MINOR DAMAGE. MOST OF THE DAMAGE OCCURRED AS A RESULT OF TRAILERS EITHER BEING NOT TIED DOWN OR NOT BEING TIED DOWN PROPERLY. THERE WERE ALSO SEVERAL TREES BLOWN DOWN BY THE TORNADO. SENT BY - MICHAEL NADOLSKI - DATA ACQUISITION PROGRAM MANAGER WSFO DETROIT/PONTIA ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 9 Jul 1997 09:22:53 CDT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: Re: Wind and Houses >From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF > >Does the lurking specter of low atmospheric pressure induce one's house >to implode/explode with the arrival of a tornado, thus spewing the >occupants and their worldly possessions throughout the four corners of >our planet? >The slope/pitch of a roof can further contribute to it's demise by >acting as a sort of airfoil. Thus the air speeding over the roof >increases the air pressure above the roof in relation to the lower air >pressure underneath the roof. One's roof then essentially becomes a >lift mechanism such as an airplane wing. SeeeeeeeYa! You have this in reverse. The air pressure on the top side of the roof is lower than on the bottom, hence the roof flies upward (toward low pressure). The exact principle explains the airfoil...lower pressure on the top of the wing and higher pressure on the bottom causes lift (towards lower pressure). greg stumpf, NSSL ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 9 Jul 1997 09:12:08 -0600 From: "Ricketts,Steve [Edm]" Subject: Re: Thunderstorm Intensity >---------- >From: Crowe, Michael [Ontario] >Sent: July 9, 1997 7:57 AM >To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK >Subject: Thunderstorm Intensity > >On July 5 Steven Hodanish said: > >>Regarding heavy thunderstorms... > >>THERE IS NO SUCH THING. Thunderstorms are not heavy. There are weak >>thunderstorms and strong thunderstorms and severe thunderstorms but >there >>is no such thing as heavy thunderstorms. In matter of fact, NWS >>meteorologist are not permitted to use the word "heavy" for describing >>thunderstorms (They can say that they are producing heavy rain >>however...) > >Well, perhaps there is no such thing in the NWS, but there definitely is >such a thing in Canada, as described in our Manual of Surface >Observations, and WMO standards call for thunderstorms to be reported >with an intensity - intensity being defined as light, moderate or heavy. >(note I'm talking about reporting a thunderstorm, not forecasting one). >The point is that up until now there has only been subjective criteria >for determining intensity. Picking up on NWS intensities, is there such >a thing as objective criteria defining what is weak, strong or severe - >from an observing standpoint? I think we should be careful about applying technical definition to public usage. Sure... our MANOBS may use this definition but it should not (or not necessarily) mean that we should use it in reports, forecasts, warnings, etc. I'm seen this done elsewhere. Until recently, I never heard the term "snowshowers"... it's "flurries", ain't it?! The term means nothing to me... and to many other people, I suspect. I think this came from RW- being rainshowers and SW- meaning... well, snowshowers. Anyway... sounds quite silly (to me). And then there's TRW becoming "thundershowers" (as opposed to thunderstorms) Lots of other examples... - people using "mean" temperatures (and wind speeds).. instead of "average" or "normal" - "moderate" rain (which most people would perceive as being rather heavy) - "ice crystals" (means nothing to most people who can't even see them) ..steve +---------------------------------------------------------------------+ | Steve Ricketts | Manager, Northern Alberta Environmental Services Centre | Environment Canada's Prairie and Northern Region, Edmonton, AB | Phone (403)951-8788 FAX 495-2615 e-mail: Steve.Ricketts@ec.gc.ca +---------------------------------------------------------------------+ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 9 Jul 1997 11:34:28 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV weather-related items from SHOPTALK The following weather-related items appeared in SHOPTALK --an Internet TV news magazine. For more information on SHOPTALK see http://www.tvspy.com. >MORNING WEATHER/HOST: (WECT) >The #1 station in Southeastern North Carolina is looking for a weather >person for our morning and noon newscasts. The morning duties include >some hosting of an hour-long program. AMS or NWS seal preferred, but >not absolutely necessary. Send VHS tapes and resumes to Ron Becker, >General Manager, WECT-TV, 322 Shipyard Blvd., Wilmington, NC 28412. >No phone calls please. Drug screen required. EOE > >WEEKEND WEATHER: (WECT) >The #1 station in Wilmington, North Carolina is looking for a Weekend >Meteorologist. An AMS or NWS seal is preferred, but not absolutely >necessary. The job also requires reporting on environmental and >science issues three days a week. This is a great opportunity for >someone who is looking for solid coaching, and a chance to grow in a >dynamic new company. Send VHS tapes and resumes to Ron Becker, >General Manager, WECT-TV, 322 Shipyard Blvd., Wilmington, NC 28412. No >phone calls please. Drug screen required. EOE The following is a weather-related reply to a series of questions people on SHOPTALK have been asking about what should go into a resume tape (demo reel) when applying for a TV weather position. Don Fitzpatrick of SHOPTALK suggested... >Include two complete weathercasts. Use one from a >particularly stormy bad-weather day. Another from a real nice day. >At the end of the tape you should include any science, environmental >or weather stories you may have done. If you have live shots that >show you out in the community, include that. You also want to include >your interaction with anchors on-set. No montage is needed. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 9 Jul 1997 14:08:17 GMT From: Bill Gross Subject: Re: Wind and Houses Bernie Kopp KB9KEF wrote: >Good topic! > >Does the lurking specter of low atmospheric pressure induce one's house >to implode/explode with the arrival of a tornado, thus spewing the >occupants and their worldly possessions throughout the four corners of >our planet? > As Al Moler says, "if the tornado wants you windows open it will open them, if it wants them left closed it will leave them closed." ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 9 Jul 1997 13:54:13 CDT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: Re: wind and houses (FWD: from Bill Conway, conway@nssl.noaa.gov) ----- Begin Included Message ----- >From conway@kabumpo.nssl.noaa.gov Wed Jul 9 13:52:10 1997 Date: Wed, 9 Jul 97 13:52:08 CDT In article <33C38710.B07.29553@execpc.com>, Bernie Kopp KB9KEF wrote: >Damage to a structure is accomplished by the following factors, > >Winds from 100 to 300 mph create a -lot- of force. I will come out of lurk mode and offer an observation on this "pressure forcing" topic. I was on a damage survey in Stillwater, OK several years ago. Damage was F2-3. The tornado had done significant damage to several houses in a row. Just outside this damage path there were 3 houses which faced the tornado's track. Each sustained no damage at all except that their garage doors had buckled *outward*. ..... I leave it to the reader to reach their own conclusions .... Bill Conway "... nothing lasts forever, even NSSL cold November rain ..." conway@nssl.noaa.gov G 'N R ----- End Included Message ----- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 9 Jul 1997 17:16:20 -0500 From: Karl Werner Schulze Subject: Re: wind and houses At 01:54 PM 7/9/97 CDT, Bill Conway wrote: >I will come out of lurk mode and offer an observation on this "pressure >forcing" topic. I was on a damage survey in Stillwater, OK several >years ago. Damage was F2-3. The tornado had done significant damage to >several houses in a row. Just outside this damage path there were 3 >houses which faced the tornado's track. Each sustained no damage at >all except that their garage doors had buckled *outward*. I don't think that anybody is denying the existence of "pressure forcing" when they recommend not opening the windows. It certainly is a *component*, but compared with the ferocious wind speed of the tornado itself, it is negligible. I'd imagine that the low pressure area caused by the tornadic winds flowing around the house could cause the garage doors to buckle on the lee side. Garage doors aren't the most stable of structures to begin with (the impact of a basketball really causes a great deal of vibration). But, could a large enough pressure gradient ever be created to cause an explosion of a home, given that homes aren't air-tight? I doubt it. The observations have shown that tornadic winds alone can easily account for the damage that is observed. Perhaps there is a tiny, tiny "umph" caused by pressure differences, but certainly not enough to require people to risk their safety opening windows. Besides, enough has been said about debris opening the windows anyway, the 'inflation' issue, etc. *************************************************************** * Karl Werner Schulze HAM Radio Call: KB9JRJ * * Meteorology Graduate Student - Texas A&M University * * E-Mail: kschulze@ariel.met.tamu.edu * * Snail-Mail: 7703 Gettysburg CT., College Station, TX 77845 * * Disclaimer: SUE ME! * *************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 9 Jul 1997 19:51:59 -0400 From: "R. H. Dudley" Subject: Weather Tutorial Could someone recommend source material: text(s), monograph(s), web site(s) that would help me get some meteorological understanding of hurricanes? I subscribe to the WX-ATLAN products. I am especially interested in the synoptic conditions that lead to tropical depressions, tropical storms and hurricanes. I am active in the Amateur Radio Emergency Service (ARES) as District Emergency Coordinator for five Central Florida counties. Our function is to provide backup communications to community emergency organizations such as Red Cross and even fire and police organizations should their normal communications fail. We are active whenever a hurricane strikes or even threatens to strike in or near our area. So, I would like to read the TROPDISC and get some more sense of which of those tropical waves or areas with convection might develop into something we might have to cope with. I would also like to understand the mechanisms that act in the formation and maintenance of a hurricane. When it comes to the technical details of weather, I am a layman. However, I have the formal scientific and engineering background in math, chemistry and physics required for engineering undergraduate and graduate degrees. So, I think that I can learn terminology, technical jargon and grasp physical concepts. I have been a pilot for 50 years including flying in the military. So I have been exposed to meteorological terminology and concepts as they apply to aviation weather including a Navy course in "Aerology". Your suggestions will be appreciated. Thanks, R. H. (Dick) Dudley, AC4PF ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 10 Jul 1997 00:03:21 -0700 From: Stephen Hodanish Subject: Lightning hitting car and other stuff The other day I talked about lightning safety in automobiles. Well, a couple of days ago I recieved this message at work: *** Steve, Hi my name is Jo-ann Doe (name changed) and on July 6th I was on my way to pick up my daughter at a friends and I came accross heavy rains and lightning. As I was driving I noticed lightning overhead. Just a few seconds later I experienced or how I describe it a bomb going off in my car. The car clicked off as well as my radio, and my air conditioner then everything kinda clicked back on. The radio as well as air conditioner were blown but the car seemed fine. When this happened my body experienced a warm sensation as well as then inside of the car was warm and smelled of burning rubber. As I mentioned before the car was running and seemed to be running fine so I kept on going. After I calmed down I pulled over to the side of the road and called my husband. The "check gauges" came on and husband said to get to a safe place and pull over..so I proceeded. It was still pouring down rain and I could'nt see a thing because the window was completely fogged and defrost was not working so I proceeded slowly then noticed the car feeling sluggish..eventually when I pulled over I got out and found I had 3 flat tires and my antenna to the car was missing. There were no markings where the antenna had been and no other visible markings on the car.... *** ...Yes, being in an automobile is indeed a safe place to be. If anybody has any type of **DOCUMENTATION** about other automobiles being hit by lightning, please let me know. (I am already aware of the videotape of a chasers car getting hit by lightning a couple of years ago). Other stuff.... About the contractions in the NWS, I could not agree more with Jim Johnsons' comments on the subject, especially: *** To be blunt...If you cannot understand the science and you cannot read the contractions, give up. It wasn't written for you anyway. *** Adding to this...It is bad enough that we already have to write our public products on a 4th grade level (If I am not mistaken). If you enjoy the weather so much, than learn the contractions! Don't force us to make *everything* "easy" for you. Stephen Hodanish NWS/MLB ...My opinions only... ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 8 Jul 1997 to 9 Jul 1997 ************************************************ From - Fri Jul 11 14:49:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102444-263>; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 13:30:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA226672; Fri, 11 Jul 1997 00:10:31 -0500 Message-Id: <199707110510.AAA226672@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Jul 1997 00:04:16 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 9 Jul 1997 to 10 Jul 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 4f1ab8751390122006e62e1007ed9a2a X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 23805 Status: OR There are 14 messages totalling 569 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. snowshowers?? 2. Wind and Houses Revisited 3. Thunderstorm Intensity (2) 4. Wind and Houses 5. METARs not being sent! 6. WX-TALK Digest - 8 Jul 1997 to 9 Jul 1997 7. TV Meteorology-related news from SHOPTALK 8. Contractions...etc...What? Again? 9. "Under the Whirlwind" 10. More SE MI storms 11. Weather Tutorial 12. WX-TALK Digest - 5 Jul 1997 to 6 Jul 1997 13. Picture Of A Tornado In Georgia +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 10 Jul 1997 01:18:16 -0400 From: Rick Subject: snowshowers?? >On July 9 Steven Hodanish said: >I'm seen this done elsewhere. Until recently, I never heard the term >"snowshowers"... it's "flurries", ain't it?! The term means >nothing to me... and to many other people, I suspect. I think this came >from RW- being rainshowers and SW- meaning... well, snowshowers. >Anyway... sounds quite silly (to me). And then there's TRW becoming >"thundershowers" (as opposed to thunderstorms) Well out in the high elevation west, once in Flagstaff AZ, I saw a convective "flurry" dump 4 inches of snow in about 1/2 hour. A mile away it was partly sunny. I think if you called that a "flurry", local folk would kick your hiney. Snowshowers is a very plausible term especially in high altitude climos. On the east coast and ever so rarely in FL, flurries occur, out west with real cold air aloft they (snowshowers) often produce frequent lightning. RVT oooooooooo ooooo oooo ooooooooooo 888 888 888 88 88 888 88 888oooo88 888 88 888 888 88o 88888 888 o888o 88o8 888 o888o VORTEX69@SUPER.ZIPPO.COM "I'm A 21st Century Digital Boy, I Don't Know How To Live But I Got Lot Of Toys" Bad Religion ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 10 Jul 1997 05:25:16 -0700 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: Wind and Houses Revisited I stand corrected regarding the principal of an airfoil. I think I'll keep my day job! :-D Thank you for the clarification Greg! > >The slope/pitch of a roof can further contribute to it's demise by > >acting as a sort of airfoil. Thus the air speeding over the roof > >increases the air pressure above the roof in relation to the lower air > >pressure underneath the roof. One's roof then essentially becomes a > >lift mechanism such as an airplane wing. SeeeeeeeYa! > > You have this in reverse. The air pressure on the top side of the roof > is lower than on the bottom, hence the roof flies upward (toward low > pressure). The exact principle explains the airfoil...lower pressure > on the top of the wing and higher pressure on the bottom causes lift > (towards lower pressure). > > > greg stumpf, NSSL ************************************************************************* 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA Milwaukee Area Skywarn Assoc./Milwaukee-Waukesha Amateur Radio Emergency Service (A.R.E.S.)/IL Multi-County Warning System E-Mail, bkopp@execpc.com Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" my severe weather and SKYWARN home page! SFTS! http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 10 Jul 1997 08:30:07 +0000 From: Brian Monahan Subject: Re: Thunderstorm Intensity >>Personally, a strong storm to me is dependent on the windspeed. >>Specifically, a storm that produces winds of 35 to 49 knots is >>strong (greater than 49 knots is severe...at least for now). >I have been through thunderstorms in Alberta that featured baseball >sized hail that did a lot of damage, but were not accompanied by >winds of any significance. I have heard of thunderstorms causing >flash floods that were accompanied by neither hail nor strong >winds. And on and on. Point being, all of the above would probably >be considered "strong" or "heavy" or whatever by anyone's standards. >What I'm looking for is any objective criteria for determining when >a thunderstorm crosses the line to heavy based on lightning strikes. >We will have the capabilty to report an intensity with a >thunderstorm based on lightning strikes once we have our lightning >network in place. You already have this capability in the US. Was >any thought given to doing this? Would it be of value? Maybe the >windspeed is a better delineator of intensities... Hi Mike, Actually, as far as I understand the National Weather Service guidelines for a severe thunderstormc classification, what you observed in Alberta would have DEFINITELY been a severe t'storm by United Sates Standards. Most poeople think that winds in excess of 58mph AND hail of diameter greater than 3/4" diameter is the only qualification for a severe storm. However, this is NOT the case. According to the definition I have in front of me: A severe thunderstorm is one that produces winds greater than or equal to 58mph and/or hail greater than or equal to 3/4" in diameter. So, you don't necessarily need strong winds or large hail TOGETHER to have a bonafied severe storm, at least this is the situation here in the US. BTW, on the heavy issue, I can't figure out for the life of me why the National Weather Service is not allowed to use that term in the description of thunderstorms. The more descriptive you can be, and heavy means a whole heck of a lot more to people than moderate and maybe even strong, the better. My $.02... Brian ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 10 Jul 1997 08:44:20 -0500 From: Tim Doggett Subject: Re: Thunderstorm Intensity I believe your definition of severe thunderstorm below forgets a third possible criteria, that being existence of a tornado or funnel cloud! -Tim On Thu, 10 Jul 1997, Brian Monahan wrote: > > Actually, as far as I understand the National Weather Service > guidelines for a severe thunderstormc classification, what you > observed in Alberta would have DEFINITELY been a severe t'storm by > United Sates Standards. Most poeople think that winds in excess of > 58mph AND hail of diameter greater than 3/4" diameter is the only > qualification for a severe storm. However, this is NOT the case. > According to the definition I have in front of me: > > A severe thunderstorm is one that produces winds greater than or > equal to 58mph and/or hail greater than or equal to 3/4" in diameter. > > So, you don't necessarily need strong winds or large hail TOGETHER to > have a bonafied severe storm, at least this is the situation here in > the US. BTW, on the heavy issue, I can't figure out for the life of > me why the National Weather Service is not allowed to use that term > in the description of thunderstorms. The more descriptive you can be, > and heavy means a whole heck of a lot more to people than moderate > and maybe even strong, the better. > > My $.02... > > Brian > ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tim Doggett, Ph.D. COMET Visiting Scientist e-mail: x9ald@pegasus.acs.ttu.edu NWSFO, Lubbock doggett@rainfall.atmo.ttu.edu Lubbock, Texas fax: (806)743-7363 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 10 Jul 1997 09:48:20 -0400 From: "L. Dwayne Johnson" Subject: Re: Wind and Houses *From Greg Stumpf *------------------------------ *Date: Wed, 9 Jul 1997 09:22:53 CDT *From: Greg Stumpf *Subject: Re: Wind and Houses * *>From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF *>Does the lurking specter of low atmospheric pressure induce one's house *>to implode/explode with the arrival of a tornado, thus spewing the *>occupants and their worldly possessions throughout the four corners of *>our planet? * *>The slope/pitch of a roof can further contribute to it's demise by *>acting as a sort of airfoil. Thus the air speeding over the roof *>increases the air pressure above the roof in relation to the lower air *>pressure underneath the roof. One's roof then essentially becomes a *>lift mechanism such as an airplane wing. SeeeeeeeYa! * *You have this in reverse. The air pressure on the top side of the roof *is lower than on the bottom, hence the roof flies upward (toward low *pressure). The exact principle explains the airfoil...lower pressure *on the top of the wing and higher pressure on the bottom causes lift *(towards lower pressure). * *greg stumpf, NSSL *------------------------------ Greg corrects the definition of an airfoil, unfortunately (or rather fortunately) it does not apply to wind over the roof of a house. For an airfoil to be created, air must flow both over and under a structure. The shape of the structure causes air to pass more quickly over than under, reducing pressure above the structure, creating lift. So free standing car ports or sheds with no walls (supports and roof only) are at risk. If an airfoil could be created over the roof of a house, then so too could it be created over the roof of a car. We'd then literally be flying down the expressways. I do agree with Bernie's suggestion that the wind under the eases of the roof is the answer to most lost roofs. The slight increase in relative pressure inside the house may be a contributor, but likely not a signficant one. L. Dwayne Johnson, Mitretek Systems 7:^) ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 10 Jul 1997 09:37:56 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: METARs not being sent! A problem with the NWS is preventing us from getting the latest METARs. See below. ---------- Forwarded message ---------- Date: Thu, 10 Jul 1997 09:31:57 -0500 From: Ghost in the Machine To: fos@geog.niu.edu Subject: NWS Family of Services message 478 NOUS01 KWBC 101425 A PROGRAMMMING PROBLEM HAS DEVELOPED AT GATEWAY THAT IS CAUSING METAR COLLECTIVES TO FAIL SAUS80KWBC AND SAUS90KWBC AS EXAMPLES SOME OTHER COLLECTIVE MAY ALSO BE MISSING PROGRAMMERS ARE WORKING ON IT NOW HOPEFULLY THIS WILL BE CORRECTED WITHIN THE HOUR TECH CONTROL SILVER SPRING MD ------------------------------------------------------- Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 10 Jul 1997 11:13:58 -0400 From: "Richard S. Zimmerman" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 8 Jul 1997 to 9 Jul 1997 > Date: Thu, 10 Jul 1997 00:03:21 -0700 > From: Stephen Hodanish > Subject: Lightning hitting car and other stuff > > The other day I talked about lightning safety in automobiles. Well, a couple of > days ago I recieved this message at work: Main body of message deleted. > > ...Yes, being in an automobile is indeed a safe place to be. > > If anybody has any type of **DOCUMENTATION** about other automobiles being hit > by lightning, please let me know. (I am already aware of the videotape of a > chasers car getting hit by lightning a couple of years ago). I work for an auto transport company here in Ocala, Florida that delivers a large amount of vans to a local van conversion company. Being Florida is the lightning capital of the world, yes there are vans that get hit by lightning occasionally. I would guess that a van gets hit by lightning once every 2 years. Usually, the antennas are burnt off the vans, and depending on how strong the strike was the radios are blown out and even the computer and sensors were toast in one case. In all of the cases, the burnt antenna was the only clue the vehicle was struck by lightning. I wish I could say I had photographs to document this but honestly the thought never occurred to me to take a picture of it. Hopes this helps... Richard S. Zimmerman goose@atlantic.net ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 10 Jul 1997 10:50:26 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Meteorology-related news from SHOPTALK The following appeared in SHOPTALK --an Internet-based TV News publication. For more information on SHOPTALK see http://www.tvspy.com. ..Chris.. TIMOTHY DRAWBRIDGE is the new Chief Meteorologist at WSYM in Lansing, Michigan. Tim will anchor the weekday weathercasts and run the department for the new FOX affiliate. He previously was the weekend meteorologist at WLEX in Lexington, Kentucky. Tim is represented by DAVID BRUNNER of DB & ASSOCIATES in Neffs, Pennsylvania. Meteorologist (WCCO-TV) Aggressive Weather Team looking for prime time meteorologist who's a solid forecaster, creative with graphics, personable communicator and professional teammate who will jump when severe weather strikes and be relevant to viewers when it's sunny and mild. AMS Seal, college degree, knowledge of latest equipment. Send non-returnable airchecks from July 6th or July 7th along with the next-day's actual temperatures and weather conditions to Ted Canova, News Director, WCCO-TV, 90 South 11th Street, Minneapolis, MN 55403. Please no calls. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 10 Jul 1997 11:03:49 -0500 From: Carolyn Johnson Subject: Contractions...etc...What? Again? David B. Smith writes: >Date: Tue, 8 Jul 1997 04:32:04 -0500 >From: "David B. Smith" >Subject: Returned mail: Host unkn > >CJ>contractions, give up. It wasn't written for you anyway. > >CJ>Lest this sound too arrogant, I will state that I do not understand all the >CJ>material on computer programing that I have access to via the WWW. But... I >CJ>certainly do not blame the programmers and "computer nuts" for not making >CJ>this information clear to me, a layman. > >CJ>There are a lot of things in REAL science that not everyone is going to >CJ>understand! Hell...there's a lot that even fellow scientists don't >CJ>understand or agree on! > >CJ>How come everyone wants easy answers to VERY complicated problems??!! >CJ>There!! I've said it and I'm glad!!! > >Don't these arguments sound very similar to those among the Catholic >clergy who argued for centuries for Latin? Either "but the laypeople >wouldn't really get this stuff anyway," or "but we've always done it >this way!" The Latin still exists -- but readable translations >consistent with the original text are also available. I like to listen >to Latin -- but I also like to understand all I can, without learning >dead languages. This is not a case of "we've always done it this way". However it may seem to you. The point here is that there are products made internally by meteorologists, for other meteorologists in an exchange of scientific ideas and thoughts which have (by one means or another) ended up in the public domain on the internet. They were never meant to be for the consumption of the general public and the meteorologists involved understand them quite nicely, thank you very much. There is alot of other scientific information available via the WWW which is much more obscure than the meteorological discussions exchanged between forecasters. Would you like the brain surgeons and nuclear scientists to converse with each other in laymans terms?? How much do you think they'd accomplish that way?? You reference the Latin language. You seem to have been interested enough in it to have taken the time to LEARN some of it. > >How do we -know-, how do you know, what we might be able to understand >and appreciate, if we can't read the stuff in the first place? Why make >the message deliberately obscure to preserve the bandwidth and >technology requirements of 20-year-old technology that has fallen into >disuse -- except for the High Priesthood? I don't know. I cannot know. What I do know is that the people for which these products are INTENDED do understand and appreciate them. And, they CAN read them. These products are not "deliberately obscure", they are clear and concise to those who REQUIRE them in their jobs. There is no effort here to preserve bandwidth. Only to allow the meteorologist to QUICKLY state his/her thoughts for OTHER METEOROLOGISTS. Just because you like reading this information does not place an onus upon ME to write the product in a way that you find pleasing. I state again, as with your Latin. If you want to understand and appreciate what is in these products, take the time and effort to learn. I'll be the first to assist anyone who REALLY wishes to understand the concepts and the contractions, but have neither the time nor the inclination to pervert the science for a casual observer. > >But I Mean This In A Nice Way... :) As do I, David. As do I. > > * SLMR 2.1a * Rumour has it that Teri can't make tasty Jello -<< R O T >-- >>> David B. Smith | Email sysop@atbbs.com, dbsmith@izzy.net >>> Sysop, American Tune BBS | DISCLAIMER: Hey, I -own- the place! >>> Anyway, my views are sometimes not even my own, much less anyone else's. > >------------------------------ Speaking of contractions and obscurity, "* SLMR 2.1a * Rumour (SP) has it that Teri can't.....* You get the idea. RGDS// Jim Johnson ***Standard Disclaimers Apply *** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Quandi Omni Flunkus Moritati ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 10 Jul 1997 10:07:20 -0600 From: "Ricketts,Steve [Edm]" Subject: "Under the Whirlwind" This is an unabashed personal plug for a new book. In no way am I anointing it with any official blessing on behalf of my employer (Environment Canada) but I can say that I have bought several copies for my office because I think it's great and useful. I plan to give to people in our area to help us with our severe summer weather initiatives. Plus I think there's lots of info in it that will be of use to our own staff, to help in storm spotter (weather watcher) training, etc. The book is called "Under the Whirlwind" (everything you need to know about tornadoes but didn't know who to ask), and the authors are Arjen and Jerrine Verkaik. Published by Whirlwind Books, RR3, Elmwood, Ontario, Canada N0G 1S0. Cost in Canada is ~$25 (includes shipping) and in the States it is ~$20 (excluding shipping). if you're interested, it's best to contact Arjen (Ed) or Jerrine at the address above or phone them at (519)363-5785. Why do I like the book? It's down-to-earth, written from a personal perspective. Lots of tips, explanations, illustrations, sidelights, behind-the-scenes info. Obviously, there is a Canadian slant to it (yes... we get tornadoes up here too!) but it's generic in its info. The authors are long-time tornado chasers with a passion for the skies. There are chapters on... - covering the day in the life of a severe weather meteorologist (handling tornadoes in Southern Ontario on April 20, 1996) - reading the stormy skies - anatomy of a tornado (scientific explanations) - the human side: what to do before, during and after a tornado strikes (important and something we seldom pay much attention to) In this day and age of computer gee-whiz wizardry, this is very relevant and personal. The authors' passions shine through. Highly recommended... +---------------------------------------------------------------------+ | Steve Ricketts | Manager, Northern Alberta Environmental Services Centre | Environment Canada's Prairie and Northern Region, Edmonton, AB | Phone (403)951-8788 FAX 495-2615 e-mail: Steve.Ricketts@ec.gc.ca +---------------------------------------------------------------------+ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 10 Jul 1997 13:09:45 -0400 From: jared kaplan Subject: Re: More SE MI storms Someone had fun writing that report, it almost sounds like a story. Jared KAplan jared@sria.com ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 10 Jul 1997 13:14:32 -0400 From: jared kaplan Subject: Re: Weather Tutorial If you look up in yahoo "hurricanes" i am sure you will get something. or try your local NWS or NWS website. If you are not fimalliar with the web yahoo is "www.yahoo.com" Good luck, Jared Kaplan ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 10 Jul 1997 16:41:14 -0400 From: Jon Porter Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 5 Jul 1997 to 6 Jul 1997 Josiah.. As for Internet Weather Chat, one of the best locations is on the #weather channel on the UnderNet. All you need is a program called mIRC. Jon Porter At 12:01 AM 7/7/97 -0500, you wrote: > >Date: Sun, 6 Jul 1997 07:45:51 -0700 >From: Josiah A Mault >Subject: Questions > >Hello! Does anybody know of any weather clubs and weather chat channels?? >Anybody have ICQ? > >Josiah > >The Weather Page >http://pages.prodigy.net/.jmmault/weather.htm > >------------------------------ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------- Jonathan C. Porter Director.. NE Weather, Inc. Chief Meteorologist.. NorthEast Meterological and Astronomical Service Northern Connecticut Office Student Member of the American Meteorological Society "Killingly, CT's WeatherMan" http://www.neca.com/~jpcp32/ne.htm NE Weather Homepage http://www.angelfire.com/ct/nemasnct/ NEMAS-NCT Homepage jpcp32@neca.com ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------- ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 10 Jul 1997 17:31:49 GMT From: Tony Heatwole Subject: Picture Of A Tornado In Georgia Hello. I was wondering if any one has a homepage that has a picture of a tornado that occured in Georgia. And if possiable, I would like the date it occured. Please, any help would be good. Thanks a lot for your time! X Trust No One ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 9 Jul 1997 to 10 Jul 1997 ************************************************* From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102396-263>; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 13:10:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA181310; Sat, 12 Jul 1997 00:03:51 -0500 Message-Id: <199707120503.AAA181310@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Jul 1997 00:00:41 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 10 Jul 1997 to 11 Jul 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 482506c7edc7bd416b6aa6a7acd54e56 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 18646 Status: OR There are 9 messages totalling 388 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Wind & Houses 2. TV Weather-related news from SHOPTALK 3. ADMINISTRIVIA: RENEWAL NOTICES SENT TO WX-STORM AND WX-TROPL 4. Tropical Storm Bill Forms 5. Safe place to watch lightning (fwd) 6. Wind & Houses (fwd) (2) 7. Wx maps for significant tornado days 8. Bead Lightning +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 11 Jul 1997 10:09:16 -24000 From: "David J. Kinsey" Subject: Wind & Houses Well, I started this thing and I'm certainly fascinated with the range of responses. Hope it isn't an interruption of more important stuff for this maillist. I'd like to throw a couple of other questions into it that some folks might know about. 1. L. Dwayne Johnson wrote (and I initially agreed with the airfoil wind field explanation) that if you didn't have to have wind under the "wing" we'd all be flying down the highway in our autos. Well, if you look at race cars and the ground clearance they have (check out a Formula One racer sometime) you'll observe that there is next to no space for wind to travel under the car. They use all kinds of spoilers to create "downforce." Is it possible that this tiny bit of air is enough to validate Dwayne's statements? Maybe, but it seems to stretch it a little. Any NASA or auto mfg. wind tunnel experts out there? 2. Has anyone examined footage of houses imploding/exploding from hurricane or tornado or other storms? An interesting example that comes to mind is the footage of nuclear blasts and the reaction of structures to those straight line winds. Has a slow speed analysis been done on those to determine anything relevant to this thread? I plan on sharing all these responses with my Air National Guard Weather Flight this weekend. I also plan (because I figure I'll get asked) to share this with the several hundred Boy Scouts we will teaching weather merit badge to at the National Jamboree in a couple of weeks. By the way, would anyone care to LEND (we can't exactly buy these thru military channels) us a coule of hurricane/tornado/severe/cloud-time-lapse videos to show these youngsters? We'd be happy to tell them (or their parents) where they can buy them and will certainly return them. We need them for the last week in July and first week in August. THANKS! ******************************************************************* * David J. Kinsey, MSG, CWSO, 200th Weather Flight, VaANG * * Environmental Program Manager, Va. Dept. of Environ. Quality * * djkinsey@deq.state.va.us -or- davdjkin@i2020.net * * 804-698-4432 (DEQ) 804-236-6585 (ANG) * ******************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 11 Jul 1997 11:11:34 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Weather-related news from SHOPTALK The following items appeared in today's issue of SHOPTALK, an Internet-based TV news magazine. For more information on SHOPTALK see http://www.tvspy.com. ..Chris.. Television legend Frank Field will join WWOR/Channel 9 (new York) as a weekend meteorologist July 26, the station announced yesterday. Dr. Field, a professional meteorologist and member of the American Meteorology Society (AMS), has been a fixture on New York television since 1957. Prior to joining WWOR, Field was a correspondent at WNYW and worked at WCBS and WNBC. He also served as Health and Science Editor for NBC-TV's "The Today Show," a position he inaugurated in 1967. REBECCA KOLLS, WCCO chief meteorologist will be leaving the station at the end of the year to work full time on her syndicated program, "Rebecca's Garden." The program produced by Hearst Broadcasting Productions is currently seen in 90% of the nations TV markets. By devoting all of her time to the project Rebecca, also a master gardener, will be able to make the program even more successful. Rebecca is represented by Mendes Napoli of Napoli Management Group, Los Angeles. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 11 Jul 1997 11:27:03 CST From: Chris Novy - WA9V Subject: ADMINISTRIVIA: RENEWAL NOTICES SENT TO WX-STORM AND WX-TROPL ATTENTION WX-STORM AND WX-TROPL SUBSCRIBERS ! ! ! I have been receiving a bunch of bounced mail from a user subscribed to WX-STORM and WX-TROPL. This user is apparently subscribed to the groups under an account which, in turn, is forwarding mail to a second, invalid, account. When the bounced mail comes back to me it contains absolutely no useful information as to the subscriber's actual identity. It's become necessary to force renewals on WX-STORM and WX-TROPL in in order to clean up several mailing list problems. To-date, I have never required people on these lists to renew their subscriptions but Charley Kline (co-administrator of WX-******) and I see no alternatives. I have instructed LISTSERV to mail all WX-STORM and WX-TROPL subscribers renewal notices tomorrow (7-12-97) to which people will have 8 days to take action. Basically, the renewal notice will ask you to either reply to the notice (by pressing REPLY) or send an original message to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "confirm wx-storm" and/or "confirm wx-tropl". Failure to confirm your subscription will result in the automatic deletion of the subscription by July 21. If you attempt to confirm your subscriptions but you receive a message from LISTSERV saying you are not subscribed, send me e-mail at chris@siu.edu explaining the problem. I will most likely have to delete your old subscription and establish a new one for you (with your corrected e-mail address). NOTE: The problem I've been having with the bogus subscriber, the guy who has forced me to invoke the renewals, is the result of subscribing to the weather lists under one account and then forwarding the mail to another account. This is a *very bad* practice and I ask that people do not forward their mail. I would much rather have people contact me --asking me to change their subscriptions-- than have them set up their own forwarding. Forwarded mail that bounces usually does not contain information about the original recipient --making it virtually impossible for me to delete the problem user. ..Chris.. --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. Phone: (618)453-1683(w) or (618)457-6149(h) Morris Library MC:6632 FAX: (618)453-3440 Systems Administration Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 11 Jul 1997 12:59:13 EDT From: "Steven M. Babin" Subject: Tropical Storm Bill Forms A track map and satellite images of Tropical Storm Bill are available at http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/hurr/index.html Hope you find the page of interest, Steve -- _____________________________________________________________________ / FROM: Steven Babin, MD, PhD Internet: Steven.Babin@jhuapl.edu \ | Office phone: (301)-953-6704 | | Office phone: (410)-792-6704 | | WWW Home page at: | | http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/people/babin/babin.html | | Office address: Ocean Remote Sensing Group | | The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab | | Johns Hopkins Road | | Laurel, MD 20723-6099 | | AD IN THE LONDON TIMES, 1907: | | Men wanted for hazardous journey. Small wages, bitter cold, long | | months of complete darkness, constant danger, safe return doubtful. | | Honour and recognition in case of success. | \ --Sir Ernest Shackleton / <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><>< ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 11 Jul 1997 17:58:04 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Safe place to watch lightning (fwd) First, Dale Reid wrote: DR> ................................................and one strike that DR> occurred within two miles had a sort of string-of-pearls look to it DR> after the main flash vanished. These little lumps in the flash DR> persisted for about 1/2 to 1 second after the main bolt. Could this DR> have been a plasma ball? Then, Bernie Kopp wrote: BK> What Dale describes I have witnessed a number of times this year and has BK> been called "bead lightning". A strong CG stroke which dissipates BK> leaving in it's wake a vertical series of glowing round spheres about BK> the same diameter as the lightening bolt was wide. BK> The displays I have seen also lasted about a second or so after the BK> initial CG stroke vanished. BK> I can't comment on the exact technical explanation of this display. It BK> is an interesting variation on common lightning and worth looking out BK> for from a safe location. Hmm... I wonder if "bead lightning" is what produces "ball lightning" when a "bead" is perhaps left when near to the ground. Perhaps this is where ball lightning is formed. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman, A.R.S. KB4MHH -\\- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- Home Page URL: http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Permission to use the above info for inclusion in any mailing | | lists, or to send me ad-mail personally, is NOT granted. | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 11 Jul 1997 18:49:33 -0500 From: Keith Brewster Subject: Wind & Houses (fwd) > 1. L. Dwayne Johnson wrote (and I initially agreed with the airfoil wind > field explanation) that if you didn't have to have wind under the "wing" we'd > all be flying down the highway in our autos. Well, if you look at race cars > and the ground clearance they have (check out a Formula One racer sometime) > you'll observe that there is next to no space for wind to travel under the > car. They use all kinds of spoilers to create "downforce." Is it possible > that this tiny bit of air is enough to validate Dwayne's statements? Maybe, > but it seems to stretch it a little. Any NASA or auto mfg. wind tunnel > experts out there? > > An airfoil has to have the proper shape and angle of attack to be very effective. Notice how the pit crews are always making minute adjustments -- and those cars are going 200 mph. It is my understanding that most of the force in the destruction of homes is from dynamic pressure (more like what moves a sailboat than lifts a wing) blowing on the sides of the house, into the opening left by the failed garage door (one of the weakest points), up under the eaves, and finally up on the roof from underneath (after it "gets into" the house due to a failed window, door or wall impacted by debris). Generally speaking roofs are held down by gravity, and an upward force , from inside, will act to pry the nails out of the trusses (that's where "hurricane" straps help) and/or the staples/nails from the roof decking (that's where roofing shortcuts cost some Hurricane Andrew victims their homes). You can think of that latter effect as a conservation of mass problem. Wind entering the home has to get out somehow or pressure will build up as all the mass accumulates inside; that creates the "outward" and upward pressure gradient more than the Bernoulli effect of wind blowing across an angled roof or the lower pressure of the tornado vortex. > > 2. Has anyone examined footage of houses imploding/exploding from hurricane > or tornado or other storms? An interesting example that comes to mind is the > footage of nuclear blasts and the reaction of structures to those straight > line winds. Has a slow speed analysis been done on those to determine > anything relevant to this thread? > A precedent has been set (some videophile can name the show, I think it was Terrible Tuesday, the story of the Wichita Falls tornadoes) for using nuclear test footage in tornado documentaries. Again I don't think "exploding" is the right term, exactly. Blown-over is probably more appropriate, but no, I haven't done a study. > I plan on sharing all these responses with my Air National Guard Weather > Flight this weekend. I also plan (because I figure I'll get asked) to share > this with the several hundred Boy Scouts we will teaching weather merit badge > to at the National Jamboree in a couple of weeks. By the way, would anyone > care to LEND (we can't exactly buy these thru military channels) us a coule > of hurricane/tornado/severe/cloud-time-lapse videos to show these > youngsters? We'd be happy to tell them (or their parents) where they can buy > them and will certainly return them. We need them for the last week in July > and first week in August. THANKS! As for the Jamboree, you might try to get an NWS meteorologist to give a talk with spotter videos (including time-lapse) or borrow the videos. -Keith ------------------- Keith Brewster n0iaw kbrews@galstar.com http://www.galstar.com/~kbrews/ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 11 Jul 1997 21:12:09 EDT From: Tim Vasquez <71611.2267@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: Wx maps for significant tornado days Surface and 500 mb charts from over a dozen significant tornado outbreaks and unusual weather situations since the 1960s is available at the following Web location: http://www.telepath.com/tvasquez/tsamp.htm You'll find charts for the 1970 Lubbock tornado, the Coffeyville KS hailstone storm, the 4/3/74 killer tornado outbreak, the Florida winter storm of 1977, the 1979 Wichita Falls/Seymour tornado, the 5/31/85 tornado outbreak, the Union City tornado, and more. The surface charts show temperature, dewpoint, wind plots, sky cover, ceiling, and much more. All charts carry either SLP or height isoplething. Geographical coverage charts for our data archive CD-ROM packs are now available at the web site. Enjoy! Tim Vasquez author, WeatherGraphix Norman, OK Digital Atmosphere 71611.2267@compuserve.com (405) 573-0700 WeatherGraphix/Digital Atmosphere -- http://www.telepath.com/tvasquez/ StormTrack Online -- http://www.telepath.com/storm/ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 11 Jul 1997 21:59:06 -0500 From: Karl Werner Schulze Subject: Bead Lightning Last year, I was working on some lightning definitions for Dr. Orville here at Texas A&M. He was given the task to update the AMS glossary for lightning, and like any good professor.....he passed it on to us grad students for extra credit. :) Anyhoo, I had the (mis?)fortune of researching ball lightning and bead lightning......there is nothing like trying to come up with scientific definitions for terms that many treat like "Easter Bunny", etc. As far as bead lightning goes, the 'old' definition for bead lightning tried to explain the phenomenon this way: Lightning we all know isn't straight, with many turns and branches. Bead lightning was thought to be an optical illusion, caused by looking at a section of lightning edge-on. The extra light emitted caused a lasting impression on the human eye, and hence appeared to last longer than the other portions of the lightning stroke. Well......perhaps. However, in my research for a good definition, I found many books and journal articles that treated bead lightning as plasma balls. Justification for doubting the 'old' explanation was photographic evidence of the same 'bead' from multiple angles and positions. Some articles even tried to relate ball lightning with bead lightning. I don't have any references handy now, but any university library should contain more books on the subject than you realize. There is a lot of material on ball lightning and bead lightning, including material on attempts to create the phenomenon in the laboratory. If anybody is interested, I'll provide them with the references.....they are around here someplace.... *************************************************************** * Karl Werner Schulze HAM Radio Call: KB9JRJ * * Meteorology Graduate Student - Texas A&M University * * E-Mail: kschulze@ariel.met.tamu.edu * * Snail-Mail: 7703 Gettysburg CT., College Station, TX 77845 * * Disclaimer: SUE ME! * *************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 11 Jul 1997 22:33:00 -0500 From: Keith Brewster Subject: Wind & Houses (fwd) > > You can think of that latter effect as a conservation of mass problem. > Wind entering the home has to get out somehow or pressure will build up > as all the mass accumulates inside; that creates the "outward" and > upward pressure gradient more than the Bernoulli effect of wind ^force > blowing across an angled roof or the lower pressure of the > tornado vortex. Sorry, I left a key word out, otherwise the sign is reversed. Dodged those flames... -Keith ------------------- Keith Brewster n0iaw kbrews@galstar.com http://www.galstar.com/~kbrews/ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 10 Jul 1997 to 11 Jul 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Jul 14 12:02:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102519-263>; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 13:09:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA220884; Sun, 13 Jul 1997 00:05:05 -0500 Message-Id: <199707130505.AAA220884@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Jul 1997 00:00:00 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 11 Jul 1997 to 12 Jul 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 60536137c5269bc106bdd74e237dca7c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 20879 Status: OR There are 8 messages totalling 423 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Wind and Windows 2. ECMWF data 3. Weather on the Internet. 4. Hail Shafts? 5. web weather data 6. warning about College of DuPage website!!! 7. WX-TALK Digest - 10 Jul 1997 to 11 Jul 1997 8. Weather Data on the Internet +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 12 Jul 1997 15:27:23 +1000 From: Rob Copland Subject: Wind and Windows I live in a cyclone prone area of Australia (Cairns, Queensland) and I am wondering about the effect of strong winds on windows. In particular when an average house window 85cm by 110cm (33 1/2 in. by 43 1/4in) would be in danger of blowing in. I know there are alot of variables involved here, but I am curious to get a ballpark figure. R. Copland ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 12 Jul 1997 09:33:45 -0500 From: Steve Adams Subject: ECMWF data Wx-talkers, Dan Vietor, author of the Purdue WWW site, asked if I had gotten his response to the ECMWF thread. Since I did not, I'm assuming he does not have access to wx-talk directly... at least, he doesn't have posting permission. Therefore, I'm posting his contribution to ECMWF thread since his site has been a major weather site for a long time. What follows are his thoughts... so don't flame me! :-) ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President - Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ---------- Forwarded message ---------- Date: Tue, 08 Jul 1997 23:31:38 -0500 From: Daniel Vietor Cc: devo@cell.atms.purdue.edu Subject: Re: ECMWF data Newsgroups: bit.listserv.wx-talk I thought I would chime in on the ECMWF issue since my server has been the target of ECMWF for a long time. WMO resolution 40 allows countries to define which products released by their country is restricted. This means that free redistribution of the data in ANY form is prohibited. The Family of Services (FOS) from NWS provides several feeds of data are comprised of data from countries that wish to have their data restricted under res. 40. This includes most synoptic surface and upper air data. There is a WMO list of the restricted products, often referred to as "additional" data. These are products that are provided for research/ educational use only. This is either due to the products not being considered reliable enough to serve operational benefit (such as a long range forecast) or because the dessiminating service wishes to restrict the products to preserve their pseudo-monopoly on the information to make the data cost effective. In the case of ECMWF, the OSO site provided a list of products of which only 4 (out of 250) were listed as "additional". I went on this list for a LONG time assuming is was a definative list. It turned out to be very incomplete. I assumed I was abiding by the res. 40 list of restricted products and thus the ECMWF products were retained. Well, as it turned out, I wasn't. I was made aware of this 3 weeks ago and after I was singled out, again, this time with more of a heated voice, I decided to restrict the data. I asked around to try a find out what restricted really means??? 1) restricted to US only?? 2) restricted to educational only?? 3) restricted to campus only (much like the NIDS and NOWrad data)?? I am still trying to define this! In the meantime, I have restricted ECMWF products to just .edu sites until I get a more definative ruling from ECMWF. I have since been able to access the WMO site with the definative information on the restricted products. This list is FAR more comprehensive than the OSO server list. In essence, all but the 3-6 day 500 mb heights and sea level pressure are restricted. I am attempting to get the OSO list up to date to avoid any further confusion. This comes back to an essential issue which may plague weather data in the future. ECMWF is obviously protecting its right to restrict access to a products it spends alot of time and money to produce. There is also a question as to whether any of this information can be freely distributed on a medium such as the Internet. In the next 12-24 months, this issue will be hotly debated in congress as well as the US commercial sector. It is well known that many weather consulting firms don't appreciate freely available weather products being available on the Internet. Up until 4 years ago, NWS provided raw data and it was up to these companies to produce products from the data (value added) so that their customers could interpret the data. Today, a large percentage of these products have been rendered obsolete by freely available graphics available from servers like Purdue's. It is well known that these companies have been lobbying congress to restrict access to weather data. This comes back to the idea that universities can subsidize their data acquisition costs whereas commercial firms must recover the costs through customer fees for the products. This is viewed by many companies as UNFAIR competition. The first evidence of the new philosphy is with radar data. The Nexrad/NIDS feed is restricted even though NWS provides the feed. As a result, web servers cannot provide realtime radar data (commercial NIDS providers seem to be exempt from this). The rest of the data has been generally available for decades through FOS. It would be next to impossible to restrict a feed that has been freely available that long. This might change in the near future as NOAAPort becomes available. This will be a new feed which very well end weather servers as we know it. There has been talk that access to NOAAPort may be restricted (unlike FOS) when it finally becomes available. This would force Purdue to restrict its entire web server to .edu sites in order to get NOAAPort data. When FOS is terminated, the last servers will be terminated along with it. Access to NOAAPort data is still to be determined and what I portray is a worst case senario but is one that could easily happen considering the current lobbying efforts. I suspect that in 2-4 years, all weather data available via the Internet will be on pay-per-view channels/sites and won't be free to the general public. Even though some of these services will be relatively cheap, services like Purdue's won't be able to continue in its current form. We will see.... ======================================================================== Daniel Vietor INTERNET devo@cell.atms.purdue.edu Dept of Earth & Atmospheric Sciences TITLE Senior Project Specialist Purdue University WXP Developer West Lafayette IN 47907 WXP http://wxp.atms.purdue.edu PH 765-494-3292 FAX 765-496-1210 EAS http://meteor.atms.purdue.edu ======================================================================== ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 12 Jul 1997 11:34:05 -0500 From: Mark_Hofmann Subject: Weather on the Internet. I read the message about free weather pictures on the Internet, and how they might get removed.. Is this really possible? Can the gov't force purdue to stop allowing public access to the satellite data? I really hope that doesn't happen. Weather data should be a free resource.. I download the pictures off the purdue site all the time.. They are the only site I know of that has really nice graphics, and is free. --Mark Hofmann-- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Origin: Weather Station (410)882-8887 / WWIVnet @8304 Fidonet (1:261/1304) Perry Hall, MD "Live Radar/Satellite/Surface/Temps/Conditions/Reports/&More" ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 12 Jul 1997 12:59:02 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Hail Shafts? I have to ask... What is a "hail shaft?" and how does one differentiate the appearance of that from an "inflow band?" I've seen sites now where people have this photo of what looks like an inflow band going into the dark upper clouds. The caption will read something like "...note the hail shaft..." and I sit there going "...where? Do they mean that inflow band?" I'm (obviously) new at this as you can tell. Can someone explain to me how to tell the difference? Thanks, Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman, A.R.S. KB4MHH -\\- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- Home Page URL: http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Permission to use the above info for inclusion in any mailing | | lists, or to send me ad-mail personally, is NOT granted. | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 12 Jul 1997 16:21:30 -0500 From: Steve Adams Subject: web weather data Is there interest out there in wx-talk land on a thread regarding the future of weather data on the web? I'd like to see some discussion regarding this since wx-talk seems to have a wide array of subscribers, ranging from "weather weanies :-) " to meteorologists to EMA types and from gov't to academic to private sector to John Q. Public. The ECMWF thread leads easily into this more generic discussion. I'm curious as to the views of the various "groups" out there. First, though, in response to Mark Hofmann's concern about satellite pics... don't worry. The WMO Res 40 restrictions are generally for "additional" data. Most observational data, including satellite pics, do not fall into this category. Besides, the restrictions are international in nature, not domestic. Each country decides what data they produce are made "public" within its own borders. So data from our own satellites will continue to be made available to our own people. Whether it remains free is for our own politicians to decide and has nothing to do with WMO Res 40. Now on to some "web weather data" discussion! Seems a good place to start would be to respond to some of Dan Vietor's comments. His perspective is "university", mine is "private sector"... >In the next 12-24 months, this issue will be hotly debated in congress as >well as the US commercial sector. It is well known that many weather >consulting firms don't appreciate freely available weather products being >available on the Internet. Up until 4 years ago, NWS provided raw data >and it was up to these companies to produce products from the data (value >added) so that their customers could interpret the data. Today, a large >percentage of these products have been rendered obsolete by freely >available graphics available from servers like Purdue's. It is well known >that these companies have been lobbying congress to restrict access to >weather data. This comes back to the idea that universities can subsidize >their data acquisition costs whereas commercial firms must recover the >costs through customer fees for the products. This is viewed by many >companies as UNFAIR competition. > I would take exception to the "obsolete" phrasing in regards to the private companies' products. The products are fine, it is the fact that similar products are available for free that is the problem. It is my opinion that universities have overstepped the bounds of the original intent of Unidata, the gov't funded entity through which they get their weather data. The intent of Unidata (paraphrased, of course), was to help member universities share data and software in support of their research and education activities. However, they have allowed unrestricted access to their WWW servers, in effect freely redistributing to the entire world essentially all of their data and any products developed from that data in support of their "research and education" activities. This clearly oversteps the original "sharing between member universities" intent. I would restate Dan's statement "This is viewed by many companies as UNFAIR competition." a bit more strongly. This *IS* unfair competition by any definition I've ever heard! Private companies have to purchase this same data that the universities are giving away. Besides which, univs are under no requirement to recoup their costs, unlike private companies. >The rest of the data has been >generally available for decades through FOS. It would be next to >impossible to restrict a feed that has been freely available that long. > This isn't quite true. The FOS is not free. It can cost private companies several hundred dollars per month to lease equipment to receive the basic feeds or several thousand dollars to buy that equipment themselves. This doesn't even include the software needed to decode the feeds. In fact, the data feed that contains all the model data from which the universities derive all those wonderful graphics would cost a private company about $1400/month! Much of the hub-bub regarding the future set-up of NOAAPort is basically due to the private sector trying to protect itself from unfair competition. However, it seems to me this effort is somewhat misguided. If you are being attacked by a bear, do you (a) ask a park ranger to ask the bear to stop... or (b) shoot the bear. (apologies to the bear-lovers out there!) The NWS has already agreed not to compete with the private sector. I believe it is in the best interest of everyone if the universities would agree to the same thing. The fastest and simplest solution would be to have the Unidata universities agree to restrict their WWW servers to the ".edu" domain. That would still serve the Unidata charter of facilitating redistribution of data and software to member universities in support of research and educational activities. It would also massively decrease the usage of their internet bandwidth, allowing for improved internet access performance by the university users AND decreased costs of internet access through fewer and/or lower speed access lines. It would also greatly diminish the "unfair competition" claims of the private sector. A win-win situation. The only losers... John Q. Public, who would no longer be getting for free what commercial companies are required to pay for. I find it humorous that a private company (not the gov't!) could actually force Unidata to agree to this redistribution restriction as a condition to getting the data. And, in fact, had actually done so several years ago. Why they eliminated this restriction, I don't know. However, I wonder how many potential customers they have lost because everyone can get whatever they need from the university sites for free now. If the Unidata provider reinstates this requirement, most of the unfair competition cries would disappear as the university sites went off-line to most folks, including the links from the NWS sites! Isn't it ironic that the private sector is capable of "shooting the bear", but is instead attempting to talk to the park ranger? However, even if the universities agree to restrict their sites, I do see the NWS still providing the general public forecasts, watches, and warnings on the WWW for free. The content of the NWS WWW sites should mirror the content of the NOAA Weather Radio. The WWW would then represent an additional free dissemination outlet for NWS general public products. That is, after all, what the public is paying taxes for! The private sector (for the most part) would have no problems with that, I think. ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President - Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 12 Jul 1997 17:02:28 -0500 From: Dana Quinn Subject: warning about College of DuPage website!!! Hi everybody! I just wanted to warn y'all who use our convective outlook graphics and severe weather warnings page that I will be going on vacation next week! Unfortunately I'm not good at making things easy for other folks to fix, (no time, I'm usually trying to think up some new thing instead) so if our web site gets really messed up while I'm gone, it might not get fixed until I get back! "Things usually work just fine" is what I would say if I come back to see my computer in smoking ruins, but some variation of Murphy's Law could come into play while I'm gone, and take us off the air. So, I just want to give a heads up to y'all. The second thing I would say when I came back and saw my computer in smoking ruins would be "When I get my hands on Gilbert..." just kidding Gil! (And thanks to Gil for agreeing to keep help keep an eye on things while I'm gone.) Thanks- Dana Quinn -- +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Dana Quinn + dana@weather.cod.edu it's now or never- + linux-type guy too close to the latter +College of DuPage Wx Lab -Son Volt + +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 12 Jul 1997 19:02:57 +0000 From: Daniel Dix Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 10 Jul 1997 to 11 Jul 1997 This is geared toward the NWS/NSSL/SPC and whomever else that has experience in post-storm surveys: As we all know, mobile homes suffer the greatest damage/casualties in high wind and tornado events. My question is how do the newer manufactured homes that are strapped down by hurricane straps do in F0-F2 tornadoes and/or strong micro or macroburst events? I know the claim is that they can sustain winds of 110-120 mph in units, especially the double and triple wides, given the much more solid construction of these homes in the last 10 years. In a mobile park, which units tend to be the most damaged -- the old single-wides or the newer single, double or triple-wides or is 50/50? I suppose whether they are strapped down can have some impact on damage and movement of the home as well. I do know the F0-F1 tornado that moved between Greenwood and Booneville of western Arkansas (about 15-20 miles SE of Ft. Smith) earlier this year ripped a manufactured home away from its foundation and it was strapped down. Unfortunately, one fatality was the result. Any info would be appreciated! Thanks! Daniel Dix Meteorologist dixdr@southwind.net Derby, KS ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 12 Jul 1997 23:31:18 -0400 From: "Gregory A. Surplus" Subject: Weather Data on the Internet Here is how I generally feel about weather data being accessible from the internet. If the data originates from the government then free access should be available to it (within reason of safety). If the data comes from a private vendor then charges for accessing that data should be at the discretion of the company. Example: Lightning Data should not be free. Global Atmospherics owns the lightning sensors not the NWS. With Unidata things start to get a little hairy. If they want to force the college to restrict the data they should have the right to. However a free source of FOS data directly from the NWS should be distributed on the internet as long as no commerical enhancements have been made to that data. Having the data totally restricted would mean that we would be paying for the data twice. Once with our tax dollars to create/collect it and once again when we buy it. If commercial vendors are interested in restricting data they should deploy their own satellite, radar, observation stations, computer models etc... ********************************************************************** *Greg Surplus Microg's MD Weather Homepage * *gsurplus@delphi.com http://people.delphi.com/gsurplus/ * ********************************************************************** ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 11 Jul 1997 to 12 Jul 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Jul 14 14:33:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102408-15796>; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 13:47:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA254658; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 00:05:57 -0500 Message-Id: <199707140505.AAA254658@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 00:01:03 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 12 Jul 1997 to 13 Jul 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: b429eef1a88d800958b770e5585b7851 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 34125 Status: OR There are 10 messages totalling 681 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. warning about College of DuPage website!!! 2. Hail Shafts [A clearer revision of the question] (2) 3. Golf Tournaments 4. Development of Tropical Disturbances in the Gulf Stream region 5. web weather data (2) 6. Availability of University wx data 7. SPC Watch Criteria (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 12 Jul 1997 23:18:35 -0600 From: "Ricketts,Steve [Edm]" Subject: Re: warning about College of DuPage website!!! could someone please tell me the URL for this page? thx... >---------- >From: Dana Quinn[SMTP:dana@IC1Q01.COD.EDU] >Sent: July 12, 1997 16:02 PM >To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK >Subject: warning about College of DuPage website!!! > >Hi everybody! I just wanted to warn y'all who use our >convective outlook graphics and severe weather warnings >page that I will be going on vacation next week! Unfortunately >I'm not good at making things easy for other folks to fix, >(no time, I'm usually trying to think up some new thing instead) >so if our web site gets really messed up while I'm gone, it >might not get fixed until I get back! "Things usually work just >fine" is what I would say if I come back to see my computer in >smoking ruins, but some variation of Murphy's Law could come into play >while I'm gone, and take us off the air. So, I just want to give >a heads up to y'all. > >The second thing I would say when I came back and saw my computer in >smoking ruins would be "When I get my hands on Gilbert..." just kidding >Gil! > >(And thanks to Gil for agreeing to keep help keep an eye on things >while I'm gone.) > >Thanks- >Dana Quinn > >-- >+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ > Dana Quinn + dana@weather.cod.edu > it's now or never- + linux-type guy > too close to the latter +College of DuPage Wx Lab > -Son Volt + >+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 13 Jul 1997 01:51:44 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Hail Shafts [A clearer revision of the question] In my recent previous post I indicated some confusion over "hail shafts." I think I should elaborate a little better what I'm trying to get at... Incidently, I discovered what a "hail shaft" was...reading the Audubon Society's _Field Guide to North American Weather -- and I think I'll believe in their definition on page 149. :) Sounds good. HOWEVER... ...Their photographic plates are what confuse me. Plates 182 through 185 purport to show "Thunderstorm[s] with hail." Plate 182 shows to this novice what appears to be an "inflow stinger." I note no precipitation visible in the photograph. Plate 183 shows a right half of a thunderstorm, including what looks to me is what they call an "inflow band" center right at the base of the storm (beneath which might remotely be a wall cloud but which I think it more likely is just some accessory stratus in the distance given unusual contrast by the sunlight behind the storm, I think), a part of the storm's tower, leading up to the beginning base of an anvil at the top. Precipitation is noted in the extreme lower left corner of the photo at the base of the storm. Plate 184 looks like an overhead (straight-up) shot of some churning scud and some background cumulus. I don't see any precipitation in this photo. Plate 185 shows some dark, underexposed clouds in a large part of the upper right portion of the photo, mountains on the horizon in the distance above which are some cumulus, and filling in the rest of the photo are (I think it's) medium-dark stratus and nimbostratus (???). My confusion stems from these photos....Where's the "hail?" Are there certain kinds of hail-only clouds I'm not aware of at this time in my learning? What am I missing here? (I suspect I'm a victim of someone at the Audubon Society not paying due and proper attention towards placing the proper captions with the proper photos. Or, should that be...placing improper captions with the wrong photos? ;-) Would I be correct in my assumption, that my confusion stems from their mistakes? or am I just a little slow? 8-) ) I'd appreciate any helpful teachings anyone might care to offer me, here. Thanks, Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman, A.R.S. KB4MHH -\\- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- Home Page URL: http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Permission to use the above info for inclusion in any mailing | | lists, or to send me ad-mail personally, is NOT granted. | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 12 Jul 1997 15:06:11 -0600 From: "Paul E. Pettit" Subject: Golf Tournaments Brief note to weather golfers and guests: Golf page is up and updated. National Tournament is in Tyler Texas in October. For information: http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Golf.html ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 13 Jul 1997 08:55:30 -0400 From: Greg Machos Subject: Re: Development of Tropical Disturbances in the Gulf Stream region I was wondering what is causing the development of a number of tropical systems in the Gulf Stream this year. Tropical Depression Three represents the fourth major disturbance of the Hurricane Season to develop off the coast of the Carolinas if you count the wave that almost formed on the first day of the season. Is there any trend developing here? Greg Machos http://members.aol.com/hurctrack/HurcTrack.index.html ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 13 Jul 1997 10:51:05 CDT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: Re: Hail Shafts [A clearer revision of the question] >From: "Todd L. Sherman" > >In my recent previous post I indicated some confusion over "hail shafts." >I think I should elaborate a little better what I'm trying to get at... > >Incidently, I discovered what a "hail shaft" was...reading the Audubon >Society's _Field Guide to North American Weather -- and I think I'll believe >in their definition on page 149. :) Sounds good. HOWEVER... I have the Field Guide in front of me right now. Pictures 182 through 185 do not specifically mention "hail shafts", and do not depict hail shafts. They merely say these are pictures of "thunderstorms with hail", meaning that the thunderstorms in the photographs are storms that contain hail somewhere in their cores (but not necessarily visible in the photographs shown). I do feel, however, that if they were attempting to show hail-producing thunderstorms in pictures, that some better examples might have been chosen. >...Their photographic plates are what confuse me. Plates 182 through 185 >purport to show "Thunderstorm[s] with hail." > >Plate 182 shows to this novice what appears to be an "inflow stinger." I >note no precipitation visible in the photograph. You're probably right. The lowered cloud does appear to be an inflow cloud, probably some kind of tail cloud. However, the entire lighted area under the thunderstorm base is precipitation, and probably contains some hail. There is background light filtering through the precipitation. > Plate 183 shows a right half of a thunderstorm, including what looks to me >is what they call an "inflow band" center right at the base of the storm >(beneath which might remotely be a wall cloud but which I think it more >likely is just some accessory stratus in the distance given unusual contrast >by the sunlight behind the storm, I think), a part of the storm's tower, >leading up to the beginning base of an anvil at the top. Precipitation is >noted in the extreme lower left corner of the photo at the base of the >storm. There are two apparent inflow bands into this storm. The one you mention is more distant (I don't see any wall clouds under it). The other starts roughly just right of the center of the photograph and extends to the left. This infolow band appears to be much closer to the photographer, almost over their head. > Plate 184 looks like an overhead (straight-up) shot of some churning scud >and some background cumulus. I don't see any precipitation in this photo. This is a horrible example of a "thunderstorm with hail". In fact, I think it may be a misplaced photograph in the Field Guide. > > Plate 185 shows some dark, underexposed clouds in a large part of the >upper right portion of the photo, mountains on the horizon in the distance >above which are some cumulus, and filling in the rest of the photo are (I >think it's) medium-dark stratus and nimbostratus (???). Between the foreground land and the mountains appears to be some kind of "shafts" with background light filtering through them. They might even just be crepuscular rays (sunlight rays through haze/dust/precip). greg stumpf, NSSL ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 13 Jul 1997 12:32:55 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: web weather data Steve, > Is there interest out there in wx-talk land on a thread regarding > the future of weather data on the web? I'd like to see some discussion > regarding this since wx-talk seems to have a wide array of subscribers, > ranging from "weather weanies :-) " to meteorologists to EMA types and > from gov't to academic to private sector to John Q. Public. The ECMWF > thread leads easily into this more generic discussion. I'm curious as > to the views of the various "groups" out there. I'm glad you kicked this off. This is going to be a very hot topic over the next few years with NOAAPORT coming online and FOS going bye-bye. As someone who is putting data over the web over a university machine in real time, I'll come at it with this point of view, along with other ramblings and musings. > First, though, in response to Mark Hofmann's concern about satellite > pics... don't worry. The WMO Res 40 restrictions are generally for > "additional" data. Most observational data, including satellite pics, > do not fall into this category. Besides, the restrictions are > international in nature, not domestic. Each country decides what data > they produce are made "public" within its own borders. So data from > our own satellites will continue to be made available to our own > people. Whether it remains free is for our own politicians to decide > and has nothing to do with WMO Res 40. Right-o for the US. However, Europe has decided that METEOSAT data will only be free for images produced once every 3 hours. All other images are scambled, and only available via expensive subscription for the 30 minute updates. So don't let your guard down on this! > Now on to some "web weather data" discussion! > > >In the next 12-24 months, this issue will be hotly debated in congress as > >well as the US commercial sector. It is well known that many weather > >consulting firms don't appreciate freely available weather products being > >available on the Internet. Up until 4 years ago, NWS provided raw data > >and it was up to these companies to produce products from the data (value > >added) so that their customers could interpret the data. Today, a large > >percentage of these products have been rendered obsolete by freely > >available graphics available from servers like Purdue's. It is well known > >that these companies have been lobbying congress to restrict access to > >weather data. This comes back to the idea that universities can subsidize > >their data acquisition costs whereas commercial firms must recover the > >costs through customer fees for the products. This is viewed by many > >companies as UNFAIR competition. Yes and no. Let's go back 7 or 8 years. Before the Internet explosion, there was essentially no weather data on the Internet. What did the data vendors do then? They sold their feeds to other weather firms, media, schools, and so forth. But not to Joe Public. In fact, I think the only company up until that point that recognized the market was Accu-Weather, and it was way overpriced...but that was due to the fact that there was no competition! Now, flash ahead. Do you know, specifically of any client that has bailed on you because of the freely availale data on the Internet? I know of one radio station that never had a weather feed before; they are in podunkville and are too far away to receive NOAA weather radio, yet to small to afford a $110 NOAA Weather Wire feed. They got a 486 machine with a 14.4 modem, got an ISP, and now they hit EMWIN for watches, warnings and a zone forecast. That's it. University weather data is also unreliable. Whereas your company will devote full time paid staff to their machines, many do not and the Web server devotion is not #1 on the priority list. The Storm Chaser Homepage, the software that runs it, and the weather information produced locally on it came from one person...and a volunteer...me. While I do my best with limited resources to keep the page up-to-date and current, I don't have a lot of time to check. Things such as links or software break down rather frequently, not just on my site, but most other university sites too. Nearly all of the images we produce the general public, and even many weather enthusiasts, just can't understand. Our target audience IS the educational part of meteorology; thus, met students can browse our site for weather data for our area and elsewhere that they may not be able to generate locally as well, even with the same feeds. We *do* pay for the data. UNIDATA purchased the data for us, but it wasn't free. We still pay for NIDS and DiFAX data pretty heavily, and we cannot put that on the Internet. So what, then, is the problem? I can't prove this, but my hunch is that many folks just want the latest forecast, a satellite, and radar image. Also, watches and warnings. Golly gee, guess who is doing that...The Weather Channel and Earthwatch! Yep, commercial weather firms. For free! So if the university weather data were yanked off the air tomorrow, that would be available. So now, the question is: Are we REALLY digging into your business? I say it is not significantly doing so. The weather information we provide is generally "raw". When you compare how many Americans actually can read a METAR, or a surface plot, or whatever compared to the general population, it is small. What the public, or the excited weather enthusiast generally want first is value-added data, which we don't do too much of. Sure, we have current temp maps and dewpoint maps, but how about a site-specific 7 day outlook? Accu-Weather is trying it and they seem to be doing well! Now, if live radar were put on the 'net for free...and I mean the 6 minute NIDS stuff, whew. The data vendors did invest A LOT of money to do that, and I can see this. But several thousand dollars to receive FOS data costly? The initial investment has been recouped very quickly, as far as I can tell. Well, let's see if I can raise a few eyebrows here. How about this: If the data vendors would put out: live composite and single site radar imagery, satellite, and organize the FOS feeds for layers of service for thew general public, businesses, weather shops and so forth, they will do well if they are priced reasonably. Several have started and are making the bucks! So what is the problem here? > I would take exception to the "obsolete" phrasing in regards to the > private companies' products. The products are fine, it is the fact that > similar products are available for free that is the problem. Obsolete is the wrong word. I would say "irrelevant" or "unuseable". You guys can improve on what we are sending out by leaps and bounds! And you do! > It is my opinion that universities have overstepped the bounds of the > original intent of Unidata, the gov't funded entity through which they get > their weather data. The intent of Unidata (paraphrased, of course), was to > help member universities share data and software in support of their > research and education activities. However, they have allowed unrestricted > access to their WWW servers, in effect freely redistributing to the entire > world essentially all of their data and any products developed from that > data in support of their "research and education" activities. This clearly > oversteps the original "sharing between member universities" intent. You are exactly right. But the question is, is it really affecting you that much? I think not. We *have* forced you (data vendors) to put out better products than what we have, to be sure. But again, our data we put on the Internet is designed for meteorology students and higher up who know how to properly *interpret* those images. Temperature, dewpoint, wind and satellite maps, as well as zone/state forecasts and hourly weather roundups are basic products most anyone can understand. But the latter can be gotten off of radio, and the former are mostly "pretty pictures" and stuff for students and others getting interested in the weather. That, I think, is reasonable. > I would restate Dan's statement "This is viewed by many companies as > UNFAIR competition." a bit more strongly. This *IS* unfair competition by > any definition I've ever heard! Private companies have to purchase this > same data that the universities are giving away. Besides which, univs are > under no requirement to recoup their costs, unlike private companies. > This isn't quite true. The FOS is not free. It can cost private companies > several hundred dollars per month to lease equipment to receive the basic > feeds or several thousand dollars to buy that equipment themselves. This > doesn't even include the software needed to decode the feeds. In fact, the > data feed that contains all the model data from which the universities > derive all those wonderful graphics would cost a private company about > $1400/month! So try this...put all those graphics out there, charge a reasonable fee, and make them better than ours. I would bet media mets and other outlets would subscribe. > The NWS has already agreed not to compete with the private sector. I > believe it is in the best interest of everyone if the universities would > agree to the same thing. The fastest and simplest solution would be to > have the Unidata universities agree to restrict their WWW servers to > the ".edu" domain. That would still serve the Unidata charter of > facilitating redistribution of data and software to member universities > in support of research and educational activities. If it can be proven that indeed, we are significantly hampering weather businesses profits, then so be it. This is fine by me. > It would also massively > decrease the usage of their internet bandwidth, allowing for improved > internet access performance by the university users AND decreased costs > of internet access through fewer and/or lower speed access lines. Absolutely not. With programs like Realaudio and major technological breakthroughs sure to come with voice/video displays over the Internet, our traffic will become almost insignificant compared to the bandwidth these monsters will take up. > It would > also greatly diminish the "unfair competition" claims of the private > sector. A win-win situation. The only losers... John Q. Public, who would > no longer be getting for free what commercial companies are required to > pay for. RIGHT. And they WON'T pay for it either! My only argument is this: are commercial companies not subscribing because of us? Forget the general public. They don't care and they won't pay. > I find it humorous that a private company (not the gov't!) could actually > force Unidata to agree to this redistribution restriction as a condition > to getting the data. And, in fact, had actually done so several years ago. > Why they eliminated this restriction, I don't know. However, I wonder how > many potential customers they have lost because everyone can get whatever > they need from the university sites for free now. If the Unidata provider > reinstates this requirement, most of the unfair competition cries would > disappear as the university sites went off-line to most folks, including > the links from the NWS sites! Isn't it ironic that the private sector > is capable of "shooting the bear", but is instead attempting to talk to > the park ranger? Actually, I think you're shooting the bear while having a beer with the ranger sitting on a lawn chair. :-) But here is the thing: We did pay for the data through our taxes. It is up to the government to decide if it should be re-distributed for free or not. As of now, for radar data (live), no. For everything else, yes. BTW, if we are forced to shut down, we can still keep going. We can FTP the raw, publicly available model data from NCEP and still make images, and IWIN still puts out a ton o' stuff on the 'net from the FOS. Sounds like you're blaming the wrong folks first. > However, even if the universities agree to restrict their sites, I do see > the NWS still providing the general public forecasts, watches, and > warnings on the WWW for free. The content of the NWS WWW sites should > mirror the content of the NOAA Weather Radio. The WWW would then represent > an additional free dissemination outlet for NWS general public products. > That is, after all, what the public is paying taxes for! The private > sector (for the most part) would have no problems with that, I think. And you know what...as I gave as an example above...that's all a local radio station does for weather info now. They dropped the expensive wx wire for IWIN, and satellite images displayed by the government, so... my case is simple. Shut down the feeds, and it won't matter much. The boys that make you your $$ don't care. At NIU, for example, I have live NOWRAD and doppler images our university (students and staff can see (.niu.edu restriction). And yet, while the bosses at the top levels who decide if the school closes or not due to weather concerns, and despite the fact a few really know how to interpret surface plots and have free access to all our data and our faculty and students to help them decide, guess what...they still pay a very high fee to have the final analysis done by a private vendor. This coming from a university! Bottom line: Don't sweat it. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 13 Jul 1997 20:31:21 -0500 From: David Wojtowicz Subject: Re: web weather data In response to previous discussion under this thread.... It is interesting to note that Mr. Adam's company, Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc., makes extensive use of WXP to generate many of the graphical products featured on their sample products page (http://www.awis.com/ag_samples.html) I'm not sure if they obtained it for free, or have licensed it from Purdue, but even if the later, probably at a much lower cost than if they had to develop this software themselves or buy it from a commercial outfit that markets weather analysis software (like Kavouris, WSI or Alden Electronics). Is AWIS not "unfairly" benefiting from University/Government funded software development when they could instead be paying these other companies big bucks? He also says that sites such as Dan's are unfair competition for companies such as his....by giving away the data they have to pay for. First of all, most sites don't give away the data...they give away some value added interpretation of the data...the same as AWIS is doing. The question is, is the level of service and value of the specific interpretations done by the commercial companies something people are willing to pay extra for. Arguably there is. This is the big difference. For example... AWIS's page (http://www.awis.com/ag_samples.html) says.. > "There's plenty of weather sites on the Web offering tons of free weather > information. " It's true that free weather information is readily > available. But these sites don't provide ag weather. Their generalized > forecasts are for urban areas which are not appropriate for your needs. > AWIS generates forecasts and data products for agricultural locations. > Most other Web weather sites "repackage" National Weather Service > forecasts. Nearly all AWIS information are original products produced by > our agricultural meteorologists. " This is true...many of the products there are specialized for agricultural users and have been developed by agricultural experts. Similar products don't exist on the WXP site and some of the more technical products on the WXP site such as 700mb thickness plots aren't probably going to be of direct interest to farmers because they don't have the knowledge to interpret them. Another issue is that of reliability and quality of service. The WXP site is often slow or hard to reach due to its popularity. If Dan goes on vacation or feels like doing other things with his time and it breaks, people can complain all they want, but it won't get fixed unless Dan feels like it. (Not that I am implying any discredit to Dan!) Valuable information as to when to plant or harvest a crop could be missed and thousands of dollars of damage could result. On the other hand I could expect AWIS's server to be quick and responsive and to always work because if I'm a customer, I'm paying for it to do so. There would also be a helpful person I could call if I'm having trouble with the service. None of this is true with free university sites. These extra things might be well worth paying a subscription to get. You can hear business news on government subsidized PBS and public radio, but if business is important to you, you might decide to pay for the Wall Street Journal. You can depend on a unreliable univesity site to warn you of a damaging frost that could kill your whole crop or pay AWIS to make sure you get it when you need it. How much is a question of the market. If the market does not think these services are worth what they cost, then it would be a bad idea to market services that nobody is willing to buy. As long as the commercial companies provide better quality services than the free university sites, then they shouldn't have anything to worry about. There are two ways to be successful in business...do a better job than everyone else or shut down your competition by means other than taking away their customers. Both might be considered valid business methods, but certainly the first is more beneficial to the consumer and society....the later we have laws against the extremes of. Some will argue that some university sites provide better services than the commercial outfits do. I don't necessarily believe this is so, but if so, than the commercial sites need to get their act together. Surely with their more extensive resources and the extensive experience and expertise they claim to have, they can do a better job than free sites that often run on one cheap workstation and are cared for part time by one person. (Even after considering the subsidized data the universities get and the low cost labor) If not, they probably don't deserve to be in business. -------------------------------------------------------- David Wojtowicz, Research Programmer/Systems Manager Department of Atmospheric Sciences Computer Services University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign email: davidw@uiuc.edu phone: (217)333-8390 -------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 13 Jul 1997 21:35:42 -0700 From: Stephen Hodanish Subject: Availability of University wx data The other day Stephen Adams wrote: Much of the hub-bub regarding the future set-up of NOAAPort is basically due to the private sector trying to protect itself from unfair competition. However, it seems to me this effort is somewhat misguided. If you are being attacked by a bear, do you (a) ask a park ranger to ask the bear to stop... or (b) shoot the bear. (apologies to the bear-lovers out there!) The NWS has already agreed not to compete with the private sector. I believe it is in the best interest of everyone if the universities would agree to the same thing. The fastest and simplest solution would be to have the Unidata universities agree to restrict their WWW servers to the ".edu" domain. *** Why? Why should the public who pay for this data through their tax dollars be restricted to the data. *** That would still serve the Unidata charter of facilitating redistribution of data and software to member universities in support of research and educational activities. It would also massively decrease the usage of their internet bandwidth, allowing for improved internet access performance by the university users AND decreased costs of internet access through fewer and/or lower speed access lines. It would also greatly diminish the "unfair competition" claims of the private sector. A win-win situation. *** The argument above is !&*^% nonsense. Internet access by the univiersities is not hampered by the public looking at their weather data. The only losers... John Q. Public, who would no longer be getting for free what commercial companies are required to pay for. *** IT IS THE COMMENTS ABOVE WHICH MAKE MY BLOOD BOIL. Why should the public be screwed all the time? If the Universities want to let the public have access to weather data (which he public pays for through taxes), then they should be allowed to view it. I do agree with the following (From G. Surplus): ... Here is how I generally feel about weather data being accessible from the internet. If the data originates from the government then free access should be available to it (within reason of safety). If the data comes from a private vendor then charges for accessing that data should be at the discretion of the company. Example: Lightning Data should not be free. Global Atmospherics owns the lightning sensors not the NWS. ... If I am not mistaken, the Unidata "data" IS from the government, and likewise, it should be free (if it is made available through some source, such as an University). However, if a private weather company supplies data to Unidata and then the University puts it on the Internet, then that should not be allowed. Stephen Hodanish NWS/MLB ***my opinions only*** ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 13 Jul 1997 21:05:32 -0500 From: Peter Hurth Subject: SPC Watch Criteria I'm new to this list, so if this has been covered before, please forgive me. Does anyone know the criteria the SPC uses to decide whether or not to issue t-storm or tornado watches? It seems that in the past couple of years, watches tend to be issued after storms have formed and are on the move... I thought a watch meant that conditions were favorable for the development of storms. Example: there was a tornado warning issued this evening for a county in N. Dakota that wasn't close to being in an area that was under any type of watch. The storms that spawned the tornado had been around for quite a while, so it's not like it popped up out of nowhere. Is the SPC afraid that if they "cry wolf" too many times the public may not take future watches seriously? Also, I wonder if local NWS offices can issue watches for their areas of responsibility. -Peter ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 13 Jul 1997 22:16:01 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: SPC Watch Criteria >Example: there was a tornado warning issued this evening for a county in >N. Dakota that wasn't close to being in an area that was under any type >of watch. The storms that spawned the tornado had been around for quite a >while, so it's not like it popped up out of nowhere. Watches are for large areas that will be affected by storms, one cell does not warrant a watch as local advisories can take care of that. Rob ////////////////////////////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ Robert P Dale - N8GSK || rdale@norden1.com Meteorologist || rdale@storm.atms.purdue.edu Davidson Crane And Conveyor || dcc@norden1.com InterRAD NIDS Software http://www.stratus.weather.net/~rdale/interrad.html NW Ohio Weather Info http://wx.home.ml.org Northwest Ohio AMS http://nwohams.home.ml.org ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 12 Jul 1997 to 13 Jul 1997 ************************************************** From - Tue Jul 15 03:52:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103250-15796>; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 03:43:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA57604; Mon, 14 Jul 1997 14:32:59 -0500 Message-Id: <199707141932.OAA57604@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 14:27:20 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 13 Jul 1997 to 14 Jul 1997 - Special issue To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: cd7f7d70d5ada4e007b534f9fd436a68 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Status: OR There are 14 messages totalling 802 lines in this issue. Topics in this special issue: 1. web weather data (3) 2. NWS Budget Issues... 3. Popular Science 4. Possible NCEP outages... 5. WWW weather info 6. web wx data (5) 7. PIREP decoding (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 13 Jul 1997 23:19:30 -0600 From: "Ricketts,Steve [Edm]" Subject: Re: web weather data Good comments there, Gilbert! This is not a simple issue, and you seem to have a good handle on the various angles at play here. I'd like to expand on the one area... it's the "we have already paid for it through our tax dollars so why can't the gov't give it to us for free?" comment that I so often hear. You can only spend your tax dollar once. It costs money to collect data... and also to quality control it, archive it, analyze it, set up access to it, handle inquiries, etc. In the past, depending on the data, much or all of these areas were covered by the taxpayer (at least up here in Canada). But as the taxpayer funding for gov't programs has shrunken, we have striven to maintain the network as best we can (i.e. the "collect" part). And also to maintain delivery systems that are in the public interest, for the public good, etc. I.e. typically where everyone benefited and/or there is no desire for the private sector to get into it. But this means that many of the other free delivery systems or specific products have been curtailed.. either passed off to the private sector (especially in the States) or deliver by the gov't but only for a fee (up here in Canada). When the service benefits only a few, then we will provide it as long as those users pay. Specialized forecasts for specific sectors (e.g. aviation, agriculture, forestry), specialized delivery... all fall under this definition. And so does fancy Internet-based graphics, mesoscale models, raw numerical model data, . At least for now. People, of course, can choose to pay or not. Up to them. Obviously, they have to see the financial payback for doing so. But this has helped us to become more relevant... we now no longer produce some useless products and are creating newer ones that people ARE willing to pay for. Personal opinions only... may not represent the views of my employer.. +---------------------------------------------------------------------+ | Steve Ricketts | Manager, Northern Alberta Environmental Services Centre | Environment Canada's Prairie and Northern Region, Edmonton, AB | Phone (403)951-8788 FAX 495-2615 e-mail: Steve.Ricketts@ec.gc.ca +---------------------------------------------------------------------+ > ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 07:45:33 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: NWS Budget Issues... Here are the first few paragraphs of a very in-depth article from the Washington Post at http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/WPlate/1997-07/14/046L-071497-idx.html ==== Budget Confusion, Dismissal Leave Weather Service Uneasy Director's Removal Followed Breakdown of Plan to Close 80 Field Offices By Stephen Barr Washington Post Staff Writer Monday, July 14, 1997; Page A17 The Washington Post Commerce Secretary William Daley, in approving the dismissal of the popular head of the National Weather Service, opened a window on budgetary confusion of the sort that swirls inside many agencies as they make painful decisions on spending cuts this year while trying to maintain credible services. Weather Service director Elbert W. "Joe" Friday Jr. was removed June 25 and reassigned to a research branch of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). Daley's announcement said "conflicting information" provided by the Weather Service had prompted the move. The dismissal of Friday, a member of the Senior Executive Service who won the respect of rank-and-file employees, has lowered morale at the Weather Service and left many workers uneasy about the agency's future direction, several employees said. Differing accounts of the events that led to his departure have circulated inside the agency. [....] ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 09:50:13 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: web weather data Steve Ricketts says: > But as the taxpayer funding for gov't programs has shrunken, we have > striven to maintain the network as best we can (i.e. the "collect" > part). And also to maintain delivery systems that are in the public > interest, for the public good, etc. I.e. typically where everyone > benefited and/or there is no desire for the private sector to get into > it. But this means that many of the other free delivery systems or > specific products have been curtailed.. either passed off to the private > sector (especially in the States) or deliver by the gov't but only for a > fee (up here in Canada). True. However, as much as I don't like some of it, the private sector in the US *has* come up with some good stuff. I agree with David W. that if they can't beat the universities in terms of reliability and what we put out for the general public, they should save their money, take their marbles and go home. However, as an example, putting together a radar mosaic (composite) using all the radars in the US is difficult to do. The data vendors have that brightly shining star under their belt as a testimony to what CAN be done. Still, I wouldn't want most of it to be privatized, however. You do pay for the raw data as well, and they do make money off of it, and it is funded by your tax dollars. > When the service benefits only a few, then we will provide it as long as > those users pay. Specialized forecasts for specific sectors (e.g. > aviation, agriculture, forestry), specialized delivery... all fall under > this definition. And But what about radar? Look at our US vendor who update their pages once an hour. They take huge hits from everywhere in the US. In fact, Intellicast from WSI is one of the sites that has the heaviest traffic of ANY site in the world (leading to congestion? It's not the universities!). Raw weather should be made available to everyone, but how and what each vendor does with that data is up to them. And I say they can do a much better job than we can, due to more resources and much better staffing. > so does fancy Internet-based graphics, mesoscale > models, raw numerical model data. Why? Taxpayers paid for this once. The only caveat are the "fancy Internet based graphics". I think they are very useful, but still not "fancy". You can do a lot more with them, but no one has the time. > At least for now. People, of course, > can choose to pay or not. Up to them. Obviously, they have to see the > financial payback for doing so. But this has helped us to become more > relevant... we now no longer produce some useless products and are > creating newer ones that people ARE willing to pay for. That's fine! However, I contend that raw data and what universities do with it to make graphics should be made free to at least them, and preferably everyone. Obviously, you have grabbed the bull by the horns, made the graphics shine, and people are willing to pay for it. As I said before, the vendors seem to be doing fine regardless of the explosion of the Internet (and most have benefitted greatly being on the 'net); I just don't see what the fuss is all about. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 10:01:23 -0500 From: "Eric A. Helgeson" Subject: Popular Science I did not read the article, yet, but read the forward at the beginning of the latest issue of Popular Science... Apparently they are doing a story about NWS Modernization and will talk about AWIPS and stuff like that. In the forward, they compared how warnings made in Kansas were made farther ahead of the fact since they had AWIPS compared to other events in the country (Texas). It will be an interesting article. Eric Eric A. Helgeson (helgeson@netins.net) http://www.netins.net/showcase/helgeson ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 10:46:11 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Possible NCEP outages... I've been notified that the National Center for Environmental Prediction (NCEP)'s power system will be undergoing an upgrade. They will be shutting power off to the FB4 area, which affects the Cray computers and the associated networking systems. They are attempting to get backup power for these events, but they do not know if this can be accomplished yet, and thus no one knows what if any products will be affected. The dates will be July 16 and 21. More to come as I get word. But it sounds like I wouldn't count on model data on those days... Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 10:33:27 -0600 From: Greg Thompson Subject: WWW weather info Thanks to Gilbert for writing an excellent response to all the hoopla about weather data on the internet. I love the fact that I'm involved in making vendors make better products. I feel I create some really good graphics on the web, and if it makes business tougher for .com, then so be it. That's what America is all about! I agree with Gilbert's, Dan's, and Steve Hodanish's views completely and think .com are kidding themselves if they really believe we are cutting into their business. We cannot maintain our sites 24 hrs/dy, 7 dys/wk since we are generally one-person operations. Also, our products are interpretable by a very small portion of the general population. If us web/meteo junkies are making a good product, then it should be an obvious opportunity for the private sector to improve. .com folks should market their stuff as reliable and strive to be the most reliable in the industry and the most accurate and the most site-specific. That's how to do better business. Finally a govt run program (meteorological data collection, dissemination, etc.) that benefits the public more than nearly any other program. Isn't the internet great? It's about time our tax dollars are producing SOMETHING that the public can appreciate. --Greg Thompson (webmaster of www.rap.ucar.edu/weather.html) speaking from my mind, not an employee of any particular organization/company ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 12:46:28 -0400 From: "Gregory A. Surplus" Subject: Re: web weather data At 09:50 AM 7/14/97 -0500, you wrote: >True. However, as much as I don't like some of it, the private sector in >the US *has* come up with some good stuff. I agree with David W. that if >they can't beat the universities in terms of reliability and what we put >out for the general public, they should save their money, take their >marbles and go home. However, as an example, putting together a radar >mosaic (composite) using all the radars in the US is difficult to do. The >data vendors have that brightly shining star under their belt as a >testimony to what CAN be done. Still, I wouldn't want most of it to be >privatized, however. You do pay for the raw data as well, and they do make >money off of it, and it is funded by your tax dollars. > Would the radar mosaics still be a vendor's "shining star" if the NIDS data were freely distributed on the internet? I certainly would be content with realtime WXP or McIdas radar images on the web. ********************************************************************** *Greg Surplus Microg's MD Weather Homepage * *gsurplus@delphi.com http://people.delphi.com/gsurplus/ * ********************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 12:27:20 -0500 From: Steve Adams Subject: web wx data Hi All, Glad to see there is some interest out there on discussing the issue of web weather data. We're off to a good start! I would like to make some things clear, however, lest this discussion turn into a flame-fest. I'd like to see DISCUSSION of the various aspects of this topic. There is no need for anyone to get defensive or have their "blood boil". I'm not out to attack anyone. I'd just like to hear the various viewpoints. In fact, I've been on all 4 sides of the fence.... 1) assistant site admin for a Unidata site, 2) NWS employee, 3) private sector, 4) John Q. Public. So.... my own views are based on a hodgepodge of experience. Let me also state that, contrary to the "tone" of my first post, I GREATLY support Unidata and its goals. It is a first class organization with first class people. The fact that I believe the universities have overstepped the intent of the Unidata charter and, in the process, have stepped on some private sector toes... does not change in the least my favorable opinion of them! That said, some responses to the responses... ------------- from Gilbert, >Now, flash ahead. Do you know, specifically of any client that has bailed >on you because of the freely availale data on the Internet? Yes, I do. In fact many. Not that they "bail out" on us. We generally keep the customers we get. Rather, it is that we do not get some customers because of what is freely available. I'll give you one example that particularly frustrated me. In talking to a prospective customer, I was told he did not need our services because he used the model output from the Purdue site to make his own forecast. He had no training in meteorology and, in fact, during the course of the conversation, asked me what "Z" time was and how to convert it to his local time! He actually had no under- standing of what he was looking at, but it was his PERCEPTION that he could forecast for himself. >I know of one >radio station that never had a weather feed before; they are in >podunkville and are too far away to receive NOAA weather radio, yet >to small to afford a $110 NOAA Weather Wire feed. They got a 486 machine >with a 14.4 modem, got an ISP, and now they hit EMWIN for watches, >warnings and a zone forecast. That's it. > Excellent! That's what EMWIN is all about! Public safety is paramount... even in podunkville! I've got no problem with EMWIN. It is another dissemination method for basic NWS public products. Great! >University weather data is also unreliable. Not! At some individual sites, perhaps. But I bet the uptime is better than 90% at most sites. And, when taken as a whole (folks can jump to another univ site if their "primary" is down), I bet it is darn near 99%. When ALL univ sites are not current, it usually means an internet problem or an NWS gateway problem... the same problems any commercial site would have. >Nearly all of the images we produce the general public, and even many >weather enthusiasts, just can't understand. As per the above example, they may THINK they understand... >Our target audience IS the >educational part of meteorology; thus, met students can browse our site >for weather data for our area and elsewhere that they may not be able to >generate locally as well, even with the same feeds. > Right... so what's the problem with restricting access to ".edu" domain? >So now, the question is: Are we REALLY digging into your business? I say >it is not significantly doing so. > I say differently.... and I KNOW differently. >We *do* pay for the data. UNIDATA purchased the data for us, but it wasn't >free. We still pay for NIDS and DiFAX data pretty heavily, and we cannot >put that on the Internet. > How is the Unidata data acquisition funded? Mostly, through an NFS grant. That's a gov't subsidy. >I can't prove this, but my hunch is that >many folks just want the latest forecast, a satellite, and radar image. >Also, watches and warnings. Golly gee, guess who is doing that...The >Weather Channel and Earthwatch! Yep, commercial weather firms. For free! > I agree with you. However, the latest forecast is a basic, general public NWS product that should be freely available. Satellite pics are also freely disseminated (for now... your own comments on METEOSAT were definitely on the mark!). The radar images are another story. Why the "big guys" make them freely available but restrict univs from doing so is beyond me. However, my guess is that it is a marketing thing. Get the folks to your site and maybe they'll see something that they might want to purchase... ------------- from David, >It is interesting to note that Mr. Adams' company, Agricultural Weather >Information Service, Inc., makes extensive use of WXP to generate many of >the graphical products featured on their sample products page >(http://www.awis.com/ag_samples.html) > >I'm not sure if they obtained it for free, or have licensed it from >Purdue, but even if the later, probably at a much lower cost than if they >had to develop this software themselves or buy it from a commercial outfit >that markets weather analysis software (like Kavouris, WSI or Alden >Electronics). Is AWIS not "unfairly" benefiting from >University/Government funded software development when they could instead >be paying these other companies big bucks? > Yes, we decided on WXP as our analysis/display software. It was a business decision based mostly on the fact that we were already familiar with it and that it offers capabilities that the others do not. We have licensed it from Purdue, but no, it was NOT at a much lower cost than other commercial software. We did not "unfairly" benefit from WXP since we did have to pay for it, and other companies have that same option. You seem to have the impression that I support Unidata when it benefits me and don't when it doesn't. This is simply not the case. I do support the Unidata charter of software development and data sharing. Both WXP and the LDM are wonderful products! >First of >all, most sites don't give away the data...they give away some value added >interpretation of the data...the same as AWIS is doing. EXACTLY! And where does this fit in with the "research and education" charter of the universities? I agree that these products are great educational tools, used in conjunction with the univ courses, etc. However, the point is that when you freely distribute these value added products to the whole world, you have gone beyond the borders of "R + E" and into the commercial world. Do you let the whole world into your lectures? No... only those who pay tuition. If these products are educational, what is the difference between them and other course materials? If you don't give away other aspects of a college education, why should you give away these... especially when doing so interferes with private enterprise! >The question is, >is the level of service and value of the specific interpretations >done by the commercial companies something people are willing to pay extra >for. Arguably there is. This is the big difference. > Actually, I believe the question is, why are the universities in this "value added" business at all. Again, don't get me wrong. I support the right of the univs to create these products. What I disagree with is the unrestricted distribution of them. Another point is that commercial companies can offer many different levels of service to their customers. If the requirements of the customer are met by the univ-type products, then fine, we can supply that. And, the cost would obviously be less than "superior" products or services. However, what the univs are doing actually destroys that "low-end" part of the market for commercial companies. The "low-end" can be a significant part of any market. Just ask Walmart!!!! The bottom line, the univs have no business being in the business! Their business is "R + E" (in my humble opinion!). >Another issue is that of reliability and quality of service. The reliability issue seems to be a recurring theme with the univ types. As already referred to, taken as a whole, the univ sites are extremely reliable. >As long as the commercial companies provide better quality services than >the free university sites, then they shouldn't have anything to worry >about. > The quality of service issue is an interesting one. Actually, it is the PERCEPTION of the quality of the service in relation to the COST. A customer would be much more understanding of a blown FREE forecast as opposed to a blown paid-for forecast. Customers can now do a cost/benefit analysis: Free/60% correct vs. $xx/75% correct. However, the "Free" in that analysis then forces him to look at it as "is the extra 15% worth $xx"? So, in the end, our "superior quality" is often not enough. We simply can't compete against "Free".... The point is that we shouldn't have to compete against "Free". The univs should not be in the "value added" business, they should be in the "R + E" business. -------------- from Stephen Hodanish, >Why? Why should the public who pay for this data through their tax dollars >be restricted to the data. > A typical response from a "gov't type"... and one which I understand fully as a former NWS man myself. However, the answer is actually in the response from Steve Ricketts: >You can only spend your tax dollar once. It costs money to collect >data... and also to quality control it, archive it, analyze it, set up >access to it, handle inquiries, etc. In the past, depending on the data, >much or all of these areas were covered by the taxpayer... > >But as the taxpayer funding for gov't programs has shrunken, we have >striven to maintain the network as best we can (i.e. the "collect" >part). And also to maintain delivery systems that are in the public >interest, for the public good, etc. I.e. typically where everyone >benefited and/or there is no desire for the private sector to get into >it. But this means that many of the other free delivery systems or >specific products have been curtailed... > And Stephen's response to my assertion of ".edu" domain restriction that would "decrease the usage of their internet bandwidth, allowing for improved internet access performance by the university users.." >The argument above is !&*^% nonsense. Internet access by the univiersities >is not hampered by the public looking at their weather data. > Given that Stephen is "NWS/MLB", I would simply state that he has never talked to Dan V. at Purdue. Dan has related some "interesting discussions" between himself and the Purdue networking folks. Hundreds of thousands of hits PER DAY can have a "hampering" effect. However, I will qualify my statement with the caveat "at some universities". Obviously, the less "popular" university sites don't have a bandwidth problem. ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President - Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 13:43:04 -0400 From: Matt Rosier Subject: Re: web wx data Steve Adams wrote: >>Our target audience IS the >>educational part of meteorology; thus, met students can browse our site >>for weather data for our area and elsewhere that they may not be able to >>generate locally as well, even with the same feeds. >> > >Right... so what's the problem with restricting access to ".edu" domain? Big problem...first off, who says that only college students know how to read and interpret the model data found on .edu sites? You should know that there are alot of high school student out there that are able to read and interpret this data, let me give you an example (I am not trying to advertise this otg, although I am a part of it)...but there is a non-profit organization that is made up of MOSTLY high school students, called NEMAS, maybe you've heard of them. This organization relies heavily on model data and other data provided by .edu sites to prepare forecasts, although most of us use a commercial service for updated radar and satellite, if model data on .edu was restricted to people with a .edu domain then this organization would be in trouble, being it non-profit there is not any money to be able to purchase expensive accounts with commercial vendors who provide model data, and unless some of the smaller and less expensive commercial vendors (such as AWC) provide this model data on their site then we are out of luck. Meteorologists and meteorology students are not the only ones who know how to interpret models you know. My opinions only... Matt ===================================================== Matt J. Rosier mattr@ccpl.carr.lib.md.us - NEMAS Tropical Office - Lead Forecaster http://ccpl.carr.lib.md.us/~mattr/trp.htm - NEMAS Maryland Office - Lead Forecaster http://www.carr.lib.md.us/~mattr/nemas.htm - WeatherWatch Magazine/Regional Column Editor - IRC Channel Operator: Undernet's #weather (NEXRADguy) ===================================================== ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 13:51:22 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: web wx data Model data is available in raw form (and some maps) from many official NWS sites. Unidata is for colleges... At 01:43 PM 7/14/97 -0400, Matt wrote: >Steve Adams wrote: > >>>Our target audience IS the >>>educational part of meteorology; thus, met students can browse our site >>>for weather data for our area and elsewhere that they may not be able to >>>generate locally as well, even with the same feeds. >>> >> >>Right... so what's the problem with restricting access to ".edu" domain? > >Big problem...first off, who says that only college students know how to >read and interpret the model data found on .edu sites? ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 13:11:17 -0500 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: web wx data >From mattr@CCPL.CARR.LIB.MD.US Mon Jul 14 12:43:57 1997 > >>Right... so what's the problem with restricting access to ".edu" domain? > >Big problem...first off, who says that only college students know how to >read and interpret the model data found on .edu sites? You should know that >there are alot of high school student out there that are able to read and >interpret this data > Matt, You're absolutely correct, and I'm glad you spoke up. The ".edu" restriction I mentioned was meant as a simplified expression of restricting the products to truely "R + E" purposes. I certainly support NEMAS and other educational organizations and believe they should have free access to such products. It would be a simple matter for NEMAS users to request and be allowed access to univ sites. In fact, I bet there would be commercial sites who would allow free access to their site for NEMAS users if they were asked! ;-) Also, don't get me wrong on the "folks who know how to interprete model data" issue. I'm not being elitist, saying you have to be a meteorologist to understand model graphics. My point of view is that the univs should not be supplying such stuff to the world for free. This is interfering with the commercial weather sector and, quite frankly, is not what univs are "in business" for. ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President - Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 18:49:10 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: PIREP decoding Any pilots out there who can tell me what the following portion of a PIREP means? /RM FM ZMP -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS FIRSTT | CIMSS/University of Wisconsin-Madison ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 14:59:01 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: PIREP decoding At 06:49 PM 7/14/97 +0000, Scott wrote: >Any pilots out there who can tell me what the following >portion of a PIREP means? > >/RM FM ZMP REMARK: From ZMP (Minneapolis CWSU.) Rob ////////////////////////////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ Robert P Dale - N8GSK || rdale@norden1.com Meteorologist || rdale@storm.atms.purdue.edu Davidson Crane And Conveyor || dcc@norden1.com InterRAD NIDS Software http://www.stratus.weather.net/~rdale/interrad.html NW Ohio Weather Info http://wx.home.ml.org Northwest Ohio AMS http://nwohams.home.ml.org ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 14:27:13 -0500 From: David Wojtowicz Subject: Re: web wx data Steve Adams writes; > And where does this fit in with the "research and education" > charter of the universities? I agree that these products are great > educational tools, used in conjunction with the univ courses, etc. > However, the point is that when you freely distribute these value added > products to the whole world, you have gone beyond the borders of "R + E" > and into the commercial world. Do you let the whole world into your > lectures? No... only those who pay tuition. If these products are > educational, what is the difference between them and other course > materials? If you don't give away other aspects of a college education, > why should you give away these... especially when doing so interferes > with private enterprise! > > Actually, I believe the question is, why are the universities in this > "value added" business at all. Again, don't get me wrong. I support the > right of the univs to create these products. What I disagree with is > the unrestricted distribution of them. Another point is that commercial > companies can offer many different levels of service to their customers. > If the requirements of the customer are met by the univ-type products, > then fine, we can supply that. And, the cost would obviously be less than > "superior" products or services. However, what the univs are doing > actually destroys that "low-end" part of the market for commercial > companies. The "low-end" can be a significant part of any market. Just > ask Walmart!!!! The bottom line, the univs have no business being in > the business! Their business is "R + E" (in my humble opinion!). The Universities that do this, don't consider themselves to be in business. We offer our products for a variety of reasons. First of all, we didn't come in an try to steal the business from commercial firms. There simply was not any data available on the internet from commercial companies not very long ago and most companies didn't deal directly with individuals....the cost to buy data from most companies similar was simply impractical for most individuals. So, the universities filled that void... it was by no means a calculated effort to steal a business that wasn't even there. Now, suddenly the companies want to kick everyone else out. Secondly, the universities do it as a public service. Speaking from the standpoint of a state university that is heavily supported by the taxpayers of this state...(if I may be cliche)...don't the taxpayers have a right to benefit from the public university. Sure, we change for tuition... that's a big part of the total funding, but there are many services and benefits that are given to the public...the use of university libraries for example. It is educational to have this things available and the universities support other education outreaches to the public... such as the university operated public television and radio stations in the state. (again this opens up the point that has been missed so far in that not ONLY is the NWS taxpayer funded, but so is UNIDATA and many of the universities. Should those tax dollars only benefit a priveleged few) Thirdly, it is a matter of public recognition. Purdue is as a well known university, but I bet it is a whole lot more well known now that it was before thanks to the WXP site alone. Fourth, the universities do it to show what kind of neat things can be done. The public would never have known that these sorts of products could be generated if the universities did not lead the way. The companies are scrambling to catch up now, but that is good because the process advances technology. There wouldn't BE the Internet (of any sort, not just in relation to wx data) there is today if the universities hadn't popularized it first. Some had complained at one point that the subsisidized Internet was taking business way from the preInternet Compuserves and America Onlines. That was true for a while, but in the end it turned out to everyone's benefit and created more business opportunities than ever. ** There is a valid point in that the government is not supposed to take away private business. The best argument for this is that because companies are profit motivated, they will find the most efficient ways of doing this and end up with the lowest cost to the consumer. Government beuracracies can be very inefficient (NWS for example). Or can you imagine if the government ran the telephone company...we'd still all be using rotary dial phones. Sometimes parts of the government or government subsidized projects can find ways to do things alot more efficiently than businesses. For example, the govt is spending millions and millions on the likes of AWIPS and the contractors are lining their pockets and delivering 1980's technology while meanwhile, for a comparitively small amount of subsidy, the universities have come up with inexpensive desktop solutions to many of the same tasks that AWIPS is supposed to support. If the NWS was to set up web sites to totally replace weather radio in the future, they'd contract out gazzillions of dollars to one of these defense contractor like firms to study the situation. Meanwhile, with a very very tiny portion of their total tax dollar, citizens are reaping a big benefit from the efficient distribution of data through the universities. Although I can't compute the actual numbers, I'd say its fair to say that with the hugest percentages of tax dollars going to defense and welfare, probably only a cent or two of most folks total tax dollar goes to subsidizing things like this...and for them that's much more affordable than $30+ a month (when many lesser income folks just getting on the net now are stretching to pay thier ISP fees) The truth is, most people couldn't justify $35/month and wouldn't use the service, and would just have to do without anything. Yes, if your business depended on it, you could afford it, but should we shut off Joe Public who wants to know about the weather for his little backyard garden? Was not the original AWIS providing a useful and efficient subsidized service to people before it was unfortunately shut down? Didn't it compete with commercial agricultural weather information firms? Now suddenly though such things are evil. > Given that Stephen is "NWS/MLB", I would simply state that he has never > talked to Dan V. at Purdue. Dan has related some "interesting discussions" > between himself and the Purdue networking folks. Hundreds of thousands > of hits PER DAY can have a "hampering" effect. However, I will qualify > my statement with the caveat "at some universities". Obviously, the less > "popular" university sites don't have a bandwidth problem. > The bandwidth used is an issue...and that is what may ultimately force universities to curtail their services. -------------------------------------------------------- David Wojtowicz, Research Programmer/Systems Manager Department of Atmospheric Sciences Computer Services University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign email: davidw@uiuc.edu phone: (217)333-8390 -------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 13 Jul 1997 to 14 Jul 1997 - Special issue ****************************************************************** From - Tue Jul 15 13:20:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102358-10293>; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 13:16:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA65302; Tue, 15 Jul 1997 00:03:15 -0500 Message-Id: <199707150503.AAA65302@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Jul 1997 00:00:00 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 14 Jul 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: d58ce449a16c643fa02662f787be3684 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 34979 Status: OR There are 12 messages totalling 715 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Coding of Pibal heights 2. A Carolina TS hit on Wednesday??? 3. web wx data (3) 4. PIREP decoding 5. web weather data (2) 6. ASOS Augmenting 7. IWIN problems (2) 8. WX-TALK Digest - 11 Jul 1997 to 12 Jul 1997 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 12:34:55 -0800 From: Jeffrey Logan Subject: Coding of Pibal heights A request for insight/observations: According to the WMO, Section 4 of parts B and D of Pibal reports are to be reported in increments of 300 or 500 meters of altitude. HOWEVER, US and Canadian stations are known to take observations in thousands of feet, and make the assumption that 1000 feet equals 300 meters and they then code the report in meters. This introduces a slight error in heights at lower levels, increasing, in absolute terms, at greater altitudes. Due to this reporting inconsistency, our Pibal decoder, and NCEP's as well, have to scale pibal heights by a factor of 1.016 if the report is from a block 70..72 or 74 station. Since my business is decoding...I am curious if there are other little observation quirks that commonly occur out in the field. Appreciate any input! Jeff /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\ | Jeffrey D Logan loganj@fnoc.navy.mil Monterey, CA | |FNMOC - Data Dept (408)656-4463 (408)656-4489 (fax)| \/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 18:49:19 GMT From: Sim Aberson Subject: Re: A Carolina TS hit on Wednesday??? In article , Michael .Schneider wrote: >The MRF shows a tropical low with bounded 1008mb region striking the east >coast and traveling up the coast along the shore. The NGP shows only a >diffuse at best area of low pressure which does not develop. Both models have well-known westerly biases, especially in the Western Atlantic. I would take forecasts made from these global models with very large grains of salt. -- "They're little balls of misery and hatred. I love them!" __ MLJ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 17:45:41 -0500 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: web wx data >From davidw@UIATMA.ATMOS.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 14 14:34:49 1997 > >There simply was not any data available on the internet from >commercial companies not very long ago and most companies didn't >deal directly with individuals....the cost to buy data from most companies >similar was simply impractical for most individuals. Not the case now.. >Now, suddenly the companies want to kick everyone else out. > Not really... at least, not in my case. My main concern is with the value added stuff. I don't consider providing the basic NWS text products as competition. However, others in the private sector might. Of course, value added means different things to different people. People need to remember that the FOS has NEVER been free. The FOS providers have to pay the NWS to connect up communication lines to Washington, have ongoing costs to lease those lines, and have costs to uplink that data to a satellite for broadcast to their customers. When Unidata universities made all this data available on the net, they, in effect, usurped the role of the FOS providers. The irony is, however, that if the free redistribution of this data forces the FOS providers out of the business, the universities will have destroyed their own source of data! >Secondly, the universities do it as a public service. Interesting. Yet there are also arguments that much of the stuff is not for the layman... >(again this opens up the point that has been missed so far in >that not ONLY is the NWS taxpayer funded, but so is UNIDATA and many of >the universities. Should those tax dollars only benefit a priveleged few) > A point not missed by me. But shouldn't those dollars be put to use to do the things a univ is supposed to do? Like R + E? >Thirdly, it is a matter of public recognition. Purdue is as a well >known university, but I bet it is a whole lot more well known now >that it was before thanks to the WXP site alone. > Undoubtably. However, is more recognition worth the costs involved in operating that site? Would the taxpayers in Indiana think so if they knew how much it costs to have that popular a site? Not that I'm picking on Purdue. It's just an example. This is actually getting a bit off the topic of discussion... >Fourth, the universities do it to show what kind of neat things can >be done. The public would never have known that these sorts of products >could be generated if the universities did not lead the way. The companies >are scrambling to catch up now, but that is good because the process >advances technology. There wouldn't BE the Internet (of any sort, not >just in relation to wx data) there is today if the universities hadn't >popularized it first. > Very true! >Some had complained at one point that the subsisidized Internet was >taking business way from the preInternet Compuserves and America Onlines. >That was true for a while, but in the end it turned out to everyone's >benefit and created more business opportunities than ever. > It is interesting that you use the internet as an example. It is the perfect example of how successful university research grew to the point where commercialization could take the product to the next level, and everyone benefited! Would the net be as widely accepted now if it was still run by the univs? I think not. It was a wise decision to transfer the running and promotion of the net to the private sector. Could it be that with the maturing of the commercial weather sector in this country, it might be a similar situation? >** There is a valid point in that the government is not supposed to take >away private business. > More than that, gov't should encourage private business. >Sometimes parts of the government or government subsidized projects can >find ways to do things alot more efficiently than businesses. For >example, the govt is spending millions and millions on the likes of AWIPS >and the contractors are lining their pockets and delivering 1980's >technology while meanwhile, for a comparitively small amount of subsidy, >the universities have come up with inexpensive desktop solutions to many >of the same tasks that AWIPS is supposed to support. Boy-oh-boy do I agree with that! The LDM and WXP together could replace 90% of AWIPS! However, what you are talking about is the gov't making a mistake. They obviously turned to a private sector that was incapable of providing what they needed, at least, at a reasonable cost. Why they felt what Unidata had developed was not good enough, or couldn't be expanded and enhanced, I'll never know. Politics, perhaps. >The truth is, >most people couldn't justify $35/month and wouldn't use the service, >and would just have to do without anything. No, they wouldn't have to do without anything. They would have what is freely available via the NWS and other gov't "free" sites... and what is freely available in "sponsored" areas of commercial sites. >Yes, if your business >depended on it, you could afford it, but should we shut off Joe Public > But with the net, you can't distinguish between Joe Public and Joe "you-should-pay" Business. >Was not the original AWIS providing a useful and efficient >subsidized service to people before it was unfortunately shut down? >Didn't it compete with commercial agricultural weather information firms? >Now suddenly though such things are evil. > You bring tears to my eyes on the undeserved demise of an exceptionally useful and efficient service. I didn't agree with it then, and I don't agree with it now. This view was/is based on the fact that the so called private sector did not provide enough agricultural-specific content. This is still true (although less so since we have arrived ;-) ). Its not that "suddenly though such things are evil". There are cases when the private sector is not mature enough to take over a function. The early years of the internet is a good example. AWIPS is a good example. Ag Wx a year ago was a good example too. However, in the case of Ag Wx, some good has come from the PREMATURE demise of the NWS Ag Wx program. The private sector has been forced to rapidly increase its capabilities and expertise in this area. That translates into jobs! Perhaps the bottom line on this issue is a more a question of where do we draw the line between public and private enterprise? After the "public" (aka gov't,univs,nonprofits) have gotten the ball rolling, when is it appropriate for them to "step aside" and transfer the ball to the "private" side so they can run with it? Tough question. I suspect there will always be debate when there is no definitive answer. We live in a "shades of gray" world! However, I believe it is best worked out through cooperation, not confrontation. The NWS seems to understand this by agreeing to try to not compete with the private weather firms. This may have come about because they realized they not only had to "do more with less", but also that they needed to "do less with less". Perhaps it is a lesson still to be learned in other "public" arenas? ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President - Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 17:34:18 -0600 From: Greg Thompson Subject: PIREP decoding Scott asked: > Any pilots out there who can tell me what the following > portion of a PIREP means? > /RM FM ZMP I'm not a pilot but I wrote PIREP decoding software. The answer is this report's remark (/RM) is from the Minneapolis ARTCC-CWSU. Basically, the report was received and forwarded via the Minneapolis center CWSU (Center Weather Service Unit). All of the nation's ARTCCs have a leading Z identifier. ZDV=Denver. ZLA=Las Angeles, ... --Greg Thompson NCAR-RAP ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 18:37:24 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: web weather data On Mon, 14 Jul 1997, Gregory A. Surplus wrote: > Would the radar mosaics still be a vendor's "shining star" if the > NIDS data were freely distributed on the internet? I certainly would be > content with realtime WXP or McIdas radar images on the web. I think so. Kavouras, as per one instance, has their 1 KM composite that gets rid of almost all "interference" around their radar sites, and it's updated every 5 minutes. WSI makes one that has 2 KM resolution. To see the "big picture"without loss of resolution, and to be able to zoom in/out at will with all that AP removed makes composites better if you are just looking for intensity of precipitation. In fact, I wish that Scott Hall would chime in here...I'm curious, on his KGAN-TV web site, he has realtime doppler radar images and a midwest composite (http://www.kgan.com/wx/wxradar.html) updated every 15 minutes...his machine is getting huge hits...I'd like to know which is the most popular. My bet is the composite! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 13 Jul 1997 15:21:04 -0400 From: David Haines Subject: Re: ASOS Augmenting tharder450@aol.com wrote: > Is it true that the ASOS automatically issues the metar at about 5-7 > minutes before the hour, and that normally augmentation occurs during > this time via the minute screen? And, when the weather observer augments > the ASOS hourly metar (and thus the metar body is changed and flagged > with the '$' maintenance symbol), will the data field which the observer > previously edited (such as "Sky") continue to show the edited data, or > revert to its unedited state when the minute screen does its 60-second > update? I guess what I'm trying to say is, if I see an error in one of > the minute screen fields, and I go in and edit this field and hit the > appropriate keystrokes to force this change into the body of the hourly > metar, will my entered data stay in the field until the next hourly > observation rolls around, or will it be dumped in lieu of sensor data > (which I had previously changed) when the minute screen automatically > updates? Where I work, the ASOS 5-min. edit window begins at H+47; since changes are actually accepted for an extra minute, we have until H+53 to edit. The "$" symbol means ASOS thinks it requires maintenance, NOT that the observer has edited anything. When a field is edited, that sensor stays in manual mode until the hourly is transmitted (exception: present weather). If the observer edits the altimeter setting, that turns the report processor off and only a technician can turn it back on. > Oh, yeah, I've also noticed that specials seem to come out of the ASOS > rather indescriminantly, timewise. I had been led to believe that these > were supposed to come out, when required, every fifteen minutes. Is this > correct? As you can probably tell, I'm not awfully familiar with the > physical operations of these things, and am trying to become a tad > better versed in how the weather observers use them. The ASOS generates a SPECI whenever the criteria are met. If >=2 criteria are met, it is transmitted without the normal 5-min. edit window. That can be a real pain because ASOS does a very poor job with fog. I've often had to to into edit mode a few seconds after an hourly is transmitted and re-edit because the ASOS sensors had gone back to automatic and were ready to generate a new bogus SPECI. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 19:20:01 -0500 From: David Wojtowicz Subject: Re: web weather data On Mon, 14 Jul 1997, Gilbert L. Sebenste wrote: > In fact, I wish that Scott Hall would chime in here...I'm curious, on his > KGAN-TV web site, he has realtime doppler radar images and a midwest > composite (http://www.kgan.com/wx/wxradar.html) updated every 15 > minutes...his machine is getting huge hits...I'd like to know which is the > most popular. My bet is the composite! > This is where its going to be hard for the subscription only or mostly subscription services to compete. Even if the universities' servers are closed off, there will still be an ever increasing number of ad and promotional good will sponsored sites from places like television stations in particular. While they may not have all the products you'd want in one place, its easy to build a list of links to a good map here and another one over there... And as the KGAN example shows...some of these products are seriously good stuff....not just the tommorow's high is 87 with a smily sun face next to it type of graphics. The few tv people we've talked to so far, don't seem to be the slightest bit concerned about coexisting with university sites...many of their sites are doing well and serve their purposes of promoting the station. Nor do universities feel threatened by them as they're not asking us to go away. -------------------------------------------------------- David Wojtowicz, Research Programmer/Systems Manager Department of Atmospheric Sciences Computer Services University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign email: davidw@uiuc.edu phone: (217)333-8390 -------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 17:01:08 -0700 From: Michael Brennan Subject: IWIN problems Over the past month, when I try to log onto the Interactive Weather Information Network , I frequently recieve an network error message saying the socket is not connected. Have other people been having the same problem. And if so, does anyone within NWS know about this? By the way, when this happens I can usually get into another IWIN site -- Michael Brennan Meteorology Undergraduate North Carolina State University Department of Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 17:01:16 -0700 From: Michael Brennan Subject: IWIN problems Over the past month, when I try to log onto the Interactive Weather Information Network , I frequently recieve an network error message saying the socket is not connected. Have other people been having the same problem. And if so, does anyone within NWS know about this? By the way, when this happens I can usually get into another IWIN site . -- Michael Brennan Meteorology Undergraduate North Carolina State University Department of Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 21:15:54 -0500 From: David Wojtowicz Subject: Re: web wx data On Mon, 14 Jul 1997, Steve Adams wrote: > People need to remember that the FOS has NEVER been free. The FOS > providers have to pay the NWS to connect up communication lines to > Washington, have ongoing costs to lease those lines, and have costs to > uplink that data to a satellite for broadcast to their customers. When > Unidata universities made all this data available on the net, they, in > effect, usurped the role of the FOS providers. The irony is, however, > that if the free redistribution of this data forces the FOS providers > out of the business, the universities will have destroyed their own > source of data! Leased telephone lines and satellite uplinks are expensive ways of doing things, so nobody minded paying providers to do that when that was still the best way and only way to do it. We have things like LDM now which is more efficient (even given the shared cost of maintaining the network which is already in place for many other purposes) and it has become relatively inexpensive to move data the size of FOS products around and so we don't expect to pay a whole lot for it. Just like it used to cost a bundle to call long distance (so much that folks my grandparent's age are still afraid to talk for any length of time on it) but now its under $.10/min anywhere. And since a head end LDM server isn't very hard to maintain isn't expensive and uses little network bandwidth to deliver just FOS data to a handful of second tier servers, the NWS could distribute FOS data that way....its mostly due to politics that we still need to do through another company. If Unidata hadn't come along with LDM, we'd still be paying high costs for unreliable satellite dishes that delivered feeds at 4800 baud...because the companies would have no incentive to change. We still buy more expensive data from companies like nexrad from WSI. Given their costs in maintaining real time reliable links to all the radar sites (which aren't on the internet)....their charges are probably reasonable. And since this is still an expensive process and something that NWS is not very good at it was probably wise to let the private sector do it. Once high speed net connections are common everywhere, including radar sites, then we don't expect to pay alot to get the radar data over old leased lines anymore, given that at present the cost of building and operating the radar itself is still mostly taxpayer funded. > A point not missed by me. But shouldn't those dollars be put to use > to do the things a univ is supposed to do? Like R + E? > >Thirdly, it is a matter of public recognition. Purdue is as a well > >known university, but I bet it is a whole lot more well known now > >that it was before thanks to the WXP site alone. > > > Undoubtably. However, is more recognition worth the costs involved in > operating that site? Would the taxpayers in Indiana think so if they > knew how much it costs to have that popular a site? Not that I'm picking > on Purdue. It's just an example. This is actually getting a bit off the > topic of discussion... Universities primarily develop the online products for our own use and for sharing with fellow meteorlogical institutions (and in our case for K-12 educational institutions) Letting the rest of the public at them costs little extra (aside from the traffic) and promotes lots recognition and good will. For some sites it the extra traffic isn't much of a problem, for some it is and that should certainly be considered...is the tradeoff worth it...in many places it still is. We haven't got in trouble here yet :-) at least due in part to our university's committment to provide high bandwidth for all sorts of purposes. > The private > sector has been forced to rapidly increase its capabilities and expertise > in this area. That translates into jobs! Some, but often it just replaces lost jobs in a shrinking NWS. > Perhaps the bottom line on this issue is a more a question of where > do we draw the line between public and private enterprise? After the > "public" (aka gov't,univs,nonprofits) have gotten the ball rolling, > when is it appropriate for them to "step aside" and transfer the ball > to the "private" side so they can run with it? I agree. This is ultimately the issue....and someday the line will fall in favor of the private side. Its not there yet though. Right now, unlike the takeover of the internet by the private sector which has quickly reduced everyone's net access cost, we are still presently talking about replacing a low cost service with one that costs people more. They will still have to pay the same in taxes so that schools can get the data they need for research and will now have to pay to get at the data too. Should we close libraries, just so the publishers could sell more books? (Why borrow for free when you can buy?) This would discourage reading rather than promote it. Why do that when bookstores and libraries peacefully coexist under the present scheme The commercialization of the internet helped more people get on. Closing down the free wx sites would push more people off at present. Someday the public will have all the access to the weather data they need at low cost through tv station sites and such, and the universities will not be much of an issue then. Anyway, you do bring up many valid issues and this is by no means a simple problem as you have said. But I think I can't argue it any further so will stop my overly lengthy comments here. No flame like comments were intended personally over the past few messages. -------------------------------------------------------- David Wojtowicz, Research Programmer/Systems Manager Department of Atmospheric Sciences Computer Services University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign email: davidw@uiuc.edu phone: (217)333-8390 -------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 22:09:29 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: web wx data On Mon, 14 Jul 1997, David Wojtowicz wrote: > On Mon, 14 Jul 1997, Steve Adams wrote: > > > People need to remember that the FOS has NEVER been free. The FOS > > providers have to pay the NWS to connect up communication lines to > > Washington, have ongoing costs to lease those lines, and have costs to > > uplink that data to a satellite for broadcast to their customers. When > > Unidata universities made all this data available on the net, they, in > > effect, usurped the role of the FOS providers. The irony is, however, > > that if the free redistribution of this data forces the FOS providers > > out of the business, the universities will have destroyed their own > > source of data! > > Leased telephone lines and satellite uplinks are expensive ways > of doing things, so nobody minded paying providers to do that when > that was still the best way and only way to do it. Oh my gosh. Remember McIDAS at 9600 baud? And oh how I missed those days, as a volunteer here (well, I still am), when I had to go to the icy roof of Davis Hall to sweep the ice and snow off of it to get a signal. Fun, fun! NOT! > We have things like LDM now which is more efficient (even given the shared > cost of maintaining the network which is already in place for many other > purposes) and it has become relatively inexpensive to move data the size > of FOS products around and so we don't expect to pay a whole lot for it. > Just like it used to cost a bundle to call long distance (so much that > folks my grandparent's age are still afraid to talk for any length of time > on it) but now its under $.10/min anywhere. And since a head end LDM > server isn't very hard to maintain isn't expensive and uses little network > bandwidth to deliver just FOS data to a handful of second tier servers, > the NWS could distribute FOS data that way....its mostly due to politics > that we still need to do through another company. > > If Unidata hadn't come along with LDM, we'd still be paying high costs > for unreliable satellite dishes that delivered feeds at 4800 baud...because > the companies would have no incentive to change. A-MEN! The MAJOR reason all this happened was because of the universities/UNIDATA coming up with this. We worked with data vendors (not the other way around) to get them to do this and get them set up. Before that, it was 9600 baud Accu-Weather at incredible rates, and that was it for the private sector, folks. So now what exactly is the problem?!? It's this: we DID force the private weather sector into the online world. Period!!!! Maybe it would happen over time, but when you guys saw how many people were eating this stuff up, only then was "foul!" cried. > We still buy more expensive data from companies like nexrad from WSI. > Given their costs in maintaining real time reliable links to all the radar > sites (which aren't on the internet)....their charges are probably > reasonable. And since this is still an expensive process and something > that NWS is not very good at it was probably wise to let the private > sector do it. Once high speed net connections are common everywhere, > including radar sites, then we don't expect to pay alot to get the radar > data over old leased lines anymore, given that at present the cost of > building and operating the radar itself is still mostly taxpayer funded. > Yes sir! > > Universities primarily develop the online products for our own use and for > sharing with fellow meteorlogical institutions (and in our case for > K-12 educational institutions) Letting the rest of the public at > them costs little extra (aside from the traffic) and promotes lots > recognition and good will. For some sites it the extra traffic isn't much > of a problem, for some it is and that should certainly be considered...is > the tradeoff worth it...in many places it still is. We haven't got in > trouble here yet :-) at least due in part to our university's committment > to provide high bandwidth for all sorts of purposes. > And, let me directly say it...it gets us students! I know of at least 5 who saw my Storm Chaser Homepage, checked us out, liked it, and have been happy since. And I'm sure that every weather department at other universities with good sites can tell you the same thing! It is an educational as well as a recruitment tool, no question. However, as seemingly vast as my site is, there is still much you can't get at....it's for students only, such as doppler/NOWRAD data, and pages specifically for forecasting contests, news, etc. For ease of use, the web weather pages make life a lot easier for students AND faculty. And we truly do hope that other univerisities use our stuff to that end as well. > > Perhaps the bottom line on this issue is a more a question of where > > do we draw the line between public and private enterprise? After the > > "public" (aka gov't,univs,nonprofits) have gotten the ball rolling, > > when is it appropriate for them to "step aside" and transfer the ball > > to the "private" side so they can run with it? > > I agree. This is ultimately the issue....and someday the line will fall > in favor of the private side. Its not there yet though. Right now, unlike > the takeover of the internet by the private sector which has quickly > reduced everyone's net access cost, we are still presently talking about > replacing a low cost service with one that costs people more. They > will still have to pay the same in taxes so that schools can get the > data they need for research and will now have to pay to get at the data too. > > Should we close libraries, just so the publishers could sell more books? > (Why borrow for free when you can buy?) This would discourage reading > rather than promote it. Why do that when bookstores and libraries > peacefully coexist under the present scheme > > The commercialization of the internet helped more people get on. > Closing down the free wx sites would push more people off at present. > Someday the public will have all the access to the weather data they > need at low cost through tv station sites and such, and the universities > will not be much of an issue then. > Anyway, you do bring up many valid issues and this is by no means a > simple problem as you have said. But I think I can't argue it > any further so will stop my overly lengthy comments here. > No flame like comments were intended personally over the past > few messages. Double ditto and I concur. This is messy, and only in the next few years will we see how chips fall. But ultimately, David, I think you are right...TV stations and otehr media are already recognizing the value of weather on the 'net and will be adding more weather stuff in the future. As will even the data vendors, to give the public basic freebies to get them to buy the premium stuff. But remember this...we may have cost the private vendors some customers, but we have made your potential clientelle a lot more aware of their services via links we provide to you, we have generated a lot more interest in weather to the public for what we have done, and ultimately, even now, you are getting more customers as a result of your stepping up to the plate and trying to give the public better products than we have. We have forced your hand, but I am not sure you really can or would want to bite the one that started it all on the 'net. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 22:51:27 -0600 From: "Paul E. Pettit" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 11 Jul 1997 to 12 Jul 1997 Stephen wrote: >>In the next 12-24 months, this issue will be hotly debated in congress >>as>>well as the US commercial sector.>I would restate Dan's statement >>"This is viewed by many companies as >UNFAIR competition." a bit more strongly. This *IS* unfair competition by >any definition I've ever heard! Private companies have to purchase this >same data that the universities are giving away. Besides which, univs are >under no requirement to recoup their costs, unlike private companies. I tend to agree with Stephen, however the crux of the matter is who's ox is getting gored. If one gets it free from the government then all should get it free. If one segment must pay then all should pay. Should not the private companies get it free also. I should think so. Taxpayers should have it all free as they pay for it???? The taxpayer only pays a couple of dollars a year...a bargain to say the least. Not so with private companies and private meteorologists. However... On the other side...if one pays...all should pay...including universities. But you should not have to pay the high prices charged by the NIDS vendors. Worst thing the gov't did was select a few special companies to vend this information. They should have sold the info themselves at nominal fees. If the entire data bank was available at nominal fees that everyone could afford...then fees for data is not a bad thing. After all there are many people out there getting this information that have no idea what to do with it when they get it. Tried to get some information for NCDC lately? Costly and takes you many days to get it. NCDC should be cheaper and faster. Like it or not, the free days of the internet are going to come to an end. Advertising can not support most sites, except for the very big coporations. More and more will become fee based, news already is in most cases. I forecast that the same will happen to weather data. I only hope that the smaller meteorological concerns will be able to afford it. Paul E. Pettit Weather Consulting http://meteorology.miningco.com http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 14 Jul 1997 *********************************** From - Wed Jul 16 13:20:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102477-5065>; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 13:16:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA24360; Wed, 16 Jul 1997 00:03:29 -0500 Message-Id: <199707160503.AAA24360@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 00:00:51 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 14 Jul 1997 to 15 Jul 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 98ced703dfcc653ebaf052cea3655cff X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 26349 Status: OR There are 9 messages totalling 516 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. web wx data 2. Hail Shafts [A clearer revision of the question] 3. A better FOS (2) 4. Popular Science article... 5. Heat repelling tornadoes? 6. WX-TALK Digest - 14 Jul 1997 7. TV Weather 8. ASOS site ID changes +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 23:05:05 -0600 From: "Ricketts,Steve [Edm]" Subject: Re: web wx data There are lots of good comments from a variety of people from different walks of life... Something to keep in perspective: the Internet has levelled the playing field. Now everyone (from Johnny in grade school to the eminent Dr. Whatshisname to the President/Prime Minister) now all have equal access to info... and the ability to supply that info. I heard a while ago that everyone in the world now is within 0.6 seconds of everyone else. This changes everything. Old rules/paradigms just do not apply anymore. We scramble to keep up, but the boundaries keep moving faster and further away. People are weather-crazy... they thirst for info. In that we are all lucky to have such a willing audience for our efforts and voice. The info has grown in leaps and bounds over the last few years, at a dizzying pace, fueled by our competitiveness. There is just some amazing stuff out there these days. Though we may step on each other's toes once in a while, I think there is room for all three major groups (academic, government, and the private sector... are there any others?) to supply info and compete for attention (and for $). Yes, things may change, and people may get irate at each other... but I think we should all stick around. Work together and cooperate where it makes sense to.. and compete too. Yes... we live in interesting times. I wouldn't want it any other way! ..steve Personal views only... the usual disclaimer. +---------------------------------------------------------------------+ | Steve Ricketts | Manager, Northern Alberta Environmental Services Centre | Environment Canada's Prairie and Northern Region, Edmonton, AB | Phone (403)951-8788 FAX 495-2615 e-mail: Steve.Ricketts@ec.gc.ca +---------------------------------------------------------------------+ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 14 Jul 1997 14:03:30 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Hail Shafts [A clearer revision of the question] On Sun, 13 Jul 1997, Greg Stumpf wrote: > >From: "Todd L. Sherman" > > > >In my recent previous post I indicated some confusion over "hail shafts." > >I think I should elaborate a little better what I'm trying to get at... > > > >Incidently, I discovered what a "hail shaft" was...reading the Audubon > >Society's _Field Guide to North American Weather -- and I think I'll believe > >in their definition on page 149. :) Sounds good. HOWEVER... > > I have the Field Guide in front of me right now. Pictures 182 through > 185 do not specifically mention "hail shafts", and do not depict hail > shafts. No. Those indicated "Thunderstorms with hail," and I spent hours looking at those pictures trying to find the "hail." I think they should have labeled them as "Example view of a thunderstorm which MIGHT BE CAPABLE of producing hail." This would have caused me to avoid pulling out the magnifying glass (so-to-speak). :) However, I will grant them that they obviously had a limited space below the photos to type all of that. :) > They merely say these are pictures of "thunderstorms with > hail", meaning that the thunderstorms in the photographs are storms > that contain hail somewhere in their cores (but not necessarily visible > in the photographs shown). I do feel, however, that if they were attempting > to show hail-producing thunderstorms in pictures, that some better examples > might have been chosen. That's what I thought. When they said "thunderstorms with hail" I thought they were literally attempting to show hail with the thunderstorm. Not seeing any, I just figured I was either going mad, or blind. :) Alternatively, rather than switching the photos, they might have simply labeled them with better wording. > >...Their photographic plates are what confuse me. Plates 182 through 185 > >purport to show "Thunderstorm[s] with hail." > > > >Plate 182 shows to this novice what appears to be an "inflow stinger." I > >note no precipitation visible in the photograph. > > You're probably right. The lowered cloud does appear to be an inflow > cloud, probably some kind of tail cloud. However, the entire lighted > area under the thunderstorm base is precipitation, and probably contains > some hail. There is background light filtering through the precipitation. There is? Maybe it's the plate reproduction in this particular book or something. I think, now that you mention it, I can see a barely perceptable hint of haze...but it didn't occur to me to be precipitation, or hail. I see haze on the horizon obscuring tops of towers all the time here in Gainesville, and it just looked like simple haze again on the plate. On my plate, the haze looks like it's far in the background on the horizon, while the sky immediately underneath the clouds is clear. But I guess maybe that's part of the question: How do you tell hail, from rain, from haze (as in simple dust particles)? Again, that could just be the particular plate reproduction that I have is bad. > > Plate 183 shows a right half of a thunderstorm, including what looks to me > >is what they call an "inflow band" center right at the base of the storm > >(beneath which might remotely be a wall cloud but which I think it more > >likely is just some accessory stratus in the distance given unusual contrast > >by the sunlight behind the storm, I think), a part of the storm's tower, > >leading up to the beginning base of an anvil at the top. Precipitation is > >noted in the extreme lower left corner of the photo at the base of the > >storm. > > There are two apparent inflow bands into this storm. The one > you mention is more distant (I don't see any wall clouds under it). (Didn't think those were likely wall clouds. But things are so dark in these photos in this particular copy, I didn't want to rule out the possibility.) > The other starts roughly just right of the center of the photograph > and extends to the left. This infolow band appears to be much > closer to the photographer, almost over their head. Ah! That second, less sharp line above the head is an INFLOW band, too then! Ok. (Told yuh I was a novice.) I didn't notice that before and I didn't notice (again, because of the bad plate qualities, too) that it looks like it's connected to the parent cloud mass at the bottom left. [I'm gonna take a trip back to the store and have a look at other copies of this book and if there are better photos, I'm gonna ask if I can exchange it although, my chances probably aren't too great since I've had this a few months now. 8-( ] > > Plate 184 looks like an overhead (straight-up) shot of some churning scud > >and some background cumulus. I don't see any precipitation in this photo. > > This is a horrible example of a "thunderstorm with hail". In fact, I > think it may be a misplaced photograph in the Field Guide. Yes, this particular photo especially was what started me thinking that might be the case. > > Plate 185 shows some dark, underexposed clouds in a large part of the > >upper right portion of the photo, mountains on the horizon in the distance > >above which are some cumulus, and filling in the rest of the photo are (I > >think it's) medium-dark stratus and nimbostratus (???). > > Between the foreground land and the mountains appears to be some kind > of "shafts" with background light filtering through them. They might > even just be crepuscular rays (sunlight rays through haze/dust/precip). No, no...see...I think that's another mislabeled plate. It must be a... "Thunderstorm with laser hail." ;-) I'm beginning to realize that a LOT of the photos, though nice, could probably be used as better examples of something else, and/or labeled a little more coherently. For example, 182 would make an excellent example of an "inflow stinger" perhaps (otherwise not mentioned in the book). And for another, plate #220 -- Mesocyclone with incipient tornado -- caused this novice some beginner's confusion. I sat there saying "where?" Then I realized that huge nub at the center is not just a strange cloud formation but is indeed the "incipient tornado" being mentioned. ("Oh!") :) Perhaps "incipient wedge" would have been better. That sounds silly but this book is being distributed not just in the Midwest where these things occur commonly and those living in the area have probably seen these things to know, but also in places where they do NOT commonly occur (not the larger tornados), like in northern Florida, here. :) Therefore, chances are better that those people haven't ever seen enough of certain events to recognize them. [Incidently, I'm wondering if 220 isn't a companion to plate number 227 a few pages further along. Possible? If so, maybe they should have put them together to show development of a "wedge" class? :-) ] At any rate, now I realize that therein lies most of my confusion, and it wasn't my fault, and at least I feel a little better. :) BTW, what was the name of that classbook on weather that I've seen here and there mentioned within this group. Can't remember the exact name of it, but it was "Meteorology ###" or something like that. Maybe I should purchase that, too. Is it as good as they say? And is it plain English? Thanks and appreciate your reply, Greg. Take care, Todd PS - We did have a rather interesting severe storm brush the edge of Gainesville last week. I say interesting because it had some interesting cloud features we don't usually see in Gainesville storms. Looked like it wanted to develop a lip on the anvil edge but never did. Almost... From my location on the outskirts of Gainesville, I had a view of the anvil right over my head. The sun was beginning to set, and the anvil was white while the clouds got redder farther on down. The clouds were dark and in some areas I thought I saw green (never noticed that in storms before), with lots of low scud and looked pretty mean. One person south of town reported seeing a low descended cloud base that "looked like it wanted to start rotating" -- whatever that means. It dissapated a half hour later. Everyone was commenting how low and "churning" the clouds were everywhere, though. Meanwhile, the lightning was coming every 5 seconds, with incessant rumblings of thunder. Sometimies triple flashes could be seen. A nice show of CG. Then, as it got darker, and the storm got older, suddenly CC lightning (underneath the bottoms of the clouds, that seemed to "travel", that is) began to appear. We rarely get to see that here. Absolutely incredible. For the first time, I actually got in my car and made a deliberate effort to get to the local prairie where the view all around was to the horizon. I brought my SLR with me, and video camera, and took my first lightning photos. Can't wait to use up this roll and get it developed to see how they came out. What a beautiful display. Of course, being in "Gator Country" the lightning pleased everyone with orange and blue flashes. :) The storms on the horizon just kept going and going, until 4 in the morning someone told me the next day. (HERE? They usually DIE after sunset.) They refused to die and gave everyone an incredible display. I'm glad I took the opportunity to take SOME photos of it. It doesn't occur like that here often. (Later the next day I read the reports of wind damage and trees down, and reports of hail here and there.) Spent a half hour at the Priarie attempting time exposures. Hope I did it right. f/16...a few seconds a shot. Didn't have a wide-angle lens, though and had to use a 50mm. Dunno if that was wide enough to properly get the undercloud lightning crawls. Hope so. We'll see. PLEASE Lord, hold off on the light leaks just this roll, okay? (Camera has a light leak problem and I get occasional vertical bars near the edges of the photos, unfortunately, in daylight or bright light photos. :-( Used camera...a Mamiya MSX-1000. THOUGHT it was a great deal when I purchased it. Now I know why. :-) ) /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman, A.R.S. KB4MHH -\\- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- Home Page URL: http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Permission to use the above info for inclusion in any mailing | | lists, or to send me ad-mail personally, is NOT granted. | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 15 Jul 1997 09:48:47 -0500 From: Steve Adams Subject: A better FOS I'm going to retire from the web wx discussion after this post. After all, I do need to do some "real work". :-) However, I hope some further discussion from different perspectives will continue. I'll be listening... Just wanted to comment on David's comment: >Leased telephone lines and satellite uplinks are expensive ways >of doing things, so nobody minded paying providers to do that when >that was still the best way and only way to do it. > >We have things like LDM now which is more efficient (even given the shared >cost of maintaining the network which is already in place for many other >purposes) and it has become relatively inexpensive to move data the size >of FOS products around > David is referring to the (Internet Data Distribution) IDD system that Unidata universities use to move the weather data amongst themselves. It replaces the last leg of the NWS-to-customer journey most weather data has to take. Specifically it eliminates the need for data uplink to a satellite for rebroadcast. Since it uses the existing internet, it is a much less expensive distribution method. The structure of the system is like a huge pyramid scheme, with the LDM software developed by Unidata doing the work of relaying data to downstream sites. As Paul Pettit mentioned, if some get data for free, shouldn't all? I'm sure private companies would not be whining about unfairness if they too, could get weather data for free (or at least MUCH more cheaply). One can now ask, is a nationwide IDD, made up of both public and private members, a viable alternative to the current setup of FOS? Of course, it could not replace the satellite distribution method... not everyone has the required internet or computing resources. As a former IDD site administrator, I believe this is possible. Although the IDD has its own set of problems, they are certainly solvable if there is enough cooperation between the sites. The current state of the IDD is proof of that. Who would coordinate a nationwide IDD? Perhaps at first it would be Unidata, given their expertise. But perhaps it could be transferred at some point to the NWS in Washington. Currently, the "top" of the pyramid is Unidata's data provider. Thus, there is still the cost associated with getting the data from the NWS in Washington to this provider. However, if the NWS were the "top", that eliminates all costs except the NWS machine and net connection running the "top" node and a person to watch over it and "reboot" as needed. Put it in at the NWS gateway facility and train a couple of folks how to maintain it and VOILA! You have your top node ready to go. I'd be interested in some comments on this nationwide IDD concept. Is it as simple to implement as it sounds? What would be some of the ramifications? We talk cooperation... let's actually DO it! ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President - Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 15 Jul 1997 10:30:57 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: A better FOS On Tue, 15 Jul 1997, Steve Adams wrote: > I'm going to retire from the web wx discussion after this post. > After all, I do need to do some "real work". :-) However, I hope > some further discussion from different perspectives will continue. > I'll be listening... > > Just wanted to comment on David's comment: > >Leased telephone lines and satellite uplinks are expensive ways > >of doing things, so nobody minded paying providers to do that when > >that was still the best way and only way to do it. > > > >We have things like LDM now which is more efficient (even given the shared > >cost of maintaining the network which is already in place for many other > >purposes) and it has become relatively inexpensive to move data the size > >of FOS products around > > > > David is referring to the (Internet Data Distribution) IDD system that > Unidata universities use to move the weather data amongst themselves. > It replaces the last leg of the NWS-to-customer journey most weather > data has to take. Specifically it eliminates the need for data uplink > to a satellite for rebroadcast. Since it uses the existing internet, > it is a much less expensive distribution method. The structure of the > system is like a huge pyramid scheme, with the LDM software developed > by Unidata doing the work of relaying data to downstream sites. > > As Paul Pettit mentioned, if some get data for free, shouldn't all? I'm > sure private companies would not be whining about unfairness if they too, > could get weather data for free (or at least MUCH more cheaply). One > can now ask, is a nationwide IDD, made up of both public and private > members, a viable alternative to the current setup of FOS? Of course, it > could not replace the satellite distribution method... not everyone has > the required internet or computing resources. > > As a former IDD site administrator, I believe this is possible. Although > the IDD has its own set of problems, they are certainly solvable if > there is enough cooperation between the sites. The current state of the > IDD is proof of that. Who would coordinate a nationwide IDD? Perhaps at > first it would be Unidata, given their expertise. But perhaps it could > be transferred at some point to the NWS in Washington. > > Currently, the "top" of the pyramid is Unidata's data provider. Thus, > there is still the cost associated with getting the data from the NWS in > Washington to this provider. However, if the NWS were the "top", that > eliminates all costs except the NWS machine and net connection running > the "top" node and a person to watch over it and "reboot" as needed. > Put it in at the NWS gateway facility and train a couple of folks how > to maintain it and VOILA! You have your top node ready to go. > > I'd be interested in some comments on this nationwide IDD concept. > Is it as simple to implement as it sounds? What would be some of the > ramifications? We talk cooperation... let's actually DO it! I love this idea...and hey, why limit it to just NIDS? The IDD also carries NLDN data from GDS, the NIDS (NEXRAD) and NOWRAD feeds from WSI. I think it can and should be done....and without heavy staff resources, either. As the new Internet comes along with much wider bandwidth, more and more can be sent. This is a win-win situation for EVERYBODY. Yes, an Internet connection, a really good one, goes for $1,500/month, but when it costs $100 for 15 minutes of satellite delivery (granted, the monthly rates are not horrifically high for the big boys, but still much, much higher than the Internet connection), this makes perfect sense! P.S. I do believe that the reliability of the Internet with the new technologies and faster speeds have improved drastically in the last year, and I expect that trend to continue. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 15 Jul 1997 13:04:27 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Popular Science article... Not bad overall, although one statement confuses me: "Doppler radar isn't perfect, though. Inteference from mountains or _lighting_, for example, can adversely affect performance." What -- do they need to change the F-stop? But here's the kicker... a result of the "street-level mapping" craze? "With AWIP's ability to sort through a wide range of information from multiple sources, forecasters will be able to warn neighborhoods of life-threatening weather with down-to-a-single-intersection accuracy as much as 30 minutes before a violent storm hits." WOW! If anyone from NWS said that, I hope the author loses his notes to protect this guy... Rob ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 15 Jul 1997 12:17:29 CDT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: Re: Heat repelling tornadoes? >From: Ed Carp > >It wasn't about just hitting downtown areas - it's well-known that they >do on occasion. My point was, and still main question, has there been >a decrease in the number of tornadoes hitting the larger cities near or >just after sunset in the last few years? Might there be some sort of >validity to the idea that the heat re-radiated by larger cities near or >after sundown creates an updraft that steers tornadoes away from these >cities? Is that making my point more clear? Sure. However, aren't tornadoes associated with thunderstorms with severe updrafts? In other words, an updraft would probably *enhance* the storm. A cold downdraft would decrease the instability, and thus decrease the storms. A heat island should enhance convection. greg stumpf, NSSL NOTE: I have replied to Ed on WX-TALK, and not WX-CHASE, as this discussion is not related to storm chasing. I have cc:ed WX-CHASE to inform those readers that the discussion should be moved to WX-TALK. Future replies should be directed to WX-TALK. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 15 Jul 1997 14:36:17 +0000 From: Jim Raudy Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 14 Jul 1997 Unifax Replacement? We have one of those wonderful and very popular UPI Unifax machines for photo quality of satellite shots. Well, it just died. Does anyone have a suggestion for a replacement to maintain the same quality prints. (Or possibly someone who maintains the old machines and has paper). Thanks so very much, Jim ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 15 Jul 1997 18:32:15 -0500 From: Adam Brase Subject: TV Weather Hey Wx-Talkers! I have a couple questions I would like to bring before this group. I am trying to make some important decisions and could really use some professional advice. I am a recent graduate of the University of North Dakota. I have a degree in Communications and a minor in Meteorology. My goal was to graduate from school and go right into the weatherbroadcast field. Unfortunately that goal has not been as easily achieved as I thought it would. I have had TV experience, and do have my tape which I have been sending out, yet I have not had any hits. This has prompted me to consider going back to school. I have looked at many, but mostly have looked at getting a Master's in Broadcast Meteorology from Mississippi State. I am looking at starting there in December when my position with the Federal Emergency Management Agency ends. I am looking for any and all input on my situation. Any words of advice, and comments on the MS program, or do you all know of any other schools that offer similar programs. Do you think it is worth my time to go back to school, or should I continue work on improving my demo tape and looking at the small markets? Basically I am looking for anything any professional want to tell me. I appreciate any comments so start them coming. Thanks all. Adam Brase Adam Brase ~~~~~~~~~~~~ 2100 S. 29th St. #110 ~~~~ ~~~~~ Grand Forks ND 58201 ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ (701) 795-6393 \ \ \ \\ \ \ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 15 Jul 1997 21:36:30 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS site ID changes Though not a commissioning notice, I thought I'd send this to those concerned with needed changes to software. EFFECTIVE JULY 17 1997 ON THE ABOVE EFFECTIVE DATE SITE IDENTIFIERS FOR THE COMMISSIONED ASOS SITE AT WINNER SD WILL CHANGE FROM NED TO SFD. IN ADDITION THE IDENTIFIER FOR THE FAA AWOS SITE IN SOUTH ST. PAUL MN WILL ALSO CHANGE FROM D97 TO SGS. THE GEOGRAPHICAL LOCATION AND ELEVATION FOR THESE SITES ARE AS FOLLOWS SFD - LAT 43.4 N LON 99.8 W ELEVATION 621.9 METERS SGS - LAT 44.9 N LON 93.0 W ELEVATION 250.0 METERS Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 14 Jul 1997 to 15 Jul 1997 ************************************************** From - Thu Jul 17 23:41:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102365-26132>; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 13:27:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA167100; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 00:04:06 -0500 Message-Id: <199707170504.AAA167100@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Jul 1997 00:00:46 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 15 Jul 1997 to 16 Jul 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 92909bad64bdcc0b8d722ff96d278de3 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 25084 Status: OR There are 18 messages totalling 614 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. heat island effect and tornadoes 2. SWODY2 (2) 3. Accuracy of radar 4. heat island/terrain effect and tornadoes 5. Weather images 6. IWIN problems 7. HOT!!! 8. WX-TALK Digest - 14 Jul 1997 to 15 Jul 1997 9. ASOS Commissioning notice 10. T-storm divergence (3) 11. web weather data 12. Hail Shafts [A clearer revision of the question] 13. Atlantic Tropical Weather Center 14. wx data 15. Please post! +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 00:49:37 -0500 From: Steve Miller Subject: heat island effect and tornadoes A response to the heat island effect against tornadoes threaded in the wx-chase group which I have moved here. I was raised and lived in the suburbs south of Dallas and have chased many, many storms in that area. I can state as a fact that a large number of wall clouds, funnels and 'nadoes either remained in extreme southern Dallas county or dissipated prior to entering Dallas proper. I can only remember just a very disproportionally few of these actually developing over Dallas itself. I always thought it was coincidence, but after several years of observing this phenomena, I suspected something more. In addition, I began to notice that more often than not, tornadoes/funnels/wall clouds would form near or over a certain area now known as Joe Pool Lake. An actual geographical fault line (ridge) runs South to North from extreme west Dallas southward through Duncanville and Cedar Hill. This ridge separates flat lowlands, prairies, and river bottoms to the west and a hilly terrain to the east. There is an abrupt sea level height change along this ridge of I *think* 300 feet. I remember as a kid that if there was a south to west wind, it would be quite a bit more intense on the top of this ridge (there are now some paragliders that launch off of this ridge on windy days). Could it be possible that this would have a significant effect on updrafts and inflow into storms possibly creating a favorable microscale area for initiating tornado formation? I am asking for scientific input or discussion on this. So, please don't singe me. Steve Miller "Texas Tailchaser" smiller@cooke.net www.cooke.net/~smiller/wx/txtailchasers.htm ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 08:37:11 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: SWODY2 I noticed this morning that the DY2 outlook has risk areas outlined -- is that a new policy or is this just such an obvious situation that this was detailed? Also, I know a DY3 outlook is being prepared for the SCAN project around WBC, is something like that in the works on a national scale? Rob ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 09:13:57 -0500 From: dale reid Subject: Accuracy of radar I am looking for my notes from this conference, and can't find what I thought was posted here concerning the accuracy of the wx-radar systems in use today. There currently is a "TV war" of radar here, and the last few storms have seen interruption in prime-time TV with "updates" on storms approaching that have only been surpassed by previous announcements of war, assassinations, and the arrival of Martians. Jeez. Give these guys a new toy and they take it too far. I'm looking for a comment on the accuracy of the display that is available, and the inherent accuracy of radar. I know that the tracking radars can determine distance quite well, assuming a target is hard and descrete, like an aircraft or satellite. But what about the timing circuits and distances involved with weather radar? If one had a stationary, consistant rain burst at, say 150 miles, would the accuracy of the newer systems permit a range determination of 1 mile? of 2 miles? Is the precision high also? The coverage for my area comes from Minneapolis, 90 miles away, and LaCrosse, about 80-100 miles away depending on where the antenna is. 1% range accuracy makes a mockery of the "street level" programs say nothing about the punctuality of the data. Are the data 5 minutes old when the stations get them from their suppliers? This also is of concern. Finally, who hasn't estimated that the rain front is a few miles away, only to be drenched on the picnic table when a new downfall of rain arrives from another level. I am beginning to hope we go back to the "50% chance of showers today" type of forecast used along with keeping your eyes open, as opposed to the TV stations frightening little old ladies who are glued to their tubes waiting for the first drops to fall. I know this has been discussed in part on and off, but can someone give a capsule summary of the issues? Dale ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 10:56:21 -0500 From: Bruce Haynie Subject: Re: heat island/terrain effect and tornadoes Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 00:49:37 -0500 From: Steve Miller Subject: heat island effect and tornadoes A response to the heat island effect against tornadoes threaded in the wx-chase group which I have moved here. I was raised and lived in the suburbs south of Dallas and have chased many, many storms in that area. I can state as a fact that a large number of wall clouds, funnels and 'nadoes either remained in extreme southern Dallas county or dissipated prior to entering Dallas proper. I can only remember just a very disproportionally few of these actually developing over Dallas itself. ----------------------------------- Steve, I was raised and lived in north Dallas for nearly 30 years. Now I reside in Lubbock :). Your observations are duly noted. You state: " I can only remember just a very disproportionally few of these actually developing over Dallas itself." Take a look at the statistics. It IS RARE for tornadoes to occur at all. The probability for a tornado to strike any one point is very low. ----------------------------------- I always thought it was coincidence, but after several years of observing this phenomena, I suspected something more. In addition, I began to notice that more often than not, tornadoes/funnels/wall clouds would form near or over a certain area now known as Joe Pool Lake. An actual geographical fault line (ridge) runs South to North from extreme west Dallas southward through Duncanville and Cedar Hill. This ridge separates flat lowlands, prairies, and river bottoms to the west and a hilly terrain to the east. There is an abrupt sea level height change along this ridge of I *think* 300 feet. I remember as a kid that if there was a south to west wind, it would be quite a bit more intense on the top of this ridge (there are now some paragliders that launch off of this ridge on windy days). Could it be possible that this would have a significant effect on updrafts and inflow into storms possibly creating a favorable microscale area for initiating tornado formation? I am asking for scientific input or discussion on this. So, please don't singe me. Steve Miller ------------------------------------------ Until some scientific evidence proves otherwise, I suggest that what is happening IS coincidence. Remember May 26, 1976?? A tornado developed a few miles north of Love Field, in Dallas proper, and moved east-northeast for several miles. And then there is the case that Greg Stumpf mentioned, April 19, 1995, in west Dallas. Little is known about the terrain/heat island effects on tornadogenesis or demise. For those that do believe in this heat island/terrain protecting the city of Dallas theory, I suggest a sort of litmus test. The next time a strong to violent tornado develops in southwest Dallas County (it's only a matter of time) and moves northeastward... go to the vicinity of Reunion Arena (southwest downtown Dallas) and wait outside to see if the theory holds true ;-). Bruce ---------------- Bruce Haynie N5WRA kbhaynie@flash.net Information System Specialist kbhayni@why.net Lubbock, TX **Standard Disclaimer** http://www.why.net/users/kbhayni "Those who live by the extended models shall also die by the extended models." ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 13:14:23 PDT From: "Jared Kaplan \"the weatherman\"" Subject: Weather images I dont know if it was from this mailing group or another, but someone asked if the goverment was going to take restrict weather images from the internet. NEXT TO IMPOSSIBLE. I have also sent a forwarded letter from David Henry of the Taunton Ma. NWS... >As far as I know and can determine there is no restriction >on anyone putting weather images on the net. The only thing >that might relate to this is the National Weather Service can >not put their radar images directly onto the net, they have >to link to intellivision. The reason for this is that the >NWS sell the images to private companies and so cannot just >give them out for free. So anything you will see on internet >is reprocessed by one of these companies, mainly intellivision. > >There is no way the satellite images could be restricted since >anyone can receive the satellite data direct from the satellite >(with the right equipment) and could put the images directly >onto the net. > >Current and forecast weather map images are also very widespred >and are not likely to be restricted. > >Dave ... If you are on the mailing list, thanks for the info dave! Au revior, Jared Kaplan jared@sria.com weatherman@mad.scientist.com jared24@juno.com They say "bad weather is bad" I say "Bad weather is Great" ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 11:20:23 -0400 From: David Haines Subject: IWIN problems A couple of days ago, a contributor reported problems getting onto the IWIN Web site. I have a new problem to report. As of now (7/16, 15Z), the newest data on the site is from 14Z yesterday! :-( I use IWIN as a quick alternative for getting tropical cyclone reports; now it's necessary to go to the NHC site, which is a good site but quite a bit slower. Anyone know what's going on at IWIN? -------------------------------- To respond by e-mail, remove the "star" from the address. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 15:28:37 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: HOT!!! Alright! Who left the outside heater on all day again?!! You don't have to identify who you are....just turn it off and we'll let you go without incident. 8-) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman, A.R.S. KB4MHH -\\- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- Home Page URL: http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Permission to use the above info for inclusion in any mailing | | lists, so as to send me ad-mail personally, is NOT granted. | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 14:27:51 -0500 From: "Daniel W. McCarthy" Subject: Re: SWODY2 Robert P Dale wrote: > I noticed this morning that the DY2 outlook has risk areas outlined -- > is > that a new policy or is this just such an obvious situation that this > was > detailed? > > Also, I know a DY3 outlook is being prepared for the SCAN project > around > WBC, is something like that in the works on a national scale? > The risk areas on the initial day2 outlook is a NEW policy. You can look forward to general thunder to be added to both day2 products as soon as the programming is ready. The day 3 outlook for the SCAN project is experimental at this time. Dan McCarthy _ _ _ Mesometeorologist ****My personal account...no disclaimer is necessary.****** ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 14:56:02 -0500 From: Chip Mahaney Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 14 Jul 1997 to 15 Jul 1997 In reply to Adam Brase who said: >>> I have a couple questions I would like to bring before this group. I am trying to make some important decisions and could really use some professional advice. ... Do you think it is worth my time to go back to school, or should I continue work on improving my demo tape and looking at the small markets? Here's some advice from a 15-year TV news/weather producer. If you really want to work in TV, find a way to work in TV. Make those calls, visit those stations, network with others in the business. Take a day or a week and drive to the areas where you might want to work. Make appointments to meet with the stations' news directors or weather staff. Get out, meet people, show your tape, get feedback, work on your skills, meet more people. Tried and true. This is not a comment on the Mississippi State program. I'm sure you'd learn a lot from their Master's track, and maybe you could do continue your formal education while you're working. But even a Master's degree won't help you much in getting your first TV job. Good luck. Chip Mahaney Severe Weather Producer, et al KDFW-TV FOX 4 News Dallas/Fort Worth, TX 214-720-3156 ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 15:02:32 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning notice The following site became a commissioned ASOS site at 1800 UTC on 16 July 1997. CINCINNATI MUNICIPAL AIRPORT LUNKEN FIELD (KLUK) CINCINNATI... OH Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 16:27:41 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: T-storm divergence And here we go again. At this moment... >From the SW approaches a large bow of red approaching Gainesville. As it enters Alachua Co. (within which GVL is in the center), the storms are splitting into two passing systems of red. Now let's see if they join on the other side as usual. 8-) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman, A.R.S. KB4MHH -\\- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- Home Page URL: http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Permission to use the above info for inclusion in any mailing | | lists, so as to send me ad-mail personally, is NOT granted. | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 18:03:29 GMT From: Brian Curran Subject: Re: web weather data Speaking for myself and not for my unnamed employer, and disregarding the warning about discretion and valor, I'll wade in with my $0.02... The following quote from the NWS home page : >The NWS Mission: " The primary mission of the National Weather >Service (NWS) is to protect life and property and to create economic >opportunities for the Nation." It is accomplished by providing warnings >and forecast of hazardous weather, including thunderstorms, flooding, >hurricanes, tornadoes, winter weather, tsunamis, and climate events. >The NWS is the sole OFFICIAL voice for issuing warnings during >life-threatening weather situations in the United States, its >territories, adjacent waters and ocean areas. The "I paid for the data with my taxes, now gimme" doesn't hold water. The NWS is tasked with providing forecasts and warnings. That's it. The taxpayer pays for forecasts and warnings through taxes. The NWS also provides additional value-added data, such as numerical model output and statistics. These value-added data are then repackaged by the private sector and sold for profit. I do not know whether the taxes paid on this profit represent fair compensation to the government for the value-added data. Perhaps someone can enlighten me? The discussion should not be about the NWS providing value-added data to universities and private enterprise. Rather, the discussion should be about taxpayers subsidizing the corporate welfare moms in our economic society. bc -- Brian Curran ebcurran@flash.net I speak for myself only. See the First Amendment for details. In the end, there can be only one. And you're reading his signature... ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 16:48:22 CDT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: Re: T-storm divergence >From: "Todd L. Sherman" > >And here we go again. At this moment... > >From the SW approaches a large bow of red approaching Gainesville. As >it enters Alachua Co. (within which GVL is in the center), the storms >are splitting into two passing systems of red. > >Now let's see if they join on the other side as usual. Todd was gracious enough to provide me with some radar images of the "Gainesville Split", and now I understand why he observes lines of thunderstorms splitting in the vicinity of Gainesville Florida. The reason has to do with the curvature of the western Florida coastline and its effect on the vertical motion fields within inland-propogating sea-breeze fronts. Where the coastline bulges in a convex manner (toward the sea), any inland-propogating sea-breeze front would acquire more convergence and higher vertical motion along the convergnce line. This is why there is a climatological maximum for severe thunderstorms and wet-landspout type tornadoes in the Tampa-Bay area (Pinellas and Hillsborough Counties). A similar climatology exists on the Florida east coast near Cape Canaveral and Merritt Island (another maximum of summertime water/land spouts). Looking downstream (toward the southwest) from Gainesville, the coastline is *concave* (toward the sea). Thus, an inland-propogating sea-breeze convergence zone would "lose its punch", thus causing the storms to die off (and for the lines to split apart as the convergence decreases). This idea was studied in a convection modelling study of the Florida sea-breeze by Pielke, R., 1974 in Monthly Weather Review, Vol. 102, p 115-139. Pielke states that "local maxima in vertical motion form in regions where the curvature of the coastline accentuates the horizontal convergence created by the differential heating between land and water". So, Todd, the Gainesville Split is real! However, it has nothing to do with the local concentration of meteorologists in the area. My advice ... move to Pinellas County! greg stumpf, NSSL ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 18:10:57 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: T-storm divergence On Wed, 16 Jul 1997, Greg Stumpf wrote: > [...] > So, Todd, the Gainesville Split is real! However, it has nothing to do > with the local concentration of meteorologists in the area. My advice > ... move to Pinellas County! 8-) Thanks, Greg. In a way, I'm kinda glad I saved some actual captures of the radar movement of the storm. I was starting to get a number of "where? what line? there are no storms in your area! what are you talking about? are you nuts?" responses. :) Of course, they didn't realize how fast today's stuff had occured, and that by the time they were looking at the radar, most of the storms had already dissapated. As we speak, not but a couple hours later, I'm looking out my window and the sun is shining brightly and most of the menacing clouds have disappeared. Go figure! :) I think I'll personally name these sea-breeze storms "sea-breeze hiccups." They're there and then they're gone as fast as they started. :) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman, A.R.S. KB4MHH -\\- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- Home Page URL: http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Permission to use the above info for inclusion in any mailing | | lists, so as to send me ad-mail personally, is NOT granted. | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 14:13:15 -0500 From: Chuck Doswell Subject: Re: Hail Shafts [A clearer revision of the question] In article <9707131551.AA03196@gale.nssl.noaa.gov>, Greg Stumpf wrote: > >From: "Todd L. Sherman" > > > >In my recent previous post I indicated some confusion over "hail shafts." > >I think I should elaborate a little better what I'm trying to get at... > > > >Incidently, I discovered what a "hail shaft" was...reading the Audubon > >Society's _Field Guide to North American Weather -- and I think I'll believe > >in their definition on page 149. :) Sounds good. HOWEVER... ...discussion deleted... Although my posting does not constitute a "review" of the book, it is my opinion {NOT that of NSSL, etc.!) that this "Field Guide" is pretty lame. I hope the quality of it is not indicative of the Audubon Society's other field guides. My impression is quite simple ... this is NOT a source I would recommend to ANYONE interested in the weather! -- Dr. Charles A. Doswell III NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, Oklahoma 73069 phone: (405) 366-0439 fax: (405) 366-0472 WWW home page: Standard disclaimer ... my views are my own, so don't blame my employer. Can't keep my eyes from the circling sky. An earth-bound misfit, I ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 18:42:54 CST From: Weatherman <954blake@ALPHA.NLU.EDU> Subject: Atlantic Tropical Weather Center I have updated the center for TD #4 and established a page without frames... With frames: http://usacitylink.com/blake/tropical.html Without frames: http://usacitylink.com/blake/tropical/tropical.html Than to many people making helpful suggestions... Add a "ks" to the above :0 Eric Blake Webmaster, ATWC ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 22:29:30 -0700 From: Stephen Hodanish Subject: wx data A few things... Regarding pricing for weather data, an interesting article appeared in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society regarding this topic (more specifically, it discussed weather research data) titled: Pricing Policy for Federal Research Data April 1997 issue...Interesting reading. Other stuff... NLDN data will likely never make the Internet for free as the NLDN is owned by a private meteorological company in Tuscon AZ; Global Atmospherics Inc. The POPULAR SCIENCE article about weather detection equipment was "fun" reading, but it was mostly fluff and a bit optimistic (However, I did appreciate the promotion of NOAA weather radio) This same article had a quip about the private meteorological sector. Mike Smith stated; "We don't want to see cuts in the public weather program. But if necessary, the private sector could take over. Im not advocating that, but we have the expertise to do it if we have to" (_POPULAR SCIENCE_ August 1997 pg 59). I *personally* disagree. They might have the background to forecast the weather, but, as far as I know, they likely do NOT have the infrastructure (radars, observers [electronic and human], communications systems, computer resources, etc) in place to to do the job. It is also interesting that they did not mention that if they did take over the "public weather program" that the general public would *likely* have to pay for the service. As Lou Boezi stated in the same article "Every citizen in the country, for the price of a Big Mac, fries and a Coke, gets a year of weather service" (and that $2.99 in my neck of the woods :) ... Being a NWS employee, I am obviously biased, however, the National Weather Service is one of the best things going with regards to the Federal Government. If we are not careful, we just might lose it. If the day ever comes where a the general public has to "buy" a forecast or a "weather warning", will be a very sad day indeed. As always...my opinions only. Stephen Hodanish NWS/MLB ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 16 Jul 1997 21:29:14 -0700 From: Scott Lewis Subject: Please post! Does anyone know where I can find real-time or near real-time lightning data on the web? I spoke with a rep from Global Atmospherics today (formerly GDS) and they only offer a weekly national composite map. Thanks! Scott Lewis Meteorlogist KDRV-TV Medford, OR ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 15 Jul 1997 to 16 Jul 1997 ************************************************** From - Fri Jul 18 11:44:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102810-26132>; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 06:00:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA64374; Thu, 17 Jul 1997 16:48:58 -0500 Message-Id: <199707172148.QAA64374@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Jul 1997 16:46:41 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 16 Jul 1997 to 17 Jul 1997 - Special issue To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: fa2a5ef6e9f18099dc3fcc0b7d5a4933 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 35907 Status: OR There are 19 messages totalling 800 lines in this issue. Topics in this special issue: 1. Hail Shafts [A clearer revision of the question] (2) 2. Accuracy of radar 3. (no subject) 4. heat island/terrain effect and tornadoes 5. Re[2]: Sirents (sic)...tempting fate? 6. 50% chance (2) 7. TV weather-related item from SHOPTALK 8. TS Danny 9. T-storm divergence 10. Cincinnati ASOS commissioning delayed 11. Question on Gray's forecast vs recent tropical developments (4) 12. Question on Gray's forecast vs recent tropical developments -Reply (2) 13. Got What I Deserved... +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 17 Jul 1997 01:29:19 -0500 From: Roger Edwards Subject: Re: Hail Shafts [A clearer revision of the question] Good post by Greg on the Field Guide. It was nice incentive to dust off my copy (after many years!) and peruse it with a different perspective gained from much storm chasing. In summary, there's a lot of hand-waving and "say what?" with regard to some cloud structures in it that I didn't catch back in the mid 80s. It's still one hell of a photo collection; but I hope to have enough stuff of my own to write a better verson and put the "old" version to pasture by the time I turn 45 or 50. Got to travel where I can see some nice lenticulari, winter formations and noctilucents though... For one example of a hail shaft (confirmed as such by large amounts of marginally severe hail deposited thereunder), see http://www.wildstar.net/~tornado/SkyPix/hshaft.gif The accompanying narrative is several paragraphs down under http://www.wildstar.net/~tornado/rogersky.htm#Supercell Structures Other chasers may have even better examples. ----------------------------------- *** No disclaimer necessary; this is my personal account! *** "A Meatwagon at rest tends ===== Roger Edwards ===== to remain at rest." ( ) Forecaster - chase partner, 1996 former NHC Forecaster :::::::::: http://www.wildstar.net/~tornado :::::::::: "I FEAST ON THE SMORGASBORD OF ATMOSPHERIC VIOLENCE." ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 17 Jul 1997 01:37:31 -0500 From: Keith Brewster Subject: Re: Accuracy of radar > > There currently is a "TV war" of radar here, and the last few storms have > seen interruption in prime-time TV > with "updates" on storms approaching that have only been surpassed by > previous announcements of war, > assassinations, and the arrival of Martians. Jeez. Give these guys a new > toy and they take it too far. Where have we seen that before? > > I'm looking for a comment on the accuracy of the display that is available, > and the inherent accuracy of radar. > I know that the tracking radars can determine distance quite well, assuming > a target is hard and descrete, like > an aircraft or satellite. But what about the timing circuits and distances > involved with weather radar? > > If one had a stationary, consistant rain burst at, say 150 miles, would the > accuracy of the newer systems > permit a range determination of 1 mile? of 2 miles? Is the precision high > also? > > The coverage for my area comes from Minneapolis, 90 miles away, and > LaCrosse, about 80-100 miles away > depending on where the antenna is. 1% range accuracy makes a mockery of > the "street level" programs > say nothing about the punctuality of the data. Are the data 5 minutes old > when the stations get them from > their suppliers? This also is of concern. > The range itself is pretty accurate. Its the characteristics of the storm that get "blurred" with increasing distance and the height of the beam above the ground that get to be a problem. The "width" of the beam (it doesn't have sharp edges, but the standard measurement) is on the order of 1 degree, larger for some older TV radars. At 90 miles, a 1 degree beam is about a mile and half wide, so everything in that "beamwidth" is glommed together. If you're looking for wind circulations on the scale of a tornado, you're out of luck. You can see mesocyclones if you sample at a high enough resolution and the antenna isn't moving too fast, but you're still limited to that spatial resolution. Due to the curature of the earth, the radar is also looking up into cloud. I don't have numbers handy at the moment but at the range of 90 miles, its likely they are seeing things about 2000-4000 ft above the ground. Now its pretty safe to say that will hit the ground in approximately the same place , but features of storms can tilt with height, precipitation can evaporate before hitting the ground, etc. So in reality, they can DISPLAY things at high resolution, but there are enough inaccuracies at your distance that the "street-level" designation is pure fluff. I do think the stations are aiming their marketing at their "home" cities which are close enough they can justify the street-level display. 'course some then want to take it further and claim to resolve individual roofs...sigh. -Keith ------------------- Keith Brewster n0iaw kbrews@galstar.com ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 17 Jul 1997 01:42:59 -0500 From: Steve Miller Subject: (no subject) >I was raised and lived in north Dallas for nearly 30 years. Now I reside >in Lubbock :). Your observations are duly noted. You state: " I can only >remember just a very disproportional few of these actually developing >over Dallas itself." Take a look at the statistics. It IS RARE for >tornadoes to occur at all. The probability for a tornado to strike any one >point is very low. ---------------------------- Absolutely.... I am fully aware of this fact. It doesn't take long to discover this when you are chasing ;-) I am not implying a single point for a tornado strike. Rather, formation over a certain geographic area with a unique terrain features. ---------------------------- >Until some scientific evidence proves otherwise, I suggest that what is >happening IS coincidence. Remember May 26, 1976?? A tornado developed a >few miles north of Love Field, in Dallas proper, and moved east-northeast >for several miles. And then there is the case that Greg Stumpf mentioned, >April 19, 1995, in west Dallas. --------------------------- I fully realize that I have no "scientific" data to prove it....nor is there any scientific data to totally disprove it either. Until the scientific community can better understand ALL of the dynamics and phenomenon of tornadoes and severe storms, it must keep an open mind. I am simply presenting an interesting observation that I have made over the course of many years and wanted other members of the scientific community as yourself for input. I, too, kept dismissing it as coincidence but every year, it would happen again. After awhile, I started doubting "coincidence" and still do....not dismissing it, just doubting it. You stated that "Little is known about the terrain/heat island effects on tornadogenesis or demise". I couldn't agree with you more. I do plan to gather all of the data I can to plot actual touchdowns and/or development along with storm movement for as far back as possible. Anyone know the best place to start this research?......good references/sources? ---------------------------- >For those that do believe in this heat island/terrain protecting the city >of Dallas theory, I suggest a sort of litmus test. The next time a strong >to violent tornado develops in southwest Dallas County (it's only a matter >of time) and moves northeastward... go to the vicinity of Reunion Arena >(southwest downtown Dallas) and wait outside to see if the theory holds >true ;-). ---------------------------- I won't be waiting for it, I'll be chasing it! ;-) I read a report on the great Dallas tornado of 1957 which said the funnel originally developed over the exact same geographic area I am talking about....the area now known as Joe Pool Lake. Steve Miller smiller@cooke.net "Texas Tailchaser" http://www.cooke.net/~smiller/wx/txtailchasers.htm ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 17 Jul 1997 03:00:17 -0500 From: Roger Edwards Subject: Re: heat island/terrain effect and tornadoes On Wed, 16 Jul 1997, Bruce Haynie typed: > I was raised and lived in north Dallas for nearly 30 years. Now I reside > in Lubbock :). Your observations are duly noted. You state: " I can only > remember just a very disproportionally few of these actually developing > over Dallas itself." Take a look at the statistics. It IS RARE for > tornadoes to occur at all. The probability for a tornado to strike any one > point is very low. Absolutely. While nobody can refute the possibility that topography in vicinity of Joe Pool Lake may affect low level forcing in the updraft region of storms that pass over it (perhaps dependent on storm motion and pre-existing morphological character as well); until there is the density of observational data to scientifically test the theory, it's all seat-of-the-pants speculation. In the meantime, the citizenry of Dallas is better served by the efforts of people like Al Moller and other TESSA members who educate spotters on storm observation -- and the public on storm safety! BTW - I was born, raised and lived in inner-city Dallas -- and saw several rotating wall clouds, one tornado and two unmistakable funnels just in the relatively narrow time and space window that constituted my childhood in East Dallas. Greg pointed out 19 Apr 95; of course 2 Apr 57, 26 May 76 and a few other days come to mind. Look in Tom's Significant Tornadoes volume, pages 216 (killers) and 431 (TX significant tornadoes map). Then overlay an outline of the Dallas city limits, which wind across much of Dallas County and parts of Denton, Collin, Rockwall and Kaufman counties. Dallas -- a tornado void? Hell no!!! Look at the climatographic maps!! [Now if someone wants to argue the same about Ft. Worth, that's a bizarre and (so far) scientifically unexplained pattern. Still, there have been a handful of hoses in Ft. Worth proper.] Lack of scientific explanation does not constitute lack of *reason* though; outside the possibility of sheer coincidence, we just haven't hit on it yet. Perhaps there is a topographic contribution. Perhaps not! Speculate all you want; until we have the means to observationally test for those effects, nothing has been accomplished. If that does ever happen, the results and conclusions will be subject to peer review and their credibility assessed as it should be. I hope I live to see such observations and subsequent results. As for tornadoes avoiding downtown, I have held the same belief as Greg - downtown represents a little over 1 of the 900 square miles of Dallas County - yielding small odds even when considering only the available tornado path records. > of Dallas theory, I suggest a sort of litmus test. The next time a strong > to violent tornado develops in southwest Dallas County (it's only a matter > of time) and moves northeastward... go to the vicinity of Reunion Arena > (southwest downtown Dallas) and wait outside to see if the theory holds > true ;-). Good test. Some people along and near Singleton Boulevard, at a distance about the width of downtown west of downtown, inadvertantly failed that test on 2 Apr 57. The only difference was that the tornado was bearing very slightly west of due north. ---------------------------------------- *** No disclaimer necessary; this is my personal account! *** "If you stop, stop slowly; or I ===== Roger Edwards ===== fly back into the windshield." ( ) Forecaster - current chase partner former NHC Forecaster :::::::::: http://www.wildstar.net/~tornado :::::::::: "I FEAST ON THE SMORGASBORD OF ATMOSPHERIC VIOLENCE." ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 17 Jul 1997 03:39:14 -0500 From: Roger Edwards Subject: Re: Re[2]: Sirents (sic)...tempting fate? On Tue, 15 Jul 1997, Bobby Prentice typed: > > The Dallas versus Ft Worth tornado frequency difference is probably > the strangest tornado anomaly of all. Tarrant Co, TX (Forth Worth) has > been hit very many times during its history. However, Dallas Co, TX > has been hit only comparatively few times. The Dallas Tornado from > 1957 was the exception. However, during the past few year, Dallas Co > has been hit hard including the Lancaster/De Soto tornado from 1994. > Dallas is in the heart of tornado alley and it's time will > (eventually) come again! You got it backward, Bobby! It's *Tarrant* county that has been hit comparatively few times (go back and look over the maps in Significant Tornadoes, as noted in my previous post); and the TCU tornado was the exception. That doesn't change other parts of the discussion, though, which were excellent -- for example, these points to ponder: > > One of my favorite passages talks about tornado proximity to the average > town. It goes something like this (I don't have it in front of me): > "Tornadoes always strike NEAR our town, but NEVER in it. Ergo, our town is a > special, magical place where fairies, lepruchans, rivers, hills and magic > dust save us. > > Well now...let's do the math. Let's call "near our town" to mean visual sight > distance from downtown. That's about 10 miles. That covers an area about 314 > square miles. 314 square miles of "near our town." Let's say your town has > about 10,000 people spread out over about 100 people per square mile. Then > your town is about 10 square miles. Then lets say the average tornado travels > about a mile and affects part of one square mile. That means that one out of > every 31.4 tornadoes the townspeople see should hit the town! That would > certainly explain why townspeople have seen 31 tornado over the past 150 > years and yet not a single one has ever hit the town. Guess what? This year > might be time for number 32 to hit the town and kill a great many of the > townspeople!. And of course, I must add that the same town can be hit 3 years in a row -- on the same day. [This has happened.] There are hundreds of other towns in the Plains and Midwest that have not yet recorded a known direct tornado hit, out of 100-200 years of European-American occupation. There is nothing known that physically prevents 6 violent tornadoes (or 3 500-year floods, or any other multitude of low-risk disasters) from raking downtown Dallas in a single year. Conversely, there is nothing known that can guarantee a single tornado at any particular spot in Dallas for the next 900 years. Tornado risk can be quantified but it cannot be guaranteed! Further, perpetuation of anti-tornado myth (really no more than irrational denial) can lead to dangerous complacency. Education and safety are the best ways to combat the risk to human life. If the dead could talk, you would hear all you need to know about the tornado-repellent "powers" of Burnet's Mound by visiting any of several Topeka-area graveyards. ---------------------------- *** No disclaimer necessary; this is my personal account! *** "Let's follow this sheriff; ===== Roger Edwards ===== he'll get killed before we do." ( ) Forecaster - current chase partner former NHC Forecaster :::::::::: http://www.wildstar.net/~tornado :::::::::: "I FEAST ON THE SMORGASBORD OF ATMOSPHERIC VIOLENCE." ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 17 Jul 1997 08:47:56 PDT From: "Jared Kaplan \"the weatherman\"" Subject: 50% chance I listen to NOAA weatheradio out of taunton Massachusetts, and one thing that drives me crazy is when the is a 50%chance of a storm. Maybe i am wrong, but isnt there always a 50%chance of a storm, there is a 50% chance the NWS will cut back again (well not really, probably near 100%) I could say there is a 50% chance of a thunderstorm today,well, i am right, even if there is no thuder storm. Would someone please clarify this for me if I am mistaken. Thanks, Jared Kaplan jared@sria.com "Disclaimer thingy here" ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 17 Jul 1997 09:31:53 -0500 From: Bruce Haynie Subject: Re: Hail Shafts [A clearer revision of the question] At 01:29 AM 7/17/97 -0500, Roger Edwards wrote: >Good post by Greg on the Field Guide. It was nice incentive to dust off >my copy (after many years!) and peruse it with a different perspective >gained from much storm chasing. In summary, there's a lot of hand-waving >and "say what?" with regard to some cloud structures in it that I didn't >catch back in the mid 80s. It's still one hell of a photo collection; but >I hope to have enough stuff of my own to write a better verson and put the >"old" version to pasture by the time I turn 45 or 50. Got to travel where >I can see some nice lenticulari, winter formations and noctilucents >though... Perhaps a few of us together can come up with something :-). >For one example of a hail shaft (confirmed as such by large amounts of >marginally severe hail deposited thereunder), see >http://www.wildstar.net/~tornado/SkyPix/hshaft.gif When seeing something like this... do you ever ask yourself: "I wonder how big the hail is over there?" :-) ...snip... > ----------------------------------- >*** No disclaimer necessary; this is my personal account! *** >"A Meatwagon at rest tends ===== Roger Edwards ===== > to remain at rest." ( ) Forecaster >- chase partner, 1996 former NHC Forecaster >:::::::::: http://www.wildstar.net/~tornado :::::::::: Regards, Bruce ---------------- Bruce Haynie N5WRA kbhaynie@flash.net Information System Specialist kbhayni@why.net Lubbock, TX **Standard Disclaimer** http://www.why.net/users/kbhayni "Those who live by the extended models shall also die by the extended models." ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 17 Jul 1997 09:33:09 -0500 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: 50% chance >I listen to NOAA weatheradio out of taunton Massachusetts, and one thing > that drives me crazy is when the is a 50%chance of a storm. Maybe i am > wrong, but isnt there always a 50%chance of a storm, there is a 50% > chance the NWS will cut back again (well not really, probably near 100%) > I could say there is a 50% chance of a thunderstorm today,well, i am > right, even if there is no thuder storm. Would someone please clarify > this for me if I am mistaken. > Jared, Actually, the NWS folks are making a mistake when they use this wording. What they should be referring to is the Probability Of Precipitation (POP). The POP refers to the chance of measureable precip at any point in the area referred to, at any time during the time period referred to. So... when the NWS says "a 50% chance of thunderstorms today", the correct wording should be something like: "Scattered thunderstorms today with a 50% chance of rain." Keep in mind that a POP has 3 "elements" to it: 1) the time period, 2) the area covered, and 3) the "confidence" element. Using the 50% example, the forecaster might be 100% positive that measureable rain will fall today, but that he thinks it will fall only on about 50% of the area (thus the "scattered" word or "isolated" or some other qualifier referring to the areal extent). A 50% POP might also refer to a situation where the forecaster has only 50% confidence that it will rain at all during the given time period, but that if it does, it will rain on 100% of the area. And so forth, with any combination of "confidence" and "areal extent" during the time period resulting in the final POP number. Since rainfall is a yes or no quantity at any given point during a particular time period, and this is the perspective you have as an individual (unless you have the ability to be at two places at once!), it is sometimes difficult to understand why forecasters use this terminology. People should understand that the forecasters are dealing with areas (not specific points), time periods (not specific times), and confidence levels (how sure am I?). All these uncertanties get combined into the final number. ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President - Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 17 Jul 1997 11:03:02 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV weather-related item from SHOPTALK CHUCK GEORGE, Chief Meteorologist at KOLD-TV in Tucson (Market #80) is moving on to greener fields and higher humidity. Chuck will begin work as the new morning and noon meteorologist at KPRC-TV in Houston August 24. Meanwhile, Raycom-owned KOLD-TV (CBS Affiliate) plans a nationwide search for Chuck's replacement. Chuck is represented by Rob Jordan of Ken Lindner & Assoc. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 17 Jul 1997 10:04:46 -0600 From: Albert Pietrycha Subject: TS Danny If you are interested in viewing VIS (~1.0 km) GOES-8 images of TS Danny then please check out Greg Thompson's page at; http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satellite.html The image will update every 15 mins and will be realigned as needed. As future tropical systems develop we will move the floater image accordingly so be sure to check back in. --Al Pietrycha ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Albert Pietrycha President, NCAR/RAP American Meteorological Society P.O. Box 3000 Metropolitan State College Boulder, CO 80307-3000 Denver (303) 497-8382 pietrych@ncar.ucar.edu http://www.rap.ucar.edu/staff/pietrych/ My opinions only I am not a storm chaser..I'm a storm connoisseur ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 17 Jul 1997 12:19:21 GMT From: Eric Gross Subject: Re: T-storm divergence >So, Todd, the Gainesville Split is real! However, it has nothing to do >with the local concentration of meteorologists in the area. My advice >... move to Pinellas County! Such a phenomena is also often observed in the Tallahassee area, both in conjunction with seabreeze fronts under certain circumstances *and* with approaching winter-time squall lines. Terrain bulges southwards into the Gulf to the southwest of Tallahassee, and Apalachee Bay bulges inwards to the south of. After years and years of watching the radars and chasing storms around here, I can tell you that you frequently get some very interesting divergence . . . . ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 17 Jul 1997 14:13:39 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: Cincinnati ASOS commissioning delayed A last minute delay on commissioning... ***** NOTICE ***** THE COMMISSIONING OF THE FAA-SPONSORED ASOS AT: LUNKEN FIELD (KLUK) CINCINNATI... OHIO WHICH WAS SCHEDULED FOR YESTERDAY (JULY 16) WAS CANCELED DUE TO UNFORSEEN CIRCUMSTANCES. THE COMMISSIONING OF THIS SITE WILL BE RE-SCHEDULED FOR A LATER DATE. Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 17 Jul 1997 15:25:35 -0400 From: Mark Stunder Subject: Question on Gray's forecast vs recent tropical developments I've always thought highly of Gray's tropical forecasts and his methods etc. However, I was wondering how those methods match the four named tropical systems we've had to date. Each of the four systems (Ana, Bill, Claudette and Danny) all formed about 200-300 miles from our Atl. or Gulf coastline. I believe all formed NOT from tropical waves but from transformations (cold-core lows to warm core), old lows on fronts etc. In fact, I think the cloudmass out of which Danny formed can be traced back to an MCS that moved down the Miss. Valley and out into the Gulf about a week ago !!!! So my question is this: We've achieved 4 tropical systems against Gray's forecast, but did we achieve them for the "wrong reasons"? Should we NOT count tropical systems that really don't originate in the tropics (NOT count transformations etc.). If we DON'T count transformation tropical systems, then Gray's forecast would only have potentially one system, TD #5, possibly soon to be Erika, east of the Windwards, counted in his forecast favor. TD #5 is forming from a tropical wave that originated in Africa. Any thoughts? Perhaps Dr. Landsea in Miami could comment on this as I know he's done work with Dr. Gray. Thanks, Mark ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 17 Jul 1997 14:55:17 -0500 From: "Mathew L. Powers" Subject: Re: Question on Gray's forecast vs recent tropical developments If TS Danny hits New Orleans or areas near and causes flooding and other damage, can you imagine telling those people that "it didn't really count". Nature isn't the one not playing by the rules. If 40 fronts go through and stall out near the gulf and 40 tropical systems are born on theses front, do they count???? Please. In August, 1990, the Plainfield/Crest Hill tornado killed 29 people in a severe t-storm watch. The profiles at the time did not match what many considered "tornadic", yet an F5 tornado came out if it anyway. As far as I know, many forecasters did not get that forecast right and I'm sure none of them said "it didn't count because it didn't happen the way it was supposed to". Weather happens the way it wants to, not the way WE say it should. If Dr. Grey blows it, then Dr Grey blows it. I'm sure even he'd agree with that. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Matt Powers: powers@weather.cod.edu I still use my 630/942-2590 colored pencils! College of Dupage/NEXLAB (near Chi-town) http://weather.cod.edu Multi-County Skywarn http://weather.cod.edu/skywarn and Ob's at RFD for fun ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 17 Jul 1997 19:57:08 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: Question on Gray's forecast vs recent tropical developments > Each of the four systems (Ana, Bill, Claudette and Danny) all formed > about 200-300 miles from our Atl. or Gulf coastline. I believe all formed > NOT from tropical waves but from transformations (cold-core lows to > warm core), old lows on fronts etc. In fact, I think the cloudmass out of > which Danny formed can be traced back to an MCS that moved down > the Miss. Valley and out into the Gulf about a week ago !!!! > Good point. Intense MCS's have been producing well-defined and long-lived Mesoscale Vorticity Centers (MVC's) lately, and it could be argued that said features may have aided in the generation or intensification of some of these recent tropical disturbances. These MVC's are actually *warm core* features, so once they travel out across the warm waters of the Gulf or Gulf Stream, you add low-level moisure flux and latent heat release to the vorticity that's already available in mid levels... -Scott -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS FIRSTT | CIMSS/University of Wisconsin-Madison ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 17 Jul 1997 15:24:00 -0500 From: "Padgett, James G." Subject: Re: Question on Gray's forecast vs recent tropical developments Dr Gray's forecasts have always been for tropical storms and hurricanes over the entire Atlantic basin, regardless of the nature of the initiating disturbance, even though many of the cyclones do form at higher latitudes from non-tropical disturbances. Even though the atmospheric signals used in the forecasts pertain mostly to the deep tropics. ---------- From: Mark Stunder To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK Subject: Question on Gray's forecast vs recent tropical developments Date: Thursday, July 17, 1997 2:25PM I've always thought highly of Gray's tropical forecasts and his methods etc. However, I was wondering how those methods match the four named tropical systems we've had to date. Each of the four systems (Ana, Bill, Claudette and Danny) all formed about 200-300 miles from our Atl. or Gulf coastline. I believe all formed NOT from tropical waves but from transformations (cold-core lows to warm core), old lows on fronts etc. In fact, I think the cloudmass out of which Danny formed can be traced back to an MCS that moved down the Miss. Valley and out into the Gulf about a week ago !!!! So my question is this: We've achieved 4 tropical systems against Gray's forecast, but did we achieve them for the "wrong reasons"? Should we NOT count tropical systems that really don't originate in the tropics (NOT count transformations etc.). If we DON'T count transformation tropical systems, then Gray's forecast would only have potentially one system, TD #5, possibly soon to be Erika, east of the Windwards, counted in his forecast favor. TD #5 is forming from a tropical wave that originated in Africa. Any thoughts? Perhaps Dr. Landsea in Miami could comment on this as I know he's done work with Dr. Gray. Thanks, Mark +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 17 Jul 1997 17:03:20 -0400 From: Mark Stunder Subject: Re: Question on Gray's forecast vs recent tropical developments -Reply >>>>>>>>>>>>>>> If TS Danny hits New Orleans or areas near and causes flooding and other damage, can you imagine telling those people that "it didn't really count". Nature isn't the one not playing by the rules. If 40 fronts go through and stall out near the gulf and 40 tropical systems are born on theses front, do they count???? Please. In August, 1990, the Plainfield/Crest Hill tornado killed 29 people in a severe t-storm watch. The profiles at the time did not match what many considered "tornadic", yet an F5 tornado came out if it anyway. As far as I know, many forecasters did not get that forecast right and I'm sure none of them said "it didn't count because it didn't happen the way it was supposed to". Weather happens the way it wants to, not the way WE say it should. If Dr. Grey blows it, then Dr Grey blows it. I'm sure even he'd agree with that. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Matt Powers: powers@weather.cod.edu I still use my 630/942-2590 colored pencils! College of Dupage/NEXLAB (near Chi-town) http://weather.cod.edu Multi-County Skywarn http://weather.cod.edu/skywarn and Ob's at RFD for fun <<<<<<<<<<<<<<< Now, Matthew, no need to flame on this topic. I'm just trying to find out if Gray's work really focuses on the tropical wave aspect of storm formation and not the transformation part. I agree that if your're getting 10 inches of rain from Danny, that it counts to you, but that's not my point. Calm down a bit, friend! -Mark ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 17 Jul 1997 17:05:53 -0400 From: Mark Stunder Subject: Re: Question on Gray's forecast vs recent tropical developments -Reply >>>>>>>>>>>>>>> > Each of the four systems (Ana, Bill, Claudette and Danny) all formed > about 200-300 miles from our Atl. or Gulf coastline. I believe all formed > NOT from tropical waves but from transformations (cold-core lows to > warm core), old lows on fronts etc. In fact, I think the cloudmass out of > which Danny formed can be traced back to an MCS that moved down > the Miss. Valley and out into the Gulf about a week ago !!!! > Good point. Intense MCS's have been producing well-defined and long-lived Mesoscale Vorticity Centers (MVC's) lately, and it could be argued that said features may have aided in the generation or intensification of some of these recent tropical disturbances. These MVC's are actually *warm core* features, so once they travel out across the warm waters of the Gulf or Gulf Stream, you add low-level moisure flux and latent heat release to the vorticity that's already available in mid levels... -Scott -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS FIRSTT | CIMSS/University of Wisconsin-Madison <<<<<<<<<<<<<<< Scott: I agree, particularly with the MCS down the Miss. Valley that apparently was linked eventually to Danny. Not sure, though, about the other three tropical developments. I'll need to do some more research. -Mark ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 17 Jul 1997 17:46:28 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Got What I Deserved... All that complaining I did last couple days about the "Gainesville Split"... Just returned from picking up my sister-in-law from work and upon return home we found out that our mobile home park apparently got hit with some high winds. Lots of large branches (mostly tops of trees) knocked down -- ranging from 2" to 6" diameters. One home in the extreme SE corner of the park, and right up next to the forest wall which surrounds our park, suffered a smashed aluminum carport. Some minor flooding in various areas of the park from oversaturation in the 45-degree angle rain that hit. Lots of loud, repeating lightning when we left the park to pick her up. Couldn't even see in front of me from the rain at the time. Guess God's telling me to shut up and quit complaining. (Suttle, isn't he?) If that was just a "sea-breeze" storm I don't wanna know what's gonna hit come winter when the fronts start reaming their way through here! :) 7-3, Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman, A.R.S. KB4MHH -\\- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- Home Page URL: http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Permission to use the above info for inclusion in any mailing | | lists, so as to send me ad-mail personally, is NOT granted. | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 16 Jul 1997 to 17 Jul 1997 - Special issue ****************************************************************** From - Fri Jul 18 15:38:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102287-17643>; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 13:09:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA02774; Fri, 18 Jul 1997 00:03:22 -0500 Message-Id: <199707180503.AAA02774@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Jul 1997 00:00:09 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 17 Jul 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 3ccca429bfc084c442ca6d85a752df90 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 7873 Status: OR There are 4 messages totalling 176 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. wx data 2. Heat repelling tornadoes? 3. Heat Index Calculation 4. Short Term Forecasts +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 17 Jul 1997 17:04:22 -0500 From: "Daniel W. McCarthy" Subject: Re: wx data Stephen Hodanish wrote: > > > This same article had a quip about the private meteorological sector. > Mike Smith stated; "We don't want to see cuts in the public weather > program. But if necessary, the private sector could take over. Im not > advocating that, but we have the expertise to do it if we have to" > (_POPULAR SCIENCE_ August 1997 pg 59). I *personally* disagree. They > might have the background to forecast the weather, but, as far as I > know, > they likely do NOT have the infrastructure (radars, observers > [electronic > and human], communications systems, computer resources, etc) in place > to > to do the job. It is also interesting that they did not mention that > if > they did take over the "public weather program" that the general > public > would *likely* have to pay for the service. > I have worked for Mr. Smith and have been on both sides of the fence of goverment vs. private and have a bad feeling in my gut about this topic. First of all...Mr. Smith thinks he has the expertise. Paying someone $18,000/year qualifies as expertise? His company provides "personalized" data to companies that need it...information the NWS doesn't provide. However, I think the opinion of _his_ that taxes pay for the data is a bit skewed. The company pays for the data from a private vendor, i.e. WSI. WSI takes the raw data and processes it so that anyone who pays for it can see it. Where do taxes come in here? Personal taxes? Company taxes? How about the breaks the company gets for being a small business, thank you President Reagan! Now, the NWS devised, derived, processed the model data that is shared amongst the masses...model data that is sent via private industry and the internet. Who pays for this data? If the NWS charged for everytime the models are run, would there be a budget short fall? Maybe not. But, without the data, would private industry exist? The data is shared, from what I understand, because it is public domain through the agreement between government and private industry. Thankfully, they privates can make a living providing detailed information to electric companies...railroads....ski resorts...even bakerys. Can a NWS office take calls form all these users? Dan McCarthy Mesometeorologist My account...my opinions. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 17 Jul 1997 17:47:35 CDT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: Re: Heat repelling tornadoes? (Again...let's move this discussion to WX-TALK, as I have cross-posted to. I have cc:ed to WX-CHASE merely as a convenience to others to let them know that this discussion is not chase-related) >From: Bill Gross > >I work in the public safety arena in the Dallas area, and though the >observations I have made probable amount to annecdotal evidence at best >I will verture that storms do seem to fall apart as they move into >Dallas County from Tarrant County. The May 5 storm mentioned >previously had strong tornadic signatures on WSR-88D as it moved across >Dallas, yet nothing touched the ground. There have been lines of >strong storms approach Dallas, enter Tarrant County and blast Ft Worth >only to fall apart as they get to Dallas. Yet another person with either a bad memory or incomplete observations. The May 5 1995 storms that battered downtown Fort Worth with gargantuan hail went on the subsequently hit Dallas hard with major flash flooding (with something like 15 deaths). This was a case of a very devastating HP supercell that did NOT die as it entered the DFW metro area. In fact, a NOAA Disaster Survey was conducted on this event due to the extremely high levels of damage, injuries, and deaths. I really think that people believe what they want to believe, and if they feel that just because the very spot they were at did not recieve the *worst* of the severe weather, that they were gypped. I know, as I used to do this myself. I now joke about it because on Sept 6, 1992, at NSSL, we were raked with a 100mph downburst, and in the very narrow (1 mile) swath of the worse damage in the area that night. greg stumpf, NSSL ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 17 Jul 1997 20:43:50 -0500 From: Ted Keller Subject: Heat Index Calculation I know this subject has probably been covered but I just can't recall a recent discussion. Several viewers have called wanting to know how to calculate the heat index. If someone could pass this equation along to me, it would be greatly appreciated. Ted Keller | Meteorologist | My homepage is here! KOLR-TV, Springfield, MO | web.getonthe.net/~tkeller tkeller@mail.kolr10.com | "It's fun to get e-mail!" "I'd be more than happy to agree with you if you were correct" ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 18 Jul 1997 09:53:24 GMT From: Donald Baker Subject: Short Term Forecasts Greetings, In looking through the daily wx-talk digests it is apparent that there are many on the list who receive/use, one way or another, a variety of NWS products. I'm specifically interested in comments on the Short Term Forecast, also known as the Nowcast (NOW). Most NWS offices prepare the NOW a minumum number of times per day, typically 4 to 8, with more frequent issuances during active weather. With this approach the NOW is often close to the zone forecast during benign weather, except there is usually some sort of temperature forecast valid 3-6 hours after the NOW is issued (i.e., temperatures will rise to the mid 70s by 11 am). Also, the wording of the wind and sky cover forecast may be refined. The idea behind this method of issuance is to always have a NOW in effect. Thus, it always appears on the Weather Channel as "Local Update", and is designed to add more detail to the zone forecast, especially during active weather, but also during fair weather. A smaller fraction of NWS offices issue the NOW as a purely "event-driven" product, relying on the county-scale zone forecast to handle most routine weather. These offices typically issue a NOW only when they feel value can be added to the zone forecast (for example, to time a front, emphasize low wind chill indices, predict short term movement/development of precipitation, highlight hazardous weather during an advisory, etc.). Under this type of implementation, a NOW is not issued during periods of benign weather. What constitutes "adding value" to a county-scale zone forecast? Both of the methods previously described are supposed to do this. If you use the NOW, and would care to comment: 1. Which method is used by your local NWS office to prepare NOWs? (a) routine issuances plus more increased issuances during active weather (b) purely event-driven issuances 2. Do you have a preference? 3. Under what circumstances do you find the NOW useful? How about any circumstances where the NOW is specifically not useful? Do you think changing from one method of issuance to another would improve useability in your case? Thanks for your time. Don Baker dvbaker@llano.net ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 17 Jul 1997 *********************************** From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Jul 19 13:30:42 1997 X-UIDL: 87dbc15b979ffac524757ff4d2f75071 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103162-7644>; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 13:16:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA148814; Sat, 19 Jul 1997 00:04:51 -0500 Message-Id: <199707190504.AAA148814@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Jul 1997 00:01:07 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 17 Jul 1997 to 18 Jul 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Status: X-UID: 3 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 15 messages totalling 505 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Wx Data 2. ALL: WX-***** LISTS 3. Meteorologist or Weathercaster? (2) 4. Hurricane Danny: Kiss my ASOS (2) 5. Heat repelling tornadoes? 6. Updated Hurricanes, Typhoons and Tropical Cyclones FAQ 7. ALL: BACKUP LOCATION FOR TROPICAL INFO 8. Tropical Weather data 9. WATCHES: Weather Watch (Automatic) (fwd) 10. Interesting watch typo... 11. Rel. Humidity & Dew Point table 12. Question on Gray's forecast vs recent tropical developments 13. WATCHES error... +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 18 Jul 1997 08:39:52 -24000 From: "David J. Kinsey" Subject: Wx Data Though this thread has lost some steam, I'd like to add two cents for the 30+ Air National Guard Weather Flights across the country that are tasked with forecasting for military air and ground resources with limited resources. Usually this means in the middle of the woods with generators for power and either a cellular phone or a commercial phone line IF WE ARE LUCKY THAT DAY! We have some radio reception capability for HFRB, EMWIN, and a WRAASE satellite receiver (GOES & Polar) IF POWER, CABLES, ANTENNAE, AND ATMOSPHERICS ARE OK! We depend very heavily on the availability of weather data available through the internet. The radar loops available on American Weather Concepts (my own personal account, there is no official availability for us) and the flash of warnings from maillists such as WX-STORM and WX-ATLAN helped us issue a severe thunderstorm warning at our last annual training and protect millions of dollars worth of taxpayer assets. It would not have been possible with the equipment we have been ISSUED, as opposed to what we come up with on our own and our own use of the internet. Whoever is listening (I realize I've "shouted" a couple of times) we, the Weather Flight community, have GOT to have this information or military/taxpayer assets will be at increased risk from unforseen local weather events. Thanks for the soapbox. ***************************************************************** * David J. Kinsey, MSG, CWSO, 200th Weather Flight, VaANG * * Environmental Program Manager, VA Dept. of Environ. Quality * * djkinsey@deq.state.va.us -or- davdjkin@i2020.net * * 804-698-4432 @ DEQ 804-236-6585 @ VaANG * ***************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 18 Jul 1997 09:40:58 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: ALL: WX-***** LISTS A misconfiguration in a table caused our system to crash yesterday. I believe I have fixed the problem. We do not have any backlogs for the missing data so you will have to look elsewhere. If the system is going to crash it will do it whenever I take a day off work or there's hurricane in the vicinity. This week is no exception. I apologize for the inconvenience this may have caused people. A reminder, the weather data we provide is done as a public service and there are no guarantees as to its availability. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 18 Jul 1997 09:53:52 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Meteorologist or Weathercaster? The following article appeared in SHOPTALK, an Internet-based TV news magazine. For more information on SHOPTALK see http://www.tvspy.com. I'm curious whether the issue described below has caused problems (pay-wise, working relationship-wise) in some markets? ..Chris.. = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = As a meteorologist who works in both academics and in television, I am interested in the viewpoints of news directors and general managers regarding the following issue: What criteria (if any) is used in deciding whether to call an on-air weather personality a "meteorologist"? Is a B.S. in Meteorology or Atmospheric Sciences considered a prerequisite? Is simply "taking a few courses about the weather" sufficient? In recent years, I've witnessed enough misleading, faulty, and just-plain-wrong meteorology being disseminated on-air to know that the title "meteorologist" is being much more loosely applied than in the past. I suppose this issue could be viewed in the same light as the recent discussion about the title "reporter." However, I believe that the scientific nature of meteorology sets it apart. Calling someone a "meteorologist" suggests a formal program of study of the subject of interpreting and forecasting the weather, just as calling someone a "chemical engineer" or a "medical doctor" suggests a rigorous program of study in those fields. In addition, there are alternative titles such as "weatherman" or "weathercaster" that can be used instead of "meteorologist." Thanks, Dr. Jon M. Nese Associate Professor, Penn State University Meteorologist, WBRE-TV, Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, PA *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 18 Jul 1997 11:35:38 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Meteorologist or Weathercaster? > Calling someone a > "meteorologist" suggests a formal program of study of the subject of > interpreting and forecasting the weather, just as calling someone a > "chemical engineer" or a "medical doctor" suggests a rigorous program > of study in those fields. I don't think it is the same... To be called a "chemical engineer" or "medical doctor" you have to pass a state-required certification exam, which probably requires a certain amount of education. I'm sure it is _illegal_ to call yourself a doctor, if you aren't. Such a restriction is not in place for the "meteorologist" title. Rob ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 18 Jul 1997 13:19:02 -0400 From: "J. Ferrell" Subject: Hurricane Danny: Kiss my ASOS Not only are hurricanes confusing for the residents, they're confusing for the ASOS... ;) 16Z 7/18/97: NEW NEW ORLEANS 15000 overcast 79 73 N 15 29.87 snow I guess it would have to be frozen coming from 15000 feet. -- J. Ferrell Meteorologist Carolina Area Storm Investigators Tropical Center http://www.weatherwatchers.org/tropical/ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 18 Jul 1997 13:34:19 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Hurricane Danny: Kiss my ASOS Please remember that surface observations are not all from ASOS units... In this case, if we look at the raw ob... KNEW 181550Z 01015G25KT 10SN SCT015 BKN025 BKN070 OVC150 26/23 A2987 RMK SLP115 ... no "A01" or "A02" in there so this is an old-fashioned typo (SN vs. SM) by the guy looking at the sky. Rob -----Original Message----- From: J. Ferrell To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Date: Friday, July 18, 1997 1:18 PM Subject: Hurricane Danny: Kiss my ASOS >Not only are hurricanes confusing for the residents, they're confusing for >the ASOS... ;) > > >16Z 7/18/97: > NEW NEW ORLEANS 15000 overcast 79 73 N 15 29.87 snow > > >I guess it would have to be frozen coming from 15000 feet. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 18 Jul 1997 15:11:48 GMT From: Bill Gross Subject: Re: Heat repelling tornadoes? Greg Stumpf wrote: >(Again...let's move this discussion to WX-TALK, as I have cross-posted >to. I have cc:ed to WX-CHASE merely as a convenience to others to let >them know that this discussion is not chase-related) > > >>From: Bill Gross >> >>I work in the public safety arena in the Dallas area, and though the >>observations I have made probable amount to annecdotal evidence at best >>I will verture that storms do seem to fall apart as they move into >>Dallas County from Tarrant County. The May 5 storm mentioned >>previously had strong tornadic signatures on WSR-88D as it moved across >>Dallas, yet nothing touched the ground. There have been lines of >>strong storms approach Dallas, enter Tarrant County and blast Ft Worth >>only to fall apart as they get to Dallas. > >Yet another person with either a bad memory or incomplete >observations. > >The May 5 1995 storms that battered downtown Fort Worth with gargantuan >hail went on the subsequently hit Dallas hard with major flash flooding >(with something like 15 deaths). > Gregg, not to be too combative but first I would point out that in regarding the May 5 storm, (18 deaths from flash flood - most deaths due to natural disaster in Dallas) I was talking about the tornado signatures reported by NWS. That storm seemed to have been formed when a line of storms from West Texas merged with the Supercell that pummelled Ft Worth right over Dallas. Also note, I did qualify my data as at most "anecdotal." Which I hope everyone understands to mean, that is not hard, reproducible data, but just information that I recall about certain individual events. And, finally I was not using the information about the May 5 Storm as the one piece of anecdotal information about "heat islands and storms splits." Someone else had mentioned it and I was offering my interpretation of that storms and others I have observed on radar from the bowels of City Hall. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 18 Jul 1997 16:32:47 -0400 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Updated Hurricanes, Typhoons and Tropical Cyclones FAQ Hi Wx-talkers, ************************************************* FAQ: HURRICANES, TYPHOONS, AND TROPICAL CYCLONES ************************************************* *********************** New for this month..... ....................... How do tropical cyclones form? (Subject A10) What names have been retired in the Atlantic basin? (Subject B3 - Revised) What are the most and least tropical cyclones occurring in the Atlantic basin and striking the USA? (Subject E9 - Revised - Table of individual years added) What refereed articles were written in recent years about tropical cyclones ? (Subject J4 - Revised) ....................... New for this month..... *********************** Where can I get the latest version of this document????? -------------------------------------------------------- ASCII VERSION: An ascii edition of the two portions for this FAQ are posted monthly on sci.geo.meteorology and on sci.environment usually early in each month. One can also ftp to retrieve the latest files at: hrd-type42.nhc.noaa.gov. Login as 'anonymous' and password as your email address. The files are available at that directory (TCfaqI and TCfaqII). If you do not have ftp access, you can request copies from me directly via email. FANCY VERSION: Neal Dorst has created a much enhanced World Wide Web version that is starting to include in helpful pictures as well. This user friendly site is available via your favorite web server at: http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/tcfaqHED.html Best regards, chris ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** Late 1940s: "The stakes are large and with increased knowledge, I think that we should be able to abolish the evil effects of these hurricanes." - Nobel Laureate Irving Langmuir Early 1990s: The 1991 Bangladesh Cyclone: 130,000 fatalities 1992's Hurricane Andrew: $30,000,000,000 in damages ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 18 Jul 1997 17:01:22 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: ALL: BACKUP LOCATION FOR TROPICAL INFO S Dawn Heyse wrote me... >Hi! > >I found an advisory archive that you might want to share with the list: > > http://cirrus.sprl.umich.edu/wxnet/tropical.html > >Next time the server crashes, we'll all know where to go as an alternative >source! It's a cool site. Hopefully my system won't crash for a while though. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 18 Jul 1997 17:10:17 -0500 From: "Russel Madere, Jr." Subject: Tropical Weather data If you missed the Tropical Weather advisories on the WX-ATLAN or WX-TROPL list, you can find them at gopher://metlab1.met.fsu.edu/11/weather/data/HURR I hope this helps some one out there. I'll be posting the full LAT/LONG pairs for Danny and TD5 (Ericka) on my web site this evening. Russel ================================================================= | Russel R. Madere, Jr. | http://www.gnofn.org/~russelm P. O. Box 23010 | russelm@gnofn.org Harahan, LA 70183 | rmadere@praline.no.neosoft.com | ================================================================= ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 18 Jul 1997 21:33:51 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: WATCHES: Weather Watch (Automatic) (fwd) > THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A > TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF > > FLORIDA PANHANDLE > SOUTHERN ALABAMA > AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS > > EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 900 PM UNTIL > 900 AM CDT. > > TORNADOES...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 858993459 MPH...AND > DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. Does this mean that I should start learning a little about the Theory of Relativity just in case I should get caught up in this storm? Well, wait. Come to think about it... ...At those winds speeds, once it was over I could take steps to avoid it before it happened. 8-) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman, A.R.S. KB4MHH -\\- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- Home Page URL: http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Permission to use the above info for inclusion in any mailing | | lists, so as to send me ad-mail personally, is NOT granted. | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 18 Jul 1997 20:38:34 -0500 From: "Jeremy Charles (N9VHT)" Subject: Interesting watch typo... Okay, I know that hurricanes are really strong storms, but isn't this a bit ridiculous?? :) -=-=-=-=- THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF FLORIDA PANHANDLE SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 900 PM UNTIL 900 AM CDT. TORNADOES...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 858993459 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 18 Jul 1997 23:12:30 -0500 From: "Steve M. Kile" Subject: Rel. Humidity & Dew Point table Could someone direct me to a source for a decent relative humidity and dew point table. I've got one that came with my Weksler sling psychrometer but it doesn't have dew point. I've done some WWW searches hoping to find one on the net but no luck. I have seen one from NOAA (WSTA B-O-6D) dated 5/72 but cannot find a source. Thanks! -- Steve M. Kile, N0FBL stevek@netcom.com stevek@usinternet.com skile@tc.umn.edu ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 18 Jul 1997 23:09:47 GMT From: Sim Aberson Subject: Re: Question on Gray's forecast vs recent tropical developments In article , Mike Schneidr wrote: > Gray's methodology is to seek out similar atmospheric situations in >years past and compare them to conditions in the current year. A number of >storm are then computed. If, say, the years "most similar" to the present >one produced an average of, say, 11 named storms, that's what he goes >with. > > Note: It does *not* matter HOW the named storms ORIGINATED in the prior >years. The particular conditions that Gray puts into his analysis are not >selected to best predict only tropical-wave origin named storms, they are >chosen to best predict the TOTAL number of named storms, major storms, >etc. Additionally, tropical cyclone activity in June and July is *not* correlated with tropical cyclone activity after August 1. It is just as likely the August through October will be less active as more active given a very active July. Further, given that there is an el nino this year, we can expect most tropical cyclones in teh ATlantic to develop north of 20N. Thus, a large number will develop independent of easterly waves. Note: Only once has the fourth storm of the season formed before Danny, in our records. That was in 1959, which turned out to be an average year for activity. -- "They're little balls of misery and hatred. I love them!" __ MLJ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 19 Jul 1997 00:27:29 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: WATCHES error... > TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 632 > > THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A > TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF > > SOUTHERN ALABAMA > FLORIDA PANHANDLE > AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS > > EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 900 PM UNTIL > 900 AM CDT. > > TORNADOES...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS > LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. ...MUCH better wind prediction there! ;-) Sure beats the last report that predicted possible gust speeds at about 130% of the speed of light! 8-) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman, A.R.S. KB4MHH -\\- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- Home Page URL: http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Permission to use the above info for inclusion in any mailing | | lists, so as to send me ad-mail personally, is NOT granted. | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 17 Jul 1997 to 18 Jul 1997 ************************************************** From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 20 13:06:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102315-14839>; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 13:06:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA199320; Sun, 20 Jul 1997 00:01:53 -0500 Message-Id: <199707200501.AAA199320@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 00:00:09 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 18 Jul 1997 to 19 Jul 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Status: X-UID: 34 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O There are 7 messages totalling 347 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Weather Data 2. T-storm divergence 3. gopher://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu:70/00/sever... 4. Licensing meteorologists 5. Meteorologist or Weathercaster? 6. WAS: Hurricane Danny: Kiss my ASOS NOW: Kiss my UIUC 7. Need new RADAR sites: Florida +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 18 Jul 1997 19:07:07 -0600 From: "Paul E. Pettit" Subject: Weather Data Brian Curran wrote: >The following quote from the NWS home page : > >>The NWS Mission: " The primary mission of the National Weather >>Service (NWS) is to protect life and property and to create economic >>opportunities for the Nation." It is accomplished by providing warnings >>and forecast of hazardous weather, including thunderstorms, flooding, >>hurricanes, tornadoes, winter weather, tsunamis, and climate events. >>The NWS is the sole OFFICIAL voice for issuing warnings during >>life-threatening weather situations in the United States, its >>territories, adjacent waters and ocean areas. As my memory recalls, the NWS mission is not as stated above. Similar but not as in your quotes. Weather Service Operations Manual Vol. A (NWS bible in the field). It says nothing as I recall about the NWS being the official voice to issue warnings, even though I agree they should be the official voice. I also don't recall the NWS mission mentioning "create economic opportunities for the Nation". Maybe Stephen Hodanish will give us the paragraph out of the WSOM as I can't recall the exact wording. >The "I paid for the data with my taxes, now gimme" doesn't hold water. I beg to differ, if one gets it free, why not all?? Not everyone pays taxes. Business pays more than individuals by far. >The discussion should not be about the NWS providing value-added data >to universities and private enterprise. Rather, the discussion should >be about taxpayers subsidizing the corporate welfare moms in our >economic society. The gov't also subsidizes the "universities, weather to private citizens, small business, state, city and local gov't, foreign countries, and just about everything else to some extent". So why bash corporations and business? It's the same old story. When you subsidize weather data for one at the exclusion of others, then fairness goes out the window. I must concede that the fed's are rarely fair when it comes to spending our tax dollars. Stephen Hodanish wrote: >Regarding pricing for weather data, an interesting article appeared in >the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society regarding this topic >(more specifically, it discussed weather research data) titled: >As Lou Boezi stated in the same article "Every citizen in the country, >for the price of a Big Mac, fries and a Coke, gets a year of weather >service" (and that $2.99 in my neck of the woods :) ... Wrong! Every citizen does get it for $2.99. Some pay more, some pay nothing, and business pays more than anyone. Paul E. Pettit Weather Consulting http://meteorology.miningco.com http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 19 Jul 1997 09:31:48 -0700 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: T-storm divergence This topic would be better placed on Wx-Talk and not Wx-Chase. I took the liberty of moving Al's comments here. (BK) On Friday Alan wrote, > Date: Fri, 18 Jul 1997 22:35:19 -0500 > From: "Alan D. Davis" > Subject: Re: T-storm divergence > > OK, in Kenosha, Wisconsin we can call it the "Snap-On Effect", or the > "Chrysler Effect". > > This afternoon we had a line of storms move though the western end of > Kenosha County. The line prompted tornado and severe thunderstorm > warnings in both Wisconsin and Illinois. The City of Kenosha got > nothing at all--not even any rain! > > Alan D. Davis > Kenosha, Wisconsin > addavis@execpc.com First of all Alan be very careful of what you ask for....you may just get it. Only twenty miles to the West in your county (Kenosha) near the town of Twin Lakes, a large outdoor gathering took a direct hit by high winds and heavy rain. The "Country Thunder" music festival really lived up to it's name. > PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...UPDATED KENOSHA REPORT > NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI > 825 PM CDT FRI JUL 18 1997 > > TIME(CDT) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... > ....COUNTY LOCATION.... > > 0244 PM 2-2 1/2 NW SHARON WI TORNADO > 07/18/97 WALWORTH BRIEF TORNADO TOUCHDOWN > REPORTED BY POLICE AND FIRE > BETWEEN COUNTY TRUNK B AND > COUNTY LINE ROAD. > > 0230 PM TWIN LAKES WI WIND DAMAGE > 07/18/97 KENOSHA *** 20 INJ *** > LIGHTING TRUSS COLLAPSED WITH > LARGE AREA OF RESERVED > SEATING BLOWN ACROSS STAGE. > ESTIMATED 80 MPH WINDS. > 0315 PM WATERFORD WI WIND DAMAGE > 07/18/97 RACINE FEW LARGE TREES TOPPLED BY > HIGH WINDS. > > COLLAR It appears that all watches and warnings were issued in a timely manner for these storms in SE Wisconsin. I think the twenty people injured above may have lost their enthusiasm for severe weather. As far as T-Storm "divergence" is concerned, I would only note that we don't even have a clue what happened before the last two hundred years in this country, as far as severe weather is concerned. Milwaukee, Kenosha, Madison etc. may all have been severe weather "hellholes" before anyone was around to compile accurate records. We don't have a statistically significant enough database with which to draw any meaningful conclusions. With all due respect to Al and the other posters on this topic. I just wish that all the convergence/divergence theories would just "go away". ************************************************************************* 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA Milwaukee Area Skywarn Assoc./Milwaukee-Waukesha Amateur Radio Emergency Service (A.R.E.S.)/IL Multi-County Warning System E-Mail, bkopp@execpc.com Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" my severe weather and SKYWARN home page! SFTS! http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 19 Jul 1997 12:55:50 -0700 From: Howard Subject: gopher://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu:70/00/sever... ..Got rocked here in NJ and the NYC area with a couple of lines of severe thunderstorms Friday afternoon and evening. Widespread damage reported throughout the northern half of NJ, parts of NYC and Long Island. Also, from my tally of recent LSR's....4 dead and 21 inured in many seperate incident mostly involving fallen trees, scaffolding and peeled off roofs from warehouses. Quite a few people were unlikely yesterday...almost including the MIC at NWS NYC as indicated in this LSR: CLOSE CALL!!! > LSRNYC > > PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT > NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY > 108 AM EDT SAT JUL 19 1997 > > TIME(EDT) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... > ....COUNTY LOCATION.... > > 0945 PM UPTON NY WIND DAMAGE > 07/18/97 SUFFOLK TREE SNAPPED IN HALF IN > NWS PARKING LOT. LANDED > ABOUT 10 FEET FROM MIC'S > CAR. > ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 19 Jul 1997 16:49:51 -0500 From: Roger Edwards Subject: Licensing meteorologists On Fri, 18 Jul 1997, Robert P Dale typed: > > Calling someone a > > "meteorologist" suggests a formal program of study of the subject of > > interpreting and forecasting the weather, just as calling someone a > > "chemical engineer" or a "medical doctor" suggests a rigorous program > > of study in those fields. > > I don't think it is the same... To be called a "chemical engineer" or > "medical doctor" you have to pass a state-required certification exam, > which probably requires a certain amount of education. I'm sure it is > _illegal_ to call yourself a doctor, if you aren't. > > Such a restriction is not in place for the "meteorologist" title. This is true -- unfortunately. I look forward to the day when professional meteorologists are tested and licensed, as long as 1) Testing is broad-based and rooted in physical concepts of the atmosphere -- not an elementary triviality like AMS TV certification, and 2) The bureaucracy behind licensing is very limited and efficient. The main disadvantage is the difficulty of ensuring #2, IMO. Still, there needs to be some tangible evidence of credibility in the profession, as there is with medical doctors, engineers, etc. Sure, there will always be bozos (meteorologist analogs to bad doctors) that manage to get a license; but at least some sort of filtering would be applied. The major issues that would have to be addressed for starters are: * What "authority" would do the testing and licensing? * How would the testing and licensing be conducted? * What would the testing consist of? Again, as with other professions, a license will not guarantee irrefutable competence; but would serve to effectively cast aside a number of pseudo-meteorological quacks. ----------------------------------- *** No disclaimer necessary; this is my personal account! *** "A Meatwagon at rest tends ===== Roger Edwards ===== to remain at rest." ( ) Forecaster - chase partner, 1996 former NHC Forecaster :::::::::: http://www.wildstar.net/~tornado :::::::::: "I FEAST ON THE SMORGASBORD OF ATMOSPHERIC VIOLENCE." ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 19 Jul 1997 16:30:17 -0400 From: J Subject: Re: Meteorologist or Weathercaster? > I don't think it is the same... To be called a "chemical engineer" or > "medical doctor" you have to pass a state-required certification exam, > which probably requires a certain amount of education. I'm sure it is > _illegal_ to call yourself a doctor, if you aren't. > > Such a restriction is not in place for the "meteorologist" title. > > Rob Well shoot, if I had known that I wouldn't have gone to school. ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 19 Jul 1997 16:46:54 -0400 From: J Subject: Re: WAS: Hurricane Danny: Kiss my ASOS NOW: Kiss my UIUC Robert P Dale wrote: > > Please remember that surface observations are not all from ASOS units... In > this case, if we look at the raw ob... > > KNEW 181550Z 01015G25KT 10SN SCT015 BKN025 BKN070 OVC150 26/23 A2987 > RMK SLP115 > > ... no "A01" or "A02" in there so this is an old-fashioned typo (SN vs. SM) > by the guy looking at the sky. > Just to clarify I do know that all surface obs are not taken by ASOS; I went to school for 4 years and have taken manual obs for the NWS myself thank you very much. Good point, however; looks like it was a typo. I also feared it might be the conversion program converting the METAR wrong but not in this case. As long as you know so much about ASOS (and since admittedly I have been out of the loop for a while), help me out with this; I'm looking at these obs from UIUC (yeah I know, there's my first problem ;)): Surface Reports For Stations In Georgia,US station ceiling sky tmp dwpt wind alt. vis weather location (ft) cover kts in. mi ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ABY ALBANY 20000 overcast 84 75 E 06 29.94 10 AGS AUGUSTA/BUS 4200 overcast 14 12 calm 29.94 10 AGS AUGUSTA/BUS 6000 overcast 14 12 calm 29.94 7 AGS AUGUSTA/BUS 9000 broken 91 72 S 05 29.92 10 AHN ATHENS MUNI 5000 scattered 90 68 calm 29.95 5 haze AMG ALMA 5500 overcast 88 72 S 05 29.97 7 ATL ATLANTA/HAR 4500 broken 88 70 calm 29.97 6 haze ATL ATLANTA/HAR 8500 scattered 17 12 S 03 29.77 5 CSG COLUMBUS clear SE 08 29.94 10 GVL GAINESVILLE 6000 scattered 90 66 S 04 29.99 7 MCN MACON/LEWIS 35 20 S 07 29.93 6 PDK ATLANTA/DEK 4500 broken S 07 29.97 6 haze SSI BRUNSWICK 25000 scattered 90 75 SE 09 29.99 7 VLD VALDOSTA 1200 overcast 73 73 S 10 30.04 2 thunderstorm VLD VALDOSTA 5000 overcast 73 73 S 07 30.04 4 thunder lgt rain These bizzare obs are a daily occurence. Now who's at fault here? Is it the program UIUC uses to suck the obs into this format, is it misinterpreting the METAR's, is somebody breaking code rules for writing the ob, or what? -j ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 00:28:03 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Need new RADAR sites: Florida WFLA in Tampa now tends to zoom in on Tampa Bay area rather than offering the extended view out farther, which used to include Alachua County and surrounding areas. Does anyone know of other good available Florida RADAR sites I can point to? (Please don't point me to someplace with a `Do not point your web page here' disclaimer. I'd like someplace I can do so with. I always offer the proper credits when I do, anyway.) Thanks, Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman, A.R.S. KB4MHH -\\- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- Home Page URL: http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Permission to use the above info for inclusion in any mailing | | lists, so as to send me ad-mail personally, is NOT granted. | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 18 Jul 1997 to 19 Jul 1997 ************************************************** From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jul 21 13:16:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102381-14499>; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 13:16:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA220736; Mon, 21 Jul 1997 00:03:17 -0500 Message-Id: <199707210503.AAA220736@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 00:00:57 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 19 Jul 1997 to 20 Jul 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Status: X-UID: 91 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O There are 5 messages totalling 154 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. monsoon lightening 2. Meteorologist vs Weatherman (2) 3. Meteorologist vs Weatherman (fwd) 4. Long rage numbers +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 08:58:26 -0500 From: Robert Crowell Subject: monsoon lightening Good morning. Heres a strange request for you folks. Does it lightening and thunder during a monsoon? I spent twenty months in Vietnam, thats two monsoon seasons, and juct don't know if it did. I remember plenty of rain but none of the other. Further, none of the other vets I've spoken with remember it. Just wondering if we had collective amnesia or not. Bob Crowell ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 14:55:38 -0500 From: Shawn Rutherford Subject: Meteorologist vs Weatherman How about an opinion from a Weatherman NOT a Meteorologist. First I never have and never will refer to myself as a meteorologist. Local NWS office officials addressed me at a meeting once as a met. and I politely corrected them and further stated that they deserved the title for their completed work in the study of meteorology. Second I study, on my own time, very hard to understand weather patterns. I don't feel that gives me the right to the name meteorologist, but to the people of this Gulf Coast community (Victoria, Texas), I am "their" weatherman. Anyone in the on-camera role understands that it's not just a knowledge of weather that gets the job done. Your ability to communicate to people in a responsible yet calm manner is important. Sometimes weather is severe, and sometimes not. When it is severe, I am on the air showing the latest radar imagery and letting people know what is headed their way. When it is not, I am a spokesperson for the station and I am engaged in many activities around the community. Third I see weather anchors in other markets (San Antonio particularly) that call themselves meteoroligists without the formal 4 year atmos. science or met. degree. (I personally don't agree that the M.S.U. certificate gives one the right to call themselves a met). Don't flame me, that's a personal opinion and I think the M.S.U. certificate should be a minimum requirement for weather anchoring in med. to major markets. Fourth In TV-land, it's all perception. If the viewer is happy with the information they receive, then it doesn't matter if you are Oscar the Grouch. Just an opinion. Shawn Rutherford Weather Anchor KAVU-TV ABC 25 / KVCT FOX 19 sruther@icsi.net ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 19:32:12 EDT From: "Barry L. Sperling" Subject: Re: Meteorologist vs Weatherman (fwd) Since the Net allows any fool to speak, let me say that ALL > forecasters, NWS and TV should be called Weathermen ( > Weatherpersons? ) and atmospheric research scientists, > including those studying extraterrestrial fluids ( planetary > atmospheres, the sun, interstellar plasma, etc. ) should be > called meteorologists. > I am a high school Computer Science teacher with a background > in Math and some Physics. A sure way to get a laugh in class > is to say "According to the weather forecasters ...." and I > don't have to make a funny face or use a comic voice. They have > all lived on this planet for a while and KNOW that weather > forecasting is an ART, or a guess, and that the use of computer > models has not improved things in the 3+ day range, and is not > likely too ( see Chaos Theory ) in our lifetimes. I have twice > tracked the Weather Channel 5-day forecasts ( not usually much > different than the NWS ) and at the 5-day range they run about > 50% right. > This is not science, and if a meteorologist is a scientist, > then a weather forecaster should not take the same title. > ( On a side note, Computer Science is not science, Political > Science is not science, Social Science is not science. HMMMM, > do I detect a pattern here ....? ) > Barry ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 21:45:11 -0500 From: Dave Christensen Subject: Re: Meteorologist vs Weatherman In response to this whole issue I have a few things to say. Science is the pursuit of the truth. If you want to argue about what is "TRUTH", let the philosophers of the world figure that out. I do NOT see any difference in the science of meteorology of other celestial objects and earth. What is the difference in trying to learn and forecast the atmosphere here on Earth or Mars??? Plus everyone gives Meteorologists and/or weathermen(sorry, weatherpeople) to much crap. I will be the first to agree that forecasting is not correct all the time. But as the field of meteorology advances the public demands more then what the field knows. Lets face it, weather is one of the few science fields that impacts everyone in the now. Ten years ago people got mad that they blow a 24 hour forecast. That does not happen nearly as MUCH. Now people complain if a 48-72 hour forecast is blown. I discovered some thing recently and I think it would be appropriate here. I only wish I thought of it first- Oh well!!! Subject: FORECASTER's DILEMMA A Different Perspective by Robert T. Ryan, WRC TV, Washington DC, Sep 10, 1981 Imagine a system on a rotating sphere that is 8000 miles wide, consists of different materials, different gasses that have different properties (one of the most important of which, water, exits in different concentrations), heated by a nuclear reaction 98 million miles away. Then, just to make life interesting, this sphere is oriented such that, as it revolves around the nuclear reactor, it is heated differently at different locations at different times of the year. Then, someone is asked to watch the mixture of gasses, a fluid only 20 miles deep, that covers an area of 250 million square miles, and to predict the state of that fluid at one point on the sphere two days from now. This is the problem that weather forecasters face. As for the Meteorologist vs Weatherperson, my opinion is that if your love is to be in media sports reporting but the only job you can get is trying to explain the weather, then you are a weatherperson. But if your true love is weather and you enjoy forecasting the weather then I would have to say you are a Meteorologist. I know non degree forecasters that can blow a degree forecaster out of the water. But that's just my opinion!!!!! Dave Christensen ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 22:03:08 -0500 From: Ken Ziegenbein Subject: Long rage numbers Do people actually remember a forecast made on a Sunday for the upcoming Friday, when that Friday rolls around? I think there are so many numbers being thrown out for so many days, that unless there's a special event planned on a particular day, nobody remembers. Any comments? Ken ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 19 Jul 1997 to 20 Jul 1997 ************************************************** From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Jul 22 13:16:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102707-7992>; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 13:16:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA49344; Tue, 22 Jul 1997 00:02:39 -0500 Message-Id: <199707220502.AAA49344@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 00:00:07 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 20 Jul 1997 to 21 Jul 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Status: X-UID: 25 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 16 messages totalling 673 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Meteorologist vs Weatherman (fwd) 2. weatherman vs. meterologist (2) 3. Long rage numbers 4. TV Met Job Avaliable 5. monsoon lightening (2) 6. Source of archived surface and upper air plots? 7. Meteorologist or Weathercaster? 8. Wx data - Mets and Wets 9. Meteorologist vs Weatherman 10. Mets and Wets.... 11. FW: Question on Gray's forecast vs recent tropical developments 12. WX-TALK Digest - 18 Jul 1997 to 19 Jul 1997 (2) 13. lightning in clear skies +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 20 Jul 1997 23:20:15 -0600 From: "Ricketts,Steve [Edm]" Subject: Re: Meteorologist vs Weatherman (fwd) >---------- >From: Barry L. Sperling[SMTP:bsperlin@PEN.K12.VA.US] >Sent: July 20, 1997 17:32 PM >To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK >Subject: Re: Meteorologist vs Weatherman (fwd) > > Since the Net allows any fool to speak Obviously.. >, let me say that ALL >> forecasters, NWS and TV should be called Weathermen ( >> Weatherpersons? ) and atmospheric research scientists, >> including those studying extraterrestrial fluids ( planetary >> atmospheres, the sun, interstellar plasma, etc. ) should be >> called meteorologists. >> I am a high school Computer Science teacher with a background >> in Math and some Physics. A sure way to get a laugh in class >> is to say "According to the weather forecasters ...." and I >> don't have to make a funny face or use a comic voice. Well... I am not going lose much sleep worrying about what high school students think of us. I mean, they tend to make fun of a lot of serious things, especially those they know little about. This is all too common in today's society, unfortunately. >They have >> all lived on this planet for a while and KNOW that weather >> forecasting is an ART, or a guess, and that the use of computer >> models has not improved things in the 3+ day range, and is not >> likely too ( see Chaos Theory ) in our lifetimes. I have twice >> tracked the Weather Channel 5-day forecasts ( not usually much >> different than the NWS ) and at the 5-day range they run about >> 50% right. The FACT is that numerical models have improved significantly in the Day-3+ period. The problem is that models predict esoteric parameters such as temperatures, heights, humidity... they do not predict weather pre se. Meteorologists have to interpret model output and put that into something that look like a forecast and means something to people. Our society -- or likely, more the media -- loves to simplify things and put them into nice little cubbyholes. And weather forecasting does not easily do that. People want us to be able to say... "... SUNNY WITH A FEW AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. HIGH 23C." Then the media -- especially TV -- wants to turn that into a cute graphic with lightning zapping out of clouds. And we cannot be that black-and-white, and when we try, it blows up in our face. We DO know more about what the weather is likely to look like in the Day 3+ period. But it needs to be described more as a range of possibilities. Sometimes the range is high and sometimes it is low, depending on the situation. Sometimes our best forecast is something like: "MOST LIKELY IT WILL BE SUNNY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S (C). BUT IF THE LOW THAT IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER MONTANA ACTUALLY DEVELOPS A BUT FARTHER NORTH, IT WILL BE RAINY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS. RIGHT NOW THE ODDS OF THAT HAPPENING ARE ABOUT 20% OR 1 IN 5... STAY TUNED AND WE WILL BE MORE PRECISE AS THE DAY APPROACHES". That is, using ensemble forecasting techniques and some experience, we often can know that a range of solutions are possible, some solutions higher than others. That range of solutions is useful info, especially to people who know how to use it. But if we try to turn that info into a black-and-white, cut-and-dried simplistic forecast, why then sure the forecast often is wrong. >> This is not science, and if a meteorologist is a scientist, >> then a weather forecaster should not take the same title. Well... it definitely is a science. Sure, it's not exact, but that does not lump it into the same category as fortune-telling. Sorry if I'm coming on a little strong here, but your note comes across as a little smug and flippant. >> ( On a side note, Computer Science is not science, Political >> Science is not science, Social Science is not science. HMMMM, >> do I detect a pattern here ....? ) +---------------------------------------------------------------------+ | Steve Ricketts | Manager, Northern Alberta Environmental Services Centre | Environment Canada's Prairie and Northern Region, Edmonton, AB | Phone (403)951-8788 FAX 495-2615 e-mail: Steve.Ricketts@ec.gc.ca +---------------------------------------------------------------------+ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 10:24:28 -0400 From: jared kaplan Subject: Re: weatherman vs. meterologist Well, you said that the weather channel is 50% accurate, who are you trying to fool. The cows at an ice cream store down the street, tell the forecast better... even for the next 5 days. The cows are 50% accurate, the weather station... well maybe 2% but in the summer. And in the winter... well think of the opposite! Regards, Jared K. P.S. I think the weather station otta hire some cows! (BUT THESE ARE ONLY MY OPINIONS, AND EVERYONE ELSES I KNOW) ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 10:25:16 -0500 From: Tim Doggett Subject: Re: Long rage numbers One of the projects I have assigned Intro to Met students in the past is to keep a two week log of the five-day forecast from a local TV station and the corresponding verification numbers. I then have them do some plots showing the forecasts numbers vs verification and some simple stats like mean error for each forcast period (1 day, 2 day, etc). This usually gives the students a pretty good feel for the accuaracy of forecasts for different lengths of time. Typically the students are rather surprised that the forecasts diverge as much as the do, probably due to the reason you state below. -Tim On Sun, 20 Jul 1997 ken.z.rw@ix.netcom.com wrote: > Do people actually remember a forecast made on a Sunday for the upcoming > Friday, when that Friday rolls around? I think there are so many numbers > being thrown out for so many days, that unless there's a special event > lanned on a particular day, nobody remembers. Any comments? > ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tim Doggett, Ph.D. COMET Visiting Scientist e-mail: x9ald@pegasus.acs.ttu.edu NWSFO, Lubbock doggett@rainfall.atmo.ttu.edu Lubbock, Texas fax: (806)743-7363 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 10:24:44 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Avaliable REPORTER/WEEKEND WEATHER PERSON (KIMT) 4 year degree in Broadcast Journalism, Broadcast Communications, or Broadcast Meteorology or related field. Seeking a weather professional who will also do some news reporting, or a reporter with a strong interest and desire to do weather as a part of their duties. Reporting duties include the ability to shoot video and interviews, edit finished stories for nightly newscasts. Report 3 days during the week, and some weekend reporting duties. Weather duties include gathering weather data, building slide show with Kavouras - Triton I-7 and presenting weather for the late weekend newscasts. A valid driver's license and good driving record are required. Computer skills, including the use of DCM-Newsdata a plus. KIMT-TV is a drug free workplace. Any offer of employment is contingent upon the applicant passing a pre-employment physical which includes a drug test. Successful applicant must have a valid drivers license and a clean driving record. No Phone Calls Please. Minorities and Women are encouraged to apply. KIMT-TV is an Equal Opportunity Employer Email to: Contact: Doug Merbach, News Director KIMT 112 N. Pennsylvania Ave Mason City, IA 50401 No phone calls, please. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 10:26:23 -0500 From: Tim Doggett Subject: Re: weatherman vs. meterologist Excuse me, but what the hell are you talking about?? :) -Tim On Mon, 21 Jul 1997, jared kaplan wrote: > Well, you said that the weather channel is 50% accurate, who are you > trying to fool. The cows at an ice cream store down the street, tell the > forecast better... even for the next 5 days. The cows are 50% accurate, > the weather station... well maybe 2% but in the summer. And in the > winter... well think of the opposite! > > Regards, > Jared K. > > P.S. I think the weather station otta hire some cows! (BUT THESE ARE ONLY > MY OPINIONS, AND EVERYONE ELSES I KNOW) > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tim Doggett, Ph.D. COMET Visiting Scientist e-mail: x9ald@pegasus.acs.ttu.edu NWSFO, Lubbock doggett@rainfall.atmo.ttu.edu Lubbock, Texas fax: (806)743-7363 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 07:52:56 -0500 From: Chuck Doswell Subject: Re: monsoon lightening In article <199707201358.IAA16735@fly.HiWAAY.net>, Robert Crowell wrote: > Heres a strange request for you folks. Does it lightening and thunder during > a monsoon? I spent twenty months in Vietnam, thats two monsoon seasons, and > juct don't know if it did. I remember plenty of rain but none of the other. > Further, none of the other vets I've spoken with remember it. Just wondering > if we had collective amnesia or not. My tour was in Phu Bai ... on the plains east of the mountains. The rainy season in the mountains was daily thunderstorms during the summer, while it was bone dry (but very hot and humid) on the plains. Our rainy season was during the winter, and it rained virtually continuously with very little thunder ... except when the rainy season first started and once in a while after the occasional breaks in the nearly continuous rain. Thus, the answer to your question depends on where you were. Chuck Doswell -- Dr. Charles A. Doswell III NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, Oklahoma 73069 phone: (405) 366-0439 fax: (405) 366-0472 WWW home page: Standard disclaimer ... my views are my own, so don't blame my employer. Can't keep my eyes from the circling sky. An earth-bound misfit, I ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 09:18:04 -0400 From: Dan Salkovitz Subject: Source of archived surface and upper air plots? I'm looking for a source of archived surface and upper air plots for the U.S., specifically for 7/14 and 7/16 although I'd like to have it for future use as well. The Purdue web site used to have archived maps and plots but now I get a "404 Not Found" error. Anyone know another site? Thanks! Dan Salkovitz Meteorologist Virginia Department of Environmental Quality Richmond, VA ddsalkovit@deq.state.va.us ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 14:28:25 GMT From: Brian Curran Subject: Re: Meteorologist or Weathercaster? On Sun, 20 Jul 1997 19:39:16 -0500, Daniel Vietor wrote: >There are far too many talking heads on TV where the forecasts are >fed to the on-air weathermen by companies such as Accuweather. Even >a weatherperson with a BS in meteorology does not necessarily have >the background to forecast since many undergraduate programs >concentrate on the science of the atmosphere (in order to develop >graduate students) rather than teaching forecasting techniques. An article in the latest issue of BAMS address the undergraduate education "problem". I don't have the article in front of me (it was at my place of unnamed employment) so I cannot provide a formal reference. >Personnally, I look for the AMS "Seal of Approval" (or the NWA one) >as a starting point for how knowlegable an on air person is. It is >too bad that most TV stations don't flash this anymore. They just >flash their technology and hope people get the idea that they know >what they are talking about. "Style over substance" ("...so much stuff without style" -- N. Peart) is what sells ad space IMHO. Eye candy sells. Mark 1 mod 0 eyeball don't. >======================================================================== >Daniel Vietor INTERNET devo@cell.atms.purdue.edu >Dept of Earth & Atmospheric Sciences TITLE Senior Project Specialist >Purdue University WXP Developer >West Lafayette IN 47907 WXP http://wxp.atms.purdue.edu >PH 765-494-3292 FAX 765-496-1210 EAS http://meteor.atms.purdue.edu >======================================================================== bc -- Brian Curran ebcurran@flash.net I speak for myself only. See the First Amendment for details. In the end, there can be only one. And you're reading his signature... ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 13:59:16 -0500 From: Carolyn Johnson Subject: Wx data - Mets and Wets Sorry to be late getting to this, but I have let my email pile up the last week. I want to address two threads seen lately in wx-talk. 1. WX DATA... Most of this thread seemed to be a see-saw battle between the privates and the governments. I wouldn't touch that with a 10 pole. What I did see several times in the thread was something which disturbs me greatly. I saw frequent references to "interpreting the models" as if this is, somehow, "forecasting". I beg to differ. There was a time, you know (and some of us are old enough to remember) when there was little or no model output available for "forecasting". I dare say I could train any of a large number of people to recognize the model depictions of various meteorological conceptual models. This does not a forecaster make! Proper verification and validation of the models. day by day, will quickly reveal that they "just ain't that good". What makes a forecaster is the ability to understand how the models work (physics and parameterization), and WHEN they are not going to work. One then draws upon the conceptual models of the atmosphere and (dare I say it) EXPERIENCE to product a prognostication which should knock the models cold! If you are just interpreting the model output, you are doing monkey work and not meteorology!! Snellman was right!! What are we coming to as scientists?! 2. Mets vs. Wets This thread appeared a couple of years ago in wx-talk with some much more heated debate than I have seen this time. (Is everyone still worn out from the last time?) Agree with Roger on this topic. Individual perception is hard to reason with. If one "Percieves" that they can make forecasts given the huge volume of meteorological data available to the masses today, it is going to be very difficult to convince them that they are NOT meteorologists. Meteorology, as was so adroitly pointed out by someone, is a SCIENCE and is thus subject to all the rigors of that discipline. There are way too many "pseudo-scientists" in the world today and the numbers seem to be increasing geometrically as each year passes. "I'm not a doctor, but I play one on T.V.!" How about, "I'm not a meteorologist, but I play one on T.V.!" It seems that a slick format, "cute" comments, an AMS seal and snazzy T.V. graphics are enough to convince the general public that one is a "meteorologist" and THUS a SCIENTIST. Okay, snipe away, if you must. An internet account doesn't assure you that I'm an intellectual, does it? RGDS//Jim Johnson My opinions alone, written from my account on my time at my desk. ------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 14:23:26 -0500 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: Meteorologist vs Weatherman Isn't the net great? Everyone can spout their opinions, whether they have any facts to back them up or not! -Regarding whether meteorology is a science... it is, just pick up any dictionary and look it up. -Regarding whether weather forecasting is a science... it is not. Most forecasters use some combination of meteorological knowledge, past experience and plain old intuition to make forecasts. Unfortunately, a good portion of the general public equates meteorology solely with weather forecasting. It is actually only a small part of it. Most folks don't have any idea what is involved in the science of meteorology. A meteorologist is one who has completed an approved curriculum of study that defines the science of meteorology. The same is true for engineers (whether or not they are "certified"), medical doctors, and many other professions. I took first aid, CPR, and anatomy classes in college. Does that make me an MD? or even an EMT? Not. Same is true with meteorology. The various "weather broadcasting" curriculums offered by some schools are not what is currently defined as meteorology curriculums. To their credit, the schools are quite open and clear about this. Some of their graduates, however... Does this mean a "meteorologist" is a better weather forecaster than a "weather broadcaster"? No. Or that he is better qualified to be a TV weather-caster? No. Should TV management require a "meteorologist" for the position of weather-caster? I don't think so. They'll be ignoring some very talented people with some very job-specific training. -Regarding the typical (and unfair) Weather Channel bashing, what is your definition of 50% (or 2%) correct forecasts? Do they need to get the max/min temperatures exactly right at your house? Or maybe +- 3 degrees or +-5 degrees? And for precip, what is your definition of correct? Whether or not it rains where you happen to be standing at the moment? Any individual's perception of "correctness" of a forecast is based on their site-specific point of reference. Neither the Weather Channel, nor anyone else, forecasts on that basis. One can argue, however, that folks like the Wx Channel foster such perceptions. If you go to their WWW site, they say "type in your city".... like they are going to give you a forecast specifically for "downtown city". However, the "forecast" you get says things like "hi-86,lo-59,scattered showers". A point forecast would need to say something rain - yes (or no). The "scattered" is an area qualifier, and in fact, what you are getting is a fcst for the area in and around "city". However, the temperatures seem to indicate a point forecast. If it is an area forecast, then the temps should look like: hi=84-87,lo=58-62 or hi=mid 80s,lo=upper 50s or something similar. This kind of forecast leads to confusion about what exactly the forecast pertains to. ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President - Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 14:38:41 -0500 From: Jason Kelley Subject: Mets and Wets.... Carolyn Johnson wrote: > > > 2. Mets vs. Wets > This thread appeared a couple of years ago in wx-talk with some > much more heated debate than I have seen this time. (Is everyone > still worn out from the last time?) Agree with Roger on this topic. > Individual perception is hard to reason with. If one "Percieves" > that they can make forecasts given the huge volume of meteorological > data available to the masses today, it is going to be very difficult > to convince them that they are NOT meteorologists. Meteorology, > as was so adroitly pointed out by someone, is a SCIENCE and is thus > subject to all the rigors of that discipline. There are way too > many "pseudo-scientists" in the world today and the numbers seem to > be increasing geometrically as each year passes. "I'm not a doctor, > but I play one on T.V.!" How about, "I'm not a meteorologist, but > I play one on T.V.!" It seems that a slick format, "cute" comments, > an AMS seal and snazzy T.V. graphics are enough to convince the > general public that one is a "meteorologist" and THUS a SCIENTIST. Wait a minute....This discussion has begun to smack of some eliteism here....as a broadcast meteorologist I have different priorities than do research, NWS, or consulting meteorologists. We hear of a doctor's "bedside manner"... we don't chastise him for cracking a joke or making a "cute" comment instead of boring us with telling us how we have a hairline simple fracture of the fifth metatarsal on the (insert jargon here)....he tells us what a doofus we were for breaking our toe!!!! We are communticators...we are trained not only to forecast (which a lot of us do quite well, thank you)...but also to present, to make the complex factors involved understandable to the layman. How do you decide who is a "pseudo-scientist" and who is a full blown METEOROLOGIST??? Want the gov't to certify them??? Or do they have to have your personal seal of approval??? I don't mean to attack, and I'm trying not to, but I feel that a lot of non-media meteorologists look down their noses at us media types just because we chose to work in the media...But I'm afraid until NOAA weather radio has 100% penetration (yeah right) you guys are stuck with us. How have you determined that the numbers of "pseudo-scientists" are increasing geometrically??? Since you are the scientist, I guess you have statistically computed this data...I would appreciate you presenting somewhere...maybe the AMS Bulletin??? Just make it pretty simple...it might go over my head.... I guess I need to start digitizing difax charts for on-the-air use...otherwise my pretty graphics will mark me as a pretender!!! Again...this is not personal....just letting you guys know that just because I'm on TV makes me NO LESS of a meteorologist than anyone..... PS Just got back from Orange Beach, AL...Dancin' with Danny!!!!! Jason Kelley (Lame Duck) Chief Meteorologist WABG-TV Greenville, MS jkelley@tecinfo.com ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 15:06:00 -0500 From: "Padgett, James G." Subject: FW: Question on Gray's forecast vs recent tropical developments >---------- >From: Sim Aberson >To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK >Subject: Re: Question on Gray's forecast vs recent tropical developments >Date: Friday, July 18, 1997 6:09PM >Note: Only once has the fourth storm of the season formed before Danny, >in our records. That was in 1959, which turned out to be an average year >for activity. The BT charts show that the fourth storm of 1886 formed on 14 July, which would be earlier than Danny. Hurricane Cindy of 1959 is the earliest fourth storm on record. The next Atlantic storm would have to form today to become the earliest fifth storm---Hurricane Debra of 1959 and Tropical storm Ella of 1966 both began on 22 July. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 04:55:40 -0600 From: "Paul E. Pettit" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 18 Jul 1997 to 19 Jul 1997 "Every citizen in the country, >>for the price of a Big Mac, fries and a Coke, gets a year of weather >>service" (and that $2.99 in my neck of the woods :) ... > >Wrong! Every citizen does get it for $2.99. Some pay more, some pay >nothing, and business pays more than anyone. Sorry small typo does should be "doesn't" in above sentence. >> Such a restriction is not in place for the "meteorologist" title. > >This is true -- unfortunately. I look forward to the day when >professional meteorologists are tested and licensed, as long as >1) Testing is broad-based and rooted in physical concepts of the > atmosphere -- not an elementary triviality like AMS TV certification, > and >2) The bureaucracy behind licensing is very limited and efficient. I have mixed feelings about this. After all I sweated enough tests in school to be called a meteorologist. There does need to be some authority to classify who is and who is not! I would suggest: 1. College degree in meteorology from recognized University 2. Certification by the NWS (grandfather us oldies who already have NWS certification) 3. Certification by appropriate military meteorology program. (any certification should require atmospheric dynamics requirements along with the appropriate math requirements. This would remove those with a few climatology and basic met courses from claiming the meteorologist title). Seems we have just about anyone who wishes calling themselves meteorologists these days. Paul E. Pettit Weather Consulting http://meteorology.miningco.com http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 20:12:52 -0600 From: Matt Rehwald Subject: Re: monsoon lightening > From: Robert Crowell > Subject: monsoon lightening > > Good morning. > > Heres a strange request for you folks. Does it lightening and thunder during > a monsoon? I spent twenty months in Vietnam, thats two monsoon seasons, and > juct don't know if it did. I remember plenty of rain but none of the other. > Further, none of the other vets I've spoken with remember it. Just wondering > if we had collective amnesia or not. > > Bob Crowell I can't speak for Vietnam (never been there), but I would suppose that the amount of lightning in a monsoonal pattern is related to the amount of moisture available. The more moisture you have, the more clouds you'll have, and thus the more stratiform your precipitation will be due to a lack of surface heating. So it's possible you might have heard a rumble of thunder only every so often. On the other hand, thunderstorms are the dominant feature in the southwest U.S. Summer monsoon. Moisture is more limited here, and is typically at its deepest in the middle levels of the troposphere. Often times moisture is lacking near the surface, so we typically see thunderstorms with more lightning and wind than rain. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Matt Rehwald The Home Office: Forecaster, Weatherbank Inc. 330 Crestview Drive Edmond, OK <*> PO Box 2772 synoptic@xmission.com Park City, UT 84060-2772 ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 23:52:16 -0500 From: Roger Edwards Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 18 Jul 1997 to 19 Jul 1997 On Mon, 21 Jul 1997, Paul E. Pettit (>)typed in response to me (>>): > >This is true -- unfortunately. I look forward to the day when > >professional meteorologists are tested and licensed, as long as > >1) Testing is broad-based and rooted in physical concepts of the > > atmosphere -- not an elementary triviality like AMS TV certification, > > and > >2) The bureaucracy behind licensing is very limited and efficient. > > I have mixed feelings about this. After all I sweated enough tests in > school to be called a meteorologist. There does need to be some authority > to classify who is and who is not! > I would suggest: > 1. College degree in meteorology from recognized University > 2. Certification by the NWS (grandfather us oldies who already have NWS > certification) > 3. Certification by appropriate military meteorology program. > (any certification should require atmospheric dynamics requirements along > with the appropriate math requirements. This would remove those with a few > climatology and basic met courses from claiming the meteorologist title). What about continuing education and license renewal? I forgot to address this issue in the original post; but Paul's message about "grandfathering" brought it to mind. An education obtained 30, 20, or even 10 years ago may be woefully inadequate for the current state of the science and to indicate competency, without ongoing training and reading on the part of each meteorologist. How should this be addressed? Additional testing for license/certification renewal every 5 or so years? I'm leaning in that direction. ------------------------- *** No disclaimer necessary; this is my personal account! *** "Gimme the @$#% camera! You have ===== Roger Edwards ===== no common sense at all!" ( ) Forecaster - former NSSL chase partner former NHC Forecaster :::::::::: http://www.wildstar.net/~tornado :::::::::: "I FEAST ON THE SMORGASBORD OF ATMOSPHERIC VIOLENCE." ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 21 Jul 1997 23:00:07 -0600 From: Jeff Schmidt Subject: lightning in clear skies Hi all, I have a cousin who lives in the deserts of California, and he says that sometimes on clear nights there is lightning in the skies. Is this possible? If it is, could someone please explain to me how it's possible? Thanks a lot! -Jeff ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 20 Jul 1997 to 21 Jul 1997 ************************************************** From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jul 23 13:22:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102966-68>; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 13:22:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA242222; Wed, 23 Jul 1997 00:04:43 -0500 Message-Id: <199707230504.AAA242222@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 00:00:11 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 21 Jul 1997 to 22 Jul 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Status: X-UID: 92 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O There are 16 messages totalling 758 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. licensing 2. Meteorologist vs Weatherman (2) 3. Meteorologist vs. Weathercaster (3) 4. Met vs WxCasters 5. Forecasting != Meteorology 6. monsoon lightening 7. Friday 7/18/97 NE Illinois Severe Weather 8. Thank goodness!!! 9. ASOS Commissioning Notice 10. sorry (2) 11. Tornadoes About the World 12. lightning in clear skies +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 02:09:12 -0500 From: Keith Brewster Subject: licensing > > On Mon, 21 Jul 1997, Paul E. Pettit (>)typed in response to me (>>): > > > >This is true -- unfortunately. I look forward to the day when > > >professional meteorologists are tested and licensed, as long as > > >1) Testing is broad-based and rooted in physical concepts of the > > > atmosphere -- not an elementary triviality like AMS TV certification, > > > and > > >2) The bureaucracy behind licensing is very limited and efficient. > > > > I have mixed feelings about this. After all I sweated enough tests in > > school to be called a meteorologist. There does need to be some authority > > to classify who is and who is not! > > > I would suggest: > > 1. College degree in meteorology from recognized University > > 2. Certification by the NWS (grandfather us oldies who already have NWS > > certification) > > 3. Certification by appropriate military meteorology program. > > (any certification should require atmospheric dynamics requirements along > > with the appropriate math requirements. This would remove those with a few > > climatology and basic met courses from claiming the meteorologist title). > > What about continuing education and license renewal? I forgot to address > this issue in the original post; but Paul's message about "grandfathering" > brought it to mind. An education obtained 30, 20, or even 10 years ago > may be woefully inadequate for the current state of the science and to > indicate competency, without ongoing training and reading on the part of > each meteorologist. How should this be addressed? Additional testing for > license/certification renewal every 5 or so years? I'm leaning in that > direction. How does all this differ from the Certified Consulting Meteorologist (CCM) program of the AMS? Except that it would be _required_? -Keith ------------------- Keith Brewster n0iaw kbrews@galstar.com http://www.galstar.com/~kbrews/ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 09:00:33 -0400 From: jared kaplan Subject: Re: Meteorologist vs Weatherman Well, you may think that the wx channel bashing is unfair, but you are not even getting my point. THIS IS NO OFFENCE TO ANYONE THAT WORKS FOR THE WX CHANNEL, but... the temps are not the problem. I am talking about the important stuff, is it going to rain thats a problem, snow? same deal. And as responce to the web page, well... I have been tracking the weather that will now be coming from the south for thursday, and effect sothern new englanders, and the weather maps change every 30 minutes. That would be good if the real and correct forecast was not published until thae day before it happens. It's like this, you either tell an accurate forecast or you dont, and in this case 98% of the time the forecast is wrong until it is 18 or so hours before, where then I can hop on my computer load Weather Caster GOLD and get a 70% accuracy without the luxury. MY OPINIONS ONLY!!! Thanks, Jared Kaplan ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 09:34:09 -0400 From: Rob Cermak Subject: Re: Meteorologist vs. Weathercaster Any person completing BS or better through an accredited college or institution with background in meteorology or related degree (atomospheric science -- IE: Meteorology program) should/has earned the right to be called a meteorologist and as most cases are able to forecast reasonably. It's up to the employer (ie. responsibility) to verify ones background. The on-air people got there because they proved to the employer that they could do it. I know several on-air (non-meteorologists) weathercasters that were canned due to inability to present consistant accurate forecasts. Certainly these days there are more meteorologists to go around that have broadcasting ablilty that can do an equally good job. If we recognise such an individual on the TV airwaves that really isn't suited, its up to the general public to complain to the station. Even with a MS in Meteorology, your not guaranteed a forecasting GS12 in the NWS. That is why they have such an extended training program? In most cases you have to prove your stuff before you get to be a Lead Forecaster (whatever that GS level is at this point -- it's not the point)! This is my point, no matter what background you have through a PHD of any science, being a true weather forecaster only comes after experience. The catch here is, to get someone to allow you to BEGIN forecasting so you can APPLY your knowledge, make a few mistakes (which are hopefully not a big as missing a tornado -- AGAIN its up to the EMPLOYER to ENSURE that someone is not put in that position to make such a FATAL mistake.) No TEST or LICENSE or SEAL will safeguard even the public from an excellent/well experienced forecasters' mistake of missing a tornado outbreak that wipes out a small town. The other end of it is, if you become independent, start your own business. Don't clients usually ask how long they have been in business before the commit to using forecasts? Sure they have the cheapest rates, that doesn't make them any good, does it? If the client chooses them anyway, then it's the fault of the CLIENT not the inexperienced forecaster. Then again, the client should be able to hold any damages LIABLE to the forecaster...but this is generally not the case with TV and/or other companies chuck full with disclaimers for forecasting services in contracts. The government should enforce LIABILITY of forecasts and forecasting and then there will be some major changes. Now you say, but meteorology is still and in-exact science so you can't hold people liable. I still say you'd be liable. I'd like to see a watch box, be prepared and nothing happens rather than a missed tornado. Lets focus on the warning system...I'm glad there are people out there to bring the weather to the public. Without the TV weathercasters... there'd be a lot more people getting hurt than there are now. As part of the NWS public awareness program, people in risk areas should obtain a weather radio! The true voice of weather... I wanted to through another point in here before I go. There is a lot of building in flood-prone areas or just in the flood plains of many states? Areas like these if they do flood on a missed forecast should not be held liable to the forecaster as building should really not have been there in the first place! Rob Cermak (cermak@vermont.rutgers.edu) Microcomputer Programmer Office of the New Jersey State Climatologist http://climate.rutgers.edu/stateclim ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 10:00:24 -0400 From: Brian Monahan Subject: Re: Meteorologist vs. Weathercaster Steve Adams Wrote: > Isn't the net great? Everyone can spout their opinions, whether > they have any facts to back them up or not! Yup, it is just excellent when people feel free to bash and rip on subjects they have no clue about, nor do they have any facts to back up their idiotic statements. Thank God someone has facts on this subject.... > -Regarding whether meteorology is a science... it is, just pick up > any dictionary and look it up. Absolutely correct. For the people who don't believe that, go to your nearest Webster's and look up meteorologist or meteorology. Keep in mind however, that some people are so set in their ways and beliefs that they'll dispute the definition... It's bound to happen once in a while... ;) > -Regarding whether weather forecasting is a science... it is not. > Most forecasters use some combination of meteorological knowledge, > past experience and plain old intuition to make forecasts. > the forecast pertains to. Right again, partly - in my opinion...so nice to have knowledgeable people posting on a subject. Weather forecasting is an art, with some basic scientific know-how, and meteorology absoluitely is a pure science. Most "good" and "well respected" meterologists in the nation consult a variety of things to make up their forecasts, from the forecast models (which they do need to know how to read), their own basic knowledge of the weather and what happened on a past situation similar to the one at hand, and general luck - as you said. As you said, weather forecasting is not a science thus anyone without a degree in meteorology (a science for those of you who still don't believe!) that has taught themselves how to read the models and know the climate of their local area, can forecast! This is why many stations get away with having un-AMS certified, un-degreed weatherman. They may not have the piece of paper, but to be quite frank, some of them are pretty damn good. I must admit though, it makes me cringe when a TV station refers to someone who DOES NOT have a degree in meteorology as a "meteorologist", it just isn't right. As to those who read almost verbatim off the Accuweather forecasts, some even still reading to local NWS zone forecasts (WPVI-TV 6 here in the Philly area), those folks are not meteorologists nor do they even qualify for weathercasters in my mind. The real weather casters in that situation are they kind (often in-accurate) folks at AccuWx. This is why the local station that has the "Exclusive AccuWx Forecast" does not employ any meteorologists, whereas all of the other stations have at least 2, sometimes more. For the "unfair" ripping of The Weather Channel, I have mixed feelings on that. I don't feel TWC uses all the new technological capabilities to their fullest (such as 88D, which I hardly see, except during major storms). So that's one thing I feel they could definitely improve upon. Also, they gotta start taking those frequent commericials out, this is why many folks are beginning to tune out to the weather channel. As to the accuracy of their forecasts, once again, no facts on the part of the person who wrote that statement of 50% correct forecasts. What I don't think this person realizes is that this forecast is NOT for their backyard, but most likely for a metropolitan area. This is why reading the temp forecast for Philly and saying "Oh, I'm going to have a high of 88 and a low of 62" is not good... As there are many microclimatological factors that go into that... Sure, it'll verify in Philadelphia, but that doesn't estimate radiational cooling/wind shielding/etc. here in the suburbs... This is why the NWS (and if you look at their temp fcst maps - TWC!) uses ranges of temperature for an area, NOT a specific temperature number. Like 50-55 vs. 53F today for a high. As you can see, I have a lot of feelings on this subject... Probably because TV Meteorology, well maybe weathercasting now ;), is a field that I want to pursue in the future... Thanks Steve for settling those 2 definitions at the onset for those doubting people out there... ;) See all ya'll later, Brian Monahan Clarksboro, NJ Weather OBserver bmonahan@p3.net http://p3.net/~bmonahan/ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 09:22:24 -0500 From: Bruce Haynie Subject: Re: Meteorologist vs Weatherman At 09:00 AM 7/22/97 -0400, Jared Kaplan wrote: >Well, you may think that the wx channel bashing is unfair, but you are >not even getting my point. THIS IS NO OFFENCE TO ANYONE THAT WORKS FOR >THE WX CHANNEL, but... the temps are not the problem. I am talking about >the important stuff, is it going to rain thats a problem, snow? same >deal. And as responce to the web page, well... I have been tracking the >weather that will now be coming from the south for thursday, and effect >sothern new englanders, and the weather maps change every 30 minutes. >That would be good if the real and correct forecast was not published >until thae day before it happens. It's like this, you either tell an >accurate forecast or you dont, and in this case 98% of the time the >forecast is wrong until it is 18 or so hours before, where then I can hop >on my computer load Weather Caster GOLD and get a 70% accuracy without >the luxury. > >MY OPINIONS ONLY!!! >Thanks, >Jared Kaplan I suggest a couple of ideas regarding the statements above. First, can you provide actual verification statistics supporting your claims?? If you can, I'd like to see them. Second, below are a couple of links to essays written by Chuck Doswell et. al. (especially the section(s) on verification) I think you should read if you haven't done so already. http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/~doswell/probability/Probability.html http://www.wildstar.net/~doswell/forecasting/dosfuture.html Bruce ---------------- Bruce Haynie N5WRA kbhaynie@flash.net Information System Specialist kbhayni@why.net Lubbock, TX **Standard Disclaimer** http://www.why.net/users/kbhayni "Those who live by the extended models shall also die by the extended models." ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 10:39:00 -0400 From: Corey Lefkof Subject: Met vs WxCasters My professional opinion on the great debate: TV Meteorologists do NOT need/depend on the local NWS zones forecast for his/her forecast. They have the scientific knowledge to make their own forecasts, with just glancing at NWS public forecasts for "ideas". TV WxCasters can NOT generate a forecast without depending on local NWS forecasts (or private for that matter) to support them. I'm not berating any WxCasters, but without that NWS or private data, they would not be able to create a forecast on their own. Could you image the TV weather job market if there were no NWS or private forecasts? Just my $.03 (Adjusted for inflation) -Corey Lefkof -Meteorologist -PSU '91 ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 12:04:17 -0500 From: Tim Doggett Subject: Forecasting != Meteorology I have been avoiding this thread with all my might... but it has finally sucked me in. This post actually deals with a couple of current threads. In one of many posts on the subject... (and not to single out Rob's comments, but his post was the last in the thread at the time)... Rob Cermak wrote: > Any person completing BS or better through an accredited college or > institution with background in meteorology or related degree > (atomospheric science -- IE: Meteorology program) should/has earned the > right to be called a meteorologist and as most cases are able to forecast > reasonably. Since when has the science of meteorology boiled down to the ability to forecast. I for one don't even pretend to be a very competent forecaster, it's not where my interests lie. Does that make me less of a meteorologist? Maybe it does and I have been fooling myself into thinking otherwise. Frankly, if my career depended solely on making forecasts, I would be getting a little worried these days. The models ARE improving with technology, and I would not be surprised to see the day when model forecasts increase to the level that *approaches* that of human meteorologists. Maybe a more realistic foresight is a computer system that ingests several sets of model data and presents a "best" forecast (see reference to Stull's BAM article below). I doubt that model forecasts have to prove themselves better than "real" forecasters before they start to displace human meteorologists. I submit that if a computer system could forecast 80-90% as well as a human, then the government and private sector companies would see the monetary benefits of reducing human staffing. Since the NWS focus seems to be moving to smaller time scales and more localized forcasts, I'm sure this has occured to other people as well. It also seems that the NOAA/NWS spends more time promting their service of issuing watches and warnings, again lending credence to the idea that their meteorologists are more then merely forecasters. It's probably not a good time to start competing against the synoptic scale models. By the way, can a computer system or model claim the title meteorologist, even if it passes all the right tests :) Again, from Rob... > > No TEST or LICENSE or SEAL will safeguard even the public > from an excellent/well experienced forecasters' mistake of missing > a tornado outbreak that wipes out a small town. > Exactly, but even the best *forecast* doesn't safeguard the small town from the tornado outbreak. Since there is no way a forecaster will ever be able to say that "Smallville USA will be struck by a tornado this afternoon" in any kind of forecast product, the best a forecast, even a watch box, will be able to do is give heads up to people over a relatively wide geographic area. What *might* safeguard the public in this case is timely and more precise warning products that are diseminated as well as is possible. No knocks to anyone involved, but we are still not doing this. As a citizen who depends on these warnings and their timely disemination, what worries me most is the possibilty of a screw-up by some less then qualified, person who misinforms me about what is (or isn't) going on. A TEST or LICENSE or SEAL would better safeguard me, and the general public, in that case. From: PATRICK KERRIN <76747.2206@compuserve.com> > How is it that wx-forecasting is ever so vunerable to the notion that the > machine will out-preform the human? My *opinion* is that no great big > techo-wank will ever out do a seasoned, passionate, and insightful > forecaster. Maybe good verifaction is the qualitative proof that will > serve as the basis for the fight, if there is to be one. For what its worth, I saw a lot of insight in Stull's BAMS article that this post refers to. As I stated above, I don't believe that a "great big techo-wank" has to "out do a seasoned, passionate, and insightful forecaster", only approach that level to some degree. The reason forecasting is "vulnerable" is because the technology has proved that it is capable and continues to get better year after year. We are approaching a time (maybe not rapidly) where this won't be a "notion" any longer, but just plain true. Instead of fighting the technology, which isn't going away, meteorologists ...real meteorologists... will need to be prepared to adapt to the world around them. And this won't be a problem in many cases. There are very qualified, intelligent, resourceful *meteorologists* in about every aspect of the field I have seen. In fact, there are a great number of them. I have no doubt that they will be able to adapt into specialized position such as those Stull presents in the BAMS article. Many will be resourceful enough to develop there own niches. But they will have to overcome the idea that meteorology equates to forecasting (and I don't believe that most of those who fall into the above category have this impression). In the long run I believe this will weed out the "non-meteorologists" from the field, whether they are degreed or not. There just won't be room for them. The big losers, unfortunately, will be those meteorologists who love to forecast (not a small number, I am sure). As always, just my opinion. -Tim ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tim Doggett, Ph.D. COMET Visiting Scientist e-mail: x9ald@pegasus.acs.ttu.edu NWSFO, Lubbock doggett@rainfall.atmo.ttu.edu Lubbock, Texas fax: (806)743-7363 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 13:27:39 -0400 From: "Gregory A. Surplus" Subject: Re: Meteorologist vs. Weathercaster >As to those who read almost verbatim off the Accuweather forecasts, >some even still reading to local NWS zone forecasts (WPVI-TV 6 here >in the Philly area), those folks are not meteorologists nor do they >even qualify for weathercasters in my mind. The real weather casters >in that situation are they kind (often in-accurate) folks at AccuWx. >This is why the local station that has the "Exclusive AccuWx >Forecast" does not employ any meteorologists, whereas all of the >other stations have at least 2, sometimes more. For the most part you're probably right. There is a local station in my area that uses Accuweather. However one of the weekend persons actually has an MS in Meteorology and a PhD in AstroPhysics! He is also a college professor as well. ********************************************************************** *Greg Surplus Microg's MD Weather Homepage * *gsurplus@delphi.com http://people.delphi.com/gsurplus/ * ********************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 12:26:53 -0500 From: Tim Doggett Subject: Re: monsoon lightening Another factor to consider might be warm cloud vs cold cloud processes. Vietnam moonsoons are pretty tropical, warm cloud systems (I assume given latitude and of Vietnam). This could reduce the effect of freezing processes on cloud electrification. I'm not sure if this is the case or not. Just a thought to add to the discussion. -Tim On Mon, 21 Jul 1997, Matt Rehwald wrote: > > From: Robert Crowell > > Subject: monsoon lightening > > > > Good morning. > > > > Heres a strange request for you folks. Does it lightening and thunder during > > a monsoon? I spent twenty months in Vietnam, thats two monsoon seasons, and > > juct don't know if it did. I remember plenty of rain but none of the other. > > Further, none of the other vets I've spoken with remember it. Just wondering > > if we had collective amnesia or not. > > > > Bob Crowell > > I can't speak for Vietnam (never been there), but I would suppose that the > amount of lightning in a monsoonal pattern is related to the amount of > moisture available. The more moisture you have, the more clouds you'll > have, and thus the more stratiform your precipitation will be due to a > lack of surface heating. So it's possible you might have heard a rumble > of thunder only every so often. > ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tim Doggett, Ph.D. COMET Visiting Scientist e-mail: x9ald@pegasus.acs.ttu.edu NWSFO, Lubbock doggett@rainfall.atmo.ttu.edu Lubbock, Texas fax: (806)743-7363 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 17:14:27 -0700 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: Friday 7/18/97 NE Illinois Severe Weather Being a former resident of and having relatives residing in Wheaton Illinois and having a brother/sister in-law living in Mokena Illinois I found the following NWS PIS both compelling and informative. > PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT > NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL > 100 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 1997 > > ...TORNADO VS DOWNBURST... > > FRIDAYS WIND STORMS IN THE CHICAGO AREA HAVE PROMPTED LOTS OF QUESTIONS > ABOUT DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES. WHAT IS A DOWNBURST? HOW IS IT > DETERMINED IF A TORNADO OCCURRED OR NOT? > > METEOROLOGISTS ARE FINDING THAT TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY SMALL...BRIEF... > RELATIVELY WEAK TORNAODOES CAN OCCUR UBDER A VARIETY OF CIRCUMSTANCES. THE > STRONGEST...MOST VIOLENT...KILLER TORNADOES OCCUR WITH A TYPE OF > THUNDERSTORM KNOWN AS A SUPERCELL. SUPERCELLS ARE POWERFUL...WELL ORGANIZED > THUNDERSTORMS THAT HAVE PERSISTENT ROTATION IN THE UPDRAFT PORTION OF THE > STORM...WHERE WARM HUMID AIR IS RISING RAPIDLY IN THE TOWERING THUNDERHEAD. > THESE STORMS ARE MOST COMMON IN SPRING WITH A COMBINATION OF A WARM HUMID > ATMOSPHERE AND WINDS THAT CHANGE DIRECTION AND SPEED WITH HEIGHT. THIS > SHEERING WIND PATTERN IS MORE COMMON IN SPRING...AND IT HELPS PRODUCE THE > STRONG ROTATING SUPERCELL STORMS. THIS DEEP PERSISTANT ROTATION CAN BE > OBSERVED WITH DOPPLER RADAR. > > HOWEVER SMALL...BRIEF...WEAKER TORNADOES CAN OCCUR WITHOUT SUPERCELLS. > SOMETIMES FUNNELS FORM UNDER RAPIDLY DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORMS WHEN THE > UPDRAFTS ARE VERY INTENSE. THESE CAN OCCUR IN AN UNSEASONABLY COOL AIR MASS > AND ARE KNOWN AS COLD AIR FUNNELS. THEY RARELY TOUCH DOWN OR CAUSE DAMAGE. > A SIMILAR WEAK FUNNEL OR SMALL TORNADO CAN OCCUR IN WARM TROPICAL AIR > MASSES AND ARE SOMETIMES CALLED LANDSPOUTS BECAUSE THEY ARE SIMILAR IN MANY > WAYS TO WATERSPOUTS IN THEIR DEVELOPMENT. > > SMALL BRIEF TORNADOES CAN ALSO OCCUR WITH STRONG GUSTS FRONTS. AS HEAVY > RAIN FALLS THROUGH A THUNDERSTORM...AIR GETS DRAGGED DOWN WITH THE > PRECIPITATION. ALSO EVAPORATION OF RAIN AS IT FALLS CAUSES COOLING OF > SURROUNDING AIR. COOL AIR IS HEAVIER THAN WARM AIR SO IT SINKS OR > ACCELERATES TOWARD THE GROUND. WHEN THE DOWNRUSH OF RAIN COOLED AIR HITS > THE GROUND IT PUSHES OUTWARD RAPIDLY. THIS IS KNOWN AS THE GUST FRONT. IT > USUALLY OCCURS AT THE FRONT EDGE OF THE STORM. IT MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH AN > UGLY ROW OF LOW HANGING CLOUDS...THE SHELF CLOUD. IN SEVERE STORMS THIS > DOWNDRAFT CAN BE IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH BRINGING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND > POWERLINES. TYPICALLY THESE WINDS MOVE IN A STRAIGHT LINE OUT FROM THE > STORM AND MAY BE CALLED STRAIGHT LINE OR DOWNBURST WINDS. > > SOMETIMES AS THE STRONG DOWNDRAFT AIR PUSHES OUT IT LIFTS WARM HUMID AIR > AND A BRIEF SHALLOW CIRCULATION CAN FORM. THESE GUST FRONT TORNADOES ARE > USUALLY NOT AS STRONG AS SUPERCELL TORNADOES. BECAUSE THE ROTATION IS > SHALLOW...SMALL AND BRIEF...IT IS NOT EASILY DETECTED BY DOPPLER RADAR. > > SOMETIMES SMALL TORNADOES DONT HAVE FUNNELS THAT ARE COMPLETELY VISIBLE > FROM CLOUD TO GROUND OR IT IS DIFFICULT TO FIND EYE WITNESSES. WITHOUT > EYEWITNESSES OR RADAR SUPPORT IT IS DIFFICULT TO KNOW IF DAMAGE OCCURED > FROM A TORNADO OR A DOWNBURST. > > SOMETIMES METEOROLOGISTS AND EMERGENCY OFFICIALS DO SURVEYS OF STORM DAMAGE > TO TRY TO MAKE THAT DETERMINATION. DOWNBURTS USUALLY BLOW DEBRIS IN A > STRAIGHT LINE OR OUTWARD IN SORT OF A STARBURST PATTERN. IN A TORNADO WINDS > BLOW IN A CIRCULAR MOTION AND WINDS ARE DRAWN INTO THE TORNADO. EVIDENCE OF > CONVERGENCE OR ROTATION IN THE WAY DEBRIS IS LAID OUT IN A STORM MAY HELP > DETERMINE WHETHER A TORNADO OR DOWNBURST HIT. > > WINDS SPEEDS AND THE MAGNITUDE OF DAMAGE MAY BE VERY SIMILAR IN WEAK > TORNADOES AND STRONG DOWNBURSTS...60 TO 100 MPH. > > THE TORNADOES THAT HIT MOKENA AND WHEATON FRIDAY WERE ASSOCIATED WITH THE > GUST FRONT OF A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. THERE WAS NO INDICATION OF > ROTATION ON THE DOPPLER RADAR BUT THERE WERE STRONG INDICATIONS THAT THE > STORMS WERE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS > WARNINGS WERE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ADVANCE OF THESE > STORMS BASED ON THE RADAR SIGNATURE. > > BOTTOM LINE...WHETHER WINDS ARE SWIRLING AS IN A TORNADO...OR BLOWING > STRAIGHT AS IN A DOWNBURT...IF THEY ARE OVER 60 MPH THEY CAN BRING DOWN > TREES AND DAMAGE ROOFS. IF A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OR TORNADO WARNING IS > ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA...GET INDOORS...STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS...GET TO A SAFE > PLACE. > > ALLSOPP ************************************************************************* 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA Milwaukee Area Skywarn Assoc./Milwaukee-Waukesha Amateur Radio Emergency Service (A.R.E.S.)/IL Multi-County Warning System E-Mail, bkopp@execpc.com Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" my severe weather and SKYWARN home page! SFTS! http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 18:10:00 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Thank goodness!!! NOUS40 KWBC 221851 FOS/NOAAPORT NOTICE NO. 1103 JULY 22... 1997 FOS REQUESTS PPS SUBSCRIBERS PLEASE NOTE THE FOLLOWING CHANGE AND EFFECTIVE DATE WITH EFFECT FROM 19 AUGUST 1500 UTC THE FOLLOWING BULLETIN HEADING WILL BE CHANGED OLD HEADING NEW HEADING CONTENTS FXUS07 KWBC FNUS51 KLWX FIRE WEATHER PRODUCT FOR MD END NNNN ------------------------------------------------------------ Thank you. After 7 years of my complaining to the NWS about this, did someone finally hear me? It was in contention with the 30 day outlook, and I know I wasn't the only one who yelled and screamed... Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 14:17:26 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site will become a commissioned ASOS site at 1800 UTC on 22 July, 1997. ARLINGTON MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KF54) ARLINGTON... TX Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 20:45:42 -0700 From: "Jared \"wxman\" Kaplan" Subject: sorry Sorry about my previous messages about the weather channel, a few people, not many, but a few were not happy about it, so I am sorry. The postings were not meant to be offensive to anyone, and just my opinions from what I saw in the foxboro area. Sorry, Jared Kaplan ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 20:19:38 -0500 From: "Jason H. Reeves" Subject: Tornadoes About the World Dear Dr. Science, Are there tornadoes in Germany? If not, why the heck not? --------------- Nope. The Teutonic sense of order would never allow such a thing. Italy, however, enjoys its numerous twisters, and the Spanish and Portugese can't seem to get enough of their beloved "El Grande Vavarooma." Once there was a tornado in Switzerland, but it was immediately arrested and deported. To Italy, I think. Thousands of tornadoes occur every day in Libya, but no one seems to notice. As anyone who knows the movie "The Wizard of Oz", (based, of course, on the album "Dark Side of the Moon") both Kansas and Pink Floyd have had their share of twisters. But these are no longer the scourge they @&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@& { Jason H. Reeves |"""""""\ } { Technical Assistant - Computing Services | |, } { Home: 571-2996 Work: 575-5736 | |' } { jhr@cavern.uark.edu !--v---v-" } { http://cavern.uark.edu/~jhr ._--""||| | } { Desktop Unix Support Team (DUST) |-----------------| } &@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 22:44:30 -0500 From: "Eric A. Helgeson" Subject: Re: sorry Jared, Don't be sorry. Everyone is entitled to their opinion, point-of-view, and perspective. If everyone agreed on everything, then there wouldn't be anything to discuss, nor would people's mind be stimulated. If one has no opinion and is afraid to share it, we might as well move to China and kill this useful newsgroup/eMail distribution list. Eric Eric A. Helgeson (helgeson@netins.net) http://www.netins.net/showcase/helgeson -----Original Message----- From: Jared "wxman" Kaplan [SMTP:jared@sria.com] Sent: Tuesday, July 22, 1997 10:46 PM To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Subject: sorry Sorry about my previous messages about the weather channel, a few people, not many, but a few were not happy about it, so I am sorry. The postings were not meant to be offensive to anyone, and just my opinions from what I saw in the foxboro area. Sorry, Jared Kaplan +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 22 Jul 1997 23:58:41 -0500 From: Spencer Vaughn Subject: Re: lightning in clear skies Jeff, You could just be seeing lightning from storms many miles away. Every once in a while here at camp some of the staff I work with will see lightning in the distance and think it is going to rain soon. At the same time they are star gazing under clear skies, but the storms have been 150 miles away and 50,000 feet tall. Also there is a phnominum (I dont think that is spelled right..oh well) calleda blue bolt. This is lightning from a storm far off that is traveling in clear skies. Back in the mid 70's several kids playing baseball in Ames, IA were injured by such a bolt. Spencer ***************************************************************** Student of Broadcast Meteorology Jock Talk Producer and Director Chase for the fun, increase weather knowledge, and to save lives...not for the glamor... ***************************************************************** ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 21 Jul 1997 to 22 Jul 1997 ************************************************** From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Jul 24 13:16:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102581-21040>; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 13:16:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA200874; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 00:08:03 -0500 Message-Id: <199707240508.AAA200874@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Jul 1997 00:01:42 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 22 Jul 1997 to 23 Jul 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 15 messages totalling 768 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Wx data - Mets and Wets (2) 2. Meteorologist vs. Weatherman 3. Premature Use of Storm Names 4. sorry (2) 5. Hydrologic Cycle -- instructional module (WW2010) 6. TV Met Jobs Available 7. Irony 8. 9. Wind Gust at KMIB (5) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 05:06:02 -0500 From: Carolyn Johnson Subject: Re: Wx data - Mets and Wets At 02:37 PM 7/21/97 -0500, you wrote: >Carolyn Johnson wrote: Actually, Jason, it was Carolyn's husband ghosting through her email account! >> 2. Mets vs. Wets >> This thread appeared a couple of years ago in wx-talk with some >> much more heated debate than I have seen this time. (Is everyone >> still worn out from the last time?) Agree with Roger on this topic. >> Individual perception is hard to reason with. If one "Percieves" >> that they can make forecasts given the huge volume of meteorological >> data available to the masses today, it is going to be very difficult >> to convince them that they are NOT meteorologists. Meteorology, >> as was so adroitly pointed out by someone, is a SCIENCE and is thus >> subject to all the rigors of that discipline. There are way too >> many "pseudo-scientists" in the world today and the numbers seem to >> be increasing geometrically as each year passes. "I'm not a doctor, >> but I play one on T.V.!" How about, "I'm not a meteorologist, but >> I play one on T.V.!" It seems that a slick format, "cute" comments, >> an AMS seal and snazzy T.V. graphics are enough to convince the >> general public that one is a "meteorologist" and THUS a SCIENTIST. > >Wait a minute....This discussion has begun to smack of some eliteism >here....as a broadcast meteorologist I have different priorities than do >research, NWS, or consulting meteorologists. We hear of a doctor's >"bedside manner"... we don't chastise him for cracking a joke or making >a "cute" comment instead of boring us with telling us how we have a >hairline simple fracture of the fifth metatarsal on the (insert jargon >here)....he tells us what a doofus we were for breaking our toe!!!! We >are communticators...we are trained not only to forecast (which a lot of >us do quite well, thank you)...but also to present, to make the complex >factors involved understandable to the layman. Jason, calm down! If you sincerely want references on the "pseudo-sciences" I can provide them separately, but a few hours watching television in this day and age should convince you that most americans are being dooped into believing that someone who "poses" as a scientist carries the same weight as the real article. Please forgive me for implying that ALL T.V. weathercasters are guilty of this. No such implication was intended. I know a good number of T.V. weathercasters who are good scientists as well as good forecasters and I respect them and their opinions. Unfortunately, a few have cast a shadow on the many and I think you'll have to agree with that. I was talking about those with little or no education in meteorology who somehow believe that looking at a few model graphics and some MOS guidance makes them "Meteorologists". If you can agree that meteorology is a science, then it must adhere to the tenents of science which requires the hypothesis (forecast) and then the proof (verification) of said hypothesis. If the hypothesis cannot be proved, it is then reformulated based on the data (of course, as forecasters, we are not allowed this luxury but are required to take the "bust"). How many times can you go before your listeners and admit that you "busted" before you get canned? My main problem with weathercasting (or forecasting) is that we are less than candid with the public because we know that the public has little or no understanding of what we can reliably do. They want to know such things as "Is it going to rain on MY head, and if so, when and how much?" I think you'll agree that the science is not able to answer this question with any great degree of reliability! Unfortunately, there are the unscrupulous few in our profession who let the public believe that we can make such predictions!! Those are the people who upset me! > > How do you decide who is >a "pseudo-scientist" and who is a full blown METEOROLOGIST??? Want the >gov't to certify them??? Or do they have to have your personal seal of >approval??? I don't mean to attack, and I'm trying not to, but I feel >that a lot of non-media meteorologists look down their noses at us media >types just because we chose to work in the media...But I'm afraid until >NOAA weather radio has 100% penetration (yeah right) you guys are stuck >with us. I define a "pseudo scientist" as one who knows little or nothing about science but puts on all the scientist trappings (lab coat, glasses, computer..etc) in order to "dupe" the unknowing into believing they speak with scientific authority. I, for one, have never "looked down my nose" at a media "type". I've worn the shoes, walked the walk and talked the talk. There's some damned fine ones out there, but there's also a few real dirt bags that hurt the image (so what profession hasn't got a few quacks?!). I personally know of a "weatherman" in private business who gave international pilots flight weather briefings over the phone via radio link from his bed at 3 o'clock in the morning without a scrap of data!! Weather radio will likely never be a viable answer. We're not "stuck" with you, we need you and you need us. Priced a Cray or an international radar and observational network lately? >How have you determined that the numbers of >"pseudo-scientists" are increasing geometrically??? Since you are the >scientist, I guess you have statistically computed this data...I would >appreciate you presenting somewhere...maybe the AMS Bulletin??? Just >make it pretty simple...it might go over my head.... As I mentioned above, references furnished upon request and your head's not that low. > >I guess I need to start digitizing difax charts for on-the-air >use...otherwise my pretty graphics will mark me as a pretender!!! Perhaps you should do a thanksgiving broadcast wearing a paper hat and using a turkey drum stick as a pointer like the guy in Omaha a few years ago. Now, THAT would increase your credibility as a meteorologist and scientist! > >Again...this is not personal....just letting you guys know that just >because I'm on TV makes me NO LESS of a meteorologist than anyone..... > Nor more of a meteorologist than anyone else. >PS Just got back from Orange Beach, AL...Dancin' with Danny!!!!! Waltz? Tango? Foxtrot? > >Jason Kelley >(Lame Duck) Chief Meteorologist >WABG-TV >Greenville, MS >jkelley@tecinfo.com > RGDS//Jim Johnson My opinions are my own biased, obtuse views and not those of anyone else. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- "Quando Omni Flunkus Moritati!" ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 08:07:17 -0400 From: Brian Monahan Subject: Re: Meteorologist vs. Weatherman Well, Let's see... Is this a test of how many times we can be wrong today? Hmmm... Now let's get to the inaccuracies in your statements.... > Well, you may think that the wx channel bashing is unfair, but you are > not even getting my point. THIS IS NO OFFENCE TO ANYONE THAT WORKS FOR > THE WX CHANNEL, but... the temps are not the problem. I am talking about > the important stuff, is it going to rain thats a problem, snow? In case you didn't already know, the weather channel's forecasts are based on the numerical forecast models... The models are run twice per day, thus the precipitation fields, etc., often change twice per day....Also, and I'm only assuming here (which half or 2/3'rds of your post is), but as they put the maps up some of it is based on old data, some of it is based on new data, and some of it is based on actual real-time weather observations (because of this, things in the first and second period may very well change!) > deal. And as responce to the web page, well... I have been tracking the > weather that will now be coming from the south for thursday, and effect > sothern new englanders, and the weather maps change every 30 minutes. Read above... > That would be good if the real and correct forecast was not published > until thae day before it happens. It's like this, you either tell an > accurate forecast or you dont, and in this case 98% of the time the > forecast is wrong until it is 18 or so hours before, where then I can hop > on my computer load Weather Caster GOLD and get a 70% accuracy without > the luxury. Well, you talk about all of these percents yet I doubt any of them are actually true. Although I plan on going into the field of TV meteorology, there are obvious things that could be improved in the future, not saying that things haven't impoved drastically already. And you talk about all this inaccuracy with TWC, have you ever loaded NWS zone forecasts or even a forecast discussion? Hate to tell ya, but both mediums often change their forecast from one "package" to the next, yet I don't see you ripping the National Weather Service for it....Hmmmm... I guess TWC is just more visible therefore you fail to see the problems in all of operational meteorology (weather forecasting)... See ya'll later, Brian ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 07:32:00 -0500 From: "Padgett, James G." Subject: Premature Use of Storm Names Before I lodge a complaint, I'd first of all like to thank all the folks who provide all the web pages with tropical storm/hurricane info and links to sites from which the advisories may be obtained. I know it takes a lot of time and effort. One thing, however, that should be kept in mind is that a tropical system doesn't become named until TPC decides to upgrade it to a tropical storm. Last week with TD #5, many sites were linking the name Erika to that system. Some even had just the name Erika highlighted to click on for advisories on the depression. This practice can lead to confusion, as tropical depressions don't always become tropical storms; and furthermore, when they do, it is not always in the order the depressions formed. A situtation in early September, 1980, illustrates this: T.D. 7 (formed 31 Aug) became Hurricane Georges (named 7 Sep) T.D. 8 (formed early 4 Sep) became Hurricane Earl (named 6 Sep) T.D. 9 (formed afternoon 4 Sep) became Tropical Storm Danielle (named 5 Sep) T.D. 10 (formed 5 Sep) became Hurricane Frances (named 7 Sep) I won't even try to go through the scenario that would have created (had there been Internet sites back then) with everyone linking the next name on the list with each new depression that formed. Hope I don't make anyone mad with this criticism, but I think it would be in the best interest of reducing confusion if the tropical depression links were simply identified with the depression number until such time as TPC upgrades the system. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 10:06:30 -0400 From: jared kaplan Subject: Re: sorry thank you eric. At least there is a person who is not sending me email about bashing MY THOUGHTS... everyone key word here my thoughts! Thanks, Jared ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 13:12:42 -0500 From: Jason Kelley Subject: Re: Wx data - Mets and Wets Carolyn Johnson wrote: > Actually, Jason, it was Carolyn's husband ghosting through her email > account! O.K.....I figured that...I saw your name at the end of the post.... > Jason, calm down! If you sincerely want references on the > "pseudo-sciences" > I can provide them separately, but a few hours watching television in > this > day and age should convince you that most americans are being dooped > into > believing that someone who "poses" as a scientist carries the same > weight as > the real article. I agree that there are some in my profession who are "pretenders" who don't have the credentials but call themselves meteorologists, but I would argue that with the current state of the business, these numbers are decreasing, instead of increasing. News Directors are looking more and more at education and skills than ever before. A lot of the ones you are referring to have been in the business for many years, and have been "grandfathered" in, so to speak. Most "new" people in the business that I know have put themselves through rigorous training in order to just get a job! > > > Please forgive me for implying that ALL T.V. weathercasters are guilty > of this. > No such implication was intended. I know a good number of T.V. > weathercasters > who are good scientists as well as good forecasters and I respect them > and > their opinions. Unfortunately, a few have cast a shadow on the many > and I > think you'll have to agree with that. I was talking about those with > little > or no education in meteorology who somehow believe that looking at a > few > model graphics and some MOS guidance makes them "Meteorologists". If > you can > agree that meteorology is a science, then it must adhere to the > tenents > of science which requires the hypothesis (forecast) and then the proof > > (verification) of said hypothesis. If the hypothesis cannot be proved, > it is > then reformulated based on the data (of course, as forecasters, we are > not > allowed this luxury but are required to take the "bust"). How many > times > can you go before your listeners and admit that you "busted" before > you get > canned? No apology needed, I probably jumped a little too hard. And you are correct, there are a few who do cast a pall over my group. I make it a point to verifiy my forecasts every day, and I know many who do so, and many who do not. In fact, I would argue that it is more important for a media meteorologist, because when we bust, the end user - viewer, whoever, has a face to blame for the bust, unlike NWS, AccuWeather, et al. And believe me, people DO remember!!!! > My main problem with weathercasting (or forecasting) is that we are > less than > candid with the public because we know that the public has little or > no > understanding of what we can reliably do. They want to know such > things as > "Is it going to rain on MY head, and if so, when and how much?" I > think > you'll agree that the science is not able to answer this question with > any > great degree of reliability! Unfortunately, there are the unscrupulous > few > in our profession who let the public believe that we can make such > predictions!! Those are the people who upset me! Agree, Agree, A thousand times Agree!!!!! > I define a "pseudo scientist" as one who knows little or nothing about > > science but puts on all the scientist trappings (lab coat, glasses, > computer..etc) in order to "dupe" the unknowing into believing they > speak > with scientific authority. Agreed... > > > I, for one, have never "looked down my nose" at a media "type". I've > worn > the shoes, walked the walk and talked the talk. There's some damned > fine > ones out there, but there's also a few real dirt bags that hurt the > image > (so what profession hasn't got a few quacks?!). I personally know of a > > "weatherman" > in private business who gave international pilots flight weather > briefings > over the phone via radio link from his bed at 3 o'clock in the morning > > without a > scrap of data!! I would hope not...and your example, I would sumbit that your example is definately not the norm!!! > > > Weather radio will likely never be a viable answer. We're not "stuck" > with > you, we need you and you need us. Priced a Cray or an international > radar > and observational network lately? Never meant to imply such, just want you to realize that all the media types (as I now refer to them!!) have tremendous respect for you guys in the private sector or the NWS...we just HATE being stereotyped because we happen to be in the public eye!!! > As I mentioned above, references furnished upon request and your > head's > not that low. Thanks...I believe however I do remember a paper presented at NWA '92, on this subject...anybody remember??? > Perhaps you should do a thanksgiving broadcast wearing a paper hat and > using > a turkey drum stick as a pointer like the guy in Omaha a few years > ago. Now, > THAT would increase your credibility as a meteorologist and scientist! Well, I can't comment as to that, however I have done weather from a blood drive (while giving blood!!!), a deer tree stand, in a hot tub, standing in the middle of a flooded street, from a hot air balloon, and from Hurricane Danny...nobody says we cant have a little fun with what we do...scientists have a sense of humor too!!!! Nor more of a meteorologist than anyone else. Correct!!! > >PS Just got back from Orange Beach, AL...Dancin' with Danny!!!!! > > Waltz? Tango? Foxtrot? Actually, one from the sixties...you may remember it..."The Swim"? :"> Again...this was not personal..I have recieved a lot of e-mail from other Media guys agreeing that they felt slighted...all I ask is please don't blanket ALL of us with the sense of incompetence!!! Thanks Jim!!!! > > > > > >Jason Kelley > >(Lame Duck) Chief Meteorologist > >WABG-TV > >Greenville, MS > >jkelley@tecinfo.com > > > RGDS//Jim Johnson > > My opinions are my own biased, obtuse views and not those of anyone > else. > ---------------------------------------------------------------------- > > "Quando Omni Flunkus Moritati!" > ---------------------------------------------------------------------- > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 13:54:42 -0600 From: "Steven E. Hall" Subject: Hydrologic Cycle -- instructional module (WW2010) We'd like to announce the release of the Hydrologic Cycle instructional module. This module discusses particular aspects of the storage and transfer of our planet's water. From precipitation to evaporation, from groundwater to runoff, colorful animations, illustrations, and photographs introduce each step of the Hydrologic Cycle. This resouce is located at: http://ww2010.atmos.uiuc.edu/(Gh)/guides/mtr/hyd/home.rxml Thank You. WW2010 Development Team ------------------------------------------------------- Department of Atmospheric Sciences University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign 105 South Gregory Avenue Urbana, IL 61801 hall@uiatma.atmos.uiuc.edu (217)333-8132 -------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 13:53:04 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Jobs Available METEOROLOGIST (KFOX) KFOX, the Cox Broadcasting station in El Paso, is looking for a Meteorologist for its news startup. We'll have all the toys, including a new weather computer system. Rehearsals begin soon, and I'm ready to hire immediately. Knowledge of Spanish is helpful, but not a requirement. Overnight your resume, tape, references and current salary to: David Bennallack, News Director, KFOX Television, 6004 N. Mesa El Paso, TX 79912 METEOROLOGIST (KOTA) Looking for excellent communicator with strong forecasting skills on top rated GMA and Noon News. B.S. degree preferred. Some journalism background needed to produce & anchor news cut-ins. Apply by 8/15/97. Rush 1/2" tape and resume to: John Petersen, News Director, KOTA TV, 518 Saint Joseph Street, Rapid City, SD 57701. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 15:32:56 -0500 From: Steve Adams Subject: Irony With all this discussion on wx-talk regarding future of the NWS, the future of internet weather data, the future of private wx folks, and the educational aspects of being a "meteorologist", it seems ironic to me that the term meteorologist has (apparently) such a loose interpretation. I believe the roots of this come from a general disrespect of meteorologists (and scientists in general?) by the public brought about by inadequate understanding of what a meteorologist really is combined with the popularization of parts of the science. The internet and the Weather Channel have certainly popularized the "public weather forecasting" end of the science, and have even done some pretty good educational things as well. There are, however, pros and cons to this increased "awareness" of meteorology. I won't go into the pros, but a "con" is that John Q. Public thinks he knows it all (or at least, more than he does) and can "forecast better than those bozos on the TV". I call it the "Weather Channel Degree Syndrome" (WCDS). WCDS is based on the old adage "...a little knowledge can be a dangerous thing...". The irony in all this is that the spreading of WCDS within the general public is coming at a time when the REAL meteorologists (i.e. degreed) are debating whether the educational curriculum of meteorology is adequate. The ones with the least knowledge think they know it all and the ones with the most knowledge realize they don't! And that the "all" is increasing day by day! Some favor extending the B.S. curriculum to 5 years because of all the advancements in the science and the increased material that needs to be covered to expose students to most aspects of the science. Others support a 4 year B.S. that covers basic concepts... perhaps with a work-study component that exposes students to more specific areas of interest. Graduate school could then be used to gain more in-depth knowledge in specific areas, which actually is similar to today's structure. Another possibility is the "splitting" of the degree into sub-disciplines that can be taught in 4 years or having the graduate degrees split this way. For example, B.S. degrees in Broadcast Met, Agricultural Met, Aviation Met, Forecasting/General Met, etc.. or a B.S. in Meteorology and an M.S. in Numerical Weather Prediction, Agri Met, Atmos Chemistry/Air Pollution Met, Mars Met :-), etc. This "specialization" approach is not unheard of in today's society. The medical profession is a good example. All doctors have a wide array of basic medical knowledge, but would you want a podiatrist performing brain surgery on you? The "Medical" discipline is too large for 4 years of education (or even 6). Perhaps the "Meteorology" discipline is becoming that way too? And if so, how do we respond? Specialized degrees? Should the NWS become the "Severe Weather Warning Service" and the "Numerical Weather Prediction Service"? Should the FAA have a "Aviation Weather Service" under it? Should all "specialized" aspects of meteorology outside of the "protection of lives and property" moniker be carried out by the private sector? Can universities adequately educate, given all these specialties? Wow. Lots of WX-TALK! ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President - Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 17:08:04 -0500 From: "Paul L. Sirvatka" Subject: I just re-signed on to wx-talk and wx-chase but I wanted ot make a comment about the Wheaton Illinois tornado last Friday, July 18. I travelled through the area hit and was fairly impressed with the F-1 damage. Although most looked like straight line wind damage, there was one house in the middle of the "path" whose southern exposure was sprayed by mud. I have seen that before in the Plainfield damage. Despite everything else blowing down to the southeast, this definitely made me think the winds of this were blowing from the southeast. I think that it was a brief spin-up along the left leading edge of the downburst. One other question, in downburst damage fields...how long of a path is possible? Would there be a difference between calling it a macroburst and a derecho? Thanks Paul PS. Gilbert is standing over my shoulder telling me those were two questions. I know that but figured none of you really care. I hit him. ****************************************************************************** * Paul L. Sirvatka | Office: (630) 942-2118; Lab: (630) 942-2590 * * Professor of Meteorology | COD Weather Lab: (630)-858-0032 * * College of DuPage | Address: 425 22nd St. Glen Ellyn, IL 60137 * ****************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 19:00:19 GMT From: Eric Gross Subject: Re: sorry >Don't be sorry. Everyone is entitled to their opinion, >point-of-view, and perspective. If everyone agreed on everything, >then there wouldn't be anything to discuss, nor would people's mind >be stimulated. Well, I disagree with this completely . . . . :) ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 20:59:55 -0700 From: WDAY Weather Subject: Wind Gust at KMIB Caught this ob while monitoring the severe weather just west of our viewing area last night: KMIB 240115Z 30052G109KT 7SM -TSRA FEW008 SCT045CB BKN120 23/20 A2983 RMK FRQ LTGICCG TS OHD MOV E-NE CB 26 SW-NW-N MOV NE= KMIB, by the way, is the AirForce base at Minot, ND As they say in North Dakota Uff-da Daryl Ritchison wdaywx@rrnet.com FARGO, ND WDAY-TV WDAY-AM THE FORUM -48` TO 114` Since 1922... The Oldest Call Letters in the Northwest WDAY-TV Weather Staff: 301 South 8th Street John Wheeler Box 2466 Daryl Ritchison Fargo, ND 58103 Kip Hines ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 21:08:44 -0500 From: "Jeremy Charles (N9VHT)" Subject: Re: Wind Gust at KMIB On Wed, 23 Jul 1997, WDAY Weather wrote: > KMIB 240115Z 30052G109KT 7SM -TSRA FEW008 SCT045CB BKN120 23/20 > A2983 RMK FRQ LTGICCG TS OHD MOV E-NE CB 26 SW-NW-N MOV NE= > > KMIB, by the way, is the AirForce base at Minot, ND > > As they say in North Dakota Uff-da Could we get a translation of this, for those of us who don't know METAR? (Particularily whatever the interesting part is..) -Jeremy C. (N9VHT) Madison Area Repeater Association Vice President & Swapfest '98 Coordinator n9vht@skywarn.cs.wisc.edu Online SKYWARN logging: http://www.cs.wisc.edu/~jeremyc/skylog/ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 21:15:01 -0500 From: "Steve M. Kile" Subject: Re: Wind Gust at KMIB > > On Wed, 23 Jul 1997, WDAY Weather wrote: > > KMIB 240115Z 30052G109KT 7SM -TSRA FEW008 SCT045CB BKN120 23/20 > > A2983 RMK FRQ LTGICCG TS OHD MOV E-NE CB 26 SW-NW-N MOV NE= > > > > KMIB, by the way, is the AirForce base at Minot, ND > > > > As they say in North Dakota Uff-da > > Could we get a translation of this, for those of us who don't know > METAR? (Particularily whatever the interesting part is..) > > -Jeremy C. (N9VHT) That would be wind 300 degrees (roughly NW) at 52 knots gusts to 109 knots. -- Steve M. Kile, N0FBL stevek@netcom.com stevek@usinternet.com skile@tc.umn.edu ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 21:17:43 -0500 From: "Jeremy Charles (N9VHT)" Subject: Re: Wind Gust at KMIB On Wed, 23 Jul 1997, Steve M. Kile wrote: > That would be wind 300 degrees (roughly NW) at 52 knots gusts to 109 knots. Whoah! Reports like that always make me wonder at what point the anemometer just calls it a day and blows away... :) Thanks for the translation.. -Jeremy C. (N9VHT) Madison Area Repeater Association Vice President & Swapfest '98 Coordinator n9vht@skywarn.cs.wisc.edu Online SKYWARN logging: http://www.cs.wisc.edu/~jeremyc/skylog/ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 21:44:32 -0700 From: WDAY Weather Subject: Re: Wind Gust at KMIB At 09:08 PM 7/23/97 -0500, you wrote: >On Wed, 23 Jul 1997, WDAY Weather wrote: >> KMIB 240115Z 30052G109KT 7SM -TSRA FEW008 SCT045CB BKN120 23/20 >> A2983 RMK FRQ LTGICCG TS OHD MOV E-NE CB 26 SW-NW-N MOV NE= >> >> KMIB, by the way, is the AirForce base at Minot, ND >> >> As they say in North Dakota Uff-da > >Could we get a translation of this, for those of us who don't know >METAR? (Particularily whatever the interesting part is..) > >-Jeremy C. (N9VHT) >Madison Area Repeater Association Vice President & Swapfest '98 Coordinator >n9vht@skywarn.cs.wisc.edu KMIB 240115Z 30052G109KT 7SM -TSRA FEW008 SCT045CB BKN120 23/20 ^^^^^^^^ A2983 RMK FRQ LTGICCG TS OHD MOV E-NE CB 26 SW-NW-N MOV NE= The key here would by the G109KT The AirForce base reported a wind gust in a severe thunderstorm at 109 knots or 126 mph. Impressive indeed... Daryl Ritchison wdaywx@rrnet.com FARGO, ND WDAY-TV WDAY-AM THE FORUM -48` TO 114` Since 1922... The Oldest Call Letters in the Northwest WDAY-TV Weather Staff: 301 South 8th Street John Wheeler Box 2466 Daryl Ritchison Fargo, ND 58103 Kip Hines ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 22 Jul 1997 to 23 Jul 1997 ************************************************** From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Jul 25 13:20:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102367-14440>; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 13:20:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA201152; Fri, 25 Jul 1997 00:11:00 -0500 Message-Id: <199707250511.AAA201152@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Jul 1997 00:04:14 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 23 Jul 1997 to 24 Jul 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Status: X-UID: 16 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O There are 16 messages totalling 516 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. SPC Day 2 severe weather outlook additions... 2. TEACHERS RESOURCES 3. Q: Library Book Suggestions (2) 4. WX-TALK Digest - 22 Jul 1997 to 23 Jul 1997 5. NSSL/SPC Merchandise for Sale (note temporary address change) 6. Meteorologist vs. Weathercaster 7. Re; Premature use of names 8. tornadoes 9. STORM MACHINE users... 10. Comments on Gray's forecast & the Atlantic hurricane season so far... 11. Danny's Back!!! 12. Danny's Back! (3) 13. The Re-Emergence of Danny +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 24 Jul 1997 00:16:17 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: SPC Day 2 severe weather outlook additions... I noticed as of today that the SPC day 2 severe weather outlook now contains the severe weather risk level at it's 8Z issuance (slight, moderate, high) AND the general thunderstorm outlook as well in it's 18Z issuance. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 23 Jul 1997 20:29:36 -0500 From: John McLaughlin Subject: TEACHERS RESOURCES Hi Gang, I'm assembling a meteorology resource list for Iowa teachers. Everything from instruments to videos and recommended reading. Any vendors wishing to be included should email me with particulars. John McLaughlin KCCI Des Moines ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 24 Jul 1997 02:45:15 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Q: Library Book Suggestions THAT'S IT! We need some spotting/chasing-related books in our library. Best our's could do was a 1989 book, _Predicting Severe Storms_. A little old. But what else is new at our library? (Pun intended, yes.) Anyone care to recommend good spotting/chasing books and videos that I could request our library to purchase? ...Especially books about how to predict severe storms. As well, is there a book out there which disects and explains the severe storm in a language that is easy for the layman to understand? and which definitions are more widely accepted ("cannon") amongst the weather population? Anyway, thanks... Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman, A.R.S. KB4MHH -\\- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- Home Page URL: http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Permission to use the above info for inclusion in any mailing | | lists, so as to send me ad-mail personally, is NOT granted. | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 24 Jul 1997 08:04:50 -0500 From: Tom Berg Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 22 Jul 1997 to 23 Jul 1997 James, I agree whole-heartedly with your message in WX-TALK concerning the posting of information for links on the internet to storms not yet named. There was a ton of confusion from people wondering what happened to Erika. We at the Weather Watchers On Line applaud your effort to bring to the forefront the misuse of the medium and the misinterpretation of information. Tom Berg, Membership Coordinator, WWOL http://wwol.home.ml.org ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 24 Jul 1997 09:17:19 -0500 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: NSSL/SPC Merchandise for Sale (note temporary address change) Severe Weather Fanatics, The NSSL/SPC Employees Association (NSEA) regularly sells severe weather photographs and NSSL/SPC clothing as part of its fund-raising efforts. Traditionally, we've only been able to sell this merchandise to individuals who visit the NSSL/SPC in Norman, Oklahoma, or when we take the merchandise to various special functions (such as the TWC Chaser Conference, the StormTrack annual picnic, or various conferences and open houses). Now this merchandise is available on the World Wide Web (WWW)! The 1997 Summer Chase Season is here (sort of)! Get merchandise now! ********************************************************************* * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW Severe Weather Photo Store * ********************************************************************* The URL for the NSEA Photo Concession Stand is: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/nea/neaphotostand.html ****************************************************************** * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW NSSL/SPC Clothing Store * * * * NSSL SHIRTS...AS SEEN IN THE MOVIE 'TWISTER'!!! * ****************************************************************** The URL for the NSEA Clothing Concession Stand is: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/nea/neaclothing.html Information on the prices of merchandise is on the WWW page. We can only accept orders placed from the WWW page (check or money order only). Information on the NSEA is also available via the first hypertext link on that WWW page. NOTE: From now until Sep. 30, 1997, orders and inquiries will be handled by Paul Janish! Greg will be on travel during this period. If you have any questions, please contact Paul Janish at: janish@nsslsun.nssl.noaa.gov We hope that this fundraiser is a success for our organization and we hope you all enjoy the merchandise! Greg Stumpf and Paul Janish, NSSL/SPC Employees Association DISCLAIMER: The NSEA is a non-profit organization not affiliated with NOAA or the U.S. Government. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 24 Jul 1997 11:12:20 -0500 From: Peter Bowers Subject: Re: Q: Library Book Suggestions At 02:52 AM 7/24/97 -0500, you wrote: > > THAT'S IT! We need some spotting/chasing-related books in our library. >Best our's could do was a 1989 book, _Predicting Severe Storms_. A little >old. But what else is new at our library? (Pun intended, yes.) > > Anyone care to recommend good spotting/chasing books and videos that I >could request our library to purchase? ...Especially books about how to >predict severe storms. As well, is there a book out there which disects and >explains the severe storm in a language that is easy for the layman to >understand? and which definitions are more widely accepted ("cannon") >amongst the weather population? > >Anyway, thanks... > >Todd > >/-----------------------------------------------------------------\ >| Todd L. Sherman, A.R.S. KB4MHH -\\- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | >| -//- Home Page URL: http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | >| Permission to use the above info for inclusion in any mailing | >| lists, so as to send me ad-mail personally, is NOT granted. | >\-----------------------------------------------------------------/ > Todd, This was on the list a few weeks ago. Hope it helps. Peter /////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// This is an unabashed personal plug for a new book. In no way am I anointing it with any official blessing on behalf of my employer (Environment Canada) but I can say that I have bought several copies for my office because I think it's great and useful. I plan to give to people in our area to help us with our severe summer weather initiatives. Plus I think there's lots of info in it that will be of use to our own staff, to help in storm spotter (weather watcher) training, etc. The book is called "Under the Whirlwind" (everything you need to know about tornadoes but didn't know who to ask), and the authors are Arjen and Jerrine Verkaik. Published by Whirlwind Books, RR3, Elmwood, Ontario, Canada N0G 1S0. Cost in Canada is ~$25 (includes shipping) and in the States it is ~$20 (excluding shipping). if you're interested, it's best to contact Arjen (Ed) or Jerrine at the address above or phone them at (519)363-5785. Why do I like the book? It's down-to-earth, written from a personal perspective. Lots of tips, explanations, illustrations, sidelights, behind-the-scenes info. Obviously, there is a Canadian slant to it (yes... we get tornadoes up here too!) but it's generic in its info. The authors are long-time tornado chasers with a passion for the skies. There are chapters on... - covering the day in the life of a severe weather meteorologist (handling tornadoes in Southern Ontario on April 20, 1996) - reading the stormy skies - anatomy of a tornado (scientific explanations) - the human side: what to do before, during and after a tornado strikes (important and something we seldom pay much attention to) In this day and age of computer gee-whiz wizardry, this is very relevant and personal. The authors' passions shine through. Highly recommended... +---------------------------------------------------------------------+ | Steve Ricketts | Manager, Northern Alberta Environmental Services Centre | Environment Canada's Prairie and Northern Region, Edmonton, AB | Phone (403)951-8788 FAX 495-2615 e-mail: Steve.Ricketts@ec.gc.ca +---------------------------------------------------------------------+ Peter Bowers Owen Sound, Ont. Canada mailto:omw.bowers@sos.on.ca ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 24 Jul 1997 08:13:55 -0500 From: Chuck Doswell Subject: Re: Meteorologist vs. Weathercaster In article <33D62A76.2EFD@cryogen.com>, Lisa Markus wrote: > Is the "NWA" just an organization of non-degreed weathercasters > who banded together and gave themselves a name for credibility? This implied bashing of the National Weather Association simply can't go unchallenged. The National Weather Association, which includes a large number of degreed meteorologists, does not fit this description at all and I expect that you will get many responses to this insulting description. If you want information about the NWA, see: but if you are ignorant of who they are and what they represent, then don't denigrate them in a public forum! Chuck Doswell -- Dr. Charles A. Doswell III NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, Oklahoma 73069 phone: (405) 366-0439 fax: (405) 366-0472 WWW home page: Standard disclaimer ... my views are my own, so don't blame my employer. Can't keep my eyes from the circling sky. An earth-bound misfit, I ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 24 Jul 1997 12:06:42 CST From: Weatherman <954blake@ALPHA.NLU.EDU> Subject: Re; Premature use of names Ah yes..I found myself almost guilty of that...I put TD #5 then in parenthesis Erika to signify what it might become...however I guess that might have confused people into thinking it was already Erika... Good comments... Eric Blake Webmaster, Atlantic Tropical Weather Center http://usacitylink.com/blake/tropical.html ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 24 Jul 1997 15:02:22 GMT From: Bill Gross Subject: Re: tornadoes bmeade6026@aol.com (BMeade6026) wrote: >If you live in a a house thast is all one level, and no place to go >underground, and the smallest place to go is in the bathroom, is that the >safest place to go? An interior room well away from any windows offers good protection. Bath rooms are often suggested because they generally are smaller than other rooms, this gives you more house structure around you which gives you additional protection. An interior closet will do the same. As was mentioned here early this summer: >For recommended reading on the subject I would recommend, FEMA >TR-83B "TORNAADO PROTECTION, Selecting and Designing Safe Areas >in Buildings". =================================================================== >>>After events in Dallas on June 18th, I will go to Disneyland.<<< =================================================================== ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 24 Jul 1997 14:36:17 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: STORM MACHINE users... Hello all, For those of you who use THE STORM MACHINE at: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ whether you are a university, corporate, or personal (AOL, Compuserve, etc) user, I'd like to hear from you to let me know how you use it. If you don't want to be lengthy, that's fine; one paragraph would work for me. Any and all responses will be greatly appreciated and used to improve the service. Thanks!!! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 24 Jul 1997 16:31:38 -0400 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Comments on Gray's forecast & the Atlantic hurricane season so far... Hi Wx-talkers, (Tried to send this out a few days ago, but our emailer has been flakey lately...chris) Mark Stunder wrote: > I've always thought highly of Gray's tropical forecasts and his methods > etc. However, I was wondering how those methods match the four > named tropical systems we've had to date. > > Each of the four systems (Ana, Bill, Claudette and Danny) all formed > about 200-300 miles from our Atl. or Gulf coastline. I believe all formed > NOT from tropical waves but from transformations (cold-core lows to > warm core), old lows on fronts etc. In fact, I think the cloudmass out of > which Danny formed can be traced back to an MCS that moved down > the Miss. Valley and out into the Gulf about a week ago !!!! > > So my question is this: We've achieved 4 tropical systems against > Gray's forecast, but did we achieve them for the "wrong reasons"? > Should we NOT count tropical systems that really don't originate in the > tropics (NOT count transformations etc.). > > If we DON'T count transformation tropical systems, then Gray's forecast > would only have potentially one system, TD #5, possibly soon to be > Erika, east of the Windwards, counted in his forecast favor. TD #5 is > forming from a tropical wave that originated in Africa. > > Any thoughts? Perhaps Dr. Landsea in Miami could comment on this as I > know he's done work with Dr. Gray. Gary Padgett already commented on the fact that the Gray et al model is a forecast for the entire Atlantic basin (N. Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico) and all tropical storms regardless of origin. Our statistical models are based upon the years 1950-1995, which, naturally have storms from easterly wave, old frontal boundaries, upper lows and monsoonal disturbances. They key in the seasonal forecasting is likely not the originating disturbance, but instead, the environment in which the disturbance potentially develops. Thus for years (like 1997) in which we're forecasting for an above normal season, we believe that the environment in the tropics and subtropics will be favorable (i.e. warmer than usual SSTs, lower than normal vertical shear, moist mid- troposphere, etc.). So far, that has turned out to be the case... With that said, i do believe (and some work by Prof. J. Elsner & company at FSU supports this) that we get most of our forecast skill from easterly wave developments. This is mainly because the most predictable environmental features are those in the "main development region" - 10 to 20N, North Africa to Central America. This is the corridor that the easterly waves also primarily travel. When stratified by "tropical-origin" and "baroclinic-origin", we really do have a tough time forecasting the number of the latter and do quite well on the former. So definitely it would be wrong for us to claim that we would see several subtropical latitude formations of the "baroclinic origin". There certainly is a good deal of randomness (noise) involved in their formation that might not be predictable. However, the season's still young...the little latitudes will likely get active during the time of year that they usually do (August & September). Best regards, chris ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** Late 1940s: "The stakes are large and with increased knowledge, I think that we should be able to abolish the evil effects of these hurricanes." - Nobel Laureate Irving Langmuir Early 1990s: The 1991 Bangladesh Cyclone: 130,000 fatalities 1992's Hurricane Andrew: $30,000,000,000 in damages ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 24 Jul 1997 15:39:22 -0500 From: Jason Kelley Subject: Danny's Back!!! Just a quick question, has anybody ever heard of a situation like this with Danny being reclassified as a TS after being over land for so long? I've been digging and can't find any such happening before. Should be some good pressure gradient winds over the Altantic Coast tonight. Anybody think Danny will deepen??? Jason Kelley (Lame Duck) Chief Meteorologist WABG-TV Greenville, MS jkelley@tecinfo.com ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 24 Jul 1997 16:52:05 EDT From: "Steven M. Babin" Subject: Danny's Back! The remnants of Danny re-organized over North Carolina and emerged into the Atlantic Ocean as Tropical Storm Danny with 50 mph winds. According to the National Hurricane Center, it may strengthen even further, possibly becoming a hurricane again. A NOAA satellite AVHRR image can be seen at the bottom of this page: http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/hurr/97/danny/danny.html Anyone know when the last time a Gulf Storm became an Atlantic Storm (what about not counting the ones that just crossed Florida)? Cheers, Steve _____________________________________________________________________ / FROM: Steven Babin, MD, PhD Internet: Steven.Babin@jhuapl.edu \ | Office phone: (301)-953-6704 | | Office phone: (410)-792-6704 | | WWW Home page at: | | http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/people/babin/babin.html | | Office address: Ocean Remote Sensing Group | | The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab | | Johns Hopkins Road | | Laurel, MD 20723-6099 | | AD IN THE LONDON TIMES, 1907: | | Men wanted for hazardous journey. Small wages, bitter cold, long | | months of complete darkness, constant danger, safe return doubtful. | | Honour and recognition in case of success. | \ --Sir Ernest Shackleton / <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><>< ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 24 Jul 1997 19:27:23 -0400 From: Greg Machos Subject: Re: The Re-Emergence of Danny How about this. The re-development of Danny as a tropical storm, and according to the weather channel, Danny has a good chance of becoming a hurricane. What was quite remarkable about this storm was the fact that the storm reintensified over land due to the fact that the area of the Carolinas that it was over was completely saturated. Consequently, Danny thought that it was over water, and was able to maintain its strength as a tropical low for several days, and was able to remarkably strengthened as it neared the coast this afternoon. However, it is moving very rapidly to the northeast at 23 MPH. Will it cause problems for the Northeast and New England? It remains to be seen. Greg Machos http://members.aol.com/hurctrack/HurcTrack.index.html ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 24 Jul 1997 22:34:38 -0400 From: Charles Fenwick Subject: Danny's Back! In response to the question posed by Steve Babin, the alst time something like Danny's reemergence happened was June 1972 with Hurrican Agnes. It developed on the 18th, and made landfall on the 21st. It was reborn on June 21 as it was leaving Norfolk (just like Danny), and made a second landfall in the Long Island area on the 22nd. Charles Fenwick ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 25 Jul 1997 01:37:16 GMT From: SAKABAKBRG Subject: Re: Danny's Back! As near as I could tell, the last Gulf Storm to emerge as a TS in the Atlantic was Agnes, back in 1972. Let's hope (for the sake of People in Pennsylvania), Danny does not do what Agnes did! ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Scott Kaplan (sakabakbrg@aol.com) "...if you look on the radar, you'll see a squall line coming in from the west, so watch out for thunderstorms, but if you look to the north, you see a sq ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 23 Jul 1997 to 24 Jul 1997 ************************************************** From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Jul 26 13:11:29 1997 X-UIDL: 6d4af980412b8b5fd87194b5be618d5a Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102665-4338>; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 13:11:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA208370; Sat, 26 Jul 1997 00:04:02 -0500 Message-Id: <199707260504.AAA208370@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Jul 1997 00:01:06 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 24 Jul 1997 to 25 Jul 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Status: X-UID: 46 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O There are 10 messages totalling 216 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 23 Jul 1997 to 24 Jul 1997 2. TEACHERS RESOURCES 3. Danny's Back!!! 4. Danny 5. Danny inland track data? 6. Tornadoes and Hillbillies (humor) 7. Lightning Article 8. *ASOS Commissioning Notice 9. 10. Odd question *that I should know* +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 25 Jul 1997 01:47:44 -0400 From: Tim Trice Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 23 Jul 1997 to 24 Jul 1997 In a message dated 97-07-25 01:18:57 EDT, you write: << Date: Thu, 24 Jul 1997 16:52:05 EDT From: "Steven M. Babin" Subject: Danny's Back! The remnants of Danny re-organized over North Carolina and emerged into the Atlantic Ocean as Tropical Storm Danny with 50 mph winds. According to the National Hurricane Center, it may strengthen even further, possibly becoming a hurricane again. A NOAA satellite AVHRR image can be seen at the bottom of this page: http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/hurr/97/danny/danny.html Anyone know when the last time a Gulf Storm became an Atlantic Storm (what about not counting the ones that just crossed Florida)? Cheers, Steve _____________________________________________________________________ >> Hello, I hope I'm doing this right. I read this newsletter often but never reply, but I want to now. Sakabakbrg answered this question in the same post. Along with Agnes, however, Hurricane Camille took a very, almost identical path that Danny took. The storms are similar in that they originated in the Gulf, made landfall in the same area (Camille in Mississippi and Danny in Alabama), and took the same path through the U.S. southeast making "oceanfall" from Virginia. Camille became a tropical storm once again, but I believe it was only a minimum storm. cul8r tim ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 25 Jul 1997 12:16:30 GMT From: Thomas Owens Subject: Re: TEACHERS RESOURCES In article <33D6B000.6576@ecity.net>, johnmc49@ecity.net says... >I'm assembling a meteorology resource list for Iowa teachers. >Everything from instruments to videos and recommended reading. You might want to check out this link, Daphne Thompson at NWS Central Region Headquarters, Scientific Services Division has compiled a K-12 resource list at: http://www.crhnwscr.noaa.gov/edu/msl_intr.html -- Thomas Owens tjo113@psu.edu ======================================================= The World Wide Web Virtual Library: Meteorology http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/WWW_Virtual_Library/ ======================================================= ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 25 Jul 1997 10:31:00 -0500 From: "Padgett, James G." Subject: Re: Danny's Back!!! >---------- >From: Jason Kelley >To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK >Subject: Danny's Back!!! >Date: Thursday, July 24, 1997 3:39PM >Just a quick question, has anybody ever heard of a situation like this >with Danny being reclassified as a TS after being over land for so >long? I've been digging and can't find any such happening before. Hi Jason, Others have already responded to your question and have mentioned Camille and Agnes. One other such system, although not from the Gulf of Mexico, was Hurricane Cleo of 1964. Cleo struck Miami, moved up the FL east coast just inland, and then took an excursion further inland over the Carolinas. Cleo weakened to a depression and was over land for about 3 days. When the center reached the upper North Carolina coast, it immediately reached tropical storm strength again and about 24 hrs later was back up to hurricane force. After re-emerging back over the Atlantic, Cleo's track was further south than Danny's and stayed over the Gulf Stream longer. Gary Padgett padgett@eglin.af.mil ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 25 Jul 1997 11:42:29 -0400 From: Greg Machos Subject: Re: Danny The situation with Danny does sound unusual, but according to meterologists at the Weather Channel, it is not unprecedented. The last time a Gulf Storm came ashore on land, and then remerged in the Atlantic as a tropical system was Hurricane Camille in 1969. However, the fact that Hurricane Camille was a Category # 5 Hurricane makes it a little bit more understandable to why it was able to maintain itself. Meanwhile, in Danny's case, the storm was at best a mild Category One Storm with 80 miles per hour sustained wind speeds. So the fact that Danny re-emerged as a tropical storm is a bit more unusual. Greg Machos http://members.aol.com/hurctrack/HurcTrack.index.html ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 25 Jul 1997 15:59:34 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Danny inland track data? Does anyone have the tracking data for Danny during it's inland trek from the SE to mid-atlantic states? including date, time, lat, long, press (in mb)? This would be from the time after the last warning put out after it moved inland at AL/FL to the time of the first continued warning after it emerged from the VA coast. Thanks, Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman, A.R.S. KB4MHH -\\- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- Home Page URL: http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Permission to use the above info for inclusion in any mailing | | lists, so as to send me ad-mail personally, is NOT granted. | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 25 Jul 1997 18:40:10 CST/CDT From: Fulton County Emergency Services and Disaster Agency Subject: Tornadoes and Hillbillies (humor) Ported from another list: Q: What do a tornado and a hillbilly divorce have in common? A: You know someone's going to lose a trailer! ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 25 Jul 1997 20:42:19 GMT From: Thomas Owens Subject: Lightning Article The new (August) Scientific American has two articles on Lightning that may be of interest to you. One discusses the concept of discharging storm clouds using lasers and the other discusses the associated upper atmosphere phenomena of sprites, jets etc. -- Thomas Owens tjo113@psu.edu ======================================================= The World Wide Web Virtual Library: Meteorology http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/WWW_Virtual_Library/ ======================================================= ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 25 Jul 1997 17:51:03 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: Re: *ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site became a commissioned ASOS site at 1800 UTC today, 25 July, 1997 FORT WORTH ALLIANCE AIRPORT (KAFW) FORT WORTH... TX Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 26 Jul 1997 02:44:00 GMT From: David Jones Subject: Have you ever had a lab teacher who could demonstrate circulation, curl, vorticity and helicity? ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 25 Jul 1997 22:27:34 -0500 From: John Lamb Subject: Odd question *that I should know* I was digging through the soggy METAR archive from Minneapolis/St. Paul and I kept running across the following kinds of data groups in the RMK section. 53017 61005 72043 ... If I remember correctly, the 6xxxx group is the past 3hr rainfall and the 7xxxx is 6hr..but what are the rest of the groups...and am I right on the 6/7 groups? My meterology classes are getting to be a faded memory now....1992 was a long time ago. :) Sign me...building the ark in Minneapolis John - N9KDK john@hockey.net ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 24 Jul 1997 to 25 Jul 1997 ************************************************** From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Jul 27 13:12:08 1997 X-UIDL: d61c28ee58e19d9ca0f7988c87568f1f Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102665-7559>; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 13:11:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA199184; Sun, 27 Jul 1997 00:08:09 -0500 Message-Id: <199707270508.AAA199184@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Jul 1997 00:02:40 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 25 Jul 1997 to 26 Jul 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Status: X-UID: 71 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O There are 4 messages totalling 120 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Odd question *that I should know* (3) 2. Questions on Lightning +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 26 Jul 1997 10:50:52 -0500 From: "Steve M. Kile" Subject: Re: Odd question *that I should know* > > I was digging through the soggy METAR archive from Minneapolis/St. Paul > and I kept running across the following kinds of data groups in the RMK > section. 53017 61005 72043 ... > > If I remember correctly, the 6xxxx group is the past 3hr rainfall and the > 7xxxx is 6hr..but what are the rest of the groups...and am I right on the > 6/7 groups? 6RRRR is 3 and 6-hour precipitation. 7RRRR is 24-hour precipitation amount. 1TTT is 6-hour maximum temperature. 2TTT is 6-hour minimum temperature. 933RRR is water equivalent of snow on ground. 98MMMM is duration of sunshine. 4TTTTTT is 24-hour Max/Min temperature. 5APPP is pressure tendency. 8CCC is synoptic cloud types. -- Steve M. Kile, N0FBL stevek@netcom.com stevek@usinternet.com skile@tc.umn.edu ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 26 Jul 1997 11:25:48 -0500 From: John Lamb Subject: Re: Odd question *that I should know* On Sat, 26 Jul 1997, Steve M. Kile wrote: > > > > I was digging through the soggy METAR archive from Minneapolis/St. Paul > > and I kept running across the following kinds of data groups in the RMK > > section. 53017 61005 72043 ... > > > > If I remember correctly, the 6xxxx group is the past 3hr rainfall and the > > 7xxxx is 6hr..but what are the rest of the groups...and am I right on the > > 6/7 groups? > > 6RRRR is 3 and 6-hour precipitation. > 7RRRR is 24-hour precipitation amount. > 1TTT is 6-hour maximum temperature. > 2TTT is 6-hour minimum temperature. > 933RRR is water equivalent of snow on ground. > 98MMMM is duration of sunshine. > 4TTTTTT is 24-hour Max/Min temperature. > 5APPP is pressure tendency. > 8CCC is synoptic cloud types. That's it! :) Thank you :) Gretting from Minneapolis :) Saw your addresses and had to say hi! John - N9KDK john@hockey.net ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 26 Jul 1997 11:29:27 -0500 From: John Lamb Subject: Re: Odd question *that I should know* OOOPS! That ws obviously supposed to only go to the origianl sender... Don't answer e-mail before coffee. :) Sorry for the wasted bandwidth...gonna head south a couple of hours and see what I can find :) John john@hockey.net Finger me for my PGP key. ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 26 Jul 1997 17:46:04 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Questions on Lightning The following quote is from the book WEATHER (1996, by Burroughs, Crowder, Robertson, Vallier-Talbot, and Whitaker, Time-Life Books, p. 240): "The color of lightning indicates the content of the surrounding air. The flash will appear red if there is rain in the cloud, and blue if there is hail. The presense of a significant amount of dust in the atmosphere will produce yellow lightning. White lightning indicates low humidity; as a result, this is the form of lightning most likely to generate fires on the ground." I didn't know that. Is this correct? Warren Faidley has a photo showing all four of those colors streaming down from one side of a storm cloud. Really beautiful! So then, by the above book, where his lightning was occuring at least, it was raining [oh, my _hair!_], there was also some hail [ouch! hey!], it was a rather dusty day in the vicinity [cough! cough!], and the surrounding air was comparatively lacking in humidity? What studies have been done on this? Thanks, Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman, A.R.S. KB4MHH -\\- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- Home Page URL: http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Permission to use the above info for inclusion in any mailing | | lists, so as to send me ad-mail personally, is NOT granted. | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 25 Jul 1997 to 26 Jul 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Jul 28 22:03:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103240-6064>; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 13:24:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA49152; Mon, 28 Jul 1997 00:05:14 -0500 Message-Id: <199707280505.AAA49152@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Jul 1997 00:00:51 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 26 Jul 1997 to 27 Jul 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 42803bbe920b0d294f515025f56004be X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 7706 Status: O There are 6 messages totalling 165 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Software for Peet Bros. Ultimeter Weather Stations 2. MS-Windows Software for Peet Bros. Ultimeters 3. Danny's Back 4. Danny 5. meteorologist vs. weatherman 6. Lightning +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 27 Jul 1997 07:57:17 -0500 From: steve hajducek Subject: Re: Software for Peet Bros. Ultimeter Weather Stations Attention owners of the Peet Bros. Ultimeter II, 500 and 2000: The MS-Windows DemoMe ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 27 Jul 1997 10:36:38 -0500 From: steve hajducek Subject: Re: MS-Windows Software for Peet Bros. Ultimeters Attention Ultimeter Owners: At http://www.QTH.com/n2ckh.ByteWise.org you will find the newly updated DemoMeter(tm) v1.0.1 software for MS-Windows. This is a FREE program that supports the Ultimeter II, 500 and 2000, which demonstrators a number of features developed for the SkyWarn/2001 software currently under development. The DemoMeter software provides a GUI interface/instrumentation display supporting the Ultimeter II and the Data Logging Mode of the Ultimeter 500 and 2000. The software does NOT save any data, its purpose is only to demonstrate some display features of the Skywarn/2001 software. In addition, anyone interested in beta testing the SkyWarn/2001 software, please submit the on-line beta tester application form found at the bottom of the main page. Thank you. /s/ Steve Hajducek, N2CKH ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 27 Jul 1997 10:03:46 -0500 From: "Russel Madere, Jr." Subject: Re: Danny's Back Tim, you wrote: >Hello, > I hope I'm doing this right. I read this newsletter often but never >reply, but I want to now. Sakabakbrg answered this question in the same >post. Along with Agnes, however, Hurricane Camille took a very, almost >identical path that Danny took. The storms are similar in that they >originated in the Gulf, made landfall in the same area (Camille in >Mississippi and Danny in Alabama), and took the same path through the U.S. >southeast making "oceanfall" from Virginia. Camille became a tropical storm >once again, but I believe it was only a minimum storm. > >cul8r >tim You were close talking about Camille, 69. However, she originated in the North Carribean, not the Gulf. She formed between Puerto Rico and the Yucatan south of Cuba. She did make landfall and ocean fall within 150 miles of where Danny did, but she took a much more northerly route through Kentucky and Virginia while Danny went a little straighter through Georgia. Russel ================================================================= | Russel R. Madere, Jr. | http://www.gnofn.org/~russelm P. O. Box 23010 | russelm@gnofn.org Harahan, LA 70183 | rmadere@praline.no.neosoft.com | ================================================================= ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 27 Jul 1997 22:14:11 -0400 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Re: Danny On Fri, 25 Jul 1997 Greg Machos wrote: > The situation with Danny does sound unusual, but according to meterologists > at the Weather Channel, it is not unprecedented. The last time a Gulf Storm > came ashore on land, and then remerged in the Atlantic as a tropical system > was Hurricane Camille in 1969. However, the fact that Hurricane Camille was > a Category # 5 Hurricane makes it a little bit more understandable to why it > was able to maintain itself. Meanwhile, in Danny's case, the storm was at > best a mild Category One Storm with 80 miles per hour sustained wind speeds. > So the fact that Danny re-emerged as a tropical storm is a bit more unusual. > > Greg Machos > http://members.aol.com/hurctrack/HurcTrack.index.html Apparently, intensity at landfall has *no* bearing as to whether it will last longer than another storm. In a study that was published recently on hurricane decay rates over land, Kaplan and DeMaria (1995, J. Appl. Met) found that tropical storms and hurricanes decay to an average of about 25-30 kt after 24 hours over land regardless of the initial intensity. Once over land, tropical cyclones can maintain a mid-tropospheric circulation for several days - Danny certainly was able to do this. However, usually as the cyclones make landfall over the US, they typically are absorbed and/or transformed into an extratropical system. At and after landfall, Danny was in a region of very weak steering currents and no frontal boundaries. Thus it was able to maintain its identity as a tropical system for a longer period of time. Best regards, chris ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** "I am more afraid of a West Indian hurricane than I am of the entire Spanish Navy." U.S. President McKinley During the Spanish-American War ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 27 Jul 1997 22:43:30 -0500 From: Justin Walters Subject: meteorologist vs. weatherman Question: Should a person who holds a rock and says, "I predict that if I let go of this rock, it will fall to the ground," be labeled a physicist? Or, should a person understand the laws and theories of physics to actually be a physicist? Hence, should a person who can read weather charts be called a meteorologist, or a person who understands the laws and theories of the atmosphere? ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 28 Jul 1997 00:27:05 -0700 From: Stephen Hodanish Subject: Lightning The other day Todd wrote: * "The color of lightning indicates the content of the surrounding air. The *flash will appear red if there is rain in the cloud, and blue if there is *hail. The presense of a significant amount of dust in the atmosphere will *produce yellow lightning. White lightning indicates low humidity; as a *result, this is the form of lightning most likely to generate fires on the *ground." To the best of my knowledge, all of the above is incorrect. In matter of fact, this is the first time I have heard of the lightning indicating the contents of the surrounding air. I have seen lightning appear red in "dusty" situations, otherwise it is typically a bluish white. Living here in Florida, the atmosphere is normally quite humid, especially in summer, and I have never seen "red' lightning. In addition, I believe there is some referreed articles out there that discuss that positive lightning charges cause quite a few of the forest fires which develop every year due to lightning strikes. Stephen Hodanish NWS/MLB Lightning Homepage (soon to be updated) http://sunmlb.nws.fit.edu/newho.html ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 26 Jul 1997 to 27 Jul 1997 ************************************************** From - Tue Jul 29 22:41:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102522-27074>; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 13:19:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA64330; Tue, 29 Jul 1997 00:04:30 -0500 Message-Id: <199707290504.AAA64330@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Jul 1997 00:01:10 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 27 Jul 1997 to 28 Jul 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: dbfe7b61a41c5f86ff1f7fe2f92d11a3 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 6981 Status: OR There are 4 messages totalling 152 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Lectureship at University of Reading, UK 2. TV Met Job available 3. Teachers Weather Resources 4. Lightning +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 28 Jul 1997 08:41:03 +0100 From: Roger Brugge Subject: Lectureship at University of Reading, UK THE UNIVERSITY OF READING DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY LECTURESHIP in METEOROLOGY Applications are invited for a permanent Lectureship in the Department of Meteorology which obtained the top grade 5* in the recent Research Assessment Exercise. The Department has a strong research programme in large-scale dynamics, climate change, regional meteorology, atmospheric chemistry, boundary layer meteorology, and physical oceanography. The new Lecturer will contribute fully to the teaching and research programmes of the Department. Applications from those with research expertise in any area of atmospheric science will be considered, but research in computational fluid dynamics is preferred. Please contact Prof. Alan J. Thorpe to discuss the post (A.J.Thorpe@reading.ac.uk , tel: 0118 931 8957). Application forms can be obtained from the Personnel Office at the University of Reading. The closing date for applications is 5 September, 1997, with a start date of 1 January, 1998. Applicants should have a PhD and, preferably, have several years post-doctoral experience. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 28 Jul 1997 10:22:29 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job available METEOROLOGIST (KRDO) Pikes Peak Broadcasting Company, in Colorado Springs, Colorado is hiring a full-time Weekend Meteorologist/Computer Specialist in the TV News department. Candidate must have a meteorological degree and 1 year on-air experience. Candidate must also have a thorough working knowledge of the INTERNET. If your agency knows of any persons who qualify for this position, please have them send a resume to, or fill out an application at: KRDO, Attn: Human Resources, 399 South 8th Street, Colorado Springs, CO 80905. Please furnish a non-returnable tape and resume. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 28 Jul 1997 12:09:48 -0400 From: James Aman Subject: Teachers Weather Resources On Fri, 25 Jul 1997, Thomas Owens replied to John McLaughlin at KCCI-TV about John's request: >I'm assembling a meteorology resource list for Iowa teachers. >Everything from instruments to videos and recommended reading. Mr Owens might be modest, but his World Wide Web Virtual Library has a good education links list available at: http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/WWW_Virtual_Library/edu.html Some of my own favorites, that I mention a lot during school trainings are: USA Today weather section, which features a lot of easy to understand weather maps; the Weather Channel's homepage, that also has easy to understand maps; and for Middle and High School classes that want more detailed data, such places as Intellicast for radar data and http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/ for other real-time data, and http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/ has a neat hurricane tracking area in their "weather" section, and spectacular polar orbiter satellite pictures in its "satellite" section. Also, our company, Automated Weather Source, now has live, realtime weather observations on the Internet from over 150 points across the nation at: http://www.aws.com/globalwx.html James Aman, meteorologist jaman@aws.com Automated Weather Source http://www.aws.com/ Manager, technical support department ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 28 Jul 1997 07:51:09 GMT From: Brian Curran Subject: Re: Lightning On Mon, 28 Jul 1997 00:27:05 -0700, Stephen Hodanish wrote: >The other day Todd wrote: > > >* "The color of lightning indicates the content of the surrounding air. The >*flash will appear red if there is rain in the cloud, and blue if there is >*hail. The presense of a significant amount of dust in the atmosphere will >*produce yellow lightning. White lightning indicates low humidity; as a >*result, this is the form of lightning most likely to generate fires on the >*ground." > >To the best of my knowledge, all of the above is incorrect. In matter of fact, > this is >the first time I have heard of the lightning indicating the contents of the > surrounding >air. I have seen lightning appear red in "dusty" situations, otherwise it is > typically a >bluish white. Also, distance from flash to observer has something to do with it. Generally speaking, the flash appears to be "redder" with distance. >Living here in Florida, the atmosphere is normally quite humid, especially in > summer, >and I have never seen "red' lightning. In addition, I believe there is some > referreed >articles out there that discuss that positive lightning charges cause quite a > few of the >forest fires which develop every year due to lightning strikes. I've seen reddish lightning, but usually from a distance, say more than 20 miles. Has something to do with scattering. A red tint may be seen in lightning photographs, usually due to reciprocity failure of the film. I understand you can compensate through use of a magenta CC filter or a tungsten-balanced film. I also remember the positive CG article...I'll post the reference after I go through my papers at my (unnamed) place of employ. I understand that positive ground flashes occasionally are in contact with ground for a "longer" period of time (on the order of tens of ms) than their negative cousins. This "continuous current" can raise temperatures of the target to ignition. >Stephen Hodanish >NWS/MLB >Lightning Homepage (soon to be updated) http://sunmlb.nws.fit.edu/newho.html bc -- Brian Curran ebcurran@flash.net I speak for myself only. See the First Amendment for details. In the end, there can be only one. And you're reading his signature... ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 27 Jul 1997 to 28 Jul 1997 ************************************************** From - Thu Jul 31 10:00:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102584-18385>; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 13:37:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA38532; Wed, 30 Jul 1997 00:06:40 -0500 Message-Id: <199707300506.AAA38532@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Jul 1997 00:00:00 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 28 Jul 1997 to 29 Jul 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: f4a4a15d3dd5fc823f66316ac33f093d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 23323 Status: OR There are 7 messages totalling 549 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Sun Sentinel front cover NWS article 2. Lightning Strikes 3. NWS Lubbock home page down 4. Lightning 5. TV Weather Jobs Available 6. Job: Met/Ocean/Phys Sci (Fed Govt) 7. Review of online weather companies with radar +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 29 Jul 1997 01:16:13 -0400 From: Glenn Lader Subject: Sun Sentinel front cover NWS article Posted: Monday, July 28, 1997 at 1:17 AM Storm brewing over layoffs at weather service By MICHAEL CABBAGE Staff Writer National Weather Service employees are getting pink slips. National Marine Fisheries Service employees are getting a new $15 million lab in California. These seemingly unrelated bits of federal spending soon could provoke a budget brouhaha in Washington between meteorologists at the National Weather Service and policymakers at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, parent agency of the weather service. Check out the rest of the article at http://www.sun-sentinel.com/daily/5624.htm -Glenn Lader ------------------- Glenn Lader culader@li.net Smithtown, NY ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 29 Jul 1997 08:36:07 +0000 From: Howard Altschule Subject: Re: Lightning Strikes Brian wrote: > I understand that positive ground flashes occasionally are in contact >with ground for a "longer" period of time (on the order of tens of ms) >than their negative cousins. This "continuous current" can raise >temperatures of the target to ignition. ....Actually, I believe that this is false. I have done some checking around on this topic since I do work both as a meteorologist and occasioanally as a fire investigator. Here's what I have found: It is my understanding that positive CG lightning, or "cold" lightning, is shorter lived compared to the negative CG strike. When a house (for Instance) is struck by lightning, it is more likely that there is an explosion-like effect that does damage to the house, without normally causing a fire. This is because there is less time that the lightning has to heat up the structure (or roof). Also, a negative CG strike lasts longer and heats up the structure (roof) to the point where it ignites. This negative strike, hence longer heating, is what normally causes house fires. I have worked several house fires resulting from CG strikes where the damage has ranged from a hole in the roof with no fire, to a fully engulfed structure fire. Next time, I will check with the NLDN folks to confirm that what I understand is in fact correct. Just my $0.02. Regards, Howie Altschule HAltschule@worldnet.att.net ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 29 Jul 1997 08:12:38 -0500 From: Bruce Haynie Subject: NWS Lubbock home page down Howdy Folks: Just wanted to let those users of the NWS Lubbock home page (http://dryline.nws.noaa.gov) know that it will be down at least until this evening... due to OS upgrades. Hopefully, everything will be back up and running by this evening. Regards, Bruce ---------------- Bruce Haynie N5WRA kbhaynie@flash.net Information System Specialist kbhayni@why.net Lubbock, TX **Standard Disclaimer** http://www.why.net/users/kbhayni "Those who live by the extended models shall also die by the extended models." ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 29 Jul 1997 09:52:39 -0400 From: jared kaplan Subject: Re: Lightning I dont know about all these color things, but it would be nice to actually see some lightning in eastern MA. Jared On Tue, 29 Jul 1997, Automatic digest processor wrote: > There are 4 messages totalling 152 lines in this issue. > > Topics of the day: > > 1. Lectureship at University of Reading, UK > 2. TV Met Job available > 3. Teachers Weather Resources > 4. Lightning > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > > ---------------------------------------------------------------------- > > Date: Mon, 28 Jul 1997 08:41:03 +0100 > From: Roger Brugge > Subject: Lectureship at University of Reading, UK > > THE UNIVERSITY OF READING > DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY > > LECTURESHIP in METEOROLOGY > > Applications are invited for a permanent Lectureship in the Department > of > Meteorology which obtained the top grade 5* in the recent Research > Assessment Exercise. The Department has a strong research programme in > large-scale dynamics, climate change, regional meteorology, atmospheric > chemistry, boundary layer meteorology, and physical oceanography. The > new Lecturer will contribute fully to the teaching and research > programmes of the Department. Applications from those with research > expertise in any area of atmospheric science will be considered, but > research in computational fluid dynamics is preferred. > > Please contact Prof. Alan J. Thorpe to discuss the post > (A.J.Thorpe@reading.ac.uk , tel: 0118 931 8957). Application forms can > be obtained from the Personnel Office at the University of Reading. > The > closing date for applications is 5 September, 1997, with a start date of > 1 January, 1998. > > Applicants should have a PhD and, preferably, have several years > post-doctoral experience. > > ------------------------------ > > Date: Mon, 28 Jul 1997 10:22:29 -0500 > From: Chris Novy > Subject: TV Met Job available > > METEOROLOGIST (KRDO) > Pikes Peak Broadcasting Company, in Colorado Springs, Colorado is > hiring a full-time Weekend Meteorologist/Computer Specialist in the TV > News department. Candidate must have a meteorological degree and 1 > year on-air experience. Candidate must also have a thorough working > knowledge of the INTERNET. If your agency knows of any persons who > qualify for this position, please have them send a resume to, or fill > out an application at: KRDO, Attn: Human Resources, 399 South 8th > Street, Colorado Springs, CO 80905. Please furnish a non-returnable > tape and resume. > > *====================================================================* > Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu > Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu > Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) > Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) > Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 > *====================================================================* > > ------------------------------ > > Date: Mon, 28 Jul 1997 12:09:48 -0400 > From: James Aman > Subject: Teachers Weather Resources > > On Fri, 25 Jul 1997, Thomas Owens > replied to John McLaughlin at KCCI-TV > about John's request: > >I'm assembling a meteorology resource list for Iowa teachers. > >Everything from instruments to videos and recommended reading. > > Mr Owens might be modest, but his World Wide Web > Virtual Library has a good education links list available at: > http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/WWW_Virtual_Library/edu.html > > Some of my own favorites, that I mention a lot during > school trainings are: USA Today weather section, which features > a lot of easy to understand weather maps; the Weather Channel's > homepage, that also has easy to understand maps; and for Middle > and High School classes that want more detailed data, such places > as Intellicast for radar data and http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/ > for other real-time data, and http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/ has a neat > hurricane tracking area in their "weather" section, and spectacular > polar orbiter satellite pictures in its "satellite" section. Also, our > company, Automated Weather Source, now has live, realtime > weather observations on the Internet from over 150 points across > the nation at: http://www.aws.com/globalwx.html > > James Aman, meteorologist jaman@aws.com > Automated Weather Source http://www.aws.com/ > Manager, technical support department > > ------------------------------ > > Date: Mon, 28 Jul 1997 07:51:09 GMT > From: Brian Curran > Subject: Re: Lightning > > On Mon, 28 Jul 1997 00:27:05 -0700, Stephen Hodanish > wrote: > > >The other day Todd wrote: > > > > > >* "The color of lightning indicates the content of the surrounding air. The > >*flash will appear red if there is rain in the cloud, and blue if there is > >*hail. The presense of a significant amount of dust in the atmosphere will > >*produce yellow lightning. White lightning indicates low humidity; as a > >*result, this is the form of lightning most likely to generate fires on the > >*ground." > > > >To the best of my knowledge, all of the above is incorrect. In matter of fact, > > this is > >the first time I have heard of the lightning indicating the contents of the > > surrounding > >air. I have seen lightning appear red in "dusty" situations, otherwise it is > > typically a > >bluish white. > > Also, distance from flash to observer has something to do with it. > Generally speaking, the flash appears to be "redder" with distance. > > >Living here in Florida, the atmosphere is normally quite humid, especially in > > summer, > >and I have never seen "red' lightning. In addition, I believe there is some > > referreed > >articles out there that discuss that positive lightning charges cause quite a > > few of the > >forest fires which develop every year due to lightning strikes. > > I've seen reddish lightning, but usually from a distance, say more > than 20 miles. Has something to do with scattering. A red tint may > be seen in lightning photographs, usually due to reciprocity failure > of the film. I understand you can compensate through use of a magenta > CC filter or a tungsten-balanced film. > > I also remember the positive CG article...I'll post the reference > after I go through my papers at my (unnamed) place of employ. I > understand that positive ground flashes occasionally are in contact > with ground for a "longer" period of time (on the order of tens of ms) > than their negative cousins. This "continuous current" can raise > temperatures of the target to ignition. > > >Stephen Hodanish > >NWS/MLB > >Lightning Homepage (soon to be updated) http://sunmlb.nws.fit.edu/newho.html > > > bc > -- > Brian Curran ebcurran@flash.net > I speak for myself only. See the First Amendment for details. > In the end, there can be only one. And you're reading his signature... > > ------------------------------ > > End of WX-TALK Digest - 27 Jul 1997 to 28 Jul 1997 > ************************************************** > ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 29 Jul 1997 09:32:45 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Weather Jobs Available WEATHER (KOMO) Have what it takes to join KOMO-TV? Full or part time opportunities being considered now. Tape and resume to: Weather c/o Della Kostelnik KOMO-TV News 100 Fourth Ave. North Seattle, WA 98109 METEOROLOGIST/REPORTER (WJXT-TV) The CBS affiliate in Jacksonville is looking for a meteorologist who can also co-anchor a new weekend morning newscast and report during the week. Candidates must be very familiar and at ease with the latest technology and preferably have an AMS seal. We're looking for someone who is ready to take the step to a larger market and take on an exciting new challenge. This is a unique opportunity at a station that has a history of excellence. If you're the right person, send your tape and resume to Mike Stutz, News Director, WJXT-TV, 4 Broadcast Place, Jacksonville, Florida 32247. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 29 Jul 1997 09:40:24 -0800 From: Jeffrey Logan Subject: Job: Met/Ocean/Phys Sci (Fed Govt) Only apply if you seek a tempered climate. Some might call the weather here delightful...others boring. Definitely avoid this area if you crave thunderstorms! What it is: Physical Scientist/Meteorologist/Oceanographer GS 09/11/12 ($31k - $58k / year) Where it is: Fleet Numerical Meteorology & Oceanography Center, Navy Monterey, California What to do: Work on the front lines by developing/maintaining software that decodes and tallies incoming meteorological data for use in numerical models. Systems: Unix (Solaris), Cray Unicos Languages: Fortran, C, Ada, Korn Shell Note: Must be a US citizen. For more information: http://web.nps.navy.mil/~hro/97de048.htm /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\ | Jeffrey D Logan loganj@fnoc.navy.mil Monterey, CA | |FNMOC - Data Dept (408)656-4463 (408)656-4489 (fax)| \/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 29 Jul 1997 23:33:12 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Review of online weather companies with radar Hello all, I decided some time ago to do a review of commercial weather firms subscriptions that offer radar and other weather data, and who would benefit most from it. Tonight is a slow night for me, so I decided to put it in writing. I will divide users into these categories: Chasers, spotters, emergency managers, weather enthusiasts. I used the following criteria: Spotters: Basically just current radar, satellite photo, forecast, severe weather watches. Current weather maps are a bonus. Chasers: Tons of current and forecast maps, and analysis data (upper air, surface). Satellite and current radar composites needed once out in the field, but of secondary importance compared to first items. Emergency managers: Current radar most important, severe weather statements, watches and warnings; text based forecasts and severe weather outlook and precipitation forecasts. Weather enthusiasts: Current surface and upper air charts; much like a chaser, BUT less technical. I will give a letter grade for each user, as to how useful the site would be: A=outstanding B=very good C=OK D=fair F=stinks All have excellent reliability. Here we go: American Weather Concepts: URL http://www.weatherconcepts.com Cost: $5/month basic service (everything but live NEXRAD), $8/month includes near-real-time NEXRAD base reflectivity (Discounts may be given to those in the future who pay by credit card) Although they were one of the first firms on the web to offer subscription weather data, their main attraction is near-real-time NEXRAD images updated every 15 minutes. However, they also have 4 KM (apparent) resolution composite imagery from every area of the US updated every 15 minutes, satellite pix updated every 30 minutes (visible, very nice, as well as IR) as well as Asia and the Pacific ocean. They offer the latest zone forecasts, watches and warnings; estimated rainfall composite images over the last 24 hours; surface plots and contours; hurricane tracking maps, 5 day forecast maps, severe weather outlook and lifted index forecasts. You can loop most satellite and radar imagery too without special software. The site is well organized, and although the best satellite images free on the 'net are somewhat better, these are still very nicely done. Spotter: A Emergency manager: A- Weather enthusiast: C- Chaser: D Weatherbank, Inc. URL http://www.weatherbank.com Cost: $14.95/month Weatherbank offers a wide variety of maps and services. They offer satellite pictures (nice looking but only update once an hour if that), which were disappointing. Radar images are only composites, and updated every 15 minutes. However, they are delayed to the 'net an additional 10 minutes, which is odd. Textual data consists of everything from the Family of Services feeds, very nicely laid out. Lightning images are updated quickly as well, and is the only site which offers them. Golf courses would find this to be a nice feature. The site offers many DiFAX maps as well with an excellent layout, plus ECMWF, MRF and NGM model maps from WSI which update timely. Also, special weather maps, including a 24 hour forecast precipitation map are useful. This site would be better if only the satellite pictures and radar would be more timely. I knocked the grade down almost 2 full letters for spotters and EM's for this reason alone. Spotter: C Emergency manager: C+ (Give it a "B" if you need lightning strike data) Weather enthusiast: B+ Chaser: B- DTN Weather Center: URL http://www.dtn.com Cost: $98/month (reviewed 1/97) DTN gets its products from Kavouras, and there is a boatload of stuff on here. No doppler radar images, but a 1 KM, 48 color (delineates precip from snow, mix, all rain) composite updated very timely every 15 minutes makes up for the lack of doppler data. And, live radar composites from Canada, too! Worldwide satellite pix you can also zoom in on. Furthermore, you can zoom in on any radar or satellite image up to 64 times, create your own sectors, and customize a "quick menu". Easy-to-understand surface and upper air maps, live NOAA weather wire feed for up to the second watches, warnings and statements, forecasts out to 7 days for hundreds of sites, lightning data and much more. However, model data is generally unavailable, as well as other stuff chasers need such as SKEWT's. Raw METARs are available. Otherwise, literally thousands of maps and products will keep you busy looking at stuff, and way too many to describe in one report. Textual data is not great, but adequate. This is a big favorite for farmers and travelers, as the system (in limited form) appears at every single rest stop on the Iowa Interstate road system. Sadly, the cost is prohibitive for most everyone. Spotter: A Emergency manager: A+ Weather enthusiast: A+ Chaser: C- Freese-Notis Weather, Inc. URL http://www.weather.net Cost: $9.95/month They have the most current ones on the 'net: Base refelectivity and velocity images updated as the data comes in (usually every 6 minutes when precip is on the radar). They even throw in the storm total precipitation as well, updated in real time. Also, national, regional and state composites also update timely every 15 minutes as well, with apparent excellent 1 KM resolution. They also offer the 5 day outlook for each county from the NWS, with a clickable map. No watches or warnings are given yet, or any other text products. Spotter: A Emergency manager: B- Weather enthusiast: C- Chaser: D Accu-Weather URL http://www.accuweather.com Cost: Personal AccuWeather-Free, for now; NEXRAD subscription: $69/month for all products I haven't seen the NEXRAD subscription, so I can't comment. The personal AccuWeather gives you a 6 minute update on your local doppler radar plus 15 minute updates on composites. Both are only 6 color, however; I like the 16 color images more, but I didn't knock down the grade for that. They also have a current national and regional Infrared satellite, updated once an hour. 48 hour forecast maps, severe weather outlook, 7 day forecast, watches, warnings and advisories for your area, current conditions and a few more. Spotter: A Emergency manager: B- Weather enthusiast: C Chaser: D -------------------------------------------------------------------------- If you are looking for suggestions, well, here are a few. Chasers should go with Weatherbank for all their general forecasting needs. However, they don't have SKEWT's, a major bummer, which knocked their grade down. Spotters who want to see current radar at work or home to check things out have lots of very nice choices. American Weather Concepts and Freese-Notis are so close, it's up to the spotter if he/she wants the other goodies from AWC, or just radar. For just radar, Freese-Notis and AccuWeather updates somewhat more timely than AWC, but all do a respectable job. EM's, no doubt: DTN blows everyone else out of the water. The only one close is American Weather Concepts. I think the only reason I gave AWC a "-" on their "A" was that they don't offer 48 color radar imagery, which makes it very useful in winter for EM's to see what's coming their way in terms of precipitation type; for EM's, many of the maps are overkill on DTN. However, if you just use it for spring/summer severe weather use, AWC is the way to go. For most, it will be the only way to go anyway, as DTN is prohibitively expensive. Weather enthusiasts: Well, DTN again is in the stratosphere in the rankings, but only if your dad is Nelson Rockefeller will you see any of their products. The next up is Weatherbank, and they do a very good job at providing weather maps to keep 'em playing for hours and hours on the system. Notice that not one company got an "A" for chasers. An A rating would be for WXP's site (http://wxp.atms.purdue.edu), and Greg Thompson's NCAR weather page (http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/). But of course, they are non-commercial (IE, free, which makes it even better! :-) ). My opinions only, and they may be exactly what you paid for them! I will say I have tried all of these services (except Accu-Weather NEXRAD), so I do believe I have a strong basis for these opinions. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 28 Jul 1997 to 29 Jul 1997 ************************************************** From - Thu Jul 31 14:31:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102386-9576>; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 13:39:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA208336; Thu, 31 Jul 1997 00:07:17 -0500 Message-Id: <199707310507.AAA208336@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 31 Jul 1997 00:02:46 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 29 Jul 1997 to 30 Jul 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 69f03d25c99b59291e578a9470fe39be X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 25779 Status: OR There are 5 messages totalling 583 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. UPDATED INFO: Review of online weather companies with radar (2) 2. NWS Family of Services message 3. Danny and TD-5 Tracking Data 4. Cold Funnel and/or Water Spout +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 30 Jul 1997 11:27:07 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: UPDATED INFO: Review of online weather companies with radar We have an update and a correction to one of the products I reviewed. I was incorrectly told that the DTN Weather Center Online was $98 a month for the service. For the online service, the $68 basic fee is not applicable. Therefore, annual orders are *$30* per month, and if paid on a monthly basis, it is *$35* per month. I apologize for any inconvenience this caused. This does not change any of their grades but obviously now is an incredible value. Thanks to several who pointed that out. ---Gilbert Hello all, I decided some time ago to do a review of commercial weather firms subscriptions that offer radar and other weather data, and who would benefit most from it. Tonight is a slow night for me, so I decided to put it in writing. I will divide users into these categories: Chasers, spotters, emergency managers, weather enthusiasts. I used the following criteria: Spotters: Basically just current radar, satellite photo, forecast, severe weather watches. Current weather maps are a bonus. Chasers: Tons of current and forecast maps, and analysis data (upper air, surface). Satellite and current radar composites needed once out in the field, but of secondary importance compared to first items. Emergency managers: Current radar most important, severe weather statements, watches and warnings; text based forecasts and severe weather outlook and precipitation forecasts. Weather enthusiasts: Current surface and upper air charts; much like a chaser, BUT less technical. I will give a letter grade for each user, as to how useful the site would be: A=outstanding B=very good C=OK D=fair F=stinks All have excellent reliability. Here we go: American Weather Concepts: URL http://www.weatherconcepts.com Cost: $5/month basic service (everything but live NEXRAD), $8/month includes near-real-time NEXRAD base reflectivity (Discounts may be given to those in the future who pay by credit card) Although they were one of the first firms on the web to offer subscription weather data, their main attraction is near-real-time NEXRAD images updated every 15 minutes. However, they also have 4 KM (apparent) resolution composite imagery from every area of the US updated every 15 minutes, satellite pix updated every 30 minutes (visible, very nice, as well as IR) as well as Asia and the Pacific ocean. They offer the latest zone forecasts, watches and warnings; estimated rainfall composite images over the last 24 hours; surface plots and contours; hurricane tracking maps, 5 day forecast maps, severe weather outlook and lifted index forecasts. You can loop most satellite and radar imagery too without special software. The site is well organized, and although the best satellite images free on the 'net are somewhat better, these are still very nicely done. Spotter: A Emergency manager: A- Weather enthusiast: C- Chaser: D Weatherbank, Inc. URL http://www.weatherbank.com Cost: $14.95/month Weatherbank offers a wide variety of maps and services. They offer satellite pictures (nice looking but only update once an hour if that), which were disappointing. Radar images are only composites, and updated every 15 minutes. However, they are delayed to the 'net an additional 10 minutes, which is odd. Textual data consists of everything from the Family of Services feeds, very nicely laid out. Lightning images are updated quickly as well, and is the only site which offers them. Golf courses would find this to be a nice feature. The site offers many DiFAX maps as well with an excellent layout, plus ECMWF, MRF and NGM model maps from WSI which update timely. Also, special weather maps, including a 24 hour forecast precipitation map are useful. This site would be better if only the satellite pictures and radar would be more timely. I knocked the grade down almost 2 full letters for spotters and EM's for this reason alone. Spotter: C Emergency manager: C+ (Give it a "B" if you need lightning strike data) Weather enthusiast: B+ Chaser: B- DTN Weather Center: URL http://www.dtn.com Cost: $30/month if prepaid annually, $35/month if paid by month (reviewed 1/97) DTN gets its products from Kavouras, and there is a boatload of stuff on here. No doppler radar images, but a 1 KM, 48 color (delineates precip from snow, mix, all rain) composite updated very timely every 15 minutes makes up for the lack of doppler data. And, live radar composites from Canada, too! Worldwide satellite pix you can also zoom in on. Furthermore, you can zoom in on any radar or satellite image up to 64 times, create your own sectors, and customize a "quick menu". Easy-to-understand surface and upper air maps, live NOAA weather wire feed for up to the second watches, warnings and statements, forecasts out to 7 days for hundreds of sites, lightning data and much more. However, model data is generally unavailable, as well as other stuff chasers need such as SKEWT's. Raw METARs are available. Otherwise, literally thousands of maps and products will keep you busy looking at stuff, and way too many to describe in one report. Textual data is not great, but adequate. This is a big favorite for farmers and travelers, as the system (in limited form) appears at every single rest stop on the Iowa Interstate road system. And the pricing is excellent for what you get. Spotter: A Emergency manager: A+ Weather enthusiast: A+ Chaser: C- Freese-Notis Weather, Inc. URL http://www.weather.net Cost: $9.95/month They have the most current ones on the 'net: Base refelectivity and velocity images updated as the data comes in (usually every 6 minutes when precip is on the radar). They even throw in the storm total precipitation as well, updated in real time. Also, national, regional and state composites also update timely every 15 minutes as well, with apparent excellent 1 KM resolution. They also offer the 5 day outlook for each county from the NWS, with a clickable map. No watches or warnings are given yet, or any other text products. Spotter: A Emergency manager: B- Weather enthusiast: C- Chaser: D Accu-Weather URL http://www.accuweather.com Cost: Personal AccuWeather-Free, for now; NEXRAD subscription: $69/month for all products I haven't seen the NEXRAD subscription, so I can't comment. The personal AccuWeather gives you a 6 minute update on your local doppler radar plus 15 minute updates on composites. Both are only 6 color, however; I like the 16 color images more, but I didn't knock down the grade for that. They also have a current national and regional Infrared satellite, updated once an hour. 48 hour forecast maps, severe weather outlook, 7 day forecast, watches, warnings and advisories for your area, current conditions and a few more. Spotter: A Emergency manager: B- Weather enthusiast: C Chaser: D -------------------------------------------------------------------------- If you are looking for suggestions, well, here are a few. Chasers should go with Weatherbank for all their general forecasting needs. However, they don't have SKEWT's, a major bummer, which knocked their grade down. Spotters who want to see current radar at work or home to check things out have lots of very nice choices. American Weather Concepts and Freese-Notis are so close, it's up to the spotter if he/she wants the other goodies from AWC, or just radar. For just radar, Freese-Notis and AccuWeather updates somewhat more timely than AWC, but all do a respectable job. EM's, no doubt: DTN blows everyone else out of the water. The only one close is American Weather Concepts. I think the only reason I gave AWC a "-" on their "A" was that they don't offer 48 color radar imagery, which makes it very useful in winter for EM's to see what's coming their way in terms of precipitation type; for EM's, many of the maps are overkill on DTN. However, if you just use it for spring/summer severe weather use, AWC is the way to go. For most, it will be the only way to go anyway, as DTN is prohibitively expensive. Weather enthusiasts: Well, DTN again is in the stratosphere in the rankings, but the fee is somewhat higher than the other vendors. The next up is Weatherbank, and they do a very good job at providing weather maps to keep 'em playing for hours and hours on the system. Notice that not one company got an "A" for chasers. An A rating would be for WXP's site (http://wxp.atms.purdue.edu), and Greg Thompson's NCAR weather page (http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/). But of course, they are non-commercial (IE, free, which makes it even better! :-) ). My opinions only, and they may be exactly what you paid for them! I will say I have tried all of these services (except Accu-Weather NEXRAD), so I do believe I have a strong basis for these opinions. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 30 Jul 1997 11:47:18 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: UPDATED INFO: Review of online weather companies with radar We have an update and a correction to one of the products I reviewed. I was incorrectly told that the DTN Weather Center Online was $98 a month for the service. For the online service, the $68 basic fee is not applicable. Therefore, annual orders are *$30* per month, and if paid on a monthly basis, it is *$35* per month. I apologize for any inconvenience this caused. This does not change any of their grades but obviously now is an incredible value. Thanks to several who pointed that out. ---Gilbert Hello all, I decided some time ago to do a review of commercial weather firms subscriptions that offer radar and other weather data, and who would benefit most from it. Tonight is a slow night for me, so I decided to put it in writing. I will divide users into these categories: Chasers, spotters, emergency managers, weather enthusiasts. I used the following criteria: Spotters: Basically just current radar, satellite photo, forecast, severe weather watches. Current weather maps are a bonus. Chasers: Tons of current and forecast maps, and analysis data (upper air, surface). Satellite and current radar composites needed once out in the field, but of secondary importance compared to first items. Emergency managers: Current radar most important, severe weather statements, watches and warnings; text based forecasts and severe weather outlook and precipitation forecasts. Weather enthusiasts: Current surface and upper air charts; much like a chaser, BUT less technical. I will give a letter grade for each user, as to how useful the site would be: A=outstanding B=very good C=OK D=fair F=stinks All have excellent reliability. Here we go: American Weather Concepts: URL http://www.weatherconcepts.com Cost: $5/month basic service (everything but live NEXRAD), $8/month includes near-real-time NEXRAD base reflectivity (Discounts may be given to those in the future who pay by credit card) Although they were one of the first firms on the web to offer subscription weather data, their main attraction is near-real-time NEXRAD images updated every 15 minutes. However, they also have 4 KM (apparent) resolution composite imagery from every area of the US updated every 15 minutes, satellite pix updated every 30 minutes (visible, very nice, as well as IR) as well as Asia and the Pacific ocean. They offer the latest zone forecasts, watches and warnings; estimated rainfall composite images over the last 24 hours; surface plots and contours; hurricane tracking maps, 5 day forecast maps, severe weather outlook and lifted index forecasts. You can loop most satellite and radar imagery too without special software. The site is well organized, and although the best satellite images free on the 'net are somewhat better, these are still very nicely done. Spotter: A Emergency manager: A- Weather enthusiast: C- Chaser: D Weatherbank, Inc. URL http://www.weatherbank.com Cost: $14.95/month Weatherbank offers a wide variety of maps and services. They offer satellite pictures (nice looking but only update once an hour if that), which were disappointing. Radar images are only composites, and updated every 15 minutes. However, they are delayed to the 'net an additional 10 minutes, which is odd. Textual data consists of everything from the Family of Services feeds, very nicely laid out. Lightning images are updated quickly as well, and is the only site which offers them. Golf courses would find this to be a nice feature. The site offers many DiFAX maps as well with an excellent layout, plus ECMWF, MRF and NGM model maps from WSI which update timely. Also, special weather maps, including a 24 hour forecast precipitation map are useful. This site would be better if only the satellite pictures and radar would be more timely. I knocked the grade down almost 2 full letters for spotters and EM's for this reason alone. Spotter: C Emergency manager: C+ (Give it a "B" if you need lightning strike data) Weather enthusiast: B+ Chaser: B- DTN Weather Center: URL http://www.dtn.com Cost: $30/month if prepaid annually, $35/month if paid by month (reviewed 1/97) DTN gets its products from Kavouras, and there is a boatload of stuff on here. No doppler radar images, but a 1 KM, 48 color (delineates precip from snow, mix, all rain) composite updated very timely every 15 minutes makes up for the lack of doppler data. And, live radar composites from Canada, too! Worldwide satellite pix you can also zoom in on. Furthermore, you can zoom in on any radar or satellite image up to 64 times, create your own sectors, and customize a "quick menu". Easy-to-understand surface and upper air maps, live NOAA weather wire feed for up to the second watches, warnings and statements, forecasts out to 7 days for hundreds of sites, lightning data and much more. However, model data is generally unavailable, as well as other stuff chasers need such as SKEWT's. Raw METARs are available. Otherwise, literally thousands of maps and products will keep you busy looking at stuff, and way too many to describe in one report. Textual data is not great, but adequate. This is a big favorite for farmers and travelers, as the system (in limited form) appears at every single rest stop on the Iowa Interstate road system. And the pricing is excellent for what you get. Spotter: A Emergency manager: A+ Weather enthusiast: A+ Chaser: C- Freese-Notis Weather, Inc. URL http://www.weather.net Cost: $9.95/month They have the most current ones on the 'net: Base refelectivity and velocity images updated as the data comes in (usually every 6 minutes when precip is on the radar). They even throw in the storm total precipitation as well, updated in real time. Also, national, regional and state composites also update timely every 15 minutes as well, with apparent excellent 1 KM resolution. They also offer the 5 day outlook for each county from the NWS, with a clickable map. No watches or warnings are given yet, or any other text products. Spotter: A Emergency manager: B- Weather enthusiast: C- Chaser: D Accu-Weather URL http://www.accuweather.com Cost: Personal AccuWeather-Free, for now; NEXRAD subscription: $69/month for all products I haven't seen the NEXRAD subscription, so I can't comment. The personal AccuWeather gives you a 6 minute update on your local doppler radar plus 15 minute updates on composites. Both are only 6 color, however; I like the 16 color images more, but I didn't knock down the grade for that. They also have a current national and regional Infrared satellite, updated once an hour. 48 hour forecast maps, severe weather outlook, 7 day forecast, watches, warnings and advisories for your area, current conditions and a few more. Spotter: A Emergency manager: B- Weather enthusiast: C Chaser: D -------------------------------------------------------------------------- If you are looking for suggestions, well, here are a few. Chasers should go with Weatherbank for all their general forecasting needs. However, they don't have SKEWT's, a major bummer, which knocked their grade down. Spotters who want to see current radar at work or home to check things out have lots of very nice choices. American Weather Concepts and Freese-Notis are so close, it's up to the spotter if he/she wants the other goodies from AWC, or just radar. For just radar, Freese-Notis and AccuWeather updates somewhat more timely than AWC, but all do a respectable job. EM's, no doubt: DTN blows everyone else out of the water. The only one close is American Weather Concepts. I think the only reason I gave AWC a "-" on their "A" was that they don't offer 48 color radar imagery, which makes it very useful in winter for EM's to see what's coming their way in terms of precipitation type; for EM's, some of the maps are overkill on DTN. However, if you just use it for spring/summer severe weather use, AWC may be the way to go. Weather enthusiasts: Well, DTN again is in the stratosphere in the rankings, but the fee is somewhat higher than the other vendors. The next up is Weatherbank, and they do a very good job at providing weather maps to keep 'em playing for hours and hours on the system. Notice that not one company got an "A" for chasers. An A rating would be for WXP's site (http://wxp.atms.purdue.edu), and Greg Thompson's NCAR weather page (http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/). But of course, they are non-commercial (IE, free, which makes it even better! :-) ). My opinions only, and they may be exactly what you paid for them! I will say I have tried all of these services (except Accu-Weather NEXRAD), so I do believe I have a strong basis for these opinions. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 30 Jul 1997 14:57:27 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: NWS Family of Services message For users of the ETA and MESO-ETA models... Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* PNSNMC NATIONAL TECHNICAL IMPLEMENTATION MESSAGE 97-25...CORRECTION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS WASHINGTON DC 115 PM EDT WED JUL 30 1997 TO: NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE /NWS/ EMPLOYEES...OTHER NWS CUSTOMERS WHO RECEIVE NWS MODEL OUTPUT FROM: ROBERT REEVES...SCIENCE DIVISION OFFICE OF METEOROLOGY SUBJECT: CHANGES TO THE OPERATIONAL "EARLY" AND MESO ETA MODELS EFFECTIVE AS OF JULY 29 1997 ...CORRECTION IN SECTION 3 FOR GAYLORD MI /NOT ME/. ALL OTHER INFORMATION REMAINS THE SAME... AT 1200 UTC 29 JULY 1997 A SERIES OF CHANGES TO THE POST-PROCESSED OUTPUT FROM THE OPERATIONAL EARLY /48KM/38LEVS/ AND MESO /29KM/50LEV/ ETA WERE IMPLEMENTED. A BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF EACH CHANGE FOLLOWS: 1/ FOUS60-FOUS78 OUTPUT - THE T3 AND T5 VALUES IN THE ETA FOUS60-78 MESSAGES WERE CORRECTED TO TO REFLECT TEMPERATURES AT APPROXIMATELY THE SAME PRESSURE LEVEL ABOVE THE MODEL TERRAIN AS THOSE FROM THE NGM FOUS. FOR EXAMPLE...T5 FOR THE NGM FOUS IS THE TEMPERATURE AT SIGMA=.7848...WHICH IS ABOUT 215 MB ABOVE THE MODEL SURFACE. IN THE PREVIOUS VERSION OF THE ETA MODEL...T5 WAS THE TEMPERATURE AT 120-150 MB ABOVE THE MODEL TERRAIN. THE T3 TEMPERATURE IN THE NGM FOUS IS AT SIGMA=.8967...ABOUT 100 MB ABOVE THE MODEL SURFACE. IN THE ETA FOUS T3 WAS THE TEMPERATURE AT 60-90 MB ABOVE THE MODEL SURFACE. 2/ GRIDDED OUTPUT - THE CODES WHICH COMPUTE TROPOPAUSE HEIGHT HAVE BEEN MODIFIED TO CONFORM TO THE WMO DEFINITION OF THE TROPOPAUSE HEIGHT. - AN ERROR IN THE COMPUTATION OF CLOUD WATER ON PRESSURE SURFACES IN THE EARLY ETA WAS CORRECTED. 3/ HOURLY STATION PROFILE OUTPUT - THE STATION LIST USED FOR HOURLY STATION OUTPUT FROM THE ETA MODEL HAS BEEN MODIFIED TO REFLECT RECENT CHANGES IN RAWINSONDE STATION LOCATION AND TO CORRECT SOME ERRORS. A SUMMARY OF THESE CHANGES FOLLOWS: - 74389 /GRAY ME/ ADDED 72606 /PORTLAND ME/ DROPPED - 72634 /GAYLORD MI/ ADDED...CORRECTED TO MI - 72426 /WILMINGTON OH/ ADDED 72421 /CINCINNATI OH/ DROPPED - 72582 /ELKO NV/ ADDED 72583 /WINNEMUCCA NV/ DROPPED - 74455 /DAVENPORT IA/ ADDED - 72364 /SANTA TERESA NM/ ADDED 72270 /EL PASO TX/ DROPPED - 72376 /FLAGSTAFF AZ/ ADDED 72374 /WINSLOW AZ/ DROPPED - 72672 /RIVERTON WY/ ADDED 72576 /LANDER WY/ DROPPED THE FOLLOWING STATIONS WERE NOT BEING PLACED AT THE CORRECT LOCATION: - 71600 /SABLE ISLAND NS/ - 71201 /KEY WEST FL/ - 70308 /ST. PAUL ISLAND AK/ - 91165 /LIHUE KAUAI HI/ /48 KM ETA ONLY/ IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS REGARDING THESE CHANGES...CONTACT ERIC ROGERS AT THE ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING CENTER AT 301-763-8056. THIS AND OTHER NWS SERVICE CHANGE NOTIFICATIONS ARE AVAILABLE ON THE NWS OFFICE OF METEOROLOGY/S HOME PAGE... IN THE NOTIFICATION SECTION. THE ADDRESS OF THE NOTIFICATION SECTION IS: HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM /LOWER CASE/ END ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 30 Jul 1997 20:49:56 -0400 From: Jay Ostaffe Subject: Danny and TD-5 Tracking Data I have been out of town and off the NET for the last 2 weeks. I missed Danny and TD-5. I see most of the data is missing from the various servers. I would appreciate if someone could send me their data file that is compatible (or nearly compatible) with HURRTRAK. Thanks. I no longer subscribe to this list, so I apologize if this is the wrong area for such a request. If so, where else could I ask? Jay ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 30 Jul 1997 23:11:28 -0700 From: Dave Walker Subject: Cold Funnel and/or Water Spout /FPUS03 KAKQ 301840 COR /AFDAKQ /AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTION TO CCF /NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA /235 PM EDT WED JUL 30 1997 /NUMEROUS REPORTS OF COLD FUNNELS OVR SE VA/NE NC THIS PM. DEGREE OF /CAA ALOFT WUD NOT SUGGEST FUNNELS BUT CONSIDERING THE TIME OF /YEAR...I GUESS ANY SORT OF DECENT CAA ENUF TO SET THEM OFF. FAIRLY /STRONG JET DYNAMICS OVR MID-ATLC PROB HELPED TOO. /....... /KLFI 302155Z 02008KT 7SM FC SCT030 BKN070 BKN100 BKN200 24/13 / A3018 RMK FUNNEL CLOUD 13 SE MOV UNKN SLP219 8/361 9/331= /KNGU 302155Z 10007KT 7SM +FC SCT038CB BKN065 BKN120 OVC250 / 23/18 A3017 RMK WATER SPOUT NE MOV SE A02 SLP218 T02280183 T1 SE /KNTU 302156Z 04006KT 7SM SCT040 BKN075 BKN100 23/19 A3015 / RMK FUNNEL CLOUD N MOV E CB N MOV E SLP213 T2 SET T02330194= /KORF 302151Z 00000KT 10SM FC -RA BKN027 BKN039 BKN060 22/18 A3016 / RMK FUNNEL CLOUD B46 AO2 RAB47 SLP214 FUNNEL CLOUD NE MOV SE / P0000 T02170183= /....... NGU reported WATER SPOUT! Any info on parent cloud? DTN, WSI composites showed maybe 20-30 dbz reflectivity with these showers. I realize that AKQ NEXRAD can not "see" the funnel. Did anyone get a chance to look at any velocity images? Did AKQ NEXRAD detect anything unusual? ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 29 Jul 1997 to 30 Jul 1997 ************************************************** From - Tue Jun 3 13:56:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102380-23423>; Tue, 3 Jun 1997 13:11:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA124358; Tue, 3 Jun 1997 00:03:06 -0500 Message-Id: <199706030503.AAA124358@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Jun 1997 00:00:00 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 1 Jun 1997 to 2 Jun 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 7c68fab18d149b9e9e7e221adf5ad69d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 19361 Status: OR There are 15 messages totalling 513 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Summer Outlook, NYC 2. SCH BREAKING NEWS: SPC CUTS...AGAIN (2) 3. Storm Cellars Will Save Lives.....but..... (2) 4. Location for long term outlooks 5. News Item Regarding Jarrell, TX 6. NSSL/SPC Merchandise for sale 7. User in search of comma-delimited SPC log files 8. Guess rules are guidelines 9. NWS Family of Services message (fwd) 10. Interpreting Recon: Vortex messages 11. texas tornado 12. Texas Tornados Speed? 13. Goes 8 Hurricane Sectors +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 1 Jun 1997 23:32:33 -0700 From: James Kaplan Subject: Re: Summer Outlook, NYC IMHO the NWS doesn't put out anything of use to the layman, at least in planning your day to day life or even week to week. The NWS does put out 90 days outlooks for running 3 month periods out to about 14 or 15 months ahead. They simply contour areas where the probability of normal, above normal or below normal is greater than 33%, in intervals of 5% (ie 38%,43%...). Especially in terms of precipitation. almost all the forecasts, at any projection, have recently shown no contours, in which none of the 3 scenarios is favored and the "best guess" (its only that) is climatology. On the other hand, some fairly notable (in area) anomalies have showed up in temperature forecasts for the coming winter. Even so, how might an individual use the fact that there's a 43% chance of above normal temperatures and a 57% chance that they would be normal or lower? I don't know. These forecasts are IMHO most suitable for people making large financial decisions, who can use small probability differences to adjust their decision. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Jun 1997 03:00:36 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: SCH BREAKING NEWS: SPC CUTS...AGAIN >My reliable sources have confirmed to me that NWS Headquarters has decided >to eliminate the SPC Hazardous Weather Update, which is technically an >"experimental" product. No firm date has been given, but the timetable is >by the end of June. Media and emergency managers should know about this >ASAP in order to prepare, and react as they consider necessary. If you use >this product, write your Congressman to let them know you use it!!! I say good riddance... It is a "cute" product but serves no value that I can see. If EM's are using this as a forecast tool, then they are looking at the wrong information. The HWU basically looks like a watered down National Weather Summary, with vague references to "tornado warnings have been issued" and "watches may be issued later yada yada yada" but nothing that can help people at the local level in my opinion. Rob ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Jun 1997 05:52:03 +0000 From: "H. MICHAEL MOGIL" Subject: Storm Cellars Will Save Lives.....but..... I agree that storm cellars will save lives (various recent posts concerning the aftermath of the Jarrel, TX tornado)...but at what price? It seems that after every disaster, every tragedy, there is always the cry for better protection - a change to zoning laws, required implementation of a new safety device, etc....It is true that all of these will make a difference...but when will it stop? After cellars, do we require 8 x 8 studs instead of 4 x 4's? Or must all houses have roof tie downs? (Note..in costal areas prone to hurricanes, required roof tie downs make sense...there is much higher areal and temporal risk than for a tornado region; Andrew demonstrated this). I recall a cartoon showing the "perfectly safe" aircraft. It contained, I recall, microburst detectors, lightning suppressors, nearby aircraft sensing devices, and much more. If there was a safety device to be found, it was there. Unfortunately, the plane would never be able to fly. It weighed too much. So, following Jarrell, we are again suggesting structural changes...not just for Jarrell, but for all prone locales. The economic cost alone is staggering. How do you change exisiting homes? What happens the first time someone heads for their cellar and it rains so hard the cellar floods and they drown? I know this sounds cruel and uncaring and I am certain that I'll get flamed for saying it...but IT IS PHYSICALLY AND ECONOMICALLY IMPOSSIBLE TO SAVE EVERYBODY FROM EVERYTHING!!! If we want to have more bang for the buck, maybe $ that would be proposed for storm cellars for individual homes should go into storm cellars at mobile home parks (where even a small twister can kill), improved weather education, some extra NWS bodies, etc. Myabe some risk-benefit-cost analysis would be a better guide than emotion. And let's not forget that individuals have a role to play in their own safety. There's nothing to preclude informed citizens from choosing to put in a storm cellar, or other safety options. Ifw e think they aren't as well informed as they should be, well...let's continue to work on that. -- Mike Mogil weather educator HOW THE WEATHERWORKS 1522 Baylor Avenue Rockville, MD 20850 301-762-SNOW or 301-251-0242 hmmogil@weatherworks.com http://www.weatherworks.com ****** ****** ****** ****** If you think education is expensive, try ignorance! ****** ****** ****** ****** ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Jun 1997 06:12:10 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: Location for long term outlooks Steven Kuhr wrote... >I am in need of a 30, 60, 90 day outlook for heat and precipitation for >the New York City area. Can anyone offer a site where I can access this >information. I checked the NWS WSFO and climatology pages but could not >find anything of value (for a layman anyway). One place you may check is with the Climat Diagnostic Center on their web page. You will be able to obtain a multi-season forecast for up to a year in advance for both temperature and precipitation. The maps are color coded. These should give you some help. The address is: http://nic.fb4.noaa.gov/products/predictions/multi_season/13_seasonal_outlooks/c olor Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Jun 1997 08:04:06 -0500 From: City of Moore Emergency Management Subject: Re: SCH BREAKING NEWS: SPC CUTS...AGAIN > > My reliable sources have confirmed to me that NWS Headquarters has decided > to eliminate the SPC Hazardous Weather Update, which is technically an > "experimental" product. No firm date has been given, but the timetable is > by the end of June. Media and emergency managers should know about this > ASAP in order to prepare, and react as they consider necessary. If you use > this product, write your Congressman to let them know you use it!!! > Maybe the rip & read media types use this product, but as an emergency manager, I find that it has little value. If there has to be a choice between this and the Day 1/Day2 products, I feel the right choice has been made. Gayland Kitch Emergency Manager The City of Moore, Oklahoma 405 793-5062 ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Jun 1997 14:40:35 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: News Item Regarding Jarrell, TX > ...was one of only four storms in the United States to be rated > an "F5" in the past decade ... The most recent F5 was the 1995 > twister that hit near Pampa, he said... > Wasn't the 18 July 1996 Oakfield, Wisconsin tornado rated an F5? -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS FIRSTT | CIMSS/University of Wisconsin-Madison ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Jun 1997 09:10:13 -0500 From: Peter Laws Subject: Re: Storm Cellars Will Save Lives.....but..... On Mon, 2 Jun 1997, H. MICHAEL MOGIL wrote: > I know this sounds cruel and uncaring and I am certain that I'll get > flamed for saying it...but IT IS PHYSICALLY AND ECONOMICALLY IMPOSSIBLE > TO SAVE EVERYBODY FROM EVERYTHING!!! Note that I why "we" weren't doing more to *encourage*, not mandate, below-ground shelter. If people don't want storm cellars, fine. No skin off my nose. But that doesn't mean we shouldn't encourage folks. -- Peter Laws / plaws@wildstar.net ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Jun 1997 10:27:07 -0500 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: NSSL/SPC Merchandise for sale Severe Weather Fanatics, The NSSL/SPC Employees Association (NSEA) regularly sells severe weather photographs and NSSL/SPC clothing as part of its fund-raising efforts. Traditionally, we've only been able to sell this merchandise to individuals who visit the NSSL/SPC in Norman, Oklahoma, or when we take the merchandise to various special functions (such as the TWC Chaser Conference, the StormTrack annual picnic, or various conferences and open houses). Now this merchandise is available on the World Wide Web (WWW)! The 1997 Spring Chase Season is almost over! Get merchandise now! Storm Predicition Center golf shirts are also new to our clothing line. ********************************************************************* * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW Severe Weather Photo Store * ********************************************************************* The URL for the NSEA Photo Concession Stand is: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/nea/neaphotostand.html ****************************************************************** * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW NSSL/SPC Clothing Store * * * * NSSL SHIRTS...AS SEEN IN THE MOVIE 'TWISTER'!!! * ****************************************************************** The URL for the NSEA Clothing Concession Stand is: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/nea/neaclothing.html Information on the prices of merchandise is on the WWW page. We can only accept orders placed from the WWW page (check or money order only). Information on the NSEA is also available via the first hypertext link on that WWW page. If you have any questions, please contact Greg Stumpf at: gstumpf@rossby.metr.ou.edu We hope that this fundraiser is a success for our organization and we hope you all enjoy the merchandise! Greg Stumpf and Paul Janish, NSSL/SPC Employees Association DISCLAIMER: The NSEA is a non-profit organization not affiliated with NOAA or the U.S. Government. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Jun 1997 11:07:13 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: User in search of comma-delimited SPC log files Dave Christensen wrote me directly... >Hello, I know your buzy so I will make this sort. Do you know if the normal >SPCLOG can be found in comma-delimited form any where???? or is there any >way to make the logs into comma-delimited form easy. I have tried to do >this but it takes forever. Please let me know and thanx for your time. Does anyone know of a source for this data? If so, please write Dave directly and/or reply to WX-TALK. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Jun 1997 13:37:01 -0600 From: Clay Jones Subject: Re: Guess rules are guidelines A. Lieberman wrote: >Though, somewhat off topic.... Just curious that why the sub-division >did not require basements or storm cellars in the zoning laws??? I bet >that would have reduced the loss of life in a substantial way. Where >were the people to go? Dennis Gabler wrote: >The bedrock is close to the surface that area. It is extremely expensive to >carve out a basement in it so it generally is not done. Still though, a small >storm shelter of some sort would be affordable (I think). There is a long thread on WX-CHASE regarding this problem. The problem is the rocky ground, with a layer of limestone immediately under the thin layer of top soil. The cost of excavation is prohibitive. It is doubtful that anything except a basement or other underground shelter would have survived this storm. It peeled asphalt off the streets, and pulled grass out of the ground. This is also off-topic, but it might be interesting: Local radio and television stations have sponsored donation drives for everything from food to blood. At one point, the bloodmobile was full to capacity, and had to turn donors away. One radio station is promoting a concert with local acts this Thursday evening, with all the proceeds to assist victims of this storm. Adios,Clay "Super Genius" Jones clay.jones@oag.state.tx.us Happy resident of Austin -- Soon to replace Seattle as the rain capital of the Continental United States! The opinions expressed here are my own. The agency doesn't even know I do this ------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Jun 1997 14:54:49 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: NWS Family of Services message (fwd) For those of you in or near Kansas, new stuff for you on the wires! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ---------- Forwarded message ---------- EFFECTIVE DATE JUNE 1... 1997 DRG ITEM 2083 PLEASE ADD THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS TO YOUR DATA DIRECTORIES PPS SUBSCRIBERS AREA FORECAST PRODUCTS WMO HEADINGS FLUS43 KDDC FLUS43 KGLD FLUS43 KICT FLUS43 KTOP AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY WMO HEADINGS AEUS43 KDDC AEUS43 KGLD AEUS43 KICT RANGELAND FIRE DANGER FORECAST WMO HEADINGS FNUS63 KDDC FNUS63 KGLD FNUS63 KICT ZONE FORECAST WMO HEADINGS FPUS53 KDDC FPUS53 KGLD FPUS53 KICT FPUS53 KTOP THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS WILL HAVE HEADING CHANGES FLASH FLOOD WATCH OLD NEW WMO HEADINGS WMO HEADINGS WGUS63 KDDC WGUS43 KDDC WGUS83 KGLD WGUS43 KGLD WGUS73 KICT WGUS43 KICT DDS SUBSCRIBERS AGRICULTURAL OBSERVATIONS WMO HEADING SHUS43 KDDC SHUS43 KGLD SHUS43 KICT END NNNN ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Jun 1997 17:06:44 -0500 From: "Russel Madere, Jr." Subject: Interpreting Recon: Vortex messages Can anyone tell me how to interpret the Recon: Vortex messages found in the wx-atlan mailing list? Russel =================== Start coded message =============== 304 URNT12 KNHC 011831 AF968 01XXA INVEST OB 11 KNHC DETAILED VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 01/1756Z B. 35 DEG 43 MIN 074 DEG 07 MIN C. NA D. 25 KT E. 224 DEG 31 NM F. 026 DEG 27 KT G. 224 DEG 31 M H. 1007 MB I. 22 C/ 0194 M J. 21 C/ 0249 M K. 20 C/ NA C L. NA M. NA N. 35 DEG 43 MIN 074 DEG 07 MIN 01/1756Z O. 13 /0 P. 1/3 NM Q. MAX FLT LVEL WIND 27 SW QUAD= ================================================================= | Russel R. Madere, Jr. | http://www.gnofn.org/~russelm P. O. Box 23010 | russelm@gnofn.org Harahan, LA 70183 | rmadere@praline.no.neosoft.com | ================================================================= ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Jun 1997 15:11:43 -0700 From: Edward Aguado Subject: texas tornado A few days ago somebody kindly informed us that a radar loop of the recent Texas tornado could be obtained from http://www.discovery.com/area/science/tornado/media/texastwister.mov. If you take a look at it you will see that the storm appears to be moving to the south-southwest. Does anyone know if the storm really moved in that direction (i.e., the opposite direction of most tornado paths), or is the loop simply running in reverse? - +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ + Edward Aguado, Professor and Chair + + Department of Geography, San Diego State University + + San Diego, California, 92182-4493 + + Phone 619-594-5930 + + Fax 619-594-4938 + + E-mail aguado@mail.sdsu.edu + +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Jun 1997 18:53:09 -0500 From: fred shabec Subject: Texas Tornados Speed? Could come one tell me what was the average speed of those Tornados on the 27th? I've heard as fast as 55MPH could someone with the correct numbers let me know? Thanks Fred S. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------- Chicago Area Radio Monitoring Association- CARMA Check out our WEB site at: http://www.theramp.net/shabec/carma.htm ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Jun 1997 23:02:04 -0500 From: SKYWARN-TEXAS Subject: Goes 8 Hurricane Sectors Those who are interested in tropical weather will find NOAA's GOES 8 Hurricane Sector page at http://goeshp.wwb.noaa.gov/imaghur.html to be a valuable resource. The page may also be reached from the new SKYWARN Texas tropical page at http://www.skywarn-texas.org. Image choices include the current GOES 8 infrared, visible, and vapor images centered on the tropical Atlantic, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of Mexico, as well as MPEG clips of the last 10 half-hourly segments. Several good MPEG viewers, including Net_Toob, are available from any TUCOWS mirror site. Jim Robinson, K5PNV Texas State RACES Skywarn Liaison Officer Webmaster, SKYWARN Texas http://www.skywarn-texas.org ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 1 Jun 1997 to 2 Jun 1997 ************************************************ From - Wed Jun 4 13:19:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102557-22646>; Wed, 4 Jun 1997 13:15:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA233532; Wed, 4 Jun 1997 00:07:09 -0500 Message-Id: <199706040507.AAA233532@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 4 Jun 1997 00:03:29 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 2 Jun 1997 to 3 Jun 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: a6d801f685dcca849f3929c71f33b58f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 23646 Status: OR There are 16 messages totalling 588 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Where there Skywarm People out near Jarrel Texas??? 2. Interpreting Recon: Vortex Data Messages 3. Jarrell Tornado Movement 4. User in search of comma-delimited SPC log files 5. Storm Cellars Will Save Lives.....but..... 6. Weather News from SHOPTALK 7. Seismic Tornado Detector 8. Wind Interpolation 9. WX-TALK Digest - 31 May 1997 to 1 Jun 1997 10. Interesting LSR... 11. LSR's been "retracted" 12. Interesting LSR 13. ASOS Commissioning Notice 14. Thanks to the group. 15. Interpreting Recon: Vortex Messages 16. Guess rules are guidelines +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 3 Jun 1997 08:24:34 EDT From: Mark Widerstrom Subject: Re: Where there Skywarm People out near Jarrel Texas??? Is there a skywarn system set up for the hill country near Austin/Jarrel Texas? I know in Abilene spotters in the Skywarn system go 30 mins out and also near severe storms by the weather service to confirm and send in reports??? mark ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 3 Jun 1997 08:30:59 -0400 From: Paul Ruscher Subject: Re: Interpreting Recon: Vortex Data Messages You can find a complete RECON decode online at Florida State University/Florida EXPLORES! tropical data server. http://www.met.fsu.edu/Classes/Common/recon.html Paul Ruscher www.met.fsu.edu ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 3 Jun 1997 08:54:41 -0500 From: SKYWARN-TEXAS Subject: Jarrell Tornado Movement In response to yesterday's question regarding the direction of movement of the Jarrell tornado, the supercell did, in fact, move in a south-southwesterly direction. The tornado appeared in the cell's southwest quadrant. The speed of movement was slow enough that at least one family rushed home after the warning was issued (where all died), and others had time to flee to safety. While the latter is contrary to conventional wisdom about trying to outrun a tornado, it probably made sense given that Jarrell is rural in nature and those in the tornado's path could clearly observe its forward speed and direction of travel. Had the tornado made its touchdown in an urban setting such as Georgetown, Round Rock, or Austin, attempted flight would likely have been unsuccessful because of traffic congestion and impaired visibility. Jim Robinson, K5PNV Texas State RACES Skywarn Liaison Officer Webmaster, SKYWARN Texas http://www.skywarn-texas.org ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 3 Jun 1997 10:40:13 -0500 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: User in search of comma-delimited SPC log files Chris, Dave, and others, > >Date: Mon, 2 Jun 1997 11:07:13 -0500 >From: Chris Novy >Subject: User in search of comma-delimited SPC log files > >Dave Christensen wrote me directly... > >>Hello, I know your buzy so I will make this sort. Do you know if the normal >>SPCLOG can be found in comma-delimited form any where???? or is there any >>way to make the logs into comma-delimited form easy. I have tried to do >>this but it takes forever. Please let me know and thanx for your time. > >Does anyone know of a source for this data? If so, please write Dave >directly and/or reply to WX-TALK. ..Chris.. > The comma-delimited files I posted containing LSR reports are from a program I wrote for a customer. We offer this info as a product of AWIS, Inc. for $50 per month. We actually have two products related to the LSRs in comma-delimited form. One contains data from the individual office LSRs (WWUS30s) while the other contains data from SPC's summary file (WWUS60 KMKC - 12Z version(STADTS))... when it is available... and has data... Sorry I can't give this out for free on a regular basis. We do need to pay the bills... ;-) However, I will continue to post the data here on WX-TALK as a public service whenever SPC's summary file has problems. If you are interested in getting either comma-delimited file on a daily basis and are willing to pay the $50/mo, let me know via e-mail and I'll set you up. ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President, Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. 1735 E. University Dr. - Suite 101 P.O. Box 3267 Auburn, Alabama 36831-3267 ____ /\ \ / | | ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) / \ \ / | |___ (334) 826-2152 (FAX) /____\ \ /\ / | | Internet: sadams@awis.com / \ \/ \/ | ____| http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 3 Jun 1997 10:49:52 -0500 From: Keith Brewster Subject: Storm Cellars Will Save Lives.....but..... "H. MICHAEL MOGIL" said: > Subject: Storm Cellars Will Save Lives.....but..... > > I agree that storm cellars will save lives (various recent posts > concerning the aftermath of the Jarrel, TX tornado)...but at what price? > > It seems that after every disaster, every tragedy, there is always the > cry for better protection - a change to zoning laws, required > implementation of a new safety device, etc....It is true that all of > these will make a difference...but when will it stop? After cellars, do > we require 8 x 8 studs instead of 4 x 4's? Or must all houses have roof > tie downs? (Note..in costal areas prone to hurricanes, required roof > tie downs make sense...there is much higher areal and temporal risk than > for a tornado region; Andrew demonstrated this). > > I recall a cartoon showing the "perfectly safe" aircraft. It > contained, I recall, microburst detectors, lightning suppressors, nearby > aircraft sensing devices, and much more. If there was a safety device > to be found, it was there. Unfortunately, the plane would never be able > to fly. It weighed too much. I agree 100% with this post. If you look at the statistics, the following would be _much_ more cost-effective life-saving regulations: 1) required fire extinguisher 2) ban portable heaters 3) ban fireplaces 4) required sprinkler systems 5) required "hurricane clips" (where not already required) I'm sure the list could go on. I'm not recommending those as regulations, in fact, just showing that if you support the knee-jerk solution to the latest tragedy, you implicitly support the above. Separately, since I'm in the business of building models to better forecast thunderstorms, its interesting to consider what could have been done to in this case if there was more lead-time. What would a "perfect forecast" with the following lead times bought the residents? 1) 15 mins - they had this lead time, but apparantly the idea to stay out of that particular subdivision was not communicated or understood as people _entered_ the danger area. 2) 30 mins - could have the subdivision been completely evacuated? Could there have been an orderly evacuation of the grocery store? 3) 1 hour - could people have saved some of their belongings? Would people have spent 50 mins packing their mini-vans with stuff and the last 10 mins to leave? Given some reasonable margin of error, would that 10 mins be enough time to get out safely? Or would people have left for 30 mins, then assumed it was OK because nothing had happened yet? -Keith --------------------- Keith Brewster kbrews@rossby.metr.ou.edu personal opinions ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 3 Jun 1997 11:11:03 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Weather News from SHOPTALK The following weather-related item appeared in today's issue of SHOPTALK --a TV news internet-based publication. For more information on SHOPTALK see http://www.tvspy.com. ..Chris.. MORNING WEATHER ANCHOR/REPORTER (KDRV-TV) Help Southern Oregon rise and shine! The region's news leader is searching for a morning weather anchor/reporter. Successful candidate will have a college degree in Meteorology and one year commercial television experience. Knowledge of WSI weather systems a plus. Ability to produce an easily understandable forecast a must. But, that's only half the job. The rest of your day will be spent reporting. You'll enterprise, shoot, write and edit your own stuff. Outstanding beginners will be considered. Rush cover letter, resume and 3/4" or VHS tape to: Mark J. Hatfield, News Manager, KDRV-TV, 1090 Knutson Avenue, Medford, OR 97504, Deadline is June 16, 1997, ABSOLUTELY NO PHONE CALLS! Soda Mountain Broadcasting, Inc. is an equal opportunity employer. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 3 Jun 1997 11:34:39 -0700 From: "Engineering Analysis, Inc." Subject: Seismic Tornado Detector The first successful deployment of a Seismic Tornado Detector Instrument Package or "Snail", was carried out by Tim Samaras, veteran stormchaser from Lakewood, Colorado on May 25 near Wichita, Kansas. The Snail was recovered and was returned to the offices of EAI in Huntsville, Alabama on 28 May. The first digital data describing the seismic signal produced by a tornado have been downloaded from this Snail. Initial analysis indicates that three of the four channels performed as expected and these three channels confirm the presence of a strong clear signal produced by the tornado at a distance of 1 1/2 miles from the Snail. Engineering Analysis Inc. eai@mindspring.com http://www.mindspring.com/~eai ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 3 Jun 1997 14:39:27 -0400 From: "Richard L. Slonaker" Subject: Wind Interpolation Wx-talkers, Unfortunately, I neglected to save the post from the individual concerning the best method of wind interpolation. On that subject, there is a problem with interpolation using magnitude/azimuth. When one wind magnitude is very small, its azimuth is weighted excessively. This problem does not exist when interpolating using u and v wind components. For example: pres u v mag azimuth 490 +1 0 1 90 deg 470 -9 0 9 270 deg What is a wind at 480 using simple linear interpolation with u/v components vs. mag./az.? pres u v mag azimuth u/v 480 -4 0 4 270 deg mag/az 480 0 -+5 5 180 or 0 deg The answers are quite different. For this specialized case, I feel the u/v components yield a more accurate interpolation. Without independent data, it is impossible to verify however. In most cases, the two methods will yield similar values. This fabricated case is intended to show what "can" happen using the two methods. After understanding how the interpolation works with these two wind representations, you will be ready to replace the linear relationship with a cubic spline..... -Richard ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ fmh@amf.nrl.navy.mil Richard L. Slonaker Naval Research Laboratory tel: 202-767-8257 Code 7223 fax: 202-767-9194 4555 Overlook Ave., S.W. Washington, D.C. 20375 USA ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 3 Jun 1997 13:26:32 -0600 From: "Paul E. Pettit" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 31 May 1997 to 1 Jun 1997 But if the >>weather service had been relying on equipment it used until >>five years ago, "no way," he said. > >Come on Mr. Dreumont! I'm as big of a fan of the WSR-88D as anyone. Its >a great radar. But THAT storm would have shown up on ANY radar as tornadic. >You would've had to be a fool NOT to issue a tornado warning on THAT storm >based on the reflectivity and the good spotter reports. If this is true, >why didn't your office provide better warning for the Cedar Park tornado or >the Blanco county tornado a short time later. If your new technology is so >good, why was a local tv weatherman (useing a "tv station" type so-called >Doppler) sitting and waiting and waiting with lights on, camera ready, waiting >and waiting for your office to issue a tornado warning for Williamson County. But further south, >the NWS could have done a much better job. It would have been really >interesting >to see how that storm would have been handled by the experienced staff of the >now closed Austin WSO with their ol' WSR-74C. > >mike Very interesting comments. Regardless of what the warning was based on it was out with adequate lead time.(the system worked but lives were still lost sadly) I did not look closely at the lead times for the Cedar Park and Blanco events, but I believe they had warnings with lead times there also. I will go back and check. Your point is well taken on the use of radar. A WSR-57 would have most certainly shown a hook, bwer and the other precursors. So would have a 74C. And since I presume it probably wasn't raining at the time of the Jarrell storm at Austin, the old 74C would also have shown the typical signatures. We had an F3 killer in Montgomery in 84 and the 74C with Doppler did not show the hook, but showed the meso and later TVS on doppler.(it was raining heavily over the radar but the velocity data was excellent) I believe the warning for Jarrell was based upon prior warnings to adjacent counties, spotter reports, and NEXRAD (not necessarly in that order). To say it was all NEXRAD and it would have not been so without it is a little far fetched. I hope San Antonio will do as Tulsa did on the Ft. Smith tornado and put the archived data up there for everyone to look at. Come on Al give us some good stuff to mull over, I'm sure it's there! Paul E. Pettit Weather Consulting http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 3 Jun 1997 16:45:07 CDT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: Interesting LSR... I think an NWS employee is about to have their ass in a sling: WWUS30 KPWM 032138 LSRPWM PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY MAINE 536 PM EDT TUE JUN 03 1997 TIME(EDT) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... ....COUNTY LOCATION.... 0531 PM BINGHAM ME TORNADO 06/03/97 SOMERSET *** 415 DEAD, 50 INJ *** MOST OF THE TOWN LEVELED. I just checked the radar...severe clear. greg stumpf, NSSL Disclaimer: Any opinions expressed in my posts, e-mail, or any other form of electronic communications are mine, and do not necessarily reflect the opinion of the U.S. Government, NOAA, NWS, or NSSL! These posts are intended as discussion material only and should not be subject to quotation by printed or electronic media without prior, personal approval. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 3 Jun 1997 17:12:13 CDT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: LSR's been "retracted" WWUS30 KPWM 032155 LSRPWM PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY MAINE 536 PM EDT TUE JUN 03 1997 .....THIS IS ONLY A TEST!!!!! REPEAT THIS IS ONLY A TEST!!! TIME(EDT) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... ....COUNTY LOCATION.... 0531 PM BINGHAM ME TORNADO 06/03/97 SOMERSET *** 415 DEAD, 50 INJ *** MOST OF THE TOWN LEVELED. !!!!!!!!THIS IS ONLY A T E S T !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! We managed to alert the Storm Predicition Center with about a 2 minute lee-way of the bogus LSR. Had it not been deleted from the database before 4:50 pm CDT, it would have been included in the Daily Summary Log. greg stumpf, NSSL ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 3 Jun 1997 17:18:05 -0500 From: "Eric M. Kemp" Subject: Re: Interesting LSR On Tue, 3 Jun 1997, Greg Stumpf wrote: > I think an NWS employee is about to have their ass in a sling: > > WWUS30 KPWM 032138 > LSRPWM > > PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT > NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY MAINE > 536 PM EDT TUE JUN 03 1997 > > TIME(EDT) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... > ....COUNTY LOCATION.... > > 0531 PM BINGHAM ME TORNADO > 06/03/97 SOMERSET *** 415 DEAD, 50 INJ *** > MOST OF THE TOWN LEVELED. > > > > I just checked the radar...severe clear. The LSR was quickly followed by this: WWUS30 KPWM 032155 LSRPWM PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY MAINE 536 PM EDT TUE JUN 03 1997 .....THIS IS ONLY A TEST!!!!! REPEAT THIS IS ONLY A TEST!!! TIME(EDT) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... ....COUNTY LOCATION.... 0531 PM BINGHAM ME TORNADO 06/03/97 SOMERSET *** 415 DEAD, 50 INJ *** MOST OF THE TOWN LEVELED. !!!!!!!!THIS IS ONLY A T E S T !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Of course, the first LSR still went out, so someone may still be in trouble... Eric -- **************************************************************************** Eric M. Kemp M.S. Graduate Student, University of Oklahoma School of Meteorology Graduate Research Assistant, Center for Computational Geosciences e-mail: ekemp@rossby.metr.ou.edu WWW: http://rossby.metr.ou.edu/~ekemp **************************************************************************** Standard Disclaimer: These are my views, not necessarily OU's. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 3 Jun 1997 18:52:52 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following sites became commissioned ASOS sites at 1800 UTC on 03 June, 1997. GREENWOOD-LEFLORE AIRPORT (KGWO) GREENWOOD... MS MC KELLAR-SIDES REGIONAL AIRPORT (KMKL) JACKSON... TN Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 3 Jun 1997 17:52:25 -0500 From: "Russel Madere, Jr." Subject: Thanks to the group. A special thanks to the group for the response to my request for help. I want to especially thank Paul Ruscher and Lorraine Smith. Russel ================================================================= | Russel R. Madere, Jr. | http://www.gnofn.org/~russelm P. O. Box 23010 | russelm@gnofn.org Harahan, LA 70183 | rmadere@praline.no.neosoft.com | ================================================================= ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 3 Jun 1997 19:07:42 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: Interpreting Recon: Vortex Messages Here is a brief discription of what is included in the vortex messages: 04 URNT12 KNHC 011831 AF968 01XXA INVEST OB 11 KNHC DETAILED VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 01/1756Z (date and time of fix) B. 35 DEG 43 MIN (latitude of vortex fix) 074 DEG 07 MIN (longitude of vortex fix) C. NA (minimum height at standard level) D. 25 KT (estimate of max surface wind observed) E. 224 DEG 31 NM (bearing and range from center of max sfc wind) F. 026 DEG 27 KT (maximum flight level wind near center) G. 224 DEG 31 M (bearing and range from center of max sfc wind) H. 1007 MB (min sea level pressure computed from dropsonde or extrapolated from within 1500 ft of sea sfc) I. 22 C/ 0194 M (max flt lvl temp/pressure alt outside of eye) J. 21 C/ 0249 M (max flt lvl temp/pressure alt inside eye) K. 20 C/ NA C (dewpoint temp/sea surface temp inside eye) L. NA (eye character: closed wall, poorly defined etc.) M. NA (eye shape/orientation/diameter coding c - circular, co - concentric, e - elliptical) N. 35 DEG 43 MIN (confirmation of fix: coords and time) 074 DEG 07 MIN 01/1756Z O. 13 /0 (fix determined by/fix level. fix determined by 1 - penetration, 2 - radar, 3 - wind, 4 - pres 5 - temp. Fix level: 0 - sfc, 1 - 1500 ft, 8 - 850 mb, 7 - 700 mb, 5 - 500 mb, 4 - 400 mb 3 - 300 mb, 2 - 200 mb, 9 - other) P. 1/3 NM (navigation fix accuracy/meterological accuracy) Q. MAX FLT LVEL WIND 27 SW QUAD= (remarks) I hope this helps out. Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 3 Jun 1997 23:04:15 -0500 From: Ron Clark Subject: Re: Guess rules are guidelines >Dennis Gabler wrote: >>The bedrock is close to the surface that area. It is extremely expensive to >>carve out a basement in it so it generally is not done. Still though, a small >>storm shelter of some sort would be affordable (I think). > >There is a long thread on WX-CHASE regarding this problem. The problem is >the rocky ground, with a layer of limestone immediately under the thin layer >of top soil. The cost of excavation is prohibitive. > >It is doubtful that anything except a basement or other underground shelter >would have survived this storm. It peeled asphalt off the streets, and pulled >grass out of the ground. >Adios,Clay "Super Genius" Jones >clay.jones@oag.state.tx.us >Happy resident of Austin -- Soon to replace Seattle as the >rain capital of the Continental United States! > >The opinions expressed here are my own. The agency doesn't >even know I do this There was a piece on Dateline (I think) Monday nite concerning the Jarrell twister. They had some of the engineers from Texas Tech on there. They claim that they have designed a steel reinforced concrete shelter that can be built above ground that is SUPPOSED to survive an F5 tornado. The cost is about $3000 to retrofit it into an existing house or $2000 to add it to new construction. While $3000 may be a lot of money to some (it is to me) I am sure the families would gladly pay it if they could have thier loved ones back! Perhaps the Gov't or the banks could develop long term low interest loans to help build these for those who cannot afford them on thier own. Sounds like a workable solution to me. Ron Clark N0POM Emergency Coordinator Sarpy County Nebraska ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 2 Jun 1997 to 3 Jun 1997 ************************************************ From - Thu Jun 5 13:44:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102322-19166>; Thu, 5 Jun 1997 13:28:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA173284; Thu, 5 Jun 1997 00:02:54 -0500 Message-Id: <199706050502.AAA173284@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 5 Jun 1997 00:01:01 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 3 Jun 1997 to 4 Jun 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: ec867d43b20dbc6c7a390106a184d8fe X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 20282 Status: OR There are 14 messages totalling 465 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. F5 tornadoes (2) 2. twisters (2) 3. Storm Cellars Will Save Lives.....but..... 4. Hurricane and Tornado Specials 5. twister prevention? (4) 6. More on Jarrell Warnings 7. TWC -- shoddy advance warning in TX? (2) 8. QuickTime loop of Jarrell TX supercell +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 4 Jun 1997 07:17:00 EDT From: "Maneikis, Steven" Subject: F5 tornadoes If I'm not mistaken, the F5s in the last decade, besides Jarrell, Texas, were: Pampa, Texas Hesston, Kansas Plainfield, Illinois At least this what we came up with at lunch yesterday. Is this correct? Let me know. Steve Maneikis former meteorologist-hope to be one again someday ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 4 Jun 1997 07:27:11 -0500 From: "Jeremy Charles (N9VHT)" Subject: Re: F5 tornadoes On Wed, 4 Jun 1997, Maneikis, Steven wrote: > If I'm not mistaken, the F5s in the last decade, besides Jarrell, Texas, > were: > > Pampa, Texas > Hesston, Kansas > Plainfield, Illinois Is Oakfield, WI still considered an F5? -Jeremy C. (N9VHT) South-Central Wisconsin SKYWARN NCS & Training Coordinator Madison Area Repeater Association Vice President & Swapfest '98 Coordinator n9vht@skywarn.cs.wisc.edu Online SKYWARN logging: http://www.cs.wisc.edu/~jeremyc/skywarn ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 3 Jun 1997 12:53:45 GMT From: Eric Gross Subject: Re: twisters >twisters are terrible Tornadoes are neither good nor bad -- they are simply a physical process. They are not animate or malevolent; they do do not think, seek, calculate, growl (ala Twister) or derive pleasure from what they do. The thunderstorms that produce them are, however, an integral and important part of the earth's atmospheric machine, a cog in the works that makes life itself possible. Tornadoes *can* cause terrible damage, death and suffering when they strike areas developed by man. However, it is man that chooses to build and live in vulnerable areas. Therefore, since we have the ability to chose, to understand, and to plan, we must continue to expend effort both as a nation and individuals to come to a better understanding of the atmosphere around us and the phenomena of that atmosphere. We must make intelligent choices -- choices as to how we spend our resources, how aware we are of our environment, how we live, how we build -- all of these areas, if properly approached, can greatly reduce the risk tornadoes pose to us and our communities. Tornadoes have always been there, and will always be there -- at least as far as we can see the future. It is a tragedy when people loose family, friends and property, from whatever cause. However, transfering the pain of that loss onto an inanimate process is neither particularly healthy, or productive. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 3 Jun 1997 12:56:22 GMT From: Eric Gross Subject: Re: Storm Cellars Will Save Lives.....but..... >> I know this sounds cruel and uncaring and I am certain that I'll get >> flamed for saying it...but IT IS PHYSICALLY AND ECONOMICALLY IMPOSSIBLE >> TO SAVE EVERYBODY FROM EVERYTHING!!! Somebody please call the men in the white coats with the straight-jacket. We have an individual here showing common sense and a realistic appreciation of the nature of life. Can't have that. Doesn't make for good talk shows, isn't too politically useful, and doesn't help people sue other people and get rich at others expense. Silly boy, you forget the cardinal rule of American life: Someone is *always* to blame, except, of course, yourself. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Jun 1997 13:22:03 GMT From: Eric Gross Subject: Re: Hurricane and Tornado Specials > Last night I spent some time reading Dr. Gray's hurricane forecast for >the coming season (above average). His predictions are based on comparing >various conditions with conditions which existed in previous years. > Anyway, the previous year whose conditions most closely match this >year's is 1969 - the year of Camille. Yes, but keep in mind that Gray's predictions are *not* predictions of specific storms. You can have an above average season, and everything stays out to sea; you can have an innactive season, with one really bad storm that makes landfall and ruins everybody's day (witness 1992, an altogether dull tropical season with the exception of a certain storm named Andrew.) Just because 1969 is the analog year does not mean that 1997 will exactly parallel it. Every storm is a potential Camille until proven otherwise . . . . ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 4 Jun 1997 09:29:06 -0400 From: Mike Taube Subject: twister prevention? I'm wondering if there's been any research in how to prevent tornadoes. For example, don't we know that tornadoes often strike very flat areas? If trees were planted or structures built to break up the wind, wouldn't this help prevent tornadoes from forming? >-----Original Message----- >From: Eric Gross [SMTP:egross@MAILER.FSU.EDU] >Sent: Tuesday, June 03, 1997 8:54 AM >To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK >Subject: Re: twisters > > [ stuff deleted ....] >Tornadoes have always been there, and will always be there -- at least as far >as we can see the future. It is a tragedy when people loose family, friends >and property, from whatever cause. However, transfering the pain of that >loss >onto an inanimate process is neither particularly healthy, or productive. > ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 4 Jun 1997 08:56:31 -0500 From: City of Moore Emergency Management Subject: Re: twister prevention? Mike Taube wrote: > I'm wondering if there's been any research in how to prevent tornadoes. > For example, don't we know that tornadoes often strike very flat areas? > If trees were planted or structures built to break up the wind, wouldn't > this help prevent tornadoes from forming? Unfortunately for your theory, tornadoes form in the atmosphere above the ground, and then in some cases, wipe the ground below them clear of trees/structures. Gayland Kitch Emergency Manager The City of Moore, Oklahoma 405 793-5062 ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 4 Jun 1997 08:15:25 -0700 From: "Michael C. Lowther" Subject: More on Jarrell Warnings >Very interesting comments. Regardless of what the warning was based on it >was out with adequate lead time.(the system worked but lives were still >lost sadly) I did not look closely at the lead times for the Cedar Park >and Blanco events, but I believe they had warnings with lead times there >also. I will go back and check. Paul, I'm not so sure the warning was that good. Not that it would have helped those poor folks in the path of that monster. FTW had good warnings for the first two counties. Then SAT had a well developed storm with spotter reports and radar indications of big trouble. They issued a TOR WARN for Williamson County at 3:30 pm. Mr. Drumont said on NBC News that the tornado hit Jarrell at 4:05. Wow, what a great warning! But wait, the next day the NWS said Jarrell was hit at 3:45. Okey, still a good warning. However, I've talked with spotters and storm chasers that put the tornado hit at closer to 3:30. Oh, not so good. I haven't heard an exact or "official" time of the tornado yet. Maybe others know more... I do know that Cedar Park (in Williamson Co. but on the line with Travis Co.) never got any warning. They were in a Tornado Warning for Williamson Co. for the Jarrell tornado. But no Severe WEather Statements were ever issued for the southern part of the county. A TV weatherman was on the air telling people in the Cedar Park "area" to look out because of the hook he was seeing on his radar over them. About 15 mins after Cedar Park was hit, a Tornado Warning was issued for Travis Co. No, Blanco Co. was never put under any warning. Mike ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 4 Jun 1997 11:04:44 -0400 From: Mike Taube Subject: Re: twister prevention? So I take it then, that mountanous regions could have tornadic activity just like low-lying flat areas? I had always thought that east of the appalachians and west of the rockies were pretty safe from frequent tornadoes for this reason. Of course, we have occasional tornadoes here in the midatlantic, but nowhere near the frequency of those on the plains... Mike Taube >-----Original Message----- >From: City of Moore Emergency Management [SMTP:emermgt@CI.MOORE.OK.US] >Sent: Wednesday, June 04, 1997 9:57 AM >To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK >Subject: Re: twister prevention? > >Mike Taube wrote: > >> I'm wondering if there's been any research in how to prevent tornadoes. >> For example, don't we know that tornadoes often strike very flat areas? >> If trees were planted or structures built to break up the wind, wouldn't >> this help prevent tornadoes from forming? > >Unfortunately for your theory, tornadoes form in the atmosphere above the >ground, and then in some cases, wipe the ground below them clear of >trees/structures. > >Gayland Kitch >Emergency Manager >The City of Moore, Oklahoma >405 793-5062 > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 4 Jun 1997 12:43:48 -0400 From: John Kent Subject: Re: twisters Someone wrote: >>twisters are terrible. and Eric Gross replied: > > Tornadoes are neither good nor bad -- they are simply a physical process. My dictionary defines "terrible" as: 1 a: exciting extreme alarm or intense fear: TERRIFYING b: formidable in nature: AWESOME c: difficult. I agree with the original poster: "twisters are terrible". John Kent - AA2DY FleetWeather Inc. Hopewell Jct. NY ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 4 Jun 1997 12:06:26 -0500 From: Gayland Kitch Subject: Re: twister prevention? Mike Taube wrote: > So I take it then, that mountanous regions could have tornadic activity > just like low-lying flat areas? > I had always thought that east of the appalachians and west of the > rockies were pretty safe from frequent tornadoes for this reason. > Of course, we have occasional tornadoes here in the midatlantic, but > nowhere near the frequency of those on the plains... Tornadoes tend to form in certain favored areas because of certain landforms and their geographic proximity to other landforms, but given the right set of atmospheric conditions, they can form most anywhere (and have). Basic tornadogenesis says that thunderstorms need three ingredients: moisture, unstable air, and lift. Use the Gulf of Mexico as a rich source of moisture (transported northward by typical southerly winds), warm it up so the atmosphere is unstable, then mix it with cool, dry air that comes in at higher levels from over the Rockies, and you have a "typical" tornado day in the Plains during the spring and fall. Move it southward and earlier/later, and you have a "typical" day in the Gulf states. Transport that moisture farther north and you have a "typical" day in the northern Plains during the summer. But - atypical storms can develop in atypical areas as well, given the proper factors. The only difference is that in the atypical areas, the proper factors in the proper amounts don't all come together nearly as often. This is a very basic and simplified explanation, and there can be other combinations and variations of factors that have similar results, so don't think that what I've said is all there is to this process. But the bottom line is that tornado formation is a relatively small-scale process in a large, 4-dimensional atmosphere. Large geographic features have affects on the process, but for the most part, relatively tiny man-made features don't. IMO, any "prevention" of tornadoes will come through atmospheric modification, and this is a long time away from happening. In the meantime, those of us in the emergency management business will continue working under the concept that tornadoes are just one more item in Mother Nature's bag of wonders that we cannot prevent, and therefore direct our mitigation efforts to moving people to places of greater safety. I hope this has helped to answer your questions. Feel free to reply if it hasn't or (in the more likely case) it has raised more questions. Gayland Kitch Emergency Manager/Webmaster The City of Moore, Oklahoma 405 793-5062 ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 4 Jun 1997 13:26:01 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: TWC -- shoddy advance warning in TX? If you watch TWC for severe weather information as it affects YOUR TOWN and expect the OCM's to mention EVERY TOWN that is being hit, you're asking too much... If you use it (as it is intended) for an overview of national weather, with local information on the breaks and severe weather bulletins at once, you will be happy. Sounds like the guy who posted a few months ago about the incorrect 5-day low temp forecast for the valley he was in... On Wednesday, June 04, 1997 12:57 PM, michael a cohen [SMTP:michaelacohen@JUNO.COM] wrote: > The TWC HAS BECOME MORE OF A JOKE THAN A TOOL FOR ANYONE INTERESTED IN > ANY TYPE OF WEATHER. I REALIZE THAT THEY HAVE JUST SO MUCH TIME BETWEEN > COMMERCIALS BUT I WOULD GLADLY HAVE THEM DOUBLE THEIR COMMERCIALS UP AND > GIVE THEIR ON AIR PERSONALITIES THAT MUCH MORE TIME TO DEAL WITH THE > SEVERE WEATHER. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 4 Jun 1997 16:29:25 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: TWC -- shoddy advance warning in TX? ------ =_NextPart_000_01BC7104.796FA8E0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii" Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit On Wednesday, June 04, 1997 3:59 PM, Micheal A. Robinson [SMTP:robinson@SY.COM] wrote: > FWIW, I'll second Chris' suggestion. When TWC displays severe weather warnings > via the "red screen", it seems to inevitably occur during the local forecast > time ("Local on the Eight's") just when the local radar depiction is about to > be shown. Yes, the red screen is nice, it gets people's attention, but I think > the radar depiction is equally if not more important -- one needs to know where > the storms are and get some idea of intensity. Whoa there... A single slice, lower-resolution, composite radar picture, of which you don't know the time the image was taken, is of little value in determining "severity" of storms. That picture might be 15 minutes old or more! And who knows what the mid-levels look like... or any circulations... or VIL... or echo tops... or three-dimensional slices... or anything else that the NWS forecasters use to issue severe thunderstorm warnings. To the layman -- a text warning saying "The storm is expected over MyTown, Ohio at 6:45pm" is _much_ more valuable than the TWC radar image. 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Not exactly...the algorithms aren't 100% foolproof, and don't detect everything. It remains to be seen how well the algorithms did (in the NOAA Disaster Survey Report). Also, remember, the algorithms are supposed to be treated as *guidance*, not answers. greg stumpf, NSSL ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 3 Jun 1997 to 4 Jun 1997 ************************************************ From - Fri Jun 6 17:06:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102218-12766>; Fri, 6 Jun 1997 13:46:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA57746; Fri, 6 Jun 1997 00:22:27 -0500 Message-Id: <199706060522.AAA57746@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Jun 1997 00:11:24 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 4 Jun 1997 to 5 Jun 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 003e17a9970629d64040f1b2d659e548 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 14 messages totalling 590 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. QuickTime loop of Jarrell TX supercell 2. Tornado Warnings for Williamson County 3. More on Jarrell Warnings 4. twisters (2) 5. Protocol for localized (sub-county) tornado warnings (2) 6. F5 tornadoes (2) 7. E. OK/NW AR Storms - May 27, 1997 8. WX-TALK Digest - 3 Jun 1997 to 4 Jun 1997 9. Colored ring around the sun 10. Hurricane and Tornado Specials (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 5 Jun 1997 04:47:17 GMT From: Brian Curran Subject: Re: QuickTime loop of Jarrell TX supercell On Wed, 4 Jun 1997 16:31:57 CDT, Greg Stumpf wrote: >Not exactly...the algorithms aren't 100% foolproof, and don't detect >everything. Precisely why we need trained and motivated humans in the mix. With automation and modernization, however, we may be seeing less of the man and more of the machine. >It remains to be seen how well the algorithms did (in the NOAA Disaster >Survey Report). Colour me cynical, but will we see the algorithm output? >Also, remember, the algorithms are supposed to be treated as >*guidance*, not answers. Greg, sorry to bust your bubble, but, um, Guidance is God. To go against Guidance is to go against All That Is Holy. Or so the MOScasters would want us to believe... Of course, one could go agains conventional wisdom and think outside the box. But that's not exactly encouraged in today's marketplace. The nail that sticks up gets hammered down. Unless he's using his own ISP and his own equipment, in which case the hammer gets met with a civil lawsuit in Federal court... >greg stumpf, NSSL bc -- Brian Curran ebcurran@flash.net I speak for myself and for no one else. See the First Amendment for details. "Tenants of the house,/Thoughts of a dry brain in a dry season." -- T. S. Eliot ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 5 Jun 1997 07:02:35 -0500 From: SKYWARN-TEXAS Subject: Tornado Warnings for Williamson County I disagree with yesterday's post that there was no torndao warning for Cedar Park (which, like Jarrell, is in Williamson County). I was there folks, directly between the two places hit, and was listening to NOAA Weather Radio until the power failed. NWS made it crystal clear that tornadic activity was moving to the south-southwest across Williamson County and that people in that county needed to take shelter pronto. Anyone who heard what they were putting out, and failed to correlate it with the extreme darkness of the sky, precurser hail, etc., can only blame themselves for not understanding what was happening. The Austin-San Antonio WFO did an OUTSTANDING job and anyone who represents otherwise is either uninformed or has some other agenda. Jim Robinson, K5PNV Texas State RACES Skywarn Liaison Webmaster, SKYWARN Texas http://www.skywarn-texas.org ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 5 Jun 1997 08:50:14 -0500 From: Peter Laws Subject: Re: More on Jarrell Warnings On Wed, 4 Jun 1997, Michael C. Lowther wrote: > I do know that Cedar Park (in Williamson Co. but on the line with Travis > Co.) never got any warning. They were in a Tornado Warning for Williamson > Co. for the Jarrell tornado. But no Severe WEather Statements were ever Can you explain how a town in a county that is under a tornado warning didn't get a tornado warning? It's been my experience (and yes, YMMV, of course - not all NWSFOs work the same way) that if they say County X they mean all of County X UNLESS they specifically state otherwise. -- Peter Laws / plaws@wildstar.net ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 4 Jun 1997 18:57:14 GMT From: Eric Gross Subject: Re: twisters >My dictionary defines "terrible" as: 1 a: exciting extreme alarm or >intense fear: TERRIFYING b: formidable in nature: AWESOME c: >difficult. >I agree with the original poster: "twisters are terrible". I will now make a very professional, intelligent and dignified comment, drawing upon all the knowledge gained in my roughly 20 years of storm chasing: (Sticking out tounge) Ppppppppphhhhhhhhhhhhhhtttttttt! Back off jack, it's been a long day and I am in *no* mood for quibbling over definitions. I'm a historian, and if you mess with me, I'll write a treatment of you and your family that'll have future generations thinking Hitler was a panty-waist and Stalin a monk in comparison. . . . :) There, I feel much better now. Perhaps the poster meant "terrible" in the sense of "awesome" or "inspiring fear." I doubt it, however, I have a strong suspicion they meant exactly what people usually mean when they use the word as a description. In any event, I have spent so many years combating the idea that hurricanes, tornadoes, storms, etc., are intrinsically somehow "evil" or "bad" that I am predisposed to fly off the handle. My apologies. I have found a very interesting psychological dynamic in place when it comes to severe weather and people -- if people can ascribe malevolent, capricious behavior to a physical phenomena, it often makes it easier for them to feel that they or the public in general are helpless and victims, rather than engendering a feeling that humans have the capacity to protect themselves and others by overcoming ignorance, exercising intelligent awareness and making good decisions. So, yeah, "twisters are terrible," in a dictionary sense. My counterpoints, however, still stand. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 5 Jun 1997 09:41:15 -0500 From: Ken Poore Subject: Protocol for localized (sub-county) tornado warnings With all the discussion about the tornado warnings in Williamson and Travis counties, I'm curious to know what protocol exists within the warning 'community' (NWS, I guess) to identify the communities (in addition to the counties) that are likely to be affected by a tornado. Is there an official mandate to provide a 'best guess' as to which communities are in the path of a tornado, or are they doing it out of their own sense of responsibility and technical capability? This would seem to be a double-edged sword. If one community is deemed to be targeted by an existing tornado, residents of neighboring communities may get a false sense of security, when in fact another tornado may spin up and strike them as well. Likewise, tornadoes have a mind of their own and often abrubtly change course, defying prediction. I understand that everyone should be at maximum alert during a tornado warning, but as technology provides better prediction of a tornado's path, it's natural for people to become dependent on that accuracy and only pay attention when one is headed towards their specific locale. And another issue: I live in a 300 home subdivision (about 0.5 acres per homesite) that was once rural farmland. There are several neighboring communities/townships/crossroads that have been given names over the years, but very few residents of our 6 year old subdivision are aware of these obscure names. Within three miles of my house we have communities like Nebo, Vaughn Corners, Cluttsville, Clarkdale, Capshaw, Burgreen Gin, etc., but I'd say that less that 5% of my neighbors are aware of more than one of these names. Many of these names do not appear on signposts, and very few of them appear on the maps most residents have. I only know the names of them because I have USGS 7.5 minute quads showing them. Furthermore, the population of my subdivision alone is greater than the sum total of the aforementioned communities. For example, the township that my mail is delivered to is known as Harvest, and hence that is where I officially live. Harvest is a sprawling 'kitchen sink' township/community that includes a sizeable hunk of western Madison and eastern Limestone county, including many of the communities mentioned above. The original 'town' of Harvest is seven miles north of me; I'm much closer to the other smaller communities. Harvest has been struck by a few tornadoes over the last 20 years, the closest of which, I think, hit two years ago and carved a path about four miles north of us. During tornado warnings, our local TV stations and their gee-whiz storm trackers (and the NWS bulletins) often use these obscure names. Wouldn't it be more effective to use the names of subdivisions, in addition to these names? Perhaps some effort should be made by both the media and warning community to update their mapping databases to include subdivision names? This is a lot of work, but it would sure get the attention of folks if their subdivision name accompanied a tornado warning issued over the public warning system. On the other hand, is this really technically feasible? I recall a discussion about street-level warnings some time ago... I'm interested in your opinions/thoughts on this. _______________________________ Ken Poore Harvest, Alabama ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 5 Jun 1997 10:24:19 -0600 From: "Thomas E. Nelson" Subject: Re: F5 tornadoes In June 1992, Clarkfield, MN. Add this one to your list for F5's in the past decade. I was chasing that one. tom Thomas E. Nelson N0GQA Associate Scientist tnelson@frii.com FMA Research, Inc. 46050 Weld County Rd. 13 Ft. Collins, CO 970-568-7664 W ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 5 Jun 1997 10:33:08 -0600 From: "Thomas E. Nelson" Subject: Re: F5 tornadoes It makes you wonder what was going through my mind when I have to correct my own posting!!! >In June 1992, Clarkfield, MN. Add this one to your list for F5's in the >past decade. I was chasing that one. Clarkfield was an F3, Chandler, MN, (a little farther south) was an F5. Sorry for the confusion (on my part). tom Thomas E. Nelson N0GQA Associate Scientist tnelson@frii.com FMA Research, Inc. 46050 Weld County Rd. 13 Ft. Collins, CO 970-568-7664 W ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 2 Jun 1997 14:51:28 +0100 From: Mark Plate Subject: E. OK/NW AR Storms - May 27, 1997 If anyone is interested, I put together a web page documenting the Eastern Oklahoma/Northwest Arkansas Memorial Day severe storms. You can find it at: http://info.abrfc.noaa.gov/wfodocs/severe.htm Includes an interactive map with warning/verification info...88D base reflectivity and SRM images and a few surface/upper air maps. Chuck Hodges WFO Tulsa ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 5 Jun 1997 12:37:05 -0600 From: "Paul E. Pettit" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 3 Jun 1997 to 4 Jun 1997 However, >I've talked with spotters and storm chasers that put the tornado hit at >closer to 3:30. Oh, not so good. >I haven't heard an exact or "official" time of the tornado yet. Maybe >others know more... > >I do know that Cedar Park (in Williamson Co. but on the line with Travis >Co.) never got any warning. They were in a Tornado Warning for Williamson >Co. for the Jarrell tornado. But no Severe WEather Statements were ever >issued for the southern part of the county. A TV weatherman was on the air >telling people in the Cedar Park "area" to look out because of the hook he >was seeing on his radar over them. About 15 mins after Cedar Park was hit, >a Tornado Warning was issued for Travis Co. No, Blanco Co. was never put >under any warning. > >Mike > Even more interesting. If the tornado did occur at 3 30PM then Al Druemont should issue a public correction to this statements. Warning covered whole county so technically Cedar Park was in warning. In any event, this storm was a monster. Seen by many, reported by many, I presume it would show all the precursors expected on radar so therefore warnings considering the technology in use, trained meteorologists, prior adjacent county warnings going on long before the Jarrell touchdown,then there should have been a very good warning for this storm. This is what NEXRAD and modernization promised. If promises can not be delivered with a storm of this type with the technology and expertise available then the NWS has missed the boat and the taxpayers should ask why. You would expect a good lead time for Travis County also considering what was going on with these supercells. On the other hand if a 15 minute lead time was the case, lets give them credit where it is due and pat them on the back as it should be. The other storms need to be looked at also to see how good the warnings really were. I have asked for postings of the data on the internet, I do not see what the problem is with putting up some preliminary data to look at. I suggest the warning action log, and some radar data to go with it would be a good start. This is rather lengthy, but I want to make one final point. When you have supercells that are producing tornadoes, Severe thunderstorm warnings are essentially a waste of time. For multiple tornado outbreak events, you can get caught with a thunderstorm warning and the storm produces a tornado before you can digest all the NEXRAD info, change to tornado warning, and you are caught with either "no tornado" warning or one with little warning lead time. Suggestions have been made by me, Kevin Pence (BHM) and others that maybe the criteria for issuing tornado warnings needs to be changed to fit the situation that is occurring. In the case above these storms were producing tornadoes. It will be interesting to see just how many of the counties warned for actually had a tornado event. Paul E. Pettit Weather Consulting http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 5 Jun 1997 17:20:04 -0500 From: Kevin Scharfenberg Subject: Re: Protocol for localized (sub-county) tornado warnings Ken Poore wrote: >With all the discussion about the tornado warnings in Williamson and Travis >counties, I'm curious to know what protocol exists within the warning >'community' (NWS, I guess) to identify the communities (in addition to the >counties) that are likely to be affected by a tornado. Is there an >official mandate to provide a 'best guess' as to which communities are in >the path of a tornado, or are they doing it out of their own sense of >responsibility and technical capability? Here is the official policy of the Southern Region of the NWS regarding Tornado Warnings, from their home page: COMMENTS: As indicated above, the TOR should be issued when a tornado is occurring or expected to occur. Besides the required communications and Mass News Disseminator header information, TORs shall contain the name of the issuing office, the valid time of the warning, and the affected county (or portion). TORs should also contain the location of the storm (with a reference time), the tornado's movement, its position with respect to well-known cities, and a short list of communities near the storm's projected path. A call-to-action statement should also appear in the warning Gregory Jackson of the NWS has written a program that is becoming more popular in the NWS. It appends locations in the path of the storm/tornado and estimated times of arrival, such as: LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO INCLUDE... BURTSELL AROUND 225 PM CST ... OKOLONA AROUND 230 PM CST ... GURDON AROUND 230 PM CST ... GUM SPRINGS AROUND 250 PM CST ... ARKADELPHIA AROUND 250 PM CST ... Towns are selected for the warning by a combination of size and proximity to the expected path of the tornado. The good part about this program is it only requires a few inputs, and the rest of the warning is automatically generated. The bad parts: People not listed may get a false sense of security (as Ken noted in his post), and people may think they are safe until the time of arrival listed. Operationally, this program has worked pretty well. The times of arrival are usually within 5-10 minutes, and the "right" towns are usually chosen (for instance, the example above picked both Gum Springs and Arkadelphia, AR about 30 minutes before each was hit by a tornado on March 1). Technically, if your county (or your portion of your county) is included in the warning, you have been warned whether or not your town has been mentioned. -Kevin ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 5 Jun 1997 19:46:03 -0700 From: Cindy Cook Subject: Colored ring around the sun Today at noon I looked into the sky and saw a colored ring (similar to a rainbow) surrounding the sun. I am a weather watcher novice and would appreciate any explanation that you may have. Thanks, Cindy Cook Western PA goshawk@hhs.net ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 5 Jun 1997 15:17:31 GMT From: Sim Aberson Subject: Re: Hurricane and Tornado Specials In article , Michael.Schneider_ wrote: > I suspect that long-lived phenomena such as the "blocking trough" that >protected the US from most storms the last two years may been present in >other years as well. It stands to reason that such large scale systems >would be present in "like" years. That being the case, I would expect >storms to be in similar vacinities as those of like years. As long as we know what "like years" are, which we don't. And we didn't have a "blocking trough," whatever that is, last year, since a category three hurricane and a category two hurricane both hit the US East Coast. This is more reminiscent of the middle 1950s than any other period. What you are trying to do is analog forecasting, but there are no close analogs from year to year in our records, so it just won't work. > Last year the Atlantic seemed to have abnormally chilly waters off the >southeast. None of the storms that followed the "Hugo" track seemed to be >able to make it past level 2. Even the water around the Bahamas was cold >last year - very low 80s. Um, last year, the waters off thge US East Coast and through the Bahamas were anomalously WARM. > With the exception of Gilbert, there has been a notable absense of >hurricanes, especially westward-moving hurricanes, in the Carribean. Save >that one add-ball that moved northeast over the Isle of Mann last year, I >can't recall a hurricane striking Cuba since David and Fredrick. You mean the Isle of Youth. There have been ten hurricanes in the Caribbean since Gilbert. They are Joan (1988), Hugo (1989), Emily (1993), Luis (1995), Marilyn (1995), Roxanne (1995), Cesar (1996), Hortense (1996), Lili(1996), and Marco (1996). That's an average of more than one per year. While the period 1990-1994 was unusually inactive in the Caribbean, the rest of the period follows climatology quite well. another interesting thing is that of these, the first six were all category 3 or greater hurricanes in the Caribbean. > When the atmosphere resorts itself in whatever long cycle it goes >through to allow hurricanes access the the REALLY warm part of the >Atlantic basin, you're going to see some monsters. Hurricanes during the last ten years have gone over the warmest waters available. Your statement makes no sense. >And the most dangerous >storm on earth is a northward moving hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico >(especially one which was cat 5 all the way WNW through the Carribean). Hurricanes don't remain category five hurricanes for more than a day at the extreme. Your scenario just can't happen. You may want to look at the Tropical Cyclone FAQ for more information: http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/tcfaqHED.html -- "I want my dying words to be 'Fuck you.'" -- Mike Jankulak's review of _Blood and Wine_ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 5 Jun 1997 14:15:13 GMT From: Eric Gross Subject: Re: Hurricane and Tornado Specials > I suspect that long-lived phenomena such as the "blocking trough" that >protected the US from most storms the last two years may been present in >other years as well. It stands to reason that such large scale systems >would be present in "like" years. That being the case, I would expect >storms to be in similar vacinities as those of like years. Well, unfortunately the atmosphere is a bit more complex than that. At some level of scale, you are of course correct -- hurricanes tend to follow a certain set of "average" paths, simply because the large-scale dynamics of the atmosphere consistently present hurricanes with small set of options. Again, however, Gray's predictions really concern the level of activity and not specific indications of course trends, etc. In short, you can look at x number of analog seasons, all having the same number of tropical storms, and find a wide variance in tracks from season to season. The general shifts of large-scale patterns from a meridianal to a zonal orientation may or may not be definitively linked to the same set of parameters that determine the level of activity in a season. > Last year the Atlantic seemed to have abnormally chilly waters off the >southeast. None of the storms that followed the "Hugo" track seemed to be >able to make it past level 2. Even the water around the Bahamas was cold >last year - very low 80s. Keep in mind that tropical activity itself can be partly responsible for this. When you have an active season (which we had) and a persistent large-scale circulation pattern ( the blocking trough) you are going to have several systems moving through the same general area of ocean. Each system in turn will leach some of the energy and cause cooling at the surface. After the passage of well developed hurricane, SST's can drop a few degrees over a large area, and remain suppressed for weeks. This phenomena was observed last year, as several systems progressed through the SW Atl and recurved along the trough, covering the same general area of ocean. > With the exception of Gilbert, there has been a notable absense of >hurricanes, especially westward-moving hurricanes, in the Carribean. This is very true. There has been a decided absence of westward-moving, classic hurricanes penetrating the Caribbean and reaching the Gulf of Mexico over the past 30 or so years. > When the atmosphere resorts itself in whatever long cycle it goes >through to allow hurricanes access the the REALLY warm part of the >Atlantic basin, you're going to see some monsters. And the most dangerous >storm on earth is a northward moving hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico >(especially one which was cat 5 all the way WNW through the Carribean). You are correct here, although I will add a caveat that the most dangerous storm on earth could well be a major hurricane moving at a good clip to a landfall along the mid-Atlantic or New England coast, ala the Long Island Express of 1938. There are some truly major accumulations of property and people that have little to no expereince or expectation of getting a hurricane in their face. They are more used to getting slapped by the weaker left-hand side of weakening storms as they move up the seaboard. A major hurricane barrelling right into Chesapeake Bay, the New Jersey Coast or Long Island will cause a lot of unpleasantness. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 5 Jun 1997 18:03:54 GMT From: Brian Curran Subject: Re: twisters On Wed, 4 Jun 1997 18:57:14 GMT, egross@mailer.fsu.edu (Eric Gross) wrote: >>My dictionary defines "terrible" as: 1 a: exciting extreme alarm or >>intense fear: TERRIFYING b: formidable in nature: AWESOME c: >>difficult. >>I agree with the original poster: "twisters are terrible". > >I will now make a very professional, intelligent and dignified comment, >drawing upon all the knowledge gained in my roughly 20 years of storm chasing: > >(Sticking out tounge) Ppppppppphhhhhhhhhhhhhhtttttttt! Eric has here what my be the most intelligent comment made in this medium in some time 8^). >Back off jack, it's been a long day and I am in *no* mood for quibbling over >definitions. I'm a historian, and if you mess with me, I'll write a treatment >of you and your family that'll have future generations thinking Hitler was a >panty-waist and Stalin a monk in comparison. . . . :) > >There, I feel much better now. Man, can I take notes? >Perhaps the poster meant "terrible" in the sense of "awesome" or "inspiring >fear." I doubt it, however, I have a strong suspicion they meant exactly >what people usually mean when they use the word as a description. In any >event, I have spent so many years combating the idea that hurricanes, >tornadoes, storms, etc., are intrinsically somehow "evil" or "bad" that I am >predisposed to fly off the handle. My apologies. > >I have found a very interesting psychological dynamic in place when it comes >to severe weather and people -- if people can ascribe malevolent, capricious >behavior to a physical phenomena, it often makes it easier for them to feel >that they or the public in general are helpless and victims, rather than >engendering a feeling that humans have the capacity to protect themselves and >others by overcoming ignorance, exercising intelligent awareness and making >good decisions. > >So, yeah, "twisters are terrible," in a dictionary sense. My counterpoints, >however, still stand. And good counterpoints they are. You're right...it is human nature to fear what we do not understand. This fear manifests itself in everything from "twisters are terrible" to a belief in a supernatural being. Sometimes we cannot accept that things just *are*. We may not understand it now, and we may never understand it, but there it is, nonetheless. Either you fear it or you respect it. bc -- Brian Curran ebcurran@flash.net I speak for myself and for no one else. See the First Amendment for details. "Tenants of the house,/Thoughts of a dry brain in a dry season." -- T. S. Eliot ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 4 Jun 1997 to 5 Jun 1997 ************************************************ From - Sat Jun 7 16:13:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102402-4698>; Sat, 7 Jun 1997 13:12:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA122100; Sat, 7 Jun 1997 00:02:42 -0500 Message-Id: <199706070502.AAA122100@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Jun 1997 00:00:14 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 5 Jun 1997 to 6 Jun 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: d6934fafe6389a9926a54cf639862a75 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 21168 Status: OR There are 10 messages totalling 450 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Radar role in tornado warnings (2) 2. Any HF Fqys for Hunter A/C 3. Protocol for localized (sub-county) tornado warnings 4. F-5 Tornadoes 5. WX-talk archive access 6. Not taking immediate shelter (was radar role in tornado warnings) 7. F-Scale and ropes and such... 8. WAND-TV Doppler Radar? 9. Not taking immediate shelter (was radar role in tornadowarnings) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 6 Jun 1997 00:32:26 -0500 From: Roger Edwards Subject: Radar role in tornado warnings On Thu, 5 Jun 1997, Paul E. Pettit typed: > > This is rather lengthy, but I want to make one final point. > When you have supercells that are producing tornadoes, Severe thunderstorm > warnings are essentially a waste of time. It is dangerous to generalize too much when you're dealing with any topic in meteorology, but especially warnings. I see where Paul is coming from; but many other people reading this (including, unfortunately, some NWS forecasters) may not fully realize that 1) There are such things as non-tornadic supercells - and they are more common than tornadic supercells, 2) There are forecast tools available besides the 88D that can be used to help distinguish between the two, and most importantly: 3) There is such a thing as false alarm rate! In personal observations, private e-mail and conversation with many WCMs and SOOs, it is becoming increasingly apparent that the "Better make the warning red (tornado) just in case" philosophy is quite widespread, and false-alarm rate be damned. Is this good public service? Isn't there concern over desensitization to warnings because of the sheer numbers? Yes, certainly. I think that this is being overwhelmed, however, by pure, unadulterated CYA, rooted in the fear of the "Dateline" syndrome: that as a forecaster, your *ss will be dangling from a meat hook if a tornado hits and you didn't have a warning out. This is a terrible pressure to put on line forecasters, who, for the most part, would like to issue the right warning for the situation. They really don't need that crap heaped on them. Operational result: see rotation, issue tornado warning -- even if the meso has little or no time continuity or vertical extent below mid levels, or if the ambient synoptic, sunsynoptic, and mesoscale environments suggest sustained, tornadic supercells are highly unlikely. [Yes, Virginia, tornado warnings are sometimes issued on a storm with 5 knots of flow at 500 mb and terrible SR flow at all levels, and nothing more than a broad 3D correlated shear signature in the mid levels!] News flash: most meso-algorithm alarms DO NOT warrant tornado warnings! Most forecasters know this; but some forecasters and many of you out in the peanut gallery may not. There are other situations when the meso algorithm will not trip, yet tornadoes are likely from a storm (e.g., many tropical cyclone sueprcells). Effective, timely, accurate warning for severe local storms requires meteorologists to use more than radar as a warning tool. In fact, a thorough familiarity with the ambient synoptic and subsynoptic situations -- reinforced by as-often-as-possible mesoanalyses -- is the minimum one can do to understand why the echoes are behaving as they are, and which are truly dangerous versus those that are not. SPC mesoscale guidance can (and is supposed to) assist greatly in this regard; but one should not depend entirely on others to do their thinking for them away from the shadows of the phosphorescent glow of those twin CRTs. Thankfully, there are some *excellent* forecasters out there who do, on a daily basis, thoroughly familiarize themselves with the world outside the PUP display, and it shows in the nature and quality of their warnings. (caps for emphasis): THE HARDEST THING TO DO IS TO NOT ISSUE A WARNING. The best forecasters have the scientific knowledge base to back up that decision, along with the "cojones" to make that call when they deem necessary and to stand up to second-guessing of that decision. On a related note... I recently had a conversation with one forecaster for whom I otherwise have great respect, but who told me something disturbing: He/she will issue tornado warnings on supercells that he/she "knows damn well" will not produce a tornado, but that are producing extremely large hail or extremely severe and damaging non-tornadic wind gusts. The rationale -- superficially noble -- is that the tornado warning adds an extra element of alarm and would cause more people to get inside. This may be true -- but for how long? Ultimately, this dilutes tornado warnings through false alarms, defeating their literal purpose and possibly causing someone to die in the future after not taking the 15th tornado warning of this year seriously enough. Aren't tornado warnings supposed to be issued for *tornadoes*? Yes. Why not issue a severe thunderstorm warning? Here's why -- so many are issued for marginal events that pose little threat (e.g., dime size hail) that they are seldom taken seriously anymore by many people. Solutions? Here are two: raising severe criteria (thus reducing warnings) and/or adding an "extremely severe" warning category for storms that, though non-tornadic, pose a great risk to human life. See the web address below for more discussion. NOTE: Proposals to raise warning criteria for hail are now being taken seriously by NWS Office of Meteorology (at long last) -- due not to any purely public-service reasoning but instead to the overloading of data distribution circuits by tens of thousands of warnings per year, which has resulted in numerous complaints and in some users' turning off the feeds. Whatever the cause, let's hope there are constructive, *physics-based* changes and not just a token gesture (say, .88 inch or one inch) just for show. > Suggestions have been made by me, > Kevin Pence (BHM) and others that maybe the criteria for issuing tornado > warnings needs to be changed to fit the situation that is occurring. Absolutely! This is "situational relevance," a topic touched upon in http://www.wildstar.net/~tornado/verf.htm ...a discussion of warning and verification practices with suggestions for improvements. The rules change from day to day, from storm to storm, and even within the same storm as time passes! Cookbook forecasting cannot account for this!!! FYI - I will attempt to update and make minor corrections to that essay (essentially unchanged the past 6 months) in the next week or so, since it appears I will be doing little chasing during the remainder of my vacation. Keep checking in... ------------------------- *** No disclaimer necessary; this is my personal account! *** "Gimme the @$#% camera! You have ===== Roger Edwards ===== no common sense at all!" Private citizen - former NSSL chase partner (Muzzle me, I call lawyer) :::::::::: http://www.wildstar.net/~tornado :::::::::: "I FEAST ON THE SMORGASBORD OF ATMOSPHERIC VIOLENCE." ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 6 Jun 1997 09:23:55 EDT From: Mark Widerstrom Subject: Re: Any HF Fqys for Hunter A/C Anyone have the freqs for the hurricane hunter aircraft voice to ground ??? Thanks mark ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 6 Jun 1997 08:24:28 -0500 From: Gayland Kitch Subject: Re: Radar role in tornado warnings Roger Edwards wrote: > He/she will issue tornado warnings on supercells that he/she "knows damn > well" will not produce a tornado, but that are producing extremely large > hail or extremely severe and damaging non-tornadic wind gusts. The > rationale -- superficially noble -- is that the tornado warning adds an > extra element of alarm and would cause more people to get inside A secondary problem with this is that a good deal of the general public, when warned that severe weather (and particularly a tornado) is approaching, will NOT immediately take shelter as appropriate and advised, but rather will first go outside or to a window to see what's going on. (At least two things going on here: 1) the "I know more than the government/media does" attitude, and 2) the video camera syndrome.) The problem with this if the storm had a short-fused warning, the person going to the window is likely to receive a face full of glass. IF we can give the public factual warnings that they have reason to trust WITHOUT having to go outside, and IF we can keep the warning lead-time to that necessary to find shelter (without stretching it out too long), then the greatest effect in saving lives has been made. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 6 Jun 1997 09:48:54 CDT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: Re: Protocol for localized (sub-county) tornado warnings >From: Kevin Scharfenberg > >Here is the official policy of the Southern Region of the NWS regarding >Tornado Warnings, from their home page: (stuff deleted) >Gregory Jackson of the NWS has written a program that is becoming more >popular in the NWS. It appends locations in the path of the >storm/tornado and estimated times of arrival, such as: > > LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO INCLUDE... > BURTSELL AROUND 225 PM CST ... > OKOLONA AROUND 230 PM CST ... > GURDON AROUND 230 PM CST ... > GUM SPRINGS AROUND 250 PM CST ... > ARKADELPHIA AROUND 250 PM CST ... I have some concerns about this use of this kind of text in a warning. Not only will those in the path who's towns aren't listed, get a false sense of security ("it won't hit here...we're not in the warning!"), but people in the listed towns may think the tornado will hit them at *exactly* the time worded in the warning. Instead, I porpose a warning like this to read: AT 200PM, A TORNADO WAS REPORTED NEAR ACE CITY. THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE VICINITY OF THIS TORNADO BEFORE THE FOLLOWING TIMES: BEEVILLE BEFORE 225 PM CDT SEABURGH BEFORE 245 PM CDT etc. In other words, this could give the public a reasonable feeling that they should take cover now, and wait until these times have passed before leaving their shelter. Or, in certain situations where the warning is given with much advanced lead time (e.g., SEABURGH), the public can decide for themselves how long to wait until taking shelter (thereby avoiding the "I've been underground for 20 minutes now, when is that tornado going to hit? I'm leaving my shelter!"). Of course, in order to issue these kinds of statements, particular *care* must be taken to make sure the times of arrival as close to accurate (and understanding the lag between the time of the WSR-88D 0.5 degree elevation scan and the products issued at the end of a volume scan). Knowing that storms can evolve greatly over short time scales, tornado warnings should frequently be updated with severe weather statements (SVS) that *supercede* the original tornado warnings, and are broadcast with a tone alert and EAS activation. Discussion is welcome. greg stumpf, NSSL Disclaimer: Any opinions expressed in my posts, e-mail, or any other form of electronic communications are mine, and do not necessarily reflect the opinion of the U.S. Government, NOAA, NWS, or NSSL! These posts are intended as discussion material only and should not be subject to quotation by printed or electronic media without prior, personal approval. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 6 Jun 1997 12:03:47 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: F-5 Tornadoes Fred Ostby (former Director of NSSFC and now with The Weather Channel) was having some problems posting to WX-TALK due to e-mail changes. I have fixed the problem and am posting his original message for him. ..Chris.. = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = There have been some postings about previous F-5 tornadoes. My sources indicate the following tornadoes in the 90's that were rated F-5: Jul 18 1996 Oakfield WI 0Killed 12inj Jun 16 1992 Chandler MN 1K 35inj Apr 26 1991 Andover KS 13K 150 inj Aug 26 1990 Plainfield IL 29K 350inj Mar 13 1990 Hesston KS 1K 60inj Mar 13 1990 Goessel KS 1K 0inj The Jun 8 1995 tornado at Pampa TX was rated an F4 and still is, as far as I know. The Oakfield F5 was unusual in that there were no fatalities. I can't remember another F5 without deaths, but I don't have all that past data with me right now. Fred Ostby ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 6 Jun 1997 12:15:56 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Re: WX-talk archive access Bill Hensley wrote me: >Hi, Chris, I was trying to access the latest wx-talk archive >(ftp://po.uiuc.edu/wx-talk/wx-talk.log9706a) with no luck. I >looked at the file permissions (included as an attachment) >and it could be that the latest one does not have the >permission necessary for outside access. Bill: Due to file contention problems, we've had to prevent people from accessing the latest log file for any given WX-***** list via FTP. We were having problems with people doing slow downloads causing the log files to become unavailable for writing --thus LISTSERV would choke and disable that particular list. To access the most recent log file you will need to issue a SENDME command to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU in the following format: sendme wx-talk.log9706a Note, the name of the most recent log file will change from week to week. The naming format of the log files is: .LOG Where is the name of the list (ie. WX-TALK), is the year (ie. 97 for 1997), is the month (ie. 06 for June), and is the week ("A" being the first week of the month, "B" being the second...). LISTSERV will send you the file via e-mail. Sorry for the inconvience but it's better than having the lists get locked up all the time. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 6 Jun 1997 14:31:50 -0400 From: "Gregory A. Surplus" Subject: Re: Not taking immediate shelter (was radar role in tornado warnings) At 08:24 AM 6/6/97 -0500, Gayland wrote: >>A secondary problem with this is that a good deal of the general public, >when warned that severe weather (and particularly a tornado) is >approaching, will NOT immediately take shelter as appropriate and advised, >but rather will first go outside or to a window to see what's going on. >(At least two things going on here: 1) the "I know more than the >government/media does" attitude, and 2) the video camera syndrome.) The >problem with this if the storm had a short-fused warning, the person going >to the window is likely to receive a face full of glass. > >IF we can give the public factual warnings that they have reason to trust >WITHOUT having to go outside, and IF we can keep the warning lead-time to >that necessary to find shelter (without stretching it out too long), then >the greatest effect in saving lives has been made. > I'm not sure I agree completely with you in this case. I agree with the lack of public respect for heeding the warnings and there are situations where one should not go near a windows or outside but you seem to be suggesting that upon warning, one should trust ONLY the warning and avoid any sensory input even just to take a quick peek outside to assess the situation. What if a tornado comes and I don't receive the warning because the power went out and I was too dumb to replace the 9V backup battery in my Noaa-Weather Radio? Does that mean I'm am supposed to ignore the tornado that is moving toward me because I didn't receive the warning? I don't think I like the idea of total public reliance on warnings. This puts the NWS at higher risk for lawsuits IMHO since someone can say, "You didn't warn me. You discouraged me from making safety assessments of my own so I deserve to be compensated..etc so on..blah blah)". The best way to reduce injuries/deaths due to severe weather is not by warnings alone or personal observation alone but via the combination of the two. If I see threatning skies I know that I should go to shelter. If I get a warning I know I should move to shelter. If one fails the other one is there. Educating the public of when it is necessary to move to a safe place by following warnings AND looking at the skies is very important. I do agree in the importance of reliable warnings that have lead-times that realistically allow one to make it to safety. ********************************************************************** *Greg Surplus Microg's MD Weather Homepage * *gsurplus@delphi.com http://people.delphi.com/gsurplus/ * * * *Latest wxobs-mda map: http://people.delphi.com/gsurplus/wxobsmda.gif* *Past week: http://people.delphi.com/gsurplus/climate.html#WXOBS * ********************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 6 Jun 1997 14:24:09 -0500 From: Scott Reno Subject: F-Scale and ropes and such... Date: Wed, 04 Jun 1997 00:03:26 To: WX-Talk From: Scott Reno Subject: F-Scale and ropes and such... > From the Houston Chronicle: > 9:30 PM 5/30/1997 >We've only had three (F5's) nationwide in the last 10 years. >The most recent F5 was the 1995 twister that hit near Pampa, he said. 1. I didn't know the Pampa event was an F5, but, if that _is_ the case, just off the top of my head, weren't the Hesston and Goessel, KS (3/90), Plainfield, IL (8/90), Andover, KS (4/91), Chandler, MN (6/92) and Gnatville, AL (2/93) events, all this decade, all F5's? Dig, Reen ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 6 Jun 1997 15:37:43 EDT From: "j. j. rosich" <73140.1571@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: WAND-TV Doppler Radar? Hello Everyone, Does anybody know where the WAND-TV (Channel 17) radar out of Decatur Illinois went to? It seems their web page has changed....and I can't seem to find it. (The old site used to be: http://www.wandtv.com/radar/radar.htm ). Thanks! John ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 6 Jun 1997 17:28:03 -0500 From: Gayland Kitch Subject: Re: Not taking immediate shelter (was radar role in tornadowarnings) Gregory A. Surplus wrote: >... you > seem to be suggesting that upon warning, one should trust ONLY the warning > and avoid any sensory input even just to take a quick peek outside to assess > the situation. What if a tornado comes and I don't receive the warning > because > the power went out and I was too dumb to replace the 9V backup battery in > my Noaa-Weather Radio? Does that mean I'm am supposed to ignore the tornado > that is moving toward me because I didn't receive the warning? I'm not trying to suggest that staying aware of your surroundings is wrong. What I was trying to point out is that many people use the public warnings as a guide as to when to go outside and "bag that 'nader". My "guarantee" to the citizens of my city is that when they hear the alerting sirens sound and their cable television is interrupted with my voice (excepting when I announce this as a test), there IS a tornado IMMEDIATELY threatening my city. The other half of the "guarantee" is that if there is a tornado immediately threatening the city, the sirens/cable interrupt WILL be activated. I take this trust very seriously. (re: watching out the window - I have a unique office/emergency operations center...it's more than likely the only one within Oklahoma that is not only on the second floor, but also with 4 large south-facing windows! We do with what we are given...) Gayland Kitch Emergency Manager/Webmaster The City of Moore, Oklahoma 405 793-5062 ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 5 Jun 1997 to 6 Jun 1997 ************************************************ From - Sun Jun 8 15:56:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102367-10958>; Sun, 8 Jun 1997 13:13:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA124182; Sun, 8 Jun 1997 00:08:27 -0500 Message-Id: <199706080508.AAA124182@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Jun 1997 00:00:33 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 6 Jun 1997 to 7 Jun 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 9dc764c12dae90c68ce98f7140586f95 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 20983 Status: OR There are 8 messages totalling 440 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 5 Jun 1997 to 6 Jun 1997 (3) 2. Radar role in tornado warnings 3. Hurricane and Tornado Specials 4. Updated Seasonal Hurricane Forecast for 1997 5. Tropical Weather Products from NEMAS 6. WAND-TV Doppler Radar? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 7 Jun 1997 01:41:57 EDT From: michael a cohen Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 5 Jun 1997 to 6 Jun 1997 RE: F-5 RATINGS I'M SORRY THAT I CAN NOT REMEMBER, BUT WHAT WAS THE SARAGOSA TORNADO RATED. Michael Cohen ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 6 Jun 1997 13:03:15 -0700 From: Weather Scratch Subject: Re: Radar role in tornado warnings Roger Edwards wrote: > On a related note... > I recently had a conversation with one forecaster for whom I otherwise > have great respect, but who told me something disturbing: > He/she will issue tornado warnings on supercells that he/she "knows damn > well" will not produce a tornado, but that are producing extremely large > hail or extremely severe and damaging non-tornadic wind gusts. The > rationale -- superficially noble -- is that the tornado warning adds an > extra element of alarm and would cause more people to get inside. This > may be true -- but for how long? While I am singling out just one point the Roger made, and believe me I have a vast amount of respect for Roger, but I can see where this "Forecaster" is coming from too. However recently an F0 was warned for caught on Videotape and aired on a local TV Station, and all three local stations went live....etc.... the big "media thing", and the most disturbing point was that a number of reporters were making the same comment across the three stations, and that point was the streets were lined with people !!! OUTSIDE !!!!, looking at the sky, rather than inside taking cover when the warning went out, now true this was not an F5, but had it been the death toll would be large. Not to mention just have a tree blown down and the "eyewitness" says in the mic on the live shot - "IT was a TORNADO, it had to be, there was a roor!!! and the tree came down, so ALL damage, suddenly becomes = A TORNADO, without fact or record. So this forecaster may have the same type of "mind set", if it contains hail or high winds, then lets issue the Tornado warning, and the folks will call the damage a tornado anyhow so they can't say they were not warned for it. If there is a tornado then our butts are free and clear - But then again I think at the base of most SVR TSRA Warning that it says something like - REMEMBER SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO WARNING. WHEN THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES BE PREPARED TO SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. If that is not CYA, then what is CYA, then again DATELINE will omit that from their report most likely and the public will never know anyways. Nor do I think the public cares, it was a tornado in their minds, regardless of what our damage survey says, which damage surveys and so on, rarely get reported on anyways. Is the media now controlling how we warn for severe weather?? in my opinion they are getting darn close - Your opinion please! These of course are my personal opinions, not those of my employer. John ========================================================================= Weather Scratch Meteorological Services 140 South Kirkman Street Florence, Alabama 35630-4312 (205) 766-8464 Voice/Fax (205) 984-4219 Digital Pager INTERNET E-Mail: metservices@wxscratch.com WEB PAGE: http://www.wxscratch.com Shop the Weather Store, Subscribe to Weather Watch Magazine, Buy a Boltek Lightning Detection System, or contact Weather Scratch for all your research and meteorological needs! Ask about The Severe Local Storm Forecasting Primer or a WINDY Tee Shirt! ========================================================================= ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 6 Jun 1997 03:36:56 -0400 From: Howard Robinson Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 5 Jun 1997 to 6 Jun 1997 Just want to announce my page, its back up at http://giant.net/~hrobins. I have over 100 weather links, please feel free to look at my page. Btw, I am looking for someone to help me with a torando and weather FAQ. Thanks, Howard Howard Robinson Presdent GCSU College Republicans Georgia College & State University CPO #2530 Milledgeville,ga 31061 Phone:912-454-0553 http://www.geocities.com/CapeCanaveral/4832 http://acs5.gac.peachnet.edu/~hrobins email:hrobins@peachnet.campus.mci.net hrobins@sleepy.gac.net hrobins@acs5.gac.peachnet.edu ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 6 Jun 1997 13:13:16 GMT From: Eric Gross Subject: Re: Hurricane and Tornado Specials >As long as we know what "like years" are, which we don't. And we didn't >have a "blocking trough," whatever that is, last year, since a category >three hurricane and a category two hurricane both hit the US East Coast. >This is more reminiscent of the middle 1950s than any other period. In defense of the original poster, the idea he is trying to express about a "blocking trough" (The Pac Man trough, we call it) is that dominant large-scale atmospheric patterns have made it very difficult for Cape Verde-type tropical systems to penetrate the Caribbean Basin in recent seasons. He wasn't saying that this equates into "no hurricanes hitting the U.S." Recurvature *has* dominated the past few seasons, and fortunatley so -- 1995 and 1996 were terrifically active, but most of the storms stayed out to sea or "only" affected small areas of land. >What you are trying to do is analog forecasting, but there are no close >analogs from year to year in our records, so it just won't work. Absolutely -- a point I was also trying to make. ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 7 Jun 1997 09:57:15 -0600 From: "Paul E. Pettit" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 5 Jun 1997 to 6 Jun 1997 >It is dangerous to generalize too much when you're dealing with any topic >in meteorology, but especially warnings. I see where Paul is coming from; >but many other people reading this (including, unfortunately, some NWS >forecasters) may not fully realize that >1) There are such things as non-tornadic supercells - and they are > more common than tornadic supercells, >2) There are forecast tools available besides the 88D that can be used to > help distinguish between the two, and most importantly: >3) There is such a thing as false alarm rate! I did not mean that we should go off and issue tornado warnings for all supercells, I should have been clearer. I agree that the forecaster should have a grasp of the situation and know which events will more likely produce the tornadoes. True not all supercells produce tornadoes, but in the Jarrell instance those storms in that area were pretty well dropping tornadoes at will. There are rare situations when the dynamics are right, that tornadoes will be spawned at will. In the case of 84 (don't have the exact figures handy) we must have issued 50+ warnings in a 20 county or less area, and almost every one of the storms produced a tornado. The numbers of tornadoes being reported was unbelievable. In this case, we could not keep up manually on the radar, and effectively issue warnings (WSO remember-6man staff and 4 working at the time) without doing what we eventually did, drop the Severe Thunderstorm warnings and go strictly to Tornado. >In personal observations, private e-mail and conversation with many WCMs >and SOOs, it is becoming increasingly apparent that the "Better make the >warning red (tornado) just in case" philosophy is quite widespread, and >false-alarm rate be damned. Is this good public service? Agree with Roger here. As my Verification paper attests, the increase in numbers of warnings is alarming. Also the verification rate for tornadoes is far from what we would hope. Over warning is surely occurring and FAR's do no show improvement with NEXRAD that one would expect. >Isn't there concern over desensitization to warnings because of the sheer >numbers? Yes, certainly. >Effective, timely, accurate warning for severe local storms requires >meteorologists to use more than radar as a warning tool. Without a doubt! >Thankfully, there are some *excellent* forecasters out there who do, on a >daily basis, thoroughly familiarize themselves with the world outside the >PUP display, and it shows in the nature and quality of their warnings. >(caps for emphasis): THE HARDEST THING TO DO IS TO NOT ISSUE A WARNING. I would expect the numbers of warnings to go down with today's technology and the training available for forecasters. (Given no extraordinary increase in severe weather). We issued less tornado warnings with Doppler at Montgomery than we did with just the 74C by itself. >NOTE: Proposals to raise warning criteria for hail are now being taken >seriously by NWS Office of Meteorology (at long last) -- due not to any >purely public-service reasoning but instead to the overloading of data >distribution circuits by tens of thousands of warnings per year, which >has resulted in numerous complaints and in some users' turning off the >feeds. Whatever the cause, let's hope there are constructive, >*physics-based* changes and not just a token gesture (say, .88 inch or >one inch) just for show. About time, but I hope they make it high enough to fit the situation and maybe stop some of the pressuring about "dime size". >> Kevin Pence (BHM) and others that maybe the criteria for issuing tornado >> warnings needs to be changed to fit the situation that is occurring. Sorry I did not mention you Roger as your paper addresses this subject very well. Paul E. Pettit Weather Consulting http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 7 Jun 1997 19:41:53 -0400 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Updated Seasonal Hurricane Forecast for 1997 ABOVE_AVERAGE HURRICANE SEASON FORECAST STANDS; COLORADO STATE'S GRAY SAYS GLOBAL CLIMATE FACTORS POINT TO MORE ACTIVE STORM ERA (Colorado State Press release for June 6, 1997) [ NOTE: Full version with figures at: ] [ http://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/forecasts ] [ For more information contact: ] [ Carrie Schafer or Tom Milligan ] [ phone: (970) 491-6432 fax: (970) 491-6433 ] [ e-mail: CSchafer@vines.colostate.edu ] FORT COLLINS--Colorado State University's team of hurricane forecasters said global weather patterns continue to support above-average hurricane activity in 1997, ushering in the possibility the Atlantic Basin will experience the most active three-year hurricane span on record. The noted team, led by Professor William Gray, released an updated forecast today that continues to predict 11 tropical storms forming in 1997, with seven hurricanes and three intense hurricanes developing. On average, 9.3 tropical storms, 5.8 hurricanes and 2.1 major hurricanes form annually. If the team's prediction materializes, 1997 would be the third consecutive above-average hurricane season, making the period between 1995-97 the most active three-year hurricane period in the last 120 years. This trend contrasts with 1991-94, the most inactive four-year stretch within the same period. Gray said this recent trend of above-average hurricane activity supports the team's theory that the Atlantic Basin is entering a new era of more tropical storms and hurricanes, generating more intense and, therefore, damaging hurricanes. "We experienced a downturn in hurricane activity from the early 1970s to the early 1990s, when there were much fewer intense hurricanes, " Gray said. "Now it appears we are entering a period of increased hurricane activity similar to the late 1940s to the late 1960s, when there were many more major hurricanes making landfall along the East Atlantic coast, Florida and the Caribbean." Although these intense hurricanes make up only one-fourth of all named storms that form, they cause about 75 percent of all tropical storm damage. Intense hurricanes have sustained winds of at least 111 mph and fall into categories 3, 4 and 5 on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Hurricanes Hugo in 1989 and Andrew in 1992 were both Category 4 when they made landfall. In comparison, storms categorized simply as hurricanes have sustained winds of 74 mph or greater. Gray's hurricane forecasts--issued in December, April, June and August--do not predict landfall and apply only to the Atlantic Basin, which encompasses the Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico. The recent forecast remains unchanged from the forecast Gray's team made in April, even though one important factor that usually helps reduce hurricane activity seems to be present. The team and other meteorologists agreed that an El Nino--a period of warmer than normal water temperatures off the coast of Peru--is now in place. When El Nino is present, water temperatures reach about 27 to 29 degrees Celsius, or about 1 or 2 degrees Celsius more than normal. This rise in ocean temperature causes strong winds to blow in a westerly direction from the Pacific Ocean to the Atlantic Ocean. These strong winds typically act to shear off developing hurricanes. But Gray and his team said most other factors used to reach their prediction point to an above-average season and are expected to offset most negative El Nino influences. "The many other factors we look at in the Atlantic Basin are so positive for hurricane development that I do not think El Nino will play a dominant role in reducing storm activity this year," Gray added. Other global weather features that strongly indicate an above-average hurricane season include warmer sea surface temperatures in the North Atlantic and tropical Atlantic, colder sea surface temperatures in the South Atlantic and increased rainfall in the Sahel region in West Africa. In addition, Gray's team maintains that the equatorial stratospheric winds at 68,000-75,000 feet--known as Quasi-Biennial Oscillation--will blow from a relative westerly direction. This tends to promote the formation of especially intense hurricanes. Gray and his colleagues also look at several other weather signals around the globe to reach their forecast. For example, Gray says that temperature readings of the air above Singapore at the 100 millibar level (54,000 feet) continue to be colder than usual. That serves as a precursor for above-normal hurricane activity for the Atlantic Ocean during the season, which began June 1. Other factors the team examines temperature and pressure readings in West Africa, Caribbean Sea-level pressure readings, tropospheric winds at 40,000 feet and pressure readings in the Caribbean Basin. An equally important long-range indicator of hurricane activity is the oceanic conveyor belt, the circulation of ocean water through the Pacific Rim and Indian Ocean up the west coast of Africa and into Atlantic polar regions, where it is chilled and then sinks back to lower levels before returning south. Gray believes this circulation pattern--which slowed between 1970-1994 to produce conditions that inhibited major hurricane formations--is now speeding up and therefore increasing the potential for above-average hurricane activity in the coming decades. In addition to Gray, the research team includes Chris Landsea, Colorado State graduate and researcher at NOOA's Hurricane Research Laboratory in Miami, Fla.; John Knaff, post-doctoral researcher at Colorado State; and statistics professors Paul Mielke and Kenneth Berry from Colorado State. GRAY RESEARCH TEAM'S HURRICANE FORECAST FOR '97 SEASON TODAY'S FORECAST 4/97 12/96 1. Named Storms (9.3) 11 11 11 2. Named Storm Days (46.1) 55 55 55 3. Hurricanes (5.7) 7 7 7 4. Hurricane Days (23) 25 25 25 5. Intense Hurricanes (2.1) 3 3 3 6. Intense Hurricane Days (4.5) 5 5 5 7. Hurricane Destruction Potential (68.1) 75 75 75 8. Net Tropical Cyclone Activity (100%) 110 110 110 '96 ACTUAL 8/96 6/96 8/96 11/95 1. Named Storms (9.3) 13 11 10 11 8 2. Named Storm Days (46.1) 78 50 45 55 40 3. Hurricanes (5.7) 9 7 6 7 5 4. Hurricane Days (23) 45 25 20 25 20 5. Intense Hurricanes (2.1) 6 3 2 2 2 6. Intense Hurricane Days (4.5) 13 4 5 5 5 7. Hurricane Destruction Potential (68.1) 135 70 60 75 50 8. Net Tropical Cyclone Activity (100%) 198 105 95 105 85 ( ) Represents average year totals based on 1950-1990 # Hurricane Destruction Potential measures a hurricane's potential for wind and ocean-surge damage. Tropical Storm, Hurricane and Intense Hurricane Days are four, six-hour periods where storms attain wind speeds appropriate to their category. ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** "June - too soon. July - stand by. .... Old Florida fisherman's jingle August - look out you must. .... on the hurricane season September - remember. .... (from _The Everglades: River of Grass_) October - all over." ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 7 Jun 1997 19:54:57 -0400 From: Matt Rosier Subject: Tropical Weather Products from NEMAS I would like invite all of you to visit the Tropical Division homepage of the NorthEast Meteorological and Astronomical Service (NEMAS). We provide unique products on this page, including daily Atlantic Tropical Activity Summaries, and bi-daily and tri-daily updates of the tracking map and Special Tropical Statements when the tropics are active. The page is located at: http://www.carr.lib.md.us/~mattr/trp.htm The Tropical Division of NEMAS, all NEMAS offices, and the organization itself are strictly non-profit. Thanks, and here's hoping for an active season! NEMAS-TRP Staff ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 7 Jun 1997 20:54:11 GMT From: Thomas Owens Subject: Re: WAND-TV Doppler Radar? http://www.wandtv.com/radar/radar.htm still works for me...perhaps their server was having problems earlier. In article <970606193742_73140.1571_IHO48-1@CompuServe.COM>, 73140.1571@COMPUSERVE.COM says... > >Hello Everyone, > >Does anybody know where the WAND-TV (Channel 17) radar out of Decatur Illinois >went to? It seems their web page has changed....and I can't seem to find it. > > >(The old site used to be: http://www.wandtv.com/radar/radar.htm ). > >Thanks! > >John > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html -- Thomas Owens tjo113@psu.edu ======================================================= The Allentown Weather Center - Over 1000 Weather Links! http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/weather.html The World Wide Web Virtual Library: Meteorology http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/WWW_Virtual_Library/ ======================================================= ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 6 Jun 1997 to 7 Jun 1997 ************************************************ From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jun 9 13:17:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102263-11893>; Mon, 9 Jun 1997 13:17:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA74338; Mon, 9 Jun 1997 00:08:42 -0500 Message-Id: <199706090508.AAA74338@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Jun 1997 00:01:58 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 7 Jun 1997 to 8 Jun 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 7 messages totalling 255 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. AccuWeather Chats[SPAM] 2. Zany KGRB NWSFO HOME PAGE! 3. RP: SOME ANTI-SPAM STUFF FOR FOLKS 4. Too Many Warnings... 5. Review of Severe Wx criteria 6. Hi All 7. Sad news from Millersville +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 8 Jun 1997 01:58:03 GMT From: Keith Thomas Subject: Re: AccuWeather Chats[SPAM] In article <5ncjk7$klv@iz.comcat.com>, shadow@comcat.com (The Shadow) wrote: >Yes, lets all join the chat and tell the clowns at AccuWeather just how >much we appreciate their repeated commercial advertising in our >newsgroups and how much we love the fact that they are using the SPAM >services of the notorious Replay and Company UnLimited (replay.com) to >repeat the unwanted postings on a daily basis. What a refreshing >addition to our otherwise commercial free weather-related groups. Indeed. They should stop if they knew what was good for them. IMHO, I could really give a damn less about AccuWx, their postings are just more annoyances - I'll just setup a killfile for anything with the word AccuWx in it. = Keith Thomas tornado@cybercomm.net http://www.cybercomm.net/~tornado/ = = Amateur Meteorologist - tornado_ on Undernet's #Weather = = Author of Net.Weather and Meteorology Wizard = ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 8 Jun 1997 07:32:43 -0700 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: Zany KGRB NWSFO HOME PAGE! Where else can you see Godzilla carrying his golf clubs past a WSR-88D except at, http://www.crh.noaa.gov/grb/ The fine folks at the Green Bay NWSFO seem to have a good sense of humor. I want to party with these joke meisters! :-D This graphic was the best laugh I had all week. Thank you Green Bay! ************************************************************************* 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA Milwaukee Area Skywarn Assoc./Milwaukee-Waukesha A.R.E.S./IL Multi-County Warning System E-Mail, bkopp@execpc.com Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" my severe weather and SKYWARN home page! SFTS! http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 8 Jun 1997 09:31:36 EDT From: Mark Widerstrom Subject: Re: RP: SOME ANTI-SPAM STUFF FOR FOLKS HERE IS SOME INFORMATION FOR THE FOLKS ON THE LIST SORRY FOR THE CAPS FOLKS HAVE LOW VISION AND CANT READ SMALL LETTERS. OUT OF THE HOUSTON CHROBICLE DATED JUN8 HERE SOME ANTI SPAM STUFF FOR EVERYONE AND SYSOPS SYSOPS TOO. 1. FIGHT SPAM ON THE INTERNET HTTP://SPAM.ABUSE.NET/ START HERE FOR EASY SIMPLE AND BASIC ,EASY TO READ PRIMER ON JUNK MAIL E-MAIL OR SPAM, THIS SITE WILL TEACH EVERYONE WHAT YOU CAN DO AND SHOULD NOT DO TO BATTLE SPAMMERS. 2. GET THE SPAMMER.HTTP://KRYTEN.ENG.MONASH.EDU/GSPAM.HTML THIS AUSTRALIAN BASED SITE INCLUDES A SERIES OF TOOLS THAT CAN HELP YOU TO IDENTIFY SPAMMERS DESPITE THEIR ATTEMPS TO CLOAK THEIR LOCATIONS IT ALSO INCLUDES TECHINICAL DETAILS ON TRACKING THEM DOWN AND SUGGESTIONS FOR INTERNET SERVICE PROVIDERS TO KEEP SPAMMERS FROM USING THEIR SYSTEMS. 3.ONE STOP ANTI SPAM- HTTP://HUDSON.IDT.NET/~HAL20001/ANTIJUNK.HTM ONE STOP SHOPPING ANTI SPAM INFORMATION.THIS SITE PROVIDES DOZENS OF LINKS TO SPAM RESOURCES INCLUDING SPAM PREVENTION SOFTWARE TO STOP SPAMMERS AND PLACES TO GO TO HAVE YOUR NAME TAKEN OFF SPAMMERS LISTS. HOPE THIS HELPS PEOPLE LIKE ME THAT WANTS TO KEEP "SPAM IN THE CAN" I HATE JUNK EMAIL. ONE THING I DO IS ON WHEN PEOPLE SEND ME EMAIL THAT IS SPAM I SEND A LETTER BACK TO THE POSTMASTER@XXXXXX.XXX THE POSTMASTER OF THE SERVER AND ATTACH THE SPAM MESSAGE TO IT AND TELL THEM TO TAKE THOSE FOLKS OFF THEIR SYSTEMS. MARK IN HOUSTON TRY THE HOUSTON CHRONICLE ON LINE TOO FOLKS, TODAYS PAPER HAS MANY MORE THINGS YOU CAN DO ON THE LISTS TO GET SPAMMERS OFF YOUR BACK ABOUT A DOZEN OF THESE HELPS WITH EMAIL ADDRESSESS, FOR THE DATE OF JUNE 8 l997 HTTP://HOU.CHRON.COM ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 8 Jun 1997 08:46:02 -0600 From: Jim Burgan Subject: Too Many Warnings... >A secondary problem with this is that a good deal of the general public, >when warned that severe weather (and particularly a tornado) is >approaching, will NOT immediately take shelter as appropriate and advised, >but rather will first go outside or to a window to see what's going on. >(At least two things going on here: 1) the "I know more than the >government/media does" attitude, and 2) the video camera syndrome.) The >problem with this if the storm had a short-fused warning, the person going >to the window is likely to receive a face full of glass. The public does not think they know more than the forcaster who issued the warning, and most people do not grab the camcorder and head for the trailer- park. Most people who see/hear a warning have seen warnings for years and don't take them seriously. In my life I have heard hundreds of Tornado warnings but the only funnel I ever saw was while on vacation in Florida. My point is not that too many warnings are issued, just how/why the public doesn't take them seriously. ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 8 Jun 1997 10:50:47 -0500 From: Skip Voros Subject: Review of Severe Wx criteria I was a little suprised that nobody has yet posted this item: > BROAD-BASED TEAM TO REVIEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORM > WARNING CRITERIA. By Bill Alexander, Mesoscale Mgr. > > For at least the past decade, users have expressed concern that the > criteria for designating thunderstorms "severe" is too low. During the > past few months, a large number of severe thunderstorm warnings (pro- > duct category SVR) has affected our customers' ability to use the new > Emergency Alert System (EAS). Because of the increasing volume of SVR's, > many of our customers have decided not to receive NWS products, affecting > NWS's ability to disseminate timely and effective warnings. > > Because reduced use of NWS products impacts the NWS mission, the issue > was a topic of discussion in the Fall 1996 Meteorological Services > Division (MSD) Conference. Further, numerous questions about SVR criteria > were raised to OM this spring through the Director's Advisory Committee > on Forecast Operations. OM Services Division Director Richard Przywarty > assigned the SVR criteria topic as an MSD Conference Action Item to the > Customer Service Core (OM11), and Donald Wernly, Chief, Customer Service, > has asked Bill Alexander to follow up. OM, therefore, is facilitating a > team to address the problem. James Purpura, Warning Coordination Meteor- > ologist (WCM) at NWSFO Norman, will lead the team. > > The issue of what constitutes a severe thunderstorm crosses multiple > disciplines. To insure a balanced approach, OM has asked each Region > to select a Science Operations Officer (SOO) and a WCM as team members. > In addition, we have asked for a representative from the SPC, Aviation > Weather Center, Office of Atmospheric Research, NWS Training Center, > and the Operational Support Facility/Operations Training Branch (OSF/ > OTB). > > We are also asking for representatives from; > > The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, > The Center for Operational Meteorology, Education and Training (COMET), > The American Meteorological Society's Board of Broadcast Meteorology, > The American Association of Wind Engineers, > The U.S. Air Force, > The Federal Aviation Administration, > Aircraft Owners and Pilots Association, > The Insurance Institute for Property Loss Reduction, and the Reinsurance > Association of American. > > While this seems a rather large team, such a diverse input is essential > to addressing the collateral issues of science, social science, and risk > management. Already, we in OM have taken note of the extensive commentary > regarding this issue in electronic mail and on the Internet. > > I have asked Jim Purpura to provide team recommendations to OM by July > 15th. Based on those recommendations and feedback from the Customer > Advisory Panel (membership of which spans the NWS customer base), OM will > recommend changes to severe thunderstorm warning (and therefore, severe > thunderstorm watch) criteria. ....From the Spring 1997 NWS Aware Report... Skip Voros/ Milwaukee Area SKYWARN Assoc. Inc. Our BBS carries: WX-Talk, Skywarn, WX-Chase ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 8 Jun 1997 20:36:04 -0400 From: Bob Metivier Subject: Hi All Bob Metivier N1XZJ"In Search Of Untamed Skys" Voice (508)9975649 Pager #354-4264 Fax # (508)9993996 E-mail address Stormchaser1@juno.com Just logged on to wx-talk and looking forward to some great weather dicussions.I'm a member of the South Coast Ma. Sky Warn Group,also associated with local ARES and RACES groups.Call Sign N1XZJ....73'sss to all....and "keep an eye to the sky" ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 8 Jun 1997 22:02:58 -0400 From: Nancy Merckle Subject: Sad news from Millersville I received some sad news from my alma-mater. Friday June 6, 1997, Dr. Russell DeSousa professor of meteorology at Millersville University passed away. I don't know if there are any other Millersville graduates on this list, but those of us who knew Dr. DeSouza, will certainly miss him. For me he was more than a meteorology professor, but also my advisor, mentor and friend. I will miss him greatly. The funeral arrangements are scheduled for Monday in Lancaster. Should any of you need additional information about the arrangements feel free to contact me, or check my website for a modest memorial. Nancy P.S. FYI, I am on digest so if this has already been posted to the list I apologize. ------------------------------------------------------------- nancym@clark.net .......... http://www.clark.net/pub/nancym/ -------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 7 Jun 1997 to 8 Jun 1997 ************************************************ From - Tue Jun 10 23:06:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102162-17029>; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 07:10:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA57814; Mon, 9 Jun 1997 17:26:23 -0500 Message-Id: <199706092226.RAA57814@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Jun 1997 17:20:58 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 8 Jun 1997 to 9 Jun 1997 - Special issue To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 123b16db6ac9147f5dd0ac2e31dbfa5c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 137054 Status: OR There are 5 messages totalling 2809 lines in this issue. Topics in this special issue: 1. KGRB NWSFO HOME PAGE 2. Protocol for localized (sub-county) tornado warnings (fwd) 3. Zany KGRB NWSFO HOME PAGE! 4. Caribbean Category 5 hurricanes: The Time is Ripe 5. Hurricane FAQ - part I: Yearly posting to Wx-talk... +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 9 Jun 1997 01:43:26 EDT From: Christopher S Davis Subject: KGRB NWSFO HOME PAGE >Date: Sun, 8 Jun 1997 07:32:43 -0700 >From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF >Subject: Zany KGRB NWSFO HOME PAGE! > >Where else can you see Godzilla carrying his golf clubs past a WSR-88D >except at, > >http://www.crh.noaa.gov/grb/ > >The fine folks at the Green Bay NWSFO seem to have a good sense of >humor. I want to party with these joke meisters! :-D > >This graphic was the best laugh I had all week. > >Thank you Green Bay! Did anyone see the 88D wearing a Packers helmet? I hope that I can work with people like this someday! Chris ********** Davis33@juno.com ****** Senior Meteorology Major *** University of South Alabama ** "Tornadoes Rule"--Beavis * ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 9 Jun 1997 10:53:57 EDT From: "Kenneth R. Cook" Subject: Re: Protocol for localized (sub-county) tornado warnings (fwd) > > >From: Kevin Scharfenberg > > > >Here is the official policy of the Southern Region of the NWS regarding > >Tornado Warnings, from their home page: > > (stuff deleted) > > >Gregory Jackson of the NWS has written a program that is becoming more > >popular in the NWS. It appends locations in the path of the > >storm/tornado and estimated times of arrival, such as: > > > > LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO INCLUDE... > > BURTSELL AROUND 225 PM CST ... > > OKOLONA AROUND 230 PM CST ... > > GURDON AROUND 230 PM CST ... > > GUM SPRINGS AROUND 250 PM CST ... > > ARKADELPHIA AROUND 250 PM CST ... > > I have some concerns about this use of this kind of text in a warning. > Not only will those in the path who's towns aren't listed, get a false > sense of security ("it won't hit here...we're not in the warning!"), > but people in the listed towns may think the tornado will hit them at > *exactly* the time worded in the warning. > > Instead, I porpose a warning like this to read: > > AT 200PM, A TORNADO WAS REPORTED NEAR ACE CITY. > > THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE VICINITY OF > THIS TORNADO BEFORE THE FOLLOWING TIMES: > > BEEVILLE BEFORE 225 PM CDT > SEABURGH BEFORE 245 PM CDT > etc. > > In other words, this could give the public a reasonable feeling that > they should take cover now, and wait until these times have passed > before leaving their shelter. Or, in certain situations where the > warning is given with much advanced lead time (e.g., SEABURGH), the > public can decide for themselves how long to wait until taking shelter > (thereby avoiding the "I've been underground for 20 minutes now, when > is that tornado going to hit? I'm leaving my shelter!"). > > Of course, in order to issue these kinds of statements, particular > *care* must be taken to make sure the times of arrival as close to > accurate (and understanding the lag between the time of the WSR-88D 0.5 > degree elevation scan and the products issued at the end of a volume > scan). Knowing that storms can evolve greatly over short time scales, > tornado warnings should frequently be updated with severe weather > statements (SVS) that *supercede* the original tornado warnings, and > are broadcast with a tone alert and EAS activation. > > Discussion is welcome. > > > greg stumpf, NSSL > > > Disclaimer: Any opinions expressed in my posts, e-mail, or any other > form of electronic communications are mine, and do not necessarily > reflect the opinion of the U.S. Government, NOAA, NWS, or NSSL! These > posts are intended as discussion material only and should not be > subject to quotation by printed or electronic media without prior, > personal approval. > I have some additional discussion I would like to add. I agree with Greg that the use of arrival times can be somewhat misleading. For instance, what happens when you are dealing with a metropolitan area, city, town, etc, that is even as little as 10 miles in diameter? One portion of the area could be affected long before the other areas in the city are. Example: > LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO INCLUDE... > CARY AROUND 220 PM CST ... > RALEIGH AROUND 235 PM CST ... > WAKE FOREST AROUND 255 PM CST ... I have just put out a warning for this area. (I have modified the above to represent an area that I am familiar with). This storm is moving NE at about 35 mph. The persons in SW Raleigh will feel the brunt of this storm about 10 min before the time on this warning and NE Raleigh will feel the affects about 10 after (using this program). I have found that when mentioning arrival times for towns larger than a few miles in dia that there can be information sent out that can be misleading. Therefore, we should not get into the habit of blindly following some warning programs times which are based on the center of some city. This has lead us into a quandry on what to do about this problem. By updating and using SVSs, we can be very effective in presenting realtime information. (As mentioned above) This is also where the local TV stations can make their greatest impact by working in concert with the local NWS office to present the public with very specific information. I would also like to add that these warnings are already accompanied by an expiration time and the use of additional 'expiration times' within in the warning itself may be confusing to the layperson. I have also encountered the 'why don't you mention my town' syndrome. The more towns we mention, the more others want their towns mentioned. I think its best to stick with the major metro areas (relatively speaking of course). Most people know where those locations are since they are likely to have to go into town for things now and then. Heck, believe it or not, many of these people don't even know what county they live in let alone what some small town is 15 miles away. The program I like the most is the one with the information delivered in bullet format. This gives you all of the most important information and won't scroll across the bottom of TWC for 5 minutes before it finally gets to which county the warning is for. Additional discussion welcome. Ken Disclaimer: Any opinions expressed in my posts, e-mail, or any other form of electronic communications are mine, and do not necessarily reflect the opinion of the U.S. Government, NOAA, NWS, or NSSL! These posts are intended as discussion material only and should not be subject to quotation by printed or electronic media without prior, personal approval. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 9 Jun 1997 04:29:30 GMT From: Brian Curran Subject: Re: Zany KGRB NWSFO HOME PAGE! On Sun, 8 Jun 1997 07:32:43 -0700, Bernie Kopp KB9KEF wrote: >Where else can you see Godzilla carrying his golf clubs past a WSR-88D >except at, > >http://www.crh.noaa.gov/grb/ > >The fine folks at the Green Bay NWSFO seem to have a good sense of >humor. I want to party with these joke meisters! :-D > >This graphic was the best laugh I had all week. > >Thank you Green Bay! I'm amazed that they were able to get away with it! I love GRB's website, but it was my impression that the nail that sticks up gets hammered down 8^(. >************************************************************************* >73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA >Milwaukee Area Skywarn Assoc./Milwaukee-Waukesha A.R.E.S./IL >Multi-County >Warning System bc -- Brian Curran ebcurran@flash.net I speak for myself and for no one else. See the First Amendment for details. "Tenants of the house,/Thoughts of a dry brain in a dry season." -- T. S. Eliot ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 9 Jun 1997 12:55:01 GMT From: Eric Gross Subject: Re: Caribbean Category 5 hurricanes: The Time is Ripe > I have seen storms in the western Pacific stay above 160mph for days at >a time. Well, keep in mind that: 1.) Intensity of West-pac typhoons is likely to be estimated by indirect methods more often than Atlantic hurricanes, making marginally more room for small variations in intensity that go unrecorded. 2.) The Pacific is *much* larger and free of land obstructions than the Atlantic. On average typhoons have a much larger area of wam sea surface temperatures to draw from. It is very difficult for an Atlantic hurricane moving on an average clip to find a stretch of open seawater at the proper temperature which would allow it to move for several days and maintain category 5 or 4 intensity. Not impossible, certainly, but difficult. >There may be fluctuations, but if they are between 155mph and >180mph, the storm stays a cat 5. Gilbert's inner eyewall defied >predictions that it would collapse and be replaced by a an contracting >outer eyewall, although it did (as I would expect) weaken before making >landfall on the Yucatan (but it was still cat 5). Ah, Gilbert went through several cycles of concentric eyewall activity. In fact, one of the defining papers on the subject chronicles the events. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 9 Jun 1997 18:14:51 -0400 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Hurricane FAQ - part I: Yearly posting to Wx-talk... Hi Wx-talkers, Below is the updated FAQ on hurricanes, etc. I realize that this is a bit lengthy for wx-talk, so this will be the only posting here in full this year... Best regards, chris ************************************************* FAQ: HURRICANES, TYPHOONS, AND TROPICAL CYCLONES ************************************************* Part I: ------- A : BASIC DEFINITIONS B : TROPICAL CYCLONE NAMES C : TROPICAL CYCLONE MYTHS D : TROPICAL CYCLONE WINDS E : TROPICAL CYCLONE RECORDS F : TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECASTING G : TROPICAL CYCLONE CLIMATOLOGY H : TROPICAL CYCLONE OBSERVATION By Christopher W. Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Miami, Florida 33149 landsea@aoml.noaa.gov 2 June, 1997 *********************** New for this month..... ....................... During a hurricane are you supposed to have the windows and doors on the storm side closed and the windows and doors on the lee side open? (Subject C5) What is the origin of the name "hurricane"? (Subject B4) How has Dr. Gray done in previous years of forecasting hurricanes? (Subject F3 - Revised - figures added for the html version) What are the most and least tropical cyclones occurring in the Atlantic basin and striking the USA? (Subject E9 - Revised - figures added for the html version) ....................... New for this month..... *********************** This is currently a two-part FAQ (Frequently Asked Questions report) that is in its second full incarnation (version 2.3). However, there may be some errors or discrepancies that have not yet been found. If you do see an item that needs correction, please contact me directly. This file (Part I) contains various definitions, answers for questions about names, myths, winds, records, forecasting, climatology and observation of tropical cyclones. Part II provides sites that you can access both real-time information about tropical cyclones, what is available on-line for historical storms, as well as good books to read and various references for tropical cyclones. Keep in mind that this FAQ is not considered a reviewed paper to reference. Its main purpose is to provide quick answers for (naturally) frequently asked questions as well as to be a pointer to various sources of information. I'd like to thank various people for helping to put together this FAQ: Sim Aberson, Jack Beven, Gary Padgett, Tom Berg, Julian Heming, Neal Dorst, Gary Gray, Stephen Caparotta, Steven Young, D. Walston all provided substantial bits to this FAQ. Also thanks to the many people who provided additional questions and information for this FAQ: Ilana Stern, Dave Pace, Dave Blanchard, Ken Fung, James (I R A Aggie) Stricherz, Mike Dettinger, Jan Schloerer, Eric Blake, Jeff Kepert, Frank Woodcock, Roger Edson, Bill Cherepy, Stephen Jascourt, Kelly Dean, Malcolm ???, Jon Gill, Ken Waters, Derek West, Gert van Dijken, George Gumbert III, Edward Reid, Tim Trice, Michael Scott, Kerry Emanuel, George Sambataro, James Lewis Free, Sam Biller, David Faciane, Eric Gross, Jeff Hawkins and Mike Fiorino. Many thanks also to Jan Null for providing the first .html version of the FAQ. If I didn't get to all the suggested FAQs, I'll try to include them in future versions. Where can I get the latest version of this document????? -------------------------------------------------------- ASCII VERSION: An ascii edition of the two portions for this FAQ are posted monthly on sci.geo.meteorology and on sci.environment usually early in each month. One can also ftp to retrieve the latest files at: hrd-type42.nhc.noaa.gov. Login as 'anonymous' and password as your email address. The files are available at that directory (TCfaqI and TCfaqII). If you do not have ftp access, you can request copies from me directly via email. FANCY VERSION: Neal Dorst has created a much enhanced World Wide Web version that is starting to include in helpful pictures as well. This user friendly site is available via your favorite web server at: http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/tcfaqHED.html *************************************************************************** OUTLINE ------- A : BASIC DEFINITIONS A1) What is a hurricane, typhoon, or tropical cyclone? A2) What are "Cape Verde"-type hurricanes? A3) What is a super-typhoon? A4) Where do these easterly waves come from and what causes them? A5) What is a sub-tropical cyclone? A6) How are tropical cyclones different from mid-latitude storms? A7) How are tropical cyclones different from tornadoes? A8) What does the acronym "CDO" in a discussion of tropical cyclones mean? A9) What is a TUTT? B : TROPICAL CYCLONE NAMES B1) Why are tropical cyclones named? B2) What are the tropical cyclone names through 2001? B3) What names have been retired in the Atlantic basin? B4) What is the origin of the name "hurricane"? C : TROPICAL CYCLONE MYTHS C1) Doesn't the low pressure in the tropical cyclone center cause the storm surge? C2) Doesn't the friction over land kill tropical cyclones? C3) Aren't big tropical cyclones also intense tropical cyclones? C4) Why don't we try to destroy tropical cyclones by: pick one or more - a) seeding them with silver iodide. b) placing a substance on the ocean surface. c) nuking them d) etc. ? C5) During a hurricane are you supposed to have the windows and doors on the storm side closed and the windows and doors on the lee side open? D : TROPICAL CYCLONE WINDS D1) How are Atlantic hurricanes ranked? D2) How are Australian tropical cyclones ranked? D3) Why do tropical cyclones' winds rotate counter-clockwise (clockwise) in the Northern (Southern) Hemisphere? D4) How do I convert from mph to knots (to m/s) and from inches of mercury to mb (to hPa)? D5) How does the damage that hurricanes cause increase as a function of wind speed? E : TROPICAL CYCLONE RECORDS E1) Which is the most intense tropical cyclone on record? E2) Which tropical cyclone intensified the fastest? E3) Which tropical cyclone has produced the highest storm surge? E4) What are the largest rainfalls associated with tropical cyclones? E5) Which are the largest and smallest tropical cyclones on record? E6) Which tropical cyclone lasted the longest? E7) Which tropical cyclones have caused the most deaths and most damage? E8) What are the average, most, and least tropical cyclones occurring in each basin? E9) What are the most and least tropical cyclones occurring in the Atlantic basin and striking the USA? E10) For the U.S., what are the 10 most intense, 10 costliest, and 10 highest death toll hurricanes on record? E11) What tropical storms and hurricanes have moved from the Atlantic to the Northeast Pacific or vice versa? F : TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECASTING F1) What regions around the globe have tropical cyclones and who is responsible for forecasting there? F2) What is Prof. Gray's seasonal hurricane forecast for this year and what are the predictive factors? F3) How has Dr. Gray done in previous years of forecasting hurricanes? F4) What are those track and intensity models that the Atlantic forecasters are talking about in the tropical storm and hurricane Discussions? G : TROPICAL CYCLONE CLIMATOLOGY G1) What is the annual cycle of occurrence seen in each basin? G2) How does El Nino-Southern Oscillation affect tropical cyclone activity around the globe? G3) What may happen with tropical cyclone activity in a 2xCO2 world? G4) Are we getting stronger and more frequent hurricanes, typhoons, and tropical cyclones in the last several years? G5) Why do tropical cyclones occur primarily in the summer and autumn? G6) What determines the movement of tropical cyclones? G7) Why doesn't the South Atlantic Ocean experience tropical cyclones? G8) Does an active June and July mean the rest of the season will be busy too? G9) Why do hurricanes hit the East coast of the U.S., but never the West coast? G10) How much lightning occurs in tropical cyclones? H : TROPICAL CYCLONE OBSERVATION H1) What is the Dvorak technique and how is it used? H2) Who are the "Hurricane Hunters" and what are they looking for? *************************************************************************** Subject: A1) What is a hurricane, typhoon, or tropical cyclone? The terms "hurricane" and "typhoon" are regionally specific names for a strong "tropical cyclone". A tropical cyclone is the generic term for a non-frontal synoptic scale low-pressure system over tropical or sub- tropical waters with organized convection (i.e. thunderstorm activity) and definite cyclonic surface wind circulation (Holland 1993). Tropical cyclones with maximum sustained surface winds (see note below) of less than 17 m/s (34 kt) are called "tropical depressions". (This is not to be confused with the condition mid-latitude people get during a long, cold and grey winter wishing they could be closer to the equator ;-) Once the tropical cyclone reaches winds of at least 17 m/s they are typically called a "tropical storm" and assigned a name. If winds reach 33 m/s (64 kt), then they are called: a "hurricane" (the North Atlantic Ocean, the Northeast Pacific Ocean east of the dateline, or the South Pacific Ocean east of 160E); a "typhoon" (the Northwest Pacific Ocean west of the dateline); a "severe tropical cyclone" (the Southwest Pacific Ocean west of 160E or Southeast Indian Ocean east of 90E); a "severe cyclonic storm" (the North Indian Ocean); and a "tropical cyclone" (the Southwest Indian Ocean) (Neumann 1993). Note that just the definition of "maximum sustained surface winds" depends upon who is taking the measurements. The World Meteorology Organization guidelines suggest utilizing a 10 min average to get a sustained measurement. Most countries utilize this as the standard. However the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the USA use a 1 min averaging period to get sustained winds. This difference may provide complications in comparing the statistics from one basin to another as using a smaller averaging period may slightly raise the number of occurrences (Neumann 1993). *************************************************************************** Subject: A2) What are "Cape Verde"-type hurricanes? Cape Verde-type hurricanes are those Atlantic basin tropical cyclones that develop into tropical storms fairly close (<1000km or so) of the Cape Verde Islands and then become hurricanes before reaching the Caribbean. (That would be my definition, there may be others.) Typically, this may occur in August and September, but in rare years (like 1995) there may be some in late July and/or early October. The numbers range from none up to around five per year - with an average of around 2. *************************************************************************** Subject: A3) What is a super-typhoon? A "super-typhoon" is a term utilized by the U.S. Joint Typhoon Warning Center in Guam for typhoons that reach maximum sustained 1-minute surface winds of at least 130 kt (240 km/h). This is the equivalent of a strong Saffir-Simpson category 4 or category 5 hurricane in the Atlantic basin or a category 5 severe tropical cyclone in the Australian basin. *************************************************************************** Subject: A4) Where do these easterly waves come from and what causes them? It has been recognized since at least the 1930s (Dunn 1940) that lower tropospheric (from the ocean surface to about 5 km with a maximum at 3 km) westward traveling disturbances often serve as the "seedling" circulations for a large proportion of tropical cyclones over the North Atlantic Ocean. Riehl (1945) helped to substantiate that these disturbances, now known as African easterly waves, had their origins over North Africa. While a variety of mechanisms for the origins of these waves were proposed in the next few decades, it was Burpee (1972) who documented that the waves were being generated by an instability of the African easterly jet. (This instability - known as baroclinic-barotropic instability - is where the value of the potential vorticity begins to decrease toward the north.) The jet arises as a result of the reversed lower-tropospheric temperature gradient over western and central North Africa due to extremely warm temperatures over the Saharan Desert in contrast with substantially cooler temperatures along the Gulf of Guinea coast. The waves move generally toward the west in the lower tropospheric tradewind flow across the Atlantic Ocean. They are first seen usually in April or May and continue until October or November. The waves have a period of about 3 or 4 days and a wavelength of 2000 to 2500 km, typically (Burpee 1974). One should keep in mind that the "waves" can be more correctly thought of as the convectively active troughs along an extended wave train. On average, about 60 waves are generated over North Africa each year, but it appears that the number that is formed has no relationship to how much tropical cyclone activity there is over the Atlantic each year. While only about 60% of the Atlantic tropical storms and minor hurricanes (Saffir-Simpson Scale categories 1 and 2) originate from easterly waves, nearly 85% of the intense (or major) hurricanes have their origins as easterly waves (Landsea 1993). It is suggested, though, that nearly all of the tropical cyclones that occur in the Eastern Pacific Ocean can also be traced back to Africa (Avila and Pasch 1995). It is currently completely unknown how easterly waves change from year to year in both intensity and location and how these might relate to the activity in the Atlantic (and East Pacific). *************************************************************************** Subject: A5) What is a sub-tropical cyclone? A sub-tropical cyclone is a low-pressure system existing in the tropical or subtropical latitudes (anywhere from the equator to about 50N) that has characteristics of both tropical cyclones and mid-latitude (or extratropical) cyclones. Therefore, many of these cyclones exist in a weak to moderate horizontal temperature gradient region (like mid-latitude cyclones), but also receive much of their energy from convective clouds (like tropical cyclones). Often, these storms have a radius of maximum winds which is farther out (on the order of 60-125 miles [100-200 km] from the center) than what is observed for purely "tropical" systems. Additionally, the maximum sustained winds for sub-tropical cyclones have not been observed to be stronger than about 64 kt (33 m/s). Many times these subtropical storms transform into true tropical cyclones. A recent example is the Atlantic basin's Hurricane Florence in November 1994 which began as a subtropical cyclone before becoming fully tropical. Note there has been at least one occurrence of tropical cyclones transforming into a subtropical storm (e.g. Atlantic basin storm 8 in 1973). Subtropical cyclones in the Atlantic basin are classified by the maximum sustained surface winds: less than 34 kt (18 m/s) - "subtropical depression", greater than or equal to 34 kt (18 m/s) - "subtropical storm". Note that while these are not given names, they are warned on and forecasted for by the National Hurricane Center similar to the treatment received by tropical cyclones in the region. *************************************************************************** Subject: A6) How are tropical cyclones different from mid-latitude storms? The tropical cyclone is a low-pressure system which derives its energy primarily from evaporation from the sea in the presence of high winds and lowered surface pressure and the associated condensation in convective clouds concentrated near its center (Holland 1993). Mid-latitude storms (low pressure systems with associated cold fronts, warm fronts, and occluded fronts) primarily get their energy from the horizontal temperature gradients that exist in the atmosphere. Structurally, tropical cyclones have their strongest winds near the earth's surface (a consequence of being "warm-core" in the troposphere), while mid-latitude storms have their strongest winds near the tropopause (a consequence of being "warm-core" in the stratosphere and "cold-core" in the troposphere). "Warm-core" refers to being relatively warmer than the environment at the same pressure surface ("pressure surfaces" are simply another way to measure height or altitude). *************************************************************************** Subject: A7) How are tropical cyclones different from tornadoes? While both tropical cyclones and tornadoes are atmospheric vortices, they have little in common. Tornadoes have diameters on the scale of 100s of meters and are produced from a single convective storm (i.e. a thunderstorm or cumulonimbus). A tropical cyclone, however, has a diameter on the scale of 100s of *kilometers* and is comprised of several to dozens of convective storms. Additionally, while tornadoes require substantial vertical shear of the horizontal winds (i.e. change of wind speed and/or direction with height) to provide ideal conditions for tornado genesis, tropical cyclones require very low values (less than 10 m/s or 20 kt) of tropospheric vertical shear in order to form and grow. These vertical shear values are indicative of the horizontal temperature fields for each phenomenon: tornadoes are produced in regions of large temperature gradient, while tropical cyclones are generated in regions of near zero horizontal temperature gradient. Tornadoes are primarily an over-land phenomena as solar heating of the land surface usually contributes toward the development of the thunderstorm that spawns the vortex (though over-water tornadoes have occurred). In contrast, tropical cyclones are purely an oceanic phenomena - they die out over-land due to a loss of a moisture source. Lastly, tropical cyclones have a lifetime that is measured in days, while tornadoes typically last on the scale of minutes. An interesting side note is that tropical cyclones at landfall often provide the conditions necessary for tornado formation. As the tropical cyclone makes landfall and begins decaying, the winds at the surface die off quicker than the winds at, say, 850 mb. This sets up a fairly strong vertical wind shear that allows for the development of tornadoes, especially on the tropical cyclone's right side (with respect to the forward motion of the tropical cyclone). For the southern hemisphere, this would be a concern on the tropical cyclone's left side - due to the reverse spin of southern hemisphere storms. (Novlan and Gray 1974) *************************************************************************** Subject: A8) What does the acronym "CDO" in a discussion of tropical cyclones mean? "CDO" is an acronym that stands for "central dense overcast". This is the cirrus cloud shield that results from the thunderstorms in the eyewall of a tropical cyclone and its rainbands. Before the tropical cyclone reaches hurricane strength (64 kt or 33 m/s), typically the CDO is uniformly showing the cold cloud tops of the cirrus with no eye apparent. Once the storm reaches the hurricane strength threshold, usually an eye can be seen in either the infrared or visible channels of the satellites. Tropical cyclones that have nearly circular CDO's are indicative of favorable, low vertical shear environments. *************************************************************************** Subject: A9) What is a "TUTT"? A "TUTT" is a Tropical Upper Tropospheric Trough. A TUTT low is a TUTT that has completely cut-off. TUTT lows are more commonly known in the Western Hemisphere as an "upper cold low". TUTTs are different than mid- latitude troughs in that they are maintained by subsidence warming near the tropopause which balances radiational cooling. TUTTs are important for tropical cyclone forecasting as they can force large amounts of harmful vertical wind shear over tropical disturbances and tropical cyclones. There are also suggestions that TUTTs can assist tropical cyclone genesis and intensification by providing additional forced ascent near the storm center and/or by allowing for an efficient outflow channel in the upper troposphere. For a more detailed discussion on TUTTs see the article by Fitzpatrick et al. (1995). *************************************************************************** Subject: B1) Why are tropical cyclones named? Tropical cyclones are named to provide ease of communication between forecasters and the general public regarding forecasts, watches, and warnings. Since the storms can often last a week or longer and that more than one can be occurring in the same basin at the same time, names can reduce the confusion about what storm is being described. According to Dunn and Miller (1960), the first use of a proper name for a tropical cyclone was by an Australian forecaster early in this century. He gave tropical cyclone names "after political figures whom he disliked. By properly naming a hurricane, the weatherman could publicly describe a politician (who perhaps was not too generous with weather-bureau appropriations) as 'causing great distress' or 'wandering aimlessly about the Pacific.'" (Perhaps this should be brought back into use ;-) During World War II, tropical cyclones were informally given women's names by USA Air Force and Navy meteorologists (after their girlfriends or wives) who were monitoring and forecasting tropical cyclones over the Pacific. From 1950 to 1952, tropical cyclones of the North Atlantic Ocean were identified by the phonetic alphabet (Able-Baker-Charlie-etc.), but in 1953 the USA Weather Bureau switched to women's names. In 1979, the WMO and the USA National Weather Service (NWS) switched to a list of names that also included men's names. The Northeast Pacific basin tropical cyclones were named using women's names starting in 1959 for storms near Hawaii and in 1960 for the remainder of the Northeast Pacific basin. In 1978, both men's and women's names were utilized. The Northwest Pacific basin tropical cyclones were given women's names officially starting in 1945 and men's names were also included beginning in 1979. The North Indian Ocean region tropical cyclones are not named. The Southwest Indian Ocean tropical cyclones were first named during the 1960/1961 season. The Australian and South Pacific region (east of 90E, south of the equator) started giving women's names to the storms in 1964 and both men's and women's names in 1974/1975. *************************************************************************** Subject: B2) What are the tropical cyclone names through 2001? NORTHERN HEMISPHERE TROPICAL CYCLONE NAMES (Courtesy of Gary Padgett, Jack Beven and James Lewis Free) Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea --------------------------------------- 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 1. Arthur Ana Alex Arlene Alberto Allison 2. Bertha Bill Bonnie Bret Beryl Barry 3. Cesar Claudette Charley Cindy Chris Chantal 4. Dolly Danny Danielle Dennis Debby Dean 5. Edouard Erika Earl Emily Ernesto Erin 6. Fran Fabian Frances Floyd Florence Felix 7. Gustav Grace Georges Gert Gordon Gabrielle 8. Hortense Henri Hermine Harvey Helene Humberto 9. Isidore Isabel Ivan Irene Isaac Iris 10. Josephine Juan Jeanne Jose Joyce Jerry 11. Kyle Kate Karl Katrina Keith Karen 12. Lili Larry Lisa Lenny Leslie Lorenzo 13. Marco Mindy Mitch Maria Michael Michelle 14. Nana Nicholas Nicole Nate Nadine Noel 15. Omar Odette Otto Ophelia Oscar Olga 16. Paloma Peter Paula PhilippePatty Pablo 17. Rene Rose Richard Rita Rafael Rebekah 18. Sally Sam Shary Stan Sandy Sebastien 19. Teddy Teresa Tomas Tammy Tony Tanya 20. Vicky Victor Virginie Vince Valerie Van Eastern North Pacific (east of 140W) --------------------- 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1. Adrian Aletta Adolph Alma Andres Agatha 2. Beatriz Bud Barbara Boris Blanca Blas 3. Calvin Carlotta Cosme Cristina Carlos Celia 4. Dora Daniel Dalila Douglas Dolores Darby 5. Eugene Emilia Erick Elida Enrique Estelle 6. Fernanda Fabio Flossie Fausto Felicia Frank 7. Greg Gilma Gil Genevieve Guillermo Georgette 8. Hilary Hector Henriette Hernan Hilda Howard 9. Irwin Ileana Ismael Iselle Ignacio Isis 10. Jova John Juliette Julio Jimena Javier 11. Kenneth Kristy Kiko Kenna Kevin Kay 12. Lidia Lane Lorena Lowell Linda Lester 13. Max Miriam Manuel Marie Marty Madeline 14. Norma Norman Narda Norbert Nora Newton 15. Otis Olivia Octave Odile Olaf Orlene 16. Pilar Paul Priscilla Polo Pauline Paine 17. Ramon Rosa Raymond Rachel Rick Roslyn 18. Selma Sergio Sonia Simon Sandra Seymour 19. Todd Tara Tico Trudy Terry Tina 20. Veronica Vicente Velma Vance Vivian Virgil 21. Wiley Willa Wallis Winnie Waldo Winifred 22. Xina Xavier Xina Xavier Xina Xavier 23. York Yolanda York Yolanda York Yolanda 24. Zelda Zeke Zelda Zeke Zelda Zeke (The 1999 names will be identical to the list for 1993.) Central North Pacific (from the dateline to 140W) --------------------- Akoni Aka Alika Ana Ema Ekeka Ele Ela Hana Hali Huko Halola Io Iolana Ioke Iune Keli Keoni Kika Kimo Lala Li Lana Loke Moke Mele Maka Malia Nele Nona Neki Niala Oka Oliwa Oleka Oko Peke Paka Peni Pali Uleki Upana Ulia Ulika Wila Wene Wali Walaka Each year the next name is just the one following the last from the previous year. Once through a list the next name will be off of the top of the next list. Western North Pacific (west of the dateline) --------------------- Ann Abel Amber Alex Bart Beth Bing Babs Cam Carlo Cass Chip Dan Dale David Dawn Eve Ernie Ella Elvis Frankie Fern Fritz Faith Gloria Greg Ginger Gil Herb Hannah Hank Hilda Ian Isa Ivan Iris Joy Jimmy Joan Jacob Kirk Kelly Keith Kate Lisa Levi Linda Leo Marty Marie Mort Maggie Niki Nestor Nichole Neil Orson Opal Otto Olga Piper Peter Penny Paul Rick Rosie Rex Rachel Sally Scott Stella Sam Tom Tina Todd Tanya Violet Victor Vicki Virgil Willie Winnie Waldo Wendy Yates Yule Yanni York Zane Zita Zeb Zia Each year the next name is just the one following the last from the previous year. Once through a list the next name will be off of the top of the next list. North Indian Ocean ------------------ Tropical cyclones in this region are not named. SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE TROPICAL CYCLONE NAMES (Thanks to Julian Heming, Jack Beven, Gary Padgett, Frank Woodcock and Jon Gill.) Southwest Indian (west of 90E) ---------------- 1996-1997 1997-1998 1998-1999 1999-2000 ANTOINETTE AIMAY ALDA ASTRIDE BORDELLA BIBIANNE BIRENDA BABIOLA CHANTELLE CINDY CHIKITA CONNIE DANIELLA DONALINE DAVINA DAMIENNE ELVINA ELSIE EVRINA ELINE FABRIOLA FIONA FRANCINE FELICIA GRETELLE GEMMA GENILA GLORIA HELINDA HILLARY HELVETIA HUDAH ILETTA IRELAND IRINA INNOCENTE JOSIE JUDITH JOCYNTHA JONNA KARLETTE KIMMY KRISTINA KENETHA LISETTE LYNN LINA LISANNE MARYSE MONIQUE MARSIA MAIZY NELDA NICOLE NAOMIE NELLA OCLINE OLIVETTE ORACE ORTENSIA PHYLLIS PRISCA PATRICIA PRISCILLA ROLINA RENETTE RITA REBECCA SHERYL SARAH SHIRLEY SOPHIA THELMA TANIA TINA TERRENCE VENYDA VALENCIA VERONIQUE VICTORINE WILTINA WANICKY WILVENIA WILNA YOLETTE YANDAH YASTRIDE YANSELMA [The other areas have lists which they continually rotate through - i.e. don't start again from 'A' each year] Western Australian region (90E to 125E) ------------------------- ADELINE, BERTIE, CLARE, DARYL, EMMA, FLOYD, GLENDA, HUBERT, ISOBEL, JACOB, KARA, LEE, MELANIE, NICHOLAS, OPHELIA, PANCHO, RHONDA, SELWYN, TIFFANY, VICTOR, ZELIA, ALISON, BILLY, CATHY, DAMIEN, ELLE, FREDERIC, GWENDA, HAMISH, ILSA, JOHN, KIRRILY, LEON, MARCIA, NORMAN, OLGA, PAUL, ROSITA, SAM, TARYN, VINCENT, WALTER, ALEX, BESSI, CHRIS, DIANNE, ERROL, FIONA, GRAHAM, HARRIET, INIGO, JANA, KEN, LINDA, MONTY, NICKY, OSCAR, PHOEBE, SALLY, TIM, VIVIENNE, WILLY Northern Australian region (125E to 137E) -------------------------- AMELIA, BRUNO, CORAL, DOMINIC, ESTHER, FERDINAND, GRETEL, HECTOR, IRMA, JASON, KAY, LAURENCE, MARIAN, NEVILLE, OLWYN, PHIL, RACHEL, SID, THELMA, VANCE, WINSOME, ALISTAIR, BONNIE, CRAIG, DEBBIE, EVAN, FAY, GEORGE, HELEN, IRA, JASMINE, KIM, LAURA, MATT, NARELLE, OSWALD, PENNY, RUSSELL, SANDRA, TREVOR, VALERIE, WARWICK Eastern Australian region (137E to 160E, south of ~10S) ------------------------- ALFRED, BLANCH, CHARLES, DENISE, ERNIE, FRANCES, GREG, HILDA, IVAN, JOYCE, KELVIN, LISA, MARCUS, NORA, OWEN, POLLY, RICHARD, SADIE, THEODORE, VERITY, WALLACE, ANN, BRUCE, CECILY, DENNIS, EDNA, FERGUS, GILLIAN, HAROLD, ITA, JUSTIN, KATRINA, LES, MAY, NATHAN, OLINDA, PETE, RONA, SANDY, TESSI, VAUGHAN, WYLVA, ABIGAIL, BERNIE, CLAUDIA, DES, ERICA, FRITZ, GRACE, HARVEY, INGRID, JIM, KATE, LARRY, MONICA, NELSON, ODETTE, PIERRE, REBECCA, STEVE, TANIA, VERNON, WENDY Fiji Area next 10 names (160E to 120W) ----------------------- Yasi, Zaka, Atu, Beti, Cyril, Drena, Evan, Freda, Gavin, Hina Papua New Guinea (140E to 160E, north of ~10S) ---------------- Adel, Epi, Guba, Ila, Kamo, Tako, Upia *************************************************************************** Subject: B3) What names have been retired in the Atlantic basin? In the Atlantic basin, tropical cyclone names are "retired" (that is, not to be used again for a new storm) if it is deemed to be quite noteworthy because of the damage and/or deaths it caused. This is to prevent confusion with a historically well-known cyclone with a current one in the Atlantic basin. The following list gives the names that have been retired through the year 1995 and the year of the storm in question. (Kindly provided by Gary Padgett and Jack Beven). Agnes 1972, Alicia 1983, Allen 1980, Andrew 1992, Anita 1977, Audrey 1957 Betsy 1965, Beulah 1967, Bob 1991 Camille 1969, Carla 1961, Carmen 1974, Carol 1965, Celia 1970, Cleo 1964, Connie 1955 David 1979, Diana 1990, Diane 1955, Donna 1960, Dora 1964 Edna 1968, Elena 1985, Eloise 1975 Fifi 1974, Flora 1963, Frederic 1979 Gilbert 1988, Gloria 1985, Gracie 1959 Hattie 1961, Hazel 1954, Hilda 1964, Hugo 1989 Inez 1966, Ione 1955 Janet 1955, Joan 1988 Klaus 1990 Luis 1995 Marilyn 1995 Opal 1995 Roxanne 1995 *************************************************************************** B4) What is the origin of the name "hurricane"? "HURRICANE...derived from 'hurican', the Carib god of evil... alternative spellings: foracan, foracane, furacana, furacane, furicane, furicano, haracana, harauncana, haraucane, haroucana, harrycain, hauracane, haurachana, herican, hericane, hericano, herocane, herricao, herycano, heuricane, hiracano, hirecano, hurac[s]n, huracano, hurican, hurleblast, hurlecan, hurlecano, hurlicano, hurrican, hurricano, hyrracano, urycan, hyrricano, jimmycane, oraucan, uracan, uracano" >From the _Glossary of Meteorology_ *************************************************************************** Subject: C1) Doesn't the low pressure in the tropical cyclone center cause the storm surge? No. Many people assume that the partial vacuum at the center of a tropical cyclone allows the ocean so rise up in response, thus causing the destructive storm surges as the cyclone makes landfall. However, this effect would be, for example, with a 900 mb central pressure tropical cyclone, only 1.0 m (3 ft). The total storm surge for a tropical cyclone of this intensity can be from 6 to 10 m (19 to 33 ft), or more. Most (>85%) of the storm surge is caused by winds pushing the ocean surface ahead of the storm on the right side of the track (left side of the track in the Southern Hemisphere). Since the surface pressure gradient (from the tropical cyclone center to the environmental conditions) determines the wind strength, the central pressure indirectly does indicate the height of the storm surge, but not directly. Note also that individual storm surges are dependent upon the coastal topography, angle of incidence of landfall, speed of tropical cyclone motion as well as the wind strength. *************************************************************************** Subject: C2) Doesn't the friction over land kill tropical cyclones? (Parts of this section are written by Sim Aberson.) No. During landfall, the increased friction over land acts - somewhat contradictory - to both decrease the sustained winds and also to increase the gusts felt at the surface (Powell and Houston 1996). The sustained (1 min or longer average) winds are reduced because of the dampening effect of larger roughness over land (i.e. bushes, trees and houses over land versus a relatively smooth ocean). The gusts are stronger because turbulence increases and acts to bring faster winds down to the surface in short (a few seconds) bursts. However, after just a few hours, a tropical cyclone over land will begin to weaken rapidly - not because of friction - but because the storm lacks the the moisture and heat sources that the ocean provided. This depletion of moisture and heat hurts the tropical cyclone's ability to produce thunderstorms near the storm center. Without this convection, the storm rapidly fills. An early numerical simulation (Tuleya and Kurihara 1978) had shown that a hurricane making landfall over a very moist region (i.e. mainly swamp) so that surface evaporation is unchanged, intensification may result. However, a more recent study (Tuleya 1994) that has a more realistic treatment of surface conditions found that even over a swampy area a hurricane would weaken because of limited heat sources. Indeed, nature conducted this experiment during Andrew as the hurricane traversed the very wet Everglades, Big Cypress and Corkscrew Swamp areas of southwest Florida. Andrew weakened dramatically: peak winds decreased about 33% and the sea level pressure in the eye filled 19 mb (Powell and Houston 1996). *************************************************************************** Subject: C3) Aren't big tropical cyclones also intense tropical cyclones? No. There is very little association between intensity (either measured by maximum sustained winds or by central pressure) and size (either measured by radius of 15 m/s [gale force] winds or the radius of the outer closed isobar) (Weatherford and Gray 1988). Hurricane Andrew is a good example of a very intense tropical cyclone (922 mb central pressure and 64 m/s (125 kt) sustained winds at landfall in Florida) that was also relatively small (15 m/s winds extended out only about 150 km from the center). Weatherford and Gray (1988) also showed that changes of both intensity and size are essentially independent of one another. *************************************************************************** Subject: C4) Why don't we try to destroy tropical cyclones by: pick one or more - a) seeding them with silver iodide, b) nuking them, c) placing a substance on the ocean surface, d) etc. ? Actually for a couple decades NOAA and its predecessor tried to weaken hurricanes by dropping silver iodide - a substance that serves as a effective ice nuclei - into the rainbands of the storms. The idea was that the silver iodide would enhance the thunderstorms of the rainband by causing the supercooled water to freeze, thus liberating the latent heat of fusion and helping the rainband to grow at the expense of the eyewall. With a weakened convergence to the eyewall, the strong inner core winds would also weaken quite a bit. Neat idea, but it, in the end, had a fatal flaw: there just isn't much supercooled water available in hurricane convection - the buoyancy is fairly small and the updrafts correspondingly small compared to the type one would observe in mid-latitude continental super or multicells. The few times that they did seed and saw a reduction in intensity was undoubtedly due to what is now called "concentric eyewall cycles". Concentric eyewall cycles naturally occur in intense tropical cyclones (wind > 50 m/s or 100 kt). As tropical cyclones reach this threshold of intensity, they usually - but not always - have an eyewall and radius of maximum winds that contracts to a very small size, around 10 to 25 km. At this point, some of the outer rainbands may organize into an outer ring of thunderstorms that slowly moves inward and robs the inner eyewall of its needed moisture and momentum. During this phase, the tropical cyclone is weakening (i.e. the maximum winds die off a bit and the central pressure goes up). Eventually the outer eyewall replaces the inner one completely and the storm can be the same intensity as it was previously or, in some cases, even stronger. A concentric eyewall cycle occurred in Hurricane Andrew (1992) before landfall near Miami: a strong intensity was reached, an outer eyewall formed, this contracted in concert with a pronounced weakening of the storm, and as the outer eyewall completely replaced the original one the hurricane reintensified. Thus nature accomplishes what NOAA had hoped to do artificially. No wonder that the first few experiments were thought to be successes. To learn about the STORMFURY project as it was called, read Willoughby et al. (1985). To learn more about concentric eyewall cycles, read Willoughby et al. (1982) and Willoughby (1990). As for the other ideas, there has been some experimental work in trying to develop a liquid that when placed over the ocean surface would prevent evaporation from occurring. If this worked in the tropical cyclone environment, it would probably have a detrimental effect on the intensity of the storm as it needs huge amounts of oceanic evaporation to continue to maintain its intensity (Simpson and Simpson 1966). However, finding a substance that would be able to stay together in the rough seas of a tropical cyclone proved to be the downfall of this idea. There was also suggested about 20 years ago (Gray et al. 1976) that the use of carbon black (or soot) might be a good way to modify tropical cyclones. The idea was that one could burn a large quantity of a heavy petroleum to produce vast numbers of carbon black particles that would be released on the edges of the tropical cyclone in the boundary layer. These carbon black aerosols would produce a tremendous heat source simply by absorbing the solar radiation and transferring the heat directly to the atmosphere. This would provide for the initiation of thunderstorm activity outside of the tropical cyclone core and, similarly to STORMFURY, weaken the eyewall convection. This suggestion has never been carried out in real- life. Lastly, there always appears ideas during the hurricane season that one should simply use nuclear weapons to try and destroy the storms. Apart from the concern that this might not even alter the storm, this approach neglects the problem that the released radiation would fairly quickly move with the tradewinds to over land. Needless to say, this is not a good idea. < Start Soap Box > Perhaps the best solution is not to try to alter or destroy the tropical cyclones, but just learn to co-exist better with them. Since we know that coastal regions are vulnerable to the storms, enforce building codes that can have houses stand up to the force of the tropical cyclones. Also the people that choose to live in these locations should willing to shoulder a fair portion of the costs in terms of property insurance - not exorbitant rates, but ones which truly reflect the risk of living in a vulnerable region. < End Soap Box > *************************************************************************** Subject: C5) During a hurricane are you supposed to have the windows and doors on the storm side closed and the windows and doors on the lee side open? No! All of the doors and windows should be closed (and shuttered) throughout the duration of the hurricane. The pressure differences between inside your house and outside in the storm do not build up enough to cause any damaging explosions. (No house is built airtight.) The winds in a hurricane are highly turbulent and an open window or door - even if in the lee side of the house - can be an open target to flying debris. All exterior windows should be boarded up with either wooden or metal shutters. *************************************************************************** Subject: D1) How are Atlantic hurricanes ranked? The USA utilizes the Saffir-Simpson hurricane intensity scale (Simpson and Riehl 1981) for the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins to give an estimate of the potential flooding and damage to property given a hurricane's estimated intensity: Saffir-Simpson Maximum sustained Minimum surface Storm surge Category wind speed (m/s,kt) pressure (mb) (m,ft) -------------- ------------------- --------------- --------------- 1 33-42 m/s [64-83 kt] >= 980mb 1.0-1.7 m [3-5 ft] 2 43-49 [84-96] 979-965 1.8-2.6 [6-8] 3 50-58 [97-113] 964-945 2.7-3.8 [9-12] 4 59-69 [114-135] 944-920 3.9-5.6 [13-18] 5 > 69 [> 135] < 920 > 5.6 [> 18] 1: MINIMAL: Damage primarily to shrubbery, trees, foliage, and unanchored homes. No real damage to other structures. Some damage to poorly constructed signs. Low-lying coastal roads inundated, minor pier damage, some small craft in exposed anchorage torn from moorings. Example: Hurricane Jerry (1989) 2: MODERATE: Considerable damage to shrubbery and tree foliage; some trees blown down. Major damage to exposed mobile homes. Extensive damage to poorly constructed signs. Some damage to roofing materials of buildings; some window and door damage. No major damage to buildings. Coast roads and low-lying escape routes inland cut by rising water 2 to 4 hours before arrival of hurricane center. Considerable damage to piers. Marinas flooded. Small craft in unprotected anchorages torn from moorings. Evacuation of some shoreline residences and low-lying areas required. Example: Hurricane Bob (1991) 3: EXTENSIVE: Foliage torn from trees; large trees blown down. Practically all poorly constructed signs blown down. Some damage to roofing materials of buildings; some wind and door damage. Some structural damage to small buildings. Mobile homes destroyed. Serious flooding at coast and many smaller structures near coast destroyed; larger structures near coast damaged by battering waves and floating debris. Low-lying escape routes inland cut by rising water 3 to 5 hours before hurricane center arrives. Flat terrain 5 feet of less above sea level flooded inland 8 miles or more. Evacuation of low- lying residences within several blocks of shoreline possibly required. Example: Hurricane Gloria (1985) 4: EXTREME: Shrubs and trees blown down; all signs down. Extensive damage to roofing materials, windows and doors. Complete failures of roofs on many small residences. Complete destruction of mobile homes. Flat terrain 10 feet of less above sea level flooded inland as far as 6 miles. Major damage to lower floors of structures near shore due to flooding and battering by waves and floating debris. Low-lying escape routes inland cut by rising water 3 to 5 hours before hurricane center arrives. Major erosion of beaches. Massive evacuation of all residences within 500 yards of shore possibly required, and of single- story residences within 2 miles of shore. Example: Hurricane Andrew (1992) 5: CATASTROPHIC: Shrubs and trees blown down; considerable damage to roofs of buildings; all signs down. Very severe and extensive damage to windows and doors. Complete failure of roofs on many residences and industrial buildings. Extensive shattering of glass in windows and doors. Some complete building failures. Small buildings overturned or blown away. Complete destruction of mobile homes. Major damage to lower floors of all structures less than 15 feet above sea level within 500 yards of shore. Low-lying escape routes inland cut by rising water 3 to 5 hours before hurricane center arrives. Massive evacuation of residential areas on low ground within 5 to 10 miles of shore possibly required. Example: Hurricane Camille (1969) Note that tropical storms are not on this scale, but can produce extensive damage with rainfall-produced flooding. Note also that category 3, 4, and 5 hurricanes are collectively referred to as intense (or major) hurricanes. These intense hurricanes cause over 70% of the damage in the USA even though they account for only 20% of tropical cyclone landfalls (Landsea 1993). Note that in comparison with the Australian scale (subject D2), Australian 1 and and most of Australian 2 are within the tropical storm categorization (i.e. would not be on the Saffir-Simpson scale). An Australian 3 would be approximately equal to either a Saffir-Simpson category 1 or 2 hurricane. An Australian 4 would be about the same as a Saffir-Simpson category 3 or 4 hurricane. An Australian 5 would be about the same as a Saffir-Simpson category 5 hurricane. *************************************************************************** Subject: D2) How are Australian tropical cyclones ranked? The Australian forecasters have developed a scale for tropical cyclone intensity for storms in their area of responsibility - 90 to 160E (Holland 1993). Note that the sustained winds are based upon a 10 min averaging period instead of the USA 1 minute period. Australian Scale Sustained Winds (km/hr) 1 63-90 km/hr 2 91-125 3 126-165 4 166-225 5 > 225 There are further comments on this scale in subject D1). *************************************************************************** Subject: D3) Why do tropical cyclones' winds rotate counter-clockwise (clockwise) in the Northern (Southern) Hemisphere? The reason is that the earth's rotation sets up an apparent force (called the Coriolis force) that pulls the winds to the right in the Northern Hemisphere (and to the left in the Southern Hemisphere). So when a low pressure starts to form north of the equator, the surface winds will flow inward trying to fill in the low and will be deflected to the right and a counter-clockwise rotation will be initiated. The opposite (a deflection to the left and a clockwise rotation) will occur south of the equator. NOTE: This force is too tiny to effect rotation in, for example, water that is going down the drains of sinks and toilets. The rotation in those will be determined by the geometry of the container and the original motion of the water. Thus one can find both clockwise and counter- clockwise flowing drains no matter what hemisphere you are located. If you don't believe this, test it out for yourself. *************************************************************************** Subject: D4) How do I convert from mph to knots (to m/s) and from inches of mercury to mb (to hPa)? For winds: 1 mile per hour (mph) = 0.864 knots (kt) 1 mph = 1.609 kilometers per hour (kph) 1 mph = 0.4470 meters per second (m/s) 1 kt = 1.853 kph 1 kt = 0.5148 m/s 1 m/s = 3.600 kph For pressures: 1 inch of mercury = 33.86 mb = 33.86 hPa For distances: 1 ft = 0.3048 m *************************************************************************** Subject: 41) How does the damage that hurricanes cause increase as a function of wind speed? Or to rephrase the question: Would a minimal 74 mph hurricane cause one half of the damage that a major hurricane with 148 mph winds? No, the amount of damage (at least experienced along the U.S. mainland) does not increase linearly with the wind speed. Instead, the damage produced increases exponentially with the winds. The 148 mph hurricane (a category 4 on the Saffir-Simpson Scale) may produce - on average - up to 100 times the damage of a minimal category 1 hurricane! Landsea (1993) analyzed the damage caused by various categories of tropical storms and hurricanes after normalizing by both the inflation rate and population changes. Tropical cyclones from 1944 through 1990 were tabulated in terms of 1990 U.S. dollars. The following table summarizes the findings: Intensity (cases) Median Damage "Potential Damage" Tropical/Subtropical Storm (75) <$1,000,000 0 Hurricane Cat. 1 (34) $24,000,000 1 Hurricane Cat. 2 (14) $218,000,000 10 Hurricane Cat. 3 (24) $1,108,000,000 50 Hurricane Cat. 4 (6) $2,274,000,000 100 Hurricane Cat. 5 (1) $5,933,000,000 250 The "Potential Damage" values just provide a reference value if one assigns the median damage caused by a category 1 hurricane to be "1". The rapid increase in damage as the categories go up is apparent. Note that this study was done in mid-1992 (i.e. before Andrew) and thus the median and potential damage values for the category 4 and 5 hurricanes may be on the conservative side. Other interesting findings: * Mean annual damage in mainland US is $1,857,000,000. (Again, this value is pre-Andrew.) * The damage is nearly evenly divided between that caused on the US Gulf Coast (Florida panhandle to Texas) and the US East Coast (Florida peninsula to Maine). * Even though the intense hurricanes (the category 3, 4 and 5 storms) comprise only 20% of all US landfalling tropical cyclones, they account for 71% of all of the damage. (Again, the figure is pre-Andrew. With Andrew included, the damage percentage is likely 75 to 80%.) *************************************************************************** Subject: E1) Which is the most intense tropical cyclone on record? Typhoon Tip in the Northwest Pacific Ocean on 12 October 1979 was measured to have a central pressure of 870 mb and estimated surface sustained winds of 85 m/s (165 kt) (Dunnavan and Diercks 1980). Typhoon Nancy on 12 September, 1961 is listed in the best track data for the Northwest Pacific region as having an estimated maximum sustained winds of 185 kt with a central pressure of 888 mb. However, it is now recognized (Black 1992) that the maximum sustained winds estimated for typhoons during the 1940s to 1960s were too strong and that the 185 kt (and numerous 160 kt to 180 kt reports) is somewhat too high. Note that Hurricane Gilbert's estimated 888 mb lowest pressure in mid- September 1988 is the most intense [as measured by lowest sea level pressure] for the Atlantic basin (Willoughby et al 1989), it is almost 20 mb weaker (higher) than the above Typhoon Tip of the Northwest Pacific Ocean. While the central pressures for the Northwest Pacific typhoons are the lowest globally, the North Atlantic hurricanes have provided sustained wind speeds possibly comparable to the Northwest Pacific. From the best track database, both Hurricane Camille (1969) and Hurricane Allen (1980) have winds that are estimated to be 165 kt. Measurements of such winds are inherently going to be suspect as instruments often are completely destroyed or damaged at these speeds. *************************************************************************** Subject: E2) Which tropical cyclone intensified the fastest? Typhoon Forrest in September 1983 in the Northwest Pacific Ocean deepened by 100 mb (976 to 876 mb) in just under 24 hr (Roger Edson, personal communication). Estimated surface sustained winds increased a maximum of 30 kt in 6 hr and 85 kt in one day (from 65 to 150 kt). *************************************************************************** Subject: E3) Which tropical cyclone has produced the highest storm surge? The Bathurst Bay Hurricane produced a 13 m (about 42 ft) surge in Bathurst Bay, Australia in 1899 (Whittingham 1958). *************************************************************************** Subject: E4) What are the largest rainfalls associated with tropical cyclones? 12 hr: 1144 mm (45.0") at Foc-Foc, La Reunion Island in Tropical Cyclone Denise, 7-8 January, 1966. 24 hr: 1825 mm (71.8") at Foc-Foc, La Reunion Island in Tropical Cyclone Denise, 7-8 January, 1966. 48 hr: 2467 mm (97.1") at Aurere, La Reunion Island 8-10 April, 1958. 72 hr: 3240 mm (127.6") at Grand-Ilet, La Reunion Island in Tropical Cyclone Hyacinthe, 24-27 January, 1980. 10 d: 5678 mm (223.5") at Commerson, La Reunion Island in Tropical Cyclone Hyacinthe, 18-27 January, 1980. (Holland 1993) *************************************************************************** Subject: E5) Which are the largest and smallest tropical cyclones on record? Typhoon Tip had gale force winds (15 m/s) which extended out for 1100 km in radius in the Northwest Pacific on 12 October, 1979 (Dunnavan and Diercks 1980). Tropical Cyclone Tracy had gale force winds that only extended 50 km radius when it struck Darwin, Australia, on 24 December, 1974 (Bureau of Meteorology 1977). *************************************************************************** Subject: E6) Which tropical cyclone lasted the longest? Hurricane/Typhoon John lasted 31 days as it traveled both the Northeast and Northwest Pacific basins during August and September 1994. (It formed in the Northeast Pacific, reached hurricane force there, moved across the dateline and was renamed Typhoon John, and then finally recurved back across the dateline and renamed Hurricane John again.) Hurricane Ginger was a tropical cyclone for 28 days in the North Atlantic Ocean back in 1971. *************************************************************************** Subject: E7) Which tropical cyclones have caused the most deaths and most damage? "The death toll in the infamous Bangladesh Cyclone of 1970 has had several estimates, some wildly speculative, but it seems certain that at least 300,000 people died from the associated storm tide [surge] in the low-lying deltas." (Holland 1993) The largest damage caused by a tropical cyclone as estimated by monetary amounts has been Hurricane Andrew (1992) as it struck the Bahamas, Florida and Louisiana, USA: US $30 *Billion* (R. Sheets - personal communication 1996). Most of this figure was due to destruction in southeast Florida. *************************************************************************** Subject: E8) What are the average, most, and least tropical cyclones occurring in each basin? Based on data from 1968-1989 (1968/69 to 1989/90 for the Southern Hemisphere): Tropical Storm or stronger Hurricane/Typhoon/Severe Tropical Cyclone (>17 m/s sustained winds) (>33 m/s sustained winds) -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Basin Most/Least Average Most/Least Average Atlantic 18/4 9.7 12/2 5.4 NE Pacific 23/8 16.5 14/4 8.9 NW Pacific 35/19 25.7 24/11 16.0 N Indian 10/1 5.4 6/0 2.5 SW Indian 15/6 10.4 10/0 4.4 SE Indian/Aus 11/1 6.9 7/0 3.4 Aus/SW Pacific 16/2 9.0 11/2 4.3 Globally 103/75 83.7 65/34 44.9 Note that the data includes subtropical storms in the Atlantic basin numbers. (Neumann 1993) Starting in 1944, systematic aircraft reconnaissance was commenced for monitoring both tropical cyclones and disturbances that had the potential to develop into tropica cyclones. This is why both Neumann et al. (1993) and Landsea (1993) recommend utilizing data since 1944 for computing climatological statistics. However, for tropical cyclones striking the USA East and Gulf coasts - because of highly populated coast lines, data with good reliability extends back to around 1899. Thus, the following records hold for the entire Atlantic basin (from 1944-1995) and for the USA coastline (1899-1995): Maximum Minimum Tropical storms/hurricanes: 19*(1995) 4 (1983) Hurricanes: 12 (1969) 2 (1982) Intense Hurricanes: 7 (1950) 0 (many times,1994 last) USA landfalling storms/hurricanes: 8 (1916) 1 (many,1991) USA landfalling hurricanes: 6 (1916,1985) 0 (many,1994) USA landfalling intense hurricanes: 3 (1909,33,54) 0 (many,1994) (*) As a footnote, 1933 is recorded as being the most active of any Atlantic basin season on record (reliable or otherwise) with 21 tropical storms and hurricanes. For the Northeast Pacific, the records stand at maximums of 27 tropical storms/hurricanes in 1992 and 16 hurricanes in 1990. Reliable records go back in this basin to around 1966 when geostationary satellite coverage began. For the Northwest Pacific, the peak year stands at 1964 with 39 tropical storms, 26 of which became typhoons. Reliable records for this basin begin around 1960. *************************************************************************** Subject: E9) What are the most and least tropical cyclones occurring in the Atlantic basin and striking the USA? Starting in 1944, systematic aircraft reconnaissance was commenced for monitoring both tropical cyclones and disturbances that had the potential to develop into tropical cyclones. This is why both Neumann et al. (1993) and Landsea (1993) recommend utilizing data since 1944 for computing climatological statistics. However, for tropical cyclones striking the USA East and Gulf coasts - because of highly populated coast lines, data with good reliability extends back to around 1899. Thus, the following records hold for the entire Atlantic basin (from 1944-1995) and for the USA coastline (1899-1995): Maximum Minimum Tropical storms/hurricanes: 19*(1995) 4 (1983) Hurricanes: 12 (1969) 2 (1982) Intense Hurricanes: 7 (1950) 0 (many times,1994 last) USA landfalling storms/hurricanes: 8 (1916) 1 (many,1991) USA landfalling hurricanes: 6 (1916,1985) 0 (many,1994) USA landfalling intense hurricanes: 3 (1909,33,54) 0 (many,1994) (*) As a footnote, 1933 is recorded as being the most active of any Atlantic basin season on record (reliable or otherwise) with 21 tropical storms and hurricanes. *************************************************************************** Subject: E10) For the U.S., what are the 10 most intense, 10 costliest, and 10 highest death toll hurricanes on record? Updated from Hebert et al. (1992): 10 Most Intense USA (continental) hurricanes from 1900-1994: (at time of landfall with landfall area) ------------------------------------------------------------ HURRICANE YEAR CATEGORY CENTRAL PRESSURE 1. "Labor Day" - FL Keys 1935 5 892 mb 2. Camille - LA/MS 1969 5 909 3. Andrew - SE FL 1992 4 922 4. Unnamed - FL Keys/S TX 1919 4 927 5. Unnamed - Lake Okeechobee, FL 1928 4 929 6. DONNA - FL Keys 1960 4 930 7. Unnamed - Galveston, TX 1900 4 931 8. Unnamed - Grand Isle, LA 1909 4 931 9. Unnamed - New Orleans, LA 1915 4 931 10. Carla - C TX 1961 4 931 Note that Hurricane Gilbert's estimated 888 mb lowest pressure in mid- September 1988 is the most intense [as measured by lowest sea level pressure] for the Atlantic basin, but it affected the USA only as a weakening tropical depression (Neumann et al 1993). 10 Costliest USA (continental) hurricanes from 1900-1994: (adjusted to 1990 dollars - except for Andrew) --------------------------------------------------------- HURRICANE YEAR CATEGORY DAMAGE (USA) 1. Andrew - SE FL/LA 1992 4 ~$30,000,000,000 2. Hugo - SC 1989 4 7,155,120,000 3. Betsy - FL/LA 1965 3 6,461,303,000 4. Agnes - NE U.S. 1972 1 6,418,143,000 5. Camille - LA/MS 1969 5 5,242,380,000 6. Diane - NE U.S. 1955 1 4,199,645,000 7. "New England" 1938 3 3,593,853,000 8. Frederic - AL/MS 1979 3 3,502,942,000 9. Alicia - N TX 1983 3 2,391,854,000 10. Carol - NE U.S. 1954 3 2,370,215,000 Note that this does not take into account the massive coastal population increases and structural buildup that have occurred along the US East and especially the Gulf coasts during the past few decades. Intense hurricanes will continue to inflict massive destruction along the USA coastlines, even with perfect forecasts of their track and intensity. 10 Deadliest USA (continental) hurricanes from 1900-1994: --------------------------------------------------------- HURRICANE YEAR CATEGORY DEATHS 1. Unnamed - Galveston, TX 1900 4 6000+ 2. Unnamed - Lake Okeechobee, FL 1928 4 1836+ 3. Unnamed - Fl Keys/S TX 1919 4 600-900 4. "New England" 1938 3 600 5. "Labor Day" - FL Keys 1935 5 408 6. Audrey - SW LA/N TX 1957 4 390 7. Unnamed - NE U.S. 1944 3 390 8. Unnamed - Grand Isle, LA 1909 4 350 9. Unnamed - New Orleans, LA 1915 4 275 10. Unnamed - Galveston, TX 1915 4 275 + (These values are estimate and may be conservative of the true numbers of fatalities.) ADDENDUM: Unnamed - LA - 1893 - 2000 Unnamed - SC/GA - 1893 - 1000-2000 Unnamed - GA/SC - 1881 - 700 One can take some comfort in the fact that even with the massive damage amounts reported with hurricanes in the last couple decades, none of those hurricanes caused huge numbers of deaths in the USA. This is because of the increasingly skillful forecasts of hurricane tracks, the ability to communicate warnings to the public via radio and television, and the infrastructure that allows for evacuations to proceed safely for those in the hurricane's path (Sheets 1990). However, if people chose to ignore warnings or if evacuations are not able to remove people from danger (because of too many people overcrowding limited escape routes - the Florida Keys and US 1 is a good example), then the potential remains for disasters similar to what was seen decades ago. *************************************************************************** Subject: E11) What tropical storms and hurricanes have moved from the Atlantic to the Northeast Pacific or vice versa? (Stephen Caparotta, D. Walston, Steven Young and Gary Padgett compiled this list.) Here is a list of tropical cyclones that have crossed from the Atlantic basin to the Northeast Pacific and vice versa. The tropical cyclone must have been of at least tropical storm strength in both basins (i.e. sustained winds of at least 34 kt, or 18 m/s). This record only goes back to 1949. Before the advent of geostationary satellite pictures in the mid-1960s, the number of Northeast Pacific tropical cyclones was undercounted by a factor of 2 or 3. Thus the lack of many of these events during the 1960s and earlier is mainly due to simply missing the Northeast Pacific TCs. There has not been a recorded case where the same tropical cyclone crossed into the Northeast Pacific then crossed back into the Atlantic. Atlantic Hurricane Cesar (July 1996) became Northeast Pacific Hurricane Douglas. Atlantic Tropical Storm Bret (August 1993) became Hurricane Greg in the Northeast Pacific. Northeast Pacific Hurricane Cosme became Atlantic Tropical Storm Allison (June 1989). Atlantic Hurricane Joan (October 1988) became Northeast Pacific Hurricane Miriam. Atlantic Hurricane Greta (September 1978) became Northeast Pacific Hurricane Olivia. Atlantic Hurricane Fifi (September 1974) became Northeast Pacific Tropical Storm Orlene. Atlantic Hurricane Irene (September 1971) became Northeast Pacific Tropical Storm Olivia. Atlantic Hurricane Hattie (October-November 1961) became Northeast Pacific Tropical Storm Simone. A Northeast Pacific Tropical Storm (September-October 1949) became an Atlantic Hurricane (Storm #10) and made landfall in TX. *************************************************************************** Subject: F1) What regions around the globe have tropical cyclones and who is responsible for forecasting there? There are seven tropical cyclone "basins" where storms occur on a regular basis: --- Atlantic basin (including the North Atlantic Ocean, the Gulf of Mexico, and the Caribbean Sea) --- Northeast Pacific basin (from Mexico to about the dateline) --- Northwest Pacific basin (from the dateline to Asia including the South China Sea) --- North Indian basin (including the Bay of Bengal and the Arabian Sea) --- Southwest Indian basin (from Africa to about 100E) --- Southeast Indian/Australian basin (100E to 142E) --- Australian/Southwest Pacific basin (142E to about 120W) The National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, USA has responsibil- ities for monitoring and forecasting tropical cyclones in the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basin east of 140W. The Central Pacific Hurricane Center has responsibilities for the remainder of the Northeast Pacific basin to the dateline. The Northwest Pacific basin is shared in forecasting duties by China, Thailand, Korea, Japan, the Philippines, and Hong Kong. The North Indian basin tropical cyclones are forecasted by India, Thailand, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Burma, and Sri Lanka. Reunion Island, Madagascar, Mozambique, Mauritius, and Kenya provide forecasts for the Southwest Indian basin. Australia and Indonesia forecast tropical cyclone activity in the Southeast Indian/Australian basin. Lastly, for the Australian/Southwest Pacific basin Australia, Papua New Guinea, Fiji, and New Zealand forecast tropical cyclones. Note also that the USA Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) issues warnings for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific, the North Indian, the Southwest Indian, the Southeast Indian/Australian, and the Australian/Southwest Pacific basins, though they are not specifically tasked to do so by the WMO. The USA Naval Western Oceanography Center in Pearl Harbor, Honolulu does the same for the Pacific Ocean east of 180E. (Neumann 1993) Note that on rare occasions, tropical cyclones (or storms that appear to be similar in structure to tropical cyclones) can develop in the Mediterranean Sea. These have been noted to occur in September 1947, September 1969, January 1982, September 1983, and, most recently, during 13 to 17 January, 1995. Some study of these storms has been reported on by Mayengon (1984) and Ernest and Matson (1983), though it has not been demonstrated fully that these storms are the same as those found over tropical waters. It may be that these Mediterranean tropical cyclones are more similar in nature to polar lows. The following are the addresses of tropical cyclone centers listed above that are responsible for issuing advisories and/or warnings on tropical cyclones (thanks to Jack Beven for these): National Hurricane Center Mail: 11691 SW 17th St. Miami, FL 33165-2149 USA WWW: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/index.html Central Pacific Hurricane Center Mail: National Weather Service Forecast Office University of Hawaii at Manoa Department of Meteorology 2525 Correa Rd. (HIG) Honolulu, HI 96822 USA Naval Pacific Meteorological and Oceanographic Center Mail: NPMOC/AJTWC Box 113 Pearl Harbor, HI 96860 USA Joint Typhoon Warning Center - Guam Mail: NPMOCW/JTWC PCS 486, Box 17 FPO AP 96536-0051 USA WWW: http://www.npmocw.navy.mil/npmocw/prods/jtwc.html Regional Specialized Meteorological Center Tokyo, Japan - Typhoon Center Mail: Japanese Meteorological Agency 1-3-4 Ote-machi, Chiyoda-ku Tokyo Japan Royal Observatory - Hong Kong Mail: 134A Nathan Road Kowloon Hong Kong Bangkok Tropical Cyclone Warning Center - Thailand Mail: Director Meteorological Department 4353 Sukumvit Rd. Bangkok 10260 Thailand Fiji Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Mail: Director Fiji Meteorological Services Private Mail Bag Nadi Airport Fiji New Zealand Meteorological Service Mail: Director Met Service PO Box 722 Wellington New Zealand Port Moresby Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Mail: Director National Weather Service PO Box 1240 Boroko, NCD Paupa New Guinea Brisbane Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Mail: Regional Director Bureau of Meteorology GPO Box 413 Brisbane 4001 Australia Darwin Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Mail: Regional Director Bureau of Meteorology GPO Box 735 Darwin 5790 Australia Perth Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Mail: Regional Director Bureau of Meteorology GPO Box 6080 Perth 9001 Australia Jakarta, Indonesia Mail: Director Analysis and Processing Centre Jalan Arief Rakhman Hakim 3 Jakarta Indonesia Regional Tropical Cyclone Advisory Centre - Reunion Mail: Director of Meteorological Services PO Box 4 97490 Sainte Clotilde Reunion Sub-Regional Tropical Cyclone Warning Center - Mauritius Mail: Director of Meteorological Service Vacoas Mauritius Sub-Regional Tropical Cyclone Warning Center - Madagascar Mail: Director of Meteorological Service PO Box 1254 Antananarivo 101 Madagascar Nairobi, Kenya Mail: Director of Meteorological Services PO Box 30259 Nairobi Kenya Maputo, Mozambique Mail: Director of Meteorology PO Box 256 Maputo Mozambique The following cities are also mentioned as tropical cyclone warning centers, though I don't have the addresses for them. Philippines: Manila China: Beijing Dalian Shanghai Guangzhou Korea: Seoul Vietnam: Hanoi India: New Delhi Calcutta Bombay Bangladesh: Dhaka Burma: Rangoon Sri Lanka: Colombo Maldive Islands: Male *************************************************************************** Subject: F2) What is Prof. Gray's seasonal hurricane forecast for this year and what are the predictive factors? Prof. Bill Gray at Colorado State University in Fort Collins, Colorado (USA) has issued seasonal hurricane forecasts for the Atlantic basin since 1984. Details of his forecasting technique can be found in Gray (1984a,b) and Gray et al. (1992, 1993, 1994). Landsea et al. (1994) also provides verifications of the first 10 years of forecasting. A quick summary of the components follows: * El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) - During El Nino events (ENSO warm phase), tropospheric vertical shear is increased inhibiting tropical cyclone genesis and intensification. La Nina events (ENSO cold phase) enhances activity. * African West Sahel rainfall - In years of West Sahel drought conditions, the Atlantic hurricane activity is much reduced - especially the intense hurricane activity (Landsea and Gray 1992). Wet West Sahel years mean a higher chance of low-latitude "Cape Verde" type hurricanes. This is also due to higher tropospheric vertical shear in the drought years, though there may also be changes in the structure of African easterly waves as well to make them less likely to go through tropical cyclogenesis. * Stratospheric quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) - During the 12 to 15 months when the equatorial stratosphere has the winds blowing from the east (east phase QBO), Atlantic basin tropical cyclone activity is reduced. The east phase is followed by 13 to 16 months of westerly winds in the equatorial stratosphere where the Atlantic activity is increased. It is believed (but not demonstrated) that the reduced activity in east years is due to increased lower stratospheric to upper tropospheric vertical shear which may disrupt the tropical cyclone structure. * Caribbean sea level pressure anomalies (SLPA) - During seasons of lower than average surface pressure around the Caribbean Sea, the Atlantic hurricane activity is enhanced. When it is higher than average, the tropical cyclone activity is diminished. Higher pressure indicates either a weaker Inter-tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) or a more equatorward position of the ITCZ or both. * Caribbean 200 mb zonal wind anomalies (ZWA) - The 200 mb winds around the Caribbean are often reflective of the ENSO or West Sahelian rainfall conditions (i.e. westerly ZWA corresponds to El Ninos and West Sahel drought conditions). However, the winds also provide some independent measure of the tropospheric vertical shear, especially in years of neutral ENSO and West Sahel rainfall. Dr. Gray and his forecast team issues seasonal forecasts in late November, early June, and early August of each year with a verification of the forecasts given in late November. To obtain these forecasts, surf to: http://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/forecasts/index.html Also available (via unix machines) a finger command to get a table with the latest forecast info and what the observations have been of the season so far. Available via: finger forecast@typhoon.atmos.colostate.edu *************************************************************************** Subject: F3) How has Dr. Gray done in previous years of forecasting hurricanes? Here are the numbers that Dr. Gray has issued for his real-time Atlantic tropical cyclone seasonal forecasting: Year Early December Early June Early August Observed Forecast Forecast Forecast Named Storms: 1950 to 1990 Mean = 9.3 1984 --- 10 10 12 1985 --- 11 10 11 1986 --- 8 7 6 1987 --- 8 7 7 1988 --- 11 11 12 1989 --- 7 9 11 1990 --- 11 11 14 1991 --- 8 7 8 1992 8 8 8 6 1993 11 11 10 8 1994 10 9 7 7 1995 12 12 16 19 1996 8 10 11 13 Hurricanes: 1950 to 1990 Mean = 5.8 1984 --- 7 7 5 1985 --- 8 7 7 1986 --- 4 4 4 1987 --- 5 4 3 1988 --- 7 7 5 1989 --- 4 4 7 1990 --- 7 6 8 1991 --- 4 3 4 1992 4 4 4 4 1993 6 7 6 4 1994 6 5 4 3 1995 8 8 9 11 1996 5 6 7 9 Intense Hurricanes: 1950 to 1990 Mean = 2.3 1990 --- 3 2 1 1991 --- 1 0 2 1992 1 1 1 1 1993 3 2 2 1 1994 2 1 1 0 1995 3 3 3 5 1996 2 2 3 6 *************************************************************************** Subject: F4) What are those track and intensity models that the Atlantic forecasters are talking about in the tropical storm and hurricane Discussions? (Track model information contributed by Sim Aberson) A variety of hurricane track forecast models are run operationally for the Atlantic hurricane basin: (1) The basic model that is used as a "no-skill" forecast to compare other models against is CLIPER (CLImatology and PERsistence), a multiple regression model that best utilizes the persistence of the motion and also incorporates climatological track information (Neumann 1972, Merrill 1980). Surprisingly, CLIPER was difficult to beat with numerical model forecasts until the 1980s. (2) A statistical-dynamical model, NHC90 (McAdie 1991), uses geopotential height predictors from the Aviation model to produce a track forecast four times per day. The primary synoptic time NHC90 forecasts (00 and 12 UTC) are based upon 12 h old Aviation runs. A special version of NHC90, NHC90-LATE, is run at primary synoptic times with the current Aviation run, and is available a number of hours after NHC90. Both versions of NHC90 have been run operationally since 1990. (3) The Beta and Advection Model, BAM, follows a trajectory in the pressure-weighted vertically-averaged horizontal wind from the Aviation model beginning at the current storm location, with a correction that accounts for the beta effect (Marks 1992). Three versions of this model, one with a shallow-layer (BAMS), one with a medium-layer (BAMM), and one with a deep-layer (BAMD), are run. BAMS runs using the 850-700 mb layer, BAMM with the 850-400 mb layer, and BAMD with the 850-200 mb layer. The deep-layer version was run operationally for primary synoptic times in 1989; all three versions have been run four times per day since 1990. (4) A nested barotropic hurricane track forecast model (VICBAR) has been run four times daily since 1989. The 0000 and 1200 UTC runs are based upon current NCEP analyses, the others upon six hour old data (Aberson and DeMaria 1994). Another barotropic model, LBAR, for Limited-Area Barotropic Model, is also being run operationally every 6 h based upon six hour old data, so is available for earlier use by the NHC forecasters. (5) A triply-nested movable mesh primitive equation model developed at the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (Bender et al 1993), known as the GFDL model, has provided forecasts since the 1992 hurricane season. (6) The NCEP Aviation and MRF models (Lord 1993) have been used for track forecasting since the 1992 hurricane season. These are global models. (7) The United Kingdom Meterological Office's global model (UKMET) is utilized for forecasting the track of tropical cyclones around the world (Radford 1994). The National Hurricane Center starting receiving these operationally during 1996. (8) The United States Navy Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction Systems (NOGAPS) is also a global numerical model that shows skill in forecasting tropical cyclone track (Fiorino et al. 1993). This model was also first received operationally at the National Hurricane Center during 1996. Despite the variety of hurricane track forecast models, there are only a few models that forecast intensity change for the Atlantic basin: (1) Similar to the CLIPER track model, SHIFOR (Statistical Hurricane Intensity Forecast model) is used as a "no-skill" intensity change forecast. It is a multiple regression statistical model that best utilizes the persistence of the intensity trends and also incorporates climatological intensity change information (Jarvinen and Neumann 1979). Surprisingly, no other intensity models provide better forecasts on average than SHIFOR. (2) A statistical-synoptic model, SHIPS (Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme), has been available the National Hurricane Center since the mid-1990s (DeMaria and Kaplan 1994). It takes current information on the synoptic scale on the sea surface temperatures, vertical shear, etc. with an optimal combination of the trends in the cyclone intensity. For the first time in 1996, SHIPS outperformed SHIFOR (by having lower absolute wind speed errors) from the 24 hour to 72 hour forecasts, though the differences were small. (3) The GFDL model, described above in the track forecasting models, also issues forecasts of intensity change for the National Hurricane Center. However, to date, these have yet to show any skill (i.e. GFDL errors are larger than those from SHIFOR). *************************************************************************** Subject: G1) What is the annual cycle of occurrence seen in each basin? While the Atlantic hurricane season is "officially" from 1 June to 30 November, the Atlantic basin shows a very peaked season with 78% of the tropical storm days, 87% of the minor (Saffir-Simpson Scale categories 1 and 2 - see subject D1) hurricane days, and 96% of the intense (Saffir- Simpson categories 3, 4 and 5) hurricane days occuring in August through October (Landsea 1993). Peak activity is in early to mid September. Once in a few years there may be a tropical cyclone occurring "out of season" - primarily in May or December. The Northeast Pacific basin has a broader peak with activity beginning in late May or early June and going until late October or early November with a peak in storminess in late August/early September. The Northwest Pacific basin has tropical cyclones occurring all year round regularly though there is a distinct minimum in February and the first half of March. The main season goes from July to November with a peak in late August/early September. The North Indian basin has a double peak of activity in May and November though tropical cyclones are seen from April to December. The severe cyclonic storms (>33 m/s winds) occur almost exclusively from April to June and late September to early December. The Southwest Indian and Australian/Southeast Indian basins have very similar annual cycles with tropical cyclones beginning in late October/ early November, reaching a double peak in activity - one in mid-January and one in mid-February to early March, and then ending in May. The Australian/Southeast Indian basin February lull in activity is a bit more pronounced than the Southwest Indian basin's lull. The Australian/Southwest Pacific basin begin with tropical cyclone activity in late October/early November, reaches a single peak in late February/early March, and then fades out in early May. Globally, September is the most active month and May is the least active month. (Neumann 1993) *************************************************************************** Subject: G2) How does El Nino-Southern Oscillation affect tropical cyclone activity around the globe? The effect of El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on Atlantic tropical cyclones is described in subject F2). The Australian/Southwest Pacific shows a pronounced shift back and forth of tropical cyclone activity with fewer tropical cyclones between 145 and 165E and more from 165E eastward across the South Pacific during El Nino (warm ENSO) events. There is also a smaller tendency to have the tropical cyclones originate a bit closer to the equator. The opposite would be true in La Nina (cold ENSO) events. See papers by Nicholls (1979), Revell and Goulter (1986), Dong (1988), and Nicholls (1992). The western portion of the Northeast Pacific basin (140W to the dateline) has been suggested to experience more tropical cyclone genesis during the El Nino year and more tropical cyclones tracking into the sub-region in the year following an El Nino (Schroeder and Yu 1995), but this has not been completely documented yet. The Northwest Pacific basin, similar to the Australian/Southwest Pacific basin, experiences a change in location of tropical cyclones without a total change in frequency. Pan (1981), Chan (1985), and Lander (1994) detailed that west of 160E there were reduced numbers of tropical cyclone genesis with increased formations from 160E to the dateline during El Nino events. The opposite occurred during La Nina events. Again there is also the tendency for the tropical cyclones to also form closer to the equator during El Nino events than average. The eastern portion of the Northeast Pacific, the Southwest Indian, the Southeast Indian/Australian, and the North Indian basins have either shown little or a conflicting ENSO relationship and/or have not been looked at yet in sufficient detail. *************************************************************************** Subject: G3) What may happen with tropical cyclone activity in a 2xCO2 world? Two impacts of anthropogenic climate change due to increasing amounts of "greenhouse" gases that may occur (Houghton et al., 1990, 1992) are increased tropical sea surface temperatures (moderate confidence) and increased tropical rainfall associated with a slightly stronger inter- tropical convergence zone (ITCZ) (moderate/low confidence). Because of these possible changes, there have been many suggestions based upon global circulation and theoretical modeling studies that increases may occur in the frequency (AMS Council and UCAR Board of Trustees, 1988; Houghton et al., 1990; Broccoli and Manabe, 1990; Ryan et al., 1992; Haarsma et al., 1993), area of occurrence (Houghton et al., 1990; Ryan et al., 1992), mean intensity (AMS Council and UCAR Board of Trustees, 1988; Haarsma et al., 1993), and maximum intensity (Emanuel, 1987; AMS Council and UCAR Board of Trustees, 1988; Houghton et al., 1990; Haarsma et al., 1993; Bengtsson et al., 1994) of tropical cyclones. In contrast, there have been some conclusions that decreases in frequency may result (Broccoli and Manabe 1990; Bengtsson et al., 1994). One report (Leggett, 1994) has suggested that increased tropical cyclone incidence and severity have already taken place, but provided no quantitative evidence. Any changes in tropical cyclone activity are intrinsically tied in with large-scale changes in the tropical atmosphere. One key feature that has been focused upon has been possible changes in sea surface temperatures (SSTs). But SSTs by themselves cannot be considered without corresponding information regarding the moisture and stability in the tropical troposphere. What has been identified in the current climate as being necessary for genesis and maintenance for tropical cyclones (e.g. SSTs of at least 80F or 26.5C) might change in a 2xCO2 world because of possible changes in the moisture and/or stability. Additionally, besides the thermodynamic variables, changes in the tropical dynamics will also play a big role in determining changes in tropical cyclone activity. For example, if the vertical wind shear over the tropical North Atlantic decreased (increased) during the hurricane season in a 2xCO2 world, then we would see a significant increase (decrease) in activity. Another large unknown is how the monsoonal circulations may change. If the monsoons became more active, then it may be possible that more tropical cyclones in the oceanic monsoon regions might result. One last final wild card in all of this is how the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) may change in a 2xCO2 world, as ENSO is the largest single factor controlling year-to-year variability of tropical cyclones globally - see sections G2) and F2). If the warm phase of ENSO (the "El Nino" events) occurred more often and/or with more intensity, then the inhabitants along the Atlantic basin and Australia would have fewer tropical cyclones to worry about. But people living in Hawaii and in the South Central Pacific would have more storms to deal with. The reverse would be true if the cold phase (or "La Nina") became more prevalent. Overall, it is difficult to assess globally how changes of tropical cyclone intensities (both the mean and the maximum), frequencies, and area of occurrence may change in a 2xCO2 world. It may very well turn out that changes around the globe may not be consistent, with some regions receiving more activity while others getting less. Certainly, this is an area of research that needs to continue until more definitive answers are found. *************************************************************************** Subject: G4) Are we getting stronger and more frequent hurricanes, typhoons, and tropical cyclones in the last several years? Globally, probably not. For the Atlantic basin, definitely not. In fact, as documented in Landsea (1993), the number of intense hurricanes (those hurricanes reaching Saffir-Simpson scale 3, 4, and 5 - defined in subject D1) has actually gone *down* during the 1970s and the 1980s, both in all basin intense hurricanes as well as those making landfall along the U.S. coastline. "With Andrew in 1992 and the busy 1995 hurricane season, have things changed during the 1990s?" No. Even taking into account Andrew, the period 1991 to 1994 was the *quietest* four years on record - using reliable data going back to 1944 (Landsea et al. 1996). Of course, with a very active Atlantic hurricane season (19 tropical storms and hurricanes, 11 hurricanes, and 5 intense hurricanes), it is quite possible that we may be moving to a regime of more tropical cyclone activity - but one year does not a trend make. Some more interesting tidbits about Atlantic tropical cyclones (from Landsea et al. 1996): * no significant change in total frequency of tropical storms and hurricanes over 52 years (1944-1995), * a strong *DECREASE* in numbers of intense hurricanes, * no change in the strongest hurricanes observed each year, * A moderate *DECREASE* in the max intensity reached by all storms over a season, * no hurricanes have been observed over the Caribbean Sea during the years 1990-1994 - the longest period of lack of hurricanes in the area since 1899. This was followed up by 3 hurricanes in just one year - 1995 - to affect the region, * 1991-1994 is the quietest (in terms of frequency of total storms - 7.5 per year, hurricanes - 3.8, and intense hurricanes - 1.0) four year period on record, since 1944. As for the other basins, Black (1992) has identified a moderately severe bias in the Northwest Pacific reported maximum sustained winds during the 1940s to the 1960s that makes interpretation of trends difficult for that region. Nicholls (1992) has shown that the numbers of tropical cyclones around Australia (105-165E) has decreased rather dramatically since the mid-1980s. Some of this reduction is undoubtedly due to having more El Nino events since that time (i.e. 1986-87, 1991-2, 1993, 1994-95). However, even taking into account the El Nino effect, there is still a reduction that is unexplained and may be due to changes in tropical cyclone monitoring. The other basins have not been examined for trends, partly because the data will likely not be trustworthy before the advent of the geo- stationary satellites in the mid-1960s. IMHO, I would suspect though that the western portion of the Northeast Pacific, the eastern portion of the Northwest Pacific, and the South Pacific east of 165E would have a real upward trend of tropical cyclone occurrences because of the more frequent El Nino events in the last decade or so (see section G2 for more information on El Nino effects). *************************************************************************** Subject: G5) Why do tropical cyclones occur primarily in the summer and autumn? As described in subject G1), the primary time of year for getting tropical cyclones is during the summer and autumn: July-October for the Northern Hemisphere and December-March for the Southern Hemisphere (though there are differences from basin to basin). The peak in summer/autumn is due to having all of the necessary ingredients become most favorable during this time of year: warm ocean waters (at least 26C or 80F), a tropical atmosphere that can quite easily kick off convection (i.e. thunderstorms), low vertical shear in the troposphere, and a substantial amount of large- scale spin available (either through the monsoon trough or easterly waves - see subject A4)). While one would intuitively expect tropical cyclones to peak right at the time of maximum solar radiation (late June for the tropical Northern Hemisphere and late December for the tropical Southern Hemisphere), it takes several more weeks for the oceans to reach their warmest temperatures. The atmospheric circulation in the tropics also reaches its most pronounced (and favorable for tropical cyclones) at the same time. This time lag of the tropical ocean and atmospheric circulation is analogous to the daily cycle of surface air temperatures - they are warmest in mid-afternoon, yet the sun's incident radiation peaks at noon. *************************************************************************** Subject: G6) What determines the movement of tropical cyclones? Tropical cyclones - to a first approximation - can be thought of as being steered by the surrounding environmental flow throughout the depth of the troposphere (from the surface to about 12 km or 8 mi). Dr. Neil Frank, former director of the U.S. National Hurricane Center, used the analogy that the movement of hurricanes is like a leaf being steered by the currents in the stream, except that for a hurricane the stream has no set boundaries. In the tropical latitudes (typically equatorward of 20-25 N or S), tropical cyclones usually move toward the west with a slight poleward component. This is because there exists an axis of high pressure called the subtropical ridge that extends east-west poleward of the storm. On the equatorward side of the subtropical ridge, general easterly winds prevail. However, if the subtropical ridge is weak - oftentimes due to a trough in the jet stream - the tropical cyclone may turn poleward and then recurve back toward the east. On the poleward side of the subtropical ridge, westerly winds prevail thus steering the tropical cyclone back to the east. These westerly winds are the same ones that typically bring extratropical cyclones with their cold and warm fronts from west to east. Many times it is difficult to tell whether a trough will allow the tropical cyclone to recurve back out to sea (for those folks on the eastern edges of continents) or whether the tropical cyclone will continue straight ahead and make landfall. For more non-technical information on the movement of tropical cyclones, see Pielke's _The Hurricane_. For a more detailed, technical summary on the controls on tropical cyclone motion, see Elsberry's chapter in _Global Perspectives on Tropical Cyclones_. Both books are detailed in Part II of the FAQ. *************************************************************************** Subject: G7) Why doesn't the South Atlantic Ocean experience tropical cyclones? Though many people might speculate that the sea surface temperatures are too cold, the primary reasons that the South Atlantic Ocean gets no tropical cyclones are that the tropospheric (near surface to 200mb) vertical wind shear is much too strong and there is typically no inter-tropical convergence zone (ITCZ) over the ocean (Gray 1968). Without an ITCZ to provide synoptic vorticity and convergence (i.e. large scale spin and thunderstorm activity) as well as having strong wind shear, it becomes very difficult to nearly impossible to have genesis of tropical cyclones. However, in rare occasions it may be possible to have tropical cyclones form in the South Atlantic. In McAdie and Rappaport (1991), the USA National Hurricane Center documented the occurrence of a strong tropical depression/weak tropical storm that formed off the coast of Congo in mid-April 1991. The storm lasted about five days and drifted toward the west-southwest into the central South Atlantic. So far, there has not been a systematic study as to the conditions that accompanied this rare event. *************************************************************************** Subject: G8) Does an active June and July mean the rest of the season will be busy too? No. The number of named storms (hurricanes) occurring in June and July correlates at an insignificant r = +0.13 (+0.02) versus the whole season activity. Actually, there is a slight _negative_ association of early season storms (hurricanes) versus late season - August through November - r = -0.28 (-0.35). Thus, early season activity, be it very active or quite calm, has little bearing on the season as a whole. These correlations are based on the years 1944-1994. *************************************************************************** Subject: G9) Why do hurricanes hit the East coast of the U.S., but never the West coast? Hurricanes form both in the Atlantic basin (i.e. the Atlantic Ocean, Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea) to the east of the continental U.S. and in the Northeast Pacific basin to the west of the U.S. However, the ones in the Northeast Pacific almost never hit the U.S., while the ones in the Atlantic basin strike the U.S. mainland just less than twice a year on average. There are two main reasons. The first is that hurricanes tend to move toward the west-northwest after they form in the tropical and subtropical latitudes. In the Atlantic, such a motion often brings the hurricane into the vicinity of the U.S. east coast. In the Northeast Pacific, a west-northwest track takes those hurricanes farther off-shore, well away from the U.S. west coast. In addition to the general track, a second factor is the difference in water temperatures along the U.S. east and west coasts. Along the U.S. east coast, the Gulf Stream provides a source of warm (> 80 F or 26.5 C) waters to help maintain the hurricane. However, along the U.S. west coast, the ocean temperatures rarely get above the lower 70s, even in the midst of summer. Such relatively cool temperatures are not energetic enough to sustain a hurricane's strength. So for the occasional Northeast Pacific hurricane that does track back toward the U.S. west coast, the cooler waters can quickly reduce the strength of the storm. *************************************************************************** Subject: G10) How much lightning occurs in tropical cyclones? Surprisingly, not much lightning occurs in the inner core (within about 100 km or 60 mi) of the tropical cyclone center. Only around a dozen or less cloud-to-ground strikes per hour occur around the eyewall of the storm, in strong contrast to an overland mid-latitude mesoscale convective complex which may be observed to have lightning flash rates of greater than 1000 per hour (!) maintained for several hours. Hurricane Andrew's eyewall had less than 10 strikes per hour from the time it was over the Bahamas until after it made landfall along Louisiana, with several hours with no cloud-to-ground lightning at all (Molinari et al. 1994). However, lightning can be more common in the outer cores of the storms (beyond around 100 km or 60 mi) with flash rates on the order of 100s per hour. This lack of inner core lightning is due to the relative weak nature of the eyewall thunderstorms. Because of the lack of surface heating over the ocean ocean and the "warm core" nature of the tropical cyclones, there is less buoyancy available to support the updrafts. Weaker updrafts lack the super-cooled water (e.g. water with a temperature less than 0 C or 32 F) that is crucial in charging up a thunderstorm by the interaction of ice crystals in the presence of liquid water (Black and Hallett 1986). The more common outer core lightning occurs in conjunction with the presence of convectively-active rainbands (Samsury and Orville 1994). One of the exciting possibilities that recent lightning studies have suggested is that changes in the inner core strikes - though the number of strikes is usually quite low - may provide a useful forecast tool for intensification of tropical cyclones. Black (1975) suggested that bursts of inner core convection which are accompanied by increases in electrical activity may indicate that the tropical cyclone will soon commence a deepening in intensity. Analyses of Hurricanes Diana (1984), Florence (1988) and Andrew (1992), as well as an unnamed tropical storm in 1987 indicate that this is often true (Lyons and Keen 1994 and Molinari et al. 1994). *************************************************************************** Subject: H1) What is the Dvorak technique and how is it used? The Dvorak technique is a methodology to get estimates of tropical cyclone intensity from satellite pictures. Vern Dvorak developed the scheme using a pattern recognition decision tree in the early 1970s (Dvorak 1975, 1984). Utilizing the current satellite picture of a tropical cyclone, one matches the image versus a number of possible pattern types: Curved band Pattern, Shear Pattern, Eye Pattern, Central Dense Overcast (CDO) Pattern, Embedded Center Pattern or Central Cold Cover Pattern. If infrared satellite imagery is available for Eye Patterns (generally the pattern seen for hurricanes, severe tropical cyclones and typhoons), then the scheme utilizes the difference between the temperature of the warm eye and the surrounding cold cloud tops. The larger the difference, the more intense the tropical cyclone is estimated to be. From this one gets a data "T-number" and a "Current Intensity (CI) Number". CI numbers have been calibrated against aircraft measurements of tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific and Atlantic basins. On average, the CI numbers correspond to the following intensities: CI Maximum Sustained Central Pressure Number One Minute Winds (mb) (kt) (Atlantic) (NW Pacific) 0.0 <25 ---- ---- 0.5 25 ---- ---- 1.0 25 ---- ---- 1.5 25 ---- ---- 2.0 30 1009 1000 2.5 35 1005 997 3.0 45 1000 991 3.5 55 994 984 4.0 65 987 976 4.5 77 979 966 5.0 90 970 954 5.5 102 960 941 6.0 115 948 927 6.5 127 935 914 7.0 140 921 898 7.5 155 906 879 8.0 170 890 858 Note that this estimation of both maximum winds and central pressure assumes that the winds and pressures are always consistent. However, since the winds are really determined by the pressure gradient, small tropical cyclones (like the Atlantic's Andrew in 1992, for example) can have stronger winds for a given central pressure than a larger tropical cyclone with the same central pressure. Thus caution is urged in not blindly forcing tropical cyclones to "fit" the above pressure- wind relationships. (The reason that lower pressures are given to the Northwest Pacific tropical cyclones in comparison to the higher pressures of the Atlantic basin tropical cyclones is because of the difference in the background climatology. The Northwest Pacific basin has a lower background sea level pressure field. Thus to sustain a given pressure gradient and thus the winds, the central pressure must accordingly be smaller in this basin.) The errors for using the above Dvorak technique in comparison to aircraft measurements taken in the Northwest Pacific average 10 mb with a standard deviation of 9 mb (Martin and Gray 1993). Atlantic tropical cyclone estimates likely have similar errors. Thus an Atlantic hurricane that is given a CI number of 4.5 (winds of 77 kt and pressure of 979 mb) could in reality be anywhere from winds of 60 to 90 kt and pressures of 989 to 969 mb. These would be typical ranges to be expected; errors could be worse. However, in the absence of other observations, the Dvorak technique does at least provide a consistent estimate of what the true intensity is. While the Dvorak technique was calibrated for the Atlantic and Northwest Pacific basin because of the aircraft reconnaissance data ground truth, the technique has also been quite useful in other basins that have limited observational platforms. However, at some point it would be preferable to re-derive the Dvorak technique to calibrate tropical cyclones with available data in the other basins. Lastly, while the Dvorak technique is primarily designed to provide estimates of the current intensity of the storm, a 24 h forecast of the intensity can be obtained also by extrapolating the trend of the CI number. Whether this methodology provides skillful forecasts is unknown. *************************************************************************** Subject: H2) Who are the "Hurricane Hunters" and what are they looking for? (Contributed by Neal Dorst.) In the Atlantic basin (Atlantic Ocean, Gulf of Mexico, and Caribbean Sea) hurricane reconnaissance is carried out by two government agencies, the U.S. Air Force Reserves' 53rd Weather Reconnaissance Squadron and NOAA's Aircraft Operations Center. The U.S. Navy stopped flying hurricanes in 1975. The 53rd WRS is based at Keesler AFB in Mississippi and maintains a fleet of ten WC-130 planes. These cargo airframes have been modified to carry weather instruments to measure wind, pressure, temperature and dew point as well as drop instrumented sondes and make other observations. AOC is presently based at MacDill AFB in Tampa, Florida and among its fleet of planes has two P-3 Orions, originally made as Navy sub hunters, but modified to include three radars as well as a suite of meteorological instruments and dropsonde capability. Starting in 1996 AOC has added to its fleet a Gulfstream IV jet that will be able to make hurricane observations from much higher altitudes (up to 45,000 feet). It has a suite of instruments similar to those on the P-3s. The USAF planes are the workhorses of the hurricane hunting effort. They are often deployed to a forward base, such as Antigua, and carry out most of the reconnaissance of developing waves and depressions. Their mission in these situations is to look for signs of a closed circulation and any strengthening or organizing that the storm might be showing. This information is relayed by radio to the National Hurricane Center for the hurricane specialists to evaluate. The NOAA planes are more highly instrumented and are generally reserved for when developed hurricanes are threatening landfall, especially landfall on U.S. territory. They are also used to conduct scientific research on storms. The planes carry between six to fifteen people, both the flight crew and the meteorologists. Flight crews consist of a pilot, co-pilot, flight engineer, navigator, and electrical technicians. The weather crew might consist of a flight meteorologist, lead project scientist, cloud physicist, radar specialist, and dropsonde operators. The primary purpose of reconnaissance is to track the center of circulation, these are the co-ordinates that the National Hurricane Center issues, and to measure the maximum winds. But the crews are also evaluating the storm's size, structure, and development and this information is also relayed to NHC via radio and satellite link. Most of this data, which is critical in determining the hurricane's threat, cannot be obtained from satellite. *************************************************************************** REFERENCES ---------- Aberson, S.D., and M. DeMaria (1994): Verification of a Nested Barotropic Hurricane Track Forecast Model (VICBAR). _Mon. 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(1985): Tropical cyclone activity in the Northwest Pacific in relation to the El Nino / Southern Oscillation phenomenon. _Mon. Wea. Rev._, 113, 599-606. DeMaria, M. and J. Kaplan (1994): A statistical hurricane intensity prediction scheme (SHIPS) for the Atlantic basin. _Wea. Forecasting_, 9, 209-220. Dong Keqin (1988): El Nino and tropical cyclone frequency in the Australian region and the Northwest Pacific. _Aust. Met. Mag._, 36, 219-225. Dunn, G. E., 1940: Cyclogenesis in the tropical Atlantic. _Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 21, 215-229. Dunn, G.E. and B.I. Miller (1960): _Atlantic Hurricanes_, Louisiana State Univ. Press, Baton Rough, Louisiana, 377 pp. Dunnavan, G.M. and J.W. Diercks (1980): An analysis of Sypertyphoon Tip (October 1979). _Mon. Wea. Rev._, 180, 1915-1923. Dvorak, V.F., 1975: Tropical cyclone intensity analysis and forecasting from satellite imagery. _Mon. Wea. Rev._, 103, 420-430. Dvorak, V.F., 1984: Tropical cyclone intensity analysis using satellite data. _NOAA Tech. Rep. NESDIS 11_, 47 pp. Emanuel, K. A., (1987): The dependence of hurricane intensity on climate. _Nature_, 326, 483-485. Ernest and Matson (1983): ???, _Weather_, ???. Fiorino, M., J.S. Goerss, J.J. Jensen, E.J. Harrison, Jr. (1993): An evaluation of the real-time tropical cyclone forecast skill of the Navy operations global atmospheric prediction system in the western North Pacific. _Wea. Forecasting_, 8, 3-24. Fitzpatrick, P.J., J.A. Knaff, C.W. Landsea, and S.V. Finley (1995): A systematic bias in the Aviation model's forecast of the Atlantic tropical upper tropospheric trough: Implications for tropical cyclone forecasting. _Wea. Forecasting_, 10, 433-446. Gray, W.M. (1968): A global view of the origin of tropical disturbances and storms. _Mon. Wea. Rev._, 96, 669-700. Gray, W.M. (1984a): Atlantic seasonal hurricane frequency: Part I. El Nino and 30 mb quasi-biennial oscillation influences. _Mon. Wea. Rev._, 112, 1649-1668. Gray, W.M. (1984b): Atlantic seasonal hurricane frequency: Part II. Forecasting its variability. _Mon. Wea. Rev._, 112, 1669-1683. Gray, W.M., W.M. Frank, M.L. Corrin, C.A. Stokes (1976): Weather modification by carbon dust absorption of solar energy. _J. Appl. Meteor._, 15, 355-386. Gray, W.M., C.W. Landsea, P.W. Mielke, Jr., and K.J. Berry (1992): Predicting Atlantic seasonal hurricane activity 6-11 months in advance. _Wea. Forecasting_, 7, 440-455. Gray, W.M., C.W. Landsea, P.W. Mielke, Jr., and K.J. Berry (1993): Predicting Atlantic seasonal tropical cyclone activity by 1 August. _Wea. Forecasting_, 8, 73-86. Gray, W.M., C.W. Landsea, P.W. Mielke, Jr., and K.J. Berry (1994): Predicting Atlantic seasonal tropical cyclone activity by 1 June. _Wea. Forecasting_, 9, 103-115. Haarsma, R. J., J. F. B. Mitchell and C. A. Senior, (1993): Tropical disturbances in a GCM. _Clim. Dyn._, 8, 247-257. Hebert, P.J., J.D. Jarrell, and M. Mayfield (1992): The deadliest, costliest, and most intense United States hurricanes of this century. _NOAA Tech. Memo. NWS NHC-31_, National Hurricane Center, Coral Gables, Florida, 39 pp. Holland, G.J. (1993): "Ready Reckoner" - Chapter 9, _Global Guide to Tropical Cyclone Forecasting_, WMO/TC-No. 560, Report No. TCP-31, World Meteorological Organization, Geneva. Holliday, C.R., (1973): Record 12 and 24 hour deepening rates in a tropical cyclone. _Mon. Wea. Rev._, 101, 112-114. Houghton, J. T., B. A. Callander and S. K. Varney, Eds. (1992): _Climate Change 1992: The Supplementary Report to the IPCC Scientific Assessment_. Cambridge University Press, New York. Houghton, J. T., G. J. Jenkins and J. J. Ephramus, Eds. (1990): _Climate Change: The IPCC Scientific Assessment_. Cambridge University Press, New York. Jarvinen, B.R., and C.J. Neumann (1979): Statistical forecast of tropical cyclone intensity. _NOAA Tech. Memo. NWS NHC-10_, 22 pp. Lander, M. (1994): An exploratory analysis of the relationship between tropical storm formation in the Western North Pacific and ENSO. _Mon. Wea. Rev._, 122, 636-651. Landsea, C.W. (1993): A climatology of intense (or major) Atlantic hurricanes. _Mon. Wea. Rev._, 121, 1703-1713. Landsea, C.W. and W.M. Gray (1992): The strong association between Western Sahelian monsoon rainfall and intense Atlantic hurricanes. _J. Climate_, 5, 435-453. Landsea, C.W., W.M. Gray, P.W. Mielke, Jr., and K.J. Berry (1994): Seasonal forecasting of Atlantic hurricane activity. _Weather_, 49, 273-284. Landsea, C.W., N. Nicholls, W.M. Gray, and L.A. Avila (1996): Downward trends in the frequency of intense Atlantic hurricanes during the past five decades. _Geo. Res. Letters_, 23, 1697-1700. Leggett, J., Ed., (1994): _The Climate Time Bomb_, Greenpeace International, Amsterdam. Lord, S.J. (1993): Recent developments in tropical cyclone track forecasting with the NMC global analysis and forecast system. _Preprints of the 20th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology_, San Antonio, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 290-291. Lyons, W.A., and C. S. Keen (1994): Observations of lightning in convective supercells within tropical storms and hurricanes. _Mon. Wea. Rev._, 122, 1897-1916. Marks, D.G. (1992): The beta and advection model for hurricane track forecasting. _NOAA Tech. Memo. NWS NMC 70_, Natl. Meteorological Center, Camp Springs, Maryland, 89 pp. Martin, J.D., and W.M. Gray (1993): Tropical cyclone observation and forecasting with and without aircraft reconnaissance. _Wea. Forecasting_, 8, 519-532. Mathur, M.B. (1991): The National Meteorological Center's quasi- Lagrangian model for hurricane prediction. _Mon. Wea. Rev._, 119, 1419-1447. Mayengon, R. (1984): ???, _Mar. Weather Log_, ??? McAdie, C.J. (1991): A comparison of tropical cyclone track forecasts produced by NHC90 and an alternate version (NHC90A) during the 1990 hurricane season. _Preprints of the 19th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology_, Miami, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 290-294. McAdie, C.J. and E.N. Rappaport (1991): _Diagnostic Report of the National Hurricane Center_, Vol. 4, No. 1, NOAA, National Hurricane Center, Coral Gables, FL, 45 pp. Merrill, R.T. (1980): A statistical tropical cyclone motion forecasting system for the Gulf of Mexico. _NOAA Tech. Memo. NWS NHC 14_, 21 pp. Molinari, J., P.K. Moore, V.P. Idone, R.W. Henderson, and A.B. Saljoughy (1994): Cloud-to-ground lightning in Hurricane Andrew. _J. Geophys. Res._, 16665-16676. Neumann, C.J. (1972): An alternative to the HURRAN tropical cyclone forecast system. _NOAA Tech. Memo. NWS SR-62_, 22 pp. Neumann, C.J. (1993): "Global Overview" - Chapter 1, _Global Guide to Tropical Cyclone Forecasting_, WMO/TC-No. 560, Report No. TCP-31, World Meteorological Organization, Geneva. Neumann, C.J., B.R. Jarvinen, C.J. McAdie, and J.D. Elms (1993): _Tropical Cyclones of the North Atlantic Ocean, 1871-1992_, Prepared by the National Climatic Data Center, Asheville, NC, in cooperation with the National Hurricane Center, Coral Gables, FL, 193pp. Nicholls, N. (1979): A possible method for predicting seasonal tropical cyclone activity in the Australian region. _Mon. Wea. Rev._, 107, 1221-1224. Nicholls, N. (1992): Recent performance of a method for forecasting Australian seasonal tropical cyclone activity. _Aust. Met. Mag._, 40, 105-110. Novlan, D.J. and W.M. Gray (1974): Hurricane-spawned tornadoes. _Mon. Wea. Rev._, 102, 476-488. Pan, Y. (1981): the effect of the thermal state of eastern equatorial Pacific on the frequency typhoons over western Pacific. _Acta Meteor. Sin._, 40, 24-32 (in Chinese). Powell, M.D., and S.H. Houston, 1996: Hurricane Andrew's wind field at landfall in South Florida. Part II: Applications to real-time analysis and preliminary damage assessment. _Wea. Forecasting_, 11, 329-349. Radford, A.M. (1994): Forecasting the movement of tropical cyclones at the Met. Office. _Met. Apps._, 1, 355-363. Revell, C.G. and S.W. Goulter (1986): South Pacific tropical cyclones and the Southern Oscillation. _Mon. Wea. Rev._, 114, 1138-1145. Riehl, H., 1945: Waves in the easterlies and the polar front in the tropics. Misc. Rep., No. 17, Department of Meteorology, University of Chicago, 79 pp. Ryan, B. F., I. G. Watterson and J. L. Evans, (1992): Tropical cyclone frequencies inferred from Gray's yearly genesis parameter: Validation of GCM tropical climates. _Geophys. Res. Letters_, 19, 1831-1834. Samsury, C.E., and R.E. Orville, 1994: Cloud-to-ground lightning in tropical cyclones: A study of Hurricanes Hugo (1989) and Jerry (1989). _Mon. Wea. Rev._, 122, 1887-1896. Schroeder, T.A. and Z. Yu (1995): Interannual variability of central Pacific tropical cyclones. _Preprints of the 21st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology_, Amer. Meteor. Soc., Miami, Florida, 437-439. Sheets, R.C. (1990): The National Hurricane Center -- Past, Present, and Future. _Wea. Forecasting_, 5, 185-232. Simpson, R.H. and H. Riehl (1981): _The Hurricane and Its Impact_. Louisiana State Univ. Press, Baton Rouge (IBSN 0-8071-0688-7), 398 pp. Simpson, R.H. and J. Simpson (1966): Why experiment of tropical hurricanes? _Trans. New York Acad. Sci., 28, 1045-1062. Tuleya, R.E. (1994): Tropical storm development and decay: Sensitivity to surface boundary conditions. _Mon. Wea. Rev._, 122, 291-304. Tuleya, R.E. and Y. Kurihara (1978): A numerical simulation of the landfall of tropical cyclones. _J. Atmos. Sci._, 35, 242-257. Weatherford, C. and W.M. Gray (1988): Typhoon structure as revealed by aircraft reconnaissance. Part II: Structural variability. _Mon. Wea. Rev._, 116, 1044-1056. Whittingham, H.E., (1958): The Bathurst Bay Hurricane and associated storm surge. _Aust. Met. Mag._, 23, 14-36. Willoughby, H.E. (1990): Temporal changes of the primary circulation in tropical cyclones. _J. Atmos. Sci._, 47, 242-264. Willoughby, H.E., J.A. Clos, and M.G. Shoreibah (1982): Concentric eye walls, secondary wind maxima, and the evolution of the hurricane vortex. _J. Atmos. Sci._, 39, 395-411. Willoughby, H.E., D.P. Jorgensen, R.A. Black, and S.L. Rosenthal (1985): Project STORMFURY: A scientific chronicle 1962-1983. _Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc._, 66, cover and 505-514. Willoughby, H.E., J.M. Masters, and C.W. Landsea (1989): A record minimum sea level pressure observed in Hurricane Gilbert. _Mon. Wea. Rev._, 117, 2824-2828. ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** Late 1940s: "The stakes are large and with increased knowledge, I think that we should be able to abolish the evil effects of these hurricanes." - Nobel Laureate Irving Langmuir Early 1990s: The 1991 Bangladesh Cyclone: 130,000 fatalities The 1992 Hurricane Andrew: $30,000,000,000 in damages ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 8 Jun 1997 to 9 Jun 1997 - Special issue **************************************************************** From - Tue Jun 10 23:06:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102158-17029>; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 13:10:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA41506; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 00:02:42 -0500 Message-Id: <199706100502.AAA41506@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Jun 1997 00:00:56 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 9 Jun 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 40a88c43ac328f85186e6000f950fd65 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 35842 Status: OR There are 3 messages totalling 741 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Hurricane FAQ - Part II 2. RadioShack to sell message-encoding Weather Radio 3. KGRB NWSFO HOME PAGE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 9 Jun 1997 18:15:37 -0400 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Hurricane FAQ - Part II ************************************************* FAQ: HURRICANES, TYPHOONS, AND TROPICAL CYCLONES ************************************************* Part II: -------- I: Real-Time Information J: Historical Information By Christopher W. Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Miami, Florida 33149 landsea@aoml.noaa.gov 2 June, 1997 This is currently a two-part FAQ (Frequently Asked Questions report) that is in its second full incarnation (version 2.3). However, there may be some errors or discrepancies that have not yet been found. If you do see an item that needs correction, please contact me directly. Part I contains various definitions, answers for questions about names, myths, winds, records, forecasting, climatology and observation of tropical cyclones. This section (Part II) provides sites that you can access both real-time information about tropical cyclones, what is available on-line for historical storms, as well as good books to read and various references for tropical cyclones. Keep in mind that this FAQ is not considered a reviewed paper to reference. Its main purpose is to provide quick answers for (naturally) frequently asked questions as well as to be a pointer to various sources of information. Much of the on-line information is pulled from Ilana Stern's wonderful "Sources of Meteorological Data FAQ" and I acknowledge the time and effort she has put in in originally compiling this information. Also Gary Gray has put together a very comprehensive listing of tropical cyclone Web sites that I've included here with his permission. OUTLINE ------- I : REAL TIME INFORMATION I1) Where can I get real-time advisories for tropical cyclones? I2) Where can I get real-time tropical weather analyses and forecast fields? I3) Where can I get real-time ship and buoy data? I4) Where can I get real-time sea surface temperature data? I5) Where can I get real-time satellite pictures? I6) Where can I get real-time radar data? I7) Where can I get real-time hurricane aircraft reconnaissance data? I8) Where can I get real-time tropical cyclone motion and intensity model forecasts? I9) Where can I get tropical cyclone preparedness information? I10) What computer software is available for tracking tropical cyclones? J : HISTORICAL INFORMATION J1) Where can I get historical data on tropical cyclones ? J2) What journals have regular articles on tropical cyclones ? J3) What books have been written about tropical cyclones ? J4) What refereed articles were written during 1994 on tropical cyclones ? ************************************************************************** Subject: I1) Where can I get real-time advisories for tropical cyclones? There are three good ways to get these. Either telnet to a site and peruse the advisories you would like to see via a menu, have the advisories sent directly to you via email, or visit sites via the World Wide Web. Option 1: Telnet to a site --------------------------- The site that has a very comprehensive listing is the Weather Underground at University of Michigan. Simply telnet to: downwind.sprl.umich.edu 3000 Make sure to include the '3000' at the end of the command. From there you have a simple menu driven system to get to the USA National Hurricane Center, the USA Central Pacific Hurricane Center, and the USA Joint Typhoon Warning Center products. Option 2: Advisories automatically sent to you ----------------------------------------------- WX-TROPL was created for people who want receive, as an email, tropical bulletins originating from the US National Hurricane Center, the Central Pacific Hurricane Center, and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center. To get information as to how to sign up onto WX-TROPL, ftp to po.uiuc.edu and use anonymous FTP to retrieve the file WX-TALK.DOC from the directory "wx-talk". If you don't have ftp access, contact either Chris Novy or Charley Kline . Option 3: Get the advisories via surfing the Web ------------------------------------------------- The World Wide Web is a great source for real-time tropical cyclone advisories. For brevity here are some reliable http sites (provided by Gary Gray): gopher://geograf1.sbs.ohio-state.edu:70/1/Tropical (good source) http://banzai.neosoft.com/citylink/blake/tropical.html (everything) http://cirrus.sprl.umich.edu/wxnet/tropical.html (most info available) http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/us/hurricane.html (full advisory list) http://lumahai.soest.hawaii.edu/Tropical_Weather/tropical.shtml (map) http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics.html (new stuff... looks great) http://www.atms.unca.edu/%7Efarr/hurricane96.html (simple & excellent) http://www.ih2000.net/ira/bmt-wth.htm (strike probs & track maps) http://www.weather.brockport.edu/cgi-bin/hurricane (simple search) http://www.npmocw.navy.mil/npmocw/prods/jtwc.html (JTWC forecasts) http://www.gobeach.com/hurr.htm (forecasts & conditions of Caribbean) ************************************************************************** Subject: I2) Where can I get real-time tropical weather analyses and forecast fields? (Provided by Gary Gray.) gopher://geograf1.sbs.ohio-state.edu:70/1/Tropical (lots of info) http://www-pcmdi.llnl.gov/fiorino/wxmap/wx.htm (Mike Fiorino's site) http://banzai.neosoft.com/citylink/blake/tropical.html (most products) http://cirrus.sprl.umich.edu/wxnet/tropical.html (most info available) http://grads.iges.org/pix/trop.00hr.html (nice tropical graphics) http://lumahai.soest.hawaii.edu/Tropical_Weather/tropical.shtml http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ (most products) http://www.atms.unca.edu/%7Efarr/hurricane96.html (many products) http://www.flinet.com/%7reiter/ (links to tropical weather summary) http://www.met.fsu.edu/explores/tropical.html (several products) http://www.nws.noaa.gov/Marine.htm (some unique maps) http://www.sims.net/links/hurricane.html (good set of info) http://www.utmb.edu/hurricane.html (basic info) http://ws321.uncc.edu/data/wxp/aviation/trop (excellent!) ************************************************************************** Subject: I3) Where can I get real-time ship and buoy data? (Provided by Gary Gray.) http://banzai.neosoft.com/citylink/blake/tropical.html (great source) http://cirrus.sprl.umich.edu/wxnet/tropical.html (good set of data) http://www.nws.fsu.edu/buoy (great graphic buoy/cman source) http://www.bbsr.edu/weather (nice ship, bouy, and wave data) http://www.met.fsu.edu/explores/tropical.html (Gulf & W Atlantic) ************************************************************************** Subject: I4) Where can I get real-time sea surface temperature data? (Provided by Gary Gray.) gopher://gopher.ssec.wisc.edu:70/19/mcidas.d/other.d/.molly.gif http://cirrus.sprl.umich.edu/wxnet/tropical.html (several products) http://ssec.ssec.wisc.edu/data/sst/latest_sst.gif (global SST image) http://www.bbsr.edu/weather (decent AVHRR SST maps) http://www.met.fsu.edu/explores/tropical.html (analysis & anomaly) http://www.nws.noaa.gov/Marine.htm (a few different "styles") http://www.rsmas.miami.edu/images.html (several good SST maps) http://www.seaspace.com/images/goes8.gif (global SST image) http://www.sims.net/links/hurricane.html (global SST image) ************************************************************************** Subject: I5) Where can I get real-time satellite pictures? (Provided by Gary Gray.) http://oldthunder.ssec.wisc.edu/ (Chris Velden's site) http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/sat_products.html (Jeff Hawkins' site) gopher://geograf1.sbs.ohio-state.edu:70/1/wxascii/gophergrafx/satpix http://banzai.neosoft.com/citylink/blake/tropical.html (many good pix) http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/sat_products.shtml (GOES 8 & 9, specials) http://cirrus.sprl.umich.edu/wxnet/tropical.html (a few good pix) http://clunix.cl.msu.edu:80/weather/ (lots of sat pix) http://grads.iges.org/listing/wx.html (nice GOES-8/9 full disk images) http://lumahai.soest.hawaii.edu/Tropical_Weather/tropical.shtml http://tuna@www.alw.nih.gov/weather.html (many pix have bad links) http://www.atms.unca.edu/%7Efarr/hurricane96.html (the basics) http://www.bbsr.edu/weather (Bermudocentric & other sat pix) http://www.dibbs.net/%7Ejadkins/storm.html (Atlantic) http://www.flinet.com/%7reiter (GOES-8 US & Atlantic & FL) http://www.met.fsu.edu/explores/tropical.html (tropics) http://www.sims.net/links/hurricane.html (several decent sat pix) http://www.t-e.k12.pa.us/~dbaron/satellite/ (tons of sat pix) http://www.cira.colostate.edu (GOES-8 & 9, and historical) ************************************************************************** Subject: I6) Where can I get real-time radar data? (Provided by Gary Gray.) http://banzai.neosoft.com/citylink/blake/tropical.html (nice source) http://cirrus.sprl.umich.edu/wxnet/tropical.html (full set of rad pix) http://tuna@www.alw.nih.gov/weather.html (Mid-Atlantic sites) http://www.atms.unca.edu/%7Efarr/hurricane96.html (decent selection) http://www.flinet.com/%7reiter (Miami radar) http://www.gulf.net/%7Egbamonte/min_wet.htm (Mobile, AL radar) http://www.ih2000.net/ira/bmt-wth.htm (coastal TX radar only) http://www.satchmo.com/nolavl/storm.html (New Orleans radar) ************************************************************************** Subject: I7) Where can I get real-time hurricane aircraft reconnaissance data? (Provided by Gary Gray.) http://www.hurricanehunters.com (info from the source) gopher://geograf1.sbs.ohio-state.edu:70/1/Tropical (good recon lists) http://banzai.neosoft.com/citylink/blake/tropical.html (decent source) http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ (excellent site) http://ws321.uncc.edu/data/tropical (simple recon report grabber) http://www.funet.fi/pub/dx/text/utility/Hurricane (decoding info) http://www.met.fsu.edu/explores/tropical.html (TCPOD & recon reports) ************************************************************************** Subject: I8) Where can I get real-time tropical cyclone motion and intensity model forecasts? (Provided by Gary Gray.) http://www.fnoc.navy.mil/noraps.html ("normal" model, but good for TS) http://www.nws.noaa.gov/Marine.htm (not models, but some forecasts) http://www.meto.govt.uk/sec2/sec2cyclone/sec2cyclone.html(old storms) http://maine.maine.edu/~rlight51/weather.html (Gary. Gray's model) http://taylor.ems.psu.edu/~owens/weather.html (Gary. Gray's model) http://web.mit.edu/afs/athena.mit.edu/user/z/u/zudark/www/earth.html ************************************************************************** Subject: I9) Where can I get tropical cyclone preparedness information? (Provided by Gary Gray.) http://www.casualty.com/hcane.html (all the basic preparedness info) http://www.co.alachua.fl.us/%7Eacem/oemtest.html (Alachua Co., FL) http://www.fema.gov/fema/trop.html (FEMA) http://www.flinet.com/%7reiter (several links) http://www.gulf.net/%7Egbamonte/min_wet.htm (general preparedness) http://www.insiders.com/boca/flweathe.htm (basic preparedness info) http://www.oo.com/%7Efrank/disaster.html (disaster preparedness) http://www.pbpost.com/storm96/ (lots of preparedness info) http://www.sims.net/links/hurricane.html (great preparedness info) ************************************************************************** Subject: I10) What computer software is available for tracking tropical cyclones? (Descriptions kindly provided by Tom Berg and via the authors. Note that this does not constitute an endorsement of any product. "Low $" indicates less than $50, "Medium $" indicates between $50-$100, and "High $" indicates more than $100.) 1. HURRTRAK (Windows-based) --- shareware, semi-functional available on Compuserve in Aviation and Weather Channel forums. Also on AOL. It is also available through the WeatherNet: http://cirrus.sprl.umich.edu/wxnet/software.html The company is PC Weather Products P.O. Box 72723 Marietta, GA 30007-2723 770-953-3506 800-605-2230 Email: wxperson@pcwp.com Web: http://www.pcwp.com They primarily market their professional versions (high $), but still provide a hobbyist edition (medium $). The professional software allows for many additional capabilities such as plotting county lines & roadways, more detailed charts, detailed impact reports as well as animation and strike probabilities. See their WEB site at http://www.pcwp.com for more information. 2. STORM (DOS-based) ------ shareware, semi-functional available on AOL. The company is Utopia Software P.O. Box 420324 Houston, TX 77242 They offer a regular (low $) and enhanced version (medium $). What the enhanced offers special is the ability to enter and plot the forecasted positions from the NHC and to include offshore platforms or ships positions on the charts. 3. FORCE12 (Windows) ---- shareware, semi-functional available on Compuserve in Aviation and Weather Channel forums and AOL. The company is Epperson Computing P.O. Box 1094 Baytown, TX 77522-1094 There is only one version (low $). 4. MERLIN (DOS) ----- shareware, semi-functional available on Compuserve in Aviation and Weather Channel forums. The company is T.M. Parker P.O. Box 1431 La Porte, TX 77572 There is only one version (low $). 5. GCANES (DOS) ----- shareware, semi-functional available on Compuserve in Aviation forum. The company is Robert Terwilliger 2398 SW 22nd Ave. Miami, FL 33145 There is only one version (low $). 6. HURRICANE FORECASTER (DOS) - shareware, semi-functional available on AOL. The company is Craig Rorrer 3809 Iola Ct. Virginia Beach, VA 23456 There is only one version (low $). 7. HURRICANE TRACKER (Windows) -- shareware, semi-functional available on Compuserve forum Aviation. The company is Nicheware P.O. Box 1312 Summerville,SC 29484-1312 There is only one version (low $). 8. HURRICANE WATCH! (Windows) --- shareware, semi-functional available on Compuserve forum Aviation and AOL. The company is SeaBorne Systems 414 Long Leaf Acres Dr. Wilmington, NC 28405 There is only one version (low $). 9. TRACKEYE (Windows) ----- shareware, semi-functional available on Compuserve forums Aviation and Weather Channel. The company is GenCode Technologies 7907 N. Rome Ave. Tampa, FL 33604 There is only one version (low $). 10. TRAKHUR (DOS) --- I only found it advertised in Weatherwise magazine. The company is Bryan Lambeth, PE Hurricane Research Srvc P.O. Box 181032 Austin, TX 78718 There is a regular version (low $) and the TRAKHUR PRO version (medium $). 11. TRACKER (DOS) -- again, I found it through Weatherwise. The company is OceanSoft Inc. P.O. Box 1224 Largo, FL 34649 TRACKER (medium $) also includes something unique called Mapper, this allows you to build your own maps of any ocean and will show the map in Mercator, Azimuthal, and spread types. 12. WINSTORM --- shareware (no cost), semi-functional available on Compuserve forum Aviation and AOL. The company is Ingramation 2437 Bay Area Blvd. Suite 349 Houston, TX 77058 13. MCHURRICANE -- a hurricane tracking program for the Macintosh, posted on AOL, along with several shareware (low $) CDs. The company is William I. Chenault 149 Country Club Rd Shalimar, FL 32579 (904)-651-2276 ************************************************************************** Subject: J1) Where can I get historical data of tropical cyclones? -------------------------------------------------------------------------- THE BEVEN REPORTS ;-) For unofficial near-real time summaries of global tropical cyclone activity, Jack Beven of the USA National Hurricane Center/Tropical Prediction Center produces these on a weekly basis and has done so for over three years. Text copies of past weekly summaries can be retrieved via the Web at: . If you'd like to obtain these near-real time summaries directly, simply email Jack at: beven@nhc.noaa.gov and ask him to start sending you the summaries. Note however that these are already posted on sci.geo.meteorology and WX-TALK. -------------------------------------------------------------------------- FREE DATA ftp hrd-type42.nhc.noaa.gov [140.90.176.206] Atlantic basin tropical storm and hurricane best track data, 1886-1996. Every 6 hour intensity and position information in an ASCII file including a README documentation file (tra86to96.atl and README.atl). Also, Northeast/North-central Pacific tropical storm and hurricane data (1949-1996) are also provided (tra49to96.epc and README.epc). Provided by landsea@aoml.noaa.gov (Chris Landsea). http://wxp.atms.purdue.edu/hur_atlantic/ This best track information for the Atlantic has provided in seperate images for each years by some people at Purdue University. The tracks for the individual years have been provided in a color coded (for intensity) format. -------------------------------------------------------------------------- NOT-FREE DATA World Weather Disc ($295): Monthly temp, precip, pressure, sunshine data for about 2000 world stations for period of record. Daily weather data at hundreds of US stations. Data for some stations on temp, precip, freeze, drought, soil moisture, wind, storms. Frequency and movement of tropical cyclones. Contact: Cliff Mass, Dept. of Atmos. Sci. (AK40), University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, USA. 206/685-0910. -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Global Tropical and Extratropical Cyclone Climatic Atlas (GTECCA) ($100): This CD-ROM contains all global historic tropical storm track data available for five tropical storm basins. Periods of record varies for each basin, with the beginning as early as the 1870s and with 1992 at the latest year. Northern hemispheric extratropical storm track data will be included from 1965 to 1992. Tropical track data includes time, position, storm stage (maximum wind, central pressure when available). The user can display tracks, track data for any basin or user-selected geographic area, or tracks passing within a user-defined radius of any point. Narratives for all tropical storms for the 1980-1992 period will be included as well as basin-wide tropical storm climatological statistics. Contact: National Climatic Data Center, Federal Building, Asheville, NC 28801, USA. 704/271-4800, email orders@ncdc.noaa.gov. -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Web Site Historical Data: (Provided by Gary Gray.) http://cirrus.sprl.umich.edu/wxnet/tropical.html (1995 storm map) http://grads.iges.org/pix/allhurr.html (1995 track info) http://lumahai.soest.hawaii.edu/Tropical_Weather/tropical.shtml http://meridian.ngdc.noaa.gov/dmsp/dmsp.html (Allison & Erin sat pix) http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ (archive data) http://wxp.atms.purdue.edu/hur_atlantic/ (past tracks) http://vortex.plymouth.edu/home.html (some nice past sat pix/loops) http://www.aer.com/hurricane/hurricanes_95.html (great 1995 sat pix) http://www.bbsr.edu/weather (nice 1995 sat pix) http://www.fema.gov/fema/trop.html (some 1995 storm archives) http://www.flinet.com/%7reiter (links to much past data) http://www.gulf.net/%7Egbamonte/min_wet.htm (Erin & Opal stories) http://www.insiders.com/boca/flweathe.htm (brief Andrew/Gordon info) http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/dmsp/ols-app-hurr.html (a few old sat pix) http://www.pbpost.com/storm96/ (excellent 1995 overview) http://www.satchmo.com/nolavl/storm.html (LA storm archives) http://www.sims.net/links/hurricane.html (1995 storm archive) http://www.terrapin.com/hurricane/Plotter (1995 plots... needs Java) http://www.vas-das.com/ (TONS of GOES-8 images... not just tropical) ************************************************************************** Subject: J2) What journals have regular articles on tropical cyclones? The American Meteorological Society publishes the _Monthly Weather Review_ which has annual summaries of Atlantic basin tropical cyclones, Atlantic basin tropical disturbances, and Northeast Pacific (east of 140W) basin tropical cyclones. These summaries have a substantial amount of data and analysis of the storms. _Weatherwise_ prints annual summaries of both the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins which are less technical that the _Monthly Weather Review_ articles, but come out months earlier. For just the tropical cyclones of the Southeast Indian/Australia and the Australia/Southwest Pacific basins, the _Australia Meteorological Magazine_ has a very thorough annual summary. The Indian journal _Mausam_ carries an annual summary of tropical cyclone activity over the North Indian Ocean. _Mariner's Weather Log_ has articles from all of the global basins in annual summaries. These are descriptive and non-technical. ************************************************************************** Subject: J3) What books have been written about tropical cyclones? ************************* BEST NON-TECHNICAL BOOKS: _The Hurricane_ and ************************* _Meteorology Today for Scientists and Engineers_ _The Hurricane_ For a excellent introductory text into hurricanes (and tropical cyclones in general), this book by R.A. Pielke provides the basics on the physical mechanisms of hurricanes without getting into any mathematical rigor. This first version is just 100 pages of text with another 120 pages devoted toward all of the tracks of Atlantic hurricanes from 1871-1989. Roger A. Pielke is a professor of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University (USA). The book's 1990 edition is available through Routledge Publishing, New York. (An updated version of this book should be forthcoming in 1997.) _Meteorology Today for Scientists and Engineers_ For a concise mathematical description of hurricanes that has NO calculus and NO differential equations, then I would suggest obtaining a copy of this book by Rolland B. Stull (West Publ. Co., Minneapolis/St. Paul, 385 pp - Chapter 16 Hurricanes p289-304). This paperback book is designed to accompany C. Donald Ahrens' introductory book _Meteorology Today_. ******************** BEST TECHNICAL BOOK: _Global Perspectives on Tropical Cyclones_ ******************** This is the revised version of _A Global View of Tropical Cyclones_ and is the most current, detailed book available on the subject. This book provides the state of the science as of 1994. Improvements over the previous version include a chapter on the ocean response to tropical cyclones. This paperback book is written in 1995 by G.R. Foley, H.E. Willoughby, J.L. McBride, R.L. Elsberry, I. Ginis, and L. Chen with Elsberry serving as Editor and is available from the World Meterological Organization as Report No. TCP-38. Their address is: World Meteorological Organization Publications Sales Unit Case Postale 2300 CH-1211 Geneva 2 Switzerland ************************ BEST FORECASTING MANUAL: _Global Guide to Tropical Cyclone Forecasting_ ************************ For the tropical cyclone forecaster and also of general interest for anyone in the field and those with a non-technical interest in the field, the loose-leaf book - _Global Guide to Tropical Cyclone Forecasting_ (1993) by G.J. Holland (ed.), World Meteorological Organization, WMO/TD-No. 560, Report No. TCP-31 is a must get. (See above for address of the WMO.) ********************** OTHER BOOKS AVAILABLE: ********************** ______Atlantic Hurricanes_______ A classic book describing tropical cyclones primarily of the Atlantic basin, but also covering the physical understanding of tropical cyclone genesis, motion, and intensity change at the time is _Atlantic Hurricanes_ by Gordon E. Dunn and Banner I. Miller. Written in 1960, published by the Louisiana State Press, this book gives provides good insight into the knowledge of tropical cyclones as of the late 1950s. It is interesting to observe that much of what we know was well understood at this pre- satellite era. Gordon E. Dunn was the Director of the U.S. National Hurricane Center and Banner I. Miller was a research meteorologist also at the National Hurricane Center. ________Hurricanes, Their Nature and History______ Before Dunn and Miller's book, Ivan Ray Tannehill came out with an authoritative reference on the history, structure, climatology, historical tracks, and forecasting techniques of Atlantic hurricanes as was known by the mid-1930s. This is one of the first compilations of yearly tracks of Atlantic storms - he provides tracks of memorable tropical cyclones all the way back to the 1700s and shows all the storm tracks yearly from 1901 onward. The first edition came out in 1938 and the book went through at least nine editions (my book was published in 1956). Mr. Tannehill was engaged as a hurricane forecasts for over 20 years and also lead the Division of Synoptic Reports and Forecasts of the U.S. Weather Bureau. Princeton University Press, 308 pp (in 1956 version). ________A Global View of Tropical Cyclones_______ A very thorough book dealing with the technical issues of tropical cyclones for the state of the science in the mid-1980s: _A Global View of Tropical Cyclones_ (1987) by Elsberry, Holland, Frank, Jarrell, and Southern; University of Chicago Press, 195 pp. A revised version of this book has recently become available, see _Global Perspectives on Tropical Cyclones_ below. ________Tropical Cyclones of the North Atlantic Ocean, 1871-1992_______ Researchers and those who follow Atlantic hurricanes should all have a copy of the atlas: _Tropical Cyclones of the North Atlantic Ocean, 1871-1992_, by C.J. Neumann, B.R. Jarvinen, C.J. McAdie, J.D. Elms; Asheville, NC, (1993), Prepared by the National Climatic Data Center, Asheville, NC, in cooperation with the National Hurricane Center, Coral Gables, FL, 193 pp. ________Florida Hurricanes and Tropical Storms, 1871-1993, An Historical Survey_________ A recent book providing a historical perspective of Florida Hurricanes is _Florida Hurricanes and Tropical Storms, 1871-1993, An Historical Survey_, F. Doehring, I.W. Duedall, and J.M. Williams, (1994), Tp-71, Florida Sea Grant College Program, Gainesville, Florida, USA, 118 pp. ________Cyclone Tracy, Picking up the Pieces_______ Twenty years after Cyclone Tracy, this book recreates, by interviews with survivors, the events during and after the cyclone that nearly destroyed Darwin, Australia: _Cyclone Tracy, Picking up the pieces_, B. Bunbury, (1994), Fremantle Arts Centre Press, South Fremantle, Australia, 148 pp. ________Hurricanes___________ An introductory text book for young readers on hurricanes by Sally Lee, Franklin Watts Publishing, New York, 63 pp. ************************************************************************** Subject: J4) What refereed articles were written during 1994 about tropical cyclones? At the ftp site: ftp hrd-type42.nhc.noaa.gov [140.90.176.206] The file, TCpubs.1994, contains all known refereed publications concerning tropical cyclones that were in journals around the world with a print date of 1994. Maintained by landsea@aoml.noaa.gov (Chris Landsea). ************************************************************************** ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** "June - too soon. July - stand by. .... Old Florida fisherman's jingle August - look out you must. .... on the hurricane season September - remember. .... (from _The Everglades: River of Grass_) October - all over." ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 9 Jun 1997 17:32:50 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: RadioShack to sell message-encoding Weather Radio RadioShack has announced plans to release what will likely be the first low-cost weather radio utilizing Specific Area Message Encoding (SAME) technology --allowing users to select which warnings they will be alerted to. Conventional weather radios sound an alarm for every watch or warning issued by a particular Weather Service office. The SAME system uses frequency-shift-keying (FSK) to transmit information about the watch/warning about to be issued. The actual digital message contains the watch/warning type, county affected, and a time stamp. RadioShack is one of several companies releasing a new line of weather radios later this year. Hopefully the National Weather Service will seize this opportunity to promote their NOAA Weather Radio service as a life saver --in the same way smoke detectors are promoted now. The addition of SAME technology may encourage people who decided against purchasing a tone-alert weather radio because of its "annoying" alarm to reconsider. Colin Meyer, the Senior Buyer for Tandy's Weather Radio Group, was kind enough to send me some advance specifications for what will be known as the "7 Channel Radio RadioShack Weatheradio with SAME Alert". Working models should hit RadioShack retail outlets by the end of August --just in time for the peak of hurricane season-- and will sell for around $80. Rather than waste any more valuable WX-TALK bandwidth, I have placed the raw specifications text document on my campus weather web site. The figures listed are subject to change without notice. There are basically no details about how the user interface will work, however it's my understanding that there will be a keypad and an alpha-numeric LCD display. I will try to get information on additional weather radio products being produced issued by other manufacturers (such as Uniden) and make that information available via the web. For information on the RadioShack 120-0249 Weatheradio point your web browser to: http://www.lib.siu.edu/weather/tandy.txt ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 9 Jun 1997 18:55:45 -0500 From: Erik & Kathy Jacobsen Subject: Re: KGRB NWSFO HOME PAGE Where else but Wisconsin, can one find such zanyness. 73 de Your Fellow Flat-Lander > > Date: Mon, 9 Jun 1997 01:43:26 EDT > From: Christopher S Davis > Subject: KGRB NWSFO HOME PAGE > > >Date: Sun, 8 Jun 1997 07:32:43 -0700 > >From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF > >Subject: Zany KGRB NWSFO HOME PAGE! > > > >Where else can you see Godzilla carrying his golf clubs past a WSR-88D > >except at, > > > >http://www.crh.noaa.gov/grb/ > > > >The fine folks at the Green Bay NWSFO seem to have a good sense of > >humor. I want to party with these joke meisters! :-D > > > >This graphic was the best laugh I had all week. > > > >Thank you Green Bay! > > Did anyone see the 88D wearing a Packers helmet? I hope that I can work > with people like this someday! > > Chris > ********** Davis33@juno.com > ****** Senior Meteorology Major > *** University of South Alabama > ** "Tornadoes Rule"--Beavis > * > 73 Erik Jacobsen, KB9BNY Member, Chicago Area Skywarn Assoc. & Lake Co. IL RACES jacobsen@ais.net "I'm not a meteorologist, but I play one on the Internet." "Some people feast on a smorgasborg of atmospheric violence. This spring, I only seem to be able to feast on a smorgasborg of dead road side armadillos, racoon with a side of rigormortis, and "dead skunk in the middle of the road." ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 9 Jun 1997 ********************************** From - Wed Jun 11 13:28:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102371-9251>; Wed, 11 Jun 1997 13:21:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAB38630; Wed, 11 Jun 1997 00:04:34 -0500 Message-Id: <199706110504.AAB38630@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Jun 1997 00:00:59 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 9 Jun 1997 to 10 Jun 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: e0e09e8137909201ae895519f2552209 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 27371 Status: OR There are 10 messages totalling 553 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. NWS upgrades/METAR delays 2. Hey Weather Channel DORKS! (2) 3. Satellite Image Interpretation? 4. Dr. Wm Gray's Seasonal Hurricane Forecast for 1997 (5) 5. Gulf tropical system this week? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 10 Jun 1997 11:16:59 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: NWS upgrades/METAR delays NIU folks (yes, I am also cc'ing this to the storm chase group)- The recent upgrades by the NWS and FAA are allowing many of the lower priority METAR sites to report at the top of the hour or moments thereafter. Thus, I will be switching the processing time of the data on THE STORM MACHINE and for NIU users, WXP. You will see more reports right at :01 after the hour, and I hope to add more at :05 after. Just FYI. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 10 Jun 1997 07:05:27 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: Hey Weather Channel DORKS! On 9 Jun 1997, Joseph Bartlo wrote: > Eric Gross wrote: > > > >My only problem with TWC (and many organizations) is that > > >they profit at the expense of unwealthy people. > > > > ?? > > > > Please explain? > > Most people are aware of this (either consciously or > subconsciously). If you examine processes closely, > you'll see many causes/effects. Some people choose > to observe them, some people wish to use them for > everyone's benefit, most try using them for their > own advantage. Suppose I've been examining weather > maps (or have learned what causes cancer), and some > asks me for a weather forecast (or a cure). I can > provide it to them, choose not to, or charge them > for it. If I decide to charge, a balance is reached > between several factors - my greed, the other person's > ability to pay me, their desire to be informed > or cured, my compassion for their situation, etc. > The price for my services indicates the balance - > how much priority each factor influences it. Huh?!?!? If you want anything bad enough, you'll get it. Public library offers free newspapers and all will have Intenret access in the next two years, thus ensuring live weather for anyone who wants it. And if you can afford $5, an AM radio will get you the weather forecast and the temperature! Do you know of any homeless people who will die if they don't get DiFAX maps delivered to them daily? Forget the weather, they have other infinitely more important things to worry about...like survival...as for those who are above the poverty level but just getting by, my reasoning stands. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 10 Jun 1997 12:59:30 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Satellite Image Interpretation? May's AMS Bulletin has an advertisement for "An Introduction to Satellite Image Interpretation" by Eric Conway and the Maryland Space Grant Consortium. At 256 pages the write-up sounds very interesting, and it even comes with a CD-ROM, so I'm wondering if anyone has taken a look at the book. "...offers a thorough overview of the use of satellite technology in weather forecasting, covering such topics as cloud identification, wind direction, storm development, and air quality." Rob ////////////////////////////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ Robert P Dale - N8GSK || rdale@norden1.com Meteorologist || rdale@storm.atms.purdue.edu Davidson Crane And Conveyor || dcc@norden1.com InterRAD Software http://www.stratus.weather.net/~rdale/interrad.html NW Ohio Weather Info http://wx.home.ml.org Northwest Ohio AMS http://nwohams.home.ml.org ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 10 Jun 1997 13:23:09 GMT From: Eric Gross Subject: Re: Hey Weather Channel DORKS! >> >My only problem with TWC (and many organizations) is that >> >they profit at the expense of unwealthy people. >> >> ?? >> >> Please explain? >If a person cares most about another, they will >provide their service free of charge. As much as I may sympathize with the more noble aspects of the particular philosophy you seem to be advancing, I must differ with your conclusion, especially in regards to the commerical provision of weather-related products (and that's what we're concerned with here, not philosophy.) First of all, on a completely pragmatic level, how could TWC run their operation and present meteorological information unless they were somehow financially compensated? I don't know too many meteorologists who are independently wealthy and able to donate full-time work. Equipment and studio costs are also not cheap. Etc. Second, as you point out, none of us *needs* TWC. Weather information *is* made available without a direct user end-fee to the public by the National Weather Service, through a number of means. However, keep in mind that people are still *paying* for it through their taxes, because the same pragmatic question above still applies -- the meteorologists, staff, equipment, etc. that gather, process and disseminate this information must be paid for. People labor under the misapprehension that the government actually provides things for free, which it does not; some 30% of the average American's pay is going to government on various levels to provide all those things we think of as "free." Very, very little in life is "free." TWC is a service and a business, that I can choose to avail myself of (if I have cable or satellite capability to access it). I choose to because I am deeply interested in weather and I enjoy having the easy access to the products TWC provides, even if I sometimes lament their product's quality. I don't *have* to have it. I lived for many years without it. No one *forces* people to watch TWC or even have a television. It's not like they were witholding food, water or clothing from needy people. Many meteorologists, both in the public and private sector, *do* care about people. Many are motivated, in some capacity, to share their love of the weather with others through their profession, and many are motivated to improve the public good and help safeguard life and property by dedicating their careers to delivering as accurate information they can as quickly as possible to the public. They could have been bankers, lawyers, talk-show hosts, professional athletes or stock brokers, or any variety of generally useless societal scum ( insert :) here) and made a *whole* stinking lot more money than they do as meteorologists; however, they chose to do pursue a path of interest and scientific or public benefit. Do they not have a right to make a living in the process? If you want to talk about greedy corporate or governmental profiteering at the expense of unwealthy and needy people, you would be much better served to look at the subjects of, say, professional sports, state lotteries, gambling, the medical industry, etc., before you point too many fingers in the world of weather! Haven't met too many weather millionaires . . . . ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 10 Jun 1997 13:55:18 GMT From: Eric Gross Subject: Re: Dr. Wm Gray's Seasonal Hurricane Forecast for 1997 > Agreed, about 94.375% of the way...;-) The other side of the same coin >is that before satellite, clearly obvious storms which hit nothing were >totally missed. Not as much as you might think at first. Surely some storms were missed, but in the period of generally accepted accurate records (about 1880 on) not many were. Keep in mind a tropical cyclone *doesn't* have to hit populated land to affect humans. First of all, tropical storms are generally large weather systems, and their existence -- even at some distance -- can be surmised by looking at the weather and changes in the weather at a location or locations. A meteorologist can examine station reports and note changes in pressure, wind direction and speed, cloud cover, even wave activity (if information is available) and deduce the presence of a tropical storm in the vicinity. Secondly, even storms that never come within 500 to 1000 miles of land still don't exist in a vacuum -- numerous shipping lanes cross the North Atlantic and Caribbean, and activity has bee constant and relatively heavy since the late 1700's. Hurricanes tend to affect shipping, either by making their presence noteably felt on ships, or sinking them. Either way, information about the encounter tends to survive, especially since shipping is an expensive business with a lot of $$ (and thus record-keeping) involved. When a ship is lost, people look into it. Mariners keep log books, and note even the very heavy seas produced by storms that may be very far away. Before radio, the reports often took some time to reach meteorologists, but they usually did; in more modern times, people have done some fairly extensive research into archived logs, reports, etc., in search of evidence of tropical storms. After the advent of radio ( I believe the first wireless report of a tropical storm was made in 1910 by a ship encountering a hurricane near Yucatan) meteorlogists hade even more clues available to them to deduce the presence of storms far out at sea. So, while it is almost a surety that some storms have been missed in the records, it is *very* unlikely that in the period since 1880 any significant tropical cyclone has been missed. > What I would like to see is a yearly-blow-by-blow of a tally of storms >which intersect coastlines. This would be the best means of comparing >recent to century-old data. Are more, less or equal numbers of landfalling >storms today? You need to get "Tropical Cyclones of the North Atlantic," which is the Bible of Hurricanes. It is available through NOAA. It has all the information you could wish, maps and charts galore. No one with a serious interest in tropical cyclones should be without it. > "Sargasso Sea" storms which form and die in the open Atlantic away from >shipping lanes would never have been known about around the turn of the >century, and many were probably missed right up to the day the satellites >were launched. This is not really the case, see above. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 10 Jun 1997 14:45:57 GMT From: Thomas Owens Subject: Re: Dr. Wm Gray's Seasonal Hurricane Forecast for 1997 In article , egross@mailer.fsu.edu says... >Surely some storms were missed, but in the period of generally accepted >accurate records (about 1880 on) not many were. Keep in mind a tropical >cyclone *doesn't* have to hit populated land to affect humans. First of all, >tropical storms are generally large weather systems, and their existence -- >even at some distance -- can be surmised by looking at the weather and changes >in the weather at a location or locations. A meteorologist can examine >station reports and note changes in pressure, wind direction and speed, cloud >cover, even wave activity (if information is available) and deduce the >presence of a tropical storm in the vicinity. Here is another aspect of pre-satellite meteorology to consider. Even if a meteorologist successfully made the forecast, how was it disseminated to the public? As a former commercial fisherman from Long Island, NY, I have heard many old timers crying in their beer over a boat or business lost during the "Surprise Hurricane" of 1938. ____________________________________________________________________________ Thomas Owens tjo113@psu.edu WWW Virtual Library of Meteorology http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/WWW_Virtual_Library/ ____________________________________________________________________________ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 10 Jun 1997 15:10:41 GMT From: Sim Aberson Subject: Re: Gulf tropical system this week? In article , Michael-Schneider. wrote: > And that button does not appear. The site is large and slow. Could you >provide the exact URL for the sub-page that particular button appears? >Thanks. It's quite fast from here, so that may be your internet connection. The page names change daily, so giving you a URL may not help. Once you get to where you were (say, the CONUS page), click on a particular model (say MRF0, then look at an individual forecast map (surface pressure). To the right is the SST button. I'll contact Mike Fiorino to see if it can be made more accessible. -- "I want my dying words to be 'Fuck you.'" -- Mike Jankulak's review of _Blood and Wine_ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 10 Jun 1997 17:23:17 GMT From: Eric Gross Subject: Re: Dr. Wm Gray's Seasonal Hurricane Forecast for 1997 >Here is another aspect of pre-satellite meteorology to consider. Even if a >meteorologist successfully made the forecast, how was it disseminated to the >public? As a former commercial fisherman from Long Island, NY, I have heard >many old timers crying in their beer over a boat or business lost during the >"Surprise Hurricane" of 1938. Warning, the following is a little long and contains some history . . . . In pre-satellite days there were a variety of measures for the communication of warnings, none of them very good. Forecasters with a poor (compared to today) understanding of hurricanes and the dynamics of the middle and upper atmosphere had to rely on scattered and unreliable land-station reports, ship reports (after the advent of radio). Often the best way to get an idea of where a hurricane was and where it was headed was to watch which stations dropped off the wires . . . . Until WWII The Weather Bureau maintained a small hurricane forecasting office located in Washington D.C. This office would receive reports over wire from a variety of stations, and prepare its maps and forecasts. Advisories were issued at various times as conditions indicated, but usually at least one near noon and one before midnight when a storm was about. These times were very flexible, and the information contained in them was often very, very general. Reports went out over wire to local Weather Bureau Offices. The chief responsibility for disseminating the warnings usually rested with the head of the local station, who would issue information to the press, officials, etc. The system was slow and inefficient, at the best of times. The chief of local stations also was greatly responsible for correctly reading whatever weather conditions and reports were available to him, and acting in accord. This often created problems when evidence available to the person on the scene differed with the material in the official advisories from Washington. Some noteable examples: In the 1926 Great Miami Hurricane (similar in strength to Hugo), difficulties attendent with determining the location and course of the storm led to the definitive warning for the Miami area being issued near midnight; the eye of the storm was over the city at dawn. Richard Gray, head of the Miami WBO, suspected strongly that the hurricane was headed directly at or very close to Miami, but did not wish to issue statements to that effect in contrast to the official advisories from Washington. With less than eight hours until the storm came ashore, not much could be done. Getting the warning out consisted largely of raising warning flags at the WBO and the city docks, telling the press (and the morning issues had already gone to press) and making some phone calls. Two years later, when an even stronger hurricane struck the Palm Beaches and killed nearly 2,000 people around Lake Okeechobee, the situation was much the same. A paucity of information lead to a Saturday forecast that the storm would likely recurve, and if it struck Florida it would do so in the NW. By the time it became apparent that the hurricane was going to come in further south, it was Sunday morning; Washington sent a fairly accurate advisory anticipating that the hurricane would make landfall near Jupiter Inlet, but the advisory was timed at 10AM. The eye of the storm came across at Palm Beach near 7 PM. Again, warnings were largely passed by word of mouth and phone. To make matters worse, the Miami press (some of which had made Richard Gray the scapegoat for the 1926 disaster) was pressing Gray for forecasts as soon as reports of the hurricane's existence reached them, a couple of days in advance of the landfall. Gray, very conscious of his 1926 experience and how he had been villainized for the late advisory, made a statement that the hurricane would not strongly affect "Miami and the vicinity." This was technically correct, as Miami only caught the fringe of the storm. However, as the defacto weather expert in south Florida, other papers picked up his statement and ran it, and thus the loose term "and the vicinity" came to be understood as a sort of blanket statement covering *all* of south Florida. Certainly people in the Palm Beaches, some 75 miles north of Miami, had the impression on the Sunday of landfall that the storm was going to miss them. In the 1950's the lesson about the importance of *exactness* and *precision* in language concerning hurricane landfalls was painfully brought home with Hurricane Audrey, which killed hundreds in Lousiana who had been led, in part, by imprecise warnings to believe that they were relatively safe. Of course, besides the problem of poor communications and the inherent difficulty of trying to track and forecast in real time with very limited data or means of gathering it, a very large problem seldom discussed is the overwhelming public ignorance concerning hurricanes. If you think people don't know much about the realities of the hurricane threat now, you should have been around in the first part of this century or earlier! Often times, even when a warning was given, people didn't know what to do with it, and had little conception about the structure of hurricanes or nature of their hazards. (A great example of this is the frequency in press reports and personal memoirs of the mentioning of "two storms" -- people who passed through the calm eye did not know the eye for what it was, and often interpreted it as a break between two distinct and separate storms.) Most knowledge was experential, with all the dangers attendent with that. For example, in the 1928 storm a lot of people in the Palm Beaches and on the eastern shore of Lake Okeechobee were not too terribly concerned and took little or no precaution, since all recent tropical systems had only side-swiped them without devastating effect. In contrast, Miami almost had a panic and the southwestern shore of Lake Okeechobee (where upwards of 200 plus had died during the 1926 storm) started to abandon the region as early as Saturday night, just on press reports that a storm was anywhere near Florida . . . . After the 1928 storm, in Florida, local Red Cross chapters and various civic agencies cooperated to create and implement a fairly effective warning and evacuation procedure. This was modified over time, remaining essentially in place as Florida's evacuation and warning network into the 1950's. Our modern system of forecast responsibility, advisories and mass dissemination of warnings really started in the late 1950's and early 1960's. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 10 Jun 1997 17:36:40 GMT From: Eric Gross Subject: Re: Dr. Wm Gray's Seasonal Hurricane Forecast for 1997 >I wouldn't say that we're too far off, but surely there were more storms >than we have records of. Oh, I agree with you, let me make that clear -- we almost assuredly missed storms. The intent of my explanation was more towards countering the idea that we missed "lots" (a very subjective term) of them or that they *by necessity of the absence of satellites* slipped by without notice, which seemed to me to be what was being implied. You are certainly correct about the eastern Atlantic -- if we missed them, it was likely to be there. However, I was thinking more in terms of major hurricanes, especially along the lines of Cat4 or Cat5, which was what a lot of the discussion was centering on. Due to prevailing SST patterns in the eastern Atlantic, it seems much more unlikely that such a powerful storm would form, persist, and spend its entire life there. Storms don't usually seem to reach Cat 4 or 5 status until reaching the mid Atlantic at the earliest, and dominantly storms of this intensity are found either in the true tropical latitudes or the warmer semitropical latitudes of the western Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico . . . . >-- >Sim Aberson AOML/Hurricane Research Division Miami, FL > "Are you guys *really* enjoying this relationship?" -- Cobra Woman ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 10 Jun 1997 17:28:42 GMT From: Eric Gross Subject: Re: Dr. Wm Gray's Seasonal Hurricane Forecast for 1997 In article <5nju3i$nbn@nil.aoml.noaa.gov> aberson@typhon.aoml.erl.gov (Sim Aberson) writes: >From: aberson@typhon.aoml.erl.gov (Sim Aberson) >Newsgroups: sci.geo.meteorology,bit.listserv.wx-talk >Subject: Re: Dr. Wm Gray's Seasonal Hurricane Forecast for 1997 >Date: 10 Jun 1997 16:07:14 GMT >Organization: U.S. Department of Commerce, NOAA/AOML >Lines: 72 >Message-ID: <5nju3i$nbn@nil.aoml.noaa.gov> >References: <33982A85.57B771BA@typhoon.atmos.colostate.edu> ><5nhqtp$9tp@nil.aoml.noaa.gov> > >Reply-To: aberson@aoml.noaa.gov >NNTP-Posting-Host: typhon.aoml.noaa.gov >Path: >news.fsu.edu!gatech!news1.mid-ga.com!news.hom.net!nntp.mid-ga.com!news.oru.edu !n >ews.IAEhv.nl!chippy.visi.com!news-out.visi.com!cam-news-hub1.bbnplanet.com!su- ne >ws-hub1.bbnplanet.com!cpk-news-hub1.bbnplanet.com!cpk-news-feed4.bbnplanet.com !n >ews.bbnpl >anet.com!mitzi.rsmas.miami.edu!news.aoml.noaa.gov!typhon!aberson >Xref: news.fsu.edu sci.geo.meteorology:35449 bit.listserv.wx-talk:20216 >In article , >Eric Gross wrote: >>> Agreed, about 94.375% of the way...;-) The other side of the same coin >>>is that before satellite, clearly obvious storms which hit nothing were >>>totally missed. >> >>Not as much as you might think at first. >> >>Surely some storms were missed, but in the period of generally accepted >>accurate records (about 1880 on) not many were. Keep in mind a tropical >>cyclone *doesn't* have to hit populated land to affect humans. First of all, >>tropical storms are generally large weather systems, and their existence -- >>even at some distance -- can be surmised by looking at the weather and changes >>in the weather at a location or locations. A meteorologist can examine >>station reports and note changes in pressure, wind direction and speed, cloud >>cover, even wave activity (if information is available) and deduce the >>presence of a tropical storm in the vicinity. >> >>Secondly, even storms that never come within 500 to 1000 miles of land still >>don't exist in a vacuum -- numerous shipping lanes cross the North Atlantic >>and Caribbean, and activity has bee constant and relatively heavy since the >>late 1700's. Hurricanes tend to affect shipping, either by making their >>presence noteably felt on ships, or sinking them. Either way, information >>about the encounter tends to survive, especially since shipping is an >>expensive business with a lot of $$ (and thus record-keeping) involved. When a >>ship is lost, people look into it. Mariners keep log books, and note even the >>very heavy seas produced by storms that may be very far away. Before radio, >>the reports often took some time to reach meteorologists, but they usually >>did; in more modern times, people have done some fairly extensive research >>into archived logs, reports, etc., in search of evidence of tropical storms. >>After the advent of radio ( I believe the first wireless report of a tropical >>storm was made in 1910 by a ship encountering a hurricane near Yucatan) >>meteorlogists hade even more clues available to them to deduce the presence of >>storms far out at sea. >> >>So, while it is almost a surety that some storms have been missed in the >>records, it is *very* unlikely that in the period since 1880 any significant >>tropical cyclone has been missed. >Unfortunately, this isn't necessarily true. If you look through the >book you mentioned later in your post, you'll notice that since >satellite observations began, far more storms have formed in the eastern >Atlantic than before. Further, far more storms which stay in the middle >Atlantic, recurving around 40 - 50 W, have occurred during the time of >satellite observations. >Also, in many cases, despite land and ship observations, there may be >some storms which were no more than thunderstorm complexes with strong >winds or extratropical cyclones. We have no way of verifying many >cases. >I wouldn't say that we're too far off, but surely there were more storms >than we have records of. >-- >Sim Aberson AOML/Hurricane Research Division Miami, FL > "Are you guys *really* enjoying this relationship?" -- Cobra Woman ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 9 Jun 1997 to 10 Jun 1997 ************************************************* From - Thu Jun 12 00:16:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102722-9251>; Wed, 11 Jun 1997 23:19:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA187774; Wed, 11 Jun 1997 10:03:18 -0500 Message-Id: <199706111503.KAA187774@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Jun 1997 10:01:19 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 10 Jun 1997 to 11 Jun 1997 - Special issue To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 41078bf62fa00be55813e3d5c5ee06a3 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 37055 Status: OR There are 5 messages totalling 803 lines in this issue. Topics in this special issue: 1. Environment Canada's new "iWeather" service 2. Gilbert's weather corner.... 3. Users of KCCI Radar 4. ETA LI changes? (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 10 Jun 1997 23:07:55 -0600 From: "Ricketts,Steve [Edm]" Subject: Environment Canada's new "iWeather" service Here's some info on a new service we are working on in Edmonton. It suspect that it might interest some of the weather fanatics out there. It's different from anything else I have seen out there. Currently, this program only works with the 6 (soon to be 7) weather radars across the Canadian Prairies, but the concept could be extended to run off any radar output. I would encourage people to download the program, get a user ID and password from us, and then have fun! The relevant URLs are in the following the note. We are definitely interested in people's comments on it... ---------- iWeather update - May 1997 The Northern Alberta Environmental Services Centre, on behalf of the Prairie & Northern Region of Environment Canada, is developing a new service that will help us to better deliver our weather warnings and other info, keep us visible in the public eye, and keep us at the leading edge of technology. "iWeather" is a weather information program that uses the Internet as the communication medium. The system is UNIX-based on the source end, and PC-based (minimum Windows 3.1) on the client end. iWeather comprises the: - latest 2 hour sequence of weather radar (graphical), - "nowcast" crawling across the screen (a short-term forecast), - latest weather forecasts (text), - latest weather warnings and advisories (graphical)... [these are not yet available; should have these on-stream in June] - latest weather station observations (text). The user runs a viewer program that enables him/her to download the latest weather information, and then to interact with the data for his/her local area. The data is updated every 10 minutes. The software allows for end-user configuration (display towns, markers..) and includes a short term graphical forecasting tool. Basically... iWeather is a summary of all our forecasts/warnings and other basic info. The main "extra" is the weather radar data. The info is easier to use (graphical), and more accessible. iWeather currently covers most of the Prairies, using the data for 6 weather radars. The pre-release version of iWeather was released on March 19, in order to.. - see how the program works, - see if the delivery system works, - to collect feedback to fix bugs, add features (minor ones, and only if we can), collect marketing information It contains almost all of the final features and is bug-free, at least as far as we know. The 'iWeather' software can be distributed and used freely; however, you must have a personal account to access live data. 'iWeather' is still under development and evaluation, and is free until July 01, 1997. Info on the program and examples are available at our Internet site at http://www.ab.ec.gc.ca/iweather/. You also can download the latest version of the program from there. To access live date, you will first have to contact us via email at 'iweather@ec.gc.ca' so that we can set up an account for you. Alternatively, you can call Curt Dixon at (403)951-8601. +---------------------------------------------------------------------+ | Steve Ricketts | Manager, Northern Alberta Environmental Services Centre | Environment Canada's Prairie and Northern Region, Edmonton, AB | Phone (403)951-8788 FAX 495-2615 e-mail: Steve.Ricketts@ec.gc.ca +---------------------------------------------------------------------+ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 11 Jun 1997 06:54:40 -0500 From: Mark Prater Subject: Gilbert's weather corner.... So, has Gilbert taken over the page? ha... By the way, what's the forecast for the East Canada Area... Mark Prater Meteorologist ABC 33/40 E-Mail: MarkP@abc3340.com Phone (205) 982-3947 NWA Exclusive ____________________________________________________ Alabama's ABC 33/40 Weather Center >---------- >From: Automatic digest processor[SMTP:LISTSERV@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU] >Sent: Wednesday, June 11, 1997 12:00 AM >To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests >Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 9 Jun 1997 to 10 Jun 1997 > >There are 10 messages totalling 553 lines in this issue. > >Topics of the day: > > 1. NWS upgrades/METAR delays > 2. Hey Weather Channel DORKS! (2) > 3. Satellite Image Interpretation? > 4. Dr. Wm Gray's Seasonal Hurricane Forecast for 1997 (5) > 5. Gulf tropical system this week? > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > >---------------------------------------------------------------------- > >Date: Tue, 10 Jun 1997 11:16:59 -0500 >From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" >Subject: NWS upgrades/METAR delays > >NIU folks (yes, I am also cc'ing this to the storm chase group)- > >The recent upgrades by the NWS and FAA are allowing many of the lower >priority METAR sites to report at the top of the hour or moments >thereafter. Thus, I will be switching the processing time of the data on >THE STORM MACHINE and for NIU users, WXP. You will see more reports right >at :01 after the hour, and I hope to add more at :05 after. Just FYI. > >Gilbert > >***************************************************************************** >** >Gilbert Sebenste ******** >Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** >Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** >URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** >SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * >THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * >Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * >***************************************************************************** >** > >------------------------------ > >Date: Tue, 10 Jun 1997 07:05:27 -0500 >From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" >Subject: Re: Hey Weather Channel DORKS! > >On 9 Jun 1997, Joseph Bartlo wrote: > >> Eric Gross wrote: >> >> > >My only problem with TWC (and many organizations) is that >> > >they profit at the expense of unwealthy people. >> > >> > ?? >> > >> > Please explain? >> >> Most people are aware of this (either consciously or >> subconsciously). If you examine processes closely, >> you'll see many causes/effects. Some people choose >> to observe them, some people wish to use them for >> everyone's benefit, most try using them for their >> own advantage. Suppose I've been examining weather >> maps (or have learned what causes cancer), and some >> asks me for a weather forecast (or a cure). I can >> provide it to them, choose not to, or charge them >> for it. If I decide to charge, a balance is reached >> between several factors - my greed, the other person's >> ability to pay me, their desire to be informed >> or cured, my compassion for their situation, etc. >> The price for my services indicates the balance - >> how much priority each factor influences it. > >Huh?!?!? > >If you want anything bad enough, you'll get it. Public >library offers free newspapers and all will have Intenret access >in the next two years, thus ensuring live weather for anyone who wants >it. And if you can afford $5, an AM radio will get you the weather >forecast and the temperature! Do you know of any homeless people who will >die if they don't get DiFAX maps delivered to them daily? Forget the >weather, they have other infinitely more important things to worry >about...like survival...as for those who are above the poverty level but >just getting by, my reasoning stands. > >Gilbert > >***************************************************************************** >** >Gilbert Sebenste ******** >Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** >Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** >URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** >SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * >THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * >Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * >***************************************************************************** >** > >------------------------------ > >Date: Tue, 10 Jun 1997 12:59:30 -0400 >From: Robert P Dale >Subject: Satellite Image Interpretation? > >May's AMS Bulletin has an advertisement for "An Introduction to Satellite >Image Interpretation" by Eric Conway and the Maryland Space Grant >Consortium. At 256 pages the write-up sounds very interesting, and it even >comes with a CD-ROM, so I'm wondering if anyone has taken a look at the book. > >"...offers a thorough overview of the use of satellite technology in >weather forecasting, covering such topics as cloud identification, wind >direction, storm development, and air quality." > >Rob >////////////////////////////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ >Robert P Dale - N8GSK || rdale@norden1.com >Meteorologist || rdale@storm.atms.purdue.edu >Davidson Crane And Conveyor || dcc@norden1.com > InterRAD Software http://www.stratus.weather.net/~rdale/interrad.html > NW Ohio Weather Info http://wx.home.ml.org > Northwest Ohio AMS http://nwohams.home.ml.org > >------------------------------ > >Date: Tue, 10 Jun 1997 13:23:09 GMT >From: Eric Gross >Subject: Re: Hey Weather Channel DORKS! > >>> >My only problem with TWC (and many organizations) is that >>> >they profit at the expense of unwealthy people. >>> >>> ?? >>> >>> Please explain? > >>If a person cares most about another, they will >>provide their service free of charge. > >As much as I may sympathize with the more noble aspects of the particular >philosophy you seem to be advancing, I must differ with your conclusion, >especially in regards to the commerical provision of weather-related products >(and that's what we're concerned with here, not philosophy.) > >First of all, on a completely pragmatic level, how could TWC run their >operation and present meteorological information unless they were somehow >financially compensated? I don't know too many meteorologists who are >independently wealthy and able to donate full-time work. Equipment and >studio >costs are also not cheap. Etc. > >Second, as you point out, none of us *needs* TWC. Weather information *is* >made available without a direct user end-fee to the public by the National >Weather Service, through a number of means. However, keep in mind that >people >are still *paying* for it through their taxes, because the same pragmatic >question above still applies -- the meteorologists, staff, equipment, etc. >that gather, process and disseminate this information must be paid for. >People labor under the misapprehension that the government actually provides >things for free, which it does not; some 30% of the average American's pay is >going to government on various levels to provide all those things we think of >as "free." Very, very little in life is "free." > >TWC is a service and a business, that I can choose to avail myself of (if I >have cable or satellite capability to access it). I choose to because I am >deeply interested in weather and I enjoy having the easy access to the >products TWC provides, even if I sometimes lament their product's quality. >I don't *have* to have it. I lived for many years without it. No one >*forces* people to watch TWC or even have a television. It's not like they >were witholding food, water or clothing from needy people. > >Many meteorologists, both in the public and private sector, *do* care about >people. Many are motivated, in some capacity, to share their love of the >weather with others through their profession, and many are motivated to >improve the public good and help safeguard life and property by dedicating >their careers to delivering as accurate information they can as quickly as >possible to the public. They could have been bankers, lawyers, talk-show >hosts, professional athletes or stock brokers, or any variety of generally >useless societal scum ( insert :) here) and made a *whole* stinking lot more >money than they do as meteorologists; however, they chose to do pursue a path >of interest and scientific or public benefit. Do they not have a right to >make a living in the process? > >If you want to talk about greedy corporate or governmental profiteering at >the >expense of unwealthy and needy people, you would be much better served to >look >at the subjects of, say, professional sports, state lotteries, gambling, the >medical industry, etc., before you point too many fingers in the world of >weather! Haven't met too many weather millionaires . . . . > >------------------------------ > >Date: Tue, 10 Jun 1997 13:55:18 GMT >From: Eric Gross >Subject: Re: Dr. Wm Gray's Seasonal Hurricane Forecast for 1997 > >> Agreed, about 94.375% of the way...;-) The other side of the same coin >>is that before satellite, clearly obvious storms which hit nothing were >>totally missed. > >Not as much as you might think at first. > >Surely some storms were missed, but in the period of generally accepted >accurate records (about 1880 on) not many were. Keep in mind a tropical >cyclone *doesn't* have to hit populated land to affect humans. First of >all, >tropical storms are generally large weather systems, and their existence -- >even at some distance -- can be surmised by looking at the weather and >changes >in the weather at a location or locations. A meteorologist can examine >station reports and note changes in pressure, wind direction and speed, cloud >cover, even wave activity (if information is available) and deduce the >presence of a tropical storm in the vicinity. > >Secondly, even storms that never come within 500 to 1000 miles of land still >don't exist in a vacuum -- numerous shipping lanes cross the North Atlantic >and Caribbean, and activity has bee constant and relatively heavy since the >late 1700's. Hurricanes tend to affect shipping, either by making their >presence noteably felt on ships, or sinking them. Either way, information >about the encounter tends to survive, especially since shipping is an >expensive business with a lot of $$ (and thus record-keeping) involved. When >a >ship is lost, people look into it. Mariners keep log books, and note even >the >very heavy seas produced by storms that may be very far away. Before radio, >the reports often took some time to reach meteorologists, but they usually >did; in more modern times, people have done some fairly extensive research >into archived logs, reports, etc., in search of evidence of tropical storms. >After the advent of radio ( I believe the first wireless report of a tropical >storm was made in 1910 by a ship encountering a hurricane near Yucatan) >meteorlogists hade even more clues available to them to deduce the presence >of >storms far out at sea. > >So, while it is almost a surety that some storms have been missed in the >records, it is *very* unlikely that in the period since 1880 any significant >tropical cyclone has been missed. > > >> What I would like to see is a yearly-blow-by-blow of a tally of storms >>which intersect coastlines. This would be the best means of comparing >>recent to century-old data. Are more, less or equal numbers of landfalling >>storms today? > >You need to get "Tropical Cyclones of the North Atlantic," which is the Bible >of Hurricanes. It is available through NOAA. It has all the information you >could wish, maps and charts galore. No one with a serious interest in >tropical cyclones should be without it. > >> "Sargasso Sea" storms which form and die in the open Atlantic away from >>shipping lanes would never have been known about around the turn of the >>century, and many were probably missed right up to the day the satellites >>were launched. > >This is not really the case, see above. > >------------------------------ > >Date: Tue, 10 Jun 1997 14:45:57 GMT >From: Thomas Owens >Subject: Re: Dr. Wm Gray's Seasonal Hurricane Forecast for 1997 > >In article , egross@mailer.fsu.edu >says... >>Surely some storms were missed, but in the period of generally accepted >>accurate records (about 1880 on) not many were. Keep in mind a tropical >>cyclone *doesn't* have to hit populated land to affect humans. First of >all, >>tropical storms are generally large weather systems, and their existence -- >>even at some distance -- can be surmised by looking at the weather and >changes >>in the weather at a location or locations. A meteorologist can examine >>station reports and note changes in pressure, wind direction and speed, >cloud >>cover, even wave activity (if information is available) and deduce the >>presence of a tropical storm in the vicinity. > >Here is another aspect of pre-satellite meteorology to consider. Even if a >meteorologist successfully made the forecast, how was it disseminated to the >public? As a former commercial fisherman from Long Island, NY, I have heard >many old timers crying in their beer over a boat or business lost during the >"Surprise Hurricane" of 1938. >____________________________________________________________________________ >Thomas Owens >tjo113@psu.edu >WWW Virtual Library of Meteorology >http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/WWW_Virtual_Library/ >____________________________________________________________________________ > >------------------------------ > >Date: Tue, 10 Jun 1997 15:10:41 GMT >From: Sim Aberson >Subject: Re: Gulf tropical system this week? > >In article , >Michael-Schneider. wrote: >> And that button does not appear. The site is large and slow. Could you >>provide the exact URL for the sub-page that particular button appears? >>Thanks. > >It's quite fast from here, so that may be your internet connection. The >page names change daily, so giving you a URL may not help. Once you get >to where you were (say, the CONUS page), click on a particular model (say >MRF0, then look at an individual forecast map (surface pressure). To the >right is the SST button. > >I'll contact Mike Fiorino to see if it can be made more accessible. >-- >"I want my dying words to be 'Fuck you.'" > -- Mike Jankulak's review of _Blood and Wine_ > >------------------------------ > >Date: Tue, 10 Jun 1997 17:23:17 GMT >From: Eric Gross >Subject: Re: Dr. Wm Gray's Seasonal Hurricane Forecast for 1997 > > >Here is another aspect of pre-satellite meteorology to consider. Even if a >>meteorologist successfully made the forecast, how was it disseminated to the >>public? As a former commercial fisherman from Long Island, NY, I have heard >>many old timers crying in their beer over a boat or business lost during the >>"Surprise Hurricane" of 1938. > >Warning, the following is a little long and contains some history . . . . > >In pre-satellite days there were a variety of measures for the communication >of warnings, none of them very good. Forecasters with a poor (compared to >today) understanding of hurricanes and the dynamics of the middle and upper >atmosphere had to rely on scattered and unreliable land-station reports, ship >reports (after the advent of radio). Often the best way to get an idea of >where a hurricane was and where it was headed was to watch which stations >dropped off the wires . . . . > >Until WWII The Weather Bureau maintained a small hurricane forecasting office >located in Washington D.C. This office would receive reports over wire from >a >variety of stations, and prepare its maps and forecasts. Advisories were >issued at various times as conditions indicated, but usually at least one >near >noon and one before midnight when a storm was about. These times were very >flexible, and the information contained in them was often very, very general. >Reports went out over wire to local Weather Bureau Offices. The chief >responsibility for disseminating the warnings usually rested with the head of >the local station, who would issue information to the press, officials, etc. >The system was slow and inefficient, at the best of times. The chief of >local >stations also was greatly responsible for correctly reading whatever weather >conditions and reports were available to him, and acting in accord. This >often >created problems when evidence available to the person on the scene differed >with the material in the official advisories from Washington. > >Some noteable examples: > >In the 1926 Great Miami Hurricane (similar in strength to Hugo), difficulties >attendent with determining the location and course of the storm led to the >definitive warning for the Miami area being issued near midnight; the eye of >the storm was over the city at dawn. Richard Gray, head of the Miami WBO, >suspected strongly that the hurricane was headed directly at or very close to >Miami, but did not wish to issue statements to that effect in contrast to the >official advisories from Washington. With less than eight hours until the >storm came ashore, not much could be done. Getting the warning out >consisted >largely of raising warning flags at the WBO and the city docks, telling the >press (and the morning issues had already gone to press) and making some >phone >calls. > >Two years later, when an even stronger hurricane struck the Palm Beaches and >killed nearly 2,000 people around Lake Okeechobee, the situation was much the >same. A paucity of information lead to a Saturday forecast that the storm >would likely recurve, and if it struck Florida it would do so in the NW. By >the time it became apparent that the hurricane was going to come in further >south, it was Sunday morning; Washington sent a fairly accurate advisory >anticipating that the hurricane would make landfall near Jupiter Inlet, but >the advisory was timed at 10AM. The eye of the storm came across at Palm >Beach near 7 PM. Again, warnings were largely passed by word of mouth and >phone. To make matters worse, the Miami press (some of which had made >Richard >Gray the scapegoat for the 1926 disaster) was pressing Gray for forecasts as >soon as reports of the hurricane's existence reached them, a couple of days >in >advance of the landfall. Gray, very conscious of his 1926 experience and how >he had been villainized for the late advisory, made a statement that the >hurricane would not strongly affect "Miami and the vicinity." This was >technically correct, as Miami only caught the fringe of the storm. However, >as the defacto weather expert in south Florida, other papers picked up his >statement and ran it, and thus the loose term "and the vicinity" came to be >understood as a sort of blanket statement covering *all* of south Florida. >Certainly people in the Palm Beaches, some 75 miles north of Miami, had the >impression on the Sunday of landfall that the storm was going to miss them. >In the 1950's the lesson about the importance of *exactness* and *precision* >in language concerning hurricane landfalls was painfully brought home with >Hurricane Audrey, which killed hundreds in Lousiana who had been led, in >part, >by imprecise warnings to believe that they were relatively safe. > >Of course, besides the problem of poor communications and the inherent >difficulty of trying to track and forecast in real time with very limited >data >or means of gathering it, a very large problem seldom discussed is the >overwhelming public ignorance concerning hurricanes. If you think people >don't know much about the realities of the hurricane threat now, you should >have been around in the first part of this century or earlier! Often times, >even when a warning was given, people didn't know what to do with it, and had >little conception about the structure of hurricanes or nature of their >hazards. (A great example of this is the frequency in press reports and >personal memoirs of the mentioning of "two storms" -- people who passed >through the calm eye did not know the eye for what it was, and often >interpreted it as a break between two distinct and separate storms.) Most >knowledge was experential, with all the dangers attendent with that. For >example, in the 1928 storm a lot of people in the Palm Beaches and on the >eastern shore of Lake Okeechobee were not too terribly concerned and took >little or no precaution, since all recent tropical systems had only >side-swiped them without devastating effect. In contrast, Miami almost had a >panic and the southwestern shore of Lake Okeechobee (where upwards of 200 >plus >had died during the 1926 storm) started to abandon the region as early as >Saturday night, just on press reports that a storm was anywhere near Florida >. >. . . > >After the 1928 storm, in Florida, local Red Cross chapters and various civic >agencies cooperated to create and implement a fairly effective warning and >evacuation procedure. This was modified over time, remaining essentially in >place as Florida's evacuation and warning network into the 1950's. > >Our modern system of forecast responsibility, advisories and mass >dissemination of warnings really started in the late 1950's and early 1960's. > >------------------------------ > >Date: Tue, 10 Jun 1997 17:36:40 GMT >From: Eric Gross >Subject: Re: Dr. Wm Gray's Seasonal Hurricane Forecast for 1997 > >>I wouldn't say that we're too far off, but surely there were more storms >>than we have records of. > >Oh, I agree with you, let me make that clear -- we almost assuredly missed >storms. The intent of my explanation was more towards countering the idea >that we missed "lots" (a very subjective term) of them or that they *by >necessity of the absence of satellites* slipped by without notice, which >seemed to me to be what was being implied. > >You are certainly correct about the eastern Atlantic -- if we missed them, it >was likely to be there. However, I was thinking more in terms of major >hurricanes, especially along the lines of Cat4 or Cat5, which was what a lot >of the discussion was centering on. Due to prevailing SST patterns in the >eastern Atlantic, it seems much more unlikely that such a powerful storm >would >form, persist, and spend its entire life there. Storms don't usually seem to >reach Cat 4 or 5 status until reaching the mid Atlantic at the earliest, and >dominantly storms of this intensity are found either in the true tropical >latitudes or the warmer semitropical latitudes of the western Atlantic and >Gulf of Mexico . . . . > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > >>-- >>Sim Aberson AOML/Hurricane Research Division Miami, FL >> "Are you guys *really* enjoying this relationship?" -- Cobra Woman > >------------------------------ > >Date: Tue, 10 Jun 1997 17:28:42 GMT >From: Eric Gross >Subject: Re: Dr. Wm Gray's Seasonal Hurricane Forecast for 1997 > >In article <5nju3i$nbn@nil.aoml.noaa.gov> aberson@typhon.aoml.erl.gov (Sim >Aberson) writes: >>From: aberson@typhon.aoml.erl.gov (Sim Aberson) >>Newsgroups: sci.geo.meteorology,bit.listserv.wx-talk >>Subject: Re: Dr. Wm Gray's Seasonal Hurricane Forecast for 1997 >>Date: 10 Jun 1997 16:07:14 GMT >>Organization: U.S. Department of Commerce, NOAA/AOML >>Lines: 72 >>Message-ID: <5nju3i$nbn@nil.aoml.noaa.gov> >>References: <33982A85.57B771BA@typhoon.atmos.colostate.edu> >><5nhqtp$9tp@nil.aoml.noaa.gov> > >> >>Reply-To: aberson@aoml.noaa.gov >>NNTP-Posting-Host: typhon.aoml.noaa.gov >>Path: >>news.fsu.edu!gatech!news1.mid-ga.com!news.hom.net!nntp.mid-ga.com!news.oru.e >>du >!n >>ews.IAEhv.nl!chippy.visi.com!news-out.visi.com!cam-news-hub1.bbnplanet.com!s >>u- >ne >>ws-hub1.bbnplanet.com!cpk-news-hub1.bbnplanet.com!cpk-news-feed4.bbnplanet.c >>om >!n >>ews.bbnpl >>anet.com!mitzi.rsmas.miami.edu!news.aoml.noaa.gov!typhon!aberson >>Xref: news.fsu.edu sci.geo.meteorology:35449 bit.listserv.wx-talk:20216 > > >>In article , >>Eric Gross wrote: >>>> Agreed, about 94.375% of the way...;-) The other side of the same coin >>>>is that before satellite, clearly obvious storms which hit nothing were >>>>totally missed. >>> >>>Not as much as you might think at first. >>> >>>Surely some storms were missed, but in the period of generally accepted >>>accurate records (about 1880 on) not many were. Keep in mind a tropical >>>cyclone *doesn't* have to hit populated land to affect humans. First of >all, >>>tropical storms are generally large weather systems, and their existence -- >>>even at some distance -- can be surmised by looking at the weather and >changes >>>in the weather at a location or locations. A meteorologist can examine >>>station reports and note changes in pressure, wind direction and speed, >>>cloud >>>cover, even wave activity (if information is available) and deduce the >>>presence of a tropical storm in the vicinity. >>> >>>Secondly, even storms that never come within 500 to 1000 miles of land >>>still >>>don't exist in a vacuum -- numerous shipping lanes cross the North Atlantic >>>and Caribbean, and activity has bee constant and relatively heavy since the >>>late 1700's. Hurricanes tend to affect shipping, either by making their >>>presence noteably felt on ships, or sinking them. Either way, information >>>about the encounter tends to survive, especially since shipping is an >>>expensive business with a lot of $$ (and thus record-keeping) involved. >>>When >a >>>ship is lost, people look into it. Mariners keep log books, and note even >the >>>very heavy seas produced by storms that may be very far away. Before >>>radio, >>>the reports often took some time to reach meteorologists, but they usually >>>did; in more modern times, people have done some fairly extensive research >>>into archived logs, reports, etc., in search of evidence of tropical >>>storms. >>>After the advent of radio ( I believe the first wireless report of a >>>tropical >>>storm was made in 1910 by a ship encountering a hurricane near Yucatan) >>>meteorlogists hade even more clues available to them to deduce the presence >of >>>storms far out at sea. >>> >>>So, while it is almost a surety that some storms have been missed in the >>>records, it is *very* unlikely that in the period since 1880 any >>>significant >>>tropical cyclone has been missed. > >>Unfortunately, this isn't necessarily true. If you look through the >>book you mentioned later in your post, you'll notice that since >>satellite observations began, far more storms have formed in the eastern >>Atlantic than before. Further, far more storms which stay in the middle >>Atlantic, recurving around 40 - 50 W, have occurred during the time of >>satellite observations. > >>Also, in many cases, despite land and ship observations, there may be >>some storms which were no more than thunderstorm complexes with strong >>winds or extratropical cyclones. We have no way of verifying many >>cases. > >>I wouldn't say that we're too far off, but surely there were more storms >>than we have records of. > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > >>-- >>Sim Aberson AOML/Hurricane Research Division Miami, FL >> "Are you guys *really* enjoying this relationship?" -- Cobra Woman > >------------------------------ > >End of WX-TALK Digest - 9 Jun 1997 to 10 Jun 1997 >************************************************* > ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 11 Jun 1997 04:21:54 -0500 From: John McLaughlin Subject: Users of KCCI Radar To those linking directly (bypassing the homepage to the KCCI VHD250 radar system, the link has slightly changed due to a switchover to an NT server. Of course, we still prefer you go to our homepage so we can count your visit! 1.2 million hits in May! http://www.kcci.com/other/weather/graf/radar2.gif (320X240) http://www.kcci.com/other/weather/graf/radar1.gif (640X480) http://www.kcci.com (homepage) ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 11 Jun 1997 08:48:11 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: ETA LI changes? ------ =_NextPart_000_01BC7644.3325CBE0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii" Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Anyone else notice that the LI is gone from FOUS data? Haven't seen a thing in any ADM messages about it... Also the "LIFT SFC" map is missing from GRIB data, which confuses PC-Gridds because the macros use LIFT (note that LFTX SFC still exists...) Rob ------ =_NextPart_000_01BC7644.3325CBE0 Content-Type: application/ms-tnef Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64 eJ8+Ig4MAQaQCAAEAAAAAAABAAEAAQeQBgAIAAAA5AQAAAAAAADoAAEIgAcAGAAAAElQTS5NaWNy b3NvZnQgTWFpbC5Ob3RlADEIAQ2ABAACAAAAAgACAAEEkAYAsAEAAAEAAAAQAAAAAwAAMAIAAAAL AA8OAAAAAAIB/w8BAAAAcQAAAAAAAAC1O8LALHcQGqG8CAArKlbCFQAAANEvbgeElNARqGJERVNU AAAEgQAAAAAAAIErH6S+oxAZnW4A3QEPVAIAAAAAV1gtVGFsawBTTVRQAHd4LXRhbGtAcG9zdG9m ZmljZS5jc28udWl1Yy5lZHUAAAAAHgACMAEAAAAFAAAAU01UUAAAAAAeAAMwAQAAACAAAAB3eC10 YWxrQHBvc3RvZmZpY2UuY3NvLnVpdWMuZWR1AAMAFQwBAAAAAwD+DwYAAAAeAAEwAQAAAAoAAAAn V1gtVGFsaycAAAACAQswAQAAACUAAABTTVRQOldYLVRBTEtAUE9TVE9GRklDRS5DU08uVUlVQy5F RFUAAAAAAwAAOQAAAAALAEA6AQAAAB4A9l8BAAAACAAAAFdYLVRhbGsAAgH3XwEAAAAsAAAAvwAA ALU7wsAsdxAaobwIACsqVsIVAAAA0S9uB4SU0BGoYkRFU1QAAASBAAADAP1fAQAAAAMA/18AAAAA AgH2DwEAAAAEAAAAAAAAAjVXAQSAAQAQAAAARVRBIExJIGNoYW5nZXM/AMcEAQWAAwAOAAAAzQcG AAsACAAwAAsAAwArAQEggAMADgAAAM0HBgALAAgALQAjAAMAQAEBCYABACEAAAA2RjUyRDExMTYw NzZCQzExQTBDRjhBNThBMjdEMTRFNgAiBwEDkAYAQAQAACAAAAALAAIAAQAAAAsAIwAAAAAAAwAm AAAAAAALACkAAAAAAAMANgAAAAAAQAA5ACAxUrhldrwBHgBwAAEAAAAQAAAARVRBIExJIGNoYW5n ZXM/AAIBcQABAAAAFgAAAAG8dmW4J8hp28TiMRHQqGNERVNUAAAAAB4AHgwBAAAAAwAAAE1TAAAe AB8MAQAAABIAAABXaW5kb3dzL1JEYWxlL3JvYgAAAAMABhD4U/YpAwAHEMgAAAAeAAgQAQAAAGUA AABBTllPTkVFTFNFTk9USUNFVEhBVFRIRUxJSVNHT05FRlJPTUZPVVNEQVRBP0hBVkVOVFNFRU5B VEhJTkdJTkFOWUFETU1FU1NBR0VTQUJPVVRJVEFMU09USEUiTElGVFNGQyJNAAAAAAIBCRABAAAA QAEAADwBAACBAQAATFpGdd1lLzIDAAoAcmNwZzEyNRYyAPgLYG4OEDAzM50B9yACpAPjAgBjaArA YHNldDAgBxMCgH15CoF1YwBQCwMLtRFwbkJ5AiBlIGVsETAg2G5vdA3gE5B0EQAFQCMUcBOQTEkg BAAgZ0MTcgNSIEZPVQXwZIEUkGE/IEhhdgnwzicFQBEwCfAgYRRhC4AeZxUgF2ETUBFwRE0g8QeB c2FnB5EBoAhgBUB4aXQuGcAKogqECoBBlRPAbxSzIhUARlQGAEhGQyIYoGFwFSJthwQBF8IVs0dS SUIWQ1gsIHcXsBDwIAWgbgxmdREwBCBQQy1HqQUQZGQEIGIFkGEegb8UswDBA2AEIB+yG1MoFAF1 FFVMG3BYG5IXIBQgbEkDIGV4BAB0cxnBKV8Z+ggADDAaAxHxACUAAwAQEAAAAAADABEQAAAAAAMA gBD/////QAAHMKDKaFtldrwBQAAIMKDKaFtldrwBCwABgAggBgAAAAAAwAAAAAAAAEYAAAAAA4UA AAAAAAADAAOACCAGAAAAAADAAAAAAAAARgAAAAAQhQAAAAAAAAMABoAIIAYAAAAAAMAAAAAAAABG AAAAAFKFAAC3DQAAHgAmgAggBgAAAAAAwAAAAAAAAEYAAAAAVIUAAAEAAAAEAAAAOC4wAAMAJ4AI IAYAAAAAAMAAAAAAAABGAAAAAAGFAAAAAAAACwAwgAggBgAAAAAAwAAAAAAAAEYAAAAADoUAAAAA AAADADGACCAGAAAAAADAAAAAAAAARgAAAAARhQAAAAAAAAMAM4AIIAYAAAAAAMAAAAAAAABGAAAA ABiFAAAAAAAAHgBCgAggBgAAAAAAwAAAAAAAAEYAAAAANoUAAAEAAAABAAAAAAAAAB4AQ4AIIAYA AAAAAMAAAAAAAABGAAAAADeFAAABAAAAAQAAAAAAAAAeAESACCAGAAAAAADAAAAAAAAARgAAAAA4 hQAAAQAAAAEAAAAAAAAAHgA9AAEAAAABAAAAAAAAAAMADTT9NwAAh8E= ------ =_NextPart_000_01BC7644.3325CBE0-- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 11 Jun 1997 09:59:08 -0600 From: Bill Ice Subject: Re: ETA LI changes? > Anyone else notice that the LI is gone from FOUS data? Haven't seen a > thing in any ADM messages about it... > > Also the "LIFT SFC" map is missing from GRIB data, which confuses > PC-Gridds because the macros use LIFT (note that LFTX SFC still > exists...) Yes. This began with the 0Z June 10 data. Also mising are the sigma levels...PC-GRIDDS won't crunch the B015 data now, either. Bill Ice Amarillo, TX ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 10 Jun 1997 to 11 Jun 1997 - Special issue ****************************************************************** From - Thu Jun 12 13:40:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102226-2237>; Thu, 12 Jun 1997 13:11:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA146938; Thu, 12 Jun 1997 00:03:12 -0500 Message-Id: <199706120503.AAA146938@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Jun 1997 00:00:16 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 11 Jun 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 97089248aef5a5dfcfa010c5ee59eec3 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 14006 Status: OR There are 7 messages totalling 279 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. TOR 2. NWS Headers 3. WX-TALK Digest - 9 Jun 1997 to 10 Jun 1997 4. Hey Weather Channel DORKS! 5. ASOS Commissioning Notice 6. Hazardous Weather Update termination 7. TAMU Weather Page Question.... +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 11 Jun 1997 15:19:15 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: TOR ------ =_NextPart_000_01BC767A.D3691C20 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii" Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Any idea what this was? Certainly doesn't sound like a cold air funnel... SVSCHI ILZ019-111925- SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 209 PM CDT WED JUN 11 1997 AT 200 PM ILLINOIS STATE POLICE REPORTED THAT THE TORNADO WHICH OCCURRED 8 MILES NORTH OF OTTAWA HAD DISSIPATED. THE TORNADO FORMED FROM A RAPIDLY DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORM. FUNNEL CLOUDS ARE POSSIBLE WITH DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHEAST ILLINOIS THIS AFTERNOON. THESE FUNNEL CLOUDS COULD BRIEFLY TOUCHDOWN... BUT ANY TORNADOES WHICH OCCUR WILL BE VERY WEAK CAUSING LITTLE OR NO DAMAGE. TAYLOR And an excerpt from a TOR this afternoon -- I'm curious how that deputy knows what he is watching will become a tornado... A TORNADO IS POSSIBLE TO OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN FILLMORE COUNTY THROUGH 245 PM. AT 210 PM A SHERIFF DEPUTY WAS WATCHING A DEVELOPING TORNADO NEAR GRAFTON OR 20 MILES SOUTHWEST OF YORK. ------ =_NextPart_000_01BC767A.D3691C20 Content-Type: application/ms-tnef Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64 eJ8+IhATAQaQCAAEAAAAAAABAAEAAQeQBgAIAAAA5AQAAAAAAADoAAEIgAcAGAAAAElQTS5NaWNy b3NvZnQgTWFpbC5Ob3RlADEIAQ2ABAACAAAAAgACAAEEkAYAsAEAAAEAAAAQAAAAAwAAMAIAAAAL AA8OAAAAAAIB/w8BAAAAcQAAAAAAAAC1O8LALHcQGqG8CAArKlbCFQAAANEvbgeElNARqGJERVNU AAAEgQAAAAAAAIErH6S+oxAZnW4A3QEPVAIAAAAAV1gtVGFsawBTTVRQAHd4LXRhbGtAcG9zdG9m ZmljZS5jc28udWl1Yy5lZHUAAAAAHgACMAEAAAAFAAAAU01UUAAAAAAeAAMwAQAAACAAAAB3eC10 YWxrQHBvc3RvZmZpY2UuY3NvLnVpdWMuZWR1AAMAFQwBAAAAAwD+DwYAAAAeAAEwAQAAAAoAAAAn V1gtVGFsaycAAAACAQswAQAAACUAAABTTVRQOldYLVRBTEtAUE9TVE9GRklDRS5DU08uVUlVQy5F RFUAAAAAAwAAOQAAAAALAEA6AQAAAB4A9l8BAAAACAAAAFdYLVRhbGsAAgH3XwEAAAAsAAAAvwAA ALU7wsAsdxAaobwIACsqVsIVAAAA0S9uB4SU0BGoYkRFU1QAAASBAAADAP1fAQAAAAMA/18AAAAA AgH2DwEAAAAEAAAAAAAAAjVXAQSAAQAEAAAAVE9SAPUAAQWAAwAOAAAAzQcGAAsADwATAA8AAwAZ AQEggAMADgAAAM0HBgALAA8AEAAnAAMALgEBCYABACEAAAA0RDBEM0JDNDhBNzZCQzExQTBDRjhB NThBMjdEMTRFNgBTBwEDkAYAXAYAACAAAAALAAIAAQAAAAsAIwAAAAAAAwAmAAAAAAALACkAAAAA AAMANgAAAAAAQAA5AAA+BVqcdrwBHgBwAAEAAAAEAAAAVE9SAAIBcQABAAAAFgAAAAG8dpxZ9HrT lqXiXBHQqGNERVNUAAAAAB4AHgwBAAAAAwAAAE1TAAAeAB8MAQAAABIAAABXaW5kb3dzL1JEYWxl L3JvYgAAAAMABhBK8+z4AwAHENkCAAAeAAgQAQAAAGUAAABBTllJREVBV0hBVFRISVNXQVM/Q0VS VEFJTkxZRE9FU05UU09VTkRMSUtFQUNPTERBSVJGVU5ORUxTVlNDSElJTFowMTktMTExOTI1LVNF VkVSRVdFQVRIRVJTVEFURU1FTlROAAAAAAIBCRABAAAAaAMAAGQDAABzBAAATFpGdXF3+hADAAoA cmNwZzEyNRYyAPgLYG4OEDAzM50B9yACpAPjAgBjaArAYHNldDAgBxMCgH15CoF1YwBQCwMLtRFw boh5IGkBAGEgdxEAGQVAdGgEABPAYXM/XCBDBJABkAuAbBNgZFJvB5BuJwVAcwhgboBkIGxpa2Ug E7AvCOEWIAtwBcBmFgBuZTxsLhegCqIKhAqAU1YQU0NISRfUSUxaoDAxOS0xGcA5DjACLRfbRVZF UkUgYFdFQVRIGyAGAFRBG4BFTUVOVBfUTmkbgElPHNBMG1gbIFYMSUMbQBjBQ0FHTw4gGVAX1AHQ OSBQTQkUsERUG1FEIEpVjE4gGcAggDk5NxfaPRuAIAHQEWAfoRlQTEm4Tk9JBfEb8h+QTyKA9x4x GzAjUFIcECAwG5Ahwa8bkSRAI/Ac0EQewFcecQZICuMKgE9DQ1VS2xswIDA4BdAZUEUF8CKgUyQA JaBPRieAVBvwVyxBICRgIDBEIsBTSaJQHAFELiAkm0Yj8MccMCAwF9RGUk8fsCgQgFJBUElETFko YMkbAUxPK2BORyRBIGBdK8BSG+AqESkQRiBgTqcr8BSwLABVRAXwQRsx2yNQKJFCJvAbUEknYRfU 9yvPLNQF8E8bESckG3Ab4GciWBuQIsFBRhwQJQBPvx0QKRAbkRrwKmYta0Mt4IJMIDBCUklFRiuR 7STgVRjAJTBXM5AXoDWw8lUf8EFONiIlAycBJWT/JiMltS8AInA1sBtAGxEroOUbYUsUsEFVKKAs QSKAnyfQLtEj8CchKGBBTR6g7kUpEBfaG/BZL/A41iFl4xYRA5FleGMEkAUxA1K3FoEk4RQUYQGA BJFvAiCoIC0tHtAnP1BjCHHzCGAEIGhvB+AUIBPxAQCocHV0E2BrQHB3FFFtE+JoFnAUQ3QQ8AuA Z3cTwAMQAyBiBZEHgBaBdPkFsG5hFWAXrSgQJOYiwecudyTgOIVBQyrgKJAxhfclACnwImFNI/Ae QS3gHFBFNiFIKuBVR0gfBTT+NR+RF8UltSHCD0AfkigQslMboUlGJ6AvsFA3IPc6ATHwTjFUGMEs QSgQL7rvJPUtgC4wF9RHK0AzIB0Q9ztSExEm1FMt4BuQG2AyAXUnkVkj8EspERfUEfEAAVQgAwAQ EAAAAAADABEQAQAAAAMAgBD/////QAAHMAC02PybdrwBQAAIMAC02PybdrwBCwABgAggBgAAAAAA wAAAAAAAAEYAAAAAA4UAAAAAAAADAAOACCAGAAAAAADAAAAAAAAARgAAAAAQhQAAAAAAAAMABoAI IAYAAAAAAMAAAAAAAABGAAAAAFKFAAC3DQAAHgAmgAggBgAAAAAAwAAAAAAAAEYAAAAAVIUAAAEA AAAEAAAAOC4wAAMAJ4AIIAYAAAAAAMAAAAAAAABGAAAAAAGFAAAAAAAACwAwgAggBgAAAAAAwAAA AAAAAEYAAAAADoUAAAAAAAADADGACCAGAAAAAADAAAAAAAAARgAAAAARhQAAAAAAAAMAM4AIIAYA AAAAAMAAAAAAAABGAAAAABiFAAAAAAAAHgBCgAggBgAAAAAAwAAAAAAAAEYAAAAANoUAAAEAAAAB AAAAAAAAAB4AQ4AIIAYAAAAAAMAAAAAAAABGAAAAADeFAAABAAAAAQAAAAAAAAAeAESACCAGAAAA AADAAAAAAAAARgAAAAA4hQAAAQAAAAEAAAAAAAAAHgA9AAEAAAABAAAAAAAAAAMADTT9NwAAS3o= ------ =_NextPart_000_01BC767A.D3691C20-- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 11 Jun 1997 16:04:39 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: NWS Headers ------ =_NextPart_000_01BC7681.2B9D0220 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii" Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit NWS is continuing the issuance of more than one product (in some cases 3!) under the same WMO header. Looking at some of the headers for fire weather products in a bulletin from NCEP today: WWUS44 is used for the Hazardous Weather Update, and also will be used for Watch Clearance Notifications... Add another! WWUS44KLZK RFWLIT [....] They also duplicate WWUS45 (WCN / NPW) and WWUS46 (WCN / WSW.) Ouch... 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What a wild weather year we are having in the northeast. First, we had the winter that pretty much never was. Then, a cool spring, and all of a sudden, out of nowhere, this tremendous jump in temperature to the point where we're having a first heatwave of the year. What's going on? Greg Machos ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 11 Jun 1997 18:17:49 GMT From: Scott Foshie Subject: Re: Hey Weather Channel DORKS! While you may argue that The Weather Channel takes advantage of our citizens by providing an "overpriced" service and manipulating young people into thinking that TWC is the "weather authority in all situations," I am convinced that the founders of The Weather Channel had no intention of doing anything so belligerent. They, like many other entrepreneurs who are the backbone of this country, had an idea to create a successful business and to build upon it. Of course they wanted to try to make money, isn't that the entire basis of capitalism? The evolution of many improvements in our standard of living has been caused by our economic system, because it supports the development of new ideas and results in new improvements in technology almost daily. Just think about the improvements in weather coverage that The Weather Channel has provided throughout its 15 years of existence. For instance, John Hope and the Tropical Weather Coverage he provides has better educated countless Americans on how hurricanes work, and has also widened common knowedge of Hurricane safety tips. The STAR Satellite system that The Weather Channel uses has given millions of Americans direct, immediate access to NWS forecasts, current weather conditions, and warnings delivered many times more quickly than NOAA weather radio. I would say that The Weather Channel has been one of the signs of our continuing expansion of knowledge and a symbol of increased efforts to improve the public's awareness of severe weather. Also, many people gladly use The Weather Channel as an avenue to get recreational forecasts and even gardening information. Sure, The Weather Channel is commercialized, and everyone wishes that there were never ANY commercials on television. But let's face it, capitalism works because profit motive results in efficiency, competition, and improvements in technology and education. I'm sorry that this message may seem out of character in these newsgroups, but I do support The Weather Channel and the many other commercial organizations who have contributed to the improvements in public awareness of weather and to the saving of lives through new technology and methods of disseminating severe weather information. Thank you for the bandwidth! :-) Scott Foshie Senior- Greeneville High School Greeneville, TN wxman@greene.xtn.net ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 11 Jun 1997 15:58:17 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site became a commissioned ASOS site at 1800 UTC today, 11 June 1997. PINE RIDGE AIRPORT (KIEN) PINE RIDGE... SD Miles Schumacher@noaa.gov ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 11 Jun 1997 20:33:14 -0700 From: Michael Brennan Subject: Hazardous Weather Update termination Hey Wx-talkers, Its official, the HWU is to be teminated on June 28. This didn't come as a surprise, but there is an outlet to make our feelings known. Send emial to Gary Grice at GARY.GRICE@NOAA.GOV. Here is the official notice, found tacked onto the end of HWUs: PLEASE NOTE - EFFECTIVE AT 11 PM CDT SATURDAY JUNE 28, 1997, THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER UPDATE (HWU) FORECAST PRODUCT WILL NO LONGER BE ISSUED. THE TEST FOR THE HWU WAS COMPLETED ON MAY 31, 1997, AND THE DECISION HAS BEEN MADE BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS TO TERMINATE THE PRODUCT. THE CUSTOMER FEEDBACK AND EVALUATION IS GREATLY APPRECIATED BY THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER (SPC) AND THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE (NWS). THE SPC STAFF VALUES THE OPPORTUNITY TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS BY TESTING NEW PRODUCTS AND SERVICES. PLEASE DIRECT ANY COMMENTS OR QUESTIONS TO GARY GRICE (405-579-0702 OR VIA INTERNET, GARY.GRICE@NOAA.GOV). Where will the cuts end? Mike Brennan ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 11 Jun 1997 21:30:00 -0700 From: Jason Kelley Subject: TAMU Weather Page Question.... Hello All, Just a quick question...I use the TAMU Weather Interface at http://www.met.tamu.edu/personnel/students/weather/weather_interface.html a lot..and while getting the ETA grid interpolations in the last month or so, I've noticed it has stopped giving the 2m temps, PW's, Precip, Convective Precip, and several of the convective parameters...is this due to a change in the gridded data, a bug, or something else...Can anybody shed some light on this for me???? Thanks in advance!!! Jason Kelley Chief Meteorologist & Webmaster WABG-TV Greenville-Greenwood, MS http:\\www.wabg.com jkelley@tecinfo.com ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 11 Jun 1997 *********************************** From - Fri Jun 13 14:09:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102316-26833>; Fri, 13 Jun 1997 13:51:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA263962; Fri, 13 Jun 1997 00:20:52 -0500 Message-Id: <199706130520.AAA263962@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Jun 1997 00:15:56 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 11 Jun 1997 to 12 Jun 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: c447c8f1ab8ff6a5d0e79c1b95a3a25d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 34193 Status: OR There are 9 messages totalling 595 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. TOR and Hazordous Weather Update termination and Wheeler County, TX tornado 2. Special NCEP Discussion (fwd) 3. Hazardous Weather Update termination 4. LSR Summary 5. Data For $ale - the future? (2) 6. Caribbean Hurricanes (was Hurricane and Tornado Specials) 7. Positive Lightning 8. SCH/NWS BUDGET UPDATE... +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 12 Jun 1997 02:46:20 -0500 From: Mark Plate Subject: Re: TOR and Hazordous Weather Update termination and Wheeler County, TX tornado Robert P. Dale wrote: >Any idea what this was? Certainly doesn't sound like a cold air >funnel... > >SVSCHI >ILZ019-111925- > >SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT >NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL >209 PM CDT WED JUN 11 1997 >AT 200 PM ILLINOIS STATE POLICE REPORTED THAT THE TORNADO WHICH >OCCURRED 8 MILES NORTH OF OTTAWA HAD DISSIPATED. THE TORNADO FORMED >FROM A RAPIDLY DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORM. FUNNEL CLOUDS ARE POSSIBLE >WITH DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHEAST ILLINOIS THIS AFTERNOON. >THESE FUNNEL CLOUDS COULD BRIEFLY TOUCHDOWN... BUT ANY TORNADOES WHICH >OCCUR WILL BE VERY WEAK CAUSING LITTLE OR NO DAMAGE. > >TAYLOR Sounds like a landspout to me...they typically form from developing showers of thunderstorms. And Michael Brennan wrote: >Hey Wx-talkers, > > Its official, the HWU is to be teminated on June 28. This didn't come >as a surprise, but there is an outlet to make our feelings known. Send >emial to Gary Grice at GARY.GRICE@NOAA.GOV. > >Here is the official notice, found tacked onto the end of HWUs: > >PLEASE NOTE - EFFECTIVE AT 11 PM CDT SATURDAY JUNE 28, 1997, THE >HAZARDOUS WEATHER UPDATE (HWU) FORECAST PRODUCT WILL NO LONGER BE >ISSUED. THE TEST FOR THE HWU WAS COMPLETED ON MAY 31, 1997, AND >THE DECISION HAS BEEN MADE BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS >TO TERMINATE THE PRODUCT. THE CUSTOMER FEEDBACK AND EVALUATION IS >GREATLY APPRECIATED BY THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER (SPC) AND THE >NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE (NWS). THE SPC STAFF VALUES THE >OPPORTUNITY TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS BY TESTING NEW PRODUCTS >AND SERVICES. PLEASE DIRECT ANY COMMENTS OR QUESTIONS TO GARY >GRICE (405-579-0702 OR VIA INTERNET, GARY.GRICE@NOAA.GOV). > >Where will the cuts end? > >Mike Brennan This is the way I see this one...the HWU has been nothing more than an experimental product...it has never been an operational product since its inception. During the experiment, the product was evaluated and comments from users were gathered. Based on this evaluation and these comments, the decision was made to not proceed in making this an operational product. However, my understanding is that no loss of staff is occurring at the SPC due to the product not making it past the experimental stage. I'm sure someone there will correct me if I am wrong. So to set the record straight, no actual cuts were made here...this is totally unrelated to other cuts which are being made. On a different subject...what a storm in Wheeler County, TX Wednesday evening...watched the reflectivity and SRM loops from the AMA 88D...made me wish I was at the Shamrock DQ when that storm exploded :) It went from a weak storm to a 73 VIL in 10 minutes, and was producing a tornado within another 10 minutes. From the data I've seen, this one may have been on the ground continuously for at least 1 1/2 hours...initially visible, then becoming wrapped in heavy rain well before crossing I-40...the reflectivity and SRM products were classic... Mark ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 12 Jun 1997 06:45:29 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Special NCEP Discussion (fwd) SPECIAL NCEP DISCUSSION CENTRAL OPERATIONS / NCEP / NWS / WASHINGTON DC 0330 UTC THU JUNE 12 1997 120330Z WITH REGARD TO ETA FORECAST FIELDS...SINCE THE 12Z CYCLE ON 10 JUNE...SOME OF THE FORECAST FIELDS PRODUCED BY THE ETA MODEL HAVE BEEN MISSING. FOR EXAMPLE..LIFTED INDEX FIELDS FOUND IN FOUS...NMCFRH...BULLETINS HAVE BEEN AFFECTED AS WELL AS ETA GRIB BULLETIN OUTPUT. NCEP MODELING CENTER PROGRAMMERS ARE AWARE OF THE PROBLEM WHICH SHOULD BE REPAIRED SOON. THANKS FOR YOUR PATIENCE. KNEAS/SDM/QAP/NCEP ------------------------------------ Excellent! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 12 Jun 1997 09:14:45 -0500 From: Peter Laws Subject: Re: Hazardous Weather Update termination On Wed, 11 Jun 1997, Michael Brennan wrote: > as a surprise, but there is an outlet to make our feelings known. Send > emial to Gary Grice at GARY.GRICE@NOAA.GOV. > > PLEASE NOTE - EFFECTIVE AT 11 PM CDT SATURDAY JUNE 28, 1997, THE > HAZARDOUS WEATHER UPDATE (HWU) FORECAST PRODUCT WILL NO LONGER BE > Where will the cuts end? When we get to the point that the only thing left to cut is the CONgresscritters' salaries? :-) Seriously, as many have said here and on WX-CHASE, the HWU was not found to be that useful. Would you rather they cut the SWODYs? Maybe the MESO discussion? I applaud our friends at NCEP/SPC for trying out new products. This one didn't work out. So beit. Instead of writing to complain, why not write to tell them what you *would* like to see? -- Peter Laws / plaws@wildstar.net ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 12 Jun 1997 10:26:48 -0500 From: Steve Adams Subject: LSR Summary Greetings Wx-talkers, SPC's summary file died after the 5Z issuance this morning. No entries were in the 12Z daily summary file. Thus... I'm posting the AWIS comma delimited file summarizing the individual WWUS30s over the last 24hr ending 12Z. Enjoy... ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President, Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. 1735 E. University Dr. - Suite 101 P.O. Box 3267 Auburn, Alabama 36831-3267 ____ /\ \ / | | ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) / \ \ / | |___ (334) 826-2152 (FAX) /____\ \ /\ / | | Internet: sadams@awis.com / \ \/ \/ | ____| http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- 06/02/97 , 645 PM, CO,1SE WELDONA,MORGAN, , 0.00,G60 06/02/97 , 645 PM, CO,1SE WELDONA,MORGAN,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL 06/02/97 , 740 PM, CO,6 N FORT MORGAN,MORGAN,H, 2.00,2.00 INCH HAIL THIS IS CORRECTED ENTRY ORIGINALLY ENTERED AS 815 PM. 06/02/97 , 1015 PM, CO,HILLROSE,MORGAN,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE HOUSE DAMAGED BY DOWNBURST WINDS. 06/10/97 , 0112 PM, UT,HANKSVILLE,WAYNE,H, 1.00,1 INCH HAIL 06/10/97 , 0140 PM, UT,BOUNTIFUL,DAVIS,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL 06/10/97 , 0140 PM, UT,SALT LAKE CITY,SALT LAKE,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL 06/10/97 , 0210 PM, UT,SALT LAKE CITY,SALT LAKE,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL ACTUAL REPORT FROM WEST VALLEY CITY 06/10/97 , 0235 PM, UT,SALT LAKE CITY,SALT LAKE,H, 1.00,1 INCH HAIL ACTUAL REPORT FROM U OF UT AH 06/10/97 , 0240 PM, UT,SALT LAKE CITY,SALT LAKE,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL ACTUAL REPORT FROM CAPITOL HILL 06/10/97 , 0632 PM, UT,HARRISVILLE,WEBER,H, 1.00,1 INCH HAIL 06/10/97 , 0636 PM, UT,NORTH OGDEN,WEBER,H, 0.88,.88 INCH HAIL 06/10/97 , 0638 PM, UT,NORTH OGDEN,WEBER,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL 06/10/97 , 0715 PM, FL,PEMBROKE PINES,BROWARD,T, 0.00,TORNADO SEVERAL REPORTS BETWEEN 0700 PM AND 0715 PM NEAR PINES BLVD BETWEEN I75 AND US 27. 06/10/97 , 1204 PM, UT,CAINEVILLE,WAYNE,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0520 AM, KS,18 SW ASHLAND,CLARK,H, 0.88,0.88 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 1115 AM, OK,CANTON,BLAINE,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE ON NORTH SIDE OF TOWN WIDESPREAD 2 INCH LIMBS WITH ONE 6-8 INCH LIMB BLOWN DOWN REPORTED BY CANTON PD. 06/11/97 , 1125 AM, OK,WATONGA,BLAINE,H, 0.75,0.75 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 1140 AM, WY,4 S SUNDANCE,WESTON,T, 0.00,TORNADO BRIEF TUCHDOWN, NO DAMAGE 06/11/97 , 1250 AM, SD,2 W OGLALA,SHANNON,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0105 PM, SD,3 SE OGLALA,SHANNON,H, 0.75,0.75 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 120 PM, FL,3.5 SSW FT MYERS,LEE,T, 0.00,TORNADO (F0) MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO 3 TO 4 COMMERICAL BUILDINGS AT BARKLEY CIRCLE IN THE SUMMERLIN RD/ COLONIAL BLVD AREA OF W FORT MYERS. ALSO MINOR DAMAGE TO 2 VEHICLES. DAMAGE EST AT $16K. 06/11/97 , 0125 PM, SD,5 W WHITE RIVER,MELLETTE,T, 0.00,TORNADO NO DAMAGE 06/11/97 , 0125 PM, SD,WHITE RIVER,MELLETTE,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0140 PM, NE,6 E STOCKHAM,HAMILTON,H, 1.50,1.5 INCH HAIL ALSO REPORT OF A FUNNEL CLOUD 06/11/97 , 0144 PM, NE,4 S HENDERSON,YORK,T, 0.00,TORNADO CITIZEN REPORT 06/11/97 , 0144 PM, NE,4 SW HAMPTON,HAMILTON, , 0.00,60 MPH TSTM GUST DAMAGE TO PIVOT 06/11/97 , 0155 PM, NE,HENDERSON,YORK,H, 0.75,0.75 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0205 PM, OK,KARNS,CANADIAN,H, 1.25,1.25 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0223 PM, NM,ROSWELL,CHAVES,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL GOLFBALL HAIL AT ROSWELL PD AND NEAR DEXTER 06/11/97 , 0225 PM, NE,FAIRMONT,FILLMORE,H, 0.75,0.75 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0230 PM, CA,TULELAKE,SISKIYOU,H, 1.25,1.25 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0230 PM, OK,CALUMET,CANADIAN,H, 0.75,0.75 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0300 PM, KS,9 MI SSE OF WESKAN,WALLACE,H, 1.00,1 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 300 PM, FL,LAKELAND,POLK,F, 0.00,HEAVY RAIN 5.5 INCHES OVER 5 HOURS IN EASTERN LAKELAND. STREET FLOODING IN THE AREA. REPORTED BY SKYWARN SPOTTER. 06/11/97 , 0318 PM, KS,7 MI SSW WESKAN,WALLACE,H, 1.50,1.5 INCH HAIL PING-PONG SIZED HAIL REPORTED BY WALLACE COUNTY SHERIFF'S OFFICE. 06/11/97 , 0329 PM, KS,13 MI N OF TRIBUNE,GREELEY,H, 0.88,.88 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0338 PM, CO,3 NNE TOWNER,KIOWA,T, 0.00,TORNADO WEAK TORNADO OBSERVED FROM 338 PM TO 343 PM 06/11/97 , 0338 PM, CO,4 N TOWNER,KIOWA,H, 1.00,1.00 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0340 PM, KS,15 MI WNW OF TRIBUNE,GREELEY,T, 0.00,TORNADO TORNADO APPROXIMATELY 100 YDS WIDE ON THE GROUND FOR 5 MINUTES MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. 06/11/97 , 0344 PM, KS,COLBY CITY LIMITS,THOMAS,H, 1.00,1 INCH HAIL REPORTED BY KBOLGX RADIO STATION. 06/11/97 , 0346 PM, CO,3 NNE TOWNER,KIOWA,H, 0.75,0.75 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0405 PM, KS,4 MI E OF COLBY,THOMAS,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0405 PM, NE,3SSW SPRINGVIEW,KEYA PAHA,H, 1.25,1.25 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0410 PM, NE,PAXTON,KEITH,H, 0.75,0.75 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0410 PM, NE,SPRINGVIEW,KEYA PAHA,H, 1.00,1.00 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0415 PM, WI,FENWOOD,MARATHON,H, 1.00,1 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0420 PM, KS,HALFORD,THOMAS,H, 0.88,.88 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0427 PM, KS,MARYSVILLE,MARSHALL,H, 1.00,1 INCH HAIL 1/2 MILE NORTH OF MARYSVILLE. 06/11/97 , 0435 PM, KS,5 MI W OF MENLO,THOMAS,H, 1.50,1.5 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0435 PM, NE,PLYMOUTH,JEFFERSON,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE THREE CENTER PIVOTS OVERTURNED. LIGHT POLES DOWN. TREE LIMBS DOWN. 06/11/97 , 0435 PM, OR,HARPER (1.5 NW),MALHEUR,H, 0.00,PEA-SIZED HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN. 06/11/97 , 436 PM, TX,LAJITAS,BREWSTER,H, 0.88,0.88 INCH HAIL NICKEL HAIL REPORTED AT TRADING POST. 06/11/97 , 0438 PM, KS,MARYSVILLE,MARSHALL,H, 1.00,1 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 440 PM, NM,28 ENE CARLSBAD,EDDY,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL REPORTED BY THE PUBLIC ON HIGHWAY 128 ON THE EDDY/LEA COUNTY LINE. 06/11/97 , 440 PM, NM,28 ENE CARLSBAD,LEA,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL REPORTED BY THE PUBLIC ON HIGHWAY 128 AT THE EDDY/LEA COUNTY LINE. 06/11/97 , 440 PM, NM,28 ESE CARLSBAD,EDDY,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL REPORTED BY THE PUBLIC ON HIGHWAY 128 ON THE EDDY/LEA COUNTY LINE. 06/11/97 , 440 PM, NM,28 ESE CARLSBAD,LEA,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL REPORTED BY THE PUBLIC ON HIGHWAY 128 AT THE EDDY/LEA COUNTY LINE. 06/11/97 , 0445 PM, NE,4 W BEATRICE,GAGE, , 0.00,60 MPH TSTM GUST 06/11/97 , 0450 PM, NE,5 SSW NORTH PLATTE,LINCOLN,H, 0.75,0.75 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 450 PM, FL,WESLEY CHAPEL,PASCO, , 0.00,HEAVY RAIN 2.25 INCHES IN 40 MINUTES. REPORTED BY SKYWARN SPOTTER. 06/11/97 , 0455 PM, KS,6 MI SSE OF MENLO,SHERIDAN,H, 1.00,1 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0455 PM, KS,HOME,MARSHALL, , 0.00,60 MPH TSTM GUST 06/11/97 , 0500 PM, KS,LILLIS,MARSHALL, , 0.00,65 MPH TSTM GUST SEVERAL TREES AND POWERLINES BLOWN DOWN ROOF BLOWN OFF BUILDING 06/11/97 , 0500 PM, NE,15 SSW NORTH PLATTE,NORTH PLATTE,H, 0.75,0.75 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0500 PM, NE,WYMORE,GAGE,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE NUMEROUS LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN. DAMAGING WIND LASTED FROM 500 TO 516 PM 06/11/97 , 0510 PM, WI,DOERING,LINCOLN,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL SIZE OF HAIL VARIED FROM PEANUT SIZE TO GOLFBALL. 06/11/97 , 0514 PM, NE,S OF BEATRICE,GAGE,H, 0.50,.5 INCH HAIL MARBLE SIZE HAIL SIX INCHES DEEP 06/11/97 , 0520 PM, NE,10 NW SARGENT,CUSTER,H, 1.00,1.00 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0525 PM, NE,2 SSE TAYLOR,LOUP,H, 0.88,0.88 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0530 PM, NE,6 NNE WELLFLEET,LINCOLN,H, 1.00,1.00 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0530 PM, OR,WESTFALL,MALHEUR, , 0.00,HEAVY RAIN. .80 INCH IN 30 MINUTES 06/11/97 , 530 PM, CO,PASCO,UNKNOWN, , 0.00,2.25 INCHES IN 40 MINUTES. REPORTED BY SKYWARN SPOTTER. 06/11/97 , 530 PM, NM,CROSSROADS,LEA, , 0.00,60 MPH TSTM GUST REPORTED BY A VOLUNTEER RAINFALL OBSERVER. 06/11/97 , 0535 PM, NE,1 S LIBERTY,GAGE,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL DIME TO PENNY SIZE HAIL 06/11/97 , 0535 PM, TX,6 S COTTON CENTER,HALE,H, 1.00,1 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0535 PM, TX,6 S COTTON CENTER,HALE,H, 1.00,1 INCH HAIL RPTD BY ABERNATHY FD 06/11/97 , 0540 PM, NE,12 NE SARGENT,CUSTER,H, 1.50,1.50 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 540 PM, FL,2S AUBURNDALE,POLK,T, 0.00,TORNADO (F0) TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN IN THE SUN ACRES AREA NEAR SR 542. ACRES AREA NEAR SR 542. TREES AND TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN. MINOR DAMAGE TO A FEW HOMES. REPORTED BY POLK EOC. 06/11/97 , 0545 PM, ID,6W SODA SPRINGS,CARIBOU,H, 0.25,0.25 INCH HAIL SPOTTER REPORTED PEA SIZED HAIL COVERING THE GROUND. 06/11/97 , 0550 PM, NE,12 E WELLFLEET,LINCOLN,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0550 PM, TX,WHEELER,WHEELER,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL INTERSECTION OF 1046 AND 48 BY ARES SPOTTER 06/11/97 , 550 PM, NM,JAL,LEA,H, 1.00,1.00 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0552 PM, TX,WEST OF MOBEETIE,WHEELER,T, 0.00,TORNADO HWY 152 REPORTED BY ARES SPOTTERS 06/11/97 , 554 PM, TX,18 NE KERMIT,ECTOR,T, 0.00,TORNADO REPORTED BY SPOTTER 6 MILES NORTH OF HIGHWAY 302 ON THE THE WINKLER/ECTOR COUNTY LINE. 06/11/97 , 554 PM, TX,18 NE KERMIT,WINKLER,T, 0.00,TORNADO REPORTED BY SPOTTER 6 MILES NORTH OF HIGWAY 302 ON WINKLER/ECTOR COUNTY LINE. 06/11/97 , 0600 PM, NE,15 S BRADY,LINCOLN,H, 1.00,1.00 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0600 PM, OR,MERRILL,KLAMATH, , 0.00, KL86...FUNNEL CLOUD 5M SW OF MERRIL NEAR LOWER KLAMATH LAKE MOVING N... FUNNEL CLOUD DISSPATED 620 PM 06/11/97 , 604 PM, TX,8 NW GOLDSMITH,ANDREWS,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL REPORTED BY SPOTTER ON HIGHWAY 181 AT ANDREWS/ECTOR COUNTY LINE. 06/11/97 , 604 PM, TX,8 NW GOLDSMITH,ECTOR,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL REPORTED BY SPOTTER ON HIGHWAY 181 AT ECTOR/ANDREWS COUNTY LINE. 06/11/97 , 0605 PM, KS,7 SW MEADE,MEADE,H, 1.00,1.00 INCH HAIL BY STORM CHASER 06/11/97 , 0605 PM, KS,BAILEYVILLE /COR TO TIME/,NEMAHA, , 0.00,70 MPH TSTM GUST TREES DOWN. 06/11/97 , 0608 PM, NE,6 ENE CURTIS,FRONTIER,H, 0.75,0.75 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0610 PM, KS,AXTELL,MARSHALL, , 0.00,60 MPH TSTM GUST TREE BRANCHES DOWN. 06/11/97 , 0610 PM, KS,AXTELL,MARSHALL,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0610 PM, OR,BROGAN,MALHEUR, , 0.00,HEAVY RAIN. .50 INCH IN 10-12 MINUTES 06/11/97 , 0620 PM, OR,PAYETTE (4W),MALHEUR, , 0.00,WIND ESTIMATED 40 MPH POWER OUTAGE 06/11/97 , 0625 PM, KS,2 S MAYETTA,JACKSON, , 0.00,70 MPH TSTM GUST DAMAGE TO SWING SET. 06/11/97 , 0625 PM, KS,2 S MAYETTA,JACKSON,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0625 PM, NE,MOOREFIELD,FRONTIER,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0626 PM, NE,1 N CURTIS,FRONTIER,H, 0.88,0.88 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0627 PM, TX,5 N KELLERVILLE,WHEELER,T, 0.00,TORNADO REPORTED BY ARES SPOTTERS 06/11/97 , 0630 PM, FL,MARATHON,MONROE,F, 0.00,FLOODING PARKING LOTS...SIDE STREETS AND LOW LYING AREAS FLOODED 7.62 MEASURED BY M.C.E.M. 06/11/97 , 0630 PM, NE,7 E AINSWORTH,BROWN,H, 0.75,0.75 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 630 PM, TX,1 W ANDREWS,ANDREWS,H, 1.00,1.00 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 630 PM, TX,BARSTOW,WARD,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL REPORTED BY SHERIFFS OFFICE. LASTED FOR 10 MINUTES. 06/11/97 , 0635 PM, NE,3 N ARCADIA,VALLEY,H, 1.00,1.00 INCH HAIL FELL FOR 5 MINUTES 06/11/97 , 0635 PM, SD,20 SW FAITH,MEADE,F, 0.00,FLOODING ROADS WASHED OUT 06/11/97 , 0637 PM, KS,.75,JACKSON,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0637 PM, KS,1 W OZAWKIE,JEFFERSON, , 0.00,60 MPH TSTM GUST BARN BLOWN OVER NEAR K-4 AND 92 HIGHWAY. 06/11/97 , 0637 PM, KS,OZAWKIE,JACKSON,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0639 PM, OR,JORDAN VALLEY,MALHEUR,H, 0.00,PEA-SIZED HAIL 06/11/97 , 640 PM, TX,ANDREWS,ANDREWS, , 0.00,60 MPH TSTM GUST 06/11/97 , 0643 PM, TX,10 NW SHAMROCK,WHEELER,T, 0.00,TORNADO NEAR PAKAN CR 453 06/11/97 , 0645 PM, NE,2 E ARCADIA,VALLEY,H, 2.00,2.00 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0648 PM, KS,2 S DENISON,JACKSON,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0654 PM, TX,5 SE KELLERVILLE,WHEELER,T, 0.00,TORNADO REPORTED BY ARES SPOTTERS 06/11/97 , 0658 PM, TX,8 SE KELLERVILLE,WHEELER,T, 0.00,TORNADO REPORTED BY SHERIFFS OFFICE 06/11/97 , 0700 PM, KS,OZAWKIE,JEFFERSON,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE POWER LINES DOWN IN OZAWKIE. 06/11/97 , 0700 PM, TX,6 SSW COTTON CENTER,HALE,F, 0.00,FLOODING HWY 179 AND 54 UNDER WATER 06/11/97 , 0704 PM, OR,PARMA (3.5 NW),MALHEUR,H, 0.00,PEA-SIZED HAIL 06/11/97 , 0705 PM, KS,BAILEYVILLE,NEMAHA, , 0.00,70 MPH TSTM GUST TREES DOWN. 06/11/97 , 0705 PM, NE,8 SE STOCKVILLE,FRONTIER,H, 0.75,0.75 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0706 PM, KS,4 N MERIDEN,JACKSON,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE POWER LINES DOWN. SHED DAMAGED. TREE 06/11/97 , 0706 PM, KS,4 N MERIDEN,JEFFERSON /COR TO COUNTY/,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE POWER LINES DOWN. SHED 06/11/97 , 0708 PM, TX,4 E BROWNFIELD,TERRY,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE POWER POLES DOWN ROOF BLOWN OFF MOBILE HOME/SEVERAL TREES DOWN 06/11/97 , 0709 PM, TX,WHEELER,WHEELER,H, 4.50,4.50 INCH HAIL REPORTED BY BY SHERIFF OFFICE 06/11/97 , 0710 PM, KS,THOMPSONVILLE,JEFFERSON,G, 60.00,60 MPH TSTM GUST 60 MPH WIND GUST MEASURED AT PERRY LAKE DAM. 06/11/97 , 0713 PM, NE,LOUP CITY,SHERMAN, , 0.00,80 MPH TSTM GUST TREE DAMAGE AND POWER LINES DOWN 06/11/97 , 0720 PM, TX,SHALLOWATER,LUBBOCK, , 0.00,65 MPH TSTM GUST RPTD BY OFF DUTY NWS EMPLOYEE 06/11/97 , 0720 PM, TX,SHALLOWATER,LUBBOCK,H, 1.00,1 INCH HAIL RPTD BY LUBBOCK SO 06/11/97 , 0730 PM, KS,2 E LAWRENCE,DOUGLAS,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE SEMI TRUCK BLOWN OVER ON KANSAS TURNPIKE AT MILE MARKER 208. 06/11/97 , 0730 PM, TX,1.5 W LELA,WHEELER,T, 0.00,TORNADO *** 6 INJ *** NUMEROUS CARS AND TRUCKS OVERTURNED ON HWY I-40. 06/11/97 , 0730 PM, TX,3 NW SHAMROCK,WHEELER,H, 4.50,4.50 INCH HAIL REPORTED BY BY SHAMROCK POLICE 06/11/97 , 0730 PM, TX,ODONNELL,LYNN, , 0.00,60 MPH TSTM GUST PUBLIC REPORT 06/11/97 , 730 PM, TX,LAMESA,DAWSON,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE POWER LINES REPORTED DOWN BY SHERIFFS OFFICE. 06/11/97 , 0734 PM, NE,ARAPAHOE,FURNAS,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0735 PM, TX,LUBBOCK INTL ARPT,LUBBOCK, , 0.00,71 MPH TSTM GUST 06/11/97 , 0735 PM, TX,LUBBOCK INTL ARPT,LUBBOCK,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE POWER POLES DOWN JUST SOUTH OF AIRPORT 06/11/97 , 0735 PM, TX,LUBBOCK INTL ARPT,LUBBOCK,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE ROOF DAMAGE TO AIRPORT TERMINAL BUILDING 06/11/97 , 0737 PM, KS,LINWOOD,LEAVENWORTH, , 0.00,60 MPH TSTM GUST 4 WEST OF LINWOOD 3 IN DIAM LIMBS DOWN 06/11/97 , 0739 PM, NE,3 N ROCKVILLE,SHERMAN,T, 0.00,TORNADO REPORTED BY ROCKVILLE FIRE DEPARTMENT 06/11/97 , 0740 PM, KS,LINWOOD,LEAVENWORTH, , 0.00,75 MPH TSTM GUST ROOF DAMAGE AND SEMI BLOWN OVER AT LAWRENCE SERVICE PLAZA ON KS TPK 06/11/97 , 0745 PM, DE,DE,JOHNSON,G, 70.00,SOTO KS 70 MPH TSTM GUST 70 MPH WINDS IN DE SOTO 06/11/97 , 745 PM, TX,10 NE LAMESA,DAWSON, , 0.00,70 MPH TSTM GUST 06/11/97 , 0750 PM, TX,2 W SAMNORWOOD,COLLINGSWORTH,H, 1.00,1.00 INCH HAIL REPORTED BY SHERIFF OFFICE 06/11/97 , 0750 PM, TX,SAMNORWOOD,COLLINGSWORTH,H, 0.88,.88 INCH HAIL REPORTED BY ARES SPOTTER 06/11/97 , 0750 PM, TX,SAMNORWOOD,COLLINGSWORTH,H, 0.88,0.88 INCH HAIL REPORTED BY ARES SPOTTER 06/11/97 , 0753 PM, KS,NESS CITY,NESS,H, 0.88,0.88 INCH HAIL BY AGTAP SPOTTER 06/11/97 , 755 PM, FL,5N WAUCHULA,HARDEE,H, 1.00,1.00 INCH HAIL QUARTER SIZE HAIL NEAR BOWLING GREEN. REPORTED BY SKYWARN SPOTTER. 06/11/97 , 0759 PM, TX,N SAMNORWOOD,COLLINGSWORTH,T, 0.00,TORNADO REPORTED BY SHERIFF OFFICE 06/11/97 , 0800 PM, NE,OXFORD,FURNAS,H, 0.75,0.75 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0805 PM, ID,2NW GRACE,CARIBOU, , 0.00,HEAVY RAIN 1.5 INCHES RAIN FROM 5 TO 8PM 06/11/97 , 0805 PM, KS,NESS CITY,NESS,H, 1.00,1.00 INCH HAIL BY AGTAP SPOTTER 06/11/97 , 0808 PM, NE,ASHTON,SHERMAN,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0808 PM, TX,8 NW POST,GARZA,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE SEMI-TRAILER TRUCKS BLOWN OFF HWY 84 RPTD BY GARZA SO 06/11/97 , 0810 PM, ID,S CASCADE RESERVOIR,ADAMS,G, 0.00,SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 20" DIAMETER TREE DOWNED. MANY LIMBS DOWNED. ESTIMATED 60+MPH WIND GUSTS. 06/11/97 , 0810 PM, NE,ALMA,HARLAN,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0810 PM, NE,STAMFORD,HARLAN,H, 0.75,0.75 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0812 PM, NE,12 SW ATKINSON,HOLT,H, 0.75,0.75 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0813 PM, TX,SLATON,LUBBOCK,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL RPTD BY EOC 06/11/97 , 0815 PM, ID,BOISE,ADA,H, 0.00,HEAVY RAIN AND PEA- SIZED HAIL 06/11/97 , 0815 PM, NE,8 NNE STOCKVILLE,FRONTIER,H, 1.00,1.00 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0817 PM, ID,SODA SPRINGS,CARIBOU, , 0.00,HEAVY RAIN VISIBILITY DOWN TO 1/2 MILE 06/11/97 , 0820 PM, NE,BOELUS,HOWARD,H, 2.00,2.00 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0820 PM, NE,DANNEBROG,HOWARD, , 0.00,70 MPH TSTM GUST 06/11/97 , 0825 PM, NE,CAIRO,HALL,T, 0.00,TORNADO SPOTTER REPORT OF TORNADO JUST NORTH OF TOWN. MAJOR POWER LINE AND TREE DAMAGE REPORTED IN TOWN. A TRAILER MOVED FROM FOUNDATION. MAJOR DAMAGE TO AT LEAST ONE HOME NORTH OF TOWN. 06/11/97 , 0834 PM, ID,NEW MEADOWS,ADAMS,H, 0.00,PEA-SIZED HAIL 06/11/97 , 0836 PM, TX,5 S MCLEAN,DONLEY,H, 0.88,.88 INCH HAIL REPORTED BY ARES SPOTTER 06/11/97 , 0836 PM, TX,5 S MCLEAN,DONLEY,H, 0.88,0.88 INCH HAIL REPORTED BY ARES SPOTTER 06/11/97 , 0842 PM, TX,1 NW MCLEAN,GRAY,H, 0.75,0.75 INCH HAIL REPORTED BY FIRE DEPARTMENT 06/11/97 , 0843 PM, ID,GARDEN CITY,ADA, , 0.00,THUNDERSTORM WINDS DOWNED 20 FT LONG 1FT DIAMETER TREE LIMB. 06/11/97 , 0844 PM, NE,FRANKLIN,FRANKLIN, , 0.00,60 MPH TSTM GUST SOME POWER LINE AND TREE DAMAGE 06/11/97 , 0845 PM, TX,10 E QUAIL,COLLINGSWORTH,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL REPORTED BY SHERIFF OFFICE 06/11/97 , 0847 PM, TX,1 W MCLEAN,GRAY,T, 0.00,TORNADO REPORTED BY SHERIFF OFFICE 06/11/97 , 0848 PM, KS,PHILLIPSBURG,PHILLIPS,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0850 PM, NE,4 NW DONIPHAN,HALL,T, 0.00,TORNADO SPOTTER REPORT OF TORNADO NEAR I-80 AND HIGHWAY 281 INTERCHANGE 06/11/97 , 859 PM, TX,MCCAMEY,UPTON, , 0.00,60 MPH TSTM GUST REPORTED BY PUBLIC. LASTED ABOUT 5 MINUTES. 06/11/97 , 0900 PM, KS,HILL CITY,GRAHAM,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL REPORTED BY GRAHAM COUNTY SHERIFF'S OFFICE. 06/11/97 , 0904 PM, KS,4.5 MI SE OF HILL CITY,GRAHAM,T, 0.00,TORNADO CITIZEN REPORTED TORNADO ON THE GROUND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. 06/11/97 , 0905 PM, KS,SMITH CENTER,SMITH, , 0.00,60 MPH TSTM GUST 06/11/97 , 0918 PM, NE,6 ENE CHAMBERS,HOLT,H, 0.75,0.75 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 0944 PM, KS,HANSTON,HODGEMAN,H, 0.75,0.75 INCH HAIL KSN WEATHER WATCHER 06/11/97 , 0948 PM, KS,MANKATO,JEWELL, , 0.00,60 MPH TSTM GUST ESTIMATE NORTH OF TOWN 06/11/97 , 950 PM, TX,ROBY TX,FISHER,H, 0.00,DIME SIZE HAIL 06/11/97 , 954 PM, TX,ANSON TX,JONES, , 0.00,WINDS TO 60 MPH 06/11/97 , 1004 PM, KS,STOCKTON,ROOKS,H, 0.75,0.75 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 1010 PM, TX,5 S WELLINGTON,COLLINGSWORTH,T, 0.00,TORNADO REPORTED BY SHERIFF OFFICE 06/11/97 , 1014 PM, TX,12 W ANSON TX,JONES,T, 0.00,TORNADO REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT 06/11/97 , 1026 PM, TX,4 W LUEDER TX,JONES,T, 0.00,TORNADO REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT 06/11/97 , 1030 PM, TX,15 SE WELLINGTON,COLLINGSWORTH,T, 0.00,TORNADO REPORTED BY SHERIFF OFFICE 06/11/97 , 1030 PM, TX,5 N QUAIL,COLLINGSWORTH,F, 0.00,FLOODING CR 1547 CLOSED DUE TO 3-4 INCH RAINFALL REPORTED BY SHERIFF OFFICE. 06/11/97 , 1030 PM, TX,ABILENE TX,TAYLOR, , 0.00,50 TO 75 MPH WINDS IN NORTH SIDE OF CITY 06/11/97 , 1045 PM, TX,MERTZON TX,IRION, , 0.00,WINDS BROKE LARGE TREE BRANCHES 06/11/97 , 1106 PM, TX,ABILENE REGION AIRPORT TX,TAYLOR,G, 58.00,RECORDED WIND GUST OF 58 MPH 06/11/97 , 1117 PM, KS,10 N RUSSELL,RUSSELL,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL 06/11/97 , 1151 PM, KS,BROOKVILLE,SALINE, , 0.00,60 MPH TSTM GUST 06/12/97 , 0017 AM, KS,SUSANK,BARTON, , 0.00,60 MPH TSTM GUST 06/12/97 , 0045 AM, KS,BUSHTON,RICE, , 0.00,62 MPH TSTM GUST 06/12/97 , 0120 AM, KS,MC PHERSON,MCPHERSON, , 0.00,60 MPH TSTM GUST 06/12/97 , 0130 AM, KS,10 N HUTCHINSON,RENO,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL 06/12/97 , 0133 AM, KS,HUTCHINSON,RENO,H, 0.88,.88 INCH HAIL 06/12/97 , 0135 AM, KS,HUTCHINSON,RENO,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL 6/11/97 , 637 PM, KS,OZAWKIE,JEFFERSON /COR TO COUNTY/,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 12 Jun 1997 13:12:29 GMT From: Thomas Owens Subject: Data For $ale - the future? No wonder the gang on the other side of the pond was unhappy with our free distribution of the ECMWF output. Check out this info from the UKMET (their version of the NWS) web site. "The MetWEB site requires users to pre pay for books of virtual tickets. Each book of 20 tickets costs 10 pounds sterling and is individually numbered. Entry to the site costs 1 ticket, which provides access to a range of weather data at no additional cost for a period of 30 mins. Other information such as forecasts, requires payment of additional tickets." *note 10 pounds sterling = $16.38 US on 6/10 Here are some of the prices: Satellite images UK IR Image updated hourly 1 Ticket Rainfall Radar UK Rainfall radar image 2 Tickets Latest UK Forecast UK Weather update Free Surface Pressure Charts Today and Tomorrow 1 Ticket Day 2 and Day 3 Forecast Charts 1 Ticket Day 4 and Day 5 Forecast Charts 1 Ticket ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 12 Jun 1997 13:57:32 -0400 From: "Gregory A. Surplus" Subject: Re: Data For $ale - the future? At 01:12 PM 6/12/97 +0000, Thomas Owens scared me with: >"The MetWEB site requires users to pre pay for books of virtual tickets. >Each book of 20 tickets costs 10 pounds sterling and is individually >numbered. Entry to the site costs 1 ticket, which provides access to a range >of weather data at no additional cost for a period of 30 mins. Other >information such as forecasts, requires payment of additional tickets." >*note 10 pounds sterling = $16.38 US on 6/10 >Here are some of the prices: >Satellite images UK IR Image updated hourly 1 Ticket >Rainfall Radar UK Rainfall radar image 2 Tickets >Latest UK Forecast UK Weather update Free >Surface Pressure Charts Today and Tomorrow 1 Ticket >Day 2 and Day 3 Forecast Charts 1 Ticket >Day 4 and Day 5 Forecast Charts 1 Ticket Quick! Hide this before congress gets any ideas! Running out of tickets during severe weather might be a bit inconvenient. If this happened in the US I would probably try to get my hand stamped so that I could see all the products for one low price. Greg Surplus gsurplus@delphi.com ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 12 Jun 1997 13:31:00 -0500 From: "Padgett, James G." Subject: Caribbean Hurricanes (was Hurricane and Tornado Specials) On June 5, Eric Gross wrote in response to someone else's posting: (original posting) >> With the exception of Gilbert, there has been a notable absense of >>hurricanes, especially westward-moving hurricanes, in the Carribean. Eric's comments: >This is very true. There has been a decided absence of westward-moving, >classic hurricanes penetrating the Caribbean and reaching the Gulf of Mexico >over the past 30 or so years. I don't quite agree with the above statements. Actually during the 60's through the 80's, there was an increase in intense (Cat. 3+) hurricanes moving westward through the central Caribbean. Considering hurricanes which (1) moved westward south of the eastern tip of Hispaniola at least of TS intensity, and (2) which at some point became an intense hurricane (Cat. 3+)...from 1944 through 1965 the only cases were: (** indicates storm was of hurricane intensity in the Gulf of Mexico) Storm #4, 1944 Charlie, 1951 ** Hazel, 1954 Janet, 1955 ** Flora, 1963 Cleo, 1964 Since 1966 cases are: Inez, 1966 ** Beulah, 1967 ** Edith, 1971 ** Carmen, 1974 ** Greta, 1978 David, 1979 Frederic, 1979 ** Allen, 1980 ** Emily, 1987 Gilbert, 1988 ** Joan, 1988 This corresponds nicely with the increase in major landfalling U.S. Gulf Coast hurricanes starting in the 1960's. Between the Texas hurricane in August, 1942 and Hurricane Carla in 1961, the only major hurricane to make landfall on the U.S. Gulf Coast west of the Appalachicola area was the anomalously early Audrey in June, 1957. >From 1961 to 1985, they were a quite common event: Carla(61), Hilda(64), Betsy(65), Camille(69), Celia(70), Carmen(74), Eloise(75), Frederic(79), Allen(80), Alicia(83), Elena(85). Since 1985 the only ones have been Andrew(92) and Opal(95). With the exception of Betsy and Andrew, which entered the Gulf after crossing southern Florida, all these major Gulf coast storms either formed in the Gulf of Mexico or came by way of the Caribbean (here counting Elena which moved right over central Cuba). As far as the Gulf Coast of Mexico goes, the only intense hurricane to make landfall there from 1944-1965 was Charlie of 1951. The Best Track file shows Hilda of 1955 making landfall near Tampico as a Cat. 2 hurricane, although it had been at Cat. 3 intensity earlier in the Bay of Campeche. However, since 1966 the following hurricanes have struck the Gulf Coast of Mexico as intense hurricanes: Inez (66), Ella (70), Caroline (75), Anita (77), and Gilbert (88). Now considering hurricanes which passed north of Hispaniola and became intense hurricanes at some point in their tracks (without listing them all): 1944-1965 27 1966-1994 9 1995-1996 7 Again, this corresponds nicely with the large number of Florida and East Coast storms during the 1940's and 1950's, and the sharp decline of intense storms in these areas coincident with the sharp increase in big Gulf Coast storms in the 1960's through the 1980's. The increase seen in 1995 and 1996 may very well indicate Dr. Gray is right in forecasting a swing back to big East Coast storms in coming decades. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 12 Jun 1997 16:29:00 -0700 From: Grover_Prowell@NOTES.YMP.GOV Subject: Positive Lightning I am looking for a recent reference about positive lightning strikes. The reference should discuss their frequency in relation to negative strikes, the amount of charge contained in each strike, and any other relative characteristics. Grover Prowell, CCM ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 12 Jun 1997 21:20:04 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: SCH/NWS BUDGET UPDATE... Congressmen have been writing to complain about the DOC and NOAA short changing the NWS. They are trying to get the way the NWS is funded changed...by an internal review process from meteorologists, and not cronies who have no idea what's going on; they are also questioning the closure of NWS Southern Region Headquarters. Check out this important update on the SPC CUTS page at: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/spccuts.html Also there is a link to the copy of the letter sent to the DOC by members of Congress. Also, more chase reports have been added to the SCH reports page, a few links have been updated, and...most importantly...on the satellite image page...check out the new satellite-derived soundings, temperature, CAPE, LI and other analysis from NESDIS!!! All new links and REALLY awesome stuff, I might add. All linked on the SCH! Second night in a row Shamrock, TX and Wheeler county have been hit with a nasty supercell. Looks like a mean HP on radar, after evolving from a classic (inferring this from what I was seeing on the KAMA radar).As I write this, the meso is crossing I-40 not far from where the one last night crossed and did the damage with the large tornado. Hope a few chasers are on this one, and I really hope no one gets hit this time... Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 11 Jun 1997 to 12 Jun 1997 ************************************************** From - Sat Jun 14 13:19:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102519-18550>; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 13:14:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA150308; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 00:07:16 -0500 Message-Id: <199706140507.AAA150308@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Jun 1997 00:05:21 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 12 Jun 1997 to 13 Jun 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 38973b852d76790d640ff8c7758235d2 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 20958 Status: OR There are 8 messages totalling 439 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. positive lightning 2. Caribbean Category 5 hurricanes: The Time is Ripe (4) 3. El Nino: It's a-comin'! 4. Hey Weather Channel DORKS! 5. El Nino Page +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 13 Jun 1997 09:36:12 -0400 From: Mike Taube Subject: positive lightning Grover, Bob Weisman sent me the letter below regarding lightning. In it, he mentions a useful book. Perhaps this will help.. Mike Taube ------------------------------------------------------- > I am looking for a recent reference about positive lightning strikes. > The reference should discuss their frequency in relation to negative > strikes, the amount of charge contained in each strike, and any other > relative characteristics. > > Grover Prowell, CCM ------------------------------------------------- Mike, In a nutshell (and I can suggest books like Martin Uman's "Understanding Lightning" to help), lightning is caused by charge separation when ice crystals and supercooled water droplets collide in a cloud. The ice crystals carry positive charge to the top of the cloud and the water droplets carry negative charge to the bottom. This is where the charge separation occurs. Then, when the potential is highest, the cloud drops an invisible charge down to the surface (a "dart leader"). This negative charge induces a positive charge at the surface and then, the spark is returned to the cloud (the "return stroke"--the visible portion of the lightning, although the branching that we see is the path of the dart leader). Once a channel is cleared, more charge can be exchanged between the cloud and the ground (subsequent strokes), each comprised of a dart leader and return stroke. The whole thing is termed a "lightning flash." This whole process is screwed up by the existence of positive flashes which lower positive charge to ground (the above example works for the negative charge in the lower cloud after separation). One theory is that there is a center of positive charge at the base of the cloud (why? I haven't heard a good explanation for this). Another is the "shear theory," which says that the positively-charged upper cloud races ahead of the negatively-charged lower cloud so that the upper cloud can exchange charge with the ground. That's the one I was trying to explain. Then, there's cloud-to-cloud and intercloud flashes which reach from the negative charge center of the cloud to the positive charge center of the same cloud or another cloud. If you have more specific questions, please ask. Otherwise, I recommend you getting Uman's book as noted above or looking up the topic of lightning in a college text such as Ahrens' "Meteorology Today." This would help focus future questions so that I can give you brief, understandable answers. Bob Weisman ======================================================================== ===== Bob Weisman, Professor/Meteorologist SUPERVISOR: Shirley (age 5) Earth Sciences Department PHONE: (320) 255-3247 MS 48 FAX: (320) 255-4262 Saint Cloud State University EMAIL: scsweisman@tigger.stcloud. 720 4th Avenue South msus.edu Saint Cloud, Minnesota 56301-4498 "Ten years of college education, three degrees, and you still don't have a drop of common sense." -My Grandmother (to guess who) ======================================================================== ===== ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 13 Jun 1997 13:20:47 GMT From: Eric Gross Subject: Re: Caribbean Category 5 hurricanes: The Time is Ripe > Does anyone know if Camille was penetrated by hunter aircraft during >maximum intensity? (When did they start doing that, anyway?) Aircraft have been flying around and into hurricanes regularly since about 1945. Camille was penetrated on several ocassions by recon aircraft. However, I don't believe the eye was penetrated during her likely period of maximum intensity. > Camille's 190mph winds don't correlate with a pressure of 905mb, in >contrast to Gilbert's 175-180mph at 888mb, especially if pressure drops >are considered to precede wind increases. Correct, the 190mph sustained figures were estimates made at the time. In later years evaluations made of the methodology for deriving MSW's from LCP's made it apparent that MSW's had been over-estimated for most severe storms during the past two/three decades. However, when talking about wind and damage, it is very important to realize that most of the worst wind damage done in a hurricane apparently derives from relatively brief periods of high wind velocities that exceed the MSW. "Normal" gusts frequently exceed the MSW by a factor of 20 to 30%. MSW's are usually defined as the fastest mile of wind, or more frequently, the maximum sustained velocity for one minute (observed or averaged.) A gust, however, can usually exert maximum aerodynamic pressure on most structures in a period of six to seven seconds. Small-scale flow effects at the surface in the eyewall of a hurricane also apparently can produce all manner of micro-eddies, turbulent flows, terrain-related funneling, etc., that produces localized areas of anomalously high wind, even above "normal" gusts. Such areas of streaky, extreme damage were especially noted in Andrew. The terrible truth of the matter is that flow regime along the surface in a major hurricane is a very complex place, one that we cannot yet accurately model, and one that we do not have the capability to fully investigate with instrumentation, for a number of reasons. In short, we still have a lot to learn about how hurricanes interact with their environment! In the Miami area during Andrew, there were thousands of structures not built to code -- this is true anywhere where there is building code. Corruption and laziness take their toll, as does the simple fact that with municipal budgets under pressure, so few inspectors and so many structures, there is no way each and every building can be thoroughly inspected. On top of this, however, are the above mentioned facts about the incredible variation in windflow at any given point within the eyewall of a hurricane. A house may be built to withstand a code-specified sustained wind of 120 miles an hour; however, a 115 mph hurricane can produce gusts in excess of 140 miles an hour, and a gust of that magnitude sustained over five seconds has a good chance of seriously damaging, if not destroying the structure. It's not a simple world out there. . . . >+--+--+ >Scott Erb: university professor and thief at-large. ><5maaac$27l8$4@sol.caps.maine.edu>, scotterb@maine.maine.edu >"If someone needs to take something from someone who is wealthy >in order to survive, it would be morally just to do so" >"I'll just rely on the force of government to keep you guys in line >and paying your taxes. Whine away on the internet if you feel better." ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 13 Jun 1997 14:02:48 GMT From: Eric Gross Subject: Re: Caribbean Category 5 hurricanes: The Time is Ripe > By your reckoning, that's a difference of 5kt msw at landfall, not >really enough to explain the order of magnitude greater damage with >Andrew. I think you may be laboring under a misunderstanding about the nature of hurricanes. Frederick may be listed with 115-knot sustained winds at landfall, and Andrew with 120-knot winds, but the two storms were nearly an order of magnitude apart in their intrinsic ability to cause havoc and destruction. There is a *great* deal of difference between a hurricane with an LCP of 946 mb and one with an LCP of 922 millibars! It's all a question of energy. First of all, Frederick probably didn't exert sustained 115 knot winds over a large area, and certainly not far inland. It's been awhile since I perused the records, but I believe the maximum recorded wind at a surface station was a gust to about 125 knots on the Dauphin Island Bridge/Causeway. This was fairly near the area where the maximum winds should have been. Now, that's a respectable gust, certrainly, but a hurricane with sustained winds of 115 knots should produce "normal" gusts in the range of 135 to 145 knots, and from what we are learning from Andrew, smaller areas of wind even higher. To my knowledge, no areas of winds of this magnitude could be confirmed from evaluation of damage. (Doesn't mean it didn't happen, though.) Anyway, I think it far more likely that Frederick's sustained winds at landfall were about 110 knots. O.k., be that as it may, regardless of the difference in knots between MSW between Frederick and Andrew, the *real* important factor is the difference in central pressure. A hurricane "creates" it's driving energy by the difference between the pressure at its core and the surrounding environmental pressure. The greater the difference, the greater the total energy of the system. A hurricane with an LCP of 946 (Frederick) is powerful and capable of doing considerable damage. A hurricane with an LCP of 922mb (Andrew) is extreme and capable of doing far more, because it has far more energy to work with. This difference in available energy manifests itself in several ways. Obviously, the sustained wind will be higher, and thus maximum gusts (likely the real mechanism behind a lot of the worst wind damage associated with hurricanes) will be worse. In addition, the greater amount of energy available can sustain higher winds over a larger area for longer periods of time. Beyond all this, we are learning that the windflow at the surface level in the eyewall region is an *extremely* complex thing with a number of phenomena at a small scale which can produce "anomalously" high winds at any given location. It also seems that the more energy involved with a hurricane (the more intense it is) the more frequent and powerful these local phenomena can be. To make a comparison to the world of geology, the commonly-used Richter scale uses numbers to represent an essentially logarithmic increase in the amount of energy released in earthquakes,*based upon the magnitude of ground motion.* Unfortunately, a limitation of the Richter scale is that once you reach a rating of about 7.0, the magnitude of ground motion actually doesn't increase appreciably with more energetic quakes. So, seismologists use another scale, the moment-magnitude scale, which more directly equates to the amount of energy realeased by an event. So, what does this mean and what does it have to do with hurricanes? Well, if you experienced two extreme earthquakes at the epicenter, one of moment magnitude 7.0 and one of moment magnitude 9.0, you likely wouldn't be able to tell to much difference between them in terms of the physical movements of the earth (they would both be wrath-of God type events.) However, the 9.0 would be capable of far more destruction, because the greater energy released translates into a longer *period* of shaking and a much larger *area* where extreme shaking is taking place. Now, in terms of hurricanes, there is a parallel there between storms like Frederic and Andrew. If you had been on Dauphin Island and in Homestead for each storm (and you surived) you might not actually be able to discern a great deal of difference between the wind effects (sound, violence, etc.) but you likely would notice a difference in the nature of extreme gusts, the time duration of severe winds, etc. Now, all of this is complicated by the fact that hurricanes have the added variables of physical size and speed of movement thrown in, but I hope you get the general picture. A storm of 922mb has far more available energy to work with. In the realm of buildings and wind-related damage, there often is a very, very small margin between a structure's survival and severe damage/failure, and that added 20 miles an hour to a gust, or the added five minutes of extreme winds, or the extra four or five seconds to the period of an extreme gust can make that difference. Lastly, but not unimportantly, all that extra energy means the storm is going to remain strong and viable for a longer period of time as it moves over land. We are learning that major hurricanes (witness Hugo, Andrew, Fran and Opal) have the capacity to bring destructive winds inland for great distances . . . .) So, apologies for the long post, but I hope this helps you. When looking at a hurricane's capacity to inflict destruction, it is often more helpful to consider the central pressure, rather than the maximum sustained wind speed. The lower the pressure, the more energy the system has to expend. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 13 Jun 1997 12:35:19 -0400 From: J Subject: El Nino: It's a-comin'! I have received an advanced notice from NOAA/CPC that state that "a major El Nino event similar to the 1982-3 event is developing". This should be released to the media next week. Meantime the rest of us can only guess at what it's impact might be. As you know, there is some theoretical relationship between major El Nino years and a lack of atlantic hurricanes (what a shame too, just as the media hype on hurricanes was peaking this summer ;)). For more info on El Nino in general: http://www.pmel.noaa.gov/toga-tao/el-nino And its relationship to US landfall hurricanes: http://www.coaps.fsu.edu:80/~richards/paper.html ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 13 Jun 1997 00:24:32 GMT From: Sim Aberson Subject: Re: Caribbean Category 5 hurricanes: The Time is Ripe In article , Michael-Schneider. wrote: >> > The ability to read a satellite image is a learned skill. >> > IMHO, I'm pretty damn good at it. ;-) Sometime you have to stare and >> >stare and stare at a loop over and over again until subtle nuances >> >manifest. >> >> I highly doubt that you're more skilled than the TSAF people in Miami, >> who are trained specifically to use the Dvorak technique to assess >> tropical cyclone intensity. If you are more skilled, you're needed >> there. > > They certainly seem to screw up often enough (witness remark the other >day from a guy in another thread concerning the "tropical depression" with >the "central cloud-free area" (eye!). I'd like to see documentation of this. First of all, TSAF intensity estimates and classifications are not available to the public. Nor are satellite estimates from NCEP. >snip >> Tip's maximum sustained winds on 12 Oct 1979 were 190 mph (165 kt). The >> storms listed above had maximum sustained winds according to official >> reports from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center of 185 mph or greater. > > This drift from mph to kph and back is making my head hurt. kph is kilometers per hour, which I'm not using. All official tropical cyclone intensities are given in kt, nautical miles per hour. That is the scientific standard. To get mph from kt, multiple by 1.15 for a very good estimate. >> > I'm still not following you. In order for outer-eyewall subsidence to >> >disturb inner eyewall convection, it would have to subside on the eyeward >> >side (which would be bucking the anticyclone outflow aloft). There is >> >subsidence in the eye of course, but the eye is a centrifugal feature, not >> >a high pressure zone. >> >> I don't know what you mean by centrifugal feature. > > If hurricanes didn't rotate rapidly, they wouldn't have eyes (as do >tornados, whirlpools and any sufficiantly intense vortex). Tornadoes and whirlpools have eyes? >Air subsides in >a hurricane's eye because the eye is there - not to create the eye. I've suggested a number of times that you read the Tropical Cyclone FAQ. Now would be a very good time. It would save you from making incorrect statements. -- "I want my dying words to be 'Fuck you.'" -- Mike Jankulak's review of _Blood and Wine_ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 13 Jun 1997 00:18:20 GMT From: Sim Aberson Subject: Re: Caribbean Category 5 hurricanes: The Time is Ripe In article , Michael-Schneider. wrote: >In article , Robert Krawitz > wrote: >> aberson@typhon.aoml.erl.gov (Sim Aberson) writes: >> >> > According to my records, there were the following storms as stronger >> > than Gilbert in the West Pacific: >> > >> > 1952: Olive, Wilma, Hester >> > 1953: Nina >> > 1955: Ruth >> > 1956: Wanda >> > 1957: Lola >> > 1958: Phyllis, Grace, Ida >> > 1959: Joan, Sarah, Vera >> > 1961: Nancy, Violet >> > 1962: Ruth, Karen >> > 1964: Sally, Louise, Opal >> > 1965: Dinah >> > 1966: Kit >> > 1967: Carla >> > 1973: Nora >> > 1975: June >> > 1979: Tip >> > >> > My records end in the middle-1980s. This averages less than one per >> > year, but this is not an infrequent occurrence. > > In what way were they stronger than Gilbert? Their winds, as you say, measured in 5 kt increments, were the same as Gilbert's and their central pressure was lower. These storms were measured by aircraft when regular reconnaissance was done in the Pacific. > The strongest storm I've ever heard of was Tip, with msw of 180mph, >only 5mph faster that Gilbert's 175mph msw (and I've heard some say >Gilbert peaked at 180mph msw as well, and have also heard same for Allen). Gilbert's maximum intensity was 160 kt (about 184 mph) with pressure of 888 mb. Allen's maximum intensity was 165 kt (about 190 mph) with pressure of 899 mb. So, according to official best track from the National Hurricane Center, Allen had stronger winds than Gilbert at peak. Tip had maximum winds of 165 kt and minimum central pressure of 871 mb, so it was quite a lot stronger than either Allen or Gilbert. >> I thought there was a decision that the estimated wind speeds in >> westpac storms through the early 1970's or so were later determined to >> be quite a bit too high. > > "Estimated..."? Ahah.... Gilbert's were measured. All hurricane winds are estimated unless the eye goes over a buoy or a city. Otherwise, maximum winds are estimated by satellite or aircraft reconnaissance. Central pressure is directly measured by dropsondes from aircraft. > Do they do *any* measurment of Pacific storms by aircraft? No, except during special scientific experiments. -- "I want my dying words to be 'Fuck you.'" -- Mike Jankulak's review of _Blood and Wine_ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 13 Jun 1997 00:07:09 GMT From: Sim Aberson Subject: Re: Hey Weather Channel DORKS! In article , Michael-Schneider. wrote: > As another poster observed, TWC (or whomever) is not allowed to compete >with the NWS when it comes to the issuanance of watches or warnings. This >is akin to the USPS' legal monopoly on the delivery of first class mail. >Why such laws, unless beaurocrats see a *financial incentive* to >protecting their little fiefdoms from competition? The laws exist because it is in both the government's interest and in the public interest to not have conflicting weather forecasts when life and property are in danger. It can't get any more simple than that. -- "I want my dying words to be 'Fuck you.'" -- Mike Jankulak's review of _Blood and Wine_ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 13 Jun 1997 21:19:42 -0700 From: Jan Null Subject: El Nino Page With the upcoming NOAA press conference (Tues 6/17) about the current staus of El Nino, I have added an El Nino Page to the NWS San Francisco Homepage. Regards, jan @@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@ @ Jan Null, CCM email: jnull@home.com @ @ Lead Forecaster, Webmaster jan.null@.noaa.gov @ @ National Weather Service voice: 408-656-1710 @ @ San Francisco Bay Area fax: 408-656-1747 @ @ Web Homepage: http://nws.mbay.net/ @ @@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 12 Jun 1997 to 13 Jun 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Jun 16 01:02:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102468-22648>; Sun, 15 Jun 1997 13:14:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA153032; Sun, 15 Jun 1997 00:07:46 -0500 Message-Id: <199706150507.AAA153032@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Jun 1997 00:03:15 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 13 Jun 1997 to 14 Jun 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 0a0fc15f7c57e85fb4db8b7f5cb99aa9 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2258 Status: OR There is one message totalling 40 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Caribbean Category 5 hurricanes: The Time is Ripe +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 14 Jun 1997 13:33:49 GMT From: Gene Nygaard Subject: Re: Caribbean Category 5 hurricanes: The Time is Ripe cz771@freenet6.carleton.ca (Sim Aberson) wrote: >>snip >>> Tip's maximum sustained winds on 12 Oct 1979 were 190 mph (165 kt). The >>> storms listed above had maximum sustained winds according to official >>> reports from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center of 185 mph or greater. >> >> This drift from mph to kph and back is making my head hurt. >kph is kilometers per hour, which I'm not using. All official tropical >cyclone intensities are given in kt, nautical miles per hour. That is >the scientific standard. To get mph from kt, multiple by 1.15 for a >very good estimate. What makes knots "the" scientific standard? How about the "standard" for METAR aviation weather reports, which is none of the units you have mentioned, but metres per second (it's a standard that is deviated from more often than it is followed, with many countries having filed exceptions to this standard because of some supposed national requirement to use either km/h or kt instead). The other person's head ought to be spinning. But it is primarily one country that is holding up a reduction of the confusion by eliminating one of these four units of speed--it is mostly the United States which uses statute miles per hour. Gene Nygaard *************************************************** # At the present time, however, the metrical system # is the only system known that has the ghost of a # chance of being adopted universally by the world. # -- Alexander Graham Bell,1906 ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 13 Jun 1997 to 14 Jun 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Jun 16 13:22:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102467-21978>; Mon, 16 Jun 1997 13:22:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA45982; Mon, 16 Jun 1997 00:13:10 -0500 Message-Id: <199706160513.AAA45982@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Jun 1997 00:05:29 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 14 Jun 1997 to 15 Jun 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 21b4b12ebd17efdb8afad11c8bdbcec8 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3356 Status: OR There are 2 messages totalling 65 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 13 Jun 1997 to 14 Jun 1997 2. Positive Lightning +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 15 Jun 1997 17:56:32 -0400 From: Greg Machos Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 13 Jun 1997 to 14 Jun 1997 Hello there. Carribbean Category Five Hurricanes-The Time is Ripe Hello there everyone. I have been reading some of the info on Hurricanes from this mailing list, and noticed some discussion on Hurricane Camille and Typhoon Tip. Typhoon Tip was the most powerful storm to exist since records have been taken. It's barometric pressure was 870 mb which was even lower than Hurricane Gilbert's which was about 888/889 mb (Lowest in the Atlantic Basin). You have to also take into consideration that the waters in the Pacific are probably much warmer than in the Atlantic since they can have storms all year round. Another interesting fact that I wanted to point out was the events of this hurricane season so far. Most of the action has been in the Pacific Ocean with Tropical Storms Andres and Blanca in the Eastern Pacific Rim, but the real headlines are taking place farther west with the Super Typhoon Nestor, unusual for June, and a major hurricane (cyclone) occurring in the Southern Hemisphere. The latter event is even more of a rarity because of the fact that Kelly was a major hurricane while the Southern Hemisphere was a week away from winter. That's equivalent to having an Atlantic Hurricane of Category Three or better occurring as late as December 15th! Looks like the El Nino is taking shape. What will that mean for the Atlantic? Well, I wouldn't be surprised that Professor Gray has to bring down the numbers on his forecast in Atlantic for the next report in August, 1997. Well, I will see you all later. Greg Machos http://members.aol.com/hurctrack/HurcTrack.index.html ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 13 Jun 1997 13:53:17 GMT From: Brian Curran Subject: Re: Positive Lightning On Thu, 12 Jun 1997 16:29:00 -0700, Grover_Prowell@NOTES.YMP.GOV wrote: > I am looking for a recent reference about positive lightning strikes. > The reference should discuss their frequency in relation to negative > strikes, the amount of charge contained in each strike, and any other > relative characteristics. I believe the August 1995 _Monthly Weather Review_ issue should help with the relationship between positive ground flashes and severe weather. The references with each paper will be a good start for a literature search on the physical characteristics of the positive ground flash. > Grover Prowell, CCM bc -- Brian Curran ebcurran@flash.net I speak for myself and for no one else. See the First Amendment for details. "Tenants of the house,/Thoughts of a dry brain in a dry season." -- T. S. Eliot ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 14 Jun 1997 to 15 Jun 1997 ************************************************** From - Tue Jun 17 17:09:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102802-12418>; Tue, 17 Jun 1997 13:13:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA266218; Tue, 17 Jun 1997 00:04:54 -0500 Message-Id: <199706170504.AAA266218@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Jun 1997 00:01:29 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 15 Jun 1997 to 16 Jun 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 3f61158984b25f1f9d5e528428997fb9 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 5451 Status: OR There are 7 messages totalling 133 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. lightning and Discover (2) 2. FW: Caribbean Category 5 hurricanes: The Time is Ripe 3. Caribbean Category 5 hurricanes: The Time is Ripe 4. weather wire 5. ASOS Commissioning Notice 6. hurricane in Guadeloupe +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 16 Jun 1997 09:17:20 -0400 From: Mike Taube Subject: lightning and Discover Discover magazine has an interesting article about various phenomena occurring above thunderstorms. It's worth a read ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 16 Jun 1997 10:08:00 -0500 From: "Padgett, James G." Subject: FW: Caribbean Category 5 hurricanes: The Time is Ripe >---------- >From: Sim Aberson >To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK >Subject: Re: Caribbean Category 5 hurricanes: The Time is Ripe >Date: Thursday, June 12, 1997 7:24PM >I'd like to see documentation of this. First of all, TSAF intensity >estimates and classifications are not available to the public. Nor are >satellite estimates from NCEP. The satellite classifications (Dvorak T-numbers) are indeed often quoted in the tropical cyclone discussion bulletins. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 16 Jun 1997 13:24:52 GMT From: Eric Gross Subject: Re: Caribbean Category 5 hurricanes: The Time is Ripe >This is all far too complicated, and not exactly accurate. Energy is >based solely on the the square of wind speed. While wind speed is >correlated with pressure, it's, as you said, the pressure gradient >that's important. Yes, forgive me for being colloquial. Not being a meteorologist, I often get in trouble that way. The point I was trying to make is the latter one -- that the pressure gradient is indeed the driving force. >The factors that made Andrew so much more destructive were the fact that >Andrew was rapidly intensifying at landfall, it was stronger to begin >with, it was moving rapidly allowing destructive winds to move further >inland than expected, and that it had mesovortices on top of the larger >vortex structure which caused higher gusts. I thought I said that :) ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 16 Jun 1997 11:53:27 -0700 From: Chris Sells Subject: weather wire I'm using a software program called winwire. It's suppose to emulate the noaa weather with the exception of it gets data from the internet instead of a satellite. Has anyone ever used the software? And if so, could you tell me how to get the internet connection up and running? And if not, does anyone know if there's a program that will do that? Thanks Chris Sells amateur radio operator ac4lm ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 16 Jun 1997 16:06:27 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site became an ASOS commissioned site at 1800 UTC on 16 June 1997. NANTUCKET MEMORIAL AIRPORT (KACK) NANTUCKET... MA Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 16 Jun 1997 16:02:36 GMT From: Sim Aberson Subject: Re: hurricane in Guadeloupe In article <33A2D645.361F@virtualaccess.net>, HUC joel wrote: >We are tow hurricane observer's in french island of Guadeloupe and had >an amount of observations,relations, studies, photographs... on >hurriacnes, particullary thoses which had strike this island since 1928, >and those we have lived: Betsy, Cleo, Inez, David, Hugo, Luis, Marilyn. > >We hope to complete our data on the following one's. > - The Big Hurricane of 1780 in the carribean(a category v ?) > - The ferious one of 1825 A good place to start with these two is the book Early American Hurricanes 1492-1970 by David M. Ludlum, available from the American Meteorological Society. ISBN 0-933876-16-5. AMS 45 Beacon Street Boston, MA 02108-3693 > - The summary of N. Atlantique hurricanes seasons of 1994 and 1995 >issued in "Monthly weather review", and also the summury of tropical >disturbances for the same years in the same bulletin These can be obtained by writing the National Hurricane Center. Unfortunately, I can't access their web page because of computer problems, so I can't get their address. Can someone else get it? -- "I want my dying words to be 'Fuck you.'" -- Mike Jankulak's review of _Blood and Wine_ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 16 Jun 1997 21:47:05 -0400 From: Greg King Subject: Re: lightning and Discover Anton Seimon (Siemon?) in Colorado (Formerly of SUNY) has been doing some phenominal research regarding the correlation between positive lightning activity in supercells and significant F4 and F5 Tornados. He has had an article published in the AMS about two or three years ago, but haven't been able to locate it yet. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 15 Jun 1997 to 16 Jun 1997 ************************************************** From - Wed Jun 18 14:45:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102691-11327>; Wed, 18 Jun 1997 13:44:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA201126; Wed, 18 Jun 1997 00:05:04 -0500 Message-Id: <199706180505.AAA201126@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Jun 1997 00:01:06 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 16 Jun 1997 to 17 Jun 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 341b512bb4b8086b63bff574d6c4060c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 4638 Status: OR There are 6 messages totalling 127 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Speaking of lightning 2. Tornados 3. FW: Caribbean Category 5 hurricanes: The Time is Ripe 4. WeatherWatch magazine/Editors NEEDED! 5. Mid-Atlantic Weather mailing list 6. weather indicator +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 17 Jun 1997 08:39:38 -0500 From: dptodey@IASTATE.EDU Subject: Speaking of lightning Since we have been discussing lightning.... Article in today's Des Moines Register about how an apparent lightning atrike killed 45 head of cattle on SUnday. It seems that cattle will bunch up under trees during storms. It is common for 1 or 2 to be killed, but 45 is very extreme. Sorry to hear this for the farmer. Some cattle just never follow severe weather guidelines. :) Dennis Todey dptodey@iastate.edu ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 17 Jun 1997 09:06:20 CDT From: DeWayne Mitchell Subject: Tornados I'm forwarding this message for this chap. Can anyone help?? ----- Begin Included Message ----- >From wmgehrs@juno.com Mon Jun 16 21:54:59 1997 Date: Mon, 16 Jun 1997 21:02:18 EST Subject: Tornados X-Mailer: Juno 1.15 X-Juno-Line-Breaks: 0,2-5 From: wmgehrs@juno.com (William C Gehrs) Content-Length: 156 Hello, I am researching the radio frequency/electromagnetic signature of tornados. Are you aware of any previously collected data? Thank you, William Gehrs ----- End Included Message ----- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 16 Jun 1997 23:16:16 GMT From: Sim Aberson Subject: Re: FW: Caribbean Category 5 hurricanes: The Time is Ripe In article , Padgett, James G. wrote: >The satellite classifications (Dvorak T-numbers) are indeed often quoted >in the tropical cyclone discussion bulletins. Sometimes they are, thought the full bulletins concerning how the numbers are calculated are not given in the discussion bulletins. It's that to what I was referring. -- "I want my dying words to be 'Fuck you.'" -- Mike Jankulak's review of _Blood and Wine_ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 17 Jun 1997 18:06:46 -0700 From: William Hipkins Subject: WeatherWatch magazine/Editors NEEDED! If you like weather, than you'll like WeatherWatch magazine! For subscription information and a FREE sample issue, visit us at: http://www.weatherstore.com or call 888-282-2318 (FREE call too!) ===================================================================== Do you like weather so much, you'd like to WRITE about it?! Well we might just want you, visit the WeatherWatch magazine home page above and click on EMPLOYMENT (We might need you) for more information. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 17 Jun 1997 18:11:39 -0700 From: William Hipkins Subject: Mid-Atlantic Weather mailing list Post your local observations for all to see! This mailing list allows you to join (FREE), post your local weather data (FREE) and view other weather data up and down the east coast (ALSO FREE). For more information send email to: TO: wxobs-mda-request@greatbasin.com SUBJ: INFO INFO or visit our web site at http://www.weatherstore.com/wxobsmda.htm This list is for the states of New York south to North Carolina. Hope to see you soon!!! ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 17 Jun 1997 21:26:47 GMT From: Bill Gross Subject: Re: weather indicator packer@clark.net (Charles Packer) wrote: >In article <33A5AE62.48482D16@miningco.com>, >Joseph Bartlo wrote: >>Jim Meritt wrote: >>> For example, I am aware of dinosaur footprints in mud. Are there any >>> fossilized craters caused by raindrops in mud? >> >>I'm looking for a live dinosaur so we can give the land >>back to them instead of the Indians ;) > > >Seems like an interesting question to me. Why the flippant >response? >-- Because this in the internet. Did you expect more in a newsgroup? At least this is a moderated listserver. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 16 Jun 1997 to 17 Jun 1997 ************************************************** From - Thu Jun 19 14:42:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102640-8766>; Thu, 19 Jun 1997 13:14:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA74420; Thu, 19 Jun 1997 00:06:03 -0500 Message-Id: <199706190506.AAA74420@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Jun 1997 00:00:18 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 17 Jun 1997 to 18 Jun 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 182588f985539e63e162a4163fb3823e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 7674 Status: OR There are 7 messages totalling 185 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Interesting LSR--Hail 2. ASOS Commissioning Notice 3. SCH ADMINISTRIVIA: Downtime 4. Severe Weather Resource 5. Swirl in the clouds... 6. reply to William Gehrs 7. WX-TALK Digest - 16 Jun 1997 to 17 Jun 1997 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 18 Jun 1997 01:46:38 -0400 From: "Gregory A. Surplus" Subject: Interesting LSR--Hail I was looking through some LSR's and came across this... >ZCZC DD+ 63203 >WWUS30 KTUL 180328 >LSRTUL > >PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT >NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK >1025 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 1997 > >TIME(CDT) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... > ....COUNTY LOCATION.... > >0615 PM 3 N EUFALA OK 5.00 INCH HAIL >06/16/97 TULSA HAIL SIZE ESTIMATED > BETWEEN 5 AND 5.5 IN. > HAILSTONE SAVED IN > FREEZER. > >0615 PM 5 N EUFALA OK 4.50 INCH HAIL >06/16/97 TULSA WENT THROUGH ROOF OF > HOUSE AND CAR WIND- > SHIELDS > Stubborn hail or weak roof? Remember those hail helmets! ********************************************************************** *Greg Surplus Microg's MD Weather Homepage * *gsurplus@delphi.com http://people.delphi.com/gsurplus/ * * * *Latest wxobs-mda map: http://people.delphi.com/gsurplus/wxobsmda.gif* *Past week: http://people.delphi.com/gsurplus/climate.html#WXOBS * ********************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 18 Jun 1997 01:59:13 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site became a commissioned ASOS site at 1800 UTC on 17 June 1997. MARTHAS VINEYARD AIRPORT (KMVY) VINEYARD HAVEN... MA Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 18 Jun 1997 05:17:58 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: SCH ADMINISTRIVIA: Downtime It took us a while, but the day is now fast approaching. We (NIU web site, including the weather pages, Storm Chaser Homepage, and all weather information associated with our site) will be down all day Saturday and possibly Sunday as well as we perform an operating system upgrade on our main machine, taiga. We have no idea if anything will work when we come back up, so recompiling all our programs (including our web server) will likely take additional time. I'll try to keep you posted using an alternate account. We apologize for the inconvenience and the relatively short notice. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 18 Jun 1997 10:38:14 -0600 From: "Steven E. Hall" Subject: Severe Weather Resource For those interested in severe weather, the latest edition of the NOAA Severe Storm Spotters Guide is now online. More than 150 photographs of severe wx phenomena, helpful diagrams and explanatory text, all cross-linked to relevant resources from WW2010's collection of instructional modules. This resource can be accessed at http://ww2010.atmos.uiuc.edu/(Gh)/guides/mtr/svr/home.rxml If you haven't been there lately, might be worth a visit. ------------------------------------------------------- Steven E. Hall and David Wojtowicz WW2010 (the weather world 2010 project) http://ww2010.atmos.uiuc.edu/ Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign 105 S. Gregory Urbana, IL 61801 ww2010@atmos.uiuc.edu -------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 18 Jun 1997 12:22:28 +22304908 From: Matthew Lazzara Subject: Swirl in the clouds... Thanks to Tom Yoksas at UNIDATA, who noted some "interesting" features near 134 West and 29 North via GOES-9, there is an image and a Java animation of a unique set of cyclonic vortices. To view them go to: http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/misc/970617.html Matthew --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Matthew Lazzara - Meteorologist Space Science and Engineering Center E-mail: mattl@ssec.wisc.edu University of Wisconsin-Madison Phone: (608) 262-0436 1225 West Dayton Street, Madison, WI 53706 Fax: (608) 263-6738 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 19 Jun 1997 04:36:00 GMT From: David Jones Subject: reply to William Gehrs I am also interested in electromagnetic radiation of a tornado and was lucky to have recorded audio-frequency radio during three nearby tornadoes. The obvious result of these recordings are radio whistlers. I cannot prove however, they are related to the tornadoes. I have had no whistlers at all from other nearby rotating storms. An acquaitance noted a change in vhf noise, time correlated to touchdown of a tornado which damaged the Georgia governor's mansion. This was a long time ago. I haven't searched but suspect additional info may be at: http://www-star.stanford.edu/~vlf/ The current research into red sprites and blue jets would benefit from radio recordings made at the same time. Such energetic electrical discharges must certainly have characteristic radio emissions. David Jones ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 19 Jun 1997 00:13:43 -0600 From: Jim Burgan Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 16 Jun 1997 to 17 Jun 1997 >Date: Tue, 17 Jun 1997 08:39:38 -0500 >From: dptodey@IASTATE.EDU >Subject: Speaking of lightning > >Since we have been discussing lightning.... >Article in today's Des Moines Register about how an apparent >lightning atrike killed 45 head of cattle on SUnday. It seems >that cattle will bunch up under trees during storms. It is >common for 1 or 2 to be killed, but 45 is very extreme. >Sorry to hear this for the farmer. >Some cattle just never follow severe weather guidelines. :) >Dennis Todey >dptodey@iastate.edu I too am sorry for the farmers, but I'll bet they all enjoyed home - made Big Macs on the range... ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 17 Jun 1997 to 18 Jun 1997 ************************************************** From - Fri Jun 20 15:57:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102724-5950>; Fri, 20 Jun 1997 13:40:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA264084; Fri, 20 Jun 1997 00:01:49 -0500 Message-Id: <199706200501.AAA264084@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Jun 1997 00:00:09 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 18 Jun 1997 to 19 Jun 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: e85fd61678941333c48f0a21c2b9e54c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 8218 Status: OR There are 5 messages totalling 177 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Sim Aberson please read this 2. Weather data users... 3. Data outage update... 4. High Plains Conference 5. IBM Software for Weather Data +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 13 Jun 1997 18:51:28 GMT From: Chris Novy Subject: Sim Aberson please read this I am posting this message via the bit.listserv.wx-talk gateway in hopes of reaching Sim Aberson --who is bouncing WX-TALK e-mail. Sim, your e-mail address in your postings appears as follows: DNS says typhoon.amol.erl.gov is an invalid domain name and any messages sent to you end up in a horrible mail loop. For this reason LISTSERV has served you out --meaning any messages you post to WX-TALK (either directly or via NetNews) are being rejected. The messages you are sending to bit.listserv.wx-talk *are* making it through (this is not supposed to happen). The end result is that people receiving WX-TALK via e-mail are not seeing your messages. They are, however, seeing the replies people are sending concerning your messages. This makes for a confusing situation. Sim, please send me e-mail at chris@siu.edu and include a valid e-mail return address and/or a phone number where I can reach you. I suspect there are other people having problems sending you e-mail and you may not be aware of it. ..Chris.. (Owner WX-TALK/bit.listserv.wx-talk) ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 19 Jun 1997 10:09:38 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Weather data users... We've just been notified by Alden that the NWS just had a bad computer crash. No data is getting through, period. No idea what the problem is, or how long it will last. That means THE STORM MACHINE and all non-NWS weather sites providing surface and upper air plots/model data will not update for now... Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 19 Jun 1997 10:28:31 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Data outage update... Just got off the horn with the NWS. At 10:15 AM the NWS telecommunications gateway said they were trying to get back up soon, but as of 10:30Am they are still down. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 19 Jun 1997 13:49:33 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: High Plains Conference I received the following e-mail from Jim Johnson and am cross-posting it to WX-TALK and WX-CHASE per Jom's request. Please address all questions or comments concerning the conference directly to Jim. >Chris... > I'm not currently on WX-TALK and WX-CHASE though I read > them through my government account. I just got my home ISP > going though so will be signing on the listserv as soon as > I can wrestle the computer away from my wife!! > > Meanwhile...could you post the attached to WX-TALK and WX-CHASE > for me if you think they are acceptable??? > > Many thanks in advance!! > > Keep up the good work... > > RGDS// > Jim Johnson, President > High Plains Chapter AMS > High Plains Chapter NWA > Webamster / FIC > NWS Dodge City KS 1st Annual High Plains Conference, 15-17 September, 1997, Dodge City, Kansas We are please to announce the 1st Annual High Plains Conference. A joint session sponsored by the High Plains Chapter of the American Meteorological Society and the High Plains Chapter of the National Weather Association. The High Plains Conference will be held 15-17 September, 1997, hosted by the National Weather Service Forecast Office, Dodge City KS. The primary theme of the conference is National Weather Service Modernization Issues. The objective is to share recent experiences, research, new work and/or changes in the areas of; 1) technology advances, 2) mesoscale forecasting advances and methodology, 3) local severe storm watch issuance, and 4) management and personnel issues. The conference is intended to serve as a review of the current state of the modernization process as well as a look at future plans for the Modernization and Associated Restructuring Demonstration (MARD) and the Modernization and Associated Restructuring (MAR). Sessions will begin with an invited speaker and the remaining speakers will be limited to 15 minutes including questions. When the time compliment has filled, the conference program committee will assign additional entries of interest to poster session. Conference registration fee is $15 and no conference preprint or postprint will be available. Titles and 1-page abstracts should include each authors name and affiliation, the corresponding authors complete address, telephone/fax number, e-mail address, and requested session for presentation. Abstracts deadline has been extended to 1 August 1997. They should be sent to High Plains Chapter President, Jim Johnson, National Weather Service Office, 104 Airport Rd. Dodge City, KS 67801 (tel: 316-227-7140; fax: 316-227-2288; e-mail: jim.johnson@noaa.gov) or Vice-President, Matt Gerard, National Weather Service Office, 104 Airport Rd. Dodge City, KS 67801 (tel: 316-227-7140; fax: 316-227-2288; e-mail: matt.gerard@noaa.gov). For further information concerning the conference, lodging, facilities, etc, contact either chapter officer above. Local area historical tours and entertainment will be arranged for wives and guests attending the conference and there will be a bar-b-que, mixer and tour of the WFO the evening of September 15, 1997. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 19 Jun 1997 19:53:24 -0700 From: Cindy Cook Subject: IBM Software for Weather Data A co-worker of mine maintains 3 home weather observation sites for the NWS. He is looking for IBM software to record the data. Does anyone have suggestions on where to find any software? Thanks, Cindy Cook goshawk@hhs.net ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 18 Jun 1997 to 19 Jun 1997 ************************************************** From - Sat Jun 21 15:21:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102226-16058>; Sat, 21 Jun 1997 13:14:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA199258; Sat, 21 Jun 1997 00:03:48 -0500 Message-Id: <199706210503.AAA199258@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Jun 1997 00:00:07 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 19 Jun 1997 to 20 Jun 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 4ee85b1383af3ad653863ff60ec49b6a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3459 Status: OR There are 3 messages totalling 76 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. ANNOUNCEMENT FOR MS DEGREE STUDENT OPENING 2. modified stability indices 3. Golden Anniversary of Tornado Forecasting +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 20 Jun 1997 09:58:19 -0800 From: Jan Curtis Subject: ANNOUNCEMENT FOR MS DEGREE STUDENT OPENING The atmospheric sciences group within the physics department at the University of Alaska Fairbanks is seeking a Master of Science student for a fall 1997 term commencement date in the field relating to climate study. The successful applicant is expected to complete a 2 to 3 year M.S. degree program on a topic relating to the Alaskan Climate. This degree could be related to either physics or interdisciplinary fields of study. There is grant funds available for this opening. For more details, contact Dr. Gerd Wendler at gerd@gi.alaska.edu or his assistant Jan Curtis at jcurtis@gi.alaska.edu. For applications, contact Dr. Watkins at ffbjw@aurora.alaska.edu. Regards, Jan Curtis ************************************************************* Webmaster for: The Alaska Climate Research Center http://climate.gi.alaska.edu ************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 20 Jun 1997 16:12:50 -0400 From: Shawn Trueman Subject: modified stability indices Some of the higher-elevation radiosonde sites do not have values for K Index, Total-Totals Index, and SWEAT Index. The reason is that these stations lie above the 850-hPa level, which is used in computing these three indices. Why isn't there a modified K, Total-Totals, and SWEAT index for these stations? I work at a company in Fresno, CA, that does cloud-seeding and I look at data from five radiosonde sites around Fresno (REV, OAK, DRA, VBG, and EDW) and of these, REV doesn't report the above indices. Shawn Trueman Meteorologist Atmospherics Incorporated Fresno, CA 93727 (209) 291-5575 strueman@geography.ohio-state.edu ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 20 Jun 1997 18:49:15 -0400 From: Roger Edwards Subject: Golden Anniversary of Tornado Forecasting A web page has been cranked up that is dedicated to the 50th anniversary of tornado forecasting. There's not much there yet; but we expect that much more will be added as that time approaches: http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/GoldenAnniversary/ If you're interested in the history of weather forecasting, this is one to bookmark and check back with. --------------- ***No disclaimer necessary; this is official business! *** "Stop, for the sake ===== Roger Edwards ===== of my sanity!" SPC Forecaster -- 2 chase partners, 5 years apart former NHC Forecaster "I FEAST ON THE SMORGASBORD OF ATMOSPHERIC VIOLENCE." ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 19 Jun 1997 to 20 Jun 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Jun 23 15:03:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102204-3938>; Sun, 22 Jun 1997 13:20:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA145142; Sun, 22 Jun 1997 00:12:57 -0500 Message-Id: <199706220512.AAA145142@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Jun 1997 00:09:28 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 20 Jun 1997 to 21 Jun 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: c220e0efe99832997007972d9fd24a75 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1050 Status: OR There is one message totalling 17 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. NOAA Polar Satellites +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 21 Jun 1997 15:48:10 GMT From: Thomas Owens Subject: Re: NOAA Polar Satellites In article <01bc7dca$978569a0$190514d0@default>, NavyFlash@aol.com says... > >Does anybody know where we can view Polor images (NOAA 9-14) online. There >are plenty of GOES Images.. but I cant seem to find any NOAA images. Try this URL for pointers to various NOAA image sources: http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/WWW_Virtual_Library/satellite.html ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 20 Jun 1997 to 21 Jun 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Jun 23 15:03:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102406-18383>; Mon, 23 Jun 1997 13:10:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA227828; Mon, 23 Jun 1997 00:05:13 -0500 Message-Id: <199706230505.AAA227828@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Jun 1997 00:02:59 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 21 Jun 1997 to 22 Jun 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: c64c6167c150ef8e86b4f6b227a96988 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3295 Status: OR There are 2 messages totalling 73 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Storm Chaser Homepage/NIU weather page is back up 2. New at "Shelter From The Storm!" +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 22 Jun 1997 00:57:01 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Storm Chaser Homepage/NIU weather page is back up We are back up after a very successful operating system upgrade to Solaris 2.5.1 from 2.4. Everything, including all our software, is working fine. Please let me know if you discover any problems. Thanks! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 22 Jun 1997 17:00:06 -0700 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: New at "Shelter From The Storm!" Here's what's new at SFTS! Main Page -Potential Midwest Power Shortages FastLinks Page -KGAN TV-2 Animated Davenport Iowa WSR-88D radar loop, updated every 15 minutes! -WTMJ TV-4 Milwaukee - Local Doppler Radar, -60- SECOND UPDATE! -NWS DIFAX Multi Panel Charts -Latest GOES Lifted Index - Northern Plains Sector - NOAA -U.S. Geological Survey, Wisconsin Current Streamflow Conditions WeatherWeb Page -Wisconsin Storm Chaser Don Lloyds New Home Page "Tornadoes of Wisconsin"! -OZARES - Ozaukee County Wisconsin A.R.E.S. The Chase Logs Page -Famous and Infamous Storm Chaser Vehicles - Meet the Meatwagon, Roachmobile and more! Severe Weather Safety and Awareness Page -Long Range Transport of Tornado Debris Study - Includes The Barnaveld Wisconsin Tornado! Stop by and leave a message! ************************************************************************* 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA Milwaukee Area Skywarn Assoc./Milwaukee-Waukesha A.R.E.S./IL Multi-County Warning System E-Mail, bkopp@execpc.com Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" my severe weather and SKYWARN home page! SFTS! http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 21 Jun 1997 to 22 Jun 1997 ************************************************** From - Tue Jun 24 16:20:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102341-13786>; Tue, 24 Jun 1997 13:21:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA98078; Tue, 24 Jun 1997 00:03:45 -0500 Message-Id: <199706240503.AAA98078@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Jun 1997 00:01:11 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 22 Jun 1997 to 23 Jun 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: f0959c9cdebb2f8b2fbef6c71eae8aaa X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 9723 Status: OR There are 5 messages totalling 209 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. A good scare, no thanks to TWC... 2. TV Weather News 3. WX-TALK Digest - 21 Jun 1997 to 22 Jun 1997 4. Learning a little Radar Meteorology - Educational Resource 5. New weather software +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 23 Jun 1997 08:44:38 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: A good scare, no thanks to TWC... On Mon, 23 Jun 1997, Michael. Schneider wrote: > Some feller wrote: > > > I also get TWC via C-band. > > > I hope it does you some good. > > Their by-now-legendary incompetence once again exceeded my low > expectations this late Sunday evening. > > Not being a rich, well-heeled or grant-check-cashing chaser with a dish > on top or a laptop/cell-phone/internet combo, I and my chase partner rely > on this incredibly crummy B/W portable TV plugged into the car's cigarette > lighter socket. It picks up the KTCI/KLCI rad-sat broadcast to about 25-30 > miles away from Minneapolis. Beyond that, it's quick stops in bars with > TVs and begging for a brief channel change to TWC. It's more than I have. If you want good weather info, you are blessed with good AM/FM stations in the area. Check out the Storm Chaser Homepage radio station listing for those that do a good job. > So anyway we're down in Mankato 'round 8:30 CST with big gnarlies > growling SW, find a place with a 30" tube and nobody watching it. All the > local stations are yacking about SVR and TOR warnings on screen scrawls > (but God forbid they bust in with a radar shot). The weekend staffs may not allow for that. But as long as they get the warnings out in a timely fashion, that's all that really matters. The radar is a bonus in small markets. > ....and what's TWC running right then? Why, a tornado chase series. We > sit and wait, squirming, for 10 minutes until the commercial break. Ah! At > last, we think; now they'll *at least* run a local info seg with a radar > shot. Nope, straight back to the show, WHERE THEY RUN THE *SAME* STUPID > 10-MINUTE SEGMENT THEY JUST AIRED!!!! OK, I admit that was bad. > Esqueeze me? Are there *human beings* at the TWC office on Sunday > evenings? They have on-air mets on duty except from 1AM-4AM CT. > Now I've grown accustomed to them shirking their public > responsibilities in the wee hours of the morning (such as Sunday AM when > that monster MCC was swallowing Iowa whole in one gulp), What public responsibility? They are on cable, and have none. Ever see the USA network break in and let you know of a tornado warning? I bet the Playboy bunnies don't interrupt a steamy scene to let you know you'll be hit by hail!!! > but a summer > *evening*??? Was there not *one* dolt, er, person there who might, just > perhaps, have *noticed* they were repeating the same damn pre-recorded > segment? Master control operator. Maybe the tape broke. Who knows? Stuff happens like that. I know, I work in the biz. It even happens at the "big" stations and networks too, on occasion. > Is there no "quality control" at The Weather Channel? > > How can these guys endure being so lame day after day, year after year? I don't think they are bad. Too many commercials and promos? Yes. But guess what? It pays the bills. The alternative is...nothing. What would you seriously rather have? Despite their faults, I think they do a good job. And if you think not, by next season MSNBC's weather channel will be online, so you'll have a choice. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 23 Jun 1997 12:00:55 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Weather News The following appeared in SHOPTALK --a TV News Internet-based publication. >Meteorologist Matt Ritter is returning to WGAL-TV's Storm Team in >Lancaster, PA. Ritter will be returning to the very successful >weekend morning newscasts there after a stay at KXXV-TV in Waco, TX. >In addition to his weathercast duties, he will be acting in a weather >producer capacity. He is VERY happy to be returning to Central >Pennsylvania. Why would anyone want to leave tornado country for snow country!!?? More money??!! ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 23 Jun 1997 17:39:17 -0400 From: Greg Machos Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 21 Jun 1997 to 22 Jun 1997 I have a web site that everyone can check out for weather information, and links to other weather sites. Feel free to check it out at: http://members.aol.com/hurctrack/HurcTrack.index.html Greg Machos ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 23 Jun 1997 19:32:07 -0600 From: "Steven E. Hall" Subject: Learning a little Radar Meteorology - Educational Resource For those interested in learning about radars, the latest version of the Radar Meteorology instructional module is now available. Learn the basics of radars and target detection, how to interpret Doppler radial velocity patterns, plus applications of radar data in detection and prediction of severe weather. This resource is now available at http://ww2010.atmos.uiuc.edu/(Gh)/guides/rs/rad/home.rxml Feel free to stop on by... ------------------------------------------------------- Steven E. Hall and David Wojtowicz WW2010 (the weather world 2010 project) http://ww2010.atmos.uiuc.edu/ Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign 105 S. Gregory Urbana, IL 61801 ww2010@atmos.uiuc.edu -------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 23 Jun 1997 22:40:14 EDT From: Tim Vasquez <71611.2267@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: New weather software 06/23 1612 New weather software opens windows into the past DALLAS -- Weather Graphics Technologies, a small Dallas-based software firm, released a unusual set of CD-ROMs Monday which permits researchers, meteorologists, and even hobbyists to create hour-by-hour weather charts spanning the early 1960s to the early 1990s. The CD-ROM set unravels details of historic winter storms and produces maps of conditions preceding historic tornado outbreaks. Contained on four CD-ROMs, the programs, "Surface Archives" and "Upper Archives" are packed with weather observations in standard coding format. Each file on the disc contains collections of data for one point in time. Complete surface dataset coverage, consisting of "airways code" for 250 American stations, begins in 1961 and ends in 1990. Upper air discs are made up of "TTAA rawinsonde code", and cover 1958 to 1995 across the North American continent. In order to instantly display graphical maps of this data, the popular WeatherGraphix and RAOB software packages are included, allowing users to see data plots, isobars, isotherms, wind grids, vorticity, and other meteorological parameters. The original raw data was compiled by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the government agency which oversees federal weather operations. However this data is distributed in binary and tabular formats which do not readily allow maps to be created. To generate the data files, the company developed proprietary processing software and tasked two dedicated Pentium 166 systems which worked non-stop for 63 days. The surface and upper air packages are priced at $99 and $149 respectively. Similar datasets are on the market but are priced well above $5,000, come with no display tools, and are contained on 9-track magnetic tape. The project was announced in April but was not officially completed until Monday. Weather Graphics Technologies said that the CD-ROMs are expected to be extensively used by universities, forensic meteorologists, insurance companies, and hobbyists. The Garland-based company developed the WeatherGraphix, Digital Atmosphere, and Sky Access programs which are in widespread use within the weather community. Note -- : Complete information on these products are available via the World : Wide Web at http://www.telepath.com/tvasquez/index.htm, by E-mail at : 71611.2267@compuserve.com, or at (405) 573-0700. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 22 Jun 1997 to 23 Jun 1997 ************************************************** From - Sat Jun 28 21:46:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102447-9444>; Wed, 25 Jun 1997 13:14:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA95450; Wed, 25 Jun 1997 00:07:35 -0500 Message-Id: <199706250507.AAA95450@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Jun 1997 00:01:40 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 23 Jun 1997 to 24 Jun 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 41d6d145026e053fa9de7e0310d9434c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 8351 Status: OR There are 5 messages totalling 235 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Where is KSGS? (2) 2. Outlook: Monthly -240403 (AUTOMATIC) 3. A good scare, no thanks to TWC... (MSNBC Weather by INTELLICAST) 4. A good scare, no thanks to TWC... +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 24 Jun 1997 05:49:45 -0400 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: Where is KSGS? Wx-talkers, Anyone know where station KSGS is located? It appears to be one of those secondary ASOS sites. I have looked everywhere, including AirNav, and have not found anything. Boris A. Konon WSI Corporation ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 24 Jun 1997 14:48:01 +0000 From: Bill Goodman Subject: Re: Outlook: Monthly -240403 (AUTOMATIC) Charley: Every day I receive the following product from the WX-NATNL list...a listserv problem or a product header problem? > ZCZC DD+ 65418 > FXUS07 KWBC 240902 > FWFMD > > FIRE WEATHER FORECAST > FOR MARYLAND AND THE EASTERN PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA > NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STERLING VA > 455 AM EDT TUE JUN 24 1997 -- Bill Goodman mailto:goodman@apwk01g1.nws.noaa.gov General Sciences Corp. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 24 Jun 1997 14:42:40 -0400 From: Craig B Newell Subject: Re: A good scare, no thanks to TWC... (MSNBC Weather by INTELLICAST) The MSNBC weather channels are already on. They started in April, I think. They have no OCM's, but they have live regional radar, delayed national, 15 minute updated satellite, cool warning boxes on the current conditions map. MSNBC is different from TWC.. they have 10 regional channels and unless you are viewing on Primestar satellite (currently the only way other than a few 'test' cable operators) you can only see the local one. It is a great service, but it's needed on DirecTV satellite (request it at feedback@directv.com) the one I have! Also call your cable operator and request this. It has much more up-to-date stuff and maps than TWC. Craig On Tue, 24 Jun 1997 00:01:11 -0500 You wrote: >Date: Mon, 23 Jun 1997 08:44:38 -0500 >From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" >Subject: Re: A good scare, no thanks to TWC... > >On Mon, 23 Jun 1997, Michael. Schneider wrote: > >> Some feller wrote: >> >> > I also get TWC via C-band. >> >> >> I hope it does you some good. >> >> Their by-now-legendary incompetence once again exceeded my low >> expectations this late Sunday evening. >> >> Not being a rich, well-heeled or grant-check-cashing chaser with >a dish >> on top or a laptop/cell-phone/internet combo, I and my chase partner >rely >> on this incredibly crummy B/W portable TV plugged into the car's >cigarette >> lighter socket. It picks up the KTCI/KLCI rad-sat broadcast to about >25-30 >> miles away from Minneapolis. Beyond that, it's quick stops in bars >with >> TVs and begging for a brief channel change to TWC. > >It's more than I have. If you want good weather info, you are blessed >with >good AM/FM stations in the area. Check out the Storm Chaser Homepage >radio >station listing for those that do a good job. > >> So anyway we're down in Mankato 'round 8:30 CST with big gnarlies >> growling SW, find a place with a 30" tube and nobody watching it. >All the >> local stations are yacking about SVR and TOR warnings on screen >scrawls >> (but God forbid they bust in with a radar shot). > >The weekend staffs may not allow for that. But as long as they get the >warnings out in a timely fashion, that's all that really matters. The >radar is a bonus in small markets. > >> ....and what's TWC running right then? Why, a tornado chase >series. We >> sit and wait, squirming, for 10 minutes until the commercial break. >Ah! At >> last, we think; now they'll *at least* run a local info seg with a >radar >> shot. Nope, straight back to the show, WHERE THEY RUN THE *SAME* >STUPID >> 10-MINUTE SEGMENT THEY JUST AIRED!!!! > >OK, I admit that was bad. >> Esqueeze me? Are there *human beings* at the TWC office on >Sunday >> evenings? > >They have on-air mets on duty except from 1AM-4AM CT. > >> Now I've grown accustomed to them shirking their public >> responsibilities in the wee hours of the morning (such as Sunday AM >when >> that monster MCC was swallowing Iowa whole in one gulp), > >What public responsibility? They are on cable, and have none. Ever see >the >USA network break in and let you know of a tornado warning? I bet the >Playboy bunnies don't interrupt a steamy scene to let you know you'll >be >hit by hail!!! > >> but a summer >> *evening*??? Was there not *one* dolt, er, person there who might, >just >> perhaps, have *noticed* they were repeating the same damn >pre-recorded >> segment? > >Master control operator. Maybe the tape broke. Who knows? Stuff >happens >like that. I know, I work in the biz. It even happens at the "big" >stations and networks too, on occasion. > >> Is there no "quality control" at The Weather Channel? >> >> How can these guys endure being so lame day after day, year after >year? > >I don't think they are bad. Too many commercials and promos? Yes. But >guess what? It pays the bills. The alternative is...nothing. What >would >you seriously rather have? Despite their faults, I think they do a >good >job. And if you think not, by next season MSNBC's weather channel will >be >online, so you'll have a choice. > >Gilbert > >******************************************************************************* >Gilbert Sebenste >******** >Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) >***** >Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada > *** >URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html > ** >SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada > * >THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ > * >Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! > * >******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 24 Jun 1997 16:33:08 GMT From: Howard Goldstein Subject: Re: A good scare, no thanks to TWC... On Mon, 23 Jun 1997 02:24:40 -0500, Michael. Schneider wrote: : : : (Was Re: Hey Weather Channel DORKS!) ... : : ....and what's TWC running right then? Why, a tornado chase series. We : sit and wait, squirming, for 10 minutes until the commercial break. Ah! At : last, we think; now they'll *at least* run a local info seg with a radar : shot. Nope, straight back to the show, WHERE THEY RUN THE *SAME* STUPID : 10-MINUTE SEGMENT THEY JUST AIRED!!!! Was it this past Sunday (?) at noon ET they were running the same old hurricane show they ran last year. After a half hour of waiting for the weatherstar thing to come up with the radar shot of the nasty stuff just out west during the commercial breaks I just gave up. I didn't think at noon there'd be a staffing problem or some pressing urgency to airing the rerun that'd prevent kicking the weatherstar stuff on, but it's TWC we're talking about, so who's to say? (Not really feeling comfortable slamming the whole network there are a couple or three on air personalities who strike me as being knowledgeable but I see less and less of them as time goes by. More pretty faces though.) ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 24 Jun 1997 15:30:17 -0500 From: "Steve M. Kile" Subject: Re: Where is KSGS? > Anyone know where station KSGS is located? It appears to be one of > those secondary ASOS sites. I have looked everywhere, including AirNav, > and have not found anything. > > Boris A. Konon > WSI Corporation > KSGS is South St. Paul Municipal Airport (Fleming Field) here in Minnesota. It was D97 before. N44 51.4 W093 02.0 elevation 819 feet. Steve -- Steve M. Kile, N0FBL stevek@netcom.com skile@epx.cis.umn.edu stevek@usinternet.com ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 23 Jun 1997 to 24 Jun 1997 ************************************************** From - Sat Jun 28 21:48:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102818-4332>; Thu, 26 Jun 1997 13:16:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA122040; Thu, 26 Jun 1997 00:05:54 -0500 Message-Id: <199706260505.AAA122040@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Jun 1997 00:00:12 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 24 Jun 1997 to 25 Jun 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 4139265ee6c8bd81d7814168ebbfe957 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 18577 Status: OR There are 11 messages totalling 468 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. FXUS07 KWBC 2. WeatherWire 3. National Weather Association Newsletter topics 4. Administrivia: Goodbye Hazardous Weather Outlook 5. A good scare, no thanks to TWC... 6. Employment opportunity at SSEC 7. ASOS Commissioning Notice 8. 9. ATTENTION TV METS 10. Big changes at NWS upper-levels... 11. Changes at NWS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 24 Jun 1997 23:36:40 -0600 From: Matt Rehwald Subject: FXUS07 KWBC Bill Goodman wrote: > Every day I receive the following product from the WX-NATNL list...a > listserv problem or a product header problem? > > > ZCZC DD+ 65418 > > FXUS07 KWBC 240902 > > FWFMD > > > > FIRE WEATHER FORECAST > > FOR MARYLAND AND THE EASTERN PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA > > NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STERLING VA > > 455 AM EDT TUE JUN 24 1997 For some reason, both the medium range forecast duscussion and fire weather forecasts use the same FXUS07 header...so this is one of those little imperfections in the system where FXUS07 KWBC is used for both the PMDMRD and the FWF issued by WSFO Sterling, VA. It's probably something you'll be getting until the end of fire season. Now, if anybody knows where a current FWF from ABQ can be located, please let me know... //////////////////////////// Matt Rehwald The Home Office: Forecaster, Weatherbank Inc. 330 Crestview Drive Edmond, OK <*> PO Box 2772 synoptic@xmission.com Park City, UT 84060-2772 ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Jun 1997 08:29:56 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: WeatherWire >Does anyone know how the NWS distributes the text bulletins and data to >these services? Is it satellite, land-based phone systems or what? GTE Contel distributes an encoded stream via satellite that has every product the NWS issues -- from public warnings & forecasts to gridded data of soil temperature and 10meter wind speed model output. There is a public feed, called EMWIN, also sent out via satellite (and retransmitted in some areas on VHF). More info at http://www.weathernode.com http://www.skywin.com http://www.nws.noaa.gov/oso/oso1/oso12/document/emwin.htm Rob ////////////////////////////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ Robert P Dale - N8GSK || rdale@norden1.com Meteorologist || rdale@storm.atms.purdue.edu Davidson Crane And Conveyor || dcc@norden1.com InterRAD Software http://www.stratus.weather.net/~rdale/interrad.html NW Ohio Weather Info http://wx.home.ml.org Northwest Ohio AMS http://nwohams.home.ml.org ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Jun 1997 08:57:22 -0400 From: Floyd Hauth Subject: National Weather Association Newsletter topics The April NWA Newsletter topics are: 1. President's message; Discusses GOES K (10) launch, the upcoming NWA Annual Meeting in Reno, NV 19-24 October, 1997, and funding decisions regarding recent NWS budget cuts. 2. Dates to Remember. 3. New Home page and Domain name (http://www.nwas.org). 4. Call for papers for NWA Annual Meeting. 5. Gulf Coast Workshop. 6. Local Chapter News ( Arkansas Chapter, Central Oklahoma Chapter, High Plains Chapter, and The Heart of the Midlands Chapter). 7. Job Corner. For copies or more information contact Kevin Lavin at 334-213-0388 or email him at natweaasoc@aol.com ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Jun 1997 11:27:41 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Administrivia: Goodbye Hazardous Weather Outlook NWS has officially decided to eliminate the Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWU) from its product inventory. This product is currently being carried on the WX-STORM data list under the HAZARDWX header. Since LISTSERV only allows me to use 11 sub-topic headers per list, I will retire the HAZARDWX keyword July 1st and globally issue a "SET WX-STORM TOPICS -HAZARDWX" command. WX-STORM subscribers will not have to do anything other than be aware that the HWU product is no longer available. I am attaching a copy of the official NWS memo concerning the HWU. ..Chris.. = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = NOUS41 KWBC 242019 PNSWSH PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS WASHINGTON DC 415 PM EDT TUE JUN 24 1997 To Family of Services /FOS/ subscribers... NOAA Weather Wire Service /NWWS/ subscribers... other National Weather Service /NWS/ customers... NWS employees >From Dr. Louis Uccellini Director... Office of Meteorology Subject Termination of the Hazardous Weather Update product The test of the National Weather Service's /NWS/ Hazardous Weather Update product /HWU/ prepared by the Storm Prediction Center /SPC/ ended officially on May 31 1997. The product is under the AFOS/NWWS identifiers of MKCHWU01 through 09 and WMO/FOS header WWUS44 KMKC. The HWU has continued since that time while a final decision was made on whether to continue the product as a courtesy to our external customers. A coordinated decision among NWS National and regional headquarters... and the national centers has been made to discontinue the HWU effective at 11 PM Central Daylight Time Saturday June 28 1997. The HWU was intended to service the NWS field offices but has not met that need. It has... however... gained an audience of customers external to the NWS and their needs remain a concern to the NWS. The comments provided by users of the HWU are valued and we thank those who took the time to provide their thoughts on the HWU through the formal and informal evaluations that occurred during the test period. Most often the comments indicated a need for broadview planning information on upstream weather systems for the emergency management and media communities. NWS will address the comments and needs of the external customers through the Warning Coordination Meteorologist /WCM/ program. Each field office has a WCM who works with NWS customers to ensure that the customers needs are met by nws products and services. Products from our local offices may be changed as a result of these interactions to address the needs of the various customer communities identified by this experiment. Please direct any comments or questions to: NWS Storm Prediction Center 1313 Haley Circle Norman Oklahoma 73069 Attention: Gary Grice Telephone 405 579-0702 or via e-mail: gary.grice@noaa.gov *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Jun 1997 14:41:53 -0500 From: Peter Laws Subject: Re: A good scare, no thanks to TWC... On Tue, 24 Jun 1997, Howard Goldstein wrote: > (Not really feeling comfortable slamming the whole network there are a > couple or three on air personalities who strike me as being > knowledgeable but I see less and less of them as time goes by. More ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ Because your wx knowledge is increasing. Why is it so hard for people to accept that TWC is targetted at Joe Sixpack and not Johnny Skywarn? They are giving weather info to the masses, not the mets. -- Peter Laws / plaws@wildstar.net ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Jun 1997 15:44:55 +22304908 From: Matthew Lazzara Subject: Employment opportunity at SSEC The Space Science and Engineering Center (SSEC) at the University of Wisconsin - Madison has a position open for a User and Software support person. This position is responsible for testing, documenting and training on SSEC developed Meteorological software package, McIDAS (Man computer Interactive Data Access System). The needs of our meteorological and earth science communities are rapidly changing as new concepts in remote sensing are developed. A person with a strong meteorological background, good communications skills and programming knowledge is needed to work with our development staff to continue the evolutionary process of the McIDAS package. Qualifications required: B.S. in Meteorology and strong communications skills. FORTRAN and C programming, McIDAS, UNIX, and HTML experience are desirable. The UW-Madison has a very competitive employee benefit package. SSEC is a research and development center with an international reputation in the Meteorological and Space Flight Hardware related communities. SSEC's mission includes the support of faculty led research, development, fabrication and implementation of space flight experiments, as well as the research and development of new meteorological research tools for national and international usage. Please send your cover letter, resume and salary requirements to: Bruce Hellmich, Personnel Manager, Space Science and Engineering Center, 1225 West Dayton, Madison, WI 53706. Please send any questions to Dee Wade at deew@ssec.wisc.edu ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Jun 1997 18:02:20 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site became a commissoned ASOS site on 25 June, 1997 at 1800 UTC. ROSEBURG REGIONAL AIRPORT (KRBG) ROSEBURG... OR Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Jun 1997 16:21:30 -0600 From: "Duffy, Sean (FG HQ)" Subject: Lightning strike data seems pretty hard to come by lately. I've noticed that several internet sites have broken their links to such data at the request of the government. Does anyone know the reason this occurred? Is this data available anywhere still? ~~~~~~~~~~~ Sean Duffy FG HQ (208) 384-8271 ~~~~~~~~~~~ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Jun 1997 20:12:29 -0500 From: John McLaughlin Subject: ATTENTION TV METS Radar Warning Decision Making Workshop to be held during NWA Broadcast Meteorology Session 19 October, 1998 in Reno, Nevada! See attached abstract! The session will be conducted by Liz Quoetone and John Ferre of the Nexrad OSF. To register for the broadcasters portion of the NWA conference, see www.nwas.org John McLaughlin Broadcast Program Chairperson "The Warning Experience: A Look at the Severe Weather Warning Process" Liz Quoetone, John Ferree Operational Support Facility Operations Training Branch Norman, Oklahoma Submitted for: NWA Conference, Reno, Nevada The severe weather warning process in a modernized weather office requires assimilating an increasing number of data sets at a rapid rate. In fact there are more sources of data on which to base warning decisions than ever before. With this barrage of information, comes the increased likelihood that the data will conflict, or that critical pieces of information will be overlooked or their value underestimated. Studies have shown that a good awareness of the value of one piece of information in the context of the entire situation will lead to a faster and more accurate decision. This situation awareness has played a role in other short fused, data rich environments and appears to do so in the warning environment as well. This workshop will begin with an overview of the warning process including the role of situation awareness in decision making. Attendees will then go through short scenarios of actual warning events. Finally, participants will become the warning forecaster for a particular event issuing tornado, severe thunderstorm, and flash flood warnings in a simulated WSR-88D environment. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Jun 1997 21:00:50 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Big changes at NWS upper-levels... >From Yahoo / UPI: http://biz.yahoo.com/upi/97/06/25/general_state_and_regional_news/usweather_ 2.html Feds to review proposed changes to NWS WASHINGTON, June 25 (UPI) _ The Department of Commerce says it will delay major changes at the National Weather Service pending a review from an outside expert. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration had announced a major reorganization of the weather service earlier this year, which included the closure of the Southern Regional Headquarters in Fort Worth, Texas. The proposed changes led to complaints from NWS clients who feared forecasting accuracy would suffer. Commerce Undersecretary for NOAA Dr. D. James Baker says the agency is still committed to cost-reduction. Baker says, ``Over the last several months, however, we have received conflicting information from the NWS on how best to do this.'' Baker says he is appointing retired Air Force Brig. Gen. Jack Kelly as a special advisor to review the planned changes at the weather service. Kelly is a former director of the Air Force's Air Weather Service. [*** tried to sneak this in? ***]Baker also named Dr. Robert Winokur as the acting director of the weather service to replace Director Joe Friday. According to the commerce department, Friday is being ``assigned to other duties within NOAA.'' A report from Gen. Kelly is expected within 60 days. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 25 Jun 1997 20:30:17 -0600 From: "Kevin J. Schrab" Subject: Changes at NWS See AP article at: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/WAPO/19970625/V000774-062597-idx.html Contents of article: National Weather Service Head Fired By Randolph E. Schmid Associated Press Writer Wednesday, June 25, 1997; 9:07 p.m. EDT WASHINGTON (AP) -- The director of the National Weather Service was removed by his job Wednesday amid turmoil within the agency and Congress over cuts in the agency's budget, personnel and facilities. Elbert W. ``Joe'' Friday was reassigned ``to other duties'' within the weather service, according to a statement released by the Commerce Department. ``We are hopeful Joe will continue to work with us at NOAA where his experience will continue to be a valuable asset,'' Commerce Secretary William Daley said in the statement. Friday said he didn't know what to make of the news. ``I've never been fired before,'' he said. ``I haven't talked to the secretary and I don't fully understand the full basis of this.'' People familiar with the weather service characterized Friday as a scapegoat for budgetary problems facing the agency, which has $41.5 million less to spend this year than it did in 1996. To meet financial constraints imposed largely by the Clinton administration and Congress, the service has left job vacancies unfilled, halted training and postponed maintenance. It also planned to eliminate 185 positions and close its Southern Region headquarters in Fort Worth, Texas, splitting its functions between offices in New York and Missouri. The Commerce Department, however, said in its statement Wednesday it would postpone closing the Texas office until a review of the decision could be made. Since becoming had of the agency in 1988, Friday had worked tirelessly implementing a $4.5 billion modernization program that brought to the weather service complex new machinery, including radars and unmanned weather observing stations. He will be replaced temporarily by Robert Winokur, current director of the National Environmental Satellite, Data and Information Service at the weather service's parent agency, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Friday said he hasn't decided whether to accept the position offered to him as head of oceanic and atmospheric research in NOAA. ``It's disappointing to me personally but things happen. I'm proud of what I've been able to accomplish,'' he said. The Commerce Department also announced it has appointed a special advisor to help the head of NOAA evaluate the budget and operations of the weather service and issue a report to the Commerce Department within 60 days. Retired Brig. Gen. Jack Kelly, the former director of the U.S. Air Force Air Weather Service, will oversee the evaluation. Friday said he welcomed that move: ``I am very concerned about the Weather Service budget ... I applaud the external review of it.'' © Copyright 1997 The Associated Press -- Kevin J. Schrab kjs@aros.net ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 24 Jun 1997 to 25 Jun 1997 ************************************************** From - Sat Jun 28 21:49:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102504-1134>; Fri, 27 Jun 1997 13:08:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA146830; Fri, 27 Jun 1997 00:03:15 -0500 Message-Id: <199706270503.AAA146830@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Jun 1997 00:00:59 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 25 Jun 1997 to 26 Jun 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: f81309b4fc6ea3a86d973302fe870740 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 14207 Status: OR There are 8 messages totalling 330 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Major changes at NWS announced 2. A good scare, no thanks to TWC... 3. ADMINISTRIVIA: WX-***** DATA SERVICE RESTORED 4. Letter From Dr. Friday 5. National Weather Service Update 6. FXUS07 30 day outlook product 7. Demise of the HWU (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 26 Jun 1997 04:56:20 GMT From: Brian Curran Subject: Major changes at NWS announced Please point to the following URL: The quick-and-dirty: 1) The NWS will suspend all reorganization activities pending an outside audit. This audit will be written by retired Air Force Brig. Gen. Jack Kelly, a former director of the Air Force's Air Weather Service. This report is to be ready within 60 days. 2) Dr. Robert Winokur has been nameed acting director of the weather service to replace Director Joe Friday. Friday is being ``assigned to other duties within NOAA.'' Could it be the bureaucrats inside the Beltway (well, actually, NWS HQ is outside the Beltway) have come to their senses? Naw. That would be asking too much... Oh, yeah, I speak for myself and not for my unnamed employer. I used my own equipment and time for this posting. Any action taken against me, covert or otherwise, for exercising my rights uunder the First Amendment will be subject to redress in Federal court. Deal with it. bc -- Brian Curran ebcurran@flash.net I speak for myself only. See the First Amendment for details. In the end, there can be only one. And you're reading his signature... ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Jun 1997 08:21:44 -0400 From: Robert L Krawitz Subject: Re: A good scare, no thanks to TWC... Date: Wed, 25 Jun 1997 14:41:53 -0500 From: Peter Laws On Tue, 24 Jun 1997, Howard Goldstein wrote: > (Not really feeling comfortable slamming the whole network there are a > couple or three on air personalities who strike me as being > knowledgeable but I see less and less of them as time goes by. More ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ Because your wx knowledge is increasing. Why is it so hard for people to accept that TWC is targetted at Joe Sixpack and not Johnny Skywarn? They are giving weather info to the masses, not the mets. Here in Boston, we have some excellent broadcast meteorologists on the major channels. They don't hesitate to get technical, and present useful data, but they don't have a problem with ratings either. When I watch (rarely, because I basically don't watch TV) I normally watch 7 (Todd Gross, Harvey Leonard, and Mishelle Michaels), but I've heard that Bruce Albert on 5 is good, too. -- Robert Krawitz http://www.tiac.net/users/rlk/ Tall Clubs International -- http://www.tall.org/ or 1-800-521-2512 Member of the League for Programming Freedom -- mail lpf@uunet.uu.net ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Jun 1997 08:07:01 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: ADMINISTRIVIA: WX-***** DATA SERVICE RESTORED We had a nasty power outage here on campus yesterday that started at 2:50 PM and ended around midnight last night. A 5000 volt feeder exploded and caused about 1/2 of campus to lose power --including all my weather processing hardware. The problem has been fixed and our network connections have been re-established. Data is once again flowing to the WX-***** lists. Sorry for the inconvenience. BTW, don't ask me for backup products. We were completely out of service and that means I don't have access to what was transmitted by NWS while we were down. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Jun 1997 16:41:28 +0000 From: Howard Altschule Subject: Letter From Dr. Friday Hi, Just found this letter regarding Dr. Friday...it has to do with the earlier posting. Thought you'd want to see it!! . > To All NWS Employees. > > As you probably know by now, Yesterday afternoon, I was informed > by Dr. D. James Baker, NOAA Administrator, that Secretary of > Commerce Daley had directed him to remove me as Director of the > NWS because of issues associated with the budget shortfalls for > the NWS. I have not yet had the opportunity to speak with > Secretary Daley, so I can comment no further on that. > > God has blessed me with a wonderful opportunity to serve in the > NWS, from September 1981 to March 1988 as your Deputy and from > March 1988 to June 1997 as your Director. The NWS is a unique > organization within the Federal Government with a mission > dedication that is unexcelled by any other. Each of you are > committed to the science and service that protects the American > public every day. I am extremely proud of what you have been > able to accomplish as we have moved the Weather Service forward. > I am confident that you will continue in ensuring that we have > the best weather service in the world. > > My only regret as I leave the position of Director is that I was > unable to articulate effectively the budgetary requirements for a > sustained, healthy weather service. I pray that my successor is > better able to do that. > > May God bless each and every one of you. > > Joe > Best regards, Howie Altschule Meteorologist, NY/NJ E-mail Address: HAltschule@worldnet.att.net ********* ******* | ***** "Toto, We're about to get our butt's whoooped!!".... (The Wizard) *** --!-- ** !!!!!!!!!!!!!! * ! O O O! ------*---!------------!------------------------------------------ ////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Jun 1997 14:03:47 CDT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: National Weather Service Update ----- Begin Included Message ----- Request for Posting By: William M. Daley Date: 06/26/97 11:41AM Removal Date: 07/26/97 ************************* ANNOUNCEMENT ***************************** MEMORANDUM FOR: All National Weather Service Employees FROM: Secretary William M. Daley SUBJECT: National Weather Service Update In recent months, a great deal of uncertainty has been raised regarding the funding needed by the National Weather Service (NWS) to continue to perform its essential services. I, along with senior leadership in the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), have been working with the National Weather Service to find the best ways to continue to deliver essential weather services while recognizing that the public expects Government agencies to reduce their costs. Over the last several months, however, the Department has been receiving conflicting information from the NWS on how best to do this. It has been difficult to reach agreement about the budget required to satisfy the public's need for quality services at a reasonable cost. To address these concerns and to ensure that we continue to provide world class weather services, I am taking a number of steps: # Ask outside experts to conduct a rigorous evaluation of the National Weather Service budget and operations and provide me and the Department a report within 60 days. General Jack Kelly, former Director of the U.S. Air Force Weather Service, will direct this effort. # Reassign the Director of the Weather Service to other duties within NOAA. # Appoint Robert Winokur as Acting Assistant Administrator of the Weather Service. He is currently the Assistant Administrator of the National Environmental Satellite, Data and Information Service. # Delay closure of the Southern Regional Headquarters until after the review is complete. # To keep the modernization effort on track, the Department will be submitting a reprogramming request to cover unanticipated expenses for FY 1997 in order to eliminate any doubt about the ability of the Weather Service to continue modernization efforts scheduled for this year. These actions in no way reflect on the outstanding job that the employees of the National Weather Service are currently doing. The Nation relies on our accurate and timely forecasts. We, in the Department, remain strongly committed to the modernization of the Weather Service. When completed, the Nation will have invested $4.5 billion in new technology and in NWS employees, the foundation of our premier weather service. Please be assured that this country has the best weather service in the world because of people like you. I intend to take the necessary actions to keep it that way. The challenge before us is to ensure that we also offer the public the most efficient modernized weather service possible. I ask for your cooperation and continued excellent service. Thank you and keep up the good work. ----- End Included Message ----- ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Jun 1997 18:30:29 GMT From: "Rodger R. Getz" Subject: FXUS07 30 day outlook product The NWS using the FXUS07 KWBC product for the 30 day outlooks AND the Maryland fire weather forecast. This was outlined in Family of Services notice 1081 issued on June 11 (www.nws.noaa.gov/oso/notices/notices.shtml). The NWS says that this is "temporary" and that we should use the 2nd line of the product header (ie FWFMD) to determine which product that has been sent. Unfortunately, the NWS doesn't recognize that this would require we users to make software changes that costs MONEY! Another great job of good thinking by the NWS! Thanks to Lorraine Smith at Alden for tracking down the real story. ------------------------------------------------------- Rodger R. Getz, President Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. P.O. Box 3267 Auburn, AL 36831-3267 http://www.awis.com ph: (334) 826-2149 ext 104 (voice) (334) 826-2152 (FAX) -------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Jun 1997 21:52:00 -0500 From: Carolyn Johnson Subject: Demise of the HWU Howdy... Back on line after long absence!! Read Chris Novy's note on the end of the HWU. Please be aware that a number of NWS offices continue to issue an HWO (Hazardous Weather Outlook). For instance...Dodge City, KS issues an HWO under the AFOS header TOPSPSDDC daily to provide guidance to local law enforcement/EOC etc. The product is issued around 1100am cdt/cst and can be found on their home page at and at many other internet sites (Thanks, Ohio State gopher!!). Certainly, this product is not the technical equivalent of the HWU from SPC, since it is for general public consumption, but I can assure you that it represents the best thoughts of the duty forecaster at the time and will be updated as conditions change within the DDC forecast area. As the NWS Modernization continues (providing fiscal policies allow!) you should see a step toward local issuance of some of the products long associated with the NSSFC/turned SPC. In fact, we will discuss exactly this at our September Conference (1st Annual High Plains Conference) where one of the sessions will be dedicated to Local Watch Issuance or Decentralization of the the Watch Issuance process. Commentary/talks/suggestions and ideas welcome!! Thanks for the time... RGDS// Jim Johnson cguree@pld.com President, High Plains Chapter - AMS High Plains Chapter - NWA Chief Cook, bottle washer, computer glitch solver, garbage man... ...Carolyn G. Johnson Archaeological Consulting... Oh, Yeah!...Brewmaster...Vortex Brewery!! ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Quando Omni Flunkus Moritati!! ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Carolyn G. Johnson ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 26 Jun 1997 23:09:27 -0400 From: "Gregory A. Surplus" Subject: Re: Demise of the HWU At 09:52 PM 6/26/97 -0500, cguree@PTA6000.PLD.COM> wrote: >As the NWS Modernization continues (providing fiscal policies allow!) you should >see a step toward local issuance of some of the products long associated >with the NSSFC/turned SPC. In fact, we will discuss exactly this at our >September Conference (1st Annual High Plains Conference) where one of the >sessions will be dedicated to Local Watch Issuance or Decentralization of >the the Watch Issuance process. Commentary/talks/suggestions and ideas >welcome!! > One of the things I have been unclear on is what will happen to the SPC once severe weather watches are handled by the local offices. ********************************************************************** *Greg Surplus Microg's MD Weather Homepage * *gsurplus@delphi.com http://people.delphi.com/gsurplus/ * ********************************************************************** ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 25 Jun 1997 to 26 Jun 1997 ************************************************** From - Sat Jun 28 21:50:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102364-23812>; Sat, 28 Jun 1997 13:09:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA24392; Sat, 28 Jun 1997 00:01:56 -0500 Message-Id: <199706280501.AAA24392@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Jun 1997 00:00:14 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 26 Jun 1997 to 27 Jun 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 98f3776e998b55c6130a7f66876a87c7 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 9502 Status: OR There are 5 messages totalling 250 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Demise of the HWU 2. Reassignment of Elbert W. Friday, Jr., NWS Director (fwd) 3. Changes at NWS (fwd) 4. HRS WMO headers??? 5. Friday Firing Raises Red Flag +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 26 Jun 1997 23:24:10 -0700 From: A Lieberman Subject: Re: Demise of the HWU Carolyn Johnson wrote: > sessions will be dedicated to Local Watch Issuance or Decentralization of > the the Watch Issuance process. Commentary/talks/suggestions and ideas > welcome!! As a member of John Q Public, I hope the above NEVER occurs! I can just see the "decentralizing" the watch issuances minimize the seriousnous (sp?) of the watch issuance. Also would lend to confusion as radio and tv stations would "conflict" with each other as they may use different office's as their source of information. IMHO Allen -- http://www.bright.net/~lieberma/ Come visit my homepage!!! Any unsolicited COMMERCIAL Email will be replied with a complaint to the postmaster of the sender! ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Jun 1997 05:21:28 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Reassignment of Elbert W. Friday, Jr., NWS Director (fwd) I got this from the UNIDATA list... ----Forwarded Message Follows--- I was informed today that Dr. Elbert W. Friday, Jr., director of the National Weather Service (NWS), was reassigned to another post within NOAA effective immediately. The Acting Director of the NWS will be Robert Winokur, NESDIS Assistant Administrator. The reason provided for the reassignment apparently is that the Secretary of Commerce, William Daley, has lost confidence in the current management of the National Weather Service. It is possible that other administrators within the NWS will be reassigned or resign. The NWS has faced difficult budgetary pressures during the past several years and these pressures are expected to continue. A committee is to be appointed by the Secretary of Commerce to review some of the issues that have become particularly volatile, such as the closure of the NWS Southern Region Administrative Office. Dr. Friday has provided very effective leadership for the ongoing modernization of the NWS, which has led to significant improvements in the ability of the NWS to protect lives and property from natural disasters. Dr. Friday has also encouraged and facilitated strong ties between the operational and academic communities. If you are concerned about the reassignment of Dr. Friday and the potential changes in direction for the NWS that may occur, I encourage you to contact D. James Baker, Under Secretary of Commerce for Oceans and Atmosphere and Administrator of NOAA (d.james.baker@noaa.gov), and William Daley, Secretary of Commerce (wdaley@doc.gov). ------- End of Forwarded Message ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Jun 1997 08:37:50 -0500 From: Peter Laws Subject: Changes at NWS (fwd) If you're going to illegally post a copyrighted story, at least reformat the thing instead of just sending it. Sheesh. -- Peter Laws / plaws@wildstar.net ---------- Forwarded message ---------- From: "Kevin J. Schrab" Date: Wed, 25 Jun 1997 20:30:17 -0600 Subject: Changes at NWS See AP article at: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/WAPO/19970625/V000774-062597-idx.html Contents of article: National Weather Service Head Fired By Randolph E. Schmid Associated Press Writer Wednesday, June 25, 1997; 9:07 p.m. EDT WASHINGTON (AP) -- The director of the National Weather Service was removed by his job Wednesday amid turmoil within [ ... ] ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Jun 1997 09:32:44 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: HRS WMO headers??? Anyone know what products these are on the NWS High Resolution Data Service (HDS) feed? Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* NOUS40 KWBC 252043 FOS NOTICE NO. 1091 JUNE 25... 1997 ATTENTION HIGH RESOLUTION DATA SERVICE SUBSCRIBERS EFFECTIVE DATE JUNE 26... 1997 - 1400 UTC PLEASE ADD THE FOLLOWING MRF PRODUCTS TO YOUR DATA DIRECTORIES FOS REQUEST WMO HEADINGS YP JO 91 KWBH YH JO 50 KWBH YP JQ 91 KWBH YH JQ 50 KWBH YP JS 91 KWBH YH JS 50 KWBH YP JU 91 KWBH YH JU 50 KWBH YP JW 91 KWBH YH JW 50 KWBH YP JY 91 KWBH YH JY 50 KWBH YP JI 91 KWBH YP JJ 91 KWBH YH JJ 50 KWBH YR JJ 00 KWBH YP JL 91 KWBH YH JL 50 KWBH YR JL 00 KWBH YP JM 91 KWBH YH JM 50 KWBH EFFECTIVE DATE IMMEDIATELY PLEASE ADD THE FOLLOWING AVN PRODUCTS TO YOUR DATA DIRECTORIES FOS REQUEST WMO HEADINGS HTJA88 KWBC HTKA88 KWBC HTLA88 KWBC HTMA88 KWBC HTNA88 KWBC HTOA88 KWBC HTPA88 KWBC END NNNN ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Jun 1997 11:26:03 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Friday Firing Raises Red Flag Rick McCoy attempted to post an article to WX-TALK but his mail was rejected because his present e-mail address does not match what LISTSERV had on file for him. I have fixed his problem and am posting his original, rejected, message as a courtesy to Rick. If anyone else experiences problems with rejected e-mail please write me. .Chris.. = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = WATCHDOG GROUP RAISES RED FLAG ON WEATHER SERVICE FIRING Warning that the firing of Director Joe Friday may give Washington politicians a green light to further decimate the National Weather Service, a nation-wide watchdog group has asked for public participation in a planned review of Weather Service funding and operations. “What we don’t need is another round of Washington insiders telling us how the Weather Service should function,” said Rick McCoy, chairman of the National Emergency Management Council for Americans United to Maintain Weather Service Funding. “The emergency management community and the many others who are on the front line of public safety every day are tired of seeing our National Weather Service used as a pawn in political budget exercises and beltway finger pointing.” Under moves announced on June 25, NOAA Administrator D. James Baker replaced the well-respected Weather Service director with the head of the nation’s environmental satellite service and has brought in a number of Washington advisers in order to “conduct a rigorous evaluation of the NWS budget and operations.” The move was supported by Commerce Secretary William Daley who oversees the two organizations. McCoy’s nationwide group, which has expanded to include emergency management directors of almost every state and governors from eight states, has appealed to Baker and Daley to hold public hearings and allow participation in the review process by members of his organization. “With the abrupt dismissal of Joe Friday and NOAA’s misinformation campaign on Weather Service budget matters, it is high time to expose these critical issues to the bright light of public scrutiny,” McCoy said. “NOAA needs to reassure the public that it has the ability--and desire--to adequately maintain the Weather Service’s vital public safety role. Public participation in what has been an exclusively inside-the-beltway process would be a good first step.” McCoy continued, “With NOAA controlling the Weather Service’s purse strings, the agency has been operating under a $41 million deficit which has caused a number of untenable situations such as a year-long hiring freeze on meteorologists and technicians, reductions in staff at the National Hurricane Center and other operations, and a reduction in preventative maintenance of life-saving forecast equipment. As such, we are also asking that the U.S. Congress begin an immediate investigation into D. James Baker and his handling of NOAA resources.” McCoy concluded, “Many of us in the emergency management community are appalled and outraged that Mr. Baker is using Joe Friday as a scapegoat in NOAA’s mishandling taxpayer money. If NOAA is not squandering public resources, then Mr. Baker should welcome the public scrutiny his actions have warranted.” ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 26 Jun 1997 to 27 Jun 1997 ************************************************** From - Sun Jun 29 17:59:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102430-28062>; Sun, 29 Jun 1997 13:09:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA138190; Sun, 29 Jun 1997 00:06:12 -0500 Message-Id: <199706290506.AAA138190@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Jun 1997 00:00:27 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 27 Jun 1997 to 28 Jun 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 54c4384a6b0c3cd32c5ff68bdfb54f1b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 6058 Status: OR There are 3 messages totalling 114 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Watch Decentralization (was Re: Demise of the HWU) 2. Friday Firing Raises Red Flag 3. Northeast Heat +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 28 Jun 1997 02:36:17 -0500 From: Roger Edwards Subject: Watch Decentralization (was Re: Demise of the HWU) On Thu, 26 Jun 1997, Gregory A. Surplus typed: > One of the things I have been unclear on is what will happen to > the SPC once severe weather watches are handled by the local offices. There is much more to SPC than watches, BTW.. Outlooks and mesoscale discussions will not only continue, but increase in number and resolution. Under the current watch "decentralization" plan, SPC will still issue guidance watches that local offices would have the authority to modify by county, then issue under their own headers. Under the plan, SPC is not threatened with regard to staffing or core functions. ----- Personal opinion mode on (note: off duty and on my own private account and time, speaking for me and me only! See 1st Amendment for additional details...) ---- The biggest decentralization hurdle, by far: If this goes as planned, I realistically foresee few changes -- most watches will be rubber-stamped right on thru the local offices with the local headers attached. Projected manpower versus workload just is too little at field offices (hell, *actual* manpower versus workload is too little already in many cases!). MARD staffing is simply too low for forecasters to issue all the required public and aviation products, plus engage in thorough, scientifically sound weather analysis (the most overlooked part!), plus answer the phones, coordinate with spotters, reboot and troubleshoot all the crashing software (an increasing headache), keep shift logs, issue numerous warnings of several types, collect reports, coordinate watches/warnings with adjacent offices, man the weather radio, adhere to other procedural mandates, yadda yadda yadda... Something must give! The workload is just too much to devote proper forest-from-the trees attention to the added duty of severe weather watches, which depend so much on what's happening in other CWAs (some twice or more removed in geographic space from that of the office). Another touchy hurdle is expertise. I'm sorry, but a couple seminars and COMET CD-ROMS *will not* impart the type of nationwide, multisituational severe weather understanding to even the best-and-brightest that has been gained via experience and training at SELS from the 1950s thru today. Absolutely, positively WILL NOT. No exceptions. I sit back and await someone to prove that wrong...but I will not bet the ranch on it. There are lots of excellent regional severe weather people out there -- don't take me wrong. But until you have "sat in the seat," you cannot comprehend how diverse severe storms can be in their formative processes, patterns and morphologies [forest from the trees analogy applies well with this too]. Doubters -- I can personally refer to any of several people who have worked at both SPC and field offices in the 90s who will emphatically testify to that. And despite all the cumulative national experience and understanding, there is still so much yet to learn, so many questions unanswered and questions yet un-asked about severe storms. So...What happens when a severe weather setup uncommon to a particular area comes along? What happens if someone "bucks the trend" and excises counties from a guidance watch -- only to find carnage in one of those counties later that evening? These are issues that have been avoided, overgeneralized or hush-hushed in the public forum -- and should not be. Afterall, public service is at stake. Finally, with the big shakeup underway at the top, what's so certain about watch decentralization anyway? Who knows what the fallout will be from all this? This third factor -- a sweeping shadow of fiscal and philosophical uncertainty cast from above -- could be the most important for the future of all meteorological services in this country. [To borrow an analogy from Chuck Doswell] As important as the issue is, watch decentralization is still just a gnat-fart in this overall picture. ---------------------- *** No disclaimer needed; this is my personal account! *** "I don't understand, meteorologically ===== Roger Edwards ===== or common-sensically, what the deal private citizen is here!" ---former NSSL chase partner :::::::::: http://www.wildstar.net/~tornado :::::::::: "I FEAST ON THE SMORGASBORD OF ATMOSPHERIC VIOLENCE." ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 28 Jun 1997 07:10:50 GMT From: Brian Curran Subject: Re: Friday Firing Raises Red Flag Question: if there was reprogrammable money for FY 97 in NOAA's budget all along, then why has the NWS (and, ultimately, the taxpayer) suffered this budgetary snafu? bc -- Brian Curran ebcurran@flash.net I speak for myself only. See the First Amendment for details. In the end, there can be only one. And you're reading his signature... ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 28 Jun 1997 09:17:53 -0400 From: Greg Machos Subject: Northeast Heat Hello there everyone. I was wondering what everybody thought of the recent hot weather in the northeast. I was wondering largely because of the warm winter, and cool spring that happened here in the northeast. Greg Machos http://members.aol.com/hurctrack/HurcTrack.index.html ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 27 Jun 1997 to 28 Jun 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Jun 30 13:25:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102279-475>; Mon, 30 Jun 1997 13:10:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA199344; Mon, 30 Jun 1997 00:02:05 -0500 Message-Id: <199706300502.AAA199344@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 30 Jun 1997 00:00:22 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 28 Jun 1997 to 29 Jun 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 6a4442383ae5066ac6fd840f4e351fbb X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3969 Status: OR There are 4 messages totalling 95 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Looking for program 2. Weatherfreak's Homepage 3. AccuWX historical event 4. Light & Optics - Educational Resource (WW2010) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 29 Jun 1997 09:59:10 -0400 From: Mike Cotts Subject: Looking for program I have a satellite receiver and dish. I am receiving a signal on i think GOES East at 9600 baud. There is weather info and pictures coming for this signal. This is on the same satellite that sends the EMWIN data. I can receive the info using Pro com and read the text side of it. But of course i can not read or view the pictures. Does anyone know what this is and is there software that i can use to decode it? Mike - KB8SSH kb8ssh@juno.com - email only mcotts@freenet.columbus.oh.us - Attachment files only ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 29 Jun 1997 13:28:11 EDT From: Chris Phillips Subject: Weatherfreak's Homepage My homepage address is WWW.GEOCITIES.COM/CAPE CANAVERAL/LAB/5524 If anybody knows of any links that should be added to this page please send me email at one of the following addresses 1. Weatherfreak@juno.com 2. Weatherfreak@geocities.com 3. Stormchaser@coastalnet.com Thanks Happy Hunting! Weatherfreak ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 29 Jun 1997 21:30:24 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: AccuWX historical event Anyone know the wx-details behind this? Historical severe weather event... On June 29, 1990, a microburst wind gust estimated around 150 mph did extensive damage to Streamwood, IL, in the Chicago metro area. At least $10 million in damage was done to 25 stores and industrial buildings. There was no rain or thunderstorms in the immediate vicinity at the time as indicated by radar or eyewitnesses. ////////////////////////////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ Robert P Dale - N8GSK || rdale@norden1.com Meteorologist || rdale@storm.atms.purdue.edu Davidson Crane And Conveyor || dcc@norden1.com InterRAD NIDS Software http://www.stratus.weather.net/~rdale/interrad.html NW Ohio Weather Info http://wx.home.ml.org Northwest Ohio AMS http://nwohams.home.ml.org ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 29 Jun 1997 23:58:14 -0600 From: "Steven E. Hall" Subject: Light & Optics - Educational Resource (WW2010) For those interested in learning about atmospheric optics, the latest version of the "Light and Optics" instructional module is currently available. Learn how light interacts with atmospheric particles (refraction, scattering, etc.) and the optical effects that can result (halos, rainbows, sunsets, sundogs, etc.). This resource is accessible at: http://ww2010.atmos.uiuc.edu/(Gh)/guides/mtr/opt/home.rxml Thank You. ------------------------------------------------------- Steven E. Hall WW2010 Co-Developer http://ww2010.atmos.uiuc.edu/ UIUC CoVis Project Coordinator http://www.covis.nwu.edu/ Department of Atmospheric Sciences University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign 105 South Gregory Avenue Urbana, IL 61801 hall@uiatma.atmos.uiuc.edu (217)333-8132 -------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 28 Jun 1997 to 29 Jun 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103008-23331>; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 13:14:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA148740; Sat, 2 Aug 1997 00:05:11 -0500 Message-Id: <199708020505.AAA148740@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 2 Aug 1997 00:00:46 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 31 Jul 1997 to 1 Aug 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 70d0697fb3f0938d6dbfe42ddc98be37 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 13796 Status: OR There are 11 messages totalling 355 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. NGM MOS Guidance (2) 2. Ft Collins flood 3. Ft. Collins Flood "survey" 4. Q: Finding data on Past tornados 5. TV Met Job Available 6. occluded high? 7. computer hurricane guidance (CHG) products (3) 8. TWC OCMs (very) poor choice of words... +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 1 Aug 1997 10:19:49 -0400 From: Jonathan Kratenstein Subject: NGM MOS Guidance I was wondering if any one had the codes, or where to find them, to the CIG and VIS on the NGM MOS Guidance? Thanks so much for your help! Jon Kratenstein Jr. Technician/Shipping 301-258-8390 Ext: 115 Jkraten@aws.com ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 1 Aug 1997 11:03:14 EDT From: "Kenneth R. Cook" Subject: Re: NGM MOS Guidance > > I was wondering if any one had the codes, or where to find them, to the CIG and VIS on the NGM MOS Guidance? Thanks so much for your help! > > > Jon Kratenstein > Jr. Technician/Shipping > 301-258-8390 Ext: 115 > Jkraten@aws.com > Jon, I hope this is what you are looking for... VIS: 1 = < 1/2 mile 2 = 1/2 - 7/8 miles 3 = 1 - 2 3/4 miles 4 = 3 - 5 miles 5 = > 5 miles CIG: 1 = < 200 ft 2 = 200 - 400 ft 3 = 500 - 900 ft 4 = 1000 - 3000 ft 5 = 3100 - 6500 ft 6 = 6600 - 12000 ft 7 = > 12000 ft Ken -- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- "We hold these Truths to be self-evident, that all Men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty, and the Pursuit of Happiness... " The Declaration of Independence, July 4, 1776 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 1 Aug 1997 14:08:04 -0400 From: Chris Herbster Subject: Re: Ft Collins flood > Date: Thu, 31 Jul 1997 13:53:43 -0400 > From: Robert P Dale > Subject: Ft Collins flood > > I have heard the "it happened without warning" myself regarding this > event, so thought it would be appropriate to repost this from s.g.m... > > In article <33DF8948.265B6621@ou.edu>, Fanyou Kong writes: > |> Do meteorologists have anything to say about Monday's > |> Fort Collins (CO) disaster flood, which claimed 5 people > |> and millions dollars losses (It is reported $40millions > |> damage to CSU which has the advanced mesoscale model -- > |> RAMS). According to the news reports, there's no warning > |> at all before the storm hit the area. Is that true? > |> How about the RAMS model and as well the MM5 developed > |> 100 miles within the impact area? When I heard about the event, I peaked in on the Real-Time MM5 forecast that is done by NCAR and it looked like the 12 UTC initialization forecasted >4" in that area. The model is run at a 27 km resolution. I don't think they had their 9 km nest in that particular cycle, but I'm not sure. (Does anyone know if the RAMS was running over this region?) While this is under-forecasted from what really occurred (I've heard in some reports that >8" fell, as I understand it, any time you have many inches of rain in that area significant flooding is quite possible. Do the folks in the Denver NWS forecast office have access to these "experimental" mesoscale forecasts? If they do, then the MM5 could have given them a "heads up" that something significant might occur in that area. Obviously, from the warnings that were issued (deleted from this re-posting), the NWS was on top of the event as it was occurring. Once again, it is a shame that the word has gotten out that people weren't warned. I suspect that people who don't have Wx Alert radios, don't listen to AM/FM radio, don't watch TV, and aren't friends with their neighbors could have been caught off guard. (But what percentage of people fit this description?) It's human nature to scream that you didn't have any warning and that someone else should have warned you of (and maybe saved your house from) the approaching waters (or winds/hail/freeze/hurricane/tornado/...). It's always hard to accept that nothing more could have been done, but I doubt anyone was ready to attach their trailer home to their truck and drive off into the sunset. By the way, the URL to the MM5 at NCAR is: http://www.mmm.ucar.edu/mm5/mm5forecast/rtmm5.html Just my $0.02. Sure hope I didn't step on any toes with this post .... Switching back to "lurk mode" now . Chris H. **************************************************************************** Dr. Christopher G. Herbster - COMET/CITM Fellow; FSU Met. TLH NWS Herbster@met.fsu.edu http://citm1.met.fsu.edu/~cherb/ * New Area code! * (850)-644-6205 [FSU Met. Dept. Office] (850)-644-9642 [FSU FAX] (850)-942-8999 [TLH NWS Office] (850)-942-9396 [NWS FAX] "Never let the atmosphere's complexity get in the way of its beauty." Visit our Real-time modeling page at: http://www.nws.fsu.edu/tlh/mm5/ **************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 1 Aug 1997 14:35:30 CDT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: Ft. Collins Flood "survey" WXtalkers, I'm up here at the COMAP course in Boulder, and Jim LaDue (OSF/FIRSTT) and I surveyed the Fort Collins flash flood damage (where we could get in) the day after the flood. Over 8" of rain fell on west Fort Collins in a 5 hour period, on already-saturated ground. The result was the flooding of Spring Creek (and very *small* tributary of the Poudre River) that runs west to east through the city, about 1/2 mile south of the Colorado State University (CSU) main campus. Apparently, the creek backed up behind an elevated railroad track, and the weight of the water and a train going across the tracks caused this "levee" to break, sending a wall of water downstream through the two trailer parks and across College Avenue. Five persons were killed in these trailer parks. At the CSU campus, apparently, the irrigation ditch that runs just west of the student union backed up and spilled over it's banks, through the union, and then downhill toward the eastern part of campus. The entire bottom floor of the union was destroyed, with damage estimates near $40 million. The irrigation ditch that flooded is actually *higher* than the union (by a few feet, normal for some irrigation ditches in this part of the country), and I believe flowed *backwards* as a culvert was blocked. This disaster hit me very different than other flood and tornado damage surveys I've done in the past, since CSU is my grad school alma mater, and I am intimately familiar with some of the areas that recieved damage. greg stumpf, CSU grad, in Boulder at COMET, NSSL ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 1 Aug 1997 15:42:59 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Q: Finding data on Past tornados Anyone know where I could go to try to find information about some tornados that hit here in Gainesville (FL) in the (I think it was) late 70s or early 80s? I can't remember the exact date, but we had about 8 tornados reported in town. Did they do the Local Storm Reports thing back then? or keep other records? Also, is there a place to go to that would show what the weather was like immediately preceeding and during the events? Thanks, Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman, A.R.S. KB4MHH -\\- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- Home Page URL: http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Permission to use the above info for inclusion in any mailing | | lists, so as to send me ad-mail personally, is NOT granted. | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 1 Aug 1997 16:52:05 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available EEKEND WEATHER ANCHOR (KUTV) KUTV is seeking a full-time broadcast meteorologist with 3-5 years experience. Must be familiar with various systems of weather computer graphics, have an excellent on-camera appearance with a credible, authoritative yet pleasing manner of presentation. College degree or AMS seal preferred. Responsibilities include forecasting weather for weekend newscasts and compiling information and maps to accurately present daily and long-range weather forecasts and information. Must be willing and available to work varying schedules as necessary. Send non-returnable demo tapes and resume to: KUTV, Human Resources, 2185 South 3600 West, Salt Lake City, UT 84119. EOE *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 1 Aug 1997 19:16:25 -0400 From: Shawn Trueman Subject: occluded high? Wx-Talkers, I know there is such a thing as an occluded low, when the surface and upper lows are stacked above each other. But is there such a thing as an occluded high? Shawn Trueman Meteorologist Atmospherics, Inc. 5652 E. Dayton Ave. Fresno, CA 93727 (209) 291-5575 strueman@geography.ohio-state.edu ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 1 Aug 1997 17:46:19 -0400 From: Tony Cristaldi or Christina Woods Subject: computer hurricane guidance (CHG) products A quick question for the list, I haven't been able to find either of the TPC products which contain 00-72 hour model output of position/intensity. These are: 1) AFOS ID MIACHGHUR, WMO header WHXX01.KNHC 12-hourly output for the standard set of hurricane track/intensity models - BAM shallow, medium and deep layer, CLIPER, EXTRAPOLATED, NHC90, and the SHIPS & SHIFOR intensity models. I may have missed one (LBAR or VICBAR?) b/c I don't have a copy of the product in front of me. Run at synoptic times. 2) AFOS ID MIACHGQLM, WMO header WHXX04.KNHC The Quasi-LaGrangian Model (or GFDL) 6-hourly output of GFDL forecast positions and movement. Run at synoptic times. Perhaps these are only in-house products, however they do have WMO headers so I figured they would be on the net somewhere. Couldn't find them on any university gophers or on the plethora of tropical sites i have "booked". Any help in finding these products would be greatly appreciated. Tony Cristaldi NWS Melbourne Fl ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 1 Aug 1997 19:09:05 -0400 From: Tony Cristaldi or Christina Woods Subject: computer hurricane guidance (CHG) products A quick question for the list, I haven't been able to find either of the TPC products which contain 00-72 hour model output of position/intensity. These are: 1) AFOS ID MIACHGHUR, WMO header WHXX01.KNHC 12-hourly output for the standard set of hurricane track/intensity models - BAM shallow, medium and deep layer, CLIPER, EXTRAPOLATED, NHC90, and the SHIPS & SHIFOR intensity models. I may have missed one (LBAR or VICBAR?) b/c I don't have a copy of the product in front of me. Run at synoptic times. 2) AFOS ID MIACHGQLM, WMO header WHXX04.KNHC The Quasi-LaGrangian Model (or GFDL) 6-hourly output of GFDL forecast positions and movement. Run at synoptic times. Perhaps these are only in-house products, however they do have WMO headers so I figured they would be on the net somewhere. Couldn't find them on any university gophers or on the plethora of tropical sites i have "booked". Any help in finding these products would be greatly appreciated. Tony Cristaldi NWS Melbourne Fl ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 1 Aug 1997 22:05:05 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: computer hurricane guidance (CHG) products >Perhaps these are only in-house products You are correct... Rob ////////////////////////////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ Robert P Dale - N8GSK || rdale@norden1.com Meteorologist || rdale@storm.atms.purdue.edu Davidson Crane And Conveyor || dcc@norden1.com InterRAD NIDS Software http://www.stratus.weather.net/~rdale/interrad.html NW Ohio Weather Info http://norden1.com/~rdale/weather.html Northwest Ohio AMS http://nwohams.home.ml.org ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 2 Aug 1997 00:33:58 -0700 From: Stephen Hodanish Subject: TWC OCMs (very) poor choice of words... I don't know about the rest of you, but I'm getting real tired of hearing the word "thunderboomers" used by one of the OCMs on TWC. Steve Hodanish ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 31 Jul 1997 to 1 Aug 1997 ************************************************* From - Mon Aug 4 09:37:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102328-28934>; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 13:07:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA148804; Sun, 3 Aug 1997 00:03:03 -0500 Message-Id: <199708030503.AAA148804@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 3 Aug 1997 00:00:08 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 1 Aug 1997 to 2 Aug 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 88ce0bfdc8f0dd49dee969b99609ff9d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 11556 Status: OR There are 6 messages totalling 300 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 31 Jul 1997 to 1 Aug 1997 (2) 2. Tornadic Signatures 3. WX-TALK Digest - 31 Jul 1997 to 1 Aug 1997 (Annoying TRW terms) 4. Q: Finding data on Past tornados 5. Q: What does a gustnado look like, exactly? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 2 Aug 1997 08:00:20 +0000 From: Howard Altschule Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 31 Jul 1997 to 1 Aug 1997 >Todd Sherman wrote: > Anyone know where I could go to try to find information about some >tornados that hit here in Gainesville (FL) in the (I think it was) late 70s >or early 80s? I can't remember the exact date, but we had about 8 tornados >reported in town. Did they do the Local Storm Reports thing back then? or >keep other records? > > Also, is there a place to go to that would show what the weather was like >immediately preceeding and during the events? ...Todd, I believe that the best official source for storm damage reports at this time is the publication "Storm Data" which is published by the National Climatic Data Center in Asheville, NC. I believe they have issues which go back to the early 80's (I think). In any case, unless there was a specific publication on this event by a researcher, then this would probably be the best way to check it out. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------- >Also.....Steve Hodanish wrote: >I don't know about the rest of you, but I'm getting real tired of hearing >the word "thunderboomers" used by one of the OCMs on TWC. ....I agree, the term "thunderboomers is a bit corny and sounds funny. It is right up there in the same category as "Splash-And-Dash Thunderstorms" (used by a different OCM). I am sure there are other pet peeves among all of us as well. Best regards, Howie Altschule Meteorologist, NY/NJ E-mail Address: HAltschule@worldnet.att.net ********* ******* | ***** "Toto, We're about to get our butt's whoooped!!".... (The Wizard) *** --!-- ** !!!!!!!!!!!!!! * ! O O O! ------*---!------------!------------------------------------------ ////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 2 Aug 1997 07:23:50 -0400 From: William Gehrs Subject: Tornadic Signatures Howdy folks, Is anyone aware of research regarding EM or RF Signatures of tornados? Thank you, William Gehrs ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 2 Aug 1997 12:50:10 -0400 From: "Gregory A. Surplus" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 31 Jul 1997 to 1 Aug 1997 (Annoying TRW terms) At 08:00 AM 8/2/97 +0000, Howard Altschule wrote: > >>Also.....Steve Hodanish wrote: > >>I don't know about the rest of you, but I'm getting real tired of hearing >>the word "thunderboomers" used by one of the OCMs on TWC. > >....I agree, the term "thunderboomers is a bit corny and sounds funny. It >is right up there in the same category as "Splash-And-Dash Thunderstorms" >(used by a different OCM). I am sure there are other pet peeves among all >of us as well. > I used to get real annoyed with "thundershowers." It just sounds too wimpy. Just what is a "Splash-And-Dash Thunderstorm?" It is probably a thunderstorm that is in a hurry and has just enough time to quickly splash someone before it has to dash. :-) ********************************************************************** *Greg Surplus Microg's MD Weather Homepage * *gsurplus@delphi.com http://people.delphi.com/gsurplus/ * ********************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 2 Aug 1997 13:58:54 -0500 From: "Daniel W. McCarthy" Subject: Re: Q: Finding data on Past tornados --------------342B7BFE3F6E69904EAC95B5 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Todd L. Sherman wrote: > Anyone know where I could go to try to find information about some > tornados that hit here in Gainesville (FL) in the (I think it was) > late 70s > or early 80s? I can't remember the exact date, but we had about 8 > tornados > reported in town. Did they do the Local Storm Reports thing back > then? or > keep other records? > > Also, is there a place to go to that would show what the weather was > like > immediately preceeding and during the events? > > Thanks, > > Todd Todd, You may be able to find what you're looking for by referring to www.tornadoproject.com Dan McCarthy Mesometeorologist --------------342B7BFE3F6E69904EAC95B5 Content-Type: text/html; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Todd L. Sherman wrote:

  Anyone know where I could go to try to find information about some
tornados that hit here in Gainesville (FL) in the (I think it was) late 70s
or early 80s?  I can't remember the exact date, but we had about 8 tornados
reported in town.  Did they do the Local Storm Reports thing back then? or
keep other records?

  Also, is there a place to go to that would show what the weather was like
immediately preceeding and during the events?

Thanks,

Todd

Todd,

    You may be able to find what you're looking for by referring to
 
    www.tornadoproject.com

    Dan McCarthy
    Mesometeorologist

 
  --------------342B7BFE3F6E69904EAC95B5-- ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 2 Aug 1997 14:01:37 -0500 From: "Daniel W. McCarthy" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 31 Jul 1997 to 1 Aug 1997 Howard Altschule wrote: > >Todd Sherman wrote: > > > Anyone know where I could go to try to find information about some > >tornados that hit here in Gainesville (FL) in the (I think it was) > late 70s > >or early 80s? I can't remember the exact date, but we had about 8 > tornados > >reported in town. Did they do the Local Storm Reports thing back > then? or > >keep other records? > > > > Also, is there a place to go to that would show what the weather > was like > >immediately preceeding and during the events? > > ...Todd, I believe that the best official source for storm damage > reports at > this time is the publication "Storm Data" which is published by the > National > Climatic Data Center in Asheville, NC. I believe they have issues > which go > back to the early 80's (I think). In any case, unless there was a > specific > publication on this event by a researcher, then this would probably be > the > best way to check it out. > ------------------------- > -------------------------------------------------- > ---------- > > >Also.....Steve Hodanish wrote: > > >I don't know about the rest of you, but I'm getting real tired of > hearing > >the word "thunderboomers" used by one of the OCMs on TWC. > > ....I agree, the term "thunderboomers is a bit corny and sounds > funny. It > is right up there in the same category as "Splash-And-Dash > Thunderstorms" > (used by a different OCM). I am sure there are other pet peeves among > all > of us as well. > > Best regards, > > Howie Altschule > Meteorologist, NY/NJ > E-mail Address: HAltschule@worldnet.att.net Also....why must EVERYONE be "under the gun"? What does that mean any way ????? Dan McCarthy Mesometeorologist ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 2 Aug 1997 16:07:52 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Q: What does a gustnado look like, exactly? A line of thunderstorms came through Gainesville today and at 2:35pm (EST) in the farther end of the gust front (towards my northwest horizon here at Whitney Mobile Home Park in extreme NW Gainesville), and from the darker, lower clouds, I noted a long, slender, tube-_like_ formation protruding down from just ahead of the front. I was outside videotaping the approach of the front for my own possible later use, to get an idea of what things happen as storms pass overhead. Then I saw that thing protruding down. I did get it on tape but in the time it took to point and hit the REC button, and the tape began to run from pause, it looked like it was already beginning to "destabilize" (yes, that quick) and it appeared to then break apart and become part of the gust front clouds that were -- well, I couldn't tell -- either overtaking it, or that it moved into itself. It only lasted about 30 seconds -- from the time that I caught sight of it anyway. I can't tell if it touched ground because I was on high zoom looking between trees, which blocked the lower part of the apparent "finger." (Trying to be careful about my wordings here, because I realize -- not being experienced at all -- it might not be what I think, and I could have seen just remarkably organized "scud" immitators.) I got on the repeater and made mention of it to the local ARES EC but I am not sure if it was actually what they call a "gustnado," or even a "cold-air funnel," or if it just happened to be an incredibly long, and perfect-looking, sharply-outlined scud cloud. (Yes, I told him about my confusion and being unsure at ALL of what I saw, too.) I'll have to show it to the NWS-Jax guy when we finally decide when to have our basic spotter class. First time I've ever seen anything like that. Kinda scared me for a second considering that I live in a mobile home park. But can anyone give me a clearer description of these things? that is: how they appear to the ground-based observer? Is it indeed possible that that was what I saw? a weak gustnado? or perhaps just a cold-air funnel? If so, how common are those things? Would you see many of them in a regular non-supercell thunderstorm like what rolled over Gainesville today? The storm itself? Some light gusts of wind as it passed over. Lower clouds were obviously speedy as they moved to the ENE. Rain? PHffbt!...very light, but steady even to this moment. Kinda reminds me of our winter type rains up here. Temp dropped from 90 to about 70 as the dark clouds rolled overhead. Heard occasional thunder but no lightning noticed. No real bark or bite. Now that it's over, I'm just sitting here with this tape of..._something_... and would love to know what it was. ...If that can be done by just verbal description. Thanks, Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman, A.R.S. KB4MHH -\\- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- Home Page URL: http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Permission to use the above info for inclusion in any mailing | | lists, so as to send me ad-mail personally, is NOT granted. | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 1 Aug 1997 to 2 Aug 1997 ************************************************ From - Mon Aug 4 13:27:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102314-28484>; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 13:14:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA81246; Mon, 4 Aug 1997 00:04:18 -0500 Message-Id: <199708040504.AAA81246@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 4 Aug 1997 00:00:10 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 2 Aug 1997 to 3 Aug 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 8b10cd23d67cb7fee759fce60a056294 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Status: OR There are 4 messages totalling 115 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 31 Jul 1997 to 1 Aug 1997 2. Eastern European Floodings / Meteorological Development 3. Watches & Warnings 4. Locating Satellite Pictures +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 2 Aug 1997 23:35:37 -0600 From: Matt Rehwald Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 31 Jul 1997 to 1 Aug 1997 Dan McCarthy wrote: > > >Also.....Steve Hodanish wrote: > > > > >I don't know about the rest of you, but I'm getting real tired of > > hearing > > >the word "thunderboomers" used by one of the OCMs on TWC. > > > > ....I agree, the term "thunderboomers is a bit corny and sounds > > funny. It > > is right up there in the same category as "Splash-And-Dash > > Thunderstorms" > > (used by a different OCM). I am sure there are other pet peeves among > > all > > of us as well. > > > > Best regards, > > > > Howie Altschule > > Meteorologist, NY/NJ > > E-mail Address: HAltschule@worldnet.att.net > > Also....why must EVERYONE be "under the gun"? What does that mean any > way ????? > > Dan McCarthy > Mesometeorologist Splash-n-Dash thundershowers I can handle, but I really do hate it when I'm "in line for" "thunderbumpers" and "weather fronts". What the hell is a "weather front", anyway? Is that the boundary between Weather and Anti-Weather? Is that where Thunderboomers "pop up"? Just out of curiosity, does anyone outside of Utah say that diurnal thunderstorms "go to bed" at night? Matt %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%% Matt Rehwald The Home Office: Forecaster, Weatherbank Inc. 330 Crestview Drive Edmond, OK <*> PO Box 2772 synoptic@xmission.com Park City, UT 84060-2772 ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 3 Aug 1997 19:12:48 +0200 From: Dennis Schulze Subject: Eastern European Floodings / Meteorological Development Hello, I am compiling some charts for documentation of the synoptical development which lead to the Eastern/Central Europe "Millinium Flooding" which caused several deaths and is still causing trouble in Eastern Germany, Poland, and the Czech Republic. If you are interested, please visit http://www.met.fu-berlin.de/~dennis/oder97 Right now you'll find some links to other sites and scans of 500 hPa analyses of July 97. If you have suggestions or questions please send me a mail. With kind regards, Dennis ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 3 Aug 1997 17:43:30 -0400 From: "Michael A. Barnes" Subject: Watches & Warnings A few months ago I saw a post for a free service that would e-mail watches and warnings to a person based upon their selection of county, zone or state. I have misplaced this and was wondering if anyone was familiar with this service. I am aware that there are some commercial services that do similiar things, but since this is for my own personal use I would like the free version. Thanks, Please reply via e-mail Mike Barnes mbarnes@gate.net ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 3 Aug 1997 23:05:24 -0500 From: Dave Christensen Subject: Locating Satellite Pictures Does any one know of any good FTP sites for satellite pictures. I have tried all of the sites on Weather Net's FTP Sites and either they are junk or I can not get into them for some reason. If anyone knows of any sites please let me know. Thanks Dave Christensen dchriste@bellsouth.net ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 2 Aug 1997 to 3 Aug 1997 ************************************************ From - Tue Aug 5 13:14:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102629-17890>; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 13:08:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA92598; Tue, 5 Aug 1997 00:03:40 -0500 Message-Id: <199708050503.AAA92598@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 5 Aug 1997 00:01:02 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 3 Aug 1997 to 4 Aug 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: ae13f9f59273dfd5c2f2368e4f468dcb X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Status: OR There are 3 messages totalling 62 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Watches & Warnings 2. Meteorologist or Weathercaster? 3. WX-TALK Digest - 22 Jul 1997 to 23 Jul 1997 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 4 Aug 1997 11:39:31 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Re: Watches & Warnings "Michael A. Barnes" wrote: >A few months ago I saw a post for a free service that would e-mail watches >and warnings to a person based upon their selection of county, zone or >state. I have misplaced this and was wondering if anyone was familiar with >this service. Send the command "help" to: wx-alert@wats-ts4-12.ppp.iadfw.net ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 4 Aug 1997 13:52:44 GMT From: Bill Gross Subject: Re: Meteorologist or Weathercaster? gbishop524@aol.com (GBishop524) wrote: deletia >to apply it in practicle forecasting. Take another look at the military >forecasters. We have to be good or lives can be lost and we can go to >prison. Compare that to someone who only has to worry about maybe losing >a job for motivation. There is a story about the Air Weather Service at Ft Hood. The installation flight detachment which provides air taxi service to the III Corps Commanders and others at Hood uses the USAF Weather folks for their operaitonal forecasts. The guy who keeps the CG's schedule was getting ticked at the number of flights that were cancled due to weather that didn't develop. Raised a stink with the flight detachment commander who went to the AF weather guys to find out what was going on. The AF weather OIC pulled out his forecast record showing a 40% accuracy rate which was all he was required to meet according to AF Regs. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 4 Aug 1997 13:24:07 +0000 From: Jim Raudy Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 22 Jul 1997 to 23 Jul 1997 You can find 1-2 years of upper air data at: http://www.fsl.noaa.gov/frd/mab/govett/raobs/GetRaob.html ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 3 Aug 1997 to 4 Aug 1997 ************************************************ From - Wed Aug 6 14:24:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102234-8195>; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 13:14:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA232278; Wed, 6 Aug 1997 00:05:12 -0500 Message-Id: <199708060505.AAA232278@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 6 Aug 1997 00:01:30 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 4 Aug 1997 to 5 Aug 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: ac9345ab2b73b6bf8665e26282600338 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Status: OR There are 6 messages totalling 166 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Hurricane Info 2. TV Met Job 3. mounting 4. Alcohol Thermometer 5. Weather News 6. Tornado AND severe t-storm warning... +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 5 Aug 1997 10:15:17 -0400 From: Jim Martin Subject: Hurricane Info Have not received any traffic on the Wx-Atlan list for about 12 hours...is Chris having problems with the new setup?? Jim Martin http://www.se.mediaone.net/~jimartin/ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 5 Aug 1997 10:05:26 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job WEEKEND WEATHER ANCHOR (KUTV) KUTV is seeking a full-time broadcast meteorologist with 3-5 years experience. Must be familiar with various systems of weather computer graphics, have an excellent on-camera appearance with a credible, authoritative yet pleasing manner of presentation. College degree or AMS seal preferred. Responsibilities include forecasting weather for weekend newscasts and compiling information and maps to accurately present daily and long-range weather forecasts and information. Must be willing and available to work varying schedules as necessary. Send non-returnable demo tapes and resume to: KUTV, Human Resources, 2185 South 3600 West, Salt Lake City, UT 84119. EOE *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 5 Aug 1997 13:54:46 PDT From: "Jared Kaplan \"the weatherman\"" Subject: mounting Jared Kaplan jared@sria.com weatherman@mad.scientist.com jared24@juno.com They say "bad weather is bad" I say "Bad weather is Great" For all of you who helped me about six months ago on where to mount my Weather Wizard III, I finally mounted it about 3 weeks ago. I just have two questions, firs, I used the radio shack chimny mound (heavy duty one) with a 10 foot radio shack mast. The mounts are about two-three feet apart. I was wondering, on a sudden 15 or so mph gust is it normal for the mast to shake a little (very little). Also, my next progect is mounting the Stormwise LSU-2001 lightning detector. Does anyone have mounting Ideas, other that using the same pole? Thanks, Jared Kaplan jared@sria.com weatherman@mad.scientist.com ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 5 Aug 1997 12:36:48 -0700 From: cavataio Subject: Alcohol Thermometer Hello, all. The alcohol column has split (etiology unknown) and the barbell is subsequently disoriented, making min. temp readings impossible. I've tried a warm water soak hoping to reunite the separated columns and thereby avoid custody battles over the barbell but to no avail. A good shaking didn't work either. Does anyone know any tricks to make this thermometer functional again? Thanks. I'm trying to avoid the ea$y way out. Vicki Cavataio Weather Station Sup./ Dept. of Geography San Diego State University ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 5 Aug 1997 17:29:11 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Weather News The following appeared in SHOPTALK: Lisa Spencer, chief meteorologist at NBC-17 WNCN in Raleigh North Carolina, has a new addition to the family, a baby girl.. Alexandra Nicole was born Saturday, July 26 at 5:15am. Lisa and her husband Brady also have a five year old son, Nicholas. Lisa was formerly an on-camera meteorologist at The Weather Channel. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 5 Aug 1997 21:56:36 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Tornado AND severe t-storm warning... Hello all, I noticed this on the wires this evening. I have a question: why is a tornado AND a severe thunderstorm warning in effect? Isn't that redundant, IE, a tornado in a thunderstorm immediately makes it severe? I'm just curious why they did this...I would guess to emphasize the damagaing straight line winds, but that is normally assumed... > 321 > WFUS1 KABR 060200 COR > TORABR > MNC155-SDC109-060310- > > BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED > TORNADO AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING...CORRECTED > NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD > 854 PM CDT TUE AUG 5 1997 > > CORRECTED TO MAKE COMBINATION TORNADO AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORM > > > * TORNADO AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR > ROBERTS COUNTY - NORTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA > TRAVERSE COUNTY - WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA > > * UNTIL 1010 PM CDT > > * SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED > NEW EFFINGTON AND VICTOR AROUND 910 PM CDT > ROSHOLT AROUND 910 PM CDT > WHEATON AROUND 925 PM CDT > BROWNS VALLEY AND COLLIS AROUND 945 PM CDT > > * AT 850 PM CDT...ABERDEEN DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE > THUNDERSTORM WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND A TORNADO 27 MILES NORTHEAST OF > SISSETON OR 10 MILES NORTH OF VICTOR MOVING SOUTH AT 30 MPH. > > THIS STORM ALSO HAS A HISTORY OF DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. TAKE > COVER IN A BASEMENT OR INNERMOST ROOM OF A STURDY BUILDING AWAY > FROM WINDOWS.! > > HG Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 4 Aug 1997 to 5 Aug 1997 ************************************************ From - Thu Aug 7 15:01:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102362-29979>; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 13:26:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA82252; Thu, 7 Aug 1997 00:05:47 -0500 Message-Id: <199708070505.AAA82252@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 7 Aug 1997 00:03:00 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 5 Aug 1997 to 6 Aug 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 954f4c248af118b6379e92fb7ab6bb5a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 21627 Status: OR There are 12 messages totalling 526 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Job Posting 2. Tornado AND severe t-storm warning... (2) 3. Announce: Real-Time Modeling web page 4. NWS night on Undernet's #weather 5. It's a-freezin' in Oklahomy 6. InterMet first issue now online 7. Alcohol Thermometer 8. Global "warming"?? 9. College of DuPage web site coming back! 10. Station Location 11. Online Radar vendor review update... +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 6 Aug 1997 09:54:00 -0700 From: Grover_Prowell@NOTES.YMP.GOV Subject: Job Posting POSITION ANNOUNCEMENT POSITION TITLE: Meteorological Technician HIRING MANAGER: Dale S. Ambos SALARY RANGE: $27,000 - $35,500 (Midpoint) SALARY LEVEL: 9 JOB DESCRIPTION: The technician will report directly to the Manager, Environmental Field Programs, and will work with other technicians in operating meteorological and air quality equipment at field sites at Yucca Mountain, 85 miles northwest of Las Vegas, Nevada. The technician will interface with scientists and other technicians as part of the data acquisition and processing routines. Site operations include: following procedures for equipment operations and maintenance; and performing quality control and quality assurance tasks. Work requires walking over rough terrain while carrying sensitive or heavy equipment to remote locations. REQUIRED SKILLS: Associates degree in a scientific field or in electronic engineering technology and/or equivalent combination of education and experience. Experience should include a minimum of five years of pertinent experience in operation of environmental monitoring equipment. Above average written and verbal communication skills are required. Specific experience with meteorological and air quality systems, air samplers, and electronic data loggers, and electronic equipment repair is very desirable. POST DATE: August 6, 1997 APPLICATION PROCESS: Submit resume to SAIC, Human Resources, 3900 Paradise Road, Suite 285, Las Vegas, NV 89109 EQUAL OPPORTUNITY AND AFFIRMATIVE ACTION EMPLOYER M/F/H/V For more information, please call Dale Ambos at (702) 295-5088. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 6 Aug 1997 12:12:59 -0500 From: "Daniel W. McCarthy" Subject: Re: Tornado AND severe t-storm warning... Gilbert L. Sebenste wrote: > Hello all, > > I noticed this on the wires this evening. I have a question: why is > a tornado AND a severe thunderstorm warning in effect? Isn't that > redundant, IE, a tornado in a thunderstorm immediately makes it > severe? > I'm just curious why they did this...I would guess to emphasize > the damagaing straight line winds, but that is normally assumed... > > > 321 > > WFUS1 KABR 060200 COR > > TORABR > > MNC155-SDC109-060310- > > > > BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED > > TORNADO AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING...CORRECTED > > NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD > > 854 PM CDT TUE AUG 5 1997 > > > > CORRECTED TO MAKE COMBINATION TORNADO AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORM > > > > > > * TORNADO AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR > > ROBERTS COUNTY - NORTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA > > TRAVERSE COUNTY - WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA > > > > * UNTIL 1010 PM CDT > > > > * SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED > > NEW EFFINGTON AND VICTOR AROUND 910 PM CDT > > ROSHOLT AROUND 910 PM CDT > > WHEATON AROUND 925 PM CDT > > BROWNS VALLEY AND COLLIS AROUND 945 PM CDT > > > > * AT 850 PM CDT...ABERDEEN DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE > > THUNDERSTORM WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND A TORNADO 27 MILES NORTHEAST > OF > > SISSETON OR 10 MILES NORTH OF VICTOR MOVING SOUTH AT 30 MPH. > > > > THIS STORM ALSO HAS A HISTORY OF DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. > TAKE > > COVER IN A BASEMENT OR INNERMOST ROOM OF A STURDY BUILDING AWAY > > FROM WINDOWS.! > > > > HG > > Gilbert > > ******* > *********************************************************************** We saw that at work last night, Gilbert. One thing is for sure, no matter what kind of damage you find, it's easy to verify! Daniel McCarthy Mesometeorologist at _ _ _. My own account...my own opinions. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 6 Aug 1997 14:40:26 -0400 From: Chris Herbster Subject: Announce: Real-Time Modeling web page The NWSO Tallahassee would like to invite you to visit our Real-Time modeling project web page. The direct URL is: http://www.nws.fsu.edu/tlh/mm5/ (Links to this page are also available in the "Current Weather" and "About the Office => Current Research" pages.) We run the NCAR/PSU MM5 twice a day at the NWS office on an HP-755 workstation at a resolution of 15 km over a domain that covers an area that is larger than our County Warning Area (CWA). The model domain covers southeastern Alabama, southwestern Georgia, the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend areas along with the waters of the northern Gulf of Mexico and Apalachee Bay The model is (generally) run using the Eta model for initial and time-dependent boundary conditions and is run for each of the Eta forecast cycles (00 and 12 UTC). Our forecasts are generally for 30-36 hours, depending on the time the model is initialized. (Please visit the web site for more details.) We invite you to visit our site to see how this model compares with the larger scaled operational models that are provided by NCEP. We ask that if you do find this product to be of use, that you please let us know. ("mailto" links are available to easily send comments/suggestions.) This work has been supported by an appointment to the COMET(R) Fellowship Program sponsored by the National Weather Service and administered by the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research under a Cooperative Agreement with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA Award Nos. NA37WD0018-01 or NA67WD0097). Happy clicking! Chris Herbster **************************************************************************** Dr. Christopher G. Herbster - COMET/CITM Fellow; FSU Met. TLH NWS Herbster@met.fsu.edu http://citm1.met.fsu.edu/~cherb/ * New Area code! * (850)-644-6205 [FSU Met. Dept. Office] (850)-644-9642 [FSU FAX] (850)-942-8999 [TLH NWS Office] (850)-942-9396 [NWS FAX] "Never let the atmosphere's complexity get in the way of its beauty." Visit our Real-time modeling page at: http://www.nws.fsu.edu/tlh/mm5/ **************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 6 Aug 1997 15:21:23 -0400 From: Matt Rosier Subject: NWS night on Undernet's #weather Join us this Friday night (August 8th) starting at 9:00pm EDT on Undernet's #weather for NWS meteorology night. We will be having two special guests joining us, Lead Forecaster of the NWS in Sterling, VA, Dewey Walston and Lead Forecaster of the NWS in Taunton, MA, Walt Drag. This event will not be moderated, however there will be a special command to be used when you would like to ask a question. You will be notified when it is your chance to ask your question after you have submitted the command for asking a question. The command for this will be told to you via auto-message when you join the channel friday night. We are doing this to keep the event under control and to make sure our guests are only presented with one question at a time. Also, if you are planning to attend, we ask that you do not ask any controversial questions, such as those regarding the budget of the NWS. Our guests will not answer any questions they find inappropriate or any questions they cannot answer. Thank you for your cooperation. IRC Instructions: For those of you who have not used IRC before, first you will need an IRC client: For Windows: http://www.mirc.co.uk For Macintosh: http://www.xs4all.nl/~ircle/ Setting up IRC is pretty self explanatory, you will need to chose an Undernet server, some reliable servers are: lowell.ma.us.undernet.org newbrunswick.us.undernet.org rockhill.us.undernet.org baltimore.md.us.undernet.org sandiego.us.undernet.org StLouis.mo.us.undernet.org sandiego.ca.us.undernet.org After connecting type /join #weather and we hope to see you there! Matt - IRC Channel Operator: Undernet's #weather (NEXRADguy) ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 6 Aug 1997 18:24:34 EDT From: Tim Vasquez <71611.2267@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: It's a-freezin' in Oklahomy Wow... what had looked like 70s and 80s for today actually turned into FIFTIES and SIXTIES across Oklahoma -- in the middle of an August afternoon! It's been a long time since I've seen anything like this. Evaporative cooling must be in full force. If anyone knows of any cooler August days that have occurred in this part of the country, it would make for some great reading. Tim Vasquez author, WeatherGraphix Norman, OK Digital Atmosphere 71611.2267@compuserve.com (405) 573-0700 WeatherGraphix/Digital Atmosphere -- http://www.telepath.com/tvasquez/ StormTrack Online -- http://www.telepath.com/storm/ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 6 Aug 1997 20:22:40 -0400 From: InterMet Subject: InterMet first issue now online InterMet (International Meteorology Magazine) is proud to announce the release of the first issue. Please take the time to have a look and send me your comments. http://www.magma.ca/~intermet/ and click on Current Issue. Hope to hear from you all, Bernard Miville _______________________________________ InterMet International Meteorology Magazine http://www.magma.ca/~intermet/ intermet@magma.ca ________________________________________ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 6 Aug 1997 18:33:16 -0500 From: Warren Sunkel Subject: Re: Alcohol Thermometer On Wed, 6 Aug 1997 00:01:30 -0500, Vicki Cavataio wrote: >Hello, all. > >The alcohol column has split (etiology unknown) and the barbell is >subsequently disoriented, making min. temp readings impossible. >I've tried a warm water soak hoping to reunite the separated columns and >thereby avoid custody battles over the barbell but to no avail. A good >shaking didn't work either. Does anyone know any tricks to make this >thermometer functional again? > >Thanks. I'm trying to avoid the ea$y way out. > >Vicki Cavataio >Weather Station Sup./ Dept. of Geography >San Diego State University To which Warren replies... I am quoting the following instructions from _Instructions for Climatological Observers_, Circular B, Tenth Edition, Revised October 1955, which I purchased from the Superintendent of Documents for 55 cents. The book has been right here in my desk drawer for the last 40 years! The typos are my responsibility. Sometimes the alcohol column of a minimum thermometer may become separated into segments, resulting in erroneous readings. The separations may appear as small bubbles, which make the column too long and which may trap the index. Segments of the column may separate completely from the principal column and remain in the upper portion of the bore. In this case the column will be too short and result in temperature readings that will be too low. Any of the methods described below may have to be repeated several times before segments of a column are reunited. In extreme cases, fifteen to twenty minutes may be required to unite the separated columns completely. However, no method should be continued so long or so forcefully as to risk breaking the thermometer. When repeated attempts fail to unite the segments, replace the thermometer with a serviceable one. An alcohol thermomteter should be kept in a vertical position for several hours after segments of a column have been reunited to permit any alcohol clinging to the sides of the bore to drain down. To dislodge an entrapped index or to unite detached segments of alcohol, grasp the thermometer securely a little below the middle, with the bulb end down. Strike the edge of the metal back opposite the broken column sharply against the fleshy portion of the palm of the hand. Repeat this procedure several times. The thermometer must not be held in such a manner that the fingers or any part of the hand presses against the stem of the thermometer. A short quick swing of the arm is often effective in forcing the index into the bulb and reuniting segements of the alcohol column. Grasp the thermometer firmly by the edges of the metal back a little above the mid-point. Avoid pressure on the glass tube with the fingers or any part of the hand. With the arm extended upward, quickly swing the thermometer downward through an arc of three or four feet, stopping the motion suddenly when the thermometer is vertical. Sometimes it will be neccessary to repeat this operation a number of times to unite detached segments. A modification of the procedure specified in the paragraph above consists in whirling the thermometer rapidly on a short cord. For this purpose, a *stout* cord is passed through the hole in the top of the metal back of the thermometer and tied. Firmly grasp the cord six to eight inches from the thermometer and whirl it rapidly. Considerable care and practice are required to whirl the thermometer rapidly and stop it safely. This method will often bring down an entrapped index and unite detached segments of the column. Make sure that the cord in not cut by the thermometer back as it is whirled. Hope this helps. For the rest of the list members, thanks for your patience. Later, Warren ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 6 Aug 1997 18:20:39 -0400 From: David Haines Subject: Global "warming"?? The following letter to the editor appeared in the Aug. 4 Orlando Sentinel. I hate to admit it, but the writer is more eloquent than I on this subject. As a result, I've just submitted my application to the Famous Eloquent Writers' School. *BEGIN LETTER* In your front-page story about the Nobel-prize-winning scientists quoted by President Clinton as saying global warming is a threat to our world, you neglected to report that not too long ago there were orange groves in South Georgia. In author Marjorie Rawlings' time, she had groves north of Ocala. All of these orange groves have been abandoned because of "global cooling." The fruit could not tolerate the cold winters. Clinton is just preparing the way for Al Gore to be the "Green President" in 2000 to protect us from the predictions of junk science. --Jean Meyer, Grand Island, Fla. *END LETTER* In earlier posts, I referred to those junk scientists as "eco-Marxists". I'd forgotten the more colorful tag of "watermelons" (green on the outside, red on the inside). -- To reply by E-mail, just "dehydrate" the address. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 6 Aug 1997 22:49:12 -0500 From: Dana Quinn Subject: College of DuPage web site coming back! Hey everybody! We had a pretty nasty machine failure here on one of our webservers, so most of our site (mainly, all the text products) was down for the last few days. I figured things out, and got most of the stuff migrated (yes, there were some backups!), and many things *should* be working now. Our severe weather stuff (conv. outlook graphics, watch box graphics, warnings page) seems to be working now. So, give us a try again! Dana Quinn +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Dana Quinn + dana@weather.cod.edu it's now or never- + linux-type guy too close to the latter +College of DuPage Wx Lab -Son Volt + +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 6 Aug 1997 20:31:11 -0400 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: Station Location Wx-talkers, Recently, two new U.S. Metars began sending observations. KPOR KSOU Anyone know where these stations are? The appear to be ocean platforms since they report a water temp in their remarks. Lat/lon/elevation would be appreciated as well. Boris A. Konon WSI Corporation ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 6 Aug 1997 04:37:44 GMT From: Brian Curran Subject: Re: Tornado AND severe t-storm warning... On Tue, 5 Aug 1997 21:56:36 -0500, "Gilbert L. Sebenste" wrote: >I noticed this on the wires this evening. I have a question: why is >a tornado AND a severe thunderstorm warning in effect? Isn't that >redundant, IE, a tornado in a thunderstorm immediately makes it severe? >I'm just curious why they did this...I would guess to emphasize >the damagaing straight line winds, but that is normally assumed... > >> 321 >> WFUS1 KABR 060200 COR >> TORABR >> MNC155-SDC109-060310- >> >> BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED >> TORNADO AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING...CORRECTED >> NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD >> 854 PM CDT TUE AUG 5 1997 >> >> CORRECTED TO MAKE COMBINATION TORNADO AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORM >> >> >> * TORNADO AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR >> ROBERTS COUNTY - NORTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA >> TRAVERSE COUNTY - WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA >> >> * UNTIL 1010 PM CDT >> >> * SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED >> NEW EFFINGTON AND VICTOR AROUND 910 PM CDT >> ROSHOLT AROUND 910 PM CDT >> WHEATON AROUND 925 PM CDT >> BROWNS VALLEY AND COLLIS AROUND 945 PM CDT >> >> * AT 850 PM CDT...ABERDEEN DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE >> THUNDERSTORM WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND A TORNADO 27 MILES NORTHEAST OF >> SISSETON OR 10 MILES NORTH OF VICTOR MOVING SOUTH AT 30 MPH. >> >> THIS STORM ALSO HAS A HISTORY OF DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. TAKE >> COVER IN A BASEMENT OR INNERMOST ROOM OF A STURDY BUILDING AWAY >> FROM WINDOWS.! >> >> HG It is redundant and, IMHO, an extremely poor warning. This warning is for two counties, indeed, for two states. The text of the warning, however, implies only one storm. Which county is in what warning? Doesn't tornado imply severe thunderstorm? And radar does not indicate; radar detects. IMHO, the above is an example on how *not* to write a warning. Like the format, though. Oh, yeah, here's my monthly disclaimer: I speak for myself and not for my unnamed employer. I use my own equipment and ISP. Therefore, any action taken against me for exercising my freedom of speech in this forum, covert or otherwise, shall be redressed in civil court. >Gilbert Hey, Gil, how's that shiner? bc -- Brian Curran ebcurran@flash.net I speak for myself only. See the First Amendment for details. "The opinion of the strongest is always the best." -- J. de la Fontaine ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 6 Aug 1997 23:36:21 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Online Radar vendor review update... I have placed an updated review of my radar vendor review on the Storm Chaser Homepage current weather page. Or dial direct: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/radreview.html It includes a significant upgrade to Weatherbank's grade. It looks like I just logged in on a bad night...their radar data does promptly update every 15 minutes (thanks to Matt R. for pointing that out). That bumps up their grade considerably. I also added a link to Chuck Doswell's 1997 chase season on the SCH reports page as well. Enjoy! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 5 Aug 1997 to 6 Aug 1997 ************************************************ From - Fri Aug 8 14:02:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102578-17469>; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 13:19:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA12094; Fri, 8 Aug 1997 00:11:21 -0500 Message-Id: <199708080511.AAA12094@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 8 Aug 1997 00:04:52 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 6 Aug 1997 to 7 Aug 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 460b3ce47bc04065bc9582bcf8529391 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 19884 Status: OR There are 8 messages totalling 400 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Global "warming"?? (2) 2. Tornado AND severe t-storm warning... 3. New York 88D Update... 4. ASOS Commissioning Notice 5. Weird radar image 6. Updated Atlantic seasonal hurricane forecast... 7. Weather question: plate clouds? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 7 Aug 1997 00:17:40 -0500 From: Don Lloyd Subject: Re: Global "warming"?? At 06:20 PM 8/6/97 -0400, David Haines wrote: >The following letter to the editor appeared in the Aug. 4 Orlando >Sentinel. I hate to admit it, but the writer is more eloquent than I on >this subject. As a result, I've just submitted my application to the >Famous Eloquent Writers' School. >*BEGIN LETTER* > In your front-page story about the Nobel-prize-winning scientists >quoted by President Clinton as saying global warming is a threat to our >world, you neglected to report that not too long ago there were orange >groves in South Georgia. > In author Marjorie Rawlings' time, she had groves north of Ocala. All >of these orange groves have been abandoned because of "global cooling." >The fruit could not tolerate the cold winters. > Clinton is just preparing the way for Al Gore to be the "Green >President" in 2000 to protect us from the predictions of junk science. > --Jean Meyer, Grand Island, Fla. >*END LETTER* This letter, of course, presents no science whatsoever. One, no evidence of the claim is offered beyond an anecdote, and two, the supposed retreat of the orange groves is a local effect, not a global effect. When one looks at the gradual retreat of the Antarctic icefields and the drift of the Sahara Desert, one gets a better feel for global trends. Even then, given our very brief glimpse at global climate history based on observations over the past one hundred years, it is difficult to determine whether these changes are part of larger climatic scheme, or the result of our inadvertant tinkering with the ecosystem of this planet...but I would never dismiss the possibility so casually. We have a great deal to learn about our effect on the atmosphere of this planet and anyone who thinks otherwise is a fool. >In earlier posts, I referred to those junk scientists as "eco-Marxists". >I'd forgotten the more colorful tag of "watermelons" (green on the >outside, red on the inside). I prefer to title anyone with such obvious prejudices a moron. *********** Don and Jennie Lloyd (dlloyd@tcccom.net) (KB9OXW) >>>>Please note new email address<<<< Fond du Lac, Wisconsin Wx/Fx Photography and Presentations http://www.wx-fx.com featuring "The Tornadoes of Wisconsin" *********** ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 7 Aug 1997 01:21:35 -0500 From: John Lamb Subject: Re: Tornado AND severe t-storm warning... On Wed, 6 Aug 1997, Brian Curran wrote: > >> * TORNADO AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR > >> ROBERTS COUNTY - NORTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA > >> TRAVERSE COUNTY - WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA > It is redundant and, IMHO, an extremely poor warning. This warning is > for two counties, indeed, for two states. The text of the warning, > however, implies only one storm. Which county is in what warning? Ummm...these counties are next to each other seperated by the SD/MN state line. The storm in question I do believe was moving south along and on both sides of the state line. > Doesn't tornado imply severe thunderstorm? And radar does not > indicate; radar detects. IMHO, the above is an example on how *not* > to write a warning. Like the format, though. Ummm...not to get too picky here, but I've noticed that ABR does a lot of things that aren't the greatest. Their AFDs leave a lot to be desired most days. But yes, Tornado does imply SVR and radar detects, but what it detects is indicitive of a tornado. Radar signatures, therefore indicate a tornadic echo. We could semanticly destroy most anything...the point of a warning is to WARN people, not to get an "A+" from Ms. Grammer. I'm seen some warning that have directly affected me that when I looked at them later I wondered what 3rd grader wrote them, but in the haste of issuing a warning, some slack most be giving. Was ABR short staffed? How much SVR did they have on-going? I'm not saying it was a great warning, but if they lead time was there, isn't that what we are striving for? Leave the "educational value" wording for the cutesy SPS about the minimum maximum record. *dons asbestos suit* John - lowly citizen with no AMS, NWS, NOAA, NWA work/credentials, just an end user who is thankful for everything that the NWS does and sees this nit-picking as rather immature. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 7 Aug 1997 13:09:11 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: New York 88D Update... >From the NWS Eastern Region news: GRIFFIS AFB/FT. DRUM WSR-88D (KRMX) MOVING On July 15th, the DOD announced that the Griffis AFB WSR-88D currently located in West Leyden, NY will be deactivated to begin the efforts to relocate the system to Montague, NY. The radar is scheduled to begin operating at Montague on November 14, 1997. The radar move to Montage, NY was necessary for the DOD to better serve the Ft. Drum base operations. The Montague site is on the northern periphery of Tug Hill Plateau area; this siting will provide excellent, unobstructed radar coverage over north central New York State. The KRMX WSR-88D site id will be retired and a new site id, along with the official geographic coordinates will be announced at a later date. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 7 Aug 1997 13:16:49 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site will become a commissioned ASOS site at 1800 UTC on 07 August, 1997. CALIENTE (KP38) CALIENTE... NV THIS LIMITED-CAPABILITY ASOS (NO VISUAL ELEMENTS) IS NOT LOCATED AT AN AIRPORT. Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 7 Aug 1997 15:52:08 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Weird radar image That storm system over Arkansas/Louisiana at the moment has had a radar image over the last few hours that looks pretty cool. If it were possible to save a movie of that image, and give it a transparent background, it could be used at a site about tornadoes as an interesting, moving, opening graphic. The shape of the whole system -- especially with that line dangling down into LA -- kinda reminds me of a tornado hanging down from a cloud. :) Cool. Sorry. Rather bored today as you can tell. 8-) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman, A.R.S. KB4MHH -\\- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- Home Page URL: http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Permission to use the above info for inclusion in any mailing | | lists, so as to send me ad-mail personally, is NOT granted. | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 7 Aug 1997 15:50:00 -0400 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Updated Atlantic seasonal hurricane forecast... August 6, 1997 EL NINO MAJOR FACTOR IN SLIGHTLY REDUCED '97 HURRICANE FORECAST; COLORADO STATE'S GRAY SAYS MORE STORMS TO FORM IN NORTHERN ATLANTIC Note to Editors: Copies of Professor Gray's complete 1997 forecasts are available through the Public and Media Relations Office. Related press releases and other information are available on the World Wide Web at http://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/forecasts/index.html FORT COLLINS--A very strong El Nino present this year is expected to slightly hamper Atlantic Basin hurricane activity for 1997. But El Nino will also likely push some storms to higher latitudes and perhaps closer to the United States, a team of hurricane forecasters at Colorado State University said today. Calling the 1997 hurricane season an "extremely unusual and difficult year to forecast," the noted team, led by Professor William Gray, released an updated hurricane forecast today that predicts 11 named storms, six hurricanes and two intense hurricanes. The updated forecast reflects one less hurricane and one less intense hurricane than the team's previous forecasts issued on April 4 and June 6. If the revised forecast holds true, 1997 would still be an above-average year for named storms and hurricanes but below average for intense hurricanes. If the predicted activity is realized, it would still be enough to produce the most active, three-year hurricane span on record (1995-97). On average, 9.3 tropical storms, 5.8 hurricanes and 2.2 intense, or major, hurricanes form annually. Gray said the slight decrease in hurricanes and intense hurricanes in this latest forecast is a result of a very strong El Nino--warmer than normal water temperatures in the eastern Pacific Ocean off the coast of Peru and along the equator. Gray said the 1997 El Nino is by far the strongest event to occur since the record El Nino of 1982-83. The current El Nino is much stronger than the hurricane team anticipated when it announced its early April and early June predictions. "We've got a group of very mixed global climatic signals, which makes it a very difficult year," Gray said. "We're still going for a much stronger hurricane year than should occur during a typical El Nino year because many favorable factors for hurricane activity are present in the Atlantic Basin." When El Nino is present, water temperatures reach 1 or 2 degrees Celcius more than normal in the eastern tropical Pacific. This rise in ocean temperatures causes strong upper tropospheric winds to blow in a westerly direction from the Pacific Ocean to the tropical Atlantic Ocean. These winds typically act to shear off developing hurricanes. However, the very strong winds produced by El Nino this year may actually help shift hurricane formation from tropical regions in West Africa to the Atlantic Basin, putting some storms at higher latitudes and perhaps closer to the United States. That's because El Nino produces strong upper-level westerly winds at lower latitudes--which helps block African-origin storms. While doing so, it also creates weaker upper-level westerly winds at higher latitudes. These higher-latitude winds are less able to thwart hurricane development. As a result, Gray believes that hurricanes are more likely to form off the east coast of Florida, the Bahamas and in the northern Gulf of Mexico than in the tropical Atlantic or Caribbean Sea. This pattern was present with Hurricane Danny, which developed in the Gulf of Mexico and first made landfall on the shores of Louisiana, then progressed to Alabama, North Carolina and Virginia before regenerating in the Atlantic. Hurricane Bill moved westward over the Atlantic Ocean between Bermuda and the Bahamas. Both hurricanes were Category 1 on the Saffir-Simpson Scale, the lowest intensity a storm can blow and still qualify as a hurricane. By comparison, intense or major hurricanes have sustained winds of at least 111 mph and fall into categories 3, 4 and 5. "There are periods when we've had an El Nino and still have active hurricane activity, but these are not typical," Gray said. "However, we've already seen four named storms and two hurricanes even before the most active part of the hurricane season started on August 1." Based on Gray's forecast, the team expects seven more named storms, four more hurricanes and two more intense hurricanes after Aug. 6. Most of the hurricane activity in the Atlantic Basin occurs after mid-August and before late October. Although the current El Nino is strong, Gray says other climatic factors in the Atlantic Basin are favorable for hurricane activity this year. Warmer sea surface temperatures in the north- and tropical Atlantic and colder sea surface temperatures in the South Atlantic, as well as colder-than-normal air temperatures 54,000 feet above Singapore are still present. Another favorable factor includes the equatorial stratospheric winds at 68,000-75,000 feet. These winds--known as the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation--also tend to promote the formation of hurricanes when they blow from a westerly direction as they are this year. Gray's team hurricane forecasts--issued in early December, April, June and August--do not predict landfall and apply only to the Atlantic Basin, which encompasses the Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico. In addition to Gray, the hurricane research team includes John Knaff, Paul Mielke and Kenneth Berry from Colorado State; and Chris Landsea, a Colorado State graduate and presently a researcher at NOAA's Hurricane Research Laboratory in Miami, Fla. GRAY RESEARCH TEAM'S HURRICANE REVISED FORECAST FOR '97 SEASON TODAY'S 1997 FORECAST 6/97 4/97 1. Named Storms (9.3) 11 11 11 2. Named Storm Days (46.9) 45 55 55 3. Hurricanes (5.8) 6 7 7 4. Hurricane Days (23.7) 20 25 25 5. Intense Hurricanes (2.2) 2 3 3 6. Intense Hurricane Days (4.7) 3 5 5 7. Hurricane Destruction Potential (70.6) 60 75 75 8. Net Tropical Cyclone Activity (100%) 100% 110% 110% 9. Maximum Potential Destruction (61.7) 60 70 70 '96 ACTUAL 8/96 6/96 4/96 11/95 1. Named Storms (9.3) 13 11 10 11 8 2. Named Storm Days (46.9) 78 50 45 55 40 3. Hurricanes (5.8) 9 7 6 7 5 4. Hurricane Days (23.7) 45 25 20 25 20 5. Intense Hurricanes (2.2) 6 3 2 2 2 6. Intense Hurricane Days (4.7) 13 4 5 5 5 7. Hurricane Destruction Potential (70.6)# 135 70 60 75 50 8. Net Tropical Cyclone Activity (100%) 198 105 95 105 85 () Represents average year totals based on 1950-1990 #Hurricane Destruction Potential measures a hurricane's potential for wind and ocean-surge damage. Tropical Storm, Hurricane and Intense Hurricane Days are four, six-hour periods where storms attain wind speeds appropriate to their category. ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** "The Florida straits were as dangerous as the Florida Indians. There [was]... the extraordinary danger of hurricanes in the tropic latitudes, that could blow up almost without warning from June to November, gray screaming whirlpools of wind more than a hundred miles an hour, dragging in their centers a mound of sea water and blowing before them the high ungovernable ships like dried leaves onto that deadly line of reef and rock." - _The Everglades: River of Grass_ - Marjory Stoneman Douglas - 1947 ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 7 Aug 1997 15:55:09 -0400 From: Marianne Cowley Subject: Re: Global "warming"?? On Wed, 6 Aug 1997, David Haines wrote: > *BEGIN LETTER* > [...] > world, you neglected to report that not too long ago there were orange > groves in South Georgia. > In author Marjorie Rawlings' time, she had groves north of Ocala. All > of these orange groves have been abandoned because of "global cooling." > The fruit could not tolerate the cold winters. In Marion County during the 1995-96 season there were 141,400 orange trees on 1147 commercial acres. If these have all suddenly disappeared, there's something far more insidious going on. :) Of course citrus can't _and never could_ tolerate the occassional freezes in Florida. The genus Citrus is native to tropical Asia which is south of the Tropic of Cancer, Florida is north. Adult trees are killed when the temps drop into the 20's. I'm not sure of the exact period that is considered "Rawlings' time". I know she lived 1896-1953 and that she came to Florida as an adult. To save a bit of bandwidth, let's just look at what happened before her birth according to _The Climate and Weather of Florida_ by Henry, Portier, and Coyne. Keep in mind that data is sketchy going back this far but there were two fairly well documented freezes prior to 1800 -- one in 1766 which wiped out citrus and another in 1774. The "Epochal Freeze of 1835" wiped out all the citrus in the St. Augustine/Jacksonville area. St. Augustine reported a _high_ of 21F on 2/8 and didn't get above freezing for 4 days. Reports include ice seen in Pensacola Bay and frozen edges of the St. Johns River. A few years later, the citrus growers were back at it. After weathering severe freezes in 1857, 1870, 1880, and 1886, a freeze in Dec, 1894 (Tallahassee bottomed out at 11F) wiped out the fruit on the trees. After several weeks of mild weather during which the trees began to leaf out again, making them particularly vulnerable, another freeze (Feb, 1895) wiped them out. Ya see, citrus trees grow moderately fast and, as fruit trees go, need relatively little care. Despite another serious freeze in 1899 (Tally at a record-setting state low of -2F), recovery of the citrus industry was complete within 15 years of the 1895 freeze. If you'll check the data, you'll find that Florida has a widespread freeze every 6-8 years and a severe freeze every 20-22 years -- enough time for the citrus industry to recover. I'm in Tampa and there are still citrus groves in my neighborhood. Most are gone now. The trees hadn't been frozen to death when the bulldozers moved in -- they were green and healthy. Apparently the land was more valuable to the real estate developer than the crop was to the grower. Growers have other reasons to get out of the business -- insects, diseases, cheaper imported fruit, crackdowns on the hiring of illegal aliens and on the mistreatment of grove workers, et cetera. From what I understand, most who have stopped growing citrus grow more climate- appropriate crops instead. However, there is enough citrus in this area to justify spending millions of $$ in the last two months to eradicate the Mediterranean fruit fly. It seems like a tremendous effort to grow a crop that simply isn't and never was suited to the environment, doesn't it? Marianne ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 7 Aug 1997 17:39:31 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Weather question: plate clouds? What would cause the tops of clouds here in Florida to shear into multi-tiered plate-like clouds (in an outflow front that left from Jacksonville heading SW towards us in Gainesville) today? The jet stream? Isn't that over southern GA right now? I don't see that too often around here. Todd ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 6 Aug 1997 to 7 Aug 1997 ************************************************ From - Mon Aug 11 12:05:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102700-2431>; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 13:08:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA141868; Sat, 9 Aug 1997 00:02:33 -0500 Message-Id: <199708090502.AAA141868@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 9 Aug 1997 00:00:59 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 7 Aug 1997 to 8 Aug 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 1e2902865c33a60dfb65b69d596cad1c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 15307 Status: OR There are 14 messages totalling 380 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Why does pressure not follow diurnal temperature variations? 2. Global "warming"?? (3) 3. Tower of Light Sunrise 4. Pollution Islands? 5. In case you haven't noticed... 6. Weather and You 7. TV Met Jobs Available (2) 8. historical NWS bulletin? 9. Current El Nino 10. New York 88D Update... 11. Oranges vs Apples 12. TEST MESSAGE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 7 Aug 1997 08:05:33 -0500 From: Chuck Doswell Subject: Re: Why does pressure not follow diurnal temperature variations? In article , "Chris M. Goulet" wrote: ...deletia... > However, there were days when the corrected altitude was equal or worst than > the uncorrected altitude. I realize there must have been a low or high > pressure weather system passing by. But their on-line plots of "current > climate" at C-1 (3018m) shows wide diural swings of temperature with only > a puny change in pressure! For example, on July 22, 1997 the temperature > climbs from 6 C to 22 C, and the pressure only rises from 718 to 719 mb. > My correction chart would have predicted a 200m decrease (from 3018 meters) > in "indicated altitude" for such a temperature rise, but their barometer rise > of one millibar corresponds to a puny 11 meter decrease. It looks like my > correction chart is only good for mean daily values--not too practical! > > Why the discrepancy? Shouldn't the expanding air rise and cause a much wider > pressure variation? Your critique of my analysis and suggestions on how to > improve the correction would be highly interesting. There are some misconceptions here ... increasing temperature is indeed associated with expansion of the air but that does not mean that pressure rises! Pressure is simply the manifestation of the weight of the atmospheric column above some point ... increasing temperature usually reduces the density of the air, corresponding to a DECREASE in the pressure. The diurnal variation in temperature is typically confined to a relatively shallow layer near the surface, so the temperature changes in that shallow layer have only a relatively minor effect on the surface pressure, which "feels" the weight of the entire atmospheric column above the surface, not just the surface boundary layer. With all the factors that govern the relationship between pressure and altitude, it is unlikely that you are ever going to obtain very accurate heights from a pressure altimeter. Chuck Doswell -- Dr. Charles A. Doswell III NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, Oklahoma 73069 phone: (405) 366-0439 fax: (405) 366-0472 WWW home page: Standard disclaimer ... my views are my own, so don't blame my employer. "Forward!" he cried, from the rear, and the front line died. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 7 Aug 1997 15:11:26 GMT From: Bill Gross Subject: Re: Global "warming"?? Gary Strand wrote: [. . .] > They are not "junk scientists", by and large. > > Apparently smears and ignorance are your strong points. Sad. >-- >Gary Strand Yes, and it is unfortunate that this tool of discussion is not limited to one side of the political spectrum. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 7 Aug 1997 15:11:01 GMT From: Bill Gross Subject: Re: Global "warming"?? cloudhawk@aol.com (Cloudhawk) wrote: [. . .] >Excuse me, but your politics are showing............. >The ceaseless effort by right wing apologists to politicize science with >their ignorant, flawed, and ideologically motivated attacks is >demonstrated most succinctly by the preceding "letter to the editor" and >the added comments. However, they do serve to once again prove the adage >"A little knowledge is a dangerous thing." > While this whole subject is till under intense investigation for you to state that politicizing science is a tool of the right is to ignore the fact that is also a tool of the left. I would suggest to you that because the left has made so much out of using "science" to further its agendas issues like global warming and environmental quality in general are hurt rather than helped. A step back from the political side to more rational discussions might actually benefit science as a whole. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 8 Aug 1997 05:44:14 -0500 From: kz Subject: Tower of Light Sunrise On July 16, 1997, I happened to view a unique sunrise. The sun was being blocked by a thunderstorm in the distance, while on both sides of the storm pillars of red and orange light went upward like a "V". There was a blue-black sky above. Thought some of you might like to view it at one of my pages below (nothing but the JPG photo on this page): http://pw1.netcom.com/~ken.z.rw/weather/trains/sunrise.jpg Ken Ziegenbein ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 8 Aug 1997 08:25:03 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Pollution Islands? This certainly is not related to storm chasing, so I've responded in WX-Talk: > (Doswell is going to kill me, but) very broadly speaking, an increase in > hailstorms should mean an increase in tornadoes. Question is, does > archival evidence bear this out? The population distribution both east > and west of STL is similar, so population-weighting shouldn' matter. I'm curious how you draw the relationship? As I see it, a hailstorm does not have the same impact as a thunderstorm containing a tornado... Rob ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 8 Aug 1997 08:26:35 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: In case you haven't noticed... On Thursday, August 07, 1997 12:28 PM, Bill Ricker [SMTP:wdr@WORLD.STD.COM] wrote: > Gilbert wrote: > > I have confirmed through my sources what others have already seen: > > the single site NEXRAD base reflectivity tilt 1 images on Intellicast now > > update every 10 minutes in real time with the latest data. > > Really? I have yet to see 10 minute updates for BOS (BOX) and BDL (OKX), > they're still 30 minute cycle, as are the other East coast stations on > my hotbutton list (CAR/CBW PWM/GYX BTV/CXX BOS/BOX BDL/OKX ALB/ENX DCA ILM FL: > MIA EYW TPA/TBW). Is the 10min cycle on the plains only? I saw it once on Washington DC and have checked Midwest and Southeast radars. I think they are just randomly testing, as their "pay" service is to have 10 minute updates when it is released. Rob ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 8 Aug 1997 09:42:32 -0500 From: Bob Gambert Subject: Weather and You If you're interested in how weather affects YOU, take a look at "John Willing's Weather and YOU" at: http://www.kmol.com/WeatherAndYou/Current/default.htm I'm like to know what you think. Bob Gambert --------------------------------- http://www.kmol.com/ Web 4 San Antonio --------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 8 Aug 1997 09:47:30 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Jobs Available (2) The following jobs announcement appeared in SHOPTALK. KARE-TV, by the way, is the station that had the exciting tornado footage shot from their helicopter. ..Chris.. METEOROLOGIST (KARE) KARE 11, the Number 1 rated NBC station in America, has a rare opening for a MORNING METEOROLOGIST. We are looking for an AMS credentialed meteorologist for our two-hour (5-7am) morning news. A minimum of 3 years on-air weather reporting experience required. Familiarity with Earthwatch 2000 system a plus. On-air presentation must include a positive personality and a lively, energetic approach to get the viewers day started right. Send your resume, salary requirements and non-returnable tape (before 8/30/97) to: KARE 11 TV Stacey Nogy - Executive Producer 8811 Olson Memorial Highway Minneapolis, MN 55427. We are a drug free, equal opportunity employer committed to a diverse workforce. P.S. - We'll provide the warm mittens. METEOROLOGIST (KVII) We are still looking for just the right combination of personality and professionalism to fill two openings in our weather department. We would be thrilled to find candidates with an AMS seal, but we are more interested in hiring effective communicators. When it comes to weather, we are a major league market and we have all the tools necessary to keep pace with mother nature. Sent tapes and resumes to Kent Harrell, News Director KVII TV, 1 Broadcast Center, Amarillo TX 79101. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 8 Aug 1997 11:34:11 -0400 From: Lee Tsengdar Subject: historical NWS bulletin? Hello All: Does anybody know where I can get some historical NWS bulletins? I am specifically thinking of the period around January 1996 winter storm. Thanks for any info. -- +-----------------------------------------------------------+ | Tsengdar Lee | Phone: (703) 556-2278 | | Principal Software Engineer | FAX: (703) 883-8714 | | PRC Inc. | email: Lee_Tsengdar@PRC.COM | | 1500 PRC Drive | | | McLean, VA 22102 | | +-----------------------------------------------------------+ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 8 Aug 1997 11:32:39 -0400 From: "Richard L. Slonaker" Subject: Current El Nino Wx-talkers, In some respects the current El Nino has surpassed the '82-'83 event with respect to Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly (SSTA) and Southern Oscillation Index (SOI). Interested parties can peruse the latest data at the following URLs: experimental "(more or less) daily" SSTA... http://wesley.wwb.noaa.gov/eileen/orad/experimental.html current and past data sets and images... http://ingrid.ldgo.columbia.edu/SOURCES/Indices/ensomonitor.html Official NOAA El Nino theme page with definitions, faq, data, and forecasts... http://www.pmel.noaa.gov/toga-tao/el-nino/home.html -Richard ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ Richard L. Slonaker, UCAR Visiting Scientist NOAA/NESDIS Office of Research and Applications rslonaker@nesdis.noaa.gov tel: 301-763-8103 fax: 301-763-8108 Delivery Postal -------- ------ NOAA/NESDIS E/RA3 NOAA/NESDIS E/RA3 5200 Auth Rd. Rm.#711 4700 Silver Hill Rd. Camp Springs, MD 20746 Stop 9910 USA Washington, DC 20233-9910 USA ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 8 Aug 1997 13:06:52 GMT From: Bill Gross Subject: Re: Global "warming"?? Gary Strand wrote: [. . .] > > And which sides(s) are there? >-- >Gary Strand >strandwg@ucar.edu http://www.cgd.ucar.edu/ccr/gary I am not sure I understand the above question. Could you ask again in a different manner? I might be better able to respond then. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 8 Aug 1997 13:44:48 -0400 From: Shawn Trueman Subject: New York 88D Update... Rob Dale: I'm surprised you didn't mention in your post that Montague, NY, is in a huge lake-effect snow area east of Lake Ontario. I don't have an average snowfall chart in front of me, but I think this area, the Tug Hill Plateau, averages about 200 inches of snow a year. I know last winter it made the national news for its heavy snowfalls. About the move of the Doppler Radar to Montague, NY: Will this radar be buried by lake-effect snow? How well will it serve north-central NY state then? ;-) Seriously, is the major reason that it is moving here to better detect the lake-effect snowstorms? Shawn Trueman Meteorologist Atmospherics, Inc. 5652 E. Dayton Ave. Fresno, CA 93727 209-291-5575 strueman@geography.ohio-state.edu ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 8 Aug 1997 17:31:39 -0500 From: SHWILLER Subject: Oranges vs Apples Found the following at the WWW Virtual Library for Aeronomy Solar-Terrestrial Physics and Chemistry. " The Sun's output is not entirely constant. Nor is the amount of sunspot activity. There was a period of very low sunspot activity in the latter half of the 17th century called the Maunder Minimum. It coincides with an abnormally cold period in northern Europe sometimes known as the Little Ice Age. Since the formation of the solar system the Sun's output has increased by about 40%. " The Sun is about 4.5 billion years old. Since its birth it has used up about half of the hydrogen in its core. It will continue to radiate "peacefully" for another 5 billion years or so (although its luminosity will approximately double in that time). But eventually it will run out of hydrogen fuel. It will then be forced into radical changes which, though commonplace by stellar standards, will result in the total destruction of the Earth (and probably the creation of a planetary nebula). " Maybe we're having a "Maunder Maximum" (see above) that could be causing warming, if warming really is happening. Maybe it's the fault of those who like to predict evrything that's going to happen -- our current day Nostradamus'. But how come good old Dr Gray, who predicts hurricanes, couldn't figure out that his lab at Colorado State U in Ft. Collins, CO was going under water. Maybe all this weird weather is the fault of the secular humanists. But why worry; it will all be over in about 5 billion years! Sy Shwiller Retired/Retarded/Still around Among the first to participate in cloud-seeding @ Clinton County AB, Ohio, '46-'47 Co-cospirators; Joe Fletcher, Dave Atlas, et al ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 8 Aug 1997 20:54:49 GMT From: Chris Novy Subject: TEST MESSAGE This is a test message to monitor the status of the LISTSERV <-> NetNEWS gateway. There is no need to reply to this message. ..Chris.. (Owner WX-TALK) ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 7 Aug 1997 to 8 Aug 1997 ************************************************ From - Mon Aug 11 13:12:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102660-2171>; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 13:12:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAB120340; Mon, 11 Aug 1997 00:05:16 -0500 Message-Id: <199708110505.AAB120340@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 00:01:31 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 8 Aug 1997 to 10 Aug 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: ab45e7a29e8903f55ba60af14b2da0c8 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2676 Status: OR There are 2 messages totalling 51 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. new guy on list 2. Great places! +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 10 Aug 1997 08:30:38 -0400 From: Texas Stranger Subject: new guy on list I am a new subscriber to the list. I have been a forecaster in Tx Air National Guard since 1989. I am using my first post to ask for some help/advice.......I would like to know how CAPE values are derived, both empirically and mechanically on a skew-t/log-p diagram. I know what it is and its use, I just want to learn how to derive the value from a plotted skew-t. If you can tell me either privately or through the list, I would be grateful. I would like to hear from other ANG forecasters on this list, if any. E-mail privately if this describes you. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ -------------------------------- I will choose Free Will ! (N. Peart) Curtis L. Garner Lewisville, Texas ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 10 Aug 1997 19:25:34 EDT From: "Barry L. Sperling" Subject: Great places! A couple of weeks ago I was on the north rim of the Grand Canyon, on the Cape Royal Road at Roosevelt Point and enjoyed watching a thunderstorm move over the Canyon toward me, blotting out raised features as it approached. There was a lot of CG and my son said that one strike made a small explosion as it hit a rocky face ( as my head was turned, naturally :( ). It moved over us and dropped some sand-grain sized hail near the end of the rain. We were parked beside the overlook so we were able to run for cover at the appropriate time. My point is, this was the BEST combination of storm and setting that I have ever seen. My previous best goes back over 30 years to the grounds of the Washington Monument in D.C. As I sat watching a Shakespeare play an approaching storm sent a lot of cloud-to-cloud over the monument. Besides the majestic foreground of the monument, the memorable thing was that the lightning was so SLOW, each flash marching CAREFULLY across the sky. So, on a new thread, what is YOUR best combination of weather and setting? ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 8 Aug 1997 to 10 Aug 1997 ************************************************* From - Tue Aug 12 14:02:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102683-17790>; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 13:16:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA162640; Tue, 12 Aug 1997 00:07:54 -0500 Message-Id: <199708120507.AAA162640@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 12 Aug 1997 00:02:10 +1900 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 10 Aug 1997 to 11 Aug 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 0330116b22c08682161d2cf877f393bb X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 8772 Status: OR There are 7 messages totalling 205 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Lightning and Tornadoes (2) 2. Global "warming"?? 3. Tower of Light Sunrise 4. Lightning hitting car 5. Weather Web Page 6. forecast accuracy +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 01:00:26 -0700 From: Stephen Hodanish Subject: Lightning and Tornadoes Wx Talkers: If you like lightning photos, I put some of my classics on the web at http://sunmlb.nws.fit.edu/newho.html click on the photos section. I think you'll enjoy them. now tornadoes... A while back there was talk about detecting tornadoes using/measuring soundwaves. The other day in FSL Forum news letter(Forecast Systems Laboratory [NOAA], Bouler CO), I read the following: "One interesting possibility for helping to detect tornadoes is a low frequency sound detection system that is being developed by Dr Alfred Bedard, a scientist at NOAAs environmental detection lab, also in Boulder. Still in its experimental stage, the system can apparently detect both weak and strong tornadoes, and if it is successful in providing a reliable signal, it may be the most useful complement to the WSR-88D radars" Ed Szoke was the author of the above paragraph. Anybody from FSL who lurks on this group like to comment on the above?? Stephen Hodanish NWS/MLB ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 07:52:02 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Lightning and Tornadoes On Mon, 11 Aug 1997, Stephen Hodanish wrote: > A while back there was talk about detecting tornadoes using/measuring > soundwaves. The other day in FSL Forum news letter(Forecast Systems > Laboratory [NOAA], Bouler CO), I read the following: > > "One interesting possibility for helping to detect tornadoes is a low > frequency sound detection system that is being developed by Dr Alfred > Bedard, a scientist at NOAAs environmental detection lab, also in > Boulder. Still in its experimental stage, the system can apparently > detect both weak and strong tornadoes, and if it is successful in > providing a reliable signal, it may be the most useful complement to the > WSR-88D radars" > > Ed Szoke was the author of the above paragraph. Anybody from FSL who > lurks on this group like to comment on the above?? I think there was a short segment on that in the TLC _Earth's Fury_ program, the episode about severe storms, though I can't remember the exact title of that specific episode. I think they stated that the tornadoes could be detected from like a couple hundred miles away, but I think that was for a tornado already on the _ground_, and, they didn't go as far as to let us in on whether multiple detectors could triangulate the position or not. Todd Sherman afn09444@afn.org ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 13:59:49 GMT From: Bill Gross Subject: Re: Global "warming"?? Gary Strand wrote: >bg> Bill Gross >gs> Gary Strand > >bg> Yes, and it is unfortunate that this tool of discussion is not limited > to one side of the political spectrum. > >gs> And which side(s) are there? > >bg> I am not sure I understand the above question. Could you ask again in > a different manner? I might be better able to respond then. > > How many sides does the political spectrum have? Just two? >-- OK got ya, you were pointing out a bad selection of pharse in my comment. What I should have said was something along the lines of "Both ends of the political spectrum." Thanks for that correction. Actually there is an interesting article written by Dr. Jerry Pournelle about his view of the political spectrum in which he creates a matrix pointing out that one single lable is unable to accurate describe the stand of many people. His contention is that most people tend to be spread over a wide range on this spectrum depending more on how they feel about each question raised rather than picking a single party line and adhering to it. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 11:27:57 -0600 From: Greg Thompson Subject: Tower of Light Sunrise > On July 16, 1997, I happened to view a unique sunrise. The sun was being > blocked by a thunderstorm in the distance, while on both sides of the > storm pillars of red and orange light went upward like a "V". There was > a blue-black sky above. It sounds like you saw 'crepuscular rays'. The 'rays' are parallel but appear to diverge from the sun due to your perspective (same as looking down straight railroad tracks - they appear to converge in the distance). Next time you see them, look in the opposite direction (anti-solar point). You may see 'anti-crepuscular rays'. A few classic books exist describing this and showing pictures but a recent book that I like that describes this and many other meteorological optics is "Color of Light in Nature" by Lynch and Livingston. It is inspired by Minnaert's classic called "The Nature of Light and Colour in the Open Air" and is an excellent book. -- +--------------------------------------------------------------+ | Greg Thompson http://www.rap.ucar.edu/staff/gthompsn/ | | Research Applications Program | | (303) 497-2805 National Center for Atmospheric Research | | (fax) -8401 P.O. Box 3000 Boulder, CO 80307-3000 | +--------------------------------------------------------------+ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 16:35:49 -0500 From: dale reid Subject: Lightning hitting car Several weeks ago a reference was made, in response to my question about having the windows up, etc, during a storm, that a storm chaser car was videotaped while being hit. I've not heard that reference before (no expert, but read this column usually daily) so I'm curious about the details. Was there a picture of the "event" ever posted at a web site that one could retrieve? Is this piece of video on a collection, say one of the prolific tornado tapes that seem to be produced each year? I'd like to see this happen, just out of curiosity. Thanks Dale ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 14:30:43 -0700 From: Josiah A Mault Subject: Weather Web Page Hi! I invite you to check out my weather web page at, http://pages.prodigy.net/jmmault/weather.htm and join my Weather Page mailing list! To join go to, http://pages.prodigy.net/jmmault/maillist.htm Also, if you have a weather web page and would like to send me the URL then do so! You can send me your URL on this mailing list or sen it to wxman44@hotmail.com Thanks Josiah ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 11 Aug 1997 20:26:28 EDT From: "Barry L. Sperling" Subject: forecast accuracy A month or so ago I made reference to some numbers I ran on weather channel forecast accuracy and there was a question about what the results were and how I did it. I've been on vacation a lot since the original posts, so here are some details. The numbers are relevant to me and how I use the Weather Channel but you can quibble with the details of the study. In my opinion, for my use, on my TV, in my home, ( insert infinite personal references here ), ..., forecasts for the weather 4 and 5 days out are not worth broadcasting, except as entertainment. I called the precipitation forecast right if it did ( or did not ) precipitate in the forecast calendar day at my home as predicted. I called the temperature right if it is in an 11-degree sequence of temperatures centered on the forecast temperature. For example, if an interpolation of the temperature regions gave the forecast as 49, then anything from 44 to 54 was counted right ( at the nearby airport - National Airport, DCA ). During a 71 day period in 1991 the accuracy of the 5th day out for precip was 57.7% and temperature was 54.9%. During a 74 day period in 1992 the 5th day accuracy for precip was 68.9% and the temp was 47.3%. 4th day accuracies for 1991 were P: 66.2% , T: 76.1% 4th day for 1992: P: 70.3% , T: 48.6% . None of these inspire confidence. Anybody else run numbers on this kind of thing? ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 10 Aug 1997 to 11 Aug 1997 ************************************************** From - Wed Aug 13 14:14:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102634-5287>; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 13:24:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA88210; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 00:14:08 -0500 Message-Id: <199708130514.AAA88210@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 00:06:35 +1900 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 11 Aug 1997 to 12 Aug 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 249d332cb9b8e5736239839cd266b17c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 13200 Status: OR There are 7 messages totalling 330 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Detecting Tornados 2. forecast accuracy (2) 3. Forecast accuracy 4. Great places! 5. NWA Reno Broadcast Papers 6. SCH BREAKING NEWS: Purdue WXP site address change +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 12 Aug 1997 10:18:57 -0400 From: William Gehrs Subject: Detecting Tornados What about detecting tornados using their EM/RF signatures, around 2 Hz I believe. Bill ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 12 Aug 1997 10:10:01 -0500 From: Tim Doggett Subject: Re: forecast accuracy I'm rather surprised the numbers are that good, especially considering this is from 5-6 years ago... we've come along way since then. What this tells me is that the five day forecast is within +/- 5 degrees half of the time, and that precip (y/n) is correct from half to 2/3 of the time. Precipitation is a little easier to account for since non-precip days will usually out number precip days, so there is a better then equal chance of fair weather. >From the nature of these stats I would expect these time periods were from either winter or summer (since temperature swings are less drastic and +/- 5 would be easier to obtain). Looking at the precip numbers, I would bet on winter (less convection to screw things up). Is this the case, or am I way off base? So to address you final point, these numbers are not "uninspiring". Remember, in terms of temperature, 50% does not equate to pure chance. Of course a lot of this depends on how strict you are in "verifying" the forecast... +/- 4 would lower the %, +/- 6 would increase it. Extrapolating the state of the atmosphere 5 days in the future is no easy task, no matter how you chose to do it (numeric model, statistical methods, steady state, etc). I'm sure as John Q Public goes, +/- 5 is a totaly acceptable error range... it's the +/- 10,15,20 that really piss them off. How many of the missed forecasts fell in this range? As far as precip goes, I would be interested in knowing if the majority of the missed forecasts were fair forecasts that received rain, or rainy forecasts that never panned out. The public will tend to be more forgiving toward the late! Interesting number... -Tim On Mon, 11 Aug 1997, Barry L. Sperling wrote: > I called the precipitation forecast right if it did ( or > did not ) precipitate in the forecast calendar day at my home > as predicted. I called the temperature right if it is in an > 11-degree sequence of temperatures centered on the forecast > temperature. For example, if an interpolation of the > temperature regions gave the forecast as 49, then anything from > 44 to 54 was counted right ( at the nearby airport - National > Airport, DCA ). > During a 71 day period in 1991 the accuracy of the 5th day > out for precip was 57.7% and temperature was 54.9%. > During a 74 day period in 1992 the 5th day accuracy for > precip was 68.9% and the temp was 47.3%. > 4th day accuracies for 1991 were P: 66.2% , T: 76.1% > 4th day for 1992: P: 70.3% , T: 48.6% . > None of these inspire confidence. > Anybody else run numbers on this kind of thing? > ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tim Doggett, Ph.D. COMET Visiting Scientist e-mail: x9ald@pegasus.acs.ttu.edu NWSFO, Lubbock doggett@rainfall.atmo.ttu.edu Lubbock, Texas fax: (806)743-7363 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 12 Aug 1997 12:55:45 -0500 From: Chuck Doswell Subject: Re: forecast accuracy In article <199708120026.UAA50252@pen2.pen.k12.va.us>, "Barry L. Sperling" wrote: > A month or so ago I made reference to some numbers I ran on > weather channel forecast accuracy and there was a question > about what the results were and how I did it. ...deletia... > I called the precipitation forecast right if it did ( or > did not ) precipitate in the forecast calendar day at my home > as predicted. I called the temperature right if it is in an > 11-degree sequence of temperatures centered on the forecast > temperature. For example, if an interpolation of the > temperature regions gave the forecast as 49, then anything from > 44 to 54 was counted right ( at the nearby airport - National > Airport, DCA ). > During a 71 day period in 1991 the accuracy of the 5th day > out for precip was 57.7% and temperature was 54.9%. > During a 74 day period in 1992 the 5th day accuracy for > precip was 68.9% and the temp was 47.3%. > 4th day accuracies for 1991 were P: 66.2% , T: 76.1% > 4th day for 1992: P: 70.3% , T: 48.6% . > None of these inspire confidence. > Anybody else run numbers on this kind of thing? Try looking at: It's not about the Weather Channel, but it's related .. and a formal version is slated to appear in the AMS Bull. sometime soon. You might find the following a bit technical but could be helpful to review: since it attempts to address the problems with assessing forecast accuracy with simple measures. As for confidence ... this is somewhat an issue for the eye of the beholder, and depends on what you are trying to do with the forecasts. See: for some related discussion. Chuck Doswell -- Dr. Charles A. Doswell III NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, Oklahoma 73069 phone: (405) 366-0439 fax: (405) 366-0472 WWW home page: Standard disclaimer ... my views are my own, so don't blame my employer. "Forward!" he cried, from the rear, and the front line died. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 12 Aug 1997 18:01:58 -0400 From: InterMet Subject: Re: Forecast accuracy Barry L. Sperling wrote about the forecast accuracy of the Weather Channel and asked if "anybody else run numbers on this kind of thing?" In the first issue of InterMet, as a first part article in the MetWeb section I made up a web page making it easy to compare the commercial and "official" weather forecast. In a second part article (~November) I will compare the "Official" and Commercial min/max temperature forecasts and find out if one of them stands out. You can check out the first issue of InterMet at: http://www.magma.ca/~intermet/ and click on the Current Issue link. Bernard _______________________________________ InterMet International Meteorology Magazine http://www.magma.ca/~intermet/ intermet@magma.ca ________________________________________ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 12 Aug 1997 17:09:56 -0500 From: The Bogner Family Subject: Re: Great places! one of the best combinations of place and thunderstorm for me was one summer when i was driving a combine for my dad on his farm in southcentral kansas. it was an old 95 john deere combine with no cab, and we were trying to get this particular field finished before the rain came in. from about midnight to 2 a.m., we could see the mcs working its way in from the western part of the state, and if you have never had the chance to view a thunderstorm at night from a distance of about 50 miles, you don't know what you are missing. of course, there was the ic lightning and the occasional cc/ca from the top of the storm, but by this time, the severe weather was well over and it had turned into a slow, heavy rainer. now, cg lightning viewed from such a distance has a totally different appearance. it is almost a deep red and appears thick and slow under the lumbering thunderstorm. i suppose the reddish color is from being filtered through so much dust and a little bit of rain. sitting there on that combine after having been on it for 14+ hours straight...burning oil, cutting the cheap grain...smelling the chaff and dust combined with the cool outflow winds from a kansas summer thunderstorm after a hot, tired, nasty day is about as close to heaven as i will probably reach on this earth... the combine is rusting in a junk-yard, the farm has been rented, and most of the storms i see these days are on a computer screen in an office in the middle of the biggest city around. thanks for starting this thread and letting me re-live a great moment i havent thought of in quite a while! mark bogner morning meteorologist ksnw-tv, wichita by the way...we have 1.5 openings at our station in the met department if anyone is interested...has anyone ever seen so many met openings in tv? we are going to a 5.5 met shop...gotta love the times we live in...especially if you need a job in meteorology... ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 12 Aug 1997 13:18:53 -0500 From: John McLaughlin Subject: NWA Reno Broadcast Papers NWA Sunday Broadcast Meteorology Workshop 19 October 1997 Reno, Nevada 8:30-8:35 Introduction and welcome, Thomas C. Adang, NWA President, and Jay Prater, NWA Councilor and NWA Broadcast Meteorology Committee Chairperson. 8:35-8:50 Reno Area Weather, Tony Shelton, Chief Meteorologist, KRNV-TV Reno, NV 8:50-9:10 The Sierra Blizzard of 20-22 December 1996. Scott Cunningham, NOAA/NWS Sacramento, CA 9:10-10:00 Should I hire an agent? Laurie Jacoby, Napoli Management, Los Angeles, CA 10:00-10:15 Coffee Break 10:15-11:00 Watch by County, Joseph T. Schaefer, NWA President-Elect, NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK 11:00-11:20 Killer Tornado in Jarrell, Texas. Lon Curtis, Belton, TX and Bruce Thomas, KCEN-TV, Waco, TX 11:20-11:40 New Methods for Radar Data Visualization, Robert Baron, Baron Services of Huntsville, AL 11:40-1:00 Lunch Break 1:00-3:00 Severe Weather Forecasting Workshop, Robert Johns, NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Norman OK. 3:00-3:15 Coffee Break 3:15-6:00 "The Warning Experience: A Look at the Severe Weather Warning Process" Liz Quoetone and John Ferree, NOAA/NWS NEXRAD Operational Support Facility, Norman, OK. 6:00-8:00 Broadcaster Dinner. Location and cost to be announced. 8:00-10:00 Media Forum, an open discussion on the use of Doppler radar data by the broadcast community. Are We Crying Wolf? Kristine Kahanek, WFAA-TV, Dallas, TX Severe weather observations with Television Doppler Radar, John McLaughlin, Chief Meteorologist, KCCI-TV Des Moines, IA The Media's Use of WSR-88D Algorithms, Leslie R. Lemon, NWA Councilor, Lockheed Martin Ocean, Radar & Sensor Systems, Weather and ATC Programs Chief Meteorologist and Manager, Weather Radar Applications Research, Independence, MO ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 12 Aug 1997 21:05:35 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: SCH BREAKING NEWS: Purdue WXP site address change Everyone, I've been informed by Dan Vietor at Purdue (the WXP web site guru) that the URL/name of the WXP web site will change tomorrow If things go perfectly, the change will happen Wednesday at about 17Z, but it may take a few days for your ISP to "learn" the new addresses. I won't be around Wednesday, so I had to change my Purdue image downloading scripts tonight (we mirror WXP's model images on the Storm Chaser Homepage). As a result, nothing will be available tonight or Wednesday morning on the SCH. By Wednesday evening, things should be back up, I hope. I apologize for the inconvenience. For those of you who want to "dial direct", here's the new address: http://wxp.eas.purdue.edu Again, this will be up by tomorrow afternoon. The old address, http://wxp.atms.purdue.edu, will then be terminated. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 11 Aug 1997 to 12 Aug 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102867-24008>; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 13:07:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA72424; Thu, 14 Aug 1997 00:03:00 -0500 Message-Id: <199708140503.AAA72424@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 00:01:04 +1900 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 12 Aug 1997 to 13 Aug 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 39b83745fc4caea4c22ffe8024d1a25b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 32342 Status: OR There are 11 messages totalling 702 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Forecast accuracy 2. [Fwd: OUTLOOK: Tropical Weather Outlook] 3. 11 August Denver hailstorm 4. Nat'l EMA Council for Americans United to Maintain the NWS (2) 5. Rmore on forecast accuracy 6. ASOS Commissioning Notice 7. delayed ASOS commissioning notice 8. Effects of Greenhouse Gas and Expected Weather 9. Ani-Scanning Law!! (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 09:30:17 -0500 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: Forecast accuracy >In the first issue of InterMet, as a first part article in the MetWeb >section I made up a web page making it easy to compare the commercial and >"official" weather forecast. In a second part article (~November) I will >compare the "Official" and Commercial min/max temperature forecasts and >find out if one of them stands out. > >You can check out the first issue of InterMet at: > > http://www.magma.ca/~intermet/ > >and click on the Current Issue link. > I'll be interested in these results... and the methodology. In regards to max/min verifications, how do you compare specific numbers with ranges such as "mid 80s"? Do you expand the specific numbers to a range (+- 2 degrees) to compare with the "official" or do you assign a specific number to the "official" range? In regards to precipitation forecasts, seems you get what you pay for at these "free" commercial sites. What is the underlying probability (POP) associated with all those pretty little icons? Does AccuWx put up a nasty t-storm icon if the POP is greater than 20% while the WxChannel requires greater than 30%? Even if you knew the minimum POP level associated with these icons, that still doesn't tell you what their actual forecast is... just that the POP is somewhere between 30% and 100% for example. If the t-storm icon shows up and the site does indeed get rain, is that a "correct" forecast... even if that icon represented a POP of 30% (which actually corresponds with a 70% chance of no rain)? As mentioned before on wx-talk, Dr. Doswell's discussion on POP fcsts on his web site is a good place to learn about this kind of thing. As I said, I'll be interested in the results of this exercise. However, I would caution the editor (and those who view the results) to look at the underlying parameters and methodology of the test to understand in what context the results were derived. The results could be very different if the methodology was changed even slightly. ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President - Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 10:25:38 -0500 From: "Jason C. Kelley" Subject: [Fwd: OUTLOOK: Tropical Weather Outlook] This is a multi-part message in MIME format. --------------2E8DBF255A745825F2185883 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit SIU Weather Processor wrote: > 009 > ABNT20 KNHC 131507 > TWOAT > TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK > NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL > 1130 AM EDT WED AUG 13 1997 > > FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... > > THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC IS REMARKABLY QUIET FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR. > > TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. > > AVILA That's what I like...brief and to the point!!! Jason Kelley Baron Sevrvices Huntsville, AL jason@baronservices.com --------------2E8DBF255A745825F2185883 Content-Type: message/rfc822 Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Content-Disposition: inline Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu by bsiserver.baronservices.com (NTMail 3.01.03) id jason; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 10:15:06 +0100 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA229256; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 10:12:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5992774 for WX-ATLAN@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 10:12:32 +1900 Received: from twister.lib.siu.edu (twister.lib.siu.edu [131.230.72.8]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA160362 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 10:12:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by twister.lib.siu.edu (8.8.6/8.8.5) id KAA06999 for wx-atlan@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 1997 10:12:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199708131512.KAA06999@twister.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 10:12:32 +1900 Reply-To: SIU Weather Processor Sender: WX-ATLAN Atlantic & Gulf Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: OUTLOOK: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-ATLAN 009 ABNT20 KNHC 131507 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 1130 AM EDT WED AUG 13 1997 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC IS REMARKABLY QUIET FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-atlan" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-ATLAN or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. --------------2E8DBF255A745825F2185883-- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 13:01:47 CDT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: 11 August Denver hailstorm WXtalkers, On 11 August (2 days ago), a hailstorm struck the city of Denver Colorado, and it made considerable local news here. There may have been some national coverage as well (but I didn't see any on TWC or CNN). The only DEN LSR that I saw mentioned the size of the hail, but not the accumulation depth. The swath of heaviest hail accumulations stretched from the western Denver suburb of Lakewood through downtown Denver. The storm total precipitation was measured in some instances up to about 2.5" in less than one hour. Because of the heavy rain and hail, and due to the number of streets (with asphalt and concrete to funnel the rapid precip rate), there was quite an unusual situation in that the hail was able to be "drifted" near storm drains upwards from 1 to 2 feet (and higher where graders and loaders had to remove the hail drifts from roadways and parking lots). The actual accumulation of this hail (up to 1" in diameter) was only about 2-4", yet due to the funneling effect of the streets and culverts, large drifts of hail occurred. Also, the hail stripped leaves off trees which subsequently blocked drains and caused some urban flooding (and floated some cars parked along streets). I agree that this was an unusual event, considering the location where it happened (directly over a downtown area), however, these kinds of hail accumulation events, in my experience, are quite common in the late spring and summer months in Eastern Colorado. I've seen these kinds of hail accumulations (some up to 8-10") while chasing in Eastern Colorado *many* times. However, the media, and more importantly the television meteorologists were treating the *meteorology* of this event as being highly unusual (I'm not talking about the *location* of the event). In fact, one local meteorologist was surprised to see this happen in early August (insinuating that hail should not occur in Eastern Colorado in the summertime). The downtown area of Denver (which is really not that large) was just lucky enough to be in the swath of the accumulating hail (these swaths are usually narrow, maybe 1-3 miles wide). In fact, one resident was heard saying, "I've lived here for 50 years, and have never seen this happen before". CADIII, you would have cringed! Also, media reported that this hailstorm may be the result of global warming. Why the heck weren't the television meteorologists (some of which have decades of experience forecasting weather on the Front Range) saying that these kinds of hail storms are common in Eastern Colorado, and the city of Denver just got unlucky on this day? This kind of reminds me of the situations where weather on the highly- populated East Coast seems to dictate *global weather*! The public needs to understand that these events are more common than they think (but still rare in the overall big picture), and that they are occurring probably at the same frequency now as in the past (just being reported more, or having a higher liklihood of affecting populated areas). Just a gripe during a break in COMAP class in Boulder, greg stumpf, NSSL ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 00:35:48 -0700 From: rick mccoy Subject: Nat'l EMA Council for Americans United to Maintain the NWS WEATHER SERVICE HIRING FREEZE JEOPARDIZES PUBLIC SAFETY A six-month hiring freeze at the National Weather Service is jeopardizing public safety, a national organization said as it appealed to U.S. Commerce Secretary William Daley to allow the hiring of much-needed meteorologists and other front line weather personnel. “The American public can no longer tolerate the current state of paralysis in Washington which is forcing critical positions at local forecast offices to remain unfilled,” said Rick McCoy, president of a nationwide organization dedicated to preserving the weather service. “As the Washington bureaucrats scratch their heads wondering how to correct a long history of fiscal mismanagement, the National Weather Service remains hamstrung in its ability to issue severe weather forecasts and warnings,” McCoy said. “To a nation that depends on timely and accurate weather data, this bureaucratic paralysis is both unacceptable and dangerous. The hiring freeze must be immediately lifted.” For many months, the weather service has suffered a $41 million budget deficit and the Washington decree which blocked the filling of 150 meteorological positions, McCoy noted. “In the mean time, short-staffed weather forecast offices are reaching their breaking points while the Washington bureaucrats are asking us to wait a few more months so they can review the situation,” McCoy said. Nowhere is the weather service hiring freeze being felt worse than in Indiana and Ohio where a Doppler radar, recently installed to detect tornadoes and other severe weather, sits idle in North Webster. “According to NWS time tables, the radar should be up and running right now and an associated forecast office should be fully staffed,” McCoy pointed out. “With the hiring freeze, everything is in limbo, including the well being of the communities this radar was designed to protect.” McCoy added that the option of transferring staff from other offices is also out of the question since the hiring freeze would leave even greater holes in the rosters of the other offices. The emergency manager continued: “It’s a sad day in American government when a facility designed to protect life and property cannot go on line because of bureaucratic bumbling.” McCoy’s organization, the National Emergency Management Council for Americans United to Maintain the Weather Service, has appealed directly to Commerce Secretary Daley since his office oversees both the NWS and its parent agency, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. “As this issue drags on, it is becoming increasingly difficult to determine at whose desk the buck is going to stop,” McCoy said, adding that he has also made an appeal to key members of Congress and the White House to solve the staffing dilemma. ### ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 15:37:57 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Nat'l EMA Council for Americans United to Maintain the NWS > Nowhere is the weather service hiring freeze being felt worse than in > Indiana and Ohio where a Doppler radar, recently installed to detect > tornadoes and other severe weather, sits idle in North Webster. > > "According to NWS time tables, the radar should be up and running right > now and an associated forecast office should be fully staffed," McCoy > pointed out. "With the hiring freeze, everything is in limbo, including > the well being of the communities this radar was designed to protect." While I agree with the hiring problem, I was not under the impression that the NEXRAD timeline had anything to do with it... The radar dome was just installed over a month ago, and timelines I have seen all along have it operational at the end of September and "official" by next warning season. Are you saying it is sitting there, unoperational, ready to send data to other forecast offices that vitally need this information but no one is there to flip the power switch? Rob ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 16:19:29 EDT From: "Barry L. Sperling" Subject: Rmore on forecast accuracy Tim Dogget asked about the dates of my studies. The first was > 8/9/91 - 10/18/91 and the second was 12/21/91 - 3/3/92. My > opinion about the quality of the percentage values derives from > a comment I heard a long time ago that if you predict that > tomorrow will be the same as today you will be right 2/3 of the > time. I have never verified this ( has anyone? ) but it does > seem that reliability has to start above 67%, and I would be > happy with numbers A LOT higher than 67%. Percentages top this > at about 3 days, and less. The '91 same day results were > Precip: 88.7%, Temp 80.3% and the '92 results : P: 93.2% and > T: 77.0%. I still have the original data so I could look to > see if the precip or no-precip calls were better, but this > would be time consuming and I will put it off as long as I can. > Steve Silberberg - thanks for the K12 ideas. I passed on the > numbers I had to the Earth Science teachers at my school and I > think that they had some of the kids so similar work, but I > don't think that they ever showed me any results. > I'll check out the web sites you mentioned. Good luck on your > studies. I'd enjoy seeing the results! > > ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 18:46:45 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following sites became commissioned ASOS sites at 1800 UTC today, 13 August, 1997. ON AUGUST 13... 1997 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE (NWS) AND THE FEDERAL AVIATION ADMINISTRATION (FAA) WILL COMMISSION THE FAA-SPONSORED AUTOMATED SURFACE OBSERVING SYSTEMS (ASOS) AT: PENN VALLEY AIRPORT (KSEG) SELINSGROVE... PA YORK AIRPORT (KTHV) YORK... PA CINCINNATI MUNICIPAL AIRPORT LUNKEN FIELD (KLUK) CINCINNATI... OH AND THE NWS WILL COMMISSION THE NWS-SPONSORED ASOS AT: EUREKA (KP68) EUREKA... NV NOTE THAT... ALTHOUGH KP68 IS LOCATED AT AN AIRPORT... IT IS A LIMITED-CAPABILITY ASOS (NO VISUAL ELEMENTS). Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 19:46:40 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: delayed ASOS commissioning notice I am not sure if I sent this message or not...or for that matter why it would show up this late, but anyway, the following state became an ASOS commissioned site as of 17 June, 1997 MARTHAS VINEYARD AIRPORT /KMVY/ VINEYARD HAVEN... MA Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 20:44:06 EDT From: Munley <71435.211@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: Effects of Greenhouse Gas and Expected Weather The Effects of Global Warming and Expected Weather An article appeared in the May 1997 issue of "Scientific American" dealing with Global warming. It states that scientist have found that global temperatures have increased by a half a degree celsius. The increase is believed to be caused partly by human activity, such as the burning of fossil fuels. It is anticipated the global temperatures will continue to rise an additional 1.0oC to 3.5oC by the year 2100 mainly due to increases in population and technology. The way that warming temperatures might have on the planet such as life. The effects are complex and vary considerably from place to place. One aspect is regional climate and local weather dealing with extremes such as extreme heat and cold temperatures and very heavy rainfall which have severe effects on society and agriculture. Studies have found have fould how the earth's climate has changed. Global temperatures have increased. Computer models simulate how this will effect regional weather conditions such as intense heat waves. The change would also affect the pattern of rainfall as some areas would receive more and others less, thus changing global patterns and occurrences of droughts and floods. Examining climate records, climatologist are beginning to get a picture of how and where extremes have occurred. The relation of the extremes and the overall temperature increase are of particular interest. The combustion of fossil fuels and concentration of certain greenhouse gases mu be due to humans. The gases such as carbon dioxide, methane, ozone, halocarbons and nitrous oxide, let in the sun bur tens to insulate the earth. A higher concentration of these cases means warmer climate. The increases in the gases are not only caused by combustion but also by deforestation. An other influence is the effect on the earth's heat budget in which aerosols which come from natural sources such as volcanoes. Aerosols block reflecting light altering climate on a regional and global scale. By closely monitoring climate conditions scientist can get some general indication of what can be expected. A slight increase in temperatures can result which may occur late in the next century with minimum temperatures less than - 17.8oC (1oF) may last for days would decrease the number od early and late freezes and increase the number of heat waves. Observations during the latter half of this century indicate that the minimum temperature has increased at a rate 50 percent greater than the maximum. This increase has increased the frost free season in parts of the Northeast. A frost free season would be beneficial for agriculture. In the mid-latitudes, changes in the daily variability of temperatures have also been linked to changes in the frequency and intensity of storms. The relation od the storms and temperatures is complex. In a warmer world, the difference between the tropics and the poles would be smaller. This factor would weaken storms, but in the upper levels this would be reversed, having the opposite effect. Changes in storms could also happen if aerosols continue to cool the surface regionally, altering the horizontal temperature contrasts that control the location of the storm tracks. With or without additional greenhouse gases, the earth takes in the same amount of solar energy and radiates the same amount back out into space. A greater concentration of greenhouse gases, however, the surface is better insulated and can radiate less heat directly from the ground to space. The efficiency with which the planet radiates heat to space goes down, which means that the temperature must go up in order for the same amount of heat to be radiated. As the temperature increases, more evaporation takes place, leading to more precipitation, averaged across the globe. Precipitation will not increase everywhere and throughout the year, however, all areas of the globe should have warmer temperatures by the end of the next century. The distribution of precipitation is determined not only by local processes but also by the rates of evaporation and the atmospheric circulations that transport moisture. On a larger scale, most models predict an increase in average precipitation in winter at high latitudes because of greater poleward transport of moisture derived from increased evaporation at low latitudes. Since the turn of the century, precipitation has indeed increased in the high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere, primarily during the cold season, as temperatures have increased. But for tropical and subtropical land areas, precipitation has actually decreased over the past few decades. This is especially apparent over the Sahel and eastward to Indonesia. In northernmost North America and Eurasia, where conditions are normally far below freezing for much of the year, the amount of snowfall has increased over the past several decades. Further increases in snowfall are likely in these areas. Farther south, in southern Canada and the northern U.S., the ratio of snow to rain has decreased, but because of the increase in total precipitation there has been little overall change in the amount of snowfall. In the snow transition belts, where snow is intermittent throughout the cold season, the average snowfall will tend to diminish as the climate warms, before vanishing altogether in some places. Interestingly, areal snow cover during spring and summer abruptly diminished by nearly 10 percent after 1986. This decrease in snow cover has contributed to the rise of spring temperatures in the middle and high latitudes. Besides the overall amounts of precipitation, scientists are particularly interested in the frequency of heavy downpours or rapid accumulations because of the major practical implications. Intense precipitation can result in flooding, soil erosion and even loss of life. What change do we expect in this frequency? Whether precipitation occurs is largely determined by the relative humidity, which is the ratio of the concentration of water vapor to its maximum saturation value. Various analyses already support the notion of increased intensity. In the U.S., for example, an average of about 10 percent of the total annual precipitation that falls does so during very heavy downpours in which at least 50 millimeters falls in a single day. This proportion was less than 8 percent at the beginning of this century. As incredible as it may seem with all this precipitation, the soil in North America, southern Europe and in several other places is actually expected to become drier in the coming decades. Dry soil is of particular concern because of its far-reaching effects, for instance, on crop yields, groundwater resources, lake and river ecosystems and even on down to the foundations of buildings. Higher temperatures dry the soil by boosting the rates of evaporation and transpiration through plants. Several models now project significant increases in the severity of drought. Tempering these predictions, however, are studies of drought frequency and intensity during this century, which suggest that at least during the early stages of global warming other factors have overwhelmed the drying effects of warmer weather. Hurricanes in the Atlantic and as typhoons in the western North Pacific, can do enormous damage to coastal areas and tropical islands. As the climate warms, scientists anticipate changes in tropical cyclone activity that would vary by region. Not all the consequences would be negative; in some rather arid regions the contribution of tropical cyclones to rainfall is crucial. In northwest Australia, for example, 20 to 50 percent of the annual rainfall is associated with tropical cyclones. The possible impacts of an enhanced greenhouse effect often suggested more frequent and more intense tropical cyclones. Because these storms depend on a warm surface with unlimited moisture supply, they form only over oceans with a surface temperature of at least 26 degrees C (80oF). Therefore, the reasoning goes, global warming will lead to increased ocean temperatures and, presumably, more tropical cyclones. Recent work with climate models and historical data suggests that this scenario is overly simplistic. Overall, it seems unlikely that tropical cyclones will increase significantly on a global scale. In some regions, activity may escalate; in others, it will lessen. These changes will take place against a backdrop of large, natural variations from year to year and decade to decade. The climate system is complex, and the chance always remains that surprises will come about. North Atlantic currents could suddenly change, for example, causing fairly rapid climate change in Europe and eastern North America. I do not believe that global warming in entirely the blame as climate extremes have been occurring for centuries and the extremes are a result in changes in air circulation and a way of nature to balance its self. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 20:10:17 -0500 From: fred shabec Subject: Ani-Scanning Law!! Hello All: I know this is just a little off the subject but this will affect the weather chasers and storm spotters who use scanners, and/or amatuer radios while chasing or spotting.. If this passes HR 2369 and HR 1964 (HR 1964 is just the same but this is a LAW that is just cutting the band up on what and what not we can listen too!!) Please contact your local Congressman/women and appose this bill!!! Or we are going to loose our scanners and amateur radios!! -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Wireless Privacy Enhancement Act of 1997 (Introduced in the House) HR 2369 IH 105th CONGRESS 1st Session H. R. 2369 To amend the Communications Act of 1934 to strengthen and clarify prohibitions on electronic eavesdropping, and for other purposes. IN THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES July 31, 1997 Mr. TAUZIN (for himself, Mr. MARKEY, Mr. OXLEY, Mr. GILLMOR, Ms. ESHOO, and Ms. MCCARTHY of Missouri) introduced the following bill; which was referred to the Committee on Commerce A BILL To amend the Communications Act of 1934 to strengthen and clarify prohibitions on electronic eavesdropping, and for other purposes. Be it enacted by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, SECTION 1. SHORT TITLE. This Act may be cited as the `Wireless Privacy Enhancement Act of 1997'. SEC. 2. COMMERCE IN ELECTRONIC EAVESDROPPING DEVICES. (a) PROHIBITION ON MODIFICATION- Section 302(b) of the Communications Act of 1934 (47 U.S.C. 302(b)) is amended by inserting before the period at the end thereof the following: `, or to modify any such device, equipment, or system in any manner that causes such device, equipment, or system to fail to comply with such regulations'. (b) PROHIBITION ON COMMERCE IN SCANNING RECEIVERS- Section 302(d) of such Act (47 U.S.C. 302(d)) is amended to read as follows: `(d) The Commission shall prescribe regulations denying equipment authorization (under part 15 of title 47, Code of Federal Regulations, or any other part of that title) for any scanning receiver that is capable of-- `(1) receiving transmissions in the frequencies allocated to any commercial mobile service (as defined in section 332(d), `(2) readily being altered to receive transmissions in such frequencies, `(3) being equipped with decoders that convert digital commercial mobile service transmissions to analog voice audio, or `(4) being equipped with devices that otherwise decode encrypted radio transmissions for the purposes of unauthorized interception.'. (c) IMPLEMENTING REGULATIONS- Within 90 days after the date of enactment of this Act, the Federal Communications Commission shall prescribe amendments to its regulations for the purposes of implementing the amendments made by this section. In prescribing such amendments, and in response to subsequent changes in technology or behavior, the Commission shall review and revise its definition of the term `capable of readily being altered' as necessary to prevent commerce in devices that may be used unlawfully to intercept or divulge radio communication. SEC. 3. UNAUTHORIZED INTERCEPTION OR PUBLICATION OF COMMUNICATIONS. (a) AMENDMENTS- Section 705 of the Communications Act of 1934 (47 U.S.C. 605) is amended-- (1) in the heading of such section, by inserting `interception or' after `unauthorized'; (2) in the second sentence of subsection (a), by striking `and divulge' and inserting `or divulge'; (3) in subsection (e)(1)-- (A) by striking `fined not more than $2,000 or'; and (B) by inserting `or fined under title 18, United States Code,' after `6 months,'; and (4) in subsection (e)(3), by striking `any violation' and inserting `any receipt, interception, divulgence, publication, or utilization of any communication in violation'; and (5) in subsection (e)(4), by striking `any other activity prohibited by subsection (a)' and inserting `any receipt, interception, divulgence, publication, or utilization of any communication in violation of subsection (a)'. (b) RESPONSIBILITY FOR ENFORCEMENT- Notwithstanding any other investigative or enforcement activities of any other Federal agency, the Federal Communications Commission shall investigate alleged violations of section 705 of the Communications Act of 1934 (47 U.S.C. 605) and may proceed to initiate action under section 503 of such Act (47 U.S.C. 503) to impose forfeiture penalties with respect to such violation upon conclusion of the Commission's investigation. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------- Chicago Area Radio Monitoring Association- CARMA Check out our WEB site at: http://www.theramp.net/shabec/carma.htm ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 22:10:11 -0500 From: Mark Subject: Re: Ani-Scanning Law!! Looking at the law itself, it doesn't seem to remove the law that is currently on the books that covers hams from incidental reception, which is recieving signals outside the ham band on a ham transciever that recieves outside the band from the factory. The restrictions are pretty much the same tho, no rebroadcast, no publishing, relaying, etc.. of the transmission itself or of the info in it. If I am incorrect, please let me know. I'm a ham and hope that I can't get a ticket for the gear in my truck. Mark ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 12 Aug 1997 to 13 Aug 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102533-13952>; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 13:11:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA24140; Fri, 15 Aug 1997 00:07:35 -0500 Message-Id: <199708150507.AAA24140@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 00:04:01 +1900 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 13 Aug 1997 to 14 Aug 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 7f6cdff831347f86d1bd0bf78b26fb96 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 13717 Status: OR There are 8 messages totalling 291 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Nat'l EMA Council for Americans United to Maintain the NWS (2) 2. Rmore on forecast accuracy 3. RADAR Outflow patterns 4. ASOS Commissioning Notice 5. Sucks to be us: COD web site down (again!) 6. PCGridds & MesoETA MOS 7. Greenhouse Article +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 13 Aug 1997 20:29:25 -0700 From: rick mccoy Subject: Re: Nat'l EMA Council for Americans United to Maintain the NWS Robert P Dale wrote: > > > Nowhere is the weather service hiring freeze being felt worse than > in > > Indiana and Ohio where a Doppler radar, recently installed to > detect > > tornadoes and other severe weather, sits idle in North Webster. > > > > "According to NWS time tables, the radar should be up and running > right > > now and an associated forecast office should be fully staffed," > McCoy > > pointed out. "With the hiring freeze, everything is in limbo, > including > > the well being of the communities this radar was designed to > protect." > > While I agree with the hiring problem, I was not under the impression > that the NEXRAD timeline had anything to do with it... > > The radar dome was just installed over a month ago, and timelines I > have seen all along have it operational at the end of September and > "official" by next warning season. Are you saying it is sitting > there, unoperational, ready to send data to other forecast offices > that vitally need this information but no one is there to flip the > power switch? > > Rob The office trailors are on location in North Webster, Ind and are setting empty because the freeze has kept the personnel from reporting as planned on Aug. 1 per the staffing timeline. The contractor has been operating the 88D per their operational and checklist guidelines. So yes, the radar is ready to go but no one their to literaly pull the switch. The South Bend radar is scheduled to be placed in "standby" on Sept. 5. But with an idle radar, I think it is quite evident that the timeline will not be met. With General Kellys' report scheduled to be finished by the end of September and no actions being taken by NOAA until that time and most likely not immediately after the report is released, the North Webster site will continue to be delayed. This jeopardizes the fact that the warning responsibility for North Webster was to take place in March as the severe weather season begins but how will that timeline be met with these setbacks. Citizens of Indiana and Ohio fought hard to get this radar and new WFO. They were promised in June that the timeline would stay on schedule and the current dilemma of the weather service would have no impact on this project. This is a slap in the peoples face including the Senators and Congressmen who fought for this radar. Rick ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 10:34:10 -0500 From: Tim Doggett Subject: Re: Rmore on forecast accuracy The problem here is that by saying a persistence forecast will be right 2/3 of the time, you have not indicated what "right" is. I believe this statement refers to the fact that once an air mass is in place, the weather will be somewhat consistant. But how do you verify that... temp +/- 3,5,10 degrees? Precip yes/no at a single rain gauge, or some radar indicated precip within a certain radius of the forecast location? Also, since air masses change semi-regualarly (depending on season and location), you should not expect persistence to work for extended periods of time. For example, if you are in a pattern where frontal boundaries are passing by every 3-4 days, you shouldn't expect persistence to be valid past 3 days, max. If you know a front is about to push through, you shouldn't expect persistance to work at all. Finally, the numbers I was discussing were the five day results... which again, I wouldn't expect persistance to do much better. Maybe a better standard to gauge the results against persistance (instead of 67%). Verify temp/precip against what was recorded five days previous. I'd be willing to bet the 1-2 day persistance is better then 67%, and the 4-5 day persistance worse. Then compare the 5 day forecast results with the 5 day persistence forecast results. If persistence still wins then, I would say you're right... the forecasts for this period were pretty useless (which of course, could be the case). Since I don't want to burdon you with time consuming projects, I would be willing to put in a little effort here if you could supply the data to me. -Tim On Wed, 13 Aug 1997, Barry L. Sperling wrote: > Tim Dogget asked about the dates of my studies. The first was > > 8/9/91 - 10/18/91 and the second was 12/21/91 - 3/3/92. My > > opinion about the quality of the percentage values derives from > > a comment I heard a long time ago that if you predict that > > tomorrow will be the same as today you will be right 2/3 of the > > time. I have never verified this ( has anyone? ) but it does > > seem that reliability has to start above 67%, and I would be > > happy with numbers A LOT higher than 67%. Percentages top this > > at about 3 days, and less. The '91 same day results were > > Precip: 88.7%, Temp 80.3% and the '92 results : P: 93.2% and > > T: 77.0%. I still have the original data so I could look to > > see if the precip or no-precip calls were better, but this > > would be time consuming and I will put it off as long as I can. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tim Doggett, Ph.D. COMET Visiting Scientist e-mail: x9ald@pegasus.acs.ttu.edu NWSFO, Lubbock doggett@rainfall.atmo.ttu.edu Lubbock, Texas fax: (806)743-7363 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 12:26:51 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: RADAR Outflow patterns I was outside the other day trying to sort my backyard shed. NWS forecast that "sunshine will continue to 2pm." At just before noon, I was out there, with tons of boxes laid out on the grass. I looked to the east, and there was a huge grey cloud approaching with rain falling from it. The first thunder called my attention to it. "Where the hell did _that_ come from?" I asked myself -- not really expecting an answer. An example of one of those surprise storms the NWS sometimes doesn't expect, I guess. Going inside to look at the RADAR on TWC, it was the only storm for 75+ miles in all directions. I barely got everything sorted and rearranged and placed back into the shed when I got drenched with a hefty little sudden downpour -- the likes of which I thought only occured on the Bugs Bunny cartoons. You know...it comes outta nowhere and drenches you to the bone and then disappears; and then you think you hear the storm laughing on it's way out? You're left standing there, with a frown on your face...dripping heavy drops which leave a rather large pond on the floor when you go back inside. :) It is at this point that your girlfriend might ask, "Did you get a little wet there, bub?" after seeing the lake beneath your feet. Anyway, after the storm had passed, I kept an eye on the RADAR and, you couldn't have asked for a better example on RADAR of storm outflow. The RADAR showed a perfect circle, as if someone had dropped a rock in a pond, growing larger and larger and extending outward in all directions from Gainesville. Too bad things like that aren't saved on a hard drive somewhere. That would make a perfect example to show how outflow works. So cool. I didn't have any blank tapes available or I would have recorded it off TWC. Oh well. There goes my "Gainesville Split" theory. Maybe it's actually more like a "Gainesville Explosion." :) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman, A.R.S. KB4MHH -\\- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- Home Page URL: http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Permission to use the above info for inclusion in any mailing | | lists, so as to send me ad-mail personally, is NOT granted. | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman, A.R.S. KB4MHH -\\- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- Home Page URL: http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Permission to use the above info for inclusion in any mailing | | lists, so as to send me ad-mail personally, is NOT granted. | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 13:38:03 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following sites will become commissioned ASOS sites at 1800 UTC on 14 August, 1997. LOTT INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT (KPQL) PASCAGOULA... MS AND THE NWS WILL COMMISSION THE NWS-SPONSORED ASOS AT: JORDAN AIRPORT (KJDN) JORDAN... MT NOTE THAT... ALTHOUGH KJDN IS LOCATED AT AN AIRPORT... IT IS A LIMITED-CAPABILITY ASOS (NO VISUAL ELEMENTS). Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 17:23:23 -0500 From: Dana Quinn Subject: Sucks to be us: COD web site down (again!) Hey folks - some of you may have noticed that College of DuPage web site is down. (at least all the text based stuff is down) We took things down for a quick (so we thought) mboard swap. Basically we were going to set things right again after our problems of last week. Silly us. So, the deal is, the new mboard is dead in the water, and the computer people here are trying to figure out what's up, and we won't be up until tomorrow sometime. So that's that. Apologies all around! Wish we could be up! I'll get us back up before I leave the office on friday, though. Dana +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Dana Quinn + dana@weather.cod.edu it's now or never- + linux-type guy too close to the latter +College of DuPage Wx Lab -Son Volt + +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 18:39:27 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: PCGridds & MesoETA MOS For those with PCG 8/97 -- output similar to MOS is available from the ETA/Meso ETA at 00Z & 12Z in small (250K) files from the OSO server. Filenames are similar to the _huge_ mesoETA files, but occur at 00 and 12Z instead of 03 and 15Z (for now.) If you want to look at these in PCG, you will need to edit the following files... (follow the format in the file, my spacing may not be correct here) /data/maptype.dat: E484 95. 12.19000 133.4590 40.63525 25.0 185 129 NLCC /grib/gribparm.dat: 015 TMAX HIGH TEMPERATURE (K) 016 TMIN LOW TEMPERATURE (K) 060 TSTM PROB OF THUNDERSTORM Rob ////////////////////////////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ Robert P Dale - N8GSK || rdale@norden1.com Meteorologist || rdale@storm.atms.purdue.edu Davidson Crane And Conveyor || dcc@norden1.com InterRAD NIDS Software http://www.stratus.weather.net/~rdale/interrad.html NW Ohio Weather Info http://norden1.com/~rdale/weather.html Northwest Ohio AMS http://nwohams.home.ml.org ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 14 Aug 1997 19:05:36 EDT From: Munley <71435.211@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: Greenhouse Article Member, Before the accusations start flying and everyone carries this too far, the article I published yesterday was meant as a commentary on the article and I was not in anyway stealing it from the author. Jim Munley Jr. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 01:29:51 GMT From: rjhstorm Subject: Re: Nat'l EMA Council for Americans United to Maintain the NWS As someone who sent over 300 pieces of email to "influential people and organizations", and handed 3 dozen letters directly to one of my state's US senators back in February concerning the cutbacks at the SPC and TPC, I am all for any effort that can keep the basic services of the NWS intact. One of the basic and constitutionally mandated Federal responsibilities is to provide for the common defense of its citizens, and this includes civil defense against both human and natural foes. As a SKYWARN spotter, I take my role very seriously, and I feel that maitaining a consistent forecast and warning presence is crucial to assisting me in doing my job. I hope that the final report from General Kelly supports this perspective. People die if facilities aren't manned and the forecasts and warnings don't go out in a timely and comprehensive fashion. It's that simple, and that important. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 13 Aug 1997 to 14 Aug 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103526-2859>; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 13:09:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA265678; Sat, 16 Aug 1997 00:04:53 -0500 Message-Id: <199708160504.AAA265678@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 16 Aug 1997 00:02:28 +1900 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 14 Aug 1997 to 15 Aug 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: d4ba9e08f11c3a24e63502bdae000f0a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 11542 Status: OR There are 6 messages totalling 260 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. COD web site back! 2. Copyrighting public property (NWS Forecasts) (4) 3. Allan Murphy +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 17:07:41 -0500 From: Dana Quinn Subject: COD web site back! Hey folks! The College of DuPage web site is back up! Hopefully things will stay settled for a while! We've got the most recent convective outlooks up, and the current watches also. Dana Quinn (5pm CDT, 8/15) +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Dana Quinn + dana@weather.cod.edu it's now or never- + linux-type guy too close to the latter +College of DuPage Wx Lab -Son Volt + +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 16:41:03 -0500 From: Roger Edwards Subject: Copyrighting public property (NWS Forecasts) Forgive me if this has already been posted (I lost a chunk of wx-talk from my e-mail); but it is a very interesting story (below .sig). ----------------------------------- *** No disclaimer necessary; this is my personal account! *** "A Meatwagon at rest tends ===== Roger Edwards ===== to remain at rest." ( ) Forecaster - chase partner, 1996 former NHC Forecaster :::::::::: http://www.wildstar.net/~tornado :::::::::: "I FEAST ON THE SMORGASBORD OF ATMOSPHERIC VIOLENCE." ---------- Forwarded message ---------- Subject: Fwd: NWS turns a cold shoulder on AccuWeather ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The following article is also available at the web site at the following address (it's a monster URL, so you better have copy-paste capability!): http://www.gcn.com/scripts/dbml.exe?Template=/ArticleSQL/display/GetArticle.dbm& id=676&bgcolor=FFFFFF&header=head_2&article=hilites_2 It is reproduced here for educational and reference purposes only. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Michael Cheek Cover Story NWS turns a cold shoulder on AccuWeather copyright A National Weather Service complaint has compelled AccuWeather Inc. to stop copyrighting NWS meteorologists' forecasts that the company uploaded to its World Wide Web site. Personal AccuWeather subscriptions, available on the Web at http://personal.accuweather.com, distribute weather forecasts based on NWS data. Until Aug. 6, the site's Nowcast had verbatim short-term forecasts from local NWS offices along with the words "Copyright 1997 AccuWeather Inc., Redistribution Prohibited." "It's illegal to put a copyright on government documents," said Allan Eustis, chief of NWS' Office of Industrial Meteorology. "We are in favor of AccuWeather disseminating our weather forecasts, but with attribution and without a copyright." AccuWeather's senior vice president, Michael Steinberg, said the verbatim use was a "placeholder" until AccuWeather forecasts could be inserted. The verbatim NWS forecasts were on the site for about four weeks. AccuWeather of State College, Pa., is "not claiming ownership of the [NWS] data--that would be absurd," Steinberg said. "It's entirely possible that the copyright should not be there. We just do not want people to take data from our Web site and redistribute it. We pay a lot of money for that information," he added. Steinberg said NWS officials encourage the distribution and redistribution of their forecasts for public safety reasons. Eustis said he had spoken with AccuWeather officials, who promised to remove the copyright statement. "We're trying to be nice guys," he said on Aug. 5. "We're going to give them 48 hours to take care of it. If they don't, we'll raise this to the next level and write a letter." Steinberg said the weather data and graphics--though originally from NWS--have value-added information and can therefore be copyrighted. "The Nowcast product is one of hundreds on the site," Steinberg said. "That was the only one taken verbatim off the National Weather Service system." Can't do it Lawyers told GCN that NWS forecasts cannot be copyrighted under the U.S. Code. But other portions of the Web site might be copyright-protected. "Works that are developed or written by government employees are not copyrightable," said J.T. Westermeier, a lawyer with Fenwick & West LLP in Washington. AccuWeather's presentation or organization of NWS data on the Web site could be protected but not the data itself, said Roberta Bren, a lawyer with Oblon, Spivak, McClelland, Maier & Newstadt, P.C., an Arlington, Va., firm. "The question is whether independent work and a little bit of originality are involved," Bren said. "The raw data or facts generally cannot be protected. An idea, like it's going to rain tomorrow, cannot be protected. "But when certain information is selected--wind speed or rainfall--and a conclusion is reached and presented day after day in a specific format, it may be protectable," she said. When AccuWeather and other companies create imagery from raw NWS satellite and Doppler radar data, that also might be protected, Bren said, but it's a bit murky "until challenged in a court." The use of the verbatim data came to a GCN editor's attention after AccuWeather personalized a version of the Web page for this newspaper. AccuWeather has been setting up personal Web pages for review by publications nationwide. Originally priced at $4.95 per month, the personalized service is now free, but AccuWeather says it may begin charging for it. Weather forecasts on the Web also are available from the Weather Channel at http://www.weather.com, CNN at http://cnn.com, ABC News at http://abcnews.com and the National Weather Service itself at http://www.nws.noaa.com/er/lwx/zip.htm. Many of the free forecasts can be personalized for a city or region. Word watch When NWS meteorologists in the Sterling, Va., field office discovered the word-for-word use, they began preceding their forecasts with the words, "The National Weather Service is forecasting ... " The service provides weather information to government agencies. "We do depend on companies like AccuWeather to disseminate our forecasts," Eustis said. Copyright 1996-97 Government Computer News and Millstar. (EOF) ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 18:44:19 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Copyrighting public property (NWS Forecasts) >AccuWeather's senior vice president, Michael Steinberg, said the verbatim use >was a "placeholder" until AccuWeather forecasts could be inserted. The >verbatim NWS forecasts were on the site for about four weeks. When Personal AccuWeather started (beginning of 1997) I sent email to AccuWX, NWS and WX-Talk regarding this issue and no one seemed to mind... So the four-week remark is very incorrect. They did take TM & C off the Nowcast as of yesterday, but they do not acknowledge that the NOWCAST comes from NWS. TM is presently on "Hour-by-hour" which is simply the last 24 hours worth of data from your local observation point... Rob ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 18:59:08 -0400 From: Matt J Rosier Subject: Re: Copyrighting public property (NWS Forecasts) At 6:44 PM -0400 8/15/97, Robert P Dale wrote: >They did take TM & C off the Nowcast as of yesterday, but they do not >acknowledge that the NOWCAST comes from NWS. TM is presently on >"Hour-by-hour" which is simply the last 24 hours worth of data from your >local observation point... AccuWx should atleast include the header on the NOWCAST's so there is some indication that the product was issued by the NWS, if they won't acknowledge the fact that it is an NWS product elsewhere on the page. To Joe Smoe or anyone else just looking for a forecast who stumbles upon the AccuWx page, you know they are going to think that the NOWCAST is an AccuWx product, and that's exactly what AccuWx wants them to think, IMO. My 2 bytes... Matt ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 15:34:23 -0500 From: Chuck Doswell Subject: Re: Allan Murphy In article , brooks@nssl.noaa.gov (Harold Brooks) wrote: > Since it has not been posted yet, I thought I would pass along the > sad news that Allan Murphy died last Tuesday (5 August 1997) after > a bout with cancer. I've been slow in responding to this, but I want to say the following in honor of Allan Murphy: It was my great privilege to know Allan as both a friend and a colleague. He has shaped my understanding of the forecast problem, in terms of methodology, verification, and value to users. Wherever my vague gropings for understanding of the issues in weather forecasting took me, I found his footprints in the ground ahead of me, taking great strides as I crawled along behind. His expositions are jewels of precision and clarity. We have lost a great man, but he has left us the equally great gift of his writings. It is my hope that you will give his written legacy the thoughtful and careful consideration it deserves. I believe strongly that you will be rewarded in proportion to the effort you expend ... Allan's papers are not necessarily easy to read, but if you understand his insights, you will appreciate how far he took us all. We miss you, Allan! Chuck Doswell -- Dr. Charles A. Doswell III NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, Oklahoma 73069 phone: (405) 366-0439 fax: (405) 366-0472 WWW home page: Standard disclaimer ... my views are my own, so don't blame my employer. Is it a snake? Or is it a tire? ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 21:41:22 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Copyrighting public property (NWS Forecasts) >AccuWx should at least include the header on the NOWCAST's so there is some >indication that the product was issued by the NWS I see Detroit has added the "National Weather Service says..." right into the text of their nowcasts, following Sterling VA's lead. That way it shows up on TWC, so viewers know who 'really' issues them! Rob ////////////////////////////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ Robert P Dale - N8GSK || rdale@norden1.com Meteorologist || rdale@storm.atms.purdue.edu Davidson Crane And Conveyor || dcc@norden1.com InterRAD NIDS Software http://www.stratus.weather.net/~rdale/interrad.html NW Ohio Weather Info http://norden1.com/~rdale/weather.html Northwest Ohio AMS http://nwohams.home.ml.org ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 14 Aug 1997 to 15 Aug 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Aug 18 02:58:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102568-14127>; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 13:14:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA34070; Sun, 17 Aug 1997 00:04:55 -0500 Message-Id: <199708170504.AAA34070@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 00:00:48 +1900 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 15 Aug 1997 to 16 Aug 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: dba1b822015e2b8c8725dbb4499e5bf7 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 17356 Status: OR There are 2 messages totalling 394 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 14 Aug 1997 to 15 Aug 1997 (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 16 Aug 1997 05:49:34 -0700 From: Jan Null Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 14 Aug 1997 to 15 Aug 1997 At 12:02 AM 8/16/97 +1900, you wrote: >There are 6 messages totalling 260 lines in this issue. > >Topics of the day: > > 1. COD web site back! > 2. Copyrighting public property (NWS Forecasts) (4) > 3. Allan Murphy > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > >---------------------------------------------------------------------- > >Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 17:07:41 -0500 >From: Dana Quinn >Subject: COD web site back! > >Hey folks! The College of DuPage web site is back up! Hopefully >things will stay settled for a while! > >We've got the most recent convective outlooks up, and the current >watches also. > >Dana Quinn (5pm CDT, 8/15) > >+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ > Dana Quinn + dana@weather.cod.edu > it's now or never- + linux-type guy > too close to the latter +College of DuPage Wx Lab > -Son Volt + >+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ > >------------------------------ > >Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 16:41:03 -0500 >From: Roger Edwards >Subject: Copyrighting public property (NWS Forecasts) > >Forgive me if this has already been posted (I lost a chunk of wx-talk from >my e-mail); but it is a very interesting story (below .sig). > > ----------------------------------- >*** No disclaimer necessary; this is my personal account! *** >"A Meatwagon at rest tends ===== Roger Edwards ===== > to remain at rest." ( ) Forecaster >- chase partner, 1996 former NHC Forecaster >:::::::::: http://www.wildstar.net/~tornado :::::::::: >"I FEAST ON THE SMORGASBORD OF ATMOSPHERIC VIOLENCE." > > > >---------- Forwarded message ---------- >Subject: Fwd: NWS turns a cold shoulder on AccuWeather >--------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---- > > The following article is also available at the web site at the > following address (it's a monster URL, so you better have > copy-paste capability!): > >http://www.gcn.com/scripts/dbml.exe?Template=/ArticleSQL/display/GetArticle .dbm& >id=676&bgcolor=FFFFFF&header=head_2&article=hilites_2 > >It is reproduced here for educational and reference purposes only. >---------------------------------------------------------------------------- >Michael Cheek > >Cover Story >NWS turns a cold shoulder on AccuWeather >copyright > >A National Weather Service complaint has compelled AccuWeather Inc. to >stop copyrighting NWS meteorologists' forecasts that the company uploaded to >its World Wide Web site. > >Personal AccuWeather subscriptions, available on the Web at >http://personal.accuweather.com, distribute weather forecasts based on NWS >data. Until Aug. 6, the site's Nowcast had verbatim short-term forecasts from >local NWS offices along with the words "Copyright 1997 AccuWeather Inc., >Redistribution Prohibited." > >"It's illegal to put a copyright on government documents," said Allan Eustis, >chief of NWS' Office of Industrial Meteorology. "We are in favor of AccuWeather >disseminating our weather forecasts, but with attribution and without a >copyright." > >AccuWeather's senior vice president, Michael Steinberg, said the verbatim use >was a "placeholder" until AccuWeather forecasts could be inserted. The >verbatim NWS forecasts were on the site for about four weeks. > >AccuWeather of State College, Pa., is "not claiming ownership of the [NWS] >data--that would be absurd," Steinberg said. > >"It's entirely possible that the copyright should not be there. We just do not >want people to take data from our Web site and redistribute it. We pay a lot of >money for that information," he added. > >Steinberg said NWS officials encourage the distribution and redistribution of >their forecasts for public safety reasons. > >Eustis said he had spoken with AccuWeather officials, who promised to remove >the copyright statement. > >"We're trying to be nice guys," he said on Aug. 5. "We're going to give them 48 >hours to take care of it. If they don't, we'll raise this to the next level and >write a letter." > >Steinberg said the weather data and graphics--though originally from >NWS--have value-added information and can therefore be copyrighted. > >"The Nowcast product is one of hundreds on the site," Steinberg said. "That >was the only one taken verbatim off the National Weather Service system." > >Can't do it > >Lawyers told GCN that NWS forecasts cannot be copyrighted under the U.S. >Code. But other portions of the Web site might be copyright-protected. > >"Works that are developed or written by government employees are not >copyrightable," said J.T. Westermeier, a lawyer with Fenwick & West LLP in >Washington. > >AccuWeather's presentation or organization of NWS data on the Web site >could be protected but not the data itself, said Roberta Bren, a lawyer with >Oblon, Spivak, McClelland, Maier & Newstadt, P.C., an Arlington, Va., firm. > >"The question is whether independent work and a little bit of originality are >involved," Bren said. "The raw data or facts generally cannot be protected. An >idea, like it's going to rain tomorrow, cannot be protected. > >"But when certain information is selected--wind speed or rainfall--and a >conclusion is reached and presented day after day in a specific format, it may >be protectable," she said. > >When AccuWeather and other companies create imagery from raw NWS >satellite and Doppler radar data, that also might be protected, Bren said, but >it's a bit murky "until challenged in a court." > >The use of the verbatim data came to a GCN editor's attention after >AccuWeather personalized a version of the Web page for this newspaper. >AccuWeather has been setting up personal Web pages for review by >publications nationwide. > >Originally priced at $4.95 per month, the personalized service is now free, but >AccuWeather says it may begin charging for it. > >Weather forecasts on the Web also are available from the Weather Channel at >http://www.weather.com, CNN at http://cnn.com, ABC News at >http://abcnews.com and the National Weather Service itself at >http://www.nws.noaa.com/er/lwx/zip.htm. Many of the free forecasts can be >personalized for a city or region. > >Word watch > >When NWS meteorologists in the Sterling, Va., field office discovered the >word-for-word use, they began preceding their forecasts with the words, "The >National Weather Service is forecasting ... " > >The service provides weather information to government agencies. "We do >depend on companies like AccuWeather to disseminate our forecasts," Eustis >said. > >Copyright 1996-97 Government Computer News and Millstar. > >(EOF) > >------------------------------ > >Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 18:44:19 -0400 >From: Robert P Dale >Subject: Re: Copyrighting public property (NWS Forecasts) > >>AccuWeather's senior vice president, Michael Steinberg, said the verbatim use >>was a "placeholder" until AccuWeather forecasts could be inserted. The >>verbatim NWS forecasts were on the site for about four weeks. > >When Personal AccuWeather started (beginning of 1997) I sent email to >AccuWX, NWS and WX-Talk regarding this issue and no one seemed to mind... >So the four-week remark is very incorrect. > >They did take TM & C off the Nowcast as of yesterday, but they do not >acknowledge that the NOWCAST comes from NWS. TM is presently on >"Hour-by-hour" which is simply the last 24 hours worth of data from your >local observation point... > >Rob > >------------------------------ > >Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 18:59:08 -0400 >From: Matt J Rosier >Subject: Re: Copyrighting public property (NWS Forecasts) > >At 6:44 PM -0400 8/15/97, Robert P Dale wrote: >>They did take TM & C off the Nowcast as of yesterday, but they do not >>acknowledge that the NOWCAST comes from NWS. TM is presently on >>"Hour-by-hour" which is simply the last 24 hours worth of data from your >>local observation point... > >AccuWx should atleast include the header on the NOWCAST's so there is some >indication that the product was issued by the NWS, if they won't >acknowledge the fact that it is an NWS product elsewhere on the page. To >Joe Smoe or anyone else just looking for a forecast who stumbles upon the >AccuWx page, you know they are going to think that the NOWCAST is an AccuWx >product, and that's exactly what AccuWx wants them to think, IMO. > >My 2 bytes... > >Matt > >------------------------------ > >Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 15:34:23 -0500 >From: Chuck Doswell >Subject: Re: Allan Murphy > >In article , >brooks@nssl.noaa.gov (Harold Brooks) wrote: > >> Since it has not been posted yet, I thought I would pass along the >> sad news that Allan Murphy died last Tuesday (5 August 1997) after >> a bout with cancer. > >I've been slow in responding to this, but I want to say the following in >honor of Allan Murphy: > >It was my great privilege to know Allan as both a friend and a colleague. >He has shaped my understanding of the forecast problem, in terms of >methodology, verification, and value to users. Wherever my vague gropings >for understanding of the issues in weather forecasting took me, I found >his footprints in the ground ahead of me, taking great strides as I >crawled along behind. His expositions are jewels of precision and clarity. >We have lost a great man, but he has left us the equally great gift of his >writings. It is my hope that you will give his written legacy the >thoughtful and careful consideration it deserves. I believe strongly that >you will be rewarded in proportion to the effort you expend ... Allan's >papers are not necessarily easy to read, but if you understand his >insights, you will appreciate how far he took us all. We miss you, Allan! > > Chuck Doswell > >-- >Dr. Charles A. Doswell III NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory > 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, Oklahoma 73069 >phone: (405) 366-0439 fax: (405) 366-0472 > WWW home page: >Standard disclaimer ... my views are my own, so don't blame my employer. > > Is it a snake? Or is it a tire? > >------------------------------ > >Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 21:41:22 -0400 >From: Robert P Dale >Subject: Re: Copyrighting public property (NWS Forecasts) > >>AccuWx should at least include the header on the NOWCAST's so there is some >>indication that the product was issued by the NWS > >I see Detroit has added the "National Weather Service says..." right into >the text of their nowcasts, following Sterling VA's lead. That way it shows >up on TWC, so viewers know who 'really' issues them! > >Rob >////////////////////////////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ >Robert P Dale - N8GSK || rdale@norden1.com >Meteorologist || rdale@storm.atms.purdue.edu >Davidson Crane And Conveyor || dcc@norden1.com >InterRAD NIDS Software http://www.stratus.weather.net/~rdale/interrad.html > NW Ohio Weather Info http://norden1.com/~rdale/weather.html > Northwest Ohio AMS http://nwohams.home.ml.org > >------------------------------ > >End of WX-TALK Digest - 14 Aug 1997 to 15 Aug 1997 >************************************************** > Sorry, I missed you. I will be out of town until April 23rd, and will return your email at that time. Regards, jan @@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@ @ Jan Null, CCM email: jnull@home.com @ @ Lead Forecaster, Webmaster jan.null@.noaa.gov @ @ National Weather Service voice: 408-656-1710 @ @ San Francisco Bay Area fax: 408-656-1747 @ @ Web Homepage: http://nws.mbay.net/ @ @@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 16 Aug 1997 11:12:16 -0600 From: "Paul E. Pettit" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 14 Aug 1997 to 15 Aug 1997 >A National Weather Service complaint has compelled AccuWeather Inc. to >stop copyrighting NWS meteorologists' forecasts that the company uploaded to >its World Wide Web site. > >Personal AccuWeather subscriptions, available on the Web at >http://personal.accuweather.com, distribute weather forecasts based on NWS >data. Until Aug. 6, the site's Nowcast had verbatim short-term forecasts from >local NWS offices along with the words "Copyright 1997 AccuWeather Inc., >Redistribution Prohibited." This would be no different than anyone of us who would take NWS forecasts and put our copyright symbol on the forecast, data, or whatever. Not legal and to say the least unethical. I do not blame NWS offices for putting indentifying disclaimers at the top of their products. Private interests put disclaimers on their materials all the time. Sad that it is necessary for the gov't to have to do it. Until the subject is decided of who is going to get info free and who is not (according to my talks with Roger Getz CEO of AWIS this may be settled soon) NWS data is there for the taking for free from a number of places. ACCUWeather pays pretty good fees for some of this, but they could also presently get most of it free and revise it into those nice graphics, thus saving money. Why don't they just pull it down from one of the University servers? >AccuWeather of State College, Pa., is "not claiming ownership of the [NWS] >data--that would be absurd," Steinberg said. But not making it clear where the information came from is also misleading. The average Joe Blow looking actually thinks its their original stuff, same as TV in many cases where the locals think the TV weatherman is "the weather source." Here in Montgomery the TV folks rarely say "The official Weather Service Forecast is....." One station uses AccuWeather and on the radar presentations says "AccuWeather's Doppler Radar". This sounds like its actually AccuWeather radar data when its really only NWS data reformatted to their overlays. >Steinberg said the weather data and graphics--though originally from >NWS--have value-added information and can therefore be copyrighted. Uh??? You mean I can take a NWS satellite pic, put a border around it, change the black and white colors to shades of blue, put my logo on it, and copyright it? Guess I can. How are NWS forecasts revised and to what extent by AccuWeather to make them "value added"? I would like to know? Even the original NWS forecasts made by NWS mets sometimes don't have much originality as they are straight from guidance. If what AccuWeather is claiming is true, I can take NWS raw guidance, put it on my web site and claim its mine. All I have to do is remove the header materials, alter the content format and put it out as my own forecasts(never changing the original forecast one iota). >When NWS meteorologists in the Sterling, Va., field office discovered the >word-for-word use, they began preceding their forecasts with the words, "The >National Weather Service is forecasting ... ".. What about radio stations taking NWS NOAA radio forecasts, rebroadcasting them verbatum, without any mention of them coming from NWS. This has been done, believe me? I should think that the original NWS products should all have something standard like this in their products and it should be mandatory that people like AccuWeather, Wx Channel, TV stations, should have to carry this part of the message in some way to their users. If they get raw data (not guidance), analyze their own data, make their own original forecasts, with their own specific wording, and....be liable for the end product...then let them do their thing in any form or fashion they want with all the copyright priviledges entailed. This thread is probably going to really stimulate some posts on the subject. Paul E. Pettit Weather Consulting http://meteorology.miningco.com http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 15 Aug 1997 to 16 Aug 1997 ************************************************** From - Tue Aug 19 09:35:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102742-11716>; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 13:11:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA255254; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 00:04:32 -0500 Message-Id: <199708180504.AAA255254@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 00:00:05 +1900 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 16 Aug 1997 to 17 Aug 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: baf4a91af969d0caefb75a118eec85c0 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 26147 Status: OR There are 6 messages totalling 617 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 15 Aug 1997 to 16 Aug 1997 2. Copyrighting public property (NWS Forecasts) 3. To Chris 4. Discovery channel program on tornadoes/hurricanes 5. New Age TV Weathercasting -Chicago Flooding- 6. SCH BREAKING NEWS: Purdue WXP site address change +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 16 Aug 1997 22:04:42 -0700 From: Jan Null Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 15 Aug 1997 to 16 Aug 1997 At 12:00 AM 8/17/97 +1900, you wrote: >There are 2 messages totalling 394 lines in this issue. > >Topics of the day: > > 1. WX-TALK Digest - 14 Aug 1997 to 15 Aug 1997 (2) > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > >---------------------------------------------------------------------- > >Date: Sat, 16 Aug 1997 05:49:34 -0700 >From: Jan Null >Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 14 Aug 1997 to 15 Aug 1997 > >At 12:02 AM 8/16/97 +1900, you wrote: >>There are 6 messages totalling 260 lines in this issue. >> >>Topics of the day: >> >> 1. COD web site back! >> 2. Copyrighting public property (NWS Forecasts) (4) >> 3. Allan Murphy >> >>+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >>To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >>"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >>write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html >> >>---------------------------------------------------------------------- >> >>Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 17:07:41 -0500 >>From: Dana Quinn >>Subject: COD web site back! >> >>Hey folks! The College of DuPage web site is back up! Hopefully >>things will stay settled for a while! >> >>We've got the most recent convective outlooks up, and the current >>watches also. >> >>Dana Quinn (5pm CDT, 8/15) >> >>+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ >> Dana Quinn + dana@weather.cod.edu >> it's now or never- + linux-type guy >> too close to the latter +College of DuPage Wx Lab >> -Son Volt + >>+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ >> >>------------------------------ >> >>Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 16:41:03 -0500 >>From: Roger Edwards >>Subject: Copyrighting public property (NWS Forecasts) >> >>Forgive me if this has already been posted (I lost a chunk of wx-talk from >>my e-mail); but it is a very interesting story (below .sig). >> >> ----------------------------------- >>*** No disclaimer necessary; this is my personal account! *** >>"A Meatwagon at rest tends ===== Roger Edwards ===== >> to remain at rest." ( ) Forecaster >>- chase partner, 1996 former NHC Forecaster >>:::::::::: http://www.wildstar.net/~tornado :::::::::: >>"I FEAST ON THE SMORGASBORD OF ATMOSPHERIC VIOLENCE." >> >> >> >>---------- Forwarded message ---------- >>Subject: Fwd: NWS turns a cold shoulder on AccuWeather >>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- >---- >> >> The following article is also available at the web site at the >> following address (it's a monster URL, so you better have >> copy-paste capability!): >> >>http://www.gcn.com/scripts/dbml.exe?Template=/ArticleSQL/display/GetArticle >.dbm& >>id=676&bgcolor=FFFFFF&header=head_2&article=hilites_2 >> >>It is reproduced here for educational and reference purposes only. >>---------------------------------------------------------------------------- >>Michael Cheek >> >>Cover Story >>NWS turns a cold shoulder on AccuWeather >>copyright >> >>A National Weather Service complaint has compelled AccuWeather Inc. to >>stop copyrighting NWS meteorologists' forecasts that the company uploaded to >>its World Wide Web site. >> >>Personal AccuWeather subscriptions, available on the Web at >>http://personal.accuweather.com, distribute weather forecasts based on NWS >>data. Until Aug. 6, the site's Nowcast had verbatim short-term forecasts from >>local NWS offices along with the words "Copyright 1997 AccuWeather Inc., >>Redistribution Prohibited." >> >>"It's illegal to put a copyright on government documents," said Allan Eustis, >>chief of NWS' Office of Industrial Meteorology. "We are in favor of >AccuWeather >>disseminating our weather forecasts, but with attribution and without a >>copyright." >> >>AccuWeather's senior vice president, Michael Steinberg, said the verbatim use >>was a "placeholder" until AccuWeather forecasts could be inserted. The >>verbatim NWS forecasts were on the site for about four weeks. >> >>AccuWeather of State College, Pa., is "not claiming ownership of the [NWS] >>data--that would be absurd," Steinberg said. >> >>"It's entirely possible that the copyright should not be there. We just do >not >>want people to take data from our Web site and redistribute it. We pay a >lot of >>money for that information," he added. >> >>Steinberg said NWS officials encourage the distribution and redistribution of >>their forecasts for public safety reasons. >> >>Eustis said he had spoken with AccuWeather officials, who promised to remove >>the copyright statement. >> >>"We're trying to be nice guys," he said on Aug. 5. "We're going to give >them 48 >>hours to take care of it. If they don't, we'll raise this to the next >level and >>write a letter." >> >>Steinberg said the weather data and graphics--though originally from >>NWS--have value-added information and can therefore be copyrighted. >> >>"The Nowcast product is one of hundreds on the site," Steinberg said. "That >>was the only one taken verbatim off the National Weather Service system." >> >>Can't do it >> >>Lawyers told GCN that NWS forecasts cannot be copyrighted under the U.S. >>Code. But other portions of the Web site might be copyright-protected. >> >>"Works that are developed or written by government employees are not >>copyrightable," said J.T. Westermeier, a lawyer with Fenwick & West LLP in >>Washington. >> >>AccuWeather's presentation or organization of NWS data on the Web site >>could be protected but not the data itself, said Roberta Bren, a lawyer with >>Oblon, Spivak, McClelland, Maier & Newstadt, P.C., an Arlington, Va., firm. >> >>"The question is whether independent work and a little bit of originality are >>involved," Bren said. "The raw data or facts generally cannot be >protected. An >>idea, like it's going to rain tomorrow, cannot be protected. >> >>"But when certain information is selected--wind speed or rainfall--and a >>conclusion is reached and presented day after day in a specific format, it >may >>be protectable," she said. >> >>When AccuWeather and other companies create imagery from raw NWS >>satellite and Doppler radar data, that also might be protected, Bren said, >but >>it's a bit murky "until challenged in a court." >> >>The use of the verbatim data came to a GCN editor's attention after >>AccuWeather personalized a version of the Web page for this newspaper. >>AccuWeather has been setting up personal Web pages for review by >>publications nationwide. >> >>Originally priced at $4.95 per month, the personalized service is now >free, but >>AccuWeather says it may begin charging for it. >> >>Weather forecasts on the Web also are available from the Weather Channel at >>http://www.weather.com, CNN at http://cnn.com, ABC News at >>http://abcnews.com and the National Weather Service itself at >>http://www.nws.noaa.com/er/lwx/zip.htm. Many of the free forecasts can be >>personalized for a city or region. >> >>Word watch >> >>When NWS meteorologists in the Sterling, Va., field office discovered the >>word-for-word use, they began preceding their forecasts with the words, "The >>National Weather Service is forecasting ... " >> >>The service provides weather information to government agencies. "We do >>depend on companies like AccuWeather to disseminate our forecasts," Eustis >>said. >> >>Copyright 1996-97 Government Computer News and Millstar. >> >>(EOF) >> >>------------------------------ >> >>Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 18:44:19 -0400 >>From: Robert P Dale >>Subject: Re: Copyrighting public property (NWS Forecasts) >> >>>AccuWeather's senior vice president, Michael Steinberg, said the verbatim >use >>>was a "placeholder" until AccuWeather forecasts could be inserted. The >>>verbatim NWS forecasts were on the site for about four weeks. >> >>When Personal AccuWeather started (beginning of 1997) I sent email to >>AccuWX, NWS and WX-Talk regarding this issue and no one seemed to mind... >>So the four-week remark is very incorrect. >> >>They did take TM & C off the Nowcast as of yesterday, but they do not >>acknowledge that the NOWCAST comes from NWS. TM is presently on >>"Hour-by-hour" which is simply the last 24 hours worth of data from your >>local observation point... >> >>Rob >> >>------------------------------ >> >>Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 18:59:08 -0400 >>From: Matt J Rosier >>Subject: Re: Copyrighting public property (NWS Forecasts) >> >>At 6:44 PM -0400 8/15/97, Robert P Dale wrote: >>>They did take TM & C off the Nowcast as of yesterday, but they do not >>>acknowledge that the NOWCAST comes from NWS. TM is presently on >>>"Hour-by-hour" which is simply the last 24 hours worth of data from your >>>local observation point... >> >>AccuWx should atleast include the header on the NOWCAST's so there is some >>indication that the product was issued by the NWS, if they won't >>acknowledge the fact that it is an NWS product elsewhere on the page. To >>Joe Smoe or anyone else just looking for a forecast who stumbles upon the >>AccuWx page, you know they are going to think that the NOWCAST is an AccuWx >>product, and that's exactly what AccuWx wants them to think, IMO. >> >>My 2 bytes... >> >>Matt >> >>------------------------------ >> >>Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 15:34:23 -0500 >>From: Chuck Doswell >>Subject: Re: Allan Murphy >> >>In article , >>brooks@nssl.noaa.gov (Harold Brooks) wrote: >> >>> Since it has not been posted yet, I thought I would pass along the >>> sad news that Allan Murphy died last Tuesday (5 August 1997) after >>> a bout with cancer. >> >>I've been slow in responding to this, but I want to say the following in >>honor of Allan Murphy: >> >>It was my great privilege to know Allan as both a friend and a colleague. >>He has shaped my understanding of the forecast problem, in terms of >>methodology, verification, and value to users. Wherever my vague gropings >>for understanding of the issues in weather forecasting took me, I found >>his footprints in the ground ahead of me, taking great strides as I >>crawled along behind. His expositions are jewels of precision and clarity. >>We have lost a great man, but he has left us the equally great gift of his >>writings. It is my hope that you will give his written legacy the >>thoughtful and careful consideration it deserves. I believe strongly that >>you will be rewarded in proportion to the effort you expend ... Allan's >>papers are not necessarily easy to read, but if you understand his >>insights, you will appreciate how far he took us all. We miss you, Allan! >> >> Chuck Doswell >> >>-- >>Dr. Charles A. Doswell III NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory >> 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, Oklahoma 73069 >>phone: (405) 366-0439 fax: (405) 366-0472 >> WWW home page: >>Standard disclaimer ... my views are my own, so don't blame my employer. >> >> Is it a snake? Or is it a tire? >> >>------------------------------ >> >>Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 21:41:22 -0400 >>From: Robert P Dale >>Subject: Re: Copyrighting public property (NWS Forecasts) >> >>>AccuWx should at least include the header on the NOWCAST's so there is some >>>indication that the product was issued by the NWS >> >>I see Detroit has added the "National Weather Service says..." right into >>the text of their nowcasts, following Sterling VA's lead. That way it shows >>up on TWC, so viewers know who 'really' issues them! >> >>Rob >>////////////////////////////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ >>Robert P Dale - N8GSK || rdale@norden1.com >>Meteorologist || rdale@storm.atms.purdue.edu >>Davidson Crane And Conveyor || dcc@norden1.com >>InterRAD NIDS Software http://www.stratus.weather.net/~rdale/interrad.html >> NW Ohio Weather Info http://norden1.com/~rdale/weather.html >> Northwest Ohio AMS http://nwohams.home.ml.org >> >>------------------------------ >> >>End of WX-TALK Digest - 14 Aug 1997 to 15 Aug 1997 >>************************************************** >> >Sorry, I missed you. I will be out of town until April 23rd, and will >return your email at that time. >Regards, >jan > >@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@ >@ Jan Null, CCM email: jnull@home.com @ >@ Lead Forecaster, Webmaster jan.null@.noaa.gov @ >@ National Weather Service voice: 408-656-1710 @ >@ San Francisco Bay Area fax: 408-656-1747 @ >@ Web Homepage: http://nws.mbay.net/ @ >@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@ > >------------------------------ > >Date: Sat, 16 Aug 1997 11:12:16 -0600 >From: "Paul E. Pettit" >Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 14 Aug 1997 to 15 Aug 1997 > >>A National Weather Service complaint has compelled AccuWeather Inc. to >>stop copyrighting NWS meteorologists' forecasts that the company uploaded to >>its World Wide Web site. >> >>Personal AccuWeather subscriptions, available on the Web at >>http://personal.accuweather.com, distribute weather forecasts based on NWS >>data. Until Aug. 6, the site's Nowcast had verbatim short-term forecasts from >>local NWS offices along with the words "Copyright 1997 AccuWeather Inc., >>Redistribution Prohibited." > >This would be no different than anyone of us who would take NWS forecasts >and put our copyright symbol on the forecast, data, or whatever. Not legal >and to say the least unethical. I do not blame NWS offices for putting >indentifying disclaimers at the top of their products. Private interests >put disclaimers on their materials all the time. Sad that it is necessary >for the gov't to have to do it. > >Until the subject is decided of who is going to get info free and who is not >(according to my talks with Roger Getz CEO of AWIS this may be settled soon) >NWS data is there for the taking for free from a number of places. ACCUWeather >pays pretty good fees for some of this, but they could also presently get >most of it free and revise it into those nice graphics, thus saving money. >Why don't they just pull it down from one of the University servers? > >>AccuWeather of State College, Pa., is "not claiming ownership of the [NWS] >>data--that would be absurd," Steinberg said. > >But not making it clear where the information came from is also misleading. >The average Joe Blow looking actually thinks its their original stuff, same >as TV in many cases where the locals think the TV weatherman is "the >weather source." Here in Montgomery the TV folks rarely say "The official >Weather Service Forecast is....." One station uses AccuWeather and on the >radar presentations says "AccuWeather's Doppler Radar". This sounds like >its actually AccuWeather radar data when its really only NWS data >reformatted to their overlays. > >>Steinberg said the weather data and graphics--though originally from >>NWS--have value-added information and can therefore be copyrighted. > >Uh??? You mean I can take a NWS satellite pic, put a border around it, >change the black and white colors to shades of blue, put my logo on it, and >copyright it? Guess I can. > >How are NWS forecasts revised and to what extent by AccuWeather to make >them "value added"? I would like to know? Even the original NWS forecasts >made by NWS mets sometimes don't have much originality as they are straight >from guidance. If what AccuWeather is claiming is true, I can take NWS raw >guidance, put it on my web site and claim its mine. All I have to do is >remove the header materials, alter the content format and put it out as my >own forecasts(never changing the original forecast one iota). > >>When NWS meteorologists in the Sterling, Va., field office discovered the >>word-for-word use, they began preceding their forecasts with the words, "The >>National Weather Service is forecasting ... ".. > >What about radio stations taking NWS NOAA radio forecasts, rebroadcasting them >verbatum, without any mention of them coming from NWS. This has been done, >believe me? > >I should think that the original NWS products should all have something >standard like this in their products and it should be mandatory that people >like AccuWeather, Wx Channel, TV stations, should have to carry this part >of the message in some way to their users. > >If they get raw data (not guidance), analyze their own data, make their own >original forecasts, with their own specific wording, and....be liable for >the end product...then let them do their thing in any form or fashion they >want with all the copyright priviledges entailed. > >This thread is probably going to really stimulate some posts on the subject. > > > > Paul E. Pettit > Weather Consulting > http://meteorology.miningco.com > http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html > >------------------------------ > >End of WX-TALK Digest - 15 Aug 1997 to 16 Aug 1997 >************************************************** > Sorry, I missed you. I will be out of town until April 23rd, and will return your email at that time. Regards, jan @@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@ @ Jan Null, CCM email: jnull@home.com @ @ Lead Forecaster, Webmaster jan.null@.noaa.gov @ @ National Weather Service voice: 408-656-1710 @ @ San Francisco Bay Area fax: 408-656-1747 @ @ Web Homepage: http://nws.mbay.net/ @ @@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@ ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 01:55:29 -0400 From: Danielle Desrosiers Subject: Re: Copyrighting public property (NWS Forecasts) >>AccuWx should at least include the header on the NOWCAST's so there is some >>indication that the product was issued by the NWS > >I see Detroit has added the "National Weather Service says..." right into >the text of their nowcasts, following Sterling VA's lead. That way it shows >up on TWC, so viewers know who 'really' issues them! > >Rob >////////////////////////////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ >Robert P Dale - N8GSK || rdale@norden1.com >Meteorologist || rdale@storm.atms.purdue.edu We've been doing this at Blacksburg for at least 6 months. We started to help increase awareness that the short terms are NWS generated and are coming from our office regularly (as opposed to the NWSFOs as before our spin up). Danielle danisue@vt.edu ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 11:41:25 -0500 From: Steve Adams Subject: To Chris Chris, Jan Null seems to have set an auto-responder on her e-mail. Thus, the digest version of wx-talk is being sent back to the list. Rather than subject the rest of us to this "spam" for the next week (Apr 23rd?), can you unsubscribe her or perhaps take away her posting capability until she comes back? Thanks! -Steve ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 15:49:31 -0400 From: Matt Rosier Subject: Discovery channel program on tornadoes/hurricanes Raging Planet, a 2 hour special on tornadoes and hurricanes airs tonight at 9:00 pm EDT on the Discovery channel. Just wanted to let you all know, from the previews I have seen looks like it will be an interesting program. Matt ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 17:54:11 -0700 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: New Age TV Weathercasting -Chicago Flooding- -Severe Weather Stalks Wisconsin Weather Weenie in Chicago- I was visiting my mother in the Western Chicago suburb of Streamwood during the severe weather/flooding event of Saturday August 16, 1997. After an early and hearty steak dinner at a "Texas Style" restaurant (Lone Star Cafe -burp-!) we attempted to make the journey from Hoffman Estates back to Streamwood. Of course the 90F air temperature, 78F dew point, the approaching cold front from the North conspired to spew its convective wrath just after we left the restaurant (belch!). What incredible lightening! Twice my efforts to leave Il. Rt. 72 and travel south were thwarted by dozens and dozens of CG strikes within only hundreds of yards from our vehicle. The "Storm Wagon" (Dark blue '89 Ford Taurus with a hideously oxidized exterior-Thank You Ford Paint Dept.) sports a 7 foot tall 2 meter antenna amongst others. I was beyond any doubt we were going to take a hit, especially with that "antenna farm" located on the roof of the station wagon. At one point I was at a stop sign deciding which direction would take us away from the CG activity, when within 10 seconds we were greeted by at least a dozen CG strikes all less than 500 yards away. The closest was only a hundred yards away and prompted consideration of adding ear plugs to my storm spotting "kit". After getting home we settled down (braaap!) and tuned in one of the Chicago "Tee Vee" weathercasters when we were confronted with this priceless piece of New Age Junk Science. (I paraphrase at this point) "The severe weather and flooding in the Chicago area was caused by the (Uh! Oh!) - "The Heat Island Effect" - which initiated and enhanced the severe storms and flooding today in the City of Chicago." Yikes! Here's the real scoop. Our heroic TV Weathercaster ignored the following facts before blurting out his unfounded and ratings boosting nonsense, The storms were aligned along an East-West cold front descending Southward from the North. This "lift mechanism" is what started the severe storms. Never mind that the storms "fired up" simultaneously in a line (west to east) - a hundred or more- miles west of Chicago to the lake shore of Chicago. Check any radar archive to see this. It was as hot or hotter (90F+) away from Chicago, than it was in the city itself. The suburbs and rural areas west of Chicago were hotter. It was only in the low/mid 80s by Midway Airport about ten miles from Lake Michigan, while it was 90F at O'Hare Airport about 30 miles west of the lake. Any use of the term "heat island" is most correctly used -after- sunset. (i.e. retention of heat after direct heating of the sun is absent.) The storms developed - before - sunset. (Duh!) The flooding was caused by the storms traveling from the west to the east along a slowly descending cold front. Bad luck and the concrete jungle of Northern Chicago and the nearby suburbs of Bensenville, Wooddale etc conspired to create the worst flooding in the area. Large cities don't "create" weather. They are merely victims of weather. It's about time we laid this folklore and intellectual laziness to rest. Thank you for your consideration! All opinions are my own and do not reflect those any organizations I may affiliated with. *************************************************************************** 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA Milwaukee Area Skywarn Assoc./Milwaukee-Waukesha Amateur Radio Emergency Service (A.R.E.S.)/IL Multi-County Warning System E-Mail, bkopp@execpc.com Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" my severe weather and SKYWARN home page! SFTS! http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 23:34:26 +1900 From: Mark_Hofmann Subject: SCH BREAKING NEWS: Purdue WXP site address change > For those of you who want to "dial direct", here's the new address: > > http://wxp.eas.purdue.edu > > Again, this will be up by tomorrow afternoon. The old address, > http://wxp.atms.purdue.edu, will then be terminated. Will this effect the FTP site too? I have a script that pulls many of their excellent images from their ftp site.. Thanks.. --Mark Hofmann-- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Origin: Weather Station (410)882-8887 / WWIVnet @8304 Fidonet (1:261/1304) Perry Hall, MD "Live Radar/Satellite/Surface/Temps/Conditions/Reports/&More" ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 16 Aug 1997 to 17 Aug 1997 ************************************************** From - Tue Aug 19 09:35:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103312-26331>; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 03:51:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA219250; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 14:45:01 -0500 Message-Id: <199708181945.OAA219250@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 14:41:14 +1900 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 17 Aug 1997 to 18 Aug 1997 - Special issue To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 9e83b567458eedee294c30b4784fb460 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 33484 Status: OR There are 5 messages totalling 801 lines in this issue. Topics in this special issue: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 16 Aug 1997 to 17 Aug 1997 (2) 2. Typhoon Winnie 3. Allan Murphy 4. College of DuPage web site down... +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 22:05:14 -0700 From: Jan Null Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 16 Aug 1997 to 17 Aug 1997 At 12:00 AM 8/18/97 +1900, you wrote: >There are 6 messages totalling 617 lines in this issue. > >Topics of the day: > > 1. WX-TALK Digest - 15 Aug 1997 to 16 Aug 1997 > 2. Copyrighting public property (NWS Forecasts) > 3. To Chris > 4. Discovery channel program on tornadoes/hurricanes > 5. New Age TV Weathercasting -Chicago Flooding- > 6. SCH BREAKING NEWS: Purdue WXP site address change > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > >---------------------------------------------------------------------- > >Date: Sat, 16 Aug 1997 22:04:42 -0700 >From: Jan Null >Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 15 Aug 1997 to 16 Aug 1997 > >At 12:00 AM 8/17/97 +1900, you wrote: >>There are 2 messages totalling 394 lines in this issue. >> >>Topics of the day: >> >> 1. WX-TALK Digest - 14 Aug 1997 to 15 Aug 1997 (2) >> >>+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >>To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >>"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >>write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html >> >>---------------------------------------------------------------------- >> >>Date: Sat, 16 Aug 1997 05:49:34 -0700 >>From: Jan Null >>Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 14 Aug 1997 to 15 Aug 1997 >> >>At 12:02 AM 8/16/97 +1900, you wrote: >>>There are 6 messages totalling 260 lines in this issue. >>> >>>Topics of the day: >>> >>> 1. COD web site back! >>> 2. Copyrighting public property (NWS Forecasts) (4) >>> 3. Allan Murphy >>> >>>+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >>>To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >>>"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >>>write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html >>> >>>---------------------------------------------------------------------- >>> >>>Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 17:07:41 -0500 >>>From: Dana Quinn >>>Subject: COD web site back! >>> >>>Hey folks! The College of DuPage web site is back up! Hopefully >>>things will stay settled for a while! >>> >>>We've got the most recent convective outlooks up, and the current >>>watches also. >>> >>>Dana Quinn (5pm CDT, 8/15) >>> >>>+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ >>> Dana Quinn + dana@weather.cod.edu >>> it's now or never- + linux-type guy >>> too close to the latter +College of DuPage Wx Lab >>> -Son Volt + >>>+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ >>> >>>------------------------------ >>> >>>Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 16:41:03 -0500 >>>From: Roger Edwards >>>Subject: Copyrighting public property (NWS Forecasts) >>> >>>Forgive me if this has already been posted (I lost a chunk of wx-talk from >>>my e-mail); but it is a very interesting story (below .sig). >>> >>> ----------------------------------- >>>*** No disclaimer necessary; this is my personal account! *** >>>"A Meatwagon at rest tends ===== Roger Edwards ===== >>> to remain at rest." ( ) Forecaster >>>- chase partner, 1996 former NHC Forecaster >>>:::::::::: http://www.wildstar.net/~tornado :::::::::: >>>"I FEAST ON THE SMORGASBORD OF ATMOSPHERIC VIOLENCE." >>> >>> >>> >>>---------- Forwarded message ---------- >>>Subject: Fwd: NWS turns a cold shoulder on AccuWeather >>>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- >>---- >>> >>> The following article is also available at the web site at the >>> following address (it's a monster URL, so you better have >>> copy-paste capability!): >>> >>>http://www.gcn.com/scripts/dbml.exe?Template=/ArticleSQL/display/GetArticle >>.dbm& >>>id=676&bgcolor=FFFFFF&header=head_2&article=hilites_2 >>> >>>It is reproduced here for educational and reference purposes only. >>>------------------------------------------------------------------------- --- >>>Michael Cheek >>> >>>Cover Story >>>NWS turns a cold shoulder on AccuWeather >>>copyright >>> >>>A National Weather Service complaint has compelled AccuWeather Inc. to >>>stop copyrighting NWS meteorologists' forecasts that the company uploaded to >>>its World Wide Web site. >>> >>>Personal AccuWeather subscriptions, available on the Web at >>>http://personal.accuweather.com, distribute weather forecasts based on NWS >>>data. Until Aug. 6, the site's Nowcast had verbatim short-term forecasts >from >>>local NWS offices along with the words "Copyright 1997 AccuWeather Inc., >>>Redistribution Prohibited." >>> >>>"It's illegal to put a copyright on government documents," said Allan >Eustis, >>>chief of NWS' Office of Industrial Meteorology. "We are in favor of >>AccuWeather >>>disseminating our weather forecasts, but with attribution and without a >>>copyright." >>> >>>AccuWeather's senior vice president, Michael Steinberg, said the verbatim >use >>>was a "placeholder" until AccuWeather forecasts could be inserted. The >>>verbatim NWS forecasts were on the site for about four weeks. >>> >>>AccuWeather of State College, Pa., is "not claiming ownership of the [NWS] >>>data--that would be absurd," Steinberg said. >>> >>>"It's entirely possible that the copyright should not be there. We just do >>not >>>want people to take data from our Web site and redistribute it. We pay a >>lot of >>>money for that information," he added. >>> >>>Steinberg said NWS officials encourage the distribution and >redistribution of >>>their forecasts for public safety reasons. >>> >>>Eustis said he had spoken with AccuWeather officials, who promised to remove >>>the copyright statement. >>> >>>"We're trying to be nice guys," he said on Aug. 5. "We're going to give >>them 48 >>>hours to take care of it. If they don't, we'll raise this to the next >>level and >>>write a letter." >>> >>>Steinberg said the weather data and graphics--though originally from >>>NWS--have value-added information and can therefore be copyrighted. >>> >>>"The Nowcast product is one of hundreds on the site," Steinberg said. "That >>>was the only one taken verbatim off the National Weather Service system." >>> >>>Can't do it >>> >>>Lawyers told GCN that NWS forecasts cannot be copyrighted under the U.S. >>>Code. But other portions of the Web site might be copyright-protected. >>> >>>"Works that are developed or written by government employees are not >>>copyrightable," said J.T. Westermeier, a lawyer with Fenwick & West LLP in >>>Washington. >>> >>>AccuWeather's presentation or organization of NWS data on the Web site >>>could be protected but not the data itself, said Roberta Bren, a lawyer with >>>Oblon, Spivak, McClelland, Maier & Newstadt, P.C., an Arlington, Va., firm. >>> >>>"The question is whether independent work and a little bit of originality >are >>>involved," Bren said. "The raw data or facts generally cannot be >>protected. An >>>idea, like it's going to rain tomorrow, cannot be protected. >>> >>>"But when certain information is selected--wind speed or rainfall--and a >>>conclusion is reached and presented day after day in a specific format, it >>may >>>be protectable," she said. >>> >>>When AccuWeather and other companies create imagery from raw NWS >>>satellite and Doppler radar data, that also might be protected, Bren said, >>but >>>it's a bit murky "until challenged in a court." >>> >>>The use of the verbatim data came to a GCN editor's attention after >>>AccuWeather personalized a version of the Web page for this newspaper. >>>AccuWeather has been setting up personal Web pages for review by >>>publications nationwide. >>> >>>Originally priced at $4.95 per month, the personalized service is now >>free, but >>>AccuWeather says it may begin charging for it. >>> >>>Weather forecasts on the Web also are available from the Weather Channel at >>>http://www.weather.com, CNN at http://cnn.com, ABC News at >>>http://abcnews.com and the National Weather Service itself at >>>http://www.nws.noaa.com/er/lwx/zip.htm. Many of the free forecasts can be >>>personalized for a city or region. >>> >>>Word watch >>> >>>When NWS meteorologists in the Sterling, Va., field office discovered the >>>word-for-word use, they began preceding their forecasts with the words, "The >>>National Weather Service is forecasting ... " >>> >>>The service provides weather information to government agencies. "We do >>>depend on companies like AccuWeather to disseminate our forecasts," Eustis >>>said. >>> >>>Copyright 1996-97 Government Computer News and Millstar. >>> >>>(EOF) >>> >>>------------------------------ >>> >>>Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 18:44:19 -0400 >>>From: Robert P Dale >>>Subject: Re: Copyrighting public property (NWS Forecasts) >>> >>>>AccuWeather's senior vice president, Michael Steinberg, said the verbatim >>use >>>>was a "placeholder" until AccuWeather forecasts could be inserted. The >>>>verbatim NWS forecasts were on the site for about four weeks. >>> >>>When Personal AccuWeather started (beginning of 1997) I sent email to >>>AccuWX, NWS and WX-Talk regarding this issue and no one seemed to mind... >>>So the four-week remark is very incorrect. >>> >>>They did take TM & C off the Nowcast as of yesterday, but they do not >>>acknowledge that the NOWCAST comes from NWS. TM is presently on >>>"Hour-by-hour" which is simply the last 24 hours worth of data from your >>>local observation point... >>> >>>Rob >>> >>>------------------------------ >>> >>>Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 18:59:08 -0400 >>>From: Matt J Rosier >>>Subject: Re: Copyrighting public property (NWS Forecasts) >>> >>>At 6:44 PM -0400 8/15/97, Robert P Dale wrote: >>>>They did take TM & C off the Nowcast as of yesterday, but they do not >>>>acknowledge that the NOWCAST comes from NWS. TM is presently on >>>>"Hour-by-hour" which is simply the last 24 hours worth of data from your >>>>local observation point... >>> >>>AccuWx should atleast include the header on the NOWCAST's so there is some >>>indication that the product was issued by the NWS, if they won't >>>acknowledge the fact that it is an NWS product elsewhere on the page. To >>>Joe Smoe or anyone else just looking for a forecast who stumbles upon the >>>AccuWx page, you know they are going to think that the NOWCAST is an AccuWx >>>product, and that's exactly what AccuWx wants them to think, IMO. >>> >>>My 2 bytes... >>> >>>Matt >>> >>>------------------------------ >>> >>>Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 15:34:23 -0500 >>>From: Chuck Doswell >>>Subject: Re: Allan Murphy >>> >>>In article , >>>brooks@nssl.noaa.gov (Harold Brooks) wrote: >>> >>>> Since it has not been posted yet, I thought I would pass along the >>>> sad news that Allan Murphy died last Tuesday (5 August 1997) after >>>> a bout with cancer. >>> >>>I've been slow in responding to this, but I want to say the following in >>>honor of Allan Murphy: >>> >>>It was my great privilege to know Allan as both a friend and a colleague. >>>He has shaped my understanding of the forecast problem, in terms of >>>methodology, verification, and value to users. Wherever my vague gropings >>>for understanding of the issues in weather forecasting took me, I found >>>his footprints in the ground ahead of me, taking great strides as I >>>crawled along behind. His expositions are jewels of precision and clarity. >>>We have lost a great man, but he has left us the equally great gift of his >>>writings. It is my hope that you will give his written legacy the >>>thoughtful and careful consideration it deserves. I believe strongly that >>>you will be rewarded in proportion to the effort you expend ... Allan's >>>papers are not necessarily easy to read, but if you understand his >>>insights, you will appreciate how far he took us all. We miss you, Allan! >>> >>> Chuck Doswell >>> >>>-- >>>Dr. Charles A. Doswell III NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory >>> 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, Oklahoma 73069 >>>phone: (405) 366-0439 fax: (405) 366-0472 >>> WWW home page: >>>Standard disclaimer ... my views are my own, so don't blame my employer. >>> >>> Is it a snake? Or is it a tire? >>> >>>------------------------------ >>> >>>Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 21:41:22 -0400 >>>From: Robert P Dale >>>Subject: Re: Copyrighting public property (NWS Forecasts) >>> >>>>AccuWx should at least include the header on the NOWCAST's so there is some >>>>indication that the product was issued by the NWS >>> >>>I see Detroit has added the "National Weather Service says..." right into >>>the text of their nowcasts, following Sterling VA's lead. That way it shows >>>up on TWC, so viewers know who 'really' issues them! >>> >>>Rob >>>////////////////////////////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ >>>Robert P Dale - N8GSK || rdale@norden1.com >>>Meteorologist || rdale@storm.atms.purdue.edu >>>Davidson Crane And Conveyor || dcc@norden1.com >>>InterRAD NIDS Software http://www.stratus.weather.net/~rdale/interrad.html >>> NW Ohio Weather Info http://norden1.com/~rdale/weather.html >>> Northwest Ohio AMS http://nwohams.home.ml.org >>> >>>------------------------------ >>> >>>End of WX-TALK Digest - 14 Aug 1997 to 15 Aug 1997 >>>************************************************** >>> >>Sorry, I missed you. I will be out of town until April 23rd, and will >>return your email at that time. >>Regards, >>jan >> >>@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@ >>@ Jan Null, CCM email: jnull@home.com @ >>@ Lead Forecaster, Webmaster jan.null@.noaa.gov @ >>@ National Weather Service voice: 408-656-1710 @ >>@ San Francisco Bay Area fax: 408-656-1747 @ >>@ Web Homepage: http://nws.mbay.net/ @ >>@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@ >> >>------------------------------ >> >>Date: Sat, 16 Aug 1997 11:12:16 -0600 >>From: "Paul E. Pettit" >>Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 14 Aug 1997 to 15 Aug 1997 >> >>>A National Weather Service complaint has compelled AccuWeather Inc. to >>>stop copyrighting NWS meteorologists' forecasts that the company uploaded to >>>its World Wide Web site. >>> >>>Personal AccuWeather subscriptions, available on the Web at >>>http://personal.accuweather.com, distribute weather forecasts based on NWS >>>data. Until Aug. 6, the site's Nowcast had verbatim short-term forecasts >from >>>local NWS offices along with the words "Copyright 1997 AccuWeather Inc., >>>Redistribution Prohibited." >> >>This would be no different than anyone of us who would take NWS forecasts >>and put our copyright symbol on the forecast, data, or whatever. Not legal >>and to say the least unethical. I do not blame NWS offices for putting >>indentifying disclaimers at the top of their products. Private interests >>put disclaimers on their materials all the time. Sad that it is necessary >>for the gov't to have to do it. >> >>Until the subject is decided of who is going to get info free and who is not >>(according to my talks with Roger Getz CEO of AWIS this may be settled soon) >>NWS data is there for the taking for free from a number of places. >ACCUWeather >>pays pretty good fees for some of this, but they could also presently get >>most of it free and revise it into those nice graphics, thus saving money. >>Why don't they just pull it down from one of the University servers? >> >>>AccuWeather of State College, Pa., is "not claiming ownership of the [NWS] >>>data--that would be absurd," Steinberg said. >> >>But not making it clear where the information came from is also misleading. >>The average Joe Blow looking actually thinks its their original stuff, same >>as TV in many cases where the locals think the TV weatherman is "the >>weather source." Here in Montgomery the TV folks rarely say "The official >>Weather Service Forecast is....." One station uses AccuWeather and on the >>radar presentations says "AccuWeather's Doppler Radar". This sounds like >>its actually AccuWeather radar data when its really only NWS data >>reformatted to their overlays. >> >>>Steinberg said the weather data and graphics--though originally from >>>NWS--have value-added information and can therefore be copyrighted. >> >>Uh??? You mean I can take a NWS satellite pic, put a border around it, >>change the black and white colors to shades of blue, put my logo on it, and >>copyright it? Guess I can. >> >>How are NWS forecasts revised and to what extent by AccuWeather to make >>them "value added"? I would like to know? Even the original NWS forecasts >>made by NWS mets sometimes don't have much originality as they are straight >>from guidance. If what AccuWeather is claiming is true, I can take NWS raw >>guidance, put it on my web site and claim its mine. All I have to do is >>remove the header materials, alter the content format and put it out as my >>own forecasts(never changing the original forecast one iota). >> >>>When NWS meteorologists in the Sterling, Va., field office discovered the >>>word-for-word use, they began preceding their forecasts with the words, "The >>>National Weather Service is forecasting ... ".. >> >>What about radio stations taking NWS NOAA radio forecasts, rebroadcasting >them >>verbatum, without any mention of them coming from NWS. This has been done, >>believe me? >> >>I should think that the original NWS products should all have something >>standard like this in their products and it should be mandatory that people >>like AccuWeather, Wx Channel, TV stations, should have to carry this part >>of the message in some way to their users. >> >>If they get raw data (not guidance), analyze their own data, make their own >>original forecasts, with their own specific wording, and....be liable for >>the end product...then let them do their thing in any form or fashion they >>want with all the copyright priviledges entailed. >> >>This thread is probably going to really stimulate some posts on the subject. >> >> >> >> Paul E. Pettit >> Weather Consulting >> http://meteorology.miningco.com >> http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html >> >>------------------------------ >> >>End of WX-TALK Digest - 15 Aug 1997 to 16 Aug 1997 >>************************************************** >> >Sorry, I missed you. I will be out of town until April 23rd, and will >return your email at that time. >Regards, >jan > >@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@ >@ Jan Null, CCM email: jnull@home.com @ >@ Lead Forecaster, Webmaster jan.null@.noaa.gov @ >@ National Weather Service voice: 408-656-1710 @ >@ San Francisco Bay Area fax: 408-656-1747 @ >@ Web Homepage: http://nws.mbay.net/ @ >@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@ > >------------------------------ > >Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 01:55:29 -0400 >From: Danielle Desrosiers >Subject: Re: Copyrighting public property (NWS Forecasts) > >>>AccuWx should at least include the header on the NOWCAST's so there is some >>>indication that the product was issued by the NWS >> >>I see Detroit has added the "National Weather Service says..." right into >>the text of their nowcasts, following Sterling VA's lead. That way it shows >>up on TWC, so viewers know who 'really' issues them! >> >>Rob >>////////////////////////////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ >>Robert P Dale - N8GSK || rdale@norden1.com >>Meteorologist || rdale@storm.atms.purdue.edu > >We've been doing this at Blacksburg for at least 6 months. We started >to help increase awareness that the short terms are NWS generated and >are coming from our office regularly (as opposed to the NWSFOs as before >our spin up). > >Danielle >danisue@vt.edu > >------------------------------ > >Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 11:41:25 -0500 >From: Steve Adams >Subject: To Chris > >Chris, > >Jan Null seems to have set an auto-responder on her e-mail. >Thus, the digest version of wx-talk is being sent back to >the list. > >Rather than subject the rest of us to this "spam" for the >next week (Apr 23rd?), can you unsubscribe her or perhaps take >away her posting capability until she comes back? Thanks! > >-Steve > >------------------------------ > >Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 15:49:31 -0400 >From: Matt Rosier >Subject: Discovery channel program on tornadoes/hurricanes > >Raging Planet, a 2 hour special on tornadoes and hurricanes airs tonight at >9:00 pm EDT on the Discovery channel. Just wanted to let you all know, from >the previews I have seen looks like it will be an interesting program. > >Matt > >------------------------------ > >Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 17:54:11 -0700 >From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF >Subject: New Age TV Weathercasting -Chicago Flooding- > >-Severe Weather Stalks Wisconsin Weather Weenie in Chicago- > >I was visiting my mother in the Western Chicago suburb of Streamwood >during the severe weather/flooding event of Saturday August 16, 1997. >After an early and hearty steak dinner at a "Texas Style" restaurant >(Lone Star Cafe -burp-!) we attempted to make the journey from Hoffman >Estates back to Streamwood. > >Of course the 90F air temperature, 78F dew point, the approaching cold >front from the North conspired to spew its convective wrath just after >we left the restaurant (belch!). > >What incredible lightening! > >Twice my efforts to leave Il. Rt. 72 and travel south were thwarted by >dozens and dozens of CG strikes within only hundreds of yards from our >vehicle. The "Storm Wagon" (Dark blue '89 Ford Taurus with a hideously >oxidized exterior-Thank You Ford Paint Dept.) sports a 7 foot tall 2 >meter antenna amongst others. I was beyond any doubt we were going to >take a hit, especially with that "antenna farm" located on the roof of >the station wagon. At one point I was at a stop sign deciding which >direction would take us away from the CG activity, when within 10 >seconds we were greeted by at least a dozen CG strikes all less than 500 >yards away. The closest was only a hundred yards away and prompted >consideration of adding ear plugs to my storm spotting "kit". > >After getting home we settled down (braaap!) and tuned in one of the >Chicago "Tee Vee" weathercasters when we were confronted with this >priceless piece of New Age Junk Science. > > >(I paraphrase at this point) > >"The severe weather and flooding in the Chicago area was caused by the >(Uh! Oh!) - "The Heat Island Effect" - which initiated and enhanced the >severe storms and flooding today in the City of Chicago." > >Yikes! > >Here's the real scoop. Our heroic TV Weathercaster ignored the following >facts before blurting out his unfounded and ratings boosting nonsense, > >The storms were aligned along an East-West cold front descending >Southward from the North. This "lift mechanism" is what started the >severe storms. > >Never mind that the storms "fired up" simultaneously in a line (west to >east) - a hundred or more- miles west of Chicago to the lake shore of >Chicago. Check any radar archive to see this. > >It was as hot or hotter (90F+) away from Chicago, than it was in the >city itself. The suburbs and rural areas west of Chicago were hotter. It >was only in the low/mid 80s by Midway Airport about ten miles from Lake >Michigan, while it was 90F at O'Hare Airport about 30 miles west of the >lake. > >Any use of the term "heat island" is most correctly used -after- sunset. >(i.e. retention of heat after direct heating of the sun is absent.) > >The storms developed - before - sunset. (Duh!) > >The flooding was caused by the storms traveling from the west to the >east along a slowly descending cold front. Bad luck and the concrete >jungle of Northern Chicago and the nearby suburbs of Bensenville, >Wooddale etc conspired to create the worst flooding in the area. > >Large cities don't "create" weather. They are merely victims of weather. >It's about time we laid this folklore and intellectual laziness to rest. > >Thank you for your consideration! > >All opinions are my own and do not reflect those any organizations I may >affiliated with. >*************************************************************************** >73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA >Milwaukee Area Skywarn Assoc./Milwaukee-Waukesha Amateur Radio Emergency >Service (A.R.E.S.)/IL Multi-County Warning System > >E-Mail, bkopp@execpc.com > >Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" my severe weather and SKYWARN home page! > >SFTS! http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp > >"... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O >ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not >discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV >************************************************************************* > >------------------------------ > >Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 23:34:26 +1900 >From: Mark_Hofmann >Subject: SCH BREAKING NEWS: Purdue WXP site address change > >> For those of you who want to "dial direct", here's the new address: >> >> http://wxp.eas.purdue.edu >> >> Again, this will be up by tomorrow afternoon. The old address, >> http://wxp.atms.purdue.edu, will then be terminated. > >Will this effect the FTP site too? I have a script that pulls many of their >excellent images from their ftp site.. > >Thanks.. > >--Mark Hofmann-- > > > > >----------------------------------------------------------------------------- >* Origin: Weather Station (410)882-8887 / WWIVnet @8304 Fidonet (1:261/1304) >Perry Hall, MD "Live Radar/Satellite/Surface/Temps/Conditions/Reports/&More" >----------------------------------------------------------------------------- > >------------------------------ > >End of WX-TALK Digest - 16 Aug 1997 to 17 Aug 1997 >************************************************** > Sorry, I missed you. I will be out of town until April 23rd, and will return your email at that time. Regards, jan @@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@ @ Jan Null, CCM email: jnull@home.com @ @ Lead Forecaster, Webmaster jan.null@.noaa.gov @ @ National Weather Service voice: 408-656-1710 @ @ San Francisco Bay Area fax: 408-656-1747 @ @ Web Homepage: http://nws.mbay.net/ @ @@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@ ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 20:51:17 -0400 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: Typhoon Winnie Has anyone checked out GMS imagery lately? Typhoon Winnie is something to see! Talk about concentric eyewalls! I have never seen a tropical cyclone that looked quite like Winnie. Boris A. Konon WSI Corporation ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 07:53:42 -0400 From: "Stanski, Henry [Ontario]" Subject: Allan Murphy I would like to also state that Allan Murphy will be missed here in Canada. I met Allan at a statistics conference in Edmonton, Alberta over ten years ago and since then he has always set the standard for verification. Chuck Doswell recorded a 'hit' when he said "Allan's papers are not necessarily easy to read, but if you understand his insights, you will appreciate how far he took us all" thanks a bunch, henry Program Analysis and Information Branch National Weather Services Directorate, Downsview Tel : (416) 739-4992 Fax: (416) 739-4700 e-mail: Henry.Stanski@ec.gc.ca " In the middle of difficulty lies opportunity" --- Albert Einstein ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 12:16:51 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: College of DuPage web site down... Hello all, COD's web site and SPC page are down. Not a computer problem per se; this time, they just have no power. They won't be back up until late this afternoon at the earliest; maybe not until tonight. They'll let you know when they are back up. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 12:41:00 -0700 From: Brian Garrett Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 16 Aug 1997 to 17 Aug 1997 On Mon, 18 Aug 1997, Bernie Kopp wrote: > > After getting home we settled down (braaap!) and tuned in one of the > Chicago "Tee Vee" weathercasters when we were confronted with this > priceless piece of New Age Junk Science. > > > (I paraphrase at this point) > > "The severe weather and flooding in the Chicago area was caused by the > (Uh! Oh!) - "The Heat Island Effect" - which initiated and enhanced the > severe storms and flooding today in the City of Chicago." > > Yikes! > > Here's the real scoop. Our heroic TV Weathercaster ignored the following > facts before blurting out his unfounded and ratings boosting nonsense, > > The storms were aligned along an East-West cold front descending > Southward from the North. This "lift mechanism" is what started the > severe storms. > > Never mind that the storms "fired up" simultaneously in a line (west to > east) - a hundred or more- miles west of Chicago to the lake shore of > Chicago. Check any radar archive to see this. > > It was as hot or hotter (90F+) away from Chicago, than it was in the > city itself. The suburbs and rural areas west of Chicago were hotter. It > was only in the low/mid 80s by Midway Airport about ten miles from Lake > Michigan, while it was 90F at O'Hare Airport about 30 miles west of the > lake. > > Any use of the term "heat island" is most correctly used -after- sunset. > (i.e. retention of heat after direct heating of the sun is absent.) > > The storms developed - before - sunset. (Duh!) > > The flooding was caused by the storms traveling from the west to the > east along a slowly descending cold front. Bad luck and the concrete > jungle of Northern Chicago and the nearby suburbs of Bensenville, > Wooddale etc conspired to create the worst flooding in the area. > > Large cities don't "create" weather. They are merely victims of weather. > It's about time we laid this folklore and intellectual laziness to rest. > > Thank you for your consideration! > > All opinions are my own and do not reflect those any organizations I may > affiliated with. Indeed. I hope you were able to send email to the TV station responsible, conveying the same information. There is no acceptable excuse for a TV news personality (who is in the position of representing meteorology as a science and a profession to the viewers at home) to be spouting such nonsense. Presumably everyone on this list knows enough not to be taken in by these poseurs, but people watching the news at home ought to be able to trust that their local media are presenting facts and not _Weekly World News_ headlines. This guy shouldn't even be on the air...or his copywriter, if that is the source of the "heat island" misinformation, should be sacked in favor of somebody who knows what the hel they're talking about. Brian ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 17 Aug 1997 to 18 Aug 1997 - Special issue ****************************************************************** From - Tue Aug 19 09:35:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103315-26331>; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 04:20:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA229344; Mon, 18 Aug 1997 15:08:20 -0500 Message-Id: <199708182008.PAA229344@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 15:06:56 +1900 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 18 Aug 1997 - Special issue To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: fc3a95fdf6bff479cfe324acea47f492 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 43862 Status: OR There are 2 messages totalling 1019 lines in this issue. Topics in this special issue: 1. Job annoucement 2. WX-TALK Digest - 17 Aug 1997 to 18 Aug 1997 - Special issue +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 15:43:27 -0400 From: David Easterling Subject: Job annoucement Please post the following annoucement. U. S. Department of Commerce VACANCY ANNOUNCEMENT National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) ----------------------------------------------------------------- Opening Date: 08/13/97 Closing Date: 08/26/97 Position Title: Physical Scientist Series & Grade: GS-1301-07/09 Duty Station: Asheville, NC Vacancy Number: E/NCDC/A/97036.PHB ----------------------------------------------------------------- Organization: National Climatic Data Center, Global Climate Laboratory, Climate Perspectives Branch ----------------------------------------------------------------- Area of Consideration: DOC CTAP employees nationwide and employees of Federal activities in the local commuting area with competitive status Work Schedule: Full-time Type of Appointment: Permanent Number of Vacancies: One Service: Competitive Promotion Potential: GS-12 Salary Range: GS-07 $25,341 to $32,977 per year GS-09 $31,000 to $40,300 per year ----------------------------------------------------------------- Duties: Incumbent independently selects and carries out established methods and procedures to make determination for regulatory monitoring, enforcement, or other purposes. Creates data sets and data products to be used in climate applications and climate change studies. Performs statistical analyses of surface and upper air data to describe and analyze climate and recent climate changes and to determine cause and effect relationships. Designs, codes, tests, documents and implements software changes; uses newly acquired, existing software and/or develops completely new software systems. Performs analyses and tests which may include physical measurements, laboratory tests, instrumental analyses, and calculations. Writes reports identifying procedures, results, validity and conclusions. Qualifications: Applicants must have 52 weeks of specialized experience equivalent to the next lower grade level in the Federal service or for the GS-7 level 1 year for graduate level education or superior academic achievement; GS-9 level 2 years of progressively higher level graduate education leading to a Master's or equivalent graduate degree. Time-in-Grade: Applicants must have at least 52 weeks at no more that two grades lower the position to be filled. Quality Ranking Factors: In addition to the above described minimum qualification requirements, applicants should submit an addendum that clearly addresses each of the Quality Ranking Factors:(1) Knowledge of principles, theories and practices of one or more physical sciences; (2) Ability to work independently; (3) Skill in using mathematical techniques and operating instruments; (4) Ability to communicate in writing in order to write reports dealing with scientific findings. Application Address: Contact: Pam Ballance Department of Commerce (757) 441-3838 EASC, Human Resources Division (757) 441-3049 FAX 200 World Trade Center (757) 441-3609 TDD Norfolk, VA 23510-1624 Internet Information Address: Pamela.H.Ballance@noaa.gov ----------------------------------------------------------------- APPLICATION REQUIREMENTS ----------------------------------------------------------------- 1. Provide the following information: a. The vacancy announcement number, position title, and grade level(s); b. Your full name, social security number, day and evening phone numbers, mailing address, country of citizenship, veterans preference, reinstatement eligibility, and highest Federal civilian grade ever held on a permanent basis; c. The name, city and state of high schools attended and date of diploma or GED; d. The name, city and state of colleges/universities attended, majors, type and date of degrees; e. The job titles, duties and accomplishments, salaries, employers' names and addresses, supervisors' names and phone numbers, starting and ending dates, and hours per week of any paid or non-paid work experience that relates to this vacancy; f. A statement as to whether or not we may contact your current supervisor; and g. Any job-related training courses, special skills, certificates and licenses, honors, or awards. 2. Use a resume, Optional Application for Federal Employment form (OF-612), Application for Federal Employment (SF-171), or any other written format, and send it to the Application Address. 3. Meet all eligibility and qualification requirements by the closing date. 4. Ensure that the application is postmarked by the closing date and received within the Human Resources office within three work days. Applications transmitted by facsimile machine are acceptable but must be received by the closing date. This agency bears no responsibility for ensuring that our machines are available for receipt of applications or for the quality of the copies. Note: Department of Commerce Career Transition Assistance Program eligibles may apply at any time until a certificate of eligibles is issued. 5. Apply at your own expense. Applications mailed in government postage-paid envelopes will not be accepted. Facsimiles from non-government machines are acceptable. ----------------------------------------------------------------- SPECIAL INTEREST INSTRUCTIONS ----------------------------------------------------------------- 1. Career Transition Assistance Program (CTAP) eligibles: a. Must submit a copy of their specific RIF notice and documentation from their agency reflecting the promotion potential of their most recent Federal position; and b. Will be given selection priority if rated well-qualified by meeting the critical quality ranking factors (as identified by an asterisk on each announcement). 2. Current and former Federal employees are encouraged to: a. Submit a copy of their most recent performance appraisal; and b. Include a copy of their last Notice of Personnel Action, SF-50. 3. Handicapped, disabled veteran, VRA and other eligibles for noncompetitive appointments under special appointing authorities must clearly specify this eligibility on their applications and be prepared to show proof upon request. ----------------------------------------------------------------- GENERAL INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------------------------- 1. Applicants must meet the citizenship requirements defined in the Treasury, Postal Service, and General Government Appropriations Act. New appointees must present proof of identity and eligibility to work in the United States. 2. Any required investigations and clearances must be completed before a selectee is placed in the position. 3. Male selectees born after December 31, 1959, must certify their Selective Service registration status using forms available at most Federal agency human resources offices. 4. Applicants are strongly encouraged to include a supplemental sheet describing how their experience and education relates to each selective placement and/or quality ranking factor. 5. Privacy Act Notice (PL 93-579): The information requested here is used to determine qualifications for employment and is authorized under Title 5 USC 3302 and 3361. ----------------------------------------------------------------- The Department of Commerce (DOC) does not condone or tolerate discrimination based on race, color, religion, sex, national origin, age, physical or mental disability, or sexual orientation. ----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 12:51:50 -0700 From: Jan Null Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 17 Aug 1997 to 18 Aug 1997 - Special issue At 02:41 PM 8/18/97 +1900, you wrote: >There are 5 messages totalling 801 lines in this issue. > >Topics in this special issue: > > 1. WX-TALK Digest - 16 Aug 1997 to 17 Aug 1997 (2) > 2. Typhoon Winnie > 3. Allan Murphy > 4. College of DuPage web site down... > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > >---------------------------------------------------------------------- > >Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 22:05:14 -0700 >From: Jan Null >Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 16 Aug 1997 to 17 Aug 1997 > >At 12:00 AM 8/18/97 +1900, you wrote: >>There are 6 messages totalling 617 lines in this issue. >> >>Topics of the day: >> >> 1. WX-TALK Digest - 15 Aug 1997 to 16 Aug 1997 >> 2. Copyrighting public property (NWS Forecasts) >> 3. To Chris >> 4. Discovery channel program on tornadoes/hurricanes >> 5. New Age TV Weathercasting -Chicago Flooding- >> 6. SCH BREAKING NEWS: Purdue WXP site address change >> >>+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >>To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >>"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >>write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html >> >>---------------------------------------------------------------------- >> >>Date: Sat, 16 Aug 1997 22:04:42 -0700 >>From: Jan Null >>Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 15 Aug 1997 to 16 Aug 1997 >> >>At 12:00 AM 8/17/97 +1900, you wrote: >>>There are 2 messages totalling 394 lines in this issue. >>> >>>Topics of the day: >>> >>> 1. WX-TALK Digest - 14 Aug 1997 to 15 Aug 1997 (2) >>> >>>+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >>>To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >>>"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >>>write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html >>> >>>---------------------------------------------------------------------- >>> >>>Date: Sat, 16 Aug 1997 05:49:34 -0700 >>>From: Jan Null >>>Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 14 Aug 1997 to 15 Aug 1997 >>> >>>At 12:02 AM 8/16/97 +1900, you wrote: >>>>There are 6 messages totalling 260 lines in this issue. >>>> >>>>Topics of the day: >>>> >>>> 1. COD web site back! >>>> 2. Copyrighting public property (NWS Forecasts) (4) >>>> 3. Allan Murphy >>>> >>>>+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >>>>To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >>>>"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >>>>write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html >>>> >>>>---------------------------------------------------------------------- >>>> >>>>Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 17:07:41 -0500 >>>>From: Dana Quinn >>>>Subject: COD web site back! >>>> >>>>Hey folks! The College of DuPage web site is back up! Hopefully >>>>things will stay settled for a while! >>>> >>>>We've got the most recent convective outlooks up, and the current >>>>watches also. >>>> >>>>Dana Quinn (5pm CDT, 8/15) >>>> >>>>+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ >>>> Dana Quinn + dana@weather.cod.edu >>>> it's now or never- + linux-type guy >>>> too close to the latter +College of DuPage Wx Lab >>>> -Son Volt + >>>>+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ >>>> >>>>------------------------------ >>>> >>>>Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 16:41:03 -0500 >>>>From: Roger Edwards >>>>Subject: Copyrighting public property (NWS Forecasts) >>>> >>>>Forgive me if this has already been posted (I lost a chunk of wx-talk from >>>>my e-mail); but it is a very interesting story (below .sig). >>>> >>>> ----------------------------------- >>>>*** No disclaimer necessary; this is my personal account! *** >>>>"A Meatwagon at rest tends ===== Roger Edwards ===== >>>> to remain at rest." ( ) Forecaster >>>>- chase partner, 1996 former NHC Forecaster >>>>:::::::::: http://www.wildstar.net/~tornado :::::::::: >>>>"I FEAST ON THE SMORGASBORD OF ATMOSPHERIC VIOLENCE." >>>> >>>> >>>> >>>>---------- Forwarded message ---------- >>>>Subject: Fwd: NWS turns a cold shoulder on AccuWeather >>>>------------------------------------------------------------------------ --- >>>---- >>>> >>>> The following article is also available at the web site at the >>>> following address (it's a monster URL, so you better have >>>> copy-paste capability!): >>>> >>>>http://www.gcn.com/scripts/dbml.exe?Template=/ArticleSQL/display/GetArti cle >>>.dbm& >>>>id=676&bgcolor=FFFFFF&header=head_2&article=hilites_2 >>>> >>>>It is reproduced here for educational and reference purposes only. >>>>------------------------------------------------------------------------- >--- >>>>Michael Cheek >>>> >>>>Cover Story >>>>NWS turns a cold shoulder on AccuWeather >>>>copyright >>>> >>>>A National Weather Service complaint has compelled AccuWeather Inc. to >>>>stop copyrighting NWS meteorologists' forecasts that the company >uploaded to >>>>its World Wide Web site. >>>> >>>>Personal AccuWeather subscriptions, available on the Web at >>>>http://personal.accuweather.com, distribute weather forecasts based on NWS >>>>data. Until Aug. 6, the site's Nowcast had verbatim short-term forecasts >>from >>>>local NWS offices along with the words "Copyright 1997 AccuWeather Inc., >>>>Redistribution Prohibited." >>>> >>>>"It's illegal to put a copyright on government documents," said Allan >>Eustis, >>>>chief of NWS' Office of Industrial Meteorology. "We are in favor of >>>AccuWeather >>>>disseminating our weather forecasts, but with attribution and without a >>>>copyright." >>>> >>>>AccuWeather's senior vice president, Michael Steinberg, said the verbatim >>use >>>>was a "placeholder" until AccuWeather forecasts could be inserted. The >>>>verbatim NWS forecasts were on the site for about four weeks. >>>> >>>>AccuWeather of State College, Pa., is "not claiming ownership of the [NWS] >>>>data--that would be absurd," Steinberg said. >>>> >>>>"It's entirely possible that the copyright should not be there. We just do >>>not >>>>want people to take data from our Web site and redistribute it. We pay a >>>lot of >>>>money for that information," he added. >>>> >>>>Steinberg said NWS officials encourage the distribution and >>redistribution of >>>>their forecasts for public safety reasons. >>>> >>>>Eustis said he had spoken with AccuWeather officials, who promised to >remove >>>>the copyright statement. >>>> >>>>"We're trying to be nice guys," he said on Aug. 5. "We're going to give >>>them 48 >>>>hours to take care of it. If they don't, we'll raise this to the next >>>level and >>>>write a letter." >>>> >>>>Steinberg said the weather data and graphics--though originally from >>>>NWS--have value-added information and can therefore be copyrighted. >>>> >>>>"The Nowcast product is one of hundreds on the site," Steinberg said. "That >>>>was the only one taken verbatim off the National Weather Service system." >>>> >>>>Can't do it >>>> >>>>Lawyers told GCN that NWS forecasts cannot be copyrighted under the U.S. >>>>Code. But other portions of the Web site might be copyright-protected. >>>> >>>>"Works that are developed or written by government employees are not >>>>copyrightable," said J.T. Westermeier, a lawyer with Fenwick & West LLP in >>>>Washington. >>>> >>>>AccuWeather's presentation or organization of NWS data on the Web site >>>>could be protected but not the data itself, said Roberta Bren, a lawyer >with >>>>Oblon, Spivak, McClelland, Maier & Newstadt, P.C., an Arlington, Va., firm. >>>> >>>>"The question is whether independent work and a little bit of originality >>are >>>>involved," Bren said. "The raw data or facts generally cannot be >>>protected. An >>>>idea, like it's going to rain tomorrow, cannot be protected. >>>> >>>>"But when certain information is selected--wind speed or rainfall--and a >>>>conclusion is reached and presented day after day in a specific format, it >>>may >>>>be protectable," she said. >>>> >>>>When AccuWeather and other companies create imagery from raw NWS >>>>satellite and Doppler radar data, that also might be protected, Bren said, >>>but >>>>it's a bit murky "until challenged in a court." >>>> >>>>The use of the verbatim data came to a GCN editor's attention after >>>>AccuWeather personalized a version of the Web page for this newspaper. >>>>AccuWeather has been setting up personal Web pages for review by >>>>publications nationwide. >>>> >>>>Originally priced at $4.95 per month, the personalized service is now >>>free, but >>>>AccuWeather says it may begin charging for it. >>>> >>>>Weather forecasts on the Web also are available from the Weather Channel at >>>>http://www.weather.com, CNN at http://cnn.com, ABC News at >>>>http://abcnews.com and the National Weather Service itself at >>>>http://www.nws.noaa.com/er/lwx/zip.htm. Many of the free forecasts can be >>>>personalized for a city or region. >>>> >>>>Word watch >>>> >>>>When NWS meteorologists in the Sterling, Va., field office discovered the >>>>word-for-word use, they began preceding their forecasts with the words, >"The >>>>National Weather Service is forecasting ... " >>>> >>>>The service provides weather information to government agencies. "We do >>>>depend on companies like AccuWeather to disseminate our forecasts," Eustis >>>>said. >>>> >>>>Copyright 1996-97 Government Computer News and Millstar. >>>> >>>>(EOF) >>>> >>>>------------------------------ >>>> >>>>Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 18:44:19 -0400 >>>>From: Robert P Dale >>>>Subject: Re: Copyrighting public property (NWS Forecasts) >>>> >>>>>AccuWeather's senior vice president, Michael Steinberg, said the verbatim >>>use >>>>>was a "placeholder" until AccuWeather forecasts could be inserted. The >>>>>verbatim NWS forecasts were on the site for about four weeks. >>>> >>>>When Personal AccuWeather started (beginning of 1997) I sent email to >>>>AccuWX, NWS and WX-Talk regarding this issue and no one seemed to mind... >>>>So the four-week remark is very incorrect. >>>> >>>>They did take TM & C off the Nowcast as of yesterday, but they do not >>>>acknowledge that the NOWCAST comes from NWS. TM is presently on >>>>"Hour-by-hour" which is simply the last 24 hours worth of data from your >>>>local observation point... >>>> >>>>Rob >>>> >>>>------------------------------ >>>> >>>>Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 18:59:08 -0400 >>>>From: Matt J Rosier >>>>Subject: Re: Copyrighting public property (NWS Forecasts) >>>> >>>>At 6:44 PM -0400 8/15/97, Robert P Dale wrote: >>>>>They did take TM & C off the Nowcast as of yesterday, but they do not >>>>>acknowledge that the NOWCAST comes from NWS. TM is presently on >>>>>"Hour-by-hour" which is simply the last 24 hours worth of data from your >>>>>local observation point... >>>> >>>>AccuWx should atleast include the header on the NOWCAST's so there is some >>>>indication that the product was issued by the NWS, if they won't >>>>acknowledge the fact that it is an NWS product elsewhere on the page. To >>>>Joe Smoe or anyone else just looking for a forecast who stumbles upon the >>>>AccuWx page, you know they are going to think that the NOWCAST is an AccuWx >>>>product, and that's exactly what AccuWx wants them to think, IMO. >>>> >>>>My 2 bytes... >>>> >>>>Matt >>>> >>>>------------------------------ >>>> >>>>Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 15:34:23 -0500 >>>>From: Chuck Doswell >>>>Subject: Re: Allan Murphy >>>> >>>>In article , >>>>brooks@nssl.noaa.gov (Harold Brooks) wrote: >>>> >>>>> Since it has not been posted yet, I thought I would pass along the >>>>> sad news that Allan Murphy died last Tuesday (5 August 1997) after >>>>> a bout with cancer. >>>> >>>>I've been slow in responding to this, but I want to say the following in >>>>honor of Allan Murphy: >>>> >>>>It was my great privilege to know Allan as both a friend and a colleague. >>>>He has shaped my understanding of the forecast problem, in terms of >>>>methodology, verification, and value to users. Wherever my vague gropings >>>>for understanding of the issues in weather forecasting took me, I found >>>>his footprints in the ground ahead of me, taking great strides as I >>>>crawled along behind. His expositions are jewels of precision and clarity. >>>>We have lost a great man, but he has left us the equally great gift of his >>>>writings. It is my hope that you will give his written legacy the >>>>thoughtful and careful consideration it deserves. I believe strongly that >>>>you will be rewarded in proportion to the effort you expend ... Allan's >>>>papers are not necessarily easy to read, but if you understand his >>>>insights, you will appreciate how far he took us all. We miss you, Allan! >>>> >>>> Chuck Doswell >>>> >>>>-- >>>>Dr. Charles A. Doswell III NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory >>>> 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, Oklahoma 73069 >>>>phone: (405) 366-0439 fax: (405) 366-0472 >>>> WWW home page: >>>>Standard disclaimer ... my views are my own, so don't blame my employer. >>>> >>>> Is it a snake? Or is it a tire? >>>> >>>>------------------------------ >>>> >>>>Date: Fri, 15 Aug 1997 21:41:22 -0400 >>>>From: Robert P Dale >>>>Subject: Re: Copyrighting public property (NWS Forecasts) >>>> >>>>>AccuWx should at least include the header on the NOWCAST's so there is >some >>>>>indication that the product was issued by the NWS >>>> >>>>I see Detroit has added the "National Weather Service says..." right into >>>>the text of their nowcasts, following Sterling VA's lead. That way it shows >>>>up on TWC, so viewers know who 'really' issues them! >>>> >>>>Rob >>>>////////////////////////////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ >>>>Robert P Dale - N8GSK || rdale@norden1.com >>>>Meteorologist || rdale@storm.atms.purdue.edu >>>>Davidson Crane And Conveyor || dcc@norden1.com >>>>InterRAD NIDS Software http://www.stratus.weather.net/~rdale/interrad.html >>>> NW Ohio Weather Info >http://norden1.com/~rdale/weather.html >>>> Northwest Ohio AMS http://nwohams.home.ml.org >>>> >>>>------------------------------ >>>> >>>>End of WX-TALK Digest - 14 Aug 1997 to 15 Aug 1997 >>>>************************************************** >>>> >>>Sorry, I missed you. I will be out of town until April 23rd, and will >>>return your email at that time. >>>Regards, >>>jan >>> >>>@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@ >>>@ Jan Null, CCM email: jnull@home.com @ >>>@ Lead Forecaster, Webmaster jan.null@.noaa.gov @ >>>@ National Weather Service voice: 408-656-1710 @ >>>@ San Francisco Bay Area fax: 408-656-1747 @ >>>@ Web Homepage: http://nws.mbay.net/ @ >>>@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@ >>> >>>------------------------------ >>> >>>Date: Sat, 16 Aug 1997 11:12:16 -0600 >>>From: "Paul E. Pettit" >>>Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 14 Aug 1997 to 15 Aug 1997 >>> >>>>A National Weather Service complaint has compelled AccuWeather Inc. to >>>>stop copyrighting NWS meteorologists' forecasts that the company >uploaded to >>>>its World Wide Web site. >>>> >>>>Personal AccuWeather subscriptions, available on the Web at >>>>http://personal.accuweather.com, distribute weather forecasts based on NWS >>>>data. Until Aug. 6, the site's Nowcast had verbatim short-term forecasts >>from >>>>local NWS offices along with the words "Copyright 1997 AccuWeather Inc., >>>>Redistribution Prohibited." >>> >>>This would be no different than anyone of us who would take NWS forecasts >>>and put our copyright symbol on the forecast, data, or whatever. Not legal >>>and to say the least unethical. I do not blame NWS offices for putting >>>indentifying disclaimers at the top of their products. Private interests >>>put disclaimers on their materials all the time. Sad that it is necessary >>>for the gov't to have to do it. >>> >>>Until the subject is decided of who is going to get info free and who is not >>>(according to my talks with Roger Getz CEO of AWIS this may be settled soon) >>>NWS data is there for the taking for free from a number of places. >>ACCUWeather >>>pays pretty good fees for some of this, but they could also presently get >>>most of it free and revise it into those nice graphics, thus saving money. >>>Why don't they just pull it down from one of the University servers? >>> >>>>AccuWeather of State College, Pa., is "not claiming ownership of the [NWS] >>>>data--that would be absurd," Steinberg said. >>> >>>But not making it clear where the information came from is also misleading. >>>The average Joe Blow looking actually thinks its their original stuff, same >>>as TV in many cases where the locals think the TV weatherman is "the >>>weather source." Here in Montgomery the TV folks rarely say "The official >>>Weather Service Forecast is....." One station uses AccuWeather and on the >>>radar presentations says "AccuWeather's Doppler Radar". This sounds like >>>its actually AccuWeather radar data when its really only NWS data >>>reformatted to their overlays. >>> >>>>Steinberg said the weather data and graphics--though originally from >>>>NWS--have value-added information and can therefore be copyrighted. >>> >>>Uh??? You mean I can take a NWS satellite pic, put a border around it, >>>change the black and white colors to shades of blue, put my logo on it, and >>>copyright it? Guess I can. >>> >>>How are NWS forecasts revised and to what extent by AccuWeather to make >>>them "value added"? I would like to know? Even the original NWS forecasts >>>made by NWS mets sometimes don't have much originality as they are straight >>>from guidance. If what AccuWeather is claiming is true, I can take NWS raw >>>guidance, put it on my web site and claim its mine. All I have to do is >>>remove the header materials, alter the content format and put it out as my >>>own forecasts(never changing the original forecast one iota). >>> >>>>When NWS meteorologists in the Sterling, Va., field office discovered the >>>>word-for-word use, they began preceding their forecasts with the words, >"The >>>>National Weather Service is forecasting ... ".. >>> >>>What about radio stations taking NWS NOAA radio forecasts, rebroadcasting >>them >>>verbatum, without any mention of them coming from NWS. This has been done, >>>believe me? >>> >>>I should think that the original NWS products should all have something >>>standard like this in their products and it should be mandatory that people >>>like AccuWeather, Wx Channel, TV stations, should have to carry this part >>>of the message in some way to their users. >>> >>>If they get raw data (not guidance), analyze their own data, make their own >>>original forecasts, with their own specific wording, and....be liable for >>>the end product...then let them do their thing in any form or fashion they >>>want with all the copyright priviledges entailed. >>> >>>This thread is probably going to really stimulate some posts on the subject. >>> >>> >>> >>> Paul E. Pettit >>> Weather Consulting >>> http://meteorology.miningco.com >>> http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html >>> >>>------------------------------ >>> >>>End of WX-TALK Digest - 15 Aug 1997 to 16 Aug 1997 >>>************************************************** >>> >>Sorry, I missed you. I will be out of town until April 23rd, and will >>return your email at that time. >>Regards, >>jan >> >>@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@ >>@ Jan Null, CCM email: jnull@home.com @ >>@ Lead Forecaster, Webmaster jan.null@.noaa.gov @ >>@ National Weather Service voice: 408-656-1710 @ >>@ San Francisco Bay Area fax: 408-656-1747 @ >>@ Web Homepage: http://nws.mbay.net/ @ >>@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@ >> >>------------------------------ >> >>Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 01:55:29 -0400 >>From: Danielle Desrosiers >>Subject: Re: Copyrighting public property (NWS Forecasts) >> >>>>AccuWx should at least include the header on the NOWCAST's so there is some >>>>indication that the product was issued by the NWS >>> >>>I see Detroit has added the "National Weather Service says..." right into >>>the text of their nowcasts, following Sterling VA's lead. That way it shows >>>up on TWC, so viewers know who 'really' issues them! >>> >>>Rob >>>////////////////////////////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ >>>Robert P Dale - N8GSK || rdale@norden1.com >>>Meteorologist || rdale@storm.atms.purdue.edu >> >>We've been doing this at Blacksburg for at least 6 months. We started >>to help increase awareness that the short terms are NWS generated and >>are coming from our office regularly (as opposed to the NWSFOs as before >>our spin up). >> >>Danielle >>danisue@vt.edu >> >>------------------------------ >> >>Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 11:41:25 -0500 >>From: Steve Adams >>Subject: To Chris >> >>Chris, >> >>Jan Null seems to have set an auto-responder on her e-mail. >>Thus, the digest version of wx-talk is being sent back to >>the list. >> >>Rather than subject the rest of us to this "spam" for the >>next week (Apr 23rd?), can you unsubscribe her or perhaps take >>away her posting capability until she comes back? Thanks! >> >>-Steve >> >>------------------------------ >> >>Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 15:49:31 -0400 >>From: Matt Rosier >>Subject: Discovery channel program on tornadoes/hurricanes >> >>Raging Planet, a 2 hour special on tornadoes and hurricanes airs tonight at >>9:00 pm EDT on the Discovery channel. Just wanted to let you all know, from >>the previews I have seen looks like it will be an interesting program. >> >>Matt >> >>------------------------------ >> >>Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 17:54:11 -0700 >>From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF >>Subject: New Age TV Weathercasting -Chicago Flooding- >> >>-Severe Weather Stalks Wisconsin Weather Weenie in Chicago- >> >>I was visiting my mother in the Western Chicago suburb of Streamwood >>during the severe weather/flooding event of Saturday August 16, 1997. >>After an early and hearty steak dinner at a "Texas Style" restaurant >>(Lone Star Cafe -burp-!) we attempted to make the journey from Hoffman >>Estates back to Streamwood. >> >>Of course the 90F air temperature, 78F dew point, the approaching cold >>front from the North conspired to spew its convective wrath just after >>we left the restaurant (belch!). >> >>What incredible lightening! >> >>Twice my efforts to leave Il. Rt. 72 and travel south were thwarted by >>dozens and dozens of CG strikes within only hundreds of yards from our >>vehicle. The "Storm Wagon" (Dark blue '89 Ford Taurus with a hideously >>oxidized exterior-Thank You Ford Paint Dept.) sports a 7 foot tall 2 >>meter antenna amongst others. I was beyond any doubt we were going to >>take a hit, especially with that "antenna farm" located on the roof of >>the station wagon. At one point I was at a stop sign deciding which >>direction would take us away from the CG activity, when within 10 >>seconds we were greeted by at least a dozen CG strikes all less than 500 >>yards away. The closest was only a hundred yards away and prompted >>consideration of adding ear plugs to my storm spotting "kit". >> >>After getting home we settled down (braaap!) and tuned in one of the >>Chicago "Tee Vee" weathercasters when we were confronted with this >>priceless piece of New Age Junk Science. >> >> >>(I paraphrase at this point) >> >>"The severe weather and flooding in the Chicago area was caused by the >>(Uh! Oh!) - "The Heat Island Effect" - which initiated and enhanced the >>severe storms and flooding today in the City of Chicago." >> >>Yikes! >> >>Here's the real scoop. Our heroic TV Weathercaster ignored the following >>facts before blurting out his unfounded and ratings boosting nonsense, >> >>The storms were aligned along an East-West cold front descending >>Southward from the North. This "lift mechanism" is what started the >>severe storms. >> >>Never mind that the storms "fired up" simultaneously in a line (west to >>east) - a hundred or more- miles west of Chicago to the lake shore of >>Chicago. Check any radar archive to see this. >> >>It was as hot or hotter (90F+) away from Chicago, than it was in the >>city itself. The suburbs and rural areas west of Chicago were hotter. It >>was only in the low/mid 80s by Midway Airport about ten miles from Lake >>Michigan, while it was 90F at O'Hare Airport about 30 miles west of the >>lake. >> >>Any use of the term "heat island" is most correctly used -after- sunset. >>(i.e. retention of heat after direct heating of the sun is absent.) >> >>The storms developed - before - sunset. (Duh!) >> >>The flooding was caused by the storms traveling from the west to the >>east along a slowly descending cold front. Bad luck and the concrete >>jungle of Northern Chicago and the nearby suburbs of Bensenville, >>Wooddale etc conspired to create the worst flooding in the area. >> >>Large cities don't "create" weather. They are merely victims of weather. >>It's about time we laid this folklore and intellectual laziness to rest. >> >>Thank you for your consideration! >> >>All opinions are my own and do not reflect those any organizations I may >>affiliated with. >>*************************************************************************** >>73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA >>Milwaukee Area Skywarn Assoc./Milwaukee-Waukesha Amateur Radio Emergency >>Service (A.R.E.S.)/IL Multi-County Warning System >> >>E-Mail, bkopp@execpc.com >> >>Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" my severe weather and SKYWARN home page! >> >>SFTS! http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp >> >>"... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O >>ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not >>discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV >>************************************************************************* >> >>------------------------------ >> >>Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 23:34:26 +1900 >>From: Mark_Hofmann >>Subject: SCH BREAKING NEWS: Purdue WXP site address change >> >>> For those of you who want to "dial direct", here's the new address: >>> >>> http://wxp.eas.purdue.edu >>> >>> Again, this will be up by tomorrow afternoon. The old address, >>> http://wxp.atms.purdue.edu, will then be terminated. >> >>Will this effect the FTP site too? I have a script that pulls many of their >>excellent images from their ftp site.. >> >>Thanks.. >> >>--Mark Hofmann-- >> >> >> >> >>-------------------------------------------------------------------------- --- >>* Origin: Weather Station (410)882-8887 / WWIVnet @8304 Fidonet (1:261/1304) >>Perry Hall, MD "Live Radar/Satellite/Surface/Temps/Conditions/Reports/&More" >>-------------------------------------------------------------------------- --- >> >>------------------------------ >> >>End of WX-TALK Digest - 16 Aug 1997 to 17 Aug 1997 >>************************************************** >> >Sorry, I missed you. I will be out of town until April 23rd, and will >return your email at that time. >Regards, >jan > >@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@ >@ Jan Null, CCM email: jnull@home.com @ >@ Lead Forecaster, Webmaster jan.null@.noaa.gov @ >@ National Weather Service voice: 408-656-1710 @ >@ San Francisco Bay Area fax: 408-656-1747 @ >@ Web Homepage: http://nws.mbay.net/ @ >@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@ > >------------------------------ > >Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 20:51:17 -0400 >From: "Boris A. Konon" >Subject: Typhoon Winnie > >Has anyone checked out GMS imagery lately? Typhoon Winnie is something >to see! Talk about concentric eyewalls! I have never seen a tropical >cyclone that looked quite like Winnie. > >Boris A. Konon >WSI Corporation > >------------------------------ > >Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 07:53:42 -0400 >From: "Stanski, Henry [Ontario]" >Subject: Allan Murphy > > I would like to also state that Allan Murphy will be missed here >in Canada. I met Allan at a statistics conference in Edmonton, Alberta >over ten years ago and since then he has always set the standard for >verification. Chuck Doswell recorded a 'hit' when he said "Allan's >papers are not necessarily easy to read, but if you understand his >insights, you will appreciate how far he took us all" > > > >thanks a bunch, >henry >Program Analysis and Information Branch >National Weather Services Directorate, Downsview >Tel : (416) 739-4992 >Fax: (416) 739-4700 >e-mail: Henry.Stanski@ec.gc.ca > >" In the middle of difficulty lies opportunity" --- Albert Einstein > >------------------------------ > >Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 12:16:51 -0500 >From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" >Subject: College of DuPage web site down... > >Hello all, > >COD's web site and SPC page are down. Not a computer problem per se; this >time, they just have no power. They won't be back up until late this >afternoon at the earliest; maybe not until tonight. They'll let you know >when they are back up. > >Gilbert > >*************************************************************************** **** >Gilbert Sebenste ******** >Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** >Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** >URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** >SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * >THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * >Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * >*************************************************************************** **** > >------------------------------ > >Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 12:41:00 -0700 >From: Brian Garrett >Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 16 Aug 1997 to 17 Aug 1997 > >On Mon, 18 Aug 1997, Bernie Kopp wrote: >> >> After getting home we settled down (braaap!) and tuned in one of the >> Chicago "Tee Vee" weathercasters when we were confronted with this >> priceless piece of New Age Junk Science. >> >> >> (I paraphrase at this point) >> >> "The severe weather and flooding in the Chicago area was caused by the >> (Uh! Oh!) - "The Heat Island Effect" - which initiated and enhanced the >> severe storms and flooding today in the City of Chicago." >> >> Yikes! >> >> Here's the real scoop. Our heroic TV Weathercaster ignored the following >> facts before blurting out his unfounded and ratings boosting nonsense, >> >> The storms were aligned along an East-West cold front descending >> Southward from the North. This "lift mechanism" is what started the >> severe storms. >> >> Never mind that the storms "fired up" simultaneously in a line (west to >> east) - a hundred or more- miles west of Chicago to the lake shore of >> Chicago. Check any radar archive to see this. >> >> It was as hot or hotter (90F+) away from Chicago, than it was in the >> city itself. The suburbs and rural areas west of Chicago were hotter. It >> was only in the low/mid 80s by Midway Airport about ten miles from Lake >> Michigan, while it was 90F at O'Hare Airport about 30 miles west of the >> lake. >> >> Any use of the term "heat island" is most correctly used -after- sunset. >> (i.e. retention of heat after direct heating of the sun is absent.) >> >> The storms developed - before - sunset. (Duh!) >> >> The flooding was caused by the storms traveling from the west to the >> east along a slowly descending cold front. Bad luck and the concrete >> jungle of Northern Chicago and the nearby suburbs of Bensenville, >> Wooddale etc conspired to create the worst flooding in the area. >> >> Large cities don't "create" weather. They are merely victims of weather. >> It's about time we laid this folklore and intellectual laziness to rest. >> >> Thank you for your consideration! >> >> All opinions are my own and do not reflect those any organizations I may >> affiliated with. > >Indeed. I hope you were able to send email to the TV station responsible, >conveying the same information. There is no acceptable excuse for a TV >news personality (who is in the position of representing meteorology as a >science and a profession to the viewers at home) to be spouting such >nonsense. Presumably everyone on this list knows enough not to be taken >in by these poseurs, but people watching the news at home ought to be able >to trust that their local media are presenting facts and not _Weekly World >News_ headlines. This guy shouldn't even be on the air...or his >copywriter, if that is the source of the "heat island" misinformation, >should be sacked in favor of somebody who knows what the hel they're >talking about. > > >Brian > >------------------------------ > >End of WX-TALK Digest - 17 Aug 1997 to 18 Aug 1997 - Special issue >****************************************************************** > Sorry, I missed you. I will be out of town until April 23rd, and will return your email at that time. Regards, jan @@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@ @ Jan Null, CCM email: jnull@home.com @ @ Lead Forecaster, Webmaster jan.null@.noaa.gov @ @ National Weather Service voice: 408-656-1710 @ @ San Francisco Bay Area fax: 408-656-1747 @ @ Web Homepage: http://nws.mbay.net/ @ @@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 18 Aug 1997 - Special issue *************************************************** From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103038-16846>; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 13:10:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA38634; Tue, 19 Aug 1997 00:02:24 -0500 Message-Id: <199708190502.AAA38634@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 19 Aug 1997 00:00:34 +1900 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 18 Aug 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 8d8753f30303b2c5c1648312488f7d6a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 7800 Status: OR There are 4 messages totalling 183 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Copyrighting public property (NWS Forecasts) 2. New Age TV Weathercasting -Chicago Flooding- 3. Position in Regional Climate Modeling 4. How much weather in a TWC hour? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 16:23:55 GMT From: Bill Ricker Subject: Re: Copyrighting public property (NWS Forecasts) In article <3.0.1.32.19970815184419.006a2a20@norden1.com>, Robert P Dale wrote: > They did take TM & C off the Nowcast as of yesterday, but they do not > acknowledge that the NOWCAST comes from NWS. The Sample page http://personal.accuweather.com/iwxpage/sample/nowcast.htm has a copyright on the page at the bottom still. -- Bill Ricker N1VUX wdr@world.std.com "The freedom of the press belongs http://world.std.com/~wdr to those who own one."--A.J.Liebling ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 17:41:46 -0700 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: New Age TV Weathercasting -Chicago Flooding- Brian Garrett wrote, > Indeed. I hope you were able to send email to the TV station responsible, > conveying the same information. There is no acceptable excuse for a TV > news personality (who is in the position of representing meteorology as a > science and a profession to the viewers at home) to be spouting such > nonsense. deletia Simple answer to your query Brian, Why bother? I've sent numerous E-mail messages to various local, regional and national media organizations on weather and non-weather issues. Lessons learned, RULE #1 - THE MEDIA NEVER MAKES MISTAKES RULE #2 - THE MEDIA NEVER ADMITS A MISTAKE RULE #3 - THE MEDIA WHEN CAUGHT IN A FLAT OUT LIE, WILL CLAIM THEIR FIRST AMENDMENT RIGHT TO DO SO! Media bias and stupidity are a function of greed, laziness, ignorance, 70's drug usage, a dysfunctional public education system and the desire to "make a difference". The best thing anyone can do, is to patronize those organizations which do not insult our common sense. Fortunately, the remnants of capitalism and free choice in our country will reward those who excel and punish those who falter in the Dominant Media Culture. RULE #4 - RATINGS ARE LIFE Do contact your local media with your concerns! Just don't expect an acknowledgment or a speedy resolution of your concern. All views are my own. ************************************************************************* 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA Milwaukee Area Skywarn Assoc./Milwaukee-Waukesha Amateur Radio Emergency Service (A.R.E.S.)/IL Multi-County Warning System E-Mail, bkopp@execpc.com Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" my severe weather and SKYWARN home page! SFTS! http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 21:41:41 GMT From: Raymond Arritt Subject: Position in Regional Climate Modeling Iowa State University invites applicants for a long-term visiting scientist to perform regional climate modeling. Emphasis of the research is on mesoscale processes and climate studies of the Central U.S., including the hydrological cycle, higher-order statistics of growing-season climate, and atmosphere-land surface interactions. The visiting scientist will use the MM5 and RegCM2 numerical models to perform integrations over time scales ranging from days to years. The position also involves research designed to parallelize large regional meteorological models. Required qualifications include: * Ph.D. in meteorology, hydrology or a closely related field. * Strong numerical modelling background. Specific experience with using the MM5 or RegCM2 numerical models would be an advantage. * Extensive prior expertise in Fortran computer programming and use of the Unix operating system. * Familiarity with land-surface process representations, for example the Biosphere-Atmosphere Transfer Scheme (BATS) or the Simple Biosphere Model (SiB). * Capability to summarize research results for publication in peer reviewed journals and professional conferences, including strong oral and written communication skills in the English language. Support is anticipated to be provided at an annual rate of approximately $33,000 for a twelve-month period, with possibility of renewal. Interested applicants should send a statement of interest, curriculum vitae, and a names of three references and their contact addresses (email, phone and postal address) by electronic mail to rwarritt@iastate.edu (Prof. R.W. Arritt) not later than October 5, 1997. <> -- Raymond W. Arritt e-mail rwarritt@iastate.edu Dept of Agronomy, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa 50011 USA ------------------------------------------------------------- My opinions are not necessarily those of ISU, and vice-versa. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 20:10:56 -0500 From: "Mark D. Conner" Subject: How much weather in a TWC hour? A while back, there was a discussion/series of complaints about how many ads TWC has in its programming. With the help of a VCR with a clock counter and a half hour to kill, I decided to quantify just how much "weather" one received during an hour's worth of The Weather Channel programming. I broke down the time into three categories: Weather - An OCM was talking about recent weather and/or graphics were on the screen showing recent weather data. Ads - Advertisements for things unrelated to TWC. Promos - Lead-ins/lead-outs that did not show/discuss current weather, schedule info, and a one-minute segment on pollen/allergies that led directly into a related commercial. The numbers were not as bad as I would have guessed. For the hour I sampled (1100-1200 CDT on Monday, Aug 18), here's how it came out: Weather - 41:23 Promos - 5:01 Ads - 13:36 This is not all that far behind the nominal prime-time schedule of 44 minutes of "real" programming per hour. Judging from the content, etc., I'd say this was a typical hour - only one instance of the OCM being cut off in mid-word to go to commercial, and the usual mix of weather going on. No severe weather, however, but I don't think that causes the proportions to change anyway. Other tidbits: Longest weather segments - Two at 7:08 (WeatherScope) Shortest " " - 1:20 Longest time with no weather info - 3:00 I think the fact that the weather segments are so broken up during the "non-WeatherScope" portions of the hour that make the ads/promos so annoying. --------------------------------------------------------------- Mark D. Conner Internet: mconner@null.net Packet: N9XTN@WA0ZQG.IA.USA.NA Homepage: http://www.neonramp.com/~mconner The Peter Principle: "In a hierarchy every employee tends to rise to his level of incompetence" Conner's Corollary: "The Peter Principle is unbounded" ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 18 Aug 1997 *********************************** From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103080-7565>; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 13:08:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA98042; Wed, 20 Aug 1997 00:04:06 -0500 Message-Id: <199708200504.AAA98042@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 20 Aug 1997 00:00:01 +1900 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 18 Aug 1997 to 19 Aug 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 957ffcfc75e0b5b5abafebb23d2e383c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 14035 Status: OR There are 9 messages totalling 327 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. NE Illinois Severe Weather of August 16, 1997 (2) 2. Question About Maxon Weather Monitors 3. Super-Eye? 4. TWC vs other WCs... 5. Tornado warnings (3) 6. End of the Golden Age +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 18 Aug 1997 23:12:49 -0700 From: James Kaplan Subject: NE Illinois Severe Weather of August 16, 1997 Bernie Kopp wrote: > > -Severe Weather Stalks Wisconsin Weather Weenie in Chicago- > snipped > > After getting home we settled down (braaap!) and tuned in one of the > Chicago "Tee Vee" weathercasters when we were confronted with this > priceless piece of New Age Junk Science. > > (I paraphrase at this point) > > "The severe weather and flooding in the Chicago area was caused by the > (Uh! Oh!) - "The Heat Island Effect" - which initiated and enhanced the > severe storms and flooding today in the City of Chicago." > > Yikes! > > Here's the real scoop. Our heroic TV Weathercaster ignored the following > facts before blurting out his unfounded and ratings boosting nonsense, > > The storms were aligned along an East-West cold front descending > Southward from the North. This "lift mechanism" is what started the > severe storms. > > Never mind that the storms "fired up" simultaneously in a line (west to > east) - a hundred or more- miles west of Chicago to the lake shore of > Chicago. Check any radar archive to see this. > Not exactly. A Lake breeze, or lake enhanced southward push of the east-west front which lay mainly to the north was aligned roughly parallel to the Illinois /Indiana shores and began to generate strong to severe convection noticeably detached from the mainly east-west line which was near the Illinois-Wisconsin border. Air overrunning the northwest-southeast lake boundary was responsible for the onset of strong and severe convection in Chicago, although the convection maintained in this area as the line sagged southward and "caught up" > It was as hot or hotter (90F+) away from Chicago, than it was in the > city itself. The suburbs and rural areas west of Chicago were hotter. It > was only in the low/mid 80s by Midway Airport about ten miles from Lake > Michigan, while it was 90F at O'Hare Airport about 30 miles west of the > lake. Yes this is because that boundary was west of those sites nearer the lake, but it did push west of O-Hare around 6 pm I recall. But it certainly did not have anything to do with an urban heat island, as you indicated. Jim ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 19 Aug 1997 00:48:23 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: NE Illinois Severe Weather of August 16, 1997 On Mon, 18 Aug 1997, James Kaplan wrote: > Bernie Kopp wrote: > > > > > -Severe Weather Stalks Wisconsin Weather Weenie in Chicago- > > > snipped > > > > Here's the real scoop. Our heroic TV Weathercaster ignored the following > > facts before blurting out his unfounded and ratings boosting nonsense, > > > > The storms were aligned along an East-West cold front descending > > Southward from the North. This "lift mechanism" is what started the > > severe storms. > > > > Never mind that the storms "fired up" simultaneously in a line (west to > > east) - a hundred or more- miles west of Chicago to the lake shore of > > Chicago. Check any radar archive to see this. > > > Not exactly. A Lake breeze, or lake enhanced southward push of the > east-west front > which lay mainly to the north was aligned roughly parallel to the > Illinois /Indiana > shores and began to generate strong to severe convection noticeably > detached from > the mainly east-west line which was near the Illinois-Wisconsin border. > Air overrunning > the northwest-southeast lake boundary was responsible for the onset of > strong and > severe convection in Chicago, although the convection maintained in this > area as the > line sagged southward and "caught up" The analysis regarding the IL/IN border was correct. However, in regards to the Wisconsin boundary, what you saw was actually an old outflow boundary from convection early in the morning. By 4PM, with CAPEs of 6,200 J/KG and an LI of -16, a layer of warmer air aloft was penetrated and all that energy got released. But it was not the the front, which as I mentioned on the wx-chase group was misanalyzed most of the day. That remained in central Wisconsin where more strong storms developed. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 19 Aug 1997 03:19:14 GMT From: Tony Heatwole Subject: Question About Maxon Weather Monitors Hello. I have a question about the Maxon Weather Monitor model number 74-109w and the Maxon Weather Monitor model number WX-70. I know that both of these radios will admit a warning siren when a NWS warning comes on. But, will either of them admit a siren if the radio is off? For example.....If the weather monitor is turned OFF and a siren is broadcasted, will either of these radios turn themselfs on and play the siren? Please do all that you can to answer this question. Thank you very much for your time and efforts. X Trust No One ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 17 Aug 1997 20:37:26 GMT From: rjhstorm Subject: Super-Eye? Having watched Typhoon Winnie the past several days, I am wondering if anyone has an explanation for the very odd central structure of the storm. Not being a formal tropical specialist, I know that my own explanation has nothing but the most oblique chance of being accurate, but here goes: Looking at the way in which the large clear area in the center of the storm developed, it gives me an impression that a second eyewall formed, and subsidence in the center of the storm eliminated the original eye. I have never seen an eye anywhere near as large as the structure that now exists, but it is a clear area of subsidence surrounded by a solid band of heavy convection and strong winds. The storm is still tropical in nature and the structure show no signs of short-term (next 12-24 hours or so) breakdown. There, now someone can let me know what the real reason behind this structure is, I've had my guess. Richard Halter ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 19 Aug 1997 09:24:51 -0400 From: Mike Taube Subject: TWC vs other WCs... I heard that MSNBC is testing a weather channel of their own. Has anyone seen it? How does it compare to TWC. I heard that it's more accurate, more up-to-date, and has less commercials Mike Taube ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 19 Aug 1997 13:46:19 EDT From: Andrew J Toth Subject: Tornado warnings i have a question about tornado warnings. what is needed to give out a tornado warning, a possible tornado on radar, or an actual sighting of a funnel cloud or a touchdown? because in cincinnati on sunday we had a tornado warning. the weather people on the local news channels said it was radar indicated, and that no one has confirmed a touchdown. if you only need a radar signature to have a warning, why is that? thanks, andrew ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 19 Aug 1997 16:03:36 -0400 From: "Richard L. Slonaker" Subject: End of the Golden Age Wx-talkers: There is an article of interest for all current and potential scientific researchers. The specific article is "The Big Crunch" (EOS Vol. 78 No. 32, 12 Aug 97) by David Goodstein (Cal Tech). EOS is a weekly news magazine from the AGU (American Geophysical Union). Unfortunately, the article is not currently on their web site (http://www.agu.org), but may be added later. Most libraries will have a hardcopy. The author shows the exponential growth in science (funding, number of researchers, etc.) over the past few hundred years. A case is made that the "Golden Age" of exponential growth is now over and now we are in the "Age of Denial", in which we do our best to pretend nothing has changed. >From the article: "I must stress once again that the institutions of science- the scientific societies, universities, funding agencies, journals, and the structure of how we do science-all evolved during the period of exponential growth. These institutions are optimized for exponential growth, but are poorly suited for the future we face. Above all, the leaders of science (people my age and older who came of age scientifically during that Golden Age I talked about) believe deep down that those were normal times and will return if we just wait long enough. We can say with mathematical certainty that they are wrong. The good times of exponential growth will never return." Anyone considering graduate education in science should read these compelling arguments; arguments that will not be uttered by a potential PhD advisor. -Richard ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ Richard L. Slonaker, UCAR Visiting Scientist NOAA/NESDIS Office of Research and Applications rslonaker@nesdis.noaa.gov tel: 301-763-8103 fax: 301-763-8108 Delivery Postal -------- ------ NOAA/NESDIS E/RA3 NOAA/NESDIS E/RA3 5200 Auth Rd. Rm.#711 4700 Silver Hill Rd. Camp Springs, MD 20746 Stop 9910 USA Washington, DC 20233-9910 USA ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 19 Aug 1997 15:23:49 -0500 From: Chuck Doswell Subject: Re: Tornado warnings In article <19970819.134130.8623.0.andrewtoth@juno.com>, Andrew J Toth wrote: > i have a question about tornado warnings. what is needed to give out a > tornado warning, a possible tornado on radar, or an actual sighting of a > funnel cloud or a touchdown? because in cincinnati on sunday we had a > tornado warning. the weather people on the local news channels said it > was radar indicated, and that no one has confirmed a touchdown. if you > only need a radar signature to have a warning, why is that? thanks, If you consider what a tornado warning is intended to do, then it is clear that if warnings are issued ONLY when a tornado is confirmed, then the people in the vicinity of its initial touchdown will have received NO warning. Presumably, if a tornado is "indicated by radar" then it is possible that the first people struck by the tornado can have a warning, as well as those further down the path. Certainly, not all radar-indicated tornadoes produce authenticated tornadoes ... that means that some people will have been falsely alarmed. No one wants false alarms, but neither does anyone want to be "struck without warning" either. In an imperfect world, it seems rather silly to be upset about NOT being hit by a tornado. If you want perfect tornado warnings, you might consider moving to another planet, because it's not going to happen on this one. See: if you have Web access, for a more thorough discussion. Chuck Doswell -- Dr. Charles A. Doswell III NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, Oklahoma 73069 phone: (405) 366-0439 fax: (405) 366-0472 WWW home page: Standard disclaimer ... my views are my own, so don't blame my employer. Is it a snake? Or is it a tire? ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 19 Aug 1997 19:41:18 -0700 From: kz Subject: Re: Tornado warnings Andrew J Toth wrote: > > i have a question about tornado warnings. what is needed to give out a > tornado warning, a possible tornado on radar, or an actual sighting of a > funnel cloud or a touchdown? because in cincinnati on sunday we had a > tornado warning. the weather people on the local news channels said it > was radar indicated, and that no one has confirmed a touchdown. if you > only need a radar signature to have a warning, why is that? thanks, > andrew > If you waited until an actual sighting of a tornado, it'd be too late to issue a warning for that particular area, only the area downstream. The doppler radar can show rotation in the cloud of a funnel before it reaches the ground. If this rotation (shear) is strong enough, the funnel will probably become a tornado (i.e., reach the ground), so a tornado warning is issued so that, hopefully, the Original touchdown point will have a warning ahead of the storm. Small rotations, those not associated with tornado touchdowns, are found in many storms, but those with high enough shear and a "ready" atmosphere usually produce one. You can bet that "radar indicates a possible tornado" means that this rotation is strong enough to produce a tornado in most cases. KZ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 18 Aug 1997 to 19 Aug 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102677-29774>; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 13:12:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAB229230; Thu, 21 Aug 1997 00:07:39 -0500 Message-Id: <199708210507.AAB229230@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 21 Aug 1997 00:01:08 +1900 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 19 Aug 1997 to 20 Aug 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: d009b25d07cad0ea45d19ec757b87c38 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 9642 Status: OR There are 6 messages totalling 209 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Question About Maxon Weather Monitors 2. Super-Eye? 3. TV Met Jobs Available 4. ACARS & Difax plots 5. SA's in OAJ 6. More on last Saturday's Chicago storms... +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 20 Aug 1997 06:02:01 -0700 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: Question About Maxon Weather Monitors > From: Tony Heatwole > Subject: Question About Maxon Weather Monitors > > Hello. I have a question about the Maxon Weather Monitor model number > 74-109w and the Maxon Weather Monitor model number WX-70. I know that both > of these radios will admit a warning siren when a NWS warning comes on. But, > will either of them admit a siren if the radio is off? > > For example.....If the weather monitor is turned OFF and a siren is > broadcasted, will either of these radios turn themselfs on and play the > siren? Please do all that you can to answer this question. Thank you very > much for your time and efforts. > > X > Trust No One I have a Maxon WX-70. The ON/OFF/Volume switch must be ON - and - the radio set in ALERT mode via the ALERT button on the top in order to receive a tone alert warning. ************************************************************************* 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA Milwaukee Area Skywarn Assoc./Milwaukee-Waukesha Amateur Radio Emergency Service (A.R.E.S.)/IL Multi-County Warning System E-Mail, bkopp@execpc.com Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" my severe weather and SKYWARN home page! SFTS! http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 20 Aug 1997 13:20:52 +0000 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Re: Super-Eye? Hi Wx-talkers, On Wed, 20 Aug 1997, rjhstorm wrote: > Having watched Typhoon Winnie the past several days, I am wondering if anyone > has an explanation for the very odd central structure of the storm. Not being > a formal tropical specialist, I know that my own explanation has nothing but > the most oblique chance of being accurate, but here goes: > > Looking at the way in which the large clear area in the center of the > storm developed, it gives me an impression that a second eyewall formed, and > subsidence in the center of the storm eliminated the original eye. I have > never seen an eye anywhere near as large as the structure that now exists, but > it is a clear area of subsidence surrounded by a solid band of heavy convection > and strong winds. The storm is still tropical in nature and the structure show > no signs of short-term (next 12-24 hours or so) breakdown. > > There, now someone can let me know what the real reason behind this > structure is, I've had my guess. You've gotten it basically right. From the Hurricane FAQ : +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Concentric eyewall cycles naturally occur in intense tropical cyclones (wind > 50 m/s or 100 kt). As tropical cyclones reach this threshold of intensity, they usually - but not always - have an eyewall and radius of maximum winds that contracts to a very small size, around 10 to 25 km. At this point, some of the outer rainbands may organize into an outer ring of thunderstorms that slowly moves inward and robs the inner eyewall of its needed moisture and momentum. During this phase, the tropical cyclone is weakening (i.e. the maximum winds die off a bit and the central pressure goes up). Eventually the outer eyewall replaces the inner one completely and the storm can be the same intensity as it was previously or, in some cases, even stronger. A concentric eyewall cycle occurred in Hurricane Andrew (1992) before landfall near Miami: a strong intensity was reached, an outer eyewall formed, this contracted in concert with a pronounced weakening of the storm, and as the outer eyewall completely replaced the original one the hurricane reintensified. +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Winnie's concentric eyes were the largest i've ever seen... Best regards, chris ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** "Squalls out on the Gulf Stream, Big storm is coming soon..." Jimmy Buffett, _Trying to reason with hurricane season_ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 20 Aug 1997 10:33:42 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Jobs Available The following jobs appeared in SHOPTALK (http://www.tvspy.com). ..Chris.. CHIEF METEOROLOGIST (KXTV) The Belo Station in Sacramento seeks dynamic, credentialed, meteorologist for number one weather position. We are a very competitive station in a very competitive market. We have plenty of weather toys with more on the way. If you're on-air style combines personality with professionalism, send a tape and resume asap to News Director, KXTV, P.O. Box 10, Sacramento, California, 95812. E.O.E. Drug Testing. No calls, really. SPORTS & WEATHER ANCHOR/REPORTERS (WREG) The New York Times Company Broadcast Group is looking for a Sports Anchor/Reporter and a Weather Anchor/Reporter for our Flagship station, WREG-TV in Memphis, TN. We're looking for a Sports Anchor/Reporter who LOVES sports, knows sports, eats, sleeps, dreams and lives sports. We'll also hire the serious Weather Anchor/Reporter who's a degreed meteorologist -- no clowns allowed -- to anchor weekend weathercasts, support our team during severe weather, and act as a G.A. reporter 3 days per week. Tape & resume to Craig Jahelka, V.P. & News Director, WREG-TV, 803 Channel 3 Drive, Memphis, TN, 38103. No beginners, and (yeah, I read all the letters to the Editor in SHOPTALK) NO CALLS. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 20 Aug 1997 11:57:30 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: ACARS & Difax plots I noticed that ACARS wind observations are now on the DIFAX upper air analysis maps -- what kind of time frame are those from? I.E. 00&12Z +/- 30 minutes, +/- 1 hour, etc... Rob ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 20 Aug 1997 14:41:28 +0000 From: "Yerges, Mark" Subject: SA's in OAJ With some of the observations that are coming out of OAJ in North Carolina every few hours, (winds gusting to 190) it makes you wonder about the validity of these automated machines and numerous other problems that have already been verified with the systems. Too bad we have to rely on them as a "best guess" as to what is going on rather than "what is" actually going on. Ahh... Government cutbacks. Sincerely, Mark Yerges MYERGES@KAVOURAS.COM ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 20 Aug 1997 23:19:00 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: More on last Saturday's Chicago storms... As noted in: http://www.suntimes.com/index/feder.html The Chicago weatherman that didn't explain what caused the storms correctly at least acknowledged their severity. The Kennedy Expressway was flooded shut for 4 hours, despite radio traffic reports indicating the Kennedy was improving to a trip of only "51 minutes" out of town. What I don't understand is why stations hire someone who isn't a meteorologist to due the weather except in extenuating financial circumstances. Would you hire a plumber to produce and anchor a newscast? Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 19 Aug 1997 to 20 Aug 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <104172-25312>; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 14:23:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA224806; Fri, 22 Aug 1997 00:10:36 -0500 Message-Id: <199708220510.AAA224806@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 22 Aug 1997 00:04:04 +1900 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 20 Aug 1997 to 21 Aug 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 35ee837c7011a80b1ef1834338a3b14e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 18674 Status: OR There are 11 messages totalling 427 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Do You Have A Storm Chasing Site????? 2. New weather radios out! 3. TV Met Jobs Available 4. Why does pressure not follow diurnal temperature variations? (2) 5. More on new radios (5) 6. RS SAME Radio +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 21 Aug 1997 02:30:09 GMT From: Tony Heatwole Subject: Do You Have A Storm Chasing Site????? If you have either a homepage of severe weather, weather, tornados, or storm chasing please e-mail me because I'm interested in trading links with you. Please tell me what the name of your homepage is and the URL. And also please let me know if your page has a photo gallery. And if it does please give me it's URL. Thanks for reading X Trust No One ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 21 Aug 1997 10:17:36 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: New weather radios out! ** ABUS34 KIND 201633 *** PNSIND PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN 1135 AM EST WED AUG 20 1997 ...A NEW GENERATION OF WEATHER RADIOS... ON TUESDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...OR NWS...REACHED A MILESTONE IN IMPROVING OUR SYSTEM OF COMMUNICATING SEVERE WEATHER WARNINGS DIRECTLY TO THE PUBLIC. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEATHER RADIO... THE VOICE OF THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...HAS ALWAYS BEEN THE DIRECT SOURCE OF OFFICIAL NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER INFORMATION. NWS PERSONNEL INTERRUPT LOCAL PROGRAMMING TO WARN LISTENERS ABOUT IMMINENT SEVERE WEATHER. THE INFORMATION IS VITAL TO PEOPLE IN THE PATH OF THE SEVERE WEATHER. HOWEVER...DUE TO THE RANGE OF OUR RADIO TRANSMITTER AND LARGE AREA OF RADIO COVERAGE...SOMETIMES THIS CAUSES INTERRUPTIONS FOR LISTENERS WHO ARE NOT IN THE PATH OF THE SEVERE WEATHER AND MAY BE UP TO 80 MILES AWAY. A NEW GENERATION OF PROGRAMMABLE WEATHER RADIOS...AVAILABLE AT RADIO SHACK STORES...HIT THE MARKET TUESDAY AND HAVE A FEATURE CALLED SPECIFIC AREA MESSAGE ENCODING...OR SAME. THE SAME FEATURE ENABLES PEOPLE TO CUSTOMIZE THEIR RADIOS TO RECEIVE ONLY THE OFFICIAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS THEY WANT...AND ONLY FOR THE COUNTIES THEY WANT. THE SAME FEATURE ALLOWS THE LISTENER TO SCREEN OUT ALL OTHER WATCHES AND WARNINGS. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 21 Aug 1997 09:39:43 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Jobs Available The following jobs appeared in today's SHOPTALK (http://www.tvspy.com). ..Chris.. WEATHERCASTER (KKYK) KKYK Little Rock needs a 9pm weather person. 501-219-2400 WEATHER ANCHOR/ REPORTER Aggressive Midwest affiliate needs an on-air talent who can handle weather forecasting and do some quality news reporting on the side. The successful candidate will project credibility, style and warmth. Working knowledge or meteorology a MAJOR plus. Send 3/4" or VHS tape ASAP to Eric Huseby, News Director, KCAU-TV9, 625 Douglas Street, Sioux City, Iowa 51101. KCAU-TV9 is an Equal Opportunity Employer. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 21 Aug 1997 08:35:34 -0500 From: Chuck Doswell Subject: Re: Why does pressure not follow diurnal temperature variations? In article <5tg03e$qm9$1@sunburst.ccs.yorku.ca>, Ka-Hing Yau wrote: > Chuck Doswell writes: ...deletia... > > There are some misconceptions here ... increasing temperature is indeed > > associated with expansion of the air but that does not mean that pressure > > rises! Pressure is simply the manifestation of the weight of the > > atmospheric column above some point ... increasing temperature usually > > reduces the density of the air, corresponding to a DECREASE in the > > pressure. The diurnal variation in temperature is typically confined to a > > Hi, if I am not reading incorrectly, the original post roughly said he found > the temp at a certain altitude (I remember was quite high) was -10C whereas the standard atmosphere should be -30C so the average temp. UNDERNEATH is highr > than normal, accordingly the air underneath expanded so that the levels of constant pressure rose - as a result the measured pr during climbing the mountain was often higher than that would be for a standard atmosphere and the alitude reading based on pr would constantly under-estimate the height. Isn't this a result of the hysometric equation? KH I am somewhat uncertain about precisely what you are saying ... UNDERNEATH what? A constant pressure surface? A constant height surface? Apparently, you mean beneath whatever altitude where the temperature is higher than that in the standard atmosphere. Expansion of the air associated with diabatic warming certainly increases the volume of the air, but that also means a reduction in its density (mass per unit volume). Expansion, in effect, means a net loss of mass in the atmospheric column, corresponding to a pressure reduction. The relevant equation is the pressure tendency equation, not the hypsometric equation. The hypsometric equation describes the change in THICKNESS between pressure surfaces as a result of changes in the mean temperature in the layer between isobaric surfaces ... but it does not say HOW that thickness change occurs ... i.e., whether or not the upper (or lower) surface goes up (or down). The hypsometric equation only describes the net change in the thickness, so both upper and lower pressure surfaces could go up (OR down), provided the resulting change in thickness is consistent with the hypsometric equation. Chuck Doswell -- Dr. Charles A. Doswell III NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, Oklahoma 73069 phone: (405) 366-0439 fax: (405) 366-0472 WWW home page: Standard disclaimer ... my views are my own, so don't blame my employer. Is it a snake? Or is it a tire? ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 21 Aug 1997 15:19:49 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: More on new radios ** ABUS34 KFTW 211727 *** PNSFTW PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 1225 PM CDT THU AUG 21 1997 ...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NOW BROADCASTING SEVERE WEATHER WARNINGS FOR MORE SPECIFIC GEOGRAPHIC AREAS... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANNOUNCED TODAY AN IMPROVEMENT TO ITS SERVICE OF BROADCASTING SEVERE WEATHER WARNINGS TO THE PUBLIC THROUGH ITS NETWORK OF NOAA WEATHER RADIO TRANSMITTERS. A NEW GENERATION OF WEATHER RADIO RECEIVERS...USING NWS-DEVELOPED TECHNOLOGY...WILL ENABLE LISTENERS TO SCREEN OUT WEATHER ALARMS THAT DO NOT APPLY TO THEM. "WE WANT TO REDUCE THE 'BOY WHO CRIED WOLF' SYNDROME BY TARGETING OUR ALARMS FOR SPECIFIC SEGMENTS OF THE LISTENING AREA..." SAID LOUIS J. BOEZI...NWS DEPUTY DIRECTOR FOR MODERNIZATION. "THIS NEW WARNING PROCEDURE IS A BREAKTHROUGH BECAUSE IT LETS NOAA WEATHER RADIO LISTENERS SCREEN OUT THE SEVERE WEATHER ALARMS THEY DON'T WANT TO HEAR. IF LISTENERS ARE AWAKENED AT 3 A.M. FOR A SEVERE WEATHER WARNING 75 MILES AWAY...THEY MAY EVENTUALLY TUNE OUT ALL TOGETHER. WE DON'T WANT THAT TO HAPPEN." NOAA WEATHER RADIO...THE "VOICE OF THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE..." BROADCASTS OFFICIAL NWS WARNINGS AND HAZARD INFORMATION AND LOCAL FORECASTS 24 HOURS A DAY OVER A GROWING NATIONAL NETWORK OF MORE THAN 450 TRANSMITTERS. ROUTINE FORECAST INFORMATION IS UPDATED EVERY ONE TO THREE HOURS...AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO BROADCASTS ARE REPEATED ABOUT EVERY FIVE MINUTES. DURING AN EMERGENCY...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTERS INTERRUPT LOCAL NOAA WEATHER RADIO PROGRAMMING AND SEND OUT AN ALARM TONE THAT ACTIVATES NOAA WEATHER RADIO RECEIVERS WITHIN THE ENTIRE LISTENING AREA. SINCE TRANSMITTERS TYPICALLY REACH PEOPLE WITHIN A RANGE OF HUNDREDS OF SQUARE MILES...TECHNICAL LIMITATIONS HAVE LED TO THE APPEARANCE OF "OVERWARNING" FOR SOME SEVERE WEATHER EVENTS. BOEZI SAID A NEW GENERATION OF NOAA WEATHER RADIO RECEIVERS HAVE A SPECIFIC AREA MESSAGE ENCODING (SAME) FEATURE THAT ALLOWS CONSUMERS TO CHOOSE ONLY THE OFFICIAL NWS WATCHES AND WARNINGS THEY WANT. OLDER NOAA WEATHER RADIO RECEIVERS CONTINUE TO WORK... BUT THESE OLDER RECEIVERS DO NOT ALLOW LISTENERS TO SCREEN OUT WEATHER SERVICE ALARMS FOR INDIVIDUAL COUNTIES. BOEZI PRAISED THE EFFORTS OF THE CONSUMER ELECTRONICS INDUSTRY TO BRING THESE NEW NOAA WEATHER RADIO RECEIVERS TO THE MARKETPLACE. "WE HOPE THAT MANUFACTURERS WILL DEVELOP NEW CAR RADIOS AND CITIZEN BAND RADIOS CAPABLE OF PICKING UP SAME-CODED ALERTS..." SAID BOEZI. "SINCE THE SAME CODES ARE FULLY COMPATIBLE WITH THE FEDERAL COMMUNICATIONS COMMISSION'S EMERGENCY ALERT SYSTEM...WE ALSO HOPE SOMEDAY SOON TO SEE NEW TELEVISION SETS...PAGERS... CELLULAR PHONES AND OTHER ELECTRONIC DEVICES CAPABLE OF RECEIVING SAME-CODED ALERTS. THERE'S A HUGE MARKET OUT THERE FOR DEVICES THAT CAN BE PRE-SET TO RECEIVE LOCALLY-BROADCAST HAZARD WARNINGS AND ALERT PEOPLE ANY TIME OF THE DAY OR NIGHT WHEN THEY MAY ONLY HAVE MINUTES TO REACT." THE FIRST BRAND OF THE NEW SAME-CAPABLE RECEIVER IS SOLD BY RADIO SHACK...AND OTHER BRANDS OF RECEIVERS WITH THE SAME FEATURE ARE EXPECTED TO BE SOLD BY ELECTRONICS MANUFACTURERS LATER THIS YEAR. FOLLOWING A TORNADO THAT KILLED MORE THAN 20 PEOPLE IN A RURAL ALABAMA CHURCH ON PALM SUNDAY IN 1994...VICE PRESIDENT AL GORE SET A GOAL TO MAKE NOAA WEATHER RADIO RECEIVERS AS COMMON AS SMOKE DETECTORS IN AMERICAN HOMES AND TO EXTEND THE COVERAGE PROVIDED BY THE NOAA WEATHER RADIO TRANSMITTER NETWORK TO 95 PERCENT OF THE UNITED STATES. SINCE THE GORE NOAA WEATHER RADIO INITIATIVE BEGAN...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND OTHER MEMBERS OF THE GORE TASK FORCE HAVE BEEN ACTIVELY PROMOTING PUBLIC/PRIVATE SECTOR PARTNERSHIPS TO PROVIDE THE NEEDED RESOURCES. MORE THAN 50 NEW WEATHER RADIO TRANSMITTERS HAVE BEEN INSTALLED SINCE 1994 THROUGH GRASS ROOTS PARTNERSHIPS COMBINING RESOURCES OF PRIVATE ENTERPRISES... ASSOCIATIONS...AND LOCAL...STATE AND FEDERAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ARKWRIGHT MUTUAL INSURANCE CO. ANNOUNCED THIS WEEK THAT IT IS INVESTING $1.2 MILLION TO INSTALL 10000 RECEIVERS INTO ITS CUSTOMERS' FACILITIES FOR NO CHARGE. THIS WILL BE THE LARGEST PRIVATE INVESTMENT IN THE NOAA WEATHER RADIO NETWORK AND WILL EXTEND THE SERVICE INTO A WIDE RANGE OF COMPANIES AND ORGANIZATIONS NATIONWIDE. BROADCAST RANGE FROM MOST WEATHER RADIO TRANSMITTERS IS APPROXIMATELY 40 MILES. THE EFFECTIVE RANGE DEPENDS ON TERRAIN...QUALITY OF THE RECEIVER...AND INDOOR/OUTDOOR ANTENNAS. BEFORE BUYING ANY NOAA WEATHER RADIO RECEIVER...CONSUMERS SHOULD MAKE SURE THEIR AREA IS COVERED BY ONE OF THE TRANSMITTERS. REPORTERS SEEKING MORE INFORMATION ON NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER ASPECTS OF THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ARE INVITED TO VISIT THE NWS PUBLIC AFFAIRS WEBSITE AT: HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/PA ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 21 Aug 1997 15:12:56 -0500 From: "Paul L. Sirvatka" Subject: Re: Why does pressure not follow diurnal temperature variations? On Thu, 21 Aug 1997, Chuck Doswell wrote: (Deletia) > > Expansion of the air associated with diabatic warming certainly increases > the volume of the air, but that also means a reduction in its density > (mass per unit volume). Expansion, in effect, means a net loss of mass in > the atmospheric column, corresponding to a pressure reduction. The > relevant equation is the pressure tendency equation, not the hypsometric > equation. > Leave it to Chuck to get you thinking...for that I am truly grateful! I have a question with your above statement. You state that there is a net loss of mass in the atmospheric column. Where does that go? We would need net divergence in the atmospheric column in order to see a pressure fall. Obviously, we could look at the PBL to be heated, forcing the air above the expanded layer to rise. Over what space scales will the evacuation of air take place? Will there be direct circulations from regions of greatest heating to areas where heating is less? Is the pressure maximum in the morning a result of air transported from areas where the sun has been up the longest? Are there waves that are associated with these diurnal circulations? I am not sure if I making these statements clearly, but I trus there can be decent repsponses anyway. Paul ****************************************************************************** * Paul L. Sirvatka | Office: (630) 942-2118; Lab: (630) 942-2590 * * Professor of Meteorology | COD Weather Lab: (630)-858-0032 * * College of DuPage | Address: 425 22nd St. Glen Ellyn, IL 60137 * ****************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 21 Aug 1997 14:25:43 -0600 From: William Kucharski Subject: Re: More on new radios >THE FIRST BRAND OF THE NEW SAME-CAPABLE RECEIVER IS SOLD BY RADIO >SHACK...AND OTHER BRANDS OF RECEIVERS WITH THE SAME FEATURE ARE >EXPECTED TO BE SOLD BY ELECTRONICS MANUFACTURERS LATER THIS YEAR. This is wonderful in theory, but no RS I've called either has or has seen the new radios yet and they do NOT know when they might be in (one manager said he "saw a memo on them.") Perhaps the SAME radios will be bundled with their weather station. ;-) ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 21 Aug 1997 15:37:33 -0500 From: Gayland Kitch Subject: Re: More on new radios William Kucharski wrote... > This is wonderful in theory, but no RS I've called either has or has seen the > new radios yet and they do NOT know when they might be in (one manager said he > "saw a memo on them.") As of this afternoon, our local RS knew nothing, either...BUT...did they find it listed in their new store catalog. Price listed was $79.99. The clerk I talked to said that they couldn't even order it yet. He's supposed to call me when he can, or accidentally gets one in. ;-) Gayland Kitch Emergency Manager The City of Moore, Oklahoma 405 793-5062 ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 21 Aug 1997 14:38:15 -0700 From: William Kucharski Subject: RS SAME Radio Sorry for the multiple cross-post, but this seems to apply to all three groups equally. The new Radio Shack SAME weather radio is not yet available, despite what NWS was told, but it IS listed in their 1998 catalog. Details: >From the photo, it has a scrolling LCD panel on the front of the radio that tells what the message in question is, a nine-key keypad for programming, and three selectable alert levels - Warning, Watch/Warning, and Statement/Watch/Warning. From what the text describes, when the alert sounds the reason for the alert will be displayed on the LCD and you can press the button to turn on the radio to get more info. It of course receives 162.400, 162.425, 162.450, 162.475, 162.500, 162.525 and 162.550 MHz, has battery backup, and a (hurray!) external antenna jack. I'll certainly be getting one - item #12-249, $79.99. William Kucharski kucharsk@netcom.com N0OKQ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 21 Aug 1997 17:47:23 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Re: More on new radios I spoke with the Senior buyer for Weather Radio products at Tandy today. He said the weather radios are in the warehouses and should be in stores within one to two weeks. When I called my local store they said they have ordered only one (1) unit. When I asked why they said "we typically only order one of something new to see whether it's worth buying". I placed my dibbs on the first unit they receive and hope to make a good TV news story out of it. I'm hoping I can produce something that will make the national ABC feed but considering it may take as long as two weeks for me to get my hands on a new weather radio I imagine another station (probably in Ft. Worth) will beat me to the punch. I'm looking forward to owning a new weather radio. Since we don't get severe weather here in Carbondale, Illinois anymore the new radio will allow me get sleep at night when NWS PAH is issuing warnings for people 100 miles away at 3 in the morning. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 21 Aug 1997 17:49:01 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Re: More on new radios Rob Dale posted the following... >** ABUS34 KFTW 211727 *** >PNSFTW > >PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT (snip) >REPORTERS SEEKING MORE INFORMATION ON NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER >ASPECTS OF THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ARE INVITED TO VISIT THE >NWS PUBLIC AFFAIRS WEBSITE AT: > > HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/PA The correct URL requires the "pa" to be in lower case letters. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 20 Aug 1997 to 21 Aug 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102632-19025>; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 13:36:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA265490; Sat, 23 Aug 1997 00:26:21 -0500 Message-Id: <199708230526.AAA265490@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 23 Aug 1997 00:00:18 +1900 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 21 Aug 1997 to 22 Aug 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: a67e2023f3e65a60f32738ba2037047c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 15673 Status: OR There are 6 messages totalling 300 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. ICWF...my opinions... (2) 2. COD web site news and new products! 3. western Pacific tropical cyclone names 4. More on RS SAME WX Radio (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 22 Aug 1997 02:52:31 -0500 From: Mark Plate Subject: ICWF...my opinions... I guess I'd best say this, although it should be fairly obvious, but the following are my opinions only and are not necessarily shared by anyone else including my employer. OK I have heard a couple "rumors" the past few days about what may come about as a result of this in-depth evaluation of the NWS that is currently taking place. Because they are only rumors, I'm not going to repeat them here, but if they are true (especially one of them), then everyone will feel the effects and it will be a sad day indeed for many of us. Time will tell if what I've heard is true, and if it is, I'm sure you'll hear more from me then! :) Now on to my opinions about other things taking place in the NWS at the moment. Part of the NWS modernization consists of implementation of the Interactive Computer Worded Forecast (here-to-after referred to as ICWF). The ICWF has been tested at a couple sites for the past several years, and many improvements have been made in it since the testing began. For those of you unfamiliar with the ICWF, I'll explain a bit about it. NGM MOS guidance is ingested into the ICWF. The forecaster then goes into either gridded fields or zone matrices or a combination of the two and edits the fields until he/she feels the forecast is accurate. The program then automatically generates the zones, extended forecast, and coded cities forecast, along with a new product...the revised digital forecast...which provides forecast details for each zone at 3 hour intervals. In theory, use of the ICWF is supposed to make life easier for forecasters and ease the workload...no more tedious typing of products. In addition, forecasts will also be much more detailed and individual zone groupings will be smaller since the forecaster won't have to do all that typing...the program does it for him. So if you see 24 zone groupings from me again in the future, you'll know why... :) Ahhhhhhh, but reality can sometimes be far different than theory. In a midsummer heat wave with a massive ridge over the center of the country, yes the ICWF can indeed work as intended. But keep in mind that what we are doing with the ICWF is modifying guidance. So what happens when the NGM doesn't have a clue, and the NGM MOS guidance is way out of whack, such as when the arctic fronts come barreling south in the winter? ICWF has an answer though...the forecast can be initialized with the previous forecast. OK so this may help to some degree, but let's say we've got a mix of all types of weather from snow to ice to severe thunderstorms across our forecast area, or even across one zone (this happens in Oklahoma!). This is when ICWF becomes a nightmare. Already here in midsummer we are having some big problems in getting the program to word the forecast as we desire. In fact, we are forced to adjust the 3-hourly data away from what we actually foresee just to make the zones read the way they should. All these adjustments are taking far more time than we used to spend in just typing the products out. It will only get worse come winter no doubt. Now I am sure improvements will continue to be made in the program, but I cannot see this program ever saving me time over typing the zones manually. And if the 3-hourly data ever becomes "official", well...may as well forget looking at meteorological data for the forecast...too much time will be needed "adjusting guidance". But I'm sure you can all see why this is one of the "pet projects" of NWS management. Because in their minds, MOS guidance is gospel. The MOScasters in the NWS will also love this program...they can whip out their whole forecast package in 5 minutes! But to us true forecasters, we all see the ICWF as the first step towards something else. No matter how bad we say the ICWF is, NWS management will be sure its implementation continues...it will be forced upon us just like ASOS was (don't even get me started here!). They will continue proclaiming how great the ICWF is and how much of a timesaver it is. Like I said, this is true for MOScasters, but it is and never will be a timesaver for FOREcasters. Then as the NWS budget problems continue a few years down the road, I envision this to be the start of their reasoning to cutback the number of forecasters at each WFO. They will claim that ICWF can write the forecasts...there's no need for as many forecasters. Eventually perhaps, forecasters per se will no longer exist in the NWS and each WFO will be staffed by about 5 people who will issue warnings, statements, etc. ICWF will issue the public forecast products, using solely MOS guidance. Now this may sound far-fetched to some, but think about it for a minute. Look at what has taken place in the NWS the past few years and look at what this ICWF is based on. They are trying to ween forecasters away from forecasting the weather and towards only "adjusting guidance". Is this the right direction to go? In my opinion, no it is not! When I first learned how to forecast, I rarely ever looked at guidance...it was the last thing I looked at AFTER I made my forecast just to compare with. Now guidance is supposed to be the starting point...what is wrong with this picture?!?!?! Is this really a wise usage of NWS funds? In my opinion, the money being spent on ICWF could be far better spent in many other ways. First of all, how about bringing field offices up to their designed staffing levels! The North Webster, IN radar is scheduled to be accepted August 26th...now if only there were people there to operate it! Is this fulfilling the NWS mission to those people who are to be served by this radar? Apparently, the pie-in-the-sky management folks feel the ICWF is more important...hmmmmmmmmmmm... Another area where funds would be more appropriately spent could be in model development. At least in this part of the country, the ECMWF model is far superior to any other, and I use it almost exclusively in the cold season when preparing extended forecasts. Now though I cannot see as much of this model as previously due to the restrictions placed on it. Why can't we come up with a model as good as this one? The ETA and MESO-ETA are comparable, but only go out to 48 and 33 hours respectively. The U.S. needs a better medium range model than the MRF. Well I guess I'll get off my soapbox now...I know I've probably pissed some people off here, but I believe I am entitled to my opinions, and I'm not one to keep my opinions to myself, as certain others can attest to... :) On a different subject, it was nice to see a few supercells earlier in the evening up in WRN KS/SW NE...saw a 97 VIL at one time from the KDDC 88-D. System has evolved into an MCS now and the leading squall line is approaching Ponca City, OK now...looks like our wet and cool August here in Tulsa is going to continue...and looks like another night to be awakened by Mother Nature! :) Take care all... Mark ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 22 Aug 1997 08:43:55 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: ICWF...my opinions... On Friday, August 22, 1997 3:53 AM, Mark Plate [SMTP:mep@ionet.net] wrote: > Ahhhhhhh, but reality can sometimes be far different than theory. In a > midsummer heat wave with a massive ridge over the center of the country, yes > the ICWF can indeed work as intended. But keep in mind that what we are > doing with the ICWF is modifying guidance. So what happens when the NGM > doesn't have a clue, and the NGM MOS guidance is way out of whack, such as > when the arctic fronts come barreling south in the winter? > > ICWF has an answer though...the forecast can be initialized with the > previous forecast. OK so this may help to some degree, but let's say we've > got a mix of all types of weather from snow to ice to severe thunderstorms > across our forecast area, or even across one zone (this happens in > Oklahoma!). This is when ICWF becomes a nightmare. Already here in midsummer > we are having some big problems in getting the program to word the forecast > as we desire. In fact, we are forced to adjust the 3-hourly data away from > what we actually foresee just to make the zones read the way they should. I wrote a little script to take the NGM MOS data for one site and generate a forecast, letting the user modify the MOS text to change wording, and it worked out fairly nice to generate something quite rapidly. It wasn't hard at all to go through and modify the numbers to whatever I came up with -- sometimes you wouldn't recognize my input if you had seen NGM! But that was for one point location only, not a wide area, and I see the problem you are describing... Now that MesoETA "MOS" is available for first guess ICWF fields, have things changed any? Or is it too new to have been evaluated? I've been ingesting it into PCGridds and for my area I haven't seen any output _too_ out of the ordinary... Rob ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 22 Aug 1997 11:10:30 -0500 From: Dana Quinn Subject: COD web site news and new products! [This turned into a book, sorry it's kinda long.] Hey folks- I just wanted to sorta put the word out that things are working pretty well again at the College of DuPage web site. We recovered from most of our computer problems last friday, but then early this week the school had problems with power distribution, which put the school's network connections down! So, we've been off the air a bit more than I would have liked over the last two weeks. Anyway, we're back now, and I wanted to sort of "announce" a couple of newish products we have hanging out on the site now. On our SPC products page (http://kamala.cod.edu/spc/) I put up a new graphic that displays current watches. It's kind of rough, but it does the job. Ummm, the direct URL for the graphic is http://kamala.cod.edu/spc/watches.gif Also, this one's not so new, we've had it up since late spring, but I've never gotten around to talking about it, and I don't think most people have gotten a chance to see it (since the link to this set of pages is sorta buried). It might be useful to some people, so I thought I'd mention it. Anyway, "it" is a page of forecast soundings. In a way, it's a companion to Gilbert's Storm Machine (off the SCH). With the Storm Machine, you can easily do fcst soundings for a specific place, you just type in an ID (like DFW, or wherever). We did things a little differently. We divided the plains up into a grid, (every 2 degrees lat and lon) and did fcst soundings at the center of each grid. For now, we're doing ETA and RUC soundings, with validtimes of 18 and 24Z for Day1 and Day2, and RUC vt's of 18,21,24Z. Anyway, the thing this set of pages is nice for is flipping back and forth between different soundings; different fcst times, different models, and so forth. Also, you don't have to wait for the server to generate the graphic, like you have to do on the Storm Machine. Of course, with our page you give up the control of picking the exact spot where you want the sounding to be. So, this set of pages is anchored at http://kamala.cod.edu/fsound/ , so give it a try, if you're so inclined. One caveat: it takes a while to generate all these soundings, so we weren't able to do the whole country. We're definitely "plains-centric". We just gridded the areas where we're likely to chase, and the area around where we are (and are therefore unlikely to chase, it seems). Later this year we'll actually tighten the grid up (maybe every 1 degree of lat/lon?), because it's maybe just a bit too loose right now. Comments are always welcome... Dana Quinn -- dana@weather.cod.edu webmaster, sys admin, for the COD Nexlab (http://weather.cod.edu/) +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Dana Quinn + dana@weather.cod.edu it's now or never- + linux-type guy too close to the latter +College of DuPage Wx Lab -Son Volt + +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 22 Aug 1997 10:30:39 -0700 From: "Shawn M. Trueman" Subject: western Pacific tropical cyclone names Why don't tropical cyclones in the western North Pacific have Oriental names? It is strange to hear of a typhoon named Winnie hitting China. What organization makes the list of names for tropical cyclones? Shawn Trueman ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 22 Aug 1997 12:14:51 -0700 From: William Kucharski Subject: More on RS SAME WX Radio Just a quick message to correct some misinformation I propogated yesterday as to the capabilities of the RS SAME radio, as told to me by a RS mgr who's had a chance to play with one for a few seconds: The LCD text message does NOT scroll, and the warning level is not selectable. Rather, when a message is sent the type of message is displayed in the LCD window and the appropriate light lights. (So if a Tornado Warning were issued, when you went to the radio the display would read "TORNADO" and the "Warning" LED would be lit.) The nice thing about this is that currently if you are away from the radio and the alarm sounds, you have to wait to find out why (or if it went off while you were away); now it appears you will be able to see at a glance why an alert was issued and decide whether you want to hit the weather bar to hear the alert when it is rebroadcast. Personally, I'd like one of the cool cable company models that records the voice message, but I suspect they'd run a bit more than $79.99... William Kucharski kucharsk@netcom.com N0OKQ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 22 Aug 1997 14:38:34 -0500 From: "Jeremy Charles (N9VHT)" Subject: Re: More on RS SAME WX Radio On Fri, 22 Aug 1997, William Kucharski wrote: > The LCD text message does NOT scroll, and the warning level is not > selectable. Rather, when a message is sent the type of message is > displayed in the LCD window and the appropriate light lights. (So if > a Tornado Warning were issued, when you went to the radio the display > would read "TORNADO" and the "Warning" LED would be lit.) Any idea on how it handles multiple alerts coming in while you're away? For example, if a tornado warning comes in followed by a severe thunderstorm watch, what will I see on the display when I return? -Jeremy C. (N9VHT) Madison Area Repeater Association Vice President & Swapfest '98 Coordinator n9vht@skywarn.cs.wisc.edu Online SKYWARN logging: http://www.cs.wisc.edu/~jeremyc/skylog/ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 21 Aug 1997 to 22 Aug 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Aug 25 09:44:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30785-20155>; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 13:09:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA02676; Sun, 24 Aug 1997 00:05:45 -0500 Message-Id: <199708240505.AAA02676@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 24 Aug 1997 00:01:27 +1900 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 22 Aug 1997 to 23 Aug 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 99bc1433d0ec9464c5850ea89bc6a788 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 14235 Status: OR There are 13 messages totalling 347 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 21 Aug 1997 to 22 Aug 1997 (2) 2. RS Weather Station Finally arrives 3. Hurricane Question (3) 4. COD web site news and new products! 5. TV Met Job Available 6. TC (3) 7. Relative Humidity from Temp and Dewpoint? 8. Animated Ground Level Ozone Concentration Maps for East Coast +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 23 Aug 1997 15:08:44 +0900 From: Tokio Kikuchi Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 21 Aug 1997 to 22 Aug 1997 > > Date: Fri, 22 Aug 1997 10:30:39 -0700 > From: "Shawn M. Trueman" > Subject: western Pacific tropical cyclone names > > Why don't tropical cyclones in the western North Pacific have Oriental > names? It is strange to hear of a typhoon named Winnie hitting China. > What organization makes the list of names for tropical cyclones? > > > Shawn Trueman > Because no Orientals are involved in the naming process. Winnie is called "Typhoon 9715" or "Taifu 15-gou" here in Japan, becasue it is Number 15 typhoon in 1997. # If you are looking for typhoon formation in Western Pacific, # check it out at . --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tokio Kikuchi, (tkikuchi@is.kochi-u.ac.jp) Telephone:+81.888.44.8336 Dept of Information Science Fax:+81.888.44.8361 Faculty of Science, Kochi University, 2-5-1 Akebono-cho, Kochi 780, Japan --------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 22 Aug 1997 17:38:22 -0500 From: Michael Simkowitz Subject: RS Weather Station Finally arrives It was there in the flesh at the local RS. $299 for full set:wind speed and direction temp, barometer (humidity? I don't know) but a 30 foot limit on the sensor wire. Mike ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 23 Aug 1997 08:30:36 -0400 From: Kevin Heyboer Subject: Hurricane Question This question is for the researchers and academics on the list: I can't help but notice that Tropical Cyclone activity dropped to nearly nothing at about the same time as the volanco on Monsserat erupted....is there any correlation between these two events or is it simply a coincidence? -- *********************************************************************** Kevin Heyboer E-Mail: kd4uyr@gte.net Amateur Radio Call: KD4UYR Packet Mail:KD4UYR@W4DPH.#TPA.FL.US Coordinator, Pinellas (St. Petersburg/Clearwater) SKYWARN Assistant Emergency Coordinator for Amateur Radio Emergency Service *********************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 23 Aug 1997 09:34:54 -0500 From: "Jeremy Charles (N9VHT)" Subject: Re: COD web site news and new products! I was checking out the COD web site's upper air plots (thanks for the pointer, Dana!).. looks good! One question.. Is there any help posted anywhere for what the numbers on the maps mean? It may be apparent to a lot of people, but I'm still quite new at interpreting all of this data. An example of an image that I'm curious about is at: http://weather.cod.edu/wx/public/mcimages/upper/u500.gif Thanks in advance for any help. -Jeremy C. (N9VHT) Madison Area Repeater Association Vice President & Swapfest '98 Coordinator n9vht@skywarn.cs.wisc.edu Online SKYWARN logging: http://www.cs.wisc.edu/~jeremyc/skylog/ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 23 Aug 1997 11:44:35 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available METEOROLOGIST (WCCO-TV Minneapolis) Opening for prime-time meteorologist remains open as we continue our search. Previous applicants need not re-apply. Candidate must be excellent forecaster, personable, explains average weather days in an interesting way, and be a good teammate to the largest weather staff in the Twin Cities. Send non-returnable tape to Ted Canova, News Director, WCCO-TV, 90 S. 11th St., Minneapolis, MN. 55403 *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 23 Aug 1997 13:09:40 -0400 From: Rob Porter Subject: Re: Hurricane Question On Sat, 23 Aug 1997, Kevin Heyboer wrote: > I can't help but notice that Tropical Cyclone activity dropped to nearly > nothing at about the same time as the volanco on Monsserat erupted....is > there any correlation between these two events or is it simply a > coincidence? Or could the drop be related to the strong El Nino? I'm afraid I don't have an answer...but I have been curious as well. Rob Porter ----------------------------------- Rob Porter http://badger.ac.brocku.ca/~rp94an/ rp94an@badger.ac.brocku.ca porter@freenet.npiec.on.ca ----------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 23 Aug 1997 12:08:53 -0700 From: A Lieberman Subject: TC What does TC in the REMARKS mean in the following observations? > CITY SKY/WX TEMP DEWPT RH WIND PRES REMARKS > MANSFIELD SUNNY 65 50 58 NW10 30.16 TC 18 > YOUNGSTOWN PTSUNNY 67 52 59 NW15G21 30.10 TC 19 I always thought "Towering Cumulus" but when I looked at the sattellite image and outside, there wasn't a cumulus cloud (much less towering) to be seen..... Tx Allen -- http://www.bright.net/~lieberma/ Come visit my homepage!!! Any unsolicited COMMERCIAL Email will be replied with a complaint to the postmaster of the sender! ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 23 Aug 1997 13:32:50 -0600 From: "Kevin J. Schrab" Subject: Re: TC A Lieberman wrote: > > What does TC in the REMARKS mean in the following observations? > > > CITY SKY/WX TEMP DEWPT RH WIND PRES REMARKS > > MANSFIELD SUNNY 65 50 58 NW10 30.16 TC 18 > > YOUNGSTOWN PTSUNNY 67 52 59 NW15G21 30.10 TC 19 > > I always thought "Towering Cumulus" but when I looked at the sattellite > image and outside, there wasn't a cumulus cloud (much less towering) to > be seen..... > > Tx > > Allen Temperature Celsius -- Kevin J. Schrab kjs@aros.net ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 23 Aug 1997 15:45:06 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: TC >I always thought "Towering Cumulus" but when I looked at the sattellite >image and outside, there wasn't a cumulus cloud (much less towering) to >be seen..... I replied on USENET but haven't seen it.... TC = Temperature in Celcius. Rob ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 23 Aug 1997 16:27:44 -0400 From: Carl Morgan Subject: Relative Humidity from Temp and Dewpoint? I know there is probably a simple answer to this question, and it's probably been on here before, but here goes... I'm looking for a formula that allows the relative humidity to be calculated from the temperature and dewpoint. I found the following... RH=exp[0.073(D-T)], where D is dewpoint and T is temperature, in C, however it doesn't yield the same value for relative humidity that I get from a psychrometric calculator or from ASOS, or from other programs. Does anyone know a better formula, and why this one isn't working? This formula produces a RH which is 5 to 7 percent below values calculated by other means. Thanks ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 23 Aug 1997 13:09:37 -0400 From: Dan Salkovitz Subject: Animated Ground Level Ozone Concentration Maps for East Coast Animated ground level ozone concentration maps for the East Coast from NC to ME are available at http://www.epa.gov/region01/eco/dailyozone/ozone_animation.html. The maps are updated twice a day, through 3:00PM and 8:00PM EDT. ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 23 Aug 1997 20:24:16 GMT From: Bill Gross Subject: Re: Hurricane Question Kevin Heyboer wrote: [. . .] >there any correlation between these two events or is it simply a >coincidence? Two entirely different phenomenon. Though if Monseratt did go like Pinatubo in the Philippines in the long run it _could_ affect tropical storm development, from a climatological point of view. ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 23 Aug 1997 10:54:58 -0600 From: "Paul E. Pettit" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 21 Aug 1997 to 22 Aug 1997 Mark Platt wrote: >But I'm sure you can all see why this is one of the "pet projects" of NWS >management. Because in their minds, MOS guidance is gospel. The MOScasters >in the NWS will also love this program...they can whip out their whole >forecast package in 5 minutes! But to us true forecasters, we all see the >ICWF as the first step towards something else. You are right on target! About a month ago, I stopped in at Birmingham and was talking to my old boss Gary Petti. I suggested (no actually implied that) before long someone would figure out that you do not need a GS-13 to make a forecast using guidance when it could be done with lesser paid personnel. Or in this case by a machine. If NWS forecasters can not show significant improvement over guidance then eventually higher graded forecasters would disappear from the scene. Now before all of you forecasters jump me..let me make myself clear... true guidance does not handle meso scale situations very well (if at all) and larger scale significant events sometimes as well, so modifications must be made by humans. However, the NWS is not interested in this fact. A certain percentage of missed forecasts is acceptable if budget savings are in order. Think about it! What did they say about NEXRAD...bells and whistles...no sweat..warnings out by a machine. Did not happen, but are WSFOS fully staffed to handle these beautiful machines. The answer seems to be no from what posts to this newsgroup suggests. > >No matter how bad we say the ICWF is, NWS management will be sure its >implementation continues...it will be forced upon us just like ASOS was >(don't even get me started here!). They will continue proclaiming how great >the ICWF is and how much of a timesaver it is. Like I said, this is true for >MOScasters, but it is and never will be a timesaver for FOREcasters. Then as >the NWS budget problems continue a few years down the road, I envision this >to be the start of their reasoning to cutback the number of forecasters at >each WFO. They will claim that ICWF can write the forecasts...there's no >need for as many forecasters. Eventually perhaps, forecasters per se will no >longer exist in the NWS and each WFO will be staffed by about 5 people who >will issue warnings, statements, etc. ICWF will issue the public forecast >products, using solely MOS guidance. As I said right on target Mark! (Probably less than 10 years away) > >Now this may sound far-fetched to some, but think about it for a minute. >Look at what has taken place in the NWS the past few years and look at what >this ICWF is based on. They are trying to ween forecasters away from >forecasting the weather and towards only "adjusting guidance". Some forecasters have bit line and sinker using guidance and very little initiative and the result will be what you see. I doubt that overall statistics will show enough nationwide improvement over guidance to put up a good argument against ICWF in the future. Note: I said some forecasters not all of them. >Well I guess I'll get off my soapbox now...I know I've probably pissed some >people off here, but I believe I am entitled to my opinions, and I'm not one >to keep my opinions to myself, as certain others can attest to... :) Mark, is only saying it like it is. So am I. As I have said many times before (this will make some people mad I'm sure)... when you take away local services...move them to some new site...unaccessable to the public (in some cases you can't even find the NWS office)...shut off public telephones...throw away all local records and send customers to NCDC for simple climate requests...make excuses for botched forecasts or warnings...the end result is the demise of the NWS from one of the most visible agencies to one that is fighting for it's existance. (After Kelly gets through with his report things may get even worse). The shift to private meteorological services by the public and industry is the result and is increasing daily. Now all you people can have at me! I have been wrong before. But one thing that I was not wrong about was the effects that modernization would have on the NWS with the closing of local offices, NEXRAD capabilities, and a few other things. Remember down the road after I am gone (it may happen before that) that I was right on this one too! "NWS becomes data collection agency with few mets remaining to issue warnings because privates don't want the liability. My prediction made before I retired in 1992". Paul E. Pettit Weather Consulting http://meteorology.miningco.com http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 22 Aug 1997 to 23 Aug 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Aug 25 13:13:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <30957-10285>; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 13:14:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA02728; Mon, 25 Aug 1997 00:08:36 -0500 Message-Id: <199708250508.AAA02728@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 25 Aug 1997 00:04:16 +1900 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 23 Aug 1997 to 24 Aug 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: d37b7787b98d15e2884f638a9fa100eb X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 9762 Status: OR There are 4 messages totalling 223 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Rel Humidity from Temp and Dew Point 2. NWS Family of Services message (fwd) (2) 3. Great Lakes Wrkshop Update +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 24 Aug 1997 11:19:35 EDT From: "Steven M. Babin" Subject: Re: Rel Humidity from Temp and Dew Point Carl, I had not seen that formula before so I cannot comment on it. However, here is a formula derived by Bosen in 1958 that I found in Hydrology by Bras (page 86): r = 100 [ (112 - 0.1T + Td)/(112 + 0.9T)]^8 The caret means raised to the eighth power. The temperature T and dew point Td are in deg C and r is relative humidity in percent. Note that this formula provides an approximation to relative humidity. Bosen's article appeared in Monthly Weather Review, Vol. 86, No. 12, page 486, 1958. Hope that helps, Steve -- _____________________________________________________________________ / FROM: Steven Babin, MD, PhD Internet: Steven.Babin@jhuapl.edu \ | Office phone: (301)-953-6704 | | Office phone: (410)-792-6704 | | WWW Home page at: | | http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/people/babin/babin.html | | Office address: Ocean Remote Sensing Group | | The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab | | Johns Hopkins Road | | Laurel, MD 20723-6099 | | AD IN THE LONDON TIMES, 1907: | | Men wanted for hazardous journey. Small wages, bitter cold, long | | months of complete darkness, constant danger, safe return doubtful. | | Honour and recognition in case of success. | \ --Sir Ernest Shackleton / <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><>< ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 24 Aug 1997 21:31:24 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: NWS Family of Services message (fwd) PNSWSH PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS WASHINGTON DC 1240 PM EDT FRI AUG 22 1997 ATTENTION: ALL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE (NWS) OFFICES/ FAMILY OF SERVICES SUBSCRIBERS / NOAA WEATHER WIRE SERVICE SUBSCRIBERS / OTHER NWS PRODUCT USERS SUBJECT: NEXRAD COMMISSIONING NOTICE... WESTERN ARKANSAS ... ..... NOTICE ..... ANOTHER MILESTONE IN THE DOPPLER... WEATHER SURVEILLANCE RADAR... (WSR-88D) PROGRAM WILL BE REACHED ON AUG 22... 1997... WHEN THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE (NWS) COMMISSIONS THE WSR-88D RADAR FOR WESTERN ARKANSAS (RADAR IDENTIFIER - SRX). THIS WILL BRING THE TOTAL OF COMMISSIONED NWS WSR-88D RADARS TO 118. COMMISSIONING MEANS THAT THESE RADARS ARE NOW ISSUING PRODUCTS... SUCH AS THE RADAR OBSERVATION (ROB) MESSAGE... IN AN OFFICIAL CAPACITY. ALSO... PRODUCTS FROM THE NEXRAD INFORMATION DISSEMINATION SERVICE WILL NO LONGER HAVE AN EXPERIMENTAL OR TEST MESSAGE APPENDED TO THEM. PERSONS WISHING MORE INFORMATION CONCERNING THE WSR-88D SHOULD CONTACT THEIR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE OR CALL 301 713-0070. END --------------------------------------------------------------- P.S. Anyone have the updated lat/lon info for this site? Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 24 Aug 1997 22:47:27 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: NWS Family of Services message (fwd) >P.S. Anyone have the updated lat/lon info for this site? Here's the new ones... EQP ID AGENCY WFO/RADAR SITE NAME DELIVERY A/P ACCEPTANCE A/P COMMISSION A/P/D LATITUDE LONGITUDE ELEVATION (FT) ------- ------ ----------------------------------------------- -------- --- ---------- --- ---------- ----- ---------- ----------- -------------- SRX NWS TULSA, OK/Western Arkansas 02/27/97 A 05/08/97 A 08/21/97 P 35-17-26N 094-21-42W 640 HTX NWS BIRMINGHAM, AL/Northeastern Alabama 04/24/97 A 07/01/97 A 12/11/97 P 34-55-50N 086-05-00W 1760 IWX NWS NORTHERN INDIANA, IN/North Webster 06/26/97 A 09/12/97 P 03/17/98 P 41-21-32N 085-42-00W 960 APD FAA FAIRBANKS, AK/Pedro Dome 06/06/95 A 08/12/95 A 03/20/97 A 65-02-06N 147-30-06W 2593 JUA FAA SAN JUAN, PR/Cayey 02/16/96 A 06/07/96 A 07/07/97 A 18-06-56N 066-04-41W 2794 ABC FAA ANCHORAGE, AK/Bethel 07/06/95 A 11/03/95 A 08/29/97 P 60-47-31N 161-52-35W 161 AKC FAA ANCHORAGE, AK/King Salmon 05/25/95 A 09/15/95 A 08/30/97 P 58-40-46N 156-37-46W 63 HWA FAA HONOLULU, HI/Hawaii 03/08/96 A 06/21/96 A 08/31/97 P 19-05-42N 155-34-08W 1380 HKM FAA HONOLULU, HI/Kohala 06/01/96 A 09/23/96 A 09/01/97 P 20-07-32N 155-46-40W 3812 AIH FAA ANCHORAGE, AK/Middleton Island 06/02/96 A 09/01/96 A 09/30/97 P 59-27-41N 146-18-11W 67 AHG FAA ANCHORAGE, AK/Nikiski 04/21/95 A 06/27/95 A 09/30/97 P 60-43-33N 151-21-05W 242 ACG FAA JUNEAU, AK/Sitka 05/23/96 A 08/29/96 A 09/30/97 P 56-51-10N 135-31-45W 207 HKI FAA HONOLULU, HI/Kauai 06/24/94 A 10/27/94 A 09/30/97 P 21-53-39N 159-33-08W 179 HMO FAA HONOLULU, HI/Molokai 02/08/95 A 05/03/95 A 09/30/97 P 21-07-58N 157-10-48W 1363 AEC FAA FAIRBANKS, AK/Nome 08/01/96 A 10/08/96 A 09/30/97 P 64-30-41N 165-17-42W 54 >From http://www.nws.noaa.gov/pub/modernize/88d.txt Rob ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 24 Aug 1997 22:52:49 EDT From: Great Lakes Workshop Subject: Great Lakes Wrkshop Update Dear collegues: I am sending this update to all people on our e-mail list for the Great Lake Operational Workshop. People who submitted abstracts should have heard back directly from us. The draft agenda is available through our web page. Norman Great Lakes Operational Meteorology Workshop / Atelier sur la météorologie opérationelle des grands lacs The 6th annual Great Lakes Operational Meteorology Workshop is being planned for September 17-19, 1997 in Toronto, Ontario. The international workshop is being hosted by Environment Canada (Ontario Region and the Climate and Atmospheric Research Directorate ). The workshop will be aimed at topics directly relating to operational meteorology in the Great Lakes region, with emphasis on issues and techniques specific to the region. Past topics have included lake effect snow, lake breezes and summer severe weather. Presentations on research with direct implications to operational meteorology are also invited. Conference location: Environment Canada, 4905 Dufferin St, Downsview, Ontario, M3H 5T4 Registration costs: None Space may be limited, so we encourage participants to preregister by sending an e-mail to great.work@ec.gc.ca. Please include your name, address and affiliation. For further information contact one of the co-chairs: Mike Leduc 416-739-4474 Rebecca Wagner 416-739-4549 Pat King 416-739-4886 The deadline for submissions has passed. Abstracts for submitted papers and a draft agenda will be posted on WWW soon. The first draft of the program schedule is available as a Word_Windows document or a plain ASCII document on our web site. Further information is available from our Web site: http://www.tor.ec.gc.ca/armp/king/great.html . The site will be updated as plans evolve. You can can get yourself added to our e-mail list by sending a request to Great.Work@ec.gc.ca 416-739-4474 ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 23 Aug 1997 to 24 Aug 1997 ************************************************** From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31202-13064>; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 13:15:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAB238916; Tue, 26 Aug 1997 00:05:32 -0500 Message-Id: <199708260505.AAB238916@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 00:02:36 +1900 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 24 Aug 1997 to 25 Aug 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: ca644acad078660cbb807970e99358bd X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 8334 Status: OR There are 5 messages totalling 183 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. RS SAME WX Radio 2. El Nino Advisory August 22, 1997 Corrected 3. CAPE formula 4. WX Channel Ad 5. The Perfect Storm +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 25 Aug 1997 03:21:14 -0500 From: Mark Mears Subject: RS SAME WX Radio The new RS SAME WX radio sounds like a great idea, but I'm wondering if it's going to be any use to me. As far as I know, the nearest NOAA wx-radio transmitter is in Huntsville, Alabama -- unfortunately, I'm in Tennessee. Our warnings come out of Nashville, around 90 miles to the north. I know that I can't pick up Nashville. Where can I look at a list of NOAA wx-radio station locations? Maybe they've dropped one in (or are about to) relatively nearby in Tennessee... -- MM ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 25 Aug 1997 15:47:22 EDT From: Munley <71435.211@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: El Nino Advisory August 22, 1997 Corrected ***Correction in fourth paragraph in the forecast section*** EL NINO ADVISORY 97/2 June 13 1997 DISCUSSION Atmospheric and oceanic indices continue to increase in the eastern and central Pacific indicating further strengthening of the current warm episode. Surface sea surface temperature anomalies of greater than +2oC have now expanded eastward to the South American coast and anomalies of greater than +3oC east of 135oW. Anomalies near the South American coast are the highest since the 1982-83 episode. Weak low-level equatorial westerlies covered the entire equatorial Pacific. For the fourth consecutive month Outgoing Longwave Radiation was at -0.9 in the east and central Pacific resulting in enhanced convection. Strong warm conditions also dominated the tropical Indian and Pacific Ocean and resulted in enhanced convection. IMPACT A strong South Pacific jet has now developed and extends further east than normal resulting in wet conditions across west-central South America. Drier than normal conditions covered Indonesia and wetter than normal conditions were observed in the islands of the central tropical Pacific. FORECAST Current trends and forecast models indicate that the strong warm conditions should continue and strengthen through this year and into 1998. It is difficult to predict exactly how each warm episode impact will be on global weather patterns as each episodes react differently, however, Storms and frontal systems may follow abnormal paths resulting in temperature and precipitation anomalies especially over the west coast of South America and the western U.S. and across the Gulf coast states. Drier than normal conditions could be expected over India and Australia. Jim Munley Jr. 71435.211@compuserve.com ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 25 Aug 1997 18:38:49 -0400 From: Matt Rosier Subject: CAPE formula Does anyone know the formula for calculating maximum CAPE values based on the forecasted high temp and max dewpoint for any given day? I also need the formula for calculating LI values from the forecasted high temp and dewpoint. I know there are two programs out there that allow you to modify soundings, however they are both DOS based, and I dont run a DOS-based OS at home. Maybe someone should create a java or WWW version of one of these programs ;-) thanks... Matt ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 25 Aug 1997 21:23:00 +0000 From: Howard Altschule Subject: WX Channel Ad Well, it looks like the weather channel has leaped into a new age of advertising. Just saw The Weather Channel ad on NBC4 in New York City in the middle of the 5pm news. It wasn't really hysterical, but was kind of interesting. It consisted of a guy talking to girl at the bartop of some restaurant. This guy was trying to "flirt" with this woman and he was talking about how he could be on The Weather Channel. IN the background, Dave Schwartz is doing his weather stuff (my friends) and this guy at the bar said he could have been a Weather Channel broadcaster if he had not injured his rotator cuff (sp??) in a previous injury. He goes on to explain that he could do a great job, but once he had to point to North Dakota or somewhere north, he couldn't do it because of his injury. All the while, some other guy is looking this first gentleman flirt, with a strange look on his face. Anyway, nothing else to talk about so I thought this would interest some. Thank god they are not running "The waters are rising toward flood level Riiiiight Nooow" ads!!! BTW.......GILBERT, the new Profiler Machine on the SCH looks like its great. Good work. See Ya Best regards, Howie Altschule Meteorologist, NY/NJ E-mail Address: HAltschule@worldnet.att.net ********* ******* | ***** "Toto, We're about to get our butt's whoooped!!".... (The Wizard) *** --!-- ** !!!!!!!!!!!!!! * ! O O O! ------*---!------------!------------------------------------------ ////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 25 Aug 1997 21:14:11 -0500 From: Pamela Knox Subject: The Perfect Storm One of the perks I have as an intern for NPR's Talk of the Nation: Science Friday is that I get to take an early look at many of the new science books put out by various presses around the country. One book I recently read which has become a best-seller on the New York Times non-fiction list is The Perfect Storm, by Sebastian Junger, published by Norton Press. This book has caught the attention of most of the mainstream newsmagazines and talk shows, and reviews of the book and interviews with its author have appeared in a number of places. This book is about a shipwreck caused by a nor'easter off Nova Scotia in late October 1991. I understand that someone has already bought the film rights to this book. I'm curious to know if other Wx-Talkers have read the book and what they think of it. While I didn't read it carefully enough to give a detailed review, I was generally disappointed with the book and would probably not recommend it to folks interested in the weather. I have to admit that I already disliked the book by page 3, since it entirely written in the present tense, which I found to be incredibly annoying. This gut feeling probably predisposed me to selectively notice the bad things in the book and not recognize what the author did well. I won't bore you with non-meteorological quibbles, but did want to say that in spite of the author's claim that he extensively researched the meteorology I found quite a few errors in the weather-related text. For example, he claims that all nor'easters are called "bombs" by NWS folk. As I recall, there is a specific set of criteria that must occur in a storm before it is classified as a bomb, and that you can have a decent storm even without the dropping pressure a bomb-type storm requires. Since I read the book a couple of weeks ago, I can't off the top of my head provide more examples of things he got wrong, but there are a bunch. If anyone else on Wx-Talk has read the book and has an opinion to offer, I'd like to hear it. With Christmas approaching and the book likely to be on the best-seller list for some time to come, I wouldn't be surprised to hear that many weather fanatics have the book on their wish lists. I'd also like to know if anyone has read the recent book on the history of the 1927 flood (can't remember the title) and what they thought of it. I am always looking for good books on the weather but like to know they're worth buying before I spend my hard-earned money. Pam Knox Wisconsin State Climatologist (on leave) Science Friday intern pnknox@facstaff.wisc.edu ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 24 Aug 1997 to 25 Aug 1997 ************************************************** From - Thu Aug 28 11:51:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31403-15926>; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 13:13:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA210472; Wed, 27 Aug 1997 00:08:04 -0500 Message-Id: <199708270508.AAA210472@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 27 Aug 1997 00:03:16 +1900 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 25 Aug 1997 to 26 Aug 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: a666c516493aa972816facf33991c461 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 15014 Status: OR There are 11 messages totalling 378 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. NOAA Weather Radio Frequencies 2. WX-TALK Digest - 24 Aug 1997 to 25 Aug 1997 (2) 3. Rel Hum from Temp & Dew Point 4. The Poifect Storm 5. The Perfect Storm 6. ASOS Commissioning Notice 7. RS SAME WX Radio 8. GAO Report on SR closing 9. RS SAME WX Radio (S Tennessee) 10. National EMA Council/Americans United for the NWS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 05:59:23 -0400 From: Rocky Lopes Subject: NOAA Weather Radio Frequencies Mark Mears inquired where he could find the frequencies of NOAA Weather Radio in the U.S. The latest info is on the NOAA/NWS web site, at http://www.nws.noaa.gov/nwr. There you can read the NOAA Weather Radio brochure, which is available in a PDF (Portable Document File) format or in text version. For those without access to the web, hard copies of the brochure should be available from your local NWS office (as NOAA/PA 96070) or your local American Red Cross Chapter (as ARC 5088). Rocky Lopes Community Disaster Education American Red Cross National Headquarters ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 08:15:13 -0400 From: EAGLE241@AOL.COM Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 24 Aug 1997 to 25 Aug 1997 Mark wrote: Date: Mon, 25 Aug 1997 03:21:14 -0500 From: Mark Mears Subject: RS SAME WX Radio The new RS SAME WX radio sounds like a great idea, but I'm wondering if it's going to be any use to me. As far as I know, the nearest NOAA wx-radio transmitter is in Huntsville, Alabama -- unfortunately, I'm in Tennessee. Our warnings come out of Nashville, around 90 miles to the north. I know that I can't pick up Nashville. Where can I look at a list of NOAA wx-radio station locations? Maybe they've dropped one in (or are about to) relatively nearby in Tennessee... -------- Dan answers: Check out our web site at www.thuneagle.com We have free downloadable NOAA weather radio maps for the entire country broken down by FEMA region. A list of the new transmiters (after Feb 1996) is also downloadable. We are updating the maps this week. If the maps are not clear enough on download, please email me your snail mail address and I will send you the maps you need. Dan Gropper Thunder Eagle, Inc. dgropper@thuneagle.com www.thuneagle.com 1-888-887-8022 ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 08:40:34 EDT From: "Steven M. Babin" Subject: Re: Rel Hum from Temp & Dew Point In response to the following question: > > > I was wondering if the equation that you posted in the mailing list on > relative humidity can be rearranged to find the dew point if you have the > temperature and relative humidity? > > You mean you can't solve an eighth degree polynomial equation? Just kidding :-) Here is another equation from Bras' book Hydrology to obtain dew point from relative humidity and temperature: T - Td = (14.55 + 0.114T)x + [(2.5 + 0.007T)x]^3 + (15.9 + 0.117T)x^14 where x = 1.0 - (r/100), r is relative humidity in percent, and T and Td are temperature and dew point in deg C. This equation is an approximation but supposedly gives results within 0.3C between -40C and 50C. Again, the caret means raised to a power. Hope that is helpful, Steve -- _____________________________________________________________________ / FROM: Steven Babin, MD, PhD Internet: Steven.Babin@jhuapl.edu \ | Office phone: (301)-953-6704 | | Office phone: (410)-792-6704 | | WWW Home page at: | | http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/people/babin/babin.html | | Office address: Ocean Remote Sensing Group | | The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab | | Johns Hopkins Road | | Laurel, MD 20723-6099 | | AD IN THE LONDON TIMES, 1907: | | Men wanted for hazardous journey. Small wages, bitter cold, long | | months of complete darkness, constant danger, safe return doubtful. | | Honour and recognition in case of success. | \ --Sir Ernest Shackleton / <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><>< ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 08:21:13 -0500 From: Dan Satterfield Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 24 Aug 1997 to 25 Aug 1997 >Date: Mon, 25 Aug 1997 21:14:11 -0500 >From: Pamela Knox >Subject: The Perfect Storm > >I'm curious to know if other Wx-Talkers have read the book and what they >think of it. Pam, I just finished the book. I too noticed some minor errors but for a non Meteorologist, I thought they were no big deal. All in all I enjoyed the book. I had a chance to see the author on CSPAN and he was riveting. I especially liked the part where he tells about the Delta pilot on the runway at Logan and his wind speed indicator is peaking at 80! Being a pilot and Meteorologist I can appreciate the gravity of that situation! Dan S _________________________________________________________________ Dan Satterfield Chief Meteorologist WHNT-TV Huntsville, AL ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 08:54:01 CDT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: The Poifect Storm Pam Knox wrote: > Date: Mon, 25 Aug 1997 21:14:11 -0500 > From: Pamela Knox > Subject: The Perfect Storm > > [snip] > appeared in a number of places. This book is about a shipwreck caused by a > nor'easter off Nova Scotia in late October 1991. > The one interesting thing about this storm (other than the embedded un-named hurricane, and that's been talked to death here :) ) for me is that it happened two months after Hurricane Bob moved through New England, so it was possible (and an obvious thing to do) to compare the two. The Hallowe'en nor'easter was a more costly storm. I believe the highest waves lasted through at least two high tides (compared to Bob which did not come through at high tide at all -- at least not in southern RI). I have vivid memories of watching a sailboat break from its moorings in Narragansett Bay...it was reduced to kindling in about 10 minutes on the rocks. Granted it was only a small sailboat, but it was still an impressive destruction. Compared to the Halloween storm, Bob was just a large thunderstorm, except when Bob moved through I didn't hear any thunder. Maybe I'll check out Madison's libraries to see if I can get a copy of Junger's book. Doesn't sound like it's worth buying. Scott ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 10:56:38 -0400 From: John Kent Subject: Re: The Perfect Storm Pamela Knox wrote: > > ...put out by various presses around the country. One book I recently read > which has become a best-seller on the New York Times non-fiction list is > The Perfect Storm, by Sebastian Junger, published by Norton Press... > I'm curious to know if other Wx-Talkers have read the book and what they > think of it. While I didn't read it carefully enough to give a detailed... I read it and also noticed several errors with regard to the meteorology, most of them minor. I also noticed several misspellings...how does this happen? Don't publishers have spell-checkers? The one thing that bothered me the most was that the windspeeds reported by the crews of the fishing vessels involved seem exaggerated. I don't have the book in front of me at the moment, but I seem to recall one captain claiming that he or she experienced sustained 90-kt winds for 24 hours, or something like that. The crews of these vessels also made it sound relatively commonplace to witness 100-kt winds in autumn storms over the waters south of Newfoundland. This doesn't match up with what I've seen reported from the buoys out there in my 10+ years of daily marine forecasting. If 100-kt winds are as common as this book makes it sound, one would expect that it would occur at the buoys more frequently. Having said this, though, I enjoyed reading the book and found it to be a very interesting account of the ordeal that these mariners went through. It wasn't intended to be a meterological textbook. John Kent FleetWeather/Compu-Weather Hopewell Junction, New York ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 13:50:46 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following sites will become commissioned ASOS sites at 1800 UTC on 26 August, 1997. REDBIRD AIRPORT (KRBD) DALLAS... TX CAMPO (KCZZ) CAMPO... CA NOTE THAT... KCZZ IS NOT LOCATED AT AN AIRPORT AND IS A LIMITED-CAPABILITY ASOS (NO VISUAL ELEMENTS). Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 14:19:05 -0500 From: "Douglas A. Butts Jr." Subject: Re: RS SAME WX Radio > Date: Mon, 25 Aug 1997 03:21:14 -0500 > From: Mark Mears > Subject: RS SAME WX Radio > > The new RS SAME WX radio sounds like a great idea, but I'm wondering if > it's going to be any use to me. As far as I know, the nearest NOAA > wx-radio transmitter is in Huntsville, Alabama -- unfortunately, I'm in > Tennessee. Our warnings come out of Nashville, around 90 miles to the > north. I know that I can't pick up Nashville. > > Where can I look at a list of NOAA wx-radio station locations? Maybe > they've dropped one in (or are about to) relatively nearby in Tennessee... Mark... Looks like some nearby transmitters would be either in Columbia or Lawrenceburg. The Lawrenceburg xmitter is one of the new NWR expansion sites. Both are programmed from the NWS Office in Nashville. I grew up in North Alabama and volunteered at the Office in Huntsville, so I know the importance of having a weather radio. For a more complete list of sites, check out the NWS Mobile homepage at the following URL: www.srh.noaa.gov/ftproot/mob/html/default.html Look under NOAA Weather Radio on the main page. Although most offices have some sort of list or link to NWR, I'm kind of partial to this page. :) Douglas Butts ...STANDARD DISCLIAMER APPLIES... ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 15:26:10 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: GAO Report on SR closing NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE - CLOSURE OF REGIONAL OFFICE NOT SUPPORTED BY RISK ANALYSIS Available from NWS Employee's Organization web page, http://www.nwseo.org/gaorp.html Rob ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 17:36:10 -0500 From: T Nelson Subject: Re: RS SAME WX Radio (S Tennessee) NWS Nashville now has a transmitter near Lawrenceburg, TN this might be a little closer for you. See http://www.nws.noaa.gov/sr/ohx/nwrmap.gif or http://www.nws.noaa.gov/nwr/nwrbro.htm Suppossedly they will be putting the geographic location codes to program the radios on this page. Hope this helps. Ture Nelson Nashville, TN At 08:21 AM 8/25/1997 +0000, Mark Mears wrote: >The new RS SAME WX radio sounds like a great idea, but I'm wondering if >it's going to be any use to me. As far as I know, the nearest NOAA >wx-radio transmitter is in Huntsville, Alabama -- unfortunately, I'm in >Tennessee. Our warnings come out of Nashville, around 90 miles to the >north. I know that I can't pick up Nashville. > >Where can I look at a list of NOAA wx-radio station locations? Maybe >they've dropped one in (or are about to) relatively nearby in Tennessee... > ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 23:03:29 -0400 From: Rick McCoy Subject: National EMA Council/Americans United for the NWS The hiring freeze has kept the Weather Service and the nation in knots for much to long and it appears that some relief is on the horizon. I spoke with the Secretary of commerce staff today along with NOAA staff and was advised that the freeze has been officially lifted. As of one week ago, the Secretary of Commerce advised James Baker of NOAA that the hiring freeze was to be lifted immediately and that the 150+ open positions within the NWS is to be filled. It is my understanding from my conversations with them that this does not include positions that are vacant at headquarters but those out in the field. I will need to reverify the headquarters positions. Although there was no written directive from the Secretary in regards to this matter, (which I found a bit odd, NO PAPER TRAIL), the Secretary did verbally give the official word on the issue. This means that critical issues such as the new WSR88D in Indiana can now be staffed and can go on line pretty much as scheduled. It also means that the situation in Charleston, South Carolina which had been in the discussion stages of closing the office from midnight to 8:00AM is no longer a possiblity. It also means that the other vacancies across this great country will be filled soon giving the American public the protection they deserve, expect and of course,are paying for. This freeze is being lifted because of the dedication of Weather Service Management in giving a clear message to NOAA that this was a dangerous practice and also the fact that our organization along with many of you put the heat on the Secretary and Congress in regards to this issue. Good work for a job well done! But remember, alot of work is still ahead. The budget is a major issue and our weather service must get the funds needed to do its' job. WE MUST PUSH FOR AN INCREASE OF $30 Million. Otherwise, the modernization and the infrastructure of the agency is in jeopardy. $22 million as proposed will not be adequate. Just a final note. I have been requested to come to Washington to speak with General Kelly on September 9 in regards to our committees concerns from across the country. I will also be speaking with Senators and Congressmen while I'm there. Please contact me if there are any issues of importance that you personally feel I should relay in the meeting. Rick W. McCoy President National Emergency Management Council for Americans United in Maintaining the Weather Service ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 25 Aug 1997 to 26 Aug 1997 ************************************************** From - Thu Aug 28 13:26:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31533-22994>; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 13:04:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA26530; Thu, 28 Aug 1997 00:02:26 -0500 Message-Id: <199708280502.AAA26530@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 00:00:53 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 26 Aug 1997 to 27 Aug 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 1975f8c738c3ffb7caacf9f94ab47bf8 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 9913 Status: OR There are 6 messages totalling 222 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. NSSL/SPC Employees Association merchandise for sale 2. TV Met Job Available 3. Hurricane Question 4. Weather gauges 5. F0 tornadoes don't move cars (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 27 Aug 1997 09:21:15 -0500 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: NSSL/SPC Employees Association merchandise for sale Severe Weather Fanatics, The NSSL/SPC Employees Association (NSEA) regularly sells severe weather photographs and NSSL/SPC clothing as part of its fund-raising efforts. Traditionally, we've only been able to sell this merchandise to individuals who visit the NSSL/SPC in Norman, Oklahoma, or when we take the merchandise to various special functions (such as the TWC Chaser Conference, the StormTrack annual picnic, or various conferences and open houses). Now this merchandise is available on the World Wide Web (WWW)! The 1997 Fall Chase Season is just around the corner! Get merchandise now! ********************************************************************* * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW Severe Weather Photo Store * ********************************************************************* The URL for the NSEA Photo Concession Stand is: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/nea/neaphotostand.html ****************************************************************** * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW NSSL/SPC Clothing Store * * * * NSSL SHIRTS...AS SEEN IN THE MOVIE 'TWISTER'!!! * ****************************************************************** The URL for the NSEA Clothing Concession Stand is: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/nea/neaclothing.html Information on the prices of merchandise is on the WWW page. We can only accept orders placed from the WWW page (check or money order only). Information on the NSEA is also available via the first hypertext link on that WWW page. NOTE: From now until Sep. 30, 1997, orders and inquiries will be handled by Paul Janish! Greg will be on travel during this period. If you have any questions, please contact Paul Janish at: janish@nsslsun.nssl.noaa.gov We hope that this fundraiser is a success for our organization and we hope you all enjoy the merchandise! Greg Stumpf and Paul Janish, NSSL/SPC Employees Association DISCLAIMER: The NSEA is a non-profit organization not affiliated with NOAA or the U.S. Government. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 27 Aug 1997 11:09:52 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available The following appeared in SHOPTALK (http://www.tvspy.com). ..Chris.. WEATHER ANCHOR/COMPUTER REPORTER (WREG) I need a meteorologist/reporter who loves and understands computers -- and not just weather computers. I have a dream job for the right person. I'm looking for someone who can anchor weekend weather here at WREG in Memphis, and assist us with computer reporting three days per week. Join The New York Times Company Broadcast Group here in Memphis by wowing me with a tape & resume. No calls, but you can e mail me. Craig Jahelka, VP/ND, WREG, 803 Channel 3 Drive, Memphis, TN 38103 or *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 26 Aug 1997 16:57:01 GMT From: rjhstorm Subject: Re: Hurricane Question In article <33FED7EC.3EC7@gte.net>, kd4uyr@GTE.NET says... > >This question is for the researchers and academics on the list: > >I can't help but notice that Tropical Cyclone activity dropped to nearly >nothing at about the same time as the volanco on Monsserat erupted....is >there any correlation between these two events or is it simply a >coincidence? > It is purely coincindence - the eruptions of Monsserat have never gotten strong enough to eject dust into the upper atmosphere - though the potential exists. There is probably a lot more influence from the rapidly developing el nino on the current hurricane season.-- >*********************************************************************** >Kevin Heyboer E-Mail: kd4uyr@gte.net >Amateur Radio Call: KD4UYR Packet Mail:KD4UYR@W4DPH.#TPA.FL.US >Coordinator, Pinellas (St. Petersburg/Clearwater) SKYWARN >Assistant Emergency Coordinator for Amateur Radio Emergency Service >*********************************************************************** > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 27 Aug 1997 01:03:27 GMT From: Thomas Owens Subject: Re: Weather gauges In article <19970827000900.UAA04273@ladder01.news.aol.com>, b529m@aol.com says... > >I am looking for a company that sells gauges such as clocks, temp >and other gauges. I would like to mount the gauges on a board and put it >in my camper Try http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/WWW_Virtual_Library/instrument.html for a comprehensive listing of manufacturer's and supplier's web sites. -- ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ + Thomas Owens Email: tjo113@psu.edu + + + + Owner of the Meteorology Students Mailing List - METSTUD + + + + The Allentown Weather Center - Over 1000 Weather Links! + + http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/weather.html + + + + The WWW Virtual Library: Meteorology + + http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/WWW_Virtual_Library/ + ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 27 Aug 1997 19:23:40 CDT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: F0 tornadoes don't move cars >PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT >NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE xxxxxxxxxx >420 PM xDT WED AUG 27 1997 > >TIME(xDT) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... > ....COUNTY LOCATION.... > >430 PM xxxxxxxxxxxx xx TORNADO >08/26/97 xxxxxxxxxxxx WITNESS REPORTS... > TORNADO ON THE GROUND FOR > ABOUT 1 MINUTE OR SO... > BETWEEN xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx > FROM US HWY xx NORTHWARD. > TRACK ONLY FOR SEVERAL > HUNDRED YARDS. NO DEATHS. > NO INJURIES. ONLY MINOR > TREE DAMAGE. TORNADO RATED > F0. ONE CAR ALONG HWY xx > PICKED UP NEARLY 2 FT AND > DROPPED ON HWY SHOULDER. No! An F0 tornado should have winds below hurricane force (73 mph or less). Those kinds of winds cannot move automobiles! I would venture to guess that this tornado was at *least* an F1. I hope the above unnamed NWS makes a correction in their final report they send to SELS. greg stumpf, NSSL ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 27 Aug 1997 20:51:51 -0500 From: Charles Edwards Subject: Re: F0 tornadoes don't move cars At 07:23 PM 8/27/97 CDT, Greg Stumpf wrote: >>430 PM xxxxxxxxxxxx xx TORNADO >>08/26/97 xxxxxxxxxxxx WITNESS REPORTS... >> TORNADO ON THE GROUND FOR >> ABOUT 1 MINUTE OR SO... >> BETWEEN xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx >> FROM US HWY xx NORTHWARD. >> TRACK ONLY FOR SEVERAL >> HUNDRED YARDS. NO DEATHS. >> NO INJURIES. ONLY MINOR >> TREE DAMAGE. TORNADO RATED >> F0. ONE CAR ALONG HWY xx >> PICKED UP NEARLY 2 FT AND >> DROPPED ON HWY SHOULDER. > > >No! An F0 tornado should have winds below hurricane force (73 >mph or less). Those kinds of winds cannot move automobiles! > If you want to be nit-picky, the report didn't say the tornado picked up the car. It could bave been somebody driving a forklift that was chasing the tornado, and the car was too slow for him, so he picked the car up and moved it out of the way. Charles Edwards cedwards@rossby.metr.ou.edu storms@pair.com http://www3.pair.com/storms ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 26 Aug 1997 to 27 Aug 1997 ************************************************** From - Fri Aug 29 15:17:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31120-26110>; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 13:06:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA18856; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 00:02:51 -0500 Message-Id: <199708290502.AAA18856@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 00:00:36 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 27 Aug 1997 to 28 Aug 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 54d1adc006115849135d13d0c7304981 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 23495 Status: OR There are 11 messages totalling 542 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. TV Met Job 2. EAS Systems For TV (2) 3. weathergraphix/digital atmosphere 4. Updated NOAA Weather Radio maps 5. WeatherWatch magazine editors NEEDED 6. GAO report on NWS Southern Region closure 7. ASOS Commissioning Notice 8. El Nino & Sep 97 - Feb 98 WX Forecast for Oregon 9. NOAA Wx Radio 10. El Nino Feeding Frenzy +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 09:49:41 +0000 From: Storm Team Subject: TV Met Job To all Wx-Talkers For anyone out there interested in dealing with the changeable weather in New York, we have a listing for an on-air meteorologist in the central part of the state. Anyone interested please check out our website at http://www.wixt.com. Dave Longley ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 09:05:02 -0700 From: Tim McGill Subject: EAS Systems For TV My station is considering buying an EAS system in lieu of an actual watch/warning automated crawl system from a vendor. The thinking here is that it will do the same thing for a lot less money. My concerns are many but at the top of the list is the speediness(or lack of it) of an EAS system along with aesthetics. I would love to hear from someone that has been using an EAS system. Is it fast? Does it look kosher on the air? How well does it function when the #@!% hits the fan. I would also like to hear from anyone using systems from established vendors like Kavouras or Baron Services. How do they stack up? Thanks, Tim McGill Chief Meteorologist CLTV === "And go-cart Mozart was checkin' out the weather chart to see if it was safe to go outside..." "Blinded By The Light"\Bruce Springsteen _____________________________________________________________________ Sent by RocketMail. Get your free e-mail at http://www.rocketmail.com ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 11:37:13 -0500 From: "Jeremy Charles (N9VHT)" Subject: Re: EAS Systems For TV On Thu, 28 Aug 1997, Tim McGill wrote: > My station is considering buying an EAS system in lieu of an actual > watch/warning automated crawl system from a vendor. The thinking here My understanding is that all broadcasters *must* have an EAS system at least in order to relay a presidential Emergency Action Notification (EAN) if one is issued. Weather-relationed information is optional in accordance with your state's EAS plan. (There are many more details which your engineers and/or management should be familiar with.. the above two sentences are a gross over-simplification.) > I would love to hear from someone that has been using an EAS system. > Is it fast? Does it look kosher on the air? How well does it function > when the #@!% hits the fan. >From the implementations I've seen here in the Madison, WI market, EAS can look as pretty or ugly as the station wants to make it. Yes, there are certain visual and aural requirements which limit how nice you can make it look, but there is some flexibility. One hint, though.. Don't let it break in during your live news shows. That causes all sorts of headaches in the director's booth. Certain viewers also get pretty irritated when it breaks in during the introduction to a football game. :) There is one station here in Madison which, as a rule, does not use its EAS equipment for severe weather alerting. They use a system which ingests information from the weather wire and automatically (and immediately) displays crawls with the important info. It also generates graphics about storm locations and expected targets based on the wire bulletins which the meteorologists can use when they're ready to do a full break-in. This system has proven to be very reliable (at least from the viewer's point of view) in severe weather events that have happened recently. If you're interested in more information about their system, you could probably write to weather@wisctv.com and see what they're willing to say about it. Other stations in this market may also use a similar (or identical) system, but WISC is the one I tend to watch more, and the only one that I know the E-mail address for off the top of my head. :) Good luck in your search for a reliable system! -Jeremy C. (N9VHT) Madison Area Repeater Association Vice President & Swapfest '98 Coordinator n9vht@skywarn.cs.wisc.edu Online SKYWARN logging: http://www.cs.wisc.edu/~jeremyc/skylog/ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 13:24:06 EDT From: Tim Vasquez <71611.2267@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: weathergraphix/digital atmosphere For Digital Atmosphere, WeatherGraphix, Sky Access, etc users who are looking to order or need tech support, we finally established a toll-free number. It's (888) 388-0070. The number is always answered between 7 am and 10 pm, and tech support is offered after 5 pm. A listing of all of our weather software is on the homepage below. Tim Vasquez author, WeatherGraphix Norman, OK Digital Atmosphere 71611.2267@compuserve.com (405) 573-0700 WeatherGraphix/Digital Atmosphere -- http://www.telepath.com/tvasquez/ StormTrack Online -- http://www.telepath.com/storm/ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 14:36:38 -0400 From: EAGLE241@AOL.COM Subject: Updated NOAA Weather Radio maps Hello All: We are updating and correcting our NOAA weather radio maps for the U.S. broken down by FEMA region this week. A number of people have emailed corrections and additions which have been very helpful. If it is not imposing too much, could you please pass the word to your peers to download the maps and email me any changes and updates so we can get them in place before the next printing? The maps are at www.thuneagle.com My email is dgropper@thuneagle.com These maps are free to download and copy, so this comes under public service! Thanks in advance for your help. Dan Gropper Thunder Eagle, Inc. 1-888-877-8022 ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 14:45:52 -0400 From: Bill Hipkins Subject: WeatherWatch magazine editors NEEDED We currently have openings for volunteer editors for the following regions: REGION I : New England - Covers the states of: MA, NH, RI, ME & VT REGION V: South - Covers the states of: FL, AL, MS, GA, LA REGION VI: Southwest - Covers the states of: TX, AR, NM, AZ & OK REGION VII: Central Plains - Covers the states of: NE, IA, MO, KS, WY & CO Alaska/Canada - 2 editors needed to cover Canada and alaska. Hawaii/Pacific Also, we are looking for 2 people to help out with general day-to-day magazine work. If you are interested, please email editor@weatherstore.com with a sample paragraph of your ability to write comprehensive summaries of your region. Sample can be current or fabricated. If you are accepted, you will receive a copy of Weatherwatch free each month for as long as you remain an editor, plus wholesale products at the book store. If you wish to apply for administrative help, please ignore sample paragraph request and state that in your email. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 05:27:10 GMT From: Brian Curran Subject: GAO report on NWS Southern Region closure >Report to Congressional Requesters July 1997 > >NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE - CLOSURE OF REGIONAL OFFICE NOT SUPPORTED BY RISK ANALYSIS > >GAO/AIMD-97-133 National Weather Service > >B-277460 > >July 31, 1997 can be found on the NWSEO homepage at bc -- Brian Curran ebcurran@flash.net I speak for myself only. See the First Amendment for details. In the end, there can be only one. And you're reading his signature... ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 16:07:24 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site became a commissioned ASOS site at 1800 UTC on 28 August, 1977 RICHARDS-GEBAUR AIRPORT (KGVW) KANSAS CITY... MO Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 14:40:46 -0700 From: Tye Parzybok Subject: El Nino & Sep 97 - Feb 98 WX Forecast for Oregon for full story: http://www.ocs.orst.edu/reports/winter97.html Fall and Winter Weather Forecast - 1997-98 George H. Taylor, State Climatologist Tye W. Parzybok, Research Scientist August 28, 1997 Introduction----------------------------------------------------------------- Winter weather in Oregon and the Pacific Northwest is influenced by the Pacific Ocean, the jet stream in the upper atmosphere, low level winds, and other factors. In recent years, the very strong influence of the tropical Pacific on worldwide weather, including the Northwest, has been identified. It is now known that the ocean-atmosphere condition in the equatorial Pacific known as the El Niqo/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) plays a key role in global weather. ENSO has two phases: the El Niqo, or "warm event," involves warmer than average sea temperatures off South America and generally cooler than average in the western Pacific near Indonesia; and the La Niqa, or "cold event," with cooler than average temperatures off South America and warmer than average in the west Pacific. Typically, an El Niqo will produce a drier and warmer than normal winter in the Northwest, while La Niqas are associated with relatively wet and cool winters. For the past two winters, a La Niqa has been in place, and the result has been very wet winters. Occasionally, very strong El Niqo events bring wetter than normal winters to the Northwest (this happened during the 1982-83 and 1994-95 winters), but conditions are drier than average during about 75% of all El Niqos. Along the southern boundary of the U.S. (from southern California through Arizona, New Mexico, and Texas to the Gulf Coast), winter conditions are just opposite to those in the Northwest: wet and cool during El Niqo conditions and warm and dry during La Niqas. A temperature map, from the Climate Diagnostics Center, shows areas which are typically warm (red, orange, yellow) and cool (blue, violet) during El Niqos in the months of December - February. A similar map for precipitation for January - March shows the generally dry conditions across the northern tier of states and the wetter than average southern regions. In the past 5 months, a strong El Niqo has developed in the Pacific, and it appears to be one of the strongest of the century. Sea surface temperatures (SST) more than 9 degrees F above normal have been reported off the coast of Peru. Forecasters will be watching the Pacific closely during the next several months. There are indications that this El Niqo peaked in June and is beginning to wane. Based on that assumption, and using historical information from previous similar conditions, the following forecast for the 1997-98 winter was developed. Previous Similar Years---------------------------------------------------- This winter forecast for Oregon is based heavily on analog years (past winters with similar El Niqo situations). Those years include: 1946, 1951, 1957, 1965, 1972, 1977, 1982, and 1991. While the 1982-83 event was the strongest on record, it is somewhat different than the current El Niqo. For example, the 82-83 event peaked in late in the winter, while the current El Niqo appears to have peaked during summer. The years which most closely resemble 1997 are 1977, 1946, and 1972. Our forecast is based on a composite of the eight years above, based most strongly on the three best-fit years. Several notable weather events occurred during the analog years: 1972. In December, an extremely cold air mass settled over Oregon. Salem's all-time record low (-12 degrees F) was recorded, and the entire Willamette Valley had below-zero temperatures and heavy snow (15 inches at Salem in December). In eastern Oregon, many sites had readings below -30, led by Seneca at -40F. 1977. A series of very strong storms hit western Oregon in November and December, bringing high winds, heavy rain and snow (8 inches at Portland) to the state. 1982. A relatively dry, cool early winter was followed by very mild and dry weather in January and February. The high-elevation snowpack, which was quite extensive early in the season, eroded quickly after the first of the year. 1991. Abundant early-season snows (October and November) in the mountains brought hopes for an end to the six-year drought, but dry, mild weather from December through the remainder of the winter led to a statewide drought emergency the following summer. Forecast------------------------------------------------------------------- While early September is expected to be cool and unsettled, the weather will turn pleasant and mild by mid-month and extend into early October. In mid-October, the first significant winter storms are expected, bringing rain, wind and much cooler temperatures. The active polar jet stream and the abundance of moisture from the warm equatorial waters will help to spawn several potent mid-latitude storms in the northern Pacific Ocean during November and December. Several of these storms will affect Oregon, producing cold temperatures, high winds, moderate rains and mountain snows. While the storms are expected to be powerful, we do not expect extreme flooding as we did during the past winters. The latest forecast models indicate moderating SSTs later this winter; thus, we expect a shift from the current strong El Niqo to more normal conditions. Therefore, in January, the jet stream will move northward, and thus Oregon is more likely to see the typical influences of an average El Niqo: drier and warmer than normal (unlike the winter of 1982-83, when continued strong El Niqo conditions caused a very wet winter in Oregon). The storm track will likely split, sending powerful subtropical storms into California, with southern Oregon occasionally receiving glancing blows. The northern branch of the jet stream will affect areas well to the north (Alaska and British Columbia), leaving most of the Northwest dry and mild through February. We are watching a large cool SST anomaly 2,000 miles off the Oregon Coast (near 37 N and 150 W ) which may have additional impacts on Oregon's winter weather, but at this point its effects are unclear. Summary------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonal precipitation will be fairly close to normal, with above average early season rains balanced by a dry latter half of winter. Temperatures will be generally above normal, and snowpack will be above normal early and then deteriorate during mid- to late winter. Submitted to WX-TALK by Tye W. Parzybok mcci@peak.org on 8/28/97. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 18:06:29 -0400 From: EAGLE241@AOL.COM Subject: NOAA Wx Radio August 28, 1997 TO: John Hennessee, Washington Mailbox QST, ARRL RE: September 1997 QST Report Concerning Automatic Retransmission of NOAA Weather Radio Thank you for letting me bend your ear on the NOAA weather radio retransmission question during our telephone conference today. Since weather warnings are so time critical, it is not an acceptable substitute to automatically retransmitted warnings to listen to a NOAA weather radio plugged into a building. These warnings are usually only valid for 45 minutes (thunderstorm) but are actually usually only time critical for 10-15 minutes to give you enough time to change your schedule to avoid the storm. You need to know about weather alerts immediately when you are away from buildings. The NWS feels they are successful if they put out a tornado warning 10 minutes before touchdown. Most weather warnings are to seek shelter. Telling people in a shelter to seek shelter is usually not critical. Telling a fireman on a tower ladder or a utility repair person on a telephone pole of an approaching thunderstorm is almost always critical. Your September 1997 article in QST catagorically states that it is not permissible to automatically retransmit NOAA weather radio on amateur repeaters. If you can find a ruling by the FCC concerning the automatic retransmission of weather warnings to the public on amateur repeaters, please fax it to me. In our telephone conference you indicated that you had no present knowledge of such a ruling. Please note that the FCC REQUIRES unattended cable head ins to AUTOMATICALLY retransmit certain EAS warnings see 47 CFR 11.52(e)(1). Although the NWS warnings are not a mandatory retransmit, they comprise the bulk (80%+) of all EBS/EAS activations. Therefore, if anything, there is precedent for automatic retransmission of federal government alerts at unattended stations to the public. The FCC has required all broadcasters to purchase expensive EAS encoders/decoders with the capability of retransmitting warnings, which may monitor NOAA weather radio for retransmission (47 CFR 11.33(1)). If it is an FCC priority to retransmit weather warnings on commercial broadcast stations as a public service, why should amateur radio be excluded from also providing this free public service? Further, part 97 (47 CFR 97.1(a)) supports as a goal of amateur radio the "Recognition and enhancement of the value of the amateur service to the public as a voluntary noncommercial communication service, particularly with respect to providing emergency communication." The retransmission of weather alerts clearly falls within this goal of amateur radio. Many areas of the country have weak or no NOAA weather radio coverage. The government is partnering with many municpalities under Vice President Al Gore's NOAA weather radio initiative to provide additional NOAA weather radio transmitters. Permitting amateur repeaters to automatically retransmit NOAA severe weather alerts (at no cost to the government) (the content of which amateurs are specifically permitted to do under 97.113(e)) of government declared weather emergencies, not only helps keep the amateur radio operators informed in the field supporting the NWS through Skywarn (an ARRL approved activity with a MOU) of potentially life threatening severe weather conditions, but also those people listening to the repeaters on scanners and the organizations that are running events, such as bikethons, supported by ARES and RACES, directly benefit from this public service, especially in weak NOAA weather radio coverage areas. The potential for saving lives by getting thousands of people to shelter during a summer bikethon when a thunderstorm is threatening has to outweigh any possible problem with the fact that it was the NWS which set off the alert to warn people, as opposed to a licensed amateur. During emergencies the federal government (FEMA) regularly conducts two way communication with amateurs on amateur bands. (Check who owns amateur calls KF1EMA, KF2EMA, KF3EMA, KF4EMA, etc.!) How are NWS weather alerts any different from FEMA speaking to hams on amateur frequencies during hurricanes? They are not. We feel that the Vice President would agree. Please check out our website at www.thuneagle.com for success stories where NOAA weather radio alerts were received by people in the field including the Red Cross HumVee (enroute to Hurricane Bertha in NC from the Olympics in Georgia) and the Williamsburg VA FD (tower ladder at fire call and hazmat). Please email me at dgropper@thuneagle.com if I can be of any further assistance. We look forward to the ARRL's support of the retransmission of automatic weather alerts on amateur radio repeaters. Dan Gropper KC4OCG Skywarn Training Coordinator NWS Washington, DC Forecast Office ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 17:29:51 -0700 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: El Nino Feeding Frenzy Headline, El Nino/ENSO Feeding Frenzy About to Grip the Dominant Media Culture! Story, After racking up record ratings from previous efforts at hurricane and storm coverage, savvy network executives have put their "eye" on the El Nino/ENSO sensation currently underway. Faceless hordes of viewers who wouldn't know a watch from a warning, or the Atlantic from the Pacific, are proudly proffering their new found awareness of, and concern for, "The El Nino". The El Nino is now the lead story on the evening network news broadcasts, which continue to blight the radio spectrum with their high pitched emotional prattle. Much to the detriment of any hard news or real science. Never underestimate the ability of our ruling media interests to completely confound any technical issue. The approaching Fall and Winter are almost assured to feature the following outpouring of network dreck and obfuscation, Planet on the Precipice El Nino - Threat or Menace? Last Gasp of the Planet - Tobacco Implicated in ENSO Administration Proposes ENSO Mitigation Tax UN Assembles ENSO OPFOR Peruvian Stink Beetle Endangered by the El Nino Onslaught Icebergs Batter Bahamian Beaches Everything from Pestilence to Bad Personal Hygiene will be attributed to the warming of the waters in the Pacific. All manner of misdeed and malaise will be attributed to a weather pattern even the experts have not fully grasped. Rest assured that the well coiffured and manicured network anchors will "make a difference" and tell us what "we really need to know". Remember the Audi 5000 Sudden Acceleration Syndrome, The Great Alar/Apple Scare, The Exploding Chevy Pickup Massacre? All this from the self appointed "Guardians of Truth". The New Age/Green/Quickening crowd will flock in rapt worship to the front of their "21 inch Window to the Universe". Anything of a technical nature is sure to confound and disorientate the major networks. Thus, Grand Theater and Emotion will dominate El Nino coverage. Let the show begin. "From the well of the waters, the brown stuff doth floeth" (BK 8/97) ********************************************************************** Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Milwaukee Wisconsin USA Owner: Shlocky Enterprises, Home of the Amazing "Thunder Bra" Maximum Leader: Scud Busters - Severe Storm Services Inventor: E.L.S.I.E. (Electively Locatable Storm Instrument Ensemble) Editor: The Kopp Kronicles ********************************************************************** (Astute readers will note that the above diatribe is the product of the sinister evil twin of the normally placid and ruggedly handsome Bernie Kopp located at,) http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp Thank you for your consideration. Now, back to Wx-Talk! -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 27 Aug 1997 to 28 Aug 1997 ************************************************** From - Sat Aug 30 09:44:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31775-2097>; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 08:01:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA30136; Fri, 29 Aug 1997 18:58:11 -0500 Message-Id: <199708292358.SAA30136@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 18:49:19 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 28 Aug 1997 to 29 Aug 1997 - Special issue To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: a54ddfb123c89cfca843c783be0659f1 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 33648 Status: OR There are 11 messages totalling 808 lines in this issue. Topics in this special issue: 1. unsubscribe 28 Aug 1997 2. PostDoc vacancy, Reading, UK 3. Tropical activity report 4. WX-TALK Digest - 27 Aug 1997 to 28 Aug 1997 5. TPC admin movement 6. Dataloggers 7. NEXRAD Composite archives online... 8. Record Inactive August? 9. El Nino $$$ 10. So much for the Gainsville split! 11. any tips for a wanna be meteorologist? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 01:43:26 -0500 From: n5hwk Subject: unsubscribe 28 Aug 1997 unsubscribe 12:00 AM 8/29/97 -0500, you wrote: >There are 11 messages totalling 542 lines in this issue. > >Topics of the day: > > 1. TV Met Job > 2. EAS Systems For TV (2) > 3. weathergraphix/digital atmosphere > 4. Updated NOAA Weather Radio maps > 5. WeatherWatch magazine editors NEEDED > 6. GAO report on NWS Southern Region closure > 7. ASOS Commissioning Notice > 8. El Nino & Sep 97 - Feb 98 WX Forecast for Oregon > 9. NOAA Wx Radio > 10. El Nino Feeding Frenzy > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > >---------------------------------------------------------------------- > >Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 09:49:41 +0000 >From: Storm Team >Subject: TV Met Job > >To all Wx-Talkers > For anyone out there interested in dealing with the changeable >weather in New York, we have a listing for an on-air meteorologist in >the central part of the state. Anyone interested please check out our website at >http://www.wixt.com. > >Dave Longley > >------------------------------ > >Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 09:05:02 -0700 >From: Tim McGill >Subject: EAS Systems For TV > >My station is considering buying an EAS system in lieu of an actual >watch/warning automated crawl system from a vendor. The thinking here >is that it will do the same thing for a lot less money. My concerns >are many but at the top of the list is the speediness(or lack of it) >of an EAS system along with aesthetics. > >I would love to hear from someone that has been using an EAS system. >Is it fast? Does it look kosher on the air? How well does it function >when the #@!% hits the fan. > >I would also like to hear from anyone using systems from established >vendors like Kavouras or Baron Services. How do they stack up? > >Thanks, > >Tim McGill >Chief Meteorologist >CLTV > > > >=== >"And go-cart Mozart was checkin' out the weather chart to see if it >was safe to go outside..." >"Blinded By The Light"\Bruce Springsteen > > > > > > > >_____________________________________________________________________ >Sent by RocketMail. Get your free e-mail at http://www.rocketmail.com > >------------------------------ > >Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 11:37:13 -0500 >From: "Jeremy Charles (N9VHT)" >Subject: Re: EAS Systems For TV > >On Thu, 28 Aug 1997, Tim McGill wrote: >> My station is considering buying an EAS system in lieu of an actual >> watch/warning automated crawl system from a vendor. The thinking here > >My understanding is that all broadcasters *must* have an EAS system at >least in order to relay a presidential Emergency Action Notification >(EAN) if one is issued. Weather-relationed information is optional in >accordance with your state's EAS plan. (There are many more details >which your engineers and/or management should be familiar with.. the >above two sentences are a gross over-simplification.) > >> I would love to hear from someone that has been using an EAS system. >> Is it fast? Does it look kosher on the air? How well does it function >> when the #@!% hits the fan. > >>From the implementations I've seen here in the Madison, WI market, EAS >can look as pretty or ugly as the station wants to make it. Yes, there >are certain visual and aural requirements which limit how nice you can >make it look, but there is some flexibility. One hint, though.. Don't >let it break in during your live news shows. That causes all sorts of >headaches in the director's booth. Certain viewers also get pretty >irritated when it breaks in during the introduction to a football game. :) > >There is one station here in Madison which, as a rule, does not use its >EAS equipment for severe weather alerting. They use a system which >ingests information from the weather wire and automatically (and >immediately) displays crawls with the important info. It also generates >graphics about storm locations and expected targets based on the wire >bulletins which the meteorologists can use when they're ready to do a >full break-in. This system has proven to be very reliable (at least from >the viewer's point of view) in severe weather events that have happened >recently. > >If you're interested in more information about their system, you could >probably write to weather@wisctv.com and see what they're willing to say >about it. Other stations in this market may also use a similar (or >identical) system, but WISC is the one I tend to watch more, and the only >one that I know the E-mail address for off the top of my head. :) > > >Good luck in your search for a reliable system! > > >-Jeremy C. (N9VHT) >Madison Area Repeater Association Vice President & Swapfest '98 Coordinator >n9vht@skywarn.cs.wisc.edu > >Online SKYWARN logging: http://www.cs.wisc.edu/~jeremyc/skylog/ > >------------------------------ > >Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 13:24:06 EDT >From: Tim Vasquez <71611.2267@COMPUSERVE.COM> >Subject: weathergraphix/digital atmosphere > >For Digital Atmosphere, WeatherGraphix, Sky Access, etc users who are >looking to order or need tech support, we finally established a >toll-free number. It's (888) 388-0070. The number is always answered >between 7 am and 10 pm, and tech support is offered after 5 pm. > >A listing of all of our weather software is on the homepage below. > > >Tim Vasquez author, WeatherGraphix >Norman, OK Digital Atmosphere >71611.2267@compuserve.com (405) 573-0700 >WeatherGraphix/Digital Atmosphere -- http://www.telepath.com/tvasquez/ >StormTrack Online -- http://www.telepath.com/storm/ > >------------------------------ > >Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 14:36:38 -0400 >From: EAGLE241@AOL.COM >Subject: Updated NOAA Weather Radio maps > >Hello All: > >We are updating and correcting our NOAA weather radio maps for the U.S. >broken down by FEMA region this week. > >A number of people have emailed corrections and additions which have been >very helpful. > >If it is not imposing too much, could you please pass the word to your peers >to download the maps and email me any changes and updates so we can get them >in place before the next printing? > >The maps are at www.thuneagle.com > >My email is dgropper@thuneagle.com > >These maps are free to download and copy, so this comes under public service! > >Thanks in advance for your help. > >Dan Gropper >Thunder Eagle, Inc. >1-888-877-8022 > >------------------------------ > >Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 14:45:52 -0400 >From: Bill Hipkins >Subject: WeatherWatch magazine editors NEEDED > >We currently have openings for volunteer editors for the following regions: > >REGION I : New England - Covers the states of: MA, NH, RI, ME & VT >REGION V: South - Covers the states of: FL, AL, MS, GA, LA >REGION VI: Southwest - Covers the states of: TX, AR, NM, AZ & OK >REGION VII: Central Plains - Covers the states of: NE, IA, MO, KS, WY & CO >Alaska/Canada - 2 editors needed to cover Canada and alaska. >Hawaii/Pacific > >Also, we are looking for 2 people to help out with general day-to-day >magazine work. > >If you are interested, please email editor@weatherstore.com with a sample >paragraph of your ability to write comprehensive summaries of your region. >Sample can be current or fabricated. If you are accepted, you will receive a >copy of Weatherwatch free each month for as long as you remain an editor, >plus wholesale products at the book store. If you wish to apply for >administrative help, please ignore sample paragraph request and state that in >your email. > >------------------------------ > >Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 05:27:10 GMT >From: Brian Curran >Subject: GAO report on NWS Southern Region closure > >>Report to Congressional Requesters July 1997 >> >>NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE - CLOSURE OF REGIONAL OFFICE NOT SUPPORTED BY RISK >ANALYSIS >> >>GAO/AIMD-97-133 National Weather Service >> >>B-277460 >> >>July 31, 1997 > >can be found on the NWSEO homepage at > > > >bc >-- >Brian Curran ebcurran@flash.net >I speak for myself only. See the First Amendment for details. >In the end, there can be only one. And you're reading his signature... > >------------------------------ > >Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 16:07:24 -0400 >From: Miles Schumacher >Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice > > The following site became a commissioned ASOS site at 1800 UTC on 28 > August, 1977 > > RICHARDS-GEBAUR AIRPORT (KGVW) > KANSAS CITY... MO > > Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX > >------------------------------ > >Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 14:40:46 -0700 >From: Tye Parzybok >Subject: El Nino & Sep 97 - Feb 98 WX Forecast for Oregon > >for full story: http://www.ocs.orst.edu/reports/winter97.html > > > Fall and Winter Weather Forecast - 1997-98 > George H. Taylor, State Climatologist > Tye W. Parzybok, Research Scientist > August 28, 1997 >Introduction----------------------------------------------------------------- > >Winter weather in Oregon and the Pacific Northwest is influenced by the >Pacific Ocean, the jet stream in the upper atmosphere, low level winds, >and other factors. In recent years, the very strong influence of the tropical >Pacific on worldwide weather, including the Northwest, has been >identified. It is now known that the ocean-atmosphere condition in the >equatorial Pacific known as the El Niqo/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) plays >a key role in global weather. > >ENSO has two phases: the El Niqo, or "warm >event," involves warmer than average sea temperatures off South America >and generally cooler than average in the western Pacific near Indonesia; >and the La Niqa, or "cold event," with cooler than average temperatures >off South America and warmer than average in the west Pacific. > >Typically, >an El Niqo will produce a drier and warmer than normal winter in the >Northwest, while La Niqas are associated with relatively wet and cool >winters. For the past two winters, a La Niqa has been in place, and the >result has been very wet winters. Occasionally, very strong El Niqo events >bring wetter than normal winters to the Northwest (this happened during >the 1982-83 and 1994-95 winters), but conditions are drier than average >during about 75% of all El Niqos. Along the southern boundary of the U.S. >(from southern California through Arizona, New Mexico, and Texas to the >Gulf Coast), winter conditions are just opposite to those in the >Northwest: wet and cool during El Niqo conditions and warm and dry during >La Niqas. A temperature map, from the Climate Diagnostics Center, shows >areas which are typically warm (red, orange, yellow) and cool (blue, >violet) during El Niqos in the months of December - February. A similar >map for precipitation for January - March shows the generally dry >conditions across the northern tier of states and the wetter than average >southern regions. > >In the past 5 months, a strong El Niqo has developed in >the Pacific, and it appears to be one of the strongest of the century. >Sea surface temperatures (SST) more than 9 degrees F above normal have >been reported off the coast of Peru. Forecasters will be watching the >Pacific closely during the next several months. There are indications >that this El Niqo peaked in June and is beginning to wane. Based on that >assumption, and using historical information from previous similar >conditions, the following forecast for the 1997-98 winter was developed. > >Previous Similar Years---------------------------------------------------- > >This winter forecast for Oregon is based heavily on >analog years (past winters with similar El Niqo situations). Those years >include: 1946, 1951, 1957, 1965, 1972, 1977, 1982, and 1991. While the >1982-83 event was the strongest on record, it is somewhat different than >the current El Niqo. For example, the 82-83 event peaked in late in the >winter, while the current El Niqo appears to have peaked during summer. >The years which most closely resemble 1997 are 1977, 1946, and 1972. Our >forecast is based on a composite of the eight years above, based most >strongly on the three best-fit years. > >Several notable weather events occurred during the analog years: > >1972. >In December, an extremely cold air mass settled over Oregon. Salem's >all-time record low (-12 degrees F) >was recorded, and the entire Willamette Valley had below-zero temperatures >and heavy snow (15 inches at Salem in December). In eastern Oregon, many >sites had readings below -30, led by Seneca at -40F. > >1977. >A series of very strong storms hit western Oregon in November and >December, bringing >high winds, heavy rain and snow (8 inches at Portland) to the state. > >1982. >A relatively dry, cool early winter was followed by very mild and >dry weather in January and February. The high-elevation snowpack, which >was quite extensive early in the season, eroded quickly after the first of >the year. > >1991. >Abundant early-season snows (October and November) in the >mountains brought hopes for an end to the six-year drought, but dry, mild >weather from December through the remainder of the winter led to a >statewide drought emergency the following summer. > >Forecast------------------------------------------------------------------- > >While early September is expected to be cool and unsettled, the weather >will turn pleasant and mild by mid-month and extend into early October. In >mid-October, the first significant winter storms are expected, bringing >rain, wind and much cooler temperatures. > >The active polar jet stream and >the abundance of moisture from the warm equatorial waters will help to >spawn several potent mid-latitude storms in the northern Pacific Ocean >during November and December. Several of these storms will affect Oregon, >producing cold temperatures, high winds, moderate rains and mountain >snows. While the storms are expected to be powerful, we do not expect >extreme flooding as we did during the past winters. > >The latest forecast >models indicate moderating SSTs later this winter; thus, we expect a >shift from the current strong El Niqo to more normal conditions. >Therefore, in January, the jet stream will move northward, and thus Oregon >is more likely to see the typical influences of an average El Niqo: drier >and warmer than normal (unlike the winter of 1982-83, when continued >strong El Niqo conditions caused a very wet winter in Oregon). The storm >track will likely split, sending powerful subtropical storms into >California, with southern Oregon occasionally receiving glancing blows. >The northern branch of the jet stream will affect areas well to the north >(Alaska and British Columbia), leaving most of the Northwest dry and mild >through February. > >We are watching a large cool SST anomaly 2,000 miles >off the Oregon Coast (near 37 N and 150 W ) which may have additional >impacts on Oregon's winter weather, but at this point its effects are >unclear. > >Summary------------------------------------------------------------------- > >Seasonal precipitation will be fairly close to normal, >with above average early season rains balanced by a dry latter half of >winter. Temperatures will be generally above normal, and snowpack will be >above normal early and then deteriorate during >mid- to late winter. > > > >Submitted to WX-TALK by Tye W. Parzybok mcci@peak.org on 8/28/97. > >------------------------------ > >Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 18:06:29 -0400 >From: EAGLE241@AOL.COM >Subject: NOAA Wx Radio > >August 28, 1997 > >TO: John Hennessee, Washington Mailbox QST, ARRL >RE: September 1997 QST Report Concerning Automatic > Retransmission of NOAA Weather Radio > >Thank you for letting me bend your ear on the NOAA weather radio >retransmission question during our telephone conference today. > >Since weather warnings are so time critical, it is not an acceptable >substitute to automatically retransmitted warnings to listen to a NOAA >weather radio plugged into a building. These warnings are usually only valid >for 45 minutes (thunderstorm) but are actually usually only time critical for >10-15 minutes to give you enough time to change your schedule to avoid the >storm. You need to know about weather alerts immediately when you are away >from buildings. The NWS feels they are successful if they put out a tornado >warning 10 minutes before touchdown. > >Most weather warnings are to seek shelter. Telling people in a shelter to >seek shelter is usually not critical. Telling a fireman on a tower ladder or >a utility repair person on a telephone pole of an approaching thunderstorm is >almost always critical. > >Your September 1997 article in QST catagorically states that it is not >permissible to automatically retransmit NOAA weather radio on amateur >repeaters. If you can find a ruling by the FCC concerning the automatic >retransmission of weather warnings to the public on amateur repeaters, please >fax it to me. In our telephone conference you indicated that you had no >present knowledge of such a ruling. > >Please note that the FCC REQUIRES unattended cable head ins to AUTOMATICALLY >retransmit certain EAS warnings see 47 CFR 11.52(e)(1). > >Although the NWS warnings are not a mandatory retransmit, they comprise the >bulk (80%+) of all EBS/EAS activations. > >Therefore, if anything, there is precedent for automatic retransmission of >federal government alerts at unattended stations to the public. > >The FCC has required all broadcasters to purchase expensive EAS >encoders/decoders with the capability of retransmitting warnings, which may >monitor NOAA weather radio for retransmission (47 CFR 11.33(1)). If it is an >FCC priority to retransmit weather warnings on commercial broadcast stations >as a public service, why should amateur radio be excluded from also providing >this free public service? > >Further, part 97 (47 CFR 97.1(a)) supports as a goal of amateur radio the >"Recognition and enhancement of the value of the amateur service to the >public as a voluntary noncommercial communication service, particularly with >respect to providing emergency communication." > >The retransmission of weather alerts clearly falls within this goal of >amateur radio. Many areas of the country have weak or no NOAA weather radio >coverage. The government is partnering with many municpalities under Vice >President Al Gore's NOAA weather radio initiative to provide additional NOAA >weather radio transmitters. > >Permitting amateur repeaters to automatically retransmit NOAA severe weather >alerts (at no cost to the government) (the content of which amateurs are >specifically permitted to do under 97.113(e)) of government declared weather >emergencies, not only helps keep the amateur radio operators informed in the >field supporting the NWS through Skywarn (an ARRL approved activity with a >MOU) of potentially life threatening severe weather conditions, but also >those people listening to the repeaters on scanners and the organizations >that are running events, such as bikethons, supported by ARES and RACES, >directly benefit from this public service, especially in weak NOAA weather >radio coverage areas. > >The potential for saving lives by getting thousands of people to shelter >during a summer bikethon when a thunderstorm is threatening has to outweigh >any possible problem with the fact that it was the NWS which set off the >alert to warn people, as opposed to a licensed amateur. > >During emergencies the federal government (FEMA) regularly conducts two way >communication with amateurs on amateur bands. (Check who owns amateur calls >KF1EMA, KF2EMA, KF3EMA, KF4EMA, etc.!) How are NWS weather alerts any >different from FEMA speaking to hams on amateur frequencies during >hurricanes? They are not. > >We feel that the Vice President would agree. > >Please check out our website at www.thuneagle.com for success stories where >NOAA weather radio alerts were received by people in the field including the >Red Cross HumVee (enroute to Hurricane Bertha in NC from the Olympics in >Georgia) and the Williamsburg VA FD (tower ladder at fire call and hazmat). > >Please email me at dgropper@thuneagle.com if I can be of any further >assistance. > >We look forward to the ARRL's support of the retransmission of automatic >weather alerts on amateur radio repeaters. > >Dan Gropper >KC4OCG >Skywarn Training Coordinator >NWS Washington, DC Forecast Office > >------------------------------ > >Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 17:29:51 -0700 >From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF >Subject: El Nino Feeding Frenzy > >Headline, > >El Nino/ENSO Feeding Frenzy About to Grip the Dominant Media Culture! > >Story, > >After racking up record ratings from previous efforts at hurricane and >storm coverage, savvy network executives have put their "eye" on the El >Nino/ENSO sensation currently underway. Faceless hordes of viewers who >wouldn't know a watch from a warning, or the Atlantic from the Pacific, >are proudly proffering their new found awareness of, and concern for, >"The El Nino". > >The El Nino is now the lead story on the evening network news >broadcasts, which continue to blight the radio spectrum with their high >pitched emotional prattle. Much to the detriment of any hard news or >real science. Never underestimate the ability of our ruling media >interests to completely confound any technical issue. > >The approaching Fall and Winter are almost assured to feature the >following outpouring of network dreck and obfuscation, > >Planet on the Precipice >El Nino - Threat or Menace? >Last Gasp of the Planet - Tobacco Implicated in ENSO >Administration Proposes ENSO Mitigation Tax >UN Assembles ENSO OPFOR >Peruvian Stink Beetle Endangered by the El Nino Onslaught >Icebergs Batter Bahamian Beaches > >Everything from Pestilence to Bad Personal Hygiene will be attributed to >the warming of the waters in the Pacific. All manner of misdeed and >malaise will be attributed to a weather pattern even the experts have >not fully grasped. Rest assured that the well coiffured and manicured >network anchors will "make a difference" and tell us what "we really >need to know". > >Remember the Audi 5000 Sudden Acceleration Syndrome, The Great >Alar/Apple Scare, The Exploding Chevy Pickup Massacre? All this from the >self appointed "Guardians of Truth". The New Age/Green/Quickening crowd >will flock in rapt worship to the front of their "21 inch Window to the >Universe". Anything of a technical nature is sure to confound and >disorientate the major networks. Thus, Grand Theater and Emotion will >dominate El Nino coverage. > >Let the show begin. > >"From the well of the waters, the brown stuff doth floeth" (BK 8/97) > >********************************************************************** >Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Milwaukee Wisconsin USA > >Owner: Shlocky Enterprises, Home of the Amazing "Thunder Bra" >Maximum Leader: Scud Busters - Severe Storm Services >Inventor: E.L.S.I.E. (Electively Locatable Storm Instrument Ensemble) >Editor: The Kopp Kronicles > >********************************************************************** >(Astute readers will note that the above diatribe is the product of the >sinister evil twin of the normally placid and ruggedly handsome Bernie >Kopp located at,) >http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp > >Thank you for your consideration. Now, back to Wx-Talk! > >--------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----------- > >------------------------------ > >End of WX-TALK Digest - 27 Aug 1997 to 28 Aug 1997 >************************************************** > > ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 08:48:52 +0100 From: Roger Brugge Subject: PostDoc vacancy, Reading, UK Postdoctoral position. Atnospheric Science of the Urban Environment: The exchange of polluted air between the urban boundary layer and the free troposphere. Applications are invited for a 3-year postdoctoral position to study the exchange of polluted air between the urban boundary layer and the free troposphere. The project will involve developing an on-line model of chemistry and transport by including a reduced chemical mechanism into the Meteorological Office Unified Model. The project will be jointly supervised by Dr Deb Fish and Professor Alan Thorpe and will be based in the Department of Meteorology at the University of Reading. Applicants should have, or be about to obtain, a Ph.D. and should ideally have some experience of meteorological modelling and some knowledge of atmospheric chemistry (or a willingness to learn). The salary will be in the usual range and will depend on age and experience. Prospective applicants are invited to contact Deb Fish (e-mail: D.J. Fish@reading.ac.uk, tel: +44 1189 316791) or Alan Thorpe (e-mail: A.J.Thorpe@reading.ac.uk, tel: +44 1189 318957) to discuss the post informally . Prospective applicants are encouraged to apply as soon as possible and no later than 31 October 1997. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 09:09:15 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Tropical activity report >From AccuWX's daily weather summary... http://personal3.accuweather.com/iwxpage/index.htm SPECIAL WEATHER Jimena beginning to weaken in the Eastern Pacific; lack of August storms in the Atlantic about to set a 36 year precedent... At 11 p.m. EDT yesterday evening, Hurricane Jimena was centered near 20.4 degrees north latitude and 138.1 degrees west longitude, or about 1,100 miles east of Hawaii. Jimena is beginning to weaken as it enters an area of unfavorable upper-level winds and cooler ocean temperatures. The storm was moving toward the north-northwest at 13 mph. Maximum sustained winds were 120 mph with gusts to 150 mph. Meanwhile, in the Atlantic, a tropical wave well to the east of the Lesser Antilles shows little or no signs of development. The last time there were no named storms in the Atlantic, Caribbean or Gulf Of Mexico during the month of August was back in 1961. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 29 Aug 2002 10:31:56 -0700 From: "Jared \"wxman\" Kaplan" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 27 Aug 1997 to 28 Aug 1997 Does anyone know where I can obtain a list of monthly rainfall averages? Thanks, Jared Kaplan ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 13:12:43 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: TPC admin movement >From the Associated Press... 08/29/1997 11:33 EST Hurricane Center Head Reassigned WASHINGTON (AP) -- The director of the National Hurricane Center in Miami is being reassigned because of health reasons, the National Weather Service announced today. Robert W. Burpee will be transferred to a senior scientist position at the center, the agency said. Burpee, head of the center that studies and predicts tropical storms since 1995, said he requested the change ``to allow time for full recovery from continuing health concerns, most recently difficulties with my vision following cataract surgery.'' ``Dr. Burpee is an asset to our organization and the field of hurricane research. I am pleased that he will continue working with us in a research capacity,'' said Ron McPherson, head of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction, which oversees the hurricane center. Jerry Jarrell, currently deputy director of the center, will serve as acting director until a replacement is named for Burpee ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 13:51:00 EST5EDT From: Scott Cravens Subject: Dataloggers Does anyone have any experience with Dataloggers and would like to share their info. with me? Or, if anyone could explain how they work/etc. I would appreciate it very much!! Please email me directly with the info! Thanks. --Scott ===================================================================== ->> Scott Cravens phone: (919) 515-6095 ->> NCSU - Box 8614 fax : (919) 515-5564 ->> Raleigh, NC 27695-8614 email: scott_cravens@ncsu.edu ===================================================================== ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 16:23:39 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: NEXRAD Composite archives online... http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/nexrad/nexmain.html August 07, 1997 Selected NEXRAD National Mosaic Reflectivity Images are now available on our web site. Daily images are available from 1 April 1995-18 April 1997 and hourly images are available from 19 April 1997-Present. August 29, 1997 Animate selected NEXRAD National Mosaic Reflectivity Images on the fly. Select your image (daily available from 1 April 1995-18 April 1997 and hourly available from 19 April 1997-present). Then animate it. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 03:19:39 -0400 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: Record Inactive August? With August drawing to a close, there has not been even a single tropical depression in the Atlantic. Does anyone know if this is a record? Boris A. Konon WSI Meteorological Operations ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 28 Aug 1997 22:36:16 -0500 From: Damon Hynes Subject: El Nino $$$ Heard a discussion in one of the news networks regarding the upcoming El Nino. . ."the last one caused 'X' million dollars in damage. . ." Questions: Was every flood, hurricane, mudslide, range fire caused by El Nino? Did El Nino suppress weather extremes in other areas? My thinking is that some news bureau added up all the damages rom the last El Nino year, without subtracting out the 'average year' costs. But then, I believe the news will rationalize any way they can in order to tout the highest $ figure they can. positively paranoid, damon -- ~~~~~ I once played poker with a deck of Tarot cards. I got a full house and three people died. -- Steven Wright ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 17:08:55 CDT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: So much for the Gainsville split! BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 335 PM EDT FRI AUG 29 1997 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A TORNADO WARNING EFFECTIVE UNTIL 400 PM EDT FOR PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... IN NORTH FLORIDA ...EASTERN ALACHUA COUNTY AT 340 PM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM TO THE EAST OF GAINESVILLE MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. AT 332 PM GAINESVILLE POLICE REPORTED THAT A TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN IN THE 3100 BLOCK OF NORTH MAIN STREET IN GAINESVILLE. greg stumpf, NSSL ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 20:27:10 GMT From: Thomas Owens Subject: Re: any tips for a wanna be meteorologist? In article <19970829170601.NAA05188@ladder01.news.aol.com>, fearthis49@aol.com says... > >any tips for a wanna be meteorologist? A must read from the AMS--> Challenges of our Changing Atmosphere -- Careers in Atmospheric Research and Applied Meteorology You can see it online at: http://www.ametsoc.org/AMS/pubs/creers.html Check out Meteorology schools online at: http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/WWW_Virtual_Library/metschool.html -- ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ + Thomas Owens Email: tjo113@psu.edu + + + + Owner of the Meteorology Students Mailing List - METSTUD + + + + The Allentown Weather Center - Over 1000 Weather Links! + + http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/weather.html + + + + The WWW Virtual Library: Meteorology + + http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/WWW_Virtual_Library/ + ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 28 Aug 1997 to 29 Aug 1997 - Special issue ****************************************************************** From - Mon Sep 1 07:14:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <31810-9848>; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 13:05:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA20744; Sat, 30 Aug 1997 00:02:56 -0500 Message-Id: <199708300502.AAA20744@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 30 Aug 1997 00:00:20 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 29 Aug 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: ea86f3f1e89b71e6af084d21195b275e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 5187 Status: OR There are 2 messages totalling 116 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. El Nino $$$ 2. So much for the Gainsville split! +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 29 Aug 1997 20:39:53 -0700 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: El Nino $$$ > From: Damon Hynes > Heard a discussion in one of the news networks regarding the upcoming El > Nino. . ."the last one caused 'X' million dollars in damage. . ." > Questions: Was every flood, hurricane, mudslide, range fire caused by El > Nino? Did El Nino suppress weather extremes in other areas? > My thinking is that some news bureau added up all the damages rom the > last El Nino year, without subtracting out the 'average year' costs. Damon H. "nails it"! What about changing weather patterns suppressing "bad" weather? Yes, many news departments will simply "total up" any supposed event and present a conclusion with no attempt or pretense of any type of analysis. > But then, I believe the news will rationalize any way they can in order > to tout the highest $ figure they can. -Body Bag Journalism- > positively paranoid, Most of your fears are real! > damon > ~~~~~ > I once played poker with a deck of Tarot cards. > I got a full house and three people died. > -- Steven Wright Careful with that occult stuff Damon! :-D ************************************************************************* 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA Milwaukee Area Skywarn Assoc./Milwaukee-Waukesha Amateur Radio Emergency Service (A.R.E.S.)/IL Multi-County Warning System E-Mail, bkopp@execpc.com Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" my severe weather and SKYWARN home page! SFTS! http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 30 Aug 1997 00:08:04 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: So much for the Gainsville split! On Fri, 29 Aug 1997, Greg Stumpf wrote: > BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED > TORNADO WARNING > NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL > 335 PM EDT FRI AUG 29 1997 > > THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A > TORNADO WARNING EFFECTIVE UNTIL 400 PM EDT > FOR PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... > > IN NORTH FLORIDA > > ...EASTERN ALACHUA COUNTY > > AT 340 PM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM TO THE > EAST OF GAINESVILLE MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. AT 332 PM GAINESVILLE POLICE > REPORTED THAT A TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN IN THE 3100 BLOCK OF NORTH MAIN > STREET IN GAINESVILLE. Heh, heh! :) Smarty-pants! Last year I moved further NW in Gainesville so it passed just S of me and I never did get a drop of rain from it. Winds picked up a little, slight temp drop, as if it wanted to, though. The dark outflow boundary seemed to come just up to my location but never did overtake it. The front was moving S but the storm movement was W-E along it. Guess that would explain why it seemed to stop as it approached my location. Earlier, when the rumbling started I took a sec outside and for a short time I *was* able to see part of the tower almost over my head. That's a weird view of a tower -- from the edge directly below rather than from the side miles away. You know? they seem a lot taller from this position. 8-) (Being that close to the feet of the giant, I was sure this time not to wave my fist and curse at it. 8-) ...Not _this_ time, at least.) Then that outflow came in and blocked the view. A constant complainer this one. Thunder and blue flashes were incessant. (Though never actually saw any of the bolts that caused the flashes.) The dark outflow wall blocked virtually all of the view of the storm to the south, as I said; though I could see a striated, mammatus-bubbling anvil stretching out overhead. Sky was pretty hazy to begin with and travelling about 15 miles north to get gas didn't result in any better views of it, unfortunately. The tornado that occured (was it a tornado or an after-the-fact est. of damage?) was some 7 miles east of where I now live. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman, A.R.S. KB4MHH -\\- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- Home Page URL: http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Permission to use the above info for inclusion in any mailing | | lists, so as to send me ad-mail personally, is NOT granted. | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 29 Aug 1997 *********************************** From - Mon Sep 1 07:14:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625992-6934>; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 13:09:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA14130; Sun, 31 Aug 1997 00:05:39 -0500 Message-Id: <199708310505.AAA14130@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 31 Aug 1997 00:00:20 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 29 Aug 1997 to 30 Aug 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 4e0289dfefb38e9604fd419ab6d495e5 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 8488 Status: OR There are 5 messages totalling 191 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. LSR for yesterday's GVL tornado? 2. Regarding Gainesville, Fla. tornado... 3. El Nino $$$ 4. Record Inactive August? 5. Weather Shelter +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 30 Aug 1997 13:30:17 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: LSR for yesterday's GVL tornado? Did I miss it or was an LSR not issued for yesterday's tornado in Gainesville, Fla.? TOdd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman, A.R.S. KB4MHH -\\- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- Home Page URL: http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Permission to use the above info for inclusion in any mailing | | lists, so as to send me ad-mail personally, is NOT granted. | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 30 Aug 1997 16:21:47 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Regarding Gainesville, Fla. tornado... Ah HAH! That's what I thought. :) Apparently, so far as is currently indicated, no tornado was actually sighted; but rather, someone inferred...and thus it's not confirmed. And from there the rumors spread. I note there is no mention of the GPD officer who said he spotted a tornado. Why wasn't he interviewed? ...Anyway, this was in today's Gainesville Sun. What's "hard rain," anyway? Is that, like, almost of the hardness of hail -- but not quite -- yet still hard enough to make you say "ouch?" 8-) Todd --- >From _The Gainesville Sun_, August 30, 1997, p. 2B BIG STORM BRINGS HAIL, HARD RAIN By Florida A. Bridgewater, Sun Staff Writer Sun Staff writer Brad Keoun contributed to this report. A severe thunder and lightning storm blasted its way across the northern part of Gainesville Friday afternoon, knocking down trees and bringing torrential rains. "It was a small cell that just blew up when it got over Gainesville," said Alachua County Emergency Manager Steve Abrams. The storm started in the Dixie and Levy County area, then blew over Gilchrist County toward Gainesville and Starke at about 15 mph. . According to Gilchrist County sheriff's officials, a man was hit by lightning but he refused medical attention and did not want to reveal his name. Just before 4 p.m., the unstable winds settled over Gainesville. Several calls to Abram's office claimed sightings of tornadoes and dime-sized hail. In the 4100 block of N. Main Street, while there was no evidence of a tornado touching down, Abrams confirmed it was a "severe wind event," or a sudden down-draft of high winds. Those gusty winds spewed hail in that area, uprooted a tree and knocked down signs that damaged several cars. Hail was also spotted in the 5200 block of NE 39th Avenue. "It was a doozy," said Jonathan Gallington, who works at Regency Mazda, 4025 N. Main Street. A lightning strike hit the Gainesville Communications tower, which knocked out police phones and radios for just over 20 minutes, said Stuart Schwartz of Gainesville Fire Rescue. A backup system transferred those calls to county dis- patchers. The same system works in reverse if the county's communication system should ever go down. "It's a very good redundant operating system," Schwartz said. "There were no delays in our system." When the storm reached Melrose about 4:45 p.m., it brought down power lines, toppled a satellite dish and sent the tops of trees through the roofs of two homes in Bradford County. Melrose Fire Chief Michael Heeder said the homes, in the 200 block of SE 5th Avenue, had several thousand dollars in damage. The homeowners, , and their families were at home when the tree smashed through their roofs. No one was injured. Power was knocked out briefly in Melrose and restored in just under two hours, Heeder said. "Now, we are basically raking up the remaining debris, and the homeowners are making contact with their insurance compan- ies," Heeder said. As for the Gator football game in Gainesville tonight at 6, it might be a good idea to carry a rain slicker. "It could be another round of thunderstorms," said Jackson- ville Weather Service meteorologist Bob Mobbs. But it may be over by then -- hopefully. --- /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman, A.R.S. KB4MHH -\\- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- Home Page URL: http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Permission to use the above info for inclusion in any mailing | | lists, so as to send me ad-mail personally, is NOT granted. | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 30 Aug 1997 18:05:58 -0400 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Re: El Nino $$$ On Fri, 29 Aug 1997, damon wrote: > Heard a discussion in one of the news networks regarding the upcoming El > Nino. . ."the last one caused 'X' million dollars in damage. . ." > Questions: Was every flood, hurricane, mudslide, range fire caused by El > Nino? Did El Nino suppress weather extremes in other areas? > My thinking is that some news bureau added up all the damages rom the > last El Nino year, without subtracting out the 'average year' costs. > > But then, I believe the news will rationalize any way they can in order > to tout the highest $ figure they can. Another point is the beneficial aspects of El Nino that are often overlooked. El Ninos (Los Ninos?) typically are associated with a moderate to strong reduction of Atlantic hurricanes (and the '97 El Nino does appear to be having an effect). Fewer hurricanes - specifically, fewer making landfall in the US or the Caribbean Islands - would lead to less damage over the long haul. Additionally, El Ninos nicely enhance the rainfall in the Southeast US in the winter and spring. In Florida this is beneficial because the winter and spring are our dry season - the wildfire season. El Ninos with cooler winter temps and more rainfall dramatically cut down our fire damage in the state. Prof. Jim O'Brien of FSU has a great way to put it: "We love El Ninos in Florida: fewer hurricanes and fewer wildfires." It's the La Ninas that we have to watch out for... Best regards, chris ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** "Squalls out on the Gulf Stream, Big storm is coming soon..." Jimmy Buffett, _Trying to reason with hurricane season_ ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 31 Aug 1997 00:54:32 GMT From: rjhstorm Subject: Re: Record Inactive August? It doesn't happen often,m but August has gone without tropical storms before - the last time being 1961. Onr note - after going without a tropical storm in august - the months of Sept/Oct/November spawned 10 of them. ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 30 Aug 1997 21:20:13 -0700 From: Josiah A Mault Subject: Weather Shelter Does anybody know where I can get a weather shelter that's good, yet cheap??? Thank You!! Josiah ************************************************************ My weather web pages! The Weather Page http://pages.prodigy.net/jmmault/weather.htm Dalnet's #Weather Chat Channel http://pages.prodigy.net/jmmault/wx/weatherchat.htm Weather link http://pages.prodigy.net/jmmault/wxlink.htm DWT Coming soon! ************************************************************* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 29 Aug 1997 to 30 Aug 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Mar 19 13:22:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102510-16159>; Wed, 19 Mar 1997 13:22:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA79994; Tue, 18 Mar 1997 23:10:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4960684 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Mar 1997 23:10:27 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA69586 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 1997 23:10:26 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA88435 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 18 Mar 1997 23:10:26 -0600 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199703190510.AA88435@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Mar 1997 23:10:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -182310 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 21360 WTPN21 PGTW 190430 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 190421Z MAR 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/180421Z MAR 97// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 180430)// RMKS/ 1. REMARKS: THIS CANCELS REF A. THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED TO THE NORTHWEST OF ENIWETOK (WMO 91251) HAS MOVED NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE DISTURBANCE STILL HAS A VERY LARGE, BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH 15 TO 20 KNOT SURFACE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH IT. HOWEVER, UPPER-LEVEL WINDS AT 200 MB FROM KWAJELEIN (WMO 91366) AND FROM POHNPEI (WMO 91348) ARE 41 KT AND 31 KT, RESPECTIVELY. THIS IS INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT OF DEEP CENTRAL CONVECTION OVER THE CENTER OF THE DISTURBANCE. ADDITIONALLY, WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TO THE NORTHWEST IS ALSO ACTING TO INHIBIT DEEP CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. WHILE THIS DISTURBANCE IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO DEVELOP INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS, WE EXPECT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER TO MOVE WESTWARD AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TO THE NORTH.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Apr 11 08:47:10 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id IAA05076 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 1997 08:47:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102232-24162>; Fri, 11 Apr 1997 08:46:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA140924; Thu, 10 Apr 1997 19:25:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5228043 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Apr 1997 19:25:01 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA08828 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 1997 19:12:09 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id TAA40890 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Apr 1997 19:12:07 -0500 Message-ID: <199704110012.TAA40890@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Apr 1997 19:12:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -101912 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 43703 WTPN21 PGTW 110000 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 102351Z MAR 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 160 NM RADIUS OF 8.9N7 158.8E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 102100Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 9.5N4 159.0E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS FORMED IN THE EASTERN CAROLINE ISLANDS AND BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS EVIDENT IN BOTH SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS AND ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. IMPROVED UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS BEEN OBSERVED ABOVE THIS SYSTEM IN ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS SITUATED OVER WARM WATERS. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 120000Z3.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Apr 11 09:15:31 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id JAA05172 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 1997 09:15:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102278-24162>; Fri, 11 Apr 1997 09:14:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA38902; Thu, 10 Apr 1997 19:55:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5228692 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Apr 1997 19:54:58 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA213106 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 1997 19:54:57 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id TAA45046 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Apr 1997 19:54:56 -0500 Message-ID: <199704110054.TAA45046@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Apr 1997 19:54:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -101954 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 45299 WTPN21 PGTW 110000 COR SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CORRECTED 102351Z APR 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 160 NM RADIUS OF 8.9N7 158.8E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 102100Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 9.5N4 159.0E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS FORMED IN THE EASTERN CAROLINE ISLANDS AND BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS EVIDENT IN BOTH SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS AND ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. IMPROVED UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS BEEN OBSERVED ABOVE THIS SYSTEM IN ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS SITUATED OVER WARM WATERS. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 120000Z3.// 4. JUSTIFICATION: CORRECTS DATE TIME GROUP NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed May 7 06:46:28 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id GAA27995 for ; Wed, 7 May 1997 06:46:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102150-6399>; Wed, 7 May 1997 06:48:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA210450; Tue, 6 May 1997 17:31:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5517697 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 May 1997 17:31:17 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA80116 for ; Tue, 6 May 1997 17:31:16 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id RAA67485 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 May 1997 17:31:16 -0500 Message-ID: <199705062231.RAA67485@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 6 May 1997 17:31:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -061731 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 28058 WTPN21 PGTW 072300 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 062251Z MAY 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 220 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 8.6N4 168.1E6 TO 13.0N4 160.6E3 WITHIN THE NEXT 03 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 062100Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 9.0N9 167.6E0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR THE MARSHALL ISLANDS HAS SHOWN A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS, IN PART IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE DIURNAL CONVECTIVE MAXIMUM. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS PASSED OVER THE ISLAND OF KWAJALEIN (WMO 91366) AND IS CURRENTLY LOCATED TO THEIR NORTHWEST. THIS LOCATION IS IN AGREEMENT WITH SYNOPTIC DATA AND AN 71838Z7 MICROWAVE IMAGE (SSM/I) FROM A DMSP POLAR ORBITER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS GOOD UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW ALOFT. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 082300Z3.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed May 7 07:52:49 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id HAA28432 for ; Wed, 7 May 1997 07:52:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102166-6399>; Wed, 7 May 1997 07:54:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA236088; Tue, 6 May 1997 18:35:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5518174 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 May 1997 18:35:26 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id SAA254494 for ; Tue, 6 May 1997 18:35:25 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id SAA63585 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 May 1997 18:35:25 -0500 Message-ID: <199705062335.SAA63585@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 6 May 1997 18:35:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -061835 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 26718 WTPN21 PGTW 062300 COR SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 062251Z MAY 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 220 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 8.6N4 168.1E6 TO 13.0N4 160.6E3 WITHIN THE NEXT 03 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 062100Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 9.0N9 167.6E0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR THE MARSHALL ISLANDS HAS SHOWN A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS, IN PART IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE DIURNAL CONVECTIVE MAXIMUM. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS PASSED OVER THE ISLAND OF KWAJALEIN (WMO 91366) AND IS CURRENTLY LOCATED TO THEIR NORTHWEST. THIS LOCATION IS IN AGREEMENT WITH SYNOPTIC DATA AND AN 061838Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGE (SSM/I) FROM A DMSP POLAR ORBITER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS GOOD UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW ALOFT. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 072300Z2. 4. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED FOR MANOP HEADER.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue May 27 02:06:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102984-13361>; Tue, 27 May 1997 02:06:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA93606; Mon, 26 May 1997 12:53:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5556261 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 1997 12:52:59 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA186004 for ; Mon, 26 May 1997 12:52:59 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id MAA62658 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 1997 12:52:58 -0500 Message-ID: <199705261752.MAA62658@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 26 May 1997 12:52:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -261252 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 25791 WTPN22 PGTW 261630 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 261623Z MAY 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 320 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9.1N0 162.9E8 TO 12.1N4 152.2E0 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 261430Z6 INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 9.6N5 160.8E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: LATEST AVAILABLE SCATTEROMETRY (261208Z9) INDICATES A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EMBEDDED IN AN ACTIVE MONSOON TROUGH. MICROWAVE IMAGERY FROM 261040Z3 CONFIRMS THE PRESENCE OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER AND ALSO ILLUSTRATES THE POOR CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION AT THIS TIME. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS FROM WMO 91348 (POHNPEI) AS WELL AS WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THIS AREA IS UNDER MODERATE EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS FORECAST TO RELAX WITHIN NEXT 24 HOURS ALLOWING FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 271630Z9.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG62001461623 NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jun 4 16:46:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102745-22646>; Wed, 4 Jun 1997 16:43:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA97496; Wed, 4 Jun 1997 03:28:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5585320 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 4 Jun 1997 03:28:23 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA199364 for ; Wed, 4 Jun 1997 03:28:23 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id DAA42645 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 4 Jun 1997 03:28:22 -0500 Message-ID: <199706040828.DAA42645@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 4 Jun 1997 03:28:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -040328 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e99a09e6e5968e939b1b3ef49711871a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 22162 WTPN21 PGTW 040830 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 040821Z JUN 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 240 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 5.5N0 165.0E2 TO 9.4N3 155.6E7 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 040600Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 6.0N6 164.0E1. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE DISTURBANCE NEAR THE MARSHALL ISLANDS HAS INCREASED IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY AS WELL MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I) INDICATE THIS DISTURBANCE IS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD BUT WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION CENTER. ALTHOUGH THE CLOUD SIGNATURE IS ALREADY IMPRESSIVE (DVORAK T1.5), SCATTEROMETRY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THAT WINDS ARE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SURFACE PRESSURES ARE STILL RELATIVELY HIGH IN THE AREA (ABOUT 1011 MB), BUT ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 050830Z6.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jun 15 09:38:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102736-18550>; Sun, 15 Jun 1997 04:49:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA257004; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 15:35:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5684681 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 15:34:54 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA97898 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 15:32:03 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id PAA54512 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 15:32:02 -0500 Message-ID: <199706142032.PAA54512@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Jun 1997 15:32:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -141532 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f046749f82ba953427a33d1cd1d508b4 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1741 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 55277 WTPN22 PGTW 142030 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 142021Z JUN 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 090 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12.9N2 134.5E3 TO 15.6N2 132.1E7 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 141730Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N7 134.2E0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS RAPIDLY IMPROVED IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CONVECTION HAS BOTH INCREASED AND BECOME MORE CONCENTRATED NEAR THIS SYSTEM=S WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE HAS FORMED ABOVE THIS AREA AS WELL. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE NEAR 30 DEGREES CELSIUS IN THE VICINITY OF THIS SYSTEM AND UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FORECAST TO REMAIN FAVORABLE ABOVE THIS DISTURBANCE. THE MINIMUM SURFACE PRESSURE OF THIS SYSTEM IS ESTIMATED TO BE ABOUT 1006 MB. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 152030Z1.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jun 22 09:23:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103064-16058>; Sun, 22 Jun 1997 05:16:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA236074; Sat, 21 Jun 1997 15:56:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5763847 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Jun 1997 15:54:57 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA74416 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 1997 15:54:56 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id PAA54166 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Jun 1997 15:54:56 -0500 Message-ID: <199706212054.PAA54166@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Jun 1997 15:54:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -211554 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b79eeeabe6590c7e571f586b65bc4029 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1324 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 45715 WTPN21 PGTW 212000 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 212000Z JUN 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13.8N2 117.6W5 TO 14.6N1 121.5W9 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 211630Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N6 119.2W3. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE NEXT SATELLITE INVESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 221800Z3. 2. REMARKS: METSAT DATA WITHIN THE PAST 12 HOURS INDICATES STEADILY INCREASING CONVECTION AND ORGANIZATION OF LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION AND UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IN THE SUSPECT AREA. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 222000Z6.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG33431722040 NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 23 15:03:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102208-3938>; Sun, 22 Jun 1997 12:30:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA65512; Sat, 21 Jun 1997 23:16:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5767407 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Jun 1997 23:13:21 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA144984 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 1997 23:13:20 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id XAA67374 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Jun 1997 23:13:20 -0500 Message-ID: <199706220413.XAA67374@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Jun 1997 23:13:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -212313 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 81da0334d7637da95eefac3d8a5d734a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1672 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 74027 WTPN21 PGTW 220400 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 220351Z APR 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.9N1 138.1E3 TO 14.0N5 132.0E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 220230Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER ISLOCATED NEAR 12.0N3 137.0E1. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: LATEST ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THAT THE MONSOONAL CONVECTIVE AREA IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. PREVIOUS SYNOPTIC DATA AND SCATTEROMETER DATA FROM 21/1334Z INDICATED THAT THIS AREA CONSISTED OF A BROAD CIRCULATION WITH AT LEAST TWO CENTERS. CURRENT ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CENTERS AND CONVECTION IS CONSOLIDATING IN THE AREA NEAR 12.0N3 137E1. DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE HAS DEVELOPED OVER THIS REGION AND OUTFLOW HAS IMPROVED. EXPECT SLOW DEVELOPMENT IN A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AS THE AREA CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 230400Z9.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 23 15:03:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102301-3938>; Sun, 22 Jun 1997 13:16:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA235214; Sun, 22 Jun 1997 00:01:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5767597 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Jun 1997 23:58:30 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA144962 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 1997 23:58:29 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id XAA67994 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Jun 1997 23:58:29 -0500 Message-ID: <199706220458.XAA67994@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Jun 1997 23:58:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -212358 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e9e5ebf1ed22cc057365b30d872769a1 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1802 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 76183 WTPN21 PGTW 220400 COR SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 220351Z JUN 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.9N1 138.1E3 TO 14.0N5 132.0E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 220230Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N3 137.0E1. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: LATEST ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THAT THE MONSOONAL CONVECTIVE AREA IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. PREVIOUS SYNOPTIC DATA AND SCATTEROMETER DATA FROM 21/1334Z INDICATED THAT THIS AREA CONSISTED OF A BROAD CIRCULATION WITH AT LEAST TWO CENTERS. CURRENT ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CENTERS AND CONVECTION ARE CONSOLIDATING IN THE AREA NEAR 12.0N3 137E1. DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE HAS DEVELOPED OVER THIS REGION AND UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS IMPROVED. EXPECT SLOW DEVELOPMENT AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AND THE AREA CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE. 3. JUSTIFICATION: MESSAGE CORRECTED TO REFLECT PROPER DATE ON SUJBECT LINE AND WORDING IN PARAGRAPH 2. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 230400Z9.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 23 15:03:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102327-18383>; Mon, 23 Jun 1997 11:11:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA148844; Sun, 22 Jun 1997 21:51:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5778381 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Jun 1997 21:48:32 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA150438 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 1997 21:48:31 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id VAA68379 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Jun 1997 21:48:31 -0500 Message-ID: <199706230248.VAA68379@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Jun 1997 21:48:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -222148 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5335025c52954df4f5167e744a6c5e6a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2164 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 76824 WTPN22 PGTW 230300 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 230257Z JUN 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/220351Z JUN 97// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 220400)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.0N5 158.0E4 TO 16.0N7 147.9E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 222330Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N5 156.0E2. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: RECENT ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NORTHWEST OF THE MARSHALL ISLANDS HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ALTHOUGH NOT WELL ORGANIZED, CONVECTION HAS NOW FORMED OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. IN ADDITION, AN UPPER LEVEL LOW (DEPICTED IN THE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY) JUST TO THE SYSTEM=S WEST IS HELPING TO MAINTAIN AN AREA OF DIVERGENCE OVER THE REGION AND HELPING TO MAINTAIN THE CONVECTION OVER AND JUST EAST OF THE CIRCULATION. THIS SYSTEM IS EXTREMELY SMALL AND ITS WIND FIELD IS PRIMARILY INFLUENCING THE AREA WITHIN 60 TO 100NM OF THE CENTER, WITH STRONGEST WINDS PRIMARILY ON ITS NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE. SYNOPTIC CONDITIONS AND NUMERICAL MODELS SUGGEST THAT ONLY SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE FOR THIS SYSTEM; HOWEVER, CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THIS SYSTEM TO BECOME A SIGNIFICANT (25KT) TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 240300Z9. 4. SEE REF A FOR DETAILS ON A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT LOCATED NEAR 12.0N3 137.0E1// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 23 15:03:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102337-18383>; Mon, 23 Jun 1997 12:46:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA238222; Sun, 22 Jun 1997 23:27:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5779773 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Jun 1997 23:24:49 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA13522 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 1997 23:24:49 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id XAA76705 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Jun 1997 23:24:48 -0500 Message-ID: <199706230424.XAA76705@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Jun 1997 23:24:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -222324 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0fc29e7a6f147c8eb4ebdf53e4aaff90 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2038 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 70814 WTPN21 PGTW 230400 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 230351Z JUN 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/220351Z JUN 97// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 220400)// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/230227Z JUN 97// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 230230)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.0N5 138.0E2 TO 16.0N7 128.0E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 230230Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N4 134.5E3. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. LATEST ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE MONSOONAL AREA IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA HAS YET TO CONSOLIDATE INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. ALTHOUGH SEVERAL WEAK DISTURBANCES HAVE TRAVELED WESTWARD WITHIN THE TROUGH, THE CENTROID OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER REMAINS NEAR 134E. STRONGEST UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AS INDICATED BY UPPER LEVEL WATER VAPOR-DERIVED WINDS HAS SPLIT INTO TWO REGIONS NEAR 130E AND 138E ALONG THE TROUGH AXIS. THIS IS SLOWING THE CONSOLIDATION PROCESS. SYNOPTIC CONDITIONS AND NUMERICAL MODELS, HOWEVER, INDICATE THAT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 240400Z0. 4. SEE REF B FOR DETAILS ON A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT LOCATED NEAR 14.0N5 156.0E2// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jun 24 12:18:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102381-13786>; Tue, 24 Jun 1997 11:42:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA227772; Mon, 23 Jun 1997 22:18:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5791183 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Jun 1997 22:18:41 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA232450 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 1997 22:15:58 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id WAA69298 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Jun 1997 22:15:58 -0500 Message-ID: <199706240315.WAA69298@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Jun 1997 22:15:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -232215 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ef33dce86e73f0c67bd15bb762a592c8 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1666 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 68527 WTPN22 PGTW 240300 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 240251Z JUN 97// REF/A/RMG/NAPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/230227Z JUN 97// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 230230)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.6N1 151.5E2 TO 13.3N7 143.0E8 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 232330Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N9 150.3E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS NOT BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MOST OF THE SURFACE WINDS AND DEEP CONVECTION REMAIN TO THE NORTH OF THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THIS SYSTEM REMAINS IN A LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE FROM THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 250300Z0.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 28 21:46:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102346-9444>; Wed, 25 Jun 1997 11:00:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA235164; Tue, 24 Jun 1997 21:43:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5711642 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Jun 1997 21:43:32 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA240772 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 1997 21:43:31 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id VAA46100 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Jun 1997 21:43:30 -0500 Message-ID: <199706250243.VAA46100@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Jun 1997 21:43:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -242143 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1c2b32235ffc600ada65d73701afc0b1 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1329 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 40721 WTPN22 PGTW 250300 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 250257Z JUN 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/240251Z JUN 97// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 240300)// RMKS/ 1. REMARKS: THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE THAT HAS BEEN MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHERN MARIANAS HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT ALL OF THE DEEP CONVECTION LIES WELL TO THE NORTH OF THIS SYSTEM=S LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT THE OUTFLOW FROM TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) WILL BEGIN TO INHIBIT CONVECTION WITH THIS SYSTEM IF IT CONTINUES TO TRACK FARTHER WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD. ACCORDINGLY, CONDITIONS ARE NO LONGER DEEMED FAVORABLE FOR THIS SYSTEM TO BECOME A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE (25 KT) DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS CANCELS REF A.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jul 9 19:56:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102472-11812>; Sun, 6 Jul 1997 16:38:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA68160; Sun, 6 Jul 1997 03:24:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5828304 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Jul 1997 03:24:03 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA199206 for ; Sun, 6 Jul 1997 03:24:02 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id DAA49543 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Jul 1997 03:24:01 -0500 Message-ID: <199707060824.DAA49543@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Jul 1997 03:24:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -060324 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3d2eb43d9ff1e350dec08c83797e1bfd X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1380 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 75652 WTPN21 PGTW 060830 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 060821Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 125 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 18.1N0 125.1E9 TO 23.4N9 123.8E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 060630Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N0 125.0E8. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM LOCATED EAST- NORTHEAST OF LUZON HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE UPPER-LEVEL NORTHERLY WIND SHEAR HAS RELAXED OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER ALLOWING FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 070830Z8.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jul 9 19:56:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102379-12384>; Mon, 7 Jul 1997 12:49:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA38466; Sun, 6 Jul 1997 23:36:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5834844 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Jul 1997 23:36:24 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA43568 for ; Sun, 6 Jul 1997 23:36:23 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id XAA62586 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Jul 1997 23:36:22 -0500 Message-ID: <199707070436.XAA62586@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Jul 1997 23:36:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -062336 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e82f20a0d03378b543533917d6597c67 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 901 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 33911 WTPN21 PGTW 070400 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 070351Z JUL 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/060821Z JUL 97// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 060830)// RMKS/ 1. REMARKS: THIS CANCELS REF A. THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED EAST OF TAIWAN HAS DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS DUE TO ENHANCED UPPER-LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 3 09:10:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626423-3628>; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 00:38:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA09960; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 10:43:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6166229 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 10:43:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA14510 for ; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 10:43:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id KAA10010 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 10:43:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709021543.KAA10010@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Sep 1997 10:43:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 021500z Sep 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4b508a173e57db6569185197ea6b5fb6 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1246 Status: OR 499 WTPN21 PGTW 021500 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 021500Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15.6N2 176.4E8 TO 13.1N5 174.9W1 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 021230Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N0 177.0W5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE NEXT SATELLITE INVESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 031200Z6. 2. REMARKS: TCFA HAS BEEN REISSUED DUE TO AN INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION AND CONVECTION IN THE PAST 24 HRS. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 031500Z9.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG55592451525 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 11 10:55:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626283-20553>; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 21:26:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA33192; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 08:17:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6242367 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 08:15:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA41802 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 08:15:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id IAA03243 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 08:15:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709101315.IAA03243@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Sep 1997 08:15:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 101251z Sep 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 82fdfae5e4bd1d02abd6549ab8b91e42 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1674 Status: OR 246 WTPN21 PGTW 101300 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 101251Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.0N2 169.0E6 TO 12.0N3 163.4E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 101200Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N6 168.0E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: LATEST ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA FROM KWAJELEIN ATOLL (WMO 91366) INDICATE THAT A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH, LOCATED SOUTHEAST OF SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS. AS SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA HAS MOVED FURTHER TO THE WEST, THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BECOME CONCENTRATED AND IS NOW SHOWING A CLEAR CYCLONIC ROTATION. ADDITIONALLY, ANTICYCLONIC UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS NOW APPARENT. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT CONTINUES TO DEVELOP. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1002MB. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 111300Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 11 23:21:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629001-11347>; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 20:14:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA04356; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 07:07:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6254080 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 07:06:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA14516 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 07:06:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id HAA05292 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 07:06:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709111206.HAA05292@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 07:06:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 111151z Sep 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 85eac87e10110cf9645d292d9fe801ec X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2016 Status: OR 100 WTPN21 PGTW 111200 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 111151Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/101251Z SEP 97// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 101300)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9.9N8 170.1E9 TO 11.6N8 165.8E0 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 110830Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.4N5 169.0E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 01 KNOT. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE MOST RECENT ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED IN THE EASTERN MARSHALL ISLANDS HAS NOT BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OR MOVED VERY FAR DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM KWAJALEIN (WMO 91366) AND MAJURO (91376) INDICATE THIS SYSTEM REMAINS QUASISTATIONARY WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH AND IS NOT INTENSIFYING. NEVERTHELESS, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT GOOD UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE REMAINS PRESENT ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM THE REGION AND SATELLITE-DERIVED CLOUD WIND DRIFT DATA ALSO SHOW THAT THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO POSSESS A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. IT IS FORECAST TO DRIFT SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD DURING THAT TIME. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 121200Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 11 23:21:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629001-11346>; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 21:04:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAB35448; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 07:52:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6254450 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 07:50:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA40000 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 07:50:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id HAA05320 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 07:50:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709111250.HAA05320@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 07:50:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 111151z Sep 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 922066a85e3a594eb629e7b8bd35e219 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3565 Status: OR 434 WTPN21 PGTW 111200 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 111151Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/101251Z SEP 97// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 101300)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9.9N8 170.1E9 TO 11.6N8 165.8E0 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 110830Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.4N5 169.0E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 01 KNOT. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE MOST RECENT ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED IN THE EASTERN MARSHALL ISLANDS HAS NOT BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OR MOVED VERY FAR DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM KWAJALEIN (WMO 91366) AND MAJURO (91376) INDICATE THIS SYSTEM REMAINS QUASISTATIONARY WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH AND IS NOT INTENSIFYING. NEVERTHELESS, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT GOOD UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE REMAINS PRESENT ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM THE REGION AND SATELLITE-DERIVED CLOUD WIND DRIFT DATA ALSO SHOW THAT THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO POSSESS A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. IT IS FORECAST TO DRIFT SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD DURING THAT TIME. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 121200Z6.// 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 22.8N2 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 23.8N3 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 25.8N5 130.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION 20.1N3 144.7E6 SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z IS 39 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8, 112100Z5, 120300Z6 AND 120900Z2.// TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT TTT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 11 23:21:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629042-11348>; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 21:32:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA34130; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 08:24:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6254766 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 08:23:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA30692 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 08:23:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id IAA05348 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 08:23:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709111323.IAA05348@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 08:23:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 111151z Sep 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4c2345ec02cfb52207d804c4bef73f38 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2085 Status: OR 325 WTPN21 PGTW 111200 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 111151Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/101251Z SEP 97// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW PAGE 03 RUHGSGG0047 UNCLAS 101300)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9.9N8 170.1E9 TO 11.6N8 165.8E0 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 110830Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.4N5 169.0E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 01 KNOT. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE MOST RECENT ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED IN THE EASTERN MARSHALL ISLANDS HAS NOT BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OR MOVED VERY FAR DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM KWAJALEIN (WMO 91366) AND MAJURO (91376) INDICATE THIS SYSTEM REMAINS QUASISTATIONARY WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH AND IS NOT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG0047 UNCLAS INTENSIFYING. NEVERTHELESS, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT GOOD UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE REMAINS PRESENT ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM THE REGION AND SATELLITE-DERIVED CLOUD WIND DRIFT DATA ALSO SHOW THAT THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO POSSESS A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. IT IS FORECAST TO DRIFT SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD DURING THAT TIME. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 121200Z6.// BT #0047 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627532-24921>; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 16:15:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA30450; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 03:08:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6308013 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 03:08:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA32476 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 03:08:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA05955 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 03:08:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709160808.DAA05955@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 03:08:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 160730z Sep 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5e9f69183988878f40f20cfbb56e36c9 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1131 Status: OR 753 WTPN23 PGTW 160800 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 160730Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9.0N9 99.0W8 TO 12.2N5 101.4W6 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 160600Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N6 100.1W2. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE NEXT SATELLITE INVESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 170600Z4. 2. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 170800Z6.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG83462590753 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630425-4697>; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 05:51:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA38374; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 16:46:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6355903 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 16:43:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA29766 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 16:43:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA20594 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 16:42:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709202142.QAA20594@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 16:42:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 202123z Sep 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7f7f291d8fd7d78c35816a1b0c577081 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1492 Status: OR 321 WTPN22 PGTW 202130 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 202123Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 270 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 23.1N6 175.6E9 TO 24.3N9 166.4E7 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 201730Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 23.1N6 174.7E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 201055Z3 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A VERY SMALL LOW-LEVEL CLOSED CIRCULATION WITH ASSOCIATED CENTRAL DEEP CONVECTION. THE CIRCULATION DIAMETER IS APPROXIMATELY ONE DEGREE. THE SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWS AN AREA OF MAX WINDS LOCATED TO THE NORTH OF THE CIRCULATION. THE SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE FAIRLY WELL ORGANIZED IN SPITE OF ITS SIZE. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 212130Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630422-4695>; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 06:13:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA38242; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 17:07:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6355934 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 17:04:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA37872 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 17:04:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA20630 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 17:04:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709202204.RAA20630@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 17:04:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 202123z Sep 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5dedd9896ee5083eddbcaab19433a158 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1534 Status: OR 553 WTPN21 PGTW 202130 COR SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 202123Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 270 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 23.1N6 175.6E9 TO 24.3N9 166.4E7 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 201730Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 23.1N6 174.7E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 201055Z3 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A VERY SMALL LOW-LEVEL CLOSED CIRCULATION WITH ASSOCIATED CENTRAL DEEP CONVECTION. THE CIRCULATION DIAMETER IS APPROXIMATELY ONE DEGREE. THE SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWS AN AREA OF MAX WINDS LOCATED TO THE NORTH OF THE CIRCULATION. THE SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE FAIRLY WELL ORGANIZED IN SPITE OF ITS SIZE. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 212130Z9./ JUSTIFICATION: CORRECTED MANOP HEADER. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625937-29988>; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 06:46:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA42312; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 17:38:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6356163 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 17:35:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA20346 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 17:31:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA20670 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 17:31:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709202231.RAA20670@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 17:31:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 202123z Sep 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9b07fd17d05fe3bc9a14e9a94192696a X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1534 Status: OR 157 WTPN21 PGTW 202130 COR SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 202123Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 270 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 23.1N6 175.6E9 TO 24.3N9 166.4E7 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 201730Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 23.1N6 174.7E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 201055Z3 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A VERY SMALL LOW-LEVEL CLOSED CIRCULATION WITH ASSOCIATED CENTRAL DEEP CONVECTION. THE CIRCULATION DIAMETER IS APPROXIMATELY ONE DEGREE. THE SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWS AN AREA OF MAX WINDS LOCATED TO THE NORTH OF THE CIRCULATION. THE SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE FAIRLY WELL ORGANIZED IN SPITE OF ITS SIZE. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 212130Z9. JUSTIFICATION: CORRECTED MANOP HEADER./ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 14:14:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626646-18911>; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 14:12:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA42258; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 01:05:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6368969 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 01:04:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA27052 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 01:04:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA23038 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 01:04:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709220604.BAA23038@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 01:04:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 220521z Sep 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c7c3d5af9d22296901aed9219c245838 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1635 Status: OR 596 WTPN23 PGTW 220530 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 220521Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.5N6 175.4E7 TO 12.2N5 167.8E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 220230Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.8N9 173.3E4. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS FORMED IN THE MARSHALL ISLANDS TO THE NORTHEAST OF MAJURO. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. BOTH CONVECTIVE AREAL COVERAGE AND ORGANIZATION HAVE IMPROVED MARKEDLY DURING THIS TIME. SATELLITE-DERIVED WATER VAPOR WIND DATA INDICATE STRONG UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS PRESENT ABOVE THIS SYSTEM, WITH ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTING THE FORMATION OF AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 230530Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 14:36:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626630-18911>; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 14:25:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA37248; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 01:18:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6368998 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 01:17:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA16990 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 01:17:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA23049 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 01:17:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709220617.BAA23049@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 01:17:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 220521z Sep 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a0e413733dcfeefdfb113dd26e05e1da X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1754 Status: OR 997 WTPN21 PGTW 220530 COR SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 220521Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.5N6 175.4E7 TO 12.2N5 167.8E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 220230Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.8N9 173.3E4. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS FORMED IN THE MARSHALL ISLANDS TO THE NORTHEAST OF MAJURO. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM=S ORGANIZATION HAS IMPROVED MARKEDLY DURING THIS TIME, AND CONVECTIVE AREAL COVERAGE HAS INCREASED AS WELL. SATELLITE-DERIVED WATER VAPOR WIND DATA INDICATE STRONG UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS PRESENT ABOVE THIS SYSTEM, WITH ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTING THE FORMATION OF AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 230530Z3. 4. JUSTIFICATION: TO CORRECT IMPROPER MANOP HEADER AND EDIT REMARKS IN PARAGRAPH 2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 3 16:15:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626848-11166>; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 14:42:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA52832; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 01:29:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6503487 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 01:27:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA48406 for ; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 01:27:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA22434 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 01:27:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710030627.BAA22434@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 01:27:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 030553z Oct 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e9bd879cbcac1b1448cbe16332503e25 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 137 WTPN21 PGTW 030600 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 030553Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 18.1N0 139.3E6 TO 20.7N9 135.4E3 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 030430Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N0 139.3E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SPECIAL MICROWAVE IMAGERY FROM 022341Z2 INDICATE THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WHICH PASSED THROUGH THE MARIANA ISLANDS YESTERDAY HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. CONVECTION EXISTS PRIMARILY ALONG THE NORTHEAST PERIPHERY OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION OUT TO A DISTANCE OF APPROXIMATELY 120 NM. HOWEVER, NEW CONVECTION HAS ALSO RECENTLY FORMED NEAR THE SYSTEM=S CENTER. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAVORABLE ON THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE SYSTEM. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM SURFACE PRESSURE 1008 MB. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 040600Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626873-25655>; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 16:45:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA32300; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 03:27:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6606371 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 03:24:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA38312 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 03:24:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA02645 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 03:24:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710120824.DAA02645@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 12 Oct 1997 03:24:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 120751z Oct 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d97d0d38f757f9ed96adae80f21daa99 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 114 WTPN21 PGTW 120800 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 120751Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 215 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 8.3N1 158.2E6 TO 11.9N1 149.7E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 03 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 120533Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 8.3N1 157.1E4. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 24 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: ENHANCED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS IN SPITE OF CONTINUED UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 130800Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 14:25:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627122-787>; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 12:27:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA14326; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 23:17:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6616443 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 23:14:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA52780 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 23:14:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id XAA06990 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 23:14:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710130414.XAA06990@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 12 Oct 1997 23:14:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 130355z Oct 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 57f7ff20eb882931474f96503189110c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 751 WTPN22 PGTW 130400 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 130355Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120751Z OCT 97// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 120800)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.2N3 169.3E9 TO 13.4N8 160.4E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 130232Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.6N7 167.9E3. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AREAL COVERAGE AND DEEP CONVECTION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW OF THIS SYSTEM HAS INCREASED. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 140400Z9. 4. SEE REF A FOR DETAILS ON A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT LOCATED NEAR 8.3N1 157.1E4// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 14:25:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627152-787>; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 13:31:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA17454; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 00:18:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6616891 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 00:15:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA33498 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 00:07:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id AAA07244 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 00:07:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710130507.AAA07244@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 13 Oct 1997 00:07:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 130453z Oct 97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 91fc729330b21625dd3397129819cebf X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 799 WTPN21 PGTW 130500 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 130453Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120751Z OCT 97// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 120800)// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/130355Z OCT 97// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 130400)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.2N3 154.5E5 TO 14.1N6 146.6E7 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 130332Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N6 154.1E1. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A CYCLONICALLY CURVED LO W- LEVEL INFLOW PATTERN HAS DEVELOPED AROUND THIS SYSTEM. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS FAVORABLE ABOVE THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TH IS SYSTEM HAS BECOME ELONGATED AND A LITTLE LESS ORGANIZED DURING THE PA ST 9-HOURS; HOWEVER, THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT REMA INS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 140500Z0. 4. SEE REF B FOR DETAILS ON A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT LOCATED NEAR 10.6N7 167.9E3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Feb 1 11:30:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102288-20062>; Sat, 1 Feb 1997 11:30:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA60452; Fri, 31 Jan 1997 14:30:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4431584 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jan 1997 14:29:59 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA03644 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 1997 14:29:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA00298 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jan 1997 14:29:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199701312029.OAA00298@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jan 1997 14:29:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 950 WTXS31 PGTW 312100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) WARNING NR 025 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311800Z3 --- 15.0S6 87.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.0S6 87.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 15.1S7 86.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 15.6S2 84.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 16.0S7 83.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 16.8S5 83.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 312100Z7 POSITION 15.0S6 87.0E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWEST AT 07 KNOTS. CURRENT WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY OF 45 KNOTS ARE BASED ON 311730Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SATELLITE-DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ANALYSIS, RESPECTIVELY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THEN MAINTAIN ABOUT THE SAME INTENSITY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S IS FORECAST TO TURN TO THE SOUTH, THEN SOUTHEAST WITHIN 36 HOURS IN RESPONSE TO A CHANGE IN STEERING FLOW DUE TO THE APPROACH OF A MID-LATITUDE SYSTEM FROM THE SOUTHWEST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311800Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010900Z0 (DTG 010753Z6) AND 012100Z4 (DTG 011953Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Feb 1 10:47:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102210-20062>; Sat, 1 Feb 1997 10:47:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA53094; Fri, 31 Jan 1997 20:42:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4434215 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jan 1997 20:42:32 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA111140 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 1997 20:42:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA05782 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jan 1997 20:42:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702010242.UAA05782@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 31 Jan 1997 20:42:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 142 WTPS31 PGTW 010300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (FREDA) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010000Z1 --- 28.9S9 178.7W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.9S9 178.7W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 29.6S7 177.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 30.3S6 176.9W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 31.4S8 175.9W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 32.6S1 174.9W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 010300Z4 POSITION 29.1S2 178.5W1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (FREDA) IS TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 3 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM CURRENTLY DISPLAYS A TOTALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SYNOPTIC SHIP DATA SURROUNDING THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. TC 22P IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL NEAR THE 48- HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 011500Z7 (DTG 011351Z1) AND 020300Z5 (DTG 020151Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 01/0000Z1 IS 17 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Feb 1 16:27:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102576-20062>; Sat, 1 Feb 1997 16:27:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA54948; Sat, 1 Feb 1997 02:19:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4436857 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Feb 1997 02:18:38 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA39604 for ; Sat, 1 Feb 1997 02:18:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA08464 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Feb 1997 02:18:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702010818.CAA08464@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Feb 1997 02:18:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 885 WTXS31 PGTW 010900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) WARNING NR 026 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010600Z7 --- 15.2S8 85.8E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.2S8 85.8E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 15.3S9 84.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 15.8S4 83.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 16.6S3 82.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 17.5S3 82.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 010900Z0 POSITION 15.2S8 85.4E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY TRACKING WESTWARD IN THE STANDARD/DOMINANT RIDGE SYNOPTIC PATTERN. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE WESTWARD TO WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND TO INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 012100Z4 (DTG 011953Z9) AND 020900Z1 (DTG 020753Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 01/0600Z7 IS 20 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Feb 1 22:25:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102499-20062>; Sat, 1 Feb 1997 22:25:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA71160; Sat, 1 Feb 1997 08:19:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4439393 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Feb 1997 08:18:49 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA122988 for ; Sat, 1 Feb 1997 08:18:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA12838 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Feb 1997 08:18:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702011418.IAA12838@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Feb 1997 08:18:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 727 WTPS31 PGTW 011500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (FREDA) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z4 --- 30.1S4 177.0W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 30.1S4 177.0W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 31.6S0 175.4W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 33.3S9 174.3W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 35.2S0 173.6W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 011500Z7 POSITION 30.5S8 176.6W0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (FREDA) IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. IT MOVED PAST RAOUL (WMO 93994) DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS, WHERE A 989 MB SEA LEVEL PRESSURE WAS REPORTED. THIS SYNOPTIC DATA WOULD CORRESPOND TO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 0F 48 KNOTS, ALTHOUGH WINDS REPORTED AT RAOUL WERE ONLY IN THE 20 KNOT RANGE. OUR CURRENT WARNING INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS BASED ON INFRARED IMAGERY ANALYSIS INDICATING 35 KNOT WINDS (MILLER AND LANDER XT2.5) AS OF 1130Z. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS SYSTEM HAS BEGUN TO TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WHILE IT SLOWLY WEAKENS. WE EXPECT EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION TO BE COMPLETE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z5 (DTG 020151Z9) AND 021500Z8 (DTG 021351Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z4 IS 16 FEET. ADMINISTRATIVE NOTE: THIS AND PREVIOUS MESSAGES HAVE USED THE SOUTHWESTPAC BULLETIN HEADER (WTPS31) RATHER THAN THE SOUTHEASTPAC HEADER (WHPS31). THIS MESSAGE IS BEING SIMULTANEOUSLY SENT UNDER THE SOUTHEASTPAC HEADER. FURTHER MESSAGES REGARDING THIS SYSTEM WILL BE TRANSMITTED USING ONLY THE SOUTHEASTPAC HEADER (WHPS31 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Feb 1 23:26:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102599-20062>; Sat, 1 Feb 1997 23:26:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA113680; Sat, 1 Feb 1997 09:20:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4439815 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Feb 1997 09:20:37 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA57600 for ; Sat, 1 Feb 1997 09:20:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA13262 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Feb 1997 09:20:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702011520.JAA13262@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Feb 1997 09:20:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 657 WTPS31 PGTW 011500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (FREDA) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z4 --- 30.1S4 177.0W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 30.1S4 177.0W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 31.6S0 175.4W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 33.3S9 174.3W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 35.2S0 173.6W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 011500Z7 POSITION 30.5S8 176.6W0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (FREDA) IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. IT MOVED PAST RAOUL (WMO 93994) DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS, WHERE A 989 MB SEA LEVEL PRESSURE WAS REPORTED. THIS SYNOPTIC DATA WOULD CORRESPOND TO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 0F 48 KNOTS, ALTHOUGH WINDS REPORTED AT RAOUL WERE ONLY IN THE 20 KNOT RANGE. OUR CURRENT WARNING INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS BASED ON INFRARED IMAGERY ANALYSIS INDICATING 35 KNOT WINDS (MILLER AND LANDER XT2.5) AS OF 1130Z. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS SYSTEM HAS BEGUN TO TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WHILE IT SLOWLY WEAKENS. WE EXPECT EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION TO BE COMPLETE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z5 (DTG 020151Z9) AND 021500Z8 (DTG 021351Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z4 IS 16 FEET. ADMINISTRATIVE NOTE: THIS AND PREVIOUS MESSAGES HAVE USED THE SOUTHWESTPAC BULLETIN HEADER (WTPS31) RATHER THAN THE SOUTHEASTPAC HEADER (WHPS31). THIS MESSAGE IS BEING SIMULTANEOUSLY SENT UNDER THE SOUTHEASTPAC HEADER. FURTHER MESSAGES REGARDING THIS SYSTEM WILL BE TRANSMITTED USING ONLY THE SOUTHEASTPAC HEADER (WHPS31 PHNC). JTWC SENDS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Feb 1 23:29:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102600-20062>; Sat, 1 Feb 1997 23:29:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA123090; Sat, 1 Feb 1997 09:24:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4439841 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Feb 1997 09:24:36 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA123068 for ; Sat, 1 Feb 1997 09:24:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA13276 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Feb 1997 09:24:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702011524.JAA13276@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Feb 1997 09:24:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 687 WTPS31 PGTW 011500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (FREDA) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z4 --- 30.1S4 177.0W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 30.1S4 177.0W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 31.6S0 175.4W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 33.3S9 174.3W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 35.2S0 173.6W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 011500Z7 POSITION 30.5S8 176.6W0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (FREDA) IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. IT MOVED PAST RAOUL (WMO 93994) DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS, WHERE A 989 MB SEA LEVEL PRESSURE WAS REPORTED. THIS SYNOPTIC DATA WOULD CORRESPOND TO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 0F 48 KNOTS, ALTHOUGH WINDS REPORTED AT RAOUL WERE ONLY IN THE 20 KNOT RANGE. OUR CURRENT WARNING INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS BASED ON INFRARED IMAGERY ANALYSIS INDICATING 35 KNOT WINDS (MILLER AND LANDER XT2.5) AS OF 1130Z. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS SYSTEM HAS BEGUN TO TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WHILE IT SLOWLY WEAKENS. WE EXPECT EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION TO BE COMPLETE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z5 (DTG 020151Z9) AND 021500Z8 (DTG 021351Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z4 IS 16 FEET. ADMINISTRATIVE NOTE: THIS AND PREVIOUS MESSAGES HAVE USED THE SOUTHWESTPAC BULLETIN HEADER (WTPS31) RATHER THAN THE SOUTHEASTPAC HEADER (WHPS31). THIS MESSAGE IS BEING SIMULTANEOUSLY SENT UNDER THE SOUTHEASTPAC HEADER. FURTHER MESSAGES REGARDING THIS SYSTEM WILL BE TRANSMITTED USING ONLY THE SOUTHEASTPAC HEADER (WHPS31 PHNC). JTWC SENDS.// TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT TTT DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Feb 2 03:30:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102613-20062>; Sun, 2 Feb 1997 03:30:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA76992; Sat, 1 Feb 1997 13:20:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4442619 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Feb 1997 13:20:39 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA101794 for ; Sat, 1 Feb 1997 13:20:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id NAA16008 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Feb 1997 13:20:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702011920.NAA16008@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Feb 1997 13:20:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 324 WTXS31 PGTW 012100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) WARNING NR 027 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011800Z0 --- 15.2S8 85.1E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.2S8 85.1E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 15.7S3 84.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 16.5S2 83.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 17.4S2 82.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 18.4S3 82.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 012100Z4 POSITION 15.3S9 84.9E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) IS MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSES INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS LIE WITHIN THE 100 TO 115 KNOT RANGE (DVORAK T5.5 TO T6.0) AND OUR WARNING INTENSITY IS A BLEND OF THIS DATA. TC 19S IS FORECAST TO REACH ITS SECOND PEAK INTENSITY WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS (THE FIRST PEAK INTENSITY WITH THIS SYSTEM OCCURRED ON 23 JAN 97 AT APPROXIMATELY 125 KNOTS, AND IT WEAKENED TO 45 KNOTS OR LESS WHILE MOVING EQUATORWARD). TC 19S LIES WITHIN THE DOMINANT RIDGE REGION OF THE STANDARD SYNOPTIC PATTERN, AND IT IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION INTO THE WEAKENED RIDGE REGION THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020900Z1 (DTG 020753Z7) AND 022100Z5 (DTG 021953Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z0 IS 21 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Feb 2 16:01:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102242-12612>; Sun, 2 Feb 1997 16:01:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA62398; Sun, 2 Feb 1997 01:55:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4447789 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Feb 1997 01:55:52 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA97964 for ; Sun, 2 Feb 1997 01:55:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id BAA22708 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Feb 1997 01:55:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702020755.BAA22708@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Feb 1997 01:55:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 895 WTXS31 PGTW 020900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) WARNING NR 028 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020600Z8 --- 16.0S7 85.3E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.0S7 85.3E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 16.7S4 85.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 17.5S3 85.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 18.3S2 85.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 19.3S3 85.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 020900Z1 POSITION 16.2S9 85.3E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 3 KNOTS EQUATORWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IN THE DOMINANT RIDGE REGION OF THE STANDARD SYNOPTIC PATTERN. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T6.0 (115 KNOTS). TC 19S IS FORECAST TO MOVE SOUTHWARD OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE WEAKENED RIDGE REGION OF THE STANDARD SYNOPTIC PATTERN. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REACH PEAK INTENSITY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND TO WEAKEN BEYOND THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 022100Z5 (DTG 021953Z0) AND 030900Z2 (DTG 030753Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 02/0600Z8 IS 22 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Feb 3 04:16:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102389-12612>; Mon, 3 Feb 1997 04:16:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA23808; Sun, 2 Feb 1997 14:12:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4451217 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Feb 1997 14:12:30 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA94152 for ; Sun, 2 Feb 1997 14:12:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA29591 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Feb 1997 14:12:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702022012.OAA29591@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Feb 1997 14:12:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 950 WTXS31 PGTW 022100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) WARNING NR 029 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021800Z1 --- 17.3S1 85.3E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 175 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.3S1 85.3E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 18.8S7 85.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 20.1S3 85.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 21.5S8 84.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 22.9S3 84.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 022100Z5 POSITION 17.7S5 85.3E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS INDICATES TC 19S HAS BEGUN TO WEAKEN AND OUR WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES IN THE 100 TO 115 KNOT RANGE (DVORAK CI 5.5 TO 6.0). TC 19S IS MOVING TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING IN A GENERALLY SOUTHERLY DIRECTION THROUGH 48 HOURS. DURING THIS TIME FRAME IT SHOULD ALSO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030900Z2 (DTG 030753Z8) AND 032100Z6 (DTG 031953Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z1 IS 20 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Feb 3 16:13:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102389-3990>; Mon, 3 Feb 1997 16:12:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA95758; Mon, 3 Feb 1997 01:59:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4455554 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Feb 1997 01:59:20 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA12272 for ; Mon, 3 Feb 1997 01:59:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id BAA06437 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Feb 1997 01:59:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702030759.BAA06437@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Feb 1997 01:59:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 832 WTXS31 PGTW 030900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) WARNING NR 030 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z9 --- 17.5S3 85.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.5S3 85.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 18.3S2 85.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 19.4S4 85.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 20.5S7 84.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 21.9S2 84.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 030900Z2 POSITION 17.7S5 85.6E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) IS TRACKING SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS AND ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL NORTHERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 95 KNOTS IS BASED ON A DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF SLIGHTLY LESS THAN T5.5 (100 KNOTS). THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE SOUTHWARD INTO THE WEAKENED RIDGE REGION OF THE STANDARD SYNOPTIC PATTERN AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z6 (DTG 031953Z1) AND 040900Z3 (DTG 040753Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 03/0600Z9 IS 20 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Feb 3 16:55:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102411-3990>; Mon, 3 Feb 1997 16:55:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA49720; Mon, 3 Feb 1997 02:47:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4455693 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Feb 1997 02:46:53 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA44036 for ; Mon, 3 Feb 1997 02:46:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA06892 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Feb 1997 02:46:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702030846.CAA06892@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Feb 1997 02:46:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 425 WTXS31 PGTW 030900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) WARNING NR 030 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z9 --- 17.5S3 85.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMI +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Feb 3 16:58:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102389-3990>; Mon, 3 Feb 1997 16:58:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA96722; Mon, 3 Feb 1997 02:54:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4455720 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Feb 1997 02:54:13 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA41630 for ; Mon, 3 Feb 1997 02:54:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA06931 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Feb 1997 02:54:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702030854.CAA06931@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Feb 1997 02:54:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 482 WTXS31 PGTW 030900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) WARNING NR 030 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z9 --- 17.5S3 85.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.5S3 85.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 18.3S2 85.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Feb 4 16:58:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102208-10784>; Tue, 4 Feb 1997 16:58:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA76394; Mon, 3 Feb 1997 14:03:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4460060 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Feb 1997 14:02:59 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA55212 for ; Mon, 3 Feb 1997 14:01:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA20728 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Feb 1997 14:01:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702032001.OAA20728@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Feb 1997 14:01:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 412 WTXS31 PGTW 032100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) WARNING NR 031 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z2 --- 18.4S3 86.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.4S3 86.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 19.3S3 86.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 20.4S6 86.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 21.5S8 85.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 22.5S9 82.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 032100Z6 POSITION 18.6S5 86.5E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 K NOTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGER (SSM/I) DATA IN DICATE TC 19S HAS BEGUN TO SHEAR APART DUE TO STRONG UPPER LEVEL NORTH EASTERLY WINDS. AS THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND DEEP CONVECTION BEGIN TO SEPARATE TC 19S IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040900Z3 (DTG 040753Z9) AND 042100Z7 (DTG 041953Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z2 IS 18 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Feb 4 18:18:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102325-10784>; Tue, 4 Feb 1997 18:18:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA63374; Tue, 4 Feb 1997 04:14:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4465121 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Feb 1997 04:14:04 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA51546 for ; Tue, 4 Feb 1997 04:14:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id EAA06132 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Feb 1997 04:14:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702041014.EAA06132@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Feb 1997 04:14:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 517 WTXS31 PGTW 040900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) WARNING NR 032 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- 18.3S2 86.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.3S2 86.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 19.6S6 86.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 20.3S5 85.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 20.8S0 83.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 21.2S5 81.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 040900Z3 POSITION 18.6S5 86.8E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THIS WARNING IS RELOCATED BASED ON 040530Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ANALYSIS USING VISIBLE AND INFRARED 040530Z SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S HAS LOST ALL ITS DEEP CONVECTION DUE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. RAPID WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TURN TOWARD THE WEST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS SHALLOW STEERING FLOW TO THE NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE GOVERNS ITS MOTION. A GENERAL MOTION TO THE WEST IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE BEYOND 24 HOURS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER WITHIN 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 042100Z7 (DTG 041953Z2) AND 050900Z4 (DTG 050753Z0).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG86170350753 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Feb 4 18:19:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102350-10784>; Tue, 4 Feb 1997 18:18:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA115682; Tue, 4 Feb 1997 04:14:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4465128 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Feb 1997 04:14:24 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA116936 for ; Tue, 4 Feb 1997 04:14:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id EAA06135 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Feb 1997 04:14:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702041014.EAA06135@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Feb 1997 04:14:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 518 WTXS21 PGTW 040830 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 040821Z FEB 97// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 090 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15.2S8 52.2E9 TO 14.7S2 49.6E9 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 040345Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 15.0S6 51.5E1. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS INTENSIFYING TO THE NORTHEAST OF MADAGASCAR. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION HAS INTENSIFIED AND CONVERGED OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. SCATTEROMETRY DATA WHICH IS NOW ABOUT A DAY OLD SHOWED A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WAS PRESENT WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS OF 25 TO 30 KNOTS TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. THE SAME ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO SHOWED THAT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SEEMED TO BE RELAXING OVER THIS SYSTEM. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 050830Z6.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG86180350821 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Feb 5 16:44:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102367-6256>; Wed, 5 Feb 1997 16:44:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA51566; Tue, 4 Feb 1997 13:55:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4476539 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Feb 1997 13:55:32 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA84976 for ; Tue, 4 Feb 1997 13:54:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id NAA18766 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Feb 1997 13:54:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702041954.NAA18766@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Feb 1997 13:54:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 316 WTXS31 PGTW 042100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) WARNING NR 033 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041800Z3 --- 19.3S3 86.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.3S3 86.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 20.1S3 85.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 20.9S1 84.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 21.8S1 83.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 22.5S9 81.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 042100Z7 POSITION 19.5S5 86.0E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) IS MOVING SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 06 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS NOT WELL-DEFINED IN ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AS THE DEEP CONVECTION IS REMOVED FROM THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY TO THE SOUTH OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REMAIN WITHIN A MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WHICH WILL WEAKEN THE SYSTEM=S INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. ADDITIONALLY, THE TRACK FOR TC 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) IS EXPECTED TO BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY AS IT BECOMES INFLUENCED BY SHALLOW AND MID LAYER NORTHEASTERLY STEERING FLOW. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050900Z4 (DTG 050753Z0) AND 052100Z8 (DTG 051953Z3).MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z IS 19 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Feb 5 13:43:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102194-6256>; Wed, 5 Feb 1997 13:42:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA84338; Tue, 4 Feb 1997 23:39:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4481632 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Feb 1997 23:39:22 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA84286 for ; Tue, 4 Feb 1997 23:39:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id XAA00698 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Feb 1997 23:39:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702050539.XAA00698@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Feb 1997 23:39:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 453 WTXS21 PGTW 050530 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 050530Z FEB 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/040821Z FEB 97// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 040830)// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 090 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.1S6 52.3E0 TO 15.1S7 49.9E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 050122Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 14.4S9 51.3E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 01 KNOT. 3. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR THIS DISTURBANCE TO FORM INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. DEEP CONVECTION HAS RE-INTENSIFIED NEAR THE CENTER DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS, AND CONVECTIVE BANDING HAS BEEN NOTED IN ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM AROUND MADAGASCAR INDICATE A CLEARLY DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION PERSISTS WITH THIS SYSTEM. WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DUAL UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW CHANNELS ARE PRESENT TO THE NORTHWEST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 060530Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Feb 5 16:14:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102256-6256>; Wed, 5 Feb 1997 16:14:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA25192; Wed, 5 Feb 1997 02:08:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4482560 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Feb 1997 02:08:43 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA104778 for ; Wed, 5 Feb 1997 02:08:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA02878 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Feb 1997 02:08:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702050808.CAA02878@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Feb 1997 02:08:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 781 WTXS31 PGTW 050900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) WARNING NR 034 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050600Z1 --- 19.9S9 85.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.9S9 85.2E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 20.9S1 84.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 21.8S1 82.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 22.5S9 80.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 22.8S2 78.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 050900Z4 POSITION 20.2S4 84.9E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) IS MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 06 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND CURRENT INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS ARE BASED ON 050530Z VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED WEAKENING RAPIDLY AND HAS SPUN OFF A SMALLER SECONDARY LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION TO THE NORTH. PANCHO-HELINDA IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE DISSIPATING AND GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE WEST IN SHALLOW STEERING FLOW TO THE NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER WITHIN 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z8 (DTG 051953Z3) AND 060900Z5 (DTG 060753Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Feb 6 14:44:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102304-6655>; Thu, 6 Feb 1997 14:44:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA74072; Thu, 6 Feb 1997 00:21:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4495115 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Feb 1997 00:21:25 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA74084 for ; Thu, 6 Feb 1997 00:21:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id AAA29741 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Feb 1997 00:21:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702060621.AAA29741@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Feb 1997 00:21:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 208 WTXS21 PGTW 060530 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 060521Z FEB 97// REF/A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Feb 6 14:53:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102304-6655>; Thu, 6 Feb 1997 14:53:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA05616; Thu, 6 Feb 1997 00:48:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4495332 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Feb 1997 00:48:42 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA117686 for ; Thu, 6 Feb 1997 00:48:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id AAA29934 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Feb 1997 00:48:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702060648.AAA29934@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Feb 1997 00:48:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 865 WTXS21 PGTW 060530 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 060521Z FEB 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/050521Z FEB 97// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 050530)// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 125 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.3S8 52.3E0 TO 14.1S6 48.9E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 060330Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 14.0S5 50.8E3. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. CONVECTION CONTINUES TO PERSIST AROUND THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE EAST OF MADAGASCAR. THE SYSTEM IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL EASTERLY WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS NO NOTICEABLE IMPROVEMENT IN THE CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 070530Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Feb 6 16:20:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102248-6655>; Thu, 6 Feb 1997 16:20:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA52426; Thu, 6 Feb 1997 02:16:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4495714 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Feb 1997 02:16:51 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA50878 for ; Thu, 6 Feb 1997 02:16:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA00850 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Feb 1997 02:16:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702060816.CAA00850@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Feb 1997 02:16:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 277 WTXS31 PGTW 060900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) WARNING NR 036 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- 20.6S8 80.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.6S8 80.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 21.0S3 78.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION 20.7S9 80.3E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (PANCHO-HELINDA) IS TRACKING WESTWARD IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A CLEARLY DEFINED LOW- LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH MOST OF THE CENTRAL CONVECTION LOCATED TO THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 15 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Feb 7 12:17:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102232-265>; Fri, 7 Feb 1997 12:17:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA82344; Thu, 6 Feb 1997 21:46:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4503633 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Feb 1997 21:45:49 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA26696 for ; Thu, 6 Feb 1997 21:45:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA25638 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Feb 1997 21:45:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702070345.VAA25638@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Feb 1997 21:45:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 336 WTXS21 PGTW 070330 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 070321Z FEB 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/060521Z FEB 97// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 060530)// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 150 NM RADIUS OF 13.0S4 53.8E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 070045Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 13.0S4 53.8E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE EAST OF MADAGASCAR HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. A 06/1910Z7 SCATTEROMETER PASS AS WELL AS AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A CLOSED LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED NORTH OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE UPPER-LEVEL EASTERLY SHEAR HAS RELAXED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS ALLOWING THE CONVECTION TO MOVE OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE HINDERED BY THE MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 080330Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Feb 8 11:32:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102277-24568>; Sat, 8 Feb 1997 11:32:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA110114; Fri, 7 Feb 1997 21:27:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4521262 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Feb 1997 21:27:26 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA119180 for ; Fri, 7 Feb 1997 21:27:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA26206 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Feb 1997 21:27:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702080327.VAA26206@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Feb 1997 21:27:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 985 WTXS21 PGTW 080330 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 080321Z FEB 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070321Z FEB 97// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 070330)// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 080 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.3S8 54.7E6 TO 16.5S2 53.5E3 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 072032Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 14.5S0 54.6E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TO THE EAST OF NORTHEASTERN MADAGASCAR HAS MAINTAINED ABOUT THE SAME INTENSITY DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS SYSTEM HAS BEEN ENCOUNTERING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE EAST WHICH HAD AT LEAST PARTIALLY EXPOSED THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THERE ARE SIGNS IN THE MOST RECENT IMAGERY THAT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR MAY BE RELAXING OVER THIS SYSTEM AND THAT DEEP CONVECTION MAY AGAIN BE CONCENTRATING NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO THE SOUTH OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS PROVIDING A GOOD OUTFLOW CHANNEL. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 090330Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Feb 9 12:42:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102347-13571>; Sun, 9 Feb 1997 12:42:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA50802; Sat, 8 Feb 1997 14:52:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4529452 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Feb 1997 14:51:27 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA102774 for ; Sat, 8 Feb 1997 14:51:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA08088 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Feb 1997 14:51:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702082051.OAA08088@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Feb 1997 14:51:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 844 WTXS32 PGTW 082100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- 14.4S9 51.6E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 090 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.4S9 51.6E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 14.6S1 49.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 15.0S6 47.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 15.7S3 46.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 16.9S6 44.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 082100Z1 POSITION 14.5S0 51.1E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S HAS FORMED 80 NM WEST OF NORTHERN MADAGASCAR. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, THE SYSTEM=S ORGANIZATION HAS IMPROVED AS UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR HAS RELAXED. TC 23S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL OVER THE MADAGASCAR COAST. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2) AND 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 080321Z FEB 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 080330). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 14 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Feb 9 16:33:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102442-13571>; Sun, 9 Feb 1997 16:33:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA05564; Sun, 9 Feb 1997 02:29:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4533877 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Feb 1997 02:29:02 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA113554 for ; Sun, 9 Feb 1997 02:29:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA14593 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Feb 1997 02:28:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702090828.CAA14593@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Feb 1997 02:28:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 483 WTXS32 PGTW 090900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- 13.6S0 50.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.6S0 50.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 13.2S6 48.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 13.5S9 46.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 14.1S6 44.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 15.2S8 43.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION 13.5S9 49.9E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (TC 23S) IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS AND IS ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF MADAGASCAR. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 090532Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE WIND REPORTS AT 090600Z FROM VONEMAR (WMO 67017) AND SAMBAVA (WMO 67023). WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF SATELLITE-DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ANALYSES USING 090532Z VISIBLE AND 090540Z VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE AND ARE ADJUSTED USING THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED 090600Z SURFACE WIND REPORTS. TC 23S IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY TURN SOUTHWESTWARD TOWARD A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AFTER CROSSING MADAGASCAR AND LOSING STRENGTH DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REINTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST AFTER 24 HOURS AFTER THE CIRCULATION OF TC 23S HAS FULLY EMERGED INTO THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5) AND 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Feb 10 04:42:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102510-13571>; Mon, 10 Feb 1997 04:42:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA31862; Sun, 9 Feb 1997 14:33:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4537700 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Feb 1997 14:33:17 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA107070 for ; Sun, 9 Feb 1997 14:33:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA23210 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Feb 1997 14:33:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702092033.OAA23210@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Feb 1997 14:33:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 617 WTXS32 PGTW 092100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (JOSIE) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091800Z8 --- 14.2S7 47.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.2S7 47.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 14.6S1 44.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 15.3S9 42.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 16.5S2 41.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 18.1S0 40.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 092100Z2 POSITION 14.3S8 46.4E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (JOSIE) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM HAS REORGANIZED OVER THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL AFTER TC 23S (JOSIE) CROSSED THE NORTHERN TIP OF MADAGASCAR; THEREFORE, PAST MOTION MAY NOT BE REPRESENTATIVE OF CURRENT MOTION. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE WARM WATERS OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4) AND 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z IS 17 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Feb 10 09:35:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102195-3654>; Mon, 10 Feb 1997 09:35:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA94128; Sun, 9 Feb 1997 19:22:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4539849 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Feb 1997 19:22:19 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA09720 for ; Sun, 9 Feb 1997 19:22:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id TAA26527 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Feb 1997 19:22:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702100122.TAA26527@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Feb 1997 19:22:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 110 WTXS21 PGTW 100130 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 100130Z FEB 97// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 090 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13.3S7 150.6E2 TO 16.0S7 147.2E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 092330Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 13.9S3 149.4E8. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING IN THE CORAL SEA SOUTHWEST OF PORT MORESBY. CONVECTION HAS INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY IN BOTH AREAL COVERAGE AND ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM CURRENTLY HAS GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND IS SITUATED IN A REGION OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARN SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. 5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 110130Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Feb 10 11:05:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102235-9454>; Mon, 10 Feb 1997 11:04:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA28434; Sun, 9 Feb 1997 20:58:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4540638 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Feb 1997 20:58:12 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA09566 for ; Sun, 9 Feb 1997 20:58:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA27653 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Feb 1997 20:58:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702100258.UAA27653@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Feb 1997 20:58:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 659 WTPS21 PGTW 100130 COR SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 100130Z FEB 97// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 090 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13.3S7 150.6E2 TO 16.0S7 147.2E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 092330Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 13.9S3 149.4E8. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING IN THE CORAL SEA SOUTHWEST OF PORT MORESBY. CONVECTION HAS INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY IN BOTH AREAL COVERAGE AND ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM CURRENTLY HAS GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND IS SITUATED IN A REGION OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. 5. JUSTIFICATION: CORRECTS MESSAGE HEADER. 5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 110130Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Feb 10 12:00:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102284-9454>; Mon, 10 Feb 1997 12:00:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA77148; Sun, 9 Feb 1997 21:55:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4541001 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Feb 1997 21:54:56 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA09688 for ; Sun, 9 Feb 1997 21:54:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA28223 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Feb 1997 21:54:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702100354.VAA28223@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Feb 1997 21:54:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 432 WTPS31 PGTW 100300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24P (GILLIAN) WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- 14.3S8 149.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.3S8 149.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 15.2S8 148.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 15.9S5 147.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 16.7S4 146.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 17.6S4 146.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 100300Z4 POSITION 14.5S0 149.2E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 24P (GILLIAN) HAS FORMED IN THE CORAL SEA EAST OF AUSTRALIA=S CAPE YORK PENINSULA AND IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 092330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A SMALL TROPICAL CYCLONE. GILLIAN HAS SHOWN A TREND FOR RAPID INTENSIFICATION. THIS TREND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS, THEN SLOW. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE A GENERAL SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION, BUT DECELERATE DUE TO WEAKER STEERING FLOW AS IT MOVES THROUGH A WEAKENED PORTION OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 100130Z FEB 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 100130) MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z7 (DTG 101353Z3) AND 110300Z5 (DTG 110153Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Feb 10 16:41:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102549-9454>; Mon, 10 Feb 1997 16:41:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA21084; Mon, 10 Feb 1997 02:37:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4542586 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 1997 02:37:14 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA38704 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 1997 02:37:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA00559 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 1997 02:37:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702100837.CAA00559@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Feb 1997 02:37:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 447 WTPS31 PGTW 100900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24P (GILLIAN) WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100600Z7 --- 14.9S4 149.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 195 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.9S4 149.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 16.5S2 148.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 17.9S7 148.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 19.2S2 148.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 20.5S7 148.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 010 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 22.4S8 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 100900Z0 POSITION 15.3S9 148.9E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 24P (GILLIAN) IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 100530Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. GILLIAN IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING UNTIL IT NEARS THE AUSTRALIAN COAST IN ABOUT 48 HOURS. A GENERAL MOTION TOWARD THE SOUTH IS FORECAST THROUGH 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z7 (DTG 101353Z3), 102100Z4 (DTG 101953Z9), 110300Z5 (DTG 110153Z1), AND 110900Z1 (DTG 110753Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Feb 10 17:15:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102540-9454>; Mon, 10 Feb 1997 17:15:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA53042; Mon, 10 Feb 1997 03:11:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4542650 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 1997 03:11:20 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA117502 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 1997 03:11:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA02423 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 1997 03:11:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702100911.DAA02423@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Feb 1997 03:11:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 763 WTXS32 PGTW 100900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (JOSIE) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100600Z7 --- 15.7S3 43.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 090 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.7S3 43.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 17.3S1 40.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 18.8S7 38.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 20.5S7 37.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 22.4S8 36.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 100900Z0 POSITION 16.1S8 42.8E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (JOSIE) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 100203Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WIND RADII ARE BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. JOSIE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING OVER THE WARM WATERS OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL AND GRADUALLY TURN SOUTH TOWARD A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7) AND 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Feb 10 23:01:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102549-9454>; Mon, 10 Feb 1997 23:01:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA57138; Mon, 10 Feb 1997 08:50:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4544868 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 1997 08:50:20 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA89694 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 1997 08:48:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA05659 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 1997 08:48:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702101448.IAA05659@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Feb 1997 08:48:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 548 WTPS31 PGTW 101500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24P (GILLIAN) WARNING NR 003 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- 15.6S2 149.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 175 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S2 149.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 16.7S4 150.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 17.8S6 150.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 19.3S3 150.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 20.6S8 150.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 22.6S0 151.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 101500Z7 POSITION 15.9S5 149.9E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 24P (GILLIAN) IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AS THE CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE ON ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY HAS BECOME LARGER IN AREAL EXTENT AND TEMPERATURES HAVE COOLED SLIGHTLY. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO FOLLOW A GENERAL SOUTHWARD TRACK DUE TO NORTHERLY STEERING FLOW. A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH CELL, AS DEPICTED OM WATER VAPOR IMAGERY, IS LOCATED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF TC 23P (GILLIAN) AND IS EXPECTED TO FACILITATE INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS IS A RELOCATED WARNING BASED ON A 100753Z SATELLITE-BASED MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) ANALYSIS AND SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WILLIS ISLETS (WMO 94299). NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z4 (DTG 101953Z9), 110300Z5 (DTG 110153Z1), 110900Z1 (DTG 110753Z7) AND 111500Z8 (DTG 111353Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z IS 12 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Feb 11 00:00:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102367-9454>; Tue, 11 Feb 1997 00:00:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA30774; Mon, 10 Feb 1997 09:40:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4545341 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 1997 09:40:13 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA57410 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 1997 09:39:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA07048 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 1997 09:39:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702101539.JAA07048@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Feb 1997 09:39:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 220 WTPS31 PGTW 101500 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24P (GILLIAN) WARNING NR 003A RELOCATED CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- 15.6S2 149.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 175 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S2 149.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 16.7S4 150.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 17.8S6 150.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 19.3S3 150.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 20.6S8 150.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 22.6S0 151.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 101500Z7 POSITION 15.9S5 149.9E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 24P (GILLIAN) IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AS THE CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE ON ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY HAS BECOME LARGER IN AREAL EXTENT AND TEMPERATURES HAVE COOLED SLIGHTLY. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO FOLLOW A GENERAL SOUTHWARD TRACK DUE TO NORTHERLY STEERING FLOW. A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH CELL, AS DEPICTED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY, IS LOCATED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF TC 24P (GILLIAN) AND IS EXPECTED TO FACILITATE INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS IS A RELOCATED WARNING BASED ON A 100753Z SATELLITE-BASED MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) ANALYSIS AND SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WILLIS ISLETS (WMO 94299). NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z4 (DTG 101953Z9), 110300Z5 (DTG 110153Z1), 110900Z1 (DTG 110753Z7) AND 111500Z8 (DTG 111353Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z IS 12 FEET. JUSTIFICATION: WRONG TC NUMBER IN REMARKS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Feb 11 10:53:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102262-5221>; Tue, 11 Feb 1997 10:53:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA29392; Mon, 10 Feb 1997 20:14:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4552210 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 1997 20:14:45 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA57702 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 1997 14:53:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id NAA13947 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 1997 13:57:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702101957.NAA13947@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Feb 1997 13:57:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 988 WTXS32 PGTW 102100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (JOSIE) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101800Z0 --- 18.5S4 42.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 090 NM POSITION BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION OF A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.5S4 42.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 20.6S8 41.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 22.0S4 40.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 23.2S7 40.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 24.8S4 39.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 102100Z4 POSITION 19.0S0 42.3E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (JOSIE) IS MOVING SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION IS A EXTRAPOLATED FROM A 101439Z KGWC SATELLITE FIX AND SYNOPTIC DATA FROM JUAN DE NOVA (WMO 61970) AT 18Z. SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE IMPROVING IN ITS ORGANIZATION AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY FURTHER. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z5) AND 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z IS 16 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Feb 11 05:30:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102489-9454>; Tue, 11 Feb 1997 05:30:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA42124; Mon, 10 Feb 1997 15:17:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4546879 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 1997 15:16:41 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA95668 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 1997 15:01:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA16215 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 1997 15:01:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702102101.PAA16215@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Feb 1997 15:01:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 656 WTPS31 PGTW 102100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24P (GILLIAN) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101800Z0 --- 16.0S7 150.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.0S7 150.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 16.8S5 150.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 18.0S9 150.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 19.4S4 149.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 21.0S3 149.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 23.4S9 149.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 102100Z4 POSITION 16.2S9 150.0E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 24P (GILLIAN) IS MOVING SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD DUE TO INCREASED NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY STEERING FLOW AFTER 24 HOURS. OVERALL MOTION THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD IS EXPECTED TO BE SOUTHERLY DUE TO NORTHERLY STEERING FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH A NORTH-SOUTH ORIENTED RIDGE LOCATED TO THE EAST OF TC 24P (GILLIAN). NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z5 (DTG 110153Z1), 110900Z1 (DTG 110753Z7), 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2), AND 112100Z5 (DTG 111953Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z IS 12 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Feb 11 11:20:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102233-5221>; Tue, 11 Feb 1997 11:20:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA33684; Mon, 10 Feb 1997 21:11:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4553446 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 1997 21:10:59 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA111378 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 1997 21:10:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA22801 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 1997 21:10:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702110310.VAA22801@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Feb 1997 21:10:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 906 WTPS31 PGTW 110300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24P (GILLIAN) WARNING NR 005 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- 16.0S7 149.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.0S7 149.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 16.7S4 149.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 17.3S1 149.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 17.9S7 149.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 18.5S4 149.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 19.6S6 149.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION 16.2S9 149E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 24P (GILLIAN) IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF WEAK NORTHERLY STEERING FLOW FROM A NORTH-SOUTH ORIENTED RIDGE TO THE EAST. THIS WILL CAUSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 24P (GILLIAN) TO CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHWARD AT A SLOW SPEED. WARNING POSITION HAS BEEN RELOCATED TO THE WEST BASED ON SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM WILLIS ISLAND AND HOLMES REEF. VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS UNDER MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR DUE AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER NORTHEASTERN AUSTRALIA. THIS HAS ARRESTED THE SYSTEMS DEVELOPMENT AND SHOULD CAUSE IT TO BEGIN WEAKENING AFTER 24 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z1 (DTG 110753Z7), 111500Z8 (DTG 111353Z4), 112100Z5 (DTG 111953Z0) AND 120300Z6 (DTG 120153Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z IS 12 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Feb 11 15:56:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102279-17871>; Tue, 11 Feb 1997 15:56:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA105120; Tue, 11 Feb 1997 01:48:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4555443 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 1997 01:48:25 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA119188 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 1997 01:48:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id BAA25945 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 1997 01:48:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702110748.BAA25945@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Feb 1997 01:48:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 046 WTPS31 PGTW 110900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24P (GILLIAN) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- 17.2S0 148.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.2S0 148.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 18.5S4 148.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 19.5S5 147.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 20.4S6 145.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION 17.5S3 148.6E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 24P (GILLIAN) IS MOVING SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS ENCOUNTERING NORTHEASTERLY STEERING FLOW WITH A HIGH PRESSURE AREA BUILDING TO THE SOUTH AND EAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24P (GILLIAN) IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL IN NORTHEASTERN AUSTRALIA WITHIN 24 HOURS AND DISSIPATE OVER LAND. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO EXPERIENCE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WILL BEGIN WEAKENING PRIOR TO LANDFALL. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8 (DTG 111353Z4), 112100Z5 (DTG 111953Z0), 120300Z6 (DTG 120153Z2) AND 120900Z2 (DTG 120753Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z IS 12 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Feb 11 16:32:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102554-17871>; Tue, 11 Feb 1997 16:32:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA57600; Tue, 11 Feb 1997 02:24:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4555658 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 1997 02:24:17 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA16920 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 1997 02:24:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA26191 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 1997 02:24:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702110824.CAA26191@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Feb 1997 02:24:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 545 WTXS32 PGTW 110900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (JOSIE) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- 17.3S1 42.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.3S1 42.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 18.0S9 40.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 19.3S3 40.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 20.8S0 39.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 22.2S6 39.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION 17.5S3 41.7E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (JOSIE) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TURN SOUTHWESTWARD AND CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8) AND 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z IS 16 FEET. // +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Feb 11 22:49:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102590-17871>; Tue, 11 Feb 1997 22:49:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA113490; Tue, 11 Feb 1997 08:37:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4557925 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 1997 08:36:36 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA33536 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 1997 08:08:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA01511 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 1997 08:08:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702111408.IAA01511@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Feb 1997 08:08:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 431 WTPS31 PGTW 111500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24P (GILLIAN) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- 17.5S3 148.6E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.5S3 148.6E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 18.8S7 147.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 20.0S2 146.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 21.1S4 145.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION 17.8S6 148.4E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 24P (GILLIAN) IS TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME INCREASINGLY DISORGANIZED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS DUE TO MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 40 KNOTS IS BASED ON A DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF SLIGHTLY LESS THAN T3.0 (45 KNOTS). THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER NORTHEASTERN AUSTRALIA BETWEEN THE 24- AND THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND TO BE DISSIPATED BY THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 (DTG 120153Z2), 120900Z2 (DTG 120753Z8), 121500Z9 (DTG 121353Z5), AND 122100Z6 (DTG 121953Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 11/1200Z5 IS 12 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Feb 12 09:35:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102413-5124>; Wed, 12 Feb 1997 09:35:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA03816; Tue, 11 Feb 1997 13:55:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4560374 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 1997 13:54:59 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA99284 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 1997 13:52:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id NAA10835 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 1997 13:51:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702111951.NAA10835@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Feb 1997 13:51:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 749 WTXS32 PGTW 112100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (JOSIE) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- 18.1S0 41.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 090 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.1S0 41.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 18.7S6 40.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 19.6S6 40.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 20.7S9 39.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 22.0S4 39.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION 18.3S2 41.3E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (JOSIE) IS TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE SLOW DUE TO THE INTERACTION WITH LAND. TC 23S IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD TO SOUTHWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND TO INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6) AND 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 11/1800Z1 IS 16 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu Wed Feb 12 09:10:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102398-5124>; Wed, 12 Feb 1997 09:09:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA87398; Tue, 11 Feb 1997 17:23:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4561639 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 1997 17:23:09 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA67182 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 1997 14:32:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA11894 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 1997 14:32:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702112032.OAA11894@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Feb 1997 14:32:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 220 WTPS31 PGTW 112100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24P (GILLIAN) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- 18.3S2 148.3E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.3S2 148.3E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 19.7S7 147.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 21.3S6 146.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 22.7S1 145.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION 18.7S6 148.1E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 24P (GILLIAN) IS TRACKING SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO LOSE CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION AS IT TRACKS TOWARD THE NORTHEAST COAST OF AUSTRALIA. TC 24P IS FORECAST TO MOVE OVERLAND AND TO BE DISSIPATED BY THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 (DTG 120153Z2), 120900Z2 (DTG 120753Z8), 121500Z9 (DTG 121353Z5) AND 122100Z6 (DTG 121953Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 11/1800Z1 IS 12 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Feb 12 10:39:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102314-5124>; Wed, 12 Feb 1997 10:38:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA47174; Tue, 11 Feb 1997 20:30:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4565406 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 1997 20:28:54 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA75626 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 1997 20:28:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA18149 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 1997 20:28:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702120228.UAA18149@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Feb 1997 20:28:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 113 WTPS31 PGTW 120300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24P (GILLIAN) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- 18.2S1 147.2E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.2S1 147.2E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 19.0S0 145.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 19.4S4 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION 18.4S3 146.9E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 24P (GILLIAN) IS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. THE CONVECTIVE CLOUD MASS HAS SHEARED AWAY FROM THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER, CAUSING THE SYSTEM TO TAKE A MORE WESTWARD TRACK IN RESPONSE TO LOW LEVEL STEERING FLOW. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24P (GILLIAN) WILL MAKE LANDFALL IN NORTHEASTERN AUSTRALIA WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE FIXES AND SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM LUCINDA PT (WMO 942950). NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2 (DTG 120753Z8), 121500Z9 (DTG 121353Z5) AND 122100Z6 (DTG 121953Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z IS 12 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Feb 12 17:37:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102351-5124>; Wed, 12 Feb 1997 17:37:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA50730; Wed, 12 Feb 1997 02:48:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4569224 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 1997 02:48:15 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA55048 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 1997 02:48:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA22146 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 1997 02:48:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702120848.CAA22146@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Feb 1997 02:48:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 531 WTPS31 PGTW 120900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24P (GILLIAN) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- 18.5S4 146.4E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER. REPEAT POSIT: 18.5S4 146.4E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 19.0S0 145.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND. VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 19.4S4 145.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND. --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION 18.6S5 146.2E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 24P (GILLIAN) IS TRACKING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM WAS APPROACHING LANDFALL AT FORECAST TIME AND WILL BE DISSIPATED OVER LAND WITHIN 24 HOURS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE DATA AND SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM LUCINDA PT (WMO 942950) AND CARDWELL (WMO 942920). NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9 (DTG 121353Z5), 122100Z6 (DTG 121953Z1) AND 130300Z7 (DTG 130153Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z IS 12 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Feb 12 17:37:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102396-5124>; Wed, 12 Feb 1997 17:37:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA76924; Wed, 12 Feb 1997 02:56:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4569243 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 1997 02:56:20 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA76888 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 1997 02:56:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA22184 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 1997 02:56:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702120856.CAA22184@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Feb 1997 02:56:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 580 WTXS32 PGTW 120900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (JOSIE) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- 19.2S2 40.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.2S2 40.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 20.0S2 39.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 20.9S1 39.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 21.9S2 38.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 22.8S2 38.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION 19.4S4 40.2E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (JOSIE) IS TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND WILL BEGIN DISSIPATING OVER WATER WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9) AND 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z IS 12 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Feb 12 23:32:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102395-5124>; Wed, 12 Feb 1997 23:31:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA15154; Wed, 12 Feb 1997 09:22:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4571683 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 1997 09:21:43 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA69548 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 1997 09:13:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA28381 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 1997 09:12:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702121512.JAA28381@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Feb 1997 09:12:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 869 WTPS31 PGTW 121500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24P (GILLIAN) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z6 --- 18.9S8 146.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.9S8 146.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 19.9S9 146.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 121500Z9 POSITION 19.2S2 146.6E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 24P (GILLIAN) IS TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 3 KNOTS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 12/0730Z3 SHOWED THE PRESENCE OF A WEAKLY DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH NO DEEP CONVECTION. THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME INCREASINGLY DISORGANIZED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 12/1200Z6 IS 12 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Feb 13 09:00:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102201-8817>; Thu, 13 Feb 1997 08:59:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA31428; Wed, 12 Feb 1997 14:22:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4574051 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 1997 14:21:35 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA98406 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 1997 14:16:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA06793 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 1997 14:16:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702122016.OAA06793@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Feb 1997 14:16:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 410 WTXS32 PGTW 122100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (JOSIE) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- 20.1S3 40.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.1S3 40.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 20.8S0 40.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 21.8S1 40.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 23.1S6 40.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 24.5S1 40.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION 20.3S5 40.6E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (JOSIE) IS TRACKING SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. TC 23S HAS INTENSIFIED IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD TO SOUTHWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY. BEYOND THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION TC 23S IS FORECAST TO BEGIN WEAKENING AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7) AND 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 12/1800Z2 IS 15 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Feb 14 15:51:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102600-16610>; Fri, 14 Feb 1997 15:51:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA100178; Fri, 14 Feb 1997 01:45:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4592255 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Feb 1997 01:44:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA257598 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 1997 14:55:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA17331 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 1997 14:55:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702132055.OAA17331@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Feb 1997 14:55:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 422 WTXS32 PGTW 132100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (JOSIE) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- 23.5S0 40.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 175 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, SYNOPTIC DATA AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.5S0 40.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 25.5S2 40.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 27.7S6 41.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 30.5S8 43.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 33.8S4 45.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION 24.0S6 40.4E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (JOSIE) IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS. SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. SYSTEM=S TRACK IS EXPECTED TO BECOME SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD AS THE SYSTEM INTERACTS WITH AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM, CURRENTLY LOCATED NEAR 40S 40E. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8) AND 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z IS 24 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Feb 14 16:16:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102353-16610>; Fri, 14 Feb 1997 16:15:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA14602; Fri, 14 Feb 1997 02:10:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4593200 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Feb 1997 02:10:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA74474 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 1997 02:10:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA27993 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Feb 1997 02:09:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702140809.CAA27993@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Feb 1997 02:09:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 421 WTXS32 PGTW 140900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (JOSIE) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- 25.7S4 40.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 090 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.7S4 40.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 28.0S0 40.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 30.4S7 42.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 32.6S1 44.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 34.7S4 47.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION 26.3S1 40.3E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (JOSIE) IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 140258Z VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 90 KNOTS COMES FROM A SATELLITE- DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ANALYSIS USING THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE ADJUSTED USING 140258Z MICROWAVE SATELLITE DATA. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S IS FORECAST TO BEGIN WEAKENING AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASINGLY STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR CAUSED BY A MID-LATITUDE SYSTEM PASSING BY TO ITS SOUTH. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE EAST IS EXPECTED AS JOSIE GAINS LATITUDE AND STEERING FLOW FROM THE WEST BEGINS TO IMPINGE ON IT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1) AND 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Feb 15 04:08:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102620-16610>; Sat, 15 Feb 1997 04:07:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA85122; Fri, 14 Feb 1997 13:58:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4598391 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Feb 1997 13:58:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA43692 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 1997 13:55:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id NAA11121 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Feb 1997 13:55:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702141955.NAA11121@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Feb 1997 13:55:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 362 WTXS32 PGTW 142100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (JOSIE) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- 27.1S0 41.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 27.1S0 41.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 28.9S9 43.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 31.5S9 46.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 34.5S2 50.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 28 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 38.0S1 56.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION 27.5S4 41.8E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (JOSIE) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. SYSTEM IS INTERACTING WITH AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED TO ITS SOUTHWEST. TC 23S (JOSIE) IS EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE AS IT MOVES POLEWARD OF THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS AND TRANSITIONS INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITHIN 48 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9) AND 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z IS 24 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Feb 15 04:41:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102581-16610>; Sat, 15 Feb 1997 04:41:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA79748; Fri, 14 Feb 1997 14:30:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4598920 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Feb 1997 14:30:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA234984 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 1997 14:26:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA11934 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Feb 1997 14:26:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702142026.OAA11934@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Feb 1997 14:26:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 736 WTXS21 PGTW 142030 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 142021Z FEB 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13.2S6 87.0E5 TO 15.0S6 83.7E8 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 141930Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 14.0S5 85.8E1. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS DEVELOPED IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS, THE DISTURBANCE HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AS CONVECTION HAS BEGUN TO BUILD NEAR THE CENTER OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS IS DUE TO A RELAXATION OF THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE DISTURBANCE; HOWEVER, THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER REMAINS PARTIALLY SHEARED FROM THE DEEPEST CONVECTION. GOOD CROSS-EQUATORIAL LOW-LEVEL FLOW INTO THE DISTURBANCE AND FURTHER RELAXATION OF THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE DISTURBANCE FAVOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 152030Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Feb 15 15:04:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102276-22878>; Sat, 15 Feb 1997 15:04:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA227772; Sat, 15 Feb 1997 00:59:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4607682 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 1997 00:58:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA72528 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 1997 00:58:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id AAA18661 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 1997 00:58:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702150658.AAA18661@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Feb 1997 00:58:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 871 WTXS32 PGTW 150900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (JOSIE) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 28.3S3 42.2E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 080 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.3S3 42.2E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 30.4S7 43.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 33.0S6 46.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 36.4S3 49.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION 28.8S8 42.6E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (JOSIE) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. OUR WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON EXTRAPOLATION FROM A 15/0247Z POLAR ORBITING SATELLITE FIX PROVIDED COURTESY OF KGWC. THEIR ANALYSIS INDICATED A 24 NM CLOUD FILLED EYE. WIND RADII ARE BASED ON SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) DATA ANALYSIS FROM THE SAME SATELLITE PASS. TC 23S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AND TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW AS IT MOVES POLEWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2) AND 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z2 IS 23 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Feb 16 02:01:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102451-22878>; Sun, 16 Feb 1997 02:01:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA69164; Sat, 15 Feb 1997 11:55:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4612728 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 1997 11:54:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA236500 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 1997 11:54:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id LAA25251 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 1997 11:54:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702151754.LAA25251@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Feb 1997 11:54:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 560 WTXS21 PGTW 151730 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 151721Z FEB 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/142021Z FEB 97// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 142030)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 130 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15.4S0 83.3E4 TO 18.7S6 78.2E7 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 151630Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.3S0 81.9E8. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN CONTINUES TO BE HINDERED BY MODERATE UPPER- LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS. GOOD CROSS-EQUATORIAL LOW-LEVEL INFLOW INTO THE DISTURBANCE CONTINUES TO BE FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 161730Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Feb 16 04:16:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102457-22878>; Sun, 16 Feb 1997 04:15:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA24400; Sat, 15 Feb 1997 14:10:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4614156 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 1997 14:10:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA149276 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 1997 14:10:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA26723 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 1997 14:10:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702152010.OAA26723@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Feb 1997 14:10:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 926 WTXS32 PGTW 152100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (JOSIE) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- 30.0S3 42.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.0S3 42.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 32.1S6 43.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED W: +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Feb 16 04:28:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102439-22878>; Sun, 16 Feb 1997 04:27:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA72360; Sat, 15 Feb 1997 14:22:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4614292 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 1997 14:22:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA265624 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 1997 14:22:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA26851 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 1997 14:22:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702152022.OAA26851@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Feb 1997 14:22:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 082 WTXS32 PGTW 152100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (JOSIE) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- 30.0S3 42.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.0S3 42.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 32.1S6 43.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 34.6S3 45.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 37.1S1 48.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 152100Z9 POSITION 30.5S8 43.0E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (JOSIE) IS TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. TC 23S IS TRANSITIONING INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM AS IT TRACKS SOUTH OF MADAGASCAR. UPPER-LEVEL NORTHERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS HELPING TO WEAKEN THE SYSTEM AS IT TRACKS SOUTHEASTWARD. 15/1521Z5 SATELLITE MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED DUE TO THE NORTHERLY SHEAR. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION NEAR THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0) AND 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 15/1800Z5 IS 22 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Feb 16 08:59:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102168-18234>; Sun, 16 Feb 1997 08:59:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA159882; Sat, 15 Feb 1997 18:55:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4617646 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 1997 18:54:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id SAA159764 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 1997 18:54:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id SAA00055 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 1997 18:54:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702160054.SAA00055@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Feb 1997 18:54:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 009 WTXS21 PGTW 160030 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 160023Z FEB 16// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 130 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12.9S2 158.9E3 TO 16.1S8 154.2E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 162330Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 13.1S5 158.2E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: THIS AREA HAS SHOWN PERSISTENT CONVECTION WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IDENTIFIABLE BY MICROWAVE AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT.INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS AND MICROWAVE DATA. 5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 170030Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Feb 16 09:42:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102179-18234>; Sun, 16 Feb 1997 09:42:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA263856; Sat, 15 Feb 1997 19:36:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4617937 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 1997 19:36:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA194200 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 1997 19:36:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id TAA00485 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 1997 19:36:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702160136.TAA00485@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Feb 1997 19:36:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 079 WTPS21 PGTW 160030 COR SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 160030Z FEB 16// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 130 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12.9S2 158.9E3 TO 16.1S8 154.2E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 152330Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 13.1S5 158.2E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THIS AREA HAS SHOWN PERSISTENT CONVECTION WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IDENTIFIABLE BY MICROWAVE AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT.INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS AND MICROWAVE DATA. 5. JUSTIFICATION: CORRECTS MESSAGE HEADER. 6. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 170030Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Feb 16 10:49:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102191-18234>; Sun, 16 Feb 1997 10:49:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA229344; Sat, 15 Feb 1997 20:43:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4618539 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 1997 20:43:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA199368 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 1997 20:43:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA00992 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 1997 20:43:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702160243.UAA00992@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Feb 1997 20:43:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 033 WTPS21 PGTW 160030 COR SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 160030Z FEB 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/160023ZFEB97// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA. 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS. 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 130 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12.9S2 158.9E3 TO 16.1S8 154.2E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 152330Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 13.1S5 158.2E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THIS AREA HAS SHOWN PERSISTENT CONVECTION WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IDENTIFIABLE BY MICROWAVE AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS AND MICROWAVE DATA. 5. JUSTIFICATION: CORRECTS MESSAGE HEADER. 6. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 170030Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Feb 16 14:51:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102278-18234>; Sun, 16 Feb 1997 14:51:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA199278; Sun, 16 Feb 1997 00:42:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4621106 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 1997 00:42:24 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA121414 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 1997 00:42:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id AAA03056 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 1997 00:42:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702160642.AAA03056@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Feb 1997 00:42:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 450 WHPS21 PHNC 160500 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 160430Z FEB 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.1S3 174.7W9 TO 13.0S4 177.9W4 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 160300Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.7S9 175.9W2. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE NEXT SATELLITE INVESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 160600Z3. 2. REMARKS: SYSTEM HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED IN THE LAST 6 HOURS. CONVECTION MOSTLY ISOLATED TO THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE OF SYSTEM. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 170500Z3.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG71610470647 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Feb 16 16:20:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102219-18234>; Sun, 16 Feb 1997 16:20:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA252532; Sun, 16 Feb 1997 02:13:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4621618 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 1997 02:12:50 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA249818 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 1997 02:12:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA03658 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 1997 02:12:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702160812.CAA03658@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Feb 1997 02:12:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 725 WTXS32 PGTW 160900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (JOSIE) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 33.1S7 42.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 080 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 33.1S7 42.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 36.3S2 45.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 38.4S5 50.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION 33.9S5 43.4E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (JOSIE) IS TRACKING SOUTHWARD AT 16 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (JOSIE) WILL BECOME EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN 24 HOURS AS IT ACCELERATES TO THE SOUTHEAST. POSITION IS BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION FROM A 16/0237Z POLAR ORBITER FIX PROVIDED BY KGWC. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z IS 20 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Feb 16 16:58:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102168-18234>; Sun, 16 Feb 1997 16:58:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA226040; Sun, 16 Feb 1997 02:52:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4621930 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 1997 02:52:41 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA239770 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 1997 02:52:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA03884 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 1997 02:52:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702160852.CAA03884@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Feb 1997 02:52:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 134 WTXS31 PGTW 160900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARLETTE) WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 15.8S4 81.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.8S4 81.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 16.0S7 80.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 16.2S9 79.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 16.4S1 78.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 16.6S3 76.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION 15.8S4 81.4E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARLETTE) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS INTENSIFYING DUE TO DIVERGENCE ALOFT DESPITE THE PRESENCE OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE EAST. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0 (DTG 161955Z7) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170755Z5). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 151721Z FEB 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 151730 ) MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z IS 13 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Feb 17 04:02:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102458-18234>; Mon, 17 Feb 1997 04:01:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA80122; Sun, 16 Feb 1997 13:53:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4626528 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 1997 13:53:34 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA143930 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 1997 13:53:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id NAA09395 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 1997 13:53:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702161953.NAA09395@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Feb 1997 13:53:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 623 WTXS31 PGTW 162100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARLETTE) WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- 15.3S9 79.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.3S9 79.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 15.3S9 78.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 15.3S9 76.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 15.4S0 74.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 15.4S0 72.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 162100Z0 POSITION 15.3S9 79.4E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARLETTE) IS TRACKING WESTWARD IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS BASED ON A DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T2.5 (35 KNOTS). THE INTENSIFICATION OF TC 25S IS FORECAST TO REMAIN SLOW DUE TO THE UPPER-LEVEL EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IMPINGING ON THE SYSTEM. TC 25S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WESTWARD TO WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3) AND 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 16/1800Z6 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (JOSIE) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Feb 17 04:23:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102346-18234>; Mon, 17 Feb 1997 04:23:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA24458; Sun, 16 Feb 1997 14:17:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4626781 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 1997 14:17:25 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA263792 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 1997 14:17:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA09690 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 1997 14:17:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702162017.OAA09690@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Feb 1997 14:17:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 919 WTXS32 PGTW 162100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (JOSIE) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- 35.1S9 42.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 170 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 35.1S9 42.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 38.5S6 44.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 162100Z0 POSITION 36.0S9 42.8E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (JOSIE) IS TRACKING SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 16/1503Z SATELLITE MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TC 23S IS BEING SHEARED TO THE SOUTH OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL NORTHERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TC 23S CONTINUES TO TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM AS IT BEGINS TO MERGE WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY PASSING TO THE SOUTH OF JOSIE. TC 23S IS FORECAST TO BE EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z6 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARLETTE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Feb 17 05:00:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102293-18234>; Mon, 17 Feb 1997 05:00:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA41782; Sun, 16 Feb 1997 14:52:19 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4627145 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 1997 14:52:14 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA129790 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 1997 14:52:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA10517 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 1997 14:52:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702162052.OAA10517@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Feb 1997 14:52:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 281 WTPS31 PGTW 162100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- 14.1S6 157.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.1S6 157.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 14.9S4 156.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 15.8S4 155.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 16.7S4 153.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 17.4S2 152.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 162100Z0 POSITION 14.3S8 157.2E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) HAS FORMED IN THE CORAL SEA. TC 26P IS TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. THE CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION ASSOCIATED WITH TC 26P HAS IMPROVED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 30 KNOTS IS BASED ON A DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T2.0 (30 KNOTS). TC 26P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 16/1800Z6 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7 (DTG 170755Z5) AND 172100Z1 (DTG 171955Z8). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 160123Z FEB 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 160030 COR).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Feb 17 17:32:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102173-268>; Mon, 17 Feb 1997 17:32:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA228724; Mon, 17 Feb 1997 03:15:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4638631 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Feb 1997 03:15:19 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA38138 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 1997 03:07:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA19520 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Feb 1997 03:07:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702170907.DAA19520@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Feb 1997 03:07:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 656 WTPS31 PGTW 170900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- 15.6S2 155.6E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S2 155.6E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 16.5S2 154.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 17.4S2 152.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 17.8S6 151.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 18.0S9 150.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 18.0S9 147.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION 15.8S4 155.2E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) IS TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE CORAL SEA. THE SYSTEM IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MODERATE NORTHWESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH IS SLOWING THE INTENSIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM. TC 26P IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND TO INTENSIFY. WARNING INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS BASED ON A DVORAK SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T2.5 (35 KNOTS). NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171355Z2), 172100Z1 (DTG 171955Z8), 180300Z2 (DTG 180155Z0) AND 180900Z8 (DTG 180755Z6). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 17/0600Z4 IS 13 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Feb 17 17:24:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102420-268>; Mon, 17 Feb 1997 17:24:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA104704; Mon, 17 Feb 1997 03:16:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4638645 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Feb 1997 03:16:17 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA104946 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 1997 03:16:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA19585 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Feb 1997 03:16:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702170916.DAA19585@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Feb 1997 03:16:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 842 WTXS31 PGTW 170900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARLETTE) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- 15.0S6 78.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.0S6 78.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 15.0S6 77.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 15.2S8 75.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 15.5S1 74.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 15.8S4 72.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION 15.0S6 78.0E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARLETTE) IS TRACKING WESTWARD IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TC 25S DISPLAYS A PARTIALLY-EXPOSED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION. WARNING INTENSITY OF 40 KNOTS IS BASED ON A DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF SLIGHTLY LESS THAN T3.0 (45 KNOTS). TC 25S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6) AND 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 17/0600Z4 IS 12 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Feb 17 22:41:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102173-268>; Mon, 17 Feb 1997 22:41:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA80098; Mon, 17 Feb 1997 08:26:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4640781 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Feb 1997 08:26:33 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA38048 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 1997 08:17:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA21704 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Feb 1997 08:17:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702171417.IAA21704@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Feb 1997 08:17:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 062 WTPS31 PGTW 171500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) WARNING NR 003 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 16.7S4 155.6E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.7S4 155.6E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 17.8S6 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 18.7S6 154.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 19.4S4 153.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 19.8S8 153.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 20.6S8 151.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION 17.0S8 155.4E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) IS TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE CORAL SEA AT 8 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 17/1205Z SATELLITE MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATING THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS WARNING POSITION. ACCORDINGLY, THIS WARNING IS RELOCATED DUE TO THE VECTOR FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING POSITION TO THE CURRENT WARNING POSITION IS NOT REPRESENTATIVE OF THE TRUE MOTION OF TC 26P. THE SYSTEM REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MODERATE NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH IS SLOWING THE INTENSIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 40 KNOTS IS BASED ON A DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF SLIGHTLY LESS THAN T3.0 (45 KNOTS). TC 26P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AND TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z1 (DTG 171955Z8), 180300Z2 (DTG 180155Z0), 180900Z8 (DTG 180755Z6) AND 181500Z5 (DTG 181355Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 17/1200Z1 IS 13 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Feb 18 04:12:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102464-268>; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 04:11:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA225860; Mon, 17 Feb 1997 14:02:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4644011 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Feb 1997 14:02:06 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA205278 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 1997 13:57:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id NAA28782 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Feb 1997 13:57:33 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702171957.NAA28782@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Feb 1997 13:57:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 091 WTXS31 PGTW 172100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARLETTE) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- 15.3S9 77.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.3S9 77.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 15.5S1 75.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 15.7S3 73.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 16.0S7 72.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 16.3S0 70.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 172100Z1 POSITION 15.3S9 76.8E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARLETTE) IS TRACKING WESTWARD IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. THE SYSTEM CURRENTLY DISPLAYS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CAUSED BY UPPER- LEVEL EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IMPINGING ON THE SYSTEM. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T3.0 (45 KNOTS). TC 25S IS FORECAST TO TRACK WESTWARD TO WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4) AND 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 17/1800Z7 IS 14 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Feb 18 04:59:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102635-268>; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 04:59:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA187512; Mon, 17 Feb 1997 14:44:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4644804 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Feb 1997 14:43:12 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA210886 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 1997 14:39:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA29702 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Feb 1997 14:39:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702172039.OAA29702@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Feb 1997 14:39:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 530 WTPS31 PGTW 172100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- 17.3S1 155.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.3S1 155.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 18.2S1 154.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 19.0S0 154.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 19.7S7 153.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 20.3S5 152.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 20.7S9 152.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 172100Z1 POSITION 17.5S3 155.1E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) IS TRACKING SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE CORAL SEA. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 50 KNOTS IS BASED ON A DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF SLIGHTLY LESS THAN T3.5 (55 KNOTS). TC 26P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD TO SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2 (DTG 180155Z0), 180900Z8 (DTG 180755Z6), 181500Z5 (DTG 181355Z3) AND 182100Z2 (DTG 181955Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 17/1800Z7 IS 14 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Feb 18 10:25:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102502-18101>; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 10:24:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA154232; Mon, 17 Feb 1997 20:13:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4649951 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Feb 1997 20:13:06 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA43560 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 1997 20:13:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA06543 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Feb 1997 20:13:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702180213.UAA06543@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Feb 1997 20:13:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 198 WTPS31 PGTW 180300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 17.2S0 155.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.2S0 155.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 17.7S5 155.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 18.1S0 155.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 18.6S5 155.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 19.1S1 155.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 20.1S3 156.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION 17.3S1 155.0E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) IS MOVING SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. IT HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS AND THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED DIRECTLY ON A 17/2330Z SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS OF 55 KNOTS (DVORAK T3.5). OUR FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY HAS CHANGED SLIGHTLY FOR THIS WARNING. WE ANTICIPATE THAT A BUILDING ANTICYCLONE OVER SOUTHEAST AUSTRALIA SHOULD LIMIT THE APPROACH OF TC 26P TO THE CONTINENT. IT WILL LIKELY SLOW TO NEAR QUASI- STATIONARY AND THEN DRIFT SOUTHEASTWARD AS A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE CURRENTLY SOUTH OF TC 26P TURNS INTO A NORTHWEST-TO-SOUTHEAST ORIENTED TROUGH AXIS. ENOUGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN PRESENT TO KEEP THE RATE OF INTENSIFICATION SLOW. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8 (DTG 180755Z6), 181500Z5 (DTG 181355Z3), 182100Z2 (DTG 181955Z9) AND 190300Z3 (DTG 190155Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z IS 14 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Feb 18 15:12:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102658-18101>; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 15:11:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA77788; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 00:54:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4653490 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 00:54:03 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA30556 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 00:53:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id AAA10986 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 00:53:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702180653.AAA10986@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Feb 1997 00:53:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 351 WTXS21 PGTW 180700 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 180651Z FEB 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15.0S6 111.1E4 TO 19.1S1 115.2E9 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 180530Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 15.8S4 112.6E0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA AND NORTH OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS BEGUN TO IMPROVE IN ORGANIZATION. A CLEARLY DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IN VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY IS GETTING CLOSER TO AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION. IF THIS TREND CONTINUES TROPICAL CYCLOGENESIS SEEMS LIKELY. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 190700Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Feb 18 15:48:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102508-18101>; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 15:48:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA65758; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 01:35:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4653950 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 01:35:05 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA49308 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 01:35:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id BAA11241 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 01:35:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702180735.BAA11241@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Feb 1997 01:35:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 988 WTPS31 PGTW 180900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- 17.9S7 155.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.9S7 155.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 18.8S7 155.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 19.5S5 155.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 20.2S4 156.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 21.0S3 156.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 22.0S4 157.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION 18.1S0 155.4E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) IS MOVING SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. OUR WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS AS OF 18/0530Z WHICH SUPPORTS THE PRESENCE OF 55 KNOT WINDS (DVORAK T3.5). TC 26P IS MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING IN THIS SAME DIRECTION THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5 (DTG 181355Z3), 182100Z2 (DTG 181955Z9), 190300Z3 (DTG 190155Z1) AND 190900Z9 (DTG 190755Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z IS 14 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Feb 18 16:10:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102653-18101>; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 16:10:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA08770; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 01:58:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4654157 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 01:58:48 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA188470 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 01:58:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id BAA11378 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 01:58:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702180758.BAA11378@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Feb 1997 01:58:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 222 WTXS31 PGTW 180900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARLETTE) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- 16.4S1 75.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.4S1 75.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 17.3S1 74.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 18.0S9 73.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 18.3S2 71.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 18.4S3 69.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION 16.6S3 75.6E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARLETTE) IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. IT IS EQUATORWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS AND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN SO THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. OUR WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS SUPPORTING THE PRESENCE OF 45 KNOT WINDS (DVORAK CI 3.0) AS OF 18/0600Z. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7) AND 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z5 IS 14 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Feb 18 22:26:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102686-18101>; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 22:26:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA73752; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 08:16:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4656296 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 08:15:56 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA53792 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 08:15:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA16579 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 08:15:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702181415.IAA16579@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Feb 1997 08:15:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 575 WTPS31 PGTW 181500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 17.8S6 156.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 100 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.8S6 156.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 18.3S2 156.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 18.9S8 157.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 19.6S6 158.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 20.3S5 158.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 21.7S0 159.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION 17.9S7 156.3E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE CURRENT WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 181130Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED USING 180900Z SHIP REPORTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS. AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS PASSING TO THE SOUTH OF HAROLD, AND AFTER IT PASSES, STEERING FLOW SHOULD INCREASE FROM THE NORTHWEST AS AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS TO THE NORTHEAST OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P. HAROLD SHOULD GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN AS VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIGHT TO MODERATE DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD AS UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IMPROVES TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z (DTG 181955Z9), 190300Z3 (DTG 190155Z1), 190900Z9 (DTG 190755Z7), AND 191500Z6 (DTG 191355Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Feb 19 11:39:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102480-23570>; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 11:39:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA08782; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 21:25:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4664729 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 21:25:33 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA06620 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 14:22:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA02471 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 14:22:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702182022.OAA02471@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Feb 1997 14:22:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 774 WTPS31 PGTW 182100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) WARNING NR 008 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- 18.2S1 157.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE B70 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.2S1 157.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 18.9S8 158.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 19.5S5 159.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 20.1S3 160.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 20.7S9 161.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 21.7S0 162.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION 18.4S3 157.3E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) IS MOVING EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THIS WARNING IS RELOCATED BASED ON 181730Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 55 KNOTS IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ANALYSIS USING THE SAME SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED USING 181800Z SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS. HAROLD IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY GRADUALLY THROUGH 48 HOURS, THEN WEAKEN. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DECELERATE AS IT HEADS IN A GENERAL SOUTHEASTWARD DIRECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190155Z1), 190900Z9 (DTG 190755Z7), 191500Z6 (DTG 191355Z4), AND 192100Z3 (DTG 191955Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Feb 19 05:00:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102691-18101>; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 05:00:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA217046; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 14:51:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4659209 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 14:50:53 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA83132 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 14:42:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA02868 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 14:42:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702182042.OAA02868@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Feb 1997 14:42:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 956 WTXS31 PGTW 182100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARLETTE) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- 16.5S2 72.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 080 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.5S2 72.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 16.7S4 70.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 16.9S6 68.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 17.0S8 65.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 17.3S1 63.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION 16.6S3 72.2E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARLETTE) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 181626Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. KARLETTE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD TO THE NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND INTENSIFY TOWARD THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IMPROVES OVER IT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5) AND 192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Feb 19 10:11:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102317-23570>; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 10:11:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA199624; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 20:00:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4662992 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 20:00:50 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA248740 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 20:00:32 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA08462 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 20:00:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702190200.UAA08462@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Feb 1997 20:00:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 553 WTPS31 PGTW 190300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 18.5S4 157.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.5S4 157.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 19.0S0 158.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 19.6S6 159.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 20.3S5 160.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 21.0S3 160.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 22.1S5 161.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 18.6S5 158.2E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 09 KNOTS. HAROLD IS LOCATED SOUTH OF AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE OVER THE SOLOMANS AND NORTHEAST OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER AUSTRALIA=S QUEENSLAND COAST. THESE TWO SYNOPTIC FEATURES ACT IN CONCERT TO STEER HAROLD EAST-SOUTHEAST. SHEAR FROM THE TROUGH APPEARS TO HINDER HAROLD=S INTENSIFICATION. NOGAPS MODEL PROGS THE TROUGH TO MOVE EASTWARD, ALLOWING HAROLD TO GRADUALLY TRACK MORE SOUTHWARD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3), 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0) 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6), AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9).MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWIO 31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOUR LY UPDATES. REFER TO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Feb 19 10:30:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102384-23570>; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 10:30:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA64368; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 20:23:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4663546 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 20:22:53 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA64260 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 20:22:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA08774 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 20:22:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702190222.UAA08774@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Feb 1997 20:22:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 952 WTXS32 PGTW 190300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 16.2S9 113.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.2S9 113.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 16.8S5 114.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 17.5S3 115.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 18.4S3 115.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 19.1S1 115.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 16.3S0 114.1E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S IS UPGRADED FROM A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT AND IS MOVING EAST- SOUTHEAST AT 05 KNOTS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION APPROXIMATELY 21 NM EAST OF DEEP CONVECTION WITH LIGHT EASTERLY UPPER LEVEL SHEAR, AND OUTFLOW TO THE SOUTHWEST. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0) AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 180651Z FEB 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 180700). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Feb 19 12:29:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102504-23570>; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 12:29:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA155530; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 22:21:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4665984 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 22:21:17 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA225270 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 22:21:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id WAA10027 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 1997 22:21:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702190421.WAA10027@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Feb 1997 22:21:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 700 WTPS31 PGTW 190300 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) WARNING NR 009 A 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 18.5S4 157.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.5S4 157.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 19.0S0 158.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 19.6S6 159.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 20.3S5 160.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 21.0S3 160.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 22.1S5 161.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 18.6S5 158.2E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 09 KNOTS. HAROLD IS LOCATED SOUTH OF AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE OVER THE SOLOMANS AND NORTHEAST OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER AUSTRALIA=S QUEENSLAND COAST. THESE TWO SYNOPTIC FEATURES ACT IN CONCERT TO STEER HAROLD EAST-SOUTHEAST. SHEAR FROM THE TROUGH APPEARS TO HINDER HAROLD=S INTENSIFICATION. NOGAPS MODEL PROGS THE TROUGH TO MOVE EASTWARD, ALLOWING HAROLD TO GRADUALLY TRACK MORE SOUTHWARD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3), 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0) 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6), AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9).MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWIO 31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION: 01 NOT 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN THE SOUTHWESTPAC.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Feb 20 14:20:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102401-3084>; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 14:19:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA82836; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 00:07:38 -0600 Message-Id: <199702200607.AAA82836@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Feb 1997 00:02:13 +1800 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 18 Feb 1997 to 19 Feb 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 11 messages totalling 425 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. home weather station 2. Does "who's forecast is it" have bigger stakes? 3. Aster-Roids! (2) 4. ENSO URL 5. Chicxulub and Weather (2) 6. Food, cell phones, and other chase talk 7. TESSA National Meeting, April 12. 8. Another Weather Channel?? 9. NBC to Launch Television Weather Service by Satellite +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 19 Feb 1997 05:53:57 -0500 From: Lee Shores Subject: home weather station forgive me, i am new to the list and i am sure the list has seen this question many times. i am about to purchase a home weather station for fun, and son's education. with limited funds and a desire for wind speed/direction, temp and barometric pressure i am looking at 1. peet bros ULTIMETER 2000 System $380 2. weathermax maximum $525 3. davies weather monitor (with pc interface) $565 any comments on these models, recommendations, experience ? ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 19 Feb 1997 08:25:28 -0600 From: Chuck Doswell Subject: Re: Does "who's forecast is it" have bigger stakes? On Mon, 17 Feb 1997 22:39:28, Brian Motta wrote: >I have yet to see any kind of "crisis acknowledgement" from senior AMS >staff....the rallying call may be too late now to save some infrastructure >but only worse will happen if the community leave the leadership to those >who seem to be asleep at the wheel. Chuck D., Where does the AMS stand >on this issue ???? I'm flattered that my election to the Council implies that I can now speak for the AMS ... but that certainly is not the case. I suspect that there may be some behind-the-scenes lobbying on behalf of the NWS by some of the AMS brass ... after all, Dr. Hallgren was the NWS Director for a number of years. Although I can make no claim to direct knowledge, the style of AMS management seems to be one of keeping a low profile. If there is any acknowledgement of the seriousness of the situation, it almost certainly will not manifest itself in public statements by the AMS brass. >Sniffing for leadership in the AMS...let's urge the new AMS >president...Dr. Golden....takes this seriously (not that the old one did >not)and set up mechanisms necessary to repair the damage done by the >informed or self-serving. (not that the old one did not). Most of the power of the AMS is NOT vested in its president, who only serves one year as president-elect and another as president. The real power in the AMS is within the Executive Committee, which is dominated by its appointed (i.e., non-elected) members simply because they are around all the time to carry out the Society's perceived business. The elected officials in the AMS (including the Councilors) are there primarily to approve agendas set by the Executive Committee. I'll have more to say on this when I have been to my first Council meeting ... hopefully, then I will have more than a 2nd-hand knowledge. FYI ... it basically is illegal for Federal employees to lobby on behalf of their own organization, and Congress is not in a mood to tolerate public expressions of concern about funding by Federal employees, which they see as lobbying. BTW ... the problems currently besetting the system are NOT directly associated with the Modernization, per se, but are most directly related to budget issues. However you feel about the modernization, the current crises are not due to Modernization implementation. --------------------------------------------------------------------- Dr. Charles A. Doswell III NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, Oklahoma 73069 phone: (405) 366-0439 fax: (405) 366-0472 WWW home page: Standard disclaimer ... my views are my own, so don't blame my employer. Can't keep my eyes from the circling sky. An earth-bound misfit, I --------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 19 Feb 1997 10:52:24 -0500 From: "Richard L. Slonaker" Subject: Aster-Roids! # Chicxulub is, of course, thre site of a hypothesized asteroid impact # that supposedly led to the extinction of the dinosaurs. And now with # the latest announcement of supposed evidence supporting the theory, # my question is this. # # Asteroid smashes into earth in what is now the Gulf of Mexico. Which # means lots and lots of water. Which means lots and lots of water vapor in the atmosphere. Which # means lots and lots of hydroscopic particulates in the atmosphere. # # With all that heat, and with all that "new" water vapor, and with all # those new particulates in the air, it would seem to me that the # atmosphere would become one huge Bergeron engine. Increased precip. # Yet, with all that water vapor in the air, wouldn't this tend to # store much of the energy from the impact in the air? # # A lot of attention has been paid to the nuclear winter aspect of # this theory, but I've heard nothing about the meteorological effects # of suddenly adding intense heat, major quantities of water vapor, and # hydroscopic particulates. Any thoughts? # # Bill Ice The effects you mention are relatively transient in nature. The dominant effect would be massive amounts of aerosols introduced into the stratosphere. These aerosols become long-term residents and reduce solar insolation input into the troposphere and Earth's surface. For all life on the planet, the transient effects after impact certainly "rocked their world". If they survived that, the next challenge was the long-term climate change. Many plant and animal species did not survive. -Richard ********************************************************************* * fmh@amf.nrl.navy.mil Richard L. Slonaker * * Naval Research Laboratory * * tel: 202-767-8257 Code 7223 * * fax: 202-767-9194 4555 Overlook Ave., S.W. * * Washington, D.C. 20375 * * USA * ********************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 19 Feb 1997 11:07:31 -0500 From: "Richard L. Slonaker" Subject: ENSO URL # I would appreciate very much if you could help me with the following # questions I have in mind. # # 1. El Nino- is this active at this time or are we in the El Nina state. # Kindly elaborate more on this two phenomenon. # # 2. Does the El Nino result in fewer of more tropical cyclones particularly # in the Philippines/Guam region. # # 3. How does this affect the SW monsoon in the Philippines/IndoChina # subcontinent. # # 4. Does the El Nino have any effect on the Inter Tropical Convergence Zone? # (Does it become less or more active?) # # Will appreciate receiving info on the above. # Thanks. # Ricky There is a career in climate diagnostics in some of those questions. The following URL is a good start... http://www.pmel.noaa.gov/toga-tao/el-nino/home.html -Richard ********************************************************************* * fmh@amf.nrl.navy.mil Richard L. Slonaker * * Naval Research Laboratory * * tel: 202-767-8257 Code 7223 * * fax: 202-767-9194 4555 Overlook Ave., S.W. * * Washington, D.C. 20375 * * USA * ********************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 19 Feb 1997 12:53:12 -0600 From: Brian Curran Subject: Re: Chicxulub and Weather Bill Ice wrote: > Chicxulub is, of course, thre site of a hypothesized asteroid impact > that supposedly led to the extinction of the dinosaurs. And now with > the latest announcement of supposed evidence supporting the theory, > my question is this. > > Asteroid smashes into earth in what is now the Gulf of Mexico. Which > means lots and lots of water. Which means lots and lots of water vapor > in the atmosphere. Which means lots and lots of hydroscopic particulates > in the atmosphere. If you're a fan of the "big rock hits Earth" tableau in sci-fi, then I would recommend "Lucifer's Hammer" from Larry Niven and Jerry Pournelle. In this book the authors describe a Shoemaker-Levy-like impact. The meteorology in this book is interesting. A good read, despite the Heinleinian self-reliance noise. > With all that heat, and with all that "new" water vapor, and with all > those new particulates in the air, it would seem to me that the > atmosphere would become one huge Bergeron engine. Increased precip. > Yet, with all that water vapor in the air, wouldn't this tend to > store much of the energy from the impact in the air? > A lot of attention has been paid to the nuclear winter aspect of > this theory, but I've heard nothing about the meteorological effects > of suddenly adding intense heat, major quantities of water vapor, and > hydroscopic particulates. Any thoughts? A Shoemaker-Levy-like impact would *probably* affect more ocean than land...after all, over three-quarters of the surface is covered by water. The energy transfer between meteoroid/asteroid and water would be enormous, throwing billions, if not trillions, of tons of water vapour into the atmosphere. Indeed, the plume would reach high into the stratosphere. Coupled with the secondary effects of firestorms started by blast or re-entered ejecta, I would think the "nuclear winter" scenario would be preceeded by a "venusian summer"... Many interesting things have been discovered after finding the iridium- rich K-T boundary. In a recent issue of _Discovery_ magazine, scientists have hypothesized that the body responsible for the Chicxulub impact came in obliquely from the south, sending a searing supersonic blast wave across the Gulf and North America. Instant firestorm. Lots of hygro- scopic particles. Combined with the fact that the Chicxulub impact occured in an area rich in suphur, you have instant suphuric acid rain. A new study (released this past weekend, IIRC) concerned core samples takes from the Atlantic off Florida (the Gulf would be emptied from the impact, sending the mother of all tsunamis across the Florida peninsula). The scientists claim that ejecta is followed by lots of small fossils, then a "Strangelove" ocean for 5,000 years. When you think about it, it's amazing that life wasn't cauterized at the end of the Mesozoic. > Bill Ice bc -- Brian Curran curran@scarecrow.nssl.uoknor.edu For mission-specific email please use brian.curran@noaa.gov Si hoc legere scis nimium eruditionis habes. Standard Disclaimers Apply. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 19 Feb 1997 09:50:54 -0600 From: Charles Edwards Subject: Re: Aster-Roids! Did anybody notice how active of a hurricane season they had in the show? They were already up to "G" (Gloria) by July fourth! Charles Edwards (Cloud 9 Tours) storms@pair.com http://www3.pair.com/storms ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 19 Feb 1997 16:27:09 -0800 From: Ken Tarvin Subject: Re: Chicxulub and Weather At 12:53 PM 2/19/97 -0600, you wrote: >Bill Ice wrote: > >If you're a fan of the "big rock hits Earth" tableau in sci-fi, then I >would recommend "Lucifer's Hammer" from Larry Niven and Jerry Pournelle. >In this book the authors describe a Shoemaker-Levy-like impact. The >meteorology in this book is interesting. A good read, despite the >Heinleinian self-reliance noise. Was just about to recommend this! I just finished re-reading this book, and it seems that the authors did thier homework before writing it. Niven is usually pretty good with research...... ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 19 Feb 1997 10:26:40 -0700 From: "David O. Blanchard" Subject: Re: Food, cell phones, and other chase talk >As I prepare for the upcoming season, a couple of things crossed my >mind... >Second, many of us will have cell phones for our chases. Carson >Eads has a special antenna for this purpose and the reception is >awesome. Anyone use anything but a standard cell antenna on their >roof? I don't use a cell phone. >Radar. If you don't get it via the SCH, Who is your data vendor, >what do you like/dislike about them, etc? I don't use radar on the road. >How are the amateur radio nets around KS/OK/TX away from the major >metro areas for getting or receiving weather info, and reporting >it? One a recent TX panhandle chase, none of the listed skywarn frequencies had any useful data. Not sure why..... >Have you found a battery operated portable TV useful when you >chase? I don't use a tv. >How do you like the new GPS stuff if you have it? Does it help you >a lot or a little when chasing? With a good navigator, you can be reasonably certain where you are and save a bunch of money. In summary, I still chase the old-fashioned way. I make the best possible forecast before I leave, pick an initial point, and go. After that, I rely on NOAA WxRadio, local AM/FM reports, and my scanner, plus visuals. In a few (rare) cases, I've called back for updates. If that isn't good enough to get me to the right storm, then I probably blew the forecast. -db- -- +----------------------------------------------------------------------+ | David Blanchard NOAA/NSSL & OU/CIMMS Boulder, Colorado | | blanch@ncar.ucar.edu http://mrd3.mmm.ucar.edu/~dob/www/ | +----------------------------------------------------------------------+ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 19 Feb 1997 21:36:01 EST From: Martin Lisius <73124.1052@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: TESSA National Meeting, April 12. The Texas Severe Storms Association's 4th Annual National Meeting will be held Saturday, April 12 from 9 am -12 noon in Plano, TX. More details are available at www.tessa.org Once at the TESSA Homepage, press the "TESSA News" link button. Make plans now! Martin Lisius ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 20 Feb 1997 03:09:43 +0000 From: Howard Altschule Subject: Another Weather Channel?? Hello, I just received the following news story regarding a new weather channel....though this one will be run by NBC. This will likely be the topic of future discussion, so if I recieve any other info., I'll be sure to pass it along!! They wrote: >In a potential threat to cable's The Weather Channel, NBC is launching >a new weather service on satellite television. The venture is an >expanded version of an on-line weather service that is now a part of >MSNBC. Industry observers see it as a first step toward a challenge >to The Weather Channel, a cable TV service with about 65 million >subscribers. The NBC service will be a graphics and text-dominated >channel, without anchor people. By using remote controls, viewers >will be able to call up local weather information, as well as national >and international weather informtion. NBC hopes eventually to expand >the service into cable, though initially it will be limited to direct >satellite television. (Wall Street Journal) > With best regards, Howie Altschule Meteorologist, NY/NJ E-mail Address: HAltschule@worldnet.att.net ********* ******* ***** "Toto, We're about to get our butt's whoooped!!".... (The Wizard) *** ! ** !!!!!!!!!!!!!! * ! O O O! ----------!------------!------------------------------------------ "Success is a journey not a destination, and the road to success is always under construction!!" ....a wise man ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 19 Feb 1997 16:21:57 -0700 From: William Kucharski Subject: NBC to Launch Television Weather Service by Satellite It sounds like NBC is going to try to do a TV-version of the current Intellicast web site, though I have NO idea how you will "choose" forecasts via remote with today's DBS satellite TV systems... >From the 2/19 Wall Street Journal: "In a potential threat to cable's popular Weather Channel, NBC is launching a new weather service on satellite television. The venture is an expanded version of an on-line weather service that is now part of MSNBC, the network's cable joint venture with Microsoft Corp. Though NBC declined to comment on the move - a news briefing is scheduled for today - industry observers see it as the first step toward a challenge to the Weather Channel, a cable TV service with about 65 million subscribers. Weather Channel officials declined to discuss the NBC effort. According to people familiar with the NBC service, the channel will be a graphics and text-dominated channel, without anchor people. By using remote controls, viewers will be able to call up local weather information, as well as national and international weather information. NBC's hope is to eventually expand the service into cable, though the channel initially will be limited to direct satellite television." William Kucharski kucharsk@netcom.com ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 18 Feb 1997 to 19 Feb 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Feb 19 15:46:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102537-23570>; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 15:46:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA223574; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 01:39:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4668753 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 01:39:13 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA240356 for ; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 01:39:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id BAA11939 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 01:39:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702190739.BAA11939@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Feb 1997 01:39:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 604 WTPS31 PGTW 190900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) WARNING NR 010 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- 19.4S4 158.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.4S4 158.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 20.1S3 158.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 20.8S0 159.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 21.4S7 159.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 22.1S5 160.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 23.2S7 161.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION 19.6S6 158.2E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 08 KNOTS. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER AUSTRALIA=S QUEENSLAND COAST AND AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE OVER THE SOLOMANS ARE PRODUCING MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHWESTERLY FLOW THAT IS SHEARING A SIGNIFICANT PORTION OF HAROLD=S CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHEAST. SATELLITE ANIMATION SHOWS PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION TRACKING SOUTHEAST. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0), 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6), 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9) AND 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Feb 19 16:14:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102534-23570>; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 16:14:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA234388; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 02:02:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4669292 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 02:02:01 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA180090 for ; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 02:02:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA12236 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 02:01:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702190801.CAA12236@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Feb 1997 02:01:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 816 WTXS31 PGTW 190900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARLETTE) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- 17.2S0 71.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.2S0 71.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 18.0S9 70.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 19.0S0 69.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 20.2S4 67.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 21.1S4 65.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION 17.4S2 71.5E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARLETTE) IS TRACKING WEST- SOUTHWEST AT 06 KNOTS. POSITION IS BASED ON DMSP MICROWAVE IMAGERY. KARLETTE IS NORTHWEST OF AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE WHICH IS PROVIDING A NORTHEASTERLY STEERING FLOW AND MODERATE SHEAR. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6) AND 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Feb 19 22:03:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102520-23570>; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 22:03:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA52100; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 07:55:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4671226 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 07:55:31 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA51986 for ; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 07:55:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id HAA17089 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 07:55:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702191355.HAA17089@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Feb 1997 07:55:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 666 WTPS31 PGTW 191500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- 19.7S7 159.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.7S7 159.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 20.8S0 159.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 21.8S1 160.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 22.7S1 161.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 23.7S2 162.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 25.3S0 163.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION 20.0S2 159.2E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM LOOP ISLAND (WMO 91574) AND 191130Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE CURRENT 35 KNOT WIND RADIUS HAS BEEN ADJUSTED USING 190900Z SHIP REPORTS. THE CURRENT 50 KNOT WIND RADIUS HAS BEEN ADJUSTED USING THE 190900Z WIND REPORT FROM LOOP ISLAND. HAROLD IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN A GENERAL MOTION TO THE SOUTHEAST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD IN STEERING FLOW BETWEEN AN UPPER- LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST AND AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TO THE SOUTHWEST. SOME INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS, THEN WEAKENING AS TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P ENCOUNTERS STRONGER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BEYOND 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3 (DTG 191955Z0), 200300Z5 (DTG 200155Z3), 200900Z1 (DTG 200755Z9), AND 201500Z8 (DTG 201355Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Feb 19 22:55:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102696-23570>; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 22:55:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA236722; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 08:43:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4671528 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 08:42:06 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA100908 for ; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 08:36:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA17783 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 08:36:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702191436.IAA17783@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Feb 1997 08:36:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 369 WTXS32 PGTW 191500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- 16.9S6 113.6E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.9S6 113.6E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 17.5S3 113.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 18.2S1 113.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 18.8S7 112.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 19.6S6 112.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION 17.1S9 113.6E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (TC 27S) IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE CURRENT WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191130Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED INTENSITY ANALYSIS. WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A SMALLER THAN AVERAGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S IS FORECAST TO GENERALLY TRACK SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD IN STEERING FLOW BETWEEN AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TO THE WEST AND AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST. TC 27S IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN GRADUALLY INTENSIFYING AS THE SYSTEM MOVES INTO AN ENVIRONMENT OF LOWER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z IS 09 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARLETTE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9) AND 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Feb 20 10:21:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102252-3084>; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 10:21:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA162130; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 20:10:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4677956 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 20:10:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA54268 for ; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 14:09:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA26247 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 14:09:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702192009.OAA26247@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Feb 1997 14:09:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 216 WTPS31 PGTW 192100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- 20.3S5 160.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.3S5 160.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 21.5S8 161.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 22.6S0 162.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 23.6S1 163.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 24.5S1 164.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 26.4S2 165.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION 20.6S8 160.4E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 191730Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. HAROLD IS BEGINNING TO ENCOUNTER STRONGER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IS BEGINNING TO WEAKEN. THIS TREND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MOTION TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR 72 HOURS AS WELL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5 (DTG 200155Z3), 200900Z1 (DTG 200755Z9), 201500Z8 (DTG 201355Z6), AND 202100Z5 (DTG 201955Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Feb 20 05:02:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102705-23570>; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 05:02:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA15360; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 14:50:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4673947 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 14:50:24 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA53200 for ; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 14:49:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA27316 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 14:49:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702192049.OAA27316@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Feb 1997 14:49:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 718 WTXS31 PGTW 192100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARLETTE) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- 17.9S7 70.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 080 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.9S7 70.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 18.9S8 69.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 20.1S3 67.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 20.8S0 65.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 21.3S6 63.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION 18.2S1 70.4E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARLETTE) IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 191614Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S IS FORECAST TO REMAIN NORTH OF A BREAK IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE WEST DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS. KARLETTE IS FORECAST TO BEGIN INTENSIFYING IN ABOUT 12 HOURS. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN ASSOCIATION WITH A MID-LATITUDE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO LESSEN AFTER THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH PASSES BY TO THE SOUTH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1 (DTG 200753Z7) AND 202100Z5 (DTG 201953Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Feb 20 10:42:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102264-3084>; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 10:42:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA20656; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 20:32:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4678742 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 20:32:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA257550 for ; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 20:32:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA03810 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 20:32:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702200232.UAA03810@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Feb 1997 20:32:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 688 WTPS31 PGTW 200300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- 21.7S0 161.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.7S0 161.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 23.3S8 163.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 25.1S8 164.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 27.0S9 166.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 28.8S8 168.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 32.0S5 172.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION 22.1S5 161.7E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE NORTHWEST, CAUSING IT TO WEAKEN AS IT ACCELERATES TO THE SOUTHEAST AHEAD OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. FUTURE WARNINGS ON TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) WILL BE AT 12 HOUR INTERVALS CORRESPONDING TO THE 00Z AND 12Z SYNOPTIC TIMES. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8 (DTG 201355Z6) AND 210300Z6 (DTG 210155Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 18 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Feb 20 11:03:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102164-3084>; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 11:03:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA20486; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 20:55:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4679267 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 20:55:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA142020 for ; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 20:55:22 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA04096 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 20:55:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702200255.UAA04096@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Feb 1997 20:55:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 957 WTXS32 PGTW 200300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- 17.8S6 115.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.8S6 115.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 18.4S3 115.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 19.5S5 116.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 20.6S8 116.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 21.7S0 116.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 23.0S5 116.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION 18.0S9 115.3E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS BEING STEERED BY AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO THE SOUTHWEST AND AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH TO THE SOUTHEAST. INTENSIFICATION IS BEING INHIBITED BY STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE NORTHWEST. JTWC WILL ISSUE WARNINGS EVERY SIX HOURS ON TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5), 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2), 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8) AND 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 12 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Feb 20 12:56:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102330-3084>; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 12:56:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA18374; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 22:47:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4681365 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 22:46:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA18216 for ; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 22:46:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id WAA05468 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 22:46:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702200446.WAA05468@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Feb 1997 22:46:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 453 WTPS31 PGTW 200300 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- 21.7S0 161.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.7S0 161.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 23.3S8 163.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 25.1S8 164.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 27.0S9 166.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 28.8S8 168.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 32.0S5 172.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION 22.1S5 161.7E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE NORTHWEST, CAUSING IT TO WEAKEN AS IT ACCELERATES TO THE SOUTHEAST AHEAD OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. FUTURE WARNINGS ON TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) WILL BE AT 12 HOUR INTERVALS CORRESPONDING TO THE 00Z AND 12Z SYNOPTIC TIMES. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8 (DTG 201355Z6) AND 210300Z6 (DTG 210155Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 18 FEET. JUSTIFICATION: CORRECT 48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Feb 20 13:47:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102401-3084>; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 13:47:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA247510; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 23:41:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4681924 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 23:41:26 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA195708 for ; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 23:41:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id XAA05983 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Feb 1997 23:41:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702200541.XAA05983@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Feb 1997 23:41:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 116 WTPS31 PGTW 200300 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- 21.7S0 161.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.7S0 161.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 23.3S8 163.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 25.1S8 164.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 27.0S9 166.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 28.8S8 168.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 32.0S5 172.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION 22.1S5 161.7E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE NORTHWEST, CAUSING IT TO WEAKEN AS IT ACCELERATES TO THE SOUTHEAST AHEAD OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. FUTURE WARNINGS ON TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) WILL BE AT 12 HOUR INTERVALS CORRESPONDING TO THE 00Z AND 12Z SYNOPTIC TIMES. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8 (DTG 201355Z6) AND 210300Z6 (DTG 210155Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 18 FEET. JUSTIFICATION: CORRECT 48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS.// TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT TTT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Feb 21 14:17:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102408-9460>; Fri, 21 Feb 1997 14:17:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA44266; Fri, 21 Feb 1997 00:06:33 -0600 Message-Id: <199702210606.AAA44266@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Feb 1997 00:01:26 +1800 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 19 Feb 1997 to 20 Feb 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 11 messages totalling 498 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Aster-Roids 2. Gloria was an ironic choice 3. Food, cell phones, and other chase talk 4. FW: Aster-Roids 5. AWIPS information on the WWW 6. Anyone else using weather.rap.ucar.edu? 7. TV Met needed 8. SPC Weather update, Oops!! 9. Re...NWS broken promises, etc... 10. Asteroids and hurricanes 11. gov't employee lobbying +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 20 Feb 1997 00:35:23 -0600 From: Mark Mears Subject: Re: Aster-Roids > Did anybody notice how active of a hurricane season they had in the show? > They were already up to "G" (Gloria) by July fourth! > > > Charles Edwards (Cloud 9 Tours) It's amazing in the face of all of the bizarre "science" put forth in this turkey that I even noticed this particular gaffe... I think I was laughing so hard at that point (something about aircraft-mounted SUPER-LASERS; or maybe it was how nobody seemed to remember a little think called the LAW OF CONSERVATION OF MASS-ENERGY) that it's a miracle that I even heard the remark about the hurricane. With June having 7 named storms, it seems like there's a pretty good chance that the entire list would be exhausted well before November! I can't remember what the procedure is in that case -- do they start borrowing names from the next year's list, or do they make up new ones? The really sad thing about this whole "Asteroid" affair is that they could have made a watchable, scientifically accurate (and meteorologically interesting!) movie/miniseries from a book published about 20 years ago called "Lucifer's Hammer" by Niven & Pournelle. Though Niven & Pournelle have done better work, this is still an engrossing book, and a fairly easy read. I highly recommend it. -- MM http://www.edge.net/asd ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 20 Feb 1997 08:08:31 -0600 From: Gary Dobbs Subject: Gloria was an ironic choice ---------------------------- > >Date: Wed, 19 Feb 1997 09:50:54 -0600 >From: Charles Edwards >Subject: Re: Aster-Roids! > >Did anybody notice how active of a hurricane season they had in the show? >They were already up to "G" (Gloria) by July fourth! > > >Charles Edwards (Cloud 9 Tours) > >storms@pair.com >http://www3.pair.com/storms I was amused by the choice of Gloria as the hurricane in the movie. I remember her well, and how my photog and I jumped into a news vehicle from Huntsville, Ala. and tore out toward the outer banks with hopes of arriving for "here's the waves and wind" coverage.....only to find out when getting there, that Pat Robertson had been busy praying all that night that Virginia and the East Coast would be spared. ( Of course, that is where PTL and all it's satt. dishes are located.....but that's just coincidence). We arrived at Hatteras to discover the hurricane, which had been making a beeline toward the coast, had, during the couse of our wee hour drive, diverted northeast and never hit shore ! Fortunately, I was able to satisfy my interest in hurricanes by flying with the hurricane hunters last year into Bertha. Anyway, before I plan another hurricane chasing trip, I'm checking to make sure that PTL has not gotten involved. Gary Dobbs ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 20 Feb 1997 08:50:36 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: Food, cell phones, and other chase talk On Wed, 19 Feb 1997 blanch@UCAR.EDU wrote: > I don't use a cell phone. > I don't use radar on the road. > I don't use a tv. > With a good navigator, you can be reasonably certain where you are > and save a bunch of money. > > In summary, I still chase the old-fashioned way. I make the best > possible forecast before I leave, pick an initial point, and go. After > that, I rely on NOAA WxRadio, local AM/FM reports, and my scanner, plus > visuals. In a few (rare) cases, I've called back for updates. If that > isn't good enough to get me to the right storm, then I probably blew the > forecast. > > > -db- David, That's where I am right now. However, I am wondering if the extra additions would help, or if it is just convenience? Or do you think a laptop aboard with live sat/radar improve the odds? Chaser equipment ranges from what you and I have to chasemobiles that almost defy imagination. I definitely am getting a cell phone if nothing else to report what I see in real time. But I am wondering about the other add-ons to see what has proven useful to other experienced chasers. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * Here's something to think about: How come you never see a headline * like "Psychic Wins Lottery"? --Jay Leno * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 20 Feb 1997 09:31:00 -0600 From: "Padgett, James G." Subject: FW: Aster-Roids Mark Mears wrote: >With June having 7 named storms, it seems like there's a pretty good >chance that the entire list would be exhausted well before November! >I can't remember what the procedure is in that case -- do they start >borrowing names from the next year's list, or do they make up new ones? The current official procedure for naming tropical cyclones if the regular list is exhausted is...names of the letters of the Greek alphabet (Alpha, Beta, etc) will be utilized. This applies to both the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific basins. The EASTPAC list was exhausted in 1992 but no additional cyclones developed, and it came close to happening in the Atlantic in 1995 (only two names on the regular list were unused). Gary Padgett padgett@eglin.af.mil ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 20 Feb 1997 15:49:36 -0500 From: Corey Lefkof Subject: AWIPS information on the WWW Item Subject: Message text Besides the noaa.gov servers with AWIPS information, a new web page has been created to give high level detail on the AWIPS and NOAAPORT systems with an online brochure. Check them out at: www.awips.prc.com Corey Lefkof Meteorologist PSU '91 ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 20 Feb 1997 18:15:55 -0600 From: "Jeremy Charles (N9VHT)" Subject: Anyone else using weather.rap.ucar.edu? Greetings folks... I have a script which connects to weather.rap.ucar.edu, logs in as weather, runs the weather program, and uses the /WATCHES subcommand to grab all bulletins for Wisconson. (I have it issue "@WI * 2".) I've noticed the past several days that everything but Flood Warnings appear to be showing up there... WSFO Milwaukee/Sullivan (MKE) has issued several of them the last few days for various counties and none have shown up on weather. The Flood Watches and other Warning bulletins show up, but not Flood Warnings. Does anyone else have this experience or know anything about what I might be doing wrong? -Jeremy C. (N9VHT) South-Central Wisconsin SKYWARN NCS & Training Coordinator Madison Area Repeater Association Vice President & Swapfest '98 Coordinator n9vht@skywarn.cs.wisc.edu Online SKYWARN logging: http://www.cs.wisc.edu/~jeremyc/skywarn ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 20 Feb 1997 10:29:21 -0600 From: Gary Dobbs Subject: TV Met needed If any of you know of someone interested in the following, I would appreciate hearing from you or simply forward my request to them..... Seeking someone with strong met background to produce and be on air with all weekend wxcasts on this ABC affiliate in Huntsville, Ala. This can be weekend only...or combined with 3 day additional weather related duties slot......I'm open for discussion..... We enjoy the luxury of state of the art hardware.... Baron HDD-250 radar, Nat'l Lightning Detection Net, Omni-lert early warning...4 site NEXRAD constant data...etc..... Only serious inquiry requested. Gary Dobbs Director, Weather Services Huntsville, Ala ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 20 Feb 1997 20:12:16 CST From: Robert L Bone Subject: SPC Weather update, Oops!! Interesting thing about a Hazardous Weather Update from the SPC today. It was in WWUS44 issued at 5:30 PM CST THU FEB 20 1997. It was mentioning the tornado watches in effect in Oklahoma and Texas and it specifically says that "Tornado Warnings and Severe Thunderstorm Warnings are in effect for a number of counties in eastern Oklahoma and eastern Texas at this time, and addditional warnings are likely to be issued .....". Funny thing about that though, as no tornado warnings have been issued in Oklahoma at all today, and the last thunderstorm warning issued was for a part of southcentral Oklahoma and it was issued about 1:13 PM. Is not better information available to those writing these updates so as to make them more accurate than this? Just wondering........ :-) ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 20 Feb 1997 21:39:28 -0500 From: Carl Morgan Subject: Re...NWS broken promises, etc... From Paul Pettit's post about a week ago... >Carl Morgan wrote >>I would have to counter that the although the public expects >>perfection, its hardly because the NWS has promised it >>through >>modernization. First of all, from my experience, the vast >>majority of the public know very little about the NWS...much >>less the details of the modernization process. >I believe your wrong here. The public knows a lot about >modernization. >They know they can no longer get the information they once >got. My definition of the general public must be different than yours. In my opinion, the majority of the general public want the highs, lows and chance of rain for the next few days. The majority of the general public get this from television. They always have, and they always will. I am not classifying certain groups such as farmers, controlled burners. etc as general public, although I know that they do make up a fraction. I'll get back to that in a minute... >They know >that to get a live weather person to talk to is like pulling >teeth, if they >can get one at all since the phones are hardly answered and no >800 numbers. On the contrary, the phones at this office never stop ringing during business hours, and rarely ring more than twice before being answered. On the outside chance that you're referring to the consolidation of NWS offices, and the perception that some citizens are left hung out to dry, because they have no local phone number to call...there may not be a local number to call, but then again, what can we tell someone on the phone, that we haven't already communicated by way of our products? NOWCASTS regularly updated, including radar summaries, watches and warnings immediately, forecasts...and I can go on...are put on radio and the weather wire. Does Joe Public want to hear about the jet stream dynamics that were considered when severe storms were put in the forecast? I would estimate that 80 percent of calls to our office are for forecasts or information that is already readily available. Exactly why does Joe Public need a toll free number to the NWS? The service is still the same, if not better, even though an office has been relocated. However, we still help each and every caller to the best of our ability, because there are no two ways about it...our job is public service. I don't mean to get defensive, but I think we do it quite well. >And if I am wrong here...why doesn't the public know about the >NWS? The NWS >at one time was the most visible agency in the gov't along >probably with >the post office. What happened? I know, maybe you don't, but >just look >around and see who is filling the void...Weather Channel, ACCU > Weather, >and others. Why, because the NWS deserted the public. So they >went >elsewhere for what they once had access to locally. On the off chance that you are wrong, the public is somewhat uniformed about the NWS because we are not on their TV four times a day like the local weather met. I'd be more than happy to hear what it is that you know, because I don't, and I'm saying that in a serious manner. Please tell me. As far as filling the void...first of all, the Weather Channel, ACCU Weather, etc do a mighty fine job, and have filled a void in packaging the product for dissemination to an audience. But have they filled a void in producing a forecast? I don't think so. This is not a knock on commercial weather services either. As I said before, these agencies do a fine job in all aspects. But I also know of one agency, for example, that takes the NWS coded cities forecast, copy it ver batum, and sell it to newspapers. If the void you are referring to is the Ag forecast and fire-weather forecasts, then you have a point. We used to issue these, and don't anymore. Was it budgetary reasons? Was it a lobby from the commercial weather companies? I understand that the NWS can't reproduce a product that is already offered by some private firm. I don't know the details, so I will decline further comment. Maybe this is where you can fill me in. >I just saw some ridiculous hype on AWIPS in the news >yesterday. Same old overpromising by NWS on what system will >do. Puts you guys in bad situation of having to live up to >headquarters hype. Unfortunate...to say the least. Yes, it is unfortunate that decisions and statements of higher-ups have ramifications all the way down to the bottom. This is true in businesses throughout the world. However, if you're referring to the article on AWIPS which I saw also, it was rather accurate in describing the features of the system, and the benefits, but I recall no promises made. What are the inaccuracies in the following quote?...which, by the way, is the only statement made by the NWS in the article by the AP. >``AWIPS will allow our forecasters to make the most of new >technologies >that we've put in place with the modernization,'' said Weather >Service >Director Elbert W. Friday. ``Now they will be able to rapidly >gather and >assess the most meaningful information needed to issue >critical forecasts >and warnings.'' Is it possible that you are bashing the NWS without justification on this point? >I am sure the NWS reduced FTE's to some extent. However >salaries are >probably equal to or much higher now due to >modernization.(Higher grades to >do essentially the same job that was done before with less >public service. Once again, the question of less public service, in my opinion, is simply perceived. And as far as salaries increasing due to modernization...I'm not sure I make the connection. However, it is nice to be able to look forward to a promotion once in a while. And with downsizing, it will most likely be a LONG while. >Not to mention a radar who's hardware was obsolete the day it >was installed >(at approx. 6 million a copy I might add). Ever thought about >a NEXRAD >equivalent radar where the >operating scanning hardware consisted of one less than 1x1 >foot computer board? Obsolete or not, its much better than what was in place before. Things happen slowly in the government, whether you and I like it or not. But nowadays, technology is obsolete the day after it hits the shelf anyway. >Anyway...whatever our disagreements...I feel your pain! I can >sit on the >sidelines now and arm chair forecast NWS management events. >Sometimes I get >satisfaction, but as a former long time employee...I know >where you are >coming from and I sympathize. Being a former long-time employee, I would hope you could offer empathy over sympathy. Didn't you take pride in the job that you were trying your best to perform? ----------------------------------------------------- Carl Morgan NWS Austin/San Antonio These are my opinions only and not intended to be the views of the National Weather Service. ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 20 Feb 1997 16:13:18 -0700 From: Bob Henson Subject: Asteroids and hurricanes REGARDING Asteroids and hurricanes We at NCAR issued a press release in September 1995 on a paper cowritten by one of our scientists on the possibility of asteroid-induced "hypercanes". Here's that release. The paper appeared in JGR on 7/20/95. ----Hypercanes--a Possible Mechanism for Species Extinction----- Could a series of colossal hurricanes make dinosaurs and other species extinct? A computer model created by Richard Rotunno (NCAR Mesoscale and Microscale Meteorology Division) and colleagues indicates that possibility. In a paper that appeared on July 20 in the Journal of Geophysical Research, Rotunno joined lead author Kerry Emanuel (Massachusetts Institute of Technology) and three other scientists to argue that hypercanes--theoretical superstrong hurricanes--may have been a crucial agent in past extinctions. During the Late Permian period, about 245 million years ago, some 96% of all species disappeared. A later event extinguished 75% of all species. Giant meteors or volcanic eruptions have been cited as possible causes. The authors contend that neither type of event could inject enough long-lasting debris into the stratosphere to affect global climate on the scale needed for mass extinction. However, meteors or undersea eruptions might have been able to heat swaths of ocean a few tens of kilometers wide to temperatures as high as 50 degrees C (122 degrees F). Rotunno took a hurricane model he created with Emanuel and tested it under these conditions. The superheated patches of ocean in the computer model quickly generated tropical cyclones with central pressures as low as 200 millibars and wind speeds as high as 300 meters per second (675 miles per hour, approaching the speed of sound). After about two days, the storms settled into a steady state with winds still around 150 mps (340 mph). Such storms, according to the authors, could produce vast sheets of stratospheric clouds that would alter radiation patterns and perhaps trigger ozone depletion. Although Rotunno notes that the model was not designed to run for such extreme conditions, he believes the results are physically reasonable. --Bob Henson UCAR Communications Univ. Corporation for Atmospheric Research Boulder CO ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 20 Feb 1997 22:53:32 -0800 From: Stephen Hodanish Subject: gov't employee lobbying Chuck Doswell wrote: snip... FYI ... it basically is illegal for Federal employees to lobby on behalf of their own organization, and Congress is not in a mood to tolerate public expressions of concern about funding by Federal employees, which they see as lobbying. snip... This is not true anymore. Last year the Hatch Act was lossened up quite a bit which now allows federal employees to get involved with politics (which is good imho). Stephen Hodanish NWS/MLB ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 19 Feb 1997 to 20 Feb 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Feb 20 16:22:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102554-3084>; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 16:22:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA100588; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 02:16:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4682885 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 02:15:54 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA223282 for ; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 02:15:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA07533 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 02:15:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702200815.CAA07533@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Feb 1997 02:15:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 653 WTXS32 PGTW 200900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- 18.0S9 115.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.0S9 115.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 18.9S8 115.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 19.9S9 115.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 21.0S3 115.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 21.7S0 115.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 22.3S7 115.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION 18.2S1 115.4E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. INTENSIFICATION CONTINUES TO BE INHIBITED BY STRONG UPPER LEVEL WIND SHEER, WHICH HAS RESULTED IN AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S IS EXPECTED TO TURN SOUTHWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO THE SOUTHWEST AND AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH TO THE EAST. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2), 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8), 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0) AND 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 12 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Feb 20 16:37:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102489-3084>; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 16:37:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA68818; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 02:33:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4682981 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 02:33:48 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA70806 for ; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 02:33:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA07701 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 02:33:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702200833.CAA07701@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Feb 1997 02:33:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 792 WTXS31 PGTW 200900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARLETTE) WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- 18.4S3 69.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.4S3 69.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 18.6S5 67.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 19.1S1 65.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 19.5S5 63.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 19.8S8 61.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION 18.5S4 68.5E9 NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5 (DTG 201953Z0) AND 210900Z2 (DTG 210753Z8). TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARLETTE) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WESTWARD WITH STEERING PROVIDED BY A DOMINANT UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. INTENSIFICATION IS BEING INHIBITED BY MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE EAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z IS 16 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Feb 20 20:35:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102641-3084>; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 20:35:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id GAA07058; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 06:28:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4683908 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 06:27:58 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id GAA65462 for ; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 06:27:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id GAA12322 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 06:27:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702201227.GAA12322@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Feb 1997 06:27:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 287 WHPS21 PHNC 171000 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 171000Z FEB 97// REF/A/RMG/MY/170500Z FEB 97// AMPN/(WHPS21 PHNC 170430)// RMKS/ 1. METSAT DATA INDICATES THAT ORGANIZATION HAS DECREASED IN THE ALERT AREA AS THE SYSTEM UNDERGOES SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL SHEAR. ISOLATED CONVECTION IS APPARENT THROUGHOUT THE REGION; HOWEVER, LLCC IS NO LONGER APPARENT. ORIG WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS AREA FOR REGENERATION. 2. REMARKS: THIS CANCELS REF A.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG46130481002 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Feb 20 22:37:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102722-3084>; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 22:36:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA14722; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 08:24:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4684730 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 08:22:32 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA70870 for ; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 08:22:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA13515 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 08:22:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702201422.IAA13515@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Feb 1997 08:22:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 969 WTXS32 PGTW 201500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- 18.1S0 115.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.1S0 115.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 18.6S5 115.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 19.5S5 115.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 20.3S5 115.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 21.1S4 115.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 22.5S9 115.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION 18.2S1 115.4E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S IS TRACKING SOUTHEAST AT 03 KNOTS. LAST VISIBLE IMAGE SHOWS A WELL-DEVELOPED CIRCULATION CENTER WITH DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED AWAY TO THE WEST, BUT ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CONVECTION IS FLARING UP NEAR EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. TC 27S TRACK FORECAST IS INFLUENCED BY DOMINANT ANTICYCLONE OVER AUSTRALIA. LIGHT/MODERATE SHEAR HINDERS INTENSIFICATION THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5 (DTG 201953Z0), 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2), 210900Z2 (DTG 210753Z8) AND 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Feb 20 22:41:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102719-3084>; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 22:41:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA244628; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 08:26:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4684743 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 08:24:45 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA176116 for ; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 08:22:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA13521 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 08:22:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702201422.IAA13521@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Feb 1997 08:22:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 970 WTPS31 PGTW 201500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- 22.9S3 162.1E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.9S3 162.1E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 24.0S6 162.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 25.1S8 163.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION 23.2S7 162.3E2 TC 26P (HAROLD) IS TRACKING SOUTHEAST AT 06 KNOTS. HAROLD IS AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH ALL DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED OVER 120 NM DOWNSTREAM. THE RESIDUAL WINDFIELD IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SPIN DOWN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NEXT WARNING AT 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Feb 21 04:17:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102571-3084>; Fri, 21 Feb 1997 04:17:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAB104914; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 14:06:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4686520 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 14:05:37 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA149462 for ; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 14:05:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA22222 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 14:05:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702202005.OAA22222@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Feb 1997 14:05:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 886 WTXS31 PGTW 202100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARLETTE) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- 18.0S9 68.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.0S9 68.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 18.0S9 66.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 18.1S0 65.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 18.3S2 64.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 18.5S4 63.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION 18.0S9 67.7E0 TC 25S (KARLETTE) IS TRACKING WEST AT 07 KNOTS. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS POOR OUTFLOW IN LIGHT TO MODERATE EASTERLIES. FORECAST TRACK IS WELL EQUATORWARD OF THE STANDARD DOMINANT RIDGE. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6) AND 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Feb 21 04:44:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102580-3084>; Fri, 21 Feb 1997 04:44:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA223314; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 14:34:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4686697 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 14:34:25 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA124178 for ; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 14:10:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA22388 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 14:10:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702202010.OAA22388@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Feb 1997 14:10:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 887 WTXS32 PGTW 202100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- 18.5S4 115.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.5S4 115.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 19.1S1 116.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 20.1S3 116.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 21.0S3 115.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 21.9S2 115.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 23.6S1 114.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION 18.7S6 115.9E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S IS TRACKING SOUTHEAST AT 04 KNOTS. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TC 27S DOGGEDLY FIGHTING ITS WAY SOUTHEAST AGAINST MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM LEVEL UPPER LEVEL EASTERLIES. SLOW INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST IN THIS ENVIRONMENT. TC 27S SHOULD BEGIN TO TURN MORE SOUTHWARD AS IT NEARS THE ANTICYCLONE OVER AUSTRALIA. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2), 210900Z2 (DTG 210753Z8), 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5) AND 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Feb 21 10:17:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102370-9460>; Fri, 21 Feb 1997 10:16:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA108756; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 20:10:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4690837 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 20:09:56 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA148826 for ; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 20:03:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA00768 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 20:03:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702210203.UAA00768@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Feb 1997 20:03:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 097 WTXS32 PGTW 210300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- 18.6S5 115.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.6S5 115.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 19.5S5 115.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 20.3S5 115.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 21.1S4 115.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 21.8S1 115.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 23.3S8 114.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION 18.8S7 115.9E6 NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6), 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3), 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9) AND 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1). TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S IS MOVING SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE STEERED BY AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO THE WEST AND AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TO THE EAST. INTENSITY ESTIMATE DERIVED FROM SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND IS SUPPORTED BY A SCATTEROMETER PASS AT 201508Z. INTENSIFICATION CONTINUES TO BE HINDERED BY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED AS TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S MOVES INTO AN AREA OF WEAKER SHEAR PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL IN NORTHWESTERN AUSTRALIA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 14 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Feb 21 11:02:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102413-9460>; Fri, 21 Feb 1997 11:02:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA116414; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 20:41:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4691639 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 20:40:57 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA108620 for ; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 20:40:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA01283 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 20:40:43 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702210240.UAA01283@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Feb 1997 20:40:43 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 737 WTPS31 PGTW 210300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- 25.6S3 164.4E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 25.6S3 164.4E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 27.8S7 166.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION 26.1S9 164.9E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED DUE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SOUTHEASTWARD WITH SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 30 KNOTS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 15 FEET. // +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Feb 21 11:08:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102498-9460>; Fri, 21 Feb 1997 11:08:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA256678; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 20:53:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4692129 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 20:53:23 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA215256 for ; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 20:52:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA01414 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 20:52:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702210252.UAA01414@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Feb 1997 20:52:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 929 WHPS21 PHNC 170430 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 170500Z FEB 97// REF/A/RMG/MY/160430Z FEB 97// AMPN/(WHPS21 PHNC 160500)// RMKS/ 1. METSAT DATA INDICATES THAT AN INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION ASSOCIATED WITH DEVELOPING CYCLONE DID NOT OCCUR AS RAPIDLY AS EXPECTED IN REF A. LATEST SYNOPTIC AND METSAT DATA, HOWEVER, INDICATES ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS STILL SUPPORT FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.7S9 176.6W0 TO 13.4S8 180.0E9 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. LOCAL METSAT IMAGERY AT 162132Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 13.2S6 178.5W1. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE NEXT SATELLITE INVESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 170600Z4. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 180430Z6.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG73590490513 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Feb 21 14:01:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102561-9460>; Fri, 21 Feb 1997 14:00:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA215280; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 23:47:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4694473 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 23:47:00 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA203354 for ; Thu, 20 Feb 1997 23:46:53 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA95152 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 20 Feb 1997 23:46:53 -0600 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199702210546.AA95152@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Feb 1997 23:46:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -202346 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 71341 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z FEB 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210155ZFEB97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 3N3 109E0 REMAINS QUASI-STATIONARY NEAR 3N3 109E0. THIS CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA FOR SEVERAL DAYS. NO LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EVIDENT FROM IMAGERY OR SYNOPTIC DATA. TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA IS NOT CONSIDERED LIKELY DUE TO LOW LATITUDE AND STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (HAROLD) WAS LOCATED AT 25.6S3 164.4E5 MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (HAROLD) HAS WEAKENED DUE TO VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (HAROLD) ARE CONTINUING TO MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST AT 14 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (HAROLD) WARNING NR 15 (WTPS31 PGTW 210300)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/DEOCARIZA/GILL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Feb 22 14:28:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102318-16337>; Sat, 22 Feb 1997 14:28:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA219246; Sat, 22 Feb 1997 00:12:52 -0600 Message-Id: <199702220612.AAA219246@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Feb 1997 00:06:24 +1800 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 20 Feb 1997 to 21 Feb 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 8 messages totalling 475 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Asteroids and hurricanes 2. Gloria was an ironic choice 3. FW: Gloria was an ironic choice 4. Learning Channel producer needs weather footage 5. OSU WWW/Gopher Servers 6. gov't employee lobbying 7. WX-TALK Digest - 19 Feb 1997 to 20 Feb 1997 (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 21 Feb 1997 00:55:42 -0600 From: Bill Ice Subject: Re: Asteroids and hurricanes > However, meteors or undersea > eruptions might have been able to heat swaths of ocean a few tens of > kilometers wide to temperatures as high as 50 degrees C (122 degrees F). > > Rotunno took a hurricane model he created with Emanuel and tested > it under these conditions. The superheated patches of ocean in the > computer model quickly generated tropical cyclones with central > pressures as low as 200 millibars and wind speeds as high as 300 meters > per second (675 miles per hour, approaching the speed of sound). After > about two days, the storms settled into a steady state with winds still > around 150 mps (340 mph). Such storms, according to the authors, > could produce vast sheets of stratospheric clouds that would alter > radiation patterns and perhaps trigger ozone depletion. Although > Rotunno notes that the model was not designed to run for such > extreme conditions, he believes the results are physically reasonable. Bob, Thanks for posting this to the list. I have not been a subscriber to the asteroid/meteor impact theory accounting for major extinctions. Reasons: Unusually high levels of iridium is usually given as the chief clue leading to the asteroid impact theory, since it's found so rarely in the earth's crust (0.03 ppb [parts per billion]). Finds at the K-T extinction run anywhere from 9 ppb to 57. However, asteroids/meteors are NOT the largest source of iridium. Volcanic lava is. Typical asteroidic contents of iridium are 515 ppb. Lava typically runs 20 percent higher, at 630 ppb. Even today, iridium levels approaching those of the K-T extinction (the one that killed of 70 percent of species, including the dinosaurs) exist. The Gubbio, Italy site (the one that started the asteroid theory) reveals an iridium content of 9 ppb. At the Piton de la Fournaise, a volcano on Reunion Island, southwest of India in the Indian Ocean, recent eruptions have produced sublimate samples that show iridium levels of 4 to 8 ppb--1200 to 2400 times too high. This iridium was imbedded with flourine minerals, gold, and selenium. Temps of impacting meteors run as high as 3600 degrees C. Iridium melts at 2400. None of the iridium anomalies show signs of melted iridium. (Lava runs as high as 1800). The recent "proof positive" announced by Norris et al concerning the drilling in the Atlantic is nothing of the sort. With dozens of other drilling core samples--including many in the Atlantic--being contradictive, his findings reveal a more local event rather than a massive, global one. Even he admitted this was the only site so far that shows the evidence he announced. The iridium spikes found in various locations show a process of increased iridium build up, ranging anywhere from 2,000 to 10,000 years. The "die off" of iridium at each site is slower, but comparitively gradual. There have been 6 iridium spikes and only two coincide with extinctions: the K-T and the Devonian. The most massive, the Permian extinction, has no associated iridium anomaly. The largest known impact crater, the Manicouagan in Quebec, is 100 km in diameter but misses the Permian extinction by 35 million years and does not have an iridium anomaly associated with it. Neither is there an extinction linked to it. Three of the Big Five major extinctions are accompanied by craters of 10 km or larger. However, there are 31 such sized craters that have absolutely no extinctions associated with them at all. When compared with the 6 iridium spikes, only 3 craters coincide. In other words, in the vast majority of cases, large impacts do NOT produce iridium anomalies. Just as often--on 3 other occasions-- the earth got higher levels of iridium from some other source(s). But--and what a big but--iridium is not the only element that showed an anomalous spike at the K-T. Both antimony and arsenic spiked at the same time. Antimony showed at levels at the iridium anomaly sites between 670-17,000 ppb. Meteoritic content is typically 138 ppb. Lava is 48,000. Arsenic also peaked at those same sites: from 6,400 to 760,000 ppb. Meteors generally run around 1,800 ppb, lava at 6,000,000. Arsenic to iridium ratios run from 640 to 13,000 to 1 at those sites: the average is 4,700 to 1. Meteors' ratios run with an average of 3.5 to 1; lava 9,500 to 1. Curiously, the iridium anomaly sites reveal a somewhat different picture for the antimony/iridium ratio. They run from 67 to 490 to 1 and average out to 270 to 1; meteors run a ratio of 0.27 to 1 while lava shows an 80 to 1 ratio. Finally, there was a massive volcano eruption that occurred 65 million years ago--the same time period as the K-T extinction. It was the one that created the Deccan Traps in India. This eruption ejected 10^6 cubic kilometers of lava. The proposed asteroid, when realizing its supposed crater is 2 km deep and 200 km in diameter is 4 * 10^4 cubic kilometers. Even if the crater was 10 km deep, this would make the ejecta 2*10^5 cubic kilometers But, as seen above, the volcanic theory is not fully satisfactory. We still do not have a sufficient source of antimony. In short, I'm more receptive to the "superhurricane" theory, particularly when one realizes the Permian featured an abnormally large amount of carbon dioxide in the oceans (and presumably the atmosphere), which sounds like temps would be higher. Thanks to everyone for their suggestions concerning literature and other contributions. Best, Bill Ice ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 21 Feb 1997 03:10:53 -0500 From: "Richard A. Neuherz" Subject: Re: Gloria was an ironic choice ********************************************************************************************************** Date: Thu, 20 Feb 1997 08:08:31 -0600 From: Gary Dobbs Subject: Gloria was an ironic choice ---------------------------- > >Date: Wed, 19 Feb 1997 09:50:54 -0600 >From: Charles Edwards >Subject: Re: Aster-Roids! > >Did anybody notice how active of a hurricane season they had in the show? >They were already up to "G" (Gloria) by July fourth! > > >Charles Edwards (Cloud 9 Tours) > >storms@pair.com >http://www3.pair.com/storms I was amused by the choice of Gloria as the hurricane in the movie. I remember her well, and how my photog and I jumped into a news vehicle from Huntsville, Ala. and tore out toward the outer banks with hopes of arriving for "here's the waves and wind" coverage.....only to find out when getting there, that Pat Robertson had been busy praying all that night that Virginia and the East Coast would be spared. ( Of course, that is where PTL and all it's satt. dishes are located.....but that's just coincidence). We arrived at Hatteras to discover the hurricane, which had been making a beeline toward the coast, had, during the couse of our wee hour drive, diverted northeast and never hit shore ! Fortunately, I was able to satisfy my interest in hurricanes by flying with the hurricane hunters last year into Bertha. Anyway, before I plan another hurricane chasing trip, I'm checking to make sure that PTL has not gotten involved. Gary Dobbs ********************************************************************************************************* Gary, I am a bit confused about your memories of Hurricane Gloria and its effects on the U. S. East Coast. I work for the National Weather Service and spent 3 years of my life stationed at Cape Hatteras (1991-1994). Anyhow, Hurricane Gloria struck the Outer Banks of North Carolina in September of 1985 as a Category 3 storm. The storm made landfall on the Outer Banks with the eye passing directly over the weather station located in Buxton. The crew there launched a weather balloon into the eye and, as of my departure from Hatteras in June of 1994, the plot of that eye sounding was still hanging on the wall in the office. On 31 August 1993, Hurricane Emily passed just east of Cape Hatteras as a Category 3 storm. While Hatteras Island was battered for about 2 hours by the western eyewall of Emily, the storm did not officially make landfall on the North Carolina coast. After causing the worst flooding from Pamlico Sound on Hatteras Island since the San Ciriaco Hurricane of August 1899, Emily turned northeast and headed out to sea. I heard stories afterward that Pat Robertson's group was taking credit for praying the storm out to sea. I believe this may be the storm about which you are thinking unless there was a Gloria in 1979 to which you were referring. By the way, the name Gloria was retired after the 1985 season as the storm that year proceeded to make landfall on Long Island the day after it hit Hatteras. Damage exceeded a billion dollars in the Northeast U.S. Interestingly enough, the hurricane named for its replacement in the list ( Grace in 1991) was one of 3 synoptic (or, if you prefer, near synoptic) scale systems that combined to produce major coastal flooding and beach erosion on the U.S. East Coast from Maine to North Carolina during October. This event went down in history as the Halloween Nor'easter of 1991. ciao Rick aka vortex@pagesz.net ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 21 Feb 1997 07:15:00 -0600 From: "Padgett, James G." Subject: FW: Gloria was an ironic choice >---------- >From: Richard A. Neuherz >To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK >Subject: Re: Gloria was an ironic choice >Date: Friday, February 21, 1997 2:10AM In reply to a posting by Gary Dobbs, Rick wrote: >Gary, > I am a bit confused about your memories of Hurricane Gloria and its >effects on the U. S. East Coast. I work for the National Weather Service >and spent 3 years of my life stationed at Cape Hatteras (1991-1994). >Anyhow, Hurricane Gloria struck the Outer Banks of North Carolina in >September of 1985 as a Category 3 storm. The storm made landfall on the >Outer Banks with the eye passing directly over the weather station located >in Buxton. The crew there launched a weather balloon into the eye and, as >of my departure from Hatteras in June of 1994, the plot of that eye >sounding was still hanging on the wall in the office. > On 31 August 1993, Hurricane Emily passed just east of Cape >Hatteras as a Category 3 storm. While Hatteras Island was battered for >about 2 hours by the western eyewall of Emily, the storm did not officially >make landfall on the North Carolina coast. After causing the worst >flooding from Pamlico Sound on Hatteras Island since the San Ciriaco >Hurricane of August 1899, Emily turned northeast and headed out to sea. I >heard stories afterward that Pat Robertson's group was taking credit for >praying the storm out to sea. I believe this may be the storm about which >you are thinking unless there was a Gloria in 1979 to which you were >referring. I seem to remember the Pat Robertson story circulating around well before 1993. Perhaps he took credit for both storms not making a direct landfall in the mid-Atlantic region. There was a Hurricane Gloria in 1979 and also 1976, but both these "Gloria's" stayed well out in the Atlantic. >By the way, the name Gloria was retired after the 1985 season as the storm >that year proceeded to make landfall on Long Island the day after it hit >Hatteras. Damage exceeded a billion dollars in the Northeast U.S. >Interestingly enough, the hurricane named for its replacement in the list ( >Grace in 1991) was one of 3 synoptic (or, if you prefer, near synoptic) >scale systems that combined to produce major coastal flooding and beach >erosion on the U.S. East Coast from Maine to North Carolina during October. > This event went down in history as the Halloween Nor'easter of 1991. The so-called Halloween Nor'easter did evolve into a hurricane, but the system was not named nor publicly classified as a hurricane (although it was included in the seasonal stats). The Nor'easter had weakened and moved southward away from the upper Atlantic coast. As the center moved over the Gulf Stream convection increased and the system took on a subtropical appearance. By 1 November the storm had transformed into a tropical cyclone and a recon plane found winds to hurricane force. A strong cold front was approaching from the west and all indications were the storm would move quickly away from the U.S. coast. NMC prevailed on NHC not to name the cyclone as it was feared it would frighten and confuse the public who were out cleaning up from the aftermath of the severe Nor'easter. The system, referred to publicly as a "small vortex with locally strong winds", eventually made landfall near Halifax as a rapidly weakening tropical storm. >ciao >Rick aka vortex@pagesz.net ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 21 Feb 1997 07:50:35 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: Learning Channel producer needs weather footage Jafi Lipson needs help locating some specific weather footage but is is not a WX-TALK subscriber so I am posting his message. If anyone has information please e-mail wow@grbtv.com directly. ..Chris.. >Dear Mr. Novy, >I am a segment producer on a new series called "Without Warning" that will >debut on the Learning Channel in the Fall of 1997. I am looking for >footage of dust storms and tule fog to supplement a segment on the >Interstate 5 pile-ups of 1991 and 1994 in Fresno, California. If you have >any information about how I might obtain such footage from sources other >than local news stations, please email me or call me at 818-755-8027. I >am also looking for still pictures of dust storm- or tule fog-induced >disasters. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 21 Feb 1997 09:17:43 -0500 From: Brendon Hoch Subject: OSU WWW/Gopher Servers To: OSU WWW & Gopher Users As you are probably aware, the Ohio State University (OSU) Atmospheric Sciences Program (ASP) Gopher Server will be discontinued at the end of the month. The students of the ASP are aware of the importance of this service to the meteorological community, as well as the public at large. The OSU ASP is an interdisciplinary program housed within the Department of Geography. Recent changes in the administration of the department have resulted in less emphasis on the dissemination of weather data through our Gopher & Web Server. As a result, no funds have been allocated for the necessary personnel to support these services. Presently, these services are maintained by students who have strong beliefs that the servers are a vital resource to universities, government, and the general public. However, these students do have other responsibilities, such as research & teaching, which prevent them from committing the full amount of time necessary to support and improve the system. If you find these services beneficial to you in any way, we ask that you let the Geography Department Administration know. Please indicate how much you use the Gopher & Web Servers, what organization you are affiliated with, and the importance of the continued availability of these data to you. Please send or email this information, along with any comments to the Geography Department Chair at: Dr. Lawrence A. Brown 1036 Derby Hall 154 North Oval Mall Columbus, OH 43210 labrown@geography.ohio-state.edu (614) 292-2514 Fax: (614) 292-6213 Your time and efforts on behalf of this matter are appreciated. Sincerely, Kevin Petty & Brendon Hoch Graduate Students Atmospheric Sciences Program The Ohio State University ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 21 Feb 1997 14:10:52 GMT From: Chuck Doswell Subject: Re: gov't employee lobbying In article <330D466C.6CAE@quancon.com>, Stephen Hodanish wrote: >> FYI ... it basically is illegal for Federal employees to lobby on behalf of >> their own organization, and Congress is not in a mood to tolerate public >> expressions of concern about funding by Federal employees, which they see >> as lobbying. > This is not true anymore. Last year the Hatch Act was lossened up quite a bit > which now allows federal employees to get involved with politics (which is good > imho). Irrespective of any changes to the Hatch Act, lobbying (or engaging in activites that Congress interprets as lobbying) on behalf of your own organization is NOT the same as getting involved with politics! If you want to risk having someone from Congress threatening lawsuits or other punitive actions, feel free to do so. I'd love to see your case being tried on the nightly news. There are cases where threats of punitive action have been made simply because a NOAA employee mentioned loss of services due to Congressional budget cuts via a NOAA Website. Strictly speaking, it is probably risky for me to even mention this on the newsgroup. But by all means, go for it if you wish! Chuck Doswell --------------------------------------------------------------------- Dr. Charles A. Doswell III NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, Oklahoma 73069 phone: (405) 366-0439 fax: (405) 366-0472 WWW home page: Standard disclaimer ... my views are my own; don't blame my employer. Can't keep my eyes from the circling sky. An earth-bound misfit, I --------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 21 Feb 1997 20:06:24 -0600 From: "Paul E. Pettit" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 19 Feb 1997 to 20 Feb 1997 Carl Morgan wrote: Being a former long-time employee, I would hope you could offer empathy over sympathy. Didn't you take pride in the job that you were trying your best to perform? Carl I take offense to the last sentence. I retired after 37 years in weather, the last 20 or so as MIC at different offices. My skin is thick as is the case with most weather people, however to imply that I didn't take pride in my work is an insult. Free discussion, whether it is positive or negative, is the hallmark of any discussion forum. I'll let my record of service speak for itself and anyone that knows me...certainly knows that the public and gov't service was foremost in my work and thoughts. If I offended you I apologize, however you really need to take a look at where the NWS is headed and where it has been. When public servants shut themselves off from the public (this seems to be our main area of disagreement) pretty soon no one knows who they are...think about it. By the way does your office have directions for the public to find it? Believe it or not...many of them DO NOT! If you really believe that modernization has not sapped money and expertise away from basic public services, then you have your head in the sand. The NWS has been robbing Peter to pay Paul ever since modernizing began. This is not to say that I am against modernization...I just have disagreed about how to go about it. I must have gone through at least 3 or 4 reorganizations of the NWS during my career...some for the better and some for the worse...so it remains to be seen how good the present restructuring is going to be. Latest quote from Joe Friday! Within a "few years" we will be making valid forecasts three or four months in advance. (NBC news 02/21/97) Another noteworthy statement that may or may not be true. This is another example of the hype that puts you guys in the hot seat. Paul E. Pettit Weather Consulting http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 21 Feb 1997 20:37:05 -0600 From: "Jeremy Charles (N9VHT)" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 19 Feb 1997 to 20 Feb 1997 On Fri, 21 Feb 1997, Paul E. Pettit wrote: > Latest quote from Joe Friday! Within a "few years" we will be making valid > forecasts three or four months in advance. (NBC news 02/21/97) Another > noteworthy statement that may or may not be true. This is another example > of the hype that puts you guys in the hot seat. I saw that report this evening as well.. When I heard that quote, I leaned back in my chair, chuckled, and said to the TV, "Let's try getting next week right first, Joe!" In fact, I came away from that entire report thinking, "Hmmm! The NWS has some nice toys." It didn't really say anything about what is actually being done to make a difference. Now, don't get me wrong.. I am *not* cutting on the NWS. I know that weather forecasting is a very very difficult task to perform. Every time I hear someone cut weather forecasting in general, I am one of the first to jump out of my chair in defense. I just think that the efforts that are being made by the NWS and other agencies/groups were sold very short by that NBC piece... especially with Mr. Friday's somewhat sensationalist quote. Yeah, it'd be nice to see forecasts accurate months in advance... I believe that it is possible (you never know what the research will turn up in the coming years), I'm just not sure how probable it is. -Jeremy C. (N9VHT) South-Central Wisconsin SKYWARN NCS & Training Coordinator Madison Area Repeater Association Vice President & Swapfest '98 Coordinator n9vht@skywarn.cs.wisc.edu Online SKYWARN logging: http://www.cs.wisc.edu/~jeremyc/skywarn ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 20 Feb 1997 to 21 Feb 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Feb 21 23:35:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102650-9460>; Fri, 21 Feb 1997 23:35:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA199080; Fri, 21 Feb 1997 09:21:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4697516 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Feb 1997 09:20:37 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA210598 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 1997 08:19:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA03180 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Feb 1997 08:17:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702211417.IAA03180@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Feb 1997 08:17:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 069 WTXS32 PGTW 211500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- 19.1S1 115.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.1S1 115.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 19.8S8 115.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 20.4S6 115.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 21.0S3 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 21.8S1 114.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 23.7S2 113.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 211500Z9 POSITION 19.3S3 115.7E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (TC 27S) IS MOVING SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211255Z SURFACE WIND REPORTS, COURTESY OF BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, PERTH, AS WELL AS 211130Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE- DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE USING THE SAME SATELLITE IMAGERY. TC 27S HAS BEGUN MOVING SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS TC 27S REMAINS IN STEERING FLOW BETWEEN AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TO THE WEST AND AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE TO THE SOUTHEAST. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BEFORE TC 27S APPROACHES THE NORTHWEST CAPE AREA OF AUSTRALIA AS A RESULT OF WEAKENING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AS TC 27S NEARS THE UPPER-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9), 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1), 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7), AND 221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Feb 22 04:43:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102758-9460>; Sat, 22 Feb 1997 04:43:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA225238; Fri, 21 Feb 1997 14:33:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4700260 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Feb 1997 14:33:34 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA188828 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 1997 14:32:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA16306 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Feb 1997 14:31:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702212031.OAA16306@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Feb 1997 14:31:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 684 WTXS32 PGTW 212100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- 19.5S5 115.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.5S5 115.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 20.4S6 114.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 21.3S6 114.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 22.3S7 113.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 23.3S8 113.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 25.6S3 113.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 212100Z6 POSITION 19.7S7 115.4E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (TC 27S) CONTUNUES MOVING SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 211730Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. TC 27S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE A GENERAL MOTION TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WITH SOME INTENSIFICATION EXPECTED BEFORE IT NEARS THE NORTHWEST CAPE OF AUSTRALIA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7), 221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4), 222100Z7 (DTG 221951Z0), AND 222100Z7 (DTG 221951Z0). THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BY NAVPACMETOCCEN, PEARL HARBOR HI UNDER THE SAME MANOP HEADER (WTXS32 PGTW).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Feb 22 04:56:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102767-9460>; Sat, 22 Feb 1997 04:56:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA259712; Fri, 21 Feb 1997 14:47:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4700460 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Feb 1997 14:47:47 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA236596 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 1997 14:42:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA16495 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Feb 1997 14:40:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702212040.OAA16495@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Feb 1997 14:40:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 780 WTXS31 PGTW 212100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARLETTE) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- 20.2S4 63.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.2S4 63.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 21.2S5 60.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 22.0S4 58.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 22.5S9 56.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 22.8S2 55.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 212100Z6 POSITION 20.5S7 62.9E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARLETTE) IS MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 211729Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. KARLETTA HAS INTENSIFIED MORE RAPIDLY THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST AND HAS DEVELOPED AN EYE. ADDITIONAL INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED BEFORE TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S BEGINS TO ENCOUNTER STRONGER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AFTER 24 HOURS. KARLETTE IS FORECAST TO SLOW DOWN, THEN TURN TOWARD THE WEST AS A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH PASSES BY TO THE SOUTH IN ABOUT 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9) AND 222100Z7 (DTG 221953Z2). THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BY NAVPACMETOCCEN, PEARL HARBOR HI UNDER THE SAME MANOP HEADER (WTXS31 PGTW).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Feb 22 10:03:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102189-16337>; Sat, 22 Feb 1997 10:02:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA178382; Fri, 21 Feb 1997 19:56:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4705988 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Feb 1997 19:56:18 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA240886 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 1997 16:14:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id QAA18827 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Feb 1997 16:12:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702212212.QAA18827@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Feb 1997 16:12:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 915 WTXS32 PGTW 212100 COR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S WARNING NR 010A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- 19.5S5 115.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.5S5 115.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 20.4S6 114.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 21.3S6 114.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 22.3S7 113.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 23.3S8 113.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 25.6S3 113.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 212100Z6 POSITION 19.7S7 115.4E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (TC 27S) CONTINUES MOVING SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 211730Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. TC 27S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE A GENERAL MOTION TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WITH SOME INTENSIFICATION EXPECTED BEFORE IT NEARS THE NORTHWEST CAPE OF AUSTRALIA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARLETTE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1), 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7), 221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4), AND 222100Z7 (DTG 221951Z0). THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BY NAVPACMETOCCEN, PEARL HARBOR HI UNDER THE SAME MANOP HEADER (WTXS32 PGTW). JUSTIFICATION: MESSAGE CORRECTED FOR TC 27S WARNING TIMES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Feb 22 11:15:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102376-16337>; Sat, 22 Feb 1997 11:15:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA258790; Fri, 21 Feb 1997 21:10:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4706928 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Feb 1997 21:10:07 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA220300 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 1997 21:10:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA23423 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Feb 1997 21:08:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702220308.VAA23423@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Feb 1997 21:08:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 995 WTXS32 PGTW 220300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTH IO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- 19.4S4 114.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.4S4 114.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 20.3S5 113.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 21.1S4 113.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 22.1S5 112.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 23.1S6 112.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 24.7S3 111.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION 19.6S6 114.5E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S CONTINUES TO TRACK SOUTHWEST ALONG THE NORTHWEST COAST OF AUSTRALIA. POSITION BASED ON 212330Z1 METSAT VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATING A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. TC 27S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK AND IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN BEYOND THE 48-HR POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7), 221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4), 222100Z7 (DTG 221951Z0) AND 230300Z8 (DTG 230151Z2). THE MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z4 IS 12 FEET. AJTWC NAVPACMETOCCEN SENDS. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARLETTE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG25920530243 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Feb 23 14:15:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102242-15783>; Sun, 23 Feb 1997 14:15:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA17136; Sun, 23 Feb 1997 00:07:36 -0600 Message-Id: <199702230607.AAA17136@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Feb 1997 00:00:03 +1800 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 21 Feb 1997 to 22 Feb 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 6 messages totalling 115 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Lake Co. (IL) SKYWARN times? 2. Eta temperatures 3. MKE vs MKX 4. Cool Asteroid Effects 5. upper air data 6. WX-TALK Digest - 20 Feb 1997 to 21 Feb 1997 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 22 Feb 1997 00:18:56 CST From: JOHN ROSICH Subject: Lake Co. (IL) SKYWARN times? Greetings all, I am interested to know if anybody knows what time the Lake County (Illinois) SKYWARN net meets? I know that the frequency is: 147.180 and the pl is 107.2....but I don't know the day and time they have their net. (I tried to post this to the SKYWARN listserver, but I didn't receive any responses to it, so I thought I'd try this listserver). Thanks! John Rosich, N9WKW ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 22 Feb 1997 08:55:42 -0500 From: Roy Spencer Subject: Eta temperatures Has anyone noticed how well the eta model surface temperatures have been doing versus MOS for their location? Here in Huntsville (AL), for the last 1.5 months, the eta temps. have been correlated with observed sfc. temps virtually the same as MOS. There are, however, systematic biases that are different as a function of the time of day (that's why I'm monitoring correlations rather than mean absolute error, the traditional measure of temp. skill). -Roy Spencer NASA/MSFC Huntsville, Alabama ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 22 Feb 1997 11:33:07 -0600 From: "Jeremy Charles (N9VHT)" Subject: MKE vs MKX Another possibly silly question here... I've noticed that my local WSFO, Milwaukee/Sullivan, is sometimes referred to as MKE and at other times as MKX. I have a feeling this represents a difference between their forecasting/warning functions and their NEXRAD radar network functions, but I'm not sure at all. Can anyone shed some light on what the meaning is? -Jeremy C. (N9VHT) South-Central Wisconsin SKYWARN NCS & Training Coordinator Madison Area Repeater Association Vice President & Swapfest '98 Coordinator n9vht@skywarn.cs.wisc.edu Online SKYWARN logging: http://www.cs.wisc.edu/~jeremyc/skywarn ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 22 Feb 1997 17:32:24 EST From: "William T. Reid" <73551.2512@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: Cool Asteroid Effects A "G" hurricane as early as July 4th was somewhat eyebrow-raising.... What I found even more unbelievable in the TV movie "Asteroid" was the weather: Early July plus Dallas plus thousands of asteroid-started fires would equal PRETTY HOT in my book-----but our heroes were running around with long pants and jackets. Leave it to an asteroid to effectively reverse global warming. William Reid Woodland Hills, CA CompuServe 73551,2512 ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 23 Feb 1997 01:31:53 GMT From: Roger Pothier Subject: upper air data Hi all; Just a quick request to anyone who can help me out. How can I get upper air data, ie: winds, for the Middle East and Mediterranean. Any help would be very much appreciated. Cheers, Roger. ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 22 Feb 1997 21:02:05 -0500 From: "Howard Robinson AKA Huricane hrobins@acs5.gac.peachnet.edu" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 20 Feb 1997 to 21 Feb 1997 I whould like to know how someone chould fly with the hurricane hunters for one trip. Thanks Howard Robinson ****************************************************************************** Howard Robinson AKA Huricane Vice-Chair Georgia College Republicans DPMA Secretary Georgia College& State University Ga College cpo 2530 Milledgeville,ga 31061 Phone (912)454-0553 http://acs5.gac.peachnet.edu/~hrobins e-mail: hrobins@acs5.gac.peachnet.edu If everything else fails, use operational repair No 1. You Kick it. ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 21 Feb 1997 to 22 Feb 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Feb 22 15:17:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102393-16337>; Sat, 22 Feb 1997 15:17:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA55670; Sat, 22 Feb 1997 01:10:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4709378 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Feb 1997 01:09:03 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA116292 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 1997 01:09:02 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA72494 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 22 Feb 1997 01:09:02 -0600 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199702220709.AA72494@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Feb 1997 01:09:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -220109 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 74027 ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600Z FEB 97// RMKS/1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 03N3 109E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 04N4 109E0. THIS CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA FOR SEVERAL DAYS. NO LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EVIDENT FROM IMAGERY OR SYNOPTIC DATA. TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA IS NOT CONSIDERED LIKELY DUE TO LOW LATITUDE AND STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8N8 151E7. THE CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR THE PAST 18 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO REMAIN DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) IS LOCATED NEAR 33S6 166E3. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW- TO MID-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. THE SYSTEM REMAINS UNDER SIGNIFICANT UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 12S3 142E7. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL EASTERLY WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. ALTERNATE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER PEARL HARBOR SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: REISS/HILL/KALAFSKY/BOHLIN AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG35940530652 NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Feb 22 16:26:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102393-16337>; Sat, 22 Feb 1997 16:25:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA149684; Sat, 22 Feb 1997 02:20:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4709647 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Feb 1997 02:18:49 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA173606 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 1997 02:18:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA26645 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Feb 1997 02:17:01 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702220817.CAA26645@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Feb 1997 02:17:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 535 WTXS32 PGTW 220900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTH IO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- 19.5S5 113.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.5S5 113.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 20.0S2 113.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 20.8S0 112.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 21.9S2 111.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 23.0S5 110.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 24.6S2 110.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 220900Z3 POSITION 19.6S6 113.7E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S CONTINUES TO TRACK SOUTHWEST ALONG THE NORTHWEST COAST OF AUSTRALIA. POSITION BASED ON 220530Z METSAT VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATED A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH ALL CONVECTION LOCATED WEST OF THE CENTER. TC 27S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A SOUTHWEST TRACK AND IS FORECAST TO BEGIN WEAKENING AFTER THE 24-HR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4), 222100Z7 (DTG 221951Z0), 230300Z8 (DTG 230151Z2) AND 230900Z4 (DTG 230751Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z IS 12 FT. AJTWC NAVPACMETOCCEN SENDS. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARLETTE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG38450530817 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Feb 22 17:02:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102393-16337>; Sat, 22 Feb 1997 17:02:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA75592; Sat, 22 Feb 1997 02:58:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4709800 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Feb 1997 02:57:15 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA109370 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 1997 02:57:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA26823 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Feb 1997 02:55:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702220855.CAA26823@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Feb 1997 02:55:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 910 WTXS31 PGTW 220900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARLETTE) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- 21.4S7 61.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.4S7 61.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 22.4S8 58.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 23.1S6 56.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 23.8S3 55.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 24.5S1 53.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 220900Z3 POSITION 21.7S0 60.5E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARLETTE) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 13 KNOTS. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T4.0 (65 KNOTS). WIND RADII HAVE BEEN EXPANDED BASED ON RECENT SATELLITE MICROWAVE IMAGERY (220120Z). TC 25S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AND BEGIN DECELERATING AND WEAKENING BY THE 36 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z7 (DTG 221953Z2) AND 230900Z4 (DTG 230753Z0). AJTWC NAVPACMETOCCEN SENDS. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 27P WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG40130530859 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Feb 24 14:23:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102592-11959>; Mon, 24 Feb 1997 14:23:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA211420; Mon, 24 Feb 1997 00:13:31 -0600 Message-Id: <199702240613.AAA211420@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Feb 1997 00:06:21 +1800 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 22 Feb 1997 to 23 Feb 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 6 messages totalling 208 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Lake County Illinois Ham Net 2. Meteogram software 3. WX-TALK Digest - 21 Feb 1997 to 22 Feb 1997 4. MKE vs MKX (And more) (2) 5. Gloria was an ironic choice +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 23 Feb 1997 05:37:00 -0600 From: Bernie Kopp Subject: Lake County Illinois Ham Net As posted Saturday on WX-Talk, Date: Sat, 22 Feb 1997 00:18:56 CST From: JOHN ROSICH Subject: Lake Co. (IL) SKYWARN times? Greetings all, I am interested to know if anybody knows what time the Lake County (Illinois) SKYWARN net meets? I know that the frequency is: 147.180 and the pl is 107.2....but I don't know the day and time they have their net. (I tried to post this to the SKYWARN listserver, but I didn't receive any responses to it, so I thought I'd try this listserver). Thanks! John Rosich, N9WKW ----------------------------- Greetings John! I am looking at a copy of a "1995 Northern Illinois Repeater Guide" and on Monday at 8:00 pm local time it lists a Lake County Races Net (Libertyville) on 147.18+. Being a RACES Net means they may or may not solicit non-RACES "check-ins". Hope this helped! ************************************************************************* 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Milwaukee Wisconsin USA Milwaukee Area Skywarn Assoc./Milwaukee A.R.E.S./Illinois Multi-County Warning System E-Mail bkopp@omnifest.uwm.edu or visit my severe weather Home Page! "Shelter From The Storm!" http://ourworld.compuserve.com/homepages/bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 22 Feb 1997 05:21:05 -0800 From: Gene Nygaard Subject: Re: Meteogram software Darin Borgel wrote: > > Looking for sources of meteogram software, or similar software or > source code that can give graphical represenatations of METAR code. > > - Darin For which country? What the United States has differs in almost every respect from the international standard. But there is no real standard, and most countries deviate in some way or another. Gene Nygaard http://ourworld.compuserve.com/homepages/Gene_Nygaard/usmetar.htm ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 23 Feb 1997 08:23:18 -0600 From: Dan Satterfield Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 21 Feb 1997 to 22 Feb 1997 Roy Wrote: From: Roy Spencer Subject: Eta temperatures Has anyone noticed how well the eta model surface temperatures have been doing versus MOS for their location? Here in Huntsville (AL), for the last 1.5 months, the eta temps. have been correlated with observed sfc. temps virtually the same as MOS. There are, however, systematic biases that are different as a function of the time of day (that's why I'm monitoring correlations rather than mean absolute error, the traditional measure of temp. skill). -Roy Spencer NASA/MSFC Huntsville, Alabama I have noticed it Roy. The ETA Grid data availible from TAMU (before their server crashed) was especially enlightening. It seems the NGM Mos has had a bad winter overall around these parts...I've seen 10 degree errors by 12 hours. Dan S Dan Satterfield Chief Meteorologist WHNT TV Huntsville AL ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 23 Feb 1997 12:48:26 EDT From: Jim Kaplan Subject: MKE vs MKX (And more) Jeremy Charles Wrote: WX>Date: Sat, 22 Feb 1997 11:33:07 -0600 WX>From: "Jeremy Charles (N9VHT)" WX>Subject: MKE vs MKX WX>Another possibly silly question here... I've noticed that my local WSFO, WX>Milwaukee/Sullivan, is sometimes referred to as MKE and at other times as WX>MKX. I have a feeling this represents a difference between their WX>forecasting/warning functions and their NEXRAD radar network functions, WX>but I'm not sure at all. Can anyone shed some light on what the meaning WX>is? WX>-Jeremy C. (N9VHT) WX>South-Central Wisconsin SKYWARN NCS & Training Coordinator WX>Madison Area Repeater Association Vice President & Swapfest '98 Coordinator WX>n9vht@skywarn.cs.wisc.edu WX>Online SKYWARN logging: http://www.cs.wisc.edu/~jeremyc/skywarn It really is not a major of different "functions" as the radar is an integral part of the forecast and warning function. Most products new since the advent of thje 88-D radars are identified with the radar site ID's; for the most part preexisting products are tied to the old WSFO ID's. This applies both to internal NWS product ID's, and I believe to many external providers identification of products, tho I don't pretend to know very much about external user "product identifiers" In this specific case, MKE (or (KMKX) is an identifier assigned to Mitchell Field, where the WSFO used to be located. MKX (or KMKX) is the identifier for the site where the radar is. Due to inertia and perhaps trying not to confuse people, the old ID is often still used even though the office is no longer at that location. I work for the Chicago office (KCHI) but the radar is at Lewis-Lockport Airfield (KLOT). Most of the pre-existing WSFO's have new ID's for the radar sites, having moved from their old locations and being collocated with their radars, but I think a few do not. All radar products should have the radar site ID's, and I would imagine that after a decent transition time (say on the order of several years) the old ID's will gradually fade away. Hope this helps Jim Kaplan, WSFO Chicago (or Romeoville IL, where Lewis-Lockport Airport is located!) to: IN:WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU cc: in:n9vht@SKYWARN.CS.WISC.EDU ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 23 Feb 1997 19:21:17 -0500 From: "Richard A. Neuherz" Subject: Re: Gloria was an ironic choice In reply to a post by Rick, Gary wrote: >The so-called Halloween Nor'easter did evolve into a hurricane, but the >system was not named nor publicly classified as a hurricane (although it was >included in the seasonal stats). The Nor'easter had weakened and moved southward >away from the upper Atlantic coast. As the center moved over the Gulf >Stream convection increased and the system took on a subtropical appearance. >By 1 November the storm had transformed into a tropical cyclone and a >recon plane found winds to hurricane force. A strong cold front was >approaching from the west and all indications were the storm would move quickly away from >the U.S. coast. NMC prevailed on NHC not to name the cyclone as it was >feared it would frighten and confuse the public who were out cleaning up from the >aftermath of the severe Nor'easter. The system, referred to publicly >as a "small vortex with locally strong winds", eventually made landfall near >Halifax as a rapidly weakening tropical storm. Gary, You are indeed correct about the unnamed hurricane of 1991. This was the third system to create the effects along the East Coast remembered as the Halloween Nor'easter of 1991. The first was Hurricane Grace which formed from a subtropical low southwest of Bermuda of October 27th. Grace was moving toward the northwest on the 28th when it was turned north by a cold front which marked the leading edge a Canadian air mass centered in Quebec as a 1046 mb high (system # 2). In addition, an area of low pressure developed along the cold front over the Canadian Maritimes, well to the north of Grace. This low intensified rapidly as it fed off the energy available from Grace and the cold Canadian high. By the evening of the 29th, Grace was no more and the cold frontal low had begun to retrograde toward the mid-Atlantic coast. The storm (filling by this time) reached its point of closest approach to the mid-Atlantic coast on the morning of the 31st when it was about 200 miles east o! f the Delmarva peninsula. By November 1st, it had intensified to a storm with hurricane force winds due to the effects of the gulf stream. If you're interested and able to get a copy, the details are contained in a Natural Disaster Survey Report : The Halloween Nor'easter of 1991 issued by the NWS in June of 1992. Rick ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 23 Feb 1997 22:51:27 -0600 From: "Jeremy Charles (N9VHT)" Subject: Re: MKE vs MKX (And more) On Sun, 23 Feb 1997, Jim Kaplan wrote: > since the advent of thje 88-D radars are identified with the radar site > ID's; for the most part preexisting products are tied to the old WSFO > ID's. This applies both to internal NWS product ID's, and I believe to This is the gist of the replies I've gotten so far on this... Thanks for the repoy! -Jeremy C. (N9VHT) South-Central Wisconsin SKYWARN NCS & Training Coordinator Madison Area Repeater Association Vice President & Swapfest '98 Coordinator n9vht@skywarn.cs.wisc.edu Online SKYWARN logging: http://www.cs.wisc.edu/~jeremyc/skywarn ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 22 Feb 1997 to 23 Feb 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Feb 23 17:18:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102290-15783>; Sun, 23 Feb 1997 17:18:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA236384; Sun, 23 Feb 1997 03:12:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4718865 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Feb 1997 03:12:02 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA95054 for ; Sun, 23 Feb 1997 03:12:01 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA81202 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 23 Feb 1997 03:12:00 -0600 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199702230912.AA81202@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Feb 1997 03:12:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -230312 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 48687 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z FEB 97// RMKS/1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 4N4 109E0 IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 8N8 151E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7N7 152E8. THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR THE PAST 48 HOURS. EVIDENCE OF LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS PRESENT IN LATEST ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO REMAIN DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) IS LOCATED NEAR 34S7 171E9. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. THE SYSTEM REMAINS UNDER SIGNIFICANT UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED LOCATED NEAR 12S3 142E7 NOW LOCATED NEAR 14S5 147E2. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. THE SYSTEM IS CONTINUES TO UNDERGO MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL EASTERLY WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. ALTERNATE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER PEARL HARBOR SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: MURRAY/POINDEXTER.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG68840540648 NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Feb 25 14:23:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102775-260>; Tue, 25 Feb 1997 14:23:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA216952; Tue, 25 Feb 1997 00:11:43 -0600 Message-Id: <199702250611.AAA216952@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Feb 1997 00:06:29 +1800 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 23 Feb 1997 to 24 Feb 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 7 messages totalling 314 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Asteroids and hurricanes 2. Iowa Conference 3. RING AROUND THE MOON... (2) 4. EBS UPGRADE TO EAS 5. 6. ADMINISTRIVIA: SEVERAL IMPORTANT THINGS (PLEASE READ) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 24 Feb 1997 08:26:14 -0500 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Re: Asteroids and hurricanes On Fri, 21 Feb 1997 Bill Ice wrote: > In short, I'm more receptive to the "superhurricane" theory, > particularly when one realizes the Permian featured an abnormally > large amount of carbon dioxide in the oceans (and presumably the > atmosphere), which sounds like temps would be higher. The "superhurricane" concept that Kerry Emanuel et al suggested in that paper depended not on higher CO2 to warm the oceans but instead on an asteroid impact or undersea volcanic eruption to locally warm the sea surface temperatures up to 50C (122F). The massive hurricane that resulted then injected huge amounts of ice into the stratosphere - hypothetically effectively cutting off a substantial portion of the incoming solar radiation and causing global cooling. However, some of the assumptions in the model (especially assuming that the frictional and sensible heat flux parameterizations are still valid at winds up to 300 m/s (600 kt)) may not be valid. Best regards, chris ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** "Climate is what you expect, weather is what you get." --Mark Twain ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 24 Feb 1997 23:45:23 -0800 From: JohnMcLaughlin Subject: Iowa Conference Thanks to all who sent in registrations for the Iowa NWA Severe Storms and Doppler Radar Conference 14-16 march 1997. We received 197 registrations by the Feb 15 deadline, and with a few late-comers still trickling in, attendance will likely top 200 folks. We have nearly booked the Des Moines Airport Holiday Inn! Thanks to Gilbert, Tim Marshall, Tim Vasquez, NWA and others for posting our conference updates on their web pages. Good news regarding the conference. Some of the NWS papers which had been pulled due to budget cuts have found their way back onto the schedule. Gene Brusky of NWS Green Bay is one of those. He will attend with the Oakfield, WI F-5 tornado presentation. Another excellent presentation just arrived from the Minneapolis NWS office on a significant Derecho event across southern MN. Thanks to these NWS office for scraping together the funding for these presentations. Attention Broadcasters: If you hold the NWA Seal of Approval, attendance at our conference (all sessions) meets the NWA Seal Committee's guidelines for seal renewal. For those not aware, NWA broadcasters must renew their seal every three years. Special Session for Broadcasters Added: Baron Services of Huntsville, Alabama, the folks who market the "Storm Tracker" and High Definition Doppler Radar systems, will be having a workshop for clients and prospective customers on Monday morning the 17th. If you are interested in attending this, you should contact Baron Services directly at 205-881-8811 or www.baronservices.com. Baron will also be unveiling some new radar enhancements at the Iowa Conference. Advanced Design Corp of Bloomington, Indiana is also sending a representative to the Iowa Conference. Jim Sawtelle of ADC plans to demonstrate multiple Collins live Doppler radars on a single display. Jim's talk will be during the Saturday evening broadcast radar session which is open to all. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 24 Feb 1997 15:29:40 GMT From: Eric Gross Subject: Re: RING AROUND THE MOON... First of all, as a standard rule of nettiquette, please DON'T SHOUT. :) (avoid typing in all caps.) > WHAT DOES IT MEAN WHEN THERE IS ICE CRYSTALS AROUND THE MOON I SEEN IT >SATURDAY NIGHT 02/15/97 IF ANY ONE CAN SHED SOME LIGHT FEEL FREE TO E-MAIL >ME THANKS Now, I presume you mean that you saw a halo around the moon Saturday night. This halo is an optical effect caused by the presence of tiny ice crystals high in the atmosphere (not "around the moon.") Ice crystals are normally present in the upper atmosphere in the form of cirrus clouds -- those high, whispy-looking clouds. They often are found in advance of a cold front this time of year. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 24 Feb 1997 15:48:03 -0500 From: Larry Krudwig Subject: EBS UPGRADE TO EAS This is in response to a note posted a few days ago by Greg White with a subject of "EBS and EMS." After seeing this and others' discussions about EBS and the new system, I felt I needed to clear up a few misconceptions with the first being the name of the new system. So that you will know where I am coming from, I am with the NWS Central Regiona HQ in Kansas City, team member for the design of the NOAA Weather Radio Specific Area Message Encoder (NWR-SAME), and NWS team member for the integration of NWR-SAME into the replacement for the EBS. The new system that became operational effective midnight January 1, 1997 is called the Emergency Alert System (EAS) not EMS. It replaced the old Emergency Broadcast System (EBS). The Federal Communications Commission (FCC) adopted the basic concept of the NWR-SAME as the format for the new EAS. The old EBS was based on a two-tone code being transmitted from the Common Program Control Stations (CPCS-1) located in each local operational area for approximately 20 seconds before each test and before each emergency message. Receivers at all the radio and TV stations in the operational area were required to monitor the CPCS-1. When the two-tone code was received, it would demute the receiver and allow the operator to listen to the incoming message. Based on an abbreviated announcement from the CPCS-1, the down stream station personnel would then decide what action to take with the incoming complete message, (i.e. pass it on/simulcast, write the info down and pass on manually, or ignore it altogether). This was very labor intensive, time consuming, prone to errors, and, except for a Presidentially declared national emergency, of no value for local emergencies at unattended stations. The new system sends a digital code immediately before (header code) and after (end-of-message) the broadcast of any appropriate emergency message. The header code is sent using Frequency Shift Keying (FSK) and includes the originator of the message, the type of emergency message, the location of the threatened area, and the purge and origination time of the message. This is sent in the main audio channel. The CPCS-1 has been replaced by the LP (local primary). Each operational area can have several LP stations. The receiver devices have the ability to monitor several sources for an EAS message, including the NWR simultaneously. Each station that broadcasts the EAS message must rebroadcast the code. This makes it possible for the development and marketing of consumer products that will turn a typical TV or AM/FM table model type radio or a multitude of other devices into emergency message/warning devices for the home. Once fully operational, it will be the cheapest, most powerful, and most effective national and local emergency warning system in the world. The ability of each radio and TV station to monitor several sources no longer means the failure of the system because of the failure of the CPCS-1. The old EBS was similar to a tree trunk, branch, limb and leaf concept. Cut it at the trunk and the message is dead. The EAS is based on the concept of a spider's webb. The more originators and the more sources a station monitors the stronger the webb and the better the chances of the message getting to those at risk. The EAS devices at radio and TV stations are designed to be programmed ahead of time to accept only certain types of messages, (i.e. tornado warnings) for certain locations within "their" coverage area. The device can then automatically, semi-automatically or manually store and rebroadcast the message depending on how it has been programmed. Another feature of the EAS is the devices at media facilites log all the codes that it receives. Therefore, the traditional EBS tests are gone. The FCC established two codes RWT (required weekly test) and RMT (required monthly test). The RWT can be sent anytime by any station as long as it is done once a week. All that is required is just the header and EOM code. This takes about 5 seconds. Most stations make a verbal announcement about the test but there is no longer any lengthy text that must be read. The old EBS tones are still transmitted for a real event but not for the RWT. The tones have been shortened to only 8 to 10 seconds and serve as an attention signal now and not a controlling device. This saves several minutes of air time for the media and is far less disruptive to their programs and listeners. The automatic logging devices ensure the electronic plumbing is operational far better than the old manual system. The RMT is a required coordinated test by all stations in the operational area at the same or nearly the exact same time with a more traditional text as part of the test. Hopefully, this will provide a better understanding of the new EAS, how it works, what it is capable of doing, and correct some of the errors. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 25 Feb 1999 02:21:50 -0600 From: "Patrick L. McGillan" Subject: Re: RING AROUND THE MOON... > > > WHAT DOES IT MEAN WHEN THERE IS ICE CRYSTALS AROUND THE MOON I SEEN IT > >SATURDAY NIGHT 02/15/97 IF ANY ONE CAN SHED SOME LIGHT FEEL FREE TO E-MAIL > >ME THANKS > > Now, I presume you mean that you saw a halo around the moon Saturday night. > This halo is an optical effect caused by the presence of tiny ice crystals > high in the atmosphere (not "around the moon.") Ice crystals are normally > present in the upper atmosphere in the form of cirrus clouds -- those high, > whispy-looking clouds. They often are found in advance of a cold front this > time of year. > I take it doesn't exactly have to be cold on the ground. I first remember seeing then 25 years ago looking up from the jungles of VietNam. Patrick ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 24 Feb 1997 20:29:06 EST From: john q doe Subject: I don't have Internet access and I use Juno for Free e-mail. Is there a way that I could receive the Weather via e-mail? If possible, I would like to receive the Weather Maps also. Thanks. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 24 Feb 1997 09:34:57 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: ADMINISTRIVIA: SEVERAL IMPORTANT THINGS (PLEASE READ) We had a nasty hard drive crash on our main UNIX machine over the weekend and this prevented me from sending out weather data to the various WX-***** autofeed lists. There were also problems with our upstream data sources as well. The problems seem to have been corrected. If you really needed to see the weather from over the weekend, American Airlines still has cheap tickets and you might be able to catch the clouds before they leave the east coast! ;-) In theory, the WX-***** list purge I initiated three weeks ago should take place today. If you suddenly stop receiving mail from one or more of the WX-***** lists, try sending a SCAN command to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU and see if you are still subscribed. For example: scan wx-talk Chris Smith Would return a list of all people names "Chris Smith" on WX-TALK. Note, if you make your search too specific you might miss things. For example, if Chris Smith subscribed as "Christopher Smith" the above scan command would fail to find his subscription. A more generic search like "scan wx-talk smith" would yield a larger number of hits. You can also scan for e-mail addresses. For example, I might send "scan wx-talk thunder" and receive the following: thunder@siu.edu Joe Cloud thunder@stormchase.com Professional Chase Tours Inc. davids@thunder.atmos.uiuc.edu David A. Smith deathstar@rollingthunder.net Darth Vader, Jr. Notice that the scan command doesn't care where the word "thunder" appears. It can be part of the subscriber's name or e-mail address. If you find that you are no longer subscribed, chances are you've been purged. To resubscribe, just send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with a subscribe command. For example: sub wx-talk Joe A. Sixpack sub wx-storm Joe A. Sixpack LISTSERV will send you a confirmation message that contains a code. You must then send this code back to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU and preface it with the word "ok". For example, if LISTSERV sends you a confirmation message to your WX-TALK subscription request and that message contains the code "1a2b3c", you would send LISTSERV back the following message: ok 1a2b3c Once you are subscribed to a list you will receive additional information about that list and its various sub-topics (if present). You will also be able to change the default sub-topic options. For example, on WX-STORM you might only want to receive weather watches (long format and short format). You would send LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU the following message: set wx-storm topics: watches, prelim Note, you must already be subscribed (and that means you've completed the confirmation procedure) *before* you can change your sub-topic preferences. If you have questions or problems please contact me at chris@siu.edu. ..Chris.. (Owner WX-TALK, WX-CHASE, SKYWARN, WX-***** data lists) *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 23 Feb 1997 to 24 Feb 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Feb 24 18:15:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102650-11959>; Mon, 24 Feb 1997 18:15:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA252764; Mon, 24 Feb 1997 04:07:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4727437 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Feb 1997 04:06:51 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA229166 for ; Mon, 24 Feb 1997 04:06:50 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA81344 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 24 Feb 1997 04:06:50 -0600 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199702241006.AA81344@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Feb 1997 04:06:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -240406 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 10941 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/CORRECTED SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600Z FEB 97// RMKS/1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 7N7 152E8 IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED A SUSPECT AREA FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 240000Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE 28P (ITA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9S6 148.8E1 AND WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 12 KTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 28P WARNING NR 01 WTPS31 PGTW 240300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 26P (HAROLD) PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 34S7 171E9 IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. ALTERNATE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER PEARL HARBOR SENDS. 4. CORRECTION ISSUED TO CORRECT MANOP TIME. FORECAST TEAM: MURRAY/POINDEXTER.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG95160550811 NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Feb 25 10:17:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102239-260>; Tue, 25 Feb 1997 10:17:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA39552; Mon, 24 Feb 1997 19:44:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4732377 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Feb 1997 19:44:34 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA44048 for ; Mon, 24 Feb 1997 09:51:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA04099 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Feb 1997 09:48:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702241548.JAA04099@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Feb 1997 09:48:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 571 WTPS31 PGTW 241500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28P (ITA) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- 20.0S2 147.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 20.0S2 147.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 21.7S0 146.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 23.0S5 144.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION 20.4S6 147.1E3 CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON 241130 IR METSAT IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28P HAS MADE LANDFALL OVER NORTHEASTERN AUSTRALIA AND WILL RAPIDLY DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES INLAND. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE ALTERNATE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. AJTWC NAVPACMETOCCEN SENDS.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG03330551450 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Feb 25 08:57:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102167-20739>; Tue, 25 Feb 1997 08:57:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA158804; Mon, 24 Feb 1997 18:51:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4731313 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Feb 1997 18:51:38 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA35178 for ; Mon, 24 Feb 1997 15:14:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA13035 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Feb 1997 15:12:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702242112.PAA13035@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Feb 1997 15:12:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 612 WTXS32 PGTW 242100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARLETTE) WARNING NR 18 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- 31.2S6 57.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 31.2S6 57.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 34.0S7 58.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 36.9S8 60.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 40.2S6 62.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: --- REMARKS: 242100Z9 POSITION 31.9S3 57.9E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARLETTE) HAS TURNED SOUTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A MID LATITUDE TROUGH AND IS FORECAST TO BECOME EXTRA-TROPICAL WITHIN 36 HOURS. LATEST METSAT DATA INDICATES 25S IS WEAKENING FASTER THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z IS 16 FT. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG 250753Z2) AND 252100Z0 (DTG 251953Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. AJTWC NAVPACMETOCCEN SENDS.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG10120551953 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Feb 25 10:09:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102610-260>; Tue, 25 Feb 1997 10:08:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA180784; Mon, 24 Feb 1997 19:54:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4732438 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Feb 1997 19:50:03 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA69136 for ; Mon, 24 Feb 1997 19:48:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id TAA18306 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Feb 1997 19:46:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702250146.TAA18306@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Feb 1997 19:46:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 275 WTXS32 PGTW 250300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S WARNING NR 021 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- 23.8S3 108.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 23.8S3 108.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 25.0S7 107.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION 24.1S7 108.5E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S HAS DECREASED RAPIDLY OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS AND HAS COMPLETELY LOST ITS VERTICAL STRUCTURE AND ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE ALTERNATE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. AJTWC NAVPACMETOCCEN SENDS.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG18140560123 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Feb 25 11:17:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102391-260>; Tue, 25 Feb 1997 11:17:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA33706; Mon, 24 Feb 1997 20:51:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4733379 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Feb 1997 20:50:02 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA264584 for ; Mon, 24 Feb 1997 20:48:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA18940 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Feb 1997 20:47:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702250247.UAA18940@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Feb 1997 20:47:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 263 WTXS31 PGTW 242100 COR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARLETTE) WARNING NR 18A 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- 31.2S6 57.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 31.2S6 57.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 34.0S7 58.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 36.9S8 60.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 40.2S6 62.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: --- REMARKS: THIS MESSAGE CORRECTS MANOP HEADER TO WTXS31 PGTW VICE WTXS32 PGTW. 242100Z9 POSITION 31.9S3 57.9E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARLETTE) HAS TURNED SOUTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A MID LATITUDE TROUGH AND IS FORECAST TO BECOME EXTRA-TROPICAL WITHIN 36 HOURS. LATEST METSAT DATA INDICATES 25S IS WEAKENING FASTER THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z IS 16 FT. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG 250753Z2) AND 252100Z0 (DTG 251953Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. AJTWC NAVPACMETOCCEN SENDS.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG20430560200 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Feb 26 14:15:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102614-5899>; Wed, 26 Feb 1997 14:15:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA134116; Wed, 26 Feb 1997 00:14:35 -0600 Message-Id: <199702260614.AAA134116@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Feb 1997 00:05:30 +1800 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 24 Feb 1997 to 25 Feb 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 3 messages totalling 81 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Meeting - Central Oklahoma Chapters of AMS & NWA 2. MKE and MKX followup 3. Can't Sign Off List At Work +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 25 Feb 1997 09:37:40 CST From: Rodger Brown Subject: Meeting - Central Oklahoma Chapters of AMS & NWA A joint meeting of the Central Oklahoma Chapters of the American Meteorological Society and the National Weather Association will be held at 7:00 p.m. on Thursday, 6 March 1997. The meeting will be held at the National Severe Storms Laboratory, 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, OK on the north campus of the University of Oklahoma. The speaker will be Dr. Allan Murphy of Prediction and Evaluation Systems in Corvallis, OR (also Professor Emeritus, Oregon State University). He will talk about the experimental tornado forecasting program conducted in the late 1800s by Sgt. John P. Finley of the U.S. Army Signal Corps. The pioneering forecast verification procedures used by Finley will be contrasted with those in use today. The early April meeting (date not set) will be a Storm Slide/Video Fest. Contact Greg Hanson if you want to present 10 minutes of your best shots from last year (e-mail: Gregory.A.Hanson@noaa.gov, 405-366-6560 ext. 4270). Check our home page to keep up to date on the chapters' activities: http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/ams-nwa. Rodger Brown ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 25 Feb 1997 18:53:50 -0600 From: Skip Voros Subject: MKE and MKX followup There are some exceptions to every rule, but it is my understanding that when the radar site is not co-located at the airport site, it gets a "X" in its call letters. The Milwaukee airports I.D. is MKE, but the radar which is about 30 miles west gets MKX. The Green Bay Wisconsin Weather Forecast office,and radar site are at the same location, thus GRB for the radar call and airport I.D. There probably is some political angle and well, since as Jim from NWS noted with the Chicago radar....somehow it got LOT instead of CHI. Regards, SKIP VOROS/ Milwaukee Area Skywarn Assoc. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 25 Feb 1997 19:40:24 -0600 From: "Marc C. Levine" Subject: Can't Sign Off List At Work I'm subscribed to this list under two addresses because I'm unable to post a message or signoff at work. My work e-mail used to be: dosmcl@thunder.safb.af.mil It was changed to: levinem@thunder.safb.af.mil Mail sent to dosmcl is being forwarded to levinem but of course if I post a message from levinem it is rejected as is any attempts to signoff. verifying mail gets forwarded to me so I keep getting the posts but I can't post anything. It's a one way valve. So please, if the list owner sees this: KILL DOSMCL@THUNDER.SAFB.AF.MIL ************************* * Marc C. Levine * * mlevine@apci.net * ************************* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 24 Feb 1997 to 25 Feb 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Feb 25 14:47:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102793-260>; Tue, 25 Feb 1997 14:47:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA111276; Tue, 25 Feb 1997 00:39:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4736836 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Feb 1997 00:38:40 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA123656 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 1997 00:38:37 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA32619 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 25 Feb 1997 00:38:37 -0600 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199702250638.AA32619@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Feb 1997 00:38:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -250038 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 65640 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z FEB 97// RMKS/1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 07N7 134E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 07N7 136E0. INFRARED METSAT IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION WHICH HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS, HOWEVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS NOT YET DEVELOPED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. ALTERNATE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER PEARL HARBOR SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/BOHLIN/WHELAN// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG27970560638 NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Feb 25 17:45:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102782-260>; Tue, 25 Feb 1997 17:45:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA59322; Tue, 25 Feb 1997 03:36:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4737464 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Feb 1997 03:36:01 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA91040 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 1997 03:36:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA24552 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Feb 1997 03:34:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702250934.DAA24552@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Feb 1997 03:34:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 463 WTXS31 PGTW 250900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARLETTE) WARNING NR 019 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- 35.9S7 59.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 35.9S7 59.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 38.8S9 61.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 42.0S6 64.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 250900Z6 POSITION 36.6S5 60.0E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARLETTE) CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD AN EASTWARD MOVING MIDLATITUDE TROUGH AND IS FORECAST TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z0 (DTG 251953Z5). AJTWC NAVPACMETOCCEN SENDS. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG33440560911 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Feb 25 19:03:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102802-260>; Tue, 25 Feb 1997 19:03:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA67764; Tue, 25 Feb 1997 04:53:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4737642 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Feb 1997 04:52:22 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA67658 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 1997 04:52:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id EAA25892 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Feb 1997 04:50:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702251050.EAA25892@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Feb 1997 04:50:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 376 WHPS21 PHNC 250800 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 250729Z FEB 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 23.9S4 166.6W9 TO 27.1S0 171.2W1 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 250600Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 25.1S8 168.3W8. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE NEXT SATELLITE INVESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 250900Z4. 2. REMARKS: SYSTEM ORGANIZATION HAS IMPROVED STEADILY OVER THE LAST 6-12 HOURS WITH INCREASING CONVECTION AND FAIR TO GOOD OUTFLOW NOW DETECTABLE. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 260800Z6. NAVPACMETOCCEN SENDS.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG37020560802 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Feb 25 22:56:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102811-260>; Tue, 25 Feb 1997 22:56:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA149792; Tue, 25 Feb 1997 08:41:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4739237 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Feb 1997 08:40:52 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA29142 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 1997 08:40:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA28259 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Feb 1997 08:38:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702251438.IAA28259@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Feb 1997 08:38:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 027 WTXS21 PGTW 251330 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 251321Z FEB 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/241815Z FEB 97// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 241800)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 19.5S5 117.7E6 TO 17.2S0 123.0E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 251130Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 18.3S2 121.4E8. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UNDER SURVEILLANCE FOR THE PAST 60 HOURS HAS MOVED OFFSHORE NORTH OF EIGHTY MILE BEACH. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CIRCULATION CENTER HAS INCREASED AS THE SYSTEM CENTER MOVES OFFSHORE WHERE CONDITIONS ARE MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE HINDERED BY THE INTERACTION WITH LAND. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 12-24 HOUR IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 261330Z5. AJTWC NAVPACMETOCCEN SENDS.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG41250561445 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Feb 26 13:31:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102613-5899>; Wed, 26 Feb 1997 13:31:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA45714; Tue, 25 Feb 1997 23:27:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4746180 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Feb 1997 23:26:55 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA236198 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 1997 16:04:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id QAA09051 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Feb 1997 16:02:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702252202.QAA09051@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Feb 1997 16:02:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 907 WTXS31 PGTW 252100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARLETTE) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251800Z6 --- 40.1S5 59.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 170 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 40.1S5 59.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 43.5S2 62.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 45.9S8 68.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 252100Z0 POSITION 41.0S5 59.9E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARLETTE) FORECAST POSITION IS BASED ON LATEST METSAT DATA AT 251454Z. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE. EXPECT TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z IS 12 FT. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z7 (DTG 260755Z5). AJTWC NAVPACMETOCCEN SENDS.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG50780561953 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Feb 26 11:29:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102458-5899>; Wed, 26 Feb 1997 11:29:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA43332; Tue, 25 Feb 1997 21:21:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4743542 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Feb 1997 21:20:45 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA43388 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 1997 21:20:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA16361 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Feb 1997 21:18:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702260318.VAA16361@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 25 Feb 1997 21:18:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: Tropical Cyclone Warning (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 406 WHPS31 PHNC 260300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 27.7S6 167.1W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM REPEAT POSIT: 27.7S6 167.1W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 31.1S5 166.9W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 35.0S8 167.8W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 39.0S2 169.3W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 28.5S5 167.0W4. SYSTEM ORGANIZATION HAS IMPROVED STEADILY OVER THE LAST 18 HOURS WITH INCREASING CONVECTION AND GOOD OUTFLOW PRESENT EXCEPT TO THE SOUTH. EXPECT AN OVERALL SOUTHERLY TRACK FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS, THEN SYSTEM TURNS SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AS IT WEAKENS DUE TO SHEARING AND COLDER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAX SEAS AT 26/00Z ARE 13 FT. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN 250730Z FEB 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WHPS21 PHNC 250730). NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 AND 270300Z2.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG65170570331 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Feb 27 14:11:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102603-5977>; Thu, 27 Feb 1997 14:11:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA122030; Thu, 27 Feb 1997 00:05:28 -0600 Message-Id: <199702270605.AAA122030@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Feb 1997 00:00:01 +1800 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 25 Feb 1997 to 26 Feb 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 5 messages totalling 145 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. VORTEX Presentation 2. Mb-enhanced satellite images 3. phone number for Grand Forks ND NWS forecast office 4. Hurricane Gloria and Pat Robertson 5. SPC URL & graphical guidance outage +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 25 Feb 1997 23:16:09 -0700 From: Albert Pietrycha Subject: VORTEX Presentation The Denver Student Chapter of the AMS is very pleased to announce that Dr. Erik Rasmussen will be speaking to the Chapter. Dr. Rasmussen will be discussing some of the hot-off-the-press new findings from VORTEX based on a airborne Doppler, DOW, mobile mesonet, and photogrammetric analysis. This event will be held at the Auraria Campus in Denver on March 27, at 7:30 pm, in room SI-103. Everyone is strongly encouraged to attend this cutting-edge presentation. If you would like more information please feel free to contact me by email or the phone number listed below. Sincerely, Al Pietrycha ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ Albert Pietrycha President, NCAR/RAP Student Chapter of the P.O. Box 3000 American Meteorological Society Boulder, CO 80307-3000 Metropolitan State College (303) 497-8382 Denver pietrych@ncar.ucar.edu http://http.rap.ucar.edu/winter/wsddm.html My opinions only Tornado!?! What Tornado? ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 26 Feb 1997 09:34:47 -0700 From: "David O. Blanchard" Subject: Mb-enhanced satellite images WX-TALKers, I've been searching many of the on-line satellite imagery sites, but without success. What I'm looking for is IR images that use the MB enhancement curve. The primary purpose is for convenient comparison with historical images using the same enhancement. Does anyone know of a site that uses the MB enhancement? Thanks. -db- -- +----------------------------------------------------------------------+ | David Blanchard NOAA/NSSL & OU/CIMMS Boulder, Colorado | | blanch@ncar.ucar.edu http://mrd3.mmm.ucar.edu/~dob/www/ | +----------------------------------------------------------------------+ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 26 Feb 1997 21:32:31 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: phone number for Grand Forks ND NWS forecast office Anyone have the number handy for the NWS forecast office in Grand Forks ND? The NOAA Locator is in dire need of updating... -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS FIRSTT | CIMSS/University of Wisconsin-Madison ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 21 Feb 1997 13:11:59 -0500 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Hurricane Gloria and Pat Robertson On 20 Feb 1997 Gary Dobbs wrote: > > I was amused by the choice of Gloria as the hurricane in the movie. I > remember her well, and how my photog and I jumped into a news vehicle from > Huntsville, Ala. and tore out toward the outer banks with hopes of arriving > for "here's the waves and wind" coverage.....only to find out when getting > there, that Pat Robertson had been busy praying all that night that Virginia > and the East Coast would be spared. ( Of course, that is where PTL and all > it's satt. dishes are located.....but that's just coincidence). We arrived > at Hatteras to discover the hurricane, which had been making a beeline > toward the coast, had, during the couse of our wee hour drive, diverted > northeast and never hit shore ! > > Fortunately, I was able to satisfy my interest in hurricanes by flying with > the hurricane hunters last year into Bertha. > > Anyway, before I plan another hurricane chasing trip, I'm checking to make > sure that PTL has not gotten involved. Gary would you (or any other wx-talkers) have actual quotes from Robertson about "praying away" Hurricane Gloria and taking credit for it? I'd love to see what he actually said... Best regards, chris ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** "Squalls out on the Gulf Stream, Big storm is coming soon..." Jimmy Buffett, _Trying to reason with hurricane season_ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 26 Feb 1997 15:54:37 -0500 From: Roger Edwards Subject: SPC URL & graphical guidance outage WX-xxxx'ers, Here are a couple important notes I just placed on the SPC home page, verbatim: We are working on timeliness problems with the outlook graphics and hourly reports graphics. Until further notice, current SPC graphical web products will be unavailable. We apologize for the situation. Our new URL is http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/~spc , as you'll notice by looking at the command line of your browser. You may wish to make changes to your bookmarks and web links accordingly. The addresses containing www.nssl.ou.edu, www.nssl.uoknor.edu, and whirlwind100.nssl.ou.edu will continue to automatically transfer you to the right place until further notice. --------------- ***No disclaimer necessary; this is official business!!! *** "Stop, for the sake ===== Roger Edwards ===== of my sanity!" (SPC) Forecaster -- 2 chase partners, 5 years apart former NHC Forecaster :::::::::: http://www.nssl.ou.edu/~edwards :::::::::: "I FEAST ON THE SMORGASBORD OF ATMOSPHERIC VIOLENCE." ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 25 Feb 1997 to 26 Feb 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Feb 26 17:25:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102627-5899>; Wed, 26 Feb 1997 17:25:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA49404; Wed, 26 Feb 1997 03:18:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4747853 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Feb 1997 03:18:41 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA30688 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 1997 03:18:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA19863 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Feb 1997 03:16:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702260916.DAA19863@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Feb 1997 03:16:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 637 WTXS31 PGTW 260900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARLETTE) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260600Z4 --- 39.9S1 55.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 39.9S1 55.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 41.1S6 54.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 260900Z7 POSITION 40.2S6 55.4E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARLETTE) CONTINUES TO WEAKEN IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AND BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 12 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE ALTERNATE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z IS 12 FEET. AJTWC NAVPACMETOCCEN SENDS.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG77580570921 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Feb 26 17:29:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102819-5899>; Wed, 26 Feb 1997 17:29:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA252310; Wed, 26 Feb 1997 03:19:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4747858 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Feb 1997 03:19:17 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA108928 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 1997 03:19:16 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA96484 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 26 Feb 1997 03:19:16 -0600 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199702260919.AA96484@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Feb 1997 03:19:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -260319 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 48865 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z FEB 97// RMKS/1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 07N7 136E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 06N6 132E6. LATEST METSAT IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION WHICH HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 48 HOURS. CURRENT VISUAL AND INFRARED METSAT IMAGERY WITH AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION EAST OF THE MAXIMUM CONVECTION NEAR 5N5 138E2. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CIRCULATION CENTER AT THIS TIME. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. ALTERNATE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER PEARL HARBOR SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/BOHLIN/WHELAN// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG77530570920 NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Feb 26 21:45:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102834-5899>; Wed, 26 Feb 1997 21:44:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA195334; Wed, 26 Feb 1997 07:40:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4748863 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Feb 1997 07:40:24 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA149532 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 1997 07:40:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id HAA22937 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Feb 1997 07:38:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702261338.HAA22937@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Feb 1997 07:38:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 332 WTXS21 PGTW 261330 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 261321Z FEB 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/251321Z FEB 97// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 251330)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 20.9S1 108.8E7 TO 21.1S4 114.7E3 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 261133Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 21.1S4 114.0E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UNDER SURVEILLANCE FOR THE PAST 84 HOURS IS NORTH OF THE EXMOUTH GULF AND CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY. THE POTENTIAL FOR FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 271330Z3. AJTWC NAVPACMETOCCEN SENDS.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG81860571337 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Feb 27 10:06:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102411-5977>; Thu, 27 Feb 1997 10:06:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA203514; Wed, 26 Feb 1997 19:57:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4753617 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Feb 1997 19:56:46 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA123852 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 1997 10:37:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id KAA27597 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Feb 1997 10:35:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702261635.KAA27597@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Feb 1997 10:35:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: Tropical Cyclone Warning (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 842 WHPS31 PHNC 261500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- 31.8S2 168.9W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 185 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM REPEAT POSIT: 31.8S2 168.9W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 35.4S2 169.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 39.5S7 169.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 43.7S4 169.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION 32.7S2 169.0W6 SYSTEM TRACKING SOUTHWARD IN THE SOUTHWEST PACIFIC BASIN. CONVECTION DECREASED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. SYSTEM CURRENTLY BEGINNING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. SYSTEM FORECAST TO MAINTAIN SOUTHWARD TRACK AND COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY TAU 36. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6) AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG85850571634 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Feb 27 03:42:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102644-5899>; Thu, 27 Feb 1997 03:42:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA128784; Wed, 26 Feb 1997 13:28:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4749733 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Feb 1997 13:27:02 +1800 Received: from dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.43]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA155770 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 1997 13:07:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.4) with ESMTP id MAA18707 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 1997 12:34:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id MAA01589 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Feb 1997 12:32:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702261832.MAA01589@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Feb 1997 12:32:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: Tropical Cyclone Warning (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 671 WHPS31 PHNC 261500 COR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P WARNING NR 002 CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- 31.8S2 168.9W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 185 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM REPEAT POSIT: 31.8S2 168.9W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 35.4S2 169.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 39.5S7 169.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 43.7S4 169.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION 32.7S2 169.0W6 THIS WARNING CORRECTED TO CHANGE NUMBER OF ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES TO 01. SYSTEM TRACKING SOUTHWARD IN THE SOUTHWEST PACIFIC BASIN. CONVECTION DECREASED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. SYSTEM CURRENTLY BEGINNING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. SYSTEM FORECAST TO MAINTAIN SOUTHWARD TRACK AND COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY TAU 36. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6) AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG88000571800 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Feb 27 12:38:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102654-5977>; Thu, 27 Feb 1997 12:38:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA107142; Wed, 26 Feb 1997 22:31:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4757038 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Feb 1997 22:30:39 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA107290 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 1997 22:29:48 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA14966 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Feb 1997 21:53:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702270353.VAA14966@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Feb 1997 21:53:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: Tropical Cyclone Warning (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 351 WHPS31 PHNC 270300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- 34.1S8 171.7W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 34.1S8 171.7W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 37.3S3 175.2W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 41.5S0 176.3W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION 34.9S6 172.6W6. SYSTEM ORGANIZATION HAS SIGNIFICANTLY DECREASED DURING THE LAST 6 HOURS. ALL SIGNIFICANT CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS NOW WELL DISPLACED FROM THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION AS SYSTEM UNDERGOES EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. FORECAST TRACK CONTINUES TO TAKE THE SYSTEM SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD THEN TURNING SOUTH BY 24 HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NAVAL PACIFIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG05060580300 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Feb 28 14:16:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102206-14583>; Fri, 28 Feb 1997 14:16:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA129016; Fri, 28 Feb 1997 00:15:41 -0600 Message-Id: <199702280615.AAA129016@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Feb 1997 00:09:42 +1800 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 26 Feb 1997 to 27 Feb 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 8 messages totalling 286 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. hurricanes and prayer 2. Mb-enhanced satellite images 3. *ASOS Commissioning Notice 4. Snowshoes in Paradise? 5. utility forecasting 6. Copy of: $1000 Reward for Video (Revised) 7. January 1997 Inversions over Fairbanks 8. Aviation Forecast Service +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 27 Feb 1997 08:26:41 -0600 From: Gary Dobbs Subject: hurricanes and prayer Chris.......unfortunately, I have no tapes of that period....but, it was a highly promoted (a sort of, "proof of performance")event by the PTL....as you may remember, Gloria did cause some damage in the outer banks area, but it veered northeastward away from the mid-Atlantic states, thus "saving" PTL facilities and ruining my plans for coverage of what promised to be a significant hurricane event along that part of the coast.....(in fact, when we learned enroute of the shift of Gloria's path, we drove on up to Virgina Beach thinking it might at least come in there.....( try to explain the expense vouchers from THAT area to your boss)....we drove back down to the outer banks and got some footage of damage and survivors out around Hatteras..... PTL's Robertson, as I learned later, asked the Almighty to "spare" the mid Atlantic coast because PTL could not afford potential damage to it's facility or disruption of it's mission....that's not a quote, but close ! The lesson I learned....God answers prayer....but, in this case, it sure as heck wasn't MINE !! thinking I'll stick to deep south tornado chasing, with my doppler ! Gary Dobbs =========================================================== >> Anyway, before I plan another hurricane chasing trip, I'm checking to make >> sure that PTL has not gotten involved. > >Gary would you (or any other wx-talkers) have actual quotes from Robertson >about "praying away" Hurricane Gloria and taking credit for it? I'd >love to see what he actually said... > >Best regards, >chris >***************************************************************************** >Chris Landsea >NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 >4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 >Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov >*****************************************************************************> ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 27 Feb 1997 09:26:48 -0500 From: Corey Lefkof Subject: Re: Mb-enhanced satellite images Dave- I've found that the OSU server has the MB curve imagery for GOES 8/9 imagery. Data is updated ~ 1 to 1.5 hours. http://asp1.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/wximages/sat/goes8/irmb/00LATEST.gif -Corey ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 27 Feb 1997 10:02:36 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: Re: *ASOS Commissioning Notice The following sites will become commissioned today 27 Feb 1997. MEEKER AIRPORT (KEEO) MEEKER... COLORADO GARFIELD COUNTY REGIONAL AIRPORT (KRIL) RIFLE... COLORADO TWIN FALLS-SUN VALLEY REGIONAL JOSLIN FIELD (KTWF) TWIN FALLS... IDAHO Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 27 Feb 1997 17:19:25 -0600 From: Bernie Kopp Subject: Snowshoes in Paradise? "Can I help you sir?" "Sure, I need one loincloth, a bottle of Coppertone (TM) and a 50# bag of road salt." "Oh! You're flying out to Hawaii today?" "How did you guess?" WWHW46 PHNL 270600 HIZ003-004-271800- WINTER STORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 8 PM HST WED FEB 26 1997 ...A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SUMMITS OF MAUNA KEA AND MAUNA LOA ON THE BIG ISLAND AND HALEAKALA ON MAUI... THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NOW WEST OF THE BIG ISLAND. HOWEVER... CONDITIONS ARE RIPE FOR THE CONTINUATION OF HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS. THE WIND READING AT 8 PM ATOP MAUNA KEA WAS FROM THE SOUTH WITH GUST TO 79 MILES AN HOUR. TRAVELERS ARE URGED TO POSTPONE ANY PLANS TO THE SUMMIT AREAS DUE TO THE DANGEROUS FREEZE AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. THE WINTER STORM IS EXPECTED TO LAST THROUGH THURSDAY. SUMMIT WEATHER WILL BE MONITORED AND SPECIAL STATEMENTS WILL BE ISSUED AS NEEDED. THE NEXT SCHEDULED UPDATE WILL BE AT 8 AM THURSDAY. ************************************************************************* 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Milwaukee Wisconsin USA Milwaukee Area Skywarn Assoc./Milwaukee A.R.E.S./Illinois Multi-County Warning System E-Mail bkopp@omnifest.uwm.edu or visit my severe weather Home Page! "Shelter From The Storm!" http://ourworld.compuserve.com/homepages/bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 27 Feb 1997 15:57:01 GMT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: utility forecasting In article <01bc2442$814d4ea0$a206bacc@jbartlo.ptd.net>, "Joseph Bartlo" writes: |> royspencer@aol.com wrote in article <856475327.16700@dejanews.com>... |> > Does anyone out there know how much a place like |> > Weather Services Corporation or Accuweather charges |> > electric utilities for hourly temperature forecasts? |> > I was wondering what the value is of value-added forecasting |> > by private companies. |> |> I hate to keep complaining about things, but sometimes a person does |> what they have to do. Before Accu-weather considers hourly forecasts, |> they should be sure forecasts they provide are for the right day. If I |> were the type of person who did such things, a friend of mine would |> have a decent chance at suing them for false advertising. I doubt |> Weather Services Corporation is much better. |> Waaaay back when I was an undergrad at PSU, I worked at Accu-weather, doing stuff like plotting maps. One of the clients was Baltimore Gas and Electric. I remember a lot more than one forecast of hourly temperatures (actually, I think they were 3-hourly) that was spot on. If you are very familiar with a location and forecast for it continuously, I don't think this is a very difficult thing to do. Scott -- Scott S. Lindstrom | The only other sound's scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | the sweep of easy http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | wind and downy flake ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 27 Feb 1997 16:47:58 GMT From: Matthew Biddle Subject: Re: Copy of: $1000 Reward for Video (Revised) slapinskas@aol.com (SLAPINSKAS) wrote: >Last time I looked it taping (read COPYRIGHTED MATERIAL) then turning >around and selling it was a prob...its sort of like stealing... I don't know what pollyanna world you live in, but this goes on continuously and if you think it is as simple as proving it and getting paid you are seriously nieve. The FBI does not have time and you need $800 just to file a lawsuit in which you have to prove malice. No problem you say. > >If you think you had footage shown on the program that was ripped off from you, then you can either get a lawyer or get ahold of the Disovery Channel directly. Have you ever dealt with any of these Weasels? > >I can't think why they would rip off any material (usually producers take >care to get or verify the copyright permissions...) and if they hadn't why >they wouldn't talk to you...? What??? AGAIN WHAT WORLD DO YOU COME FROM. MYSELF AND MY PEERS IN THIS AREA ARE RIPPED OFF CONSTANTLY and the people that dont rip us off are ripped of which rips of off indirectly. You think they are all basically nice fair people. I am here to tell you without any qualification that 99% of these producers and video complanies are outright crooks and criminally so with no scruples or morals. > >Even if they did...and this was a one time show...and they aren't selling >this program as a $19.95 tape on TV, the lawyer is still going to sort of >yawn when you tell him the story...like what damages where there? > >If you want to _view_ the tape...then why don't you get ahold of the >Discovery Channel and ask them how to do this? One bet is there is an >academic institution or school program where the tape would be _rented_ to >the school for viewing.... >Just .$.02...... You dont understand what is going on.... I am coming in line with R. Edwards "Cancer Within" Stance a bit more. Not so much with the philosophies about trying to make a buck as just with how bereft of any fairness the production media industry is. Matt Biddle Norman, Oklahoma ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 27 Feb 1997 11:33:55 -0800 From: Jan Curtis Subject: January 1997 Inversions over Fairbanks Greetings: After what was an exceptionally warm February1997 in Fairbanks (about 16 degs F above normal), it's hard to believe just a month ago, temperatures reached the lowest readings in over four years. I've put together an interesting little article on Fairbanks' Jan 97 inversions at: http://climate.gi.alaska.edu/AKCityClimo/FAI_temp2.html for those interested in this subject area. All I can say, if you live in Alaska's interior, head for the hills! Sincerely, Jan Curtis ************************************************************* Webmaster for: The Alaska Climate Research Center http://climate.gi.alaska.edu ************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 28 Feb 1997 00:33:22 -0500 From: "Tracey A. Edwards" Subject: Aviation Forecast Service Taken from Av-Web aviation magazine: FAA NAD NWS LAUNCH NEW AVIATION FORECAST SERVICE A new experimental digital data program went online Wednesday in the belief that it will increase safety by giving aviation users more accurate weather forecasts. The new ADDS, available via the Internet will contain weather observations and forcasts important to the aviation community. www.nws.noaa.gov/adds Does anybody here know anything about this? Is this an attempt to fix problems created with the closure of airport based Flight Service offices? I thought that DUATS was the fix. I'm not currently flying so I don't use FAA services that often anymore. I do know that it is getting harder to find a warm body for weather briefings these days. It's easier to watch the Weather Channel and use the net. I only call 1-800-Wx-brief if I'm going to be in the air. Thanks. Tracey Edwards "DON'T SHOOT! I'M NOT AOL, I'M A SUBSCRIBER!" ;-) ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 26 Feb 1997 to 27 Feb 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Feb 27 16:47:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102186-5977>; Thu, 27 Feb 1997 16:47:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA130710; Thu, 27 Feb 1997 02:37:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4758979 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Feb 1997 02:36:00 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA149442 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 1997 02:30:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA17722 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Feb 1997 02:28:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702270828.CAA17722@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Feb 1997 02:28:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 404 WTXS31 PGTW 270900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30S (GIUETTE) WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- 19.7S7 40.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.7S7 40.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 20.7S9 40.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 21.8S1 40.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 23.0S5 40.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 24.2S8 40.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM --- REMARKS: 270900Z8 POSITION 20.0S2 40.0E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 30S (GIUETTE) HAS DEVELOPED IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL AND IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 270201Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. GIUETTE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS IN THE PRESENCE OF FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS AS IT TRACKS SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5) AND 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3). AJTWC NAVPACMETOCCEN SENDS. // AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG16540580835 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Feb 27 17:36:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102229-5977>; Thu, 27 Feb 1997 17:36:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA218822; Thu, 27 Feb 1997 03:28:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4759115 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Feb 1997 03:28:29 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA91104 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 1997 03:26:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA19540 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Feb 1997 03:24:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702270924.DAA19540@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Feb 1997 03:24:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 974 WTXS21 PGTW 270900 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION CANCELLATION 270900Z FEB 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/261321Z FEB 97// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 261330)// RMKS/ 1. LATEST METSAT AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE DISSIPATION OF ORGANIZED CONVECTION AND DECREASED INTENSITY DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. CONDITIONS NOW CONSIDERED UNFAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. CANCEL REF A. 2. AJTWC NAVPACMETOCCEN SENDS.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG19370580932 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Mar 1 14:06:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102320-21779>; Sat, 1 Mar 1997 14:06:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA240574; Sat, 1 Mar 1997 00:05:58 -0600 Message-Id: <199703010605.AAA240574@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Mar 1997 00:01:18 +1800 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 27 Feb 1997 to 28 Feb 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 4 messages totalling 78 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. TVC Video Question 2. ASOS Commissioning Notice 3. tornado troll 4. March Tornado Statistics +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 27 Feb 1997 22:58:39 -0800 From: Ken Tarvin Subject: TVC Video Question Hi! I recently found a copy of the tornado video classics series (Thanks to the internet), and had a question about one really interesting thing I saw. There's a scene where a woman is taping what looks to be a pair of very small funnels desending together directly over her house. These two funnels connect and form what looks to be a handle in the sky! Of all the footage in these series, this was the most intersting to me, but no explaination was given about this. Anyone here that knows the footage I'm talking about, have an explaination? Stuck in sunny (but weatherless So. Cal) ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 28 Feb 1997 10:06:35 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site will become a commissioned ASOS site at approximately 2000 UTC on 01 March 1997. LOS ANGELES INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT (KLAX) LOS ANGELES... CA Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 28 Feb 1997 08:57:54 -0800 From: bill martin Subject: tornado troll In the spirit of the PTL thread, I found this amusing troll in sci.skeptic. Enjoy. > Tornadoes are also increasingly common. For those who need the >background, a "tornado" is a weather cell of extremely low pressure, >caused when a hurricane inadvertantly becomes land-locked and fights >to find its way back to the ocean. Sometimes these "land hurricanes" >known colloquially as "twisters" can last for days at a time, >ravaging a path of destruction across the midwest as they head for >the Pacific Ocean, lost. The only thing that keeps them from >reaching their destination and obliterating Los Angeles is the Rocky >Mountains. And why do you think those mountains just *happen* to >be there, protecting the City of Angels against these fierce weather >monsters? Logically, the only explanation is a work of God. ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Bill Martin | When Winds go round and round in Bands- wmartin@pacific.net | And thrum upon the door, Ukiah, CA | And Birds take places, overhead, | To bear them Orchestra. --Dickinson ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 28 Feb 1997 12:56:46 -0500 From: EAI Subject: March Tornado Statistics Based on our SATT software we have just completed the rankings of the top twenty tornado-prone cities and the top twenty tornado-prone states for the month of March. The results are given on our Web Page. http://www.mindspring.com/~eai Frank B. Tatom Engineering Analysis Inc. eai@mindspring.com ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 27 Feb 1997 to 28 Feb 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Feb 28 14:42:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102294-265>; Fri, 28 Feb 1997 14:41:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA79632; Fri, 28 Feb 1997 00:21:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4768613 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Feb 1997 00:21:12 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA81392 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 1997 00:13:30 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA57640 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 28 Feb 1997 00:13:30 -0600 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199702280613.AA57640@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Feb 1997 00:13:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -280013 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 43813 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z FEB 97/010600Z MAR 97// RMKS/1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 10N1 131E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 09N9 130E4. THE PRESENCE OF A LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION IS AGAIN INDICATED ON BOTH THE LATEST METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA. METSAT IMAGERY INDICATES MODERATE TO DEEP CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED THROUGHOUT THE LAST 24 HOURS, LOCATED MOSTLY WEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. METSAT ANIMATION INDICATES THIS SYSTEM IS IN AN AREA OF MODERATE WIND SHEAR WITH POOR OUTFLOW TO ITS EAST AND GOOD OUTFLOW TO ITS WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS NEAR ITS CENTER. NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER, WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTHEAST MONSOON ARE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) A NEW CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS LOCATED NEAR 09N9 150E6. THE CIRCULATION IS INDICATED ON BOTH THE LATEST METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA. ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW APPEARS GOOD, THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS WEAK AND LOCATED PRIMARILY SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. ALTERNATE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER PEARL HARBOR SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: HILL/REISS.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG55050590615 NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Feb 28 16:32:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102457-265>; Fri, 28 Feb 1997 16:32:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA144040; Fri, 28 Feb 1997 02:27:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4769267 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Feb 1997 02:27:34 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA164996 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 1997 02:27:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA28221 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Feb 1997 02:25:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199702280825.CAA28221@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Feb 1997 02:25:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 448 WTXS31 PGTW 280900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30S (LISETTE) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- 21.0S3 40.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 21.0S3 40.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 21.6S9 40.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 22.1S5 40.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 22.6S0 40.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 23.3S8 40.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM --- REMARKS: 280900Z9 POSITION 21.2S5 40.6E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 30S (LISETTE) CONTINUES TO TRACK SLOWLY SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. WARNING POSITION AND INITIAL INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 280330Z METSAT DATA. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30S IS LOCATED IN A WEAKENED REGION OF A DOMINANT RIDGE PATTERN AND IS BEING SUBJECTED TO VERY LITTLE STEERING FLOW. ENTIRE FORECAST TRACK SPEED IS BASED UPON SLOW POLEWARD PROPAGATION AS IT REMAINS IN THE WEAKNESS. INITIAL INTENSITY IS SLIGHTLY LESS THAN LAST FORECAST AS METSAT DATA INDICATES AN ELONGATION IN THE UPPER LEVEL CLOUD SIGNATURE CAUSED BY THE SHEARING EFFECTS OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH TO THE SOUTH. THE SHEARING EFFECTS CHECK DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITION, HOWEVER FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED AFTER THE TROUGH MOVES OFF TO THE EAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6) AND 010900Z0 (DTG 010751Z4).AJTWC NAVPACMETOCCEN SENDS.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG60590590826 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Mar 2 14:18:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102226-20084>; Sun, 2 Mar 1997 14:18:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA40712; Sun, 2 Mar 1997 00:15:34 -0600 Message-Id: <199703020615.AAA40712@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Mar 1997 00:06:26 +1800 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 28 Feb 1997 to 1 Mar 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 3 messages totalling 81 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. ASOS in LA 2. Rachel 3. ATTENTION ALL STORM CHASERS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 1 Mar 1997 07:31:59 -0500 From: Brian Monahan Subject: Re: ASOS in LA > The following site will become a commissioned ASOS site at approximately > 2000 UTC on 01 March 1997. > > > LOS ANGELES INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT (KLAX) > LOS ANGELES... CA Wow...isn't this great...yet another ASOS going up in the nation. Anyone up for a party? :) Brian -=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=- Brian Monahan Kingsway Regional HS Clarksboro, NJ Weather Observer WeatherWatch Mag: Atlantic Tropical Update Channel Op on Undernet's #weather Email: bmonahan@p3.net Nick: wxcentral -=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=- ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 1 Mar 1997 17:34:55 EST From: Martin Lisius <73124.1052@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: Rachel Dear Chasers: I keep getting responses to an e-mail from a Rachel at my address. She is asking several questions about storm chasing. There is no Rachel here. I don't know why she is using my address. Hmmm. Thanks. Martin Lisius ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 1 Mar 1997 16:39:33 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: ATTENTION ALL STORM CHASERS We have been getting numerous complaints that our storm chaser "partners" section on the Storm Chaser Homepage has become grossly outdated, with entries dating back to one year and more. Therefore, I have purged ALL entries prior to January 30, 1997. I apologize for the inconvenience, but now you can enter it yourself! To better the odds of you getting a partner, you *must* fill in the entry of which state you live in (city, phone number optional, but email address is required as well). This should solve the problem. If you absolutely cannot enter it via the Web, then (as a last resort) send it to me via email and I will add it in. But this may take a while, FYI. Thanks, Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * Got mole problems? Call Avogadro at 6.02 X 10^23. * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 28 Feb 1997 to 1 Mar 1997 ************************************************* From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Mar 1 15:13:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102279-21779>; Sat, 1 Mar 1997 15:13:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA55128; Sat, 1 Mar 1997 01:06:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4779330 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Mar 1997 01:04:55 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA166632 for ; Sat, 1 Mar 1997 01:04:20 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA10822 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 1 Mar 1997 01:04:20 -0600 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199703010704.AA10822@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Mar 1997 01:04:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -010104 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 59713 ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z/020600Z MAR 97// RMKS/1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 09N9 130E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 09N9 132E. THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION IS INDICATED ON LATEST METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA. MODERATE TO DEEP CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED THROUGHOUT THE LAST 24 HOURS MOSTLY NORTHWEST OF LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. SYSTEM HAS MAINTAINED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, HOWEVER OUTFLOW IS POOR IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS WITH HIGHER WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTHEAST MONSOON, 15 TO 25 KNOTS NORTHWEST OF CENTER. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 09N9 150E6 IS NO LONGER DISCERNIBLE ON THE LATEST METSAT IMAGERY OR SYNOPTIC DATA. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. ALTERNATE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER PEARL HARBOR SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: MURRAY/POINDEXTER.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG07780600659 NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Mar 1 16:21:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102243-21779>; Sat, 1 Mar 1997 16:21:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA194860; Sat, 1 Mar 1997 02:18:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4779578 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Mar 1997 02:17:55 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA223726 for ; Sat, 1 Mar 1997 02:17:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA02760 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Mar 1997 02:16:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703010816.CAA02760@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Mar 1997 02:16:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 801 WTXS31 PGTW 010900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30S (LISETTE) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010600Z7 --- 20.9S1 37.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 20.9S1 37.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 21.1S4 37.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 21.6S9 36.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 22.2S6 36.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 22.8S2 35.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 010900Z0 POSITION 21.0S3 37.6E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30S (LISETTE)HAS TRACKED MORE WESTWARD DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS THAN INDICATED ON PREVIOUS WARNING. WARNING POSITION AND INITIAL INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 010318Z METSAT IMAGERY. EXPECT TC 30S TO WEAKEN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY WIND SHEAR AND TO TRACK SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010600Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 012100Z4 (DTG 011951Z7) AND 020900Z1 (DTG 020751Z5). AJTWC NAVPACMETOCCEN SENDS.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG10850600817 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Mar 2 03:05:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102257-21779>; Sun, 2 Mar 1997 03:05:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA34434; Sat, 1 Mar 1997 12:57:33 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4782624 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Mar 1997 12:57:27 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA67414 for ; Sat, 1 Mar 1997 12:57:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id MAA10215 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Mar 1997 12:55:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703011855.MAA10215@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Mar 1997 12:55:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 895 WTXS31 PGTW 282100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30S (LISETTE) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281800Z9 --- 20.7S9 39.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 20.7S9 39.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 21.1S4 38.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 21.5S8 38.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 22.0S4 38.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 22.5S9 38.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM --- REMARKS: 282100Z3 POSITION 20.8S0 38.9E0 TROPICAL STORM 30S (LISETTE) IS TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. WARNING POSITION AND INITIAL INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 281603Z METSAT IMAGERY. TC 30S IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY WIND SHEAR CAUSING THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN. TC 30S IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD TO SOUTHWARD AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010900Z0 (DTG 010751Z4) AND 012100Z4 (DTG 011951Z7). AJTWC NAVPACMETOCCEN SENDS.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG27480592235 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Mar 2 04:23:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102402-21779>; Sun, 2 Mar 1997 04:23:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA47172; Sat, 1 Mar 1997 14:15:48 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4783117 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Mar 1997 14:15:34 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA08406 for ; Sat, 1 Mar 1997 14:15:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA11124 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Mar 1997 14:13:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703012013.OAA11124@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Mar 1997 14:13:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 960 WTXS31 PGTW 012100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30S (LISETTE) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011800Z0 --- 20.5S7 36.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 20.5S7 36.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 20.3S5 35.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 20.4S6 34.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 20.5S7 33.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 20.7S9 32.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 012100Z4 POSITION 20.4S6 36.3E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 30S (LISETTE) HAS INTENSIFIED AND IS CONTINUING ON A WESTWARD TRACK LONGER THAN PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED. WARNING POSITION AND INITIAL INTENSITY BASED ON 011552Z METSAT IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS IT CONTINUES ON A WESTWARD TRACK. THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE SOUTH IS INTENSIFYING AND RIDGING TO THE WEST AND IS EXPECTED TO PROHIBIT ANY MORE SOUTHWARD MOVEMENT THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30S IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE MOZAMBIQUE COAST BETWEEN THE 12 AND 24 FORECAST POSITION. AFTER MAKING LANDFALL, TROPICAL CYCLONE 30S WILL BEGIN DISSIPATING AND CONTINUE TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY IN THE LOWER LEVEL STEERING FLOW. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020900Z1 (DTG 020751Z5) AND 022100Z5 (DTG 021951Z8). AJTWC NAVPACMETOCCEN SENDS.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG31550601955 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Mar 2 06:59:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102160-20084>; Sun, 2 Mar 1997 06:59:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA219366; Sat, 1 Mar 1997 16:52:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4784416 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 1 Mar 1997 16:52:51 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA219318 for ; Sat, 1 Mar 1997 16:52:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id QAA13049 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 1 Mar 1997 16:50:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703012250.QAA13049@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 1 Mar 1997 16:50:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 836 WTXS31 PGTW 012100 AMD IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30S (LISETTE) WARNING NR 006A AMENDED AND RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011800Z0 --- 19.5S5 36.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.5S5 36.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 18.6S5 35.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 18.4S3 33.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 18.8S7 31.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 012100Z4 POSITION 19.3S3 36.1E0 AMENDMENT ISSUED DUE TO LATEST METSAT IMAGERY OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 30S (LISETTE) SHOWING AN ELONGATED EYE DISPLACED TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OF WHERE IT WAS PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE WARNING POSITION AND INITIAL INTENSITY BASED ON 011917Z METSAT IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30S IS NOW MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AND IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. AFTER MAKING LANDFALL, TROPICAL CYCLONE 30S WILL BEGIN DISSIPATING AND TRACK WESTWARD THEN WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE LOWER LEVEL STEERING FLOW. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020900Z1 (DTG 020751Z5) AND 022100Z5 (DTG 021951Z8). AJTWC NAVPACMETOCCEN SENDS. NEXT WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER, GUAM. // AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG35550602218 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Mar 3 14:24:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102389-348>; Mon, 3 Mar 1997 14:24:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA219362; Mon, 3 Mar 1997 00:18:10 -0600 Message-Id: <199703030618.AAA219362@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Mar 1997 00:09:37 +1800 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 1 Mar 1997 to 2 Mar 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 5 messages totalling 202 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. SkyWarn In Central Illinois 2. [Fwd: Storm Chasing & Tornadoes] 3. WMO Headers for Flash Flood Guidance 4. MKE and MKX followup 5. TWC'S New Weather STAR +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 2 Mar 1997 00:59:54 +0000 From: Charlie Heflin Subject: SkyWarn In Central Illinois Is there a Skywarn or other organization dedicated to the same principals, located in the Central Illinois area? Particularly around the Champaign County area? I don't think I've ever seen anything posted to the list that was directed towards the exisistance of such a group. One other question...besides the Severe Storm Seminar in Bloomington Illinois, on March 8th, does anyone know of any other Severe Weather classes or seminars being offered throughout the Central Illinois or Chicago area? Something to be held durning the months of March, April, or May, maybe? Just curious. ******CHARLIE HEFLIN******* Technical Operations Manager ****TIME WARNER CABLE****** (217)384-2530 (217)344-3397 Have You Hugged a Tech Today? ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 2 Mar 1997 09:30:37 -0600 From: John Edwin Keyes Subject: [Fwd: Storm Chasing & Tornadoes] This is a multi-part message in MIME format. --------------10F234161BAB Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Hello fellow chasers. This person from New Zealand emailed me about doing a case study of a tornado event here in the US. I know that there are many, many essays and studies for different tornado events out on the 'net. I just don't have all of the URLS written down. If someone could help me with some of those addresses. You may send them to me, or send them to the email address enclosed within the forwarded email. Thanks a bunch. John Keyes wxking@ou.edu jkeyes@ionet http://rossby.metr.ou.edu/~jkeyes --------------10F234161BAB Content-Type: message/rfc822 Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Content-Disposition: inline Received: from cliff.ou.edu (cliff.backbone.ou.edu [129.15.2.9]) by ROSSBY.METR.ou.edu (8.8.5/8.8.2) with SMTP id XAA03061 for ; Sat, 1 Mar 1997 23:54:41 -0600 (CST) Received: from terminator.xtra.co.nz by cliff.ou.edu; Sat, 1 Mar 97 23:54:53 -0600 Received: from paterson (xtra180131.xtra.co.nz [202.27.180.131]) by MajorD.xtra.co.nz (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA08444; Sun, 2 Mar 1997 18:54:31 +1300 (NZDT) Message-ID: <331916F7.12EF@xtra.co.nz> Date: Sun, 02 Mar 1997 18:58:15 +1300 From: Paterson Family Reply-To: Paterson.five@xtra.co.nz X-Mailer: Mozilla 3.0C-XTRA (Win95; I) MIME-Version: 1.0 To: wxking@ou.edu CC: Paterson.five@xtra.co.nz Subject: Storm Chasing & Tornadoes Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Dear Sir I am a 16 year old student from Auckland New Zealand and I am currently doing an in-depth research assignment for IB Geography. IB is a school diploma/Qualification which we have in New Zealand. For our assignment we had to choose either a land based or atmosphere based natural hazzard. I have chosen the topic Tornadoes for my assignment as I am very interested in them and find them extreamly facinating things. For the assignment we have to have two case studies of our natural hazzard one of which has to come from a more developed country and one from a less developed country. I have chosen America for my case study from a more developed country and I was wondering if it would be at all possible if you could please send me/e-mail me some information on a big tornado that hit one particular area that I could concentrate on and study. We have to explain the underlying physical processes which produce our natural hazzard and examine the comparitive ways in which humans have responded to our hazzard. In New Zealand we do not have very many tornadoes at all, I have only ever heard of two in my life time in my country. I would be very grateful if you could help me with my assignment, as it is also something which I am personally interested in. Thankyou Sincerely Debbie Paterson Please Reply To: e-mail Address Paterson.five@xtra.co.nz --------------10F234161BAB-- ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 2 Mar 1997 16:10:37 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: WMO Headers for Flash Flood Guidance Hello, A while back the headers changed for State and county values for the flash flood guidance products. I'm looking for the ones for northern Illinois...anyone know them? Thanks for any help! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 2 Mar 1997 18:27:19 -0600 From: Warren Sunkel Subject: MKE and MKX followup On Wed, 26 Feb 1997 00:05:30 +1800, Skip Voros wrote: >There are some exceptions to every rule, but it is my >understanding that when the radar site is not co-located >at the airport site, it gets a "X" in its call letters. > >The Milwaukee airports I.D. is MKE, but the radar which is >about 30 miles west gets MKX. > >The Green Bay Wisconsin Weather Forecast office,and radar >site are at the same location, thus GRB for the radar call >and airport I.D. > >There probably is some political angle and well, since as >Jim from NWS noted with the Chicago radar....somehow it >got LOT instead of CHI. I will attempt to generalize the new NWS weather office and radar site identifiers. The following are my observations--I was not a part of the group which made these decisions. 1. If the radar is at an airport (no matter how small), the radar ID is that of the airport. E.g. KICT, KGRB, KPAH, KDDC, KLOT. 2. If the radar is not at an airport, it received a new ID ending in X. E.g. KMKX, KMPX, KTWX (Topeka), KLSX. 3. If the WFO is colocated with the radar, it uses the radar's ID. E.g. all of those above except Topeka. 4. If the WFO is not colocated with the radar, it uses the airport's ID (e.g. KTOP) or is assigned a new ID not ending in X (KGID for Hastings, NE). All of the NWS text-based forecasts and warnings are still distributed through AFOS. AFOS still uses the pre-modernization office ID's. E.g. Milwaukee/Sullivan is MKE, Central Illinois is SPI, and Davenport is MLI. The AFOS software is not capable of handling 4-character IDs, and the amount of effort to upgrade it was not considered feasible with AWIPS on the horizon. AWIPS will be using all of the new 4-character IDs. Warren Sunkel ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 2 Mar 1997 23:08:34 -0600 From: Michael Hetrick Subject: TWC'S New Weather STAR I was flipping through the channels a few weeks ago an caught a commercial that was telling about TWC's new "Weather Center". Could someone please fill me in on what this is? How is it going to be different than the Second Generation STAR's now on-line? Any information would be helpful.. Thanks! Michael Hetrick ------------------------------------------- :-) Michael Hetrick(mhetrick@lcc.net) Visit these Websites: http://www.geocities.com/CapeCanaveral/2981/index.html(WeatherTracker) http://www.nacogdoches.com/mhetrick/index.html(Nacogdoches Weather) http://www.geocities.com/Vienna/1956/index.html(The Unofficial Band Web Page) ------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 1 Mar 1997 to 2 Mar 1997 ************************************************ From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Mar 2 14:49:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102226-20084>; Sun, 2 Mar 1997 14:49:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA141492; Sun, 2 Mar 1997 00:33:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4787697 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Mar 1997 00:32:53 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA83692 for ; Sun, 2 Mar 1997 00:19:47 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA65761 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 2 Mar 1997 00:19:47 -0600 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199703020619.AA65761@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Mar 1997 00:19:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -020019 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 33758 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z/030600Z MAR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY NEAR 9N9 132E6 IS NOW NEAR 10N1 130E4. THE AREAL EXTENT OF THE CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO DIMINISH OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS ALTHOUGH IT HAS PERIODICALLY FLARED UP. ANIMATED HIGH RESOLUTION VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EXISTS NEARLY 5 DEGREES SOUTH OF THE CONVECTION. EASTERLY SURFACE WINDS ARE PRESENT BETWEEN THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND THE CONVECTION AS INDICATED BY THE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA. IT IS POSSIBLE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EXISTS BENEATH THE CONVECTION, BUT THIS CANNOT BE CONFIRMED WITH ANY AVAILABLE DATA. MICROWAVE IMAGERY, VISIBLE IMAGERY, AND SYNOPTIC DATA ALL INDICATE LINEAR CONVERGENT FLOW. UPPER-LEVEL EASTERLY WINDS BETWEEN 40 AND 50 KT ARE IMPINGING ON THIS SYSTEM AND THE INDUCED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO LIMIT ANY DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION EXISTS NEAR 8S8 170E8. SYNOPTIC DATA AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A BROAD REGION OF TROUGHING AND A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS CONVECTION EXISTS NEAR THE END OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AND HAS INCREASED SLIGHTLY IN AREAL EXTENT DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: KUBAT/MILLER/TIRSCHEL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Mar 2 15:46:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102265-20084>; Sun, 2 Mar 1997 15:46:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA28900; Sun, 2 Mar 1997 01:41:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4788252 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Mar 1997 01:41:03 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA118990 for ; Sun, 2 Mar 1997 01:41:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id BAA17995 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Mar 1997 01:39:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703020739.BAA17995@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Mar 1997 01:39:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 326 WTXS31 PGTW 020900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30S (LISETTE) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020600Z8 --- 18.5S4 35.4E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.5S4 35.4E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 18.0S9 34.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 17.9S7 33.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 020900Z1 POSITION 18.4S3 35.2E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 30S (LISETTE) HAS MADE LANDFALL AND CONTINUES TO MOVE INLAND. IT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING OVER LAND AND DISSIPATE OVERLAND WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NEXT WARNING AT 022100Z5 (DTG 021951Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Mar 3 03:21:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102386-20084>; Mon, 3 Mar 1997 03:21:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA174912; Sun, 2 Mar 1997 13:13:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4792163 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Mar 1997 13:13:15 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA264178 for ; Sun, 2 Mar 1997 13:13:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id NAA26095 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Mar 1997 13:11:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703021911.NAA26095@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Mar 1997 13:11:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 028 WTXS31 PGTW 022100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30S (LISETTE) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021800Z1 --- 18.6S5 33.5E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 080 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, SYNOPTIC DATA AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 18.6S5 33.5E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 17.7S5 32.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 022100Z5 POSITION 18.4S3 33.1E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 30S (LISETTE) IS RAPIDLY DISSIPATING OVER MOZAMBIQUE. CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON AN 021540Z2 AFGWC SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND A 020732Z4 SCATTEROMETRY PASS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Mar 3 11:30:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102226-348>; Mon, 3 Mar 1997 11:29:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA104748; Sun, 2 Mar 1997 21:20:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4795301 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Mar 1997 21:20:29 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA87714 for ; Sun, 2 Mar 1997 21:20:28 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA04223 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Mar 1997 21:18:39 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703030318.VAA04223@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Mar 1997 21:18:39 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 470 WTXS21 PGTW 030300 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 030251Z MAR 97// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 090 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9.1S0 173.1E2 TO 11.8S0 175.4E7 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 022330Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 9.5S4 173.4E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CONTINUES DEVELOPING IN THE MONSOON TROUGH TO THE NORTHEAST TO THE NEW HEBRIDES ISLANDS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. CONVECTIVE BANDING HAS BECOME MORE PRONOUNCED, AND SIGNIFICANT CROSS-EQUATORIAL CAN BE OBSERVED IN THE SAME SATELLITE IMAGERY. AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE IS VISIBLE IN ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 040300Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Mar 3 11:58:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102189-348>; Mon, 3 Mar 1997 11:58:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA124388; Sun, 2 Mar 1997 21:37:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4795409 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Mar 1997 21:37:27 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA210744 for ; Sun, 2 Mar 1997 21:37:04 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA54279 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 2 Mar 1997 21:37:04 -0600 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199703030337.AA54279@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Mar 1997 21:37:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -022137 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 92164 ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z/020600Z MAR 97// RMKS/1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 09N9 130E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 09N9 132E. THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION IS INDICATED ON LATEST METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA. MODERATE TO DEEP CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED THROUGHOUT THE LAST 24 HOURS MOSTLY NORTHWEST OF LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. SYSTEM HAS MAINTAINED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, HOWEVER OUTFLOW IS POOR IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS WITH HIGHER WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTHEAST MONSOON, 15 TO 25 KNOTS NORTHWEST OF CENTER. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 09N9 150E6 IS NO LONGER DISCERNIBLE ON THE LATEST METSAT IMAGERY OR SYNOPTIC DATA. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. ALTERNATE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER PEARL HARBOR SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: MURRAY/POINDEXTER.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG07780600659 NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Mar 3 12:57:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102271-348>; Mon, 3 Mar 1997 12:56:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA67684; Sun, 2 Mar 1997 22:49:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4795992 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 2 Mar 1997 22:49:32 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA70288 for ; Sun, 2 Mar 1997 22:49:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id WAA05092 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 2 Mar 1997 22:47:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703030447.WAA05092@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 2 Mar 1997 22:47:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 605 WTPS21 PGTW 030300 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 030251Z MAR 97// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 090 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9.1S0 173.1E2 TO 11.8S0 175.4E7 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 022330Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 9.5S4 173.4E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CONTINUES DEVELOPING IN THE MONSOON TROUGH TO THE NORTHEAST TO THE NEW HEBRIDES ISLANDS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. CONVECTIVE BANDING HAS BECOME MORE PRONOUNCED, AND SIGNIFICANT CROSS-EQUATORIAL LOW-LEVEL FLOW INTO THIS SYSTEM CAN BE OBSERVED IN THE SAME SATELLITE IMAGERY. AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE IS VISIBLE IN ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. 4. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 040300Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Mar 4 14:21:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102348-10001>; Tue, 4 Mar 1997 14:21:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA73346; Tue, 4 Mar 1997 00:15:14 -0600 Message-Id: <199703040615.AAA73346@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Mar 1997 00:09:45 +1800 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 2 Mar 1997 to 3 Mar 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O There are 14 messages totalling 532 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. The politics of tornadoes and SPC 2. NWS in Arkadelphia? 3. Spring meeting of the High Plains Chapter of the AMS/NWA 4. WX-ATLAN list 5. Annoying DiFAX map... 6. SCWI-HAMS: Storm damage report (fwd) 7. FW: AMS and other met conferences 8. NSSL Employees Association Merchandise for sale 9. Atlantic Surface Maps 10. Arkadelphia/Little Rock info... 11. Humidity Calculation 12. NWS lead time 13. Hmmm.... 14. EMWIN -- dumbed down? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 3 Mar 1997 07:21:43 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: The politics of tornadoes and SPC Hello wx-talkers, As you probably have heard, the Storm Prediction Center is facing budget cuts that would eliminate much of it's overnight service. I'm still waiting for final word before I post any information. However... In recent light of the killer tornado outbreak this weekend, AND in the President's home state nonetheless, maybe we have a better chance of seeing their funding restored (Of course, the flooding in KY/TN/OH/MS is no small event either!!!). I can't think of a better example (and no better timing) than this event. As sad and as awful as this event was and is, if it restore's SPC's (and other NWS agencies) funding, maybe it will save many more lives than it took during this past weekend. Comments? Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 3 Mar 1997 10:07:17 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: NWS in Arkadelphia? Anyone have any insight on the weather warning process in Arkansas on Saturday? Looking back at the bulletins, Arkadelphia was warned around 40 minutes in advance of the tornado's arrival. From a chat session on #weather someone stated that the sirens were not sounded until right before the tornado hit. With cells moving at 40-50mph plus, I would guess that no one wanted to sound the sirens until the storm could be seen -- but at that speed it may have been too late. Just curious, as it looked like NWS did a very good job with issuing warnings but I haven't seen any comments pro or con. Rob ////////////////////////////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ Robert P Dale - N8GSK || rdale@norden1.com Meteorologist || rdale@storm.atms.purdue.edu Davidson Crane And Conveyor || dcc@norden1.com InterRAD NIDS Software @ http://www.stratus.weather.net/~rdale/interrad.html NW Ohio Weather Info @ http://wx.home.ml.org Northwest Ohio AMS @ http://nwohams.home.ml.org ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 3 Mar 1997 09:46:24 -0500 From: Matt Gerard Subject: Spring meeting of the High Plains Chapter of the AMS/NWA *********************************************************************** This is an updated meeting announcement for the Spring Meeting of the High Plains Chapter of the AMS/NWA. The update is specifically for a new meeting room location. *********************************************************************** The High Plains Chapter of the American Meteorological Society and National Weather Association wishes to announce its spring quarterly meeting. This meeting is slated to begin at 330 pm CST, Tuesday March 11th, 1997 in Room 301 of Rarick Hall on the campus of Ft. Hays State University in Hays, KS. (Rarick Hall is near the northeast entrance to the campus). We are pleased to have with us at this meeting, Dr. Erik Rasmussen of the National Severe Storms Laboratory in Boulder, CO. Dr. Rasmussen will speak about the latest research and development dealing with the VORTEX project. The chapter business meeting will follow the presentation. Among the orders of business will be the election of chapter officers for the 1996/1997 year. Dinner will begin around 600 pm and will be held in the Trails Room, upstairs in the Memorial Union. The meal will include Chicken Supreme with Ham Divan and Au Gratin Potatoes, choice of green beans with almonds or Corn O'Brian, choice of salad, and dessert. Cost is $11.00 per person. Everyone is cordially invited to attend this meeting and dinner. If you would like to join us for dinner, please RSVP no later than Wednesday March 5th, 1997 to: Matt Gerard c/o National Weather Service 104 Airport Road Dodge City, KS 67801 email: matt.gerard@noaa.gov vmail: 316-225-6746 or 316-225-6514 fax: 316-227-2288 ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 3 Mar 1997 08:53:47 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: WX-ATLAN list Ron Roush wrote me concerning WX-ATLAN... >Chris, please see your attached note indicating I am subscribed... > >However, since this conversion to WX-ATLAN I have not received >a single bulletin. I know there are no storms out there, but don't >they continue those "Discussions" year round? Ron and everyone: By default, when you first subscribe to WX-ATLAN you will only receive Tropical Weather Outlooks. At this time of year, however, the outlooks are not being issued. I decided to OUTLOOK the default topic in order to cut down on trash mailings --sending tons of e-mail to people who will probably just discard it anyway. If you are worried that you are not receiving WX-ATLAN mail or not subscribed to WX-ATLAN, try setting your sub-topics preference to TROPDISC (this huge product is issued several times daily). To make this change send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with the following: set wx-atlan topics: tropdisc (to make TROPDISC your only topic) or set wx-atlan topics: +tropdisc (to add TROPDISC to your topics list) To remove the TROPDISC sub-topic from your profile, send this command: set wx-atlan topics: -tropdisc For a complete list of sub-topics send the following command: sendme wx-atlan.welcome Remember, you must already be subscribed to WX-ATLAN (under the same e-mail address you are currently using) in order to modify the sub-topics. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 3 Mar 1997 10:24:52 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Annoying DiFAX map... Hello folks, Has anyone else noticed that the MRF 72-120 hour surface/1000-500MB thickness prog (DiFAX chart DX285) comes out in two panels now and is sent like, oh, 5 or 6 times each morning? Anyone know what's going on? Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * Got mole problems? Call Avogadro at 6.02 X 10^23. * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 3 Mar 1997 09:48:03 -0600 From: "Jeremy Charles (N9VHT)" Subject: SCWI-HAMS: Storm damage report (fwd) FYI for those who don't have access to this information directly... ---------- Forwarded message ---------- Date: Mon, 3 Mar 1997 08:52:11 -0600 (CST) From: Tom Weeden To: scwi-hams@skywarn.cs.wisc.edu Subject: SCWI-HAMS: Storm damage report >From the AP wire Monday: DETAILS OF TORNADOES THAT STRUCK ARKANSAS ON SATURDAY: KILLED _ AT LEAST 24, IN FOUR COUNTIES. INJURED _ 399, ACCORDING TO THE GOVERNOR'S OFFICE. DAMAGES _ 147 HOUSES DESTROYED, 408 HOUSES DAMAGED, 24 HOUSES FLOODED, NUMEROUS MOBILE HOMES AND APARTMENTS DAMAGED OR DESTROYED, 84 BUSINESSES DAMAGED OR DESTROYED, 18 PUBLIC BUILDINGS DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. THE DAMAGE WAS SPREAD THROUGHOUT 18 COUNTIES: POPE, CONWAY, HEMPSTEAD, NEVADA, PULASKI, CLARK, WHITE, SALINE, LAWRENCE, JACKSON, HOT SPRING, LONOKE, SHARP, CROSS, GREENE, LINCOLN, MISSISSIPPI, AND POINSETT. AREA _ STORMS SWEPT THROUGH THE STATE ALONG A 260-MILE PATH FROM HEMPSTEAD COUNTY IN THE SOUTHWEST TO GREENE COUNTY IN THE STATE'S NORTHEASTERN CORNER. AID _ FEDERAL DISASTER DECLARATIONS AUTHORIZED FOR NINE COUNTIES: HEMPSTEAD, NEVADA, CLARK, SALINE, PULASKI, LONOKE, CROSS, JACKSON AND GREENE. < ELSEWHERE IN STATES AFFECTED BY SATURDAY'S BANDS OF THUNDERSTORMS: MISSISSIPPI _ ONE DEATH CAUSED BY TORNADO. TENNESSEE _ THREE DROWNING DEATHS AND ONE KILLED BY TORNADO. KENTUCKY _ NINE PEOPLE STORM-RELATED DEATHS. FLOODS CAUSED BY UP TO 10.24 INCHES OF RAIN FORCED HUNDREDS OF PEOPLE TO EVACUATE IN LOUISVILLE AND AT LEAST EIGHT OTHER COMMUNITIES. STATE DECLARATION OF EMERGENCY FOR ALL 120 COUNTIES AND AT LEAST 200 NATIONAL GUARDSMEN CALLED TO DUTY. OHIO _ AT LEAST FOUR DEAD IN SOUTHERN COUNTIES FOLLOWING UP TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN. THE 11 PEOPLE MISSING HAVE BEEN ACCOUNTED FOR LATE SUNDAY. HUNDREDS EVACUATED. STATE EMERGENCY DECLARATION FOR 14 COUNTIES. TEXAS _ TWO KILLED IN WINDSTORM. WEST VIRGINIA _ STATE DECLARATION OF EMERGENCY ISSUED FOR 14 COUNTIES, WHERE HUNDREDS HAD LEFT FLOODED HOMES. (COPYRIGHT 1997 BY THE ASSOCIATED PRESS. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.) APNP-03-03-97 0544CST< --Tom Weeden, WJ9H South-Central Wisconsin SKYWARN Net Manager Madison, WI APRS: !4301.38N/08929.95W ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 3 Mar 1997 12:08:06 -0700 From: "Ricketts,Steve [Edm]" Subject: FW: AMS and other met conferences I never saw any replies to this note. I will repeat it one more time... HELP! >---------- >From: Ricketts,Steve [Edm] >Sent: January 1, 1997 5:18 PM >To: 'WX-TALK@PO.UIUC.EDU' >Subject: AMS and other met conferences > >Can anyway suggest a Web site where I can access a list of the upcoming met >conferences sponsored by the AMS, NWS, NWA, AES, and other organizations? > >I know there's a list on the AMS Web site, but they have chosen to put the >info in Acrobat form, which I find very awkward and overkill for this type of >info (i.e. to find out one fact, I have to download the whole shooting >works). > _______ __ >| __| |_.-----.--.--.-----. >|__ | _| -__| | | -__| >|_______|____|_____|\___/|_____| > >+-----------------------------------------------------------------------+ >| Steve Ricketts >| Manager, Northern Alberta Environmental Services Centre >| Environment Canada's Prairie and Northern Region, Edmonton, AB >| Phone (403)951-8788 FAX 495-2615 e-mail: Steve.Ricketts@ec.gc.ca >+-----------------------------------------------------------------------+ > ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 3 Mar 1997 14:37:00 -0600 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: NSSL Employees Association Merchandise for sale Severe Weather Fanatics, The NSSL Employees Association (NEA) regularly sells severe weather photographs and NSSL clothing as part of its fund-raising efforts. Traditionally, we've only been able to sell this merchandise to individuals who visit the NSSL in Norman, Oklahoma, or when we take the merchandise to various special functions (such as the TWC Chaser Conference, the StormTrack annual picnic, or various conferences and open houses). Now this merchandise is available on the World Wide Web (WWW)! Get merchandise now for the 1997 Spring Chase Season! ***************************************************************** * The NSSL Employees Association WWW Severe Weather Photo Store * ***************************************************************** The URL for the NEA Photo Concession Stand is: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/nea/neaphotostand.html ********************************************************** * The NSSL Employees Association WWW NSSL Clothing Store * * * * NSSL SHIRTS...AS SEEN IN THE MOVIE 'TWISTER'!!! * ********************************************************** The URL for the NEA Clothing Concession Stand is: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/nea/neaclothing.html Information on the prices of merchandise is on the WWW page. We can only accept orders placed from the WWW page (check or money order only). Information on the NEA is also available via the first hypertext link on that WWW page. If you have any questions, please contact Greg Stumpf at: gstumpf@rossby.metr.uoknor.edu We hope that this fundraiser is a success for our organization and we hope you all enjoy the merchandise! Greg Stumpf and Paul Janish, NSSL Employees Association DISCLAIMER: The NEA is a non-profit organization not affiliated with NOAA or the U.S. Government. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 3 Mar 1997 14:32:05 -0800 From: cavataio Subject: Atlantic Surface Maps We did not even receive a thickness map this morning. And, while we're on it, we have not been receiving _analyzed_ Atlantic surface maps for some time. Anybody have information on this? Thanks. Vicki Department of Geography San Diego State University ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 3 Mar 1997 16:07:59 -0500 From: Daniel Dix Subject: Arkadelphia/Little Rock info... All: >Date: Mon, 3 Mar 1997 02:00:05 GMT >From: Matthew Biddle >Subject: Arkadelphia >I was just contacted by someone who knows I am a tornadophile and >thinking I was "well-connected" has asked for some information from >Arkadelphia as they have friends there. ............ >If anyone knows of or finds any sites with detailed damage info could you >please post it. With family and friends in the Little Rock area (much like the Ft. Smith tornado of last year which destroyed the very neighborhood I was planning on building a house in) I began to search for info on where damage occurred, etc. I got quite a bit of info from KARK-TV's web page (www.kark.com) where they actually have temporarily put their 'regular' home page as a link to the new main page which is committed to the coverate of the tornadoes of March 1. Another great source is the Arkansas Democrat-Gazette newspaper out of Little Rock but I can't remember their URL, sorry! Another source of info, if not now sometime in the near future, is the LIT (LZK) NWS web page (www.srh.noaa.gov/ftproot/lzk/htm). They had a nice section on the Booneville, Ark. (25 mi SE of Ft. Smith) that occurred on Feb. 20 which caused one fatality. They had several Storm Rel. Vel. images clearly showing the tornado. I am willing to bet the farm that they have a very extensive web link on this storm within the week! Incidentally, kudos to the Little Rock NWS office for the fantastic job of warning and alerting of the public. Though many lives were lost which is nearly inevitable given the degree of severe weather occurring, many MORE lives were saved by the fast-acting folks at Little Rock -- they were on top of the situation at all times! Nice to see/hear positive news on NWS and severe weather warning!!! >Date: Sun, 2 Mar 1997 17:50:52 -0600 >From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" >Subject: More SCH stuff... >We also added new radars to the radar page, including the new Kavouras >images from Iowa, Minnesota and Illinois from KGAN-TV in Cedar >Rapids, IA...as well as WAND-TV's doppler radar from Decatur, >IL, which came online recently. Check it out! You may want to add KARK-TV4s (Little Rock, Ark) link to their doppler radar. It updates every 15 seconds. It did great during the tornado outbreak over the state! Daniel Dix Meteorologist Derby, KS ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 2 Mar 1997 20:04:50 -0700 From: HANK TYLER Subject: Humidity Calculation I would like to know the formulae for calculating relative humidity from wet bulb and dry bulb readings. Since I live in Denver, corrections for atmospheric pressure are important. Can anyone help me? Thanks! Hank Hank Tyler, M.S. Medical Physicist St. Joseph Hospital 1835 Franklin St. Denver CO 80218 tylerh@sjhden.org 303-866-8910 ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 3 Mar 1997 14:54:57 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: NWS lead time Guess the AP heard my question... :::::::::::::: Weather Service Warnings Timely Monday, March 3, 1997 2:19 pm EST WASHINGTON (AP) -- The tornadoes that devastated parts of Arkansas on Saturday struck from 18 to 32 minutes after warnings were issued, the National Weather Service reported. The lead times were a sharp improvement for forecasters who only a decade or so ago weren't able to issue tornado warnings until a twister was actually spotted on the ground. Currently struggling to complete a costly upgrade of its facilities across the country, Weather Service officials were proud of their performance in Saturday's storms. `We have a substantial amount of remote sensing technology and a great increase in science that has allowed us to give this lead time,'' severe storms specialist Bill Alexander said. He explained that new radars installed in the last few years give forecasters a better view of what is happening within a storm. At the same time, Alexander said, researchers have learned more about storms, allowing meteorologists to be better trained in forecasting tornadoes. The Little Rock weather forecast office [oops - R.D.]issued a tornado watch at 11:34 a.m. Saturday, the Weather Service said, indicating conditions existed in which twisters could develop. The first warning, meaning a tornado was imminent, was issued for Clark County at 2:14 p.m., a 32-minute lead time. Saline County got 25 minutes lead time with a warning at 3:05 p.m. For Jackson County the warning came at 3:16 p.m. and the tornado struck 19 minutes later. And Pulaski County had 18 minutes lead time from a 3:31 p.m. warning. Tornadoes also battered parts of northern Mississippi and west Tennessee and the Memphis weather office provides lead times of 10 to 31 minutes, the Weather Service said. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 3 Mar 1997 22:09:48 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Hmmm.... I'm not going to comment on what I think happened, however I'll just show users this bulletin and if anyone knows why a release was not needed -- I'd be happy to find out! ** NOUS42 KWBC 032055 *** SPECIAL NCEP DISCUSSION CENTRAL OPERATIONS / NCEP / NWS / WASHINGTON DC 2320 UTC MON MAR 03 1997 032320Z THIS IS TO NOTIFY THE NASHVILLE TN OFFICE THAT THERE IS NO NEED FOR YOUR 00Z RADIOSONDE RELEASE TONIGHT. WEINBRENNER/SDM/QAP/NCEP ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 3 Mar 1997 22:36:59 EST From: Tim Vasquez <71611.2267@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: EMWIN -- dumbed down? Does anyone here have EMWIN? First, they pulled the AFOS model graphics in December, and now it looks like the SAORCMUS.TXT and SAHOURLY.TXT files have been discontinued. All EMWIN produces is just local forecasts, climatology, and some manual graphics. I am getting ready to put V1.3 of Dig Atm out the door this week, and it looks very unlikely that the planned interfacing with the EMWIN data stream will be practical. Tim Vasquez author, WeatherGraphix Norman, OK Digital Atmosphere 71611.2267@compuserve.com (405) 573-0700 WeatherGraphix/Digital Atmosphere -- http://www.telepath.com/www/tvasquez/ StormTrack Online -- http://www.telepath.com/www/storm/ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 2 Mar 1997 to 3 Mar 1997 ************************************************ From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Mar 3 17:18:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102271-348>; Mon, 3 Mar 1997 17:18:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA43490; Mon, 3 Mar 1997 03:13:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4797384 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Mar 1997 03:13:09 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA93540 for ; Mon, 3 Mar 1997 03:10:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA09291 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Mar 1997 03:09:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703030909.DAA09291@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Mar 1997 03:09:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 083 WTPS31 PGTW 030900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z9 --- 9.9S8 172.5E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.9S8 172.5E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 10.8S9 172.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 11.6S8 173.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 12.5S8 173.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 13.4S8 174.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 14.8S3 175.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 030900Z2 POSITION 10.1S2 172.6E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (TC 31P) HAS FORMED TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE NEW HEBRIDES AND IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 05 KNOTS. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 022233Z SATELLITE SCATTEROMETRY DATA. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 031730Z SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON THE SAME SCATTEROMETRY DATA AS WELL AS CLIMATOLOGY FOR A LARGER THAN AVERAGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE FOR THE FIRST 24 HOURS, THEN INTENSIFY MORE SLOWLY AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASINGLY STRONG WIND SHEAR. TC 31P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING IN A GENERAL SOUTHEASTWARD DIRECTION THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z9 (DTG031351Z3), 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9), 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1), AND 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 030251Z MAR 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 030300Z).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Mar 3 18:04:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102307-348>; Mon, 3 Mar 1997 18:04:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA87588; Mon, 3 Mar 1997 03:52:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4797615 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Mar 1997 03:52:00 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA87764 for ; Mon, 3 Mar 1997 03:51:59 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA94421 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 3 Mar 1997 03:51:57 -0600 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199703030951.AA94421@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Mar 1997 03:51:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -030351 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 59602 ABPW10 PGTW 031000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/031000Z/040600Z MAR 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/030751Z MAR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY NEAR 10N1 130E4 IS NOW NEAR 10N1 129E2. THE AREAL EXTENT OF THIS CONVECTION IN ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY HAS REMAINED THE ABOUT THE SAME DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS SHOW THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS SITUATED AT THE WESTERN END OF THE NEAR-EQUATORIAL TROUGH. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL WIND SHEAR FROM THE SOUTHEAST PERSISTS ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 030600Z9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P WAS LOCATED AT 9.9S8 172.5E5 MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P WARNING NUMBER 01 (WTPS31 PGTW 030900))AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18S9 157E3 REMAINS NEAR THAT LOCATION BUT HAS INCREASED IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AND IS THE REASON FOR THE REISSUANCE OF THIS ADVISORY. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THIS SYSTEM IS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH, AND A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. SATELLITE-DERIVED WATER VAPOR WINDS SHOW THIS SYSTEM HAS GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW TO THE NORTHWEST AND NORTHEAST, BUT HAS UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW RESTRICTED TO THE SOUTH BY AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 996 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR NEAR 9.5S4 173.4E5 IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARAGRAPH A, SECTION 1 AND REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P WARNING NUMBER 01 (WTPS31 PGTW 030900)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: NICKLAS/MEST/UROGI// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Mar 3 22:33:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102427-348>; Mon, 3 Mar 1997 22:33:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA34368; Mon, 3 Mar 1997 08:24:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4799027 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Mar 1997 08:24:17 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA54232 for ; Mon, 3 Mar 1997 08:24:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA12021 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Mar 1997 08:22:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703031422.IAA12021@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Mar 1997 08:22:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 673 WTPS31 PGTW 031500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- 9.6S5 173.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.6S5 173.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 9.8S7 173.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 10.2S3 174.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 10.9S0 174.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 11.7S9 175.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 13.4S8 176.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 031500Z9 POSITION 9.6S5 173.3E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (TC 31P) IS ESSENTIALLY QUASI- STATIONARY NORTHEAST OF THE NEW HEBRIDES. SYSTEM ORGANIZATION HAS IMPROVED OVER THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS. CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON A DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS (DVORAK T2.0) AS WELL AS A 022233Z2 SCATTEROMETRY PASS SHOWING 35 KNOTS ON THE EQUATORWARD SIDE TC 31P. WE EXPECT TC 13P TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TC 31P IS FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARDS THE EAST-SOUTHEAST AND THEN SOUTHEASTWARD ON A CLIMATOLOGICAL TRACK. ALTHOUGH OUR PRIMARY DYNAMCAL GUIDANCE IS HAVING DIFFICULTY HANDLING THIS SYSTEM, OUR SECONDARY DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE AS WELL AS ALL STATISTICAL AND CLIMATOLOGICAL AIDS AGREE WITH A SOUTHEASTWARD TO SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD FORECAST TRACK. NONE OF OUR GUIDANCE SUGGESTS ANY COMPONENT OF WESTWARD MOTION AT THIS TIME. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A LARGER THAN AVERAGE SIZE TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z6 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z6 (DTG 031751Z7) AND 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Mar 4 04:15:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102375-348>; Tue, 4 Mar 1997 04:15:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA104304; Mon, 3 Mar 1997 13:52:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4800446 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Mar 1997 13:50:08 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA257682 for ; Mon, 3 Mar 1997 13:35:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id NAA21598 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Mar 1997 13:33:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703031933.NAA21598@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Mar 1997 13:33:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 329 WTPS31 PGTW 032100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z2 --- 9.6S5 173.5E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.6S5 173.5E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 9.8S7 174.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 10.3S4 174.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 11.0S2 174.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 11.9S1 175.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 14.1S6 176.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 032100Z6 POSITION 9.6S5 173.6E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (TC 31P) REMAINS QUASISTATIONARY NORTHEAST OF THE NEW HEBRIDES AS IT CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. THIS TREND IS EVIDENT IN THE 031730Z4 SATELLITE INTENSITY ANALYSIS (DVORAK T2.5, UP FROM THE T2.0 FROM 031130Z8). CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON THIS LATEST SATELLITE ANALYSIS. TC 31P IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY TO THE EAST EARLY IN THE FORECAST PERIOD AND THEN TURN TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. THIS FORECASTED TRACK MIRRORS CLIMATOLOGY AND IS ALSO CONSISTENT WITH OUR SECONDARY DYNAMIC GUIDANCE. NONE OF OUR GUIDANCE (DYNAMICAL, STATISTICAL, OR CLIMATOLOGICAL) INDICATES A WESTWARD COMPONENT OF MOTION OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A LARGER THAN AVERAGE SIZED TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z2 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1) AND 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Mar 4 10:14:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103578-10001>; Tue, 4 Mar 1997 10:13:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA24006; Mon, 3 Mar 1997 20:01:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4805858 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Mar 1997 20:00:52 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA110720 for ; Mon, 3 Mar 1997 20:00:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id TAA00273 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 3 Mar 1997 19:59:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703040159.TAA00273@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Mar 1997 19:59:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 373 WTPS31 PGTW 040300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNING NR 004 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- 9.9S8 173.4E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 9.9S8 173.4E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 10.3S4 173.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 11.0S2 174.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 11.6S8 174.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 12.4S7 175.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 14.0S5 176.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 040300Z7 POSITION 10.0S1 173.5E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THIS WARNING IS RELOCATED BASED ON 032330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF SATELLITE-DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATES USING 032300Z AND 032330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. GAVIN IS STILL FORECAST TO REMAIN IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT. LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES SHOULD ALLOW TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. STEERING FLOW BETWEEN AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST AND AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TO THE SOUTHWEST SHOULD KEEP GAVIN MOVING GENERALLY SOUTHEASTWARD IN AGREEMENT WITH ALL OF OUR FORECAST GUIDANCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7), 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4), 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0) AND 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Mar 4 14:14:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102316-10001>; Tue, 4 Mar 1997 14:14:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA52096; Mon, 3 Mar 1997 23:51:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4808270 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 3 Mar 1997 23:51:21 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA133742 for ; Mon, 3 Mar 1997 23:49:32 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA47610 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 3 Mar 1997 23:49:31 -0600 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199703040549.AA47610@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 3 Mar 1997 23:49:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -032349 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 9719 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600Z MAR 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/040151Z MAR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY NEAR 10N1 129E2 IS NOW NEAR 9N9 128E1. THE AREAL EXTENT OF THIS CONVECTION IN ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY HAS REMAINED THE ABOUT THE SAME DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS SHOW THIS AREA OF CONVECTION REMAINS SITUATED AT THE WESTERN END OF THE NEAR-EQUATORIAL TROUGH. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS PRESENT ABOVE THIS SYSTEM, BUT SURFACE TO 200 MB VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE SOUTHEAST CONTINUES IN THE RANGE OF 30 TO 40 KNOTS NEAR THIS SYSTEM AS WELL. PROXIMITY TO THE ISLAND OF MINDANAO SHOULD INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 040000Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WAS LOCATED AT 9.9S8 173.4E5 MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P WARNING NUMBER 04 RELOCATED (WTPS31 PGTW 040300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18S9 157E3 IS NOW NEAR 16S7 154E0. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE THIS SYSTEM HAS NOT YET DEVELOPED A WELL-ORGANIZED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER COLLOCATED WITH DEEP CONVECTION. THIS SYSTEM IS STILL SITUATED IN AN EAST-WEST SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TROUGH. AT LEAST TWO WEAK EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTERS HAVE BEEN OBSERVED MOVING WESTWARD ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM. THE SAME TWO DATA SOURCES SHOW STRONG SURFACE WESTERLY WINDS ARE FEEDING INTO THE NORTH SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM AT LOW LEVELS. DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS DEEP CONVECTION HAS REMAINED ABOUT THE SAME IN AREAL COVERAGE AND HAS NOT CONCENTRATED NEAR THE CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO HAVE GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW TO THE NORTH, BUT HAS UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW CURRENTLY RESTRICTED ON ITS SOUTH SIDE BY AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH PASSING BY FROM WEST TO EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 996 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/DOBBINS// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Mar 5 14:11:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102176-22437>; Wed, 5 Mar 1997 14:11:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA226908; Wed, 5 Mar 1997 00:09:39 -0600 Message-Id: <199703050609.AAA226908@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Mar 1997 00:03:49 +1800 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 3 Mar 1997 to 4 Mar 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 11 messages totalling 307 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Arkadelphia 2. EMWIN -- dumbed down? (2) 3. Arkadelphia: F4 (2) 4. Hmmm.... (BNA 'sonde cancelled) 5. WX-TALK Digest - 2 Mar 1997 to 3 Mar 1997 6. Hurrican hose papers 7. EMWIN purpose... 8. weather 9. Atlantic Surface Maps +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 4 Mar 1997 00:35:33 -0600 From: "Swoop : \"Matt H.\"" Subject: Re: Arkadelphia > Another great source is the Arkansas Democrat-Gazette newspaper out of >Little Rock but I can't remember their URL, sorry! I believe there are a few API pictures out there floating around; surf and you should be able to find it. I'm sure FEMA might have something on their website by now; I'll check later. Matt H ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 4 Mar 1997 08:17:38 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: EMWIN -- dumbed down? At 10:36 PM 3/3/97 EST, Tim wrote: >Does anyone here have EMWIN? First, they pulled the AFOS model graphics in >December, and now it looks like the SAORCMUS.TXT and SAHOURLY.TXT files >have been discontinued. All EMWIN produces is just local forecasts, >climatology, and some manual graphics. I think they ran into the 1200baud bandwidth trouble... EMWIN's purpose is for warning dissemination, they added the other products not being aware they would run into problems with getting important products out with little delay. According to the newsletter (http://www.weathernode.com) they may be increasing the baud rate later this year, but until then, the primary goal is going to be getting bulletins out at once -- which I think it should be. Rob ////////////////////////////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ Robert P Dale - N8GSK || rdale@norden1.com Meteorologist || rdale@storm.atms.purdue.edu Davidson Crane And Conveyor || dcc@norden1.com InterRAD NIDS Software @ http://www.stratus.weather.net/~rdale/interrad.html NW Ohio Weather Info @ http://wx.home.ml.org Northwest Ohio AMS @ http://nwohams.home.ml.org ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 4 Mar 1997 08:13:43 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Arkadelphia: F4 FYI, crossed the wires last evening. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * Got mole problems? Call Avogadro at 6.02 X 10^23. * ******************************************************************************* PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 430 PM CST MON MAR 3 1997 ...PRELIMINARY STORM TRACK INFORMATION... A PARTIAL EVALUATION OF THE STORM TRACK FROM SATURDAY'S KILLER TORNADO WAS COMPLETED THIS AFTERNOON. THE PORTION OF THE TRACK EVALUATED WAS FROM CLARK COUNTY THROUGH HOT SPRING COUNTY, SALINE COUNTY AND A PORTION OF PULASKI COUNTY. THE TORNADO PATH BEGAN SOUTHWEST OF CLARK COUNTY WITH MAJOR DAMAGE AND LOSS OF LIFE AT ARKADELPHIA. THROUGH CLARK COUNTY IT SHOWED A DAMAGE PATH WIDTH OF .25 TO .6 MILES. THROUGH THE CENTER OF THE PATH WAS PERIODIC DAMAGE IN THE F4 CATEGORY (207-260 MPH) ABOUT .2 MILES WIDE. OUTER EDGES OF THE TRACK SHOWED MINIMUM F2 DAMAGE (113-157 MPH) THE TRACK CONTINUED TO EXHIBIT THE SAME CHARACTERISTIC THROUGH HOT SPRING COUNTY AND MUCH OF SALINE COUNTY. AS THE TORNADO APPROACHED SHANNON HILLS IN EASTERN SALINE COUNTY, THE STORM EXPANDED TO .8 MILES WIDE AND BECAME F4 INTENSITY ACROSS ITS ENTIRE WIDTH AS IT MOVED ACROSS THE SHANNON HILLS AREA IN INTO PULASKI COUNTY. THE SURVEY WAS CONCLUDED AT DIXON ROAD AND ARCH STREET PIKE WHERE THE TORNADO DAMAGE SHOWED F4 INTENSITY ACROSS THE ENTIRE .8 MILE WIDTH. JUST SOUTH OF THE MAIN TRACK NEAR SHANNON HILLS, THERE IS ANOTHER TRACK WHICH WAS APPROX .2 MILES WIDE AND F1 INTENSITY ( 73-112 MPH), POTENTIALLY REACHING F2 (113-157 MPH) AS IT DAMAGED HIGH VOLTAGE TOWERS IN THE AREA. THE DAMAGE PATTERN THROUGH THE ARCH STREET PIKE AREA SUGGESTS THE LARGE TORNADO BEGAN TO WEAKEN AND THE TORNADO ON THE SOUTHERN FLANK INCREASED IN INTENSITY TO BECOME THE LARGE F4 KILLER STORM. TOTAL SURVEYED PATH LENGTH WAS 80 MILES, AND THAT PATH IS PRESUMED TO BE CONTINUOUS, UNTIL LATER AREAL SURVEYS CAN BE COMPLETED. THIS REPORT WAS COMPILED BY ALLEN LEE, RENEE FAIR AND JOHN LEWIS. PLEASE LOOK AT THE PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT FROM SHREVEPORT FOR THE INFORMATION ON THE HEMPSTEAD AND NEVADA COUNTY PORTIONS OF THIS TORNADO. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 4 Mar 1997 09:26:59 -0600 From: Peter Laws Subject: Re: EMWIN -- dumbed down? On Tue, 4 Mar 1997, Robert P Dale wrote: > At 10:36 PM 3/3/97 EST, Tim wrote: > >have been discontinued. All EMWIN produces is just local forecasts, > >climatology, and some manual graphics. > I think they ran into the 1200baud bandwidth trouble... EMWIN's purpose is > for warning dissemination, they added the other products not being aware Remember that the intended audience is Emergency Management (the EM in EMWIN). There is an article in this month's QST (a ham radio journal) about EMWIN and they mention that EMWIN "transmits 34 MB of information a day"!! Given that restriction, it's easy to see why they concentrate on watches/warnings! -- Peter Laws / plaws@wildstar.net / N5UWY ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 4 Mar 1997 10:01:04 -0800 From: lon curtis Subject: Hmmm.... (BNA 'sonde cancelled) I would bet (although I have no direct knowledge of the facts) that BNA launched a 'second' sometime during the severe weather outbreak over the weekend and this is NCEPs way of 'adjusting' .... (?) Anyone know for sure? Lon Curtis Belton, TX ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 4 Mar 1997 10:26:14 -0600 From: Peter Laws Subject: Re: Arkadelphia: F4 Is that damage track report for just one tornado, for one cell or the whole system? A friend who's parents live near the affected area has heard (what's that? fifth hand? :-) that "it was so wide, no one thought it could be a tornado". The video clip I saw certainly could have caused that reaction. -- Peter Laws / plaws@wildstar.net / N5UWY ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 4 Mar 1997 20:31:40 +0000 From: Howard Altschule Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 2 Mar 1997 to 3 Mar 1997 Hi, Vicki wrote: >We did not even receive a thickness map this morning. > >And, while we're on it, we have not been receiving _analyzed_ Atlantic >surface maps for some time. Anybody have information on this? > >Thanks. >Vicki >Department of Geography >San Diego State University ....I believe I read a message from NCEP stating the "analyzed" Atlantic Ocean surface charts was one of the products being discontinued due to budget cuts. This may hold true for the Pacific as well. With best regards, Howie Altschule Meteorologist, NY/NJ E-mail Address: HAltschule@worldnet.att.net ********* ******* ***** "Toto, We're about to get our butt's whoooped!!".... (The Wizard) *** ! ** !!!!!!!!!!!!!! * ! O O O! ----------!------------!------------------------------------------ "Success is a journey not a destination, and the road to success is always under construction!!" ....a wise man ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 4 Mar 1997 20:46:17 -0800 From: Stephen Hodanish Subject: Hurrican hose papers To those Wx-talkers and hurricane enthusiast (sp) who like to read about hurricane hoses, (tornadoes spawned by tropical cyclones), we (NWS MLB) have just put our AMS hurricane conference papers on the web: http://sunmlb.nws.fit.edu/trop97sjh.html http://sunmlb.nws.fit.edu/trop97sms.html http://sunmlb.nws.fit.edu/trop97dws.html I do apologize in advance that our server is extremely slow. Please be patient. Enjoy! Stephen Hodanish NWS/MLB steve.hodanish@noaa.gov ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 4 Mar 1997 11:32:36 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: EMWIN purpose... This is from the Wireless data news, February 25th 1997... http://www.weathernode.com/html/feedback.htm * This System is an Emergency Management Tool * This system is primarly for high priority data such as Tornado, Severe Thunderstorm, Flash Flood, Flood, Winter Storm, Specials, Earthquake, Tsunami, Hurricane, and similar emergency data. Routine data and graphics are sent only as bandwidth is available. This means that during periods of severe weather nationwide, this system may preempt routine local data products. This will change when data speeds are increased later on and as local areas add retransmission capabities for local broadcasts. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 4 Mar 1997 14:53:34 GMT From: Matthew Biddle Subject: Re: weather i82much86@aol.com (I82much 86) wrote: >is it going to rain in mass today? %? NO but it will rain en masse especially in parts of the Southeast. ********* * * * * * * * * * * ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 4 Mar 1997 14:17:12 -0500 From: Kensey Matt Subject: Re: Atlantic Surface Maps I'm not 100% sure, but that may have been an NWS budget cut.... matt __________________________________________________________ Matt Kensey AWIPS Meteorologist E-mail: kensey_matt@prc.com >---------- >From: cavataio[SMTP:cavataio@ROHAN.SDSU.EDU] >Sent: Monday, 03 March, 1997 5:32 PM >To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK >Subject: Atlantic Surface Maps > >We did not even receive a thickness map this morning. > >And, while we're on it, we have not been receiving _analyzed_ Atlantic >surface maps for some time. Anybody have information on this? > >Thanks. >Vicki >Department of Geography >San Diego State University > > ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 3 Mar 1997 to 4 Mar 1997 ************************************************ From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Mar 4 16:42:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102392-10001>; Tue, 4 Mar 1997 16:42:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA43502; Tue, 4 Mar 1997 02:37:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4809306 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Mar 1997 02:37:16 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA234966 for ; Tue, 4 Mar 1997 02:37:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA04943 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Mar 1997 02:35:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703040835.CAA04943@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Mar 1997 02:35:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 070 WTPS31 PGTW 040900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- 9.9S8 173.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 9.9S8 173.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 10.3S4 174.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 10.9S0 175.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 11.5S7 175.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 12.3S6 176.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 13.6S0 177.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 040900Z3 POSITION 10.0S1 174.1E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 040530Z VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A LARGER THAN AVERAGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. GAVIN IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY MORE SLOWLY THAN FORECASTED EARLIER DUE TO STRONGER THAN ANTICIPATED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GAVIN IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE SOUTH INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4), 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0), 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2) AND 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Mar 4 23:06:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102537-10001>; Tue, 4 Mar 1997 23:06:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA76616; Tue, 4 Mar 1997 08:51:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4811662 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Mar 1997 08:50:00 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA252374 for ; Tue, 4 Mar 1997 08:49:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA10675 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Mar 1997 08:47:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703041447.IAA10675@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Mar 1997 08:47:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 273 WTPS31 PGTW 041500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- 9.9S8 174.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 100 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 9.9S8 174.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 10.2S3 176.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 11.2S4 177.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 12.6S9 177.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 14.0S5 177.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 16.6S3 176.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 041500Z0 POSITION 10.0S1 175.2E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. IT HAS CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. OUR WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED DIRECTLY ON ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS AS OF 04/1130Z WHICH INDICATED 55 KNOT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS (DVORAK T3.5). POSITION AT WARNING TIME IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF ENHANCED INFRARED AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGER (SSM/I) DATA. OUR ANALYSIS OF THE WIND RADII OF THIS SYSTEM HAS CHANGED SIGNIFICANTLY DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS DUE TO RECENT SSM/I DATA. THE SYSTEM HAS NOT YET BECOME MATURE ENOUGH FOR 35 KNOT WINDS TO BE RELIABLE ON SSM/I, BUT AN ACCURATE 30 KNOT WIND STRUCTURE WAS ANALYZED WHICH HAD MINIMAL RAIN CONTAMINATION, AND OUR 35 KNOT RADII IS INFERRED FROM THE 30 KNOT STRUCTURE. NO RECENT SCATTEROMETRY WAS AVAILABLE ON THIS SYSTEM. TC 31P IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE AND SLOWLY TURN TOWARD THE SOUTH THEN SOUTHWEST TOWARD A BREAK IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z7 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0), 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2), 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8) AND 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Mar 5 04:07:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102468-10001>; Wed, 5 Mar 1997 04:07:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA257572; Tue, 4 Mar 1997 13:58:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4812861 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Mar 1997 13:54:52 +1800 Received: from dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.43]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA182074 for ; Tue, 4 Mar 1997 13:50:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA25767 for ; Tue, 4 Mar 1997 13:49:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id NAA20018 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Mar 1997 13:48:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703041948.NAA20018@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Mar 1997 13:48:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 838 WTPS31 PGTW 042100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041800Z3 --- 9.9S8 175.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 9.9S8 175.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 10.4S5 176.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 11.4S6 177.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 12.8S1 178.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 14.2S7 177.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 17.1S9 177.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 042100Z7 POSITION 10.0S1 175.8E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) CONTINUES TO MOVE EASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. IT HAS INTENSIFIED DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. OUR WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS INDICATING MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 55 AND 65 KNOTS (DVORAK T3.5, NEARING A DVORAK T4.0 AT WARNING TIME). OTHER THAN THE CONTINUED INCREASE IN INTENSITY THERE IS VERY LITTLE CHANGE FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. WE EXPECT TC 31P TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING AND TURN TOWARD A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z3 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2), 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8), 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5) AND 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Mar 5 10:52:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102271-22437>; Wed, 5 Mar 1997 10:52:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA223410; Tue, 4 Mar 1997 20:43:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4817184 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Mar 1997 20:43:01 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA99622 for ; Tue, 4 Mar 1997 20:42:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA00202 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 4 Mar 1997 20:40:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703050240.UAA00202@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Mar 1997 20:40:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 396 WTPS31 PGTW 050300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- 9.7S6 176.6E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 9.7S6 176.6E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 10.2S3 178.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 11.1S3 178.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 12.3S6 179.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 13.9S3 179.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 17.1S9 179.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 050300Z8 POSITION 9.8S7 177.0E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 042330Z SATELLITE IMAGERY. GAVIN HAS RECENTLY DEVELOPED AN EYE AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS, THEN MAINTAIN ABOUT THE SAME INTENSITY AS VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BEGINS TO INCREASE. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE SOUTH AS IT ENCOUNTERS FLOW AROUND A BUILDING SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8), 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5), 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1) AND 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Mar 5 14:11:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102296-22437>; Wed, 5 Mar 1997 14:11:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA104238; Tue, 4 Mar 1997 23:56:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4820420 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 4 Mar 1997 23:56:29 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA146100 for ; Tue, 4 Mar 1997 23:56:22 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA53077 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 4 Mar 1997 23:56:21 -0600 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199703050556.AA53077@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 4 Mar 1997 23:56:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -042356 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 66898 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600Z MAR 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/050151Z MAR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) A WEAK AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 5N5 175E3. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EXISTS IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS AREA. 200B RAWINSONDE DATA INDICATES ABOUT 20 TO 30 KNOTS OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS PRESENT ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 10N1 113E5. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PRESENT WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. UPPER-LEVEL RAWINSONDE DATA SHOW THIS AREA IS LOCATED NEAR THE AXIS OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1012 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY NEAR 9N9 128E1 IS NOW NEAR 9N9 127E0. THIS SYSTEM HAS NOT CHANGED MUCH IN SIZE OR BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS CONTINUE TO SHOW THIS AREA OF CONVECTION REMAINS SITUATED AT THE WESTERN END OF THE NEAR- EQUATORIAL TROUGH. THIS SYSTEM IS APPROACHING THE ISLAND OF MINDANAO WHICH SHOULD ENCOURAGE DISSIPATION OF THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 050000Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WAS LOCATED AT 9.7S6 176.6E0 MOVING EASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P WARNING NUMBER 08 (WTPS31 PGTW 050300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16S7 154E0 IS NOW NEAR 16S7 155E0. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE THIS SYSTEM IS STILL CONSOLIDATING. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS STILL SITUATED IN AN ELONGATED SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA. THIS SYSTEM APPEARS TO HAVE BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS WITH DEEP CONVECTION CONCENTRATING A LITTLE MORE TOWARD THE CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS SYSTEM HAS IMPROVED UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW TO THE NORTH DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. HOWEVER, UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS RESTRICTED TO THE SOUTH BY AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 996 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/DOBBINS// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Mar 6 14:24:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102419-752>; Thu, 6 Mar 1997 14:23:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA24010; Thu, 6 Mar 1997 00:17:13 -0600 Message-Id: <199703060617.AAA24010@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Mar 1997 00:11:17 +1800 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 4 Mar 1997 to 5 Mar 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 11 messages totalling 403 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Ohio Severe Weather Symposium 2. The Arkansas tornadoes.... 3. NWS in Arkadelphia? (3) 4. SPC budget battle strategy 5. Hmmm.... (BNA 'sonde cancelled) 6. WX-TALK Digest - 13 Jan 1997 to 14 Jan 1997 7. WX-TALK Digest - 2 Mar 1997 to 3 Mar 1997 8. cloud charts 9. Congrats, everyone! +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 4 Mar 1997 15:27:28 -0500 From: Shawn Trueman Subject: Ohio Severe Weather Symposium The Atmospheric Sciences Program and the Meteorology Club at The Ohio State University invite you to attend the 1st Annual Ohio Severe Weather Symposium to be held on April 11, 1997 from 9 a.m. to 4 p.m. at the Ohio Union on the campus of The Ohio State University in Columbus. The focus of the symposium is to gather meteorologists and weather forecasters from across the state to discuss the different facets of severe weather across Ohio and to examine the impacts of severe weather on the residents of Ohio. There is no charge to attend the symposium itself, but there is a $4.00 charge for parking. For more information, including a schedule of speakers, please contact Jeff Dobur at dobur.1@osu.edu or Brad Panovich at panovich.1@osu.edu. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 4 Mar 1997 23:05:54 +0500 From: "Powell E. Way III" Subject: The Arkansas tornadoes.... I was talking to Brady Smith, the weekend Met at WIS-TV and were discussing the Arkadelphia tornadoes. He said one of the survivors ON TV said..."Well, we heard the sirens and ignored them as we didn't think it would hit US.." UM DUH! We can't go house to house and force people to seek shelter, and then when people get killed they say " They had no warning" blah ...blah! And this repeats over and over again! Powell --------------------------------------------- powell@scsn.net powell@zygot.ati.com http://www.scsn.net/users/powell/index.htm --------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 4 Mar 1997 22:50:24 -0600 From: Chuck Doswell Subject: Re: NWS in Arkadelphia? In article <331CCDF7.3F7@onramp.net>, jbarnett@onramp.net wrote: > I was in Arkadelphia when the tornado hit. In fact I was in a house > which was about 100 yards from the main core damage path. > > We were watching a TV program off of cable when the Arkansas map showing > the watch and warning areas. When Clark county was colored red > indicating a tornado warning we switched over to the Weather Channel > which was broadcasting the tornado warning for Clark county. This > occurred about 2:15 PM Saturday. The warning had not shown a time of > arrival for Arkadelphia at that time. Is it necessary that every warning carry an estimated time of arrival for every possibly-affected town? I am not being sarcastic here ... is that something that needs to be considered? > I went outside to view the > weather conditions. Going outside to seek confirmation of the threat is a well-known response to NWs warnings ... it generally is associated with folks who have NOT experienced a tornado ... by far the majority of the population, of course. > (By the way I am SKYWARN trained in Dallas County > and I had been to the annual SKYWARN school the previous Saturday in > Garland Texas). So you were there when I was talking about people accepting responsibility for their OWN safety, right. In view of what follows, forgive me if I find this ironic: > ... stuff deleted... I went back inside and called my son who > was in the dorm at Ouachita Baptist University to take cover in the > hallway away from any glass. This he did and tried to warn others who > did not take him seriously. My wife, my hosts, and I went down into > their basement and took cover into one of their closets which is buried > in the soil. Presumably these folks had not heard any warnings? Or did they hear them and consider your son simply to be unduly concerned? > I believe the NWS did get out an early enough warning however since > there wasn't in place any kind of real spotter program, RACES, or people > awareness I believe a lot more lives could have been saved. I had > personally trained my son what to do last summer when he expressed some > concerns about tornado safety after watching the moview "Twister". As I tried to say at Garland, this is the MOST important part of any program. If the NWS does its watches and warnings right, it is STILL necessary for the citizens to accept their share of the responsibility, or people will die needlessly. Chuck Doswell -- ================================================================= Chuck Doswell e-mail: cdoswell@telepath.com (Chuck Doswell) Homepage: http://www.wildstar.net/~doswell Never criticize a man 'til you've walked a mile in his shoes. That way, when you do, you're a mile away and you have his shoes. ================================================================= ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 5 Mar 1997 07:20:56 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: SPC budget battle strategy RE: Amos Magliocco's excellent idea and message... The Arkansas Democrat-Gazette's e-mail address is news@arkdemgaz.com More importantly, a page showing the names and phone numbers of all their bureaus and editors, along with a mailing address for letters, is at: http://ardemgaz.com/info/info.htm This is our best opportunity to lobby for SPC...and with Arkansas about to go under another watch and LI's and heavy rains dropping, we need to keep the pressure cooker on high!!! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 4 Mar 1997 13:55:15 -0600 From: Ben Geerdes Subject: Re: Hmmm.... (BNA 'sonde cancelled) lon curtis wrote: > > I would bet (although I have no direct knowledge of the facts) that BNA > launched a 'second' sometime during the severe weather outbreak over the > weekend and this is NCEPs way of 'adjusting' .... (?) Anyone know for > sure? > > Lon Curtis > Belton, TX I figured BNA failed on thier first try and, according to new rules, had to contact NCEP to see if they needed to try another one. NCEP decided it was not 'of importance' to the current weather. Ben Geerdes ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 5 Mar 1997 08:00:22 CST From: "Stephen J. Mahler" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 13 Jan 1997 to 14 Jan 1997 Good Day! I have noticed that "American Weather Concepts" (www.weatherconcepts.com) has the city of Lafayette Louisiana in the wrong place. And, its not just a little off. They located the city in the Gulf of Mexico (in a place called Vermilion Bay), more than 30 miles south of the true location. I have contacted AWC previously (months ago) and they say nothing can be done about the problem. Just a warning in case your considering using the service to see weather relative to known locations (like cities). Is your favorite city where it should be on AWC maps?? ...Steve ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 4 Mar 1997 15:32:52 -0500 From: Josh Nichols Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 2 Mar 1997 to 3 Mar 1997 > >Date: Sun, 2 Mar 1997 20:04:50 -0700 >From: HANK TYLER >Subject: Humidity Calculation > >I would like to know the formulae for calculating relative humidity >from wet bulb and dry bulb readings. Since I live in Denver, >corrections for atmospheric pressure are important. Can anyone help >me? Thanks! > Hi Hank, I have a small booklet called "Psychrometric Tables for Obtaining the Vapor Pressure, Relative Humidity, and Temperature of the Dew Point from Reading of the Wet-and Dry-Bulb Thermometer" (Creative name huh???) Anyway, this book was published in 1941 by C.F. Marvin when the chief of the NWS was F.W. Reichelderfer...In any case, this has every table imagineable to calc. dew point and relative humidity as each table has a different average pressure scale in which you can figure your readings based on your dry and wb... If you're interested in the book, I suggest you contact Robert E. White Instruments in Boston located on Commercial Wharf. They had some copies last I knew... Hope this helps! Josh Josh Nichols Easton, MA weather observer Email: nicholsj@joker.lsc.vsc.edu or weatherjosh@compuserve.com http://www.geocities.com/CapeCanaveral/6738 Lyndon State College Freshman '96-'97 Meteorology Major "Joshwxman" on Undernet's #weather channel "The realities of tomorrow begin with the dreams of today"-OAHS Class of '96 Motto ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 5 Mar 1997 17:21:00 EST From: "Maneikis, Steven" Subject: cloud charts Does anyone know where I could get/order cloud identification charts? I'm teaching an Intro to Meteorology class this summer and would like them for a class project that I have in mind. Any help would be appreciated. Steve Maneikis maneikiss@nima.mil Valparaiso University alumnus (We're goin' to the NCAA Tourney!) ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 5 Mar 1997 15:32:18 -0600 From: "John Barnett, Jr." Subject: Re: NWS in Arkadelphia? Chuck Doswell wrote: The warning had not shown a time of > > arrival for Arkadelphia at that time. > > Is it necessary that every warning carry an estimated time of arrival for > every possibly-affected town? I am not being sarcastic here ... is that > something that needs to be considered? By the way I was the fellow who sat across from you at Razzoos after the class. What I was saying was that other cities in the path of the storm with their respective time of arrivals were listed but that Arkadelphia hadn't been added to the list at that time. > > > I went outside to view the > > weather conditions. > > Going outside to seek confirmation of the threat is a well-known response > to NWs warnings ... it generally is associated with folks who have NOT > experienced a tornado ... by far the majority of the population, of > course. > Since Arkadelphia hadn't yet appeared in the list I felt it was safe to take a look and assess the situation. I knew that I wasn't going to jump into my car and take a position somewhere because I wasn't familiar with the area and I wanted to make sure my family was taken care of. The safety of my family and friends were the most important at the time. > > So you were there when I was talking about people accepting responsibility > for their OWN safety, right. In view of what follows, forgive me if I > find this ironic: > > > ... stuff deleted... I went back inside and called my son who > > was in the dorm at Ouachita Baptist University to take cover in the > > hallway away from any glass. This he did and tried to warn others who > > did not take him seriously. My wife, my hosts, and I went down into > > their basement and took cover into one of their closets which is buried > > in the soil. > > Presumably these folks had not heard any warnings? Or did they hear them > and consider your son simply to be unduly concerned? My son heard the first siren. I wanted to make sure that he had and that he had taken the right action for his safety. What he told me was that the other students in the dorm were not concern for their safety. I take that to be the lack of responsibility for the warnings on their part. I believe that my son took the appropriate action for himself. If you read the news reports, the emergency coordinator for Clark County was in his vehicle which was thrown against something before he finally called in to have the second warning sent out. I am not sure how many people responded to the warning. I suspect that will come out of the various interviews with the media. I do appreciate your comments both in this response and at the Garland SKYWARN class. > > I believe the NWS did get out an early enough warning however since > > there wasn't in place any kind of real spotter program, RACES, or people > > awareness I believe a lot more lives could have been saved. I had > > personally trained my son what to do last summer when he expressed some > > concerns about tornado safety after watching the moview "Twister". > > As I tried to say at Garland, this is the MOST important part of any > program. If the NWS does its watches and warnings right, it is STILL > necessary for the citizens to accept their share of the responsibility, or > people will die needlessly. > > Chuck Doswell > > -- > ================================================================= > Chuck Doswell e-mail: cdoswell@telepath.com (Chuck Doswell) > Homepage: http://www.wildstar.net/~doswell > > Never criticize a man 'til you've walked a mile in his shoes. > That way, when you do, you're a mile away and you have his shoes. > ================================================================= -- John Barnett K5GYU Wireless Communication Systems E- Mail address:<"mailto:jbarnett@onramp.net"> My Home Page: <"http://rampages.onramp.net/~jbarnett"> ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 5 Mar 1997 14:44:18 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: NWS in Arkadelphia? At 10:50 PM 3/4/97 -0600, Chuck wrote: >Is it necessary that every warning carry an estimated time of arrival for >every possibly-affected town? I am not being sarcastic here ... is that >something that needs to be considered? I don't believe so, however some offices put this in religiously (down to the minute, i.e. "3:07PM in XXville." >> I believe the NWS did get out an early enough warning however since >> there wasn't in place any kind of real spotter program, RACES, or people >> awareness I believe a lot more lives could have been saved. I had >> personally trained my son what to do last summer when he expressed some >> concerns about tornado safety after watching the moview "Twister". > >As I tried to say at Garland, this is the MOST important part of any >program. If the NWS does its watches and warnings right, it is STILL >necessary for the citizens to accept their share of the responsibility, or >people will die needlessly. Agreed and I don't see how having a better Skywarn / RACES program would have saved additional lives. Once the warning is issued and sirens are sounded, Skywarn's job has been completed in that county. In this case it appears a combination of F4 destruction plus citizen apathy combined to cause a large loss of life. I can't see how having Skywarn spotters out in the field would have caused citizens to react any differently... Rob ////////////////////////////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ Robert P Dale - N8GSK || rdale@norden1.com Meteorologist || rdale@storm.atms.purdue.edu Davidson Crane And Conveyor || dcc@norden1.com InterRAD NIDS Software @ http://www.stratus.weather.net/~rdale/interrad.html NW Ohio Weather Info @ http://wx.home.ml.org Northwest Ohio AMS @ http://nwohams.home.ml.org ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 5 Mar 1997 13:53:47 -0600 From: "Jeremy Charles (N9VHT)" Subject: Congrats, everyone! A huge congratulations goes out to the entire research and warning community on their overwhelming success on the Arkansas tornadoes! Excellent work, folks! Now we realize yet another problem with the warning process... getting the horse to drink after you throw the water at it. :) -Jeremy C. (N9VHT) South-Central Wisconsin SKYWARN NCS & Training Coordinator Madison Area Repeater Association Vice President & Swapfest '98 Coordinator n9vht@skywarn.cs.wisc.edu Online SKYWARN logging: http://www.cs.wisc.edu/~jeremyc/skywarn ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 4 Mar 1997 to 5 Mar 1997 ************************************************ From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Mar 5 18:17:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102272-22437>; Wed, 5 Mar 1997 18:17:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA197080; Wed, 5 Mar 1997 04:08:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4821858 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Mar 1997 04:08:01 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA197052 for ; Wed, 5 Mar 1997 04:08:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id EAA08187 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Mar 1997 04:06:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703051006.EAA08187@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Mar 1997 04:06:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 490 WTPS31 PGTW 050900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050600Z1 --- 10.3S4 177.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.3S4 177.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 11.7S9 179.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 13.3S7 179.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 14.9S4 179.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 16.5S2 179.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 19.5S5 179.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 050900Z4 POSITION 10.6S7 178.3E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 05/0530 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. GAVIN HAS CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY RAPIDLY AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE THAT TREND FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS, THEN BEGIN TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AFTER 24 HOURS WHEN IT ENCOUNTERS STRONGER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TO THE SOUTHWEST. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING FOR THE FORECAST TRACK. GAVIN IS STILL FORECAST TO TURN SOUTH IN STEERING FLOW BETWEEN AN UPPER- LEVEL TROUGH TO THE SOUTHWEST AND AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THEN MAINTAIN GENERAL SOUTHWARD MOTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5), 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1), 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3) AND 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Mar 5 21:56:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102296-22437>; Wed, 5 Mar 1997 21:56:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA133294; Wed, 5 Mar 1997 07:45:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4823038 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Mar 1997 07:45:22 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA197090 for ; Wed, 5 Mar 1997 07:45:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id HAA10294 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Mar 1997 07:43:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703051343.HAA10294@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Mar 1997 07:43:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 628 WTPS31 PGTW 051500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z8 --- 10.5S6 178.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.5S6 178.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 11.8S0 179.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 13.4S8 180.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 15.0S6 180.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 16.6S3 179.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 051500Z1 POSITION 10.8S9 179.0E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. IT HAS CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. OUR WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED DIRECTLY ON ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS INDICATION 100 KNOT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS (DVORAK T5.5). TC 31P HAS A VERY SMALL EYE, APPROXIMATELY 5 NM IN DIAMETER. METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS WHILE TC 31P TURNS TOWARD THE FIJI ISLANDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z8 IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3) AND 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Mar 5 23:33:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102272-22437>; Wed, 5 Mar 1997 23:33:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA100224; Wed, 5 Mar 1997 09:24:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4823800 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Mar 1997 09:24:35 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA91864 for ; Wed, 5 Mar 1997 09:23:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA12132 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Mar 1997 09:22:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703051522.JAA12132@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Mar 1997 09:22:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 101 WTPS21 PGTW 051500 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 051453Z MAR 97// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA. 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS. 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 150 NM RADIUS OF 17.0S8 157.0E3 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 60 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 051230Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.5S2 157.4E7. THE SYSTEM IS QUASI-STATIONARY. 4. REMARKS: A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IN THE CORAL SEA HAS PERSISTED FOR APPROXIMATELY 72 HOURS. A VERY STRONG WESTERLY WIND SURGE INTO THE MONSOON TROUGH IS SUPPORTING THIS SYSTEM. THE PRESENCE OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) TO THE EAST OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS ALSO ENHANCING WIND FLOW INTO THE MONSOON TROUGH. SYNOPTIC DATA NORTH OF THE TROUGH AXIS INDICATE WINDS PREDOMINANTLY 15 TO 25 KNOTS NEAR THE AXIS, WITH WINDS REACHING 35 KNOTS AND GREATER ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE TROUGH AXIS. SYNOPTIC SHIP OBSERVATIONS OF WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 KNOTS ASSOCIATED WITH SQUALLS NORTH OF THE TROUGH AXIS INDICATE THIS IS A VERY SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER FEATURE EVEN IF IT IS NOT YET A TROPICAL CYCLONE. RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGER (SSM/I), SCATTEROMETRY, AND YESTERDAY=S VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A FEW EDDIES MAY EXIST IN THE FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH AXIS, BUT NONE HAVE YET ORGANIZED THE SYNOPTIC FLOW INTO THEM. OVERALL THIS SYSTEM HAS ONLY BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS, BUT RECENT IMAGES INDICATE THE SYNOPTIC FLOW PATTERN IS CONSOLIDATING NEAR THE CENTROID OF THE NUMEROUS EDDIES IN THE FLOW. DUE TO THE STRONG MONSOON FLOW PRESENT NORTH OF THIS DISTURBANCE, IF IT DOES BEGIN TO ORGANIZE INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IT WILL HAPPEN RATHER QUICKLY. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 061500Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Mar 6 01:10:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102506-22437>; Thu, 6 Mar 1997 01:10:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA194816; Wed, 5 Mar 1997 11:01:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4824606 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Mar 1997 11:00:59 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA249176 for ; Wed, 5 Mar 1997 10:49:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id KAA15229 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Mar 1997 10:47:31 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703051647.KAA15229@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Mar 1997 10:47:31 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 192 WTXS22 PGTW 051500 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 051453Z MAR 97// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA. 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS. 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 150 NM RADIUS OF 17.0S8 157.0E3 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 60 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 051230Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.5S2 157.4E7. THE SYSTEM IS QUASI-STATIONARY. 4. REMARKS: A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IN THE CORAL SEA HAS PERSISTED FOR APPROXIMATELY 72 HOURS. A VERY STRONG WESTERLY WIND SURGE INTO THE MONSOON TROUGH IS SUPPORTING THIS SYSTEM. THE PRESENCE OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) TO THE EAST OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS ALSO ENHANCING WIND FLOW INTO THE MONSOON TROUGH. SYNOPTIC DATA NORTH OF THE TROUGH AXIS INDICATE WINDS PREDOMINANTLY 15 TO 25 KNOTS NEAR THE AXIS, WITH WINDS REACHING 35 KNOTS AND GREATER ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE TROUGH AXIS. SYNOPTIC SHIP OBSERVATIONS OF WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 KNOTS ASSOCIATED WITH SQUALLS NORTH OF THE TROUGH AXIS INDICATE THIS IS A VERY SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER FEATURE EVEN IF IT IS NOT YET A TROPICAL CYCLONE. RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGER (SSM/I), SCATTEROMETRY, AND YESTERDAY=S VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A FEW EDDIES MAY EXIST IN THE FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH AXIS, BUT NONE HAVE YET ORGANIZED THE SYNOPTIC FLOW INTO THEM. OVERALL THIS SYSTEM HAS ONLY BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS, BUT RECENT IMAGES INDICATE THE SYNOPTIC FLOW PATTERN IS CONSOLIDATING NEAR THE CENTROID OF THE NUMEROUS EDDIES IN THE FLOW. DUE TO THE STRONG MONSOON FLOW PRESENT NORTH OF THIS DISTURBANCE, IF IT DOES BEGIN TO ORGANIZE INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IT WILL HAPPEN RATHER QUICKLY. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 061500Z2. // +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Mar 6 09:40:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102419-752>; Thu, 6 Mar 1997 09:40:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA223668; Wed, 5 Mar 1997 19:33:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4829695 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Mar 1997 19:32:44 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA117724 for ; Wed, 5 Mar 1997 19:32:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id TAA04495 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Mar 1997 19:30:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703060130.TAA04495@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Mar 1997 19:30:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 551 WTPS31 PGTW 060300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- 12.5S8 179.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.5S8 179.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 14.6S1 179.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 16.6S3 179.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 18.5S4 179.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 20.3S5 179.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 060300Z9 POSITION 13.0S4 179.6E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST IN THE WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 115 KNOTS (DVORAK 6.0). MAXIMUM WINDS ARE RESTRICTED TO THE EYEWALL REGION (EYE DIAMETER IS APPROX 20 NM). FURTHER INTENSIFICATION IS ANTICIPATED OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SOUTHWARD TOWARD THE FIJI ISLANDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW 30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6) AND 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Mar 6 12:29:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102558-752>; Thu, 6 Mar 1997 12:29:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA26456; Wed, 5 Mar 1997 22:20:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4833097 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 5 Mar 1997 22:19:46 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA73878 for ; Wed, 5 Mar 1997 22:19:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id WAA08199 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 5 Mar 1997 22:17:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703060417.WAA08199@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 5 Mar 1997 22:17:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 215 WTPS32 PGTW 060300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 051453Z MAR 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS22 PGTW 051500 ) 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- 17.2S0 156.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.2S0 156.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 17.4S2 156.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 17.5S3 156.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 17.7S5 155.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 240 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 17.9S7 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 240 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 18.0S9 153.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 240 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 060300Z9 POSITION 17.2S0 156.5E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P HAS FORMED IN THE WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN. TC32P IS LOCATED WITHIN AN ACTIVE MONSOON TROUGH AND IS BEST CHARACTERIZED AS A MONSOON DEPRESSION WHICH REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED. MAXIMUM WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH SYSTEM CENTER ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS (DVORAK T2.0), HOWEVER WINDS WITHIN THE ACTIVE CONVECTIVE AREAS UP TO 300 NM TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF SYSTEM CENTER ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35-45 KNOTS. CONSOLIDATION OF CONVECTION ABOUT THE SYSTEM CENTER IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN SLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060900Z5(DTG 060753Z1), 061500Z2 (DTG 061353Z8), 062100Z9(DTG 071953Z5) AND 070300Z0 (DTG 070153Z6). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 051453Z MAR 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS22 PGTW 051500 ) REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Mar 7 14:19:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102535-273>; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 14:18:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA08938; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 00:14:25 -0600 Message-Id: <199703070614.AAA08938@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Mar 1997 00:07:51 +1800 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 5 Mar 1997 to 6 Mar 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 16 messages totalling 667 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Arkansas Tornado (2) 2. ASOS Commissioning Notice 3. AR Tornadoes (police & media) 4. NWS lead time (2) 5. JOKE-CLEAN: Weather Wit -Forward 6. 24-hour precip totals (2) 7. NWS in Arkadelphia? 8. The Arkansas tornadoes... 9. Arkadelphia: F4 10. TWC'S New Weather STAR (2) 11. MSNBC IntelliCast via Satellite 12. Arkansas Tornadoes +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 5 Mar 1997 22:36:29 -0800 From: John McLaughlin Subject: Arkansas Tornado Just back in Iowa from a "whirlwind" tour of Arkansas tornado damage, specifically Arkadelphia and southern sections of Little Rock. First stop was the NWS Little Rock where they kindly loaded up the archive level 4 data for us to dabble with. Mesocyclone detection on srm with rotational velocities (in + out/2) ~50kts was detected more than 80 miles from the radar site. The meso remained extremely well defined until collapse just south of the Little Rock Airport where some of the most extreme damage was located. Besides the obvious mesocyclone with a large (Iowa standards anyway) rotational diameter around 5 miles, the supercell exhibited two areas of three body scattering to the north of the meso in the high reflectivity core. The mets helping us on the pup hadn't noticed these yet as attention was clearly focused on the meso. In checking the LSR, there was one report of 1.75" hail about a half hour after the tbss appeared. It is also noted that pieces of debris up to one square foot in diameter fell up to five miles to the north of the storm track. Wow. I'd like to see some velocity cross sections of this. Storm top divergence must have been extreme. Reflectivity structure of the storm showed a nice bwer and pendant as the storm got within 40-50 miles of the radar (lower radar horizon). It was interesting to me that the reflectivity seemed pretty constant around 45 dbz while other area storms were up around 60 dbz. This makes it clear the importance of looking at all the 88D products and not just the "hot one" on reflectivity. It should also be pointed out that multiple meso's were occuring at the time, not just the Arkadelphia to Little Rock storm. The local NWS did great at not getting tunnel vision and concentrating on only one storm. I believe 55 warnings were issued, both svr and tor. The media reports of good warning lead time correlated with the 88D data and warnings which LIT shared with us. 32 min for Clark County, 25 min for Saline Co., 18 Minutes for Pulaski county and 59 minutes for Jackson Co. This was about as classic as supercells get! I would estimate damage at f4 in a three or four block wide area in Arkadelphia and also in the College Station area just south of LIT airport. There was another area "supposed" to have even greater devastation, but local law folks kindly booted us out since it was a "more upscale community" and they were concerned about press people carrying $50,000 betacams with full creditials doing some looting. Construction of many of the homes and businesses was poor. For instance, there were older brick buildings in Arkadelphia which had walls collapse, the roof fell in etc, while a new bank building directly in line had only windows blown in and signs ripped off. Outside of the main damage area, there is much f1-f2 damage. We walked an 8 block wide area of damage, so that would put the tornado at better than a half-mile wide. Mobile homes which were broadside to the storm were lifted up and tossed about 50 yards. One row of mobile homes in the f1-f2 area was strapped down and held to the anchoring rods, but had the roofs and walls partially peeled back. We found one twisted mobile home frame in the f-4 area and nothing else left. Just the frame and exles! On this newsgroup, there has been much discussion about "street level" radar and the like. Those opposed to TV guys and their radar should tune out now. While at the NWS, we asked one of the mets his feelings about the whole event. He said the thing that stuck in his mind was KTHV meteorologist Ed Bucker (former classmate of mine) clearly showing the hook echo over south Little Rock using a 250kw C-band radar. This was the same time the storm moved into the 88D clutter pattern over LIT. I stopped by the TV station to look at their radar log files. The data is very good and the streets, intersections, and neighborhoods, mentioned by Ed Buckner were the ones that got blasted. It is perhaps the best example of using c-band radar in a crisis that I have seen. The storm tracking and radar display from Baron Services is what Ed was using with a 250kw radar operating at .8 microseconds. Ed wisely changed his range to 40 miles to compress the range bins which allowed him to take advantage of the short pulse width and make the hook echo visible. The c-band also showed frequent areas of three body scattering as the hail (and debris) was in the mie scattering area. The c-band data also showed the rotating updraft and downdraft in what could almost be described as a "figure 8" signature in reflectivity. The radar was about 20 miles north of the cell and radar elevation was probably 1000' The TV station has already received dozens of letters from folks who had their home blown to bits, but went to shelter when they heard Buckner mention a nearby intersection or the name of their neighborhood. He was on the air non-stop for thirty minutes. I may try to get some of this footage worked into our weather conference next week. Media/NWS cooperation in this market is very good. The local NWS even attending the ribbon cutting for the c-band radar which was installed just one month ago. You won't find that in too many places. The system of the NWS issuing the warnings and the TV met using technology to get folks out of harms way was demonstrated to its maximum effectiveness in Little Rock. This should serve as an example for all TV markets. Its one thing to have a television Doppler system and another to utilize it to maximum effectiveness in crisis. A few stories we found while there. I guy named Raymond Ball had a check found in Conway, around 80 miles away. I also found one of his check right next to what's left of his house. Go figure. Talked with another guy who had his house and garage destroyed, but his Harley was still in good shape, still on the kickstand in the garage! Talked with a local barber who had just started taking saturday's off. His store was completely gone. (It was build on blocks with no real foundation I could see). Anway, the door to his store was in the upstairs of a home down the street along with some of his scissors, etc. There will be much to study from this case. Thanks to everyone who was so friendly to us. I really appreciate the Little Rock NWS letting us set up shop at midnight and stay till 2:00 a.m. to look at the radar data. The Arkadelphia folks brought food and sodas to the workers and media crews and wouldn't take a donation. John McLaughlin KCCI ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 6 Mar 1997 02:40:02 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site became commissioned on 05 March, 1997 CAPE GIRARDEAU REGIONAL AIRPORT (KCGI) CAPE GIRARDEAU... MISSOURI Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 6 Mar 1997 06:22:47 -0600 From: Roger Edwards Subject: AR Tornadoes (police & media) Kudos to John McLaughlin for a well-composed post on his (and his station's) post-mortem AR tornado coverage. I hope Mike Magsig and the rest of the debris-scattering folks at OU are already hard at work on this event, in light of some of the descriptions found in John's post, the Arkansas Democrat-Gazette and elsewhere. I found one part of John's post especially interesting, though... > There was another area "supposed" to have even greater > devastation, but local law folks kindly booted us out since it was > a "more upscale community" and they were concerned about press people > carrying $50,000 betacams with full creditials doing some looting. 2 somewhat disturbing issues here: 1) Assuming John's description is accurate, the blatant snobbery by law enforcement officials in that case is obvious. Why should a so-called "upscale" area deserve more protection or attention than a poor neighborhood? Theft and looting know no socioeconomic bounds, as Andrew proved in south Dade County FL. IMO, no economic class of people are any more special or important than any other. 2) Another angle in John's post is implied media privelege. Despite the haughty overtones of the police actions, it can be argued that media "credentials" are irrelevant; and that media should be afforded no more (or less!) access than the general public to disaster scenes (IOW, no special treatment or unequal access priveleges). Particularly questionable are those instances where media are allowed into a disaster scene before *residents*. It's food for thought, which has been briefly nibbled upon in this forum a long time ago. [BTW - I'm not necessarily anti-media; afterall, I married one!] ---------------------------- *** No disclaimer necessary; this is my personal account! *** "Let's follow this sheriff; ===== Roger Edwards ===== he'll get killed before we do." ( ) Forecaster - current chase partner former NHC Forecaster :::::::::: http://www.wildstar.net/~tornado :::::::::: "I FEAST ON THE SMORGASBORD OF ATMOSPHERIC VIOLENCE." ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 6 Mar 1997 09:24:02 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: NWS lead time Here's an article from today's Arkansas Gazette. Note the reason people died in Fort Smith was because Tulsa's doppler is too far away... === Tornado alert gave victims 15- to 31-minute jump RAY PIERCE Arkansas Democrat-Gazette ------------------------------------------------------------------------ National Weather Service officials estimate that people in areas where deaths occurred from Saturday's tornadoes had from 15 minutes to 31 minutes of warning. Communications between the National Weather Service in North Little Rock and the emergency services operations in Little Rock and Pulaski County worked to perfection Saturday in warning people about the approaching storm, officials said Wednesday. That was not the case April 21, 1996, when a deadly tornado ripped through downtown Fort Smith, killing two people. "After the April '96 Fort Smith tornado, we started thinking that there should be no weather warning and communication failures," Ron Gatewood of the Little Rock Office of Emergency Services said Wednesday. "I started thinking, 'What if they didn't tell us?' " The Weather Service office at Tulsa did not recognize until too late the conditions that spawned a tornado that tore through Fort Smith and Van Buren. The twister killed two children, injured several residents and damaged or destroyed 3,000 homes and businesses in those two cities. The storm system also spawned other tornadoes that caused damage in western and northwestern Arkansas, killing two other people in Madison County. Officials in Fort Smith criticized the Tulsa radar station -- some 80 miles away from Fort Smith -- for not being close enough to cover western Arkansas adequately. A Doppler radar tower to be controlled out of the Tulsa office now is being built in Fort Smith. After that tragedy, local emergency services officials in Little Rock, North Little Rock and Pulaski County formed a task force with the weather service forecasters in North Little Rock to prepare a policy that would try to eliminate any technical glitches or communication breakdowns like those that prevented the sirens in Fort Smith from going off. "I can't set off my sirens because there's a tornado in Arkadelphia. It could dissipate before then and worry a lot of people," Gatewood said. "But when they say it's imminent and it's going to hit Little Rock, then they tell us to hit it." Much of the multi-page document centers on constant communication between the forecasters and emergency services personnel, Gatewood said. The weather service has a direct hot line to the Little Rock and North Little Rock emergency services offices that forecasters use to give officials advance warning of approaching storms. "We can give them a time line on the tornado and give them a quick briefing," said Allen Lee, director of the weather service's North Little Rock office. "We gave them a heads-up (Saturday) as the forecasters were preparing a warning and told them when it would arrive." But all the preparedness in the world is no substitute for good information, Lee said. "We had good data and the forecasters made the decision well in advance," he said. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 6 Mar 1997 08:56:24 -0600 From: Peter Laws Subject: Re: NWS lead time On Thu, 6 Mar 1997, Robert P Dale wrote: > RAY PIERCE > Arkansas Democrat-Gazette > Buren. The twister killed two children, injured several residents and Who, if I'm not mistaken, were in their bathtub because of the Tornado Warning ... > damaged or destroyed 3,000 homes and businesses in those two cities. Which would have still been destroyed even if the FSPD *did* have a weather radio and blown the sirens ... Think of it: "damaged or destroyed 3,000 homes and businesses" and only **two** fatalities! *Someone* was doing a good job ... > Officials in Fort Smith criticized the Tulsa radar station -- some 80 > miles away from Fort Smith -- for not being close enough to cover > western Um, uh, wasn't the Arkadelphia storm the same distance from the Little Rock radar? A better explanation might be terrain, as the part of Oklahoma between the Inola site (US412 and SR88) and Ft Smith is rather hilly. It so easy to develop a dislike for The Media(tm) ... :-) -- Peter Laws / plaws@wildstar.net / N5UWY ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 6 Mar 1997 10:27:47 -0600 From: "Clayton Jones (Clay)" Subject: JOKE-CLEAN: Weather Wit -Forward These came from a joke list to which I subscribe. Adios, ----------------------------------- Clay "Super Genius" Jones Austin, Texas, USA clay.jones@oag.state.tx.us ------------------------------------ What I have said is my opinion, and that of anyone insane enough to go along with it. My employer doesn't even know I'm doing this! ------------------------------------ >>> "Bill Lacewell" 03/05/97 11:02am >>> A HUMOROUS LOOK AT THE WORLD OF WEATHER Emergency -- What the ground hog will do each February 2nd Spring -- A root awakening Clear Sky -- It's azure thing First Frost -- When you're caught with your plants down Calm -- A nil wind Hayfever Season -- A sinus of the times Cyclone -- The exact duplicate of cy Moonlighting -- The sun's other job Rain -- The chief product of the country you go to on vacation Roofer -- A person who's "Shinglin' in the Rain" Sunrise -- Horizon shine time Tornado -- Nature in the roar Winter -- The days of shovelry Have a good one! Bill Lacewell Division of Business Westark Community College Fort Smith, AR blacewel@systema.westark.edu ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 6 Mar 1997 12:07:38 -0700 From: "David O. Blanchard" Subject: 24-hour precip totals I'm looking for near real-time 24-h precipitation totals. So far, the only graphic I've found is at "www.intellicast.com". It's not too bad, and it might be adequate for my purposes. Does anyone know of any others products? Thanks, -db- -- +----------------------------------------------------------------------+ | David Blanchard NOAA/NSSL & OU/CIMMS Boulder, Colorado | | blanch@ncar.ucar.edu http://mrd3.mmm.ucar.edu/~dob/www/ | +----------------------------------------------------------------------+ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 6 Mar 1997 14:31:15 GMT From: Matthew Biddle Subject: Re: NWS in Arkadelphia? cdoswell@telepath.com (Chuck Doswell) wrote: >In article <331CCDF7.3F7@onramp.net>, jbarnett@onramp.net wrote: > >> I was in Arkadelphia when the tornado hit. In fact I was in a house >> which was about 100 yards from the main core damage path. >> >> We were watching a TV program off of cable when the Arkansas map showing >> the watch and warning areas. When Clark county was colored red >> indicating a tornado warning we switched over to the Weather Channel >> which was broadcasting the tornado warning for Clark county. This >> occurred about 2:15 PM Saturday. The warning had not shown a time of >> arrival for Arkadelphia at that time. > >Is it necessary that every warning carry an estimated time of arrival for >every possibly-affected town? I am not being sarcastic here ... is that >something that needs to be considered? In agreeing with Dr D. in general on this, there is some evidence for better warning compliance when as many town names as possible are listed in the "call to action" portions of the warning messages. However, in the absence of such detail, with 50 mph storms raking the landscape and probably near-chaos in the WSO - Why is not a WARNING for CLARK COUNTY sufficient???? It certainly does appear that the event was covered quite well by all involved....from SPC to TWC to NWS to local EMs....these types of events have proven to be killers in the South time and time again. Most victims were poor and living in substandard (engineering-wise) housing. Any others likely failed to access any warning info available to them. AGAIN - tornado epidemiology is no different than most other life hazards - it is NOT random with regard to victims, Matt Biddle Norman, OK ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 6 Mar 1997 10:44:04 EST From: Christopher S Davis Subject: The Arkansas tornadoes... >Date: Tue, 4 Mar 1997 23:05:54 +0500 >From: "Powell E. Way III" >Subject: The Arkansas tornadoes.... > >I was talking to Brady Smith, the weekend Met at WIS-TV and were >discussing the Arkadelphia tornadoes. He said one of the survivors ON >TV said..."Well, we heard the sirens and ignored them as we didn't >think it would hit US.." > >UM DUH! > >We can't go house to house and force people to seek shelter, and then >when people get killed they say " They had no warning" blah ...blah! >And this repeats over and over again! > >Powell > >--------------------------------------------- >powell@scsn.net powell@zygot.ati.com >http://www.scsn.net/users/powell/index.htm >--------------------------------------------- Powell, My thoughts exactly, I am so sick and tired of everyone blaming the NWS and Skywarn and the county EMAs for the loss of life. The people have to take responsibility for their safety, and when a watch is issued, the public should be weather alert around them. When a warning is issued, it is THEIR responsibility to respond. I think that the people criticizing the NWS and other parties responsible for the warning process (Dateline NBC) need to realize that the professionals are doing their jobs, and the public has to uphold their part of the deal. Instead of bashing the agencies, the media should use that valuable time to educate the public on severe weather. I think the agencies did an EXCELLENT job in Arkansas. Chris ********** Davis33@juno.com ****** Senior Meteorology Major *** University of South Alabama (NCAA Tournament 1997!) * "Tornadoes Rule"--Beavis ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 6 Mar 1997 14:11:05 GMT From: Matthew Biddle Subject: Re: Arkadelphia: F4 Peter Laws wrote: >Is that damage track report for just one tornado, for one cell or the >whole system? > >A friend who's parents live near the affected area has heard (what's that? >fifth hand? :-) that "it was so wide, no one thought it could be a >tornado". The video clip I saw certainly could have caused that reaction. I am wondering the same....after spending much time going through large volumes of damage records, I would have to say that I am skeptical of any reports of "violent" damage as more often than not, whether surveyed by NWS personnel or not, such reports are proven to be wrong. I had the same observation about Oakfield F5 and await the data from the soon to be given presentations. I can simply say that I am skeptical of the F4 damage (or at least the reports of its areal extent) simply because of the odds of it being wrong. I have no info to base this on - I am just taking the position that VIOLENT tornadoes (RARE) need to be proven not assumed (Not knocking those who made the initial reports (They certainly could be correct). Supporting this is all the reports that most casualties were in mobile homes or substandard housing. Also remember that you cannot make any assumptions about F-scale based upon width or appearance. That the Arkadelphia tornado was"wide" is not as surprising as the fact that it was seen at all. The 50mph movers early in the year in that part of the world are usually under very low ceiling - HP conditions. They don't tend to look like classic funnels. Possibly this is part of the reason they are such killers? Eagerly awaiting detailed damage assessment, Matt Biddle ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 6 Mar 1997 14:16:29 GMT From: Matthew Biddle Subject: Re: TWC'S New Weather STAR Michael Hetrick wrote: >I was flipping through the channels a few weeks ago an caught a commercialthat was telling about TWC's new "Weather Center". Could someone please fill me in on what this is? How is it going to be different than the Second Generation STAR's now on-line? Any information would be helpful.. Thanks! > >Michael Hetrick They are calling it an "Advanced Weather Center" - I think this is a temporal statement. i.e. the forecasts will advance more into the future? Or... perhaps it is contextural like "advanced weather" like more detailed for people that have tested out of basic weather. Or... There will be an advancement in the number of commercials between outakes of semi-weather related info. The Chaser Formerly Known as "Matt" ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 6 Mar 1997 14:50:08 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: 24-hour precip totals At 12:07 PM 3/6/97 -0700, David wrote: >I'm looking for near real-time 24-h precipitation totals. So far, the >only graphic I've found is at "www.intellicast.com". It's not too >bad, and it might be adequate for my purposes. Does anyone know of >any others products? Take a look at FSL: http://www.fsl.noaa.gov/frd-bin/jPrecip.cgi Rob ////////////////////////////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ Robert P Dale - N8GSK || rdale@norden1.com Meteorologist || rdale@storm.atms.purdue.edu Davidson Crane And Conveyor || dcc@norden1.com InterRAD NIDS Software @ http://www.stratus.weather.net/~rdale/interrad.html NW Ohio Weather Info @ http://wx.home.ml.org Northwest Ohio AMS @ http://nwohams.home.ml.org ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 6 Mar 1997 21:05:38 EST From: Craig B Newell Subject: MSNBC IntelliCast via Satellite New information on that MSNBC IntelliCast 10 regional weather channels for satellite owners: PrimeStar (really bad satellite service) will carry them when they become available. All of us DSS (DirecTV) people are still requesting it.. they havn't deceided yet. Judgeing by MSNBC's current weather breifs it shoule be great! Fellow weather fans, please write to DirecTV so that they will add them... simply write to DirecTv Customer service at: DirecTV Attn: Customer Service P.O. Box 921600 Los Angeles, CA 90009 If you can't write to them, then e-mail them at webmaster@directv.com. Only use the e-mail as a last resort as they are much more receptive to postal mail. -Craig/NWS SkyWarn ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 6 Mar 1997 14:36:13 GMT From: Matthew Biddle Subject: Re: Arkansas Tornado Thanks for the great damage reports! What is your opinion about the F-4 damage you mention? Is the "twisted mobile home" the main F-4 damage you saw and are you certain it was F-4??? ... and was the delineation of the "F-4 damage area" predisposed to you via previous surveys, ie do they have the damaged mapped prior to your visit??? Very interested in this F-3/F-4 threshold..... Thanks, Matt Biddle University of Oklahoma ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 6 Mar 1997 21:56:41 -0500 From: "Gregory A. Surplus" Subject: Re: TWC'S New Weather STAR >Michael Hetrick wrote: >>I was flipping through the channels a few weeks ago an caught a commercialthat >was telling about TWC's new "Weather Center". Could someone please fill me in on what this is? How is it going to be different >than the Second Generation STAR's now on-line? Any information would be helpful.. Thanks! >> >>Michael Hetrick > >They are calling it an "Advanced Weather Center" - I think this is a >temporal statement. i.e. the forecasts will advance more into the future? > >Or... > >perhaps it is contextural like "advanced weather" like more detailed for >people that have tested out of basic weather. > >Or... > >There will be an advancement in the number of commercials between outakes >of semi-weather related info. > >The Chaser Formerly Known as "Matt" > I believe there are two seperate topics here. One concerning the new studio of which they have moved into and the other topic being the new STAR computer that was to be installed locally at the cable systems' headend sometime in the near future. Some of the things that I have noticed with the new "Advanced Weather Center" so far is that the on-air personalities now get to use a wireless map changer (someone should hide it) except when it doesn't work and then they get their wire back :-) The transition between flipping from animated radar display to the next seems smoother and they can finally display an animated picture while having an advertising strip at the top of the screen. The globe has to go... I see no connection as to how a rotating globe in the studio constributes to the advancement of weather information. Unless of course you have 5 possible forecast scenerios and you put all five in the spinning globe and pick one... As far as the TWC's new weather star computers I haven't heard or read anything for several months. What I originally heard was that they were going to be upgrading the STAR-4000's to STAR-XL's and cable companies with the old STAR-3's were going to upgrade to the STAR-4000 (unless they went for a special purchase option to go directly to the STAR-XL). I have no problem with the present STAR-4000 except from 2AM-5AM when everytime it displays the Traveler's Forecast the music changes to static until the radar appears. So much for leaving it on in the backround when I go to bed... The commericals are annoying but nevertheless I'm still glad TWC is around... *************************************************************************** * Greg Surplus--Parkville MD MICROG'S MARYLAND WEATHER HOMEPAGE * * gsurplus@delphi.com http://people.delphi.com/gsurplus/ * *************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 6 Mar 1997 22:27:10 -0600 From: Kevin Scharfenberg Subject: Arkansas Tornadoes Hello all. NWS LIT has just published storm damage pictures, radar pictures, and the damage report on their homepage. The address is: http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ftproot/lzk/html/stormrep.htm The radar pictures are quite impressive. If you've never seen a TVS (Tornado Vortex Signature), check it out! -Kevin =============================================== KEVIN SCHARFENBERG E-mail: kscharf@ou.edu KC5NPX http://rossby.ou.edu/~kscharf/ =============================================== ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 5 Mar 1997 to 6 Mar 1997 ************************************************ From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Mar 6 15:40:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102322-752>; Thu, 6 Mar 1997 15:40:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA249676; Thu, 6 Mar 1997 01:21:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4834651 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Mar 1997 01:20:48 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA249610 for ; Thu, 6 Mar 1997 01:20:47 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA72619 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 6 Mar 1997 01:20:47 -0600 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199703060720.AA72619@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Mar 1997 01:20:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -060120 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 71080 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600Z MAR 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/060151Z MAR 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/060153Z MAR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE CONVECTIVE AREA PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 175E3 HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 113E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7N7 107E8. THERE IS NO LONGER ANY DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES INTO STRONG LOW LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY HORIZONTAL SHEAR. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY NEAR 9N9 127E0 IS NOW NEAR 6N6 126E. THIS AREA REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED UNDER STRONG UPPER LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR. A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ANALYZED IN THE SYNOPTIC DATA SOUTH OF MINDANAO ISLAND. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 060000Z6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WAS LOCATED AT 12.5S8 179.6E3 MOVING SOUTEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 115 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P WARNING NUMBER 11 (WTPS31 PGTW 060300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16S7 155E1 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. AT 060000Z6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P WAS LOCATED AT 17.2S0 156.6E8 MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P WARNING NUMBER 01 (WTPS32 PGTW 060300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Mar 6 16:32:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102580-752>; Thu, 6 Mar 1997 16:32:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA63976; Thu, 6 Mar 1997 02:24:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4834818 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Mar 1997 02:22:45 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA26530 for ; Thu, 6 Mar 1997 02:22:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA11620 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Mar 1997 02:20:56 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703060820.CAA11620@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Mar 1997 02:20:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 660 WTPS32 PGTW 060900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- 17.3S1 156.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.3S1 156.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 17.4S2 155.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 17.5S3 155.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 17.7S5 154.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 310 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 17.7S5 153.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 17.6S4 152.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION 17.3S1 155.9E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE ABOUT A VERY LARGE CIRCULATION CENTER. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED NEAR 990MB, HOWEVER INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM SATELLITE IMAGERY STILL INDICATE MAXIMUM WINDS OF NEAR 30KTS (DVORAK 2.0) AS THERE IS VERY LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE SYSTEMS CENTER. SYNOPTIC DATA FROM SHIP REPORTS AND NEAR BY ISLAND REPORTS FROM 120 TO 180NM AWAY FROM THE CIRCULATION CENTER SHOW WINDS WITHIN THE MONSOON FLOW BOTH TO THE NORTH AND TO THE SOUTH OF THE CIRCULATION ARE IN EXCESS OF 35 KNOTS. THESE STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO EVENTUALLY WRAP INTO AND BE A PART OF THIS TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z2 (DTG 061353Z8), 062100Z9 (DTG 061953Z4), 070300Z0 (DTG 070153Z6) AND 070900Z6 (DTG 070753Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Mar 6 21:52:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102597-752>; Thu, 6 Mar 1997 21:52:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA208614; Thu, 6 Mar 1997 07:44:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4836091 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Mar 1997 07:44:09 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA248456 for ; Thu, 6 Mar 1997 07:44:08 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id HAA16601 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Mar 1997 07:42:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703061342.HAA16601@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Mar 1997 07:42:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 951 WTPS31 PGTW 061500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- 14.7S2 179.8W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 170 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.7S2 179.8W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 17.2S0 179.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 19.7S7 179.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 22.4S8 178.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 25.1S8 177.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 061500Z2 POSITION 15.3S9 179.9W6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN)IS CURRENTLY ENTERING THE FIJI ISLANDS, TRACKING SOUTHWARD AT 12 KNOTS. TC 31P HAS REACHED ITS PEAK INTENSITY AND IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TC 31P IS FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARDS THE SOUTH FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 48 HOURS. CURRENT AND FORECASTED WIND RADII HAVE BEEN REDUCED FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST DUE TO AN AFGWC MICROWAVE IMAGERY ANALYSIS AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z9 IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4) AND 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Mar 6 22:40:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102596-752>; Thu, 6 Mar 1997 22:40:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA180096; Thu, 6 Mar 1997 08:32:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4836617 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Mar 1997 08:32:09 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA100450 for ; Thu, 6 Mar 1997 08:32:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA17827 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Mar 1997 08:30:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703061430.IAA17827@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Mar 1997 08:30:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 778 WTPS32 PGTW 061500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- 17.4S2 154.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.4S2 154.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 17.4S2 154.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 17.4S2 154.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 17.4S2 153.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 17.4S2 153.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 17.0S8 152.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 061500Z2 POSITION 17.4S2 154.8E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (TC 32P) IS SLOWLY INTENSIFYING IN THE CORAL SEA. TC 32P IS DEVELOPING FROM A VERY LARGE CIRCULATION CENTER AND IS THEREFORE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A SLOWER THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. WE EXPECT TC 32P TO REMAIN IN AN AREA OF WEAK STEERING FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z0 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9 (DTG 061953Z4), 070300Z0 (DTG 070153Z6), 070900Z6 (DTG 070753Z2) AND 071500Z3 (DTG 071353Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Mar 7 05:07:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102575-752>; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 05:06:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA240888; Thu, 6 Mar 1997 14:51:55 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4837720 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Mar 1997 14:48:43 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA146172 for ; Thu, 6 Mar 1997 14:48:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA26603 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Mar 1997 14:46:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703062046.OAA26603@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Mar 1997 14:46:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 978 WTPS32 PGTW 062100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P WARNING NR 004 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- 16.9S6 154.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.9S6 154.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 16.8S5 153.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 16.8S5 153.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 16.8S5 152.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 16.5S2 152.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 16.1S8 151.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 325 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 062100Z9 POSITION 16.9S6 154.0E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) CONTINUES TO SLOWLY MOVE TOWARDS THE WEST IN THE CORAL SEA. THE POSITION OF TC 32P HAS BEEN RELOCATED DUE TO SYNOPTIC DATA FROM LIHOU REEF (WMO 94296) AS WELL AS 061248Z1 SCATTEROMETRY. THIS DATA SHOWS THE CIRCULATION CENTER TO BE FARTHER NORTH AND WEST THAN WE PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT. THIS SAME SCATTEROMETRY DATA ALSO SHOWS THAT TC 32P HAS INTENSIFIED TO 40 KNOTS WITH A VERY LARGE GALE (WINDS GREATER THAN 35 KNOTS) RADIUS. TC 32P IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN A RELATIVELY WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT FOR THE DURATION OF THE FORECAST AS IT WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DRIFT TOWARDS THE WEST. WE EXPECT TC 32P TO INTENSIFY SLOWER THAN CLIMATOLOGY BASED ON ITS LARGE SIZE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z5 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0 (DTG 070153Z6), 070900Z6 (DTG 070753Z2), 071500Z3 (DTG 071353Z9) AND 072100Z0 (DTG 071953Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Mar 7 10:37:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102321-8955>; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 10:37:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA154262; Thu, 6 Mar 1997 20:26:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4841769 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Mar 1997 20:24:53 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA228644 for ; Thu, 6 Mar 1997 20:21:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA02201 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Mar 1997 20:20:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703070220.UAA02201@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Mar 1997 20:20:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 609 WTPS31 PGTW 070300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- 16.8S5 178.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.8S5 178.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 19.0S0 176.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 21.5S8 176.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 24.4S0 175.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 27.9S8 175.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION 17.4S2 177.7E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) IS MOVING AT 12 KNOTS TOWARDS THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AND IS CURRENTLY LOCATED 60NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF NANDI, FIJI. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A 28NM EYE. TC 31P IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE WESTERN MOST PART OF FIJI AND CONTINUE IN A SOUTH SOUTHWEST DIRECTION THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7) AND 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Mar 7 11:06:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102469-8955>; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 11:05:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA213866; Thu, 6 Mar 1997 20:58:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4842383 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 6 Mar 1997 20:58:14 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA172554 for ; Thu, 6 Mar 1997 20:58:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA02546 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 6 Mar 1997 20:56:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703070256.UAA02546@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 6 Mar 1997 20:56:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 017 WTPS32 PGTW 070300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- 16.9S6 153.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 360 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.9S6 153.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 16.9S6 152.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 360 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 16.8S5 152.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 370 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 16.6S3 151.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 380 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 280 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 01 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 16.4S1 151.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 380 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 280 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 16.5S2 152.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 360 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 280 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION 16.9S6 153.3E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. SLOW INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED AS CONVECTION CONTINUES TO BE DISPLACED AWAY FROM THE CENTER. HOWEVER BOTH SYNOPTIC DATA AND SCATTEROMETER INFORMATION SHOW A VERY LARGE EXTENT OF GALE FORCE WINDS AROUND THE SYSTEM=S CENTER. LATEST NUMERICAL FORECAST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS CONTINUED SLOW WESTWARD MOTION AND THEN A TURN BACK TOWARDS THE EAST IN THE OUTLOOK PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z6 (DTG 070753Z2), 071500Z3 (DTG 071353Z9), 072100Z0 (DTG 071953Z5) AND 080300Z1 (DTG 080153Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Mar 7 14:39:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102631-273>; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 14:38:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA175828; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 00:26:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4845049 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 00:25:38 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA126090 for ; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 00:00:24 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA14912 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 7 Mar 1997 00:00:23 -0600 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199703070600.AA14912@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Mar 1997 00:00:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -070000 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 65341 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z MAR 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070151Z MAR 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070153Z MAR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY NEAR 6N6 126E9 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070000Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WAS LOCATED AT 16.8S5 178.0E6 MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 110 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 135 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P WARNING NUMBER 13 (WTPS31 PGTW 070300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 070000Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WAS LOCATED AT 16.9S6 153.5E4 MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P WARNING NUMBER 05 (WTPS32 PGTW 070300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 7S7 179E7. THIS AREA IS AN EXTENSION OF THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN). LATEST ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT THIS CONVECTION IS STARTING TO SEPARATE FROM THE CYCLONE. ALTHOUGH NO SURFACE CIRCULATION IS INDICATED IN THE SYNOPTIC DATA AT THIS TIME, A STRONG MONSOON TROUGH EXIST IN THE REGION WITH MODERATE WESTERLY WINDS TO THE NORTH NEAR THE EQUATOR. CURRENTLY THERE IS STRONG UPPER LEVEL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION WHICH MAY ABATE IN THE OUTLOOK AS TC 31P CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD THE SOUTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/EBARLE/TIRSCHEL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Mar 8 14:08:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102254-272>; Sat, 8 Mar 1997 14:08:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA100252; Sat, 8 Mar 1997 00:05:48 -0600 Message-Id: <199703080605.AAA100252@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Mar 1997 00:00:58 +1800 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 6 Mar 1997 to 7 Mar 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 11 messages totalling 523 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. IA Conference T-Shirt 2. Arkansas Tornadoes (3) 3. 24-hr precip totals 4. TWC'S New Weather STAR (3) 5. Digital Atmosphere beta now available 6. NCEP budget cuts (fwd) 7. COOL storm chaser weather site! +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 6 Mar 1997 21:45:44 -0800 From: John McLaughlin Subject: IA Conference T-Shirt >From the Central Iowa NWA... Official conference Tee-Shirt is available for the Central Iowa NWA Severe Storms and Doppler Radar Conference. See the logo and details at http://www.ecity.net/~iowanwa/ Bring an extra $17 bucks with you to the conference! See all 220 of you in a week! John McLaughlin KCCI ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 7 Mar 1997 01:28:47 -0800 From: John McLaughlin Subject: Re: Arkansas Tornadoes Kevin Scharfenberg wrote: > > Hello all. > > NWS LIT has just published storm damage pictures, radar pictures, > and the damage report on their homepage. The address is: > http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ftproot/lzk/html/stormrep.htm Yes, this is excellent, and the 1.5 elevation over the Little Rock area is much better than the .5 elevation images we saw. What a great job getting this information/images on the www so quickly. > > The radar pictures are quite impressive. If you've never seen > a TVS (Tornado Vortex Signature), check it out! Here's a question, we inquired to the Little Rock NWS if the build 9 TVS algorithm tripped for this case and were told it did not. The meso web images sw of LIT have a circle with a red triangle within. So, did these generate a TVS, or was this added in WATADS or something? Just wondering, having never actually seen a Build 9 TVS before. Again, excellent page!!! John McLaughlin KCCI Des Moines ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 7 Mar 1997 09:21:47 CST From: DeWayne Mitchell Subject: Re: Arkansas Tornadoes >Kevin Scharfenberg wrote: >> >> Hello all. >> >> NWS LIT has just published storm damage pictures, radar pictures, >> and the damage report on their homepage. The address is: >> http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ftproot/lzk/html/stormrep.htm > >Yes, this is excellent, and the 1.5 elevation over the Little Rock area >is much better than the .5 elevation images we saw. What a great job >getting this information/images on the www so quickly. >> >> The radar pictures are quite impressive. If you've never seen >> a TVS (Tornado Vortex Signature), check it out! > >Here's a question, we inquired to the Little Rock NWS if the build 9 TVS >algorithm tripped for this case and were told it did not. The meso web >images sw of LIT have a circle with a red triangle within. So, did >these generate a TVS, or was this added in WATADS or something? Just >wondering, having never actually seen a Build 9 TVS before. > >Again, excellent page!!! > >John McLaughlin >KCCI Des Moines > Yes, quite impressive to get the data on the web so quickly. From what I can tell from the map overlays, it appears that the images are from the PUP and not WATADS. Although I am not certain. Furthermore, I can't imagine that there wasn't a TVS alarm (even at the default TTS = .02/s) given such an impress TVS *UNLESS* the signature was so close to the radar that the required depth criterion for a mesocyclone detection was precluded. As I understand the storm passed very near LIT. Perhaps not. So far, no changes have been made to the MESO/TVS algorithm. Alhough, the TVS portion of MESO has been recommended to be replaced by NSSL's Tornado Detection Algorithm. DeWayne *************************** Volley This ******************************* E. DeWayne Mitchell ______/~~~\___________________ Nat'l Severe Storms Laboratory ((((( ) ))oooo---|------ University of Oklahoma ( ( ) ~~ \__ mitchell@nsslsun.nssl.uoknor.edu (~)( ( ) ) _/ \ (405)3660413(Off) ___( )(( ))___ /\ (405)3660472(FAX) ----------/_____\-------- \ \_/ /\ ****************************** I Dig ********************************** *********************** !! I Pass to Kill !! ************************** ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 7 Mar 1997 10:56:56 EST From: Kenneth Scheeringa Subject: Re: 24-hr precip totals >David O. Blanchard" wrote: >I'm looking for near real-time 24-h precipitation totals. So far, the >only graphic I've found is at "www.intellicast.com". It's not too >bad, and it might be adequate for my purposes. Does anyone know of >any others products? David: Are you looking specifically for graphical products? If text products would work, some states have extensive real-time precip reporting networks. For example, for Indiana look at FOS products SRUS22 KLAF (amateur radio observers - about 150 Indiana reports daily) RWUS11 KIND (river and rainfall reports) SRUS23 KIND (ROSA network, many reports thruout the day) Or our web site has an interactive web page which queries our database archive of daily/hourly Indiana observations: http://shadow.agry.purdue.edu/sc.index.html Ken Scheeringa State Climatologist for Indiana kscheeringa@dept.agry.purdue.edu (PC) kens@shadow.agry.purdue.edu (AIX) ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 7 Mar 1997 11:15:26 CST From: Greg Stumpf Subject: Re: Arkansas Tornadoes >From: John McLaughlin > >> The radar pictures are quite impressive. If you've never seen >> a TVS (Tornado Vortex Signature), check it out! > >Here's a question, we inquired to the Little Rock NWS if the build 9 TVS >algorithm tripped for this case and were told it did not. The meso web >images sw of LIT have a circle with a red triangle within. So, did >these generate a TVS, or was this added in WATADS or something? Just >wondering, having never actually seen a Build 9 TVS before. Build 9 TVSs are exactly the same as Build 8 TVSs. The NSSL TDA (Tornado Detection Algorithm), developed by DeWayne Mitchell and Steve Vasiloff, isn't expected to be in the WSR-88D system until Build 10 (next year). However, it is available with WATADS. A circle with a red triangle is not the standard PUP icon for an 88D TVS. The standard icon is just a red triangle. I would suspect that the icon was added by an external graphics package on top of the downloaded PUP image for the Web page. greg stumpf, NSSL ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 7 Mar 1997 14:44:41 EST From: Craig B Newell Subject: Re: TWC'S New Weather STAR My Cable Company has the text-only Star system, with no graphics.. which one is this and what is the difference between all three? -Craig/NWS SkyWarn On Thu, 6 Mar 1997 21:56:41 -0500 "Gregory A. Surplus" writes: >>Michael Hetrick wrote: >>>I was flipping through the channels a few weeks ago an caught a >commercialthat >>was telling about TWC's new "Weather Center". Could someone please >fill me >in on what this is? How is it going to be different >>than the Second Generation STAR's now on-line? Any information would >be >helpful.. Thanks! >>> >>>Michael Hetrick >> >>They are calling it an "Advanced Weather Center" - I think this is a >>temporal statement. i.e. the forecasts will advance more into the >future? >> >>Or... >> >>perhaps it is contextural like "advanced weather" like more detailed >for >>people that have tested out of basic weather. >> >>Or... >> >>There will be an advancement in the number of commercials between >outakes >>of semi-weather related info. >> >>The Chaser Formerly Known as "Matt" >> > I believe there are two seperate topics here. One concerning the >new >studio of which they have moved into and the other topic being the new >STAR computer that was to be installed locally at the cable systems' >headend >sometime in the near future. > >Some of the things that I have noticed with the new "Advanced Weather >Center" >so far is that the on-air personalities now get to use a wireless map >changer >(someone should hide it) except when it doesn't work and then they get >their >wire back :-) The transition between flipping from animated radar >display to >the next seems smoother and they can finally display an animated >picture while >having an advertising strip at the top of the screen. > >The globe has to go... I see no connection as to how a rotating >globe in the >studio constributes to the advancement of weather information. Unless >of course >you have 5 possible forecast scenerios and you put all five in the >spinning >globe >and pick one... > >As far as the TWC's new weather star computers I haven't heard or read >anything >for several months. What I originally heard was that they were going >to be >upgrading the STAR-4000's to STAR-XL's and cable companies with the >old STAR-3's >were going to upgrade to the STAR-4000 (unless they went for a special >purchase >option to go directly to the STAR-XL). I have no problem with the >present >STAR-4000 except from 2AM-5AM when everytime it displays the >Traveler's Forecast >the music changes to static until the radar appears. So much for >leaving it on >in the backround when I go to bed... > >The commericals are annoying but nevertheless I'm still glad TWC is >around... > > >*************************************************************************** >* Greg Surplus--Parkville MD MICROG'S MARYLAND WEATHER >HOMEPAGE * >* gsurplus@delphi.com >http://people.delphi.com/gsurplus/ * >*************************************************************************** > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 7 Mar 1997 15:23:07 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: TWC'S New Weather STAR On Fri, 7 Mar 1997, Craig B Newell wrote: > My Cable Company has the text-only Star system, with no graphics.. which > one is this and what is the difference between all three? > -Craig/NWS SkyWarn >From what I can tell, the Star-3's are text only (ugh), the Star 4000's (standard on most cable systems--call your local cable company and complain that you want the STAR-XL. Then they'll REALLY know they are dealing with an intelligent viewer!) display graphics and local radar composites updated every 15-30 minutes. The next generation (XL's) allegedly can do much more than that, including zooming in on a storm with the radar, from posts I saw last year. I'd love for the XL to display a 1KM resolution visible satellite during daylight hours, and 4 KM resolution IR at night updated every 15 minutes. Given the file size, however, I am likely living in a dream world with that request! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * Got mole problems? Call Avogadro at 6.02 X 10^23. * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 7 Mar 1997 19:54:33 EST From: Tim Vasquez <71611.2267@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: Digital Atmosphere beta now available Digital Atmosphere V1.3beta is now available for downloading from: http://www.telepath.com/tvasquez/da.htm This is the first significant program update since December. Meteorological enhancements include RCM importing, geostrophic balancing of height fields, and much more. Info is available on the web page. Tim Vasquez author, WeatherGraphix Norman, OK Digital Atmosphere 71611.2267@compuserve.com (405) 573-0700 WeatherGraphix/Digital Atmosphere -- http://www.telepath.com/www/tvasquez/ StormTrack Online -- http://www.telepath.com/www/storm/ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 7 Mar 1997 20:52:59 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: NCEP budget cuts (fwd) I saw this on wx-chase, but it's very valid on this newsgroup as well. ---------- Forwarded message ---------- Date: Thu, 6 Mar 1997 21:13:33 -0500 From: Amos Magliocco To: Multiple recipients of list WX-CHASE Subject: NCEP budget cuts A few days ago, I posted an ideal for targeting the Arkansas media as a means for raising publuc awareness of the NCEP budget cuts and the effects on the Storm Prediction Center's staff levels. It is important that people like ourselves, who well understand the correlation between timely watches and warnings and the safety of human life, take steps to insure that these changes are not made without a fight. Many of you spotters would not imagine staying at home when a severe weather event threatened the lives of your family, friends and community. This is a similar situation. Many of those who would be our most vocal and articulate spokespeople are forced to silence by their affiliations with the very organizations whose funds are threatened. They cannot speak, and we should. Loudly. How dare Washington exercise such utter disregard for the lives of Americans who supply the very funds diverted from life-saving enterprises. We have an opportunity now to publicize these reductions through the very vehicle that typically is not a friend to the meteorological community in the aftermath of a tragedy like recent one in Arkansas and other states: the media. The Storm Chaser Homepage has a link detailing this story and a list of prominant senators and congressman to whom objections can be directed. But a few hundred voices are not as powerful as thousands. Right now, the media in those states devastated by the recent events will be highly sensitive to stories about reducing our ability to give early warnings--so we should tell them. Here is the SCH link to the story: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/spccuts.html Dusty Furr was good enough to send a list of some major Arkansas media outlets. Take a moment to write, call or e-mail them. Here is his list: 1. KPOM-TV in Fort Smith, an NBC affiliate P.O. Box 4610 Ft. Smith, AR 72914 2. KARK-TV in Little Rock, an NBC affiliate P.O. Box 748 Little Rock, AR 72203 HOMEPAGE: http://www.kark.com 3. KFAA-TV in Rogers, an NBC affiliate P.O. Box 114 S. First St. Rogers, AR 72756 4. KHBS-TV in Fort Smith, a ABC affiliate 2415 No. Albert Pike Fort Smith, AR 72914-4150 tele #: (501) 783-4040 HOMEPAGE: http://www.khbs-khog.com 5. KHOG-TV in Fayetteville, a ABC affiliate P.O. Box 1029 Fayetteville, AR 72702-1029 tele #: (501) 521-1010 6. KAIT-TV in Jonesboro, a ABC affiliate P.O. Box 790 Jonesboro, AR 72401-0790 tele #: (501) 931-8888 HOMEPAGE: http://www.kait8.com 7. KATV-TV in Little Rock, a ABC affiliate 401 South Main Little Rock, AR 72201 (501) 324-7777 HOMEPAGE: http://www.katv.com 8. KFSM-TV in Fort Smith e-mail: webmaster@mc-group.com tele #: (501) 785-1201 If we make them aware, they'll tell thousands. Then we'll have a fair fight. The programs most easily cut are those with the fewest defenders. Many of you spend a great deal of your time preparing yourselves for situations in which you may be the only one to give warning--trained to recognize danger and make others aware. This is a storm of a different kind. Let's not ignore it. ************************************* Amos A. Magliocco KC5VPD 1463 Presidio Drive Weston, Florida 33327 954-385-0110 ************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 7 Mar 1997 21:29:09 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: COOL storm chaser weather site! Hello chasers (and Texas weather enthusiasts), Bruce Haynie clued me in on this one. Although the site has been up for quite a while, I didn't know they had started to produce their own weather graphics. That they have, with current radar using RCM data every 15 minutes(!), wind profiler data, surface weather (including surface based LI's and much more!), ETA and RUC model images (including plots of EPV, CINH, CSI, differential Theta-E and many more advanced weather concepts), and if you have a Java equipped browser, a Java-AFOS applet! Very, very cool stuff. Bypass the weather links I have placed on the Storm Chaser Homepage for now, and go directly to: http://dryline.nws.noaa.gov When you get there, click on "quick weather". This site rocks! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * Got mole problems? Call Avogadro at 6.02 X 10^23. * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 7 Mar 1997 21:51:24 -0700 From: Matt Rehwald Subject: Re: TWC'S New Weather STAR "Gregory A. Surplus" wrote: > Some of the things that I have noticed with the new "Advanced Weather Center" > so far is that the on-air personalities now get to use a wireless map changer > (someone should hide it) except when it doesn't work and then they get their > wire back :-) The transition between flipping from animated radar display to > the next seems smoother and they can finally display an animated picture while > having an advertising strip at the top of the screen. Something I've noticed is that the studio lighting is softer...the OCMs appear more "real" and less "digitized". I think they also had some problems with lighting the first couple of days...the bottom half of the blue screen was hard to see, but they seem to have fixed that problem...and it looks really good. > The globe has to go... I see no connection as to how a rotating globe in > the studio constributes to the advancement of weather information. Unless > of course you have 5 possible forecast scenerios and you put all five in > the spinning globe and pick one... Gee...I kinda like the globe. It took me a more than a few glances before I realized it was actually rotating, at least most of the time. No, it really doesn't have anything to do with an Advanced Weather Center(tm), but it's a nice prop. What I will have to get used to is the dark background behind the anchor desk...it seems kind of out of place, especially during the daytime. > As far as the TWC's new weather star computers I haven't heard or read anything > for several months. What I originally heard was that they were going to be > upgrading the STAR-4000's to STAR-XL's and cable companies with the old STAR-3's > were going to upgrade to the STAR-4000 (unless they went for a special purchase > option to go directly to the STAR-XL). I have no problem with the present > STAR-4000 except from 2AM-5AM when everytime it displays the Traveler's Forecast > the music changes to static until the radar appears. So much for leaving it on > in the backround when I go to bed... This would be nice to see...the STAR 3 at the Park City cable station has been having lots of problems since the studio changeover. However, one thing I will give credit to TCI for is that they've maintained the little automated wx station that came with the Star 3, so I can get up to the minute temp, RH, and snowmelt data. > The commericals are annoying but nevertheless I'm still glad TWC is around... Agreed. ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ Matt Rehwald The Home Office: Forecaster, Weatherbank Inc. 330 Crestview Drive Edmond, OK <*> PO Box 2772 synoptic@xmission.com Park City, UT 84060-2772 ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 6 Mar 1997 to 7 Mar 1997 ************************************************ From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Mar 7 16:21:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102251-273>; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 16:21:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA234628; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 02:15:42 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4845879 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 02:15:31 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA93498 for ; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 02:15:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA05739 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 02:13:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703070813.CAA05739@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Mar 1997 02:13:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 400 WTPS32 PGTW 070900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z3 --- 16.9S6 152.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 330 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.9S6 152.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Mar 7 16:24:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102598-273>; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 16:24:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA126142; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 02:21:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4845895 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 02:21:04 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA64650 for ; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 02:21:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA05770 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 02:19:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703070819.CAA05770@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Mar 1997 02:19:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 482 WTPS32 PGTW 070900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z3 --- 16.9S6 152.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 330 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.9S6 152.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 16.7S4 152.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 330 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 16.6S3 151.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 335 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 16.3S0 150.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 250 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 15.9S5 150.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 250 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 16.0S7 151.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 250 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 070900Z6 POSITION 16.9S6 152.7E5 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING WEST AT 06 KNOTS. SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM LIHOU REEF (WMO 94296) WITH A 985MB PRESSURE INDICATE THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS TO THEIR EAST-NORTHEAST. SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES THAT CONVECTION IS FINALLY BEGINNING TO ORGANIZE ABOUT ITS CENTER. FORECAST MOTION CONTINUES TO BE SLOW WITH NUMERICAL MODELS SUGGESTING A TURN BACK TOWARDS THE EAST-SOUTHEAST AFTER 48 HOURS. THIS WOULD BE IN RESPONSE TO THE RIDGE MOVING BACK OVER AUSTRALIA SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM WHILE A TROUGH DEEPENS JUST WEST OF THE NORTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND. MOVEMENT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WILL ALSO AFFECT THE CHARACTER OF THIS TROUGH. WIND RADII WERE ADJUSTED TO REFLECT CURRENT SYNOPTIC DATA WHILE MAINTAINING THE STRONG WESTERLY BURST NORTH OF THE CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3 (DTG 071353Z9), 072100Z0 (DTG 071953Z5), 080300Z1 (DTG 080153Z7) AND 080900Z7 (DTG 080753Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Mar 7 17:10:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102439-11539>; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 17:10:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA30466; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 03:06:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4846124 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 03:06:30 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA93650 for ; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 03:06:29 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA07654 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 03:04:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703070904.DAA07654@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Mar 1997 03:04:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 886 WTPS32 PGTW 070900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z3 --- 16.9S6 152.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 330 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.9S6 152.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 16.7S4 152.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 330 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 16.6S3 151.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 335 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 16.3S0 150.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 250 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 15.9S5 150.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 250 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 16.0S7 151.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 250 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 070900Z6 POSITION 16.9S6 152.7E5 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING WEST AT 06 KNOTS. SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM LIHOU REEF (WMO 94296) WITH A 985MB PRESSURE INDICATE THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS TO THEIR EAST-NORTHEAST. SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES THAT CONVECTION IS FINALLY BEGINNING TO ORGANIZE ABOUT ITS CENTER. FORECAST MOTION CONTINUES TO BE SLOW WITH NUMERICAL MODELS SUGGESTING A TURN BACK TOWARDS THE EAST-SOUTHEAST AFTER 48 HOURS. THIS WOULD BE IN RESPONSE TO THE RIDGE MOVING BACK OVER AUSTRALIA SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM WHILE A TROUGH DEEPENS JUST WEST OF THE NORTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND. MOVEMENT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WILL ALSO AFFECT THE CHARACTER OF THIS TROUGH. WIND RADII WERE ADJUSTED TO REFLECT CURRENT SYNOPTIC DATA WHILE MAINTAINING THE STRONG WESTERLY BURST NORTH OF THE CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3 (DTG 071353Z9), 072100Z0 (DTG 071953Z5), 080300Z1 (DTG 080153Z7) AND 080900Z7 (DTG 080753Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Mar 7 21:42:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102596-11539>; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 21:42:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAB77114; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 07:36:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4847104 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 07:36:03 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA247662 for ; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 07:32:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id HAA11169 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 07:30:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703071330.HAA11169@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Mar 1997 07:30:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 383 WTPS31 PGTW 071500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- 18.4S3 176.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.4S3 176.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 20.5S7 174.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 23.3S8 174.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 26.6S4 174.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 30.1S4 174.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 071500Z3 POSITION 18.9S8 175.7E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) HAS JUST SLIPPED TO THE WEST OF NANDI, FIJI. CONFIDENCE IN THE CURRENT WARNING POSITION IS HIGH BASED ON SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM NANJI, A RAGGED EYE FEATURE IN THE ENHANCED INFRARED, AND A 070608Z1 MICROWAVE IMAGERY PASS. WE EXPECT TC 31P TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND TO TAKE A SLIGHT TURN TOWARDS THE SOUTH WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z0 IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5) AND 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Mar 7 22:45:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102596-11539>; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 22:45:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA32948; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 08:38:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4847638 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 08:38:32 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA64558 for ; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 08:38:31 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA12236 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 08:36:42 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703071436.IAA12236@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Mar 1997 08:36:42 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 511 WTPS32 PGTW 071500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- 16.9S6 152.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 330 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.9S6 152.3E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 16.7S4 151.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 330 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 16.5S2 150.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 335 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 16.0S7 150.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 250 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 15.8S4 150.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 250 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 16.0S7 151.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 250 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 071500Z3 POSITION 16.9S6 152.1E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS STILL TRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST, ALTHOUGH IT MAY HAVE SLOWED OUT OVER THE PAST THREE HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE CENTERED OVER EASTERN AUSTRALIA IS IMPEDING OUTFLOW OF TC 32P TO THE SOUTH ALTHOUGH OUTFLOW LOOKS GOOD IN THE OTHER QUADRANTS. ACCORDINGLY, HEAVY CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING NORTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TC 32P IS ELONGATED ALONG AN AXIS FROM THE WEST-NORTHWEST TO EAST-SOUTHEAST AND FURTHER SYMMETRIZATION IS NECESSARY BEFORE SIGNIFICANT INTENSIFICATION CAN OCCUR. THEREFORE, WE EXPECT TC 32P TO DEVELOP AT A SLOWER THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. TRACK FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME AS THE PREVIOUS WARNING. WE ARE EXPECTING TC 32P TO BEGIN TO EXECUTE A LOOP WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS, AND BEGIN TO MOVE TOWARDS THE EAST BEYOND 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z0 IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z0 (DTG 071953Z5), 080300Z1 (DTG 080153Z7), 080900Z7 (DTG 080753Z3) AND 081500Z4 (DTG 081353Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Mar 8 04:24:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102615-11539>; Sat, 8 Mar 1997 04:24:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA26604; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 14:09:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4850224 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 14:08:47 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA133132 for ; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 13:54:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id NAA21237 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 13:52:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703071952.NAA21237@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Mar 1997 13:52:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 052 WTPS32 PGTW 072100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- 16.9S6 152.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 330 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.9S6 152.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 16.8S5 151.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 330 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 16.5S2 151.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 335 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 16.2S9 150.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 250 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 15.8S4 151.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 250 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 16.0S7 152.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 250 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 072100Z0 POSITION 16.9S6 152.0E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS SLOWLY MOVING WESTWARD IN THE CORAL SEA. OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS THE SURFACE WINDS FROM LIHOU REEF (WMO 94296) HAVE SHIFTED FROM SOUTHERLY TO EASTERLY, CONSISTENT WITH THE CURRENT WARNING POSITION AND SPEED. SYSTEM CONVECTION AND ORGANIZATION HAS ALSO INCREASED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AS INDICATED BY OUR 071800Z6 SATELLITE ANALYSIS INDICATING AN INCREASE IN DVORAK T NUMBER TO T3.0. THE CLOUD PATTERN IS STARTING TO CATCH UP WITH THE SURFACE WINDS SHOWN EARLIER IN THE SCATTEROMETRY DATA. FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME AS THE PREVIOUS TWO WARNINGS. WE EXPECT TC 32P TO MOVE WESTWARD EARLY IN THE FORECAST PERIOD BEFORE LOOPING AND TURNING TOWARDS THE EAST LATE IN THE PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z6 IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z1 (DTG 080153Z7), 080900Z7 (DTG 080753Z3), 081500Z4 (DTG 081353Z0) AND 082100Z1 (DTG 081953Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Mar 8 09:56:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102254-29066>; Sat, 8 Mar 1997 09:56:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA234478; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 19:48:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4853215 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 19:47:47 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA133264 for ; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 19:47:45 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id TAA27440 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 19:45:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703080145.TAA27440@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Mar 1997 19:45:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 608 WTPS31 PGTW 080300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- 18.9S8 175.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 195 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.9S8 175.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 20.0S2 175.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 22.4S8 175.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 26.0S8 175.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 29.9S0 175.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION 19.2S2 175.6E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) IS MOVING SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 072330Z VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND 080000Z SURFACE WIND REPORTS FROM NANDI, FIJI (WMO 91680). TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN STEERING FLOW BETWEEN AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TO ITS WEST AND AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE TO ITS EAST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. ACCORDINGLY, A GENERAL MOTION TO THE SOUTH IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH 48 HOURS. GAVIN IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE AS STEERING FLOW STRENGTHENS AND WEAKEN GRADUALLY DUE TO INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AS IT MOVES SOUTH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8) AND 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Mar 8 10:51:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102190-262>; Sat, 8 Mar 1997 10:51:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA132338; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 20:45:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4853618 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 20:45:10 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA99254 for ; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 20:45:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA27998 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 20:43:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703080243.UAA27998@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Mar 1997 20:43:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 428 WTPS32 PGTW 080300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- 16.9S6 151.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 330 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.9S6 151.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 16.8S5 151.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 330 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 16.7S4 150.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 335 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 16.4S1 150.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 250 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 16.1S8 150.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 250 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 16.0S7 152.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 250 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION 16.9S6 151.7E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 072330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF SURFACE WIND REPORTS IN THE AREA AND SURFACE PRESSURE READINGS FROM LIHOU REEF (WMO 94296). JUSTIN IS QUASI-STATIONARY AND IS FORECAST TO DRIFT WESTWARD THROUGH 24 HOURS, THEN GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE EAST AS THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN IT AND GAVIN REORIENTS. JUSTIN IS STILL FORECAST TO GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD AS VERTICAL WIND SHEAR LESSENS OVER IT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080900Z7 (DTG 080753Z3), 081500Z4 (DTG 081353Z0), 082100Z1 (DTG 081953Z6) AND 090300Z2 (DTG 090153Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Mar 8 13:50:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102311-272>; Sat, 8 Mar 1997 13:50:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA220764; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 23:38:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4854803 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 23:38:15 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA220886 for ; Fri, 7 Mar 1997 23:38:14 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA41252 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 7 Mar 1997 23:38:13 -0600 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199703080538.AA41252@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 7 Mar 1997 23:38:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -072338 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 87073 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600Z MAR 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/080151Z MAR 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/080153Z MAR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 5N5 163E0. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A CLOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION WITH THIS SYSTEM LIES TO THE NORTH OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS LIGHT TO MODERATE SURFACE TO 200 MB WIND SHEAR FROM THE SOUTHEAST EXISTS ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 080000Z8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WAS LOCATED AT 18.9S8 175.7E0 MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P WARNING NUMBER 15 (WTPS31 PGTW 080300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 080000Z8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WAS LOCATED AT 16.9S6 151.8E5 MOVING WESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P WARNING NUMBER 09 (WTPS32 PGTW 080300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7S7 179E7 IS NOW NEAR 13S4 180E9. THIS AREA APPEARS TO HAVE SEPARATED FROM THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) AND APPEARS TO LIE IN THE MONSOON TROUGH. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 997 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/DOBBINS/LANDER// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Mar 9 14:13:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102275-17278>; Sun, 9 Mar 1997 14:13:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA73718; Sun, 9 Mar 1997 00:10:43 -0600 Message-Id: <199703090610.AAA73718@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Mar 1997 00:03:26 +1800 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 7 Mar 1997 to 8 Mar 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There is one message totalling 10 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. 'Avanced Weather Center' +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 8 Mar 1997 17:53:29 GMT From: Matthew Biddle Subject: Re: 'Avanced Weather Center' Skipping your medication again I see. CFKM ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 7 Mar 1997 to 8 Mar 1997 ************************************************ From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Mar 8 16:46:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102261-260>; Sat, 8 Mar 1997 16:46:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA47342; Sat, 8 Mar 1997 02:41:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4855784 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Mar 1997 02:41:35 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA07316 for ; Sat, 8 Mar 1997 02:41:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA01126 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Mar 1997 02:39:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703080839.CAA01126@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Mar 1997 02:39:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 293 WTPS32 PGTW 080900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 010 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z4 --- 16.9S6 152.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 330 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 250 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.9S6 152.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 17.0S8 151.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 330 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 250 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 17.1S9 151.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 330 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 250 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 17.1S9 151.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 250 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 17.2S0 150.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 250 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 17.2S0 150.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 250 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 080900Z7 POSITION 16.9S6 152.0E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING VERY SLOWLY WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS RELOCATED BASED ON 080530Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 080600Z SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM LIHOU REEF (WMO 94296). THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF SURFACE SYNOPTIC WIND AND PRESSURE REPORTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P IS NOW FORECAST TO PROGRESS SLOWLY IN A GENERAL WESTWARD DIRECTION THROUGH 72 HOURS. THE MID- LEVEL ANTICYCLONE OVER AUSTRALIA IS FORECAST TO RECEDE SLOWLY WESTWARD AND ALLOW JUSTIN TO CONTINUE ITS CURRENT GENERAL HEADING. THE PREPONDERANCE OF OUR FORECAST AIDS SUPPORT THIS SLOW WESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. A TURN TOWARD THE EAST IS NOW CONSIDERED TO BE A LOW-PROBABILITY ALTERNATE FORECAST SCENARIO. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 (DTG 081353Z0), 082100Z1 (DTG 081953Z6), 090300Z2 (DTG 090153Z8) AND 090900Z8 (DTG 090753Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Mar 8 23:17:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102432-664>; Sat, 8 Mar 1997 23:17:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA189246; Sat, 8 Mar 1997 09:12:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4857487 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Mar 1997 09:12:12 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA71386 for ; Sat, 8 Mar 1997 09:12:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA05529 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Mar 1997 09:10:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703081510.JAA05529@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Mar 1997 09:10:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 588 WTPS32 PGTW 081500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 17.2S0 151.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 250 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.2S0 151.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 17.4S2 151.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 250 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 17.6S4 150.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 250 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 17.7S5 150.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 250 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 17.9S7 149.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 325 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 250 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 18.0S9 148.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 250 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION 17.2S0 151.7E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM REMAINS LOCATED WITHIN A WEAK MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW ENVIRONMENT DUE TO THE COMBINED EFFECT OF EASTERLY FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS AND NORTHERLY FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL CYCLONE-INDUCED RIDGE TO THE EAST OF TC 32P (JUSTIN). THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE PRIMARILY WESTWARD WITH A SLIGHT GAIN IN LATITUDE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY RAPIDLY DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD AT THIS TIME; HOWEVER, SHOULD TC 32P (JUSTIN) INTENSIFY SIGNIFICANTLY, THEN A MORE SOUTHWARD TRACK IS EXPECTED. WIND RADII ARE BASED ON SYNOPTIC SHIP REPORTS AT 12Z. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z1 (DTG 081953Z6), 090300Z2 (DTG 090153Z8), 090900Z8 (DTG 090753Z4) AND 091500Z5 (DTG 091353Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Mar 8 23:32:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102447-664>; Sat, 8 Mar 1997 23:31:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA128146; Sat, 8 Mar 1997 09:28:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4857514 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Mar 1997 09:28:11 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA189312 for ; Sat, 8 Mar 1997 09:28:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA05649 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Mar 1997 09:26:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703081526.JAA05649@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Mar 1997 09:26:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 933 WTPS31 PGTW 081500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 20.0S2 176.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.0S2 176.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 21.5S8 177.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 23.9S4 177.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 26.8S6 177.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 30.0S3 178.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION 20.4S6 176.5E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) IS MOVING SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST TWELVE HOURS AND NOW DISPLAYS A 15 NM DIAMETER CLOUD-FILLED, RAGGED EYE. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO GAIN LATITUDE AS IT MOVES SOUTHWARD WITHIN A TROUGH AXIS DUE TO MODERATE NORTHERLY STEERING FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL CYCLONE-INDUCED RIDGE TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST OF TC 31P (GAVIN). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6) AND 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Mar 9 04:48:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102502-664>; Sun, 9 Mar 1997 04:48:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA130730; Sat, 8 Mar 1997 14:38:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4859537 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Mar 1997 14:36:37 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA130648 for ; Sat, 8 Mar 1997 14:36:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA08773 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Mar 1997 14:34:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703082034.OAA08773@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Mar 1997 14:34:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 098 WTPS32 PGTW 082100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- 17.3S1 151.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 250 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.3S1 151.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 17.5S3 150.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 250 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 17.7S5 150.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 250 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 17.9S7 149.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 250 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 18.1S0 148.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 325 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 250 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 18.6S5 147.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 250 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 082100Z1 POSITION 17.4S2 151.2E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 081830Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA FROM LIHOU REEF (WMO 94296) AND WILLIS ISL (WMO 94299). INFRARED SATELLITE LOOP INDICATES SYSTEM MOTION REMAINS SLOW AND THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS STILL NOT WELL- DEFINED. TC 32P (JUSTIN) REMAINS IN A WEAK MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW ENVIRONMENT. OVERALL STEERING FLOW IS EASTERLY; THEREFORE, THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD AND SLOWLY GAIN LATITUDE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG 090153Z8), 090900Z8 (DTG 090753Z4), 091500Z5 (DTG 091353Z1) AND 092100Z2 (DTG 091953Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Mar 9 09:56:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102183-17278>; Sun, 9 Mar 1997 09:56:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA41500; Sat, 8 Mar 1997 19:50:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4861335 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Mar 1997 19:49:14 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA142560 for ; Sat, 8 Mar 1997 19:49:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id TAA11495 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Mar 1997 19:47:24 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703090147.TAA11495@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Mar 1997 19:47:24 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 253 WTPS32 PGTW 090300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- 17.4S2 151.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 250 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.4S2 151.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 17.5S3 150.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 250 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 17.7S5 149.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 250 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 17.9S7 148.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 250 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 18.1S0 148.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 325 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 250 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 18.5S4 146.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 250 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION 17.4S2 150.8E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE CURRENT WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 082330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, A 090000Z SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORT FROM LIHOU REEF (WMO 94296) AND A 082000Z SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORT FROM WILLIS ISLETS (WMO 94299). WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF 090000Z SURFACE WIND REPORTS AND A SATELLITE-DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ANALYSIS USING 082330Z VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. JUSTIN IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN STEERING FLOW TO THE SOUTH OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THUS, TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN THE SAME GENERAL HEADING AND SPEED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8 (DTG 090753Z4), 091500Z5 (DTG 091353Z1), 092100Z2 (DTG 091953Z7) AND 100300Z4 (DTG 100153Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Mar 9 10:49:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102183-17278>; Sun, 9 Mar 1997 10:49:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA134350; Sat, 8 Mar 1997 20:42:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4861587 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 8 Mar 1997 20:41:16 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA254572 for ; Sat, 8 Mar 1997 20:41:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA12015 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 8 Mar 1997 20:39:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703090239.UAA12015@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 8 Mar 1997 20:39:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 068 WTPS31 PGTW 090300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- 22.3S7 176.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 170 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.3S7 176.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 25.3S0 177.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 27.7S6 178.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 29.9S0 178.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 32.0S5 177.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION 23.1S6 177.1E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 082330Z VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND AN 081800Z SHIP REPORT. GAVIN IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT ENCOUNTERS COOLER WATERS AND HIGHER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SOUTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P REMAINS IN STEERING FLOW BETWEEN A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO ITS EAST AND A MID- LEVEL TROUGH TO ITS WEST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z IS 27 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9) AND 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Mar 10 14:11:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102487-11522>; Mon, 10 Mar 1997 14:11:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA235334; Mon, 10 Mar 1997 00:09:55 -0600 Message-Id: <199703100609.AAA235334@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Mar 1997 00:04:01 +1800 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 8 Mar 1997 to 9 Mar 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There is one message totalling 26 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Northeastern bomb +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 9 Mar 1997 19:40:48 -0500 From: Shawn Trueman Subject: Northeastern bomb Does anyone have any more information about the incredible storm that affected the northeastern US and southeastern Canada last Thursday and Friday? I heard the pressure was about 28.18 inches (954.3 mb). This has to be one of the deepest extratropical storms to affect North America ever. The strong wind from this storm was responsible for blowing over a tree that killed four young girls in a school van in Queens, New York. I did my Master's Degree thesis about Gulf of Mexico winter storms that affected the eastern Ohio Valley. One of the storms I examined was the January 26, 1978 blizzard in the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes. This storm's lowest pressure was about 955.5 mb. Dr. Lance Bosart and Ph.D. student Greg Hakim at SUNY Albany wrote two articles in _Monthly Weather Review_ about this storm. Shawn Trueman, M.S. Atmospheric Sciences Program The Ohio State University ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 8 Mar 1997 to 9 Mar 1997 ************************************************ From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Mar 9 16:42:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102281-17278>; Sun, 9 Mar 1997 16:42:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA220804; Sun, 9 Mar 1997 02:36:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4863512 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Mar 1997 02:35:53 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA52834 for ; Sun, 9 Mar 1997 02:35:52 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA14924 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Mar 1997 02:34:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703090834.CAA14924@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Mar 1997 02:34:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 960 WTPS32 PGTW 090900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- 17.5S3 150.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 250 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.5S3 150.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 17.6S4 150.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 250 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 17.8S6 149.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 250 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 17.9S7 148.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 250 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 18.0S9 148.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 325 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 250 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 18.0S9 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 250 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION 17.5S3 150.6E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING SLOWLY WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 090530Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 090600Z SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORT FROM WILLIS ISLETS (WMO 94299) AND AN 090500Z SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORT FROM LIHOU REEF (WMO 94276). THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF A SATELLITE-DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ANALYSIS USING THE SAME SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS 090600Z SURFACE PRESSURE REPORTS FROM LIHOU REEF. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. JUSTIN IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5 (DTG 091353Z1), 092100Z2 (DTG 091953Z7), 100300Z4 (DTG 100153Z0) AND 100900Z0 (DTG 100753Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Mar 9 22:50:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102437-17278>; Sun, 9 Mar 1997 22:50:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA142366; Sun, 9 Mar 1997 08:45:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4864607 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Mar 1997 08:45:05 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA252884 for ; Sun, 9 Mar 1997 08:45:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA19118 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Mar 1997 08:43:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703091443.IAA19118@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Mar 1997 08:43:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 947 WTPS31 PGTW 091500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNING NR 018 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- 25.1S8 177.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.1S8 177.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 27.7S6 177.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 29.8S9 177.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 31.5S9 176.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 33.2S8 176.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 091500Z5 POSITION 25.8S5 177.0E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHWARD DUE TO NORTHERLY STEERING FLOW. TC 31P (GAVIN) IS EXPECTED TO SLOW AND MOVE SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD AHEAD OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. ADDITIONALLY, THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES OVER COOLER WATER AND INTO A HIGHER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. SYSTEM IS ALSO ANTICIPATED TO START TO TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW WITHIN 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8) AND 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Mar 9 22:51:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102434-17278>; Sun, 9 Mar 1997 22:51:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA236068; Sun, 9 Mar 1997 08:46:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4864612 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Mar 1997 08:46:47 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA123378 for ; Sun, 9 Mar 1997 08:46:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA19126 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Mar 1997 08:44:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703091444.IAA19126@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Mar 1997 08:44:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 953 WTPS32 PGTW 091500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 015 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- 17.1S9 151.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 280 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.1S9 151.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 17.1S9 150.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 280 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 17.2S0 150.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 280 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 17.3S1 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 280 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 17.4S2 148.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 330 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 265 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 17.6S4 147.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 315 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 255 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 091500Z5 POSITION 17.1S9 150.9E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS QUASI-STATIONARY WITH A WESTWARD DRIFT OF 1 KNOT. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM WILLIS ISL (WMO 94299) AND LIHOU REEF (WMO 94276). THIS IS A RELOCATED WARNING BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY LOOPS AND SYNOPTIC DATA. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM CENTER IS NOT WELL DEFINED AND THE DEEPEST CONVECTION IS LOCATED AWAY FROM THE CENTER. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF SATELLITE-DERIVED DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES AND SYNOPTIC REPORTS. WIND RADII ARE BASED ON 12Z SYNOPTIC SHIP AND LAND REPORTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. TC 32P (JUSTIN) IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD, AND INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY AFTER 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2 (DTG 091953Z7), 100300Z4 (DTG 100153Z0), 100900Z0 (DTG 100753Z6) AND 101500Z7 (DTG 101353Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Mar 10 04:58:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102480-17278>; Mon, 10 Mar 1997 04:58:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA71218; Sun, 9 Mar 1997 14:52:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4866707 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Mar 1997 14:51:31 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA71180 for ; Sun, 9 Mar 1997 14:51:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA22540 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Mar 1997 14:49:41 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703092049.OAA22540@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Mar 1997 14:49:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 967 WTPS32 PGTW 092100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 016 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091800Z8 --- 16.8S5 151.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 410 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.8S5 151.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 16.8S5 150.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 410 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 16.9S6 150.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 400 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 17.0S8 149.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 400 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 17.1S9 149.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 330 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 400 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 17.2S0 148.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 325 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 400 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 092100Z2 POSITION 16.8S5 151.1E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS QUASI-STATIONARY. WARNING POSITION HAS BEEN RELOCATED BASED ON A 091249Z SCATTEROMETER PASS AND SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WILLIS ISL (WMO 94299) AND LIHOU REEF (WMO 94276). THE WIND RADII HAVE BEEN CHANGED BASED ON THE SAME SCATTEROMETER PASS. THE SYSTEM REMAINS LOCATED WITHIN A WEAK MID-LEVEL STEERING ENVIRONMENT. THE STEERING FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS IS EXPECTED TO DOMINATE SLIGHTLY OVER THE STEERING FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE EQUATORIAL WESTERLIES. THIS WILL RESULT IN A SLOW WESTWARD DRIFT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 0901800Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100300Z4 (DTG 100153Z0), 100900Z0 (DTG 100753Z6), 101500Z7 (DTG 101353Z3) AND 102100Z4 (DTG 101953Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Mar 10 10:16:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102334-11522>; Mon, 10 Mar 1997 10:16:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA227228; Sun, 9 Mar 1997 20:09:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4868612 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Mar 1997 20:09:12 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA132214 for ; Sun, 9 Mar 1997 20:09:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA25634 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Mar 1997 20:07:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703100207.UAA25634@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Mar 1997 20:07:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 305 WTPS32 PGTW 100300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- 16.8S5 151.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - QUASI-STATIONARY POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 315 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.8S5 151.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 16.8S5 151.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 315 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 16.8S5 150.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 315 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 16.8S5 150.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 315 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 16.8S5 150.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 330 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 315 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 16.9S6 149.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 325 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 305 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 100300Z4 POSITION 16.8S5 151.2E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS QUASI-STATIONARY. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 092330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM LIHOU REEF (WMO 94296) AND WILLIS ISLETS (WMO 94299). WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF A SATELLITE-DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE USING 092330Z SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AN 092100Z SURFACE PRESSURE REPORT FROM LIHOU REEF. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN WEAK STEERING FLOW FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THEN MOVE SLOWLY WESTWARD AS A MID-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS TO ITS SOUTHEAST. SOME SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. JUSTIN IS OVER WARM WATERS AND HAS FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z0 (DTG 100753Z6), 101500Z7 (DTG 101353Z3), 102100Z4 (DTG 101953Z9) AND 110300Z5 (DTG 110153Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Mar 10 10:55:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102147-11522>; Mon, 10 Mar 1997 10:55:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA110686; Sun, 9 Mar 1997 20:51:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4868856 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 9 Mar 1997 20:50:59 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA76840 for ; Sun, 9 Mar 1997 20:50:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA25936 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 9 Mar 1997 20:49:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703100249.UAA25936@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 9 Mar 1997 20:49:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 884 WTPS31 PGTW 100300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNING NR 019 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- 27.6S5 176.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 27.6S5 176.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 30.2S5 175.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 32.5S0 176.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 34.9S6 177.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: C HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 37.5S5 178.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS0 ;Q BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 100300Z4 POSITION 28.3S3 176.1E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 12 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 092330Z VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE ADJUSTED USING A SYNOPTIC SHIP REPORT. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING. GAVIN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AND TURN SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. GAVIN IS FORECAST TO BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IN 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1) AND 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Mar 11 14:09:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102641-21278>; Tue, 11 Mar 1997 14:09:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA33572; Tue, 11 Mar 1997 00:05:19 -0600 Message-Id: <199703110605.AAA33572@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Mar 1997 00:00:01 +1800 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 9 Mar 1997 to 10 Mar 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 12 messages totalling 360 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Snowfall Measurements?? 2. chaser's cam 3. 'Avanced Weather Center' 4. Tornado Percentage (2) 5. New Intellicast Home 6. National Weather Association February 1997 Newsletter 7. Canadian Weather Radar 8. Hot software from Norman OK: Sky Access 9. need Info 10. NWA Severe Weather Conference weather... 11. Algorithm for solar elevation correction +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 9 Mar 1997 09:31:16 EST From: Robert Lightbown Subject: Snowfall Measurements?? I have been using a 4 Inch diameter rain gauge (The Outer Cylinder) and my patio for the past couple of years to measure snowfall during snowstorms...the problem I keep running into is that the rain gauge is made out of plastic and it keeps breaking around the bracket holders because of cold weather and freezing in the brackets so that when you take the gauge out of its brackets to measure snowfall it cracks!! I am now looking for new ways to measure snowfall...a cylinder would be preferred...but not plastic due to it cracking under severe weather conditions. I would like some ideas for products to use to measure snowfall...and yet hold the cylinder in place to avoid it being blown over in high winds... which is common in Caribou. Any help or advice would be very much appreciated!! Thanks In Advance... Rob Lightbown/Caribou ME ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 7 Mar 1997 15:28:00 GMT From: Eric Gross Subject: Re: chaser's cam >Eh! Good idea... a webcam on the dash of the car of a stormchaser, live >on the Internet while he chase!!! Oh yes, what a winner of an idea! I can see it now, as us desk-bound chasers follow the adventures of our more fortunate brethren during the heart of the tornado season. My virtual storm chase, May 23, 1997: 0735 AM -- Log on fails (home: AOL provider) 0805 AM -- Log on fails (work: university server down) 0817 AM -- View: front of a sleazy, run-down motel. 0832 AM -- Site crashes in mid-download 0847 AM -- View: McDonald's drive in line. Bubba in rusted Ford pickup in line ahead is picking his nose. 0857 AM -- View: McDonald's drive in line. One car closer to window. 0915 AM -- Server can't find URL 0929 AM -- View: Interstate 0938 AM -- View: Interstate. Sky clear. 0959 AM -- Site crashes in mid-download. 1013 AM -- View: Interstate, back of cattle trailer. Six large, technicolor bug-splats on windshield. 1039 AM -- Windows locks up attempting to open Netscape. 1101 AM -- View: Interstate, corner of Snickers wrapper visible to lower left. 1141 AM -- Boss walks in while accessing site; abort 1209 PM -- View: A service station. Tan, nubile blonde pumping gas into old Trans Am at island ahead. View somewhat obscured by drool on windshield. 1242 PM -- View: U.S. Highway. Back of large, dusty International Harvester tractor towing a harrow. Driver is spitting something out the cab window. Looks like Copenhagen. 0105 PM -- View: An Alsops 0122 PM -- Server can't find URL 0123 PM -- Netscape crashes trying to reconnect 0124 PM -- Site crashes in mid-download 0145 PM -- View: Miscellaneous Highway, somewhere in Texas panhandle. Sky: scattered cumulus, little vertical development. 0228 PM -- View: pulled off on side of road; nothing ahead. ? 0239 PM -- View: obscurred, looks like by a map. 0315 PM -- Windows freezes opening Netscape. 0321 PM -- View: railroad crossing, boxcars going by in a blur 0347 PM -- View: front of convenience store; geeky-looking, slightly overweight pale white male, roughly 30, leaving store with a six-pack of Dr. Pepper and a bag of Doritos. Assume this must be the chaser. 0418 PM -- Server can't find URL 0423 PM -- View: Farm-to-market road. Vehicle going the other way, looks like Setzer and Pietrycha. 0437 PM -- View: Farm-to-market road. Back of Setzer and Pietrycha's car. 0458 PM -- Netscape freezes opening site. 0508 PM -- View: Off side of road. Two other vehicles ahead, also off the road. Five white males, three holding video cams, two setting up tripods. 0515 PM -- View: Same as before, except everyone looking off to the left, two shielding eyes against glare, one pointing. Sky ahead full of cumulus, none with noteworthy development. 0517 PM -- View: Same as before, except everyone is packing up and going back to vehicles. 30-ish white male noted earlier at convenience store is returning towards camera; looks dissapointed. Note stain on T-shirt, possibly burito. 0541 PM -- Log On Fails (back at home, AOL provider) 0559 PM -- Log on Fails 0613 PM -- View: U.S. Highway, somewhere in the Texas Panhandle. Sky ahead three-fourths cumulus, a couple of building towers noted. 0654 PM -- View: U.S. Highway, somewhere in the Texas Panhandle. Towers noted earlier have peaked and diminished. 0721 PM -- View: U.S. Highway, somewhere in theTexas Panhandle. From angle of the sun it looks like we have turned around. Sky ahead shows a large, rock-hard, striated tower and back-sheared anvil with an overshooting top, rising over the horizon in the far distance. 0741 PM -- Site crashes in mid-download 0815 PM -- View: U.S. Highway, somewhere in the Texas Panhandle. Beautiful view of the setting sun playing across the top of previously mentioned distant supercell. A quick check to TWC confirms that this meso, located over SW Oklahoma, is now attended by a tornado warning and producing large hail. 0855 PM -- URL not available. 0915 PM -- View: Interstate, blurred tail lights. 0955 PM -- View: Convenience store, previously noted white mail buying a sixpack of Budweiser and a bag of Cheetos. 1028 PM -- View: Front of sleazy, run-down hotel. 1029 PM -- Wife comes and threatens me with bodily harm if I don't turn off the computer and come to bed. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 7 Mar 1997 16:09:16 GMT From: Eric Gross Subject: Re: 'Avanced Weather Center' I noticed the "Advanced Weather Center" was having "advanced" sound troubles.:) Also, does anyone but me think that their advertising at the tops of the maps takes up too much space? The maps are shoved down, cutting off the bottom. ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 9 Mar 1997 13:55:42 -0500 From: Darksmoke Subject: Tornado Percentage Howdy, I'm working on a article that describes the Fujita Scale. I was wanting to add the percentage of tornadoes that are F0, F1, and so on. I have done some research into this using the usual weather information outlet's, but have not found this type of information yet. I was wondering if anyone here knows of a site, or document that contains this information if it is available. Thanks. Chad (Darksmoke) ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 9 Mar 1997 23:39:49 GMT From: "Paul Britton Jr." Subject: New Intellicast Home If anyone has not checked it out, http://www.intellicast.com/preview/ the new home of Intellicast opens this week. Check it out. Paul Britton Jr. wxguide@concentric.net ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 10 Mar 1997 16:29:17 GMT From: Eric Gross Subject: Re: Tornado Percentage >I'm working on a article that describes the Fujita Scale. I was wanting >to add the percentage of tornadoes that are F0, F1, and so on. I have done >some research into this using the usual weather information outlet's, but >have not found this type of information yet. I was wondering if anyone here >knows of a site, or document that contains this information if it is available. >Thanks. Approximately: F0-F1 (Weak) Tornadoes %75 F2-F3 (Strong) Tornadoes %24 F4-F5 (Violent) Tornadoes %1 or less Keep in mind that we don't actually "know" the "real" number or tornadoes that occur each year, since many/most are very time and space limited events that happen in relatively sparsely populated areas. Many people in the field believe, for example, that only about 1/2 of all "weak" tornadoes actually get reported/verified. Note also that verification of F-scale rating is problematic for many of these tornadoes, as the F-scale judges *damage to structures* and is not an absolute indication of maximum windspeed. There simply is no way to verify maximum windspeeds in most tornadoes, since sensors cannot adequately be deployed to cover all parts of the vortex. Many tornadoes affect only open ground or vegetation, and there is no adeqaute way to correlate the effects upon these things to a windspeed. Tornado intensity is also not steady-state throughout its life, especially for the longer track tornadoes; they can weaken and intensify as vortex structure and conditions in the supporting storm change. Therefore, due to all the above, you have to take classifications and statistics with a good grain of salt. For example, you can have a tornado that reaches F4 status along its track, but if the only visible damage that it produces is to knock down some sheds or pluck a few roofing tiles off a house on the periphery of the vortex, it may only be rated an F0 or F1. Conversely, a storm that produces a small stretch of F4 damage along its tack may have been largely F1 or F2 for most of its track . . . . In short, there's just a lot about tornadoes that can't be nailed down with absolution -- at least, not with the current state of our technology. As for websites, there are several good ones. I recommend The Tornado Project site, both for its info and its links. I don't have the address offhand, but simply do a search on Yahoo or whatever available engine you have. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 10 Mar 1997 15:42:00 EST From: Floyd Hauth Subject: National Weather Association February 1997 Newsletter Topics included in the February 1997 NWA Newsletter are: 1. President's Message ( including his theme for the year, "Operational meteorologists providing value-added products and services to a diverse customer base") 2. Dates to remember 3. New Award--The NWA Meteorological Satellite Applications Award 4. SELS leaves kansas City after 42 years 5. 1997 NWA Officers and Cuncilors announced 6. Featured NWA Council Member: Dr. James Moore 7. Member News 8. Local Chapter News 9. Fixing the "Year 2000 Problem" 10. National Research Council reviews Weather Satellite Requirements 11. Budget Shortfalls for NWS 12. Job Corner For copies or additional information contact J. Kevin Lavin at 334-312-0388 or email: natweaasoc@aol.com. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 10 Mar 1997 16:12:01 -0600 From: Mark Krukowski Subject: Canadian Weather Radar Does anyone out there know where I can obtain Canadian Radar images. I have not been able to find a site. Thank You. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 10 Mar 1997 18:47:42 EST From: Tim Vasquez <71611.2267@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: Hot software from Norman OK: Sky Access This is the first public announcement of a new weather software application joining the ranks of WeatherGraphix and Digital Atmosphere -- SKY ACCESS. This program has been under low-key development since early 1996, completed final beta testing on March 9, and will be introduced at the Iowa NWA Conference in Des Moines on March 15. If you can't wait already and want to download it, just head to: http://www.telepath.com/tvasquez/ Note that Win 95 or NT and at least 4 MB of RAM and 4 MB of disk space are required. You must also be running a typical Internet connection (a network connection or Win95 DialUp Services/NT RAS is recommended). SKY ACCESS is an intelligent browser designed from the bottom up for fast, efficient retrieval of weather resources on the Internet. A slick menu system and a series of station index maps help guide you rapidly to the exact product you want. Charts are drawn to the screen using a multiple- document interface, meaning that comparing the latest visible satellite photo with the latest surface chart is a snap. Assemble the maps you want, save them as your favorites, and the next time you're on the Internet a single mouse click will display updated versions of all these charts. Supporting multiple sockets, SKY ACCESS has no problem downloading several products simultaneously. The registered version has the additional bonus feature of automatically updating (reloading) all the panels at a given interval, making it an outstanding choice for local networks, ISDN connections, or those who don't mind tying up their local ISP. Once again, SKY ACCESS is available at the WeatherGraphix homepage below. As always, all feedback and bug reports are appreciated. Enjoy! Tim Vasquez author, WeatherGraphix Norman, OK Digital Atmosphere 71611.2267@compuserve.com (405) 573-0700 WeatherGraphix/Digital Atmosphere -- http://www.telepath.com/www/tvasquez/ StormTrack Online -- http://www.telepath.com/www/storm/ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 10 Mar 1997 14:03:47 -0500 From: Jonathan Blaes Subject: need Info Need info on how to subscribe to New England WX observers mailing list. Thanks in advance...Jonathan ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 10 Mar 1997 21:30:07 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: NWA Severe Weather Conference weather... Anyone else notice that if the 0Z MRF run from today verifies, we'll be having this conference buried in snow? (and several people from UIUC are already poo-pooing the fact they'll be in the chase...er, warm sector!). We'll see...I'm buying the MRF now that the height falls are starting to go in the Pacific... Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * Got mole problems? Call Avogadro at 6.02 X 10^23. * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 10 Mar 1997 22:22:00 -0500 From: "Mark D. Conner" Subject: Algorithm for solar elevation correction I work with the Satellite Applications group at Air Force Global Weather Center. About a year ago, I implemented a simple algorithm on our workstation-based satellite display program that corrects visible channel data for the effects of solar elevation. In effect, this makes the visible channel represent albedo rather than brightness and makes the visible image fairly uniform across the disk from terminator to terminator. The algorithm I use simply divides the brightness value by the cosine of the zenith angle. Small values (0.02 > cos(za) > 0) are set to 0.02 to prevent excessive enhancement near the terminator, and if cos(za) <= 0 (dark side of terminator) the resulting values are set to zero. This algorithm would probably work well for the moon, since it doesn't account for atmospheric scattering. I would like to improve this algorithm to account for this scattering so the images I get don't "white out" within 2-3 degrees of the terminator. I would like either a function or look-up table that takes zenith angle as an input variable and returns the amount to multiply to the input visible-channel brightness value. If you have such an algorithm, or know where I might find it, please let me know at this address or at my work address (connerm@afgwc.offutt.af.mil). Thanks. Capt Mark Conner Satellite Applications AF Global Weather Center Offutt AFB NE (402) 294-9757 ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 9 Mar 1997 to 10 Mar 1997 ************************************************* From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Mar 10 15:01:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102504-11522>; Mon, 10 Mar 1997 15:01:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA248356; Mon, 10 Mar 1997 00:52:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4870671 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Mar 1997 00:52:02 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA40704 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 1997 00:52:01 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA48556 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 10 Mar 1997 00:52:01 -0600 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199703100652.AA48556@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Mar 1997 00:52:01 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -100052 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 43177 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600Z MAR 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/100151Z MAR 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/100153Z MAR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 6N6 151E7. SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGESTS A CLOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER REMAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF CKJVCTION WHI8 KS RITUATED IN THE NEAR-EQUATORIAL TROUGH. SOME DEEONVECTION HAS FLARED UP NEAR THE CENTER OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. SATELLITE-DERIVED WATER VAPOR WIND DATA INDICATE ABOUT 30 KNOTS OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BETWEEN THE SURFACE AND 200 MB EXISTS ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 100000Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WAS LOCATED AT 27.6S5 176.2E6 MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P WARNING NUMBER 19 (WTPS31 PGTW 100300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 100000Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WAS LOCATED AT 16.8S5 151.2E9, AND IT WAS QUASI-STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P WARNING NUMBER 17 (WTPS32 PGTW 100300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 179E7 IS NOW NEAR 10S1 180E9. THIS AREA REMAINS IN THE MONSOON TROUGH. SATELLITE-DERIVED WATER VAPOR WIND DATA INDICATE THERE IS FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/DOBBINS// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Mar 10 22:23:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102439-11522>; Mon, 10 Mar 1997 22:23:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA204376; Mon, 10 Mar 1997 08:18:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4872653 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Mar 1997 08:17:26 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA122958 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 1997 08:17:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA03972 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Mar 1997 08:15:34 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703101415.IAA03972@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Mar 1997 08:15:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 564 WTPS32 PGTW 101500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 019 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- 16.7S4 151.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 320 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.7S4 151.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 16.6S3 151.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 320 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 16.8S5 150.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 320 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 16.9S6 150.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 345 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 315 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 17.0S8 150.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 335 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 315 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 17.1S9 149.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 335 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 315 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 101500Z7 POSITION 16.7S4 151.3E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS QUASI-STATIONARY. THE SYSTEM REMAINS LOCATED BETWEEN WILLIS ISL (WMO 94299) AND LIHOU REEF (WMO 94296). THE TROPICAL CYCLONE REMAINS LOCATED WITHIN A WEAK MID-LEVEL STEERING ENVIRONMENT. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST REASONING FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. TC 32P (JUSTIN) IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WESTWARD THOUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO EASTERLY STEERING FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. OUR PRIMARY DYNAMIC OBJECTIVE FORECAST GUIDANCE CONTINUE TO SUPPORT THIS TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z IS 23 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WIND AND SEAS WARNING FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z4 (DTG 101953Z9), 110300Z5 (DTG 110153Z1), 110900Z1 (DTG 110753Z7) AND 111500Z8 (DTG 111353Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Mar 10 23:46:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102612-11522>; Mon, 10 Mar 1997 23:46:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA171322; Mon, 10 Mar 1997 09:32:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4873090 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Mar 1997 09:31:22 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA40040 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 1997 09:04:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA04472 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Mar 1997 09:02:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703101502.JAA04472@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Mar 1997 09:02:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 197 WTPS31 PGTW 101500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASS RTVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNING NR 020 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- 29.9S0 176.6E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 320 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.9S0 176.6E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 32.3S8 176.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 320 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 34.5S2 176.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 320 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 36.5S4 176.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 320 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 38.4S5 177.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 330 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 101500Z7 POSITION 30.5S8 176.6E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 20P (F?RHNS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW AS HIGH PRDSRURE BTHLDR DN THD BJTT?FEST. WIND RADII HAVE BEEN EXPANDED BASED ON AN OLDER 092200Z SCATTEROMETER PASS AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL NEAR 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9) AND 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Mar 11 04:36:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102623-11522>; Tue, 11 Mar 1997 04:36:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA141842; Mon, 10 Mar 1997 14:24:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4875129 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Mar 1997 14:21:23 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA258950 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 1997 14:17:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA08480 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Mar 1997 14:15:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703102015.OAA08480@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Mar 1997 14:15:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 776 WTPS32 PGTW 102100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 020 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101800Z0 --- 16.6S3 151.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 320 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.6S3 151.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 16.6S3 151.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 320 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 16.7S4 151.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 320 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 16.8S5 150.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 345 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 315 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 16.9S6 150.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 335 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 315 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 17.0S8 150.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 335 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 315 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 102100Z4 POSITION 16.6S3 151.4E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS QUASI-STATIONARY AND REMAINS LOCATED BETWEEN WILLIS ISL (WMO 94299) AND LIHOU REEF (WMO 94296). THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE FORECAST REASONING FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE REMAINS LOCATED IN A WEAK MID-LEVEL STEERING ENVIRONMENT. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WESTWARD DUE TO WEAK EASTERLY STEERING FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE, WHICH IS BUILDING TO THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z IS 23 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WIND AND SEAS WARNING FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z5 (DTG 10153Z1), 110900Z1 (DTG 110753Z7), 111500Z8 (DTG 11353Z4) AND 112100Z5 (DTG 111953Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Mar 11 10:50:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102247-21278>; Tue, 11 Mar 1997 10:50:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA41504; Mon, 10 Mar 1997 20:04:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4879017 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Mar 1997 20:04:07 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA252766 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 1997 20:02:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA12254 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Mar 1997 20:00:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703110200.UAA12254@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Mar 1997 20:00:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 401 WTPS31 PGTW 110300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNING NR 021 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- 33.0S6 176.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 195 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 310 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 33.0S6 176.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 35.8S6 175.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 280 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 38.4S5 175.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 260 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 41.1S6 174.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 260 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 44.4S2 176.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION 33.7S3 175.9E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) IS CURRENTLY AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH MOST OF THE CONVECTION AHEAD AND TO THE SOUTH OF THIS SYSTEM. CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON AN IN-HOUSE SATELLITE ANALYSIS TECHNIQUE FOR SYSTEMS UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AS WELL AS SHIP REPORTS IN THE AREA. WE EXPECT TC 31P TO CONTINUE IN A MOSTLY SOUTHERLY DIRECTION THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS THE SYSTEM UNDERGOES EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2) AND 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Mar 11 10:42:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102192-21278>; Tue, 11 Mar 1997 10:41:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA249158; Mon, 10 Mar 1997 20:25:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4879252 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Mar 1997 20:25:07 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA154228 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 1997 20:25:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA12507 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Mar 1997 20:23:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703110223.UAA12507@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 10 Mar 1997 20:23:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 807 WTPS32 PGTW 110300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 021 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- 16.5S2 151.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 320 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.5S2 151.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 16.5S2 151.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 320 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 16.6S3 151.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 320 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 16.6S3 150.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 345 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 315 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 16.5S2 150.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 335 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 315 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 16.3S0 150.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 335 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 315 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION 16.5S2 151.4E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS QUASISTATIONARY IN THE CORAL SEA. CURRENT WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON CURRENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA FROM LIHOU REEF (WMO 94296) AND WILLIS ISLAND (WMO 94299). TC 32P IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 72 HOURS AND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT ABOUT THE SAME INTENSITY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WIND AND SEAS WARNING FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z1 (DTG 110753Z7), 111500Z8 (DTG 111353Z4), 112100Z5 (DTG 111953Z0) AND 120300Z6 (DTG 120153Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Mar 12 14:14:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102372-1346>; Wed, 12 Mar 1997 14:13:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA23182; Wed, 12 Mar 1997 00:12:11 -0600 Message-Id: <199703120612.AAA23182@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Mar 1997 00:04:27 +1800 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 10 Mar 1997 to 11 Mar 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 13 messages totalling 455 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. NWA Severe Weather Conference weather... 2. WX-TALK Digest - 9 Mar 1997 to 10 Mar 1997-correction 3. Advanced Weather Center 4. Scattering Algorithms 5. Nebraska storms (2) 6. TWC shadows in the Advanced Weather Center (2) 7. GOES-10 8. Tornado Percentage 9. WX-TALK Digest - 4 Mar 1997 to 5 Mar 1997 10. NWA Conference: OH GREAT!!!!! (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 11 Mar 1997 06:31:42 -0600 From: Dennis Gabler Subject: Re: NWA Severe Weather Conference weather... > >Anyone else notice that if the 0Z MRF run from today verifies, >we'll be having this conference buried in snow? > It's because we've had nice weather during the girls state basketball tournament here in Des Moines. The WX is traditionally crappy so it has to rain (or snow) on somebodys parade :-) -- Dennis Gabler --o--------------------------=o=--------------------------o-- | http://www.qsl.net/w5dg dennisg@microware.com W5DG___________________| W5DG@N0UXV.CIA.IA.USA.NA Principal Software Engineer Microware Systems Corp. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 11 Mar 1997 07:27:00 EST From: Floyd Hauth Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 9 Mar 1997 to 10 Mar 1997-correction Corrected telephone reference. Sorry. National Weather Association February 1997 Newsletter Topics included in the February 1997 NWA Newsletter are: 1. President's Message ( including his theme for the year, "Operational meteorologists providing value-added products and services to a diverse customer base") 2. Dates to remember 3. New Award--The NWA Meteorological Satellite Applications Award 4. SELS leaves kansas City after 42 years 5. 1997 NWA Officers and Cuncilors announced 6. Featured NWA Council Member: Dr. James Moore 7. Member News 8. Local Chapter News 9. Fixing the "Year 2000 Problem" 10. National Research Council reviews Weather Satellite Requirements 11. Budget Shortfalls for NWS 12. Job Corner For copies or additional information contact J. Kevin Lavin at 334-213-0388 or email: natweaasoc@aol.com. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 11 Mar 1997 08:54:38 -0500 From: Corey Lefkof Subject: Re: Advanced Weather Center Item Subject: Message text Also, have you noticed that there is this very distracting shadow cast upon the maps? When the OCM sticks his/her arm to point something out, a shadow is cast upon the map. But you have to expect a few quirks with anything new ... -C. Lefkof ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 11 Mar 1997 10:00:34 -0500 From: "Richard L. Slonaker" Subject: Scattering Algorithms # I work with the Satellite Applications group at Air Force Global Weather # Center. About a year ago, I implemented a simple algorithm on our # workstation-based satellite display program that corrects visible channel # data for the effects of solar elevation. In effect, this makes the visible # channel represent albedo rather than brightness and makes the visible image # fairly uniform across the disk from terminator to terminator. # # The algorithm I use simply divides the brightness value by the cosine of the # zenith angle. Small values (0.02 > cos(za) > 0) are set to 0.02 to prevent # excessive enhancement near the terminator, and if cos(za) <= 0 (dark side of # terminator) the resulting values are set to zero. # # This algorithm would probably work well for the moon, since it doesn't # account for atmospheric scattering. I would like to improve this algorithm # to account for this scattering so the images I get don't "white out" within # 2-3 degrees of the terminator. I would like either a function or look-up # table that takes zenith angle as an input variable and returns the amount to # multiply to the input visible-channel brightness value. # # If you have such an algorithm, or know where I might find it, please let me # know at this address or at my work address (connerm@afgwc.offutt.af.mil). # Thanks. # # Capt Mark Conner # Satellite Applications # AF Global Weather Center # Offutt AFB NE # (402) 294-9757 "The problem of radiative transfer in a scattering atmosphere is a problem of multiple scattering of radiation for internal or external sources; ..... The degree of complexity depends to a large extent upon the answer desired for a particular application." -para. 1, page 1, Part I Introduction -Radiative Transfer in Scattering and Absorbing Atmospheres: Standard Computational Procedures -Jacqueline Lenoble, editor The text continues from here. It is one possible starting point for your algorithm search. Cheers! -Richard ********************************************************************* * fmh@amf.nrl.navy.mil Richard L. Slonaker * * Naval Research Laboratory * * tel: 202-767-8257 Code 7223 * * fax: 202-767-9194 4555 Overlook Ave., S.W. * * Washington, D.C. 20375 * * USA * ********************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 11 Mar 1997 08:07:21 -0700 From: Jeff Schmidt Subject: Nebraska storms I heard that severe thunderstorms struck south-central Nebraska last Saturday night. Does anybody know anything about these storms, or what they did? I happen to be from Nebraska and I am just curious. -Jeff ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 11 Mar 1997 08:15:47 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TWC shadows in the Advanced Weather Center Corey LEfkof wrote... >Item Subject: Message text > >Also, have you noticed that there is this very distracting shadow >cast upon the maps? When the OCM sticks his/her arm to point something >out, a shadow is cast upon the map. > >But you have to expect a few quirks with anything new ... In the compositing process (blue or green screen) be it simple chroma-key or the more complex Ultimatte (TM) process, casting shadows is a *desirable* quality --not a quirk. Shadows give the illusion of three dimensions and that the talent is actually standing in front of a physically solid image (as opposed to being part of an electronic composite). In the old days of chroma-key, the talent tried not to cast shadows because the shadow would case the composited breakground image to tear --exposing the *real* background (the blue or green wall). Just as seeing the OCM's knees will probably take some getting used to, so will the shadows. Perhaps they could scale back the shadow level so that it's not quite as pronounced. I also saw some comments about the lighting. TWCs new set uses high intensity fluorescent lighting --as opposed to incandescent. This form of lighting looks different because 1) it's diffused light and 2) there are fewer physical lamps actually lighting the set. The new lights run a lot cooler, they are cheaper to operate, and they last a lot longer than standard bulbs. Our local post office just retrofitted its facility with similar lighting. It was so bright, compared to what they had before, that many of the employees wore sun glasses the first few days. The TWC's new lighting will make it possible for them do more sophisticated compositing "tricks" like 3D virtual sets (where the OCM might walk around a 3D model of a thunderstorm). The major networks have been playing around with virtual sets and virtual props for quite a while now. TWC finally has the physcial space to start playing with these toys. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 11 Mar 1997 14:11:02 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: GOES-10 >From the Washington Post -- http://www.washingtonpost.com ====== Launch Set for Weather Satellite Tuesday, March 11, 1997 2:02 pm EST WASHINGTON (AP) -- The launch of the nation's newest weather satellite has been scheduled for April 24. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said Tuesday that the GOES-K satellite will be launched from Cape Canaveral, Fla., and will go into a holding orbit to be ready to replace either of the two current stationary weather satellites. The GOES satellites orbit at the same rate the Earth turns, allowing them to remain above the same spot on the planet, watching the weather as it changes. They are the mainstay of short-term weather forecasting, producing the images widely seen on televised weather reports. The satellites also measure water vapor in the atmosphere, ground and sea-surface temperature, winds, heat radiation from the Earth, reflection of sunlight, rain and snowfall and ozone in the air and can detect forest fires and plumes of volcano ash that can endanger airliners. Currently, GOES-9, launched last year, watches over the Western states and the Pacific Ocean, while GOES-8, launched in 1994, observes the East and Atlantic. Once it reaches orbit successfully, GOES-K will be renamed GOES-10. NOAA is spending about $1 billion for five GOES satellites, with two more yet to be delivered. GOES stands for Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 11 Mar 1997 13:50:15 -0600 From: Charles Edwards Subject: Re: TWC shadows in the Advanced Weather Center At 08:15 AM 3/11/97 -0600, Chris Novy wrote: >>Also, have you noticed that there is this very distracting shadow >>cast upon the maps? When the OCM sticks his/her arm to point something >>out, a shadow is cast upon the map. >> >>But you have to expect a few quirks with anything new ... > >In the compositing process (blue or green screen) be it simple chroma-key >or the more complex Ultimatte (TM) process, casting shadows is a *desirable* >quality --not a quirk. Shadows give the illusion of three dimensions and >that the talent is actually standing in front of a physically solid image >(as opposed to being part of an electronic composite). In the old days >of chroma-key, the talent tried not to cast shadows because the shadow >would case the composited breakground image to tear --exposing the *real* >background (the blue or green wall). I have noticed this. The blue background shows through too much. I have seen much better chroma-key on local stations. Charles Edwards Cloud 9 Tours cedwards@rossby.metr.ou.edu http://www3.pair.com/storms storms@pair.com ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 11 Mar 1997 14:18:00 GMT From: Chuck Doswell Subject: Re: Tornado Percentage In article , egross@mailer.fsu.edu (Eric Gross) wrote: > >I'm working on a article that describes the Fujita Scale. I was wanting > >to add the percentage of tornadoes that are F0, F1, and so on. I have done > >some research into this using the usual weather information outlet's, but > >have not found this type of information yet. I was wondering if anyone here > >knows of a site, or document that contains this information if it is available. > >Thanks. I am uncertain about why an article describing the Fujita Scale needs to be written ... Check out the Tornado Project page (below) ... the scale is described and even includes photographs. > Approximately: > > F0-F1 (Weak) Tornadoes %75 > F2-F3 (Strong) Tornadoes %24 > F4-F5 (Violent) Tornadoes %1 or less According to "Significant Tornadoes" the percentages are 68, 30, and 2, respectively. The statistics of this are uncertain for a variety of reasons, including those mentioned below ... > Keep in mind that we don't actually "know" the "real" number or > tornadoes that occur each year, ...deletia... > In short, there's just a lot about tornadoes that can't be nailed down with > absolution -- at least, not with the current state of our technology. > >I recommend The Tornado > Project site, both for its info and its links. I don't have the address > offhand, but simply do a search on Yahoo or whatever available engine you > have. It's at: Chuck Doswell --------------------------------------------------------------------- Dr. Charles A. Doswell III NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, Oklahoma 73069 phone: (405) 366-0439 fax: (405) 366-0472 WWW home page: Standard disclaimer ... my views are my own; don't blame my employer. Can't keep my eyes from the circling sky. An earth-bound misfit, I --------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 11 Mar 1997 01:10:58 +0000 From: Jim Raudy Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 4 Mar 1997 to 5 Mar 1997 My co-worker, Don Baker, suggests: Wind and Weather Albion Street Water Tower P.O.Box 2320 Mendocino, CA 95460 800-922-9463 p.38 #MS-LLCC $10.00 Jim ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 11 Mar 1997 17:25:59 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: NWA Conference: OH GREAT!!!!! EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR 14 MAR THRU 16 MAR 1997 HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER..NCEP..NWS..WASHINGTON DC 2:45 PM EST TUE MAR 11 1997 ...HEAVY SPRING RAINS AGAIN TO RETURN TO THE OH AND MS RIVER BASINS AND HEAVY SNOW FOR THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND UPPER MS VALLEY... ...skipping... THE AVN IS STILL INSISTANT ON A STRONG DIGGING JET COMING INTO NRN CA AND DROPPING SEWD WHICH WOULD CARVE OUT THE NEXT TROF AND DEVELOP THE STRONG SYSTEM FORECAST BY MRF AND MRFX RESULTING IN ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS OVER THE OH VALLEY AND CONVECTION OVER THE SOUTHEAST BUT ESPECIALLY DEVELOPING A DEEP SFC LOW IN THE SRN PLAINS AND MID MS VALLEY AND MOVING NEWD TOWARD THE ERN GREAT LAKES REGION BY DAY 5 (SUN). THIS LOW WILL PRODUCE VERY HEAVY SNOW (POSSIBLY MEASURED IN FEET) WITH NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS IMPLIED BY ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ THE PRESSURE GRADIENT FROM THE ERN DAKOTAS/NB AND EASTWARD INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY AND WRN GREAT LAKES REGION. DAY 3 (FRI) WY CYCLOGENESIS IS EXPECTED AS A STRONG DIGGING JET DIVES SEWD ENHANCING PCPN FROM THE SRN AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS AND SEWD. STRONG GULF INFLOW WILL KEEP THE GULF COAST MS AND TN AND OH VALLEYS WET. HEAVY OVERUNNING RAINFALL IS LIKELY WITH EMBEDDED CONVECTION AS ENERGY EJECTS EASTWARD ALONG AN EAST TO WEST FRONT FROM WRN KY INTO WV AND ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER VA. SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE ERN SLOPES AND PLAINS OF MT WY AND EAST THRU THE DAKOTAS INTO SRN MN WI AND MI. A WEAKENING EPAC LOW WILL COME DRIFT ONSHORE INTO COASTAL WA WHILE A STRONG PAC JET COMES INTO DIVES INTO SWRN OR AND NWRN CA CONTINUING PCPN. DAY 4 (SAT)...THE SRN PLAINS LOW REALLY WINDS UP AND MOVES INTO THE MID MS VALLEY. COLD AIR PLUNGING DOWN THE BACKSIDE AS THE UPPER LOW DEVELOPS WILL BRING MUCH HEAVIER SNOWFALL ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY AND CENTRAL MO VALLEY WITH RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW SOUTH THRU MO. SOME LOCATIONS WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE ************************************************************* NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WITH UP TO 2 FEET OF SNOW ACROSS SRN MN AND IA. HEAVY OVERUNNING RAINFALL WILL SHIFT EAST INTO THE ************************************************************* TIME OUT MOTHER NATURE! This is a severe STORMS conference, not a severe SNOW conference... OK? Please? Arrrrrgggghhhhh. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * Got mole problems? Call Avogadro at 6.02 X 10^23. * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 12 Mar 1997 00:10:21 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: NWA Conference: OH GREAT!!!!! > NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WITH UP TO 2 FEET OF SNOW ACROSS SRN > MN AND IA. HEAVY OVERUNNING RAINFALL WILL SHIFT EAST INTO THE > ************************************************************* > > TIME OUT MOTHER NATURE! This is a severe STORMS conference, not a severe > SNOW conference... OK? > Cool!! Now I won't feel so silly having my cross country skis atop my car... :-) -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS FIRSTT | CIMSS/University of Wisconsin-Madison ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 11 Mar 1997 20:29:45 -0600 From: Ron Clark Subject: Re: Nebraska storms At 08:07 AM 3/11/97 -0700, you wrote: > I heard that severe thunderstorms struck south-central Nebraska last >Saturday night. Does anybody know anything about these storms, or what >they did? I happen to be from Nebraska and I am just curious. > >-Jeff > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > > Actually Jeff most of the "severe" stuff was in the Norfolk to South Sioux City area and the most severe stuff was some hail. No damage to report. Ron Clark N0POM Emergency Coordinator Sarpy County Nebraska ronc@top.net ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 10 Mar 1997 to 11 Mar 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Mar 11 16:14:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102362-21278>; Tue, 11 Mar 1997 16:14:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA133786; Tue, 11 Mar 1997 00:18:59 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4881182 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 1997 00:18:28 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA234850 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 1997 00:18:19 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA43821 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 11 Mar 1997 00:18:18 -0600 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199703110618.AA43821@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Mar 1997 00:18:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -110018 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 55850 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z MAR 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/110151Z MAR 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/110153Z MAR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 151E7 HAS LOST ORGANIZATION IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110000Z2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WAS LOCATED AT 33.0S6 176.1E5 MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P WARNING NUMBER 21 (WTPS31 PGTW 110300)) AND TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 110000Z2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WAS LOCATED AT 16.5S2 151.5E2, AND IT WAS QUASI-STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P WARNING NUMBER 21 (WTPS32 PGTW 110300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 180E9 REMAINS NEAR THAT LOCATION AS PART OF A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE MONSOON TROUGH BUT APPEARS TO BE ORGANIZING AROUND A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 13N4 175E3. SATELLITE-DERIVED WATER VAPOR WIND DATA INDICATE THERE IS FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. SURFACE PRESSURES HAVE FALLEN OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS BY 2 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1001 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: NICKLAS/MEST/GILL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Mar 11 16:16:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102646-21278>; Tue, 11 Mar 1997 16:16:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA248394; Tue, 11 Mar 1997 02:11:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4881506 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 1997 02:11:14 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA43526 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 1997 02:11:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA15694 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Mar 1997 02:09:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703110809.CAA15694@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Mar 1997 02:09:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 667 WTPS32 PGTW 110900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 022 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- 16.5S2 151.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - QUASISTATIONARY POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 320 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.5S2 151.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 16.5S2 151.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 320 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 16.4S1 151.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 320 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 16.3S0 151.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 345 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 315 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 16.3S0 150.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 335 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 315 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 16.2S9 149.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 335 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 315 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION 16.5S2 151.5E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) HAS REMAINED QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. WE EXPECT TC 32P TO REMAIN IN A WEAK STEERING FLOW ENVIRONMENT FOR THE DURATION OF THE FORECAST WITH A SMALL WESTWARD DRIFT FORECAST LATE IN THE PERIOD DUE TO A RIDGE FORECAST TO BUILD OVER THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE AUSTRALIAN CONTINENT PROVIDING SOME WEAK WESTERLY STEERING FLOW. TC 32P IS NOT FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE NEXT 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z8 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WIND AND SEAS WARNING FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8 (DTG 111353Z4), 112100Z5 (DTG 111953Z0), 120300Z6 (DTG 120153Z2) AND 120900Z2 (DTG 120753Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. // +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Mar 11 22:45:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103018-21278>; Tue, 11 Mar 1997 22:43:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAB34498; Tue, 11 Mar 1997 08:36:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4883947 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 1997 08:36:04 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA43512 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 1997 08:36:03 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA20938 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Mar 1997 08:34:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703111434.IAA20938@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Mar 1997 08:34:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 846 WTPS31 PGTW 111500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNING NR 022 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- 34.1S8 176.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 170 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 310 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 34.1S8 176.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 35.6S4 177.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION 34.5S2 176.8E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS. IT IS TRANSITIONING INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM, AND TRANSITION IS EXPECTED TO BE COMPLETE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z5 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Mar 11 22:58:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103002-21278>; Tue, 11 Mar 1997 22:56:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA131666; Tue, 11 Mar 1997 08:48:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4884000 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 1997 08:48:13 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA77114 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 1997 08:48:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA21180 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Mar 1997 08:46:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703111446.IAA21180@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Mar 1997 08:46:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 980 WTPS32 PGTW 110300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 021 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- 16.5S2 151.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 320 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.5S2 151.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 16.5S2 151.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 320 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 16.6S3 151.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 320 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 16.6S3 150.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 345 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 315 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 16.5S2 150.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 335 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 315 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 16.3S0 150.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 335 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 315 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION 16.5S2 151.4E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS QUASISTATIONARY IN THE CORAL SEA. CURRENT WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON CURRENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA FROM LIHOU REEF (WMO 94296) AND WILLIS ISLAND (WMO 94299). TC 32P IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 72 HOURS AND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT ABOUT THE SAME INTENSITY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WIND AND SEAS WARNING FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z1 (DTG 110753Z7), 111500Z8 (DTG 111353Z4), 112100Z5 (DTG 111953Z0) AND 120300Z6 (DTG 120153Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Mar 12 00:05:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103139-21278>; Wed, 12 Mar 1997 00:02:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA146662; Tue, 11 Mar 1997 09:53:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4884602 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 1997 09:52:32 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA133680 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 1997 09:29:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA22157 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Mar 1997 09:28:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703111528.JAA22157@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Mar 1997 09:28:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 564 WTPS32 PGTW 111500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 023 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- 16.6S3 151.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 320 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.6S3 151.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 16.5S2 151.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 320 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 00 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 16.5S2 151.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 320 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 16.4S1 150.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 345 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 315 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 16.3S0 150.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 335 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 315 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 16.2S9 149.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 335 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 315 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION 16.6S3 151.2E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) REMAINS QUASI-STATIONARY IN THE SOUTHWEST PACIFIC. DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS TC 32P HAS DISPLAYED A VERY SLOW WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DRIFT WHICH CAN BE INFERRED FROM ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TC 32P LIES EQUATORWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS IN A REGION WHERE EASTERLY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE RIDGE USUALLY PREDOMINATE THE OVERALL ENVIRONMENTAL STEERING FLOW ON A TROPICAL CYCLONE. HOWEVER, STRONGER THAN USUAL WESTERLIES EXIST NORTH OF TC 32P AND THE OPPOSING STEERING FORCE FROM THESE WESTERLIES APPEARS TO BE ANCHORING TC 32P IN PLACE ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH. NUMERICAL MODELS INDICATE THESE WESTERLIES WILL FLUCTUATE BOTH IN INTENSITY AND PROXIMITY TO TC 32P DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. WE EXPECT THE MOTION OF TC 32P TO RESPOND TO THESE CHANGES BY SLOWLY ACCELERATING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD (THAT IS, IF 2 KNOTS OF MOTION CAN ACTUALLY BE CALLED ACCELERATING). HIGH SURFACE PRESSURE TO THE SOUTHWEST OF TC 32P AND THE ASSOCIATED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ARE EXPECTED TO PREVENT ANY SIGNIFICANT SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION DURING THE NEXT 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z5 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WIND AND SEAS WARNING FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 (DTG 111953Z0), 120300Z6 (DTG 120153Z2), 120900Z2 (DTG 120753Z8) AND 121500Z9 (DTG 121353Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNINGS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Mar 12 04:19:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103352-21278>; Wed, 12 Mar 1997 04:14:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA136288; Tue, 11 Mar 1997 14:00:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4886676 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 1997 13:56:12 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA166546 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 1997 13:55:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id NAA28120 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Mar 1997 13:53:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703111953.NAA28120@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Mar 1997 13:53:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 338 WTPS32 PGTW 112100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 024 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- 16.6S3 151.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 00 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 320 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.6S3 151.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 16.5S2 151.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 320 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 16.4S1 150.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 320 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 16.2S9 150.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 345 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 315 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 01 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 16.2S9 150.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 335 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 315 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 16.2S9 149.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 335 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 315 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION 16.6S3 151.2E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) REMAINS QUASI-STATIONARY IN THE SOUTHWEST PACIFIC. IT IS EQUATORWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. UNDER NORMAL CIRCUMSTANCES EASTERLY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE RIDGE WOULD STEER A SYSTEM SUCH AS THIS TOWARD THE WEST, HOWEVER THERE ARE STRONG PERSISTENT WESTERLY WINDS NORTH OF TC 32P WHICH CONTINUE TO PROVIDE AN OPPOSING STEERING FORCE WHICH HAS SLOWED THE MOTION OF TC 32P. CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON A 11/1730Z ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS SUPPORTING THE PRESENCE OF 45 KNOTS, COMBINED WITH SYNOPTIC DATA WHICH INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF STRONGER WINDS. WE EXPECT THE EFFECT OF THE WESTERLY WINDS TO DIMINISH SLIGHTLY DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS, ALLOWING TC 32P TO MOVE VERY SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD. RIDGING TO THE SOUTHWEST OF TC 32P IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN STRONG ENOUGH TO LIMIT ANY SIGNIFICANT MOTION TO THE SOUTHWEST. OUR PRIMARY DYNAMIC FORECAST GUIDANCE IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z1 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 (DTG 120153Z2), 120900Z2 (DTG 120753Z8), 121500Z9 (DTG 121353Z5) AND 122100Z6 (DTG 121953Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. // +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Mar 12 09:33:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102170-1346>; Wed, 12 Mar 1997 09:32:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA227684; Tue, 11 Mar 1997 19:27:29 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4890205 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 1997 19:27:07 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA73562 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 1997 19:27:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id TAA04169 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Mar 1997 19:25:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703120125.TAA04169@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Mar 1997 19:25:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 508 WTPS31 PGTW 120300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNING NR 023 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- 34.3S0 179.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 230 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 34.3S0 179.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 34.5S2 178.9W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION 34.4S1 179.5E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) HAS ABOUT FINISHED ITS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. RECENT SCATTEROMETRY (111144Z2) SHOWS THIS SYSTEM STILL HAS SIGNIFICANT WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH IT AND IS THE BASIS FOR OUR WARNING INTENSITY OF 50 KNOTS. ALTHOUGH THIS WARNING INTENSITY IS AN INCREASE FROM OUR PREVIOUS WARNING, IT DOES NOT REFLECT TC 31P INTENSIFYING, RATHER THE AVAILABILITY OF NEW DATA. TC 31P IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WITHIN 12 HOURS BUT SHOULD REMAIN A POWERFUL WEATHER SYSTEM BEYOND THAT POINT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z3 IS 26 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Mar 12 10:41:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102314-1346>; Wed, 12 Mar 1997 10:41:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA254658; Tue, 11 Mar 1997 20:34:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4890980 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 1997 20:33:47 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA133824 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 1997 20:33:43 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA05014 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Mar 1997 20:31:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703120231.UAA05014@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 11 Mar 1997 20:31:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 656 WTPS32 PGTW 120300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 025 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- 16.5S2 151.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 320 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.5S2 151.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 16.5S2 151.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 320 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 16.5S2 151.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 320 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 16.5S2 150.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 345 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 315 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 16.4S1 150.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 335 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 315 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 16.4S1 149.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 335 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 315 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION 16.5S2 151.5E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) REMAINS QUASI-STATIONARY IN THE CORAL SEA. THE TRANSLATIONAL SPEED AT WARNING TIME OF 01 KNOT IS A REFLECTION OF BOTH THE WOBBLE OF THE STORM CENTER AS WELL AS OUR UNCERTAINTY AS TO ITS EXACT LOCATION AND IS NOT AN INDICATION OF SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE MOTION. OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS TC 32P HAS WEAKENED SOMEWHAT DUE TO EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AS SHOWN IN ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. WE EXPECT TC 32P TO CONTINUE TO HAVE TROUBLE DEVELOPING DUE TO UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS ALTHOUGH IT IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY FOR THE DURATION OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. GALE WIND RADII CONTINUE TO BE LARGE IN AGREEMENT WITH SYNOPTIC DATA AND ARE NOT EXPECTED TO SHRINK SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE NEXT 72 HOURS. STEERING FLOW REMAINS WEAK AS THE WESTWARD STEERING FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE COMBATS THE EASTWARD STEERING OF THE EQUATORIAL WESTERLY WIND BURST. WE EXPECT THE RIDGE TO BUILD LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD AND FOR THE EQUATORIAL WESTERLIES TO DIMINISH SOMEWHAT LEADING TO A SLOW WESTWARD MOVEMENT OF TC 32P BEYOND 24-36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z3 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WIND AND SEAS WARNING FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2 (DTG 120753Z8), 121500Z9 (DTG 121353Z5), 122100Z6 (DTG 121953Z1) AND 130300Z7 (DTG 130153Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Mar 13 14:16:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102403-9823>; Thu, 13 Mar 1997 14:16:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA104326; Thu, 13 Mar 1997 00:14:48 -0600 Message-Id: <199703130614.AAA104326@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Mar 1997 00:07:16 +1800 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 11 Mar 1997 to 12 Mar 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 8 messages totalling 215 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Canadian Weather Radar 2. Seismic/Acoustic detection of tornadoes? -Reply 3. MRF..PLHHH! 4. TWC Advance WX Products 5. MRF takes a hit! 6. Radar Circles? Crop Circles? what is it? 7. yet another diatribe 8. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 12 Mar 1997 08:55:26 -0500 From: Kerry-Ann Lecky Subject: Re: Canadian Weather Radar On Mon, 10 Mar 1997, Mark Krukowski wrote: > Does anyone out there know where I can obtain Canadian Radar images. I have > not been able to find a site. > > Thank You. I'm really not sure of the details but, a while ago a Canadian law was passed to prevent the distribution of free meteorological data like up to date radar images. See this page: http://www.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/htmls/radar.html If I want to see radar images. I usually go through Intellicast or I'll check various U.S radar composites, since some radar sites in the U.S project into the very southern parts of Canada (: In general: SCH hompage has a good selection of radar sites to choose from... http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/radarwx.html For some Canadian but mostly Ontario weather I find that this site is really well done... http://www.eas.yorku.ca/eas/eats4050.06/weather2.htm Hope this helps Kerry ___ K /o o\ L E / - \ E R / \|/ \ C R / \ K Y Y kerry@yucc.yorku.ca yu106888@kelvin.eas.yorku.ca http://www.yucc.yorku.ca/~kerry Atmospheric Science, York University ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 12 Mar 1997 08:43:44 -0600 From: "Clayton Jones (Clay)" Subject: Re: Seismic/Acoustic detection of tornadoes? -Reply Chuck, I have the time (after work!) and the resources to develop a FAQ. With professional meteorological help, I'll be glad to donate the time required to *START* an FAQ, but I can't promise time to maintain it. This is what I'll need, from you and Chris and any others who would like to help: 'Official' list rules Some of the annoying questions that are asked too frequently their answers pointers to other lists that may be more suitable for inappropriate commentary (such as subscribing to WX-TROP, etc.) I've got a lot of FAQs to review for format, content, etc, but if there's a special format that you would prefer, let me know. I extend this offer as a token of my gratitude for y'all answering all my questions over the last year or so. Adios, ----------------------------------- Clay "Super Genius" Jones Austin, Texas, USA clay.jones@oag.state.tx.us ------------------------------------ What I have said is my opinion, and that of anyone insane enough to go along with it. My employer doesn't even know I'm doing this! ------------------------------------ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 12 Mar 1997 09:23:13 -0600 From: "Mathew L. Powers" Subject: MRF..PLHHH! Man, did the MRF stink it up or what? Not that you should ever have much faith in the MRF, anyway, but, uh...sheesh. But you look at the 96 hour today vs the 120 ystdy (valid 00Z Sunday) and it is as different as I've ever seen it. ECMWF did a little better with moving that storm out quicker. Do you go with today's medium range guess? Regardless, seems like a better, less problematic, wx situation in DSM for the seminar. :-) :-) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Matt Powers: powers@weather.cod.edu I still use my 630/942-2590 colored pencils! College of Dupage/NEXLAB (near Chi-town) http://weather.cod.edu Multi-County Skywarn http://weather.cod.edu/skywarn and Ob's at RFD for fun ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 12 Mar 1997 14:18:41 GMT From: Matthew Biddle Subject: TWC Advance WX Products Yesterday on TWC I saw some really cool shots of puddles in San Antonio. These puddles seemed much more advanced and hi tech than most of their privious puddle works. Also a couple people walked by with umbrellas! The Chaser Formerly Known as "Matt" ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 12 Mar 1997 15:20:27 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: MRF takes a hit! ** FXUS02 KWBC 121925 *** PMDEPD EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR 15 MAR THRU 17 MAR 1997 HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER..NCEP..NWS..WASHINGTON DC 2:30 PM EST WED MAR 12 1997 [...] The major model differences over the past several days have been resolved. Each model, the ECMWF, MRF and the UKMET was consistant with their solutions. The MRF today has completely changed to the progressive ECMWF solution. The MRF overamplified a digging jet coming into the southwestern United States, carved out a deep trough and created a significant storm for the central Plains and upper Mississippi Valley. Forecasters here followed this more ominous solution especially for the upper Mississippi and Ohio Valleys. There were a number of good reasons to follow the MRF but there was always uncertainty, especially as expressed by UKMET and ECMWF. After this last fiasco, at least for the remainder of this spring I would be highly suspect of any MRF solutions that are not supported by ECMWF. This has been true for East Coast cyclogenesis over the past several years but may now extend to everywhere else too... ROSENSTEIN/FLOOD FORECAST OPERATIONS BRANCH ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 12 Mar 1997 19:39:01 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Radar Circles? Crop Circles? what is it? At 12:07 PM 3/12/97 -0600, Tim wrote: >This looks more like a bright band effect then ground clutter. But there is no precip in these areas... What I think happens is that AP is being weeded out around the site from regional algorithms, but it assumes reflectivity that far away is truely precip and allows that to go through, hence the doughnut hole. If you look at the local image at the time in question, there is no hole. Rob ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 12 Mar 1997 19:08:55 -0600 From: Chuck Doswell Subject: yet another diatribe All, Since I now have my personal Internt access and have launced my own Website, I have moved over a little tornadic diatribe for your entertainment and, hopefully, to raise some blood pressures. It can be found at: As always, I will look forward to your reactions. Enjoy or flame on, as the situation warrents. Chuck Doswell -- ================================================================= Chuck Doswell e-mail: cdoswell@telepath.com (Chuck Doswell) Homepage: http://www.wildstar.net/~doswell Never criticize a man 'til you've walked a mile in his shoes. That way, when you do, you're a mile away and you have his shoes. ================================================================= ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 12 Mar 1997 22:52:49 -0500 From: Richard Whitenight Subject: Subj: Weather Statistics Can someone provide me with the name of a program which will monitor/record weather statistics and then display on a graph? I've tried this in Lotus 123, but there must be a program out there which records the data and has built-in programs for displaying or printing the data? Richard richard.whitenight@chrysalis.org ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 11 Mar 1997 to 12 Mar 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Mar 12 16:52:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102319-1346>; Wed, 12 Mar 1997 16:52:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA68270; Wed, 12 Mar 1997 02:35:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4893634 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 1997 02:35:11 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA67984 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 1997 02:34:21 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA20384 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 12 Mar 1997 02:34:20 -0600 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199703120834.AA20384@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Mar 1997 02:34:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -120234 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 70045 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600Z MAR 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120151Z MAR 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120153Z MAR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 151E7 HAS LOST ORGANIZATION IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120000Z2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P (GAVIN) WAS LOCATED AT 34.3S0 179.0E7 MOVING EASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 31P WARNING NUMBER 23 (WTPS31 PGTW 120300)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM AND FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 120000Z3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WAS LOCATED AT 16.5S2 151.5E2, AND IT WAS QUASI-STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P WARNING NUMBER 25 (WTPS32 PGTW 120300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 175E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 177E5. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER LOCATED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW OF THIS SYSTEM IS GOOD TO THE NORTH BUT MINIMAL IN THE OTHER QUADRANTS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA SHOW LOWERING PRESSURES IN THE REGION. THIS DISTURBANCE IS ALSO IN A REGION OF FAVORABLE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: NICKLAS/MEST/GILL// DUPE ALL NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Mar 12 21:46:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102227-1346>; Wed, 12 Mar 1997 21:46:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA186686; Wed, 12 Mar 1997 07:41:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4894888 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 1997 07:40:56 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA69300 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 1997 07:40:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id HAA13371 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Mar 1997 07:39:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703121339.HAA13371@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Mar 1997 07:39:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 657 WTPS32 PGTW 121500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 027 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z6 --- 16.3S0 151.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 320 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.3S0 151.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 16.2S9 151.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 320 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 16.0S7 151.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 320 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 15.9S5 151.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 345 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 315 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 15.8S4 150.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 335 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 315 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 15.6S2 149.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 121500Z9 POSITION 16.3S0 151.5E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS DRIFTING NORTH VERY SLOWLY IN THE SOUTHWEST PACIFIC OCEAN. IT HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS AND HAS PROBABLY REACHED ITS PEAK INTENSITY. OUR WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS INDICATING THE PRESENCE OF 45 KNOT WINDS (DVORAK CI 3.0) AT 121130Z8. TC 32P REMAINS EQUATORWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS IN A REGION OF OVERALL WEAK STEERING FLOW. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY FOR TC 32P HAS NOT CHANGED SIGNIFICANTLY. THE ONLY CHANGE IS A FORECAST OF VERY SLOW WEAKENING TREND DURING THE OUTLOOK PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z5 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z6 (DTG 121953Z1), 130300Z7 (DTG 130153Z3), 130900Z3 (DTG 130753Z9) AND 131500Z0 (DTG 131353Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Mar 12 22:38:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102509-29219>; Wed, 12 Mar 1997 22:38:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA67512; Wed, 12 Mar 1997 08:33:09 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4895389 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 1997 08:32:42 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA132138 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 1997 08:32:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA14161 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Mar 1997 08:30:47 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703121430.IAA14161@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Mar 1997 08:30:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 531 WTXS23 PGTW 121400 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 121355Z MAR 97// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 240 NM RADIUS OF 12.0S3 177.0E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 121230Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.5S7 176.5E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NORTH OF THE FIJI ISLANDS HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH, THE CENTER OF THIS SYSTEM HAS VERY LOW SURFACE PRESSURE. IT IS CURRENTLY NEAR ROTUMA ISLAND (WMO 91650) WHICH HAS REPORTED A SEA LEVEL PRESSURE OF 996.3 MB. THE DOMINANT CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM LIES ON THE EQUATORWARD SIDE WHERE STRONG WESTERLIES ARE LEADING TO ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE. UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE FROM THIS SYSTEM IS GOOD, AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR APPEARS MINIMAL. ALL METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 131400Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Mar 13 01:39:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102471-29219>; Thu, 13 Mar 1997 01:39:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA29014; Wed, 12 Mar 1997 11:24:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4896018 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 1997 11:19:11 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA237138 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 1997 11:13:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id LAA17753 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Mar 1997 11:11:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703121711.LAA17753@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Mar 1997 11:11:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 434 WTPS23 PGTW 121400 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 121355Z MAR 97// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 240 NM RADIUS OF 12.0S3 177.0E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 121230Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.5S7 176.5E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NORTH OF THE FIJI ISLANDS HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH, THE CENTER OF THIS SYSTEM HAS VERY LOW SURFACE PRESSURE. IT IS CURRENTLY NEAR ROTUMA ISLAND (WMO 91650) WHICH HAS REPORTED A SEA LEVEL PRESSURE OF 996.3 MB. THE DOMINANT CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM LIES ON THE EQUATORWARD SIDE WHERE STRONG WESTERLIES ARE LEADING TO ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE. UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE FROM THIS SYSTEM IS GOOD, AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR APPEARS MINIMAL. ALL METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 131400Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Mar 13 04:34:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102527-29219>; Thu, 13 Mar 1997 04:34:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA70170; Wed, 12 Mar 1997 14:12:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4896938 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 1997 14:04:30 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA175018 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 1997 14:04:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA21204 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Mar 1997 14:02:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703122002.OAA21204@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Mar 1997 14:02:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 369 WTPS32 PGTW 122100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 028 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- 15.9S5 151.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 320 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.9S5 151.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 15.5S1 150.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 320 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 15.4S0 149.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 320 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 15.2S8 149.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 345 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 315 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 15.2S8 148.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 15.2S8 147.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION 15.8S4 150.8E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) HAS BEGUN TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD. IT IS STILL EQUATORWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF WEAK STEERING FLOW. OUR WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS AT 121730Z4 INDICATING 45 KNOT WINDS (DVORAK CI 3.0). THE CURRENT MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS VERY DIFFICULT TO DISCERN, BUT IS EVIDENT IN ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SUPPORTED BY SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM WILLIS ISLAND (WMO 94299). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z2 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z7 (DTG 130153Z3), 130900Z3 (DTG 130753Z9), 131500Z0 (DTG 131353Z6) AND 132100Z7 (DTG 131953Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Mar 13 10:57:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102217-9823>; Thu, 13 Mar 1997 10:57:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA100552; Wed, 12 Mar 1997 20:51:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4902412 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 1997 20:51:03 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA258570 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 1997 20:51:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA14401 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Mar 1997 20:49:12 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703130249.UAA14401@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 12 Mar 1997 20:49:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 016 WTPS32 PGTW 130300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 029 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- 15.6S2 151.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 310 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S2 151.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 15.4S0 151.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 310 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 15.3S9 151.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 310 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 15.2S8 151.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 335 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 305 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 01 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 15.2S8 150.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 15.2S8 150.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION 15.5S1 151.2E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING NORTH AT 03 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 122330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS A 122300Z SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORT FROM WILLIS ISLETS (WMO 94299). THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE USING 122330Z VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. JUSTIN HAS BEEN AND IS CURRENTLY QUASI-STATIONARY. CURRENT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED DOWNWARD SLIGHTLY USING 121800Z SYNOPTIC SHIP REPORTS. A SLOW DRIFT TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS AS TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P REMAINS IN WEAK NET STEERING BETWEEN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH AND EQUATORIAL WESTERLIES TO THE NORTH. AFTER 36 HOURS, THE EQUATORIAL WESTERLIES ARE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE STRENGTHENS. THIS CHANGE IN STEERING FLOW SHOULD CAUSE JUSTIN TO BEGIN MOVING SLOWLY WEST AT THAT TIME. JUSTIN IS EXPERIENCING UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IS SLOWLY WEAKENING. THAT TREND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3 (DTG 130753Z9), 131500Z0 (DTG 131353Z6), 132100Z7 (DTG 131953Z2) AND 140300Z8 (DTG 140153Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Mar 14 14:16:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102259-17050>; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 14:16:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA221630; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 00:09:57 -0600 Message-Id: <199703140609.AAA221630@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Mar 1997 00:03:44 +1800 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 12 Mar 1997 to 13 Mar 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 13 messages totalling 582 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Radio Shack Vaporware 2. The New "Weather" Channel Format (3) 3. KSHB TV Meteorologist Resigns 4. WX-TALK Digest - 10 Mar 1997 to 11 Mar 1997 5. Champaign-Urbana, Illinois news (fwd) 6. The ride of his life... 7. SPC Public Relations and Outreach Efforts! 8. Too detailed? 9. Updated FAQ : HURRICANES, TYPHOONS, AND TROPICAL CYCLONES 10. Canadian Weather Radar 11. Name and Date that storm +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 13 Mar 1997 06:04:52 -0600 From: Bernie Kopp Subject: Radio Shack Vaporware The much discussed and long awaited WX-200 weather station from the fine folks at Tandy is again..................DELAYED! From: Sibylle Saade, INTERNET:SSAADE1@tandy.com TO: Bernie Kopp, 103450,672 DATE: 1/28/97 10:40 AM RE: Re: FW: New Weather Product Rumors From: Sibylle Saade To: Bernie Kopp <103450.672@CompuServe.COM> Subject: Re: FW: New Weather Product Rumors Date: Tue, 28 Jan 1997 09:21:00 -0600 We've just been informed by our buyer that the WX-200 has been delayed some more. It will not be available untill the end of April 1997. We regret any inconvenience this delay may cause you. Sibylle RadioShack Customer Relations ---------- I would like to thank Sibylle Saade for the reply. Next question is, Where the heck are those WRSAME receivers at? You know....now that the Communist Chineese government has won a no-bid contract for a New Jersey shipyard and is rumored to be making US Government Issue combat boots which are currently being issued to our troops....lets just make -everything- in China! Lord knows they've paid enough to the DNC! I digress. I'll stay with the Wx-200 and WRSAME units and advise any delivery dates as they become available! ************************************************************************* 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Milwaukee Wisconsin USA Milwaukee Area Skywarn Assoc./Milwaukee A.R.E.S./Illinois Multi-County Warning System E-Mail bkopp@omnifest.uwm.edu or visit my severe weather Home Page! "Shelter From The Storm!" http://ourworld.compuserve.com/homepages/bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 13 Mar 1997 08:26:33 -0800 From: "Thomas P. Madigan" Subject: The New "Weather" Channel Format Has anyone seen the new format of The "Weather" Channel? What's missing from this picture? Why ... NO OCMs!! The "Weather" Channel is now just a continuous scroll of travel forecasts, your local weather and, of course, lots of those commercials you and I have grown to love. Maybe the executives at The "Weather" Channel have come to the conclusion that, without some HUMAN running his/her mouth in front of the camera, they can squeeze in even more commercials than we are already bombarded with!! Welcome to the Year 2000!! Fully automated weather observations and, now, a fully automated "Weather" Channel. No humans need apply. Tom Madigan Newport News, Virginia ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 13 Mar 1997 08:17:46 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: The New "Weather" Channel Format On Thu, 13 Mar 1997, Thomas P. Madigan wrote: > Has anyone seen the new format of The "Weather" Channel? What's missing > from this picture? Why ... NO OCMs!! The "Weather" Channel is now just > a continuous scroll of travel forecasts, your local weather and, of > course, lots of those commercials you and I have grown to love. > > Maybe the executives at The "Weather" Channel have come to the conclusion > that, without some HUMAN running his/her mouth in front of the camera, > they can squeeze in even more commercials than we are already bombarded > with!! > > Welcome to the Year 2000!! Fully automated weather observations and, > now, a fully automated "Weather" Channel. No humans need apply. I haven't seen too much of it since they started the new format/look, however with MSNBC's all graphics/no meteorologist weather channel, they would be duplicating efforts. We'll see what happens... Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * Got mole problems? Call Avogadro at 6.02 X 10^23. * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 13 Mar 1997 11:16:55 -0500 From: "Gregory A. Surplus" Subject: Re: The New "Weather" Channel Format >Has anyone seen the new format of The "Weather" Channel? What's missing >from this picture? Why ... NO OCMs!! The "Weather" Channel is now just >a continuous scroll of travel forecasts, your local weather and, of >course, lots of those commercials you and I have grown to love. During the local weather segments they often run several regional weather maps in the backround. That way if the local computer isn't working or if you have a satellite dish you have something to look at. If you heard music in the backround it was probably one of those times. I have watched a good bit of TWC since they moved to the new studio and I have noticed no reduction in the use of on-camera meterologists... *************************************************************************** * Greg Surplus--Parkville MD MICROG'S MARYLAND WEATHER HOMEPAGE * * gsurplus@delphi.com http://people.delphi.com/gsurplus/ * *************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 13 Mar 1997 09:56:02 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: KSHB TV Meteorologist Resigns The following appeared in SHOPTALK, a TV news magazine on the Internet. For more information on SHOPTALK see http://www.tvspy.com. ..Chris.. Dave Sweeney, the chief meteorologist at KSHB, (Kansas City) has left the station, KSHB management confirmed Tuesday. KSHB general manager Charlotte Moore English declined to say whether Sweeney, arrested late last month on a misdemeanor battery charge, had resigned or been fired. Sweeney was charged Feb. 24 with shoving his wife at their rural Johnson County home after she had placed a 911 emergency call. He pleaded not guilty and later entered the county's Diversion Program for first-time domestic violence offenders. If he completes the one-year program, the charge will be dropped. He had not appeared on KSHB since his arrest. English said that she did not know when a replacement for him would be named, but that she was accepting audition tapes from meteorologists outside the station. "We really support him and we wish him well," English said. KSHB's news program reported on Sweeney's arrest and used the item for an extended report on anger counseling and the Diversion Program. Sweeney returned to the Kansas City market last April after a two-year stint at WOIO-TV in Cleveland. Before that he was chief meteorologist at KCTV, from 1992 to 1994. He had kept his home and family in Johnson County during his time in Cleveland. (Kansas City Star) *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 12 Mar 1997 21:54:23 -0600 From: "Paul E. Pettit" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 10 Mar 1997 to 11 Mar 1997 Please indulge with me on this message. This is of interest to all weatherpersons who golf! The National Weather Service Golf Association has been active for about 20-25 years or more and holds regional and national tournaments for members and guests. To find information of the Association and tournaments go to: http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Golf.html Thanks for indulging in this tidbit. Paul E. Pettit Weather Consulting http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 13 Mar 1997 08:53:49 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Champaign-Urbana, Illinois news (fwd) Saw this on rec.radio.broadcasting. Amazing what happens when a tornado goes through your town. Does your town have AM stations operated by ESDA or another agency to let people know what's going on? Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * Got mole problems? Call Avogadro at 6.02 X 10^23. * ******************************************************************************* -------------------------------------------------------------------------- According to Saturday's Champaign-Urbana News-Gazette, the city of Urbana is considering creating a network of low-powered AM transmitters throughout the city. The transmitters would be used in the event of an emergency to provide citizens with the most up-to-date information. Officials cited a need to let citizens know whether an all-clear had been given. Last April, they noted, citizens thought that the second sounding of the civil defense sirens meant that the threat of a tornado had passed, when in fact, it meant exactly the opposite. The News-Gazette story indicated the transmitters would be placed on the civil defense siren towers and would be paid for with federal grant money the city received after last April's tornado. Speaking of those sirens, Champaign County Emergency Services and Disaster Agency (ESDA) have ruled out the possibility that an exciter stolen from WKIO's Philo transmitter site was used to set off the sirens last month. They have, however, concluded that the seven false siren activations throughout the morning of February 27 were caused by a prankster, having ruled out all other explanations. >From February: When a half-dozen of Champaign-Urbana's civil defense sirens sounded repeatedly throughout the early morning hours of February 27, some C-U radio stations provided a much-needed source of information and reassurance. Others might as well have been off the air. Among the losers: WEBX, WQQB and WGKC, all of which are automated overnight. WILL-FM, WKIO and WPGU all provided information on-air. WHMS, WDWS and WZNF are staffed at night, so it's likely an announcement was made, but I did not hear them make one. I had a hard time getting to sleep because of the noise and a bit too much caffeine, so I'm fairly sure I didn't miss anything. If anyone else in Champaign-Urbana has reports of hearing (or not hearing) announcements on their favorite radio stations that night, please email me so we can put together a more accurate and comprehensive list. Speaking of WKIO and the tornado sirens' false alarms... The March 3 News-Gazette reports that a $4,000 exciter was stolen from WKIO's transmitter site just north of Philo. The theft could be tied to the unexplained activation of some Champaign-Urbana tornado sirens. "A representative of the Champaign radio station told the deputy it's possible the equipment could be used to set off emergency sirens. A manual for the piece of equipment was open to a page showing how to change the frequency," the article said. The theft happened sometime between 7:30 a.m. February 24 and 3:40 p.m. February 28. The Champaign County Sheriff's Office report has been forwarded to Emergency Services and Disaster Agency officials, who are still trying to determine why the sirens activated seven times early February 27 and once on the night of February 20. The preceding was posted on rec.radio.broadcasting by: John Lalande jlalande@uiuc.edu http://www.uiuc.edu/ph/www/jlalande/ "You're not going crazy ... you're going sane ... in a crazy world!" -Tick ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 13 Mar 1997 10:36:23 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: The ride of his life... Guess no matter how many warnings one puts out, some just don't listen...or get it. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * Got mole problems? Call Avogadro at 6.02 X 10^23. * ******************************************************************************* WWUS30 KPAH 130128 LSRPAH PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 727 PM CST WED MAR 12 1997 TIME(CST) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... ....COUNTY LOCATION.... 0534 PM CENTRAL CITY KY FLOODING 03/01/97 MUHLENBERG *** 1 DEAD *** THE BODY OF A 41 YEAR OLD CENTRAL MAN...PRESUMED DROWNED IN CYPRESS CREEK IN CENTRAL CITY WAS FOUND DEAD BY RESUCUE PERSONNEL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. MUHLENBURG COUNTY DES DIRECTOR REPORTS THAT THE MAN WAS FOUND BY 3 MEMBERS OF THE CENTRAL CITY FIRE/RESCUE SEARCHING BY BOAT IN 4 TO 6 FEET DEEP WATERS IN THE CYPRESS CREEK. THE BODY WAS RECOVERED AT 202 PM. CORONER TONY ARMOUR WAS NOTIFIED AND ARRIVED AT THE SCENE. MEMBERS OF THE CENTAL CITY FIRE AND RESCUE...CENTRAL CITY POLICE DEPT...MUHLENBERG COMMUNITY HOSPITAL EMS... GREEN RIVER CORRECTIONAL COMPLEX...GRAHAM FIRE DPT... AND OTHERS ASSISTED IN THE SEARCH. THE BODY WAS TAKEN TO LOUISVILLE FOR AN AUTOPSY. KENTUCKY STATE POLICE REPORTED THAT THE VICTIM WAS RIDING AN INNERTUBE ON A FLOODED CREEK. KH/RS Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 13 Mar 1997 09:50:41 -0800 From: Weather Scratch Subject: SPC Public Relations and Outreach Efforts! Now I call this "true" Service! Now we can e-mail those that are in-charge of products, I like this concept, and I like the out-reach approach - Thanks SPC, lets see the NWS WFO's put this on their products from time to time too! even though most of us in the met community already know where to call or e-mail, it is just plain good "Public Relations"!!! and the public and others that get these statements, will know how to give feedback too. Those NWS WFO's without e-mail, which is probably only a handful at best, could put their snail mail address on the statements as a routine for a short period of time. Feedback is important, however in "MAR times", letting folks know that there is still a "human" the loop is even more important, especially per the multiple threads I was reading in the three newsgroups prior to posting relative to ASOS, TWC, and MSNBC, and the trend towards automation and the appearance that the human is being taken out of the loop which can never really happen, unless we invent HAL and even then HAL was eventually destroyed too, showing the human is always in the loop. "People make forecasts, not Computers" - Capt Bill Munley. :-) John 749 WWUS44 KMKC 131337 HWU03 IAZ000-MNZ000-SDZ000-NDZ000-WIZ000-MTZ000-IDZ000-MIZ000-NYZ000 -131900 HAZARDOUS WEATHER UPDATE STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 7:30 AM CST THU MAR 13 1997 ...LATE WINTER STORM BUFFETING THE NORTHERN PLAINS... PLEASE NOTE: THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER UPDATE IS BEING SENT IN UPPER CASE LETTERS ON A TRIAL BASIS. COMMENTS AND SUGGESTIONS REGARDING THIS PRODUCT SHOULD BE ADDRESSED TO GARY GRICE, STORM PREDICTION CENTER, 1313 HALLEY CIRCLE, NORMAN, OK 73069. EMAIL VIA INTERNET CAN BE SENT TO Gary.Grice@noaa.gov. ..OLSON.. -- ========================================================================= Weather Scratch Meteorological Services 140 South Kirkman Street Florence, Alabama 35630-4312 (205) 766-8464 Voice/Fax (205) 984-4219 Digital Pager INTERNET E-Mail: metservices@wxscratch.com WEB PAGE: http://www.wxscratch.com Shop the Weather Store, Subscribe to Weather Watch Magazine, Buy a Boltek Lightning Detection System, or contact Weather Scratch for all your research and meteorological needs! Ask about The Severe Local Storm Forecasting Primer or a WINDY Tee Shirt! ========================================================================= ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 13 Mar 1997 15:52:56 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Too detailed? In discussing the Arkansas warning situation last week, the topic of individually naming towns in the text came up. Is this taking it too far? AT 241 PM CST...A POSSIBLE TORNADO WAS INDICATED BY WEATHER RADAR 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF CHESSON MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO ARE... CHESSON AROUND 242 PM CST If the tornado is 6 miles northwest of Chesson, moving northeast, how is it going to hit Chesson in a minute? Rob ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 13 Mar 1997 15:24:23 -0500 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Updated FAQ : HURRICANES, TYPHOONS, AND TROPICAL CYCLONES Hi Wx-talkers, I've updated my "FAQ: HURRICANES, TYPHOONS, AND TROPICAL CYCLONES": *********************** New for this month..... ....................... How much lightning occurs in tropical cyclones? (Part I) What are the tropical cyclone names through 2001? (Part I - updated for the Atlantic and Australian basins) Where can I get historical data of tropical cyclones? (Part II - updated for 1996 Atlantic hurricane "best track" data) What computer software is available for tracking tropical cyclones? (Part II - updated) New site used for the FAQ Web and ftp *********************** Where can I get the latest version of this document????? -------------------------------------------------------- ASCII VERSION: An ascii edition of the two portions for this FAQ are posted monthly on sci.geo.meteorology and on sci.environment usually early in each month. One can also ftp to retrieve the latest files at: hrd-type42.nhc.noaa.gov. Login as 'anonymous' and password as your email address. The files are available at that directory (TCfaqI and TCfaqII). If you do not have ftp access, you can request copies from me directly via email. FANCY VERSION: Neal Dorst has created a much enhanced World Wide Web version that is starting to include in helpful pictures as well. This user friendly site is available via your favorite web server at: http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/tcfaqHED.html Best regards, Chris ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** "Whenever there is the first hint of a counter-clockwise symbol on a weather map that a hurricane might hit land, `Mr. Hard News' is down there wrapped around a lamp post." --- Tom Brokaw reacting to Dan Rather calling NBC Nightly News "news-lite" ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 13 Mar 1997 21:56:07 -0500 From: InterMet Subject: Re: Canadian Weather Radar Here are a few Canadian Radar web sites: 1. McGill University (6 hour delay from real-time): http://grappa.meteo.mcgill.ca/real_time.html 2. Centre Météorologique du Québec (6 hour delay from real-time): http://www.wul.qc.doe.ca/meteo/prev/photo_radar/composite_ang.html 3. Moncton, New Brunswick (3 hour delay from real-time): http://www.ns.ec.gc.ca/images/radar/3hrWMK.gif 4. Halifax, Nova Scotia (3 hour delay from real-time): http://www.ns.ec.gc.ca/images/radar/3hrWTP.gif 5. St. John's, Newfoundland (3 hour delay from real-time): http://www.ns.ec.gc.ca/images/radar/3hrYHZ.gif 6. AES - King City (No real time just samples): http://www.tor.ec.gc.ca/armp/king/ Hope this helps, Bernard _______________________________________ InterMet International Meteorology Magazine http://www.magma.ca/~intermet/ intermet@magma.ca ________________________________________ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 13 Mar 1997 21:05:19 CST From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Name and Date that storm I was talking in class today about how convection can cause low-level spin-up, and my thoughts flashed to a storm which date I can't remember. This was a deep storm over the Carolinas in the 80s -- certainly before the 1993 blizzard. Anyway, I recall seeing a mesoanalysis of the storm that suggested that initially, the very low pressure over GA/SC piedmont was in reality very locally confined to an area of strong convection, that may have even been tornadic, but I don't remember. Once this small region of low pressure got in close proximity to the coast line, the bottom fell out of the whole storm and it bottomed out in the 970-980 range, I think, while still close to NC. Anyone recall which storm I am talking about, and can give me a date, or better yet, a journal article cite? :) Many thanks, this one is bugging me! Scott ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 12 Mar 1997 to 13 Mar 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Mar 13 16:55:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102501-9823>; Thu, 13 Mar 1997 16:55:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA73816; Thu, 13 Mar 1997 02:50:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4904864 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Mar 1997 02:49:56 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA222708 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 1997 02:49:55 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA17461 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Mar 1997 02:47:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703130847.CAA17461@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Mar 1997 02:47:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 872 WTPS32 PGTW 130900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 030 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- 14.8S3 153.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 085 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 330 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 300 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.8S3 153.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 14.9S4 153.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 330 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 300 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 15.2S8 153.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 330 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 300 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 15.3S9 153.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 15.3S9 152.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 15.3S9 151.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION 14.8S3 153.4E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THIS WARNING IS RELOCATED BASED ON AN EXPOSED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IN 130530Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF A SATELLITE-DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE USING 130530Z SATELLITE DATA AND A 130500Z SURFACE WIND REPORT FROM WILLIS SHOALS (WMO 94299). JUSTIN HAS BEEN WEAKENING AND HAS NO DEEP CONVECTION NEAR ITS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS TREND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DUE TO UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. JUSTIN IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE WEST AS EQUATORIAL WESTERLIES WEAKEN AND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE REBUILDS TO THE NORTH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 (DTG 131353Z6), 132100Z7 (DTG 131953Z2), 140300Z8 (DTG 140153Z4) AND 140900Z4 (DTG 140753Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Mar 13 19:42:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102533-9823>; Thu, 13 Mar 1997 19:42:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA73960; Thu, 13 Mar 1997 05:37:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4905302 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Mar 1997 05:37:26 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA188900 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 1997 05:36:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id FAA20686 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Mar 1997 05:34:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703131134.FAA20686@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Mar 1997 05:34:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 977 WTPS31 PGTW 130900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 121355Z MAR 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS23 PGTW 121400 ) 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P WARNING NR 001 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- 12.8S1 176.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.8S1 176.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 13.6S0 175.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 14.5S0 175.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 15.4S0 175.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 16.2S9 175.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION 13.0S4 176.1E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P (TC 33P) HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC NORTH OF FIJI. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 130530Z VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON 122222Z SATELLITE SCATTEROMETRY DATA. TC 33P IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT SLIGHTLY LESS THAN A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH 48 HOURS. TC 33P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE SOUTH THROUGH A WEAKNESS IN THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE AND GRADUALLY TURN SOUTHEAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0) AND 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 121355Z MAR 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS23 PGTW 121400) REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Mar 13 20:36:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102539-9823>; Thu, 13 Mar 1997 20:36:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id GAA265906; Thu, 13 Mar 1997 06:21:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4905468 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Mar 1997 06:21:17 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id GAA222572 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 1997 06:21:16 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id GAA20994 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Mar 1997 06:19:27 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703131219.GAA20994@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Mar 1997 06:19:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 775 WTPS31 PGTW 130800 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P WARNING NR 001A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- 12.8S1 176.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.8S1 176.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 13.6S0 175.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 14.5S0 175.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 15.4S0 175.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 16.2S9 175.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 130800Z2 POSITION 13.0S4 176.1E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P (TC 33P) HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC NORTH OF FIJI. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 130530Z VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON 122222Z SATELLITE SCATTEROMETRY DATA AND SHOWED A WELL DEFINED CIRCULATION. TC 33P IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT SLIGHTLY LESS THAN A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH 48 HOURS. TC 33P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE SOUTH THROUGH A WEAKNESS IN THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE AND GRADUALLY TURN SOUTHEAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0) AND 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 121355Z MAR 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS23 PGTW 121400). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION, MANOP HEADER AND NUMBER OF TROPICAL CYCLONES IN REGION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Mar 14 04:25:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102653-9823>; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 04:25:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA153062; Thu, 13 Mar 1997 14:11:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4908838 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Mar 1997 14:08:17 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA32916 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 1997 14:07:25 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA05708 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Mar 1997 14:05:36 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703132005.OAA05708@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Mar 1997 14:05:36 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 373 WTPS31 PGTW 132100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- 12.6S9 176.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.6S9 176.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 12.7S0 176.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 13.2S6 176.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 14.4S9 177.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 15.8S4 177.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION 12.6S9 176.4E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P IS QUASI-STATIONARY. THE SYSTEM=S CENTER IS LOCATED JUST TO THE WEST OF ROTUMA (WMO 91650). THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO MOVE SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD DUE TO NORTH NORTHWESTERLY STEERING FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH A BUILDING TROPICAL CYCLONE-INDUCED RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO GOOD CROSS-EQUATORIAL FLOW INTO THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8) AND 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Mar 14 05:16:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102175-9823>; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 05:16:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA68996; Thu, 13 Mar 1997 15:00:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4909155 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Mar 1997 14:59:43 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA173640 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 1997 14:38:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA12003 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Mar 1997 14:36:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703132036.OAA12003@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Mar 1997 14:36:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 791 WTPS32 PGTW 132100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 032 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- 14.8S3 153.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.8S3 153.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 14.9S4 153.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 15.0S6 154.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 15.3S9 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 01 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 15.5S1 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 15.8S4 154.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION 14.8S3 153.7E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING SLOWLY EASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLIGHTLY WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND MAINTAIN INTENSITY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE REMAINS IN A WEAK MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW. HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD EQUATORWARD OF THE SYSTEM AS A TROUGH MOVES EASTWARD OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WIND AND SEAS WARNING FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8 (DTG 140153Z4), 140900Z4 (DTG 140753Z0), 141500Z1 (DTG 141353Z7) AND 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Mar 14 13:00:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102256-17050>; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 13:00:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA55046; Thu, 13 Mar 1997 22:44:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4913728 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Mar 1997 22:43:59 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA62532 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 1997 22:43:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id WAA00441 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Mar 1997 22:42:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703140442.WAA00441@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 13 Mar 1997 22:42:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 825 WTPS32 PGTW 140300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 033 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- 14.6S1 153.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.6S1 153.3E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 14.4S9 153.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 14.6S1 153.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 14.9S4 154.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION 14.5S0 153.4E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. THIS WARNING IS RELOCATED BASED ON 132330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ANALYSIS USING 122330Z VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WINDS OF 30 TO 34 KNOTS CURRENTLY EXIST BOTH WELL TO THE NORTH AND WELL TO THE SOUTH OF JUSTIN IN TWO SEPARATE AREAS. THE NORTHERNMOST AREA IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE EQUATORIAL WESTERLIES AND THE SOUTHERNMOST AREA IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SOUTHEAST TRADES, RESPECTIVELY. JUSTIN HAS BEEN AND REMAINS QUASI- STATIONARY. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT BETWEEN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND EQUATORIAL WESTERLIES. THIS SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN AND THAT TREND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. JUSTIN IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WIND AND SEAS WARNING FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 (DTG 140753Z0), 141500Z1 (DTG 141353Z7), 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3) AND 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG07380730153 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Mar 15 14:10:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102234-21824>; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 14:10:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA127014; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 00:06:38 -0600 Message-Id: <199703150606.AAA127014@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Mar 1997 00:00:12 +1800 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 13 Mar 1997 to 14 Mar 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 9 messages totalling 351 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WSO possibilities 2. popular weather web sites? (2) 3. yet another diatribe 4. WEIRD WEATHR CONTROL (2) 5. Gov't employees' rights... 6. The New "Weather" Channel Format 7. NWS Products?? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 14 Mar 1997 00:31:10 -0600 From: Shawn Rutherford Subject: WSO possibilities I am a weather anchor at a small market (206) television station here in Victoria, Texas. We had National Weather Service Office close here shortly after I moved here. The local Chamber of Commerce feels it should be reopened and should also have it's own doppler radar. Here's my problem. It was an office partially funded by private sector (radar purchased by local wealthy individual) and was manned by NWS. It's radar was an old one and probably doesn't work now. My general manager works closely with the local Chamber of Commerce. Folks at the C.O.C. want the office reopened, manned, and a doppler radar. He has asked me to give my thoughts to our Senator Phil Gramm on the matter. I agree that this would be nice to have but from my limited knowledge of current events, I get the impression there are many towns and cities in America facing this type of cutback. I also take exception to the notion that my weather BROADCASTING abilities along with our AccuWeather computer are not effective enough. I realize that AccuWeather is a shiny regurgitation of NWS data, but I do keep the 1-800 number to our Corpus Christi Office by the phone and I use it often. They are ALWAYS there for me. I have to talk to a U.S. Senator about this pretty soon. I am just a lowly small town self-taught weatherman. I read the difax charts, I can give people the facts as they are presented to me. I am considered one of the best weathermen this town has seen because I care. It happens to be the town I grew up in and I take pride in my job. I want whats best for this area but I don't think we are going to really talk someone into the above requests. I'm interested in feedback from others. Shawn R. sruther@icsi.net Weather Director KAVU-TV 25/KVCT Fox 19 ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 14 Mar 1997 00:52:00 -0600 From: Jon Davies Subject: popular weather web sites? I'm co-working on a weather-related article with a journalist friend for a widely-read science magazine. In one of the sidebars, the editor has suggested a short listing and discussion of five weather information websites that are popular among weather enthusiasts (in one person's words, "The Top 5 Weather Sites"). That's a broad question, and one that would be hard to deal with objectively. I know which sites I like and some weather favorites of a few collegues and friends. I wondered if anyone out there would care to offer some informal feedback on what they feel are the most visited sites among weather hobbyists and enthusists? Also, if anyone knows of any sources for numbers or rankings of sites by hits, or by subjective "voting", that information would be helpful. Thanks in advance for any input... Jon Davies Meteorologist (and writer) Wichita, Kansas 67226 jdavies@feist.com ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 13 Mar 1997 22:57:58 -0800 From: Ken Subject: Re: popular weather web sites? Storm Chasers Homepage www.weather.com www.intellicast.com Those are the ones that I (joe sixpack) look at everyday. I'm sure there are some really good weather sites hosted by college and universities, but for me, joe sixpack, I like pretty radar photos, and a picture of the sun to tell me if it's gonna be sunny the next day. (Or stormclouds if it's going to rain) Hope that helps.... At 12:52 AM 3/14/97 -0600, you wrote: >I'm co-working on a weather-related article with a journalist friend for a >widely-read science magazine. > >In one of the sidebars, the editor has suggested a short listing and >discussion of five weather information websites that are popular among >weather enthusiasts (in one person's words, "The Top 5 Weather Sites"). >That's a broad question, and one that would be hard to deal with objectively. > >I know which sites I like and some weather favorites of a few collegues and >friends. I wondered if anyone out there would care to offer some informal >feedback on what they feel are the most visited sites among weather >hobbyists and enthusists? > >Also, if anyone knows of any sources for numbers or rankings of sites by >hits, or by subjective "voting", that information would be helpful. > >Thanks in advance for any input... > >Jon Davies >Meteorologist (and writer) >Wichita, Kansas 67226 >jdavies@feist.com > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > > Ken Tarvin Stuck in sunny, but weatherless So. Cal. Bahnzo@cts.com http://www.users.cts.com/sd/b/bahnzo San Diego, CA When things are made idiot proof, The world makes better idiots. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 13 Mar 1997 21:29:55 GMT From: Eric Gross Subject: Re: yet another diatribe Your comments on the self-defeating aspects of bureaucracy and the need for public awareness and responsibility are very well made and make good sense. Therein, of course, lies the problem. I seriously doubt that anything short of a major, major disaster and resulting congressional investigation/pressure will motivate the NWS adminocracy to an intelligent, pro-active policy of "quality control," or motivate the Congress to provide greater funding. The history of severe-weather warning-related appropriations and advances in this country is largely a product of what engineers refer to as "tombstone engineering." Nothing much gets done until an important constituency is affected, and powerful politicians are personally called to give an account to an angry public. Secondly, I am afraid that any hope that our general population will acknowledge their own personal responsibility for their safety is pretty remote. Our society is full of examples on many levels that we have become a culture of blame and litigation -- everything is someone else's fault, and ultimately someone with lawyers and the money to pay them will always find a way to say that it is the government's failure. A good portion of our population (as judged by the calibre of students I see) is not intellectually equipped, either with general knowledge or with the skills of critical thinking, to understand the important facets of the natural phenomena that threaten them, and to make appropriate and correct decisions based upon the information they are given. I know this sounds harsh and cynical, but I am afraid that as I go through life I find far more evidence to support these conclusions than to defeat them . . . . ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 14 Mar 1997 10:16:43 EST From: Mark Widerstrom Subject: Re: WEIRD WEATHR CONTROL Listening to the radio the othe rnight there was a man on the Stan Solomon show which comes on at 9pm central on shortwave radio frequency 5.070 am and the man they were interviewing had gone to the congress and senate about how governments including ours with HAARP and it x ray and mind contyrol factors along with weather, That these govermnents are using this new discovery to make weather change daily by flooding people and other disasters they can even make the weather change instanmtly, and that treaties have been written not to use this technology in war time conditions ect;. IS there any weather folks here that can check into the program and the man to see if we have a disaster capability situation that warrents some heavy letter campain writing to the government to stop doing these things to threaten us and our lives and where they wont be able to control everything. call this number 1-800 -488 stan or his radio show at night and ask him so we can get to the bottom of the matter radio show number 1-800-talk-290 Mark ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 14 Mar 1997 10:39:44 -0500 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Gov't employees' rights... Hi Wx-talkers, A few days ago there were questions brought up regarding the rights of Federal Government employees contacting congressional representatives. Coincidentally, i just received this email from the American Geophysical Union's AGU Science Legislative Alert (ASLA). Here's what they had to say on the matter.... +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ -------------------------------------- ASLA 97-3: Communicating With Congress -------------------------------------- This is an INFORMATION ASLA. Source: AGU Staff ...some snipped... <> In the past, some ASLA subscribers employed by government agencies and national laboratories thought that as government employees they were prohibited from contacting congressional representatives. Others believed that they could not communicate about issues affecting them as government employees or matters involving their agency. To resolve this concern and clarify the rules governing federal employee communications with Congress, we contacted the Office of Personnel Management, the Office of Government Ethics, and the Office of Special Counsel for information. Federal employees DO have the right, as does any citizen, to communicate with their elected representatives. This right is guaranteed by the Constitution and federal statute. In addition to First Amendment rights under the Constitution, U.S. Code provides that the rights of federal employees to petition Congress or provide information to Congress may not be interfered with or denied. This communication can include expressing your opinion about a program involving your agency or with which you personally work. However, there are guidelines that federal employees should be aware of when writing or speaking to a Member of Congress. 1. When communicating with your senators or representative, be sure to indicate that you are doing so as a private citizen and not as an official of your agency. In other words, you are speaking for yourself, not in your official capacity. Therefore, you should not write on agency letterhead or use your official title. You can say that you are employed by a particular federal agency. 2. As a federal employee you are not permitted to solicit a Member of Congress for a recommendation for a personnel action such as a raise or a promotion. 3. To avoid a conflict of interest you may not represent anyone other than yourself. For example, you could not write a letter that appeared to endorse a company doing business with your agency. 4. If you have ANY questions about a particular action you may want to take, you should contact the designated agency ethics official for your agency. They will advise you of any rules that are unique to your agency. ------------------------------------ ASLA 97-3 AGU Science Legislative Alert (ASLA) A KOSMOS service for AGU members. (E-mail address: asla@kosmos.agu.org) ------------------------------------- +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Best regards, chris ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** "Whenever there is the first hint of a counter-clockwise symbol on a weather map that a hurricane might hit land, `Mr. Hard News' is down there wrapped around a lamp post." --- Tom Brokaw reacting to Dan Rather calling NBC Nightly News "news-lite" ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 14 Mar 1997 11:25:37 CST From: Greg Stumpf Subject: Re: WEIRD WEATHR CONTROL >From: Mark Widerstrom > >Listening to the radio the othe rnight there was a man on the Stan >Solomon show which comes on at 9pm central on shortwave radio frequency >5.070 am and the man they were interviewing had gone to the congress >and senate about how governments including ours with HAARP and it x ray >and mind contyrol factors along with weather, That these govermnents are >using this new discovery to make weather change daily by flooding people >and other disasters they can even make the weather change instanmtly, and >that treaties have been written not to use this technology in war time >conditions ect;. IS there any weather folks here that can check into the >program and the man to see if we have a disaster capability situation >that warrents some heavy letter campain writing to the government to stop >doing these things to threaten us and our lives and where they wont be >able to control everything. Like I've told others before...if we could truly control the weather, there'd be a lot more tornadoes! :-) (Of course, on zero-populated, flat, treeless terrain right next to nice paved roads). speaking as a tornado chaser, greg stumpf, NSSL ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 14 Mar 1997 14:17:09 GMT From: Eric Gross Subject: Re: The New "Weather" Channel Format > I have watched a good bit of TWC since they moved >to the new studio and I have noticed no reduction in the use >of on-camera meterologists... Twice in the past week (that I have seen) they have had some problems with their computers, which have resulted in them simply going off line and running the local forecasts until the problem was resolved. Both times this involved about 20 minutes of "dead air" time for the OCM's. I presume that these events are what the poster was refering to. ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 15 Mar 1997 02:41:45 GMT From: Jon Nichols Subject: NWS Products?? I have a question that I hope you all will be willing to answer. 1) I was reading my posts from this newsgroup today and I forget which post it was in, but somebody posted an SPC Report I believe, that had under the heading a discription of the event that occured. (It was rather large.) I want to know how to get that "extended" report. I alread get the daily SPC reports but they only some with small descriptors. 2) I seem to forget what 2 was. Oh well.... ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 13 Mar 1997 to 14 Mar 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Mar 14 17:04:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102393-17050>; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 17:04:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA226806; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 02:58:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4914980 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 02:58:00 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA158674 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 02:57:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA02951 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 02:56:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703140856.CAA02951@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Mar 1997 02:56:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 183 WTPS32 PGTW 140900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 034 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- 13.7S1 152.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.7S1 152.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 13.1S5 152.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 12.6S9 153.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 12.7S0 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION 13.6S0 152.7E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THIS WARNING IS RELOCATED BASED ON 140530Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON THE SAME SATELLITE IMAGERY. JUSTIN IS FORECAST TO MOVE GENERALLY NORTHEASTWARD DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THEN TURN TO THE SOUTH WHEN FLOW AROUND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BECOME THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE. JUSTIN IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE GRADUALLY WEAKENING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 (DTG 141353Z7), 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3), 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5) AND 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Mar 14 17:12:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102230-17050>; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 17:12:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA116296; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 03:03:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4915042 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 03:03:03 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA133934 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 03:03:02 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA03198 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 03:01:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703140901.DAA03198@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Mar 1997 03:01:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 235 WTPS31 PGTW 140900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P WARNING NR 003 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- 10.3S4 177.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 085 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.3S4 177.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 11.5S7 179.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 14.0S5 179.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 16.6S3 179.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 19.3S3 178.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION 10.6S7 178.0E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P (TC 33P) IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THIS WARNING IS RELOCATED BASED ON 140530Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ANALYSIS USING THE SAME IMAGERY. TC 33P HAS MOVED EASTWARD MORE THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST AND HAS NOT INTENSIFIED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. STEERING FLOW AND UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BETWEEN A MID-LATITUDE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND A RIDGE TO THE NORTH HAVE BEEN FACTORS IN LACK OF INTENSIFICATION AND MOVEMENT TO THE EAST. TC 33P IS FORECAST TO TURN SHARPLY SOUTH DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS A MID-LATITUDE LOW TO THE SOUTH CREATES A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE FOR THIS SYSTEM TO MOVE THROUGH. TC 33P IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY LESS DUE TO CONTINUED UNFAVORABLE WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1) AND 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG10570730751 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Mar 14 17:55:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102308-17050>; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 17:55:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA239188; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 03:44:41 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4915072 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 03:44:35 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA06428 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 03:44:34 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA59984 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 14 Mar 1997 03:44:34 -0600 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199703140944.AA59984@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Mar 1997 03:44:34 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -140344 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 98637 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEA/140600Z/150600Z MAR 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/131951Z MAR 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/140153Z MAR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 143E8 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 154E0 IS NOW EAR 6N6 151E7. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CONVECTIVE AREAL COVERAGE HAS INCREASED WITH THIS SYSTEM DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE A CLOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PRESENT WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. SATELLITE WATER VAPOR WIND DATA INDICATE LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS PRESENT ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 131800Z3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P WAS LOCATED AT 12.6S9 176.4E8, AND IT WAS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 01 KNOT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P WARNING NUMBER 02 (WTPS31 PGTW 132100)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 140000Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WAS LOCATED AT 14.6S1 153.3E2, AND IT WAS MOVING EAST NORTHEASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P WARNING NUMBER 33 (WTPS32 PGTW 140300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/PUGH// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Mar 14 20:00:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102396-17050>; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 20:00:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA06604; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 05:53:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4915484 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 05:52:54 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA236474 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 05:52:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id FAA06886 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 05:51:04 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703141151.FAA06886@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Mar 1997 05:51:04 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 342 WTPS32 PGTW 140900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 034 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- 13.7S1 152.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.7S1 152.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 13.1S5 152.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 12.6S9 153.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 12.7S0 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION 13.6S0 152.7E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THIS WARNING IS RELOCATED BASED ON 140530Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON THE SAME SATELLITE IMAGERY. JUSTIN IS FORECAST TO MOVE GENERALLY NORTHEASTWARD DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THEN TURN TO THE SOUTH WHEN FLOW AROUND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BECOME THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE. JUSTIN IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE GRADUALLY WEAKENING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 (DTG 141353Z7), 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3), 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5) AND 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG12770730753 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Mar 14 23:10:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102440-17050>; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 23:10:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA73444; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 08:56:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4916675 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 08:55:27 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA77168 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 08:54:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA08815 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 08:52:35 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703141452.IAA08815@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Mar 1997 08:52:35 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 228 WTPS32 PGTW 141500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 035 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- 13.0S4 152.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.0S4 152.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 12.8S1 152.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 12.8S1 153.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 13.0S4 153.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 13.6S0 153.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 14.6S1 153.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION 13.0S4 152.7E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS QUASI-STATIONARY WITH A SLOW NORTHWARD DRIFT. CURRENT WIND RADII AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON SYNOPTIC SHIP REPORTS. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GAIN LATITUDE DUE TO NORTHERLY STEERING FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL CYCLONE-INDUCED RIDGE TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. OUR PRIMARY DYNAMIC OBJECTIVE GUIDANCE SUPPORTS THIS FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSIFICATION SCENARIO. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WIND AND SEAS WARNING FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3), 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5), 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1) AND 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Mar 15 04:50:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102562-17050>; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 04:50:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA237204; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 14:37:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4919966 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 14:37:25 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA137928 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 14:36:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA17044 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 14:35:10 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703142035.OAA17044@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Mar 1997 14:35:10 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 329 WTPS31 PGTW 142100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- 11.2S4 179.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.2S4 179.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 12.2S5 180.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 14.3S8 179.6W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 16.9S6 179.6W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 19.5S5 179.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION 11.5S7 179.3E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 141730Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE AND SYNOPTIC DATA FROM NIULAKITA (WMO 91648). THE SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TC 33P IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN MOVING SOUTHWARD WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS DUE TO NORTHERLY STEERING FLOW AND INTERACTION WITH A MID- LATITUDE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED NEAR 25S 170E. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9) AND 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Mar 15 05:40:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102557-17050>; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 05:40:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA254498; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 15:24:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4920304 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 15:19:20 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA89870 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 14:51:36 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA17341 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 14:49:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703142049.OAA17341@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Mar 1997 14:49:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 442 WTPS32 PGTW 142100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 036 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- 12.9S2 153.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.9S2 153.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 12.8S1 153.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 12.8S1 153.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 13.2S6 154.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 13.8S2 153.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 14.9S4 153.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION 12.9S2 153.1E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING SLOWLY EASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE FORECAST REASONING FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD THROUGH THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AND MOVE SOUTHWARD DUE TO NORTHERLY STEERING FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL CYCLONE-INDUCED RIDGE TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. OUR PRIMARY DYNAMIC OBJECTIVE GUIDANCE SUPPORT THIS TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WIND AND SEAS WARNING FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5), 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1), 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8) AND 152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Mar 15 05:56:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102552-17050>; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 05:56:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA154902; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 15:42:37 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4920412 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 15:41:38 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA152900 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 15:36:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA18576 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 15:34:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703142134.PAA18576@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Mar 1997 15:34:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 092 WTPS31 PGTW 142100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- 11.2S4 179.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.2S4 179.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 12.2S5 180.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 14.3S8 179.6W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 16.9S6 179.6W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 19.5S5 179.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION 11.5S7 179.3E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 141730Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE AND SYNOPTIC DATA FROM NIULAKITA (WMO 91648). THE SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TC 33P IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN MOVING SOUTHWARD WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS DUE TO NORTHERLY STEERING FLOW AND INTERACTION WITH A MID- LATITUDE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED NEAR 25S 170E. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9) AND 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG20520731951 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Mar 15 10:10:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102206-21824>; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 10:09:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA104292; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 20:02:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4922519 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 20:02:27 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA183630 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 20:02:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA03228 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 20:00:37 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703150200.UAA03228@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Mar 1997 20:00:37 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 919 WTPS32 PGTW 150300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 037 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- 12.5S8 154.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.5S8 154.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 12.5S8 154.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 13.0S4 154.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 13.6S0 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 14.2S7 154.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 14.8S3 153.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION 12.5S8 154.1E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS LOCATED OFF THE SOUTHEASTERN TIP OF NEW GUINEA TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AT 04 KNOTS. CURRENT WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 141919Z5 MICROWAVE IMAGE AS WELL AS ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY AND WIND RADII ARE BASED ON SYNOPTIC SHIP REPORTS SURROUNDING TC 32P. WE EXPECT TC 32P TO MOVE EASTWARD EARLY IN THE FORECAST PERIOD AND THEN BEGIN TO TURN TOWARDS THE SOUTH IN 12 TO 24 HOURS. TC 32P IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY TO 50 KNOTS BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z6 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WIND AND SEAS WARNING FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION (DTG 142334Z7). NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1), 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8), 152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4) AND 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Mar 15 13:53:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102226-21824>; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 13:52:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA52922; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 23:37:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4923654 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 23:37:39 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA225160 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 1997 23:37:38 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA87396 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 14 Mar 1997 23:37:38 -0600 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199703150537.AA87396@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 14 Mar 1997 23:37:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -142337 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 12129 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z MAR 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/141951Z MAR 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150153Z MAR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 151E7 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 141800Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P WAS LOCATED AT 11.2S4 179.0E7, AND IT WAS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P WARNING NUMBER 04 (WTPS31 PGTW 142100)) AND TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WAS LOCATED AT 12.5S8 154.0E0, AND IT WAS MOVING EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P WARNING NUMBER 37 (WTPS32 PGTW 150300) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: NICKLAS/MEST/GILL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Mar 16 14:12:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102268-19632>; Sun, 16 Mar 1997 14:12:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA101982; Sun, 16 Mar 1997 00:06:30 -0600 Message-Id: <199703160606.AAA101982@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Mar 1997 00:00:15 +1800 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 14 Mar 1997 to 15 Mar 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 8 messages totalling 388 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 11 Mar 1997 to 12 Mar 1997 (2) 2. WEIRD WEATHR CONTROL 3. Request for a local NWS Office 4. TESSA National Meeting 5. NWS SPOTS on TV 6. Chasers of Tornado Alley Reax 7. weather reports e-mailed +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 15 Mar 1997 00:24:43 -0600 From: "Paul E. Pettit" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 11 Mar 1997 to 12 Mar 1997 Chuck Doswell wrote: >Since I now have my personal Internt access and have launced my own >Website, I have moved over a little tornadic diatribe for your >entertainment and, hopefully, to raise some blood pressures. It can be >found at: > > I read your essay last night. Great, I agree with just about everything you had to say. To bad upper management lives in ivory tower, knowing only whats best. Anyway very good information. Should be required reading for everyone. > >As always, I will look forward to your reactions. Enjoy or flame on, as >the situation warrents. Since I ran into most of the situations you describe regarding NWS management I know where you are coming from. Your essay, like Roger Edward's, should get publication exposure, but as we all know management is not going to let it happen in any NOAA journals, etc. If they do I would surely be suprised. As to verification of warnings, there is too much manipulation of the data going on, which makes most of it invalid. Unfortunately this is the only thing we have to go by. I have personally seen and investigated situations where what actually occurred and what was reported as statistics was highly suspect. Roger found the same thing and reported it to no avail. Sad that management would allow this to happen. I certainly don't know the complete answer, but the system needs some modifications. On the Plainfield Survey...sad that this could happen. I was told by a very reliable source that one of the actual investigators refused to sign it because of the parts that were covered up. Was it true also that Interns were working the radar alone? I was sort of in on the deal when that S-band doppler was put in there and I can tell you that the WSFO people didn't seemed to be too interested in it. I can site a couple of other surveys, where some very pertinent facts seemed to have been left out of the report. Well enough...everyone hopefully will read your essay along with Roger's. Keep the faith, things can only get better. Paul E. Pettit Weather Consulting http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 14 Mar 1997 17:29:41 GMT From: Eric Gross Subject: Re: WEIRD WEATHR CONTROL >conditions ect;. IS there any weather folks here that can check into the >program and the man to see if we have a disaster capability situation >that warrents some heavy letter campain writing to the government to stop >doing these things to threaten us and our lives and where they wont be >able to control everything. The complete and utter lack of knowledge, understanding, critical reasoning ability and common sense manifest in the above is staggering beyond my ability to express. I lie down by the waters of Babylon and weep. ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 15 Mar 1997 06:18:48 +0000 From: "H. MICHAEL MOGIL" Subject: Request for a local NWS Office On Fri, 14 Mar 1997 00:31:10 -0600 Shawn Rutherford wrote to WX-TALK about WSO possibilities Shawn -- As a retired NWS/NOAA employee, I feel for your plight. And you have it right on the head. Given the budget scene in the NWS, it's pretty unlikely (like 101% or more) that you'll NOT get your office. This scenario has been played out many times in the past. When at NWS, I recall having to respond to letters from communities (like yours) that wanted their own local radar. To the best of my knowledge, they never got it. But, let's ponder what is happening. First, Doppler radars see quite a distance. Being on the Texas Gulf Coast, and with a strong severe weather and hurricane risk, I'm sure you are well within a coverage area of nearby units. Believe me, this is probably better than being right at ground zero, anyway. Is Accu-Weather or another remarketer of weather information making real-time Doppler data available to you? If not, you might want to subscribe to that service. Public awareness is another key to being safe. Have you worked with the NWS Warning/Coordination Meteorologist (WCM) at your nearby office? Perhaps you and this meteorologist can present public safety talks or TV specials on severe weather safety. Storm spotting is key, too. Again, NWS WCM is probably holding sessions in your area. Perhaps you could work together on these. Have you published and distributed any type of severe weather guides, hurricane tracking charts, etc? What about reprinting NWS brochures? Finally, don't forget other technology advances (lightning detection systems, new GOES satellites, atmospheric profilers) which add to the data base that goes into the latest computer models. Yeah, ASOS hasn't been as reliable as hoped, but just about everything else is improved. Well, hope this helps. I feel like I'm working in the NWS Correspondence Unit....but being outside the system, these are my own thoughts. I'm posting this to WX-TALK so others may comment on what I have said. Regardless, good luck doing the best you can. In my humble opinion, your apparent concern for your population is probably worth far more than a local Doppler radar!!!! -- Mike Mogil weather educator HOW THE WEATHERWORKS 1522 Baylor Avenue Rockville, MD 20850 301-762-SNOW hmmogil@weatherworks.com http://www.weatherworks.com ****** ****** ****** ****** "In nature there are neither rewards nor punishments---there are consequences." R.G. Ingersoll (1833-1899) American attorney ****** ****** ****** ****** ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 15 Mar 1997 13:38:20 -0600 From: Roger Edwards Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 11 Mar 1997 to 12 Mar 1997 On Sat, 15 Mar 1997, Paul E. Pettit typed: > > > > I read your essay last night. Great, I agree with just about everything > you had to say. To bad upper management lives in ivory tower, knowing only > whats best. Anyway very good information. Should be required reading for > everyone. I believe every MIC and WCM should read Chuck's essay with an open mind and try his/her best to understand why he says what he says. His is the most candid, realistic and thorough presentation of the problems of tornado warning, risk and verification that I have ever seen in one article. I can attest to its accuracy and will solidly vouch for its contents. He and I have been forced to resort to purely private (non-govt.) forums to document and comment on those aspects of the warning and verification process that don't follow the "company line;" but it could be a blessing in disguise. We're not trying to "destroy the system," but instead make it a better servant to both science and the general public. [For those who have not seen my essay, aim your browser at http://www.wildstar.net/~tornado/verf.htm ] I will be occasionally revising and refining my essay; and from recent conversations with Chuck, he will be doing likewise with his. So constructive input is welcome! > > Since I ran into most of the situations you describe regarding NWS > management I know where you are coming from. Your essay, like Roger > Edward's, should get publication exposure, but as we all know management is > not going to let it happen in any NOAA journals, etc. If they do I would > surely be suprised. I can't speak for Chuck here (Lord knows he does a good enough job of speaking for himself!)...but I'm not done yet. There will be revisions to my essay -- and hopefully a version suitable for more formal use within the next few months, as personal time permits. > > As to verification of warnings, there is too much manipulation of the data > going on, which makes most of it invalid. Unfortunately this is the only > thing we have to go by. I have personally seen and investigated situations > where what actually occurred and what was reported as statistics was highly > suspect. Roger found the same thing and reported it to no avail. ...as did Jack Hales a number of years before me. I'd add a caveat: To no avail...so far. The issues are far from resolved. The first step in treating a seeping lesion is to recognize its existence -- then you must treat it with multiple doses of some strong and painful medicine. Honestly, I think the most difficult thing to accomplish in either of our essays will be overcoming apathy toward warnings by a substantial segment of the population (despite massive NWS educational efforts!). Chuck succinctly elucidates the problem. There are no easy or simple solutions; and one must not take a Darwinistic attitude about such people when one's job is to serve the public (including the most ignorant)! There is a lot of work to do... --------------------------------- *** No disclaimer necessary; this is my personal account! *** "What IS the hell is that?" ===== Roger Edwards ===== - former NSSL chase partner ( ) Forecaster former NHC Forecaster :::::::::: http://www.wildstar.net/~tornado :::::::::: "I FEAST ON THE SMORGASBORD OF ATMOSPHERIC VIOLENCE." ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 15 Mar 1997 15:32:10 EST From: Martin Lisius <73124.1052@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: TESSA National Meeting 1997 TESSA National Meeting Set for April 12 The 1997 (4th Annual) TESSA National Meeting has been set for Saturday, April 12 in Plano, Texas. The meeting will take place from 9 am to 12 noon at the Council Theater at 1520 Ave. K. TESSA business will be addressed followed by presentations by Alan Moller of the National Weather Service, Roger Edwards of the Storm Prediction Center and KRLD meteorologist Brad Barton. In addition, the first TESSA Award will be presented to a very special person who has made an oustanding contribution to severe weather research and education. Once again, the TESSA Store will be open after the meeting (12:00) to sell videos, TESSA T-shirts and decals to members. Vendors from Prairie Pictures, Storm Track, NSSL and WeatherGraphix will there to sell books, videos, clothing, and software. TESSA Store shoppers should arrive early as last year proved quantities of goods are limited! Pertinent severe weather outlooks and current weather data will be posted for members wanting to chase later in the day (Mother Nature allowing). The meeting is free and open to the public. ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 15 Mar 1997 17:44:44 -0500 From: Tom Rokoske Subject: NWS SPOTS on TV I would like to hear the discussion as to why there shouldn't be some kind of education to the general public about tornadoes/thunderstorm warnings each spring on TV/radio. If I were to hear "watch" I would certainly stop what I'm doing and gather information about the situation. If I hear "warning" I certainly would certainly head for safety. Should there be TV/radio spots? Should the NWS do it? American Red Cross? Tom ___________________________________________________________________________ Thomas L. Rokoske Department of Physics and Astronomy Appalachian State University Boone, NC 28608 rokosketl@appstate.edu http://www.acs.appstate.edu/dept/physics/ 704-262-2432 _____________________________________________________________________________ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 15 Mar 1997 17:43:32 EST From: Martin Lisius <73124.1052@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: Chasers of Tornado Alley Reax ---------- Forwarded Message ---------- From: Tara, INTERNET:dactyl@world.std.com TO: Martin Lisius, 73124,1052 DATE: 3/13/97 2:55 PM RE: Chasers of Tornado Alley Reax Sender: dactyl@world.std.com Received: from europe.std.com (europe.std.com [199.172.62.20]) by dub-img-7.compuserve.com (8.6.10/5.950515) id OAA21633; Thu, 13 Mar 1997 14:44:07 -0500 Received: from world.std.com by europe.std.com (8.7.6/BZS-8-1.0) id OAA24447; Thu, 13 Mar 1997 14:43:58 -0500 (EST) Received: from ppp0a005.std.com by world.std.com (5.65c/Spike-2.0) id AA24135; Thu, 13 Mar 1997 14:43:53 -0500 Message-Id: <33288048.7B46@world.std.com> Date: Thu, 13 Mar 1997 14:31:36 -0800 From: Tara Reply-To: dactyl@world.std.com X-Mailer: Mozilla 3.0 (Win16; I) Mime-Version: 1.0 To: 73124.1052@compuserve.com Subject: Chasers of Tornado Alley Reax Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Hello I recently received my copy of Chasers of Tornado Alley and had a chance to watch it earlier. I thought it was fantastic. I am 31 years old, from Massachusetts, and will be storm chasing for the first time, the first week of June, with chasers John Hanna (our ringleader) from Tulsa, Richard Halter from Oregon (pres. Oregon Tornado Chasers Society), and high school student, Mike Umscheid from Kansas. I really think the tape gave me a great idea of what I might encounter as we travel around the plains that week. The material was presented in an excellent format and had a terrific flow. I thought the interviews got right to the point and "chaser terms", ie. dry line, mesocyclone, etc. etc., were explained well so the non chaser would understand them. I enjoyed the segment with Bruce Haynie as I know him from my Undernet IRC channel. When he made the comments about tossing stones at lizards, i had to laugh because I could picture him saying that on IRC. His video near the end of the tape with his powerlines and scoured pavement experience was excellent! This is was a great addition to the story about that particular tornado day. I also thought Chuck Doswell's footage showed the intensity of that storm in a way no one elses could. Adding in the reactions of your friend from Austria made that segment the best part of the tape. Again, I say, excellent!! It was also great to see some other chasers that are talked about on our channel. I've recommended folks to your website to buy the tape and will put a link on my #weather home page http://pages.map.com/~dactyl/IRC.html to the Prairie Pics home page. I got interested in storm chasing after different chasers started joining my Undernet channel, #weather. Not after seeing Twister! First Mike and Rich and then later John Hanna, and Bruce Haynie. Since then I have subscribed to StormTracker and spent 100s of dollars on video tapes! We recently had Tim Vasquez on as a "guest" on #weather so folks could talk to him about Digital Atmosphere. Id wished we had more people for that, but I guess it was a start. We hope this keeps up! More chasers need to get on the internet and tell us about their experiences. I am very eager to get off the plane in Tulsa on May 30 with my cameras in tow and go off in search of any kind of severe weather. thanks again! Tara Guertin ****************************************** http://pages.map.com/~dactyl channel op on Undernet #weather #weather home page - http://pages.map.com/~dactyl/IRC.html ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 15 Mar 1997 06:21:23 +0000 From: Dusty Furr Subject: Re: weather reports e-mailed dwalston wrote in article <3329a662.492453@news2.cais.com>... > Does anyone know how I could have a certain NWS product automatically > e-mailed to me when it is issued, or on a daily basis?. I am most > interested in receiving each short term forecast from the Sterling VA > NWS office. > > Thanks > DWalston > You won't get short term forecasts, but you will get about everything else from the WX- mailing lists. The two I know of are WX-STORM and WX-TOR. WX-STORM will give you Day 1 Severe Weather Outlooks, Day 2 Severe Weather Outlooks, Mesoscale Convective Discussions, Preliminary Weather Watch Notification, Tornado and Thunderstorm Watches, Weather Watch Status Reports, Monthly Tornado Stats, Daily Severe Weather Stats, and Heavy Rainfall/Snow Discussions. WX-TOR will give you a copy of torando warnings issued each day. If you need current information do not use these as the info is almost never entirely current. To subscribe send an e-mail message to "Postoffice@CSO.UIUC.EDU". The body should appear as follows: sub mailinglistname yourname ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 14 Mar 1997 to 15 Mar 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Mar 15 16:31:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102266-21824>; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 16:30:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA55882; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 02:21:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4924211 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 02:21:18 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA30504 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 02:21:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA06580 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 02:19:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703150819.CAA06580@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Mar 1997 02:19:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 504 WTPS31 PGTW 150900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P (HINA) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 13.8S2 178.8W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.8S2 178.8W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 16.4S1 177.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 19.0S0 177.4W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 22.2S6 176.9W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 20 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 25.9S6 175.4W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 31.9S3 167.6W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION 14.4S9 178.5W1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P (HINA) IS MOVING TOWARDS THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 13 KNOTS. WE EXPECT TC 33P TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY WHILE TRACKING MOSTLY SOUTHWARD EARLY IN THE PERIOD BEFORE TURNING TOWARDS THE EAST AS IT BREAKS THROUGH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z2 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2) AND 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE JUSTIN (32P) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BY NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. (SEE WHPS31 PHNC 152100).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Mar 15 16:43:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102239-21824>; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 16:42:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA43446; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 02:34:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4924226 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 02:34:12 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA78500 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 02:34:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA06640 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 02:32:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703150832.CAA06640@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Mar 1997 02:32:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 651 WTPS31 PGTW 150900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P (HINA) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 13.8S2 178.8W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.8S2 178.8W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 16.4S1 177.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 19.0S0 177.4W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 22.2S6 176.9W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 20 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 25.9S6 175.4W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 31.9S3 167.6W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION 14.4S9 178.5W1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P (HINA) IS MOVING TOWARDS THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 13 KNOTS. WE EXPECT TC 33P TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY WHILE TRACKING MOSTLY SOUTHWARD EARLY IN THE PERIOD BEFORE TURNING TOWARDS THE EAST AS IT BREAKS THROUGH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z2 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2) AND 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE JUSTIN (32P) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BY NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. (SEE WHPS31 PHNC 152100).// 0Z0 (DTG 160153Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// ) AND 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT TTT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Mar 15 17:06:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102226-21824>; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 17:05:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA55894; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 02:58:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4924292 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 02:58:06 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA133928 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 02:58:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA06745 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 02:56:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703150856.CAA06745@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Mar 1997 02:56:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 799 WTPS32 PGTW 150900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 038 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 12.2S5 154.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 080 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.2S5 154.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 12.2S5 155.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 12.9S2 155.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 13.3S7 154.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 13.8S2 154.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 14.6S1 153.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION 12.2S5 154.8E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS TRACKING TO THE EAST AT 06 KNOTS OFF THE SOUTHEASTERN TIP OF NEW GUINEA. CURRENT WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY IS BASED ON 150530Z4 SATELLITE INTENSITY ANALYSIS. WE EXPECT TC 32P TO MOVE SLOWLY TOWARDS THE EAST BEFORE MAKING A TURN TOWARDS THE SOUTH IN 12 TO 24 HOURS. VERY SLOW INTENSIFICATION IS ANTICIPATED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z2 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WIND AND SEAS WARNING FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION (DTG 142334Z7). NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8), 152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4), 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z6) AND 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P (HINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Mar 15 18:09:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102238-21824>; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 18:09:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA52854; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 04:01:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4924453 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 04:01:10 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA213858 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 04:01:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA08762 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 03:59:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703150959.DAA08762@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Mar 1997 03:59:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 647 WTPS31 PGTW 150900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P (HINA) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 13.8S2 178.8W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.8S2 178.8W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 16.4S1 177.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 19.0S0 177.4W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 22.2S6 176.9W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 20 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 25.9S6 175.4W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 31.9S3 167.6W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION 14.4S9 178.5W1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P (HINA) IS MOVING TOWARDS THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 13 KNOTS. WE EXPECT TC 33P TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY WHILE TRACKING MOSTLY SOUTHWARD EARLY IN THE PERIOD BEFORE TURNING TOWARDS THE EAST AS IT BREAKS THROUGH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z2 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2) AND 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE JUSTIN (32P) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BY NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. (SEE WHPS31 PHNC 152100).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG27490740751 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Mar 15 22:40:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102547-21824>; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 22:40:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA239506; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 08:34:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4925379 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 08:34:40 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA78536 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 08:30:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA12418 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 08:28:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703151428.IAA12418@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Mar 1997 08:28:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 726 WTPS32 PGTW 151500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 039 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- 11.7S9 155.5E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.7S9 155.5E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 11.7S9 156.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 12.0S3 156.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 12.4S7 156.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 12.9S2 156.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 13.7S1 156.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 151500Z2 POSITION 11.7S9 155.7E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. OUR WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 151130Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS INDICATING 55 KNOT WINDS. WIND RADII AT WARNING TIME ARE A BLEND OF THE PREVIOUS WIND RADII ANALYSIS COMBINED WITH CURRENT SYNOPTIC LAND AND SHIP OBSERVATIONS. NO RECENT MICROWAVE OR SCATTEROMETRY DATA WAS AVAILABLE FOR ANALYSIS FOR THIS WARNING. TC 32P IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING GENERALLY EASTWARD ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS, BUT SLOW ITS FORWARD MOTION IN RESPONSE TO RIDGING BUILDING BETWEEN IT AND TC 33P WHICH IS MOVING AWAY TO THE SOUTHEAST. NUMERICAL MODELS BUILD A MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE IN THE VICINITY OF NEW CALEDONIA WHICH SHOULD BEGIN TO STEER TC 32P SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD AFTER 24 HOURS. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR INDUCED BY UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING SOUTH OF TC 32P IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN SIGNIFICANT ENOUGH TO HINDER GOOD OUTFLOW AND THUS SLOW FURTHER INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z9 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WIND AND SEAS WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4), 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z6), 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2) AND 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P (HINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Mar 16 04:27:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102399-21824>; Sun, 16 Mar 1997 04:27:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA23216; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 14:17:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4927418 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 14:17:31 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA73550 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 14:16:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA15921 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 14:14:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703152014.OAA15921@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Mar 1997 14:14:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 651 WTPS32 PGTW 152100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 040 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- 11.8S0 155.7E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.8S0 155.7E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 11.8S0 156.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 12.0S3 156.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 12.4S7 156.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 295 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 12.8S1 156.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 13.6S0 156.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 152100Z9 POSITION 11.8S0 155.8E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. IT HAS INTENSIFIED DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. OUR WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 151630Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS INDICATING THE PRESENCE OF 65 KNOT WINDS (DVORAK T4.0). WIND RADII AT WARNING TIME HAVE BEEN EXPANDED DUE TO OBSERVATIONS FROM SHIPS VKAA AND PCDE WHICH REPORTED WINDS OF 35 AND 40 KNOTS RESPECTIVELY. TC 32P IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST IN RESPONSE TO A BUILDING SUBTROPICAL ANTICYCLONE TO ITS SOUTHEAST. DYNAMIC AND CLIMATOLOGICAL FORECAST GUIDANCE ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH THE FORECAST TRACK. STATISTICAL FORECAST GUIDANCE INDICATES A MORE SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z5 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WIND AND SEAS WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z6), 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2), 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9) AND 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P (HINA) WARNINGS (WHPS31 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Mar 16 05:00:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102399-21824>; Sun, 16 Mar 1997 05:00:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA67804; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 14:52:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4927512 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 14:52:24 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA197108 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 14:49:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA16146 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 14:47:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703152047.OAA16146@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Mar 1997 14:47:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: Tropical Cyclone Warning (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 930 WHPS31 PHNC 152100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- 17.3S1 177.9W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 175 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.3S1 177.9W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 19.4S4 177.6W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 21.6S9 177.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 24.1S7 176.2W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 26.8S6 174.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 32.6S1 168.6W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 152100Z9 POSITION 17.8S6 177.8W3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P (HINA) IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 15 KNOTS. EXPECT SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION BY TAU 36 PRIOR TO TURNING SOUTHEAST AFTER TAU 48. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0) AND 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. THIS IS THE FIRST WARNING DISSEMINATED BY NAVPACMETOCCEN, PREVIOUS WARNINGS ISSUED BY NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST/JTWC GU UNDER THE MANOP WTPS31 PGTW. AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG06470742049 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Mar 16 10:36:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102173-19632>; Sun, 16 Mar 1997 10:36:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA162512; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 20:32:17 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4929218 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 20:32:08 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA162444 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 20:30:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA19143 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 20:28:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703160228.UAA19143@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Mar 1997 20:28:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 847 WTPS32 PGTW 160300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 041 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 12.2S5 156.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.2S5 156.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 12.4S7 156.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 12.8S1 156.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 13.4S8 156.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 295 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 14.0S5 156.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 14.8S3 155.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION 12.2S5 156.1E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) APPEARS TO HAVE STARTED TO MOVE TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST AS PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TC 32P HAS LOST SOME OF ITS ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AS UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS PUSHED THE DEEP CONVECTION FROM THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. CURRENT WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON THIS PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CLEARLY VISIBLE IN BOTH MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY AS WELL AS MICROWAVE IMAGERY. FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME AS PREVIOUS WARNINGS. ALTHOUGH STATISTICAL GUIDANCE (PERSISTANCE BLENDED WITH CLIMATOLOGY) WOULD TAKE THIS SYSTEM AWAY FROM THE AUSTRALIAN COAST, AND AN IMPRESSIVE UPPER- AND MID-LEVEL LOW ARE ENTERING THE SOUTHWESTERN AUSTRALIAN CONTINENT AT THIS TIME (AS SHOWN BY ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY), WE BELIEVE THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WILL REMAIN STRONG AND TC 32PWILL REMAIN UNDER ITS STEERING INFLUENCE, GRADUALLY BEGINNING TO WORK ITS WAY BACK TOWARDS THE WEST LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z7 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WIND AND SEA WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION (DTG 152334Z8). NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2), 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9), 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5) AND 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P (HINA) WARNINGS (WHPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Mar 16 14:10:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102173-19632>; Sun, 16 Mar 1997 14:10:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA238874; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 23:59:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4930530 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 23:59:42 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA09110 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 1997 23:59:41 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA98634 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 15 Mar 1997 23:59:41 -0600 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199703160559.AA98634@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 15 Mar 1997 23:59:41 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -152359 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 27463 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z MAR 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/160153Z MAR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION AND ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAVE PERSISTED AND BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 18 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS NEAR 3N3 167E4, BASED HEAVILY ON THE AMOS WIND REPORT FROM EBON (WMO 91442). PRESSURES IN THE AREA AREN=T ESPECIALLY LOW, BUT THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW PATTERN HAS BECOME MORE FAVORABLE OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. YESTERDAY THERE WAS SIGNIFICANT SOUTHERLY SHEAR OVER THE AREA, BUT OVERNIGHT THE AREA HAS BECOME PROTECTED AND IN AN AREA OF UPPER-LEVEL DIFLUENCE. IF THE SHEAR CONTINUES BE LIGHT ON THIS SUSPECT AREA, DEVELOPMENT FOR THIS SUSPECT AREA IS POSSIBLE GIVEN THE CURRENT EQUATORIAL WESTERLY WIND BURST AND FAVORABLE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 151800Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P WAS LOCATED AT 17.3S1 177.8W3, AND IT WAS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P WARNING NUMBER 06 (WHPS31 PHNC 152100) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. PLEASE TAKE NOTE OF THE NEW MANOP HEADER. THIS TROPICAL CYCLONE HAS PASSED OUTSIDE OF NAVPACMETOCCEN/JTWC GU AOR AND IS NOW BEING WARNED ON BY NAVPACMETOCCEN. (2) AT 160000Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WAS LOCATED AT 12.2S5 156.0E2, AND IT WAS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P WARNING NUMBER 41 (WTPS32 PGTW 160300) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: NICKLAS/MEST/GILL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Mar 17 14:20:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102332-14801>; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 14:20:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA36578; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 00:14:46 -0600 Message-Id: <199703170614.AAA36578@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Mar 1997 00:03:12 +1800 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 15 Mar 1997 to 16 Mar 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 4 messages totalling 156 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Essays on Warnings 2. Arkansas Notes 3. Part For Heathkit Wx Computer... 4. TESSA National Meeting Agenda +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 16 Mar 1997 16:42:13 -0500 From: JOHN & NANCY ROBERTS Subject: Re: Essays on Warnings Ya-Hoo! Speaking out. Who cares? I do. I'm just a lay weather enthusist, but I appreciate well connected scientists speaking out on sensitive issues regarding public safty. Keep those kettles burning, because everyone is in harms way, even political minded money mongers. My thoughts alone. No employer or political involement. Food for thought:: I wish I could win the Lottery so I could buy tens of thousands of those Weather Alert Radios and place them in my yard, so I want miss any of those Storm Watches and Warnings. Is there anyone out there who can tell me where I can get that many Weather Alert Radio? How about Arkedelphia , Little Rock or anywhere USA. ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 16 Mar 1997 19:06:48 -0600 From: Kevin Scharfenberg Subject: Arkansas Notes I have just returned to school from my spring break vacation back home in Arkansas. Latest counts are: 25 dead, about 800 injured, 1500 families homeless, 946 homes destroyed, 628 homes with major damage, damage estimated at $150 million. Although my damage survey was over one week after the tornado outbreak, it is clear the Arkadelphia to Little Rock tornado was at least an F3. There was a number of well built homes and businesses with all but a few interior walls still standing. There were at least three locations of possible F4 damage, with homes losing all interior and exterior walls. (One in Arkadelphia, one near Donaldson, and a Doctor's office near Little Rock). The only question is the quality of construction of these buildings. I am relatively inexperienced at damage surveys, and I am certainly not an engineer, so this is all my humble opinion! The location with ten deaths, just SW of Little Rock, was filled with mobile homes and generally poorly constructed houses. Some other interesting notes: Two people were crushed by a tree and killed. They had left their mobile home to seek shelter in a ditch. Several people I talked to said the overpasses along Interstate 30 and in the Little Rock area were filled with people taking shelter. Many people in affected communities say they were caught by surprise because they didn't hear tornado sirens, even though there are no tornado sirens in their communities. Many other people said they heard the tornado warnings, but thought their town was protected from tornadoes by the ____ (ridge, mountain, river, Indian Blessing, etc). It's clear we still have a long way to go in the education department. Comments welcome. -Kevin =============================================== KEVIN SCHARFENBERG E-mail: kscharf@ou.edu KC5NPX http://rossby.ou.edu/~kscharf/ =============================================== ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 16 Mar 1997 13:08:45 EST From: Robert Lightbown Subject: Part For Heathkit Wx Computer... I have a Heathkit ID-4001 Weather Computer in which I bought back in 1984. I am looking for a particular replacement part for it. It is a MK 3870 40 pin microprocessor. Does anyone know where I could find this item...any help would be greatly appreciated. Thanks In Advance... Robert Lightbown/Caribou Maine ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 17 Mar 1997 00:09:35 EST From: Martin Lisius <73124.1052@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: TESSA National Meeting Agenda The Texas Severe Storms Association Fourth Annual National Meeting Saturday, April 12, 1997 9:00-12:00 AM Plano Municipal Building Council Theatre 1520 Avenue K Plano, Texas AGENDA 9:00 - Greeting and Announcements Glenn Wise, Trustee Martin Lisius, Chairman 9:15 - Brad Barton, KRLD Radio 9:30 - Roger Edwards, Storm Prediction Center 10:00 - Break 10:10 - Feature Presentation Alan Moller, National Weather Service Alan Moller, National Weather Service Forecaster, will present information on weather radar and how it interprets severe storms. Alan is one of the nation s top storm spotter educators. He is also a veteran storm chaser and accomplished photographer. 11:15 - Break 11:25 - Video Presentation "Beneath Stormy Skies" This 20-minute video produced by Martin Lisius focuses on the probability of a major tornado one day striking Dallas-Ft. Worth, Tornado Alley s largest metropolitan area. 11:45 - Presentation of the TESSA Award 11:55 - Closing 12:00-12:30 TESSA Store First Floor, Training Room A Come mingle with TESSA members and purchase storm products at the TESSA Store. TESSA T-shirts and decals will be available for members. Vendors from the National Severe Storms Laboratory, Prairie Pictures, Storm Track Magazine and WeatherGraphix will be selling videos, books, clothing, software and other items. TESSA is a 501(c)(3) national non-profit organization dedicated to severe weather research and education. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 15 Mar 1997 to 16 Mar 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Mar 16 16:01:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102297-19632>; Sun, 16 Mar 1997 16:01:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA52118; Sun, 16 Mar 1997 01:53:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4930946 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Mar 1997 01:53:17 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA213872 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 1997 01:53:13 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id BAA22410 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Mar 1997 01:51:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703160751.BAA22410@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Mar 1997 01:51:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 509 WTPS32 PGTW 160900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 042 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 12.2S5 155.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.2S5 155.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 12.4S7 156.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 12.7S0 156.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 13.1S5 156.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 13.6S0 155.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 14.4S9 155.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION 12.2S5 155.9E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) HAS STALLED (AGAIN) IN THE CORAL SEA. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS AND MOVED BACK OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE SYSTEM IS STILL FEELING THE EFFECTS OF EASTERLY SHEAR AS OUTFLOW ON THE EASTERN HALF OF THE STORM IS RESTRICTED. FORECAST PHILOSOPHY IS IDENTICAL TO THE PREVIOUS WARNING. TC 32P IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING SLOWLY TOWARDS THE SOUTH BEFORE BEGINNING A TURN TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE PERIOD. WE DON=T EXPECT SIGNIFICANT INTENSIFICATION OF THIS SYSTEM FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WIND AND SEAS WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST 97 (DTG 152334Z8) FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9), 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5), 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Mar 16 17:36:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102333-19632>; Sun, 16 Mar 1997 17:36:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA70362; Sun, 16 Mar 1997 03:32:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4931140 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Mar 1997 03:31:10 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA102032 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 1997 03:31:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA24849 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Mar 1997 03:29:20 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703160929.DAA24849@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Mar 1997 03:29:20 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: Tropical Cyclone Warning (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 251 WHPS31 PHNC 161000 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 20.7S9 176.1W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.7S9 176.1W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 24.6S2 174.4W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 28.1S1 171.6W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 30.3S6 167.3W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 23 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 31.6S0 162.2W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION 21.7S0 175.7W0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P (HINA) IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 21 KTS. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REACH PEAK INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND THEN BEGIN TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT TAKES A MORE SOUTHEASTERLY TRACK PAGE 05 RUHPSGG2172 UNCLAS BETWEEN 24 AND 36 HOURS. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY THE 48 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT IS 18 FT AT 160600Z3. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0 (DTG 162030Z2) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 171030Z2).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG21720750930 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Mar 16 21:54:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102309-19632>; Sun, 16 Mar 1997 21:54:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA146136; Sun, 16 Mar 1997 07:48:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4931814 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Mar 1997 07:48:35 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA217280 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 1997 07:48:35 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id HAA27047 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Mar 1997 07:46:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703161346.HAA27047@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Mar 1997 07:46:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 934 WTPS32 PGTW 161500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 043 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- 12.2S5 156.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 12.2S5 156.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 12.2S5 156.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 12.3S6 157.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 12.6S9 157.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 13.1S5 157.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 13.6S0 157.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION 12.2S5 156.5E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS IN THE CORAL SEA. IT HAS FLUCTUATED IN INTENSITY DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS DUE TO DIURNAL AND WIND SHEAR EFFECTS. WE EXPECT TC 32P TO FLUCTUATE UPWARD IN INTENSITY AGAIN TONIGHT DUE TO THE UPCOMING DIURNAL CONVECTIVE MAXIMUM PERIOD COMBINED WITH DECREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AS INDICATED IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. THIS INTENSIFICATION TREND IS EXPECTED TO BE SHORT LIVED, HOWEVER, DUE TO INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BEING INDICATED BY NUMERICAL MODELS AT AND BEYOND 24 HOURS. AN ABUNDANCE OF DYNAMICAL FORECAST GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO INDICATE TC 32P SHOULD TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST IN RESPONSE TO RIDGING TO THE SOUTHEAST. ADDITIONALLY, SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A FAIRLY STRONG EXTRATROPICAL LOW IS APPROACHING FROM SOUTHWEST OF AUSTRALIA WHICH MAY ENHANCE A PRE-ESTABLISHED WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS TOWARD WHICH TC 32P MAY BEGIN TO MOVE TOWARD IN THE LONGER RANGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5), 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7), 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3) AND 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Mar 17 04:29:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102268-19632>; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 04:29:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA52826; Sun, 16 Mar 1997 14:20:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4934089 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Mar 1997 14:20:08 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA29930 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 1997 14:20:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA00452 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Mar 1997 14:18:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703162018.OAA00452@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Mar 1997 14:18:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 531 WTPS32 PGTW 162100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 044 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- 12.9S2 155.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.9S2 155.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 13.5S9 155.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 14.0S5 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 14.5S0 154.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 14.9S4 153.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 15.5S1 152.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 162100Z0 POSITION 13.1S5 155.8E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) HAS TURNED TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST AND IS MOVING AT 05 KNOTS. DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS TC 32P DEVELOPED A RAGGED, 40 NM DIAMETER CLOUD FILLED EYE. OUR WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 16730Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS INDICATING 75 KNOT WINDS (DVORAK T4.5). WE ARE REASONABLY CONFIDENT THIS SYSTEM HAS TURNED TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST DUE TO GOOD POSITIONS SUPPORTED BY RECENT EYE FIXES AND SCATTEROMETRY DURING SATELLITE ECLIPSE OPERATIONS. INDICATIONS THAT THE EYE HAS BEGUN TO FILL ALREADY SUPPORT A SLOW WEAKENING TREND THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z6 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7), 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3), 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0) AND 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Mar 17 05:08:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102342-19632>; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 05:08:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA74424; Sun, 16 Mar 1997 15:01:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4934423 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Mar 1997 15:01:41 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA82234 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 1997 15:01:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA00929 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Mar 1997 14:59:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703162059.OAA00929@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Mar 1997 14:59:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: Tropical Cyclone Warning (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 899 WHPS31 PHNC 162100 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- 23.8S3 174.6W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 165 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.8S3 174.6W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 26.6S4 172.4W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 29.1S2 170.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 31.0S4 166.2W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 32.7S2 162.2W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 162100Z0 POSITION 24.5S1 174.0W2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P (HINA) IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 19 KTS. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS AND BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY TAU 48. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT IS 18 FT AT 161800Z.NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1) AND 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG32230752106 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Mar 17 10:32:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102194-14801>; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 10:32:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA237272; Sun, 16 Mar 1997 20:24:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4936165 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Mar 1997 20:24:11 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA131400 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 1997 20:24:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA04464 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Mar 1997 20:22:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703170222.UAA04464@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 16 Mar 1997 20:22:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 538 WTPS32 PGTW 170300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 045 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 12.7S0 155.5E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 210 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.7S0 155.5E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 13.0S4 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 210 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 13.3S7 154.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 210 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 13.7S1 153.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 210 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 14.1S6 153.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 14.7S2 152.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION 12.8S1 155.3E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS IN THE CORAL SEA. CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 162330Z5 SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS SHOWING 65 KNOT WINDS (DVORAK T4.0). THE INTENSITY OF TC 32P SEEMS TO BE OSCILLATING, BUT IN THE MEAN WE BELIEVE THIS SYSTEM WILL REMAIN AROUND 60-65 KNOTS FOR THE DURATION OF THE FORECAST. TRACK PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME AS PREVIOUS WARNINGS AND WE ARE FORECASTING TC 32P TO CONTINUE ON A SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK. STEERING FLOW IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN LATE IN THE PERIOD AND TC 32P MAY BEGIN TO SLOW BEYOND 48 HOURS. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 161236Z9 SCATTEROMETRY PASS AND AVAILABLE SHIP SYNOPTIC DATA. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE AN EXTRAPOLATION OF OUR CURRENT WIND RADII. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z8 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WIND AND SEAS WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST 97 (DTG 162334Z9) FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3), 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0), 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6) AND 180300Z2 (DTG 180153Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Mar 18 14:19:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102688-22658>; Tue, 18 Mar 1997 14:19:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA220754; Tue, 18 Mar 1997 00:05:38 -0600 Message-Id: <199703180605.AAA220754@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Mar 1997 00:00:03 +1800 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 16 Mar 1997 to 17 Mar 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 10 messages totalling 336 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. NWS SPOTS on TV 2. Arkansas Notes (2) 3. WX-TALK Digest - 15 Mar 1997 to 16 Mar 1997 4. High frequency Active Auroral Research Program (HAARP) 5. *AWESOME* NWA conference!!! 6. Student co-op positions available at NWS/TDL 7. Satellite enhancement curves 8. WEIRD WEATHR CONTROL 9. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 17 Mar 1997 08:42:11 -0600 From: City of Moore Emergency Management Subject: Re: NWS SPOTS on TV On 15 Mar 1997 Tom Rokoske wrote: > I would like to hear the discussion as to why there shouldn't be some kind > of education to the general public about tornadoes/thunderstorm warnings > each spring on TV/radio. If I were to hear "watch" I would certainly stop > what I'm doing and gather information about the situation. If I hear > "warning" I certainly would certainly head for safety. Should there be > TV/radio spots? Should the NWS do it? American Red Cross? In our part of the country, this is regularly done by the media, NWS, and local emergency management agencies. In fact, we've just finished "Tornado Awareness Week", which was proclaimed by our Governor, Mayors, NWS, etc. As a local emergency manager, I can tell you that public education on the hazards that affect my city is a MAJOR part of my job. Yes, I ensure that we have a trained/equipped spotter group, that they're out when they need to be, that we have a multi-pronged warning system, and that the warning system is activated when necessary - BUT - if the 40,000+ people in my city don't have a clue as to what to do and where to go, I may as well not have bothered.... A good start for you would be to chat with the Warning Coordination Meteorologist (WCM) at the NWS office that serves your area. Gayland Kitch Emergency Manager The City of Moore, Oklahoma ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 17 Mar 1997 09:08:43 -0600 From: Peter Laws Subject: Re: Arkansas Notes On Sun, 16 Mar 1997, Kevin Scharfenberg wrote: > I have just returned to school from my spring break vacation back home > in Arkansas. Hope your family, friends are OK. <...> > Many people in affected communities say they were caught by surprise > because they didn't hear tornado sirens, even though there are no I've actively searched for reports of Amateur Radio or other SKYWARN efforts on 1 March and have found none. Lot's of reports of ham activity in the aftermath, but none beforehand. This is unfortunate. I'd like to know *why* there was none. Not interested in criticizing those in the affected area, just want to learn what happened (or *didn't* happen) and why. -- Peter Laws / plaws@wildstar.net / N5UWY http://www.wildstar.net/~plaws/skywarn/ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 17 Mar 1997 12:44:38 -0500 From: "ST GERMAIN, BRADLEY A" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 15 Mar 1997 to 16 Mar 1997 Hey! New subscriber to this list, so please forgive me if I do something wrong. Anyways, I was wondering if any one out there in cyberspace knows of any colleges/universites that teach meteorology. I am a student and greatly interested in studying meteorology in college. Thanks for the help. Brad St. Germain ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 17 Mar 1997 08:18:28 -0800 From: Jan Curtis Subject: High frequency Active Auroral Research Program (HAARP) Hi: For those who want to know more about what HAARP is, I invite you to check out: http://server5550.itd.nrl.navy.mil/haarp.html Sincerely, Jan Curtis ************************************************************* Webmaster for: The Alaska Climate Research Center http://climate.gi.alaska.edu ************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 17 Mar 1997 13:27:54 -0600 From: "Jeremy Charles (N9VHT)" Subject: Re: Arkansas Notes On Mon, 17 Mar 1997, Peter Laws wrote: > I've actively searched for reports of Amateur Radio or other SKYWARN > efforts on 1 March and have found none. Lot's of reports of ham activity > in the aftermath, but none beforehand. This is unfortunate. > > I'd like to know *why* there was none. Not interested in criticizing > those in the affected area, just want to learn what happened (or *didn't* > happen) and why. >From what I heard via Amateur Radio news sources (Newsline being one of them), there was plenty of Ham activity before the storms hit. SKYWARN nets were active before and during the storms relaying reports to the National Weather Service. I don't have the actual Newsline story handy, but I know the full text of the reports appears on the WWW somewhere.. Do a few searches for it on a couple of well-known search engines and I'm sure you'll come up with it quickly enough. -Jeremy C. (N9VHT) South-Central Wisconsin SKYWARN NCS & Training Coordinator Madison Area Repeater Association Vice President & Swapfest '98 Coordinator n9vht@skywarn.cs.wisc.edu Online SKYWARN logging: http://www.cs.wisc.edu/~jeremyc/skywarn ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 17 Mar 1997 09:18:35 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: *AWESOME* NWA conference!!! While I'm on breakfast break and typing inbetween munching hash browns while trying to stay awake here, I wanted to pass along a hearty congratulations to John McLaughlin and the entire Central Iowa NWA crew for making the NWA Severe Storms Conference this past weekend an awesome (hopefully annual?) event. The hard work that went into the conference showed and paid off! I finally got a chance to meet the faces behind the emails...and it was kind of odd that most of you saw me and recognized me immediately! But the conference, talking shop into the wee hours...this is what it's all about, folks! I was really impressed at the quality of speakers and information presented. Breakthroughs were presented but geared towards using the information operationally, and I got a lot out of it as a result, and will start applying what I learned immediately! Les Lemon's radar talks were fascinating stuff. Although I missed parts of the first one (sorry!--I lost out on that), what I did learn was incredibly helpful and easily understood. Chuck Doswell's abbreviated flash flood forecasting course makes me want to take the full one! Is that going to be offered again, in it's entirety? Normally, from what I hear, people go to these sessions, sit in for a few, and then go relax in the whirlpool. I was angry that I forgot my bathing suit. However, as it turned out, I didn't need it: either I was watching an interesting speaker, or getting great ideas and information from others who were there. Bravo to the NWA for pulling off a great conference! I will be at the next one...bank on it!!! P.S. I had to miss a few chase videos Friday night, as I hadn't had much to eat all day, but the chaser video showing was GREAT. Good job John, et al., and thanks again all!!!!! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 17 Mar 1997 08:35:22 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: Student co-op positions available at NWS/TDL Dr. Stephan B. Smith asked me to post this to WX-TALK since he is not a WX-TALK subscriber. Please address all comments or questions concerning this posting to Stephan.Smith@noaa.gov. ..Chris.. =============== O R I G I N A L M E S S A G E =================== The Techniques Development Laboratory (TDL) of the National Weather Service is now accepting applications for co-op students who can start work at TDL in the Summer or Fall of 1997. To find out more about TDL and the co-op student program, check out our homepage at http://tgsv5.nws.noaa.gov/tdl/ or contact: Dr. Stephan B. Smith Co-op Student Program Coordinator (301) 713-1774 x180 Stephan.Smith@noaa.gov smith@thunder.nws.noaa.gov *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 17 Mar 1997 17:51:49 -0700 From: "David O. Blanchard" Subject: Satellite enhancement curves A few weeks ago, I found a WWW site that had text and graphical information on the standard satellite [IR and VIS] enhancement curves. Now I can't remember where I saw that information. If anyone knows an appropriate URL, I would be grateful if you would post or email it to me. Thanks. -db- -- +----------------------------------------------------------------------+ | David Blanchard NOAA/NSSL & OU/CIMMS Boulder, Colorado | | blanch@ncar.ucar.edu http://mrd3.mmm.ucar.edu/~dob/www/ | +----------------------------------------------------------------------+ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 17 Mar 1997 16:06:02 GMT From: Eric Gross Subject: Re: WEIRD WEATHR CONTROL >Never heard of a troll before, have you? Ugly creature that lives under bridges? :) Yes, but my unfortunate experience is that this person is probably *serious* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 17 Mar 1997 21:49:53 -0700 From: Greg Thompson Subject: As my preparation for the Spring/Summer 97 chase season continues, I'm happy to announce some new plots I'm now making available over the web. I have added nearly 250 new items to my web site over the past few months. Many of them should be quite helpful in severe weather forecasting. Here's a summary of things I've added: Satellite Page: Added 5 regional, close-up, hi-res (~ 1.5 km) vis images bringing the total to 10. Five are updated with :15 and :45 mins after the hour, while the other five are updated with :02 and :32 mins after the hour data. Can't process data every 15 mins - too taxing on the machine. http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satellite.html Surface Page: U.S. scale plots of temp, dewpoint, wind dir/speed, theta-e, mean sea level pressure, 3-hour pressure change, 24-hour accumulated precip, snowdepth. These are now available at: http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/surface.html Model Page: I've promised this since last season. I now have plots from ALL NCEP models: AVN/MRF, Eta and RUC. A grand total of 180 plots have been added here. The data are updated just as soon as I can get them from NCEP and process locally. All are now available at: http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/model.html Upper-Air Page: I added constant pressure plots at 200, 250, 300, 500, 700, and 850 mb. The contours on these plots are created using RUC 00-hour forecast model data (analysis). The benefit of doing this is that contoured values are updated every 3 hours. The radiosonde data are plotted in station model manner from the 0 and 12z balloon soundings. I also made 2 bug fixes to my skewt plots including a fixed storm-relative helicity calculation. http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/upper.html Aviation Page: Added some regional Pilot Report (PIREP) plots, links to constant-p plots, added raw PIREP data files, and minor misc changes. http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/aviation.html Please bear with me as not every item is perfect. I know there are some contour label problems, colorbar problems, data timeliness, etc. I'm always trying to improve things where possible and prioritize things according to my own schedule. Don't bombard me with e-mails saying this and that aren't updating - I still need to tune some code, find bugs, etc. For those of you interested in things I'm still working on: profiler plots - currently running 3 times/day. Need to make transition to new, more reliable data stream. satellite images - expect to add more regional, hi-res vis, images. Also hope to overlay other data (surface, PIREPs, etc.) surface plots (regional) - need to finish making bug fixes necessitated by METAR (vs. SA) format. Also planning to make an hourly Lifted Index plot. Should be the best possible as it will contain 500 mb temps that are updated every 3 hours from RUC and surface temps updated hourly. model page - hope to be able to offer point-and-click ability to plot skewt at ANY model gridpoint (RUC and Eta only). It will be imagemap-based, not station identifier. I hope folks find these plots useful. I welcome *CONSTRUCTIVE* feedback after a reasonable period to allow me to fix what I know is messy. --Greg Thompson webmaster of Real-Time Weather Data web pages at the Research Applications Program National Center for Atmospheric Research ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 16 Mar 1997 to 17 Mar 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Mar 17 15:14:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102432-14801>; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 15:14:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA149278; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 00:33:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4938398 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 00:32:48 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA201766 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 00:32:47 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA61941 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 17 Mar 1997 00:32:47 -0600 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199703170632.AA61941@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Mar 1997 00:32:47 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -170032 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 37362 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600Z MAR 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/170153Z MAR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION AND ASSOCIATED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3N3 167E4 IS NOW NEAR 10N1 163E0. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A VERY BROAD CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS POORLY ORGANIZED. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BEEN IDENTIFIED BY SYNOPTIC DATA AND A 162330Z SCATTEROMETRY PASS SHOWING AT MOST 20 KNOT WINDS. THE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA HAS LOST SOME ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE OUTFLOW PATTERN IS NOT AS FAVORABLE AS YESTERDAY AS THE SYSTEM IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MODERATE SOUTHERLY WIND SHEAR. THIS IS ALSO ILLUSTRATED BY THE FACT THE MAIN CONVECTION HAS BEEN BLOWN NORTH OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: ?(1) AT 170000Z8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WAS LOCATED AT 12.7S0 155.5E6, AND IT WAS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P WARNING NUMBER 45 (WTPS32 PGTW 170300) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: NICKLAS/MEST/GILL// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG53590760551 NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Mar 17 16:42:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102488-14801>; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 16:42:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAB152338; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 01:47:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4938965 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 01:47:33 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA113646 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 01:47:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id BAA07236 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 01:45:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703170745.BAA07236@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Mar 1997 01:45:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 377 WTPS32 PGTW 170900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 046 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- 12.4S7 155.4E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 210 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.4S7 155.4E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 12.4S7 155.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 210 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 12.6S9 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 210 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 12.9S2 154.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 210 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 13.4S8 154.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 14.1S6 153.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION 12.4S7 155.4E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P HAS MAINTAINED INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS IS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS IN THE CORAL SEA. CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY IS BASED ON THE LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY (DVORALK T4.0) AND EXTRAPOLATION OF A 162330Z5 SCATTEROMETRY PASS. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA IN AGREEMENT WITH THE ABOVE MENTI +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Mar 17 16:43:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102495-14801>; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 16:43:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA122158; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 01:48:51 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4938976 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 01:48:47 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA210460 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 01:48:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id BAA07239 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 01:46:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703170746.BAA07239@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Mar 1997 01:46:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 386 WTPS32 PGTW 170900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 046 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- 12.4S7 155.4E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 210 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.4S7 155.4E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 12.4S7 155.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 210 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 12.6S9 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 210 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 12.9S2 154.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 210 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 13.4S8 154.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 14.1S6 153.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION 12.4S7 155.4E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P HAS MAINTAINED INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS IS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS IN THE CORAL SEA. CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY IS BASED ON THE LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY (DVORALK T4.0) AND EXTRAPOLATION OF A 162330Z5 SCATTEROMETRY PASS. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA IN AGREEMENT WITH THE ABOVE MENTIONED SCATTEROMETRY. FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME AS PREVIOUS WARNINGS. WE EXPECT THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO BUILD SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM AND TO PROVIDE STEERNING TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST. TC 32P IS FORECAST TO REMAIN NEAR ITS CURRENT INTENSITY FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS. THE MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z4 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WIND AND SEAS WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST 97 (DTG 162334Z9) FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0), 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6), 180300Z2 (DTG 180153Z8) AND 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Mar 17 17:02:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102580-14801>; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 17:02:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA164906; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 02:51:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4939298 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 02:51:39 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA150278 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 02:51:38 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA07727 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 02:49:49 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703170849.CAA07727@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Mar 1997 02:49:49 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: Tropical Cyclone Warning (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 996 WHPS31 PHNC 170900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- 26.2S0 169.8W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.2S0 169.8W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 28.5S5 166.2W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 31.0S4 162.3W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 33.1S7 158.1W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 23 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 35.0S8 153.1W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION 26.8S6 168.9W4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P (HINA) IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 KTS. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG A SOUTHEAST TRACK AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT BEGINS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT IS 20 FT AT 170600Z4. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z1 (DTG 172030Z3) AND 180900Z8 (DTG 180830Z0).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG44190760830 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Mar 17 22:17:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102559-14801>; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 22:17:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA78394; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 08:06:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4940715 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 08:06:05 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA233598 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 08:06:00 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA11781 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 08:04:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703171404.IAA11781@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Mar 1997 08:04:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 490 WTPS32 PGTW 171500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 047 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 12.4S7 155.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 210 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.4S7 155.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 12.4S7 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 210 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 12.6S9 154.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 210 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 12.9S2 154.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 255 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 215 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 13.4S8 153.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 255 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 215 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 14.6S1 152.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 215 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION 12.4S7 155.1E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. IT IS LOCATED EQUATORWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS IN A REGION OF WEAK EASTERLY STEERING FLOW INDUCED BY THE RIDGE. OUR WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS AS OF 171130Z3 WHICH INDICATED 75 KNOT WINDS (DVORAK T4.5). A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS EXISTS TO THE SOUTHWEST OF TC 32P, AND WE EXPECT TC 32P TO TURN TOWARD IT DURING THE NEXT 72 HOURS. MODULATION OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE BY AN APPROACHING EXTRATROPICAL LOW AND FRONTAL SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO ENHANCE THIS WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE BY 72 HOURS AS TC 32P APPROACHES IT. MOST AVAILABLE DYNAMICAL, CLIMATOLOGICAL, AND STATISTICAL FORECAST GUIDANCE TOOLS GENERALLY AGREE WITH THE FORECAST TRACK. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS CONTINUED TO SLOW THE INTENSIFICATION OF TC 32P, BUT AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES CLOSER TO THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE AXIS THE SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH SLIGHTLY AND ALLOW FURTHER INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z1 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6), 180300Z2 (DTG 180153Z8), 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4) AND 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Mar 18 04:39:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102584-14801>; Tue, 18 Mar 1997 04:39:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA123236; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 14:24:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4943579 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 14:16:02 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA84386 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 14:15:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA21295 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 14:13:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703172013.OAA21295@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Mar 1997 14:13:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 562 WTPS32 PGTW 172100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 048 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- 12.4S7 154.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 210 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.4S7 154.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 12.4S7 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 255 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 215 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 12.6S9 153.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 220 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 13.1S5 153.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 220 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 13.8S2 153.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 220 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 15.2S8 152.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 220 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 172100Z1 POSITION 12.4S7 154.7E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS IN THE CORAL SEA. IT HAS INTENSIFIED DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS AND NOW HAS A CLEARLY DEFINED EYE. OUR WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 171730Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS OF 90 KNOTS (DVORAK T5.0, ALMOST A T5.5). THE EYE DIAMETER IS CURRENTLY 27 NM. TC 32P IS LOCATED EQUATORWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS IS A REGION OF WEAK EASTERLY STEERING FLOW. THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY REMAINS VERY SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS FORECASTS. DUE TO THE DIURNAL NATURE OF THE INTENSIFICATION TREND OVER THE PAST 48 HOURS WE EXPECT THIS SYSTEM TO REMAIN AT ITS CURRENT INTENSITY, OR WEAKEN SLIGHTLY, DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. HOWEVER, IT IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY QUICKLY AGAIN DURING THE 12 TO 24 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. AFTER 24 HOURS TC 32P IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE A VERY SLOW INTENSIFICATION TREND AS IT APPROACHES THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE AXIS AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR EFFECTS DIMINISH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z7 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2 (DTG 180153Z8), 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4), 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1) AND 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Mar 18 05:15:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102584-14801>; Tue, 18 Mar 1997 05:15:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA76582; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 15:03:57 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4943927 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 15:02:44 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA140618 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 14:45:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA27391 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 14:44:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703172044.OAA27391@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Mar 1997 14:44:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 796 WTPS32 PGTW 172100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 048 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- 12.4S7 154.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 210 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.4S7 154.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 12.4S7 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 255 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 215 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 12.6S9 153.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 220 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 13.1S5 153.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 220 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 13.8S2 153.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 220 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 15.2S8 152.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 220 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 172100Z1 POSITION 12.4S7 154.7E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS IN THE CORAL SEA. IT HAS INTENSIFIED DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS AND NOW HAS A CLEARLY DEFINED EYE. OUR WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 171730Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS OF 90 KNOTS (DVORAK T5.0, ALMOST A T5.5). THE EYE DIAMETER IS CURRENTLY 27 NM. TC 32P IS LOCATED EQUATORWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS IS A REGION OF WEAK EASTERLY STEERING FLOW. THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY REMAINS VERY SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS FORECASTS. DUE TO THE DIURNAL NATURE OF THE INTENSIFICATION TREND OVER THE PAST 48 HOURS WE EXPECT THIS SYSTEM TO REMAIN AT ITS CURRENT INTENSITY, OR WEAKEN SLIGHTLY, DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. HOWEVER, IT IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY QUICKLY AGAIN DURING THE 12 TO 24 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. AFTER 24 HOURS TC 32P IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE A VERY SLOW INTENSIFICATION TREND AS IT APPROACHES THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE AXIS AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR EFFECTS DIMINISH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z7 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2 (DTG 180153Z8), 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4), 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1) AND 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Mar 18 07:15:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102146-22658>; Tue, 18 Mar 1997 07:15:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA226014; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 17:04:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4945233 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 17:02:30 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA214340 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 17:02:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id RAA06630 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 17:00:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703172300.RAA06630@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Mar 1997 17:00:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: Tropical Cyclone Warning (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 071 WHPS31 PHNC 172100 COR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P (HINA) WARNING NR 010A 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- 28.9S9 165.7W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 23 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.9S9 165.7W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 31.5S9 161.9W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 33.9S5 158.1W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 36.3S2 154.3W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 20 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 38.7S8 150.4W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 172100Z1 POSITION 29.6S7 164.7W8 THIS WARNING REISSUED TO CORRECT MSG DTG. TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P (HINA) IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 KTS. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG A SOUTHEAST TRACK AS COMES UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A 500 MB TROUGH. 33P WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT GAINS LATITUDE AND BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL BY 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT IS 18 FT AT 171800Z7. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8 (DTG 180751Z2) AND 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5). NAVPACMETOCCEN SENDS.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG60680762139 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Mar 18 11:00:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102723-22658>; Tue, 18 Mar 1997 11:00:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA34396; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 20:48:39 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4947883 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 20:48:28 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA211938 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 20:48:27 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA10019 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Mar 1997 20:46:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703180246.UAA10019@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 17 Mar 1997 20:46:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 112 WTPS32 PGTW 180300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 049 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 11.9S1 155.4E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 260 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.9S1 155.4E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 12.0S3 155.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 260 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 12.5S8 155.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 260 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 12.9S2 155.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 260 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 13.3S7 154.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 260 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 14.1S6 153.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 260 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION 11.9S1 155.5E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS QUASI-STATIONARY. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN RELOCATED BASED ON A 20 NM DIAMETER EYE ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T5.0 (90 KNOTS). WIND RADII HAVE BEEN EXPANDED SLIGHTLY BASED ON SYNOPTIC SHIP REPORTS. OVERALL FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME AS THE PREVIOUS WARNINGS. THE SYSTEM=S MOTION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GAIN LATITUDE AND MOVE SOUTHWARDS AS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE INTENSIFIES AND A MID-LATITUDE SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z IS 25 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4), 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1), 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7) AND 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Mar 19 14:11:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102526-16159>; Wed, 19 Mar 1997 14:11:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA217262; Wed, 19 Mar 1997 00:03:43 -0600 Message-Id: <199703190603.AAA217262@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Mar 1997 00:00:02 +1800 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 17 Mar 1997 to 18 Mar 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 6 messages totalling 762 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Tropical Prediction Center cutbacks (2) 2. GAO report on GOES future... 3. The future of US weather data 4. WeatherStore ONLINE/RAOB 4.0 5. Profilers? (was Re: The future of US weather data +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 18 Mar 1997 05:36:25 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Tropical Prediction Center cutbacks SPC isn't the only one facing cutbacks. Check this out... Hurricane staff about to be slashed story can be found on the Internet at: http://www.sun-sentinel.com/head1.htm By MICHAEL CABBAGE Staff Writer More tropical storms and fewer forecasters to watch them could be a recipe for disaster this summer, say meteorologists at Miami's National Hurricane Center. Under a tentative National Weather Service budget being debated in Washington, the center's forecasters and support staff would be slashed from 41 to 34 by mid-July. The cuts would come in the midst of what some experts are predicting will be an unusually fierce hurricane season. Last year forecasters predicted that more tropical storms would form during the 1997 season than in any recent year. Five currently vacant positions would not be filled. Two other full-time employees would be terminated, along with four part-time interns who answer phones and do clerical work. ''This is dire,'' said Jerry Jarrell, the hurricane center's deputy director. ''We'll be down almost 20 percent (in staff) from where we were at the start of the last hurricane season.'' The threat of job cuts has loomed over the hurricane center since October, when the federal government's current fiscal year began. National Weather Service officials were told to cut $27.5 million to reduce the agency's budget to $460 million. Although the fiscal year is almost half over, no cuts have been made, mainly because of congressional infighting by legislators trying to preserve their states' jobs and facilities. Much of the opposition has come from the Texas delegation, which is trying to prevent the closing of the weather service's Southern Regional Headquarters in Fort Worth. ''The magnitude of the cut has had a lot to do with how long it's taking,'' said Randee Exler, a spokeswoman for the National Weather Service in Washington. ''We want to take our time to have the least impact on our daily operations.'' The National Weather Service's Washington headquarters has refused to discuss details of the pending cuts, but field offices, leaders of the Weather Service's employees union and legislators involved in the budget negotiations confirmed the figures on Friday. Under the current proposal, 137 Weather Service positions would be eliminated nationwide. Except for the cuts at the National Hurricane Center, no jobs are expected to be lost at Miami's National Weather Service office. Employees at the National Hurricane Center say morale is sinking while workers wait for official word. The announcement, originally scheduled for January, may not come until the end of March. ''The anxiety of not knowing when the cuts will come or how extensive they will be is like having our heads on the chopping block, waiting for the ax to drop,'' said Bob Ebaugh, the hurricane center's union steward. If the cuts take effect as proposed, the hurricane center likely will be staffed by only one person at night versus four in previous years. That individual's main responsibility will be aviation forecasting. If a hurricane threatens, employees will be paid overtime to staff the center at night as needed. ''The thing that concerns me is that we'll have a lot of tired people and we'll be stretching them thin,'' Jarrell said. ''When you stretch people thin, they make mistakes. We'll get away with it for so long, but the big fear is that sooner or later, there will be something we'll miss.'' Officials at the Commerce Department, the federal agency that oversees the Weather Service, say recent modernization of equipment will help reduce the need for staff. But some members of Florida's congressional delegation are warning against too many layoffs. ''We're starting to get the kind of technology that allows a smaller staff,'' said state Rep. Mark Foley, R-West Palm Beach. ''But I wouldn't want to fly in an airplane with only one pilot. You need more than one person when life and safety are at issue.'' Some critics of the proposed cuts blame the elimination of the $3 million federal farm forecast for leaving Florida farmers unprepared for a winter freeze that killed $300 million in crops. Others claim residents of recently swamped communities along the Ohio River could have received flood warnings up to six hours earlier if not for staff reductions there. ''Machines can't do this job,'' Jarrell said. ''They're a tremendous help, but in the final analysis, we need people making judgments.'' Copyright c 1997, Sun-Sentinel Company, Digital City South Florida and South Florida Interactive, Inc. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 18 Mar 1997 08:56:17 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: GAO report on GOES future... Weather Satellites: Planning for the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite Program Needs More Attention (Chapter Report, 03/13/97, GAO/AIMD-97-37). Pursuant to a congressional request, GAO reviewed the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) management of the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) Program, focusing on: (1) NOAA's strategy for procuring satellites in the GOES continuation series; (2) what steps NOAA should be taking now to prepare for the next generation series of satellites; and (3) whether the potential exists for improving the system and reducing costs in the long term. GAO noted that: (1) based on the best available analysis, the potential for a gap in geostationary satellite coverage will be significant in the early years of the next century if procurement of new satellites does not begin soon; (2) to prevent this problem, NOAA plans to competitively procure two to four continuation series spacecraft that will carry the same meteorological instruments as the current spacecraft and incorporate modest technical improvements; (3) the satellites are planned for launch beginning in 2002; (4) given the importance of maintaining continuous geostationary weather coverage, NOAA's plans are reasonable; (5) however, there are inherent difficulties in determining exactly when and how many of the continuation series spacecraft will be needed; (6) despite these difficulties, GAO identified several specific shortcomings in NOAA's spacecraft planning process that, if remedied, could improve planning in the future; (7) based on the President's fiscal year (FY) 1998 budget, NOAA does not plan to begin a follow-on GOES program until FY 2003 at the earliest; (8) given that the opportunity now exists to consider alternatives for a follow-on system, current usage of GOES data by weather forecasters suggests that a reexamination of the GOES satellite architecture is warranted; (9) before a decision can be made about what kind of follow-on satellite system to build, an updated analysis of user needs must be completed; (10) several new approaches and technologies for geostationary satellite meteorology have been suggested in recent years by government, academic, and industry experts, however, identifying and evaluating the full range of options will require thorough engineering analysis; (11) in addition, past NOAA experience shows that developing new technologies is done most efficiently as a separate line of effort, outside of the operational satellite program; (12) such an effort would benefit from greater collaboration with the National Aeronautics and Space Administration, whose expertise and support have, in the past, significantly contributed to the development of NOAA's weather satellite systems; (13) the longer that NOAA continues without actively considering other options for a future system, the more it risks having to procure additional continuation series satellites, because the availability date for a fully developed new satellite system will slip farther into the future;* ... Full report available from GAO web site... Rob ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 18 Mar 1997 08:54:01 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: The future of US weather data This is the future of weather information in the US, as per the "Observing System White Paper", which I managed to get my hands on this week. Read carefully. They are recommending termination of up to 30% of upper air sites, pending technology to acheive this. See below. I apologize for the duplication for those who get wx-talk and wx-chase via email, since it is rather long. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* 3/6/97 OBSERVING SYSTEM WHITE PAPER The Problem: Technical and scientific opportunities exist that enable improvements to be made to the upper-air observing system in the next 3 -5 years. Additionally, other drivers include mandated reallocations of the radio frequency spectrum that will render key observing systems ineffective and pressure to reduce budgets which require more efficient use of our resource investments in existing and new observing systems technology. Assumptions: Major system implementations require large investments and take a decade or longer. Possible systems changes in the next 3-5 years are related to examining opportunities to reallocate existing observing resources and additional possibilities available through implementation or better cost- efficient use of experimental systems and the elimination of unnecessary redundancy. Risky development will be avoided; sound scientific methodology and systems considerations will be the foundation for implementations. The initial focus is on the upper air sounding system. Surface only measurement systems are not addressed. No changes will be implemented that will degrade services. No major upgrades to the NOAA geostationary or polar orbiting satellites systems will take place in the next 3-5 years. NOAA will fix the satellite system failure modes and launches will continue on the current planned schedules. Defense Meteorological Satellite Program (DMSP) polar satellites will continue operating until the stock is used up and the NOAA and DOD programs are converged.. Changing the operating radio frequency of Wind Profilers is necessary now if they are to continue to operate. Optimum relocation and total numbers remain the issues. Some reduction in radiosonde flights and operating locations are possible where alternative data sources can be brought to bear but the details (number, location, and strategy) are yet to be determined. Adaptive strategies applied to several types of observations will evolve over the next five years but are most likely to begin with radiosondes and dropwindsondes (for limited seasons and weather conditions) and perhaps ACARS aircraft reports. Ground-based GPS integrated water vapor measurements will become available in real-time on a national scale in the next 3-5 years. GPS Met will take longer. The continued development of models and data assimilation schemes necessary for effective use of the data and the conduct of extensive testing in critical risk areas for observing system decisions (NAOS Test and Evaluation) is predicated on the availability of advanced computing resources and staff support. Observing Strategy The types of observations and systems considered for change (See attached table) in the next three to five years are confined to those systems already in operational use, or have been in limited operational or prototype use. The sense of the NAOS vision for the short term operational changes is: 1. Radiosondes - The backbone of the current U.S. upper air observing system is a network of 108 radiosonde sites across the continental U.S., Alaska, Hawaii and Pacific, and selected sites in the Caribbean. This network is used in conjunction with other national networks to establish an understanding of the global and synoptic weather pattern and provides the basis for centralized numerical weather prediction of synoptic weather patterns. Some countries, such as Russia, are finding it increasingly difficult to continue the operations of their systems. Changes are necessary in order to meet both domestic and international goals. These modifications include expected licensing mandates for more efficient use of radiosonde assigned communications frequency and the need to move to a system based upon GPS for radiosonde location. An initial study on a reduced radiosonde network has suggested that it may be possible to decrease radiosonde usage by about 15 - 30 %, including elimination of about 15 radiosonde sites. This is only possible if 1) there is continued and expanded use of automated aircraft reports (ACARS) with humidity sensors and VAD winds from the WSR-88D, 2)Wind Profilers are relocated, and 3) use of an Adaptive Strategy can form the basis of a strategy to compensate for lost information during key active meteorological events. Studies will be performed to confirm these initial results so that technological opportunities can be taken advantage of. With respect to adaptive strategies, it is possible to foresee reductions in cost of operations because not all radiosondes may need to be operating every day. Instead, the decision to launch a balloon may depend upon the specific weather situation. Changes in technology will be required of the remaining radiosondes in their use of frequency spectrum because of government mandated changes and the mandates also create opportunities to improve the quality and utility of radiosonde soundings through GPS technology. Additionally, reconnaissance and research aircraft, utilizing dropwindsondes, have been operated for years to provide data and information about developing hurricanes which threaten the U.S. and coastal waters. An examination of the utility and cost effectiveness of additional observations for specific areas, times, and for special kinds of meteorological conditions (unrelated to hurricanes) will be evaluated in an adaptive environment to determine their utility in improving selected critical forecasts. 2. Satellites - Two Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites (GOES) provide high resolution imagery and soundings from the western Atlantic Ocean to the mid-Pacific Ocean. Two Polar Operational Environmental Satellites (POES) provide morning and evening coverage with Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) imagery and soundings for NWS operations. Efforts are underway to "converge" DMSP polar satellites operated by the U.S. military and POES systems operated by NOAA and replace them with systems that will satisfy the requirements of both domestic users as well as the international community. No immediate (near term) major satellite systems upgrades are planned. Better utilization of the data by data assimilation techniques and numerical prediction models and field forecasters through improved processing and display packages remain the focus for the next three to five years. The use of high-density satellite winds based upon image analysis hold promise for helping mitigate data voids, but must be validated. The major issues to be faced includes the validation of the value of the GOES sounders on the current operational satellite series, and the impacts of the direct use of radiances in the models. Assessments are also being carried out to determine the requirements for the next major satellite system changes to the GOES system in the 2005 time frame. The polar system will be the result of the convergence of the NOAA polar satellites and the DMSP. It is also expected that the Europeans will share the current U.S. cost burden of operating two polar satellites. At first this will occur with European launch vehicles and our instrument packages but later the Europeans will also provide their own instruments. 3. Automated Aircraft Reporting Systems - A limited but quickly growing number of wind and temperature measurements from instrumented commercial aircraft are provided by several air carriers through Aircraft Communications, Addressing and Reporting System (ACARS), on a volunteer basis, and Aircraft-to Satellite Data Relay (ASDAR). About 20 ASDAR-equipped aircraft are operating globally taking hundreds of en route observations per day. Many more aircraft are reporting through ARINC yielding thousands of observations daily. These aircraft are landing at the major airport hubs in many areas of the continental U.S. Automated aircraft reports through ARINC are currently being provided by several airlines to NOAA/NWS for its operation for the cost of the communication link. NOAA must move to assure the operational availability and cost effectiveness of ACARS data in its operations. More extensive data coverage and more frequent reporting during takeoff and landings are needed through an increased number of participating airlines, particularly if ACARS is to serve an increased role as radiosonde sites decline in numbers. Actually, data counts of ACARS ascent/descent data will likely be one of the prime determinants of potential radiosonde locations to be eliminated. A mechanism to assure long term funding for data acquisition costs must also be put in place to operate and maintain the ACARS system and an examination of the Aviation Trust Fund for such a purpose is warranted. It may be an acceptable proposition to NOAA, FAA, and the airlines that credits would accrue to individual airlines who contribute ACARS data to the operational weather database to provide continued or expanded access to critically important information. In Canada, similar efforts are ongoing to acquire and share data from Canadian airlines. A prototype humidity sensor (WVSS), which has promise for providing moisture measurements never before available from commercial aircraft, has been under development by the FAA and NOAA. Certification has been accomplished for 757 aircraft, and funding exists for a limited number of systems (approx. 60). Funds are being sought for up to 154 more with a goal of instrumenting 10% of the US aircraft fleet (approx. 450 aircraft). Certifications of Boeing 737, 767, and 777 will be sought for a national demonstration project. Studies will be performed to determine model and forecaster impacts. This sensor can potentially provide moisture data not available from current ACARS systems and is crucial to offset lost moisture measurements from any reductions in the radiosonde network. 4. Radars - A national network of 153 WSR-88D Doppler weather radars is nearing completion and provides essential information on the existence, location, and intensity of severe weather and precipitation in general. When sufficient reflectivity exists the Doppler capability of the WSR-88D can be used to generate estimates of winds at a limited number of altitudes within the atmospheric boundary layer. While these "wind"observations are limited to certain meteorological situations, seasons and elevations when there are "targets of opportunity," nonetheless, these observations can enhance the composite wind set available over the continental U.S. used in numerical weather prediction at some locations. Field forecasters are using these observations directly. Significant upgrades to the operational WSR-88D system should be considered, conversion to dual polarization schemes (so that the resultant "wind" provided is not just the radial component), and replacement of processors and other equipment needing refurbishment. Additionally, the use of Terminal Doppler Warning radars (TDWR) at 41 U.S. sites, offers the possibility of enlarged datasets for numerical models and operational backup, and needs to be further examined. The organization of several different radar operations within the U.S. needs examining and the development of a long term acquisition and communications architecture is underway. Canada is also in the process of establishing a network of Doppler radars (15) along its southern tier through conversion of its existing radars. The overall radar network for North America will benefit from those deployments and it is expected that data exchanges will be mutually beneficial, especially those including radial winds on a national scale. Still, while incredibly useful, radars cannot provide all measurement necessary alone; they will not provide humidity measurements and these will be required from other sources and their siting limits their use at certain locations. Tropospheric Wind Profilers currently operate quasi-operationally at 30 US sites and are used in numerical models and directly by forecasters. The quality and value of these observations have been assessed (August 1994 Report) and found to be important for a variety of meteorological uses. Because of pressures from the commercial sector continued operations are dependent upon moving to an NTIA directed operational frequency at 449 MHZ rather than the 404 MHZ experimental frequency currently used. In addition, studies will be carried out to determine the optimum locations of the 30 NOAA systems to offset the loss of data due to the reduction of radiosondes, and to determine the total number of profilers appropriate for a national composite observing network that can support mesoscale prediction. Profiler systems must have their operating frequency modified prior to relocation to comply with the current operating license. Attendantly, Radio-Acoustic Sounding Systems (RASS) operate with Wind Profilers at a dozen locations. These systems measure virtual temperature profiles in the boundary layer. Studies must be performed to determine the contribution to the observing system and how many may be required nationally. One existing drawback of such systems is the noise generated in their operation. Boundary layer profilers operated by other federal and state agencies in a limited number of locations need examination for their utility to forecasting. Acquisition of the data and assessments will be pursued in the next 3-5 years. 5. Global Positioning System (GPS) The implementation of the GPS for navigation and time transfer offers two potential opportunities to measure elements of the atmosphere's thermodynamic and constituent structure. The first of these uses low-cost GPS receivers or no-cost "Other Agency" receivers on the ground to continuously measure the propagation delays of the GPS signal due to variations in tropospheric water vapor under all weather conditions. These delays are readily converted to estimates of total precipitable water vapor, the depth of water that would be realized if all the vapor in a vertical column were condensed. The estimates will be available in real-time at sub-hourly frequency and with accuracy better than 1 mm. Data from a network of such sites will be assimilated into NWP models with the goal of improving precipitation forecast accuracy. The same data can calibrate and validate other systems such as satellite radiometers and provide information about the ionosphere for space weather activities. Even so, surface meteorological observations at each GPS site will be required, but when receivers deployed by other federal agencies are incorporated into the network, large area coverage is possible over the U.S. at very low cost to NOAA.. These GPS ground-based systems which provide integrated precipitable water data are currently being examined in a research environment. Studies must be performed to examine the impact of this data set upon other conventional composite observing systems. GPS Met, the second opportunity, is discussed below in the longer term plans. Longer Range Evolution of the Upper Air Observing System (>5 yrs) All system enhancements identified in the near term address synoptic or larger scale meteorological problems. Improvements to warning and forecast services are ultimately dependent upon observing and predicting the finer scales of motion of the atmosphere. In this extended time frame, changes to the observing system will begin to address extending our measurement system downscale. Also technology developments over the last few years offer exciting possibilities for improving the quality, cost effectiveness, sampling, coverage, frequency, and the overall operational utility of our atmospheric observing capabilities. Data assimilation and numerical weather prediction techniques and access to increased computational power will also need to advance to do operational numerical weather prediction at resolutions and accuracies not currently available and improve the utility of forecasts to the public. The most promising long term are: Operational Network of Wind Profilers - The results of the NAOS design for a composite observing system will answer the question about the utility and the total number of wind profilers required over the continental U.S. Further actions may be required to relocate the 30 systems now in place, and possibly add additional systems, and establish a fully operational national network consistent with higher resolution wind measurements in time and space than currently available. If their worth is established, the RASS systems could also be considered for operational deployment. Major changes to Polar and Geostationary Satellites - Major changes are expected in satellite sensor systems after 2005. Most important are improvements to the imager to support both global and local imaging simultaneously and new sounders (IR, microwave, wind-profiling (lidar) sensor) for both geosynchronous and polar orbits). Dropwindsondes can be deployed by delivery systems (Unmanned Aeronautical Vehicles) to operate on a wider scale than current hurricane reconnaissance. These drones are lightweight, remotely controlled aircraft that can remain airborne from a few days to a week. They can be used either for in-situ observations of wind, temperature, moisture, and pressure along the flight path (which could include planned descents and ascents for soundings) or to deploy lightweight dropwindsondes into otherwise unobserved remote locations. Although the quality of the data from these systems should be excellent the cost of the observations may be high and, of course, are subject to FAA approval of operation along flight routes. GPS-Met Techniques - A second GPS approach uses GPS receivers aboard satellites in low orbits to monitor the signals generated by the constellation of Navstar GPS satellites in higher orbits as they are occluded by the earth's horizon. This technique will generate about 500 occultations and vertical profilers of refractivity globally for each satellite per day. It is anticipated that the accuracy of the system will be at least comparable with that of any other space-based measurements, with the advantage that the data are unaffected by clouds. While GPS-Met can currently provide profiles reliably only above 500 mb, this capability can be improved if the signal to noise ratio is better in the lower troposphere. In any case, GPS-Met offers the possibility of good temperature profiles over the oceans and over remote land areas for at least the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere. The use of GPS-IPW measurements to complement these sensors under adverse observing conditions will be evaluated but they are limited to provide observations only over land. Ground-based Doppler Lidar - Although used for research purposes, lidar has not yet demonstrated its operational capability. Doppler lidar clearly has the potential to produce wind profiles (including the vertical component) at unstaffed land sites with accuracies, vertical resolution, and reliability of operationally useful quality many times each hour from just above the surface of the earth to cloud base height, or, in the absence of clouds, until limited by signal-to-noise considerations. Lidar, however, is strongly attenuated by fog, rain, and snow, thus limiting its utility. HOW TO GET THERE - NAOS Overview: The clear need is for a scientific and technical management mechanism to address key questions about observing systems which will be faced for the foreseeable future. A mechanism needs to be institutionalized and available to provide sound advice to senior management about large scale, long term, and costly decisions about the choices among observing systems. Questions such as: What is the minimum number of radiosonde network locations, when used in conjunction with other data in an integrated way, necessary to provide a consistent high quality understanding of the weather pattern over North America? What role will automated aircraft reports, WSR-88D derived winds, and wind profilers, play in such an integrated system? When and what should be the changes made to satellite systems? What new sensors should be deployed operationally to reduce cost and improve performance of the composite observing system? These and other questions need attention to make it possible to continue to operate and shape our observing systems in both the near and long term. The North American Atmospheric Observing System (NAOS) Program is a cooperative program supported by governmental organizations and universities in Canada, Mexico and the United States. Its purpose is to make recommendations on the configuration of the upper air observing program in those three countries and adjacent water areas which would meet societal needs in the coming few decades. The main thrusts are (1) a scientific evaluation program focused on, but not limited to, the value of various combinations of observing systems to Numerical Weather Prediction, and (2) an assessment of the operational, financial and organizational implications of configurations based on the results of the scientific evaluations. NAOS is key to determining the "best mix" of observing systems to management but requires sufficient resources to carry out its work. The main results of NAOS will be a series of recommendations made to senior management on the composite observing system for the 21st Century (COS-21). These recommendations will be directed at (1) those steps which can be taken in the short- term to improve the utility of existing systems and to reduce costs, (2) the design of the most cost-effective mix of systems for the COS-21, and (3) how to implement the COS-21 starting from the present configuration, being sensitive to needs other than weather forecasting. Information and results from both the scientific evaluations and operational assessments will be made available generally through an outreach program which will include scientific and technical journals and meetings, workshops, directed briefings, and the Internet. A Council has already been established, a Program Plan completed, and Implementation, Outreach, and Societal Impact Plans are under development. Work Plans for test and evaluation and system studies have been proposed and approved by the NAOS Council. Significant out-of-hide resources are currently directed at achieving early results focused on the details of the mix of synoptic scale upper air systems. Additional resources are needed. RECOMMENDATIONS: 1. Provide funds for replacing current radiosondes with GPS- based radiosondes to improve the quality of measurement and satisfy mandated requirements for a more communications- efficient system. 2. Provide funds for conversion of the existing wind profiler network to a frequency of 449 MHZ to enable continued operation of the existing network. 3. Provide funding to assure operational availability of automated aircraft reports for the NWS operational environment. 4. Provide funding for the NAOS Program in FY 1999 and resources for increased computing support for key test and evaluation activities. The long-term success of the NAOS Program is dependent upon the continued evolution of data assimilation and numerical modeling schemes. Adequate resources need to be provided. 5. Support the testing of the water vapor sensors on aircraft and provide funds for wider deployment if and when proven through systematic evaluations. 6. Support evaluations of RASS, ground-based and space- based GPS techniques to determine the demonstrated value of them in the production of operational weather forecasting. 7. Integrate, to the greatest extent possible, DOD and civilian requirements to eliminate duplication. The penalties of inaction include propagating operating inefficiencies, risking the loss of operating systems such as wind profilers, and perhaps even the radiosonde network. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 18 Mar 1997 14:05:38 GMT From: Eric Gross Subject: Re: Tropical Prediction Center cutbacks *Vent mode on* Well, when for political reasons politicians are terrified to touch the one bloated area of the budget that is expanding the fastest and chewing up the most funds (social security/medicare/social services), it is inevitable that other areas are going to pay the price. Politicians probably figure that they'll run the risk of a *potential* natural disaster rather than incur the certain political risk of really doing something to the budget that will cut back on the red ink. Short-sighted, cowardly, generally ignorant and self-delusional behavior. In short, standard for politicians. :( *vent mode off* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 18 Mar 1997 10:41:04 -0800 From: William Hipkins Subject: WeatherStore ONLINE/RAOB 4.0 The WeatherStore ONLINE now has the latest version of RAOB (4.0). http://www.weatherstore.com ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 18 Mar 1997 10:07:54 -0600 From: Peter Laws Subject: Profilers? (was Re: The future of US weather data I don't know where a "white paper" fits in to things. Is it just a plan for "where we'd like to go"? Or is it more concrete? Anyway, as a licensed radiogeek, I couldn't help but pull this out: On Tue, 18 Mar 1997, Gilbert L. Sebenste wrote: > other drivers include mandated reallocations of the radio frequency spectrum > Changing the operating radio frequency of Wind Profilers is necessary now > licensing mandates for more efficient use of radiosonde assigned > communications frequency and the need to move to a system based upon GPS > Tropospheric Wind Profilers currently operate quasi-operationally at 30 US <...> > Because of pressures from the commercial sector continued operations are > dependent upon moving to an NTIA directed operational frequency at 449 > MHZ rather than the 404 MHZ experimental frequency currently used. In Hmm, I know of no threat to the scientific and space research band at 400-406 MHz. Anyone ever heard of one? In fact, I *do* know of a threat to the 420-450 MHz band, one where Amateurs have at least a secondary assignment. That's the oft-mentioned "little LEO" threat (that's where a group of industry interests want most of the amateur VHF/UHF bands. They say that they can "co-exist" with existing users, yet are unable to provide any studies, plans or even simple explanations of how this would work. The old "trust us" line ...) -- Peter Laws / plaws@wildstar.net / N5UWY ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 17 Mar 1997 to 18 Mar 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Mar 18 16:07:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102743-22658>; Tue, 18 Mar 1997 16:07:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA208180; Tue, 18 Mar 1997 01:56:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4950167 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Mar 1997 01:56:22 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA144116 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 1997 01:56:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id BAA12711 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Mar 1997 01:54:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703180754.BAA12711@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Mar 1997 01:54:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 584 WTPS32 PGTW 180900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 050 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- 11.9S1 155.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 00 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 260 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.9S1 155.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 12.0S3 155.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 260 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 12.3S6 155.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 260 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 12.7S0 154.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 260 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 13.2S6 154.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 260 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 14.2S7 152.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 260 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION 11.9S1 155.3E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS QUASI-STATIONARY. THE SYSTEM DISPLAYS A CLOUD-FILLED, 30 NM DIAMETER EYE. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T5.0 (90) KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SOUTHWESTWARDS IN RESPONSE TO NORTHEASTERLY STEERING FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN ANTICYCLONE TO THE EAST OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE AND AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH FROM THE SOUTH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1), 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7), 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9) AND 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Mar 18 20:25:20 1997 Received: by uxmail.ust.hk via suspension id <102899-414>; Tue, 18 Mar 1997 20:25:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102936-411>; Tue, 18 Mar 1997 20:13:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA38110; Tue, 18 Mar 1997 05:58:04 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4950965 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Mar 1997 05:57:57 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA220840 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 1997 05:57:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id FAA17234 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Mar 1997 05:56:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703181156.FAA17234@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Mar 1997 05:56:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: Tropical Cyclone Warning (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 375 WHPS31 PHNC 180900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P (HINA) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- 31.4S8 161.8W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 22 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 31.4S8 161.8W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 34.2S9 157.3W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 34 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 38.7S8 151.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 34 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 43.5S2 144.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION 32.1S6 160.7W4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P (HINA) IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 22 KTS. THIS SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT GAINS LATITUDE AND BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL BY 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT IS 18 FT AT 180600Z5. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5) AND 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG87300771201 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Mar 18 21:52:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102684-5560>; Tue, 18 Mar 1997 21:52:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA65728; Tue, 18 Mar 1997 07:42:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4951649 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Mar 1997 07:42:35 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu ([131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA111568 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 1997 07:41:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id HAA17891 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Mar 1997 07:38:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703181338.HAA17891@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Mar 1997 07:38:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 137 WTPS32 PGTW 181500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 051 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 11.9S1 155.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 260 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.9S1 155.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 12.0S3 154.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 260 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 12.2S5 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 260 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 12.5S8 154.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 260 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 12.9S2 153.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 260 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 13.5S9 152.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 260 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION 11.9S1 155.0E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 181130Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. JUSTIN HAS MAINTAINED ABOUT THE SAME INTENSITY DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS AND CURRENTLY POSSESSES A 25 NM CLOUD-FILLED EYE. SLOW INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. JUSTIN IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE A GENERAL WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD MOVEMENT THROUGH 72 HOURS IN RESPONSE TO A MID-LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM BUILDING TO THE SOUTHEAST AND A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTHWEST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z IS 25 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7), 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9), 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5) AND 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Mar 19 05:02:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102766-5560>; Wed, 19 Mar 1997 05:02:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA262186; Tue, 18 Mar 1997 14:44:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4955313 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Mar 1997 14:43:22 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA254166 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 1997 14:33:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA19381 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Mar 1997 14:31:54 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703182031.OAA19381@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Mar 1997 14:31:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 053 WTPS32 PGTW 182100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 052 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- 12.1S4 154.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 260 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.1S4 154.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 12.5S8 154.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 260 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 12.8S1 153.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 260 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 13.1S5 153.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 260 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 13.5S9 152.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 260 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 14.4S9 151.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 260 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION 12.2S5 154.5E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181700Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ANALYSIS USING THE SAME SATELLITE IMAGERY. JUSTIN IS STILL FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH 72 HOURS AND GRADUALLY INTENSIFY AFTER 12 HOURS. THE PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR THE STEERING MECHANISM REMAINS THE SAME AS THAT FOR THE PREVIOUS WARNING EXCEPT THE STEERING FLOW IS FORECAST TO BE SLIGHTLY STRONGER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9), 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5), 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2) AND 192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Mar 19 06:15:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102767-5560>; Wed, 19 Mar 1997 06:15:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA90144; Tue, 18 Mar 1997 16:06:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4956063 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Mar 1997 16:04:33 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA133216 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 1997 16:04:30 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id QAA27376 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Mar 1997 16:02:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703182202.QAA27376@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Mar 1997 16:02:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: Tropical Cyclone Warning (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 764 WHPS31 PHNC 182100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P (HINA) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- 34.0S7 158.5W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 34.0S7 158.5W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 36.9S8 154.9W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 17 KTS --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION 34.7S4 157.6W9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 33P (HINA) IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS DECREASED RAPIDLY IN HEIGHT AND EXTENT IN THE PAST 20 HRS AND IS BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 33P WILL BE EXTRATROPICAL BY 190600Z. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT IS 16 FT AT 181800Z8. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NAVAL PACIFIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. NAVPACMETOCCEN SENDS// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG98760772124 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Mar 19 11:14:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102374-16159>; Wed, 19 Mar 1997 11:14:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA09072; Tue, 18 Mar 1997 21:05:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4959651 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Mar 1997 21:04:55 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA210060 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 1997 21:04:53 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA02943 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Mar 1997 21:02:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703190302.VAA02943@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 18 Mar 1997 21:02:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 480 WTPS32 PGTW 190300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 053 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 12.3S6 153.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 260 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.3S6 153.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 12.7S0 151.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 260 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 13.4S8 150.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 260 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 14.5S0 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 250 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 15.9S5 149.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 250 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 18.6S5 149.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 250 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 12.4S7 153.0E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 10 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS LOST ITS EYE, BUT REMAINS AN INTENSE SYSTEM. WARNING INTENSITY OF 90 KNOTS, IS BASED ON A CURRENT INTENSITY NUMBER OF 5.0 (90 KNOTS). EXPECT A SLOW WEAKENING TREND AS THE SYSTEM MAY HAVE ALREADY REACHED ITS PEAK INTENSITY. HOWEVER, SYSTEM MAY REINTENSIFY SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT WILL REMAIN OVER WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND WITHIN A LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. OVERALL TRACK FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME, EXCEPT THE STEERING FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE EAST OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO BE STRONGER. THE SYSTEM=S TRACK IS EXPECTED TO BECOME SOUTHWARD AFTER 36 HOURS AS HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE CONTINUES TO BUILD. OUR PRIMARY DYNAMIC OBJECTIVE FORECAST GUIDANCE SUPPORTS THIS FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5), 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2), 192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8) AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Mar 20 14:39:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102376-5817>; Thu, 20 Mar 1997 14:39:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA146050; Thu, 20 Mar 1997 00:16:11 -0600 Message-Id: <199703200616.AAA146050@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Mar 1997 00:07:53 +1800 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 18 Mar 1997 to 19 Mar 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 7 messages totalling 341 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Satellite enhancement curves 2. Saturn Storm Chaser Commercial (2) 3. Weather spectrum issues (LONG) 4. WX-TALK Digest - 17 Mar 1997 to 18 Mar 1997 5. ASOS Commissioning Notice 6. NOGAPS info +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 19 Mar 1997 10:11:56 -0700 From: "David O. Blanchard" Subject: Satellite enhancement curves A few days ago, I asked for URLs pointing to online documentation and images for some of the standard satellite enhancement curves. Here are two URLs, including the one that I had previously visited and was trying to relocate. Thanks to all who responded. -db- -- +----------------------------------------------------------------------+ | David Blanchard NOAA/NSSL & OU/CIMMS Boulder, Colorado | | blanch@ncar.ucar.edu http://mrd3.mmm.ucar.edu/~dob/www/ | +----------------------------------------------------------------------+ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 19 Mar 1997 10:28:36 -0600 From: Daphne Thompson Subject: Saturn Storm Chaser Commercial Has anyone else seen the latest Saturn car commerical? It has some guy and says he is "A Real Storm Chaser". They show him and a few buddys packing his Saturn with chase gear and antennas. Then they are on the road, you can see them eating in the car and hear them talking about how the car has been through large hail and stuff. It ends with them getting out of the car and seeing blue sky. Unfortunately, I was paying a whole lot of attention to the commerical until I saw the "real strom chaser" line so I don't know who it was. Has anyone else seen this? If not, keep your eyes open for it... Daphne Thompson ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 19 Mar 1997 14:42:43 -0500 From: "Richard Barth (rbarth@noaa.gov)" Subject: Weather spectrum issues (LONG) On Tue, 18 Mar 1997, Peter Laws said: > On Tue, 18 Mar 1997, Gilbert L. Sebenste wrote: >> other drivers include mandated reallocations of the radio frequency spectrum >> >> Changing the operating radio frequency of Wind Profilers is necessary now >> >> licensing mandates for more efficient use of radiosonde assigned >> communications frequency and the need to move to a system based upon GPS >> >> Tropospheric Wind Profilers currently operate quasi-operationally at 30 US >> >> <...> >> Because of pressures from the commercial sector continued operations are >> dependent upon moving to an NTIA directed operational frequency at 449 >> MHZ rather than the 404 MHZ experimental frequency currently used. In > > > Hmm, I know of no threat to the scientific and space research band at > 400-406 MHz. Anyone ever heard of one? AAAARRGGHHHH!!!!! Well, yes. The commercial communications industry has already gained part of the band, and now they want to use all of it. Being as close to the problem as I am, I sort of thought everybody in meteorology already knew. Guess not. Tutorial follows. Entrepeneurs who want to operate in the Mobile Satellite Service (MSS) have been pushing spectrum regulators to make room for them in both the 400.15-406 MHz meteorological band and the 1675-1710 MHz met band since, roughly, 1990. MSS systems operating above 1 GHz are called "Big LEOs" (where LEO stands for "Low Earth Orbit"). Those operating below 1 GHz are "Little LEOs". These are those same Little LEOs which have gained fame in the amateur radio community by their proponents' continuing efforts to use the 2 meter ham band, and many others. At the 1992 World Administrative Radio Conference (WARC-92) in Geneva, Little LEOs got the use of both the 400.15-401 MHz and the 137-138 MHz metsat bands worldwide, and the 1675-1710 MHz band in the Western Hemisphere. These bands are used around the world for meteorological satellites (metsats), meteorological aids (radiosondes) or both. In the United States, 400 and 1670 MHz are used for both. Using the band allocated to the MSS at WARC-92, the FCC licensed three Little LEO systems. There then arose several other companies who thought that the MSS might be a good business, and who went to the FCC and said "Me too!". Having already assigned just about all the MSS spectrum that WARC-92 had allocated, U.S frequency regulators went looking for more, and settled on yet another part of the 400-406 MHz band as a possibility. The U.S. accordingly proposed at WRC-95 (no "A", they renamed it) that the MSS be given a primary allocation at 401-404 MHz. The industry claimed that they could use the band compatibly with the existing metsats and radiosondes. Most of the world saw things differently, and it didn't happen. Instead, the ITU's Radiocommunications Sector (ITU-R, the former CCIR) was told to study the compatibility issues involved. In these studies, in which the MSS people participated, it has been shown that MSS operations are incompatible with the use of radiosondes and environmental satellites, and the "sharing" envisioned in the U.S. 1995 proposals would not have worked. This means that radiosondes have to get out of whatever part of the band the MSS gets to "share". (Possible exception: spread spectrum MSS systems, which most of them are not.) The Little LEOs did get spectrum in other bands which they can use for uplinks to their satellites, but they have a distinct shortage of downlink bands, for which they want 401-406 MHz, and 2 meters, and... Also at WRC-95, there were efforts by other countries to expand MSS use of 137-138 MHz by eliminating certain of the restraints placed on MSS use in order to protect metsats. They lost at '95, but expect these proposals to resurface in the future. WRC-97 begins on October 27, and the Little LEOs are now asking for use of the ENTIRE remaining portion of the 400.15-406 MHz band. They want the top 1-2 MHz for their use essentially to the exclusion of radiosondes. They want the rest, down to 401, to be "shared" with 'sondes by spread spectrum systems. Of course, they already have access to the 400.15-401 MHz band, which they got in 1992. (Similarly, the Big LEOs want to make radiosondes second-class citizens in much of the 1675-1700 MHz band, and to "share" 1698-1710 MHz with metsat HRPT). The cited reference to "mandated reallocations of the radio frequency spectrum" does not refer exclusively to reallocations by the ITU. There is also the not-so-small matter of government spectrum being transferred to the FCC to be auctioned to the highest bidder. I assume most readers of WX-TALK are aware that the FCC has raised billions of dollars by auctioning radio licenses, and that as a result of the 1993 Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act there were some 230 MHz of Government spectrum designated for transfer to the private sector, and that the administration's latest budget proposal includes further such auctions. Among the bands transferred under the 1993 Act was 1670-1675 MHz, which the NWS and other radiosonde operators will shortly be required to vacate. The reference to "more efficient use of radiosonde assigned communications frequency" means that the NWS will have to replace its current radiosonde systems to make them fit within the reduced bandwidth available. If the available bandwidth is further reduced by action of some future WRC, an even more expensive radiosonde system will be required, and more expensive (more frequency stable) radiosondes will have to be bought, every day, 365 days a year. This means that the NWS budget will have to be INCREASED to support this procurement. Uh huh. >In fact, I *do* know of a threat >to the 420-450 MHz band, one where Amateurs have at least a secondary >assignment. That's the oft-mentioned "little LEO" threat (that's where a >group of industry interests want most of the amateur VHF/UHF bands. They >say that they can "co-exist" with existing users, yet are unable to >provide any studies, plans or even simple explanations of how this would >work. The old "trust us" line ...) There is MSS talk about using 420-450 MHz. In the U.S.A. the band is primarily used for military radar, but there is also a primary Government allocation to wind profilers at 448-450 MHz. An ITU Task Group (TG8/2) has suggested that 440-450 MHz would be a good place for other countries to operate profilers in the Western Hemisphere, and suggested other bands as well. The current NOAA profiler network (the "Tropospheric Wind Profilers [which] currently operate quasi-operationally at 30 US [locations]") is at 404.37 MHz, and will have to move because there has been occasional interference to the COSPAS/SARSAT Search and Rescue satellite system which operates at 406.05 MHz. (Its U.S. satellites are operated by NOAA.) The existing network continues with constant watching to ensure the absence of interference, but any new systems will be going in at 449. The delay, as you can probably guess, is caused by a lack of funding. Richard Barth, W3HWN Silver Spring, MD ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 19 Mar 1997 15:19:41 -0600 From: "Paul E. Pettit" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 17 Mar 1997 to 18 Mar 1997 >From Gilbert's post: I might have to side with NWS on some of this and heres what I think for what its worth: > Under a tentative National Weather Service budget being debated > in Washington, the center's forecasters and support staff would be > slashed from 41 to 34 by mid-July. 3 shifts a day that means that they have 13+ employees per shift. Don't know what all these people do, but assume there is some pork in numbers. > > Five currently vacant positions would not be filled. Two other > full-time employees would be terminated, along with four part-time > interns who answer phones and do clerical work. In days of limited budgets and large staff, cutting five spots that aren't there anyway won't cause "anymore pain". Seems four part-time interns can go without too much problem. > > Although the fiscal year is almost half over, no cuts have been > made, mainly because of congressional infighting by legislators trying > to preserve their states' jobs and facilities. There are locations where Congress is actually trying to restore offices and personnel instead of cutting. > Much of the opposition has come from the Texas delegation, which > is trying to prevent the closing of the weather service's Southern > Regional Headquarters in Fort Worth. I along with other managers said for years that the NWS did not need six regional offices. To suggest that warnings would be affected by cutting out a couple or regional offices is ridiculous. Regional offices are only for "support purposes" and don't do operational work. MASC centers do most of the financial stuff and personnel stuff. Cutting several Regional Offices would be a good management decision. Which ones however may be debatable. > If the cuts take effect as proposed, the hurricane center likely > will be staffed by only one person at night versus four in previous > years. Local offices were staffed by one person and survived. With the number of forecasters and total staff why would they only have just one person at night??? > Some critics of the proposed cuts blame the elimination of the > $3 million federal farm forecast for leaving Florida farmers > unprepared for a winter freeze that killed $300 million in crops. Large growers can well afford to pay for this specialized service instead of taxpayer subsidies. > Others claim residents of recently swamped communities along the > Ohio River could have received flood warnings up to six hours earlier > if not for staff reductions there. Ridiculous..I doubt six hours would have made much difference. I did not see the flood bulletins, but I bet that the flood crest forecasts were as good as one can expect. When people continue to live in flood plains, they will be flooded and as urbanization increases, floods will be more frequent and crests will be higher. Final note: Same old story, its budget time and the NWS threatens to cut some vital services instead of cutting out the pork. If you threaten safety, you get headlines such as the article. If you cut out basic services, which was done with modernization, little is said. I'm beginning to look at the NWS differently today. In the past the NWS "did more than what was required with smaller budgets" but today "does what is only essentially required with much larger budgets". Ironic isn't it? Machines are supposed to be cheaper than people! Paul E. Pettit Weather Consulting http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 19 Mar 1997 17:33:10 -0600 From: "Eric M. Kemp" Subject: Re: Saturn Storm Chaser Commercial On Wed, 19 Mar 1997, Daphne Thompson wrote: > Has anyone else seen the latest Saturn car commerical? It has some guy and says > he is "A Real Storm Chaser". They show him and a few buddys packing his Saturn > with chase gear and antennas. Then they are on the road, you can see them > eating in the car and hear them talking about how the car has been through large > hail and stuff. It ends with them getting out of the car and seeing blue sky. > Unfortunately, I was paying a whole lot of attention to the commerical until I > saw the "real strom chaser" line so I don't know who it was. Has anyone else > seen this? If not, keep your eyes open for it... The Saturn commercial was actually filmed, in part, here at the OU School of Meteorology. The "real storm chaser" (Steve Gaddy) and his companions (Jerry Brotzge and Frank Gallagher, I believe) are all graduate students here at OU; Steve has a short web page on his experience at http://rossby.metr.ou.edu/~sgaddy/saturn.html No, I'm not Mr. Gaddy's press secretary, but I think it's kinda neat to work on the same floor with a real TV star... Eric -- "Maybe that's my problem: I need to be recompiled with better optimization." -- one of my officemates **************************************************************************** Eric M. Kemp Graduate Research Assistant ekemp@tornado.gcn.ou.edu Center for Computational Geosciences ekemp@rossby.metr.ou.edu University of Oklahoma School of Meteorology Web page at http://rossby.metr.ou.edu/~ekemp **************************************************************************** Standard Disclaimer: These are my views, not necessarily OU's. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 19 Mar 1997 20:11:15 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site became a commissioned ASOS site at 1800 UTC today, 19 March 1997. WILEY FIELD (KNED) WINNER... SOUTH DAKOTA Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 19 Mar 1997 21:38:52 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: NOGAPS info A lot of people have been looking at the U.S. Navy's NOGAPS model output -- for some background information and operational interpretations, check out the Technical Attachment from NWS Western Region at http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/wrhq/97TAs/TA9709/ta97-09.html Rob ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 18 Mar 1997 to 19 Mar 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Mar 19 14:35:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102588-16159>; Wed, 19 Mar 1997 14:35:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA252768; Wed, 19 Mar 1997 00:12:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4961192 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Mar 1997 00:11:48 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA252766 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 1997 00:11:12 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA88506 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 19 Mar 1997 00:11:12 -0600 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199703190611.AA88506@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Mar 1997 00:11:12 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -190011 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 32951 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600Z MAR 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/190153Z MAR 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/190421Z MAR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION AND ASSOCIATED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.ON3 161.5E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14N5 159E5. THIS DISTURBANCE WAS PREVIOUSLY THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT, WHICH HAS BEEN CANCELED. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION (WTPN21 PGTW 190430)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. STRONG TO MODERATE UPPER- LEVEL WINDS ARE SUPPRESSING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. ADDITIONALLY, WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TO THE NORTHWEST IS ALSO ACTING TO INHIBIT DEEP CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WAS LOCATED AT 12.3S6 153.4E3, MOVING WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NUMBER 53 (WTPS32 PGTW 190300) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/BOYER/DEOCARIZA/UROGI// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Mar 19 16:50:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102556-16159>; Wed, 19 Mar 1997 16:50:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA166404; Wed, 19 Mar 1997 02:32:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4961964 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Mar 1997 02:32:15 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA99310 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 1997 02:32:14 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA06379 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Mar 1997 02:30:25 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703190830.CAA06379@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Mar 1997 02:30:25 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 319 WTPS32 PGTW 190900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 054 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- 12.6S9 153.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 260 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.6S9 153.3E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 12.8S1 152.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 260 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 12.9S2 151.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 260 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 13.5S9 150.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 250 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 14.4S9 149.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 250 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 16.0S7 149.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 250 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION 12.6S9 153.1E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 85 KNOTS IS BASED ON A DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY NUMBER OF 5.0 (90 KNOTS), AND A WEAKENING TREND WHICH IS APPARENT ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING WIND SHEAR FROM THE EAST AND DISPLAYS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED TO MOVE IN A GENERAL WESTWARD DIRECTION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DO SO OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, A MORE SOUTHWARD TRACK IS EXPECTED DUE TO NORTHERLY STEERING FLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2), 192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8), 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1) AND 200900Z1 (DTG 200753Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Mar 19 16:52:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102510-16159>; Wed, 19 Mar 1997 16:52:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA243362; Wed, 19 Mar 1997 02:36:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4961971 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Mar 1997 02:35:58 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA232058 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 1997 02:35:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA06405 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Mar 1997 02:34:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703190834.CAA06405@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Mar 1997 02:34:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 351 WTPS32 PGTW 190900 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 054A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- 12.6S9 153.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 260 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.6S9 153.3E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 12.8S1 152.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 260 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 12.9S2 151.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 260 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 13.5S9 150.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 250 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 14.4S9 149.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 250 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 16.0S7 149.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 250 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION 12.6S9 153.1E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 85 KNOTS IS BASED ON A DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY NUMBER OF 5.0 (90 KNOTS), AND A WEAKENING TREND WHICH IS APPARENT ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING WIND SHEAR FROM THE EAST AND DISPLAYS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED TO MOVE IN A GENERAL WESTWARD DIRECTION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DO SO OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, A MORE SOUTHWARD TRACK IS EXPECTED DUE TO NORTHERLY STEERING FLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2), 192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8), 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1) AND 200900Z1 (DTG 200753Z7). JUSTIFICATION: CORRECTS NUMBER OF ACTIVE STORMS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Mar 20 00:06:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102510-16159>; Thu, 20 Mar 1997 00:06:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA06552; Wed, 19 Mar 1997 08:28:35 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4963766 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Mar 1997 08:28:06 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA214646 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 1997 08:09:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA12296 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Mar 1997 08:07:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703191407.IAA12296@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Mar 1997 08:07:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 951 WTPS32 PGTW 191500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 055 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- 12.9S2 152.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 260 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.9S2 152.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 13.2S6 152.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 260 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 13.6S0 151.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 260 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 14.2S7 150.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 250 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 14.9S4 149.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 250 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 16.4S1 148.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 250 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION 13.0S4 152.7E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 191130Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. JUSTIN HAS BEGUN TO WEAKEN MORE RAPIDLY DUE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. DEEP CONVECTION HAS BECOME SHEARED 56 NAUTICAL MILES TO THE WEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ACCORDINGLY, JUSTIN IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN MORE RAPIDLY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN A GENERAL COURSE TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH 72 HOURS. A MODERATE PROBABILITY ALTERNATE FORECAST SCENARIO HAS JUSTIN BECOMING AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AND WEAKENING EVEN MORE RAPIDLY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. JUSTIN WOULD THEN BE GOVERNED BY SHALLOWER STEERING FLOW THAN IS NOW THE CASE. THIS WOULD CAUSE THIS SYSTEM TO STEER MORE TOWARD THE WEST AFTER 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8), 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1), 200900Z1 (DTG 200753Z7) AND 201500Z8 (DTG 201353Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Mar 20 05:04:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102781-16159>; Thu, 20 Mar 1997 05:04:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA175692; Wed, 19 Mar 1997 14:47:36 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4967772 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Mar 1997 14:47:07 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA180842 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 1997 14:24:44 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA22409 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Mar 1997 14:22:48 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703192022.OAA22409@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Mar 1997 14:22:48 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 468 WTPS32 PGTW 192100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 056 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- 13.4S8 152.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 200 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.4S8 152.3E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 14.0S5 151.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 14.6S1 150.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 15.2S8 149.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 15.9S5 149.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 17.2S0 148.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION 13.6S0 152.1E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 191730Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII TO THE NORTH, EAST, AND SOUTH ARE BASED ON 191236Z SATELLITE SCATTEROMETRY DATA. CURRENT WIND RADII IN THE WEST QUADRANT ARE BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION OF THE SCATTEROMETRY DATA. JUSTIN HAS CONTINUED TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN. DEEP CONVECTION IS NOW SHEARED 186 NM WEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING DUE TO MAINTAINED STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE EAST. JUSTIN IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHWEST THROUGH 72 HOURS AS IT IS STEERED BY A MID-LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM TO THE SOUTHEAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1), 200900Z1 (DTG 200753Z7), 201500Z8 (DTG 201353Z4) AND 202100Z5 (DTG 201953Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Mar 20 11:12:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102503-5817>; Thu, 20 Mar 1997 11:12:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA85232; Wed, 19 Mar 1997 20:26:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4971321 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Mar 1997 20:25:05 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA72230 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 1997 20:25:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA29796 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Mar 1997 20:23:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703200223.UAA29796@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 19 Mar 1997 20:23:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 366 WTPS32 PGTW 200300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 057 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- 14.1S6 151.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.1S6 151.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 15.2S8 150.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 16.1S8 149.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 16.9S6 148.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 17.4S2 148.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 17.9S7 147.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION 14.4S9 151.1E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS TRACKING SOUTHWEST AT 09 KNOTS IN THE CORAL SEA. CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 202330Z0 SATELLITE INTENSITY ANALYSIS OF 55 KNOTS (DVORAK CI3.5). TC 32P IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON A GENERALLY SOUTHWESTWARD COURSE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND BEGIN TO SLOW DOWN AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. A MEDIUM PROBABILITY ALTERNATE SCENARIO IS THAT THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE REMAINS STRONG AND TC 32P MOVES ON A MORE WESTWARD COURSE THAN FORECAST. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND WATER VAPOR DERIVED UPPER-LEVEL WINDS SHOW THAT TC 32P IS STILL UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF SIGNIFICANT UPPER-LEVEL EAST-NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE CURRENT INTENSITY FORECAST CALLS FOR TC 32P TO WEAKEN TO A 45 KNOT SYSTEM BY THE 24-HOUR POINT AN REMAIN STEADY FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT AS TC 32P MOVES SOUTHWESTWARD AND UNDER THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE AXIS AND INTO AN AREA OF LOWER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR THAT TC 32P WILL REINTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WIND AND SEAS WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1 (DTG 200753Z7), 201500Z8 (DTG 201353Z4), 202100Z5 (DTG 201953Z0) AND 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Mar 20 14:40:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102329-5817>; Thu, 20 Mar 1997 14:40:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA26492; Thu, 20 Mar 1997 00:19:14 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4974090 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Mar 1997 00:18:53 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA52776 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 1997 00:02:27 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA10500 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 20 Mar 1997 00:02:27 -0600 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199703200602.AA10500@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Mar 1997 00:02:27 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -200002 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 22273 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600Z MAR 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/200153Z MAR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION AND ASSOCIATED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION LOCATED NEAR 14N5 159E5 IS NOW NEAR 15N5 160E7. STRONG SOUTHERLY SHEAR AS SHOWN BY WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS IS INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 9N9 165E2 HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 12 HOURS AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THERE IS STRONG SOUTHERLY SHEAR ON THIS DISTURBANCE AND THERE IS VERY LITTLE ORGANIZATION AT THIS TIME. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WAS LOCATED AT 14.1S6 151.4E1, MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NUMBER 57 (WTPS32 PGTW 200300) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: NICKLAS/MEST/GILL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Mar 21 14:33:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102187-4602>; Fri, 21 Mar 1997 14:33:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA05132; Fri, 21 Mar 1997 00:20:46 -0600 Message-Id: <199703210620.AAA05132@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Mar 1997 00:10:15 +1800 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 19 Mar 1997 to 20 Mar 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 16 messages totalling 490 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Addenum to earlier NWA Conference post... 2. NWS Watchs and Warnings (4) 3. WX-TALK Digest - 18 Mar 1997 to 19 Mar 1997 (3) 4. Tom Skilling online tonight! 5. ICAOs for Grand Cayman and Kingston, Jamaica? 6. "Tornado Warning Guidance from NSSL/NEXRAD OSF" 7. ASOS Commissioning Notice 8. National radar updated every 15 minutes! 9. SPC products 10. Interesting LSR... (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 20 Mar 1997 07:53:54 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Addenum to earlier NWA Conference post... As a few have pointed out to me, (I did say I wrote that while I was half-asleep, right?) the NWA conference was fabulous, but I did also want to mention that I also totally enjoyed Al Moller's eye-opening presentation as well. Didn't mean to leave him out of the outline of great speakers; I was still bug-eyed and running on memory after 3 hours of sleep from an all-evening drive the night before. And I do hope that this becomes an annual event! The Des Moines location was great...centrally located, right size for a conference, without costing big bucks(!), which means that everyone who wanted to learn about severe storms had ample opportunity without blowing their annual travel or storm chase budget, and with experience ranging from PhD to someone who watches The Weather Channel wondering what they mean by a dryline... John McLaughlin's been off the 'net since his two-day 18 hour workday...somebody better go and wake him up! :-) Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 20 Mar 1997 08:40:02 -0600 From: fred shabec Subject: NWS Watchs and Warnings Is there a WEB site out there for getting current Watchs and Warning from the NWS?? thanks Fred ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 20 Mar 1997 09:20:37 -0600 From: "Mathew L. Powers" Subject: Re: NWS Watchs and Warnings On Thu, 20 Mar 1997, fred shabec wrote: > Is there a WEB site out there for getting current Watchs and Warning from > the NWS?? > You can check out our text site at http://weather.cod.edu/danatext.html and go to SPC products, Or directly to SPC products by http://kamala.cod.edu/spc/ Our SPC page is set up with Client Pull (auto refreshes), as well as showing all the issue times, valid times, and location/descripition of each meso discussion. I hope this helps. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Matt Powers: powers@weather.cod.edu I still use my 630/942-2590 colored pencils! College of Dupage/NEXLAB (near Chi-town) http://weather.cod.edu Multi-County Skywarn http://weather.cod.edu/skywarn and Ob's at RFD for fun ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 20 Mar 1997 10:50:23 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: NWS Watchs and Warnings > Our SPC page is set up with Client Pull (auto refreshes), as well as showing >all the issue times, valid times, and location/descripition of each meso >discussion. Are there any sites using client push for weather bulletins? While the pull function is neat, I wonder if the new / proposed push processes (especially for Internet Explorer 4) would make it easy for web sites to push new products along, like a weather wire... Rob ////////////////////////////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ Robert P Dale - N8GSK || rdale@norden1.com Meteorologist || rdale@storm.atms.purdue.edu Davidson Crane And Conveyor || dcc@norden1.com InterRAD NIDS Software http://www.stratus.weather.net/~rdale/interrad.html NW Ohio Weather Info http://wx.home.ml.org Northwest Ohio AMS http://nwohams.home.ml.org ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 20 Mar 1997 10:48:59 CST From: Jim LaDue Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 18 Mar 1997 to 19 Mar 1997 Paul Pettit responding to Gilbert's post.... >> Some critics of the proposed cuts blame the elimination of the >> $3 million federal farm forecast for leaving Florida farmers >> unprepared for a winter freeze that killed $300 million in crops. >Large growers can well afford to pay for this specialized service instead >of taxpayer subsidies. How about all the small growers who can ill afford to pay for a specialized service? Do they deserve less service because they are not a big corporation? When small growers are unprepared for a freeze, they're business is much more on the line than big corporations who are more likely to have larger cash reserves. I'm not in the position to say whether the continuation of the NWS agricultural program would have played a pivotal role in saving crops during that particular freeze. But I see other times when small growers need weather information for which they cannot pay. Small growers also pay taxes and deserve to have their needs addressed without bankrupting them. regards, James G. LaDue, Operational Support Facility 3200 Marshall Ave., Suite 202, Norman, OK 73072 (405)-366-6560 ext 4281 Fax (405)-366-6557 Internet jladue@osf.noaa.gov (fast) [or] james.g.ladue@noaa.gov (slow) ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 20 Mar 1997 12:26:20 -0600 From: "Paul E. Pettit" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 18 Mar 1997 to 19 Mar 1997 I wrote: >3 shifts a day that means that they have 13+ employees per shift. Don't >know what all these people do, but assume there is some pork in numbers. Sorry, but before all of you jump on me...I should have been clearer. The 13+ is the total bodies available for each shift. You still have to consider days off, leave, not all of them are forecasters, etc. Add those in and it leaves at least 5-7 persons per shift to cover operations. I offer my humble body for criticism on this post. Be gentle. Paul E. Pettit Weather Consulting http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 20 Mar 1997 14:10:14 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Tom Skilling online tonight! For those of you who have AOL...Tom Skilling will be online tonight, starting at 9:15PM. Keyword is "Chicago Chat". Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 20 Mar 1997 15:27:31 EST From: "Daniel D. Salkovitz" Subject: ICAOs for Grand Cayman and Kingston, Jamaica? I'm looking for the ICAO identifications for Grand Cayman Island and Kingston, Jamaica. Anyone know them? Assistance appreciated! -- \\ ----- // ---- \\ -- Dan Salkovitz \\ - WeatherDan@juno.com \\ - dsalkovi@pen.k12.va.us // - ddsalkovit@deq.state.va.us ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 20 Mar 1997 18:40:12 GMT From: Chuck Doswell Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 18 Mar 1997 to 19 Mar 1997 In article , jladue@OSF.NOAA.GOV wrote: > How about all the small growers who can ill afford to pay for a specialized > service? > Do they deserve less service because they are not a big corporation? When > small > growers are unprepared for a freeze, they're business is much more on the line > than > big corporations who are more likely to have larger cash reserves. The issue of whether or not a given grower can afford to pay for specialized weather services is far more complex than the size of the company. This particular problem often can be approximated as a simple cost-loss problem, which is discussed in the literature. An important factor in the C-L problem is the cost-loss ratio, C/L. Other factors include the accuracy and skill (these are not the same!) of the service making the weather forecasts, the climatological frequency of the events that potentially create losses, etc. For thorough treatments (the C-L problem is a simplification), more factors enter in: e.g., the risk aversity of the user, the degree to which protection is complete, the nature of the forecast (probabilistic vs. categorical), etc. It may be that for some small growers, if they invest in forecasting, they are actually better off than large growers would be (depending on various parameters, the cash reserves ... IF a large company actually HAS a larger cash reserve, which is an assumption, NOT a fact ... could be used best to offset the occasional losses instead of buying a forecasting service ... depends on the particular situation of each user!). > Small growers also pay taxes and deserve to have their needs addressed without > bankrupting them. Sorry, but I believe this to be a specious argument. The large growers pay taxes, the medium growers pay taxes, the small growers pay taxes ... so what? Payment of taxes doesn't necessarily mean that you are entitled to support for your business from the Federal budget ... i.e., a subsidy! The fact that it often has meant a subsidy for many industrial sectors, including agriculture, does not mean that it has to stay that way. In the paper by Harold Brooks, Mike Fritsch, and me ... available at: ... we have advanced the argument that specialized forecast needs like those of agricultural businesses probably could be served best by private sector forecasters. I believe that our argument does NOT depend on the size of the grower. Chuck Doswell --------------------------------------------------------------------- Dr. Charles A. Doswell III NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, Oklahoma 73069 phone: (405) 366-0439 fax: (405) 366-0472 WWW home page: Standard disclaimer ... my views are my own; don't blame my employer. Can't keep my eyes from the circling sky. An earth-bound misfit, I --------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 20 Mar 1997 10:14:41 -0600 From: Peter Laws Subject: Re: NWS Watchs and Warnings The IWIN site has what you want: http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/ I wish they'd use the same META tags that CNN uses to allow your browser (Netscape anyway) to keep the page up to date ... guess I should write to the webmaster ... -- Peter Laws / plaws@wildstar.net / N5UWY ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 20 Mar 1997 11:23:12 CST From: Robert Prentice Subject: "Tornado Warning Guidance from NSSL/NEXRAD OSF" "Tornado Warning Guidance from the National Severe Storms Laboratory and the WSR-88D Operational Support Facility" is now available on the the WSR-88D OSF, Operations Training Branch Homepage at: http://www.osf.noaa.gov/otb/otb.htm The document is meant to provide meteorologists with some of the latest research findings related to the tornado warning decision-making process. This information is based on priliminary research results from project VORTEX, as well as the statistical analysis of a significant number of WSR-88D storm cases from a variety of sites across the US as part of the mesocyclone and tornado warning detection algorithm research being performed at NSSL. I have received numerous requests for this document since it was first made available last weekend at the NWA Severe Storms Conference in Des Moines. Also included on the OSF/OTB Homepage is "Mesocyclone Characteristics of Mini Supercell Thunderstorms." "Your personal guide to convective nirvana" Robert A. Prentice, Meteorologist Instructor NEXRAD OSF, Operations Training Branch Norman, OK RPrentice@OSF.NOAA.GOV ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 20 Mar 1997 19:53:34 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site became ASOS commissioned at 1800 UTC on 20 March, 1997. ORANGEBURG MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KOGB) ORANGEBURG... SOUTH CAROLINA Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 20 Mar 1997 15:51:33 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: National radar updated every 15 minutes! Chasers and wx-talkers, KGAN-TV in Cedar Rapids now has a national radar composite updated every 15 minutes. Check out: http://www.kgan.com/wx/wxradar.html I have it linked also on the Storm Chaser Homepage radar page: http://taiga.geog/niu.edu/chaser/radarwx.html Enjoy! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * Got mole problems? Call Avogadro at 6.02 X 10^23. * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 20 Mar 1997 20:19:59 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: SPC products At 02:30 PM 3/20/97 GMT, *The Weather Guru* wrote: >alternate site for day1 Convective outlook graphics > >http://members.aol.com/vortex100 I checked it just now and it was over twelve hours old -- apparently the "alternate site" doesn't download the 15Z and 19Z updates... Rob ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 20 Mar 1997 16:47:05 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Interesting LSR... A gust front with gustnado and a 3ft storm surge! LSRCRP PRELIMINARY STORM REPORT...FOR MARCH 17 1997 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX 305 PM CST WED MAR 19 1997 ...CORRECTED FORMAT OF HAIL REPORT TIME(CST) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... ....COUNTY LOCATION.... 0645 AM INDIANOLA TX TORNADO 03/17/97 CALHOUN GUSTNADO WITH 70 KNOT WIND GUST RECORDED BY LOCAL RESIDENT...SMALL SHED DESTROYED...PORCH OVERHANGS DESTROYED. 1-3 FT STORM SURGE ACCOMPANIED GUST FRONT WITH FLOODING. 0710 AM PORT OCONNOR TX TORNADO 03/17/97 CALHOUN GUSTNADO PARTIALLY DESTROYED BOAT SHED RIPPING PORTION OF TIN ROOF AND SUPPORTS... RESIDENTS ESTIMATED WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 21 Mar 1997 02:25:31 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: Interesting LSR... On Mar 20, 4:47pm, Robert P Dale wrote: > A gust front with gustnado and a 3ft storm surge! > I noticed an interesting feature with this particular storm -- an animation of GOES-8 channel 3 (water vapor) imagery revealed a subtle mid/upper-tropospheric "dry wave" which propagated radially outward from the rear flank of the storm (propagation was toward the west-southwest, *against* the ambient mid/upper tropospheric flow). This feature appeared to move inland at about the same speed as the surface outflow boundary, but cirrus clouds moving toward the region from northern old Mexico soon overtook and subsequently obscured the feature. Being that this wave was evident on water vapor imagery (and there was a fair amount of moisture over this region), I doubt that what I saw was a reflection of the surface outflow boundary per se. I see this type of feature with some (but not most) intense convective clusters. It must be some sort of gravity wave, but it's difficult to gather any data (profiler, rawinsonde) to capture a feature of such short temporal scale. Nevertheless, I think they're cool... Interested parties can contact me for gif files which display this phenomenon (you'll have to create your own animation -- I like to use ImageMagick on a UNIX box). ============================================ > LSRCRP > PRELIMINARY STORM REPORT...FOR MARCH 17 1997 > NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX > 305 PM CST WED MAR 19 1997 ...CORRECTED FORMAT OF HAIL REPORT > > TIME(CST) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... > ....COUNTY LOCATION.... > > 0645 AM INDIANOLA TX TORNADO > 03/17/97 CALHOUN GUSTNADO WITH 70 KNOT WIND > GUST RECORDED BY LOCAL > RESIDENT...SMALL SHED > DESTROYED...PORCH OVERHANGS > DESTROYED. 1-3 FT STORM > SURGE ACCOMPANIED GUST FRONT > WITH FLOODING. > > 0710 AM PORT OCONNOR TX TORNADO > 03/17/97 CALHOUN GUSTNADO PARTIALLY DESTROYED > BOAT SHED RIPPING PORTION OF > TIN ROOF AND SUPPORTS... > RESIDENTS ESTIMATED WIND > GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS ======================================================= -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS FIRSTT | CIMSS/University of Wisconsin-Madison ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 19 Mar 1997 to 20 Mar 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Mar 20 16:28:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102655-5817>; Thu, 20 Mar 1997 16:28:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA108878; Thu, 20 Mar 1997 02:18:01 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4977870 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Mar 1997 02:17:48 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA146446 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 1997 02:17:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA03563 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Mar 1997 02:15:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703200815.CAA03563@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Mar 1997 02:15:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 379 WTPS32 PGTW 200900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 058 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- 14.7S2 150.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.7S2 150.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 15.7S3 149.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 16.6S3 148.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 17.2S0 148.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 17.7S5 147.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 18.3S2 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION 15.0S6 150.5E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 08 KNOTS TOWARDS THE AUSTRALIAN COAST. TC 32P IS NOW AN EXTREMELY WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER THAT HAS LOST ALMOST ALL OF ITS DEEP CONVECTION. THERE IS STILL HEAVY EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ON THIS SYSTEM AS SHOWN BY ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS AND A 200002Z4 SCATTEROMETRY PASS FROM THE NEW NASA SCATTEROMETER. WE EXPECT TC 32P TO CONTINUE ITS SOUTHWESTWARD MOVEMENT FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. A LOW-PROBABILITY ALTERNATE INTENSITY SCENARIO HAS THE UPPER-LEVEL WIND SHEAR RELAXING ON TC 32P AND THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN INTENSITY LONGER THAN FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z8 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WIND AND SEA WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8 (DTG 201353Z4), 202100Z5 (DTG 201953Z0), 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2) AND 210900Z2 (DTG 210753Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Mar 20 23:21:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102792-5817>; Thu, 20 Mar 1997 23:20:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA265792; Thu, 20 Mar 1997 09:03:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4987127 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Mar 1997 08:57:10 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA258910 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 1997 08:44:10 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA09979 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Mar 1997 08:42:15 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703201442.IAA09979@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Mar 1997 08:42:15 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 745 WTPS32 PGTW 201500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 059 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- 15.0S6 149.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.0S6 149.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 16.0S7 148.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 17.0S8 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 17.5S3 145.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 17.9S7 144.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION 15.3S9 149.5E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER CONTINUES TO BE WELL DEFINED. THE SYSTEM HAS VERY LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION AND IS WEAKENING DUE TO STRONG EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. WIND RADII BASED ON SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS AND A 200002Z4 NASA SCATTEROMETER PASS. TC 32P WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE SOUTHWEST AND WEAKEN, MAKING LANDFALL IN NORTHEASTERN AUSTRALIA WITHIN 36 HOURS. TC 32P IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER LAND IN 48 HOURS. TC 32P IS CURRENTLY BEING STEERED BY A DOMINANT RIDGE TO THE SOUTH, AND IS EXPECTED TO SLOW AS IT NEARS LANDFALL DUE TO AN APPROACHING WEAK AREA. A LOW- PROBABILITY ALTERNATE INTENSITY SCENARIO HAS THE UPPER- LEVEL SHEAR RELAXING ON TC 32P, RESULTING IN THE SYSTEM MAINTAINING A HIGHER INTENSITY THAN FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WIND AND SEA WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5 (DTG 201953Z0),210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2), 210900Z2 (DTG 210753Z8) AND 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Mar 21 05:54:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102365-5817>; Fri, 21 Mar 1997 05:54:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA263768; Thu, 20 Mar 1997 15:28:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4990313 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Mar 1997 15:28:16 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA84516 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 1997 14:38:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA19853 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Mar 1997 14:36:29 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703202036.OAA19853@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Mar 1997 14:36:29 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 702 WTPS32 PGTW 202100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 060 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- 15.3S9 149.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.3S9 149.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 16.3S0 147.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 17.1S9 146.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 17.5S3 145.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 18.2S1 145.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION 15.5S1 148.7E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. POSITION BASED ON SATELLITE FIXES ON A WELL DEFINED CIRCULATION CENTER AND A 1200Z NASA SCATTEROMETER PASS. CONVECTION ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED IN THE LAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO WEAKEN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE EAST. TC 32P IS BEING STEERED BY A DOMINANT SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL IN NORTHEASTERN AUSTRALIA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. A LOW TO MODERATE PROBABILITY ALTERNATE SCENARIO HAS THE SYSTEM TURNING SOUTHWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF AN APPROACHING MID LATITUDE TROUGH AND REINTENSIFYING AS IT MOVES UNDER THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WIND AND SEA WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2), 210900Z2 (DTG 210753Z8), 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5) AND 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Mar 21 10:22:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102275-4602>; Fri, 21 Mar 1997 10:22:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA87098; Thu, 20 Mar 1997 20:11:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4995110 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Mar 1997 20:10:50 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA159746 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 1997 20:10:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA26540 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Mar 1997 20:09:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703210209.UAA26540@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 20 Mar 1997 20:09:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 402 WTPS32 PGTW 210300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 061 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- 15.4S0 148.3E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.4S0 148.3E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 15.7S3 146.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 16.3S0 145.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 17.0S8 144.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION 15.5S1 147.9E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS TOWARDS THE AUSTRALIAN COAST. THERE IS CURRENTLY HEAVY CONVECTION IN THE NORTHWEST OUTER BAND OF THIS TROPICAL CYCLONE BUT NO SERIOUS CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER. IT APPEARS THAT TC 32P WILL REMAIN ON THE EQUATORWARD SIDE OF THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE AXIS AND UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. WE EXPECT TC 32P TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES THE COAST AND TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z3 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WIND AND SEAS WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2 (DTG 200753Z8), 201500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5) 212100Z (DTG 211953Z1), AND 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Mar 22 15:07:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102327-20006>; Sat, 22 Mar 1997 15:07:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA65406; Sat, 22 Mar 1997 00:08:16 -0600 Message-Id: <199703220608.AAA65406@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Mar 1997 00:03:25 +1800 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 20 Mar 1997 to 21 Mar 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 14 messages totalling 626 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. National radar updated every 15 minutes! 2. WX-TALK Digest - 19 Mar 1997 to 20 Mar 1997 3. Visit This Web Page... 4. SPC products 5. Specialized weather services for agriculture 6. Goodbye SRH (2) 7. Satpix Looping Programs??? 8. SCH URGENT BREAKING NEWS 9. SCH URGENT BREAKING NEWS (clarification) 10. ICAOs for Grand Cayman and Kingston, Jamaica? 11. Specialized weather 12. AP - reaction to TPC cuts 13. NATIONAL ORGANIZATION FORMED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 21 Mar 1997 07:49:49 -0500 From: Roy Spencer Subject: Re: National radar updated every 15 minutes! I hate to criticize, but the quailty of this radar product is WAY below Intellicast (WSI), even if Intellicast isn't updated as frequently. -Roy Spencer ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 21 Mar 1997 10:08:02 -0600 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 19 Mar 1997 to 20 Mar 1997 Greetings wx-talkers, Just thought I'd contribute to this thread before it fades from view. As one personally involved in the termination of the NWS Ag Weather Program, I offer my perspective (flame-able is it may be...). My position at an Ag Wx Service Center (AWSC) was terminated with it's closing on Apr 1, 1996. I left gov't service after 9 years during which I was RIF-ed 3 times. >> Some critics of the proposed cuts blame the elimination of the >> $3 million federal farm forecast for leaving Florida farmers >> unprepared for a winter freeze that killed $300 million in crops. This has been proven incorrect already. In fact, comparison of private fcsts and the NWS zone fcsts has shown the NWS to be one of the worst of the lot. The Frost/Freeze fcst would have been made by the same NWS folks, with the same error as the zone fcst. I won't go into the whys and hows of the particular event, but it was just one of those situations that was not forecastable given our current knowledge/data/techniques. I don't have to tell you folks on this list that meteorology is not an exact science and that blown fcsts have/do/will occur. It was unfortunate that this blown fcst cost some farmers their crops. > How about all the small growers who can ill afford to pay for a specialized > service? Do they deserve less service because they are not a big corporation? There are many levels of service available from private meteorological firms. Yes, some are expensive. However, there are many services available for less than $60 per month. If a grower cannot afford $60/month for 3-5 months out of the year, then maybe he doesn't need to be in the business! Either that or he considers it more of a hobby than a business. In either case, the support he gets for "free" will be the same as what the general public gets... the zone fcst from the NWS. As far as the small guy getting less govt support than the big corp... you must be kidding! This has been the case since political parties/politicians began accepting money(contributions?) from big business. Those with the greatest political support have always been those with the greatest political contributions. Why do you think agriculture's political influence has been on the decline over the last 20 years? Fewer farmers, fewer agri companies, lower political contributions, fewer congressmen concerned with agriculture, and fewer still with an understanding of the needs of agri-business. > When small growers are unprepared for a freeze, they're business is much more > on the line than big corporations who are more likely to have larger cash > reserves. This is often true... which is exactly why they need to protect themselves as much as possible. The Florida freeze event would not have been nearly as devastating if most of the growers considered weather information in the same light as crop insurance. Is it worth $60/month to protect a crop worth thousands or even millions of dollars? Chuck's comments regarding this issue were right on the mark: > The issue of whether or not a given grower can afford to pay for > specialized weather services is far more complex than the size of the > company. This particular problem often can be approximated as a simple > cost-loss problem, which is discussed in the literature. Most of the Florida growers made a business decision to not purchase specialized weather services based on the cost-loss train of thought. Many were probably hoping to "get lucky" and not get burned... thinking they could "get by" with the zone fcst and/or the TV fcst. In this case, they gambled... and lost. However, instead of taking responsibility for their own decision, they looked for someone else to blame. Human nature I guess. However, it does prove that growers do need more than the zone/TV fcsts. The difference now is that they need to purchase this info from the private sector instead of having the govt provide it. As govt downsizes, this scenario will repeat itself many times... > I'm not in the position to say whether the continuation of the NWS > agricultural program would have played a pivotal role in saving crops > during that particular freeze. I am... and it would not have helped... as discussed above. > But I see other times when small growers need weather information for > which they cannot pay. Small growers also pay taxes and deserve to have > their needs addressed without bankrupting them. I'll defer to Chuck's comments on the taxes issue. However I will reiterate that growers who can't afford $60/month need to look at another vocation. To put that $60 into perspective, isn't that about the same amount you would spend to take a family of 4 out to eat at a nice restaurant once a month? If a grower takes his "business" seriously, he'll consider the purchase of specialized weather information as a valid business expense. ...MOUNTING SOAP BOX... Expecting too much from the govt and too little from ourselves is part of the reason we've gotten ourselves into this debt mess in the first place. In this era of cutting back on govt services, farmers, like everyone else, need to take greater responsibility for their own lives/actions/businesses. Sure, it's going to hurt in the short term... but we'll be better off in the long run. Self sufficiency is it's own reward! ...DISMOUNTING SOAP BOX... Nuff said. Flame away! Stephen Adams - Former Civil Servant, NWS-SEAWSC Current Entrepeneur, AWIS Inc. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 21 Mar 1997 06:17:51 EST From: Robert Lightbown Subject: Visit This Web Page... Come visit the NEMAS Caribou web page for quite a few good links to up-to-date weather information and links. I also upload a weather forecast to this page for Aroostook County, Maine. To get to this page, go to: http://maine.maine.edu/~rlight51/weather.html Hope you enjoy this page... ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 21 Mar 1997 17:08:09 -0500 From: "Gregory A. Surplus" Subject: Re: SPC products >At 02:30 PM 3/20/97 GMT, *The Weather Guru* wrote: >>alternate site for day1 Convective outlook graphics >> >>http://members.aol.com/vortex100 > >I checked it just now and it was over twelve hours old -- apparently the >"alternate site" doesn't download the 15Z and 19Z updates... > >Rob > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > Try ftp://kestrel.umd.edu/pub/wx/severe.gif It displays both the MDR summary and the day 1 outlook. It still doesn't make up for the good Day 1, Day 2 SPC graphics that used to be available however. *************************************************************************** * Greg Surplus--Parkville MD MICROG'S MARYLAND WEATHER HOMEPAGE * * gsurplus@delphi.com http://people.delphi.com/gsurplus/ * *************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 21 Mar 1997 16:39:52 -0600 From: "Rodger R. Getz" Subject: Re: Specialized weather services for agriculture Responding to posts by: "Paul E. Pettit" Jim LaDue Chuck Doswell Chuck Doswell (as usual) has hit it on the head that EVERY grower, large and small, benefits from the application of weather information in their daily management decisions. NWS Ag Weather Services ended (for most of the country) almost a year ago on 4/1/96. Most growers have yet to accept that they must now pay for such information. After 34 years of *free* service, it will take more time to "wean" them from expecting Uncle to help them. My company, Agricultural Weather Information Service (AWIS), was started a year ago by former NWS ag meteorologists who were purged when the downsizing began. We probably know this issue better than anyone on this planet! Most of my clients are small and moderate size farm operations. We're sensitive to the economic condition of these smaller growers and charge them less than what we charge corporate operations. Our grower rate is a little more than a $1 a day! Unfortunately, 99% of the growers out there have made a BUSINESS DECISION to not use the services of private sector forecasters. They have taken a risk to go without specialized information or to rely on general "public" weather. From AWIS they are getting quality, reliable AG-SPECIFIC weather information at the lowest possible cost. They can't use the arguments that the information is not available or is too expensive! Farming is a BUSINESS and they must make choices like everyone else. Most have chosen to risk their business rather than protect themselves by obtaining services from private weather firms. Nobody can guarantee 100% perfect forecasts, but the service clearly results in cost savings to the grower. Smaller growers have traditionally relied on local broadcast media (primarily radio) for ag weather information. We've been actively marketing our services to broadcasters. The response so far has been very poor. They seem to have made the same business choice as growers by accepting less and not seeing unique ag weather forecasts as something that will attract listeners and therefor advertisers. Ultimately, the choices of growers and broadcasters will work themselves out in the marketplace. Those that take advantage of services like ours will rise to the top and be profitable while those that do not will suffer. Some people will get by for awhile, but it will eventually catch up with them. This is part of a larger trend in agriculture and other segments of our economy in which the mid-size operations must either grow or shrink back to serve special markets. The "middle man" is being cut out because that is not efficient. Let me specifically address several of Jim LaDue's comments: >I 'm not in the position to say whether the continuation of the NWS >agricultural program would have played a pivotal role in saving crops >during that particular freeze. But I see other times when small growers >need weather information for which they cannot pay. Small growers also >pay taxes and deserve to have their needs addressed without bankrupting >them. As I previously indicated, I AM in the unique position to make a judgement if the outcome of the freeze would have been different. The answer is NO! In fact, we were better able to communicate our forecasts (which called for frost) as a private company than we would have if we were still an NWS operation. Our clients got the forecast directly from us by fax, e-mail, Web, and phone. Our freeze forecast was also available to hundreds of DTN subscribers (a satellite-based ag information dissemination system). These are different levels of service that are all affordable. Yes, growers do pay taxes, but those taxes are now going towards maintaining basic NWS functions which everyone still depends on. Small growers are going under because they are not competitive. The days of govt farm support programs are drawing to an end. ------------------------------------------------------- Rodger R. Getz, President Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. P.O. Box 3267 Auburn, AL 36831-3267 http://www.awis.com ph: (334) 826-2149 ext 104 (voice) (334) 826-2152 (FAX) -------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 21 Mar 1997 16:44:55 -0800 From: lon curtis Subject: Goodbye SRH The Associated Press reported today that Elbert Friday, Jr., Asst Admin for Weather Services, officially announced that the Southern Region Headquarters of NWS will be closed and responsibilities transferred to regional offices in Kansas City and Bohemia, NY. According to the AP, the closing of SRH will "eliminate" 55 positions. The article also quotes Friday as saying thaT NWS will eliminate 137 to 200 positions by the end of this fiscal year. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 21 Mar 1997 17:48:01 -0700 From: "Kevin J. Schrab" Subject: Re: Goodbye SRH see the following for more info: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/pa/ >The Associated Press reported today that Elbert Friday, Jr., Asst Admin >for Weather Services, officially announced that the Southern Region >Headquarters of NWS will be closed and responsibilities transferred to >regional offices in Kansas City and Bohemia, NY. According to the AP, >the closing of SRH will "eliminate" 55 positions. The article also >quotes Friday as saying thaT NWS will eliminate 137 to 200 positions by >the end of this fiscal year. > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > > ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 21 Mar 1997 21:38:32 -0500 From: Paul Robertson Subject: Satpix Looping Programs??? Does anyone have any idea where I may obtain a program to loop several satpix? Thank you Paul Robertson ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 21 Mar 1997 20:43:05 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: SCH URGENT BREAKING NEWS Dr. Joe Friday has now confirmed the reductions in staffing to the National Weather Service, including the reduction of services and the Storm Prediction Center. The SCH has obtained a copy of the memo that Dr. Friday sent out this morning. It, along with links to pages which describe the losses in detail, are now available at the Storm Chaser Homepage: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/spccuts.html It's a sad day for the NWS... Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * Got mole problems? Call Avogadro at 6.02 X 10^23. * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 21 Mar 1997 20:53:22 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: SCH URGENT BREAKING NEWS (clarification) Dr. Joe Friday has now confirmed the reductions in staffing to the National Weather Service, including the reduction of services with the Storm Prediction Center. The SCH has obtained a copy of the memo that Dr. Friday sent out this morning. It, along with links to pages which describe the losses in detail, are now available at the Storm Chaser Homepage: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/spccuts.html It's a sad day for the NWS... Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * Got mole problems? Call Avogadro at 6.02 X 10^23. * ******************************************************************************* +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 21 Mar 1997 20:07:57 -0700 From: Matt Rehwald Subject: Re: ICAOs for Grand Cayman and Kingston, Jamaica? > From: "Daniel D. Salkovitz" > I'm looking for the ICAO identifications for Grand Cayman > Island and Kingston, Jamaica. Anyone know them? Assistance > appreciated! >From the ICAO book that I have... MWCB - Cayman BRAC/Gerard Smith MWCG - Grand Cayman City MWCR - Georgetown/Owen Roberts Int'l MKJK - Kingston ACC/FIC MKJM - Montego Bay (city) MKJP - Kingston/Norman Manley Int'l MKJS - Montego Bay/Sangster Int'l HTH... Matt @@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@ Matt Rehwald The Home Office: Forecaster, Weatherbank Inc. 330 Crestview Drive Edmond, OK <*> PO Box 2772 synoptic@xmission.com Park City, UT 84060-2772 ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 21 Mar 1997 22:50:00 -0500 From: "David B. Smith" Subject: Re: Specialized weather "RG>AG-SPECIFIC weather information at the lowest possible cost. They "RG>can't use the arguments that the information is not available or is "RG>too expensive! Farming is a BUSINESS and they must make choices like "RG>everyone else. Most have chosen to risk their business rather than Seems like you're contradicting yourself here. They can't say it's too expensive -- but Farming is a business. Businesses decide services (like yours) are too expensive all the time. For small farmers, farming is a marginal, close-run business. It always has been, since the days when farmers created this country. Small farmers just don't have a lot of discretional funding. They don't have the Gummint subsidizing their operations to the extent they are subsidizing ADM, for example. The Gummmint could choose to provide Gummint services to those who can't afford commercial services. The subsidized, big companies, like ADM for example, and they companies that profit from the Gummint not doing its job, don't want the Gummint to provide those services. So the Gummint doesn't, like the Good Little Doggies they are. Please don't pretend this is all a big secret. * SLMR 2.1a * Bleeding-heart: winner of an argument with a conservative -- >> David B. Smith | Email sysop@atbbs.com, dbsmith@izzy.net >> Sysop, American Tune BBS | My views are sometimes not even my own, >> much less anyone else's. My employers don't speak for me, either, 'natch. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 21 Mar 1997 23:38:17 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: AP - reaction to TPC cuts Hurricane Center Cuts Irk Staff By TONY WINTON Associated Press Writer Friday, March 21, 1997 10:41 pm EST MIAMI (AP) -- Outraged by a 25 percent staff cut at the National Hurricane Center, state officials are predicting dire consequences for the public and another busy year after record, back-to-back storm seasons. ``It's criminal,'' said Billy Wagner, emergency management director for the Florida Keys. ``I can't believe that they can't understand ... the chance of losing many lives in a rapidly-developing system.'' The cutbacks at the nation's leading tropical weather forecast agency are needed to meet a $27.5 budget reduction mandated by Congress, National Weather Service Director Joe Friday said in Washington, D.C. ``This is a difficult time,'' Friday said, insisting the service will still support ``the essential ingredients of the warning system in this country.'' Twelve of 50 jobs will be lost through retirements and layoffs, requiring less-frequent updates of developing tropical weather systems, although managers said they will bring in workers on overtime when hurricanes threaten the United States. ``That's sort of like saying we'll have one person at the fire station,'' said Bob Sheets, a former director of the center, ``and if a fire breaks out, we'll see if we can get enough people in.'' The center's experts track storms from their swirling ocean births via satellite, interpret complex computer simulations, and consult with state officials on coastal evacuations in advance of hurricane landfalls. Elsewhere, the agency is trimming staff at a severe storm center in Oklahoma, closing a regional headquarters in Fort Worth, Texas, and eliminating many Washington staff, totaling about 200 jobs nationwide. State officials say they won't take the cuts sitting down. ``We never give up in Florida, and we intend to press our perspective,'' said April Herrle, a spokeswoman for Gov. Lawton Chiles. Chiles may travel to Washington next week in an effort to reverse the decision, possibly meeting with Commerce Secretary William Daley. Managers at the center are planning for the storm season that begins June 1. But the fear is that the 1997 season will mark another year of increased storm activity. ``In 1995, we had 21 consecutive days of double-manning,'' said Frank LePore, a spokesman for the center. ``It's a more real and likely danger, a period in which you ran your people into the ground. ``That's when you have to call in the cavalry,'' he said. © Copyright 1997 The Associated Press ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 22 Mar 1997 00:03:35 -0500 From: Rick McCoy Subject: NATIONAL ORGANIZATION FORMED I HAVE JUST ORGANIZED IN THE PAST SEVERAL WEEKS A NATIONAL ORGANIZATION CALLED,"AMERICANS UNITED TO MAINTAIN WEATHER SERVICE FUNDING." JOINING THE COMMITTEE IS THOMAS GRAZULIS, DIRECTOR OF TORNADO PROJECT IN JOHNSBURY, VERMONT; KEVIN KNUPP, PROFESSOR OF ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE AT THE UNIVERSITY OF HUNTSVILLE IN ALABAMA; TIM MARSHALL, METEOROLOGICAL CONSULTANT AND CHASER FROM LEWISVILLE, TEXAS; AND ERIC SALNA, CHIEF METEOROLOGIST WITH WZVN TELEVISION IN FORT MYERS, FLORIDA. AS AN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT DIRECTOR AND PART-TIME TV WEATHER SPECIALIST FOR WANE TV 15 IN FORT WAYNE, IND. I AM DEEPLY CONCERNED WITH THE FUTURE OF PUBLIC SAFETY WITH THE CONTINUING WEATHER SERVICE CUTS. I HAD ORGANIZED A TASK FORCE AND PETITION DRIVE BEFORE WHICH COLLECTED OVER 200,000 SIGNATURES WHICH I USED TO LOBBY FOR THE PLACEMENT OF AN EXTRA NEXRAD RADAR AND FORECAST OFFICE IN THE FORT WAYNE, INDIANA AREA WHICH WAS FINALLY ACCEPTED LAST YEAR WITH THE RADAR INSTALLATION TO NOW BEGIN NEXT MONTH. SO I KNOW FROM EXPERIENCE WE CAN GET THINGS DONE IF WE PULL TOGETHER AND THIS IS WHAT THIS COMMITTEE IS GOING TO DO NATIONWIDE. THE FOLLOWING IS THE NEWS RELEASE WHICH WENT OUT THROUGHOUT THE COUNTRY ON WEDNESDAY TO ALL MAJOR NETWORKS, NEWSPAPERS AND U.P. & A.P. WIRES. MANY BEGAN RUNNING IT TODAY JUST PRIOR TO DR. FRIDAYS' WEATHER SERVICE CUT ANNOUNCEMENT. NATIONAL ORGANIZATION FORMED TO STAVE OFF WEATHER SERVICE CUTS. CALLING THE FORECAST AND WARNING FUNCTIONS OF THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE A "NATIONAL PRIORITY," CONCERNED EMERGENCY MANAGERS, MEDIA AND BUSINESS REPRESENTATIVES, AND CITIZENS FROM ACROSS THE COUNTRY HAVE FORMED A NEW ORGANIZATION TO HELP ENSURE THE AGENCY IS PROPERLY FUNDED. "WITH THE MISGUIDED BUDGET CUTS COMING OUT OF THE WHITE HOUSE AND CAPITOL HILL, IT SEEMS THAT OUR NATION'S LEADERS ARE DANGEROUSLY CLOSE TO JEOPARDIZING THE SAFETY AND WELL BEING OF MILLIONS OF AMERICANS, SAID RICK MCCOY, THE EMERGENCY MANAGENENT DIRECTOR OF VAN WERT COUNTY, OHIO WHO SERVES AS PRESIDENT OF THE NEW GROUP. "IN A COUNTRY THAT SUFFERS THE WORSE WEATHER ON EARTH, THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CANNOT BE DENIED THE RESOURCES NECESSARY TO PROTECT THE AMERICAN PUBLIC." ACCORDING TO MCCOY, THE WEATHER SERVICE SUFFERED A $36 MILLION CUT IN ITS 1997 BUDGET AND SINCE OCTOBER, WHEN THE BUDGET WAS APPROVED, NO ONE IN THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT HAS INFORMED THE PUBLIC ON HOW THESE CUTS WOULD BE ABSORBED. "WASHINGTON BUREAUCRATS HAVE KEPT THE FUTURE OF THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE A CLOSELY GUARDED SECRET WITH THE PUBLIC BEING FED ONLY BITS AND PIECES ON THE IMPACTS OF THESE CUTS." ACCORDING TO THE EMERGENCY MANAGER, PROPOSALS LEAKING OUT OF WASHINGTON INCLUDE THE CANCELLATION OF PUBLIC 1-800 PHONE NUMBERS FOR WEATHER INFORMATION, TERMINATION OF SERVICE CONTRACTS FOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO TRANSMITTERS, AND SEVERE REDUCTIONS IN TRAINING FOR METEOROLOGISTS. MCCOY HAD PREVIOUSLY ORGANIZED A PETITION DRIVE THAT COLLECTED 200,000 SIGNATURES TO CONVINCE THE WEATHER SERVICE TO FILL A GAP IN DOPPLER RADAR COVERAGE IN OHIO AND INDIANA. "WE WILL BE REACHING OUT TO EMERGENCY MANAGERS, MEDIA, AND EVERYONE ELSE CONCERNED WITH SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE COUNTRY AND MAKE OUR CASE DIRECTLY TO THE CLINTON ADMINISTRATION AND CONGRESS," MCCOY SAID. "IT'S TIME THAT OUR LEADERS STARTED HEARING FROM THE AMERICAN PUBLIC ON THE ISSUE OF WEATHER SERVICE BUDGET CUTS." "THE DEVASTATING TORNADOES WE JUST WITNESSED IN ARKANSAS, PRESIDENT CLINTON'S HOME STATE, AND FLOODING IN THE OHIO VALLEY SHOULD SERVE AS A CALL TO ARMS TO BOLSTER WEATHER SERVICES FOR THE NATION, "MCCOY SAID. "THE WEATHER SERVICE PROVIDED WARNINGS AS IT TRACKED DEADLY STORMS ACROSS ARKANSAS AND VERY WELL SAVED MANY LIVES. WE DON'T BELIEVE THAT THIS TYPE OF SERVICE SHOULD BE TINKERED WITH IN THE NAME OF SAVING A FEW DOLLARS." MCCOY NOTED THAT TEXAS SENATOR KAY BAILEY HUTCHISON AND OTHER CONGRESSIONAL LEADERS HAVE DEMANDED A FULL ACCOUNTING OF POTENTIAL WEATHER SERVICE CUTS AND THEIR IMPACT ON THE AMERICAN PUBLIC. "A FULL ACCOUNTING OF ANY WEATHER SERVICE CUTS IS A GOOD FIRST STEP,"MCCOY SAID, "BUT CONGRESS AND PRESIDENT CLINTON MUST ALSO BE ON NOTICE THAT BUDGET SHORTFALLS THAT IMPACT PUBLIC SAFETY MUST NOT TAKE PLACE." JOING MCCOY IN FORMING AMERICANS UNITED IS ERIC SALNA, CHIEF METEOROLOGIST WITH WZVN TELEVISION IN FORT MYERS, FL, WHO EXPRESSED CONCERN OVER THE WEATHER SERVICE'S ELIMINATION OF FRUIT FROST WARNING AND FIRE PROTECTION PROGRAMS. ACCORDING TO SALNA, "THE WEATHER SERVICE SAVED A MINIMAL AMOUNT OF MONEY WHEN IT ELIMINATED ITS FRUIT FROST PROGRAM AND THEN LEFT FARMERS UNPROTECTED AS A SINGLE FROST THIS WINTER CAUSED ALMOST $300 MILLION IN CROP DAMAGE. THESE ARE NOT THE TYPE OF ECONOMIES OUR WASHINGTON LEADERS SHOULD BE CONSIDERING." THE NEW ORGANIZATION WAS CAREFUL TO PRAISE THE WEATHER SERVICE'S LONG OVERDUE MODERNIZATION EFFORT AS A "GOOD FIRST STEP TOWARD DELIVERING THE TYPE OF WEATHER SERVICES THAT THE NATION DESERVES." MCCOY ADDED, HOWEVER, "WE DON'T WANT THE WEATHER SERVICE TO RECEIVE A NEW CAR AND THEN BE DENIED THE GAS TO RUN IT. ALSO SIGNING ON AS LEADERS OF AMERICANS UNITED ARE: THOMAS GRAZULIS, DIRECTOR OF TORNADO PROJECT IN JOHNBURY, VERMONT;KEVIN KNUPP, PROFESSOR OF ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE AT THE UNIVERSITY OF HUNTSVILLE IN ALABAMA; AND TIM MARSHALL, A METEOROLOGICAL CONSULTANT IN LEWISVILLE, TEXAS. end * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * THE COMMITTEE FEELS THAT THIS IS AN IMPORTANT MOVEMENT THAT WILL EFFECT THE PUBLIC SAFETY OF THIS NATION FOR YEARS TO COME. WE ASK FOR YOUR SUPPORT! WE REALIZE THAT THERE IS ALOT OF SPECULATION ON WHETHER THE FLORIDA FREEZE COULD HAVE BEEN AVERTED BUT THE POINT IS THE PROGRAM WAS CUT AND THAT WAS JUST THE TIP OF THE ICE BERG. CUTS THIS YEAR FOLLOWED BY NEXT YEAR AND FUTURE YEARS WILL PROVE TO BE DEVASTATING. LETTERS WERE BEING MAILED TODAY TO LEADING SENATORS AND CONGRESSMEN IN OUR NATION STRESSING THE COMMITTEES CONCERN. OUR NEXT MOVE WILL INCLUDE MAILINGS TO EMERGENCY MANAGERS NATIONWIDE REQUESTING THAT THEY GET INVOLVED WITH LETTER WRITING CAMPAIGNS ALONG WITH PUBLIC AWARENESS TO THE PEOPLE OF THEIR COUNTY. WE HOPE THAT AMATEUR RADIO CLUBS AND METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY ORGANIZATIONS AND OTHERS ENTERESTED IN WHAT IS HAPPENING WILL GET INVOLVED. WE WILL BE SETTING SUGGESTED DUES OF $10. FOR THE ORGANIZATION TO GENERATE FUNDS FOR CONTINUED MAILINGS TO LOBBY OUR ELECTED LEADERS AND ALSO TO PROVIDE MAILINGS TO THOSE MEMBERS OF OUR ORGANIZATION ON WHAT IS HAPPENING WITHIN THE WEATHER SERVICE AND WHAT THE CLINTON ADMINISTRATION AND CAPITOL HILL DOES WITH THE AGENCY. ANY QUESTIONS, SUGGESTIONS OR A REQUEST FOR A MEMBERSHIP APPLICATION CAN BE ADDRESSED TO: AMERICANS UNITED TO MAINTAIN WEATHER SERVICE FUNDING P.O. BOX 602 VAN WERT, OHIO 45891 ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 20 Mar 1997 to 21 Mar 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Mar 21 14:41:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102338-4602>; Fri, 21 Mar 1997 14:40:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA102254; Fri, 21 Mar 1997 00:27:31 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5000757 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Mar 1997 00:27:16 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA06472 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 1997 00:24:53 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA49454 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 21 Mar 1997 00:24:53 -0600 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199703210624.AA49454@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Mar 1997 00:24:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -210024 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 87339 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z MAR 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210153Z MAR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15N6 160E7 IS NOW NEAR 14N5 158E4. THERE IS NO CONVECTION CLOSE TO THIS LOW-LEVEL CENTER AND IT IS STILL HAS UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL SUPPORT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR9N9 165E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WAS LOCATED AT 15.4S0 148.3E6, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NUMBER 61 (WTPS32 PGTW 210300) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: NICKLAS/MEST/GILL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Mar 21 16:37:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102394-4602>; Fri, 21 Mar 1997 16:37:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA196606; Fri, 21 Mar 1997 02:31:26 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5003793 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Mar 1997 02:31:12 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA196448 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 1997 02:31:11 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA00772 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Mar 1997 02:29:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703210829.CAA00772@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Mar 1997 02:29:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 4 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 672 WTPS32 PGTW 210900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 062 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- 15.5S1 147.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.5S1 147.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 15.8S4 146.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 16.6S3 146.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 17.5S3 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION 15.6S2 147.6E8 TC 32P (JUSTIN) IS CURRENTLY TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS TOWARDS THE AUSTRALIAN COAST. CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED IN PART ON A 210530Z1 SATELLITE INTENSITY ANALYSIS SHOWING 45 KNOTS (DVORAK T2.5/3.0) AND PREVIOUS SCATTEROMETRY DATA. OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS THE SYSTEM HAS INCREASED IN ORGANIZATION AS CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE PREVIOUSLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BEGUN TO INCREASE. THE CURRENT FORECAST CALLS FOR TC 32P TO CONTINUE ON A SOUTHWESTWARD COURSE, MAKE LANDFALL IN ABOUT 24 HOURS, AND TO DISSIPATE OVER LAND. MOST OF OUR DYNAMIC GUIDANCE SUPPORTS THIS SCENARIO. WE EXPECT THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN AS IT BEGINS INTERACT WITH LAND AND BEGINS TO ENTRAIN DRY AIR FROM THE AUSTRALIAN CONTINENT. HOWEVER, THE REDUCTION IN UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (20 KNOTS VS. YESTERDAY=S 40 KNOTS) AS TC 32P GETS CLOSER TO THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE AXIS, THE WEAKNESS IN THE LOW-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (CAUSED BY THE FRONT DRAPED ACROSS THE EASTERN PART OF THE CONTINENT), AND THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH SUPPORTING THIS FRONT BECOMING MORE NEGATIVELY TILTED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS, HAS LED US TO A LOW-PROBABILITY ALTERNATE SCENARIO. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT TC 32P DOES NOT WEAKEN AS FORECAST AND TAKES A MORE SOUTHERLY TURN ALONG THE AUSTRALIAN COASTLINE. THIS TRACK IS SUPPORTED BY CLIMATOLOGY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z9 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WIND AND SEA WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5), 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1), 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3) AND 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Mar 21 22:36:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102413-4602>; Fri, 21 Mar 1997 22:36:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA201026; Fri, 21 Mar 1997 08:23:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5011733 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Mar 1997 08:23:19 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA134124 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 1997 08:23:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA06973 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Mar 1997 08:21:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703211421.IAA06973@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Mar 1997 08:21:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 643 WTPS32 PGTW 211500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 063 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- 15.6S2 147.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S2 147.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 16.0S7 147.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 16.5S2 146.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 17.0S8 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 17.5S3 146.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 18.5S4 146.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 211500Z9 POSITION 15.7S3 147.4E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 3 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS ENTERED AN AREA OF WEAK STEERING FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH A BREAK IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THIS BREAK IS AT THE TRAILING END OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH WHICH IS ATTEMPTING TO ADVECT THE CYCLONE SOUTHWARD, CORRESPONDING TO AN ALTERNATE SCENARIO DISCUSSED IN PREVIOUS WARNINGS. ALL DYNAMIC GUIDANCE IS NOW SUPPORTING SOUTHWARD MOVEMENT THROUGH THE SURFACE RIDGE. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P HAS MOVED UNDER THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE, RESULTING IN A SIGNIFICANT REDUCTION OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE SYSTEM IS NO LONGER FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER WATER, HOWEVER INTERACTION WITH LAND SHOULD INHIBIT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT DESPITE LOWER VERTICAL SHEAR AND WARMER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. INFARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS, RESULTING IN HIGHER DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES BY ALL SATELLITE FIXING SITES. WE DO NOT BELIEVE THAT THIS CORRESPONDS TO AN ACTUAL INCREASE IN INTENSITY, BECAUSE WE HAVE BEEN HOLDING THE WARNING INTENSITY HIGHER THAN THE DVORAK ANALYSIS DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS DUE TO THE TIGHTLY WRAPPED NATURE OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. A LOW PROBABILITY ALTERNATE SCENARIO HAS THE CYCLONE CONTINUING WESTWARD PAST THE BREAK IN THE RIDGE AND DISSIPATING OVER LAND AS PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WIND AND SEA WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1), 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3), 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9) AND 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Mar 22 04:34:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102329-4602>; Sat, 22 Mar 1997 04:33:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA146790; Fri, 21 Mar 1997 14:25:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5015164 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Mar 1997 14:24:53 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA18226 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 1997 14:24:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA15904 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Mar 1997 14:23:02 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703212023.OAA15904@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Mar 1997 14:23:02 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 022 WTPS32 PGTW 212100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 064 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWEST PACIFIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- 16.2S9 147.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.2S9 147.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 17.1S9 146.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 18.0S9 146.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 18.9S8 146.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 19.8S8 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 20.8S0 147.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 212100Z6 POSITION 16.4S1 146.9E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. POSITION BASED ON A BLEND OF SATELLITE, RADAR, AND SYNOPTIC DATA. THE SYSTEM HAS BEGUN TO TURN SOUTHWARD AS PREVIOUSLY FORECAST, AND IS EXPECTED TO RECURVE THROUGH A WEAK AREA IN THE RIDGE. SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST DUE TO THE CYCLONE ENTERING WARMER WATER AND AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR. HOWEVER, INTERACTION WITH LAND WILL INHIBIT MORE SIGNIFICANT INTENSIFICATION. THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN DISSIPATING OVER LAND WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A LOW TO MODERATE PROBABILITY ALTERNATE SCENARIO IS FOR THE CYCLONE TO RECURVE MORE SHARPLY THAN FORECAST, RESULTING IN CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION OVER WATER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WIND AND SEA WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3), 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9), 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6) AND 222100Z7 (DTG 221953Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Mar 22 10:42:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102278-20006>; Sat, 22 Mar 1997 10:42:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA105650; Fri, 21 Mar 1997 20:36:40 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5019813 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Mar 1997 20:36:20 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA86076 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 1997 20:36:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA21135 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Mar 1997 20:34:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703220234.UAA21135@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Mar 1997 20:34:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 975 WTPS32 PGTW 220300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 065 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- 16.8S5 146.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.8S5 146.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 17.7S5 145.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 18.6S5 144.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 19.6S6 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 21.0S3 146.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION 17.0S8 145.8E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA FROM CAIRNS (WMO 94287) AND GREEN ISL (WMO 95289) AS WELL AS SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM 212330Z. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T3.5 (55 KNOTS) AND SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM GREEN ISL. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHWESTWARD AS IT MAKES LANDFALL OVER THE AUSTRALIAN COAST. AFTERWARDS, A WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED AS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE INTERACTS WITH THE GREGORY RANGE AND EVENTUALLY DISSIPATES AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVERLAND. A SOUTHWARD TRACK AFTER 12 HOURS IS EXPECTED AS THE SYSTEM BEGINS TO MOVE THROUGH A WEAKNESS IN THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS; HOWEVER, SHOULD THE SYSTEM WEAKEN MUCH MORE RAPIDLY THAN ANTICIPATED, THEN WESTWARD MOVEMENT FOLLOWING THE SHALLOW LAYER FLOW IS POSSIBLE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO HIGH SEAS AND WINDS WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9), 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6), 222100Z7 (DTG 221953Z2) AND 230300Z8 (DTG 230153Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Mar 22 14:53:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102327-20006>; Sat, 22 Mar 1997 14:53:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA199228; Fri, 21 Mar 1997 23:56:05 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5023520 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Mar 1997 23:55:56 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA64756 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 1997 23:55:54 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA52807 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 21 Mar 1997 23:55:53 -0600 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199703220555.AA52807@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 21 Mar 1997 23:55:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -212355 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 9540 ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600Z MAR 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/220153Z MAR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 158E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13N4 153E9. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE DISTURBANCE REMAINS MOSTLY DISORGANIZED AND WEAK. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ALOFT ARE CURRENTLY UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 220000Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WAS LOCATED AT 16.8S5 146.0E1, MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NUMBER 65 (WTPS32 PGTW 220300) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/BOYER/EBARLE/UROGI// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Mar 23 14:07:40 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA16669 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 1997 14:07:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102261-22977>; Sun, 23 Mar 1997 14:06:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA86248; Sun, 23 Mar 1997 00:04:32 -0600 Message-Id: <199703230604.AAA86248@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Mar 1997 00:00:05 +1800 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 21 Mar 1997 to 22 Mar 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 5 messages totalling 379 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. NWS Cut backs 2. Position accouncement (fwd) 3. !!!JOB!!! USAF WX MSgt. NEEDED !!!JOB!!! 4. NWS Cuts to Kill Many Toledoans (Ohio) 5. Significant Tornadoes Update: 1992-1995 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 22 Mar 1997 00:13:50 -0600 From: Skip Voros Subject: NWS Cut backs The cuts backs...in case you missed them from Gil's SCH. Skip Voros Milwaukee Skywarn... Impacts of Fiscal Year 1997 Budget _________________________________________________________________ March 20, 1997 MEMORANDUM FOR: All NWS Employees FROM: Elbert W. Friday, Jr. Assistant Administrator for Weather Services SUBJECT: Impacts of Fiscal Year (FY) 1997 Budget As many of you are aware, the National Weather Service (NWS) is facing significant budget reductions for FY 1997. I want to share the specific actions we are taking to meet the management challenges created by these reductions and to maintain a viable NWS that will continue to accomplish its core mission responsibilities well into the next century. The NWS base operations budget for FY 1997 is $27.5 million less than the level enacted in FY 1996. The President's FY 1997 budget included $17 million in savings for personnel and administrative streamlining. The Omnibus Appropriations Act of FY 1997 required that another $10.5 million in streamlining reductions be taken in the NWS Headquarters and centralized operations and support activities located in the national capital area. There is no way imaginable that we can absorb all of this permanent reduction without abolishing positions, and as many as 200 positions may be abolished by the end of FY 1997. I am committed to using every tool available to mitigate the effects of this reduction and to minimize the actual number of employees impacted. Most of our operating costs are fixed, primarily in salaries and related expenses, and in overhead such as rents, utilities, and communications. We have been doing everything we can to avoid adverse effects on NWS employees. A stringent hiring freeze was imposed earlier in FY 1996, and the dozens of vacancies that have occurred since then have not been filled so that we can reduce our spending and meet FY 1997 targets, and ultimately avoid impacting employees. We also conducted a NWS-wide review of all activities to identify other streamlining actions we could take that will affect neither our current staff nor the delivery of warnings and forecasts. Our approach to the FY 1997 funding problem includes cuts of both a permanent and temporary nature. A primary way we will achieve the reductions is by accelerating many of the streamlining activities of the NWS modernization and associated restructuring that had been planned to take place over the next several years without changing the overall modernization plan. In the national capital area, among the actions we are taking to accommodate the $10.5 million cut are: phasing out Headquarters transition management activities; reducing Headquarters test and evaluation activities; streamlining D.C. area central computer operations; abolishing non-operational position vacancies; discontinuing Headquarters international operations and support activities; reducing support contracts; curtailing most non-operational travel; and reducing central administrative support. Among the actions we are taking nationwide to meet the remaining $17 million shortfall are: freezing operational equipment replacement efforts; abolishing non-operational position vacancies; accelerating transition program staffing activity; accelerating transition program office closeouts; reducing buoy development activities; reducing university outreach activities; reducing COMET training; reducing central logistics and supply stock levels; deferring NWS central network operations and maintenance; reducing quality control of central guidance products; reducing satellite support services contracts; re-engineering centralized training activities to capitalize on field office distance learning methods; and accelerating the planned consolidation of the four conterminous regions to three, by closing Southern Region headquarters, which has been supported by the NWS since FY 1994 despite a permanent base funding reduction initiated in our FY 1994 appropriations bill. Responsibility for the management and administration of warning and forecast programs and for operational and technical support activities of the Southern Region will be transferred to Central Region headquarters and Eastern Region headquarters. A breakout by NWS organization of the number of encumbered positions that are to be abolished is attached. An NWS team was formed to develop a plan of action to avoid and mitigate the negative affects of the FY 1997 spending cuts on employees. The team is comprised of the six Deputy Regional Directors, NWSEO President Ramon Sierra, and representatives of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction, the Office of Systems Operations, the Office of Management and Budget, and the NOAA Human Resources Office. We know now that a reduction in force (RIF) must be initiated by about the middle of July to achieve the needed FY 1997 reductions. The team has developed a plan in partnership with NWSEO that we hope will result in mitigating the negative impacts of a RIF and that minimizes the number of employees who may be separated involuntarily. Among other actions, the plan includes the following combination of placement/separation measures: continue the nationwide hiring freeze and utilize existing and future funded position vacancies as placement offers and/or as positions for directed reassignments; extend saved grade and pay authority to employees unable to relocate via a reassignment when available lower-graded position vacancies exist in the same commuting area for which the employees are qualified; and request authority through DOC and NOAA from the Office of Management and Budget and the Congress to offer employees a limited number of cost-effective buy outs to generate vacancies we can use for employee placement activity. This is the most difficult of times I have seen in my tenure with the NWS. Despite the adverse situation, I remain committed to providing our career staff with every alternative we can before enacting involuntary separations within the next few months. For every impacted employee who is reassigned, or placed in a vacancy, or who accepts a buy out (if the authority is granted) before the middle of July, we will have reduced the number of employees who may be separated involuntarily. In the weeks ahead, we will be providing updated information to you in many forms. We have established a telephone "hotline" in the NOAA Human Resources Office on (301) 713-0534 x116. We have also established a cc:Mail electronic bulletin board with specific employee information regarding involuntary separations and an interactive cc:Mail mailbox (#97 REDUCTIONS) for employees to use to address their questions and obtain answers about the situation, their entitlements, and the impact of these reductions. The Collective Bargaining Agreement may also be used as a source of information, especially Articles 5 and 15. Bargaining unit employees desiring information about their rights during this difficult time may also contact their local NWSEO steward. Within the next few weeks, employees whose positions will be abolished will be receiving a letter of inquiry along with a list of continuing funded position vacancies that we will use to make placement offers and/or for reassignments. This letter will ask the employees to indicate their interest in assignment to any of those vacancies (and if applicable, their ranked preferences if their interest is in more than one position.) The letter will also request the employees to indicate their interest in accepting a buy out, should we be successful in gaining buy out authority. These responses will form the basis for each servicing Human Resources Office to begin the process of determining which employees will receive formal letters of reassignment, offers of buy out (if applicable), or formal notices of separation. There is little I can say to soften the acute pain associated with this situation, but I pledge that we will "pull out all of the stops" to minimize impacts on our staff. I ask that you continue to work at your same high level of professionalism during this difficult time in the history of the NWS so that the public can continue to be served with excellence. _________________________________________________________________ ENCUMBERED NWS POSITIONS TO BE ABOLISHED IN FY 1997 NWS Organization # Encumbered Positions Abolished Office of the Assistant Administrator, NWS 11 Office of Systems Operations 23 NWS Training Center 4 Southern Region Headquarters 55 National Centers for Environmental Prediction 44 TOTALS 137 _________________________________________________________________ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 22 Mar 1997 09:32:47 -0600 From: "Dr. Paul L Croft" Subject: Position accouncement (fwd) ---------- Forwarded message ---------- Date: Thu, 20 Mar 1997 10:02:53 -0600 Subject: Position accouncement The Department of Physics, Atmospheric Sciences, & General Sciences at Jackson State University announces an opening for a temporary Instructor/Visiting Assistant Professor effective immediately to June 30, 1997. Jackson State University offers a Bachelor of Science degree in atmospheric sciences, and is the only HBCU to offer such a degree. Candidate's primary responsibility will be teaching computer techniques in meteorology classes and providing related support. These topics will include unix, HTML, FORTRAN, graphical packages, numerical methods, and sample model runs (including MM5 demonstrations). Additional responsibilities may include mesoscale modeling, boundary layer modeling, tropical cyclone research, and personal computer/workstation supervision. Background in numerical modeling, oceanography, boundary layer meteorology, tropical meteorology, system administration, and classroom instruction is desirable. Master of Science required (Ph.D. preferred) in meteorology or related sciences. Salary depends on candidate's experience. Appointment ends June 30, 1997, with possibility for renewal depending on job performance and continued availability of grant funding. Please send resume, letter of application, and proof of highest degree (either a copy of transcript or degree) by March 31, 1997. Also include the names of three references with their phone number and e-mail addresses. Please send the information using priority mail to: Dr. Paul Croft Meteorology Program Coordinator Jackson State University Department of Physics, Atmospheric Sciences, and General Sciences 1400 Lynch Street P.O. Box 17660 Jackson, MS 39217-0460 (601) 968-7012 ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 22 Mar 1997 10:13:34 -0600 From: Chris Blanch Subject: !!!JOB!!! USAF WX MSgt. NEEDED !!!JOB!!! !!!!!!!!!!!! JOB !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! If anyone is or knows of an active duty USAF WX Master Sergeant seriously interested in a DAY job doing Weather Training and Standardization in Fayetville, NC please contact: MSgt. Statler @ DSN 239-3150 ASAP! or MSgt. Grell @ DSN 453-2644 COM 701-723-2644 ASAP! !!!!!!!!!!!! JOB !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! -- --------------------------------------------- \******/ Chris Blanch - USAF WX FORECASTER \****/ ((( E-Mail ))) |**| mailto:wxchris@minotafb.ndak.net \*/ ((( WWWeather Homepage ))) @\*\@ http://minot.ndak.net/~wxchris/ @@/*/@@ !!! FQT LTG CLOUD TO OBSERVER !!! --------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 22 Mar 1997 18:12:55 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: NWS Cuts to Kill Many Toledoans (Ohio) In article <01bc370f$0ee5a760$9e770b26@DavidF.Wagener> "DFW" writes: >Well, are we afraid yet? Try scared to death. Last year we had 3 tornadoes, >that I had witnessed and photographed. However, we had one warning issued We who? Toledo had no reported tornados last year... >center, 120 miles to the east. To issue the warnings, there is a direct >hotline from Cleveland to the city...and that line will not be around with >the new round of cuts. This will increase the time to issue the warnings. There is nor ever has been a "direct line" to the city... We are served with Skywarn in the EMA building which does have a phone and radio link back to NWS CLE. >To top it all off, we are currently NOT covered by Doppler radar. There is Yes we are, covered by both Detroit and Cleveland. >coverage area. Before I continue, let me note that Ft. Wayne is already >covered by Indy's and partially Chicago's. Ft Wayne is currently covered by Indy & Grand Rapids, and as you mentioned will have their own in a few months. >As we go into, what people are saying a more active severe season around >here, people are just scared to death. A local tv station, WTOL-TV Channel I've yet to hear someone say they are "scared to death." >11, who is also tired of having no Doppler radar went out and has purchased >their own Doppler system with a 35-50 mile radius. So now we have SOME >coverage. Doppler Radar does not equal NWS 88D radar. What they have offers little in the way of improved coverage for our area. >Needless to say we are on our own again this year. With the upcoming cuts Fortunately we have a very good spotting program in place. And I may be wrong but I don't remember seeing any reports from you regarding storms last season -- if people who see severe weather are just going to sit on it and say "NWS screwed up, they didn't issue a warning" then they have no right to complain... If you see a tornado your first action should be to put yourself into a safe position and report it to the local spotting network / authorities. Rob ////////////////////////////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ Robert P Dale - N8GSK || rdale@norden1.com Meteorologist || rdale@storm.atms.purdue.edu Davidson Crane And Conveyor || dcc@norden1.com InterRAD NIDS Software http://www.stratus.weather.net/~rdale/interrad.html NW Ohio Weather Info http://wx.home.ml.org Northwest Ohio AMS http://nwohams.home.ml.org ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 22 Mar 1997 23:31:55 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Significant Tornadoes Update: 1992-1995 I just received Tom Grazulis' long awaited "Significant Tornadoes" updated book which include the years 1992-1995. While it lists all of the tornadoes ranked F2 or greater during those years, it does much more than that. Photos and illustrations galore really add a nice touch and clarify points made in the text. VORTEX radar and surface air flow images appear during the '94 and 95 seasons where appropriate enhance the reader's understanding of the not only the difficulty in trying to figure out the wind speed in the tornado, but how the tornado and storm appeared to different sources: cameras, radars, and meteorological equipment. The Update also includes an updated, relatively easy to understand explanation of what we know about supercells and the various theories behind tornado formation, including errata that was published in the 1680-1991 "Significant Tornadoes" hardbound book. I actually did find one mistake though. On page 1375, the 5/9/95 Bureau/Lee county, IL tornadoes were described as "probably a family of two tornadoes". There were indeed two; I have a nice photo of both of them on the ground behind a nursing home that a nearby resident sent me from a newspaper and the NWSFO Davenport has a much better photograph of it than in this update as the second one goes through Walnut, IL. Finally, the book concludes with a comprehensive listing of all lightning injuries and fatalities and their locationsin the US, and major lightning catatsrophes from around the world, from 1992-1995. For those doing lightning research, this is an invaluable resource. In any case, this book has kept me riveted to the pages all day long, and it couldn't have come at a better time--in bed most of the day fighting off a spring cold. And whether you have a cold or not doesn't make any difference, this book gets Gilbert's highest rating of four wedges. Shoot...I may have even given it 5 wedges if he hadn't put in those photos of Matt Biddle and Bobby Prentice... ;-) However, back to serious for a moment...don't ask me how to get a copy of it; I just got it in the mail, no note attached, no price on the cover or anything...so darned if I know how you get your hands on one of these... (Cue Mr. Grazulis for a response!) Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 21 Mar 1997 to 22 Mar 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Mar 22 16:27:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102443-20006>; Sat, 22 Mar 1997 16:27:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA65332; Sat, 22 Mar 1997 02:18:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5026061 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Mar 1997 02:18:43 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA124414 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 1997 02:18:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA24102 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Mar 1997 02:16:53 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703220816.CAA24102@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Mar 1997 02:16:53 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 876 WTPS32 PGTW 220900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 066 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- 17.0S8 145.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.0S8 145.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 17.7S5 144.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 18.8S7 143.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 20.0S2 143.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 220900Z3 POSITION 17.2S0 145.0E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER AUSTRALIA. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T3.0 (45 KNOTS) AND A WEAKENING TREND FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND EVENTUALLY DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE ON THE LEEWARD SIDE OF THE GREGORY RANGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z IS 17 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6), 222100Z7 (DTG 221953Z2), 230300Z8 (DTG 230153Z4) AND 230900Z4 (DTG 230753Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Mar 22 21:56:06 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id VAA10826 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 1997 21:56:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102392-20006>; Sat, 22 Mar 1997 21:55:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA29026; Sat, 22 Mar 1997 07:49:49 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5030742 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Mar 1997 07:49:42 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA197432 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 1997 07:49:42 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id HAA27955 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Mar 1997 07:47:52 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703221347.HAA27955@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Mar 1997 07:47:52 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 321 WTPS32 PGTW 221500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 067 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- 17.1S9 144.9E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.1S9 144.9E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 17.8S6 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 18.9S8 143.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 20.3S5 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 221500Z0 POSITION 17.3S1 144.7E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221130Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 221140Z RADAR REPORT FROM CAIRNS (WMO 94287). THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF A SATELLITE-DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ANALYSIS USING THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM GREEN ISLAND (WMO 95289) AND LOW ISLES (WMO 94285). JUSTIN HAS CONTINUED MOVING INLAND AND WEAKENING. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER OVER WATER. THE 35 KNOT WIND RADIUS IS CONFIRMED USING A 221200Z 37 KNOT WIND REPORT FROM GREEN ISLAND (WMO 95289). TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P HAS SLOWED ITS FORWARD MOTION AND IS EXPECTED TO TURN SOUTH INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE INDUCED BY A MID-LATITUDE SYSTEM PASSING BY TO THE SOUTH. JUSTIN IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE DISSIPATING AND BECOME DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND WITHIN 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z7 (DTG 221953Z2), 230300Z8 (DTG 230153Z4), 230900Z4 (DTG 230753Z0) AND 231500Z1 (DTG 231353Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Mar 23 03:54:04 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id DAA13037 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 1997 03:54:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102428-20006>; Sun, 23 Mar 1997 03:53:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA77272; Sat, 22 Mar 1997 13:48:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5036796 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Mar 1997 13:47:59 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA245408 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 1997 13:47:54 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id NAA01187 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Mar 1997 13:46:03 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703221946.NAA01187@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Mar 1997 13:46:03 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 545 WTPS32 PGTW 222100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 068 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- 17.5S3 144.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.5S3 144.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 18.4S3 144.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 19.5S5 144.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 222100Z7 POSITION 17.7S5 144.6E TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221730Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 221800Z RADAR DATA. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF A SATELLITE-DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ANALYSIS USING THE SAME SATELLITE IMAGERY ABOVE AND SURFACE WIND REPORTS FROM GREEN ISLAND (WMO 95289). THE STRONGEST WINDS WITH THIS SYSTEM ARE WELL TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER OVER WATER. JUSTIN IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING GENERALLY TO THE SOUTH AND WEAKEN. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND WITHIN 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8 (DTG 230153Z4), 230900Z4 (DTG 230753Z0) AND 231500Z1 (DTG 231353Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Mar 23 10:45:09 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id KAA15536 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 1997 10:45:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102252-22977>; Sun, 23 Mar 1997 10:44:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA170462; Sat, 22 Mar 1997 20:36:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5044263 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Mar 1997 20:36:18 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA242354 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 1997 20:36:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA05395 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Mar 1997 20:34:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703230234.UAA05395@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 22 Mar 1997 20:34:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 989 WTPS32 PGTW 230300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 069 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- 17.8S6 144.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.8S6 144.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 18.5S4 144.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 19.1S1 145.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 19.8S8 145.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION 18.0S9 144.8E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE GREGORY RANGE. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE IN A GENERALLY SOUTHWARD DIRECTION AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN. A 40 KNOT INTENSITY, HOWEVER, HAS BEEN MAINTAINED THROUGH 24 HOURS AS GALES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG THE COAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z4 (DTG 230753Z0), 231500Z1 (DTG 231353Z7), 232100Z8 (DTG 231953Z3) AND 240300Z9 (DTG 240153Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Mar 24 14:12:34 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA12652 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 1997 14:12:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102325-22690>; Mon, 24 Mar 1997 14:11:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA101716; Mon, 24 Mar 1997 00:09:08 -0600 Message-Id: <199703240609.AAA101716@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Mar 1997 00:03:15 +1800 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 22 Mar 1997 to 23 Mar 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 2 messages totalling 53 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. The NWS cutbacks 2. Tornado safety positioning +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 23 Mar 1997 05:29:20 -0500 From: Howard Robinson Subject: Re: The NWS cutbacks What's it going to take for the people in D.C. to understand what they have done. Many people lives are now in danger because of the cutbacks. I think the only way those ppl in D.C. will do anything about the cutbacks, is when many ppl are killed. Just my two cents worth, sorry for the bad grammer. I wrote this a 5:30 am with very little sleep. Howard Robinson **************************************************************************** ******** Howard Robinson Vice-Chair of College Republicans of GC&SU Georgia College & State University CPO #2530 Milledgeville, Ga 31061 Phone 912-454-0553 Email:hrobins@acs5.gac.peachnet.edu http://acs5.gac.peachnet.edu **************************************************************************** ******** ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 23 Mar 1997 13:00:30 EST From: Tim Vasquez <71611.2267@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: Tornado safety positioning This is a question on behalf of a media person in Tennessee: While covering a school's tornado drill as part of severe weather awareness week, a discrepancy arose about body positioning of the students in the hallways. * Local school guidelines say in a crouched position, head tucked between knees, arms over head to protect neck and head. Back against wall to protect spine. * Local emergency management services co-ordinator has material stating basically same position, except on knees, head toward wall. Of course, assuming that the school isn't levelled, does anyone have any authoritative insight regarding which position is recommended? Any references would also be appreciated. Tim Vasquez author, WeatherGraphix Norman, OK Digital Atmosphere 71611.2267@compuserve.com (405) 573-0700 WeatherGraphix/Digital Atmosphere -- http://www.telepath.com/www/tvasquez/ StormTrack Online -- http://www.telepath.com/www/storm/ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 22 Mar 1997 to 23 Mar 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Mar 23 14:34:22 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA16782 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 1997 14:34:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102258-22977>; Sun, 23 Mar 1997 14:33:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA84374; Sun, 23 Mar 1997 00:23:10 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5047691 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Mar 1997 00:22:55 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA117718 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 1997 00:13:47 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA57679 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 23 Mar 1997 00:13:46 -0600 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199703230613.AA57679@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Mar 1997 00:13:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -230013 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 32844 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z MAR 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/230153Z MAR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 153E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 150E6. THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE HAD INCREASED OVER NIGHT AND INTO THE LATE MORNING; HOWEVER, CONVECTION OVER THE PAST FOUR HOURS HAS WEAKENED AND BECOME DISORGANIZED. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES THE CIRCULATION CENTER IS WEAK AND THE POSSIBILITY THAT ANOTHER WEAK CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE MAIN CENTER. WATER VAPOR- DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE DISTURBANCE IS CURRENTLY LOCATED BENEATH DIFFLUENT UPPER-LEVEL WINDS AND IN A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. THIS FAVORS INCREASED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY, BUT IS NOT EXPECTED TO OCCUR UNTIL THE CONVECTIVE MAXIMUM PERIOD DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. MAXIMUM PERIOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 230000Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WAS LOCATED AT 17.8S6 144.8E7, MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NUMBER 69 (WTPS32 PGTW 230300) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/BOYER/EBARLE/UROGI// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Mar 23 16:36:34 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id QAA17497 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 1997 16:36:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102254-22977>; Sun, 23 Mar 1997 16:35:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA208372; Sun, 23 Mar 1997 02:28:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5049475 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Mar 1997 02:28:51 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA219362 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 1997 02:28:50 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA08089 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Mar 1997 02:26:59 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703230826.CAA08089@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Mar 1997 02:26:59 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 914 WTPS32 PGTW 230900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 070 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- 18.3S2 145.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.3S2 145.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 19.0S0 146.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 19.8S8 147.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 20.5S7 148.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 21.5S8 150.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 23.1S6 154.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 230900Z4 POSITION 18.5S4 145.5E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA FROM CARDWELL (WMO 94292), SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 230530Z, AND RADAR DATA FROM TOWNSVILLE (WMO 94294). THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD AND WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AS IT REMAINS OVERLAND. BY 48 HOURS, THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER WATER AND REINTENSIFY ONLY SLIGHTLY AS IT WILL BE MOVING INTO A STRONGER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z1 (DTG 231353Z7), 232100Z8 (DTG 231953Z3), 240300Z9 (DTG 240153Z5) AND 240900Z5 (DTG 240753Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Mar 23 21:57:37 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id VAA19541 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 1997 21:57:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102320-22977>; Sun, 23 Mar 1997 21:57:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA64572; Sun, 23 Mar 1997 07:49:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5055018 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Mar 1997 07:48:25 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA140500 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 1997 07:48:20 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id HAA11661 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Mar 1997 07:46:30 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703231346.HAA11661@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Mar 1997 07:46:30 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 061 WTPS32 PGTW 231500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 071 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- 18.7S6 146.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.7S6 146.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 19.3S3 148.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 20.0S2 149.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 20.7S9 151.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 21.5S8 153.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 22.6S0 158.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 231500Z1 POSITION 18.8S7 146.7E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231100Z SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM CARDWELL (WMO 94292) AND LUCINDA POINT (WMO 94295), SUPPLEMENTED BY A 231200Z RADAR REPORT FROM TOWNSVILLE (WMO 94294) AND A 231130Z SATELLITE FIX USING INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 45 KNOTS IS BASED ON A SATELLITE- DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE USING THE SAME SATELLITE IMAGERY. JUSTIN HAS INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED AND HAS REEMERGED OVER WATER NEAR INGHAM. THIS, AND CONTINUED FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS LED TO AN INCREASE IN FORECAST INTENSITY FOR JUSTIN DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. AFTER 36 HOURS, JUSTIN IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS STRONGER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GENERAL MOTION TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST IS FORECAST TO PERSIST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P IS STEERED TO THE EAST BETWEEN A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH AND MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES TO THE SOUTH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z IS 17 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z8 (DTG 231953Z3), 240300Z9 (DTG 240153Z5), 240900Z5 (DTG 240753Z1) AND 241500Z2 (DTG 241353Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Mar 24 04:00:10 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id EAA21678 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 1997 04:00:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102452-22977>; Mon, 24 Mar 1997 03:59:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA196678; Sun, 23 Mar 1997 13:52:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5062211 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Mar 1997 13:52:34 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA92416 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 1997 13:52:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id NAA14670 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Mar 1997 13:50:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703231950.NAA14670@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Mar 1997 13:50:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 094 WTPS32 PGTW 232100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 072 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231800Z4 --- 18.9S8 146.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 105 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.9S8 146.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 19.4S4 148.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 20.0S2 150.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 20.6S8 152.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 21.3S6 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 22.6S0 158.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 232100Z8 POSITION 19.0S0 147.3E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 231700Z SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORT FROM TOWNSVILLE (WMO 94294), AS WELL AS A 231820Z RADAR REPORT FROM TOWNSVILLE AND 231730Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 45 KNOTS IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE (DVORAK 3.0). JUSTIN IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY THROUGH 24 HOURS, THEN WEAKEN. EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z9 (DTG 240153Z5), 240900Z5 (DTG 240753Z1), 241500Z2 (DTG 241353Z8) AND 242100Z9 (DTG 241953Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Mar 24 10:04:18 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id KAA25236 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 1997 10:04:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102325-22690>; Mon, 24 Mar 1997 10:03:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA170330; Sun, 23 Mar 1997 19:55:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5068303 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Mar 1997 19:53:59 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA199804 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 1997 19:53:57 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA85362 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 23 Mar 1997 19:53:57 -0600 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199703240153.AA85362@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Mar 1997 19:53:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -231953 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 25199 ABPW10 PGTW 240130 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240130Z/240600Z MAR 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/230153Z MAR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 150E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 146E1. THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE HAD INCREASED OVER NIGHT AND INTO THE LATE MORNING. CONVECTION OVER THE PAST THREE HOURS IS WEAKENING. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CIRCULATION CENTER IS NOT WELL DEFINED. WATER VAPOR- DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE DISTURBANCE IS CURRENTLY LOCATED BENEATH DIFFLUENT UPPER-LEVEL WINDS AND IN A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT, WHICH HAS BEEN ENHANCING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY, ESPECIALLY DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS DURING THE CONVECTIVE MAXIMUM PERIOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 5N5 147E2. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH MINIMAL CONVECTION. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE DISTURBANCE IS CURRENTLY LOCATED BENEATH LIGHT-TO-MODERATE UPPER LEVEL WINDS WHICH IS CURRENTLY INHIBITING DEEP CONVECTION FROM BUILDING OVER THE DISTURBANCE. THIS DISTURBANCE HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 230000Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WAS LOCATED AT 17.8S6 144.8E7, MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NUMBER 69 (WTPS32 PGTW 230300) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/BOYER/EBARLE/UROGI// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Mar 24 11:44:10 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id LAA03971 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 1997 11:44:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102276-22690>; Mon, 24 Mar 1997 11:43:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA78412; Sun, 23 Mar 1997 21:34:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5069249 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Mar 1997 21:33:19 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA84450 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 1997 21:33:04 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA19439 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Mar 1997 20:55:19 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703240255.UAA19439@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 23 Mar 1997 20:55:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 431 WTPS32 PGTW 240300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 073 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- 19.5S5 147.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.5S5 147.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 20.1S3 149.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 20.7S9 150.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 21.3S6 151.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 21.9S2 152.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION 19.7S7 148.2E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 09 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM=S INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 232330Z DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY NUMBER 3.0 (45 KNOTS). VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS SHEARING DUE TO STRONG UPPER- LEVEL NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY WINDS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS AHEAD OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE AS AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM MOVES FURTHER EASTWARD. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY 48 HOURS AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO A VERY STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z5 (DTG 240753Z1), 241500Z2 (DTG 241353Z8), 242100Z9 (DTG 241953Z4) AND 250300Z0 (DTG 250153Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Mar 24 16:22:30 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id QAA14200 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 1997 16:22:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102535-22690>; Mon, 24 Mar 1997 16:21:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA168754; Mon, 24 Mar 1997 02:15:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5070991 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Mar 1997 02:15:07 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA219228 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 1997 02:15:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA22552 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Mar 1997 02:13:17 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703240813.CAA22552@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Mar 1997 02:13:17 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 849 WTPS32 PGTW 240900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 074 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240600Z2 --- 19.7S7 148.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.7S7 148.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 20.5S7 150.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 21.5S8 152.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 22.5S9 153.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 23.4S9 154.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 240900Z5 POSITION 19.9S9 149.1E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA AT 05Z FROM BOWEN (WMO 94366) AND HOOK REEF. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-BASED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY NUMBER OF 3.0 (45 KNOTS). NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE FORECAST REASONING FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW ITS FORWARD MOTION AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS AHEAD OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY AFTER 36 HOURS AS IT MOVES INTO A STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z2 (DTG 241353Z8), 242100Z9 (DTG 241953Z4), 250300Z0 (DTG 250153Z6) AND 250900Z6 (DTG 250753Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Mar 24 16:43:52 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id QAA14303 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 1997 16:43:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102537-22690>; Mon, 24 Mar 1997 16:43:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA220812; Mon, 24 Mar 1997 02:30:58 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5071014 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Mar 1997 02:30:48 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA146794 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 1997 02:30:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA22603 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Mar 1997 02:28:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703240828.CAA22603@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Mar 1997 02:28:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 008 WTPS32 PGTW 240900 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 074A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240600Z2 --- 19.7S7 148.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.7S7 148.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 20.5S7 150.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 21.5S8 152.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 22.5S9 153.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 23.4S9 154.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WATER --- REMARKS: 240900Z5 POSITION 19.9S9 149.1E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA AT 05Z FROM BOWEN (WMO 94366) AND HOOK REEF. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-BASED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY NUMBER OF 3.0 (45 KNOTS). NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE FORECAST REASONING FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW ITS FORWARD MOTION AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS AHEAD OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY AFTER 36 HOURS AS IT MOVES INTO A STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z2 (DTG 241353Z8), 242100Z9 (DTG 241953Z4), 250300Z0 (DTG 250153Z6) AND 250900Z6 (DTG 250753Z2). JUSTIFICATION: ADDED COMMENT TO THE 48 HOUR POSIT, DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Mar 24 21:57:04 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id VAA16277 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 1997 21:57:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102276-18096>; Mon, 24 Mar 1997 21:56:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA68178; Mon, 24 Mar 1997 07:50:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5072521 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Mar 1997 07:50:42 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA109554 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 1997 07:50:41 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id HAA27382 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Mar 1997 07:48:51 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703241348.HAA27382@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Mar 1997 07:48:51 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 410 WTPS32 PGTW 241500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 075 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- 20.0S2 149.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.0S2 149.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 20.6S8 150.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 21.5S8 151.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION 20.2S4 149.3E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THIS WARNING IS RELOCATED BASED ON SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM HOOK REEF AND HAMILTON ISLAND (WMO 94368). THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ANALYSIS USING 241130Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN A GENERAL MOTION TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST. IT WILL REMAIN IN STEERING FLOW BETWEEN A MID-LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM TO THE NORTHEAST AND WESTERLIES TO THE SOUTH. JUSTIN HAS BEGUN TO WEAKEN MORE RAPIDLY. THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS BECOME SHEARED 60 NM TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS WEAKENING TREND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE DUE TO PERSISTENT STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER WITHIN 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z9 (DTG 241953Z4), 250300Z0 (DTG 250153Z6) AND 250900Z6 (DTG 250753Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Mar 25 04:57:11 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id EAA20811 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 1997 04:57:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102419-18096>; Tue, 25 Mar 1997 04:56:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA197564; Mon, 24 Mar 1997 14:45:32 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5076471 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Mar 1997 14:44:58 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA68164 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 1997 14:44:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA07129 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Mar 1997 14:43:07 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703242043.OAA07129@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Mar 1997 14:43:07 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 790 WTPS32 PGTW 242100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 076 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- 20.6S8 150.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.6S8 150.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 21.5S8 151.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 18 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 18 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 21.9S2 152.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 242100Z9 POSITION 20.8S0 150.5E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241730Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM CREAL REEF (WMO 94371) AND MACKAY (WMO 94367). THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ANALYSIS USING THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED SATELLITE IMAGERY. JUSTIN CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN AND MOVE EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER WITHIN 18 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z IS 11 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250300Z0 (DTG 250153Z6) AND 250900Z6 (DTG 250753Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Mar 25 10:36:33 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id KAA23472 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 1997 10:36:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102387-7232>; Tue, 25 Mar 1997 10:35:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA174866; Mon, 24 Mar 1997 20:23:23 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5079104 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Mar 1997 20:23:06 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA250950 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 1997 20:23:05 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA13097 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Mar 1997 20:21:13 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199703250221.UAA13097@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Mar 1997 20:21:13 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 140 WTPS32 PGTW 250300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NR 077 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- 20.7S9 150.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.7S9 150.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 21.5S8 151.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION 20.9S1 150.8E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS MOVING EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED RAPIDLY DUE TO INTENSE UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY WIND SHEAR WHICH HAS SEPARATED THE DEEP CONVECTION FROM THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER BY OVER 100 NM. THE REMNANTS OF TC 32P ARE MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. WARNING HAS BEEN RELOCATED TO REFLECT SLOWER ALONG TRACK PROGRESS THAN INDICATED BY FIXES TAKEN DURING THE NIGHT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS WARNINGS FOR TANDEM THRUST EXERCISE 97 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Mar 25 14:10:07 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA26407 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 1997 14:10:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102500-7232>; Tue, 25 Mar 1997 14:09:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA228162; Mon, 24 Mar 1997 23:58:50 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5080749 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Mar 1997 23:58:39 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA212226 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 1997 23:58:33 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA45225 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 24 Mar 1997 23:58:33 -0600 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199703250558.AA45225@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 24 Mar 1997 23:58:33 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -242358 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 22950 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z MAR 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250153Z MAR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 145E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 09N9 142E7. THERE IS CURRENTLY NO DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM. SYNOPTIC REPORTS AND LOW LEVEL CLOUD DRIFT DERIVED WINDS DO NOT SUPPORT A CIRCULATION AT THE SURFACE, INDICATING THAT ROTATION MAY BE CONFINED TO MID LEVELS. WATER VAPOR-DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WHICH MAY ENHANCE DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 147E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6N6 146E1. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA CONTINUE TO INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THERE IS CURRENTLY NO DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED BENEATH AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH MAY ENHANCE DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WAS LOCATED AT 20.7S9 150.4E0, MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED TO BE A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) WARNING NUMBER 77 (WTPS32 PGTW 250300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH SCATTERED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS LOCATED NEAR 18S9 171E9. VISIBLE, INFARED, AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE THIS SYSTEM TO BE VERY LOOSELY ORGANIZED. THE SYSTEM=S LOCATION BENEATH AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR MAY ENHANCE DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/HAM/BOYD// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Mar 26 14:17:48 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA13695 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 1997 14:17:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102360-20656>; Wed, 26 Mar 1997 14:16:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA203480; Wed, 26 Mar 1997 00:12:34 -0600 Message-Id: <199703260612.AAA203480@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Mar 1997 00:07:05 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 24 Mar 1997 to 25 Mar 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 8 messages totalling 336 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. ADMINISTRIVIA: LISTSERV SYSTEM CRASH 2. Archived Nexrads! 3. Tornado Percentage 4. Co-op positions available 5. GAO report on NOAA 6. URGENT!!! BUDGET CUTS/McPherson (fwd) 7. 8. Dr. McPherson on TODAY & CSPAN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 25 Mar 1997 11:31:37 CST From: Chris Novy - WA9V Subject: ADMINISTRIVIA: LISTSERV SYSTEM CRASH The PO.UIUC.EDU LISTSERV had some kind of nasty crash yesterday and this has caused a backlog in mail processing. It *appears* that Systems has resolved the problem --as I just received this morning's SPC log via WX-STORM. Hopefully the problem has *really* been fixed and the backlog isn't too large. If you posted something to WX-TALK, WX-CHASE, or SKYWARN please be patient. In theory, everything posted should eventually get processed. ..Chris.. --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. Phone: (618)453-1683(w) or (618)457-6149(h) Morris Library MC:6632 FAX: (618)453-3440 Systems Administration Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 25 Mar 1997 09:49:07 -0500 From: Matt Rosier Subject: Archived Nexrads! I've just put up some nexrad images from TOP (Topeka, KS) and MCI radar sites (Kansas City, MO) of lastnight's severe weather in Eastern Kansas and Missouri. You can check it out at: http://www.carr.lib.md.us/~mattr/archive.htm Enjoy! Matt Rosier ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 25 Mar 1997 12:31:30 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: Tornado Percentage Fred Ostby attempted to post this to WX-TALK but LISTSERV had his account served out. I have restored his WX-TALK service and I am re-posting his article for him. ..Chris.. >Date: 24 Mar 1997 13:10:29 -0500 >From: "Frederick P. Ostby" >Subject: Re: Tornado Percentage A couple of weeks ago, someone asked about tornado percentages, to which Eric Gross replied: >Approximately: > >F0-F1 (Weak) Tornadoes 75% >F2-F3 (Strong) Tornadoes 24% >F4-F5 (Violent) Tornadoes 1% or less As one who anaylzed these data for a number of years in a previous life, I can assure you that the percentages are in need of updating. For example, since 1984, the percent of weak tornadoes reported has never fallen below 80%: F0-F1(Weak) F2-F3(Strong) F4-F5(Violent) 1984 80% 19% 2% 1985 83 16 1 1986 82 18 0 (less than 0.5%) 1987 88 11 0 1988 85 15 0 1989 86 13 1 1990 81 17 1 1991 87 13 1 1992 86 13 1 1993 90 9 1 1994 89 10 0 1995 90 9 1 1996 not available What has caused increased reporting of weak tornadoes and the "skewing" of the percentages? Weak tornadoes that previously went undetected are now being "captured" with increasing frequency. Possibile reasons include the increased emphasis on "accountibility (i.e., verification), increased population, more storm chasers, spotters, backyard camcorders, WSR-88Ds, etc., some of which I discussed in my paper: "The Changing Nature of Tornado Climatology" at the 17th Conf. on Severe Local Storms. Of course, as many others have pointed out, the whole business of F-scale estimates can be on pretty shakey ground. Suffice it to say with the trend noted above, we will likely continue to see F0/F1 tornadoes around the 90% level. I realize this thread is a few weeks old but yours truly has been out of town. Fred Ostby (fostby@ibm.net) "I want to die in my sleep like my grandfather ... Not screaming and yelling like the passengers in his car." ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 25 Mar 1997 20:59:00 GMT From: Judy Ghirardelli Subject: Co-op positions available WX-TALK, I am posting this for Dr. Stephan Smith. Please pass this notice on to anyone who might be interested, and direct any questions you might have to Dr. Smith. - Judy Ghirardelli -- The Techniques Development Laboratory (TDL) of the National Weather Service is now accepting applications for co-op students who can start work at TDL in the Summer or Fall of 1997. To find out more about TDL and the co-op student program, check out our homepage at http://tgsv5.nws.noaa.gov/tdl/ or contact: Dr. Stephan B. Smith Co-op Student Program Coordinator (301) 713-1774 x180 Stephan.Smith@noaa.gov smith@thunder.nws.noaa.gov ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 25 Mar 1997 16:31:50 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: GAO report on NOAA Full testimony available online... National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration: Weather Service Modernization and NOAA Corps Issues (Testimony, 03/13/97, GAO/T-AIMD/GGD-97-63). Pursuant to a congressional request, GAO discussed: (1) preliminary findings of its ongoing audit work relating to the National Weather Service's (NWS) Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System (AWIPS), the linchpin of NWS' $4.5-billion modernization program; (2) its report concerning the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association's (NOAA) Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) system, which plays a vital role in weather forecasting; and (3) findings from its report on the NOAA Commissioned Corps, relating to issues involving Corps officers' receiving military pay, allowances, and benefits. GAO noted that: (1) the NWS modernization has entailed acquiring and putting into operation new and vastly more capable weather observing systems; (2) through AWIPS, the NWS expects to tap a reservoir of data from its new observing systems, data that its current, aging processing and communications system cannot handle; (3) after early successes in demonstrating the technical feasibility of system functions, design problems and disagreements between NOAA and the development contractor stymied progress; (4) on the recommendation of an independent review team, some development responsibility was brought in-house, to NWS/NOAA labs, in 1995; (5) the AWIPS strategy was changed again in 1996, when even more development responsibility, for AWIPS data acceptance, processing, and display capabilities, was brought in-house, primarily to NOAA's Forecast Systems Laboratory (FSL); (6) at that time, NWS decided to use FSL's prototype system, called Weather Forecast Office-Advanced which was being developed parallel to AWIPS as a risk-reduction tactic; (7) with these changes, NWS expects AWIPS to be fully deployed in 1999 at a total cost of $550 million; (8) GOES satellites in the current series will begin to reach the end of their useful lives about 2002; (9) NOAA is now in the process of planning the procurement of replacements for these satellites, which need to be procured quickly to prevent a gap in coverage as the current series runs out; (10) GAO found NOAA's near term approach reasonable, competitively procuring two to four GOES spacecraft that will carry the same meteorological instruments as the current series, with modest improvements; (11) a new GOES design might better meet the evolving needs of forecasters and improve performance as well as reduce costs; (12) GAO's greatest concern in this area is with NOAA's delay in conducting an analysis of the technological options and developing specific plans for the follow-up series; (13) generally, the NOAA Corps does not meet criteria for receiving military compensation; (14) if a decision to convert Corps officers to civilian status were made, a transition plan would need to consider, along with the time period to accomplish the change: (a) retirement benefits/credits to be allotted to officers who are converted to civilian capacity; (b) resources needed for potential recruitment, training, and retention of civilian employees who might replace Corps members choosing to leave. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 25 Mar 1997 17:17:59 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: URGENT!!! BUDGET CUTS/McPherson (fwd) >From a source which will remain unnamed: HEADS UP! Ron McPherson will appear on the TODAY show Wednesday between 7-7:30 AM and again on C-SPAN at 9:10AM. He's been asked to appear to discuss the NWS budget cuts and his prospective resignation (in protest) if they come to fruition. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 25 Mar 1997 17:53:33 -0600 From: Michael Land Subject: All, A couple of announcements here - 1. I have found an error in my HTML code that prevented an entire section of the Wx-Talk Homepage (http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html) from displaying on the menu. The entire "Back Issues and Archives" section was missing. This error has been corrected, and I apologize for any inconvenience or confusion caused. 2. Rob Dale requested information on a program to convert raw rawinsonde files to SHARP useable files. I wrote such a program for my own use a while back and after some consideration and a bit of re-coding, I have made the executable files available for all. The .ZIP file is available on my homepage at: http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/raobsort.html The program will take one raw rawinsonde file (commonly available on the net) and create the neccessary SHARP usable files in the correct format. Full details and the .ZIP file can be found on the web page. This program is in it's infancy and no doubt, someone will find a bug in the code. But it is there for your use. I will answer any questions and do my best to help you find solutions to any problems you encounter. A re-write of the code is planned sometime in the future. Thanks, *-------------------------------------------------------------* * Michael Land - Meteorologist - Surface Systems Inc. * * St. Louis, MO * *-------------------------------------------------------------* *landmb@inlink.com - http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/ * *Info on Wxtalk: http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html * *-------------------------------------------------------------* *"An ill wind comes arising. Across the cities of the plains"* * * *-------------------------------------------------------------* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 25 Mar 1997 19:32:18 -0500 From: Nancy Merckle Subject: Dr. McPherson on TODAY & CSPAN Just a quick note for those of you following the NWS Cuts. According to a loudspeaker announcement made at my building (NOAA Science Center / World Weather Building) earlier today, Dr. Ronald McPherson will be appearing on the TODAY show at 7:14 AM Wednesday March 26th followed by an appearance on CSPAN at 9:10 AM. Both times are EST. Nancy -------------------------------------------------------------- nancym@clark.net .......... http://www.clark.net/pub/nancym/ -------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 24 Mar 1997 to 25 Mar 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Mar 26 14:29:09 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA13722 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 1997 14:29:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102360-20656>; Wed, 26 Mar 1997 14:28:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA232156; Wed, 26 Mar 1997 00:16:12 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5089779 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Mar 1997 00:15:57 -0600 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA223670 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 1997 00:15:56 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA35443 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 26 Mar 1997 00:15:56 -0600 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199703260615.AA35443@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 26 Mar 1997 00:15:56 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -260015 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 24944 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z MAR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 09N9 142E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 06N6 135E9. A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER CONTINUES TO BE EVIDENT IN VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY, BUT NO DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM. WATER VAPOR-DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WHICH MAY ENHANCE DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 146E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5N5 143E8. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA CONTINUE TO INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THERE HAS BEEN NO DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED BENEATH AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH MAY ENHANCE DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 32P (JUSTIN) ARE QUASI-STATIONARY NEAR 20.7S9 150.4E0. A TIGHTLY WRAPPED EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS CLEARLY VISIBLE ON INFRARED AND VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. A SMALL AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 50 NM SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN THIS AREA SHOULD INHIBIT REDEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18S9 171E9 SHOWS LITTLE DEFINITION AND NO ORGANIZED CONVECTION. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/HAM/BOYD// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Mar 27 14:26:59 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA25813 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 1997 14:26:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102610-15219>; Thu, 27 Mar 1997 14:26:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA233574; Thu, 27 Mar 1997 00:15:35 -0600 Message-Id: <199703270615.AAA233574@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 27 Mar 1997 00:07:09 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 25 Mar 1997 to 26 Mar 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 12 messages totalling 467 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Tropical Cyclone "Justin" 2. SPC Home Page update 3. KMGH Denver replaces Pam Daale for not hyping weather... 4. NWS cuts (2) 5. Weather Paging Services 6. Budget Cuts make CNN 7. US TODAY INTERVIEW WITH FRIDAY & McPHERSON 8. Significant Tornadoes 1992-1995 Update 9. School saftey in tornadic situations 10. Reaction from within: NWS cuts... 11. ASOS Commissioning Notice +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 26 Mar 1997 06:58:00 GMT0 From: Norman Lynagh Subject: Tropical Cyclone "Justin" Tropical cyclone dissipated earlier today (25th March)off the central coast of Queensland, Australia. Interestingly, the point of dissipation was only about 400 nautical miles from where the disturbance was first detected more than 3 weeks ago, on 2nd March. It must be unusual for such a long-lived cyclone to end up so close to where it formed. Norman Lynagh ========================================================================== Norman Lynagh Weather Consultancy Tel: +44 (0)1494 870220 Chalfont St. Giles Fax: +44 (0)1494 870221 Buckinghamshire E-mail: lynagh@dial.pipex.com England ========================================================================== ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 26 Mar 1997 03:38:28 -0500 From: Roger Edwards Subject: SPC Home Page update The SPC Home Page has some important updates: 1) Outlook graphics are back. There are still a few bugs to be worked out, primarily with the day-2 graphic and with links from the text outlook files' header icons; but we hope to get those bugs eradicated in the next couple days. Please have patience! 2) A purely factual listing of SPC bulletins we will lose due to the job cuts here, containing links to the description of each product within the "About SPC Products" page. 3) A new "Cool Image" of a series of gravity waves and resulting severe hailstorm over deep south TX, which contains a links to a full set of 9 chronological images of this highly unusual event. [If someone is willing to slap together an MPEG loop from those, I'll gladly use it too and give him/her full credit!] --------------- ***No disclaimer necessary; this is official business *** "Stop, for the sake ===== Roger Edwards ===== of my sanity!" SPC Forecaster -- 2 chase partners, 5 years apart former NHC Forecaster "I FEAST ON THE SMORGASBORD OF ATMOSPHERIC VIOLENCE." ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 26 Mar 1997 02:08:25 -0800 From: William Kucharski Subject: KMGH Denver replaces Pam Daale for not hyping weather... KMGH, Denver's channel 7, has decided to replace Pam Daale as their primary weather forecaster with Steve Paulson from Chicago's WBBM TV. According to the Denver Post, sources said KMGH's news director was critical of Daale's style and had pushed her to provide "more agressive" forecasts. Here's the critical section of the article: As an example, Daale said, "when I talk about tornado warnings, I would rather be calming. The agressive approach is almost hyping - "These people are being pounded!" That's not me. KMGH's news director, Melissa Klinzing, used to be news director at an OKC station. Hmmm, aggressive hype-ish weather forecasts? OKC news? Naaaah.... William Kucharski kucharsk@netcom.com ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 26 Mar 1997 02:48:57 -0600 From: Roger Edwards Subject: Re: NWS cuts Surely you didn't think I could stay quiet on this for too long! :-) All the obvious points have been made; but let me give you some more to consider. ........................................ On Tue, 25 Mar 1997, Cliff Nelson typed: > Granted. But I think peoples' greatest concern isn't competition for NWS > "forecasting" per se; it's cuts to SPC and TPC staff specialists in > particular, and the implied shirking of warning responsibility by the > government. Cliff hits an important point that I haven't seen discussed yet. By making the choice to cut essential, specialized forecaster positions at national centers (SPC, NHC, AWC, HPC), the core mission and legal mandate of the NWS (protection of life and property) is being overtly violated. Period. > We're talking here about a relatively few positions costing rather > little money, but filling stupendously responsible jobs. Tornado watches > and warnings, and hurricane statements, belong in the hands of the *only > final arbiter* we all have in common: the federal government. Actually, there won't be any direct changes to tornado warnings. Indirectly, however, warning quality and value could each suffer at night due to lack of conceptual guidance and the "forest-from-the-trees" perspective currently available in outlooks, mesoscale discussions and watch status reports. That may seem esoteric, but the hard fact is that a lot of forecast guidance will be lost to not only local NWS offices, but to emergency managers, media meteorologists and non-media private sector forecasters. The quality and value of night-shift hurricane and tornado watches, and hurricane warnings, are in great jeopardy as well due to 1) Workload overload in the event of multiple threat areas and 2) Forecasters waking up, coming in cold, and immediately needing to crank out (tornado and hurricane) watches and (hurricane) warnings which will directly affect hundreds of thousands of people. I think Bob Sheets' well-publicized firehouse analogy said it best. Also not yet mentioned in this matter: the sheer economic nonsense of these cuts. Think about the money it will cost taxpayers to move the relocated forecasters whose jobs are eliminated -- which could be well over $20,000 per forecaster if there are home-ownership transactions and reimbursements involved. This is a substantial fraction of each one's FY 97 cost in salary -- which ultimately is NOT saved in the NWS-wide budget, since the forecasters' salaries are merely shifted from national centers to vacancies in field offices. There are also more indirect administrative costs associated with moving people around the country. Also, whichever two SPC forecasters are moved will have *already* cost tens of thousands of dollars in moving expenses (from KC to Norman) during *this* fiscal year! IOW - in effort to save money in one domain (NCEP), NWS as a whole takes a net loss. Only in government is that called savings. Ultimately, this was brought about by pinheads who wield enormous fiscal power over functions with which they are blindly unfamiliar. As Rich Thompson said a couple days ago, what you do about it is your call... Speaking of course as a private citizen (albeit one with unusually intimate insight into the event!)... ------------------------- *** No disclaimer necessary; this is my personal account! *** "Gimme the @$#% camera! You have ===== Roger Edwards ===== no common sense at all!" ( ) Forecaster - former NSSL chase partner former NHC Forecaster :::::::::: http://www.wildstar.net/~tornado :::::::::: "I FEAST ON THE SMORGASBORD OF ATMOSPHERIC VIOLENCE." ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 26 Mar 1997 05:47:32 GMT From: Jon Nichols Subject: Re: Weather Paging Services Thomas and Karen Mitchell wrote: >Does anyone have any experience with commercial services who will page >you with watches, warnings, zone forecast changes, etc.? >Thanks. I have used a product that my local paging company (Westlink paging in MPLS in MN.) and have not had good luck. They do two forecasts a day and any watches or warnings for our area. The forecasts are OK but that watches and warnings are ALWAYS LATE. One storm in specific I NEVER got the page and another the warning had been out for 30 mins and the storm was almost over before I recieved it. So try at your own risk. And NEVER use them as your only source for severe weather info. (My personal feelings that is.) ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 26 Mar 1997 06:23:00 GMT From: "Paul Britton Jr." Subject: Budget Cuts make CNN Good Evening, The budget cuts are making more noise...CNN's John Zarella posted a report here http://www.cnn.com/WEATHER/9703/25/weather.service.cuts/index.html and a story on Ron McPherson possibly quitting to save crucial job cuts....here.. http://www.cnn.com/WEATHER/9703/24/forecaster.quits.ap/index.html Paul Britton Jr. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 26 Mar 1997 08:29:22 -0500 From: Rick McCoy Subject: US TODAY INTERVIEW WITH FRIDAY & McPHERSON SINCE THE FORMING OF OUR NATIONAL ORGANIZATION LAST WEEK AND THE PRESS RELEASE THAT WE ISSUED, RESPONSE AROUND THE COUNTRY FROM INDUVIDUALS ANS THE MEDIA CONTINUES TO COME IN. AS ALL THE SPLINTER GROUPS IN THE NATION CONCERNED WITH THE BUDGET CUTS CONTINUE TO JOIN IN WITH OUR NATIONAL ORGANIZATION, WE ARE CONFIDENT THAT WE WILL BE A LOUD VOICE IN AMERICA AND WILL GET THESE DECISIONS TO CUT NWS FUNDING REVERSED. THIS MORNING, DR. ALBERT FRIDAY AND RONALD McPHERSON OF THE NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL PREDICTION WERE ON US TODAY. McPHERSON, THREATENING TO QUIT IF CHANGES ARE NOT MADE IT QUITE CLEAR WITH THAT STATEMENT TO THE AMERICAN PEOPLE THAT SOMETHING IS SERIOUSLY WRONG HERE. I BELEIVE THAT HE WAS LIMITED IN COMING RIGHT OUT AND SAYING, "PEOPLE OF AMERICA, YOUR LIVES ARE IN SERIOUS DANGER IF THESE CUTS CONTINUE." DR. FRIDAY IS STUCK IN THE MIDDLE OF THE BUREAUCRATS AND MUST ACCEPT WHAT IS GIVEN TO HIM. AFTER CLAIMING THAT THE U.S. HAS MORE SEVERE WEATHER THEN ANYWHERE ELSE ON EARTH, HE WENT ON TO SAY IN SO MANY TEMRS THAT WE'LL MAKE THE PROGRAM WORK WITH WHAT WE GOT AND PROTECT THE PEOPLE WITH THE MOST EFFICIENT PROGRAM THAT WE CAN DELIVER. DR. FRIDAY WILL MOST LIKELY STICK TO HIS GUNS, AGAIN BECAUSE OF HIS POSITION UNDER BUREAUCRATS WHO SAY THIS IS IT SO LIVE WITH IT AND ALSO TO THE FACT THAT HE DOES NOT BY ALL MEANS WANT THE AMERICAN PUBLIC TO LOOSE FAITH IN THE WEATHER SERVICE. IF THE PEOPLE GET THE HINT THAT THE WEATHER SERVICE IS NO LONGER RELIABLE, THEN THE SERVICE HAS HAD IT AND THE PEOPLE WILL SUFFER AT GREAT EXPENSE. I AM SCHEDULED TO TALK WITH DR. FRIDAY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. I WILL UPDATE YOU ON THE OUTCOME OF OUR CONVERSATION AND OTHER DEVELOPEMENTS AS I GET THEM. RICK MCCOY PRESIDENT AMERICANS UNITED TO MAINTAIN WEATHER SERVICE FUNDING ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 26 Mar 1997 09:00:33 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: Significant Tornadoes 1992-1995 Update I am posting this message for Tom Grazulis because LISTSERV served him out of the system (probably because of bounced mail or something). I have restored Tom's service. ..Chris.. ============================================================= Gilbert Sebenste wrote... >this book gets Gilbert's highest rating of four wedges. To which Tom Grazulis Tom Grazulis replied... Thanks for the kind words, Gilbert. >Shoot...I may have even given it 5 wedges if he hadn't put in those photos >of Matt Biddle and Bobby Prentice... ;-) My apologies for failing to qualify for that all important fifth wedge. Bob Prentice was around so many tornadoes in this period it was hard to find a tornado photo without him in it. As far as Matt Biddle is concerned, hey, I give all my independent contractors as much publicity as possible...actually, I am experimenting with this as a new form of classified personals. "SWMSC seeks romance and adventure under the wall cloud, non-fiction variety." >However, back to serious for a moment...don't ask me how to get a copy of >it; I just got it in the mail, no note attached, no price on the cover or >anything...so darned if I know how you get your hands on one of these... Interested parties will find the Significant Tornadoes 1992-1995 Update information at Anyone whose video I have used will be receiving a free copy in a week or so, if you haven't already. Tom ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ The Tornado Project of Environmental Films visit us at: email us at: tornproj@plainfield.bypass.com call us at: (802) 748-2505 fax us at: (802) 748-2543 ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 25 Mar 1997 20:13:27 -0600 From: "Harvey E. Madison" Subject: School saftey in tornadic situations When I was in grammar school in Lubbock, we were required to sit indian style (cross-legged for the culturally ignorant) with our backs against the wall sitting up as straight as we could. In addition to this, however, we each brought our thickest textbook out into the hall with us and held it over our heads. This sounds good in theory because the spine is against a solid wall and the head is near the wall (protected from a collapsing ceiling) and is shielded. My question is: would the books really provide protection or would they just become dangerous debris in an actual tornadic event? ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Harvey Madison CBA/GSB Computer Services |"All opinions expressed are| University of Texas at Austin | those of the author | EMAIL: harvey@piglet.cc.utexas.edu | and are not necessarily | URL: http://piglet.cc.utexas.edu/~harvey | those of UT-Austin." | "So what do you think Sirs?" ------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 26 Mar 1997 11:46:09 -0700 From: "Ricketts,Steve [Edm]" Subject: Re: NWS cuts Speaking from afar, and from the aspect of just going through implementing 40% (!!) cut in our national weather service, I sit in wonder as to how you will deal with this. It's fun. NOT! I wonder if these cuts are "Washington Monument" type of cuts. At least that's a term we use up here. That is, when you asked to make a cut, do it in a obvious, highly-visible, important place... you know you will get a reaction and backlash, and then maybe the funding will be restored. Then you can go on with life. Of course, if the cut is accepted, then you're in trouble! ..steve +----------------------------------------------------------------------- + | Steve Ricketts | Manager, Northern Alberta Environmental Services Centre | Environment Canada's Prairie and Northern Region, Edmonton, AB | Phone (403)951-8788 FAX 495-2615 e-mail: Steve.Ricketts@ec.gc.ca +----------------------------------------------------------------------- + >---------- >From: Roger Edwards[SMTP:tornado@COMANCHE.WILDSTAR.NET] >Sent: March 26, 1997 1:48 AM >To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK >Subject: Re: NWS cuts > >Surely you didn't think I could stay quiet on this for too long! :-) >All the obvious points have been made; but let me give you some more to >consider. > >........................................ >On Tue, 25 Mar 1997, Cliff Nelson typed: > >> Granted. But I think peoples' greatest concern isn't competition for NWS >> "forecasting" per se; it's cuts to SPC and TPC staff specialists in >> particular, and the implied shirking of warning responsibility by the >> government. > >Cliff hits an important point that I haven't seen discussed yet. By >making the choice to cut essential, specialized forecaster positions at >national centers (SPC, NHC, AWC, HPC), the core mission and legal mandate >of the NWS (protection of life and property) is being overtly violated. >Period. > ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 26 Mar 1997 16:51:49 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Reaction from within: NWS cuts... Hello wx-talkers and chasers, I have had very little time to formulate a response to what I saw on the Today show this morning Re: Ron McPherson, but suffice it to say he was, unfortunately, ineffective at getting his anger and points across. Dr. Joe Friday, who appeared with him, stuck to the party line, even though it was obvious to me that at times he was biting his tongue. One NWS staffer sent me his comments and asked that I send them to the newsgroups; it mirrors what I feel I feel on this entire matter. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * Got mole problems? Call Avogadro at 6.02 X 10^23. * ******************************************************************************* -----Forwarded Message Follows---- Unfortunately, Ron McP was not very effective on the TODAY show, certainly much less so than he has been at other (but less widely publicized) forums and less so than he is clearly capable of being. Suffice it to say I'm sure he was tired and annoyed with having to appear with his boss, Joe Friday, who has elected to go along with the mandated (from above) party line. Rest assured his (Friday's) position privately is quite different. His going along with this looks as if he has capitulated, but more likely it is his strategy to avoid even more dire consequences within the NWS should he choose to throw in the towel and resign (in particular, with regard to the ramifications of his most likely successor taking over). I'd sure like to see a program like DATELINE NBC or 60 Minutes pick this up. Be assured that, despite official statements to the contrary, there is most certainly no one in a position of responsibility within the NWS who believes the budget cuts will not result in a dangerous reduction in services. With little question, the mantra of the NWS - protection of life and property - is being significantly undermined. Unfortunately, it appears that innocent people and interests will have to pay the price before the "powers that be" acknowledge this and then, hopefully, reconsider what they wrought. What is most bothersome is that the onus and responsibility for the cuts is being placed solely on the NWS. The fact is that the cuts are being forced upon it by NOAA and its budget choices (weather versus oceans/fisheries). The budget crunch on NOAA, in turn, reflects the Dept. of Commerece's (DOC) preference, for example, to spend $464 million on corporate welfare to automotive companies (documented in a recent Washington Post article) at the expense of the "bread box" concerns and responsibilities of NOAA. DOC, of course, points to the budget cuts imposed on it by OMB, i.e., the Administration. And, in the end, Al Gore gave the green light for the NWS budget cuts to proceed. So much for the Administration and, particularly, a VP that professes to be environmentalist, science aware, and protector the public welfare. Despite all this, the NWS and its top management literally is being forced to be the scapegoat by decree from above. To their credit a number of top NWS management officials feel strongly enough about this travesty to resign. Those who remain certainly recognize the dangers of the cuts, but are being forced present the party line that downplays the impacts and consequences (e.g., lost lives) to virtual insignificance. These individuals, though, should not necessarily be viewed as lacking integrity or principle, but rather choosing to bite the bullet at considerable personal anguish in order to continue the good fight from within the government. And, those who do choose to resign, are not just throwing in the towel without concern for the NWS and its problems, but have decided to take the fight into the public arena, where the restrictions on government employees against lobbying, etc. do not apply. Indeed, it is only the NWS that has been principled in this fiasco. The cuts being forced on it from above, indeed, can be explained only in terms of individual egos, turf battles, power, incompetance, and the influence special interests. To explain what's happening in terms of rationality, logic, and concern for the public welfare is an exercise in utter futility. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 26 Mar 1997 23:35:01 -0500 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site became a commissioned ASOS site at 1800 UTC on 26 March, 1997. ST CHARLES COUNTY SMARTT AIRPORT (K3SZ) ST CHARLES... MISSOURI Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 25 Mar 1997 to 26 Mar 1997 ************************************************** From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Mar 28 14:11:55 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA05445 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 1997 14:11:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102213-18165>; Fri, 28 Mar 1997 14:11:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA210060; Fri, 28 Mar 1997 00:06:12 -0600 Message-Id: <199703280606.AAA210060@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 28 Mar 1997 00:01:00 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 26 Mar 1997 to 27 Mar 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 9 messages totalling 346 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. What happened to Andrew relief money? 2. An open letter from Alan Hale 3. Tornado safety positioning 4. Sinsai2@aol.com: Wx database software 5. TAWS - FLAWS! 6. SPC down? 7. Strange watch... (2) 8. Weather Paging Services +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 27 Mar 1997 01:37:06 -0600 From: Roger Edwards Subject: What happened to Andrew relief money? If you want to know what happened to the State of Florida's Hurricane Andrew relief fund, browse to http://www.herald.com/archive/hurricane/docs/047840.htm It's definitely worthwhile reading for anyone involved with Hurricane Andrew or disaster relief in general. ---------------------------------------- *** No disclaimer necessary; this is my personal account! *** "If you stop, stop slowly; or I ===== Roger Edwards ===== fly back into the windshield." ( ) Forecaster - current chase partner former NHC Forecaster :::::::::: http://www.wildstar.net/~tornado :::::::::: "I FEAST ON THE SMORGASBORD OF ATMOSPHERIC VIOLENCE." ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 27 Mar 1997 09:24:16 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: An open letter from Alan Hale Alan Hale (co-discoverer of Hale-Bopp) sent me an email that applies to the NWS cuts as well. Here it is, in it's entirely. ============================= Subject: An open letter From: ahale@NMSU.Edu Greetings everyone -- yes, another one of those blanket e-mails that I send out to folks from time to time. I don't think I know all of you personally, but at the very least we may have mutual acquaintances who suggested I include you in this mailing. To those of you whom I don't know (as well as those whom I do), please forgive my taking the liberty of sending you a message like this. The message which follows is an open letter to any and all young scientists who, like me, are frustrated, angry, bitter, etc. about the sorry state of science funding in our society today, and who have been struggling just to get a decent career started. Due to my current "15 minutes of fame" that I am receiving as a result of Comet Hale-Bopp, I believe I have an opportunity to raise some awareness of this issue, and possibly to get things turned around at least a little bit. Anyway, please take the time to read through this, and if you feel like responding to it, please do so. Most importantly, please pass this around to anyone and everyone you think might be interested in responding; I'm trying to reach as large an audience as I can, and the more responses I can get from those whose experiences have been like mine, the better the chances I have of actually being able to accomplish something. Thanks, Alan ---------------------------------------------------------------------- An open letter to the scientists of my generation: I am Alan Hale, the co-discoverer of Comet Hale-Bopp which, as I'm sure you're aware, is getting a tremendous amount of media attention at this time. Like I'm sure is true for many of you, I was inspired by the scientific discoveries and events taking place during my childhood to pursue a career in science only to find, after completing the rigors of undergraduate and graduate school, that the opportunities for us to have a career in science are limited at best and are which I usually describe as "abysmal." Based upon my own experiences, and those of you with whom I have discussed this issue, my personal feeling is that, unless there are some pretty drastic changes in the way that our society approaches science and treats those of us who have devoted our lives to making some of our own contributions, there is no way that I can, with a clear conscience, encourage present-day students to pursue a career in science. It really pains me a great deal to say something like that, but I feel so strongly about this that I have publicly made this statement at almost every opportunity I have been given. I am trying to use the media attention that is currently being focused upon me to raise awareness of this state of affairs, and perhaps start to effect those changes that will allow me to convey a more positive message to the next generation. So far, I'm sensing a certain reluctance among the media to discuss this issue, as they seem far more interested in items which I consider to be irrelevant and unimportant. But I intend to keep hammering away at this, and I'd like to believe that eventually some are going to sit up and take notice. I am also attempting to schedule meetings with some of our government leaders, to see if I can at least get some acknowledgement from Washington that this is a problem that needs to be dealt with. My reason for writing to you is to ask your help. I know that I'm not alone in being frustrated about the current prospects for pursuing any kind of decent career within science, and I'm quite sure that many of you have "horror stories" about your searches for decent employment that are quite similar to my own. I'd like to hear them. I'd especially like to hear from those of you who are on your second or third or fourth post-doc, or who have left the field as a result of the employment situation, or who have experienced severe personal difficulties (e.g., break-up of a marriage, etc.). I realize that some of these might be painful to discuss, but I'd like to show that we are not a bunch of impersonal statistics, but that we're human beings trying to make an honest living and perhaps make a contribution or two to society while we're at it. Speaking of statistics, though, if you received any information about the numbers of applicants to some of the positions you applied to -- which was often a 3-digit number in my case -- I'd like to hear that, too. Please e-mail your stories to me at ahale@nmsu.edu, with a subject line of "horror stories" or something like that. Please let me know if you would prefer to remain anonymous when I share these stories with the press and the government. Also, please pass this message on to any of your friends and colleagues who might be interested in sharing their stories with me, and keep in mind that I would like to receive stories from as many scientific disciplines as possible. (Because of the amount of e-mail traffic I'm receiving these days, along with everything else that's going on, I probably won't be able to acknowledge each message individually.) Thank you for your time, and I hope to hear from you. Perhaps, with the opportunity we have before us right now, we have the chance to make a difference. Sincerely, Alan Hale ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 27 Mar 1997 15:58:53 GMT From: Matthew Biddle Subject: Re: Tornado safety positioning Tim Vasquez <71611.2267@COMPUSERVE.COM> wrote: >This is a question on behalf of a media person in Tennessee: While covering >a school's tornado drill as part of severe weather awareness week, a >discrepancy arose about body positioning of the students in the hallways. > >* Local school guidelines say in a crouched position, head tucked between >knees, arms over head to protect neck and head. Back against wall to protect >spine. > >* Local emergency management services co-ordinator has material stating >basically same position, except on knees, head toward wall. > >Of course, assuming that the school isn't levelled, does anyone have any >authoritative insight regarding which position is recommended? Any >references would also be appreciated. > > >Tim Vasquez author, WeatherGraphix I know of no contemporary literature regarding this and I have been through most of it. I doubt from looking at all the epidemiology down to even Coroner reports that this info regarding body placement or even guesses about it is usually absent. I would challenge the statement about spine safety absent any research and it just sounds like somebodies theory. Here is my theory...granted spine trauma can kill, but I think the assumption can be made that generally the torso can take a larger variety of non-fatal blows than the head. The closer ones head to the wall the less likely debris caving in from ceiling might hit the head. Additionally, the closer the head to the wall the less likely it would be hit by missiles flying down the long halls - which is the one thing there is some data on - many injuries from flying glass in the long halls, This is certainly not science and I think a lot of this speculation involves chance and circumstance. My contention is that there is certainly nothing I know to justify the guidance on head out back to wall. I personally would put my head to the wall. Were there room - lying against and parallel to wall might be even better? This is no help is it???? Matthew Biddle Norman, Oklahoma ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 27 Mar 1997 14:23:32 -0500 From: Craig B Newell Subject: Sinsai2@aol.com: Wx database software Please reply to sinsai2@aol.com -Craig/NWS SkyWarn --------- Begin forwarded message ---------- From: Sinsai2@aol.com To: wxobs-sne@shore.net Subject: Off Topic: Wx database software Date: Thu, 27 Mar 1997 11:00:58 -0500 (EST) Message-ID: <970327110054_-1202789548@emout07.mail.aol.com> Subj: Off Topic:WX data software Date: 03/23/97 Does anyone know a good, cheap weather data database software for keeping station records, and that provides monthly summaries in a good format? I have already evaluated L'Weather (1991 version) and it doesn't meet my needs for complete and flexible data input/output. I would appreciate any info... Steve sinsai2@aol.com --------- End forwarded message ---------- ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 27 Mar 1997 16:17:52 GMT From: Matthew Biddle Subject: Re: TAWS - FLAWS! This stuff is back again - first post-Fort Smith and now post- Arkadelphia. I briefly checked it out. "Complex architecture of deployment of sensor arrays in geographic locations" - equals A GRID! It forecasts, detects and warns! It slices and dices! It juliennes! This in my PERSONAL opinion. This set up is based on concepts totally unproven and plays upon the heightened fears of tornado victims and is simply BAD SCIENCE! If anyone has ANY data otherwise I and we would be glad to hear it. I am not picking on the proprietors for trying, but natural hazards and public safety are my business and to and to not comment on these posts would be irresponsible. That a community would put their resources into such rather than working to erase NWS cuts frightnens me. Matt Biddle Norman, OK Comments my personal thoughts only and not sanctioned by any organization. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 27 Mar 1997 17:43:10 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: SPC down? Did the cuts really hit this hard ;> I see the SWO's and now the Severe Thunderstorm Watch have been issued by AFGWC in a backup capacity... Is this a test day for them or is SPC down? Normally I see NOUS announcements ahead of time for a test, or during if SPC is off-line but I have seen neither. Rob ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 27 Mar 1997 19:12:44 -0600 From: "Jeremy Charles (N9VHT)" Subject: Strange watch... This is something I haven't seen before... Who is AFGWC? Anyone know what was up here? > BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED > SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 110 > AFGWC OFFUTT AFB, OMAHA NEB (BACKUP MODE) > 551 PM CST THU MAR 27 1997 > > A...AFGWC (IN A BACKUP CAPACITY) HAS ISSUED A > SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR > > PARTS OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS > PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA > PARTS OF SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI -Jeremy C. (N9VHT) South-Central Wisconsin SKYWARN NCS & Training Coordinator Madison Area Repeater Association Vice President & Swapfest '98 Coordinator n9vht@skywarn.cs.wisc.edu Online SKYWARN logging: http://www.cs.wisc.edu/~jeremyc/skywarn ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 28 Mar 1997 01:21:45 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: Strange watch... On Mar 27, 7:12pm, Jeremy Charles (N9VHT) wrote: > Who is AFGWC? > Air Force Global Weather Central, located at Offutt AFB near Omaha NE. Think of it as the NCEP of the Air Force. AFGWC has long served as the backup facility for the NSSFC (now SPC). -Scott -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS FIRSTT | CIMSS/University of Wisconsin-Madison ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 27 Mar 1997 22:03:08 -0500 From: Steve Marks Subject: Re: Weather Paging Services Thomas and Karen Mitchell wrote: >Does anyone have any experience with commercial services who will page >you with watches, warnings, zone forecast changes, etc.? I have been using Widespread Weather Service (WWS) for two years and have been VERY satisfied with the quality of their weather pages as well as their customer service. As a Skywarn coordinator, I find that the timely notification of severe weather watches, warnings and statements via my alphanumeric pager has been a valuable asset to our program. If you are interested in additional information, please contact Gregg Potter with WWS at 1-800-845-0383, by e-mail at wws@ix.netcom.com or check out their web page at http://www.io.com/~weather/. Steve ------------------------------------------------------------- Steve Marks e-mail: smarks@nr.infi.net Guilford College Fire Dept Amateur Radio Operator KE4FCW Guilford County HazMat Team Triad Skywarn Coordinator Carolinas Fire Page Disp 599 Greensboro, North Carolina Triad Skywarn Home Page - http://www.netpath.net/~skywarn/ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 26 Mar 1997 to 27 Mar 1997 ************************************************** From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Mar 29 14:08:02 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA13896 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 1997 14:08:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102244-15770>; Sat, 29 Mar 1997 14:07:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA43426; Sat, 29 Mar 1997 00:05:21 -0600 Message-Id: <199703290605.AAA43426@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Mar 1997 00:00:02 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 27 Mar 1997 to 28 Mar 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 9 messages totalling 282 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. I'm in! 2. SPC down? 3. IA NWA EVALUATIONS 4. Met job announcement WAAY TV 5. Tornado safety positioning 6. warm temperatures over significant snow cover 7. Seismic detection discussion on Monitor Radio 8. SPC Outlook Alternate SIte 9. Ham Frequency code for Columbus Ohio +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 28 Mar 1997 02:35:49 GMT From: Brian Curran Subject: I'm in! Howdy Y'all! Now that I am free of the ethical encuberances and am online with an ISP, I can speak my mind. And those of you who know me personally, you will agree this has never been a problem of mine 8^). bc -- Brian Curran ebcurran@flash.net "Will forecast for beer" I speak for myself only and not for my employer. "The opinion of the strongest is always the best." - J. de la Fontaine ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 28 Mar 1997 01:22:51 -0600 From: Roger Edwards Subject: Re: SPC down? On Thu, 27 Mar 1997, Robert P Dale typed: > Did the cuts really hit this hard ;> > > I see the SWO's and now the Severe Thunderstorm Watch have been issued by > AFGWC in a backup capacity... Is this a test day for them or is SPC down? AFGWC is SPC's emergency backup; and yesterday was a test day for that (except for stats reports and mesoscale discussions, which were still handled by SPC). ------------------------- *** No disclaimer necessary; this is my personal account! *** "Gimme the @$#% camera! You have ===== Roger Edwards ===== no common sense at all!" ( ) Forecaster - former NSSL chase partner former NHC Forecaster :::::::::: http://www.wildstar.net/~tornado :::::::::: "I FEAST ON THE SMORGASBORD OF ATMOSPHERIC VIOLENCE." ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 27 Mar 1997 23:25:26 -0600 From: John McLaughlin Subject: IA NWA EVALUATIONS I just finished going through the evaluation forms from the Iowa NWA conference. Here are general results. 1. 99% of those responding said the conference met expectations. The 1% felt the material was not appropriate for storm spotters. 2. 95% of those reponding felt the conference fee was appropriate. The 5% said meals should not be included to lower the conference fee. 3. The most valuable sections of the conference according to those responding were. a. Workshops by Al Moller and Chuck Doswell b. Les Lemon on NIDS and spectrum width c. storm chase videos d. radar case studies e. media/nws interaction and dissemination f. radar warning workshop/media discussions 4. Topics not covered which should be included next year. a. Vortex project results b. More spotter training information geared toward non-mets. c. More a-b-c's of severe weather forecasting (SPC talk?) d. More radar case studies e. Severe winter weather f. More detailed vendor presentations, not just overhead slides. g. Discussion of "cold-air" funnels h. More on pc programs like PC-Gridds. 5. 98% responded they would attend again in 1998 if the conference is held. 6. Is there a specific 3-hour workshop you would like to see included. a. Severe weather prediction (the basics). b. Storm spotting and reporting to NWS/Media. c. Vortex Results and video from Vortex. d. More hands-on radar training with Les Lemon. e. More on using media radar systems. 7. How did you hear about the conference? a. Direct mailing from Iowa NWA b. Storm Chase Homepage c. Internet Discussion Groups d. Email from Des Moines Weather Service e. Posted at University f. From a friend who was going. Other suggestions: Start earlier on Friday and end earlier on Sunday. End the Saturday night session by 8:00 p.m. or have the chaser videos then as our brains were fried. Laser pointer was too hard to see. (My apologies to the color blind in the audience.) Hand out a list of names of those who are attending so we can find those we know or want to meet. My thoughts: As one might imagine, it is difficult to plan and hold a conference and please everyone from the local storm spotter to the PHD's in the crowd. My goal was to get everyone together and not have a bunch of "sub conferences" going on at the same time. It is clear that folks are hungry for the very latest research (such as vortex) as well as the nuts and bolts of diagnosing a severe weather threat day. It is also clear that we received tremendous response from storm spotters and chasers who want more basic information. Many were "shocked into reality" when Al Moller kept saying, "spotters, you should know this!" The spotters would like a session further defining what "this" really is. Many said they learned more in Al's talk than many years of local spotter training and watching tapes. I think everyone at the conference encountered a topic they were not familiar with. This is part of the learning process and should spur us all to further research these topics. For those needing the nuts and bolts, we offered the Severe Weather Forecasting Primer book ($40 from WeatherScratch) as a place to start. I would welcome further input as we will be discussing the conference at our next local chapter meeting in April. John McLaughlin KCCI Des Moines Iowa NWA Chapter ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 28 Mar 1997 07:17:21 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: Met job announcement WAAY TV The following appeared in SHOPTALK, a TV news industry magazine on the internet. For more information on SHOPTALK point your browser to www.tvspy.com. I didn't know Alababa was the "hottest tornado market in the country". Oklahoma are you slipping??!! ;-) ..Chris.. METEOROLOGIST (WAAY) We're the hottest tornado market in the country. We've got ALL the tools (Baron Enterprise 250 doppler radar, SGI graphics, big staff) and we rock and roll during severe weather. Wall-to-wall coverage is our credo, and we're looking for the right person to assume duties as the number two person in our department. This is a weekend assignment, but don't be fooled by that. If you want to work in the best city in the south, where a commitment to severe weather coverage is more than just lip service, I want to talk to you. Salary commensurate with experience. Beginners need not apply. Call, e- mail, or write TERRY HEATON, News Director, WAAY-TV, 1000 Monte Sano Blvd, Huntsville, AL 35801, 205/533-3131 ext 221, . *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 28 Mar 1997 08:50:55 -0600 From: City of Moore Emergency Management Subject: Re: Tornado safety positioning Matthew Biddle wrote: >Additionally, the closer the head to the wall the less likely it would be >hit by missiles flying down the long halls - which is the one thing there >is some data on - many injuries from flying glass in the long halls FEMA publication TR-83B, "Tornado Protection - Selecting and Designing Safe Areas in Buildings", is the *only* reference I've ever been able to find that even comes close to addressing the issue of where to place people during storms. This booklet is essentially based on a study of three schools destroyed during the April 3, 1974 outbreak (including Xenia OH High School). "Damage to these buildings from the tornadoes was examined by teams of specially trained architectural and engineering faculty, the various building administrators, and representatives of the architectural firm which designed the buildings." It was prepared by the School of Architecture at Lawrence Institute of Technology, with input from the Institute for Disaster Research at Texas Tech. This publication makes the statement: "Wind tunnels occur in unprotected corridors facing the oncoming winds, which usually come from the south or west. Openings facing these directions allow the winds to penetrate into interior spaces. The winds apparently occupy almost the entire volume of such a wind tunnel, as debris marks have been found to cover the full height of the walls." It also quotes a student who rode out the Xenia tornado in the high school: "I kept my eyes open which was stupid on my part. I was looking down at the floor rather than out and I could see big chunks of wood and debris flying down the hall by my feet. It was incredible." (...to say the least!) I'd certainly be interested in any other references or information! Gayland Kitch Emergency Manager The City of Moore, Oklahoma 405 793-5062 "with a permanent front-row seat to the best show above earth" ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 28 Mar 1997 17:11:01 +0000 From: "A. Scott Bachmeier" Subject: warm temperatures over significant snow cover Yesterday in northern Wisconsin, under clear skies and good warm air advection, maximum temperatures included Eagle River 62F 33 inch snow depth Port Edwards 71F 8 inch snow depth Big Flats 74F 5 inch snow depth So much for snow cover holding down maximum temperatures. Are there any studies relating maximum temperatures observed during significant snow cover (over non-alpine regions)? -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS FIRSTT | CIMSS/University of Wisconsin-Madison ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 28 Mar 1997 16:39:17 -0800 From: "Engineering Analysis, Inc." Subject: Seismic detection discussion on Monitor Radio On Monday, March 31, Monitor Radio will carry a discussion of a study being conducted by Engineering Analysis, Inc. involving the seismic detection of tornadoes. Regular readers of WX-TALK will recall that this study involves the use of the "snails" by storm chasers to detect any seismic signals generated by a tornado. If your local stations don't carry Monitor Radio, it can also be heard on shortwave. Check listings for air times. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 28 Mar 1997 22:24:55 -0600 From: "Boyd H. Webb, III" Subject: SPC Outlook Alternate SIte Anyone know of an alternate site for SPC day one and two outlooks when SPC occasionally has problems at their site? Boyd Webb Cordova, TN ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 28 Mar 1997 20:07:26 -0800 From: A Lieberman Subject: Ham Frequency code for Columbus Ohio My scanner bit the dust and I can't seem to locate the frequency that severe weather spotters use for Columbus OH..... Does anybody have the frequency used by the ham operators in Columbus Ohio during severe weather events? Netsearch failed to yield anything.... Tx Allen -- http://www.bright.net/~lieberma/ Come visit my homepage!!! Any unsolicited COMMERCIAL Email will be replied with a complaint to the postmaster of the sender! ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 27 Mar 1997 to 28 Mar 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Mar 29 14:25:12 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA13942 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 1997 14:25:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102251-15770>; Sat, 29 Mar 1997 14:24:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA30390; Sat, 29 Mar 1997 00:16:13 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5114939 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Mar 1997 00:15:57 -0600 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA186866 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 1997 00:14:23 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA20400 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 29 Mar 1997 00:14:22 -0600 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199703290614.AA20400@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Mar 1997 00:14:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -290014 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 81325 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z MAR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/HAM/BOYD// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Mar 30 13:52:57 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id NAA22357 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 1997 13:52:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102205-9346>; Sun, 30 Mar 1997 13:52:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA47354; Sat, 29 Mar 1997 23:43:00 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5121320 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Mar 1997 23:42:47 -0600 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA29130 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 1997 23:42:46 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA99345 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 29 Mar 1997 23:42:46 -0600 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199703300542.AA99345@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 29 Mar 1997 23:42:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -292342 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 78606 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z/310600Z MAR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/HAM/BOYD// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Mar 30 14:13:27 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA22410 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 1997 14:13:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102235-9346>; Sun, 30 Mar 1997 14:12:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA122082; Sun, 30 Mar 1997 00:08:31 -0600 Message-Id: <199703300608.AAA122082@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Mar 1997 00:01:05 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 28 Mar 1997 to 29 Mar 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 7 messages totalling 274 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. SPC Outlook Alternate SIte 2. WX-TALK Digest - 27 Mar 1997 to 28 Mar 1997 3. Alternate Graphical Sites for SPC Outlooks 4. WX-TALK Digest - 20 Feb 1997 to 21 Feb 1997 (2) 5. Wind measurements (was: Re: WX-TALK Digest....) 6. Hot tornado market? You bet! +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 29 Mar 1997 00:02:31 -0600 From: "Jeremy Charles (N9VHT)" Subject: Re: SPC Outlook Alternate SIte On Fri, 28 Mar 1997, Boyd H. Webb, III wrote: > Anyone know of an alternate site for SPC day one and two outlooks when SPC > occasionally has problems at their site? Are you looking for the text or the graphics? I get the text via the WX-STORM mailing list for both the day1 and day2. I don't know about another source for the graphics, though. -Jeremy C. (N9VHT) South-Central Wisconsin SKYWARN NCS & Training Coordinator Madison Area Repeater Association Vice President & Swapfest '98 Coordinator n9vht@skywarn.cs.wisc.edu Online SKYWARN logging: http://www.cs.wisc.edu/~jeremyc/skywarn ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 30 Mar 1997 03:28:24 -0500 From: Howard Robinson Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 27 Mar 1997 to 28 Mar 1997 At 12:00 AM 3/29/97 -0600, you wrote: Guys, I am going to create a homepage within the next day or two about the NWS cutbacks. If anyone has any input to this page, please feel free to email me at hrobins@peachnet.campus.mci.net. I will make sure you get credit for the info. Thanks. This message was also posted on wx-chase. ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 29 Mar 1997 08:51:31 -0600 From: "Boyd H. Webb, III" Subject: Alternate Graphical Sites for SPC Outlooks A couple of folks have already responded to my previous posting concerning alternate sites for the day one and two outlooks. Thank you for your response. I left out one critical item however. I was looking for any sites with the graphics for the outlooks. My mistake. Thanks Boyd Webb Cordova, TN ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 29 Mar 1997 10:52:28 -0600 From: "Paul E. Pettit" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 20 Feb 1997 to 21 Feb 1997 In the SPC reports below I notice that gusts are being reported 50 or greater from sources other than wind measuring equipment. I wonder is this a change that came about since I retired in 92? First of all, it is pretty well an established fact that one cannot tell the difference between at 45 knot wind and a 50 knot wind visually. I don't question the spotter's good intentions, just the ability to determine the values in such a manner. Are they using the Beaufort method or what? 585 WWUS60 KMKC 281215 STADTS STADTS SPC TORNADO AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORM REPORTS UNOFFICIAL - FOR OFFICIAL REPORTS, SEE PUBLICATION 'STORM DATA' FOR 06CST THU MAR 27 1997 THRU 06CST FRI MAR 28 1997 EVENT LOCATION REMARKS (CST)TIME .....TORNADO REPORTS..........TORNADO REPORTS..........TORNADO REPORTS..... NONE REPORTED .......LRG HAIL/STRONG WIND RPTS.............LRG HAIL/STRONG WIND RPTS...... 21 G 52 4 W CALDWELL KS (38 WNW PNC) 27/1725 STORM SPOTTER REPORTED ICT/LSR 3703 9768 22 G 53 WINFIELD KS (35 N PNC) 27/1812 ASOS AT WINFIELD AIRPORT ICT/LSR 3725 9698 23 G 52 BRISTOW OK (36 SW TUL) 27/1904 TUL/LSR 3583 9638 24 G 70 10 N SEDAN KS (36 NNW BVO) 27/1910 OFF DUTY POLICE OFFICER ICT/LSR 3729 9618 5 A175 KELLYVILLE OK (25 SW TUL) 27/1923 TUL/LSR 3594 9621 6 A175 3 W JENKS OK (14 SSW TUL) 27/1932 TUL/LSR 3601 9602 25 G 61 BUXTON KS (27 WSW CNU) 27/1940 STORM SPOTTER REPORTED ICT/LSR 3745 9591 7 A175 TULSA OK (4 NW TUL) 27/1943 AT 81ST STREET AND HIGHWAY 75 TUL/LSR 3625 9594 26 G 56 TULSA OK (4 NW TUL) 27/2002 AT I-44 AND 129TH EAST AVENUE TUL/LSR 3625 9594 Was there no damage to structures with the G 70 above? Would someone enlighten me on this question? Also I notice that the size values for hail seem to have a rather unusual bias towards the A75 figure on many Storm Summaries. Some offices, it seems, have a very high percentage of A75 reports. I know Roger Edwards has some comments in this area in general as does Chuck Doswell. Seems verification criteria of warnings have changed somewhat with the modernization! Am I right? And how, might I ask? Paul E. Pettit Weather Consulting http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 29 Mar 1997 11:36:25 -0600 From: "Jeremy Charles (N9VHT)" Subject: Wind measurements (was: Re: WX-TALK Digest....) On Sat, 29 Mar 1997, Paul E. Pettit wrote: > In the SPC reports below I notice that gusts are being reported 50 or > greater from sources other than wind measuring equipment. I wonder is this > a change that came about since I retired in 92? Not a criticism here, just a question for educational purposes... How are you able to tell in these reports that the spotter doesn't have a weather station which is capable of taking such measurements? > 21 G 52 4 W CALDWELL KS (38 WNW PNC) 27/1725 > STORM SPOTTER REPORTED ICT/LSR 3703 9768 > 25 G 61 BUXTON KS (27 WSW CNU) 27/1940 > STORM SPOTTER REPORTED ICT/LSR 3745 9591 -Jeremy C. (N9VHT) South-Central Wisconsin SKYWARN NCS & Training Coordinator Madison Area Repeater Association Vice President & Swapfest '98 Coordinator n9vht@skywarn.cs.wisc.edu Online SKYWARN logging: http://www.cs.wisc.edu/~jeremyc/skywarn ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 29 Mar 1997 18:54:21 -0600 From: "Daniel W. McCarthy" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 20 Feb 1997 to 21 Feb 1997 Paul E. Pettit wrote: > > In the SPC reports below I notice that gusts are being reported 50 or > greater from sources other than wind measuring equipment. I wonder is this > a change that came about since I retired in 92? > > First of all, it is pretty well an established fact that one cannot tell > the difference between at 45 knot wind and a 50 knot wind visually. I don't > question the spotter's good intentions, just the ability to determine the > values in such a manner. Are they using the Beaufort method or what? > > 585 > WWUS60 KMKC 281215 > STADTS > STADTS > SPC TORNADO AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORM REPORTS > UNOFFICIAL - FOR OFFICIAL REPORTS, SEE PUBLICATION 'STORM DATA' > FOR 06CST THU MAR 27 1997 THRU 06CST FRI MAR 28 1997 > > EVENT LOCATION REMARKS (CST)TIME > > .....TORNADO REPORTS..........TORNADO REPORTS..........TORNADO REPORTS..... > > NONE REPORTED > > .......LRG HAIL/STRONG WIND RPTS.............LRG HAIL/STRONG WIND RPTS...... > > 21 G 52 4 W CALDWELL KS (38 WNW PNC) 27/1725 > STORM SPOTTER REPORTED ICT/LSR 3703 9768 > 22 G 53 WINFIELD KS (35 N PNC) 27/1812 > ASOS AT WINFIELD AIRPORT ICT/LSR 3725 9698 > 23 G 52 BRISTOW OK (36 SW TUL) 27/1904 > TUL/LSR 3583 9638 > 24 G 70 10 N SEDAN KS (36 NNW BVO) 27/1910 > OFF DUTY POLICE OFFICER ICT/LSR 3729 9618 > 5 A175 KELLYVILLE OK (25 SW TUL) 27/1923 > TUL/LSR 3594 9621 > 6 A175 3 W JENKS OK (14 SSW TUL) 27/1932 > TUL/LSR 3601 9602 > 25 G 61 BUXTON KS (27 WSW CNU) 27/1940 > STORM SPOTTER REPORTED ICT/LSR 3745 9591 > 7 A175 TULSA OK (4 NW TUL) 27/1943 > AT 81ST STREET AND HIGHWAY 75 TUL/LSR 3625 9594 > 26 G 56 TULSA OK (4 NW TUL) 27/2002 > AT I-44 AND 129TH EAST AVENUE TUL/LSR 3625 9594 > > Was there no damage to structures with the G 70 above? > Would someone enlighten me on this question? > Our report logging system is now automated from Local Storm Reports (LSR) received from WFOs and WSFOs. In the past we entered the reports by hand and included information that may have been entered on Spercial Weather Statements, Severe Weather Statements or even within Severe Warnings. Thus, if a spotter reports a specific gust, estimated or not, and is entered on and LSR as such, it is automatically entered in our "unofficial" log. Admittedly, we should quality control our listings, but in many cases we don't have the time nor the manpower to go through all the statements and reports anymore. And this will worsen with the proposed budget cuts. I hope this answers the question. Dan McCarthy _ _ _ Mesometeorologist Comments are like this account.....MY OWN. ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 29 Mar 1997 23:58:12 -0600 From: Mark Mears Subject: Hot tornado market? You bet! > The following appeared in SHOPTALK, a TV news industry magazine on > the internet. For more information on SHOPTALK point your browser > to www.tvspy.com. I didn't know Alababa was the "hottest tornado > market in the country". Oklahoma are you slipping??!! ;-) ..Chris.. Chris, I can't vouch for what goes on out in OK during an outbreak, but Friday night here, as severe weather moved through Southern Middle Tennessee (part of the Huntsville market), all 3 local news operations were doing continuous, wall-to-wall weather coverage. As I talk to more people around the country, I've come to understand just how unusual this approach is. For example, in Nashville (a much larger market than Huntsville), it takes massive destruction and/or deaths for channels 2 or 4 (ABC & NBC respectively) to break into continuous coverage (I can't speak for the CBS affiliate up there since we don't get it on the cable). Huntsville and Madison Co. have suffered from astonishing bad luck -- twice in recent years (1974, 1989) the city has been visited by powerful tornadoes. The 1974 storm (part of the famous outbreak) did some destruction in the city, but killed several people in nearby parts of the county. The 1989 storm was the result of a cell merger and came without a tornado warning (though there was a severe t-storm warning), dropping out of the clouds near a heavily-travelled intersection, killing several people in their cars before they had any chance to react. That tornado (a borderline F-5) continues for several more miles, killing around 20 people all together. In addition to these infamous storms, hardly a year goes by where a death isn't recorded somewhere in North Alabama/South Middle Tennessee because of tornadoes or severe thunderstorms. I shudder to think how many more people might lose their lives if the Huntsville stations didn't have such dedication to severe-weather coverage. -- MM http://www.edge.net/asd ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 28 Mar 1997 to 29 Mar 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Mar 31 14:15:15 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA01077 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 1997 14:15:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102293-3563>; Mon, 31 Mar 1997 14:14:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA83828; Sun, 30 Mar 1997 23:56:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5127558 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Mar 1997 23:55:55 -0600 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA116238 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 1997 23:55:55 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA61602 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 30 Mar 1997 23:55:54 -0600 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199703310555.AA61602@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 30 Mar 1997 23:55:54 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -302355 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 43935 ABPW10 PGTW 310600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/310600Z MAR 97/010600Z APR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/HAM/BOYD// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Mar 31 14:16:59 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA01086 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 1997 14:16:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102319-3563>; Mon, 31 Mar 1997 14:16:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA266012; Mon, 31 Mar 1997 00:07:13 -0600 Message-Id: <199703310607.AAA266012@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 31 Mar 1997 00:02:00 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 29 Mar 1997 to 30 Mar 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 8 messages totalling 398 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. TV stations compromising safety? (2) 2. ASOS Remarks 3. Just a reminder... 4. I need software 5. Speaking of software . . . 6. Application for American United wx funding 7. Special NCEP Discussion: Critical Weather Day +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 30 Mar 1997 02:57:43 EST From: Tim Vasquez <71611.2267@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: TV stations compromising safety? Many of us in the central United States have local television stations which proclaim to have the "best severe weather coverage". Part of this coverage is a "permanent" overlay at the bottom of the screen depicting current warnings/watches in effect. Has anyone noticed how many of these stations remove the overlays during commercial breaks? Considering that some commercial breaks run upwards of seven minutes and "live break-ins" are not often done for rural counties, I would be interested to see a discussion on whether this is unnecessarily compromising public safety. Tim Vasquez author, WeatherGraphix Norman, OK Digital Atmosphere 71611.2267@compuserve.com (405) 573-0700 WeatherGraphix/Digital Atmosphere -- http://www.telepath.com/www/tvasquez/ StormTrack Online -- http://www.telepath.com/www/storm/ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 29 Mar 1997 23:51:24 -0500 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: ASOS Remarks The following is a metar from Saturday evening from Oklahoma City. KOKC 300156Z 3402731KT 10SM SCT065 SCT100 BKN250 19/09 A2987 RMK A02 PKWND 34031/0155 TSB25E54 PRESRR SLP107 FRQ LTGICCG DSNT N CB DSNT N MOV E SHELF CLOUD APRNT WIND SHEAR AT AP TCU W-NW T01890089 $ 5 The remarks section is excellent. You don't see much of anything anymore at most sites due to ASOS. Perhaps manual remarks are making a comeback? I remember that in the last few years since OKC was commissioned, there wasn't much in the way in remarks. Certainly, a shelf cloud and wind shear are very important to aviation. Boris A. Konon WSI Met Ops ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 30 Mar 1997 10:12:52 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: TV stations compromising safety? On 30 Mar 1997, Tim Vasquez wrote: > Many of us in the central United States have local television stations which > proclaim to have the "best severe weather coverage". Part of this coverage > is a "permanent" overlay at the bottom of the screen depicting current > warnings/watches in effect. > > Has anyone noticed how many of these stations remove the overlays during > commercial breaks? Considering that some commercial breaks run upwards > of seven minutes and "live break-ins" are not often done for rural > counties, I would be interested to see a discussion on whether > this is unnecessarily compromising public safety. For me, I can only *wish* to have that type of coverage in Chicago. In Illinois, severe weather is not considered all that important. In fact, I must applaud all the stations in my community, Rockford--they put the "bug" (as we call it in the biz) in a corner continuously until the threat is over, describing the threat and where. In Chicago, and other metro areas surrounding Rockford, they don't, at least most of them. None in Chicago do. And two of three network stations in RFD do keep theirs up continuously, right through the commercials. To be honest, I don't think that removing the bug during commercials compromises safety at all. When a storm is approaching, the TV or radio should go on. Not when you are getting 2" hail falling out of the sky, or you hear a loud roaring noise. It's too late at that point, and a bug won't help you at all. And in the situations I've been in, flipping to another channel does the trick if one station has theirs off. In fact, many people *hate* that bug in the corner of the screen, even in tornado alley. When I had a flood warning up a month ago for an event in northern IL, I was forced to take it down during a soap opera episode that was supposedly intense. No one wanted that bug with their recording of the episode, and we were hit with literally hundreds of calls until it was yanked. That, Tim, is the real problem. Not a bug, but apathy of dangerous weather events. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 30 Mar 1997 10:20:19 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Just a reminder... SPC watches change format in about two weeks. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * Got mole problems? Call Avogadro at 6.02 X 10^23. * ******************************************************************************* PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT......REPEAT....... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS WASHINGTON DC 900 AM EST FRI MAR 28 1997 TO: FAMILY OF SERVICES /FOS/ SUBSCRIBERS...NOAA WEATHER WIRE SERVICE /NWWS/ SUBSCRIBERS...OTHER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE /NWS/ CUSTOMERS...NWS EMPLOYEES FROM: DONALD R. WERNLY...CHIEF...CUSTOMER SERVICE SUBJECT: CONVECTIVE WATCH NARRATIVE PRODUCTS WILL HAVE A NEW FORMAT...EFFECTIVE APRIL 15 1997 BEGINNING APRIL 15 1997 AT 6:00 A.M. CDT /1100 UNIVERSAL TIME COORDINATED /UTC/...CONVECTIVE WATCH NARRATIVE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER AT NORMAN...OKLAHOMA WILL HAVE A NEW FORMAT...PROVIDING IMPROVEMENTS OVER THE CURRENT VERSION. O THE PRODUCT WILL INCLUDE BOTH BEGINNING AND ENDING TIMES OF THE WATCH. O TECHNICAL INFORMATION WILL BE SEPARATED FROM THE NON- TECHNICAL INFORMATION...WITH THE LATTER SITUATED NEAR THE TOP OF THE PRODUCT. O INSTEAD OF "A..." "C..." "D," ETC... PARTS OF THE WATCH WILL BE IDENTIFIED WITH KEY WORDS "DISCUSSION"..."OTHER WATCH INFORMATION," AND "AVIATION." O PLAIN LANGUAGE WILL BE USED TO DESCRIBE THE POTENTIAL FOR HAIL SIZE AND THUNDERSTORM WIND. O THE TERM "STORM MOTION VECTOR" WHICH IS MORE DESCRIPTIVE AND SCIENTIFICALLY ACCURATE...WILL REPLACE "MEAN WIND VECTOR" O LATITUDE/LONGITUDES OF WATCH BOX END POINTS WILL BE PLACED AT THE BOTTOM AS WELL AS AT THE TOP OF THE PRODUCT. THIS ALLOWS CUSTOMERS TO PLOT THE BOX USING COMPUTER SOFTWARE. THESE CHANGES ARE DESIGNED TO ALLOW FOR QUICKER AND EASIER READING OF WATCH PRODUCTS. NO PRODUCT IDENTIFIER/HEADER CHANGES AND NO UNIVERSAL GENERIC CODE CHANGES ARE REQUIRED. HOWEVER... CUSTOMERS MAY WISH TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF WATCH VALID TIMES AND LATITUDES/LONGITUDES OF WATCH BOX END POINTS FOR AUTOMATED PLOTTING OF WATCHES. A GENERIC EXAMPLE OF THE CONVECTIVE WATCH NARRATIVE/PRODUCT CATEGORY MKCSELX/WWUS9 KMKC FOLLOWS: WWUS9 KMKC DDHHMM MKCSELX /X=0-9/ :XXX,YYYY XXX,YYYY XXX,YYYY XXX,YYYY: //XXX=LATITUDE AND YYYY= LONGITUDE FOR EACH WATCH BOX END POINT...SHOWS UP ONLY ON NWWS...NOT FOS// MKC WW DDHHMM /DD=DAY OF MONTH...HHMM=HOUR AND MINUTES IN UGC/ STZ000-STZ000-ETC.-DDHHMM- /STANDARD ZONES UGC BY STATE WITH TERMINATION DATE/TIME/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO /OR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM/ WATCH NUMBER XXXX STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK LOCAL TIME/DAY/MON/YEAR THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A TORNADO /OR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM/ WATCH FOR ALL OR PORTIONS OF APPROPRIATE STATE SUB-REGIONS AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS //IF NEEDED// EFFECTIVE /DAY/ FROM /LOCAL TIME/ ... TO /LOCAL TIME/ //OPTION FOR ENHANCED WORDING TO DESCRIBE A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION// /OPTION FOR TORNADOES... - HAIL TO XX INCHES IN DIAMETER AND THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO XX MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS./ THE TORNADO /OR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM/ WATCH IS ALONG AND XX STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF /OR NORTH AND SOUTH OF OR EAST AND WEST OF/ A LINE FROM XX MILES //16-POINT COMPASS DIRECTION SPELLED OUT// OF /LOCATION/ TO XX MILES //16-POINT COMPASS DIRECTION SPELLED OUT// OF /LOCATION/. REMEMBER...A TORNADO /OR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM/ WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND TORNADOES //IF TORNADO WATCH// IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION.../OPTION FOR - THIS WATCH REPLACES WW NUMBER XXXX - OTHERWISE...NONE. DISCUSSION...//FREE PLAIN LANGUAGE TEXT TECHNICAL DISCUSSION OF METEOROLOGICAL FACTORS NECESSITATING THE WATCH// AVIATION.../TORNADOES AND/ A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO XX /DIAMETER/ INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO XX KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO XXX //HUNDREDS OF FEET//. STORM MOTION VECTOR XXXXX //VECTOR COMPONENT IN DEGREES AND KNOTS//. ...AUTHOR :XXX,YYYY XXX,YYYY XXX,YYYY XXX,YYYY: //WHERE XXX IS LATITUDE AND YYYY IS LONGITUDE FOR EACH WATCH BOX END POINT// IF YOU HAVE ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS...PLEASE CONTACT WILLIAM ALEXANDER 301-713-0090 X115 PAUL JANISH 405-579-0719 E-MAIL WILLIAM.ALEXANDER@NOAA.GOV E-MAIL PAUL.JANISH@NOAA.GOV OFFICE OF MEREOROLOGY W/OM11 STORM PREDICTION CENTER 1325 EAST-WEST HIGHWAY 1313 HALLEY CIRCLE SILVER SPRING MD 20910 NORMAN OK 73069 ...END... ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 30 Mar 1997 14:35:33 GMT From: Thomas Owens Subject: Re: I need software This software is known as a web browser. Tim Vasquez, author of Digital Atmosphere, has written a dedicated "weather web browser" called SkyAccess. The program is menu driven and uses images which are freely available over the INTERNET. It is shareware, and can be downloaded from: http://www.telepath.com/www/tvasquez/sky.zip -- Thomas Owens tjo113@psu.edu The Allentown Weather Center - Over 1000 Weather Links! http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/weather.html In article <333DEDB3.1D14@ionet.net>, discostu@ionet.net says... > >I am looking for some weather software that let's you download satellite >and radar images without having to download raw data first, and FREE. ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 30 Mar 1997 12:18:17 -0600 From: Bashful Subject: Speaking of software . . . Greetings! I'm a lay person when it comes to weather, and have a pretty creaky old computer, but I'm interested in learning more about browsers and other weather software. I'm currently test-driving a cute little program called WinWeather. I downloaded BlueSkies but could never get any support for it. (I kept getting "damaged or corrupted library files" messages, and the folks at Michigan told me it was because I was missing a program called Winsock. Funny, but I use Winsock to connect to my ISP and download things like BlueSkies . . . so, I never saw the software at work and deleted it. I tried configuring Winsock into the picture as many ways as I knew how, and it never cooperated. If anyone has any REAL pointers, I'll try it again!) I'll be checking into Mr. Vasquez' software, and would love to hear any other suggestions about other programs, provided they are shareware (or pretty inexpensive) and can run under Windows 3.1. Thanks so much for any advice you can share . . . Me? I'm new around here. Former public radio announcer itching to get back in (as soon as the downsizing ends!). I've always been a weather junkie, and hope to spend a vacation on a chase tour in the next couple of years . . .TWC is usually on at my house . . . to paraphrase Todd Rundgren, I'm "just another Channel-head" . . . Nice to find a list of the weather-interested! LisaB., aka Bashful, TaggFan@aol.com and TRiFan@compuserve.com http://www.iquest.net/~bashful/index.html ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 30 Mar 1997 14:31:39 -0500 From: Rick McCoy Subject: Application for American United wx funding I have received numerous requests for an application to Americans United to Maintain Weather Service Funding. We are making the application available through wx-talk. Currently letters are going out to all Emergency managers nationwide. We will be asking all of them to work with local communities to fight the drastic cuts effecting our weather service. Also letters have been sent to the Chairmans of the House and Senate Committees, the Sec. of Commerce and Dir. of NOAA. They have been informed that this organization will fight for the weather service and will not stand for such misguided decisions. More press around the country continues to call and is watching our moves to see what a powerful stand we take. Americans United will be a very loud voice across America and we will continue to advise the American public that their public safety is greatly jeopardized. We need you so we can become one unified front to let the Clinton Administration and Congress know that we want a properly funded Weather Service which continues to be professional and very reliable. If you wish to contact us by e-mail, write: emamccoy@bright.net. Our fax is (419)238-7628 or you may send the attached application with $10.00 membership dues to: - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - AMERICANS UNITED TO MAINTAIN WEATHER SERVICE FUNDING P.O.Box 602 Van Wert, Ohio 45891 Name:_____________________________ Organization:___________________________ Address:_________________________________ City:____________________ State:______________ Zip:_____________________ Phone:____________________________ Fax:________________________________ E-Mail____________________________ $10.00 Membership Dues enclosed __________ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Thanks and lets do it! Americans United President Rick W. McCoy EMA Director, Van Wert, ohio committee: Thomas Grazulis, director of Tornado Project, Johnbury, Vermont Kevin Knupp, Professor Atmospheric Science, University Huntsville,Al Tim Marshall, Meteorological consultant, Lewisville, Texas Eric Salna, Chief Meteorologist WZVN television, Ft. Myers, Florida ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 30 Mar 1997 21:51:00 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Special NCEP Discussion: Critical Weather Day Hello wx-talkers, Kludge my memory again by what is meant by NCEP as a "critical weather day". Extra staff, maintenance personnel on hand? See below. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* NOUS42 KWBC 310245 SPECIAL NCEP DISCUSSION CENTRAL OPERATIONS / NCEP / NWS / WASHINGTON DC 0245 UTC MON MAR 31 1997 310245Z 00Z NCEP PRODUCTION ON TIME...THE 48HR ETA OUTPUT WILL BE AVAILABLE SHORTLY...RAOB RECAP..FWD/72249 AND BRO/72250 AND LKN/72582 AND BIS/72764 AND UIL/72797 AND DNR/72469 ALL NOT AVAILABLE XCP FOR 700MB DATA AT DNR..REV/72489 DELETED LOW/COLD HGTS/TEMPS 400MB AND UP..CRITICAL WX-DAY MAY BE REQUIRED HERE AT NCEP/FOB4 COMPUTER COMPLEX FOR MONDAY..END.. SMITH/SDM/QAP/NCEP ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 29 Mar 1997 to 30 Mar 1997 ************************************************** From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Apr 1 05:44:13 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id FAA06502 for ; Tue, 1 Apr 1997 05:44:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102461-3563>; Tue, 1 Apr 1997 05:43:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA266070; Mon, 31 Mar 1997 15:39:54 -0600 Message-Id: <199703312139.PAA266070@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 31 Mar 1997 15:31:17 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 30 Mar 1997 to 31 Mar 1997 - Special issue To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 10 messages totalling 843 lines in this issue. Topics in this special issue: 1. I need software 2. Speaking of software . . . 3. TV stations compromising safety? (2) 4. the famous tv bug 5. Missing STADTS 6. 7. NHC cuts continued... 8. ATTENTION ALL WEATHER SPOTTERS, STORM CHASERS... 9. WX-TALK Digest - 29 Mar 1997 to 30 Mar 1997 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 30 Mar 1997 16:50:35 -0800 From: Weather Scratch Subject: Re: I need software Disco Stu wrote: > > I am looking for some weather software that let's you download satellite > and radar images without having to download raw data first, and FREE. Unless you are rich and can pay the piper - I am afraid you are tough out a luck. There is software out there to download, but you must register it to get any real benefit from it and raw data is the corner stone of making it work properly. Then again don't you think the software developers time is worth something $$$$$, like Robert and Tim, Mark, John and others. As for "Free" - if wishes were fishes, I'd have me a few. I will send Ed McMann your address so he can visit you. Afterall there is a lot of stock in the old saying - You get what you paid for. Free is fine, but there is nothing such as "free", someone always pays, and maybe it is time we all, decided to realize this and stop saying FREE!!!!, and start paying (reasonable fees though). Then we would have more and we would have room to complain, sure Gilbert, Mike, Tim and others do a fantastic job of creating links to so-called free stuff on the web, but their bottom line, pardon the pun, is someone has to pay to get that information to that link so you and I can look at it. UNCC\Duke Power was a very good example and see what happened there! Short-term this is great, long term, it is a pipe dream with financial budgets from GOV to private sector. In short our company is thinking of creating a subscriber based system, but it ain't for free! When it comes on-line. Good luck - If you can get it for FREE! John -- ========================================================================= Weather Scratch Meteorological Services 140 South Kirkman Street Florence, Alabama 35630-4312 (205) 766-8464 Voice/Fax (205) 984-4219 Digital Pager INTERNET E-Mail: metservices@wxscratch.com WEB PAGE: http://www.wxscratch.com Shop the Weather Store, Subscribe to Weather Watch Magazine, Buy a Boltek Lightning Detection System, or contact Weather Scratch for all your research and meteorological needs! Ask about The Severe Local Storm Forecasting Primer or a WINDY Tee Shirt! ========================================================================= ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 30 Mar 1997 19:40:08 GMT From: Thomas Owens Subject: Re: Speaking of software . . . I maintain a list of the weather related programs that are available over the INTERNET at: http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/software.html If you have written an application that is not listed, feel free to write to me at tjo113@psu.edu to get listed. -- Thomas Owens tjo113@psu.edu The Allentown Weather Center - Over 1000 Weather Links! http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/weather.html In article <199703301818.MAA221590@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu>, bashful@IQUEST.NET says... [deleted] >I'll be checking into Mr. Vasquez' software, and would love to hear any >other suggestions about other programs, provided they are shareware (or >pretty inexpensive) and can run under Windows 3.1. [deleted] >LisaB., aka Bashful, TaggFan@aol.com and TRiFan@compuserve.com >http://www.iquest.net/~bashful/index.html > ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 31 Mar 1997 10:20:38 -0600 From: Chip Mahaney Subject: Re: TV stations compromising safety? Hello from Dallas: Here at KDFW FOX 4, we use our Stormwatch software to transmit immediate news of watches and warnings over the air. We have a written policy as to how and when we'll put the automated "bug" (county grid map of our metro area) and crawls. We have other written policies that describe how and when we'll break in to programming for an on-camera weather bulletin. I won't go into detail about our station's policies in this forum, but let me offer the following: We do not run our Stormwatch bug or crawl information during commercial breaks. Tim Vasquez mentioned in his note that some stations/networks run 7-minute commercial breaks; ours are rarely more than 2 minutes long, and almost never more than 2:30. The sponsors pay us for the time, and we feel they're entitled to make their pitch without distraction. However... if we are experiencing a dangerous storm and/or we have warnings issued for our coverage area, we will absolutely break into programming for a weather bulletin. The meteorologist-on-duty has the option to break in at any time, even during commercials -- it's his call. We review our station's policies on a regular basis, to make sure we are best meeting the needs and wants of our community. It's a fine line, and yes people do call us to complain when the "bug" is on the air. But I would guess that most people either like the "bug" or don't care either way. Chip Mahaney Severe Weather Producer, et al KDFW-TV FOX 4 Dallas/Fort Worth, TX 214-720-3156 mahaneys@startext.net ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 31 Mar 1997 09:46:39 -0800 From: "Michael C. Lowther" Subject: the famous tv bug >Many of us in the central United States have local television stations which >proclaim to have the "best severe weather coverage". Part of this coverage >is a "permanent" overlay at the bottom of the screen depicting current >warnings/watches in effect. > >Has anyone noticed how many of these stations remove the overlays during >commercial breaks? Considering that some commercial breaks run upwards >of seven minutes and "live break-ins" are not often done for rural >counties, I would be interested to see a discussion on whether >this is unnecessarily compromising public safety. I've worked at two TV stations in TX that had auto-crawl, auto-map in the corner systems (First Warning/First Alert, etc.) I've been told by "management" that if anything is displayed over the commercial or if the ad is changed in any way, they have to notify the advertiser or the New York ad firm. 99% of the time the ad agency would go nuts and not pay for the ad. Again, this is what management at one of the stations told me. However, during a couple very dangerous tornado events my news director said leave the map icon on all the time until things settle down. We never heard anything negative about it. >For me, I can only *wish* to have that type of coverage in Chicago. >In Illinois, severe weather is not considered all that important. I've always been amazed at the number of small/medium markets that have very good severe weather coverage while nearby larger markets don't really care. I worked in Austin/Waco/Tyler, TX and all three markets had aggressive severe weather coverage by all the stations. Meanwhile markets like DFW and San Antonio had very lackluster coverage. When I left TX a few years ago, the weather-wars in the DFW market were heating up though. >When I had a flood warning up a month ago for an event in >northern IL, I was forced to take it down during a soap opera episode that >was supposedly intense. Yeah, I've seen some strange things happen as well. When I worked in Tyler we had a very large map icon since we covered so many counties in East TX. During a severe wx event on a Saturday afternoon (alot of warnings coming out of SHV & FTW!) we had a golf tourney on for hours. When the golfers would putt, the camera shot would always seem to get the hole under the map bug or the crawl. I guess golf is one of the few sports were the action happens at the bottom of the screen. I heard a story of a TV weather guy in Central Texas that was ready to finish up his day and get out the door. Just as he was leaving a Flash Flood Watch came down. He handed it to the poor C.G. operator and said "run this." The C.G. op was new on the job (they all seem to be) and typed the whole text for the Flash Flood Watch, every word. I'm told the crawl ran seven and a half mins! The general manager timed it and wasn't happy. Enjoy the storm season folks... :-) Mike Clay NorthWest Cable News SEA ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 31 Mar 1997 12:10:48 -0600 From: Gordon Brooks Subject: Missing STADTS Could someone please e-mail directly (or post) the STADTS for 06 CST FRI Mar 28 - 06 CST SAT Mar 29. My normal and alternate modes of receipt are not happening. I've gone through some LSRs, but there was no time associated with many of the events...hence my call for help. Thanks. Gordon Brooks brooksg@afgwc.offutt.af.mil ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 31 Mar 1997 12:50:40 -0600 From: Tom Grazulis Subject: Hi Roy! Here is the address you wanted. Harold Kuykendall 614 Liberty St. Lexington Park, MD 20653-1843 Now, the email list. This is what you do. You put the following address in the TO: field LISTSERV@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Your address should automatically be filled in when you begin the letter. In the subject field write the word Subscribe In the message field type: SUBSCRIBE WX-CHASE ROY BRITT That's it--the machine will send back a message asking you to confirm that you did indeed want to subscribe, and the next morning you will get the first batch of messages, all together in "digest" form. Warm Regards Doris ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ The Tornado Project of Environmental Films visit us at: email us at: tornproj@plainfield.bypass.com call us at: (802) 748-2505 fax us at: (802) 748-2543 ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 31 Mar 1997 12:52:41 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: NHC cuts continued... >From UPI. The pot boils... Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * Got mole problems? Call Avogadro at 6.02 X 10^23. * ******************************************************************************* >Officials defend hurricane forecast cuts >Friday March 28 2:07 PM EST > > MIAMI, March 28 (UPI) _ Weather service officials defended >cuts at the National Hurricane Center during a meeting in Miami, saying >the staff reductions will not hinder forecasting of the huge storms. > > But forecasters at the center say the elimination of 11 jobs >is risky, particularly when forecasters must track several storms at >once, or when one acts unpredictably as it threatens the coast. > > Bob Burpee, director of the National Hurricane Center, says, >``There's certainly a risk. Fatigue could set in at some point and >somebody could certainly miss something.'' > > Joe Friday, the head of the National Weather Service, says he >does not foresee a problem. He is in charge of implementing the $27.5 >million in cuts ordered at the agency as part of Congressionally >mandated budget reductions. > > He says, ``I do not believe we have increased the risk of >hurricanes in this country as the result of actions that are taken.'' > > Rep. Clay Shaw, R-Fla., also attended the meeting and called >for hearings to reconsider the reductions. > > Shaw says, ``The administration has proposed that the weather >budget be cut. There has been a lot of concern that has been expressed >by that. I think we need a hearing to determine what modifications are >going to be made, particularly here at the center.'' > > Friday said that of the reductions, only $300,000 affects the >hurricane facility. > > The staff reductions include two meteorologists, four >technicians, one employee of the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric >Administration, one satellite technician and three other positions which >currently are unstaffed. > > Copyright 1997 by United Press International. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 31 Mar 1997 13:12:22 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: ATTENTION ALL WEATHER SPOTTERS, STORM CHASERS... We now have a comprehensive site list on the Storm Chaser Homepage where you may fill out storm reports to National Weather Service offices that are now on-line. It should be noted, however, that you should try to get the reports to the NWS in real time; if you can't however, take advantage of this as every severe weather report verified means a lot to the severe weather database. The URL is: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/nwsreports.html Thanks to Roger Edwards, SPC forecaster, for getting this going...I'll be updating this when I get back on my feet again...literally! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 31 Mar 1997 14:01:41 -0600 From: Peter Laws Subject: Re: TV stations compromising safety? Two comments about crawls and such over programming, esp. commercials. One, why not have sales add a pitch along the lines of "do you mind if we run tornado warnings across your ad?". Some will say "of course" and others will say "no way". When folks call to ask why some do and some don't tell them that it was the decision of the advertiser. :-) The other is why don't more stations do the "picture squeeze" during svr wx? KOTV-6 in TUL does this (though not always). Yes, it degrades the image some, but that's better than missing other data printed on the screen. At least, IMHO. -- Peter Laws / plaws@wildstar.net / N5UWY ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 31 Mar 1997 15:38:55 -0600 From: James Spann Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 29 Mar 1997 to 30 Mar 1997 >Tim Vasquez Wrote: >Many of us in the central United States have local >television stations which >proclaim to have the "best severe weather coverage". Part of this coverage >is a "permanent" overlay at the bottom of the screen depicting current >warnings/watches in effect. > >Has anyone noticed how many of these stations remove the overlays during >commercial breaks? Considering that some commercial breaks run upwards >of seven minutes and "live break-ins" are not often done for rural >counties, I would be interested to see a discussion on whether >this is unnecessarily compromising public safety. Tim... I couldn't agree with you more about "hype" done by stations! Often this isn't followed up. On the other hand, management can often play a roll in weather some of those stations are able to stay on...and paying customers often don't like their spots tainted by severe weather graphics. Here at our station in Birmingham, we are fortunate to the fact that our management allows us to make the decisions on covering severe weather!!! Unfortunately not everyone is as fortunate to work for such great management. Since then, we've developed a policy to give continuous coverage during Tornado Warnings! No matter how rural, or what time. We've cost our station thousands of dollars in advertising, but we may have also saved lives. This is a highly debated subject also inside TV stations. But, hopefully for those stations which do give complete and extended coverage, there will be some recognition. It's often a judgement call, but one we feel very important to those we've gained trust with in our viewing audience. Mark Prater ABC 33/40 Birmingham, Ala Markp@abc3340.com ____________________________________________________ Alabama's ABC 33/40 Weather Center >---------- >From: Automatic digest processor[SMTP:LISTSERV@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU] >Sent: Monday, March 31, 1997 12:02 AM >To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests >Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 29 Mar 1997 to 30 Mar 1997 > >There are 8 messages totalling 398 lines in this issue. > >Topics of the day: > > 1. TV stations compromising safety? (2) > 2. ASOS Remarks > 3. Just a reminder... > 4. I need software > 5. Speaking of software . . . > 6. Application for American United wx funding > 7. Special NCEP Discussion: Critical Weather Day > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > >---------------------------------------------------------------------- > >Date: Sun, 30 Mar 1997 02:57:43 EST >From: Tim Vasquez <71611.2267@COMPUSERVE.COM> >Subject: TV stations compromising safety? > > > >Tim Vasquez author, WeatherGraphix >Norman, OK Digital Atmosphere >71611.2267@compuserve.com (405) 573-0700 >WeatherGraphix/Digital Atmosphere -- http://www.telepath.com/www/tvasquez/ >StormTrack Online -- http://www.telepath.com/www/storm/ > >------------------------------ > >Date: Sat, 29 Mar 1997 23:51:24 -0500 >From: "Boris A. Konon" >Subject: ASOS Remarks > >The following is a metar from Saturday evening from Oklahoma City. > >KOKC 300156Z 3402731KT 10SM SCT065 SCT100 BKN250 19/09 A2987 RMK > A02 PKWND 34031/0155 TSB25E54 PRESRR SLP107 FRQ LTGICCG DSNT > N CB DSNT N MOV E SHELF CLOUD APRNT WIND SHEAR AT AP TCU W-NW > T01890089 $ 5 > >The remarks section is excellent. You don't see much of anything >anymore at most sites due to ASOS. Perhaps manual remarks are >making a comeback? I remember that in the last few years since >OKC was commissioned, there wasn't much in the way in remarks. >Certainly, a shelf cloud and wind shear are very important to >aviation. > >Boris A. Konon >WSI Met Ops > >------------------------------ > >Date: Sun, 30 Mar 1997 10:12:52 -0600 >From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" >Subject: Re: TV stations compromising safety? > >On 30 Mar 1997, Tim Vasquez wrote: > >> Many of us in the central United States have local television stations >>which >> proclaim to have the "best severe weather coverage". Part of this coverage >> is a "permanent" overlay at the bottom of the screen depicting current >> warnings/watches in effect. >> >> Has anyone noticed how many of these stations remove the overlays during >> commercial breaks? Considering that some commercial breaks run upwards >> of seven minutes and "live break-ins" are not often done for rural >> counties, I would be interested to see a discussion on whether >> this is unnecessarily compromising public safety. > >For me, I can only *wish* to have that type of coverage in Chicago. >In Illinois, severe weather is not considered all that important. In fact, >I must applaud all the stations in my community, Rockford--they put the >"bug" (as we call it in the biz) in a corner continuously until the >threat is over, describing the threat and where. In Chicago, and other >metro areas surrounding Rockford, they don't, at least most of them. None >in Chicago do. And two of three network stations in RFD do keep theirs up >continuously, right through the commercials. > >To be honest, I don't think that removing the bug during >commercials compromises safety at all. When a storm is approaching, the >TV or radio should go on. Not when you are getting 2" hail falling out of >the sky, or you hear a loud roaring noise. It's too late at that point, >and a bug won't help you at all. And in the situations I've been in, >flipping to another channel does the trick if one station has theirs off. > >In fact, many people *hate* that bug in the corner of the screen, even in >tornado alley. When I had a flood warning up a month ago for an event in >northern IL, I was forced to take it down during a soap opera episode that >was supposedly intense. No one wanted that bug with their recording of the >episode, and we were hit with literally hundreds of calls until it was >yanked. > >That, Tim, is the real problem. Not a bug, but apathy of dangerous >weather events. > >Gilbert > >***************************************************************************** >** >Gilbert Sebenste ******** >Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** >Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** >URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** >SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * >THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * >Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * >***************************************************************************** >** > >------------------------------ > >Date: Sun, 30 Mar 1997 10:20:19 -0600 >From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" >Subject: Just a reminder... > >SPC watches change format in about two weeks. > >Gilbert > >***************************************************************************** >** >Gilbert Sebenste ******** >Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** >Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** >URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** >SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * >THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * >Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * >Got mole problems? Call Avogadro at 6.02 X 10^23. * >***************************************************************************** >** > > > > >PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT......REPEAT....... >NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS WASHINGTON DC >900 AM EST FRI MAR 28 1997 > >TO: FAMILY OF SERVICES /FOS/ SUBSCRIBERS...NOAA WEATHER > WIRE SERVICE /NWWS/ SUBSCRIBERS...OTHER NATIONAL > WEATHER SERVICE /NWS/ CUSTOMERS...NWS EMPLOYEES > >FROM: DONALD R. WERNLY...CHIEF...CUSTOMER SERVICE > >SUBJECT: CONVECTIVE WATCH NARRATIVE PRODUCTS WILL HAVE A NEW > FORMAT...EFFECTIVE APRIL 15 1997 > >BEGINNING APRIL 15 1997 AT 6:00 A.M. CDT /1100 UNIVERSAL TIME >COORDINATED /UTC/...CONVECTIVE WATCH NARRATIVE PRODUCTS ISSUED >BY THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER AT NORMAN...OKLAHOMA WILL HAVE A >NEW FORMAT...PROVIDING IMPROVEMENTS OVER THE CURRENT VERSION. > >O THE PRODUCT WILL INCLUDE BOTH BEGINNING AND ENDING > TIMES OF THE WATCH. > >O TECHNICAL INFORMATION WILL BE SEPARATED FROM THE NON- > TECHNICAL INFORMATION...WITH THE LATTER SITUATED NEAR > THE TOP OF THE PRODUCT. > >O INSTEAD OF "A..." "C..." "D," ETC... PARTS OF THE WATCH > WILL BE IDENTIFIED WITH KEY WORDS "DISCUSSION"..."OTHER > WATCH INFORMATION," AND "AVIATION." > >O PLAIN LANGUAGE WILL BE USED TO DESCRIBE THE POTENTIAL FOR > HAIL SIZE AND THUNDERSTORM WIND. > >O THE TERM "STORM MOTION VECTOR" WHICH IS MORE DESCRIPTIVE AND > SCIENTIFICALLY ACCURATE...WILL REPLACE "MEAN WIND VECTOR" > >O LATITUDE/LONGITUDES OF WATCH BOX END POINTS WILL BE PLACED > AT THE BOTTOM AS WELL AS AT THE TOP OF THE PRODUCT. THIS > ALLOWS CUSTOMERS TO PLOT THE BOX USING COMPUTER SOFTWARE. > > THESE CHANGES ARE DESIGNED TO ALLOW FOR QUICKER AND EASIER >READING OF WATCH PRODUCTS. NO PRODUCT IDENTIFIER/HEADER CHANGES >AND NO UNIVERSAL GENERIC CODE CHANGES ARE REQUIRED. HOWEVER... >CUSTOMERS MAY WISH TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF WATCH VALID TIMES AND >LATITUDES/LONGITUDES OF WATCH BOX END POINTS FOR AUTOMATED >PLOTTING OF WATCHES. A GENERIC EXAMPLE OF THE CONVECTIVE WATCH >NARRATIVE/PRODUCT CATEGORY MKCSELX/WWUS9 KMKC FOLLOWS: > >WWUS9 KMKC DDHHMM >MKCSELX /X=0-9/ :XXX,YYYY XXX,YYYY XXX,YYYY XXX,YYYY: >//XXX=LATITUDE AND YYYY= LONGITUDE FOR EACH WATCH BOX END >POINT...SHOWS UP ONLY ON NWWS...NOT FOS// > >MKC WW DDHHMM /DD=DAY OF MONTH...HHMM=HOUR AND MINUTES IN UGC/ >STZ000-STZ000-ETC.-DDHHMM- /STANDARD ZONES UGC BY STATE WITH >TERMINATION DATE/TIME/ > >BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED >TORNADO /OR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM/ WATCH NUMBER XXXX >STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK >LOCAL TIME/DAY/MON/YEAR > >THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A TORNADO /OR SEVERE >THUNDERSTORM/ WATCH FOR ALL OR PORTIONS OF > APPROPRIATE STATE SUB-REGIONS > AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS //IF NEEDED// > >EFFECTIVE /DAY/ FROM /LOCAL TIME/ ... TO /LOCAL TIME/ >//OPTION FOR ENHANCED WORDING TO DESCRIBE A PARTICULARLY >DANGEROUS SITUATION// /OPTION FOR TORNADOES... - HAIL TO XX >INCHES IN DIAMETER AND THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO XX MPH ARE >POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS./ > >THE TORNADO /OR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM/ WATCH IS ALONG AND XX >STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF /OR NORTH AND SOUTH OF OR EAST AND >WEST OF/ A LINE FROM XX MILES //16-POINT COMPASS DIRECTION >SPELLED OUT// OF /LOCATION/ TO XX MILES //16-POINT COMPASS >DIRECTION SPELLED OUT// OF /LOCATION/. > >REMEMBER...A TORNADO /OR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM/ WATCH MEANS >CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND TORNADOES >//IF TORNADO WATCH// IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS >IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER >CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. > >OTHER WATCH INFORMATION.../OPTION FOR - THIS WATCH REPLACES WW >NUMBER XXXX - OTHERWISE...NONE. > >DISCUSSION...//FREE PLAIN LANGUAGE TEXT TECHNICAL DISCUSSION OF >METEOROLOGICAL FACTORS NECESSITATING THE WATCH// > >AVIATION.../TORNADOES AND/ A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH >HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO XX /DIAMETER/ INCHES. EXTREME >TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO XX KNOTS. A FEW >CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO XXX //HUNDREDS OF FEET//. STORM >MOTION VECTOR XXXXX //VECTOR COMPONENT IN DEGREES AND KNOTS//. > >...AUTHOR > >:XXX,YYYY XXX,YYYY XXX,YYYY XXX,YYYY: //WHERE XXX IS LATITUDE AND >YYYY IS LONGITUDE FOR EACH WATCH BOX END POINT// > >IF YOU HAVE ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS...PLEASE CONTACT > >WILLIAM ALEXANDER 301-713-0090 X115 PAUL JANISH 405-579-0719 >E-MAIL WILLIAM.ALEXANDER@NOAA.GOV E-MAIL PAUL.JANISH@NOAA.GOV >OFFICE OF MEREOROLOGY W/OM11 STORM PREDICTION CENTER >1325 EAST-WEST HIGHWAY 1313 HALLEY CIRCLE >SILVER SPRING MD 20910 NORMAN OK 73069 >...END... > >------------------------------ > >Date: Sun, 30 Mar 1997 14:35:33 GMT >From: Thomas Owens >Subject: Re: I need software > >This software is known as a web browser. Tim Vasquez, author of Digital >Atmosphere, has written a dedicated "weather web browser" called SkyAccess. >The program is menu driven and uses images which are freely available over >the >INTERNET. It is shareware, and can be downloaded from: > >http://www.telepath.com/www/tvasquez/sky.zip > >-- >Thomas Owens >tjo113@psu.edu >The Allentown Weather Center - Over 1000 Weather Links! >http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/weather.html > > > > >In article <333DEDB3.1D14@ionet.net>, discostu@ionet.net says... >> >>I am looking for some weather software that let's you download satellite >>and radar images without having to download raw data first, and FREE. > >------------------------------ > >Date: Sun, 30 Mar 1997 12:18:17 -0600 >From: Bashful >Subject: Speaking of software . . . > >Greetings! > >I'm a lay person when it comes to weather, and have a pretty creaky old >computer, but I'm interested in learning more about browsers and other >weather software. I'm currently test-driving a cute little program called >WinWeather. I downloaded BlueSkies but could never get any support for it. >(I kept getting "damaged or corrupted library files" messages, and the folks >at Michigan told me it was because I was missing a program called Winsock. >Funny, but I use Winsock to connect to my ISP and download things like >BlueSkies . . . so, I never saw the software at work and deleted it. >I tried configuring Winsock into the picture as many ways as I knew how, and >it never cooperated. If anyone has any REAL pointers, I'll try it again!) > >I'll be checking into Mr. Vasquez' software, and would love to hear any >other suggestions about other programs, provided they are shareware (or >pretty inexpensive) and can run under Windows 3.1. > > >Thanks so much for any advice you can share . . . > >Me? I'm new around here. Former public radio announcer itching to get back >in (as soon as the downsizing ends!). I've always been a weather junkie, >and hope to spend a vacation on a chase tour in the next couple of years . . >.TWC is usually on at my house . . . to paraphrase Todd Rundgren, I'm "just >another Channel-head" . . . > >Nice to find a list of the weather-interested! > >LisaB., aka Bashful, TaggFan@aol.com and TRiFan@compuserve.com >http://www.iquest.net/~bashful/index.html > >------------------------------ > >Date: Sun, 30 Mar 1997 14:31:39 -0500 >From: Rick McCoy >Subject: Application for American United wx funding > > I have received numerous requests for an application to Americans >United to Maintain Weather Service Funding. We are making the application >available through wx-talk. > > Currently letters are going out to all Emergency managers nationwide. >We will be asking all of them to work with local communities to fight the >drastic cuts effecting our weather service. Also letters have been sent to >the Chairmans of the House and Senate Committees, the Sec. of Commerce and >Dir. of NOAA. They have been informed that this organization will fight for >the weather service and will not stand for such misguided decisions. > > More press around the country continues to call and is watching our >moves to see what a powerful stand we take. Americans United will be a very >loud voice across America and we will continue to advise the American public >that their public safety is greatly jeopardized. > > We need you so we can become one unified front to let the Clinton >Administration and Congress know that we want a properly funded Weather >Service which continues to be professional and very reliable. If you wish to >contact us by e-mail, write: emamccoy@bright.net. Our fax is >(419)238-7628 or you may send the attached application with $10.00 >membership dues to: > >- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - >- > AMERICANS UNITED TO MAINTAIN WEATHER SERVICE FUNDING > P.O.Box 602 > Van Wert, Ohio 45891 > > >Name:_____________________________ >Organization:___________________________ > >Address:_________________________________ > >City:____________________ State:______________ >Zip:_____________________ > >Phone:____________________________ Fax:________________________________ > >E-Mail____________________________ > > >$10.00 Membership Dues enclosed __________ > >- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - >- > >Thanks and lets do it! > >Americans United President Rick W. McCoy EMA Director, Van Wert, ohio > >committee: Thomas Grazulis, director of Tornado Project, Johnbury, Vermont > Kevin Knupp, Professor Atmospheric Science, University >Huntsville,Al > Tim Marshall, Meteorological consultant, Lewisville, Texas > Eric Salna, Chief Meteorologist WZVN television, Ft. Myers, >Florida > >------------------------------ > >Date: Sun, 30 Mar 1997 21:51:00 -0600 >From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" >Subject: Special NCEP Discussion: Critical Weather Day > >Hello wx-talkers, > >Kludge my memory again by what is meant by NCEP as a "critical weather >day". Extra staff, maintenance personnel on hand? See below. > >Gilbert > >***************************************************************************** >** >Gilbert Sebenste ******** >Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** >Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** >URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** >SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * >THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * >Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * >***************************************************************************** >** > >NOUS42 KWBC 310245 > >SPECIAL NCEP DISCUSSION >CENTRAL OPERATIONS / NCEP / NWS / WASHINGTON DC >0245 UTC MON MAR 31 1997 > >310245Z 00Z NCEP PRODUCTION ON TIME...THE 48HR ETA OUTPUT WILL >BE AVAILABLE SHORTLY...RAOB RECAP..FWD/72249 AND BRO/72250 AND >LKN/72582 AND BIS/72764 AND UIL/72797 AND DNR/72469 ALL NOT >AVAILABLE XCP FOR 700MB DATA AT DNR..REV/72489 DELETED LOW/COLD >HGTS/TEMPS 400MB AND UP..CRITICAL WX-DAY MAY BE REQUIRED HERE >AT NCEP/FOB4 COMPUTER COMPLEX FOR MONDAY..END.. >SMITH/SDM/QAP/NCEP > >------------------------------ > >End of WX-TALK Digest - 29 Mar 1997 to 30 Mar 1997 >************************************************** > ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 30 Mar 1997 to 31 Mar 1997 - Special issue ****************************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Apr 1 13:57:31 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id NAA10126 for ; Tue, 1 Apr 1997 13:57:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102463-4797>; Tue, 1 Apr 1997 13:56:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA43658; Mon, 31 Mar 1997 23:47:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5139093 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 31 Mar 1997 23:47:11 -0600 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA236342 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 1997 23:46:20 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA88824 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 31 Mar 1997 23:46:19 -0600 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199704010546.AA88824@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 31 Mar 1997 23:46:19 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -312346 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 40949 ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z/020600Z APR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR AT LEAST 24 HOURS AND IS LOCATED NEAR 3N3 167E4. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SATELLITE SCATTEROMETRY DATA FROM 1125Z, 31 MAR INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PRESENT IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION, WHICH HAS INCREASED IN AREAL EXTENT DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS AND ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO SUGGEST A SECONDARY LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY EXIST ABOUT 350 NAUTICAL MILES TO THE EAST OF THE PRIMARY LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. SATELLITE-DERIVED UPPER-LEVEL WIND DATA INDICATE 20 TO 30 KNOTS OF SURFACE TO 200 MB VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS PRESENT ABOVE THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/PUGH// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Apr 1 14:49:55 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA10504 for ; Tue, 1 Apr 1997 14:49:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102510-4797>; Tue, 1 Apr 1997 14:49:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA82262; Tue, 1 Apr 1997 00:09:33 -0600 Message-Id: <199704010609.AAA82262@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Apr 1997 00:01:46 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 31 Mar 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 2 messages totalling 166 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. TV stations compromising safety? 2. Training cuts in the NWS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 31 Mar 1997 15:34:49 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: Re: TV stations compromising safety? Peter Laws wrote: >Two comments about crawls and such over programming, esp. commercials. >One, why not have sales add a pitch along the lines of "do you mind if we >run tornado warnings across your ad?". Some will say "of course" and >others will say "no way". When folks call to ask why some do and some >don't tell them that it was the decision of the advertiser. :-) There are three important things to consider: 1) Television is a business. It's our job to run commercials in order to pay for the programs and services we provide. We also try to help the public --where we can. Hospitals are similar. They too are in the business of making money --while coincidentally helping patients. They charge fees (the equivalent of our running commercials) in order to pay staff and purchase new equipment. They can only give away so much free care. It's not their job to make sure everyone in the community is eating right and exercising daily. 2) While broadcasters are asked to do certain things to assist in public safety (like pass along warnings) we are not *required* to interrupt commercials or to continuously display "bugs" or crawls. We are only required to participate in getting the word out. The degree to which we do this is dictated by many factors --discussed below. 3) If Joe Sixpack really wants to know when a warning has been issued for his area he should purchase a NOAA weather radio --a service specifically designed for disseminating/receiving warnings. When and how programming is interrupted is up to the individual station. My station, for example, will interrupt all programming, including commercials, with live break-ins, for tornado warnings. However, for severe thunderstorm warnings we only interrupt regular programming --not commercials. If a severe thunderstorm warning is issued by the NWS during a commercial break, we will wait for the break to end and then do a live break-in over regular programming. In no case do we ever run crawls over commercials. If during a newscast a tornado warning is issued, we will attempt to slip it into the line-up. However, sometimes we must wait until the weather segment or weather re-cap segment comes up. Some stations make enough money that they can afford to blow off a small percentage of commercial spots (which we do not get paid for) in order to hype their image as "Thee weather source". These stations may have their own severe weather live-eye truck and employee their own spotter networks. My station cannot afford to do this. Every commercial dollar counts. My station predominantly serves southern Illinois although our market technically covers western Kentucky and southeast Missouri. When we interrupt significant programming, like a big motor race, for a warning someplace other than Illinois we start receiving dozens of hate calls. Our station's warning policy is partially based upon what management and our chief meteorologist decide, what the public wants or doesn't want, and what our competition is doing. I have talked to other stations in our market and they have experienced similar problems when it comes to "serving the public" vs. making sponsors happy. Our neighboring NBC affiliate for example used to run a county listing bug over all programming, however, this was discontinued after viewers complained. When WSI started Intellicast a couple of years ago, people started bitching about their radar being updated only once an hour. They demanded better service (even though they weren't paying for it). And a couple of years ago I wrote a letter to WX-TALK saying something like "if you want better radar service then pay for it yourself". I feel the same way about TV weather and crawls. A TV station can only go so far to provide the public with safety information. We do the best we can given the limitations dictated by management, manpower, and money. People must understand is that it's the individual, not the government or broadcast media, that is ultimately responsible for his/her own safety. Others are welcome to chime in with your side of the story. DISCLAIMER: My comments are my own and do not necessarily reflect the stated views of my employer, WSIL TV, or of ABC Television/Disney. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 31 Mar 1997 22:29:17 GMT From: Brian Curran Subject: Training cuts in the NWS Before I begin, I would like to say publicly and for the record that I speak for myself and not for my unnamed employer. I am merely exercising my rights under Article I of the Bill of Rights. To the best of my knowledge, speaking as a private citizen will not violate ethics regulations put forth by my unnamed employer. I also understand that certain individuals may not be entirely pleased with some things I may say. Should those individuals disagree with me, fine. We are all entitled to our opinions and to the right to air them. If, however, these individuals wish to take action against me, covert or otherwise, for exercising my First Amendment rights, then I will have no recourse but to pursue redress in civil court. There has been much discussion in this newsgroup and elsewhere concerning the shortsightedness of NOAA and the NWS in reducing staff at TPC and SPC. I will agree that this decision is ill-advised and will endanger millions of citizens. There is another casualty in this budgetary fiasco that has not received much attention. Training and continuing education activities will be reduced as a result of this budgetary shortfall. While this reduction does not have the immediate impact that the reductions in force at the national centers have, it will nonetheless have a grave impact on the quality of services provided by the NWS. Most of you are aware that the OSF WSR-88D training center in Norman will close soon. Nearly all operational meteorologists in the NWS have received training at the OSF school, and because the need for this centralized training has all but ended, the facility will cease operations. In the future, WSR-88D training and continuing education for NWS meteorologists will be done through distance learning, ideally using a combination of Professional Development modules and tutelage from the staff Science and Operations Officer. In his memo on 3/21/97 detailing the impacts of the NWS budget shortfall, Dr. Friday states that reductions in both university outreach and distance training will be necessary. This training is imperative for NWS field meteorologists to remain current in both the research and operational uses of the WSR-88D. The magnitude of this reduction in training is unknown to me; however, it is my opinion that *any* reduction in training or continuing education will result in degradation of services and will put people's lives at risk. How can NWS field meteorologists improve their warning services to the public when they are denied the opportunity to further their knowledge? How can NWS field meteorologists properly utilize the WSR-88D when they are denied the proper training on what the radar can and cannot do? The reduction in training and continuing education is not limited to the WSR-88D. Other technologies, such as AWIPS and the next generation of GOES satellites, will provide meteorologists with the opportunity to improve on the quality of service. If the field meteorologists cannot fully utilize these new technologies, however, the money spent on procurement and development will be wasted. Education and training are essential to justify the expense of these new platforms. If training and education are curtailed, then these technologies will be nothing more than very expensive toilet seats and hammers. If the NWS is to work "smarter", then it makes sense to make smart decisions. Reducing training and education is not a smart decision. It is a prescription for disaster. bc -- Brian Curran ebcurran@flash.net Standard disclaimers apply; I speak for myself. "The opinion of the strongest is always the best." - J. de la Fontaine ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 31 Mar 1997 *********************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Apr 2 14:06:15 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA19929 for ; Wed, 2 Apr 1997 14:06:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102182-26907>; Wed, 2 Apr 1997 14:05:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA184776; Tue, 1 Apr 1997 23:58:16 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5151257 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Apr 1997 23:56:47 -0600 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA24502 for ; Tue, 1 Apr 1997 23:56:46 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA43997 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 1 Apr 1997 23:56:45 -0600 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199704020556.AA43997@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Apr 1997 23:56:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -012356 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 27354 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z/030600Z APR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 3N3 167E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4N4 164E1. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PRESENT IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION, WHICH HAS DECREASED IN AREAL EXTENT DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL RAWINSONDE DATA INDICATE GOOD UPPER- LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS PRESENT ABOVE THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR AT LEAST 24 HOURS AND IS LOCATED NEAR 5N5 174E2. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THREE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTERS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. YESTERDAY, THIS SYSTEM WAS THE POSSIBLE SECONDARY LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER LOCATED TO THE EAST OF THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED SUSPECT AREA NOW LOCATED NEAR 4N4 164E1. UPPER-LEVEL RAWINSONDE REPORTS SHOW GOOD UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS PRESENT ABOVE THIS SYSTEM AS WELL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/PUGH/BACON// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Apr 2 14:25:55 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA20085 for ; Wed, 2 Apr 1997 14:25:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102158-26907>; Wed, 2 Apr 1997 14:25:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA65322; Wed, 2 Apr 1997 00:09:41 -0600 Message-Id: <199704020609.AAA65322@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Apr 1997 00:03:44 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 31 Mar 1997 to 1 Apr 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 14 messages totalling 710 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Weather Software. (2) 2. TV stations compromising safety? (2) 3. HOW THE WEATHERWORKS Home Page - Major Upgrading 4. National Sky Awareness Week 5. Training cuts in the NWS 6. Humor! 7. TV warnings displays.. 8. WX-TALK Digest - 20 Feb 1997 to 21 Feb 1997 9. NSSL/SPC Employees Association Merchandise 10. accumulation 11. Microsoft to buy SPC/NHC (April 1st, 1997) (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 1 Apr 1997 05:16:04 GMT From: Jon Nichols Subject: Weather Software. I followed a link I found in this group and downloaded a program that I THINK was made by Mr. Vasquez (Hope I speeled that right.) It was supposed to be some sort of weather browser. Unfortunatly I can't seem to find that link anymore. And when I unzipped the program and tried installing it I got an "Error 102" it said I was not running the right version of Windows. I am running Windows 3.11 for Workgroups. Can anyone help? ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 1 Apr 1997 04:59:19 GMT From: Jon Nichols Subject: Re: TV stations compromising safety? Peter Laws wrote: >Two comments about crawls and such over programming, esp. commercials. >One, why not have sales add a pitch along the lines of "do you mind if we >run tornado warnings across your ad?". Some will say "of course" and >others will say "no way". When folks call to ask why some do and some >don't tell them that it was the decision of the advertiser. :-) >The other is why don't more stations do the "picture squeeze" during svr >wx? KOTV-6 in TUL does this (though not always). Yes, it degrades the >image some, but that's better than missing other data printed on the >screen. At least, IMHO. The question I have is, How much more money is gained in ratings rise. I know where I am (MPLS MN) there is one station that particularly seems to do a bang up job of breaking in and crawling and so forth. If I think severe weather is immenent after tunning to NWS radio and local spotter freqs I ALWAYS go to that station. And I think the station that can get the most veiwers in the time frame has a better chance at keeping those viewers for say local news and other programming, thus boosting ratings. Am I off base here or not? Jon Nichols ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 1 Apr 1997 09:12:12 +0000 From: "H. MICHAEL MOGIL" Subject: HOW THE WEATHERWORKS Home Page - Major Upgrading HOW THE WEATHERWORKS is pleased to unveil its upgraded home page, just in time for National Sky Awareness Week (SAW) 1997. The page features information about SAW, schools participating in the data exchange project, activities related to the sky, comet Hale-Bopp information, and links to other sources of weather information including NSF's National Science and Technology Week page. There is also a link to the Weather Channel's SKY QUIZ (which we helped to create). We will be posting copies of state sky awareness proclamations later this week. Look for yours there. If you don't find this years, perhaps you'd like to help obtain one. It is really quite easy (most of the time) and offers some interesting lessons in "political meteorology". We hope that you visit the page often and like what you find there. Links to the page are always welcomed. More educational information will be posted soon. -- Mike Mogil weather educator HOW THE WEATHERWORKS 1522 Baylor Avenue Rockville, MD 20850 301-762-SNOW hmmogil@weatherworks.com http://www.weatherworks.com ****** ****** ****** ****** "In nature there are neither rewards nor punishments---there are consequences." R.G. Ingersoll (1833-1899) American attorney ****** ****** ****** ****** ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 1 Apr 1997 09:15:15 +0000 From: "H. MICHAEL MOGIL" Subject: National Sky Awareness Week National Sky Awareness Week will be celebrated the week of April 20-26, 1997. The theme for this year was quite appropriately chosen: THE SKY - WHERE METEOROLOGY AND ASTRONOMY MEET. Complete information about this event can be found at our home page http://www.weatherworks.com. Just click on the Sky Awareness button. There are also links to Hale-Bopp sites, and information about classroom-based sky activities. Although we have nearly 20 schools involved in a data exchange project and have obtained many state proclamations for the celebration, we are looking for additional schools, additional proclamations, and all forms of publicity (positive, of course). If you are interested, or know of someone else who might be, please let us know. We envison the data exchange project continuing into the 1997-98 school year and beyond. Regarding publicity, we are generally available for phone interviews any day of the week from 8am-6pm. This week, however, Mike will be in Baton Rouge, LA for a SAW school visit and several media appearances. Thanks for your interest in this event and happy sky watching!!! -- Mike Mogil weather educator HOW THE WEATHERWORKS 1522 Baylor Avenue Rockville, MD 20850 301-762-SNOW hmmogil@weatherworks.com http://www.weatherworks.com ****** ****** ****** ****** "In nature there are neither rewards nor punishments---there are consequences." R.G. Ingersoll (1833-1899) American attorney ****** ****** ****** ****** ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 1 Apr 1997 09:17:48 -0600 From: Peter Laws Subject: Re: Training cuts in the NWS On Mon, 31 Mar 1997, Brian Curran wrote: > If the NWS is to work "smarter", then it makes sense to make > smart decisions. Reducing training and education is not a smart > decision. It is a prescription for disaster. Food for thought: the "Whitewater" hearings and investigation have cost $28 million since 1994 ... The NWS cut this year? $27.5 million ... (yes, yes, apples and oranges. It's the priorities that are all screwy) -- Peter Laws / plaws@wildstar.net / N5UWY ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 1 Apr 1997 10:49:49 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: TV stations compromising safety? On Tue, 1 Apr 1997, Jon Nichols wrote: > The question I have is, How much more money is gained in ratings rise. > I know where I am (MPLS MN) there is one station that particularly > seems to do a bang up job of breaking in and crawling and so forth. If > I think severe weather is immenent after tunning to NWS radio and > local spotter freqs I ALWAYS go to that station. And I think the > station that can get the most veiwers in the time frame has a better > chance at keeping those viewers for say local news and other > programming, thus boosting ratings. Am I off base here or not? > > Jon Nichols Sadly, yes. Because while you are under a warning, no one else apparently cares about you and then they call our station to let us know that. Theoretically, you are right, and in the central plains markets, that is true to a fairly large extent. But up here in Illinois, Wisconsin, IE most anywhere east of the mighty Miss...forget it. People couldn't give a hoot for the most part. People have already started to forget about the big Plainfield, IL tornado around southwest suburban Chicago (8/28/90, F5 rating). Severe weather only happens in OK, and if it happens to me, I can always sue somebody, as some in the above case did! Or tried to... Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 1 Apr 1997 11:02:45 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Humor! The beguiling ideas about science quoted here were gleaned from essays, exams, and classroom discussions. Most were from 5th and 6th graders. They illustrate Mark Twain's contention that the 'most interesting information comes from children, for they tell all they know and then stop.' ******************************************************************** One horsepower is the amount of energy it takes to drag a horse 500 feet in one second. You can listen to thunder after lightening and tell how close you came getting hit. If you don't hear it, you got hit, so never mind. Rainbows are just to look at, not to really understand. Clouds are high flying fogs. I am not sure how clouds get formed. But the clouds know how to do it, and that is the important thing. Clouds just keep circling the earth around and around. And around. There is not much else to do. Water vapor gets together in a cloud. When it is big enough to be called a drop, it does. Humidity is the experience of looking for air and finding water. We keep track of the humidity in the air so we won't drown when we breathe. Rain is often known as soft water, oppositely known as hail. Rain is saved up in cloud banks. A blizzard is when it snows sideways. A hurricane is a breeze of a bigly size. A monsoon is a French gentleman. Thunder is a rich source of loudness. Isotherms and isobars are even more important than their names sound. The wind is like the air, only pushier. |+|+|+|+|+|+|+|+|+|+|+|+|+|+| Kevin S. Jung Astronomy & Weather Enthusiaast ksjung@ix.netcom.com http://www.geocities.com/CapeCanaveral/8415/ |+|+|+|+|+|+|+|+|+|+|+|+|+|+|+|+|+|+|+|+|+|+| ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 1 Apr 1997 12:14:27 -0500 From: Daniel Dix Subject: TV warnings displays.. This is an interesting thread as some tv markets show a bug and some little or nothing. I have noticed in the LIT, FSM, TUL, and OKC markets that the bug or maps tend to stay on for the duration of the warning. Other markets including MSP will have it on during the first few minutes and then the map fades away. Personally, I like to see the map stay up with the various counties lighting up in the various colors. Up north (Northern Plains) most stations will show the map/crawls at first to 'notify' viewers and then take it off after a few moments as viewers gripe about the maps/bugs being left on the screen. Here in ICT the same is true although crawls and maps will stay on a bit longer. I also like how one station will do like KOTV-6 in TUL have a picture squeeze. They will even show either the ICT NIDS image loop or their own doppler radar continuously if storms are going to or are affecting the ICT area. Even better than TWC! >Date: Mon, 31 Mar 1997 14:01:41 -0600 >From: Peter Laws >Subject: Re: TV stations compromising safety? >Two comments about crawls and such over programming, esp. commercials. >One, why not have sales add a pitch along the lines of "do you mind if we >run tornado warnings across your ad?". Some will say "of course" and >others will say "no way". When folks call to ask why some do and some >don't tell them that it was the decision of the advertiser. :-) >The other is why don't more stations do the "picture squeeze" during svr >wx? KOTV-6 in TUL does this (though not always). Yes, it degrades the >image some, but that's better than missing other data printed on the >screen. At least, IMHO. Daniel Dix Derby, KS ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 1 Apr 1997 11:30:05 EST From: Robert E Kilduff Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 20 Feb 1997 to 21 Feb 1997 Paul, I know the NWS has not done anything right since you retired (sarcasm intended), but come on, give me a break... On Sat, 29 Mar 1997 10:52:28 -0600 "Paul E. Pettit" writes: >In the SPC reports below I notice that gusts are being reported 50 or >greater from sources other than wind measuring equipment. I wonder is this >a change that came about since I retired in 92? > >First of all, it is pretty well an established fact that one cannot tell >the difference between at 45 knot wind and a 50 knot wind visually. I don't >question the spotter's good intentions, just the ability to determine the >values in such a manner. Are they using the Beaufort method or what? How do you know in what manner they obtained their wind measurement. You can't tell from this report, and I know that some spotters do have wind equipment. I have had my own for almost 20 years. > > EVENT LOCATION REMARKS (CST)TIME > > .......LRG HAIL/STRONG WIND RPTS.............LRG HAIL/STRONG WIND RPTS...... > > 21 G 52 4 W CALDWELL KS (38 WNW PNC) 27/1725 > STORM SPOTTER REPORTED ICT/LSR 3703 9768 > 22 G 53 WINFIELD KS (35 N PNC) 27/1812 > ASOS AT WINFIELD AIRPORT ICT/LSR 3725 9698 > 23 G 52 BRISTOW OK (36 SW TUL) 27/1904 > TUL/LSR 3583 9638 > 24 G 70 10 N SEDAN KS (36 NNW BVO) 27/1910 > OFF DUTY POLICE OFFICER ICT/LSR 3729 9618 > 5 A175 KELLYVILLE OK (25 SW TUL) 27/1923 > TUL/LSR 3594 9621 > 6 A175 3 W JENKS OK (14 SSW TUL) 27/1932 > TUL/LSR 3601 9602 > 25 G 61 BUXTON KS (27 WSW CNU) 27/1940 > STORM SPOTTER REPORTED ICT/LSR 3745 9591 > 7 A175 TULSA OK (4 NW TUL) 27/1943 > AT 81ST STREET AND HIGHWAY 75 TUL/LSR 3625 9594 > 26 G 56 TULSA OK (4 NW TUL) 27/2002 > AT I-44 AND 129TH EAST AVENUE TUL/LSR 3625 9594 > >Was there no damage to structures with the G 70 above? >Would someone enlighten me on this question? Perhaps there were no structures near the reported gust, maybe there was damage, but this is not a storm survey. This is a preliminary report! > >Also I notice that the size values for hail seem to have a rather unusual >bias towards the A75 figure on many Storm Summaries. > >Some offices, it seems, have a very high percentage of A75 reports. I know >Roger Edwards has some comments in this area in general as does Chuck >Doswell. > What is so unusual about that. Where I live, I have certainly seen more 3/4 inch hail than 2 inch hail. When you were verifying for your station before you retired, did you throw out a 3/4 inch hail size because you were getting too many of these reports? I think not! >Seems verification criteria of warnings have changed somewhat with the >modernization! Am I right? And how, might I ask? > Paul, you know very well that verification criteria have not changed, and there is no government conspiracy to fool the public about storm verification. I think it should be noted again that the above quoted SPC report of severe weather is a preliminary report. The top of the SPC report even has this headline "UNOFFICIAL - FOR OFFICIAL REPORTS, SEE PUBLICATION 'STORM DATA'." This is not a storm survey, this is not storm data, and this is not what is used for verification. Only the published "storm data" is used for warning verification. In these times of rampant tabloid journalism and discontent by some over NWS modernization (retired NWS employees included), the NWS seems to be under increasing criticism. I even saw a newspaper article the other day from somewhere in Florida blasting the NWS for issuing a tornado warning because the tornado only traveled through farmland and did not cause any damage. Is it really necessary for picky unjustified NWS bashing like the above posting on a preliminary report? There are more constructive things we in the weather business can talk about. I am sorry if I offend anyone with the sharpness of my response, but I have seen too many of these senseless jabs at the NWS recently, and simply thought it was time to reply. Bob These are my own opinions, expressed on my own time, on my own computer, on my personal e-mail account. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 1 Apr 1997 14:24:21 GMT From: Thomas Owens Subject: Re: Weather Software. Tim Vasquez's main Tornado Alley Online! page is located at : http://www.telepath.com/www/tvasquez/index.htm The link to download his program called SkyAccess is : http://www.telepath.com/www/tvasquez/sky.zip My page of Weather Software links is located at: http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/software.html -- Thomas Owens tjo113@psu.edu The Allentown Weather Center - Over 1000 Weather Links! http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/weather.html In article <5hpub7$pv@newsfep2.sprintmail.com>, jtknichols@sprintmail.com says... > >I followed a link I found in this group and downloaded a program that >I THINK was made by Mr. Vasquez (Hope I speeled that right.) It was [deleted] ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 1 Apr 1997 10:34:28 -0600 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: NSSL/SPC Employees Association Merchandise Severe Weather Fanatics, The NSSL/SPC Employees Association (NSEA) regularly sells severe weather photographs and NSSL/SPC clothing as part of its fund-raising efforts. Traditionally, we've only been able to sell this merchandise to individuals who visit the NSSL/SPC in Norman, Oklahoma, or when we take the merchandise to various special functions (such as the TWC Chaser Conference, the StormTrack annual picnic, or various conferences and open houses). Now this merchandise is available on the World Wide Web (WWW)! The 1997 Spring Chase Season is here! Get merchandise now! ********************************************************************* * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW Severe Weather Photo Store * ********************************************************************* The URL for the NSEA Photo Concession Stand is: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/nea/neaphotostand.html ****************************************************************** * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW NSSL/SPC Clothing Store * * * * NSSL SHIRTS...AS SEEN IN THE MOVIE 'TWISTER'!!! * ****************************************************************** The URL for the NSEA Clothing Concession Stand is: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/nea/neaclothing.html Information on the prices of merchandise is on the WWW page. We can only accept orders placed from the WWW page (check or money order only). Information on the NSEA is also available via the first hypertext link on that WWW page. If you have any questions, please contact Greg Stumpf at: gstumpf@rossby.metr.uoknor.edu We hope that this fundraiser is a success for our organization and we hope you all enjoy the merchandise! Greg Stumpf and Paul Janish, NSSL/SPC Employees Association DISCLAIMER: The NSEA is a non-profit organization not affiliated with NOAA or the U.S. Government. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 1 Apr 1997 17:35:37 GMT From: Brian Curran Subject: Re: accumulation On 1 Apr 1997 13:22:43 GMT, joejr23@aol.com (JoeJr23) wrote: >how much snow did la guardia international airport receive I am not really sure. Last numbers I saw suggested that anywhere from 10 to 30 kilos of snow come through NYC each day. bc -- Brian Curran ebcurran@flash.net Standard disclaimers apply; I speak for myself. "The opinion of the strongest is always the best." - J. de la Fontaine ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 1 Apr 1997 14:48:39 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: Microsoft to buy SPC/NHC (April 1st, 1997) REDMOND, WA (AP) [Anomalous Propagation News] Microsoft has made public its plans to purchase both the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) and National Hurricane Center (NHC) --incorporating both agencies into The WX CHANNEL --Microsoft's new all-weather network. The deal, reportedly worth an estimated 11.8 million dollars, would be the largest transfer of government services to the private-sector ever. Microsoft Chairman Bill Gates said "I feel SPC and NHC will bring needed skills to the WX CHANNEL, allowing us to better serve our audience". Microsoft information spokesman Sandy Beaches stated that weather watches will be freely available to anyone subscribed to premium cable TV or direct-broadcast satellite programming services. Opponents, however, claim the transfer of SPC and NHC into private hands would prevent the public from receiving critical safety information. Beaches says this isn't so, claiming the WX CHANNEL has plans to license weather watch information to local broadcast television stations. "We will provide a simple crawl across the bottom of the screen containing a short commercial followed by the weather watch", said Beaches. News of the possible takeover has brought mixed reactions amongst government employees. SPC forecaster Rich Thompson said "this may be a good thing considering the recently announced budget cuts". "It may stave any further layoffs and program reductions." Roger Edwards, an SPC forecaster and tornado chaser, disagrees. He says he's not happy with the situation because it will require him and others at SPC to move to Redmond, Washington --what Edwards calls "the drizzle capital of the United States." Microsoft's plans, if successful, will have far-reaching effects. The Atlanta-based Weather Channel, the nation's first all-weather network, would have to purchase tornado and severe thunderstorm watches from Microsoft on a 15 minute delay basis. Weather Channel Operations Manager Stu Ostro says withholding critical data is unfair and will "needlessly place the public at risk." Ostro says his company has filed an anti-trust suit against Microsoft and is seeking an injunction in federal court blocking the sale. Industry analysts, however, are quick to point out that Microsoft's announcement may only be a ruse to boost its stock and draw national attention to its fledgling WX CHANNEL network. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Happy April Fool's Day everyone. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 1 Apr 1997 15:14:15 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: Microsoft to buy SPC/NHC (April 1st, 1997) I am reposting this because of word-wrap problems. Sorry for the dupe. ..Chris.. REDMOND, WA (AP) [Anomalous Propagation News] Microsoft has made public its plans to purchase both the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) and National Hurricane Center (NHC) --incorporating both agencies into The WX CHANNEL --Microsoft's new all-weather network. The deal, reportedly worth an estimated 11.8 million dollars, would be the largest transfer of government services to the private-sector ever. Microsoft Chairman Bill Gates said "I feel SPC and NHC will bring needed skills to the WX CHANNEL, allowing us to better serve our audience". Microsoft information spokesman Sandy Beaches stated that weather watches will be freely available to anyone subscribed to premium cable TV or direct-broadcast satellite programming services. Opponents, however, claim the transfer of SPC and NHC into private hands would prevent the public from receiving critical safety information. Beaches says this isn't so, claiming the WX CHANNEL has plans to license weather watch information to local broadcast television stations. "We will provide a simple crawl across the bottom of the screen containing a short commercial followed by the weather watch", said Beaches. News of the possible takeover has brought mixed reactions amongst government employees. SPC forecaster Rich Thompson said "this may be a good thing considering the recently announced budget cuts". "It may stave any further layoffs and program reductions." Roger Edwards, an SPC forecaster and tornado chaser, disagrees. He says he's not happy with the situation because it will require him and others at SPC to move to Redmond, Washington --what Edwards calls "the drizzle capital of the United States." Microsoft's plans, if successful, will have far-reaching effects. The Atlanta-based Weather Channel, the nation's first all-weather network, would have to purchase tornado and severe thunderstorm watches from Microsoft on a 15 minute delay basis. Weather Channel Operations Manager Stu Ostro says withholding critical data is unfair and will "needlessly place the public at risk." Ostro says his company has filed an anti-trust suit against Microsoft and is seeking an injunction in federal court blocking the sale. Industry analysts, however, are quick to point out that Microsoft's announcement may only be a ruse to boost its stock and draw national attention to its fledgling WX CHANNEL network. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Happy April Fool's Day everyone. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 31 Mar 1997 to 1 Apr 1997 ************************************************* From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Apr 3 14:21:13 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA18728 for ; Thu, 3 Apr 1997 14:21:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102533-6483>; Thu, 3 Apr 1997 14:20:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA145112; Thu, 3 Apr 1997 00:12:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5162238 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Apr 1997 00:12:14 -0600 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA238886 for ; Thu, 3 Apr 1997 00:00:40 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA61695 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 3 Apr 1997 00:00:40 -0600 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199704030600.AA61695@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Apr 1997 00:00:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -030000 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 86524 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600Z APR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 4N4 164E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4N4 168E5. BROKEN CONVECTION CONTINUES TO PERSIST IN THIS AREA. A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS INDICATED BY SYNOPTIC DATA BUT IS NOT EVIDENT IN THE VISUAL OR MULTI-SPECTRAL IMAGERY. UPPER LEVEL WIND DATA CONTINUES TO INDICATE DIVERGENT FLOW ALOFT WHICH MAY AID DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 174E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/HAM/BOYD// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Apr 3 14:10:11 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA18604 for ; Thu, 3 Apr 1997 14:10:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102384-6483>; Thu, 3 Apr 1997 14:09:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA175678; Thu, 3 Apr 1997 00:08:51 -0600 Message-Id: <199704030608.AAA175678@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Apr 1997 00:03:29 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 1 Apr 1997 to 2 Apr 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 3 messages totalling 59 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. ASCAR or ACAR (3) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 1 Apr 1997 20:44:52 +0000 From: Jim Raudy Subject: ASCAR or ACAR Does anybody know about the subject - understand it is associated with vertical temp/wind profiles derived from commercial or military aircraft? Can't find anything on the net. Data would be very helpful here at the Clean Air Center. Many thanks. Jim ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 2 Apr 1997 17:16:43 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: ASCAR or ACAR ACARS = Aircraft Communications, Addressing, and Reporting System see http://www.arinc.com/Products_Services/acars.html -Scott -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS FIRSTT | CIMSS/University of Wisconsin-Madison ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 2 Apr 1997 11:08:48 -0700 From: "Ricketts,Steve [Edm]" Subject: Re: ASCAR or ACAR >As I was told, it actually used to stand for ARINC Communications, Addressing, and Reporting System. I guess they've taken the company's name out of the acronym! >---------- >From: Scott Bachmeier[SMTP:asb@TY.SSEC.WISC.EDU] >Sent: April 2, 1997 10:16 AM >To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK >Subject: Re: ASCAR or ACAR > >ACARS = Aircraft Communications, Addressing, and Reporting System > >see http://www.arinc.com/Products_Services/acars.html > >-Scott > >-- >Scott Bachmeier | NWS FIRSTT | CIMSS/University of Wisconsin-Madison > > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 1 Apr 1997 to 2 Apr 1997 ************************************************ From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Apr 4 14:02:20 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA28248 for ; Fri, 4 Apr 1997 14:02:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102613-20884>; Fri, 4 Apr 1997 14:01:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA218802; Thu, 3 Apr 1997 23:49:20 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5171589 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 3 Apr 1997 23:49:02 -0600 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA232262 for ; Thu, 3 Apr 1997 23:49:01 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA74931 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 3 Apr 1997 23:49:00 -0600 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199704040549.AA74931@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 3 Apr 1997 23:49:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -032349 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 46000 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600Z APR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 4N4 164E HAS BLENDED WITH A GENERAL AREA OF TROUGHING AND SCATTERED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/HAM/BOYD// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Apr 4 14:35:03 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA28600 for ; Fri, 4 Apr 1997 14:35:02 +0800 X-Warning: Original message contained 8-bit characters, however during the SMTP transport session the receiving system was unable to announce capability of receiving 8-bit SMTP (RFC 1425-1428), and as this message does not have MIME headers (RFC 1341) to enable encoding change, we had very little choices. X-Warning: We ASSUME it is less harmfull to add the MIME headers, and convert the text to Quoted-Printable, than not to do so, and to strip the message to 7-bits.. (RFC 1428 Appendix A) MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: TEXT/PLAIN; charset=UNKNOWN-8BIT Content-Transfer-Encoding: QUOTED-PRINTABLE Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102700-20884>; Fri, 4 Apr 1997 14:34:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA154216; Fri, 4 Apr 1997 00:12:12 -0600 Message-Id: <199704040612.AAA154216@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Apr 1997 00:07:56 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 2 Apr 1997 to 3 Apr 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 13 messages totalling 605 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WVSS 2. weather software & chaser picnic 3. TV stations compromising safety? 4. TESSA National Meeting Press Release 5. NWS BUDGET CUTS: The big weather guns step forward! 6. Wind measurements (was: Re: WX-TALK Digest....) 7. ADMINISTRIVIA: PLANNED NETWORK OUTAGE/DATA OUTAGE 8. WFAS Lightning Data Discontinued 9. Wind measurements (2) 10. Weather Observers? 11. Am. Association Of Wx Observers... 12. Richardson forecast factory Web site +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 3 Apr 1997 12:55:42 +0100 From: Joan Ar=FAs Subject: WVSS Hello, I would like to get some information about WVSS (Water Vapor Sensing System),-a prototype humidity sensor which has promise for providing moisture measurements never before available from commercial aircraft, has been under development by the FAA and NOA. Is there a WEB site out there for getting any information about WVSS? Thanks in advance... -- Joan Ar=FAs, Meteor=F2leg ---------------------------------------------------------------- Institut Nacional de Meteorologia (I.N.M) Centre Meteorol=F2gic de Catalunya Arquitecte Sert, 1 08005 Barcelona, Catalunya. SPAIN ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 2 Apr 1997 18:26:47 EST From: Tim Vasquez <71611.2267@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: weather software & chaser picnic Lots of news bites to pass along: 1 - A new illustrated Storm Chase Guide has been placed on the Storm Track homepage for individuals who are interested in chasing. This is a vastly updated version of my 1996 FAQ and will be updated further. You can get to it at http://www.telepath.com/storm/chasfaq.htm 2 - The STORM TRACK annual chaser picnic has been scheduled for Norman, Oklahoma this May. NOAA/OSF instructor Bobby Prentice is hosting this = year's festivities. Dates, times, and a map are available on the Storm Track homepage at http://www.telepath.com/storm/index.htm 3 - Sky Archives is now available, allowing you to graphically plot dai= ly climatological data for 8,430 stations worldwide during the late 70's to the early 90's using Digital Atmosphere. Pricing and a 1989 sampler are available at http://www.telepath.com/tvasquez/index.htm This package may be of high interest to climatologists and researchers. 4 - Sky Access V1.1 has been released. Throw away those bookmarks... t= his is a slick, interactive weather browser that's been in the works since late 1995, and requires nothing except an Internet connection (any conn= ection except AOL will work). Zero bugs have been reported, so have at it! Sky Access V1.1 adds about 100 new Internet resources, making a total o= f about 670 weather resources available with the click of a mouse. Sky A= ccess is a 32-bit application requiring Win95 or NT (thus Jon Nichol's report= ed problems with Windows 3.11 in an earlier WX-TALK message). A fully- functional shareware copy is available at the address listed in item #2 above. Try it out to your heart's content and be amazed. More programs are in the works... Tim Vasquez author, WeatherG= raphix Norman, OK Digital Atmo= sphere 71611.2267@compuserve.com (405) 57= 3-0700 WeatherGraphix/Digital Atmosphere -- http://www.telepath.com/www/tvasqu= ez/ StormTrack Online -- http://www.telepath.com/www/storm/ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 2 Apr 1997 17:07:20 GMT From: Eric Gross Subject: Re: TV stations compromising safety? >I'd like to know the process that went into the decision to interrupt >for tornado warnings, but not severe thunderstorm warnings. I have always wondered the same thing. I suppose, like many things, th= e decision was initially made for good reasons that are no longer as vali= d as they once were. I would suppose that, many years ago, when tornado war= nings started to be broadcast, it was at a time where deaths to tornadoes cle= arly outnumbered deaths attributed to non-tornadic severe thunderstorm effects. I know that two or more decades ago there was not the underst= anding of severe convective phenomena that there is now, and thus damage due t= o downbursts, etc., might easily be perceived by many people as "tornadic= " in origin. Over the years, as warnings progressed and deaths to tornadoes declined, the "other" deaths have increased in relative weight. Also, for as long as I can remember, at least one of our local stations interupts for severe thunderstorms as well as tornadoes. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 2 Apr 1997 22:33:59 EST From: Martin Lisius <73124.1052@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: TESSA National Meeting Press Release TESSA to Host Fourth Annual National Meeting in Plano, Texas Wednesday, April 2, 1997 Contact: Martin Lisius, 972-461-7179 ARLINGTON, Texas - The Texas Severe Storms Association (TESSA) will hos= t its 4th Annual National Meeting in Plano, Texas at the Plano City Counc= il Chambers, 1520 Avenue K, on Saturday, April 12 from 9 am to noon. The meeting is free and open to the public. Severe weather experts from ar= ound the country will meet to discuss the intricacies of dangerous storms, with = emphasis on supercell thunderstorms and tornadoes. Opening presentations will be given by KRLD Radio meteorologist Brad Ba= rton and Storm Prediction Center forecaster Roger Edwards. The feature presentation will be delivered by National Weather Service forecaster A= lan Moller. Mr. Moller, who is stationed at the National Weather Service F= orecast Office in Ft. Worth, is one of the nation s top severe weather authorit= ies. His presentation will focus on the relationship between severe storms and w= eather radar. TESSA founder and chairman, Martin Lisius, will host the meeting and wi= ll present "Beneath Stormy Skies" which he produced for the Plano Televisi= on continued page 2 Network (PTN). The 20-minute program documents the threat that citizens= of the Dallas-Ft. Worth Metroplex, Tornado Alley s largest metropolitan area, = face each year. The Texas Severe Storms Association is a 501 (c)(3) national non= -profit organization based in Arlington. The Association s mission is to bring= both professional and amateur severe weather scientists together in an attem= pt to better understand dangerous storms. TESSA has contributed significantl= y to severe weather education. Their biggest contribution came in 1995 when= they produced "StormWatch" for the National Weather Service. "StormWatch" i= s the official National Weather Service storm spotter training video. The vi= deo is used by all Weather Service offices nationwide to teach local storm spotter = groups the complexities of severe storms. Storm spotters are the first line of de= fense against dangerous storms for communities across the country. They are = directly responsible for saving many lives each year. In addition, TESSA is considered to have the largest membership of stor= m chasers for any organization in the world. Storm chasers are individua= ls who track severe storms, particularly supercell thunderstorms and tornadoes= . The information obtained by these professional and amateur scientists has g= reatly improved the ability to accurately forecast dangerous storms. ### ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 2 Apr 1997 23:18:59 -0600 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: NWS BUDGET CUTS: The big weather guns step forward! This letter was passed through to me by ah, shall I say, a very reliable but unnamed source. I still figured you ought to see this. Past presidents of the American Meteorological Society got together and sent this wonderful little letter to the Dept. of Commerce secretary. I apologize for the lack of proper line controls, but this is what I get = on a old computer at home. -----------------Begin Message---------------- > April 2, 1997 > > The Honorable William M. Daley > Secretary of Commerce > Department of Commerce > 14th Street and Constitution Avenue, NW > Washington, DC 20230 > > Dear Mr. Secretary: > > The recent announcement of significant cuts in the budget of the > National > Weather Service and their impact on the Weather Service's capability = to > warn > of severe weather and flood hazards to protect life and property is > cause > for deep concern. The effect of the budget reductions has been to fo= rce > the > Service to hold a large number of vacancies as well as reduce the num= ber > of > key employees. This thinning of the Weather Service staffing increas= es > the > risk of warning failures with potentially tragic consequences. > > There is no need to cite the aftermath of Hurricane Andrew, the blizz= ard > of > 1996, the recent tornadoes in Arkansas and the flooding in the Ohio > River > valley to illustrate the importance of timely warnings. While nobody > can > specifically identify when and where a warning will fail, we can say, > with > assurance, that the risk of warning failure is now substantially > increased. > > As maintenance of critical equipment degrades because of a lack of > personnel and spare parts, the chances of failure increase. As > meteorologists and other professionals are eliminated, or positions > remain > vacant, the forecast and warning load on those that remain becomes > excessive. > > We do not know the full extent of the cutbacks and vacancies, but it = has > been announced that cutbacks will take place at the National Center f= or > Environmental Prediction, the National Hurricane Center, the National > Storm > Prediction Center, the Aviation Prediction Center and the Office of > Systems > Operations. Most of these offices bear the guidance responsibility = for > the entire field network. They will be weakened with attendant risk > increases. > > The undersigned have all been presidents of the American Meteorologic= al > Society, the principal society of meteorologists in the United States= . > We have been senior managers in the National Oceanic and Atmospheric > Administration, leaders in the provision of private and military weat= her > services, and in the conduct of vital research on weather phenomena. = As > professionals, we have first hand experience with the havoc that can = be > wreaked by weather phenomena and the importance of responsive warning > services. > > The amount of money required to restore the Weather Service to its fu= ll > capability is a minor element in the $2.0 billion budget of the > National > Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. We find it strange that progr= ams > focussing on the protection of life and property, a fundamental > responsibility of government, have been reduced substantially. We > believe > adjustments in the priorities of the Department of Commerce and NOAA > should > be made to avoid the risk of failed warnings. We hope this letter w= ill > cause a reevaluation of the present situation. Several of us would be > pleased to meet with you at your convenience to discuss this matter > further. > > With all due respect, > > > Dr. David Atlas > Distinguished Visiting Scientist > Goddard Space Flight Center, NASA > > Prof. Werner A. Baum > Chancellor Emeritus > University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee > > Dr. George S. Benton > Former Vice President > Johns Hopkins University > Former Associate Administrator of NOAA > > Dr. Eugene W. Bierly > Director, Education and Research > American Geophysical Union > > Dr. Alfred K. Blackadar > Professor Emeritus > The Pennsylvania State University > > Mr. Eugene Bollay > Former Director of Research > EGG, Inc. > > Dr. William D. Bonner > Former Deputy Director > National Weather Service > > Prof. Roscoe R. Braham, Jr. > Professor Emeritus > University of Chicago > > Dr. George P. Cressman > Former Director > National Weather Service > > Prof. Robert G. Fleagle > Professor Emeritus > University of Washington > > Dr. Richard E. Hallgren > Former Director > National Weather Service > > Dr. Charles L. Hosler, Jr. > Senior Vice President for Research and > Dean of the Graduate School, Emeritus > The Pennsylvania State University > > Dr. David D. Houghton > Professor of Meteorology > University of Wisconsin > > Mr. David S. Johnson > Former Assistant Administrator of NOAA for Satellites > > Prof. Donald R. Johnson > Associate Director > Space Science and Engineering Center > University of Wisconsin > > Brig. Gen. Albert J. Kaehn, Jr. > (USAF, Ret.) > Former Commander > U.S.A.F. Air Weather Service > > Dr. William W. Kellogg > Senior Research Associate > National Center for Atmospheric Research > > Dr. James R. Mahoney > Senior Vice President > International Technology Corporation > > Dr. Thomas F. Malone > Former Senior Vice President > Travelers Insurance Company, Hartford CT > Former Foreign Secretary > National Academy of Sciences > > Prof. Richard J. Reed > Professor Emeritus > University of Washington > > Dr. Robert T. Ryan > Chief Meteorologist, WRC-TV > NBC Television > > Dr. Joanne Simpson > Chief Scientist for Meteorology > Goddard Space Flight Center, NASA > > Dr. Joseph Smagorinsky > Former Director > Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, NOAA > > Dr. Paul D. Try > Senior Vice President > Science & Technology Corporation > > Dr. Warren M. Washington > Senior Scientist > National Center for Atmospheric Research > > Dr. Robert M. White > President Emeritus > National Academy of Engineering > Former Administrator > National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration > > > cc: D. James Baker > John H. Gibbons Gilbert ***********************************************************************= ******** Gilbert Sebenste **= ****** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) = ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada = *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html = ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada = * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ = * ***********************************************************************= ******** ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 3 Apr 1997 00:49:49 -0600 From: Ron Clark Subject: Re: Wind measurements (was: Re: WX-TALK Digest....) >Not a criticism here, just a question for educational purposes... How >are you able to tell in these reports that the spotter doesn't have a >weather station which is capable of taking such measurements? > >> 21 G 52 4 W CALDWELL KS (38 WNW PNC) 27/1725 >> STORM SPOTTER REPORTED ICT/LSR = 3703 9768 > >> 25 G 61 BUXTON KS (27 WSW CNU) 27/1940 >> STORM SPOTTER REPORTED ICT/LSR = 3745 9591 > >-Jeremy C. (N9VHT) You make a valid point also Jeremy. But then I would ask....if the spot= ter is home recording data from his/her weather station....how can they be cal= led a spotter?? :-) Ron Clark N0POM Emergency Coordinator Sarpy County Nebraska ronc@top.net ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 3 Apr 1997 12:10:20 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: ADMINISTRIVIA: PLANNED NETWORK OUTAGE/DATA OUTAGE The computer feeding the WX-STORM and WX-ATLAN lists will be out of service from approximately 6PM CST April 5th (Saturday evening) through noon CDT April 6th (Sunday). This outage is needed to allow the removal of asbestos fireproofing from a communications closet in preparation for installation of a new air conditioning unit. Sorry for the inconvenience. ..Chris.. *=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D= =3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D= =3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D= =3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D= =3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 3 Apr 1997 05:30:53 -0600 From: SKYWARN-TEXAS Subject: WFAS Lightning Data Discontinued Bad news for those of us who have used the WFAS Lightning Strike map si= te maintained by the National Forest Service. They've posted a graphic indicating that their data provider has asserted that public disseminat= ion of the lightning data is a contract violation. Hence, the last known f= ree source of lightning data has just "flashed" away. Jim Robinson Webmaster SKYWARN Texas http://www.skywarn-texas.org ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 3 Apr 1997 14:51:08 -0600 From: Peter Laws Subject: Re: Wind measurements On Thu, 3 Apr 1997, Ron Clark wrote: > You make a valid point also Jeremy. But then I would ask....if the sp= otter is > home recording data from his/her weather station....how can they be c= alled > a spotter?? :-) Are you saying that someone who looks out their window and reports wx t= hat exceeds svr thresholds is *not* a spotter? Or, for that matter, looks = at their home instruments and reports a 60 kt gust? I see the smiley, but must be missing the reast of the thread. -- Peter Laws / plaws@wildstar.net / N5UWY http://www.wildstar.net/~plaws/skywarn/ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 3 Apr 1997 14:42:09 EST From: Robert Lightbown Subject: Weather Observers? I am wondering who are the companies that are contractors for weather observers?? Are any of the contractors hiring weather observers at this time? Thanks In Advance... Robert Lightbown/Caribou Maine ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 3 Apr 1997 14:59:23 EST From: Robert Lightbown Subject: Am. Association Of Wx Observers... Does anyone know how I can contact the American Association Of Weather Observers either by snail mail or a web page address? Thanks In Advance... Robert Lightbown/Caribou Maine ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 3 Apr 1997 20:37:28 -0600 From: Pamela Knox Subject: Richardson forecast factory Web site To anyone interested in meteorology education: Announcing a Web site devoted to recreating L. F. Richardson's "Forecast Factory" in the classroom! At http://www.giss.nasa.gov/Edu/factory/ you will find the results of an educational experiment I conducted at the University of Wisconsin-Madison. In this experiment, Richardson's original vision for modern numerical weather forecasting is play-acted by students using props ranging from helium balloons to shock absorbers! This approach is described in Knox and Silberberg, Preprints of the Sixth AMS Symposium on Education, pages 48-51. (Reprints available from me.) But the Web site is a lot more fun, with more pictures, diagrams, and links to other relevant Web sites. Take a look at it and tell me what you think! Dr. John Knox Columbia University and NASA/Goddard Institute for Space Studies jknox@giss.nasa.gov ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 3 Apr 1997 22:58:16 -0600 From: Ron Clark Subject: Re: Wind measurements At 02:51 PM 4/3/97 -0600, you wrote: >On Thu, 3 Apr 1997, Ron Clark wrote: > >> You make a valid point also Jeremy. But then I would ask....if the s= potter is >> home recording data from his/her weather station....how can they be = called >> a spotter?? :-) > >Are you saying that someone who looks out their window and reports wx = that >exceeds svr thresholds is *not* a spotter? Or, for that matter, looks= at >their home instruments and reports a 60 kt gust? > >I see the smiley, but must be missing the reast of the thread. > >-- >Peter Laws / plaws@wildstar.net / N5UWY >http://www.wildstar.net/~plaws/skywarn/ The thread was how spotters can get such an accurate estimate of wind s= peed just by looking at the trees etc when out on a watchpoint. It was sugge= sted that perhaps they used a weather station. My tongue in cheek reply was that = if they were home watching the weather station how could they be a spotter?? I = suppose one could be spotting from the back porch. We should all be that lucky.= I have seen the hand held anemometers but they would be useless for spotters since = most only go up to 60 mph :-) Ron Clark N0POM Emergency Coordinator Sarpy County Nebraska ronc@top.net ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 2 Apr 1997 to 3 Apr 1997 ************************************************ From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Apr 5 13:34:33 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id NAA08004 for ; Sat, 5 Apr 1997 13:34:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102241-5886>; Sat, 5 Apr 1997 13:33:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA29326; Fri, 4 Apr 1997 23:23:18 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5174080 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Apr 1997 23:23:10 -0600 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA175704 for ; Fri, 4 Apr 1997 23:23:09 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA27272 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 4 Apr 1997 23:23:09 -0600 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199704050523.AA27272@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Apr 1997 23:23:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -042323 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 37253 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600Z APR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/PUGH// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Apr 5 14:23:14 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA08181 for ; Sat, 5 Apr 1997 14:23:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102174-5886>; Sat, 5 Apr 1997 14:22:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA185442; Sat, 5 Apr 1997 00:19:52 -0600 Message-Id: <199704050619.AAA185442@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Apr 1997 00:08:10 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 3 Apr 1997 to 4 Apr 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 13 messages totalling 460 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. job oppertunities 2. Weather Merit Badge 3. Lightning Data. 4. Hazardous Weather Update value? (2) 5. TV Met Job Opportunities 6. TV Dopplar Radar and NAB 7. Hazardous Weather Update value? -Reply 8. cincinnati 9. Ohio Severe Weather Symposium 10. TVC Video Question 11. Victims of Video Vultures (was Re: Copy of: $1000 Reward for Video (Revised)) 12. WFAS Lightning Data Discontinued +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 4 Apr 1997 06:52:46 -0600 From: Adam Brase Subject: job oppertunities Hey Wx-talkers, I have just a quick question. I am graduating in May with a degree in Communications and a minor in Meteorology...my interest is in weatherbroadcasting, but as of yet I don't have a job. Anyway to make a long story short, I am interested in any information on meteorology jobs in the country. I have 2 years broadcast experience and am working on my meteorology degree via correspondence. I am looking for something to boost my experience in weather forecasting or broadcasting. Any ideas??? Thanks for your help. PS: I also need to get out of this area! =) ...A WINTER STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR WEST...CENTRAL...AND NORTHEAST DAKOTA FOR TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...AND FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON... Adam Brase ~~~~~~~~~~~~ 2100 S. 29th St. #110 ~~~~ ~~~~~ Grand Forks ND 58201 ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ (701) 795-6393 \ \ \ \\ \ \ Get the latest travel and weather conditions from Adam's Weather Center @ http://members.tripod.com/~dillerz/adam.html Looking for a Weathercaster???? You are in luck!!! Visit http://members.tripod.com/~dillerz/atbresume.html Have a sunny day! =) ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 4 Apr 1997 08:56:48 -30000 From: "David J. Kinsey" Subject: Weather Merit Badge Greetings and a special alert to military readers: The 200th Weather Flight, Va. Air Nat'l. Guard, will be teaching Weather Merit Badge at the National Boy Scout Jamboree this summer. We have been officially tasked by our state command pursuant to tasking by the Dept. of the Army. We are also tasked to support any miltary aircraft that may participate in the Jamboree (undoubtedly limited to rotary wing). We are in need of instructors and would welcome any active or retired miltary or any civilians that have a way to get here. All we can offer is room (barracks) and board (mess hall) or a place to pitch a tent, and the reward of getting young men interested in weather and science. If we have enough instructors, we have the classroom capacity (RFAB tents (air conditioning planned)) to get around 900 Scouts through the course. I believe it would be possible for active military to attend in TDY status. If any of you folks are interested, please call or e-mail, or call our (only) full-timer, Steve Gamache, at 804-236-6585. He can answer more questions about TDY than I. The dates are 28 July through 5 August, 1997, and it takes place at Ft. A.P. Hill in Virginia, just southeast of Fredericksburg. ************************************************** * MSG David J. Kinsey, CWSO, 200th WF, VaANG * * Civilian - 804-698-4432; fax -4510 * * djkinsey@deq.state.va.us * * Personal - davdjkin@i2020.net * ************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 4 Apr 1997 10:51:20 -0500 From: Matt Milliren Subject: Lightning Data. Hello all, I though I would add my two cents to this conversation on lightning data. Having had access to lightning data for only a short periods of time I can say that the data is very expensive. Depending on your provider it can run anywhere from 900 to 1800 per month just for the lightning data feed. Alot of the local tv stations are beginning to buy into the Lightning data market, but the contracts from the data provider is very limiting in how the data may be used. As far as I know there is only one national network that provides all the strike data and this is a very expensive network to maintain. Hence the high data costs. I think alot of the universities are getting the data, but they are limited to inhouse use of the data, much in the same way they are limited to inhouse use of there nexrad data. That's my two cents and spin on this topic. Matthew Milliren mattm@fi.edu ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 4 Apr 1997 13:05:28 -0500 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Hazardous Weather Update value? In thinking again about the SPC cuts -- I have a question for those in the know... According to Gilbert's page, the Hazardous Weather Update meteorologist will still be at SPC during the 12am-8am hours, while the Mesoscale Meteorologist will not. Now I enjoy reading the HWU product, but it's value for operational meteorologists is MUCH lower than that of the DY1/DY2/WWA/MCD products which we are losing. Wouldn't it be more prudent to release the HWU met during the same time frame and retain the meso-met, therefore keeping at least some of the 'technical' severe weather products (I'm not certain if the meso-met issues either of the DY1/DY2)? Rob ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 4 Apr 1997 11:13:54 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: Re: TV Met Job Opportunities Adam Brase wrote: >Hey Wx-talkers, > I have just a quick question. I am graduating in May with a degree >in Communications and a minor in Meteorology...my interest is in >weatherbroadcasting, but as of yet I don't have a job. Anyway to make a >long story short, I am interested in any information on meteorology jobs in >the country. I have 2 years broadcast experience and am working on my >meteorology degree via correspondence. I am looking for something to boost >my experience in weather forecasting or broadcasting. Any ideas??? Thanks >for your help. Adam: A degree in meteorology required by many stations but not all. In TV, it's your presentation style more than your forecasting skills that will get you a job. However, if you are trying to get a number 2 or 3 slot at a station that prides itself for it's competetive forecasting and top-notch meteorology staff, you may have difficulty getting your foot in the door with only a minor in meteorology. In any case, to get a job in broadcast meteorology you will need a demo reel. I've seen a lot of reels and frankly, a lot of them really suck. News directors receive literally hundreds of tapes each year so your tape must shine. Many stations require a "recent" tape. This means you cannot splice together your best weathercasts over the last two years. Rather, you will need to send a tape showing your best weathercasts this week or last week. If the job description doesn't say you cannot send old material then send your best stuff but be careful about having widely varying hair styles in your pieces --a dead giveaway that your reel is highly edited. Severe weather, as has been discussed lately, drives ratings so if you've got some good severe weather coverage (weathercasts and "live" break-ins) you should include these in your reel. Finally, don't sell yourself short. If you've been involved with local emergency management, storm spotting, storm chasing, amateur radio, fly a plane, have computer experience, or any other weather-related function that might give you an edge over another candidate --either personally or as a ratings tool-- then be sure to include this information. TV Met jobs are advertised all the time. On the net, a good place to start is TV Jobs (http://www.tvjobs.com/index_a.htm). Scroll down to the "Employment Bulletin Boards" section and select "television". Don't let market size fool you. There are some small market stations that have very cool tools and lots-o-interesting weather. There are also small market stations that suck too so if you do get to the interview stage be sure you ask as many questions about the station and its practices as they ask questions about you. ..Chris.. (WSIL TV) *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 4 Apr 1997 11:29:06 -0600 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Dopplar Radar and NAB The National Association of Broadcasters convention will be held next week in Las Vegas (and I'll be there drooling!). John McLaughlin, Chief Met at KCCI TV, submitted an article to SHOPTALK about what to look for when purchasing a Doppler radar for your station. It's an interesting article (his essay) so I thought I would post his original SHOPTALK message here on WX-TALK. I know that Baron Services and Kavouras will be marketing their radars NAB and there will be a number of other companies that sell add-on software for tracking storms and making radar images available via the web. For more info on SHOPTALK see (http://www.tvspy.com). ..Chris.. John McLaughlin of KCCI TV wrote in SHOPTALK... >For ND's [news directors] and GM's [general managers] heading for NAB to >shop for Doppler radar systems, I have a brief essay available at > which may help them wade through the >technical terms such as peak and average power, beamwidth, pulse >repetition frequency, limitation of street-level mapping, etc. Vendor >names have been left out in the spirit of "non-partisanship." > >John McLaughlin >Chief Met/KCCI >my opinions only *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 4 Apr 1997 13:40:03 -0600 From: "Clayton Jones (Clay)" Subject: Hazardous Weather Update value? -Reply Mr. Dale, I happen to agree with you. The Hazardous Weather Update is a nice thing for lay-persons (like me), but it is definitely not more important than getting the word out to the local offices about situations. I have cancelled my subscription to the HWU 'cause I don't have enough time to read it anymore. When it came time to weigh, I figured that the most important stuff was coming across these wires. Adios, Clay "Super Genius" Jones Austin, TX The aforementioned opinions are just that -- opinions -- of the mine, not my employer. My employer doesn't even know I'm doing this! ------------------------------------------------------ Clay Jones, Network Manager I New Systems Development Phone: 708-8200 x224 Pager: 403-9001 ------------------------------------------------------ "640K should be enough for anybody!" Bill Gates - 1982 ------------------------------------------------------ >>> Robert P Dale 04/04/97 12:05pm >>> In thinking again about the SPC cuts -- I have a question for those in the know... According to Gilbert's page, the Hazardous Weather Update meteorologist will still be at SPC during the 12am-8am hours, while the Mesoscale Meteorologist will not. Now I enjoy reading the HWU product, but it's value for operational meteorologists is MUCH lower than that of the DY1/DY2/WWA/MCD products which we are losing. Wouldn't it be more prudent to release the HWU met during the same time frame and retain the meso-met, therefore keeping at least some of the 'technical' severe weather products (I'm not certain if the meso-met issues either of the DY1/DY2)? Rob +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 4 Apr 1997 17:02:25 -0800 From: Andrew Toth Subject: cincinnati anyone from cincinnati, if you could please answer my question: the channel 12 weather man has his own web page. first of all, what's his name, and next, what's his site? thanks! ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 4 Apr 1997 17:23:39 -0600 From: Roger Edwards Subject: Re: Hazardous Weather Update value? On Fri, 4 Apr 1997, Robert P Dale typed: > > According to Gilbert's page, the Hazardous Weather Update meteorologist will still be >at SPC during the 12am-8am hours, while the Mesoscale Meteorologist will >not. Now I enjoy reading the HWU product, but it's value for operational >meteorologists >is MUCH lower than that of the DY1/DY2/WWA/MCD products which we are >losing. Wouldn't it be more prudent to release the HWU met during the >same time frame and retain the meso-met, therefore keeping at least some >of the 'technical' severe weather products (I'm not certain if the >meso-met issues either of the DY1/DY2)? The meso-met, on the night shift, is responsible for amending the day-1 outlook if needed, as well as the issuance of mesoscale discussions, severe weather watch status reports, and various analyses. He/she is the "second pair of eyes" to the lead forecaster as well, which is so critical especially during multiple simultaneous events and very subtle severe weather situations. What makes even more sense is to keep *all* the positions fully staffed. I don't accept a "need" to sacrifice any of them, or to compromise on tradeoffs. Wherever there may be fat in government, it does not consist of hazardous/violent weather forecasting operations at SPC, NHC, or AWC! Cut them, and you cut only muscle and bone. If anyone believes otherwise, I challenge them to unambiguously demonstrate how these cuts are good for public safety and for the science of meteorology. Unfortunately, such decisions are not based on the logic of public safety and forecast guidance, but on shortsighted nickel-and-diming. The mesoscale meteorologists are paid more, so more "savings" are possible by eliminating their night shifts (and associated night differential pay). [Nevermind that it will cost more money to relocate these people; and also consider other arguments I have made here before.] You must remember that these decisions (as I have also opined here before) are made by bureaucrats far removed from, and blindy unfamiliar with, the specific implications of their decisions. DOn't try to look at these things logically; you'll just frustrate yourself! There is still time to act... ------------------------ *** No disclaimer necessary; this is my personal account! *** "Just the angular momentum has ===== Roger Edwards ===== to @$#%& do it! Come on!!!" ( ) Forecaster - former NSSL chase partner former NHC Forecaster :::::::::: http://www.wildstar.net/~tornado :::::::::: \ "I FEAST ON THE SMORGASBORD OF ATMOSPHERIC VIOLENCE." ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 4 Apr 1997 20:04:32 -0500 From: Shawn Trueman Subject: Ohio Severe Weather Symposium Next Friday, April 11 from 9 am to 4 pm, the Atmospheric Sciences Program at The Ohio State University will host the first Ohio Severe Weather Symposium. The focus of the symposium is to gather meteorologists and weather forecasters across the state and to discuss the different facets of severe weather across Ohio. The speakers are: John Distefano, Science Operations Officer at Wilmington, OH NWS Office Julie Dian, Service Hydrologist at Wilmington, OH NWS Office J.R. Thomas, Franklin County (Ohio) Emergency Management Agency Fred Huestis, Nationwide Insurance Catastrophe Coordinator Lt. Col. Dave Smarsh, Wright-Patterson Air Force Base Thomas Schmidlin, Kent State University professor, author of book _Thunder in the Heartland_ For more information, please check OSU Atmospheric Sciences Program's web site, twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu. You may also contact Jeff Dobur at dobur.1@osu.edu or Brad Panovich at panovich.1@osu.edu. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 28 Feb 1997 22:57:16 -0600 From: Roger Edwards Subject: Re: TVC Video Question On Thu, 27 Feb 1997, Ken Tarvin wrote: > Hi! I recently found a copy of the tornado video classics series (Thanks to > the internet), and had a question about one really interesting thing I saw. > > There's a scene where a woman is taping what looks to be a pair of very > small funnels desending together directly over her house. These two funnels > connect and form what looks to be a handle in the sky! Of all the footage > in these series, this was the most intersting to me, but no explaination > was given about this. Anyone here that knows the footage I'm talking about, > have an explaination? This exact topic was already discussed in great detail here, I believe in December or early January. I don't have time to re-hash it all; so you should consider FTPing into the WX-TALK and WX-CHASE archives to find the discussions... ------------------------ *** No disclaimer necessary; this is my personal account! *** "Just the angular momentum has ===== Roger Edwards ===== to @$#%& do it! Come on!!!" ( ) Forecaster - former NSSL chase partner former NHC Forecaster :::::::::: http://www.wildstar.net/~tornado :::::::::: "I FEAST ON THE SMORGASBORD OF ATMOSPHERIC VIOLENCE." ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 28 Feb 1997 22:47:05 -0600 From: Roger Edwards Subject: Victims of Video Vultures (was Re: Copy of: $1000 Reward for Video (Revised)) On Thu, 27 Feb 1997, Matthew Biddle typed: > > Have you ever dealt with any of these Weasels? > > > >I can't think why they would rip off any material (usually producers take > >care to get or verify the copyright permissions...) and if they hadn't why > >they wouldn't talk to you...? > > What??? AGAIN WHAT WORLD DO YOU COME FROM. MYSELF AND MY PEERS IN THIS > AREA ARE RIPPED OFF CONSTANTLY and the people that dont rip us off are > ripped of which rips of off indirectly. You think they are all basically > nice fair people. I am here to tell you without any qualification that > 99% of these producers and video complanies are outright crooks and > criminally so with no scruples or morals. [Rogelio rises from under the rock again...] What a monumental hassle! And it's easy to avert with some forethought. Although we (Rich Thompson and I) didn't explicitly deal with this issue in our "Cancer Within" essay (http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/cancer.html), it is perhaps one of the most compelling reasons to stay out of the video marketing arena altogether. Food for thought... > > I am coming in line with R. Edwards "Cancer Within" Stance a bit more. > Not so much with the philosophies about trying to make a buck as just > with how bereft of any fairness the production media industry is. To avoid fire ants, don't step on their mound... ------------------------- *** No disclaimer necessary; this is my personal account! *** "Gimme the @$#% camera! You have ===== Roger Edwards ===== no common sense at all!" ( ) Forecaster - former NSSL chase partner former NHC Forecaster :::::::::: http://www.wildstar.net/~tornado :::::::::: "I FEAST ON THE SMORGASBORD OF ATMOSPHERIC VIOLENCE." ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 4 Apr 1997 21:19:52 -0700 From: Matt Rehwald Subject: Re: WFAS Lightning Data Discontinued Jim Robinson SKYWARN-TEXAS wrote: > Bad news for those of us who have used the WFAS Lightning Strike map > site maintained by the National Forest Service. They've posted a > graphic indicating that their data provider has asserted that public > dissemination of the lightning data is a contract violation. Hence, the > last known free source of lightning data has just "flashed" away. We're in the process of beta testing near-realtime (realtime up through the top of the hour) lightning maps on our website. It ain't free (about $15 a month for lightning maps access), but we do have the maps split up into regions, with color-coded relative ages of lightning strikes. Look at: http://www.weatherbank.com """""""""""""""""""""""""""" Matt Rehwald The Home Office: Forecaster, Weatherbank Inc. 330 Crestview Drive Edmond, OK <*> PO Box 2772 synoptic@xmission.com Park City, UT 84060-2772 ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 3 Apr 1997 to 4 Apr 1997 ************************************************ From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Apr 6 14:11:58 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA17193 for ; Sun, 6 Apr 1997 14:11:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102321-688>; Sun, 6 Apr 1997 14:11:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA256720; Sun, 6 Apr 1997 00:10:49 -0600 Message-Id: <199704060610.AAA256720@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Apr 1997 00:06:45 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 4 Apr 1997 to 5 Apr 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There is one message totalling 15 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. I hate this! +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 5 Apr 1997 12:47:25 -0700 From: Jeff Schmidt Subject: I hate this! I live in the Nebraska panhandle, and yesterday was an intersting day. Here, there were severe thunderstorm warnings and one tornado warning, with numerous reports of funnel clouds. I was really getting excited because I thought spring was finally here. Well, today there are blizzard warnings out and visibilty is less than a mile right now. There is about 4 to 5 inches of snow on the ground. I hate this. -Jeff ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 4 Apr 1997 to 5 Apr 1997 ************************************************ From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Apr 7 14:01:33 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA26607 for ; Mon, 7 Apr 1997 14:01:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102379-9835>; Mon, 7 Apr 1997 14:00:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA04328; Mon, 7 Apr 1997 00:23:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5189147 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Apr 1997 23:23:34 -0600 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA114900 for ; Mon, 7 Apr 1997 00:23:33 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA38471 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 7 Apr 1997 00:23:33 -0500 Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-ID: <199704070523.AA38471@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Apr 1997 00:23:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -070023 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 37700 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z APR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/PUGH// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Apr 7 14:12:01 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA26649 for ; Mon, 7 Apr 1997 14:12:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102324-9835>; Mon, 7 Apr 1997 14:11:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA154538; Mon, 7 Apr 1997 01:09:32 -0500 Message-Id: <199704070609.BAA154538@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Apr 1997 00:06:19 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 5 Apr 1997 to 6 Apr 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 3 messages totalling 83 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Nexrad "Free Text Message" - Where on 'net? (2) 2. more venting +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 6 Apr 1997 16:11:54 -0400 From: J Subject: Nexrad "Free Text Message" - Where on 'net? Hi folks. In realizing the importance of the NEXRAD product "Free Text Message" (XXXNAF) when the radar is down, I wondered, since these products are not something that is commonly provided on the Internet, if there is somewhere on the 'Net to get them in text form? I.E. is there an AFOS header or some other form of broadcast that would include them? -- //////////////////////////////////// | J. Ferrell j@weatherwatchers.org | | Carolina Area Storm Investigators | | http://www.weatherwatchers.org/ | \\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 6 Apr 1997 19:35:43 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Nexrad "Free Text Message" - Where on 'net? >In realizing the importance of the NEXRAD product "Free Text Message" >(XXXNAF) when the radar is down, I wondered, since these products are >not something that is commonly provided on the Internet They are available as NOUS6x messages, on any NWS product server... ** NOUS61 KLWX 061243 *** FTMLWX WSR-88D OUTAGE NOTIFICATION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STERLING, VA 840 AM EDT SUN APR 6 1997 Rob ////////////////////////////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ Robert P Dale - N8GSK || rdale@norden1.com Meteorologist || rdale@storm.atms.purdue.edu Davidson Crane And Conveyor || dcc@norden1.com InterRAD NIDS Software http://www.stratus.weather.net/~rdale/interrad.html NW Ohio Weather Info http://wx.home.ml.org Northwest Ohio AMS http://nwohams.home.ml.org ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 6 Apr 1997 19:01:05 -0600 From: Chuck Doswell Subject: more venting All: FWIW, I have put some more spleen-venting on my personal Website. If such things interests you, see: The third of these used to reside on my work Website but has been removed and revised a little. I will be out of the country for most of April, so hold your comments and flames 'til early May. Chuck Doswell -- ================================================================= Chuck Doswell e-mail: cdoswell@telepath.com (Chuck Doswell) Homepage: http://www.wildstar.net/~doswell Never criticize a man 'til you've walked a mile in his shoes. That way, when you do, you're a mile away and you have his shoes. ================================================================= ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 5 Apr 1997 to 6 Apr 1997 ************************************************ From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Apr 8 14:06:32 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA06435 for ; Tue, 8 Apr 1997 14:06:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102149-11537>; Tue, 8 Apr 1997 14:05:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAB180494; Tue, 8 Apr 1997 01:05:04 -0500 Message-Id: <199704080605.BAB180494@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Apr 1997 00:00:40 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 6 Apr 1997 to 7 Apr 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 6 messages totalling 174 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. (Off topic) aviation weather 2. I hate this.....try FAR, NoDak for even worse wx! 3. MAPSO Question... 4. I hate this! 5. Nexrad "Free Text Message" - Where on 'net? : The answer (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 7 Apr 1997 00:36:25 -0700 From: A Lieberman Subject: (Off topic) aviation weather Bmr4fn wrote: > > I normally use Duats and now I have this computer at home.How can I access > the same weather I use at the airport before I fly .It would be nice to > see the aviation weather on my PC.Also to be able to file flight plans > from home. DUATs is on the WWW. Just go to http://www.gtefsd.com/aviation/GTEaviation.html You can file flight plans just as if you dialed into the 800 number Some other aviation links you may like..... http://WWW.awc-KC.NOAA.gov/ http://www.landings.com/ http://www.avweb.com/ http://nws.noaa.gov/adds/ Happy flying! Allen -- http://www.bright.net/~lieberma/ Come visit my homepage!!! Any unsolicited COMMERCIAL Email will be replied with a complaint to the postmaster of the sender! ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 7 Apr 1997 12:35:04 -0400 From: Daniel Dix Subject: Re: I hate this.....try FAR, NoDak for even worse wx! Winter wx lovers (or haters): Jeff Schmidt writes: >Subject: I hate this! > I live in the Nebraska panhandle, and yesterday was an intersting >day. Here, there were severe thunderstorm warnings and one tornado >warning, with numerous reports of funnel clouds. I was really getting >excited because I thought spring was finally here. Well, today there are >blizzard warnings out and visibilty is less than a mile right now. There >is about 4 to 5 inches of snow on the ground. I hate this. Luckily I am in SC Kansas so I didn't experience that. BUT, my friend in Fargo who is enduring his first winter in FAR as a tv met (though he is from Minnesota like myself) is really hating the weather. A record 100+" of snow, more blizzards than you can count on both hands, record cold and now widespread flooding now being compared to the 1897 massive Fargo-Moorhead floods. To really make folks appreciate the hardiness and now hardship of 'dem 'der Dakotans and Minnesotans....on Saturday and Sunday folks were being rescued from their homes due to the flooding...riding in boats across their fields w/2-4' foot white caps splashing on the sides of the boat -- all in a raging BLIZZARD (on Sunday, anyway)!!! Many people were sandbagging this weekend even in the blizzard, all highways closed and bitter wind chills....FAR received over a foot of snow to top it all off!! This is going to be major problem because for the next several days temps will be well below freezing (just below 0 Tues. AM)......so some of that water will freeze wherever it is! Even though I am not up there I am still having to produce forecasts/etc for that area -- an unbelievable winter! Severe wx (warm weather kind) is cool and all but us Nrn Plains folks get pretty pumped up about winter wx. The storm system that raged through the area this weekend was nearly a 'land-hurricane' with central pressures in the 975mb range over northern Minnesota and sustained winds of 45-55 mph and gusts of 65-80 mph (the highest gusts occurred over srn Minn./northern and eastern Iowa into Illinois. Parts of Wisc. experienced the greatest winds gusts! Now thats a storm! Winter started with a bang up north and is ending in the same fashion. I guess the area paid for those warm temps into the 60s and 70s early last week! A good web page to monitor the Red River Valley flooding is: http://www.ndsu.unodak.edu/fargoflood (North Dakota State Univ.) -- they even have a link to a camera monitoring the Red River from downtown Fargo. Daniel Dix Derby, KS ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 7 Apr 1997 06:25:48 EDT From: Robert Lightbown Subject: MAPSO Question... Is there any way to shut off the printer function on MAPSO when you take a METAR observation with MAPSO...meaning you have a choice at the end of the ob on whether to Transmit, Print or Abort...well I think it is a waste of paper to print out each ob after you take...and I can't transmit it because I am only practicing taking obs in preparation for my weather observer exam. As for the weather observer exam...Which areas of the FMH should I concentrate on in studying for the test? Is there a list of contractors out there that contract weather observers for airports, FAA stations, etc.?? Thanks In Advance... Rob Lightbown ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 7 Apr 1997 18:24:57 -0500 From: "Ryan C. McCammon" Subject: Re: I hate this! Just me wrote: > > Hang in there Jeff! Won't be long! (Although I'm ready for summer, I'd > take your snowfall right now since we only has 0.10" for the entire > winter past!) > > Bill Yikes...and I thought only getting 6.5" for the season here in OKC sucked. Ryan ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 7 Apr 1997 08:37:05 -0400 From: J Subject: Re: Nexrad "Free Text Message" - Where on 'net? : The answer J wrote: > In realizing the importance of the NEXRAD product "Free Text Message" > (XXXNAF) when the radar is down, I wondered, since these products are > not something that is commonly provided on the Internet, if there is > somewhere on the 'Net to get them in text form? I.E. is there an AFOS > header or some other form of broadcast that would include them? > Much thanks to everyone who replied. The answer that I was looking for came from the never-disappointing Mike Dross of UNCC/Dukepower: "They are usually under the WMO header NOUS6x where x is 1-9. NOUS62 is used by most offices in the Carolinas. You can find them at http://ws321.uncc.edu/raw/NOUS/NOUS62" ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 7 Apr 1997 22:06:37 -0500 From: Charles Edwards Subject: Re: Nexrad "Free Text Message" - Where on 'net? : The answer At 08:37 AM 4/7/97 -0400, J wrote: >J wrote: > Bad name to have in the chasing comunity. "J" Is this your last name? Is your first name "Service"? Better not visit Greg Stumpf's web page. Charles Edwards Cloud 9 Tours cedwards@rossby.metr.ou.edu http://www3.pair.com/storms storms@pair.com ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 6 Apr 1997 to 7 Apr 1997 ************************************************ From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Apr 9 12:36:35 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id MAA15751 for ; Wed, 9 Apr 1997 12:36:35 +0800 X-Warning: Original message contained 8-bit characters, however during the SMTP transport session the receiving system was unable to announce capability of receiving 8-bit SMTP (RFC 1425-1428), and as this message does not have MIME headers (RFC 1341) to enable encoding change, we had very little choices. X-Warning: We ASSUME it is less harmfull to add the MIME headers, and convert the text to Quoted-Printable, than not to do so, and to strip the message to 7-bits.. (RFC 1428 Appendix A) MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: TEXT/PLAIN; charset=UNKNOWN-8BIT Content-Transfer-Encoding: QUOTED-PRINTABLE Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102381-4367>; Wed, 9 Apr 1997 12:35:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA41230; Tue, 8 Apr 1997 23:15:55 -0500 Message-Id: <199704090415.XAA41230@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Apr 1997 22:12:38 -0600 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 7 Apr 1997 to 8 Apr 1997 - Special issue To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 15 messages totalling 817 lines in this issue. Topics in this special issue: 1. Signs your weatherperson needs a vacation 2. ASOS Commissioning Notice (3) 3. I Hate This! 4. 1998 AMS Annual Meeting (2) 5. Updated seasonal hurricane forecast 6. I love this! (Was: Re: I hate this!) (3) 7. NWS defends cuts... (4) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 7 Apr 1997 23:28:18 -0700 From: Ken Tarvin Subject: Signs your weatherperson needs a vacation Thought some of you might get a laugh outta this...found it while brows= ing the web today.... The Top 15 Signs Your TV Weatherperson Needs a Vacation 15> Habitually refers to outlying rural communities as "East B.F. Egypt, if you know what I mean." 14> "3D Doppler Radar" replaced by "3D Virtual Valerie." 13> "Today's forecast: crap. But the Canary Islands have great weather in the spring -- let's go to that map." 12> Last night's report included "A turgid, pulsating jet stream penetrating deep into a warm, moist, aching heartland." 11> "Well, this cold front will be moving right along... AS SOON AS MY EX-WIFE LEAVES TOWN!" 10> Standard weather map replaced by a Risk board with fighter planes and tanks, and he spends the entire segment making explosion and machine gun noises. 9> "I predict a giant fire right here, on my mother-in-law's condo." 8> Illustrates forthcoming snowstorm by shaking his dandruff over the East Coast. 7> "We got a twister rippin' up Texas, an' it's a mean sumbitch! Evacuate the trailer parks! Houston, you have a problem!" 6> Prefaces all reports with "And in another act of a Vengeful God..." 5> Current weather report consists of "Look out the friggin' window, ya lazy bastards." 4> Keeps hurling lightning bolts at the rest of the news team. 3> It looks like he's had a "brief downpour" in his pants again. 2> Starts doing "shout-outs" to his "fly-girls" in various microclimate locales. and the Number 1 Sign Your TV Weatherperson Needs a Vacation... 1> "Live WeatherCam" really just video highlights of his recent colonoscopy. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 8 Apr 1997 06:31:12 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site became commissioned ASOS as of 1800 UTC on 28 = March, 1997. PAGE MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KPGA) PAGE... ARIZONA Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 8 Apr 1997 06:31:12 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site bacame ASOS commissioned at 1800 UTC on 31 Mar= ch, 1997. MIDDLETON FIELD (KGZH) EVERGREEN... ALABAMA Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 8 Apr 1997 06:31:12 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following sites became commissioned ASOS sites at 1800 UTC on= 01 April, 1997. KLAWOCK AIRPORT (PAKW) KLAWOCK... ALASKA SEWARD AIRPORT (PAWD) SEWARD... ALASKA Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 8 Apr 1997 06:57:00 -0400 From: Brian Monahan Subject: Re: I Hate This! > > Hang in there Jeff! Won't be long! (Although I'm ready for summer= , I'd > > take your snowfall right now since we only has 0.10" for the entire > > winter past!) > > > > Bill > > Yikes...and I thought only getting 6.5" for the season here in > OKC sucked. Wow...And I thought a low total of 14.2" for the season was really bad. Good to know my station's not the worst! :) -Brian **************************************** Brian Monahan Kingsway Regional HS Clarksboro, NJ Weather Observer Channel Op on Undernet's #weather Nick: wxcentral Email: bmonahan@p3.net **************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 8 Apr 1997 12:33:12 EDT From: glickman@MIT.EDU Subject: 1998 AMS Annual Meeting The 78th Annual Meeting of the American Meteorological Society (AMS) will be held 11-16 January 1998 in Phoenix, Arizona. The theme of this year's Annual Meeting is "The Maturing of Our Predictive Capability." AMS President Ronald McPherson has announced that the Annual Meeting pr= ogram will include: ...Special Symposium on Status and Prospects for Climate Prediction ...Special Symposium on the Research Foci of the U.S. Weather Research Program ...Special Session Honoring the Centennial of the Birth of Carl-Gustaf Rossby ...16th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting ...14th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology Oceanography and Hydrology ...14th Conference on Probability and Statistics ...12th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction ...10th Symposium on Meteorological Observations and Instrumentation ...9th Symposium on Global Change Studies ...9th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere ...7th Symposium on Education ...2nd Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology ...2nd Symposium on Integrated Observing Systems ...1st Conference on Artificial Intelligence A Number of Short Courses will Be offered including: ...Short Course on Air Pollution Meteorology ...Short Course on Mountain Meteorology ...Short Course on Spatial Data Analysis ...Others to Be Announced Preliminary program information is published in the Meetings Section of the Bulletin of the AMS. The full program will be published in the October, 1997 edition of the Bulletin of the AMS. For additional information contact the AMS Meetings Department at 617-227-2426 x227 (e-mail: amsmtgs@ametsoc.org) or see the AMS Home Page at URL: www.ametsoc.org/AMS =3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D= =3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D= =3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D Todd Glickman Assistant Executive Director American Meteorological Society 45 Beacon Street Boston, MA 02108 Phone: 617-227-2426 x237 Fax: 617-742-8718 E-Mail: ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 8 Apr 1997 13:49:35 -0400 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Updated seasonal hurricane forecast EARLY APRIL FORECAST OF ATLANTIC BASIN SEASONAL HURRICANE ACTIVITY FOR = 1997 (Another year of expected above average hurricane activity) By William M. Gray (Professor of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State Uni= versity) John A. Knaff (Advanced Ph.D. Student), Christopher W. Landsea (Meteorologist with NOAA/HRD Lab., Miami, FL) Paul W. Mielke, Jr. and Kenneth J. Berry (Professors of Statistics, = CSU) (This forecast is based on ongoing research by the authors, together wi= th meteorological information through March 1997) (As of 4 April 1997) [ This forecast with figures and tables is available on the World Wide = ] [ Web at this URL: http://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/forecasts = ] [ -also- = ] [ Thomas Milligan and Carrie Schafer Colo. State Univ., Media Represen-= ] [ tatives (970-491-6432) are available to answer various questions abou= t ] [ this forecast. A taped interview with William Gray can be obtained b= y ] [ calling 970-491-1525. = ] ABSTRACT Information obtained through March 1997 indicates that as during the previous two seasons the coming 1997 Atlantic hurricane season is again likely to have greater than average activity. We project that total season activity will include 11 named storms (average is 9.3), 55 named storm days (average 47), 7 hurricanes (average 5.8), 25 hurricane days (average 24), 3 intense (category 3-4-5) hurricanes (average 2.3), 5 intense hurricane days (average is 4.7) and a hurricane destruction potential (HDP) of 75 (average 71). Whereas net 1997 tropical cyclone activity is expected to be 110 percent of the long term average, conditions should be relatively quiet in comparison with the unusually active 1995 and 1996 seasons. Still, 1997 should be significantly more active than the average of the generally suppressed hurricane seasons during the last 25 years and especially in comparison to the particularly quiet seasons of 1991-1994. These early April predictions are identical to our early December (1996) forecast of 1997 hurricane activity. An important element entering this updated April forecast is the belief that a significant warm ENSO event will not occur before November. If this 1997 hurricane forecast is at least approximately correct, then the 3-year period of 1995-1997 will have been the most active consecutive three years on record. This in turn would suggest that we are entering a new era of generally greater Atlantic basin hurricane activity. Later forecasts updates for 1997 will be issued on 6 June and 6 August 1997. A verification of this forecast will be made in late November 1997. 1. Introduction Surprisingly strong long range predictive signals exist for Atlantic basin seasonal tropical cyclone activity. Our recent research indicates that a sizeable portion of the year-to-year variability of nine indices of Atlantic tropical cyclone activity can be skillfully hindcast as early as late November of the prior year. This late fall forecast can then be updated in early April, early June and early August. In this paper we present a spring update of our Atlantic tropical cyclone activity forecast for 1997, based on meteorological data available through the end of March 1997. Forecasts were developed using 46 years (1950-1995) of historical data. We study this historical data to develop the best possible forecast regression equations from a variety of global wind, temperature, pressure, and rainfall features. These seasonal hurricane forecasts are based on the premise that the behavior of the atmosphere during the coming year will closely follow that of similar years in the past. In other words, we assume that those global environmental conditions which preceded active or inactive hurricane seasons in the past will be similarly related to future seasonal trends in hurricane activity. Allowing that the global atmosphere operates as a single entity, past observations provide insight on how the atmosphere-ocean-land system will likely operate in future months and seasons. Our forecast methodology and skill continues to evolve as we study new data and ideas to improve both our physical understanding and forecast skill. 2. Prediction Methodology We prepare forecasts for nine measures of seasonal Atlantic basin tropical cyclone activity including the following: Number of Named Storms (NS), Number of Named Storm Days (NSD), Hurricanes (H), Hurricane Days (HD), Intense Hurricanes (IH), Intense Hurricane Days (IHD), Hurricane Destruction Potential (HDP), Net Tropical cyclone Activity (NTC), and Maximum Potential Destruction (MPD). For each of these activity parameters we choose the best six predictors (i.e., those resulting in optimum prediction skill) from a field of nine possible forecast parameters. The set of potential predictors currently in our early April forecast are shown in Table 1. The specific values of these parameters used in this year's forecast are shown in the right column. This is our "statistical" forecast. Additional forecast parameters representing conditions in the Pacific Ocean basin and the Asia-Australia regions are also consulted for further qualitative forecast adjustments. In this way, we use both quantitative and qualitative information to produce the final "adjusted" forecast. TABLE 1: Pool of predictive parameters and their 1 April value for the early April 1997 prediction. Based on meteorological data through March 1997. Specific 1 April For 1 April Prediction Fcst Parameters 1 =3D QBO 30 mb 6 month extrapolation of zonal wind to Sept. 1977 -3 m/s 2 =3D QBO 50-30 mb 6 month extrapolation of absolute shear of zonal wind to Sept. 1977 1 m/s 3 =3D QBO 50 mb Balboa (Jun-Aug of 1996) -26 knots 4 =3D Atlantic Ridge (Oct-Nov of 1996) +1.45 5 =3D Atlantic Ridge (March 1997) -0.85 6 =3D African rain - Sahel (Aug-Sept of 1996) -0.21 SD 7 =3D African rain - Guinea (Aug-Nov of 1996) -0.54 SD 8 =3D North Atlantic SSTA for 12N to 20N, 50W to 18W (Jan-Mar 1997) +0.41 deg 9 =3D North Atlantic SSTA for 50N to 60N, 10W to 50W (Jan-Dec 1996) +0.09 deg Our predictions, developed from the 46-year data period of 1950-1995, explain about 47 to 66 percent of the past variance. 3. Early April Atlantic Basin Hurricane Forecast for 1997 Table 2 gives the long period climatology and summarizes all 1997 hurricane season forecast values including the results obtained from our December 1996 forecast and the current early April forecast. Of primary interest is column 3 which gives our 4 April 1997 qualitatively adjusted, ''actual'' forecast for 1997. Both the early December (column 2) and early April (column 3) statistical forecasts have been adjusted upwards. As noted elsewhere this adjustment is the result of our analysis of additional global signals which though not explicitly included in the statistical forecast are nevertheless known to be linked to above average hurricane activity. These additional predictors indicate a somewhat more active hurricane season for 1997, warranting the upward adjustments in anticipation of a more active 1997 hurricane season. TABLE 2: Updated statistical and adjusted Atlantic basin hurricane forecasts for 1997. (1) (2) (3) Early 6 Dec 96 April 1997 Forecast 1950-90 Adjusted Adjusted Parameter Average Forecast Forecast ------------------------------------------------------------------ Named Storms 9.3 11 11 Named Storm Days 46.6 55 55 Hurricanes 5.8 7 7 Hurricane Days 23.9 25 25 Intense Hurricanes 2.3 3 3 Intense Hurricane Days 4.7 5 5 Hurricane Destruction Potential 71.2 75 75 Net Tropical Cyclone Activity 100.0% 110% 110% Maximum Potential Destruction 66.0 70 70 4. Likely Increase of Landfalling Major Hurricanes in Coming Decades Excepting the last two (1995 and 1996) seasons, there has been a marked decrease in the incidence of intense category 3-4-5 hurricanes striking the US East Coast, Florida and Caribbean region during the last 25 years. This quarter-century lull is likely a consequence of alterations the slowdown in the Atlantic Ocean's thermohaline circulation which appears to be responsible for a long list of concurrent global climate trends including the Sahel drought, increased El Nino activity, Pacific and Atlantic middle latitude zonal wind increases, among numerous others. Both historical and geological (proxy) records indicate that this extended lull in major hurricane activity will not continue. A new era of major hurricane activity appears to have begun with the usually active 1995 and 1996 seasons. As a consequence of the exploding US and Caribbean coastal development during the last 25-30 years we should begin to see a large upturn in hurricane spawned destruction. 5. Forthcoming Forecast Updates Updated 1997 forecasts will be issued on the following dates: (1) Friday 6 June 1997, just after the official start of the hurricane season and on (2)Wednesday 6 August 1997, just prior to the most active portion of the hurricane season. These later forecasts will utilize data which is closer in time to the hurricane season and therefore, should be somewhat more reliable than our late November and (this) early April forecasts. Verification of all our forecasts will be issued in late November 1997. 6. Cautionary Note It is important that the reader appreciate that these seasonal forecasts are based on statistical schemes and forecasting judgements which will fail in some years. These forecasts also do not specifically predict where within the Atlantic basin storms will strike. Even if 1997 should prove to be an above average hurricane season, there are no assurances that many hurricanes will strike along the US or Caribbean Basin coastline and do much damage. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 8 Apr 1997 17:59:11 GMT From: Brian Curran Subject: Re: I love this! (Was: Re: I hate this!) Geez. I don't understand why people insist on living above 35 degrees north and complain about how cold it is. Here in Texas it's a little on the cool side...DFW got down to 57 degrees for a low last night... and right now it's mostly cloudy and in the mid 60s. Hope it stays that way tomorrow...I understand the bluebonnets and the paintbrush are going bonkers in Ellis county and I have some days off and some Velvia to burn. I'm looking out beyond my deck and see that the oaks and elms have leafed out completely with the willows not too far behind. And I got sunburnt last Sunday watching the Rangers rip the Orioles 9-3 on a sundrenched green field with people in tee shirts and shorts eating dogs and drinking beer in pleasantly cool 75 degree weather. Heh heh heh 8^). bc -- Brian Curran ebcurran@flash.net Standard disclaimers apply; I speak for myself. "The opinion of the strongest is always the best." - J. de la Fontaine ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 8 Apr 1997 12:39:49 -0500 From: "Ryan C. McCammon" Subject: I love this! (Was: Re: I hate this!) Ryan C. McCammon wrote: > > Just me wrote: > > > > > Hang in there Jeff! Won't be long! (Although I'm ready for summer= , I'd > > take your snowfall right now since we only has 0.10" for the entire > > winter past!) > > > > Bill > > Yikes...and I thought only getting 6.5" for the season here in > OKC sucked. > > Ryan Looks like snow and cold rear their "ugly" heads again in Oklahoma after all! Ryan ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 8 Apr 1997 17:49:07 GMT From: Brian Curran Subject: Re: 1998 AMS Annual Meeting Hmm. Ought to be a great meeting. Too bad NWS field mets will not be able to attend unless it's on their own dime. bc -- Brian Curran ebcurran@flash.net Standard disclaimers apply; I speak for myself. "The opinion of the strongest is always the best." - J. de la Fontaine ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 8 Apr 1997 21:50:02 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: I love this! (Was: Re: I hate this!) On Apr 8, 5:59pm, Brian Curran wrote: > Geez. I don't understand why people insist on living above 35 degree= s north > Three words: June through August. :-) > and complain about how cold it is. > Because otherwise, nobody notices that we're up here... -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS FIRSTT | CIMSS/University of Wisconsin-Madison ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 8 Apr 1997 18:00:40 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: NWS defends cuts... Given an opportunity to roll back the cuts... -----------------------------------------------------------------------= - Weather Service Cutbacks Defended By RANDOLPH E. SCHMID Associated Press Writer Tuesday, April 8, 1997 5:51 pm EDT WASHINGTON (AP) -- Top federal weather officials defended spending reductions Tuesday before a House subcommittee alarmed by charges that = the cuts could endanger public safety. ``No!,'' responded D. James Baker, head of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, when asked if the reductions would put peop= le in jeopardy. And National Weather Service Director Elbert W. Friday said while the c= uts forced him to scale back training, he said forecasts and warnings would= not be affected. Despite the assurances, members of the House Appropriations commerce subcommittee continually pressed the two about recent criticism from weather service managers and a group of leading meteorologists. Ron McPherson, director of the weather service's National Centers for Environmental Prediction, has said he'll quit after nearly four decades= in the profession rather than slash jobs. Proposed cutbacks will undermine the weather service's ability to predi= ct severe weather, McPherson has charged, by forcing staff reductions at t= he National Hurricane Center and the National Severe Storms Warning Center= , which forecasts tornadoes. McPherson's complaint also has been voiced by other weather service managers, and last week, 26 past presidents of the American Meteorologi= cal Society expressed alarm about the proposed deductions in a letter to Commerce Secretary William Daley. The budget cuts ``and their impact on the weather service's capability = to warn of severe weather and flood hazards to protect life and property i= s cause for deep concern,'' they wrote. Weather service officials have insisted that the reductions, ordered to close a $27 million budget gap, won't have a negative effect on service= . Baker, whose agency supervises the weather service, said the cuts will reduce some analyses and research positions but do not involve any forecasters. And he stressed the improvements in warnings in the last f= ew years. Baker added he was ``very upset'' about a critical letter from four wea= ther service managers and told subcommittee chairman Harold Rogers, R-Ky., h= e had responded ``very strongly'' to them. Friday echoed Baker that the cuts will largely mean reductions in analy= sis and weather summaries, but added that he has also been forced to reduce training and to increase the intervals between maintenance on some equi= pment. ``If we're lucky we'll get away with it,'' Friday said, but he stressed that training must be resumed as new, high-tech equipment comes into service and equipment requires maintenance. Asked about reports that overnight shifts would be trimmed at the torna= do warning center in Norman, Okla., Friday said that if a major outbreak occurs, forecasters would be available to handle it. =A9 Copyright 1997 The Associated Press ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 8 Apr 1997 20:32:32 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: NWS defends cuts... OK. No more Mr. Nice Guy... > WASHINGTON (AP) -- Top federal weather officials defended spending > reductions Tuesday before a House subcommittee alarmed by charges tha= t the > cuts could endanger public safety. > > ``No!,'' responded D. James Baker, head of the National Oceanic and > Atmospheric Administration, when asked if the reductions would put pe= ople > in jeopardy. Baloney. Either you 1) are saving your own political rear end, or 2) yo= u are blatantly ignorant of the process. I, as a degreed meteorologist, with extra training in convective weather and from personal experience watching the SPC guys at work, know it is very difficult at current staffing levels to keep up during a major outbreak. Are you going to constantly bring in people on overtime during the spring? Ever hear of "exhaustion"? I want you to work a shift at SPC during a significant severe weather outbreak. Just one. By the end of the night when you know people are de= ad despite your best efforts, and your shirt smells like the inside of a garbage can from busting your tail all night long, you WILL change your mind. > And National Weather Service Director Elbert W. Friday said while the= cuts > forced him to scale back training, he said forecasts and warnings wou= ld not > be affected. He knows in his heart...and so does the rest of the NWS...this is pure nonense. Who will have the guts to stand up to the representatives of this country and speak the truth? You are playing Russian roulette with REAL PEOPLE here, gentlemen. When the death rates start going back up due to flooding, airline crashes and killer tornadoes, I can only imagi= ne what will go through your head, if you have any semblance of a conscien= ce, when the body count starts to climb again after years of decline, and know it is due to what you have defended under oath to be the truth. > Proposed cutbacks will undermine the weather service's ability to pre= dict > severe weather, McPherson has charged, by forcing staff reductions at= the > National Hurricane Center and the National Severe Storms Warning Cent= er, > which forecasts tornadoes. Yeah, reduce TPC staff to one person overnight. Hey, no hurricanes ever occur at night. And we can always drag in exhausted, half-dead meteorologists night after night after night if there are. Shoot, I kno= w I'm at my peak after pulling a hard 24 hour shift at work. > McPherson's complaint also has been voiced by other weather service > managers, and last week, 26 past presidents of the American Meteorolo= gical > Society expressed alarm about the proposed deductions in a letter to > Commerce Secretary William Daley. > > The budget cuts ``and their impact on the weather service's capabilit= y to > warn of severe weather and flood hazards to protect life and property= is > cause for deep concern,'' they wrote. Right on! > Baker, whose agency supervises the weather service, said the cuts wil= l > reduce some analyses and research positions but do not involve any > forecasters. BULLS***!!! There are lies, damn lies, and THIS one tops them all! > And he stressed the improvements in warnings in the last few > years. Want them to continue? > Baker added he was ``very upset'' about a critical letter from four w= eather > service managers and told subcommittee chairman Harold Rogers, R-Ky.,= he > had responded ``very strongly'' to them. You aren't fooling those who know, Mr. Baker. Not one! We know the trut= h. Take your precious time and do something better than screaming to the choir. We aren't buying this one bit. > Friday echoed Baker that the cuts will largely mean reductions in ana= lysis > and weather summaries, but added that he has also been forced to redu= ce > training and to increase the intervals between maintenance on some eq= uipment. Yes, who needs to know the latest breakthroughs in meteorology to furth= er reduce the loss of life and property? > ``If we're lucky we'll get away with it,'' Friday said, but he stress= ed > that training must be resumed as new, high-tech equipment comes into > service and equipment requires maintenance. And if we're not lucky? Murphy's law works great in weather. Hey, Lubbo= ck, TX is tearing down their tornado warning siren system. Guess what's goi= ng to happen to them? No, you're right, I can't prove it scientifically, b= ut we know better! Or do we? I know where I'm sitting on my chase vacation this year... > Asked about reports that overnight shifts would be trimmed at the tor= nado > warning center in Norman, Okla., Friday said that if a major outbreak > occurs, forecasters would be available to handle it. Not from your official memo, Dr. Friday. Have you forgotten what you wrote to your staff? See: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/spccuts.html I may get blackballed by the AMS, NWS, go right ahead. I really don't g= ive a shit. Both of you are destroying the National Weather Service, making it's Congressionally mandated purpose to "protect lives and property" without degredation of service a laughing stock, a worthless piece of paper, just to save face. You had your chance to save it in front of th= e highest in the land, to do something to stop this utter nonsense, and y= ou blew it. The chance to further our understanding of severe weather and ultimately further reduce the loss of life, property, and costs due to damage. Your agency has also claimed that for every dollar spent on the NWS, four are saved by the usually timely warnings to all weather hazar= ds provided by the Weather Service. I believe it's even better than that. I know this will not be read by the "important" people who actually nee= d to read this, which is a shame. I have written the President, yelled at my officials to do something about it, and then the own agency shoot= s itself in the foot by doing this. Fine. Save your butt and to heck with your constituency who you claim to protect and serve. When the next disaster comes, you will get no sympathy from me, even less from the media, and the public outcry? Whew. I am now a on-air television meteorologist, who knows the vale of the watches and warnings issued by the NWS firsthand. I'm the one that distributes the warnings to the public, many of which will only hear it through me, not through NOAA weather radio or the Internet. You degrade service to your forecasters, and from that you degrade my ability to sa= ve lives by distributing your watches and warnings in a timely matter. I'm not putting up with this crap without a fight! Disclaimer: These are my opinions, and not necessarily those of my employer, or anyone else. But they should be! Gilbert ***********************************************************************= ******** Gilbert Sebenste **= ****** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) = ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada = *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html = ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada = * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ = * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! = * ***********************************************************************= ******** ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 8 Apr 1997 21:19:22 -0500 From: "Paul L. Sirvatka" Subject: Re: NWS defends cuts... This is the biggest bunch of BS I have ever seen. It really irritates m= e when Washington decides they know more about the field than the people doing the actual work. What is wrong with this stupid world? You would think that management would figure out that those who do the real work know a helluva lot more about where the real fat lies. Speaking of fat lies, here is a bunch of them! > > Weather service officials have insisted that the reductions, ordered = to > close a $27 million budget gap, won't have a negative effect on servi= ce. > > Baker, whose agency supervises the weather service, said the cuts wil= l > reduce some analyses and research positions but do not involve any > forecasters. And he stressed the improvements in warnings in the last= few > years. > > Baker added he was ``very upset'' about a critical letter from four w= eather > service managers and told subcommittee chairman Harold Rogers, R-Ky.,= he > had responded ``very strongly'' to them. ***********************************************************************= ******* * Paul L. Sirvatka | Office: (630) 942-2118; Lab: (630) 942-25= 90 * * Professor of Meteorology | COD Weather Lab: (630)-858-0032 = * * College of DuPage | Address: 425 22nd St. Glen Ellyn, IL 601= 37 * ***********************************************************************= ******* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 8 Apr 1997 23:06:10 -0500 From: Don Lloyd Subject: Re: NWS defends cuts... Gilbert Sebenste roared: (some deletia for brevity) >I may get blackballed by the AMS, NWS, go right ahead. I really don't = give >a shit. Both of you are destroying the National Weather Service, makin= g >it's Congressionally mandated purpose to "protect lives and property" >without degredation of service a laughing stock, a worthless piece of >paper, just to save face. You had your chance to save it in front of t= he >highest in the land, to do something to stop this utter nonsense, and = you >blew it. The chance to further our understanding of severe weather and >ultimately further reduce the loss of life, property, and costs due to >damage. Your agency has also claimed that for every dollar spent on th= e >NWS, four are saved by the usually timely warnings to all weather haza= rds >provided by the Weather Service. I believe it's even better than that. > >I know this will not be read by the "important" people who actually ne= ed >to read this, which is a shame. I have written the President, yelled >at my officials to do something about it, and then the own agency shoo= ts >itself in the foot by doing this. Fine. Save your butt and to heck wit= h >your constituency who you claim to protect and serve. When the next >disaster comes, you will get no sympathy from me, even less from the >media, and the public outcry? Whew. Very well said, Gilbert. I doubt anyone could make a better case. I am absolutely stunned by the complacency of these fools. All the more reason for everyone to keep the pressure up on Congress and the Senate. Perhaps you should consider a new career...in lobbying. *********** Don and Jennie Lloyd (dlloyd@inc.net) (KB9OXW) Fond du Lac, Wisconsin Wx/Fx Photography and Presentations http://www.wx-fx.com featuring "The Tornadoes of Wisconsin" ********** ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 7 Apr 1997 to 8 Apr 1997 - Special issue **************************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Apr 9 14:30:19 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA16703 for ; Wed, 9 Apr 1997 14:30:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102380-4367>; Wed, 9 Apr 1997 14:29:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA135590; Wed, 9 Apr 1997 01:19:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5208861 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Apr 1997 01:19:10 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA140954 for ; Wed, 9 Apr 1997 01:19:08 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id BAA62784 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Apr 1997 01:19:08 -0500 Message-ID: <199704090619.BAA62784@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Apr 1997 01:19:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -090119 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 57917 ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600Z APR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 6N6 153E9. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA FROM CHUUK (WMO 91334) AND POHNPEI (WMO 91348) INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EMBEDDED WITHIN A NEAR-EQUATORIAL TROUGH. CONVECTION HAS REMAINED PERSISTENT FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS AROUND THE OUTER-PERIPHERY OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER BUT CONTINUES TO BE DISORGANIZED. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 5N5 172E0. THE AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW- LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EMBEDDED WITHIN A NEAR- EQUATORIAL TROUGH. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS SUPPORTED BY ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA FROM MAJURO (WMO 91376) AND TARAWA (WMO 91670). THE CONVECTION HAS REMAINED PERSISTENT THROUGHOUT THE PAST 18 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/MILLER/TIRSCHEL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Apr 10 13:08:42 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id NAA26484 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 1997 13:08:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102490-10253>; Thu, 10 Apr 1997 13:07:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA253252; Thu, 10 Apr 1997 00:03:27 -0500 Message-Id: <199704100503.AAA253252@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Apr 1997 00:00:02 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 8 Apr 1997 to 9 Apr 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 12 messages totalling 596 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. ASOS Commissioning Notice 2. WX-TALK Digest - 6 Apr 1997 to 7 Apr 1997 3. Spending Cuts...Whose Fault Is It Anyway (3) 4. NWA Feb-Mar Newsletter Table of Contents 5. NWS Family of Services message (fwd) 6. Budget Cuts 7. WX-TALK Digest - 7 Apr 1997 to 8 Apr 1997 - Special issue 8. NWS defends cuts... 9. I Hate This! 10. winds in CA/AZ desert +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 9 Apr 1997 01:54:07 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site became commissioned ASOS at 1800 UTC on 08 April, 1997. NORTHWEST ALABAMA REGIONAL AIRPORT (KMSL) MUSCLE SHOALS... ALABAMA Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 9 Apr 1997 04:35:02 -0400 From: Daniel Dix Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 6 Apr 1997 to 7 Apr 1997 Correction: >A good web page to monitor the Red River Valley flooding is: >http://www.ndsu.unodak.edu/fargoflood (North Dakota State >Univ.) -- they even have a link to a camera monitoring the Red >River from downtown Fargo. The URL is www.ndsu.nodak.edu/fargoflood I had an extra u before the nodak. Sorry about that! Daniel Dix Derby, KS P.S. Another deep system......latest data suggest most of the Dakotas/Minn. will be spared expect the srn portion (including my stomping grounds of Mankato (MKT), Minn) of Minn. may get snow. The MKT area is now being inundated with flooding as the Minnesota River is doing its thing. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 9 Apr 1997 07:59:55 -0500 From: "Marc C. Levine" Subject: Spending Cuts...Whose Fault Is It Anyway Congress passed a budget which cut the $ the NWS got. NWS management, doing their job, budgeted accordingly. Now, Congress & the Wx Community is pissed at NWS management. Am I missing something? Welcome to "BALANCE THE BUDGET MANIA". First, a question, how many of you believe balancing the budget is most important and support the balanced budget amendment? Ok, all of you who answered yes to that question, I don't want to hear your wining about NWS budget cuts and please identify yourselves in all replies so the rest of us can give "the correct weight (0)" to your comments. If the balanced budget amendment were ever passed, we would all look back with fondness at the this budget everyone is complaining about. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 9 Apr 1997 09:24:00 EST From: Floyd Hauth Subject: NWA Feb-Mar Newsletter Table of Contents The National Weather Association February-March 1997 Newsletter Table of Contents 1. PRESIDENT'S MESSAGE (regarding NWS budget cuts, etc.) 2. DATES TO REMEMBER 20-26 April - Sky Awareness Week 1997 15 June - Submission of Undergraduate Meteorological Satellite Applications papers due -- see new award in January Newsletter. 19-24 October - 1997 NWA Annual Meeting, Reno, Nevada. See Call for Papers later in Newsletter. Abstracts due 1 July 1997. 3. LETTERS TO THE EDITOR from David Atlas and David Martin regarding NWS budget cuts and downsizing 4. GOES-K LAUNCH SCHEDULED FOR 24 APRIL 1997 5. CALL FOR PAPERS FOR NWA 1997 ANNUAL MEETING Annual Meeting scheduled for 19-24 October 1997 in Reno, Nevada at Harrah's Casino Hotel and adjoining Hampton Inn. Abstracts due 1 July 1997. 6. LOCAL CHAPTER NEWS 7. FEATURED NWA COUNCIL MEMBER Carolyn M. Kloth 8. NATIONAL HURRICANE CONFERENCE scheduled for 22-25 April 1997 at the Hyatt Regency Hotel in Houston Texas. Call (904) 561-1163 for more information or visit their=20 web site at: http://www.nettally.com/hc 9. NDBC PROVIDES REAL-TIME WAVE INFORMATION at http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov 10. LIST OF NWA COMMITTEE CHAIRPERSONS 11. JOB CORNER For more information or copies contact J. Kevin Lavin at 334-213-0388 or by email: natweaasoc@aol.com ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 9 Apr 1997 08:45:30 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: Spending Cuts...Whose Fault Is It Anyway Marc Levine writes: > THE BUDGET MANIA". > First, a question, how many of you believe balancing the budget is most > important > and support the balanced budget amendment? Ok, all of you who answered yes > to that > question, I don't want to hear your wining about NWS budget cuts and please > identify > yourselves in all replies so the rest of us can give "the correct weight > (0)" to your comments. OK, let's see here. You are saying balance the budget irregardless of the consequences. Give a mongo increase to NOAA for fisheries, yet dupe the NWS whose mission is to save lives? I have absolutely no qualms about balancing the budget--it is long overdue and I realize each agency must take cuts, including the NWS. However, when such cuts are made at the expense of forecasters doing life saving work, while immense quantities of frivolous administration jobs and pork spending abound and continue to blossom, you must admit that this makes absolutely zero sense. > If the balanced budget amendment were ever passed, we would all look back > with fondness > at the this budget everyone is complaining about. I look at this budget, and the ones passed in the last 15 years, and realize if the fat were cut, there'd be enough for everyone to go around and still have enough to start paying off the $5 trillion in hock that we are now in! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 9 Apr 1997 08:47:29 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: NWS Family of Services message (fwd) FYI... Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * Got mole problems? Call Avogadro at 6.02 X 10^23. * ******************************************************************************* PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT...REPEAT. AND TWO SMALL CORRECTIONS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS WASHINGTON DC 930 AM EST WED APR 9 1997 TO: FAMILY OF SERVICES /FOS/ SUBSCRIBERS...NOAA WEATHER WIRE SERVICE /NWWS/ SUBSCRIBERS...OTHER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE /NWS/ CUSTOMERS...NWS EMPLOYEES FROM: DONALD R. WERNLY...CHIEF...CUSTOMER SERVICE SUBJECT: CONVECTIVE WATCH NARRATIVE PRODUCTS WILL HAVE A NEW FORMAT...EFFECTIVE APRIL 15 1997 ...TWO SMALL CORRECTIONS IN GENERIC EXAMPLE. ALL OTHER INFORMATION REMAINS THE SAME... BEGINNING APRIL 15 1997 AT 6:00 A.M. CDT /1100 UNIVERSAL TIME COORDINATED /UTC/...CONVECTIVE WATCH NARRATIVE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER AT NORMAN...OKLAHOMA WILL HAVE A NEW FORMAT...PROVIDING IMPROVEMENTS OVER THE CURRENT VERSION. O THE PRODUCT WILL INCLUDE BOTH BEGINNING AND ENDING TIMES OF THE WATCH. O TECHNICAL INFORMATION WILL BE SEPARATED FROM THE NON- TECHNICAL INFORMATION...WITH THE LATTER SITUATED NEAR THE TOP OF THE PRODUCT. O INSTEAD OF "A..." "C..." "D," ETC... PARTS OF THE WATCH WILL BE IDENTIFIED WITH KEY WORDS "DISCUSSION"..."OTHER WATCH INFORMATION," AND "AVIATION." O PLAIN LANGUAGE WILL BE USED TO DESCRIBE THE POTENTIAL FOR HAIL SIZE AND THUNDERSTORM WIND. O THE TERM "STORM MOTION VECTOR" WHICH IS MORE DESCRIPTIVE AND SCIENTIFICALLY ACCURATE...WILL REPLACE "MEAN WIND VECTOR" O LATITUDE/LONGITUDES OF WATCH BOX END POINTS WILL BE PLACED AT THE BOTTOM AS WELL AS AT THE TOP OF THE PRODUCT. THIS ALLOWS CUSTOMERS TO PLOT THE BOX USING COMPUTER SOFTWARE. THESE CHANGES ARE DESIGNED TO ALLOW FOR QUICKER AND EASIER READING OF WATCH PRODUCTS. NO PRODUCT IDENTIFIER/HEADER CHANGES AND NO UNIVERSAL GENERIC CODE CHANGES ARE REQUIRED. HOWEVER... CUSTOMERS MAY WISH TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF WATCH VALID TIMES AND LATITUDES/LONGITUDES OF WATCH BOX END POINTS FOR AUTOMATED PLOTTING OF WATCHES. A GENERIC EXAMPLE OF THE CONVECTIVE WATCH NARRATIVE/PRODUCT CATEGORY MKCSELX/WWUS9 KMKC FOLLOWS: ...CORRECTIONS TO EXAMPLE... 1/ TO INCLUDE "DANGEROUS LIGHTNING" IN 2ND PARAGARPH 2/ LAST PARAGRAPH /AVIATION/ CORRECTED FOR "MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR" WWUS9 KMKC DDHHMM MKCSELX /X=0-9/ :XXX,YYYY XXX,YYYY XXX,YYYY XXX,YYYY: //XXX=LATITUDE AND YYYY= LONGITUDE FOR EACH WATCH BOX END POINT...SHOWS UP ONLY ON NWWS...NOT FOS// MKC WW DDHHMM /DD=DAY OF MONTH...HHMM=HOUR AND MINUTES IN UGC/ STZ000-STZ000-ETC.-DDHHMM- /STANDARD ZONES UGC BY STATE WITH TERMINATION DATE/TIME/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO /OR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM/ WATCH NUMBER XXXX STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK LOCAL TIME/DAY/MON/YEAR THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A TORNADO /OR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM/ WATCH FOR ALL OR PORTIONS OF APPROPRIATE STATE SUB-REGIONS AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS //IF NEEDED// EFFECTIVE /DAY/ FROM /LOCAL TIME/ ... TO /LOCAL TIME/ //OPTION FOR ENHANCED WORDING TO DESCRIBE A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION// /OPTION FOR TORNADOES... - HAIL TO XX INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO XX MPH AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS./ THE TORNADO /OR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM/ WATCH IS ALONG AND XX STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF /OR NORTH AND SOUTH OF OR EAST AND WEST OF/ A LINE FROM XX MILES //16-POINT COMPASS DIRECTION SPELLED OUT// OF /LOCATION/ TO XX MILES //16-POINT COMPASS DIRECTION SPELLED OUT// OF /LOCATION/. REMEMBER...A TORNADO /OR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM/ WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND TORNADOES //IF TORNADO WATCH// IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION.../OPTION FOR - THIS WATCH REPLACES WW NUMBER XXXX - OTHERWISE...NONE. DISCUSSION...//FREE PLAIN LANGUAGE TEXT TECHNICAL DISCUSSION OF METEOROLOGICAL FACTORS NECESSITATING THE WATCH// AVIATION.../TORNADOES AND/ A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO XX /DIAMETER/ INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO XX KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO XXX //HUNDREDS OF FEET//. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR XXXXX //VECTOR COMPONENT IN DEGREES AND KNOTS//. ...AUTHOR :XXX,YYYY XXX,YYYY XXX,YYYY XXX,YYYY: //WHERE XXX IS LATITUDE AND YYYY IS LONGITUDE FOR EACH WATCH BOX END POINT// IF YOU HAVE ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS...PLEASE CONTACT WILLIAM ALEXANDER 301-713-0090 X115 PAUL JANISH 405-579-0719 E-MAIL WILLIAM.ALEXANDER@NOAA.GOV E-MAIL PAUL.JANISH@NOAA.GOV OFFICE OF MEREOROLOGY W/OM11 STORM PREDICTION CENTER 1325 EAST-WEST HIGHWAY 1313 HALLEY CIRCLE SILVER SPRING MD 20910 NORMAN OK 73069 ...END... ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 9 Apr 1997 14:05:08 -0500 From: "Mathew L. Powers" Subject: Budget Cuts How many NOAA or NWS managment positions got cut? I know the souther region got axed, but is that it? I understand how important it is to have as much management as possible, much more important than say, an aviation forecast, a watch, or Hurricane updates. :-( :-( :-( And of all the regions, I really feel like the best one got axed, IMHO. This is like true life Dilbet, isn't it? The thing that really sucks is that in a few years a disaster will occur and lives will be lost. The media, in my humble guess, will then play the ole "there was no warning or watch!!". It will be the NWS fault. But will they mention the budget cuts as the reason, or just the inability (in the media's opinion) of the forecasters to properly watch and warn?? Hmmmmmmm. Gee, let me guess. I wonder if the public cares about any of this? If the public doesn't care, will the politicians? Do politicians really care if people get killed due to budget cuts? Or do they know that most people think the weathermen are always wrong, and that's it. Will anyone in any position lose votes b/c of any of this? I can only hope that there are enough level heads in congress to understand how completely dangerous and utterly stupid this is! I myself will continue to spread the word, write or call my congressmen, and just do what I can and I expect all of you that care will do the same. I worry though, I really worry if all of our complaints are falling on deaf ears...I hope not..but I worry. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Matt Powers: powers@weather.cod.edu I still use my 630/942-2590 colored pencils! College of Dupage/NEXLAB (near Chi-town) http://weather.cod.edu Multi-County Skywarn http://weather.cod.edu/skywarn and Ob's at RFD for fun ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 9 Apr 1997 13:54:27 -0600 From: "Paul E. Pettit" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 7 Apr 1997 to 8 Apr 1997 - Special issue >From testimony: >Weather service officials have insisted that the reductions, ordered to >close a $27 million budget gap, won't have a negative effect on service. Bull! Reductions in strategic places would have serious effect on service. Point is..uproar over threat of cuts to places that would have the most response from employees, media, public is exactly as planned by upper management. They know where the fat is in the NOAA budget (althought the fat may be lean in NWS portion). Seems to me it would be easy to do away with about 3 regional offices and 20% of headquarters staff which would get a goodly portion of their 27 million considerting facilities and personnel costs. I'm sure one Commerce support center would more than do it! NWS employees, local public officials, media, etc. have saved reductions and loss of service before, just as intended by management. This time may be somewhat different in that more money is needed for technology instead of people, however I suspect the results will be similar to past years. Important slots such as TPC, SPC will probably get restored as some money is to other areas. Storm winds will die down...until the next budget cycle when it will start all over again! But I agree the testimony was certainly BS, BS, BS. If Friday doesn't believe in what he testified to then he should resign along with Baker. Paul E. Pettit Weather Consulting http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 9 Apr 1997 17:03:36 -0700 From: Weather Scratch Subject: Re: NWS defends cuts... Gilbert: Paul Petitt and I have been saying similar things for years now. I have to say your post is well put and shares similar thoughts that I have and I will let Paul speak for himself - afterall he does it so well (I mean that with respect and sincerity). Chuck Doswell, Rodger Edwards, and so many others within the NWS have hinted or outright expressed the same concern, not to mention the AMS Letter, the concern expressed from the NWA, and so many other groups and individuals. So why does Washington D.C. not get the message, but some how I am not surprised. However lobbying in Washington, some how sounds to much like slopping the pigs each day and they still roll in the mud - just like those Bastards in Washington, don't they realize there is a real world, just beyond the Beltway???? or did they come from the Heavensgate UFO??? Gilbert, I have a feeling the Private Sector will have a much wider role in protecting the general public and County and City Governments are already looking for companies like ours to be their Weather Contractor and some have even asked for Warnings from the Company rather than the NWS, that has had us concerned when we have to bid on these things, liability for the most part. But something tells me - we the PRIVATE SECTOR will be the NWS of the future, with little consistancy and communications between companies and multiple confusing warnings and watches, depending on which company a Radio or TV Station contracts with. So goes our wonderful NWS, one of the least waste free angencies in the Federal Government, and yet they get the shaft and the rod - ouch that hurts! So what ya going do now Friday?? Call the Weather Busters? Disclaimer: These of course are my personal opinions and do not refelct those of any one else! John ========================================================================= Weather Scratch Meteorological Services 140 South Kirkman Street Florence, Alabama 35630-4312 (205) 766-8464 Voice/Fax (205) 984-4219 Digital Pager INTERNET E-Mail: metservices@wxscratch.com WEB PAGE: http://www.wxscratch.com Shop the Weather Store, Subscribe to Weather Watch Magazine, Buy a Boltek Lightning Detection System, or contact Weather Scratch for all your research and meteorological needs! Ask about The Severe Local Storm Forecasting Primer or a WINDY Tee Shirt! ========================================================================= ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 9 Apr 1997 19:35:16 GMT From: Brian Curran Subject: Re: Spending Cuts...Whose Fault Is It Anyway If the shoe fits... Before I begin, I would like to say publicly and for the record that I speak for myself and not for my unnamed employer. I am merely exercising my rights under Article I of the Bill of Rights. To the best of my knowledge, speaking as a private citizen will not violate ethics regulations put forth by my unnamed employer. I also understand that certain individuals may not be entirely pleased with some things I may say. Should those individuals disagree with me, fine. We are all entitled to our opinions and to the right to air them. If, however, these individuals wish to take action against me, covert or otherwise, for exercising my First Amendment rights, then I will have no recourse but to pursue redress in civil court. ...if it doesn't, my apologies for wasting bandwith. Now, then... On Wed, 9 Apr 1997 08:45:30 -0500, "Gilbert L. Sebenste" wrote: >Marc Levine writes: > >> THE BUDGET MANIA". >> First, a question, how many of you believe balancing the budget is most >> important >> and support the balanced budget amendment? Ok, all of you who answered yes >> to that >> question, I don't want to hear your wining about NWS budget cuts and please >> identify >> yourselves in all replies so the rest of us can give "the correct weight >> (0)" to your comments. > >OK, let's see here. You are saying balance the budget irregardless >of the consequences. Give a mongo increase to NOAA for fisheries, >yet dupe the NWS whose mission is to save lives? I have absolutely no >qualms about balancing the budget--it is long overdue and I realize each >agency must take cuts, including the NWS. However, when such cuts are made >at the expense of forecasters doing life saving work, while immense >quantities of frivolous administration jobs and pork spending abound and >continue to blossom, you must admit that this makes absolutely zero sense. Gilbert, since when does anything inside the Beltway make sense? Fisheries is environmental. Environmental is good. Makes voters feel good at the ballot box. My wife and I discovered something trivial while standing in a long queue in the "express lane" of a national discount store chain. We get what we pay for. In this instance, the management of the chain cuts costs by keeping the employee to customer ratio low. The consumer is essentially trading the savings on purchases made in this store for their time waiting in line, waiting for assistance, et cetera. Money for the the NWS, like many other service-orientated agencies in the government, come from the discretionary slice of the pie. Reducing this slice is politically expedient. By their own admission, the biggest chunk of the NWS budget is for staff. You can reduce staff and pay overtime, because 1) less overhead for less staff and 2) most forecasters are FLSA exempt, meaning they are not paid true time-and-a half for overtime. It is cheaper to run your employees into the ground than it is to hire additional help. Reduce the staff and you can handle your budget reductions. But at what cost to the consumer? The NWS will simply have to do more with less. And the customer will get what they paid for. Less service and lower quality. >> If the balanced budget amendment were ever passed, we would all look back >> with fondness >> at the this budget everyone is complaining about. > >I look at this budget, and the ones passed in the last 15 years, and >realize if the fat were cut, there'd be enough for everyone to go around >and still have enough to start paying off the $5 trillion in hock that we >are now in! It's not really about what is important, it is about what's political. It doesn't matter if we're talking about convective SIGMETS during the graveyard shift or the lives of three Coast Guard crewmen off the Washington coast. It's political. You get what you pay for. >Gilbert > >****************************************************************************** * >Gilbert Sebenste ******** >Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** >Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** >URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** >SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * >THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * >Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * >****************************************************************************** * bc -- Brian Curran ebcurran@flash.net Standard disclaimers apply; I speak for myself. "The opinion of the strongest is always the best." - J. de la Fontaine ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 9 Apr 1997 13:14:49 -0600 From: Matt Rehwald Subject: Re: I Hate This! Brian Monahan wrote: > > > Hang in there Jeff! Won't be long! (Although I'm ready for summer, I'd > > > take your snowfall right now since we only has 0.10" for the entire > > > winter past!) > > > > > > Bill > > > > Yikes...and I thought only getting 6.5" for the season here in > > OKC sucked. > > Wow...And I thought a low total of 14.2" for the season was really > bad. Good to know my station's not the worst! :) Actually, I was hoping to break the 300 inch barrier this season...through 1 pm this afternoon (heavy snow currently falling) I've had 262", and the further we go into April the less likely we are to get big (12"+) snowstorms. Sometimes life just ain't fair.. **************************** Matt Rehwald The Home Office: Forecaster, Weatherbank Inc. 330 Crestview Drive Edmond, OK <*> PO Box 2772 synoptic@xmission.com Park City, UT 84060-2772 ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 9 Apr 1997 16:44:32 -0700 From: "Paul Britton Jr." Subject: Re: winds in CA/AZ desert Good Afternoon, Winds over the CA/AZ deserts are currently in the 20-30 mph range. With strong low pressure developing over the great basin, winds will probably continue for a good 24-36 hours or so. The strong winds of today (Ie..Mojave, CA = 74mph gust) will not be repeated tomorrow. An interesting twist though, computer models cool the upper levels of the atmosphere while warming surface temperatures a bit creating a slightly unstable situation. Resulting from this there is a slight possibility of thunderstorms in the Higher elevations tomorrow afternoon...look for that. Moisture is limited so precipitation is not much of a factor. Hope this helps, and enjoy your trip! Paul Britton Jr. California Weather Association Member wxguide@concentric.net JWinter507 wrote in article <19970409195500.PAA25074@ladder01.news.aol.com> ... >Can anyone tell me if it is really windy driving north on RT 15 from >Riverside through Barstow, transitioning to RT 40 to Lake Havasu--for >Wed/Thurs 4/9? > >Don't want to encounter dust storms. > >Thanks. > ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 8 Apr 1997 to 9 Apr 1997 ************************************************ From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Apr 10 14:18:52 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA26893 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 1997 14:18:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102585-10253>; Thu, 10 Apr 1997 14:13:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA24482; Thu, 10 Apr 1997 01:00:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5220196 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Apr 1997 01:00:21 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA253278 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 1997 01:00:20 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id BAA55643 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Apr 1997 01:00:19 -0500 Message-ID: <199704100600.BAA55643@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Apr 1997 01:00:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -100100 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 50264 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600Z APR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR AT LEAST 24 HOURS AND IS LOCATED NEAR 11N2 157E3. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS COLLOCATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. THIS SYSTEM LIES WITHIN THE NEAR-EQUATORIAL TROUGH, AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS AND ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO SHOW SOME CROSS-EQUATORIAL FLOW IS OCCURRING INTO THIS AREA. THE AREAL EXTENT AND COVERAGE OF DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS REMAINED ABOUT THE SAME DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. SATELLITE-DERIVED WATER VAPOR WIND DATA AND UPPER-LEVEL RAWINSONDE REPORTS SHOW 10 TO 20 KNOTS OF SURFACE TO 200 MB VERTICAL WIND SHEAR EXISTS ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 172E0 IS NOW NEAR 10N1 173E1. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOOSELY ORGANIZED AROUND A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE NEAR-EQUATORIAL TROUGH. THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS SUPPORTED BY ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS, AND SATELLITE-DERIVED CLOUD WIND DRIFT DATA. MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION LIES TO THE SOUTH OF THIS SYSTEM AND HAS INCREASED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. SATELLITE-DERIVED WATER VAPOR WIND DATA INDICATE ABOUT 20 KNOTS OF SURFACE TO 200 MB VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS PRESENT ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 153E9 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/PUGH// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Apr 11 09:05:50 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id JAA05129 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 1997 09:05:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102278-24162>; Fri, 11 Apr 1997 09:05:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA141008; Thu, 10 Apr 1997 19:29:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5228164 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Apr 1997 19:29:15 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA140448 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 1997 15:23:10 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id PAA57854 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Apr 1997 15:23:09 -0500 Message-ID: <199704102023.PAA57854@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Apr 1997 15:23:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -101523 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 33019 ABPW10 PGTW 102030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/102030Z/110600Z APR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 157E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 1ON1 159E5. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA SUPPORT THE PRESENCE OF A LOW- LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. WATER VAPOR-DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED BENEATH DIFFLUENT FLOW WHICH IS ENHANCING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS INDICATES THE CONVECTION HAS INCREASED IN AREAL EXTENT AND BECOME MORE CONCENTRATED OVER THE CENTER OF THE DISTURBANCE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA CONTINUES TO SUPPORT CROSS-EQUATORIAL FLOW INTO THE DISTURBANCE WHICH IS ALSO ENHANCING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 173E1 IS NOW NEAR 7N7 175E3. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION REMAINS LOOSELY ORGANIZED AROUND A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE NEAR-EQUATORIAL TROUGH. SATELLITE-DERIVED WATER VAPOR WIND DATA INDICATE THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED WITHIN A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. OVERALL CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION REMAINS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/BOYER/DEOCARIZA/UROGI// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Apr 11 13:13:00 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id NAA07014 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 1997 13:12:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102313-24162>; Fri, 11 Apr 1997 13:12:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA91850; Fri, 11 Apr 1997 00:07:13 -0500 Message-Id: <199704110507.AAA91850@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Apr 1997 00:02:22 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 9 Apr 1997 to 10 Apr 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 11 messages totalling 345 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. weird weather in Asheville, NC 2. ASOS Commissioning Notice 3. Need some help for a school project 4. NWS Family of Services message (fwd) 5. ASOS commissioning notice (2) 6. Budget cuts 7. winds in CA/AZ desert (2) 8. NWS defends cuts... (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 10 Apr 1997 01:13:02 -0500 From: STRAUSS@WCUVAX1.WCU.EDU Subject: weird weather in Asheville, NC The 12 midnight forecast, on April 10 had 3-5" of snow by evening and highs Thursday, of 25-30! Somehow, the report must have crossed one from January 1996! Otherwise, someone has a very sick imagination. NB: the forecasts for GSP, TYS, TRI and AHN are all more normal, and reflect simply a cold spell, not a blizzard. Bob Strauss ==================================================================== Bob Strauss "Duke of URL" Cataloger Hunter Library Western Carolina U. strauss@wcu.edu -------------------------------------------------------------------- "Most books now say our sun is a star. But it still knows how to change back into a sun in the daytime." from Wisdom of Youth, sent to LM_NET by T.K. Cassidy ==================================================================== ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 10 Apr 1997 02:20:36 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site became a commissioned ASOS site at 1800 UTC on 09 April, 1997. ONTARIO MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KONO) ONTARIO... OREGON Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 9 Apr 1997 22:31:37 -0700 From: A Lieberman Subject: Re: Need some help for a school project Allison Murray wrote: > > Hi, > I'm a 3rd grader in NH and I need to find weather terms that start with > x,y & z. Can anybody help? > Thank you, > Rhiannon Hi Rhiannon, Got the following from http://www.awc-kc.noaa.gov/info/domestic_contractions.html XCP - Except XPC - Expect XPCD - Expected XPCG - Expecting XPCS - Expects XPLOS - Explosive XTND - Extend XTNDD - Extended XTNDG - Extending XTRM - Extreme XTRMLY - Extremely YDA - Yesterday YKN - Yukon YLSTN - Yellowstone ZL - Freezing drizzle ZN - Zone ZNS - Zones ZR - Freezing rain Good luck on your school project Allen -- http://www.bright.net/~lieberma/ Come visit my homepage!!! Any unsolicited COMMERCIAL Email will be replied with a complaint to the postmaster of the sender! ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 10 Apr 1997 08:49:21 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: NWS Family of Services message (fwd) This is only a test, but you can see if the weather decoding software you have works with the new format! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* NATIONAL TECHNICAL IMPLEMENTATION MESSAGE 97-14...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS WASHINGTON DC 920 AM EDT THU APR 10 1997 TO: FAMILY OF SERVICES /FOS/ SUBSCRIBERS...NOAA WEATHER WIRE SERVICE /NWWS/ SUBSCRIBERS...OTHER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE /NWS/ CUSTOMERS...NWS EMPLOYEES FROM: DONALD R. WERNLY...CHIEF...CUSTOMER SERVICE SUBJECT: NEW CONVECTIVE WATCH FORMAT TEST SCHEDULED FOR 10AM CDT FRIDAY...APRIL 11 1997 AT 10:00 A.M. CDT / 1500 UNIVERSAL TIME COORDINATED /UTC/...FRIDAY APRIL 11 1997 THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER /SPC/ WILL ISSUE A TEST SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH /AFOS-NWWS PRODUCT CATEGORY MKCSEL / WMO-FOS HEADER WWUS9 / AND A PRELIMINARY NOTIFICATION OF A WATCH / AFOS-NWWS PRODUCT CATEGORY MKCSAW / WMO-FOS HEADER WWUS40 / FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEW MEXICO. THE TEST WILL BE CONDUCTED TO EVALUATE IMPACTS OF FORMAT CHANGES TO THESE CONVECTIVE WATCH PRODUCTS AT SPC. OFFICIAL IMPLEMENTATION OF THE NEW FORMATS OCCURS AT 6:00 A.M. CDT /1100 UTC/ APRIL 15 1997. IF YOU HAVE ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS...PLEASE CONTACT WILLIAM ALEXANDER 301-713-0090 X115 PAUL JANISH 405-579-0719 E-MAIL WILLIAM.ALEXANDER@NOAA.GOV E-MAIL PAUL.JANISH@NOAA.GOV OFFICE OF MEREOROLOGY W/OM11 STORM PREDICTION CENTER 1325 EAST-WEST HIGHWAY 1313 HALLEY CIRCLE SILVER SPRING MD 20910 NORMAN OK 73069 END ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 10 Apr 1997 11:51:34 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS commissioning notice The following sites will become commissioned ASOS sites at 1800 UTC today, 10 April, 1997. CARSON COUNTY AIRPORT (KITR) BURLINGTON... COLORADO CLOVER FIELD (KT02) HOUSTON... TEXAS CHICAGO MIDWAY AIRPORT (KMDW) CHICAGO... ILLINOIS JEFFERSON CITY MEMORIAL AIRPORT (KJEF) JEFFERSON CITY... MO JOHNSON COUNTY INDUSTRIAL AIRPORT (KIXD) OLATHE... KANSAS Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 10 Apr 1997 10:05:33 -0600 From: "Paul E. Pettit" Subject: Budget cuts >Marc C. Levine wrote: > >> Congress passed a budget which cut the $ the NWS got. >> NWS management, doing their job, budgeted accordingly. Now, Congress & the >> Wx Community >> is pissed at NWS management. Am I missing something? Welcome to "BALANCE >> THE BUDGET MANIA". >> First, a question, how many of you believe balancing the budget is most >> important >> and support the balanced budget amendment? Ok, all of you who answered yes >> to that >> question, I don't want to hear your wining about NWS budget cuts and please >> identify >> yourselves in all replies so the rest of us can give "the correct weight >> (0)" to your comments. >> If the balanced budget amendment were ever passed, we would all look back >> with fondness >> at the this budget everyone is complaining about. I strongly support a balanced budget amendment. But we don't need the F-22 fighter plane with its huge cost and cost overruns either. Point is management at many levels of government (military included) are protecting their little and not so little kingdoms. There is fat in the NWS that can be cut, but it should not be to vital services.They need to let a few field hands get in there and show them where tocut. We will start from the top down! Although I am retired I'll beglad to help. Paul E. Pettit > Weather Consulting > http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html Paul E. Pettit Weather Consulting http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 10 Apr 1997 13:15:16 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS commissioning notice The following sites will become commissioned ASOS sites at 1800 UTC today, 10 April, 1997. CARSON COUNTY AIRPORT (KITR) BURLINGTON... COLORADO CLOVER FIELD (KT02) HOUSTON... TEXAS CHICAGO MIDWAY AIRPORT (KMDW) CHICAGO... ILLINOIS JEFFERSON CITY MEMORIAL AIRPORT (KJEF) JEFFERSON CITY... MO JOHNSON COUNTY INDUSTRIAL AIRPORT (KIXD) OLATHE... KANSAS Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX p.s. I appologize if this repeated 3 times. I had some problems with the mail this morning. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 10 Apr 1997 17:06:13 -0400 From: Tony Cristaldi or Christina Woods Subject: Re: winds in CA/AZ desert Paul Britton Jr. wrote: > > Good Afternoon, > > Winds over the CA/AZ deserts are currently in the 20-30 mph >range. With strong low pressure developing over the great basin, winds >will probably continue for a good 24-36 hours or so. The strong winds >of today (Ie..Mojave, CA = 74mph gust) will not be repeated tomorrow. >An interesting twist though, computer models cool the upper levels of >the atmosphere while warming surface temperatures a bit creating a >slightly unstable situation. Resulting from this there is a slight >possibility of thunderstorms in the Higher elevations tomorrow >afternoon...look for that. Moisture is limited so precipitation is not >much of a factor. Hope this helps, and enjoy your trip! > > Paul Britton Jr. > California Weather Association Member > wxguide@concentric.net > > JWinter507 wrote in article <19970409195500.PAA25074@ladder01.news.aol.com> <--------- :^( > ... ^^^^^^^ > >Can anyone tell me if it is really windy driving north on RT 15 from > >Riverside through Barstow, transitioning to RT 40 to Lake Havasu--for > >Wed/Thurs 4/9? > > > >Don't want to encounter dust storms. > > > >Thanks. Good God! Now the answers to those annoying AOL "What will the weather be like in East Podunk next week?" questions are starting show up here! (shudder) Part of reason I subscribed to this list instead of just reading the NG postings was so that I wouldn't be exposed to that AOL garbage anymore. I hope this is a one-time only MISTAKE! Tony Cristaldi NWSO Melbourne, FL ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 10 Apr 1997 13:29:22 -0500 From: "Ryan C. McCammon" Subject: Re: NWS defends cuts... Weather Scratch wrote: ...deletia... > Gilbert, I have a feeling the Private Sector will have a much wider role > in protecting the general public and County and City Governments ...deletia... What about liability? ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 10 Apr 1997 17:39:07 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: winds in CA/AZ desert At 05:06 PM 4/10/97 -0400, Tony Cristaldi wrote: >Paul Britton Jr. wrote: >> Winds over the CA/AZ deserts are currently in the 20-30 mph range. >Good God! Now the answers to those annoying AOL "What will the weather >be like in East Podunk next week?" questions are starting show up here! Looks like Mr Britton, Jr thought all the readers on the list would be interested in his answer... In the future -- if you want to answer AOLers do it in email! Rob ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 10 Apr 1997 18:09:51 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: NWS defends cuts... At 01:29 PM 4/10/97 -0500, Ryan wrote: >Weather Scratch wrote: > >...deletia... > >> Gilbert, I have a feeling the Private Sector will have a much wider role >> in protecting the general public and County and City Governments > >...deletia... > >What about liability? Liability for what? If I were to go into the business of issuing private warnings, I would make sure that some protective clauses are involved... Can you sue AccuWeather for screwing up a forecast? Can Intellicast be forced off the Internet because they showed sunshine over Detroit, and I slipped on a snow-covered sidewalk and got a concussion? I can't see how liability would be a deterrent... Rob ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 9 Apr 1997 to 10 Apr 1997 ************************************************* From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Apr 12 04:12:30 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id EAA12979 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 1997 04:12:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102502-24162>; Sat, 12 Apr 1997 04:11:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA192790; Fri, 11 Apr 1997 15:06:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5238103 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 1997 15:05:22 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA227036 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 1997 15:05:17 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id PAA51030 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 1997 15:05:13 -0500 Message-ID: <199704112005.PAA51030@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Apr 1997 15:05:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -111505 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 9299 WTPN31 PGTW 112100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- 9.0N9 158.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 00 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.0N9 158.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 8.8N6 158.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 8.5N3 158.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 8.2N0 157.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 8.2N0 156.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 8.2N0 155.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION 9.0N9 158.4E8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W HAS DEVELOPED APPROXIMATELY 115 NM TO THE NORTH OF POHNPEI AND IS QUASI-STATIONARY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE STEERING FLOW IS ANTICIPATED TO BE WEAK. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WESTWARD DUE TO WEAK EASTERLY STEERING FLOW. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0), 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6), 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3) AND 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 102351Z MAR 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 110000).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Apr 12 10:31:05 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id KAA15563 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 1997 10:31:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102403-9601>; Sat, 12 Apr 1997 10:30:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA29940; Fri, 11 Apr 1997 20:50:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5242328 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 1997 20:50:40 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA58512 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 1997 20:50:40 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id UAA48775 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 1997 20:50:39 -0500 Message-ID: <199704120150.UAA48775@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Apr 1997 20:50:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -112050 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 59012 WTPN31 PGTW 120300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W WARNING NR 002 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- 8.5N3 158.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 8.5N3 158.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 8.4N2 158.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 8.3N1 158.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 8.3N1 157.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 8.3N1 156.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 8.4N2 155.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION 8.5N3 158.7E1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W IS QUASI-STATIONARY APPROXIMATELY 95 NM NORTH OF POHNPEI. THIS WARNING IS RELOCATED DUE TO A VECTOR DRAWN FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING POSITION TO THE CURRENT WARNING POSITION IS NOT INDICATIVE OF THE TRUE MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE POORLY ORGANIZED WITH MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION LOCATED AROUND THE OUTER-PERIPHERY OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THAT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER INTENSIFICATION. TD 02W IS FORECAST TO BEGIN SLOWLY TRACKING WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS INCREASED LOW- TO MID-LEVEL EASTERLY STEERING FLOW. TD 02W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS WESTWARD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z3 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6), 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3), 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9) AND 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Apr 12 13:17:09 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id NAA16528 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 1997 13:17:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102511-9601>; Sat, 12 Apr 1997 13:16:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA199900; Fri, 11 Apr 1997 23:10:09 -0500 Message-Id: <199704120410.XAA199900@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 11 Apr 1997 23:02:01 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 10 Apr 1997 to 11 Apr 1997 - Special issue To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 16 messages totalling 838 lines in this issue. Topics in this special issue: 1. HUMOR: Darwin award 2. NWS defends cuts... (3) 3. Two questions about SPC.. 4. Liability 5. Univ. Of Redlands: Science Symposium '97 6. URGENT! Aviation weather cuts! 7. Oklahoma Declares SKY AWARENESS WEEK 8. Looking for an algorithm 9. Disaster Recovery Yellow Pages(tm) 10. Arctic weather... 11. I love this! (Was: Re: I hate this!) 12. Let it snow...and let it be cold (Was I hate this...I love this) 13. Repost: Please report all thunderstorm observations to NSSL 14. TESSA National Meeting, Saturday-Arrive Early +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 10 Apr 1997 21:08:04 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: HUMOR: Darwin award Yes, it really happened; I saw it on the news wires some time ago. Weird as all heck, but interesting. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ************************************* DARWIN AWARD WINNER FOR 1997 ANNOUNCED You'll recall a Darwin Award winner not long ago where a former airforce sergeant decided to strap a cargo plane rocket booster to his car to see how fast it would go and ended up killing himself (hence the "Darwin" award: in the struggle for survival only the fittest survive....) when his car didn't negotiate a curve in on the road in northern New Mexico where he had set up this experiment. The car smashed into the side of a cliff several hundred feet above the roadbed. The Darwin award is handed out annually to those who do the most favor to the gene pool by removing themselves off the planet voluntarily. Here's the 1997 winner: Larry Waters of Los Angeles. Larry is one of the few to win the award and still be alive. Larry's boyhood dream was to fly. When he graduated from high school, he joined the Air Force in hopes of becoming a pilot. Unfortunately, poor eyesight disqualified him. When he was finally discharged, he had to satisfy himself with watching jets fly over his backyard. One day, Larry, brightened up. He decided to fly. He went to the local Army-Navy surplus store and purchased 45 weather balloons and several tanks of helium. The weather balloons, when fully inflated, measured more than four feet across. Back home, Larry securely strapped the balloons to his sturdy lawn chair. He anchored the chair to the bumper of his jeep and inflated the balloons with the helium. He climbed on for a test while it was still only a few feet above the ground. Satisfied that it would work, Larry packed several sandwiches and a six- pack of Miller Lite, loaded his pellet gun - figuring he could pop a few balloons when it was time to descend - and went back to the floating lawn chair where he tied himself in along with his pellet gun and provisions. Larry's plan was to lazily float up to a height of about 30 feet above his back yard after severing the anchor and in a few hours come back down. Things didn't quite work out for Larry. When he cut the cord anchoring the lawn chair to his jeep, he didn't float lazily up to 30 or so feet. Instead he streaked into the LA sky as if shot from a cannon. He didn't level of at 30 feet, nor did he level off at 100 feet. After climbing and climbing, he leveled off at 11,000 feet. At that height he couldn't risk shooting any of the balloons, lest he unbalance the load and really find himself in trouble. So he stayed, there, drifting cold and frightened for more than 14 hours when he found himself in the primary approach corridor of LAX. A Pan Am pilot first spotted Larry. He radioed the tower and described passing a guy in a lawn chair with a gun. Radar confirmed the existence of an object floating 11,000 feet above the airport. LAX emergency procedures swung into full alert and a helicopter was dispatched to investigate. LAX is right on the ocean. Night was falling and the offshore breeze began to flow. It carried Larry out to sea. Right on Larry's heels was the helicopter. Several miles out, the helicopter caught up with Larry. Once the crew determined that Larry was not dangerous, they attempted to close in for a rescue but the draft from the blades would push Larry away whenever they neared. Finally, the helicopter ascended to a position several hundred feet above Larry and lowered a rescue line. Larry snagged the line, with which he was hauled back to shore, a difficult manuver, flawlessly executed by the helicopter crew.. As soon as Larry was hauled to earth, he was arrested by waiting members of the LAPD for violating LAX airspace. As he was led away in handcuffs, a reporter dispatched to cover the daring rescue asked him why he had done it. Larrry stopped, turned and replied nonchalantly, "A man can't just sit around." Here's a salute to Larry Walters, the 1997 Darwin Award Winner. --------- End forwarded message ---------- ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 11 Apr 1997 00:20:02 -0500 From: Roger Edwards Subject: Re: NWS defends cuts... On Thu, 10 Apr 1997, Robert P Dale typed: > At 01:29 PM 4/10/97 -0500, Ryan wrote: > >...deletia... > >What about liability? > > Liability for what? If I were to go into the business of issuing private > warnings, I would make sure that some protective clauses are involved... > Can you sue AccuWeather for screwing up a forecast? Can Intellicast be > forced off the Internet because they showed sunshine over Detroit, and I > slipped on a snow-covered sidewalk and got a concussion? There is a big difference between those scenarios and, say, SuperWeather Inc. (fictitious outfit, I hope) failing to warn Dallas of a devastating flash flood that kills over 100 people and causes a $billion in property damage. "Protective clauses" or not, there is the potential for great amounts of litigation and associated legal costs, particularly in these times, whenever death or injury is involved. Just one disaster can cause speedy bankruptcy. I believe this is a major reason why private weather forecasting companies have avoided direct public warnings like a grotesque disease. Those who don't will be putting their very existence at stake. > > I can't see how liability would be a deterrent... Vision clearer now? ------------------------ *** No disclaimer necessary; this is my personal account! *** "Just the angular momentum has ===== Roger Edwards ===== to @$#%& do it! Come on!!!" ( ) Forecaster - former NSSL chase partner former NHC Forecaster :::::::::: http://www.wildstar.net/~tornado :::::::::: "I FEAST ON THE SMORGASBORD OF ATMOSPHERIC VIOLENCE." ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 10 Apr 1997 21:07:25 -0500 From: "Jeremy Charles (N9VHT)" Subject: Two questions about SPC.. Greetings folks.. Just a couple of questions relating to SPC.. 1) Have the overnight SPC staffing/product cuts been implemented? If not, does anyone know when they will be implemented? 2) What is SPC's goal in issuing watches in terms of providing lead time for a developing severe weather threat? Most of the last several watches which have affected south-central Wisconsin (including this year and last) were issued after a group of storms had developed. The resulting watch boxes basically had their west sides along the line/group of storms and stretched eastward covering the projected paths of the storms. Is this apparent "weather watch based on observation" the goal, or simply a stopgap for when something manages to slip by? -Jeremy C. (N9VHT) South-Central Wisconsin SKYWARN NCS & Training Coordinator Madison Area Repeater Association Vice President & Swapfest '98 Coordinator n9vht@skywarn.cs.wisc.edu Online SKYWARN logging: http://www.cs.wisc.edu/~jeremyc/skywarn ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 11 Apr 1997 01:29:27 -0400 From: Richard Thacker Subject: Liability Date: Thu, 10 Apr 1997 18:09:51 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: NWS defends cuts... At 01:29 PM 4/10/97 -0500, Ryan wrote: >Weather Scratch wrote: > >...deletia... > >> Gilbert, I have a feeling the Private Sector will have a much wider role >> in protecting the general public and County and City Governments > >...deletia... > >What about liability? -Liability for what? If I were to go into the business of issuing private -warnings, I would make sure that some protective clauses are involved... -Can you sue AccuWeather for screwing up a forecast? Can Intellicast be -forced off the Internet because they showed sunshine over Detroit, and I -slipped on a snow-covered sidewalk and got a concussion? -I can't see how liability would be a deterrent... -Rob How about when 100 people are killed by an F4 in the Lubbuck, Tx area if AccuWeather had failed to issue a tornado warning ? Legal issues are a bear, so try to get away with a wimpy clause when dozen of law suits are starting your corporation down the barrel. Slippery sidewalks and massive destruction are two different things. So are forecasts and warnings. Think again Rob! oooooooooo ooooo oooo ooooooooooo 888 888 888 88 88 888 88 888oooo88 888 88 888 888 88o 88888 888 o888o 88o8 888 o888o VORTEX69@SUPER.ZIPPO.COM "I'm A 21st Century Digital Boy, I Don't Know How To Live But I Got Lot Of Toys" Bad Religion ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 10 Apr 1997 21:15:22 -0700 From: "Paul Britton Jr." Subject: Univ. Of Redlands: Science Symposium '97 This is a multi-part message in MIME format. ------=_NextPart_000_01BC45F4.4CBE2DC0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable Good Evening, First I would like to apologize for my posting to the whole group for = the winds in CA/AZ question. IE4.0 wiped out my old settings.The = University of Redlands is please to announce a Spring Science Symposium. = Scheduled for Thursday, April 24, 1997 from 9:00am to 1:30pm and will = include a luncheon. The focus this year will be a focus on "Frontiers = in Atmospheric Science". This session is for strong math or science = students in Southern California. Only a few openings are = available...space available basis. Cost is $5.00 per student. = Speakers:Dr. E. Philip Krider, Professor -LightningSteve Barbosa = -Characterization of Particulate Matter in Our Regional EnvironmentDr. = Don Blake, Research Chemist -Atmospheric Chemistry: Local, Regional, = Global"Special guest: Steve Rambo, Channel 2 WeathermanIf interested = please e-mail me for more information. -- Paul Britton Jr. wxguide@concentric.net =20 ------=_NextPart_000_01BC45F4.4CBE2DC0 Content-Type: text/html; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable

Good Evening,

First I would like to apologize = for my=20 posting to the whole group for the winds in CA/AZ question. IE4.0 = wiped out=20 my old settings.
The University of Redlands is = please to=20 announce a Spring Science Symposium. Scheduled for Thursday, April = 24, 1997=20 from 9:00am to 1:30pm and will include a luncheon. The focus this = year will=20 be a focus on "Frontiers in Atmospheric Science". This = session is=20 for strong math or science students in Southern California. Only a = few=20 openings are available...space available basis. Cost is $5.00 per = student. =20
Speakers:
Dr. E. Philip Krider, Professor=20 -Lightning
Steve Barbosa -Characterization = of=20 Particulate Matter in Our Regional Environment
Dr. Don Blake, Research Chemist=20 -Atmospheric Chemistry: Local, Regional, Global"
Special guest: Steve Rambo, = Channel 2=20 Weatherman
 
If interested please e-mail me = for more=20 information.

--
Paul Britton Jr.
wxguide@concentric.net
------=_NextPart_000_01BC45F4.4CBE2DC0-- ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 11 Apr 1997 08:20:32 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: URGENT! Aviation weather cuts! Uh oh. This ain't good, folks... Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* PNSNMC NATIONAL TECHNICAL IMPLEMENTATION MESSAGE 97-16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS WASHINGTON DC 900 AM EDT FRI APR 11 1997 TO - NWS EMPLOYEES...FEDERAL AVIATION ADMINISTRATION /FAA/ CUSTOMERS...FAA EMPLOYEES...FAMILY OF SERVICES /FOS/ CUSTOMERS...OTHER NWS CUSTOMERS FROM - THERESE Z. PIERCE...CHIEF...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL SERVICES... OFFICE OF METEOROLOGY SUBJECT - REDUCTION IN SERVICES AND PRODUCTS FROM THE AVIATION WEATHER CENTER...EFFECTIVE JUNE 1 1997 ...DUE TO BUDGET CUTS AND PERSONNEL REDUCTIONS...THE AVIATION WEATHER CENTER/S OPERATIONAL BRANCHES IN KANSAS CITY MISSOURI AND CAMP SPRINGS MARYLAND WILL REDUCE CERTAIN SERVICES AND PRODUCTS ON JUNE 1 1997. ON THAT DATE THE FOLLOWING ACTIONS WILL TAKE PLACE... ...THE CONVECTIVE SIGMETS WILL NOT BE ISSUED ON AN HOURLY BASIS EFFECTIVE FROM 0400 UTC UNTIL 1200 UTC DAILY... THE FOLLOWING HOURLY CONVECTIVE SIGMET PROGRAM WILL BE CHANGED TO AN INTERNATIONAL SIGMET FORMAT ON JUNE 1 1997 DURING THE HOURS OF 0400 UTC UNTIL 1200 UTC DAILY. IN THE INTERNATIONAL FORMAT...THE SIGMET IS ISSUED VALID FOR A FOUR HOUR PERIOD. A BRIEF OUTLOOK STATEMENT WILL BE PART OF THE SIGMET. WMO HEADER AFOS HEADER WSUS40 KMKC MKCWSTE WSUS41 KMKC MKCWSTC WSUS42 KMKC MKCWSTW ...TERMINATION OF THE 0045 UTC BOS AND MIA AREA FORECASTS...0145 UTC CHI AND DFW AREA FORECASTS AND THE 0245 UTC SFO AND SLC AREA FORECASTS... THE FOLLOWING AREA FORECASTS WILL BE TERMINATED AFTER THE MAY 31 1997 ISSUANCES. ALL OTHER FA ISSUANCES WILL REMAIN THE SAME. AIRMETS AND SIGMETS WILL STILL BE ISSUED DURING THE 2000 UTC UNTIL 0400 UTC PERIOD. TIME/PRODUCT WMO HEADER AFOS HEADER 0045 UTC BOS FAUS6 KBOS MKCFA1W 0045 UTC MIA FAUS6 KMIA MKCFA2W 0145 UTC CHI FAUS6 KCHI MKCFA3W 0145 UTC DFW FAUS6 KDFW MKCFA4W 0245 UTC SLC FAUS6 KSLC MKCFA5W 0245 UTC SFO FAUS6 KSFO MKCFA6W ...TERMINATION OF THE LOW LEVEL SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CHARTS AND ASSOCIATED AFOS GRAPHICS... THE MANUAL LOW LEVEL SIGNIFICANT WEATHER PROG 12 AND 24 HOUR/ DIFAX NUMBER D151 SCHEDULED FOR TRANSMISSION AT 0551 UTC WITH THE 12 HR PROG VALID AT 1200 UTC AND THE 24 HOUR PROG VALID AT 0000 UTC...AND THE MANUAL LOW LEVEL SIGNIFICANT WEATHER PROG 12 AND 24 HOUR/DIFAX NUMBER D113 SCHEDULED FOR TRANSMISSION AT 1006 UTC WITH THE 12 HR PROG VALID AT 1800 UTC AND THE 24 HOUR PROG VALID AT 0600 UTC/ WILL BE TERMINATED AFTER THE MAY 31 1997 ISSUANCE. THE ASSOCIATED AFOS CHARTS/AFOS IDENTIFIERS L2F/L4F/L2W AND L4W/ WILL ALSO BE TERMINATED AFTER THE MAY 31 1997 ISSUANCE. THE TWO OTHER MANUAL LOW LEVEL SIGNIFICANT WEATHER PROGS AND ASSOCIATED AFOS CHARTS WILL NOT BE AFFECTED. ...TERMINATION OF BRIEFING SERVICES TO THE FAA AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL SYSTEM COMMAND CENTER EARLY AM BRIEFING... THE AVIATION OPERATIONS BRANCH IN KANSAS CITY WILL NOT BE ABLE TO PARTICIPATE IN THE EARLY AM BRIEFING SERVICES PROVIDED TO THE FAA AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL SYSTEM COMMAND CENTER DURING THE EARLY AM HOURS. ...TERMINATION OF BACKUP RESPONSIBILITY TO THE CENTER WEATHER SERVICE UNIT PROGRAM... THE AVIATION OPERATIONS BRANCH IN KANSAS CITY WILL NOT BE ABLE TO PROVIDE A BACKUP SERVICE TO THE CENTER WEATHER SERVICE UNIT PROGRAM DURING THE HOURS OF 0400 UTC UNTIL 1200 UTC. IF YOU HAVE ANY CONCERNS RELATED TO THE TERMINATION AND REDUCTION OF THESE PRODUCTS AND SERVICES...PLEASE CONTACT THE FOLLOWING JAMES H. HENDERSON 1-816-426-5922 EXT 226 NWS/AVIATION WEATHER CENTER DEPUTY DIRECTOR W/NP6X1 ROOM 1728 FEDERAL BUILDING 601 EAST 12TH STREET KANSAS CITY MO 64106 END ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 11 Apr 1997 08:25:19 +0000 From: "H. MICHAEL MOGIL" Subject: Oklahoma Declares SKY AWARENESS WEEK Oklahoma became the 43rd state to "ratify" SKY AWARENESS WEEK since 1991 by issuing a proclamation this week. The proclamation (and others) will be posted to our web site over the next week or so. If you want to find your state's proclamation, check http://www.weatherworks.com -- Mike Mogil weather educator HOW THE WEATHERWORKS 1522 Baylor Avenue Rockville, MD 20850 301-762-SNOW hmmogil@weatherworks.com http://www.weatherworks.com ****** ****** ****** ****** "Science is a journey...not a destination!!!" ****** ****** ****** ****** ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 11 Apr 1997 08:19:23 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: NWS defends cuts... I didn't think that the discussion was about issuing public warnings to go over the air, but issuing private or municipality-based warnings. I was under the impression that outfits have been doing this for years, one that comes to mind is the hurricane that hit SE Texas a few years ago when Galveston was warned by its private forecaster while NHC went further south. I just can't believe that Galveston could sue their forecaster into bankruptcy... Maybe I'm naive when it comes to the legal system! Rob -----Original Message----- From: Roger Edwards [SMTP:tornado@kiowa.wildstar.net] Sent: Friday, April 11, 1997 1:20 AM To: Robert P Dale Cc: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK Subject: Re: NWS defends cuts... On Thu, 10 Apr 1997, Robert P Dale typed: > At 01:29 PM 4/10/97 -0500, Ryan wrote: > >...deletia... > >What about liability? > > Liability for what? If I were to go into the business of issuing private > warnings, I would make sure that some protective clauses are involved... > Can you sue AccuWeather for screwing up a forecast? Can Intellicast be > forced off the Internet because they showed sunshine over Detroit, and I > slipped on a snow-covered sidewalk and got a concussion? There is a big difference between those scenarios and, say, SuperWeather Inc. (fictitious outfit, I hope) failing to warn Dallas of a devastating flash flood that kills over 100 people and causes a $billion in property damage. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 11 Apr 1997 10:17:29 CDT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Looking for an algorithm I'm looking for an algorithm that, given the pressure and mixing ratio, returns the corresponding dewpoint. I have an algorithm that computes the mixing ratio given a (p,T) combination, but not the inverse. Of course, one can write (as I did), an algorithm that starts with very high and very low dewpoint guesses and compares the mixing ratio computed to the one you want, and just iterating til convergence. But I'm wondering if anyone has any pointers to something faster. Thanks! Scott -- Scott S. Lindstrom | The only other sound's scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | the sweep of easy http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | wind and downy flake ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 11 Apr 1997 13:59:14 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Disaster Recovery Yellow Pages(tm) Disaster Recovery Yellow Pages(tm)" attempted to post this to WX-TROPL but the posting was rejected because I do not allow people to post to the data lists. I am posting the message to WX-TALK. I have no affiliation with this DataBlast. ..Chris.. FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE - 1997 DISASTER RECOVERY RESOURCE GUIDE March 26, 1997 Contact: Steven Lewis DRYP@DATABLAST.com TEL: 617 - 332-3496 FAX: 617 - 332-4358 SIXTH EDITION OF THE DISASTER RECOVERY YELLOW PAGES(tm) BEGINS SHIPMENTS - - - UPDATED FOR 1997 (coincides with yet another disastrous season) Newton, MA -- The 6th edition of the Disaster Recovery Yellow Pages(tm), by The Systems Audit Group, Inc. has begun shipping, just as people are digging out of last Winter's snows, and getting ready to cope with Spring's flooding! Based on nearly two decades of disaster planning experience, the Disaster Recovery Yellow Pages(tm) is a 320-page, comprehensive sourcebook designed to help users locate scores of crucial but hard-to-find recovery services throughout the United States and Canada. It contains over 3000 vendors and covers hundreds of categories such as drying & dehumidification of paper & microfilm records, smoke odor counteracting services, trauma counselors, emergency rental of POS and other computer equipment, planning software, etc. The volume is an essential reference for risk managers, computer operations managers, emergency personnel, facility managers, security managers, librarians, record managers, systems executives, and business recovery coordinators, as well as claims adjusters, insurance agents, and any others responsible for putting organizations "back to normal" after a crisis. This reference contains five comprehensive sections, covering restoration services, mobile buildings, computer and emergency equipment, planning and data recovery software, as well as training publications, videos, associations, etc. In addition, The Disaster Recovery Yellow Pages(tm) also includes an alphabetical listing of companies for ease in locating a vendor without knowing an address. The Disaster Recovery Yellow Pages(tm) also includes a tutorial on areas which are frequently overlooked - even by experienced users - when preparing their disaster recovery plans, as well as hints on "getting started" and preparing a disaster plan. The Systems Audit Group, Inc., has worked for years with leaders in the Disaster Recovery field to develop this comprehensive sourcebook, as well as using the experiences gained in working with over 100 organizations and institutions to prepare comprehensive recovery plans for the resumption of their operations following a disaster. These organizations have ranged from Banks and Colleges, to Insurance companies, Manufacturers, Retailers, and other organizations. The Disaster Recovery Yellow Pages(tm) comes in a three-ring binder, for ease in adding sources which individual users have gathered that are unique to their own circumstances. The price is $98. per copy, plus $3 for shipping and handling. Regular updates are available. To obtain a free brochure, or to order The Disaster Recovery Yellow Pages(tm), contact The Systems Audit Group, Inc., 25 Ellison Road, Newton, Mass. 02159, Telephone 617-332-3496, FAX: 617-332-4358, E-Mail: DRYP@DATABLAST.com KEYWORDS: disaster, recovery, planning, facilities, physical plant, computer REPLY TO: DRYP@DATABLAST.com ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 10 Apr 1997 20:10:19 -0500 From: "M. Bell" Subject: Arctic weather... I have a couple of questions for our Canadian or Alaskian readers. 1. Is there a maximum northern latitude that weather system can reach? 2. Where can I find representative soundings or simulated soundings for the north pole? *********************************************************************** * * * MIke Bell (mwbell@pld.com) * * * * "If you don't vote, you can't bitch and I LOVE to bitch! * * Tom Snyder - election night eve 1996 * * * *********************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 11 Apr 1997 10:44:34 -0500 From: "Ryan C. McCammon" Subject: Re: I love this! (Was: Re: I hate this!) jkp wrote: > > sick...sick...sick > > -JKP And now we have round 2! rcm ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 11 Apr 1997 13:09:08 -0500 From: "Ryan C. McCammon" Subject: Let it snow...and let it be cold (Was I hate this...I love this) Round 2 has now entered Oklahoma. Gotta love it! (A clairification for Rob Dale). ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 11 Apr 1997 17:49:38 CDT From: Arthur Witt Subject: Repost: Please report all thunderstorm observations to NSSL [This is a periodic reposting. Please ignore if you have seen it before.] The National Severe Storms Lab is pleased to announce a WWW storm reporting service. We encourage storm chasers, spotters, NWS offices, and weather observers of all sorts to participate. The URL is "http://doplight.nssl.noaa.gov/projects/verproj/". Links also exist via NSSL's homepage or the Storm Chaser's Homepage. If you observe any thunderstorm (severe or not) or any severe weather phenomena, please report it to us. Your reports will be used to develop a database of reliable storm information that we can use in research. This will be especially useful in helping us improve the ways we use WSR-88D "NEXRAD" radars in storm warning work. Although the forms may seem long and complex, you will find that it takes just a few minutes to fill them out. Only enter the information about which you are confident; leave the rest of the items unchanged. Feel free to enter reports from past weeks/months/years, especially if there was a NEXRAD radar operating in the area in which you observed the event. Chasers and spotters, it will be especially valuable to us if you fill out a generic "thunderstorm" form on bust chases... the set of "null" cases is just as important as the set of severe events. We encourage other organizations to use our database as needed for warning verifications and other research endeavors, or just to find out what other chasers and spotters may have seen. The forms, as well as the database access technology, may evolve a little bit over the next few months as we evaluate how well they are working to serve the needs of NSSL researchers and outside users. Enjoy this service, and please use it as often as possible. Chasers, this is one good way for you to participate in scientific research as you enjoy your hobby! Erik Rasmussen & Arthur Witt NSSL Verification Project --- Erik Rasmussen Thunderstorm Studies Team National Severe Storms Laboratory (http://www.nssl.uoknor.edu/) 3450 Mitchell Lane Bldg 3, Room 2034 Boulder, CO 80301 ph: (303)497-6886 FAX: (303)497-6930 email: erik.rasmussen@noaa.gov, me@blackbox.mmm.ucar.edu NeXTMail preferred, MIME strongly encouraged. WWW: http://www.nssl.uoknor.edu/~erik ========================================================================= Arthur Witt - Meteorologist | * * **** **** * | National Severe Storms Laboratory | ** * * * * * * | Severe Weather Warning Applications | * * * * * * | 1313 Halley Circle, Room TB2-2 | * * * **** **** * | Norman, OK 73069 | * * * * * * | (405) 366-0494 (405) 366-0400 FAX | * ** * * * * * | witt@nssl.noaa.gov | * * **** **** ****** | ========================================================================= ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 11 Apr 1997 19:34:00 EDT From: Martin Lisius <73124.1052@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: TESSA National Meeting, Saturday-Arrive Early Please be advised that those planning to attend the TESSA National Meeting in Plano, Texas should arrive early. Capacity is around 275. There is some indication that seating could be limited. Here are the details once again: TESSA 4th Annual National Meeting 9AM-Noon, Saturday, April 12 Plano Municipal Bldg. Council Theatre Southeast Entrance 1520 Ave. K in Downtown Plano Exit 15th Street from US 75. Go East through historic downtown one block past Ave. K. Turn north on the one way street. Go about a block. Turn left to park. More info. located at www.tessa.org ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 11 Apr 1997 21:12:38 -0700 From: Weather Scratch Subject: Re: NWS defends cuts... Thanks Roger!!! well put as always! Even paying clients that have a written contract with all that legal-ease can still get you if you don't watch your back carefully. Warnings and Watches are to a great deal avoided like the "grotesque disease", however they are not entirely avoided when a client makes an issue out of it, and are willing to pay the bucks $$$$ and sign the waiver of liability - in which the paper probably carries more value than the ink that is on it. My own opinion of course. :-) John Roger Edwards wrote: > > On Thu, 10 Apr 1997, Robert P Dale typed: > > > At 01:29 PM 4/10/97 -0500, Ryan wrote: > > >...deletia... > > >What about liability? > > > > Liability for what? If I were to go into the business of issuing private > > warnings, I would make sure that some protective clauses are involved... > > Can you sue AccuWeather for screwing up a forecast? Can Intellicast be > > forced off the Internet because they showed sunshine over Detroit, and I > > slipped on a snow-covered sidewalk and got a concussion? > > There is a big difference between those scenarios and, say, SuperWeather > Inc. (fictitious outfit, I hope) failing to warn Dallas of a devastating > flash flood that kills over 100 people and causes a $billion in property > damage. "Protective clauses" or not, there is the potential for great > amounts of litigation and associated legal costs, particularly in these > times, whenever death or injury is involved. Just one disaster can > cause speedy bankruptcy. I believe this is a major reason why private > weather forecasting companies have avoided direct public warnings like a > grotesque disease. Those who don't will be putting their very existence > at stake. > > > > I can't see how liability would be a deterrent... > > Vision clearer now? > > ------------------------ > *** No disclaimer necessary; this is my personal account! *** > "Just the angular momentum has ===== Roger Edwards ===== > to @$#%& do it! Come on!!!" ( ) Forecaster > - former NSSL chase partner former NHC Forecaster > :::::::::: http://www.wildstar.net/~tornado :::::::::: > "I FEAST ON THE SMORGASBORD OF ATMOSPHERIC VIOLENCE." > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html -- ========================================================================= Weather Scratch Meteorological Services 140 South Kirkman Street Florence, Alabama 35630-4312 (205) 766-8464 Voice/Fax (205) 984-4219 Digital Pager INTERNET E-Mail: metservices@wxscratch.com WEB PAGE: http://www.wxscratch.com Shop the Weather Store, Subscribe to Weather Watch Magazine, Buy a Boltek Lightning Detection System, or contact Weather Scratch for all your research and meteorological needs! Ask about The Severe Local Storm Forecasting Primer or a WINDY Tee Shirt! ========================================================================= ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 10 Apr 1997 to 11 Apr 1997 - Special issue ****************************************************************** From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Apr 12 13:16:38 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id NAA16519 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 1997 13:16:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102591-9601>; Sat, 12 Apr 1997 13:15:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAB58456; Sat, 12 Apr 1997 00:14:31 -0500 Message-Id: <199704120514.AAB58456@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Apr 1997 00:03:49 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 11 Apr 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There is one message totalling 77 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Liability +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 11 Apr 1997 21:15:01 -0700 From: Weather Scratch Subject: Re: Liability Richard you and Roger seem to have hit the nail on the head! John Richard Thacker wrote: > > Date: Thu, 10 Apr 1997 18:09:51 -0400 > From: Robert P Dale > Subject: Re: NWS defends cuts... > > At 01:29 PM 4/10/97 -0500, Ryan wrote: > >Weather Scratch wrote: > > > >...deletia... > > > >> Gilbert, I have a feeling the Private Sector will have a much wider role > >> in protecting the general public and County and City Governments > > > >...deletia... > > > >What about liability? > > -Liability for what? If I were to go into the business of issuing private > -warnings, I would make sure that some protective clauses are involved... > -Can you sue AccuWeather for screwing up a forecast? Can Intellicast be > -forced off the Internet because they showed sunshine over Detroit, and I > -slipped on a snow-covered sidewalk and got a concussion? > > -I can't see how liability would be a deterrent... > > -Rob > > How about when 100 people are killed by an F4 in the Lubbuck, Tx area > if AccuWeather had failed to issue a tornado warning ? Legal issues are > a bear, so try to get away with a wimpy clause when dozen of law suits > are starting your corporation down the barrel. Slippery sidewalks and > massive destruction are two different things. So are forecasts and warnings. > > Think again Rob! > > oooooooooo ooooo oooo ooooooooooo > 888 888 888 88 88 888 88 > 888oooo88 888 88 888 > 888 88o 88888 888 > o888o 88o8 888 o888o > > VORTEX69@SUPER.ZIPPO.COM > > "I'm A 21st Century Digital Boy, I Don't Know How To Live But I Got > Lot Of Toys" > > Bad Religion > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html -- ========================================================================= Weather Scratch Meteorological Services 140 South Kirkman Street Florence, Alabama 35630-4312 (205) 766-8464 Voice/Fax (205) 984-4219 Digital Pager INTERNET E-Mail: metservices@wxscratch.com WEB PAGE: http://www.wxscratch.com Shop the Weather Store, Subscribe to Weather Watch Magazine, Buy a Boltek Lightning Detection System, or contact Weather Scratch for all your research and meteorological needs! Ask about The Severe Local Storm Forecasting Primer or a WINDY Tee Shirt! ========================================================================= ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 11 Apr 1997 *********************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Apr 12 14:24:38 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA16895 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 1997 14:24:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102502-9601>; Sat, 12 Apr 1997 14:23:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA228622; Sat, 12 Apr 1997 01:04:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5243983 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Apr 1997 01:04:04 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA186864 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 1997 01:04:03 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id BAA50135 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Apr 1997 01:04:03 -0500 Message-ID: <199704120604.BAA50135@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Apr 1997 01:04:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -120104 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 42196 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600Z APR 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120151Z APR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120000Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W WAS LOCATED AT 8.5N3 158.7E1 AND WAS QUASI-STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W WARNING NR 02 (WTPN31 PGTW 120300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.7N5 158.2E6 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) ABOVE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/MILLER/TIRSCHEL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Apr 12 16:21:59 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id QAA18051 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 1997 16:21:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102502-9601>; Sat, 12 Apr 1997 16:21:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA63962; Sat, 12 Apr 1997 03:05:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5244462 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Apr 1997 03:05:14 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA41672 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 1997 03:05:13 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id DAA50031 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Apr 1997 03:05:13 -0500 Message-ID: <199704120805.DAA50031@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Apr 1997 03:05:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -120305 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 51052 WTPN31 PGTW 120900 1. TROPICAL STORM ISA (02W) WARNING NR 003 RELOCATED UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- 7.5N2 157.6E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - QUASI-STATIONARY POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 7.5N2 157.6E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 7.4N1 157.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 7.4N1 156.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 7.5N2 155.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 7.8N5 153.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 8.4N2 150.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION 7.5N2 157.5E8 TROPICAL STORM ISA (02W) IS QUASI-STATIONARY APPROXIMATELY 45 NM NORTHWEST OF POHNPEI. THIS WARNING IS RELOCATED BASED ON ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA FROM POHNPEI (WMO 91348). WSO POHNPEI REPORTED A LOWEST STATION PRESSURE OF 992.7 MB AT 120410Z8 AND REPORTED THAT THE SURFACE PRESSURE BEGAN RISING AFTER THIS TIME. THE WINDS ALSO SHIFTED FROM SOUTHWEST AT 15-20 KTS TO NORTHEAST AT 8-10 KTS. TROPICAL STORM ISA (02W) CONTINUES TO GAIN CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION AS IT CONSOLIDATES AROUND THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TRACKING WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT COMES UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF INCREASED EASTERLY STEERING FLOW. TS ISA IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z9 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3), 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9), 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1) AND 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Apr 12 22:46:30 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id WAA21230 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 1997 22:46:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102238-9601>; Sat, 12 Apr 1997 22:45:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA04118; Sat, 12 Apr 1997 09:14:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5246267 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Apr 1997 09:14:10 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA05842 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 1997 09:14:09 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id JAA43029 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Apr 1997 09:14:08 -0500 Message-ID: <199704121414.JAA43029@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Apr 1997 09:14:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -120914 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 58898 WTPN31 PGTW 121500 1. TROPICAL STORM ISA (02W) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z6 --- 7.6N3 157.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 7.6N3 157.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 7.7N4 157.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 7.8N5 156.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 7.8N5 155.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 7.9N6 153.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 8.6N4 149.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 121500Z9 POSITION 7.6N3 157.6E9 TROPICAL STORM ISA (02W) IS QUASI-STATIONARY APPROXIMATELY 60NM NORTHWEST OF POHNPEI. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS IMPROVING ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN SLOWLY MOVING TO THE WEST WITHIN THE NEXT TWELVE HOURS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE DOMINANT SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ALOFT. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS BASED ON INTERPRETATION OF 121130Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (DVORAK T2.5). TROPICAL STORM ISA IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT AN AVERAGE RATE (ONE DVORAK T-NUMBER PER DAY) DUE TO WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND STRONG OUTFLOW ALOFT IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW(IO)30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9), 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1), 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7) AND 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Apr 13 04:37:35 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id EAA23300 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 1997 04:37:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102245-9601>; Sun, 13 Apr 1997 04:36:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA136386; Sat, 12 Apr 1997 15:23:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5248554 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Apr 1997 15:22:40 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA136328 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 1997 15:22:19 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id PAA50038 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Apr 1997 15:22:18 -0500 Message-ID: <199704122022.PAA50038@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Apr 1997 15:22:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -121522 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 56691 WTPN31 PGTW 122100 1. TROPICAL STORM ISA (02W) WARNING NR 005 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- 8.0N8 158.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.0N8 158.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 8.5N3 158.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 8.5N3 157.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 8.5N3 156.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 8.6N4 155.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 9.2N1 151.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION 8.1N9 158.5E9 TROPICAL STORM ISA (02W) IS QUASI-STATIONARY APPROXIMATELY 60 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS DRIFTED SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD SINCE THE LAST WARNING. COMBINED WITH AN EASTWARD RELOCATION BASED ON BETTER SYSTEM DEFINITION, THIS PUTS ISA NORTH-NORTHEAST INSTEAD OF NORTHWEST OF POHNPEI. THIS POSITION IS SUPPORTED BY SYNOPTIC DATA FROM POHNPEI (WMO 91348) WHICH SHOWS WINDS HAVE SHIFTED BACK TO THE NORTH-WEST. THE CURRENT INTENSITY OF 45 KNOTS IS BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE ANALYSIS (DVORAK T3.0). WIND RADIUS IS NOW BASED ON AN AVERAGE SIZE TROPICAL CYCLONE. WESTWARD MOTION IS STILL FORECAST TO BEGIN WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE DOMINANT UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. FORECAST INTENSITY IS BASED ON AVERAGE INTENSIFICATION RATE (ONE DVORAK T-NUMBER PER DAY). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW(IO)31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1), 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7), 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4) AND 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Apr 13 09:46:20 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id JAA25014 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 1997 09:46:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102194-10080>; Sun, 13 Apr 1997 09:46:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA74446; Sat, 12 Apr 1997 20:38:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5250501 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Apr 1997 20:38:27 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA216968 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 1997 20:38:26 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id UAA47734 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Apr 1997 20:38:25 -0500 Message-ID: <199704130138.UAA47734@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 12 Apr 1997 20:38:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -122038 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 30323 WTPN31 PGTW 130300 1. TROPICAL STORM ISA (02W) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- 8.4N2 158.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.4N2 158.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 8.6N4 157.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 9.1N0 156.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 9.5N4 154.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 9.9N8 152.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 11.0N2 149.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION 8.5N3 157.9E2 TROPICAL STORM ISA (02W) IS INTENSIFYING APPROXIMATELY 80 NM NORTH OF POHNPEI. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS SHOWS A SLIGHT WESTWARD DRIFT OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. 12/2330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY DISPLAYS A FORMATIVE BANDING EYE. TROPICAL STORM ISA IS FORECAST TO BEGIN SLOWLY TRACKING WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AS EASTERLY MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW BECOMES DOMINANT. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD BEYOND THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. TROPICAL STORM ISA WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE OF ONE DVORAK T-NUMBER PER DAY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7), 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4), 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0) AND 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Apr 13 13:07:21 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id NAA26323 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 1997 13:07:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102238-10080>; Sun, 13 Apr 1997 13:07:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA26512; Sun, 13 Apr 1997 00:04:21 -0500 Message-Id: <199704130504.AAA26512@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Apr 1997 00:02:15 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 11 Apr 1997 to 12 Apr 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 6 messages totalling 269 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Editors NEEDED! 2. WX-TALK Digest - 10 Apr 1997 to 11 Apr 1997 - Special issue 3. Contract Weather Observers 4. +SN 5. Aviation Products to be Cut by NWS (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 12 Apr 1997 02:19:31 -0400 From: WeatherStore ONLINE/WeatherWatch INC Subject: Editors NEEDED! WeatherWatch magazine is looking for volunteer regional editors. For more information, visit our web site at: http://www.weatherstore.com/wxwatch.htm =========================================================================== Visit the WeatherStore ONLINE! http://www.weatherstore.com SPECIALS---------->Tornado Alley II or III $39.95 each SPECIALS---------->Jumbo Rain Gauge ONLY $10.95 ============================================================================ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 12 Apr 1997 07:59:19 -0400 From: Brian Monahan Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 10 Apr 1997 to 11 Apr 1997 - Special issue > At 01:29 PM 4/10/97 -0500, Ryan wrote: > >Weather Scratch wrote: > > > >...deletia... > > > >> Gilbert, I have a feeling the Private Sector will have a much wider role > >> in protecting the general public and County and City Governments > > > >...deletia... > > > >What about liability? > > -Liability for what? If I were to go into the business of issuing private > -warnings, I would make sure that some protective clauses are involved... > -Can you sue AccuWeather for screwing up a forecast? Can Intellicast be > -forced off the Internet because they showed sunshine over Detroit, and I > -slipped on a snow-covered sidewalk and got a concussion? > > -I can't see how liability would be a deterrent... > > -Rob > > How about when 100 people are killed by an F4 in the Lubbuck, Tx area > if AccuWeather had failed to issue a tornado warning ? Legal issues are > a bear, so try to get away with a wimpy clause when dozen of law suits > are starting your corporation down the barrel. Slippery sidewalks and > massive destruction are two different things. So are forecasts and warnings. Hi everyone- I just wanted to chime in with my thoughts on this issue as I've been following this message thread for the past few days. First of all, I feel that no other organizations besides our own National Weather Service should issue weather warnings, watches, and advisories. However, I have seen many private weather orgs issue what are known as Special Weather Statements which basically sum up what the NWS is saying and adds just a few opinions -- I see no problem in an org doing something similar to that. I'm sure AccuWeather has iron-clad clauses in their disclaimers to protect them from such an incident, if they don't -- they've got lots of problems. One such organization, NEMAS, makes disclaimers quite visible on their web sites and some offices even go the extent of having disclaimers at the end of each product; I feel that's the right way to go... Just my $.02... -Brian *************************************** Brian Monahan Kingsway Regional HS Clarksboro, NJ Weather Observer Channel Op on Undernet's #weather Nick: wxcentral Email: bmonahan@p3.net *************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 12 Apr 1997 16:22:15 -0400 From: James Aman Subject: Contract Weather Observers On Mon, 7 Apr 1997, Robert Lightbown, asked this question: > Is there a list of contractors out there that contract weather > observers for airports, FAA stations, etc.?? There are quite a few companies that do contract weather observing. One that has been in the business a pretty long time is Midwest Weather out of St Louis, MO -- you should be able to get their phone number from directory assistance. I hear they have a pretty good reputation in the business. Other companies post openings for weather observers in the National Weather Association newsletter from time to time. However, if you are going into contract weather observing, be aware that it is a career with a very uncertain future. For example, up until last month I was a part-time observer twice a month at KIAD (Dulles Intl). Then the contract went up for renewal, another company got the contract, and everybody lost their jobs, since the contract company brought in their own people. In other places, I have heard of contractors who will only hire part-time people, in an effort not to pay benefits. I have even heard rumors of companies that make prospective employees pay a hefty fee for "training", with an uncertain promise for a future position as an observer. In short, go into this with both eyes open, and try to get some references on the company that you work for. James Aman jaman@aws.com http://www.aws.com/ Automated Weather Source technical support meteorologist ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 12 Apr 1997 20:57:28 -0500 From: "Eric A. Helgeson" Subject: +SN What month is it? I think Mother Nature forgot to take her medication Thursday and Friday. We (the Quad Cities) got our biggest snow of the season yesterday. 12.1" in 24 hours, which blew away the previous All-Time record 24 hour snow in April by about 4 inches. We now have 13.1" for the month, which is 0.1" above the previous All-Time record for the month. The birds in our neighborhood appear to be starving. Coming home from Church this evening, my wife & I found a robin in our garage trying to get into the bird seed bag. Getting the robin out of the garage was interesting. I filled the bird feeder at 4:18PM Friday and it was empty today, so I had to fill it again. The tulips are dead & buried, literally. And, we didn't get the worst of it over the past 2 days. Some persons in southeast Iowa picked up 8-16". Wowee. As Mr. Carson would say, weird, wild, stuff. Trying to forecast the recent storm was nothing short of frustrating, to say the least. Guess it's not an exact science, yet! :) Eric Eric A. Helgeson (helgeson@netins.net) http://www.netins.net/showcase/helgeson Tearless retinas take pictures that can prove... -JP ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 12 Apr 1997 21:40:38 GMT From: Dick Williams Subject: Aviation Products to be Cut by NWS WX-Talkers ... I am an aviation meteorologist with the National Weather Service and I work in the Aviation Weather Center in Kansas City. Our unit originates the Area Forecasts, Airmets, Sigmets and Convective Sigmets for the lower 48 states on a 24 hour per day basis. Budget cuts and personnel reductions announced by the National Weather Service will necessitate elimination of several products effective June 2nd, 97. I'd like all newsgroup readers to be aware of the these actions. This is my own, paraphrased and unofficial posting of information provided by the NWS Office of Meteorology in "Technical Implementation Message 97-16" dated Friday April 11, 1197 and addressed to all users. Highlights of the product suspensions: CONVECTIVE SIGMETS - WSUS40/WSUS41/WSUS42 KMKC Beginning Monday June 2, 1997 midnight shift (0400Z to 1200Z) Convective Sigmets (WST messages) will no longer be issued on an hourly basis. A much more general advisory will be issued at four hourly intervals. AREA FORECASTS - FAUS6 KBOS/KMIA/KCHI/KDFW/KSLC/KSFO The Area Forecasts (The FA) normally issued on the evening shift (2000Z to 0400Z) will be suspended - that is the BOS/MIA/CHI/DFW/SLC/SFO Area Forecasts normally issued at 0045Z, 0145Z and 0245Z will not be produced. LOW LEVEL SIG WX GRAPHIC - Difax charts D151 and D113 The low level significant weather graphic product will be suspended on the midnight shift. These are the difax graphic 12/24 hour predictions of frontal positions, MVFR/IFR conditions, turbulence, freezing levels and precipitation type and coverage. Airmets, Sigmets and our International Sigmets will continue on their current schedule. Also products for Alaska and Hawaii are not affected. The Implementation Message announcing this change invites comments to: James H. Henderson - Deputy Director Aviation Weather Center - National Weather Service 601 East 12th Street, Room 1728 Kansas City MO 64106 email address: James.H.Henderson@noaa.gov All users of these products are invited and urged to contact Mr. Henderson. Dick Williams rjw@sky.net Kansas City MO Saturday April 12, 1997 p.s. I'd be interested in any user comments and impacts also. You may email me directly or simply cc me on your messages to Mr. Henderson. Also you may wish to pass this infomation to any of your aviation weather users, customers and contacts. Thanks - dick w. ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 13 Apr 1997 01:52:12 -0700 From: Weather Scratch Subject: Re: Aviation Products to be Cut by NWS Thanks Dick for putting yourself out on a limb like this. While we at Weather Scratch do not do Aviation Weather per sa, we do rely heavily on the Aviation Weather Data and SPC data, and all NWS and FAA data streams. (i.e.- data being products, etc.) I am aware personally that media, EMA, Chasers, Aviation Community, and so many others use these products that will be eliminated too. The cut backs at NWS and FAA are very worrisome, given the impact to the "GENERAL WELFARE and SAFETY" of the general public. As I and others - have echoed for sometime, the private sector will in part take over and fill many of these voids produced by the cuts in data availability, but for a price that few in the general public will be willing to pay. However, the wider consideration is the GENERAL PUBLIC and the user base in that classification that rely on these products, like Private and Recreational Pilots, etc. that may barely be able to afford to fly, let alone get a good solid briefing prior to taking to the air, and boy do I know some pilots that do not even bother going through a briefing let alone adhere to FAA regs to file flight plans, but none the less access and availability of timely data is a must from the Corporate Airlines like TWA and Continental, to the small time recrational pilots and multiple other users of both Aviation and NWS products. I hope Capitol Hill realizes this and restores funding, but then again when a Congressman says why do we need the NWS, when we have the Weather Channel, I can understand why we are in the shape we are in now. No one understands the vast data collection and crunching of that data that takes place at NCEP and other National Centers and Weather Units/Offices, to make it useful to the weather data user community, the private sector takes it a step further, creating value added products for a price and on a client to client basis. I hope against all odds these cuts can be averted. If not, I hope we as a nation are ready to take on the burden of possible climbing death rate, I hope the benchmark for the death count is not too high, before funding and changes in programs are made to insure Air Safety as well as general community safety when it comes to weather. The question is simple: How many must die? before funding is restored? I will be watching CNN's Breaking NEWS, Live Coverage to get the answer! These of course are my personal opinions only! John ========================================================================= Weather Scratch Meteorological Services 140 South Kirkman Street Florence, Alabama 35630-4312 (205) 766-8464 Voice/Fax (205) 984-4219 Digital Pager INTERNET E-Mail: metservices@wxscratch.com WEB PAGE: http://www.wxscratch.com Shop the Weather Store, Subscribe to Weather Watch Magazine, Buy a Boltek Lightning Detection System, or contact Weather Scratch for all your research and meteorological needs! Ask about The Severe Local Storm Forecasting Primer or a WINDY Tee Shirt! ========================================================================= ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 11 Apr 1997 to 12 Apr 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Apr 13 14:20:37 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA26700 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 1997 14:20:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102298-10080>; Sun, 13 Apr 1997 14:20:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA165606; Sun, 13 Apr 1997 01:12:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5251801 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Apr 1997 01:12:46 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA225210 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 1997 01:12:45 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id BAA29754 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Apr 1997 01:12:44 -0500 Message-ID: <199704130612.BAA29754@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Apr 1997 01:12:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -130112 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 26679 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600Z APR 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/130151Z APR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130000Z4 TROPICAL STORM ISA (02W) WAS LOCATED AT 8.4N2 158.1E5 AND WAS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 2 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM ISA (02W) WARNING NR 06 (WTPN31 PGTW 130300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 6N6 154E0. THE CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A NEAR- EQUATORIAL TROUGH HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR THE PAST 18 HOURS. CYCLONIC TURNING ALONG THE TROUGH AXIS IS BEING ENHANCED DUE TO STRONG (20-25 KNOT) EQUATORIAL WESTERLIES. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IN THE VICINITY OF THE PERSISTENT CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/MILLER/TIRSCHEL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Apr 13 14:51:49 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA26989 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 1997 14:51:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102505-10080>; Sun, 13 Apr 1997 14:52:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA217176; Sun, 13 Apr 1997 01:44:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5251849 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Apr 1997 01:43:54 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA49142 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 1997 01:43:07 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id BAA56660 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Apr 1997 01:43:07 -0500 Message-ID: <199704130643.BAA56660@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Apr 1997 01:43:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -130143 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 57425 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600Z APR 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/130151Z APR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130000Z4 TROPICAL STORM ISA (02W) WAS LOCATED AT 8.4N2 158.1E5 AND WAS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 2 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM ISA (02W) WARNING NR 06 (WTPN31 PGTW 130300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 6S6 154E0. THE CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A NEAR- EQUATORIAL TROUGH HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR THE PAST 18 HOURS. CYCLONIC TURNING ALONG THE TROUGH AXIS IS BEING ENHANCED DUE TO STRONG (20-25 KNOT) EQUATORIAL WESTERLIES. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IN THE VICINITY OF THE PERSISTENT CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CHANGE FOR LATITUDE OF WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC SUSPECT AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/MILLER/TIRSCHEL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Apr 13 15:42:12 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id PAA27370 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 1997 15:42:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102442-10080>; Sun, 13 Apr 1997 15:42:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA217342; Sun, 13 Apr 1997 02:35:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5252061 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Apr 1997 02:35:51 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA07382 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 1997 02:35:51 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id CAA49978 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Apr 1997 02:35:50 -0500 Message-ID: <199704130735.CAA49978@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Apr 1997 02:35:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -130235 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 43063 WTPN31 PGTW 130900 1. TROPICAL STORM ISA (02W) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- 8.4N2 157.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - QUASI-STATIONARY POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.4N2 157.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 8.7N5 157.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 9.1N0 155.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 9.6N5 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 10.1N2 152.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 11.2N4 148.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION 8.5N3 157.7E0 TROPICAL STORM ISA (02W) IS QUASI-STATIONARY APPROXIMATELY 80 NM NORTH OF POHNPEI. THE SYSTEM HAS LOST SOME OF ITS DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS BUT HAS MAINTAINED ITS INTENSITY. TS ISA IS FORECAST TO BEGIN A SLOW WESTWARD DRIFT OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. THE SYSTEM WILL INTENSIFY AS IT BEGINS ITS WESTWARD MOVEMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4), 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0), 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2) AND 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Apr 13 22:42:13 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id WAA29772 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 1997 22:42:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102617-10080>; Sun, 13 Apr 1997 22:42:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA121728; Sun, 13 Apr 1997 09:36:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5253189 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Apr 1997 09:36:34 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA49016 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 1997 09:36:07 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id JAA38359 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Apr 1997 09:36:06 -0500 Message-ID: <199704131436.JAA38359@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Apr 1997 09:36:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -130936 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 37844 WTPN31 PGTW 131500 1. TROPICAL STORM ISA (02W) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- 8.8N6 157.3E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.8N6 157.3E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 9.1N0 156.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 9.4N3 155.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 9.9N8 153.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 10.3N4 151.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 11.4N6 147.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION 8.9N7 157.1E4 TROPICAL STORM ISA (02W) IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM NORTHWEST OF POHNPEI MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED TO CONSOLIDATE AND INTENSIFY AND IS EXPECTED TO REACH TYPHOON INTENSITY WITHIN THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. ISA HAS BEGUN ACCELERATING UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF DOMINANT UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CIRCULATION. POSITION AND INTENSITY BASED ON 131039Z7 AND 131130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE FIXES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z7 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0), 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2), 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8) AND 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Apr 14 03:46:50 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id DAA01572 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 1997 03:46:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102621-10080>; Mon, 14 Apr 1997 03:47:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA06364; Sun, 13 Apr 1997 14:40:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5255285 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Apr 1997 14:40:03 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA104756 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 1997 14:40:02 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id OAA48840 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Apr 1997 14:40:01 -0500 Message-ID: <199704131940.OAA48840@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Apr 1997 14:40:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -131440 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 41157 WTPN31 PGTW 132100 1. TYPHOON ISA (02W) WARNING NR 009 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 02W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- 9.6N5 156.2E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 9.6N5 156.2E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 10.1N2 154.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 10.6N7 152.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 11.0N2 150.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 11.4N6 149.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 12.5N8 145.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION 9.7N6 155.8E9 TYPHOON ISA IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS GAINED LATITUDE AND BECOME FIRMLY EMBEDDED IN THE DOMINANT SUBTROPICAL RIDGE STEERING FLOW, RESULTING IN SIGNIFICANT ACCELERATION. FORECAST SPEED OF 09 KNOTS IS SUPPORTED BY DYNAMIC GUIDANCE. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY HAVE BEEN DETERMINED FROM A 131730Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE FIX. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZE TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z3 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2), 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8),141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5) AND 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Apr 14 10:29:17 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id KAA04466 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 1997 10:29:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102219-8622>; Mon, 14 Apr 1997 10:29:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA199120; Sun, 13 Apr 1997 20:57:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5257304 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Apr 1997 20:57:11 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA65320 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 1997 20:57:10 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id UAA18253 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Apr 1997 20:57:09 -0500 Message-ID: <199704140157.UAA18253@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Apr 1997 20:57:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -132057 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 45898 WTPN31 PGTW 140300 1. TYPHOON ISA (02W) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- 10.1N2 155.5E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.1N2 155.5E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 10.8N9 153.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 11.4N6 151.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 11.9N1 149.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 12.4N7 147.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 14.2N7 144.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION 10.3N4 155.0E1 TYPHOON ISA (02W) IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. 13/2330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY CURRENTLY DISPLAYS A CENTRAL COLD COVER (CCC). WIND RADII AT 14/0000Z5 WERE DETERMINED USING SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I). TYPHOON ISA IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE OF ONE DVORAK T-NUMBER PER DAY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z5 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8), 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5), 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1) AND 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Apr 14 13:09:46 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id NAA05916 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 1997 13:09:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102281-8622>; Mon, 14 Apr 1997 13:10:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA180498; Mon, 14 Apr 1997 00:05:03 -0500 Message-Id: <199704140505.AAA180498@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Apr 1997 00:00:12 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 12 Apr 1997 to 13 Apr 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 2 messages totalling 86 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Maui 2. Aviation Products to be Cut by NWS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 13 Apr 1997 02:00:58 GMT From: Brian Curran Subject: Re: Maui On 12 Apr 1997 23:24:11 GMT, cubsfan97@aol.com (CubsFan97) wrote: >What's the weather like in Maui at Christmas? Answer 1) 1-900-WEATHER Answer 2) Better than the chances that the Cubs have of playing ball in October 8^/. I thought we had the aol.com'mers fooled. Guess I gotta activate the ole filter... bc -- Brian Curran ebcurran@flash.net Standard disclaimers apply; I speak for myself. "The opinion of the strongest is always the best." - J. de la Fontaine ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 13 Apr 1997 02:30:04 -0700 From: A Lieberman Subject: Re: Aviation Products to be Cut by NWS Mr James Henderson, Thank you for taking time to read this letter. As a member of the flying public, I am really concerned about the following cuts that are being made on aviation products. My comments are interjected below..... > CONVECTIVE SIGMETS - WSUS40/WSUS41/WSUS42 KMKC > Beginning Monday June 2, 1997 midnight shift (0400Z to 1200Z) Convective > Sigmets (WST messages) will no longer be issued on an hourly basis. A much > more general advisory will be issued at four hourly intervals. With the inherant dangers of flying in and around thunderstorms..... Why is the WST messages being cut to a general advisory? With the cover of night, I'd think the importance of the WST messages being disseminated on a timely basis is essential to the safety of the flying public! Thunderstorms are equally dangerous to fly at night as well as the daytime hours > AREA FORECASTS - FAUS6 KBOS/KMIA/KCHI/KDFW/KSLC/KSFO > The Area Forecasts (The FA) normally issued on the evening shift (2000Z to > 0400Z) will be suspended - that is the BOS/MIA/CHI/DFW/SLC/SFO Area Forecasts > normally issued at 0045Z, 0145Z and 0245Z will not be produced. Can live with this cut, though it does inconvienance the private pilot in flight planning.... > LOW LEVEL SIG WX GRAPHIC - Difax charts D151 and D113 > The low level significant weather graphic product will be suspended on the > midnight shift. These are the difax graphic 12/24 hour predictions of > frontal positions, MVFR/IFR conditions, turbulence, freezing levels and > precipitation type and coverage. I don't understand why this product is being cut for the nighttime hours! Safety should be of utmost concern.... and these products are essential to the pilots needs for decision making while in the flight planning stages (or even inflight). Low level significant weather does not stop at sunset! > Airmets, Sigmets and our International Sigmets will continue on their > current schedule. Also products for Alaska and Hawaii are not affected. Good to hear.... I am in training to get my private license and do use these products in the planning of my flight...... I would hope the safety of the flying public would reconsider the decisions to cut back on the above products that the NWS provides. Thank you again for taking the time to read this. Allen Lieberman -- http://www.bright.net/~lieberma/ Any unsolicited COMMERCIAL Email will be replied with a complaint to the postmaster of the sender! ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 12 Apr 1997 to 13 Apr 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Apr 14 14:06:56 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA06276 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 1997 14:06:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102291-8622>; Mon, 14 Apr 1997 14:07:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA168774; Mon, 14 Apr 1997 00:50:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5258571 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Apr 1997 00:50:08 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA125974 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 1997 00:50:08 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA32319 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Apr 1997 00:50:07 -0500 Message-ID: <199704140550.AAA32319@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Apr 1997 00:50:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -140050 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 25916 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600Z APR 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/140151Z APR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140000Z5 TYPHOON ISA (02W) WAS LOCATED AT 10.1N2 155.5E6 AND WAS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON ISA (02W) WARNING NR 10 (WTPN31 PGTW 140300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 154E0 HAS BLENDED INTO THE NEAR-EQUATORIAL TROUGH AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/MILLER/TIRSCHEL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Apr 14 16:08:23 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id QAA07246 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 1997 16:08:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102418-8622>; Mon, 14 Apr 1997 16:08:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA164976; Mon, 14 Apr 1997 02:59:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5259221 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Apr 1997 02:59:08 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA232458 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 1997 02:59:07 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id CAA29986 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Apr 1997 02:59:06 -0500 Message-ID: <199704140759.CAA29986@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Apr 1997 02:59:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -140259 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 26655 WTPN31 PGTW 140900 1. TYPHOON ISA (02W) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- 10.2N3 154.5E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.2N3 154.5E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 10.4N5 152.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 10.7N8 150.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 11.1N3 148.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 11.9N1 146.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 14.5N0 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION 10.2N3 154.0E0 TYPHOON ISA (02W) IS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS APPROXIMATELY 600 NM SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL SOUTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH IS HINDERING THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM. THE SHEAR IS FORECAST TO RELAX OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WHICH WILL ENABLE TYPHOON ISA TO INTENSIFY AT A SLOWER THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. TYPHOON ISA IS FORECAST TO TRACK WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z1 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5), 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1), 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3) AND 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Apr 15 00:08:19 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id AAA10701 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 00:08:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102391-8622>; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 00:08:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA101088; Mon, 14 Apr 1997 10:52:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5260986 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Apr 1997 10:49:11 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA64488 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 1997 09:09:52 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id JAA39715 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Apr 1997 09:09:45 -0500 Message-ID: <199704141409.JAA39715@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Apr 1997 09:09:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -140909 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 34336 WTPN31 PGTW 141500 1. TYPHOON ISA (02W) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- 10.0N1 154.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.0N1 154.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 10.0N1 152.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 10.5N6 150.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 11.2N4 149.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 12.1N4 147.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 14.2N7 144.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION 10.0N1 153.6E5 TYPHOON ISA (02W) IS APPROXIMATELY 500 NM SOUTHWEST OF GUAM MOVING WESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. INTENSIFICATION CONTINUES TO BE HINDERED BY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE SOUTHEAST. SLOW INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST TO RESUME AS THIS SHEAR BEGINS TO RELAX OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z8 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1), 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3), 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9) AND 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Apr 15 06:31:04 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id GAA13103 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 06:31:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102151-26083>; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 06:31:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA92396; Mon, 14 Apr 1997 17:17:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5263340 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Apr 1997 17:17:34 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA265704 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 1997 09:21:52 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id JAA32553 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Apr 1997 09:21:48 -0500 Message-ID: <199704141421.JAA32553@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Apr 1997 09:21:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -140921 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 34342 WTPN31 PGTW 141500 COR 1. TYPHOON ISA (02W) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- 10.0N1 154.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.0N1 154.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 10.0N1 152.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 10.5N6 150.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 11.2N4 149.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 12.1N4 147.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 14.2N7 144.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION 10.0N1 153.6E5 TYPHOON ISA (02W) IS APPROXIMATELY 600 NM SOUTHEAST OF GUAM MOVING WESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. INTENSIFICATION CONTINUES TO BE HINDERED BY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE SOUTHEAST. SLOW INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST TO RESUME AS THIS SHEAR BEGINS TO RELAX OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z8 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1), 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3), 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9) AND 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6). REASON FOR CORRECTION: CORRECT DIRECTION AND RANGE FROM GUAM IN REMARKS// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Apr 15 06:05:13 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id GAA12891 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 06:05:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102509-8622>; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 06:05:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA161076; Mon, 14 Apr 1997 16:45:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5263047 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Apr 1997 16:43:41 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA158118 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 1997 14:47:22 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id OAA41570 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Apr 1997 14:47:21 -0500 Message-ID: <199704141947.OAA41570@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Apr 1997 14:47:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -141447 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 35166 WTPN31 PGTW 142100 1. TYPHOON ISA (02W) WARNING NR 013 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- 10.0N1 152.6E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.0N1 152.6E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 10.5N6 150.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 11.2N4 149.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 12.2N5 147.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 13.2N6 146.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 15.6N2 143.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION 10.1N2 152.2E0 TYPHOON ISA (02W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT SEVEN KNOTS APPROXIMATELY 500 NM SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 141730Z INFRARED SATELLITE FIX. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ON ISA HAS SHOWN SOME RELAXATION, WHICH SHOULD ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY. ISA HAS BEEN RELOCATED APPROXIMATELY 50 NM TO THE WEST BASED ON A 141227Z7 SCATTEROMETER PASS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z4 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9(DTG 150151Z3), 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9), 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6) AND 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Apr 15 10:12:19 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id KAA14530 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 10:12:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102237-26083>; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 10:12:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA172766; Mon, 14 Apr 1997 20:32:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5267178 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Apr 1997 20:31:52 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA223276 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 1997 20:31:50 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id UAA54140 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Apr 1997 20:31:49 -0500 Message-ID: <199704150131.UAA54140@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 14 Apr 1997 20:31:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -142031 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 52089 WTPN31 PGTW 150300 1. TYPHOON ISA (02W) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- 10.1N2 150.5E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.1N2 150.5E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 10.4N5 148.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 11.4N6 146.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 12.4N7 145.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 13.6N0 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 16.4N1 144.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION 10.2N3 150.0E6 TYPHOON ISA (02W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM=S TRACK IS FORECAST TO SLOW AND BECOME MORE NORTHWARD AS THE STEERING FLOW BECOMES MORE SOUTHERLY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9), 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6), 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2) AND 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Apr 15 13:09:39 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id NAA15653 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 13:09:39 +0800 X-Warning: Original message contained 8-bit characters, however during the SMTP transport session the receiving system was unable to announce capability of receiving 8-bit SMTP (RFC 1425-1428), and as this message does not have MIME headers (RFC 1341) to enable encoding change, we had very little choices. X-Warning: We ASSUME it is less harmfull to add the MIME headers, and convert the text to Quoted-Printable, than not to do so, and to strip the message to 7-bits.. (RFC 1428 Appendix A) MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: TEXT/PLAIN; charset=UNKNOWN-8BIT Content-Transfer-Encoding: QUOTED-PRINTABLE Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102483-26083>; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 13:10:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA74080; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 00:02:09 -0500 Message-Id: <199704150502.AAA74080@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Apr 1997 00:00:01 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 13 Apr 1997 to 14 Apr 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 10 messages totalling 275 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. HUMOR: Darwin award 2. NWS defends cuts... (2) 3. Ou est la FAQ? 4. FW: NWS defends cuts... 5. AMS Seal Question (2) 6. Question re: Severe Storms Forecasting and USAF Global WX 7. WEATHER MAPS 8. BLANK WEATHER MAPS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 14 Apr 1997 01:05:32 EDT From: Tim Vasquez <71611.2267@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: HUMOR: Darwin award > From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" wrote: > > Yes, it really happened; I saw it on the news wires some time ago. W= eird > as all heck, but interesting. > Actually there is an even better Darwin Award story about a guy in Ariz= ona who stole a military JATO (aircraft takeoff booster) rocket from a mili= tary base a few years ago. He mounted it to his 1976 Impala and ignited it on a stretch of empty highway. He obviously gave no thought of how he = was going to stop, since JATOs, once ignited, cannot be turned off. In several seconds his car had accelerated to approximately 350 mph, becam= e airborne, and smashed into the side of a mountain about 125 feet above the road. The story is on the Internet and has been the subject of a number of educational papers demonstrating important physics concepts. Well, to make this thread weather-related, I think it was sunny that da= y. Tim Vasquez author, WeatherG= raphix Norman, OK Digital Atmo= sphere 71611.2267@compuserve.com (405) 57= 3-0700 WeatherGraphix/Digital Atmosphere -- http://www.telepath.com/www/tvasqu= ez/ StormTrack Online -- http://www.telepath.com/www/storm/ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 14 Apr 1997 01:09:00 -0500 From: Roger Edwards Subject: Re: NWS defends cuts... I want to take a few kilobytes out of your RAM to publicly thank Gilber= t Sebenste for not only his latest forthright assessment of the NWS budge= t situation, but for his dogged support for SPC, AWC, NHC, and other plac= es in the NWS that will be maimed by these cuts. Keep up the good fight, Gil; and don't let this matter slip into oblivion. I count myself amon= g many who truly appreciate what you -- and all those who are fighting th= ese ridiculous cuts -- are doing. ---------------------------------------- *** No disclaimer necessary; this is my personal account! *** "If you stop, stop slowly; or I =3D=3D=3D=3D=3D Roger Edwards =3D= =3D=3D=3D=3D fly back into the windshield." ( ) Forecaster - current chase partner former NHC Forecaster :::::::::: http://www.wildstar.net/~tornado :::::::::: "I FEAST ON THE SMORGASBORD OF ATMOSPHERIC VIOLENCE." ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 14 Apr 1997 05:39:27 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: NWS defends cuts... On Mon, 14 Apr 1997, Roger Edwards wrote: > I want to take a few kilobytes out of your RAM to publicly thank Gilb= ert > Sebenste for not only his latest forthright assessment of the NWS bud= get > situation, but for his dogged support for SPC, AWC, NHC, and other pl= aces > in the NWS that will be maimed by these cuts. Keep up the good fight= , > Gil; and don't let this matter slip into oblivion. I count myself am= ong > many who truly appreciate what you -- and all those who are fighting = these > ridiculous cuts -- are doing. Hey, someone has to keep Los Federales Gringos from stomping out the NW= S! And if these cuts do occur, I can say I did my best to stop it from happening. The word is getting out. I forget who he was, but I believe the directo= r (or assistant director?) of SPC spoke at the FermiLab (Batavia, IL) sev= ere weather seminar this weekend, and was rather taken aback by a heckler w= ho asked him about the budget and SPC staffing cuts after he completed his presentation. Although Tom Skilling eventually cut him off, people are starting to take notice and know about SPC's plight! This in front of a packed crowd of several thousand people... Gilbert ***********************************************************************= ******** Gilbert Sebenste **= ****** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) = ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada = *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html = ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada = * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ = * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! = * ***********************************************************************= ******** ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 14 Apr 1997 10:01:41 -0400 From: "Richard L. Slonaker" Subject: Ou est la FAQ? # # Date: Fri, 11 Apr 1997 10:17:29 CDT # From: Scott Lindstrom # Subject: Looking for an algorithm # # I'm looking for an algorithm that, given the pressure and mixing rati= o, # returns the corresponding dewpoint. I have an algorithm that comput= es # the mixing ratio given a (p,T) combination, but not the inverse. Algorithms were sent via email to avoid excessive bandwidth use. We need a wx-talk FAQ! -Richard ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ fmh@amf.nrl.navy.mil Richard L. Slonaker Naval Research Laboratory tel: 202-767-8257 Code 7223 fax: 202-767-9194 4555 Overlook Ave., S.W. Washington, D.C. 20375 USA ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 14 Apr 1997 13:17:00 -0500 From: "Padgett, James G." Subject: FW: NWS defends cuts... >---------- >From: Robert P Dale >To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK >Subject: Re: NWS defends cuts... >Date: Friday, April 11, 1997 7:19AM >I didn't think that the discussion was about issuing public warnings t= o go over the air, but issuing private or municipality-based warnings. >I was under the impression that outfits have been doing this for years, one that comes to mind is the hurricane that hit SE Texas a few years >ago when Galveston was warned by its private forecaster while NHC went further south. I just can't believe that Galveston could sue their >forecaster into bankruptcy... Maybe I'm naive when it comes to the legal system! >Rob I presume this was a reference to Hurricane Gilbert of 1988. Gilbert did not strike SE Texas---it made landfall in NE Mexico over 100 miles south of the Rio Grande. NHC correctly forecast a trac= k well south of Galveston, but a certain private forecast called for the hurricane to come close to Galveston, so city officials chose to evacuate the city. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 14 Apr 1997 16:08:35 -0400 From: N Radziwill Subject: AMS Seal Question How long does it take, from the time you mail in the initial application, for an AMS Seal to be approved? I'd like to hear about the application experiences of those of you who have already received your Seals. Nicole ------------------------------------------------------------ Nicole Radziwill nmr@quintet.com CIO/Virtual Office Director Quintet International http://www.quintet.com ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 14 Apr 1997 17:52:15 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: AMS Seal Question On Mon, 14 Apr 1997, N Radziwill wrote: > How long does it take, from the time you mail in the initial > application, for an AMS Seal to be approved? I'd like to hear > about the application experiences of those of you who have > already received your Seals. > > Nicole Hi Nicole, Funny you should ask this question today...I had t call AMS HQ to find = out what my status was. So far, 7 months and counting. I should know in the next two weeks. Gilbert ***********************************************************************= ******** Gilbert Sebenste **= ****** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) = ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada = *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html = ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada = * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ = * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! = * ***********************************************************************= ******** ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 14 Apr 1997 12:45:32 -0400 From: Mark Stunder Subject: Question re: Severe Storms Forecasting and USAF Global WX I am wondering what the differences are between the USAF severe storm forecasting responsibility and SPC. Yes, I realize of course th= at one issues watches for the public, the other doesn't. SPC handles civilian stuff and the USAF handles military etc. However, fundamentally, are the functions really different? If they ar= e not fundamentally different, and if the crazy budget cuts are not changed, then could the USAF pick up at least a major support role during the critical overnight periods? (This would be more than a back= up role that the USAF currently has). By the way, I think Friday should be ashamed of himself for not defending his employees against these cuts. How can NWS employees look their boss in the eye and vice-versa? (e.g. what's next?) The NW= S has not had strong leadership at the top for a long-time and that's par= t of the problem. (witness the AWIPS delays/changes etc.). I think you ba= ck your employees to the hilt in a controversey like this. You really wouldn't see this attitude within the DOD community or over the base closure issue. Any opinions on SPC/USAF joint support beyond backup? -Mark ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 14 Apr 1997 18:09:31 -0400 From: Mike Blake Subject: WEATHER MAPS TO: WX-TALK@PO.UIUC.EDU HI I'am looking for a source of blank maps of the United States. They should be 8in. by 11in. in a pad of 50 or 100 maps. I'am also looking for maps of the individual states that meet these specifications. Any help will be greatly appreciated. Thanks Mike Blake G% =E8 =B3P =FE=B1L ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 14 Apr 1997 22:56:56 -0400 From: Mike Blake Subject: BLANK WEATHER MAPS TO: wx-talk@po.uiuc.edu Hi I'am looking for a source of blank maps of the United States they must be approx. 8in. by 11in. and 50 to 100 sheets per pad. I'am also looking for maps of individual states that meet these specs. But if you have any info on any maps please pass it on. Any help will be greatly appreciated. THANKS Mike Blake ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 13 Apr 1997 to 14 Apr 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Apr 15 14:10:29 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA16121 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 14:10:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102679-26083>; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 14:10:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA127690; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 00:57:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5269058 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 00:57:10 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA127652 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 00:57:10 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA49167 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 00:57:09 -0500 Message-ID: <199704150557.AAA49167@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Apr 1997 00:57:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -150057 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 51724 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z APR 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150151Z APR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON ISA (02W) WAS LOCATED AT 10.1N2 150.5E1 MOVING WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON ISA (02W) WARNING NR 14 (WTPN31 PGTW 150300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/BOYER/DEOCARIZA/UROGI// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Apr 15 16:40:27 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id QAA17268 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 16:40:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102689-26083>; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 16:40:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA94360; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 03:23:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5269724 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 03:23:22 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA238982 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 03:23:21 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id DAA56667 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 03:23:20 -0500 Message-ID: <199704150823.DAA56667@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Apr 1997 03:23:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -150323 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 15448 WTPN31 PGTW 150900 1. TYPHOON ISA (02W) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 10.1N2 149.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.1N2 149.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 10.5N6 147.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 11.0N2 145.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 12.0N3 144.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 13.5N9 143.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 15.9N5 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION 10.2N3 148.7E0 TYPHOON ISA (02W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW AS IT GAINS LATITUDE. TYPHOON ISA (02W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS SYSTEM OUTFLOW IS FORECAST TO REMAIN GOOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6), 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2), 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4) AND 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Apr 15 21:43:48 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id VAA19449 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 21:43:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102680-26083>; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 21:44:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA227008; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 08:28:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5270943 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 08:27:59 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA175694 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 08:27:48 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id IAA57931 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 08:27:47 -0500 Message-ID: <199704151327.IAA57931@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Apr 1997 08:27:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -150827 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 49224 WTPN31 PGTW 151500 1. TYPHOON ISA (02W) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- 10.1N2 148.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGRES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.1N2 148.2E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 10.4N5 146.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 11.4N6 144.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 12.6N9 143.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 14.0N5 143.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 16.7N4 144.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 151500Z2 POSITION 10.2N3 147.7E9 TYPHOON ISA (02W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. IT REMAINS EQUATORWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IN A REGION OF WESTWARD STEERING FLOW. INTENSITY AT WARNING TIME IS BASED ON A 151130Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS INDICATING THE PRESENCE OF 75 KNOT SUSTAINED WINDS (DVORAK T4.5). ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY, SYNOPTIC DATA, AND NUMERICAL MODELS INDICATE A WEAKNESS DEVELOPING IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. OUR FORECAST IS FOR TY ISA TO TURN TOWARD THIS WEAKNESS DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. WITHIN 48 HOURS TY ISA SHOULD BE APPROACHING THIS WEAKNESS AND SLOW ITS FORWARD MOTION WHILE INTENSIFYING AND MOVING THROUGH THE WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z9 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2), 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4), 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0) AND 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Apr 16 06:47:07 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id GAA22547 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 06:47:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102150-14417>; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 06:47:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA64356; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 14:08:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5273169 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 14:07:06 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA94428 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 13:57:59 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id NAA49458 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 13:57:53 -0500 Message-ID: <199704151857.NAA49458@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Apr 1997 13:57:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -151357 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 44847 ABPW10 PGTW 151900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/151900Z/160600Z APR 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/151351Z APR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 151200Z9 TYPHOON ISA (02W) WAS LOCATED AT 10.1N2 148.2E5 MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON ISA (02W) WARNING NR 16 (WTPN31 PGTW 151500)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 14S5 173E1. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THIS CONVECTIVE REGION HAS PERSISTED FOR APPROXIMATELY 12 HOURS AND APPEARS TO HAVE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION NEAR 15S6 171E9. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION: THIS ADVISORY IS REISSUED AT AN OFF- TIME IN ORDER TO ADD THE SUSPECT AREA ABOVE. FORECAST TEAM: KUBAT/WOFFORD/PUGH// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Apr 16 07:22:57 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id HAA22633 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 07:22:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102191-14417>; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 07:23:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA67892; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 18:10:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5275689 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 18:10:09 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA08896 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 15:03:41 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id PAA45010 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 15:03:35 -0500 Message-ID: <199704152003.PAA45010@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Apr 1997 15:03:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -151503 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 56783 WTPN31 PGTW 152100 1. TYPHOON ISA (02W) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- 10.3N4 147.2E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.3N4 147.2E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 10.9N0 145.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 12.0N3 144.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 13.2N6 143.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 14.7N2 143.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 17.5N3 143.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 152100Z9 POSITION 10.4N5 146.7E8 TYPHOON ISA (02W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. IT IS APPROXIMATELY 230 NM SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS INDICATING THE PRESENCE OF 90 KNOT WINDS (DVORAK T5.0). TY ISA CURRENTLY HAS A RAGGED PARTIALLY CLOUD FILLED EYE. THIS WARNING IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS WARNING, AND OUR FORECAST PHILOSOPHY HAS NOT CHANGED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z5 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4), 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0), 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7) AND 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Apr 16 10:00:49 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id KAA23728 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 10:00:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102229-14417>; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 10:01:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA93616; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 20:52:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5276981 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 20:52:38 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA185426 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 20:52:37 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id UAA61126 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Apr 1997 20:52:36 -0500 Message-ID: <199704160152.UAA61126@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Apr 1997 20:52:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -152052 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 32707 WTPN31 PGTW 160300 1. TYPHOON ISA (02W) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 10.1N2 146.6E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.1N2 146.6E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 10.6N7 145.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 11.6N8 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 12.6N9 143.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 14.1N6 143.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 17.1N9 144.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION 10.2N3 146.3E4 TYPHOON ISA (02W) IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 215 NM TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE FORECAST REASONING FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN GAINING LATITUDE AND MOVE NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0), 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7), 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3) AND 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Apr 16 13:38:14 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id NAA25211 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 13:38:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102342-14417>; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 13:38:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA104838; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 00:24:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5278353 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 00:23:49 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA105262 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 00:08:23 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA41258 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 00:08:19 -0500 Message-ID: <199704160508.AAA41258@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Apr 1997 00:08:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -160008 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 49703 WTPN31 PGTW 160300 AMD 1. TYPHOON ISA (02W) WARNING NR 018A AMENDED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 10.3N4 146.6E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.3N4 146.6E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 11.6N8 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 13.3N7 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 14.8N3 144.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 16.1N8 143.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 18.4N3 144.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION 10.6N7 146.2E3 THIS IS AN AMENDED WARNING. OVER THE PAST 4 HOURS TYPHOON ISA (02W) HAS MOVED FASTER TO THE NORTHWEST THAN EXPECTED. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO GAIN LATITUDE AS IT INTENSIFIES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW(IO)31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0), 161500Z (DTG 161351), 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3), AND 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Apr 16 13:53:59 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id NAA25251 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 13:53:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102191-14417>; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 13:54:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA266134; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 00:21:26 -0500 Message-Id: <199704160521.AAA266134@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Apr 1997 00:13:08 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 14 Apr 1997 to 15 Apr 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 14 messages totalling 595 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. (2) 2. fish or cut bait? 3. boundary layer maps (2) 4. Boundary layer maps CORRECTION 5. NSSL/SPC Employees Association merchandise 6. GOES-K LAUNCH 7. Winds Aloft 8. Atmospheric violence 9. NWS cuts 10. ASOS COMMISSIONING NOTICE 11. meso-eta 12. WX-TALK Digest - 13 Apr 1997 to 14 Apr 1997 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 15 Apr 1997 01:00:49 -0500 From: "Mark D. Conner" Subject: From: Mark Stunder >I am wondering what the differences are between the USAF severe >storm forecasting responsibility and SPC. Yes, I realize of course that >one issues watches for the public, the other doesn't. SPC handles >civilian stuff and the USAF handles military etc. >However, fundamentally, are the functions really different? If they are >not fundamentally different, and if the crazy budget cuts are not >changed, then could the USAF pick up at least a major support role >during the critical overnight periods? (This would be more than a backup >role that the USAF currently has). At present, yes they are different. There are two main products produced by the CONUS Severe section at AFGWC. One is a Military Weather Advisory, which is sort of like a Day 1 Outlook with different criteria. This advisory is for not only severe convective storms, but non-convective winds >35 kts, heavy rain, heavy snow, and freezing precip. The other product is a Point Weather Warning, which tells a specific military installation when to expect any of the criteria in the Military Weather Advisory (except for thunderstorms with winds <35 knots/3/4" hail). It is possible there has been discussion along these lines, just as there has been regarding TPC cuts. However, you still need a body on the shift to produce the product, so you're transferring the load from one organization that shorthanded due to budget cuts to another one that's shorthanded due to budget cuts. It's a question of whether one or the other can absorb the load anyway. At least NWS as an organization has said up front "if you cut these bodies, you lose these products". However, I don't think they're being up front on what the real impact of that product loss will be (gross understatement). Any way you cut it, field users are losing some of their access to the vast experience SPC has in severe weather forecasting. I'm sure AFGWC is a big user of SPC's bulletins and will also miss their production on the night shift. --------------------------------------------------------------- Mark D. Conner Internet: mconner@null.net Packet: N9XTN@K0FG.IA.USA.NA "Paradigm shifting without a clutch" - Dogbert The Peter Principle: "In a hierarchy every employee tends to rise to his level of incompetence" Conner's Corollary: "The Peter Principle is unbounded" ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 15 Apr 1997 02:44:41 GMT From: Brian Curran Subject: fish or cut bait? Dear WX-TALKers: I take the liberty of posting below the testimony of David R. Smith, Secretary-Treasurer of the National Weather Service Employees Organization, before the Subcommittee on Energy and the Environment, Committee on Science, U.S. House of Representatives, on 9 April 1997. This testimony was taken verbatim from the NWSEO internet homepage . NWS meteorologists would do well to view the contents of the NWSEO homepage and act according to their conscience. Simply put, I echo Mr. Smith's sentiments. It is indeed interesting that the government would rather have fisheries than forecasts and warnings. Hmm, fish...the other white meat? 8^(. Ob promise, er, disclaimer: I am speaking as a private citizen and not as a representative of my unnamed employer. Furthermore, I am posting this electronic message in this forum using my own equipment and my own ISP subscription. Any action taken against me for exercising my First Amendment rights in this forum, covert or otherwise, shall be subject to redress in civil court. --------- Testimony of David R. Smith, Secretary-Treasurer, National Weather Service Employees Organization and Hydrologist, New Orleans Forecast Office before the Subcommittee on Energy and the Environment Committee on Science House of Representatives April 9, 1997 I appreciate this opportunity to convey the sentiments of the employees of the National Weather Service (NWS) and the members of the National Weather Service Employees Organization (NWSEO), concerning the agency's FY 98 budget authority and related issues. I also would like to change the subject of this hearing from that of economic theory and political philosophy to address the immediate problem of NWS funding for the critical time period of the next 18 months. I am here today to report that the consensus of the meteorologists, hydrologists, and technicians employed by the Weather Service is that the Administration's FY 98 request is wholly inadequate if we are expected to issue timely and accurate forecasts and warnings of severe weather. We are at a loss to understand why the Administration has proposed funding reductions in Weather Service operation for a second year in a row. The Administration's FY 98 request for Local Warnings and Forecasts is a reduction from FY 97 funding which was a reduction from the previous year. In addition, during the past two years, the Weather Service had to absorb a 5% increase in costs due to mandatory pay raises and inflation. We consider this to be a surface change that will NOT be a realizable savings for the American public. Congress has already authorized and appropriated over $4 billion to modernize the Weather Service. We now have state of the art technology. What the Weather Service no longer has is the money to employ and train its staff to operate this equipment. As we all know, the press has focused attention on the impact of this year's Weather Service RIF caused by the FY 97 shortfall. As an operational hydrologist, I know that the cuts which soon will be made, absent an emergency supplemental appropriation, will seriously reduce our ability to predict floods such as those now occurring in the upper Mid West. Specifically, reducing personnel at the Storm Prediction Center, and reducing the Marine Center's ocean analysis frequency will adversely effect the accuracy of the nation's precipitation forecasts which are vital to predicting increased river flow. The Administration's FY 98 request has not restored $10.5 million which Congress cut from the FY 97 request based upon a flawed audit conducted by the Department of Commerce Inspector General. Last December, staff members of the IG's Office reveled irregularities in that audit, and that its conclusions were politically motivated. In a letter to the Deputy Undersecretary of Commerce, the OIG staff wrote: I have watched over the past several years our office launch time after time a "search and destroy" mission on the NWS and Dr. Friday. Mr DeGeorge has made it a personal thing with Dr. Friday, and the integrity of our office has suffered. He has said a number of times "if the Department can't manage itself, then he would manage it for them." This attitude has led to an attempt to dismantle the NWS at any cost. Regrettably, many of the positions which are being eliminated, because of funding reductions based on this particular IG report are operational personnel. The unattainable savings from the IG's discredited audit should be restored to the agency's budget. We urge the committee to reject any further efforts to privatize weather services. We also urge that the NWS's agricultural warning programs, privatized last year, be re-authorized. Privatization of weather services has already proven to be a very misguided attempt at "reinventing government." In January, Florida suffered $300 million in crop losses during and unexpected freeze. Had the agricultural programs not been eliminated, the growers in Florida would have received a warning of the freeze in sufficient time to save their crops. Florida farmers sustained economic losses that were one hundred times greater than what the NWS saved. American farmers, foresters, mariners, sporting enthusiasts, as well as the general public are now paying private companies for weather forecasters that they have received free from the NWS for over 100 years. With all due respect to Mr. Leavitt, I fail to see the presence of any unfair competition on the part of the Weather Service. If private forecast vendors want fair competition, they should launch their own satellites, build their own radar network, and invest in supercomputers to analyze the data. Until that time, America should not have to buy back its own weather information from a small number of companies who could not exist without the continuing investment in the Weather Service made by the taxpayer. I would like to make a brief comment on the proposal to close the NWS Southern Region Headquarters, in Fort Worth, Texas. The day-to-day operational support provided by this Regional Office is essential. Plans to close that office are ill-advised and we recommend that Congress reject this proposal. One last item. April 4th marked the twentieth anniversary of the crash of Southern Airways flight 242 in Georgia. That tragedy resulted because the pilots did not have updated weather information and flew into a severe thunderstorm. That deadly deficiency led to the creation of Weather Support Units at the FAA's Air Route Traffic Control Centers (ARTCCs), staffed by Weather Service meteorologists. The FAA is now taking a giant step backward and is testing a plan at the Houston Center that will replace professional Weather Service meteorologists with FAA technicians. This experiment is being conducted as the relatives of those who perished in flight 242 are holding a painful reunion. We urge Congress to halt this experiment. Thank you very much. I would be pleased to answer any questions you may have. Statement to the House of Representatives Committees The National Weather Service Employees Organization has not received any Federal funding through any Federal grant (or subgrant thereof), or any contract (or subcontract thereof) during the current fiscal year (FY 1997) or during the two preceding fiscal years (FY 1995 and 1996). ---------- bc -- Brian Curran ebcurran@flash.net Standard disclaimers apply; I speak for myself. "The opinion of the strongest is always the best." - J. de la Fontaine ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 15 Apr 1997 09:31:29 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: boundary layer maps On Tue, 15 Apr 1997, Mathew L. Powers wrote: > Anyone else getting odd maps in place of the boundary layer maps (NGM) > on difax? It's been happening for the past few days and I was wondering > if I missed e-mail about a change in the numbers. > > Thanks in advance, > --matt Yes, you did. The HDS computer has been shut down at the NWS due to budget cuts and the following DiFAX charts D numbers will not be produced UFN, whenever they get a chance to produce these on another computer (this may take a long time for some of these to get fixed): 18, 23, 35, 37, 38, 40, 45, 66, 74, 81, 86, 87, 159, 181, 184, 186, 189, 193, 218, 222, 227, 263, 270, and 280. This includes NGM boundary layer wind, weather depiction, 12 surface pressure change, and other DiFAX charts. So, no degredation of service with the budget cuts, eh? (SLAM) Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * Got mole problems? Call Avogadro at 6.02 X 10^23. * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 15 Apr 1997 09:40:00 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Boundary layer maps CORRECTION On Tue, 15 Apr 1997, Gilbert L. Sebenste wrote: > Yes, you did. The HDS computer has been shut down at the NWS due to > budget cuts and the following DiFAX charts ("D" numbers) will not be > produced UFN, whenever they get a chance to produce these on their CRAY > computer (this may take a long time for some of these to get fixed): > > 18, 23, 35, 37, 38, 40, 45, 66, 74, 81, 86, 87, 159, 181, 184, 186, 189, > 193, 218, 222, 227, 263, 270, and 280. > > This includes NGM boundary layer wind, weather depiction, 12 hour > surface pressure change, composite moisture and other DiFAX charts. > > So, no degredation of service with the budget cuts, eh? (SLAM) > > Gilbert > > ******************************************************************************* > Gilbert Sebenste ******** > Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** > Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** > URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** > SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * > THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * > Got mole problems? Call Avogadro at 6.02 X 10^23. * > ******************************************************************************* Added/corrected descriptions of missing charts and bad grammar, as message was inadvertantly sent out before it was time. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 15 Apr 1997 09:46:26 -0500 From: "Mathew L. Powers" Subject: Re: boundary layer maps Ok...I got that mail...didn't realize boundary layers were a part of that..thanks Gilbert. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Matt Powers: powers@weather.cod.edu I still use my 630/942-2590 colored pencils! College of Dupage/NEXLAB (near Chi-town) http://weather.cod.edu Multi-County Skywarn http://weather.cod.edu/skywarn and Ob's at RFD for fun ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 15 Apr 1997 09:58:44 -0500 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: NSSL/SPC Employees Association merchandise Severe Weather Fanatics, The NSSL/SPC Employees Association (NSEA) regularly sells severe weather photographs and NSSL/SPC clothing as part of its fund-raising efforts. Traditionally, we've only been able to sell this merchandise to individuals who visit the NSSL/SPC in Norman, Oklahoma, or when we take the merchandise to various special functions (such as the TWC Chaser Conference, the StormTrack annual picnic, or various conferences and open houses). Now this merchandise is available on the World Wide Web (WWW)! The 1997 Spring Chase Season is now here! Get merchandise now! Storm Predicition Center golf shirts are also new to our clothing line. ********************************************************************* * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW Severe Weather Photo Store * ********************************************************************* The URL for the NSEA Photo Concession Stand is: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/nea/neaphotostand.html ****************************************************************** * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW NSSL/SPC Clothing Store * * * * NSSL SHIRTS...AS SEEN IN THE MOVIE 'TWISTER'!!! * ****************************************************************** The URL for the NSEA Clothing Concession Stand is: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/nea/neaclothing.html Information on the prices of merchandise is on the WWW page. We can only accept orders placed from the WWW page (check or money order only). Information on the NSEA is also available via the first hypertext link on that WWW page. If you have any questions, please contact Greg Stumpf at: gstumpf@rossby.metr.uoknor.edu We hope that this fundraiser is a success for our organization and we hope you all enjoy the merchandise! Greg Stumpf and Paul Janish, NSSL/SPC Employees Association DISCLAIMER: The NSEA is a non-profit organization not affiliated with NOAA or the U.S. Government. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 15 Apr 1997 12:54:06 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: GOES-K LAUNCH NASA-KSC PRESS RELEASE KSC Release No.: 63-97 LAUNCH OF GOES-K WEATHER SATELLITE SCHEDULED FOR APRIL 24 The launch of the GOES-K weather satellite for NASA and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) aboard a Lockheed Martin Atlas 1 rocket (AC-79) is scheduled for April 24. Liftoff is targeted to occur at the opening of a launch window which extends from 1:50 - 3:09 a.m. EDT, a duration of one hour and 19 minutes. Launch will occur from Pad B at Complex 36 on Cape Canaveral Air Station. GOES-K is the third spacecraft to be launched in the new advanced series of geostationary weather satellites for NOAA. The spacecraft is a three-axis internally stabilized weather satellite which has the dual capability of providing pictures while performing atmospheric sounding at the same time. Once in orbit the spacecraft is to be designated GOES-10. AC-79 marks the final launch of an Atlas 1 rocket, a derivative of the original Atlas Centaur developed by NASA which had its first successful launch in 1963. Future launches of GOES weather satellites in the current series will be on Atlas II vehicles. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 15 Apr 1997 13:40:56 -24000 From: "Daniel D. Salkovitz" Subject: Winds Aloft Which model is used to generate the winds aloft forecasts (the FDs) out to 24 hours? Anyone know? Thanks. Dan Salkovitz Va. Dept. of Environmental Quality ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 15 Apr 1997 14:25:00 EDT From: "Maneikis, Steven" Subject: Atmospheric violence For Roger Edwards On behalf of a couple severe weather fanatics who read this newsgroup through my account, they wanted to know, since you "feed on the smorgasboard of atmospheric violence", are you close to starvation this spring like they are? Steve Maneikis-former meteorologist, hoping to be one again soon (on behalf of Rich Barnes and Mark Gibson) ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 15 Apr 1997 14:25:56 -0600 From: "Ricketts,Steve [Edm]" Subject: NWS cuts 'cuse me for wading into this fray, but I would like to add a few personal observations. First, the caveats. This is a personal note, and I am expressing personal opinions only... they do not represent the views of my employer (Environment Canada). Second, I am not an expert on the inner workings of the NWS or other weather-related activities in the States. But I think I can say that I am familiar with issues connected with downsizing, reductions, and closures... seeing how I have just been part of planning for and implementing a **40%** cut in weather services up here. To the staff of the NWS... I know what you're going through, and it isn't fun. When people take away what you're used to doing, what you feel is important, then you will naturally feel attacked and get defensive. And I agree that there are lots of powerful reasons as to why these changes should not be done. I emphasize with your plight and fears. Believe me, I do. Your senior managers are in a tough spot. They likely have been given direct instructions to make cuts. They are doing the best they can. They are trying to minimize the effects on staff. Give them some credit. They are intelligent people... they did not get to where they are by being dumb. I suspect that they personally are disappointed with having to do this. They will have to answer for their decisions... not you. I will not suggest that what's been done is perfect. I have no way of knowing that. But give them some benefit of the doubt. Contribute positively to suggesting where and how cuts could be made more effectively. There have been some real personal insults slung around... this does not help. To others... I am pleasantly surprised to see the active support you're giving to the NWS. That should be appreciated. It's good to hear/read people stand up and be counted. And to organize reaction. Good to see. Hope you're successful... or at least heard. But it's easy to flame people, especially when you don't know the whole story. Yes, you can throw stones from afar and not worry about having to be answerable to your charges... as good or poor as they may be. Especially when you've never worked for the NWS or another weather company. It personally bothers me to read ex-NWS employees attacking their former employer. Frankly, it comes across as a little self-serving and sounding like sour grapes. It's like the ball-player who criticizes the team that traded him. Does not go over well.. at least with me. One question: what would be your reaction if one of your ex-employees went on this listserver and criticized the way your company operates or make changes (e.g. make comments about cuts in service, fears for loss of quality, more likelihood of deaths)? What about a current employee doing the same? Would you stand back and say nothing? Would you defend as vigorously their right to free speech? Interesting... +---------------------------------------------------------------------+ | Steve Ricketts | Manager, Northern Alberta Environmental Services Centre | Environment Canada's Prairie and Northern Region, Edmonton, AB | Phone (403)951-8788 FAX 495-2615 e-mail: Steve.Ricketts@ec.gc.ca +---------------------------------------------------------------------+ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 15 Apr 1997 18:20:23 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS COMMISSIONING NOTICE The folowing site became a commissioned ASOS site at 1800 UTC today, 15 April, 1997 MARIANNA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT /KMAI/ MARIANNA... FLORIDA Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 15 Apr 1997 20:18:09 -0500 From: Robyn Weeks Subject: meso-eta Hello, I had heard sometime back that the early-run eta was going to be replaced by the meso-eta on April 15, 1997. I was wondering if this change took place today. Robyn Weeks TWC ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 16 Apr 1997 03:16:42 GMT From: John Berger Subject: ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 15 Apr 1997 22:42:45 -0500 From: Erik & Kathy Jacobsen Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 13 Apr 1997 to 14 Apr 1997 > Date: Mon, 14 Apr 1997 12:45:32 -0400 > From: Mark Stunder > Subject: Question re: Severe Storms Forecasting and USAF Global WX > > I am wondering what the differences are between the USAF severe > storm forecasting responsibility and SPC. Yes, I realize of course that > one issues watches for the public, the other doesn't. SPC handles > civilian stuff and the USAF handles military etc. > > However, fundamentally, are the functions really different? If they are > not fundamentally different, and if the crazy budget cuts are not > changed, then could the USAF pick up at least a major support role > during the critical overnight periods? (This would be more than a backup > role that the USAF currently has). > > By the way, I think Friday should be ashamed of himself for not > defending his employees against these cuts. How can NWS employees > look their boss in the eye and vice-versa? (e.g. what's next?) The NWS > has not had strong leadership at the top for a long-time and that's part of > the problem. (witness the AWIPS delays/changes etc.). I think you back > your employees to the hilt in a controversey like this. You really > wouldn't see this attitude within the DOD community or over the base > closure issue. > > Any opinions on SPC/USAF joint support beyond backup? > > -Mark > Sounds like a great idea! This is truely our Federal Government(Ay, esos locos Gringos Rateros) duplicating its self. Of course, being military, the mission would be different. Perhaps aviation related. The Air Force is a 24/7 operation. When we are sleeping and the SPC is writing thier discussions, airmen are hard at work in all parts of the world. And I can see them more occupied at night forecasting a typhonne that is about to hit Diego Garcia then what is going on state side. I'm not really sure what their manning levels are at night. Perhaps a NWS forcaster can work at USAF Global Wx at night. Any suggestions????? -- Erik Jacobsen, KB9BNY(Former F-16 Asst. Crew Chief, 52FW, Spangdahlem AB Germany) "Crew Chiefs--AROO! And thats the fact jack!" Member, Chicago Area Skywarn Assoc. jacobsen@ais.net "I'm not a meteorologist, but I play one on the Internet." ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 14 Apr 1997 to 15 Apr 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Apr 16 14:03:18 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA25293 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 14:03:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102237-14417>; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 14:03:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA196646; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 00:55:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5278598 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 00:55:27 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA79118 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 00:55:26 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA49784 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 00:55:25 -0500 Message-ID: <199704160555.AAA49784@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Apr 1997 00:55:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -160055 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 7285 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z APR 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/160551Z APR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160000Z7 TYPHOON ISA (02W) WAS LOCATED AT 10.3N4 146.6E7 MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 95 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 115 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON ISA (02W) WARNING NR 18A (WTPN31 PGTW 160300 AMD)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION AND A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED NEAR 14S5 170E8. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WELL DEFINED CIRCULATION ALTHOUGH CONVECTION HAS YET TO CONSOLIDATE NEAR THE CIRCULATION=S CENTER. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW OVER THE AREA HOWEVER THERE IS STILL AN INDICATION OF SLIGHT NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/EDSON/BOYER/DEOCARIZA/UROGI// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Apr 16 14:57:38 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA25639 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 14:57:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102246-4152>; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 14:58:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA214524; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 01:45:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5278824 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 01:45:26 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA196820 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 01:45:24 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id BAA49696 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 01:45:24 -0500 Message-ID: <199704160645.BAA49696@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Apr 1997 01:45:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -160145 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 59165 WTPN31 PGTW 160900 1. TYPHOON ISA (02W) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 10.9N0 145.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.9N0 145.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 12.5N8 144.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 14.1N6 144.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 15.5N1 144.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 16.9N6 144.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 19.5N5 144.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION 11.3N5 145.5E5 TYPHOON ISA (02W) IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE PREVIOUS AMENDED FORECAST. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7), 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3), 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Apr 16 20:09:34 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id UAA27705 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 20:09:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102375-4152>; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 20:10:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA97986; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 07:02:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5279642 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 07:01:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA262440 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 07:01:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id GAA06913 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 06:59:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199704161159.GAA06913@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Apr 1997 06:59:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 543 WTPS21 PGTW 161200 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 161153Z APR 97// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA. AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR. 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS. 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15.7S3 171.8E7 TO 20.1S3 177.9E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 161030Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.5S2 172.7E7. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IN THE SOUTHWEST PACIFIC HAS PERSISTED FOR WELL OVER 24 HOURS. RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS INDICATES WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM MAY REACH 25 KNOTS (DVORAK T1.0). SYNOPTIC DATA IN THE AREA INDICATES SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS AROUND 1003 MB. SEVERAL STATIONS IN THE AREA HAVE ALSO REPORTED WINDS OF APPROXIMATELY 20 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 171200Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Apr 16 22:34:19 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id WAA28838 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 22:34:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102325-4152>; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 22:34:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA41850; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 09:22:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5280704 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 09:18:11 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA155020 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 09:15:35 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id JAA41304 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 09:15:32 -0500 Message-ID: <199704161415.JAA41304@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Apr 1997 09:15:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -160915 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 46933 WTPN31 PGTW 161500 1. TYPHOON ISA (02W) WARNING NR 020 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- 11.0N2 145.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 11.0N2 145.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 12.1N4 143.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 13.7N1 143.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 15.2N8 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 16.9N6 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 19.9N9 143.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION 11.3N5 144.7E6 TYPHOON ISA (02W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MOONLIGHT ILLUMINATION POLAR ORBITING VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A WELL DEFINED SMALL EYE. ANALYSIS OF THIS AND GEOSTATIONARY ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SUPPORTS THE PRESENCE OF 110 KNOT WINDS AT WARNING TIME. RADAR DATA FROM THE DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR ON GUAM HAS BECOME AVAILABLE, AND CONVECTIVE CELLS HAVE BEEN TRACKED MOVING AT 100 KNOTS. TY ISA IS STILL EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD A DEVELOPING WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND THEN ASSUME A PREDOMINANTLY NORTHWARD MOTION AS IT CROSSES THE BROAD AXIS OF THE RIDGE. FURTHER INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE AS TY ISA MOVES ACROSS THE RIDGE. THIS WARNING IS INDICATED AS RELOCATED BECAUSE A VECTOR DRAWN FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING POSITION TO THE CURRENT WARNING POSITION IS NOT REPRESENTATIVE OF RECENT PAST MOTION BASED ON INFORMATION FROM ANIMATED RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3), 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5), 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1) AND 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Apr 17 07:00:19 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id HAA01685 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 07:00:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102161-178>; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 07:00:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA242368; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 17:50:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5283121 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 17:49:58 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA160852 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 15:33:34 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id PAA56360 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 15:33:30 -0500 Message-ID: <199704162033.PAA56360@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Apr 1997 15:33:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -161533 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 22053 WTPN31 PGTW 162100 1. TYPHOON ISA (02W) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- 11.2N4 143.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.2N4 143.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 11.8N0 142.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 13.0N4 141.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 14.3N8 141.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 16.0N7 141.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 20.7N9 142.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 162100Z0 POSITION 11.4N6 143.5E3 TYPHOON ISA (02W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 10 KNOTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RADAR DATA OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS INDICATES IT MAY HAVE BEGUN TO SLOW ITS FORWARD SPEED OF MOTION YET AGAIN. OUR FORECAST IS FOR TY ISA TO SLOW ITS FORWARD MOTION AND TURN NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. IT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS. AFTER CROSSING THE RIDGE AXIS TY ISA IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SLOWLY WEAKENING AND ACCELERATING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z6 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5), 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1), 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8) AND 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Apr 17 09:40:40 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id JAA02738 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 09:40:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102213-178>; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 09:40:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA137306; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 20:30:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5286245 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 20:30:25 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA53208 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 20:30:24 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id UAA47469 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 20:30:24 -0500 Message-ID: <199704170130.UAA47469@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Apr 1997 20:30:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -162030 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 35434 WTPN31 PGTW 170300 1. TYPHOON ISA (02W) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 11.5N7 143.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.5N7 143.3E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 12.1N4 142.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 12.8N1 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 13.9N3 141.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 15.0N6 141.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 18.8N7 142.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION 11.7N9 143.1E9 TYPHOON ISA (02W) IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM TO THE SOUTHWEST OF GUAM AND IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW SLIGHTLY AS IT GAINS LATITUDE AND INTENSIFIES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1), 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8), 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4) AND 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Apr 17 10:38:33 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id KAA03095 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 10:38:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102563-178>; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 10:38:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA02746; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 21:24:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5286652 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 21:24:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA232098 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 21:24:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA25556 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Apr 1997 21:22:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199704170222.VAA25556@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 16 Apr 1997 21:22:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 479 WTPS31 PGTW 170300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 161153Z AP R 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 161200) 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 34P WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 18.8S7 174.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.8S7 174.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 21.0S3 177.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 23.2S7 179.6W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 24.3S9 175.2W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 25.0S7 171.3W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION 19.4S4 175.5E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 34P HAS DEVELOPED IN THE SOUTHWEST PACIFIC APPROXIMATELY 165 NM TO SOUTHWEST OF FIJI. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY A T 16/2330Z INDICATES THAT THE CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST A T 13 KNOTS. INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM SATELLITE IMAGERY REFLECT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 KNOTS (DVORAK T# 2.5). THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED T O CONTINUE IN THIS DIRECTION FOR THE FIRST 24 HOURS, AFTERWARDS IT WILL INCREASE ITS FORWARD SPEED AND MOVE IN A MORE EASTWARD DIRECTION UNDE R THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG WESTERLY STEERING. ONCE ENTERING THIS WESTERL Y FLOW, IT IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE DUE TO INCREASING UPPERLEVEL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0) AND 180300Z2 (DTG 180153Z8). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 161153Z APR 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 161200).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Apr 17 13:06:04 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id NAA03914 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 13:06:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102202-178>; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 13:06:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA54184; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 00:01:46 -0500 Message-Id: <199704170501.AAA54184@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Apr 1997 00:00:03 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 15 Apr 1997 to 16 Apr 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 7 messages totalling 299 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Two (actually, 4) questions about SPC.. 2. Atmospheric violence 3. NWS cuts 4. FAA 604 Termination? 5. Updated FAQ: HURRICANES, TYPHOONS, AND TROPICAL CYCLONES 6. Tornado safety positioning 7. MORE BUDGET CUTS: FAA 604 feed shutting down +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 16 Apr 1997 00:57:00 -0500 From: Roger Edwards Subject: Re: Two (actually, 4) questions about SPC.. On Thu, 10 Apr 1997, Jeremy Charles (N9VHT) wrote: > 1) Have the overnight SPC staffing/product cuts been implemented? Not yet. >If not, > does anyone know when they will be implemented? Not yet. The victims have been chosen and notified; I imagine the product cuts would take effect when they (and the midnight shifts) actually depart, by all current accounts sometime in July. This, of course, as with all government-related time estimates, is subject to change. > 2) What is SPC's goal in issuing watches in terms of providing lead time > for a developing severe weather threat? There is no rigid goal, because it is so situationally dependent. SPC forecasting is not a cookbook exercise; and some situations are more subtle and/or difficult to pull the trigger on than others. Ideally (and I mean *ideally*), watch lead times would be measured in hours. I have no explanation at all for why southern WI (as opposed to NY, MD, FL, CO, or any other region) would see watches with shorter lead times during any given period. > stretched eastward covering the projected paths of the storms. Is this > apparent "weather watch based on observation" the goal, or simply a > stopgap for when something manages to slip by? If a watch is issued after a line of storms has developed, there are several possibilities, including: 1) Storms were expected to form and become severe, but there was a lot of uncertainty as to how long it would take. 2) Storms were expected to form and not become severe; but it was becoming apparent they would (or did). 3) Storms were expected to form and become severe; but there was a lot of uncertainty as to exactly *where* they would be once they became severe. 4) Storms were expected not to form; but if they did, they could become severe quickly...then they did develop, followed by a watch. 5) Storms were expected to form but not become severe until some time after formation; and the forecaster waited until severe was imminent to issue (in order to avoid false-alarming those in the non-severe area). 6) Storms were expected to form but not become severe until some time after formation; and the forecaster issued based on hard evidence (strengthening of storms on radar or even reports). 7) Storms were expected to form with very isolated and/or low-end severe; and the threat suddenly became more than just sparse or marginal. You may be able to tell from the watch discussion and/or preceding MCD which of those actually figured into it; but without actually being at the forecast desk and participating in the process in a given situation, it's just idle speculation. Given the time constraints imposed by such forecasts (e.g., conciseness=less typing, get them out ASAP despite multiple coordination calls, computer glitches, etc.), there usually is not much of a chance to delve deeply into the catacombs of forecast philosophy in the discussion section of the watch -- nor is the watch discussion necessarily intended to be very detailed. ------------------------- *** No disclaimer necessary; this is my personal account! *** "Gimme the @$#% camera! You have ===== Roger Edwards ===== no common sense at all!" ( ) Forecaster - former NSSL chase partner former NHC Forecaster :::::::::: http://www.wildstar.net/~tornado :::::::::: "I FEAST ON THE SMORGASBORD OF ATMOSPHERIC VIOLENCE." ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 16 Apr 1997 01:44:25 -0500 From: Roger Edwards Subject: Re: Atmospheric violence On Tue, 15 Apr 1997, Maneikis, Steven wrote: > For Roger Edwards > > On behalf of a couple severe weather fanatics who read this newsgroup > through my account, they wanted to know, since you "feed on the smorgasboard > of atmospheric violence", are you close to starvation this spring like they > are? > > Steve Maneikis-former meteorologist, hoping to be one again soon > (on behalf of Rich Barnes and Mark Gibson) Rich, Mark, and all others can be assured that I am not atmospherically malnourished yet; just eagerly awaiting the main course sometime in 5-22 May or 29 May - 15 June. [Now you all know when to chase: 23-28 May!] Although I haven't had a chase yet this year (latest ever for me during a year when I've lived full-time in the Plains), the spectacular LP supercell just out the window here in abNorman a couple weeks back was a nice appetizer of chips & salsa. Now, atmosphere: just gimme the big plate of enchiladas con chipotles -- extra-hot, dammit! :-) ---------------------- *** No disclaimer needed; this is my personal account! *** "I don't understand, meteorologically ===== Roger Edwards ===== or common-sensically, what the deal ( ) Forecaster is here!" ---former NSSL chase partner former NHC Forecaster :::::::::: http://www.wildstar.net/~tornado :::::::::: "I FEAST ON THE SMORGASBORD OF ATMOSPHERIC VIOLENCE." ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 16 Apr 1997 07:41:15 -0500 From: Dennis Gabler Subject: Re: NWS cuts De-lurk mode on. >One question: what >would be your reaction if one of your ex-employees went on this >listserver and criticized the way your company operates or make changes >(e.g. make comments about cuts in service, fears for loss of quality, >more likelihood of deaths)? What about a current employee doing the >same? Would you stand back and say nothing? Would you defend as >vigorously their right to free speech? Interesting... > If I felt strongly enough about it I would debate him in this public forum. We have an old saying in this country to the effect of "I do not agree with what you say sir. But I will defend to the death your right to say it!" Sometimes managment does need to be challenged, particularly when they have lost touch with the realities of the job. But at the same time it is understood managment is between a rock and a hard place. Anyway if management fears challenges, perhaps THEY should find another line of work. Now lets get back to weather...... Regards, Dennis Gabler -- Dennis Gabler --o--------------------------=o=--------------------------o-- | http://www.qsl.net/w5dg dennisg@microware.com W5DG___________________| W5DG@N0UXV.CIA.IA.USA.NA Principal Software Engineer Microware Systems Corp. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 16 Apr 1997 11:37:46 -0400 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: FAA 604 Termination? I have heard rumors that due to budget constraints, the FAA will disconnect the 604 line on or around June 16th. Can anyone confirm this? Boris A. Konon WSI Meteorological Operations ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 16 Apr 1997 15:50:16 -0400 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Updated FAQ: HURRICANES, TYPHOONS, AND TROPICAL CYCLONES Hi Wx-talkers, An updated version of: FAQ: HURRICANES, TYPHOONS, AND TROPICAL CYCLONES is available via the web at: http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/tcfaqHED.html New for this month..... Where can I get historical data of tropical cyclones? (Part II - updated for 1996 Northeast and North Central Pacific hurricane "best track" data) What are those track and intensity models that the Atlantic forecasters are talking about in the Inter-Governmental messages? (Part I - updated) Best regards, chris ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** "I myself have experienced only one real disaster, Hurricane Andrew, and it was considerably different from the disaster movies that I've seen. For one thing, in the movies, there's always some kind of romance interest; whereas after Hurricane Andrew, nobody in the affected area was able to take a shower for approximately two months. Everybody smelled like a cologne named Eau de Dead Goat. The most romantic thing people did during that time was refuel each other's generators." --- Dave Barry, 1997 ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 16 Apr 1997 18:27:25 CDT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: Re: Tornado safety positioning WXTALKers, I know this is a late reply, but... >From: City of Moore Emergency Management > >FEMA publication TR-83B, "Tornado Protection - Selecting and Designing >Safe Areas in Buildings", is the *only* reference I've ever been able >to find that even comes close to addressing the issue of where to place >people during storms. This booklet is essentially based on a study of >three schools destroyed during the April 3, 1974 outbreak (including >Xenia OH High School). "Damage to these buildings from the tornadoes >was examined by teams of specially trained architectural and >engineering faculty, the various building administrators, and >representatives of the architectural firm which designed the >buildings." It was prepared by the School of Architecture at Lawrence >Institute of Technology, with input from the Institute for Disaster >Research at Texas Tech. > >This publication makes the statement: > >"Wind tunnels occur in unprotected corridors facing the oncoming winds, >which usually come from the south or west. Openings facing these ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ >directions allow the winds to penetrate into interior spaces. The >winds apparently occupy almost the entire volume of such a wind tunnel, >as debris marks have been found to cover the full height of the walls." Wrong! When a tornado approaches from the southwest (as the Xenia tornado did), the first winds would be part of the radial inflow *into* the tornado (remember the "Twister tornado blow" debate?). This is exactly why the "go to the southwest corner of your basement" advice is now considered bad advice. Debris would be initially piled there by the inflow winds into the vortex (and then into the other corners as the wind shifted on the other side of the vortex). Of course, this publication is probably 2 decades old, but since it is may serve as the only reference for addressing the issue of tornado safety in buildings, I think it seriously needs to be updated. greg stumpf, NSSL ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 16 Apr 1997 11:03:28 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: MORE BUDGET CUTS: FAA 604 feed shutting down Does anyone know if this affects weather obs via Domestic Data Service? Looks like NOTAMS are gone with this as well... Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- > NOTICE TO ALL USERS ON THIS CIRCUIT (FAA 604). > > DUE TO BUDGET CONTRAINTS, THE FAA WILL DISCONNECT THIS > CIRCUIT (604 CIRCUIT) ON OR ABOUT JUNE 16, 1997. THIS WILL GIVE > ANY USER AT LEAST 60 DAYS TO SECURE THIS SERVICE ELSEWHERE. > THE PROGRAM MANAGER, FRANK BARON, AOP-400, DOES CONCUR > WITH THIS DECISION. > > THE NOTICE ALSO SAID THE FAA COST OF THE 604 CIRCUIT IS $10,210 > PER MONTH. > > AIR TRAFFIC OPS HAS SAID THAT THEY MUST APPROVE THE SHUTDOWN, > AND THEY WON'T UNTIL THEY KNOW HOW AIRLINES ARE GOING TO GET > THE 604 DATA. AOP-400 IS NOW LOOKING FOR ALTERNATE DISTRIBUTION > LINES. > > PLEASE SEND ME INFO ON YOUR USE OF 604, I.E., IS IT BACK UP, NOTAMS, > ETC. > > BILL SEARS/ATA WASHINGTON > 202-626-4007 ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 15 Apr 1997 to 16 Apr 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Apr 17 13:44:52 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id NAA04217 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 13:44:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102208-178>; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 13:45:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA110604; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 00:38:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5287944 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 00:38:15 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA220274 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 00:38:14 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA47585 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 00:38:14 -0500 Message-ID: <199704170538.AAA47585@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Apr 1997 00:38:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -170038 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 29918 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600Z APR 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/170151Z APR 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/170153Z APR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 170000Z8 TYPHOON ISA (02W) WAS LOCATED AT 11.5N7 143.3E1 MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 105 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 130 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON ISA (02W) WARNING NR 22 (WTPN31 PGTW 170300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 170000Z8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 34P WAS LOCATED AT 18.8S7 AND 174.9E1 MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 34P WARNING NR 01 (WTPS31 PGTW 170300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 170E8 HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 34P. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/EDSON/BOYER/MILLER/UROGI/CROSS// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Apr 17 15:48:47 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id PAA05045 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 15:48:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102208-178>; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 15:49:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA10538; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 02:39:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5288429 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 02:39:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA137410 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 02:39:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA28840 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 02:37:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199704170737.CAA28840@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Apr 1997 02:37:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 955 WTPS31 PGTW 170900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 34P WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- 20.3S5 176.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.3S5 176.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 22.9S3 179.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 24.3S9 175.8W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 25.2S9 171.2W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 25.5S2 167.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION 21.0S3 177.2E7 LATEST SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THAT TROPICAL CYCLONE 34P HAS INTENSIFIED SIGNIFICANTLY SINCE THE 170300Z WARNING. INTENSITY ANALYSIS FROM SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT MAXIMUM WINDS IN THE CENTER ARE BETWEEN 45 AND 55 KNOTS. THIS AGREES WITH RECENT SYNOPTIC DATA FROM BOTH NANDI AIRPORT (WMO 91680) AND A 40 KT SHIP REPORT TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. THUS, THIS ADDITIONAL WARNING IS ISSUED. JTWC WILL RESUME ISSUING 12 HOURLY WARNINGS BEGINNING WITH THE 171200Z WARNING. THIS WARNING INCREASES FORECAST WIND INTENSITIES, THE FORECAST TRACK REMAINS APPROXIMATELY THE SAME AS THE PREVIOUS WARNING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171200Z1 (DTG 171353Z0) AND 180000Z9 (DTG 180153Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Apr 17 15:59:38 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id PAA05068 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 15:59:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102270-178>; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 16:00:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA72270; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 02:53:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5288469 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 02:52:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA248360 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 02:52:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA28918 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 02:50:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199704170750.CAA28918@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Apr 1997 02:50:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 064 WTPS31 PGTW 170900 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 34P (IAN) WARNING NR 002A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- 20.3S5 176.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.3S5 176.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 22.9S3 179.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 24.3S9 175.8W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 25.2S9 171.2W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 25.5S2 167.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION 21.0S3 177.2E7 LATEST SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THAT TROPICAL CYCLONE 34P (IAN) HAS INTENSIFIED SIGNIFICANTLY SINCE THE 170300Z WARNING. INTENSITY ANALYSIS FROM SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT MAXIMUM WINDS IN THE CENTER ARE BETWEEN 45 AND 55 KNOTS. THIS AGREES WITH RECENT SYNOPTIC DATA FROM BOTH NANDI AIRPORT (WMO 91680) AND A 40 KT SHIP REPORT TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. THUS, THIS ADDITIONAL WARNING IS ISSUED. JTWC WILL RESUME ISSUING 12 HOURLY WARNINGS BEGINNING WITH THE 171200Z WARNING. THIS WARNING INCREASES FORECAST WIND INTENSITIES, THE FORECAST TRACK REMAINS APPROXIMATELY THE SAME AS THE PREVIOUS WARNING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171200Z1 (DTG 171353Z0) AND 180000Z9 (DTG 180153Z8). JUSTIFICATION FOR CORECTION: INCLUDES NAME OF TROPICAL CYCLONE.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Apr 17 16:29:38 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id QAA05159 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 16:29:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102205-178>; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 16:30:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA41126; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 03:17:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5288525 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 03:17:03 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA74368 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 03:17:02 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id DAA38953 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 03:17:01 -0500 Message-ID: <199704170817.DAA38953@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Apr 1997 03:17:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -170317 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 31526 WTPN31 PGTW 170900 1. TYPHOON ISA (02W) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- 11.9N1 142.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.9N1 142.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 12.9N2 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 13.9N3 141.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 15.1N7 141.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 16.3N0 141.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 20.0N2 142.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION 12.2N5 142.5E2 TYPHOON ISA (02W) IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM TO THE SOUTHWEST OF GUAM AND IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE SYSTEM IS STILL EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AS IT GAINS LATITUDE AND MOVES NORTHWARD TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8), 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4), 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6) AND 180900Z8 (DTG 180751Z2).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Apr 17 22:09:04 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id WAA07637 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 22:09:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102275-178>; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 22:09:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA173294; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 08:56:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5290234 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 08:55:56 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA30596 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 08:52:49 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id IAA47131 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 08:52:35 -0500 Message-ID: <199704171352.IAA47131@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Apr 1997 08:52:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -170852 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 55320 WTPN31 PGTW 171500 1. TYPHOON ISA (02W) WARNING NR 024 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 12.5N8 141.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.5N8 141.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 13.5N9 140.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 14.6N1 139.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 15.9N5 139.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 17.0N8 139.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 20.3N5 141.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION 12.8N1 141.4E0 TYPHOON ISA (02W) IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF GUAM MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. ISA HAS MOVED FASTER THAN FORECAST OVER THE PREVIOUS SIX HOURS BUT IS EXPECTED TO SLOW AS IT APPROACHES THE WEAK STEERING REGION ASSOCIATED WITH A BREAK IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. POSITION BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND GUAM RADAR FIXES. RADAR WILL NO LONGER BE ABLE TO FIX ON THE SYSTEM DUE TO ITS INCREASED DISTANCE FROM GUAM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4), 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6), 180900Z8 (DTG 180751Z2) AND 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Apr 17 22:59:27 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id WAA07951 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 22:59:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102467-178>; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 22:59:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA194212; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 09:40:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5290601 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 09:40:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA87118 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 09:40:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA06024 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 09:38:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199704171438.JAA06024@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Apr 1997 09:38:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 689 WTPS31 PGTW 171500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 34P (IAN) WARNING NR 003 RELOCATED. 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 19.7S7 176.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.7S7 176.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 21.4S7 178.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 22.7S1 179.8W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 23.9S4 176.8W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 24.8S4 173.1W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION 20.1S3 176.6E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 34P (IAN) IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS ENTERED A REGION OF SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE WEST. THIS IS EXPECTED TO ARREST THE INTENSIFICATION TREND AND BEGIN WEAKENING THE SYSTEM. A COMBINATION OF INFRARED AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THE THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEGUN TO SEPARATE FROM THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. WIND RADIUS HAS BEEN REDUCED BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA FROM FIJI (WMO 91678 AND 91680). WARNING HAS BEEN RELOCATED DUE TO A VECTOR FROM THE PREVIOUS TO THE CURRENT WARNING POSITION IS NOT REPRESENTATIVE OF SYSTEM MOTION. FUTURE WARNINGS WILL BE AT 12 HOUR INTERVALS AS INDICATED BELOW. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BY NAVPACMETOCCEN, PEARL HARBOR HI UNDER THE SAME MANOP HEADER (WTPS31 PGTW). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2 (DTG 180153Z8) AND 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Apr 18 12:08:26 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id MAA12745 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 1997 12:08:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102411-15757>; Fri, 18 Apr 1997 12:08:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA12082; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 15:02:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5291701 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 14:57:53 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA51518 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 14:50:22 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id OAA54338 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 14:50:15 -0500 Message-ID: <199704171950.OAA54338@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Apr 1997 14:50:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -171450 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 47423 WTPN31 PGTW 172100 1. TYPHOON ISA (02W) WARNING NR 025 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- 12.8N1 141.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.8N1 141.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 13.6N0 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 14.6N1 139.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 15.8N4 139.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 16.9N6 139.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 19.8N8 141.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 172100Z1 POSITION 13.0N4 141.1E7 TYPHOON ISA (02W) IS APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS SLOWED SINCE THE LAST WARNING DUE TO WEAK STEERING IN THE VICINITY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE BREAK. ISA IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWESTWARD, GRADUALLY TURNING TO THE NORTH AS IT APPROACHES THE RIDGE AXIS. ISA WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES UNDER THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE DUE TO WEAK SHEARING CURRENTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z7 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW 31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6), 180900Z8 (DTG 180751Z2), 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9) AND 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Apr 18 11:59:13 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id LAA12701 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 1997 11:59:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102436-15757>; Fri, 18 Apr 1997 11:59:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA54138; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 15:16:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5291778 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 15:16:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA165374 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 15:15:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA21367 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 15:13:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199704172013.PAA21367@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Apr 1997 15:13:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 310 WTPS31 PGTW 171500 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 34P (IAN) WARNING NR 003A RELOCATED. 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 19.7S7 176.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.7S7 176.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 21.4S7 178.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 22.7S1 179.8W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 23.9S4 176.8W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 24.8S4 173.1W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION 20.1S3 176.6E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 34P (IAN) IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS ENTERED A REGION OF SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE WEST. THIS IS EXPECTED TO ARREST THE INTENSIFICATION TREND AND BEGIN WEAKENING THE SYSTEM. A COMBINATION OF INFRARED AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEGUN TO SEPARATE FROM THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. WIND RADIUS HAS BEEN REDUCED BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA FROM FIJI (WMO 91678 AND 91680). WARNING HAS BEEN RELOCATED DUE TO A VECTOR FROM THE PREVIOUS TO THE CURRENT WARNING POSITION IS NOT REPRESENTATIVE OF SYSTEM MOTION. FUTURE WARNINGS WILL BE AT 12 HOUR INTERVALS AS INDICATED BELOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2 (DTG 180153Z8) AND 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1). REASON FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTION ISSUED TO INDICATE THAT NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM WILL RETAIN WARNING RESPONSIBILITY FOR TC 34P (IAN) UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. WARNINGS WILL CONTINUE AT 12 HOUR INTERVALS UNDER SAME MANOP HEADER (WTPS31 PGTW)// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Apr 18 10:08:47 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id KAA12017 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 1997 10:08:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102524-15757>; Fri, 18 Apr 1997 10:09:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA40932; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 20:56:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5296316 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 20:56:40 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA173690 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 20:56:39 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id UAA07301 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 20:56:38 -0500 Message-ID: <199704180156.UAA07301@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Apr 1997 20:56:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -172056 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 41602 WTPN31 PGTW 180300 1. TYPHOON ISA (02W) WARNING NR 026 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 13.1N5 140.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.1N5 140.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 14.1N6 139.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 15.2N8 138.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 16.5N2 138.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 18.0N9 139.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 20.5N7 141.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION 13.4N8 140.2E7 TYPHOON ISA (02W) IS CURRENTLY SOUTHWEST OF THE MARIANAS AND TRACKING TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 08 KNOTS. CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 115 KNOTS (DVORAK CI 6.0). WE EXPECT TYPHOON ISA TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME AS PREVIOUS WARNINGS. TYPHOON ISA IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE NORTHWESTWARD MOVEMENT EARLY IN THE FORECAST PERIOD BEFORE RECURVING AND MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST BY THE 72-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z9 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8 (DTG 180751Z2), 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9), 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5) AND 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Apr 18 10:31:29 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id KAA12146 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 1997 10:31:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102544-15757>; Fri, 18 Apr 1997 10:31:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA106206; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 21:23:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5296606 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 21:22:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA19262 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 21:22:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA27972 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Apr 1997 21:20:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199704180220.VAA27972@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 17 Apr 1997 21:20:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 173 WTPS31 PGTW 180300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 34P (IAN) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 20.8S0 179.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.8S0 179.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 21.5S8 177.6W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 22.8S2 174.4W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 24.6S2 171.6W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 26.7S5 168.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION 21.0S3 179.9W6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 34P (IAN) IS CURRENTLY MOVING TOWARDS THE EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 17 KNOTS. CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 172330Z6 SATELLITE INTENSITY ANALYSIS OF 55 KNOTS (DVORAK T3.5). THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY UNDER MODERATE WESTERLY SHEAR AND IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT CONTINUES ITS GENERALLY SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z9 IS 15 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). NEXT WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED BY NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI (SEE WHPS31 PHNC 181500). NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1)AND 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Apr 18 14:02:45 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA13570 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 1997 14:02:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102430-15757>; Fri, 18 Apr 1997 14:03:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA236458; Fri, 18 Apr 1997 00:52:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5298408 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Apr 1997 00:52:51 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA149888 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 1997 00:52:50 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA45272 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Apr 1997 00:52:49 -0500 Message-ID: <199704180552.AAA45272@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Apr 1997 00:52:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -180052 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 60885 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600Z APR 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/180151Z APR 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/180153Z APR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 180000Z8 TYPHOON ISA (02W) WAS LOCATED AT 13.1N5 140.5E0 MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 115 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON ISA (02W) WARNING NR 26 (WTPN31 PGTW 180300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 4N4 169E6. SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION SUPPORTED BY AN ASSOCIATED EQUATORIAL WESTERLY-WIND BURST. THE SUSPECT AREA IS CURRENTLY UNDER SIGNIFICANT UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 180000Z9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 34P WAS LOCATED AT 20.8S0 AND 179.3E0 MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 34P WARNING NR 04 (WTPS31 PGTW 180300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. WARNING NR 04 WAS THE LAST WARNING BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU) AND WARNING RESPONSIBILITY HAS BEEN PASSED TO NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES WILL BE PROVIDED UNDER THE MANOP HEADER (WHPS31 PHNC). B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: NICKLAS/SULLINS/MILLER/CROSS// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Apr 18 16:38:22 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id QAA14690 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 1997 16:38:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102517-15757>; Fri, 18 Apr 1997 16:38:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA77250; Fri, 18 Apr 1997 03:27:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5298795 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Apr 1997 03:27:02 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA133452 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 1997 03:27:01 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id DAA15409 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Apr 1997 03:27:01 -0500 Message-ID: <199704180827.DAA15409@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Apr 1997 03:27:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -180327 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 40750 WTPN31 PGTW 180900 1. TYPHOON ISA (02W) WARNING NR 027 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- 13.2N6 139.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N6 139.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 13.4N8 138.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 13.9N3 137.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 14.6N1 137.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 15.9N5 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 18.8N7 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION 13.2N6 139.4E7 TYPHOON ISA (02W) IS MOVING TO THE WEST AT 08 KNOTS IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS WARNINGS. WE EXPECT TYPHOON ISA TO MOVE TOWARDS THE WEST EARLY IN THE FORECAST PERIOD BEFORE TURNING TOWARDS THE NORTH WITHIN THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z5 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9), 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5), 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7) AND 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Apr 18 22:57:29 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id WAA17412 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 1997 22:57:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102208-15757>; Fri, 18 Apr 1997 22:57:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA112602; Fri, 18 Apr 1997 09:39:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5300763 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Apr 1997 09:39:34 -0500 Received: from dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.43]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA55858 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 1997 09:32:57 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA11869 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 1997 09:23:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id JAA30172 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Apr 1997 09:23:45 -0500 Message-ID: <199704181423.JAA30172@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Apr 1997 09:23:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -180923 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 29401 WTPN31 PGTW 181500 1. TYPHOON ISA (02W) WARNING NR 028 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 13.5N9 139.4E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N9 139.4E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 14.2N7 138.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 14.9N4 138.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 15.7N3 137.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 16.6N3 137.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 18.7N6 138.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION 13.7N1 139.2E5 TYPHOON ISA IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS IN THE PHILIPPINE. MOTION OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM HAS BEGUN ITS FORECAST TURN TOWARD THE NORTH. ISA HAS CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z2 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5), 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7), 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3) AND 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Apr 19 12:13:48 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id MAA22287 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 12:13:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102186-857>; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 12:14:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA194228; Fri, 18 Apr 1997 23:02:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5307974 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Apr 1997 23:02:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA194132 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 1997 23:00:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id WAA00691 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Apr 1997 22:58:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199704190358.WAA00691@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Apr 1997 22:58:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: Tropical Cyclone Warning (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 896 WHPS31 PHNC 190300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 34P (IAN) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 22.2S6 172.2W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 22 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.2S6 172.2W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 24.0S6 167.9W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 26.7S5 163.3W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 22.6S0 171.1W0 NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0). TROPICAL CYCLONE (IAN) 34P IS CURRENTLY MOVING TOWARDS THE EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 19 KTS. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BECOME EXPOSED WITHIN THE PAST 12 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO SHEAR AS IT INCREASES SPEED AND MOVES SOUTHEASTWARD. THIS SYSTEM WILL BECOME EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAX SEAS 14 FT AT 190000Z APR 97.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG79751090402 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Apr 19 13:04:02 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id NAA22609 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 13:04:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102349-857>; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 13:04:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA55988; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 00:02:35 -0500 Message-Id: <199704190502.AAA55988@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Apr 1997 00:00:38 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 17 Apr 1997 to 18 Apr 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 9 messages totalling 292 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Starship Oxnard 2. eta change notices 3. FAA data circuit cut: BOGUS! 4. NWS GETS SOME FUNDING (2) 5. LISTSERV Test Help Needed 6. winds in CA/AZ desert 7. PRESS RELEASE NWS CUTS 8. NWS Aviation Products cut/restored +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 18 Apr 1997 04:50:28 EDT From: "William T. Reid" <73551.2512@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: Starship Oxnard I was one of approximately 35 people who attended Thursday evening's meeting of the Ventura/Santa Barbara chapter of the American Meteorological Society. The meeting was held at the NWS office in Oxnard. Dave Gomberg led the "throng" into the forecast area, and we were treated to a demonstration of many of the fine tools at the disposal of the NWS staff. It was a great meeting, it was a warm and crowded meeting. Upon arriving home, I found the last part of the LAX forecast discussion (issued during the meeting and inserted below) quite humorous---- >NEW DRIER ETA DOES NOT BODE WELL FOR THE PARTLY CLOUDYS LATER FRI >AND EARLY SAT BUT HAVE NOT SEEN X SXNS OR NTRANS RH FIELDS SO DO >NOT JUST WANT TO MAKE CHANGES WILLY-NILLY. > >SFC GRADS DO INCR SO BREEZY LUK GUD. > >AT LAST REPORT WAY TOO MANY AMS MEMBERS HAVE BREACHED SHIELDS OF >STARSHIP OXNARD...OXYGEN AND OTHER VITAL LIFE FUNCTIONS DIMINISHING >AT AN ASTONISHING RATE. > >ALL POPS ZERO. RORKE. William Reid Woodland Hills, CA CompuServe 73551,2512 ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 18 Apr 1997 08:36:15 EDT From: Kenneth Richard Cook Subject: Re: eta change notices > > Does anyone know where the best place is to find notices of changes to the > NCEP production suite (especially the eta model)? I find bits and pieces > here and there, but NCEP must have an official site where they are posted (?) > > Roy Spencer > Huntsville, Alabama > (Global warming research-R-us) > Yes, try the EMC homepage at: http://nic.fb4.noaa.gov:8000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- "We hold these Truths to be self-evident, that all Men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty, and the Pursuit of Happiness... " The Declaration of Independence, July 4, 1776 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 18 Apr 1997 08:44:38 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: FAA data circuit cut: BOGUS! Wx-talkers, and those with a vested interest in the FAA 604 data circuit... Several days ago I sent out a memorandum from the FAA stating that the 604 data circuit would be discontinued. As it turns out, I have confirmed that it was a joke that went horribly wrong and eventually not only made it's way to the data vendors, but to the data circuit as well, which I get at work. I apologize for the inconvenience, and let's just say some FAA folks are REALLY ticked off about this happening (not to mention me!). Again, there are *NO* plans being discussed to discontinue the FAA 604 data feed; it was a joke in response to the budget cuts that went way too far. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 18 Apr 1997 09:09:55 -0500 From: Phil Brammer Subject: NWS GETS SOME FUNDING On Thu, 17 Apr 1997, Rick McCoy wrote: > Although, this figure of $715,000. is coming back and Congressman Shaw from > Florida has intruduced the bill going after another $10 million, the bottom > line is, "THATS NOT ENOUGH!" If we see the figure of $42 million flash > before our eyes (which is the figure they are now using as the magic fix-it > number), then we'll be happy. Until then, a degradation of services will > begin to spread across this nation and lives and property will be lost. You know, I see this $42 million dollar figure, and I begin to think to myself, isn't that about the cost of a couple of stealth bombers that the government is so hyped on making? I think a couple of F-16's or something of the sort could match the power of one stealth plane. They may get detected on enemy radar, so what, isn't that why we have the best Air Force and Navy? Just some thoughts. Phil ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 18 Apr 1997 10:13:12 -0500 From: Peter Laws Subject: Re: NWS GETS SOME FUNDING On Fri, 18 Apr 1997, Phil Brammer wrote: > You know, I see this $42 million dollar figure, and I begin to think to > myself, isn't that about the cost of a couple of stealth bombers that the > government is so hyped on making? I think a couple of F-16's or something So naive. :-) The defence contractors have lobbyests and PACs. Those lobbiests (sp?) and PACs "contribute" to the CONgresspeoples' campaigns (in other, less civilized countries this is known as bribery). The representatives then make sure that said contractors are taken care of. If the NWS wants to be "taken care of", then they should "show them the money", them being CONgress. Very simple, really. -- Peter Laws / plaws@wildstar.net ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 18 Apr 1997 16:09:19 CST From: Chris Novy - WA9V Subject: LISTSERV Test Help Needed I am testing some evaluation LISTSERV software from LSoft and need some help loading down my system. I have created a mirror image of the WX-STORM group on my local LISTSERV and need to have some people subscribe and see if the software works. I'm hoping that the Windows NT software will be much faster than our UNIX system and eventually plan to move the WX-***** lists to this new system (if we end up purchasing it). To subscribe to the mirror WX-STORM list send e-mail to: LISTSERV@SKYWARN.LIB.SIU.EDU with the following command as the only line of text in your message: sub wx-storm YourFirstName YourLastName My LISTSERV will mail you a confirmation letter asking you to reply back to LISTSERV@SKYWARN.LIB.SIU.EDU with the work "OK" followed by a six digit code that LISTSERV will provide you with. Once subscribed, you can send additional messages to LISTSERV to adjust your sub-topic options. As with the real WX-STORM list, the default topics are ALL topics. LISTSERV should mail you a list of topics and how to adjust your options. If you are already subscribed to WX-STORM@PO.UIUC.EDU you might want to send a "SET NOMAIL" command for that list, set your topics on the new WX-STORM list to something other than what you are presently receiving on the old list, or go ahead and receive duplicate mailings for a while and compare the differences in receipt time between my system and the UIUC LISTSERV. NOTE: This is a test system so if you are *depending* upon receipt of WX-STORM information you may want to stay subscribed to WX-STORM@PO.UIUC.EDU for now. Please report any problems to me. ..Chris.. --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. Phone: (618)453-1683(w) or (618)457-6149(h) Morris Library MC:6632 FAX: (618)453-3440 Systems Administration Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 18 Apr 1997 13:07:33 -0400 From: "Tracey A. Edwards" Subject: Re: winds in CA/AZ desert On Thu, 10 Apr 1997, Robert P Dale wrote: > At 05:06 PM 4/10/97 -0400, Tony Cristaldi wrote: > >Paul Britton Jr. wrote: > >> Winds over the CA/AZ deserts are currently in the 20-30 mph range. > >Good God! Now the answers to those annoying AOL "What will the weather > >be like in East Podunk next week?" questions are starting show up here! > > Looks like Mr Britton, Jr thought all the readers on the list would be > interested in his answer... In the future -- if you want to answer AOLers > do it in email! > > Rob Mr. Britton showed courtesy and good taste in his reply to the AOLers. I'm sure they had no idea that they were stepping on anyones toes. The least you can do is to show the same courtesy. If you have a problem with Mr. Britton I suggest you take it up with him in private. I have no desire to read your petty complants. Being polite and pleasant is essential to effective communication. (This would have been a private message, but I felt that it would benefit the group as a whole) Tracey Edwards PS, The weather in Lake City is cool and breezy. The low this morning was 42 with an expected high of 68. Tommorows low is expected to be 38 in my backyard with the possibility of frost in low lying areas. Keep warm! :-) ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 18 Apr 1997 23:18:53 -0400 From: Rick McCoy Subject: PRESS RELEASE NWS CUTS Americans United issued the following press release this afternoon in response to the current NWS shortfall and the $715,000 restored to the Weather Service. It is as follows: Money found by Commerce Secretary William Daley to fill a $45 million hole in the National Weather Service's budget is merely "a finger in the dike," said a nationwide organization which is pressing Washington to fill huge holes in the nation's public safety net. "The $715,000 found by Commerce Secretary Daley does little to fund the National Weather service at proper levels and we want America's taxpayers to know that they remain in severe jeopardy from Washington's misguided budget ax," said Rick Mccoy, president of Americans United to Maintain Weather Service Funding. "This is just a finger in the dike, and it is only a matter of time when the dam breaks and our Weather Service completely collapses." McCoy, who has advocated that Weather Service forecasters be allowed to sign a waiver indemnifying them from impacts the $45 million deficit will have on public safety, has asked the White House and Congress to fully restore the Weather Service's budget. "With a budget deficit of $45 million, the $715,000--which will be dedicated to fill positions at the National Hurricane, Aviation, and Storm Prediction Centers--is a drop in the bucket", he said. "This will not placate the American public. We are not letting Washington off the hook on this one." McCoy has the support of many of the nation's emergency managers, local officials, and weather professionals and is leading a nationwide effort to keep this issue on the front burner. "The Weather Service cannot exist with budget deficits year after year," he concluded. "With the lives we are putting at risk in fiscal 1997, the public should be told how the security of this nation will be jeopardized in future budgets." ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 18 Apr 1997 19:20:12 -0500 From: Dick Williams Subject: NWS Aviation Products cut/restored WX-Talkers... Several days ago I posted notice of aviation product cuts that were scheduled to take place on June 2nd. The affected products were the Convective Sigmets, Area Forecasts and low level SIG WX graphics charts distributed by difax and vendors. We received word yesterday, Thursday 4-17-97, that funds would be restored to the Aviation Weather Center to permit staffing at the levels needed to continue these products. Thus, no product interruption for the remainder of this fiscal year - through Sep 30, 97. Thanks to those who wrote and emailed their concerns about these products. Your support was and is important in keeping Congress informed about the importance of 24 hour a day coverage in all sections of the AWC. Dick Williams rjw@sky.net Kansas City MO ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 17 Apr 1997 to 18 Apr 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Apr 19 15:32:49 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id PAA23753 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 15:32:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102380-857>; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 15:33:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA84332; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 02:24:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5309010 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 02:23:43 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA257142 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 02:23:42 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id CAA22325 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 02:23:41 -0500 Message-ID: <199704190723.CAA22325@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Apr 1997 02:23:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -190223 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 7474 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600Z APR 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/190151Z APR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0 TYPHOON ISA (02W) WAS LOCATED AT 14.2N7 148.5E8 MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 115 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON ISA (02W) WARNING NR 30 (WTPN31 PGTW 190300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 4N4 169E6 IS NOW NEAR 8N8 160E4. SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION SUPPORTED BY AN ASSOCIATED EQUATORIAL WESTERLY-WIND BURST. THE SUSPECT AREA IS CURRENTLY UNDER SIGNIFICANT UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 24 HOURS NEAR 12N3 169E6. MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AT THIS LOCATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY ALSO SHOWS AN EXCELLENT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW ANTICYCLONE. SYNOPTIC DATA IS SPARSE IN THIS REGION BUT THIS AREA IS BEING ENHANCED BY THE EQUATORIAL WESTERLY WIND BURST MENTIONED ABOVE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10-15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: NICKLAS/DEOCARIZA/TIRSCHEL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Apr 19 16:06:38 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id QAA23871 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 16:06:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102258-857>; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 16:07:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA111400; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 02:54:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5309225 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 02:54:20 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA40968 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 02:54:19 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id CAA38204 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 02:54:19 -0500 Message-ID: <199704190754.CAA38204@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Apr 1997 02:54:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -190254 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 56377 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600Z APR 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/190151Z APR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0 TYPHOON ISA (02W) WAS LOCATED AT 14.2N7 148.5E8 MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 115 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON ISA (02W) WARNING NR 30 (WTPN31 PGTW 190300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 4N4 169E6 IS NOW NEAR 8N8 170E4. SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION SUPPORTED BY AN ASSOCIATED EQUATORIAL WESTERLY-WIND BURST. THE SUSPECT AREA IS CURRENTLY UNDER SIGNIFICANT UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 24 HOURS NEAR 12S3 169E6. MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AT THIS LOCATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY ALSO SHOWS AN EXCELLENT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW ANTICYCLONE. SYNOPTIC DATA IS SPARSE IN THIS REGION BUT THIS AREA IS BEING ENHANCED BY THE EQUATORIAL WESTERLY WIND BURST MENTIONED ABOVE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10-15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: LATITUDE OF DISTURBANCE IN PARAGRAPH 2. COORDINATES SHOULD BE 12S3 169E6. FORECAST TEAM: NICKLAS/DEOCARIZA/TIRSCHEL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Apr 19 21:28:18 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id VAA25914 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 21:28:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102451-857>; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 21:28:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA242270; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 08:19:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5310517 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 08:19:43 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA152812 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 08:19:42 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id IAA45451 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 08:19:41 -0500 Message-ID: <199704191319.IAA45451@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Apr 1997 08:19:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -190819 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 55176 WTPN31 PGTW 191500 1. SUPER TYPHOON ISA (02W) WARNING NR 032 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- 15.3N9 138.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.3N9 138.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 16.1N8 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 17.1N9 138.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 18.3N2 138.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 19.4N4 138.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 22.0N4 139.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION 15.5N1 138.0E2 UPGRADED TO SUPER TYPHOON ISA (02W). ISA (02W) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. CONTINUED SLOW MOVEMENT TO THE NORTH IS ANTICIPATED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6), 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9), 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5) AND 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Apr 19 22:36:51 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id WAA26548 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 22:36:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102451-857>; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 22:37:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA111394; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 09:30:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5311205 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 09:30:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA194768 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 09:30:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA08490 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 09:27:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199704191427.JAA08490@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Apr 1997 09:27:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SE: Tropical Cyclone Warning (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 250 WHPS31 PHNC 191500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 34P (IAN) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHEASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- 22.2S6 168.2W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 085 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 22.2S6 168.2W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 23.0S5 163.9W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION 22.4S8 167.1W5 THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING BY NAVPACMETOCCEN. SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR REGENERATION. TROPICAL CYCLONE 34P (IAN) IS CURRENTLY MOVING TOWARDS THE EAST AT 20 KTS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO UNDERGO SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING. LATEST METSAT DATA INDICATES THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EXPOSED AND STRONG SHEARING HAS DISPLACED IT 195 NM NORTHWEST OF THE NEAREST DEEP CONVECTION. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAX SEAS 13 FT AT 191200Z APR 97.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG96031091435 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Apr 20 03:25:18 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id DAA28344 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 1997 03:25:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102444-857>; Sun, 20 Apr 1997 03:25:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA254644; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 14:17:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5313465 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 14:17:17 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA154198 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 14:17:16 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id OAA55554 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 14:17:15 -0500 Message-ID: <199704191917.OAA55554@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Apr 1997 14:17:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -191417 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 56575 WTPN31 PGTW 192100 1. SUPER TYPHOON ISA (02W) WARNING NR 033 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- 16.0N7 137.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N7 137.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 17.0N8 137.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 17.9N7 137.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 19.0N0 138.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 20.1N3 138.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 22.4N8 139.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION 16.3N0 137.8E9 SUPER TYPHOON ISA (02W) HAS MAINTAINED ITS INTENSITY OF 135 KNOTS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9), 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5), 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2) AND 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Apr 20 09:59:30 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id JAA00937 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 1997 09:59:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102167-6487>; Sun, 20 Apr 1997 09:59:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA228420; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 20:52:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5315531 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 20:52:34 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA67882 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 20:52:05 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id UAA07643 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 20:52:04 -0500 Message-ID: <199704200152.UAA07643@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Apr 1997 20:52:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -192052 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 26840 WTPN31 PGTW 200300 1. TYPHOON ISA (02W) WARNING NR 034 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- 16.6N3 137.7E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.6N3 137.7E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 17.7N5 137.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 18.8N7 137.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 19.8N8 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 20.9N1 138.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 23.0N5 139.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION 16.9N6 137.7E8 SUPER TYPHOON ISA (02W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AND IS NOW ESTIMATED TO BE 145 KNOTS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SUPER TYPHOON IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWARD WITH SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION OVER NEXT 12 HOURS BEFORE IT BEGINS A WEAKENING TREND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 31 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5), 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2), 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8) AND 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Apr 20 10:44:17 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id KAA01343 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 1997 10:44:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102169-6487>; Sun, 20 Apr 1997 10:44:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA72388; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 21:38:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5315827 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 21:38:01 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA160942 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 21:38:00 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id VAA56307 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Apr 1997 21:38:00 -0500 Message-ID: <199704200238.VAA56307@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 19 Apr 1997 21:38:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -192137 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 24304 WTPN31 PGTW 200300 COR 1. SUPER TYPHOON ISA (02W) WARNING NR 034 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- 16.6N3 137.7E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.6N3 137.7E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 17.7N5 137.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 18.8N7 137.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 19.8N8 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 20.9N1 138.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 23.0N5 139.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION 16.9N6 137.7E8 SUPER TYPHOON ISA (02W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AND IS NOW ESTIMATED TO BE 145 KNOTS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SUPER TYPHOON IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWARD WITH SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION OVER NEXT 12 HOURS BEFORE IT BEGINS A WEAKENING TREND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 31 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5), 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2), 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8) AND 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0). JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CHANGE FROM TYPHOON TO SUPER TYPHOON ON LINE 1.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Apr 20 13:07:02 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id NAA02262 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 1997 13:07:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102469-6487>; Sun, 20 Apr 1997 13:07:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA186794; Sun, 20 Apr 1997 00:04:53 -0500 Message-Id: <199704200504.AAA186794@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Apr 1997 00:00:02 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 18 Apr 1997 to 19 Apr 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 3 messages totalling 166 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. NWS Aviation Products cut/restored 2. Maxon Wx-70 Tone Alert Wx Radio - Consumer Alert! 3. An Open letter to the Weather Channel +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 19 Apr 1997 00:13:30 -0500 From: Roger Edwards Subject: Re: NWS Aviation Products cut/restored On Fri, 18 Apr 1997, Dick Williams typed: > We received word yesterday, Thursday 4-17-97, that funds would be restored > to the Aviation Weather Center to permit staffing at the levels needed to > continue these products. Thus, no product interruption for the remainder > of this fiscal year - through Sep 30, 97. > > Thanks to those who wrote and emailed their concerns about these products. > Your support was and is important in keeping Congress informed about > the importance of 24 hour a day coverage in all sections of the AWC. I second Dick's thanks, and also offer sincere appreciation to all of you who have fought so hard to keep SPC and NHC from being lacerated also. Your voices were loud and were *heard*! But the battle is not over. This all will likely come up again, and soon: The next fiscal year begins in October; and as alluded to here earlier, NWS faces major budget shortfalls which could (as this fiscal year's almost did) cause forecasts of dangerous weather to go away. I implore everyone reading this to keep fighting, but now for Fiscal Year 1998 funding. You are the customers of these forecasts; and your efforts will let those who are in power know how important tornado, hurricane and aviation forecasts are to you. [Employer not named, as usual...] --------------- ***No disclaimer necessary; this is my personal account!*** "Stop, for the sake ===== Roger Edwards ===== of my sanity!" ( ) Forecaster -- 2 chase partners, 5 years apart former NHC Forecaster :::::::::: http://www.wildstar.net/~tornado :::::::::: "I FEAST ON THE SMORGASBORD OF ATMOSPHERIC VIOLENCE." ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 19 Apr 1997 13:39:14 -0700 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: Maxon Wx-70 Tone Alert Wx Radio - Consumer Alert! Speaking only for myself I hereby submit this product review of the aforementioned junk. The Maxon WX-70 Weather Monitor with "Automatic Alert" looked good on paper! -All 7 NOAA Weather Radio frequencies. -3 alert modes. -External Antenna Jack. -12 DC jack or 120 VAC power supply -9V battery "back-up". -Only $29.95 at my local Best Buy electronics retailer. This thing has the lousiest reception of any weather radio I have yet seen! I mean this thing is -useless-. An absolute shame and a warning device IMHO I wouldn't trust for one second! I live 31 miles from the transmitter for the NWSFO at Sullivan Wisconsin. The Maxon WX-70 received only weak audio transmissions with horrific background noise. I knew I was in trouble when I saw that the "external antenna" jack was an RCA phono plug! I dutifully got a phono/BNC adapter from the local "RAD Shack" and tried a dual band 2m/70cm antenna and a 5/8 wave mobile antenna. The reception got -worse- through "external antenna" jack than the already miserable whip supplied with this thing. Okay, I took it back and exchanged for a second one. The exact same thing. I can get clear reception from NWSO Sullivan with the following radios with only the supplied whip/duckie antennas, -AOR 1000XLT Scanner -Yaesu FT-50R Dual Band HT (7" Ducky @ S6!) -3 channel Radio Shack Wx-radio. -3 channel Radio Shack "Pocket Tone Alert" radio. The Maxon WX-70 is a disaster! I tried out two of these and they -stink-! Thanks for the opportunity to vent! ************************************************************************* 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA Milwaukee Area Skywarn Assoc./Milwaukee-Waukesha A.R.E.S./IL Multi-County Warning System E-Mail, bkopp@execpc.com Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" my severe weather and SKYWARN home page! SFTS! http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 18 Apr 1997 13:41:09 GMT From: Robert Strauss Subject: An Open letter to the Weather Channel Letter to the Weather Channel Date: April 18, 1997 From: Bob Strauss [strauss@wcu.edu] Subject: You have embarrassed yourselves Dear Weather Channel: Earlier this week, I thought I was seeing things. Your maps showed high temperatures in the 40s, for the southern Appalachians (western North Carolina) for Thursday and Friday. I hoped this was a generalized error, but on Wednesday night, there was a weather alert for the NC mountains: low temperatures of 25 degrees and winds of 25 mph for a wind chill of near zero! And some information on high temperatures Thursday, in the "low 40s"! This might be true above 6000', but most of us here, live below 3000' (mostly at 2000'-2500', in fact). You need to correct your forecasts. This time of year, for this area to have a high temperature in the 40s, it would have to be cloudy all day. Perhaps a drippy "back-door front" might do the trick. But we are south of Raleigh, here, and the sun is simply too warm to "allow" mere 40s for late April high temperatures. So what I am suggesting is that to avoid embarrassing yourselves in the future, you hire a climatologist. NOT a meteorologist. This is not sacrilege, I hope. You need someone with a spatial, and temporal, perspective. Someone who looks at this weather and says "It has not set records on the way to NC, so it will NOT set any records once it gets here." No, I do not want the job: I am very happy living in the mountains, and though I have training in climatology, and was assistant State Climatologist in Texas, for four years, I do not want to live in Atlanta. But you need someone with this kind of training: someone who can ignore the models, and look at the (past) facts. What has happened before, so what is likely to happen now. I really love you guys (male and female). I watch you for "too many hours a day" according to my wife. But you really need to do a better job with climatology. Look into hiring someone from a geography program, NOT with a degree in meteorology. Otherwise you will model yourselves out of business. Respectfully, Bob Strauss c/o Hunter Library Western Carolina University Cullowhee, NC [strauss@wcu.edu] ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 18 Apr 1997 to 19 Apr 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Apr 20 14:23:31 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA02688 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 1997 14:23:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102328-6487>; Sun, 20 Apr 1997 14:23:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA183646; Sun, 20 Apr 1997 01:14:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5317190 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Apr 1997 01:14:48 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA58184 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 1997 01:14:47 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id BAA60589 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Apr 1997 01:14:46 -0500 Message-ID: <199704200614.BAA60589@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Apr 1997 01:14:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -200114 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 29866 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600Z APR 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/200151Z APR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2 SUPER TYPHOON ISA (02W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.6N3 137.7E8 MOVING NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 145 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 175 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON ISA (02W) WARNING NR 34 (WTPN31 PGTW 200300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 8N8 160E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5N5 160E7. SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION SUPPORTED BY AN ASSOCIATED EQUATORIAL WESTERLY-WIND BURST. THE SUSPECT AREA IS CURRENTLY UNDER SIGNIFICANT UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. OVERALL CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12S3 169E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14S5 175E3. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. WHILE ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW DIFFLUENT ANTICYCLONIC UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW OVER THE DISTURBANCE, CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY HAS DIMISHED AND BECOME LESS ORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/BOYER/DEOCARIZA/UROGI// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Apr 20 16:32:25 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id QAA03602 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 1997 16:32:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102446-6487>; Sun, 20 Apr 1997 16:32:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA158598; Sun, 20 Apr 1997 03:21:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5317805 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Apr 1997 03:21:00 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA216422 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 1997 03:20:59 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id DAA50533 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Apr 1997 03:20:59 -0500 Message-ID: <199704200820.DAA50533@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Apr 1997 03:20:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -200320 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 8034 WTPN31 PGTW 200900 1. SUPER TYPHOON ISA (02W) WARNING NR 035 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- 17.3N1 137.6E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N1 137.6E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 18.7N6 137.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 19.9N9 137.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 21.1N4 138.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 22.2N6 138.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 24.2N8 139.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION 17.7N5 137.6E7 SUPER TYPHOON ISA (02W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE NORTHWARD AND BEGIN A WEAKENING TREND AS IT MOVES WITHIN A STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z IS 31 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2), 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8), 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0) AND 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Apr 20 21:23:11 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id VAA05292 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 1997 21:23:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102414-6487>; Sun, 20 Apr 1997 21:23:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA119098; Sun, 20 Apr 1997 08:15:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5318722 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Apr 1997 08:15:44 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA106528 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 1997 08:15:43 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id IAA52918 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Apr 1997 08:15:42 -0500 Message-ID: <199704201315.IAA52918@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Apr 1997 08:15:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -200815 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 60595 WTPN31 PGTW 201500 1. SUPER TYPHOON ISA (02W) WARNING NR 036 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- 18.1N0 137.6E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.1N0 137.6E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 19.4N4 137.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 21.0N3 138.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 22.5N9 138.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 23.8N3 139.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 26.6N4 142.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION 18.4N3 137.6E7 SUPER TYPHOON ISA (02W) IS TRACKING NORTHWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. SUPER TYPHOON ISA IS SHOWING SIGNS THAT IT IS BEGINNING TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. WE EXPECT STY ISA TO CONTINUE THIS WEAKENING TREND THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND TO TURN TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 31 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8), 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0), 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6) AND 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Apr 21 10:09:17 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id KAA10421 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 1997 10:09:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102512-6355>; Mon, 21 Apr 1997 10:09:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA43608; Sun, 20 Apr 1997 21:00:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5324928 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Apr 1997 20:59:46 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA189766 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 1997 20:59:44 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id UAA35268 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Apr 1997 20:59:42 -0500 Message-ID: <199704210159.UAA35268@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 20 Apr 1997 20:59:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -202059 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 50625 WTPN31 PGTW 210300 1. TYPHOON ISA (02W) WARNING NR 038 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- 20.0N2 137.7E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.0N2 137.7E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 22.4N8 138.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 24.7N3 140.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 27.0N9 143.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 23 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 29.4N5 148.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 36.7N6 157.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 210300Z3 POSITION 20.6N8 137.9E0 TYPHOON ISA (02W), DOWNGRADED FROM SUPER TYPHOON, IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 330 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA AND IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE TO THE NORTHEAST AND WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO A STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. THE TYPHOON IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BY 240000Z. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6), 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3), 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9) AND 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Apr 21 13:10:50 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id NAA11819 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 1997 13:10:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102526-6355>; Mon, 21 Apr 1997 13:11:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA256808; Mon, 21 Apr 1997 00:06:33 -0500 Message-Id: <199704210506.AAA256808@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Apr 1997 00:00:59 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 19 Apr 1997 to 20 Apr 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 9 messages totalling 397 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. FUNDING NOAA 2. My Site Rating Tornado- & Hurricane-based web pages 3. Wx Channel 4. Discovery Channel to feature Air Force weather units 5. NOTAM's on the net??? 6. What the...?!?! (4) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 20 Apr 1997 12:23:06 EDT From: Mark Widerstrom Subject: Re: FUNDING NOAA SORRY ABOUT THE CAPS FOLKS BUT I HAVE LOW VISION. I HAVE A STORY IN MY COMPUTER OFF THE NEWS WIRES THAT SHOULD GET EVERYONE IN THE US. MAD AS HECK. FIRST YOU SEE THE US. GOVERNMENT CLOSING NEEDED OPERATIONS LIKE THE WEATHER SERVICE AND THEN THE HURRICANE SERVICE BY CUTTING STAFFS AND THINGS OF THIS NATURE. THEN IN MY NEWS SERVER I SEE A PERKS OR PORK THINGS ABOUT HOW YOU AND I HAVE BEEN TAXED SO SENATORS AND CONGRESSMAN AND OTHERS IN THE GOVERNMENT CAN GO PLAY GOLF ON THE GOLF COURSES AND WE HAVE TO PAY TAXES FOR ANIMAL INSURANCE TO PROTECT THESE PEOPLES ANIMALS IN CASE THEY ARE INJURED ON THE GOLF COURSE. (ANIMAL INSURANCE). THESE ARE THINGS THAT THESE PEOPLE HAVE TAXED YOU AND MAYBE THOUSANDS OF OTHER THINGS SO THEY DONT HAVE TO WORRY ABOUT ANYTHING, CUASE YOU ARE TXED FOR THEM. THEN THE SAME GOVERNMENT WANTS YOU TO LOOSE EMERGENCY AND NEEDED SERVICES AND THREATEN YOUR VERY LIVES AND HERE WE STILL HAVE TO PAY MILLIONS AND MORE TO PAY FOR THEIR DOGS AND CATS ON THE GOLF COURSE. I HAVE THE NEWS ITEM IN MY EMAIL IM GOING TO TRY TO FIGURE OUT A WAY TO FOWARD IT OVER HERE SO YOU ALL CAN SEE HOW THE US GOVERNMENT IS SCREWING YOU AND I AND PUTTING OUR LIVES AT STAKE MARK ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 20 Apr 1997 13:32:13 -0400 From: Rob Porter Subject: My Site Rating Tornado- & Hurricane-based web pages Sorry For the Cross-Post... Recently, I approached a few of you via e-mail about using some of your images on your web sites for an assignment I was working on here at Brock University in Canada. This assignment was to construct a web page which rated other sites out on the internet using pre-determined criteria, on the topic Tornadoes and Hurricanes. This page is now finished, and I invite you all to take a look at it. The URL of this document is: http://www.cosc.brocku.ca/~rp94an/ Some of the sites which I have rated [without bias :)] are: The WX-TOR and WX-TROPL mailing lists http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser.html http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ http://www.weathercenter.com/ http://www.wildstar.net/~doswell/ http://www.citi-net.com /george/hurricane.html http://www.usatoday.com/weather/whur0.htm http://cc.usu.edu/~kforsyth/Tornado.html http://www.cwbol.com/hurr.html http://www.spiderhsv.com/ARC/tornado.htm http://www.tornadoproject.com/ news:sci.geo.meteorology As well as some FTP, Gopher, and Telnet sites. If any of these sites received a poor rating, it's nothing personal...The grounds for each rating are found above each rating. Comments are always appreciated. I have designed this page for use on Netscape, so I am unsure of how it will appear with other browsers. Thanks to all of you who gave me permission to use the chosen images on my site...The notice of copyright and references located on the page I hope are sufficient. Thanks, Rob Porter ___________________________________ Rob Porter 3rd Year BSc in Physical Geography Brock University, Ontario, Canada http://badger.ac.brocku.ca/~rp94an/ rp94an@badger.ac.brocku.ca porter@freenet.npiec.on.ca ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 20 Apr 1997 14:12:12 -0500 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: Wx Channel >Date: Fri, 18 Apr 1997 13:41:09 GMT >From: Robert Strauss >Subject: An Open letter to the Weather Channel > >Letter to the Weather Channel >Date: April 18, 1997 >From: Bob Strauss [strauss@wcu.edu] > >Subject: You have embarrassed yourselves > >Dear Weather Channel: > >Earlier this week, I thought I was seeing things. Your maps showed >high temperatures in the 40s, for the southern Appalachians (western >North Carolina) for Thursday and Friday. > < Good stuff snipped > >Look into hiring someone from a geography program, NOT with >a degree in meteorology. Otherwise you will model yourselves >out of business. > Bob, Although I have many problems with the WX Channel, I felt compelled to respond to your comments since they provide a perfect example of folks trying to get too much information out of something that is not designed for that purpose. The fact that a former "assistant State Climatologist in Texas, for four years" can fall into the same trap as John Q. Public shows the depth of the problem. Users of the WX Channel products must understand the limitations of those products before they attempt to use them for a particular purpose. The WX Channel national-scale graphics are not meant to be applied to a particular spot. They are meant to provide a generalized overview of the weather on a national scale. Much smoothing goes on at that scale to make the maps look "pretty". This smoothing will eliminate many small scale and "climatological" effects. This overview is not meant to be a "forecast" for any particular spot. The forecast for YOUR AREA that is broadcast by the Wx Channel is the NWS zone forecast. The problem is not meteorological vs. climatological, it is product design. This kind of mis-application of information is not unique to the Wx Channel. Many farmers in Florida got burned this past winter trying to use TV weather forecasts for frost/freeze protection. Others tried to use the general zone forecasts. Internet "surfers" use raw output from various numerical models available at many university WWW sites as a "forecast". A large majority of the population thinks that a return on a radar graphic automatically means its raining at that spot. All these are examples of trying to use products in ways they are not designed to be used. The only solution to this problem is education. Understanding how a product is made, what its purpose is, and how it should be used, should have greater emphasis in the meteorological community. The Wx Channel, to their credit, does attempt to do some of this. They are in the tough position of attempting to explain an extremely complex science in a way that the general public can understand. Simplification is a necessity. You may also notice that they also use words such as "Outlook" instead of "Forecast", which implies a difference in "precise-ness". I would suggest to Bob, and others, that they should expect from the Wx Channel what the Wx Channel is trying to provide... a good source of general weather information. If your needs are more specific than what the Wx Channel can provide, then don't criticize the Wx Channel... look for another source that can provide what you need! ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. sadams@awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 20 Apr 1997 21:05:09 -0500 From: Chris Blanch Subject: Discovery Channel to feature Air Force weather units This is a multi-part message in MIME format. ------------731D320D1EF01 Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Discovery Channel to feature Air Force weather units SCOTT AIR FORCE BASE, Ill. (AFNS) -- The Discovery Channel will feature the Air Force Combat Weather Center and the 45th Weather Squadron in the television program "Discovery Magazine" to air May 14. The Air Force Combat Weather Center segment was filmed at Hurlburt Field, Fla., in February. The segment titled "Weather Warriors," will give audiences an inside view of weather operations during Operation Desert Storm, combat weather training operations and state-of-the-art equipment used in weather operations during combat operations. The 45th Weather Squadron, Cape Canaveral Air Station, Fla., will be highlighted in a segment titled "Through the Eye of the Storm." The segment was filmed during a recent space shuttle launch and focuses on weather support for NASA's shuttle program. Two other segments of the program, "Forecast for Murder" and "Laboratory Earth," will focus on the use of forensic meteorology in criminal investigations and on meteorological solutions to negative effects on our environment. The program will initially air May 14 at 9 p.m. EDT and PDT. It airs again at midnight the same day. A repeat airing is scheduled for May 17. Interested viewers in Central and Mountain time zones should check their May 14 and May 17 television listings for "Discovery Magazine" local air times. -- --------------------------------- Chris Blanch - USAF WX FORECASTER ((( E-Mail ))) mailto:wxchris@minotafb.ndak.net ((( WWWeather Homepage ))) http://minot.ndak.net/~wxchris/ --------------------------------- ------------731D320D1EF01 Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Content-Description: Card for Blanch, Chris (Home) Content-Disposition: attachment; filename="nsmailPQ.TMP" Content-Type: text/x-vcard; charset=us-ascii; name="nsmailPQ.TMP" BEGIN:VCARD FN:Blanch, Chris (Home) N:Blanch;Chris (Home) EMAIL;INTERNET:wxchris@minotafb.ndak.net X-MOZILLA-HTML:T END:VCARD ------------731D320D1EF01-- ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 20 Apr 1997 21:33:05 -0500 From: Chris Blanch Subject: NOTAM's on the net??? This is a multi-part message in MIME format. ------------620B53D32F214 Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Is there anywhere on the internet/ftp etc... to get NOTAMS for free or are they all pay services? If anyone knows of any sites/addresses please email me with them if it wouldn't be too much of a bother. Thanx in advance for any and all help. --------------------------------- Chris Blanch - USAF WX FORECASTER ((( E-Mail ))) mailto:wxchris@minotafb.ndak.net ((( WWWeather Homepage ))) http://minot.ndak.net/~wxchris/ --------------------------------- ------------620B53D32F214 Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Content-Description: Card for Blanch, Chris (Home) Content-Disposition: attachment; filename="nsmail5T.TMP" Content-Type: text/x-vcard; charset=us-ascii; name="nsmail5T.TMP" BEGIN:VCARD FN:Blanch, Chris (Home) N:Blanch;Chris (Home) EMAIL;INTERNET:wxchris@minotafb.ndak.net X-MOZILLA-HTML:T END:VCARD ------------620B53D32F214-- ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 20 Apr 1997 22:17:22 -0500 From: "Jeremy Charles (N9VHT)" Subject: What the...?!?! I just got the below preliminary local storm report from Sullivan (MKE)... Does anyone know anything about this? I didn't even know there was any serious convective activity in WI today! (Just some heavy rain cells that passed through Dane County this afternoon/evening.) 0830 PM 5 NE CITY OF JEFFERSON WI TORNADO 04/20/97 JEFFERSON *** 4 DEAD, 10 INJ *** REPORTED BY HAM (Note that the above report came in a message which also contained an LSR dated June of 1996... I wonder if something funky is going on over at Sullivan?) -Jeremy C. (N9VHT) South-Central Wisconsin SKYWARN NCS & Training Coordinator Madison Area Repeater Association Vice President & Swapfest '98 Coordinator n9vht@skywarn.cs.wisc.edu Online SKYWARN logging: http://www.cs.wisc.edu/~jeremyc/skywarn ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 20 Apr 1997 22:21:25 -0500 From: "Jeremy Charles (N9VHT)" Subject: Re: What the...?!?! A few moments ago, I wrote... > (Note that the above report came in a message which also contained an LSR > dated June of 1996... I wonder if something funky is going on over at > Sullivan?) Pardon me.. Make that July of 1996. Below is the complete LSR for those playing along at home. ---------- Forwarded message ---------- Date: Sun, 20 Apr 1997 22:10:37 -0500 From: WI WX Gateway To: Subscribers for LSR Subject: LSR: PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT WWUS30 KMKE 210307 LSRMKE PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI 1005 PM CDT SUN APR 20 1997 TIME(CDT) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... ....COUNTY LOCATION.... 0805 PM HIGHWAYS 18 AND 67 WI 2.75 INCH HAIL 07/18/96 WAUKESHA BASEBALL SIZE HAIL REPORTED BY SHERIFF 0830 PM 5 NE CITY OF JEFFERSON WI TORNADO 04/20/97 JEFFERSON *** 4 DEAD, 10 INJ *** REPORTED BY HAM WOLF... ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 20 Apr 1997 23:49:40 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: What the...?!?! At 10:21 PM 4/20/97 -0500, Jeremy wrote: >> (Note that the above report came in a message which also contained an LSR >> dated June of 1996... I wonder if something funky is going on over at >> Sullivan?) > >Pardon me.. Make that July of 1996. Below is the complete LSR for those >playing along at home. How about this one... * WWUS30 KMKE 210311 COR *** LSRMKE PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI 1005 PM CDT SUN APR 20 1997 .......THE PREVIOUS LOCAL STORM REPORT WAS A TEST...THERE IS NO SEVERE WEATHER IN WISCONSIN...REPEAT... THERE IS NO SEVERE WEATHER IN WISCONSIN... ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 20 Apr 1997 22:53:21 -0500 From: "Jeremy Charles (N9VHT)" Subject: Re: What the...?!?! On Sun, 20 Apr 1997, Robert P Dale wrote: > How about this one... > > * WWUS30 KMKE 210311 COR *** > LSRMKE Hmmm.. didn't see that one because the * before the WWUS header threw off the filtering. Looks like I have a slight adjustment to make. :) Thanks Rob! -Jeremy C. (N9VHT) South-Central Wisconsin SKYWARN NCS & Training Coordinator Madison Area Repeater Association Vice President & Swapfest '98 Coordinator n9vht@skywarn.cs.wisc.edu Online SKYWARN logging: http://www.cs.wisc.edu/~jeremyc/skywarn ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 19 Apr 1997 to 20 Apr 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Apr 21 14:28:05 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA12447 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 1997 14:28:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102516-6355>; Mon, 21 Apr 1997 14:28:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA265826; Mon, 21 Apr 1997 01:19:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5327754 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Apr 1997 01:19:51 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA243204 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 1997 01:16:28 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id BAA56306 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Apr 1997 01:16:27 -0500 Message-ID: <199704210616.BAA56306@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Apr 1997 01:16:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -210116 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 9967 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z APR 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210151Z APR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z2 TYPHOON ISA (02W) WAS LOCATED AT 20.0N2 137.7E8 MOVING NORTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 125 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON ISA (02W) WARNING NR 38 (WTPN31 PGTW 210300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 160E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8N8 158E4. VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT. UPPER AIR SOUNDING DATA FROM POHNPEI (WMO 91348) AND WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE DISTURBANCE REMAINS WITHIN A MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. CONVECTION HAS INCREASED SUBSTANTIALLY IN AREAL COVERAGE OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS, BUT REMAINS MOSTLY DISORGANIZED. CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INCREASE, ESPECIALLY OVERNIGHT AND DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 12N3 151E7. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A PERSISTENT, SMALL (120 NM DIAMETER), AND WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. WHILE THIS DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED WITHIN A STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT, CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE DISTURBANCE CONTINUES TO FLARE IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS, THEN WEAKEN DURING THE DAY. OVERALL CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION IS POOR AT THIS TIME. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5 175E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15S6 175E3. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. WHILE ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW DIFFLUENT DIFFLUENT ANTICYCLONIC FLOW OVER THE DISTURBANCE, CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY REMAINS WEAK AND MOSTLY DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/BOYER/DEOCARIZA/UROGI// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Apr 21 16:20:49 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id QAA13312 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 1997 16:20:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102565-6355>; Mon, 21 Apr 1997 16:21:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA33288; Mon, 21 Apr 1997 03:02:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5328385 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Apr 1997 03:02:33 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA245748 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 1997 03:02:33 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id DAA51449 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Apr 1997 03:02:32 -0500 Message-ID: <199704210802.DAA51449@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 21 Apr 1997 03:02:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -210302 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 45046 WTPN31 PGTW 210900 1. TYPHOON ISA (02W) WARNING NR 039 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- 21.0N3 138.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.0N3 138.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 23.3N8 139.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 25.4N1 141.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 27.8N7 145.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 26 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 30.9N2 149.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 38.0N1 157.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION 21.6N9 138.3E5 TYPHOON ISA (02W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD AND WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO A STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. THE TYPHOON IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY 240000. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3), 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9), 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1) AND 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Apr 22 13:10:34 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id NAA21757 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 1997 13:10:33 +0800 X-Warning: Original message contained 8-bit characters, however during the SMTP transport session the receiving system was unable to announce capability of receiving 8-bit SMTP (RFC 1425-1428), and as this message does not have MIME headers (RFC 1341) to enable encoding change, we had very little choices. X-Warning: We ASSUME it is less harmfull to add the MIME headers, and convert the text to Quoted-Printable, than not to do so, and to strip the message to 7-bits.. (RFC 1428 Appendix A) MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: TEXT/PLAIN; charset=UNKNOWN-8BIT Content-Transfer-Encoding: QUOTED-PRINTABLE Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102564-26570>; Tue, 22 Apr 1997 13:11:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA04096; Tue, 22 Apr 1997 00:05:09 -0500 Message-Id: <199704220505.AAA04096@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 22 Apr 1997 00:01:05 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 20 Apr 1997 to 21 Apr 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 9 messages totalling 460 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Another black eye for hams 2. National Sky Awareness Week Begins!!!! 3. Sat images update 4. Rain/snow delineation on Doppler radar composites 5. GOES K launch 6. NWS Fargo evacuated... 7. Looking for definition of and reference to "nocturnal jet" 8. AOL4FREE Trojan horse update... 9. New stuff on College of DuPage NEXLAB homepage! +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 21 Apr 1997 01:18:30 -0500 From: "Morgan G. Palmer" Subject: Another black eye for hams Here is another example of an inaccurate wind estimate prompting an false warning. I think a more beneficial policy might be to simply have the spotter report the damage/effects of the winds, rather than try to estimate the winds in the field. The NWS folks should infer the wind speed based on this report. I wager there was a lot of cussin' going on at the New Braunfels office after this! Morgan Palmer, KC5GPG Austin/Travis County, TX ARES mpalmer@mail.utexas.edu ----------------------------- THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING EFFECTIVE UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING LOCATION... IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS ...LAVACA COUNTY AMATEUR RADIO OPERATORS REPORT WINDS OF 60 MPH IN HALLETTSVILLE ASSOCIATED WITH A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. ----- SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 1140 PM CDT SUN APR 20 1997 THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR LAVACA COUNTY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE REPORT OF 60 MPH WINDS WAS ERRONEOUS. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 21 Apr 1997 08:59:09 +0000 From: "H. MICHAEL MOGIL" Subject: National Sky Awareness Week Begins!!!! Press Release for National Sky Awareness Week -- April 20-26, 1997 __________________________________________________________________ Contact: Mike Mogil FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE (301) 762-SNOW April 16, 1997 LOOK UP! IT'S SKY AWARENESS WEEK The 7th Annual Sky Awareness Week will be celebrated across the country April 20-26, 1997. Sky Awareness Week (SAW) encourages people around the world to look up and take notice of the sky. "We launched Sky Awareness Week to help everyone gain a broader understanding and appreciation of the sky," said meteorologist H. Michael Mogil, one of the organizers of the annual celebration. "Simply b= y looking up we can learn how to read the sky, understand the various processes of the sky such as rainbows and sky colors, and appreciate the sky's natural beauty." This year nearly two dozen schools will participate in a sky data exchange program using electronic mail and the Internet. Students in states from Hawaii to Maine will collect daily weather and sky observations and post them for all other participants to observe. "Students around the country will collect sky cover, sky color and ultraviolet data observations," said SAW co-founder Barbara G. Levine. "Then the students can graph the data, exchange stories about thei= r local weather events with other schools in the program, and self-discove= r much about the weather around them." Mogil also will post daily SAW questions and answers on the Internet. The questions allow teachers, parents, home schoolers, students an= d others to share in exploring the sky. The questions and answers and othe= r SAW information is avaible on the HOW THE WEATHERWORKS Internet home page at: http://www.weatherworks.com "But you don't have to be a student or teacher to appreciate th= e sky," added Mogil. "Anyone can and should look up during Sky Awareness Week and year-round." Sky Awareness Week falls during the same week as National Science and Technology Week, National Mathematics Awareness Week and Earth Week, creating further links to science-math environmental education. Since SAW began in 1991, 43 states and the District of Columbia have issued proclamations to support the program. SAW also is celebrated by the National Weather Service, the National Weather Association, the National Science Teachers Association, the National Science Foundation, Polaroid Corporation, Dutch Boy Paints, Sunsor, USA Today and the Weather Channel. Rockville, Md.-based HOW THE WEATHERWORKS is an educational weather consulting company dedicated to providing high-quality educational weather services for teachers and students from pre-school through high school. Additional information about the company is available on the Internet at: http://www.weatherworks.com ### -- Mike Mogil weather educator HOW THE WEATHERWORKS 1522 Baylor Avenue Rockville, MD 20850 301-762-SNOW hmmogil@weatherworks.com http://www.weatherworks.com ****** ****** ****** ****** "Science is a journey...not a destination!!!" ****** ****** ****** ****** ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 21 Apr 1997 09:20:44 -0600 From: Greg Thompson Subject: Sat images update Please, please, refrain from e-mailing me concerning the disruption of satellite images on NCAR-RAP's Realtime Weather Data homepage. Our sat= ellite receiver box has died. It took a few days to figure that out and now a replacement has been ordered. I hope it will arrive soon but we are likely to continue out of commission for at least another couple days. We will get things back up as soon as we can. The images at our site (http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satellite.html) are from midnight April 16th. When we come back online, I'll e-mail a short note to wx-talk. Thanks for your patience. --Greg Thompson webmaster of NCAR-RAP Realtime Weather Data pages http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 21 Apr 1997 09:47:35 -0600 From: "Ricketts,Steve [Edm]" Subject: Rain/snow delineation on Doppler radar composites I've noticed on a few sites, on the Doppler radar composites, that the info is colour-coded by pcpn type (e.g. rain/snow.. even freezing pcpn, I believe). Look nice! I was wondering how this is done. Is this using actual echo data? Or using the vertical temp profile and/or surface data reports? One problem I see with the former is that the pcpn may be snow at the elevation it is being sensed at, but it melts to become rain by the tim= e it reaches Mother Earth. +---------------------------------------------------------------------+ | Steve Ricketts | Manager, Northern Alberta Environmental Services Centre | Environment Canada's Prairie and Northern Region, Edmonton, AB | Phone (403)951-8788 FAX 495-2615 e-mail: Steve.Ricketts@ec.gc.ca +---------------------------------------------------------------------+ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 21 Apr 1997 11:34:48 -0500 From: "Linda Miller (by way of Chris Novy )" Subject: GOES K launch KSC Release No.: 63-97 LAUNCH OF GOES-K WEATHER SATELLITE SCHEDULED FOR APRIL 24 The launch of the GOES-K weather satellite for NASA and the Nat= ional Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) aboard a Lockheed Martin Atlas 1 rocket (AC-79) is scheduled for April 24. Liftoff is targeted to occur at the opening of a launch window which extends from 1:50 - 3:09 a.m. EDT, a duration of one hour and 19 minutes. Launch will occu= r from Pad B at Complex 36 on Cape Canaveral Air Station. GOES-K is the third spacecraft to be launched in the new advanc= ed series of geostationary weather satellites for NOAA. The spacecraft is a three-axis internally stabilized weather satellite which has the dual capability of providing pictures while performing atmospheric sounding at the same time. Once in orbit the spacecraft is to be designated GOES-10. AC-79 marks the final launch of an Atlas 1 rocket, a derivative= of the original Atlas Centaur developed by NASA which had its first successful launch in 1963. Future launches of GOES weather satellites in the current series will be on Atlas II vehicles. -2- NASA/NOAA Prelaunch Press Conference The prelaunch press conference will be held at the NASA News Ce= nter at KSC on Tuesday, April 22 at 1 p.m. EDT. Participating in the briefing will be: Floyd Curington, NASA Launch Manager, Kennedy Space Center Pat Symons, NASA Launch Vehicle Manager, Lewis Research Center Sy Baker, Director, Atlas Launch Operations, Lockheed Martin Martin Davis, GOES Project Manager, Goddard Space Flight Center Gerry Dittberner, GOES Program Manager, NOAA Susan Zevin, Deputy Director for Operations, National Weather Service Joel Tumbiolo, Launch Weather Officer, 45th Weather Squadron, USAF A post launch news conference is not planned. Launch Day Press Coverage On launch day, media covering the event should assemble at the = Gate 1 Pass and Identification Building on Cape Canaveral Air Station located on State Road 401. The convoy to Press Site 1 will depart at 12:30 a.m= . Those who wish to cover the prelaunch press conference and the = launch of GOES-K should send a letter of request on news organization letterhead. Include the names and Social Security numbers of those desiring accreditation. Letters should be faxed to 407/867-2692 or may be addressed to: GOES-K Launch Accreditation NASA PA-MSB Kennedy Space Center, FL 32899 GOES-K/AC-79 mission badges may be picked up at the NASA News C= enter beginning on Monday, April 21. Badges may also be obtained on launch day at the Gate 1 Pass and Identification Building starting at 12:15 a.m. To obtain a badge, proper media identification must be presented, or a letter requesting accreditation should be sent in advance to the NASA News Center. On launch day, a GOES-K/AC-79 mission badge is required for all media covering the launch from Press Site 1. No other badges can be honored. Remote Camera Placement On Wednesday, Apr. 23 at 9 a.m., a bus will depart from the NAS= A News Center for Complex 36 for media photographers who wish to establish remote cameras at the pad. There will be no access or transportation from Gate 1 for remote camera set-ups. Atlas-1 Photo Opportunity A photo opportunity of the Atlas 1 vehicle at launch pad Pad 3= 6-B will be available for press representatives at the time of tower rollback. Media wishing to participate will depart from the Gate 1 Pass and Identification Building on Cape Canaveral Air Station at 10:15 p.m. NASA News Center Overnight Hours for Launch The NASA News Center at KSC will open on launch day at 12 midni= ght and remain open until a successful mission has been confirmed. This is expected to be known within one hour following launch. NASA Television Coverage NASA Television will carry live the GOES-K/AC-79 Prelaunch Pres= s Conference on Tuesday, April 22 starting at 1 p.m. On launch day, April 24, video programming will begin at 12:15 = a.m. EDT. Launch commentary will begin at 12:30 a.m. and continue until a successful mission can be confirmed. Audio only of the prelaunch press conference and the launch cov= erage will be carried on the NASA "V" circuits which may be accessed by dialing 407/867-1220 -240 -260. NASA Television is available on the GE-2 satellite, Transponder= 9C, located at 85 degrees West. Status Reports Recorded status reports on the launch of GOES-K/AC-79 will be a= vailable on the KSC news media codaphone starting on April 21. The telephone number is 407/867-2525. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 21 Apr 1997 13:57:44 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: NWS Fargo evacuated... ** WWUS35 KMSP 211750 *** SPSMSP MNZ004>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-212100- SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 1250 PM CDT MON APR 21 1997 ...ATTENTION USERS OF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PRODUCTS FROM GRAND FORKS NORTH DAKOTA... DUE TO THE FLOODING DISASTER PUBLIC...AVAITION...HYDROLOGIC AND SEVERE WEATHER FORECASTING RESPONSIBILITY WILL BE DISTRIBUTED TO NEIGHBORING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES. THIS TRANSITION WAS TAKEN TO INSURE STABLE COMMUNICATIONS AND WILL RESULT IN THE CONTINUATION OF TIMELY AND ACCURATE SERVICE TO THE COMMUNITY. PLEASE ADHERE TO THESE TELEPHONE NUMBERS DURING THE TRANSFER. PUBLIC 701-223-4582 MILLE ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 21 Apr 1997 20:47:50 EDT From: "Daniel D. Salkovitz" Subject: Looking for definition of and reference to "nocturnal jet" I'm looking for a definition of and a reference to the "nocturnal jet". Also, its occurrence in the eastern U.S. I checked the AMS Glossary but did not find it, to my surprise. -- \\ ----- // ---- \\ -- Dan Salkovitz \\ - WeatherDan@juno.com \\ - dsalkovi@pen.k12.va.us // - ddsalkovit@deq.state.va= .us // - dsalkovi@mnsinc.com ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 21 Apr 1997 20:54:18 -0400 From: Craig Newell Subject: AOL4FREE Trojan horse update... MSNBC on the internet http://www.msnbc.com It=92s a hoax! It=92s a threat! It=92s both! An e-mail myth, and a pesky Trojan horse By Alan Boyle MSNBC =A0 AOL4FREE, the Internet phenomenon that started out as software for hacking a free America Online account and was transformed into a myth about an e-mail virus, has surfaced in yet another incarnation: a downloadable Trojan horse program that could pose a real threat to your computer. =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 The DOS/Windows program, labeled AOL4FREE.COM and distributed over the Internet, can delete all files on a user=92s hard = drive if it is executed, a bulletin from the U.S. Department of Energy=92s Compu= ter Incident Advisory Capability said Thursday. =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 In recent weeks, AOL4FREE was turned into an Internet h= oax along the lines of the =93Good Times=94 e-mail virus story. Repeatedly forwar= ded e-mail alerts warned recipients not to open e-mail messages with AOL4FREE in the subject line, saying that doing so would damage the user=92s computer. =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 In response, security experts repeated assurances that = merely opening a plain-text e-mail message will not activate a rogue program. But a computer program attached to e-mail is a different matter altogether, a= nd in the past few days such an attachment has been making the rounds over th= e Internet, said Bill Orvis, a member of the CIAC team. =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =93We=92re wondering how many reports of the AOL4FREE h= oax might be attributed to this thing,=94 Orvis said. He said CIAC received a cop= y of the rogue program from one of its victims and confirmed the problem. =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =93We=92ve seen the hoax going around for several weeks= now, and this program and another one from another source just showed up yesterday,=94 Orvis said. =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 Orvis said the =93trivially simple=94 program =93does a= really nice job of cleaning out your system, if you want to clean out your root drive.=94 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 The novelty of AOL4FREE.COM is sociological rather than technological, in that the name of the program piggybacks on the report= s about the AOL4FREE e-mail virus hoax. =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 Orvis and other computer security experts say that Inte= rnet users should not run downloadable programs they receive from unfamiliar sources, and that even software from trusted sources should be scanned using anti-virus software. Antivirus programs may not detect AOL4FREE.COM and its cousins, however, since such Trojan horse programs do not qualify as viruses in the classic sense. =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =93Most anti-virus vendors do not scan for Trojan horse= s, although given the notoriety of this one, they may include this one,=94 Orvis said. http://www.msnbc.com/news/69568.asp ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 21 Apr 1997 16:48:45 -0500 From: "Gil Sebenste (by way of Chris Novy )" Subject: New stuff on College of DuPage NEXLAB homepage! Hello wx-talkers and chasers, The College of DuPage weather crew now have some excellent high-resolut= ion satellite pictures on their homepage (4KM, updated hourly), from most quadrants of the country, including "chaser alley"! They also have a VERY cool SPC (Storm Prediction Center) page, includin= g the Day 1 and Day 2 severe weather outlooks in PLAIN ENGLISH if you so desire, and they have images of the Day 1 and 2 outlooks with the previous one placed under the current one, so you can see how things have changed since the last issuance of the outlook. There's also a ton of new surface maps and model forecasts. Check it ou= t! http://weather.cod.edu Gilbert ***********************************************************************= ***** *** Gilbert Sebenste *******= **** College of DuPage Computer Technician *******= ** Internet: sebenste@weather.cod.edu *******= ** Phone: (815)-335-2213 (W) *****= * (815)-756-1931 (H) **= * Usual disclaimer: These are the opinions of the author only. * ***********************************************************************= ***** *** ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 20 Apr 1997 to 21 Apr 1997 ************************************************** From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Apr 23 13:21:03 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id NAA08319 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 1997 13:21:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102791-29715>; Wed, 23 Apr 1997 13:21:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA213086; Wed, 23 Apr 1997 00:08:51 -0500 Message-Id: <199704230508.AAA213086@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Apr 1997 00:01:37 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 21 Apr 1997 to 22 Apr 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 8 messages totalling 312 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. ATTENTION ALL STORM MACHINE USERS... 2. Precipitation type/radar data & other unique products/data 3. ngm/model data 4. GOES information 5. Looking for definition of and reference to "nocturnal jet" 6. BAD data? 7. Storm machine 8. Budget cuts +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 22 Apr 1997 09:31:30 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: ATTENTION ALL STORM MACHINE USERS... I am moving the Storm Chaser Homepage STORM MACHINE to better serve you and to reduce the load it puts on our server during mega-outbreaks (if you have seen the weather maps this morning for Thursday, you'll understand why I am doing this now). By 5 PM Central U.S. time today (and hopefully by Noon CT), the new URL will be: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ I thank you for your continued support, apologize for the inconvenience and ask that you please update your bookmarks/links. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 22 Apr 1997 09:09:59 -0600 From: Ben Bernstein Subject: Precipitation type/radar data & other unique products/data Steve and others, I've created a product which show radar echo intensity and precipitation type, like you have described, and am running it in real time on my web page. The product uses the 1-6 VIP level values at each pixel to indicate intensity and the nearest METAR observation(s) to indicate precipitation type. These observations will provide the best indication of actual precipitation type, rather than a system purely based on temperature or model generated sounding structures. More information is available on my page. http://www.rap.ucar.edu/largedrop/national.html The product is available in the "Radar Data" section and is listed as "National Radar Data - Including Precipitation Type" An explanation of how the product works is given under "What are these radar products?" Regional plots for Denver and Cleveland are also available on special pages set up for these areas. You can find links to them at the top of the page. I've been considering creating a series of regional pages to cover the entire country. There are many other products on my "national" page, including: 1) A gridded map of current precipitation type and cloud cover purely from surface observations. Listed under "Current precipitation and cloud cover" An ASCII text file of the latest METARs for the US and Canada is also available. Apparently this is useful for ingestion into Tim Vasquez's (?) program for PCs. 2) Plots of pilot reports which include icing intensity, icing type, aircraft type (quite a valuable data piece of information), and icing altitudes. On a national scale there is an option to show them without altitude and aircraft type to help avoid clutter. A quick and easy way to look at PIREPs without the traditional special symbols for intensity and type. 3) Satellite data - links to images from Greg Thompson's page 4) Experimental aircraft icing algorithm data. 5) Current text AIRMETs and SIGMETs. Regional pages (Denver, Cleveland & Ottawa only for now) also include: 1) Regional icing PIREP plots. 2) Regional satellite data - via Greg Thompson 3) Regional radar plots - including precipitation type 4) Regional surface and souding data - also via Greg 5) Text model output from the ETA, NGM and MRF 6) Text NWS foercast discussions, local forecasts and warnings. 7) Text METARs, PIREPs and TERMINAL FORECASTS by state. Some of the products on these pages were designed for wintertime and aircraft icing, in particular, but many should be useful year round. Ben Bernstein Research Applications Program National Center for Atmospheric Research Boulder, CO email: bernstei@rap.ucar.edu ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 22 Apr 1997 11:57:28 -0500 From: "Mathew L. Powers" Subject: ngm/model data Is NCEP still having problems with FTP'ing, etc? We did not seem to get any of the NGM/ETA 12z runs this morning. We also had a problem with getting this mornings upper air data. Thanks in advance.. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Matt Powers: powers@weather.cod.edu I still use my 630/942-2590 colored pencils! College of Dupage/NEXLAB (near Chi-town) http://weather.cod.edu Multi-County Skywarn http://weather.cod.edu/skywarn and Ob's at RFD for fun ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 22 Apr 1997 15:27:10 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: GOES information Good story about the future of weather satellites on Florida Today: Satellite will boost hurricane tracking By Todd Halvorson FLORIDA TODAYCAPE CANAVERAL, Fla. -- With two crucial weather satellites in orbit and a backup set for launch Thursday, forecasters will be better equipped than ever this year to track hurricanes when the season begins June 1. But a panel of experts says Congress and the federal government must free money for replacement spacecraft now or risk having to forecast in the blind early next century. "This country depends on up-to-the-minute satellite data to provide information for severe weather warnings," said retired aerospace executive George Gleghorn, chairman of a recent National Research Council study on future weather satellite needs. "Plans to provide uninterrupted coverage appear solid, but they won't be successful if there are not enough satellites available as needed," he said. [...] Full story at http://www.flatoday.com/space/today/042297b.htm ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 22 Apr 1997 21:41:57 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: Looking for definition of and reference to "nocturnal jet" On Apr 21, 8:47pm, Daniel D. Salkovitz wrote: > I'm looking for a definition of and a reference to the > "nocturnal jet". Also, its occurrence in the eastern U.S. I > checked the AMS Glossary but did not find it, to my surprise. Ah, the AMS Glossary...copyright 1959. Fear not however -- a revised edition is in the works I understand. I recently was asked to compile a collection of satellite meteorology terms to be included in the revised edition (you'll note that the 1959 edition predates the post-1960 era of satellite meteorology). As for nocturnal jets, I'd recommend consulting "The Carolina Nocturnal Low-Level Jet: Synoptic Climatology and a Case Study", by Sjostedt et al, _Weather and Forecasting_, Volume 5, Sep. 1990, pp 404-415. In a nutshell, nocturnal jets can form anywhere, but are most frequent (here in the US) along the OK/KS border in Spring and late Summer; they usually form near the tops of nocturnal inversions (below about 1 km AGL); surface winds are often decoupled from this jet, and can actually be calm. -Scott -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS FIRSTT | CIMSS/University of Wisconsin-Madison ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 22 Apr 1997 20:12:05 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: BAD data? Anyone see if I am missing something? I don't seems to see a G125 anywhere before, on, or after the event? ** WWUS30 KSHV 221806 COR *** LSRSHV PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED FORMAT AND UPDATED FOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE SHREVEPORT LA...FATALITIES... 100 PM CDT THU APR 22 1997 TIME(CDT) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... ....PARISH LOCATION.... 0808 AM BARKSDALE AFB LA 144 MPH TSTM GUST 04/22/97 BOSSIER WIND GUST TO 125 KNOTS REPORTED ON BAD METAR. ALSO RECORDED ON GUST RECORDER. KBAD 221234Z 35008KT 2SM -SHRA BR BKN007 OVC020 17/17 A2956 KBAD 221255Z 03010KT 2SM -SHRA BR BKN007 OVC020 17/17 A2951 RMK PRESFR SLP992 8/5// 9/8// WR// KBAD 221301Z 04007KT 2SM -TSRA BR BKN007 OVC015CB 17/17 A2954 RMK OCNL LTGIC TS 5 W MOV E PRESRR ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 22 Apr 1997 19:41:46 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: Storm machine On Tue, 22 Apr 1997, Kevin S. Jung wrote: > Gilbert: > > Not to bother you, but I received your response to my letter and when > I just checked out the site again, all I get are "404" errors. > > Just thought I'd let you know. > > Kevin Kevin, That has been fixed. But, someone was testing out software and badly messed up our machine's color map. Even our email program (pine) up on our system is messed up as a result. We're working on it, folks...I know Thursday looks like Armageddon in TX...heck, it looks like I'd chase tomorrow...there's enough low level moisture and convergence and upper level dynamics even today to produce a supercell near Lubbock as I speak!!!! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 22 Apr 1997 17:35:24 -0700 From: Weather Scratch Subject: Re: Budget cuts I have known Paul for many years, and I also have read and noted all the things Dr. Friday has said and done "according to news accounts", and if this situation was as simple as Friday vs. Pettit, I would have to come down on Paul's side, he and Roger Edwards, Dr. Doswell and others are right! I am also very concerned about Baker's "strong" reply to the letter from Weather Service Managers, did he tell them that if they don't shut up, then they will be sent to the WFO at the North Pole? Come on folks, when will Capitol Hill wake up and realize how much this whole situation is going to affect the nation, in the long term. Lets keep kicking at Congress and the Senate! As for fat in the NWS, I am sure there is some, but it is small compared to some agencies. Then again Friday's salary could be cut to zero, unless he gets some backbone and stands up for his people down below him! I have written my letters and let my voice be heard (like that will do anything?), have you written your letters yet??????? Hope the answer is yes! John ========================================================================= Weather Scratch Meteorological Services 140 South Kirkman Street Florence, Alabama 35630-4312 (205) 766-8464 Voice/Fax (205) 984-4219 Digital Pager INTERNET E-Mail: metservices@wxscratch.com WEB PAGE: http://www.wxscratch.com Shop the Weather Store, Subscribe to Weather Watch Magazine, Buy a Boltek Lightning Detection System, or contact Weather Scratch for all your research and meteorological needs! Ask about The Severe Local Storm Forecasting Primer or a WINDY Tee Shirt! ========================================================================= ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 21 Apr 1997 to 22 Apr 1997 ************************************************** From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Apr 24 13:11:43 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id NAA19151 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 1997 13:11:37 +0800 X-Warning: Original message contained 8-bit characters, however during the SMTP transport session the receiving system was unable to announce capability of receiving 8-bit SMTP (RFC 1425-1428), and as this message does not have MIME headers (RFC 1341) to enable encoding change, we had very little choices. X-Warning: We ASSUME it is less harmfull to add the MIME headers, and convert the text to Quoted-Printable, than not to do so, and to strip the message to 7-bits.. (RFC 1428 Appendix A) MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: TEXT/PLAIN; charset=UNKNOWN-8BIT Content-Transfer-Encoding: QUOTED-PRINTABLE Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102473-7710>; Thu, 24 Apr 1997 13:11:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA120906; Thu, 24 Apr 1997 00:03:54 -0500 Message-Id: <199704240503.AAA120906@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Apr 1997 00:00:46 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 22 Apr 1997 to 23 Apr 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 7 messages totalling 239 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Composite rain/snow line 2. Fort Smith NEXRAD site change (2) 3. BAD data? 4. Weather-realted articles in SHOPTALK 5. AMS Glossary (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 23 Apr 1997 01:50:51 +0000 From: Craig Berthiaume Subject: Re: Composite rain/snow line Steve wrote: Subject: Fort Smith NEXRAD site change Hi-ho weather talkers, I have been informed that the Fort Smith (SRX) NEXRAD site has been mov= ed to a location much closer to Fort Smith. Here are the new specs: SID LAT LON ELEVATION SRX 35 17 26 N 94 21 42 W 195 meters It is still scheduled to be built later this year! Gilbert ***********************************************************************= ******** Gilbert Sebenste **= ****** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) = ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada = *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html = ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada = * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ = * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! = * ***********************************************************************= ******** ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 23 Apr 1997 09:09:43 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: BAD data? On Tue, 22 Apr 1997, Robert P Dale wrote: > Anyone see if I am missing something? I don't seems to see a G125 any= where > before, on, or after the event? > > ** WWUS30 KSHV 221806 COR *** > LSRSHV > > PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED FORMAT AND UPDATED FOR > NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE SHREVEPORT LA...FATALITIES... > 100 PM CDT THU APR 22 1997 > > TIME(CDT) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... > ....PARISH LOCATION.... > > 0808 AM BARKSDALE AFB LA 144 MPH TSTM GUST > 04/22/97 BOSSIER WIND GUST TO 125 KNOTS > REPORTED ON BAD METAR. > ALSO RECORDED ON GUST > RECORDER. > > As the gust hit, the roofs came off the buildings and planes were flipp= ing end over end, so the reports are saying. Given the damage there, it loo= ks like if the wind gust is off, it isn't by much... Gilbert ***********************************************************************= ******** Gilbert Sebenste **= ****** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) = ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada = *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html = ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada = * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ = * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! = * ***********************************************************************= ******** ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 23 Apr 1997 09:15:34 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Weather-realted articles in SHOPTALK Here's a couple of articles that appeared in today's SHOPTALK (an Internet-based news magazine). For more information on SHOPTALK see http://www.tvspy.com. ..Chris.. STEVE PAULSON began work as principal weather anchor at KMGH, the ABC affiliate in Denver last week. Steve was formerly morning weather anchor at KPIX in San Francisco, and more recently did a brief tour of duty as weekend weather anchor at WBBM in Chicago. Steve is a San Francisco native and is a graduate of Chico State University. METEOROLOGIST (WFOR) Miami's leading weather department has an opening for a Meteorologist with a strong background in computer/Internet technology. On-air experience necessary. Candidate will cover weekday weather shift and handle computer operations for CBS Owned weather office and CBS network hurricane center. Submit resume/tapes to Sonia Fleming, Human Resources Administrator, WFOR-TV, 8900 NW 18 Terrace, Miami, FL 33172. No telephone calls, please. EOE M/F *=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D= =3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D= =3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D= =3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D= =3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 23 Apr 1997 10:51:52 -0400 From: "Richard L. Slonaker" Subject: AMS Glossary # > I'm looking for a definition of and a reference to the # > "nocturnal jet". Also, its occurrence in the eastern U.S. I # > checked the AMS Glossary but did not find it, to my surprise. # # Ah, the AMS Glossary...copyright 1959. Fear not however -- # a revised edition is in the works I understand. I recently # was asked to compile a collection of satellite meteorology # terms to be included in the revised edition (you'll note that # the 1959 edition predates the post-1960 era of satellite # meteorology). # # As for nocturnal jets, I'd recommend consulting "The Carolina # Nocturnal Low-Level Jet: Synoptic Climatology and a Case Study", # by Sjostedt et al, _Weather and Forecasting_, Volume 5, Sep. 1990, # pp 404-415. # # In a nutshell, nocturnal jets can form anywhere, but are most # frequent (here in the US) along the OK/KS border in Spring # and late Summer; they usually form near the tops of nocturnal # inversions (below about 1 km AGL); surface winds are often # decoupled from this jet, and can actually be calm. # # -Scott # -- # Scott Bachmeier | NWS FIRSTT | CIMSS/University of Wisconsin-Madison # nocturnal jet-"Nighttime layer of strong wind at an altitude of a few hundred meters above the ground. Such a layer may develop when the strong radiational cooling over land at night separates the flow aloft from the constraint of sur= face friction." This definition from... Geer, I. W. (ed.), Glossary of Weather and Climate, American Meteorolog= ical Society, Boston, MA, USA, 272 pp., 1996. The 1996 version of the AMS Glossary was available last year. -Richard ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ fmh@amf.nrl.navy.mil Richard L. Slonaker Naval Research Laboratory tel: 202-767-8257 Code 7223 fax: 202-767-9194 4555 Overlook Ave., S.W. Washington, D.C. 20375 USA ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 23 Apr 1997 11:49:15 -0500 From: Peter Laws Subject: Re: Fort Smith NEXRAD site change On Wed, 23 Apr 1997, Gilbert L. Sebenste wrote: > I have been informed that the Fort Smith (SRX) NEXRAD site has been m= oved > It is still scheduled to be built later this year! I had heard (at least second hand) that it was completed and, according= to http://www.nws.noaa.gov/pub/modernize/88d.txt, it is to be accepted nex= t month. It's on a ridge near or in Ft Chaffee. Was to be in a spot near Mena, b= ut as it was to be in a National Forest (and would have gotten in the way = of clear-cutting operations, no doubt! :-), an environmental impact statem= ent was necessary. -- Peter Laws / plaws@wildstar.net ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 23 Apr 1997 16:29:32 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: AMS Glossary On Apr 23, 10:51am, Richard L. Slonaker wrote: > > The 1996 version of the AMS Glossary was available last year. > Sorry...I should have been more specific. The AMS Glossary of Meteorology is in the process of being revised. The AMS Glossary of Weather and Climate was indeed published last year, and is intended for a more general audience. -Scott -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS FIRSTT | CIMSS/University of Wisconsin-Madison ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 22 Apr 1997 to 23 Apr 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Apr 25 10:22:02 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id KAA28635 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 1997 10:22:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102303-14793>; Fri, 25 Apr 1997 10:22:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA179304; Thu, 24 Apr 1997 20:55:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5376251 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Apr 1997 20:54:52 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA179334 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 1997 20:54:51 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id UAA47780 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Apr 1997 20:54:51 -0500 Message-ID: <199704250154.UAA47780@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 24 Apr 1997 20:54:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -242054 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 55201 WTPN32 PGTW 250300 1. TROPICAL STORM JIMMY (03W) WARNING NR 012 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- 20.4N6 155.4E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.4N6 155.4E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 21.6N9 156.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 23.2N7 158.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 24.9N5 161.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 23 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 26.8N6 166.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION 20.7N9 155.6E7 TROPICAL STORM JIMMY (03W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THIS WARNING IS RELOCATED BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE TO THE NORTHEAST INTO A STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG 250753Z2), 251500Z3 (DTG 251353Z9), 252100Z0 (DTG 251953Z5) AND 260300Z1 (DTG 260153Z7).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Apr 25 13:16:51 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id NAA03067 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 1997 13:16:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102342-14793>; Fri, 25 Apr 1997 13:17:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA240962; Fri, 25 Apr 1997 00:11:02 -0500 Message-Id: <199704250511.AAA240962@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Apr 1997 00:02:58 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 23 Apr 1997 to 24 Apr 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 10 messages totalling 359 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. 125 knots at Barksdale AFB 2. BAD data? (2) 3. WX-TALK Digest - 22 Apr 1997 to 23 Apr 1997 4. BAD METAR 5. Forth Smith NEXRAD site change 6. Tornado show 7. A class project is now online 8. Atlantic Hurricane Web Page Moving 9. Americans United update +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 24 Apr 1997 00:33:26 -0500 From: "Mark D. Conner" Subject: 125 knots at Barksdale AFB Below are the obs for around the time Barksdale got the 125-knot wind gust. The report was a peak-wind remark on the 1355Z hourly. Though a wind of this magnitude would normally warrant a special, I believe that they were unable to transmit the observation at the time due to power outages (understandable) and had to "phone in" the observation later. Any reports on just how much damage was done? I would think even aircraft as heavy as the B-52s they have there would be moved about by winds of this magnitude. ** 13Z 22 APR 97 KBAD 221255Z 03010KT 2SM -SHRA BR BKN007 OVC020 17/17 A2951 RMK PRESFR SLP992 8/5// 9/8// WR// KBAD 221301Z 04007KT 2SM -TSRA BR BKN007 OVC015CB 17/17 A2954 RMK OCNL LTGIC TS 5 W MOV E PRESRR ** 14Z 22 APR 97 KBAD 221355Z 01011KT 1SM R33/3500FT TSRA BR BKN007 BKN020 17/17 A2963 RM OCNL LTGICCCCG TS OHD MOV E PRESRR SLPNO 8/900 9/700 KBAD 221355Z 01011KT 1SM R33/3500FT TSRA BR BKN007 BKN020CB 17/17 A2963 RMK OCNL LTGICCCCG TS OHD MOV E PRESRR SLPNO 8/900 KBAD 221415Z 31009KT 2SM -TSRA BR SCT007 BKN015CB OVC060 13/13 A2959 RMK OCNL LTGICCC TS 5 E MOV E PRESFR ** 15Z 22 APR 97 #### KBAD 221355Z COR 01011KT 1SM R33/3500FT TSRA BR BKN007 BKN020CB 17/17 A2963 RMK PK WND 300125/08 OCNL LTGICCCCG TS OHD MOV E #### KBAD 221435Z 35015G24KT 3SM BR SCT007 BKN020 BKN080 14/13 A2956 RMK TS MOV E PRESFR KBAD 221455Z 03004KT 4SM BR SCT007 BKN020 BKN080 14/14 A2966 RMK PRESRR SLP042 60131 8/570 9/520 53041 WR// And, FWIW, the TAF valid at the time.... KBAD 221212 AMD 34012KT 6000 BR BKN007 OVC015 T23/21 T11/12 QNH2948INS VCTS BECMG 1213 36010G18KT 4800 -TSRA SCT008 OVC015CB QNH2952INS TEMPO 1416 27030G50KT 0800 +TSRAGR BKN008 OVC015CB BECMG 2122 34015G20KT 9000 -SHRA OVC015 QNH2956INS VCTS BECMG 2324 34015G20KT 9999 NSW SCT015 BKN030 BKN100 BKN250 QNH2965INS AMD 1248= --------------------------------------------------------------- Mark D. Conner Internet: mconner@null.net Packet: N9XTN@WA0ZQG.IA.USA.NA "Paradigm shifting without a clutch" - Dogbert The Peter Principle: "In a hierarchy every employee tends to rise to his level of incompetence" Conner's Corollary: "The Peter Principle is unbounded" ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 24 Apr 1997 01:13:13 -0500 From: Kevin Scharfenberg Subject: Re: BAD data? Robert Dale wrote: >Anyone see if I am missing something? I don't seems to see a G125 anywhere >before, on, or after the event? [snip] >0808 AM BARKSDALE AFB LA 144 MPH TSTM GUST [snip] A correction was sent out a little later, they forgot to add the PKWND remark to the next hour's obs. Here is that obs: KBAD 221355Z COR 01011KT 1SM R33/3500FT TSRA BR BKN007 BKN020CB 17/17 A2963 RMK PK WND 300125/08 OCNL LTGICCCCG TS OHD MOV E PRESRR SLPNO 8/900 9/700 WR// COR 1441= -Kevin ______________________________________________________ KEVIN SCHARFENBERG http://rossby.ou.edu/~kscharf/ Amateur Radio: KC5NPX E-mail: kscharf@ou.edu ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 24 Apr 1997 08:28:44 -0500 From: Dan Satterfield Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 22 Apr 1997 to 23 Apr 1997 I have included the Nexrad image from BMX showing the circulation in the storm that hit Rainsville on Tuesday on our homepage. The image is BMX Storm Rel Velocity. There is also a link to the NWS BHM site with damage pics. The tornado was an F2 and struck at 3:53 pm. http://www.whnt19.com/weather/rainsville-torn.html also the NWS site is http://www.acesag.auburn.edu/department/nws/apr2297/rainsville.html 10 injuries of which 2 were serious. Rainsville is less than 30nm from the new Hytop Nexrad which will be dedicated Friday in Jackson County Alabama. There were no warnings from the NWS but a Tornado Watch was in effect and We issued a Severe Thunderstorm warning from WHNT at 3:35 pm. We also aired an exclusive audio tape of the tornado hitting the police station in Rainsville...I am working on getting that online as well. Dan Satterfield Chief Meteorologist WHNT TV Huntsville AL ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 24 Apr 1997 08:30:38 -0500 From: Gordon Brooks Subject: BAD METAR When I saw the entry which stated "... WIND GUST TO 125 KNOTS REPORTED ON BAD METAR" my first thought was "bad METAR or BAD METAR?"...so I checked it out. There was a "KBAD 221355Z COR" which included the peak gust remark: "PK WND 300125/08" i.e., a gust of 125 knots from the WNW, at 1308 Z. It appears that this was actually the second COR for that ob, but the first identified as a COR. Would be interested in any further damage information as I'm sure many others will be... Gordon Brooks brooksg@afgwc.offutt.af.mil ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 24 Apr 1997 10:08:06 -0400 From: Corey Lefkof Subject: Re: Forth Smith NEXRAD site change Item Subject: Message text > I have been informed that the Fort Smith (SRX) NEXRAD site has been moved > to a location much closer to Fort Smith. Here are the new specs: > > SID LAT LON ELEVATION > > SRX 35 17 26 N 94 21 42 W 195 meters > > According to OSF's records, KSRX is already in Tucson, AZ...but it appears that they "renamed" SRX in Tuscon to EMX. Which means that Fort Smith is now SRX. Did someone rob Peter to pay Paul? -corey ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 24 Apr 1997 20:14:53 +0000 From: Howard Altschule Subject: Tornado show Hi all, Just wanted to pass this information along to those who are interested. The Discovery channel will be airing a show that involves the making of tornadoes in different films including twister and the Wizard of Oz. It supposedly airs at 9:30 PM EDT tonight. Hopefully you'll have recived this before it airs tonight!! Regards, Howie Altschule Haltschule@worldnet.att.net ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 24 Apr 1997 07:26:00 -0700 From: Mike Martin Subject: A class project is now online I have been in lurk mode lately, and finally am ready announce this: My physical science students have spent much time this year studying weather and climate. We spent some time studying tornadoes, and the kids are becoming quite the experts on severe storms. We even had a funnel cloud here in town back in January. But what we did that was way cool was to watch Twister and keep a list of the things that were wrong with the movie. We then compiled the "problems" and have published them on our home page. You can find this list at: http://porterville.k12.ca.us/phs/twister.html I would ask that if and when you have time, go over the list and find any items that are wrong, misstated, inaccurate, or just plain bad, and let me know. By the way, the funnel cloud pictures can be seen at http://porterville.k12.ca.us/phs/funnel.html Thanks for the help! -- Mike Martin, Science Dept. mmartin@porterville.k12.ca.us Porterville High School http://porterville.k12.ca.us/phs/phssci.html Porterville, CA ph. 209.783.2311 fax 209.782.7215 "How can you be so sure? How do you know what the end will endure? How can you be so sure That the wonders you made in your life will be seen By the millions who'll follow to visit the site of your dreams?" Alan Parsons/Eric Woolfson, "What Goes Up", from the album "Pyramid", 1977 ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 24 Apr 1997 14:24:47 EDT From: "Steven M. Babin" Subject: Atlantic Hurricane Web Page Moving Please note that the Atlantic Hurricane Web Page is moving. The new URL is http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/hurr/index.html Please adjust your links. I apologize for the inconvenience. Happy Hurricane Hunting, Steve -- _____________________________________________________________________ / FROM: Steven Babin, MD, PhD Internet: Steven.Babin@jhuapl.edu \ | Office phone: (301)-953-6704 | | Office phone: (410)-792-6704 | | WWW Home page at: | | http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/people/babin/babin.html | | Office address: Ocean Remote Sensing Group | | The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab | | Johns Hopkins Road | | Laurel, MD 20723-6099 | | AD IN THE LONDON TIMES, 1907: | | Men wanted for hazardous journey. Small wages, bitter cold, long | | months of complete darkness, constant danger, safe return doubtful. | | Honour and recognition in case of success. | \ --Sir Ernest Shackleton / <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><>< ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 24 Apr 1997 21:29:42 -0500 From: Chris Blanch Subject: Re: BAD data? Date: Tue, 22 Apr 1997 20:12:05 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: BAD data? Anyone see if I am missing something? I don't seems to see a G125 anywhere before, on, or after the event? ** WWUS30 KSHV 221806 COR *** LSRSHV PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED FORMAT AND UPDATED FOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE SHREVEPORT LA...FATALITIES... 100 PM CDT THU APR 22 1997 TIME(CDT) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... ....PARISH LOCATION.... 0808 AM BARKSDALE AFB LA 144 MPH TSTM GUST 04/22/97 BOSSIER WIND GUST TO 125 KNOTS REPORTED ON BAD METAR. ALSO RECORDED ON GUST RECORDER. KBAD 221234Z 35008KT 2SM -SHRA BR BKN007 OVC020 17/17 A2956 KBAD 221255Z 03010KT 2SM -SHRA BR BKN007 OVC020 17/17 A2951 RMK PRESFR SLP992 8/5// 9/8// WR// KBAD 221301Z 04007KT 2SM -TSRA BR BKN007 OVC015CB 17/17 A2954 RMK OCNL LTGIC TS 5 W MOV E PRESRR The 125kt gust was there! I called it up on my AWDS system at work a few hours later and saw it with my own eyes. It was recorded as a PK WND remark during a TS OVHD. One heck of a storm collapse!! Of course TWC caught wind of it (no pun intended) and advertized it for the rest of the day. -- -------------------------------------------------- Chris Blanch - USAF WX FORECASTER [5th Bomb Wing - MINOT AFB, ND] E-Mail mailto:wxchris@minotafb.ndak.net WWWeather Homepage http://minot.ndak.net/~wxchris/ -------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 24 Apr 1997 22:58:22 -0400 From: Rick McCoy Subject: Americans United update Our committee continues to talk with many of you and we continue to keep the NWS cuts very hot on the burner. The Secretary of Commerce certainly threw things off balence last week with the $715,000 announcement of restoring those funds to staffing at the Hurricane Center, Aviation Center, and Storm prediction Center. What a political move to cover things up. Its like NBC Nightline informed me this week, "we were digging and looking into the problem, but now that Ron McPhersons problems have been resolved, there's no story here for us to followup on." Just what Commerce and NOAA wanted! The media really has a chance here to open a big can of worms but are letting it die, a surprising attitude of the press. But then when they are fed so many lies by NOAA, I guess its to be expected. Therefore our committees next move is in motion. Today, we sent letters to the 50 Governors of the US requesting that they submit a letter back to the committee stating their support for the NWS and that they support the committees position of complete restoration of funds plus additional appropriations needed in FY-97. (After-all, lets use that $200 Million carryover that NOAA has!) If we can get the Governors to work with us, that would be good leverage to take to the media and general public. We are also working with Congressman John Boehner R - Ohio who is 2nd ranked in the house under Gingerich. If Gingerich goes down, Boehner steps in, plus we believe Boehner has his sites set much higher up at the White House. If he could be the one at this point to take the bull by the horns and go after the funding, I'm sure we could heavily lobby the other House members to quickly follow. We will keep you up to date on the progress with him. We also have calls into, and faxes into James Lee Witt (Director of FEMA). Mr. Witt is also concerned with the cuts as he has seen first hand the weather disasters he's responded too in recent years and knows that cutting the Weather Service will mean less information and time available to Emergency Planners and local officials. This means more deaths and disaster aid will skyrocket. We hope to be able to set down with him soon and we'll work to convince him to get the Vice President and President on the band wagon. After all, the bottom line is, when everything goes to pot, they'll probably try to blame the Weather Service, but we are going to stand firm that it was laid before the administration and they were warned ahead of time and could have easily fixed the problem. Thats bad politics for the President and real bad politics for the Vice President who is looking at moving into the White House. More to come later as we plan to issue another press release next week. KEEP THE FAITH! The fight has just begun, and once we win, our committee will stay active for years to come so this foolishness of cutting the most professional, efficient, and cost effective agency in our country, the NWS is never screwed with again. Rick McCoy President Americans United to Maintain Weather Service Funding ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 23 Apr 1997 to 24 Apr 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Apr 25 15:04:29 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id PAA03779 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 1997 15:04:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102689-14793>; Fri, 25 Apr 1997 15:04:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA32902; Fri, 25 Apr 1997 01:52:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5379273 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Apr 1997 01:52:42 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA47218 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 1997 01:52:42 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id BAA29223 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Apr 1997 01:52:41 -0500 Message-ID: <199704250652.BAA29223@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Apr 1997 01:52:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -250152 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 62244 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z APR 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250153Z APR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7 TROPICAL STORM JIMMY (03W) WAS LOCATED AT 20.4N6 155.4E5 MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 50 KN0TS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM JIMMY (03W) WARNING NR 12 RELOCATED (WTPN32 PGTW 250300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 156E8 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 7N7 163E0. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH PERSISTENT CONVECTION. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF DIFFLUENT FLOW OVER THE DISTURBANCE; HOWEVER, CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5S5 156E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/BOYER/DEOCARIZA/UROGI// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Apr 26 05:40:45 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id FAA09722 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 1997 05:40:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102323-14793>; Sat, 26 Apr 1997 05:41:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA229292; Fri, 25 Apr 1997 16:25:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5384988 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Apr 1997 16:24:37 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA176794 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 1997 16:00:41 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id QAA45260 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Apr 1997 16:00:39 -0500 Message-ID: <199704252100.QAA45260@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 25 Apr 1997 16:00:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -251600 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 36553 WTPN32 PGTW 252100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (JIMMY) WARNING NR 015 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 03W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251800Z6 --- 20.8N0 157.3E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N0 157.3E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 21.3N6 159.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 21.8N1 161.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 252100Z0 POSITION 20.9N1 157.8E1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (JIMMY) IS TRACKING EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO EXPERIENCE SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH IS WEAKENING THE SYSTEM. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 251930Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z6 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Apr 26 13:08:52 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id NAA14231 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 1997 13:08:52 +0800 X-Warning: Original message contained 8-bit characters, however during the SMTP transport session the receiving system was unable to announce capability of receiving 8-bit SMTP (RFC 1425-1428), and as this message does not have MIME headers (RFC 1341) to enable encoding change, we had very little choices. X-Warning: We ASSUME it is less harmfull to add the MIME headers, and convert the text to Quoted-Printable, than not to do so, and to strip the message to 7-bits.. (RFC 1428 Appendix A) MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: TEXT/PLAIN; charset=UNKNOWN-8BIT Content-Transfer-Encoding: QUOTED-PRINTABLE Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102198-9337>; Sat, 26 Apr 1997 13:09:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA155942; Sat, 26 Apr 1997 00:04:30 -0500 Message-Id: <199704260504.AAA155942@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Apr 1997 00:00:56 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 24 Apr 1997 to 25 Apr 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 13 messages totalling 543 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. ASOS Commissioning Notice 2. NBC News story on ND floods (6) 3. tornado warnings 4/22 - 4/23 4. NWS Family of Services message (fwd) (2) 5. MSNBC INTELLICAST TV Details become available... 6. Question about a product 7. Joe Bartlo +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 25 Apr 1997 09:18:53 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following sites became commissioned ASOS sites at 1800 UTC on 24 April, 1997 UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS-WILLARD AIRPORT (KCMI) CHAMPAIGN/URBANA... ILLINOIS DUPAGE AIRPORT (KDPA) CHICAGO/WEST CHICAGO... ILLINOIS Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 25 Apr 1997 13:14:21 CDT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: NBC News story on ND floods from http://www.msnbc.com/news/71080.asp Was there a great flood mistake? Weather service flood estimates come under fire GRAND FORKS, N.D. - For many, loss is turning to anger in the flooded streets of Grand Forks, North Dakota. Residents interviewed by NBC News said they were living in fear= of the federal agency that was supposed to have warned about the rising wa= ter. As the National Guard allows some residents to return home for their first personal view of the damage, there is new evidence the Grea= t Flood of '97 could have been predicted by the National Weather Service = and controlled. The weather service measured snowpack in the Red River Valley a= nd told Grand Forks dike builders to protect against a 49-foot flood. but = it crested at 54 feet. "If I had known it was 54," said Ken Vein, the Grand Forks city engineer. "We would have done a hell of a job to try to make this thing work." Pat Owens, the mayor of Grand Forks, defends the service. "The National Weather Service isn't going to purposely give us a bad estimat= e." But the river went much higher than 49 feet. Four days before t= he flood - too late to rebuild the dike system - the National Weather Serv= ice began to raise its predicted crest. "I don't know if I was angry, but hurt, you know, defeated," Ve= in said of the late revisions. In fact, the river was rising so fast the crest predictions wer= e lower than the actual river level. By Friday night, the water was over the levee and the dike syst= em collapsed. Frank Richards of the weather service concedes forecasters are = not proud of their efforts. "If you're asking did we do as good a job as we wanted, the answer is absolutely not," he said. The National Weather Service says it cannot be any more accurat= e with its current technology and has been trying to expand a pilot progr= am operating in Iowa that promises to do a better job of predicting river levels. "The forecast was outstanding from a scientific perspective ... modeling a flood that far in advance," said Richards. "But very honestl= y the forecast models we have, the science we have available in the Red R= iver basin right now simply was taxed to its utmost and we didn't provide as good a quality forecast as the weather service would have liked because= we were at the limits of what science could allow us to do." Richards, who also said the forecast was complicated by ice in = the river, added: "We told them this would be a major flood, but the models= we used are based on what we had seen before... and this could be a 500 ye= ar flood so the models were inadequate. In essence, you are forecasting fo= r something you had not seen before, and the models are thus susceptible = to error....We were in a scientific twilight zone." But before the flood, the weather service never mentioned its l= ack of confidence. And something else was not mentioned. NBC News has learned the University of North Dakota, which oper= ates the Regional Weather Information Center, produced an internal flood prediction of a 53-foot crest that was never released. "Based on the amount of snowfall we were seeing, we thought the river level would go into the 50's," Professor Leon Osborne told NBC Ne= ws. Osborne informed his friends and neighbors to build higher than= 49 feet, but he didn't want to step on the weather service's toes and neve= r told the city of Grand Forks. "We too were following our procedures of letting the weather service do its job," he said. That job, if done correctly, could have meant the difference between high water and total loss. NBC News producer Robert Windrem contributed to this story. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 25 Apr 1997 18:37:03 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: NBC News story on ND floods I'll say it again (apologies to the FIRSTT mailing list, who already heard me rant on this): > from http://www.msnbc.com/news/71080.asp > > Was there a great flood mistake? > Weather service flood estimates come under fire One-sided sensationalism from MicroSoft and the Media that doesn't portray all the facts within a framework of proper perspective? Say it isn't so! > told Grand Forks dike builders to protect against a 49-foot flood. > But it crested at 54 feet. I'm no hydrologist, but is the state of that science such that one could expect a crest forecast to be any more accurate than it was? > That job, if done correctly, could have meant the difference >between high water and total loss. The media's job, if it were done correctly, could result in a well-educated public that fully understands the scope of the issues... -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS FIRSTT | CIMSS/University of Wisconsin-Madison ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 25 Apr 1997 12:37:17 -0400 From: "Heather M. Hauser" Subject: tornado warnings 4/22 - 4/23 Does anybody else here archive tornado warnings? Due to problems with t= he list wx-tor, I didn't receive them for 4/22 - 4/23 and I need them for = an informal study I'm doing on warnings in the Southeast. The wx-tor log f= or the last week doesn't have them for these days, so if someone here coul= d send them to me or tell me where to get them I would be very grateful. Heather Hauser ------------------------------------------------------------ Heather M. Hauser School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA 30332-0340 email: heather@eas.gatech.edu phone:404-894-3929 OR gt1824a@prism.gatech.edu fax:404-894-5638 Fac ut gaudeam ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 25 Apr 1997 14:56:18 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: NBC News story on ND floods ArialOn Friday, April 25, 1997 2:14 PM, Greg Stumpf [SMTP:greg@gale.nssl.noaa.gov] wrote: > But before the flood, the weather service never mentioned its lack > of confidence. > And something else was not mentioned. > NBC News has learned the University of North Dakota, which operates > the Regional Weather Information Center, produced an internal flood > prediction of a 53-foot crest that was never released. > "Based on the amount of snowfall we were seeing, we thought the > river level would go into the 50's," Professor Leon Osborne told NBC News. > Osborne informed his friends and neighbors to build higher th= an 49 > feet, but he didn't want to step on the weather service's toes and never > told the city of Grand Forks. I would hope that he would have shared his information with the NWS -- and now the question becomes why did the NWS reject this forecast? And on another note, how is the NWS supposed to indicate their forecast "lacked confidence." Rob ////////////////////////////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\= \\\ Robert P Dale - N8GSK || rdale@norden1.com Meteorologist || rdale@storm.atms.purdue.edu Davidson Crane And Conveyor || dcc@norden1.com InterRAD Software http://www.stratus.weather.net/~rdale/interrad.htm= l NW Ohio Weather Info http://wx.home.ml.org Northwest Ohio AMS http://nwohams.home.ml.org ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 25 Apr 1997 13:57:01 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: NWS Family of Services message (fwd) Here's the official word about the SPC/TPC/AWC cuts being...cut! Gilbert ***********************************************************************= ******** Gilbert Sebenste **= ****** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) = ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada = *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html = ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada = * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ = * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! = * ***********************************************************************= ******** PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL TECHNICAL IMPLEMENTATION MESSAGE 97-17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS WASHINGTON DC 115 PM EDT FRI APR 25 1997 TO: NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE /NWS/ EMPLOYEES...FAMILY OF SERVICES /FOS/ SUBSCRIBERS...NOAA WEATHER WIRE SERVICE SUBSCRIBERS...FEDERAL AVIATION ADMINISTRATION /FAA/ CUSTOMERS...OTHER NWS CUSTOMERS FROM: DR. ELBERT W. "JOE" FRIDAY JR. DIRECTOR...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SUBJECT: SERVICE AND PRODUCT CHANGES FROM THE NWS AVIATION WEATHER CENTER...STORM PREDICTION CENTER...AND NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER REFERENCE: NATIONAL TECHNICAL INFORMATION MESSAGE 97-16...DATED APRIL 11 1997 U.S. SECRETARY OF COMMERCE WILLIAM M. DALEY HAS ANNOUNCED THE REPROGRAMMING OF FUNDS FOR THE DEPARTMENT'S NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION /NOAA/...WHICH IS THE PARENT AGENCY OFTHE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. QUOTING SECRETARY DALEY: "WHILE I CONTINUE TO BELIEVE THAT THE STREAMLINING WE ARE IMPLEMENTING IS PRUDENT...IN CONSIDERATION OF THE CONCERNS RAISED BY COMMUNITIES...CONGRESSIONAL DELEGATIONS AND GOVERNORS...I HAVE DECIDED TO MAINTAIN LAST YEAR'S LEVEL OF EFFORT AND FUNDED POSITIONS AT NOAA'S NATIONAL CENTERS INCLUDING THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER ...AND THE AVIATION WEATHER CENTER. AT THE CONCLUSION OF THE 1997 HURRICANE SEASON...WE WILL CAREFULLY EVALUATE THE PERFORMANCE OF THE NHC AND THE OTHER NATIONAL CENTERS TO DETERMINE THE OPTIMUM STAFFING LEVEL FOR THE FUTURE." AS A RESULT OF SECRETARY DALEY'S ACTION...PREVIOUSLY ANNOUNCED SERVICE CHANGES AT THE AVIATION WEATHER CENTER /DESCRIBED IN NATIONAL TECHNICAL INFORMATION MESSAGE 97-16/ AND SERVICE CHANGES AT THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AND THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER...HAVE BEEN SUSPENDED UNTIL AT LEAST THE END OF SEPTEMBER 1997 /THE END OF THIS FISCAL YEAR/. END ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 25 Apr 1997 14:41:52 CDT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: Re: NWS Family of Services message (fwd) >FROM: DR. ELBERT W. "JOE" FRIDAY JR. > DIRECTOR...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE > >QUOTING SECRETARY DALEY: "WHILE I CONTINUE TO BELIEVE THAT THE >STREAMLINING WE ARE IMPLEMENTING IS PRUDENT...IN CONSIDERATION OF THE >CONCERNS RAISED BY COMMUNITIES...CONGRESSIONAL DELEGATIONS AND >GOVERNORS...I HAVE DECIDED TO MAINTAIN LAST YEAR'S LEVEL OF EFFORT AND >FUNDED POSITIONS AT NOAA'S NATIONAL CENTERS INCLUDING THE NATIONAL >HURRICANE CENTER...THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER >...AND THE AVIATION WEATHER CENTER. AT THE CONCLUSION OF THE >1997 HURRICANE SEASON...WE WILL CAREFULLY EVALUATE THE PERFORMANCE OF >THE NHC AND THE OTHER NATIONAL CENTERS TO DETERMINE THE OPTIMUM >STAFFING LEVEL FOR THE FUTURE." > >AS A RESULT OF SECRETARY DALEY'S ACTION...PREVIOUSLY ANNOUNCED SERVICE >CHANGES AT THE AVIATION WEATHER CENTER /DESCRIBED IN NATIONAL TECHNICA= L >INFORMATION MESSAGE 97-16/ AND SERVICE CHANGES AT THE NATIONAL >HURRICANE CENTER AND THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER...HAVE BEEN SUSPENDED >UNTIL AT LEAST THE END OF SEPTEMBER 1997 /THE END OF THIS FISCAL >YEAR/. This is contradictory. The end of the hurricane season is December 1, 1997. The end of the 1997 fiscal year is October 1, 1997 (2 months earlier). They will have continue the suspension at least as long as December 1, 1997 (plus time to to the performance evaluation). greg stumpf, NSSL ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 25 Apr 1997 16:35:47 -0400 From: Craig B Newell Subject: MSNBC INTELLICAST TV Details become available... Here is the latest on INTELLICAST TV straight from MSNBC. INTELLICAST T= V is currently available via the PRIMESTAR (www.primestar.com) satellite system which I wouldn't reccomend. Primestar is the 2nd most popular satellite service but it is definately slipping (market share is shrinking a lot). I would expect INTELLICAST TV to be picked up by DirecTV (www.directv.com), the most popular satellite service, by the e= nd of the year. Email me with questions. --- MSNBC Weather By INTELLICAST MSNBC Weather by INTELLICAST is Your Weather, When You Want It. MSNBC Weather by INTELLICAST is a ground-breaking 24-hour weather service, offering national, international, regional and local weather informatio= n to satellite customers in under 4 minutes! MSNBC Weather covers the United States by offering 10 regional weather channels. MSNBC Weather By INTELLICAST offers: National Weather Regional Weather Severe weather tracking Local Weather through four-day=A0forecasts (for approximately 200 citie= s) Select International Weather=A0Forecasts Complimentary on-line weather services through msnbc.com & intellicast.com Satellite and radar views updated regularly MSNBC Weather By INTELLICAST's 10 Regional Channels are the following: Northeast: New York, Vermont, New Hampshire, Maine, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Massachusetts. Mid Atlantic: Pennsylvania, New Jersey, West Virginia, Maryland, Washington D.C., Delaware. Southeast: Tennessee, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Florida. Midwest: Wisconsin, Michigan, Illinois, Indiana, Ohio, Kentucky. South Central: Texas, Louisiana. Central Plains: Kansas, Oklahoma, Missouri, Arkansas. Northern Plains: North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Minnesota, Iowa. Four Corners: Utah, Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico. Southwest (Pacific): California, Nevada. Northwest: Washington, Oregon, Idaho, Wyoming, Montana. --- ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 25 Apr 1997 16:24:06 -0500 From: Peter Laws Subject: Re: NBC News story on ND floods On Fri, 25 Apr 1997, Robert P Dale wrote: > I would hope that he would have shared his information with the NWS -= - > and now the question becomes why did the NWS reject this forecast? I'm not a meteorologist, nor do I play one on the 'net, nor do I work f= or the NWS. However, I'm thinking (OK, *hoping*) that the NWS has a forma= l process to decide which methods are used to make a forecast. I'm certa= in that the people that are trying to get new forecasting methods through said process think it's at least overly bureaucratic. Perhaps it is. = I don't even know if one exists, let alone how it works. Look at it from the NWS POV: Can they really afford to just issue forecasts based on possibly unproven techniques? "I don't think so, Ti= m." Not to cast aspersions on this fellow's methods at all (I'm *not* a meteorologist), but can you imagine they uproar if they had gone by thi= s guy's method and his estimate turned out to be wrong? At the Congressional "hearing", the head of the weather service is asked what process it follows when choosing forecast methods and he says, "Uh, wel= l, see there's this fellow at UND, and he says ..." That said, the NWS could certainly do a better job expalaining what "estimates" and forecasts are and how to use them. Of course, they'd n= eed The Media's help with that and we've all seen that The Media has no interest in educating the public. -- Peter Laws / plaws@wildstar.net ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 25 Apr 1997 17:03:31 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Question about a product Jason C. Kelley asked me to post this. ..Chris.= . =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D= =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D =3D= =3D Hey guys...can anybody tell me what this product is???? I've never see= n it before.(How does Kansas rate their own NCEP discussion???? Just kidding) FOUS31 KWBC 181737 QPFSRD SPECIAL KMARD...KANSAS INITIATIVE DISCUSSION NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL PREDICTION HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...NWS...CAMP SPRINGS MD 225 PM EDT FRI APR 18 1997 THE MODELS DIFFER SOMEWHAT IN THEIR HANDLING OF THE SHORTWAVE FORECAST TO START DROPPING SEWRD INTO MO BY 60HRS. THE NGM IS MUCH STRONGER AT 48 HRS THAN EITHER OF THE OTHER TWO MODELS. IM NOT SURE WHICH MODEL IS CORRECT...THE SYSTEM SHOULD WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO THE MEAN RIDGE BUT THEN SHOULD START STRENGTHENING AGAIN AS IT GETS ON THE EAST OF THE RIDGE. THE SURFACE DEWPOINTS ACROSS KS ARE IN THE MID 50S. PWS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE .75 TO .90 INCH RANGE. LOW LEVE= L CONVERGENCE ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE LOW AND FRONT ALONG WITH WARM ADVECTION TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE SFC WAVE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ENOUGH FORCING AND LIFT TO PRODUCE SOME CONVECTION ACROSS NE SATURDAY EVENING WITH THE CONVECTION PROBABLY DESTINED TO TRACK SEWRD ALONG THE THICKNESS LINES INTO NERN KS AND MO SUNDAY MORNING. BEHIND TH SHORTWAVE....A BREAK IS EXPECTED WITH ANY SHOWER ACTIVITY HOLDING OF UNTIL AFTER 00Z MON AS WEAK COLD ADVECTION AND NVA INHIBIT UPWARD MOTION. JUNKER/FORECAST OPERATIONS BRANCH *********************************************** * Jason C. Kelley Chief Meteorologist * * WABG-TV Greenville- Greenwood, MS * * http://www.wabg.com/wx1.html * * jkelley@tecinfo.com * * "No matter where you go, there you are.." * *********************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 25 Apr 1997 21:57:30 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: NBC News story on ND floods >I'm not a meteorologist, nor do I play one on the 'net, nor do I work = for >the NWS. However, I'm thinking (OK, *hoping*) that the NWS has a form= al >process to decide which methods are used to make a forecast. I'm cert= ain >that the people that are trying to get new forecasting methods through >said process think it's at least overly bureaucratic. Perhaps it is. = I >don't even know if one exists, let alone how it works. I understand -- and my post probably came out too "black and white". I guess my assumption would be that a university developed program would = have some input / back & forth conversation with the NWS. That's what I was inquiring about. Not that NWS "has" to use his forecast, but I would ho= pe that they at least are on the same page. Rob ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 26 Apr 1997 00:31:11 GMT From: Gene Nygaard Subject: Re: NBC News story on ND floods dwalston@idsonline.com (dwalston) wrote: >Before making my comments, I want to say that it is horrible what >happened to those people that live near the Red River. However, I >think the NWS is being treated unfairly... >[snip] >It was predicted. A forecast of flooding went out several days prior >to crest, and a forecast above 50 feet went out 4 days before crest. >What the hell do people want, a month or so to put their homes on the >market? I've looked up some more information on this. Yes, Grand Forks knew a flood was coming. Yes, they knew it was big, because the National Weather Service was already telling them in February that the flood would be bigger than any flood in 100 years, and that it would crest about 49 feet. (The 1897 flood was the only one measured higher than the 49 feet level; I don't have the figures, but I think it was about 51 feet). This February prediction of 49 feet wasn't changed until April 14, when it was raised to 50 feet. I don't think the prediction was raised higher than 50 feet until after that level was exceeded. Grand Forks was prepared for the forecast flood, with dikes raised to the 49 foot level with THREE FEET OF FREEBOARD above that level. So the tops of the dikes were at the 52 foot level, before any sandbags were added. Grand Forks put a lot of effort into fighting the flood in before it got there, despite a couple of big blizzards in March and April that dumped more snow on top of what was already there from several other storms going back to last October or November. There preparations were extraordinary, but they would have needed more notice to mobilize the superhuman effort that would have been needed to fight the actual levels. The "4 day period" you refer to is misleading. It was 4 days probably after the prediction was raised from 49 feet to 50 feet before the dikes started to give way. But they didn't give way at the 50 foot level predicted on 14 April; it was more like 53 feet and still rising before they started going out. I don't know when the predictions were raised above 50 feet, but I don't think it was before 17 April, three days after the prediction was raised 1 foot from 49 feet to 50 feet. In other words, that is 3 days of your 4 day period when the NWS was still predicting a level Grand Forks likely could have handled. Gene Nygaard ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 25 Apr 1997 20:24:50 -0500 From: "Ryan C. McCammon" Subject: Joe Bartlo What's the real story? ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 24 Apr 1997 to 25 Apr 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Apr 26 14:08:45 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA14631 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 1997 14:08:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102184-9337>; Sat, 26 Apr 1997 14:09:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA150456; Sat, 26 Apr 1997 00:54:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5389662 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Apr 1997 00:54:50 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA200838 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 1997 00:54:49 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA56629 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Apr 1997 00:54:48 -0500 Message-ID: <199704260554.AAA56629@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 26 Apr 1997 00:54:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -260054 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 29490 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z APR 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/251953Z APR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 251800Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (JIMMY) WAS LOCATED AT 20.8N0 157.3E6 MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KN0TS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (JIMMY) WARNING NR 15 (WTPN32 PGTW 252100)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 163E0 HAS MERGED WITH A BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING AND SCATTERED CONVECTION. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/HAM/HONG/EIBLING// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Apr 27 13:08:04 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id NAA23293 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 1997 13:08:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102341-12880>; Sun, 27 Apr 1997 13:08:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA33516; Sun, 27 Apr 1997 00:05:58 -0500 Message-Id: <199704270505.AAA33516@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Apr 1997 00:01:31 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 25 Apr 1997 to 26 Apr 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 4 messages totalling 265 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. ND Floods (2) 2. ASOS Commissioning Notice 3. Alan Moller Honored with TESSA Award +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 26 Apr 1997 06:37:56 +0000 From: "H. MICHAEL MOGIL" Subject: ND Floods Let's get the "legal" disclaimers out of the way first - I am ex-NWS employee, so there's probably some bias in my comments, but I've never been bashful about critcizing bad forecasts (NWS, tv mets, even my own..yep even my own). This time, I do not have all of the details. Rather I am commenting on the reported NBC news report and some of its key aspects. So, let's examine the flooding. Has everyone on WX-TALK read up on the process of predicting river levels? Does everyone understand the myriad of variables (some created by humans building levees and impacted by levees that fail) that impact the flood levels? Is everyone comfortable trying to make a multi-day forecast that can be further disrupted by changes in weather/rainfall? Re the folks at the University - how many universities are working on flood forecasting schemes? Does NWS, with even further budget reductions, have the resources to evaluate all of these on an ongoing basis? Do they have the time to coordinate each University's daily prediction with their own? Doubt it!!! How many times was the University scheme WRONG in earlier predictions? Sounds like some weather folks who come forth AFTER an event and tell folks of their success, but never their failures. Does more work need to be done? Hell yes!! Finally, let's remember that concrete and asphalt do not absorb water. With every shopping center, interstate highway we build, and housing development we create, we add to the flood danger. I predict that we'll have many more alleged "500 to 1000 year flood events" as the years unfold. That forecast may miss on specific timing, but it will likely be accurate. Re the uncertainty factor, there are ways to convey that information. But communication is a sticky wicket. Even when hearing uncertainty, some folks will take the forecast as 100% certain, because that's what they have to work with. More education will be needed to get city managers to understand that a 49 foot flood in your part of the city will be 75% likely, while a 47 foot flood at a point 5 miles away is only accurate to 55%. They could be flooded in numbers pretty quickly!!! Finally, what would the folks have done had there been a forecast of 54 feet? What do their emergency plans show for this? I'll wager nothing. The economics of planning for disasters don't include catastrophic events. There's usually no way to pay for these before-hand. But afterwards, FEMA comes in and you get instant urban and suburban renewal. The incentive is to rebuild, not to protect!!!! It is sad that NBC, once a reputable news organization, has added to its repertoire of attacks against the NWS. Oh, well, another slow news day!!! Mike Mogil ....more commentary at 11...... -- Mike Mogil weather educator HOW THE WEATHERWORKS 1522 Baylor Avenue Rockville, MD 20850 301-762-SNOW hmmogil@weatherworks.com http://www.weatherworks.com ****** ****** ****** ****** "Science is a journey...not a destination!!!" ****** ****** ****** ****** ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 26 Apr 1997 08:12:03 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site became a commissioned ASOS site at 1800 UTC 25 April, 1997 LORAIN COUNTY REGIONAL AIRPORT (K22G) LORAIN/ELYRIA... OHIO Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 26 Apr 1997 14:12:04 GMT From: Gene Nygaard Subject: Re: ND Floods "H. MICHAEL MOGIL" wrote: >Let's get the "legal" disclaimers out of the way first - I am ex-NWS >employee, so there's probably some bias in my comments, but I've never >been bashful about critcizing bad forecasts (NWS, tv mets, even my >own..yep even my own). This time, I do not have all of the details. >Rather I am commenting on the reported NBC news report and some of its >key aspects. Mike, You make some real good points. I'd like to address a few of those points. I also don't have all the details, but I am on the opposite side of North Dakota where we get more coverage of this area on a long term basis than people in other parts of the country get. I also have lived in Grand Forks for several years as I am an alumnus of the University of North Dakota >So, let's examine the flooding. Has everyone on WX-TALK read up on the >process of predicting river levels? Does everyone understand the myriad >of variables (some created by humans building levees and impacted by >levees that fail) that impact the flood levels? Is everyone comfortable >trying to make a multi-day forecast that can be further disrupted by >changes in weather/rainfall? It is complicated, so teh forecasters out to be considering those variables. But perhaps the biggest problem is the explanations of the meaning of these predictions. The reports did not that they were based on normal precipitation and that higher than normal precipitation could make the floods higher. But other variables were not mentioned, and the confidence levels of the predictions, or the probabilities of a flood 5.1 feet higher than that prediction are not mentioned. It is also worth mentioning that on April 14 when the prediction was finally first raised to 50 feet from the 49 foot level which had been predicted since February, the Red River at Grand Forks was already well into the flood. It was then standing something like 18 feet above flood stage, but there was little coverage of Grand Forks at the time because the concern was upriver at Fargo/Moorhead and Wahpeton/Breckenridge where the river was closer to cresting. >Re the folks at the University - how many universities are working on >flood forecasting schemes? Does NWS, with even further budget >reductions, have the resources to evaluate all of these on an ongoing >basis? Do they have the time to coordinate each University's daily >prediction with their own? Doubt it!!! How many times was the >University scheme WRONG in earlier predictions? Sounds like some >weather folks who come forth AFTER an event and tell folks of their >success, but never their failures. >Does more work need to be done? Hell yes!! >Finally, let's remember that concrete and asphalt do not absorb water. >With every shopping center, interstate highway we build, and housing >development we create, we add to the flood danger. I predict that we'll >have many more alleged "500 to 1000 year flood events" as the years >unfold. That forecast may miss on specific timing, but it will likely >be accurate. Let's remember that these numbers refer to the probability of the event happening at a particular place, not somewhere in the world or somewhere in the United States. Let's just assume for the sake of argument that there are 1000 places in the United States that are subject to flooding. With a 500-year event meaning a probability of 1/500 that it will happen in each place during that year, one would expect that on average 2 of those 1000 places would have such an event every year. Some years it might be none, other years it might be six of them. Remember also that weather patterns go in cycles, so that each year in not independent of what happened in the previous year. That means that record or near record events are likely to occur in bunches at any particular place, rather than being spread out uniformly over time. >Re the uncertainty factor, there are ways to convey that information. >But communication is a sticky wicket. Even when hearing uncertainty, >some folks will take the forecast as 100% certain, because that's what >they have to work with. More education will be needed to get city >managers to understand that a 49 foot flood in your part of the city >will be 75% likely, while a 47 foot flood at a point 5 miles away is >only accurate to 55%. They could be flooded in numbers pretty >quickly!!! Developing a meaningful way of communicating this information is very important. Without it, we're wasting money even trying to make these predictions. >Finally, what would the folks have done had there been a forecast of 54 >feet? What do their emergency plans show for this? I'll wager >nothing. The economics of planning for disasters don't include >catastrophic events. There's usually no way to pay for these >before-hand. But afterwards, FEMA comes in and you get instant urban >and suburban renewal. The incentive is to rebuild, not to protect!!!! Perhaps the most important thing is that they might have gotten out earlier, with more of the things important to them--family albums, scrapbooks, heirlooms, meat in the deep freeze in the basement, and all the automobiles you saw abandoned on the streets. Gene Nygaard ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 26 Apr 1997 20:05:01 EDT From: Martin Lisius <73124.1052@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: Alan Moller Honored with TESSA Award National Weather Service Forecaster Honored with National Award Friday, April 25, 1997 Contact: Martin Lisius, 972-461-7179 ARLINGTON, Texas - The Texas Severe Storms Association (TESSA) presented the first TESSA Award to National Weather Service Forecaster Alan Moller for his outstanding contribution to severe weather research and education at the 4th Annual TESSA National Meeting held in Plano, Texas on April 12. Over the past twenty years, Alan Moller has made three very important contributions to the meteorological community. First, he has served as a forecaster at the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Fort Worth, Texas. His experience, most recently as Forecaster-in-Charge, has been valuable in helping the Fort Worth office fulfill its mission to protect life and property in North Texas. Second, Mr. Moller has been an active researcher and student of the science of meteorology. In the 1970 s, Alan was one of the group of storm-intercept pioneers at the University of Oklahoma. His findings and discoveries have helped shape the field of severe weather meteorology. Alan has continued his studies of severe weather formation and behavior, and has improved our techniques for operational severe storm forecasting. continued Page 2 Finally, and most importantly, Mr. Moller has been a major influence in the area of severe weather education. Over the years, Alan has demonstrated an exceptional ability to take his knowledge of severe storms and share it with groups across the country. He has been a driving force in the development and production of numerous severe weather storm spotter training materials including TESSA s "StormWatch" video. The video is used by all Weather Service offices nationwide to teach local storm spotter groups the complexities of severe storms. Storm spotters are the first line of defense against dangerous storms for communities across the country. They are directly responsible for saving many lives each year. The Texas Severe Storms Association is a 501 (c)(3) national non-profit organization based in Arlington, Texas. The Association s mission is to bring both professional and amateur severe weather scientists together in an attempt to better understand dangerous storms. In addition, TESSA is considered to have the largest membership of storm chasers for any organization in the world. Storm chasers are individuals who track severe storms, particularly supercell thunderstorms and tornadoes. The information obtained by these professional and amateur scientists has greatly improved the ability to accurately forecast dangerous weather. ### ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 25 Apr 1997 to 26 Apr 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Apr 27 13:59:17 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id NAA23606 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 1997 13:59:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102333-12880>; Sun, 27 Apr 1997 13:59:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA210598; Sun, 27 Apr 1997 00:52:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5399009 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Apr 1997 00:52:24 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA180594 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 1997 00:52:23 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA53200 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Apr 1997 00:52:22 -0500 Message-ID: <199704270552.AAA53200@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Apr 1997 00:52:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -270052 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 25805 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z APR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/HAM/HONG/EIBLING// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Apr 28 06:35:51 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id GAA29962 for ; Mon, 28 Apr 1997 06:35:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102157-14532>; Mon, 28 Apr 1997 06:36:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA41184; Sun, 27 Apr 1997 17:21:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5404939 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Apr 1997 17:20:54 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA249782 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 1997 17:20:53 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id RAA26845 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Apr 1997 17:20:52 -0500 Message-ID: <199704272220.RAA26845@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 27 Apr 1997 17:20:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -271720 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 45274 ABPW10 PGTW 272200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/272200Z/280600Z APR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 10S1 168E5 FOR OVER 24 HOURS. ALTHOUGH OVERALL ORGANIZATION REMAINS POOR, SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A BROAD SURFACE CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE DISTURBANCE LIES UNDER AN AREA OF RELATIVELY WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS 3. THIS BULLETIN REISSUED TO ADD SUSPECT AREA IN THE SOUTHWEST PACIFIC. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/HAM/HONG/EIBLING// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Apr 28 13:26:59 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id NAA04059 for ; Mon, 28 Apr 1997 13:26:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102182-14532>; Mon, 28 Apr 1997 13:27:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA53056; Mon, 28 Apr 1997 00:15:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5408308 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Apr 1997 00:15:43 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA157996 for ; Mon, 28 Apr 1997 00:15:42 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA22684 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Apr 1997 00:15:41 -0500 Message-ID: <199704280515.AAA22684@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 28 Apr 1997 00:15:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -280015 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 64409 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z APR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 5N5 143E8. VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK CIRCULATION AT THE END OF A SHEAR LINE. SATELLITE DERIVED 200 MB WINDS INDICATE MODERATE TO HEAVY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN THIS AREA, WHICH SHOULD INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 168E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5S5 166E3. ORGANIZATION REMAINS POOR. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS AREA GRADUALLY MERGING WITH A LARGER AREA OF TROUGHING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/HAM/HONG// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Apr 29 13:09:26 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id NAA19414 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 1997 13:09:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102543-7674>; Tue, 29 Apr 1997 13:09:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA57604; Tue, 29 Apr 1997 00:05:38 -0500 Message-Id: <199704290505.AAA57604@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Apr 1997 00:00:20 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 26 Apr 1997 to 28 Apr 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 9 messages totalling 262 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. KS initiative QPF discussion 2. NOGAPS sites? (2) 3. WW2010 ------> http://ww2010.atmos.uiuc.edu/ 4. WW2010 Part II 5. Tornadic Seismic Detection, 6. ADMINISTRIVIA: WX-STORM MAIL BACKLOG 7. TV Met Job listed in SHOPTALK 8. WMO products/headers +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 27 Apr 1997 23:25:48 -0600 From: "C. Bruce Entwistle" Subject: KS initiative QPF discussion Jason C. Kelley asked a question I'm sure a couple others have scratched their collective noggins about... >Hey guys...can anybody tell me what this product is???? I've never seen >it before.(How does Kansas rate their own NCEP discussion???? Just >kidding) > >FOUS31 KWBC 181737 >QPFSRD > >SPECIAL KMARD...KANSAS INITIATIVE DISCUSSION >NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL PREDICTION >HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...NWS...CAMP SPRINGS MD Since I use this discussion operationally for the NWS, I'll fill you in as best I can. My typings below in no way represent official musings, statements, or policies of the Weather Service, et al. They are merely my own observations and interpretations. Caveat lector. KMARD is the Kansas Modernization and Associated Restructuring Demonstration. The Kansas Initiative allows the spin up offices in ICT, DDC, and GLD to test the impact of assuming full forecast responsibility for their respective county warning and forecast areas (CWFA or, more often, CWA). Part of this Initiative consists of demonstrations and experiments of how offices with full responsibilities use national center information, engage in forecast coordination, and other things that come up in the course of providing weather forecasts and warnings. One thing that came up during the first month or so of these tests was that there was no quantitative precipitation discussion or guidance from the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center covering the fourth period of the late afternoon zone forecast. After some discussion on how best to add this information without overburdening the good folks at HPC, this is what they came up with. It has only been around since about April 14. Enjoy the information while it's out there! Bruce Entwistle, forecaster at NWSO Goodland KS cbruce@goodland.ixks.com My views are my own and not necessarily those of the NWS. (No smiley) ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 28 Apr 1997 05:00:11 GMT From: Matt Crowther Subject: NOGAPS sites? Could someone direct me to web sites that have this model in real time? Thanks, ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 28 Apr 1997 08:17:26 -0600 From: "Steven E. Hall" Subject: WW2010 ------> http://ww2010.atmos.uiuc.edu/ The Department of Atmospheric Sciences at the University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign is pleased to announce the inaugural release of WW2010... http://ww2010.atmos.uiuc.edu/ WW2010 has begun its evolution into a multi-purpose earth sciences web server. Since this has become such an extensive project, portions of this web server will be released in stages as they are completed. Here are some highlights of this first release, (which features our educational resources): Content---- Online Guides - instructional modules and curriculum Archives - case studies with archived data About This Server - details about the functionality of this server Technology---- Helper Pages - explanatory resources about topics and images Navigation - fully automated hierarchical menuing system User Interface - optional "graphics" or "text" user interface Upcoming Releases---- May 5, 1996 Remote Sensing Guide May 21, 1996 Weather Products Over 20 DAS Faculty, students and staff have (and are) contributing to the development of this web server. This web server is a result of cooperation amongst personnel at the University of Illinois from the Department of Atmospheric Sciences, the NASA-sponsored Horizon Project, the NSF-sponsored Collaborative Visualization Project and NCSA. Thank You Steve Hall and David Wojtowicz: Co-Developers Bob Wilhelmson and Mohan Ramamurthy: DAS Faculty Department of Atmospheric Sciences University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign ------------------------------------------- Steve Hall UIUC-CoVis Project Coordinator Department of Atmospheric Sciences University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign 105 S. Gregory Urbana, IL 61801 hall@uiatma.atmos.uiuc.edu (217)333-8132 ------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 28 Apr 1997 09:06:46 -0600 From: "Steven E. Hall" Subject: WW2010 Part II What I meant to say for the upcoming WW2010 releases.... May 5, 1997 Remote Sensing Guide May 21, 1997 Weather Products Not 1996 (as in the first announcement).... though that wouldn't be so bad... that would mean it would already be finished by now... ;-) ------------------------------------------- Steve Hall UIUC-CoVis Project Coordinator Department of Atmospheric Sciences University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign 105 S. Gregory Urbana, IL 61801 hall@uiatma.atmos.uiuc.edu (217)333-8132 ------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 28 Apr 1997 14:58:48 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: NOGAPS sites? On Apr 28, 5:00am, Matt Crowther wrote: > Could someone direct me to web sites that have this model in real > time? NOGAPS (not necessarily real time): http://www-pcmdi.llnl.gov/fiorino/wxmap/ngp.conus.htm NORAPS: http://www.fnoc.navy.mil/ -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS FIRSTT | CIMSS/University of Wisconsin-Madison ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 28 Apr 1997 10:39:15 U From: Bill Hensley Subject: Tornadic Seismic Detection, The 21 Apr 97 _Aviation Week_ had this article on page 15 (quoted w/o permission): >Regional and inexpensive home-based tornado warning systems are a >possible spinoff of reasearch performed at NASA's Marshall Space Flight >Center, Huntsville, AL. As envisioned, the sensors would detect the unique >seismic waves produced when tornados touch down. The article goes on to say how this info could be integrated with 88D data. Engineering Analysis is mentioned in the article, and the claim is that proof-of-concept and data collection instrument packages are awaiting this tornado season. Cheers, Bill Bill Hensley TRW Oklahoma City Engineering Office Bill_Hensley@smtp.rc.trw.com Bill_Hensley@compuserve.com (or 75542.2343@compuserve.com) http://ourworld.compuserve.com/homepages/Bill_Hensley/ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 28 Apr 1997 10:39:18 CST From: Chris Novy - WA9V Subject: ADMINISTRIVIA: WX-STORM MAIL BACKLOG I was conducting a test of WX-STORM this weekend --sending watches and hazardous weather outlooks through a different LISTSERV machine. The LISTSERV administrator (on the new machine) forgot to change the directory headers and this caused a crash. I have just freed the WX-STORM list and this has released 26 products from this weekend. If you start receiving old mail from WX-STORM, just delete it. I'd rather send out a few pieces of old mail and let people still have access to the data they need for their research than just assume people don't need the data and purge LISTSERV's queue. Sorry for the inconvenience. ..Chris.. --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. Phone: (618)453-1683(w) or (618)457-6149(h) Morris Library MC:6632 FAX: (618)453-3440 Systems Administration Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 28 Apr 1997 12:38:19 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job listed in SHOPTALK METEOROLOGIST The following appeared in SHOPTALK. ..Chris.. Miami's leading weather department has an opening for a Meteorologist with a strong background in computer/internet technology. On-air experience necessary. Candidate will cover weekday weather shift and handle computer operations for CBS Owned weather office and CBS network hurricane center. Submit resume/tapes to Sonia Fleming, Human Resources Administrator, WFOR-TV, 8900 NW 18 Terrace, Miami, FL 33172. No telephone calls, please. EOE M/F *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 29 Apr 1997 00:44:39 -0400 From: Tony Cristaldi or Christina Woods Subject: WMO products/headers Could anyone direct me to a source of info where I could get a list of what I believe are the "WMO product headers" (e.g. WTIO32) and the corresponding products? I am updating the bookmarks on my home PC to include some of the W. Pacific/Indian Ocean Tropical Storm Products from the OSU Gopher. Any help would be appreciated. Thanx. Tony Cristaldi NWSO Melbourne FL No SVR/TORs issued by our office for 5 months until last week.3 TOR Boxes and multiple SVR/TORs issued during the past 7 days...all during the one lousy week I took off for my vacation...AAARRGH! ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 26 Apr 1997 to 28 Apr 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Apr 29 14:10:22 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA19868 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 1997 14:10:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102479-7674>; Tue, 29 Apr 1997 14:10:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA263018; Tue, 29 Apr 1997 01:00:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5424199 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Apr 1997 00:59:50 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA151374 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 1997 00:59:49 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA52400 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Apr 1997 00:59:49 -0500 Message-ID: <199704290559.AAA52400@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 29 Apr 1997 00:59:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -290059 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 62893 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z APR 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 143E8 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5S5 166E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6S6 170E8. THE CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM REMAINS POOR. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS AREA CONTINUES TO REMAIN ASSOCIATED WITH A NEAR-EQUATORIAL TROUGH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/WOFFORD/HATFIELD/PUGH/BACON// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Apr 30 13:07:16 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id NAA29777 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 1997 13:07:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102417-6040>; Wed, 30 Apr 1997 13:07:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA124244; Wed, 30 Apr 1997 00:03:16 -0500 Message-Id: <199704300503.AAA124244@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Apr 1997 00:00:56 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 28 Apr 1997 to 29 Apr 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 8 messages totalling 243 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Richardson quote (2) 2. Monthly severe weather stats 3. TV Met Job Available 4. Washington Post article 4/28/97 5. NBC News story on ND floods 6. Windows 95 and PCGRIDDS...PCNOW...etc. (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 29 Apr 1997 09:28:32 -0500 From: Pam Knox Subject: Richardson quote Help! I am trying to find the quotation by Richardson on "Big whirls feed on little whirls, ... and so on to viscosity". Can someone help me out with an exact quote and citation? Please reply to stclim@macc.wisc.edu. Thanks a bunch! Pam Knox Matthew Menne ------------------------------------------------------------------------- State Climatology Office 1353 Atmos., Oceanic & Space Sciences Bldg 1225 West Dayton Street Madison, WI 53706 (608) 263-2374 mjmenne@students.wisc.edu -------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 29 Apr 1997 09:13:18 -0600 From: "Ricketts,Steve [Edm]" Subject: Re: Richardson quote >From http://lvov.weizmann.ac.il/physword/node2.html "Modern concepts about high Re number turbulence started to evolve with Richardson's insightful contributions [4] which contained the famous ``poem" that paraphrased J. Swift: ``Big whirls have little whirls that feed on their velocity, and little whirls have lesser whirls and so on to viscosity -in the molecular sense". L.F. Richardson, Weather Prediction by Numerical Process, (Cambridge, 1922) >From http://iris.ssec.wisc.edu/quote "Big whorls have little whorls that feed on their vorticity, and little whorls have lesser whorls and so on to viscosity." - L.F.Richardson >---------- >From: Pam Knox[SMTP:pnknox@FACSTAFF.WISC.EDU] >Sent: April 29, 1997 8:28 AM >To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK >Subject: Richardson quote > >Help! I am trying to find the quotation by Richardson on "Big whirls feed >on little whirls, ... and so on to viscosity". Can someone help me out with >an exact quote and citation? > >Please reply to stclim@macc.wisc.edu. > ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 29 Apr 1997 11:18:15 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Monthly severe weather stats Hey all, Anyone else notice that the monthly tornado tabulations found under WMO header WWUS61 KMKC have stopped coming in? What's the deal here? Thanks for any help! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 29 Apr 1997 11:39:51 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available The following appeared in today's edition of SHOPTALK. ..Chris.. METEOROLOGIST: If you want to work where the weather is many times the lead story... and have state-of-the-art equipment to do it with.... send us your best stuff. AMS or NWA (or eligible) seals preferred. Please send your most recent work on Beta, 3/4", or VHS ASAP to: Mr. Micah Johnson, News Director, WVIT-TV, 1422 New Britain Avenue, West Hartford, CT 06110. PLEASE DO NOT CALL! *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 29 Apr 1997 16:55:45 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Washington Post article 4/28/97 Cutbacks Mean Turbulence For Forecasters Weather Service Faces Tight Budget Squeeze By Stephen Barr Washington Post Staff Writer Monday, April 28 1997; Page A01 The Washington Post In the World Weather Building at Camp Springs, just off the Beltway, the government's meteorologists move from computer to computer, tracking the nation's weather patterns. It's there that Marine Prediction Center forecasters warn Atlantic and Pacific sailors of impending storms and high seas. Down the aisle, at the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center, specialists track clouds, rain and snow and predict weather trends three to five days in advance. The center's forecasters warned the Midwest about spring flooding, including the North Dakota flood. But for the National Weather Service, 1997 is shaping up as the year of the big squeeze. The agency is struggling with a $41 million budget shortfall and plans to abolish about 200 jobs, 130 of them in the Washington area. [... full text at http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/WPlate/1997 -04/28/073L-042897-idx.html ] Rob ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 29 Apr 1997 17:45:05 GMT From: Brian Curran Subject: Re: NBC News story on ND floods On Tue, 29 Apr 1997 11:50:48 -0500, brooks@nssl.noaa.gov (Harold Brooks) wrote: >In article <3.0.1.32.19970425145618.0069915c@norden1.com>, Robert P Dale > wrote: > >[deletions] >> >> I would hope that he would have shared his information with the NWS -- >> and now the question becomes why did the NWS reject this forecast? >> >> >> And on another note, how is the NWS supposed to indicate their forecast >> "lacked confidence." > >Probabilistic forecasts express uncertainty wonderfully. The hydrologic >community has been wanting probabilistic QPF products to input into their >models for some time. > >Probabilities also allow users to make more intelligent, informed >decisions, based on their own level of risk and costs for protection >against adverse weather. After, of course, someone with a background in both statistics and hydrometeorology explains the cost/loss ratio with respect to the probabilistic QPF. >In my view, all NWS products should be expressed probabilistically. On what terms? Does the generic forecast take the shape of a probability curve expressed as a density function? How does this transfer to what the user requires? Do I tell the user that the chance of rain is 20 percent, or do I tell the user that the probability of rain is a gamma-type probability distribution? I'm sorry, Harold, this is not intended as a flame, but I just don't understand this POV. Perhaps I am missing the point, or perhaps I hold the view that the average person on the street (or the meteorologist working a desk) cannot interpret nor explain probabilistic forecasts. One can argue that probabilistic forecasts increase quality, but if the forecasts are made without a clear understanding of meteorology, hydrology, and statistics, how can quality improve? Once again, education of both the meteorologist and the user is critical, and in these austere budgetary times, education is unfortunately expendable. >Harold >-- >Harold Brooks brooks@nssl.uoknor.edu >Head, Mesoscale Applications Group >DOC/NOAA/ERL/National Severe Storms Laboratory (Norman, OK) >"A litle knowledge can be a ridiculous thing"--Dilbert >http://www.nssl.uoknor.edu/~brooks/ bc -- Brian Curran ebcurran@flash.net Standard disclaimers apply; I speak for myself. "The opinion of the strongest is always the best." - J. de la Fontaine ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 29 Apr 1997 18:00:57 -0500 From: "Ryan C. McCammon" Subject: Windows 95 and PCGRIDDS...PCNOW...etc. Has anyone run into any problems with running these two DOS based programs on the Windows 95 (either 95a or 95b) platform? If so...please email me or post any details about problems you have encountered. Thanks, Ryan ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 29 Apr 1997 21:15:29 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Windows 95 and PCGRIDDS...PCNOW...etc. PCGridds runs fine for me (10/96 version), and the southern region NWS page (under SSD or SOD?) has a file on setting up PCNow. At 06:00 PM 4/29/97 -0500, Ryan wrote: >Has anyone run into any problems with running >these two DOS based programs on the >Windows 95 (either 95a or 95b) platform? >If so...please email me or post >any details about problems >you have encountered. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 28 Apr 1997 to 29 Apr 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Apr 30 14:08:44 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA00255 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 1997 14:08:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102519-6040>; Wed, 30 Apr 1997 14:09:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA210598; Wed, 30 Apr 1997 00:56:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5438354 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Apr 1997 00:56:02 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA264084 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 1997 00:56:01 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA62055 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Apr 1997 00:56:00 -0500 Message-ID: <199704300556.AAA62055@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 30 Apr 1997 00:56:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -300056 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 35428 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z APR 97/010600Z MAY 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 170E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8S8 169E6. THE CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS IMPROVED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATE THAT THIS AREA IS ASSOCIATED WITH A NEAR-EQUATORIAL TROUGH. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW OVER THIS AREA IS GOOD TO THE NORTH AND TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM CENTER BUT POOR ELSEWHERE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/WOFFORD/PUGH/BACON// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu May 1 13:07:25 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id NAA09681 for ; Thu, 1 May 1997 13:07:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102400-28482>; Thu, 1 May 1997 13:07:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA223424; Thu, 1 May 1997 00:04:12 -0500 Message-Id: <199705010504.AAA223424@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 1 May 1997 00:01:10 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 29 Apr 1997 to 30 Apr 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 9 messages totalling 323 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Richardson quote 2. Monthly severe weather stats (2) 3. Upper air soundings 4. AccuWeather (2) 5. Corrected AccuWeather URL 6. Cap Graphics..... 7. WMO products/headers +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 30 Apr 1997 05:20:04 -0500 From: Roger Edwards Subject: Re: Richardson quote On Tue, 29 Apr 1997, Pam Knox typed: > Help! I am trying to find the quotation by Richardson on "Big whirls feed > on little whirls, ... and so on to viscosity". Can someone help me out with > an exact quote and citation? It so happens I still have a tattered old met-contest t-shirt from OU that carries the quote: Big whirls have little whirls that feed on their velocity And little whirls have lesser whirls, and so on to viscosity (LF Richardson) ...above which is drawn a humongous, highly exagerrated and unrealistic multiple-vortex tornado that looks like 8 Union Cities revolving around one another. I won't vouch for the authenticity of the quote that appeared on the shirt! ---------------------------- *** No disclaimer necessary; this is my personal account! *** "Let's follow this sheriff; ===== Roger Edwards ===== he'll get killed before we do." ( ) Forecaster - current chase partner former NHC Forecaster :::::::::: http://www.wildstar.net/~tornado :::::::::: "I FEAST ON THE SMORGASBORD OF ATMOSPHERIC VIOLENCE." ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 30 Apr 1997 05:49:08 -0500 From: Roger Edwards Subject: Re: Monthly severe weather stats On Tue, 29 Apr 1997, Gilbert L. Sebenste typed: > Anyone else notice that the monthly tornado tabulations found under WMO > header WWUS61 KMKC have stopped coming in? What's the deal here? > Thanks for any help! It hasn't stopped going out! Check AFOS (if you have it, STAMTS), the SPC Home Page or the Ohio State server. The current version, including the March prelim tornado count, is there. ------------------------- *** No disclaimer necessary; this is my personal account! *** "Gimme the @$#% camera! You have ===== Roger Edwards ===== no common sense at all!" ( ) Forecaster - former NSSL chase partner former NHC Forecaster :::::::::: http://www.wildstar.net/~tornado :::::::::: "I FEAST ON THE SMORGASBORD OF ATMOSPHERIC VIOLENCE." ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 30 Apr 1997 06:16:08 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: Monthly severe weather stats On Wed, 30 Apr 1997, Roger Edwards wrote: > On Tue, 29 Apr 1997, Gilbert L. Sebenste typed: > > > Anyone else notice that the monthly tornado tabulations found under WMO > > header WWUS61 KMKC have stopped coming in? What's the deal here? > > Thanks for any help! > > It hasn't stopped going out! Check AFOS (if you have it, STAMTS), the SPC > Home Page or the Ohio State server. The current version, including the > March prelim tornado count, is there. Got it today, but it wasn't going out for the last several days. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 30 Apr 1997 14:25:40 -0400 From: "Douglas R. Maclean" Subject: Re: Upper air soundings Does anyone know where I can access previous soundings on past days. Is there a place on the net where these are archived. If anyonw knows of such a place, that would be of great help to me! Thanks! Douglas MacLean e-mail: d_maclea@oz.plymouth.edu ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 30 Apr 1997 12:12:57 -0700 From: cavataio Subject: AccuWeather To all: I need help locating AccuWeather. CNN uses them to provide data for their weather page. As manager of the small, quaint, but proud weather station at San Diego State University, I have a problem to address. Besides providing a weather page for San Diego, CNN also has one for us, SDSU. This is very interesting because we neither report to the NWS nor anyone else! There is no other station on campus. Any help you can give will be much appreciated. Thank you. Vicki Cavataio Department of Geography San Diego State University 5500 Campanile Drive San Diego, CA 92182 Office: 619-594-8037 ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 30 Apr 1997 14:59:58 -0700 From: Jason Kelley Subject: Re: AccuWeather --------------DD84D710174C7DD04AF4D0F0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit cavataio wrote: > To all: > > I need help locating AccuWeather. CNN uses them to provide data for > their > weather page. As manager of the small, quaint, but proud weather > station > at San Diego State University, I have a problem to address. Besides > providing a weather page for San Diego, CNN also has one for us, > SDSU. > This is very interesting because we neither report to the NWS nor > anyone > else! There is no other station on campus. > > Any help you can give will be much appreciated. Thank you. > > Vicki Cavataio > Department of Geography > San Diego State University > 5500 Campanile Drive > San Diego, CA 92182 > Office: 619-594-8037 > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html AccuWeather's homepage is at http://www.accuwx.com They are located in State College, PA and their Phone Number is 1 (814) 237-0309 Hope this helps... -- *********************************************** * Jason C. Kelley Chief Meteorologist * * WABG-TV Greenville- Greenwood, MS * * http://www.wabg.com/wx1.html * * jkelley@tecinfo.com * * "No matter where you go, there you are.." * *********************************************** --------------DD84D710174C7DD04AF4D0F0 Content-Type: text/html; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit cavataio wrote:
To all:

I need help locating AccuWeather.  CNN uses them to provide data for their
weather page.  As manager of the small, quaint, but proud weather station
at San Diego State University, I have a problem to address. Besides
providing a weather page for San Diego, CNN also has one for us, SDSU.
This is very interesting because we neither report to the NWS nor anyone
else!  There is no other station on campus.

Any help you can give will be much appreciated.  Thank you.

Vicki Cavataio
Department of Geography
San Diego State University
5500 Campanile Drive
San Diego, CA 92182
Office:  619-594-8037

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with
"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message.  For help with WX-TALK
write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html
 AccuWeather's homepage is at

http://www.accuwx.com

They are located in State College, PA and their Phone Number is

1 (814) 237-0309

Hope this helps...

--
***********************************************
*  Jason C. Kelley    Chief Meteorologist     *
*    WABG-TV  Greenville- Greenwood, MS       *
*       http://www.wabg.com/wx1.html          *
*            jkelley@tecinfo.com              *
*  "No matter where you go, there you are.."  *
*********************************************** --------------DD84D710174C7DD04AF4D0F0-- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 30 Apr 1997 17:24:59 -0700 From: Jason Kelley Subject: Corrected AccuWeather URL I misposted the Accuweather Web URL Earlier...it is... http://www.accuweather.com Sorry for any confusion... -- *********************************************** * Jason C. Kelley Chief Meteorologist * * WABG-TV Greenville- Greenwood, MS * * http://www.wabg.com/wx1.html * * jkelley@tecinfo.com * * "No matter where you go, there you are.." * *********************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 30 Apr 1997 19:06:34 -0700 From: Jason Kelley Subject: Cap Graphics..... Hello all, Just a quick question...does anyone know of any graphics on the 'net that monitor cap strength throughout the day based on sfc temps, etc??? And if so...where are they??? Thanks a 1,000,000 -- *********************************************** * Jason C. Kelley Chief Meteorologist * * WABG-TV Greenville- Greenwood, MS * * http://www.wabg.com/wx1.html * * jkelley@tecinfo.com * * "No matter where you go, there you are.." * *********************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 30 Apr 1997 19:24:11 -0500 From: Warren Sunkel Subject: WMO products/headers On Tue, 29 Apr 1997 00:44:39 -0400 Tony Cristaldi wrote: --------- Could anyone direct me to a source of info where I could get a list of what I believe are the "WMO product headers" (e.g. WTIO32) and the corresponding products? I am updating the bookmarks on my home PC to include some of the W. Pacific/Indian Ocean Tropical Storm Products from the OSU Gopher. Any help would be appreciated. Thanx. --------- Point your browser at http://www.nws.noaa.gov/oso/wmohdg.shtml I believe this page cites a .ZIP file which contains the information you need. Warren ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 29 Apr 1997 to 30 Apr 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu May 1 14:27:57 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA01521 for ; Thu, 1 May 1997 14:27:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102630-28482>; Thu, 1 May 1997 14:28:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA152024; Thu, 1 May 1997 01:18:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5451975 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 1 May 1997 01:18:24 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA151938 for ; Thu, 1 May 1997 01:18:22 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id BAA46566 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 May 1997 01:18:21 -0500 Message-ID: <199705010618.BAA46566@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 1 May 1997 01:18:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -010118 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 62179 ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z MAY 97/020600Z MAY 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1)AN AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 04N4 170E8. ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A GOOD INFLOW AT LOWER AND MID LEVELS. WATER VAPOR DERIVED UPPER LEVEL WINDS INDICATE STRONG DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 169E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10S1 170E8. THE CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS DECREASED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. WATER VAPOR DERIVED UPPER LEVEL WINDS AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOW THAT THERE IS DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/HAM/BOYD/EIBLING// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu May 1 22:55:55 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id WAA05054 for ; Thu, 1 May 1997 22:55:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102505-28482>; Thu, 1 May 1997 22:56:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA38620; Thu, 1 May 1997 09:46:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5455041 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 1 May 1997 09:45:54 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA200868 for ; Thu, 1 May 1997 09:45:53 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id JAA37373 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 May 1997 09:45:53 -0500 Message-ID: <199705011445.JAA37373@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 1 May 1997 09:45:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -010945 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 42746 ABPW10 PGTW 011500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/011500Z MAY 97/020600Z MAY 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1)AN AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 04N4 170E8 IS NOW NEAR 04N4 168E5. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A GOOD INFLOW AT LOWER LEVELS. WATER VAPOR DERIVED UPPER LEVEL WINDS INDICATE STRONG DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 170E8 IS NOW NEAR 13S4 173E1. THE CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 08 HOURS. THE SYSTEM ALSO HAS A WELL- DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AS SHOWN ON DMSP MICROWAVE IMAGERY FROM 010731Z2. WATER VAPOR DERIVED UPPER-LEVEL WINDS AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOW THERE IS GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. THE UPGRADE OF THIS DISTURBANCE FROM POOR TO FAIR IS THE REASON FOR REISSUANCE OF THIS ADVISORY. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS FORECAST TEAM: NICKLAS/SULLINS/MILLER/DOBBINS// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri May 2 12:15:24 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id MAA10694 for ; Fri, 2 May 1997 12:15:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102592-22876>; Fri, 2 May 1997 12:15:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA199354; Thu, 1 May 1997 23:03:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5464168 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 1 May 1997 23:02:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA229240 for ; Thu, 1 May 1997 23:02:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id XAA14857 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 May 1997 23:00:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705020400.XAA14857@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 May 1997 23:00:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 497 WTXS21 PGTW 021400 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 021351Z MAY 97// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.6S8 171.5E4 TO 17.8S6 172.8E8 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 012330Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.5S8 171.7E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: THIS SYSTEM IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE NORTHWEST, WHICH HAS SLOWED DEVELOPMENT. THIS SHEAR HAS LESSENED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE ANALYSIS (DVORAK T1.0) AND CLOUD DRIFT DERIVED WINDS. 5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 031400Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri May 2 12:51:38 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id MAA11063 for ; Fri, 2 May 1997 12:51:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102610-22876>; Fri, 2 May 1997 12:51:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA216930; Thu, 1 May 1997 23:39:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5464523 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 1 May 1997 23:39:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA232526 for ; Thu, 1 May 1997 23:39:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id XAA15272 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 1 May 1997 23:37:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705020437.XAA15272@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 1 May 1997 23:37:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 992 WTPS21 PGTW 020400 CORB SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 020351Z MAY 97 CORRECTED// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.6S8 171.5E4 TO 17.8S6 172.8E8 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 012330Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.5S8 171.7E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: THIS SYSTEM IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE NORTHWEST, WHICH HAS SLOWED DEVELOPMENT. THIS SHEAR HAS LESSENED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE ANALYSIS (DVORAK T1.0) AND CLOUD DRIFT DERIVED WINDS. 5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 030400Z8. CORRECTION ISSUED TO CORRECT BULLETIN HEADER.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri May 2 13:25:04 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id NAA11407 for ; Fri, 2 May 1997 13:25:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102470-22876>; Fri, 2 May 1997 13:25:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA257216; Fri, 2 May 1997 00:06:23 -0500 Message-Id: <199705020506.AAA257216@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 2 May 1997 00:02:12 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 30 Apr 1997 to 1 May 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 7 messages totalling 203 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. LSR request... 2. Cap graphics 3. Xenia, OH Tornado Web Site 4. 24h precip estimates 5. ASOS Commissioning Notice 6. to all TV mets (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 1 May 1997 08:17:56 -0500 From: John Lamb Subject: LSR request... Could someone please forward me the LSR(s) from ILX - Lincoln, IL for yesterday's severe weather outbreak. Looks like my hometown and the area around it got hit pretty hard. Thanks in advance.. John john@hockey.net ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 1 May 1997 07:43:52 -0600 From: Ben Bernstein Subject: Cap graphics Jason, Greg Thompson's web page has analyses and forecasts of CAPE and CIN based on the latest RUC model output. This info can be found at: http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/model.html Look at the RUC data and you will find "CAPE/CIN" in the row of data titled "surface." Ben Bernstein ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 1 May 1997 09:39:54 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Xenia, OH Tornado Web Site Terri Ruwe sent this message to me and asked me to post it to WX-TALK. Although it's been almost a quarter century since the super outbreak that spawned the Xenia tornado, it is still one of the most memorable tornado events in recent history. ..Chris.. From: Terri Ruwe & Mike Arquilla Dear Chris: I read the wx-talk, wx-chase, and skywarn lists through dejanews, and so am not authorized to post to the groups, but I found this while I was surfing today. I thought it might be of interest to people one all three of the lists.As I live in Dayton, and survived the tornado that struck western Cincinnati that day, I am very much in awe of these photographs, which show the funnel from formation... and many, many explicit pictures of the destruction. The URL is : http://www.interaxs.net/pub/hgr/tornado.htm It can also be accessed from the Wilmington, Ohio NWS site at: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/er/iln/ Terri Ruwe KB8RVB sandman@dnaco.net Homepage:http://www.geocities.com/CapeCanaveral/9267 *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 1 May 1997 10:19:10 -0600 From: "David O. Blanchard" Subject: 24h precip estimates WX-TALKers, On the WSI/Intellicast Web site, there is a graphic that portrays the estimated 24h precipitation over the US. It is based on data from the WSR-88D radar network. I have been using these GIF images as a first look to determine whether there was heavy/excessive precipitation over the US during the previous 24h. For that purpose, I find it a useful tool. I was unable to save images from a handful of days during the month of April. If anyone else saved these images and has them archived, I would be interested in hearing from you. The dates I am looking for are for the 24h period ending on: 4/5, 4/6, 4/9-4/12, 4/20, and 4/24. Thanks, -db- -- +----------------------------------------------------------------------+ | David Blanchard NOAA/NSSL & OU/CIMMS Boulder, Colorado | | blanch@ncar.ucar.edu http://mrd3.mmm.ucar.edu/~dob/www/ | +----------------------------------------------------------------------+ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 1 May 1997 13:34:46 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site will become ASOS commissioned at 1800 UTC on 01 May, 1997. SHREVEPORT DOWNTOWN AIRPORT (KDTN) SHREVEPORT... LOUISIANA Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 1 May 1997 13:29:59 -0500 From: Tim Heller Subject: to all TV mets Are any other TV stations suddenly having problems with their automatic storm alert computers (StormWatch, First Alert, OmniLert)? I'm the Chief Meteorologist at KDFW-TV in Dallas, Tx. We have a StormWatch computer that had been running great up until 2 weeks ago. Suddenly, the system stopped recognizing WATCHES. (Nice timing...right in the middle of our severe weather season!) I know there were some changes made to the format of the watches issued by the Storm Prediction Center. I'm thinking that the coded data has been changed and that's why StormWatch doesn't recognize the statement when it's issued. Is anyone else having this problem with their system? (By the way, warnings are handled correctly...which still has the coded data in the header.) Yes, EarthWatch tech support knows of the problem and they're "working on it." I'm taking the lead and trying to help them solve it...we don't have time to wait. Tim Heller timonica@airmail.net ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 1 May 1997 17:08:19 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: to all TV mets On Thu, 1 May 1997 timonica@airmail.net wrote: > Are any other TV stations suddenly having problems with their automatic > storm alert computers (StormWatch, First Alert, OmniLert)? > > I'm the Chief Meteorologist at KDFW-TV in Dallas, Tx. We have a StormWatch > computer that had been running great up until 2 weeks ago. Suddenly, the > system stopped recognizing WATCHES. (Nice timing...right in the middle of > our severe weather season!) > > I know there were some changes made to the format of the watches issued by > the Storm Prediction Center. I'm thinking that the coded data has been > changed and that's why StormWatch doesn't recognize the statement when it's > issued. Is anyone else having this problem with their system? (By the > way, warnings are handled correctly...which still has the coded data in the > header.) > > Yes, EarthWatch tech support knows of the problem and they're "working on > it." I'm taking the lead and trying to help them solve it...we don't have > time to wait. > > Tim Heller Tim, You got it! The codes did change, requiring software modifications (or formatting changes). Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 30 Apr 1997 to 1 May 1997 ************************************************* From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri May 2 16:04:39 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id QAA12717 for ; Fri, 2 May 1997 16:04:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102683-22876>; Fri, 2 May 1997 16:05:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA57840; Fri, 2 May 1997 02:32:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5466465 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 May 1997 02:31:56 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA212446 for ; Fri, 2 May 1997 02:31:56 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id CAA28140 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 May 1997 02:31:55 -0500 Message-ID: <199705020731.CAA28140@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 2 May 1997 02:31:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -020231 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 45033 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 020351Z MAY 97// WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z MAY 97/030600Z MAY 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1)THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 04N4 168E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 05N5 170E8. ANIMATED VISUAL, INFRARED, AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW GOOD INFLOW AT LOWER LEVELS AND GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT. CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION HAS REMAINED THE SAME. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 173E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.9S2 172.7E7 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 020400Z6)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/HAM/BOYD/EIBLING// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri May 2 16:08:20 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id QAA12763 for ; Fri, 2 May 1997 16:08:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102488-22876>; Fri, 2 May 1997 16:08:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA95452; Fri, 2 May 1997 02:37:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5466482 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 May 1997 02:37:30 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA113610 for ; Fri, 2 May 1997 02:37:29 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id CAA67603 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 May 1997 02:37:28 -0500 Message-ID: <199705020737.CAA67603@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 2 May 1997 02:37:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -020237 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 67856 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 020351Z MAY 97// WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z MAY 97/030600Z MAY 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1)THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 04N4 168E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 05N5 170E8. ANIMATED VISUAL, INFRARED, AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW GOOD INFLOW AT LOWER LEVELS AND GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT. CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION HAS REMAINED THE SAME. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 173E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.9S2 172.7E7 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 020400Z6)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/HAM/BOYD/EIBLING// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri May 2 16:24:51 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id QAA12817 for ; Fri, 2 May 1997 16:24:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102434-22876>; Fri, 2 May 1997 16:25:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA257268; Fri, 2 May 1997 03:15:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5466702 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 May 1997 03:15:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA235224 for ; Fri, 2 May 1997 03:15:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA19343 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 May 1997 03:12:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705020812.DAA19343@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 May 1997 03:12:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 015 WTPS31 PGTW 020900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 020351Z MAY 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 020400 ) 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 35P WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020600Z8 --- 12.3S6 171.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.3S6 171.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 13.5S9 171.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 14.7S2 171.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 15.5S1 170.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 16.3S0 169.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 020900Z1 POSITION 12.6S9 171.7E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 35P IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TURN TO THE SOUTHWEST AS IT FOLLOWS THE DOMINANT RIDGE EASTERLY STEERING PATTERN. TROPICAL CYCLONE 35P SHOULD INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY BEFORE WEAKENING UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AS IT MOVES INTO AN AREA OF INTENSE UPPER LEVEL WESTERLIES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020600Z8 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 022100Z5 (DTG 021951Z8) AND 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 020351Z MAY 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 020400 )// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri May 2 17:13:41 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id RAA13169 for ; Fri, 2 May 1997 17:13:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102671-22876>; Fri, 2 May 1997 17:14:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA257190; Fri, 2 May 1997 04:05:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5466827 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 May 1997 04:05:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA235152 for ; Fri, 2 May 1997 04:05:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id EAA20234 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 May 1997 04:03:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705020903.EAA20234@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 May 1997 04:03:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 483 WTPS31 PGTW 020900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 020351Z MAY 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 020400 ) 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 35P WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020600Z8 --- 12.3S6 171.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.3S6 171.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 13.5S9 171.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 14.7S2 171.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 15.5S1 170.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 16.3S0 169.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 020900Z1 POSITION 12.6S9 171.7E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 35P IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TURN TO THE SOUTHWEST AS IT FOLLOWS THE DOMINANT RIDGE EASTERLY STEERING PATTERN. TROPICAL CYCLONE 35P SHOULD INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY BEFORE WEAKENING UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AS IT MOVES INTO AN AREA OF INTENSE UPPER LEVEL WESTERLIES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020600Z8 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 022100Z5 (DTG 021951Z8) AND 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 020351Z MAY 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 020400 )// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG28641220751 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat May 3 04:14:53 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id EAA18606 for ; Sat, 3 May 1997 04:14:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102928-22876>; Sat, 3 May 1997 04:15:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA160362; Fri, 2 May 1997 15:00:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5472538 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 May 1997 14:58:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA102322 for ; Fri, 2 May 1997 14:58:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA04445 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 2 May 1997 14:56:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705021956.OAA04445@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 2 May 1997 14:56:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 114 WTPS31 PGTW 022100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 35P WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021800Z1 --- 13.3S7 173.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.3S7 173.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 14.3S8 173.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 15.4S0 173.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 16.9S6 172.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 18.4S3 171.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 022100Z5 POSITION 13.6S0 173.1E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 35P IS MOVING SLOWLY TOWARDS THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 05 KNOTS. CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 021730Z3 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS (DVORAK T3.0). WE EXPECT TC 35P TO INTENSIFY TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN THE NEXT TWELVE HOURS BEFORE BEGINNING A WEAKENING TREND AS IT BEGINS TO GET SHEARED BY THE UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLIES. MOVEMENT IS CURRENTLY SLOW DUE TO THE EQUATORIAL WESTERLY WIND BURST FEEDING INTO TC 35P AS WELL AS THE STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED NEAR 40S4 170E8. AS THIS HIGH PRESSURE CENTER CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARDS THE EAST, WE EXPECT TC 35P TO MOVE TOWARDS THE SOUTHWESTERN EDGE OF THE RIDGE TOWARDS A BREAK INDICATED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY. ALL OF OUR DYNAMIC GUIDANCE SUPPORTS THIS SCENARIO WHILE CLIMATOLOGY WOULD TAKE THE TROPICAL CYCLONE TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z1 IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6) AND 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat May 3 13:14:47 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id NAA22072 for ; Sat, 3 May 1997 13:14:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102707-15578>; Sat, 3 May 1997 13:11:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA41672; Sat, 3 May 1997 00:03:29 -0500 Message-Id: <199705030503.AAA41672@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 3 May 1997 00:00:15 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 1 May 1997 to 2 May 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 11 messages totalling 405 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. NIDS PRODUCTS AND VENDOR TROUBLE 2. spc graphics (2) 3. Hurricane Tracking Program 4. looking for a poem (4) 5. ASOS Commissioning Notice 6. Help!!!! 7. Looking for a poem +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 2 May 1997 01:01:26 -0500 From: Dan Satterfield Subject: NIDS PRODUCTS AND VENDOR TROUBLE While I am not having trouble with the new watches I am wondering if anyone is having trouble with timely dilivery of Nexrad products from their NIDS vendor. Apparently our vendor is making the storm attribute table and certain other products a lower priority and many times I go 40 minutes between updates during severe weather. Fortunately I have a dial up program to another vendor that gives me the latest volume scan. If your having probs I'd like an email and if your satellite data delivery is excellent I'd like to know because I may be looking for a new vendor soon. Dan Satterfield Chief Meteorologist WHNT TV Huntsville AL ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 2 May 1997 14:00:08 UT From: eric elwell Subject: spc graphics Does anyone know why SPC's homepage is no longer updating their swody1 and swody2 graphics? I thought they had fixed that? I may have missed the answer to this in a previous wx-talk. Thanks, Eric Elwell - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - / - - * Eric W. Elwell / - * Meteorologist / - - \ - * KAKE-TV Channel 10 (ABC) / - * Email: stormguy@msn.com / - * Work Phone (Voice Mail) 316-946-1378 - * Amateur Radio # KD4BNT - ------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 2 May 1997 09:13:51 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: spc graphics On Fri, 2 May 1997, eric elwell wrote: > Does anyone know why SPC's homepage is no longer updating their swody1 and > swody2 graphics? I thought they had fixed that? I may have missed the answer > to this in a previous wx-talk. > Thanks, > Eric Elwell Eric, Yep, it broke again. But they do know about it, and will correct it ASAP, so I have been told by one of their forecasters. In the meantime, check out the link at the College of DuPage NEXLAB: http://kamala.cod.edu/spc/ Not only do they make their own graphics, but you get the current AND the previous day 1 and two outlook overlaid on each other. VERY nice! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 2 May 1997 09:21:26 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Hurricane Tracking Program Jim Graham sent me this message concerning new software and asked if I would post it to WX-TALK and WX-ATLAN. If you have any questions please contact Jim. He has as web page at: http://www.gnt.net/~n5ial/jstrack.html ..Chris.. = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = JStrack (named after my two cats, Jack and Shadow), is a UNIX-based hurricane tracking program written in Tcl and Tk. It has a text-only interface (pure Tcl) and a GUI interface (Tcl/Tk). It is intended for use on UNIX, but I should mention that it *SHOULD* run on, or at least be able to be ported to, any system that can run Tcl/Tk. Before I get into anything else, let me state very clearly that JStrack is *NOT FINISHED*. The beta release is a functional tracking program, but there is still some cleaning up to do, as well as some features that either haven't been added yet, or are still quite crude. Features (so far): * General: 1) Has a filter (this is one of the bits that's still pretty crude) to take its input directly from the NHC Forecast/Advisory text. Right now, that means piping one message to the filter via the standard input, and re-directing the output (via '>>') to the storm data file. The idea, eventually, is to have this filter designed to be able to be called directly from procmail (or other filter for incoming e-mail) to automatically update the tracking program, *AND* to then have the tracker notice the updated files (if for a storm that's currently in memory) and ask the user if they want to re-load the storm's data to get the latest info. It is *NOT* there yet. :-( 2) FUTURE---more filters...I hope...including possibly NHC probabilities, recon reports, etc. ... all depending on whether or not I can figure out what to do with them and how to code it. ANY HELP IN THIS AREA WOULD BE GREATLY APPRECIATED! * For both the text-only and GUI interface: 1) Text-based command line and menu. 2) Can print the detailed information (storm type, category if a hurricane, maximum winds/gusts, minimum pressure, eye diameter, forecast positions/parameters, etc.) for any of the storm's data points. 3) Can print a history of the storm, including an indication in the chart if the pressure is either rising or falling (will probably do the same for eye diameter, when available). 4) Ability to read the NHC advisories directly from the program. 5) Select between Miles/MPH and NM/KT for units when displaying data. 6) Input storm data manually (e.g., when you get updated info via the radio, but don't have the NHC data yet) 7) Built-in help (still crude, but functional). * For the GUI interface: 1) Tk-based menus. 2) Plots the storm's (or storms') locations, and (optionally) the wind radii and/or forecast positions for the latest position. 3) Clicking button one on any plotted point for a storm pulls up a menu from which you can: * Display the detailed data for that point * Display NHC advisories (if the advisory number is known) for that point * Plot/delete forecast positions from that point * Plot/delete wind radii for that point 4) Create a PostScript output of the canvas (needs work) 5) Input storm data manually (as above) from a Tk-based form. For now, that's about it. Like I said, it isn't finished, and it isn't everything I'd like it to be, but frankly, it's a lot more than I thought I'd have by now, so I'm pretty happy! To get a copy, ftp to ftp.gnt.net, and look in users/n5ial/JStrack. The xwd file in there is an xwd dump of the tracker with Josephine and Lili loaded (at least, those positions that I had data for). The README and INSTALL files give more detailed information on installing and running the program, but that's another area where I have a *LOT* of work to do (including, among other things, giving proper credit to the people who have already helped in making this beast work---everything from ideas to help with parts of the program itself)! This program, btw, is freeware. Basically, if anyone uses it and benefits from it, a simple thank-you via e-mail is more than enough. Comments, suggestions, and if needed, bug reports are also welcome. If anyone likes it so much that they just really want to send money, I'd like to request that they send it to the Red Cross, Salvation Army, the National Guard (if they'll take it) or any other disaster relief agency. Those folks did more for us after Erin and Opal than I could even begin to list without spending a few days typing (and I type pretty fast...), so if anyone is really anxious to send money, send it their way. One final comment. I'm not a programmer---I'm a network design guy. But, as any telecom person no doubt knows, telecom, UNIX, and C go hand in hand, so that sort of happened on its own. Now, if I'd tried to write this thing in C, it'd never get out. In fact, I'm frankly amazed that I managed to do this at all. It all boils down to one thing: Tcl/Tk. I've done things, both at home and at work, with Tcl/Tk (and extensions, most notably Expect) that would be (for me) unthinkable in C. I've also re-written one C/curses application at work in Tcl/Tk, adding features, and cutting the number of lines of code to a tiny fraction of what the C/curses version required (i.e., around 1/10th the code, twice the features). But if you do have any criticisms, do remember that I'm not a software engineer. In other words, be nice.... :-) Questions, comments, etc., to jim@n5ial.gnt.net. Later, --jim ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 2 May 1997 14:32:14 CDT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: looking for a poem Does anyone know the name of the poem, I think by Carl Sandberg, that has the line about fog coming in on cat's feet? Scott -- Scott S. Lindstrom | The only other sound's scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | the sweep of easy http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | wind and downy flake ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 2 May 1997 14:01:06 -0600 From: "Ricketts,Steve [Edm]" Subject: Re: looking for a poem I found it at http://www.wfu.edu/~marshdt3/riddles.txt It's in the form of a riddle... Entry: 18.14 Date: Unknown Who: mark@pokey.jsc.nasa.gov Author: Mark Manning Title: None Riddle: It comes in on little cat's feet, Is neither sour, nor sweet. Hovers in the air, And then is not there. answer: FOG or MIST >---------- >From: Scott Lindstrom[SMTP:scottl@SSEC.WISC.EDU] >Sent: May 2, 1997 1:32 PM >To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK >Subject: looking for a poem > >Does anyone know the name of the poem, I think by Carl Sandberg, that has >the line about fog coming in on cat's feet? > >Scott >-- >Scott S. Lindstrom | The only other sound's >scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | the sweep of easy >http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | wind and downy flake > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 2 May 1997 16:09:55 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site became a commissioned ASOS site at 1800 UTC on 02 May 1997. SELDOVIA AIRPORT (PASO) SELDOVIA... ALASKA Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 2 May 1997 15:08:07 -0700 From: Jason Kelley Subject: Help!!!! I'm trying to find a site that has today's 18z sounding from JAN...I've tried the Storm Machine (sorry Gilbert, no luck there), NCAR, Ohio St. and several others....if anybody can help I'd really be grateful!!!! -- *********************************************** * Jason C. Kelley Chief Meteorologist * * WABG-TV Greenville- Greenwood, MS * * http://www.wabg.com/wx1.html * * jkelley@tecinfo.com * * "No matter where you go, there you are.." * *********************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 2 May 1997 18:12:06 -0500 From: "David B. Smith" Subject: looking for a poem SL>Does anyone know the name of the poem, I think by Carl Sandberg, that has SL>the line about fog coming in on cat's feet? SL>Scott S. Lindstrom | The only other sound's I believe the title is "Fog." But that's from memory. * SLMR 2.1a * This home feeling brought as a Public Service by ChitChat -- >> David B. Smith | Email sysop@atbbs.com, dbsmith@izzy.net >> Sysop, American Tune BBS | DISCLAIMER: Hey, I -own- the place! >> Anyway, my views are sometimes not even my own, much less anyone else's. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 2 May 1997 16:11:32 -0700 From: cavataio Subject: Re: looking for a poem Although I don't know the name of the poem, it is in a more elegant form than a riddle. Keep looking! On Fri, 2 May 1997, Ricketts,Steve [Edm] wrote: > I found it at http://www.wfu.edu/~marshdt3/riddles.txt > > It's in the form of a riddle... > > Entry: 18.14 > Date: Unknown > Who: mark@pokey.jsc.nasa.gov > Author: Mark Manning > Title: None > Riddle: > > It comes in on little cat's feet, > Is neither sour, nor sweet. > Hovers in the air, > And then is not there. > > answer: FOG or MIST > > >---------- > >From: Scott Lindstrom[SMTP:scottl@SSEC.WISC.EDU] > >Sent: May 2, 1997 1:32 PM > >To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK > >Subject: looking for a poem > > > >Does anyone know the name of the poem, I think by Carl Sandberg, that has > >the line about fog coming in on cat's feet? > > > >Scott > >-- > >Scott S. Lindstrom | The only other sound's > >scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | the sweep of easy > >http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | wind and downy flake > > > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > > > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 2 May 1997 20:31:06 EDT From: "Daniel D. Salkovitz" Subject: Re: Looking for a poem I think it is something like this: "The fog sits on little cat's feet, It sits looking over harbor and city, On silent haunches, And then moves on." -- \\ ----- // ---- \\ -- Dan Salkovitz \\ - WeatherDan@juno.com \\ - dsalkovi@pen.k12.va.us // - ddsalkovit@deq.state.va.us \\ - dsalkovi@mnsinc.com ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 1 May 1997 to 2 May 1997 ************************************************ From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat May 3 17:40:19 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id RAA24054 for ; Sat, 3 May 1997 17:40:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102221-15578>; Sat, 3 May 1997 17:40:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA124316; Sat, 3 May 1997 03:53:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5480605 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 May 1997 03:51:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA185978 for ; Sat, 3 May 1997 03:51:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA18606 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 May 1997 03:49:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705030849.DAA18606@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 May 1997 03:49:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 341 WTPS31 PGTW 030900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 35P (JUNE) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z9 --- 14.0S5 175.6E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 105 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.0S5 175.6E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 14.8S3 177.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 15.7S3 178.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 16.8S5 179.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 18.2S1 179.6W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 030900Z2 POSITION 14.2S7 176.0E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 35P (JUNE) IS TRACKING EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD IN THE SOUTHWEST PACIFIC BASIN. THE SYSTEM HAS IMPROVED ITS CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST TWELVE HOURS. WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SYNOPTIC DATA AND 021130Z7 SCATTEROMETER DATA. TC 35P (JUNE) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD TO SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN WEAKENING AFTER THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AS THE SYSTEM BEGINS TO ENCOUNTER INCREASED UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z9 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9) AND 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat May 3 19:01:58 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id TAA24474 for ; Sat, 3 May 1997 19:01:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102506-15578>; Sat, 3 May 1997 19:02:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA153048; Sat, 3 May 1997 05:51:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5480987 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 May 1997 05:51:24 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA151376 for ; Sat, 3 May 1997 05:49:54 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id FAA35158 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 May 1997 05:49:54 -0500 Message-ID: <199705031049.FAA35158@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 3 May 1997 05:49:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -030549 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 57683 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600Z MAY 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 021951Z MAY 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1)THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N4 170E8 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 021800Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 35P (JUNE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3S7 173.0E1 AND WAS MOVING SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 35P (JUNE) WARNING NR 02 (WTPS31 PGTW 022100) AND TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.9S2 172.7E7 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(1) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/WOFFORD/TIRSCHEL/BACON// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat May 3 22:51:39 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id WAA25972 for ; Sat, 3 May 1997 22:51:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102586-15578>; Sat, 3 May 1997 22:51:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA32864; Sat, 3 May 1997 09:41:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5483589 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 May 1997 09:41:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA200780 for ; Sat, 3 May 1997 09:41:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA22534 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 May 1997 09:39:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705031439.JAA22534@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 May 1997 09:39:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 506 WTPS31 PGTW 031500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 35P (JUNE) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- 14.3S8 176.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.3S8 176.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 15.0S6 176.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 15.8S4 177.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 16.6S3 178.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 17.6S4 178.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 19.2S2 179.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 031500Z9 POSITION 14.5S0 176.2E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 35P (JUNE) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES. THE CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA AND THE PREVIOUS WARNING WHICH USED SCATTEROMETER DATA. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GAIN LATITUDE DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS ALSO EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THEN WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO A STRONGER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED EVERY SIX HOURS UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9), 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1), 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7) AND 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun May 4 04:29:43 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id EAA28069 for ; Sun, 4 May 1997 04:29:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102695-15578>; Sun, 4 May 1997 04:30:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA232536; Sat, 3 May 1997 15:21:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5486735 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 May 1997 15:21:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA152888 for ; Sat, 3 May 1997 15:21:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA26798 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 3 May 1997 15:19:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705032019.PAA26798@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 3 May 1997 15:19:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 342 WTPS31 PGTW 032100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 35P (JUNE) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z2 --- 15.1S7 176.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.1S7 176.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 16.2S9 176.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 17.3S1 176.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 18.3S2 177.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 19.0S0 177.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 19.9S9 177.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 032100Z6 POSITION 15.4S0 176.1E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 35P (JUNE) IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A BLEND OF SYNOPTIC DATA AND 031735Z SATELLITE-BASED MICROWAVE (SSM/I) DATA ANALYSIS. THE SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO GAIN LATITUDE DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY STEERING FLOW. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW BY 48 HOURS AND WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO A STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 31800Z IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1), 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7), 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4) AND 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun May 4 13:08:55 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id NAA01445 for ; Sun, 4 May 1997 13:08:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102264-25620>; Sun, 4 May 1997 13:10:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA151354; Sun, 4 May 1997 00:03:59 -0500 Message-Id: <199705040503.AAA151354@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 4 May 1997 00:01:28 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 2 May 1997 to 3 May 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 8 messages totalling 348 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Grand Forks, ND Flood (2) 2. looking for a poem 3. WX-TALK Digest - 1 May 1997 to 2 May 1997 (2) 4. May 1 Chase Summary-Lisius 5. Pretty Lame Local Storm Report 6. 5/1/97 stuff available on the Web +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 3 May 1997 01:58:39 GMT From: Mace Rogers Subject: Grand Forks, ND Flood After reading all of the previous posts, I feel I need to make a few comments. I'm a University of North Dakota alum with a B.S. in Meteorology. I know the town quite well, and I helped build (along with many other sudents) the Regional Weather Information Center that Professor Leon Osborne oversees. I was the first student to broadcast daily from the weather center with forecasts to a local radio station. I've spoken with many Grand Forks residents before, during, and after the flood, including Mr. Osborne himself. Here is the details of the official flood forecasts from the National Weather Service, as posted in the St. Paul Pioneer Press article dated 4/24/97: ---(start) On Feb. 13, the River Forecast Center said there would be severe flooding, which meant flooding at record or exceeding record levels. At the time, the record crest at the East Grand Forks gauge was 48.8 feet, set on Feb. 26, 1979. On Feb. 27, the center issued a crest forecast of 47.5 feet for the city, based on the water content of snow only, and 49 feet for snow water content with normal precipitation. Those numbers were unchanged when outlooks were issued March 13 and March 27. Meanwhile, snow had started melting off and Braatz said his office started issuing daily statements on East Grant Forks on April 3. The office stayed with a 49-foot forecast until April 14, when the crest was revised to 50 feet. On April 16, the crest was revised to 50.5 feet. The following evening, Braatz said, the crest was revised to 51 1/2-52 feet. On April 18, the crest forecast edged to 53 feet, then to 54 feet that evening, where it stayed.----(end) As far as I know, UND started and stayed with the forecast of 53 feet. A few comments here on the group have been made regarding that the UND crew may have just been "lucky" in that forecasts, or that they may have been WRONG in the past. Knowing what I experienced over my years there, and knowing Professor Osborne, that forecast was made with complete research and discussion. The staff at the Regional Weather Information Center does not issue forecasts without having confidence in their product, just like anyone else. Also, the crew there has many years of experience, many of them living in the area longer then the National Weather Service employees. I'm not here to criticize the hydrologists or staff at the Grand Forks NWS office. I know the area, and I know how hard it is to make a forecast, let alone a flood prediction. But how many NWS forecasters are going to pay any attention to a forecast from a college student or staff? I don't even think the weather service employees would pay much attention to a forecast issued by TV Mets. I wouldn't expect them too; I don't always look at a NOAA forecast! It is not fair to judge either UND or NWS. They have been through a terrible situation, and no one wanted this to happen. Mace Rogers WOOD-TV Meteorologist Grand Rapids, MI ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 2 May 1997 22:14:06 -0700 From: bill martin Subject: Re: looking for a poem Yes, it was from Sandburg: FOG The fog comes on little cat feet. It sits looking over harbor and city on silent haunches and then moves on. >From "Chicago Poems" by Carl Sandburg, 1916. Oddly, Sandburg fails to give the method for converting wet bulb to dewpoint (they are, of course, the same here). --------------------------------------------------------------------- Bill Martin | When Winds go round and round in Bands- wmartin@pacific.net | And thrum upon the door, Ukiah, CA | And Birds take places, overhead, | To bear them Orchestra. --Dickinson ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 3 May 1997 09:05:16 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Grand Forks, ND Flood >I'm not here to criticize the hydrologists or staff at the Grand Forks >NWS office. I know the area, and I know how hard it is to make a >forecast, let alone a flood prediction. But how many NWS forecasters >are going to pay any attention to a forecast from a college student or >staff? I don't even think the weather service employees would pay >much attention to a forecast issued by TV Mets. I wouldn't expect >them too; I don't always look at a NOAA forecast! I suppose in the 'olden days' I would understand your point of view, but after the DSM NWA conference I don't know how much I agree. There were stories of NWS cooperating with local media and/or academic meteorologists, from real-time radar interpretation to long-term research. I think that type of coordination is necessary, and for the academic and operational to stay in their 'separate' worlds does no good... (This from someone who went to a university where the ATMS floor had no windows --- an omen?) Rob ////////////////////////////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ Robert P Dale - N8GSK || rdale@norden1.com Meteorologist || rdale@storm.atms.purdue.edu Davidson Crane And Conveyor || dcc@norden1.com InterRAD NIDS Software http://www.stratus.weather.net/~rdale/interrad.html NW Ohio Weather Info http://wx.home.ml.org Northwest Ohio AMS http://nwohams.home.ml.org ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 3 May 1997 10:53:39 -0500 From: John Edwin Keyes Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 1 May 1997 to 2 May 1997 > Date: Fri, 2 May 1997 01:01:26 -0500 > From: Dan Satterfield > Subject: NIDS PRODUCTS AND VENDOR TROUBLE > > While I am not having trouble with the new watches I am wondering if anyone > is having trouble with timely dilivery of Nexrad products from their NIDS > vendor. Apparently our vendor is making the storm attribute table and > certain other products a lower priority and many times I go 40 minutes > between updates during severe weather. Fortunately I have a dial up program > to another vendor that gives me the latest volume scan. If your having probs > I'd like an email and if your satellite data delivery is excellent I'd like > to know because I may be looking for a new vendor soon. > > Dan Satterfield > Chief Meteorologist > WHNT TV Huntsville AL Hello Dan. KOTV has been having problems just like you with their NIDS provider (I assume it is the same one since the last time we talked...). It seems like the only products decently updated are Base Reflectivity, Base Velocity, Rainfall, and Storm Relative Velocity. Everything else is updated poorly. You may wish to contact them just to keep the fire lit under them. Products seemed to be updated a little faster than previous events this spring on Thursday night, but it still was very slow at some points in time. Take care and hope you guys did not blow away Friday... John Keyes wxking@ou.edu jkeyes@ionet.net http://www.ionet.net/~jkeyes ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 3 May 1997 12:39:49 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 1 May 1997 to 2 May 1997 On Sat, 3 May 1997, John Edwin Keyes wrote: > > > > While I am not having trouble with the new watches I am wondering if anyone > > is having trouble with timely dilivery of Nexrad products from their NIDS > > vendor. Apparently our vendor is making the storm attribute table and > > certain other products a lower priority and many times I go 40 minutes > > between updates during severe weather. Fortunately I have a dial up program > > to another vendor that gives me the latest volume scan. If your having probs > > to know because I may be looking for a new vendor soon. > > > > Dan Satterfield > > Chief Meteorologist > > WHNT TV Huntsville AL > > Hello Dan. KOTV has been having problems just like you with their NIDS > provider (I assume it is the same one since the last time we > talked...). It seems like the only products decently updated are Base > Reflectivity, Base Velocity, Rainfall, and Storm Relative Velocity. Gentlemen, If I have the same one you have (they start witha "K")...I've yelled at them twice in the past two weeks. Do that!!! The more they get it, the faster they will upgrade. If it is the vendor I think you are talking about, then they have the capability to go to a much faster speed (but don't want to do it yet). Your calls will help me expedite that process!!!! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Meteorologist, WREX-TV, Rockford, IL * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 3 May 1997 20:55:07 EDT From: Martin Lisius <73124.1052@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: May 1 Chase Summary-Lisius It was nice to see a 24 hour forecast verify to within about 15 miles. The afternoon before, Al Moller and I had an interesting conversation for the day to come. After looking at a lot of data, it looked like the CDS area would be a good spot to target for a May 1 chase. From that time on conditions seemed to be coming together near CDS. By late morning, a plume of moisture could easily be seen on satellite stretching from SW Texas straight north to near and just west of CDS. dewpoint at CDS was 54 at noon and expected to rise. Al, Jesse (NWSFO-FTW) and I departed around noon for CDS. I listened to NOAA Weather Radio out of SPS on the way and noted that dewpoints were rising and pressure was falling steadily every hour. Just east of CDS we spotted a young Cb through Cu to our WNW. Between CDS and Memphis we encountered heavy dust as inflow plowed into the storm. We paused about 5 miles south of Memphis and watched the storm really wind up. A severe thunderstorm warning had been issued for our county. Radar indicated that the storm was moving NE at 40. We chased the storm NE through Wellington and into OK. It seemed to weaken for a while and then appeared to strengthen again near Vinson where we watched a near-wall cloud spin close to the ground. I call it that because it was never really an established wall cloud. This is as close to a tornado that the storm would get for us. We tracked the storm for a while and visited with other chasers along the way. It was good to see Roger Edwards, Tim Marshall, Gene Rhoden, Jim Leonard, Paul Janish, and others out there in a sort of "Storm Season '97 Kick-Off." Watching Al get excited was a sure sign that the season had finally arrived. We stopped in the bright sun at Lone Wolf and watched the storm move off to the east. Beautiful, sun-lit towers bellowed upward. Al shot some stills while I shot 35mm timelapse. Al of a sudden, a small tower appeared to our WNW blocking out the sun. There was still plenty of moist air between us and the dryline which was way off to the west in the Texas Panhandle. Anything could still go up behind us....and it did! We drove west and within 15 minutes the small tower had exploded in to a full-fledged thunderstorm with large, hard-edged towers, beautiful knuckled anvil and a broad, low-hanging base. Unfortunately, we had only about 30 minutes of sun left. We stoppped and took pictures of this majestic storm. I shot video using a 17X telephoto lens. The next day, I looked at the video and enjoyed watching orange towers shoot almost straight up. This was not timelapse but rather "real time." Still, it looked like timelapse. Soon it was dark and quite cool. We watched a few nice CC bolts zip out of the storm and then departed. Why did the first storm we followed for so long NOT produce a tornado? So many chasers are asking this question. I think that it was a typical first day of recovery event. Moisture WAS there but maybe just a couple dewpoint degrees too low to get over the tornadic threshhold. Another thing. It appeared that the storm had crossed north of the warm front. It was certainly warmer and muggier in the Memphis area where the storm was intensifying. But once in OK, the air seemed a bit cooler. Not cold, just a few degrees cooler. The storm still had pretty good juice, just not the high octane grade that existed near the Red River. This is very interesting since just 24 hours earlier, Al and I talked about the possibility of a storm crossing the progged warm front the next day. We discussed specific events when that occured. Some storms still produced tornadoes, others appeared to weaken. An interesting topic I will research further. The storm crossed north of the front and stabilized...so to speak. That's basically what appears to have happened. That process did not kill the storm initially. It was still a nice supercell north of the front. But, given another hour in its life south of the border, it may have produced not only a tornado but perhaps a SIGNIFICANT tornado! April 10 still appears to be the best chase day of the season so far. But, May 1 was the first decent chase of the year for me, Al Moller and many of those out there. It was worth the trip and probably just a "warm up" for things to come. Martin Lisius ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 3 May 1997 21:47:04 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Pretty Lame Local Storm Report >WWUS30 KSEA 031341 >LSRSEA >Look, I'm sorry but, > >A large part of the country has been ravaged by severe weather the last >day and a half and the good people at the above NWSFO weigh in with the >lame report above? Duh! Offices in that area have been issuing those types of statements for -years- so there's really no sense it getting too excited... Rob ////////////////////////////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ Robert P Dale - N8GSK || rdale@norden1.com Meteorologist || rdale@storm.atms.purdue.edu Davidson Crane And Conveyor || dcc@norden1.com InterRAD NIDS Software http://www.stratus.weather.net/~rdale/interrad.html NW Ohio Weather Info http://wx.home.ml.org Northwest Ohio AMS http://nwohams.home.ml.org ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 4 May 1997 00:04:08 EDT From: Tim Vasquez <71611.2267@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: 5/1/97 stuff available on the Web There is a blowout package on the 5/1/97 west Oklahoma storms (complete with photos) available on Storm Track Online at: http://www.telepath.com/storm/stchase.htm We'll probably be doing more of these if the May action continues. Tim Vasquez author, WeatherGraphix Norman, OK Digital Atmosphere 71611.2267@compuserve.com (405) 573-0700 WeatherGraphix/Digital Atmosphere -- http://www.telepath.com/tvasquez/ StormTrack Online -- http://www.telepath.com/storm/ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 2 May 1997 to 3 May 1997 ************************************************ From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun May 4 13:58:40 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id NAA01756 for ; Sun, 4 May 1997 13:58:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102239-25620>; Sun, 4 May 1997 14:00:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA199290; Sun, 4 May 1997 00:46:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5491127 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 May 1997 00:45:53 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA32828 for ; Sun, 4 May 1997 00:45:51 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA35130 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 May 1997 00:45:51 -0500 Message-ID: <199705040545.AAA35130@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 4 May 1997 00:45:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -040045 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 61495 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600Z MAY 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 040151Z MAY 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 040000Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 35P (JUNE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5S1 176.2E6 AND WAS MOVING SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 35P (JUNE) WARNING NR 06 (WTPS31 PGTW 040300) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/WOFFORD/TIRSCHEL/BACON// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun May 4 16:23:39 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id QAA02606 for ; Sun, 4 May 1997 16:23:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102251-25620>; Sun, 4 May 1997 16:25:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA146718; Sun, 4 May 1997 03:13:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5491719 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 May 1997 03:13:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA256780 for ; Sun, 4 May 1997 03:13:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA06234 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 May 1997 03:11:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705040811.DAA06234@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 May 1997 03:11:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 010 WTPS31 PGTW 040900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 35P (JUNE) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- 16.2S9 176.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.2S9 176.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 17.5S3 177.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 18.9S8 178.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 19.9S9 178.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 20.9S1 178.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 22.7S1 179.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 040900Z3 POSITION 16.5S2 177.1E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 35P (JUNE) IS TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS MAINTAINED ITS INTENSITY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 35P (JUNE) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD TO SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO EXPERIENCE SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BETWEEN THE 48- AND THE 72-HOUR FORECAST POSITION CAUSING THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z0 IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4), 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0), 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2) AND 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun May 4 22:45:23 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id WAA05157 for ; Sun, 4 May 1997 22:45:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102221-25620>; Sun, 4 May 1997 22:47:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA95354; Sun, 4 May 1997 09:35:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5493455 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 May 1997 09:34:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA140624 for ; Sun, 4 May 1997 09:34:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA09590 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 May 1997 09:32:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705041432.JAA09590@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 May 1997 09:32:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 189 WTPS31 PGTW 041500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 35P (JUNE) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- 16.4S1 177.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.4S1 177.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 17.1S9 178.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 18.0S9 179.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 18.8S7 179.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 19.7S7 179.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 21.1S4 178.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 041500Z0 POSITION 16.6S3 177.7E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 35P (JUNE) IS TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA FROM YASAWA (WMO 91660). INFRARED SATELLITE AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS SHEARING DUE TO STRONG UPPER- LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WINDS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN A WEAKENING TREND AS IT GAINS LATITUDE AND REMAINS IN A STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. AFTER 48 HOURS, TC 35P (JUNE) IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TO TRACK WESTWARD AS THE SYSTEM BECOMES INFLUENCED BY THE MID AND SHALLOW LAYER EASTERLY STEERING FLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0), 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2), 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8) AND 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon May 5 05:01:10 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id FAA07415 for ; Mon, 5 May 1997 05:01:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102329-25620>; Mon, 5 May 1997 05:03:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA65454; Sun, 4 May 1997 15:51:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5496121 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 May 1997 15:51:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA199322 for ; Sun, 4 May 1997 15:51:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA13811 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 May 1997 15:49:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705042049.PAA13811@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 May 1997 15:49:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 382 WTPS31 PGTW 042100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 35P (JUNE) WARNING NR 009 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041800Z3 --- 16.4S1 177.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.4S1 177.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 16.9S6 177.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 17.7S5 177.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 18.7S6 177.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 20.0S2 176.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 042100Z7 POSITION 16.5S2 177.0E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 35P (JUNE) IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS SIGNIFICANTLY SHEARED AND NOW DISPLAYS AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CENTER. THEREFORE, THIS IS A RELOCATED WARNING. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY SOUTHWARD, THEN MOVE WESTWARD FOLLOWING THE SHALLOW LAYER EASTERLY STEERING FLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2), 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8), 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5) AND 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon May 5 09:59:46 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id JAA09329 for ; Mon, 5 May 1997 09:59:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102165-7708>; Mon, 5 May 1997 10:01:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA200762; Sun, 4 May 1997 20:46:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5497577 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 May 1997 20:46:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA140582 for ; Sun, 4 May 1997 20:46:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA17124 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 May 1997 20:44:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705050144.UAA17124@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 4 May 1997 20:44:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 368 WTPS31 PGTW 050300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 35P (JUNE) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- 16.8S5 176.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.8S5 176.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 17.4S2 176.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 18.0S9 175.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 18.6S5 174.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 050300Z8 POSITION 17.0S8 176.7E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 35P (JUNE) IS TRACKING SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE SOUTHWEST PACIFIC BASIN. THE SYSTEM IS BEING WEAKENED BY STRONG UPPER-LEVEL NORTHERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TC 35P CURRENTLY DISPLAYS A TOTALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH THE DEEPEST CONVECTION BEING DISPLACED 170 NM TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE LLCC. WARNING INTENSITY OF 40 KNOTS IS BASED ON A DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF SLIGHTLY LESS THAN T3.0 (45 KNOTS). THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOW-LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY STEERING FLOW. TC 35P (JUNE) IS FORECAST TO BE DISSIPATED BY THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE WEAKENED BY SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z5 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8), 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5), 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1) AND 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon May 5 10:26:27 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id KAA09433 for ; Mon, 5 May 1997 10:26:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102149-7708>; Mon, 5 May 1997 10:28:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA153056; Sun, 4 May 1997 21:14:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5497711 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 May 1997 21:14:38 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA33732 for ; Sun, 4 May 1997 21:14:37 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id VAA12825 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 4 May 1997 21:14:37 -0500 Message-ID: <199705050214.VAA12825@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 4 May 1997 21:14:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -042114 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 66070 ABPW10 PGTW 050200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050200Z/050600Z MAY 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 050151Z MAY 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 06N6 172E0. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EMBEDDED WITHIN THE NEAR-EQUATORIAL TROUGH. ANIMATED WATER-VAPOR IMAGERY AND WATER-VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF GOOD UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE OVER THE DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 050000Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 35P (JUNE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8S5 176.8E2 AND WAS MOVING SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 35P (JUNE) WARNING NR 10 (WTPS31 PGTW 050300) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/WOFFORD/TIRSCHEL/BACON// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon May 5 13:07:36 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id NAA10523 for ; Mon, 5 May 1997 13:07:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102290-7708>; Mon, 5 May 1997 13:09:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA199372; Mon, 5 May 1997 00:05:05 -0500 Message-Id: <199705050505.AAA199372@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 5 May 1997 00:00:37 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 3 May 1997 to 4 May 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 2 messages totalling 55 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Meteorology Formulas 2. NGM LI's? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 4 May 1997 03:23:16 GMT From: Thomas Owens Subject: Re: Meteorology Formulas Bernd Kuemmel has an excellent source of algorithms at: http://mmf.ruc.dk/~bek/relhum.htm CGI scripts for calulating approximate wind chill and RH are available from the El Paso NWS Weather Page: http://nwselp.epcc.edu/elp/windchillsc.html http://nwselp.epcc.edu/elp/rhsc.html In article <336bf189.7039304@news.psu.edu>, emb146@psu.edu says... > >Ok, here's the deal. Working on a computer program here and I need >some formulas which are not in any of my meteorology text books. I -- Thomas Owens tjo113@psu.edu The Allentown Weather Center - Over 1000 Weather Links! http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/weather.html The WWW Virtual Library : Meteorology http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/WWW_Virtual_Library/ ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 4 May 1997 15:55:11 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: NGM LI's? I have noticed (along with many a NWS forecaster) that the NGM has been -way- overstating the instability at least in the Great Lakes area so far this spring. Today I see reference to the problem in a SFDPHL, can anyone add some more insight to the bad numbers? ** FPUS3 KPHL 041806 *** SFDPHL STATE FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHILADELPHIA/MOUNT HOLLY NJ 205 PM EDT SUN MAY 4 1997 [...] NGM is at it again with its low-low-low LI's. According to it Harrisburg PA (-14 LI) should be off the face of the earth today. As per SPC conversation yesterday it appears the NGM is rewriting the laws of science by carrying dry adiabatic lapse rates with saturated parcels in the mid-cloud level. TFG ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 3 May 1997 to 4 May 1997 ************************************************ From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon May 5 14:09:30 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA10978 for ; Mon, 5 May 1997 14:09:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102301-7708>; Mon, 5 May 1997 14:11:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA264514; Mon, 5 May 1997 00:56:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5499335 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 May 1997 00:56:09 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA210480 for ; Mon, 5 May 1997 00:56:08 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA62688 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 May 1997 00:56:08 -0500 Message-ID: <199705050556.AAA62688@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 5 May 1997 00:56:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -050056 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 29917 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600Z MAY 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 050151Z MAY 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 06N6 172E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6N6 171E9. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EMBEDDED WITHIN THE NEAR-EQUATORIAL TROUGH. ANIMATED WATER-VAPOR IMAGERY AND WATER-VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF GOOD UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE OVER THE DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 050000Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 35P (JUNE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8S5 176.8E2 AND WAS MOVING SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 35P (JUNE) WARNING NR 10 (WTPS31 PGTW 050300) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/WOFFORD/TIRSCHEL/BACON// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon May 5 16:12:27 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id QAA11929 for ; Mon, 5 May 1997 16:12:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102379-29746>; Mon, 5 May 1997 16:14:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA194234; Mon, 5 May 1997 03:02:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5499850 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 May 1997 03:01:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA82854 for ; Mon, 5 May 1997 03:01:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA21662 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 May 1997 02:59:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705050759.CAA21662@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 May 1997 02:59:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 431 WTPS31 PGTW 050900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 35P (JUNE) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050600Z1 --- 17.7S5 176.6E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 195 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.7S5 176.6E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 18.5S4 176.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 19.3S3 175.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 050900Z4 POSITION 17.9S7 176.5E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 35P (JUNE) IS TRACKING SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE SOUTHWEST PACIFIC BASIN. THE SYSTEM ORGANIZATION HAS CONTINUED TO DETERIORATE OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS DUE TO SIGNIFICANT UPPER-LEVEL NORTHERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TC 35P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD TO SOUTHWESTWARD AND TO BE DISSIPATED BY THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z1 IS 15 FEET. WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED EVERY 12 HOURS UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. NEXT WARNING AT 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue May 6 05:44:40 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id FAA17752 for ; Tue, 6 May 1997 05:44:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102932-29746>; Tue, 6 May 1997 05:46:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA208418; Mon, 5 May 1997 16:27:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5505868 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 May 1997 16:27:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA223238 for ; Mon, 5 May 1997 16:27:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id QAA09131 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 5 May 1997 16:25:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705052125.QAA09131@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 5 May 1997 16:25:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 212 WTPS31 PGTW 052100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 35P (JUNE) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- 18.4S3 175.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.4S3 175.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 18.6S5 173.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 052100Z8 POSITION 18.5S4 174.5E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 35P (JUNE) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEPEST CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM IS SHEARED OVER 200 NM AWAY FROM THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN A STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND WILL DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z IS 15 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue May 6 13:26:14 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id NAA20812 for ; Tue, 6 May 1997 13:26:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102945-4315>; Tue, 6 May 1997 13:28:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA36370; Tue, 6 May 1997 00:10:59 -0500 Message-Id: <199705060510.AAA36370@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 6 May 1997 00:01:33 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 4 May 1997 to 5 May 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 13 messages totalling 590 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Grand Forks, ND Flood (2) 2. Radar ROB WMO header change 3. Build 9.1 vs. Build 9? (2) 4. extended forecast for florida in mid June 1997 5. Bad LI numbers (2) 6. el Nino and mid-atlantic summer weather 7. More NWS budget cuts! 8. Oh, did I mention...MORE NWS cuts? (2) 9. Meteorological formulas +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 5 May 1997 09:08:17 EDT From: Kenneth Richard Cook Subject: Re: Grand Forks, ND Flood > > After reading all of the previous posts, I feel I need to make a few > comments. I'm a University of North Dakota alum with a B.S. in > Meteorology. I know the town quite well, and I helped build (along > with many other sudents) the Regional Weather Information Center that > Professor Leon Osborne oversees. I was the first student to broadcast > daily from the weather center with forecasts to a local radio station. > I've spoken with many Grand Forks residents before, during, and after > the flood, including Mr. Osborne himself. > > Here is the details of the official flood forecasts from the National > Weather Service, as posted in the St. Paul Pioneer Press article dated > 4/24/97: > > ---(start) On Feb. 13, the River Forecast Center said there would be > severe flooding, which meant flooding at record or exceeding record > levels. At the time, the record crest at the East Grand Forks gauge > was 48.8 feet, set on Feb. 26, 1979. > > On Feb. 27, the center issued a crest forecast of 47.5 feet for the > city, based on the water content of snow only, and 49 feet for snow > water content with normal precipitation. Those numbers were > unchanged when outlooks were issued March 13 and March 27. > > Meanwhile, snow had started melting off and Braatz said his office > started issuing daily statements on East Grant Forks on April 3. The > office stayed with a 49-foot forecast until April 14, when the crest > was revised to 50 feet. On April 16, the crest was revised to 50.5 > feet. > > The following evening, Braatz said, the crest was revised to 51 > 1/2-52 feet. On April 18, the crest forecast edged to 53 feet, then to > 54 feet that evening, where it stayed.----(end) > > As far as I know, UND started and stayed with the forecast of 53 feet. > > > A few comments here on the group have been made regarding that the UND > crew may have just been "lucky" in that forecasts, or that they may > have been WRONG in the past. Knowing what I experienced over my years > there, and knowing Professor Osborne, that forecast was made with > complete research and discussion. The staff at the Regional Weather > Information Center does not issue forecasts without having confidence > in their product, just like anyone else. Also, the crew there has many > years of experience, many of them living in the area longer then the > National Weather Service employees. > > I'm not here to criticize the hydrologists or staff at the Grand Forks > NWS office. I know the area, and I know how hard it is to make a > forecast, let alone a flood prediction. But how many NWS forecasters > are going to pay any attention to a forecast from a college student or > staff? I don't even think the weather service employees would pay > much attention to a forecast issued by TV Mets. I wouldn't expect > them too; I don't always look at a NOAA forecast! > > It is not fair to judge either UND or NWS. They have been through a > terrible situation, and no one wanted this to happen. > > Mace Rogers > WOOD-TV Meteorologist > Grand Rapids, MI > Mace, Actually, I do know of several instances that NWS forecasters do converse/ coordinate/research with the academic types. It's called COMET. It's also one of the many reasons why NWS field offices are collocated (or will be in the near future) with Universities across the nation. I'm not here to criticize anyone either but I think that tooting your own horn in the face of a natural disaster is a bit unprofessional hence, the finger pointing begins. We are all in this together, trying to distribute the most accurate information possible to the public with the tools at hand. This sort of thing could have been eliminated with a private debriefing after the event, not a me me me attitude. Ken -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- "We hold these Truths to be self-evident, that all Men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty, and the Pursuit of Happiness... " The Declaration of Independence, July 4, 1776 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 5 May 1997 07:56:31 -0500 From: Peter Laws Subject: Re: Grand Forks, ND Flood On Mon, 5 May 1997, Kenneth Richard Cook wrote: > > forecast, let alone a flood prediction. But how many NWS forecasters > > are going to pay any attention to a forecast from a college student or > > staff? I don't even think the weather service employees would pay > Actually, I do know of several instances that NWS forecasters do converse/ > coordinate/research with the academic types. It's called COMET. It's also > one of the many reasons why NWS field offices are collocated (or will be Let's see ... seems there are several more instances ... SPC/NSSL/KOUN is on the campus of OU ... The NHC is on the campus of Florida State ... Hmmm ... I got an anonymous message in response to a previous post on this thread that basically said that the UND prof in question is a little wrapped up in himself, never misses an opportunity to bash the NWS, etc. I don't know the man at all and sure can't confirm or deny any of the comments made by Mr Anonymous. I didn't post the message here either - if Mr Anonymous wants to make his points, he ought to make them in open forum. That's what private ISPs are for ... :-) -- Peter Laws / plaws@wildstar.net / no disclaimer necessary ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 5 May 1997 09:22:46 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Radar ROB WMO header change This was sent under a rather obscure header; thought I'd share it with you. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* NOUS01 KWBC 051400 MESSAGE 97-14 EFFECTIVE 1400 Z JUNE 4 1997 WEATHER PERMITTING ALL RADAR OBSERVATIONS THAT ARE CURRENTLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE WMO HEADING SDUS08 KWBC WILL CHANGE TO THE WMO HEADING SDUS40 KMKC. THE AFOS PIL WILL NOT CHANGE. RTH WASHINGTON SENDS ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 5 May 1997 09:27:51 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Build 9.1 vs. Build 9? Hello everyone, I have noticed a number of radar sites today and Friday are installing Build 9.1 on their PUPs. Does anyone know what improvements or additional products NIDS vendors may see as a result of this? Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 5 May 1997 10:42:15 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Build 9.1 vs. Build 9? At 09:27 AM 5/5/97 -0500, Gilbert wrote: >Hello everyone, > >I have noticed a number of radar sites today and Friday are installing >Build 9.1 on their PUPs. Does anyone know what improvements or additional >products NIDS vendors may see as a result of this? Check out the OSF web page -- direct link of http://www.osf.noaa.gov/otb/PAPERS/bld91/build911.htm Doesn't look like anything too exciting from our end, mainly configuration bug fixes as far as I can see... Rob ////////////////////////////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ Robert P Dale - N8GSK || rdale@norden1.com Meteorologist || rdale@storm.atms.purdue.edu Davidson Crane And Conveyor || dcc@norden1.com InterRAD Software http://www.stratus.weather.net/~rdale/interrad.html NW Ohio Weather Info http://wx.home.ml.org Northwest Ohio AMS http://nwohams.home.ml.org ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 5 May 1997 13:57:11 GMT From: Eric Gross Subject: Re: extended forecast for florida in mid June 1997 >Have a wedding planned for June 14th. The reception is primarily outdoors >and would like to know any projected forecast? *Sigh* AOL strikes again. Well, in the first place, any attempt to predict weather on a specific day a month in advance is utterly *futile.* Second of all -- where in Florida is the wedding? It's a big state, you know. In General, here's a guide for typical June weather in most parts of Florida: High in the mid 90's, high relative humidity. Partly cloud in the morning with increasing cloudiness in the afternoon, about a 30% chance of an afternoon or early evening thunderstorm. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 5 May 1997 17:13:18 +0000 From: Howard Altschule Subject: Bad LI numbers Robert Dale wrote: > >I have noticed (along with many a NWS forecaster) that the NGM has been >-way- overstating the instability at least in the Great Lakes area so far >this spring. Today I see reference to the problem in a SFDPHL, can anyone >add some more insight to the bad numbers? > >** FPUS3 KPHL 041806 *** >SFDPHL > >STATE FORECAST DISCUSSION >NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHILADELPHIA/MOUNT HOLLY NJ >205 PM EDT SUN MAY 4 1997 > >[...] >NGM is at it again with its low-low-low LI's. According to it Harrisburg PA >(-14 LI) should be off the face of the earth today. As per SPC conversation >yesterday it appears the NGM is rewriting the laws of science by carrying >dry adiabatic lapse rates with saturated parcels in the mid-cloud level. > >TFG ...Of the two spring convective events that we have had here in the northeast, the NGM has been way too unstable with its LI forecast for LGA. Up to 48 hours out, LI's on the order of ~ -8 seem to have been produced for LGA both times, while the ETA was a much more realistic -1 or -2 for one event and 0 to -1 for the other.. These occurrences were both during the last 7 days. Both times, the ETA has verified well. NGM seems out too lunch still!!! NGM TSV06 and 12 number....both regular t-storm and severe, seem to be doing pretty well however?? I guess that will verify anyway, since both models were *unstable*. My $0.02. Howie Altschule ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 5 May 1997 14:17:30 -0400 From: Mike Taube Subject: el Nino and mid-atlantic summer weather Hi all, I live near Baltimore, Maryland, and It seems to me that the El Nino effect seems to be the cause of either severe storms or mild summertime weather. I can't recall when, but I think that when there is an El Nino effect, we get mild summers, and when there isn't, we get lots of severe thunderstorms during the Summertime. Is this my imagination, or is it possible that El Nino does indeed affect the storminess of our Summertime? Mike Taube miket@htech.com ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 5 May 1997 14:00:58 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: More NWS budget cuts! PNSNMC NATIONAL TECHNICAL INFORMATION MESSAGE 97-19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS WASHINGTON DC 200 PM EDT MON MAY 5 1997 ATTENTION ALL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE /NWS/ EMPLOYEES NATIONAL WEATHER WIRE SERVICES /NWWS/ FAMILY OF SERVICES /FOS/ OTHER NWS CUSTOMERS FROM DR. ELBERT W. "JOE" FRIDAY JR. DIRECTOR...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SUBJECT ELIMINATION OF SOME MARINE PREDICTION CENTER PRODUCTS EFFECTIVE JUNE 10 1997 DUE TO BUDGET CONSTRAINTS...THE MARINE PREDICTION CENTER /MPC/ WILL DISCONTINUE THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS: PRODUCT NAME - RADIOFACSIMILE TIME/S/ UTC 96 HOUR ATLANTIC SURFACE FORECAST CHART 1453 1736 96 HOUR PACIFIC SURFACE FORECAST CHART 1428 96 HOUR ATLANTIC 500 MB FORECAST CHART 1443 1723 96 HOUR PACIFIC 500 MB FORECAST CHART 1418 12 UTC ATLANTIC WAVE ANALYSIS CHART 1515 00 UTC PACIFIC WAVE ANALYSIS CHART 0335 PRODUCT NAME AFOS HEADER WMO HEADER TIMES UTC OFFSHORE ATLANTIC LOW LEVEL AVIATION FORECASTS WBCOFAWBC FANT2 KWBC 0430 1030 1630 2230 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...PLEASE CONTACT CHIEF...MARINE FORECAST BRANCH NCEP MARINE PREDICTION CENTER 5200 AUTH ROAD ROOM 410 CAMP SPRINGS...MARYLAND 20746 PHONE 301-763-8000 EXTENSION 7401 THIS AND ALL OTHER PENDING NWS SERVICE CHANGE NOTIFICATIONS ARE AVAILABLE ON THE NWS OFFICE OF METEOROLOGYS HOME PAGE IN THE NOTIFICATION SECTION. THE ADDRESS OF THE NOTIFICATION SECTION IS HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM END Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 5 May 1997 16:27:25 -0500 From: "Eric A. Helgeson" Subject: Re: Bad LI numbers I've noticed some bad GRIB data going out via OSO since they've been changing a whole bunch of stuff in regards to where products are produced. Hence, some of the missing fax products, etc., etc. The way *you* calculate LI and the way the ETA/NGM calculate LI can vary quite a bit. It also depends on whether you are using gridded data, output from the graphics, or the application program... again, back to *how* LI is calculated. For example, a surface-based LI might be good in the late afternoon, while a "just above the boundary layer" LI might be good if you expect nocturnal convection on the nose of the low level jet. Eric Eric A. Helgeson (helgeson@netins.net) http://www.netins.net/showcase/helgeson -----Original Message----- From: Howard Altschule [SMTP:haltschule@worldnet.att.net] Sent: Monday, May 05, 1997 12:13 PM To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Subject: Bad LI numbers ...Of the two spring convective events that we have had here in the northeast, the NGM has been way too unstable with its LI forecast for LGA. Up to 48 hours out, LI's on the order of ~ -8 seem to have been produced for LGA both times, while the ETA was a much more realistic -1 or -2 for one event and 0 to -1 for the other.. These occurrences were both during the last 7 days. Both times, the ETA has verified well. NGM seems out too lunch still!!! NGM TSV06 and 12 number....both regular t-storm and severe, seem to be doing pretty well however?? I guess that will verify anyway, since both models were *unstable*. My $0.02. Howie Altschule ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 5 May 1997 17:34:24 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Oh, did I mention...MORE NWS cuts? Should we just like, say, the heck with it and can the NWS altogether? This is a bunch of crap... NATIONAL TECHNICAL IMFORMATION MESSAGE 97-20 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS WASHINGTON DC 400 PM EDT MON MAY 5 1997 TO: NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE /NWS/ EMPLOYEES...NOAA WEATHER WIRE SERVICE /NWWS/ SUBSCRIBERS...FAMILY OF SERVICE /FOS/ SUBSCRIBERS...OTHER NWS CUSTOMERS FROM: DR. ELBERT W. "JOE" FRIDAY JR. DIRECTOR...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SUBJECT: REDUCTIONS IN SERVICES FROM THE NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...EFFECTIVE JULY 1 1997 AND OCTOBER 1 1997 DUE TO BUDGET CUTS AND PERSONNEL REDUCTIONS...THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/ IN CAMP SPRINGS MARYLAND WILL NO LONGER SUPPORT CERTAIN SERVICES AS DESCRIBED BELOW. ON JULY 1 1997...THE CPC WILL NO LONGER MAINTAIN SOFTWARE THAT ALLOWS CUSTOMERS OF CPC LONG-LEAD FORECASTS TO CONVERT FROM OUTLOOK PROBABILITIES OF CATEGORIES /E.G. ABOVE NORMAL...BELOW NORMAL/ TO PROBABILITIES OF SPECIFIC TEMPERATURE/RAINFALL OUTCOMES...RANGES OF OUTCOMES...OR EXTREMES EXPRESSED IN UNITS OF INCHES OF RAINFALL OR DEGREES OF TEMPERATURE AT SPECIFIC SITES. ON OCTOBER 1 1997...THE CPC WILL ELIMINATE THE NWS CLIMATE DIAL- UP SERVICE /CDUS/ COMPONENT OF THE FAMILY OF SERVICES. USERS WILL BE ABLE TO ACCESS MOST CDUS PRODUCTS THROUGH THE INTERNET AT THE SITE... HTTP://NIC.FB4.NOAA.GOV BY "CLICKING" ON "ANALYSIS AND MONITORING" ON THIS CPC HOME PAGE AND SELECTING "CLIMATE MONITORING /TABLE/TEXTS/" FROM THE MENU. THIS AND ALL OTHER PENDING NWS SERVICE CHANGE NOTIFICATIONS ARE AVAILABLE ON THE NWS OFFICE OF METEOROLOGY HOME PAGE IN THE NOTIFICATION SECTION...INTERNET ADDRESS HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM IF YOU HAVE ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS PLEASE CONTACT JIM LAVER PH: 301-763-8000 EXT 7500, CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER E-MAIL JIM.LAVER@NOAA.GOV OR LAVER@CLIMON.WWB.NOAA.GOV END Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 5 May 1997 22:53:02 -0400 From: "Gregory A. Surplus" Subject: Re: Oh, did I mention...MORE NWS cuts? At 05:34 PM 5/5/97 -0500, Gilbert L. Sebenste wrote: >Should we just like, say, the heck with it and can the NWS >altogether? This is a bunch of crap... > >NATIONAL TECHNICAL IMFORMATION MESSAGE 97-20 >NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS WASHINGTON DC *opinion mode on* As a trend I see the NWS having its effectiveness reduced through continued cuts in areas of key importance. This was evident with earlier planned cuts to SPC & NHC. Who could imagine that cuts would be considered that would be in direct contradiction to the mission of protecting life and property? Once enough idiotic cuts have been made to degrade the quality of service someone will probably suggest eliminating the weather service all together since they then no longer perform an adequate job. *opinion mode off* ************************************************************************ * Greg Surplus ======= MICROG'S DEN ======== * * gsurplus@delphi.com http://people.delphi.com/gsurplus/tripbot.html * ************************************************************************ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 5 May 1997 22:59:23 -0500 From: Gene Nygaard Subject: Re: Meteorological formulas A word of caution about the El Paso NWS Weather Page algorithms; some of them are wrong. I've written twice to Tim Brice, Web Manager of this page , and he's never even had the decency to respond to me. The program on this page uses a different formula for calculations of wind chills in watts per square metre than it uses for the calculation of wind chills expressed as equivalent temperatures. The script files with the algorithms include this comment: #For our Canadian friends Canada is indeed the major place in which wind chills are reported in these units. But Canada does not use the formula used on the El Paso weather page; they use the same formula the El Paso page uses for equivalent temperatures (likely with minor differences in rounding in the conversions from all the different units of wind speed and energy, etc.--the NWS uses a very poor rounding scheme in its formula). My claims in this regard can be verified by checking out the tables published by Environment Canada at http://www.on.doe.ca/comm/windchil.htm (note that the figure in the upper right corner was incorrect the last time I looked, and probably still is). Compare these figures in this table with what you get by entering the same numbers into the calculator at the El Paso page, and you'll see what I mean. If that isn't enough to convince anyone, I can dig up a couple of files I saved from last winter from Canadian web sites with wind chills expressed in watts per square metre, and you can again do the calculations with the El Paso calculator and you'll likely see a significant discrepancy. Gene Nygaard Crosby, ND, USA more on wind chill formulas at http://ourworld.compuserve.com/homepages/Gene_Nygaard/windchil.htm Thomas Owens wrote: > >Bernd Kuemmel has an excellent source of algorithms at: >http://mmf.ruc.dk/~bek/relhum.htm > >CGI scripts for calulating approximate wind chill and RH are available from >the El Paso NWS Weather Page: >http://nwselp.epcc.edu/elp/windchillsc.html >http://nwselp.epcc.edu/elp/rhsc.html > > > >In article <336bf189.7039304@news.psu.edu>, emb146@psu.edu says... >> >>Ok, here's the deal. Working on a computer program here and I need >>some formulas which are not in any of my meteorology text books. I > >-- >Thomas Owens >tjo113@psu.edu >The Allentown Weather Center - Over 1000 Weather Links! >http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/weather.html >The WWW Virtual Library : Meteorology >http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/WWW_Virtual_Library/ > ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 4 May 1997 to 5 May 1997 ************************************************ From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue May 6 14:16:26 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA21196 for ; Tue, 6 May 1997 14:16:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102940-4315>; Tue, 6 May 1997 14:18:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA140624; Tue, 6 May 1997 01:06:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5509745 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 May 1997 01:06:16 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA235064 for ; Tue, 6 May 1997 01:06:16 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id BAA55167 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 May 1997 01:06:15 -0500 Message-ID: <199705060606.BAA55167@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 6 May 1997 01:06:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -060106 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 64380 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600Z MAY 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 051951Z MAY 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 171E9 IS NOW WIDELY SCATTERED AROUND A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION NEAR 7N7 169E6. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA SUPPORT THIS POSITION OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT. HOWEVER, SURFACE PRESSURES IN THE REGION HAVE NOT DROPPED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE DISTURBANCE IS IN AN AREA FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT WITHIN A NEAR-EQUATORIAL TROUGH OVER WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A SOUTHWESTERLY SURGE ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF THE DISTURBANCE THAT MAY HELP AID IN ITS DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 051800Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 35P (JUNE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4S3 175.0E3 AND WAS MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 35P (JUNE) WARNING NR 12 (WTPS31 PGTW 052100) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: NICKLAS/MILLER/DOBBINS// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed May 7 10:31:39 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id KAA00878 for ; Wed, 7 May 1997 10:31:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103095-6399>; Wed, 7 May 1997 10:33:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA165146; Tue, 6 May 1997 21:15:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5519647 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 May 1997 21:15:10 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA152840 for ; Tue, 6 May 1997 21:15:10 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id VAA29414 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 6 May 1997 21:15:09 -0500 Message-ID: <199705070215.VAA29414@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 6 May 1997 21:15:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -062115 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 62691 WTPN31 PGTW 070300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- 9.4N3 167.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.4N3 167.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 10.5N6 166.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 11.2N4 164.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 11.8N0 163.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 12.5N8 160.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 13.6N0 156.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION 9.7N6 166.9E2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W (TD 04W) HAS FORMED IN THE MARSHALL ISLANDS. TD 04W IS CURRENTLY MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AT 06 KNOTS BUT IS EXPECTED TO TURN MORE TOWARDS THE WEST WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z7 IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0), 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7), 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3) AND 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 062251Z MAY 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 062300 COR).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed May 7 13:04:33 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id NAA03290 for ; Wed, 7 May 1997 13:04:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102393-6399>; Wed, 7 May 1997 13:06:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA189942; Wed, 7 May 1997 00:02:11 -0500 Message-Id: <199705070502.AAA189942@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 7 May 1997 00:00:53 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 5 May 1997 to 6 May 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 4 messages totalling 167 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Grand Forks, ND Flood 2. WX-TALK Digest - 4 May 1997 to 5 May 1997 3. Oh, did I mention...MORE NWS cuts? 4. Summer Internships +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 6 May 1997 11:10:01 GMT From: Mace Rogers Subject: Re: Grand Forks, ND Flood Don't get me wrong here folks, I posted my original message to make people more aware of how coordination of the weather service and private would improve forecasts and relations. I am in complete support of that, and I call the NOAA office here in Grand Rapids on a regular basis to discuss various things from current forecasts to climo. They always welcome my discussions! I've done the same in the past when I worked in the Green Bay, Duluth, and Minneapolis CWA areas. I was just stating that sometimes we don't coordinate as often as we should, and that all sectors don't check out each others forecast at all times. By the way, whoever was suggesting that Prof. Osborne takes shots at the NWS is incorrect. Leon was one of the leading advocates to try and move the NOAA office from Fargo to Grand Forks (which was done a little over a year ago) to help improve coordination with the University staff and students, and the NOAA employees. Mace Rogers WOOD-TV 8 Meteorologist Grand Rapids, Michigan ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 6 May 1997 10:04:59 -0500 From: Jack Kain Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 4 May 1997 to 5 May 1997 Howie Altschule wrote: >...Of the two spring convective events that we have had here in the >northeast, the NGM has been way too unstable with its LI forecast for LGA. >Up to 48 hours out, LI's on the order of ~ -8 seem to have been produced for >LGA both times, while the ETA was a much more realistic -1 or -2 for one >event and 0 to -1 for the other.. These occurrences were both during the >last 7 days. > >Both times, the ETA has verified well. NGM seems out too lunch still!!! >NGM TSV06 and 12 number....both regular t-storm and severe, seem to be doing >pretty well however?? I guess that will verify anyway, since both models >were *unstable*. My $0.02. The folks at NCEP could elaborate on the details of this, but I think that the basic problem with the high (in the absolute sense) LIs coming out of the NGM is the use of a Kuo-type convective parameterization in the model. This type of parameterization is constrained by the amount of moisture convergence in a model column. In particular, the maximum amount of heating that you can get from the parameterization corresponds directly to the amount of latent heat that could be released if all of the moisture that is converging into the column were condensed. So, if you don't have moisture convergence, you can't get the heating the model needs to eliminate CAPE, regardless of how much CAPE you have. In contrast, the Eta model uses a Betts-Miller type of parameterization in which the amount of heating is roughly based on CAPE. The Betts-Miller scheme adjusts to a slightly unstable profile, so if you see an LI of -1 to -2 coming out of the eta, it may be at a point where convection is already active in the model. One way of relating these two approaches is to think of the Kuo-type scheme as one which is based on the assumption that larger-scale convergence drives convection, while the Betts-Miller scheme allows convection to drive larger-scale convergence. Obviously, niether one is perfect and a better approach may be somewhere in between. Eric A. Helgeson wrote: >The way *you* calculate LI and the way the ETA/NGM calculate LI can >vary quite a bit. It also depends on whether you are using gridded >data, output from the graphics, or the application program... again, >back to *how* LI is calculated. > >For example, a surface-based LI might be good in the late afternoon, >while a "just above the boundary layer" LI might be good if you >expect nocturnal convection on the nose of the low level jet. This is a good point. A simple way to generalize the the LI calculation would be to look at the most unstable (highest CAPE) layer that has significant depth, say 50 to 100 mb. Jack Kain National Severe Storms Laboratory 1313 Halley Circle Norman, OK 73069 405-579-0776 ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 6 May 1997 09:16:25 -0500 From: Peter Laws Subject: Re: Oh, did I mention...MORE NWS cuts? On Mon, 5 May 1997, Gilbert L. Sebenste wrote: > Should we just like, say, the heck with it and can the NWS > altogether? This is a bunch of crap... Hello? Can no one see through this? Here's the plan: cut vital services so that in essence, the NWS is gutted. Once it's down, kick it some more, then pronounce that since "the NWS is *clearly incapable* of doing it's job, then the *obvious* and *proper* action is to privatize it. Let me just say this, I believe, as do my contributors, that this is the only *reasonable* course of action, and I believe that The American People(tm) will support us". Here is a little scenario: May 6, 2002, 1758 hours local ... "Thanks for calling 1-900-THUNDER. Your call is important to us. Please stay on the line and your call will be answered in the order that it was recieved. And remember, 1-900-THUNDER never charges it's low, low per minute fee until you are connected!" <3 minutes pass ...> CSR: "1-900-THUNDER, what county please?" Me: "Uh, Cleveland" CSR: "All watches and warnings?" Me: "Sure" CSR: "That's an extra charge. One moment please ... <30 second pause with keyboard sounds in the background> ... Sir?" Me: "Yes?" CSR: "Sir, Cleveland County Oklahoma is under a tornado warning from 5:57 pm local time until 6:30 pm local time. Sir, if you're in that area, 1-900-THUNDER recommends that you seek shelter immediately." CSR: "Sir?" One other thing. Remember in November. -- Peter Laws / plaws@wildstar.net ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 6 May 1997 21:42:23 +0000 From: Mike Ferguson Subject: Summer Internships Summer Internships available Oceanweather Inc. has paid internships available this Summer. Scope of work will include historical Atlantic tropical system wind analysis for input into ocean wave models. Oceanweather Inc. is located in southwestern Connecticut and specializes in hindcast ocean modeling research. If interested, please email Dr. Cardone at oceanwx@oceanweather.com. Web is www.oceanweather.com Mike Ferguson Oceanweather Inc. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 5 May 1997 to 6 May 1997 ************************************************ From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed May 7 14:11:20 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id OAA03893 for ; Wed, 7 May 1997 14:11:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102452-6399>; Wed, 7 May 1997 14:13:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA229180; Wed, 7 May 1997 00:57:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5521832 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 May 1997 00:57:05 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA05656 for ; Wed, 7 May 1997 00:57:05 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA62560 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 May 1997 00:57:04 -0500 Message-ID: <199705070557.AAA62560@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 7 May 1997 00:57:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -070057 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 57693 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z MAY 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 070151Z MAY 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070000Z7, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W WAS LOCATED AT 9.4N3 167.2E6 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W WARNING NR 1 (WTPN31 PGTW 070300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 169E6 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS. SEE PARAGRAPH 1.A.(1). (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: NICKLAS/MILLER/DOBBINS// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed May 7 16:08:21 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id QAA05070 for ; Wed, 7 May 1997 16:08:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102426-6399>; Wed, 7 May 1997 16:10:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA256990; Wed, 7 May 1997 02:43:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5522530 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 May 1997 02:43:48 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA256964 for ; Wed, 7 May 1997 02:43:47 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id CAA29327 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 May 1997 02:43:46 -0500 Message-ID: <199705070743.CAA29327@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 7 May 1997 02:43:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -070243 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 48012 WTPN31 PGTW 070900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z3 --- 10.0N1 166.8E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.0N1 166.8E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 11.0N2 165.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 11.7N9 164.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 12.5N8 162.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 13.1N5 160.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 13.8N2 155.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 070900Z6 POSITION 10.3N4 166.5E8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W (TD 04W) IS TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. WE EXPECT TD 04W TO TURN MORE TOWARD THE WEST AND TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z3 IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7), 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3), 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5) AND 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed May 7 16:55:55 1997 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk (uxmail.ust.hk [143.89.14.30]) by rcsg3.ust.hk (950413.SGI.8.6.12/950213.SGI.AUTOCF) via ESMTP id QAA05963 for ; Wed, 7 May 1997 16:55:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102318-6399>; Wed, 7 May 1997 16:57:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA140674; Wed, 7 May 1997 03:43:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5522686 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 May 1997 03:41:54 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA158204 for ; Wed, 7 May 1997 03:41:53 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id DAA35405 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 May 1997 03:41:53 -0500 Message-ID: <199705070841.DAA35405@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 7 May 1997 03:41:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -070341 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 11082 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z MAY 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 070151Z MAY 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070000Z7, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W WAS LOCATED AT 9.4N3 167.2E6 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W WARNING NR 1 (WTPN31 PGTW 070300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 169E6 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS. SEE PARAGRAPH 1.A.(1). (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: NICKLAS/MILLER/DOBBINS// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed May 7 22:32:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102407-6399>; Wed, 7 May 1997 22:32:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA256950; Wed, 7 May 1997 09:15:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5524548 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 May 1997 09:15:12 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA180644 for ; Wed, 7 May 1997 09:15:11 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id JAA26857 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 May 1997 09:15:10 -0500 Message-ID: <199705071415.JAA26857@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 7 May 1997 09:15:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -070915 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 37350 WTPN31 PGTW 071500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- 10.5N6 166.4E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N6 166.4E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 11.7N9 165.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 12.5N8 164.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 13.1N5 162.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 13.6N0 159.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 14.0N5 154.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 071500Z3 POSITION 10.8N9 166.1E4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. FORECAST CONTINUES TO CALL FOR THE SYSTEM TO TURN WESTWARD AND INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z0 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3), 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5), 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1) AND 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu May 8 04:15:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103107-6399>; Thu, 8 May 1997 04:15:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA217050; Wed, 7 May 1997 14:56:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5528386 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 May 1997 14:56:32 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA264584 for ; Wed, 7 May 1997 14:56:31 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id OAA59915 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 May 1997 14:56:30 -0500 Message-ID: <199705071956.OAA59915@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 7 May 1997 14:56:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -071456 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 11 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 37128 WTPN31 PGTW 072100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- 10.5N6 166.6E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N6 166.6E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 11.1N3 165.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 11.5N7 164.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 11.8N0 162.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 12.1N4 159.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 12.9N2 155.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 072100Z0 POSITION 10.7N8 166.3E6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W HAS BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY APPROXIMATELY 100 NM NORTHWEST OF KWAJALEIN ATOLL. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN MOVING WESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG LOW LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW AND TO INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z6 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5), 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1), 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8) AND 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu May 8 09:51:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102243-4884>; Thu, 8 May 1997 09:51:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA141896; Wed, 7 May 1997 20:36:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5532001 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 May 1997 20:36:20 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA142076 for ; Wed, 7 May 1997 20:35:51 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id UAA26100 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 7 May 1997 20:35:51 -0500 Message-ID: <199705080135.UAA26100@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 7 May 1997 20:35:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -072035 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 35569 WTPN31 PGTW 080300 1. TROPICAL STORM KELLY (04W) WARNING NR 005 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- 10.9N0 166.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.9N0 166.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 11.6N8 166.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 11.8N0 164.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 12.0N3 162.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 12.1N4 160.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 12.7N0 155.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION 11.1N3 166.7E0 TROPICAL STORM KELLY (04W) IS TRACKING NORTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS SLOWED ITS NORTHWARD MOVEMENT DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED NORTH OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. TROPICAL STORM KELLY (04W) IS FORECAST TO TURN WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND TO INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 08000Z8 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1), 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8), 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4) AND 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu May 8 13:17:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102274-4884>; Thu, 8 May 1997 13:17:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA264504; Thu, 8 May 1997 00:03:18 -0500 Message-Id: <199705080503.AAA264504@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 8 May 1997 00:00:39 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 6 May 1997 to 7 May 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 8 messages totalling 359 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. The "Fastest" Local Radar on the Web?! 2. GrADS ETA plotting 3. Conversion of Langleys 4. TV Weather News from SHOPTALK 5. Rocob/Synop Mobil Sample Reports 6. The "Fastest" Radar on the Web?! 7. Still MORE cuts!!!!!!! 8. NEMAS Online - New Webpage! +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 7 May 1997 06:01:32 -0700 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: The "Fastest" Local Radar on the Web?! Check out Milwaukee NBC affiliate WTMJ TV-4's new SE Wisconsin radar image updated -every 60 seconds-! This is a new addition to their website and improvements are promised to improve clarity. This image is -not- active 24hrs a day. Especially during periods of dry weather in SE WI. When it's operational though, you do get a new image -every 60 seconds-! http://www.touchtmj4.com/weather/radar/EMUCAP01.JPG Make sure to check out the rest of their site, http://www.touchtmj4.com and please leave a message saying -Thank You!- ************************************************************************* 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA Milwaukee Area Skywarn Assoc./Milwaukee-Waukesha A.R.E.S./IL Multi-County Warning System E-Mail, bkopp@execpc.com Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" my severe weather and SKYWARN home page! SFTS! http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 7 May 1997 09:14:19 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: GrADS ETA plotting There is a very nice interfac to GrADS, which allows you to generate maps of many ETA gridded variables at all times (nice when you don't want to download the whole file into PC-Gridds, and certainly look a lot better!) Check http://wesley.wwb.noaa.gov/ncep_data/ Rob ////////////////////////////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ Robert P Dale - N8GSK || rdale@norden1.com Meteorologist || rdale@storm.atms.purdue.edu Davidson Crane And Conveyor || dcc@norden1.com InterRAD Software http://www.stratus.weather.net/~rdale/interrad.html NW Ohio Weather Info http://wx.home.ml.org Northwest Ohio AMS http://nwohams.home.ml.org ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 7 May 1997 08:55:05 -0700 From: cavataio Subject: Conversion of Langleys Hello, all. Does anyone have the formula to convert Langleys to MJ/M^2? Thanks. Vicki Cavataio Dept. of Geography San Diego State University ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 7 May 1997 12:36:44 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Weather News from SHOPTALK The following articles appeared in SHOPTALK, a TV news discussion magazine on the Internet. For more information on SHOPTALK see http://www.tvspy.com. ..Chris.. = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = Mike Simons, long-time weatherman/Promotions Director at WBOY-TV in Clarksburg, WV, died Friday night at the age of 49. Simons died of complications following a bone marrow transplant for treatment of a rare blood disorder. A South New Jersey native, Simons first worked as a reporter in the early 1970's at WBOY, worked in local radio for several years, and returned to WBOY in 1985. For the past 10 years, he was also the local host for the Jerry Lewis MDA telethon, and was active in local theatre. He's survived by wife Cindy, daughter Lorie and son Scott. MIKE GRAF is the new weeknight Weathercaster at KRCR in Redding, CA. Previously Mike was the weekend weathercaster at KCOY/KSBY in Santa Maria/San Luis Obispo. Mike has also been a teacher specializing in weather education. He has written several weather-related books targeted for classroom use and is a special consultant to THE WEATHER CHANNEL on weather education and cable classroom projects. Mike has also written a number of guides to National Parks for classroom use, so he will feel right at home surrounded by the mountains, rivers and lakes in the Redding area. Mike is represented by Joe Kirik at Kirik Media Assocciates, West Bloomfield, MI (Kirikmedia@aol.com). *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 7 May 1997 12:30:20 PST From: Jeffrey Logan Subject: Rocob/Synop Mobil Sample Reports Wx-Talkers... In a quest to test some newly created meteorological report decoders, I are attempting to locate sample observations, preferably ones that were transmitted on the GTS. I can always make up ones based on the WMO standards. I would like to verify that actual GTS reports conform to the WMO reporting standards. The report formats I am looking for are: ROCOB WMO FM-39 MiMiMjMj = RRXX ROCOB SHIP WMO FM-40 MiMiMjMj = SSXX SYNOP MOBIL WMO FM-14 MiMiMjMj = OOXX I am well aware that Rocobs are rarely transmitted. I was informed that some were transmitted earlier this year from Wallops Island but our organization only keeps a few weeks worth of information handy and that archive proved lacking as far as rocket soundings were concerned. I doubt if much if any mobile synoptic reports are taken anywhere in the world but who knows...somebody might just have a few somewhere! Many thanks... Jeff Fleet Numerical Meteorology/Oceanography Center /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\ | Jeffrey D Logan loganj@fnoc.navy.mil Monterey, CA | |FNMOC - Data Dept (408)656-4463 (408)656-4489 (fax)| \/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 7 May 1997 16:46:30 -0700 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: The "Fastest" Radar on the Web?! Check out Milwaukee NBC affiliate WTMJ TV-4's new SE Wisconsin radar image updated -every 60 seconds-! This is a new addition to their website and improvements are promised to improve clarity. This image is -not- active 24hrs a day. Especially during periods of dry weather in SE WI. When it's operational though, you do get a new image -every 60 seconds-! http://www.touchtmj4.com/weather/radar/EMUCAP01.JPG Make sure to check out the rest of their site, http://www.touchtmj4.com and please leave a message saying -Thank You!- ************************************************************************* 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA Milwaukee Area Skywarn Assoc./Milwaukee-Waukesha A.R.E.S./IL Multi-County Warning System E-Mail, bkopp@execpc.com Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" my severe weather and SKYWARN home page! SFTS! http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* -- ************************************************************************* 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA Milwaukee Area Skywarn Assoc./Milwaukee-Waukesha A.R.E.S./IL Multi-County Warning System E-Mail, bkopp@execpc.com Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" my severe weather and SKYWARN home page! SFTS! http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 7 May 1997 17:03:13 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Still MORE cuts!!!!!!! Ay Caramba!!!! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* PNSNMC NATIONAL TECHNICAL INOFRMATION MESSAGE 97-21 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS WASHINGTON DC 230 PM EDT WED MAY 7 1997 TO: NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE /NWS/ EMPLOYEES...NOAA WEATHER WIRE SERVICE /NWWS/ SUBSCRIBERS...FAMILY OF SERVICE /FOS/ SUBSCRIBERS...OTHER NWS CUSTOMERS FROM: DR. ELBERT W. "JOE" FRIDAY JR. DIRECTOR...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SUBJECT: REDUCTIONS IN PRODUCTS AND SERVICES FROM THE NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...EFFECTIVE JULY 1 1997 ...DUE TO BUDGET CUTS AND PERSONNEL REDUCTIONS...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE'S HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER /HPC/ IN CAMP SPRINGS MARYLAND WILL REDUCE CERTAIN PRODUCTS AND SERVICES EFFECTIVE JULY 1 1997. ON THAT DATE THE FOLLOWING CHANGES WILL TAKE PLACE: NORTH AMERICAN SURFACE ANALYSES: THE MANUALLY-PREPARED NORTH AMERICAN SURFACE ANALYSES WITH FRONTS OF 0900 AND 2100 UTC DATA WILL BE REPLACED BY AUTOMATED ANALYSES WITHOUT FRONTS. THE MANUALLY-PREPARED SURFACE ANALYSES AT 0000...0300...0600...1200...1500...AND 1800 UTC WILL CONTINUE TO BE PREPARED AND TRANSMITTED. THE FACSIMILE SLOT NUMBERS FOR THE 2 CHARTS BEING AUTOMATED ARE SHOWN BELOW: ANALYSIS DIFAX ALASKA TIME SLOT # FAX SLOT # 0900 UTC 118 021 2100 UTC 259 025 NOTE ALSO THAT AFOS GRAPHIC PIL NMCGPH90F...WHICH CONTAINS A GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE FRONTAL POSITIONS FROM THE SURFACE ANALYSES... WILL NOT BE UPDATED WITH THE 0900 UTC AND 2100 UTC FRONTAL INFORMATION. IN ADDITION...THE TEXT PRODUCT CONTAINING THE POINT LOCATIONS OF THE FRONTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTH AMERICAN SURFACE ANALYSES WILL NOT BE UPDATED AT 0900 AND 2100 UTC...ALTHOUGH THE PRODUCT WILL CONTINUE TO BE UPDATED AT THE OTHER ANALYSIS TIMES. THE AFOS IDENTIFIER OF THAT PRODUCT IS NMCCODSUS; THE WMO HEADER OF THAT TEXT PRODUCT IS ASUS1 KWBC. PACIFIC OCEAN SURFACE ANALYSES: THE MANUALLY-PREPARED PACIFIC OCEAN SURFACE ANALYSES WITH FRONTS OF 0600 AND 1800 UTC DATA WILL BE REPLACED BY AUTOMATED ANALYSES WITHOUT FRONTS. MANUALLY-PREPARED PACIFIC OCEAN SURFACE ANALYSES AT 0000 AND 1200 UTC WILL CONTINUE TO BE PREPARED AND TRANSMITTED. ANALYSIS DIFAX ALASKA HAWAII TIME SLOT # FAX SLOT # FAX SLOT # 0600 UTC 098 080 034 1800 UTC 237 179 079 STORM SUMMARY UPDATES: STORM SUMMARY UPDATES ARE NON-ROUTINE PRODUCTS WHICH ARE CURRENTLY PREPARED 4 TIMES PER DAY ONLY DURING SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EVENTS...INCLUDING LAND-FALLING HURRICANES AND MAJOR WINTER STORMS. EFFECTIVE JULY 1 1997...STORM SUMMARY UPDATES...WHEN REQUIRED...WILL BE PREPARED TWICE A DAY AT 0500 UTC AND 1700 UTC. THE ISSUANCES AT 1100 UTC AND 2300 UTC WILL BE TERMINATED. THE PRODUCT IDENTIFIERS FOR THE STORM SUMMARY UPDATE ARE: AFOS/NWWS IDENTIFIER WMO HEADER NFDSCCNS/1-5/ ACUS/41-45/ KWBC HOLIDAY FORECAST: EFFECTIVE JULY 1 1997...THE HOLIDAY FORECAST SUMMARY WILL BE ELIMINATED. THE PRODUCT IDENTIFIERS FOR THE HOLIDAY FORECAST SUMMARY ARE: AFOS/NWWS IDENTIFIER WMO HEADER NFDHOLNMC ABUS4 KWBC IF YOU HAVE ANY CONCERNS RELATED TO THE TERMINATION AND REDUCTION OF THESE PRODUCTS AND SERVICES...PLEASE CONTACT: NAME: ACTING CHIEF...FORECAST OPERATIONS BRANCH ADDRESS: W/NP31...ROOM 410 WORLD WEATHER BUILDING WASHINGTON...DC 20233 PHONE: /301/ 763-8000 EXTENSION 7317 OR 7300 THIS AND OTHER NWS SERVICE CHANGE NOTIFICATIONS ARE AVAILABLE ON THE NWS OFFICE OF METEOROLOGY'S HOME PAGE...IN THE NOTIFICATION SECTION. THE ADDRESS OF THE NOTIFICATION SECTION IS: HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM END ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 7 May 1997 20:49:16 GMT From: Keith Thomas Subject: NEMAS Online - New Webpage! I would like to announce that NEMAS (NorthEast Meteorological and Astronomical Service) now has an all new website! The new website is a major improvement over our previous site, and contains quite a bit more information about the organization, it's members, and its offices. Be sure to take a look at our all new page.. It's at: http://www.cybercomm.net/~tornado/nemas/ Thanks, Keith Thomas = Keith Thomas tornado@cybercomm.net http://www.cybercomm.net/~tornado/ = = Amateur Meteorologist - tornado_ on Undernet's #Weather = = Author of Net.Weather and Meteorology Wizard = ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 6 May 1997 to 7 May 1997 ************************************************ From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu May 8 14:02:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102274-4884>; Thu, 8 May 1997 14:02:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA110734; Thu, 8 May 1997 00:50:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5534257 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 May 1997 00:50:36 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA57692 for ; Thu, 8 May 1997 00:50:36 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA11244 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 May 1997 00:50:35 -0500 Message-ID: <199705080550.AAA11244@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 8 May 1997 00:50:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -080050 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 45801 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600Z MAY 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 080151Z MAY 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 080000Z8, TROPICAL STORM KELLY (04W) WAS LOCATED AT 10.9N0 166.9E2 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM KELLY (04W) WARNING NR 05 (WTPN31 PGTW 080300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/EDSON/WOFFORD/PUGH/BACON// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu May 8 16:03:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102427-4884>; Thu, 8 May 1997 16:03:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA65372; Thu, 8 May 1997 02:41:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5535092 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 May 1997 02:41:15 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA32842 for ; Thu, 8 May 1997 02:41:15 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id CAA39006 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 May 1997 02:41:14 -0500 Message-ID: <199705080741.CAA39006@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 8 May 1997 02:41:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -080241 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 62555 WTPN31 PGTW 080900 1. TROPICAL STORM KELLY (04W) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z4 --- 11.7N9 167.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.7N9 167.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 12.3N6 167.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 12.9N2 166.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 13.6N0 164.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 14.4N9 163.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 15.8N4 158.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 080900Z7 POSITION 11.9N1 167.1E5 TROPICAL STORM KELLY (04W) IS TRACKING NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS IN RESPONSE TO A WEAK MID-LEVEL TROUGH PASSING NORTH OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. TROPICAL STORM KELLY IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS EASTERLY STEERING FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE DOMINANT RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. TROPICAL STORM KELLY IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8), 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4), 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6) AND 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu May 8 16:10:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102491-4884>; Thu, 8 May 1997 16:10:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA121856; Thu, 8 May 1997 02:51:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5535114 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 May 1997 02:51:04 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA227822 for ; Thu, 8 May 1997 02:51:03 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id CAA39101 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 May 1997 02:51:03 -0500 Message-ID: <199705080751.CAA39101@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 8 May 1997 02:51:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -080251 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 62650 WTPN31 PGTW 080300 1. TROPICAL STORM KELLY (04W) WARNING NR 005 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- 10.9N0 166.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.9N0 166.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 11.6N8 166.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 11.8N0 164.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 12.0N3 162.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 12.1N4 160.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 12.7N0 155.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION 11.1N3 166.7E0 TROPICAL STORM KELLY (04W) IS TRACKING NORTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS SLOWED ITS NORTHWARD MOVEMENT DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED NORTH OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. TROPICAL STORM KELLY (04W) IS FORECAST TO TURN WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND TO INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 08000Z8 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1), 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8), 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4) AND 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6).// TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT TTT NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu May 8 23:19:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102491-4884>; Thu, 8 May 1997 23:19:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA201096; Thu, 8 May 1997 09:53:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5537174 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 May 1997 09:53:20 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA33292 for ; Thu, 8 May 1997 09:52:58 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id JAA51253 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 May 1997 09:52:57 -0500 Message-ID: <199705081452.JAA51253@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 8 May 1997 09:52:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -080952 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 58162 WTPN31 PGTW 081500 1. TROPICAL STORM KELLY (04W) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 12.3N6 167.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.3N6 167.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 13.0N4 167.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 13.5N9 166.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 14.1N6 165.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 14.6N1 164.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 16.0N7 159.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION 12.5N8 167.2E6 TROPICAL STORM KELLY (04W) IS TRACKING NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS IN RESPONSE TO A WEAK MID-LEVEL TROUGH PASSING NORTH OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. TROPICAL STORM KELLY IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS EASTERLY STEERING FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE DOMINANT RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. TROPICAL STORM KELLY IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY AS IT TRACKS WEST- NORTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4), 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6), 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2) AND 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri May 9 04:57:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102766-4884>; Fri, 9 May 1997 04:57:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA203528; Thu, 8 May 1997 15:35:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5541022 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 May 1997 15:35:24 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA185992 for ; Thu, 8 May 1997 15:35:08 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id PAA58220 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 8 May 1997 15:35:07 -0500 Message-ID: <199705082035.PAA58220@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 8 May 1997 15:35:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -081535 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 64617 WTPN31 PGTW 082100 1. TROPICAL STORM KELLY (04W) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- 12.4N7 167.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.4N7 167.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 12.9N2 167.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 13.7N1 166.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 14.7N2 165.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 15.6N2 164.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 16.3N0 160.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 082100Z1 POSITION 12.5N8 167.4E8 TROPICAL STORM KELLY (04W) IS QUASISTATIONARY. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRACKING WESTWARD WITHIN 24 HOURS AS IT ENCOUNTERS EASTERLY STEERING FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE DOMINANT RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REACH PEAK INTENSITY BY 24 HOURS, FURTHER INTENSIFICATION WILL BE INHIBITED BY MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6), 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2), 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9) AND 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri May 9 13:11:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102519-28646>; Fri, 9 May 1997 13:11:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA38888; Fri, 9 May 1997 00:03:27 -0500 Message-Id: <199705090503.AAA38888@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 9 May 1997 00:00:57 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 7 May 1997 to 8 May 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 13 messages totalling 466 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Announcement of READY Web Page 2. WX-TALK Digest - 6 May 1997 to 7 May 1997 3. Another radar site of note 4. Announcement of ARL Web Page 5. What's MESONETWORK? 6. FW: el Nino and mid-atlantic summer weather 7. Meeting - Central Oklahoma Chapters of AMS & NWA 8. Ensemble MRF Output, Ukmet, etc. (2) 9. NOGAPS ? (2) 10. satellite images return 11. Partner page bye-bye for now... +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 8 May 1997 08:32:59 -0400 From: "Glenn D. Rolph" Subject: Announcement of READY Web Page The NOAA Air Resources Laboratory (ARL) is pleased to announce their web site at: http://www.arl.noaa.gov ARL provides research and support to NOAA and other Federal Government agencies related to air quality, climate, solar radiation, and atmospheric emergency response. Of particular interest to this weather group is our Real-time Environmental Applications and Display sYstem (READY) web page at: http://www.arl.noaa.gov/ready.html Users can run our HYSPLIT transport and dispersion model via the web to produce forecast and archive air parcel trajectory and dispersion maps using the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) meteorological data fields. Also, volcanic ash forecast products from the Volcanic Ash Forecast Transport and Dispersion (VAFTAD) model and mesoscale meteorological forecasts from the RAMS model run at ARL for select locations can be accessed from READY. READY also provides users with interactive soundings, meteograms, NWS worded products, and various other weather related products to evaluate the dispersion models products. After reviewing the site, please send us comments via the Guestbook. Glenn Rolph **************************************************************************** ___________________________________________________________________ / Glenn D. Rolph _________ /| / Meteorologist __( ______) / | /grolph@arlrisc.arlhq.noaa.gov rolph@concentric.net _(____) / | / NOAA Air Resources Laboratory (__) / | / R/E/AR, 1315 East West Highway (_) / | / Silver Spring, MD 20910 (_) / | / (_) / | /__________________________________________________(_)____________/ / | (_) | / | Real-time Environmental Applications and Display (_) sYstem | / | ** http://www.arl.noaa.gov/ready.html ** (_) | / | For access to interactive trajectories, || | / | dispersion, and other related weather products. || | / | ||===== | / |__________________________________________________||_[]_|________|/ **************************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 8 May 1997 07:47:36 -0500 From: Gene Nygaard Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 6 May 1997 to 7 May 1997 >> >Date: Wed, 7 May 1997 08:55:05 -0700 >From: cavataio >Subject: Conversion of Langleys > >Hello, all. > >Does anyone have the formula to convert Langleys to >MJ/M^2? > >Thanks. > >Vicki Cavataio >Dept. of Geography >San Diego State University I'm glad to help anyone who in changing from obsolete units such as the cgs langleys to modern SI units. But I don't know unit whose symbol is M, so I'll assume you meant m for meters. A langley is a calorie per square centimeter. Of course, calories are another of those old units that should be abandoned. These calories aren't the big critters that people think they can "count" when they are watching their diet, but the small ones only 1/1000 as large at about 4.184 joules. >From there it's fairly straightforward. Set it up to cancel out units: 1 Ly = 1 cal/cm^2 x (4.184 J/cal) x (10000 cm^2/m^2) x (1 MJ/1000000 J) = 4.184/100 MJ/m^2 = 0.04184 MJ/m². Gene Nygaard ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 8 May 1997 08:04:40 -0500 From: Gary Dobbs Subject: Another radar site of note >Subject: The "Fastest" Local Radar on the Web?! > >Check out Milwaukee NBC affiliate WTMJ TV-4's new SE Wisconsin radar >......snip....... We too are proud of our 24 hour on line radar offering from Channel 31 WAAY in Huntsville, Ala..... We have a Baron Services HDD-250 and we never turn the darn thing off !! (We DO reverse the direction of scan every so often just to keep the gears in good working order)... on a typical day, I keep the radar beam at around 0.5 elevation (we're on a 1000 foot mountain top)...but during significant weather events we move it up and down continuously....(and the image you get is relative to where we are looking at the two minute "save") Our updates on the net are at two minute intervals......We receive plaudits from our viewers (and from many WAAY outside our ADI) as to how valuable the radar site can be to them when their cable system goes down due to storms and their only access to radar data is on the net ( not a safe practice with regard to lightning damage potential to their computer modems....but, hey, if THAT'S what they want !!) SO......check us out !! www.waaytv.com click on DOPPLER MAX regards, Gary Dobbs Director, Weather Services WAAY TV Huntsville, Ala. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 8 May 1997 09:22:27 -0400 From: "Glenn D. Rolph" Subject: Announcement of ARL Web Page The NOAA Air Resources Laboratory (ARL) is pleased to announce their web site at: http://www.arl.noaa.gov ARL provides research and support to NOAA and other Federal Government agencies related to air quality, climate, solar radiation, and atmospheric emergency response. Of particular interest to this weather group is our Real-time Environmental Applications and Display sYstem (READY) web page at: http://www.arl.noaa.gov/ready.html Users can run our HYSPLIT transport and dispersion model via the web to produce forecast and archive air parcel trajectory and dispersion maps using the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) meteorological data fields. Also, volcanic ash forecast products from the Volcanic Ash Forecast Transport and Dispersion (VAFTAD) model and mesoscale meteorological forecasts from the RAMS model run at ARL for select locations can be accessed from READY. READY also provides users with interactive soundings, meteograms, NWS worded products, and various other weather related products to evaluate the dispersion models products. After reviewing the site, please send us comments via the Guestbook. Glenn Rolph **************************************************************************** ___________________________________________________________________ / Glenn D. Rolph _________ /| / Meteorologist __( ______) / | /grolph@arlrisc.arlhq.noaa.gov rolph@concentric.net _(____) / | / NOAA Air Resources Laboratory (__) / | / R/E/AR, 1315 East West Highway (_) / | / Silver Spring, MD 20910 (_) / | / (_) / | /__________________________________________________(_)____________/ / | (_) | / | Real-time Environmental Applications and Display (_) sYstem | / | ** http://www.arl.noaa.gov/ready.html ** (_) | / | For access to interactive trajectories, || | / | dispersion, and other related weather products. || | / | ||===== | / |__________________________________________________||_[]_|________|/ **************************************************************************** Message resent due to full message queue. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 8 May 1997 08:28:58 -0600 From: "Clayton Jones (Clay)" Subject: What's MESONETWORK? The attached storm report indicates a measurement by MESONETWORK. What is it? I imagine it to be a system that can measure winds from afar? I'm probably way off base. Thanks, Clay Jones ---------------------------------- Clay.Jones@oag.state.tx.us ---------------------------------- Network Manager I Austin, Texas ---------------------------------- >>> Charley Kline 05/07/97 09:41pm >>> ZCZC DD+ 72131 WWUS30 KOKC 080341 LSROKC LOCAL STORM REPORT...TEST PRODUCT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OKLAHOMA 1038 PM CDT WED MAY 7 1997 TIME(CDT) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... ....COUNTY LOCATION.... 1020 PM 4.0 SE HOBART OK 60.6 MPH WIND GUST, MEASURED 05/07/97 KIOWA OKLAHOMA MESONETWORK PURPURA NNNN ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 8 May 1997 10:01:28 -0400 From: Mike Taube Subject: FW: el Nino and mid-atlantic summer weather >Hi all, > >I live near Baltimore, Maryland, and It seems to me that the El Nino effect >seems to be the cause of either severe storms or mild summertime weather. > >I can't recall when, but I think that when there is an El Nino effect, we >get mild summers, and when there isn't, we get lots of severe thunderstorms >during the Summertime. > >Is this my imagination, or is it possible that El Nino does indeed affect the >storminess of our Summertime? > >Mike Taube >miket@htech.com > ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 8 May 1997 09:52:44 CDT From: Rodger Brown Subject: Meeting - Central Oklahoma Chapters of AMS & NWA A joint meeting of the Central Oklahoma Chapters of the American Meteorological Society and the National Weather Association will be held at 7:00 p.m. on Thursday, 22 May 1997. The meeting will be held in Room A235 of Sarkeys Energy Center (corner of Boyd and Jenkins) on the campus of the University of Oklahoma in Norman. There is free parking on the east side of the building. Tom Grazulis of The Tornado Project will speak on "A Tornado Entrepreneur Looks To The 21st Century OR What To Do With Tornadoes For Fun And Profit". Tom will reveal new projects he plans to undertake through and after the turn of the century. He also will show some exciting never-before-shown close-ups of tornadoes from his "secret video archive". Check out our home page for the latest information concerning the activities of the chapters: http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/ams-nwa. Rodger Brown ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 8 May 1997 12:48:08 -0500 From: Big John Eylander Subject: Ensemble MRF Output, Ukmet, etc. Hello, I am wondering where it is I can find the Ensemble MRF, the Ukmet, etc. The only long range model I have been consistently able to use is the MRF from UCAR, (which has a really nice graphic output by the way). However, I don't really like the MRF all the time, and am wondering where I can find the UKMET, and maybe the Ensemble forecasts. I do remember that at one time I found the Ensemble forecasts, but I seem to have this memory problem when it comes to where that was. Any help would be greatly appreciated. Thanks! John Eylander Valparaiso University Dept. of Geography and Meteorolgy Valparaiso, IN 46383 Jeylande@zeus.valpo.edu Jeylande@exodus.valpo.edu http://www.valpo.edu/student/VUSIT ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 8 May 1997 13:38:59 -0500 From: "Eric M. Kemp" Subject: Re: Ensemble MRF Output, Ukmet, etc. On Thu, 8 May 1997, Big John Eylander wrote: > Hello, > > I am wondering where it is I can find the Ensemble MRF, the Ukmet, > etc. The only long range model I have been consistently able to use is > the MRF from UCAR, (which has a really nice graphic output by the way). > However, I don't really like the MRF all the time, and am wondering > where I can find the UKMET, and maybe the Ensemble forecasts. I do > remember that at one time I found the Ensemble forecasts, but I seem to > have this memory problem when it comes to where that was. Any help > would be greatly appreciated. Thanks! Big John, Purdue and Ohio State have ECMWF forecasts available at: http://wxp.atms.purdue.edu/ecmwf.shtml and http://asp1.sbs.ohio-state.edu/fcstimages.html#ecmwfmodel The NOAA Climate Diagnostics Center has MRF ensemble products at: http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/~map/maproom/ENS/ens.html I'm not aware of any Web sites that have the UKMET available, but you can try searching thru http://www.yahoo.com/ Cheers, Eric -- "I want to look at the Small- to Medium-Range Forecast model--the SMuRF." --R. Stokes, fellow grad student **************************************************************************** Eric M. Kemp Graduate Research Assistant ekemp@tornado.gcn.ou.edu Center for Computational Geosciences ekemp@rossby.metr.ou.edu University of Oklahoma School of Meteorology Web page at http://rossby.metr.ou.edu/~ekemp **************************************************************************** Standard Disclaimer: These are my views, not necessarily OU's. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 8 May 1997 16:47:15 -0700 From: Weather Scratch Subject: Re: NOGAPS ? Matt: Good question??? I would like to know too. I noticed MRF dissappeared, then NOGAPS, and now AVN is there somethimes and sometimes not. Not much consistency. I too have wondered, or is it the nothing is free routine again, or did this individual that maintianed this area get a budget ax???? It has been raining dead feds for weeks now, from the latest new NEXRAD - algorithm for detecting federal personnel cuts. On the national composite radar it has been running 80 dbz returns, at field offfices and National Centers, instead of Washington (there are zero dbz returns in Washington DC) where the real cuts need to be made.! Starting with Dr. Friday, or atleast that is my opinion at this point in the budget game! :-) John Matt Crowther wrote: > > The NOGAPS site mentioned earlier on this group has not had updated charts > since the 5th of the month...anyone know what gives? Thanks for any help. > > Matt Crowther -- ========================================================================= Weather Scratch Meteorological Services 140 South Kirkman Street Florence, Alabama 35630-4312 (205) 766-8464 Voice/Fax (205) 984-4219 Digital Pager INTERNET E-Mail: metservices@wxscratch.com WEB PAGE: http://www.wxscratch.com Shop the Weather Store, Subscribe to Weather Watch Magazine, Buy a Boltek Lightning Detection System, or contact Weather Scratch for all your research and meteorological needs! Ask about The Severe Local Storm Forecasting Primer or a WINDY Tee Shirt! ========================================================================= ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 8 May 1997 15:38:38 -0600 From: Greg Thompson Subject: satellite images return I'm happy to inform this group that the NCAR/RAP satellite images have returned. Our receiver box was returned after repair and is now working properly. As of 2032 UTC 8 May, images are once again flowing to my web site: http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satellite.html In the coming months I hope to add additional hi-res, close-up visible images and make them appear at 15-minute intervals. I also hope to do a better job processing the rapid scan imagery than I did last year. Lastly, I'm hoping to be able to add surface data plots overlayed on the satellite imagery. Many thanks go to Dave Johnson of NCAR/RAP and SeaSpace Inc. for the hardware fixes. Enjoy! --Greg Thompson NCAR/RAP ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 8 May 1997 20:06:13 GMT From: Thomas Owens Subject: Re: NOGAPS ? The maintainer was overseas for a couple of weeks and unable to attend to computer problems at the site. The NOGAPS output should return shortly. In article <33726603.30D4@wxscratch.com>, metservices@wxscratch.com says... > >Matt: Good question??? I would like to know too. I noticed MRF Thomas Owens tjo113@psu.edu The Allentown Weather Center - Over 1000 Weather Links! http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/weather.html The WWW Virtual Library : Meteorology http://www.ugems.psu.edu/~owens/WWW_Virtual_Library/ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 8 May 1997 22:24:56 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Partner page bye-bye for now... Chasers, Due to a hard disk problem on our machine this morning, the partner.html page containing the list for chase partners was destroyed. It has to be completely re-created. I hope to get it done this weekend. Until then, hang in there. Entries will have to be re-entered; I apologize for any inconvenience this has caused. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 7 May 1997 to 8 May 1997 ************************************************ From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat May 10 04:52:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102779-28646>; Sat, 10 May 1997 04:52:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA210930; Fri, 9 May 1997 15:37:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5516600 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 9 May 1997 15:36:56 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA104928 for ; Fri, 9 May 1997 15:36:56 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id PAA57237 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 9 May 1997 15:36:55 -0500 Message-ID: <199705092036.PAA57237@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 9 May 1997 15:36:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -091536 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 63377 WTPN31 PGTW 092100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W (KELLY) WARNING NR 012 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 04W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091800Z8 --- 13.3N7 165.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.3N7 165.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 13.9N3 163.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 14.4N9 161.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 15.0N6 160.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 092100Z2 POSITION 13.4N8 164.5E6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W (KELLY) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 091933Z VISIBLE SATTELITE IMAGERY CLEARLY INDICATES AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4) AND 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat May 10 11:57:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102505-21907>; Sat, 10 May 1997 11:57:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA216940; Fri, 9 May 1997 22:51:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5521167 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 9 May 1997 22:50:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA136278 for ; Fri, 9 May 1997 22:50:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id WAA12928 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 9 May 1997 22:48:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705100348.WAA12928@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 9 May 1997 22:48:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 416 WTXS21 PGTW 100330 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 070321Z MAY 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 300 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.5S7 82.9E9 TO 15.2S8 94.2E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 101654Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.1S4 84.4E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED 1100 NM TO THE SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA HAS INCREASED IN ORGANIZATION AND AREAL EXTENT OVER THE PAST TWELVE HOURS. THE PRESENCE OF A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BEEN VERIFIED BY BOTH SCATTEROMETRY AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES NEAR THE DISTURBANCE ARE ABOUT 28 C, WHILE SYNOPTIC DATA ALONG THE EQUATOR SHOWS THE PRESENCE OF STRONG EQUATORIAL WESTERLIES TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. BOTH THESE ARE FAVORABLE INDICATORS FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 110330Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat May 10 12:44:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102621-21907>; Sat, 10 May 1997 12:44:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA239182; Fri, 9 May 1997 23:37:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5521432 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 9 May 1997 23:37:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA223548 for ; Fri, 9 May 1997 23:37:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id XAA13255 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 9 May 1997 23:34:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705100434.XAA13255@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 9 May 1997 23:34:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 043 WTXS21 PGTW 100330 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 100321Z MAY 97// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 300 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.5S7 82.9E9 TO 15.2S8 94.2E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 101654Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.1S4 84.4E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED 1100 NM TO THE SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA HAS INCREASED IN ORGANIZATION AND AREAL EXTENT OVER THE PAST TWELVE HOURS. THE PRESENCE OF A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BEEN VERIFIED BY BOTH SCATTEROMETRY AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES NEAR THE DISTURBANCE ARE ABOUT 28 C, WHILE SYNOPTIC DATA ALONG THE EQUATOR SHOWS THE PRESENCE OF STRONG EQUATORIAL WESTERLIES TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. BOTH THESE ARE FAVORABLE INDICATORS FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 110330Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat May 10 13:15:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102620-21907>; Sat, 10 May 1997 13:15:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA65476; Sat, 10 May 1997 00:02:30 -0500 Message-Id: <199705100502.AAA65476@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 10 May 1997 00:00:32 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 8 May 1997 to 9 May 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 6 messages totalling 158 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Taking Pictures of Lightning 2. taking pictures of lightning (2) 3. NSSL/SPC Merchandise for sale! 4. GOES-10 test imagery available 5. Sharp II v5/97 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 9 May 1997 10:20:51 -0400 From: Keith Ebbecke Subject: Taking Pictures of Lightning Can anyone recommend a film for taking night pictures of lightning. What is a good "F" stop setting for a given film speed. I assume the shutter is locked open. I'm really new at this. Thanks, Keith N2PED ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 9 May 1997 11:05:06 -0400 From: DUBOVIK@HSDWL.UTC.COM Subject: Re: taking pictures of lightning Keith, try 1/60 second, f5.6, ISO400 (Lightning 8 miles away) Use f11 for close lightning (~~ 2 miles) and f4 over 8 miles. Like anything of this nature --- bracket bracket bracket Gary Dubovik dubovik@hsdwl.utc.com ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 9 May 1997 10:39:48 -0500 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: NSSL/SPC Merchandise for sale! Severe Weather Fanatics, The NSSL/SPC Employees Association (NSEA) regularly sells severe weather photographs and NSSL/SPC clothing as part of its fund-raising efforts. Traditionally, we've only been able to sell this merchandise to individuals who visit the NSSL/SPC in Norman, Oklahoma, or when we take the merchandise to various special functions (such as the TWC Chaser Conference, the StormTrack annual picnic, or various conferences and open houses). Now this merchandise is available on the World Wide Web (WWW)! The 1997 Spring Chase Season is well underway! Get merchandise now! Storm Predicition Center golf shirts are also new to our clothing line. ********************************************************************* * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW Severe Weather Photo Store * ********************************************************************* The URL for the NSEA Photo Concession Stand is: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/nea/neaphotostand.html ****************************************************************** * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW NSSL/SPC Clothing Store * * * * NSSL SHIRTS...AS SEEN IN THE MOVIE 'TWISTER'!!! * ****************************************************************** The URL for the NSEA Clothing Concession Stand is: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/nea/neaclothing.html Information on the prices of merchandise is on the WWW page. We can only accept orders placed from the WWW page (check or money order only). Information on the NSEA is also available via the first hypertext link on that WWW page. If you have any questions, please contact Greg Stumpf at: gstumpf@rossby.metr.ou.edu We hope that this fundraiser is a success for our organization and we hope you all enjoy the merchandise! Greg Stumpf and Paul Janish, NSSL/SPC Employees Association DISCLAIMER: The NSEA is a non-profit organization not affiliated with NOAA or the U.S. Government. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 9 May 1997 10:40:00 -0500 From: Charles Edwards Subject: Re: taking pictures of lightning At 11:05 AM 5/9/97 -0400, DUBOVIK@HSDWL.UTC.COM wrote: >Keith, try 1/60 second, f5.6, ISO400 (Lightning 8 miles away) > >Use f11 for close lightning (~~ 2 miles) and f4 over 8 miles. And what about that lightning that is only 1/4 mile away? :) Charles Edwards Cloud 9 Tours cedwards@rossby.metr.ou.edu storms@pair.com http://www3.pair.com/storms ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 9 May 1997 20:05:37 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: GOES-10 test imagery available Fellow satellite enthusiasts, Samples of visible test imagery from GOES-10 are availalbe at http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/misc/goes10.html I'll be adding full disk images, IR channel images, and sounder images as they become available during the coming weeks... -Scott -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS FIRSTT | CIMSS/University of Wisconsin-Madison ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 9 May 1997 16:19:08 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Sharp II v5/97 The newest version of SHARP II is now available for downloading -- check the "What's New" section of the NW Ohio Weather Information page. Here's the readme: SHARP (5/97) Changes 1. Adds 2000m instead of 3000m to 700mb MAN code when it is at least 500. 2. No longer uses the DOS "SORT.EXE" command. 3. It no longer uses the RAOB3.DIR, RAOB4.DIR, and RAOB5.DIR files (RAOBS.DIR is used instead as a temporary file). 4. There is no longer a 900 file limit to the number of sounding files that may be in the RAOBS directory at one time. 5. SHARP programs will no longer crash if the CURRENT.DAT, SKEWT.DAT, or RAOB5.DIR files are missing. """"""""""" Rob ////////////////////////////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ Robert P Dale - N8GSK || rdale@norden1.com Meteorologist || rdale@storm.atms.purdue.edu Davidson Crane And Conveyor || dcc@norden1.com InterRAD Software http://www.stratus.weather.net/~rdale/interrad.html NW Ohio Weather Info http://wx.home.ml.org Northwest Ohio AMS http://nwohams.home.ml.org ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 8 May 1997 to 9 May 1997 ************************************************ From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat May 10 22:38:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102400-21907>; Sat, 10 May 1997 22:38:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA223458; Sat, 10 May 1997 09:31:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5524300 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 May 1997 09:31:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA264652 for ; Sat, 10 May 1997 09:31:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA18099 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 May 1997 09:29:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705101429.JAA18099@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 10 May 1997 09:29:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 059 WTXS31 PGTW 101500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 36S WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- 12.4S7 85.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.4S7 85.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 13.0S4 87.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 13.6S0 87.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 14.2S7 88.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 14.8S3 89.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 101500Z7 POSITION 12.6S9 86.2E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 36S IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED IN THE NEAR EQUATORIAL TROUGH AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE GENERALLY SOUTHEASTWARD WITHIN THE TROUGH AXIS DUE TO NORTHWESTERLY STEERING FLOW. GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FORECAST TO FACILITATE INTENSIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 101130Z SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T2.0 (30 KNOTS). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9) AND 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 100321Z MAY 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 100330).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun May 11 11:10:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102442-27488>; Sun, 11 May 1997 11:10:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA220780; Sat, 10 May 1997 21:44:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5528728 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 May 1997 21:42:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA216850 for ; Sat, 10 May 1997 21:42:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA24724 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 May 1997 21:40:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705110240.VAA24724@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 10 May 1997 21:40:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 150 WTXS31 PGTW 110300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 36S WARNING NR 002 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- 11.5S7 90.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.5S7 90.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 11.7S9 92.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 12.4S7 93.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 13.3S7 94.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 14.5S0 95.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION 11.5S7 90.7E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 36S IS CURRENTLY TRACKING EASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG MONSOONAL WESTERLIES. THE POSITION OF THE STORM HAS BEEN RELOCATED DUE TO 101708Z7 SCATTEROMETRY. TC 36S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY AND MOVE EASTWARD UNTIL IT GETS CLEAR OF THE CURRENT EQUATORIAL WESTERLY WIND BURST, THEN BEGIN TO MOVE TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST. CURRENT WIND RADII IS BASED ON THE ABOVE MENTIONED SCATTEROMETRY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z8 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2) AND 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun May 11 13:10:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102639-27488>; Sun, 11 May 1997 13:10:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA192866; Sun, 11 May 1997 00:04:35 -0500 Message-Id: <199705110504.AAA192866@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 11 May 1997 00:01:04 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 9 May 1997 to 10 May 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O There are 3 messages totalling 78 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. SCH Partner page back online 2. Wake Island has a wake for departing WSO 3. INTERNET RADAR FOR NORTH/CENTRAL ALABAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 10 May 1997 13:56:00 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: SCH Partner page back online Due to a hard drive problem, the storm chaser "partners" page lost all entries from March 20, 1997 onward. If you added an entry into the system after this date, please re-enter it. I apologize for the inconvenience. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 10 May 1997 14:01:11 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Wake Island has a wake for departing WSO NOUS01 KWBC 081907 MESSAGE 97-16 WAKE ISLAND WSO 91245 PWAK WILL CLOSE AFTER THE 0000 UTC UPPER AIR OBSERVATION ON MAY 14 1997. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS IN FM12 SYNOP CODE AND UPPER AIR OBSERVATIONS WILL NO LONGER BE AFTER THAT TIME. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS IN FM15 METAR WILL BE AVAILABLE DURING DAYLIGHT HOURS ONLY. TERMINAL FORECASTS IN FM51 TAF PREPARED BY HONOLULU FORECAST OFFICE WILL BE AVAILABLE ON AN AS REQUIRED BASIS. RTH WASHINGTON SENDS Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 10 May 1997 16:11:29 -0500 From: John Oldshue Subject: INTERNET RADAR FOR NORTH/CENTRAL ALABAMA >I just wanted to make everybody aware of my station's (ABC 33/40 in >Birmingham, Alabama) web site at > >http://www.abc3340.com/weather/index.htm > >the web site has our station radar updates every 2-4 minutes and covers >north and central Alabama as well as parts of Mississippi, Tennessee, >and Georgia. I thought that might be helpful for some of the >southeastern chasers out there. There are a lot of cool weather links >here too..... > >Please write us back and let us know what you think of the web site and >the radar.... Sincerely, John Oldshue ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 9 May 1997 to 10 May 1997 ************************************************* From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun May 11 16:04:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102673-27488>; Sun, 11 May 1997 16:04:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA199240; Sun, 11 May 1997 02:56:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5530606 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 May 1997 02:54:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA180700 for ; Sun, 11 May 1997 02:54:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA27156 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 May 1997 02:52:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705110752.CAA27156@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 May 1997 02:52:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 24 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 504 WTXS31 PGTW 110900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 36S WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- 11.5S7 90.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.5S7 90.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 11.6S8 92.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 12.1S4 92.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 12.6S9 93.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 13.4S8 94.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 15.2S8 95.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION 11.5S7 91.1E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 36S (TC 36S) HAS SLOWED TO 09 KNOTS IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. TC 36S IS EMBEDDED IN EASTERLY STEERING FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH AN EQUATORIAL WESTERLY WIND BURST. AS TC 36S CONTINUES TO TRACK EASTWARD, IT IS EXPECTED TO LOSE THIS STEERING FLOW AND MAKE A TURN TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST, THEN SOUTHWARD LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z8 IS 14 FEET. THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU) WILL BE ISSUING 72-HOUR WARNINGS EVERY SIX HOURS UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2), 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8), 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0) AND 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun May 11 22:23:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102906-27488>; Sun, 11 May 1997 22:23:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA33764; Sun, 11 May 1997 09:15:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5531799 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 May 1997 09:13:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA160500 for ; Sun, 11 May 1997 09:12:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA29981 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 May 1997 09:10:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705111410.JAA29981@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 May 1997 09:10:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 25 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 534 WTXS31 PGTW 111500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 36S WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- 11.8S0 90.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.8S0 90.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 12.4S7 91.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 13.1S5 91.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 13.8S2 92.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 14.5S0 92.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 15.8S4 93.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION 11.9S1 90.9E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 36S IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS COME UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOWER LEVEL NORTH EASTERLY STEERING FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH A RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST AND A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH PASSING TO THE SOUTH. THIS FLOW IS MODIFYING THE EFFECT OF STRONG WESTERLIES TO THE NORTH OF TC36S, WHICH ARE STILL ATTEMPTING TO DRIVE THE CYCLONE TO THE EAST. THE OVERALL EFFECT HAS BEEN TO SLOW THE SYSTEM AND FORCE IT TO THE SOUTHEAST. THIS MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE AS TC 36S BECOMES FIRMLY EMBEDDED IN THE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW BETWEEN THE ABOVE MENTIONED RIDGE AND THE MID-LATITUDE LOW. ALTHOUGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS NOT STRONG AT PRESENT, IT IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY INCREASE AS THE LOW LEVEL STEERING FLOW SHIFTS TO THE NORTHWEST WHILE UPPER LEVEL WINDS REMAIN WESTERLY. THIS WILL LIMIT THE INTENSIFICATION OF TC 36S. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z5 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8), 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0) 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6) AND 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon May 12 03:58:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102673-27488>; Mon, 12 May 1997 03:58:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA192896; Sun, 11 May 1997 14:51:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5534009 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 May 1997 14:51:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA189294 for ; Sun, 11 May 1997 14:51:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA02605 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 May 1997 14:49:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705111949.OAA02605@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 11 May 1997 14:49:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 30 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 385 WTXS31 PGTW 112100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 36S WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- 12.1S4 91.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.1S4 91.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 12.6S9 92.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 13.1S5 92.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 13.7S1 93.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 14.3S8 93.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 15.8S4 94.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION 12.2S5 91.7E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 36S IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. SYSTEM MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A MID-LATITUDE PASSING TO THE SOUTH. THE SYSTEM HAS SLOWED AS IT HAS MOVED AWAY FROM THE STRONG EQUATORIAL WESTERLIES PREVAILING IN ITS AREA OF FORMATION. MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS FORECAST OVER TC 36S, WHICH WILL LIMIT FURTHER INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z1 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0), 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6), 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3) AND 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon May 12 13:41:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102302-7410>; Mon, 12 May 1997 13:41:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA223234; Mon, 12 May 1997 00:30:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5537454 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 May 1997 00:29:50 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA266168 for ; Mon, 12 May 1997 00:29:39 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA57340 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 May 1997 00:29:39 -0500 Message-ID: <199705120529.AAA57340@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 12 May 1997 00:29:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -120029 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 44281 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600Z MAY 97// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: NICKLAS/SULLINS/MILLER/DOBBINS// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon May 12 15:38:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102917-7410>; Mon, 12 May 1997 15:38:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA140400; Mon, 12 May 1997 02:31:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5538104 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 May 1997 02:31:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA245338 for ; Mon, 12 May 1997 02:31:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA08354 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 May 1997 02:29:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705120729.CAA08354@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 May 1997 02:29:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 879 WTXS31 PGTW 120900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 36S (RHONDA) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- 12.3S6 92.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.3S6 92.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 13.0S4 92.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 13.7S1 92.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 14.5S0 92.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 15.3S9 93.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 16.5S2 93.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION 12.5S8 92.2E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 36S (RHONDA) IS TRACKING TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST AT 05 KNOTS. WE EXPECT TC 36S TO TURN TOWARDS THE SOUTH AND WEAKEN LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT BEGINS TO ENCOUNTER WESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z9 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3), 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9), 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1) AND 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon May 12 22:35:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102481-7410>; Mon, 12 May 1997 22:35:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA189272; Mon, 12 May 1997 09:25:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5540060 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 May 1997 09:23:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA105610 for ; Mon, 12 May 1997 09:23:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA12181 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 May 1997 09:21:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705121421.JAA12181@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 May 1997 09:21:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 390 WTXS31 PGTW 121500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 36S (RHONDA) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z6 --- 12.6S9 92.4E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.6S9 92.4E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 13.3S7 92.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 14.1S6 92.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 14.9S4 93.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 15.6S2 93.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 17.1S9 93.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 121500Z9 POSITION 12.8S1 92.4E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 36S (RHONDA) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. WEAK STEERING FLOW HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MOVE VERY SLOWLY DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE SYSTEM HAS NOT YET GAINED SUFFICIENT LATITUDE TO INTERACT WITH THE STRONG WESTERLIES ALOFT, AND HAS THEREFORE CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY. THE FORECAST CALLS FOR SOME FURTHER INTENSIFICATION FOLLOWED BY WEAKENING AS TC36S ENTERS THE STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR REGIME TO ITS SOUTH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z6 IS 17 FEET. FUTURE WARNINGS ON TC36S WILL BE AT TWELVE HOUR INTERVALS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1) AND 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue May 13 10:56:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102329-22583>; Tue, 13 May 1997 10:56:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA208626; Mon, 12 May 1997 21:47:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5546574 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 May 1997 21:47:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA158004 for ; Mon, 12 May 1997 21:36:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA25532 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 May 1997 21:34:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705130234.VAA25532@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 12 May 1997 21:34:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 477 WTXS31 PGTW 130300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 36S (RHONDA) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- 13.2S6 93.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.2S6 93.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 13.7S1 94.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 14.4S9 94.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 15.0S6 95.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 15.8S4 95.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION 13.3S7 93.5E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 36S (RHONDA) IS MOVING EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GAIN LATITUDE OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD AND INTENSIFY DURING THE FIRST 24 HOURS DUE TO GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW TO THE SOUTH. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN DUE TO INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH AN APPROACHING UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4) AND 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue May 13 13:07:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102272-22583>; Tue, 13 May 1997 13:07:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA117786; Tue, 13 May 1997 00:03:31 -0500 Message-Id: <199705130503.AAA117786@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 13 May 1997 00:00:49 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 11 May 1997 to 12 May 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Status: X-UID: 5 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O There are 7 messages totalling 302 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Stormwater Management Conference 2. GAO report on modernization 3. The Smell of Tornadoes 4. lightning pictures 5. MN/WI Snow 6. taking pictures of lightning 7. Miami tornado +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 12 May 1997 10:42:02 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Stormwater Management Conference I received the following announcement from Penn State. ..Chris.. = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = We believe that you will find the following information of interest to your subscribers and are offering it for your consideration. It is our goal to provide useful information to interested individuals. Please let us know if you plan to post this information to your Listserv. We will make you aware of similar announcements in the future. If you have any suggestions or comments about how we can best meet the needs of your group, or if you prefer that we remove your group from future postings, we welcome your input. Thank You. =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-= Continuing & Distance Education, Office of Marketing Communications Internet Research Associate The Pennsylvania State University Tel: (814) 865-6585 Keller Building Fax: (814) 865-3343 Suite One E-mail: posting@cde.psu.edu University Park, PA 16802-1302 =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-= POSTING: Summer 1997 Computational Methods in Stormwater Management A short course on Microcomputer Hydrologic Analysis Methods for Developing Watersheds July 28-30, 1997 Penn State Conference Center Hotel State College, Pennsylvania With the ongoing emphasis on stormwater management planning in Pennsylvania and surrounding states, planners and engineers need to upgrade their skills and tools in microcomputer methods for hydrologic analysis and hydraulic design of stormwater facilities. The topics presented in this short course represent a comprehensive array of hydrologic and hydraulic tools for stormwater management planning, detention facility design, and subdivision planning. The presented topics are as follows: design storm intensity-duration curves and hyetographs NRCS (SCS) soil-cover complex and curve number calculations travel time calculations rational hydrograph procedures NRCS (SCS) hydrograph procedures channel routing detention basin routing multistage basin outlet design basin draw-down times hydrograph plotting and addition operations swale design culvert design storm sewer design Who Should Enroll This course is intended for stormwater facility designers with previous exposure to urban runoff calculations involving SCS curve numbers, TR-55 tabular hydrograph, channel and reservoir routing principles, and Rational methodologies. Because hands-on computer work is emphasized in the course, the fundamental concepts behind these methods will not be presented in great detail. However, specific details for each of the methods presented will be documented or referenced in the supplemental short course notes. Registration is limited to fifty-four participants, who will work in teams of two in the computer workshop. Each participant is encouraged to bring a hand calculator. Each registrant will receive IBM-compatible copies of VT/PSUHM, SWIRM-ROUTE, and PSU-IV along with supplemental reference notes. For complete details, and up-to-date information, please visit the Web site: http://www.cde.psu.edu/C&I/Stormwater/ For More Information About program content Thomas A. Seybert Penn State Wilkes-Barre campus PO Box PSU Lehman PA 18627-0217 Phone: (717) 675-9139 Fax: (717) 675-7713 E-mail: tas103@psu.edu About registration Judy Hall, Conference Planner The Pennsylvania State University 225 Penn State Conference Center Hotel University Park PA 16802-7002 Phone: (814) 863-5130 E-mail: ConferenceInfo1@cde.psu.edu a continuing and distance education service of the College of Engineering To receive a brochure with registration materials, nationwide, call 1-800-PSU-TODAY (1-800-778-8632). ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 12 May 1997 11:48:13 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: GAO report on modernization Full text available from http://www.gao.gov Archive-Name: gov/us/fed/congress/gao/reports/1997/ai97085t.txt Weather Service Modernization: Risks Remain That Full Systems Potential Will Not be Achieved (Testimony, 04/24/97, GAO/T-AIMD-97-85). GAO discussed the National Weather Service's (NWS) systems modernization program. GAO noted that: (1) to reach the goal of better forecasting and earlier warnings with a smaller, downsized operation, the Weather Service has been acquiring new observing systems, including radars, satellites, and ground-based sensors, as well as powerful forecaster workstations; (2) the Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System (AWIPS) integrates, for the first time, satellite, radar, and other data to support weather forecaster decision-making and communications, and it is the linchpin of the NWS modernization; (3) operating under a $550-million funding cap, the system is expected to be fully deployed in 1999; (4) AWIPS development systems have been delivered to 16 locations nationwide, which this represents the first two of six modules, or "builds"; (5) AWIPS is planned for a total of 152 locations once fully deployed; (6) the Next Generation Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite is a program to acquire, launch, and control five satellites for identifying and tracking severe weather events, such as hurricanes; (7) the first satellite was launched in 1994, and the second in 1995; (8) three more satellites are planned for launch between now and 2002; (9) the Next Generation Weather Radar (NEXRAD) is a program to acquire 163 Doppler radars; (10) scheduled for completion this year, 121 of the planned 123 NWS NEXRAD radars have been delivered to operational locations; (11) the Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) is a program to automate and enhance methods for collecting, processing, and displaying surface weather conditions, such as temperature and precipitation, and to replace human weather observers; (12) scheduled for completion in fiscal year 1998, the ASOS system has been installed at 265 of the 314 planned NWS operational locations; (13) the Weather Service has generated better data, particularly with the new radars and satellites, and greatly improved forecasts and warnings; (14) notwithstanding such successes, however, each of the four programs has experienced cost increases and schedule delays; and (15) some of these delays can be attributed to changes in requirements; others were caused by program management and development problems. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 12 May 1997 16:32:33 +0000 From: Howard Altschule Subject: The Smell of Tornadoes Hello all, Dr. Bernard Vonnegut and I recently had an article published in "Weatherwise" dealing with odors associated with tornadoes (see Weatherwise, April/May 1997). These smell accounts frequently involved a smell of sulfur preceding, during or after a tornado had struck an area. The odors of sulfur, sometimes desrcibed as burnt matches, brimstone and scorched rags, have known to be very irritating and have lasted for quite some time after the tornado had passed. The accounts that I found mainly occurred prior to the 1900's. One would think that with the recent population growth, the accounts of these odors would increase significantly as well. This is one part of the mystery that continues. There are several possibilities offered as to what may be occurring. I would like to try and stir up some more recent accounts. If anybody else has witnessed any strange odors (especially sulfur-like), then please contact me with your account. By the way, elemental sulfur does not smell....it is sulfur dioxide and hydrogen sulfide that do have an odor. For more info. and some interesting accounts, please take a look at the article. Thanks for your time, help and thoughts. Regards, Howie Altschule HAltschule@worldnet.att.net ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 12 May 1997 11:30:03 -0600 From: Greg Thompson Subject: lightning pictures I don't agree with Gary Dubovik's recommendation of the following concerning Keith Ebbecke's original post: > Keith, try 1/60 second, f5.6, ISO400 (Lightning 8 miles away) > Use f11 for close lightning (~~ 2 miles) and f4 over 8 miles. First of all, how are you going to capture lightning with a shutter speed of 1/60 second. Just do it well after dark and open the lens on B-speed. Then, after a few bolts, close the shutter. I like long exposures with as many bolts as I can. If I'm close to the bolts (<1/2 mile), then I advance the film after every or every other bolt. Second, ISO400 film is fine if you like your black regions to appear grainy (depending on the amount of ambient light). I recommend a slow film (ISO50 is what I use - Fuji Velvia) and the middle F-stop of your lens - something like f8. Obviously, you'll have to own AND USE a tripod. I like my photos to show the deepest blacks where the lightning isn't. That's why I like slow film. 8 miles away from lightning will produce some really tiny strokes if you don't own a massive telephoto lens so get closer if you can. I have far too many lightning images where the stroke fills only 10-20% of the frame. Those are bolts greater than 3-4 miles away (with a standard lens). Try getting between 1/2 and 2 miles for the best photos while staying safe. Good luck with your photos. Stay tuned to the following web URL to see how my recommendations work for lightning photos this summer. (http://www.rap.ucar.edu/staff/gthompsn/photo.html) --Greg Thompson Atmospheric Scientist and Amateur Photographer ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 12 May 1997 14:32:14 -0500 From: John Lamb Subject: MN/WI Snow Saw this and thought? Where has spring gone? PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN 1035 AM CDT MON MAY 12 1997 ...SNOWFALL AMOUNTS IN THE WISCONSIN SNOWBELT THIS MORNING... SNOWFALL TOTALS AS OF 1030 AM INCLUDE... 6 MILES NORTH OF BAYFIELD WI...8.0 INCHES IRON RIVER WI..................3.0 INCHES SAXON WI.......................5.0 INCHES HURLEY WI......................6.0 INCHES >From the 52 degree heatwave of Minneapolis. (and to think Saturday was 75) I was reading the long long range extended forecasts and was dismayed to read that this general pattern of western ridge/eastern trough should be with us for at least the next month...may be two. What did we do to deserve this? *wink* Too much lutefisk? John john@hockey.net Hockey Net: Minnesota's Coolest Internet Provider --> http://www.hockey.net ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 12 May 1997 14:30:49 -0600 From: Clay Jones Subject: Re: taking pictures of lightning >>>>Charles Edwards said>>>> At 11:05 AM 5/9/97 -0400, DUBOVIK@HSDWL.UTC.COM wrote: >>>Keith, try 1/60 second, f5.6, ISO400 (Lightning 8 miles away) >>> >>>Use f11 for close lightning (~~ 2 miles) and f4 over 8 miles. >And what about that lightning that is only 1/4 mile away? :) Who needs pictures at that distance? Show 'em your singed hair and clothing! That should be better than any picture! :) Adios, Clay "Super Genius" Jones clay.jones@oag.state.tx.us Austin, Texas ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 12 May 1997 16:27:41 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Miami tornado Miami's NEWS4 caught the tornado on one of their remote live cameras according to an AP article, images starting to come online at http://207.203.121.36/html/top_story.html Rob ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 11 May 1997 to 12 May 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue May 13 14:13:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103147-22583>; Tue, 13 May 1997 14:12:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA239358; Tue, 13 May 1997 00:53:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5547680 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 May 1997 00:53:27 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA225258 for ; Tue, 13 May 1997 00:53:26 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA21835 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 May 1997 00:53:26 -0500 Message-ID: <199705130553.AAA21835@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 13 May 1997 00:53:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -130053 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 7 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 70216 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600Z MAY 97// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/BOYER/DEOCARIZA/UROGI/GILL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue May 13 21:14:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103187-22583>; Tue, 13 May 1997 21:14:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA185886; Tue, 13 May 1997 08:06:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5549747 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 May 1997 08:06:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA257030 for ; Tue, 13 May 1997 08:06:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA01196 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 May 1997 08:04:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705131304.IAA01196@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 May 1997 08:04:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 622 WTXS31 PGTW 131500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 36S (RHONDA) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- 13.9S3 93.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.9S3 93.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 14.9S4 94.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 15.7S3 94.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 16.4S1 95.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 17.1S9 95.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION 14.2S7 94.0E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 36S (RHONDA) IS TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 75 KNOTS IS BASED ON A DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T4.5 (75 KNOTS). THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REACH PEAK INTENSITY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. BEYOND THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION TC 36S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS THE SYSTEM ENTERS A REGION OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z7 IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2) AND 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed May 14 00:25:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102836-22583>; Wed, 14 May 1997 00:25:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA152854; Tue, 13 May 1997 11:14:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5551467 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 May 1997 11:13:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA157956 for ; Tue, 13 May 1997 11:12:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id LAA04797 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 May 1997 11:10:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705131610.LAA04797@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 May 1997 11:10:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 670 WTXS31 PGTW 131500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 36S (RHONDA) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- 13.9S3 93.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.9S3 93.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 14.9S4 94.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 15.7S3 94.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 16.4S1 95.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 17.1S9 95.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION 14.2S7 94.0E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 36S (RHONDA) IS TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 75 KNOTS IS BASED ON A DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T4.5 (75 KNOTS). THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REACH PEAK INTENSITY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. BEYOND THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION TC 36S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS THE SYSTEM ENTERS A REGION OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z7 IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2) AND 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG78891331351 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed May 14 11:01:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102250-21431>; Wed, 14 May 1997 11:01:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA245394; Tue, 13 May 1997 21:52:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5558987 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 May 1997 21:52:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA234640 for ; Tue, 13 May 1997 21:48:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA16784 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 May 1997 21:46:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705140246.VAA16784@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 13 May 1997 21:46:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 458 WTXS31 PGTW 140300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 36S (RHONDA) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- 15.3S9 95.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.3S9 95.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 17.2S0 97.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 19.3S3 99.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 21.7S0 101.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 24.4S0 103.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION 15.8S4 96.4E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 36S (RHONDA) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE AHEAD OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY LOCATED TO ITS SOUTH. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AND NOW DISPLAYS A RAGGED, CLOUD- FILLED 10 NM EYE. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO REACH PEAK INTENSITY WITHIN 24 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO A STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND BEGIN TO TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM BY 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5) AND 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed May 14 13:24:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102337-5739>; Wed, 14 May 1997 13:24:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA57684; Wed, 14 May 1997 00:15:48 -0500 Message-Id: <199705140515.AAA57684@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 14 May 1997 00:02:37 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 12 May 1997 to 13 May 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 10 messages totalling 213 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. MN/WI snow 2. Miami Florida Tornado (2) 3. Lightning 4. ASOS Commissioning Notice 5. Post (2) 6. Lightning maps 7. First official GOES-10 full disk visible image 8. Q about Miami Tornado? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 13 May 1997 00:16:52 CDT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: MN/WI snow John Lamb wrote: > > Saw this and thought? Where has spring gone? > > PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT > NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN > 1035 AM CDT MON MAY 12 1997 > > ...SNOWFALL AMOUNTS IN THE WISCONSIN SNOWBELT THIS MORNING... > > SNOWFALL TOTALS AS OF 1030 AM INCLUDE... > > 6 MILES NORTH OF BAYFIELD WI...8.0 INCHES > IRON RIVER WI..................3.0 INCHES > SAXON WI.......................5.0 INCHES > HURLEY WI......................6.0 INCHES > > >From the 52 degree heatwave of Minneapolis. (and to think Saturday was 75) > > I was reading the long long range extended forecasts and was dismayed to > read that this general pattern of western ridge/eastern trough should be > with us for at least the next month...may be two. > > What did we do to deserve this? *wink* Too much lutefisk? > I should think it is a rare month of May (at least it seems that way in the past couple of years) indeed that did *not* feature snows in NW WI in mid-May. The 6-10 day forecast validating now was spot-on, although maybe southern WI isn't much below normal (we lucked out with sun all day today), just below. Scott ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 13 May 1997 06:09:16 -0700 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: Miami Florida Tornado The "Breaking News" page on The Weather Channel is out to lunch again. As I write this it is Tuesday 6:00 AM CDT and the Weather Channel "Breaking News" page is dated Monday 1:30 PM EDT. Of course no mention or pictures of the Miami event at the current time. Here's a real educational tidbit from the same page, > A waterspout, which usually forms over tropical ocean waters, resembles a tornado >but is generally less intense and causes far less damage. Waterspouts are rarely more >than fifty miles wide. Their funnels are made up of fresh water from condensation, not >salt water Less than fifty miles wide! Thank goodness. :-) Now that's breaking news and some real good information! ************************************************************************* 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA Milwaukee Area Skywarn Assoc./Milwaukee-Waukesha A.R.E.S./IL Multi-County Warning System E-Mail, bkopp@execpc.com Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" my severe weather and SKYWARN home page! SFTS! http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 12 May 1997 22:33:47 -0700 From: A Lieberman Subject: Re: Lightning MedInfoCo wrote: > > Does anyone have a URL for a previous 24 hour lightning strike map, or a > lightning strike density map? Thanks. Hi Alan, Try http://www.gds.com/images/weekly_map.gif Allen -- http://www.bright.net/~lieberma/ Come visit my homepage!!! Any unsolicited COMMERCIAL Email will be replied with a complaint to the postmaster of the sender! ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 13 May 1997 12:18:56 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site will become a commissioned ASOS site at 1900 UTC today, 13 May, 1997. DRAKE FIELD (KFYV) FAYETTEVILLE... ARKANSAS Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 13 May 1997 14:25:29 -0400 From: "Billy B. Dancy Jr" Subject: Post Anyone know how you relate the color DBZ scale shown on NEXRAD base reflectivity images with precipitation rates (inches/hr)? How does large hail affect DBZ? A couple of weeks ago we had a large hail event (up to tennis ball size) in SE VA, and the Wakefield NEXRAD image showed a max DBZ of 73, which is by far the highest value I've observed here or anywhere else. Please educate me. Thanks. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 13 May 1997 15:39:10 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Lightning maps (Double-checked for grammar and rudeness) Keep an eye on ABC News' homepage which will be opened up on Thursday the 15th. One of the maps they have from AccuWeather is lightning strikes... http://www.abcnews.com/weather/lightning.html Rob ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 13 May 1997 19:44:50 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: First official GOES-10 full disk visible image The first "official" GOES-10 full disk visible image is available at http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/misc/goes10.html -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS FIRSTT | CIMSS/University of Wisconsin-Madison ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 13 May 1997 18:55:44 GMT From: Eric Gross Subject: Re: Miami Florida Tornado >Less than fifty miles wide! Thank goodness. :-) Well, hey, what's your problem? The statement is *true*, isn't it? :) ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 13 May 1997 23:22:52 GMT From: Jon Nichols Subject: Q about Miami Tornado? I hope this is not to AOL'ish. But what is the big deal about the Miami tornado that it made all the news? Is it just that it was photographed? Correct me if I am wrong but last week I seem to remember them being mentioned a couple of times as having Tornado touchdowns in SPC's reports. And those weren't mentioned at all. What's the difference? ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 13 May 1997 22:18:48 -0500 From: Bill Ice Subject: Re: Post At 02:25 PM 5/13/97 -0400, Billy B. Dancy Jr wrote: >Anyone know how you relate the color DBZ scale shown on NEXRAD base >reflectivity images with precipitation rates (inches/hr)? How does >large hail affect DBZ? A couple of weeks ago we had a large hail event >(up to tennis ball size) in SE VA, and the Wakefield NEXRAD image showed >a max DBZ of 73, which is by far the highest value I've observed here or >anywhere else. Please educate me. Thanks. > Equivalent Rainfall Rate (inches/hour) Reflectivity Stratiform Convective (dBZ) 0-30 0-0.10 .05-0.2 30-41 .10-.30 .20-1.10 41-46 .50-1.00 1.10-2.20 46-50 2.20-4.50 50-57 4.50-7.10 >=57 > 7.10 > 60 hail Bill Ice Amarillo ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 12 May 1997 to 13 May 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed May 14 14:17:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102397-5739>; Wed, 14 May 1997 14:17:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA149888; Wed, 14 May 1997 00:47:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5560554 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 May 1997 00:47:26 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA80040 for ; Wed, 14 May 1997 00:30:14 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA37173 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 May 1997 00:30:13 -0500 Message-ID: <199705140530.AAA37173@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 14 May 1997 00:30:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -140030 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 58162 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600Z MAY 97// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/BOYER/DEOCARIZA/UROGI/GILL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed May 14 17:02:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102523-5739>; Wed, 14 May 1997 17:02:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA210838; Wed, 14 May 1997 03:51:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5561793 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 May 1997 03:50:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA223618 for ; Wed, 14 May 1997 03:50:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA20343 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 May 1997 03:48:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705140848.DAA20343@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 May 1997 03:48:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 298 WTIO21 PGTW 140830 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 140821Z MAY 97// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA, AMEMBASSY DHAKA, USDAO DHAKA BG, AND AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI. 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS. 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 075 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 3.5N8 91.9E9 TO 5.6N1 89.9E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 140633Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 4.3N7 91.5E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE DISTURBANCE LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 WEST OF SUMATRA HAS IMPROVED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA SUPPORT THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EMBEDDED WITHIN THE NEAR EQUATORIAL TROUGH. DIFFLUENT ANTICYCLONIC FLOW OVER THE DISTURBANCE AND GOOD CROSS-EQUATORIAL FLOW INTO THE DISTURBANCE FAVOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT. 5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 150830Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed May 14 21:47:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102642-5739>; Wed, 14 May 1997 21:47:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA146848; Wed, 14 May 1997 08:39:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5563618 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 May 1997 08:39:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA140360 for ; Wed, 14 May 1997 08:39:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA23365 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 May 1997 08:37:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705141337.IAA23365@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 May 1997 08:37:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 919 WTXS31 PGTW 141500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 36S (RHONDA) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- 17.4S2 98.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.4S2 98.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 19.6S6 100.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 21.8S1 103.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 24.0S6 105.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 26.6S4 107.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION 18.0S9 99.0E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 36S (RHONDA) IS TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. THE CENTRAL CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM HAS DECREASED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 100 KNOTS IS BASED ON A DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T5.5 (100 KNOTS). TC 36S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION NEAR THE 36- HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z8 IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3) AND 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu May 15 04:20:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102736-5739>; Thu, 15 May 1997 04:20:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA186072; Wed, 14 May 1997 15:11:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5568792 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 May 1997 15:11:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA186028 for ; Wed, 14 May 1997 15:11:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA03712 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 May 1997 15:09:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705142009.PAA03712@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 May 1997 15:09:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 639 WTIO31 PGTW 142100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- 5.1N6 90.9E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 5.1N6 90.9E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 6.0N6 90.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 6.9N5 89.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 8.0N8 88.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 9.1N0 87.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 11.9N1 86.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION 5.3N8 90.7E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B HAS FORMED IN THE BAY OF BENGAL. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA AND A DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS (T1.5). TC 01B IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND TO INTENSIFY. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A SMALLER THAN AVERAGE TO AVERAGE SIZE TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z4 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3), 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9), 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6) AND 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 140821Z MAY 97 (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 140830)).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu May 15 05:18:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102490-5739>; Thu, 15 May 1997 05:18:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA239208; Wed, 14 May 1997 16:10:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5569319 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 May 1997 16:10:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA225080 for ; Wed, 14 May 1997 16:10:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id QAA04971 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 May 1997 16:08:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705142108.QAA04971@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 May 1997 16:08:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 139 WTIO31 PGTW 142100 IMMEDIATE DTBIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 001 WARNING POSITION: 141800EW AAA TMQN6 90.9E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 M POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PYESENT WINRBCJAWBJUTION: MAX SUSOAIVDG8 Q GPET KT REPEAT POSIT: 5.1N6 90.9EVIMLN AAA FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600ZIC VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS Z AA EY HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 8.0N8 88.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS ,023 KT, ;975-055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEVICIRCLE ;50 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK;. 48 HRS, VALID AT: RADIUS OF LHTKT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NMRTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 11.9N1 86.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDSP- 085 NM NORTHEASTQSEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION 5.3N8 90.7E6 TROPICAL CYRLAND TO I E EIFY. FORWCUST AUNB RADII ARE BASED ON LIVATOLOGY FOR A SMALLER THAN AVERAGE TO AVERAGE SQMKAQSKWLFWALECLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z4 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWIOTEQNPGFW OR ADHITIONAL SEA HEIGHT I DORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS ATP150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3), 150900Z5 (DTVGZQUU 1+-), 151500Z2 (DTG 1531Z6) AND 152100Z9 (DTG >94.-589, -)345 (WTIO21 PGTW 140830)).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu May 15 05:22:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102490-5739>; Thu, 15 May 1997 05:21:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA124198; Wed, 14 May 1997 16:14:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5569337 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 May 1997 16:14:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA226566 for ; Wed, 14 May 1997 16:14:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id QAA05049 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 May 1997 16:12:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705142112.QAA05049@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 May 1997 16:12:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 220 WTIO31 PGTW 142100 IMMEDIATE DTBIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONBLUSF ADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WAR NNG NR 001 WARNING POSITION: 141800EW AAA TMQN6 90.9E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 )3<433 -5 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHUN 060 M POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PYESENT WINRBCJAWBJUOION: 36 #4, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 8.0N8 88.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS ,023 KT, RADIUS OF 035 KB WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEVICIRCLE 50 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK . 48 HRS, VALID AT: RADIUS OF LHTKT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 K WINDS - 070 NM NMRTHEAST SEMICIRCTEVTRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 11.9N1 86.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDE - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDSP- 085 NM NORTHEASTQSEMICIRCLE PHP 070 NM ELSEWHERE REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION 5.3N8 90.7E6 TROPICAL CYRLAND TO I E EIFY. FORWCUST AUNB RADII ARE BASED ON LIVATOLOGY FOR A SMALLER THAN AVE LGRDPI TEQNPGFW OR ADHITIONAL SEA HEIGHT I DORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS ATP150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3), :50900Z5 (DTVGZQUU +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu May 15 05:24:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102490-5739>; Thu, 15 May 1997 05:24:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA173162; Wed, 14 May 1997 16:17:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5569360 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 May 1997 16:17:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAB239182 for ; Wed, 14 May 1997 16:17:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id QAA05116 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 May 1997 16:15:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705142115.QAA05116@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 May 1997 16:15:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 341 WTIO31 PGTW 142100 9 IMMEDIATE DTBIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DEGIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY C LOMBO AND AMCONBLUO NOSITION BASTG.; :3,534 )9:-53$ 96 --:99? ,-589, 9> 160600Z3 --- 8.0N8 88.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WVVDS ,023 KT, RADIUS OF 035 KB WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEVICIRCL 50 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 D X PU KTS N RVTENDED OUTLOOK . 48 HRS, VALID AT: RADIUS OF LHTKT N SYAGA PWP NMJH RADIUS OF 035 K WINDS - 070 NM NMRTHEAST SEMICIRCTEVTRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 11.9N1 86.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS -PNCVA, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDE - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDSP- 08- NM NORHEASTQSEMICIRCLE PHP 070 NM ELSEWHERE REMARKS: 162100Z8 POSITION 5.3N8 90.7E6 -;3 )<900--64111 62435 NIL= PPAA 64111 62305 55185 13508 55170 14512 77999= PPAA 14111 62417 5-685 11505 55170 13508 77999= PPAA 64111 62432 55185 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu May 15 09:53:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102204-16202>; Thu, 15 May 1997 09:53:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA266066; Wed, 14 May 1997 20:44:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5572167 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 May 1997 20:44:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA82750 for ; Wed, 14 May 1997 20:44:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA08548 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 May 1997 20:42:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705150142.UAA08548@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 May 1997 20:42:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 15 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 714 WTIO31 PGTW 150300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- 5.9N4 90.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 5.9N4 90.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 6.8N4 90.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 7.6N3 88.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 8.4N2 87.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 9.3N2 86.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 11.7N9 85.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION 6.1N7 90.6E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS IN THE BAY OF BENGAL. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY IS BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION OF 141646Z2 SCATTEROMETRY AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WE EXPECT TC 01B TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AND THEN TURN NORTHWARD BEYOND 48 HOURS. EQUATORIAL WESTERLIES AND FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW ARE AIDING THE DEVELOPMENT OF TC 01B AND INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z6 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9), 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6), 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2) AND 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu May 15 10:06:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102361-16202>; Thu, 15 May 1997 10:06:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA74418; Wed, 14 May 1997 20:58:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5572341 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 May 1997 20:58:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA65438 for ; Wed, 14 May 1997 20:58:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA08661 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 May 1997 20:56:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705150156.UAA08661@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 May 1997 20:56:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 16 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 956 WTIO31 PGTW 150200 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- 5.9N4 90.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSE ERE REPEAT POSIT: 5.9N4 90.8E7 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 6.8N4 90.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 7.6N3 88.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KO WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTA 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 8.4N2 87.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 9.3N2 86.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - OP KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 11.7N9 85.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION 6.1N7 90.6E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS IN THE BAY OF BENGAL. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY IS BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION OF 141646Z2 SCATTEROMETRY AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WE EXPECT TC 01B TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AND THEN TURN NORTHWARD BEYOND 48 HOURS. EQUATORIAL WESTERLIES AND FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW ARE AIDING THE DEVELOPMENT OF TC 01B AND INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED THROUGHTUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z6 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9), 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6), 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2) AND 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu May 15 10:14:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102204-16202>; Thu, 15 May 1997 10:14:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA74294; Wed, 14 May 1997 21:05:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5572413 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 May 1997 21:05:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA13348 for ; Wed, 14 May 1997 21:05:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA08790 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 May 1997 21:03:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705150203.VAA08790@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 May 1997 21:03:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 18 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 061 WTIO31 PGTW 150200 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- 5.9N4 90.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSE ERE REPEAT POSIT: 5.9N4 90.8E7 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 6.8N4 90.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMINI, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 8.4N2 87.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 VM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 9.3N2 86.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - OP KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWTF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION 6.1N7 90.6E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS IN THE BAY OF BENGAL. WARNING POSITION AND INTENS TEXPECT TC 01B TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AND THENOUOND 48 HOURS. EQUATOR IAL WESTERLIES AND FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW ARE AIDING THE DEVELOPMENT OF TC 01B AND INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED THROUGHTUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z6 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9), 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6), 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2) AND 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu May 15 10:19:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102327-16202>; Thu, 15 May 1997 10:19:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA236280; Wed, 14 May 1997 21:11:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5572467 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 May 1997 21:11:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA210918 for ; Wed, 14 May 1997 21:11:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA08833 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 May 1997 21:09:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705150209.VAA08833@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 May 1997 21:09:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 19 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 134 WTIO31 PGTW 150200 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYDONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- 5.9N4 90.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTV L WQIRCLE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHEE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWTF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION 6.1N7 90.6E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS IN THE BAY OF BENGAL. WARNING POSITION AND INTENS TEXPECC 01B TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AND THENOUOND 48 HOURS. EQUATOR IAL WESTERLIES AND FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW ARE AIDING THE DEVELOPMENT OF TC 01B AND INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED THROUGHTUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z6 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9), 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6), 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2) AND 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu May 15 10:25:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102204-16202>; Thu, 15 May 1997 10:25:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA210542; Wed, 14 May 1997 21:16:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5572497 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 May 1997 21:16:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA210512 for ; Wed, 14 May 1997 21:16:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA08881 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 May 1997 21:14:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705150214.VAA08881@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 May 1997 21:14:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 21 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 201 WTIO31 PGTW 150200 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYDONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- 5.9N4 90.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTV L WQIRCLE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHEE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWTF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION 6.1N7 90.6E- TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS IN THE BAY OF BENGAL. WARNING POSITION AND INTENS TEXPECC 01B TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AND THENOUOND 48 HOURS. EQUATOR IAL WESTERLIES AND FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVELPOUTFLOW ARE AIDING THE DEVELOPMENT OF TC 01B AND INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED THROUGHTUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z6 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. 93/5 2-4,8,< -5 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9), 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6), 152100Z9 (DTG GQTQOTQZ2) AND 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu May 15 10:32:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102222-16202>; Thu, 15 May 1997 10:32:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA223684; Wed, 14 May 1997 21:23:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5572535 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 May 1997 21:23:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA82864 for ; Wed, 14 May 1997 21:23:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA08962 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 May 1997 21:20:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705150220.VAA08962@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 14 May 1997 21:20:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 23 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 343 WTXS31 PGTW 150300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 36S (RHONDA) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- 19.1S1 100.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.1S1 100.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 21.1S4 102.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 23.2S7 104.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 25.3S0 106.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 27.4S3 108.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION 19.6S6 100.7E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 36S (RHONDA) IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HEAVY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IS NOW A PARTIALLY-EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH THE NEAREST DEEP CONVECTION 25 NM TO THE SOUTHEAST. WE EXPECT TC 36S TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND TO CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z6 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z6) AND 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu May 15 13:39:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102204-16202>; Thu, 15 May 1997 13:39:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA201122; Thu, 15 May 1997 00:04:38 -0500 Message-Id: <199705150504.AAA201122@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 15 May 1997 00:00:00 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 13 May 1997 to 14 May 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Status: X-UID: 27 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 10 messages totalling 379 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Miami Florida Tornado 2. Q about Miami Tornado 3. Lightning photos 4. ADMINISTRIVIA: MISSING SPCLOGs from WX-STORM 5. Q about Miami Tornado? 6. NWS Hearing 7. miami tornado 8. More products from HPC? I guess... (2) 9. Cloud Help Needed +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 14 May 1997 00:42:36 -0500 From: Gene Nygaard Subject: Re: Miami Florida Tornado Bernie Kopp KB9KEF wrote: > >The "Breaking News" page on The Weather Channel is out to lunch again. >As I write this it is Tuesday 6:00 AM CDT and the Weather Channel >"Breaking News" page is dated Monday 1:30 PM EDT. Of course no mention >or pictures of the Miami event at the current time. > >Here's a real educational tidbit from the same page, > >> A waterspout, which usually forms over tropical ocean waters, resembles a tornado >>but is generally less intense and causes far less damage. Waterspouts are rarely more >than fifty miles wide. Their funnels are made up of fresh water from condensation, not >salt water > > >Less than fifty miles wide! Thank goodness. :-) > >Now that's breaking news and some real good information! > Are those nautical miles? Actually, it looks to me like a typical American trick; "50 m" is "fifty miles," isn't it? Isn't it time to get rid of these strange units such as miles, and use the same units everyone else in the world uses? Gene Nygaard ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 14 May 1997 09:18:38 -0600 From: Clay Jones Subject: Re: Q about Miami Tornado I think that there were two big deals about the Miami tornado. 1. It was in an extremely heavily populated downtown area. The pictures showed people moving about as if it weren't even there, until it got big. 2. As it moved over Biscayne Bay, some of the most beautiful pictures (that I've ever seen) of a tornado were taken from the top of a building. While it did little damage -- knocked out a bunch of windows -- it was an impressive sight. News focuses on the sensational, not the mundane. When a tornado hits a town that nobody's ever heard of, it's not news -- unless it kills a lot of people or smashes a school. Adios, Clay "Super Genius" Jones -------------------------------------------------------------------- My opinions only, the Attorney General does not even know I do this! -------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 14 May 1997 07:16:45 -0700 From: Mike Martin Subject: Lightning photos Much good info has been posted lately about how to take pictures of lightning, and Greg Thompson's info was especially good. I would like to add my two cents. If you are planning to make enlargements of some particularly good shots, use slide film. It seems that enlargements from negatives will come back somewhat grainy (depending on the speed), but slide film doesn't. Now I'm two cents closer to broke.... -- Mike Martin, Science Dept. mmartin@porterville.k12.ca.us Porterville High School http://porterville.k12.ca.us/phs/phssci.html Porterville, CA ph. 209.783.2311 fax 209.782.7215 "How can you be so sure? How do you know what the end will endure? How can you be so sure That the wonders you made in your life will be seen By the millions who'll follow to visit the site of your dreams?" Alan Parsons/Eric Woolfson, "What Goes Up", from the album "Pyramid", 1977 ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 14 May 1997 11:12:50 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: ADMINISTRIVIA: MISSING SPCLOGs from WX-STORM At 03:00 PM 5/13/97 -0500, Robert Bertol wrote me: >I am signed up for speclog and watches.Since I changed my data list on 5/9 >all I am getting is watches. In the past I would get a special log statement >every day. Could you check for me. I haven't received a special log >since 5/9. Thanks Oops!! That's the say I upgraded the LDM processing software. I just discovered that I forgot to move my "process_selslog" routine to the new LDM executable directory. Therefore, I was receiving the data but not transmitting it. Things should be OK now, however, if you need the data from over the weekend you will have to ask someone on WX-TALK if they have it on their system --I don't have it here. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 14 May 1997 13:18:39 GMT From: Eric Gross Subject: Re: Q about Miami Tornado? >I hope this is not to AOL'ish. But what is the big deal about the >Miami tornado that it made all the news? Is it just that it was >photographed? Correct me if I am wrong but last week I seem to >remember them being mentioned a couple of times as having Tornado >touchdowns in SPC's reports. And those weren't mentioned at all. >What's the difference? It was a slow newsday. The Miami tornado was noteworthy not because of its intensity (its was on the weaker end of the tornadic spectrum) nor for the damage it caused, but because a.) it went right through the heart of a very populated major urban area and b.) it was captured on video in the process. Tornadoes, despite their fierce capabilities, are still very small events on the scale of things -- rarely having a track more than a few miles long, and rarely more than a few hundred yards in width. This is especially true of tornadoes in Florida. Given the small nature of tornadoes, it is actually very, very rarely that one will plop down in the heart of a major city. In addition, there was some excellent quality video gathered by several cameras, which is not always the case for tornadoes, either. Lastly, the tornado was especially photogenic at times -- a lot of tornadoes (again, especially ones in Florida) can be wrapped in heavy precipitation, and not easily visible; not all tornadoes have visible funnel clouds, etc. Now, if that tornado had been an F3 or F4, instead of likely an F1/F2, you would have a more "newsworthy" story in that the damage could have been an order of magnitude worse, and there likely would have been fatalities. As it is, it is very, very fortunate that there were no deaths. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 14 May 1997 03:27:47 -0700 From: rick mccoy Subject: NWS Hearing Americans United to Maintain Weather Service Funding will be represented at the Thursday, May 15 Science, Technology, and space Senate sub-committee hearing on Weather service Funding. Billy Wagner, EMA director from Monroe County, Florida who sits on my Board of directors will be submitting testimony in regards to our concerns. One thing I have asked Billy to stress is, why all the contradiction. Some are saying, no NWS shortfall of funds. Yet we are getting figures from others in excess of $45 million in the red this year. Even though the GAO is looking into the matter, I am greatly concerned as to whether anyone really knows what the figures actually are and are they giving us truthful numbers. We may need to call for an outside agency to investigate these numbers. Congressional members feel that the NWS has not been managing its money and reforming its operations. Therefore additional money for NWS is not a concern to Congress. This is going to be a hard battle. We need for NOAA to step back, keep its' mouth shut and stay out of the Weather Services' business. NOAA has no idea what it is doing and it is not representing the PEOPLE. In other words, resignations are due, Mr. Baker. I am currently expanding the Americans United Board of Directors to one member from each state instead of our original 5 members. Each state member is an Emergency Management Director who is also a member of NCCEM (National Coordinating Council on Emergency Management). These people represent the directors of their state and are the voice of the PEOPLE. I feel that this group will be agressive and we will continue to get the attention of more of our House and Senate members. Something is seriously wrong here, and we must all be involved in stopping the destruction of OUR National Weather Service. I will give you an update after the committee hearing on Billy Wagners thoughts and comments. Note to NWS employees: Keep the faith! We will not let you men and women out there hanging as the administration has done. We will continue to fight for our cause and we will not let up until we accomplish what we have set out to do. And that is, a fully funded, adequately staffed and properly equipped National Weather Service Agency that continues to have the respect of local officials around the country. Rick W. McCoy President Americans United to maintain Weather Service Funding EMA Director Van Wert, Ohio 419-238-1300 Fax:419-238-7628 ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 14 May 1997 17:27:13 EDT From: Andrew J Toth Subject: miami tornado i heard about a tornado touching down in downtown miami florida. can anyone give me some information on that? Andrew Toth andrewtoth@juno.com ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 14 May 1997 17:41:06 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: More products from HPC? I guess... Unfortunately, we won't be able to see it! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* PNSWSH PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS WASHINGTON DC 155 PM EDT WED MAY 14 1997 TO FAMILY OF SERVICES /FOS/ SUBSCRIBERS... NOAA WEATHER WIRE SERVICE /NWWS/ SUBSCRIBERS... OTHER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE /NWS/ CUSTOMERS... NWS EMPLOYEES FROM: RICH PRZYWARTY... CHIEF... SERVICE DIVISION OFFICE OF METEOROLOGY SUBJECT: ADDITIONAL 6-HOURLY QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECASTS /QPFS/ PRODUCED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER /HPC/..EFFECTIVE JULY 31 1997. EFFECTIVE JULY 31 1997... THE HPC WILL BEGIN ISSUING TWO NEW 6-HOURLY QPFS TWICE A DAY THAT WILL EXTEND THE RANGE OF THESE PRODUCTS TO 30 HOURS INTO THE FUTURE FROM THESE TWO PARTICULAR ISSUANCE TIMES. CURRENTLY... THE HPC ISSUES 6-HOURLY QPFS FOUR TIMES A DAY... WHICH GO APPROXIMATELY 18 HOURS INTO THE FUTURE. WITH THE ADDITIONAL FORECASTS...QPF GUIDANCE WILL NOW EXTEND 30 HOURS INTO THE FUTURE. THESE ADDITIONAL 6-HOURLY QPFS WILL PROVIDE GUIDANCE REQUESTED BY THE WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES /WFOS/ AND THE RIVER FORECAST CENTERS /RFCS/ TO SUPPORT RIVER STAGE FORECASTING DONE BY THE RFCS. THIS REQUEST WAS FORMALLY PUT FORTH THROUGH A HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL INFORMATION WORKING GROUP /HIWG/ SESSION. THE NEW FORECASTS WILL BE ISSUED TWICE A DAY... AT APPROXIMATELY 1000 UNIVERSAL COORDINATED TIME /UTC/ AND 1800 UTC. THESE GRAPHICS WILL BE IDENTICAL IN FORMAT TO EXISTING 6-HOURLY FORECASTS... MEANING THEY WILL BE AREAL AVERAGE RAINFALL/MELTED WATER EQUIVALENT FORECASTS... AND THE DESIGNATED ISOHYETS WILL BE THE USUAL 0.25... 0.50... 1.00 INCH... ETC. /WITH 1 INCH INCREMENTS ABOVE 1.00 INCH/... WITH THE MAXIMUM ANTICIPATED PRECIPITATION AMOUNT INDICATED... IF NECESSARY. AT THIS TIME... THESE NEW GRAPHICS WILL ONLY BE AVAILABLE THROUGH THE AUTOMATION OF FIELD OPERATIONS AND SERVICES /AFOS/... UNDER THE GRAPHICS PILS GPH9EE AND GPH9FE. THESE PILS WERE PREVIOUSLY RESERVED FOR SPECIAL 6-HOURLY QPFS THAT WERE OCCASIONALLY REQUESTED BY WFOS WHO NEEDED ADDITIONAL MANUAL QPF GUIDANCE FARTHER OUT INTO THE FUTURE. BECAUSE THESE NEW PRODUCTS WILL NOW ROUTINELY PROVIDE MANUAL QPFS FARTHER OUT INTO TIME... THERE WILL LIKELY BE LITTLE... IF ANY... REASON TO ISSUE SPECIAL QPFS UNDER THESE HEADINGS. HOWEVER... SHOULD THE NEED ARISE TO SEND OUT A SPECIAL... THE 9EE AND 9FE PILS WILL BE USED... BUT THE DISCLAIMER SPECIAL WILL BE ATTACHED TO THE GRAPHICS. IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS... PLEASE CONTACT: CHIEF... FORECAST OPERATIONS BRANCH HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL PREDICTION /301/ 763-8000 EXT 7317 NOTE: THIS AND OTHER OFFICE OF METEOROLOGY SERVICE CHANGE NOTIFICATIONS ARE POSTED AT THE FOLLOWING URL /IN LOWER CASE LETTERS/: HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM END ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 14 May 1997 17:43:28 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: Cloud Help Needed On 14 May 1997, Daron Aston wrote: > Hello. > > My name is Daron Aston and I am a 6th grade teacher in Mesquite, Texas. This > morning (5/14/97), my class and I observed a very strange cloud formation of > four or five tremendous, dark, cigar-shaped parallel clouds. We took digital > photographs and recorded as much weather information as we could with little > to no equipment. We have studied the different cloud types and have no idea > which this would be. > > We would like to send you the photographs and get your feedback on what this > might have been. If you are interested in helping us unravel this mystery, or > can give us the name and e-mail address of someone who would be, please > contact me at > > daron_aston@QMAILGW.mesquite.isd.tenet.edu > > Thank you very much. > > Sincerely, > Daron Aston > Range Elementary > Mesquite, TX Hi Daron, To be honest, I am going to be very busy the next three weeks and won't have time to analyze them. I will post this to the bit.listserv.wx-talk newsgroup to see if anyone would be interested. If you put the images on the World Wide Web somehow, that will help tremendously. Sorry about that, Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 14 May 1997 21:21:54 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: More products from HPC? I guess... At 05:41 PM 5/14/97 -0500, Gilbert wrote: >Unfortunately, we won't be able to see it! Check the HPC page -- they have the links ready to go (but not active at this time). Rob ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 13 May 1997 to 14 May 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu May 15 13:56:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102599-16202>; Thu, 15 May 1997 13:56:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA234506; Thu, 15 May 1997 00:41:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5574476 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 May 1997 00:40:41 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA266170 for ; Thu, 15 May 1997 00:40:40 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA25601 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 May 1997 00:40:39 -0500 Message-ID: <199705150540.AAA25601@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 15 May 1997 00:40:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -150040 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 28 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 9982 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z MAY 97// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: NICKLAS/SULLINS/MILLER/DOBBINS// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu May 15 15:58:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102272-16202>; Thu, 15 May 1997 15:58:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA151550; Thu, 15 May 1997 02:49:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5575200 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 May 1997 02:49:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA33002 for ; Thu, 15 May 1997 02:49:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA11915 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 May 1997 02:47:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705150747.CAA11915@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 May 1997 02:47:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 489 WTIO31 PGTW 150900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 003 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 7.2N9 89.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 7.2N9 89.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 8.3N1 88.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 9.4N3 88.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 10.5N6 87.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 12.0N3 86.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 15.2N8 86.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION 7.5N2 89.5E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS IN THE INDIAN OCEAN. THE CURRENT WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS IS A RELOCATED WARNING BECAUSE THE VECTOR DRAWN FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING POSITION TO THE CURRENT WARNING POSITION IS NOT INDICATIVE OF THE CURRENT MOTION OF THE STORM. WE EXPECT TC 01B TO INTENSIFY AND CONTINUE MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST BEFORE TURNING TOWARDS THE NORTH LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z2 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8), 152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4), 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z6) AND 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu May 15 22:05:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102862-16202>; Thu, 15 May 1997 22:05:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA138376; Thu, 15 May 1997 08:57:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5577618 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 May 1997 08:57:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA235030 for ; Thu, 15 May 1997 08:57:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA15962 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 May 1997 08:55:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705151355.IAA15962@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 May 1997 08:55:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 093 WTIO31 PGTW 151500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- 8.9N7 89.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.9N7 89.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 10.7N8 89.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 12.2N5 88.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 13.6N0 88.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 14.8N3 88.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 17.8N6 90.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 151500Z2 POSITION 9.4N3 89.5E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND SCATTEROMETRY DATA, WHICH INDICATES SYSTEM IS SLIGHTLY MORE INTENSE THAN INDICATED BY CLOUD SIGNATURE ALONE. WARNING IS RELOCATED BECAUSE VECTOR DRAWN FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING POSITION TO CURRENT WARNING POSITION IS NOT INDICATIVE OF THE CURRENT MOTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z9 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2), 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4),160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0) AND 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu May 15 22:27:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102943-16202>; Thu, 15 May 1997 22:27:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA29042; Thu, 15 May 1997 09:19:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5577922 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 May 1997 09:19:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA29076 for ; Thu, 15 May 1997 09:19:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA16514 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 May 1997 09:16:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705151416.JAA16514@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 May 1997 09:16:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 519 WTXS31 PGTW 151500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 36S (RHONDA) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- 20.6S8 103.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.6S8 103.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 22.5S9 106.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 25.0S7 109.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 27.6S5 112.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 30.4S7 115.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 151500Z2 POSITION 21.1S4 104.2E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 36S (RHONDA) IS MOVING EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS ACCELERATED AND CONTINUES TO WEAKEN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. POSITION AND INTENSITY BASED ON A COMBINATION OF INFRARED SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND SCATTEROMETRY DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z9 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4) AND 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri May 16 05:15:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102972-16202>; Fri, 16 May 1997 05:15:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA210734; Thu, 15 May 1997 16:04:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5583191 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 May 1997 16:02:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA185922 for ; Thu, 15 May 1997 16:02:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id QAA07139 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 May 1997 16:00:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705152100.QAA07139@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 May 1997 16:00:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 365 WTIO31 PGTW 152100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- 9.0N9 89.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 9.0N9 89.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 10.0N1 89.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 11.0N2 88.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 12.0N3 88.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 13.4N8 88.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 16.5N2 90.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 152100Z9 POSITION 9.3N2 89.5E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 4B IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS MOTION FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, FOLLOWED BY A SLOW CURVE TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AS IT MOVES THROUGH A WEAKNESS IN THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND PREVIOUS SCATTEROMETER PASSES WHICH INDICATE SLIGHTLY HIGHER INTENSITY THAN CLOUD SIGNATURE ALONE WOULD INDICATE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z5 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z6), 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2), 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9) AND 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri May 16 10:29:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102487-10258>; Fri, 16 May 1997 10:28:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA136392; Thu, 15 May 1997 21:21:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5585984 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 May 1997 21:20:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA203690 for ; Thu, 15 May 1997 21:20:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA12195 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 May 1997 21:18:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705160218.VAA12195@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 May 1997 21:18:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 769 WTIO31 PGTW 160300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 8.8N6 90.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 8.8N6 90.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 9.3N2 90.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 9.8N7 90.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 10.6N7 90.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 11.6N8 90.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 13.4N8 89.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION 8.9N7 90.5E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS SLOWLY TRACKING NORTHWARDS IN THE BAY OF BENGAL. STEERING FLOW ON THIS TROPICAL CYCLONE IS WEAK AS IT IS CAUGHT BETWEEN THE SOUTHEASTERLY STEERING FLOW BELOW THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS AND THE WESTERLY STEERING FLOW DUE TO THE CURRENT EQUATORIAL WESTERLY WIND BURST. TC 01B IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THIS WEAK NET STEERING FLOW FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS, AFTER WHICH TIME IT SHOULD HAVE GAINED ENOUGH LATITUDE TO ESCAPE THE EQUATORIAL WESTERLIES AND BEGIN TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD. TC 01B IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG EASTERLY WIND SHEAR DUE TO AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST. THIS UPPER-LEVEL WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AND INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM. ACCORDINGLY, TC 01B IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A SLOWER RATE THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z7 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0), 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7), 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3) AND 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri May 16 11:34:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102475-10258>; Fri, 16 May 1997 11:34:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA191440; Thu, 15 May 1997 22:23:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5586487 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 May 1997 22:23:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA228266 for ; Thu, 15 May 1997 22:23:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id WAA12933 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 May 1997 22:21:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705160321.WAA12933@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 15 May 1997 22:21:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 8 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 654 WTXS31 PGTW 160300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 36S (RHONDA) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 23.1S6 107.6E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 22 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.1S6 107.6E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 25.7S4 111.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 28.1S1 114.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION 23.8S3 108.6E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 36S (RHONDA) IS MOVING RAPIDLY TOWARDS SOUTHWESTERN AUSTRALIA. CURRENT WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON BOTH CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS A 151602Z5 SCATTEROMETRY PASS. WE EXPECT TC 36S TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z7 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri May 16 13:11:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102538-10258>; Fri, 16 May 1997 13:11:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA200870; Fri, 16 May 1997 00:06:33 -0500 Message-Id: <199705160506.AAA200870@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 16 May 1997 00:00:16 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 14 May 1997 to 15 May 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Status: X-UID: 11 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 13 messages totalling 456 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. The Clean Tornado! (2) 2. ASOS Commissioning Notice 3. Miami Tornado Video 4. Summer meeting of the High Plains Chapter of the AMS/NWA 5. NWS Hearing 6. Storm Reportfrom PIT 7. Storm Report from PIT 8. El Nino returning... 9. NWS budget cuts...the President responds... 10. Q about Miami Tornado? 11. Storm Spotter training 12. Miami Tornado +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 15 May 1997 01:04:03 +0000 From: Craig Berthiaume Subject: Re: The Clean Tornado! The much talked about and photographed Miami tornado has got to be the cleanest tornado I have ever seen. Usually rapped in a thick circulation of Oklahoman dirt, the funnel cloud and updraft are plainly visable. Does anyone have some good photo sites of this "bald" Mr. Clean tornado? And as a side note, how about those people on the streets not batting an eye. "Severe weather and the complacent man.....A deadly mixture." ........Me. 1997 ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 15 May 1997 02:21:17 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: Re: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site became a commissioned ASOS site at 1800 UTC on 14 May, 1997. DILLON AIRPORT (KDLN) DILLON... MONTANA Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 15 May 1997 07:31:22 -0400 From: "Billy B. Dancy Jr" Subject: Miami Tornado Video Does anyone out there know where to find video clips on the web of the recent Miami tornado, especially some of the footage taken from atop taller downtown buildings? I saw some of the clips on the news the other night and they were spectacular! Thanks. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 15 May 1997 10:04:49 -0400 From: Matt Gerard Subject: Summer meeting of the High Plains Chapter of the AMS/NWA ********************************************************************** The High Plains Chapter of the American Meteorological Society and National Weather Association announces its summer quarterly meeting. Our featured speaker will be Carl Bullock from the Forecast Systems Laboratory in Boulder, CO. Among the things Carl will speak about are the capabilities of AWIPS (Advanced Weather Information Processing System) Build 3, future plans of AWIPS Build 4 and 5, status of WFO-Advanced, and experiences and feedback from the Denver Risk Reduction Effort. The meeting will be on Friday June 20th, 1997 at 400 pm CDT in Room 106 of Tomanek Hall on the Ft. Hays State University campus in Hays, KS. The chapter business meeting will immediately follow the presentation. Dinner will follow the 600 pm and will be held in the Pioneer Lounge, upstairs in the Memorial Union. The meal will be a picnic buffet including hamburgers and bratwurst, baked beans, choice of three salads, potato chips and dip and choice of frozen yogurt for dessert. Cost is $7.00 per person. Everyone is cordially invited to attend. Those wishing to attend the dinner should RSVP no later than June 13, 1997 to: Matt Gerard c/o National Weather Service 104 Airport Road Dodge City, KS 67801 email: matt.gerard@noaa.gov vmail: 316-225-6746 or 316-225-6514 fax: 316-227-2288 + + + + + + As a reminder, the High Plains Conference, sponsored by the High Plains Chapter of the American Meteorological Society and High Plains Chapter of the National Weather Association will be held in Dodge City, KS on September 15-17, 1997. Theme for the conference is NWS Modernization Issues. The deadline for titles and abstracts is July 15, 1997 and should be submitted to: Jim Johnson, National Weather Service Office, 104 Airport Rd. Dodge City, KS 67801, (tel: 316-227-7140, fax: 316-227-2288, or e-mail: jim.johnson@noaa.gov) or Matt Gerard, at the above address and number. ********************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 15 May 1997 10:58:11 -0500 From: Peter Laws Subject: Re: NWS Hearing On Wed, 14 May 1997, rick mccoy wrote: > Americans United to Maintain Weather Service Funding will be represented > at the Thursday, May 15 Science, Technology, and space Senate > sub-committee hearing on Weather service Funding. Billy Wagner, EMA Good work! Glad to see someone taking the bull(s**t) by the horns ... > asked Billy to stress is, why all the contradiction. Some are saying, no > NWS shortfall of funds. Yet we are getting figures from others in excess > of $45 million in the red this year. Even though the GAO is looking into Did we not recently go through an episode of NOAA staffers saying that the the NOAA (or maybe NWS) Inspector General was out to privatize the NWS, whatever the cost? Maybe some digging on that point would help. -- Peter Laws / plaws@wildstar.net ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 15 May 1997 11:12:50 CDT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: Re: The Clean Tornado! >From: Craig Berthiaume > >The much talked about and photographed Miami tornado has got to be the >cleanest tornado I have ever seen. Usually rapped in a thick >circulation of Oklahoman dirt, the funnel cloud and updraft are plainly >visable. Does anyone have some good photo sites of this "bald" Mr. >Clean tornado? > >And as a side note, how about those people on the streets not batting >an eye. I'd like to know how anyone can tell from those videos that they are absolutely sure these people didn't notice what was going on? A car drives by, and people assume the driver doesn't see the tornado? Can you see this person's face on the video? Do you know what the person was doing before and after their vehicle entered the video of the video camera? Also, considering that the tornado was in the downtown area of a major city, do you really expect that the sidewalks and roads would be completely empty of people as the tornado went through? greg ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 15 May 1997 14:07:55 -0600 From: Clay Jones Subject: Re: Storm Reportfrom PIT I've got a good idea of what a microburst is -- a sudden blast in the middle of an already intense thunderstorm. What causes it? Curious Clay ---------------------------------------- no opinions here, no disclaimer needed! ---------------------------------------- >>> Charley Kline 05/15/97 11:59am >>> ZCZC DD+ 44346 WWUS30 KPIT 151800 LSRPIT PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT............AMENDED............. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA 150 PM EDT THU MAY 15 1997 TIME(EDT) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... ....COUNTY LOCATION.... 1105 PM ACME PA WIND DAMAGE 05/14/97 WESTMORELAND MICROBURST - ESTIMATED 80 TO 90 MPH. ABOUT 7 HOMES AND 1 BUSINESS SUFFERED RELATIVELY MINOR DAMAGE. ONE BARN WAS DESTROYED. ONE MOBILE HOME MOVED SEVERAL FEET. DAMAGE AREA EXTENDED ABOUT 1500 FT ACROSS AND A LITTLE OVER ONE-QUATER OF A MILE IN LENGTH. AMENDED FOR TIME AND DESCIPTION OF DAMAGE KANE NNNN ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 15 May 1997 19:59:47 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: Storm Report from PIT On May 15, 2:07pm, Curious Clay Jones wrote: > I've got a good idea of what a microburst is -- a sudden blast > in the middle of an already intense thunderstorm. Not necessarily. A cell with relatively weak updrafts can produce a microburst thusly: if the subcloud layer is a deep but dry adiabatic layer, evaporational cooling as the precip falls through this layer can accelerate the air downward, ehancing the strength of the storm's outflow (or downburst, as it were). The term "microburst" is used for small (4 km damage path or less) and short-lived (less than 10 minutes) downbursts. "Macrobursts" describe larger events which may last on the order of a half hour. -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS FIRSTT | CIMSS/University of Wisconsin-Madison ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 15 May 1997 16:46:55 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: El Nino returning... Full text available from any AP search engine... ========= El Nino May Be Returning By RANDOLPH E. SCHMID Associated Press Writer Thursday, May 15, 1997 4:38 pm EDT WASHINGTON (AP) -- El Nino may be returning. Government weather researchers said Thursday that conditions in the tropical Pacific Ocean in recent months have begun to indicate a return of the unusual weather condition condition. El Nino can change weather around the world and occur every two to seven years, but scientists remain unsure of what causes it. For Americans, El Nino has meant storms and flooding on the West Coast, summer heat waves in the Midwest and a decline in hurricanes in the Southeast. [...] ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 15 May 1997 19:27:00 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: NWS budget cuts...the President responds... Hello wx-talkers, As you may be aware, the Storm Chaser Homepage has been posting the latest news on the NWS budget cuts to the Storm Prediction Center and other NWS operation centers. I got a little nervous today when a letter with the White House logo on its cover appeared in my mailbox today. When I opened it, I was surprised to find this letter enclosed: THE WHITE HOUSE Washington May 13, 1997 Mr. Gilbert Sebenste (address deleted) Dear Gilbert: Thank you for sharing your concerns about our nation's fiscal priorities. My Administration is working hard to create opportunity, demand responsibility, shrink bureaucracy, and raise living standards for hardworking Americans, while keeping our nation on a fiscally responsible course. I will keep your views in mind as we continue working to build a strong economy for the 21st century. Sincerely, (signed, facsimile thereof) Bill Clinton ------------------------------------------------------------------------- And here's my response: Dear Mr. Clinton, Thank you for acknowledging my message. While reducing bureaucracy is welcome, and all of the other topics you touched upon are certainly laudible, your message does not say anything about the protection of the citizens of this country from hazardous weather events that the National Weather Service now provides. Even as I write this, messages of the impending cuts in July of this year will significantly increase the chances of major losses of life due to tornadoes, flash floods, and other natural weather disasters. Already, the agricultural business has suffered tremendously as a result of the loss of the National Weather Service (NWS) agricultural weather program. Specifically, an unforecasted frost last winter caused hundreds of millions of dollars in damage to food crops, which may have been prevented or curtailed to a large extent had the NWS program been in place. Tax dollars which would have easily paid for this program and then some from the crops are now lost forever. Presently, forecast and severe weather alert services to aviation, the general meteorological community of forecasters and scientists, and most importantly, the general public all stand to lose in this budget shortfall. As has been noted by the Department of Commerce, it estimates for every dollar spent on the NWS, 5 are returned in saved property, crops, and of course, the incalculable saving of untold numbers of lives each year thanks to the NWS warning program. Without their continued support, I firmly believe that more lives and property will be lost, more than offsetting the "savings" seen by cutting it's budget. I realize these are tough times. We are now $5 trillion in the hole, and it will be the height of irresponsibility to pass this to our children. The budget MUST be balanced; that is not the question. What must be asked is can we afford NOT to spend what money is available on items which actually generate benefits, seen and unseen. My call is that the NWS does this duty with flying colors; and with the cost per person of a hamburger and a soda each year, I really do not think it would be prudent to cut the budget on an agency that consistently does a fantastic job at serving our public well at a very, very minimal cost. I look forward to hearing your reply. Sincerely, Gilbert Sebenste ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 15 May 1997 21:32:40 -0400 From: Richard Thacker Subject: Q about Miami Tornado? On Wed, 14 May 1997 Eric Gross typed: >It was a slow newsday. >The Miami tornado was noteworthy not because of its intensity (its was on the >weaker end of the tornadic spectrum) nor for the damage it caused, but because >a.) it went right through the heart of a very populated major urban area and >b.) it was captured on video in the process. Tornadoes, despite their fierce >capabilities, are still very small events on the scale of things -- rarely >having a track more than a few miles long, and rarely more than a few hundred >yards in width. This is especially true of tornadoes in Florida. Given the >small nature of tornadoes, it is actually very, very rarely that one will plop >down in the heart of a major city. In addition, there was some excellent >quality video gathered by several cameras, which is not always the case for >tornadoes, either. Lastly, the tornado was especially photogenic at times -- >a lot of tornadoes (again, especially ones in Florida) can be wrapped in heavy >precipitation, and not easily visible; not all tornadoes have visible funnel >clouds, etc. >Now, if that tornado had been an F3 or F4, instead of likely an F1/F2, you >would have a more "newsworthy" story in that the damage could have been an >order of magnitude worse, and there likely would have been fatalities. As it >is, it is very, very fortunate that there were no deaths. Q for anyone in the Miami area or folks that had a chance to go over the video or radar footage in detail: Is there any chance this was a "hybrid" tornado? I.E. partially formed from processes usually regarded in waterspouts although exhibiting a shallow rotating CB. Here in coastal North Carolina, 3 years ago, we had a monster waterspout develop near the mouth of the Neuse River. It was very well documented and Dr. Golden (a top waterspout researcher) went as far to say that this was an unusually large and strong waterspout associated with a parent CB including a mostly rain free base. Nearby (8 miles) 88D at Morehead City detected no apparent rotation (meso) and no rotational returns at the 0.5 degree SRM. The parent CB I saw on TV with the Miami tornado looked very similar and I am not sure exactly where the vortex developed (water or land). I am wondering if there would have been a tornado at all if there no interactions with the nearby proximity of the water, or was this a deep mesocyclone and if just "happened" to form in the vicinity of warm water. The tornado looked extremely violent on CNN with lots of debris but the damage footage I saw appeared slight compared to what you would expect. If anyone has any thoughts on this, I would be interested in hearing them! cheers --- ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 15 May 1997 22:57:31 PDT From: "Faber James P." Subject: Storm Spotter training I am a novice weather observer and am interested in obtaining NWS Storm Spotter training in central Illinois. I would appreciate any information or advise anyone might have. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 15 May 1997 23:26:32 -0500 From: Ron Clark Subject: Miami Tornado [Deletia] >>Are those nautical miles? >> >>Actually, it looks to me like a typical American trick; "50 m" is "fifty >>miles," isn't it? Isn't it time to get rid of these strange units such as >>miles, and use the same units everyone else in the world uses? >> >>Gene Nygaard >> > Well you just danced around the issue Gene. In this case the "m" would represent meters, in which case 50 meters would be about 55 yards. Sounds more logical to me. :) Ron Clark N0POM Emergency Coordinator Sarpy County Nebraska ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 14 May 1997 to 15 May 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri May 16 14:04:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102515-10258>; Fri, 16 May 1997 14:04:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA233672; Fri, 16 May 1997 00:50:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5587792 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 May 1997 00:50:45 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA118954 for ; Fri, 16 May 1997 00:50:44 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA70081 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 May 1997 00:50:43 -0500 Message-ID: <199705160550.AAA70081@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 16 May 1997 00:50:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -160050 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 12 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 54718 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z MAY 97// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: NICKLAS/MILLER/DOBBINS// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri May 16 16:37:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102989-10258>; Fri, 16 May 1997 16:36:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA118978; Fri, 16 May 1997 03:29:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5588406 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 May 1997 03:27:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA145002 for ; Fri, 16 May 1997 03:27:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA16233 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 May 1997 03:25:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705160825.DAA16233@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 May 1997 03:25:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 064 WTIO31 PGTW 160900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 9.4N3 90.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 9.4N3 90.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 10.2N3 91.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 11.1N3 91.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 12.2N5 91.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 13.4N8 91.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 15.8N4 91.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION 9.6N5 90.9E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS IN THE BAY OF BENGAL. WE EXPECT TC 01B TO MOVE GENERALLY NORTHWARD AND INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9), 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5), 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri May 16 21:55:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103013-10258>; Fri, 16 May 1997 21:54:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA32814; Fri, 16 May 1997 08:47:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5589671 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 May 1997 08:47:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA121884 for ; Fri, 16 May 1997 08:47:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA19489 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 May 1997 08:44:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705161344.IAA19489@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 May 1997 08:44:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 446 WTIO31 PGTW 161500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- 10.4N5 91.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.4N5 91.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 11.6N8 92.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 13.0N4 92.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 14.4N9 92.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 15.8N4 92.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 18.8N7 92.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION 10.7N8 91.6E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS REMAINED AT CONSTANT INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THIS EFFECT IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH AS TC01B MOVES NORTHWARD UNDER THE UPPER LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE, ALLOWING FURTHER INTENSIFICATION. WARNING POSITION BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5), 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7), 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3) AND 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri May 16 22:14:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103020-10258>; Fri, 16 May 1997 22:14:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA45858; Fri, 16 May 1997 09:07:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5589783 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 May 1997 09:07:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA113410 for ; Fri, 16 May 1997 09:07:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA20093 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 May 1997 09:05:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705161405.JAA20093@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 May 1997 09:05:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 860 WTXS31 PGTW 161500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 36S (RHONDA) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- 25.1S8 110.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 25.1S8 110.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 27.1S0 112.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION 25.6S3 110.6E8 MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 14 FEET. TROPICAL CYCLONE 36S (RHONDA) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED RAPIDLY UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat May 17 04:19:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103030-10258>; Sat, 17 May 1997 04:18:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA187742; Fri, 16 May 1997 15:10:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5593552 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 May 1997 15:10:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA236100 for ; Fri, 16 May 1997 15:10:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA28036 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 May 1997 15:08:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705162008.PAA28036@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 May 1997 15:08:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 158 WTIO31 PGTW 162100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- 11.8N0 92.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.8N0 92.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 13.9N3 93.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 15.9N5 93.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 17.4N2 92.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 18.5N4 92.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 21.0N3 92.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 162100Z0 POSITION 12.3N6 92.3E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS BEGUN INTENSIFYING ONCE AGAIN AS VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS RELAXED. TC 01B IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A GENERALLY NORTHWARD TRACK AND SLOW AS IT APPROACHES A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z6 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7), 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3), 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0) AND 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat May 17 11:21:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102633-1073>; Sat, 17 May 1997 11:21:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA232592; Fri, 16 May 1997 22:08:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5596279 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 May 1997 22:04:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA249610 for ; Fri, 16 May 1997 21:59:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA02981 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 May 1997 21:57:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705170257.VAA02981@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 16 May 1997 21:57:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 746 WTIO31 PGTW 170300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL MADRAS AND AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 13.1N5 92.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.1N5 92.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 15.6N2 92.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 17.8N6 92.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 19.8N8 92.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 21.7N0 92.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 24.2N8 94.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION 13.7N1 92.0E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS IN THE BAY OF BENGAL. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY FURTHER AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWARD DUE TO DEEP SOUTHERLY STEERING FLOW. SYSTEM INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS DUE TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF A LARGE CIRRUS SHIELD OVER THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. TC 01B IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY AFTER MAKING LANDFALL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1), 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8), 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4) AND 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat May 17 13:13:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102443-1073>; Sat, 17 May 1997 13:13:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA233690; Sat, 17 May 1997 00:07:32 -0500 Message-Id: <199705170507.AAA233690@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 17 May 1997 00:01:47 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 15 May 1997 to 16 May 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 13 messages totalling 380 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. BWER vs. WER 2. Meters, Miles and 18 Hour Old "Breaking News" Revisited (2) 3. NSSL CHASE TOURS? (3) 4. 5. ASOS Commissioning notice 6. Q about Miami Tornado? 7. Congress and NWS 8. Storm Track party **RESCHEDULED** 9. tornado questions 10. InterMet looking for cover story +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 16 May 1997 01:43:28 EDT From: "j. j. rosich" <73140.1571@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: BWER vs. WER Greetings all, I'm kinda curious....I've been hearing some stuff about Bounded-Weak Echo Regions (BWER), and Weak Echo Regions (WER), and I know that BWER's are a radar signature which indicates a strong updraft into a thunderstorm....but I'm unsure what the difference is between them, and also what type of severe weather they are related to. Thanks! John Rosich, Meteorology Major, Valparaiso University ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 16 May 1997 05:30:25 -0700 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: Meters, Miles and 18 Hour Old "Breaking News" Revisited > Date: Thu, 15 May 1997 23:26:32 -0500 > From: Ron Clark > Subject: Miami Tornado > > [Deletia] > >>Are those nautical miles? > >> > >>Actually, it looks to me like a typical American trick; "50 m" is "fifty > >>miles," isn't it? Isn't it time to get rid of these strange units such as > >>miles, and use the same units everyone else in the world uses? > >> > >>Gene Nygaard > >> > > > Well you just danced around the issue Gene. In this case the "m" would > represent meters, in which case 50 meters would be about 55 yards. Sounds > more logical to me. :) > > > Ron Clark N0POM > Emergency Coordinator > Sarpy County Nebraska Hi Ron! Logical or not the folks at the Weather Channel said -miles-! For the life of me I don't know where this "meters" thing came from. The actual text I copied from the Weather Channel site is again submitted below, >A waterspout, which usually forms over tropical ocean waters, resembles >a tornado but is generally less intense and causes far less damage. Waterspouts are >rarely more than fifty miles wide. Their funnels are made up of fresh >water from condensation, not salt water My original point was the continued misuse of the term "breaking news" for an event 6, 12 or even 18 hours old. Also in the story was the reference to waterspouts less than fifty -miles- wide. Not to be too harsh, but if we one day privatize the Weather Service. I would hope the commercial services are much more timely -and- accurate than the example seen on the Weather Channel web site. I have to go outside and cover my plants now. MKE @ 34F 5:30 am CDT. Brrrrrrrr! ************************************************************************* 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA Milwaukee Area Skywarn Assoc./Milwaukee-Waukesha A.R.E.S./IL Multi-County Warning System E-Mail, bkopp@execpc.com Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" my severe weather and SKYWARN home page! SFTS! http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 16 May 1997 07:07:22 -0400 From: "tim p. marshall" <105566.1564@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: NSSL CHASE TOURS? Heard on local radio (OASIS 107.5) that NSSL is giving tornado chase tours for $1000.00 Exact terms were not mentioned. Does anyone know more details??? -TIM MARSHALL ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 16 May 1997 07:03:25 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: NSSL CHASE TOURS? On Fri, 16 May 1997, tim p. marshall wrote: > Heard on local radio (OASIS 107.5) that NSSL is giving tornado chase tours > for $1000.00 Exact terms were not mentioned. Does anyone know more > details??? -TIM MARSHALL I checked the Associated Press and CNN news wires and I found nothing. I'll keep checking. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 16 May 1997 08:40:21 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Someone asked about the southern Ohio tornados from Wednesday and I didn't get this til after I deleted the request... ** ABUS34 KILN 152224 *** PNSILN PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 625 PM EDT THU MAY 15 1997 PERSONNEL FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN WILMINGTON, OHIO CONDUCTED AN AERIAL DAMAGE SURVEY OF CLINTON, FAYETTE, ROSS, PICKAWAY, AND HOCKING COUNTIES TODAY. THE AREA SURVEYED BY THE TEAM CORRESPONDED TO THE STORM TRACK INDICATED BY THE WSR-88D RADAR AS WELL AS REPORTS FROM SPOTTERS AND VIDEO FOOTAGE. THE TORNADO(S) MOVED OVER LARGE AREAS OF OPEN FIELDS RESULTING IN LITTLE VISIBLE DAMAGE. EYEWITNESS REPORTS INDICATED THE TORNADO(S) MOVED ACROSS NORTHEASTERN CLINTON COUNTY, CENTRAL FAYETTE COUNTY, SOUTHERN PICKAWAY COUNTY, AND NORTHERN ROSS COUNTY. THE STORM WHICH PRODUCED THE TORNADO(S) THEN MOVED INTO HOCKING COUNTY. AT THIS TIME NO DAMAGE HAS BEEN REPORTED IN HOCKING COUNTY. EYEWITNESS REPORTS INDICATE THE TORNADO WAS ABOUT 1/2 MILE WIDE AS IT MOVED FROM SABINA INTO FAYETTE COUNTY. IN ROSS COUNTY...THE WIDTH OF THE TORNADO WAS REPORTED TO BE AROUND 1/4 MILE. A ROOF WAS BLOWN OFF OF A BARN WHICH WAS LOCATED OFF OF ROUTE 23 IN NORTHERN ROSS COUNTY, SOUTHWEST OF KINGSTON. THE DAMAGE AT THIS LOCATION INDICATES THE TORNADO HAD AN INTENSITY OF F1 ON THE FUJITA SCALE AT THAT TIME. THE F1 CLASSIFICATION CORRESPONDS TO WINDS OF APPROXIMATELY 73 TO 112 MPH. THE SPOTTER REPORTS AND DAMAGE SURVEY INDICATE THAT THE STORM PRODUCED TORNADO(S) WHICH TOUCHED DOWN AND LIFTED OFF THE GROUND NUMEROUS TIMES. LARGE HAIL UP TO AN 1.25 INCHES IN DIAMETER WAS ALSO REPORTED WITH THIS STORM. WE WOULD LIKE TO EXTEND OUR THANKS TO THE SEVERE WEATHER SPOTTERS AND OTHERS WHO PROVIDED INFORMATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DURING THIS SEVERE WEATHER EVENT. PLEASE NOTE THAT THE TIMES LISTED ON EARLIER LOCAL STORM REPORTS WERE IN EASTERN STANDARD TIME...NOT EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME. PARKER ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 16 May 1997 13:21:11 GMT From: Gene Nygaard Subject: Re: Meters, Miles and 18 Hour Old "Breaking News" Revisited Bernie Kopp KB9KEF wrote: >Hi Ron! >Logical or not the folks at the Weather Channel said -miles-! For the >life of me I don't know where this "meters" thing came from. The actual >text I copied from the Weather Channel site is again submitted below, I'll bet you cannot track this information back to any other source for the "fifty miles." Where do you think it came from? Gene Nygaard Gene Nygaard #===#===#===#===#===#===#===#===#===#===#===#===#===# | But if it be thought that, either now, or at any | future time, the citizens of the United States may be | induced to undertake a thorough reformation of their | whole system of measures, weights and coins, reducing | every branch to the same decimal ratio already estab- | lished in their coins, and thus bringing the calcula- | tion of the principal affairs of life within the | arithmetic of every man who can multiply and divide | plain numbers, greater changes will be necessary. | --U.S. Secretary of State Thomas Jefferson, 1790 +------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 16 May 1997 12:13:58 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning notice The following sites became commissioned ASOS sites at 1800 UTC on 15 May, 1997. LAWRENCE MUNICIPAL AIRPORT /KLWM/ LAWRENCE... MASSACHUSETTS HARTFORD-BRAINARD AIRPORT /KHFD/ HARTFORD... CONNECTICUT HAMILTON-FAIRFIELD AIRPORT /KHAO/ HAMILTON... OHIO THIS WILL BRING THE TOTAL NUMBER OF COMMISSIONED ASOSS TO 392... /230 NWS SITES AND 162 FAA SITES/. Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 16 May 1997 11:22:44 -0700 From: Craig Setzer Subject: Q about Miami Tornado? Richard Thacker sent: >Date: Thu, 15 May 1997 21:32:40 -0400 >From: Richard Thacker >Subject: Q about Miami Tornado? > >Q for anyone in the Miami area or folks that had a chance to go over the >video or radar footage in detail: > >Is there any chance this was a "hybrid" tornado? I.E. partially formed from >processes usually regarded in waterspouts although exhibiting a shallow >rotating CB. The parent CB I saw on TV with the Miami tornado looked very >similar and I am not sure exactly where the vortex developed (water or land). >I am wondering if there would have been a tornado at all if there no >interactions with the nearby proximity of the water, or was this a deep >mesocyclone and if just "happened" to form in the vicinity of warm water. > I looked at the NIDS stuff from AMX (Miami) and there was a rather strong, persistant, deep mesocyclone both very visible in the SRM and base velocity products. The 88D was also indicating positive MESOs on this and another even better looking (radar wise) storm to the north. Even in the 0.5 and 1.5 degree reflectivity tilts you could make out some cyclonic shearing of the cell around the mesocyclone (almost hookish). I would have to say this storm was your classic extra-tropical super-cell with hose attached. Craig Setzer csetzer@earthlink.net ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 16 May 1997 14:19:57 CDT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: Re: NSSL CHASE TOURS? >From: "tim p. marshall" <105566.1564@COMPUSERVE.COM> > >Heard on local radio (OASIS 107.5) that NSSL is giving tornado chase tours >for $1000.00 Exact terms were not mentioned. Does anyone know more >details??? -TIM MARSHALL That story is completely bogus. NSSL does not offer chase tours. Perhaps they mixed that up with either Cloud 9 or Whirlwind. greg stumpf, NSSL ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 16 May 1997 16:43:43 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Congress and NWS Did anyone get a chance to watch C-Span's coverage of yesterdays NWS hearing? I completely forgot about it and checking the schedule it was broadcast several times last night. Just wondering if anything exciting happened... Rob ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 16 May 1997 17:46:41 EDT From: Tim Vasquez <71611.2267@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: Storm Track party **RESCHEDULED** The annual Storm Track party has been officially R E S C H E D U L E D to May 24, 1997 due to a risk of severe weather in the central Plains Saturday. The time and place remain the same. For further updates see Storm Track Online at http://www.telepath.com/storm . Tim Vasquez author, WeatherGraphix Norman, OK Digital Atmosphere 71611.2267@compuserve.com (405) 573-0700 WeatherGraphix/Digital Atmosphere -- http://www.telepath.com/tvasquez/ StormTrack Online -- http://www.telepath.com/storm/ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 16 May 1997 21:31:43 EDT From: Andrew J Toth Subject: tornado questions i also heard about a torndao just north of cincinnait. how come it wasn't on the wx-* lists? Andrew Toth andrewtoth@juno.com ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 16 May 1997 22:43:46 -0400 From: InterMet Subject: InterMet looking for cover story InterMet is looking for a cover story for its first issue expected to come out this summer. InterMet is a new International Meteorology electronic magazine interested in publishing technical reports written by operational meteorologists and meteorology students. We are also interested in publishing interesting articles about recent weather events. The cover story should just be a more or less one page description of a recent weather event including pictures and weather related maps and analysis. It could be written by a meteorologist, student, weather observer, storm chaser etc. If your are interested please contact InterMet as soon as possible at: intermet@magma.ca We are also missing a few technical reports from meteorologists to make the first issue complete. We would especially be really interested in publishing work written by operational meteorologists working in a South American, European or Asian Weather Office. Publishing in InterMet or reading InterMet does not cost anything. InterMet main purpose is to increase exposure of the operational meteorologists work, on case studies and related work. So do not hesitate and participate. Make InterMet your magazine. For more information about InterMet and a list of great links about Numerical Models, have a look at the Home page: http://www.magma.ca/~intermet/ Thank you, Bernard Miville _______________________________________ InterMet International Meteorology Magazine http://www.magma.ca/~intermet/ intermet@magma.ca ________________________________________ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 15 May 1997 to 16 May 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat May 17 15:32:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102459-1073>; Sat, 17 May 1997 15:32:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA210798; Sat, 17 May 1997 02:08:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5597740 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 May 1997 02:07:58 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA121940 for ; Sat, 17 May 1997 02:07:57 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id CAA69520 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 May 1997 02:07:56 -0500 Message-ID: <199705170707.CAA69520@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 17 May 1997 02:07:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -170207 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 48013 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600Z MAY 97// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 5N5 133E7. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 161357Z ERS2 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED BENEATH DIFFLUENT UPPER-LEVEL FLOW, WHICH IS ENHANCING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. THE CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR APPROXIMATELY 24 HOURS, BUT REMAINS MOSTLY DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/BOYER/DEOCARIZA/UROGI/GILL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat May 17 16:53:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102489-1073>; Sat, 17 May 1997 16:53:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA234744; Sat, 17 May 1997 03:42:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5597938 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 May 1997 03:40:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA45996 for ; Sat, 17 May 1997 03:33:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA06451 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 May 1997 03:31:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705170831.DAA06451@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 May 1997 03:31:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 614 WTIO31 PGTW 170900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- 13.6N0 91.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.6N0 91.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 15.5N1 91.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 17.4N2 91.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 19.5N5 91.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 21.3N6 92.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 24.0N6 93.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION 14.1N6 91.3E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS IN THE BAY OF BENGAL. SLIGHT WESTWARD COMPONENT IN THE SYSTEM=S FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BE SHORT TERM. TC 01B IS EXPECTED TO MOVE PRIMARILY NORTHWARD DUE TO STRONG SOUTHERLY STEERING FLOW AND IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY FURTHER. TC 01B IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY AFTER MAKING LANDFALL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0), 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6), 180300Z2 (DTG 80153Z7) AND 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat May 17 16:54:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102459-1073>; Sat, 17 May 1997 16:54:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA45902; Sat, 17 May 1997 03:43:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5597954 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 May 1997 03:42:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA138284 for ; Sat, 17 May 1997 03:42:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA06518 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 May 1997 03:40:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705170840.DAA06518@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 May 1997 03:40:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 698 WTIO31 PGTW 170900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 01-89, -::74-53 59 285#8, 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUSOF 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.6N0 91.4E4 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 15.5N1 91.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE QIPYPPZ5 --- 17.4N2 91.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 11 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 19.5N5 91.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF OO EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 489 --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 21.3;,6 92.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 08 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 24.0N6 93.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE HP OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION 14.1N6 91.3E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS IN THE BAY OF BENGAL. SLIGHT WESTWARD COMPONENT IN THE SYSTEM;S FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BE SHORT TERM. TC 01B IS EXPECTED TO MOVE PRIMARILY NORTHWARD DUE TO STRONG SOUTHERLY STEERING FLOW AND IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY FURTHER. TC 01B IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY AFTER MAKING LANOA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat May 17 22:08:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102497-1073>; Sat, 17 May 1997 22:08:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA102398; Sat, 17 May 1997 09:00:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5599222 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 May 1997 09:00:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA204244 for ; Sat, 17 May 1997 09:00:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA08941 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 May 1997 08:58:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705171358.IAA08941@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 May 1997 08:58:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 017 WTIO31 PGTW 171500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 14.7N2 90.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N2 90.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 16.7N4 90.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 18.4N3 90.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 20.2N4 91.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 22.0N4 92.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 24.8N4 94.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION 15.2N8 90.7E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (TC01B) IS MOVING NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 171130Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE ADJUSTED USING A 171200Z SURFACE OBSERVATION FROM PORT BLAIR (WMO 43333). TC 01B IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING GENERALLY NORTHWARD THROUGH A WEAKENED REGION OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE EAST. INTENSIFICATION BEFORE LANDFALL IS STILL EXPECTED. A LOW-PROBABILITY ALTERNATE FORECAST SCENARIO WOULD HAVE TC 01B CONTINUING TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. TC 01B IS FORECAST TO BEGIN DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND WITHIN 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6), 180300Z2 (DTG 180153Z8), 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4) AND 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun May 18 04:47:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102686-1073>; Sun, 18 May 1997 04:47:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA173808; Sat, 17 May 1997 15:27:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5603005 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 May 1997 15:25:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA169812 for ; Sat, 17 May 1997 15:24:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA12837 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 May 1997 15:22:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705172022.PAA12837@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 May 1997 15:22:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 596 WTIO31 PGTW 172100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- 15.0N6 90.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.0N6 90.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 16.5N2 90.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 18.2N1 89.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 20.0N2 90.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 21.7N0 90.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 24.2N8 92.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 172100Z1 POSITION 15.4N0 90.3E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (TC 01B) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 171130Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A LARGER THAN AVERAGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. TC 01B HAS SLOWED ITS FORWARD MOTION AND BEGUN TO INTENSIFY MORE RAPIDLY AS IT NEARS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. TC 01B IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING AND GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE EAST BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL. A MODERATE PROBABILITY ALTERNATE FORECAST SCENARIO HAS TC 01B CONTINUING TO MOVE GENERALLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD. TC 01B IS FORECAST TO BEGIN DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND WITHIN 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2 (DTG 180153Z8), 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4), 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1) AND 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun May 18 10:46:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102373-9193>; Sun, 18 May 1997 10:46:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA203592; Sat, 17 May 1997 21:40:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5605760 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 May 1997 21:39:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA151980 for ; Sat, 17 May 1997 21:39:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA16196 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 May 1997 21:37:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705180237.VAA16196@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 17 May 1997 21:37:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 563 WTIO31 PGTW 180300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 16.1N8 90.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 90.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 17.6N4 89.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 19.1N1 90.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 20.8N0 91.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 22.3N7 92.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 24.7N3 94.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION 16.5N2 90.1E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS IN THE BAY OF BENGAL. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT GAINS LATITUDE PRIOR TO MAKING TO LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM=S TRACK IS EXPECTED TO BECOME NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD DUE TO SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY STEERING FLOW. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 171644Z NSCAT SCATTEROMETER PASS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4), 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1), 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7) AND 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun May 18 13:06:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102373-9193>; Sun, 18 May 1997 13:06:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA46012; Sun, 18 May 1997 00:01:41 -0500 Message-Id: <199705180501.AAA46012@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 18 May 1997 00:00:22 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 16 May 1997 to 17 May 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O There are 2 messages totalling 127 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. NASA Studying How to Use Mother Nature's Air Conditioners to Keep Our Cities Cool (fwd) 2. Congress and the NWS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 17 May 1997 09:06:38 -0400 From: Storm Related mail Subject: NASA Studying How to Use Mother Nature's Air Conditioners to Keep Our Cities Cool (fwd) This looked like it would be of interest to wx-talk readers: Forwarded message: > Date: Wed, 14 May 1997 10:29:11 -0400 (EDT) > From: NASANews@hq.nasa.gov > Subject: NASA Studying How to Use Mother Nature's Air Conditioners to Keep Our Cities Cool > > David E. Steitz > Headquarters, Washington, DC May 14, 1997 > (Phone: 202/358-1730) > > Dave Drachlis > Marshall Space Flight Center, Huntsville, AL > (Phone: 205/544-0034) > > > RELEASE: 97-96 > > NASA STUDYING HOW TO USE MOTHER NATURE'S > AIR CONDITIONERS TO KEEP OUR CITIES COOL > > Using space-age technology, NASA researchers are studying > how "urban forests" may allow cities to continuously grow while > maintaining air quality and the environment, as well as lower > cooling costs during sweltering summer months. > > Collaborating with ten Atlanta schools, the Atlanta > Regional Commission and the Environmental Protection Agency, > two NASA researchers from the Global Hydrology and Climate > Center at the Marshall Space Flight Center, Huntsville, AL, > began a study in Atlanta this week to learn how rapid > urbanization affects temperature and air quality, and what can > be done to lessen the impact. > > The researchers, Dr. Jeff Luvall and Dr. Dale Quattrochi, > are studying bubble-like accumulations of hot air, called urban > heat islands, that have developed as Atlanta has grown during > the past 20 years. "Urban heat islands result when naturally > vegetated surfaces are replaced with asphalt, concrete, > rooftops and other man-made materials," said Quattrochi. > > According to Quattrochi, the temperatures of artificial > surfaces can be 20- 40 degrees higher than those of vegetated > surfaces. "Materials, such as asphalt, store much of the Sun's > energy and remain hot long after sunset," said Quattrochi. > "This produces a dome over the city of temperatures 5-10 > degrees higher than air temperatures over adjacent rural areas." > > "The more a city grows -- replacing trees and grass with > buildings and roads -- the warmer it becomes, increasing peak > power demands. To meet these demands, power plants must > utilize fossil fuels to a greater extent, which ultimately have > a negative impact on air quality," said Luvall. In findings > from similar studies, the two researchers found that city parks > and other urban areas with trees and grass were cooler than > parking lots and areas with a high concentration of buildings. > "These 'green areas' are cooler because they dissipate solar > energy by absorbing surrounding heat and using it to evaporate > water from leaves, thereby cooling the air," said Luvall. > Urban forests also help cool cities by shading surfaces like > asphalt, roofs and concrete parking lots, preventing the > initial heating and storage of heat. > > To determine where Atlanta's hot spots are, a Lear Jet > equipped with thermal imaging equipment flew over the > metropolitan area on May 11 and 12 taking heat images at mid- > day -- the period of maximum heating -- and again 12 hours > later when surfaces began to cool. > > On the ground, some Atlanta elementary students took part > in the experiment by taking temperature and moisture readings > of different surfaces at their schools in conjunction with the > mid-day flight. The students will compare and verify their > measurements with those recorded by instruments on the jet. > > Information collected from the air study will allow > researchers to understand the effect of tree cover -- or lack > thereof -- on Atlanta's temperature and air quality. These > findings also will provide Atlanta's urban planners a > foundation to determine the benefits of developing and > maintaining urban forests. Additional benefits may come from > building plans that incorporate trees to shade roofs and reduce > the heat load on houses and buildings, thus reducing power > requirements. > > -end- > ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 17 May 1997 09:57:20 -0700 From: Michael Brennan Subject: Re: Congress and the NWS >Date: Fri, 16 May 1997 16:43:43 -0400 >From: Robert P Dale >Subject: Congress and NWS > >Did anyone get a chance to watch C-Span's coverage of yesterdays NWS >hearing? I completely forgot about it and checking the schedule it was >broadcast several times last night. Just wondering if anything exciting >happened... > >Rob ----------------------------- Hey everyone, I saw part of the hearings in the Senate sub-committee. Sen. Hutchinson of Texas was really pressing Dr. Friday for ways to get around closing the Southern Region HQ in Fort Worth. He responded (several times) by saying the closing of that HQ saved 4 WFOs elsewhere in the nation. Dr. Baker, an administrator also testified. Later on, Dr. MacPherson of NCEP testified as a private citizen, expressing his views on the cuts. All witnesses stressed that all the slack has been taken out of the NWS budget, and further cuts will result in an erosion of services to the public in forecasts and warnings. Mike Brennan ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 16 May 1997 to 17 May 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun May 18 13:56:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102404-9193>; Sun, 18 May 1997 13:56:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA74490; Sun, 18 May 1997 00:39:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5607027 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 1997 00:36:27 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA145062 for ; Sun, 18 May 1997 00:36:27 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA24716 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 1997 00:36:26 -0500 Message-ID: <199705180536.AAA24716@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 18 May 1997 00:36:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -180036 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 9 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 43401 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600Z MAY 97// 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 133E7 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/BOYER/DEOCARIZA/UROGI/GILL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun May 18 16:40:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102419-9193>; Sun, 18 May 1997 16:40:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA144916; Sun, 18 May 1997 03:29:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5608015 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 1997 03:28:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA236244 for ; Sun, 18 May 1997 03:28:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA19231 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 1997 03:26:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705180826.DAA19231@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 May 1997 03:26:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 16 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 401 WTIO31 PGTW 180900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- 17.2N0 90.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.2N0 90.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 19.0N0 90.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 20.8N0 91.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 22.6N0 92.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 24.0N6 93.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 25.8N5 95.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION 17.6N4 90.2E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS IN THE BAY OF BENGAL. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT GAINS LATITUDE PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A BLEND OF THE PREVIOUS WARNING RADII AND AN 180244Z AIR FORCE GLOBAL WEATHER CENTER SATELLITE-BASED MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I) ANALYSIS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1), 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7), 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9) AND 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun May 18 16:47:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102431-9193>; Sun, 18 May 1997 16:46:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA173696; Sun, 18 May 1997 03:39:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5608029 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 1997 03:39:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA145006 for ; Sun, 18 May 1997 03:39:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA19309 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 1997 03:37:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705180837.DAA19309@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 May 1997 03:37:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 18 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 499 WTIO31 PGTW 180900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY RT TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- 17.2N0 90.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST OXO PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.2N0 90.2E1 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 19.0N0 90.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WO NIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 10 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: <75 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE TO 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 22.6N0 92.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WAT SFR IIIII I I I VUAUAGNM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS -9 585: 035 DEG/ 09 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 24.0N6 93.1E3 M KBBRIQ SJAGU SYAGA PUP KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 E WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 06 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 25.8N5 95.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION 17.6N4 90.2E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS IN THE BAY OF BENGAL. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT GAINS LATITUDE PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A BLEND OF THE PREVIOUS WARNING RADII AND AN 180244Z AIR FORCE GLOBAL WEATHER CENTER SATELLITE-BASED MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I) ANALYSIS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1), 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7), 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9) AND 190900Z9 (DTG 190853Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun May 18 21:38:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102547-9193>; Sun, 18 May 1997 21:38:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA205232; Sun, 18 May 1997 08:27:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5609054 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 1997 08:26:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA120474 for ; Sun, 18 May 1997 08:26:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA21244 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 1997 08:24:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705181324.IAA21244@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 May 1997 08:24:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 25 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 236 WTIO31 PGTW 181500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 18.3N2 90.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 175 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 90.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 20.1N3 90.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 21.8N1 91.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 23.2N7 92.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 24.4N0 93.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 26.1N9 95.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION 18.8N7 90.6E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (TC 01B) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 181130Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII REPRESENT CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. TC 01B IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE EAST AND INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL WITHIN 36 HOURS. AFTER MAKING LANDFALL, TC 01B IS FORECAST TO DECELERATE AND RAPIDLY DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7), 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9), 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5) AND 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon May 19 04:05:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102576-9193>; Mon, 19 May 1997 04:05:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA24422; Sun, 18 May 1997 14:55:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5611273 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 1997 14:54:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA155922 for ; Sun, 18 May 1997 14:54:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA24095 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 1997 14:52:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705181952.OAA24095@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 May 1997 14:52:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 41 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 885 WTIO31 PGTW 182100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- 19.4N4 90.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.4N4 90.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 21.1N4 90.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 22.6N0 91.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 23.9N4 92.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 24.9N5 93.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION 19.8N8 90.6E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (TC 01B) HAS DEVELOPED AN EYE DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS AND IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE CURRENT WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 181730Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TC 01B IS STILL FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY AND MAKE A SMALL TURN TOWARD THE EAST BEFORE IT MAKES LANDFALL IN BANGLADESH IN ABOUT 24 HOURS. AFTER IT MAKES LANDFALL, TC 01B WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND WITHIN 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9), 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5), 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2) AND 192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon May 19 04:25:18 1997 Received: by uxmail.ust.hk via suspension id <102575-9193>; Mon, 19 May 1997 04:25:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102633-9193>; Mon, 19 May 1997 04:17:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA205288; Sun, 18 May 1997 15:08:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5611340 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 1997 15:08:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA228308 for ; Sun, 18 May 1997 15:08:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA24231 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 1997 15:06:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705182006.PAA24231@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 May 1997 15:06:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 43 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 020 WTIO31 PGTW 182000 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNINL NR PQU PQ ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE I NTRTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WPVHDBCHRP N ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE # IVING POSITION QIQIPPZ8 --- 19.4N4 90.5E4 MOVEMENT VODMLD HOURS - 3 9+/$3<433 -5 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED DY SATELLPTQ PRESENT WIND DISTRIBU 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS HPNGE SLNM EAST SEMICICCLE OVER WATER FA I II II GQRP NM ELSEWHERE REP AT POSIT: 19.4N4 90.5E4 + FORECASTS: - 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z+ --- 21.6N4 90.9 N M P MAX SUSTAINEGBI SBQ V-7;(5, GH VIVDP KT ROKGC F 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER O O I VER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 03-924 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 22.6N0 91.8E8 MAX SUSTAINTRBI -- 4-$87 9> 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELLOUIIOVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS A QTP NM SOUTHEADML 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTO QLB SY HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 08 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 0600Z8 --- 23.9NSAWMIK9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS = 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEASTO 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER YYAHIMDBMJBNET KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCWE VER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIBC PRP DEGBP GKTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 24.9N5 93.8E0/. MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCL E OVER LAND BAAA REMARCM QIWQPPZ2 O OVING NORTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE CURRENT WARMING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 181730Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TC 01B IS STILL FORECASTOV TOWARD THE EAST BEFORE IT MAKES LANDFALL IN BANGLADESH IN ABOUT 24 HOURS. AFTER IT MAKES LANDFJLL, TC 01B WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCKJOBMNTL 728+<48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INNKO MAVM NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9), 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5), 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2) AND 192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon May 19 04:23:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102629-9193>; Mon, 19 May 1997 04:23:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA223332; Sun, 18 May 1997 15:14:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5611371 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 1997 15:14:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA186090 for ; Sun, 18 May 1997 15:13:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA24268 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 1997 15:11:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705182011.PAA24268@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 May 1997 15:11:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 42 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 123 WTIO31 PGTW 182000 IMMEDI M BR ILTYG REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01 WARNINL NR PQU PQ ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE I NTRTHIO MAX DR Q , 9,3-MINUTE AVERAGE $ IVING POSITION QIQIPPZ8 --- 19.4N4 90.5E4 MOVEMENT VODMLD HOURS - 3 9+/3 433 -5 1#;?KCVCCGHZ I POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED DY SATELLTQ PRESENT WIND DISTRIBU 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS HPNGE SLNM EAST SEMICICCLE L OVER WATER FA I II II GQRP NM ELSEWHERE REP AT POSIT: 19.4N4 90.5E4 + FBRECASTS: - 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z+ --- 21.6N4 90.9 N M P MAX SUSTAINEGBI SBQ V-7 (5, GH VIVDP KT ROKGC F 100 KZ WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER O O I VER WATER VP 140 NM ELO CCNBV SGQ C SFRN LECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 03-924 HRGT MALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 22.6N0 91.8E8 MAX SUSTAINTRBI ?)4-87 9 0500?#28,$ - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICI?????RCLE OVER WATER P 050 NM T)9 ) ;34 2-5349.2 4-$87 9>035 KT WINVIED + 975#3-$.) 110 NM T WHERE OVER WATER VECTO QLB SY HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 08 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 0600Z8 --- 23.9NSAWMIK9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS ; 065 KT,0. MAT= SJZ2 6-)- 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CXD BMER LAND BAAA REMARCM QIWQPPZ2 O OVING NORTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE CURRENT WARMING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 1 1730Z INFRARED SATNII Q P AGERY. -:0PQAQLUIFKHARECASTOV TOWARD THE EAST BEFORE IT MAKES LANDFALL IN BANGLADESH IN ABOUT 24 HOURS. AFTER IT MAKSS LANDFJLL, TC 01B WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCKJOBMNTL 728+ 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INNKO MAVM NOT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon May 19 04:27:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102575-9193>; Mon, 19 May 1997 04:27:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA236206; Sun, 18 May 1997 15:18:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5611421 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 1997 15:18:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA151962 for ; Sun, 18 May 1997 15:18:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA24305 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 1997 15:16:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705182016.PAA24305@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 May 1997 15:16:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 44 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 194 WTIO31 PGTW 182000 IMMEDI M BR ILTYG REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCO TRTHIO MA Q , 9,3-MINUTE AVE AHE IVING POSCOION QIQIPPZ8 --- 19.4N4 90.5E4 MOVEMENT VODMLD HOURS - 3 9+/3 4339 59 285#8, 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED DY SATELLTQ PRESENT WINHLJ QSRU 045 9. 3)32#343 ) 9;34 2-534 9 2000MUED 7)-85: 19.4N4 90.5E4 + FBRECASTS: - 12 HRS, ALID AT: 190600Z+ --- 21.6N4 90.9 N M P MAXEISTAINEGBI SBQ V-7 (5, GH VIVDP KT ROKMAM F 100 K WPNDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE P OVER WATER O O I VTQPW M SFR LP 140 NM ELO CCNBV SGQ C SFRN LECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 05 (8> .+ 19180Y9 --- 22.6N0 91.8E8 MAX SUSTAINTRBI ?)4-87 9 0500?$28, - 070 NM SOUOHEAST SEMICI?????RCLE/?.::<#+ OVER WATER O< 08 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: ) 0/1+8 --- 23.9NSAWMIKKKR I GMAX SUSTAINED WINDS 065 KT,0.????? MAT= SJZ2 DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CXF BMTW SEEJA I CAAA REMARCM QIWQPPZ2 O OVING VORTHWARD AT 1?(,95. THE CURRENT WARMING POSITION AND INTOPSITYARE BASED ON 1 1730Z INFRARED SATNII Q P AGERY. -:0PQAQLUIFKHARECASTOV TOWARD THE EAST BEFORE IT MAKES LANDFALL IN BANGLADESH IN ABOUT 24 HOURS. AFTER IT MAKSS LANDFJLL, TC 01 WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCKJOBMNTL 728+ 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon May 19 10:51:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102330-10567>; Mon, 19 May 1997 10:51:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA236162; Sun, 18 May 1997 21:42:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5614458 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 1997 21:42:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA05484 for ; Sun, 18 May 1997 21:42:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA28306 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 1997 21:40:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705190240.VAA28306@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 May 1997 21:40:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 381 WTIO31 PGTW 190300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 20.3N5 90.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N5 90.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 22.0N4 90.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 23.2N7 91.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 24.2N8 92.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 010 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon May 19 11:49:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102330-10567>; Mon, 19 May 1997 11:48:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA05578; Sun, 18 May 1997 22:38:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5614878 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 1997 22:37:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA210610 for ; Sun, 18 May 1997 22:37:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id WAA28898 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 1997 22:35:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705190335.WAA28898@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 18 May 1997 22:35:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 55 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 194 WTIO31 PGTW 190300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 20.3N5 90.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N5 90.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 22.0N4 90.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 23.2N7 91.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 24.2N8 92.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 010 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 25.1N8 93.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 20.7N9 90.4E3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 9 KNOTS IN THE BAY OF BENGAL. FURTHER INTENSIFICATION IS ANTICIPATED PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL IN BANGLADESH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5), 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2), 192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8) AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon May 19 14:11:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102399-10567>; Mon, 19 May 1997 14:11:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA203616; Mon, 19 May 1997 00:50:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5616146 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 1997 00:50:16 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA36352 for ; Mon, 19 May 1997 00:45:44 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA07457 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 1997 00:45:43 -0500 Message-ID: <199705190545.AAA07457@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 19 May 1997 00:45:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -190045 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 66 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 50974 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600Z MAY 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 051951Z MAY 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/BOYER/UROGI/GILL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon May 19 16:45:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102320-10567>; Mon, 19 May 1997 16:45:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA169810; Mon, 19 May 1997 03:33:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5617257 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 1997 03:33:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA102206 for ; Mon, 19 May 1997 03:33:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA02101 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 1997 03:31:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705190831.DAA02101@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 May 1997 03:31:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 948 WTIO31 PGTW 190900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- 21.1N4 91.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N4 91.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 22.9N3 92.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 24.3N9 93.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 25.3N0 94.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 26.3N1 94.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION 21.5N8 91.4E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 9 KNOTS IN THE BAY OF BENGAL. ACCELERATION AND SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION ARE ANTICIPATED PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL IN BANGLADESH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2), 192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8), 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1) AND 200900Z1 (DTG 200753Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon May 19 16:51:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102547-10567>; Mon, 19 May 1997 16:51:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA203746; Mon, 19 May 1997 03:41:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5617282 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 1997 03:40:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA228236 for ; Mon, 19 May 1997 03:40:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id DAA02149 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 1997 03:38:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705190838.DAA02149@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 May 1997 03:38:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 982 WTIO31 PGTW 190900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBJCRUAARE)$ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAO SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- 21.1N4 91.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE W PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTIOTC N THH 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N4 91.1E1 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, V IRZ ;-1800Z9 --- 22.9N3 92.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER I040 NO LSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180-NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHEREOKT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 049AST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 06 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 25.3N0 94.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 26.3N1 94.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A S T IFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION 21.5N8 91.4E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 9 KNOTS IN THE BAY OF BENGAL. ACCELERATION AND SLIGHT IVTENSIFICATION ARE ANTICIPATED PRIOR TO MAKING LNER ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2), 192100Z3 (DTG 191553Z8), 200300Z5 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon May 19 21:55:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102594-10567>; Mon, 19 May 1997 21:55:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA118950; Mon, 19 May 1997 08:47:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5618986 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 1997 08:46:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA210578 for ; Mon, 19 May 1997 08:46:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA05473 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 1997 08:44:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705191344.IAA05473@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 May 1997 08:44:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 240 WTIO31 PGTW 191500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- 22.0N4 91.5E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.0N4 91.5E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 23.5N0 92.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 24.8N4 93.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 25.8N5 94.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION 22.4N8 91.7E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (TC 01B) IS MOVING NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD AND IS NEARING LANDFALL IN SOUTHEASTERN BANGLADESH. THE CURRENT WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 191130Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TC 01B SHOULD MOVE OVER LAND WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND BEGIN TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN. DECELERATION AFTER LANDFALL AND A GENERAL MOTION NORTHEASTWARD IS EXPECTED THROUGH 36 HOURS. TC 01B IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND WITHIN 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8), 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1), 200900Z1 (DTG 200753Z7) AND 201500Z8 (DTG 201353Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon May 19 22:03:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102535-10567>; Mon, 19 May 1997 22:03:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA118936; Mon, 19 May 1997 08:55:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5619007 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 1997 08:55:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA05510 for ; Mon, 19 May 1997 08:55:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA05756 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 1997 08:53:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705191353.IAA05756@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 May 1997 08:53:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 403 WTIO31 PGTW 191400 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA ORB EMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- 22.0N4 91.5E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEO N RCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM SOUTHEAST SEO CIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.0N4 91.5E5 FORECASTS: 12 RSOEE 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER MER WATER VECTOR TO 24 ;-4 0985: 035 DEG/ 08 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 24.8N4 93.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONO SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 07 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 25.8N5 94.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION 22.4N8 91.7E7 TROPICA CYCLONE 01B (TC 01B) IS MOVING NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD AND IS NEARING LANDFALL IN SOUTHEASTERN BANGLADESH. THE CURRENT WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 191130Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TC 01B SHOUIZAOVE OVER LAND WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND BEGIN TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN. DECELERATION AFTER LANDFALL AND A GENERAL MOT N NORTHEASTWARD IS EXPECTED THROUGH 36 HOURS. TC 01B IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT OPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND WITHIN 3(DTG 200753Z7) AND 201500Z8 (DTG 201353Z45.33? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon May 19 22:07:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102535-10567>; Mon, 19 May 1997 22:07:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA05480; Mon, 19 May 1997 08:59:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5619061 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 1997 08:59:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA118868 for ; Mon, 19 May 1997 08:59:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA05824 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 1997 08:57:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705191357.IAA05824@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 May 1997 08:57:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 453 WTIO31 PGTW 191400 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA ORB EMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY EW DELHI AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 0-9, 9,3-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION C QOQWPPZ3 --- 22.0N4 91.5E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIO HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION OS STRIBUTION: ;.-/ 75-8,3$ 28,$ - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAQT SEO N RCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM SOUTHEAST SEO CIRCLE OVER WATER HL 135 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.0N4 91.5E5 FORECASTS: 12 RSOEE 030;3 9;34 2-534 .34 2-534 ;3:594 59 24 -4 0985: 035 DEG/ 08 KTS????? 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 24.8N4 93.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSII TING AS A SIGNIMTVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36-WILKTS OETRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 25.8N5 94.5E8 M X SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATEDMER LAND REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION 22.4N8 508:- :6:)9,3 01B (TC 01B) IS MOVING NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD AND IS NEARING LANDFALL IN SOUTHEASTOZALP SZAE POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 191130Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TC 01B SHOUIZAOVE OVER LACD WITHIN THE NEET N D DM DECELERATION AFTER LANDFAL AND A ENERAL MOT N NORTHEASTWARD S FTHVTOURS. TC OARECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT OPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND WITHIN 3(DTG 200753Z7) AND 201500Z8 (DTG 201353Z45.33? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon May 19 22:12:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102603-10567>; Mon, 19 May 1997 22:12:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA45994; Mon, 19 May 1997 09:04:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5619099 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 1997 09:04:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA186006 for ; Mon, 19 May 1997 09:04:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA06025 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 1997 09:02:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705191402.JAA06025@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 May 1997 09:02:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 539 WTIO31 PGTW 191400 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA ORB EMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY EW DELHI AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 0-9, 9,3-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION C QOQWPPZ3 --- 22.0N4 91.5E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIO HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION OS STRIBUTION: RAD US OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAQT SEO N RLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM SOUTHEAST SEO CIRCLE OVER WATER HL 135 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.0N4 91.5E5 FORECASTS: 12 RSOEE 030 3 9 34 2-534 .34 2 534 3:594 59 24 -4 0985: 035 DEG/ 08 KTS????? 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 24.8N4 93.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSII TING AS A SIGNIMTVER WATER 070 NM ELSEOE 191130Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TC 01B SHOUIZAOVE OVER LACD WITHIN THE NEET N D DM DECELERATION AFTER LANDFAL AND A ENERAL MOT N NORTHEAS-4$ >5#;5974. TC OARECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT OPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND WITTIN 3(DTG 200753Z7) AND 201500Z8 (DTG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue May 20 04:12:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102600-10567>; Tue, 20 May 1997 04:12:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA93548; Mon, 19 May 1997 15:00:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5621821 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 1997 15:00:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA113628 for ; Mon, 19 May 1997 14:59:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA16807 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 1997 14:57:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705191957.OAA16807@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 May 1997 14:57:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 624 WTIO31 PGTW 192100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- 23.2N7 92.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 23.2N7 92.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 25.4N1 94.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 27.2N1 96.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 30 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 30 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 28.0N0 98.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION 23.7N2 92.7E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (TC 01B) HAS CROSSED THE COAST OF BANGLADESH AND IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 191730Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TC 01B IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY ACCELERATE AND CONTINUE RAPIDLY WEAKENING. TC 01B IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND WITHIN 30 HOURS. THE MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z IS 18 FEET. THIS MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT IS ASSOCIATED WITH WINDS FLOWING FROM THE BAY OF BENGAL INTO TC 01B. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1), 200900Z1 (DTG 200753Z7), 201500Z8 (DTG 201353Z4) AND 202100Z5 (DTG 201953Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue May 20 10:34:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102415-3164>; Tue, 20 May 1997 10:34:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA189216; Mon, 19 May 1997 21:24:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5625650 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 1997 21:24:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA232460 for ; Mon, 19 May 1997 21:24:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA23959 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 1997 21:22:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705200222.VAA23959@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 19 May 1997 21:22:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 77 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 051 WTIO31 PGTW 200300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- 25.5N2 94.1E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 28 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.5N2 94.1E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 27.8N7 96.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 29.7N8 97.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION 26.1N9 94.6E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 28 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS OVER LAND AND IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE RAPIDLY. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue May 20 13:10:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102294-19050>; Tue, 20 May 1997 13:10:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA24382; Tue, 20 May 1997 00:02:41 -0500 Message-Id: <199705200502.AAA24382@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 20 May 1997 00:00:54 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 18 May 1997 to 19 May 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Status: X-UID: 81 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 2 messages totalling 90 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Reports in LSRs but not in SPC log -- why? 2. REVISION - Meeting of Central Oklahoma Chapters of AMS & NWA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 19 May 1997 01:33:29 -0500 From: Roger Edwards Subject: Reports in LSRs but not in SPC log -- why? Within the last couple weeks, I think, Gilbert Sebenste and one or two others have mentioned severe weather reports appearing in local storm reports (LSR) but not the daily SPC "rough log" of reports. In almost every case, this is why (detailed explanation follows!): WSOM (Weather Service Operations Manual) C-40 states that all LSRs must follow a very specific tabular format. This is partly because an automated decoder at SPC reads LSR rows and columns to process the reports into the daily log. [This was also done so all LSRs would be in a consistent, easily recognizable and decodable format for all users, including private weather vendors and others outside the NWS.] If, for example, a time, state abbreviation, place name, or other information is either missing or entered in the wrong column, THE REPORT WILL NOT BE DECODED AND PROBABLY WILL NOT APPEAR IN THE SPC LOG. Same goes for misspelled county names, failure to put a blank line between individual reports, using a time range (e.g., 1110-1145) instead of one time (e.g. 1125), entering multiple locations on one line (e.g., DOGVILLE-FUTURA CITY) instead of in separate entries, and other violations of WSOM C-40. The decoding software is looking for all the information to be in specified places on the list, so it can decode the report and put it in the daily log. SOmetimes there is time for manual QC on incoming severe weather reports, and a forecaster at SPC will enter the report "manually" into the data base. This can be time consuming, however, especially if a series of erroneous listings (e.g., wrong date or entered as CST instead of CDT) get into the database and must be edited or deleted. Because highest priority rightfully goes to monitoring and forecasting severe thunderstorms, the report logging task was automated over a year ago -- and often, reports that are not properly formatted simply do not get in. The solution is alarmingly simple: software called PC-LOGIT which has been distributed to all NWS offices, and which will automatically format LSRs according to specs. [A beta test version which caused a linefeed problem is quite old and has long been replaced.] An increasing number of offices are using this software to guarantee correct LSR format; but it is still not being used in some locations. It is used at SPC to log significant severe (e.g., hail 2 inches or bigger, tornado, gusts above 65 kt) from badly formatted LSRs, when time permits; and it is very straightforward. [Also, this is why you will occasionally see SPC/LSR in the section giving the source of the report: these are "manually" logged at SPC from reports that arrived in the wrong format.] I hope that covers it; any NWS folks reading this who have questions or want more info are free to e-mail me at my "official" address in internal cc:mail and I'll gladly help as much as possible. [Note: I am on vacation most of the time thru 15 June.] Back to "lurk" mode while continuing largely unsuccessful searches for photogenic supercells... ---------------------- *** No disclaimer needed; this is my personal account! *** "I don't understand, meteorologically ===== Roger Edwards ===== or common-sensically, what the deal ( ) Forecaster is here!" ---former NSSL chase partner former NHC Forecaster :::::::::: http://www.wildstar.net/~tornado :::::::::: "I FEAST ON THE SMORGASBORD OF ATMOSPHERIC VIOLENCE." ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 19 May 1997 11:10:09 CDT From: Rodger Brown Subject: REVISION - Meeting of Central Oklahoma Chapters of AMS & NWA In an earlier posting, it was announced that Tom Grazulis will be the speaker at a joint meeting of the Central Oklahoma Chapters of the American Meteorological Society and the National Weather Association on Thursday, 22 May 1997. The posting alluded to Tom showing some tornado videos from what he referred to as his "secret archive". It turns out that he simply plans to show one video that he has not shown before. As indicated earlier, the video is a small part of his presentation. Tom is in Oklahoma to participate in a field program. If there is a chance for tornadoes to occur in Oklahoma or in the adjacent states on the 22nd, he will not be at the meeting. We are in the process of lining up an alternative program of interest in case he does not make it to the meeting. To find out whether Tom will be speaking, a query can be sent to Chapter President Kit Wagner (kit@ionet.net) after noon on the 22nd. Rodger Brown ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 18 May 1997 to 19 May 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue May 20 14:31:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102470-25771>; Tue, 20 May 1997 14:30:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA227764; Tue, 20 May 1997 01:14:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5627186 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 1997 01:13:14 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA199278 for ; Tue, 20 May 1997 01:13:14 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id BAA33510 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 1997 01:13:13 -0500 Message-ID: <199705200613.BAA33510@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 20 May 1997 01:13:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -200113 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 83 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 66275 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600Z MAY 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 7N7 150E6 FOR 24 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION HAS BEEN SCATTERED, WITH NO ORGANIZATION EVIDENT ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. WATER VAPOR DERIVED UPPER LEVEL WINDS INDICATE THE DISTURBANCE MAY BE ENHANCED BY DIVERGENT FLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/HAM/CROSS// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed May 21 13:20:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102586-29984>; Wed, 21 May 1997 13:20:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA184762; Wed, 21 May 1997 00:04:29 -0500 Message-Id: <199705210504.AAA184762@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 21 May 1997 00:01:08 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 19 May 1997 to 20 May 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 7 messages totalling 546 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Intellicast news 2. NOWcast changes in Indy... 3. Reports in LSRs but not in SPC log -- why? 4. NSSL/SPC Merchandise for Sale 5. (FWD) USGCRP May 22nd Seminar: "Natural Hazards, Human Impacts, and Disaster Reduction" 6. ASOS Commissioning Notice 7. Hurricanes Cause Havoc Far From Coast +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 20 May 1997 09:23:37 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Intellicast news Intellicast now updates the national radar hourly (instead of every three) and local NIDS base reflectivity twice an hour (instead of once.) Of course the best radar service on the net continues to be Freese-Notis (http://www.weather.net) ;> Rob ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 20 May 1997 09:28:11 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: NOWcast changes in Indy... Kudos to WSFO IND for making a change in the nowcast distribution method... Around Toledo the product is completely ignored (simply for the fact that it is a separate bulletin, and they would have to cut and paste to keep the DJ's informed) and apparently we aren't the only area. Indianapolis came up with a very interesting way around the problem -- and I would hope that this succeeds and it's use expands around the country... > ** ABUS34 KIND 191304 *** > PNSIND > > PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT > NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN > 800 AM EST MON MAY 19 1997 > > > TO CLIENTS USING INDIANA ZONE FORECASTS > > FROM JOHN T. CURRAN > METEOROLOGIST IN CHARGE...INDIANAPOLIS INDIANA > > SUBJECT TEST PROJECT INCORPORATING NOWCASTS INTO ZONES > > > BEGINNING JULY 21 1997...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST > OFFICE IN INDIANAPOLIS WILL BEGIN ISSUING ZONE FORECASTS WHICH > INCORPORATE THE SHORT TERM FORECAST...INDNOWIND...INTO THE > INDIANA ZONE FORECAST ISSUED BY INDIANAPOLIS. THIS WILL BE DONE > ONLY FOR THOSE COUNTIES WHICH INDIANAPOLIS ISSUES SHORT FUSE > WARNINGS FOR...OR ROUGHLY THE CENTRAL THIRD OF INDIANA. > > THIS WILL RESULT IN A MINOR CHANGE TO THE PRODUCT FORMATTING. > SPECIFICALLY...THE DOT AND FIRST FORECAST PERIOD IDENTIFIER > / .TODAY... / WILL BE ELIMINATED. IF YOU ARE A CUSTOMER WHICH > REQUIRES THIS DOT TYPE FORMAT...PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE > IMMEDIATELY. IF YOUR RECEIVING EQUIPMENT DOES NOT KEY ON THIS > DOT FORMAT BUT RATHER THE USUAL HEADER FORMAT...THIS WILL NOT > REQUIRE ANY CHANGES ON YOUR PART. > > THE ZONES AND SHORT TERM FORECASTS WILL CONTINUE TO BE ISSUED AS > SEPARATE PRODUCTS...JUST LIKE THEY ALWAYS HAVE. BUT AGAIN...THE > FIRST PERIOD OF THE ZONE FORECAST FOR CENTRAL INDIANA WILL > CONTAIN THE SHORT TERM FORECAST INFORMATION INSTEAD OF THE BRIEF > FORECAST INFORMATION NORMALLY PROVIDED IN A ZONE FORECAST. > > THE PURPOSE OF THIS EXPERIMENT IS TO PROVIDE OUR CUSTOMERS WITH > A SINGLE FORECAST PRODUCT. WITHIN THE ZONE FORECAST YOU WOULD > RECEIVE THE DETAILED INFORMATION FOR THE UPCOMING SIX HOURS OF > THE FORECAST...FROM THE SHORT TERM FORECAST...PLUS LESS DETAILED > INFORMATION FOR THE REMAINING SIX HOURS OF THE FIRST FORECAST > PERIOD PLUS ALL REMAINING FORECAST PERIODS NORMALLY IN THE ZONES. > > THIS TEST IS PLANNED TO RUN FOR APPROXIMATELY ONE YEAR TO ACCOUNT > FOR ALL SEASONAL CHANGES. THROUGHOUT TESTING WE WOULD APPRECIATE > ANY COMMENTS YOU MAY HAVE. IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS REGARDING > THE DETAILS OF THIS PROJECT CONTACT JOHN CURRAN OR DAVE TUCEK AT > > NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE > 6900 WEST HANNA AVENUE > INDIANAPOLIS IN 46241-9526 > 317-856-0361 > WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/IND/START.HTM > > LISTED BELOW IS AN EXAMPLE OF WHAT THE ZONE FORECAST WOULD LOOK > LIKE WITH...AND WITHOUT...THE SHORT TERM FORECAST INFORMATION > > 1. USUAL FORMAT WITHOUT SHORT TERM FORECAST DATA > > INDIANA ZONE FORECAST > NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN > 430 AM EST MON MAY 12 1997 > > INZ029-041-047-051-062-067-122000- > TIPPECANOE-DELAWARE-VIGO-MARION-MONROE-KNOX > INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAFAYETTE...MUNCIE...TERRE HAUTE... > INDIANAPOLIS...BLOOMINGTON AND VINCENNES > 430 AM EST MON MAY 12 1997 > > .TODAY...INCREASING CLOUDS. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. > HIGH NEAR 70. SOUTHWEST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH. > .TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WIND 5 MPH. > .TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. WARMER. HIGH NEAR 75. > > $$ > > > 2. ZONE FORECAST WITH THE SHORT TERM FORECAST INCORPORATED... > > > INDIANA ZONE FORECAST > NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN > 430 AM EST MON MAY 12 1997 > > INZ029-041-047-051-062-067-122000- > TIPPECANOE-DELAWARE-VIGO-MARION-MONROE-KNOX > INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAFAYETTE...MUNCIE...TERRE HAUTE... > INDIANAPOLIS...BLOOMINGTON AND VINCENNES > 430 AM EST MON MAY 12 1997 > > LOOK FOR CLOUDS FORMING ABOUT 8 AM. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL > DEVELOP BY 10 AM PRODUCING LOCAL HALF INCH RAIN AMOUNTS AND WIND > GUSTS TO 40 MPH. TEMPERATURES WILL REACH THE MID 60S BY NOON AS > SOUTHWEST BREEZES REACH 20 MPH AFTER 9 AM. THE AFTERNOON WILL BE > PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE FOR MORE THUNDERSTORMS. > THE HIGH WILL BE NEAR 70 AS SOUTHWEST BREEZES TO 20 MPH CONTINUE. > .TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WIND 5 MPH. > .TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. WARMER. HIGH NEAR 75. > > $$ > > > TUCEK ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 20 May 1997 09:11:01 -0500 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: Reports in LSRs but not in SPC log -- why? >Date: Mon, 19 May 1997 01:33:29 -0500 >From: Roger Edwards >Subject: Reports in LSRs but not in SPC log -- why? > >Within the last couple weeks, I think, Gilbert Sebenste and one or two >others have mentioned severe weather reports appearing in local storm >reports (LSR) but not the daily SPC "rough log" of reports. > Roger, thanks for your excellent explanation of the reason LSRs don't get into the SPC's summary log. I would add one additional point. The daily summary log file transmitted at 12Z includes only events that occurred in the last 24 hours. NWS offices often delay making up their LSRs in order to confirm events, or simply because they are too busy during a severe weather event. Also, damage reports sometimes take a day or two to get reported. A report of an event more than 24 hours old does not get put in the daily summary log. Earlier this year I had the unpleasant task of writing software to decode LSRs and put the information into a form easily imported into a spreadsheet. Naturally, my first efforts were aimed at decoding the SPC summary log product. This was straightforward and accomplished in a short time. However, my customer soon noticed that many reports were not in the file I was sending him. I was then forced to deal with the individual report files (WMO header WWUS30). This was, and continues to be, a nightmare. Problems often occur due to the formatting problems Roger mentioned. Why the NWS does not REQUIRE the use of PC-LOGIT is beyond me, especially given the important nature of the info in these LSRs. I was able to take many formatting errors into account in my software, which was able to decode more reports than the SPC software due to a more flexible approach regarding info in required columns. However, there was another, more serious problem. We get our data from the ddplus feed via satellite from a FOS vendor. About 10-20% of the time, WWUS30s are transmitted as one long line. End-of-line characters are lost. A massive amount of programming time was spent trying to deal with this (still imperfectly I might add). If anyone else has noticed this, you can be assured that the NWS knows of this problem (not restricted to WWUS30s) and is working on a fix. I have been working with NWS through my FOS vendor to get this problem corrected. NWS was unaware of the problem before I complained through my vendor. A word of advice to others who get FOS data via satellite.... if you run across problems of this sort, ask your vendor to inform the NWS. Don't just sit there and take it! I can't believe that no one noticed the problem before me. NWS can't correct problems if they don't know about them! If your vendor refuses to pass along info of this sort, it's time to get another vendor! Finally, analysis over the last 2 months comparing output from the SPC summary file and output from the individual LSR files has shown that only about half of all reports get into the SPC summary file. Users beware. The SPC file has significant limitations! ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President, Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. 1735 E. University Dr. - Suite 101 P.O. Box 3267 Auburn, Alabama 36831-3267 ____ /\ \ / | | ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) / \ \ / | |___ (334) 826-2152 (FAX) /____\ \ /\ / | | Internet: sadams@awis.com / \ \/ \/ | ____| ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 20 May 1997 09:29:49 -0500 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: NSSL/SPC Merchandise for Sale Severe Weather Fanatics, The NSSL/SPC Employees Association (NSEA) regularly sells severe weather photographs and NSSL/SPC clothing as part of its fund-raising efforts. Traditionally, we've only been able to sell this merchandise to individuals who visit the NSSL/SPC in Norman, Oklahoma, or when we take the merchandise to various special functions (such as the TWC Chaser Conference, the StormTrack annual picnic, or various conferences and open houses). Now this merchandise is available on the World Wide Web (WWW)! The 1997 Spring Chase Season is underway! Get merchandise now! Storm Predicition Center golf shirts are also new to our clothing line. ********************************************************************* * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW Severe Weather Photo Store * ********************************************************************* The URL for the NSEA Photo Concession Stand is: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/nea/neaphotostand.html ****************************************************************** * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW NSSL/SPC Clothing Store * * * * NSSL SHIRTS...AS SEEN IN THE MOVIE 'TWISTER'!!! * ****************************************************************** The URL for the NSEA Clothing Concession Stand is: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/nea/neaclothing.html Information on the prices of merchandise is on the WWW page. We can only accept orders placed from the WWW page (check or money order only). Information on the NSEA is also available via the first hypertext link on that WWW page. If you have any questions, please contact Greg Stumpf at: gstumpf@rossby.metr.ou.edu We hope that this fundraiser is a success for our organization and we hope you all enjoy the merchandise! Greg Stumpf and Paul Janish, NSSL/SPC Employees Association DISCLAIMER: The NSEA is a non-profit organization not affiliated with NOAA or the U.S. Government. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 20 May 1997 12:05:33 -0400 From: Steve Young Subject: (FWD) USGCRP May 22nd Seminar: "Natural Hazards, Human Impacts, and Disaster Reduction" This one might be of interest for the (one or two of you?) WX-TALKers in the Washington, DC area... Cheers, Steve Young young.steve@epamail.epa.gov ------- U.S. Global Change Research Program Second Monday Seminar Series Natural Hazards, Human Impacts, and Disaster Reduction What makes a natural hazard into a natural disaster? Is the seeming increase in the occurrence of natural disasters real? What are the likely causes? What trends are making society more vulnerable to natural hazards? Are there measures society can take to mitigate these disasters or the conditions responsible for them? Are there measures society can take to reduce loss of life and damages? Public Invited Thursday, May 22, 1997, 3:30-5:00 PM Rayburn House Office Bldg., Room B369, Washington, DC Reception Following INTRODUCTION The Honorable Dr. James Baker, Administrator of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), U.S. Department of Commerce, Washington, DC; and Co-Chair, Committee on Environment and Natural Resources (CENR) SPEAKER Dr. William H. Hooke, Director of the U.S. Weather Research Program Office, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Silver Spring, MD; and Chair of the interagency Subcommittee for Natural Disaster Reduction OVERVIEW Natural Disaster Reduction: A Growing National Challenge Annual U.S. losses to natural disasters while highly variable. Over the last few years, however, they have averaged $50 billion dollars per year, or roughly $1 billion dollars per week. Of even greater concern are the long-term trends in costs, which show a doubling or tripling of the damages each decade, in constant dollars, over the last 35 years. The impacts caused by natural hazards are increasing as a result of societal changes such as urbanization and technological interdependence. While disaster losses are expected to vary considerably from year to year, it is also expected that they generally will continue to increase, even as a fraction of the gross national product (GNP), at least in the short run. Domestically, natural disasters are a sustainable development issue. Internationally, they threaten global security. Reducing societal vulnerability to natural hazards, thereby reducing the extent of, or damages from natural disasters, is important, possible, and cost effective. Accomplishing this will require a diverse, interconnected range of actions: comprehensive hazard identification and risk assessment; wiser land use; improved structural design, building codes, and practice; greater public awareness, education, and training; improved predictions and emergency response; and more effective relief and recovery. These steps would be accelerated by a coordinated, multi-level government response, with particular attention needed at the state and local levels. Steps involving financial instruments such as mortgages, property taxes, and insurance, can be strongly influential. Natural Disaster Reduction: The Links to Global Change The frequency, strength, and location of hazards-storms, floods, droughts, earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, wildfires, etc.-are intimately connected to longer-period global change, whether due to natural variations or human-induced changes. Focusing on developing a coherent and effective societal response to the range and nature of natural hazards will increase the options that society has for coping with global change. Steps taken to reduce the impacts of natural hazards will provide new opportunities to experiment and learn how most effectively to prepare for global change. Each of the opportunities for building resilience to natural hazards will have its own set of hazard-specific, cultural, and technological aspects, and each will help provide insights about opportunities for responding to global change. Focusing on natural disaster reduction in the context of global change will also help re-enforce the need for observing systems required for global change detection and study. Focusing attention on the reduction of natural disasters also offers the prospect for greatly strengthening international cooperation on a host of related environmental issues. What has become quite evident is that by building local resilience to natural extremes, we can increase global resilience to long-term changes in average conditions and can become more prepared for any changes in extreme conditions. Biography Dr. William H. Hooke currently holds two national responsibilities: Director of the U.S. Weather Research Program Office, and Chair of the interagency Subcommittee for Natural Disaster Reduction of the National Science and Technology Council's Committee on Environment and Natural Resources. He has worked for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and antecedent agencies since 1967. After six years of research in fundamental geophysical fluid dynamics and its application to the ionosphere, the boundary layer, air quality, aviation, and wind engineering, he moved into a series of management positions of increasing scope and responsibility. From 1973 to 1980, he was Chief of the Wave Propagation Laboratory's Atmospheric Studies Branch. From 1980 to 1983 he rotated through a series of management development assignments. From 1984 to 1987 he directed NOAA's Environmental Sciences Group (now the Forecast Systems Laboratory), having responsibility for much of the systems research and development for the National Weather Service Modernization, as well as for a range of other weather and climate research activities. From 1987 to 1993 he served as the Deputy Chief Scientist and Acting Chief Scientist of NOAA. For two decades Dr. Hooke was an adjunct faculty member in the Department of Astrophysical, Planetary, and Atmospheric Sciences at the University of Colorado, teaching courses and supervising students. He has served on several panels and committees of the National Research Council and is also a Fellow of the American Meteorological Society (AMS) and an AMS Councilor. Dr. Hooke received his B.S. degree from Swarthmore College (1964), and his S.M. (1966) and Ph.D (1967) degrees from the University of Chicago. The Next Seminar is scheduled for Monday, June 9, 1997 Planned Topic: UV Radiation and Climate Change in the Antarctic: An Update For more information please contact: Anthony D. Socci, Ph.D., U.S. Global Change Research Program Office, Code YS-1, 300 E St., SW, Washington, DC 20546 Telephone: (202) 358-1532; Fax: (202) 358-4103 E-Mail: TSOCCI@USGCRP.GOV. Additional information on the U.S. Global Change Research Program (USGCRP) and this Seminar Series is available on the USGCRP Home Page at: http://www.usgcrp.gov. Normally these seminars are held on the second Monday of each month. Paula Alley, Admin Asstistant Phone number: (202)358-0421 FAX number: (202) 358-4103 Office of the USGCRP, code YS-1, 300 E Street, SW. Washington, DC 20546 e-mail: palley@usgcrp.gov World Wide Web Address: http://www.usgcrp.gov "Love your children & spouse for who they are, not for who you want them to be" ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 20 May 1997 12:10:00 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following sites will become commissioned ASOS sites at 1800 UTC on 20 May, 1997. CAMPBELL FIELD - CORSICANA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KCRS) CORSICANA... TEXAS TERRELL MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KTRL) TERRELL... TEXAS Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 20 May 1997 16:53:22 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Hurricanes Cause Havoc Far From Coast FEMA put this out on their Internet list and I thought I would re-post it to WX-TALK. ..Chris.. HURRICANES CAUSE HAVOC FAR AWAY FROM COASTAL AREAS, FEMA WARNS WASHINGTON May 20, 1997-- It's not only those who live along the East and Gulf coasts who need to worry about this year's hurricane season beginning June 1, say officials of the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). While the destructive force of hurricane winds begins to diminish after the storm makes landfall and usually dissipates rapidly as it moves inland, the danger of devastating floods is another story, FEMA officials point out. The risk of flooding can actually be much worse hundreds of miles away from the coast as the waning hurricane releases its moisture via torrential rains over a wide area. Hurricane FRAN, which struck the North Carolina coast September 6 last year, is a case in point, according to FEMA Director James Lee Witt. "Although not as strong as some other recent hurricanes (FRAN was only a Category 3 out of a possible 5), it was the third costliest in U.S. history in terms of damage," Witt said. "Much of this damage resulted from flooding that extended from North Carolina all the way to the Great Lakes, including the states of Virginia, West Virginia, Pennsylvania and Ohio. For example, water was three feet deep in the streets of Old Town Alexandria, Va., across the Potomac River from Washington, D.C." Records from the National Hurricane Center show that Hurricane FRAN caused extraordinarily heavy rains not only in central North Carolina (12 inches), but also in Virginia (16 inches), West Virginia (6 inches), Pennsylvania (8 inches) and Ohio (6 inches). Nearly half of the 37 deaths attributed to this hurricane were due to flooding in the inland states. And of the estimated $3.2 billion total property damage from FRAN, $350 million was in Virginia, $100 million in Maryland, $40 million in West Virginia, $80 million in Pennsylvania and $40 million in Ohio. "Unfortunately, all too few property owners who suffered flood damage were protected by flood insurance," Witt said. "While Hurricane FRAN resulted in more than $200 million in flood insurance claims paid to over 10,000 policyholders, most of the victims did not have flood insurance." "Many people still don't realize that their homeowners insurance does not cover flood losses," Witt said. "For protection against flood damage, a property owner must purchase a separate flood insurance policy through the National Flood Insurance Program administered by FEMA. We're making a concerted effort to communicate the need for flood insurance to the residents of hurricane-prone states before this year's storms start heading their way." "There is a 30-day waiting period before a new flood insurance policy becomes effective," Witt added, "so people need to take advantage of this protection while there is still time." Witt also had a warning for people who think they can rely on federal disaster assistance in lieu of flood insurance: "Disaster assistance is only available when the President issues a major disaster declaration," he said, "and even then it is quite limited---and usually in the form of a loan that must be repaid with interest. It is hardly a substitute for flood insurance, which covers losses from any flood event, no matter how small or localized." The National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) makes federally backed flood insurance available in communities that adopt and enforce floodplain management ordinances designed to reduce future flood losses. Over 3.6 million policies are currently in force in more than 18,500 participating communities nationwide, representing over $388 billion worth of coverage. The program uses no tax dollars; claims and operating expenses are paid by policyholder premiums. For information about flood insurance, homeowners, renters and business owners should contact their local insurance agent or call the NFIP's toll-free information line at 1-800-427-4661. Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) Office of Emergency Information & Media Affairs --- Washington, D.C. Information Available 24 hours a day . . . ... on the World Wide Web: http://www.fema.gov ... via fax-on-demand: phone in the U.S.A. (202) 646-FEMA (646-3362) ... via digital audio for broadcasters & print: contact eipa@fema.gov and listen to the FEMA Radio Network on the FEMA Website using RealAudio *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 19 May 1997 to 20 May 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed May 21 14:31:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102777-29984>; Wed, 21 May 1997 14:31:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA203720; Wed, 21 May 1997 01:16:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5636484 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 May 1997 01:14:31 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA95348 for ; Wed, 21 May 1997 01:14:31 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id BAA60988 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 May 1997 01:14:30 -0500 Message-ID: <199705210614.BAA60988@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 21 May 1997 01:14:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -210114 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 33337 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z MAY 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY NEAR 7N7 150E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7N7 153E9. CONVECTION CONTINUES TO BE SCATTERED, HOWEVER WATER VAPOR DERIVED UPPER LEVEL WINDS INDICATE STRONG OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR 24 HOURS NEAR 7N7 113E5 IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. CONVECTION IS NOT WELL ORGANIZED, HOWEVER WATER VAPOR DERIVED UPPER LEVEL WINDS SHOW GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/HAM/EIBLING// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu May 22 13:08:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102352-3017>; Thu, 22 May 1997 13:08:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA36482; Thu, 22 May 1997 00:04:28 -0500 Message-Id: <199705220504.AAA36482@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 22 May 1997 00:00:36 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 20 May 1997 to 21 May 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 8 messages totalling 184 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 17 May 1997 to 18 May 1997 2. Tornadoes at night (3) 3. WX-TALK Digest - 19 May 1997 to 20 May 1997 4. Note on high-based tornado spotting 5. OSO Server problems? 6. WeatherStore ONLINE New Numbers +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 21 May 1997 06:31:43 -0500 From: Bonnie Butt Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 17 May 1997 to 18 May 1997 >>"unsub wx-talk" > > ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 21 May 1997 09:18:19 -0400 From: Mike Taube Subject: Tornadoes at night Can tornadoes form at night? I don't think I've ever heard of one doing so... Mike Taube miket@htech.com ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 21 May 1997 08:54:38 -0500 From: City of Moore Emergency Management Subject: Re: Tornadoes at night Mike Taube asked: > > Can tornadoes form at night? I don't think I've ever heard of one doing > so... > The simple answer is "YES". Tornadoes can, and have, been known to form at all times of day or night. I'll leave technical explanations to those here with far more expertise in tornadogenesis, but if you want proof, check out and check the times. Gayland Kitch Emergency Manager The City of Moore, Oklahoma 405 793-5062 ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 21 May 1997 10:28:39 CDT From: Jim LaDue Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 19 May 1997 to 20 May 1997 Brians FIRSTt page http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/firstt/FIRSTT_cira_colostate_edu.html Our Firstt page http://www.osf.noaa.gov/otb/firstt/firstt.htm Let me know if I may be of further assistance. :^) James G. LaDue, Operational Support Facility 3200 Marshall Ave., Suite 202, Norman, OK 73072 (405)-366-6560 ext 4281 Fax (405)-366-6557 Internet jladue@osf.noaa.gov (fast) [or] james.g.ladue@noaa.gov (slow) ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 21 May 1997 10:42:54 CDT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: Note on high-based tornado spotting WX-TALKers, The following is excerpted from the SPC Daily Severe Weather log from Monday 19 May 1997: >4 *TORN 15 SW HUTCHINSON KS (19 SW HUT) 18/1650 > REPORTED BY LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT ICT/LSR 3788 9814 >5 *TORN 5 W NICKERSON KS (17 WNW HUT) 18/1651 > ICT/LSR 3814 9818 Disclaimer: The inclusion of the reporting NWS office is not meant as an "attack" on this particular office. I referenced it so that other chasers who may have seen this event could relate to this. Note that these two "tornadoes" were reported only 1 minute apart. These two locations are about 15 miles apart (5 W NICKERSON KS is due north of 15 SW HUTCHINSON KS). A landspout tornado did occur at that time in the vicinity of Abbyville KS (confirmed by a fellow chaser with lots of high-based tornado chasing experience), which is directly in between these two locations. The reason I am noting this is to point out some of the problems related to spotting tornadoes from high based thunderstorms (as occurred with this event). Typically, when a tornado is spotted from a high-based storm, an inexperienced (relative to high-based tornadoes) spotter will typically underestimate the location of the tornado, sometimes by as much as 1/2 to 1/3 the actual distance to the tornado. This frequently leads to multiple tornado reports of the same tornado, which I believe happened in this case. I have witnessed this on several occasions with high-based tornadoes (and landspout tornadoes) on the Colorado High Plains, where a single tornado is reported from many locations. Because the spotters thought the tornado was much closer than it really was, they each believed it to be a different tornado. I have lectured about this point to several High Plains NWS offices and the High Plains AMS chapter. The advice I offer is 1) to recognize situations where tornadoes from high-based thunderstorms may occur, and 2) to ask the spotter for *their* locations and the *azimuth* to the tornado. This way, tornado reports could be triangulated, and associated with radar data, to weed out multiple reports. Asking the spotter for their estimated distance from the tornado, and comparing that distance to the actual location would be in interesting exercise, and the results could be used to demonstrate this unique spotting problem. greg stumpf, NSSL ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 21 May 1997 12:47:59 -0500 From: Bill Ice Subject: OSO Server problems? I've noticed that as of 17:45Z, the OSO server has not received any of the model GRIB files since the 9Z files. Is anyone aware of any problems this server has had in receiving more current files? And if so, any idea when the situation might be corrected? TIA, Bill Ice Amarillo, TX ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 21 May 1997 14:53:29 -0700 From: William Hipkins Subject: WeatherStore ONLINE New Numbers The WeatherStore ONLINE now has toll-free sales! SALES: 1-888-282-2318 Tech/Info: 609-691-0854 24-hour fax: 609-692-7758 WEB Sales: http://www.weatherstore.com ============================================================================ WeatherStore ONLINE http://www.weatherstore.com SPECIAL!------------->Jumbo Rain Guages - $12.95 SPECIAL!------------->NEW WeatherLINK for Windows - $149.95 Upgrade - $49.00 =================================================================================================================================================== ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 21 May 1997 23:24:27 -0500 From: Ron Clark Subject: Re: Tornadoes at night At 09:18 AM 5/21/97 -0400, you wrote: >Can tornadoes form at night? I don't think I've ever heard of one doing >so... > >Mike Taube >miket@htech.com > > As you will get a barrage of yes's on this, and was already said...we will leave the techie stuff to the experts, probably the most unusual and unlikely time for a tornado to form is 4-5 AM (the coolest part of the day). But this is somewhat common in the "Dixie" south. Ron Clark N0POM Emergency Coordinator Sarpy County Nebraska ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 20 May 1997 to 21 May 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu May 22 14:30:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102324-3017>; Thu, 22 May 1997 14:30:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA236226; Thu, 22 May 1997 01:18:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5647052 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 1997 01:17:53 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA226734 for ; Thu, 22 May 1997 01:17:52 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id BAA27994 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 1997 01:17:51 -0500 Message-ID: <199705220617.BAA27994@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 22 May 1997 01:17:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -220117 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 45655 ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600Z MAY 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 153E9 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 113E5 IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA REMAINS DISORGANIZED WITH NO INDICATION OF AN ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/BOYER/DEOCARIZA/UROGI/GILL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri May 23 11:17:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102368-15427>; Fri, 23 May 1997 11:17:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA65432; Thu, 22 May 1997 22:04:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5518976 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 1997 22:04:03 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA110720 for ; Thu, 22 May 1997 22:04:02 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id WAA11130 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 1997 22:04:01 -0500 Message-ID: <199705230304.WAA11130@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 22 May 1997 22:04:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -222204 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 29303 ABPW10 PGTW 230300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230300Z/230600Z MAY 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 7N7 147E2. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, A 221248Z SCATTEROMETER (NSCAT) PASS, AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITHIN AN ACTIVE MONSOON TROUGH. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THAT THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED BENEATH DIFFLUENT UPPER-LEVEL FLOW, WHICH IS ENHANCING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. OVERALL CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION: REISSUED FOR NEW SUSPECT AREA (1.B.(1)). FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/BOYER/DEOCARIZA/UROGI/GILL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri May 23 13:14:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102455-15427>; Fri, 23 May 1997 13:14:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA173574; Fri, 23 May 1997 00:09:16 -0500 Message-Id: <199705230509.AAA173574@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 23 May 1997 00:01:37 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 21 May 1997 to 22 May 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 15 messages totalling 530 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Hurricane/Tornado videos 2. Note on high-based tornado spotting (2) 3. Well, there IS something better... 4. NWS Family of Services message (fwd) 5. Oh yeah, and one more thing... 6. ADMINISTRIVIA: NETWORK OUTAGE TO AFFECT ALL WX-***** LISTS 7. Volunteers to test Ultimeter Software 8. Lightning Damage (2) 9. Position Opening 10. FEMA's Tropical Storm Watch Goes Online for 1997 11. ASOS-measured clouds (3) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 22 May 1997 08:33:19 -24000 From: "David J. Kinsey" Subject: Hurricane/Tornado videos My Air National Guard unit, 200th Weather Flight, VA, will be teaching Weather Merit Badge to hundreds of Boy Scouts at the National Scout Jamboree this summer. As many of you know, purchasing certain items within the military procurement system is sometimes impossible. I would like to show a couple of videos to these young men but there is no way we can buy them. Is there someone out there who could lend us a couple for about three weeks. We would not copy them and would be happy to sign any kind of copy-protection agreement. I'm going to try to borrow a couple of TVs and VCRs locally. If you can help, please e-mail me or call me. THANKS! ********************************************** * David J. Kinsey, MSG, CWSO, 200WF, VaANG * * djkinsey@deq.state.va.us 804-698-4432 * ********************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 22 May 1997 08:04:02 -0500 From: "Gruver, Don" Subject: Re: Note on high-based tornado spotting Greg Stumpf wrote: WX-TALKers, The following is excerpted from the SPC Daily Severe Weather log from Monday 19 May 1997: >4 *TORN 15 SW HUTCHINSON KS (19 SW HUT) 18/1650 > REPORTED BY LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT ICT/LSR 3788 9814 >5 *TORN 5 W NICKERSON KS (17 WNW HUT) 18/1651 > ICT/LSR 3814 9818 Disclaimer: The inclusion of the reporting NWS office is not meant as an "attack" on this particular office. I referenced it so that other chasers who may have seen this event could relate to this. Note that these two "tornadoes" were reported only 1 minute apart. These two locations are about 15 miles apart (5 W NICKERSON KS is due north of 15 SW HUTCHINSON KS). A landspout tornado did occur at that time in the vicinity of Abbyville KS (confirmed by a fellow chaser with lots of high-based tornado chasing experience), which is directly in between these two locations. ********************************************************** Interesting. I was returning home from visiting my mom in Hutch at the very moment that all broke loose. At no time did I hear mention of a tornado in the Nickerson area on either the Sheriff freq or the Ham SKYWARN net, and I was at Nickerson at the moment the Abbeyville siting was reported by the Ham/meterologist/Skywarn spotter. Although I could not see the funnel or wall cloud from my persepctive, the sky over SW Reno County was VERY dark and some interesting cloud and rain shaft formations were seen. The storm system was at least 10 miles south of Nickerson. Wonder where they got that report????? -- ////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// Don Gruver in Hays, KS Amateur Callsign: KG0HN * * * * * * * * * * Dispatcher: Hays Police Dept Communications/Ellis Co. 911 800 MHz trunked system/CRT consoles Amateur Radio Emergency Coordinator (EC/DEC/RACES Officer) If it involves emergency communications... I'm either doing the talking, or listening! Drum Corps Fan (alumni, '76 Sky Ryders) * * * * * * * * * * email: dgruver@media-net.net packet: kg0hn@k0jjv.#nwks.ks.usa.noam ///////////////////////////////////////////////////////// ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 22 May 1997 08:55:02 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Well, there IS something better... Rob Dale says Freese-Notis updates it's radar every 6 minutes for 410. Tru, but so does the Discovery Channel: www.discovery.com They are doing the whole month of May on storm chasing and have a live radar shot from chaser alley, click on the "chasing" section to get it. Yeah, I know, it's only for another 8 days but it will be cool when the storms fly this weekend and next week! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 22 May 1997 09:26:12 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: NWS Family of Services message (fwd) FOS NOTICE NO. 1072 MAY 22 1997 TO DOMESTIC DATA SERVICE SUBSCRIBERS EFFECTIVE DATE MAY 22... 1997 EMERGENCY NOTICE EFFECTIVE TODAY... SITE IDENTIFIERS FOR TWO COMMISSIONED ASOS SITES HAVE CHANGED. FULTON... NY CHANGES FROM N00 TO FZY AND MEADVILLE... PA CHANGES FROM 2G6 TO GKJ. THE GEOGRAPHICAL LOCATION... AND ELEVATION FOR THE TWO SITES ARE AS FOLLOWS FZY - LAT 43.3 N LON 76.4 W ELEVATION 455 FEET GKJ - LAT 41.6 N LON 80.2 W ELEVATION 1404 FEET END Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 22 May 1997 09:36:24 CDT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: Re: Note on high-based tornado spotting >From: "Gruver, Don" > >Greg Stumpf wrote: > >>4 *TORN 15 SW HUTCHINSON KS (19 SW HUT) 18/1650 >> REPORTED BY LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT ICT/LSR 3788 9814 >>5 *TORN 5 W NICKERSON KS (17 WNW HUT) 18/1651 >> ICT/LSR 3814 9818 > >Interesting. I was returning home from visiting my mom in Hutch at the >very moment that all broke loose. At no time did I hear mention of a >tornado in the Nickerson area on either the Sheriff freq or the Ham >SKYWARN net, and I was at Nickerson at the moment the Abbeyville siting >was reported by the Ham/meterologist/Skywarn spotter. Although I could >not see the funnel or wall cloud from my persepctive, the sky over SW >Reno County was VERY dark and some interesting cloud and rain shaft >formations were seen. The storm system was at least 10 miles south of >Nickerson. Wonder where they got that report????? That was the point I was trying to make. There were probably spotters in the vicinity of "5 W NICKERSON KS" who saw the landspout tornado, and underestimated the distance away to it. They probably saw the same landspout that the spotters who were near "15 SW HUTCHINSON KS" did, the landspout near Abbeyville. greg stumpf, NSSL ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 22 May 1997 09:56:30 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: Oh yeah, and one more thing... On Thu, 22 May 1997, Greg Stumpf wrote to me: > > >I just saw yesterday's ECMWF that hit the web and elsewhere at about 9PM. > >In regards to next week, all I can say is... > > gil, > > can you tell me the URL of the ECMWF you are looking at? The old > Purdue site is gone, and all the hits from the SCH don't get > you anything but forecast guidance for Europe! Greg, I am cc'ing this to wx-talk and wx-chase. The UNIDATA university community, of which Northern Illinois University (NIU, ala where the SCH is), and Purdue have been notified that many WMO headers that arrive on the Family of Services (FOS) data feed that we get are protected by international law to stay within the county (ala the UKMET, or, in the case of the ECMWF, must stay internal to the NWS and FOS users. To put this in English, the ECMWF was not happy at Purdue for putting out those images on the 'net. And although they have not seen my STORM MACHINE (at least not that I am aware of), they'd be ticked off at me too. I was unaware of these regulations until they were pointed out to me. Unfortunately, that also means that, effective immediately, I am yanking my ECMWF data off the 'net as well. And as I do this, please don't complain about data restrictions about what can go on the 'net. We (meaning the U.S.) are far, FAR better off than the rest of the world...by huge magnitudes, in terms of allowing our data to go worldwide. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 22 May 1997 10:58:00 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: ADMINISTRIVIA: NETWORK OUTAGE TO AFFECT ALL WX-***** LISTS ATTENTION ALL WX-***** SUBSCRIBERS I have been informed that CICNet will be taking down a couple of routers Saturday morning from 2AM - 5AM CDT. With hardware maintenance there is never any guarantee that the anticipated outage will actually go as planned. Based on my understanding of Internet routing to this campus, my weather data feed (as well as any outbound messages from the SIU Weather Processor) will be down during this maintenance period. This outage will impact all the WX-***** (including WX-TALK) and all traffic to and from LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU. I will try to logon the system from my weekend job Saturday morning and make sure everything is operational --as sometimes my system forgets to reconnect to the upstream data host when service is restored. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 22 May 1997 12:34:18 -0500 From: steve hajducek Subject: Re: Volunteers to test Ultimeter Software Hello All, I am currently involved in an independant development effort of MS-Windows software in support of the Peet Bros. Co. series of Ultimeter Weather stations. This software application, named SkyWarn/2001(tm), is at present a 16 bit application that will run under MS-Windows v3.1 and up. It fully supports the Ultimeter models II, 500 and 2000 for near-real time data display and logging. Furthermore, it completely supports the Complete Record Mode of the 2000 for access to long term data. What I am looking for is volunteers, preferably one or two from each state, for each of the three Ultimeter models. What is needed to qualify is a willingness to test new software, that may not always work correctly, have the required minimum Intel 386DX25 PC with 8MB RAM, SVGA graphics, 800 x 600 or 1024 x 768 or better in small fonts and one of the Ultimeter models will all supporting sensors for said model. Anyone interested, please visit my website and either use the beta form at the bottom of the main page or send me an e-mail outlining your capabilities and interest, additional preliminary information the software can be found, along with some sample screen captures, at my website: http://www.qth.com/n2ckh.bytewise.org I would like to thank everyone for their time in reading and considering the contents of this request. /s/ Steve, N2CHK ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 22 May 1997 13:51:30 -0400 From: Josh Nichols Subject: Lightning Damage Here's a question posed to me that I cant seem to find an answer for. Is it possible for lightning to have a stronger charge or stronger intensity during winter than summer? It seems as though winter time lightning has caused more damage in spots here in Southern New England sometimes than the lightning that occurs in summer. For instance, Blue Hill Observatory standing at 636 feet above mean sea level on top of Great Blue Hill in Milton,MA (just south of Boston) sustained more damage from the Blizzard of 1997's intense thunder and lightning snow than it did from some severe thunderstorms of recent summers! Examples of this have also shown up in CT... Is it possible that the charge of the lightning is different due to the colder temperatures at the surface? Any comments, suggestions? Thanks...If you reply to the list, I may or may get it...This college email account was supposed to go down on May 19th but hasnt done so yet. If you reply to the above email address and you get a note saying return to sender, please send replies to 75613.1534@compuserve.com. Thanks! Josh Josh Nichols Easton, MA weather observer E-Mail:75613.1534@compuserve.com http://www.geocities.com/CapeCanaveral/6738 Lyndon State College Sophomore '97-'98 Meteorology Major "Joshwxman" on Undernet's #weather channel "The realities of tomorrow begin with the dreams of today"-OAHS Class of '96 Motto ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 22 May 1997 15:32:17 -0700 From: Jason Kelley Subject: Position Opening Somebody fill this, will ya...I hate working 7 days a week!!! j.k. WABG-TV has an immediate opening for a Weekend Weathercaster/Reporter. Qualified applicants will have strong forecasting skills, good on-air presence, and shooting and editing skills on 3/4 and Betacam SP. Experience with AccuWeather Graphics Systems a plus. Send a recent tape (VHS Please) and resume immediately to: John Rogers, General Manager WABG-TV 849 Washington Ave. Greenville, MS 38701 NO Phone Calls Please!! -- *********************************************** * Jason C. Kelley Chief Meteorologist * * WABG-TV Greenville- Greenwood, MS * * http://www.wabg.com/wx1.html * * jkelley@tecinfo.com * * "No matter where you go, there you are.." * *********************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 22 May 1997 15:29:00 -0500 From: Karl Werner Schulze Subject: Re: Lightning Damage It's my recollection that positive lightning flashes are more common in the winter than summer. If that recollection is true, then that should explain why the damages are greater in winter than summer. Positive bolts are much more damaging and are the kind that most often produce fires. Not having the paper discussing lightning climatology handy, I can't vow to the above (or reasons why it is) so right now. Maybe someone can spare me of the research and add to this? Karl *************************************************************** * Karl Werner Schulze HAM Radio Call: KB9JRJ * * Meteorology Graduate Student - Texas A&M University * * E-Mail: kschulze@ariel.met.tamu.edu * * Snail-Mail: 7703 Gettysburg CT., College Station, TX 77845 * * Disclaimer: SUE ME! * *************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 22 May 1997 17:41:29 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: FEMA's Tropical Storm Watch Goes Online for 1997 FEMA's TROPICAL STORM WATCH GOES ONLINE FOR 1997 HURRICANE SEASON WASHINGTON May 22, 1997 -- As the 1997 hurricane season approaches, the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) will launch its Tropical Storm Watch page on the Internet's World Wide Web on Friday, May 30,1997. This is the third year for FEMA's online service. "Every year our site's usage increases dramatically during hurricane season," FEMA Director James Lee Witt said. "Usage has grown from 225,000 hits/week when Hurricane Opal hit Florida in late September 1995, to 1.5 million hits the week Hurricane Bertha approached the U.S. coast in July 1996, to nearly 400,000 hits in a single day -- September 5, 1996; the evening Hurricane Fran made landfall in North Carolina. This hurricane season growth has expanded our year-round audience as increasing numbers of users regularly visit the site for winter storm, and spring flood updates." The Tropical Storm Watch page offers hurricane preparedness information, fact sheets, maps and links to other key sites with weather satellite images and forecasts. The FEMA Web site is updated daily, ...sometimes hourly... with news releases, situation reports, tracking maps, and graphics. As a hurricane approaches landfall, users can see the projected path of destruction and learn how FEMA is coordinating the federal government's efforts to assist state and local governments cope with the impending disaster. Many of the more than 5,000 files currently available on the FEMA Web site are posted as a result of customer feedback. "We have always encouraged people to send us E-mail feedback on our Internet project," Witt said. "People from all over the United States and a weekly average of 54 other countries regularly visit our site and send us their comments." The FEMA homepage address is http://www.fema.gov. In addition to the homepage's simple set of key topic buttons, the site's recently upgraded search engine helps users find exactly the information they need. Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) Office of Emergency Information & Media Affairs --- Washington, D.C. Information Available 24 hours a day . . . ... on the World Wide Web: http://www.fema.gov ... via fax-on-demand: phone in the U.S.A. (202) 646-FEMA (646-3362) ... via digital audio for broadcasters & print: contact eipa@fema.gov and listen to the FEMA Radio Network on the FEMA Website using RealAudio. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 22 May 1997 20:52:31 -0400 From: Roy Spencer Subject: ASOS-measured clouds Is it true that the ASOS system measures clouds to only 12,000 ft altitude, and if the ceiling is above that then the sky condition is reported as "CLR"? If this is the case, this seems quite detrimental to weather monitoring from ASOS reports, not to mention the ability to monitor climate. Can someone please tell me I'm mistaken? -Roy Roy W. Spencer Huntsville, Alabama ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 22 May 1997 19:20:01 -0600 From: "Kevin J. Schrab" Subject: Re: ASOS-measured clouds Roy Spencer wrote: > > Is it true that the ASOS system measures clouds to only 12,000 ft altitude, > and if the ceiling is above that then the sky condition is reported as "CLR"? > > If this is the case, this seems quite detrimental to weather monitoring from > ASOS reports, not to mention the ability to monitor climate. > > Can someone please tell me I'm mistaken? > > -Roy > > Roy W. Spencer > Huntsville, Alabama > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html That is correct. However, GOES-8 and GOES-9 data are used to supplement the ASOS obs above 12,000 ft. These are usually incorporated in the State Weather Roundup product. -- Kevin J. Schrab ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 22 May 1997 21:33:36 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: ASOS-measured clouds At 08:52 PM 5/22/97 -0400, Roy wrote: >Is it true that the ASOS system measures clouds to only 12,000 ft altitude, >and if the ceiling is above that then the sky condition is reported as "CLR"? That's correct... It isn't really a big deal, clouds about 12K really aren't that important. Plus with the new GOES doing an excellent job, and the Satellite Cloud Product filling in for mid- and upper-level clouds the gap seems to be filled from sources other than ASOS. Rob ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 21 May 1997 to 22 May 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri May 23 14:28:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102478-15427>; Fri, 23 May 1997 14:28:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA65388; Fri, 23 May 1997 01:15:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5520044 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 1997 01:15:01 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA210468 for ; Fri, 23 May 1997 01:15:00 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id BAA65628 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 1997 01:14:59 -0500 Message-ID: <199705230614.BAA65628@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 23 May 1997 01:14:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -230114 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 45401 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z MAY 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 147E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7N7 146E1. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITHIN AN ACTIVE MONSOON TROUGH. CROSS-EQUATORIAL LOW-LEVEL INFLOW AND DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT, AS INDICATED BY WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS, ARE ENHANCING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. OVERALL CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION REMAINS POOR; HOWEVER, CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO CONSOLIDATE NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 5N5 169E6. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. EQUATORIAL WESTERLIES AND CROSS-EQUATORIAL LOW-LEVEL INFLOW ARE CONTRIBUTING TO THE CONVECTION. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT WHICH IS ALSO ENHANCING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. OVERALL CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13N4 115E7. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THIS AREA IS BEING ENHANCED BY SOUTHWESTERLY MONSOONAL FLOW. HOWEVER, THE DISTURBANCE IS SUBJECT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND HAS POOR CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/BOYER/DEOCARIZA/UROGI/GILL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat May 24 04:08:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102737-15427>; Sat, 24 May 1997 04:08:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA145050; Fri, 23 May 1997 14:50:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5525069 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 1997 14:49:55 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA191402 for ; Fri, 23 May 1997 14:49:13 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id OAA21480 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 1997 14:49:12 -0500 Message-ID: <199705231949.OAA21480@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 23 May 1997 14:49:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -231449 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 7653 ABPW10 PGTW 231930 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/231930Z/240600Z MAY 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE ABPW IS REISSUED FOR THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 146E1 WHICH IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8N8 146E1. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES VIRTUALLY ALL OF THIS SYSTEM=S DEEP CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED. SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS DO CONTINUE TO INDICATE THIS SYSTEM POSSESSES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. HOWEVER, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW FROM MORE ACTIVE DEEP CONVECTION TO THE EAST IS SUPPRESSING DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM. THE AMOUNT OF CROSS-EQUATORIAL LOW-LEVEL INFLOW INTO THIS AREA HAS SUBSIDED GREATLY DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. ACCORDINGLY, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 169E6 IS NOW NEAR 6N6 169E6. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE AMOUNT AND AREAL COVERAGE OF DEEP CONVECTION WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS REMAINED ABOUT THE SAME DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA CONTINUE TO INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION REMAINS EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH IN THE VICINITY OF THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY STILL SHOWS GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS PRESENT ABOVE THIS SYSTEM IN CONJUNCTION WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 115E7 IS NOW NEAR 14N5 113E5 IN A MONSOON TROUGH. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION IN THE VICINITY OF THIS SYSTEM LIES TO THE SOUTH. SATELLITE-DERIVED UPPER-LEVEL WIND DATA INDICATE 10 TO 15 KNOTS OF SURFACE TO 200 MB VERTICAL WIND SHEAR LIES ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA AS WELL AS 230243Z SCATTEROMETRY DATA INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE PRESENT IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8N8 155E1. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AMOUNT OF DEEP CONVECTION AS WELL AS THE EXTENT OF AREAL COVERAGE WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS INCREASED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS COLLOCATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION AND THAT SIGNIFICANT CROSS-EQUATORIAL LOW- LEVEL INFLOW INTO THIS AREA EXISTS. UPPER-LEVEL RAWINSONDE DATA AS WELL AS SATELLITE-DERIVED UPPER-LEVEL WIND DATA SHOW GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW EXISTS ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/FINTA/WOFFORD/HATFIELD/PUGH/BACON// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat May 24 13:08:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102483-7465>; Sat, 24 May 1997 13:07:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA122096; Sat, 24 May 1997 00:03:10 -0500 Message-Id: <199705240503.AAA122096@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 24 May 1997 00:01:13 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 22 May 1997 to 23 May 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Status: X-UID: 5 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 7 messages totalling 233 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Lightning Damage (2) 2. SPC Web Graphics.... 3. NWSFO Albany WWW Site 4. 970523: ECMWF forecast charts on the net 5. Interested??? 6. Tornadoes at night +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 23 May 1997 01:38:57 -0500 From: "Mark D. Conner" Subject: Re: Lightning Damage >From: Karl Werner Schulze >Subject: Re: Lightning Damage > >It's my recollection that positive lightning flashes are more common in the >winter than summer. If that recollection is true, then that should explain >why the damages are greater in winter than summer. Positive bolts are much >more damaging and are the kind that most often produce fires. Are there any statistics to indicate that these positive strokes have more current? I think the current flow would be more of a player in causing damage rather than whether the stroke was positive or negative. >From what little I played with BLM lightning data a long time ago, I recall that positive strokes tended to have more current, but I was only looking at summertime data. Also, in the area I was looking at (eastern WA/northern ID), positive strokes tended to be more common near the end of the thunderstorm's life and/or when the storm went into the mountains. --------------------------------------------------------------- Mark D. Conner Internet: mconner@null.net Packet: N9XTN@WA0ZQG.IA.USA.NA Homepage: http://www.neonramp.com/~mconner The Peter Principle: "In a hierarchy every employee tends to rise to his level of incompetence" Conner's Corollary: "The Peter Principle is unbounded" ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 23 May 1997 06:31:04 -0500 From: Lon Curtis Subject: SPC Web Graphics.... Forwarded to Wx-Talk at the request of Paul R. Janish: > The SPC RAID device which creates our SPC web outlook graphics has > been down for several weeks. It is not clear that this device will be > fixed and operational to support generation of the graphics for some > time to come. As a result, effective today (5/22), we are scanning a > copy of the day1 and day2 graphics back on to our home page. The > images aren't as clean as the previous ones, but they are bigger and > will hopefully be updated in real time. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 22 May 1997 17:02:48 -0400 From: Jonathan Blaes Subject: NWSFO Albany WWW Site The National Weather Service Forecast Office in Albany, NY has a new home. We are now at the Center for Environmental Sciences and Technology Management (CESTM) on the campus of the University at Albany. The CESTM facility is a part of the Atmospheric Sciences Research Center. The Homepage of The National Weather Service Forecast Office (NWSFO) in Albany, NY has moved to a new address. The new address is...http://nwsfo.nws.cestm.albany.edu The NWSFO Albany Home Page offres a wealth of Meteorological/Weather information. Information on the NWS Mission, General Weather Info & Research, NWSFO Albany News & Public Outreach Activities, Current ]Weather Data including current weather text, imagery & graphics, Forecasts & Forecast Data including forecast text, imagery & graphics and Climatic Data & Information. The new address is...http://nwsfo.nws.cestm.albany.edu ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 23 May 1997 08:13:33 -0600 From: Don Murray Subject: 970523: ECMWF forecast charts on the net One location you can get ECMWF charts on the net is from ECMWF themselves: http://www.ecmwf.int/charts/charts.html Not as many charts at there are products on HDS, but you can still get the 500 hPa geopotential for the Northern Hemisphere. The page says they are updated every 24 hours. Be sure to read the disclaimer on the ECMWF home page (http://www.ecmwf.int/). Don ************************************************************* Don Murray UCAR Unidata Program dmurray@unidata.ucar.edu P.O. Box 3000 (303) 497-8628 Boulder, CO 80307 ************************************************************* Unidata WWW Server http://www.unidata.ucar.edu/ McIDAS Demonstration Machine http://mcdemo.unidata.ucar.edu/ ************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 23 May 1997 16:44:22 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: Lightning Damage Mark Conner wrote: > Are there any statistics to indicate that these positive strokes have more > current? I think the current flow would be more of a player in causing > damage rather than whether the stroke was positive or negative. > While not a statistic, I read in M. A. Uman's _Lightning_ book (1969): "Positive strokes are characterized by a relatively slow rate of rise of current, roughly five times slower than for negative strokes, and a relatively large charge transfer, roughly three times that of a negative stroke, with a maximum measured value of about 300 coul. Positive discharges are rarely composed of more than one stroke." The typical negative lightning "flash" is comprised of 3 or 4 "strokes", so the fact that positive flashes pack all their charge transfer into one "hit" probably explains the greater damage reported with + hits. -Scott -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS FIRSTT | CIMSS/University of Wisconsin-Madison ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 23 May 1997 19:59:47 +0000 From: Howard Altschule Subject: Interested??? Hi, Check this out. You may be interested?? >Date: Thu, 22 May 1997 12:34:18 -0500 >From: steve hajducek >Subject: Re: Volunteers to test Ultimeter Software > > > >Hello All, > >I am currently involved in an independant development >effort of MS-Windows software in support of the >Peet Bros. Co. series of Ultimeter Weather stations. > >This software application, named SkyWarn/2001(tm), >is at present a 16 bit application that will run under >MS-Windows v3.1 and up. It fully supports the Ultimeter >models II, 500 and 2000 for near-real time data >display and logging. Furthermore, it completely >supports the Complete Record Mode of the 2000 for >access to long term data. > >What I am looking for is volunteers, preferably one >or two from each state, for each of the three Ultimeter >models. What is needed to qualify is a willingness to >test new software, that may not always work correctly, >have the required minimum Intel 386DX25 PC with 8MB RAM, >SVGA graphics, 800 x 600 or 1024 x 768 or better in small >fonts and one of the Ultimeter models will all supporting >sensors for said model. > >Anyone interested, please visit my website and either >use the beta form at the bottom of the main page or >send me an e-mail outlining your capabilities and >interest, additional preliminary information the >software can be found, along with some sample screen >captures, at my website: > >http://www.qth.com/n2ckh.bytewise.org > >I would like to thank everyone for their time in reading >and considering the contents of this request. > >/s/ Steve, N2CHK > Best regards, Howie Altschule Meteorologist, NY/NJ E-mail Address: HAltschule@worldnet.att.net ********* ******* | ***** "Toto, We're about to get our butt's whoooped!!".... (The Wizard) *** --!-- ** !!!!!!!!!!!!!! * ! O O O! ------*---!------------!------------------------------------------ ////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 23 May 1997 17:57:36 -0500 From: Roger Edwards Subject: Re: Tornadoes at night On Wed, 21 May 1997, Mike Taube typed: > Can tornadoes form at night? I don't think I've ever heard of one doing > so... Yes. Thousands have, including some of the most violent and deadly in history. ----------------------------------- *** No disclaimer necessary; this is my personal account! *** "Give me 40 acres and I'll turn ===== Roger Edwards ===== this Meatwagon around!" ( ) Forecaster - chase partner, 1993 former NHC Forecaster :::::::::: http://www.wildstar.net/~tornado :::::::::: "I FEAST ON THE SMORGASBORD OF ATMOSPHERIC VIOLENCE." ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 22 May 1997 to 23 May 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat May 24 14:09:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102736-7465>; Sat, 24 May 1997 14:09:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA185962; Sat, 24 May 1997 00:56:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5528778 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 May 1997 00:56:23 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA234584 for ; Sat, 24 May 1997 00:56:22 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA66814 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 May 1997 00:56:22 -0500 Message-ID: <199705240556.AAA66814@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 24 May 1997 00:56:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -240056 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 6 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 47099 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600Z MAY 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 169E6 IS NOW NEAR 2N2 170E8. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN INCREASE OF DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. WATER VAPOR DERIVED UPPER LEVEL WINDS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF DIVERGENCE ALOFT, WHICH IS ENHANCING THE DISTURBANCE. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE POSSIBLE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER APPROXIMATELY 200 MILES TO THE NORTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 113E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17N8 115E7. CONVECTION IS SCATTERED AND ORGANIZATION IS WEAK. WATER VAPOR DERIVED UPPER LEVEL WINDS AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOW THIS TO BE AN AREA OF MINIMAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 155E1 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/HAM/EIBLING// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun May 25 03:13:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102954-7465>; Sun, 25 May 1997 03:13:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA256952; Sat, 24 May 1997 13:26:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5530942 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 May 1997 13:20:47 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA05428 for ; Sat, 24 May 1997 13:16:54 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id NAA61165 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 May 1997 13:16:54 -0500 Message-ID: <199705241816.NAA61165@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 24 May 1997 13:16:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -241316 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 14 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 46058 ABPW10 PGTW 241830 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/241830Z/250600Z MAY 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 2N2 170E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5N5 169E6. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN INCREASE IN THE DEEP CONVECTION DURING THE PAST TWELVE HOURS. WATER VAPOR- DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW OVER THE DISTURBANCE WHICH IS ENHANCING THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. SYNOPTIC DATA, SCATTEROMETER DATA, AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW- LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17N8 115E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17N8 114E6. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. THE CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE CONTINUES TO REMAIN POOR. WATER VAPOR- DERIVED UPPER-LEVEL WINDS AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE OVER THE DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/MILLER/DOBBINS/HALL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun May 25 13:05:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102484-11150>; Sun, 25 May 1997 13:05:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA229290; Sun, 25 May 1997 00:01:58 -0500 Message-Id: <199705250501.AAA229290@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 25 May 1997 00:00:03 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 23 May 1997 to 24 May 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Status: X-UID: 22 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 2 messages totalling 65 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. possible wall cloud in Southern Lake County IL? 2. New Jet May Help Predict Hurricanes +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 24 May 1997 01:41:04 EDT From: "j. j. rosich" <73140.1571@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: possible wall cloud in Southern Lake County IL? Greetings all, I'm kinda curious.....I was watching the severe weather from last sunday (May 18th) move through Northern Illinois....and I THINK I may have seen a wall cloud....in fact, I think it passed ALMOST right over my house! It was moving toward the southeast at (guessing....) 30 mph or so. I'm assuming it was a wall cloud because there was no precipitation occuring at the time it passed near my house. But I'm a little curious....was there anybody in the Hawthorn Woods area at the time (about 7:30 or so), and did anybody see this perhaps? ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 24 May 1997 21:51:49 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: New Jet May Help Predict Hurricanes Check your local AP search engine for the full story... ||||||| New Jet May Help Predict Hurricanes By FREIDA RATLIFF FRISARO Associated Press Writer Saturday, May 24, 1997 9:05 pm EDT MIAMI (AP) -- In the frantic hours after Hurricane Andrew slashed across southern Florida and left much of Dade County south of Miami in splintered ruin, forecasters worked urgently to plot where the monster storm would strike next. Warnings flashed along the Gulf Coast, from the Florida Panhandle to Louisiana, but projections put the bull's-eye on flood-prone New Orleans. Thousands boarded up homes and businesses and fled north that August of 1992. But erratic Andrew blew right on past and slammed into unpopulated marshland more than 100 miles to the west. Prayers had been answered but city purse strings were stretched by the hefty cost of storm preparation -- estimated at more than $50 million. The inexact science of plotting hurricanes frustrates the most seasoned experts. But sometime this summer, when a tropical storm howls into the season's first hurricane and threatens land in the Caribbean or the United States, a high-altitude jet loaded with new forecasting technology should greatly improve the odds. The Gulfstream IV jet that will take off from Tampa's MacDill Air Force Base can fly much higher and faster than the Hercules WC-130 four-engine turboprop the Air Force now flies directly into the eyes of hurricanes. The Hercules flies at 1,500 to 10,000 feet at a top speed of about 370 mph; the Gulfstream will fly over and around storm systems at altitudes of 45,000 feet and speeds up to 500 mph. [....] ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 23 May 1997 to 24 May 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon May 26 10:26:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102270-13361>; Mon, 26 May 1997 10:26:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA234680; Sun, 25 May 1997 21:13:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5540707 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 1997 21:13:31 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA148902 for ; Sun, 25 May 1997 21:13:30 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id VAA25669 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 1997 21:13:29 -0500 Message-ID: <199705260213.VAA25669@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 25 May 1997 21:13:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -252113 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 19778 WTPN31 PGTW 260300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 16.8N5 120.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.8N5 120.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 16.9N6 121.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 17.0N8 122.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 17.6N4 122.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 18.4N3 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 20.5N7 123.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 16.8N5 120.3E6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 20 NM WEST OF LUZON AND IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK GENERALLY NORTHWARD DUE TO SOUTHERLY STEERING FLOW. THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY ONCE IT MOVES INTO THE PHILIPPINE SEA AND AWAY FROM LUZON. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1), 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8), 262100Z1 (DTG 261951Z4) AND 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon May 26 13:09:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102199-13361>; Mon, 26 May 1997 13:09:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA245342; Mon, 26 May 1997 00:03:43 -0500 Message-Id: <199705260503.AAA245342@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 26 May 1997 00:00:59 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 24 May 1997 to 25 May 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 2 messages totalling 77 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Metro Tornado 2. Winter Lightning Damage +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 25 May 1997 08:28:04 -0600 From: Jim Burgan Subject: Metro Tornado I have been reading WX-Talk for some time and am impressed with the knowledge of people who post. Here is a question I have been wondering about for a long time. The recent tornado that hit the Miami metro area was weak... But what would happen if an F3 or F4 would strike a major metro area. If an F4 hit the downtown area of Chicago, what would happen to the Sears Tower or Hancock Bldg? Since several major cities are located in areas that could be frequented by tornados (St Louis, Indianapolis, Kansas City etc), it would seem that eventually a major city will be struck by a strong tornado. What could we expect? ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 25 May 1997 09:21:36 -0700 From: Robert Weisman Subject: Winter Lightning Damage This is a multi-part message in MIME format. --------------48FC3F852345 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit I did my Master's thesis on the distribution of lightning from New England to the Carolinas (when the National Lightning Network was just along the East Coast). One year of data showed that June, July, and August lightning was 97-99% negative flashes, while the winter months, although having far fewer flashes, had positive flash percentages all over 20% and often as high as 50-60%. (Published in the Journal of Geophysical Research in about 1987 or 1988 under R.E. Orville et al......I'm the "e" in et al. :) ) Positive lightning flashes tend to be single stroke (the "flickering" you often see in lightning each are complete circuit of charge flowing from cloud to ground and back again--we actually only "see" the ground to cloud portion), so that the charge lowered to ground is more concentrated in one burst. This explains the higher chance of damage in a positive stroke storm. Theory for what causes a positive flash is questionable, at least in my mind. The theories most relevant to forecasting are that the storm gets "sheared off," either in the dying stages of thunderstorms or in a storm in a highly sheared environment. The latter idea supports the idea of more positive flashes in winter (stronger winds aloft) and also some findings of a "polarity shift" in severe thunderstorms (periods of primarily negative flashes followed by periods of primarity positive flashes with the shift coming during a relative CG lightning lull, often coinciding with the tornado....at least in some cases ?!) Hope this helps. I'm sure confused. Bob Weisman --------------48FC3F852345 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Content-Disposition: inline; filename="TAGLINE.TXT" Bob Weisman, Professor/Meteorologist Earth Sciences Department Executive Asst: Shirley (age 5) MS 48 PHONE: (320) 255-3247 Saint Cloud State University FAX: (320) 255-4262 720 Fourth Avenue South EMAIL: scsweisman@tigger. Saint Cloud, MN 56301-4498 stcloud.msus.edu "Ten years of college education and ten more years of educating in college and you still don't have a bit of common sense." - My Grandmother --------------48FC3F852345-- ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 24 May 1997 to 25 May 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon May 26 14:44:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102422-13361>; Mon, 26 May 1997 14:44:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA225954; Mon, 26 May 1997 01:30:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5543390 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 1997 01:30:07 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA236176 for ; Mon, 26 May 1997 01:30:06 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id BAA51393 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 1997 01:30:06 -0500 Message-ID: <199705260630.BAA51393@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 26 May 1997 01:30:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -260130 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 62654 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z MAY 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/260151Z MAY 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 260000Z8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W WAS LOCATED AT 16.8N5 120.0E3, MOVING EASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W WARNING NR 02 (WTPN31 PGTW 260300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17N8 117E9 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARAGRAPH 1.A.(1). (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 169E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 168E5. GRADIENT LEVEL (3000 FEET) WINDS FROM KWAJELEIN (WMO 91366) INDICATE THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS LOCATED TO THEIR NORTH. HOWEVER, ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE/GRADIENT LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THIS DISTURBANCE IS BEING ENVELOPED BY EASTERLY FLOW INTO A NEW SUSPECT AREA (SEE PARAGRAPH 1.B.(3)) LOCATED TO ITS WEST. THIS DISTURBANCE MAY BECOME COMPLETELY ENGULFED BY THE AFOREMENTIONED SUSPECT AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS, PRODUCING A BROAD CYCLONIC REGION IN THE MONSOON TROUGH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8N8 163E0. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA SUPPORT THE PRESENCE OF A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY-DERIVED WINDS INDICATE GOOD LOW-LEVEL WESTERLIES ARE ENHANCING SURFACE CONVERGENCE. ADDITIONALLY, STRONG DIFFLUENT EASTERLY FLOW ALOFT IS ALSO ENHANCING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WHICH IS MOSTLY DISORGANIZED AT THIS TIME. THIS BROAD DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO DOMINANT OVER ANOTHER SUSPECT AREA LOCATED TO ITS EAST (SEE PARAGRAPH 1.B.(2)). MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/HAM/EIBLING// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon May 26 16:50:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102425-13361>; Mon, 26 May 1997 16:50:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA118832; Mon, 26 May 1997 03:34:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5543928 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 1997 03:34:17 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA148766 for ; Mon, 26 May 1997 03:34:16 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id DAA07511 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 1997 03:34:16 -0500 Message-ID: <199705260834.DAA07511@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 26 May 1997 03:34:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -260334 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 58708 WTPN31 PGTW 260900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260600Z4 --- 16.4N1 120.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 095 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N1 120.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 16.4N1 122.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 16.9N6 123.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 17.6N4 124.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 19.0N0 125.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 22.6N0 125.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 260900Z7 POSITION 16.4N1 121.3E7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER LUZON. THE SYSTEM=S ORGANIZATION IS POOR, BUT IS EXPECTED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES INTO THE PHILIPPINE SEA AND AWAY FROM LUZON. TD 05W IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWARD AFTER 36 HOURS DUE TO SOUTHERLY STEERING FLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8), 262100Z1 (DTG 261951Z4), 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6) AND 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue May 27 02:39:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102967-13361>; Tue, 27 May 1997 02:39:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA229208; Mon, 26 May 1997 13:27:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5556497 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 1997 13:27:40 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA234566 for ; Mon, 26 May 1997 13:27:40 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id NAA60820 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 1997 13:27:39 -0500 Message-ID: <199705261827.NAA60820@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 26 May 1997 13:27:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -261327 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 42129 WTPN31 PGTW 261500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- 16.4N1 121.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N1 121.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 16.5N2 123.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 17.2N0 124.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 18.3N2 124.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 19.9N9 125.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 24.0N6 125.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION 16.4N1 122.2E7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE ISLAND OF LUZON. WE EXPECT TD 05W TO EMERGE OVER WATER WITHIN THE NEXT SIX TO TWELVE HOURS AND BEGIN A SLOW INTENSIFICATION TREND WHILE TURNING NORTHWARD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z1 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262100Z1 (DTG 261951Z4), 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6), 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2) AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue May 27 03:40:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102975-13361>; Tue, 27 May 1997 03:40:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA24516; Mon, 26 May 1997 14:30:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5557052 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 1997 14:30:09 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA102322 for ; Mon, 26 May 1997 14:30:08 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id OAA19444 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 1997 14:30:07 -0500 Message-ID: <199705261930.OAA19444@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 26 May 1997 14:30:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -261430 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 28 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 42993 WTPN31 PGTW 262100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z7 --- 16.5N2 122.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 085 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N2 122.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 17.1N9 124.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 18.1N0 124.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 19.3N3 125.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 20.9N1 125.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 24.8N4 125.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 262100Z1 POSITION 16.7N4 123.2E8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. TD 05W HAS LOST MUCH OF ITS ORGANIZATION AND STRUCTURE AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE TAIL END OF A SHEAR LINE AND THE HIGH MOUNTAINS OF LUZON. IF TD 05W IS ABLE TO RECOVER AND DEVELOP FURTHER, IT SHOULD REACH MAXIMUM INTENSITY BY THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. BEYOND 48 HOURS, TD 05W IS EXPECTED TO ENCOUNTER MODERATE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WIND SHEAR. TD 05W IS FORECAST TO TURN NORTHWARD WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 61800Z7 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6), 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2), 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9) AND 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue May 27 05:21:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103020-13361>; Tue, 27 May 1997 05:21:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA104958; Mon, 26 May 1997 16:09:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5557750 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 1997 16:09:43 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA136428 for ; Mon, 26 May 1997 16:09:43 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id QAA43659 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 1997 16:09:42 -0500 Message-ID: <199705262109.QAA43659@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 26 May 1997 16:09:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -261609 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 29 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 42888 WTPN32 PGTW 262100 THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 261623Z MAY 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 261630) 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z7 --- 9.8N7 160.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.8N7 160.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 10.4N5 158.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 11.2N4 156.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 12.3N6 155.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 13.9N3 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 17.4N2 155.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 262100Z1 POSITION 9.9N8 159.7E2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W (TD 06W) HAS FORMED ABOUT 150 NM TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI. THIS SYSTEM HAD BEEN UNDER MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR EARLIER BUT CONVECTION HAS SINCE DEVELOPED NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. WE EXPECT TD 06W TO DEVELOP SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND AT A MORE CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THEREAFTER. TD 06W IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST- NORTHWESTWARD EARLY IN THE FORECAST PERIOD BEFORE MAKING A TURN NORTHWARD BEYOND 36 TO 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z7 IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 (DTG 270153Z8), 270900Z8 (DTG 270753Z4), 271500Z5 (DTG 271353Z1) AND 272100Z2 (DTG 271953Z7). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 261623Z MAY 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 261630) REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue May 27 10:32:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102394-7102>; Tue, 27 May 1997 10:32:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA148798; Mon, 26 May 1997 21:18:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5560283 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 1997 21:18:07 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA249642 for ; Mon, 26 May 1997 21:18:06 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id VAA19716 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 1997 21:18:05 -0500 Message-ID: <199705270218.VAA19716@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 26 May 1997 21:18:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -262118 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 18177 WTPN32 PGTW 270300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- 10.0N1 159.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.0N1 159.8E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 10.4N5 158.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 11.0N2 156.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 11.8N0 155.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 13.2N6 154.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 15.8N4 153.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION 10.1N2 159.4E9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W (TD 06W) IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 262330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TD 06W IS CURRENTLY SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IN STEERING FLOW FROM THE EAST-SOUTHEAST. AFTER 36 HOURS, TD 06W IS FORECAST TO TURN NORTHWARD INTO A WEAKENED PORTION OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TD 06W IS A LARGE SYSTEM AND IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270900Z8 (DTG 270753Z4), 271500Z5 (DTG 271353Z1), 272100Z2 (DTG 271953Z7) AND 280300Z3 (DTG 280153Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue May 27 10:44:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102433-7102>; Tue, 27 May 1997 10:44:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA46060; Mon, 26 May 1997 21:31:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5560376 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 1997 21:31:14 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA173786 for ; Mon, 26 May 1997 21:31:14 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id VAA66792 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 1997 21:31:13 -0500 Message-ID: <199705270231.VAA66792@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 26 May 1997 21:31:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -262131 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 47589 WTPN31 PGTW 270300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- 17.3N1 124.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N1 124.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 18.6N5 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 20.0N2 125.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 21.4N7 125.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 22.6N0 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 25.5N2 127.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION 17.6N4 124.4E1 TROPICEPRESSION 05W (TD 05W) IS CURRENTLY MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 262330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TD 05W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE GRADUALLY TURNING TO THE NORTH THROUGH 36 HOURS, THEN MOVE GENERALLY NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD. TD 05W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGH 48 HOURS, THEN BEGIN WEAKENING AS IT ENCOUNTERS STRONGER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2), 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9), 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5) AND 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 06W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue May 27 13:15:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102188-7102>; Tue, 27 May 1997 13:15:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA24484; Tue, 27 May 1997 00:09:04 -0500 Message-Id: <199705270509.AAA24484@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 27 May 1997 00:01:21 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 25 May 1997 to 26 May 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There is one message totalling 83 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. strange Mesquite TX clouds +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 26 May 1997 16:22:11 -0400 From: James Aman Subject: Re: strange Mesquite TX clouds On 14 May 1997, Daron Aston wrote: > Hello. > > My name is Daron Aston and I am a 6th grade teacher in Mesquite, Texas. This > morning (5/14/97), my class and I observed a very strange cloud formation of > four or five tremendous, dark, cigar-shaped parallel clouds. We took digital > photographs and recorded as much weather information as we could with little > to no equipment. We have studied the different cloud types and have no idea > which this would be. > > We would like to send you the photographs and get your feedback on what this > might have been. If you are interested in helping us unravel this mystery, or > can give us the name and e-mail address of someone who would be, please > contact me at > > daron_aston@QMAILGW.mesquite.isd.tenet.edu > > Thank you very much. > > Sincerely, > Daron Aston > Range Elementary > Mesquite, TX Daron: I believe that you and your students were seeing an "outflow boundary" pass through Mesquite TX. Although you do not mention a time, I would bet that the event took place around 8:00 AM CDT, which is 1300 UTC (Greenwich or Z time for oldtimers). These "outflow boundaries" are usually produced by thunderstorms, sometimes quite a distance away. These thunderstorms produce a an outflow of cold air at the surface, often as the storms are dying or collapsing; and this feature can travel up to 100 or 150 miles before dissipating. Although I do not have access to archived radar reports, surface reports did indicate thunderstorms to the north, scattered all along the Red River Valley, and they may have produced this "outflow boundary" that passed through the Dallas/Ft Worth region. In many ways, the leading edge of an "outflow boundary" is like a miniature cold front, causing the wind direction to change, and temperatures may drop. One of the most pronounced features, however, is a sharp rise in the barometric pressure. Listed below are reports from DFW from 6:00 AM to 8:00 AM (1100 to 1300 UTC): KDFW 141053Z 20008KT 9SM FEW120 16/16 A2981 RMK AO2 SLP088 T01610156= KDFW 141153Z 17003KT 7SM FEW025 BKN100 BKN250 17/16 A2987 RMK AO2 PRESRR SLP107 T01670161 10194 20161 53025= KDFW 141205Z 35007G18KT 7SM FEW035 SCT100 BKN250 17/16 A2991 RMK AO2 PRESRR WSHFT 1159= KDFW 141253Z 00000KT 10SM SCT032 BKN100 OVC250 19/18 A2993 RMK AO2 PRESRR SLP129 WSHFT 1159 T01940178= The altimeter setting rises from 29.81 to 29.93, a rise of 0.12 inches during a 2 hour period, which is considered "rapid". Note that the Mesquite Independent School District (ISD) does have it's own weather station that they recently purchased from Automated Weather Source, the company that I work for. Live, real-time data from Mesquite TX can be seen on the Internet at: http://www.aws.com/cgi-win/wx.exe?mesqt.obs In addition, the Mesquite ISD has purchased several copies of our educational software that can retrieve and graph the history from your weather station. I have examined the data from Mesquite, and it shows much the same effects as recorded at DFW, namely, a wind shift just before 8:00 AM CDT on May 14th, and a sharp rise in the barometer of 0.13 inches during the two hour period. In conclusion, I should mention that "outflow boundaries" can cause round, horizontal clouds called "roll clouds", and this is likely what you saw. Sometimes they can be very dramatic in appearance, but by themselves they are not generally severe. James Aman, meteorologist jaman@aws.com Automated Weather Source http://www.aws.com/ Manager, technical support department ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 25 May 1997 to 26 May 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue May 27 14:16:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102350-7102>; Tue, 27 May 1997 14:15:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA232528; Tue, 27 May 1997 01:04:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5561888 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 1997 01:04:12 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA233532 for ; Tue, 27 May 1997 01:04:12 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id BAA69267 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 1997 01:04:11 -0500 Message-ID: <199705270604.BAA69267@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 27 May 1997 01:04:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -270104 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 27792 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z MAY 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/270151Z MAY 97// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/270153Z MAY 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 270000Z9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W WAS LOCATED AT 17.3N1 124.1E8, MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W WARNING NR 06 (WTPN31 PGTW 270300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 270000Z9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W WAS LOCATED AT 10.0N1 159.8E3, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W WARNING NR 02 (WTPN32 PGTW 260300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 168E5 HAS BEEN ABSORBED INTO THE MONSOON DEPRESSION WHICH CONSTITUTES TD 06W AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 163E0 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. SEE PARAGRAPH 1.A.(2). (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13S4 170E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS AREA HAS IMPROVED IN ORGANIZATION AND INCREASED IN AREAL COVERAGE DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND THAT AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE MAY BE FORMING IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS SYSTEM. 261208Z ERS-2 SCATTEROMETRY DATA TO THE WEST OF THIS SYSTEM AS WELL AS ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS IT HAS A CLOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/FINTA/WOFFORD/HATFIELD/PUGH/BACON// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue May 27 16:13:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102565-7102>; Tue, 27 May 1997 16:13:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA24458; Tue, 27 May 1997 02:58:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5562671 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 1997 02:57:55 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA232566 for ; Tue, 27 May 1997 02:57:54 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id CAA30316 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 1997 02:57:54 -0500 Message-ID: <199705270757.CAA30316@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 27 May 1997 02:57:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -270257 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 27753 WTPN32 PGTW 270900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- 10.3N4 159.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.3N4 159.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 10.7N8 157.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 11.1N3 156.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 11.9N1 154.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 13.1N5 153.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 15.7N3 152.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 270900Z8 POSITION 10.4N5 158.7E1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W (TD 06W) IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 270530Z VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. TD 06W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWEST, THEN GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AFTER 36 HOURS. SLOW INTENSIFICATION IS ANTICIPATED THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT NFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5 (DTG 271353Z1), 272100Z2 (DTG 271953Z7), 280300Z3 (DTG 280153Z9) AND 280900Z9 (DTG 280753Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue May 27 16:43:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102410-7102>; Tue, 27 May 1997 16:43:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA234602; Tue, 27 May 1997 03:29:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5562781 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 1997 03:29:42 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA118872 for ; Tue, 27 May 1997 03:29:41 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id DAA61079 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 1997 03:29:40 -0500 Message-ID: <199705270829.DAA61079@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 27 May 1997 03:29:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -270329 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 7572 WTPN31 PGTW 270900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- 18.2N1 125.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N1 125.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 19.7N7 126.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 21.3N6 126.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 22.5N9 127.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 23.9N4 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 27.0N9 129.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 270900Z8 POSITION 18.6N5 125.4E2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (TD 05W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 270530Z VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TD 05W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE GRADUALLY TURNING TOWARD THE NORTH THROUGH 36 HOURS, THEN MOVE GENERALLY NORTHEASTWARD. INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST THROUGH 36 HOURS, THEN WEAKENING DUE TO INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9), 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5), 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7) AND 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue May 27 22:37:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102893-7102>; Tue, 27 May 1997 22:37:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA225796; Tue, 27 May 1997 09:22:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5565555 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 1997 09:21:57 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA65512 for ; Tue, 27 May 1997 09:21:56 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id JAA22430 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 1997 09:21:55 -0500 Message-ID: <199705271421.JAA22430@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 27 May 1997 09:21:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -270921 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 1 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 22939 WTPN31 PGTW 271500 1. TROPICAL STORM LEVI (05W) WARNING NR 008 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- 18.4N3 126.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.4N3 126.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 19.7N7 128.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 21.5N8 129.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 23.5N0 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 25.9N6 132.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 29.8N9 137.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 271500Z5 POSITION 18.7N6 126.5E4 TROPICAL STORM LEVI (05W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT NINE KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE TO THE NORTHEAST AND INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT TWELVE HOURS. THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A WEAKENING TREND AS LEVI ENCOUNTERS STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z2 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5), 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7), 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3) AND 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue May 27 23:07:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102519-7102>; Tue, 27 May 1997 23:06:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA229186; Tue, 27 May 1997 09:47:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5565735 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 1997 09:47:27 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA205066 for ; Tue, 27 May 1997 09:47:20 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id JAA19392 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 1997 09:47:20 -0500 Message-ID: <199705271447.JAA19392@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 27 May 1997 09:47:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -270947 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 4 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 43709 WTPN32 PGTW 262100 THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 261623Z MAY 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 261630) 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z7 --- 9.8N7 160.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.8N7 160.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 10.4N5 158.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 11.2N4 156.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 12.3N6 155.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 13.9N3 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 17.4N2 155.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 262100Z1 POSITION 9.9N8 159.7E2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W (TD 06W) HAS FORMED ABOUT 150 NM TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI. THIS SYSTEM HAD BEEN UNDER MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR EARLIER BUT CONVECTION HAS SINCE DEVELOPED NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. WE EXPECT TD 06W TO DEVELOP SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND AT A MORE CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THEREAFTER. TD 06W IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST- NORTHWESTWARD EARLY IN THE FORECAST PERIOD BEFORE MAKING A TURN NORTHWARD BEYOND 36 TO 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z7 IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 (DTG 270153Z8), 270900Z8 (DTG 270753Z4), 271500Z5 (DTG 271353Z1) AND 272100Z2 (DTG 271953Z7). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 261623Z MAY 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 261630) REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG64731461953 NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue May 27 23:10:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102893-7102>; Tue, 27 May 1997 23:10:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA189354; Tue, 27 May 1997 09:52:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5565764 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 1997 09:52:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA151960 for ; Tue, 27 May 1997 09:52:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA05884 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 1997 09:50:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705271450.JAA05884@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 27 May 1997 09:50:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 5 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 295 WTPS21 PGTW 271400 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 271355Z MAY 97// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 350 NM RADIUS OF 12.0S3 168.8E3 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 271030Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.1S4 168.8E3. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 01 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS FORMED SOUTHEAST OF THE SOLOMON ISLANDS IN RESPONSE TO STRONG WESTERLY WINDS ALONG THE EQUATOR. CONVECTION REMAINS DISORGANIZED, HOWEVER SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE DISTURBANCE HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY. 5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 281400Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed May 28 03:59:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102931-7102>; Wed, 28 May 1997 03:59:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA145084; Tue, 27 May 1997 14:42:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5568488 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 1997 14:42:01 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA117930 for ; Tue, 27 May 1997 14:42:01 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id OAA57346 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 1997 14:42:00 -0500 Message-ID: <199705271942.OAA57346@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 27 May 1997 14:42:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -271442 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 14 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 65023 WTPN31 PGTW 272100 1. TROPICAL STORM LEVI (05W) WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271800Z8 --- 19.1N1 126.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.1N1 126.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 20.5N7 127.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 22.0N4 128.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 23.3N8 129.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 24.9N5 131.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 29.1N2 136.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 272100Z2 POSITION 19.4N4 126.5E4 TROPICAL STORM LEVI (05W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT EIGHT KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT TWELVE HOURS, FOLLOWED BY WEAKENING AS IT ENCOUNTERS STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 271730 INFRARED SATELLITE FIX. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE ANALYSIS (DVORAK T2.5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z8 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7), 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3), 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0) AND 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed May 28 04:19:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103061-7102>; Wed, 28 May 1997 04:19:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA184668; Tue, 27 May 1997 14:59:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5568547 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 1997 14:59:38 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA200776 for ; Tue, 27 May 1997 14:59:37 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id OAA50145 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 1997 14:59:37 -0500 Message-ID: <199705271959.OAA50145@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 27 May 1997 14:59:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -271459 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 16 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 25566 WTPN32 PGTW 272100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271800Z8 --- 10.9N0 157.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.9N0 157.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 11.6N8 156.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 12.4N7 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 13.7N1 153.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 14.9N4 153.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 16.9N6 153.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 272100Z2 POSITION 11.1N3 157.3E6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TURN NORTHWARD WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IN RESPONSE TO AN APPROACHING MID- LATITUDE TROUGH. INTENSIFICATION WILL OCCUR AS 06W MOVES INTO AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR UNDER THE UPPER LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 271730 INFRARED SATELLITE FIX. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE ANALYSIS (DVORAK T1.0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z8 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z3 (DTG 280153Z9), 280900Z9 (DTG 280753Z5), 281500Z6 (DTG 281353Z2) AND 282100Z3 (DTG 281953Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM LEVI (05W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed May 28 10:08:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102183-787>; Wed, 28 May 1997 10:08:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA140620; Tue, 27 May 1997 20:56:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5516351 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 1997 20:56:01 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA256824 for ; Tue, 27 May 1997 20:56:00 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id UAA27691 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 1997 20:55:59 -0500 Message-ID: <199705280155.UAA27691@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 27 May 1997 20:55:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -272055 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 42024 WTPN32 PGTW 280300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 11.4N6 157.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.4N6 157.2E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 12.0N3 156.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 13.1N5 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 14.2N7 154.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 15.5N1 153.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 18.4N3 153.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 11.6N8 156.9E1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W (TD 06W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 272330Z VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TD 06W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE GRADUALLY TURNING NORTHWARD INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TC 06W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT REMAINS OVER WARM WATERS AND IN A LOW WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 9 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z9 (DTG 280753Z5), 281500Z6 (DTG 281353Z2), 282100Z3 (DTG 281953Z8) AND 290300Z4 (DTG 290153Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM LEVI (05W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed May 28 10:35:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102242-787>; Wed, 28 May 1997 10:35:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA239224; Tue, 27 May 1997 21:23:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5516535 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 1997 21:23:23 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA74342 for ; Tue, 27 May 1997 21:23:22 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id VAA55892 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 1997 21:23:22 -0500 Message-ID: <199705280223.VAA55892@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 27 May 1997 21:23:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -272123 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 51281 WTPN31 PGTW 280300 1. TROPICAL STORM LEVI (05W) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 20.1N3 126.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N3 126.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 21.6N9 127.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 23.1N6 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 24.9N5 131.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 26.7N5 133.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 30.7N0 140.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 20.5N7 126.9E8 TROPICAL STORM LEVI (05W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 272330Z VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL STORM LEVI IS NEARING PEAK INTENSITY AND IS FORECAST TO BEGIN WEAKENING IN ABOUT 6 HOURS AS IT ENCOUNTERS STRONGER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE AND GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE EAST AFTER 24 HOURS DUE TO STRONGER STEERING FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3), 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0), 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6) AND 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed May 28 13:06:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102341-787>; Wed, 28 May 1997 13:06:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA239144; Wed, 28 May 1997 00:03:16 -0500 Message-Id: <199705280503.AAA239144@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 28 May 1997 00:01:15 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 26 May 1997 to 27 May 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 4 messages totalling 120 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Wx Stations & shelters 2. TV Met Job Available 3. This Spring in Madison 4. Weather Instruments +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 27 May 1997 03:08:45 GMT From: Michael Simkowitz Subject: Re: Wx Stations & shelters SIMKOWIT@INDIANA.EDU (Michael Simkowitz) wrote: >I had a chance to talk to the people from PEET BROS at the Dayton >Hamvention last week. I was very impressed with their unit. The >sensors seem to be 1st class: gold-polymer capacitance for the >humidity sensor, a pulse anemometer. direction indicator that uses a >clever electrical phasing to resolve the direction to abt 1.5 degrees >and a rain gauage with no moving parts. When I buy another unit theirs >will be one of my options -- and they are price competitive with the >Davis. > >A number of people have posted queries on how to sheild their >temperature sensor from the sun. I have a very small problem in this >area since I am mounted on the north side of the house but in the >summer the early morning and late afternoon sun is a problem. >Here was my solution and it costs NOTHING: > I took a 10 oz. styrofooam cup and cut off the bottom; I made >two cutouts on opposite sides of the cup - each abt 1.5 " by .5". One >of these cutouts allowed me to slip the cup, top down, over the sensor >mounting bracket; the other cutout faced North and allowed for >additional circulation. The dead white styrofoam is a very good >reflector a radiant energy and the styrofoam is a super insulator >therefore the sensor was well isolated from the energy of the >sunlight. Couldn't be easier or cheaper. If you were to have to mount >the sensor either in the open or on a south wall you might want to >consider mounting the 10 oz. cup inside a 20 or 24 oz cup -- securing >it with toothpicks. That way you could cut ventalation hole in both >cups but offset them so no direct sunlight gets to the sensor. > >What do you think of it?? > >Mike Simkowitz -- KC9FF -- WxBuff ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 27 May 1997 13:35:41 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available The following job appeared in Broadcast Employment Services "TV Jobs" Web listings (http://www.tvjobs.com/index_a.htm). ..Chris.. = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = KAKE (ABC) Wichita, KS Meteorologist Full-time Meteorologist position open in Tornado Alley. Must be able to work under deadline pressure. Must be able to anchor weather along with news reporting. Must have at least a Bachelor's degree in Meteorology. Must be comfortable in forecasting severe weather. AMS and/or NWA Seal desired. Kavouras Computer experience desired. Please send resume & 3/4 tape to: Human Resources KAKE-TV 1500 N. West St. Wichita, KS 67205 *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 27 May 1997 15:56:26 CDT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: This Spring in Madison It hasn't yet hit 75 in Madison (we did hit 74 way back in early April, but that was weeks ago), so I asked the state climatologist if this is a record late occurrence of hitting 75, and it turns out that apparently it is. The previous late record for hitting 75 was 5/25, and we may not even hit 75 here 'til June! Some day we will see southwesterly flow here in the upper midwest for more than one day, I am sure. But this nw'ly flow regime has been ongoing for at least a year now, with only occasional interruptions. Sure beats 1995, though :) Scott -- Scott S. Lindstrom | The only other sound's scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | the sweep of easy http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | wind and downy flake ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 27 May 1997 15:00:16 GMT From: Michael Simkowitz Subject: Re: Weather Instruments Definely look at the stations From PEET BROS. See my recent post. dokmabe@aol.com (DokMabe) wrote: >Where and what companies are the best for setting up an at home weather >station linked to Windows ? > > >Thank you > >Dale Mabe >Tulsa Oklahoma Mike Simkowitz -- KC9FF -- WxBuff ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 26 May 1997 to 27 May 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed May 28 13:40:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102194-787>; Wed, 28 May 1997 13:40:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA32802; Wed, 28 May 1997 00:25:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5518019 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 May 1997 00:24:55 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA184592 for ; Wed, 28 May 1997 00:24:54 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA25390 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 May 1997 00:24:54 -0500 Message-ID: <199705280524.AAA25390@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 28 May 1997 00:24:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -280024 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 30763 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z MAY 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/280151Z MAY 97// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/280153Z MAY 97// REF/C/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/271355Z MAY 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 280000Z0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W WAS LOCATED AT 20.1N3 126.6E5, MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W WARNING NR 10 (WTPN31 PGTW 280300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 280000Z0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W WAS LOCATED AT 11.4N6 157.2E5, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W WARNING NR 06 (WTPN32 PGTW 280300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13S4 170E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.3S8 167.3E7 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF C (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 271400)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/FINTA/WOFFORD/PUGH/BACON// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed May 28 15:33:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102468-787>; Wed, 28 May 1997 15:32:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA210504; Wed, 28 May 1997 02:19:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5518672 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 May 1997 02:19:25 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA233526 for ; Wed, 28 May 1997 02:19:24 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id CAA42179 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 May 1997 02:19:24 -0500 Message-ID: <199705280719.CAA42179@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 28 May 1997 02:19:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -280219 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 62656 WTPN32 PGTW 280900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- 11.9N1 156.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.9N1 156.7E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 12.8N1 155.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 13.7N1 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 14.9N4 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 16.3N0 153.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 19.4N4 153.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 280900Z9 POSITION 12.1N4 156.5E7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W (TD 06W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed May 28 17:16:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102469-787>; Wed, 28 May 1997 17:16:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA24448; Wed, 28 May 1997 04:02:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5518893 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 May 1997 04:02:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA239212 for ; Wed, 28 May 1997 04:02:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id EAA28962 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 May 1997 04:00:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705280900.EAA28962@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 28 May 1997 04:00:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 23 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 826 WTPS31 PGTW 280900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 37P WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- 14.3S8 167.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 170 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.3S8 167.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 15.6S2 167.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 17.2S0 168.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 18.9S8 169.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 20.7S9 170.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 280900Z9 POSITION 14.6S1 167.4E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 37P (TC 37P) HAS FORMED NORTHEAST OF ESPIRITU SANTU ISLAND AND IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 6 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 280530Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 280425Z VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TC 37P IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY TURN EASTWARD AND ACCELERATE IN STEERING FLOW BETWEEN A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST AND A MID-LEVEL TROUGH TO THE SOUTHWEST. TC 37P IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY THROUGH 24 HOURS, THEN WEAKEN AFTER IT ENCOUNTERS STRONGER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6) AND 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 271355Z MAY 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 271400).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed May 28 17:18:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102400-787>; Wed, 28 May 1997 17:18:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA239266; Wed, 28 May 1997 04:03:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5518898 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 May 1997 04:03:11 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA24462 for ; Wed, 28 May 1997 04:03:11 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id EAA25623 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 May 1997 04:03:10 -0500 Message-ID: <199705280903.EAA25623@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 28 May 1997 04:03:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -280403 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 24 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 48916 WTPN31 PGTW 280900 1. TROPICAL STORM LEVI (05W) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- 21.1N4 126.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N4 126.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 23.2N7 127.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 25.0N7 128.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 26.6N4 131.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 27.9N8 134.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 31.0N4 141.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 280900Z9 POSITION 21.6N9 126.7E6 TROPICAL STORM LEVI (05W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 280530Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF 280530Z AND 280606Z VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL STORM LEVI IS CURRENTLY MOVING NORTHWARD IN STEERING FLOW BETWEEN A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST AND A MID-LEVEL TROUGH TO THE WEST. AFTER 12 HOURS, TROPICAL STORM LEVI IS FORECAST TO TURN EASTWARD AS IT ENCOUNTERS STEERING FLOW FROM THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. TROPICAL STORM LEVI SHOULD ALSO BEGIN WEAKENING AFTER IT TURNS EASTWARD DUE TO INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0), 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6), 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8) AND 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed May 28 21:16:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102572-787>; Wed, 28 May 1997 21:16:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA264456; Wed, 28 May 1997 07:59:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5519920 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 May 1997 07:59:12 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA122100 for ; Wed, 28 May 1997 07:59:11 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id HAA18417 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 May 1997 07:59:11 -0500 Message-ID: <199705281259.HAA18417@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 28 May 1997 07:59:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -280759 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 25 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 60910 WTPN31 PGTW 281500 1. TROPICAL STORM LEVI (05W) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- 22.2N6 127.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.2N6 127.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 24.7N3 128.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 27.0N9 130.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 29.0N1 133.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 30.9N2 137.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 36.2N1 146.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 281500Z6 POSITION 22.8N2 127.7E7 TROPICAL STORM LEVI (05W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS REACHED ITS FORECAST PEAK INTENSITY OF 45 KNOTS AND SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE WEST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z3 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6), 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8), 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4) AND 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu May 29 02:16:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102576-787>; Thu, 29 May 1997 02:16:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA82914; Wed, 28 May 1997 13:03:27 -0500 Message-Id: <199705281803.NAA82914@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 28 May 1997 13:00:18 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 27 May 1997 to 28 May 1997 - Special issue To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Status: X-UID: 1 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 10 messages totalling 867 lines in this issue. Topics in this special issue: 1. Ultimeter Software Beta Testers Needed 2. Subject: NWA 1997 ANNUAL MEETING 3. Subject: NWA Meteorological Satellite Applications Award 4. Texas Tornado 5. Tropical Cyclone Name History 6. Full Disk Satellite Needed... 7. AccuWeather to launch new weather chat forum (2) 8. TV Met Position Available at my station 9. Individual LSRs - Summary +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 28 May 1997 03:36:33 GMT From: Steve Hajducek Subject: Ultimeter Software Beta Testers Needed Hello All, I am currently involved in an independant development effort of MS-Windows software in support of the Peet Bros. Co. series of Ultimeter weather stations. This software application, named SkyWarn/2001(tm), is at present a 16 bit application that will run under MS-Windows v3.1 and up. It fully supports the Ultimeter models II, 500 and 2000 for near-real time data display and logging. Furthermore, it completely supports the Complete Record Mode of the 2000 for access to long term data. At present the software is in Alpha, with Beta being planned for the month of June '97. What I am looking for is volunteers, preferably one or two from each state, and anywhere outside the U.S., for each of the three Ultimeter models. What is needed to qualify is a willingness to test new software, that may not always work correctly, and the required minimum Intel 386DX25 PC (or compatiable) with 8MB RAM, SVGA graphics, 800 x 600 or better in small fonts and one of the Ultimeter models with all supporting sensors for said model. Anyone interested, please visit my website and either use the beta form at the bottom of the main page or send me an e-mail outlining your capabilities and interest, additional preliminary information on the software can be found at the website, along with some sample screen captures. The URL is: http://www.qth.com/n2ckh.bytewise.org I would like to thank everyone for their time in reading and considering the contents of this request. /s/ Steve, N2CKH ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 28 May 1997 07:32:32 -0400 From: Floyd Hauth Subject: Subject: NWA 1997 ANNUAL MEETING ANNUAL NWA MEETING ANNOUNCEMENT and CALL FOR PAPERS The National Weather Associations twenty-second Annual Meeting will be held 19-24 October 1997 in Reno, Nevada at the Harrahs Casino Hotel and its adjoining Hampton Inn. The Program Committee welcomes papers on a wide variety of topics relating to OPERATIONAL meteorology, hydrology, weather broadcasting and related activities. SUCCESS STORIES in using the new technologies and in tailoring (adding value to) weather support products to fit user needs are also welcome. An exhibit area will also be available. The meeting agenda will consist of oral presentations, poster sessions, training workshops, exhibits and panel discussions. Special training workshop sessions oriented to media weathercasters will be scheduled for 19 October 1997. As always, all sessions will be open to everyone. Individual authors and agencies wishing to make presentations or lead workshops should please submit one page abstracts by 1 July 1997 to the Program Co-Chairpersons, John Jannuzzi and David Billingsley at: National Weather Service Forecast Office 3833 South Development Ave Bldg 3807 Boise, Idaho 83705-5354 Tel: (208) 334-9861 FAX: (208) 334-1660 e-mail: John.Jannuzzi@noaa.gov Submissions by e-mail are encouraged; submissions by regular mail should include a copy on floppy disk. Please indicate your desire for poster, oral or workshop session and include a mailing address, phone number, e-mail address, and a list of required audio-visual equipment. A special effort will be made to accommodate all submissions. Notification of abstract acceptance will be sent to all respondents by 15 August 1997. To assist with the Weathercaster Workshop program, please contact: John McLaughlin, KCCI-TV, Des Moines IA, (515) 247-888; e-mail: johnmc49@ecity.net For information on exhibits, contact the NWA office Tel/FAX: (334) 213-0388;or email: NatWeaAsoc@aol.com Additional information regarding transportation, and pre-registration will be available in future NWA Newsletters and on the NWA's home page. A block of rooms has been reserved at the Hampton Inn at Harrahs Reno, 175 East Second Street, Reno, Nevada. NWA attendee rates for a deluxe double or deluxe king room are: $69 for Saturday night and $55 Sunday through Friday nights. Rates include complimentary breakfast and airport shuttle. Call in reservations to 1-800-367-9544 by 19 September 1997 and mention the National Weather Association Annual Meeting. Advance plans are being made for the 1998 NWA Annual Meeting to be held 18-23 October 1998 in/near Norman, Oklahoma. Mike Vescio has volunteered to be Program Chairperson. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 28 May 1997 07:35:25 -0400 From: Floyd Hauth Subject: Subject: NWA Meteorological Satellite Applications Award NEW NWA AWARD FOR 1997! THE NWA METEOROLOGICAL SATELLITE APPLICATIONS AWARD The Meteorological Satellite Applications Award has been established by the National Weather Association to stimulate interest and foster the study and use of satellite remote sensing data in weather forecasting. Undergraduate students are invited to write an original paper on meteorological satellite applications. Themes of the papers may include original research, case studies, or a survey of applications. The recipient of the award will receive a stipend of $500 and be invited to present their paper at the NWA Annual Meeting (19-24 October 1997). This award is sponsored by Frances Holt, Chair of the NWA Remote Sensing Committee. The student must be enrolled as an undergraduate at the time the paper is written and be in good academic standing at their college or university. The student also must be a U.S. citizen or hold permanent resident status. DEADLINE: 15 JUNE 1997 Submission of Papers: Student papers should not exceed ten (10) pages including photographs and appendices. Authors should send: - an original and three copies of their paper, - a letter of application from the author with the paper title, university affiliation and contact information including mailing address, phone, FAX, and e-mail if available, and - a letter from the Department Head or other faculty member that confirms that the author was an undergraduate student when the paper was written and that the student is in good academic standing at the college or university. Additionally this letter should highlight the original research or contributions the student has made to this paper. Submissions should be sent to: National Weather Association Attn: Meteorological Satellite Applications Award 6704 Wolke Court Montgomery AL 36116-2134. For further information, contact the NWA office at (334) 213-0388 or via e-mail at: NatWeaAsoc@aol.com ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 28 May 1997 09:27:33 -0700 From: Michael Brennan Subject: Texas Tornado Here is the latest LSR from the Williamson County, Texas Tornado: 115 WWUS30 KSAT 281040 LSRSAT PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TEXAS 540 AM CST WED MAY 28 1997 TIME(CST) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... ....COUNTY LOCATION.... 0355 PM GEORGETOWN TX .75 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 WILLIAMSON 0355 PM 6 N GEORGETOWN TX TORNADO 05/27/97 WILLIAMSON ALONG I-35 0400 PM LEANDER TX TORNADO 05/27/97 WILLIAMSON 0404 PM CEDAR PARK TX TORNADO 05/27/97 WILLIAMSON NUMEROUS INJURIES. NUMBER OF DEATHS UNKNOWN. 0415 PM CARTA VALLEY TX .75 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 EDWARDS 0415 PM AUSTIN TX TORNADO 05/27/97 TRAVIS AUSTIN PD REPORTED TORNADO ON GROUND NEAR 2222 AND ANDERSON MILL 0415 PM JARRELL TX TORNADO 05/27/97 WILLIAMSON *** 32 DEAD *** 0430 PM BARKSDALE TX .88 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 REAL 0436 PM AUSTIN TX 58 MPH TSTM GUST 05/27/97 TRAVIS 0445 PM ROUND ROCK TX 60 MPH TSTM GUST 05/27/97 WILLIAMSON 0450 PM AUSTIN TX TORNADO 05/27/97 TRAVIS TORNADO ON GROUND NEAR LAKEWAY AND 620 0450 PM 26 SSW ROCKSPRINGS TX 1.75 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 EDWARDS 0505 PM JARRELL TX TORNADO 05/27/97 WILLIAMSON REPORT OF CASUATLIES AND MULTIPLE INJURIES 0515 PM CEDAR PARK TX TORNADO 05/27/97 WILLIAMSON REPORT OF GROCERY STORE COLLAPSE IN CEDAR PARK. 0520 PM AUSTIN TX 63 MPH TSTM GUST 05/27/97 TRAVIS 0520 PM AUSTIN MUELLER ARPT TX 71 MPH TSTM GUST 05/27/97 TRAVIS 0527 PM AUSTIN TX 64 MPH TSTM GUST 05/27/97 TRAVIS 0530 PM AUSTIN TX FLOODING 05/27/97 TRAVIS *** 1 DEAD *** DROWNING OCCURRED IN SHOAL CREEK 0530 PM DRIPPING SPRINGS TX .88 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 HAYS REPORTED BY COOP OBSERVER 0545 PM KENDALIA TX TORNADO 05/27/97 BLANCO SHERIFF REPORTS TORNADO IN SW BLANCO COUNTY MOVING TOWARDS KENDALIA 0550 PM BLANCO TX .75 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 BLANCO 0550 PM DRIFTWOOD TX 1.75 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 HAYS REPORTED BY SHERIFFS DEPT 0600 PM BLANCO TX .88 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 BLANCO 0608 PM BLANCO TX TORNADO 05/27/97 BLANCO TORNADO ON GROUND SW OF BLANCO 0632 PM SAN MARCOS TX .5 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 HAYS 0635 PM ELGIN TX .88 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 BASTROP 0627 PM NEW BRAUNFLES TX 51 MPH TSTM GUST 05/27/97 COMAL REPORTED NEW BRAUNFLES MUNI AIRPORT 0640 PM SEGUIN TX WIND DAMAGE 05/27/97 GUADALUPE PLANE FLIPPED AT SEGUIN AIRPORT 0645 PM SAN MARCOS TX .75 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 HAYS 0645 PM CANYON LAKE TX .75 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 COMAL 0700 PM UTOPIA TX TORNADO 05/27/97 UVALDE SHERIFF REPORTED TORNADO ON GROUND 0703 PM MOUNTAIN HOME TX TORNADO 05/27/97 KERR TORNADO REPORTED ALONG I-10 IN KERR COUNTY 0730 PM SISTERDALE TX TORNADO 05/27/97 KENDALL HAM REPORTED POSSIBLE TORNADO ON GROUND 0805 PM SAN ANTONIO TX 71 MPH TSTM GUST 05/27/97 BEXAR REPORTED BY NWS EMPLOYEE 0810 PM DEL RIO TX .88 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 VAL VERDE DIME TO NICKEL HAIL REPORTS 0810 PM GONZALES TX TORNADO 05/27/97 GONZALES NUMEROUS FUNNEL CLOUDS REPORTED BY DPS 0803 PM SAN ANTONIO TX 122 MPH TSTM GUST 05/27/97 BEXAR REPORTED BY OBSERVER AT KELLY AFB 0815 PM SAN ANTONIO TX 55 MPH TSTM GUST 05/27/97 BEXAR AT SAN ANTONIO INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT 0830 PM DEVINE TX .75 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 MEDINA 0836 PM DEL RIO TX 61 MPH TSTM GUST 05/27/97 VAL VERDE AT DEL RIO AIRPORT 0845 PM TX FLOODING 05/27/97 GONZALES WATER OVER ROADS IN NE 0855 PM DILLEY TX 1 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 FRIO 0855 PM DEL RIO TX 1.75 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 VAL VERDE 0900 PM BLANCO TX FLOODING 05/27/97 BLANCO ROADS CLOSED COUNTYWIDE ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 28 May 1997 09:54:00 -0500 From: "Padgett, James G." Subject: Tropical Cyclone Name History Below is a history of the usage of the names in this year's hurricane naming sets for the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific. The years indicated are the occasions when the name was actually assigned to a cyclone. For a few names, I've listed some years in which a variant spelling or else a very similar name was used. Atlantic -------- ANA 1979, 1985, 1991 (ANNA - 1956, 1961, 1965, 1969, 1976) BILL new CLAUDETTE 1979, 1985, 1991 DANNY 1985, 1991 ERIKA 1991 FABIAN 1985, 1991 GRACE 1991 (GRACIE - 1959) HENRI 1979, 1985 ISABEL 1985 (ISBELL - 1964) JUAN 1985 KATE 1985 (KATIE - 1955) The names LARRY, MINDY, NICHOLAS, ODETTE, PETER, ROSE, SAM, TERESA, VICTOR, and WANDA have never been assigned as storm names in the Atlantic basin. Several of these latter names have been utilized at various times in the Western North Pacific and in the Southern Hemisphere. BILL replaces BOB, retired after 1991. Eastern Pacific --------------- ANDRES 1979, 1985, 1991 BLANCA 1966, 1970, 1974, 1979, 1985, 1991 CARLOS 1979, 1985, 1991 DOLORES 1966, 1974, 1979, 1985 (See Note) ENRIQUE 1979, 1985, 1991 FELICIA new GUILLERMO 1979, 1985, 1991 HILDA 1979, 1985, 1991 IGNACIO 1979, 1985, 1991 JIMENA 1979, 1985, 1991 KEVIN 1985, 1991 LINDA 1985, 1991 MARTY 1985, 1991 NORA 1985, 1991 OLAF 1985 PAULINE 1961, 1968, 1985 RICK 1985 SANDRA 1985 TERRY 1985 VIVIAN 1985 WALDO 1985 XINA 1985 YORK never used ZELDA never used FELICIA replaces FEFA, retired after 1991. ZELDA has never been assigned to an Eastern Pacific storm, but has been the name of some Western Pacific typhoons. Note: The name DOLORES was assigned in 1970 to a system that later was considered to have been only a tropical depression. In 1991, for some inexplicable reason, the name of the fourth storm was spelled DELORES (in my opinion, a typographical error when the first advisory was issued). ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 28 May 1997 10:05:04 -0500 From: Paul Lindgren Subject: Full Disk Satellite Needed... I would like to find full disk visible satellite imagery from GOES-8, GOES-9, GMS-5, and Meteosat. The GOES is no problem...I have had more trouble with the others. Am looking for sources of each that would be updated fairly regularly and with some kind of consistency in scale/boundaries for the views from the different spacecraft. Any suggestions for me? Thanks. Paul """""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""" Paul D. Lindgren (lindgren@pluggers.esu8.k12.ne.us) The Atmospheric Field Trip: http://162.127.88.3/skyviews/ Coordinator of Technology Services Atmospheric Education Resource Agent Norfolk Public Schools AMS Project Atmosphere 510 Pasewalk Avenue Fax: (402) 379-1326 Norfolk, Nebraska 68701 Voice: (402) 644-2584 "He who forms the mountains, creates the wind, and reveals his thoughts to man, he who turns dawn to darkness, and treads the high places of the earth--the LORD God Almighty is his name." Amos 4.13 """""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""" ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 28 May 1997 10:45:08 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: AccuWeather to launch new weather chat forum The following appeared in SHOPTALK, an Internet-based TV news publication. For more information in SHOPTALK see http://www.tvspy.com. ..Chris.. = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = AccuWeather Inc. said it has created the Internet's first meteorology chat forum. By logging on the site Web site (http://www.chat.accuweather.com:4080) directly or through links provide on the AccuWeather home page, users can have live discussions with AccuWeather experts as well as broadcast personalities and other guests. Visitors to the site are invited to submit questions or subjects they'd like to have addressed, and they'll find listings of upcoming forums so that users can prepare questions or a list of subject ideas. All dialogue will be archived. Another service from the State College, PA-based company, Your Personal AccuWeather, is being tested and is slated for launch on June 30. AccuWeather provides data to a number of offline and online outlets, including the Associated Press, CNN Interactive, PointCast, Microsoft Sidewalk, Web TV, CompuServe and Netscape In-Box. (Cowles/Simba Media Daily) *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 28 May 1997 11:05:33 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Position Available at my station The following job appeared in SHOPTALK. This happens to be *my* TV station and I didn't know anything about it! I asked the news director if he could give me any more specific information about what WX position this is (mornings, weekends, main WX) but he said he can't give that info out yet. This suggests to me that the station is looking to fill a position that the current incumbent doesn't know he is about to become vacant! It could also mean one of our met people has accepted another job and management doesn't want to let officially let the cat out of the bag yet. Hard to say. WSIL is a 77 market station in rural southern Illinois. The weather department has a new Kavouras Triton i7 weather graphics unit and a pretty decent feed of weather products. Our chief meteorologist, Jim Rasor, is very knowledgeable and is a *real* forecaster --not a rip and read guy. He can teach you a lot. WSIL is not known for generous pay checks but it is a good place to get your foot in the door and gain some valuable on-air experience before moving on to bigger and better markets. Anyone interested in this position should contact WSIL, per the job announcement, but feel free to contact me for additional information --if there's anything else I can provide. ..Chris.. = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = WEATHER (WSIL) Do you eat, breath and sleep weather? Midwest affiliate in the tornado belt looking for just the right person to enhance the depth in our weather department. Tape should include a full weather cast and a severe weather cut-in. Position includes some reporting. We have the latest Kavouris weather equipment and use it to make our own forecast. Send VHS or 3/4" non-returnable tape to Don Brown, News Director at 1416 Country Aire Dr., Carterville, IL 62918. EOE *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 28 May 1997 12:49:26 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: AccuWeather to launch new weather chat forum > AccuWeather Inc. said it has created the Internet's first meteorology > chat forum. I guess they are ignoring the #weather channel on Undernet IRC! Anyways -- talk about a chat. Elliot Abrams answered questions from the public. Like "can lightning kill you." "When will it get warm in (insert city name)." He ignored any questions that required a 'real' answer, including several I had about AccuWeather's customer service, NIDS access, etc. (They tell me that customers have no need for Storm-Relative Velocity maps because they already offer base velocity, and 2km composite reflectivity isn't any better resolution than 4km...) He claimed that you cannot get radar velocity data on the Internet (wrong), and that they can put lightning strike data on their web page, however the Internet is so slow that by the time it gets to the users it would be no good. Whatever... Rob ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 28 May 1997 12:59:59 -0500 From: Steve Adams Subject: Individual LSRs - Summary Wx-talkers, Since SPC is having computer problems and will not be creating the 12Z LSR summary file (WWUS60 KMKC) today (5/28/97), as a public service I am posting a file that is created from parsing the individual LSRs from the issuing offices (WWUS30s). This file is in a form designed to be imported into a spreadsheet, so it is ugly to look at. However, I figured this data was better than nothing considering the number of reports of severe weather yesterday. The info in this comma delimited file is slightly different from the summary file. The elements are: date, time (local), state, location, county, event type, event magnitude (hail size or wind speed), and description. The main differences are that time is in local time instead of the summary file's conversion to Central Standard time and that this file contains the county and not lat/lon while the summary file contains lat/lon and not county. Also, this file may contain multiple reports for the same event. This is due to corrections and updates of the WWUS30s. For example, there are 4 reports about the tornado in Jarrell, Texas. The 1st report had a wrong time (505pm), so they issued another version to correct the time (405pm). The 3rd report changed the time again (415pm) and reported 30 dead. The 4th report updated the body count to 32. Hope it is of some use to someone.... and my apologies to those who are not interested and need to scroll past it! :-) 05/28/97 , 0100 AM, MS,STRINGER,JASPER,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE FEW TREES DOWN 05/28/97 , 0105 AM, MS,5 SE SUMRALL,LAMAR,H, 0.88,.88 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0120 AM, AR,BONO,CRAIGHEAD,H, 1.00,1 INCH HAIL QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED BY SPOTTER. 05/27/97 , 0125 AM, AR,BONO,CRAIGHEAD,H, 2.75,2.75 INCH HAIL BASEBALL SIZE HAIL REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS. 05/28/97 , 0125 AM, MS,HATTIESBURG,FORREST,H, 0.88,.88 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 130 AM, OK,1 E ORD,CHOCTAW,H, 1.00,1.00 INCH HAIL 05/28/97 , 0130 AM, MS,0130,JONES,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE TREES DOWNED THROUGHOUT THE COUNTY 05/28/97 , 0145 AM, MS,5 E ENTERPRISE,CLARKE,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE TREES DOWNED 05/27/97 , 0155 AM, AR,5 N JONESBORO,CRAIGHEAD,T, 0.00,TORNADO POSSIBLE TORNADO REPORTED ALONG HIGHWAY 49 BY CRAIGHEAD COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE. 05/27/97 , 0155 AM, AR,LAKE CATHERINE,GARLAND, , 0.00,65 MPH TSTM GUST 05/27/97 , 0248 AM, AR,VANNDALE,CROSS,T, 0.00,TORNADO MOBILE HOME OVERTURNED WITH PEOPLE MISSING. ALSO SEVERAL BUILDINGS DESTROYED WITH NUMEROUS POWER LINES AND TREES DOWNED. 05/27/97 , 0310 AM, AR,FURLOW,LONOKE,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN. 05/27/97 , 0330 AM, AR,MARION,CRITTENDEN,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED BY CRITTENDEN COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE. 05/27/97 , 0345 AM, TN,BRIGHTON,TIPTON,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE NUMEROUS TREES AND POWER LINES DOWNED BETWEEN BRIGHTON AND COVINGTON REPORTED BY TIPTON COUNTY SHERRIFS OFFICE 05/27/97 , 0400 AM, TN,MEMPHIS,SHELBY,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED AT WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. 05/27/97 , 0410 AM, TN,COLLIERVILLE,SHELBY,H, 0.88,.88 INCH HAIL NICKEL SIZE HAIL REPORTED BY HAM OPERATOR. 05/28/97 , 0415 AM, LA,5 W MONROE,OUACHITA,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0435 AM, TN,SOMERVILLE,FAYETTE,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED BY HAM OPERATOR. 05/27/97 , 0438 AM, MS,PACE,BOLIVAR,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE WINDOW BLOWN OUT OF HOUSE 05/27/97 , 0445 AM, AR,CROSSETT,ASHLEY,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE POWER LINES DOWN 05/27/97 , 0455 AM, MS,RULEVILLE,SUNFLOWER,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0500 AM, TN,WHITEVILLE,HARDEMAN,H, 0.88,.88 INCH HAIL NICKEL SIZE HAIL REPORTED BY SPOTTER 05/27/97 , 0515 AM, AR,LAKE VILLAGE,CHICOT,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0555 AM, MS,CHARLESTON,TALLAHATCHIE,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE TREES DOWNED ACROSS ROADWAY REPORTED BY TALLAHATCHIE COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE. 05/27/97 , 0557 AM, MS,8 W HOLLANDALE,WASHINGTON,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL 5/27/97 , 915 AM, GA,10NW ATLANTA,FULTON,H, 0.90,.90 INCH HAIL TIME 915 -920 AM 5/27/97 , 950 AM, GA,10N ATLANTA,FULTON,H, 0.90,.90 INCH HAIL 5/27/97 , 1000 AM, GA,DUNWOODY-SANDY SPRINGS,FULTON,H, 0.75,0.75 INCH HAIL TIME 1000-1005 AM 5/27/97 , 1000 AM, GA,SANDY SPRINGS,FULTON,H, 1.00,1.00 INCH HAIL 5/27/97 , 1017 AM, GA,NORCROSS,GWINNETT,H, 0.75,0.75 INCH HAIL 5/27/97 , 1111 AM, GA,COUNTY WIDE,PEACH,H, 0.75,0.75 INCH HAIL 5/27/97 , 1130 AM, GA,PERRY,HOUSTON,H, 1.25,1.25 INCH HAIL 5/27/97 , 1136 AM, GA,SARGENT,COWETA,H, 1.00,1.00 INCH HAIL 5/27/97 , 1141 AM, GA,NEWNAN,COWETA,H, 0.90,.90 INCH HAIL 5/27/97 , 1144 AM, GA,3N NEWNAN,COWETA,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL PICTURES KNOCKED OFF WALLS 5/27/97 , 1145 AM, GA,2N NEWNAN,COWETA,H, 1.00,1.00 INCH HAIL 5/27/97 , 1150 AM, GA,NEWNAN,COWETA,H, 0.75,0.75 INCH HAIL 5/27/97 , 1150 AM, GA,NEWNAN,COWETA,H, 1.00,1.00 INCH HAIL LASTED FOR ABOUT 15 MINUTES 05/28/97 , 1210 AM, LA,2 W LEESVILLE,VERNON,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE SHERIFF OFFICE REPORTED TREES DOWN ON HIGHWAY 8 05/28/97 , 1215 AM, LA,LEESVILLE,VERNON,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL REPORTED BY LEESVILLE POLICE DEPARTMENT 05/28/97 , 1225 AM, MS,3 N COLLINS,COVINGTON,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE LARGE LIMBS DOWNED ACROSS A ROAD 05/28/97 , 1240 AM, MS,STURGIS,OKTIBBEHA,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL 05/28/97 , 1245 AM, FL,KENDALL,DADE,H, 0.00,HAIL NWS EMPLOYEE REPORTED DIME SIZED HAIL AT INTERSECTION OF KENDALL AND GALLOWAY. 05/28/97 , 1251 AM, FL,KENDALL,DADE,H, 0.00,ESTIMATED WIND GUST 40 TO 50 MPH ALONG WITH PEA SIZED HAIL AT DADELAND AT SW 72 AVE AND US 1 05/27/97 , 0110 PM, GA,SNIPESVILLE,JEFF DAVIS,H, 1.00,1 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0110 PM, TX,HEWITT,MCLENNAN,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0124 PM, TX,3 W LORENA,MCLENNAN,T, 0.00,TORNADO 05/27/97 , 0154 PM, TX,2 W LORENA,MCLENNAN,T, 0.00,TORNADO SEVERAL MOBILE HOMES DAMAGED AND ONE HOUSE DESTROYED 05/27/97 , 0154 PM, TX,2 W LORENA,MCLENNAN,T, 0.00,TORNADO SEVERAL MOBILE HOMES DAMAGED ONE HOUSE DESTROYED 05/27/97 , 0159 PM, TX,1 E MOODY,MCLENNAN,T, 0.00,TORNADO BUILDINGS DAMAGED 05/27/97 , 0205 PM, TX,BRUCEVILLE,MCLENNAN,H, 2.75,2.75 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0206 PM, TX,EDDY,FALLS,H, 2.75,2.75 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0208 PM, GA,2 W ASHBURN,TURNER,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE SEVERAL LARGE TREES DOWN ACROSS GA HIGHWAY 32. REPORTED BY GEMA. 05/27/97 , 0209 PM, TX,BRUCEVILLE,MCLENNAN,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0215 PM, CO,3 NW FORT MORGAN,MORGAN,T, 0.00,UNCONFIRMED TORNADO 05/27/97 , 0220 PM, GA,ALMA,BACON,H, 0.88,.88 INCH HAIL NORTH OF ALMA 05/27/97 , 0225 PM, TX,TROY,BELL,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0230 PM, TX,TATUM 3NE,PANOLA,H, 1.25,1.25 INCH HAIL NWS COOP OBSERVER ON RUSK-PANOLA COUNTY LINE REPORTED HAIL ON BOTH SIDES OF THE ROAD THAT IS THE COUNTY LINE THAT COVERED THE GROUND AND LASTED 3 MINS. 05/27/97 , 0230 PM, TX,TATUM 3NE,RUSK,H, 1.25,1.25 INCH HAIL NWS COOP OBSERVER ON RUSK-PANOLA COUNTY LINE REPORTED HAIL ON BOTH SIDES OF THE ROAD THAT IS THE COUNTY LINE. HAIL COVERED GROUND AND LASTED 3 MINS. 5/27/97 , 230 PM, GA,COBB,SUMTER,H, 0.75,0.75 INCH HAIL TIME 230-245 PM 05/27/97 , 0231 PM, TX,BELTON,BELL,T, 0.00,TORNADO 05/27/97 , 0240 PM, TX,3 N BELTON,BELL,T, 0.00,TORNADO 05/27/97 , 0254 PM, TX,3 W BELTON,BELL,T, 0.00,TORNADO TORNADO BETWEEN NOLANVILLE AND BELTON 05/27/97 , 0255 PM, GA,BLACKSHEAR,PIERCE,H, 1.00,1 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0255 PM, TX,ATLANTA,CASS,H, 0.50,.5 INCH HAIL REPORTED BY FIRE DEPARTMENT. 05/27/97 , 0305 PM, TX,BLOOMING GROVE,NAVARRO,T, 0.00,TORNADO 05/27/97 , 0310 PM, TX,DOUGLASSVILLE,CASS,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0310 PM, TX,JEFFERSON,MARION,H, 2.75,2.75 INCH HAIL REPORT RELAYED BY KSLA TV-12 05/27/97 , 0315 PM, TX,JEFFERSON,MARION,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL REPORT RELAYED BY KSLA TV-12 05/26/97 , 0320 PM, SC,CHOPPEE,GEORGETOWN,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE TREES UPROOTED BY HIGH WINDS 05/27/97 , 0320 PM, GA,BLACKSHEAR,PIERCE,H, 1.00,1 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0330 PM, LA,VIVIAN,CADDO,H, 1.00,1 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0350 PM, AR,RAVANA,MILLER,H, 1.00,1 INCH HAIL NICKLE TO QUARTER SIZED HAIL REPORTED. 05/27/97 , 0350 PM, GA,HOMERVILLE,CLINCH,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE EMA REPORTED TREES DOWN BLOCKING RT441 SOUTH OF HOMERVILLE 05/27/97 , 0350 PM, TX,2 W HUBBARD,HILL,T, 0.00,TORNADO 05/27/97 , 0350 PM, TX,JEFFERSON,MARION,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0355 PM, TX,6 N GEORGETOWN,WILLIAMSON,T, 0.00,TORNADO ALONG I-35 05/27/97 , 0355 PM, TX,GEORGETOWN,WILLIAMSON,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0356 PM, AR,BRIGHT STAR,MILLER,H, 3.00,3 INCH HAIL TWO TO THREE INCH HAIL FALLING IN SOUTHWEST MILLER COUNTY BREAKING WINDOWS OF HOME. REPORT RELAYED BY KSLA TV-12. 05/27/97 , 0400 PM, TX,LEANDER,WILLIAMSON,T, 0.00,TORNADO 05/27/97 , 0402 PM, TX,THREE STATES,CASS,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL DIME SIZED HAIL REPORTED 05/27/97 , 0404 PM, TX,CEDAR PARK,WILLIAMSON,T, 0.00,TORNADO NUMEROUS INJURIES. NUMBER OF DEATHS UNKNOWN. 05/27/97 , 0405 PM, TX,JARRELL,WILLIAMSON,T, 0.00,TORNADO REPORTS OF FATALITIES AND MULTIPLE INJURIES 05/27/97 , 0408 PM, TX,ATLANTA,CASS,H, 1.00,1 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0415 PM, CO,1 E GREELY,WELD,H, 1.00,1.00 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0415 PM, CO,3 E EVANS,WELD,H, 1.00,1.00 INCH HAIL COVERING GROUND 05/27/97 , 0415 PM, TX,AUSTIN,TRAVIS,T, 0.00,TORNADO AUSTIN PD REPORTED TORNADO ON GROUND NEAR 2222 AND ANDERSON MILL 05/27/97 , 0415 PM, TX,CARTA VALLEY,EDWARDS,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0415 PM, TX,JARRELL,WILLIAMSON,T, 0.00,TORNADO *** 30 DEAD *** 05/27/97 , 0415 PM, TX,JARRELL,WILLIAMSON,T, 0.00,TORNADO *** 32 DEAD *** 05/27/97 , 0415 PM, TX,CEDAR PARK,WILLIAMSON,T, 0.00,TORNADO REPORT OF GROCERY STORE COLLAPSE IN CEDAR PARK. REPORTS OF FATALITIES AND MULTIPLE INJURIES 05/27/97 , 0420 PM, TX,ELYSIAN FIELDS,HARRISON,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL GOFLBALL SIZED HAIL REPORTED AT ELYSIAN FIELDS. 05/27/97 , 0429 PM, TX,COOLIDGE,LIMESTONE, , 0.00,WIND POWER LINES DOWN 05/27/97 , 0430 PM, FL,HASTINGS,ST JOHNS,H, 1.00,1 INCH HAIL REPORT FROM 6 MILES EAST OF HASTINGS 05/27/97 , 0430 PM, FL,PALATKA,PUTNAM,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE TREE REPORTED DOWN ON WEST SIDE OF PALATKA ON DIANA DRIVE 05/27/97 , 0430 PM, TX,BARKSDALE,REAL,H, 0.88,.88 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 430 PM, AR,LESLIE,SEARCY,H, 0.88,.88 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0436 PM, TX,AUSTIN,TRAVIS, , 0.00,58 MPH TSTM GUST 05/27/97 , 0437 PM, CO,2 N JOES,YUMA,H, 1.00,1 INCH HAIL HAIL COLLECTING TO 2 INCH DEPTH 05/27/97 , 0445 PM, TX,ROUND ROCK,WILLIAMSON, , 0.00,60 MPH TSTM GUST 05/27/97 , 0450 PM, FL,0450,FLAGLER,H, 1.00,1 INCH HAIL EMA DIRECTOR REPORTED QUARTER SIZE HAIL MOVED INTO MARINELAND 05/27/97 , 0450 PM, TX,26 SSW ROCKSPRINGS,EDWARDS,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0450 PM, TX,AUSTIN,TRAVIS,T, 0.00,TORNADO TORNADO ON GROUND NEAR LAKEWAY AND 620 05/27/97 , 0450 PM, TX,DE BERRY,PANOLA,H, 0.50,.5 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0453 PM, CO,JOES,YUMA,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0453 PM, TX,MEXIA,LIMESTONE,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0456 PM, TX,WASKOM,HARRISON,H, 0.50,.5 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0500 PM, CO,8 S JOES,KIT CARSON,H, 1.00,1 INCH HAIL HAIL COVERING GROUND 05/27/97 , 0505 PM, TX,JARRELL,WILLIAMSON,T, 0.00,TORNADO REPORT OF CASUATLIES AND MULTIPLE INJURIES 05/27/97 , 0515 PM, TX,CEDAR PARK,WILLIAMSON,T, 0.00,TORNADO REPORT OF GROCERY STORE COLLAPSE IN CEDAR PARK. 05/26/97 , 0520 PM, TN,TIPTONVILLE,LAKE,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED BY LAKE COUNTY SHERRIFS OFFICE. 05/27/97 , 0520 PM, IA,6 W MEXIA,LIMESTONE, , 0.00,TX POWER LINES DOWN LAKE MEXIA 05/27/97 , 0520 PM, TX,2 W REDWATER,BOWIE,H, 1.00,1 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0520 PM, TX,AUSTIN MUELLER ARPT,TRAVIS, , 0.00,71 MPH TSTM GUST 05/27/97 , 0520 PM, TX,AUSTIN,TRAVIS, , 0.00,63 MPH TSTM GUST 05/27/97 , 0525 PM, TX,1 NW TEAGUE,FREESTONE,H, 0.75,0.75 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0525 PM, TX,AUSTIN MUELLER MUNI ARPT,TRAVIS, , 0.00,71 MPH TSTM GUST 05/27/97 , 0527 PM, TX,AUSTIN,TRAVIS, , 0.00,64 MPH TSTM GUST 05/27/97 , 0527 PM, TX,MAUD,BOWIE,H, 1.00,1 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0530 PM, FL,DOWLING PARK,SUWANNEE,T, 0.00,TORNADO 05/27/97 , 0530 PM, TX,0530,HAYS,H, 0.88,.88 INCH HAIL REPORTED BY COOP OBSERVER 05/27/97 , 0530 PM, TX,AUSTIN,TRAVIS,F, 0.00,FLOODING *** 1 DEAD *** DROWNING OCCURRED IN SHOAL CREEK 05/27/97 , 0530 PM, TX,DRIPPING SPRINGS,HAYS,H, 0.88,.88 INCH HAIL REPORTED BY COOP OBSERVER 05/27/97 , 0532 PM, TX,10 NE MAUD,BOWIE,H, 1.00,1 INCH HAIL QUARTER SIZED HAIL REPORTED NEAR WAKE VILLAGE. 05/26/97 , 0535 PM, TN,OBION,OBION,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE TREES DOWNED AND SATELLITE DISH DESTROYED. REPORT FROM SPOTTER. 05/27/97 , 0535 PM, FL,JACKSONVILLE NAS,DUVAL,T, 0.00,TORNADO REPORT BY NAS FORECASTER 05/27/97 , 0540 PM, LA,KEITHVILLE,CADDO,H, 0.50,.5 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0542 PM, FL,JACKSONVILLE NAS,DUVAL, , 0.00,106 MPH TSTM GUST 05/27/97 , 0542 PM, TX,MAUD,BOWIE,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0545 PM, TX,.88,BLANCO,T, 0.00,TORNADO SHERIFF REPORTS TORNADO IN SW BLANCO COUNTY MOVING TOWARDS KENDALIA 05/27/97 , 0545 PM, TX,KENDALIA,BLANCO,T, 0.00,TORNADO SHERIFF REPORTS TORNADO IN SW BLANCO COUNTY MOVING TOWARDS KENDALIA 05/27/97 , 545 PM, FL,W WINTER HAVEN,POLK,H, 1.00,1.00 INCH HAIL QUARTER SIZED HAIL IN THE CYPRESS LANDINGS SUBDIVISION JUST WEST OF WINTER HAVEN. ALSO...WIND GUSTS ESTIMATED AT 60 MPH. REPORTED BY POLK COUNTY EMERGENCY OPERATIONS CENTER. 05/27/97 , 0550 PM, FL,ASTOR,LAKE,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE LARGE TREE BLOWN DOWN BY WINDS. REPORT FROM LAKE COUNTY SHERIFF. 05/27/97 , 0550 PM, TX,BLANCO,BLANCO,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0550 PM, TX,DRIFTWOOD,HAYS,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL REPORTED BY SHERIFFS DEPT 05/27/97 , 0553 PM, LA,STONEWALL,DE SOTO,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0556 PM, LA,STONEWALL,DE SOTO,H, 0.50,.5 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 559 PM, FL,NEAR CYPRESS GARDENS,POLK,H, 0.25,0.25 INCH HAIL PEA SIZED HAIL ALONG WITH WIND GUSTS OF 45 MPH. NO DAMAGE. REPORTED BY SKYWARN STORM SPOTTER. 05/27/97 , 0600 PM, TX,BLANCO,BLANCO,H, 0.88,.88 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0607 PM, LA,FRIERSON,DE SOTO,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0608 PM, TX,BLANCO,BLANCO,T, 0.00,TORNADO TORNADO ON GROUND SW OF BLANCO 05/26/97 , 0610 PM, TN,KENTON,GIBSON,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE ROOF BLOWN OFF HOUSE REPORTED BY KENTON POLICE DEPARTMENT. 05/26/97 , 0610 PM, TN,RUTHERFORD,GIBSON,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED THROUGHOUT GIBSON COUNTY BY FIRE AND POLICE DEPTS. 05/27/97 , 0610 PM, TX,DONIE,FREESTONE,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL 05/26/97 , 0611 PM, OK,WESTPORT,PAWNEE,H, 1.00,1 INCH HAIL 05/26/97 , 0625 PM, OK,TULSA,TULSA,H, 1.25,1.25 INCH HAIL REPORTED AT 81ST AND RIVERSIDE. 05/27/97 , 0627 PM, TX,NEW BRAUNFLES,COMAL, , 0.00,51 MPH TSTM GUST REPORTED NEW BRAUNFLES MUNI AIRPORT 05/27/97 , 0630 PM, FL,DELTONA,VOLUSIA,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE REPORT OF NUMEROUS TREES DOWN IN THE CITY OF DELTONA AND THE COMMUNITIES OF ENTERPRISE AND DEBARY. REPORT FROM WCPX-TV IN ORLANDO 05/27/97 , 0632 PM, TX,SAN MARCOS,HAYS,H, 0.50,.5 INCH HAIL 05/26/97 , 0635 PM, OK,2 SE SAPULPA,CREEK,T, 0.00,TORNADO WELL DEFINED TORNADO OBSERVED BY KTUL SPOTTER. 05/27/97 , 0635 PM, IN,ELGIN,BASTROP,H, 0.88,TX .88 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0635 PM, TX,.5,BASTROP,H, 0.88,.88 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0635 PM, TX,ELGIN,BASTROP,H, 0.88,.88 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0640 PM, TX,SEGUIN,GUADALUPE,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE PLANE FLIPPED AT SEGUIN AIRPORT 05/27/97 , 0645 PM, FL,SANFORD,SEMINOLE,F, 0.00,FLOODING MINOR STREET FLOODING IN SANFORD FROM THUNDERSTORM RAINS IN EXCESS OF THREE INCHES/ONE HOUR (RADAR ESTIMATED). 05/27/97 , 0645 PM, FL,SANFORD,SEMINOLE,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE NUMEROUS LARGE TREES BLOWN DOWN. ONE WAS BLOWN ONTO A HOUSE. FROM WFTV-TV ORLANDO. 05/27/97 , 0645 PM, TX,CANYON LAKE,COMAL,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0645 PM, TX,SAN MARCOS,HAYS,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0648 PM, FL,SANFORD,SEMINOLE,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE WIND BLEW DOWN A SHOPPING CENTER SIGN AT THE WINN DIXIE PLAZA IN SANFORD. WINDS ALSO BLEW DOWN A RAILROAD CROSSING GATE. FROM SEMINOLE CO. SKYWARN. 05/26/97 , 0700 PM, OK,1 SE GLENPOOL,TULSA,T, 0.00,TORNADO 1 TRAILER HOME AND A BARN DESTROYED NEAR 156TH AND PEORIA. 05/27/97 , 0700 PM, FL,JACKSONVILLE,DUVAL,T, 0.00,TORNADO RIVERSIDE AREA SHERRIFF'S OFFICE REPORTED TREES DOWN ROADS BLOCKED 05/27/97 , 0700 PM, TX,UTOPIA,UVALDE,T, 0.00,TORNADO SHERIFF REPORTED TORNADO ON GROUND 05/27/97 , 0702 PM, FL,SAMPSON,ST JOHNS,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE TREES REPORTED DOWN ACROSS SWITZERLAND AND SAMPSON ALONG RT 1 05/27/97 , 0703 PM, TX,MOUNTAIN HOME,KERR,T, 0.00,TORNADO TORNADO REPORTED ALONG I-10 IN KERR COUNTY 05/27/97 , 0705 PM, FL,0705,COLUMBIA,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE TREES REPORTED DOWN ACROSS SEVERAL HOUSES 05/26/97 , 0708 PM, OK,TULSA,OSAGE,H, 1.00,1 INCH HAIL 05/26/97 , 0710 PM, OK,SOUTH COFFEYVILLE,NOWATA,H, 0.88,.88 INCH HAIL 05/26/97 , 0720 PM, TN,HALLS,LAUDERDALE,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED BY LAUDERDALE COUNTY SHERRIFS OFFICE. 05/26/97 , 0730 PM, OK,1 SE GLENPOOL,TULSA,H, 2.00,2 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0730 PM, FL,ORLANDO,ORANGE,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL IN ORLANDO. FROM WFTV-TV IN ORLANDO. 05/27/97 , 0730 PM, LA,OAK RIDGE,MOREHOUSE,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE TREES AND POWERLINES DOWNED...TIME ESTIMATED 05/27/97 , 0730 PM, TX,SISTERDALE,KENDALL,T, 0.00,TORNADO HAM REPORTED POSSIBLE TORNADO ON GROUND 05/26/97 , 0740 PM, OK,2 N COPAN,WASHINGTON,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0743 PM, CO,4 NE CASTLE ROCK,DOUGLAS,H, 0.75,0.75 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0745 PM, LA,JONESBORO,JACKSON,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE NUMEROUS TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN CAUSING WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES. 05/27/97 , 0745 PM, LA,RUSTON,LINCOLN,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE POWER OUTAGES REPORTED. 05/26/97 , 0750 PM, OK,TULSA,TULSA,F, 0.00,FLOODING WATER FROM LITTLE HAIKEY CREEK FLOWING OVER 91ST BETWEEN MINGO AND MEMORIAL. 05/26/97 , 0754 PM, OK,PIERCE,MCINTOSH,H, 1.00,1 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0754 PM, LA,SLIGO,BOSSIER,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL 05/26/97 , 0800 PM, OK,WANN,NOWATA,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL 05/26/97 , 0800 PM, TN,5 N BROWNSVILLE,HAYWOOD,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL REPORTED BY HAYWOOD COUNTY SHERRIFS OFFICE. 05/26/97 , 800 PM, OK,2 SE DUSTIN,HUGHES,T, 0.00,BRIEF TORNADO TOUCHDOWN 05/27/97 , 0800 PM, LA,3 W GREENWOOD,CADDO, , 0.00,NON QUALIFIED EVENT LIGHTNING STRUCK AN OIL STORAGE TANK NEAR STATELINE ROAD. 05/27/97 , 0803 PM, TX,SAN ANTONIO,BEXAR, , 0.00,122 MPH TSTM GUST REPORTED BY OBSERVER AT KELLY AFB 05/27/97 , 0805 PM, TX,SAN ANTONIO,BEXAR, , 0.00,71 MPH TSTM GUST REPORTED BY NWS EMPLOYEE 05/27/97 , 0810 PM, FL,ST CLOUD,OSCEOLA,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL REPORTED SOUTH OF ST CLOUD BY OSCEOLA COUNTY FIRE/ RESCUE. 05/27/97 , 0810 PM, TX,DEL RIO,VAL VERDE,H, 0.88,.88 INCH HAIL DIME TO NICKEL HAIL REPORTS 05/27/97 , 0810 PM, TX,GONZALES,GONZALES,T, 0.00,TORNADO NUMEROUS FUNNEL CLOUDS REPORTED BY DPS 05/26/97 , 0815 PM, TN,5 N BROWNSVILLE,HAYWOOD,T, 0.00,TORNADO TORNADO TOUCHDOWN REPORTED JUST NORTH OF BROWNSVILLE BY BROWNSVILLE POLICE DEPARTMENT. 05/26/97 , 0815 PM, TN,BROWNSVILLE,HAYWOOD,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE TREES DOWNED IN BROWNSVILLE REPORTED BY EMA DIRECTOR. 05/27/97 , 0815 PM, LA,2 E EROS,OUACHITA,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL STORM SPOTTER REPORT. 05/27/97 , 0815 PM, LA,MONROE,OUACHITA,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE LOUISVILLE AND DESIARD STREETS BLOCKED BY DOWN POWERLINES AND TREES. WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES. 05/27/97 , 0815 PM, TX,SAN ANTONIO,BEXAR, , 0.00,121 MPH TSTM GUST REPORTED BY OBSERVER AT KELLY AFB 05/27/97 , 0815 PM, TX,SAN ANTONIO,BEXAR, , 0.00,55 MPH TSTM GUST AT SAN ANTONIO INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT 05/27/97 , 0820 PM, LA,MONROE ARPT,OUACHITA, , 0.00,80 MPH TSTM GUST RECORDED ON A GUST RECORDER AT THE MONROE REGIONAL AIRPORT. 05/27/97 , 820 PM, AR,JACKSONVILLE,PULASKI, , 0.00,LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN 05/26/97 , 0821 PM, OK,RAIFORD,MCINTOSH,H, 1.00,1 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 825 PM, AR,JACKSONVILLE,PULASKI,T, 0.00,TORNADO REPORTED BY CITY POLICE 05/26/97 , 0829 PM, OK,WAGONER,WAGONER, , 0.00,85 MPH TSTM GUST 05/26/97 , 0830 PM, OK,1 S HANNA,MCINTOSH,T, 0.00,TORNADO 2 MOBILE HOMES AND 1 BARN DESTROYED. NUMEROUS LARGE TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN. 05/26/97 , 0830 PM, OK,BOYNTON,MUSKOGEE,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0830 PM, LA,SWARTZ,OUACHITA,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE LA 139 BLOCKED BY DOWNED TREES AND POWERLINES. 05/27/97 , 0830 PM, TX,DEVINE,MEDINA,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL 05/26/97 , 0835 PM, OK,2 E WAGONER,WAGONER, , 0.00,60 MPH TSTM GUST 05/26/97 , 0835 PM, OK,5 W INDIANOLA,PITTSBURG,T, 0.00,TORNADO *** 1 INJ *** 1 HOUSE DESTROYED. EST 1/4 MILE WIDE DAMAGE PATH. NUMRS LARGE TREES DOWN. LARGE FARM EQUIP DESTROYED AND/OR MISSING. 05/26/97 , 0835 PM, OK,PICHER,OTTAWA, , 0.00,80 MPH TSTM GUST 05/27/97 , 0835 PM, FL,CAPE CANAVRAL MISL SITE,BREVARD, , 0.00,65 MPH TSTM GUST 56 KNOT GUST REPORTED AT THE CAPE CANAVERAL SHUTTLE LANDING FACILITY. 05/27/97 , 0836 PM, TX,DEL RIO,VAL VERDE, , 0.00,61 MPH TSTM GUST AT DEL RIO AIRPORT 05/26/97 , 0837 PM, OK,PICHER,OTTAWA,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL 05/26/97 , 0845 PM, OK,3 W MUSKOGEE,MUSKOGEE,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE SEVERAL TREES DOWN. 05/26/97 , 845 PM, OK,4 N MADILL,MARSHALL,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0845 PM, TX,.75,GONZALES,F, 0.00,FLOODING WATER OVER ROADS IN NE GONZALES COUNTY 05/27/97 , 0845 PM, TX,0845,GONZALES,F, 0.00,FLOODING WATER OVER ROADS IN NE 05/27/97 , 0845 PM, TX,MILLETT,LASALLE,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL SHERIFF REPORT OF GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL. 05/26/97 , 0850 PM, OK,6 W VINITA,CRAIG, , 0.00,65 MPH TSTM GUST 05/26/97 , 0850 PM, OK,HULBERT,CHEROKEE,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWNED 05/27/97 , 0850 PM, FL,WEST MELBOURNE,BREVARD,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE THUNDERSTORM WINDS COMPLETELY TORE THE 24' BY 16' ROOF OF A HOUSE ON 375 GRAY ROAD. REPORT FROM FLORIDA TODAY NEWSPAPER AND FROM OWNER OF THE HOUSE. 05/27/97 , 0855 PM, TX,DEL RIO,VAL VERDE,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0855 PM, TX,DILLEY,FRIO,H, 1.00,1 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 855 PM, AR,6 S EL PASO,WHITE, , 0.00,FUNNEL CLOUD 05/27/97 , 0900 PM, AL,CHATOM,WASHINGTON, , 0.00, LTG STRIKE TO HOUSE. REPORTED BY GROVE HILL STATE PD. 05/27/97 , 0900 PM, TX,BLANCO,BLANCO,F, 0.00,FLOODING ROADS CLOSED COUNTYWIDE 05/27/97 , 0910 PM, TX,COTULLA,LASALLE,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL SHERIFF REPORT OF GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL. 05/26/97 , 0915 PM, OK,6 N MC ALESTER,PITTSBURG,T, 0.00,TORNADO TREES DOWN. BRICK HOUSES AND 1 TRAILER HOME DAMAGED. 05/27/97 , 0915 PM, LA,0915,RICHLAND,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE TREES DOWN THROUGHOUT THE PARISH...ROOFS DAMAGED AT ARCHIBALD...TIME ESTD 05/27/97 , 0920 PM, MS,LUDLOW,SCOTT,H, 0.88,.88 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 0923 PM, AL,FLOMATON,ESCAMBIA,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL HAIL REPORTED IN MCCALL AREA BTWN FLOMATON AND BREWTON BY FLOMATON PD. 05/26/97 , 0925 PM, OK,COOKSON,CHEROKEE,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL 05/26/97 , 0930 PM, OK,MC ALESTER,PITTSBURG,H, 1.00,1 INCH HAIL 05/26/97 , 0930 PM, TN,MC NAIRY,MCNAIRY,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE TREES AND POWER LINES DOWNED ACROSS NORTHERN PART OF THE COUNTY. REPORTED BY MCNAIRY COUNTY SHERRIFS OFFICE. 05/27/97 , 0934 PM, MS,METCALFE,WASHINGTON,T, 0.00,TORNADO POSSIBLE TORNADO REPORTED BY SHERIFF 05/27/97 , 0940 PM, TX,THREE RIVERS,LIVE OAK,H, 0.75,0.75 INCH HAIL SHERIFF REPORT OF DIME SIZE HAIL. 05/27/97 , 0942 PM, MS,METCALFE,WASHINGTON,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE MOBILE HOME TURNED OVER 05/26/97 , 0945 PM, OK,6 E GROVE,DELAWARE,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE NUMEROUS TREES AND LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN WHICH BLOCKED A FEW ROADS. 05/26/97 , 0945 PM, OK,AFTON,OTTAWA,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE 18 WHEELER BLOWN OFF WILL ROGERS TURNPIKE. 05/26/97 , 0945 PM, OK,FAIRLAND,OTTAWA,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE OUTBUILDINGS DAMAGED. TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN. 05/26/97 , 0945 PM, OK,MIAMI,OTTAWA,F, 0.00,FLOODING STREET FLOODING REPORTED BY MIAMI PD. 05/27/97 , 0945 PM, TX,BEEVILLE,BEE,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE SHERIFF REPORT OF POWER LINES DOWN. 05/26/97 , 0946 PM, OK,3 NE GROVE,DELAWARE, , 0.00,60 MPH TSTM GUST 05/26/97 , 0948 PM, OK,FAIRLAND,OTTAWA,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE REC SUBSTATION DAMAGED NEAR FAIRLAND. 05/27/97 , 0950 PM, TX,ARTESIA WELLS,LASALLE,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL SHERIFF REPORT OF GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL. 05/26/97 , 0955 PM, TN,COUNCE,HARDIN,H, 1.25,1.25 INCH HAIL HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL REPORTED BY SPOTTER. 05/27/97 , 0955 PM, LA,3 E TALLULAH,MADISON, , 0.00,60 MPH TSTM GUST REPORTED BY HAMS 05/26/97 , 1000 PM, OK,STILWELL,ADAIR,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWNED 05/26/97 , 1000 PM, OK,WILBURTON,LATIMER,H, 0.88,.88 INCH HAIL 05/26/97 , 1000 PM, OK,WILBURTON,LATIMER,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE TREES DOWN JUST WEST OF WILBURTON 05/27/97 , 1000 PM, TX,25 N LAREDO,WEBB,H, 1.00,1.00 INCH HAIL BORDER PATROL REPORT OF ONE INCH HAIL. 05/27/97 , 1010 PM, MS,1010,WARREN,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE TREES DOWNED THROUGHOUT THE COUNTY 05/26/97 , 1013 PM, MO,3 NE POWELL,MCDONALD,T, 0.00,TORNADO 4 MILES IN LENGTH AND 200 YARDS WIDE UPROOTED NUMEROUS TREES...ONE OF WHICH DESTROYED AN OUTBUILDING. 05/26/97 , 1020 PM, OK,6 W MC ALESTER,PITTSBURG,H, 1.00,1 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 1020 PM, TX,MATHIS,SAN PATRICIO, , 0.00,65 MPH TSTM WINDS HAM RADIO REPORT. 05/27/97 , 1025 PM, MS,LAKE,SCOTT,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE TREES DOWNED 05/27/97 , 1025 PM, TX,ALICE,JIM WELLS,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE HAM RADIO REPORT OF LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN. 05/27/97 , 1025 PM, TX,REALITOS,DUVAL,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE SHERIFFS REPORT OF POWER LINES DOWN. 05/26/97 , 1030 PM, AR,7 SE STRICKLER,CRAWFORD,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE TREES DOWNED 05/26/97 , 1030 PM, OK,TALIHINA,LE FLORE,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE TREE BLOWN DOWN. 05/26/97 , 1035 PM, AR,POCAHONTAS,RANDOLPH,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED BY ARKANSAS STATE POLICE ALONG HIGHWAY 62 WEST OF POCAHONTAS. 05/26/97 , 1040 PM, OK,NICUT,SEQUOYAH,H, 0.88,.88 INCH HAIL 05/26/97 , 1042 PM, OK,1 E KINGSTON,MARSHALL,H, 1.00,1.00 INCH HAIL 05/26/97 , 1045 PM, AR,5 SE STRICKLER,WASHINGTON,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE 10 INCH DIAMETER TREES DOWNED 05/26/97 , 1045 PM, OK,3 SW SILO,BRYAN,G, 60.00,60 MPH WIND GUST 05/27/97 , 1053 PM, MS,BYRAM,HINDS,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL 05/26/97 , 1100 PM, AR,IMBODEN,LAWRENCE,H, 1.00,1 INCH HAIL QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED BY LAWRENCE COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE. 05/26/97 , 1100 PM, AR,WHITE RIVER,WASHINGTON,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE SEMI BLOWN OFF ROAD 05/27/97 , 1100 PM, MS,BENTON,YAZOO,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE TREES DOWNED 05/26/97 , 1105 PM, AR,RAVENDEN SPGS,RANDOLPH,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED BY RANDOLPH COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE. 05/27/97 , 1105 PM, AR,STUTTGART,ARKANSAS, , 0.00,TREES DOWN 05/27/97 , 1105 PM, TX,2 N LUFKIN,ANGELINA,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 1105 PM, TX,LUFKIN,ANGELINA,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE NUMEROUS REPORTS OF TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN IN TOWN. 05/27/97 , 1110 PM, MS,1 S MADISON,MADISON,T, 0.00,TORNADO POLICE DEPT REPORTED BRIEF TOUCHDOWN AFTER WHICH TORNADO LIFTED NO DAMAGE REPORTED AT THIS TIME 05/26/97 , 1115 PM, AR,5 N HARRISON,BOONE,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN ALONG COTTONWOOD RD. 05/27/97 , 1115 PM, TX,OILTON,WEBB,H, 1.00,1.00 INCH HAIL SHERIFFS REPORT OF ONE INCH HAIL. 05/26/97 , 1120 PM, AR,METALTON,CARROLL,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 1122 PM, MS,BRANDON,RANKIN,H, 1.00,1 INCH HAIL 05/27/97 , 1125 PM, MS,3 NE BRANDON,RANKIN,T, 0.00,TORNADO POSSIBLE TORNADO REPORTED 05/27/97 , 1125 PM, TX,10 S LUFKIN,ANGELINA,H, 2.75,2.75 INCH HAIL 05/26/97 , 1130 PM, AR,CLIFTY,MADISON, , 0.00,60 MPH TSTM GUST 05/26/97 , 1140 PM, AR,WALNUT RIDGE,LAWRENCE,H, 1.00,1 INCH HAIL QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED BY LAWRENCE COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE. 05/27/97 , 1140 PM, MS,PUCKETT,RANKIN,W, 0.00,WIND DAMAGE NUMEROUS TRESS DOWNED 05/27/97 , 1143 PM, FL,HIALEAH,DADE,H, 0.00,HAIL NWS EMPLOYEE REPORTED PEA SIZED HAIL NEAR OKEECHOBEE ROAD AND SR 826. 05/26/97 , 1155 PM, AR,SEDGWICK,LAWRENCE,T, 0.00,TORNADO POSSIBLE TORNADO REPORTED ALONG HIGHWAY 63 BY LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS. 5/27/97 , 1215 PM, GA,5NE THOMASTON,UPSON,H, 0.75,0.75 INCH HAIL 5/27/97 , 1215 PM, GA,ZEBULON,PIKE,H, 1.75,1.75 INCH HAIL ROADS COVERED WITH HAIL... CAUSED CAR ACCIDENT. 05/27/97 , 1233 PM, TX,CARTHAGE,PANOLA,H, 0.75,.75 INCH HAIL ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President, Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. 1735 E. University Dr. - Suite 101 P.O. Box 3267 Auburn, Alabama 36831-3267 ____ /\ \ / | | ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) / \ \ / | |___ (334) 826-2152 (FAX) /____\ \ /\ / | | Internet: sadams@awis.com / \ \/ \/ | ____| ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 27 May 1997 to 28 May 1997 - Special issue ****************************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu May 29 03:44:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102429-787>; Thu, 29 May 1997 03:44:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA256840; Wed, 28 May 1997 14:24:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5522861 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 May 1997 14:24:27 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA184730 for ; Wed, 28 May 1997 14:24:10 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id OAA09265 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 May 1997 14:24:07 -0500 Message-ID: <199705281924.OAA09265@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 28 May 1997 14:24:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -281424 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 2 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 49966 WTPN31 PGTW 282100 1. TROPICAL STORM LEVI (05W) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281800Z9 --- 22.4N8 127.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.4N8 127.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 24.2N8 128.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 26.2N0 130.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 28.5N5 132.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 21 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 30.8N1 136.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 35.4N2 145.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 282100Z3 POSITION 22.9N3 127.9E9 TROPICAL STORM LEVI (05W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE AND BEGIN TO WEAKEN WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS DUE TO STRONG WESTERLY WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z9 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8), 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4), 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1) AND 292100Z4 (DTG 291951Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu May 29 04:32:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102612-787>; Thu, 29 May 1997 04:32:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA194050; Wed, 28 May 1997 15:11:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5523325 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 May 1997 15:11:19 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA119002 for ; Wed, 28 May 1997 15:11:08 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id PAA32861 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 May 1997 15:11:07 -0500 Message-ID: <199705282011.PAA32861@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 28 May 1997 15:11:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -281511 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 6 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 56154 WTPN32 PGTW 282100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281800Z9 --- 14.5N0 158.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N0 158.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 15.9N5 158.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 17.5N3 159.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 19.3N3 158.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 20.9N1 158.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 24.2N8 159.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 282100Z3 POSITION 14.8N3 158.5E9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AND PEAK WITHIN 36 HOURS, FOLLOWED BY WEAKENING AS STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS ENCOUNTERED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z9 IS 9 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z4 (DTG 290153Z0), 290900Z0 (DTG 290753Z6), 291500Z7 (DTG 291353Z3) AND 292100Z4 (DTG 291953Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM LEVI (05W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu May 29 04:48:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102603-787>; Thu, 29 May 1997 04:48:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA141840; Wed, 28 May 1997 15:30:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5523434 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 May 1997 15:30:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA187876 for ; Wed, 28 May 1997 15:30:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id PAA13568 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 May 1997 15:28:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705282028.PAA13568@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 28 May 1997 15:28:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 7 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 503 WTPS31 PGTW 282100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 37P WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281800Z9 --- 15.9S5 167.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 165 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.9S5 167.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 17.4S2 168.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 18.8S7 168.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 20.2S4 169.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 21.3S6 170.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 282100Z3 POSITION 16.3S0 167.8E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 37P IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO PEAK WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOLLOWED BY RAPID WEAKENING AND EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AS IT ENCOUNTERS STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z9 IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290900Z0 (DTG 290755Z8) AND 292100Z4 (DTG 291955Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu May 29 10:00:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102573-27152>; Thu, 29 May 1997 10:00:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA148908; Wed, 28 May 1997 20:43:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5526438 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 May 1997 20:43:19 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA118938 for ; Wed, 28 May 1997 20:43:18 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id UAA49043 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 May 1997 20:43:18 -0500 Message-ID: <199705290143.UAA49043@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 28 May 1997 20:43:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -282043 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 64144 WTPN31 PGTW 290300 1. TROPICAL STORM LEVI (05W) WARNING NR 014 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- 23.9N4 127.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.9N4 127.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 25.8N5 128.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 27.8N7 131.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 29.9N0 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 25 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 32.5N0 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION 24.4N0 127.5E5 TROPICAL STORM LEVI (05W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THIS WARNING IS RELOCATED BASED ON AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD UNDER DEEP SOUTHWESTERLY STEERING FLOW. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN DUE TO A STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BY 310000Z. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4), 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1), 292100Z4 (DTG 291951Z7) AND 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM MARIE (06W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu May 29 11:03:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102606-27152>; Thu, 29 May 1997 11:03:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAB257268; Wed, 28 May 1997 21:47:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5526953 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 May 1997 21:47:25 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA194272 for ; Wed, 28 May 1997 21:47:25 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id VAA30807 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 May 1997 21:47:24 -0500 Message-ID: <199705290247.VAA30807@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 28 May 1997 21:47:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -282147 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 45652 WTPN32 PGTW 290300 1. TROPICAL STORM MARIE (06W) WARNING NR 010 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- 14.0N5 158.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.0N5 158.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 14.7N2 158.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 15.4N0 158.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 16.7N4 158.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 18.7N6 157.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 23.0N5 158.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION 14.2N7 158.3E7 TROPICAL STORM MARIE (06W), UPGRADED FROM A TROPICAL DEPRESSION, IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. BETWEEN 36 AND 48 HOURS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD DUE TO SOUTHERLY STEERING FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290900Z0 (DTG 290753Z6), 291500Z7 (DTG 291353Z3), 292100Z4 (DTG 291953Z9) AND 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM LEVI (05W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu May 29 13:09:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102427-27152>; Thu, 29 May 1997 13:09:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA257072; Thu, 29 May 1997 00:04:33 -0500 Message-Id: <199705290504.AAA257072@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 29 May 1997 00:02:14 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 28 May 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 3 messages totalling 112 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Satellite Images of Texas Tornado Storms 2. Help on Forecasting concerning Jarrell Storm 3. best way to vertically interpolate winds +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 28 May 1997 16:12:21 EDT From: "Steven M. Babin" Subject: Satellite Images of Texas Tornado Storms I processed some NOAA satellite AVHRR images of the Texas storms that produced the tornadoes on May 27. The URL is http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/people/babin/imgallery/tornatx/index.html The index page contains other satellite images and is at http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/people/babin/imgallery/index.html Hope you find the images of interest, Steve -- _____________________________________________________________________ / FROM: Steven Babin, MD, PhD Internet: Steven.Babin@jhuapl.edu \ | Office phone: (301)-953-6704 | | Office phone: (410)-792-6704 | | WWW Home page at: | | http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/people/babin/babin.html | | Office address: Ocean Remote Sensing Group | | The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab | | Johns Hopkins Road | | Laurel, MD 20723-6099 | | AD IN THE LONDON TIMES, 1907: | | Men wanted for hazardous journey. Small wages, bitter cold, long | | months of complete darkness, constant danger, safe return doubtful. | | Honour and recognition in case of success. | \ --Sir Ernest Shackleton / <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><>< ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 28 May 1997 16:53:00 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Help on Forecasting concerning Jarrell Storm Here's part of an AP article (note the low end of the scale, no more F0's?) = The tornado whirled at an estimated 200 mph or faster and was on the ground for 25 to 30 minutes, said National Weather Service meteorologist Al Dreumont. And based on the way it leveled homes and shredded asphalt, it likely will be classified as a 4 on a scale of 1 to 5. = On Wednesday, May 28, 1997 4:15 PM, Dave Gold [SMTP:dag8972@ARIEL.MET.TAMU.EDU] wrote: > On Wed, 28 May 1997, William Kucharski wrote: > > > news outlets are guessing F3 or F4 at best. This was obviously NOT an F5 IMHO, > > as there was lots of debris and deroofed houses left standing. Based on other > > damage surveys of F5s I've seen (the surveys, that is, not the tornados), I > > would guess that had it been an F5 most all that would have been left were > > foundations. > > Well, actually, the pics/reports I saw showed empty, pockmarked/scoured > muddy fields where apparently well-constructed homes and their concrete > foundations once stood. All indications are that this was an F5 Andover > barrel. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 28 May 1997 16:03:56 -0500 From: Capt Bruce D Muller Subject: best way to vertically interpolate winds To the wx-talk group, My coworkers and I have been debating the best way to vertically interpolate wind (speed and direction) between known levels such as the significant or mandatory levels on a sounding, and coming up with interpolated values at various levels in between. One suggestion is to treat wind speed and direction seperately, allowing for a continuous change of both seperately from one level to the next (i.e. if you have west wind at 10 kts at one level and a south wind above it at 20 knots, the 'halfway' point should have a southwest wind of 15 kts.) The other suggestion is to break down the wind into its vector components at both levels, define a shear vector between those levels, and interpolate the u and v components to the level of interest, and then 'reconstruct' the resultant wind vector from the interpolated components. Using the above example, this method would result in a midpoint wind from about 206 degrees (SSW) at about 11.2 knots, obviously a different solution. The first case would result in a curved, more natural appearing vertical wind profile, yet the latter seems to look better in extreme cases where the difference in wind angles is high (near 180 degrees) and there is strong vertical wind shear to begin with. Any suggestions from the field? Thanks in advance. BRUCE D. MULLER, Capt, USAF mullerb@thunder.safb.af.mil ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 28 May 1997 *********************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu May 29 14:23:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102583-27152>; Thu, 29 May 1997 14:23:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA191422; Thu, 29 May 1997 01:04:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5528043 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 May 1997 01:03:56 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA256892 for ; Thu, 29 May 1997 01:03:55 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id BAA22966 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 May 1997 01:03:54 -0500 Message-ID: <199705290603.BAA22966@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 29 May 1997 01:03:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -290103 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 61107 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z MAY 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/290151Z MAY 97// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/290153Z MAY 97// REF/C/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/281955Z MAY 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 290000Z1 TROPICAL STORM LEVI (05W) WAS LOCATED AT 23.9N4 127.1E1, MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM LEVI (05W) WARNING NR 14 RELOCATED (WTPN31 PGTW 290300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 290000Z1 TROPICAL STORM MARIE (06W) WAS LOCATED AT 14.0N5 158.3E57, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM MARIE (06W) WARNING NR 10 (WTPN32 PGTW 290300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 16N7 110E2. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH DIFFLUENT UPPER LEVEL FLOW. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW INTO THE DISTURBANCE IS ENHANCING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY TO THE SOUTH OF THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION. OVERALL CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION IS POOR, BUT HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 281800Z9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 37P WAS LOCATED AT 15.9S5 167.7E1, MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL CYCLONE 37P WARNING NR 02 (WTPS31 PGTW 281500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.3S8 167.3E7 IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARAGRAPH 2.A.(1). (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/KALAFSKY/HAM/EIBLING// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu May 29 15:51:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102607-27152>; Thu, 29 May 1997 15:51:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA46014; Thu, 29 May 1997 02:38:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5528690 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 May 1997 02:38:37 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA199340 for ; Thu, 29 May 1997 02:38:36 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id CAA19887 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 May 1997 02:38:36 -0500 Message-ID: <199705290738.CAA19887@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 29 May 1997 02:38:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -290238 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 64940 WTPN31 PGTW 290900 1. TROPICAL STORM LEVI (05W) WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290600Z7 --- 25.1N8 128.4E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.1N8 128.4E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 27.6N5 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 30.0N3 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 32.8N3 139.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 290900Z0 POSITION 25.7N4 129.1E3 TROPICAL STORM LEVI (05W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM REMAINS SHEARED AND IS NOW ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARD AND COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY 301800Z. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1), 292100Z4 (DTG 291951Z7), 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0) AND 300900Z2 (DTG 300751Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM MARIE (06W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu May 29 16:07:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102620-27152>; Thu, 29 May 1997 16:07:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA117928; Thu, 29 May 1997 02:54:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5528836 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 May 1997 02:54:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA117786 for ; Thu, 29 May 1997 02:53:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA24105 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 May 1997 02:51:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705290751.CAA24105@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 29 May 1997 02:51:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 260 WTPS31 PGTW 290900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 37P WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290600Z7 --- 16.7S4 168.1E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.7S4 168.1E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 17.8S6 168.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 18.7S6 169.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 19.6S6 169.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 20.5S7 170.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 290900Z0 POSITION 17.0S8 168.2E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 37P IS TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND TO WEAKEN BEYOND THE 24- HOUR FORECAST POSITION AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BE DISSIPATED BY THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z4 (DTG 291955Z1) AND 300900Z2 (DTG 300755Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu May 29 17:12:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102634-27152>; Thu, 29 May 1997 17:12:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA266128; Thu, 29 May 1997 03:52:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5529115 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 May 1997 03:52:12 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA140664 for ; Thu, 29 May 1997 03:52:11 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id DAA44915 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 May 1997 03:52:10 -0500 Message-ID: <199705290852.DAA44915@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 29 May 1997 03:52:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -290352 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 19824 WTPN32 PGTW 290900 1. TROPICAL STORM MARIE (06W) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290600Z7 --- 14.8N3 158.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.8N3 158.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 16.2N9 158.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 17.4N2 157.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 18.4N3 157.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 20.3N5 156.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 25.3N0 156.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 290900Z0 POSITION 15.2N8 158.8E2 TROPICAL STORM MARIE (06W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK BACK TOWARDS THE WEST SLIGHTLY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TO ITS NORTH. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE NORTHWARD THROUGH THE WEAKENED AREA OF THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7 (DTG 291353Z3), 292100Z4 (DTG 291953Z9), 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2) AND 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM LEVI (05W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu May 29 22:11:47 1997 X-UIDL: b65cc54fe26b7e6b4a3c8f9cfe770df6 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102640-27152>; Thu, 29 May 1997 22:11:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA117922; Thu, 29 May 1997 08:44:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5530917 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 May 1997 08:44:34 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA80012 for ; Thu, 29 May 1997 08:44:33 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id IAA22388 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 May 1997 08:44:32 -0500 Message-ID: <199705291344.IAA22388@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 29 May 1997 08:44:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -290844 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 21617 WTPN32 PGTW 291500 1. TROPICAL STORM MARIE (06W) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- 15.8N4 159.3E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.8N4 159.3E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 17.4N2 159.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 19.2N2 159.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 20.9N1 158.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 22.7N1 158.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 26.4N2 158.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 291500Z7 POSITION 16.2N9 159.4E9 TROPICAL STORM MARIE (06W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. WE EXPECT TS MARIE TO MOVE GENERALLY NORTHWARD FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS. TS MARIE IS FORECAST TO REACH PEAK INTENSITY WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z5 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z4 (DTG 291953Z9), 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2), 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8) AND 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM LEVI (05W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri May 30 03:50:06 1997 X-UIDL: 5a7b2c75439d21d76099f645975ddcf3 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102688-27152>; Fri, 30 May 1997 03:49:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA210472; Thu, 29 May 1997 14:31:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5533238 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 May 1997 14:31:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA185866 for ; Thu, 29 May 1997 14:31:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA09244 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 May 1997 14:28:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705291928.OAA09244@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 29 May 1997 14:28:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 217 WTPS31 PGTW 292100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 37P WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291800Z0 --- 18.0S9 170.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.0S9 170.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 19.5S5 171.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 20.8S0 173.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 22.1S5 173.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 292100Z4 POSITION 18.4S3 170.4E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 37P IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. WE EXPECT TC 37P TO CONTINUE SOUTHEASTWARD AND TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z0 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z2 (DTG 300755Z0) AND 302100Z6 (DTG 301955Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri May 30 10:16:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102566-20969>; Fri, 30 May 1997 10:16:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA153062; Thu, 29 May 1997 20:57:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5536517 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 May 1997 20:57:19 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA173260 for ; Thu, 29 May 1997 20:57:18 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id UAA27034 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 May 1997 20:57:18 -0500 Message-ID: <199705300157.UAA27034@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 29 May 1997 20:57:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -292057 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 47255 WTPN31 PGTW 300300 1. TROPICAL STORM LEVI (05W) WARNING NR 018 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- 28.5N5 135.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 26 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.5N5 135.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 31.4N8 141.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 34.2N9 148.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 36 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 36.9N8 156.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 39 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 39.2N4 165.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION 29.2N3 136.7E7 TROPICAL STORM LEVI (05W) IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 26 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 292330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ANALYSIS ADJUSTED FOR THIS SYSTEM=S FORWARD MOTION. TROPICAL STORM LEVI IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACCELERATING AND WEAKENING AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASINGLY STRONG DEEP LAYER FLOW IN THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECASTED TO COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IN 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z2 (DTG 300751Z6), 301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3), 302100Z6 (DTG 301951Z9) AND 310300Z7 (DTG 310151Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM MARIE (06W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri May 30 11:00:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102302-20969>; Fri, 30 May 1997 10:59:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA210666; Thu, 29 May 1997 21:45:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5536911 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 May 1997 21:45:13 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA191448 for ; Thu, 29 May 1997 21:45:12 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id VAA34105 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 May 1997 21:45:12 -0500 Message-ID: <199705300245.VAA34105@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 29 May 1997 21:45:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -292145 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 19766 WTPN32 PGTW 300300 1. TYPHOON MARIE (06W) WARNING NR 014 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 06W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- 17.7N5 159.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N5 159.8E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 19.4N4 160.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 20.6N8 159.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 21.8N1 159.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 23.3N8 159.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 27.7N6 162.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION 18.1N0 159.8E3 TYPHOON MARIE (06W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON A COMBINATION OF 292330Z AND 292332Z SATELLITE IMAGERY. TYPHOON MARIE HAS INTENSIFIED AND HAS DEVELOPED A BANDING EYE. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING THROUGH 24 HOURS AS IT REMAINS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT NEAR THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. AFTER 24 HOURS, IT IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. TYPHOON MARIE IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY TURN EASTWARD AFTER 36 HOURS WHEN THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES BECOME STRONG ENOUGH TO INFLUENCE THIS SYSTEM=S STEERING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8), 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5), 302100Z6 (DTG 301953Z1) AND 310300Z7 (DTG 310153Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM LEVI (05W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri May 30 13:11:12 1997 X-UIDL: 34f87555b6850d8ea6ea143d4d0ed023 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102560-20969>; Fri, 30 May 1997 13:11:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAB57794; Fri, 30 May 1997 00:05:51 -0500 Message-Id: <199705300505.AAB57794@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 30 May 1997 00:03:00 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 28 May 1997 to 29 May 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 11 messages totalling 322 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Subject: NWA 1997 ANNUAL MEETING 2. IOWA NWA CONFERENCE '98 3. More from AP... 4. QuickTime loop of Jarrell TX supercell (2) 5. NWS statement on Jarrell/Cedar Park tornadoes 6. David Ludlum, 1910-1997. 7. Tuesday's Tornadoes in Central Texas 8. 48 Hours 9. Dateline NBC 10. *ASOS Commissioning Notice +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 29 May 1997 04:01:35 -0500 From: John McLaughlin Subject: Re: Subject: NWA 1997 ANNUAL MEETING Floyd Hauth wrote: > > ANNUAL NWA MEETING ANNOUNCEMENT and CALL FOR PAPERS > > The National Weather Associations twenty-second Annual Meeting > will be held 19-24 October 1997 in Reno, Nevada at the Harrahs Casino > Hotel and its adjoining Hampton Inn. Those wishing to conduct workshops or present papers at the 19 October broadcast meteorology portion of the NWA conference, please contact John McLaughlin of KCCI at 515-247-8888 or johnmc49@ecity.net. The phone was incorrect in the previous posting. See you in Reno! ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 29 May 1997 03:57:59 -0500 From: John McLaughlin Subject: IOWA NWA CONFERENCE '98 Yes, there will be a 1998 Iowa NWA Severe Storms and Doppler Radar Conference. The dates will be March 13-15, 1998. We are already interested in your presentations with the tremendous amount of severe weather being captured on video and radar this season. Please contact me for additional information or to get on the agenda and mark those calendars for '98! John McLaughlin KCCI TV Des Moines, IA ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 29 May 1997 09:23:47 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: More from AP... Tornado Path Leaves Tragic Trail By JAIME ARON Associated Press Writer Thursday, May 29, 1997 6:06 am EDT JARRELL, Texas (AP) -- When the tornado alarm sounded, teacher Joan Igo left her classroom. Her husband, Larry, closed up his auto parts store. Daughter Audrey left school to join her twin brothers. They all made it home ahead of the tornado, and it cost them their lives. ``They actually rushed home into danger,'' said the Rev. Max Johnson, pastor of the First Baptist Church. [...] Jarrell's warning siren sounded 10 to 12 minutes before the half-dozen twisters hit Tuesday afternoon. It did little good. [...] The National Weather Service said the twister likely had a force of four on a scale of five, making it the area's worst since May 17, 1989, when one woman died and 28 were injured, and the state's worst since May 22, 1987, when 30 people died and 162 were injured in the far West Texas town of Saragosa. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 29 May 1997 13:18:45 -0400 From: James Aman Subject: QuickTime loop of Jarrell TX supercell Yesterday Steven Babin from the Ocean Remote Sensing Group at The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab in Laurel MD posted this amazing satellite view of the deadly Texas storms: http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/people/babin/imgallery/tornatx/tornatx_124.n14.97may27_1958.gif I wanted to add that the Discovery Channel has a detailed QuickTime loop of the radar reflectivity of the Jarrell TX storm at: http://www.discovery.com/area/science/tornado/media/texastwister.mov I find it very interesting that the storm seemed to be moving FROM the north-northeast TO the south-southwest. I wonder what the WSR88D storm detection algorithims came out with ? James Aman, meteorologist jaman@aws.com Automated Weather Source http://www.aws.com/ Manager, technical support department ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 29 May 1997 17:34:13 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: QuickTime loop of Jarrell TX supercell On May 29, 1:18pm, James Aman wrote: > I wonder what the WSR88D storm detection algorithims > came out with ? > Well, San Antonio issued a tornado warning for the storm, so I'd guess the MESO or TDA alarms were triggered... WFUS1 KSAT 272030 TORSAT TXC491-272130- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 330 PM CDT TUE MAY 27 1997 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A TORNADO WARNING EFFECTIVE UNTIL 430 PM CDT FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING LOCATION... IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS ...WILLIAMSON COUNTY AT 325 PM A TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED ABOUT 5 MILES WEST OF JARRAL MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH. THIS STORM HAS HAD A HISTORY OF PRODUCING TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL. THE CITY OF JARREL IS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM. [...] -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS FIRSTT | CIMSS/University of Wisconsin-Madison ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 29 May 1997 15:50:36 -0500 From: Chip Mahaney Subject: NWS statement on Jarrell/Cedar Park tornadoes FYI... off the wire today... posted by the NWS in Austin/San Antonio... PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 330 PM CDT THU MAY 29 1997 YESTERDAY...WEDNESDAY MAY 28TH...A TEAM FROM THE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE CONDUCTED A PRELIMINARY SURVEY OF THE TORNADO DAMAGE AT BOTH JARRELL AND CEDAR PARK...BOTH IN WILLIAMSON COUNTY. THIS SURVEY WAS LIMITED TO GROUND OBSERVATIONS IN THE DESTRUCTION AREAS AND DID NOT INCLUDE ANY AERIAL VIEWING OR PHOTOGRAPHY. AGAIN...IT IS EMPHASIZED THAT THIS IS ONLY A PRELIMINARY SURVEY. THE SURVEY RESULTS FOLLOW: IT APPEARS THE JARRELL TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN AROUND 3:45 PM JUST WEST OF JARRELL AND JUST NORTHWEST OF THE DOUBLE CREEK SUBDIVISION. FROM EYEWITNESS ACCOUNTS...IT DEVELOPED QUICKLY FROM A SMALL...ROPE-SHAPED TORNADO INTO A VERY LARGE AND EXTREMELY DESTRUCTIVE TORNADO. BUILDING TO A WIDTH OF NEARLY ONE-HALF MILE...IT APPEARS TO HAVE TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE SUBDIVISION. FROM THE TOTAL DESTRUCTION OF HOMES IN THIS AREA...AS WELL AS VEHICLES AND DEBRIS BLOWN GREAT DISTANCES AND ALSO DAMAGE TO VEGETATION IN THE AREA...THE TORNADO IS BELIEVED TO HAVE BEEN AN F5 ON THE FUJITA TORNADO SCALE. THIS INDICATES THAT WINDS IN THE TORNADO WERE IN EXCESS OF 260 MILES AN HOUR. THERE WERE SOME INDICATIONS BY GROUND DAMAGE THAT THE TORNADO MAY HAVE FORMED ADDITIONAL SMALLER TORNADOES IN THE DOUBLE CREEK SUBDIVISION AREA WITHIN THE PARENT FUNNEL KNOWN AS "SUCTION VORTICES". THESE WOULD HAVE ROTATED INSIDE THE PARENT FUNNEL CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. THE JARRELL TORNADO THEN CHANGED ITS TRACK...MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AND INTO AN AREA OF TREES. NO ACCESS WAS AVAILABLE TO THIS AREA...BUT IT IS BELIEVED THE TORNADO CONTINUED IN THIS DIRECTION FOR AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 4 MILES. THE CEDAR PARK TORNADO FORMED AROUND 4:00 PM IN A DIFFERENT SEVERE THUNDERSTORM...AND WAS NOT PART OF THE JARRELL TORNADO. IT FIRST APPEARED JUST NORTH OF THE CENTER OF THE CITY AND WAS VISIBLE FOR APPROXIMATELY 5 TO 8 MINUTES BEFORE STRIKING THE AUSTIN STEAM TRAIN YARD NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF FM1431 AND SH183. IT TOSSED THE HILL COUNTRY FLYER TRAIN TENDER OFF THE TRACK AND ROLLED IT SEVERAL YARDS...THEN MOVED SOUTHWARD TO STRIKE A SHOPPING CENTER. THE TORNADIC WINDS WEAKENED AND PUSHED INWARD SLIGHTLY THE NORTH WALL OF A GROCERY STORE. IT ALSO TORE OFF MUCH OF THE ROOF OF THE STORE. IT THEN TURNED SOUTHWESTWARD...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE TO STORE ROOFS...WALLS AND WINDOWS AS WELL AS SIGNS. IT NEXT MOVED SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE BUTTERCUP CREEK SUBDIVISION. HERE IT CAUSED WIDESPREAD DAMAGE TO HOMES AND TREES...WITH NEARLY TOTAL DESTRUCTION OF TWO HOMES. IT ALSO TOSSED A PICKUP TRUCK AGAINST A HOUSE. THIS TORNADO WAS GENERALLY BETWEEN ONE AND TWO HUNDRED YARDS WIDE AS IT MOVED THROUGH THE AREA. IT IS BELIEVED TO HAVE BEEN AN F2 AS IT FORMED...THEN INCREASED TO F3 STRENGTH AS IT APPROACHED THE GROCERY STORE AND CONTINUED FOR NEARLY ONE-QUARTER MILE AT THIS STRENGTH. IT AGAIN WEAKENED SLIGHTLY TO F2 STRENGTH...WITH A BRIEF SURGE TO F3 DAMAGE AS IT NEARLY DESTROYED THE TWO HOMES. AGAIN...THIS IS A PRELIMINARY SURVEY. A MORE COMPLETE AND THOROUGH SURVEY WILL BE CONDUCTED THIS WEEKEND TO INCLUDE BOTH GROUND AND AERIAL INVESTIGATIONS AND ENGINEERING ASSESSMENTS. THESE RESULTS WILL BE PUBLISHED AND MADE AVAILABLE AT A LATER DATE. === Chip Mahaney KDFW-TV FOX 4 News Dallas/Fort Worth, TX 214-720-3156 mahaneys@startext.net ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 29 May 1997 13:54:03 EDT From: Dennis O'Keefe Subject: David Ludlum, 1910-1997. David Ludlum died Friday, May 23, 1997, at his home in Princeton, New Jersey. He was a prominent weather historian and author. -- Dennis O'Keefe New Paltz, New York. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 29 May 1997 18:33:36 -0500 From: SKYWARN-TEXAS Subject: Tuesday's Tornadoes in Central Texas By a fluke in scheduling, I happened to be at my daughter's home in Williamson County, Texas, this past Tuesday afternoon at the time the tornadoes struck at Jarrell and Cedar Park. Both communities are in that county, with Jarrell about 25 miles north-northeast of my location at the time, and Cedar Park approximately 8 miles southwest. The cable tv system which serves my daughter's home provides a continuous feed of the WFO New Braunfels NEXRAD. Until power was lost, it was possible for me to observe both the actual supercell as well as its base reflectivity. The image updated on about a five minute cycle. The base reflectivity at the time the initial tornado struck Jarrell was almost perfectly symmetrical, except for a long, slender echo off the southwest quadrant which stuck out like a handle. Even before we received the tornado warning message over the Austin NOAA Weather Radio, I commented to my daughter that the handle might be a tornadic signature. We were able to view the image for approximately 15 minutes from the time the hook-like extension appeared on the radar feed, then lost power. >From my vantage point, I was never able to see a funnel cloud but (prior to visibility being obscured by rainfall) could clearly see the rotating wall cloud. Prior to the onset of rain, our location received intermittent hail which ranged in diameter from dime to nickel size. There was not a great amount of wind during the hail, but I estimated the gusts at 50 to 60 once the rain started. While the second touchdown at Cedar Park was probably an F1 or F2, the initial strike at Jarrell produced velocities which I would estimate to be close to F5. I have been involved with weather-related disasters in Texas for over 30 years, with that period including more than 12 year during which I was public information officer for the Texas Department of Public Safety (state police agency) and about five years as a broadcast meteorologist. I can truthfully say that I have never seen weather-related damage which came even close to rivaling the "total" devastation which occurred in the Jarrell community. There are some excellent photos of damage on the web today at http://www.austin360.com (the Austin American-Statesman) and http://www.chron.com (the Houston Chronicle), as well as several in-depth articles. As an editorial comment, it seemed to me that the NWS was on top of this situation all the way. There was a tornado watch in place for the area, and NWS Austin-San Antonio issued timely warning of the tornadic thunderstorm prior to its touchdown in Jarrell. Few if any homes in central Texas have basements or tornado shelters, and there is little that people who were at home in the path could do other than take shelter in a closet. Unfortunately, that is of little avail in the face of an F4 or F5 tornado which literally wipes the face of the earth clean. Jim Robinson Webmaster SKYWARN Texas http://www.skywarn-texas.org ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 29 May 1997 22:18:35 -0500 From: Scott Stanford Subject: 48 Hours For those interested.. 48 Hours is running a segment tonight on the Jarrell TX Tornado. 10pm est. Scott Stanford Field Technician - Vanstar (919) 483-4669 PAGER: 664-0410 sfs41094@glaxowellcome.com ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 29 May 1997 22:16:46 -0500 From: Roger Diercks Subject: Dateline NBC Dateline NBC is going to show a segment on the Texas tornadoes Friday night. Let's hope they have some real journalism instead of their usual sensationalistic NWS bashing, but I'm not holding my breath! Roger Diercks diercks@students.uiuc.edu ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 30 May 1997 00:35:11 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: *ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site became a commissioned ASOS site at 1800 UTC on 29 May, 1997. ST. LOUIS DOWNTOWN-PARKS AIRPORT (KCPS) CAHOKIA/ST. LOUIS... IL Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 28 May 1997 to 29 May 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri May 30 14:00:53 1997 X-UIDL: 780fcf3d5c0bd9a2e801a73da78cb874 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102586-20969>; Fri, 30 May 1997 14:00:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA80062; Fri, 30 May 1997 00:47:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5538273 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 May 1997 00:46:58 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA23978 for ; Fri, 30 May 1997 00:46:57 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA27849 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 May 1997 00:46:56 -0500 Message-ID: <199705300546.AAA27849@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 30 May 1997 00:46:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -300046 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 62662 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z/310600Z MAY 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/300151Z MAY 97// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/300153Z MAY 97// REF/C/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/291955Z MAY 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 300000Z3 TROPICAL STORM LEVI (05W) WAS LOCATED AT 28.5N5 135.2E1, MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 26 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM LEVI (05W) WARNING NR 18 (WTPN31 PGTW 300300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 300000Z3 TROPICAL STORM MARIE (06W) WAS LOCATED AT 17.7N5 159.8E3, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM MARIE (06W) WARNING NR 14 (WTPN32 PGTW 300300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 110E2 IS NOW NEAR 16N7 112E4. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. A WEAK UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE IS PRESENT ABOVE THIS SYSTEM AS INDICATED BY UPPER-LEVEL RAWINSONDE DATA. MOST OF THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY LIES TO THE SOUTH OF THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION IN STRONG LOW-LEVEL FLOW FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED. BOTH CONVECTIVE AREAL COVERAGE AND ORGANIZATION HAVE DECREASED DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 291800Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 37P WAS LOCATED AT 18.0S9 170.0E8, MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL CYCLONE 37P WARNING NR 04 (WTPS31 PGTW 292100)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/HAM/BALLUCANAG/EIBLING// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri May 30 14:58:05 1997 X-UIDL: 2347d8828b91ad4cd4f745b810eb32a0 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102566-20969>; Fri, 30 May 1997 14:58:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA98176; Fri, 30 May 1997 01:45:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5538554 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 May 1997 01:44:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA256822 for ; Fri, 30 May 1997 01:44:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id BAA19672 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 May 1997 01:42:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199705300642.BAA19672@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 30 May 1997 01:42:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 625 WTPS31 PGTW 300900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 37P WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z9 --- 18.9S8 172.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 100 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.9S8 172.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 20.0S2 174.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 300900Z2 POSITION 19.2S2 172.8E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 37P (TC 37P) HAS WEAKENED RAPIDLY AS IT MOVES OVER COOLER WATERS AND ENCOUNTERS STRONGER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TC 37P HAS DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z IS 9 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri May 30 16:02:18 1997 X-UIDL: a00c88fd9e7ea15210168ef5f74672be Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102754-20969>; Fri, 30 May 1997 16:02:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA45926; Fri, 30 May 1997 02:41:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5538799 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 May 1997 02:41:24 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA45900 for ; Fri, 30 May 1997 02:41:24 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id CAA50945 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 May 1997 02:41:23 -0500 Message-ID: <199705300741.CAA50945@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 30 May 1997 02:41:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -300241 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 60926 WTPN31 PGTW 300900 1. TROPICAL STORM LEVI (05W) WARNING NR 019 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z9 --- 29.6N7 138.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 29 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.6N7 138.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 32.4N9 145.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 35 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 35.2N0 152.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 30 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 38 KTS --- 30 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 36.6N5 157.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 300900Z2 POSITION 30.3N6 140.0E5 TROPICAL STORM LEVI (05W) IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 29 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 300530Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ANALYSIS ADJUSTED FOR THIS SYSTEM=S CURRENT MOTION. TROPICAL STORM LEVI HAS RAPIDLY BECOME EXTRATROPICAL AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ACCELERATING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3), 302100Z6 (DTG 301951Z9), 310300Z7 (DTG 310151Z1) AND 310900Z3 (DTG 310751Z7). THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TYPHOON MARIE (06W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri May 30 16:55:10 1997 X-UIDL: e123fd6e0217874c7399f9e6bb180509 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102748-20969>; Fri, 30 May 1997 16:55:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA79910; Fri, 30 May 1997 03:36:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5538957 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 May 1997 03:36:48 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA141842 for ; Fri, 30 May 1997 03:36:47 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id DAA60728 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 May 1997 03:36:46 -0500 Message-ID: <199705300836.DAA60728@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 30 May 1997 03:36:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -300336 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 45877 WTPN32 PGTW 300900 1. TYPHOON MARIE (06W) WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z9 --- 18.3N2 160.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 160.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 19.6N6 160.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 21.2N5 160.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 23.1N6 160.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 25.3N0 161.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 29.0N1 166.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 300900Z2 POSITION 18.6N5 160.0E7 TYPHOON MARIE (06W) IS MOVING NORTH AT 07 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 300530Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF SATELLITE-DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES USING 300530Z AND 300532Z INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TYPHOON MARIE (06W) IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY THROUGH 24 HOURS AS IT MOVES THROUGH A WEAKENED PORTION OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE, THEN WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS STRONGER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TYPHOON MARIE (06W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWARD THROUGH 24 HOURS, THEN TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AS IT MOVES INTO THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5), 302100Z6 (DTG 301953Z1), 310300Z7 (DTG 310153Z3) AND 310900Z3 (DTG 310753Z9). REFER TO THE TROPICAL STORM LEVI (05W) WARNING /EM1 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THAT SYSTEM.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri May 30 23:33:19 1997 X-UIDL: 5478d2d922108213563c9eb5c8e1b20e Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102732-20969>; Fri, 30 May 1997 23:33:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA235194; Fri, 30 May 1997 09:08:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5540526 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 May 1997 09:08:28 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA57760 for ; Fri, 30 May 1997 09:08:27 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id JAA42506 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 May 1997 09:08:27 -0500 Message-ID: <199705301408.JAA42506@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 30 May 1997 09:08:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -300908 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 46855 WTPN32 PGTW 301500 1. TYPHOON MARIE (06W) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z6 --- 19.5N5 160.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 005 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.5N5 160.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 21.7N0 160.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 24.0N6 160.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 26.0N8 161.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 27.8N7 164.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 32.6N1 171.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 301500Z9 POSITION 20.1N3 160.1E8 TYPHOON MARIE (06W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 12 KNOTS. WE EXPECT TYPHOON MARIE TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWARD FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS BEFORE TURNING NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF SOUTHWESTERLY STEERING FLOW NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z2 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 302100Z6 (DTG 301953Z1), 310300Z7 (DTG 310153Z3), 310900Z3 (DTG 310753Z9) AND 311500Z0 (DTG 311353Z6).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat May 31 13:10:54 1997 X-UIDL: 51c96d555a63f4deee3bc658f34f450a Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102772-14965>; Sat, 31 May 1997 13:10:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA32822; Sat, 31 May 1997 00:03:26 -0500 Message-Id: <199705310503.AAA32822@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 31 May 1997 00:00:00 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 29 May 1997 to 30 May 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 8 messages totalling 185 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Radar images of Texas tornadoes 2. Guess rules are guidelines (2) 3. Quick-Time 4. TV Met Job Available Jefferson City, MO 5. Dateline NBC 6. 1997 update 7. March 31/April 1 New England Blizzard Map Request +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 30 May 1997 00:48:20 CST From: Weatherman <954blake@ALPHA.NLU.EDU> Subject: Radar images of Texas tornadoes Just curious if anyone had put them on the web anywhere...in the same form that the Arkansas NWS did for the SW Arkansas tornadoes earlier in the year... Eric Blake Webmaster, ATWC http://www.usacitylink.com/blake/tropical.html ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 30 May 1997 00:04:12 -0700 From: A Lieberman Subject: Guess rules are guidelines The following is a clip from a news article at: http://www.Austin360.com/news/05may/29/families.htm > Then she and the four children huddled together in a closet to await the twister's > wrath, until her brother-in-law arrived and said they all needed to leave -- and fast. > >``If it wouldn't have been for him, we would have all been killed,'' she said, >explaining that they drove away from the tornado, taking refuge in their bare feet >under a highway underpass until law officers arrived. > >``Our whole house is gone,'' Ms. Arnold said. Only proves that text books are just that..... text books. Just hope that articles like this don't promote "out running" a tornado in a car as the above is an exception, not the rule. I was pleased that the media did give NWS credit for the advance warning (25-30 minutes) and in spite the warning, the tragedy could not be avoided....... Or could it have...... Though, somewhat off topic.... Just curious that why the sub-division did not require basements or storm cellars in the zoning laws??? I bet that would have reduced the loss of life in a substantial way. Where were the people to go? Allen -- http://www.bright.net/~lieberma/ Come visit my homepage!!! Any unsolicited COMMERCIAL Email will be replied with a complaint to the postmaster of the sender! ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 30 May 1997 06:43:53 -0500 From: Dennis Gabler Subject: Re: Guess rules are guidelines > >Though, somewhat off topic.... Just curious that why the sub-division >did not require basements or storm cellars in the zoning laws??? I bet >that would have reduced the loss of life in a substantial way. Where >were the people to go? > The bedrock is close to the surface that area. It is extremely expensive to carve out a basement in it so it generally is not done. Still though, a small storm shelter of some sort would be affordable (I think). Later, Dennis -- Dennis Gabler --o--------------------------=o=--------------------------o-- | http://www.qsl.net/w5dg dennisg@ microware.com W5DG___________________| W5DG@N0UXV.CIA.IA.USA.NA Principal Software Engineer Microware Systems Corp. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 30 May 1997 11:20:45 EDT From: Munley <71435.211@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: Quick-Time I am sorry can someone please repeat the site to get a quick time movie of the Texas tornado ob the 27th. Thanks. Jim Munley Jr. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 30 May 1997 10:26:19 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available Jefferson City, MO The following position is available at our sister station in Jefferson City, MO. The announcement originally appeared in SHOPTALK (http://www.tvspy.com). ..Chris.. MORNING WEATHER TALENT (KRCG) Mid-Missouri's top rated news station is expanding. We're looking for a weather talent for our start-up morning show. We need a bright personality who can deliver an accurate, upbeat morning forecast and have fun doing it with our new Triton i7. Seal preferred but not necessary. Good salary and benefits. Please send tape and resume to: Al Zobel, News Director, KRCG-TV, PO Box 659, Jefferson City, MO, 65102. EOE. Women and minorities are encouraged to reply. Your phone calls are welcome. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 30 May 1997 09:59:27 -0500 From: Peter Laws Subject: Re: Dateline NBC On Thu, 29 May 1997, Roger Diercks wrote: > Dateline NBC is going to show a segment on the Texas tornadoes Friday > night. Let's hope they have some real journalism instead of their usual Gee, hope it's not at 2000 CDT. It will conflict with Gary England's "Inside the Bear's Cage" ... :-) -- Peter Laws / plaws@wildstar.net ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 30 May 1997 12:43:54 CST From: Weatherman <954blake@ALPHA.NLU.EDU> Subject: 1997 update I have completed an update of the Atlantic Tropical Weather Center...with a slightly different look and updated links (most of them)... Thanks for all of the helpful comments and suggestions through the last 2 years... Eric Blake Webmaster, ATWC http://usacitylink.com/blake/tropical.html ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 30 May 1997 20:09:15 -0400 From: Josh Nichols Subject: March 31/April 1 New England Blizzard Map Request To anyone who could be of help, Do you know of any Internet sites out there that may be able to provide me with the standard upper level analyses (850, 700, 500, 250, etc.) for 3/31-4/1/97? If anyone downloaded the NWS DIFAX charts for this date or knows of contact points where I could reference, if you could please contact me at 75613.1534@compuserve.com, that would be of great help. I dont think the NWS has an archive of these maps thus it may be impossible to download these off the Internet. Also any possible site that may actually have the UK or ECMWF model output for this storm? I know one of these really pinpointed this storm's development a good several days out in advance. Thank you very much Josh Nichols Easton, MA weather observer E-Mail:75613.1534@compuserve.com http://www.geocities.com/CapeCanaveral/6738 Lyndon State College Sophomore '97-'98 Meteorology Major "Joshwxman" on Undernet's #weather channel "The realities of tomorrow begin with the dreams of today"-OAHS Class of '96 Motto ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 29 May 1997 to 30 May 1997 ************************************************** From - Tue Jun 3 15:44:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102435-23423>; Tue, 3 Jun 1997 14:18:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA239684; Tue, 3 Jun 1997 00:59:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5574418 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Jun 1997 00:59:31 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA225074 for ; Tue, 3 Jun 1997 00:59:30 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA49059 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 3 Jun 1997 00:59:29 -0500 Message-ID: <199706030559.AAA49059@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 3 Jun 1997 00:59:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -030059 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9f9f790318d00b429641e29445d61894 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2178 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 42656 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600Z JUN 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/020853Z JUN 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 020600Z8 TROPICAL STORM MARIE (06W) HAD BECOME EXTRATROPICAL AND WAS LOCATED AT 33.3N9 177.4E9, MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 32 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM MARIE (06W) WARNING NR 27 (WTPN32 PGTW 020900)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 164E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5N5 167E4. A CLEAR LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EVIDENT IN ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY, THE SYNOPTIC DATA, AND SCATTEROMETRY. THIS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED IN A FAVORABLE REGION OF UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE ALTHOUGH CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CENTER IS WIDELY SCATTERED AND THE CIRCULATION CENTER IS RATHER BROAD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1011 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY NEAR 7N7 139E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: NICKLAS/SULLINS/MILLER/HATFIELD/EIBLING// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jun 4 14:58:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102557-22646>; Wed, 4 Jun 1997 14:14:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA74330; Wed, 4 Jun 1997 00:59:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5584657 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 4 Jun 1997 00:59:45 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA97348 for ; Wed, 4 Jun 1997 00:59:45 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA22234 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 4 Jun 1997 00:59:44 -0500 Message-ID: <199706040559.AAA22234@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 4 Jun 1997 00:59:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -040059 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b3c2018952fa245adfd2dfd0954888aa X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1816 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 50647 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600Z JUN 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 167E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5N5 164E1. A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EVIDENT IN ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY, MICROWAVE IMAGERY, AND SCATTEROMETRY. ALTHOUGH A WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION CENTER EXISTS AND ORGANIZATION HAS IMPROVED SINCE YESTERDAY, NEARBY SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE THE SURROUNDING SURFACE PRESSURES ARE STILL HIGH (ABOUT 1013 MB AT EBON (WMO 91442) AND KOSRAE (WMO 91356)). ANIMATED WATER IMAGERY AND THE UPPER AIR SOUNDINGS FROM BOTH POHNPEI (WMO 91348) AND KWAJALIEN (WMO 91366) INDICATE THE UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS LIGHT ON THIS DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: NICKLAS/SULLINS/MILLER/HATFIELD/EIBLING// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jun 6 17:06:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102491-12766>; Fri, 6 Jun 1997 10:20:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA93690; Thu, 5 Jun 1997 21:02:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5599097 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 5 Jun 1997 21:02:00 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA153000 for ; Thu, 5 Jun 1997 20:59:21 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id UAA55117 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 5 Jun 1997 20:59:20 -0500 Message-ID: <199706060159.UAA55117@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 5 Jun 1997 20:59:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -052059 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6e244ce15b23ebf6671aab14112768a1 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 57674 WTPN31 PGTW 060300 THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 050721Z JUN 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 050730 ) 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- 9.0N9 156.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.0N9 156.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 9.4N3 155.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 9.8N7 154.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 10.3N4 152.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 10.8N9 151.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 11.4N6 148.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 060300Z9 POSITION 9.1N0 156.4E6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (07W) HAS FORMED IN THE EASTERN CAROLINE ISLANDS AND IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 052330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM CHUUK(WMO 91334) AND POHNPEI(WMO 91348), AS WELL AS A SATELLITE- DERIVED INTENSITY ANALYSIS USING 052330Z VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (07W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 72 HOURS. GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE. FORECASTED WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A SMALLER THAN AVERAGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9), 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6), 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2) AND 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 050721Z JUN 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 050730).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jun 6 17:06:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102447-12766>; Fri, 6 Jun 1997 13:41:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA229162; Fri, 6 Jun 1997 00:28:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5600651 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Jun 1997 00:27:55 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA194072 for ; Fri, 6 Jun 1997 00:27:55 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA54639 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 6 Jun 1997 00:27:54 -0500 Message-ID: <199706060527.AAA54639@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Jun 1997 00:27:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -060027 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8967cd00613f4bd2bceb7676bfdf1567 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 55148 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600Z JUN 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/060151Z JUN 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 060000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WAS LOCATED AT 9.0N9 156.8E0, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 07W WARNING NR 01 (WTPN31 PGTW 060300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/FINTA/WOFFORD/PUGH/BACON// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jun 6 17:06:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102594-12766>; Fri, 6 Jun 1997 16:47:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA208576; Fri, 6 Jun 1997 03:27:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5601375 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Jun 1997 03:27:47 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA24494 for ; Fri, 6 Jun 1997 03:27:46 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id DAA51032 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 6 Jun 1997 03:27:46 -0500 Message-ID: <199706060827.DAA51032@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Jun 1997 03:27:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -060327 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9e0299693f3a4d9adb066a2122c4e137 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 35925 WTPN31 PGTW 060900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- 9.2N1 155.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.2N1 155.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 9.6N5 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 9.9N8 153.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 10.4N5 151.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 10.8N9 150.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 11.6N8 148.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION 9.3N2 155.4E5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (07W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 060530Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF 060600Z SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM CHUUK(WMO 91336) AND POHNPEI(WMO 91348)AS WELL AS AN 060530Z SATELLITE-DERIVED INTENSITY ANALYSIS USING 060530Z VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (07W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD. THIS SYSTEM IS ORGANIZING RAPIDLY DUE TO ITS SMALL SIZE. THUS, IT IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY FASTER THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST TO 65 KNOTS WITHIN 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6), 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2), 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4) AND 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 7 11:05:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102403-12766>; Fri, 6 Jun 1997 22:37:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA194258; Fri, 6 Jun 1997 09:11:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5602758 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Jun 1997 09:11:44 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA236224 for ; Fri, 6 Jun 1997 09:11:44 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id JAA51724 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 6 Jun 1997 09:11:43 -0500 Message-ID: <199706061411.JAA51724@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Jun 1997 09:11:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -060911 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: af510afcb80d5e489e2ad828cd44f64f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2679 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 35849 WTPN31 PGTW 061500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- 10.0N1 154.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.0N1 154.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 10.4N5 153.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 10.8N9 152.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 11.2N4 150.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 11.6N8 149.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 12.4N7 147.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 061500Z2 POSITION 10.1N2 154.1E1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON SATELLITE INFRARED AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2), 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4), 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0) AND 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 7 11:05:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102867-12766>; Sat, 7 Jun 1997 04:31:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA226718; Fri, 6 Jun 1997 15:15:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5605948 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Jun 1997 15:15:13 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA124266 for ; Fri, 6 Jun 1997 15:15:05 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id PAA65535 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 6 Jun 1997 15:15:04 -0500 Message-ID: <199706062015.PAA65535@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Jun 1997 15:15:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -061515 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 19416e668343158200ea660874d2d8bf X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2541 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 68348 WTPN31 PGTW 062100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- 10.1N2 153.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.1N2 153.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 10.4N5 152.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 10.7N8 150.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 11.1N3 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 11.7N9 148.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 13.1N5 146.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 062100Z9 POSITION 10.2N3 153.2E1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AT 09 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON SATELLITE INFRARED IMAGERY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4), 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0), 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7) AND 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 7 11:05:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102402-4698>; Sat, 7 Jun 1997 10:23:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA245468; Fri, 6 Jun 1997 21:10:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5608248 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Jun 1997 21:10:14 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA98246 for ; Fri, 6 Jun 1997 21:10:13 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id VAA48782 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 6 Jun 1997 21:10:13 -0500 Message-ID: <199706070210.VAA48782@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 6 Jun 1997 21:10:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -062110 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 92b3c028621777f9bc7cd490f8e84656 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2494 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 61579 WTPN31 PGTW 070300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- 10.3N4 152.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.3N4 152.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 10.7N8 151.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 11.1N3 150.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 11.7N9 149.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 12.3N6 147.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 13.3N7 145.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION 10.4N5 152.4E2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. TD 07W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ITS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOVEMENT AND SLOWLY INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z7 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0), 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7), 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3) AND 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 7 16:13:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102522-4698>; Sat, 7 Jun 1997 14:25:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA148898; Sat, 7 Jun 1997 01:08:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5609532 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Jun 1997 01:07:59 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA256904 for ; Sat, 7 Jun 1997 01:07:59 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id BAA38239 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 7 Jun 1997 01:07:58 -0500 Message-ID: <199706070607.BAA38239@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Jun 1997 01:07:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -070107 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0d8e74485c6ffc1b2b71e5e0bd4cc0b0 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1330 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 45404 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z JUN 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070151Z JUN 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070000Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WAS LOCATED AT 10.3N3 152.7E5, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 07W WARNING NR 05 (WTPN31 PGTW 070300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: NICKLAS/SULLINS/MILLER/HATFIELD/EIBLING// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 7 16:13:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102617-4698>; Sat, 7 Jun 1997 16:01:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA98142; Sat, 7 Jun 1997 02:43:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5609891 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Jun 1997 02:43:53 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA97354 for ; Sat, 7 Jun 1997 02:43:52 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id CAA64644 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 7 Jun 1997 02:43:51 -0500 Message-ID: <199706070743.CAA64644@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Jun 1997 02:43:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -070243 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8f55237e9589759e6f34b82cfc2333d9 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3060 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 55937 WTPN31 PGTW 070900 1. TROPICAL STORM NESTOR (07W) WARNING NR 006 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z3 --- 11.2N4 151.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.2N4 151.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 12.2N5 150.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 13.4N8 148.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 14.6N1 147.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 15.2N8 146.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 15.9N5 143.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 070900Z6 POSITION 11.5N7 151.4E1 TROPICAL STORM NESTOR (07W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THIS FORECAST REPRESENTS A SLIGHT DEVIATION FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNINGS. WE ARE NOW EXPECTING TROPICAL STORM NESTOR TO GAIN MORE LATITUDE THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST DUE TO THE STRONG MIDLATITUDE TROUGH CURRENTLY NORTH-NORTHWEST OF THE CYCLONE. AFTER PASSAGE OF THIS TROUGH, TROPICAL STORM NESTOR IS EXPECTED TO RESUME A MORE WESTWARD TRACK. BOTH OUR PRIMARY AND SECONDARY DYNAMIC GUIDANCE SUPPORT THIS NEW FORECAST SCENARIO. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z3 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7), 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3), 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5) AND 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jun 8 10:27:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102650-4698>; Sat, 7 Jun 1997 22:28:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA249820; Sat, 7 Jun 1997 09:11:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5610823 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Jun 1997 09:11:07 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA233674 for ; Sat, 7 Jun 1997 09:11:06 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id JAA48924 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 7 Jun 1997 09:11:05 -0500 Message-ID: <199706071411.JAA48924@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Jun 1997 09:11:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -070911 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5a5eeb5f3d8618ee3d3391b9737be867 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2959 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 34329 WTPN31 PGTW 071500 1. TROPICAL STORM NESTOR (07W) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- 12.3N6 151.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.3N6 151.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 13.6N0 149.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 14.8N3 147.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 16.1N8 145.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 17.0N8 143.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 18.2N1 139.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 071500Z3 POSITION 12.6N9 150.9E5 TROPICAL STORM NESTOR (07W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE GAINING LATITUDE AND SLOWLY INTENSIFYING. POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 071130Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z0 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3), 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5), 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1) AND 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jun 8 10:27:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102680-4698>; Sun, 8 Jun 1997 04:29:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA41618; Sat, 7 Jun 1997 15:09:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5611951 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Jun 1997 15:09:28 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA98084 for ; Sat, 7 Jun 1997 15:08:07 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id PAA22175 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 7 Jun 1997 15:08:07 -0500 Message-ID: <199706072008.PAA22175@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Jun 1997 15:08:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -071508 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ad7a7b266327cfdc50761f95df8cf009 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3036 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 26268 WTPN31 PGTW 072100 1. TROPICAL STORM NESTOR (07W) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- 12.5N8 150.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.5N8 150.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 13.9N3 148.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 15.5N1 146.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 17.1N9 145.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 18.7N6 144.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 20.4N6 142.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 072100Z0 POSITION 12.8N1 149.8E2 TROPICAL STORM NESTOR (07W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE GAINING LATITUDE IN RESPONSE TO A PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 071730Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND A 071233Z6 SCATTEROMETER PASS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z6 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5), 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1), 081500Z4 (DTG 81351Z8) AND 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jun 8 15:56:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102231-10958>; Sun, 8 Jun 1997 10:37:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA266216; Sat, 7 Jun 1997 21:21:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5613415 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Jun 1997 21:21:22 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA256982 for ; Sat, 7 Jun 1997 21:21:22 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id VAA71572 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 7 Jun 1997 21:21:21 -0500 Message-ID: <199706080221.VAA71572@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Jun 1997 21:21:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -072121 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a6e72aacd2b54baf05474daf8685caec X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3481 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 26257 WTPN31 PGTW 080300 1. TROPICAL STORM NESTOR (07W) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- 13.0N4 149.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.0N4 149.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 13.8N2 148.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 14.9N4 147.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 16.3N0 146.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 17.9N7 145.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 20.1N3 143.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION 13.2N6 149.5E9 TROPICAL STORM NESTOR (07W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 072330Z SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL STORM NESTOR (07W) HAS SLOWED ITS FORWARD MOTION AND IS TURNING NORTHWARD IN RESPONSE TO A MID-LATITUDE SYSTEM WHICH IS WEAKENING THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IN ITS VICINITY. AFTER 36 HOURS, TROPICAL STORM NESTOR (07W) IS FORECAST TO TURN WESTWARD AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE REBUILDS TO THE NORTH. TROPICAL STORM NESTOR (07W) IS CURRENTLY EXPERIENCING LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH IS EXPECTED TO ABATE AS IT APPROACHES THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. THIS WILL ALLOW THIS SYSTEM TO RESUME INTENSIFYING AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z IS 9 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1), 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8), 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4) AND 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jun 8 15:56:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102190-10958>; Sun, 8 Jun 1997 11:22:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA113526; Sat, 7 Jun 1997 22:07:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5613531 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Jun 1997 22:07:34 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA97374 for ; Sat, 7 Jun 1997 22:07:33 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id WAA48776 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 7 Jun 1997 22:07:33 -0500 Message-ID: <199706080307.WAA48776@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 7 Jun 1997 22:07:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -072207 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0b1964269be0295b94b653827f61842c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3587 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 48005 WTPN31 PGTW 080300 COR 1. TROPICAL STORM NESTOR (07W) WARNING NR 009A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- 13.0N4 149.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.0N4 149.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 13.8N2 148.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 14.9N4 147.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 16.3N0 146.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 17.9N7 145.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 20.1N3 143.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION 13.2N6 149.5E9 TROPICAL STORM NESTOR (07W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 072330Z SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL STORM NESTOR (07W) HAS SLOWED ITS FORWARD MOTION AND IS TURNING NORTHWARD IN RESPONSE TO A MID-LATITUDE SYSTEM WHICH IS WEAKENING THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IN ITS VICINITY. AFTER 36 HOURS, TROPICAL STORM NESTOR (07W) IS FORECAST TO TURN WESTWARD AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE REBUILDS TO THE NORTH. TROPICAL STORM NESTOR (07W) IS CURRENTLY EXPERIENCING LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH IS EXPECTED TO ABATE AS IT APPROACHES THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. THIS WILL ALLOW THIS SYSTEM TO RESUME INTENSIFYING AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1), 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8), 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4) AND 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6). REASON FOR CORRECTION: TO CORRECT MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT FROM 9 FEET TO 12 FEET.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jun 8 15:56:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102367-10958>; Sun, 8 Jun 1997 13:26:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA223622; Sun, 8 Jun 1997 00:14:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5613907 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Jun 1997 00:14:35 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA98256 for ; Sun, 8 Jun 1997 00:06:04 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA47977 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Jun 1997 00:06:04 -0500 Message-ID: <199706080506.AAA47977@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Jun 1997 00:06:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -080006 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cca4408b8a67593a36ea33c0e0193e16 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1342 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 64614 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600Z JUN 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/080151Z JUN 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 080000Z8 TROPICAL STORM NESTOR (07W) WAS LOCATED AT 13.0N4 149.8E2, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM NESTOR (07W) WARNING NR 09 (WTPN31 PGTW 080300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/SULLINS/MILLER/HATFIELD/EIBLING// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jun 8 15:56:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102436-10958>; Sun, 8 Jun 1997 14:50:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA226684; Sun, 8 Jun 1997 01:34:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5614286 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Jun 1997 01:34:06 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA245354 for ; Sun, 8 Jun 1997 01:34:06 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id BAA71689 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Jun 1997 01:34:05 -0500 Message-ID: <199706080634.BAA71689@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Jun 1997 01:34:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -080134 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 73863e382bad736fe0b87efd628b20dc X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3399 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 73222 WTPN31 PGTW 080900 1. TROPICAL STORM NESTOR (07W) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z4 --- 14.1N6 150.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N6 150.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 15.8N4 149.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 17.3N1 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 18.9N8 149.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 20.2N4 148.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 22.9N3 147.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 080900Z7 POSITION 14.5N0 150.0E6 TROPICAL STORM NESTOR (07W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 080430Z SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL STORM NESTOR (07W) HAS TURNED TOWARD THE NORTH IN RESPONSE TO A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH TO ITS NORTHWEST. GENERAL MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH IS NOW FORECAST THROUGH 72 HOURS. AS THE FORECAST PERIOD PROGRESSES, A MID-LEVEL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD TO THE EAST AND HELP STEER TROPICAL STORM NESTOR (07W) NORTHWARD. TROPICAL STORM NESTOR (07W) IS STILL EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AS IT APPROACHES THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8), 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4), 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6) AND 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 9 02:15:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102602-10958>; Sun, 8 Jun 1997 23:05:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA113544; Sun, 8 Jun 1997 09:48:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5615564 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Jun 1997 09:47:57 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA223646 for ; Sun, 8 Jun 1997 09:43:51 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id JAA61616 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Jun 1997 09:43:50 -0500 Message-ID: <199706081443.JAA61616@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Jun 1997 09:43:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -080943 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ff9cac4c1db04ce3d943fbdf1c3ab6c3 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 48045 WTPN31 PGTW 081500 1. TROPICAL STORM NESTOR (07W) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 14.5N0 150.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N0 150.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 15.2N8 149.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 16.2N9 149.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 17.2N0 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 18.3N2 148.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 22.3N7 146.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION 14.7N2 150.0E6 TROPICAL STORM NESTOR (07W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 6 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IN RESPONSE TO A RIDGE CIRCULATION BUILDING TO THE NORTH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z1 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4), 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6), 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2) AND 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jun 9 04:25:42 1997 X-UIDL: 3ab49a98e568c2ee84ceef89cfae2ff4 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102650-10958>; Mon, 9 Jun 1997 04:25:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA74460; Sun, 8 Jun 1997 15:07:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5617794 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Jun 1997 15:06:59 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA24518 for ; Sun, 8 Jun 1997 15:06:58 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id PAA33983 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Jun 1997 15:06:58 -0500 Message-ID: <199706082006.PAA33983@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Jun 1997 15:06:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -081506 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 61628 WTPN31 PGTW 082100 1. TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) WARNING NR 012 RELOCATED UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 07W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- 14.8N3 149.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.8N3 149.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 15.7N3 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 17.0N8 149.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 18.1N0 148.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 19.8N8 147.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 23.5N0 145.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 082100Z1 POSITION 15.0N6 149.7E1 TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 3 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED RAPIDLY OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. NESTOR IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND ACCELERATE AS IT TURNS SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON A 081730Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE FIX SHOWING THAT A WELL DEFINED EYE HAS DEVELOPED. WARNING IS RELOCATED BECAUSE A VECTOR DRAWN TO THE CURRENT WARNING POSITION FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING POSITION WOULD NOT BE REPRESENTATIVE OF SYSTEM MOTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z7 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6), 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2), 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9) AND 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jun 9 10:39:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102226-11893>; Mon, 9 Jun 1997 10:39:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA227656; Sun, 8 Jun 1997 21:10:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5620566 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Jun 1997 21:10:04 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA152884 for ; Sun, 8 Jun 1997 21:10:04 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id VAA50555 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 8 Jun 1997 21:10:03 -0500 Message-ID: <199706090210.VAA50555@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 8 Jun 1997 21:10:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -082110 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 61560 WTPN31 PGTW 090300 1. TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- 15.2N8 149.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N8 149.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 15.9N5 149.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 17.3N1 149.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 18.7N6 148.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 20.1N3 147.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 23.0N5 145.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION 15.4N0 149.4E8 TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) IS SLOWLY MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD EAST OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS. WE EXPECT TYPHOON NESTOR TO MOVE GENERALLY NORTHWARD FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS, AFTER WHICH TIME NESTOR IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2), 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9), 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5) AND 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jun 9 14:10:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102275-11893>; Mon, 9 Jun 1997 14:10:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA223548; Mon, 9 Jun 1997 00:50:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5622374 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Jun 1997 00:50:34 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA141862 for ; Mon, 9 Jun 1997 00:50:34 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA07654 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Jun 1997 00:50:33 -0500 Message-ID: <199706090550.AAA07654@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Jun 1997 00:50:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -090050 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 57059 ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600Z JUN 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/090151Z JUN 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 090000Z9 TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) WAS LOCATED AT 15.2N8 149.5E9, MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) WARNING NR 13 (WTPN31 PGTW 090300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: NICKLAS/SULLINS/MILLER/HATFIELD/EIBLING// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Jun 9 16:54:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102312-11893>; Mon, 9 Jun 1997 16:54:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA234558; Mon, 9 Jun 1997 03:28:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5622973 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Jun 1997 03:28:03 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA184620 for ; Mon, 9 Jun 1997 03:28:03 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id DAA68195 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Jun 1997 03:28:02 -0500 Message-ID: <199706090828.DAA68195@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Jun 1997 03:28:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -090328 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 ZCZC DD+ 65632 WTPN31 PGTW 090900 1. TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- 15.6N2 149.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N2 149.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 16.7N4 148.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 18.1N0 148.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 19.4N4 147.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 20.7N9 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 23.7N2 143.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION 15.9N5 149.0E4 TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) HAS INTENSIFIED TO A CURRENT INTENSITY OF 100 KNOTS AND IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD. WE EXPECT TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) TO MOVE MOSTLY NORTHWARD EARLY IN THE FORECAST PERIOD BEFORE TURNING NORTHWESTWARD BEYOND 24 HOURS. CURRENT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN EXPANDED IN AGREEMENT WITH OUR LATEST AVAILABLE SCATTEROMETRY (090028Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z5 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9), 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5), 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8) AND 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 9 23:21:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102590-11893>; Mon, 9 Jun 1997 22:24:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA232670; Mon, 9 Jun 1997 09:03:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5625883 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Jun 1997 09:03:08 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA118890 for ; Mon, 9 Jun 1997 09:01:34 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id JAA72243 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Jun 1997 09:01:33 -0500 Message-ID: <199706091401.JAA72243@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Jun 1997 09:01:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -090901 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6b359aedbaa60a45e1e5e206694ce909 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3792 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 38192 WTPN31 PGTW 091500 1. TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- 15.8N4 149.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.8N4 149.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 17.0N8 148.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 18.4N3 147.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 19.7N7 146.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 21.2N5 145.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 24.3N9 142.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 091500Z5 POSITION 16.1N8 149.0E4 TYPHOON NESTOR IS QUASI-STATIONARY APPROXIMATELY 200 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN MOVING TO THE NORTHWEST AND TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z2 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5), 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8), 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4) AND 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jun 10 23:06:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102190-11893>; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 03:40:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA257086; Mon, 9 Jun 1997 14:22:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5629376 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Jun 1997 14:22:28 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA23852 for ; Mon, 9 Jun 1997 14:22:27 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id OAA63609 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Jun 1997 14:22:26 -0500 Message-ID: <199706091922.OAA63609@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Jun 1997 14:22:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -091422 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5c7d47e0f293a11aacc4c2ac3f041d23 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3897 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 46454 WTPN31 PGTW 092100 1. TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091800Z8 --- 16.5N2 149.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N2 149.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 17.9N7 148.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 19.3N3 147.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 20.7N9 146.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 22.2N6 144.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 25.2N9 141.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 092100Z2 POSITION 16.8N5 149.0E4 TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 7 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS RESUMED FORWARD MOTION AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE TO THE NORTHWEST IN RESPONSE TO A MID-LATITUDE HIGH BUILDING TO THE NORTH. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON A 091730Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE FIX. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z8 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8), 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4),101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1) AND 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jun 10 23:06:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102234-17029>; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 10:52:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA191412; Mon, 9 Jun 1997 21:34:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5633790 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Jun 1997 21:34:53 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA228250 for ; Mon, 9 Jun 1997 21:34:53 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id VAA50614 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 9 Jun 1997 21:34:52 -0500 Message-ID: <199706100234.VAA50614@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 9 Jun 1997 21:34:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -092134 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ae1abd9f4af2593c866d034a8f34c977 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3887 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 72627 WTPN31 PGTW 100300 1. TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- 17.3N1 148.6E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N1 148.6E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 18.6N5 147.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 19.6N6 145.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 20.6N8 144.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 22.2N6 142.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 26.7N5 139.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 100300Z4 POSITION 17.6N4 148.3E6 TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AND CONTINUE NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS, AT WHICH POINT NESTOR (07W) IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4), 101500Z7 (DTG (101351Z1), 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7) AND 110300Z5 (DTG (10151Z9).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jun 10 23:06:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102360-17029>; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 13:44:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA148898; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 00:23:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5635335 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 00:23:11 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA33422 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 00:23:10 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA68335 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 00:23:09 -0500 Message-ID: <199706100523.AAA68335@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Jun 1997 00:23:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -100023 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e6f040c45f37d9a68a3bab3609472aa9 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1320 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 32748 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600Z JUN 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/100151Z JUN 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 100000Z1 TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) WAS LOCATED AT 17.3N1 148.6E9, MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 125 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) WARNING NR 17 (WTPN31 PGTW 100300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/DEOCARIZA/DOBBINS/HALL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jun 10 23:06:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102650-17029>; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 17:02:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA234530; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 03:44:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5636244 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 03:44:42 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA189438 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 03:44:40 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id DAA61745 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 03:44:39 -0500 Message-ID: <199706100844.DAA61745@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Jun 1997 03:44:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -100344 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d9595e1c89e1db26ffdc4a9bad8243ab X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3968 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 56878 WTPN31 PGTW 100900 1. TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100600Z7 --- 17.8N6 147.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.8N6 147.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 18.7N6 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 19.7N7 144.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 21.2N5 142.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 23.5N0 141.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 29.5N6 140.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 100900Z0 POSITION 18.0N9 147.6E8 SUPER TYPHOON NESTOR IS TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. INTENSITY IS BASED ON LATEST SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 140 KNOTS (DVORAK T7.0). THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AS IT CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, SUPER TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARDS A NORTHWARD TRACK AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1), 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7), 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9) AND 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z5).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jun 10 23:06:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102738-17029>; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 17:12:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA226612; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 03:56:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5636305 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 03:56:33 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA187678 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 03:56:33 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id DAA61889 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 03:56:32 -0500 Message-ID: <199706100856.DAA61889@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Jun 1997 03:56:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -100356 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1a2af27dfa2a87239ff0cbb9abe0080d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 4023 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 57022 WTPN31 PGTW 100900 COR 1. TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) WARNING NR 018A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100600Z7 --- 17.8N6 147.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.8N6 147.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 18.7N6 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 19.7N7 144.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 21.2N5 142.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 23.5N0 141.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 29.5N6 140.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 100900Z0 POSITION 18.0N9 147.6E8 SUPER TYPHOON NESTOR IS TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. INTENSITY IS BASED ON LATEST SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 140 KNOTS (DVORAK T7.0). THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AS IT CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, SUPER TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARDS A NORTHWARD TRACK AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1), 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7), 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9) AND 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z5). JUSTIFICATION: CORRECTS WARNING NUMBER.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jun 10 23:06:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102738-17029>; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 21:52:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA142052; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 08:34:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5638007 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 08:34:35 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA236048 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 08:32:03 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id IAA48652 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 08:32:02 -0500 Message-ID: <199706101332.IAA48652@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Jun 1997 08:32:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -100832 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: daf2a01e474b71d640ae77facc069ecd X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3962 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 42249 WTPN31 PGTW 101500 1. SUPER TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- 18.4N3 147.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.4N3 147.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 19.5N5 146.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 20.7N9 145.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 22.2N6 143.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 24.7N3 142.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 30.7N0 141.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 101500Z7 POSITION 18.7N6 147.3E5 SUPER TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE CURRENT WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 101130Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON 100721Z SATELLITE MICROWAVE DATA. SUPER TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) IS FORECAST TO GENERALLY MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 36 HOURS DUE TO STEERING FROM A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE EAST, THEN TURN NORTHWARD AS IT BEGINS TO ENCOUNTER SOME STEERING FLOW FROM THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. SUPER TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) IS NEAR PEAK INTENSITY AND IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN BEYOND 36 HOURS AS STRONGER UPPER-LEVEL FLOW FROM THE WEST BEGINS SHEARING IT. WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7), 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9), 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z5) AND 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jun 11 07:48:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102768-17029>; Wed, 11 Jun 1997 04:02:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA201136; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 14:45:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5641473 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 14:45:30 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA201106 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 14:45:29 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id OAA34861 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 14:45:29 -0500 Message-ID: <199706101945.OAA34861@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Jun 1997 14:45:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -101445 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 31af8f9ad4ab6b7c5ad9d095659ecd8f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3850 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 38186 WTPN31 PGTW 102100 1. SUPER TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101800Z0 --- 18.9N8 147.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.9N8 147.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 20.0N2 146.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 21.3N6 144.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 23.5N0 142.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 26.4N2 142.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 32.6N1 142.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 102100Z4 POSITION 19.2N2 146.8E9 SUPER TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 111730Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. SUPER TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS AND CURRENTLY DISPLAYS A 12 NM DIAMETER EYE. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTH WITHIN 36 HOURS AND THEN NORTHEASTWARD WITHIN 72 HOURS. SUPER TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR ITS PEAK INTENSITY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THEN WEAKEN DUE TO STRENGTHENING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9), 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z5), 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2) AND 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jun 11 11:32:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102217-9251>; Wed, 11 Jun 1997 10:45:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA249824; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 21:20:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5645374 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 21:20:10 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA208582 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 21:20:09 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id VAA68283 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Jun 1997 21:20:08 -0500 Message-ID: <199706110220.VAA68283@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 10 Jun 1997 21:20:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -102120 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7472f21b2ea5457f2545b070f30d809d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3645 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 48824 WTPN31 PGTW 110300 1. SUPER TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- 19.4N4 146.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.4N4 146.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 20.3N5 144.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 21.6N9 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 23.3N8 142.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 25.7N4 141.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 31.2N6 141.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION 19.6N6 145.6E6 SUPER TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. WARNING INTENSITY AND POSITION ARE BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS PEAKED AND WILL CONTINUE SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE TRACK IS EXPECTED TO BECOME NORTH-NORTHEAST BY 24 HOURS AND THEN NORTHWARD WITHIN 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z5), 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2), 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8) AND 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jun 11 14:36:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102371-9251>; Wed, 11 Jun 1997 14:34:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA110654; Wed, 11 Jun 1997 01:21:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5646638 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Jun 1997 01:21:45 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA140788 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 1997 01:20:10 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id BAA48854 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Jun 1997 01:20:09 -0500 Message-ID: <199706110620.BAA48854@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Jun 1997 01:20:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -110120 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: df05d641c690cb52fabe6bd4ee17ea25 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 58579 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z JUN 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/110151Z JUN 97// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN/110151 JUN 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110000Z2 SUPER TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.4N4 146.0E1, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 130 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 160 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) WARNING NR 21A (WTPN31 PGTW 110300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110000Z2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 38P (KELI) AS LOCATED AT 11.0S2 179.8E5, MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 38P (KELI) WARNING NR 03A (WHPS31 PHNC 110300)) AND 12 HOURLY UPDATES BY PGTW FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/DEOCARIZA/DOBBINS/HALL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jun 11 21:50:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102240-9251>; Wed, 11 Jun 1997 16:45:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA220790; Wed, 11 Jun 1997 03:22:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5647118 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Jun 1997 03:21:59 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA13410 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 1997 03:21:59 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id DAA34884 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Jun 1997 03:21:58 -0500 Message-ID: <199706110821.DAA34884@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Jun 1997 03:21:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -110321 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: be51088a86370afaf4e8fc1ca73f3c8e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3723 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 61505 WTPN31 PGTW 110900 1. TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- 20.1N3 145.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N3 145.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 21.3N6 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 23.3N8 141.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 26.0N8 141.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 28.8N8 141.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 34.2N9 143.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION 20.4N6 144.6E5 TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. WARNING INTENSITY AND POSITION ARE BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED TO TYPHOON INTENSITY AND WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY WEAKEN. TYPHOON NESTOR=S (07W) MOVEMENT IS EXPECTED TO BECOME NORTH- NORTHWEST WITHIN 24 HOURS AND CONTINUE TURNING TOWARDS THE NORTH THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD, EVENTUALLY GAINING SOME WESTWARD COMPONENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 1106Z IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2), 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8), 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0) AND 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jun 12 00:16:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102531-9251>; Thu, 12 Jun 1997 00:10:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA173608; Wed, 11 Jun 1997 10:52:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5650270 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Jun 1997 10:52:24 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA13530 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 1997 08:43:52 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id IAA66469 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Jun 1997 08:43:52 -0500 Message-ID: <199706111343.IAA66469@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Jun 1997 08:43:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -110843 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c419bcbb4b657eb3dd97ac94bc55dce8 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3773 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 54434 WTPN31 PGTW 111500 1. TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- 20.8N0 144.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N0 144.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 22.4N8 143.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 24.3N9 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 26.8N6 141.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 29.8N9 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 36.1N0 144.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION 21.2N5 144.2E1 TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 111130Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON 111040Z SATELLITE MICROWAVE IMAGERY. TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 24 HOURS, AND THEN BEGIN A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH 24 HOURS, THEN WEAKEN MORE RAPIDLY AFTER IT ENCOUNTERS STRONGER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER WATERS BEYOND 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8), 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0), 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6) AND 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jun 12 12:07:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102793-9251>; Thu, 12 Jun 1997 04:10:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA60172; Wed, 11 Jun 1997 14:49:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5652629 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Jun 1997 14:48:57 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA05776 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 1997 14:47:53 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id OAA46218 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Jun 1997 14:47:52 -0500 Message-ID: <199706111947.OAA46218@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Jun 1997 14:47:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -111447 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2286af3096939f2715da8de9be616c18 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3806 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 11655 WTPN31 PGTW 112100 1. TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) WARNING NR 024 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- 21.5N8 143.6E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.5N8 143.6E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 23.5N0 142.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 26.0N8 141.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 29.1N2 142.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 32.4N9 144.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 38.8N9 152.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION 22.0N4 143.2E0 TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 111730Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. NESTOR HAS MAINTAINED ABOUT THE SAME INTENSITY DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS AND HAS A 43 NM WIDE EYE. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECASTED TO GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) HAS ALREADY REACHED PEAK INTENSITY AND IS FORECASTED TO WEAKEN AS IT BEGINS ENCOUNTERING STRONGER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER WATERS. TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WITHIN 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0), 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6), 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3) AND 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jun 12 12:07:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102215-2237>; Thu, 12 Jun 1997 10:41:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA201100; Wed, 11 Jun 1997 21:23:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5655653 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Jun 1997 21:23:52 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA113528 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 1997 21:23:51 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id VAA71532 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Jun 1997 21:23:51 -0500 Message-ID: <199706120223.VAA71532@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 11 Jun 1997 21:23:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -112123 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 722031dadf6ef6b2d79995a6d80ade92 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3542 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 46441 WTPN31 PGTW 120300 1. TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) WARNING NR 025 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- 22.1N5 142.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.1N5 142.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 24.1N7 141.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 26.5N3 141.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 29.7N8 142.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 22 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 33.4N0 145.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 39.4N6 157.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION 22.6N0 142.5E2 TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. WE ARE FORECASTING NESTOR TO BEGIN RECURVATURE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS AND START EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TYPHOON NESTOR IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z3 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6), 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3), 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9) AND 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jun 12 15:09:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102416-2237>; Thu, 12 Jun 1997 14:41:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA79930; Thu, 12 Jun 1997 01:28:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5657085 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Jun 1997 01:28:24 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA13352 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 1997 01:28:23 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id BAA57713 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Jun 1997 01:28:22 -0500 Message-ID: <199706120628.BAA57713@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Jun 1997 01:28:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -120128 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8cab20f04a8842a513f1be10d29ff3b6 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1726 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 32366 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600Z JUN 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120151Z JUN 97// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120153Z JUN 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120000Z3 TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) WAS LOCATED AT 22.1N5 142.8E5, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 115 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) WARNING NR 25 (WTPN31 PGTW 120300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120000Z3 TROPICAL CYCLONE 38P (KELI) AS LOCATED AT 10.2S3 179.1E8, MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 38P (KELI) WARNING NR 05 (WTPS31 PGTW 120300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: NICKLAS/SULLINS/MILLER/HATFIELD/TIRSCHEL/EDSON// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jun 12 16:44:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102475-2237>; Thu, 12 Jun 1997 16:08:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA199254; Thu, 12 Jun 1997 02:43:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5657411 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Jun 1997 02:43:36 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA228162 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 1997 02:43:35 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id CAA62510 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Jun 1997 02:43:35 -0500 Message-ID: <199706120743.CAA62510@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Jun 1997 02:43:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -120243 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: dd4d40f94aed157d80159b0f7e06b03b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3605 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 61995 WTPN31 PGTW 120900 1. TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) WARNING NR 026 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- 22.9N3 142.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.9N3 142.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 25.2N9 141.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 27.7N6 141.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 30.5N8 143.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 23 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 34.0N7 146.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 38.7N8 158.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION 23.5N0 141.9E5 TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. WE EXPECT TYPHOON NESTOR TO BEGIN RECURVATURE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND TO HEAD NORTHWARD. AFTER 36 HOURS, WE ARE FORECASTING TYPHOON NESTOR TO BEGIN ACCELERATING TO THE NORTHEAST. THE CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII HAVE BEEN EXPANDED IN AGREEMENT WITH 212108Z4 SCATTEROMETRY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z9 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3), 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9), 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1) AND 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jun 13 08:53:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102538-2237>; Fri, 13 Jun 1997 04:29:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA140786; Thu, 12 Jun 1997 15:10:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5663118 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Jun 1997 15:10:50 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA236256 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 1997 15:10:50 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id PAA47665 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Jun 1997 15:10:49 -0500 Message-ID: <199706122010.PAA47665@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Jun 1997 15:10:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -121510 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6f49445f2490981cf1f7bb3d40676cef X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3487 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 55854 WTPN31 PGTW 122100 1. TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) WARNING NR 028 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- 25.3N0 141.6E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.3N0 141.6E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 28.5N5 142.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 31.6N0 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 34.9N6 147.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 24 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 37.3N3 152.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 41.7N2 165.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION 26.1N9 141.7E3 TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AND SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT RECURVES TO THE NORTHEAST. THE 50 AND 100 KNOT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN REDUCED BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA FROM IWO JIMA (WMO47981). THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF AN INFRARED SATELLITE FIX AND SYNOPTIC DATA FROM IWO JIMA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z2 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1), 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7), 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4) AND 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jun 13 13:08:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102254-26833>; Fri, 13 Jun 1997 11:26:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA235210; Thu, 12 Jun 1997 21:31:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5665923 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Jun 1997 21:30:56 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA210852 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 1997 21:30:54 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id VAA37666 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Jun 1997 21:30:53 -0500 Message-ID: <199706130230.VAA37666@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 12 Jun 1997 21:30:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -122130 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5bfd02f1d92f6dfed85bbac2d9ffc59c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 67871 WTPN31 PGTW 130300 1. TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) WARNING NR 029 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- 26.4N2 141.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.4N2 141.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 28.9N9 142.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 32.1N6 144.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 35.1N9 148.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 26 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 37.4N4 154.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 41.6N1 169.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION 27.0N9 141.9E5 TYPHOON NESTOR IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS NEAR CHICHIJIMA (WMO 47971). THE CURRENT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN EXPANDED FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING BASED ON THE SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM BOTH CHICHIJIMA AND IWO JIMA (WMO 47981). WE EXPECT TYPHOON NESTOR TO BEGIN ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD WITHIN THE NEXT TWELVE HOURS AND SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT UNDERGOES EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7), 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4), 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0) AND 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jun 13 17:09:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102301-26833>; Fri, 13 Jun 1997 15:27:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA118906; Fri, 13 Jun 1997 02:13:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5667940 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 1997 02:13:49 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA05736 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 1997 02:13:49 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id CAA52212 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 1997 02:13:48 -0500 Message-ID: <199706130713.CAA52212@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Jun 1997 02:13:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -130213 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 80dc6129bb3f173893cd84a43e63c8d1 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 861 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 55025 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600Z JUN 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN NODMLXU/130151Z JUN 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: MBQJIWWW+4 TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) WAS LOCATED AT 26.4N2 141.7E3, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUO NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jun 13 22:07:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102486-26833>; Fri, 13 Jun 1997 18:55:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA148860; Fri, 13 Jun 1997 05:37:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5668779 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 1997 05:37:42 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA118880 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 1997 05:37:42 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id FAA78589 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 1997 05:37:41 -0500 Message-ID: <199706131037.FAA78589@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Jun 1997 05:37:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -130537 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 760e89c72c51c306d8d53393674ce595 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3037 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 68090 WTPN31 PGTW 130900 1. TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) WARNING NR 030 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- 27.7N6 141.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 27.7N6 141.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 30.7N0 143.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 33.7N3 147.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 36.5N4 152.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 27 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 38.9N0 158.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 42.2N8 174.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION 28.5N5 142.3E0 TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS. WE ARE FORECASTING NESTOR TO ACCELERATE TO THE NORTHEAST AND COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WITHIN 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4), 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0), 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2) AND 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 14 00:47:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102494-26833>; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 00:03:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA98140; Fri, 13 Jun 1997 09:21:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5670676 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 1997 09:21:47 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA249668 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 1997 09:21:46 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id JAA69780 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 1997 09:21:45 -0500 Message-ID: <199706131421.JAA69780@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Jun 1997 09:21:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -130921 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7fcf073de506dc2800e788dbf124ee04 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2848 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 7825 WTPN31 PGTW 131500 1. TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) WARNING NR 031 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- 29.1N2 142.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.1N2 142.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 32.6N1 145.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 35.9N7 149.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 38.5N6 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 26 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 40.3N7 161.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 43.9N6 176.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION 30.0N3 143.3E1 TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO ACCELERATE AS IT RECURVES TO THE NORTHEAST. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z7 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0), 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2), 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8) AND 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 14 09:15:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102657-26833>; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 04:17:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA210668; Fri, 13 Jun 1997 15:03:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5674215 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 1997 15:02:42 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA256960 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 1997 15:02:42 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id PAA73667 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 1997 15:02:41 -0500 Message-ID: <199706132002.PAA73667@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Jun 1997 15:02:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -131502 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 059dc1dc93726a324d1c34187ca0d579 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2999 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 7872 WTPN31 PGTW 132100 1. TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) WARNING NR 032 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- 31.0N4 143.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 31.0N4 143.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 34.2N9 147.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 37.2N2 152.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 39.6N8 158.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 30 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 41.6N1 166.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 45.3N2 177.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION 31.8N2 144.6E5 TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 21 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO RECURVE AND ACCELERATE. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DUE TO VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE WEST. NESTOR (07W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AND COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z3 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2), 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8), 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5) AND 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 14 11:48:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102406-18550>; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 10:25:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA13356; Fri, 13 Jun 1997 21:11:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5676483 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 1997 21:11:40 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA150438 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 1997 21:11:02 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id VAA13560 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 1997 21:11:02 -0500 Message-ID: <199706140211.VAA13560@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 13 Jun 1997 21:11:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -132111 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 72bae1b3cf708204947ae7ee70c186a3 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2333 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 39157 WTPN31 PGTW 140300 1. TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) WARNING NR 033 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- 33.1N7 146.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 29 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 33.1N7 146.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 36.3N2 152.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 38.8N9 159.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 40.7N1 167.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 33 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 42.1N7 175.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION 33.9N5 147.6E8 TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 29 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS ALREADY EXHIBITING SIGNS OF EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AND IS EXPECTED TO HAVE COMPLETED ITS TRANSITION WITHIN 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ITS HIGH ADVANCEMENT RATE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8) AND 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 14 14:53:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102519-18550>; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 14:27:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA60296; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 01:07:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5679093 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 01:05:36 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA129882 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 01:05:35 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id BAA27549 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 01:05:35 -0500 Message-ID: <199706140605.BAA27549@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Jun 1997 01:05:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -140105 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 787e53a689180e6bd3ea454a6a2520ed X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 50842 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600Z JUN 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/140151Z JUN 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140000Z5 TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) WAS LOCATED AT 33.1N7 146.1E2, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 29 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) WARNING NR 33 (WTPN31 PGTW 140300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 139E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 136E0. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE LIGHT VERTICAL SHEAR CONDITIONS. THE CIRCULATION REMAINS BROAD WITH NO CENTRAL CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/DEOCARIZA/DOBBINS/HALL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jun 15 01:16:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102675-18550>; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 17:04:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA138002; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 03:49:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5679767 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 03:47:35 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA168388 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 03:47:34 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id DAA35048 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 03:47:34 -0500 Message-ID: <199706140847.DAA35048@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Jun 1997 03:47:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -140347 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 92ccf2218c2c77823853450d74aab5c9 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2287 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 66789 WTPN31 PGTW 140900 1. TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) WARNING NR 034 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- 35.1N9 147.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 27 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 35.1N9 147.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 37.9N9 154.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 39.7N9 161.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 41.2N7 169.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 42 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 27 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 42 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 41.7N2 172.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION 35.8N6 149.5E9 TYPHOON NESTOR (07W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 27 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AS A TROPICAL SYSTEM OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. HOWEVER, IT IS STILL EXPECTED TO MAKE A RAPID EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5) AND 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jun 15 01:16:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102284-18550>; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 21:54:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA82756; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 08:39:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5680999 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 08:37:39 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA101118 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 08:31:04 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id IAA72102 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 08:31:03 -0500 Message-ID: <199706141331.IAA72102@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Jun 1997 08:31:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -140831 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 453a59dfd71ff5e35e1ce553be156218 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2594 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 39075 WTPN31 PGTW 141500 1. TROPICAL STORM NESTOR (07W) WARNING NR 035 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 07W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- 36.2N1 150.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 28 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 36.2N1 150.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 38.7N8 157.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 40.7N1 165.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 33 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 42.9N5 173.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 34 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 44.9N7 177.1W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION 36.8N7 152.5E3 TROPICAL STORM NESTOR (07W) IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 28 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM HAS JUST BEEN DOWNGRADED FROM A TYPHOON AND CONTINUES TO WEAKEN DUE TO PASSAGE OVER COOLER WATERS AND STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TROPICAL STORM NESTOR (07W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AND SLOWLY ACCELERATING IN STRONG DEEP-LAYER FLOW TO THE NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TROPICAL STORM NESTOR (07W) IS FORECAST TO COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WITHIN 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1), 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3), 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9) AND 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jun 15 09:38:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102737-18550>; Sun, 15 Jun 1997 03:15:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA257022; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 14:00:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5683652 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 13:59:00 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA236136 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 13:58:58 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id NAA44878 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 13:58:57 -0500 Message-ID: <199706141858.NAA44878@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Jun 1997 13:58:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -141358 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c55ee2f2d1d581d132bfda2aa988c8f0 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2263 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 77387 ABPW10 PGTW 141830 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/141830Z/150600Z JUN 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/141351Z JUN 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 141200Z8 TROPICAL STORM NESTOR (07W) WAS LOCATED AT 36.2N1 150.8E4, MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 28 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM NESTOR (07W) WARNING NR 35 (WTPN31 PGTW 141500)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE ABPW IS REISSUED FOR THE AREA OF CONVECTION THAT WAS PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 136E0 AND IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13N4 134E8. SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS SHOW A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER REMAINS COLLOCATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS BOTH CONVECTIVE AREAL COVERAGE AND ORGANIZATION HAVE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPROVED WITH THIS SYSTEM. IN ADDITION, ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CONVECTION HAS BEGUN TO CONCENTRATE TOWARD THIS SYSTEM=S LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. SATELLITE-DERIVED WATER VAPOR WIND DATA SHOW THAT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS IMPROVED OVER THIS SYSTEM AND THAT A WEAK UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE MAY HAVE FORMED ABOVE THIS AREA AS WELL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/FINTA/WOFFORD/BACON// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jun 15 09:38:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102731-18550>; Sun, 15 Jun 1997 03:35:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA60408; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 14:21:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5683906 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 14:19:53 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA98138 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 14:19:53 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id OAA65113 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 14:19:52 -0500 Message-ID: <199706141919.OAA65113@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Jun 1997 14:19:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -141419 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9e603ec8a17d464453a2d1feae93819a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2512 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 39766 WTPN31 PGTW 142100 1. TROPICAL STORM NESTOR (07W) WARNING NR 036 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- 37.5N5 154.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 33 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 37.5N5 154.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 40.1N5 162.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 35 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 42.5N1 171.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 36 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 45.1N0 179.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 42 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 37 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 42 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 46.2N2 174.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION 38.1N2 156.6E8 TROPICAL STORM NESTOR (07W) IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 33 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 141730Z INFRARED SATELLITE DATA. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ACCELERATING AND WEAKENING AS IT UNDERGOES EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IN THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES TO THE NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3), 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9), 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6) AND 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 16 01:02:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102296-22648>; Sun, 15 Jun 1997 09:58:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA145098; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 20:44:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5687281 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 20:44:44 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA178360 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 20:44:44 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id UAA47298 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 1997 20:44:43 -0500 Message-ID: <199706150144.UAA47298@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 14 Jun 1997 20:44:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -142044 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 385b9fe2303ab94bf3b96ba70224ec75 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1878 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 77503 WTPN31 PGTW 150300 1. EXTRATROPICAL STORM 07W (NESTOR) WARNING NR 037 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- 38.3N4 159.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 37 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 38.3N4 159.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 40.1N5 166.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 42.4N0 173.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 45.1N0 179.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION 38.7N8 161.0E8 EXTRATROPICAL STORM 07W (NESTOR) IS MOVING EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 27 KNOTS AND HAS COMPLETED EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). REFER TO NAVPACMETOCCEN (WWPN) PHNC FOR FUTURE GALE WARNINGS.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 16 01:04:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102491-22648>; Sun, 15 Jun 1997 15:27:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA168360; Sun, 15 Jun 1997 02:06:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5689653 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Jun 1997 02:06:49 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA60306 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 1997 02:06:48 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id CAA72045 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Jun 1997 02:06:47 -0500 Message-ID: <199706150706.CAA72045@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Jun 1997 02:06:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -150206 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 569685a25ef6e8f266fdd22603ec92ba X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2351 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 77418 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z JUN 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150151Z JUN 97// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150153Z JUN 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 EXTRATROPICAL STORM 07W (NESTOR) WAS LOCATED AT 38.3N4 159.2E7, MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 37 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (EXTRATROPICAL STORM 07W (NESTOR) WARNING NR 37 (WTPN31 PGTW 150000)) FOR FINAL WARNING INFORMATION. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W WAS LOCATED AT 14.3N8 133.3E0, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KN0TS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W WARNING NR 01 (WTPN31 PGTW 150000)) AND SIX HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 134E8 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W WARNING NR 01 (WTPN31 PGTW 150000)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 03N3 156E2. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 12 HOURS. DIVERGENT FLOW EXISTS ALOFT BUT NO LOWER-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS APPARENT IN VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/DEOCARIZA/DOBBINS/HALL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 16 01:04:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102453-22648>; Sun, 15 Jun 1997 16:42:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA178270; Sun, 15 Jun 1997 03:29:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5690276 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Jun 1997 03:29:10 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA165194 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 1997 03:29:09 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id DAA09942 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Jun 1997 03:29:08 -0500 Message-ID: <199706150829.DAA09942@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Jun 1997 03:29:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -150329 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: dec686837b634cf30bdc02f7504493a6 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2611 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 73683 WTPN32 PGTW 150900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 14.1N6 133.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N6 133.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 14.9N4 132.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 15.8N4 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 16.8N5 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 17.9N7 130.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 20.4N6 130.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION 14.3N8 133.5E2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD AS IT INTENSIFIES THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8), 152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4), 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z6) AND 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z1).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 16 01:04:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102468-22648>; Sun, 15 Jun 1997 16:56:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA178298; Sun, 15 Jun 1997 03:45:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5690294 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Jun 1997 03:44:58 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA152886 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 1997 03:44:57 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id DAA48069 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Jun 1997 03:44:56 -0500 Message-ID: <199706150844.DAA48069@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Jun 1997 03:44:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -150344 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f3f67e9701d621df50b80aa077f2b7e3 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2683 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 11970 WTPN32 PGTW 150900 COR 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W WARNING NR 002A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 14.1N6 133.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N6 133.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z6 --- 14.9N4 132.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 15.8N4 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 16.8N5 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 17.9N7 130.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 20.4N6 130.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION 14.3N8 133.5E2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD AS IT INTENSIFIES THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8), 152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4), 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z6) AND 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2). 2. JUSTIFICATION: CORRECTS DATE OF TWELVE HOUR POSITION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 16 01:04:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102545-22648>; Sun, 15 Jun 1997 21:34:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA74354; Sun, 15 Jun 1997 08:15:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5691725 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Jun 1997 08:14:47 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA129864 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 1997 08:14:46 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id IAA45515 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Jun 1997 08:14:45 -0500 Message-ID: <199706151314.IAA45515@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Jun 1997 08:14:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -150814 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 49e0dfdc78ed7df973072f7224c4f4b0 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3153 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 58824 WTPN32 PGTW 151500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- 14.6N1 133.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.6N1 133.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 15.5N1 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 16.5N2 131.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 17.7N5 131.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 19.1N1 130.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 22.1N5 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 151500Z2 POSITION 14.8N3 132.8E4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (08W) (TD 08W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 151130Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TD 08W IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY TURN NORTHWARD INTO A WEAKENED PORTION OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. STEERING FLOW FROM A STRENGTHENING MID-LEVEL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE GRADUALLY AFTER 24 HOURS. TD 08W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4), 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z6), 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2) AND 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 16 10:00:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102601-22648>; Mon, 16 Jun 1997 03:42:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA168364; Sun, 15 Jun 1997 14:29:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5694215 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Jun 1997 14:29:31 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA138138 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 1997 14:29:30 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id OAA49136 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Jun 1997 14:29:30 -0500 Message-ID: <199706151929.OAA49136@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Jun 1997 14:29:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -151429 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 310efd0b9f58c9997c46bb3f1a5d2af5 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3047 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 77549 WTPN32 PGTW 152100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- 15.1N7 132.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N7 132.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 16.3N0 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 17.7N5 130.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 18.9N8 130.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 20.2N4 130.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 23.2N7 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 152100Z9 POSITION 15.4N0 131.8E3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (08W) (TD 08W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 151730Z INFRARED SATELLITE DATA. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. TD 08W IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY TURN NORTHWARD AND INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151730Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z6), 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2), 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9) AND 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 16 11:00:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102313-21978>; Mon, 16 Jun 1997 10:32:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA151382; Sun, 15 Jun 1997 21:13:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5696989 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Jun 1997 21:13:20 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA45892 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 1997 21:13:20 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id VAA65013 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Jun 1997 21:13:19 -0500 Message-ID: <199706160213.VAA65013@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 15 Jun 1997 21:13:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -152113 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8a818c8db72c9da8c897a115890a6be4 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2985 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 65266 WTPN32 PGTW 160300 1. TROPICAL STORM OPAL (08W) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 15.1N7 132.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N7 132.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 16.2N9 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 17.5N3 131.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 18.9N8 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 20.6N8 130.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 24.1N7 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION 15.4N0 132.7E3 TROPICAL STORM OPAL (08W) IS QUASISTATIONARY. IT HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD WITHIN THE FIRST 24 HOURS AND THEN MOVE NORTHWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2), 161500Z3 (DTG (161353Z9), 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5) AND 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 16 14:41:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102571-21978>; Mon, 16 Jun 1997 14:24:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA226824; Mon, 16 Jun 1997 01:08:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5698646 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 1997 01:08:09 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA203764 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 1997 01:08:08 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id BAA73514 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 1997 01:08:08 -0500 Message-ID: <199706160608.BAA73514@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Jun 1997 01:08:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -160108 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 61f0e365406849322e3b7f2af1916f59 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1524 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 8487 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z JUN 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/160153Z JUN 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 16000Z7 TROPICAL STORM OPAL (08W) WAS LOCATED AT 15.1N7 132.9E5, QUASISTATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W WARNING NR 05 (WTPN32 PGTW 160000)) AND SIX HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 03N3 156E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/DEOCARIZA/DOBBINS/HALL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 16 15:03:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102607-21978>; Mon, 16 Jun 1997 14:54:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA100924; Mon, 16 Jun 1997 01:29:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5698727 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 1997 01:29:18 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA203562 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 1997 01:29:17 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id BAA08590 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 1997 01:29:16 -0500 Message-ID: <199706160629.BAA08590@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Jun 1997 01:29:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -160129 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bc6a87cc236f07f0bc3bbcd06fe017f2 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1565 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 72075 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z JUN 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/160153Z JUN 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 16000Z7 TROPICAL STORM OPAL (08W) WAS LOCATED AT 15.1N7 132.9E5, QUASISTATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W WARNING NR 05 (WTPN32 PGTW 160000)) AND SIX HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 03N3 156E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION MISNUMBERED PARA. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/DEOCARIZA/DOBBINS/HALL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 16 17:22:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102789-21978>; Mon, 16 Jun 1997 17:07:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA239358; Mon, 16 Jun 1997 03:46:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5699123 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 1997 03:46:30 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA38634 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 1997 03:46:29 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id DAA59630 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 1997 03:46:28 -0500 Message-ID: <199706160846.DAA59630@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Jun 1997 03:46:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -160346 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 54deed60a867c2b94b42c1585bce11b4 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3251 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 65259 WTPN32 PGTW 160900 1. TROPICAL STORM OPAL (08W) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 15.4N0 132.6E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N0 132.6E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 16.3N0 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 17.7N5 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 19.3N3 131.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 21.4N7 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 26.1N9 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 195 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION 15.6N2 132.5E1 TROPICAL STORM OPAL (08W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY RAPIDLY. IT IS FORECAST TO ASSUME A NORTHWARD TRACK BY 12 HOURS AND ACCELERATE BY 36 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 160215Z SCATTEROMETER PASS AND CLIMATOLOGY FOR A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9), 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5), 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 16 23:52:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102677-21978>; Mon, 16 Jun 1997 22:24:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA226976; Mon, 16 Jun 1997 08:53:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5700723 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 1997 08:52:51 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAB38798 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 1997 08:52:50 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id IAA54515 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 1997 08:52:50 -0500 Message-ID: <199706161352.IAA54515@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Jun 1997 08:52:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -160852 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8b22aca0f4976fa4c919976e3e978d50 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3608 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 65008 WTPN32 PGTW 161500 1. TROPICAL STORM OPAL (08W) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- 15.7N3 132.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N3 132.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 16.5N2 132.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 17.8N6 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 19.5N5 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 21.6N9 132.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 26.3N1 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION 15.9N5 132.4E0 TROPICAL STORM OPAL (08W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 161130Z INFRARED SATELLITE DATA. TROPICAL STORM OPAL (08W) IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN A WEAKENED REGION OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IN WEAK STEERING FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE AFTER 24 HOURS AS A MID-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS TO THE EAST. TROPICAL STORM OPAL (08W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE, THEN BEGIN WEAKENING AFTER 48 HOURS WHEN IT BEGINS ENCOUNTERING COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND STRONGER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5), 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7), 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3) AND 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jun 17 07:53:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102779-21978>; Tue, 17 Jun 1997 04:15:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA212242; Mon, 16 Jun 1997 14:48:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5703889 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 1997 14:48:19 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA199418 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 1997 14:48:18 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id OAA45552 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 1997 14:48:17 -0500 Message-ID: <199706161948.OAA45552@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Jun 1997 14:48:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -161448 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 26aac738e4054b939d13eff447af8557 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 63213 WTPN32 PGTW 162100 1. TROPICAL STORM OPAL (08W) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- 16.1N8 131.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 131.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 17.1N9 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 18.4N3 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 20.4N6 132.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 22.8N2 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 27.6N5 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 162100Z0 POSITION 16.4N1 131.9E4 TROPICAL STORM OPAL (08W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 161730Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE ADJUSTED USING 161317Z SATELLITE SCATTEROMETRY DATA. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. TROPICAL STORM OPAL (08W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TURNING SLOWLY NORTHWARD AND THEN ACCELERATE AFTER 12 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGH 48 HOURS, THEN WEAKEN. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION FROM CURRENT WIND RADII AND CLIMATOLOGY FOR A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161730Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7), 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3), 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0) AND 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jun 17 17:09:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102641-12418>; Tue, 17 Jun 1997 10:34:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA160292; Mon, 16 Jun 1997 21:13:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5707193 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 1997 21:13:15 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA28944 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 1997 21:13:14 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id VAA58803 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 1997 21:13:13 -0500 Message-ID: <199706170213.VAA58803@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Jun 1997 21:13:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -162113 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 255e94c635e372e9a2bf32cfa3fe2c01 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3608 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 44976 WTPN32 PGTW 161500 1. TROPICAL STORM OPAL (08W) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- 15.7N3 132.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N3 132.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 16.5N2 132.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 17.8N6 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 19.5N5 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 21.6N9 132.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 26.3N1 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION 15.9N5 132.4E0 TROPICAL STORM OPAL (08W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 161130Z INFRARED SATELLITE DATA. TROPICAL STORM OPAL (08W) IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN A WEAKENED REGION OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IN WEAK STEERING FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE AFTER 24 HOURS AS A MID-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS TO THE EAST. TROPICAL STORM OPAL (08W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE, THEN BEGIN WEAKENING AFTER 48 HOURS WHEN IT BEGINS ENCOUNTERING COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND STRONGER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5), 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7), 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3) AND 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jun 17 17:09:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102812-12418>; Tue, 17 Jun 1997 12:06:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA180630; Mon, 16 Jun 1997 22:49:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5708272 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 1997 22:49:23 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA226692 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 1997 22:49:21 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id WAA48029 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 1997 22:49:20 -0500 Message-ID: <199706170349.WAA48029@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 16 Jun 1997 22:49:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -162249 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6b2e2261077f814a7e908560216464a7 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3431 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 47002 WTPN32 PGTW 170300 1. TROPICAL STORM OPAL (08W) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 16.5N2 132.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N2 132.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 18.1N0 132.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 19.7N7 132.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 21.7N0 132.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 23.7N2 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 28.1N1 134.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION 16.9N6 132.4E0 TROPICAL STORM OPAL (08W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. TROPICAL STORM OPAL IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWARD TO NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REACH PEAK INTENSITY BETWEEN THE 36-AND THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z8 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3), 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0), 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6) AND 180300Z2 (DTG 180153Z8).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jun 17 17:09:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102827-12418>; Tue, 17 Jun 1997 14:24:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA212404; Tue, 17 Jun 1997 01:10:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5709169 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 1997 01:10:41 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA05792 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 1997 01:10:40 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id BAA47919 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 1997 01:10:39 -0500 Message-ID: <199706170610.BAA47919@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Jun 1997 01:10:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -170110 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 33858b01f149fdb0b3446cec59bb7ee1 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1333 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 11820 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600Z JUN 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/170153Z JUN 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 17000Z8 TROPICAL STORM OPAL (08W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.5N2 132.4E0 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM OPAL (08W) WARNING NR 09 (WTPN32 PGTW 170300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/HAM/HATFIELD/GILL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jun 17 17:09:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102826-12418>; Tue, 17 Jun 1997 16:22:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA189758; Tue, 17 Jun 1997 03:04:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5709642 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 1997 03:04:04 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA95276 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 1997 03:04:03 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id DAA47983 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 1997 03:04:03 -0500 Message-ID: <199706170804.DAA47983@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Jun 1997 03:04:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -170304 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2e3b1c5c6eb3163a01c1ea29716641d1 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3661 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 69740 WTPN32 PGTW 170900 1. TYPHOON OPAL (08W) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- 17.2N0 132.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.2N0 132.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 19.1N1 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 21.1N4 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 23.3N8 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 25.4N1 133.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 30.4N7 134.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION 17.7N5 132.5E1 TYPHOON OPAL (08W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. THE SYSTEM HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TYPHOON OPAL (08W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWARD TO NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AND TO REACH PEAK INTENSITY NEAR THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN BEYOND THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AS THE SYSTEM BEGINS TO ENCOUNTER INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MERGE WITH A MID-LEVEL TROUGH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0), 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6), 180300Z2 (DTG 180153Z8) AND 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jun 18 09:56:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102560-12418>; Tue, 17 Jun 1997 22:11:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA249620; Tue, 17 Jun 1997 08:56:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5711963 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 1997 08:55:56 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA80102 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 1997 08:55:55 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id IAA42827 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 1997 08:55:55 -0500 Message-ID: <199706171355.IAA42827@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Jun 1997 08:55:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -170855 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d35b205daf947d005c39e1fc663c392f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3604 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 38984 WTPN32 PGTW 171500 1. TYPHOON OPAL (08W) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 18.2N1 132.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N1 132.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 20.5N7 132.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 23.0N5 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 25.7N4 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 28.7N7 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 36.1N0 133.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION 18.8N7 132.8E4 TYPHOON OPAL (08W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. WE ARE FORECASTING TYPHOON OPAL TO ACCELERATE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND MAKE LANDFALL IN SOUTHERN JAPAN EARLIER THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. OUR FORECAST INTENSITY REMAINS SIMILAR TO OUR PREVIOUS WARNINGS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z1 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6), 180300Z2 (DTG 180153Z8), 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4) AND 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jun 18 09:56:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102871-12418>; Wed, 18 Jun 1997 04:12:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA180588; Tue, 17 Jun 1997 14:50:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5715996 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 1997 14:50:07 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA194082 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 1997 14:50:02 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id OAA67495 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 1997 14:50:00 -0500 Message-ID: <199706171950.OAA67495@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Jun 1997 14:50:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -171449 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4bfe9316e9853fa8941bcdfec662ca20 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3646 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 13476 WTPN32 PGTW 172100 1. TYPHOON OPAL (08W) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- 19.3N3 133.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.3N3 133.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 21.7N0 133.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 24.2N8 133.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 27.1N0 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 30.5N8 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 37.6N6 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 172100Z1 POSITION 19.9N9 133.3E0 TYPHOON OPAL (08W) HAS ACCELERATED OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS AND IS NOW MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS IDENTICAL TO THE PREVIOUS WARNING. WE EXPECT TYPHOON OPAL TO ACCELERATE NORTHWARD OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD AND MAKE LANDFALL IN SOUTHERN JAPAN WITHIN 48 TO 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z7 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2 (DTG 180153Z8), 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4), 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1) AND 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jun 18 10:38:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102614-11327>; Wed, 18 Jun 1997 10:17:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA36572; Tue, 17 Jun 1997 20:55:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5720304 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 1997 20:55:46 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA152518 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 1997 20:55:46 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id UAA70847 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 1997 20:55:45 -0500 Message-ID: <199706180155.UAA70847@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 17 Jun 1997 20:55:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -172055 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 925d860cce64b5a649a7a4b8618e5e0a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3752 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 11964 WTPN32 PGTW 180300 1. TYPHOON OPAL (08W) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 20.7N9 133.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.7N9 133.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 23.4N9 133.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 26.4N2 133.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 29.3N4 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 32.6N1 133.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 40.0N4 136.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION 21.4N7 133.6E3 TYPHOON OPAL (08W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THE FORECAST REASONING REMAINS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS WARNING. TY OPAL IS EXPECTED TO MOVE PRIMARILY NORTHWARD THROUGH THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS DUE TO STRONG SOUTHERLY STEERING FLOW. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION AS IT INTERACTS WITH JAPAN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4), 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1), 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7) AND 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jun 18 14:45:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102891-11327>; Wed, 18 Jun 1997 14:12:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA152456; Wed, 18 Jun 1997 00:46:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5722045 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 1997 00:46:24 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA43638 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 1997 00:46:23 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA32013 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 1997 00:46:22 -0500 Message-ID: <199706180546.AAA32013@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Jun 1997 00:46:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -180046 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4b86f0a00b1fad8dd198a94179ef331d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1913 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 61962 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600Z JUN 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/180153Z JUN 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 18000Z9 TYPHOON OPAL (08W) WAS LOCATED AT 20.7N9 133.6E3 AND WAS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON OPAL (08W) WARNING NR 13 (WTPN32 PGTW 180300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 6N6 173E1. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT; HOWEVER, MOST OF THE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ON THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. OVERALL CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/HAM/HATFIELD/GILL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jun 18 18:33:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102897-11327>; Wed, 18 Jun 1997 17:00:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA24470; Wed, 18 Jun 1997 03:30:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5722822 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 1997 03:30:34 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA199294 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 1997 03:30:33 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id DAA32141 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 1997 03:30:33 -0500 Message-ID: <199706180830.DAA32141@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Jun 1997 03:30:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -180330 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 56e63bb07426b1c5dd51203c42fb53b0 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3945 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 77450 WTPN32 PGTW 180900 1. TYPHOON OPAL (08W) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- 22.2N6 133.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.2N6 133.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 25.4N1 133.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 28.7N7 134.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 32.2N7 134.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 35.6N4 136.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 155 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 40.9N3 146.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION 23.0N5 133.7E4 TYPHOON OPAL (08W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 15 KNOTS. OVERALL FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME; HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE LATITUDE OF RECURVATURE SOONER THAN EXPECTED AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO ACCELERATE. THEREFORE, THE 72 HOUR POSITION IS MUCH FURTHER TO THE EAST. THE SYSTEM IS STILL EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS DUE TO CONTINUED EXCELLENT OUTFLOW TO THE NORTH. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND AND MOVES INTO AN INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1), 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7), 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9) AND 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jun 19 14:42:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102899-11327>; Wed, 18 Jun 1997 20:04:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id GAA102184; Wed, 18 Jun 1997 06:41:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5723664 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 1997 06:41:50 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id GAA146708 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 1997 06:41:49 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id GAA74034 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 1997 06:41:49 -0500 Message-ID: <199706181141.GAA74034@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Jun 1997 06:41:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -180641 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 864e8798fa2c18b6d8cf5b9ce642f73e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1653 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 51503 WTPN32 PGTW 180900 .// RMKS/1. THIS WARNING WILL SUPERSEDE AND CANCEL REF A AT 190000Z JUN 97. 2. WARNINGS ARE FOR OVER WATER AREAS ONLY BUT MAY OVERLAP SOME LAND, ICE, OR SHELTERED AREAS AND HAVE BEEN SMOOTHED TO EASE PLOTTING. 3. WIND WARNINGS EFFECTIVE FOR 12 HRS COMMENCING 190000Z JUN 97. A. NO WINDS 35 KTS OR GREATER FORECAST FOR 12 HRS COMMENCING 190000Z JUN 97. 4. HIGH SEAS WARNING EFFECTIVE FOR 12 HRS COMMENCING 190000Z JUN 97. A. HIGH SEAS WARNING FOR THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC. SEAS 12 FT AND GREATER BOUNDED BY: 31.0N4 129.0E2, 21.0N3 128.0E1, 20.0N2 134.0E8, 22.0N4 138.0E2, 31.0N4 138.0E2, 31.0N4 129.0E2. SEAS 18 FT AND GREATER BOUNDED BY: 23.0N5 130.0E4, 23.0N5 136.0E0, 29.0N1 136.0E0, 29.0N1 130.0E4, 23.0N5 130.0E4. SEAS 24 FT AND GREATER BOUNDED BY: 27.0N9 132.0E6, 25.0N7 132.0E6, 25.0N7 134.0E8, 27.0N9 134.0E8, 27.0N9 132.0E6. MAX SEAS 26 FT NEAR 26.0N8 133.0E7. 5. KUROSHIO NORTH WALL ADVISORY: NONE IN EFFECT. 6. SEE REF B FOR CURRENT WARNINGS EAST OF 160E7. 7. SEE REF C FOR WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH TYPHOON OPAL (08W). 8. NEXT SCHEDULED WARNING DTG WILL BE 182114Z (WWPW31 PGFW 191200).// TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT TTTT NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jun 19 14:42:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102837-11327>; Wed, 18 Jun 1997 22:04:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA36360; Wed, 18 Jun 1997 08:40:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5725075 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 1997 08:40:18 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA201206 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 1997 08:40:17 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id IAA55371 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 1997 08:40:16 -0500 Message-ID: <199706181340.IAA55371@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Jun 1997 08:40:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -180840 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f188b8e798dc37f67b4e7dca350f9376 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3523 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 48456 WTPN32 PGTW 181500 1. TYPHOON OPAL (08W) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 23.9N4 133.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.9N4 133.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 27.3N2 134.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 30.6N9 134.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 34.1N8 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 20 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 37.3N3 139.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 155 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 41.4N9 148.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION 24.7N3 133.8E5 TYPHOON OPAL (08W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 17 KNOTS. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS WARNING. WE EXPECT TYPHOON OPAL TO INTENSIFY AND MAKE LANDFALL IN JAPAN WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT 181200Z2 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7), 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9), 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5) AND 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jun 19 14:42:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102934-11327>; Thu, 19 Jun 1997 03:35:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA165234; Wed, 18 Jun 1997 14:16:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5729843 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 1997 14:16:27 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA138012 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 1997 14:16:26 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id OAA77963 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 1997 14:16:25 -0500 Message-ID: <199706181916.OAA77963@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Jun 1997 14:16:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -181416 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5bd1c482b517b479486aba18138d2e75 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3633 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 71560 WTPN32 PGTW 182100 1. TYPHOON OPAL (08W) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- 25.5N2 133.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.5N2 133.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 28.9N9 133.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 32.5N0 134.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 35.9N7 137.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 38.4N5 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 155 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 40.6N0 151.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION 26.3N1 133.7E4 TYPHOON OPAL (08W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 16 KNOTS. THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS WARNING. WE EXPECT TYPHOON OPAL TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY AND MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. LAND INTERACTION AS WELL AS INCREASED SHEAR WILL QUICKLY WEAKEN TYPHOON OPAL BEYOND THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z8 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9), 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5), 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2) AND 192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jun 19 14:42:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102705-8766>; Thu, 19 Jun 1997 11:12:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA74406; Wed, 18 Jun 1997 21:36:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5734896 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 1997 21:36:05 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA226704 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 1997 21:36:04 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id VAA67659 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 1997 21:36:04 -0500 Message-ID: <199706190236.VAA67659@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 18 Jun 1997 21:36:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -182136 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 56b2f46cac3756c821e4b5a72ee31ce7 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3645 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 71496 WTPN32 PGTW 190300 1. TYPHOON OPAL (08W) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 27.4N3 133.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 27.4N3 133.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 31.0N4 134.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 34.4N1 136.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 37.2N2 138.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 20 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 39.2N4 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 41.0N5 154.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 28.3N3 133.8E5 TYPHOON OPAL (08W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 17 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY AND MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN 24 HOURS. AFTER 24 HOURS, LAND INTERACTION AND INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ARE EXPECTED TO QUICKLY WEAKEN TYPHOON OPAL=S MAXIMUM INTENSITY. HOWEVER, WIND RADII OVER WATER ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN SIGNIFICANT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5), 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2), 192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8) AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jun 20 15:57:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102758-8766>; Thu, 19 Jun 1997 17:24:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA38650; Thu, 19 Jun 1997 03:51:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5737374 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 1997 03:51:20 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA93670 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 1997 03:51:20 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id DAA37844 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 1997 03:51:19 -0500 Message-ID: <199706190851.DAA37844@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Jun 1997 03:51:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -190351 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 604b3c2c31e872dd2ae770dc5a2d6700 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3687 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 71633 WTPN32 PGTW 190900 1. TYPHOON OPAL (08W) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- 29.1N2 133.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.1N2 133.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 32.4N9 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 35.3N1 137.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 37.7N7 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 21 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 39.3N5 145.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 41.2N7 157.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION 29.9N0 133.9E6 TYPHOON OPAL (08W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 17 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN A NORTHEASTWARD TRACK AND CONTINUE TO WEAKEN SLOWLY PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL. LANDFALL IS EXPECTED BY 18 HOURS. AFTER THAT TIME, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY DUE TO INTERACTION WITH LAND AND INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2), 192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8), 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1) AND 200900Z1 (DTG 200753Z7).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jun 20 15:57:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102775-8766>; Thu, 19 Jun 1997 17:14:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA226686; Thu, 19 Jun 1997 03:53:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5737393 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 1997 03:53:36 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA93546 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 1997 03:53:35 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id DAA71659 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 1997 03:53:35 -0500 Message-ID: <199706190853.DAA71659@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Jun 1997 03:53:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -190353 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c786ae73883936a39ecfef5da3276375 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 545 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 68072 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACM/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/190153Z JUN 9( NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jun 20 15:57:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102899-8766>; Thu, 19 Jun 1997 21:57:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA152562; Thu, 19 Jun 1997 08:35:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5739442 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 1997 08:35:27 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA74442 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 1997 08:35:25 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id IAA36021 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 1997 08:35:25 -0500 Message-ID: <199706191335.IAA36021@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Jun 1997 08:35:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -190835 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8513a4a96fbacca4500c1300b922a55a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3810 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 66482 WTPN32 PGTW 191500 1. TYPHOON OPAL (08W) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- 30.6N9 134.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.6N9 134.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 34.0N7 135.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 36.8N7 139.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 38.9N0 143.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 21 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 40.1N5 148.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 42.2N8 161.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION 31.4N8 134.6E4 TYPHOON OPAL (08W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 1911340Z INFRARED SATELLITE DATA. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE ADJUSTED USING TWO 190600Z SHIP REPORTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TURN EASTWARD AND GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AS DEEP-LAYER FLOW FROM THE WEST-SOUTHWEST TO THE NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE BECOMES THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE. TYPHOON OPAL (08W) HAS LOST ITS EYE DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING, THEN WEAKEN MORE RAPIDLY AFTER IT MAKES LANDFALL AND ENCOUNTERS THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF HONSHU. TYPHOON OPAL (08W) IS FORECAST TO BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WITHIN 12 HOURS AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8), 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1), 200900Z1 (DTG 200753Z7) AND 201500Z8 (DTG 201353Z4).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jun 20 15:57:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102959-8766>; Fri, 20 Jun 1997 04:09:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA36546; Thu, 19 Jun 1997 14:46:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5743237 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 1997 14:45:43 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA266136 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 1997 14:45:42 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id OAA66004 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 1997 14:45:42 -0500 Message-ID: <199706191945.OAA66004@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Jun 1997 14:45:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -191445 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 02cb101524cf1bd4b22171dd7ec0d417 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3586 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 32209 WTPN32 PGTW 192100 1. TYPHOON OPAL (08W) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- 32.1N6 134.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 32.1N6 134.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 35.2N0 137.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 37.8N8 140.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 39.8N0 146.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 25 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 40.9N3 152.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 43.7N4 165.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION 32.9N4 135.3E2 TYPHOON OPAL (08W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 16 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191730Z INFRARED SATELLITE DATA AND A 191800Z RADAR REPORT (WMO 47899). THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE USING 191731Z INFRARED SATELLITE DATA. CURRENT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED USING A 191200Z SHIP REPORT. THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. TYPHOON OPAL (08W) IS STILL FORECAST TO CONTINUE SLOWLY WEAKENING AND MAKE LANDFALL IN SOUTHERN HONSHU IN ABOUT 6 HOURS, THEN WEAKEN MORE RAPIDLY. THIS SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY TURN EASTWARD DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND SLOWLY ACCELERATE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1), 200900Z1 (DTG 200753Z7), 201500Z8 (DTG 201353Z4) AND 202100Z5 (DTG 201953Z0).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jun 20 15:57:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102558-5950>; Fri, 20 Jun 1997 10:23:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA32922; Thu, 19 Jun 1997 21:03:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5746517 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 1997 21:03:35 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA199170 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 1997 21:01:44 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id VAA74727 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 1997 21:01:43 -0500 Message-ID: <199706200201.VAA74727@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 19 Jun 1997 21:01:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -192101 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1316783de072565461a217c7e185b6f3 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3165 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 52196 WTPN32 PGTW 200300 1. TYPHOON OPAL (08W) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- 33.7N3 136.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 33.7N3 136.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 36.6N5 140.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 39.0N2 145.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 39.9N1 151.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 25 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 41.0N5 158.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 45.4N3 170.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION 34.4N1 137.2E3 TYPHOON OPAL (08W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE STELLITE IMAGERY AND 200000Z RADAR POSITIONS FROM WMO=S 47899, 47773 AND 47636. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT PASSES NEAR AND OVER LAND. IT IS EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE AFTER 12 HOURS AS IT BEGINS ITS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1 (DTG 200753Z7), 201500Z8 (DTG 201353Z4), 202100Z5 (DTG 201953Z0) AND 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jun 20 15:57:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102792-5950>; Fri, 20 Jun 1997 14:11:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA199264; Fri, 20 Jun 1997 00:54:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5748537 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 1997 00:53:58 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA98286 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 1997 00:53:57 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA50470 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 1997 00:53:56 -0500 Message-ID: <199706200553.AAA50470@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Jun 1997 00:53:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -200053 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f9e8eccd3502089943fcee469c669b62 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2443 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 79651 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600Z JUN 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/200153Z JUN 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2 TYPHOON OPAL (08W) WAS LOCATED AT 33.7N3 136.3E3 AND WAS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON OPAL (08W) WARNING NR 21 (WTPN32 PGTW 200300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 11N2 137E1 AND HAS PERSISTED FOR 12 HOURS. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTION. CROSS EQUATORIAL INFLOW IS ENHANCING THE CONVECTION AS IS DIVERGENT FLOW ALOFT. OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS, THE CONVECTION, ALTHOUGH NOT INCREASING IN AERIAL COVERAGE, HAS ASSUMED A SINGLE SPIRAL FORM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 4N4 169E6. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION, ALTHOUGH IT IS READILY APPARENT ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. CROSS EQUATORIAL INFLOW AS WELL AS DIFFLUENT WINDS ALOFT ARE ENHANCING CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/DEOCARIZA/DOBBINS/HALL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 21 10:10:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102975-5950>; Fri, 20 Jun 1997 16:40:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA101084; Fri, 20 Jun 1997 03:25:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5749395 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 1997 03:25:20 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA13514 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 1997 03:25:19 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id DAA54051 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 1997 03:25:19 -0500 Message-ID: <199706200825.DAA54051@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Jun 1997 03:25:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -200325 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 736bbf3686fb8589e7c6ed99838100d4 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2863 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 65312 WTPN32 PGTW 200900 1. TROPICAL STORM OPAL (08W) WARNING NR 022 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 08W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- 35.9N7 139.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 29 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 35.9N7 139.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 39.4N6 144.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 41.2N7 152.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 43.3N0 159.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 30 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 46.2N2 166.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 66 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 66 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 53.8N6 174.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION 36.8N7 140.4E9 TROPICAL STORM OPAL (08W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 29 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION BASED ON RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA FROM VARIOUS WMO=S, INCLUDING 47643, 47624, AND 47679. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN PRIOR TO EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. THIS IS EXPECTED TO BE COMPLETE PRIOR TO 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 00600Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8 (DTG 201353Z4), 202100Z5 (DTG 201953Z0), 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2) AND 210900Z2 (DTG 210753Z8).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 21 10:10:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102997-5950>; Fri, 20 Jun 1997 22:08:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA264122; Fri, 20 Jun 1997 08:54:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5751187 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 1997 08:54:25 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA36480 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 1997 08:54:17 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id IAA08664 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 1997 08:54:17 -0500 Message-ID: <199706201354.IAA08664@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Jun 1997 08:54:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -200854 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 893bd25a22d13e0c239c0ebabc09a149 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3218 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 66517 WTPN32 PGTW 201500 1. TROPICAL STORM OPAL (08W) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- 38.5N6 141.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 33 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 38.5N6 141.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 42.2N8 148.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 44.8N6 156.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 48.2N4 163.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 32 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 52.8N5 170.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 33 KTS --- 60 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 57.6N8 178.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION 39.4N6 143.0E8 TROPICAL STORM OPAL (08W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 33 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF 201130Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, A 201200Z SURFACE RADAR REPORT FROM SENDAI (WMO 47590), AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM SENDAI (WMO 47590) AND MATSUSHIMA (WMO 47591). THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE USING 201130Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 200600Z SHIP REPORT. CURRENT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED USING TWO 200600Z SHIP REPORTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING RAPIDLY IN A GENERAL NORTHEASTWARD DIRECTION AND WEAKEN SLOWLY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL STORM OPAL (08W) IS FORECAST TO COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IN 30 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5 (DTG 201953Z0), 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2), 210900Z2 (DTG 210753Z8) AND 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 21 10:10:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103030-5950>; Sat, 21 Jun 1997 03:51:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA38514; Fri, 20 Jun 1997 14:32:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5754128 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 1997 14:32:30 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA199262 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 1997 14:32:29 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id OAA56397 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 1997 14:32:29 -0500 Message-ID: <199706201932.OAA56397@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Jun 1997 14:32:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -201432 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 85f34055771628ac6a04144685729ee1 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2645 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 79690 WTPN32 PGTW 202100 1. TROPICAL STORM OPAL (08W) WARNING NR 024 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- 41.0N5 143.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 32 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 41.0N5 143.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 44.6N4 150.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 47.4N5 157.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 50.9N4 164.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 30 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 55.6N6 170.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 54 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 54 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 58.2N5 173.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION 41.9N4 145.5E5 TROPICAL STORM OPAL (08W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 40 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 201730Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL STORM OPAL IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE SLOWLY WEAKENING AS IT MOVES RAPIDLY NORTHEASTWARD. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WITHIN 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2), 210900Z2 (DTG 210753Z8), 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5) AND 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 21 10:29:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102177-16058>; Sat, 21 Jun 1997 10:28:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA113512; Fri, 20 Jun 1997 21:14:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5757052 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 1997 21:14:17 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA210516 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 1997 21:14:16 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id VAA37687 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 1997 21:14:16 -0500 Message-ID: <199706210214.VAA37687@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 20 Jun 1997 21:14:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -202114 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 37f7391c1ec01da46d87ef3b8e70c397 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2062 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 58676 WTPN32 PGTW 210300 1. TROPICAL STORM OPAL (08W) WARNING NR 025 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- 41.8N3 145.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 41.8N3 145.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 43.0N7 150.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 43.5N2 157.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 45.0N9 163.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION 42.1N7 146.8E9 LATEST INFRARED AND VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT TROPICAL STORM OPAL (08W) IS WEAKENING RAPIDLY AS IT TRANSITIONS INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. FORWARD SPEED HAS SLOWED TO 21 KNOTS. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS EXPECTED TO BE COMPLETED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNING AT 210900Z2 (DTG 210753Z8).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 21 15:21:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102485-16058>; Sat, 21 Jun 1997 15:14:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA194060; Sat, 21 Jun 1997 01:54:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5758567 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Jun 1997 01:54:26 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA235246 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 1997 01:54:25 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id BAA38260 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Jun 1997 01:54:25 -0500 Message-ID: <199706210654.BAA38260@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Jun 1997 01:54:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -210154 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7a3f2d83321d7b501cfac8fea7de0312 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3617 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 74097 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z JUN 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210153Z JUN 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z3 TROPICAL STORM OPAL (08W) WAS LOCATED AT 41.8N3 145.4E4 AND WAS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 21 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM OPAL(08W) WARNING NR 25 (WTPN32 PGTW 210300) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE CONVECTIVE AREA PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 137E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 138E2. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. THIS IS ALSO SUPPORTED BY THE LATEST SCATTEROMETER PASS AT 21/0052Z. CONVECTION, HOWEVER, HAS FAILED TO CONCENTRATE ABOUT THE LOW LEVEL CENTER AS MODERATE UPPER LEVEL SHEAR EXISTS. AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE APPEARS TO BE TRYING TO FORM OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4N4 169E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 167E4. BOTH VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. CONVECTION IS NOT ORGANIZED IN THIS AREA AS STRONG UPPER LEVEL SOUTHEASTERLY SHEAR EXISTS OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8N8 176W4. VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SCATTEROMETER DATA FROM 20/2219Z INDICATE A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION EXISTS IN THIS AREA. AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE ALSO EXISTS OVER THE CONVECTION, HOWEVER, CONVECTION IS NOT ORGANIZED AND HAS YET TO SHOW SIGNS OF ANY CONCENTRATION. THIS SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE MOVING SLOWLY MOVING WESTWARD AND SHOULD REACH THE JTWC AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EXISTS NEAR 9N9 153E9. THIS IS SUPPORTED BY BOTH SYNOPTIC DATA AND VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. CONVECTION IS WEAK AND REMAINS SOUTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER AS IT IS UNDER MODERATE UPPER LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/GILL/HAM// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jun 22 09:23:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102480-16058>; Sat, 21 Jun 1997 16:46:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA226914; Sat, 21 Jun 1997 03:27:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5758988 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Jun 1997 03:27:18 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA194128 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 1997 03:27:18 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id DAA54049 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Jun 1997 03:27:17 -0500 Message-ID: <199706210827.DAA54049@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 21 Jun 1997 03:27:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -210327 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 59d72f7a7d01ff59df6f6dc8ccba6017 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2060 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 38174 WTPN32 PGTW 210900 1. TROPICAL STORM OPAL (08W) WARNING NR 026 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- 42.5N1 148.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 23 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 42.5N1 148.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 44.1N9 154.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 45.9N8 160.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 30 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 30 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 47.3N4 163.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION 42.9N5 150.2E8 TROPICAL STORM OPAL (08W) IS RAPIDLY LOSING ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AND IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE ITS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WITHIN THE NEXT 6 HOURS AS IT MOVES RAPIDLY TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER(NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 23 15:03:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102269-3938>; Sun, 22 Jun 1997 13:59:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA138160; Sun, 22 Jun 1997 00:42:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5767876 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Jun 1997 00:39:52 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA105522 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 1997 00:39:51 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA74191 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Jun 1997 00:39:51 -0500 Message-ID: <199706220539.AAA74191@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 22 Jun 1997 00:39:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -220039 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b302a43127e5edfb6416b56a2f3c5381 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3181 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 36812 ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600Z JUN 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210753Z JUN 97// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/220351Z JUN 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210600Z9 TROPICAL STORM OPAL (08W) WAS LOCATED AT 42.5N1 148.7E0 AND WAS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 23 KNOTS WHILE TRANSITIONING INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM OPAL(08W) WARNING NR 26 (WTPN32 PGTW 210900) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE CONVECTIVE AREA PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 138E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 137E1 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (REF B, WTPN21 PGTW 220400). SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THAT THIS AREA IS BEGINNING TO CONSOLIDATE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 167E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14N5 164E1. ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. CONVECTION IS NOT ORGANIZED AND HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AS UPPER LEVEL SHEAR IS STRONG OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 176W4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 178W6. VISUAL AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION EXISTS, HOWEVER, CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE STILL EXISTS OVER THE CONVECTION. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY WESTWARD AND IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE JTWC AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 153E9 HAS WEAKENED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/GILL/HAM// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 23 15:25:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102670-18383>; Mon, 23 Jun 1997 15:22:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA05816; Mon, 23 Jun 1997 01:33:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5780748 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Jun 1997 01:31:06 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA79940 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 1997 01:31:05 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id BAA76721 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Jun 1997 01:31:04 -0500 Message-ID: <199706230631.BAA76721@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Jun 1997 01:31:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -230131 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 674836697848c4c2439f5ee34cfd7c88 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 4297 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 79022 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z JUN 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/230351Z JUN 97// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/230257Z JUN 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE CONVECTIVE MONSOON AREA PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 137E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13N4 134E8 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (REF A, WTPN21 PGTW 230400). SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THAT THIS AREA HAS YET TO CONSOLIDATE. HEAVY CONVECTION EXISTS IN THE AREA FROM 125E, JUST EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES, TO 139E. BOTH AVAILABLE SHIP DATA AND SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATE THAT THE WINDS ARE RELATIVELY LIGHT (10-15KT) IN THE TROUGH AXIS, WHILE WINDS BOTH 120NM - 200NM SOUTH AND NORTH OF THE TROUGH AXIS HAVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 25 KNOTS. THE CENTROID OF THE LOW AND MID TROPOSPHERIC CIRCULATION IS LOCATED NEAR 13N 134E AND THESE ARE THE FEATURES WE ARE LOOKING AT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1001 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 164E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14N5 156E2 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (REF B, WTPN22 PGTW 230300). ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION HAS FORMED OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OBTAINING SIGNIFICANT WINDS (25KT) WITH THIS SYSTEM, IF CONVECTION REMAINS OVER THE CENTER, PARTICULARLY ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY, IS GOOD. THE CONVECTION IS BEING ENHANCED BY AN UPPER LEVEL LOW JUST WEST OF THIS SYSTEM. HOWEVER, UPPER LEVEL SHEAR REMAINS MODERATE TO STRONG OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 178W6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 176W4. VISUAL AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION EXISTS WHILE CONVECTION HAS FLUCTUATED UP AND DOWN OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS. AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE STILL EXISTS OVER THE CONVECTION. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WESTWARD AND WILL BE IN OR NEAR THE JTWC AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 153E9 TWO DAYS AGO IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8N8 158E4 AND HAS MAINTAINED A WEAK CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION IS PRIMARILY WEST OF THE EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CENTER AND SHOWS NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AT THIS TIME. WINDS FROM POHNPEI (WMO 91348), JUST SOUTHEAST OF THIS SYSTEM, ARE ONLY 10 TO 15 KNOTS ALTHOUGH THEIR 2000FT GRADIENT WIND AT 23/00Z SHOWED 28 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT STRONG TO MODERATE UPPER LEVEL SHEAR EXISTS OVER THIS AREA AND MAY INCREASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THERE MAY BE SOME INTERACTION WITH THE SYSTEM MENTIONED ABOVE IN PARAGRAPH 1.2 (B). MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/GILL/HAM// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 23 17:07:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102675-18383>; Mon, 23 Jun 1997 17:01:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA236146; Mon, 23 Jun 1997 03:37:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5781562 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Jun 1997 03:35:02 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA201148 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 1997 03:32:43 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id DAA76585 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Jun 1997 03:32:43 -0500 Message-ID: <199706230832.DAA76585@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Jun 1997 03:32:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -230332 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a6f7c74dc51af216bb1f14310abcd9ad X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3292 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 52006 WTPN31 PGTW 230900 THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 230351Z JUN 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 230400 ) 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- 13.8N2 129.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.8N2 129.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 14.7N2 126.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 15.5N1 125.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 16.4N1 123.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 17.3N1 122.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 19.1N1 122.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 230900Z4 POSITION 14.0N5 129.2E4 THE MONSOON DEPRESSION IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA HAS CONSOLIDATED INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. SCATTEROMETER DATA FROM 23/0128Z AS WELL AS SHIP DATA VERY CLOSE TO THE CIRCULATION CENTER INDICATE THAT A 1000MB CLOSED CIRCULATION NOW EXISTS. THE LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION IS NOW BEGINNING TO CONSOLIDATE ABOUT THIS CENTER. ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN MOVING RAPIDLY WESTWARD AS IT DEVELOPED, EXPECT CONTINUED FORWARD MOTION TO BE MUCH SLOWER IN THE OUTLOOK PERIOD. FURTHER CONSOLIDATION AND INTERACTION WITH THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS WILL CAUSE AN INITIAL SLOW INTENSIFICATION PERIOD. EXPECT STRONGEST WINDS WITH THIS SYSTEM TO BE INITIALLY 120NM TO 240NM SOUTHEAST AND NORTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z1 IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5), 232100Z8 (DTG 231951Z1), 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3) AND 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 230351Z JUN 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 230400).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jun 24 11:12:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102723-18383>; Mon, 23 Jun 1997 21:38:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA165280; Mon, 23 Jun 1997 08:21:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5783358 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Jun 1997 08:18:36 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA240838 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 1997 08:18:36 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id IAA53473 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Jun 1997 08:18:35 -0500 Message-ID: <199706231318.IAA53473@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Jun 1997 08:18:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -230818 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9bf189a69724357a416b9a7a9204a4f4 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 4554 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 37854 ABPW10 PGTW 231100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/231100Z/240600Z JUN 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/230751Z JUN 97// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/230257Z JUN 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 230600Z1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W WAS LOCATED AT 13.8N2 129.9E1, MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W WARNING NR 01 (WTPN31 PGTW 230900)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE CONVECTIVE MONSOON AREA PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 137E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.8N2 129.9E1 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF SIX-HOURLY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS. SEE PARAGRAPH 1.A.1 ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 164E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14N5 156E2 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (REF B, WTPN22 PGTW 230300). ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION HAS FORMED OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OBTAINING SIGNIFICANT WINDS (25KT) WITH THIS SYSTEM, IF CONVECTION REMAINS OVER THE CENTER, PARTICULARLY ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY, IS GOOD. THE CONVECTION IS BEING ENHANCED BY AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW JUST WEST OF THIS SYSTEM. HOWEVER, UPPER LEVEL SHEAR REMAINS MODERATE TO STRONG OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 178W6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 176W4. VISUAL AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION EXISTS WHILE CONVECTION HAS FLUCTUATED UP AND DOWN OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS. AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE STILL EXISTS OVER THE CONVECTION. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WESTWARD AND WILL BE IN OR NEAR THE JTWC AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 158E4 REMAINS NEAR THAT LOCATION AND HAS INCREASED IN CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION. THE HEAVIEST CONVECTION IS STILL WEST OF THE PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. SURFACE WINDS FROM POHNPEI (WMO 91348), JUST SOUTHEAST OF THIS SYSTEM, ARE ONLY 10 TO 15 KNOTS ALTHOUGH THEIR 2000FT GRADIENT WIND AT 23/00Z SHOWED 28 KNOTS. ADDITIONALLY, LOWER TROPOSPHERIC CLOUD DRIFT WINDS PROVIDED BY UW-CIMMS INDICATE A 20 TO 25 KNOT CIRCULATION AT ABOUT 850 MB. UP UNTIL SIX HOURS AGO, THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW FROM THE DISTURBANCE NORTH OF THIS SYSTEM (PARAGRAPH 1.B.2) HAD BEEN ACTING TO INCREASE THE UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ON THIS DISTURBANCE. OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS, HOWEVER, THE CONVECTION AND UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTHERN DISTURBANCE HAS DECREASED. ACCORDINGLY, CONVECTION HAS BEEN ABLE TO DEVELOP AND MAINTAIN ITSELF OVER THIS SOUTHERN DISTURBANCE. THESE TWO DISTURBANCES ARE IN CLOSE PROXIMITY AND ARE DIRECTLY INTERACTING WITH EACH OTHER. IT IS DOUBTFUL BOTH WILL BE ABLE TO SURVIVE FOR MUCH LONGER BUT IT IS UNCLEAR WHICH CIRCULATION WILL EVENTUALLY DOMINATE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. THE UPGRADE OF THIS DISTURBANCE FROM A POOR SUSPECT AREA TO A FAIR SUSPECT AREA IS THE REASON FOR THE REISSUANCE OF THIS ADVISORY. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: NICKLAS/SULLINS/MILLER/EIBLING// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jun 24 11:12:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102327-18383>; Mon, 23 Jun 1997 22:26:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA80090; Mon, 23 Jun 1997 09:07:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5783740 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Jun 1997 09:07:42 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA266182 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 1997 09:07:41 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id JAA56452 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Jun 1997 09:07:40 -0500 Message-ID: <199706231407.JAA56452@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Jun 1997 09:07:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -230907 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0651148d2d518625b602a6637a2135d9 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2694 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 70785 WTPN31 PGTW 231500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- 13.8N2 129.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.8N2 129.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 13.9N3 127.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 14.3N8 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 15.0N6 124.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 16.5N2 123.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 20.6N8 121.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 231500Z1 POSITION 13.8N2 128.7E8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. WE ARE FORECASTING TD 09W TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE AND BEGIN TURNING NORTHWESTWARD LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z8 IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z8 (DTG 231951Z1), 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3), 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9) AND 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jun 24 11:12:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103096-18383>; Tue, 24 Jun 1997 04:02:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA05652; Mon, 23 Jun 1997 14:42:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5787358 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Jun 1997 14:40:42 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA165318 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 1997 14:40:42 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id OAA54086 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Jun 1997 14:40:41 -0500 Message-ID: <199706231940.OAA54086@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Jun 1997 14:40:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -231440 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c3cbb730aa025d083c18ac9d9c72f3f7 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2895 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 74563 WTPN31 PGTW 232100 1. TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) WARNING NR 003 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231800Z4 --- 13.8N2 129.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.8N2 129.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 14.1N6 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 14.9N4 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 16.3N0 125.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 17.9N7 124.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 22.4N8 122.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 232100Z8 POSITION 13.9N3 128.7E8 TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. THE CURRENT WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 231410Z1 SCATTEROMETRY PASS SHOWING 35 KNOTS ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z4 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3), 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9), 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6) AND 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jun 24 11:12:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102359-13786>; Tue, 24 Jun 1997 10:34:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA36362; Mon, 23 Jun 1997 21:19:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5790626 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Jun 1997 21:19:22 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA113654 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 1997 21:19:21 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id VAA68191 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Jun 1997 21:19:21 -0500 Message-ID: <199706240219.VAA68191@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Jun 1997 21:19:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -232119 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b3fab67bd135c8a4cd60223468ea681d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3139 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 55900 WTPN31 PGTW 240300 1. TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- 13.6N0 128.4E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.6N0 128.4E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 14.0N5 127.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 14.7N2 127.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 16.4N1 126.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 18.3N2 126.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 22.4N8 124.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION 13.7N1 128.2E3 TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 232330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON 230228Z SATELLITE SCATTEROMETRY DATA. TROPICAL STORM PETER IS CURRENTLY IN WEAK STEERING FLOW AND IS FORECAST TO TURN SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD INTO A WEAKENED REGION OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT LESS THAN A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE DUE TO ITS SIZE AND MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR INITIALLY. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION AND CLIMATOLOGY FOR A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9), 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6), 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2) AND 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jun 24 16:20:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102341-13786>; Tue, 24 Jun 1997 15:06:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA227794; Tue, 24 Jun 1997 01:42:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5792880 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Jun 1997 01:42:25 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA226984 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 1997 01:42:24 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id BAA67589 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Jun 1997 01:42:23 -0500 Message-ID: <199706240642.BAA67589@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Jun 1997 01:42:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -240142 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e04a79788c2c4d73cee5207ec7808d3e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 4381 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 67330 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600Z JUN 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/240151Z JUN 97// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/230251Z JUN 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 240600Z2 TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) WAS LOCATED AT 13.6N0 128.4E5, MOVING WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) WARNING NR 04 (WTPN31 PGTW 240300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 156E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14N5 150E6 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (REF B, WTPN22 PGTW 240300). ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT MOST OF THE CONVECTION HAS OCCURRED TO THE NORTH OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 230047Z SATELLITE SCATTEROMETRY DATA SUGGESTS THAT MOST OF THE SURFACE WINDS LIE TO THE NORTH OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AS WELL. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS LIGHT ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 178W6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8N8 176W4. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT AREAL COVERAGE HAS INCREASED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. 232239Z1 SATELLITE SCATTEROMETRY DATA SHOW THAT A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EXISTS IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE EXISTS ABOVE THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECASTED TO BEGIN MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD AND IS EXPECTED BE IN OR NEAR THE JTWC AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 158E4 IS NOW NEAR 9N9 158E4. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DECREASED IN AREAL COVERAGE AND ORGANIZATION. 240020Z8 SATELLITE SCATTEROMETRY DATA INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER REMAINS COLLOCATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS PRESENT ABOVE THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 7N7 173E1. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THIS AREA HAS NOT SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED IN ORGANIZATION OR AREAL COVERAGE DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. 232339Z2 SATELLITE SCATTEROMETRY DATA AS WELL AS SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS AND SATELLITE-DERIVED CLOUD WIND DRIFT DATA SUGGEST A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PRESENT IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT EXCELLENT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW EXISTS ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/FINTA/WOFFORD/BACON// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Jun 24 16:55:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102411-13786>; Tue, 24 Jun 1997 16:40:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA121880; Tue, 24 Jun 1997 03:22:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5793346 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Jun 1997 03:21:55 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA146692 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 1997 03:21:54 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id DAA78184 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Jun 1997 03:21:54 -0500 Message-ID: <199706240821.DAA78184@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Jun 1997 03:21:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -240321 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 09b87004aa82891217d5e56cff15ce29 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2861 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 56677 WTPN31 PGTW 240900 1. TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240600Z2 --- 14.2N7 128.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.2N7 128.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 14.9N4 127.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 16.0N7 127.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 17.5N3 127.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 19.2N2 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 22.6N0 125.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 240900Z5 POSITION 14.4N9 128.2E3 TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) IS DRIFTING NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 240530Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 240232Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. TROPICAL STORM PETER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TURNING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD WHILE SLOWLY INTENSIFYING AND ACCELERATING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240530Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6), 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2), 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4) AND 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 28 21:46:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102461-13786>; Tue, 24 Jun 1997 22:50:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA97910; Tue, 24 Jun 1997 09:36:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5795461 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Jun 1997 09:36:01 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA113492 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 1997 09:36:00 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id JAA68107 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Jun 1997 09:36:00 -0500 Message-ID: <199706241436.JAA68107@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Jun 1997 09:36:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -240935 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7b36f16f743124fce8a78397356313c9 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2847 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 45576 WTPN31 PGTW 241500 1. TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- 14.3N8 127.5E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.3N8 127.5E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 15.0N6 126.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 16.1N8 125.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 17.4N2 125.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 18.8N7 125.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 21.4N7 124.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION 14.5N0 127.2E2 TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 240201Z SCATTEROMETER PASS AS WELL AS VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS CONTINUING TO CONSOLIDATE AND IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE SLIGHTLY AS IT TURNS NORTHWARD WITHIN THE FIRST 24 HOURS OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. AFTERWARDS, TS PETER (09W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE NORTHWARD AND SLOWLY INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2), 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4), 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0) AND 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 28 21:46:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103007-13786>; Wed, 25 Jun 1997 04:29:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA122052; Tue, 24 Jun 1997 15:06:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5706414 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Jun 1997 15:05:50 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA38524 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 1997 15:05:49 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id PAA51892 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Jun 1997 15:05:49 -0500 Message-ID: <199706242005.PAA51892@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Jun 1997 15:05:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -241505 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 859629f324c988787fb84a60592872d1 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2812 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 76465 WTPN31 PGTW 242100 1. TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- 15.1N7 127.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N7 127.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 16.4N1 126.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 18.1N0 125.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 19.9N9 124.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 22.0N4 124.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 26.8N6 123.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 242100Z9 POSITION 15.4N0 126.9E8 TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TS PETER (09W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWARD AND SLOWLY INTENSIFY. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION FROM PREVIOUS WARNING (WHICH USED A 240201Z SCATTEROMETER PASS) AND ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4), 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0), 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7) AND 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 28 21:46:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102203-9444>; Wed, 25 Jun 1997 10:03:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA124266; Tue, 24 Jun 1997 20:46:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5710844 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Jun 1997 20:46:48 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA238120 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 1997 20:46:20 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id UAA79823 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Jun 1997 20:46:20 -0500 Message-ID: <199706250146.UAA79823@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Jun 1997 20:46:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -242046 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4d318ad80ae167d971eaf2d6a4d02d23 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3363 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 45772 WTPN31 PGTW 250300 1. TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- 16.0N7 126.9E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N7 126.9E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 18.0N9 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 20.1N3 126.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 22.1N5 125.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 24.1N7 125.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 28.1N1 126.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION 16.5N2 126.8E7 TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON 242330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON 242330Z VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) HAS BEGUN MOVING NORTHWARD AND IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN THE SAME GENERAL COURSE AND SPEED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE EAST PROVIDES THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE SLOWLY INTENSIFYING THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS WELL. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING AND CLIMATOLOGY FOR A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0), 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7), 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3) AND 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 28 21:46:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102606-9444>; Wed, 25 Jun 1997 14:27:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA151460; Wed, 25 Jun 1997 00:58:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5713700 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Jun 1997 00:58:31 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA43666 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 1997 00:58:31 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA60253 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Jun 1997 00:58:30 -0500 Message-ID: <199706250558.AAA60253@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Jun 1997 00:58:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -250058 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 570061f47644b25f5acdbe4862ea891b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3340 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 44122 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z JUN 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250151Z JUN 97// REF/B/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250257Z JUN 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250600Z2 TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.0N7 126.9E8, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) WARNING NR 08 (WTPN31 PGTW 250300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 150E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14N5 145E6. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT MOST OF THE CONVECTION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED AND NORTH OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT OUTFLOW FROM TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) MAY BE BEGINNING TO INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 178W6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8N8 177W5. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS REMAINED QUASISTATIONARY FOR 4 DAYS AND IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO ENTER THE JTWC AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 158E4 IS NOW NEAR 9N9 152E8. A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER REMAINS PRESENT WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION AS INDICATED BY A SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORT AND SATELLITE- DERIVED CLOUD WIND DRIFT DATA. RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT ALMOST ALL OF THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED WITHIN THIS SYSTEM. ACCORDINGLY, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 173E1 IS NOW NEAR 8N8 170E8. SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS SHOW THAT A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS COLLOCATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION, ALTHOUGH ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION LIES TO THE EAST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SATELLITE-DERIVED UPPER-LEVEL WIND DATA INDICATE THAT FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW EXISTS ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/FINTA/WOFFORD/BACON// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 28 21:47:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102668-9444>; Wed, 25 Jun 1997 16:24:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA13380; Wed, 25 Jun 1997 03:10:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5714302 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Jun 1997 03:10:07 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA146836 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 1997 03:08:30 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id DAA26873 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Jun 1997 03:08:30 -0500 Message-ID: <199706250808.DAA26873@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Jun 1997 03:08:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -250308 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 97a496e873ac763532a5fd11b5086368 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 4064 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 36854 WTPN31 PGTW 250900 1. TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) WARNING NR 009 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- 18.6N5 127.5E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.6N5 127.5E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 21.1N4 127.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 23.5N0 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 25.7N4 127.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 27.6N5 128.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 31.8N2 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 250900Z6 POSITION 19.2N2 127.5E5 TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THIS WARNING IS RELOCATED BASED ON AN EXPOSED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER APPEARING IN 250532Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 250532Z VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWARD AND DECELERATE BEFORE IT APPROACHES THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS IN ABOUT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) IS EXPECTED TO TURN EASTWARD AFTER 48 HOURS AS IT ENCOUNTERS DEEP LAYER STEERING FLOW FROM THE WEST- SOUTHWEST DUE TO THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AT LESS THAN A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH 48 HOURS, THEN WEAKEN AS VERTICAL WIND SHEAR INCREASES TO THE NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7), 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3), 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5) AND 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 28 21:47:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103088-9444>; Wed, 25 Jun 1997 22:58:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA102176; Wed, 25 Jun 1997 09:38:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5716614 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Jun 1997 09:38:18 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA120326 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 1997 09:38:17 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id JAA50675 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Jun 1997 09:38:16 -0500 Message-ID: <199706251438.JAA50675@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Jun 1997 09:38:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -250938 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e37ce5b27872b96ef72b8092c8bc146e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3456 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 65008 WTPN31 PGTW 251500 1. TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- 19.3N3 127.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.3N3 127.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 21.3N6 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 23.3N8 126.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 25.3N0 127.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 27.4N3 127.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 31.7N1 130.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION 19.8N8 127.0E0 TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS INITIALLY EXPECTED TO SLOW DUE TO WEAKENED STEERING FLOW WITHIN THE RIDGE AXIS. AFTER 48 HOURS, TS PETER (09W) IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARD AS IT MOVES POLEWARD OF THE RIDGE AXIS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 250919 MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I) PASS AND 251130Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3), 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5), 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1) AND 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 28 21:47:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103133-9444>; Thu, 26 Jun 1997 04:40:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA68138; Wed, 25 Jun 1997 15:11:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5720686 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Jun 1997 15:11:41 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA251916 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 1997 15:11:40 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id PAA74633 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Jun 1997 15:11:39 -0500 Message-ID: <199706252011.PAA74633@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Jun 1997 15:11:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -251511 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 952797f8257478785aeb76f984aeb368 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3675 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 46214 WTPN31 PGTW 252100 1. TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251800Z6 --- 19.9N9 126.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.9N9 126.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 21.7N0 126.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 23.6N1 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 25.7N4 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 27.9N8 127.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 34.4N1 133.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 252100Z0 POSITION 20.4N6 126.7E6 TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 9 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 251416Z SCATTEROMETER PASS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE NORTHWARD FOR 36 HOURS AND THEN PROGRESS TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TS PETER (09W) IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY THROUGH 48 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE AFFECTED BY SHEAR AS IT BEGINS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5), 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1), 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8) AND 262100Z1 (DTG 261951Z4).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 28 21:47:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102808-4332>; Thu, 26 Jun 1997 10:56:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA146940; Wed, 25 Jun 1997 21:38:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5723332 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Jun 1997 21:37:55 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA150458 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 1997 21:37:18 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id VAA56804 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Jun 1997 21:37:18 -0500 Message-ID: <199706260237.VAA56804@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Jun 1997 21:37:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -252137 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 79c3c27a55e380929589415b2ecd3ee0 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3564 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 37345 WTPN31 PGTW 260300 1. TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 20.9N1 126.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.9N1 126.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 23.0N5 126.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 25.3N0 126.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 28.3N3 126.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 20 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 31.7N1 129.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 36.5N4 139.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 21.4N7 126.6E5 TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TRACK PRIMARILY NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE AFTER 24 HOURS DUE TO ENHANCED SOUTHERLY STEERING FLOW AND A WEAKENING OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REACH PEAK INTENSITY BY 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1), 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8), 262100Z1 (DTG 261951Z4) AND 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 28 21:48:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102818-4332>; Thu, 26 Jun 1997 14:29:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA117976; Thu, 26 Jun 1997 01:13:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5725085 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 1997 01:13:28 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA199360 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 1997 01:13:27 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id BAA60221 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 1997 01:13:26 -0500 Message-ID: <199706260613.BAA60221@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Jun 1997 01:13:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -260113 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a330c51d57a1b595ebe1d8e0e3b63163 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2097 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 44346 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z JUN 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/260151Z JUN 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 260000Z2 TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) WAS LOCATED AT 20.9N1 126.6E5, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) WARNING NR 12 (WTPN31 PGTW 260300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 145E6 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 170E8 HAS LOST ITS ORGANIZATION AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 152E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 149E4. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A VERY WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. WHILE THIS DISTURBANCE HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 72 HOURS, CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION REMAINS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/HAM/TIRSCHEL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 28 21:48:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102864-4332>; Thu, 26 Jun 1997 16:32:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA199242; Thu, 26 Jun 1997 03:13:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5725490 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 1997 03:13:37 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA140340 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 1997 03:13:36 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id DAA74321 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 1997 03:13:36 -0500 Message-ID: <199706260813.DAA74321@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Jun 1997 03:13:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -260313 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0a68c43bd9b6ce2531dbe7e11190d442 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3844 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 60238 WTPN31 PGTW 260900 1. TYPHOON PETER (09W) WARNING NR 013 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 09W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260600Z4 --- 21.9N2 126.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.9N2 126.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 24.1N7 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 26.6N4 126.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 29.6N7 127.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 21 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 32.7N2 131.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 36.8N7 141.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 260900Z7 POSITION 22.5N9 126.6E5 TYPHOON PETER (09W), UPGRADED FROM A TROPICAL STORM, IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE OVERALL FORECAST REASONING REMAINS THE SAME; HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY QUICKER THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE SIGNIFICANTLY AFTER 24 HOURS AND BEGIN A NORTHEASTWARD TRACK AFTER 36 HOURS. PEAK INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 260241Z SCATTEROMETER PASS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8), 262100Z1 (DTG 261951Z4), 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6) AND 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 28 21:48:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103051-4332>; Fri, 27 Jun 1997 03:26:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA140716; Thu, 26 Jun 1997 13:58:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5731631 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 1997 13:58:26 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA41618 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 1997 13:58:25 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id NAA47699 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 1997 13:58:25 -0500 Message-ID: <199706261858.NAA47699@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Jun 1997 13:58:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -261358 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 93beab93d5cb90117c2dc4064da89711 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2713 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 10832 WTPN31 PGTW 261500 1. TYPHOON PETER (09W) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- 23.5N0 126.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.5N0 126.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 26.5N3 126.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 29.3N4 127.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 31.7N1 129.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 22 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 34.1N8 134.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE O NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 28 21:48:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103104-4332>; Fri, 27 Jun 1997 04:13:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA199240; Thu, 26 Jun 1997 14:46:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5732067 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 1997 14:45:54 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA249638 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 1997 14:45:54 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id OAA46072 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 1997 14:45:53 -0500 Message-ID: <199706261945.OAA46072@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Jun 1997 14:45:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -261445 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9f2bbe791cacff6156a3c60e19af4d30 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3695 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 44277 WTPN31 PGTW 262100 1. TYPHOON PETER (09W) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z7 --- 24.7N3 126.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.7N3 126.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 27.3N2 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 29.8N9 127.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 32.1N6 130.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 20 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 34.2N9 134.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 37.2N2 144.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 262100Z1 POSITION 25.3N0 126.4E3 TYPHOON PETER (09W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 12 KNOTS. OVER THE PAST TWELVE HOURS TYPHOON PETER HAS LOST MUCH OF ITS CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION. HOWEVER, OVER THE PAST THREE HOURS IT APPEARS THAT PETER IS REGAINING SOME OF ITS STRUCTURE. TYPHOON PETER REMAINS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR INTENSIFICATION AND WE ANTICIPATE PETER TO INTENSIFY BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z7 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6), 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2), 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9) AND 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 28 21:49:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102662-1134>; Fri, 27 Jun 1997 10:55:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA65466; Thu, 26 Jun 1997 21:10:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5735491 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 1997 21:10:33 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA101032 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 1997 21:10:32 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id VAA64504 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 1997 21:10:31 -0500 Message-ID: <199706270210.VAA64504@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Jun 1997 21:10:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -262110 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3574853cb90d36de4153a4fa2568b6b6 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3651 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 35317 WTPN31 PGTW 270300 1. TYPHOON PETER (09W) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- 26.2N0 126.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 26.2N0 126.3E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 28.8N8 127.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 31.5N9 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 33.3N9 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 34.8N5 135.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 37.3N3 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION 26.8N6 126.5E4 TYPHOON PETER (09W) IS TRACKING NORTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS. KADENA AIR BASE (RODN) AND FUTENMA MCAS (ROTM) HAVE REPORTED WIND GUSTS TO 66 KNOTS AND 64 KNOTS RESPECTIVELY. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY AT ITS PEAK INTENSITY. TYPHOON PETER IS FORECAST TO MAKE A NORTHEASTWARD TURN WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY PRIOR TO LANDFALL ON THE SOUTHERN JAPANESE ISLAND OF KYUSHU. THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES OVER LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z9 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2), 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9), 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5) AND 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 28 21:49:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102887-1134>; Fri, 27 Jun 1997 14:40:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA152440; Fri, 27 Jun 1997 01:15:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5737552 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 1997 01:15:16 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA160862 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 1997 01:15:15 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id BAA57216 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 1997 01:15:15 -0500 Message-ID: <199706270615.BAA57216@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Jun 1997 01:15:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -270115 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 097436961ffc4ed78624521a06e28f57 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1846 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 69757 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z JUN 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/270151Z JUN 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 270000Z9 TYPHOON PETER (09W) WAS LOCATED AT 26.2N0 126.3E2, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON PETER (09W) WARNING NR 16 (WTPN31 PGTW 270300) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 149E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 143E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A VERY WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. WHILE THIS DISTURBANCE HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 72 HOURS, CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION REMAINS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/HAM/GILL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 28 21:49:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102914-1134>; Fri, 27 Jun 1997 15:57:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA229350; Fri, 27 Jun 1997 02:35:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5737758 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 1997 02:35:23 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA229326 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 1997 02:35:22 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id CAA40918 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 1997 02:35:22 -0500 Message-ID: <199706270735.CAA40918@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Jun 1997 02:35:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -270235 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fd755a5b59d0b74270435672702129a0 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3240 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 57299 WTPN31 PGTW 270900 1. TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) WARNING NR 017 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 09W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- 28.4N4 126.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.4N4 126.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 31.6N0 129.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 33.9N5 133.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 35.6N4 138.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 22 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 37.1N1 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 40.7N1 151.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 270900Z8 POSITION 29.2N3 127.1E1 TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W), DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON STRENGTH, IS TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 21 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM PETER IS FORECAST TO TURN NORTHEASTWARD WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BE EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 72-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9), 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5), 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7) AND 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 28 21:49:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102900-1134>; Fri, 27 Jun 1997 18:56:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA146900; Fri, 27 Jun 1997 05:27:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5738396 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 1997 05:27:37 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA152514 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 1997 05:27:37 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id FAA39720 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 1997 05:27:36 -0500 Message-ID: <199706271027.FAA39720@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Jun 1997 05:27:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -270527 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 56811178fde4b0fa6f015c52b4eb883e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3060 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 52517 WTPN31 PGTW 270900 AMD 1. TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) WARNING NR 017A AMENDED DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 09W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- 28.4N4 126.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.4N4 126.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 32.2N7 128.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 34.3N0 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 35.6N4 138.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 22 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 37.1N1 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 40.7N1 151.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 270900Z8 POSITION 29.4N5 126.8E7 TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 21 KNOTS. JUSTIFICATION: THIS WARNING HAS BEEN AMENDED FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING IN ACCORDANCE WITH RECENT STORM MOTION AND OUR MOST RECENT NUMERICAL GUIDANCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z5 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9), 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5), 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7) AND 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 28 21:49:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102882-1134>; Fri, 27 Jun 1997 22:16:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA229140; Fri, 27 Jun 1997 08:56:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5739691 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 1997 08:56:32 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA180728 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 1997 08:56:32 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id IAA47565 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 1997 08:56:31 -0500 Message-ID: <199706271356.IAA47565@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Jun 1997 08:56:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -270856 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 91be07f3884ff86a367cb9d130112f45 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3188 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 13258 WTPN31 PGTW 271500 1. TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- 30.1N4 126.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 30.1N4 126.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 33.0N6 129.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 34.8N5 134.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 35.9N7 139.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 24 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 37.6N6 144.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 41.5N0 155.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 271500Z5 POSITION 30.8N1 127.2E2 TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 18 KNOTS. WE EXPECT TROPICAL STORM PETER TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY AND BEGIN TRACKING TO THE NORTHEAST OVER THE NEXT TWELVE HOURS. BEYOND THAT TIME, LAND INTERACTION AS WELL AS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WILL SERVE TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z2 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5), 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7), 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3) AND 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 28 21:49:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103237-1134>; Sat, 28 Jun 1997 04:35:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA121930; Fri, 27 Jun 1997 15:13:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5743189 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 1997 15:13:18 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA121906 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 1997 15:13:17 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id PAA60117 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 1997 15:13:16 -0500 Message-ID: <199706272013.PAA60117@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Jun 1997 15:13:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -271513 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a8dbe176de08d667277a32fcf110c4c2 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3127 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 38866 WTPN31 PGTW 272100 1. TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271800Z8 --- 31.7N1 127.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 31.7N1 127.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 34.2N9 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 35.8N6 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 37.6N6 142.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 25 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 39.6N8 148.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 43.6N3 158.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 272100Z2 POSITION 32.3N8 128.9E0 TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 19 KNOTS. THE CURRENT WARNING POSITION IS BASED HEAVILY ON HOURLY OBSERVATIONS FROM WMO 47842 (MESHEMA), WHOSE SURFACE PRESSURE HAS BEEN FALLING STEADILY AND IS CURRENTLY AT 975 MB. THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PETER SHOULD BE PASSING OVER MESHEMA WITHIN THE NEXT TWO HOURS. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS WARNINGS. WE EXPECT PETER TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY UNTIL MAKING LANDFALL, AFTER WHICH TIME RAPID WEAKENING IS EXPECTED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z8 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7), 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3), 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0) AND 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 28 21:50:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102234-23812>; Sat, 28 Jun 1997 10:43:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA226626; Fri, 27 Jun 1997 21:26:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5745946 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 1997 21:26:37 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA148776 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 1997 21:26:36 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id VAA79467 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 1997 21:26:35 -0500 Message-ID: <199706280226.VAA79467@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Jun 1997 21:26:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -272126 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9423e222cabfd31458c0597e4faa4cff X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 630 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 38248 WTPN31 PGTW 280300 1. TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE - NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 28 21:50:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102442-23812>; Sat, 28 Jun 1997 14:02:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA102352; Sat, 28 Jun 1997 00:33:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5747462 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Jun 1997 00:33:41 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA238264 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 1997 00:33:40 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA72668 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Jun 1997 00:33:40 -0500 Message-ID: <199706280533.AAA72668@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Jun 1997 00:33:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -280033 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5f086646a494f9064b610db6bd6fd6c3 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2074 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 78041 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z JUN 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/280151Z JUN 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 280000Z0 TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) WAS LOCATED AT 32.8N3 129.7E9, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 19 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) WARNING NR 20 (WTPN31 PGTW 280300) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 143E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8N8 137E1. A WELL-DEFINED, BUT BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PRESENT IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION AS SHOWN BY SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS AND SATELLITE-DERIVED CLOUD WIND DRIFT DATA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE EXISTS ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. HOWEVER, ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES VERY LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION LIES NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/FINTA/WOFFORD/BACON// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 28 21:50:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102663-23812>; Sat, 28 Jun 1997 16:52:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA141996; Sat, 28 Jun 1997 03:25:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5748172 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Jun 1997 03:24:54 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA102240 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 1997 03:24:53 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id DAA39990 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Jun 1997 03:24:52 -0500 Message-ID: <199706280824.DAA39990@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Jun 1997 03:24:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -280324 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9851e7ee92ff7ed57c67aac1718963ed X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3364 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 51763 WTPN31 PGTW 280900 1. TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- 33.8N4 132.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 24 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 33.8N4 132.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 35.9N7 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 37.7N7 144.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 39.5N7 150.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 28 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 41.3N8 157.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 66 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 66 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 43.5N2 168.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 280900Z9 POSITION 34.3N0 133.7E4 TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 24 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF 280530Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, A 280600Z SURFACE RADAR REPORT FROM MURUOTOMISAKI (WMO 47899) AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS AT 280600Z. EMPHASIS WAS PLACED ON THE REPORTS FROM OITA (47815), UWAJIMA (WMO 47892), AND KURE (47766). THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CONSENSUS OF A 280530Z SATELLITE-DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE USING VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE DATA AND A 280500Z SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORT OF 40 KNOTS AT KOMATSUJIMA (WMO 47884). THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING FOR THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AS IT ACCELERATES TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IN 30 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0), 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6), 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8) AND 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Jun 28 23:31:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102677-23812>; Sat, 28 Jun 1997 23:03:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA24478; Sat, 28 Jun 1997 09:45:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5749815 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Jun 1997 09:45:03 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA97928 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 1997 09:45:02 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id JAA56779 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Jun 1997 09:45:01 -0500 Message-ID: <199706281445.JAA56779@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Jun 1997 09:45:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -280945 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0d81a1d2084cd19f92413d85deee255b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2733 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 38088 WTPN31 PGTW 281500 1. TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- 35.6N4 136.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 36 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 35.6N4 136.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 38.7N8 144.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 41.2N7 152.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 42.7N3 159.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 22 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 44.0N8 165.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 60 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 46.1N1 170.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 281500Z6 POSITION 36.4N3 138.5E7 TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 36 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WMO=S 47768, 47741, AND 47761. IT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS WITH INITIAL ACCELERATION AND THEN SLOWING AS IT TRANSITIONS INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6), 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8), 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4) AND 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jun 29 06:29:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102758-23812>; Sun, 29 Jun 1997 00:02:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA199404; Sat, 28 Jun 1997 10:44:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5750373 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Jun 1997 10:44:50 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA36568 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 1997 10:44:49 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id KAA72643 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Jun 1997 10:44:49 -0500 Message-ID: <199706281544.KAA72643@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Jun 1997 10:44:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -281044 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 38aeb62f0df53c0a25a0de7367d0643a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2771 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 39616 WTPN31 PGTW 281500 COR 1. TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) WARNING NR 022A 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- 35.6N4 136.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 36 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 35.6N4 136.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 38.7N8 144.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 41.2N7 152.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 42.7N3 159.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 22 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 44.0N8 165.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 60 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 46.1N1 170.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 281500Z6 POSITION 36.4N3 138.5E7 TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 36 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WMO=S 47768, 47704, AND 47761. IT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS WITH INITIAL ACCELERATION AND THEN SLOWING AS IT TRANSITIONS INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6), 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8), 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4) AND 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1). 2. JUSTIFICATION: CORRECTED WMO.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jun 29 06:29:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102910-23812>; Sun, 29 Jun 1997 04:51:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA102280; Sat, 28 Jun 1997 15:32:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5752193 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Jun 1997 15:31:59 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA235124 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 1997 15:31:58 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id PAA70788 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Jun 1997 15:31:57 -0500 Message-ID: <199706282031.PAA70788@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Jun 1997 15:31:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -281531 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: db64b4e1ed3bb1365ce9ea967318c6e6 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2465 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 45185 WTPN31 PGTW 282100 1. TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281800Z9 --- 37.6N6 140.3E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 37 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 37.6N6 140.3E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 40.4N8 148.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 43.3N0 154.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 45.5N4 156.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 42 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 42 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 46.8N8 157.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 282100Z3 POSITION 38.3N4 142.3E0 TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 37 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WMO=S 47595, 47570, AND 47597. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INITIALLY CONTINUE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AND THEN MOVE MORE NORTHWARD THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS EXPECTED TO BE COMPLETE WITHIN 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8) AND 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jun 29 17:59:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102179-28062>; Sun, 29 Jun 1997 10:21:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA138016; Sat, 28 Jun 1997 20:59:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5754406 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Jun 1997 20:59:12 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA155914 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 1997 20:59:11 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id UAA52595 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Jun 1997 20:59:11 -0500 Message-ID: <199706290159.UAA52595@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Jun 1997 20:59:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -282059 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 95be026a118eb0864a35fc4fed0055fe X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2535 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 67696 WTPN31 PGTW 290300 1. TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) WARNING NR 024 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- 39.9N1 144.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 38 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 39.9N1 144.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 43.2N9 151.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 46.8N8 158.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 50.5N0 162.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION 40.7N1 146.1E2 TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 38 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 282330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON THE CONSENSUS OF A 35 KNOT 282800Z SHIP REPORT AND A SATELLITE-DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ANALYSIS OF 45 KNOTS (DVORAK CI3.0). CURRENT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED USING THE SAME SHIP REPORT. TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) IS FORECAST TO BEGIN SLOWING ITS FORWARD MOTION AS IT APPROACHES A MID-LEVEL RIDGE POSITION DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ABOUT THE SAME INTENSITY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) IS FORECAST TO COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IN 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Jun 29 17:59:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102462-28062>; Sun, 29 Jun 1997 14:13:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA138196; Sun, 29 Jun 1997 00:56:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5756128 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Jun 1997 00:55:51 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA199356 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 1997 00:55:51 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA72581 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Jun 1997 00:55:50 -0500 Message-ID: <199706290555.AAA72581@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Jun 1997 00:55:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -290055 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 21a06c3daef002ea51a0074d452559c2 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1816 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 74882 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z JUN 97// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/290151Z JUN 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 290000Z1 TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) WAS LOCATED AT 39.9N1 144.2E1, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 38 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM PETER (09W) WARNING NR 24 (WTPN31 PGTW 290300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 137E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 132E6. A BROAD, LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS STILL EVIDENT IN SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS. HOWEVER, VIRTUALLY ALL THE DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS ON THE PERIPHERY OF THIS DISTURBANCE. SATELLITE-DERIVED UPPER-LEVEL WIND DATA INDICATE 30 TO 40 KNOTS OF SURFACE TO 200 MB VERTICAL WIND SHEAR EXISTS ABOVE THIS DISTURBANCE. ACCORDINGLY, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/FINTA/WOFFORD/BACON// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 30 16:49:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102452-475>; Mon, 30 Jun 1997 14:29:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA32978; Mon, 30 Jun 1997 01:03:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5765552 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Jun 1997 01:03:18 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA80048 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 1997 01:03:16 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id BAA43137 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Jun 1997 01:03:16 -0500 Message-ID: <199706300603.BAA43137@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 30 Jun 1997 01:03:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -300103 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 29ec5a82f9c543140b24b8b941fdf670 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 598 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 44926 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/30 NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Jun 30 16:49:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102323-475>; Mon, 30 Jun 1997 16:42:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA100946; Mon, 30 Jun 1997 03:20:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5765999 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Jun 1997 03:20:48 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA229180 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 1997 03:20:47 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id DAA66108 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Jun 1997 03:20:47 -0500 Message-ID: <199706300820.DAA66108@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 30 Jun 1997 03:20:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -300320 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9db82293dc693ecaa0252bf7b862d5d7 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 948 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 55865 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z JUN 97/010600Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/FINTA/WOFFORD/BACON// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 3 13:05:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102584-13148>; Thu, 3 Jul 1997 12:24:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA204120; Wed, 2 Jul 1997 22:59:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5800897 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Jul 1997 22:59:25 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA229186 for ; Wed, 2 Jul 1997 22:59:24 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id WAA36812 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 2 Jul 1997 22:59:24 -0500 Message-ID: <199707030359.WAA36812@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Jul 1997 22:59:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -022259 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a9245de09f46e0d7d3a3b893487bade3 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2775 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 47817 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600Z JUL 97// RMKS/1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 126E9 IS NOW LOCATED OVER EASTERN LUZON. EVIDENCE OF AN ORGANIZED CIRCULATION IS NO LONGER PRESENT ON ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY OR ON SYNOPTIC OBSERVATION DATA. SATELLITE ANIMATION INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS MOVED INTO AN AREA OF STRONG UPPER LEVEL NORTHEASTERLIES, PRODUCING STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND PRECLUDING FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 141E6 IS NOW LOCATED 10N1 136E0. SATELLITE IMAGERY, SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SYNOPTIC DATA SUPPORT A WEAK CIRCULATION. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES VERY LITTLE ORGANIZED CONVECTION WITHIN THE CIRCULATION DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. SATELLITE DERIVED UPPER LEVEL WINDS INDICATE CONTINUED MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO IMPEDE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) A NEW AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 9N9 179W7. SATELLITE ANIMATION INDICATES A WEAK SURFACE CIRCULATION, UNORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION, AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS AREA HAS LITTLE PERSISTENCE AS IT WAS FIRST EVIDENT ON SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 021800Z. SATELLITE ANIMATION INDICATES THIS AREA IS MOVING SLOWLY WEST AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. ALTERNATE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER PEARL HARBOR SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: HILL/BOHLIN// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG29831840338 NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Jul 4 14:58:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102625-11098>; Fri, 4 Jul 1997 14:32:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA113510; Fri, 4 Jul 1997 01:18:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5813844 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Jul 1997 01:18:16 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA185932 for ; Fri, 4 Jul 1997 01:18:16 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id BAA35239 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 4 Jul 1997 01:18:15 -0500 Message-ID: <199707040618.BAA35239@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Jul 1997 01:18:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -040118 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c1ca9d91bd096b140d1e0d459b2d16c3 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2087 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 67748 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 136E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 129E2. HIGH RESOLUTION ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER MAY BE DEVELOPING IN THIS AREA OF CONVECTION, WHICH IS CURRENTLY UNDERGOING DIURNAL WEAKENING. SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA SHOWS THE ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER LIES TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THIS SYSTEM=S DEEP CONVECTION. ANIMATED SATELLITE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT MODERATE EAST TO WEST UPPER- LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR CONTINUES OVER THIS AREA AND THAT AN UPPER LEVEL CONVERGENCE ZONE TO THE NORTHWEST IS IMPEDING OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 179W7 HAS MERGED WITH CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH EASTERLY TRADE WIND FLOW AND NO LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS APPARENT IN HIGH RESOLUTION VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/FINTA/WOFFORD/BACON// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jul 9 19:56:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102829-4648>; Sat, 5 Jul 1997 13:57:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA140746; Sat, 5 Jul 1997 00:42:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5820995 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Jul 1997 00:42:32 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA68272 for ; Sat, 5 Jul 1997 00:42:31 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA62667 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 5 Jul 1997 00:42:31 -0500 Message-ID: <199707050542.AAA62667@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Jul 1997 00:42:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -050042 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e50bcc5cb39a3c3159c5838b11a8d27a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1621 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 49608 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 129E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14N5 127E0. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA SUPPORT THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION (LLCC). CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LLCC CONTINUES TO BE POORLY ORGANIZED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jul 9 19:56:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102325-11812>; Sun, 6 Jul 1997 15:14:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA95446; Sun, 6 Jul 1997 00:56:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5827971 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Jul 1997 00:56:40 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA140738 for ; Sun, 6 Jul 1997 00:56:39 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA58814 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 6 Jul 1997 00:56:39 -0500 Message-ID: <199707060556.AAA58814@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 6 Jul 1997 00:56:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -060056 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8ea4c968870dcbb362fe96d445319f29 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2096 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 23995 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 127E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18N9 125E8. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SUPPORT THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION (LLCC). CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LLCC HAS IMPROVED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE MODERATE NORTHERLY UPPER- LEVEL WIND SHEAR EXISTS OVER THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8N8 164E1. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SUPPORT THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE EXISTS OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jul 9 19:56:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102502-12384>; Mon, 7 Jul 1997 14:31:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA204192; Mon, 7 Jul 1997 01:17:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5835391 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 7 Jul 1997 01:17:14 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA41588 for ; Mon, 7 Jul 1997 01:16:00 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id BAA44354 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 7 Jul 1997 01:16:00 -0500 Message-ID: <199707070616.BAA44354@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 7 Jul 1997 01:16:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -070115 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 867b0f4d13295195dbc3a1626256d385 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2149 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 56895 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 125E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 24N6 125E8. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SUPPORT THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION (LLCC). ASSOCIATED CONVECTION HAS DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE ENHANCED UPPER-LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 164E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7N7 163E0. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SUPPORT THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE WEAK SOUTHERLY VERTICAL SHEAR EXIST OVER THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jul 9 19:56:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102765-18223>; Tue, 8 Jul 1997 14:27:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA160830; Tue, 8 Jul 1997 00:56:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5843832 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Jul 1997 00:56:37 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA199210 for ; Tue, 8 Jul 1997 00:56:36 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA77453 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 8 Jul 1997 00:56:36 -0500 Message-ID: <199707080556.AAA77453@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Jul 1997 00:56:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -080056 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0b294d0fd24a2acf5d171df100b22da2 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1348 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 40586 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 24N6 125E8 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 163E0 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/DEOCARIZA/EIBLING// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Jul 9 19:56:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <102946-737>; Wed, 9 Jul 1997 13:55:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA65382; Wed, 9 Jul 1997 00:29:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5852590 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Jul 1997 00:28:58 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA24350 for ; Wed, 9 Jul 1997 00:28:57 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA73253 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Jul 1997 00:28:57 -0500 Message-ID: <199707090528.AAA73253@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Jul 1997 00:28:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -090028 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d124e6bbb1baaeacd214bb43736f1782 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 932 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 67618 ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/DEOCARIZA/EIBLING// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 10 10:56:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103205-737>; Thu, 10 Jul 1997 04:20:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA32832; Wed, 9 Jul 1997 14:53:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5858003 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Jul 1997 14:52:47 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA98078 for ; Wed, 9 Jul 1997 14:52:46 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id OAA39577 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 9 Jul 1997 14:52:45 -0500 Message-ID: <199707091952.OAA39577@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Jul 1997 14:52:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -091452 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 18eeafad12433619f1f292e34cfe9f86 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1532 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 39318 ABPW10 PGTW 091900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/091900Z/100600Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 7N7 137E1. SYNOPTIC DATA FROM YAP (WMO 91413) AND KOROR (WMO 91408) SUPPORT THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK CYCLONIC LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADD SUSPECT AREA IN NORTHWEST PACIFIC. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/FINTA/WOFFORD/BACON// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Jul 10 14:27:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <103037-26088>; Thu, 10 Jul 1997 14:00:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA160828; Thu, 10 Jul 1997 00:40:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 5861913 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 1997 00:39:57 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA173802 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 1997 00:39:56 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) id AAA22060 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 1997 00:39:56 -0500 Message-ID: <199707100539.AAA22060@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Jul 1997 00:39:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -100039 (AUTOMATIC) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 71f53de4b0c8567f33862f28a7c30403 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 40745 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600Z JUL 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 137E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 135E9. SYNOPTIC DATA FROM YAP (WMO 91413) AND KOROR (WMO 91408) SUPPORT THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 3 09:10:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626484-289>; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 17:54:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA34178; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 04:52:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6164142 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 04:52:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA35184 for ; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 04:52:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA09535 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 04:52:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709020952.EAA09535@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Sep 1997 04:52:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e0b9dbad31ec3f24f1f0729a73cc102c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 887 Status: OR 925 ABPA20 PHNL 021000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST TUE SEP 02 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 13N176W...ABOUT 1300 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...IS DRIFTING SLOWLY WEST AND HAS WEAKENED DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS BEING MONITORED FOR RE-DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH WEDNESDAY. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 3 09:10:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626485-290>; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 18:33:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA32690; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 05:28:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6164184 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 05:28:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA31378 for ; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 05:27:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA09570 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 05:27:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709021027.FAA09570@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Sep 1997 05:27:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c1695027aeb2926239df00adf3825093 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 890 Status: OR 426 ABPZ20 KNHC 021023 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE SEP 2 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS DRIFTING SLOWLY WESTWARD. SOME DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 3 09:10:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626582-290>; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 19:35:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id GAA31830; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 06:01:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6164409 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 06:01:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA25790 for ; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 05:59:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA09590 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 05:59:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709021059.FAA09590@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Sep 1997 05:59:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 61aa7b236bd7539482084acaea35ce6d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1616 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 832 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z/030600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 020151Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 020000Z2 TYPHOON BING (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 27.5N4 138.3E5 AND WAS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 120 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 145 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON BING (19W) WARNING NR 24 (WTPN31 PGTW 020300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 30N3 157E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 33N6 170E8. THE SYSTEM IS BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 3 09:10:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626611-7783>; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 19:38:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id GAA23050; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 06:00:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6164335 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 05:59:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA30908 for ; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 05:59:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA09589 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 05:59:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709021059.FAA09589@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Sep 1997 05:59:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 59493682225440d043fb25de2002cd20 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1562 Status: OR 832 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z/030600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 020151Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 020000Z2 TYPHOON BING (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 27.5N4 138.3E5 AND WAS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 120 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 145 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON BING (19W) WARNING NR 24 (WTPN31 PGTW 020300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 30N3 157E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 33N6 170E8. THE SYSTEM IS BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 3 09:10:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626425-3628>; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 00:38:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA23840; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 11:28:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6166515 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 11:28:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA12526 for ; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 11:28:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id LAA10167 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 11:28:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709021628.LAA10167@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Sep 1997 11:28:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9681e47e20bb4318b8f8c04124ba516d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 874 Status: OR 237 ABPZ20 KNHC 021628 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE SEP 2 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS DRIFTING SLOWLY WESTWARD. SOME DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 3 09:10:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626426-3628>; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 01:37:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA24624; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 12:14:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6166918 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 12:14:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA21462 for ; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 12:14:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA10261 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 12:14:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709021714.MAA10261@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Sep 1997 12:14:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 04d4cbc559f245439860b6f15b7368f8 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 930 Status: OR 885 ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/021800Z TO 031800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/BACON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 3 09:10:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626424-3626>; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 01:26:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA24588; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 12:14:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6166913 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 12:14:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA15316 for ; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 12:14:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA10260 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 12:14:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709021714.MAA10260@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Sep 1997 12:14:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7ba915f75e54cd4f8020059feccc1052 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 981 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 885 ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/021800Z TO 031800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/BACON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 3 09:10:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626425-3626>; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 03:37:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA35436; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 14:30:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6167961 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 14:30:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA27308 for ; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 14:29:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id OAA11076 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 14:29:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709021929.OAA11076@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Sep 1997 14:29:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Bing (19w) Warning Nr 027 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3c2853226e8218d47570630fcf9536ea X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 580 Status: OR 387 WTPN31 PGTW 022100 1. TYPHOON BING (19W) WARNING NR 027 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 3 09:10:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626425-3629>; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 04:01:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA12680; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 14:52:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6168099 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 14:51:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA30308 for ; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 14:51:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id OAA11105 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 14:51:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709021951.OAA11105@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Sep 1997 14:51:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Bing (19w) Warning Nr 027 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1fa0976b65f7056bec8dc06285b7783d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3464 Status: OR 618 WTPN31 PGTW 022100 COR 1. TYPHOON BING (19W) WARNING NR 027 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021800Z1 --- 30.0N3 139.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 255 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 225 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.0N3 139.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 32.8N3 141.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 205 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 36.2N1 145.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 37 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 40.3N7 153.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 42 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 44.5N3 163.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 43 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 52.3N0 173.4W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 022100Z5 POSITION 30.7N0 140.0E5 TYPHOON BING (19W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE GRADUALLY TURNING NORTHEASTWARD AND ACCELERATE AS IT WEAKENS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z6 (DTG 030151Z0), 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6), 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3) AND 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 3 09:10:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626438-3628>; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 04:09:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA22746; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 14:58:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6168118 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 14:58:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA34996 for ; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 14:58:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id OAA11113 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 14:58:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709021958.OAA11113@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Sep 1997 14:58:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Bing (19w) Warning Nr 027 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 21ac317b871a7d302ff179ecbe6af46e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3464 Status: OR 682 WTPN31 PGTW 022100 COR 1. TYPHOON BING (19W) WARNING NR 027 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021800Z1 --- 30.0N3 139.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 255 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 225 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.0N3 139.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 32.8N3 141.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 205 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 36.2N1 145.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 37 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 40.3N7 153.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 42 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 44.5N3 163.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 43 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 52.3N0 173.4W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 022100Z5 POSITION 30.7N0 140.0E5 TYPHOON BING (19W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE GRADUALLY TURNING NORTHEASTWARD AND ACCELERATE AS IT WEAKENS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z6 (DTG 030151Z0), 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6), 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3) AND 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 3 09:10:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626410-3627>; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 06:04:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA26114; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 16:59:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6169131 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 16:59:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA13016 for ; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 16:59:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA11415 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 16:59:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709022159.QAA11415@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Sep 1997 16:59:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 54102a46e1c51863d8e6e9f4a49fe90b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 869 Status: OR 401 ABPZ20 KNHC 022159 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE SEP 2 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS DRIFTING SLOWLY WESTWARD. SOME DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 3 09:10:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626410-3629>; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 06:08:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA16466; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 17:01:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6169143 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 17:01:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA23352 for ; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 17:01:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA11423 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 17:01:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709022201.RAA11423@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Sep 1997 17:01:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Two-c Discussion Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 438e12b6c51173b5dc8f5e6db7297fb5 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1261 Status: OR 445 WTPA42 PHNL 022200 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 12 PM HST TUE SEP 02 1997 THE DISTURBANCE THAT HAS BEEN FOLLOWED FOR SOME TIME NOW HAS NOW BECOME TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C. THERE MAY BE MORE THAN ONE CENTER TO THE NORTHWEST AND NORTHEAST. THE CENTER CHOSEN IS A ROUND PATTERN OF LOWER CLOUDS AND THE NATURAL SPIRAL CENTER OF TWO CURVED CONVECTIVE BANDS. INITIAL MOTION IS 280/05 AND MAY CROSS THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE IN APPROXIMATELY 24 HOURS. HABLUTZEL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 02/2100Z 13.3N 177.9W 30 KTS 12HR VT 03/0600Z 13.4N 178.7W 35 KTS 24HR VT 03/1800Z 13.6N 179.7W 40 KTS 36HR VT 04/0600Z 13.8N 179.3E 45 KTS 48HR VT 04/1800Z 14.0N 178.3E 50 KTS 72HR VT 05/1800Z 14.3N 176.0E 60 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 3 09:10:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626434-3627>; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 06:05:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA32452; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 17:02:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6169148 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 17:02:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA24482 for ; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 17:02:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA11428 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 17:02:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709022202.RAA11428@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Sep 1997 17:02:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Two-c Forecast/advisory Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6175a62d3ff96f9d2f932d841b272d87 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1712 Status: OR 447 WTPA22 PHNL 022200 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0297 2200Z TUE SEP 02 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C FORMS IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 177.9W AT 02/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 177.9W AT 02/2100Z AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 177.6W FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 13.4N 178.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 13.6N 179.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 13.8N 179.3E MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...130NE 130SE 130SW 130NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 177.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 14.0N 178.3E MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 14.3N 176.0E MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 3 09:10:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626448-3627>; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 06:06:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA12690; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 17:03:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6169155 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 17:03:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA29304 for ; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 17:03:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA11433 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 17:03:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709022203.RAA11433@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Sep 1997 17:03:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Two-c Advisory Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5d810b17d007645fa1a45c10edee1628 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1435 Status: OR 459 WTPA32 PHNL 022200 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 12 PM HST TUE SEP 02 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C FORMS IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC... AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 177.9 WEST OR ABOUT 1350 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH ... 9 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS TOWARD THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...13.3 N...177.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM HST. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 3 09:10:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626434-18688>; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 06:30:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA32778; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 17:17:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6169225 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 17:17:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA27128 for ; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 17:17:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA11552 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 17:17:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709022217.RAA11552@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Sep 1997 17:17:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 820685cf97c3b6e6f5ee163a819bf58b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 880 Status: OR 706 ABPA20 PHNL 022200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST TUESDAY SEPTEMBER 2 1997 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE IS ISSUING WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C NEAR 13.3N177.9W AT 02/2100 UTC... 1350 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI...MOVING WEST AT 6 MPH. OTHERWISE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH WEDNESDAY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 3 09:10:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626450-18685>; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 06:34:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA14382; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 17:17:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6169230 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 17:17:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA26904 for ; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 17:17:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA11556 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 17:17:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709022217.RAA11556@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Sep 1997 17:17:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 36d272646181dcca7f413a626d3bcd10 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 888 Status: OR 716 ABPA20 PHNL 022200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST TUESDAY SEPTEMBER 2 1997 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C...NEAR 13.3N177.9W AT 02/2100 UTC...1350 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI...MOVING WEST AT 6 MPH. OTHERWISE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH WEDNESDAY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 3 11:05:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626418-18691>; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 10:21:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA17084; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 21:14:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6171290 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 21:14:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA27362 for ; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 21:12:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA12022 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 21:12:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709030212.VAA12022@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Sep 1997 21:12:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Bing (19w) Warning Nr 028 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b6a88a6d84ddceafda7aea2f971ab0fe X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3260 Status: OR 154 WTPN31 PGTW 030300 1. TYPHOON BING (19W) WARNING NR 028 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z3 --- 31.2N6 140.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 225 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 31.2N6 140.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 34.1N8 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 255 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 205 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 37.2N2 147.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 40.4N8 153.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 32 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 44.1N9 160.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 39 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 51.0N6 179.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 030300Z6 POSITION 31.9N3 141.2E8 TYPHOON BING (19W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. CURRENT WIND RADII BASED ON SHIP OBSERVATION AND EXTRAPOLATION FROM PREVIOUS WARNING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6), 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3), 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9) AND 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 3 11:05:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625987-18688>; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 10:36:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA33148; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 21:34:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6171544 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 21:34:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA16972 for ; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 21:34:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA12091 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 21:34:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709030234.VAA12091@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Sep 1997 21:34:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Oliwa Advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3a33387801f02a042bc333cbd0797d0d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1602 Status: OR 481 WTPA32 PHNL 030300 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLIWA ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST TUE SEP 02 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM OLIWA UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C... AT 5 PM HST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLIWA... PRONOUNCED OH LEE VAH AND IS THE HAWAIIAN NAME FOR OLIVER...WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 179.0 WEST OR ABOUT 1400 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI. OLIWA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH ...13 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM HST POSITION...13.7 N...179.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM HST. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 3 11:41:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625989-18685>; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 11:40:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA17168; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 22:31:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6172033 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 22:31:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA24560 for ; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 22:31:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA12156 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 2 Sep 1997 22:31:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709030331.WAA12156@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 2 Sep 1997 22:31:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ec2b499165c8ecbf85cb63a7963ce2db X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 869 Status: OR 255 ABPZ20 KNHC 030329 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE SEP 2 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS DRIFTING SLOWLY WESTWARD. SOME DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 3 14:55:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626000-18685>; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 14:26:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA35888; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 01:24:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6173498 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 01:24:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA27590 for ; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 01:23:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA12373 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 01:23:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709030623.BAA12373@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 01:23:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f30a1ff841c94fc632f5d8268b38c288 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2317 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 829 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 030151Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN O30330Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 030000Z3 TYPHOON BING (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 31.2N6 140.5E0 AND WAS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 95 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 115 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON BING (19W) WARNING NR 28 (WTPN31 PGTW 030300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE PRESENTLY IN THE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY. HOWEVER, AT 030000Z3 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WAS LOCATED AT 13.7N1 178.7W3 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 2 (WHPN31 PHNC 030400Z)). THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE JTWC AOR WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 06N6 AND 155E1. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. STRONG EQUATORIAL WESTERLY WINDS ARE ENHANCING CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD. HOWEVER, THE DISTURBANCE IS LARGE AND DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 3 14:55:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626521-18685>; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 14:30:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA27406; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 01:24:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6173493 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 01:23:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA19656 for ; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 01:23:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA12372 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 01:23:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709030623.BAA12372@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 01:23:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 42622cb5104172bb76d3866ce2b4954f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2263 Status: OR 829 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 030151Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN O30330Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 030000Z3 TYPHOON BING (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 31.2N6 140.5E0 AND WAS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 95 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 115 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON BING (19W) WARNING NR 28 (WTPN31 PGTW 030300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE PRESENTLY IN THE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY. HOWEVER, AT 030000Z3 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WAS LOCATED AT 13.7N1 178.7W3 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 2 (WHPN31 PHNC 030400Z)). THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE JTWC AOR WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 06N6 AND 155E1. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. STRONG EQUATORIAL WESTERLY WINDS ARE ENHANCING CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD. HOWEVER, THE DISTURBANCE IS LARGE AND DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 3 16:55:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626532-18692>; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 16:43:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA20770; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 03:28:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6173750 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 03:28:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA13068 for ; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 03:28:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA12581 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 03:28:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709030828.DAA12581@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 03:28:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Bing (19w) Warning Nr 029 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: caa0bf7310f5d2740fef8ff6e721eba6 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3168 Status: OR 846 WTPN31 PGTW 030900 1. TYPHOON BING (19W) WARNING NR 029 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z9 --- 32.4N9 141.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 32.4N9 141.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 35.6N4 145.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 39.0N2 150.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 42.7N3 157.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 36 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 46.4N4 166.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 42 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 53.5N3 169.8W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 030900Z2 POSITION 33.2N8 142.9E6 TYPHOON BING (19W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. CURRENT WIND RADII BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3), 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9), 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1) AND 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 3 17:06:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626504-18685>; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 17:00:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA09776; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 03:58:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6173777 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 03:58:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA12556 for ; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 03:58:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA12702 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 03:58:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709030858.DAA12702@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 03:58:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Oliwa Discussion Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6ad2a0a6e24fc9a40cdac5bc40d4d1dd X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1488 Status: OR 140 WTPA42 PHNL 030900 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST TUE SEP 2 1997 OLIWA TO REMAIN IN FAVORABLY WARM 29 DEGREE WATER...ITS FUTURE DEVELOPMENT APPEARS LIKELY. WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE STORM STRENGTH IN LINE WITH SHIFOR. ITS MORE NORTHERLY MOVEMENT THE PAST 6 HOURS APPEARS TO BE MOMENTARILY NUDGED BY THE HIGHER LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW DUE TO UPPER TROUGHING. PROJECTED REPLACEMENT OF THE TROUGH BY RIDGING HOWEVER SHOULD RETURN OLIWA TOWARD MORE CLIMATOLOGICALLY FAVORED EASTERLY DIRECTION WITHIN 24 HOURS. WE ARE HAVING DIFFICULTY IN A SUSTAINED VIEW OF ANY OF THE MODELS DUE TO PC GLITCHING BUT BELIEVE MOST OF THE MODELS TURN OLIWA TOWARD AN OVERALL WESTNORTHWESTWARD HEADING. MATSUDA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/0900Z 15.2N 178.2W 35 KTS 12HR VT 03/1800Z 16.3N 178.6W 40 KTS 24HR VT 04/0600Z 17.4N 179.6W 45 KTS 36HR VT 04/1800Z 18.3N 178.6E 50 KTS 48HR VT 05/0600Z 19.2N 176.3E 55 KTS 72HR VT 06/0600Z 20.2N 171.2E 65 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 3 17:06:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626512-18691>; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 17:02:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA26402; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 04:00:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6173822 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 04:00:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA35064 for ; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 04:00:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA12730 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 04:00:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709030900.EAA12730@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 04:00:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Oliwa Forecast/advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2976880a7da1f8fe2f549ff443f52293 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1731 Status: OR 189 WTPA22 PHNL 030900 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0297 0900Z WED SEP 3 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 178.2W AT 03/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 178.2W AT 03/0900Z AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 178.1W FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 16.3N 178.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 17.4N 179.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 18.3N 178.6E MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15N 178W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 19.2N 176.3E MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 70 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 20.2N 171.2E MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 3 17:15:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626554-18688>; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 17:11:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA34786; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 04:03:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6173849 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 04:03:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA04558 for ; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 04:03:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA12742 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 04:03:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709030903.EAA12742@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 04:03:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Bing (19w) Warning Nr 029 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b7c2dbf7b4f54cf6ae4af10c2a94836c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3267 Status: OR 217 WTPN31 PGTW 030900 1. TYPHOON BING (19W) WARNING NR 029 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z9 --- 32.4N9 141.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 32.4N9 141.9E5 --- PAGE 03 RUHGSGG2234 UNCLAS FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 35.6N4 145.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 39.0N2 150.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHGSGG2234 UNCLAS 041800Z3 --- 42.7N3 157.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 36 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 46.4N4 166.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 42 KTS --- PAGE 05 RUHGSGG2234 UNCLAS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 53.5N3 169.8W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 030900Z2 POSITION 33.2N8 142.9E6 TYPHOON BING (19W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. CURRENT WIND RADII BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3), 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9), 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1) AND 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7).// BT #2234 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 3 17:06:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626556-18692>; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 17:07:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA26120; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 04:05:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6173869 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 04:05:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA04594 for ; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 04:05:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA12746 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 04:05:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709030905.EAA12746@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 04:05:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Oliwa Advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 93419ab681c48e8048b5f037f1c81e57 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1443 Status: OR 261 WTPA32 PHNL 030900 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLIWA ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST TUE SEP 2 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM OLIWA FAR FROM AND NO THREAT TO HAWAII... AT 11 PM HST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLIWA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 178.2 WEST OR ABOUT 1500 MILES WESTSOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU. OLIWA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO TURN MORE WESTWARD IN 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004MB OR 29.65 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM HST POSITION...15.2N 178.2W. MOVEMENT TOWARD NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM HST WEDNESDAY. MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 3 18:11:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626532-18692>; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 18:05:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA14300; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 05:02:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6174081 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 05:02:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA25546 for ; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 05:02:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA12795 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 05:02:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709031002.FAA12795@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 05:02:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 334ad8fdfbf2771958a53a508e34cadb X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 851 Status: OR 061 ABPA20 PHNL 031000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST WED SEP 3 1997 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM OLIWA LOCATED NEAR 14.8N178.1W AT 03/0600 UTC AND MOVING NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH WEDNESDAY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 3 18:25:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626512-18688>; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 18:18:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA25354; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 05:03:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6174086 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 05:03:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA14328 for ; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 05:03:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA12799 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 05:03:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709031003.FAA12799@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 05:03:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 44925168f2f900f6f2bbb5ec9730f1dd X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1047 Status: OR 062 ABPZ20 KNHC 031002 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED SEP 3 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING LITTLE. ASSOCIATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BECOME A LITTLE MORE CONCENTRATED AND THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW APPEARS TO HAVE BECOME BETTER ESTABLISHED. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 4 09:31:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626499-18685>; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 21:41:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA10828; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 08:33:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6175143 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 08:32:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA34584 for ; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 08:32:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id IAA12932 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 08:32:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709031332.IAA12932@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 08:32:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Bing (19w) Warning Nr 030 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bd721dd17a30e0959d99eba4ed27288c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3249 Status: OR 294 WTPN31 PGTW 031500 1. TYPHOON BING (19W) WARNING NR 030 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- 33.5N1 144.1E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 33.5N1 144.1E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 37.1N1 149.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 33 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 41.3N8 156.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 36 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 45.5N4 164.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 39 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 48.7N9 174.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 42 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 54.4N3 159.2W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 031500Z9 POSITION 34.4N1 145.4E4 TYPHOON BING (19W) IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 21 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ACCELERATING IN THIS GENERAL DIRECTION THROUGH 72 HOURS. TYPHOON BING (19W) IS FORECAST TO BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IN 12 HOURS AND CONTINUE WEAKENING BEFORE IT COMPLETES EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IN 48 HOURS. AFTER EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION, IT IS FORECAST TO REINTENSIFY IN THE GULF OF ALASKA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9), 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1), 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7) AND 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 4 09:31:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626033-18685>; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 22:56:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA21946; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 09:50:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6176050 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 09:50:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA25392 for ; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 09:50:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA13309 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 09:50:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709031450.JAA13309@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 09:50:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Oliwa Discussion Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 86881706bd7052c89c73ca2ffd02e020 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1373 Status: OR 488 WTPA42 PHNL 031500 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST WED SEP 3 1997 OLIWA HAS NEARLY STALLED DUE TO CURRENT OPPOSING WIND FLOW AT DIFFERING ALTITUDES. MODELS CONTINUE TO INTRODUCE MORE CONSISTENT FLOW AT ALL LEVELS OVER THE STORM WITHIN 24 HOURS. WILL THEN TURN STORM ON A MORE WESTNORTHWESTWARD PATH FOLLOWING BAM AND AVIATION MODELS...SPREAD BETWEEN ALL BAMS MINIMAL DUE TO EXPECTED CLOSELY ALIGNED WIND FLOW THRUOUT STORM COLUMN. WILL SPEED UP STORM MOTION TO NEAR 15 KNOTS AS ALIGNMENT OCCURS. SLOW STRENGTHENING CONTINUES TO FOLLOW SHIFOR EXPECTENCIES. MATSUDA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/1500Z 15.2N 178.4W 40 KTS 12HR VT 04/0000Z 16.0N 179.1W 45 KTS 24HR VT 04/1200Z 17.0N 179.0E 45 KTS 36HR VT 05/0000Z 17.9N 176.7E 50 KTS 48HR VT 05/1200Z 18.8N 174.1E 55 KTS 72HR VT 06/1200Z 20.5N 168.3E 65 KTS NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 4 09:31:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626033-18691>; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 23:00:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA21642; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 09:53:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6176120 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 09:53:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA21610 for ; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 09:53:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA13369 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 09:53:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709031453.JAA13369@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 09:53:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Oliwa Forecast/advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1fdeeb52f269a927c755b630a69fe365 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1726 Status: OR 502 WTPA22 PHNL 031500 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0297 1500Z WED SEP 3 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 178.4W AT 03/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 178.4W AT 03/1500Z AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 178.2W FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 16.0N 179.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 17.0N 179.0E MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 17.9N 176.7E MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15N 178W. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 18.8N 174.1E MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 70 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 20.5N 168.3E MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 4 09:31:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626038-18691>; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 23:07:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA12922; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 10:02:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6176247 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 10:02:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA14510 for ; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 09:58:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA13482 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 09:58:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709031458.JAA13482@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 09:58:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Oliwa Advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3bf535e21178df7006842e09092e71ce X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1425 Status: OR 564 WTPA32 PHNL 031500 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLIWA ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST WED SEP 3 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM OLIWA NEARING DATELINE NO THREAT TO HAWAII... AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLIWA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 178.4 WEST OR ABOUT 1500 MILES WESTSOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU. OLIWA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO TURN MORE WESTWARD IN 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. A SLOW INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004MB OR 29.65 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION 15.2N 178.4W. MOVEMENT TOWARD NORTHWEST 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM HST. MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 4 09:31:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626021-18685>; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 23:50:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA10372; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 10:40:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6176881 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 10:40:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA18526 for ; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 10:40:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id KAA13789 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 10:40:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709031540.KAA13789@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 10:40:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Bing (19w) Warning Nr 030 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3a8bf4103254ad97ce2d752c029b94e1 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3348 Status: OR 282 WTPN31 PGTW 031500 1. TYPHOON BING (19W) WARNING NR 030 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- 33.5N1 144.1E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 33.5N1 144.1E0 --- FORECASTS: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG2505 UNCLAS 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 37.1N1 149.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 33 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 41.3N8 156.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 36 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHGSGG2505 UNCLAS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 45.5N4 164.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 39 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 48.7N9 174.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 42 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 54.4N3 159.2W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT PAGE 05 RUHGSGG2505 UNCLAS EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 031500Z9 POSITION 34.4N1 145.4E4 TYPHOON BING (19W) IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 21 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ACCELERATING IN THIS GENERAL DIRECTION THROUGH 72 HOURS. TYPHOON BING (19W) IS FORECAST TO BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IN 12 HOURS AND CONTINUE WEAKENING BEFORE IT COMPLETES EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IN 48 HOURS. AFTER EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION, IT IS FORECAST TO REINTENSIFY IN THE GULF OF ALASKA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9), 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1), 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7) AND 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4).// BT #2505 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 4 09:31:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626557-18685>; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 00:42:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA31880; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 11:34:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6177375 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 11:34:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA32866 for ; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 11:34:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id LAA13971 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 11:34:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709031634.LAA13971@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 11:34:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d945d9171c62bc1ab655901e17e34a54 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1355 Status: OR 109 ABPZ20 KNHC 031633 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED SEP 3 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST- NORTHWEST. ALTHOUGH THIS SYSTEM IS SOMEWHAT ELONGATED FROM SOUTHEAST TO NORTHWEST...IT IS OTHERWISE RATHER WELL ORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ABOUT 1150 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...MAINLY TO THE WEST OF THE LOW- LEVEL CLOUD CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS SYSTEM COULD ALSO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 4 09:31:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626585-18691>; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 01:35:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA32426; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 12:08:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6177695 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 12:08:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA10890 for ; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 12:08:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA14036 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 12:08:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709031708.MAA14036@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 12:08:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 10195c0da3b4a30e90920b1ef7aeaf6d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 930 Status: OR 490 ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/031800Z TO 041800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/BACON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 4 09:31:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626588-18685>; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 01:10:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA09364; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 12:08:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6177690 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 12:08:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA10866 for ; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 12:08:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA14037 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 12:08:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709031708.MAA14037@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 12:08:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4b08cb873b1c2d2b594938ebb0d4b50b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 981 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 490 ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/031800Z TO 041800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/BACON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 4 09:31:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626616-18685>; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:36:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA09446; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 14:27:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6170729 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 14:27:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA30134 for ; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 14:27:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id OAA14302 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 14:27:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709031927.OAA14302@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 14:27:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Bing (19w) Warning Nr 031 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6ec5b61e230e43345ff6de91c78efd71 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3065 Status: OR 909 WTPN31 PGTW 032100 1. TYPHOON BING (19W) WARNING NR 031 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z2 --- 34.8N5 146.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 26 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 34.8N5 146.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 38.6N7 153.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 37 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 42.9N5 161.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 39 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 46.6N6 171.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 40 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 49.5N8 177.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 66 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 40 KTS --- 66 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 53.4N2 159.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 75 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 032100Z6 POSITION 35.7N5 148.6E9 TYPHOON BING (19W) IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 26 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ACCELERATING IN THIS DIRECTION FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT REMAINS IN STRONG DEEP-LAYER FLOW TO THE NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. GRADUAL WEAKENING WILL CONTINUE UNTIL THIS SYSTEM BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL IN 36 HOURS, THEN IT WILL STRENGTHEN SOME AS AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1), 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7), 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4) AND 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 4 09:31:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626602-18692>; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 04:23:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA22670; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 15:09:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6171403 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 15:09:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA24178 for ; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 15:09:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA14422 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 15:09:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709032009.PAA14422@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 15:09:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Bing (19w) Warning Nr 031 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c31f4e8565687dd95a0b15d1ce0cc8fe X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3164 Status: OR 360 WTPN31 PGTW 032100 1. TYPHOON BING (19W) WARNING NR 031 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z2 --- 34.8N5 146.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 26 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 34.8N5 146.8E9 --- FORECASTS: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG2713 UNCLAS 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 38.6N7 153.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 37 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 42.9N5 161.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 39 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHGSGG2713 UNCLAS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 46.6N6 171.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 40 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 49.5N8 177.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 66 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 40 KTS --- 66 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 53.4N2 159.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 75 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 032100Z6 POSITION 35.7N5 148.6E9 PAGE 05 RUHGSGG2713 UNCLAS TYPHOON BING (19W) IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 26 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ACCELERATING IN THIS DIRECTION FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT REMAINS IN STRONG DEEP-LAYER FLOW TO THE NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. GRADUAL WEAKENING WILL CONTINUE UNTIL THIS SYSTEM BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL IN 36 HOURS, THEN IT WILL STRENGTHEN SOME AS AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1), 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7), 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4) AND 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0).// BT #2713 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 4 09:31:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626605-18691>; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 04:34:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA21974; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 15:30:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6171592 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 15:30:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA15414 for ; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 15:29:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA14462 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 15:29:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709032029.PAA14462@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 15:29:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Oliwa Forecast/advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8f8f9490ffc069e3fb5d0ba0ccd049bf X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1829 Status: OR 517 WTPA22 PHNL 032100 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0297 2100Z WED SEP 03 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM OLIWA NEARLY STATIONARY JUST EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 178.6W AT 03/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 100 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 178.6W AT 03/2100Z AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 178.5W FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 14.2N 179.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 14.6N 179.6E MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 15.1N 178.1E MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 178.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 15.7N 176.3E MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 70 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 17.2N 172.4E MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 4 09:31:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626605-18688>; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 04:39:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA25038; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 15:32:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6171617 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 15:32:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA12984 for ; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 15:32:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA14480 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 15:32:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709032032.PAA14480@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 15:32:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Oliwa Discussion Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 188a4dc0b9b43cf997f6e71e1179d286 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1603 Status: OR 551 WTPA42 PHNL 032100 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST WED SEP 03 1997 OLIWA REMAINS STALLED EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE. THE 18Z POSITION IS BASED ON THE FACT THAT THE FIXES FROM HONOLULU... GLOBAL WEATHER CENTER AND THE SATELLITE APPLICATIONS BRANCH ARE ALL WITHIN ONE-TENTH OF A DEGREE IN LATITUDE AND LONGITUDE...AND THE FIX FROM JOINT TYPHOON WEATHER CENTER IN GUAM IS ONLY FIVE-TENTHS OF A DEGREE TO THE NORTH. THE STEERING WINDS ARE LIGHT AND VARIABLE AND UNTIL A SURFACE RIDGE BUILDS TO THE NORTH...OLIWA WILL REMAIN MORE OR LESS IN PLACE. THE FORECAST CALLS FOR OLIWA TO START MOVING TO THE WESTNORTHWEST AFTER 12 HOURS AND IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE CLOSELY BUNCHED OBJECTIVE AIDS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST CALLS FOR A GRADUAL INCREASE IN INTENSITY TO HURRICANE FORCE BY 72 HOURS. CRAIG. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/2100Z 14.1N 178.6W 45 KTS 12HR VT 04/0600Z 14.2N 179.0W 45 KTS 24HR VT 04/1800Z 14.6N 179.6E 45 KTS 36HR VT 05/0600Z 15.1N 178.1E 50 KTS 48HR VT 05/1800Z 15.7N 176.3E 55 KTS 72HR VT 06/1800Z 17.2N 172.4E 65 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 4 09:31:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626605-18685>; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 04:46:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA29518; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 15:39:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6171690 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 15:38:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA12306 for ; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 15:38:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA14507 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 15:38:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709032038.PAA14507@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 15:38:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Oliwa Advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9526f7fec79f35230f1043df216393f4 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1492 Status: OR 669 WTPA32 PHNL 032100 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLIWA ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST WED SEP 03 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM OLIWA NEARLY STATIONARY JUST EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE... AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLIWA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 178.6 WEST OR ABOUT 1500 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU. OLIWA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 2 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ANOTHER 12 HOURS THEN GRADUALLY ACCELERATE THEREAFTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...14.1 N...178.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM HST. CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 4 09:31:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626605-18685>; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 04:51:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA32584; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 15:43:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6171715 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 15:43:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA20786 for ; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 15:43:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA14534 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 15:43:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709032043.PAA14534@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 15:43:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Thirteen-e Discussion Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a4220987054f8605edfed4e86f4e9b1c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2252 Status: OR 690 WTPZ43 KNHC 032042 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT WED SEP 03 1997 THE DISTURBANCE SSW OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NOW HAS A SMALL BALL OF DEEP CONVECTION NEAR ITS CENTER AND A BAND OF CONVECTION TO THE EAST. WHILE SATELLITE CLASSIFICATIONS FROM TAFB AND SAB SUGGEST THAT THE SYSTEM COULD BE AT TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...THE INITIAL INTENSITY WILL BE SET AT 30 KT BASED ON NOTING THAT THE CONVECTIVE BAND IS QUITE NARROW AND THAT SOCORRO ISLAND...NEAR THAT BAND ABOUT 125 NM NORTH TO NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER...HAS HAD WINDS OF ONLY ABOUT 15 KT AND A PRESSURE NEAR 1011 MB ALL DAY. THE 12Z AVN KEEPS A LARGE HIGH CENTERED OVER THE U.S. SOUTH-CENTRAL STATES...AND THE ASSOCIATED STEERING AND TRACK GUIDANCE GENERALLY SUPPORTS A WNW TO NW HEADING FOR THE TD. THE OFFICIAL TRACK DOES AS WELL. A POTENTIAL COMPLICATION IS THE MID-LEVEL TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY JUST NW OF THE DEPRESSION. IF THIS SYSTEM REMAINS INTACT IN COULD PULL THE TD MORE NORTHWARD. HOWEVER...THE 12Z AVN DISSIPATES THE LOW. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS DISTINCT...EXCEPT WHERE RESTRICTED IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT BY THE UPPER LOW. SSTS ARE MUCH WARMER THAN NORMAL ALONG THE TRACK. THE 26C SST IS ABOUT 250 NM TO THE NW OF ITS CLIMATOLOGICAL POSITION...AND NEAR THE 48 HOUR FORECAST POINT. HENCE...SOME STRENGTHENING FOLLOWED BY A SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 72 HOURS. THE GFDL MODEL DISSIPATES THE SYSTEM IN ABOUT 36 HOURS. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/2100Z 18.1N 112.9W 30 KTS 12HR VT 04/0600Z 19.0N 114.7W 35 KTS 24HR VT 04/1800Z 19.9N 117.3W 40 KTS 36HR VT 05/0600Z 20.6N 119.6W 40 KTS 48HR VT 05/1800Z 21.1N 121.9W 35 KTS 72HR VT 06/1800Z 22.5N 125.5W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 4 09:31:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626607-18688>; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 04:54:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA27580; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 15:44:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6171725 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 15:44:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA31642 for ; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 15:44:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA14542 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 15:44:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709032044.PAA14542@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 15:44:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Thirteen-e Forecast/advisory Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ee5082e32ac61188b4f1dfcb01e54e80 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1605 Status: OR 735 WTPZ23 KNHC 032044 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1397 2100Z WED SEP 03 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 112.9W AT 03/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 112.9W AT 03/2100Z AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 112.3W FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.0N 114.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 19.9N 117.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 20.6N 119.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 112.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 21.1N 121.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 22.5N 125.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 4 09:31:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626605-18688>; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 05:08:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAB22310; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 15:55:57 -0500 Message-Id: <199709032055.PAB22310@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 15:50:25 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 2 Sep 1997 to 3 Sep 1997 - Special issue To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 946c0766500b94a3a2a516c53c22e251 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 34262 Status: OR There are 22 messages totalling 852 lines in this issue. Topics in this special issue: 1. NOAA Weather Radio--SAME FIPS codes 2. WX-TALK Digest - 1 Sep 1997 to 2 Sep 1997 (2) 3. Anti-Scanner Law (5) 4. (2) 5. El Nino in the News 6. El Nino Status?? 7. El Nino $$$ 8. NWS role (3) 9. Scripts or programs to auto download images 10. Rainfall events 11. FIPS codes for RS SAME wx-radio 12. ADMINISTRIVIA: SCANNER LAWS - ENOUGH IS ENOUGH 13. FIPS codes - Is this a stupid question 14. Wind-Rose Plotting Program +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 07:12:03 -0400 From: Rocky Lopes Subject: NOAA Weather Radio--SAME FIPS codes Like several others, I just purchased a SAME-equipped NOAA Weather Radio over Labor Day weekend. My local Radio Shack didn't have a clue what the radio was, much less the required FIPS codes needed to program it. (I had to point out the radio in the new catalog so the clerk could find the radio in the computer and go get it for me from the stock room.) I called my local NWS office in Sterling, VA, on Tuesday, and while they could offer me my county FIPS code, they didn't know the entire six-digit string. They referred me to the NOAA Public Affairs office at headquarters. Knowing people at NWS HQ, I advised them of this problem, and I received the following response from the NOAA Weather Radio Program Manager: "We, here at the NWS, are implementing a toll free telephone number that will provide citizens across the country with their FIPS codes. The system is a voice response system which was scheduled to be on line by the first week of Sept., however, program delays have moved the start date to the first week of October. Radio Shack could not wait for the start of our program. Radio Shack was to instruct each store manager on how the radio works, provide them training, and make available FIPS lists (in hard copy) to each store. I guess some of those plans fell through. "We at the NWS are also finalizing a web page on our home page that will contain the FIPS codes, as well as instructions and an explaination of the FIPS codes. That should be up and running any day now. "We have also prepared each of our Weather Service Offices with public relations kits and other information pertaining to NWR SAME, in the event they receive inquiries from the public." So, come October, we can get FIPS codes by calling a toll-free "888" number (1-888-NWR-SAME). Until then, local NWS offices and Radio Shack stores will be taking calls from those who are trying to program their radios but who do not have access to the internet. (By the way, the NIST provides a complete listing of all FIPS codes by state/county in the U.S., so if you really can't wait, go to the NIST website at http://www.itl.nist.gov/div897/pubs/index.htm and get the codes you want from there.) Rocky Lopes Community Disaster Education American Red Cross National Headquarters ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 07:20:43 -0400 From: EAGLE241@AOL.COM Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 1 Sep 1997 to 2 Sep 1997 FIPS county codes for the entire US (for SAME equiped radios) and an introduction to NWS SAME (including theory and a real sample) are posted on our web site for free downloading -- www.thuneagle.com. The FIPS codes are cross indexed to the forecast office responsible for that county (to the best of our research). Please email any changes or corrections to dgropper@thuneagle.com. Thanks in advance. Dan Gropper www.thuneagle.com 1-888-877-8022 ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 06:38:36 -0500 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Anti-Scanner Law If the Anti-Scanner law passes, one more of your rights will have been drowned by the flood of greed and corruption in Washington. Write your Congressional Representatives today and voice your opposition to House Bills 2369 and 1964. Apathy will result in the passage of these extremely repressive bills. Sam Barricklow http://www.stormchaser.net/k5kj ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 08:43:52 +0600 From: Danielle Subject: Robert Dale wrote: >Not that I see the loss as a negative... Unless funding were to improve >(doubt it!) I think the NWS should spend more time and money in the severe >weather side and worry less about zone forecasts (we saw a message last >week about how ICWF takes a LOT of time from the forecaster) -- the >private sector is (or could be) able to fill the role of NWS ZFP products >very easily. I want to avoid making blanket generalizations because I know that there are a lot of great private sector forecasters, but let me say that not all private sector forcasts are all that good. For example, the ACCUWEATHER forecasts made for my area (southwest Virginia) are often much poorer than what we work with Charleston and Sterling to make. Big corporation predictors working out of an office 400 miles away simply cannot get the feel of mesoscale processes that shape local weather. This is the strength of the NWS (and local radio and TV personnel) I think we have lot to continue to offer the public in terms of zone forcasts and I angrily resent the statement that the private sector could easily fill this role. Danielle NWSO Blacksburg, but at home, making my own observation danisue@vt.edu ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 08:12:32 -0500 From: "Jeffrey P. Stewart" Subject: Re: El Nino in the News Rauchig 09/02/97 09:01pm writes: >>8/27/97 (article on UN-sponsored climate conference) >>"Experts predict the El Nino developing now, labeled the weather >>event >>of the century....." >>"...expected to surpass the one in 1982-83, which claimed nearly >>2,000 >>lives and caused about $13 billion in damage worldwide...." >>"...forecast includes droughts and fires in Australia and Indonesia, >>droughts in central and southern Africa, Thailand, India and Pakistan, >>and floods in Peru, Argentina, Uruguay and southern Brazil." >> >How can they make claims like that? How do they know that El Nino >was solely responsible for such damage and death? This is what really >hacks me off about these conferences they hold about the climate. >These are not science based conferences, they are political. >As others have said before we do not fully understand the effects that >El Nino has on our climate. We cannot predict what will happen when a >episode happens, period. >I might be wrong here. etc Chad: Actually, there is more than just political basis for these claims. Considerable research has concluded a predictable set of teleconnections exist during El Nino years. If you are not familiar with this term it means, simply, that what happens in one place(on earth) can be related to what goes on in another. For example, evidence from previous El Ninos (as shown in the quoted portion above) provides evidence in support of the contention that teleconnections could result in a similar set of phenomena this time around. Does this mean that the conditions experienced in 82-83 WILL occur? NO! Could similar pheneomena occur? Sure! You are also correct when you state that some of the phenomena experienced in 82-83 could have other causes but the research does support linking these phenomena to El Nino. As far as politics overwhelming science at climate conferences, I dont know....there is probably SOME science to be found! Jeff Stewart stewartj@afgwc.af.mil captwx2@aol.com ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 13:01:10 +0000 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Re: El Nino Status?? On Wed, 3 Sep 1997, Mark_Hofmann wrote: > Can someone please provide me with information on the currently status of El > Nino, and what effect or prediction we could gather for this winter season in > the North-Eastern US? I live in Baltimore, Maryland - and was wondering how > this season is shaping up with the effects of El Nino.. For El Nino info - go to: http://www.pmel.noaa.gov/toga-tao/el-nino/home.html For U.S. seasonal forecasts - go to: http://nic.fb4.noaa.gov/products/predictions/index.html Best regards, chris ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** "There are no undifficult forecasts." --- Dr. Bill Gray, 1997 ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 13:07:00 +0000 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Re: El Nino $$$ On Wed, 3 Sep 1997, Howard Goldstein wrote: > On Sat, 30 Aug 1997 18:05:58 -0400, Chris Landsea > wrote: > : Additionally, El Ninos nicely enhance the rainfall in the Southeast > : US in the winter and spring. In Florida this is beneficial because > : the winter and spring are our dry season - the wildfire season. El Ninos > : with cooler winter temps and more rainfall dramatically cut down our > : fire damage in the state. Prof. Jim O'Brien of FSU has a great way to put > it: > : > : "We love El Ninos in Florida: fewer hurricanes and fewer wildfires." > : > > With all due respect to Prof. O'Brien, he doesn't speak for all > Floridians, certainly not this one, excepting the hurricane > suppression part. > > Loss of dry season wildfires harms the native flora that requires fire > for germination and the destruction of old overgrowth for survival, > and thus the fauna will not find habitat within these trees because > they won't grow. Good point. The wildfires are a needed part of the ecosystem. But that's a difficult point to make if your house is threatened. > Another El Nino effect would appear to be a > reduction in the number of hard freezes in the central and northern > part of the state, aiding the spread of exotic tropicals farther > north. I had not known of this effect. Has there been a study of this written up somewhere? Best regards, chris ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** "Whenever there is the first hint of a counter-clockwise symbol on a weather map that a hurricane might hit land, `Mr. Hard News' is down there wrapped around a lamp post." --- Tom Brokaw reacting to Dan Rather calling NBC Nightly News "news-lite" ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 09:20:23 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: NWS role I have a "more lengthy" letter in the works, but as a quick response I agree with... > Big corporation predictors working out of an office 400 miles away simply > cannot get the feel of mesoscale processes that shape local weather. How can the "little local guy" get started when NWS is selling the same product -- for free? Many times only the big corporations have the funding to get off the ground. > This is the strength of the NWS (and local radio and TV personnel) I think the strength of the NWS is the warning process. No private company will _ever_ issue watches and warnings for the general population... > I think we have lot to continue to offer the public in > terms of zone forcasts and I angrily resent the statement that the private sector > could easily fill this role. I didn't say you had nothing to offer... All I'm saying is that in the era of dwindling funds, you will end up having a tradeoff in either the public forecast or warning area (ever see a ZFP when sevwx is active? A lot of times it isn't "quality material.") My thoughts are that NWS devote more resources to severe weather operations / training / communications, and let the private sector fill the gap in the forecasting side. Why do you feel that the private sector _cannot_ fill that role? If you look back at the mission statement -- it's quite obvious that one role of the NWS is to assist in the private sector generation of weather forecasts... In my longer letter (to come) I don't call for NWS to drop off the map -- I think a SFD to give private offices their thoughts (along with any watches) and then a SFP (for those who don't need detailed county information) would do it. This didn't end up being as short as I thought ;> I refer you to numerous papers by Harold Brooks and Chuck Doswell (online http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/~brooks and http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/~doswell ) regarding the future of the NWS and forecasting in general... Rob ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 10:37:39 -0400 From: "Richard L. Slonaker" Subject: # # As others have said before we do not fully understand the effects that # El Nino has on our climate. We cannot predict what will happen when # a episode happens, period. # # I might be wrong here. They might be able to track such things. If so # and if anyone knows how, please let me know. # # Chad -> We PARTIALLY understand the effects that El Nino has on our climate. -> We are currently predicting what will happen during an El Nino with regard to climatic anomalies. Prediction accuracy is not certain. -> Try the following URL for more info: http://www.pmel.noaa.gov/toga-tao/el-nino/impacts.html -Richard ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ Richard L. Slonaker, UCAR Visiting Scientist NOAA/NESDIS Office of Research and Applications rslonaker@nesdis.noaa.gov tel: 301-763-8103 fax: 301-763-8108 Delivery Postal -------- ------ NOAA/NESDIS E/RA3 NOAA/NESDIS E/RA3 5200 Auth Rd. Rm.#711 4700 Silver Hill Rd. Camp Springs, MD 20746 Stop 9910 USA Washington, DC 20233-9910 USA ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 10:04:50 -0500 From: "Eric M. Kemp" Subject: Re: Anti-Scanner Law On Wed, 3 Sep 1997, Sam Barricklow wrote: > If the Anti-Scanner law passes, one more of your rights will have been > drowned by the flood of greed and corruption in Washington. > > Write your Congressional Representatives today and voice your opposition > to House Bills 2369 and 1964. > > Apathy will result in the passage of these extremely repressive bills. Before we all jump to conclusions, might it not be a good idea to learn *precisely* what the proposed "Anti-Scanner law" says? I seem to recall an earlier draft being posted on WX-TALK or WX-CHASE; it might be nice to see an updated draft of the bill, and perhaps excerpts from existing laws on the subject to see how our rights would be affected. By all means, we should make our voices heard. But we also have a responsibility to make *informed* decisions and judgements, especially when it comes to legislation. Eric Kemp -- **************************************************************************** Eric M. Kemp M.S. Graduate Student, University of Oklahoma School of Meteorology Graduate Research Assistant, Project COMET-Tinker e-mail: ekemp@ou.edu WWW: http://rossby.metr.ou.edu/~ekemp **************************************************************************** Standard Disclaimer: These are my views, not necessarily OU's. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 16:30:26 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: Scripts or programs to auto download images I use webget on our UNIX platforms...it works very well. See http://www.wg.omron.co.jp/~jfriedl/perl/webget -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS FIRSTT Program CIMSS | University of Wisconsin - Madison asb@ty.ssec.wisc.edu | www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 12:37:33 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Anti-Scanner Law On Wed, 3 Sep 1997, Sam Barricklow wrote: > If the Anti-Scanner law passes, one more of your rights will have been > drowned by the flood of greed and corruption in Washington. > > Write your Congressional Representatives today and voice your opposition > to House Bills 2369 and 1964. > > Apathy will result in the passage of these extremely repressive bills. I guess it would make my Scanner Laws page _real_ easy to run, eh? To the point of uselessness then. :( Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman, A.R.S. KB4MHH -\\- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- Home Page URL: http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Permission to use the above info for inclusion in any mailing | | lists, so as to send me ad-mail personally, is NOT granted. | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 12:53:46 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Anti-Scanner Law On Wed, 3 Sep 1997, Eric M. Kemp wrote: > On Wed, 3 Sep 1997, Sam Barricklow wrote: > > > If the Anti-Scanner law passes, one more of your rights will have been > > drowned by the flood of greed and corruption in Washington. > > > > Write your Congressional Representatives today and voice your opposition > > to House Bills 2369 and 1964. > > > > Apathy will result in the passage of these extremely repressive bills. > > Before we all jump to conclusions, might it not be a good idea to learn > *precisely* what the proposed "Anti-Scanner law" says? I seem to recall > an earlier draft being posted on WX-TALK or WX-CHASE; it might be nice to > see an updated draft of the bill, and perhaps excerpts from existing laws > on the subject to see how our rights would be affected. > > By all means, we should make our voices heard. But we also have a > responsibility to make *informed* decisions and judgements, especially > when it comes to legislation. I agree. "Commercial mobile?" What's that? UPS? FedEx? people on cellular/portable phones? If so, no big deal? If it actually attempts to include already owned scanners and general coverage receivers, then I hope the government has a plan for paying back billions to the people of America, at least. Yes, billions. Ever had a look at how much just ONE of those ham radio general coverage receivers/transceivers cost? And _how_ many hams and scanner owners are there in the U.S. alone again? But this is to be expected as not too many Senators think before they suggest a new Bill, past the cash that is placed into their palms under the cloth. Personally, I don't think such sweeping action is fair to the rest of us, as a result of the bad actions of a few idiots. Gee. This sounds rather familiar. Remind you of the Press's current complaints over how the public generalizes Paparazzi with ALL reporters? and how ALL Press might be affected by any new laws passed as a result of a stupid few? Or the plight of the real chaser vs. yahoos and their fears over possible legislation if the yahoos get too stupid? or great in number? I agree. If true, it's _not_ fair to the rest of us. Ach! Enough ranting on it. It hasn't even been put through yet and I'm complaining already. For all we know the ARRL will jump in and help and it will be blown out of the water before it's even had a chance to be sailed out of the drydock bay. For the actual text of _current_ scanner laws as each state has them now, though, see http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/scanlaws/. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman, A.R.S. KB4MHH -\\- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- Home Page URL: http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Permission to use the above info for inclusion in any mailing | | lists, so as to send me ad-mail personally, is NOT granted. | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 11:03:03 -0600 From: David Ashby Subject: Rainfall events This is a question from a novice in the field of weather, but with an interest in weather phenomena in the Caribbean basin and specifically the Gulf of Honduras. For night spraying operations using GPS, we need to know where it is raining within a 50 mile radius, in order to plan flight paths. What equipment (radar?) is commercially available for detecting and pinpointing rainfall events in real time, what manufacturers could I contact, and what might be a reasonable price for this equipment? Thanks for your help. David L. Ashby Standard Fruit de Honduras (Dole) La Ceiba, Honduras dashby@stdfruit.hn ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 11:03:50 -0600 From: "Ricketts,Steve [Edm]" Subject: Re: Anti-Scanner Law I'm confused. I signed up for the WX-TALK listserver, but it seem to have be transmogrified into a listserver discussing scanners. I couldn't care less about the subject. Slightly off topic? "Help... I've fallen and can't up!" ..steve >---------- >From: Todd L. Sherman[SMTP:afn09444@AFN.ORG] >Sent: September 3, 1997 10:53 AM >To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK >Subject: Re: Anti-Scanner Law > >On Wed, 3 Sep 1997, Eric M. Kemp wrote: > >> On Wed, 3 Sep 1997, Sam Barricklow wrote: >> >> > If the Anti-Scanner law passes, one more of your rights will have been >> > drowned by the flood of greed and corruption in Washington. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 12:58:43 -0500 From: Mark Mears Subject: FIPS codes for RS SAME wx-radio Hi all, I've uploaded a list of state/county FIPS codes (which are evidently necessary for programming the new Radio Shack wx radios) to my web site. The URL is: http://www.edge.net/asd/fips.zip The file (about 27 Kb) contains both the list of FIPS codes and a short readme file. Hope this helps correct the (inexplicable!) oversight on the part of RS. -- Mark Mears President Aninoquisi 112 Bruce Street Huntland, TN 37345 615.469.7024 * new area code 931 effective 9/15/97 * http://www.edge.net/asd/ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 13:49:44 +0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: ADMINISTRIVIA: SCANNER LAWS - ENOUGH IS ENOUGH While I don't like to censor the news groups, in this case I believe the topic (scanner laws) has strayed too far from weather-related issues to merit further discussion on WX-TALK, WX-CHASE, and SKYWARN. Further, there is way too much cross-posting going on (which defeats the purpose for having separate lists). This discussion thread should only appear on *one* list (if at all). If anyone has additional, factual, information concerning the proposed law that *directly* affects chasing or spotting activities feel free to post it to *one* of the groups. Otherwise, please discuss this matter on one of the LISTSERV or NetNews groups related to scanning or amateur radio. ..Chris.. (Owner WX-TALK, WX-CHASE, SKYWARN) *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 14:15:43 -0700 From: WDAY Weather Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 1 Sep 1997 to 2 Sep 1997 >Date: Tue, 2 Sep 1997 16:36:49 CDT >From: Scott Lindstrom >Subject: When is a cold month cold? > >Last month (August), Madison reached 80 only 7 times. The range of times >that 80 has been hit in August varies from 4 (sometime in the early 1900s) to >27 (1937) with a mean in the mid-teens. This month had the fewest 80-degree >days since 1915, I believe, which had 6. And only 4 or so months in the >historical record have fewer than 8. So from that perspective it was an >anomalously cold month. The mean temperature, however, was only 3 or so degrees >below normal, which is about 1 standard deviation below the mean. I do not >believe it was a top ten for coldness month. > >So if someone asks if August was a cold month, what should one tell them? >That on average it was not really cold, but there were a lot of cold days >(only 7 days hit or exceeded the average high)? > >I'm curious how often something like this happens, i.e., a month will be >warm or cold by one measure but not by others. Any ideas? > >Scott >-- >Scott S. Lindstrom >scottl@ssec.wisc.edu > > You raise an interesting issue that is all too frequently overlooked. Few people realize that a mean temperature is only a mean temperature, and not a complete statement of the relative unusualness (rareness) of an event. It is not unusual at all to have an anomolously low or high mean temperature for a month (season, year, whatever) while having very few low or high extremes. This can occur in temperature data as well as precipitation data or any other weather parameter. Consider the possibility (a common occurrence in my territory) of a month that is dry with little or no rainfall until a five inch rain happens at the end of the month. Comparing the monthly precipitation to normal, you would have to say the month was wet despite the obvious lack of water most of the month. Comparing the two most notoriously hot summers in the short history of Fargo, ND: 1936 and 1988... 1988 had a higher mean temperature and more days with temperatures above 90`. However, 1936 had a two week stretch of weather with most daily highs over 100` and several in excess of 110`. It is really very hard to determine which summer was the hottest. Better, instead, to explain that 1988 was the most consistently hot summer while 1936 had the most severe heat wave. Here's another hypothetical... Which summer is cooler? The one with no days above 90` and many days in the 70s? Or is it the summer with a hard freeze in June and another at beginning of September that cuts short the growing season? Means are dangerous tools in the wrong hands. Often times, there are other related tools that make a better display. For example, interannual yield variability of a local crop will often make a good indicator of the relative severity of a growing season. For the winter season, you might look at the ice depth or the length of ice cover on a local lake such as Lake Mendota (I once lived in Madison). Simple tools like means are really too simple to be used to make statements pertaining to the overall state of the weather over a period of time. Unfortunately, the media and the public are often too quick to over-use these types of short cuts. Relative humidity, wind chill index, and humiture are other examples. Why do we have this need to quantify everything? John Wheeler wdaywx@rrnet.com FARGO, ND http://www.in-forum.com WDAY-TV WDAY-AM THE FORUM -48` TO 114` Since 1922... The Oldest Call Letters in the Northwest WDAY-TV Weather Staff: 301 South 8th Street John Wheeler Box 2466 Daryl Ritchison Fargo, ND 58103 Kip Hines ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 15:40:13 -0400 From: "Matt J. Rosier" Subject: Re: NWS role At 9:20 AM -0400 9/3/97, Robert P Dale wrote: >> I think we have lot to continue to offer the public in >> terms of zone forcasts and I angrily resent the statement that the >>private sector >> could easily fill this role. >> >I didn't say you had nothing to offer... All I'm saying is that in the era >of dwindling funds, you will end up having a tradeoff in either the public >forecast or warning area (ever see a ZFP when sevwx is active? A lot of >times it isn't "quality material.") My thoughts are that NWS devote more >resources to severe weather operations / training / communications, and >let the private sector fill the gap in the forecasting side. I don't feel that the private sector can cover any of the products that the NWS issues, whether it be warnings, the ZFP, or whatever. First off, are there 100 and some private weather corporations out there that can all agree to work together, and that are all qualified and equiped to issue any of the products that the NWS currently issues? The private corporations compete to provide different services, I cannot see them all joining forces to provide a NWS service such as the ZFP for free, and I can also not see just one corportation doing it all be themselves. Private sector fcsts aren't all that great as it is at the time anyway (ie. AccuWx)...I'd rather have the Sterling, VA WSFO issuing the zones for Maryland rather than AccuWeather or WSI or any other corportation(s). Matt ____________________________________________________ Matt J. Rosier - mattr@ccpl.carr.lib.md.us - Westminster High School Student/Class of 2000 NorthEast Meteorological and Astronomical Service: Lead Forecaster/Tropical and Maryland Divisions http://www.carr.lib.md.us/~mattr/ WeatherWatch Magazine/Regional Column Editor - IRC Channel Operator: Undernet's #weather (NEXRADguy) _____________________________________________________ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 15:53:41 -0400 From: Bob Walchli Subject: Re: FIPS codes - Is this a stupid question > I've uploaded a list of state/county FIPS codes (which are evidently > necessary for programming the new Radio Shack wx radios) to my web > site. > > The URL is: > > http://www.edge.net/asd/fips.zip > Thanks Mark. All of the FIPS codes I've been pointed to on the Internet are all five digits, the RS radio wants six digits. I assume (bad thing) that the first digit is a ZERO (part of county) and the other five digits are what is published. Did I assume correctly ? Thanks Bob ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 15:37:52 -0500 From: Steven Silberberg Subject: Wind-Rose Plotting Program Hello, Does anyone know of a wind-rose plotting program? Many thanks to those in netland. Steve ********************************************************** Steve Silberberg silber@geog.niu.edu Assistant Prof.-Meteorology Program Dept. of Geography 815-753-6853 voice Northern Illinois University 815-753-6872 fax DeKalb, IL 60115 ********************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 16:51:04 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: NWS role On Wednesday, September 03, 1997 3:40 PM, Matt J. Rosier [SMTP:wallcloud@weatherguide.com] wrote: > I don't feel that the private sector can cover any of the products that the > NWS issues, whether it be warnings, the ZFP, or whatever. What -- if you're not a NWS meteorologist then you can't make a useful forecast? > First off, are there 100 and some private weather corporations out there > that can all agree to work together I never said they had to work together -- ever see forecasts on the edges of a forecast area? Not always a picture-perfect example of "cooperation" between forecast offices. > The private corporations > compete to provide different services, I cannot see them all joining forces > to provide a NWS service such as the ZFP for free NEVER did I say they would do it "for free." The only people getting "free" forecasts that would be impacted are those that get it via NWS radio _and no other source._ Plenty of options exist on the Internet / local TV / local Radio / TWC offering non-NWS forecasts to the public for free. Also, competition would only increase the quality of forecasts. If Service A blows a lot of forecasts, then you could easily take your money to Service B. That option really doesn't exist today... > Private sector fcsts > aren't all that great as it is at the time anyway (ie. AccuWx)...I'd rather > have the Sterling, VA WSFO issuing the zones for Maryland rather than > AccuWeather or WSI or any other corportation(s). Seems to be a dramatic overgeneralization... Again if you were to read my comments I'm saying that the NWS does do a reasonable job issuing zone forecasts. But the question here is -- Is money and manpower available to make public / aviation / marine forecasts, severe weather watches and warnings, answer the telephone, make NOWcasts, read them on the radio, train spotters, educate forecasters, etc? Maybe you weren't on the list for the funding debate several months ago, but it should be obvious that the cash is not there. Fort Wayne's radar is running -- with an empty office. I guess my feeling is that it is coming to the point where either the public forecast or public warning operation will suffer in quality -- and I'd rather the NWS concentrate on the keeping warning operations top notch... Rob ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 2 Sep 1997 to 3 Sep 1997 - Special issue **************************************************************** From - Thu Sep 4 09:31:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626620-15705>; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 06:35:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA24992; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 17:21:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6172853 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 17:21:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA14216 for ; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 17:21:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA14768 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 17:21:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709032221.RAA14768@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 17:21:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 792c161156afd8ec1f45e09ae1bc9ded X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 904 Status: OR 101 ABPA20 PHNL 032200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST WEDNESDAY SEPTEMBER 3 1997 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES FOR TROPICAL STORM OLIWA LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 178.6W AT 03/2100Z...OR ABOUT 1500 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU AT 11 AM. SEE WPTA22 PHNL AND WTPA32 PHNL. OTHERWISE NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH THURSDAY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 4 10:23:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626038-15704>; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 10:14:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA14560; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 20:59:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6174976 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 20:59:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA28874 for ; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 20:59:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id UAA15122 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 20:59:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709040159.UAA15122@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 20:59:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Bing (19w) Warning Nr 032 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8bc4dd959a53d994b36c535a37a46083 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2910 Status: OR 394 WTPN31 PGTW 040300 1. TYPHOON BING (19W) WARNING NR 032 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- 36.7N6 149.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 31 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 36.7N6 149.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 40.5N9 155.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 43.9N6 162.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 47.0N1 169.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 30 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 50.0N5 177.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 54.3N2 163.9W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 040300Z7 POSITION 37.6N6 151.3E0 TYPHOON BING (19) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 31 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL NEAR THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. TYPHOON BING (19W) WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD TO EAST NORTH-EASTWARD AND WEAKEN SLIGHTLY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7), 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4), 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0) AND 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 4 10:11:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626593-15704>; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 10:11:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA28692; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 21:06:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6175014 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 21:06:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA20754 for ; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 21:04:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA15136 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 21:04:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709040204.VAA15136@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 21:04:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Oliwa Discussion Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5a89f8020d7f819717f7709d1dc1c44d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1486 Status: OR 496 WTPA42 PHNL 040300 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST WED SEP 03 1997 OLIWA HAS MOVED VERY LITTLE IN THE PAST 12 TO 24 HOURS AS IT REMAINS STALLED JUST EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE. DEEPER AND STRONGER EASTERLIES ARE FORECAST TO BE DEVELOPING AS A HIGH PRESSURE CELL STRENGTHENS NORTH OF THE CENTER. THE CELL AT 594 DKM HEIGHT AT 500 HPA LOOKS VERY STRONG AND COMPACT AND SHOULD MOVE THE VORTEX FIRST WSW THEN W AND FINALLY WNW WITH INCREASED FORWARD SPEED. SUSTAINED WINDS KEPT AT SAME SPEEDS AS IN PREVIOUS PACKAGE. SYSTEM NOT WELL ORGANIZED AT THE MOMENT WITH PERHAPS TWO CENTERS COMPETING FOR DOMINANCE SO HAVE KEPT INTENSITY AT PRESENT LEVELS NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ROSENDAL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 04/0300Z 14.3N 178.7W 45 KTS 12HR VT 04/1200Z 14.1N 179.1W 45 KTS 24HR VT 05/0000Z 13.9N 179.7E 45 KTS 36HR VT 05/1200Z 14.2N 177.7E 50 KTS 48HR VT 06/0000Z 14.7N 175.3E 55 KTS 72HR VT 07/0000Z 15.8N 170.7E 65 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 4 10:23:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626660-15705>; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 10:18:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA17872; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 21:16:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6175058 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 21:16:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA17082 for ; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 21:16:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA15194 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 21:16:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709040216.VAA15194@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 21:16:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Oliwa Advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5548eb04a9e8a7effc4e45e369347c70 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1590 Status: OR 803 WTPA32 PHNL 040300 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLIWA ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST WED SEP 03 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM OLIWA NEARLY STATIONARY JUST EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE... AT 5 PM HST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLIWA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 178.7 WEST OR ABOUT 625 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND AND CLOSE TO 1500 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU. OLIWA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST SOUTHWEST AT A VERY SLOW 3 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS WITH SOME ACCELERATION THEREAFTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM HST POSITION...14.3 N...178.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST SOUTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM HST. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 4 10:23:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626495-15705>; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 10:22:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA30234; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 21:20:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6175083 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 21:20:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA26326 for ; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 21:20:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA15200 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 21:20:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709040220.VAA15200@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 21:20:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Oliwa Forecast/advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b4d656dc54675db8e3fdfadac232109d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1838 Status: OR 815 WTPA22 PHNL 040300 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0297 0300Z THU SEP 04 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM OLIWA NEARLY STATIONARY JUST EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 178.7W AT 04/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 100 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST SOUTHWEST OR 240 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 178.7W AT 04/0300Z AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 178.6W FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 14.1N 179.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 13.9N 179.7E MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 14.2N 177.7E MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14N 179W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 14.7N 175.3E MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 70 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 15.8N 170.7E MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 4 14:58:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626649-15701>; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 12:28:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA16764; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 21:49:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6175378 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 21:49:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA10274 for ; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 21:49:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA15257 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 21:49:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709040249.VAA15257@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 21:49:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Thirteen-e Discussion Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 63fa6737c234c39a2063ad9aebe77128 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1583 Status: OR 218 WTPZ43 KNHC 040249 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT WED SEP 03 1997 THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. THERE IS A WELL DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND AEW CLUSTERS OF DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER. THE UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR EXCEPT SOMEWHAT RESTRICTED ON THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF AN UPPER-LOW. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE MOVING OVER COOL WATERS IN 48 HOURS OR SO. INITIAL MOTION IS 290/13. THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AND IS IN AGREEMENT WITH MOST OF THE MODELS. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF A RIDGE WHICH IS EXPECTED TO BE LOCATED TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF THE DEPRESSION. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 04/0300Z 18.4N 114.1W 30 KTS 12HR VT 04/1200Z 19.0N 116.0W 35 KTS 24HR VT 05/0000Z 20.0N 118.5W 40 KTS 36HR VT 05/1200Z 20.5N 120.5W 40 KTS 48HR VT 06/0000Z 21.0N 122.5W 35 KTS 72HR VT 07/0000Z 22.5N 127.0W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 4 11:13:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626544-15705>; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 11:02:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA17918; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 21:59:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6175457 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 21:58:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA33468 for ; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 21:58:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA15266 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 21:58:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709040258.VAA15266@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 21:58:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Thirteen-e Forecast/advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cf43f7a1693e66bf35cd6ee62f215b5c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1601 Status: OR 307 WTPZ23 KNHC 040259 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1397 0300Z THU SEP 04 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 114.1W AT 04/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 114.1W AT 04/0300Z AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 113.5W FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.0N 116.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.0N 118.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 20.5N 120.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 114.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 21.0N 122.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 22.5N 127.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 4 14:58:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626670-15705>; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 12:43:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA33728; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 23:40:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6176250 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 23:40:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA28834 for ; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 23:40:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id XAA15329 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 3 Sep 1997 23:40:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709040440.XAA15329@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 23:40:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ed4e4df1d04690b4034e62dc36ff47dd X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1166 Status: OR 915 ABPZ20 KNHC 040439 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED SEP 3 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS INCREASED AGAIN...BUT REMAINS DISORGANIZED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E ARE ISSUED UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP3 AND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ23. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 4 14:58:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626658-15698>; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 13:16:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA19052; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 00:05:39 -0500 Message-Id: <199709040505.AAA19052@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 00:01:00 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 3 Sep 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 4eeb58140458301df8419ea3609793ab X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 19546 Status: OR There are 9 messages totalling 437 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. NWS role (3) 2. New Atlantic Tropical Storm (finally) 3. RS SAME radio now avail... 4. Local fcsts....private vs govt/local tv/etc.. 5. FIPS codes 6. Weather Web Site Announcement 7. Whats the beef with UNDERNET and PRODIGY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 17:18:22 -0400 From: Matt Rosier Subject: Re: NWS role At 4:51 PM -0400 9/3/97, Robert P Dale wrote: >> I don't feel that the private sector can cover any of the products that >the >> NWS issues, whether it be warnings, the ZFP, or whatever. > >What -- if you're not a NWS meteorologist then you can't make a useful >forecast? Not so - I just do not think that many of the private corporations have the time, staff, and equipment to produce timely warnings, or zone forecasts 4 times a day for every county in the US. Imagine AccuWeather trying to issue warnings for the entire county all by themselves, it'd be almost impossible. >> First off, are there 100 and some private weather corporations out there >> that can all agree to work together > >I never said they had to work together -- ever see forecasts on the edges >of a forecast area? Not always a picture-perfect example of "cooperation" >between forecast offices. True, but atleast the NWS Offices do try to work together most time, and do rely upon one another - I don't know if the private corporations could manage that, but maybe I am wrong. > >> The private corporations >> compete to provide different services, I cannot see them all joining >forces >> to provide a NWS service such as the ZFP for free > >NEVER did I say they would do it "for free." The only people getting >"free" forecasts that would be impacted are those that get it via NWS >radio _and no other source._ Plenty of options exist on the Internet / >local TV / local Radio / TWC offering non-NWS forecasts to the public for >free. So are you saying that the private corps would start charging you to be able to use the ZFP produced by them? >Also, competition would only increase the quality of forecasts. If Service >A blows a lot of forecasts, then you could easily take your money to >Service B. That option really doesn't exist today... That option does exist, and without taking your money anywhere. If you don't like the NWS forecasts you can turn to tv station A, B, or C, etc for FREE. >> Private sector fcsts >> aren't all that great as it is at the time anyway (ie. AccuWx)...I'd >rather >> have the Sterling, VA WSFO issuing the zones for Maryland rather than >> AccuWeather or WSI or any other corportation(s). > >Seems to be a dramatic overgeneralization... > >Again if you were to read my comments I'm saying that the NWS does do a >reasonable job issuing zone forecasts. But the question here is -- Is >money and manpower available to make public / aviation / marine forecasts, >severe weather watches and warnings, answer the telephone, make NOWcasts, >read them on the radio, train spotters, educate forecasters, etc? Ok, you have a point, at the time the money and manpower may not be available in some offices, but that simply proves the point that the government cannot cut NWS funding...but of course, they will, unfortunately. I cannot speak for other NWS Offices, but the local office here does a pretty good job with all of the above things. However in other offices such as those in the midwest I can see your point where one day may be so bust svr wx-wise that that office has little time to issue zones...to my understanding, ICWF (I have mixed feelings on this which I wont get into much right now) will help to allow the forecaster more time to concentrate on issuing watches/warnings and less time on zones, whether this is true I guess we'll find out. >I guess my feeling is that it is coming to the point where either the >public forecast or public warning operation will suffer in quality -- and >I'd rather the NWS concentrate on the keeping warning operations top >notch... Yes, however warnings aren't being issued every minute of every hour of every day at every office :) All offices have time and capability to produce additional products as they do, but I see your point. Matt ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 17:29:40 EDT From: "Steven M. Babin" Subject: New Atlantic Tropical Storm (finally) Tropical Storm Erika has formed in the tropical Atlantic Ocean. While it is too far away for us to obtain satellite images here at our ground station, we do have a track map available at our Atlantic Hurricane Web Page: http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/hurr/index.html Cheers, Steve -- _____________________________________________________________________ / FROM: Steven Babin, MD, PhD Internet: Steven.Babin@jhuapl.edu \ | Office phone: (301)-953-6704 | | Office phone: (410)-792-6704 | | WWW Home page at: | | http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/people/babin/babin.html | | Office address: Ocean Remote Sensing Group | | The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab | | Johns Hopkins Road | | Laurel, MD 20723-6099 | | AD IN THE LONDON TIMES, 1907: | | Men wanted for hazardous journey. Small wages, bitter cold, long | | months of complete darkness, constant danger, safe return doubtful. | | Honour and recognition in case of success. | \ --Sir Ernest Shackleton / <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><>< ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 17:39:26 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: NWS role >>What -- if you're not a NWS meteorologist then you can't make a useful >>forecast? > >Not so - I just do not think that many of the private corporations have the >time, staff, and equipment to produce timely warnings, or zone forecasts 4 >times a day for every county in the US. First -- many central region offices only issue 2 zones per day (4a / 4p) with intermittant morning and evening packages as needed, which I would imagine will be implemented nationally sometime soon. Back to your point, I agree that _today_ the private industry is not capable of taking ZFP's cold turkey. But if a we set a cutoff day a year or two down the road I have no doubt the sector could pick up the slack. Not many college meteorology graduates get out and jump right into the forecasting biz -- there is a lot of talent out there not being used. >Imagine AccuWeather trying to issue >warnings for the entire county all by themselves, it'd be almost impossible. PLEASE do not bring warnings into this -- I have not once _ever_ mentioned private sector warnings. I am very strongly against this for a multitude of reasons. Watches and warnings should _always_ come solely from NWS. >So are you saying that the private corps would start charging you to be >able to use the ZFP produced by them? Sure. Unless they wanted to give it away.... I imagine they would set up web pages (check http://www.awis.com ) or phone lines with basic information, but for the nitty gritty -- show them the money. >>Also, competition would only increase the quality of forecasts. If Service >>A blows a lot of forecasts, then you could easily take your money to >>Service B. That option really doesn't exist today... > >That option does exist, and without taking your money anywhere. If you >don't like the NWS forecasts you can turn to tv station A, B, or C, etc for >FREE. And you still would -- but instead of TV station A buying a weather wire feed to get the NWS forecast, they would buy from service A directly. Or service B, etc. Right now there are few options for the places that don't have a meteorologist on staff. >Ok, you have a point, at the time the money and manpower may not be >available in some offices, but that simply proves the point that the >government cannot cut NWS funding...but of course, they will, Agreed -- this discussion would not have even started 5 or 10 years ago... But we have to be realistic. Look at the cutbacks in NWS training! Instead of a two week course in Norman on radar it is now a 8 hour CDRom. I'm afraid that won't cut it in the long run. >Yes, however warnings aren't being issued every minute of every hour of >every day at every office :) All offices have time and capability to >produce additional products as they do, but I see your point. NWS could serve as an operational research agency as well... Many good work goes on inside the offices but only get out at random conferences, and now fortunately on the web -- Des Moines has some excellent work online and I have to give my local offices (CLE & DTX) some credit for starting to do the same. Universities usually produce papers good for other researchers, but private mets need operational information which NWS could serve as a backbone for. Again -- I wish funding allowed otherwise, but I can't see all facets of NWS operational receiving the money needed to produce quality products, unless the variety of products issued is reduced... Rob ////////////////////////////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ Robert P Dale - N8GSK || rdale@norden1.com Meteorologist || rdale@storm.atms.purdue.edu Davidson Crane And Conveyor || dcc@norden1.com InterRAD NIDS Software http://www.stratus.weather.net/~rdale/interrad.html NW Ohio Weather Info http://norden1.com/~rdale/weather.html Northwest Ohio AMS http://nwohams.home.ml.org ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 18:24:27 -0400 From: Matt Rosier Subject: Re: NWS role At 5:39 PM -0400 9/3/97, Robert P Dale wrote: >>Not so - I just do not think that many of the private corporations have the >>time, staff, and equipment to produce timely warnings, or zone forecasts 4 >>times a day for every county in the US. > >First -- many central region offices only issue 2 zones per day (4a / 4p) >with intermittant morning and evening packages as needed, which I would >imagine will be implemented nationally sometime soon. Ok, I did not know that, most of the eastern region offices produce 4 a day. >Back to your point, I >agree that _today_ the private industry is not capable of taking ZFP's cold >turkey. But if a we set a cutoff day a year or two down the road I have no >doubt the sector could pick up the slack. Not many college meteorology >graduates get out and jump right into the forecasting biz -- there is a lot >of talent out there not being used. I suppose, but I still cannot see the NWS giving up the zones, it is one of their primary products aside from warnings...but we'll see what happens... with ICWF in the works I don't think it'll be happening any time soon. > >>Imagine AccuWeather trying to issue >>warnings for the entire county all by themselves, it'd be almost impossible. > >PLEASE do not bring warnings into this -- I have not once _ever_ mentioned >private sector warnings. I am very strongly against this for a multitude of >reasons. Watches and warnings should _always_ come solely from NWS. Sorry for the misunderstanding, then imagine AccuWx trying to issue zones for the entire country, still tough. > >>So are you saying that the private corps would start charging you to be >>able to use the ZFP produced by them? > >Sure. Unless they wanted to give it away.... I imagine they would set up >web pages (check http://www.awis.com ) or phone lines with basic >information, but for the nitty gritty -- show them the money. Much of the public does not want to pay for forecasts though, and what do you mean by basic information? Also what about the local forecasts on TWC, would they still be allowed to display the zones if they came from a private corp, or would they have to dish out a bunch of money to have the private sector allow them to put the ZFP in the local forecast segment - I'd imagine TWC would try to start doing their own ZFP then as well. >>That option does exist, and without taking your money anywhere. If you >>don't like the NWS forecasts you can turn to tv station A, B, or C, etc for >>FREE. > >And you still would -- but instead of TV station A buying a weather wire >feed to get the NWS forecast, they would buy from service A directly. Or >service B, etc. Right now there are few options for the places that don't >have a meteorologist on staff. I am sure that buying a weather wire feed from service A would be much more expensive them buying one from the NWS. >>Ok, you have a point, at the time the money and manpower may not be >>available in some offices, but that simply proves the point that the >>government cannot cut NWS funding...but of course, they will, > >Agreed -- this discussion would not have even started 5 or 10 years ago... >But we have to be realistic. Look at the cutbacks in NWS training! Instead >of a two week course in Norman on radar it is now a 8 hour CDRom. I'm >afraid that won't cut it in the long run. That is very unfortunate...I wish the government would get some of this through their thick heads, but then again, we are talking about the boys in DC ;) >>Yes, however warnings aren't being issued every minute of every hour of >>every day at every office :) All offices have time and capability to >>produce additional products as they do, but I see your point. > >NWS could serve as an operational research agency as well... Many good work >goes on inside the offices but only get out at random conferences, and now >fortunately on the web -- Des Moines has some excellent work online and I >have to give my local offices (CLE & DTX) some credit for starting to do >the same. Universities usually produce papers good for other researchers, >but private mets need operational information which NWS could serve as a >backbone for. Good point - no disagreements with that. >Again -- I wish funding allowed otherwise, but I can't see all facets of >NWS operational receiving the money needed to produce quality products, >unless the variety of products issued is reduced... It's all about money...I agree with you pretty much, but there are other products that could be given to the private sector to issue instead of the ZFP, such as aviation or marine fcsts. Matt ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 18:42:25 -0500 From: Daniel Dix Subject: Re: RS SAME radio now avail... >Date: Mon, 1 Sep 1997 23:38:57 -0600 >From: William Kucharski >Subject: RS SAME radio now available Here are the details: >It is preprogrammed to alert on any SAME information broadcast on the >NWR >station. In lieu of that, you can input up to 15 FIPS codes to tell >it which >counties or portions of counties to warn for. Unfortunately, RS does >not >include that information, telling you to contact RS (which has no >clue) or your >local NWS office (I'm sure they'll appreciate all THOSE calls...) Here in Wichita you can get the FIPS info from the NWS ICT web page as reported on the local news: http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ict/index.html *Maybe other offices are/will do the same -- sure would save on the phone calls. Daniel Dix Met. ICT, KS.. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 19:10:04 -0500 From: Daniel Dix Subject: Re: Local fcsts....private vs govt/local tv/etc.. >Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 08:43:52 +0600 >From: Danielle .Subject: >I want to avoid making blanket generalizations because I know that >there >are a lot of great private sector forecasters, but let me say that >not all >private >sector forcasts are all that good. For example, the ACCUWEATHER >forecasts made for my area (southwest Virginia) are often much poorer >than what >we work with Charleston and Sterling to make. Big corporation >predictors >working out of an office 400 miles away simply cannot get the feel of >mesoscale processes >that shape local weather. This is the strength of the NWS (and local >radio >and TV personnel) I think we have lot to continue to offer the >public in >terms of zone >forcasts and I angrily resent the statement that the private sector >could >easily fill this role. >Danielle >NWSO Blacksburg, but at home, making my own observation >danisue@vt.edu Great point made! I have worked in several privat. met ops. and saw some great meteorologists and unfortunately some good NWS forecast "interpretors/repackagers" as well -- whats the point then??!!?? Very frustrating to see that!!! As most know, some private. mets. are forced to do FAR TOO MANY fcsts in a 8-12 hr shift never attaining an understanding and 'feel' for the local area being forecasted for which is very important to nail down those tough forecasts. The aforementioned company in Danielle's note is notorious for that along with many others unfortunately. IMHO, quality is more important than quantity...but tough to sell that to some. Thus, there is a place for NWS, TV, radio and private meteorologists -- if they take the time to figure out the wx by themselves! Daniel Dix Meteorologist Wichita, KS ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 21:30:20 +0500 From: Powell Way Subject: FIPS codes I went and got the list from our EAS book at the radio station.....for six digits....0 first then the 5 digit code. All radio and TV stations have to have EAS, and the FIPS codes are in the manual... Powell --------------------------------------------- powell@scsn.net powell@zygot.ati.com http://www.scsn.net/users/powell --------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 21:52:51 -0500 From: Alan Sealls Subject: Weather Web Site Announcement Although not new, the WMAQ-TV, Chicago, web site has expanded. With content provided by myself, the site is geared for people in the Chicago area who have interest and general questions about weather. You'll find good links for teachers and kids who want information, as well as an assortment of links to data, images, resources, and other good stuff. Stop by... Add a link... www.nbc5.com/weather -------------------------------------------------------------- Alan Sealls ars000@colum.edu Meteorologist, WMAQ-TV, & Instructor, Columbia College, Chicago -------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 21:21:43 -0700 From: Josiah A Mault Subject: Re: Whats the beef with UNDERNET and PRODIGY Prodigy user are now aloud to get back on Undernet!!!!!!!!!!! Josiah ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 3 Sep 1997 ********************************** From - Thu Sep 4 14:58:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626678-15698>; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 13:30:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA35282; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 00:24:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6176621 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 00:24:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA12734 for ; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 00:24:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id AAA15431 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 00:24:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709040524.AAA15431@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 00:24:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Oliwa Forecast/advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0bf85ab3123d4ce135e1c70afcc4632d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1849 Status: OR 429 WTPA22 PHNL 040520 COR TROPICAL STORM OLIWA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0297 0300Z THU SEP 04 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 178.7W AT 04/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 100 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST SOUTHWEST OR 240 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 178.7W AT 04/0300Z AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 178.6W FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 14.1N 179.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 13.9N 179.7E MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 14.2N 177.7E MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14N 179W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 14.7N 175.3E MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 70 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 15.8N 170.7E MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER IN GUAM AT 04/0900Z. ITS HEADING WILL BE WTPN32 PGTW. MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 4 14:58:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626676-15705>; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 14:12:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA29564; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 01:11:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6176855 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 01:10:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA18674 for ; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 01:09:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA15452 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 01:09:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709040609.BAA15452@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 01:09:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8b850ae7ab325ddbf9827b121a920742 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2337 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 016 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 040300Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI O40330Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 040000Z4 TYPHOON BING (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 36.7N6 149.8E2 AND WAS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 31 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON BING (19W) WARNING NR 32 (WTPN31 PGTW 040300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 040000Z4 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WAS LOCATED AT 14.4N9 178.6W2 AND WAS MOVING NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 06 (WHPN31 PHNC 040400)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 06N6 155E1 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 5S5 165E2. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 4 14:58:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626676-15705>; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 14:17:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA10274; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 01:10:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6176850 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 01:09:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA22004 for ; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 01:09:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA15451 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 01:09:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709040609.BAA15451@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 01:09:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 20848356afd407a4e57c6f070eab4c62 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2283 Status: OR 016 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 040300Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI O40330Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 040000Z4 TYPHOON BING (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 36.7N6 149.8E2 AND WAS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 31 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON BING (19W) WARNING NR 32 (WTPN31 PGTW 040300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 040000Z4 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WAS LOCATED AT 14.4N9 178.6W2 AND WAS MOVING NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 06 (WHPN31 PHNC 040400)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 06N6 155E1 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 5S5 165E2. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 4 15:56:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626704-15698>; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 15:55:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA16124; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 02:26:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6176998 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 02:25:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA26344 for ; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 02:25:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA15513 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 02:25:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709040725.CAA15513@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 02:25:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Bing (19w) Warning Nr 033 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6e7c4d32ff7a0d7b069c4a7888ed9b3f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2903 Status: OR 551 WTPN31 PGTW 040900 1. TYPHOON BING (19W) WARNING NR 033 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- 38.6N7 153.1E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 32 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 38.6N7 153.1E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 42.4N0 160.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 45.8N7 167.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 48.7N9 174.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 31 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 51.4N0 176.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 66 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 66 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 54.2N1 161.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 040900Z3 POSITION 39.6N8 154.8E8 TYPHOON BING (19W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 32 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD TO EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TYPHOON BING (19W) IS FORECAST TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL NEAR THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4), 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0), 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2) AND 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 4 16:20:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626675-15698>; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 16:19:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA21362; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:14:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6177100 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:13:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA35080 for ; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:13:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA15659 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:13:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709040813.DAA15659@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:13:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e7a3452eaf22a31b1a51e570bc32dfad X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2341 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 144 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 040300Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI O40330Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 040000Z4 TYPHOON BING (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 36.7N6 149.8E2 AND WAS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 31 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON BING (19W) WARNING NR 32 (WTPN31 PGTW 040300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 040000Z4 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WAS LOCATED AT 14.4N9 178.6W2 AND WAS MOVING NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 06 (WHPN31 PHNC 040400)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 06N6 155E1 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 5S5 165E2. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 5 09:47:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626741-15704>; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 18:00:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA16016; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:14:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6177105 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:14:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA15878 for ; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:13:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA15658 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:13:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709040813.DAA15658@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:13:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cdc140d655dd38feee488db396fa4311 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2287 Status: OR 144 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 040300Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI O40330Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 040000Z4 TYPHOON BING (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 36.7N6 149.8E2 AND WAS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 31 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON BING (19W) WARNING NR 32 (WTPN31 PGTW 040300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 040000Z4 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WAS LOCATED AT 14.4N9 178.6W2 AND WAS MOVING NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 06 (WHPN31 PHNC 040400)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 06N6 155E1 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 5S5 165E2. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 4 16:27:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626704-15704>; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 16:25:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA33690; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:21:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6177167 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:19:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA33578 for ; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:19:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA15671 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:19:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709040819.DAA15671@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:19:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7f98e280da5af6f7c5584009831f31f7 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2341 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 263 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 040300Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI O40330Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 040000Z4 TYPHOON BING (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 36.7N6 149.8E2 AND WAS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 31 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A(TYPHOON BING (19W) WARNING NR 32 (WTPN31 PGTW 040300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 040000Z4 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WAS LOCATED AT 14.4N9 178.6W2 AND WAS MOVING NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 06 (WHPN31 PHNC 040400)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 06N6 155E1 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2.0WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 5S5 7--;-2. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOWBALEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM EA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HMURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/HAGIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 4 16:31:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626695-15701>; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 16:29:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA33714; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:21:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6177172 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:21:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA19496 for ; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:19:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA15670 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:19:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709040819.DAA15670@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:19:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ed4eb76d83b43722ac6ba90d51d6559b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2287 Status: OR 263 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 040300Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI O40330Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 040000Z4 TYPHOON BING (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 36.7N6 149.8E2 AND WAS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 31 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A(TYPHOON BING (19W) WARNING NR 32 (WTPN31 PGTW 040300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 040000Z4 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WAS LOCATED AT 14.4N9 178.6W2 AND WAS MOVING NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 06 (WHPN31 PHNC 040400)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 06N6 155E1 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2.0WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 5S5 7--;-2. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOWBALEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM EA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HMURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SULLINS/HAGIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 4 16:31:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626593-15704>; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 16:28:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA23504; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:27:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6177190 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:25:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA23466 for ; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:25:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA15679 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:25:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709040825.DAA15679@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:25:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 09e3fc604708afcac51d519231f0cfbe X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1642 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 311 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMDTVN0,$.)/7 040300Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI O40330Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 040000Z4 TYIHWIY EPPOP RRYXX TPQRY YPPYR V YIPWY EWOYP UQIPY QPWQP WPPWU RITWR TEPQO IUPOPPIQ YPPYIV YIPWO EQOYP PPPPP QPWPP K Y P I EE WPQTT TTT QPERI EPQPQ YH M YIPEW EWOYP PQTPT QPQUY WQPPR RITRE TQPWP EEE WPQYP TTT QPERY EPPOU Y PPYRV YIPEI EQOYP PQIQP QPQUR WPPEQ RITTT TQPQP UPRPP EEE WPQPO TTT QPERU Y PPYWV YIPRP EQOYP QQTPW QPQYP WQPQW RITRU TWPQI UPTPP IPPPQ EEE WPQQR TTT Q PEEQ EPPIU YPPUR V YIPTR EQOYP PPPPP QPQTT WPPYU RITWY TEPQP UPRPP EEE WPQPY TTT QPERE E PQPE YPPYWV YIPTR EQOYP PPPPP QPQTT WPPYU RITWY TEPQP UPRPP EEE WPQPY TTT QPERE E PQPE YPPYWM EPPR EEE WPPRE TTT QPWYU EPQPO YPPYEV YIWRP EWOYP PWUPE QPQQO WPPWU RITWI TEPQR EEE WPPTQ TTT QPEPT EPQPT Y XXXXV YIEWI EWOYP PXXXX QPPUY WPPQT RITTU TWPQI EEE WPPEY TTT QPWQI EPQQW Y PPTTV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 4 17:43:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626709-15698>; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 16:42:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA21482; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:27:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6177195 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:27:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA29608 for ; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:25:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA15678 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:25:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709040825.DAA15678@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:25:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f8d0533a49ba630f3ecf971fb5629925 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1588 Status: OR 311 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMDTVN0,$.)/7 040300Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI O40330Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 040000Z4 TYIHWIY EPPOP RRYXX TPQRY YPPYR V YIPWY EWOYP UQIPY QPWQP WPPWU RITWR TEPQO IUPOPPIQ YPPYIV YIPWO EQOYP PPPPP QPWPP K Y P I EE WPQTT TTT QPERI EPQPQ YH M YIPEW EWOYP PQTPT QPQUY WQPPR RITRE TQPWP EEE WPQYP TTT QPERY EPPOU Y PPYRV YIPEI EQOYP PQIQP QPQUR WPPEQ RITTT TQPQP UPRPP EEE WPQPO TTT QPERU Y PPYWV YIPRP EQOYP QQTPW QPQYP WQPQW RITRU TWPQI UPTPP IPPPQ EEE WPQQR TTT Q PEEQ EPPIU YPPUR V YIPTR EQOYP PPPPP QPQTT WPPYU RITWY TEPQP UPRPP EEE WPQPY TTT QPERE E PQPE YPPYWV YIPTR EQOYP PPPPP QPQTT WPPYU RITWY TEPQP UPRPP EEE WPQPY TTT QPERE E PQPE YPPYWM EPPR EEE WPPRE TTT QPWYU EPQPO YPPYEV YIWRP EWOYP PWUPE QPQQO WPPWU RITWI TEPQR EEE WPPTQ TTT QPEPT EPQPT Y XXXXV YIEWI EWOYP PXXXX QPPUY WPPQT RITTU TWPQI EEE WPPEY TTT QPWQI EPQQW Y PPTTV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 4 16:40:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626714-15705>; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 16:40:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA19626; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:38:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6177209 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:38:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA09358 for ; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:38:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA15698 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:38:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709040838.DAA15698@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:38:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Thirteen-e Discussion Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: df773f62f11e33ba4a7320ab4bb6e2b5 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1926 Status: OR 445 WTPZ43 KNHC 040837 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT THU SEP 04 1997 THIS SYSTEM REMAINS VERY NEAR TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES DEPEND ON WHERE THE CENTER IS PLACED IN RELATION TO THE DEEP CONVECTION...AND THESE ESTIMATES RANGE FROM T1.5 (25 KTS) FROM THE AFGWC TO T2.5 (35 KTS) FROM SAB AND TAFB. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH INFRARED DATA...WE WILL KEEP THE INITIAL INTENSITY AT 30 KTS. THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIRLY WELL ESTABLISHED... AND STRENGTHENING IS STILL FORECAST UNTIL THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER COOLER WATER IN 36 HOURS OR SO. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 295/12. NWS AVIATION MODEL MAINTAINS A LOW- TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF THE CYCLONE WHICH SHOULD ALLOW THE GENERAL MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST TO CONTINUE. THE STRONG VORTEX INITIALIZED IN THE GLOBAL MODEL IN THE VICINITY OF 10N111W APPEARS BOGUS. CURRENT FORECAST TRACK IS BASICALLY AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK...AND IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH MOST TRACK PREDICTION MODELS. IT IS NOTED THAT THE GFDL WEAKENS THE SYSTEM AND MOVES IT MORE TOWARD THE WEST IN THE LOW LEVEL FLOW. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 04/0900Z 19.0N 114.9W 30 KTS 12HR VT 04/1800Z 19.7N 116.6W 35 KTS 24HR VT 05/0600Z 20.5N 119.0W 40 KTS 36HR VT 05/1800Z 21.1N 121.1W 40 KTS 48HR VT 06/0600Z 21.8N 123.2W 35 KTS 72HR VT 07/0600Z 23.0N 127.0W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 4 17:43:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626675-15705>; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 16:41:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA21442; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:38:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6177214 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:38:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA21404 for ; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:38:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA15702 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:38:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709040838.DAA15702@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:38:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Thirteen-e Forecast/advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 829d4ad78aeb220c4a98313b9f4d16e0 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1604 Status: OR 446 WTPZ23 KNHC 040838 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1397 0900Z THU SEP 04 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 114.9W AT 04/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 114.9W AT 04/0900Z AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 114.4W FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 19.7N 116.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 20.5N 119.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 21.1N 121.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N 114.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 21.8N 123.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 23.0N 127.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 4 17:43:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626675-15705>; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 17:03:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA33038; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:43:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6177237 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:43:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA21462 for ; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:43:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA15710 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:43:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709040843.DAA15710@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 03:43:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 007 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b00cb141349b09605fb59247e8b74139 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2935 Status: OR 501 WTPN32 PGTW 040900 1. TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 007 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- 13.5N9 178.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N9 178.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 13.7N1 177.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 13.9N3 175.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 14.1N6 173.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 14.4N9 171.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 14.8N3 168.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY. THIS WARNING IS RELOCATED BASED ON ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 032213Z1 SCATTEROMETER DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z0 IS 10 FEET. THIS IS THE FIRST WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z0 (DTG 041353Z6), 042100Z7 (DTG 041953Z6), 050300Z8 (DTG 050153Z4) AND 050900Z4 (DTG 050753Z0). REFER TO TYPHOON BING (19W) (WTPN31 PGTW) WARNINGS FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 4 17:43:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626718-15705>; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 17:19:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA33762; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 04:06:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6177336 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 04:06:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA35532 for ; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 04:06:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA15739 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 04:06:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709040906.EAA15739@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 04:06:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 007 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 777144e0494dcee6f9fad3be8899e084 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2989 Status: OR 734 WTPN32 PGTW 040900 1. TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 007 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- 13.5N9 178.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N9 178.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 13.7N1 177.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 13.9N3 175.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 14.1N6 173.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 14.4N9 171.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 14.8N3 168.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY. THIS WARNING IS RELOCATED BASED ON ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 032213Z1 SCATTEROMETER DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z0 IS 10 FEET. THIS IS THE FIRST WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z0 (DTG 041353Z6), 042100Z7 (DTG 041953Z6), 050300Z8 (DTG 050153Z4) AND 050900Z4 (DTG 050753Z0). REFER TO TYPHOON BING (19W) (WTPN31 PGTW) WARNINGS FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG32262470753 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 4 17:43:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626362-15701>; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 17:37:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA32618; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 04:09:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6177349 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 04:09:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA30252 for ; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 04:08:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA15745 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 04:08:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709040908.EAA15745@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 04:08:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@lib.siu.edu Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 007 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 51982a4c68f70981aecb8f83596d3ba0 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3034 Status: OR 759 WTPN32 PGTW 040900 1. TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 007 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- 13.5N9 178.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N9 178.9E5 --- PAGE 03 RUHGSGG3226 UNCLAS FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 13.7N1 177.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 13.9N3 175.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 14.1N6 173.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG3226 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 14.4N9 171.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 14.8N3 168.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD PAGE 05 RUHGSGG3226 UNCLAS AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY. THIS WARNING IS RELOCATED BASED ON ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 032213Z1 SCATTEROMETER DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z0 IS 10 FEET. THIS IS THE FIRST WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z0 (DTG 041353Z6), 042100Z7 (DTG 041953Z6), 050300Z8 (DTG 050153Z4) AND 050900Z4 (DTG 050753Z0). REFER TO TYPHOON BING (19W) (WTPN31 PGTW) WARNINGS FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #3226 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 5 09:47:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626723-15698>; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 18:06:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA18172; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 05:02:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6177590 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 05:02:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA30422 for ; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 05:02:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA15792 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 05:02:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709041002.FAA15792@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 05:02:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ab144b5a4046de89f2b4824029edaf38 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 792 Status: OR 540 ABPA20 PHNL 041000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST THU SEP 4 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N153W...ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HILO...SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH THURSDAY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 5 09:47:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626698-15704>; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 19:04:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA15796; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 05:46:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6177660 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 05:46:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA21920 for ; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 05:46:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA15816 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 05:46:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709041046.FAA15816@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 05:46:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c56d5277e654d22260e908ad1ff0d4a8 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1350 Status: OR 108 ABPZ20 KNHC 041045 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU SEP 4 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 1400 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ALTHOUGH THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BECOME MORE CONCENTRATED...THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER APPEARS TO BE DISPLACED TO THE EAST OF THE DEEPEST CONVECTION. ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E ARE ISSUED UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP3 AND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ23. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 5 09:47:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626756-15704>; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 23:22:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA21280; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 10:13:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6179710 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 10:12:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA16076 for ; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 10:12:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id KAA16317 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 10:12:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709041512.KAA16317@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 10:12:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Bing (19w) Warning Nr 034 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2ade1a58375c9bac638360c5c52fc23e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2885 Status: OR 506 WTPN31 PGTW 041500 1. TYPHOON BING (19W) WARNING NR 034 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- 40.5N9 156.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 33 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 40.5N9 156.7E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 44.4N2 163.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 47.5N6 171.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 50.2N7 179.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 26 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 52.4N1 173.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 60 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 54.4N3 164.9W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 041500Z0 POSITION 41.5N0 158.5E9 TYPHOON BING (19W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 33 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING RAPIDLY NORTHEASTWARD TO EAST-NORTHEASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TYPHOON BING (19W) IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AS IT BEGINS TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS EXPECTED TO BE COMPLETE AT THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z7 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0), 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2), 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8) AND 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) (WTPN32 PGTW) WARNINGS FOR SIX HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 5 09:47:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626751-15698>; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 23:22:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA21368; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 10:13:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6179719 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 10:13:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA32214 for ; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 10:12:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id KAA16321 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 10:12:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709041512.KAA16321@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 10:12:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 85a94cc04413e78d2ab46a640509f263 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2817 Status: OR 507 WTPN32 PGTW 041500 1. TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- 13.5N9 178.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N9 178.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 13.8N2 177.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 14.1N6 175.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 14.4N9 173.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 14.6N1 172.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 15.0N6 168.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 041500Z0 POSITION 13.5N9 178.6E2 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z7 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 042100Z7, 050300Z8, 050900Z4 AND 051500Z1. REFER TO TYPHOON BING (19W) (WTPN31 PGTW) WARNINGS FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 5 09:47:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626726-15705>; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 23:42:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA15524; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 10:37:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6179960 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 10:37:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA27916 for ; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 10:26:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id KAA16391 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 10:26:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709041526.KAA16391@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 10:26:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Kevin Forecast/advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 693dea879bd3cd8dff6f2da86a0cfba8 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1726 Status: OR 921 WTPZ23 KNHC 041450 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM KEVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1397 1500Z THU SEP 04 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 116.0W AT 04/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 116.0W AT 04/1500Z AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 115.4W FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.3N 117.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 20.8N 119.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 21.2N 121.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 116.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 21.6N 123.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 22.0N 127.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 5 09:48:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626771-15698>; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 01:52:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA09336; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 12:03:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6181396 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 12:03:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA13582 for ; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 12:02:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA16688 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 12:02:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709041702.MAA16688@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 12:02:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0fac4b45065b126fd02b5321043c665f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1365 Status: OR 702 ABPZ20 KNHC 041702 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU SEP 4 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KEVIN...RECENTLY UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E... LOCATED ABOUT 450 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS LOCATED WELL TO THE WEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AND HAS DECREASED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KEVIN ARE ISSUED UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP3 AND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ23. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 5 09:48:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626761-15705>; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 01:34:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA14478; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 12:09:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6181485 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 12:09:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA42230 for ; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 12:09:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA16708 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 12:08:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709041708.MAA16708@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 12:08:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4910f1a16b73ee3560b05b7f36bc511b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 930 Status: OR 807 ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/041800Z TO 051800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 5 09:48:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626758-15705>; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 01:11:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA32100; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 12:09:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6181476 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 12:09:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA28916 for ; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 12:09:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA16709 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 12:08:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709041708.MAA16709@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 12:08:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9ae329dc71818ae0db07026389a23636 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 981 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 807 ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/041800Z TO 051800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 5 09:48:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626499-15705>; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 03:07:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA29360; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 14:03:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6182616 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 14:02:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA20252 for ; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 14:02:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id OAA16974 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 14:02:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709041902.OAA16974@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 14:02:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 25ba823a3f2686886107e9c02140fcef X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2296 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 992 ABPW10 PGTW 041900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/041900Z/050600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 041351Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 041353Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 041200Z7 TYPHOON BING (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 40.5N9 156.7E9 AND WAS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 33 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON BING (19W) WARNING NR 34 (WTPN31 PGTW 041500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 041200Z7 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WAS LOCATED AT 13.5N9 178.8E4 AND WAS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 08 (WTPN32 PGTW 041500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5S5 165E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5S5 164E1. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS INCREASED IN AREAL EXTENT AND INTENSITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. REISSUED TO UPGRADE AREA IN 2.B.(1) FROM POOR TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 5 09:48:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626747-15701>; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 03:14:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA29236; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 14:02:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6182611 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 14:02:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA29214 for ; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 14:02:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id OAA16973 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 14:02:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709041902.OAA16973@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 14:02:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f2301ea6300580d48da19196b17ab4b6 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2242 Status: OR 992 ABPW10 PGTW 041900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/041900Z/050600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 041351Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 041353Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 041200Z7 TYPHOON BING (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 40.5N9 156.7E9 AND WAS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 33 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON BING (19W) WARNING NR 34 (WTPN31 PGTW 041500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 041200Z7 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WAS LOCATED AT 13.5N9 178.8E4 AND WAS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 08 (WTPN32 PGTW 041500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5S5 165E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5S5 164E1. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS INCREASED IN AREAL EXTENT AND INTENSITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. REISSUED TO UPGRADE AREA IN 2.B.(1) FROM POOR TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 5 09:48:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626765-15704>; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 03:39:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA10292; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 14:30:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6182704 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 14:30:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA42220 for ; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 14:30:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id OAA17044 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 14:30:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709041930.OAA17044@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 14:30:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 15a8f0a2b11a5fd09f5760ba21f72990 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2949 Status: OR 453 WTPN32 PGTW 042100 1. TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041800Z3 --- 13.8N2 178.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.8N2 178.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 14.1N6 177.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 14.5N0 175.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 14.9N4 173.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 15.2N8 171.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 15.5N1 167.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 042100Z7 POSITION 14.0N5 178.0E6 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z3 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z8, 050900Z4, 051500Z1 AND 052100Z8. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) (WTPN31 PGTW) WARNINGS FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 5 09:48:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626735-15701>; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 04:01:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA39438; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 14:47:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6182873 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 14:47:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA14568 for ; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 14:47:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id OAA17108 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 14:46:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709041946.OAA17108@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 14:46:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Bing (19w) Warning Nr 035 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 105641093c4872a2b8439bd758184136 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2910 Status: OR 723 WTPN31 PGTW 042100 1. TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WARNING NR 035 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 19W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041800Z3 --- 42.0N6 159.6E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 28 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 42.0N6 159.6E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 45.1N0 165.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 48.0N2 172.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 50.5N0 178.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 23 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 52.2 N9 174.7W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 54 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 54 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 52.7N4 171.4W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 042100Z7 POSITION 42.8N4 161.1E9 TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) IS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 28 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHEASTWARD TO EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AND WEAKEN SLOWLY AS IT BEGINS TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS EXPECTED TO BE COMPLETE AT THE 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z3 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2), 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8), 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5) AND 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) (WTPN32 PGTW) WARNINGS FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 5 09:48:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626764-15704>; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 04:50:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA15100; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 15:44:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6183368 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 15:43:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA38796 for ; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 15:43:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA17222 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 15:43:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709042043.PAA17222@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 15:43:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Kevin Discussion Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c5097b08a46c60d758b2968901f36331 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1501 Status: OR 444 WTPZ43 KNHC 042044 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM KEVIN DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT THU SEP 04 1997 THE AREA OF COLD TOPS HAS SHRUNK A BIT DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS BUT THE SYSTEM RETAINS A CDO TYPE APPEARANCE THAT IS CONSISTENT WITH THE 3.0 T-NUMBERS FROM TAFB AND SAB. THAT SUPPORTS THE 45 KT WINDS ESTIMATED FOR THIS ADVISORY. INITIAL MOTION IS 290/13 KT. THE 18Z AVN FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE RUN FROM 6 HOURS AGO...HOLDING A RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF KEVIN. THE TRACK MODELS ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT THIS TIME AND ARE RATHER CLOSE TO OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK...SO LITTLE CHANGE IS MADE IN THIS ADVISORY. A LITTLE STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO THE STORM REACHING THE RELATIVELY COOL WATERS AHEAD. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 04/2100Z 19.9N 117.5W 45 KTS 12HR VT 05/0600Z 20.5N 119.5W 50 KTS 24HR VT 05/1800Z 21.1N 121.7W 45 KTS 36HR VT 06/0600Z 21.6N 123.8W 40 KTS 48HR VT 06/1800Z 22.0N 126.0W 35 KTS 72HR VT 07/1800Z 22.5N 129.0W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 5 09:48:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626781-15698>; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 04:52:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA36460; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 15:44:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6183373 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 15:44:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA37442 for ; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 15:44:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA17227 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 15:44:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709042044.PAA17227@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 15:44:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Kevin Forecast/advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c9c3880983b48c71ec58d24f22119614 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1694 Status: OR 445 WTPZ23 KNHC 042045 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM KEVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1397 2100Z THU SEP 04 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 117.5W AT 04/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 117.5W AT 04/2100Z AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 116.9W FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 20.5N 119.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 21.1N 121.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 21.6N 123.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 117.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 22.0N 126.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 22.5N 129.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 5 09:48:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626775-15701>; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 05:23:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA40818; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 16:03:40 -0500 Message-Id: <199709042103.QAA40818@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 15:53:44 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 3 Sep 1997 to 4 Sep 1997 - Special issue To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 9a78a1fbcd5b1a75af14190a1001d6bd X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 39942 Status: OR There are 16 messages totalling 850 lines in this issue. Topics in this special issue: 1. NWS and the Future (2) 2. GAO report on NWS Southern Region closure 3. zones 4. NWS Mission (2) 5. NWS role 6. Six digit FIPS codes for NWR SAME Radios 7. NWS and private forecasters (2) 8. upper air site available 9. upper air site available - WBAN and WMO numbers 10. "More" El Nino and other Comments (2) 11. It happened last night 12. ASOS Commissioning Notice +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 01:01:19 -0700 From: Stephen Hodanish Subject: NWS and the Future The other day, Robert Dale wrote: ... Again if you were to read my comments I'm saying that the NWS does do a reasonable job issuing zone forecasts. But the question here is -- Is money and manpower available to make public / aviation / marine forecasts, severe weather watches and warnings, answer the telephone, make NOWcasts, read them on the radio, train spotters, educate forecasters, etc? Maybe you weren't on the list for the funding debate several months ago, but it should be obvious that the cash is not there. Fort Wayne's radar is running -- with an empty office. I guess my feeling is that it is coming to the point where either the public forecast or public warning operation will suffer in quality -- and I'd rather the NWS concentrate on the keeping warning operations top notch... ... In my opinion, quite a bit of the above is a bit exagerated. The NWS, to my knowledge, will have sufficient funds to do all of the above. Indeed the cash is there. In matter of fact, according to the FEDERAL TIMES, both the Senate and the Congress want to give more $$ to NWS in 1998 than the President recomended. The money is indeed there. Also, the Indiana office is being staffed (or soon will be) as I write this. Here is a plain and simple fact of life. If the public wants the NWS to exist, than it will exist. IF the govt' tries to get rid of it and the people do not want to see it gone, the public will then complain and the NWS will stay - ITS UP TO YOU, our customers, if you want us to exist. Think about it: The people in Indiana wanted better weather coverage. They complained to congress and congress found the $$ to build another office. Also...look at Arkansas and Alabama...they wanted better radar coverage...they complained to congress, and WAA-LAA - 2 more WSR-88ds came on-line. If the people want it and demand it, it will get done. People in Key West, Caribou Maine, Bismark ND want better weather services, and likewise, those old local WSO offices are still open. Personnaly - it will be a sad day when the general public has to pay for a forecast. I don't think it will ever happen. As an example, what if a major snowstorm threatens the NE USA, and you have a bunch of privates issuing numerous (and different ) forecast. Whose will you believe? What happens if someone can't afford to buy the forecast and life is lost...than what?? What happens if half the privates say a big storm is coming and the other half does not....the general public will be at a loss, with God only knows how many $$ lost due to the confusion. As mentioned above...If you don't ever want to see the day that you have to buy a forecast, than it let your representatives know about it NOW! Stephen Hodanish NWS MLB....My opinions only...on my own computer...on my own time. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 16:58:44 -0500 From: Chuck Doswell Subject: Re: GAO report on NWS Southern Region closure In article <34050b10.477046@news.flash.net>, ebcurran@flash.net (Brian Curran) wrote: > >Report to Congressional Requesters July 1997 > >NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE - CLOSURE OF REGIONAL OFFICE NOT SUPPORTED BY RISK ANALYSIS > >GAO/AIMD-97-133 National Weather Service > >B-277460 > > can be found on the NWSEO homepage at > > It is interesting to note that in this report there is no clear statement about what a "risk analysis" might include in terms of methodology. Although I neither endorse nor decry the contents of this report, I am curious about what the GAO might consider to be an appropriate risk analysis. Since they also did not choose to do a risk analysis of their own (perhaps because they also had no clue about how to go about such a project?), the report conveys to me a certain political aroma, as opposed to one containing something substantial. I am not endorsing or decrying the NWS decision either, but it is curious that their justification for closing the Southern Region is also rather lacking in substance ... it seems to be based on economics and little else to back up their assertions of no adverse effect on services. Chuck Doswell -- Dr. Charles A. Doswell III NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory 1313 Halley Circle, Norman, Oklahoma 73069 phone: (405) 366-0439 fax: (405) 366-0472 WWW home page: Standard disclaimer ... my views are my own, so don't blame my employer. Is it a snake? Or is it a tire? ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 21:04:13 -0500 From: MATT/N9NPP Subject: Re: zones MATT/N9NPP wrote: > where on the web can i find a list of the relationship of ZONE numbers > > and counties? the kind you see on watches and warnings. > > mainly interested in NEIL;NWIN;SEWIS. > > thanks matt/n9npp > direct replys to united@axon.axnet.com > http://www.axnet.com/united/index.htm ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------ reply well after serching and serching i found the zone/county list on the web at http://www.nws.noaa.gov/oso/oso1/oso12/document/winugc.htm in a downloadable text file. thanks to all who helped......... matt/n9npp -- NEW JAVA CHAT ROOM http://www.axnet.com/united/united_chat1.htm ########################################################### # # # 73 de n9npp/matt # # http://www.axnet.com/united/index.htm # # e-mail mailto:united@axon.axnet.com # # n9npp@w9zmr.en52va.il.usa.noam "o o" # # n9npp@n9npp-1.ampr.org 44.72.82.121 O # # bolingbrook,il usa '.,.' # # # ########################################################### ________________________Reply Separator_____________________ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 02:54:24 GMT From: rjhstorm Subject: Re: NWS Mission The problem I have with the supposition that the private sector will take over anylead role in forecasting is the liability issue. Not one private service with any sense of caution ever releases a forecast without making note somewhere in their contracts that the forecasts are based on NWS datum. This gives them an out in case something goes wrong with their forecast. I doubt that any reputable private forecasters will become the "primary", unless Congress does for them what they did for the Nuclear industry and passes strict liability limits. Not the same scale you say? - well, how many people have died in the US nuclear power plant accidents, versus the past tornado season. Rich Halter ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 01:11:19 -0700 From: kz Subject: Re: NWS role > Robert P Dale wrote: > > > > I have a "more lengthy" letter in the works, but as a quick response I > > How can the "little local guy" get started when NWS is selling the same > > product -- for free? Many times only the big corporations have the funding > > to get off the ground. > > I think the strength of the NWS is the warning process. No private company > > will _ever_ issue watches and warnings for the general population... > > > > > > I didn't say you had nothing to offer... All I'm saying is that in the era > > of dwindling funds, you will end up having a tradeoff in either the public > > forecast or warning area (ever see a ZFP when sevwx is active? A lot of > > times it isn't "quality material.") My thoughts are that NWS devote more > > resources to severe weather operations / training / communications, and > > let the private sector fill the gap in the forecasting side. > > > > Why do you feel that the private sector _cannot_ fill that role? If you > > look back at the mission statement -- it's quite obvious that one role of > > the NWS is to assist in the private sector generation of weather > > forecasts... > > > > In my longer letter (to come) I don't call for NWS to drop off the map -- > > I think a SFD to give private offices their thoughts (along with any > > watches) and then a SFP (for those who don't need detailed county > > information) would do it. > > > > This didn't end up being as short as I thought ;> > > > > I refer you to numerous papers by Harold Brooks and Chuck Doswell (online > > http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/~brooks and http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/~doswell ) > > regarding the future of the NWS and forecasting in general... > > > > Rob > I think there's plenty of room for both NWS and private forecasts, to a point. However, should private forecasters take over all zone (county) forecasts in the country, my personal thoughts are...why have the NWS even do an SFD or SFP? Let the private forecasters make up their own - let them take the raw data without ANY input from NWS meteorologists at all, period. If the NWS were to give up county zone forecasts, give up ALL NWS forecaster "guidance" to private forecasters, too. Now, I don't think that if private forecasters took over nationwide that a rural county in Idaho, for instance, that had "Fair and cool" forecast would be updated at 3 am should an unexpected thunderstorm form. The NWS would now, but I doubt that a private company perhaps several states away would even notice this, unless they staffed them with as many forecasters as the NWS already has. And if they did have this large staffing, where would the savings be? I think a big plus for having forecasters in every state, like the NWS has now, is that the forecaster gets immediate feedback to his/her forecasts (i.e., he has to live and work in the weather he just forecast, not just see it on a remote radar display - he also gets the angry public telephone calls for busted forecasts - would private forecasters have their phone number listed publically?). I think this feedback makes better forecasts in the long run. But, hey, that's only my personal opinion. Like someone else said, its what the public wants that counts - they, after all, are all meteorologits' "boses" in that they pay for the satellites, radars, most research, model generation, etc. KZ My two cents worth -- my personal opinion. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 06:40:21 -0400 From: Rocky Lopes Subject: Six digit FIPS codes for NWR SAME Radios Bob Walchli asks about 5-digit FIPS codes, whereas the Radio Shack SAME weather radio wants six digits. Reading through the instruction manual packed with the radio, you'll see that the instructions say that the first digit is "usually a zero." The instructions go on to say that in case the NWS wishes to divide warning areas within a county to smaller zones, they may replace the leading zero with a "1" or "2" in order to provide warnings for smaller areas. The NWS HQ has advised me that they have not done this yet, so for now, all codes for the new radio should begin with a zero, followed by the five digit FIPS code. Watch for more information from the NWS in the future if they decide to divide some geographically large counties into smaller warning areas. By the way, it really works! We had a series of severe thunderstorms on Tuesday Sept. 2, and my NWR-SAME radio gave me only the watches and warnings for Montgomery County, Maryland (which was the only county I had programmed into my radio at the time). It was great not to get warnings for Delaware and Virginia when I didn't want them. Rocky Lopes Community Disaster Education American Red Cross National Headquarters ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 08:43:10 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: NWS and the Future > Personnaly - it will be a sad day when the general public has to pay for a > forecast. I don't think it will ever happen. As an example, what if a major > snowstorm threatens the NE USA, and you have a bunch of privates issuing > numerous (and different ) forecast. Whose will you believe? I would believe the NWS! I hope that if a major snowstorm is coming together, there would be some sort of Winter Storm Watch or Warning or the like. > What happens if > someone can't afford to buy the forecast and life is lost...than what?? Who now can afford there personal weather wire feed -- not many. I would assume most of the public gets it from another source that _can_ afford, such as a radio or TV station, or the Internet. > What > happens if half the privates say a big storm is coming and the other half does > not....the general public will be at a loss, with God only knows how many $$ > lost due to the confusion. Kind of like different TV station / radio station forecasts? Or different forecast offices zone packages? > As mentioned above...If you don't ever want to see the day that you have to buy > a forecast, than it let your representatives know about it NOW! Agreed, and I have written many a letter complaining about reduction in services. The problem is that I already see zone forecasts written by people that really shouldn't be issuing them, and with training and resources on the decrease I see the the situations occurring more frequently in the future... Rob ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 3 Sep 1997 22:09:46 -0600 From: "Paul E. Pettit" Subject: Re: NWS and private forecasters >> I don't feel that the private sector can cover any of the products that >the >> NWS issues, whether it be warnings, the ZFP, or whatever. Senerio: WFO's Sterling and W. Va. no longer issue zones or local forecasts! Private company hires laid off mets from those sites and intergrates them with other company meteorologists and begins issuing said forecasts. Are the mets at Sterling and Charleston not capable of doing the same work for private company that they did for NWS, ie. issuing forecast???? I rest my case. All the companies would not have to join together to do it nationally. Companies could compete on local, statewide, or regional basis for business. Ones that offer best services and do best job will get the business. It would even leave room for local smaller weather companies in less populated areas. This is already being done in specialized forecasting areas...and done pretty well by some companies, I might add. AWIS is a prime example. >> The private corporations >> compete to provide different services, I cannot see them all joining >forces >> to provide a NWS service such as the ZFP for free > >NEVER did I say they would do it "for free." The only people getting >"free" forecasts that would be impacted are those that get it via NWS >radio _and no other source._ Plenty of options exist on the Internet / >local TV / local Radio / TWC offering non-NWS forecasts to the public for >free. Nothing is free, NWS forecasts or ACCU Weather or Weather Channel stuff. You pay twice for Weather Channel forecasts and weather in your home. Pay for NWS to do their thing, and pay the cable company to get Weather Channel. >Also, competition would only increase the quality of forecasts. If Service >A blows a lot of forecasts, then you could easily take your money to >Service B. That option really doesn't exist today... > Very true. No NWS met loses his forecast area for missed forecasts! Nor loses his job if his work is weak! Competition makes for better in any field. >> Private sector fcsts >> aren't all that great as it is at the time anyway (ie. AccuWx)...I'd >rather >> have the Sterling, VA WSFO issuing the zones for Maryland rather than >> AccuWeather or WSI or any other corportation(s). Privates can do just as well using guidance as NWS forecasters. Look at the NWS Min and Max forecasts versus guidance, forecast error graph has narrowed to a few degrees and hasn't changed much in last few years. Last I hear guidance beat forecasters on precipitation. I would like you to show me some data to back up your facts. If I'm wrong on mean forecast error for temp and precip, give me facts to prove me wrong and I will eat some crow. As I have stated before and will repeat again. The NWS will become a data collection agency with enough mets remaining to issue severe weather warnings and man the storm centers. Everything else will go private. Automation and modernization has begun the transition in this direction. Further automation will speed the process. Paul E. Pettit Weather Consulting http://meteorology.miningco.com http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 11:11:23 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: upper air site available The following site should now be available for upper air data as of now: Bogue Airfield, North Carolina - KNJM lat 34.69 north lon 77.03 west elev 7 meters Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 13:40:15 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: upper air site available - WBAN and WMO numbers I forgot to get the WMO number for the upper air site, but did look it up later. The numbers for Bogue Airfield are: WBAN 93743 WMO 72309 Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 15:41:28 -0400 From: "Hugh W. Johnnson IV" Subject: "More" El Nino and other Comments .> ...Watching the plane with Di's body arriving at Norfolk right now. Gawd, >this stinks. I hope some good, strict laws come about regarding Press >Conduct and the Public's right to privacy. What a senseless and needless >way to die. And it didn't happen to a nobody; it happened to a highly >visible and much respected public figure. :( Well, she's finally free of >the unscrupulous Press tabloid photo journalists motorcycle gangs and of >their hounding and harrassment. Rest in peace, Di. It's finally >over now. I dunno about the rest of you but I'm extremely aggitated about >this. I can't believe a dignitary died as a direct result of Press >interference and distraction. Sorry for the off-topic sibebar. I'm >just......this is...this is so sad. I'm suddenly not liking the idea >of the Press's "right to know" anymore. Their "right to know," as here >seen, can and does, result in unnecessary personal injury when not checked. >And if the Press cannot be trusted to check their own, then some >international laws need to be brought about to make sure they do. If >nothing else, I hope THAT does come of all this. All of Britain is mourning >for one magazine's....precious photo. A _photo_ is what it boils down to. >Jeezus! Two little boys were forever stripped of their mother for a photo. >I'm not feeling very proud of the Press at this moment. Because it doesn't >stop at Di. I think of Jewells, Simpson, and the hundreds of actors who are >also hounded and harrassed every day also for a photo or a story. Often, it >leads to false statements and permanently injured lives. Nuf ranting... Hello. My Name is Hugh Johnson and am a recent subscriber of wx talk. I work in the National Weather Service at Albany in a building deemed by much of the public as the "SSI Eyesore." It's the newest building in town, and certainly not your "typical run of the mill" institutional slab of concrete. I like the design...it makes me feel as if the 21st Century is upon us. I generally like what I read. However...I was surprised to see how much space and time was devoted by one article (claiming to be about El Nino and LSRS) that talked about the Death of Lady Di. Come on! This stuff does not belong in a Weather Forum! Maybe a sentence or two to express a personal experience but that should have been it. I am far from being an "El Nino" expert but I do know that the two strongest El Ninos of this century (excluding this one so far...since it looks as if it might have already peaked) produced two completey different type of winters in Philadelphia. The winter of 77/78 was by far the coldest winter ever for my home town with the average some 0.3 or 0.4 degrees colder than the previous coldest. With the exception of about a three week period in late December through mid January...there was practically no snow. Snowfall for that winter was a little below average. The cold fairly dry pattern actually started to establish itself as early as the first week in October, and was "locked in" by November and did not relax until mid Feburary. Contrast that to the winter of 82/83. A cold snap at the end of August had people scared that a cold winter was in store...and I believe (though not sure) that there many soothsayer tales that a harsh winter (worse than the previous one) would unfold. Instead, just the opposite happened. The temperature ananomaly increased upward, as the fall progressed. There was an unprecedented warm spell in early December. The winter in general was the mildest (not only in Philly) but across much of the country in years. However...we of course had (at the time) the biggest snowstorm on record with the infamous "Megalopolis Storm". Snow fall that winter was well above average. Also both of the springs following those winters were remarkably different. The spring of 77/78 was perhaps the nicest Spring I ever remember, with well above average tempeatures, and slight below normal precipitation. The 82/83 Springs was one of the nastiest, with much below temperatures and much above precipitation including a late season snowfall. Two completely different winters, same event. The point is you have to look at the whole "Teleconnection". Since the east coast is obviously closer to the Atlantic Ocean, perhaps more emphasis should be place on those currents...namely the Gulf Stream. During the winter of 93/94 (El Nino winding down) Scranton PA (where I was stationed for the NWS at the time) had over 90 inches of snow, which broke a near 100 year record. Snow was on the ground for nearly a 100 days in a row (over a 100 at my place on the Western Plateau away from the Wyoming Valley). It took only two winters more, to break that record once again. This time a "La Nino" was happening but just about the same storm track occurred. The only difference, the snow only stayed on the ground about a month, and than melted away in one day with that horrible January Thaw that almost inundated the Wyoming Valley. The point is while El Nino is extremely important, it definently is not the only major contributor to the the whole "Teleconnection." And unfortunately, the "Teleconnection" some winters may oscillate, making the whole weather pattern that much more complicated to predict. HWJIV ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 12:49:41 -0700 From: Mike Martin Subject: It happened last night Here in Central Cal we've been in the throes of a monsoon the last couple of days. Last night Parts of Kern County were under a flood watch. Here in Porterville, over 50 miles away, we could see some cloud-cloud lightning. It was pretty cool. Anyway, I was watching the 11:00 news out of Bakersfield (Channel 30 - KBAK) and the weather guy made a mistake that was glaring to me, and I'm sure, to people in outlying areas. Here's what happened: He was showing hourly Doppler radar maps from 5 pm to 10:30 pm, showing how the storms were developing and moving eastward across Kern County. When he showed the 10:30 map, he showed some light green that looked like it could be light rain faling in the vicinity of Wasco, Shafter, and Tulare. And he said, "Notice to the north of Bakersfield in the Wasco and Tulare areas it appears that light rain is falling there." I had just driven through Tulare earlier on my way back from Fresno. The sky was as clear as it could be. Venus had set in the West, and Jupiter was high and bright in the southern sky. There was no rain in sight. Just the c-c lightning 50 miles away. In talking to the Hanford NWS people in the past (thanks Jan Null), they had told me that their Doppler is "notorious" for ground scatter and noise, especially with clear skies. It was obvious to me that it was this scatter that the TV Wx-man saw. But the question is, why didn't he know it? Why did he assume it was raining when it really wasn't? If I lived in Wasco, and heard it was raining, I would have gone outside immediately and seen that it wasn't. What does that say about his credibility? Why didn't he check the surface visible (or infrared, since it was night) to see if it really was raining? My main point is this - we met people need to do our best to keep our credibility high. I wouldn't have wanted to be that TV guy getting all kinds of calls from Wasco people telling me it wasn't raining. It really bugged me. Now I'm 2 cents closer to broke. Thanks. -- ******************************************************** Michael Martin Porterville High School Science Department 465 W. Olive Ave. Porterville, CA 93257 phone - 209.783.2311 fax - 209.782.7215 email - mmartin@porterville.k12.ca.us Web site - http://porterville.k12.ca.us/phs/phssci.html ******************************************************** Earthquakes don't kill people, buildings do. "A lion eating an animal is nothing compared to a lava flow eating a big building" - Maurice Krafft "A thing of beauty is not a thing to ignore" - Hothouse Flowers When you were born, you cried and the world rejoiced. Live your life in such a way that when you die, the world will cry and you will rejoice. ******************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 15:04:21 CDT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: "More" El Nino and other Comments > > >[snipped stuff about Lady Di...this is wx-talk ain't it?] > > > El Ninos of this century (excluding this one so far...since it looks as if > it might have already peaked) produced two completey different type of > winters in Philadelphia. The winter of 77/78 was by far the coldest winter > ever for my home town with the average some 0.3 or 0.4 degrees colder than > the previous coldest. With the exception of about a three week period in > late December through mid January...there was practically no snow. Snowfall > for that winter was a little below average. The cold fairly dry pattern > [ big 'ol snip ] That may have been true in Philly, but hardly in the rest of PA. The winter of '77-'78 was the snowiest ever in State College up to that time with 98.2" falling (since surpassed by the winter before last, I believe). January of 1978 was just an incredibly snowy month until the Ohio Blizzard on the 26th washed it all away with >1 inch of rain. And let's not forget the Feb 6 '78 blizzard in New England. You can hardly call the pattern "fairly dry" or the winter snowless. And was the winter of '77/'78 really colder than '81/'82? My memory fails me there. Scott -- Scott S. Lindstrom | The only other sound's scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | the sweep of easy http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | wind and downy flake ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 15:15:13 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site became a commissioned ASOS site at 1800 UTC today, 04 September 1997. RICHARD LLOYD JONES, JR. AIRPORT (KRVS) TULSA... OK Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 15:36:17 -0500 From: "Daniel W. McCarthy" Subject: Re: NWS Mission --------------25D85C9CA2E19B2A787FD483 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit rjhstorm wrote: > The problem I have with the supposition that the private sector will > take over > anylead role in forecasting is the liability issue. Not one private > service > with any sense of caution ever releases a forecast without making note > > somewhere in their contracts that the forecasts are based on NWS > datum. This > gives them an out in case something goes wrong with their forecast. > I disagree here. I have worked for a couple of private companies before joining my current employer. Not ONCE was the NWS referred to when a forecast was read over radio/TV or passed onto to a newspaper, electric company, or ski area, or road crew. Only when a Watch or Warning was the NWS given due. One company I worked for would only show the watch when it was issued. Then, rather than repeating the warning, would report where the severe storms were occurring and forecast where they would be in the next hour. The NWS was considered COMPETITION, and still IS with the fight for privatization of services. These companies lose meteorologists to the NWS or research community. The turnover can be great. A few companies even ask you to sign 3 year contracts to keep you on board. So, be careful. > I doubt that any reputable private forecasters will become the > "primary", > unless Congress does for them what they did for the Nuclear industry > and passes > strict liability limits. Not the same scale you say? - well, how many > people > have died in the US nuclear power plant accidents, versus the past > tornado > season. The issue of private companies issuing zone forecasts is ubsurd. First of all, Daniel Dix hit it on the head when he talked about that private firms are out for quantity vs quality. At companies I worked for, you had a dozen radios, a few TV stations, over a dozen newspapers, a dozen or so ski resorts, a lot of road crews, utilities, and even cab companies and bakeries! You tended to their needs not just the areas. Why, I had one radio station that would ask you to forecast 93 degrees because competions was on 91....or say drizzle rather than light rain because their competion was a "lite" station. If Robert Dale wants to challenge this aspect vs the NWS, myself, Jeff Craven, and others I know in the NWS that have worked for private industry would love to hash it out. In private indusry, you work for $18,000 to $25,000 annually so that you can work your tail off for the company. In the NWS you provide warnings and valuable information to the general public to save life and property. The way I see it, you work in privates to provide specific information for a specific clientele using "public domain" information, i.e. observations, model data, radar, satellite, based form the NWS. Please realize that the NWS is more than just the zone forecast you see or hear. It's research published in conferences and journals...it's model data devised by the most acute mathematical minds in the industry...it's observation taken hourly every day...and it's managers who work in trying to improve services to the publc. I think we all are tied together by one association...the AMS which gathers all of us into one coomunity. *********************************************************************** Daniel McCarthy _ _ _ Mesometeorologist Norman, OK My Account....My thoughts "Man creates Society...Society does not create the Man." .....respected theology instructor *********************************************************************** --------------25D85C9CA2E19B2A787FD483 Content-Type: text/html; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit rjhstorm wrote:
The problem I have with the supposition that the private sector will take over
anylead role in forecasting is the liability issue.  Not one private service
with any sense of caution ever releases a forecast without making note
somewhere in their contracts that the forecasts are based on NWS datum.  This
gives them an out in case something goes wrong with their forecast.
 
I disagree here.  I have worked for a couple of private companies before joining my current employer.  Not ONCE was the NWS referred to when a forecast was read over radio/TV or passed onto to a newspaper, electric company, or ski area, or road crew.  Only when a Watch or Warning was the NWS given due.  One company I worked for would only show the watch when it was issued. Then, rather than repeating the warning, would report where the severe storms were occurring and forecast where they would be in the next hour.  The NWS was considered COMPETITION, and still IS with the fight for privatization of services.  These companies lose meteorologists to the NWS or research community.  The turnover can be great.  A few companies even ask you to sign 3 year contracts to keep you on board. So, be careful.

I doubt that any reputable private forecasters will become the "primary",
unless Congress does for them what they did for the Nuclear industry and passes
strict liability limits.  Not the same scale you say? - well, how many people
have died in the US nuclear power plant accidents, versus the past tornado
season.

The issue of private companies issuing zone forecasts is ubsurd.  First of all, Daniel Dix hit it on the head when he talked about that private firms are out for quantity vs quality.  At companies I worked for, you had a dozen radios, a few TV stations, over a dozen newspapers, a dozen or so ski resorts, a lot of road crews, utilities, and even cab companies and bakeries!  You tended to their needs not just the areas.  Why, I had one radio station that would ask you to forecast 93 degrees because competions was on 91....or say drizzle rather than light rain because their competion was a "lite" station.  If Robert Dale wants to challenge this aspect vs the NWS, myself, Jeff Craven, and others I know in the NWS that have worked for private industry would love to hash it out.  In private indusry, you work for $18,000 to $25,000 annually so that you can work your tail off for the company.  In the NWS you provide warnings and valuable information to the general public to save life and property.  The way I see it, you work in privates to provide specific information for a specific clientele using "public domain" information, i.e. observations, model data, radar, satellite, based form the NWS.  Please realize that the NWS is more than just the zone forecast you see or hear.  It's research published in conferences and journals...it's model data devised by the most acute mathematical minds in the industry...it's observation taken hourly every day...and it's managers who work in trying to improve services to the publc.  I think we all are tied together by one association...the AMS which gathers all of us into one coomunity.

***********************************************************************
Daniel McCarthy
_ _ _ Mesometeorologist
Norman, OK

My Account....My thoughts

"Man creates Society...Society does not create the Man."
    .....respected theology instructor
***********************************************************************
  --------------25D85C9CA2E19B2A787FD483-- ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 16:49:25 -0400 From: Matt Rosier Subject: Re: NWS and private forecasters At 10:09 PM -0600 9/3/97, Paul E. Pettit wrote: >As I have stated before and will repeat again. The NWS will become a data >collection agency with enough mets remaining to issue severe weather >warnings and man the storm centers. Everything else will go private. >Automation and modernization has begun the transition in this direction. >Further automation will speed the process. The private sector mets will agree with this comment, the NWS mets probably will not, and that's how it is on this issue it appears...allow me to state my opinion as a high school student, wanting to go into the NWS field... This comment made above makes me angry, I don't feel that the day will ever come in which the NWS gives up all responsability but warning responsability, atleast not in my lifetime. As I have stated in previous posts, the private corporations will never be able to unite or come to some agreement on who issues what, I don't see 20 corporations working together, or one doing all the work by themselves. Second, even though the public does pay for all weather products through taxes, I don't feel that the public will want to pay for forecasts, and many of them may not have the money to (Stephen Hodanish made some good points in his post). And what happens if every private wx business decided to produce their own forecasts, how will the public be able to choose one business to get forecasts from, and you know how many people will sue this business or that business for incorrect forecasts, especially incorrect forecasts that are being paid for directly! If you go out and buy a new tv, and it doesn't work, you don't just say "oh well", you take it back and get your money back - now what happens when a private corporations busts a forecast and you are paying them X amount of dollars a month, don't tell me those people won't be angry, then again they can always take their money to another one of these private businesses, but that can get old after a while, because every sector, private, NWS, or broadcast will bust at times, and I know someone will say "well, we pay for forecasts from the NWS through tax money, and we don't get our money back when they are wrong"...well, this is different, first off you don't pay $20 a month of taxes that go solely to the NWS...and atleast the NWS provides services for the public, without you paying a monthly direct fee, the NWS also provides public programs such as Skywarn, and makes their phone number public, so you can call and complain. Will the private sector allow users to call in and complain? And can the private sector handle that? What about skywarn and other public outreach programs? What would happen to those? NOAA weather radio, I know the private sector can't set up anything like that to broadcast the forecasts over, unless they are planning to let the NWS broadcast the private sector forecasts for a fee - be realistic, the public isn't going to go for having to pay a direct fee for a forecast, and it is not going to happen! Matt ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 3 Sep 1997 to 4 Sep 1997 - Special issue **************************************************************** From - Fri Sep 5 09:48:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626781-15704>; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 05:51:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA10820; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 16:43:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6184084 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 16:43:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA27184 for ; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 16:42:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA17428 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 16:42:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709042142.QAA17428@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 16:42:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 624a906d64fd030cd0c11798bef6c4e1 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1038 Status: OR 331 ABPZ20 KNHC 042141 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU SEP 4 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KEVIN LOCATED ABOUT 525 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 1350 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS VERY LIMITED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 5 09:48:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626784-15698>; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 06:04:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA37306; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 16:57:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6184232 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 16:57:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA10382 for ; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 16:57:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA17464 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 16:57:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709042157.QAA17464@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 16:57:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c4bd4122763bcfc2928313cb1534af55 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 884 Status: OR 474 ABPA20 PHNL 042200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST THU SEP 04 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 10N167W...MORE THAN 950 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...IS MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. IT SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. THERE ARE NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 5 09:48:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626793-29231>; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 09:10:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA26908; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 20:03:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6185571 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 20:03:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA24564 for ; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 20:03:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id UAA17661 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 20:03:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709050103.UAA17661@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 20:03:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Bing (19w) Warning Nr 036 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e41147489794d6998791c9fe4d4761a0 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2190 Status: OR 834 WTPN31 PGTW 050300 1. TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WARNING NR 036 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- 43.1N8 161.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 43.1N8 161.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 45.9N8 166.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 48.6N8 174.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 36 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 51.1N7 175.2W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 050300Z8 POSITION 43.8N5 162.8E7 TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITHIN THE NEXT SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 5 09:48:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626807-29236>; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 09:26:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA19592; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 20:17:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6185693 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 20:17:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA28012 for ; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 20:17:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id UAA17714 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 20:17:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709050117.UAA17714@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 20:17:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Bing (19w) Warning Nr 036 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 03aafd718db68015b374ce240a87b30b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2289 Status: OR 313 WTPN31 PGTW 050300 1. TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WARNING NR 036 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: PAGE 02 RUHGSGG3937 UNCLAS 050000Z5 --- 43.1N8 161.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 43.1N8 161.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 45.9N8 166.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 29 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHGSGG3937 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 48.6N8 174.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 36 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 51.1N7 175.2W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 050300Z8 POSITION 43.8N5 162.8E7 TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITHIN THE NEXT SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST PAGE 04 RUHGSGG3937 UNCLAS GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #3937 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 5 13:59:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626851-29236>; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 10:48:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA26480; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 21:30:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6186131 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 21:30:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA17750 for ; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 21:30:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA17841 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 21:30:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709050230.VAA17841@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 21:30:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 010 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d040c3602514dbdb5342db0dbc7800b8 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2866 Status: OR 675 WTPN32 PGTW 050300 1. TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 010 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- 12.4N7 173.5E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.4N7 173.5E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 12.1N4 171.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 11.8N0 169.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 11.9N1 167.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 12.4N7 164.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 13.7N1 160.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING WESTWARD. THIS WARNING IS RELOCATED BASED ON ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 041055Z5 SCATTEROMETER DATA. TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) IS FORECAST TO TRACK WESTWARD TO WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSITY SLOWLY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050900Z4 (DTG 050753Z0), 051500Z1 (DTG 051353Z7), 052100Z8 (DTG 051953Z3) AND 060300Z9 (DTG 060153Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 5 13:59:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626833-29231>; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 10:47:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA16998; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 21:43:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6186211 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 21:43:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA37536 for ; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 21:40:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA17873 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 21:40:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709050240.VAA17873@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 21:40:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Kevin Forecast/advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b84109e17b44f21bb987499c6a9f425d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1783 Status: OR 834 WTPZ23 KNHC 050239 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM KEVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1397 0300Z FRI SEP 05 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 118.9W AT 05/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT 50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 118.9W AT 05/0300Z AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 118.3W FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 20.4N 120.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 20.9N 123.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 21.2N 125.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 118.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 21.5N 127.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 22.0N 130.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 5 13:59:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626311-29236>; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 11:00:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA17022; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 21:43:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6186216 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 21:43:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA44202 for ; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 21:40:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA17877 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 21:40:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709050240.VAA17877@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 21:40:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Kevin Discussion Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7d40cc94ccf1e6e2a42e172e610a73cb X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1623 Status: OR 835 WTPZ43 KNHC 050240 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM KEVIN DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU SEP 04 1997 T-NUMBERS OF 3.0 AND 3.5 FROM SAB AND TAFB RESPECTIVELY AND A BURSTING PATTERN IN THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS SUGGEST A SLIGHT STRENGTHENING TO 50 KTS. INITIAL MOTION IS 280/11 KTS. THIS IS SLIGHTLY SOUTH AND A LITTLE SLOWER THAN OUR PREVIOUS INITIAL MOTION. MODEL GUIDANCE HAS CHANGED SOMEWHAT. THE BAMD AND GFDL MODEL ARE IN AGREEMENT AND MOVE THE SYSTEM ALMOST DUE WEST. THE OTHER MODELS MOVE ON A MORE WEST- NORTHWEST COURSE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE GUIDANCE AND SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. A MORE WESTERLY COURSE WILL KEEP THE STORM OVER WARM SST FOR A LONGER PERIOD OF TIME. THEREFORE OUR INTENSITY FORECAST KEEPS THE STORM INVARIANT IN INTENSITY OUT TO 36 HOURS AND THEN BEGINS A DECREASE. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 05/0300Z 20.1N 118.9W 50 KTS 12HR VT 05/1200Z 20.4N 120.7W 50 KTS 24HR VT 06/0000Z 20.9N 123.1W 50 KTS 36HR VT 06/1200Z 21.2N 125.2W 50 KTS 48HR VT 07/0000Z 21.5N 127.2W 45 KTS 72HR VT 08/0000Z 22.0N 130.0W 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 5 13:59:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626836-29234>; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 12:43:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA30670; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 23:40:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6187026 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 23:40:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA23228 for ; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 23:40:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id XAA18004 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 4 Sep 1997 23:40:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709050440.XAA18004@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 23:40:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6560e701da9566bb3cf9b39bd751d4b1 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1019 Status: OR 495 ABPZ20 KNHC 050439 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU SEP 4 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KEVIN LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 1430 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS MINIMAL. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 5 13:59:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626807-29237>; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 13:17:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA30608; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 00:12:20 -0500 Message-Id: <199709050512.AAA30608@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 00:04:56 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 4 Sep 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: b394fac6bad54be22b0ac60e2dbcac45 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 9403 Status: OR There are 4 messages totalling 206 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. "More" El Nino and other Comments 2. Hail Suppression=Chaser Frustration? 3. NWS and private forecasters 4. It happened last night +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 17:27:04 -0400 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Re: "More" El Nino and other Comments On Thu, 4 Sep 1997 15:41:28 -0400 "Hugh W. Johnnson IV" wrote: > I am far from being an "El Nino" expert but I do know that the two strongest > El Ninos of this century (excluding this one so far...since it looks as if > it might have already peaked) produced two completey different type of > winters in Philadelphia. The winter of 77/78 was by far the coldest winter > ever for my home town with the average some 0.3 or 0.4 degrees colder than > the previous coldest. With the exception of about a three week period in > late December through mid January...there was practically no snow. Snowfall > for that winter was a little below average. The cold fairly dry pattern > actually started to establish itself as early as the first week in October, > and was "locked in" by November and did not relax until mid Feburary. > Contrast that to the winter of 82/83. A cold snap at the end of August had > people scared that a cold winter was in store...and I believe (though not > sure) that there many soothsayer tales that a harsh winter (worse than the > previous one) would unfold. Instead, just the opposite happened. The > temperature ananomaly increased upward, as the fall progressed. There was an > unprecedented warm spell in early December. The winter in general was the > mildest (not only in Philly) but across much of the country in years. > However...we of course had (at the time) the biggest snowstorm on record > with the infamous "Megalopolis Storm". Snow fall that winter was well above > average. Also both of the springs following those winters were remarkably > different. The spring of 77/78 was perhaps the nicest Spring I ever > remember, with well above average tempeatures, and slight below normal > precipitation. The 82/83 Springs was one of the nastiest, with much below > temperatures and much above precipitation including a late season snowfall. > The winter of 1977-78 was not during an El Nino. 1976-77 was, however. See: http://nic.fb4.noaa.gov:80/products/analysis_monitoring/ensostuff/ensoyears.html Best regards, chris ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** Late 1940s: "The stakes are large and with increased knowledge, I think that we should be able to abolish the evil effects of these hurricanes." - Nobel Laureate Irving Langmuir Early 1990s: The 1991 Bangladesh Cyclone: 130,000 fatalities 1992's Hurricane Andrew: $30,000,000,000 in damages ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 22:13:43 -0500 From: Kenneth Cook Subject: Re: Hail Suppression=Chaser Frustration? At 01:29 PM 9/4/97 EDT, you wrote: > >> Is there anything I can do to STOP this?! > >Yes there is? Write to the editorial section of local papers in the >area and attack cloud seading. > >Some ideas: >1) Cite hail damage figures from years before cloud seeding and >after cloud seeding. The damage is likely to be more now just due >to inflation. Of course don't mention inflation adjusted values. > >2) I think some government studies indicated that cloud seeding is >ineffective against hail. > >3) Document seeders around Supercells. If the storm damages property >or injures someone then balme the seeders. Say the storm went wild >after they seeded it and you never saw anything like it during >your years of chasing. Say you are positive that the seeders are >to blame and offer to testify so in court for those who want to sue. > >4) Say that the chemicals used may cuase cancer and are explosive. >Ask the readers if they want these maniacs flying in vicious storms >over there home and schools? > >5) Write legislators. Ask then to forbid seeding during tornado >watches. After all that seems reasonable. > >6) Blame then for any floods/droughts. After all if the storms >die then someone is getting less rain...right? But you can also >blame then for excessive rain too since seeders claim it increases >rain. > >None of these things need real proof. All that is needed is to >cause the public to think they may be true and they will take >care of the rest. > >Steve > Do you work for the National News somewhere? You have got to be kidding me if you really take what you say seriously. Sounds like the growing cancer of print and news media. Sorry about the off topic post but I can't stand this out right fibbing in someone elses backyard!!! Ken ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 22:13:40 -0500 From: Kenneth Cook Subject: NWS and private forecasters At 03:53 PM 9/4/97 -0500, you wrote: > >Privates can do just as well using guidance as NWS forecasters. Look at the >NWS Min and Max forecasts versus guidance, forecast error graph has >narrowed to a few degrees and hasn't changed much in last few years. Last I >hear guidance beat forecasters on precipitation. I would like you to show >me some data to back up your facts. If I'm wrong on mean forecast error for >temp and precip, give me facts to prove me wrong and I will eat some crow. > Although I do agree that privates may perform as well as NWS forecasters given the same circumstances, since we are meteorologists, (actually probably better with the current residual feeling from the budget and RIFs taken into account) I am dissapointed that you would make such false statements without knowing the facts. In front of me is the most recent version of the published official information about verification across the USA. While paging through it, I have found guite a different answer than your accusation that MOS has verified better than the human forecasters. According to TDL Office Note 97-3 "AFOS-Era Verification of Guidance and Local Aviation/Public Weather Forecasts--NO. 23" (Dagostaro and Dallavalle) August 1997, there is not one instance where MOS is improved over NWS forecasters. For the conterminous U.S. 00z cycle Mean Absolute Error is as follows: 24hr 36hr 48hr 60hr NWS 2.9F 3.4 3.8 4.3 NGM 3.1 3.5 4.0 4.4 For 12z as above: 24hr 36hr 48hr 60hr NWS 3.0 3.4 3.8 4.3 NGM 3.2 3.7 3.9 4.5 If you break it down by regions, the data are similiar. They are also similiar for Alaska. (I will save the bandwidth) For POP, the story is the same for the conterminous U.S. calculated together. Note that Mean Absolute Error is not calculated but, % improvement over NGM MOS is. POP 00z: 12-24hr pd 24-36 36-48 NWS 4.2% 2.1 1.1 00z: 3.3 2.2 1.9 If you break it down by regions there are only 4 out of the 30 different categories (after adding all of the periods per region and Alaska) which MOS beat the forecasters (with 3 being -.2% and the other being -3.4% 30-42hr period in Alaska). Note that these are calculated 12 hour time periods, for cont. US beginning at 12-24hr and beginning at 18h-30r in Alaska (Alaska is 18-30, 30,42, and 42-54. Although I apologize for rambling on in Stats in think it necessary to back up my argument. I have been watching this thread and IMO, all it is, is a group of people that all think that they are the best forecasters. I or my group of people in my office can out forecast your group of cronies if given the chance. Who cares? The matter cannot be resolved since the NWS' forecasts and warnings are law. Ken ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 02:33:00 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: It happened last night On Sep 4, Mike Martin's Macintosh mailed: > In talking to the Hanford NWS people in the past (thanks Jan Null), they > had told me that their Doppler is "notorious" for ground scatter and > noise, especially with clear skies. > It's not just Hanford's Doppler radar -- it's the improved sensitivity (especially in clear air mode) of the WSR-88D systems. Check out what fine targets mosquitoes make when the nocturnal inversion sets up over the Great Lakes region... :-) http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb/clear_air.html -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS FIRSTT Program CIMSS | University of Wisconsin - Madison asb@ty.ssec.wisc.edu | www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 4 Sep 1997 ********************************** From - Fri Sep 5 17:11:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626860-29237>; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 14:39:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA35274; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 01:38:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6187570 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 01:37:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA35240 for ; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 01:37:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA18141 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 01:37:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709050637.BAA18141@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 01:37:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8c5b2f7e720f44cc8d1e1b8eccb2b5cc X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2195 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 354 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 050151Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 050153Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 050000Z5 TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 43.1N8 161.5E3 AND WAS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WARNING NR 36 (WTPN31 PGTW 050300)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 050000Z5 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WAS LOCATED AT 12.4N7 173.5E6 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 10 RELOCATED (WTPN32 PGTW 050300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5S5 164E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7S7 161E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/HILDEBRAND/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 5 17:11:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626865-29237>; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 14:49:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA35304; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 01:38:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6187575 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 01:38:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA31654 for ; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 01:37:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA18140 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 01:37:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709050637.BAA18140@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 01:37:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b0e8a5930a0e1ad1721b3d4e592cc4ee X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2141 Status: OR 354 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 050151Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 050153Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 050000Z5 TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 43.1N8 161.5E3 AND WAS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WARNING NR 36 (WTPN31 PGTW 050300)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 050000Z5 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WAS LOCATED AT 12.4N7 173.5E6 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 10 RELOCATED (WTPN32 PGTW 050300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5S5 164E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7S7 161E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/HILDEBRAND/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 5 17:11:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626876-29234>; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 15:11:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA20226; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 02:03:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6187666 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 02:03:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA17106 for ; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 02:03:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA18169 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 02:03:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709050703.CAA18169@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 02:03:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1e965375dc00e3b3df69334aca3ff381 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 509 Status: OR 770 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 5 17:11:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626899-29231>; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 16:00:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA31640; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 02:51:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6187803 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 02:51:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA17028 for ; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 02:51:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA18199 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 02:51:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709050751.CAA18199@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 02:51:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 02c (oliwa) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1f5711784e5259a01ebdf87ceaf21a8f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2431 Status: OR 523 WTPN32 PGTW 050900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02C (OLIWA) WARNING NR 011 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050600Z1 --- 13.5N9 172.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N9 172.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 14.0N5 170.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 14.4N9 167.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 14.6N1 165.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 14.8N3 163.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 15.2N8 158.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02C (OLIWA) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK WESTWARD AND SLOWLY INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z1 (DTG 051353Z7), 052100Z8 (DTG 051953Z3), 060300Z9 (DTG 060153Z5), AND 060900Z5 (DTG 060753Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) (WTPN31 PGTW 050300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 5 17:11:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626893-29237>; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 16:05:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA27192; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 03:03:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6187812 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 03:03:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA24862 for ; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 03:03:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA18334 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 03:03:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709050803.DAA18334@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 03:03:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2d48da7b618bd9fdd60184f03539374f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2191 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 658 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 050151Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 050153Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 050000Z5 TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 43.1N8 161.5E3 AND WAS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WARNING NR 36 (WTPN31 PGTW 050300)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 050000Z5 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WAS LOCATED AT 12.4N7 173.5E6 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 10 RELOCATED (WTPN32 PGTW 050300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL STURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5S5 164E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7S7 161E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTR(#QA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM TUNED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/HILDEBRAND/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 5 17:11:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626876-29237>; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 16:09:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA27216; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 03:03:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6187817 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 03:03:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA09244 for ; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 03:03:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA18333 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 03:03:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709050803.DAA18333@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 03:03:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 668765164efd16b47ca0b59121a3c784 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2137 Status: OR 658 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 050151Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 050153Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 050000Z5 TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 43.1N8 161.5E3 AND WAS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WARNING NR 36 (WTPN31 PGTW 050300)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 050000Z5 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WAS LOCATED AT 12.4N7 173.5E6 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 10 RELOCATED (WTPN32 PGTW 050300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL STURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5S5 164E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7S7 161E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTR(#QA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM TUNED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/HILDEBRAND/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 5 17:11:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626894-29231>; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 16:27:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA44176; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 03:20:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6187871 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 03:20:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA29024 for ; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 03:20:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA18355 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 03:20:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709050820.DAA18355@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 03:20:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Topical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ff8a58b09d2f200bab3a4aa1c6d5c798 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2187 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 894 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TOPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 050151Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 050153Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 050000Z5 TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 43.1N8 161.5E3 AND WAS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WARNING NR 36 (WTPN31 PGTW 050300)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 050000Z5 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WAS LOCATED AT 12.4N7 173.5E6 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 10 RELOCATED (WTPN32 PGTW 050300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL STURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5S5 164E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7S7 161E8. ANIMAD VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTR($QA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM TUNED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIMTHE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/HILDEBRAND/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 5 17:11:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626906-29237>; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 16:27:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA44150; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 03:20:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6187866 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 03:20:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA09308 for ; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 03:20:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA18354 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 03:20:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709050820.DAA18354@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 03:20:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Topical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4270fb9b9b50097e2ea4209cb2d3ae92 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2133 Status: OR 894 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TOPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 050151Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 050153Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 050000Z5 TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 43.1N8 161.5E3 AND WAS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) WARNING NR 36 (WTPN31 PGTW 050300)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 050000Z5 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WAS LOCATED AT 12.4N7 173.5E6 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 10 RELOCATED (WTPN32 PGTW 050300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL STURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5S5 164E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7S7 161E8. ANIMAD VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTR($QA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM TUNED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIMTHE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/HILDEBRAND/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 5 17:11:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626876-29231>; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 16:32:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA22530; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 03:23:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6187876 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 03:23:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA31214 for ; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 03:23:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA18361 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 03:23:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709050823.DAA18361@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 03:23:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 02c (oliwa) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 53690c4e1da16db846d9f9bb3ab4e2e8 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2530 Status: OR 921 WTPN32 PGTW 050900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02C (OLIWA) WARNING NR 011 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050600Z1 --- 13.5N9 172.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N9 172.8E8 --- PAGE 03 RUHGSGG4333 UNCLAS FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 14.0N5 170.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 14.4N9 167.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 14.6N1 165.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 14.8N3 163.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG4333 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 15.2N8 158.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02C (OLIWA) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK WESTWARD AND SLOWLY INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z1 (DTG 051353Z7), 052100Z8 (DTG 051953Z3), 060300Z9 (DTG 060153Z5), AND 060900Z5 (DTG 060753Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) (WTPN31 PGTW 050300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS PAGE 05 RUHGSGG4333 UNCLAS SYSTEM.// BT #4333 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 5 17:11:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626873-29234>; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 16:53:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA22738; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 03:48:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6187952 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 03:48:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA17022 for ; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 03:48:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA18395 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 03:48:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709050848.DAA18395@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 03:48:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Kevin Forecast/advisory Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: dfcdddd80478d47e128c67f005fe79d7 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1761 Status: OR 167 WTPZ23 KNHC 050848 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM KEVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1397 0900Z FRI SEP 05 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 119.6W AT 05/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT 50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 119.6W AT 05/0900Z AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 119.0W FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 21.4N 121.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 22.1N 123.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 22.8N 125.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N 119.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 23.3N 127.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 24.4N 131.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 5 17:11:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626898-29231>; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 16:57:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA22572; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 03:49:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6187957 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 03:49:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA24856 for ; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 03:49:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA18399 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 03:49:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709050849.DAA18399@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 03:49:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Kevin Discussion Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c9a8a2448bc6743efe3260d41ea77b15 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1579 Status: OR 185 WTPZ43 KNHC 050849 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM KEVIN DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT FRI SEP 05 1997 ALTHOUGH THE CONVECTION HAS DECREASED SOMEWHAT... T-NUMBERS OF 3.5 FROM BOTH SAB AND TAFB STILL SUPPORT A 50 KT MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. INITIAL MOTION IS BACK TO 290/12 KTS. MODEL GUIDANCE HAS CHANGED DRAMATICALLY...THE BAMD NOW RECURVES THE STORM TO THE NORTH IN 72 HOURS WHILE THE GFDL CONTINUES WESTWARD BUT SLOWS IT DOWN AFTER 24 HOURS. SEVERAL OF THE OTHER MODELS ARE ALSO RECURVING THE SYSTEM TO THE NORTH IN RESPONSE TO A TROUGH TO THE NORTH. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SLIGHTLY NORTH OF THE GFDL BUT FASTER...AND SOUTH OF THE OTHER GUIDANCE. SINCE THE FORECAST TRACK TAKES THE STORM INTO COOLER WATER SOONER WHEN COMPARED TO THE LAST FORECAST THE STORM IS ALSO FORECAST TO WEAKEN SOONER. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 05/0900Z 20.8N 119.6W 50 KTS 12HR VT 05/1800Z 21.4N 121.5W 50 KTS 24HR VT 06/0600Z 22.1N 123.7W 50 KTS 36HR VT 06/1800Z 22.8N 125.8W 45 KTS 48HR VT 07/0600Z 23.3N 127.7W 40 KTS 72HR VT 08/0600Z 24.4N 131.2W 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 5 21:29:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626903-29231>; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 18:10:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA33368; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 05:05:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6188348 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 05:05:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA36882 for ; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 05:05:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA18464 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 05:05:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709051005.FAA18464@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 05:05:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 80e0c6cc6f97388d6b7cbdfce032d1be X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 675 Status: OR 229 ABPA20 PHNL 051000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210AM HST FRIDAY SEPTEMBER 5 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH SATURDAY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 5 21:29:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626895-29236>; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 18:20:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA29142; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 05:16:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6188394 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 05:16:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA25794 for ; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 05:16:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA18472 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 05:16:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709051016.FAA18472@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 05:16:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2920cc3e8883f57908f544e65b688624 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 855 Status: OR 460 ABPZ20 KNHC 051016 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI SEP 5 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KEVIN LOCATED ABOUT 625 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626889-29234>; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 21:39:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA25042; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 08:33:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6189610 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 08:32:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA30654 for ; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 08:32:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id IAA18643 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 08:32:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709051332.IAA18643@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 08:32:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 04e9b3b17f9116ce7511b5b2e419b37f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2531 Status: OR 210 WTPN32 PGTW 051500 1. TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 012 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02C 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z8 --- 14.3N8 171.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.3N8 171.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 14.8N3 169.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 15.2N8 166.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 15.6N2 164.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 15.9N5 162.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 16.4N1 157.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 051500Z1 POSITION 14.4N9 171.0E9 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD AND INTENSIFY SLOWLY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z8 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z8, 060300Z9, 060900Z5 AND 061500Z2. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) (WTPN31 PGTW) WARNING FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626913-29237>; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 22:47:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA43534; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 09:44:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6190096 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 09:43:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA33470 for ; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 09:43:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA18908 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 09:43:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709051443.JAA18908@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 09:43:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Kevin Forecast/advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 01fb02e2344a8c82a190ae2f2128017d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1758 Status: OR 560 WTPZ23 KNHC 051444 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM KEVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1397 1500Z FRI SEP 05 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 120.4W AT 05/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT 50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 120.4W AT 05/1500Z AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 119.9W FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 21.4N 121.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.1N 123.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 22.6N 125.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N 120.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 23.2N 127.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 24.0N 130.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z GROSS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626928-29234>; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 22:47:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA24456; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 09:44:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6190109 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 09:44:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA20342 for ; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 09:44:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA18913 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 09:44:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709051444.JAA18913@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 09:44:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Kevin Discussion Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9cc8519cecd2c65c7dc73e7e59d1246b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1783 Status: OR 561 WTPZ43 KNHC 051445 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM KEVIN DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI SEP 05 1997 WE HAVE THE USUAL PROBLEM OF FINDING THE SYSTEM AFTER A NIGHT OF INFRARED IMAGERY. TAFB AND SAB 12Z POSITIONS ARE NORTHEAST OF THE POSITION SELECTED FOR THE BEST TRACK BASED ON MORE CURRENT IMAGERY AND CONTINUITY. THE DVORAK CI NUMBERS ARE 3.5 WITH T NUMBERS AT 3.0 FROM BOTH CENTERS. WE ARE MAINTAINING THE INTENSITY AT 50 KT. INITIAL MOTION IS 285/11. MODEL GUIDANCE BASED ON DEEP LAYER MEANS TEND TO RECURVE KEVIN TO THE NORTHEAST WITH TIME WHILE CLIPER...THE SHALLOW AND MORE DYNAMIC MODELS MAINTAIN THE CURRENT TRACK OR EVEN PROJECT IT TO THE SOUTHWEST. SINCE THE STORM IS ABOUT TO CROSS THE 26 DEGREE SST ISOTHERM...WE ARE FORECASTING A WEAKENING TREND TO DEPRESSION INTENSITY AT 72 HOURS. BELIEVING THAT THE WEAKENING WILL DECOUPLE KEVIN FROM THE UPPER LAYERS...WE MAINTAIN WEST NORTHWEST TRACK FOR THE SHORT TERM AND FORECAST A MORE WESTERLY TRACK IN THE LATTER OF THE FORECAST PERIODS. GROSS FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 05/1500Z 21.0N 120.4W 50 KTS 12HR VT 06/0000Z 21.4N 121.9W 50 KTS 24HR VT 06/1200Z 22.1N 123.7W 50 KTS 36HR VT 07/0000Z 22.6N 125.4W 45 KTS 48HR VT 07/1200Z 23.2N 127.0W 35 KTS 72HR VT 08/1200Z 24.0N 130.0W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626922-29236>; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 00:59:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA35006; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 11:54:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6191460 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 11:54:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA45964 for ; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 11:54:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id LAA19233 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 11:54:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709051654.LAA19233@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 11:54:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 01a0d14d223160cd430f3611c1b3ce47 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 843 Status: OR 430 ABPZ20 KNHC 051654 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI SEP 5 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KEVIN LOCATED ABOUT 680 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. GROSS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626925-29237>; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 02:18:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA24546; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 12:47:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6191933 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 12:47:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA17010 for ; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 12:46:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA19420 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 12:46:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709051746.MAA19420@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 12:46:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c76747f2a200ae19acbda9d445cf2ba0 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 930 Status: OR 148 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/051800Z TO 061800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626911-29236>; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 01:49:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA16582; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 12:47:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6191926 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 12:46:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA25972 for ; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 12:46:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA19421 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 12:46:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709051746.MAA19421@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 12:46:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f5f99ad27975b61511d7c25d335170a6 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 981 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 148 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/051800Z TO 061800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626925-29236>; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 01:50:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA14832; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 12:48:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6191952 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 12:48:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA14736 for ; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 12:48:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA19441 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 12:48:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709051748.MAA19441@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 12:48:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8b6787cb722fc60bcd437b83b40e45ba X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2521 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 156 ABPW10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/051800Z/060600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 051353Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 051200Z8 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WAS LOCATED AT 13.5N9 172.8E8 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 12 (WTPN32 PGTW 051500)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13N4 133E7. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THIS SYSTEM=S DEVELOPMENT IS BEING INHIBITED BY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE TO THE SOUTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5S5 164E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11S2 159E5. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT ALL OF THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM CENTER HAS DISSIPATED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE DEVELOPMENT IS BEING INHIBITED BY MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TO THE SOUTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626924-29234>; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 01:57:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA16404; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 12:48:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6191959 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 12:48:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA34706 for ; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 12:48:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA19440 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 12:48:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709051748.MAA19440@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 12:48:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 374265e3da21f02e551a8f29717df617 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2467 Status: OR 156 ABPW10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/051800Z/060600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 051353Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 051200Z8 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WAS LOCATED AT 13.5N9 172.8E8 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 12 (WTPN32 PGTW 051500)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13N4 133E7. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THIS SYSTEM=S DEVELOPMENT IS BEING INHIBITED BY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE TO THE SOUTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5S5 164E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11S2 159E5. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT ALL OF THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM CENTER HAS DISSIPATED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE DEVELOPMENT IS BEING INHIBITED BY MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TO THE SOUTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626922-29234>; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 02:28:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA13760; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 13:25:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6192215 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 13:25:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA13668 for ; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 13:25:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id NAA19537 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 13:25:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709051825.NAA19537@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 13:25:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2c55c19b788a71a3f680e5bae5262f76 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1933 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 897 ABPW10 PGTW 051800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/051800Z/060600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 051353Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 051200Z8 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WAS LOCATED AT 13.5N9 172.8E8 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 12 (WTPN32 PGTW 051500)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13N4 133E7. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THIS SYSTEM=S DEVELOPMENT IS BEING INHIBITED BY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE TO THE SOUTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. 1 TROPIAA ?ISURBANCE SUMMARY: (1 THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATES?B 15+ Q BOCATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626929-29236>; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 02:39:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA26238; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 13:25:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6192210 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 13:25:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA21602 for ; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 13:25:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id NAA19536 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 13:25:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709051825.NAA19536@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 13:25:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6163c8a89d347b08c0b81721d1cf9a60 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1879 Status: OR 897 ABPW10 PGTW 051800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/051800Z/060600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 051353Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 051200Z8 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WAS LOCATED AT 13.5N9 172.8E8 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 12 (WTPN32 PGTW 051500)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13N4 133E7. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THIS SYSTEM=S DEVELOPMENT IS BEING INHIBITED BY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE TO THE SOUTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. 1 TROPIAA ?ISURBANCE SUMMARY: (1 THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATES?B 15+ Q BOCATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626929-29236>; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 02:40:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA29798; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 13:38:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6192337 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 13:38:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA39946 for ; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 13:38:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id NAA19593 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 13:38:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709051838.NAA19593@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 13:38:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1a8c329dcd385ecda326f38a6c594d68 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2663 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 185 ABPW10 PGTW 051800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/051800Z/060600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 051353Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 051200Z8 TROPICALF$M .? () WAS LOCATED AT 13.5N9 172.8E8 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTCAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 12 (WTPN32 PGTW 051500)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13N4 133E7. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THIS SYSTEM=S DEVELOPMENT IS BEING INHIBITED BY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE TO THE SOUTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5S5 164E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11S2 159E5. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT ALL OF THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM CENTER HAS DISSIPATED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE DEVELOPMENT IS BEING INHIBITED BY MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TO THE SOUTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. REISSUED TO ADD THE POOR AREA IN 1.B.(1) AND TO DOWNGRADE THE AREA IN 2.B.(1) FROM FAIR TO POOR. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: ADD REISSUE STATEMENT. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626929-29237>; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 02:47:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA04410; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 13:38:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6192330 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 13:38:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA24840 for ; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 13:38:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id NAA19592 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 13:38:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709051838.NAA19592@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 13:38:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ddd9e407bf1aa6f511ec10d8f95e4e80 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2609 Status: OR 185 ABPW10 PGTW 051800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/051800Z/060600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 051353Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 051200Z8 TROPICALF$M .? () WAS LOCATED AT 13.5N9 172.8E8 AND WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTCAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 12 (WTPN32 PGTW 051500)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13N4 133E7. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THIS SYSTEM=S DEVELOPMENT IS BEING INHIBITED BY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE TO THE SOUTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5S5 164E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11S2 159E5. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT ALL OF THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM CENTER HAS DISSIPATED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE DEVELOPMENT IS BEING INHIBITED BY MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TO THE SOUTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. REISSUED TO ADD THE POOR AREA IN 1.B.(1) AND TO DOWNGRADE THE AREA IN 2.B.(1) FROM FAIR TO POOR. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: ADD REISSUE STATEMENT. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626945-29236>; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 04:13:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA09746; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 14:58:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6193038 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 14:58:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA29670 for ; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 14:58:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id OAA20111 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 14:58:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709051958.OAA20111@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 14:58:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c1dd4a1c067563f36601b52412765c38 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2750 Status: OR 425 WTPN32 PGTW 052100 1. TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- 14.8N3 170.4E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.8N3 170.4E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 15.4N0 168.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 15.9N5 166.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 16.3N0 163.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 16.7N4 161.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 17.5N3 156.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 052100Z8 POSITION 14.9N4 169.9E5 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z9, 060900Z5, 061500Z2 AND 062100Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM BING (19W) (WTPN31 PGTW) WARNING FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626944-29236>; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 04:39:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA45946; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 15:30:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6193332 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 15:30:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA36372 for ; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 15:30:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA20195 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 15:30:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709052030.PAA20195@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 15:30:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Kevin Discussion Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3a0f64943c67409e6cd66e483e2ac85b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1783 Status: OR 949 WTPZ43 KNHC 052030 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM KEVIN DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI SEP 05 1997 ALTHOUGH WE CHOSE AN INITIAL POSITION AT 12Z TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE INFRARED FIXES GIVEN BY TAFB AND SAB...WE DID NOT GO FAR ENOUGH TO THE SOUTHWEST. VISIBLE IMAGERY CLEARLY SHOWS THE 18Z CENTER OF KEVIN...NOW DEVOID OF DEEP CONVECTION...SOME 2 DEGREES TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE 12Z FIXES. THE STRATOCU FIELD IS BEING SWEPT INTO THE CENTER OVER THE WESTERN QUADRANTS. THE CURRENT INTENSITY HAS BEEN REDUCED TO 45 KNOTS AS THE SYSTEM WINDS DOWN. WE ARE FORECASTING KEVIN TO BECOME A DISSIPATING DEPRESSION IN 36 HOURS. INITIAL MOTION IS 280/11...SLIGHTLY MORE WESTERLY THAN WAS SUSPECTED EARLIER. MODEL GUIDANCE BASED ON DEEP LAYER MEANS CONTINUES TO RECURVE KEVIN TO THE NORTHEAST WITH TIME WHILE CLIPER...THE SHALLOW AND MORE DYNAMIC MODELS MAINTAIN THE CURRENT TRACK OR EVEN PROJECT IT TO THE SOUTHWEST. BECAUSE THE STORM IS WEAKENING...WE BELIEVE THAT KEVIN...DECOUPLED FROM THE UPPER LAYERS...WILL MAINTAIN THE MORE WESTWARD TRACK IT HAS ASSUMED UNTIL DISSIPATION. GROSS FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 05/2100Z 20.4N 122.0W 45 KTS 12HR VT 06/0600Z 20.8N 123.7W 40 KTS 24HR VT 06/1800Z 21.2N 125.8W 35 KTS 36HR VT 07/0600Z 21.6N 127.6W 30 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626952-29237>; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 04:42:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA43848; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 15:34:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6193384 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 15:34:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA14130 for ; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 15:34:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA20208 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 15:34:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709052034.PAA20208@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 15:34:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Kevin Forecast/advisory Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f4dbacd4ffdcfaa5e2cd6a2823410502 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1430 Status: OR 996 WTPZ23 KNHC 052034 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM KEVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1397 2100Z FRI SEP 05 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 122.0W AT 05/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 122.0W AT 05/2100Z AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 121.5W FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 20.8N 123.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 21.2N 125.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 40 KT 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 21.6N 127.6W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.4N 122.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z GROSS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626957-29237>; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 05:49:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA12534; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 16:45:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6194005 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 16:45:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA24024 for ; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 16:45:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA20405 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 16:45:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709052145.QAA20405@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 16:45:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e2a998ea21437c05c2a672f32f213187 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 842 Status: OR 020 ABPZ20 KNHC 052145 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI SEP 5 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KEVIN LOCATED ABOUT 790 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. GROSS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626963-29237>; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 06:05:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA26288; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 17:02:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6194125 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 17:02:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA27028 for ; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 17:02:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA20429 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 17:02:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709052202.RAA20429@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 17:02:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ed586ee0c5f42683a91a01b43a2d2888 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 932 Status: OR 180 ABPA20 PHNL 052200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST FRIDAY SEPTEMBER 5 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 1130 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI NEAR 09N 170 IS MOVING WEST SLOWLY. THE DISTURBANCE IS NOW POORLY ORGANIZED BUT OUR COMPUTER MODELS SHOW THAT IT MAY SLOWLY STRENGTHEN. WE WILL KEEP AN EYE ON IT FOR ANY SIGNS OF INTENSIFICATION. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH SATURDAY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626978-15697>; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 10:40:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA25688; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 21:36:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6196594 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 21:36:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA22590 for ; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 21:36:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA20930 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 21:36:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709060236.VAA20930@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 21:36:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Kevin Discussion Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c060e7cbce2f28be8154f65fcdafc3fb X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1543 Status: OR 419 WTPZ43 KNHC 060236 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM KEVIN DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI SEP 05 1997 VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW LEVEL CENTER OF KEVIN MOVING WESTWARD OR 275/11. THE SYSTEM IS WINDING DOWN WITH ONE OR TWO SMALL THUNDERSTORMS POPPING-UP. CIRRUS TRACERS MOVING FROM SOUTHWEST TOWARD THE NORTHEAST SHOW UPPER LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE LOW LEVEL CENTER WHICH SHOULD PREVENT ANY REDEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS WHEN THE SYSTEM SHOULD DISSIPATE. INITIAL MOTION IS 275/11. MODEL GUIDANCE BASED ON DEEP LAYER MEANS CONTINUES TO RECURVE KEVIN TO THE NORTHEAST WITH TIME WHILE CLIPER...THE SHALLOW AND MORE DYNAMIC MODELS MAINTAIN THE CURRENT TRACK OR EVEN PROJECT IT TO THE SOUTHWEST. SINCE THE STORM IS WEAKENING...DECOUPLED FROM THE UPPER LAYERS...IT SHOULD MAINTAIN THE WESTWARD TRACK IT HAS ASSUMED UNTIL DISSIPATION. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/0300Z 20.5N 122.9W 40 KTS 12HR VT 06/1200Z 20.6N 124.6W 30 KTS 24HR VT 07/0000Z 20.7N 127.0W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626971-15697>; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 10:41:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA13686; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 21:36:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6196599 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 21:36:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA44102 for ; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 21:36:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA20934 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 21:36:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709060236.VAA20934@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 21:36:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Kevin Forecast/advisory Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a95863e80fa10089aed8bc36cb275a4f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1338 Status: OR 420 WTPZ23 KNHC 060237 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM KEVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1397 0300Z SAT SEP 06 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 122.9W AT 06/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT....... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 122.9W AT 06/0300Z AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 122.4W FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 20.6N 124.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 20.7N 127.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 122.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626971-15698>; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 10:52:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA40956; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 21:46:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6196675 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 21:46:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA09960 for ; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 21:46:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA20971 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 21:45:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709060245.VAA20971@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 21:45:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: abd68463e5101892322bc8f3bb663976 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2507 Status: OR 537 WTPN32 PGTW 060300 1. TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- 15.2N8 171.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N8 171.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 16.1N8 169.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 16.8N5 167.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 17.4N2 165.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 17.7N5 162.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 18.3N2 156.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 060300Z9 15.4N0 170.6E4 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO TRACK FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. FORECAST INTENSITIES AND CORRESPONDING WIND RADII ADJUSTED TO REFLECT SYSTEM=S SLOW ORGANIZATION AND SMALLER THAN AVERAGE SIZE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060900Z5, 061500Z2, 062100Z9 AND 070300Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626998-15698>; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 12:50:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA35020; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 23:26:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6197285 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 23:26:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA26002 for ; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 23:26:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id XAA21073 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 5 Sep 1997 23:26:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709060426.XAA21073@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 23:26:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 064f009dc8559e4c01788dfaea450d4d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 854 Status: OR 070 ABPZ20 KNHC 060425 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI SEP 5 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM KEVIN LOCATED ABOUT 875 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626998-15698>; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 13:09:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAB43808; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 00:04:20 -0500 Message-Id: <199709060504.AAB43808@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Sep 1997 00:01:35 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 4 Sep 1997 to 5 Sep 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 2877b6eb424405064e740d88dd3aa1e3 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 26758 Status: OR There are 16 messages totalling 609 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Outsourcing of NWS 2. It happened last night - a correction 3. ALL: SCHEDULED DATA OUTAGE 4. Revenge of El Nino-Part XVII-The Final Chapter 5. COD SITE/POWER OUTAGE 6. ASOS Commissioning Notice 7. NWS and private forecasters (2) 8. College of DuPage NEXLAB web site down 9. WE'RE BACK UP 10. National Weather Asssociation Newsletter topics 11. Wx Hype History (2) 12. El Nino $$$ 13. New RS SAME WX Radio Questions 14. It happened last night +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 09:22:41 -0400 From: Mark Stunder Subject: Outsourcing of NWS I've been following the private company providing zone forecasts etc. thread with interest. Before you get the flamethrowers out about what I say below, realize that I am NOT advocating this. I am merely indicating what many parts of the federal govt. have already done, with success.......................... The NWS/private WX-TALK thread has focused on private companies (e.g. Acu-WX) taking over (among other things) forecast responsibilities. Counter-arguments have included the fact that the private forecasters would be several states away, the private company would need massive amounts of mets, there could be nonresponsiveness etc. However, one alternative is to outsource the NWS. In other words outsourced (private) mets would be in the NWS office and not be located remotely. They would, for all intents and purposes, act like govt. employees, except that they would be privates. (draw their paycheck from the private company, etc. ) They field calls from the public and do everything else. There would be no true NWS mets, except perhaps the MIC. The practice of outsourcing is quite common in the fed. government and has been shown to save money etc. In fact, many times when I talk to govt. agencies these days I really don't know if I'm talking to a true govt. employee or a contractor performing govt. employee duties. Also, it promotes competition etc. In many outsourcing type contracts, incentives are given for outstanding service etc. Once again, I am just throwing this point or option out into the debate. However, if, down the road the powers that be dictate that the only choice is to let the privates do the forecasts, I would argue that outsourcing is MUCH BETTER than having the privates do forecasting from their large forecast centers. -Mark Stunder ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 07:45:33 -0700 From: Mike Martin Subject: It happened last night - a correction I made a small but possible significant error in my post of yesterday: the TV station was not Channel 30 KBAK, it was Channel 17 KGET, and it wasn't Mr. Elliot, the regular weathercaster. I could make excuses for my error, and that ceratainly would be the American Way, but I can't. I just blew it. Sorry. Now that the record is straight.... -- ******************************************************** Michael Martin Porterville High School Science Department 465 W. Olive Ave. Porterville, CA 93257 phone - 209.783.2311 fax - 209.782.7215 email - mmartin@porterville.k12.ca.us Web site - http://porterville.k12.ca.us/phs/phssci.html ******************************************************** Earthquakes don't kill people, buildings do. "A lion eating an animal is nothing compared to a lava flow eating a big building" - Maurice Krafft "A thing of beauty is not a thing to ignore" - Hothouse Flowers When you were born, you cried and the world rejoiced. Live your life in such a way that when you die, the world will cry and you will rejoice. ******************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 10:21:23 +0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: ALL: SCHEDULED DATA OUTAGE I have been informed by campus administration that two separate power outages have been scheduled this weekend. The first outage will occur from 1AM to 5AM CDT Saturday Sept 6. The second outage is scheduled from 10PM Saturday Sept 6 to 9AM CDT Sunday Sept 7. During this time, no weather data will be sent to any of the weather lists (lists such as WX-ATLAN, WX-TROPL, WX-STORM, etc...). The *actual* data outage may be shorter or lonnger depending upon a nummber of factors. Sorry for the inconvenience. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 11:30:44 -0400 From: "Richard L. Slonaker" Subject: Revenge of El Nino-Part XVII-The Final Chapter > From: "Hugh W. Johnnson IV" > Subject: "More" El Nino and other Comments > > I am far from being an "El Nino" expert but I do know that the two strongest > El Ninos of this century (excluding this one so far...since it looks as if > it might have already peaked) produced two completey different type of > winters in Philadelphia. The winter of 77/78 was by far the coldest winter > ever for my home town with the average some 0.3 or 0.4 degrees colder than > the previous coldest. With the exception of about a three week period in > late December through mid January...there was practically no snow. Snowfall > for that winter was a little below average. The cold fairly dry pattern > actually started to establish itself as early as the first week in October, > and was "locked in" by November and did not relax until mid Feburary. > Contrast that to the winter of 82/83.... The winter of '77/'78 was essentially neutral with regard to El Nino or La Nina sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA). Depending on the specific SSTA index (Nino[1+2], Nino3, Nino4), it may be considered weakly El Nino or La Nina. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) (atmospheric response) indicated mild El Nino conditions throughout most of the '77/'78 winter. The various indices, oceanic vs. atmospheric response, and specific timeframes can yield different conclusions as to ENSO state. Regardless of how ENSO is defined, the '77/'78 winter was NOT similar to '82/'83 winter. See the numerous sites (URLs previously listed by many) for more info. -Richard ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ Richard L. Slonaker, UCAR Visiting Scientist NOAA/NESDIS Office of Research and Applications rslonaker@nesdis.noaa.gov tel: 301-763-8103 fax: 301-763-8108 Delivery Postal -------- ------ NOAA/NESDIS E/RA3 NOAA/NESDIS E/RA3 5200 Auth Rd. Rm.#711 4700 Silver Hill Rd. Camp Springs, MD 20746 Stop 9910 USA Washington, DC 20233-9910 USA ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 10:46:54 -0500 From: "Mathew L. Powers" Subject: COD SITE/POWER OUTAGE We are having some power-outage problems around the school causing our web site to be off-line more than it is on-line. Sorry for any problems this may cause you and hopefully it will be solved quickly. According to the engineers, Everything should be o-kee-do-kee by early this afternoon. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Matt Powers: powers@weather.cod.edu I still use my 630/942-2590 colored pencils! College of Dupage/NEXLAB (near Chi-town) http://weather.cod.edu/ Multi-County Skywarn http://weather.cod.edu/skywarn/ and Ob's at MDW-Chicago for fun ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 11:33:48 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site will become a commissioned ASOS site at 1800 UTC on 05 September 1997. HICKORY REGIONAL AIRPORT (KHKY) HICKORY... NC Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 23:54:48 -0600 From: "Paul E. Pettit" Subject: Re: NWS and private forecasters Ken wrote: I am dissapointed that you would make such false >statements without knowing the facts. I did not make any false statements. > >In front of me is the most recent version of the published official >information about verification across the USA. While paging through it, I >have found guite a different answer than your accusation that MOS has >verified better than the human forecasters. If you will read what I said I will repeat it for you with this paste! "Privates can do just as well using guidance as NWS forecasters. Look at the NWS Min and Max forecasts versus guidance, forecast error graph has narrowed to a few degrees and hasn't changed much in last few years. Last I hear guidance beat forecasters on precipitation. I would like you to show me some data to back up your facts. If I'm wrong on mean forecast error for temp and precip, give me facts to prove me wrong and I will eat some crow." Where in the above statement does it say that MOS verified better except for precip and that I give benefit of the doubt. I was pointing out that the spread of error between forecaster and guidance is not significant and has not been for a number of years. Go back and look at the scores prior to NWS modernization and see if there has been a significant difference in those scores versus today. And a few tenths of a degree improvement over guidance is hardly evidence that NWS forecasters are the only ones that can achieve these numbers. > > > 24hr 36hr 48hr 60hr >NWS 2.9F 3.4 3.8 4.3 >NGM 3.1 3.5 4.0 4.4 > >For 12z as above: > > 24hr 36hr 48hr 60hr >NWS 3.0 3.4 3.8 4.3 >NGM 3.2 3.7 3.9 4.5 According to your figures that you supplied, if you would plot a graph of NWS versus guidance your graph line would only deviate by .2 degrees for the 00Z cycle. Difference is .2 degrees for the 12Z cycle.(averaged for 4 cycle periods) The mean absolute errors narrowed several years back, actually in the 80's or earlier I think and there has been not much change since. If privates copied guidance into worded forecast, the result would be acceptable most of the time as the difference is slight. >For POP, the story is the same for the conterminous U.S. calculated >together. Note that Mean Absolute Error is not calculated but, % >improvement over NGM MOS is. > >POP 00z: > > 12-24hr pd 24-36 36-48 >NWS 4.2% 2.1 1.1 > >00z: > 3.3 2.2 1.9 What was the methodolgy for % improvement, if it is not too long to explain? Very little improvement over guidance here, but I will accept these figures and "eat crow" on this part (precip) for now. I do believe I said that I was not sure about this part (precip). NWS has made some improvement according to these numbers. However I will do a little checking on my own. >Although I apologize for rambling on in Stats in think it necessary to back >up my argument. No need to apologize for your beliefs. Glad you replied with data. > >I have been watching this thread and IMO, all it is, is a group of people >that all think that they are the best forecasters. I or my group of people >in my office can out forecast your group of cronies if given the chance. >Who cares? The matter cannot be resolved since the NWS' forecasts and >warnings are law. Now lets not get testy. The thread has been that privates can't do as good a job as the NWS. That is certainly debatable. There are good private forecasters and bad private forecasters. Same in NWS, I saw some that were too lazy to ever stray from guidance and plenty of them that were excellent. No one is pitting one against the other. The forecasts can disappear just like pilot briefing, agriculture, fire weather and god knows what else...laws are often changed. According to Hodanish the NWS mission statement was changed and it was part of a law. I'm still checking to see if it was really changed offically. The point is and I will say it again!! If you look at the numbers which you supplied, it may be hard for the NWS to justify the large number of forecasters writing zone, state, local and other forecasts at the GS-12-13 grade levels when guidance spread is within .5 degrees or so and precip is just 1% or so according to your #'s. They will still be needed for other functions such as warnings. NWS employees don't like to hear this and I can understand why as I was one for 36 years. It is cold hard fact in times of severly strained competition for budget money. Automation is leading to worded forecasts, which will make many forecasters expendable, sad as it may be. I stand by my prediction of the NWS future. Only time will tell if I am right. Sorry to the group for length, but I was accused of making false statements in my post which I feel I must challenge. Paul E. Pettit Weather Consulting http://meteorology.miningco.com http://www.mindspring.com/~ppmeteo/Pauls.html ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 13:58:14 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: College of DuPage NEXLAB web site down Hello all, Major power problems at the College of DuPage have knocked the NEXLAB weather site. The machine which runs their SPC page is up, but is not receiving data due to the aforementioned problems. They will be back as soon as possible, but the time or date is unknown. They are hoping Monday at the latest. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 13:06:04 -0700 From: kz Subject: Re: NWS and private forecasters Paul E. Pettit wrote: Definitely there are good and bad (i.e., lazy) forecasters at all types of employment, NWS or private. However, the improvements over MOS listed in another article are stats over time. What really gives a human forecaster the edge (again, NWS and private) is his/her ability to dramatically improve on MOS in significant weather events, such as major arctic outbreaks, heavy snow events, tropical rain, etc. That's when they can beat MOS by relatively large numbers if they do their job right - that's when they can earn their keep, so to speak. Beating MOS by one degree on a dry summer day means little ... beating it 10-15 degrees on a major freeze means something. KZ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 14:33:08 -0500 From: "Mathew L. Powers" Subject: WE'RE BACK UP The COD site is back, up and running, and should be fine now. We are going to see if our computer admin can write a program that will allow the computers to run, even w/o any power. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Matt Powers: powers@weather.cod.edu I still use my 630/942-2590 colored pencils! College of Dupage/NEXLAB (near Chi-town) http://weather.cod.edu/ Multi-County Skywarn http://weather.cod.edu/skywarn/ and Ob's at MDW-Chicago for fun ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 15:55:18 -0400 From: Floyd Hauth Subject: National Weather Asssociation Newsletter topics NWA Newsletter topics for the June-July 1997 issue: 1. President's Message (covers NWA annual meeting agenda options) 2. Dates to remember 3. Meteorologists to Stay in Regional CWSUs 4. Changes in Air Weather Service 5. Member News 6. Commerce Department Announces Management Changes at the National Weather Service 7. In Memoriam (Dr. Allan Murphy) 8. Local Chapter News (Oklahoma and Kansas chapters) 9. Weather Satellite Update 10. New Feature--Do's and don'ts list for weathercasters 11. NWA Annual Meeting Schedule of Broadcasters' Workshops 12. Job Corner 13. NWA 1997 Annual Meeting information For more information or for copies contact Kevin Lavin, tel/fax: 334-213-0388 or email at natweaasoc@aol.com ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 4 Sep 1997 05:31:10 -0400 From: "Boris A. Konon" Subject: Wx Hype History The way the media treats weather events now, mega-hype and all, I thought it might be interesting to list some history on some of the events that got us to where we are today. It may have started with Hurricane Gloria in September 1985. It did not seeme to really catch on afterwards. A few years later, Hurricane Gilbert in September 1988 piqued everyone's interest again, and then Hurricane Hugo in September 1989. Note all the systems were Cat 5 hurricanes. The hurricane that permanently etched them into the media hype hall of fame was, of course, Andrew in August 1992. After that, any named tropical system in the Atlantic was big news. With tornadoes it took a little longer. The mid to late 1980's were relatively inactive across the Plains. The big years of 1990 and especially 1991 made tornadoes super famous. Probably the Wichita- Andover F5 and the Kansas Turnpike underpass tornado, with all the extraordinary video, was the turning point. Alas, the storm that seemed to make ALL wx events after it into hype material was the March Blizzard of 1993 (aka The Storm of the Century). Of course now we are dealing with the latest buzz, El Nino. Boris A. Konon WSI Meteorological Operations ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 14:15:20 -0700 From: Mike Martin Subject: Re: Wx Hype History Boris A. Konon wrote: > > The way the media treats weather events now, mega-hype and all, I > thought it might be interesting to list some history on some of > the events that got us to where we are today. > Of course now we are dealing with the latest buzz, El Nino. It has been nice reading all of the even-handed coverage on this list about El Nino. If you wre to only go by what is in the papers, we here on the west coast are in for, what Crash Davis in Bull Durham said, a "natural disaster". Of Biblical proportions. I might as well build an ark. At least from the media standpoint. But this morning in the Fresno Bee, one of their science reporters, Mark Grossi, wrote a very unbiased, evenhanded, fair article that basically said, don't believe everything you've read so far. Those of you in California who have access to the paper should read it. It is actually very fair. If I have time this weekend, I'll transcribe it for the list. Stay dry.... -- ******************************************************** Michael Martin Porterville High School Science Department 465 W. Olive Ave. Porterville, CA 93257 phone - 209.783.2311 fax - 209.782.7215 email - mmartin@porterville.k12.ca.us Web site - http://porterville.k12.ca.us/phs/phssci.html ******************************************************** Earthquakes don't kill people, buildings do. "A lion eating an animal is nothing compared to a lava flow eating a big building" - Maurice Krafft "A thing of beauty is not a thing to ignore" - Hothouse Flowers When you were born, you cried and the world rejoiced. Live your life in such a way that when you die, the world will cry and you will rejoice. ******************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 14:14:30 GMT From: Howard Goldstein Subject: Re: El Nino $$$ On Wed, 3 Sep 1997 13:07:00 +0000, Chris Landsea wrote: : On Wed, 3 Sep 1997, Howard Goldstein wrote: : > With all due respect to Prof. O'Brien, he doesn't speak for all : > Floridians, certainly not this one, excepting the hurricane : > suppression part. : > : > Loss of dry season wildfires harms the native flora that requires fire : > for germination and the destruction of old overgrowth for survival, : > and thus the fauna will not find habitat within these trees because : > they won't grow. : : Good point. The wildfires are a needed part of the ecosystem. But : that's a difficult point to make if your house is threatened. And an excellent point right back, one could just ask the folks in Palm Coast who'd borne the most damaging recent wildfire event in the state I can recall (lengthy dry spell in heavily pine-forested subdivision up near Bunnell 5-10 years ago) : > Another El Nino effect would appear to be a : > reduction in the number of hard freezes in the central and northern : > part of the state, aiding the spread of exotic tropicals farther : > north. : : I had not known of this effect. Has there been a study of this written up : somewhere? Not that I know of. It could very well be the effect is illusory, based tenuously as it is only on personal observations during my course of residence in this state and while viewing numerous construction sites as a local planning official over the years. (Perhaps it could be an interesting thesis project for a local student?) The only more-objective source I can point to I can only point to weakly, in the global warming SciAm article from this year (the very same one that cited you for hurricane study! It's truly wonderful to consistently find authorities on this mailing list, a fantastic resource it is) with its suggestion that a warmed climate would aid the spread of perennial exotics into the warmed areas. Unfortunately the article didn't try to drag the ENSO into it, nor did it touch on Florida's cold weather events. -- Judging by who's against it, NoCeM must be a good thing ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 21:29:29 -0500 From: "Steve M. Kile" Subject: New RS SAME WX Radio Questions Just picked up one of the new SAME radios today. Had no problem finding and programming the FIPS codes but I do have a couple of other questions. The RS folks were no help locally and I don't want to bother my local NWS office. Perhaps someone here can help. 1) SAME data bursts come at the end of a watch or warning broadcast. If the data burst triggers the radio it would seem that you would miss the initial voice portion of the weather broadcast. Why don't they transmit the data bursts right after the 1030 (or is it 1050 Hz) tone? 2) If you select the continuous alert pattern, does the alert (siren or beep) sound for the duration of the watch or warning event? I understand that in voice it only sounds for 8 seconds. 3) The RS instruction book mentions daily and weekly SAME tests. Do these tests actually occur? Are they independent of the Wednesday at noon and first Wednesday of the month at 1:00 PM tests? 4) Has anyone received any undefined (new or commercial) alerts? 5) I do not remember my old WX radio being triggered for WX statements. Is this new or are only SAME equipped radios activated? Thanks! -- Steve M. Kile, N0FBL stevek@netcom.com stevek@usinternet.com skile@tc.umn.edu ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 18:05:36 -0500 From: Kevin Scharfenberg Subject: Re: It happened last night Mike Martin wrote: [snip] > But the question is, why didn't he know it? Why did he assume it was > raining when it really wasn't? If I lived in Wasco, and heard it was > raining, I would have gone outside immediately and seen that it wasn't. > What does that say about his credibility? Why didn't he check the > surface visible (or infrared, since it was night) to see if it really > was raining? This kind of problem seems to be getting worse, as more TV stations get their own radars or 88D access. One of the worst cases I've witnessed involved a TV station in Little Rock, where the weathercaster pointed to "heavy thundershower activity" in eastern Arkansas on a number of occasions one morning. Of course, there was a strong temperature inversion leading to false returns. There was no rain falling within hundreds of miles! (Incidentally, this happened on several occasions). Most TV weathercasters I've seen do a fair to good job interpreting radar imagery, but a few are utterly clueless! The problem I see with this: the general public can't tell the difference! Case in point: Three local TV stations break in to announce a Tornado Warning. Station A has the tornado moving NE at 25 mph. Station B has the tornado moving SE at 10 mph. Station C has the tornado moving east at 30 mph. This leads to 3 different storm arrival tables, and 3 different stories (this is an actual case). How does the public know which TV station to trust? Should TV radar operators be required to go through training? I'm not a big fan of government regulations, but it's getting pretty bad in some markets. Maybe no AMS seal unless they get some formal radar training? I'm interested in everyone's opinion on this. -Kevin -- =============================================== KEVIN SCHARFENBERG E-mail: kscharf@ou.edu http://rossby.ou.edu/~kscharf/ =============================================== ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 4 Sep 1997 to 5 Sep 1997 ************************************************ From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627037-15699>; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 18:14:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA27026; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 05:13:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6198406 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 05:13:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA13692 for ; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 05:13:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA21509 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 05:13:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709061013.FAA21509@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Sep 1997 05:13:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a170b3cd31a814ad93193e37aa6321fb X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 690 Status: OR 877 ABPA20 PHNL 061000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST SATURDAY SEPTEMBER 06 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SUNDAY. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627039-15698>; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 21:18:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA04814; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 08:09:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6199046 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 08:09:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA13752 for ; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 08:09:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id IAA21651 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 08:09:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709061309.IAA21651@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Sep 1997 08:09:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 016 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 35ef5417d541e4a830211bd17132d822 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2671 Status: OR 326 WTPN32 PGTW 061500 1. TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- 16.2N9 168.3E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N9 168.3E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 17.0N8 166.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 17.3N1 163.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 17.5N3 160.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 17.9N7 158.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 18.9N8 153.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 061200Z9 16.6N3 167.2E6 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THEN CONTINUED MOTION SLIGHTLY NORTH OF WEST FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH 72 HOURS AS THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9, 070300Z0, 070900Z6 AND 071500Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627055-15698>; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 22:37:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA10330; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 09:35:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6199493 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 09:35:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA25918 for ; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 09:35:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA21739 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 09:35:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709061435.JAA21739@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Sep 1997 09:35:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Kevin Discussion Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2304b4b47b4513076b3bd61d816235d2 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1119 Status: OR 978 WTPZ43 KNHC 061436 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT SEP 06 1997 INFRARED IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW NO DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH KEVIN. ALL CENTERS REPORT THE SYSTEM TOO WEAK TO CLASSIFY. THEREFORE KEVIN IS NOW DOWNGRADED TO DEPRESSION STATUS. THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR REINTENSIFICATION AS KEVIN CONTINUES MOVING OVER COOLER WATERS. INITIAL MOTION IS 275/11 AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS UNTIL DISSIPATION IS FORECAST TO OCCUR. GROSS FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/1500Z 20.6N 125.1W 30 KTS 12HR VT 07/0000Z 20.8N 126.5W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627054-15699>; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 22:39:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA33296; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 09:37:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6199518 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 09:37:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA04568 for ; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 09:37:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA21747 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 09:37:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709061437.JAA21747@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Sep 1997 09:37:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Kevin Forecast/advisory Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 46ddc121a2dfa9f3375d264390a48762 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1061 Status: OR 994 WTPZ23 KNHC 061437 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1397 1500Z SAT SEP 06 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 125.1W AT 06/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 125.1W AT 06/1500Z AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 124.6W FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 20.8N 126.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z GROSS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627073-15698>; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 01:17:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA25626; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 12:05:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6200676 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 12:05:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA27122 for ; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 12:05:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA22009 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 12:05:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709061705.MAA22009@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Sep 1997 12:05:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2a294db626b26983b51a971cca64f82b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 932 Status: OR 036 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800Z TO 071800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627073-15699>; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 01:08:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA41736; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 12:05:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6200671 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 12:05:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA25840 for ; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 12:05:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA22008 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 12:05:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709061705.MAA22008@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Sep 1997 12:05:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: dcc391080a7029a41372377d01f8bae5 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 983 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 036 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800Z TO 071800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627091-15694>; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 01:46:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA32736; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 12:44:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6201103 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 12:44:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA43726 for ; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 12:44:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA22070 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 12:44:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709061744.MAA22070@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Sep 1997 12:44:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 82d758dd58ab7ed4c4a0e33e939324d6 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 846 Status: OR 596 ABPZ20 KNHC 061742 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT SEP 6 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN LOCATED ABOUT 980 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. GROSS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627072-15698>; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 03:09:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA43454; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 14:03:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6201958 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 14:03:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA27050 for ; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 14:03:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id OAA22206 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 14:03:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709061903.OAA22206@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Sep 1997 14:03:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e9e6ecd5da620195a7efbff6b4280f9b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2925 Status: OR 135 WTPN32 PGTW 062100 1. TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- 16.5N2 166.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N2 166.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 17.1N9 164.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 17.4N2 162.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 17.7N5 159.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 18.3N2 157.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 19.4N4 152.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 062100Z9 16.8N5 165.7E9 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 061730Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF 061135Z6 SATELLITE SCATTEROMETRY DATA AND A SATELLITE-DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE USING THE SAME INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED USING THE SAME SCATTEROMETRY DATA. THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING GENERALLY WEST- NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AND SLOWLY INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0, 070900Z6, 071500Z3 AND 072100Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626968-15699>; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 04:33:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA36486; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 15:29:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6202717 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 15:29:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA04724 for ; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 15:29:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA22324 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 15:29:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709062029.PAA22324@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Sep 1997 15:29:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Kevin Discussion Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f183ea56e0fef30e867806db4576d3e2 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1144 Status: OR 256 WTPZ43 KNHC 062030 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT SEP 06 1997 VISIBLE AND INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS A FLAREUP OF CONVECTION OVER A SMALL AREA WEST OF THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION. THE FLAREUP IS NOW DYING. THE TAFB AND SAB CONTINUE TO REPORT THE SYSTEM TOO WEAK TO CLASSIFY. THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR REINTENSIFICATION AS KEVIN CONTINUES MOVING OVER COOLER WATERS. INITIAL MOTION IS 280/10. DEPRESSION KEVIN IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE IN 12 HOURS. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM. GROSS FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/2100Z 21.0N 126.0W 25 KTS 12HR VT 07/0600Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626776-15699>; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 04:34:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA04630; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 15:30:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6202726 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 15:30:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA04860 for ; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 15:30:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA22328 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 15:30:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709062030.PAA22328@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Sep 1997 15:30:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Kevin Forecast/advisory Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6827fa4851e1c8e8435218be193cb352 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1080 Status: OR 257 WTPZ23 KNHC 062031 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1397 2100Z SAT SEP 06 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 126.0W AT 06/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 126.0W AT 06/2100Z AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 125.5W FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z...DISSIPATED THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM GROSS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627172-15697>; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 06:00:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA29516; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 16:58:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6203249 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 16:58:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA09272 for ; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 16:58:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA22472 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 16:58:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709062158.QAA22472@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Sep 1997 16:58:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3c82ab89e84e11c11dc7e9744ae956c5 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 688 Status: OR 517 ABPA20 PHNL 062200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST SATURDAY SEPTEMBER 06 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH SUNDAY. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626606-9589>; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 06:48:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA26856; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 17:44:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6203444 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 17:44:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA36566 for ; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 17:44:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA22559 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 17:44:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709062244.RAA22559@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Sep 1997 17:44:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ef4d23c0256d981d5564b07d0ef2c984 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 872 Status: OR 218 ABPZ20 KNHC 062245 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT SEP 6 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED ITS FINAL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN...DISSIPATING LOCATED ABOUT 1070 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626654-9594>; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 10:35:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA32578; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 21:29:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6204981 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 21:27:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA33712 for ; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 21:27:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA22946 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 21:27:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709070227.VAA22946@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Sep 1997 21:27:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 018 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 51e03ab9ffa4c3ecab1734cefbcd057c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2739 Status: OR 694 WTPN32 PGTW 070300 1. TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- 16.9N6 165.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.9N6 165.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 17.0N8 162.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 17.2N0 159.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 17.6N4 157.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 18.2N1 155.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 19.5N5 150.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 070300Z 16.9N6 164.4E5 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z6, 071500Z3, 072100Z0 AND 080300Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627534-9592>; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 12:21:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA37624; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 23:19:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6205964 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 23:17:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA12434 for ; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 23:17:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id XAA23086 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 6 Sep 1997 23:17:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709070417.XAA23086@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 6 Sep 1997 23:17:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a558eeed3bdaac40bf2d7b42cc4cee2b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 860 Status: OR 258 ABPZ20 KNHC 070418 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT SEP 6 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED ITS FINAL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN...DISSIPATING LOCATED ABOUT 1070 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627531-9593>; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 13:07:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA29532; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 00:01:58 -0500 Message-Id: <199709070501.AAA29532@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 7 Sep 1997 00:00:00 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 5 Sep 1997 to 6 Sep 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 723b20100f295dd71e6f1a75426d9607 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 22581 Status: OR There are 12 messages totalling 528 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. It happened last night (3) 2. NOAA RADIO SAME FIPS CODES 3. New RS SAME WX Radio Questions (2) 4. Outsourcing of NWS (2) 5. Stadium Effect? (2) 6. WX-TALK Digest - 4 Sep 1997 to 5 Sep 1997 7. NWS budget review with Jack Kelly +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 6 Sep 1997 00:29:41 -0500 From: Karl Werner Schulze Subject: Re: It happened last night >On Sep 4, Mike Martin's Macintosh mailed: >> In talking to the Hanford NWS people in the past (thanks Jan Null), they >> had told me that their Doppler is "notorious" for ground scatter and >> noise, especially with clear skies. > >It's not just Hanford's Doppler radar -- it's the improved sensitivity >(especially in clear air mode) of the WSR-88D systems. Check out >what fine targets mosquitoes make when the nocturnal inversion >sets up over the Great Lakes region... :-) Actually....this time of year, nocturnal echoes can be caused by birds migrating. Songbirds will migrate at night, and for the past month or so have been a nightly occurance on the PPI here in SE Texas. (Guess what my thesis is on :) ). These birds migrate by themselves, not in flocks, and the thousands and thousands of birds in an area will saturate the PPI with low dBZ echoes. The same phenomenon of remaining over land is seen down here too. Anyway, you can tell they are birds by the velocity returns. Here in SE Texas, our radars show NE winds aloft at around 30 knots.....usually NOT what the environmental winds actually are. Not having any velocity images to look at in terms of the two examples above, I can't say for certain that what you are seeing are birdies.....but I strongly suspect them. Karl *************************************************************** * Karl Werner Schulze HAM Radio Call: KB9JRJ * * Meteorology Graduate Student - Texas A&M University * * E-Mail: kschulze@ariel.met.tamu.edu * * Snail-Mail: 7703 Gettysburg CT., College Station, TX 77845 * * Disclaimer: SUE ME! * *************************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 6 Sep 1997 00:42:15 -0500 From: Dan Satterfield Subject: Re: NOAA RADIO SAME FIPS CODES For those of you in Alabama who are about to purchase one of the new NOAA SAME radios, The NWS Birmingham homepage has already put the codes you will need on their homepage (Their homepage , by the way, is probably among the best NWSFO pages in the country). _________________________________________________________________ Dan Satterfield Chief Meteorologist WHNT-TV Huntsville, AL ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 6 Sep 1997 02:28:58 -0400 From: Richard Thacker Subject: Re: New RS SAME WX Radio Questions >Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 21:29:29 -0500 >From: "Steve M. Kile" >Subject: New RS SAME WX Radio Questions >Just picked up one of the new SAME radios today. Had no problem finding and >programming the FIPS codes but I do have a couple of other questions. The >RS folks were no help locally and I don't want to bother my local NWS office. >Perhaps someone here can help. snipped questions 1-4 >5) I do not remember my old WX radio being triggered for WX statements. Is > this new or are only SAME equipped radios activated? Severe Wx Statements are now SAME encoded ----- old radios will not receive a tone. How bout that Radio Shack, couldn't not even have the courtesy to include the 2 screws needed to do a wall mount. I guess technology and philips head screws do not go hand-in-hand The box should have said "battery and screws not included" hehehhe RVT ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 6 Sep 1997 08:12:37 -0500 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Outsourcing of NWS I only recently resubscribed to WX-Talk, so if I am being redundant, please excuse me. I am not worried about the complete transfer of responsibility from the NWS to the private sector. Why? Because of potenital litigation for bad forecasts and warnings. While there is money to be made, there is also money to be lost. Possible litigation resulting from busted forecasts, lack of warnings, and other inaccuracies by private weather companies will keep the NWS alive. For instance, The Weather Channel, CNN and the networks always announce that the forecast tracks of hurricanes are provided by the Hurricane Center. Why? Becuase, people and businesses are basing serious and costly decisions on these forecasts. Some of the resulting actions cost considerable money and may also result in the loss of income, especially in the case of evacuations. If a private weather company were to issue a forecast that proved to be competely inaccurate, does anyone believe that there would be no possiblity of lawsuits to recover expenses or losses that resulted from following the guidance? What if a tornado struck an area and a private company issued no warning. And this private company was contracted to provide weather information to businesses who suffered losses from the event. Regardless of contractual disclaimers and protections, there is always the possibility that negligence was a factor, hence a lawsuit. There will always be a place for the National Weather Service. Expect the private sector to continue gobbling up "low risk" services where they can make a buck with minimal exposure to litigation. They know that there are lots of litigators (that's kind of like an aligator) out there hungry for a meal. Sam Barricklow http://www.stormchaser.net/k5kj/shop.htm ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 6 Sep 1997 11:24:22 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Outsourcing of NWS At 08:12 AM 9/6/97 -0500, Sam wrote: >Possible litigation resulting from busted forecasts, lack of warnings, >and other inaccuracies by private weather companies will keep the NWS >alive. As has been mentioned before, this is a discussion of public zone forecasts going to the private sector. Not any word of warning reponsibility being transferred (which is why I don't go for the outsourcing plan.) >If a private weather company were to issue a forecast that proved to be >competely inaccurate, does anyone believe that there would be no >possiblity of lawsuits to recover expenses or losses that resulted from >following the guidance? I don't know how that is different than a financial newsletter. Say I subscribe to "Joe's Business Weekly" and Joe tells me that XYZ Corp. is going through the roof. I invest millions in it and the stock plummets. Can I sue Joe? Apparently not, or my guess is that there wouldn't be any financial newsletters in existance today. And I'm certain the people on Wall Street are not afraid to sue when it comes to their money... >There will always be a place for the National Weather Service. Expect >the private sector to continue gobbling up "low risk" services where >they can make a buck with minimal exposure to litigation. They know >that there are lots of litigators (that's kind of like an aligator) out >there hungry for a meal. If I remember correctly there was an incident with a famous hurricane, and conflicting forecasts from NHC & a private source. NHC was correct, costing the city using the private source a lot of money, but the private source still exists today... Rob ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 6 Sep 1997 10:41:47 -0500 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: It happened last night >This kind of problem seems to be getting worse, as more TV stations >get their own radars or 88D access. > >One of the worst cases I've witnessed involved a TV station in Little >Rock, where the weathercaster pointed to "heavy thundershower activity" >in eastern Arkansas on a number of occasions one morning. Of course, >there >was a strong temperature inversion leading to false returns. There was >no rain falling within hundreds of miles! (Incidentally, this happened >on several occasions). > This kind of misinformation is not limited to TV stations. Here in Alabama, a local radio station has gotten a "StormTracker Weather Radar" service. My guess is that it is a DTN box, but not sure. Anyway, the returns are interpreted by those expert DJs... with predictable results. Rainfall when there aren't even any clouds in the sky... quoting rainfall "rates" with particular cells (probably based on VIP levels, but who knows?)... and other "goodies". They even advertise it as being able to (note the quotes) "pinpoint bad weather BEFORE it develops." !!!!!!!!!! WOW! A forecasting radar! Boy, would I like one of those! :-) This is just another example of what I've referred to before as the "Weather Channel Degree Syndrome". Much of the general public is being conditioned to think you don't need to be a "meteorologist", or even to have any training at all, to interprete meteorological data. In this case, it's radar data. The data in question in the previous thread was output from numerical models. However, it goes back to the same root. Untrained folks "doing the weather". Oh well. At least some of the folks on this list recognize that what they see and hear on the TV and radio "ain't always so..." ;-) ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President - Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 6 Sep 1997 12:29:41 +0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Re: New RS SAME WX Radio Questions Untitled Steve M. Kile, N0FBL <stevek@netcom.com> wrote:

>1) SAME data bursts come at the end of a watch or warning broadcast. If the
> data burst triggers the radio it would seem that you would miss the
> initial voice portion of the weather broadcast. Why don't they transmit
> the data bursts right after the 1030 (or is it 1050 Hz) tone?

A data burst containing the product information and expiration time is sent
*prior* to sending the 1050 Hz alert tone. The product is then read over
the air. Finally, an end-of-message data burst is sent at the end of the message. My guess is that you are not hearing the initial data burst because
your weather radio is in standby (alert) mode while the burst is being sent
and what you are hearing is only the end-of-message sequence after your
weather radio comes out of standby.

>2) If you select the continuous alert pattern, does the alert (siren or
> beep) sound for the duration of the watch or warning event? I
> understand that in voice it only sounds for 8 seconds.

My understanding, based solely on the instructions, is that when you select
"continuous" mode the alert will sound until the product that triggered
the alert expires. What I don't know is what happens if say a tornado
watch is issued (which would sound the weather radio's siren) and is then
followed by a severe weather statement (which would cause the weather radio
to beep). If the watch was valid for 5 hours, will the weather radio
switch from siren more to beep mode when the severe weather statement is
issued? Further, what will happen after the expiration time on the
severe weather statement? Will the radio go silent? Will the siren resume
because the watch is technically still in effect? Guess we'll have to
wait and see what happens.

>4) Has anyone received any undefined (new or commercial) alerts?

Doesn't a "commercial alert" sound like something The Weather Channel
would do?! Your weather radio will sound its siren at 3 in the morning
alerting you to buy Michelin tires or Rain-X!

>5) I do not remember my old WX radio being triggered for WX statements. Is
> this new or are only SAME equipped radios activated?

It's new with WRSAME. Actually, every product issued could, in theory,
have it's own activation code. I'm hoping NWS will designate a special
code for spotter activation messages --making it easier for the NWS
to motivate spotter groups into action.

..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 6 Sep 1997 12:34:34 +0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Stadium Effect? One of the TCP products had the following line: "EYE IS NOT WELL DEFINED BUT THERE A STADIUM EFFECT" What is this? Are there people in the eye shouting "get your red hots" and selling cold beer? ;-) ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 6 Sep 1997 10:08:55 -0500 From: Kevin Scharfenberg Subject: Re: It happened last night MichaelSchneider wrote: > > In what way is a free market insufficient in this regard, such that you > view further government thievery and meddlesome bossing around necessary? The private sector can and has been successful in this regard; look at the recent conference in Iowa! The fact is, many TV radar operators don't get any sort of radar training, formal or informal. Some of these stations have used radar for years and still have no clue what they're talking about. That's obvious to me, but not to the average person! So, if government regulations aren't the answer, how can the public judge whether a certain TV weathercaster knows what he's talking about when pointing to a radar image? --My opinions only... =============================================== KEVIN SCHARFENBERG E-mail: kscharf@ou.edu http://rossby.ou.edu/~kscharf/ =============================================== ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 6 Sep 1997 20:28:13 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: Stadium Effect? >> "EYE IS NOT WELL DEFINED BUT THERE IS A STADIUM EFFECT" > What is this? Are there people in the eye shouting "get your red hots" > and selling cold beer? While I can't speak for the behavior of the pilots and scientists aboard the recon aircraft, the 'stadium effect' refers to the narrow-on-the-bottom, wider-on-the-top general shape of the eyewall cloud structure. -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS FIRSTT Program CIMSS | University of Wisconsin - Madison asb@ty.ssec.wisc.edu | www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 6 Sep 1997 18:37:12 -0500 From: Daniel Dix Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 4 Sep 1997 to 5 Sep 1997 >Date: Fri, 5 Sep 1997 18:05:36 -0500 >From: Kevin Scharfenberg >Subject: Re: It happened last night Kevin Scharfenberg wrote: >> What does that say about his credibility? Why didn't he check the >> surface visible (or infrared, since it was night) to see if it really >> was raining? >This kind of problem seems to be getting worse, as more TV stations >get their own radars or 88D access. >One of the worst cases I've witnessed involved a TV station in Little >Rock, where the weathercaster pointed to "heavy thundershower >activity" >in eastern Arkansas on a number of occasions one morning. Of course, >there >was a strong temperature inversion leading to false returns. There >was >no rain falling within hundreds of miles! (Incidentally, this >happened >on several occasions). Here is another one. A weathercaster in the FSM/FYV, Ark. market during Dec. of 95 is showing TUL 88D with a broad area of 'greens'..but in eastern Okla. about 30 miles W of Ft. Smith, "some thunderstorms have developed and should reach the Ft. Smith area in the next hour". Dbz were around 35-40 with temp. in FSM at 32 degrees. Needless, to say this clown missed 'bright banding' and FSM had freezing rain/ice pellets for a good hour or so. Numerous accidents occurred. I wonder if any of those were his viewers who hopped into their car to head out that Friday night? I was sitting on my couch in utter dismay! I flipped to the other station and they explained correctly what was going on. BTW, the correct station has meteorologists and the one does not for what its worth. And this has happened numerous times. Now that station has their own Super Doppler radar and claims to be more informative and less confusing to viewers. What the he_ _?? >Most TV weathercasters I've seen do a fair to good job interpreting >radar >imagery, but a few are utterly clueless! The problem I see with this: >the >general public can't tell the difference! True. Guess they get to learn the hard when they go outdoors or make quick plans based on the tv station's 'accurate' info. >Case in point: Three local TV stations break in to announce a Tornado >Warning. Station A has the tornado moving NE at 25 mph. Station B >has the tornado moving SE at 10 mph. Station C has the tornado moving >east at 30 mph. This leads to 3 different storm arrival tables, and 3 >different stories (this is an actual case). How does the public know >which TV station to trust? Now I know some stations will use their own judgement on storm movement if they believe the SAT (Storm Attribute Tables) are not depicting storm movement correctly, and adjust accordingly. Whereas others base movement soley on computer software generation which use the SAT. >Should TV radar operators be required to go through training? I'm not >a big fan of government regulations, but it's getting pretty bad in >some >markets. Maybe no AMS seal unless they get some formal radar >training? >I'm interested in everyone's opinion on this. Sure...if they want an AMS or NWA seal! Would give me more faith when watching the wx! Daniel Dix Meteorologist Wichita, KS ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 6 Sep 1997 20:18:35 -0400 From: Rick McCoy Subject: NWS budget review with Jack Kelly A month ago, Americans United made an issue with James Baker of NOAA and the Secretary of Commerce that the committee being headed by Ret. Brig. Gen. Jack Kelly should include Emergency Management input in the review process. They agreed and put David McMillion, State Emergency Management Director of Maryland on the committee as our point of contact. McMillion has succeeded in setting up a meeting this coming week to meet with the General. Here is the schedule. Tuesday, September 9, 1997 Hall of States, Room 331 444 North Capitol Street Washington DC 0815-0830 NEMA Stan McKinney President 0830-0845 NCCEM Steven Charvat President 0845-0930 Florida Div.of Emergency Management Joseph Myers State Director Monroe Co. Emergency Management William A. Wagner Southern Keys, Florida Director 0930-1000 Virginia Emergency Services Addison Slayton State Coordinator 1000-1015 Break 1015-1045 Maryland Emergency management David McMillion State Director Ocean City Emergency Management Clay Stamp Local Director 1045-1115 Delaware Emergency Management Lloyd Stoebner Senior Planner 1115-1145 Ohio Emergency Management Mark Patchen Chief-Support Services 1145-1215 Pennsylvania Emergency Management John Bahnweg State Director 1215-1245 National Emergency management Rick W. McCoy Council for Americans United to President Maintain The National Weather Service 1245-1300 Closing Discussion All - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - On Wednesday, I have called a National Press Conference at 10:00AM at the House Triangle located at the steps of the Capitol. I will be relaying information in regards to the meeting with the General and also concerns from around the country pertaining to the Weather Service. Following the press conference, meetings are set up with some of our members of congress on this issue. I will keep you informed as to our progress on this matter. Rick McCoy President Nation EMA Council for Americans United to Maintain The Weather Service ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 5 Sep 1997 to 6 Sep 1997 ************************************************ From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627844-9589>; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 00:43:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA37328; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 11:38:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6210036 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 11:36:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAB44120 for ; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 11:36:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id LAA01096 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 11:36:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709071636.LAA01096@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 7 Sep 1997 11:36:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9421166a26f77622a71e7e923336809b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 689 Status: OR 237 ABPZ20 KNHC 071637 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN SEP 7 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627855-9589>; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 01:10:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA26314; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 12:09:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6210211 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 12:07:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA26204 for ; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 12:07:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA01115 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 12:07:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709071707.MAA01115@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 7 Sep 1997 12:07:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9af97ec58a6b81e7062c6a0e7c22377f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 932 Status: OR 546 ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/071800Z TO 081800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627852-9592>; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 01:15:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA26234; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 12:10:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6210216 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 12:09:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA43870 for ; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 12:07:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA01116 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 12:07:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709071707.MAA01116@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 7 Sep 1997 12:07:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c17ddb74bde885227e1fd3835d86ada3 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 983 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 546 ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/071800Z TO 081800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627847-9592>; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 02:57:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA26352; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 13:50:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6211020 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 13:48:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA09286 for ; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 13:48:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id NAA01235 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 13:48:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709071848.NAA01235@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 7 Sep 1997 13:48:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 021 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a894cc1193dbba1153017cd3bbe6b86e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3291 Status: OR 281 WTPN32 PGTW 072100 1. TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- 18.0N9 162.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.0N9 162.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 18.4N3 160.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 18.7N6 157.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 19.1N1 155.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 19.6N6 152.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 21.1N4 147.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 072100Z0 18.2N1 161.3E1 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 72 HOURS AND INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z1, 080900Z7, 081500Z4 AND 082100Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628222-9594>; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 05:58:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA24972; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 16:55:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6212668 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 16:54:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA24340 for ; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 16:54:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA01525 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 16:54:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709072154.QAA01525@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 7 Sep 1997 16:54:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7de6215c1e020e5c971ad71fc4e1415f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 904 Status: OR 757 ABPA20 PHNL 072200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210PM HST SUNDAY SEPTEMBER 7 1997 AN AREA OF ACTIVE THUNDERSTORMS PERSISTS ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND. THE BAND IS MOVING WEST AT 15 MILES AN HOUR. THE THUNDERSTORM AREA IS NOT WELL ORGANIZED BUT WE WILL WATCH IT FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH MONDAY. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625866-28178>; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 06:51:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA24406; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 17:49:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6212968 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 17:48:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA33458 for ; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 17:48:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA01599 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 17:48:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709072248.RAA01599@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 7 Sep 1997 17:48:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8a33d167713b2d6948a7f77e92e27217 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 691 Status: OR 486 ABPZ20 KNHC 072247 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN SEP 7 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 11:08:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625943-28179>; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 09:54:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA17730; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 20:47:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6214215 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 20:47:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA04648 for ; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 20:47:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id UAA01772 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 20:47:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709080147.UAA01772@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 7 Sep 1997 20:47:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 022 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9feeded88f2e6a824a05a066669f0b24 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3164 Status: OR 098 WTPN32 PGTW 080300 1. TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- 18.1N0 161.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.1N0 161.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 18.4N3 160.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 18.6N5 158.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 18.8N7 156.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 19.2N2 153.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 21.0N3 147.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 18.2N1 161.4E2 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080900Z7, 081500Z4, 082100Z1 AND 090300Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 14:06:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628264-28180>; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 12:21:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA15126; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 23:18:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6215454 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 23:17:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA17888 for ; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 23:17:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id XAA01913 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 7 Sep 1997 23:17:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709080417.XAA01913@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 7 Sep 1997 23:17:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e87a7cd80a27d8877eea07b0db2ea7a9 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 693 Status: OR 524 ABPZ20 KNHC 080417 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN SEP 7 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 14:06:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628250-28178>; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 13:46:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA34996; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 00:02:45 -0500 Message-Id: <199709080502.AAA34996@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Sep 1997 00:00:37 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 6 Sep 1997 to 7 Sep 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 1d9c35b94279d7fb5e33189c317db4de X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 12665 Status: OR There are 8 messages totalling 311 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. correction 2. Accurate tracking of storms 3. WX-TALK Digest - 4 Sep 1997 to 5 Sep 1997 4. It happened last night (2) 5. Stadium Effect? 6. Eye temperatures 7. Looking for someone +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 7 Sep 1997 11:50:44 -0700 From: Stephen Hodanish Subject: correction "Boris A. Konon" wrote the other day: *** It may have started with Hurricane Gloria in September 1985. It did not seeme to really catch on afterwards. A few years later, Hurricane Gilbert in September 1988 piqued everyone's interest again, and then Hurricane Hugo in September 1989. Note all the systems were Cat 5 ^^^^^^^^^^ hurricanes. The hurricane that permanently etched them into the media hype hall of fame was, of course, Andrew in August 1992. After that, any named tropical system in the Atlantic was big news. *** This is incorrect. Gloria was not a 5 (cat 3 I believe), Gilbert was a 5 (I should know, I was on the plane that measured the 888 mb pressure :) :) :). Hugo was a 4 if I am not mistaken. I guess us NWS types are better than the privates.... JUST KIDDING!!!!!!! ;) Stephen Hodanish NWS/MLB ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 7 Sep 1997 13:30:39 -0500 From: Mark Mears Subject: Accurate tracking of storms Daniel Dix wrote: >Case in point: Three local TV stations break in to announce a Tornado >Warning. Station A has the tornado moving NE at 25 mph. Station B >has the tornado moving SE at 10 mph. Station C has the tornado moving >east at 30 mph. This leads to 3 different storm arrival tables, and 3 >different stories (this is an actual case). How does the public know >which TV station to trust? Now I know some stations will use their own judgement on storm movement if they believe the SAT (Storm Attribute Tables) are not depicting storm movement correctly, and adjust accordingly. Whereas others base movement solely on computer software generation which use the SAT. === It was *exactly* this kind of situation that led me to develop at least a partial solution to the problem of inaccurate estimates of storm velocity. MesoTRAC allows the user to enter one OR MORE storm positions, either in real-time, or from a recent series of radar depictions, thus allowing the storm to, in effect, track itself. No, it's not a perfect solution -- the first storm position still requires the user to give a velocity estimate. But as further positions of the storm are fed to the software, the track can become extremely accurate -- far more so than when using any of the so-called storm trackers seen on the air. Predicting a storm arrival time to within 5-10 minutes 30-45 minutes in advance is normal. May 18, 1995 brought an outbreak of tornadoes to Middle Tennessee and North Alabama. One of the local (Huntsville, Ala.) stations proudly wheeled out its storm tracker and proceeded to forecast the track of a tornadic cell in N. Alabama. The first forecast track showed the cell moving to my south; subsequent tracks showed it moving to my north, and then directly over my location! The cell eventually tracked to my south, but the experience of that day spurred me to try and come up with a better way. -- Mark Mears President Aninoquisi 112 Bruce Street Huntland, TN 37345 615.469.7024 * new area code 931 effective 9/15/97 * http://www.edge.net/asd/ ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 7 Sep 1997 15:26:07 -0500 From: "Douglas A. Butts Jr." Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 4 Sep 1997 to 5 Sep 1997 Hi there, Steve. Since I was a weather radio focal point at one point and time, I thought I would take a few minutes to answer your questions. > 1) SAME data bursts come at the end of a watch or warning broadcast. If the > data burst triggers the radio it would seem that you would miss the initial > voice portion of the weather broadcast. Why don't they transmit the data > bursts right after the 1030 (or is it 1050 Hz) tone? The SAME data bursts are part of a "bigger picture." Those same bursts are part of the new EAS setup and will trigger similar equipment at television and radio stations, etc. where the local station would have the option to broadcast either the NWR audio OR do a simple text crawl (in th case of a TV station). Recall that there are two sets of "bursts"...one before the message and one after. The initial data burst that preceeds the traditional 1050 tone turns on the same equipment allowing an alarm or audible voice message to be heard. The group after the message turns the equipment off. In fact, on the SAME equipment at the NWS, the button is marked "End of Message." If this button isn't pushed, then (in theory) the audible message (say on a TV or radio station) would not be turned off. So, to answer your question, no, this does not affect the voice portion of the warning/watch (unless you're slow in getting to the receiver). > 2) If you select the continuous alert pattern, does the alert (siren or beep) > sound for the duration of the watch or warning event? I understand that > in voice it only sounds for 8 seconds. The 1050 Hz tone only lasts for 8 seconds. In traditional RS recievers, you'd get a continuous alarm until you shut it off. I'm not sure about the new receivers, though. > 3) The RS instruction book mentions daily and weekly SAME tests. Do these > tests actually occur? Are they independent of the Wednesday at noon and > first Wednesday of the month at 1:00 PM tests? Most NWS offices do not do the daily test anymore (at least the one's I've worked at). The weekly/monthly test is usually done concurrently with the typical 1050 test. If a daily test is done, then the 1050 tone will not be used. The SAME equipment at the office is a separate unit from the digital recorders. > 4) Has anyone received any undefined (new or commercial) alerts? Not sure what you mean here. > 5) I do not remember my old WX radio being triggered for WX statements. Is > this new or are only SAME equipped radios activated? No, the old alarm was not triggered for statements. In most cases, this will still hold true. However, the SAME encoder at the NWS has the capability for encoding data bursts for Special Weather Statements, etc. The codes that are used for warnings (except for Special Marine Warnings), though, are different than those used for statements (those are the same as the ones used for forecasts, etc.). It is my understanding that if these codes are used, then it will crash the decoders used by the media. Until this bug is fixed, then SAME equipped receivers won't be activated. Yes, it's only the SAME unit...the 1050 still won't be activated. Later, Douglas Butts ...MY OWN OPINIONS...MY OWN TIME... ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 7 Sep 1997 13:27:35 -0500 From: Kevin Scharfenberg Subject: Re: It happened last night > > So, if government regulations aren't the answer, how can the public > > judge whether a certain TV weathercaster knows what he's talking about when > > pointing to a radar image? > > If "the public" isn't capable of using its collective brain "judging" > whether or not TV weathercasters know what they're talking about, then > they are equally incapable of excercising sound judgement at the ballot > when determining which politicians will overseer which bureacrats will > regulate meteorologists. > > Either (1) they are capable, or (2) they aren't. > > (2) is an argument not only for regulation, but for tyranny in general > via logical extension of the premise of the argument, provided one is > using the argument to support a desire for un-contracted-for government > intervention. Give me a break! I usually would not answer this kind of nonsense, but I'll offer this example... If I were to walk into my doctor's office and get the results from a recent CAT scan, and the doctor makes a recomendation, I have to trust he knows what he's talking about. I CAN'T judge whether he's right or not, because I have NO training on how to read a CAT scan! Does this mean I'm incapable of making a sound judgement at the ballot box? I don't think so! I hold the same line of reasoning regarding TV weathercasters and radar imagery (etc.) I am somewhat trained to interpret radar images, but 99.9% of the public is not. They trust the weatherman knows what he's talking about when he tells the residents of Bug Tussle to take cover! Does that make them incapable of making a sound judgement at the ballot box? Of course not! I could say a lot more (especially regarding your last statement), but it would be off-topic for this newsgroup. -- =============================================== KEVIN SCHARFENBERG E-mail: kscharf@ou.edu http://rossby.ou.edu/~kscharf/ =============================================== ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 7 Sep 1997 00:55:39 GMT From: rjhstorm Subject: Re: Stadium Effect? In article <199709061732.MAA04278@twister.lib.siu.edu>, chris@LIB.SIU.EDU says... > > >One of the TCP products had the following line: > > "EYE IS NOT WELL DEFINED BUT THERE A STADIUM EFFECT" > >What is this? Are there people in the eye shouting "get your red hots" >and selling cold beer? ;-) ..Chris.. Chris Stadium effect is when the clouds in the eyewall form a small surface opening, with the eye then growing larger with altitude, so that the eyewall looks like a stadium ,or better yet a mixing bowl - tho I guess that the "mixing bowl effect" isn't quite as dramatic - so I doubt that it will ever become common nomenclature. Rich Halter >*====================================================================* >Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu >Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu >Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) >Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) >Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 >*====================================================================* > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 7 Sep 1997 04:45:57 GMT From: rjhstorm Subject: Re: It happened last night Reminds me of the weather forecaster on the USS Enterprise back in the 70's. THe Bridge called down to get a forecast, and the met on duty said "mostly cloudy and dry for the next 12 hours." At which time the Captain grabbed the talker and told the idiot to come up on deck, that it was raining heavily (well, he used much more descriptive language, but you get the gist). ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 7 Sep 1997 20:35:53 -0400 From: Tim Trice Subject: Eye temperatures Hello, I noticed earlier today that the reconnaissance missions are recording temperatures in the high 60's, low 70's. I thought hurricanes would be considerably warmer than this. I know air cools as it rises, but by 10+ degrees at only 1,500 meters? Why is the air so much cooler? Thanks for any answers cul8r tim ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 7 Sep 1997 22:00:36 CST From: Weatherman <954blake@ALPHA.NLU.EDU> Subject: Looking for someone Does anyone have Eric Gross's new e-mail address? He has been a frequent poster on this group and I seemed to not have it anymore. This is not the Eric Gross that works at the hurricane center...it is the one who worked at FSU and recently moved to Portland, Oregon. thanks, Eric Blake Webmaster, Atlantic Tropical Weather Center http://usacitylink.com/blake/tropical.html P.S. Thanks to everyone who has provided positive comments and suggestions about the ATWC...it has really taken off this year!!!! :) ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 6 Sep 1997 to 7 Sep 1997 ************************************************ From - Mon Sep 8 15:13:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628265-28180>; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 14:27:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA26952; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 01:16:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6216127 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 01:14:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA37456 for ; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 01:13:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA02082 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 01:13:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709080613.BAA02082@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Sep 1997 01:13:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 56047b3e6c1da25f64fb1ddd99f1b319 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2276 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 044 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 080153Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 080000Z8 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WAS LOCATED AT 18.1N0 161.9E7 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 22 (WTPN32 PGTW 080000)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20N2 112E4 HAS BECOME INTEGRATED IN THE STATIONARY FRONT. A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS NO LONGER INDICATED BY VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY OR SYNOPTIC DATA. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 09S9 168E5 IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MONSOON TROUGHING. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTION. DEEP CONVECTION HAS NOT BEEN ABLE TO SUSTAIN ITSELF DUE TO MODERATE TO STRONG UPPER LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/DEOCARIZA/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 15:13:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626720-28180>; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 14:26:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA26990; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 01:13:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6216120 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 01:13:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA32586 for ; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 01:13:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA02081 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 01:13:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709080613.BAA02081@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Sep 1997 01:13:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 652437fcad4e157794c626adc53714a7 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2222 Status: OR 044 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 080153Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 080000Z8 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WAS LOCATED AT 18.1N0 161.9E7 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 22 (WTPN32 PGTW 080000)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20N2 112E4 HAS BECOME INTEGRATED IN THE STATIONARY FRONT. A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS NO LONGER INDICATED BY VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY OR SYNOPTIC DATA. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 09S9 168E5 IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MONSOON TROUGHING. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTION. DEEP CONVECTION HAS NOT BEEN ABLE TO SUSTAIN ITSELF DUE TO MODERATE TO STRONG UPPER LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/DEOCARIZA/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 17:05:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628387-28172>; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 16:06:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA26276; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 02:50:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6216335 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 02:50:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA29308 for ; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 02:50:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA02132 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 02:50:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709080750.CAA02132@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Sep 1997 02:50:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 023 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bd7c0e7aaad1e0b90d3d45419f7f8454 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Status: OR 650 WTPN32 PGTW 080900 1. TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 023 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 02C 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z4 --- 18.0N9 161.4E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.0N9 161.4E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 18.1N0 159.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 18.2N1 157.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 18.6N5 155.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 19.4N4 152.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 21.6N9 147.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 080900Z7 18.0N9 160.9E6 TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. WIND RADII ADJUSTED TO 072327 SCATTEROMETER PASS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4, 082100Z1, 090300Z2 AND 090900Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 18:17:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628362-28178>; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 18:01:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA13738; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 04:51:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6217012 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 04:50:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA04726 for ; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 04:50:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA02355 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 04:50:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709080950.EAA02355@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Sep 1997 04:50:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 82be0ace8dbd1484d6d02637f3a9fb2f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 883 Status: OR 805 ABPA20 PHNL 081000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210AM HST MONDAY SEPTEMBER 8 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 650 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND IS MOVING WEST AT 20 MILES AN HOUR. THUNDERSTORMS AROUND THE SYSTEM HAVE DECREASED. WE WILL CONTINUE TO WATCH FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 18:59:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628393-28180>; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 18:34:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA38146; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 05:24:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6217071 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 05:23:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA09894 for ; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 05:23:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA02393 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 05:23:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709081023.FAA02393@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Sep 1997 05:23:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ac6aa9b049c67a9b0c33ccdcffa4de8f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 692 Status: OR 128 ABPZ20 KNHC 081022 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON SEP 8 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 8 21:54:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628463-28179>; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 21:49:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA37202; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 08:15:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6218158 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 08:13:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA38264 for ; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 08:13:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id IAA02494 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 08:13:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709081313.IAA02494@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Sep 1997 08:13:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 024 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 85acde3c43fbf5102ca59fd6abf62b28 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3270 Status: OR 734 WTPN32 PGTW 081500 1. TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 024 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 18.3N2 160.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 160.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 18.9N8 158.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 19.5N5 156.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 20.2N4 153.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 21.1N4 151.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 23.1N6 146.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 18.6N5 159.1E6 TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND AN INCREASE IN SPEED ARE FORECAST AFTER 36 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING AT LESS THAN A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z1, 090300Z2, 090900Z8 AND 091500Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 9 09:28:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628414-28179>; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 00:51:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAB14316; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 11:42:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6220179 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 11:40:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA41782 for ; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 11:40:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id LAA02823 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 11:40:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709081640.LAA02823@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Sep 1997 11:40:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fcdb8a2adb9f6d6a426e0c23ff567310 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 857 Status: OR 448 ABPZ20 KNHC 081639 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON SEP 8 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A BROAD...POORLY-ORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 9 09:28:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628490-28178>; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 01:09:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA39998; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 12:08:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6220484 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 12:07:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA24280 for ; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 12:07:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA02881 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 12:07:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709081707.MAA02881@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Sep 1997 12:07:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8913c546aa09d40aa1b98160ccddd519 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 932 Status: OR 791 ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/081800Z TO 091800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 9 09:28:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628479-28172>; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 01:11:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA40162; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 12:10:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6220489 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 12:08:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA10458 for ; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 12:07:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA02880 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 12:07:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709081707.MAA02880@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Sep 1997 12:07:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f6e0138063136bbec6da2fbb58741e78 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 983 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 791 ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/081800Z TO 091800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 9 09:28:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628391-28179>; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 03:24:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA12400; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 14:02:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6221784 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 14:00:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA21082 for ; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 13:58:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id NAA03107 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 13:58:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709081858.NAA03107@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Sep 1997 13:58:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 025 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8cfc409e1f22a100ee5b58795e596eef X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3381 Status: OR 718 WTPN32 PGTW 082100 1. TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 025 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- 18.4N3 158.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.4N3 158.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 18.7N6 156.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 19.2N2 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 19.9N9 151.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 20.8N0 149.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 22.9N3 144.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 082100Z1 18.5N4 157.7E0 TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING EXCEPT THAT THE FORECAST TRACK WILL BE A LITTLE SOUTH OF THAT FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. STEERING FLOW FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IS NOW EXPECTED TO COME FROM THE EAST INSTEAD OF THE EAST-SOUTHEAST AS FORECAST EARLIER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2, 090900Z8, 091500Z5 AND 092100Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 9 09:28:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628520-28180>; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 06:10:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA39446; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 16:59:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6223177 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 16:58:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA29810 for ; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 16:58:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA03457 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 16:58:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709082158.QAA03457@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Sep 1997 16:58:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: faf45175bb43c146a496d1b8238289e0 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 699 Status: OR 226 ABPA20 PHNL 082200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST MONDAY SEPTEMBER 08 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 9 09:28:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625938-7248>; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 06:36:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA37504; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 17:19:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6223367 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 17:18:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA37650 for ; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 17:18:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA03498 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 17:18:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709082218.RAA03498@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Sep 1997 17:18:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ae483b683ab22f5ed7e696e59fe24b38 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 955 Status: OR 449 ABPZ20 KNHC 082219 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON SEP 8 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A BROAD...POORLY-ORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT APPEARS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 9 11:44:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628600-7251>; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 09:51:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA36502; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 20:43:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6225184 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 20:41:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA35112 for ; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 20:41:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id UAA03806 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 20:41:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709090141.UAA03806@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Sep 1997 20:41:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 026 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 97d69969382a8778d9fc6feff4d4ab8a X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3321 Status: OR 391 WTPN32 PGTW 090300 1. TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 026 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- 18.2N1 157.4E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N1 157.4E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 18.5N4 154.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 19.1N1 152.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 20.0N2 150.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 21.0N3 147.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 23.3N8 143.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) HAS DEVELOPED A RAGGED EYE AND IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING GENERALLY WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS THEN TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST. TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGH 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z9 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8, 091500Z5, 092100Z2 AND 100300Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 9 13:59:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628613-7253>; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 12:23:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA33208; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 23:18:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6226604 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 23:16:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA34674 for ; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 23:16:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id XAA03998 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 8 Sep 1997 23:16:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709090416.XAA03998@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 8 Sep 1997 23:16:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5128f7622a7746705c4bd247178171ad X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 871 Status: OR 730 ABPZ20 KNHC 090408 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON SEP 8 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT APPEARS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 10 08:04:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628740-558>; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 22:51:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA34746; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 09:36:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6230304 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 09:34:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA27134 for ; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 09:34:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA01090 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 09:34:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709091434.JAA01090@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Sep 1997 09:34:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 028 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ecbb4e374cfc5341aa434856704698f3 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3675 Status: OR 694 WTPN32 PGTW 091500 1. SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 028 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- 18.2N1 155.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N1 155.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 18.4N3 152.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 18.5N4 150.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 18.9N8 148.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 19.6N6 145.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 21.9N2 141.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS AND IS NOW A SUPER TYPHOON. THIS INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE EYE HAS BECOME WELL DEFINED AND THE SURROUNDING EYE WALL CONTAINS CLOUD TOPS WITH TEMPERATURES COLDER THAN -80C. FORECAST TRACK IS SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF PREVIOUS FORECAST AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN STRONG THROUGHOUT MOST OF THE OUTLOOK PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 10/1200Z IS 32 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2, 100300Z4, 100900Z0 AND 101500Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 10 08:04:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628763-563>; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 00:51:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA13042; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 11:42:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6231806 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 11:41:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA40796 for ; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 11:41:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id LAA01442 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 11:41:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709091641.LAA01442@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Sep 1997 11:41:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1c7b7b8643c6ec43712db6a06bc4afeb X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 913 Status: OR 916 ABPZ20 KNHC 091640 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE SEP 09 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED 400 TO 500 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 10 08:04:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627081-561>; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 01:24:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA13180; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 12:21:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6232305 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 12:20:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA20340 for ; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 12:18:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA01529 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 12:18:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709091718.MAA01529@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Sep 1997 12:18:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1f3fd09270d3de814f7e245eab6b00a9 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1004 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 489 ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/091800Z TO 101800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/TIRSCHEL/HATFIELD/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 10 08:04:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627077-561>; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 01:50:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA13190; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 12:18:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6232300 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 12:18:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA43638 for ; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 12:18:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA01530 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 12:18:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709091718.MAA01530@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Sep 1997 12:18:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 304c919b68483c7327bd96de5b1f4f91 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 953 Status: OR 489 ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/091800Z TO 101800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/TIRSCHEL/HATFIELD/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 10 08:04:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627094-562>; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 04:22:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA13616; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 15:07:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6234260 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 15:05:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA20624 for ; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 15:04:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA01833 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 15:04:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709092004.PAA01833@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Sep 1997 15:04:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 029 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2ae1514d90388fa14f3ebb8dae1c30b5 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3430 Status: OR 075 WTPN32 PGTW 092100 1. SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 029 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091800Z8 --- 18.3N2 153.9E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 153.9E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 18.5N4 151.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 18.8N7 149.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 19.3N3 146.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 20.3N5 144.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 22.6N0 140.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN 140 KNOT WIND INTENSITY. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES PERSISTENT INTENSE EYE WALL CONVECTION. NO CHANGE IN FORECAST TRACK POSITIONS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 10/1800Z IS 32 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100300Z4, 100900Z0, 101500Z7 AND 102100Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 10 08:04:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627153-563>; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 05:10:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA08474; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 15:56:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6234677 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 15:55:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA12942 for ; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 15:55:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA01954 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 15:55:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709092055.PAA01954@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Sep 1997 15:55:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Fourteen-e Forecast/advisory Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f8ef518fb86d44b933445f0a3b05b026 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1665 Status: OR 674 WTPZ24 KNHC 092054 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP9197 2100Z TUE SEP 09 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 106.2W AT 09/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 106.2W AT 09/2100Z AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 105.7W FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 14.0N 107.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 14.8N 109.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 15.7N 111.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 106.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 16.5N 112.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 18.0N 115.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 10 08:04:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627094-563>; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 05:04:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA22240; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 15:58:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6234697 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 15:57:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA25048 for ; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 15:55:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA01959 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 15:55:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709092055.PAA01959@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Sep 1997 15:55:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Fourteen-e Discussion Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 068fc27efc41649ecb1beb8ec9c5a72a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2048 Status: OR 675 WTPZ44 KNHC 092053 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE SEP 09 1997 SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW THAT THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED SOUTH OF PUERTO VALLARTA HAS BECOME DECIDEDLY BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE DAY. THERE IS A WELL-DEFINED LOW-CLOUD CIRCULATION PLUS HEALTHY CONVECTIVE BANDING OVER THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE. THEREFORE THE SYSTEM IS BEING NUMBERED AT THIS TIME. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS QUICKLY BECOMING ESTABLISHED ATOP THE CYCLONE...AND FURTHER STRENGTHENING SEEMS A GOOD BET. INITIAL MOTION IS RATHER UNCERTAIN BUT ESTIMATED TO BE 300/10. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH JUST NORTH OF 15N BETWEEN 110W-120W. THIS FEATURE COULD PRODUCE A MORE NORTHWARD COMPONENT OF MOTION DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. HOWEVER MOST OF OUR GUIDANCE SHOWS LITTLE HINT OF A TURN...EXCEPT FOR THE NOGAPS WHICH SHOWS THE CYCLONE NEARING 20N110W AT THE END OF THE PERIOD. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE LATTER MODELS INITIALIZATION LOOKS FAR MORE REALISTIC THAN THAT FROM THE AVN...WHOSE INITIAL STATE SHOWS ANTICYCLONIC LOW-LEVEL FLOW IN THE PLACE WHERE THE DEPRESSION SHOULD BE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE SUITE...AND A MORE NORTHWARD ADJUSTMENT MAY BE REQUIRED IN LATER ADVISORIES. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 09/2100Z 13.3N 106.2W 30 KTS 12HR VT 10/0600Z 14.0N 107.5W 35 KTS 24HR VT 10/1800Z 14.8N 109.4W 40 KTS 36HR VT 11/0600Z 15.7N 111.0W 45 KTS 48HR VT 11/1800Z 16.5N 112.5W 50 KTS 72HR VT 12/1800Z 18.0N 115.0W 60 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 10 08:04:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627098-563>; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 06:04:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA17838; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 17:00:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6235234 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 16:58:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA17804 for ; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 16:58:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA02074 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 16:58:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709092158.QAA02074@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Sep 1997 16:58:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 50a324a1ac1b7f5063b062bfcc902bca X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 700 Status: OR 646 ABPA20 PHNL 092200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST TUESDAY SEPTEMBER 09 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 10 09:39:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626129-5222>; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 09:31:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA32384; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 20:17:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6237085 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 20:15:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA35026 for ; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 20:15:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id UAA02387 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 20:15:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709100115.UAA02387@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Sep 1997 20:15:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 030 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 331056f3f5405e460eec2c49f6dfed96 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3569 Status: OR 346 WTPN32 PGTW 100300 1. SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 030 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- 18.5N4 152.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.5N4 152.3E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 18.7N6 149.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 19.0N0 147.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 19.5N5 145.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 20.1N3 142.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 21.9N2 138.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 100300Z4 POSITION 18.5E4 151.6E3 SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD AND SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH 48 HOURS. AFTER 48 HOURS THIS SYSTEM WILL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AS IT CONTINUES TO SLOWLY WEAKEN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z1 IS 32 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z0, 101500Z7, 102100Z4 AND 110300Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 10 09:39:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626136-5222>; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 09:30:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA37132; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 20:25:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6237240 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 20:24:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA14316 for ; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 20:21:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id UAA02437 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 20:21:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709100121.UAA02437@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Sep 1997 20:21:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 50c89f67f5c321d88da1660acc7bcda4 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1019 Status: OR 479 ABPZ20 KNHC 092206 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE SEP 09 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ24 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP4. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 10 12:06:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626144-5222>; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 10:39:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA12712; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 21:32:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6237885 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 21:31:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA12684 for ; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 21:29:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA02515 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 21:29:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709100229.VAA02515@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Sep 1997 21:29:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Fourteen-e Discussion Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 88fd1b9d4ab9b617bee40692e324b7dc X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2188 Status: OR 768 WTPZ44 KNHC 100230 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT TUE SEP 09 1997 IT IS ONLY A MATTER OF TIME BEFORE THIS DEPRESSION IS UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS EXCELLENT BANDING FEATURES...BUT THE DEEP CONVECTION IS NOT YET CONCENTRATED NEAR THE CENTER. THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 30 KNOTS...IN AGREEMENT WITH SATELLITE ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND THE AFGWC. THE SYSTEM IS OVER WARM WATER AND THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS BECOMING WELL ESTABLISHED ...SO STRENGTHENING SHOULD OCCUR. THE AMOUNT OF STRENGTHENING WILL DEPEND IN PART ON THE MOVEMENT OF THE MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH CURRENTLY JUST TO THE WEST OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 300/10. THE NWS AVIATION MODEL RUN FROM 1200Z DOES NOT PROPERLY INITIALIZE THE TROPICAL CYCLONE...BUT IT DOES SHOW A MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHWEST U.S. OR NORTHWEST MEXICO THROUGHOUT THIS FORECAST PERIOD WHICH SHOULD ALLOW THE GENERAL MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST TO CONTINUE. OUR TRACK AGREES WITH THIS BUT WE ARE LEANING TOWARD THE NORTH OF THE TRACK PREDICTION MODELS. A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW IN THE VICINITY OF THE LOWER BAJA SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY COULD PULL THE TROPICAL CYCLONE A LITTLE MORE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST THAN SUGGESTED BY MOST GUIDANCE. THE NAVY NOGAPS MODEL DOES INITIALIZE THE TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SHOWS A MORE NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/0300Z 13.8N 106.7W 30 KTS 12HR VT 10/1200Z 14.6N 108.1W 40 KTS 24HR VT 11/0000Z 15.5N 109.6W 45 KTS 36HR VT 11/1200Z 16.3N 111.0W 50 KTS 48HR VT 12/0000Z 17.1N 112.3W 55 KTS 72HR VT 13/0000Z 18.5N 115.0W 65 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 10 12:06:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626121-5224>; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 10:43:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA34870; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 21:34:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6237896 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 21:32:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA12690 for ; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 21:29:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA02519 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 21:29:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709100229.VAA02519@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Sep 1997 21:29:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Fourteen-e Forecast/advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 97610fbea9313d91b183e4a7e1e2c2d1 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1700 Status: OR 769 WTPZ24 KNHC 100231 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1497 0300Z WED SEP 10 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 106.7W AT 10/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 106.7W AT 10/0300Z AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 106.3W FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 14.6N 108.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 15.5N 109.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 16.3N 111.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 106.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 17.1N 112.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 18.5N 115.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 10 13:51:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626162-20552>; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 12:54:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA12752; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 23:51:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6239387 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 23:50:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA42388 for ; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 23:50:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id XAA02708 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 9 Sep 1997 23:50:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709100450.XAA02708@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 9 Sep 1997 23:50:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 35c9bda4808c4355aa981636cb2a2d34 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1152 Status: OR 826 ABPZ20 KNHC 100451 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE SEP 9 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E LOCATED ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 1450 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ24 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP4. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 10 15:11:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626267-20551>; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 14:24:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA35106; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 01:23:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6239954 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 01:21:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA29534 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 01:19:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA02801 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 01:19:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709100619.BAA02801@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Sep 1997 01:19:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9fd748fca20e622357c4f861f2745383 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2439 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 149 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 100153Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 100000Z1 SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WAS LOCATED AT 18.5N4 152.3E1 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 140 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 170 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 30 (WTPN32 PGTW 100300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 169E6 IS NOW LOCATED AT 11N2 169E6. ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION REMAINS DISORGANIZED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.4S2 169.5E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 170.E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AND SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE NORTHEAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/SANCHEZ/DOBBINS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 10 15:11:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626173-20552>; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 14:39:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA35292; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 01:21:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6239949 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 01:19:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA37724 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 01:19:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA02800 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 01:19:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709100619.BAA02800@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Sep 1997 01:19:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5962791c92208e2fd07472c05c072b5d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2385 Status: OR 149 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 100153Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 100000Z1 SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WAS LOCATED AT 18.5N4 152.3E1 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 140 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 170 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 30 (WTPN32 PGTW 100300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 169E6 IS NOW LOCATED AT 11N2 169E6. ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION REMAINS DISORGANIZED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.4S2 169.5E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 170.E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AND SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE NORTHEAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/SANCHEZ/DOBBINS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 10 17:24:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628615-20550>; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 16:32:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA26612; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 03:17:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6240618 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 03:15:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA29614 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 03:15:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA03010 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 03:15:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709100815.DAA03010@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Sep 1997 03:15:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 031 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e3218797c245250c15fb1901f51feef3 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3543 Status: OR 144 WTPN32 PGTW 100900 1. TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 031 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100600Z7 --- 18.8N7 150.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N7 150.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 19.5N5 147.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 20.2N4 145.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 21.0N3 142.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 21.9N2 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 23.9N4 135.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 100900Z0 POSITION 19.1 149.1 SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WESTWARD TO WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AND SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE 35 KNOT WIND RADIUS IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE HAS BEEN EXPANDED FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING BASED ON 100005Z6 SCATTEROMETER DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z7 IS 32 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z7, 102100Z4, 110300Z5 AND 110900Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 10 17:24:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628801-20552>; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 17:04:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA14718; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 03:54:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6240835 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 03:53:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA37392 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 03:53:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA03065 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 03:53:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709100853.DAA03065@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Sep 1997 03:53:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 031a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7e97a85758676a361e65bd6b9b15387c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3645 Status: OR 522 WTPN32 PGTW 100900 COR 1. SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 031A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100600Z7 --- 18.8N7 150.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N7 150.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 19.5N5 147.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 20.2N4 145.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 21.0N3 142.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 21.9N2 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 23.9N4 135.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 100900Z0 POSITION 18.6N 151.8E SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WESTWARD TO WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AND SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE 35 KNOT WIND RADIUS IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE HAS BEEN EXPANDED FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING BASED ON 100005Z6 SCATTEROMETER DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z7 IS 32 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z7, 102100Z4, 110300Z5 AND 110900Z1. JUSTIFICATION: CORRECTS CLASSIFICATION OF SUPER TYPHOON AND 100900Z0 POSITION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 10 17:24:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628805-20553>; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 17:02:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA37478; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 03:57:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6240850 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 03:56:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA37740 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 03:54:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA03069 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 03:54:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709100854.DAA03069@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Sep 1997 03:54:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Forecast/advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 58162c61da1004ae44155b7f54387a91 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1785 Status: OR 535 WTPZ24 KNHC 100855 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1497 0900Z WED SEP 10 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 106.7W AT 10/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 106.7W AT 10/0900Z AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 106.5W FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 15.5N 107.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 16.6N 109.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 17.7N 110.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 106.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 18.1N 111.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 20.0N 113.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 10 17:24:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628771-20551>; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 17:05:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA14624; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 03:56:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6240842 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 03:55:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA12708 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 03:55:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA03073 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 03:55:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709100855.DAA03073@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Sep 1997 03:55:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Discussion Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 78b3c7bc4517573f9320edc8cc521021 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2875 Status: OR 536 WTPZ44 KNHC 100854 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT WED SEP 10 1997 THE CYCLONE RETAINS AN INTENSE CONVECTIVE BAND AROUND THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE...WITH DEEP CONVECTION ALSO APPEARING JUST EAST OF THE CENTER IN THE PAST HOUR OR SO. LOW-LEVEL TO MID-LEVEL CLOUD MOTIONS SHOW A WELL-DEVELOPED CIRCULATION ...WHILE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIRLY SYMMETRICAL. DVORAK T-NUMBERS HAVE REACHED 2.5...35 KNOTS...FORM TAFB...SAB AND AFGWC. THIS SYSTEM IS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM LINDA. WHILE NOT WANTING TO MAKE SIGNIFICANT CHANGES BASED ON LIMITED IR SATELLITE IMAGES...THE MOST RECENT PICTURES FROM BOTH GOES-8 AND GOES-9 SUGGEST THAT THE STORM IS MOVING TO THE RIGHT OF THE HEADING INDICATED PREVIOUSLY. THE INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO NOW BE 315/7 KT. THE 00Z AVN INITIALIZED THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE RIGHT PLACE...AN IMPROVEMENT OVER THE 12Z AND 18Z VERSIONS...BUT ALSO PUT ANOTHER VORTEX OF SIMILAR STRENGTH ABOUT 5 DEGREES TO THE SOUTHWEST. THE GFDL DID AS WELL. I CANNOT DETECT THE SECOND VORTEX IN SATELLITE IMAGES AND THIS REDUCES MY CONFIDENCE IN THE SHORT TERM FORECASTS OF THOSE MODELS...WHICH SHOW THE TWO MODEL LOWS UNDERGOING A FUJIWHARA- TYPE INTERACTION DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE LARGER-SCALE AVN EVOLUTION COULD BE MORE BELIEVABLE. AN ANTICYCLONE IS FORECAST TO REMAIN CENTERED NEAR NORTHERN MEXICO AND THE STEERING FLOW OFFSHORE THAT AREA IS SUPPOSED TO BECOME MORE SOUTHWESTERLY AHEAD OF A TROUGH APPROACHING NEAR THE END OF THE PERIOD. IF THAT OCCURS...THE TROPICAL CYCLONE COULD TURN MORE TOWARD LAND. MOST GUIDANCE SHOWS A WNW TRACK. THE CURRENT TRACK...IF THE POSITION ESTIMATE IS CORRECT...IS ALREADY TO THE RIGHT OF THE GUIDANCE...SO THE NHC FORECAST IS TO THE RIGHT OF THE GROUP AND CLOSEST TO THE NOGAPS. THE GFDL SHOWS A SEEMINGLY ODD SW MOVEMENT FROM 12 TO 36 HOURS. ALL THIS ALSO PRESUMES THAT THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO THE WNW OF LINDA DOES NOT PLAY A SIGNIFICANT ROLE IN THE STEERING. IT MIGHT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR THE CURRENT RIGHTWARD DEVIATION. THE ENVIRONMENT APPEARS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER INTENSIFICATION. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/0900Z 14.3N 106.7W 35 KTS 12HR VT 10/1800Z 15.5N 107.9W 45 KTS 24HR VT 11/0600Z 16.6N 109.1W 50 KTS 36HR VT 11/1800Z 17.7N 110.3W 55 KTS 48HR VT 12/0600Z 18.1N 111.5W 60 KTS 72HR VT 13/0600Z 20.0N 113.0W 70 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 10 17:24:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628809-20551>; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 17:12:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA16560; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 04:10:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6240909 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 04:09:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA31056 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 04:09:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA03085 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 04:09:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709100909.EAA03085@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Sep 1997 04:09:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Forecast/advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 53e741cdb9796eafb94a7a4b03a931ae X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1820 Status: OR 771 WTPZ24 KNHC 100910 COR TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1497 0900Z WED SEP 10 1997 ...CORRECTED 48 HOUR LATITUDE TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 106.7W AT 10/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 106.7W AT 10/0900Z AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 106.5W FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 15.5N 107.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 16.6N 109.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 17.7N 110.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 106.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 18.7N 111.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 20.0N 113.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 10 17:24:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628817-20552>; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 17:18:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA24164; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 04:14:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6240920 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 04:13:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA29972 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 04:13:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA03093 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 04:13:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709100913.EAA03093@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Sep 1997 04:13:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Discussion Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 725260e5fd46debe08fa0c80dc048462 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2913 Status: OR 862 WTPZ44 KNHC 100909 COR TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT WED SEP 10 1997 ...CORRECTED 48 HOUR LATITUDE... THE CYCLONE RETAINS AN INTENSE CONVECTIVE BAND AROUND THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE...WITH DEEP CONVECTION ALSO APPEARING JUST EAST OF THE CENTER IN THE PAST HOUR OR SO. LOW-LEVEL TO MID-LEVEL CLOUD MOTIONS SHOW A WELL-DEVELOPED CIRCULATION ...WHILE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIRLY SYMMETRICAL. DVORAK T-NUMBERS HAVE REACHED 2.5...35 KNOTS...FORM TAFB...SAB AND AFGWC. THIS SYSTEM IS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM LINDA. WHILE NOT WANTING TO MAKE SIGNIFICANT CHANGES BASED ON LIMITED IR SATELLITE IMAGES...THE MOST RECENT PICTURES FROM BOTH GOES-8 AND GOES-9 SUGGEST THAT THE STORM IS MOVING TO THE RIGHT OF THE HEADING INDICATED PREVIOUSLY. THE INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO NOW BE 315/7 KT. THE 00Z AVN INITIALIZED THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE RIGHT PLACE...AN IMPROVEMENT OVER THE 12Z AND 18Z VERSIONS...BUT ALSO PUT ANOTHER VORTEX OF SIMILAR STRENGTH ABOUT 5 DEGREES TO THE SOUTHWEST. THE GFDL DID AS WELL. I CANNOT DETECT THE SECOND VORTEX IN SATELLITE IMAGES AND THIS REDUCES MY CONFIDENCE IN THE SHORT TERM FORECASTS OF THOSE MODELS...WHICH SHOW THE TWO MODEL LOWS UNDERGOING A FUJIWHARA- TYPE INTERACTION DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE LARGER-SCALE AVN EVOLUTION COULD BE MORE BELIEVABLE. AN ANTICYCLONE IS FORECAST TO REMAIN CENTERED NEAR NORTHERN MEXICO AND THE STEERING FLOW OFFSHORE THAT AREA IS SUPPOSED TO BECOME MORE SOUTHWESTERLY AHEAD OF A TROUGH APPROACHING NEAR THE END OF THE PERIOD. IF THAT OCCURS...THE TROPICAL CYCLONE COULD TURN MORE TOWARD LAND. MOST GUIDANCE SHOWS A WNW TRACK. THE CURRENT TRACK...IF THE POSITION ESTIMATE IS CORRECT...IS ALREADY TO THE RIGHT OF THE GUIDANCE...SO THE NHC FORECAST IS TO THE RIGHT OF THE GROUP AND CLOSEST TO THE NOGAPS. THE GFDL SHOWS A SEEMINGLY ODD SW MOVEMENT FROM 12 TO 36 HOURS. ALL THIS ALSO PRESUMES THAT THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO THE WNW OF LINDA DOES NOT PLAY A SIGNIFICANT ROLE IN THE STEERING. IT MIGHT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR THE CURRENT RIGHTWARD DEVIATION. THE ENVIRONMENT APPEARS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER INTENSIFICATION. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/0900Z 14.3N 106.7W 35 KTS 12HR VT 10/1800Z 15.5N 107.9W 45 KTS 24HR VT 11/0600Z 16.6N 109.1W 50 KTS 36HR VT 11/1800Z 17.7N 110.3W 55 KTS 48HR VT 12/0600Z 18.7N 111.5W 60 KTS 72HR VT 13/0600Z 20.0N 113.0W 70 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 10 18:27:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626255-20552>; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 17:57:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA42314; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 04:55:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6241079 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 04:54:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA37866 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 04:54:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA03111 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 04:54:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709100954.EAA03111@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Sep 1997 04:54:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 956e0e068305a448b8e0300ed302db7f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 703 Status: OR 385 ABPA20 PHNL 101000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST WEDNESDAY SEPTEMBER 10 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 11 10:55:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628785-20551>; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 18:38:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA12764; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 05:36:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6241249 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 05:34:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA33394 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 05:34:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA03161 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 05:34:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709101034.FAA03161@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Sep 1997 05:34:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 789ef05603be434e653de7e17946fbf2 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1280 Status: OR 989 ABPZ20 KNHC 101035 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED SEP 10 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM LINDA...RECENTLY UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E...LOCATED ABOUT 565 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 1450 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THUNDERSTORMS ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS AND FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM LINDA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ24 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP4. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 11 10:55:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628878-20551>; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 22:25:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA30224; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 09:13:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6243000 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 09:11:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA20398 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 09:11:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA03300 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 09:11:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709101411.JAA03300@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Sep 1997 09:11:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 032 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 91e965f83bae2f2c16b7c1102255978c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3390 Status: OR 359 WTPN32 PGTW 101500 1. SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 032 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- 19.1N1 149.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.1N1 149.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 19.7N7 146.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 20.4N6 144.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 21.2N5 141.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 22.2N6 138.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 24.8N4 134.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 101500Z7 POSITION 19.2N 148.5E SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN SUPER TYPHOON INTENSITY WHILE MOVING IN A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DIRECTION AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z IS 35 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z4, 110300Z5, 110900Z1, 111500Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 11 10:55:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628838-20553>; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 22:38:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA42344; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 09:33:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6243134 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 09:31:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA30462 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 09:31:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA03386 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 09:31:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709101431.JAA03386@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Sep 1997 09:31:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Forecast/advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0dd7888d710085dfe80d234b5bf18185 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1913 Status: OR 719 WTPZ24 KNHC 101432 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1497 1500Z WED SEP 10 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 107.1W AT 10/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 107.1W AT 10/1500Z AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 106.9W FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 15.5N 108.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 16.5N 109.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 17.5N 110.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 107.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 18.5N 112.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 20.5N 115.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 11 10:55:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626256-20551>; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 22:41:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAB42252; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 09:34:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6243139 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 09:33:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA12570 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 09:32:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA03390 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 09:32:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709101432.JAA03390@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Sep 1997 09:32:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Discussion Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3087935e9473bc2ce9c758bf1fd38904 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1760 Status: OR 746 WTPZ44 KNHC 101433 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT WED SEP 10 1997 LINDA CONTINUES TO DEVELOP WITH INTENSE CONVECTIVE BANDS WRAPPING AROUND THE CENTER. CENTRAL CONVECTION IS NOT PROMINENT AT THIS TIME HOWEVER. CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON THE AVERAGE OF DVORAK ANALYSES FROM TAFB MIAMI AND SAB WASHINGTON...T3.0 AND 3.5 RESPECTIVELY. THE CYCLONE IS LIKELY TO REACH HURRICANE STRENGTH IN 24 HOURS...OR SOONER. THE STORM IS MOVING RATHER SLOWLY WHILE IT ORGANIZES. BEST ESTIMATE FOR INITIAL MOTION IS 315/06. GUIDANCE INDICATES A NORTHWEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IN A FEW DAYS. THE CURRENT NHC FORECAST IS QUITE SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ONE. THERE IS A MID/UPPER-LEVEL WEAKNESS AHEAD OF LINDA AS SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IMAGES. THIS WEAKNESS IS LIKELY TO MOVE WESTWARD AHEAD OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE...BUT COULD INDUCE A TRACK MORE TO THE RIGHT OF THAT INDICATED BY MOST OF THE OBJECTIVE TRACK PREDICTIONS. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/1500Z 14.7N 107.1W 50 KTS 12HR VT 11/0000Z 15.5N 108.0W 55 KTS 24HR VT 11/1200Z 16.5N 109.1W 65 KTS 36HR VT 12/0000Z 17.5N 110.5W 70 KTS 48HR VT 12/1200Z 18.5N 112.0W 75 KTS 72HR VT 13/1200Z 20.5N 115.0W 85 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 11 10:55:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628930-20550>; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 00:28:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA13718; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 11:24:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6244522 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 11:22:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA15774 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 11:22:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id LAA03647 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 11:22:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709101622.LAA03647@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Sep 1997 11:22:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ccca4af5326d2976cd6346d84f61acc5 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1207 Status: OR 492 ABPZ20 KNHC 101620 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED SEP 10 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM LINDA...LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ABOUT 1450 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM SHOWS SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AND HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM LINDA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ24 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP4. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 11 10:55:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628959-20550>; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 02:04:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA27048; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 12:38:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6245256 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 12:38:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA26508 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 12:38:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA03789 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 12:38:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709101738.MAA03789@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Sep 1997 12:38:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 762136815939f5b45faa6ba03ca1216d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 949 Status: OR 615 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/101800Z TO 111800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/HALL/HATFIELD/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 11 10:55:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628952-20550>; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 02:02:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA27062; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 12:44:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6245264 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 12:41:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA35456 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 12:38:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA03790 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 12:38:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709101738.MAA03790@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Sep 1997 12:38:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d096dbad0b074355414fec33c0401016 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1000 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 615 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/101800Z TO 111800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/HALL/HATFIELD/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 11 10:55:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628965-20553>; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 02:05:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA32552; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 12:44:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6245277 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 12:44:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA32268 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 12:43:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA03804 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 12:43:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709101743.MAA03804@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Sep 1997 12:43:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f61f1dcc1672ab32f13ab88f07f5cf43 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 947 Status: OR 646 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/101800Z TO 111800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FOREKAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/HALL/T ELD/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 11 10:55:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628952-20550>; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 01:49:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA09586; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 12:48:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6245295 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 12:46:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA40974 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 12:43:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA03805 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 12:43:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709101743.MAA03805@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Sep 1997 12:43:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8160a67c4d694b3d1b7b76dc14bb4f4f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 998 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 646 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/101800Z TO 111800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FOREKAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/HALL/T ELD/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 11 10:55:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628976-20553>; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 04:32:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA46016; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 15:11:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6246928 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 15:09:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA20368 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 15:09:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA04092 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 15:09:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709102009.PAA04092@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Sep 1997 15:09:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 033 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 62c1e6325e6800bf62bf0da42f132c0e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3551 Status: OR 972 WTPN32 PGTW 102100 1. SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 033 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101800Z0 --- 19.2N2 148.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.2N2 148.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 20.1N3 145.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 20.7N9 142.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 21.8N1 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 22.8N2 137.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 25.4N1 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 102100Z4 POSITION 19.4N 147.4E SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) ONCE AGAIN INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND ANIMATION AT 101730Z2. IMAGERY SHOWS AN INCREASE IN COLD CLOUD TOPS THAT ENCIRCLE THE EYE. ADJUSTED WIND RADII ARE BASED ON RECENT SCATTEROMETER DATA RECEIVED AT 101249Z. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z IS 35 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z5, 110900Z1, 111500Z8 AND 112100Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 11 10:55:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628992-20553>; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 04:54:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA08682; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 15:43:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6247297 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 15:42:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA30330 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 15:42:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA04147 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 15:42:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709102042.PAA04147@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Sep 1997 15:42:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Discussion Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 16a9ac651da7b87f7cbc1a706e3c0453 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1804 Status: OR 433 WTPZ44 KNHC 102041 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT WED SEP 10 1997 BANDING FEATURES ARE WELL-DEFINED BUT THERE IS NOT MUCH OF A CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST AT THIS TIME. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB MIAMI...SAB WASHINGTON...AND THE AIR FORCE GLOBAL WEATHER CENTER IN OMAHA ARE A CONSENSUS 3.5 WHICH IS 55 KNOTS. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS IMPRESSIVE AND IT SEEMS INEVITABLE THAT LINDA WILL BECOME A HURRICANE. CONTINUED STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST UNTIL THE TROPICAL CYCLONE REACHES MARGINAL SSTS. THE ORGANIZING STORM HAS MOVED QUITE SLOWLY TODAY. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS NW AT 5 KNOTS. OUR TRACK PREDICTION MODELS AGREE FAIRLY WELL ON A HEADING NEAR 305 DEGREES FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS BUT WITH VARYING FORWARD SPEEDS. THE NHC TRACK FORECAST SHOWS SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE PERIOD. I AM STILL A BIT CONCERNED THAT THE MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH...SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY ABOUT 10 DEGREES TO THE NORTHWEST OF LINDA...MAY INDUCE A MORE NORTHWARD MOTION THAN FORECAST. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/2100Z 15.1N 107.4W 55 KTS 12HR VT 11/0600Z 15.6N 107.9W 65 KTS 24HR VT 11/1800Z 16.8N 109.3W 70 KTS 36HR VT 12/0600Z 18.0N 111.0W 75 KTS 48HR VT 12/1800Z 19.3N 113.0W 80 KTS 72HR VT 13/1800Z 21.5N 116.5W 80 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 11 10:55:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628985-20551>; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 04:54:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA43890; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 15:46:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6247329 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 15:45:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA33410 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 15:45:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA04152 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 15:45:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709102045.PAA04152@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Sep 1997 15:45:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Forecast/advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3d7f3cff5c4fcdb01740a462ccf68e79 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1945 Status: OR 434 WTPZ24 KNHC 102042 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1497 2100Z WED SEP 10 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 107.4W AT 10/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 107.4W AT 10/2100Z AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 107.1W FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 15.6N 107.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 16.8N 109.3W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 18.0N 111.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 107.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 19.3N 113.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 21.5N 116.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 11 10:55:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628976-20553>; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 05:52:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA34334; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 16:43:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6248017 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 16:42:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA30082 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 16:42:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA04290 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 16:42:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709102142.QAA04290@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Sep 1997 16:42:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9ae5dc9cfc28228f8aaea641703992b9 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 691 Status: OR 287 ABPA20 PHNL 102200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST WEDNESDAY SEPTEMBER 10 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH THURSDAY. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 11 10:55:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628988-20550>; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 06:24:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA30210; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 17:19:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6248354 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 17:18:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA21132 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 17:18:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA04346 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 17:18:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709102218.RAA04346@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Sep 1997 17:18:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 88191907205b51d9d36e7eda3f72d2a9 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1256 Status: OR 765 ABPZ20 KNHC 102210 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED SEP 10 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM LINDA...LOCATED ABOUT 560 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. LINDA IS EXPECTED TO SOON BECOME A HURRICANE. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ABOUT 1450 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM SHOWS SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AND HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM LINDA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ24 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP4. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 11 10:55:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626299-22981>; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 10:52:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA17730; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 21:29:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6250755 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 21:27:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA37070 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 21:27:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA04626 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 21:27:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709110227.VAA04626@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Sep 1997 21:27:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Discussion Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7887bfbc90cdbdfbd2b65bc7215a3796 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2001 Status: OR 607 WTPZ44 KNHC 110228 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT WED SEP 10 1997 LINDA LOOKS IMPRESSIVE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WITH CDO CLOUD TOPS COLDER THAN -80C AND A HINT OF A WARM SPOT EYE ON THE PAST FEW PICS. INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 65 KNOTS IN AGREEMENT WITH LATEST DVORAK ESTIMATES...MAKING LINDA A HURRICANE. THE UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW PATTERN IS WELL ESTABLISHED AND THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN UNTIL REACHING MARGINAL SSTS LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 320/06. THE NWS AVIATION MODEL AND THE NAVY NOGAPS MODEL BOTH BUILD THE 500 MB HEIGHTS OVER NORTHERN MEXICO... WHICH SHOULD KEEP LINDA AWAY FROM BAJA. HOWEVER...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH ABOUT 10 DEGREES TO THE NORTHWEST OF LINDA THAT COULD TURN LINDA MORE TOWARD THE NORTH IN THE SHORT TERM. THE MODELS TEND TO MOVE THE MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WESTWARD AND WEAKEN IT. IT SEEMS TO ME THAT THERE IS SOME CHANCE THAT THE WESTWARD MOTION OF THE TROUGH WILL NOT OCCUR TOO SOON...GIVEN THE AMPLIFYING MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE OVER A SLOW-MOVING TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ALONG 130W. FOR NOW...OUR TRACK FOLLOWS THE NAVY NOGAPS AND THE DEEP LAYER BAM. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/0300Z 15.7N 107.6W 65 KTS 12HR VT 11/1200Z 16.6N 108.4W 75 KTS 24HR VT 12/0000Z 17.8N 109.8W 80 KTS 36HR VT 12/1200Z 19.1N 111.4W 85 KTS 48HR VT 13/0000Z 20.3N 113.1W 90 KTS 72HR VT 14/0000Z 22.5N 116.5W 90 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 11 10:55:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625876-22980>; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 10:42:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAB33814; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 21:31:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6250780 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 21:30:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA34730 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 21:30:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA04631 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 21:29:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709110229.VAA04631@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Sep 1997 21:29:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Forecast/advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: df10b3e404fd43b2e18d1839649c613a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1974 Status: OR 636 WTPZ24 KNHC 110230 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1497 0300Z THU SEP 11 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 107.6W AT 11/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 107.6W AT 11/0300Z AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 107.5W FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 16.6N 108.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 17.8N 109.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 19.1N 111.4W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 107.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 20.3N 113.1W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 22.5N 116.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 11 11:52:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626333-8207>; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 11:50:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA20686; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 22:14:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6251247 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 22:12:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA37712 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 22:12:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA04683 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 22:12:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709110312.WAA04683@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Sep 1997 22:12:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 034 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 78474c0d13eb7921e9b4ca95b111aee2 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3420 Status: OR 263 WTPN32 PGTW 110300 1. SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 034 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- 19.5N5 146.6E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.5N5 146.6E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 20.1N3 143.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 20.8N0 141.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 21.6N9 138.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 22.7N1 136.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 24.9N5 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 19.6N6 145.9E9 SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING WESTWARD A 13 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z IS 39 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z1, 111500Z8, 112100Z5 AND 120300Z6.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG95352540153 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 11 13:29:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626296-8208>; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 13:04:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA34334; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 23:57:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6251913 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 23:55:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA21196 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 23:55:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id XAA04826 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 1997 23:55:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709110455.XAA04826@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 10 Sep 1997 23:55:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0a6cb889deff944d93063c10da059fdc X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1098 Status: OR 827 ABPZ20 KNHC 110453 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED SEP 10 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LINDA...LOCATED ABOUT 515 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ABOUT 1450 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SHOWS SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AND COULD DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 11 13:29:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626347-8208>; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 13:10:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA30546; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 00:04:57 -0500 Message-Id: <199709110504.AAA30546@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 00:01:25 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 9 Sep 1997 to 10 Sep 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: e021604388be99bf71d80deb6f26f840 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 22057 Status: OR There are 7 messages totalling 438 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. How much is too much coverage?? (6) 2. Florida EXPLORES presents IMAGE-IN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 10 Sep 1997 16:25:55 UT From: eric elwell Subject: How much is too much coverage?? Being a TV meteorologist in a severe weather market, I certainly understand the seriousness of covering severe weather. But lately, I have felt that some TV stations in this market are going overboard. I am curious as to what others in the field of meteorology and those who are in other markets feel as to what is too much weather coverage. There is one unnamed station here who will split programming with their radar every time there is a strong (not necessarily severe) thunderstorm anywhere in the viewing area. Now, I might can understand this if the storm was affecting a large populated area. Being that we are in the 4th largest DMA area coverage in the U.S., you wind up pissing off 98% of your viewing area by splitting programming. Plus, living in Kansas, most people are just use to thunderstorms. Also, some stations here will completely break into all programming for severe thunderstorm warnings. I would prefer just letting our First Alert crawl system handle it... but am I right ?? I mean, the first alert system gives the type of warning, for who, some cities affected with time of arrivals, and warning expiration time. Isn't this enough?? I remember growing up and not seeing any TV meteorologists "breaking in" unless there was a tornado warning. I do realize that some TV mets do it because news directors like this. But are stations desensitizing the public with too much weather coverage?? How much is too much?? Let me know what you think. - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Eric W. Elwell - - Meteorologist -=ams=- - - - - KAKE-TV Channel 10 (ABC Kansas) - - Wichita, Kansas - - Email: stormguy@msn.com - - Email Pager: wic8311733@lcspage.com - - Work Phone (Voice Mail) 316-946-1378 - - Amateur Radio # KD4BNT - ----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 10 Sep 1997 13:28:06 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: How much is too much coverage?? Eric Elwell writes: > Being a TV meteorologist in a severe weather market, I certainly understand > the seriousness of covering severe weather. But lately, I have felt that some > TV stations in this market are going overboard. I am curious as to what > others in the field of meteorology and those who are in other markets feel as > to what is too much weather coverage. > > There is one unnamed station here who will split programming with their radar > every time there is a strong (not necessarily severe) thunderstorm anywhere in > the viewing area. Now, I might can understand this if the storm was affecting > a large populated area. Being that we are in the 4th largest DMA area > coverage in the U.S., you wind up pissing off 98% of your viewing area by > splitting programming. Plus, living in Kansas, most people are just use to > thunderstorms. > > Also, some stations here will completely break into all programming for severe > thunderstorm warnings. I would prefer just letting our First Alert crawl > system handle it... but am I right ?? I mean, the first alert system gives > the type of warning, for who, some cities affected with time of arrivals, and > warning expiration time. Isn't this enough?? Eric, As a broadcast meteorologist myself, if you are given control of the situation (that is, it is up to YOU, not the news director to decide when you break in beforehand), I offer this, from my experience. You should break in for life-threatening situations. Always. A severe thunderstorm, flash flood, tornado and *blizzard* warning (did that!) falls under this criteria. These weather situations offer enough hazards that the threat of loss of life due to said events is raised to a level beyond negligible or small. Severe thunderstorm warnings may not seem bad, *BUT* 60 MPH winds, and intense lightning will cause big trouble for golfers and other outdoor activities; construction firms, computer networks due to power surges/loss (a biggie these days), and so forth. In these cases, a severe thunderstorm warning can prevent a lot of these things from happening, even if some aren't life threatening per se. Hail rarely is big enough to kill, but the very intense lightning that usually accompanies severe storms does, of course. I always used to break in for a severe thunderstorm or a tornado watch. My advice is this: Instantly put up that corner display for a watch. During the next available 30 or 60 second "promo", drop out of it and go live with the watch. The amount of time you'd have to wait is usually no more than 10 minutes, and that's tolerable for a watch. This is partly public service, and the best promo you can do for your station! To top it off, you don't tick folks off during programming. Exception: I *would* break in immediately for an SPC PDS box "Particularly Dangerous Situation", *especially* if there are going to be a lot of folks outside for festivals, fairs, or what have you. This is when SPC is forecasting a true severe weather outbreak that you'll be sending reporters out for afterwards showing all the damage. As for that corner display for non-severe situations...especially for those folks in Kansas, I really think it is overkill. Again, if things are borderline severe, such as 50 MPH wind reports with damage coming in, it's your call. You can also do the promo drop-out as I mentioned earlier. But I think Kansans are pretty much used to that by now. Even in my short 3 year stint so far in broadcasting, I've seen severe t-storm warnings unexpectedly become tornado warnings and then the doggone thing drops a tube. It's piece of mind to know you heightened awareness before the big one hit. FWIW, Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 10 Sep 1997 16:09:53 -0500 From: Tim Doggett Subject: Re: How much is too much coverage?? On Wed, 10 Sep 1997, Gilbert L. Sebenste wrote: > You should break in for life-threatening situations. Always. A severe > thunderstorm, flash flood, tornado and *blizzard* warning (did that!) > falls under this criteria. Ok Gil, you set yourself up for this one. I think the blizzard warning is jumping the gun a little. Blizzards don't tend to sneak up on people, nor do they go anywhere very fast. I'm sure you could wait until the next convenient break to cut in. Better yet, just scroll the sucker. Also, you mentioned the need to get information out as quickly as possible because people outdoors need to be notified (golfers, construction workers, etc). I understand your underlying concern here, but I doubt these folks are watching TV! :) -Tim ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 10 Sep 1997 16:21:06 +0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Re: How much is too much coverage?? Gilbert Sebenste wrote... >Severe thunderstorm warnings may not seem bad, *BUT* 60 MPH winds, >and intense lightning will cause big trouble for golfers and other >outdoor activities; construction firms... All of whom are people that won't be watching TV anyway! Golf courses and construction firms should have weather radios and a safety person designated to monitor the situation. >...computer networks due to power surges/loss (a biggie these days), >and so forth. In these cases, a severe thunderstorm warning can prevent >a lot of these things from happening, even if some aren't life >threatening per se. I am not aware of any companies that shut down their computers when thunderstorms are approaching. I know we don't. They make surge protectors and uninterruptable power supplies to prevent damage. >Hail rarely is big enough to kill, but the very intense lightning that >usually accompanies severe storms does, of course. If there's intense lightning people should come indoors. If they are outdoors watching the intense lightning then they are not watching TV and thus they will not see your warning anyway. If they are indoors because of the intense lightning then they are about as safe as they can get. My personal OPINION is to interrupt programming when the watch is first issued so that people know the weather situation may be changing. Run crawls and corner maps (bugs) for all watches and warnings. At the TV met's discretion programming can be interrupted (perhaps where a station promo or ID would normally have been run) to update viewers --especially if the situation is rapidly unfolding. For tornado warnings always break programming. I realize this runs contrary to what many TV mets to do and what some station maganers want to see, however, the average citizen will never know the difference between a tornado warning and a severe thunderstorm warning if they've already mentally tuned you out because if constant interruptions. My station prefers to interrupt programming for *all* warnings and I hate this. When a slow-moving squall line comes across we might be interrupting programming every 15 minutes as the line crosses each new band of counties. It's all done under the guise of "public service" but in my opinion its done simply to hype ratings and provide the TV met with more air time. If people stop paying attention to the warnings because there are too many interruptions then the station, in my opinion, is doing a dis-service. Then again, since the purpose of our station is to generate higher ratings and ultimately more revenue, perhaps we should interrupt programming with weather updates all the time --even when it's sunny! ;-) ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 10 Sep 1997 14:16:55 -0400 From: Kevin Kloesel Subject: Florida EXPLORES presents IMAGE-IN FLORIDA EXPLORES! is pleased to present =======> IMAGE-IN! "Imagery for Meteorological Applications and Geophysical Education on the INternet" IMAGE-IN is your guide to using meteorological satellite imagery in the K-12 classroom. This web-based distance learning course consists of eight, one week-long modules on phenomena which can be investigated using weather satellite imagery. One module per week will be presented, and participants will be asked to submit answers to questions provided in each module. Each module is designed to take on the order of an hour or two to complete. Evaluation forms will be requested on Friday of each week from each of the participants. These forms will help formulate a web-based college course on satellite imagery interpretation and applications for the K-12 classroom. For Florida teachers participating in IMAGE-IN, in-service credit points will be awarded in the form of a certificate upon completion of the 8 week course. For teachers outside of Florida, we will work with your local administrators so that you recieve proper credit. (At this time, no college credit is available for this web-based course.) For a sneak preview, a calendar of modules and an on-line registration form surf to the explores! web page (http://www.met.fsu.edu/explores) and click on "IMAGE-IN" or surf directly to.. http://www.met.fsu.edu/explores/IMAGE-IN/image-in.html We look forward to serving you in your integration of weather satellite imagery into your K-12 curricula! Kevin ******************************************************************************* Dr. Kevin Kloesel Florida State University "To steal ideas from one person is plagiarism; Department of Meteorology 4520 ...to steal from many is research" Tallahassee, FL 32306-4520 -unknown voice 850-644-1268; fax 850-644-9642 email: kloesel@met.fsu.edu www: http://www.met.fsu.edu/explores/kloesel/kloesel.html ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 10 Sep 1997 17:08:16 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: How much is too much coverage?? Chris Novy sez: > Gilbert Sebenste wrote... > > >Severe thunderstorm warnings may not seem bad, *BUT* 60 MPH winds, > >and intense lightning will cause big trouble for golfers and other > >outdoor activities; construction firms... > > All of whom are people that won't be watching TV anyway! Golf courses > and construction firms should have weather radios and a safety person > designated to monitor the situation. True. But believe it or not, I have been to many construction sites locally (lot of that going on around here), and I used to get many calls from them when I wasn't on the air. Many would mention to me that they do have small black and white TV's in there for monitoring weather bulletins from my station. Golf courses are the same. Ironic, but it's the truth, at least around here. I wholeheartedly agree that they should be getting their warning info from NOAA wx radio, and I tell them that they should get one if they don't already have one. > >...computer networks due to power surges/loss (a biggie these days), > >and so forth. In these cases, a severe thunderstorm warning can prevent > >a lot of these things from happening, even if some aren't life > >threatening per se. > > I am not aware of any companies that shut down their computers when > thunderstorms are approaching. I know we don't. They make surge > protectors and uninterruptable power supplies to prevent damage. Some companies (and many private individuals) just turn off their individual station (discretion of user--my sister at work does it anyway, even though they have lots of protection--doesn't trust it). And many at home unplug microwaves, computers and such. Again, your mileage may vary. I unplug all my stuff, if I'm at home and the warning goes out; or if I know there will be a good chance it will happen before I get home, I unplug the stuff before I leave. > >Hail rarely is big enough to kill, but the very intense lightning that > >usually accompanies severe storms does, of course. > > If there's intense lightning people should come indoors. If they are > outdoors watching the intense lightning then they are not watching TV > and thus they will not see your warning anyway. If they are indoors > because of the intense lightning then they are about as safe as they > can get. > My personal OPINION is to interrupt programming when the watch is > first issued so that people know the weather situation may be changing. > Run crawls and corner maps (bugs) for all watches and warnings. At the > TV met's discretion programming can be interrupted (perhaps where a station > promo or ID would normally have been run) to update viewers --especially > if the situation is rapidly unfolding. For tornado warnings always break > programming. > > I realize this runs contrary to what many TV mets to do and what some > station maganers want to see, however, the average citizen will never > know the difference between a tornado warning and a severe thunderstorm > warning if they've already mentally tuned you out because if constant > interruptions. My station prefers to interrupt programming for *all* > warnings and I hate this. When a slow-moving squall line comes across > we might be interrupting programming every 15 minutes as the line crosses > each new band of counties. It's all done under the guise of "public service" > but in my opinion its done simply to hype ratings and provide the TV > met with more air time. If people stop paying attention to the warnings > because there are too many interruptions then the station, in my opinion, > is doing a dis-service. I agree, BUT the NWS *only* issues a warning when life and property are in imminent danger. This is what we need to tell people! I used to get angry calls because I was breaking into programming with tornado and severe thunderstorm warnings--with people saying "who cares if they get hit". That scares me far more than "I'm tired of programming being interrupted because of warnings not for my area, or new ones every x minutes". Continuous interruptions are unnecessary unless you have several tornadic supercells moving across your viewing area. As always, discretion is advised. > Then again, since the purpose of our station is > to generate higher ratings and ultimately more revenue, perhaps we should > interrupt programming with weather updates all the time --even when > it's sunny! ;-) > > ..Chris.. And given the recent weather around here, that hasn't happened often, eh? :-) Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 10 Sep 1997 17:41:27 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: How much is too much coverage?? On Wed, 10 Sep 1997, Tim Doggett wrote: > On Wed, 10 Sep 1997, Gilbert L. Sebenste wrote: > > You should break in for life-threatening situations. Always. A severe > > thunderstorm, flash flood, tornado and *blizzard* warning (did that!) > > falls under this criteria. > > Ok Gil, you set yourself up for this one. I think the blizzard warning > is jumping the gun a little. Blizzards don't tend to sneak up on people, > nor do they go anywhere very fast. I'm sure you could wait until the > next convenient break to cut in. Better yet, just scroll the sucker. Actually, the one I broke in on *was* a surprise. All day long, forecasters were calling for 4"-6" of snow. But the models didn't initialize the moisture field properly (I didn't have access to raobs at the time, just DiFAX, and only a few maps, grrrr...) and so suddenly it was a 12"+ deal for the morning rush. The warning was issued at 8PM. I called my then-news director, who hates break-ins, PERIOD. I told her what was happening, and she agreed wholeheartedly! This during "Seinfeld" which was pulling a 50 share at the time (IE half of all people who had their Tv's on were watching me break in). Get this: no angry calls, but many the next day calling in *appreciation*! I wouldn't have believed it myself if it didn't happen to me. The city was shut down for a day. Why can't this happen to me during and after tornado warnings? Sigh. Anyway... > Also, you mentioned the need to get information out as quickly as > possible because people outdoors need to be notified (golfers, > construction workers, etc). I understand your underlying concern here, > but I doubt these folks are watching TV! Ah, but see my previous post. Maybe our area is not representative of others, but from visiting these sites doing talks, phone inquiries, etc, they do have TV's in many locations. Many report they like to "see" what's happening, not just "hear" about it. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 9 Sep 1997 to 10 Sep 1997 ************************************************* From - Thu Sep 11 15:48:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626355-8207>; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 14:24:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA30680; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 01:22:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6252404 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 01:20:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA45852 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 01:19:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA04897 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 01:19:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709110619.BAA04897@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 01:19:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2d0d920a70c9bb2f79ecb73c7f4a67ce X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2654 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 133 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 110153Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 101251Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110000Z1 SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WAS LOCATED AT 19.5N5 146.6E7 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 140 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 170 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 34 (WTPN32 PGTW 110300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 169E6 IS NOW LOCATED AT 10N2 170E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA CONTINUE TO INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT WTPN21 PGTW 101300). (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 170E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8S8 170E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE BETTER ORGANIZED WITH MORE CENTRAL DEEP CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER HAS WEAKENED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 11 15:48:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626371-8208>; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 14:26:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA30590; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 01:20:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6252399 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 01:19:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA24090 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 01:19:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA04896 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 01:19:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709110619.BAA04896@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 01:19:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 109f65b894d8200b54b8881617d1c202 X-Mozilla-Status: 8005 Content-Length: 2600 Status: OR 133 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 110153Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 101251Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110000Z1 SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WAS LOCATED AT 19.5N5 146.6E7 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 140 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 170 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 34 (WTPN32 PGTW 110300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 169E6 IS NOW LOCATED AT 10N2 170E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA CONTINUE TO INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT WTPN21 PGTW 101300). (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 170E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8S8 170E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE BETTER ORGANIZED WITH MORE CENTRAL DEEP CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER HAS WEAKENED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 11 23:21:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626366-11349>; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 18:13:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA37064; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 03:21:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6252884 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 03:19:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA37730 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 03:19:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA05110 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 03:19:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709110819.DAA05110@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 03:19:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 035 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3e30dac55ee10a85e6a5dc1b2b3e65de X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3381 Status: OR 070 WTPN32 PGTW 110900 1. SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 035 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- 19.9N9 145.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.9N9 145.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 20.9N1 142.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 21.9N2 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 22.8N2 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 23.8N3 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 25.8N5 130.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 20.1N3 144.7E6 SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z IS 39 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8, 112100Z5, 120300Z6 AND 120900Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 11 23:21:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626358-8207>; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 16:35:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA37870; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 03:28:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6252895 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 03:26:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA26808 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 03:26:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA05114 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 03:26:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709110826.DAA05114@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 03:26:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 035 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 371618124bbd284c831b065ed0b9df2b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3390 Status: OR 146 WTPN32 PGTW 110900 1. SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 035 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- 19.9N9 145.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.9N9 145.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 20.9N1 142.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 21.9N2 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 22.8N2 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 23.8N3 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 25.8N5 130.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION 20.1N3 144.7E6 SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z IS 39 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8, 112100Z5, 120300Z6 AND 120900Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 11 23:21:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626371-11347>; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 17:31:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA30654; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 03:45:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6252933 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 03:42:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA33312 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 03:36:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA05138 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 03:36:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709110836.DAA05138@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 03:36:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Forecast/advisory Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5ccccb7bc80dd7efa57f921e3cdd1cb6 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1971 Status: OR 257 WTPZ24 KNHC 110838 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1497 0900Z THU SEP 11 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 108.2W AT 11/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 108.2W AT 11/0900Z AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 107.9W FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 16.8N 108.9W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 17.9N 110.2W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 19.0N 112.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 108.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 20.0N 114.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 22.0N 118.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 11 23:21:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626380-11349>; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 16:54:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA17726; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 03:48:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6252946 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 03:45:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA45890 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 03:37:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA05142 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 03:37:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709110837.DAA05142@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 03:37:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Discussion Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 71179cb0c72446044c23b2ca3bfbc14e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1628 Status: OR 289 WTPZ44 KNHC 110839 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT THU SEP 11 1997 THE HURRICANE CONTINUES TO EXHIBIT VERY COLD CLOUD TOPS...COLDER THAN -80C...OVER ITS SOUTHWESTERN SEMICIRCLE. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW LOOKS STRONG EXCEPT OVER THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT. FURTHER INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST...BEING LIMITED NEAR THE END OF THE PERIOD BY COOLING SSTS. INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED AT 315/06. TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS GENERALLY INDICATE A NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD HEADING THROUGH THE PERIOD. LOOKING AT THE LATEST AVN MODEL RUN...THERE APPEARS TO BE SUFFICIENT MID-LEVEL RIDGING TO THE NORTH OF LINDA TO PREVENT A SIGNIFICANT NORTHWARD TURN. HOWEVER THE MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD KEEP NUDGING LINDA A LITTLE NORTHWESTWARD FOR A WHILE LONGER. THIS TROUGH APPEARS TO BE WEAKENING. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/0900Z 16.0N 108.2W 75 KTS 12HR VT 11/1800Z 16.8N 108.9W 80 KTS 24HR VT 12/0600Z 17.9N 110.2W 85 KTS 36HR VT 12/1800Z 19.0N 112.0W 90 KTS 48HR VT 13/0600Z 20.0N 114.0W 95 KTS 72HR VT 14/0600Z 22.0N 118.0W 95 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 11 23:21:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626372-11348>; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 17:05:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA20728; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 03:55:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6252969 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 03:54:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA17728 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 03:53:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA05158 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 03:53:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709110853.DAA05158@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 03:53:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 035 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a4b30507c30373ea6bdb7dafd5169d3b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3519 Status: OR 379 WTPN32 PGTW 110900 1. SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 035 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- 19.9N9 145.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: PAGE 04 RUHGSGG9824 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.9N9 145.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 20.9N1 142.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 05 RUHGSGG9824 UNCLAS 120600Z9 --- 21.9N2 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 22.8N2 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: PAGE 06 RUHGSGG9824 UNCLAS 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 23.8N3 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 25.8N5 130.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: PAGE 07 RUHGSGG9824 UNCLAS 110900Z1 POSITION 20.1N3 144.7E6 SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z IS 39 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8, 112100Z5, 120300Z6 AND 120900Z2.// BT #9824 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 11 23:21:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626391-11348>; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 18:32:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA42868; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 05:00:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6253328 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 04:59:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA35342 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 04:59:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA05185 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 04:59:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709110959.EAA05185@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 04:59:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 17852425b4c592464842ab0830cc0c65 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 690 Status: OR 356 ABPA20 PHNL 111000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST THURSDAY SEPTEMBER 11 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH FRIDAY. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 11 23:21:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626409-11347>; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 18:34:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA35420; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 05:30:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6253402 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 05:28:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA43970 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 05:28:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA05217 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 05:28:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709111028.FAA05217@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 05:28:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e5a047c75bfe84fe6de37f75ac43ff4e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1086 Status: OR 806 ABPZ20 KNHC 111027 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU SEP 11 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LINDA...LOCATED ABOUT 490 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ABOUT 1600 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SHOW SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AND COULD DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 11 23:21:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629035-11346>; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 21:20:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA35440; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 08:12:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6254667 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 08:11:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA33850 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 08:11:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id IAA05337 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 08:11:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709111311.IAA05337@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 08:11:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 036 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5676d95d29c40e52763d0fb7bded9d34 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3566 Status: OR 058 WTPN32 PGTW 111500 1. SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 036 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- 20.4N6 144.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.4N6 144.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 21.6N9 142.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 22.7N1 139.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 23.7N2 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 24.5N1 134.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 26.3N1 129.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION 20.7N9 143.9E7 SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) STILL DISPLAYS A 31 NM CLOUD-FILLED EYE BUT HAS BEGUN TO WEAKEN. THAT TREND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z IS 37 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5, 120300Z6, 120900Z2 AND 121500Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 11 23:21:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629043-11347>; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 22:52:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA12568; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 09:48:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6255637 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 09:46:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA12358 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 09:46:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA05467 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 09:46:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709111446.JAA05467@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 09:46:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Forecast/advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0b3a1066f855f12524fbc6c662d81a23 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1971 Status: OR 843 WTPZ24 KNHC 111447 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1497 1500Z THU SEP 11 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 108.5W AT 11/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW 34 KT.......120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 108.5W AT 11/1500Z AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 108.2W FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 16.7N 109.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 17.7N 111.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 18.5N 112.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 108.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 19.5N 114.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 21.5N 118.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 11 23:21:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626386-11347>; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 22:53:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA39538; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 09:50:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6255651 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 09:48:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA39620 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 09:47:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA05472 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 09:47:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709111447.JAA05472@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 09:47:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Discussion Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0a76a903fe962205c728baff1f38138a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2052 Status: OR 845 WTPZ44 KNHC 111449 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT THU SEP 11 1997 LINDA IS INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY AS INDICATED BY OBJECTIVE T-NUMBERS WHICH HAVE REACHED 6.4 IN THE LAST HOUR. SUBJECTIVE T-NUMBERS ARE 5.0 BUT AND INCREASING. INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN ADJUSTED TO 100 KNOTS...IN BETWEEN BOTH ESTIMATES. THIS MAKES LINDA THE FOURTH MAJOR HURRICANE (CATEGORY 3 OR HIGHER ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE) IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC THIS SEASON. LINDA HAS A DISTINCT EYE AND THE OUTFLOW IS FAIR. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS INDICATED SINCE THERE IS PLENTY OF TIME BEFORE LINDA MOVES OVER COOL WATERS. INITIAL MOTION IS 310/07. TRACK MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ...PRIMARILY DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS...SHOWING A GENERAL NORTHWEST TRACK. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS PRACTICALLY IN THE MIDDLE OF THE ENSEMBLE. HOWEVER...THERE IS A HINT THAT LINDA COULD TURN MORE TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST BEYOND 48 HOURS AS THE RIDGE BUILDS AND A SHORTWAVE MOVES EASTWARD AWAY FROM THE AREA. APPARENTLY...THE UPPER-TROUGH CURRENTLY SEEN ON WV IMAGES...JUST WEST OF LINDA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND WILL NOT AFFECT THE TRACK. HOWEVER...WE WILL CLOSELY MONITOR THE EVOLUTION OF THIS TROUGH BECAUSE...IF IT PERSISTS...IT COULD INDUCE A MORE NORTHERLY TRACK. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/1500Z 16.0N 108.5W 100 KTS 12HR VT 12/0000Z 16.7N 109.5W 110 KTS 24HR VT 12/1200Z 17.7N 111.0W 110 KTS 36HR VT 13/0000Z 18.5N 112.5W 110 KTS 48HR VT 13/1200Z 19.5N 114.5W 110 KTS 72HR VT 14/1200Z 21.5N 118.5W 110 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 12 08:26:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629059-11348>; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 00:02:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA40742; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 10:58:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6256780 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 10:57:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA33068 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 10:56:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id KAA05557 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 10:56:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709111556.KAA05557@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 10:56:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7ed5cf93d76163f55f791a562a0d3349 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1073 Status: OR 944 ABPZ20 KNHC 111557 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU SEP 11 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LINDA...LOCATED ABOUT 485 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ABOUT 1500 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SHOW SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AND COULD DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY OR FRIDAY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 12 08:26:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629071-11347>; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 01:27:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA16856; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 12:26:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6258010 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 12:24:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA41020 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 12:24:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA05752 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 12:24:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709111724.MAA05752@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 12:24:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e56c8025c40c6618c7fd99c468a9b409 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 930 Status: OR 544 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z TO 121800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY,WOFFORD,BACON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 12 08:26:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629079-11349>; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 01:32:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA33064; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 12:28:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6258028 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 12:26:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA24398 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 12:24:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA05753 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 12:24:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709111724.MAA05753@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 12:24:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: af67ccb04d87baaa012549574cb80052 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 981 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 544 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z TO 121800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY,WOFFORD,BACON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 12 08:26:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626381-11349>; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 03:40:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA20422; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 14:27:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6259362 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 14:25:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA26532 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 14:25:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id OAA05977 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 14:25:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709111925.OAA05977@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 14:25:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 037 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a2655701ff5646813c4020285605f372 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3556 Status: OR 729 WTPN32 PGTW 112100 1. SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 037 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- 20.8N0 142.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N0 142.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 21.9N2 140.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 23.0N5 137.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 24.0N6 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 25.1N8 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 27.1N0 128.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION 21.1N4 142.1E8 SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 72 HOURS AND CONTINUE WEAKENING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z IS 36 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6, 120900Z2, 121500Z9 AND 122100Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 12 08:26:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629075-11349>; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 04:27:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA26102; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 15:11:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6260142 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 15:10:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA15734 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 15:10:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA06053 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 15:09:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709112009.PAA06053@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 15:09:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: This Warning Supersedes And Cancels Navpacmetoccen West To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 41f9c8eaf7371a2cf51627399a83b2bd X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2867 Status: OR 275 WTPN31 PGTW 112100 THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 111151Z SEP 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 111200 ) 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- 11.7N9 170.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.7N9 170.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 12.3N6 169.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 13.0N4 168.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 13.7N1 167.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 14.4N9 166.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 15.5N1 162.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION 11.9N1 170.5E3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W HAS FORMED IN THE EASTERN MARSHALL ISLANDS AND IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 111730Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN DEEP LAYER FLOW FROM THE EAST-SOUTHEAST TO THE SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT LESS THAN A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE BECAUSE IT IS STILL ORGANIZING AND ITS LARGER THAN AVERAGE SIZE. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A LARGER THAN AVERAGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0), 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6), 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3) AND 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 111151Z SEP 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 111200).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 12 08:26:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629081-11346>; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 04:28:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA34912; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 15:25:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6260241 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 15:24:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA34726 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 15:24:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA06092 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 15:24:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709112024.PAA06092@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 15:24:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Discussion Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c361f1eaab33bee28524368d3b8c50b9 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1663 Status: OR 476 WTPZ44 KNHC 112022 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT THU SEP 11 1997 LINDA CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY RAPIDLY AND T-NUMBERS FROM SAB AND TAFB ARE 6.5 IN THE DVORAK SCALE. MAX OBJECTIVE T-NUMBERS REACHED 7.3 IN THE LAST HOUR. LINDA HAS A SMALL BUT DISTINCT EYE EMBEDDED WITHIN A RING OF VERY DEEP CONVECTION. WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE AT LEAST 130 KNOTS IN THE EYEWALL WHICH IN FACT...HAS A SMALL DIAMETER. THIS MAKES LINDA A STRONG CATEGORY FOUR ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE INDICATIONS ARE THAT A RIDGE WILL BUILD NORTHEAST OF LINDA. THIS SCENARIO SUGGESTS THAT LINDA SHOULD CONTINUE ON A GENERAL NORTHWEST TRACK...AND IF THE RIDGE INTENSIFIES FURTHER...AS SUGGESTED BY GLOBAL OF THE MODELS....LINDA COULD MOVE MORE TO THE WEST NORTHWEST BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. ON THIS TRACK...POWERFUL HURRICANE LINDA WILL BE MOVING AWAY FROM MEXICO. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/2100Z 16.1N 108.8W 130 KTS 12HR VT 12/0600Z 16.6N 109.6W 130 KTS 24HR VT 12/1800Z 17.4N 110.8W 130 KTS 36HR VT 13/0600Z 18.5N 112.5W 120 KTS 48HR VT 13/1800Z 19.0N 114.5W 110 KTS 72HR VT 14/1800Z 20.5N 120.0W 110 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 12 08:26:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626386-11349>; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 04:38:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA40030; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 15:27:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6260248 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 15:25:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA21184 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 15:24:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA06097 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 15:24:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709112024.PAA06097@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 15:24:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Forecast/advisory Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 660d9af94474123716fc4f2c9202b8b9 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1976 Status: OR 497 WTPZ24 KNHC 112022 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1497 2100Z THU SEP 11 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 108.8W AT 11/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 935 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW 34 KT.......120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 108.8W AT 11/2100Z AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 108.6W FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 16.6N 109.6W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 17.4N 110.8W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 18.5N 112.5W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 108.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 19.0N 114.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 20.5N 120.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 12 08:26:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629080-11349>; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 04:50:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA37478; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 15:39:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6260404 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 15:37:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA25468 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 15:29:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA06119 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 15:29:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709112029.PAA06119@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 15:29:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 037 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0a9504f60fe433be4451bce77a800394 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3685 Status: OR 566 WTPN32 PGTW 112100 1. SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 037 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- 20.8N0 142.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: PAGE 04 RUHGSGG0348 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N0 142.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 21.9N2 140.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS PAGE 05 RUHGSGG0348 UNCLAS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 23.0N5 137.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 24.0N6 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS PAGE 06 RUHGSGG0348 UNCLAS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 25.1N8 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 27.1N0 128.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- PAGE 07 RUHGSGG0348 UNCLAS REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION 21.1N4 142.1E8 SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 72 HOURS AND CONTINUE WEAKENING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z IS 36 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6, 120900Z2, 121500Z9 AND 122100Z6.// BT #0348 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 12 08:26:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629081-11348>; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 05:51:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA16764; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 16:48:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6261029 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 16:47:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA24546 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 16:44:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA06293 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 16:44:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709112144.QAA06293@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 16:44:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 32de6307ca91e37fd64e176878c7eb8e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 677 Status: OR 545 ABPA20 PHNL 112200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST THURSDAY SEPTEMBER 11 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH FRIDAY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 12 08:26:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625979-17552>; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 06:58:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA21198; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 17:22:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6261301 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 17:20:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA24864 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 17:20:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA06366 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 17:20:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709112220.RAA06366@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 17:20:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d8ddca2023fab7a22378282de4eaa825 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1194 Status: OR 007 ABPZ20 KNHC 112215 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU SEP 11 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LINDA...LOCATED ABOUT 475 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 1500 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS IS MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS EVIDENCE OF A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION...AND THE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT APPEARS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TONIGHT OR FRIDAY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 12 10:36:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626049-17557>; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 10:37:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA35400; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 21:27:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6263601 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 21:25:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA29706 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 21:25:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA06741 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 21:25:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709120225.VAA06741@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 21:25:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 038 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 576465cf4da59abc8a0e741512d842ca X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3479 Status: OR 760 WTPN32 PGTW 120300 1. TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 038 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- 21.1N4 141.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N4 141.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 22.0N4 138.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 23.1N6 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 24.3N9 133.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 25.5N2 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 28.1N1 127.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 120300Z POSITION 21.4N7 140.4E9 TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. WIND RADII ARE ADJUSTED USING SYNOPTIC DATA AND MOST RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z IS 32 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2, 121500Z9, 122100Z6 AND 130300Z7. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 12 12:11:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626460-17556>; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 11:15:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA33958; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 21:45:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6263737 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 21:43:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA42434 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 21:36:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA06759 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 21:36:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709120236.VAA06759@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 21:36:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Discussion Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2f03048206138ef742a288e84afff9da X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2526 Status: OR 961 WTPZ44 KNHC 120235 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU SEP 11 1997 SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT RAPID INTENSIFICATION HAS CONTINUED. LINDA NOW EXHIBITS A SMALL EYE EMBEDDED WITHIN VERY COLD SURROUNDING TEMPERATURES. OFFICIAL DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS AT 0000Z FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB ARE T7.5...AND THE OBJECTIVE T NUMBERS OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS HAVE EVEN BEEN A LITTLE HIGHER. INITIAL INTENSITY IS ESTIMATED AT 150 KNOTS...MAKING LINDA A SOLID CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. LINDA IS NOW ONE OF THE STRONGEST HURRICANES ON RECORD IN THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC. THERE IS LITTLE SKILL IN FORECASTING ANY FUTURE EYEWALL CONTRACTION AND REPLACEMENT CYCLES...BUT SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY WILL LIKELY OCCUR. HOWEVER...LINDA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A POWERFUL HURRICANE THROUGHOUT THIS FORECAST PERIOD. THE WEAKENING FORECAST LATE IN THIS PERIOD IS DUE TO THE TRACK MOVING OVER COOLER WATER. INITIAL MOTION IS 320/06. THE NUMERICAL MODELS BUILD THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHWEST U.S. AND NORTHERN MEXICO...WHICH SHOULD KEEP LINDA AWAY FROM BAJA. BY THE END OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD LINDA WILL BE STEERED BY A DEEP-LAYER MEAN ANTICYCLONE CENTERED NEAR NEW MEXICO AND A DEEP-LAYER TROUGH OFF THE U.S. WEST COAST. HOW FAR NORTH LINDA GETS WILL DEPEND IN PART ON HOW FAR SOUTH THE TROUGH EXTENDS. MOST TRACK PREDICTION MODELS SHOW A LITTLE MORE WEST- NORTHWEST MOTION WITH TIME. OUR FORECAST INDICATES THIS AS WELL BUT LEANS TOWARD THE RIGHT SIDE OF THE PACK. THIS IS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST GFDL...NOGAPS...AND UKMET MODELS. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT OUR TRACK MOVES THE CORE OF THIS DANGEROUS HURRICANE OVER OR VERY NEAR SOCORRO ISLAND WITHIN 18 TO 24 HOURS. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/0300Z 16.9N 109.3W 150 KTS 12HR VT 12/1200Z 17.7N 109.8W 150 KTS 24HR VT 13/0000Z 18.8N 110.9W 150 KTS 36HR VT 13/1200Z 20.0N 112.5W 140 KTS 48HR VT 14/0000Z 21.1N 114.3W 130 KTS 72HR VT 15/0000Z 23.0N 118.5W 110 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 12 10:51:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626386-17558>; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 10:49:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA30030; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 21:46:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6263760 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 21:45:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA09890 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 21:39:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA06775 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 21:39:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709120239.VAA06775@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 21:39:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Forecast/advisory Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 253f80b110499aa7766102726fa04ce0 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1994 Status: OR 007 WTPZ24 KNHC 120237 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1497 0300Z FRI SEP 12 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 109.3W AT 12/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 910 MB EYE DIAMETER 12 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 150 KT WITH GUSTS TO 180 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT.......125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 109.3W AT 12/0300Z AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 109.0W FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 17.7N 109.8W MAX WIND 150 KT...GUSTS 180 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 18.8N 110.9W MAX WIND 150 KT...GUSTS 180 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 20.0N 112.5W MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 109.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 21.1N 114.3W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 23.0N 118.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 12 12:11:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625989-17556>; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 11:08:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA41884; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 21:54:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6263859 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 21:53:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA04410 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 21:53:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA06791 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 1997 21:53:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709120253.VAA06791@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 21:53:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 21w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0317e50455df2eb61747a8fb2ff7adbf X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2559 Status: OR 100 WTPN31 PGTW 120300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- 11.8N0 170.4E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.8N0 170.4E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 12.1N4 169.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 12.7N0 168.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 13.5N9 167.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 14.2N7 165.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 15.9N5 162.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION 11.9N1 170.2E0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND SLOWLY INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6), 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3), 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9) AND 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1). REFER TO TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 12 14:02:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625984-17556>; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 13:14:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA04426; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 00:04:44 -0500 Message-Id: <199709120504.AAA04426@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 00:02:10 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 10 Sep 1997 to 11 Sep 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 92ad8635f7a6ce9b6f5e5fcdf0cd7788 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 27651 Status: OR There are 13 messages totalling 567 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. How much is too much coverage? (2) 2. Potential Vorticity 3. Linda does LA? 4. NWS Quad Cities Office Tour 5. How much is too much coverage?? (2) 6. ASOS Commissioning Notice 7. El Nino Discussion at RTNDA Conference 8. TV Met Jobs (2) Available 9. Potential Vorticity -Reply 10. Blizzard warnings... 11. PCGRIDDS data archive? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 05:47:37 -0700 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: Re: How much is too much coverage? Gilbert wrote, > Actually, the one I broke in on *was* a surprise. All day long, > forecasters were calling for 4"-6" of snow. But the models didn't > initialize the moisture field properly (I didn't have access to raobs at > the time, just DiFAX, and only a few maps, grrrr...) and so suddenly it > was a 12"+ deal for the morning rush. The warning was issued at 8PM. I > called my then-news director, who hates break-ins, PERIOD. I told her what > was happening, and she agreed wholeheartedly! This during "Seinfeld" which > was pulling a 50 share at the time (IE half of all people who had their > Tv's on were watching me break in). Get this: no angry calls, but many the > next day calling in *appreciation*! I wouldn't have believed it myself > if it didn't happen to me. The city was shut down for a day. Why can't I would agree with Gilbert regarding the substantial threat that changing severe winter weather can pose, especially a full blown blizzard, especially in a major metro area, especially during the work week. The scenario Gil presents is a classic one also. Hordes of commuters beginning their daily trek. Their last forecast indicated a moderate 4-6" snowfall, which would deter few people from their daily activities. Right when the roads begin to fill, the weather changes to 30+ winds, heavy snowfall, plummeting temperatures and near zero visibility. What should have been a modest winter storm in a typical Midwestern city now has the potential to impact thousands and thousands of people. Blizzards in the Midwest have the ability to cripple -entire- cities for substantial periods of time. Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes do not usually posses this capability. I can remember Chicago's "Big Snow" of the 60's (20+ inches). It took my father -three days- to get home from the city, back to the suburbs. Also a late 70's snowstorm/blizzard in the Chicago suburbs forced me to spend five hours traversing the 15 mile route home from my workplace, at the time, in Itasca Illinois. I remember our parking lot at work being completely snowed in. I spent a half hour digging my car out of the lot. Then it became apparent that no one had moved more than a few car lengths, out on the road I needed to take, during that half our. Yikes! So a group of us walked to the train station (about a mile away)in full blizzard conditions and waited an hour and a half for a train that never appeared. In the the small train station where we waited the windows had all been busted out (Brrrrr!). Next plan was to hitch hike home (don't do this now kids!). I needed five rides to cover fourteen miles. One ran out of gas (a "454" Firebird), two went in the ditch (Weeeeee!) and one got hopelessly stuck right were it had stopped. The last car I was in was halted by a Biblical traffic jam. Thus I hoofed it the last mile through what was now a rather mature blizzard. Not a good day for me and many others. :-O If Gilbert and his comrades need to "break in" with severe winter weather messages.... I will be a very willing consumer! Information is Power. ************************************************************************* 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA Milwaukee Area Skywarn Assoc./Milwaukee-Waukesha Amateur Radio Emergency Service (A.R.E.S.)/IL Multi-County Warning System E-Mail, bkopp@execpc.com Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" my severe weather and SKYWARN home page! SFTS! http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 10 Sep 1997 17:35:57 -0500 From: Robyn Weeks Subject: Potential Vorticity Hello, I was wondering about potential vorticity generation in squall lines. OK, here it goes. Potential vorticity can be generated in the left exit region and the right entrance region of a synoptic scale jet streak. Now, can a strong rear inflow jet generate the same potential vorticity anomaly in a squall line. For instance, in an intense MCS could a strong rear inflow jet (60kts) generate a potential vorticity anomaly in the midlevels by itself. I know papers have been done on the formation of PV in the midlevels by evaporative cooling the lower trop. and latent heating aloft. Will the rear inflow jet enhance the PV anomaly? Is this documented in any recent papers? I am just thinking of more explanations for midlevel mesoscale vortices in MCS. Thank You, Robyn Weeks-Hulecki The Weather Channel ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 10:01:35 CDT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Linda does LA? I can't help but wonder... I've been following the progression of Linda in the Pacific, and the 72-hour forecast has it in a very interesting position with respect to a strong trough heading towards the west coast. What is the climatology of tropical systems hitting CA? I know that one storm just last month moved up offshore as a depression, and of course all the news reports then were filled with the mention of the 1932 ts storm hit in LA. Is it likely that the deep trough -- which extends in the 84-h to about 30N -- can pick up a hurricane that is at 21 N, about 15 degrees of longitude to the east, and moving WNW? Just wondering...(and waiting for El Nino to get the blame if it happens!!) Scott -- Scott S. Lindstrom | The only other sound's scottl@ssec.wisc.edu | the sweep of easy http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottl/homepage1.html | wind and downy flake ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 10:14:41 -0500 From: Tim Doggett Subject: Re: How much is too much coverage? Before this blows up into a broadcaster/viewer flamefest (I think all broadcasters ought to be dipped in alpo and tied up in a cage of pit bulls... no offense to pit bulls intended) !), I agree with the statement that the public needs to be informed of the situation in a timely manner. What I was saying was that doing a break in could have been avoided. Why not wait until the next promo break or 1/2 hour break to cut in. Or... as I stated, not just scroll the message across the screen, and then come on at an opportune time. This is not because I don't think blizzards are hazzardous (I was born and raised in northern New England, and have a heart felt respect for winter weather), but because these break ins are becoming counter-productive. I feel there are way to many break ins for marginally dangerous events, which desensitizes the public to the really important events that do merit break ins. In addition, many of the break ins are not well prepared... and the information that needs to be presented is not (or at least not done in a clear manner). It seems to me that a little extra time figuring out what they are going to say in advance of going on air makes a lot of difference. Yes, what constitutes life threatening is a judgement call, and making that call can be difficult in the chaos of the situation. In my market (LBB), it often seems break ins are more about ratings and less about public awareness. Finally, NONE of this is directed toward Gil. I have never seen him on air, nor heard any bad press about him (at least as a broadcaster!!). I also respect the fact that ultimately, the broadcast media is responsible for disemminating important information to the public... and i general feel like that service is well done. Information may be power, but too much information can be a nuisance. -Tim On Thu, 11 Sep 1997, Bernie Kopp KB9KEF wrote: > Gilbert wrote, > > Actually, the one I broke in on *was* a surprise. All day long, > > forecasters were calling for 4"-6" of snow. But the models didn't > > initialize the moisture field properly (I didn't have access to raobs at > > the time, just DiFAX, and only a few maps, grrrr...) and so suddenly it > > was a 12"+ deal for the morning rush. The warning was issued at 8PM. I > > called my then-news director, who hates break-ins, PERIOD. I told her what > > was happening, and she agreed wholeheartedly! This during "Seinfeld" which > > was pulling a 50 share at the time (IE half of all people who had their > > Tv's on were watching me break in). Get this: no angry calls, but many the > > next day calling in *appreciation*! I wouldn't have believed it myself > > if it didn't happen to me. The city was shut down for a day. Why can't > > I would agree with Gilbert regarding the substantial threat that > changing severe winter weather can pose, especially a full blown > blizzard, especially in a major metro area, especially during the work > week. > > The scenario Gil presents is a classic one also. Hordes of commuters > beginning their daily trek. Their last forecast indicated a moderate > 4-6" snowfall, which would deter few people from their daily activities. > Right when the roads begin to fill, the weather changes to 30+ winds, > heavy snowfall, plummeting temperatures and near zero visibility. What > should have been a modest winter storm in a typical Midwestern city now > has the potential to impact thousands and thousands of people. Blizzards > in the Midwest have the ability to cripple -entire- cities for > substantial periods of time. Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes do not > usually posses this capability. > If Gilbert and his comrades need to "break in" with severe winter > weather messages.... I will be a very willing consumer! > > Information is Power. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 10:40:32 -0500 From: "Eric A. Helgeson" Subject: NWS Quad Cities Office Tour Warning, this is blatant advertisement. Visit the NWS Quad Cities virtual Office tour. Over 60 pages of places to go and learn and you get there in countless numbers of combinations. There is no one way to go through it. Hit http://www.crh.noaa.gov/dvn/index.htm and then go to the Office Tour. Eric Eric A. Helgeson (helgeson@netins.net) http://www.netins.net/showcase/helgeson ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 09:34:32 -0400 From: William E Newkirk Subject: Re: How much is too much coverage?? you guys forget that the folks doing the work aren't met folks who could listen to the drone of a wx radio... running a portable TV or radio is entertainment plus news that is generally non repetitive and not objectionable to listen to all day long. gives you something to talk about at breaks. and after a while, the guys with the TV just can't stand to miss a day of the "soaps"...8) Chris Novy sez: > Gilbert Sebenste wrote... > > >Severe thunderstorm warnings may not seem bad, *BUT* 60 MPH winds, > >and intense lightning will cause big trouble for golfers and other > >outdoor activities; construction firms... > > All of whom are people that won't be watching TV anyway! Golf courses > and construction firms should have weather radios and a safety person > designated to monitor the situation. True. But believe it or not, I have been to many construction sites locally (lot of that going on around here), and I used to get many calls from them when I wasn't on the air. Many would mention to me that they do have small black and white TV's in there for monitoring weather bulletins from my station. Golf courses are the same. Ironic, but it's the truth, at least around here. I wholeheartedly agree that they should be getting their warning info from NOAA wx radio, and I tell them that they should get one if they don't already have one. Bill Newkirk Collins General Aviation Division Publications Department Rockwell Collins, Inc., Melbourne Florida wenewkir@collins.rockwell.com ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 13:53:55 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site will become a commissioned ASOS site at 1800 UTC on 11 September, 1997 CRYSTAL AIRPORT (KMIC) MINNEAPOLIS... MN Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 13:27:36 +0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: El Nino Discussion at RTNDA Conference The following article appeared in SHOPTALK --an Internet-based TV News magazine. For more information see http://www.tvspy.com. ..Chris.. = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = El Nino: It's Here, Weather You're Ready or Not! In anticipation of the biggest weather story of the decade, RTNDA97 explores the El Nino weather phenomenon in a panel discussion Thursday, September 18 at 4 p.m. Learn how El Nino will impact your viewers and listeners and find the resources you need to prepare for your upcoming coverage. Best known to the South Florida audience for his coverage of Hurricane Andrew, Bryan Norcross will moderate this panel discussion. He currently serves as chief meteorologist and anchor for WFOR-TV in Miami, and has handled duties as producer and news director during his career. He is joined by weather experts and a panelist who understands the different aspects of a newscast and ongoing weather coverage. Panelist Bob Henson is a writer and editor at the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research (UCAR) in Boulder, CO, and is a specialist in severe weather. Henson and his colleagues at UCAR have begun to produce B-roll footage suitable for TV stations to use in illustrating stories relating to global climate, including El Nino. He is joined by another weather expert, Chester Ropelewski, who is chief research meteorologist of the Climate Prediction Center (CBC). Ropelewski has performed research and published extensively on topics related to global-scale climate variability. Bringing the perspective of a local newsroom is panelist Joe Izbrand, news director at KTRH Radio in Houston. Izbrand has experience managing news for a city with significant weather emergencies, and has extensive experience with ongoing weather coverage. It's not too late to benefit from extensive programming at the 1997 RTNDA International Conference & Exhibition in New Orleans, September 17-20. Registrations are accepted on site at the convention center beginning Tuesday, September 16, at 1 p.m. Full convention packages and day passes are available. Call (800) 80-RTNDA [(800) 807-8632] or visit for program information and details. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 13:48:00 +0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Jobs (2) Available The following apopeared in today's SHOPTALK (http://www.tvspy.com). ..Chris.. WEATHERCASTER (WTNH) Weather: One of our weather folks will be leaving on maternity leave. We need someone in the NY, Ct, MA or Rhode Island area that can help us cover the weekends this coming October, November, December and January. A great opportunity for someone with the meteorology skills and some television experience to hone the television skills. Rush your tape and resume to Billy Otwell, News Director, WTNH-TV, 8 Elm Street, New Haven, CT 06510. I will take phone calls on this one. 203- 784-8855 WEATHER PRODUCER (KFMB) KFMB-TV, San Diego's CBS affiliate, seeks a dynamic producer for the best weathercasts/environmental reports in America's finest city. We are looking for someone who can make the weather sizzle using state-of-the-art animation and exciting graphics. The successful candidate will be an expert at operating Earthwatch 2000, Earthvision, WSI 4030, and Silicon Graphics Extreme. Expertise in Internet also desirable. Degree in meteorology and prior television experience preferred. Send resume and recent tape of weather work to: Human Resources, KFMB-TV, 7677 Engineer Road, San Diego, CA 92111. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 14:43:22 -0500 From: "Jeffrey P. Stewart" Subject: Potential Vorticity -Reply Robyn W asked about PV: > Potential vorticity can be generated in the left exit region and the right >entrance region of a synoptic scale jet streak. >Now, can a strong rear inflow jet generate the same potential vorticity >anomaly in a squall line. For instance, in an intense >MCS could a strong rear inflow jet (60kts) generate a potential vorticity >anomaly in the midlevels by itself. I know papers have been done on >the formation of PV in the midlevels by evaporative cooling the lower >trop. and latent heating aloft. Will the rear inflow jet enhance the PV >anomaly? Is this documented in any recent papers? > I am just thinking of more explanations for midlevel mesoscale vortices >in MCS. At the risk of making a fool of myself... PV is generally conserved except in regions where diabatic heating is considerable or friction is significant(plus other factors). I would think that in the vicinity of an intense TRW latent heating would be significant and would be one of the larger contributors to any change in PV. Not sure if the length/time scales would be significant enough to be a major player. Likewise with the inflows although vorticity is generated there. Question: is the increase in vorticity associated with the inflow compensated for by a decrease in the static stability? If so(as I suspect), changes in PV associated with the inflow would be small. The rear inflow jet (I assume at mid-levels) exists in a different environment than the low level inflow. Maybe someone else can provide more insight... Jeff Stewart, shooting from the hip! stewartj@afgwc.af.mil ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 22:46:57 UT From: eric elwell Subject: Re: How much is too much coverage?? Thanks to all those who responded to my letter. The response was tremendous and quite interesting. What was so interesting was the geographical bias to the responses. Those who responded in "less-active" severe weather markets seemed to think that breaking into programming was essential for all warnings and even watches. Those in "more active" severe weather markets thought the same would be overkill. I think that it does make a difference where you are as to what type of coverage is needed. If I were to break into programming for every severe thunderstorm warning... there would be some times that weather coverage would outlast general programming. But then, my viewing area covers over 75 counties in can be quite active. As far as cutting in for a thunderstorm watch or tornado watch... I definitely feel this is too much. That is why you have a first alert system. I know viewers don't want me to break into their show to tell them the exact same thing they just read on a weather crawl. However, it was mentioned that using a 30 second scheduled promo might be a good time to use as a cut-in to make an "appearance" and at least let viewers know you are there and on top of the situation, and I definitely agree with this. Another exception would be for a "PDS" watch. As far as cutting in for warnings... I think it is the general consensus that tornado warnings require an on-camera meteorologist. As far as thunderstorm warnings... I think this area gets a little more "gray". I think this probably depends on the storm itself (i.e. wind speeds, hail and size of hail, frequent lightning, rotation possibilities, etc) and where the storm is. In other words, you'd probably consider cutting in a bit more if the storm were affecting a more densely populated area. Here in Kansas, many times a storm is over open country & not really affecting anyone except a farmer or two. It's a bit hard to justify interrupting programming for a storm affecting very few people... but then.. I am sure those few people would feel otherwise, thus the debate continues. One station here will split screen their radar for just about any storm out there. Yet this station just got a new radar, and I am sure a lot of this is just "showing off". We will split screen only if the storm is considered "dangerous" (I realize that almost any storm could be considered dangerous but I hope most will know what I mean) or one that is affecting larger cities. We also do a lot more split screening and cut-ins during post prime-time. During the late night, a lot of people who are watching during an active weather night are usually awake because of the weather. I just believe that if you cut in for every severe thunderstorm warning.. even if you are waiting to cut in using promo spots... then you are going too far. I believe the general public will feel that you are going overboard and tune you out, especially if the storm is not affecting them (thus desensitizing the public). You also risk the public not differentiating between severe thunderstorm warnings and tornado warnings. There are already too many out there who do not even know the difference. Now if you start cutting in for watches, then you just confuse the public more by throwing another variable into the mix. (How many times have you heard someone mention that a tornado _warning_ is in effect for a large portion of you state for the next 6 hours instead of Tornado _watch_ ??) I think you should keep things simple and easy to understand. If the public sees you on the air then they should know that it must be serious (not that you would cut in if it weren't serious). If you are on the air constantly, you could loose their attention (or respect). Still (obviously) the public needs to know about the warning ASAP. That is why you crawl the warning and use a map. I just think doing both is overkill, unless of course the storm is extremely serious or tornadic. Again the above is only my opinion and not necessarily that of my employer. :) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Eric W. Elwell - - Meteorologist -=ams=- - - - - KAKE-TV Channel 10 (ABC Kansas) - - Wichita, Kansas - - Email: stormguy@msn.com - - Email Pager: wic8311733@lcspage.com - - Work Phone (Voice Mail) 316-946-1378 - - Amateur Radio # KD4BNT - ----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 20:16:49 -0500 From: Daniel Dix Subject: Re: Blizzard warnings... >Date: Wed, 10 Sep 1997 17:41:27 -0500 >From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" >Subject: Re: How much is too much coverage?? >On Wed, 10 Sep 1997, Tim Doggett wrote: > On Wed, 10 Sep 1997, Gilbert L. Sebenste wrote: > > You should break in for life-threatening situations. Always. A severe > > thunderstorm, flash flood, tornado and *blizzard* warning (did that!) > > falls under this criteria. > > Ok Gil, you set yourself up for this one. I think the blizzard warning > is jumping the gun a little. Blizzards don't tend to sneak up on people, > nor do they go anywhere very fast. I'm sure you could wait until the > next convenient break to cut in. Better yet, just scroll the sucker. >Actually, the one I broke in on *was* a surprise. All day long, >forecasters were calling for 4"-6" of snow. But the models didn't >initialize the moisture field properly (I didn't have access to raobs >at >the time, just DiFAX, and only a few maps, grrrr...) and so suddenly >it >was a 12"+ deal for the morning rush........ In extreme situations I can see breaking in with a BLIZZARD WARNING on-air. Gilbert gave an example...another even more frightening one would be in February of 1983. An Alberta Clipper was moving toward Minnesota and a Snow Advisory had been issued. The storm deepened rapidly over Minnesota with winds dramatically increasing in strength. A Blowing Snow Advisory was then issued followed within an hour or so by a Blizzard Warning for western & southwestern Minnesota. TV coverage was not very urgent on the situation from either the MSP and FSD stations that cover portions of the area. The end result was that 9 people perished that afternoon as they had become stranded in a blizzard that developed within 1-2 hours! A family of 4 became stranded on a highway and froze to death. Only 3" of snow fell but 50-60 mph winds created drifts well in excess of 10-15'! Highway 60 had to be opened by the huge snowblowers that MnDOT has as snowplows could not get through the wall of snow on the busy road. So blizzards can and DO arise in a hurry! And in February most people in Minnesota are indoors watching TV or ice fishing or snowmobiling! Daniel Dix Meteorologist Wichita, KS ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 21:58:50 -0500 From: Chris and Lori Bovitz Subject: PCGRIDDS data archive? Hi. Is there an "official" PCGRIDDS archive out there? Or is there someone or someones who archive this data? In particular, I'm looking for the files from July 1997. (Yes, I know that's a lot of data.) If you could help me out, I'd greatly appreciate it. Thanks. Chris ************************************* * Chris and Lori Bovitz * * mailto:tornado@why.net * * http://www.why.net/users/tornado/ * ************************************* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 10 Sep 1997 to 11 Sep 1997 ************************************************** From - Fri Sep 12 14:31:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625984-17557>; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 14:21:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA30696; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 01:19:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6266048 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 01:17:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA30602 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 01:17:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA06996 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 01:17:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709120617.BAA06996@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 01:17:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 30620831617614787156399c3bd1794d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2419 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 502 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 120153Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 120151Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120000Z3 TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WAS LOCATED AT 21.1N4 141.3E9 AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 125 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 38 (WTPN32 PGTW 120300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 120000Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W WAS LOCATED AT 11.8N0 170.4E2 AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W WARNING NR 2 (WTPN31 PGTW 120300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 170E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7S7 173E1. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA CONTINUE TO INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE BETTER ORGANIZED WITH DEEP CONVECTION LOCATED APPROXIMATELY ONE AND A HALF DEGREES SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER HAS CONTINUES TO WEAKEN. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 12 14:31:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625984-17557>; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 14:27:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA30544; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 01:20:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6266053 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 01:19:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA38280 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 01:17:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA06995 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 01:17:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709120617.BAA06995@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 01:17:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d762b2a7bb3af07a6b99585fce6c1cbf X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2365 Status: OR 502 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 120153Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 120151Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120000Z3 TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WAS LOCATED AT 21.1N4 141.3E9 AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 125 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 38 (WTPN32 PGTW 120300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 120000Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W WAS LOCATED AT 11.8N0 170.4E2 AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W WARNING NR 2 (WTPN31 PGTW 120300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 170E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7S7 173E1. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA CONTINUE TO INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE BETTER ORGANIZED WITH DEEP CONVECTION LOCATED APPROXIMATELY ONE AND A HALF DEGREES SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER HAS CONTINUES TO WEAKEN. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 13 01:00:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626492-17558>; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 15:34:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA09722; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 02:00:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6266091 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 01:58:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA18014 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 01:58:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA07021 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 01:58:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709120658.BAA07021@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 01:58:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 381b6d6c49805ebf647a826e06a6bf4e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2423 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 311 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 120153Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 120151Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120000Z3 TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WAS LOCATED AT 21.1N4 141.3E9 AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 125 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 38 (WTPN32 PGTW 120300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 120000Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W WAS LOCATED AT 11.8N0 170.4E2 AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W WARNING NR 2 (WTPN31 PGTW 120300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 170E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7S7 173E1. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA CONTINUE TO INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE BETTER ORGANIZED WITH DEEP CONVECTION LOCATED APPROXIMATELY ONE AND A HALF DEGREES SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER HAS CONTINUES TO WEAKEN. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 12 15:17:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626498-17557>; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 15:15:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA20284; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 02:01:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6266096 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 02:00:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA30574 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 01:58:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA07020 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 01:58:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709120658.BAA07020@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 01:58:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7c8d77ab779ee134b5a21a9d38166c38 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2369 Status: OR 311 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 120153Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 120151Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120000Z3 TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WAS LOCATED AT 21.1N4 141.3E9 AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 125 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 38 (WTPN32 PGTW 120300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 120000Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W WAS LOCATED AT 11.8N0 170.4E2 AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W WARNING NR 2 (WTPN31 PGTW 120300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8S8 170E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7S7 173E1. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA CONTINUE TO INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE BETTER ORGANIZED WITH DEEP CONVECTION LOCATED APPROXIMATELY ONE AND A HALF DEGREES SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER HAS CONTINUES TO WEAKEN. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 13 01:00:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626526-27260>; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 16:30:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA35042; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 03:21:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6266446 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 03:19:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA21118 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 03:19:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA07203 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 03:19:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709120819.DAA07203@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 03:19:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 039 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 862bd76e495a98cfcb810b1d499fa642 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3675 Status: OR 511 WTPN32 PGTW 120900 1. TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 039 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- 22.0N4 139.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.0N4 139.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 23.2N7 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 24.5N1 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 25.4N1 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 25.9N6 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 27.8N7 127.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 120900Z POSITION: 22.4N8 139.0E3 TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. WIND RADII ARE ADJUSTED FOR A 120037Z3 SCATTEROMETER PASS AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS FROM IWO JIMA (WMO 47981). SLOWING NEAR 48 HOURS REFLECTS ENVIRONMENT OF WEAKENED STEERING NEAR WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z IS 32 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9 (DTG 121353Z5), 122100Z6 (DTG 121953Z1), 130300Z7 (DTG 130153Z3) AND 130900Z3 (DTG 130753Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 13 01:00:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625984-27260>; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 16:51:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA21112; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 03:47:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6266469 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 03:45:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA09976 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 03:45:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA07220 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 03:45:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709120845.DAA07220@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 03:45:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Discussion Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d43043b74b5a0b8bad3100057197eb63 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2906 Status: OR 799 WTPZ44 KNHC 120843 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT FRI SEP 12 1997 NATURE IS PUTTING ON QUITE A SHOW. LINDA RETAINS A WELL-DEFINED WARM EYE SURROUNDED BY VERY COLD CLOUD TOPS AND STRONG OUTER RAINBANDS. CONVENTIONAL DVORAK OBJECTIVE T-NUMBERS REACHED A PEAK 3-HOUR AVERAGE OF 7.8 IN THE PERIOD ENDING AT 0430Z...AND THE 3-HOUR AVERAGE ENDING AT 06Z WAS 7.7. THE 06Z CLASSIFICATIONS FROM TAFB AND SAB WERE 7.5 AND 8.0...RESPECTIVELY. THESE NUMBERS GIVE AN ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WIND SPEED OF 160 TO 165 KT A FEW HOURS AGO. THIS MAKES LINDA BY FAR THE STRONGEST EASTERN PACIFIC HURRICANE ON RECORD ...ECLIPSING THE PREVIOUS RECORD OF 140 KT...MOST RECENTLY IN GUILLERMO LAST MONTH. IT ALSO MAKES LINDA ONE OF THE STRONGEST HURRICANES ON RECORD IN THE WESTERN HEMISPHERE. CLOUD TOPS WARMED A LITTLE OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS AND THE PATTERN OF COLDEST TOPS HAS BECOME STRETCHED A BIT FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. INITIAL INTENSITY IS CURRENTLY ESTIMATED AT 160 KT. THE HURRICANE TRACK APPEARS TO CONTAIN SOME TROCHOIDAL WOBBLES ABOUT AN AVERAGE HEADING OF 320/8 KT. FOR THE NEXT TWO TO THREE DAYS...THE AVN MAINTAINS A RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE HURRICANE AND MOST AVN-BASED TRACK GUIDANCE KEEPS LINDA ON A WNW TO NW TRACK. LATER...A DEEP TROUGH IS FORECAST TO APPROACH THE WEST COAST AND THIS COULD RESULT IN A GREATER NORTHWARD COMPONENT OF A THEN MUCH-WEAKENED LINDA. IN FACT...NOGAPS AND LBAR SHOW SOME ACCELERATION AND SUGGEST POTENTIAL RECURVATURE...WITH BOTH LOCATED NEAR 30N 120W IN ABOUT 72 HOURS. THE COMBINATION OF THE STRONGEST STORM ON RECORD...EXCEPTIONALLY WARM WATERS AHEAD...AND AT LEAST THE POSSIBILITY OF RECURVATURE AND ACCELERATION COULD RESULT IN LINDA EVENTUALLY BRINGING TROPICAL CYCLONE CONDITIONS UNUSUALLY FAR TO THE NORTH. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS A LITTLE TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS PREDICTED TRACK. A WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED...AT ABOUT THE RATE SHOWN BY THE GFDL AND SHIPS SCHEMES. THIS IS SLOWER THAN INDICATED BY SHIFOR... CLIMATOLOGY. THE CORE OF THIS DANGEROUS HURRICANE IS STILL EXPECTED TO PASS OVER OR VERY NEAR SOCORRO ISLAND LATER TODAY. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/0900Z 17.5N 110.1W 160 KTS 12HR VT 12/1800Z 18.4N 110.7W 155 KTS 24HR VT 13/0600Z 19.5N 111.8W 145 KTS 36HR VT 13/1800Z 20.6N 113.2W 130 KTS 48HR VT 14/0600Z 21.8N 115.1W 110 KTS 72HR VT 15/0600Z 25.0N 119.0W 85 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 13 01:00:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626520-27260>; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 16:52:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA20232; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 03:48:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6266474 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 03:47:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA33874 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 03:46:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA07224 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 03:46:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709120846.DAA07224@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 03:46:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Forecast/advisory Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cce27860aa6e08eddf6c9baec00857ca X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1995 Status: OR 800 WTPZ24 KNHC 120845 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1497 0900Z FRI SEP 12 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 110.1W AT 12/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 900 MB EYE DIAMETER 12 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 160 KT WITH GUSTS TO 190 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT.......125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 110.1W AT 12/0900Z AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 109.6W FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 18.4N 110.7W MAX WIND 155 KT...GUSTS 185 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 19.5N 111.8W MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 20.6N 113.2W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 110.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 21.8N 115.1W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 25.0N 119.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 13 01:00:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626498-27261>; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 16:57:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA20384; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 03:50:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6266479 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 03:48:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA09366 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 03:47:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA07228 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 03:47:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709120847.DAA07228@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 03:47:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 21w Warning Nr 003 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e9642cc6a0f46a0c6ec0c088a8ca8a67 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2615 Status: OR 801 WTPN31 PGTW 120900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W WARNING NR 003 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- 12.9N2 168.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.9N2 168.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 13.5N9 167.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 14.3N8 166.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 15.0N6 164.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 16.1N8 163.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 18.1N0 159.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION 13.1N5 168.6E1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. JUSTIFICATION FOR RELOCATION: SYNOPTIC FIX WITH 122302Z0 SCATTEROMETER PASS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3), 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9), 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1) AND 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7). REFER TO TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 13 01:00:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626530-27260>; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 18:02:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA09790; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 05:00:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6266924 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 04:58:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA42416 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 04:58:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA07281 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 04:58:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709120958.EAA07281@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 04:58:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 59f013eb5ecfb571797524c8936c0bc2 X-Mozilla-Status: 0005 Content-Length: 875 Status: OR 737 ABPA20 PHNL 121000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST FRIDAY SEPTEMBER 12 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N 163W HAS BEEN MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. CONVECTION HAS INCREASED WITH THIS SYSTEM OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE DISTURBANCE WILL BE MONITORED FOR ANY SIGNS OF FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. THERE ARE NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS AT THIS TIME. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 13 01:00:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626479-27260>; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 18:43:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA14606; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 05:32:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6267069 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 05:31:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA42466 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 05:31:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA07314 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 05:31:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709121031.FAA07314@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 05:31:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f2cf90e5d0cc66eb278d73364f4f5281 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1160 Status: OR 295 ABPZ20 KNHC 121029 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI SEP 12 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LINDA...LOCATED ABOUT 375 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A SLOW-MOVING TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ABOUT 1500 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS EVIDENCE OF A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION...BUT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS LIMITED AT THIS TIME. THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 13 01:00:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626548-27258>; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 21:41:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA24006; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 08:33:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6268357 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 08:31:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA40446 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 08:31:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id IAA07428 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 08:31:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709121331.IAA07428@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 08:31:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 040 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: dacf9e324fa2141acabaa72bf1a0f3f7 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3658 Status: OR 982 WTPN32 PGTW 121500 1. TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 040 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z6 --- 22.5N9 138.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 210 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.5N9 138.7E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 23.6N1 136.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 205 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 24.7N3 134.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 25.6N3 132.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 M ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 26.4N2 130.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 27.6N5 127.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 121500Z9 POSITION 22.8N2 137.9E0 TYPHOON OLIWA (02W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MOTION IN THIS GENERAL DIRECTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) IS FORECAST TO SLOW, ESPECIALLY TOWARD THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT CONTINUES TO WEAKEN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z IS 33 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z6, 130300Z7, 130900Z3 AND 131500Z0. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 13 01:00:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626548-27258>; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:22:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA09760; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 09:04:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6268891 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 09:02:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA41576 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 09:02:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA07475 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 09:02:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709121402.JAA07475@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 09:02:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 21w Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bc60efc668c79ecf06dc6501faa73c41 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2896 Status: OR 577 WTPN31 PGTW 121500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z6 --- 14.1N6 167.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N6 167.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 15.0N6 166.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 15.8N4 164.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 16.7N4 162.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 17.5N3 161.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 19.3N3 157.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 195 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 121500Z9 POSITION 14.3N8 167.3E7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THIS GENERAL MOTION AND SPEED IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. INTENSIFICATION AT LESS THAN A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE IS FORECAST DUE TO THIS SYSTEM=S LARGE SIZE AND CONTINUING ORGANIZATION. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION OF 112301Z8 SATELLITE SCATTEROMETRY DATA AND CLIMATOLOGY FOR A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9), 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1), 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7) AND 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4). REFER TO TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 13 01:00:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626554-27258>; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:38:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA34302; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 09:29:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6269148 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 09:27:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA37096 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 09:27:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA07495 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 09:27:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709121427.JAA07495@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 09:27:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Discussion Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 746da728d279c099c04a0d68d23d9b56 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2545 Status: OR 090 WTPZ44 KNHC 121425 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI SEP 12 1997 LINDA CONTINUES AS A EXTREMELY POWERFUL HURRICANE WITH 160-165 KT WINDS. T-NUMBERS HAVE REMAINED BETWEEN 7.5 AND 8.0 ON THE DVORAK SCALE AND THE CLOUD PATTERN IS SPECTACULAR AND THERE IS A WELL DEFINED EYE SURROUNDED BY A RING OF VERY DEEP CONVECTION. IT IS KNOWN THAT HURRICANES DO NOT MAINTAIN SUCH PEAK INTENSITIES FOR A LONG PERIOD OF TIME AND THERE IS NO WAY TO KNOW IF AN EYEWALL CYCLE IS OCCURRING. NEVERTHELESS...LINDA IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS AN INTENSE HURRICANE AT LEAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. INITIAL MOTION IS 320/08. THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST TRACK. MOST OF THE MODELS SUGGEST THAT LINDA WILL CONTINUE ON THIS GENERAL TRACK AWAY FROM LAND AS A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM BUILDS OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES. HOWEVER...BOTH UK AND NOGAPS GLOBAL MODELS...BRING A STRONG TROUGH JUST TO THE WEST OF LINDA BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS SUGGESTS THAT...IN THE LONG RANGE... LINDA COULD TAKE A MORE NORTHERLY TRACK. IF THIS SCENARIO MATERIALIZES...A WEAKENED LINDA COULD BECOME A THREAT TO BAJA CALIFORNIA AND TO A PORTION OF THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES. WE WOULD RECOMMEND THAT ALL INTERESTS IN THIS AREA MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LINDA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. DUE TO THE UNUSUAL CIRCUMSTANCES...INCLUDING THE ABOVE NORMAL WARM WATERS OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA...THE RECORD INTENSITY OF LINDA AND THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST...WE ARE PLANNING TO DEPLOY THE NOAA JET...LATE SATURDAY...TO SAMPLE THE ENVIRONMENT. IF A THREAT TO THE U.S DEVELOPS...WE WOULD ALSO SEND AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE. THE HURRICANE IS GRADUALLY APPROACHING SOCORRO ISLAND WHICH RECENTLY REPORTED 34 KNOT WINDS AND 986.2 MB PRESSURE. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/1500Z 18.0N 110.6W 160 KTS 12HR VT 13/0000Z 19.0N 111.6W 155 KTS 24HR VT 13/1200Z 20.2N 113.0W 145 KTS 36HR VT 14/0000Z 21.5N 115.0W 130 KTS 48HR VT 14/1200Z 23.0N 116.5W 110 KTS 72HR VT 15/1200Z 26.0N 120.0W 85 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 13 01:00:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626558-27258>; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:35:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA21856; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 09:31:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6269157 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 09:29:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA41536 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 09:27:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA07499 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 09:27:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709121427.JAA07499@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 09:27:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Forecast/advisory Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6f3875d0868c7d7457d4cca7362d1dfe X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1991 Status: OR 091 WTPZ24 KNHC 121426 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1497 1500Z FRI SEP 12 1997 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 110.6W AT 12/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 900 MB EYE DIAMETER 12 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 160 KT WITH GUSTS TO 190 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT.......125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 110.6W AT 12/1500Z AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 110.3W FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 19.0N 111.6W MAX WIND 155 KT...GUSTS 185 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 20.2N 113.0W MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 21.5N 115.0W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 110.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 23.0N 116.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 26.0N 120.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 13 01:00:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626568-27259>; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 00:06:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA31198; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 11:00:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6270203 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 10:59:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA25376 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 10:59:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id KAA07695 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 10:58:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709121558.KAA07695@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 10:58:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 94f556c11bd832ad37b3d8aafcf18b5e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1171 Status: OR 481 ABPZ20 KNHC 121558 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI SEP 12 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON INTENSE HURRICANE LINDA...LOCATED ABOUT 340 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A SLOW-MOVING TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ABOUT 1500 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS EVIDENCE OF A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION...BUT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS NOT CONCENTRATED AT THIS TIME. THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY OR SATURDAY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 13 01:11:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626579-27259>; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 01:11:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA38860; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 12:07:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6270662 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 12:06:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA04428 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 12:04:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA07857 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 12:04:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709121704.MAA07857@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 12:04:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9eee588b568e817001c63ae495643ac4 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 930 Status: OR 500 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/121800Z TO 131800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY,WOFFORD,BACON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Sep 13 01:11:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626532-27259>; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 01:08:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA26390; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 12:06:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6270654 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 12:04:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA23352 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 12:04:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA07856 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 12:04:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709121704.MAA07856@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 12:04:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c0900ae5c45cb7586c66133ee066d4d2 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 981 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 500 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/121800Z TO 131800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY,WOFFORD,BACON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626362-4384>; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 09:41:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA33158; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 20:25:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6275289 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 20:24:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA37264 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 20:22:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id UAA08955 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 20:22:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709130122.UAA08955@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 20:22:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 042 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 24fd158ebf505f663da5f731ba3c0360 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3760 Status: OR 842 WTPN32 PGTW 130300 1. TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 042 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- 24.1N7 136.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.1N7 136.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 25.9N6 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 27.3N2 132.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 28.8N8 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 190 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 30.5N8 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 33.3N9 130.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 130000Z4 POSITION 24.6N2 135.8E7 TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS. AFTER 36 HOURS, A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS ANTICIPATED AS OLIWA (02C) BEGINS TO RECURVE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3, 131500Z0, 132100Z7 AND 140300Z8. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626495-4381>; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 10:39:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA25442; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 21:22:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6275876 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 21:22:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA24142 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 21:22:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA09055 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 21:22:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709130222.VAA09055@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 21:22:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm David (21w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3edcc43d03a8abf88c93de2ce4f9cfb1 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3316 Status: OR 977 WTPN31 PGTW 130300 1. TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- 14.8N3 165.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.8N3 165.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 15.2N8 162.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 16.4N1 160.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 17.7N5 158.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 195 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 19.1N1 155.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 210 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 21.7N0 150.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 235 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION 14.9N4 165.0E2 TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS. DAVID (21W) WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7), 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4), 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0) AND 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2). REFER TO TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626133-4378>; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 11:03:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA32268; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 21:48:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6276058 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 21:48:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA08616 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 21:47:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA09123 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 21:47:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709130247.VAA09123@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 21:47:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 042 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fea97918344cb13a64d9daaea7f366cf X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3889 Status: OR 329 WTPN32 PGTW 130300 1. TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 042 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- 24.1N7 136.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM PAGE 04 RUHGSGG1597 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.1N7 136.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 25.9N6 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 27.3N2 132.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT PAGE 05 RUHGSGG1597 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 28.8N8 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 190 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 30.5N8 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT PAGE 06 RUHGSGG1597 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 33.3N9 130.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- PAGE 07 RUHGSGG1597 UNCLAS REMARKS: 130000Z4 POSITION 24.6N2 135.8E7 TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS. AFTER 36 HOURS, A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS ANTICIPATED AS OLIWA (02C) BEGINS TO RECURVE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3, 131500Z0, 132100Z7 AND 140300Z8. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #1597 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626544-4384>; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 11:50:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA12588; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:17:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6276273 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:16:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA24864 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:14:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA09204 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:14:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709130314.WAA09204@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:14:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Advisory Number 19 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 374f2d5a93ed89ca0d3491cc7a261251 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1951 Status: OR 726 WTPZ34 KNHC 130313 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE LINDA ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI SEP 12 1997 ....POWERFUL HURRICANE MOVES NORTHWESTWARD... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE LINDA. THE AREA WARNED IS FROM MICHOACAN TO SINALOA ON THE MEXICAN WEST COAST AND FROM PUNTA EUGENIA SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNINA. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LINDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.3 WEST OR ABOUT 275 MILES...435 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. LINDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON SATURDAY. THIS MOTION MOVES THE HURRICANE PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA WITH THE CENTER REMAINING ABOUT 200 OR MORE MILES OFFSHORE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 185 MPH...295 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 900 MB...26.58 INCHES. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...19.6 N...112.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...185 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 900 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT...SATURDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626555-4383>; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 11:31:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA46074; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:19:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6276303 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:18:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA15332 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:16:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA09209 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:16:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709130316.WAA09209@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:16:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Forecast/advisory Number 19 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 41b511fe018769e90c1b7c9c1c60c310 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2257 Status: OR 773 WTPZ24 KNHC 130314 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1497 0300Z SAT SEP 13 1997 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE LINDA. THE AREA WARNED IS FROM MICHOACAN TO SINALOA ON THE MEXICAN WEST COAST AND FROM PUNTA EUGENIA SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNINA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 112.3W AT 13/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 900 MB EYE DIAMETER 12 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 160 KT WITH GUSTS TO 190 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT.......200NE 150SE 150SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE 150SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 112.3W AT 13/0300Z AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 111.9W FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 20.6N 113.5W MAX WIND 155 KT...GUSTS 185 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 22.0N 115.0W MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 23.7N 117.0W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 112.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 25.5N 118.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 28.0N 121.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626571-4383>; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 11:32:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA15266; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:19:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6276349 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:19:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA41982 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:17:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA09213 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:17:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709130317.WAA09213@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:17:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm David (21w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 05351e09afd7f4b08e9c66d826924e3d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3415 Status: OR 774 WTPN31 PGTW 130300 1. TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- 14.8N3 165.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.8N3 165.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 15.2N8 162.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG1607 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 16.4N1 160.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 17.7N5 158.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 05 RUHGSGG1607 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 195 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 19.1N1 155.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 210 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 21.7N0 150.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 06 RUHGSGG1607 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 235 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION 14.9N4 165.0E2 TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS. DAVID (21W) WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7), 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4), 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0) AND 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2). REFER TO TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #1607 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626567-4378>; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 11:45:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA46002; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:34:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6276452 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:32:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA32570 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:32:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA09218 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:32:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709130332.WAA09218@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:32:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Test Discussion Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1a7cb07b8aeffa6a5a727af5d92820cc X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1421 Status: OR 063 WTPZ45 KNHC 130330 TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEST DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI SEP 12 1997 THE PERSISTENCE OF DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS THE BASIS FOR UPGRADING A DISTURBED AREA TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAR OUT IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS FOR SLOW STRENGTHENING IN THE ABSENCE OF STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR NEARBY TO START WITH. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 290/04. THE MODEL GUIDANCE IS LIMITED TO A FEW MODELS WHICH SHOW SLOW MOTION AND A SPREAD FROM SOUTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS A COMPROMISE SLOW DUE WESTWARD MOTION. LAWRENCE/BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/0300Z 14.3N 133.7W 30 KTS 12HR VT 13/1200Z 14.4N 134.5W 30 KTS 24HR VT 14/0000Z 14.4N 135.7W 35 KTS 36HR VT 14/1200Z 14.4N 137.4W 35 KTS 48HR VT 15/0000Z 14.4N 139.1W 40 KTS 72HR VT 16/0000Z 14.5N 142.5W 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626507-4383>; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 12:12:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA45854; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:35:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6276457 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:34:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA33604 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:32:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA09220 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:32:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709130332.WAA09220@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:32:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Fifteen Forecast/advisory Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b462e529337182f71ea40a676580aefc X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1559 Status: OR 064 WTPZ25 KNHC 130332 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1597 0300Z SAT SEP 13 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 133.7W AT 13/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 133.7W AT 13/0300Z AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 133.5W FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 14.4N 134.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 14.4N 135.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 14.4N 137.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 133.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 14.4N 139.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 14.5N 142.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626562-4384>; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 11:44:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA31074; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:37:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6276472 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:35:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA33700 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:34:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA09226 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:34:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709130334.WAA09226@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:34:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Fifteen Discussion Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cec7dec6286ff9f4c894076ef254129c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1476 Status: OR 099 WTPZ45 KNHC 130333 COR TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI SEP 12 1997 CORRECTION TO HEADER...TEST REPLACED BY FIFTEEN THE PERSISTENCE OF DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS THE BASIS FOR UPGRADING A DISTURBED AREA TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAR OUT IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS FOR SLOW STRENGTHENING IN THE ABSENCE OF STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR NEARBY TO START WITH. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 290/04. THE MODEL GUIDANCE IS LIMITED TO A FEW MODELS WHICH SHOW SLOW MOTION AND A SPREAD FROM SOUTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS A COMPROMISE SLOW DUE WESTWARD MOTION. LAWRENCE/BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/0300Z 14.3N 133.7W 30 KTS 12HR VT 13/1200Z 14.4N 134.5W 30 KTS 24HR VT 14/0000Z 14.4N 135.7W 35 KTS 36HR VT 14/1200Z 14.4N 137.4W 35 KTS 48HR VT 15/0000Z 14.4N 139.1W 40 KTS 72HR VT 16/0000Z 14.5N 142.5W 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626592-4378>; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 11:47:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA34278; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:39:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6276477 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:38:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA41868 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:38:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA09234 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:38:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709130338.WAA09234@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:38:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Discussion Number 19 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8caa7cdce94ea093083226fecc41170f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1691 Status: OR 156 WTPZ44 KNHC 130304 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI SEP 12 1997 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 315/09. EXCEPT FOR THE LBAR MODEL...ALL OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE SHOWS A SLOW NORTHWESTWARD MOTION FOR THE NEXT 3 DAYS AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST AGREES WITH THIS SIMILAR TO THE PREVI0US ADVISORY. AFTER 3 DAYS...THERE IS SOME POSSIBILTY THAT LINDA COUD RECURVE NORTHEASTWARD SPREADING RAIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. AND PERHAPS BRINGING STRONG WINDS TO THE PACIFIC COAST OF EITHER MEXICO OR CALIFORNIA. HOWEVER THIS IS HIGHLY UNCERTAIN. INTERESTS ALONG THE CALIFORNIA AND BAJA CALIFORNIA COASTS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERIKA. OBJECTIVE DVORAK ESTIMATES ARE DOWN A LITTLE AND THE HURRICANE MAY HAVE PEAKED BUT SUBJECTIVE ESTIMATES KEEP 160 KNOTS FOR THE CURRENT INTENSITY. LINDA IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS THE FORECAST TRACK MOVES OVER COLDER WATER. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/0300Z 19.6N 112.3W 160 KTS 12HR VT 13/1200Z 20.6N 113.5W 155 KTS 24HR VT 14/0000Z 22.0N 115.0W 145 KTS 36HR VT 14/1200Z 23.7N 117.0W 130 KTS 48HR VT 15/0000Z 25.5N 118.5W 110 KTS 72HR VT 16/0000Z 28.0N 121.0W 85 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626631-4384>; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 12:05:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA28802; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:59:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6276621 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:58:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA35296 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:58:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA09264 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:58:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709130358.WAA09264@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:58:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Discussion Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9c43e94eb7df60935f40bee8346e4e0a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1740 Status: OR 373 WTPZ44 KNHC 130357 COR TCDEP4 HURRICANE LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI SEP 12 1997 CORRECTION TO ADVISORY NUMBER FROM 19 TO 14 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 315/09. EXCEPT FOR THE LBAR MODEL...ALL OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE SHOWS A SLOW NORTHWESTWARD MOTION FOR THE NEXT 3 DAYS AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST AGREES WITH THIS SIMILAR TO THE PREVI0US ADVISORY. AFTER 3 DAYS...THERE IS SOME POSSIBILTY THAT LINDA COUD RECURVE NORTHEASTWARD SPREADING RAIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. AND PERHAPS BRINGING STRONG WINDS TO THE PACIFIC COAST OF EITHER MEXICO OR CALIFORNIA. HOWEVER THIS IS HIGHLY UNCERTAIN. INTERESTS ALONG THE CALIFORNIA AND BAJA CALIFORNIA COASTS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERIKA. OBJECTIVE DVORAK ESTIMATES ARE DOWN A LITTLE AND THE HURRICANE MAY HAVE PEAKED BUT SUBJECTIVE ESTIMATES KEEP 160 KNOTS FOR THE CURRENT INTENSITY. LINDA IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS THE FORECAST TRACK MOVES OVER COLDER WATER. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/0300Z 19.6N 112.3W 160 KTS 12HR VT 13/1200Z 20.6N 113.5W 155 KTS 24HR VT 14/0000Z 22.0N 115.0W 145 KTS 36HR VT 14/1200Z 23.7N 117.0W 130 KTS 48HR VT 15/0000Z 25.5N 118.5W 110 KTS 72HR VT 16/0000Z 28.0N 121.0W 85 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626494-4384>; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 12:07:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA23532; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 23:01:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6276694 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 23:00:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA24934 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:59:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA09268 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:59:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709130359.WAA09268@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 22:59:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Forecast/advisory Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7bddcf7d3178e78ff8cfd3aa6121f035 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2300 Status: OR 413 WTPZ24 KNHC 130358 COR TCMEP4 HURRICANE LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1497 0300Z SAT SEP 13 1997 CORRECTION TO ADVISORY NUMBER 19 TO 14 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE LINDA. THE AREA WARNED IS FROM MICHOACAN TO SINALOA ON THE MEXICAN WEST COAST AND FROM PUNTA EUGENIA SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNINA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 112.3W AT 13/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 900 MB EYE DIAMETER 12 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 160 KT WITH GUSTS TO 190 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT.......200NE 150SE 150SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE 150SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 112.3W AT 13/0300Z AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 111.9W FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 20.6N 113.5W MAX WIND 155 KT...GUSTS 185 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 22.0N 115.0W MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 23.7N 117.0W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 112.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 25.5N 118.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 28.0N 121.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626244-4381>; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 12:10:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA38888; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 23:04:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6276728 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 23:03:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA41848 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 23:03:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id XAA09276 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 23:03:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709130403.XAA09276@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 23:03:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Advisory Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2583d2b257581e41c9b1abfac6cedd3f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1999 Status: OR 465 WTPZ34 KNHC 130402 COR TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE LINDA ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI SEP 12 1997 CORRECTION TO ADVISORY NUMBER FROM 19 TO 14 ....POWERFUL HURRICANE MOVES NORTHWESTWARD... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE LINDA. THE AREA WARNED IS FROM MICHOACAN TO SINALOA ON THE MEXICAN WEST COAST AND FROM PUNTA EUGENIA SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LINDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.3 WEST OR ABOUT 275 MILES...435 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. LINDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON SATURDAY. THIS MOTION MOVES THE HURRICANE PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA WITH THE CENTER REMAINING ABOUT 200 OR MORE MILES OFFSHORE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 185 MPH...295 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 900 MB...26.58 INCHES. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...19.6 N...112.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...185 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 900 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT...SATURDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626544-4378>; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 13:09:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA17078; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 23:57:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6277159 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 23:56:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA28810 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 23:56:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id XAA09369 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 1997 23:56:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709130456.XAA09369@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 23:56:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7933d6b291a4f4ce64dd8c8629eba4e1 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1360 Status: OR 295 ABPZ20 KNHC 130451 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI SEP 12 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LINDA...LOCATED ABOUT 275 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON NEWLY-FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E ...LOCATED 1425 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LINDA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ34 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCPEP4. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LINDA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ24 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP4. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ25 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP5. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626620-4384>; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 13:12:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA17630; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 00:03:14 -0500 Message-Id: <199709130503.AAA17630@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 00:00:01 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 11 Sep 1997 to 12 Sep 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 97579249c1ec714ec5527225e4129d11 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 17259 Status: OR There are 12 messages totalling 427 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. PCGRIDDS data archive? 2. Weather Observations from Socorra Island (2) 3. Hurricane Linda imagery 4. ASOS Commissioning Notice 5. SAME Weather radios--codes available 6. Linda Does L.A.? 7. Hurricane overkill... 8. Real-time Model Verification Web Page 9. Linda does LA? (2) 10. New Web Page on Hurricane Linda +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 23:09:14 -0700 From: kz Subject: Re: PCGRIDDS data archive? Chris and Lori Bovitz wrote: > > Hi. > > Is there an "official" PCGRIDDS archive out there? Or is there someone or > someones who archive this data? I'd like to ask where I can obtain current PCGRIDDS raw data on the internet. I have the decoder but can't find where to obtain the data. thanks. KZ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 09:50:34 CST From: Weatherman <954blake@ALPHA.NLU.EDU> Subject: Weather Observations from Socorra Island Anyone know where to find those on the net??? :) Eric Blake Webmaster, Atlantic Tropical Weather Center http://usacitylink.com/blake/tropical.html ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 16:40:52 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Hurricane Linda imagery Early morning GOES-8/GOES-9 imagery of record-intensity Hurricane Linda can be found at http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/misc/970912.html Java animations will be added later today... -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS FIRSTT Program CIMSS | University of Wisconsin - Madison asb@ty.ssec.wisc.edu | www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 12:19:14 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site will become a commissioned ASOS site at 1800 UTC on 12 September 1997. CRAVEN COUNTY REGIONAL AIRPORT (KEWN) NEW BERN... NC Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 14:20:10 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: SAME Weather radios--codes available The National Weather Service now has all those codes online as well. See below. Gilebrt ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS WASHINGTON DC 215 PM EDT FRI SEP 11 1997 TO: NOAA WEATHER RADIO /NWR/ LISTENERS FROM: DONALD R. WERNLY...CHIEF...CUSTOMER SERVICE SUBJECT: NWR INFORMATION...INCLUDING SPECIFIC AREA MESSAGE ENCODING /SAME/...NOW AVAILABLE ON THE WORLD WIDE WEB INFORMATION ON NWR-SAME AND NWR SIGNAL COVERAGE AREAS IS NOW AVAILABLE ON THE WORLD WIDE WEB AT THE FOLLOWING URL: HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/NWR /LOWER CASE/ THIS INFORMATION CONTAINS AN EXPLANATION OF NWR AND NWR-SAME OPERATIONS...AND PROVIDES A NATIONWIDE DATABASE THAT INCLUDES NWR-SAME CODES AND TRANSMITTER LOCATIONS AND FREQUENCIES FOR ALL COUNTIES AND PARISHES /INCLUDING EQUIVALENT AREAS/ COVERED BY EXISTING NWR STATIONS. THE SIX-DIGIT NWR-SAME CODE IS AN IMPORTANT NEW WARNING SERVICE FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. IT WILL ALLOW AN OWNER OF THE NEW NWR-SAME RECEIVER TO PROGRAM IT TO RECEIVE URGENT WEATHER AND NON-WEATHER RELATED BROADCAST MESSAGES ONLY FOR THE COUNTY/S/ OF HIS OR HER CHOOSING. THIS WILL PREVENT A LISTENER...FOR EXAMPLE...FROM BEING AWAKENED IN THE MIDDLE OF THE NIGHT WITH ALERTS THAT DON/T APPLY TO HIS OR HER AREA OF INTEREST. THIS NWR-SAME TECHNOLOGY CAN ELIMINATE THE APPEARANCE OF OVERWARNING. PLEASE SEE INFORMATION FROM THE MANUFACTURER OF YOUR NWR-SAME RECEIVER FOR SPECIFIC PROGRAMMING INSTRUCTIONS. PLEASE CHECK THIS WEB SITE PERIODICALLY FOR BULLETINS ON REVISIONS TO THIS NWR DATABASE...INCLUDING THE ADDITION OF NEW NWR TRANSMITTERS...CHANGES TO NWR COVERAGE AREAS...CHANGES TO NWR-SAME CODES AND ANY OTHER CORRECTIONS. END ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 17:01:06 -0400 From: "William T. Reid" <73551.2512@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: Linda Does L.A.? Scott Lindstrom () asked: >What is the climatology of tropical systems hitting CA? I know that one storm >just last month moved up offshore as a depression, and of course all the >news reports then were filled with the mention of the 1932 ts storm hit in LA. >Is it likely that the deep trough -- which extends in the 84-h to about 30N -- >can pick up a hurricane that is at 21 N, about 15 degrees of longitude to the >east, and moving WNW? On Friday morning Hurricane Linda was 330 miles south of Cabo San Lucas, with sustained winds of about 160 knots. It was moving northwest at 8 mph. Some computer forecasts show Linda, or the remnants of Linda, affecting Southern California by Monday or Tuesday. Tropical-storm strength winds are possible in Southern California early next week, given Linda's current strength and movement, the forecast steering winds, and the warmer-than-normal Pacific waters west of Baja California. Yes, it is possible that Linda could bring strong winds to Southern California, but it is not necessarily probable----Linda is still 1000 miles away. The last storm to affect Southern California with winds of tropical-storm strength was Kathleen, on September 10, 1976. It struck the Southern Deserts, especially the Imperial Valley, with heavy rain. Thermal had 3.23" on the 10th. Normal annual precipitation at Thermal was 2.82" for 1951-80. The following year, dying Doreen gave the Southern California coast winds of 20 mph, and brought 2 to 3 inches of rain to the Los Angeles area (August 17, 1977). The 1932 storm which Scott referred to is probably the September 24th and 25th, 1939, storm. That was truly the last full-fledged tropical storm to hit coastal Southern California. According to Climatological Data for September, 1939: "On the 24th-25th a tropical storm moved northward off the southern California coast, moving inland at 8:30 a.m., of the 25th near the Los Angeles harbor and breaking up soon afterward. This storm was attended by excessive rains in the mountains of Southern California and desert regions and by winds of gale force in the Los Angeles area and to the southward. It was reported that 45 lives were lost at sea." The lowest pressure at Los Angeles was 29.57" Hg on the 25th, and the maximum wind velocity at Los Angeles was 29 mph from the southeast on the 24th. For San Diego, lowest pressure for the month was 29.63 on the 6th, with a maximum wind of 34 mph on the 25th. This storm of September, 1939, gave Long Beach sustained winds of up to 57 mph. Los Angeles received 5.62 inches of rain from the storm, with 3.96" on the 25th; and Mt. Wilson received 11.60 inches, including 9.02" on the 25th. Thunderstorms preceding the tropical storm on the 24th gave Indio 6.45" (annual normal is 3.14"). Records indicate that two tropical storms or hurricanes hit southern California during the 1800s. On August 23, 1838, winds of perhaps 100 mph blew through the Los Angeles area, and San Diego experienced strong winds with a storm in late August, 1873. It is "normal" for remnants of tropical systems to bring clouds and moisture to California at least once or twice a year. Climatologically, perhaps it is "normal" for tropical storms to make landfall on the California coast twice a century. William Reid, Climatologist Woodland Hills, CA CompuServe 73551,2512 ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 17:34:42 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Hurricane overkill... I saw this from the Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA National Weather Service forecast office... FPUS3 KLAX 121615 SFDLAX STATE FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OXNARD CA 900 AM PDT FRI SEP 12 1997 NOTICE TO MEDIA...THE REMAINS OF HURRICANE LINDA MAY MOVE OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA MONDAY. SOME OF THE MEDIA HAVE BEEN SAYING THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS MAY AFFECT SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THIS IS NOT TRUE! ANY HURRICANE THAT APPROACHES THE SOUTHLAND WILL WEAKEN DRAMATICALLY BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL HERE. WHILE THE WINDS WILL NOT BE STRONG...WE ARE LOOKING AT THE POSSIBILITY OF A SIGNIFICANT RAIN EVENT...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF FLASH FLOODING. THERE WILL BE HIGH SURF AND SEAS AS WELL. THIS IS THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM THIS SYSTEM. I STRESS AGAIN...THE FORECAST IS UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME. IF THE SYSTEM DOES MOVE OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA...THE PRIMARY THREAT IS FLASH FLOODING AND HIGH SURF AND SEAS. BE RESPONSIBLE...PLEASE DO NOT OVERDRAMATIZE THIS THREAT. A LOT OF ALARMED PEOPLE ARE CALLING THIS OFFICE. 12Z ETA/NGM IN. MDLS INITIALIZED OK XCP FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. MRNG ZN UPDTS...NONE. ------------------------------------------------------------------- Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 18:25:21 -0500 From: Steven Silberberg Subject: Real-time Model Verification Web Page The Model Verification Project Team in the Meteorology Program of the Dept. of Geography at Northern Illinois University in DeKalb, IL, USA wishes to announce a new web site dedicated to real-time forecast model verification. http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/verification/ is the web address which is displaying real-time model verification of NCEP and ECMWF forecast models based on the HRS datafeed from Unidata. Models and fields being verified are: 1. early Eta: 12, 24, 36, and 48-h: fields: mslp, 1000 T, 850 T, 700 RH, 500 Z 2. RAFS/NGM: 12, 24, 36, and 48-h: fields: mslp, 1000 T, 850 T, 700 RH, 500 Z 3. RUC: 3 , 6, 9, and 12-h: fields: mslp, 1000 T, 850 T, 700 RH, 500 Z 4. AVN: 12, 24, 36, 48, 60, and 72-H: fields: mslp, 1000 T, 850 T, 700 RH, 500 Z 5. MRF*: 96, 120, 144, 168, 192, 216, and 240-H fields: mslp, 850 T, 500 Z 6. ECMWF**: 24, 48, 72, 96, 120, 144, 168-H fields mslp, 850 T, 500 Z *The MRF page is under construction. **Please note that ECMWF fields are being verified but we are awaiting permission from ECMWF to place the graphics on our web page. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- We are planning to make more fields and models available in the future. Data problems with the hrs data feed and software glitches may occasionally result in missing fields and background maps. We gratefully acknowledge partial support for this project by the National Science Foundation under grant ATM-9710277. Please let us know by e-mail: 1. How you are using the web page and its usefulness to you. 2. Comments and suggestions for improvement. We thank you in advance for your interest in our work. Dr. Steven Silberberg silber@geog.niu.edu Assistant Prof.-Meteorology Program, Model Verification Project Dept. of Geography 815-753-6853 voice Northern Illinois University 815-753-6872 fax DeKalb, IL 60115 Gilbert L. Sebenste Research Associate, Model Verification Project Dept. of Geography 815-753-0578 voice Northern Illinois University 815-753-6872 fax DeKalb, IL 60115 ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 14:41:09 CDT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: Weather Observations from Socorra Island The 1915z GOES west image has the eye smack on the island. So I have 2 questions: (1) Is (Was) there anything on the island? I assume some kind of fishing fleet is there? Any tourism? (2) Will Dan Rather be there tonight on the CBS evening news in a yellow slicker? :) Scott > > Anyone know where to find those on the net??? :) > > Eric Blake > Webmaster, Atlantic Tropical Weather Center > http://usacitylink.com/blake/tropical.html > > +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ > To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with > "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK > write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 23:55:22 -0400 From: Tim Trice Subject: Re: Linda does LA? Hello, I can't personally say anything about the 1932 system, as I haven't been able to find any information about it. However, your same question caught my attention today when The Weather Channel mentioned the possibility of Linda being a minimal hurricane or tropical storm and maybe hitting southern California. I looked at the Purdue website (http://wxp.atms.purdue.edu/) and found two instances since 1949 where hurricanes had hit California: 1972- Hurricane HYACINTH (28 AUG- 7 SEP) Max Winds: 110 Min Pres: 962 Category: 3 Made landfall in extreme southern California as a tropical depression. Track ran more westerly of parallel to the Mexican coastline, starting from 200 miles southwest of Guatemala. Moved about 500 to 600 miles due east of Baja, then recurved east. 1978- Hurricane NORMAN (30 AUG- 7 SEP) Max Winds: 120 Category: 4 Started just north of where Hyacinth formed and took almost the same path as Hyacinth, but a little closer to land. Made landfall around Los Angeles as a tropical depression. An obvious note, neither of these hurricanes were category five with winds of 160 knots (not even close). The chances of this thing being a minimal hurricane or even a tropical storm are very, very great. Wonder how California can handle east coast weather? cul8r tim ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 21:14:34 -0700 From: Ken Tarvin Subject: Re: Linda does LA? At 11:55 PM 9/12/97 -0400, you wrote: >1972- Hurricane HYACINTH (28 AUG- 7 SEP) Max Winds: 110 Min Pres: 962 > Category: 3 Made landfall in extreme southern California as a >tropical depression. Track ran more westerly of parallel to the Mexican >coastline, starting from 200 miles southwest of Guatemala. Moved about 500 >to 600 miles due east of Baja, then recurved east. > >1978- Hurricane NORMAN (30 AUG- 7 SEP) Max Winds: 120 Category: 4 >Started just north of where Hyacinth formed and took almost the same path as >Hyacinth, but a little closer to land. Made landfall around Los Angeles as a >tropical depression. > > An obvious note, neither of these hurricanes were category five with >winds of 160 knots (not even close). The chances of this thing being a >minimal hurricane or even a tropical storm are very, very great. Wonder how >California can handle east coast weather? Bring it on! It's about time So Cal got some REAL weather! :) OTOH- it seems people are freaking out about this (typical CA mentality), most people don't realize even if this storm does track east, it's going to loose most of it's punch, even thought the waters around here are warmer than normal. I can't remember the last time we had some rain, and I'm miles inland from the coast, so I'm looking forward to getting a little "severe" weather here. People here go crazy when it rains a 'little' bit, I can only imagine the choas if this weather makes it to us..... Ken Tarvin Bahnzo@cts.com San Diego, CA ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 00:25:30 -0400 From: "J. Ferrell" Subject: New Web Page on Hurricane Linda For what it's worth, I have put up a web page regarding Hurricane Linda... http://www.weatherwatchers.org/tropical/1997/linda/ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 11 Sep 1997 to 12 Sep 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626617-4378>; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 14:35:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA20438; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 01:19:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6277865 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 01:17:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA34946 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 01:17:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA09448 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 01:17:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709130617.BAA09448@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 01:17:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 891b4e1db03eecde9087abab6668c4ab X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2400 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 598 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 130153Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 130151Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130000Z4 TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WAS LOCATED AT 24.1N7 136.4E4 MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 105 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 130 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 42 (WTPN32 PGTW 130300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 130000Z4 TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WAS LOCATED AT 14.8N3 165.8E0 MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 6 (WTPN31 PGTW 130300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7S7 173E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 175E3. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A BROAD AREA OF SPORADIC CONVECTION. A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE EITHER BY IMAGERY OR SYNOPTIC DATA. DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA WAS PREVIOUSLY ENHANCED BY CROSS-EQUATORIAL VORTEX INTERACTION WITH TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) IN THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE. THIS IS BECOMING LESS SIGNIFICANT AS DAVID MOVES AWAY TO THE WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626623-4378>; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 14:39:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA20474; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 01:19:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6277870 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 01:19:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA23936 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 01:17:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA09447 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 01:17:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709130617.BAA09447@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 01:17:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 26e19d97fe2cf6eb837ccbcd6d51d8c0 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2346 Status: OR 598 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 130153Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 130151Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130000Z4 TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WAS LOCATED AT 24.1N7 136.4E4 MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 105 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 130 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 42 (WTPN32 PGTW 130300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 130000Z4 TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WAS LOCATED AT 14.8N3 165.8E0 MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 6 (WTPN31 PGTW 130300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7S7 173E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 175E3. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A BROAD AREA OF SPORADIC CONVECTION. A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE EITHER BY IMAGERY OR SYNOPTIC DATA. DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA WAS PREVIOUSLY ENHANCED BY CROSS-EQUATORIAL VORTEX INTERACTION WITH TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) IN THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE. THIS IS BECOMING LESS SIGNIFICANT AS DAVID MOVES AWAY TO THE WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626599-4383>; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 15:49:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA36584; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 02:32:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6278357 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 02:31:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA04566 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 02:31:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA09486 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 02:31:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709130731.CAA09486@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 02:31:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 043 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b7696818f0f60e5a4100e84c723a053b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3926 Status: OR 009 WTPN32 PGTW 130900 1. TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 043 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- 25.0N7 135.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.0N7 135.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 27.0N9 132.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 28.5N5 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 190 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 30.0N3 130.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 190 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 31.5N9 130.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 33.6N2 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 130600Z0 POSITION 25.7N4 134.5E3 TYPHOON OLIWA IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW AND TURN NORTHWARD NEAR THE 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. LANDFALL IN SOUTHERN JAPAN IS EXPECTED NEAR THE 48 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0, 132100Z7, 140300Z8 AND 140900Z4. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626631-4381>; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 16:34:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA35050; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 03:10:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6278504 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 03:10:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA17108 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 03:10:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA09658 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 03:10:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709130810.DAA09658@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 03:10:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm David (21w) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: dea0d65eba03e49e0235cb9b3fca693a X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3518 Status: OR 523 WTPN31 PGTW 130900 1. TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- 15.0N6 165.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.0N6 165.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 15.9N5 163.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 16.9N6 160.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 18.1N0 158.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 19.5N5 156.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 22.8N2 151.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION 15.2N8 164.8E9 TROPICAL STORM DAVID IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEST- NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD AND INTENSIFY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE 35 KNOTS WIND RADII HAVE BEEN EXPANDED BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WAKE ISLAND (WMO 91245). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4), 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0), 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2) AND 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8). REFER TO TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626642-4384>; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 17:05:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA14210; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 03:50:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6278627 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 03:48:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA04600 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 03:48:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA09706 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 03:48:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709130848.DAA09706@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 03:48:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Forecast/advisory Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 954bb0b9fea40a089612b80fead352fb X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2268 Status: OR 991 WTPZ24 KNHC 130847 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1497 0900Z SAT SEP 13 1997 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE LINDA. THE AREA WARNED IS FROM MICHOACAN TO SINALOA ON THE WEST COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO AND FROM PUNTA EUGENIA SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 113.5W AT 13/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 910 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 150 KT WITH GUSTS TO 180 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT.......200NE 150SE 150SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE 150SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 113.5W AT 13/0900Z AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 113.0W FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 21.3N 115.0W MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 22.6N 116.7W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 24.0N 118.4W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 113.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 25.6N 119.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 29.0N 119.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626644-4383>; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 17:05:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA04468; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 03:55:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6278636 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 03:54:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA25872 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 03:54:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA09710 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 03:54:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709130854.DAA09710@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 03:54:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Discussion Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6de087653c29303e8e6b6d73cd693b06 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2787 Status: OR 012 WTPZ44 KNHC 130851 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SAT SEP 13 1997 CLOUD TOPS CONTINUE TO WARM...INDICATING WEAKENING. A SOLID... BROAD...BAND WITH TEMPERATURES LOWER THAN -80C ENCIRCLED THE CENTER 24 HOURS AGO. TONIGHT THERE ARE ONLY SMALL PATCHES OF -80C AND THE -70C RING IS SHRINKING. INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM SATELLITE ANALYSTS ARE GRADUALLY DECREASING AS WELL. WIND SPEED IS NOW NEAR 150 KT. THE TRACK HAS EDGED A LITTLE TO THE LEFT AND THE SPEED HAS INCREASED...NOW 310/12 KT. ALL GUIDANCE INDICATES A CONTINUED NW MOTION THROUGH 48 HOURS. THEREAFTER...THE AMOUNT OF INTERACTION BETWEEN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE AND THE TROUGH SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DIGGING SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE WEST COAST BECOMES CRITICAL TO DETERMINING WHETHER LINDA WILL BE A DIRECT THREAT TO LAND. BOTH HEADING AND SPEED OF LINDA WILL BE IMPORTANT. MUCH OF THE GUIDANCE SHOWS THE TROUGH INDUCING A NORTH OR NNE HEADING BY 72 HOURS WITH RECURVATURE PRESUMABLY TO FOLLOW. SO DOES THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. HOWEVER...LINDA WILL HAVE A SIGNIFICANT WIND FIELD APPROACHING THE COAST ONLY IF THAT TRACK IS CORRECT...AND...IF THERE IS SIGNIFICANT ACCELERATION SO THAT THE AMOUNT OF TIME LINDA SPENDS WEAKENING OVER THE RELATIVELY COOL WATERS AHEAD IS MINIMIZED. AT THIS TIME...THE MODELS GENERALLY SHOW DECELERATION...NOT ACCELERATION...BY 72 HOURS. THIS SEEMS SOMEWHAT INCOMPATIBLE WITH RECURVATURE. HENCE...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS A LITTLE FASTER THAN MOST OF THE GUIDANCE. THE SPEED SHOWN BY FUTURE MODELS RUNS SHOULD BE CAREFULLY NOTED. BY WAY OF COMPARISON...THE 1939 STORM THAT AFFECTED SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA FOLLOWED A SIMILAR TRACK TO THAT OBSERVED AND FORECAST THROUGH 72 HOURS FOR LINDA...BUT MOVED AT 15 TO 20 KT OVER THE REGION THAT THE MODELS SHOW LINDA MOVING AT ABOUT AN 8 KT PACE. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE GFDL AND SHIPS INTENSITY GUIDANCE. THEY SHOW A RATE OF WEAKENING THAT IS NOT QUITE AS LARGE AS TYPICALLY OBSERVED...BECAUSE WATERS ARE WARMER THAN USUAL. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/0900Z 20.2N 113.5W 150 KTS 12HR VT 13/1800Z 21.3N 115.0W 135 KTS 24HR VT 14/0600Z 22.6N 116.7W 115 KTS 36HR VT 14/1800Z 24.0N 118.4W 95 KTS 48HR VT 15/0600Z 25.6N 119.6W 80 KTS 72HR VT 16/0600Z 29.0N 119.5W 60 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626647-4383>; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 17:08:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA04538; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 03:56:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6278641 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 03:55:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA28714 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 03:54:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA09718 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 03:54:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709130854.DAA09718@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 03:54:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Fifteen-e Forecast/advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2e0de6b3a236bed646f86829a6732039 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1562 Status: OR 022 WTPZ25 KNHC 130854 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1597 0900Z SAT SEP 13 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 134.1W AT 13/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 134.1W AT 13/0900Z AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 133.9W FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 14.2N 134.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 14.2N 135.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 14.2N 137.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 134.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 14.2N 138.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 14.2N 140.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626659-4383>; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 17:17:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA08684; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 03:58:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6278646 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 03:56:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA24216 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 03:55:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA09722 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 03:55:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709130855.DAA09722@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 03:55:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Fifteen-e Discussion Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f26387a8363df87c9a87732d9c2c5d10 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1402 Status: OR 023 WTPZ45 KNHC 130855 TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SAT SEP 13 1997 THE TD HAS SPORADIC DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER THAT IS GENERATING A RATHER SYMMETRIC OUTFLOW. T-NUMBERS REMAIN AT 2.0 AND 30 KT IS RETAINED AS THE WIND SPEED. THE LOCATION OF THE CENTER IS SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN...BUT A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE FIXES AND PREVIOUS HISTORY YIELDS AN INITIAL MOTION OF 270/4 KT. TRACK GUIDANCE FOR SEVERAL DAYS HAS SHOWN A SLOW...GENERALLY WESTWARD...HEADING TO THE SOUTH OF A DRY RIDGE. THE NHC TRACK IS ALSO TOWARD THE WEST AND SIMILAR TO THE FORECAST FROM 6 HOURS AGO. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/0900Z 14.2N 134.1W 30 KTS 12HR VT 13/1800Z 14.2N 134.7W 30 KTS 24HR VT 14/0600Z 14.2N 135.9W 35 KTS 36HR VT 14/1800Z 14.2N 137.2W 35 KTS 48HR VT 15/0600Z 14.2N 138.3W 40 KTS 72HR VT 16/0600Z 14.2N 140.0W 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626647-4384>; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 17:13:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA08526; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 03:59:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6278651 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 03:58:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA26064 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 03:57:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA09726 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 03:57:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709130857.DAA09726@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 03:57:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Advisory Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 31a2ca2a4775e15833a452d74fe5c03c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2033 Status: OR 052 WTPZ34 KNHC 130856 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE LINDA ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SAT SEP 13 1997 ...LINDA MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND BEGINNING TO WEAKEN... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE LINDA. THE AREA WARNED IS FROM MICHOACAN TO SINALOA ON THE WEST COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO AND FROM PUNTA EUGENIA SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LINDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.5 WEST OR ABOUT 285 MILES...460 KM...SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. LINDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...LINDA WILL BE MOVING PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT WITH THE CENTER REMAINING ABOUT 200 OR MORE MILES OFFSHORE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 175 MPH...280 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 910 MB...26.87 INCHES. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...20.2 N...113.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...175 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 910 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626657-4384>; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 18:03:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA17540; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 05:01:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6278958 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 05:00:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA28760 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 05:00:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA09775 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 05:00:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709131000.FAA09775@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 05:00:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f2b895925e3e11778c4f95ce1eedca3a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1073 Status: OR 982 ABPA20 PHNL 131000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST SATURDAY SEPTEMBER 13 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...NEAR 12N 167W...IS MOVING WEST AT ABOUT 10 MPH. THIS DISTURBANCE REMAINS WEAK BUT WILL BE MONITORED FOR ANY SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15-E...MORE THAN 1400 MILES EAST/SOUTHEAST OF HILO...IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM AND MOVE PAST 140 WEST LONGITUDE INTO THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BY SUNDAY EVENING. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST WTPZ25 KNHC AND WTPZ45 KNHC BULLETINS FOR DETAILS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626663-4383>; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 18:52:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA14194; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 05:47:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6279039 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 05:46:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA28752 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 05:46:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA09805 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 05:46:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709131046.FAA09805@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 05:46:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4bd9cacf171acad29f69f68f8e45691d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1339 Status: OR 618 ABPZ20 KNHC 131044 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI SEP 12 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LINDA...LOCATED ABOUT 285 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E...LOCATED 1425 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LINDA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ34 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCPEP4. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LINDA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ24 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP4. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ25 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP5. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626703-4378>; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 21:10:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA17512; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 08:02:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6279936 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 08:02:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA23874 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 08:02:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id IAA09878 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 08:02:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709131302.IAA09878@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 08:02:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 042 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 114d1ca265b3e926dcc924207f73b68c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3889 Status: OR 319 WTPN32 PGTW 130300 1. TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 042 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- 24.1N7 136.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM PAGE 04 RUHGSGG1597 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.1N7 136.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 25.9N6 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 27.3N2 132.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT PAGE 05 RUHGSGG1597 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 28.8N8 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 190 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 30.5N8 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT PAGE 06 RUHGSGG1597 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 33.3N9 130.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- PAGE 07 RUHGSGG1597 UNCLAS REMARKS: 130000Z4 POSITION 24.6N2 135.8E7 TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS. AFTER 36 HOURS, A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS ANTICIPATED AS OLIWA (02C) BEGINS TO RECURVE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3, 131500Z0, 132100Z7 AND 140300Z8. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #1597 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626685-4381>; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 21:49:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA36486; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 08:36:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6280343 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 08:36:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA36454 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 08:36:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id IAA09922 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 08:36:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709131336.IAA09922@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 08:36:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 044 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 68ee8099bac4ba98771e7ee2e007b16e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3749 Status: OR 263 WTPN32 PGTW 131500 1. TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 044 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- 25.9N6 133.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.9N6 133.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 27.2N1 132.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 28.7N7 131.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 190 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 30.2N5 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 190 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 31.7N1 131.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 35.2N0 134.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION 26.5N3 133.1E8 TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. OLIWA WILL BEGIN TRACKING NORTHWARD NEAR THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TO NORTHEASTWARD THEREAFTER. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z7 IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7, 140300Z8, 140900Z4 AND 141500Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) (WTPN31 PGTW) WARNINGS FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626701-4378>; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 22:10:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA46066; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 08:55:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6280425 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 08:55:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA14302 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 08:55:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id IAA09944 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 08:55:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709131355.IAA09944@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 08:55:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm David (21w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 19dcfb53fa9ea2511f5e80c13c866802 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3200 Status: OR 598 WTPN31 PGTW 131500 1. TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- 15.3N9 165.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.3N9 165.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 15.9N5 163.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 16.8N5 162.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 18.1N0 160.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 19.4N4 158.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 22.2N6 153.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION 15.4N0 164.8E9 TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z7 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0), 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2), 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8) AND 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629325-4384>; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 22:48:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA37774; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 09:42:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6280675 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 09:41:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA20272 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 09:40:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA09991 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 09:40:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709131440.JAA09991@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 09:40:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Forecast/advisory Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 29f6b59d6f1d42ae1649bd4a87d10ee6 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2264 Status: OR 497 WTPZ24 KNHC 131439 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1497 1500Z SAT SEP 13 1997 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE LINDA. THE AREA WARNED IS FROM MICHOACAN TO SINALOA ON THE WEST COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO AND FROM PUNTA EUGENIA SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 114.6W AT 13/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 915 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 150 KT WITH GUSTS TO 180 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT.......200NE 150SE 150SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE 150SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 114.6W AT 13/1500Z AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 114.1W FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 21.7N 116.1W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 23.0N 118.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 25.0N 119.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N 114.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 27.0N 120.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 31.0N 119.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629445-4381>; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 22:51:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA14156; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 09:45:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6280684 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 09:44:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA37868 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 09:44:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA10004 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 09:44:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709131444.JAA10004@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 09:44:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Advisory Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 063b565b5de0e60a2d0dedcf9e1fa980 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1832 Status: OR 535 WTPZ34 KNHC 131443 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE LINDA ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT SEP 13 1997 ...EXTREMELY POWERFUL LINDA MOVING NORTHWESTWARD... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE LINDA. THE AREA WARNED IS FROM MICHOACAN TO SINALOA ON THE WEST COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO AND FROM PUNTA EUGENIA SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LINDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.6 WEST OR ABOUT 335 MILES...540 KM...WEST SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. LINDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH ...20 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 175 MPH...280 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 915 MB...27.02 INCHES. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...20.7 N...114.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...175 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 915 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629512-4384>; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 22:58:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA35046; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 09:48:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6280696 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 09:47:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA04512 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 09:47:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA10008 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 09:47:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709131447.JAA10008@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 09:47:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Discussion Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2e677dacefd2de77a1675dc6d37f3ee4 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2329 Status: OR 563 WTPZ44 KNHC 131446 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT SEP 13 1997 T-NUMBERS ARE GRADUALLY DECREASING AND ARE BETWEEN 6.5 AND 7.0 ON THE DVORAK SCALE. THE EYE IS CLEARLY DEFINED AND THE OUTFLOW IS EXCELLENT. THERE ARE PLENTY OF BANDING FEATURES. WINDS REMAIN ABOUT 150 KNOTS INDICATING THAT LINDA STILL IS AN EXTREMELY POWERFUL HURRICANE. HOWEVER...SINCE LINDA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER COOLER WATERS IN A DAY OR SO...A GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST. INITIAL MOTION IS 305/11. LINDA IS CURRENTLY BEING STEERED BY A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES AND THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. THEREAFTER...GLOBAL MODELS...DEVELOP A MAJOR TROUGH TO THE WEST OF THE HURRICANE AND THIS TROUGH WILL LIKELY FORCE LINDA ON A MORE NORTHERLY AND EVEN NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY TRACK. HOWEVER...MODELS DIFFER IN THE INTENSITY OF THE TROUGH AND THE LOCATION OF THE RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. AND THIS COULD MAKE A DIFFERENCE ON THE FORECAST TRACK. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS A GENERAL NORTHWEST TRACK DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS AND THEN A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH. THIS TRACK IS CLOSE TO MOST OF THE MODELS EXCEPT THE AVN AND BAM SHALLOW THAT TAKE LINDA WESTWARD. AVN APPEARS TO BE WRONG FROM THE BEGINNING BECAUSE IT STARTS WITH TWO CYCLONES INSTEAD OF ONE. HOWEVER...THE FORECAST LARGE SCALE PATTERN FROM THE AVN MODEL SEEMS TO BE REASONABLE. NOTE: 5-DAY GFDL RUN FROM 00Z BRINGS A MUCH WEAKER LINDA VERY CLOSE TO SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA COAST BY 120 HOURS. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/1500Z 20.7N 114.6W 150 KTS 12HR VT 14/0000Z 21.7N 116.1W 130 KTS 24HR VT 14/1200Z 23.0N 118.0W 110 KTS 36HR VT 15/0000Z 25.0N 119.5W 90 KTS 48HR VT 15/1200Z 27.0N 120.0W 70 KTS 72HR VT 16/1200Z 31.0N 119.5W 60 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629478-4384>; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 22:55:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA34942; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 09:50:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6280701 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 09:48:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA04536 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 09:47:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA10012 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 09:47:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709131447.JAA10012@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 09:47:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Fifteen-e Forecast/advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b9038d647c47da0e49be2b921bdf98b6 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1558 Status: OR 564 WTPZ25 KNHC 131447 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1597 1500Z SAT SEP 13 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 134.5W AT 13/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 134.5W AT 13/1500Z AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 134.3W FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 14.0N 135.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 14.0N 136.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 14.0N 137.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 134.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 14.0N 138.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 14.0N 140.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629514-4381>; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 22:59:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA35034; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 09:51:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6280708 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 09:50:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA17090 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 09:47:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA10016 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 09:47:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709131447.JAA10016@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 09:47:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Fifteen-e Discussion Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: dac055a3d387b3584e417d7efd1013dc X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1316 Status: OR 565 WTPZ45 KNHC 131447 TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT SEP 13 1997 DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO BE INTERMITTENT AND IS MOSTLY LOCATED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. THE OUTFLOW IS LIMITED BUT FAIR. THE DEPRESSION HAS THE CHANCE TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO BUT WE DO NOT EXPECTED A SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING. INITIAL MOTION IS 270/04. THE DEPRESSION IS SOUTH OF A RIDGE WHICH WILL KEEP THIS SLOW MOTION THOROUGH 72 HOURS. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH GUIDANCE. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/1500Z 14.0N 134.5W 30 KTS 12HR VT 14/0000Z 14.0N 135.2W 30 KTS 24HR VT 14/1200Z 14.0N 136.3W 35 KTS 36HR VT 15/0000Z 14.0N 137.5W 35 KTS 48HR VT 15/1200Z 14.0N 138.5W 40 KTS 72HR VT 16/1200Z 14.0N 140.5W 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626185-4383>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 00:31:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA38842; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 11:23:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6281305 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 11:22:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA36500 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 11:22:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id LAA10126 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 11:22:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709131622.LAA10126@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 11:22:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d8f6967e70c6954215ad96b394dac1b6 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1529 Status: OR 046 ABPZ20 KNHC 131620 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT SEP 13 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LINDA...LOCATED ABOUT 335 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E...LOCATED 1400 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS DEVELOPED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LINDA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ34 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCPEP4. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LINDA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ24 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP4. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ25 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP5. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626721-4383>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 01:32:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA38902; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 12:31:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6281814 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 12:29:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA32278 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 12:28:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA10204 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 12:28:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709131728.MAA10204@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 12:28:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: de2aafdc61fafe9f9c8c357ced6ca30a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 949 Status: OR 905 ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/131800Z/141800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/EIBLING/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626704-4378>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 01:31:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA38780; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 12:29:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6281809 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 12:28:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA42260 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 12:28:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA10205 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 12:28:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709131728.MAA10205@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 12:28:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 36837da54065827b2cf25d4f8ddff718 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1000 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 905 ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/131800Z/141800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/EIBLING/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626765-4383>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 03:58:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA41826; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 14:49:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6282919 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 14:49:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA20288 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 14:49:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id OAA10351 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 14:49:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709131949.OAA10351@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 14:49:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 045 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: aec8753dad59f93be4861c7764429bc2 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3827 Status: OR 459 WTPN32 PGTW 132100 1. TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 045 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- 26.7N5 132.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.7N5 132.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 28.3N3 131.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 190 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 30.2N5 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 190 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 31.9N3 131.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 33.4N0 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 36.9N8 135.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION 27.4N3 132.1E7 TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TURN NORTHWARD BETWEEN THE 12- AND THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. FORECAST WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED DUE TO THE EXPECTED INTERACTION WITH THE JAPANESE ISLANDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z3 IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8, 140900Z4, 141500Z1 AND 142100Z8. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) (WTPN31 PGTW) WARNINGS FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626766-4383>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 04:17:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA40178; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 15:10:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6283148 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 15:10:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA41694 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 15:10:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA10378 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 15:10:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709132010.PAA10378@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 15:10:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm David (21w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 604e520b2b41506bd3579687f01111e5 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3338 Status: OR 734 WTPN31 PGTW 132100 1. TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- 15.7N3 164.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N3 164.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 16.5N2 162.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 17.3N1 160.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 18.1N0 158.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 19.0N0 157.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 21.0N3 152.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION 15.9N5 163.9E9 TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST- NORTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND TO INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z3 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2), 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8), 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5) AND 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1). REFER TO TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) (WTPN32 PGTW) WARNINGS FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626770-4378>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 04:22:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA41832; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 15:16:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6283171 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 15:15:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA41978 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 15:15:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA10387 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 15:15:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709132015.PAA10387@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 15:15:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Fifteen-e Discussion Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8d4e47d17d297df3e1b91ca8e737a41f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1361 Status: OR 835 WTPZ45 KNHC 132014 TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT SEP 13 1997 THE CLOUD PATTERN REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED WITH INTERMITTENT CONVECTION WHICH INDEED IS PRIMARILY LOCATED TO THE WEST OF THE LOW LEVEL CENTER. INITIAL INTENSITY IS 30 KNOTS. THE DEPRESSION HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO BUT WE DO NOT EXPECTED A SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING. INITIAL MOTION IS 270/05. THE DEPRESSION IS SOUTH OF A RIDGE WHICH WILL KEEP THIS SLOW MOTION THOROUGH 72 HOURS. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH AVAILABLE GUIDANCE. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/2100Z 14.0N 135.2W 30 KTS 12HR VT 14/0600Z 14.0N 136.0W 30 KTS 24HR VT 14/1800Z 14.0N 137.0W 35 KTS 36HR VT 15/0600Z 14.0N 138.0W 35 KTS 48HR VT 15/1800Z 14.0N 139.0W 40 KTS 72HR VT 16/1800Z 14.0N 141.0W 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626768-4384>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 04:23:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA20412; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 15:18:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6283185 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 15:16:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA20314 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 15:16:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA10391 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 15:16:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709132016.PAA10391@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 15:16:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Fifteen-e Forecast/advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: efe93439c724f5f92e28c4b471c58b87 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1558 Status: OR 836 WTPZ25 KNHC 132014 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1597 2100Z SAT SEP 13 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 135.2W AT 13/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 135.2W AT 13/2100Z AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 135.0W FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 14.0N 136.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 14.0N 137.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 14.0N 138.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 135.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 14.0N 139.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 14.0N 141.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626770-4384>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 04:36:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA15348; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 15:31:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6283235 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 15:29:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA12674 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 15:29:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA10459 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 15:29:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709132029.PAA10459@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 15:29:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Discussion Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 02e77d978244dc02721033fcc67b5102 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1959 Status: OR 007 WTPZ44 KNHC 132028 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT SEP 13 1997 SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW THAT LINDA IS GOING THROUGH AN INTERESTING CHANGE. THE INNER EYE IS COLLAPSING AND AN OUTER MUCH LARGER EYEWALL APPEARS TO BE FORMING. THIS NORMALLY MEANS THAT FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY OR A TEMPORARY WEAKENING MAY OCCUR IN THE SHORT TERM. DVORAK T-NUMBERS ARE DECREASING SO...THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN ADJUSTED TO 130 KT. A GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST SINCE THE HURRICANE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER COOL WATERS IN 24 HOURS OR SO. INITIAL MOTION IS 300/11. THE HURRICANE IS MOVING AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF A WELL ESTABLISHED RIDGE LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES. HOWEVER...LATEST AVAILABLE MODELS INDICATE THAT A MAJOR UPPER TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO FORCE LINDA TO MOVE ON A MORE NORTHERLY AND EVEN NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY TRACK BEYOND 48 HOURS. MOST OF THE GUIDANCE RESPOND TO THE TROUGH BY TURNING LINDA NORTHWARD AND THIS IS ALSO INDICATED IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. ON THIS TRACK LINDA...OR WHATEVER IS LEFT OF THE SYSTEM...WILL BE APPROACHING THE SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA COAST. NO NEW GFDL OR AVN ARE AVAILABLE AT THE TIME OF THIS PACKAGE. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/2100Z 21.0N 115.8W 130 KTS 12HR VT 14/0600Z 21.8N 117.3W 120 KTS 24HR VT 14/1800Z 23.7N 119.0W 100 KTS 36HR VT 15/0600Z 25.5N 119.5W 80 KTS 48HR VT 15/1800Z 27.5N 119.5W 60 KTS 72HR VT 16/1800Z 32.0N 118.5W 50 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626768-4378>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 04:40:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA15192; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 15:32:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6283241 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 15:31:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA12760 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 15:30:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA10463 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 15:30:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709132030.PAA10463@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 15:30:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Forecast/advisory Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d0ce954c1763728bcfff60e2ac2ba6eb X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2316 Status: OR 008 WTPZ24 KNHC 132029 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1497 2100Z SAT SEP 13 1997 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE LINDA. THE AREA WARNED HAS CHANGED AND NOW EXTENDS FROM ENSENADA DEL PABELLON TO PUNTA DE ESTRECHO ON THE WEST COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO AND FROM PUNTA EUGENIA SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 115.8W AT 13/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 930 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT.......200NE 150SE 150SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE 150SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 115.8W AT 13/2100Z AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 115.3W FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 21.8N 117.3W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 23.7N 119.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 25.5N 119.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N 115.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 27.5N 119.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 32.0N 118.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626771-4381>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 04:41:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA15290; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 15:34:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6283249 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 15:32:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA15910 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 15:31:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA10470 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 15:31:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709132031.PAA10470@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 15:31:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Advisory Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e5c015b002c3a28aa831b392f06f9540 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1963 Status: OR 031 WTPZ34 KNHC 132031 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE LINDA ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT SEP 13 1997 ...LINDA WEAKENS SOME...REMAINS POWERFUL... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE LINDA. THE AREA WARNED HAS CHANGED AND NOW EXTENDS FROM ENSENADA DEL PABELLON TO PUNTA DE ESTRECHO ON THE WEST COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO AND FROM PUNTA EUGENIA SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LINDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 115.8 WEST OR ABOUT 400 MILES...650 KM...WEST SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHER TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. LINDA HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND THEN TOWARD THE NORTH DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 150 MPH...240 KM/HR ...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. A GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 930 MB...27.46 INCHES. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...21.0 N...115.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 930 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626779-4383>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 05:45:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA41850; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 16:35:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6283746 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 16:35:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA41544 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 16:35:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA10580 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 16:35:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709132135.QAA10580@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 16:35:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm David (21w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6371a0c3f40d92b291dc64d2e9d34512 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3415 Status: OR 932 WTPN31 PGTW 130300 1. TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- 14.8N3 165.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.8N3 165.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 15.2N8 162.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG1607 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 16.4N1 160.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 17.7N5 158.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 05 RUHGSGG1607 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 195 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 19.1N1 155.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 210 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 21.7N0 150.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 06 RUHGSGG1607 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 235 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION 14.9N4 165.0E2 TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS. DAVID (21W) WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7), 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4), 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0) AND 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2). REFER TO TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #1607 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626058-4384>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 06:06:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA15992; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 16:53:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6283859 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 16:53:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA41830 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 16:53:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA10598 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 16:53:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709132153.QAA10598@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 16:53:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 042 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 580c6496ef33b7bdefe54860e5ed418c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3889 Status: OR 068 WTPN32 PGTW 130300 1. TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 042 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- 24.1N7 136.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM PAGE 04 RUHGSGG1597 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.1N7 136.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 25.9N6 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 27.3N2 132.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT PAGE 05 RUHGSGG1597 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 28.8N8 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 190 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 30.5N8 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT PAGE 06 RUHGSGG1597 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 33.3N9 130.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- PAGE 07 RUHGSGG1597 UNCLAS REMARKS: 130000Z4 POSITION 24.6N2 135.8E7 TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS. AFTER 36 HOURS, A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS ANTICIPATED AS OLIWA (02C) BEGINS TO RECURVE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3, 131500Z0, 132100Z7 AND 140300Z8. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #1597 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626058-4384>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 06:01:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA38746; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 16:56:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6283867 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 16:54:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA41916 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 16:54:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA10602 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 16:54:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709132154.QAA10602@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 16:54:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 79f98df88dbeb067b210ff1e0b973162 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1098 Status: OR 073 ABPA20 PHNL 132200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST SATURDAY SEPTEMBER 13 1997 A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU HAS A SMALL BUT PERSISTENT AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS AND IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD. THIS DISTURBANCE WILL BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15-E...MORE THAN 1100 MILES EAST/SOUTHEAST OF HILO...IS FORECAST TO BECOME TROPICAL STORM MARTY...THEN MOVE PAST 140 WEST LONGITUDE INTO THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST WTPZ25 KNHC AND WTPZ45 KNHC BULLETINS FOR DETAILS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626856-8093>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 07:45:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA41842; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 18:38:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6284586 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 18:38:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id SAA36438 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 18:38:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id SAA10673 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 18:38:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709132338.SAA10673@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 18:38:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm David (21w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1c8eaa648e66877c1fc702c0593bb7aa X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3415 Status: OR 515 WTPN31 PGTW 130300 1. TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- 14.8N3 165.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.8N3 165.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 15.2N8 162.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG1607 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 16.4N1 160.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 17.7N5 158.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 05 RUHGSGG1607 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 195 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 19.1N1 155.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 210 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 21.7N0 150.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 06 RUHGSGG1607 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 235 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION 14.9N4 165.0E2 TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS. DAVID (21W) WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7), 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4), 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0) AND 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2). REFER TO TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #1607 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626861-8094>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 07:54:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA36402; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 18:47:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6284712 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 18:47:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id SAA41502 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 18:47:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id SAA10686 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 18:47:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709132347.SAA10686@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 18:47:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 042 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2e6792836d9f5af51b4b566774a98add X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3889 Status: OR 576 WTPN32 PGTW 130300 1. TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 042 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- 24.1N7 136.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM PAGE 04 RUHGSGG1597 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.1N7 136.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 25.9N6 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 27.3N2 132.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT PAGE 05 RUHGSGG1597 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 28.8N8 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 190 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 30.5N8 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT PAGE 06 RUHGSGG1597 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 33.3N9 130.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- PAGE 07 RUHGSGG1597 UNCLAS REMARKS: 130000Z4 POSITION 24.6N2 135.8E7 TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS. AFTER 36 HOURS, A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS ANTICIPATED AS OLIWA (02C) BEGINS TO RECURVE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3, 131500Z0, 132100Z7 AND 140300Z8. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #1597 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628632-8093>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 09:35:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA24918; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 20:28:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6285704 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 20:27:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA20286 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 20:27:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id UAA10783 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 20:27:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709140127.UAA10783@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 20:27:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 046 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ffa638cf55042936a309cef7d4c5de2f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3780 Status: OR 037 WTPN32 PGTW 140300 1. TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 046 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- 27.4N3 131.6E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 27.4N3 131.6E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 28.8N8 130.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 30.6N9 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 190 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 32.7N2 131.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 34.8N5 132.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 39.0N2 136.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION 27.7N6 131.4E9 TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTH WITHIN 12 HOURS AND RECURVE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AFTER 36 HOURS. TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z5 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4, 141500Z1, 142100Z8 AND 150300Z9. REFER TO TYPHOON DAVID (21W) (WTPN31 PGTW) WARNINGS FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629053-8095>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 09:41:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA45918; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 20:35:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6285738 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 20:33:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA42442 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 20:33:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id UAA10795 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 20:33:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709140133.UAA10795@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 20:33:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9b873bb92e39b9b98cfe6b029ce4ad90 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1535 Status: OR 241 ABPZ20 KNHC 140132 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT SEP 13 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LINDA...LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E...LOCATED 1400 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS DEVELOPED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THERE MAY BE SOME POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LINDA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ34 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCPEP4. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LINDA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ24 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP4. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ25 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP5. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629094-8090>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 10:00:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA04526; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 20:53:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6285814 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 20:53:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA32156 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 20:53:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id UAA10811 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 20:53:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709140153.UAA10811@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 20:53:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon David (21w) Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5af03c26d30ae9570b821d0354dd8ddf X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3392 Status: OR 526 WTPN31 PGTW 140300 1. TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 010 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 21W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- 16.5N2 163.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N2 163.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 17.4N2 162.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 18.1N0 160.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 19.0N0 158.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 19.9N9 156.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 21.9N2 153.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 295 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION 16.7N4 163.4E4 TYPHOON DAVID (21W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z5 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8), 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5), 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1) AND 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3). REFER TO TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) (WTPN32 PGTW) WARNINGS FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629132-8093>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 10:25:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA04600; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 21:19:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6286014 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 21:18:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA17024 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 21:18:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA10834 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 21:18:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709140218.VAA10834@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 21:18:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Discussion Number 18 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8e499c1f7af59300ab017b278038c025 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1821 Status: OR 992 WTPZ44 KNHC 140216 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT SEP 13 1997 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 290/12. THE GUIDANCE MODELS ARE QUITE DIVERSE AND THIS IS INCREASES THE UNCERTAINTY OF THE FUTURE TRACK. THE AVIATION MODEL TURNS SLOWLY TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST. THE GFLD MODEL IS VERY SLOW NORTHWEST. THE UKMET IS SLOW NORTHWEST FOR 48 HOURS AND THEN LOSES IT. THE NOGAPS IS SLOW NORTH. NONE OF THE MODELS EXCEPT LBAR IS NEARLY AS FAR NORTH AS OUR LAST ADVISORY. THE AVIATION MODEL SUGGESTS THAT THE INTENSIFYING TROUGH APPROACHING THE WEST COAST WILL NOT PICK UP LINDA WHILE THE NOGAPS DOES SHOW LINDA RECURVING INTO THE WESTERLIES. THE OFFICIAL TRACK IS ADJUSTED TO BE SLOWER THAN THE LAST ADVISORY AND SHIFTED A LITTLE WESTWARD AS WELL AS A LOT SOUTHWARD. SINCE THE NEW TRACK FORECAST TAKES LONGER TO REACH COLDER WATER... THE FORECAST BACKS OFF SLIGHTLY ON THE WEAKENING. ALSO THE INITIAL WIND SPEED IS REDUCED 5 KNOTS BECAUSE THE CDO CLOUD TOPS HAVE BEEN ON A WARMING TREND OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. LAAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/0300Z 21.3N 117.4W 125 KTS 12HR VT 14/1200Z 21.9N 119.3W 110 KTS 24HR VT 15/0000Z 23.5N 120.5W 95 KTS 36HR VT 15/1200Z 25.5N 121.0W 80 KTS 48HR VT 16/0000Z 27.5N 121.0W 65 KTS 72HR VT 17/0000Z 29.0N 121.0W 50 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629127-8095>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 10:26:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA04538; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 21:21:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6286020 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 21:19:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA15764 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 21:18:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA10838 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 21:18:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709140218.VAA10838@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 21:18:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Forecast/advisory Number 18 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7c961ad8dfceaa919bb681cd60385bc2 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2299 Status: OR 993 WTPZ24 KNHC 140217 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1497 0300Z SUN SEP 14 1997 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE LINDA. THE AREA WARNED EXTENDS FROM ENSENADA DEL PABELLON TO PUNTA DE ESTRECHO ON THE WEST COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO AND FROM PUNTA EUGENIA SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 117.4W AT 14/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 935 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 155 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT.......150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 117.4W AT 14/0300Z AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 116.6W FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 21.9N 119.3W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 23.5N 120.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 25.5N 121.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.3N 117.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 27.5N 121.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 29.0N 121.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629128-8093>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 10:31:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA36516; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 21:26:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6286123 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 21:24:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA16910 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 21:24:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA10843 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 21:24:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709140224.VAA10843@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 21:24:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Advisory Number 18 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cb3d87b33b323511594e4ebddb6ab659 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1909 Status: OR 049 WTPZ34 KNHC 140223 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE LINDA ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT SEP 13 1997 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE LINDA. THE AREA WARNED EXTENDS FROM ENSENADA DEL PABELLON TO PUNTA DE ESTRECHO ON THE WEST COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO AND FROM PUNTA EUGENIA SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LINDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.4 WEST OR ABOUT 500 MILES...800 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO CALIFORNIA. LINDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR... AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 145 MPH...230 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 935 MB...27.61 INCHES. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...21.3 N...117.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 935 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT...SUNDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629136-8094>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 11:05:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA26770; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 22:00:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6286456 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 21:58:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA12560 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 21:58:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA10884 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 21:58:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709140258.VAA10884@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 21:58:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Discussion Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cfc099c5f7fe3193639572b86e81acfa X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1393 Status: OR 455 WTPZ45 KNHC 140258 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM MARTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT SEP 13 1997 A SMALL BUT COLD CDO HAS PERSISTED FOR SEVERAL HOURS AND DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 35 KNOTS AND THE DEPRESSION IS UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE AND ALL OF THE GUIDANCE MODELS SHOW THIS POSSIBILITY. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 270/05. THE AVIATION MODEL SHOWS A RIDGE STAYING NORTH OF THE STORM AND SOME OF THE GUIDANCE HAS A SOUTHWARD COMPONENT OF MOTION INCLUDING THE GFLD AND UKMET. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SLIGHTLY LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AFTER 48 HOURS. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/0300Z 14.0N 136.0W 35 KTS 12HR VT 14/1200Z 14.0N 136.9W 35 KTS 24HR VT 15/0000Z 14.0N 138.5W 40 KTS 36HR VT 15/1200Z 14.0N 140.2W 40 KTS 48HR VT 16/0000Z 13.8N 141.9W 45 KTS 72HR VT 17/0000Z 13.5N 144.0W 45 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629132-8090>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 11:06:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA16918; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 22:01:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6286466 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 22:00:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA26820 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 22:00:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA10892 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 22:00:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709140300.WAA10892@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 22:00:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Forecast/advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6c03a5a83a360ed5f5605a213bad63c8 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1651 Status: OR 478 WTPZ25 KNHC 140259 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1597 0300Z SUN SEP 14 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 136.0W AT 14/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 136.0W AT 14/0300Z AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 135.7W FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 14.0N 136.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 14.0N 138.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 14.0N 140.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 136.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 13.8N 141.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 13.5N 144.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629137-8094>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 11:23:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA24316; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 22:18:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6286557 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 22:17:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA42448 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 22:17:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA10903 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 22:17:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709140317.WAA10903@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 22:17:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Forecast/advisory Number 18 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4f6cca3549bc03c3dd1fe5014918ced7 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2334 Status: OR 856 WTPZ24 KNHC 140316 COR TCMEP4 HURRICANE LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1497 0300Z SUN SEP 14 1997 CORRECTION TO 12 FT SEAS RADII THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE LINDA. THE AREA WARNED EXTENDS FROM ENSENADA DEL PABELLON TO PUNTA DE ESTRECHO ON THE WEST COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO AND FROM PUNTA EUGENIA SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 117.4W AT 14/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 935 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 155 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT.......150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..300NE 500SE 200SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 117.4W AT 14/0300Z AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 116.6W FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 21.9N 119.3W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 23.5N 120.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 25.5N 121.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.3N 117.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 27.5N 121.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 29.0N 121.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629245-8093>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 12:47:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA15192; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 23:42:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6287108 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 23:40:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA36376 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 23:40:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id XAA10981 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 1997 23:40:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709140440.XAA10981@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 23:40:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9aa9f86cf42739176a387161f404326d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1554 Status: OR 338 ABPZ20 KNHC 140439 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT SEP 13 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LINDA...LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM MARTY...RECENTLY UPGRADED FROM A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...LOCATED ABOUT 1275 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC IS DISORGANIZED...BUT HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LINDA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ34 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCPEP4. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LINDA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ24 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP4. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM MARTY ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ25 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP5. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629274-8093>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 13:07:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA42278; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 00:03:41 -0500 Message-Id: <199709140503.AAA42278@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 00:00:03 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 12 Sep 1997 to 13 Sep 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 36217bf13d56c9d90187b66a772090e3 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 23230 Status: OR There are 19 messages totalling 586 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Linda: a steady-state cat-5 2. Weather observations from Socorro Island 3. Tornado/Supercell Pictures 4. Forensic Meteorology 5. Hurricane Links 6. WX-TALK Digest - 11 Sep 1997 to 12 Sep 1997 (2) 7. Weather Observations from Socorra Island 8. Corrected URLfor Hurricane and Marine Links 9. Linda AVHRR imagery 10. cat 5s (2) 11. Hurricane Linda loops 12. Hurricane Linda in So Cal 13. southern CA media 14. SCH BREAKING NEWS: Major SPC product changes!!! 15. "Linda" vs. Los Angeles 16. Hurr. overkill... 17. PCGRIDDS data archive? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 01:01:43 -0400 From: Sim Aberson Subject: Re: Linda: a steady-state cat-5 In article , Michael=Schneider wrote: >TWC has shown many high-quality close-up visible satellite shots of the >storm throughout the day, showing (to those who examine them closely on a >nice big 25" television ;-) "hard" inner eyewall convection throughout the >day. There does not seem to be any "eyewall replacement" going on with >this storm, at least not yet. (In earlier debates, I opined that eyewall >replacement occured in storms at threshold points of efficiency, such as >when over marginal waters or affected by land or shear, but suggested that >such does not occur as a matter of course in cat-5 hurricanes. Neither visible nor infrared satellite imagery is able to show where convective cells are located. They only show the tops of clouds, and are thus unsuitable in sensing multiple eyewalls. Witness the eyewall replacement that occurred in Andrew before landfall. Be that as it may, SSMI data clearly shows two distinct rings of convection around the center of Linda, as of 13 September 0211Z. Sim Aberson NOAA/Hurricane Research Division ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 00:28:59 +0000 From: Shawn Trueman Subject: Weather observations from Socorro Island I watched The Weather Channel on Friday evening and the on-camera meteorologist said about 12 people are on this island. I don't know whether this is the exact number, but the island is inhabited. By the way, socorro means "help" or "aid" in Spanish. I'll bet the inhabitants need help after this. The National Weather Service seems certain that this storm will be below hurricane strength if it strikes California. With sustained winds of 185 mph at 8 pm PDT on Friday, it has a lot of strength to lose before falling below hurricane strength. If I was a NWS forecaster, I wouldn't be so bold. --Shawn Trueman Fresno, CA strueman@juno.com ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 06:15:23 +0000 From: "H. MICHAEL MOGIL" Subject: Tornado/Supercell Pictures I'm hoping someone out there can provide some assistance to me. I'm working as a consultant on a project that requires a single photo of a thunderstorm (which shows many of the classic supercell features) but also has a visible tornado. It should be similar to artwork of a supercell that NOAA/NWS has been using in its tornado spotter training programs. The folks in charge of this project will likely pay for its use, but I'm not sure what their payment and use parameters are at this time. If you have, or know of someone who has, such a photo, please let me know. A phone # and e-mail address would be appreciated. Thanks for your interest and assistance. -- Mike Mogil weather educator HOW THE WEATHERWORKS 1522 Baylor Avenue Rockville, MD 20850 301-762-SNOW or 301-251-0242 hmmogil@weatherworks.com http://www.weatherworks.com ****** ****** ****** ****** If you think education is expensive, try ignorance! ****** ****** ****** ****** ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 06:18:36 +0000 From: "H. MICHAEL MOGIL" Subject: Forensic Meteorology I'm developing a mini-workshop on weather for some attorneys in the greater Washington, DC area. In addition to describing the Certified Consulting Meteorologist program, I wanted to highlight some interesting applications of weather in the courtroom. I don't need specific case names, just "situations." Several folks have already shared some great examples with me and referred me to articles in legal magazines. However, I'm trying to do my homework on this course. Any leads and tales would be appreciated. THANKS! Mike -- Mike Mogil CCM and weather educator HOW THE WEATHERWORKS 1522 Baylor Avenue Rockville, MD 20850 301-762-SNOW or 301-251-0242 hmmogil@weatherworks.com http://www.weatherworks.com ****** ****** ****** ****** If you think education is expensive, try ignorance! ****** ****** ****** ****** ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 07:18:08 -0500 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Hurricane Links Hurricane and Maritime Links: http;//www.pulse.net/storm/maritime.htm ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 07:43:44 -0500 From: Robert Crowell Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 11 Sep 1997 to 12 Sep 1997 Good morning. The local prognosticators are predicting a harsh winter here in the mountains of northeast Alabama. They say we will have a lot of ice and snow as well as colder temperatures. I think they're getting their info from wooly worms or the alminac but they claim El Nino is to blame. Does anyone care to comment how El Nino will affect our weather in Alabama? Bob Crowell ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 08:48:11 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Weather Observations from Socorra Island On Fri, 12 Sep 1997, Scott Lindstrom wrote: > The 1915z GOES west image has the eye smack on the island. So I have 2 > questions: > > (1) Is (Was) there anything on the island? I assume some kind of fishing > fleet is there? Any tourism? > > (2) Will Dan Rather be there tonight on the CBS evening news in a yellow > slicker? :) (3) Will be there and brag on the air (again) how both the sliding door and connecting walls in her hotel room blew in when she tried to open the door to do an outdoor balcony shot? Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman, A.R.S. KB4MHH -\\- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- Home Page URL: http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Permission to use the above info for inclusion in any mailing | | lists, so as to send me ad-mail personally, is NOT granted. | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 07:45:48 -0500 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Corrected URLfor Hurricane and Marine Links Hurricane and Maritime Links: http://www.pulse.net/storm/maritime.htm ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 08:18:33 +0000 From: "Yerges, Mark" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 11 Sep 1997 to 12 Sep 1997 > Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 09:50:34 CST > From: Weatherman <954blake@ALPHA.NLU.EDU> > Subject: Weather Observations from Socorra Island > > Anyone know where to find those on the net??? :) > > Eric Blake > Webmaster, Atlantic Tropical Weather Center > http://usacitylink.com/blake/tropical.html > > The SM for Isla Socorro is 76723 but their last observation is from 1500z on the 12th. Looks like the eye passed very close to the island with the island in the northeastern quadrant. I wouldn't doubt that there was total devastation. THE FOLLOWING REPORT WAS ISSUED AT 1500Z ON 9/12/97 : AAXX 12150 76723 01901 10017 10253 20233 39822 49862 57011 60366 72992 88020 333 10285 20231 32020 59169 60366 70249 88560 Sincerely, Mark Yerges MYERGES@KAVOURAS.COM ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 09:21:54 -0400 From: "Matt J. Rosier" Subject: Linda AVHRR imagery Can anyone direct me to a site with archived (or current if it's available) AVHRR satellite shots of Linda? Thanks in advance... Matt ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 10:22:35 -0400 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Re: cat 5s Hi Wxtalkers, On Wed, 10 Sep 1997, Stephen Hodanish wrote: > I don't know if you've been following weather talk, but were Gloria (85), > Gilbert (88) and Hugo (89) all OFFICIALLY cat 5s? I know Gilbert was, but > what about the other two. Regarding the question of Cat 5's, first - what's the definition? >From the FAQ: HURRICANES, TYPHOONS, AND TROPICAL CYCLONES http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/tcfaqHED.html +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Subject: D1) How are Atlantic hurricanes ranked? The USA utilizes the Saffir-Simpson hurricane intensity scale (Simpson and Riehl 1981) for the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins to give an estimate of the potential flooding and damage to property given a hurricane's estimated intensity: Saffir-Simpson Maximum sustained Minimum surface Storm surge Category wind speed (m/s,kt) pressure (mb) (m,ft) -------------- ------------------- --------------- --------------- 1 33-42 m/s [64-83 kt] >= 980mb 1.0-1.7 m [3-5 ft] 2 43-49 [84-96] 979-965 1.8-2.6 [6-8] 3 50-58 [97-113] 964-945 2.7-3.8 [9-12] 4 59-69 [114-135] 944-920 3.9-5.6 [13-18] 5 > 69 [> 135] < 920 > 5.6 [> 18] +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ NHC ranks current hurricanes on the basis of the wind speed. Since their advisories are based upon 5 kt increments, Category 5 starts at 140 kt. I've included below the peak winds from Gloria ('85), Gilbert ('88), Hugo ('89) and Andrew ('92). (This is from the "best track" data base - available via ftp: ftp hrd-type42.nhc.noaa.gov - tra86to96.atl and README.atl.) Thus Gloria and Andrew peaked as Category 4's with peak winds of 125 and 135 kt, respectively. Gilbert and Hugo peaked as Category 5's with maximum sustained winds of 160 and 140 kt, respectively. 85930 09/16/1985 M=17 7 SNBR= 835 GLORIA XING=1 SSS=3 86030 09/25*2420700 120 920*2510709 125 920*2610720 115 926*2690730 95 933* 88440 09/08/1988 M=13 8 SNBR= 860 GILBERT XING=0 88510 09/14*1970838 160 0888*1990853 155 0889*2040865 145 0892*2090878 130 0925* 89910 09/10/1989 M=16 08 SNBR= 872 HUGO XING=1 SSS=4 89970 09/15*1380505 100 962*1400519 110 957*1420533 125 940*1460546 140 0918* 92610 08/16/1992 M=13 2 SNBR= 899 ANDREW XING=1 SSS=4 92690 08/23*2560711 90 961*2550725 105 947*2540742 120 933*2540758 135 922* Best regards, chris ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** Late 1940s: "The stakes are large and with increased knowledge, I think that we should be able to abolish the evil effects of these hurricanes." - Nobel Laureate Irving Langmuir Early 1990s: The 1991 Bangladesh Cyclone: 130,000 fatalities 1992's Hurricane Andrew: $30,000,000,000 in damages ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 08:34:10 -0600 From: "Kevin J. Schrab" Subject: Hurricane Linda loops I have put some Linda loops at: http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/wrhq/CURRENT/ goto GOES-9 loops (at bottom of page) and then look at either 4-frame or 8-frame IR loops. A single image can be seen at: http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/wrhq/CURRENT/ir48.gif -- Kevin J. Schrab kjs@aros.net ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 11:41:49 -0400 From: Rob Porter Subject: Re: cat 5s On Sat, 13 Sep 1997, Chris Landsea wrote: > Regarding the question of Cat 5's, first - what's the definition? > > >From the FAQ: HURRICANES, TYPHOONS, AND TROPICAL CYCLONES > http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/tcfaqHED.html > > Saffir-Simpson Maximum sustained Minimum surface Storm surge > Category wind speed (m/s,kt) pressure (mb) (m,ft) > -------------- ------------------- --------------- --------------- > 1 33-42 m/s [64-83 kt] >= 980mb 1.0-1.7 m [3-5 ft] > 2 43-49 [84-96] 979-965 1.8-2.6 [6-8] > 3 50-58 [97-113] 964-945 2.7-3.8 [9-12] > 4 59-69 [114-135] 944-920 3.9-5.6 [13-18] > 5 > 69 [> 135] < 920 > 5.6 [> 18] > Looking over these numbers, especially with respect to wind speed, the category of a hurricane increases on average with every increase in wind speed of 20 knots...with Catergory 5 hurricanes packing sustained winds of at least 135 knots. If the Saffir-Simpson scale consisted of 6 Categories, one could make the argument that Linda would rank as a "Category 6" hurricane, as sustained winds were between 160-165 knots...Pressure around 900 mb... Just a thought. Rob Porter, BSc student ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 09:44:33 -0700 From: Mike Martin Subject: Hurricane Linda in So Cal As a youngster growing up in San Diego, I remember Tropical Storms Kathleen and Doreen and the all the rain we received. I remember thinking that it was strange to be getting such a warm rain so early in the year. It was really cool, though. Those episodes helped get me more interested in meteorology, which I now teach as part of our Physical Science curriculum (check out the URL below) I have a couple of points to make about Linda: 1. The water off the coast of Baja Calif. and Southern Cal is unusually warm right now. yesterday Scripps had the water temp at the pier at 73 degrees. When I grew up in SD, water temps that high meant we had died and gone to Hawaii. The body surfing was great, then. 2. Those 2 Trop storms that affected us in 1976-77 happened during an intense El Nino episode. No one has said anything about that in any posts yet, and I think that its significant. 3. Latest water vapor maps show a dry westerly at about the latitude of San Diego. That will help to either a) shear off the storm or b) steer it inland. 4. The raisin farmers here in the San Joaquin Valley are scared to death. They don't need the rain. Well, I guess we'll see. At least my students are interested. We had the Weather Channel on yesterday for updates, and I was pleasantly surprised at their interest. -- ********************************************************** Mike Martin, Porterville High School Science Dept. 465 W. Olive Ave. Porterville, CA 93257 ph. - 209.783.2311 fax. - 209.782.7215 email - mmartin@porterville.k12.ca.us Web Site - http://porterville.k12.ca.us/phs/phssci.html ********************************************************** "The sun rises and the sun sets, and hurries back to where it rises. The wind blows to the south and turns to the north; round and round it goes, ever returning to its course. All streams flow into the sea, yet the sea is never full. To the place the streams come from, there they return again." Ecclesiastes 1:5-7, NIV ********************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 12:49:30 -0400 From: "Matt J. Rosier" Subject: southern CA media FPUS3 KLAX 121615 SFDLAX STATE FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OXNARD CA 900 AM PDT FRI SEP 12 1997 NOTICE TO MEDIA...THE REMAINS OF HURRICANE LINDA MAY MOVE OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA MONDAY. SOME OF THE MEDIA HAVE BEEN SAYING THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS MAY AFFECT SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THIS IS NOT TRUE! ANY HURRICANE THAT APPROACHES THE SOUTHLAND WILL WEAKEN DRAMATICALLY BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL HERE. WHILE THE WINDS WILL NOT BE STRONG...WE ARE LOOKING AT THE POSSIBILITY OF A SIGNIFICANT RAIN EVENT...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF FLASH FLOODING. THERE WILL BE HIGH SURF AND SEAS AS WELL. THIS IS THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM THIS SYSTEM. I STRESS AGAIN...THE FORECAST IS UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME. IF THE SYSTEM DOES MOVE OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA...THE PRIMARY THREAT IS FLASH FLOODING AND HIGH SURF AND SEAS. BE RESPONSIBLE...PLEASE DO NOT OVERDRAMATIZE THIS THREAT. A LOT OF ALARMED PEOPLE ARE CALLING THIS OFFICE. - What's the world coming to when the media has to lie about the weather to get viewers?? Matt ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 12:47:44 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: SCH BREAKING NEWS: Major SPC product changes!!! The Storm Prediction Center has announced MAJOR product changes to it's forecast products coming this fall. For the complete announcement, please see the Storm Chaser Homepage at: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/ Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 17:04:59 -0500 From: Chris and Lori Bovitz Subject: "Linda" vs. Los Angeles Has anyone else been keeping up with the state forecast discussions from Los Angeles (AFOS header LAXSFDLAX, WMO header FPUS03 KLAX)? I find them quite, uh, interesting. Here's an exerpt from the top of this afternoon's SFD: . . . NOTICE TO MEDIA...WHILE HURRICANE LINDA IS CURRENTLY A VERY POWERFUL STORM...IT WL WEAKEN CONSIDERABLY BY THE TIME IT MOVS INTO THE SRN CA CSTL WTRS. THE MAIN THREAT TO SRN CA FM THIS SYSTEM WL BE HIGH SURF WITH ASSOCIATED COASTAL FLOODING...WHICH WL BGN ON SUN...AND HVY RAIN WITH ASSOCIATED FLASH FLOODING...WHICH WILL ACCOMPANY THE STORM WHEN AND IF IT APCHS LANDFALL. NOTE THAT SOME MONSOONAL MSTR MAY PRECEDE THE STORM AND BRING TSTMS TO THE MTN AREAS AS EARLY AS SUN. PLEASE DO NOT OVERDRAMATIZE THIS STORM...I DON'T CARE WHAT YOUR PRODUCER WANTS. THERE IS A LOT OF MISINFORMATION BEING SPREAD ABOUT THIS STORM AND WE ARE GETTING A NUMEROUS PHONE CALLS FROM A LOT OF SCARED PEOPLE. THIS IS A VERY SERIOUS SITUATION...BUT THERE IS NO REASON TO PANIC. PLEASE CHECK YOUR FACTS SCRUPULOUSLY BEFORE AIRING THEM. . . . The SFDs have been running like this since at least Friday morning. Are the media in southern California really going nuts with this story (as in "a little knowledge is a dangerous thing")? Is it so bad the NWS forecasters need to put statements like this in their SFD? Chris ************************************* * Chris and Lori Bovitz * * mailto:tornado@why.net * * http://www.why.net/users/tornado/ * ************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 20:49:46 -0500 From: Daniel Dix Subject: Re: Hurr. overkill... Interesting post below: --------------------------------------------------------------------- >Date: Fri, 12 Sep 1997 17:34:42 -0500 >From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" >Subject: Hurricane overkill... >I saw this from the Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA >National Weather Service forecast office... >FPUS3 KLAX 121615 >SFDLAX >STATE FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OXNARD CA 900 AM PDT FRI SEP 12 1997 NOTICE TO MEDIA...THE REMAINS OF HURRICANE LINDA MAY MOVE OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA MONDAY. SOME OF THE MEDIA HAVE BEEN SAYING THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS MAY AFFECT SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THIS IS NOT TRUE! ANY HURRICANE THAT APPROACHES THE SOUTHLAND WILL WEAKEN DRAMATICALLY BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL HERE. WHILE THE WINDS WILL NOT BE STRONG...WE ARE LOOKING AT THE POSSIBILITY OF A SIGNIFICANT RAIN EVENT...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF FLASH FLOODING. THERE WILL BE HIGH SURF AND SEAS AS WELL. THIS IS THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM THIS SYSTEM. I STRESS AGAIN...THE FORECAST IS UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME. IF THE SYSTEM DOES MOVE OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA...THE PRIMARY THREAT IS FLASH FLOODING AND HIGH SURF AND SEAS. BE RESPONSIBLE...PLEASE DO NOT OVERDRAMATIZE THIS THREAT. A LOT OF ALARMED PEOPLE ARE CALLING THIS OFFICE. 12Z ETA/NGM IN. MDLS INITIALIZED OK XCP FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. MRNG ZN UPDTS...NONE. -------------------------------------------------------------------- Funny...latest NHC guidance today (Saturday) has sustained winds of 60 kts as it makes landfall in srn Calif...I think closer to SAN area at this time. Remember, "Kathleen" of 1976. Yuma, Ariz. had winds up to 72 mph and that storm was barely a CAT 1 when traversing over the Baja of California before hitting the Ariz/SE Calif. area. Hmmmmm.... this storm could be VERY interesting!!!! Guess we will have to wait and see..... Daniel Dix Wichita, KS ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 20:23:38 -0400 From: "Gregory A. Surplus" Subject: Re: PCGRIDDS data archive? At 11:09 PM 9/11/97 -0700, you wrote: >I'd like to ask where I can obtain current PCGRIDDS raw data on the >internet. I have the decoder but can't find where to obtain the data. >thanks. > >KZ > Try connecting via FTP to 140.90.6.103 and login as anonymous and use your email address as your password. ********************************************************************** *Greg Surplus Microg's MD Weather Homepage * *gsurplus@delphi.com http://people.delphi.com/gsurplus/ * ********************************************************************** ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 12 Sep 1997 to 13 Sep 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629308-8090>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 13:41:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA37182; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 00:34:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6287429 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 00:32:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA37342 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 00:32:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id AAA11078 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 00:32:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709140532.AAA11078@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 00:32:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0673fd8bd798541bb7247b1beb7f25bd X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2396 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 926 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 140153Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 140151Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140000Z5 TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WAS LOCATED AT 27.4N3 131.6E1 MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 46 (WTPN32 PGTW 140300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 140000Z5 TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.5N2 163.7E7 MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 10 (WTPN31 PGTW 140300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 16N7 179W7. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL NORTHERLY WINDS ARE INHIBITING THIS SYSTEM=S DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 175E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED. ACCORDINGLY, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629305-8094>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 13:42:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA37208; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 00:34:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6287434 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 00:34:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA19168 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 00:32:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id AAA11077 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 00:32:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709140532.AAA11077@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 00:32:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 10b0bd30dc578db6446ed7bc0eed328b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2342 Status: OR 926 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 140153Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 140151Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140000Z5 TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WAS LOCATED AT 27.4N3 131.6E1 MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 46 (WTPN32 PGTW 140300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 140000Z5 TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.5N2 163.7E7 MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 10 (WTPN31 PGTW 140300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 16N7 179W7. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL NORTHERLY WINDS ARE INHIBITING THIS SYSTEM=S DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 175E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED. ACCORDINGLY, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629392-8093>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 15:30:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA31928; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 02:22:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6287741 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 02:22:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA18084 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 02:22:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA11158 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 02:22:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709140722.CAA11158@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 02:22:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 047 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2657a616771c3569bb9036cab18edac9 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3802 Status: OR 936 WTPN32 PGTW 140900 1. TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 047 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- 28.1N1 130.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.1N1 130.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 29.3N4 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 30.9N2 130.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 33.2N8 131.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 155 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 35.8N6 133.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 41.7N2 139.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION 28.4N4 130.6E0 TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM HAS SLOWED AND IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IN THE NEXT 06 TO 12 HOURS. AFTER 12 HOURS TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) IS FORECAST TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTH- NORTHEAST AND ACCELERATE. THIS SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BETWEEN THE 48- AND 72-HOUR FORECAST POSITIONS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z1 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1, 142100Z8, 150300Z9 AND 150900Z5. REFER TO TYPHOON DAVID (21W) (WTPN31 PGTW) WARNINGS FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629399-8094>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 16:01:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA36540; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 02:54:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6287949 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 02:54:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA32426 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 02:54:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA11172 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 02:54:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709140754.CAA11172@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 02:54:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon David (21w) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5c2912257d4e57d0525b46618c076e2f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3458 Status: OR 302 WTPN31 PGTW 140900 1. TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- 17.7N5 162.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N5 162.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 19.0N0 160.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 20.0N2 158.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 20.7N9 157.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 255 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 21.4N7 155.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 22.6N0 152.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION 18.0N9 162.1E0 TYPHOON DAVID (21W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST REASONING. WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON AVAILABLE 140000Z5 SHIP SYNOPTIC DATA. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z1 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5), 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1), 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3) AND 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9). REFER TO TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) (WTPN32 PGTW) WARNINGS FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629414-8094>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 16:55:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA17976; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 03:39:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6288046 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 03:37:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA18128 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 03:37:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA11389 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 03:37:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709140837.DAA11389@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 03:37:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Forecast/advisory Number 19 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 00a4b20119984f4b405881bb1afb8748 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2276 Status: OR 926 WTPZ24 KNHC 140837 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1497 0900Z SUN SEP 14 1997 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE LINDA. THE AREA WARNED EXTENDS FROM ENSENADA DEL PABELLON TO PUNTA DE ESTRECHO ON THE WEST COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO AND FROM PUNTA EUGENIA SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 118.3W AT 14/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT.......200NE 200SE 200SW 200NW 12 FT SEAS..300NE 500SE 200SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 118.3W AT 14/0900Z AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 117.8W FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 22.0N 120.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...200NE 200SE 200SW 200NW FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 23.0N 121.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...200NE 200SE 200SW 200NW FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 24.0N 123.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N 118.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 25.0N 125.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 27.0N 126.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629415-8093>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 16:55:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA38806; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 03:46:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6288055 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 03:44:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA38668 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 03:44:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA11397 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 03:44:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709140844.DAA11397@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 03:44:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Advisory Number 19 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1bdb8a02ca5853ff8310ed48881536db X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1883 Status: OR 995 WTPZ34 KNHC 140842 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE LINDA ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 1997 ...LINDA WEAKENING... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE LINDA. THE AREA WARNED EXTENDS FROM ENSENADA DEL PABELLON TO PUNTA DE ESTRECHO ON THE WEST COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO AND FROM PUNTA EUGENIA SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LINDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 118.3 WEST OR ABOUT 550 MILES...885 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 775 MILES SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO CALIFORNIA. LINDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH... 20 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS LIKELY TODAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 955 MB...28.20 INCHES. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...21.5 N...118.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 955 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629409-8094>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 16:55:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA18158; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 03:47:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6288073 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 03:46:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA18050 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 03:45:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA11401 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 03:45:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709140845.DAA11401@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 03:45:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Forecast/advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 69f989169435cd90f2a5950e315788c2 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1780 Status: OR 001 WTPZ25 KNHC 140844 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1597 0900Z SUN SEP 14 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 136.3W AT 14/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 136.3W AT 14/0900Z AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 136.1W FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 13.9N 137.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 13.8N 138.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 13.5N 140.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 136.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 13.3N 142.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 13.0N 146.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629412-8095>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 16:56:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA08536; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 03:49:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6288079 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 03:47:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA31882 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 03:45:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA11405 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 03:45:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709140845.DAA11405@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 03:45:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Discussion Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d612cfb52adabec00f6fbf4c9d8d1159 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1556 Status: OR 002 WTPZ45 KNHC 140845 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM MARTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 1997 DEEP CONVECTION IS OCCURRING IN TWO CLUSTERS OVER THE NW SEMICIRCLE. A BROKEN BAND OF DEEP CONVECTION IS ALSO DEVELOPING TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. SOME SE SHEAR IS NOTED AND THE SYSTEM SEEMS TO STILL BE PARTIALLY TIED TO THE ITCZ TO THE SOUTH. INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 40 KT...THE AVERAGE FROM TAFB AND SAB. INITIAL MOTION IS 270/5 KT. THE 00Z AVN DEVELOPS A LARGE AND DEEP ANTICYCLONE TO THE NORTH OF HAWAII IN THE WAKE OF THE WEST COAST TROUGH. THIS IMPLIES A STEERING CURRENT THAT WOULD ACCELERATE MARTY TOWARD THE WEST TO WEST-SOUTHWEST. THE GUIDANCE TRACKS FROM AVN- BASED MODELS AND OTHER MODELS SHOWS THAT MOTION AND SO DOES THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/0900Z 14.0N 136.3W 40 KTS 12HR VT 14/1800Z 13.9N 137.1W 45 KTS 24HR VT 15/0600Z 13.8N 138.6W 50 KTS 36HR VT 15/1800Z 13.5N 140.3W 55 KTS 48HR VT 16/0600Z 13.3N 142.2W 55 KTS 72HR VT 17/0600Z 13.0N 146.5W 55 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629419-8095>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 17:19:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA14230; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 04:12:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6288202 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 04:11:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA14120 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 04:10:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA11436 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 04:10:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709140910.EAA11436@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 04:10:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Discussion Number 19 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: aa7e85002b91431f120f03b13c95ffa8 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2370 Status: OR 322 WTPZ44 KNHC 140907 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 1997 LINDA APPEARS TO HAVE BEEN MOVING MORE WESTWARD OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THE NOAA JET FLEW A SURVEILLANCE MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC TO MEASURE THE STEERING ENVIRONMENT...SIGNIFICANTLY ENHANCING THE DATA FOR OUR PREDICTION MODELS. THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE MID/UPPER- TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH APPROACHING THE WEST COAST...WHICH COULD POTENTIALLY TURN THE HURRICANE TOWARD THE NORTH...HAS NOW BEEN WELL- SAMPLED. MOREOVER THE JET DATA SUGGEST THAT A MID-TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE...SOUTHEAST OF THE TROUGH...CURRENTLY EXTENDS WESTWARD THROUGH 120W. THIS IS LIKELY THE FEATURE WHICH IS MAINTAINING THE WEST- NORTHWESTWARD MOTION OF LINDA. THE NCEP GLOBAL MODEL INDICATES SOME EROSION OF THIS RIDGE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...SO THERE IS STILL A POSSIBILITY OF A NORTHWARD TURN. HOWEVER THE LATEST OBJECTIVE TRACK PREDICTIONS...WHICH INCORPORATE THE JET DATA...ARE SUBSTANTIALLY TO THE SOUTHWEST OF OUR EARLIER FORECASTS. THEREFORE THE CURRENT NHC FORECAST IS ADJUSTED TO THE LEFT. THE HURRICANE IS WEAKENING. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CONSIDERABLE DIMINUTION OF DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ALTHOUGH MOST OF THE WEAKENING CAN BE ASCRIBED TO COOLER WATERS...EYEWALL REPLACEMENT HAS ALSO PLAYED A ROLE. THE IMAGERY SHOWS A REMNANT INNER EYEWALL SURROUNDED BY AN OUTER EYEWALL THAT HAS A HUGE DIAMETER...ABOUT 80 N MI. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST...SINCE SEA SURFACE TEMPS SHOULD CONTINUE TO GET LOWER ALONG LINDAS PROJECTED TRACK. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/0900Z 21.5N 118.3W 105 KTS 12HR VT 14/1800Z 22.0N 120.0W 90 KTS 24HR VT 15/0600Z 23.0N 121.8W 75 KTS 36HR VT 15/1800Z 24.0N 123.5W 65 KTS 48HR VT 16/0600Z 25.0N 125.0W 60 KTS 72HR VT 17/0600Z 27.0N 126.0W 50 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629475-8090>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 17:58:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA26044; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 04:56:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6288441 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 04:55:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA24206 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 04:55:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA11459 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 04:55:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709140955.EAA11459@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 04:55:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c14aea0319d757eaad484fd110e864ee X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1076 Status: OR 947 ABPA20 PHNL 141000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST SUNDAY SEPTEMBER 14 1997 A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU HAS A SMALL BUT PERSISTENT AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS AND IS NEARLY STATIONARY. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. TROPICAL STORM MARTY WAS NEAR 14.0N 136.3W AT 14/0900Z MAY MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BY MONDAY MORNING. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST WTPZ25 KNHC AND WTPZ45 KNHC BULLETINS FOR DETAILS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH MONDAY. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626380-8090>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 18:52:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA26050; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 05:48:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6288483 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 05:46:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA26002 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 05:46:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA11512 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 05:46:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709141046.FAA11512@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 05:46:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: aaa0ac97b585bb78f08c9c9d5fda113e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1187 Status: OR 674 ABPZ20 KNHC 141044 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LINDA...LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM MARTY...LOCATED ABOUT 1265 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC IS BROAD AND DISORGANIZED...BUT HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629555-8093>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 22:47:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA42302; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 09:39:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6289477 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 09:39:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA30074 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 09:34:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA11631 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 09:34:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709141434.JAA11631@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 09:34:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 048 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 72885d20261d65eeef5a0268677b9997 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3767 Status: OR 457 WTPN32 PGTW 141500 1. TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 048 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- 28.4N4 129.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 200 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.4N4 129.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 29.5N6 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 190 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 31.3N7 130.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 33.3N9 131.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 155 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 35.5N3 133.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 41.0N5 138.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 141500Z POSITION 28.6N6 129.5E7 TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. WIND RADII ADJUSTED TO SYNOPTIC SHIP AND LAND OBSERVATIONS. CURRENT SLOW WESTWARD MOVEMENT EXPECTED TO BE TEMPORARY IS DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW WITHIN SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WEAKNESS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3), 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5), 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1) AND 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8). REFER TO TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629557-8094>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 22:53:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA33216; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 09:48:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6289534 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 09:47:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA15776 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 09:44:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA11655 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 09:44:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709141444.JAA11655@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 09:44:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Advisory Number 20 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0c0ea1a69c0fe0e38216aaa424aeb3c0 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1972 Status: OR 608 WTPZ34 KNHC 141443 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE LINDA ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 1997 LINDA MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER COOLER WATER...AND WEAKENING... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE LINDA. THE AREA WARNED EXTENDS FROM ENSENADA DEL PABELLON TO PUNTA DE ESTRECHO ON THE WEST COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO AND FROM PUNTA EUGENIA SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LINDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119.5 WEST OR ABOUT 620 MILES...885 KM...SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 760 MILES SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO CALIFORNIA. LINDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965 MB...28.50 INCHES. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...21.9 N...119.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 965 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629555-8090>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 22:56:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA37566; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 09:51:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6289550 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 09:50:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA32490 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 09:45:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA11659 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 09:45:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709141445.JAA11659@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 09:45:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Discussion Number 20 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 00cc0878317ce6ab7c64fa609377a6a3 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2027 Status: OR 609 WTPZ44 KNHC 141444 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 20 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 1997 LINDA IS MOVING OVER COOLER WATER...WITH MOST OF THE CIRCULATION ALREADY OVER SSTS LESS THAN 26C. INITIAL INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 90 KNOTS AND CONTINUED WEAKENING WILL OCCUR AS THE CYCLONE MOVES OVER INCREASINGLY COOLER WATER. INITIAL MOTION IS 290/11. THE GLOBAL MODELS MADE A SIGNIFICANT CHANGE LAST NIGHT BY MAINTAINING A MORE WESTWARD TRACK AS OPPOSED TO THE MORE NORTHWARD TRACK INDICATED EARLIER. HOPEFULLY THE DATA FROM THE NOAA GULFSTREAM JET CONTRIBUTED TO THIS CHANGE. THE JET DATA DEFINED A RIDGE AT MID LEVELS BETWEEN THE HURRICANE AND THE DEEP TROUGH CURRENTLY OFF THE U.S. WEST COAST. AS A RESULT...THE AVIATION...NOGAPS...AND GFDL MODELS ALL SHOW THE MORE WESTWARD MOTION. THE DEEP LAYER BAM STILL SHOWS A NORTHWARD TURN AFTER 48 HOURS...BUT BY THEN THE CYCLONE SHOULD BE MUCH WEAKER AND WILL BE STEERED MORE BY THE LOW TO MID LAYER FLOW. OUR CURRENT TRACK IS VERY CLOSE TO THE GFDL...AND IS SOMEWHAT NORTH OF THE UKMET AND NOGAPS. IF THE ACTUAL TRACK IS MORE NORTHWARD THAN OUR FORECAST TRACK... LINDA WILL WEAKEN FASTER THAN FORECAST...AND IF THE ACTUAL TRACK IS MORE WESTWARD THAN FORECAST IT MAY WEAKEN A LITTLE SLOWER. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/1500Z 21.9N 119.5W 90 KTS 12HR VT 15/0000Z 22.4N 121.2W 80 KTS 24HR VT 15/1200Z 23.1N 122.8W 70 KTS 36HR VT 16/0000Z 23.8N 124.2W 60 KTS 48HR VT 16/1200Z 24.2N 125.1W 50 KTS 72HR VT 17/1200Z 25.5N 126.5W 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626416-8095>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 23:03:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA20344; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 09:58:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6289630 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 09:57:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA22584 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 09:46:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA11667 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 09:46:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709141446.JAA11667@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 09:46:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Discussion Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bfd2487e63e31f20162f1708f0a20cb8 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1517 Status: OR 622 WTPZ45 KNHC 141445 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM MARTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 1997 SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION BUT NO WELL DEFINED CENTRAL FEATURES. INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS AT 40 KNOTS. THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD TO THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT...BUT NOT SO GOOD ELSEWHERE. OUR TRACK KEEPS MARTY OVER WARM WATER...SO SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS STILL POSSIBLE. SINCE THE CENTER DEFINITION IS SO POOR...THERE IS UNCERTAINTY IN THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE. BEST GUESS IS 270/05. THE MODELS SHOW A RIDGE TO THE NORTH AND A CONTINUED WESTWARD MOTION BUT WITH VARYING SPEEDS. CURRENT TRACK IS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE MID LAYER BAM...AND IS SIMILAR TO THE NOGAPS AND AVIATION MODELS. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/1500Z 14.0N 136.8W 40 KTS 12HR VT 15/0000Z 14.0N 137.8W 45 KTS 24HR VT 15/1200Z 13.8N 139.3W 50 KTS 36HR VT 16/0000Z 13.6N 141.0W 50 KTS 48HR VT 16/1200Z 13.4N 142.9W 50 KTS 72HR VT 17/1200Z 13.0N 146.5W 50 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629579-8093>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 23:02:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA29414; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 09:56:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6289607 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 09:55:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA32304 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 09:46:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA11663 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 09:46:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709141446.JAA11663@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 09:46:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Forecast/advisory Number 20 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 185adedfe0901c31d44f99d6fc2fc666 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2215 Status: OR 621 WTPZ24 KNHC 141445 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1497 1500Z SUN SEP 14 1997 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE LINDA. THE AREA WARNED EXTENDS FROM ENSENADA DEL PABELLON TO PUNTA DE ESTRECHO ON THE WEST COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO AND FROM PUNTA EUGENIA SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 119.5W AT 14/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT.......200NE 200SE 200SW 200NW 12 FT SEAS..400NE 200SE 200SW 500NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 119.5W AT 14/1500Z AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 118.9W FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 22.4N 121.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...200NE 200SE 200SW 200NW FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 23.1N 122.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...200NE 200SE 200SW 200NW FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 23.8N 124.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N 119.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 24.2N 125.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 25.5N 126.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629361-8094>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 22:56:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA42860; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 09:50:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6289542 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 09:48:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA37516 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 09:47:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA11671 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 09:47:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709141447.JAA11671@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 09:47:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Forecast/advisory Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2b419ba44c0f61907212c7ef341447f7 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1779 Status: OR 639 WTPZ25 KNHC 141446 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1597 1500Z SUN SEP 14 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 136.8W AT 14/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 136.8W AT 14/1500Z AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 136.5W FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 14.0N 137.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 13.8N 139.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 13.6N 141.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 136.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 13.4N 142.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 13.0N 146.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629555-8095>; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 23:06:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA25562; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 09:58:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6289663 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 09:58:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA32232 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 09:54:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA11675 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 09:54:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709141454.JAA11675@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 09:54:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon David (21w) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1048682f91d849fba08c0d0810b3dbf5 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3315 Status: OR 691 WTPN31 PGTW 141500 1. TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- 19.0N0 161.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.0N0 161.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 20.8N0 160.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 22.0N4 158.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 22.9N3 156.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 305 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 23.6N1 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 195 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 24.5N1 151.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 315 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 195 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION 19.4N4 161.4E2 TYPHOON DAVID (21W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. WIND RADII ADJUSTED TO 132339Z SCATTEROMETER PASS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1), 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3), 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9) AND 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6). REFER TO TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629593-8093>; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 00:35:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA14170; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 11:29:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6290369 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 11:28:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA41474 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 11:28:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id LAA11837 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 11:28:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709141628.LAA11837@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 11:28:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ea596d54552f0272f5db597f6fa5c600 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1230 Status: OR 380 ABPZ20 KNHC 141627 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LINDA...LOCATED ABOUT 620 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND FORECAST/ ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM MARTY...LOCATED ABOUT 1250 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO REMAINS BROAD AND DISORGANIZED. HOWEVER...THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629617-8090>; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 01:55:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA19036; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 12:53:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6291367 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 12:52:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA24080 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 12:52:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA11964 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 12:52:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709141752.MAA11964@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 12:52:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7675b4ef6f831a5645a510445a644901 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 935 Status: OR 364 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/EIBLING/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629622-8093>; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 02:18:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA18952; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 12:55:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6291372 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 12:53:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA41742 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 12:52:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA11965 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 12:52:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709141752.MAA11965@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 12:52:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 198bcf195c72d73f83dbd6bbf5123590 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 986 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 364 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/HATFIELD/EIBLING/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629684-8094>; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 04:33:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA38730; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 15:27:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6292125 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 15:25:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA23526 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 15:25:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA12388 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 15:25:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709142025.PAA12388@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 15:25:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Discussion Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e403f76d777254b324131c654808b8b9 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1881 Status: OR 993 WTPZ45 KNHC 142025 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM MARTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN SEP 14 1997 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A LOW-LEVEL CENTER EXPOSED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF A SMALL CLUSTER OF CONVECTION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 40 KNOTS...WHICH IS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE VARIOUS DVORAK ESTIMATES. OUTFLOW IS CURRENTLY LIMITED TO THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT. WHILE IT IS TEMPTING TO FORECAST WEAKENING...THERE IS STILL SOME POSSIBILITY THAT THE CENTER COULD MOVE BACK UNDER THE DEEP CONVECTION AND STRENGTHEN A LITTLE. THEREFORE...WE WILL COMPROMISE AND FORECAST NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE FOR NOW. THE CENTER IS RELOCATED BASED ON THE VISIBLE FIXES. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 245/3. STEERING CURRENTS ARE WEAK...AND LITTLE OVERALL MOTION IS EXPECTED. THE GFDL MODEL CONTINUES A SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST. THE UKMET AND THE SHALLOW BAM SHOW THE STORM MEANDERING WITHIN ABOUT 3 DEGREES OF THE CURRENT LOCATION DURING THE NEXT 3 DAYS. OUR OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK AGREES WITH THE SLOW WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION AND IS MIDWAY BETWEEN THE GFDL AND THE MID LAYER BAM GUIDANCE. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/2100Z 12.7N 135.8W 40 KTS 12HR VT 15/0600Z 12.4N 136.5W 40 KTS 24HR VT 15/1800Z 12.1N 137.4W 40 KTS 36HR VT 16/0600Z 11.9N 138.4W 40 KTS 48HR VT 16/1800Z 11.7N 139.5W 40 KTS 72HR VT 17/1800Z 11.5N 142.0W 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629687-8090>; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 04:35:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA23506; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 15:29:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6292143 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 15:27:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA44092 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 15:27:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA12399 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 15:27:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709142027.PAA12399@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 15:27:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Forecast/advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ed5f5a307e437727161ea907cbd641d3 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1665 Status: OR 031 WTPZ25 KNHC 142026 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1597 2100Z SUN SEP 14 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER RELOCATED NEAR 12.7N 135.8W AT 14/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST SOUTHWEST OR 245 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER RELOCATED NEAR 12.7N 135.8W AT 14/2100Z AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 135.7W FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 12.4N 136.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 12.1N 137.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 11.9N 138.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N 135.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 11.7N 139.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 11.5N 142.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629690-8095>; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 04:40:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA38788; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 15:34:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6292171 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 15:33:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA38664 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 15:33:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA12417 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 15:33:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709142033.PAA12417@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 15:33:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Discussion Number 21 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e288ae69816081a3e9d6561456055a3e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2141 Status: OR 129 WTPZ44 KNHC 142033 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 21 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN SEP 14 1997 ALTHOUGH LINDA LOOKS IMPRESSIVE ON THE VISIBLE IMAGERY...INFRARED PICS SHOW DEEP CONVECTION LIMITED TO A SMALL AREA IN THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE IS FLYING THE SYSTEM AND REPORTED A CLOSED EYE WALL AT 1811Z...AND AN OPEN EYEWALL TO THE EAST AT 1946Z. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 963 MB AND A LOW-LEVEL WIND OF 83 KNOTS WAS MEASURED FROM ONE OF THE NEW GPS DROPWINDSONDES. SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 80 KNOTS AND LINDA WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES OVER COOLER WATER. INITIAL MOTION IS 285/11. THERE IS QUITE A BIT OF SCATTER IN THE GUIDANCE TODAY...BUT THE ONLY TRACK PREDICTION MODELS THAT SHOW A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH ARE THOSE THAT ARE BASED ON DEEP LAYER STEERING. SINCE THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN...THE LOW TO MID LEVEL FLOW SHOULD PROVIDE THE DOMINANT STEERING NEAR THE END OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD. THEREFORE...OUR CURRENT TRACK MAINTAINS THE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD HEADING...AND IS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE MID LAYER BAM AND THE GFDL. THE NOGAPS MODEL IS TO THE SOUTH OF OUR TRACK AND CONSIDERABLY SLOWER. IN ANY EVENT...WE ARE SURE THAT THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN CONSIDERABLY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND IT IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED A DIRECT THREAT TO LOWER CALIFORNIA. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/2100Z 22.1N 120.7W 80 KTS 12HR VT 15/0600Z 22.6N 122.4W 70 KTS 24HR VT 15/1800Z 23.1N 124.3W 60 KTS 36HR VT 16/0600Z 23.5N 125.9W 50 KTS 48HR VT 16/1800Z 23.9N 127.3W 45 KTS 72HR VT 17/1800Z 24.5N 129.0W 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629683-8094>; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 04:46:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA38732; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 15:40:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6292199 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 15:38:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA37734 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 15:34:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA12427 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 15:34:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709142034.PAA12427@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 15:34:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Forecast/advisory Number 21 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a0373291a5db952dd1af0ef34d52262b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2151 Status: OR 142 WTPZ24 KNHC 142034 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1497 2100Z SUN SEP 14 1997 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE LINDA. THE AREA WARNED EXTENDS FROM ENSENADA DEL PABELLON TO PUNTA DE ESTRECHO ON THE WEST COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO AND FROM PUNTA EUGENIA SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 120.7W AT 14/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 963 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 95 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT.......150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..400NE 200SE 200SW 400NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 120.7W AT 14/2100Z AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 120.1W FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 22.6N 122.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 23.1N 124.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 23.5N 125.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.1N 120.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 23.9N 127.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 24.5N 129.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629689-8095>; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 04:50:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA37410; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 15:43:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6292224 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 15:43:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA25638 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 15:36:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA12454 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 15:36:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709142036.PAA12454@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 15:36:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 049 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 013990390b843dda1a86d9dcb9058c71 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3626 Status: OR 159 WTPN32 PGTW 142100 1. TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 049 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- 28.5N5 129.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 220 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.5N5 129.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 29.7N8 129.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 200 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 31.4N8 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 33.4N0 131.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 155 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 35.9N7 133.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 41.8N3 139.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 1412100Z9 POSITION 28.6N6 129.8E0 TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) IS QUASISTATIONARY. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE A NORTHWARD TURN ONCE FORWARD MOVEMENT IS RESUMED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5), 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1), 151500Z2 (151353Z3) AND 152100Z9 (151953Z4). REFER TO TY DAVID (21W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629684-8094>; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 04:55:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA12566; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 15:49:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6292265 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 15:47:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA34210 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 15:38:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA12474 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 15:38:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709142038.PAA12474@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 15:38:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Advisory Number 21 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5de728bff2c26543aa7911060bfeeb1e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2049 Status: OR 193 WTPZ34 KNHC 142038 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE LINDA ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN SEP 14 1997 ...LINDA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER COOLER WATER... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE LINDA. THE AREA WARNED EXTENDS FROM ENSENADA DEL PABELLON TO PUNTA DE ESTRECHO ON THE WEST COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO AND FROM PUNTA EUGENIA SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LINDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 120.7 WEST OR ABOUT 690 MILES...1110 KM...WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 765 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO CALIFORNIA. LINDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING WILL OCCUR TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 963 MB...28.44 INCHES. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...22.1 N...120.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 90 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 963 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629686-8093>; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 04:48:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA38890; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 15:42:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6292215 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 15:41:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA35176 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 15:40:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA12484 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 15:40:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709142040.PAA12484@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 15:40:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon David (21w) Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b9e5e61c6ca1cb33f3303bbd290b98de X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3246 Status: OR 211 WTPN31 PGTW 142100 1. TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- 20.6N8 160.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.6N8 160.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 22.4N8 158.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 305 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 23.6N1 156.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 305 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 24.3N9 154.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 24.7N3 152.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 315 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 195 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 25.4N1 146.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION 21.0N3 160.0E7 TYPHOON DAVID (21W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 21 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3), 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9), 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6) AND 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2). REFER TO TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629743-8093>; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 06:04:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA19188; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 17:02:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6292730 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 17:00:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA44220 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 17:00:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA12690 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 17:00:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709142200.RAA12690@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 17:00:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b657c4e684242d7419be1ddfb6c9e290 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 982 Status: OR 338 ABPA20 PHNL 142200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST SUNDAY SEPTEMBER 14 1997 TROPICAL STORM MARTY WAS NEAR 12.7N 135.8W AT 11 AM HST. IT HAS SLOWED ITS WESTWARD MOVEMENT. IT IS NOW FORECAST TO CROSS INTO THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BY LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON TUESDAY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST WTPZ25 KNHC AND WTPZ45 KNHC BULLETINS FOR DETAILS. OTHERWISE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627035-25148>; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 07:33:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA18988; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 18:27:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6293456 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 18:25:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id SAA34292 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 18:25:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id SAA12921 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 18:25:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709142325.SAA12921@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 18:25:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d82b0654fc43edd2d1f1ccf1c372ab9f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1229 Status: OR 527 ABPZ20 KNHC 142324 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN SEP 14 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LINDA...LOCATED ABOUT 690 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND FORECAST/ ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM MARTY...LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO REMAINS BROAD AND DISORGANIZED. HOWEVER...THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627120-25147>; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 09:56:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA14252; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 20:46:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6294637 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 20:46:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA37776 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 20:46:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id UAA13235 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 20:46:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709150146.UAA13235@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 20:46:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 050 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7c6e71aed46329d884ed7eefdde129e5 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3444 Status: OR 811 WTPN32 PGTW 150300 1. TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 050 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- 28.9N9 129.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 28.9N9 129.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 29.6N7 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 145 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 31.3N7 130.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 33.6N2 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 36.6N5 134.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 43.2N9 141.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION 29.0N1 129.3E5 TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 03 KNOTS SOUTH OF KYUSHU. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND ACCELERATE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLOWLY THROUGH 24 HOURS THEN WEAKEN RAPIDLY AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE RUGGED TERRAIN OF KYUSHU. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM BETWEEN 48 AND 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z6 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5, 151500Z2, 152100Z9 AND 160300Z0. REFER TO TYPHOON DAVID (21W) (WTPN31 PGTW) WARNINGS FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627201-25148>; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 10:36:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA23360; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 21:30:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6295179 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 21:28:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA10466 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 21:24:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA13356 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 21:24:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709150224.VAA13356@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 21:24:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Forecast/advisory Number 22 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 218c52af9ac4b7240eae87b0cc7f209b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2129 Status: OR 482 WTPZ24 KNHC 150223 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1497 0300Z MON SEP 15 1997 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WEST COAST OF THE MAINLAND OF MEXICO FROM ENSENADA DEL PABELLON TO PUNTA DE ESTRECHO. A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE LINDA CONTINUES FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUNTA EUGENIA SOUTHWARD. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 121.8W AT 15/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 962 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT 64 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 25NW 50 KT.......100NE 75SE 50SW 75NW 34 KT.......150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..400NE 300SE 300SW 400NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 121.8W AT 15/0300Z AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 121.2W FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 22.8N 123.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 25NW 50 KT...100NE 75SE 50SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 23.5N 125.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 24.0N 126.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.4N 121.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 24.5N 127.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 25.5N 129.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629819-25148>; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 10:38:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA34926; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 21:32:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6295211 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 21:31:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAB32238 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 21:24:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA13360 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 21:24:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709150224.VAA13360@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 21:24:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Discussion Number 22 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 182b5f2f871a2bb63c2c61cef06f3527 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1594 Status: OR 483 WTPZ44 KNHC 150223 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 22 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN SEP 14 1997 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE REMAINS AT 285/11. THE MODEL GUIDANCE IS DIVERSE WITH THE GFDL MODEL SHOWING SLOW NORTHWESTWARD MOTION FOR 72 HOURS WHILE THE AVIATION...UKMET AND NOGAPS SHOW A SLOW SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION. THE LBAR TURNS LINDA NORTHWARD BY 48 HOURS. IN ANY CASE...NONE SHOW ANY MOTION TOWARD LAND IN THE NEXT 72 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND IS IN CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH THE GFDL MODEL. THE LAST AIRCRAFT FIX WAS AT 2307Z. IT HAD A SURFACE PRESSURE OF 962 MB AND THE HIGHEST FLIGHT LEVEL WIND SPEED WAS 84 KNOTS. THE INITIAL WIND SPEED IS DECREASED TO 75 KNOTS AND THE WEAKENING TREND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE AS LINDA MOVES OVER COLDER WATER FOR THE NEXT 3 DAYS. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/0300Z 22.4N 121.8W 75 KTS 12HR VT 15/1200Z 22.8N 123.5W 65 KTS 24HR VT 16/0000Z 23.5N 125.5W 55 KTS 36HR VT 16/1200Z 24.0N 126.5W 45 KTS 48HR VT 17/0000Z 24.5N 127.5W 40 KTS 72HR VT 18/0000Z 25.5N 129.5W 35 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629497-25148>; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 10:53:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA37460; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 21:47:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6295419 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 21:46:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA31814 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 21:28:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA13388 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 21:28:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709150228.VAA13388@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 21:28:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Advisory Number 22 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 54270ac22932d06010d0a23689888b3d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1946 Status: OR 542 WTPZ34 KNHC 150228 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE LINDA ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN SEP 14 1997 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WEST COAST OF THE MAINLAND OF MEXICO FROM ENSENADA DEL PABELLON TO PUNTA DE ESTRECHO. A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE LINDA CONTINUES FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUNTA EUGENIA SOUTHWARD. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LINDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 121.8 WEST OR ABOUT 760 MILES... 1225 KM...WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 760 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO CALIFORNIA. LINDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR ...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS 962 MB...28.41 INCHES. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...22.4 N...121.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 962 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT...MONDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629819-25147>; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 10:42:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA40124; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 21:34:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6295260 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 21:34:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA09468 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 21:33:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA13459 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 21:33:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709150233.VAA13459@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 21:33:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon David (21w) Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7accb28ac766b71e97003c9654fcaadd X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3698 Status: OR 662 WTPN31 PGTW 150300 1. TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- 21.1N4 158.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N4 158.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 22.7N1 156.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 23.8N3 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 24.4N0 152.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 24.7N3 150.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 24.9N5 146.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 295 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION 21.5N8 158.3E7 TYPHOON DAVID (21W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST THROUGH 24 HOURS, THEN TURN TOWARD THE WEST. TYPHOON DAVID (21W) IS ANTICIPATED TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z6 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6), 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2) AND 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4). REFER TO TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) (WTPN32 PGTW) WARNINGS FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629620-25147>; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 10:49:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA09826; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 21:42:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6295365 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 21:40:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA37408 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 21:40:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA13472 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 21:40:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709150240.VAA13472@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 21:40:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Discussion Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c0f0dbe16d27e338f7ebee7a290b78d4 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1479 Status: OR 750 WTPZ45 KNHC 150240 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM MARTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN SEP 14 1997 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 220/03. THE AVIATION MODEL SHOWS HIGH PRESSURE PERSISTING TO THE NORTH OF THE STORM. THE MOTION FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW MOSTLY WESTWARD AS INDICATED BY THE AVIATION MODEL...THE GFDL AND THE NOGAPS MODEL. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND CLOSELY FOLLOWS THE GFDL MODEL. ALTHOUGH THERE IS SOME DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER...IT IS SMALL AND UNIMPRESSIVE AND THE INITIAL WIND SPEED IS DECREASED TO 35 KNOTS. THE FORECAST IS FOR NO CHANGE SINCE THERE IS NO INDICATION OF ANY STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR NEARBY. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/0300Z 12.1N 136.3W 35 KTS 12HR VT 15/1200Z 11.7N 137.0W 35 KTS 24HR VT 16/0000Z 11.5N 138.0W 35 KTS 36HR VT 16/1200Z 11.5N 139.5W 35 KTS 48HR VT 17/0000Z 11.5N 141.0W 35 KTS 72HR VT 18/0000Z 11.5N 143.5W 35 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629089-25148>; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 10:49:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA31928; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 21:43:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6295370 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 21:42:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA44076 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 21:40:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA13476 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 21:40:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709150240.VAA13476@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 21:40:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Forecast/advisory Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c1601620a940368952ecf787f512b8e0 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1656 Status: OR 751 WTPZ25 KNHC 150240 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1597 0300Z MON SEP 15 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 136.3W AT 15/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 220 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 136.3W AT 15/0300Z AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 136.1W FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 11.7N 137.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 11.5N 138.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 11.5N 139.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N 136.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 11.5N 141.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 11.5N 143.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627190-17535>; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 12:40:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA32740; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 23:28:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6296092 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 23:27:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA31800 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 23:27:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id XAA13616 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 1997 23:27:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709150427.XAA13616@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 23:27:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 412bd967d62ef8629dcd62b6871e5e23 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1228 Status: OR 438 ABPZ20 KNHC 150425 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN SEP 14 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LINDA...LOCATED ABOUT 760 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND FORECAST/ ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM MARTY...LOCATED ABOUT 1320 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO REMAINS BROAD AND DISORGANIZED. HOWEVER...THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629841-17538>; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 13:21:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA32580; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 00:05:41 -0500 Message-Id: <199709150505.AAA32580@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 00:00:05 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 13 Sep 1997 to 14 Sep 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 3175f69f5b065636d2c842393b62f8b8 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 4206 Status: OR There are 4 messages totalling 97 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 12 Sep 1997 to 13 Sep 1997 (2) 2. Hurr. overkill 3. AVHRR on the net +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 00:22:22 -0500 From: Dan Satterfield Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 12 Sep 1997 to 13 Sep 1997 Bob writes... Date: Sat, 13 Sep 1997 07:43:44 -0500 From: Robert Crowell Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 11 Sep 1997 to 12 Sep 1997 Good morning. The local prognosticators are predicting a harsh winter here in the mountains of northeast Alabama. They say we will have a lot of ice and snow as well as colder temperatures. I think they're getting their info from wooly worms or the alminac but they claim El Nino is to blame. Does anyone care to comment how El Nino will affect our weather in Alabama? Bob Crowell ************************************ Bob, I am not sure what "prognosticators" you are referring to but as I have said on air many times in the past few months...an El Nino on average tends to give North Alabama cool and wet but not necessarily COLD winters. The effects are actually more noticeable in late winter/spring. Also since this is such an intense El Nino, past El Nino winters may not be a good indicator. One thing for sure...if this is an extreme El Nino..we will learn a lot this winter. Dan _________________________________________________________________ Dan Satterfield Chief Meteorologist WHNT-TV Huntsville, AL ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 02:44:42 -0400 From: Tim Trice Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 12 Sep 1997 to 13 Sep 1997 In a message dated 97-09-14 02:24:58 EDT, you write: << NOTICE TO MEDIA...THE REMAINS OF HURRICANE LINDA MAY MOVE OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA MONDAY. SOME OF THE MEDIA HAVE BEEN SAYING THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS MAY AFFECT SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THIS IS NOT TRUE! ANY HURRICANE THAT APPROACHES THE SOUTHLAND WILL WEAKEN DRAMATICALLY BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL HERE. WHILE THE WINDS WILL NOT BE STRONG...WE ARE LOOKING AT THE POSSIBILITY OF A SIGNIFICANT RAIN EVENT...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF FLASH FLOODING. THERE WILL BE HIGH SURF AND SEAS AS WELL. THIS IS THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM THIS SYSTEM. >> Hello, Excuse me if the following comment seems ignorant, but isn't the above post ignorant itself? How can they (NWS) publish a report saying that this hurricane will not even be a threat with winds? If this hurricane had continued on it's northward track, and even picked up the forward speed to above 15 or 20 mph, isn't it reasonable to assume that it would still be a hurricane? How can they, the experts, say that that is not true? cul8r tim ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 11:35:37 -0700 From: cavataio Subject: Re: Hurr. overkill This is from San Diego, 1120 PDT. We've just returned from a southwest-facing beach where we walked the dog. The water remains 73 degrees and fairly calm, the waves are small but the surfers still hopeful. The sky is full of cirrus and altocumulus and alto stratus making a grand swirling arm from the south. The winds are rather calm and humidity is uncharacteristically palpable for the region. My hope for Linda is that she bring some needed rain; it's been drier this year than usual. The media here have not been sensationalizing the event. Very uncharacteristic. ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 18:43:16 -0500 From: Brian Motta Subject: Re: AVHRR on the net NESDIS has AVHRR pictures on the net at www.saa.noaa.gov Simply put in the date and area of interest and it will search for passes. Brian ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 13 Sep 1997 to 14 Sep 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Sep 15 16:44:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629870-17537>; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 14:35:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA08498; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 00:59:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6296881 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 00:58:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA08638 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 00:58:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id AAA02596 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 00:58:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709150558.AAA02596@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 00:58:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ec8ac8f4e7235a3b658f78669d24a365 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1909 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 148 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 150153Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 150151Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WAS LOCATED AT 28.9N9 129.5E7 MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 50 (WTPN32 PGTW 150300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WAS LOCATED AT 21.1N4 158.9E3 MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 14 (WTPN31 PGTW 150300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 179W7 HAS DISSIPATED AND ITS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED. ACCORDINGLY, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 14:21:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629871-17538>; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 14:14:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA08566; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 01:00:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6296886 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 00:59:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA09916 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 00:58:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id AAA02597 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 00:58:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709150558.AAA02597@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 00:58:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ff8220c5c99372ceb6a0f3b463caf765 X-Mozilla-Status: 8005 Content-Length: 1855 Status: OR 148 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 150153Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 150151Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WAS LOCATED AT 28.9N9 129.5E7 MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 50 (WTPN32 PGTW 150300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WAS LOCATED AT 21.1N4 158.9E3 MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 14 (WTPN31 PGTW 150300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 179W7 HAS DISSIPATED AND ITS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED. ACCORDINGLY, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: FINTA/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 16:44:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629865-17536>; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 16:24:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA37266; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 03:16:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6297451 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 03:15:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA42362 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 03:15:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA02944 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 03:15:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709150815.DAA02944@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 03:15:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 051 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 296daaadb4032b8bb092cde05641021e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3165 Status: OR 994 WTPN32 PGTW 150900 1. TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 051 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 29.3N4 129.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 29.3N4 129.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 30.6N9 130.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 145 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 33.5N1 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 36.8N7 133.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 26 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 40.7N1 138.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION 29.8 129.7 TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 4 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE AS IT BEGINS RECURVING TOWARD THE EAST. RAPID WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DUE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND LAND INTERACTION. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS EXPECTED TO BE COMPLETE BY 48 HOURS. A 48 HOUR FORECAST IS PROVIDED BECAUSE OLIWA WILL BE EXTRATROPICAL WITH 30 KNOT OR LESS INTENSITY BY 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z2 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2, 152100Z9, 160300Z0 AND 160900Z6. REFER TO TYPHOON DAVID (21W) (WTPN31 PGTW) WARNINGS FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 16:44:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629944-17538>; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 16:36:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA21796; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 03:31:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6297468 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 03:29:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA31924 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 03:29:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA02948 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 03:29:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709150829.DAA02948@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 03:29:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Forecast/advisory Number 23 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9a721f7219353171ed9cb9cdbecd041c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1855 Status: OR 156 WTPZ24 KNHC 150829 TCMEP4 HURRICANE LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1497 0900Z MON SEP 15 1997 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL COASTAL FLOOD WARNINGS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 122.8W AT 15/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT 64 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW 50 KT.......100NE 75SE 50SW 75NW 34 KT.......150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..400NE 200SE 200SW 400NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 122.8W AT 15/0900Z AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 122.3W FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 23.3N 124.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT...100NE 75SE 50SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 23.9N 126.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 24.5N 127.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.9N 122.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 25.0N 129.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 25.5N 131.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 16:58:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629949-17535>; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 16:55:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA36422; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 03:31:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6297475 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 03:31:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA42242 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 03:30:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA02952 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 03:30:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709150830.DAA02952@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 03:30:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon David (21w) Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a7b71267539701df02b2ee9876a514c6 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3537 Status: OR 157 WTPN31 PGTW 150900 1. TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 21.9N2 157.4E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.9N2 157.4E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 23.1N6 155.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 24.0N6 152.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 24.7N3 150.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 25.3N0 147.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 27.4N3 142.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 295 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION 22.2N6 156.8E0 TYPHOON DAVID (21W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD AND INTENSIFY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z2 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6), 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2), 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4) AND 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0). REFER TO TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 16:53:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629862-17535>; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 16:52:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA20346; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 03:37:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6297490 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 03:36:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA28740 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 03:36:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA02965 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 03:36:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709150836.DAA02965@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 03:36:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Advisory Number 23 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d8eaae0350aaabddcbe75f1808b9f261 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1858 Status: OR 226 WTPZ34 KNHC 150836 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE LINDA ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON SEP 15 1997 ...WEAKENING LINDA CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL COASTAL FLOOD WARNINGS. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LINDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 122.8 WEST OR ABOUT 810 MILES...1305 KM...WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 760 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO CALIFORNIA. LINDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH ...20 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM...FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...22.9 N...122.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 975 MB. THIS WILL BE THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ON LINDA UNLESS A THREAT TO LAND REDEVELOPS. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO ISSUE FORECAST/ADVISORIES...AND THE NEXT WILL BE ISSUED AT 8 AM PDT. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 16:53:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629965-17536>; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 16:50:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA35322; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 03:39:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6297497 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 03:38:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA28782 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 03:37:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA02969 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 03:37:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709150837.DAA02969@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 03:37:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Discussion Number 23 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 000a6c02cbe1ce2ca5e44181667a171a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1830 Status: OR 275 WTPZ44 KNHC 150837 TCDEP4 HURRICANE LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 23 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON SEP 15 1997 LINDA CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY SPIN DOWN OVER COOLER WATERS. IT IS CURRENTLY OVER ABOUT 24 DEF C SSTS AND THESE SHOULD LOWER A LITTLE MORE ALONG THE PROJECTED TRACK. CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS 70 KNOTS...BUT THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO BELOW HURRICANE FORCE LATER TODAY. LINDA SHOULD BE A DEPRESSION BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. INITIAL MOTION AND TRACK FORECAST ARE SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ONE. ALTHOUGH THE DEEP-LAYER STEERING SUPPORTS A NORTHWARD TURN IN RESPONSE TO THE MID/UPPER-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH TO LINDAS NORTH- NORTHWEST...MEDIUM- TO SHALLOW-LAYER STEERING INDICATES A CONTINUED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE LATTER OPTION IS SELECTED SINCE THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS WEAKENING AND WILL BE CARRIED MORE BY THE LOWER-LEVEL FLOW. THIS IS TYPICAL FOR SUCH SYSTEMS. MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL MOISTURE FROM LINDA SHOULD CONTINUE TO SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/0900Z 22.9N 122.8W 70 KTS 12HR VT 15/1800Z 23.3N 124.5W 60 KTS 24HR VT 16/0600Z 23.9N 126.0W 50 KTS 36HR VT 16/1800Z 24.5N 127.5W 45 KTS 48HR VT 17/0600Z 25.0N 129.0W 40 KTS 72HR VT 18/0600Z 25.5N 131.5W 35 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 16:53:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629949-17537>; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 16:51:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA33736; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 03:47:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6297565 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 03:45:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA35194 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 03:40:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA02981 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 03:40:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709150840.DAA02981@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 03:40:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Discussion Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2e6d6412cf4b776878a7567eac8561f9 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1350 Status: OR 304 WTPZ45 KNHC 150840 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM MARTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON SEP 15 1997 MARTY REMAINS WEAK AND IS PROBABLY BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS COMPLETELY REMOVED FROM WHAT IS LEFT OF THE DEEP INTERMITTENT CONVECTION. MARTY IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SINCE THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS BECOMING ELONGATED AND A PART OF BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE. MARTY HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY. STEERING CURRENTS ARE WEAK SO LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH 72 HOURS. MODELS IN GENERAL DIVERGE INDICATING TRACKS TOWARD ALL DIRECTIONS. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/0900Z 12.0N 136.0W 35 KTS 12HR VT 15/1800Z 12.0N 136.0W 30 KTS 24HR VT 16/0600Z 12.0N 136.0W 30 KTS 36HR VT 16/1800Z 12.0N 136.1W 30 KTS 48HR VT 17/0600Z 12.0N 136.0W 30 KTS 72HR VT 18/0600Z 12.0N 136.0W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 15 16:58:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629867-17535>; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 16:56:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA31754; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 03:50:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6297601 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 03:49:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA19074 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 03:43:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA02997 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 03:43:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709150843.DAA02997@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 03:43:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Forecast/advisory Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3fd585cb706efda99d9c44b880070fae X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1523 Status: OR 316 WTPZ25 KNHC 150843 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1597 0900Z MON SEP 15 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 136.0W AT 15/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 136.0W AT 15/0900Z AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 136.0W FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 12.0N 136.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 12.0N 136.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 12.0N 136.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N 136.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 12.0N 136.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 12.0N 136.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 16 05:49:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630021-17537>; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 18:13:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA15366; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 04:08:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6297670 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 04:08:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA24306 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 04:08:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA03011 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 04:08:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709150908.EAA03011@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 04:08:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 051 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: aad9cb042caa184dfd4883e324f4aa73 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3294 Status: OR 602 WTPN32 PGTW 150900 1. TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 051 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 29.3N4 129.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 04 KTS PAGE 04 RUHGSGG3522 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 29.3N4 129.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 30.6N9 130.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 05 RUHGSGG3522 UNCLAS OVER WATER 145 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 33.5N1 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 36.8N7 133.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 26 KTS PAGE 06 RUHGSGG3522 UNCLAS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 40.7N1 138.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION 29.8 129.7 TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 4 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE AS IT BEGINS RECURVING TOWARD THE EAST. RAPID WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DUE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND LAND INTERACTION. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS EXPECTED TO BE COMPLETE BY 48 HOURS. A 48 HOUR FORECAST IS PROVIDED BECAUSE OLIWA WILL BE EXTRATROPICAL WITH 30 KNOT OR LESS INTENSITY BY 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z2 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2, 152100Z9, 160300Z0 AND 160900Z6. REFER TO TYPHOON DAVID (21W) PAGE 07 RUHGSGG3522 UNCLAS (WTPN31 PGTW) WARNINGS FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #3522 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 16 05:49:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629975-17538>; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 17:58:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA09924; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 04:51:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6298118 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 04:49:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA35160 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 04:49:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA03033 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 04:49:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709150949.EAA03033@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 04:49:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fce0495db2e26f68003a53485d8ac145 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 999 Status: OR 208 ABPA20 PHNL 151000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST MONDAY SEPTEMBER 15 1997 AT 11 PM...TROPICAL STORM MARTY WAS CENTERED AT 12.0N 136.0W... ABOUT 1400 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO. MARTY IS NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENING. IT IS NO LONGER FORECAST TO ENTER THE CENTRAL PACIFIC WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. SEE THE LATEST WTPZ25 KNHC ADVISORY FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR DETAILS. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 16 05:49:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629978-17537>; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 18:53:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA21892; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 05:48:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6298221 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 05:46:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA32098 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 05:46:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA03078 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 05:46:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709151046.FAA03078@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 05:46:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 333e0007df8701a730cf8339378553a9 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1155 Status: OR 997 ABPZ20 KNHC 151045 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON SEP 15 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LINDA...LOCATED A LITTLE OVER 800 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM MARTY...LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 16 05:49:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630094-17538>; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 22:02:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA33590; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 08:46:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6299523 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 08:46:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA26850 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 08:46:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id IAA03173 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 08:46:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709151346.IAA03173@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 08:46:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 052 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 614a4e01d82560a1ad15d45c15722fff X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3067 Status: OR 832 WTPN32 PGTW 151500 1. TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 052 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- 29.8N9 129.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.8N9 129.7E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 30.9N2 130.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 33.7N3 131.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 37.3N3 134.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 25 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 41.0N5 138.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 151500Z2 POSITION 30.3N6 129.9E1 TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD TO NORTHEASTWARD AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ON THE SOUTHERN JAPANESE ISLAND OF KYUSHU NEAR THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z0 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z9, 160300Z0, 160900Z6 AND 161500Z3. REFER TO TYPHOON DAVID (21W) (WTPN31 PGTW) WARNINGS FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 16 05:49:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626553-17538>; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 23:07:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA17518; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 09:24:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6299785 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 09:24:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA24896 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 09:24:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA03233 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 09:24:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709151424.JAA03233@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 09:24:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon David (21w) Warning Nr 016 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d1ba2333edc565865daaef2f0225b988 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3487 Status: OR 539 WTPN31 PGTW 151500 1. TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- 22.3N7 156.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.3N7 156.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 23.0N5 154.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 23.7N2 151.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 24.3N9 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 25.4N1 147.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 28.1N1 142.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 151500Z2 POSITION 22.5N9 155.8E9 TYPHOON DAVID (21W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z9 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2), 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4), 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0) AND 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7). REFER TO TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) (WTPN32 PGTW) WARNINGS FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 16 05:49:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630059-17536>; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 22:34:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA32354; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 09:27:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6299797 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 09:26:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA23978 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 09:26:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA03238 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 09:26:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709151426.JAA03238@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 09:26:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Discussion Number 24 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 27a1fa9fe4ed857ac50c94d6c15c28cf X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1846 Status: OR 545 WTPZ44 KNHC 151426 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 24 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT MON SEP 15 1997 LINDA IS DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS...IN AGREEMENT WITH LATEST SATELLITE ESTIMATES FROM SAB...AFGWC...AND TAFB. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL CONTINUE TO SPIN DOWN AS IT MOVES OVER COOL WATER. LINDA WILL LIKELY WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITHIN A COUPLE OF DAYS. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 285/10. ALTHOUGH THE DEEP-LAYER STEERING SUPPORTS A NORTHWARD TURN IN RESPONSE TO THE MID/UPPER-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH TO LINDAS NORTH-NORTHWEST...MID- TO SHALLOW-LAYER STEERING INDICATES A CONTINUED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SINCE THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS WEAKENING...THE MID- TO LOWER- LEVEL FLOW SHOULD PROVIDE THE STEERING. CURRENT FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS TRACK...AND IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE MID LAYER BAM AND THE GFDL GUIDANCE. MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL MOISTURE FROM LINDA SHOULD CONTINUE TO SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/1500Z 23.0N 123.6W 55 KTS 12HR VT 16/0000Z 23.4N 125.1W 50 KTS 24HR VT 16/1200Z 23.8N 126.8W 45 KTS 36HR VT 17/0000Z 24.2N 128.1W 40 KTS 48HR VT 17/1200Z 24.5N 129.5W 30 KTS 72HR VT 18/1200Z 25.0N 132.0W 25 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 16 05:49:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630086-17536>; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 22:35:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA17460; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 09:29:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6299804 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 09:27:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA26876 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 09:27:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA03243 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 09:27:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709151427.JAA03243@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 09:27:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Forecast/advisory Number 24 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 743c55a266b5380c46cdc0d952250637 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1800 Status: OR 560 WTPZ24 KNHC 151426 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1497 1500Z MON SEP 15 1997 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL COASTAL FLOOD WARNINGS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 123.6W AT 15/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT 50 KT....... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW 34 KT.......150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 123.6W AT 15/1500Z AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 123.0W FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 23.4N 125.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW 34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 23.8N 126.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...125NE 75SE 75SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 24.2N 128.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...125NE 75SE 75SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.0N 123.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 24.5N 129.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 25.0N 132.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 16 05:49:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630033-17535>; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 22:38:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA17484; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 09:31:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6299812 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 09:29:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA31542 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 09:27:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA03251 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 09:27:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709151427.JAA03251@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 09:27:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Discussion Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ca53d5daaac1f4b2352a37e8d109ee6e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1676 Status: OR 562 WTPZ45 KNHC 151427 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM MARTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT MON SEP 15 1997 ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CENTER ...EXPOSED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF ONE SMALL CLUSTER OF DEEP CONVECTION. MARTY IS CLOSE TO BEING DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...BUT IF THE CENTER MOVES CLOSER TO THE CONVECTION THE SATELLITE ESTIMATES WILL JUMP BACK UP TO STORM STRENGTH. SINCE THE CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE ON THE INCREASE AT THIS TIME...WE WILL MAINTAIN MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. THE SYSTEM IS OVER WARM WATER BUT THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW DOES NOT APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. INTENSITY FORECAST SHOWS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE. MARTY HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY. STEERING CURRENTS ARE WEAK SO LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH 72 HOURS. MODELS SHOW CONSIDERABLE SCATTER...WITH MOST GUIDANCE INDICATING A DRIFT TOWARD THE NORTH OR EVEN NORTHEAST. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/1500Z 12.0N 136.0W 35 KTS 12HR VT 16/0000Z 12.0N 136.0W 35 KTS 24HR VT 16/1200Z 12.0N 136.0W 35 KTS 36HR VT 17/0000Z 12.0N 136.0W 35 KTS 48HR VT 17/1200Z 12.5N 136.0W 35 KTS 72HR VT 18/1200Z 13.0N 136.0W 35 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 16 05:49:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629866-17535>; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 22:46:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA22180; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 09:32:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6299825 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 09:31:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA31896 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 09:28:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA03255 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 09:28:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709151428.JAA03255@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 09:28:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Forecast/advisory Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3c27ade7b19febe43d5ad11b1c183ca0 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1631 Status: OR 563 WTPZ25 KNHC 151427 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1597 1500Z MON SEP 15 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 136.0W AT 15/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT...NEARLY STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 136.0W AT 15/1500Z AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 136.0W FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 12.0N 136.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 12.0N 136.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 12.0N 136.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N 136.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 12.5N 136.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 13.0N 136.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 16 05:52:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626541-17535>; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 01:29:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA17078; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 12:26:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6301658 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 12:25:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA16994 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 12:25:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA03671 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 12:24:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709151724.MAA03671@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 12:24:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 713d38b3fbac5a3825370a53ffc20aae X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 949 Status: OR 391 ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/151800Z/161800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/EIBLING/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 16 05:52:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629541-17538>; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 01:33:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA16942; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 12:28:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6301663 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 12:26:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA04456 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 12:25:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA03672 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 12:24:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709151724.MAA03672@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 12:24:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fd5cde2551e3070379f05ffa5d480f00 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1000 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 391 ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/151800Z/161800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/EIBLING/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 16 05:52:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630173-17536>; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 01:41:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA16124; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 12:32:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6301739 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 12:30:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA25634 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 12:30:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA03686 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 12:30:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709151730.MAA03686@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 12:30:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 26aa95fc3258ba9012f81b2a8c39744b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1199 Status: OR 481 ABPZ20 KNHC 151730 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON SEP 15 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM LINDA...LOCATED ABOUT 875 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM MARTY ...LOCATED ABOUT 1350 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM IS SLOWLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED...AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 16 05:52:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630208-14785>; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 03:52:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA27634; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 14:40:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6303126 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 14:40:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA45890 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 14:39:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id OAA04224 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 14:39:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709151939.OAA04224@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 14:39:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 053 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f14bf23dde6da1039729afdc386d7f6f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3070 Status: OR 749 WTPN32 PGTW 152100 1. TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 053 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- 30.3N6 129.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 30.3N6 129.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 33.7N3 131.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 37.3N3 134.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 40.5N9 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 23 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 43.7N4 142.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 152100Z9 POSITION 32.0N5 130.7E1 TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS TOWARD THE SOUTHERN JAPANESE ISLAND OF KYUSHU. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TO NORTHEASTWARD AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z5 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0, 160900Z6, 161500Z3 AND 162100Z0. REFER TO TYPHOON DAVID (21W) (WTPN31 PGTW) WARNINGS FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 16 05:52:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630192-14789>; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 04:27:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA31764; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 15:12:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6303411 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 15:12:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA41974 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 15:12:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA04330 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 15:12:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709152012.PAA04330@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 15:12:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon David (21w) Warning Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 19f3b2a74451f6610c5a56470d8de6a6 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3485 Status: OR 242 WTPN31 PGTW 152100 1. TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- 22.8N2 155.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.8N2 155.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 23.6N1 152.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 24.2N8 150.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 24.7N3 148.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 25.7N4 145.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 28.7N7 141.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 152100Z9 POSITION 23.0N5 154.6E6 TYPHOON DAVID (21W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z5 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4), 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0), 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7) AND 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3). REFER TO TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) (WTPN32 PGTW) WARNINGS FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 16 05:52:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630204-14789>; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 04:54:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA14134; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 15:45:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6303823 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 15:43:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA30620 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 15:43:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA04431 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 15:43:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709152043.PAA04431@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 15:43:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Discussion Number 25 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fa602287716ce9d47163d1f9d93bfe65 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1555 Status: OR 615 WTPZ44 KNHC 152039 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 25 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON SEP 15 1997 SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A WELL DEFINED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IN THE LOW TO MID CLOUDS...BUT NEARLY ALL OF THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED. INITIAL INTENSITY IS DECREASED TO 50 KNOTS...AND LINDA WILL CONTINUE SPINNING DOWN AS IT MOVES OVER 24C WATER. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 275/09...WHICH IS A LITTLE MORE WESTERLY THAN BEFORE. SINCE LINDA IS WEAKENING SO RAPIDLY...THE LOW LEVEL FLOW SHOULD CONTINUE TO STEER THE TROPICAL CYCLONE GENERALLY TOWARD THE WEST. CURRENT TRACK IS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE SHALLOW LAYER BAM. MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL MOISTURE FROM LINDA SHOULD CONTINUE TO SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/2100Z 23.0N 124.5W 50 KTS 12HR VT 16/0600Z 23.0N 126.0W 45 KTS 24HR VT 16/1800Z 23.2N 127.9W 35 KTS 36HR VT 17/0600Z 23.3N 129.7W 30 KTS 48HR VT 17/1800Z 23.5N 131.7W 30 KTS 72HR VT 18/1800Z 24.0N 136.0W 25 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 16 05:52:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630275-14789>; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 05:07:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA17108; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 15:47:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6303830 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 15:45:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA17446 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 15:44:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA04435 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 15:44:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709152044.PAA04435@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 15:44:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Forecast/advisory Number 25 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7e752699720e24b97a8c4d38d6d03db6 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1655 Status: OR 617 WTPZ24 KNHC 152040 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1497 2100Z MON SEP 15 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 124.5W AT 15/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT 50 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW 34 KT.......150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 75SE 75SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 124.5W AT 15/2100Z AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 124.0W FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 23.0N 126.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 23.2N 127.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT...100NE 50SE 50SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 23.3N 129.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.0N 124.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 23.5N 131.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 24.0N 136.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 16 05:52:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630296-14789>; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 05:12:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA13650; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 15:49:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6303857 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 15:48:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA26558 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 15:48:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA04449 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 15:48:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709152048.PAA04449@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 15:48:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Marty Discussion Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 452f8aad7bb953b48c2b2b82079700c8 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1611 Status: OR 677 WTPZ45 KNHC 152047 TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON SEP 15 1997 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CENTER ...EXPOSED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF ONE SMALL CLUSTER OF WEAKENING DEEP CONVECTION. MARTY IS BEING DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN AGREEMENT WITH LATEST SATELLITE ESTIMATES FROM THE AFGWC...SAB...AND THE TAFB. THERE WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO BE SOME FLARE UPS OF CONVECTION FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE SYSTEM IS OVER WARM WATER BUT THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW DOES NOT APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. MARTY REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY. STEERING CURRENTS ARE WEAK SO LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH 72 HOURS. MODELS SHOW CONSIDERABLE SCATTER...WITH GUIDANCE INDICATING ANYTHING FROM A SOUTHWESTWARD TO A NORTHWARD TO A NORTHEASTWARD DRIFT. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/2100Z 12.0N 136.0W 30 KTS 12HR VT 16/0600Z 12.0N 136.0W 30 KTS 24HR VT 16/1800Z 12.0N 136.0W 30 KTS 36HR VT 17/0600Z 12.5N 136.5W 30 KTS 48HR VT 17/1800Z 13.0N 136.8W 30 KTS 72HR VT 18/1800Z 13.5N 137.0W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 16 05:52:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630291-14788>; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 05:19:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA26588; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 15:53:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6303942 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 15:51:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA35030 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 15:50:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA04483 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 15:50:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709152050.PAA04483@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 15:50:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Marty Forecast/advisory Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 78bfc663d0dc831065c0e781143097be X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1473 Status: OR 679 WTPZ25 KNHC 152050 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1597 2100Z MON SEP 15 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 136.0W AT 15/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT...NEARLY STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 136.0W AT 15/2100Z AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 136.0W FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 12.0N 136.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 12.0N 136.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 12.5N 136.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N 136.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 13.0N 136.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 13.5N 137.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 16 05:52:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630325-14788>; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 05:30:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA39636; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 16:15:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6304259 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 16:14:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA10398 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 16:14:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA04592 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 16:14:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709152114.QAA04592@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 16:14:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon David (21w) Warning Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 36ebe88375f3575e178eb1f27cfbb220 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3614 Status: OR 087 WTPN31 PGTW 152100 1. TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- 22.8N2 155.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG3974 UNCLAS 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.8N2 155.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 23.6N1 152.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 24.2N8 150.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE PAGE 05 RUHGSGG3974 UNCLAS 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 24.7N3 148.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 25.7N4 145.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 06 RUHGSGG3974 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 28.7N7 141.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 152100Z9 POSITION 23.0N5 154.6E6 TYPHOON DAVID (21W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z5 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0 (DTG PAGE 07 RUHGSGG3974 UNCLAS 160151Z4), 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0), 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7) AND 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3). REFER TO TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) (WTPN32 PGTW) WARNINGS FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #3974 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 16 13:16:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630333-14790>; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 06:06:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA20624; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 17:02:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6304736 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 17:00:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA12572 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 17:00:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA04728 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 17:00:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709152200.RAA04728@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 17:00:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b0743a8eb11a3740db59f4353f490272 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 699 Status: OR 687 ABPA20 PHNL 152200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST MONDAY SEPTEMBER 15 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 16 13:16:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627075-27744>; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 06:40:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA15466; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 17:31:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6304915 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 17:30:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA08492 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 17:30:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA04868 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 17:30:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709152230.RAA04868@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 17:30:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b87b1875ac19892c66a28276c63abdc9 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1189 Status: OR 179 ABPZ20 KNHC 152230 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON SEP 15 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM LINDA...LOCATED ABOUT 940 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM MARTY ...LOCATED ABOUT 1350 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM IS SLOWLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED ...AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 16 13:16:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627459-17741>; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 10:25:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA20656; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 21:14:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6306422 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 21:14:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA31644 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 21:14:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA05284 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 21:14:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709160214.VAA05284@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 21:14:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 054 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9fbba3526fd05ceefe64de7f9ed5b2a7 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3146 Status: OR 880 WTPN32 PGTW 160300 1. TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 054 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 31.5N9 130.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 31.5N9 130.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 35.4N2 132.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 39.2N4 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 42.8N4 141.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 27 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 46.0N0 147.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 160300Z9 POSITION 32.5N0 131.3E8 TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ACCELERATING AND TURN NORTHEASTWARD. TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) IS MAKING LANDFALL IN SOUTHERN KYUSHU AND SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY. THE STRONGEST WINDS WITH THIS SYSTEM ARE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER OVER OPEN WATER. AFTER THIS SYSTEM EMERGES INTO THE SEA OF JAPAN IT WILL WEAKEN MORE SLOWLY AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN 42 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6, 161500Z3, 162100Z0 AND 170300Z1. REFER TO TYPHOON DAVID (21W) (WTPN31 PGTW) WARNING FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 16 13:16:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627461-17739>; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 10:36:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA23160; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 21:30:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6306517 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 21:29:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA31526 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 21:26:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA05307 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 21:26:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709160226.VAA05307@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 21:26:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Discussion Number 26 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f38ff3a4636db4907b315868d0b2ab16 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1557 Status: OR 093 WTPZ44 KNHC 160226 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 26 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON SEP 15 1997 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 275/08. THE GFDL AND NOGAPS MODELS ARE VERY SLOW AND TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST. THE AVIATION MODEL IS FASTER WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD. BECAUSE THE TRACKING FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS IS EXPECTED TO BE OF A SHALLOW SYSTEM WITH MINIMAL CONVECTION ...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS MORE LIKE THE SHALLOW BAM WHICH IS MOSTLY WESTWARD...BUT NOT QUITE AS FAST OUT OF RESPECT FOR THE GFDL AND NOGAPS SLOWER MOTION. THERE IS ONLY LIMITED CONVECTION WITH THE STORM AND THE WEAKENING TREND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE AS THE STORM REMAINS OVER COOLISH WATER. MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL MOISTURE FROM LINDA CONTINUES TO SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/0300Z 22.7N 125.3W 45 KTS 12HR VT 16/1200Z 22.8N 126.6W 40 KTS 24HR VT 17/0000Z 22.9N 128.2W 35 KTS 36HR VT 17/1200Z 23.0N 130.0W 30 KTS 48HR VT 18/0000Z 23.1N 131.7W 30 KTS 72HR VT 19/0000Z 24.0N 135.0W 25 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 16 13:16:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627461-17740>; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 10:39:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA17944; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 21:33:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6306529 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 21:31:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA30222 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 21:29:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA05317 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 21:29:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709160229.VAA05317@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 21:29:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Forecast/advisory Number 26 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: df26923e08ea4ce382ec3553ab2d4ecc X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1619 Status: OR 146 WTPZ24 KNHC 160228 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1497 0300Z TUE SEP 16 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 125.3W AT 16/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT.......150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 125.3W AT 16/0300Z AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 124.8W FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 22.8N 126.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT...150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 22.9N 128.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT...100NE 50SE 50SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 23.0N 130.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.7N 125.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 23.1N 131.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 24.0N 135.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 16 13:16:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627452-17739>; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 10:40:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA23238; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 21:31:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6306522 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 21:30:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA39186 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 21:29:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA05321 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 21:29:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709160229.VAA05321@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 21:29:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Marty Discussion Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0cc8919a6b5d5c6abb8f4f13225dc103 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1385 Status: OR 147 WTPZ45 KNHC 160230 TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON SEP 15 1997 THE INITIAL MOTION IS ALMOST STATIONARY...245/01. THE MODELS ARE HIGHLY DIVERGENT WITH THE AVIATION MODEL TAKING THE DEPRESSION WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AND THE GFDL...NOGAPS AND UKMET TAKING IT NORTHEASTWARD TO EASTWARD. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS THE SHALLOW BAM WHICH SHOWS A SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION. THERE IS VERY LITTLE CONVECTION AND NONE NEAR THE CENTER. MARTY IS BEING REDUCED TO A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS THAT WILL LIKELY DISSIPATE IN A DAY OR TWO. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/0300Z 11.8N 136.5W 25 KTS 12HR VT 16/1200Z 11.8N 136.5W 25 KTS 24HR VT 17/0000Z 11.8N 136.5W 25 KTS 36HR VT 17/1200Z 12.7N 136.9W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 18/0000Z 13.5N 137.3W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 19/0000Z 15.0N 138.0W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 16 13:16:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627461-17739>; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 10:42:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA23290; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 21:35:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6306552 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 21:33:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA43624 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 21:30:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA05325 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 21:30:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709160230.VAA05325@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 21:30:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Marty Forecast/advisory Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bc571b0ca780663f6f03949c21e3e6f5 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1508 Status: OR 148 WTPZ25 KNHC 160230 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1597 0300Z TUE SEP 16 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 136.5W AT 16/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST SOUTHWEST OR 245 DEGREES AT 1 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 136.5W AT 16/0300Z AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 136.5W FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 11.8N 136.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 11.8N 136.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 12.7N 136.9W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.8N 136.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 13.5N 137.3W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 15.0N 138.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 16 13:16:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627319-17738>; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 10:54:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA24276; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 21:36:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6306591 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 21:36:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA10938 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 21:36:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA05346 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 21:36:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709160236.VAA05346@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 21:36:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon David (21w) Warning Nr 018 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c24149a1ac0d1cf6164d576dd954af62 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3585 Status: OR 281 WTPN31 PGTW 160300 1. TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 018 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 23.5N0 154.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.5N0 154.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 24.6N2 152.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 25.6N3 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 26.4N2 147.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 27.4N3 144.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 30.4N7 140.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 185 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION 23.8N3 153.7E6 TYPHOON DAVID (21W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH 72 HOURS. SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THEN SLOW WEAKENING AFTER 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0), 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7), 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3) AND 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5). REFER TO TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) (WTPN32 PGTW) WARNINGS FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 16 13:16:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627510-24921>; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 13:10:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA32470; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 23:56:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6307216 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 23:55:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA30340 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 23:55:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id XAA05553 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 1997 23:55:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709160455.XAA05553@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 23:55:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ad6a7b325d70dacab61e8cb0173b9260 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1193 Status: OR 427 ABPZ20 KNHC 160453 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON SEP 15 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM LINDA...LOCATED ABOUT 990 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY...LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM IS SLOWLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED ...AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 16 15:58:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627506-24919>; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 15:47:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA43742; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 00:04:34 -0500 Message-Id: <199709160504.AAA43742@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 00:00:12 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 14 Sep 1997 to 15 Sep 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: dfedc545ed38c34346924ea1a78df49b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 22805 Status: OR There are 12 messages totalling 535 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 13 Sep 1997 to 14 Sep 1997 2. Articles from students for InterMet 3. TV Met Jobs Available 4. verification of TC warmer water (4) 5. ASOS Commissioning Notice 6. Bad N. Alabama Winter? (2) 7. Independent NASA Satellite Measurements Confirm El Nino is Back and Strong (fwd) 8. '97 hurricane season update & Gray's forecasts... +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 23:20:01 -0600 From: James Richardson Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 13 Sep 1997 to 14 Sep 1997 >This is from San Diego, 1120 PDT. We've just returned from a >southwest-facing beach where we walked the dog. The water remains 73 >degrees and fairly calm, the waves are small but the surfers >still hopeful. The sky is full of cirrus and altocumulus and alto stratus >making a grand swirling arm from the south. The winds are rather >calm and humidity is uncharacteristically palpable for the region. Just heard wire reports of 3 people being swept off the rocks near Newport Beach from the surf caused by Linda. Serious injs reported. Jim<< ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ James L. Richardson Satellite Newsfeed Buff Administrator satellite newsfeeds list-serv; to subscribe send to newsfeeds-request@fnl.net with ONLY the word Subscribe in the body of the message. jimmnn@frii.com http://www.frii.com/~rmedic Paramedic & Founder Mountain NewsNet "Colorado's Emergency Incident Paging Notification System" 970-586-4325 Voice 970-586-4357 Fax "In God we Trust ALL others we Monitor" ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 01:16:08 GMT From: InterMet Subject: Articles from students for InterMet InterMet (International Meteorology) is looking for meteorology articles written by students from all levels. If you are working on a school project related to meteorology and want to publish your work please do not hesitate to contact InterMet at: intermet@magma.ca It is FREE to read and publish in InterMet. For more details about InterMet: http://www.magma.ca/~intermet/ Bernard Miville Editor -- ________________________________________ InterMet International Meteorology Magazine http://www.magma.ca/~intermet/ intermet@magma.ca ________________________________________ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 10:35:50 +0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Jobs Available The following job announcements appeared in today's edition of SHOPTALK (See http://www.tvspy.com). The first job is at my station's competition. I don't have any more details as to what shift it is. ..Chris.. METEOROLOGIST/WEATHER ANCHOR (WPSD) Immediate opening for a Meteorologist/Weather Anchor for NBC affiliate in 79th DMA. Requires proficiency in "State-of-the-Art" computer weather preparation. Significant "ON-AIR" experience at a commercial television station A MUST. Degree. Send resume/tapes to: Dan Steele, Operations & Program Manager, WPSD-TV, P.O. Box 1197, Paducah, KY 42002-1197 M/F, EOE,ADA METEOROLOGIST (WVEC) A. H. Belo owned WVEC-TV in Norfolk, Virginia has an immediate opening for a weekend Meteorologist. If you're a great forecaster who loves the challenge that comes with hurricane season, this is the place to be. We have all the tools to do the job right including one of the only Kavouras Nexrad generation radars operating in North America. Our gang just won another award for severe storm coverage. We're looking for a talented, degreed Meteorologist to join the team. One year broadcast experience, AMS Seal and knowledge of Kavouras weather system desired. News reporting experience a plus. Please send resume and non-returnable VHS tape to Human Resources, WVEC-TV, 613 Woodis Avenue, Norfolk, Virginia 23510. EOE *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 13:26:38 -0700 From: Stephen Hodanish Subject: verification of TC warmer water The other day Gilbert wrote: snip... .... One interesting factor that I have seen other powerful hurricanes do is actually push warmer water out ahead of the storm, as the cyclonic flow around the hurricane literally changes the currents of water around it. Gilbert, could you please verify this with refereed literature. Thanks Stephen Hodanish NWS/MLB ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 14:03:40 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site will become an ASOS commissioned site at 1800 UTC on 15 September 1997. PALMER MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (PAAQ) PALMER... AK Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 14:06:58 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: verification of TC warmer water On Mon, 15 Sep 1997, Stephen Hodanish wrote: > The other day Gilbert wrote: > > snip... > > .... One interesting factor that I have seen > other powerful hurricanes do is actually push warmer water out ahead of > the storm, as the cyclonic flow around the hurricane literally changes the > currents of water around it. > > Gilbert, could you please verify this with referenced literature. Nope, I can't, just a personal observation; at least it seems that is what is going on. In any event, although I haven't checked it with Linda yet, I'll do that today. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 14:39:18 -0500 From: Mark Mears Subject: Bad N. Alabama Winter? >Good morning. The local prognosticators are predicting a harsh winter here >in the mountains of northeast Alabama. They say we will have a lot of ice >and snow as well as colder temperatures. I think they're getting their info >from wooly worms or the alminac but they claim El Nino is to blame. > >Does anyone care to comment how El Nino will affect our weather in Alabama? > >Bob Crowell > The first winter I spent in this part of the country (Southern Middle Tennessee) was the winter of 82-83. I've heard recently that this was a strong El Nin~o year. Interestingly, it's the only winter of the last 15 when I didn't see even so much as a dusting of snow on the ground. -- Mark Mears President Aninoquisi 112 Bruce Street Huntland, TN 37345 931.469.7024 http://www.edge.net/asd/ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 20:01:19 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: verification of TC warmer water >> other powerful hurricanes do is actually push warmer water out ahead of >> the storm, as the cyclonic flow around the hurricane literally changes the >> currents of water around it. > > Gilbert, could you please verify this with referenced literature. > Like Gilbert, I cannot cite a journal reference, but I do recall NHC discussions to this effect when Hurricane Marilyn was approaching the mid-Atlantic coast in 1995 -- upwelling of cooler water in the aftermath of Hurricane Luis (over the same region a week or two earlier) was likely a factor in modulating the intensity of Marilyn. -Scott -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS FIRSTT Program CIMSS | University of Wisconsin - Madison asb@ty.ssec.wisc.edu | www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 15:15:25 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: verification of TC warmer water On Mon, 15 Sep 1997, Scott Bachmeier wrote: > Like Gilbert, I cannot cite a journal reference, but I do recall NHC > discussions > to this effect when Hurricane Marilyn was approaching the mid-Atlantic > coast in 1995 -- upwelling of cooler water in the aftermath of Hurricane Luis > (over the same region a week or two earlier) was likely a factor in modulating > the intensity of Marilyn. > > -Scott Scott, I can't reference this either, but I also saw this on TPC discussions as well. In fact, I think this was the smae one where I also noticed the warmer waters being pushed out ahead of the storm. We'll see what happens...looks like another tropical depression is about to form west of Mexico. Clear banding of showers and thunderstorms toward a common center... Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 20:24:10 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: Bad N. Alabama Winter? >> The local prognosticators are predicting a harsh winter here >> in the mountains of northeast Alabama. They say we will have a >> lot of ice and snow as well as colder temperatures. >> Does anyone care to comment how El Nino will affect our >> weather in Alabama? >> "Typical" ENSO-related effects over North America include (a) an active subtropical jet along the Gulf coast region, and (b) a zonal character to the flow along the US-Canada border. While (a) would likely bring the hills of northeast Alabama more precipitation than normal, (b) would tend to minimize the severity and southern extent of arctic air necessary to realize said precipitation in a frozen/freezing form. In short, your prognosticators are bored, whimsical, and perhaps ill-informed...but they could be right. Scott, pondering the ENSO effects on the Packers win/loss ratio -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS FIRSTT Program CIMSS | University of Wisconsin - Madison asb@ty.ssec.wisc.edu | www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 16:41:09 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Independent NASA Satellite Measurements Confirm El Nino is Back and Strong (fwd) Since there seems to be considerable talk of El-Nino, here's a current related NASA News brief about it that I received today in my INBOX. -Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman, A.R.S. KB4MHH -\\- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- Home Page URL: http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Permission to use the above info for inclusion in any mailing | | lists, so as to send me ad-mail personally, is NOT granted. | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ---------- Forwarded message ---------- Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 15:05:24 -0400 (EDT) From: To: undisclosed-recipients: Subject: Independent NASA Satellite Measurements Confirm El Nino is Back and Strong Douglas Isbell NASA Headquarters, Washington, DC September 15, 1997 (Phone: 202/358-1753) Mary Hardin Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA (Phone: 818/354-5011) RELEASE: 97-200 INDEPENDENT NASA SATELLITE MEASUREMENTS CONFIRM EL NINO IS BACK AND STRONG Pacific Ocean sea-surface height measurements and atmospheric water vapor information taken from two independent Earth-orbiting satellites are providing more convincing evidence that the weather-disrupting phenomenon known as El Nino is back and strong. "The new data collected since April 1997 confirm what we had earlier speculated upon and what the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has predicted -- a full-blown El Nino condition is established in the Pacific," said Dr. Lee-Lueng Fu, project scientist for the U.S./French satellite TOPEX/POSEIDON satellite at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL), Pasadena, CA. The five years of global ocean topography observations made by TOPEX/POSEIDON have been a boon for El Nino researchers, who have been able to track three El Nino events since the satellite's launch in August 1992. "The recent data are showing us that a large warm water mass with high sea-surface elevations, about six inches (15 centimeters) above normal, is occupying the entire tropical Pacific Ocean east of the international date line. In fact, the surface area covered by the warm water mass is about one-and-a- half times the size of the continental United States," Fu said. "We watched this warm water mass travel eastward from the western Pacific along the equator earlier this spring. Right now, sea- surface height off the South American coast is 10 inches (25 centimeters) higher than normal, which is comparable with the conditions during the so-called 'El Nino of the century' in 1982-83." In addition, recent atmospheric water vapor data collected from NASA's Upper Atmosphere Research Satellite (UARS) show tell- tale signs of an El Nino condition in the tropical Pacific Ocean. "The Microwave Limb Sounder experiment on UARS is detecting an unusually large build-up of water vapor in the atmosphere at heights of approximately eight miles (12 kilometers) over the central-eastern tropical Pacific. Not since the last strong El Nino winter of 1991-92 have we seen such a large build- up of water vapor in this part of the atmosphere," said JPL's Dr. William Read. "Increased water vapor at these heights can be associated with more intense wintertime storm activity from the 'pineapple express,' a pattern of atmospheric motions that brings tropical moisture from Hawaii to the southwestern United States. This phenomenon is an example of how the ocean and atmosphere work together to dictate the severity of El Nino events." An El Nino is thought to be triggered when steady westward blowing trade winds weaken and even reverse direction. This change in the winds allows the large mass of warm water that is normally located near Australia to move eastward along the equator until it reaches the coast of South America. This displaced pool of unusually warm water affects evaporation, where rain clouds form and, consequently, alters the typical atmospheric jet stream patterns around the world. The change in the wind strength and direction also impacts global weather patterns. In May, NOAA issued an advisory regarding the presence of the early indications of El Nino conditions. Subsequent El Nino forecast activities supported by NOAA indicate the likelihood of a moderate or strong El Nino in late 1997. The forecast model operated at NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Prediction used data collected by the TOPEX/POSEIDON satellite. "The added amount of oceanic warm water near the Americas, with a temperature between 70-85 degrees Fahrenheit, is about 30 times the volume of water in all the U.S. Great Lakes combined," said Dr. Victor Zlotnicki, a TOPEX/POSEIDON investigator at JPL. "The difference between the current, abnormally high amount of heat in the near-surface waters and the usual amount of heat in the same area is about 93 times the total energy from fossil fuels consumed by the United States in 1995." On-going NOAA advisories on El Nino conditions are available on the Internet at the following URL: http://nic.fb4.noaa.gov:80/products/analysis_monitoring/ensostuff/index.html The climatic event has been given the name El Nino, a Spanish term for a "boy child," because the warm current first appeared off the coast of South America around Christmas. Past El Nino events have often caused unusually heavy rain and flooding in California, unseasonably mild winters in the Eastern United States and severe droughts in Australia, Africa and Indonesia. Better predictions of extreme climate episodes like floods and droughts could save the United States billions of dollars in damage costs. El Nino episodes usually occur approximately every two to seven years. Developed by NASA and the French Centre National d'Etudes Spatiales (CNES), the TOPEX/POSEIDON satellite uses an altimeter to bounce radar signals off the ocean's surface to get precise measurements of the distance between the satellite and the sea surface. These data are combined with measurements from other instruments that pinpoint the satellite's exact location in space. Every ten days, scientists produce a complete map of global ocean topography, the barely perceptible hills and valleys found on the sea surface. With detailed knowledge of ocean topography, scientists can then calculate the speed and direction of worldwide ocean currents. The Microwave Limb Sounder instrument was originally designed to study atmospheric ozone depletion, but scientists have devised new ways of using the data to study atmospheric water vapor. The Upper Atmosphere Research Satellite is completing its sixth year of operation after being designed for only a two-year mission, and is conducting an extended mission of longer-term global monitoring. The Jet Propulsion Laboratory, a division of the California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, manages the TOPEX/POSEIDON mission and the MLS instrument for NASA's Mission to Planet Earth enterprise, Washington, DC. The UARS satellite is managed by NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD. NASA's Mission to Planet Earth is a long-term science research program designed to study the Earth's land, oceans, air, ice and life as a total system. -end- ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 19:46:13 -0400 From: Chris Landsea Subject: '97 hurricane season update & Gray's forecasts... Hi Wx-talkers, With the demise of Erika (finally) and mid-season upon us, here's the update of the Atlantic season so far and our seasonal hurricane forecasts... ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ 1997 Atlantic Hurricane Season - (as of 9/15/97) Ana TS - Jun30-Jul4 40 2.0 NSD 0 HD 0 IHD 0 HDP Bill H-1 - Jul11-13 65 1.2 NSD 0.5 HD 0 IHD 1.3 HDP Claudette TS - Jul13-16 40 1.8 NSD 0 HD 0 IHD 0 HDP Danny H-1 - Jul16-26 70 4.5 NSD 1.5 HD 0 IHD 2.6 HDP Erika H-3 - Sep3-15 110 12.2 NSD 6.5 HD 2.2 IHD 20.2 HDP -------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 NS, 3 H, 1 IH 21.8 NSD 8.5 HD 2.2 IHD 24.1 HDP GRAY RESEARCH TEAM'S ATLANTIC BASIN HURRICANE FORECAST FOR '97 SEASON (seasonal totals as of 9/15/97) Tropical Cyclone 12/6/96 4/4/97 6/6/97 8/6/97 1997 Parameter (1950-90 Average) Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Total --------------------------- -------- -------- -------- -------- ----- Named Storms (9.3) 11 11 11 11 5 Named Storm Days (46.9) 55 55 55 45 22 Hurricanes (5.8) 7 7 7 6 3 Hurricane Days (23.7) 25 25 25 20 8 Intense Hurricanes (2.2) 3 3 3 2 1 Intense Hurricane Days (4.7) 5 5 5 3 2 Hurricane Destruction Potential (70.6) 75 75 75 60 24 Net Tropical Cyclone Activity (100%) 110% 110% 110% 100% 46% ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ It's worth pointing out that based upon NTC (Net Tropical Cyclone activity), 1997 is already more active than 1946 (39%), 1962 (33%), 1968 (40%), 1972 (28%), 1982 (37%), 1986 (38%) and 1994 (36%). If one instead prefers the use of Hurricane Days (HD) as a measure of overall seasonal activity, then 1997 is already more active than 1946 (6 days), 1970 (7 days), 1972 (6 days), 1977 (7 days), 1982 (6 days), 1983 (4 days), 1987 (5 days) and 1994 (7 days). For more info on the seasonal hurricane forecasts, surf to: http://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/forecasts/index.html Best regards, chris ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** "Whenever there is the first hint of a counter-clockwise symbol on a weather map that a hurricane might hit land, `Mr. Hard News' is down there wrapped around a lamp post." --- Tom Brokaw reacting to Dan Rather calling NBC Nightly News "news-lite" ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 14 Sep 1997 to 15 Sep 1997 ************************************************** From - Tue Sep 16 13:32:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627515-24920>; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 13:28:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA43274; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 00:15:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6307429 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 00:13:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA41750 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 00:11:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id AAA05613 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 00:11:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709160511.AAA05613@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 00:11:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 51057617d069246556b7ce1947cc3b90 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1665 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 696 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 160153Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 160151Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160000Z7 TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WAS LOCATED AT 31.5N9 130.5E9 MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 54 (WTPN32 PGTW 160300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 160000Z7 TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WAS LOCATED AT 23.5N0 154.2E2 MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 95 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 115 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 18 (WTPN31 PGTW 160300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 16 15:27:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627407-24921>; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 15:27:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA43310; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 00:12:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6307424 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 00:11:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA27412 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 00:11:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id AAA05612 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 00:11:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709160511.AAA05612@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 00:11:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d99d75e68cd34fb7512952b8c3ef5b93 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1611 Status: OR 696 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 160153Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 160151Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160000Z7 TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WAS LOCATED AT 31.5N9 130.5E9 MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 54 (WTPN32 PGTW 160300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 160000Z7 TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WAS LOCATED AT 23.5N0 154.2E2 MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 95 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 115 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 18 (WTPN31 PGTW 160300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 16 15:58:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627591-24919>; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 15:47:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA20356; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 02:36:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6307959 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 02:36:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA12658 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 02:36:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA05779 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 02:36:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709160736.CAA05779@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 02:36:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 055 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d2cc4251a9563fe38de3983629b4d999 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2774 Status: OR 394 WTPN32 PGTW 160900 1. TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 055 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 02C 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 33.3N9 131.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 33.3N9 131.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 37.2N2 134.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 41.3N8 139.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 45.0N9 145.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION 34.3N0 132.2E8 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING. TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACCELERATING AND TURNING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. WEAKENING WILL CONTINUE AS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BEGINS WITHIN 12 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WITHIN 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3, 162100Z0, 170300Z1 AND 170900Z7.REFER TO TYPHOON DAVID (21W) (WTPN31 PGTW) WARNING FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627638-24921>; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 17:39:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA20308; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 03:32:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6308069 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 03:30:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA28718 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 03:30:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA05969 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 03:30:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709160830.DAA05969@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 03:30:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Forecast/advisory Number 27 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 57807f76166a20556da938d17ad6e1dd X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1584 Status: OR 159 WTPZ24 KNHC 160830 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1497 0900Z TUE SEP 16 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 125.5W AT 16/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT.......150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 75SE 75SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 125.5W AT 16/0900Z AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 125.2W FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 22.9N 126.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT...100NE 50SE 50SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 23.2N 128.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 23.5N 130.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.8N 125.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 24.0N 132.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 25.0N 137.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627636-24920>; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 16:53:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA20334; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 03:32:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6308074 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 03:32:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA28736 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 03:31:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA05974 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 03:31:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709160831.DAA05974@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 03:31:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon David (21w) Warning Nr 019 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bcd2645bca8a430720dcb9660b262dc7 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3626 Status: OR 162 WTPN31 PGTW 160900 1. TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 019 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 24.0N6 152.6E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 225 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.0N6 152.6E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 24.8N4 149.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 230 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 25.6N3 147.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 235 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 26.8N6 144.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 235 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 28.7N7 143.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 230 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 33.8N4 142.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 185 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION 24.2N8 151.9E6 TYPHOON DAVID (21W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS, THEN TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IN RESPONSE TO AN APPROACHING STRONG MID-LATITUDE SHORT WAVE. SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST THROUGH 24 HOURS, THEN WEAKENING AFTER 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7), 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3), 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1). REFER TO TYPHOON OLIWA (02C) (WTPN31 PGTW) WARNINGS FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627604-24921>; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 16:51:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA16658; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 03:35:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6308079 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 03:33:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA16756 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 03:32:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA05979 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 03:32:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709160832.DAA05979@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 03:32:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Discussion Number 27 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 69d5de6e6b96284e1862c1636d224faf X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1565 Status: OR 176 WTPZ44 KNHC 160831 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 27 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT TUE SEP 16 1997 LINDA STILL HAS A SUBSTANTIAL CIRCULATION BUT IT CONSISTS MOSTLY OF LAYERS OF STRATIFORM CLOUDS AND LITTLE...IF ANY...DEEP CONVECTION. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ALONG THE PROJECTED TRACK REMAIN IN THE 23 TO 24 DEG C RANGE. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AND LINDA SHOULD BE A DEPRESSION WITHIN 24 HOURS...AND DISSIPATING IN A FEW DAYS. FORWARD SPEED HAS SLOWED TO AROUND 6 KNOTS TOWARD THE WEST. A CONTINUED MAINLY WESTWARD MOTION IS LIKELY. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK FOLLOWS SHALLOW-LAYER STEERING AS GIVEN BY THE BAM GUIDANCE... BUT IS NOT AS FAST. A PROMINENT PLUME OF MID/UPPER-LEVEL MOISTURE FROM LINDA CONTINUES TO STREAM OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/0900Z 22.8N 125.5W 40 KTS 12HR VT 16/1800Z 22.9N 126.5W 35 KTS 24HR VT 17/0600Z 23.2N 128.5W 30 KTS 36HR VT 17/1800Z 23.5N 130.5W 30 KTS 48HR VT 18/0600Z 24.0N 132.5W 25 KTS 72HR VT 19/0600Z 25.0N 137.0W 25 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627532-24919>; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 16:50:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA18132; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 03:38:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6308091 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 03:36:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA32894 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 03:32:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA05983 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 03:32:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709160832.DAA05983@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 03:32:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Marty Forecast/advisory Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: be7c22ff88c7303e5bb346fbb12ae350 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1466 Status: OR 177 WTPZ25 KNHC 160832 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1597 0900Z TUE SEP 16 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 136.5W AT 16/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 136.5W AT 16/0900Z AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 136.5W FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 11.8N 136.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 12.3N 136.9W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 12.9N 137.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.8N 136.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 13.5N 137.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 15.0N 137.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627627-24919>; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 16:53:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA10830; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 03:36:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6308084 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 03:35:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA17942 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 03:35:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA05992 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 03:35:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709160835.DAA05992@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 03:35:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Marty Discussion Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5e7669e23cbb0e06835130c71af1aac7 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1411 Status: OR 212 WTPZ45 KNHC 160834 TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT TUE SEP 16 1997 THE DEPRESSION CONTINUES NEARLY STATIONARY. I WILL FORECAST IT TO REMAIN IN ABOUT THE SAME PLACE TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A NORTHWESTWARD AND NORTHWARD DRIFT. THIS IS SIMILAR TO MOST OF THE OBJECTIVE GUIDANCE. THE CYCLONE REMAINS WEAK...WITH SMALL CLUSTERS OF DEEP CONVECTION REDEVELOPING SPORADICALLY TO THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST OF THE EXPOSED CENTER. WHEREAS SOME ADDITIONAL FLAREUPS OF CONVECTION MAY STILL OCCUR IN THE SYSTEM...MARTY WILL LIKELY BE DISSIPATING IN 36 HOURS OR LESS. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/0900Z 11.8N 136.5W 25 KTS 12HR VT 16/1800Z 11.8N 136.5W 25 KTS 24HR VT 17/0600Z 12.3N 136.9W 25 KTS 36HR VT 17/1800Z 12.9N 137.2W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 18/0600Z 13.5N 137.5W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 19/0600Z 15.0N 137.5W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627672-24919>; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 17:55:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA10894; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 04:51:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6308779 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 04:50:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA26478 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 04:50:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA06046 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 04:50:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709160950.EAA06046@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 04:50:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 25c7acc56124dfeeadf921e069b978b2 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 689 Status: OR 306 ABPA20 PHNL 161000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210AM HST TUESDAY SEPTEMBER 16 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627639-24922>; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 18:42:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA25008; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 05:36:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6308831 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 05:35:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA26468 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 05:35:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA06084 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 05:35:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709161035.FAA06084@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 05:35:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e14a541dfbeca048169dd772ca781ace X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1248 Status: OR 904 ABPZ20 KNHC 161034 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE SEP 16 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM LINDA...LOCATED ABOUT 990 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY...LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO IS ACCOMPANIED BY A BROAD AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627452-24920>; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 22:01:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA15860; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 08:47:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6310003 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 08:47:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA23100 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 08:45:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id IAA06217 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 08:45:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709161345.IAA06217@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 08:45:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon David (21w) Warning Nr 020 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1cf5fd6f10d1cfd88b63d004e63bbf03 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3456 Status: OR 034 WTPN31 PGTW 161500 1. TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 020 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- 24.6N2 151.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 225 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.6N2 151.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 25.6N3 148.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 230 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 26.7N5 146.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 235 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 28.2N2 144.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 235 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 30.3N6 143.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 230 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 35.4N2 142.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION 24.9N5 150.7E3 TYPHOON DAVID (21W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND THEN WEAKEN THEREAFTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3), 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5), 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1) AND 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) (WTPN32 PGTW) WARNINGS FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627700-24921>; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 22:36:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA20330; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 09:22:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6310524 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 09:22:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA32826 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 09:22:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA06259 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 09:22:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709161422.JAA06259@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 09:22:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 056 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cb6f93e831e554ac453afdd76249dfba X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1932 Status: OR 726 WTPN32 PGTW 161500 1. TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 056 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- 34.1N8 133.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 34.1N8 133.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 36.7N6 136.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 39.3N5 140.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 161200Z0 POSITION 35.3N1 135.0E9 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS NORTH OF SHIKOKU IN THE INLAND SEA. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BE EXTRATROPICAL NEAR THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0, 170300Z1 AND 170900Z7. REFER TO TYPHOON DAVID (21W) (WTPN31 PGTW) WARNINGS FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627562-24919>; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 22:41:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA15506; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 09:29:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6310638 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 09:27:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA29076 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 09:27:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA06273 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 09:27:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709161427.JAA06273@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 09:27:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Discussion Number 28 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2c3079c0cc3d8bbc17dc121d504200e6 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1617 Status: OR 871 WTPZ44 KNHC 161427 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 28 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT TUE SEP 16 1997 LINDA CONTINUES TO HAVE A WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION IN THE LOW TO MID LEVELS...BUT WITH MINIMAL DEEP CONVECTION. INITIAL INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 35 KNOTS...MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. THE CYCLONE WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY SPIN DOWN AS IT MOVES OVER 23 TO 24 DEGREE C WATER TEMPERATURES. THE FORWARD SPEED HAS SLOWED STEADILY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. INITIAL MOTION IS NOW 270/5. THE SHALLOW-LAYER STEERING SHOULD ALLOW THIS GENERAL MOTION TO CONTINUE...BUT THE FORWARD SPEED SHOULD AGAIN INCREASE AS IT MOVES CLOSER TO THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM TO THE NORTHWEST. A PROMINENT PLUME OF MID/UPPER-LEVEL MOISTURE FROM LINDA CONTINUES TO STREAM OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/1500Z 22.9N 126.1W 35 KTS 12HR VT 17/0000Z 23.0N 126.9W 30 KTS 24HR VT 17/1200Z 23.1N 128.4W 30 KTS 36HR VT 18/0000Z 23.3N 130.0W 25 KTS 48HR VT 18/1200Z 23.5N 132.1W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 19/1200Z 24.0N 136.5W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627700-24920>; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 22:38:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA35926; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 09:31:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6310659 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 09:29:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA25842 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 09:28:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA06278 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 09:28:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709161428.JAA06278@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 09:28:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Forecast/advisory Number 28 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 067a62677545799381c87324b23f84f0 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1583 Status: OR 872 WTPZ24 KNHC 161428 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1497 1500Z TUE SEP 16 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 126.1W AT 16/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT.......150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 126.1W AT 16/1500Z AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 125.8W FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 23.0N 126.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 23.1N 128.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 23.3N 130.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.9N 126.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 23.5N 132.1W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 24.0N 136.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627694-24919>; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 22:41:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA24480; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 09:33:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6310702 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 09:31:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA12658 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 09:29:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA06285 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 09:29:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709161429.JAA06285@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 09:29:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Marty Discussion Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 77e6d47f2608829b53d760a9721f2221 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1306 Status: OR 907 WTPZ45 KNHC 161430 TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT TUE SEP 16 1997 INFRARED IMAGERY STILL SHOWS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IN THE LOW CLOUDS...BUT ALL DEEP CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED. A SLOW-MOVING LOW-LEVEL CLOUD SWIRL WILL LIKELY PERSIST FOR A FEW MORE DAYS AND THERE MAY BE OCCASIONAL FLARE-UPS OF CONVECTION. HOWEVER...THE SYSTEM IS SO WEAK AT THIS TIME THAT WE ARE FORECASTING DISSIPATION WITHIN 12 HOURS. THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED ON MARTY UNLESS SIGNIFICANT REGENERATION OCCURS. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/1500Z 11.5N 137.1W 25 KTS 12HR VT 17/0000Z 11.4N 137.4W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 17/1200Z 11.5N 137.8W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 18/0000Z 12.0N 138.0W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 18/1200Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627562-24921>; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 22:45:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA22950; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 09:35:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6310747 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 09:33:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA23996 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 09:30:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA06289 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 09:30:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709161430.JAA06289@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 09:30:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Marty Forecast/advisory Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d35e8ee1ce8827ca4da63246143f735f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1367 Status: OR 908 WTPZ25 KNHC 161430 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1597 1500Z TUE SEP 16 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 137.1W AT 16/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT...DRIFTING TOWARD THE WEST SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 137.1W AT 16/1500Z AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 137.0W FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 11.4N 137.4W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 11.5N 137.8W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 12.0N 138.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.5N 137.1W THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED ON MARTY UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627706-24922>; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 22:57:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA25922; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 09:46:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6310810 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 09:44:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA44200 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 09:44:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA06370 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 09:44:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709161444.JAA06370@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 09:44:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Sixteen-e Discussion Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 417ff8c598cc64630590d4d15a8a93a4 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1822 Status: OR 143 WTPZ41 KNHC 161444 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT TUE SEP 16 1997 THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SOUTH OF MEXICO HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND IS BEING UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITH INITIAL INTENSITY OF 30 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS OVER WARM WATER AND THE UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW IS BECOMING WELL ESTABLISHED. THEREFORE...CONTINUED STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...IN AGREEMENT WITH SHIFOR AND SHIPS GUIDANCE. THERE IS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY IN THE INITIAL LOCATION AND SOME ADJUSTMENT MAY BE NEEDED ON THE NEXT ADVISORY. BEST GUESS AT INITIAL MOTION IS 320/08. THE MID LEVEL HIGH CURRENTLY OVER NORTHERN MEXICO AND TEXAS IS FORECAST TO MOVE EASTWARD...WHILE A DEEP LAYER MEAN TROUGH IS FORECAST TO DEEPEN OFF THE U.S. WEST COAST. THE FUTURE TRACK OF THIS TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL DEPEND ON HOW FAR SOUTH THE TROUGH EXTENDS. OUR TRACK CONTINUES THE NORTH- NORTHWEST MOTION WHICH MEANS THAT THIS SYSTEM COULD BE A LANDFALL THREAT FOR MEXICO. THE MRF AND NOGAPS SUGGEST A TRACK TOWARD MANZANILLO. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/1500Z 12.8N 102.0W 30 KTS 12HR VT 17/0000Z 13.7N 102.8W 35 KTS 24HR VT 17/1200Z 14.8N 103.9W 45 KTS 36HR VT 18/0000Z 16.2N 104.7W 55 KTS 48HR VT 18/1200Z 17.5N 105.5W 60 KTS 72HR VT 19/1200Z 20.0N 106.5W 65 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627701-24919>; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 22:55:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA10814; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 09:47:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6310821 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 09:46:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA31960 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 09:45:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA06374 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 09:45:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709161445.JAA06374@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 09:45:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Sixteen-e Forecast/advisory Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0ea6cee9e993c43e263827cb7650a0b8 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1694 Status: OR 145 WTPZ21 KNHC 161445 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 1500Z TUE SEP 16 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 102.0W AT 16/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 102.0W AT 16/1500Z AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 101.8W FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 13.7N 102.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 14.8N 103.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 16.2N 104.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N 102.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 17.5N 105.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 70 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 20.0N 106.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627680-24922>; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 23:54:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA10774; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 10:44:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6311373 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 10:44:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA39358 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 10:40:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id KAA06514 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 10:40:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709161540.KAA06514@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 10:40:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 056a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e9acce1b8f23a589143be900722a4cbc X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2013 Status: OR 111 WTPN32 PGTW 161500 COR 1. TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 056A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- 34.1N8 133.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 34.1N8 133.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 36.7N6 136.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 39.3N5 140.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION 35.3N1 135.0E9 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS NORTH OF SHIKOKU IN THE INLAND SEA. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BE EXTRATROPICAL NEAR THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0, 170300Z1 AND 170900Z7. REFER TO TYPHOON DAVID (21W) (WTPN31 PGTW) WARNINGS FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: TIME OF EXTRAPOLATED POSITION IS 161500Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627711-24920>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 00:33:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA28728; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 11:26:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6311793 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 11:25:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA28612 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 11:23:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id LAA06695 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 11:23:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709161623.LAA06695@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 11:23:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a0c530fa2e7d615f02860bb09624fa3b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1250 Status: OR 719 ABPZ20 KNHC 161620 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE SEP 16 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON DEVELOPING TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E LOCATED ABOUT 455 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO...AND ON WEAKENING TROPICAL STORM LINDA LOCATED ABOUT 1045 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE LAST ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED ON DISSIPATING TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ21 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP1. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627574-24921>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 01:56:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA20316; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 12:52:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6312507 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 12:51:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA29098 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 12:51:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA07048 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 12:51:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709161751.MAA07048@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 12:51:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 136bf5e2fa2ccfc94c40e1cacfc78dda X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 942 Status: OR 934 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/HONG/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627607-24921>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 01:58:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA31086; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 12:54:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6312514 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 12:52:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA29124 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 12:51:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA07049 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 12:51:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709161751.MAA07049@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 12:51:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 26bd9a52de081fede3aba2e0e5647ac7 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 993 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 934 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/HONG/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627722-24922>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 02:05:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA22204; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 12:58:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6312549 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 12:57:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA43352 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 12:56:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA07058 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 12:55:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709161755.MAA07058@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 12:55:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f28ed95cd83a6e28c6b1c26366d1c4ee X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 854 Status: OR 970 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (13-E9 WEST O COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. -555 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626638-24920>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 02:05:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA26788; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 12:57:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6312544 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 12:55:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA21826 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 12:55:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA07059 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 12:55:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709161755.MAA07059@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 12:55:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ed96a180ea450814303c2456647ad200 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 905 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 970 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (13-E9 WEST O COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. -555 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627711-24922>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 04:24:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA13622; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 15:07:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6313541 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 15:07:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA22042 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 15:07:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA07612 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 15:07:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709162007.PAA07612@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 15:07:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon David (21w) Warning Nr 021 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 07d86c8639a1d3d785fddcc1aba2106c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3600 Status: OR 520 WTPN31 PGTW 162100 1. TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 021 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- 25.1N8 149.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 225 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.1N8 149.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 26.3N1 146.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 230 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 28.1N1 144.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 235 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 30.6N9 143.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 285 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 235 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 34.1N8 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 230 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 41.1N6 148.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 162100Z0 POSITION 25.4N1 149.0E4 TYPHOON DAVID (21W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE POLEWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS BETWEEN THE 48- AND THE 72-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. TYPHOON DAVID IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN BEYOND THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z6 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5), 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1), 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8) AND 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) (WTPN32 PGTW) WARNINGS FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627785-24922>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 04:40:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA18054; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 15:27:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6313764 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 15:26:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA16560 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 15:26:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA07657 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 15:26:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709162026.PAA07657@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 15:26:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Forecast/advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9cb34760aa79d1371a1805e9581dcd5f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1991 Status: OR 848 WTPZ21 KNHC 162022 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 2100Z TUE SEP 16 1997 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES. A PORTION OF THIS AREA MAY BE UPGRADED TO A WARNING LATER TONIGHT OR TOMORROW. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 102.8W AT 16/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 75SE 50SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 102.8W AT 16/2100Z AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 102.5W FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 14.4N 103.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 15.5N 104.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 16.8N 105.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N 102.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 18.2N 106.3W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 20.5N 107.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627781-24921>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 04:38:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA04714; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 15:29:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6313769 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 15:27:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA29880 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 15:26:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA07661 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 15:26:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709162026.PAA07661@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 15:26:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9de94d01e4be58ab4c97314df951b0a9 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1813 Status: OR 849 WTPZ31 KNHC 162023 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NORA ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE SEP 16 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM NORA FORMS OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES. A PORTION OF THIS AREA MAY BE UPGRADED TO A WARNING LATER TONIGHT OR TOMORROW. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.8 WEST OR ABOUT 390 MILES ...625 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR ...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. OUTER RAIN BANDS MAY SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MEXICO LATER TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...13.6 N...102.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627781-24921>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 04:39:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA04802; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 15:30:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6313774 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 15:29:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA24508 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 15:26:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA07664 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 15:26:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709162026.PAA07664@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 15:26:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Discussion Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 39f2eed6d4d5aad4506efbc981f626c2 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2213 Status: OR 850 WTPZ41 KNHC 162021 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE SEP 16 1997 THE CONVECTIVE BANDING HAS INCREASED AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E IS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM NORA...IN AGREEMENT WITH LATEST DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM BOTH SAB AND TAFB. SHIP MVLA7 REPORTED 1006.8 MB AND A SOUTH WIND AT 28 KNOTS AT 1800Z WHILE LOCATED ABOUT 125 NMI SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE SYSTEM IS OVER 29 TO 30C WATER AND THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW LOOKS WELL ESTABLISHED SO CONTINUED STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 315/08. THE MID-LEVEL HIGH CURRENTLY OVER NORTHERN MEXICO AND TEXAS SHOULD STEER THE STORM TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT LEAST IN THE SHORT TERM. HOWEVER...THIS HIGH IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AND MOVE EASTWARD...AND A DEEP-LAYER MEAN TROUGH IS FORECAST TO DEEPEN OVER CALIFORNIA AND NEVADA LATER IN THIS FORECAST PERIOD. THIS COULD EVENTUALLY TURN NORA MORE TOWARD THE NORTH OR EVEN NORTHEAST. THESE CIRCUMSTANCES ARE SIMILAR TO LINDA A FEW DAYS AGO...BUT WHAT IS NOT KNOWN IS WHETHER THERE WILL BE A RIDGE BETWEEN NORA AND THE DEEP TROUGH. THERE IS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST TRACK...BUT THIS COULD BE A LANDFALL THREAT FOR THE WEST COAST OF MEXICO. WE HAVE LIMITED GUIDANCE DUE TO COMPUTER PROBLEMS AND OUR TRACK IS BASICALLY AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. WE HAVE COORDINATED WITH THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF MEXICO...AND THEY HAVE ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/2100Z 13.6N 102.8W 35 KTS 12HR VT 17/0600Z 14.4N 103.6W 45 KTS 24HR VT 17/1800Z 15.5N 104.8W 55 KTS 36HR VT 18/0600Z 16.8N 105.6W 65 KTS 48HR VT 18/1800Z 18.2N 106.3W 70 KTS 72HR VT 19/1800Z 20.5N 107.0W 80 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627781-24919>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 04:49:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA30550; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 15:34:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6313807 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 15:34:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA43666 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 15:27:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA07670 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 15:27:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709162027.PAA07670@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 15:27:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 057 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 88cd80c97aa9b25210a0b97643648201 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1752 Status: OR 913 WTPN32 PGTW 162100 1. TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 057 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- 35.0N8 134.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 35.0N8 134.3E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 38.0N1 138.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 41.8N3 144.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 162100Z0 POSITION 36.6N5 136.2E2 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BE EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z6 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1, 170900Z7 AND 171500Z4. REFER TO TYPHOON DAVID (21W) (WTPN31 PGTW) WARNINGS AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627781-24922>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 04:41:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA16058; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 15:33:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6313786 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 15:32:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA26802 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 15:29:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA07689 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 15:29:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709162029.PAA07689@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 15:29:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Forecast/advisory Number 29 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b3b03b5a6f3e8d6d8544b2d4c01d634c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1583 Status: OR 923 WTPZ24 KNHC 162029 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1497 2100Z TUE SEP 16 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 126.9W AT 16/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT.......175NE 150SE 150SW 175NW 12 FT SEAS..175NE 150SE 150SW 175NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 126.9W AT 16/2100Z AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 126.6W FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 22.8N 127.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 22.9N 129.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 23.0N 131.3W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.8N 126.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 23.2N 133.3W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 24.0N 137.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627781-24920>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 04:40:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA10322; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 15:32:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6313779 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 15:30:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA27566 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 15:29:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA07685 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 15:29:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709162029.PAA07685@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 15:29:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Discussion Number 29 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 03135973f9c08c7397d623b835c9b46d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1706 Status: OR 922 WTPZ44 KNHC 162028 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 29 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE SEP 16 1997 LINDA DOES NOT LOOK TOO IMPRESSIVE ON SATELLITE PICTURES AND DVORAK ESTIMATES HAVE DECREASED DRAMATICALLY DUE TO THE ABSENCE OF DEEP CONVECTION. HOWEVER...SHIP 3ERJ8 REPORTED A NORTH WIND OF 34 KNOTS WITH 18 FT SEAS AT 1800Z WHILE LOCATED ABOUT 150 NMI WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER. THEREFORE...LINDA WILL REMAIN AT TROPICAL STORM STATUS ON THIS ADVISORY. THE CIRCULATION WILL GRADUALLY SPIN DOWN WHILE MOVING OVER 23 TO 24 C WATER. INITIAL MOTION IS 270/06. THE SHALLOW-LAYER STEERING SHOULD ALLOW THIS GENERAL WESTWARD MOTION TO CONTINUE...BUT THE FORWARD SPEED SHOULD INCREASE A LITTLE AS IT MOVES CLOSER TO THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM TO THE NORTHWEST. A PROMINENT PLUME OF MID/UPPER-LEVEL MOISTURE FROM LINDA CONTINUES TO STREAM OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/2100Z 22.8N 126.9W 35 KTS 12HR VT 17/0600Z 22.8N 127.9W 30 KTS 24HR VT 17/1800Z 22.9N 129.5W 30 KTS 36HR VT 18/0600Z 23.0N 131.3W 25 KTS 48HR VT 18/1800Z 23.2N 133.3W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 19/1800Z 24.0N 137.5W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627863-24922>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 05:23:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA38890; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 16:11:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6314303 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 16:09:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA30206 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 16:09:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA08167 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 16:09:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709162109.QAA08167@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 16:09:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Forecast/advisory Number 29 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f174470336962b5a2db208c32414eccb X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1618 Status: OR 515 WTPZ24 KNHC 162108 COR TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1497 2100Z TUE SEP 16 1997 CORRECTION TO 12 FT SEAS RADII TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 126.9W AT 16/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT.......175NE 150SE 150SW 175NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 175SE 175SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 126.9W AT 16/2100Z AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 126.6W FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 22.8N 127.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 22.9N 129.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 23.0N 131.3W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.8N 126.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 23.2N 133.3W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 24.0N 137.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627862-24921>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 05:55:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA12484; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 16:38:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6314512 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 16:38:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA32946 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 16:38:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA08248 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 16:38:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709162138.QAA08248@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 16:38:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Oliwa (02c) Warning Nr 057 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cbc453bf1e030be92b931fd0d3e928b8 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1821 Status: OR 115 WTPN32 PGTW 162100 1. TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) WARNING NR 057 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- 35.0N8 134.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 13 KTS PAGE 04 RUHGSGG4943 UNCLAS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 35.0N8 134.3E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 38.0N1 138.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 41.8N3 144.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- PAGE 05 RUHGSGG4943 UNCLAS REMARKS: 162100Z0 POSITION 36.6N5 136.2E2 TROPICAL STORM OLIWA (02C) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BE EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z6 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1, 170900Z7 AND 171500Z4. REFER TO TYPHOON DAVID (21W) (WTPN31 PGTW) WARNINGS AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS.// BT #4943 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627893-24920>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 06:01:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAB24062; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 16:56:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6314658 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 16:55:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA08064 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 16:55:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA08310 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 16:55:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709162155.QAA08310@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 16:55:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d4989547a93697a7db590cd891d495fc X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 686 Status: OR 355 ABPA20 PHNL 162200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210PM HST TUESDAY SEPTEMBER 16 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH WEDNESDAY. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625871-20313>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 06:38:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA15920; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 17:22:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6314972 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 17:20:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA23254 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 17:20:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA08427 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 17:20:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709162220.RAA08427@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 17:20:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f93152fdaef212783379e9367819ad2e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1229 Status: OR 842 ABPZ20 KNHC 162217 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE SEP 16 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON DEVELOPING TROPICAL STORM NORA LOCATED ABOUT 390 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO...AND ON WEAKENING TROPICAL STORM LINDA LOCATED ABOUT 1090 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE LAST ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED ON DISSIPATING TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM NORA CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ21 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP1. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625904-20313>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 08:21:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA42396; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 19:14:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6316074 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 19:12:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA29748 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 19:12:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id TAA08722 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 19:12:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709170012.TAA08722@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 19:12:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Intermediate Advisory Number 2a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 214fb493f4767b4bb6b69c824faf7afc X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1721 Status: OR 037 WTPZ31 KNHC 170011 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NORA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT TUE SEP 16 1997 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS NOW ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO PUNTA MALDONADO. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES. AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.0 WEST OR ABOUT 380 MILES ...615 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR ...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. OUTER RAIN BANDS MAY SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MEXICO TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...13.8 N...103.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625954-20309>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 09:34:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA28536; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 20:25:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6317087 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 20:25:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA28508 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 20:25:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id UAA08867 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 20:25:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709170125.UAA08867@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 20:25:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon David (21w) Warning Nr 022 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: acb368de048871962d81286891508fd0 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3690 Status: OR 281 WTPN31 PGTW 170300 1. TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 022 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 25.4N1 147.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 245 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.4N1 147.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 26.8N6 144.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 240 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 28.9N9 143.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 235 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 32.0N5 142.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 205 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 29 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 37.3N3 145.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 34 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 47.2N3 157.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION 25.7N4 147.1E3 TYPHOON DAVID (21W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS, THEN THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHEASTWARD AND ACCELERATE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING MID- LATITUDE TROUGH FROM THE NORTHWEST. TYPHOON DAVID (21W) HAS PEAKED IN INTENSITY AND IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN AFTER 24 HOURS. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS FORECAST TO BEGIN WITHIN 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1), 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8), 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4) AND 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02C (OLIWA) (WTPN32 PGTW) WARNINGS FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625951-20313>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 10:03:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA43706; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 20:55:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6317282 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 20:55:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA32418 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 20:55:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id UAA08951 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 20:55:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709170155.UAA08951@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 20:55:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 02c (oliwa) Warning Nr 058 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8bef2e5b12a8b977e9027f72c385f83f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1843 Status: OR 979 WTPN32 PGTW 170300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02C (OLIWA) WARNING NR 058 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 02C 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 36.3N2 136.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 36.3N2 136.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 38.9N0 139.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 41.9N4 144.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION 37.1N1 137.0E1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02C (OLIWA) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS COMPLETE IN 18 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7, 171500Z4 AND 172100Z1.REFER TO TYPHOON DAVID (21W) (WTPN31 PGTW) WARNINGS AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627911-20313>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 10:35:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA35534; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 21:26:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6317404 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 21:25:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA14780 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 21:24:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA08985 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 21:24:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709170224.VAA08985@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 21:24:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Discussion Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f96980b6b199e40384d875d6e3131048 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1819 Status: OR 668 WTPZ41 KNHC 170225 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT TUE SEP 16 1997 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 325/08...BUT THIS MOTION IS A BIT UNCERTAIN TRACKING A POORLY DEFINED CENTER ON INFRARED IMAGERY. THE 12Z AVIATION MODEL IS NOT AVAILABLE ALTHOUGH I DID GET A FEW POINTS FROM THE GFDL MODEL SHOWING A VERY SLOW NORTHWEST TO NORTHWARD TRACK FOR 72 HOURS. THE ECMWF MODEL IS ALSO SLOW AND FURTHER WEST THAN THE GFDL...AS IS THE UKMET. THE NOGAPS IS DIFFERENT SHOWING THE CENTER MOVING NORTHWARD TO THE COAST IN 24 HOURS AND THEN BECOMING ALMOST STATIONARY. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS BETWEEN THE GFDL AND NOGAPS AND IS ADJUSTED TO THE EAST OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES ALLOW FOR INCREASING THE WIND SPEED BY 5 KNOTS...BUT THE DEEP CONVECTION IS NOT WELL ORGANIZED AND THIS COULD DELAY THE EXPECTED STRENGTHENING TO A HURRICANE. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXCIO HAS ADDED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA JUST EAST OF THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA DUE TO THE CLOSE PROXIMITY OF THE STORM. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 17/0300Z 14.5N 102.8W 40 KTS 12HR VT 17/1200Z 15.4N 103.3W 45 KTS 24HR VT 18/0000Z 16.5N 104.0W 50 KTS 36HR VT 18/1200Z 17.5N 104.5W 60 KTS 48HR VT 19/0000Z 18.5N 105.0W 70 KTS 72HR VT 20/0000Z 20.0N 105.0W 75 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627908-20313>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 10:45:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA08116; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 21:29:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6317440 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 21:27:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA27588 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 21:26:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA08989 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 21:26:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709170226.VAA08989@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 21:26:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Forecast/advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b876c1664d667ff74e39e49ec06fa64f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1968 Status: OR 697 WTPZ21 KNHC 170226 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 0300Z WED SEP 17 1997 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM PUNTA MALDONADO TO LAZARO CARDENAS AND HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 102.8W AT 17/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 102.8W AT 17/0300Z AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 102.5W FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 15.4N 103.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 16.5N 104.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 17.5N 104.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 102.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 18.5N 105.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 20.0N 105.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 50 KT... 25NE 75SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626720-20312>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 10:37:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA25700; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 21:30:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6317456 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 21:29:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA15480 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 21:28:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA08997 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 21:28:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709170228.VAA08997@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 21:28:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bedb9a780c85486e806109c8209aa32e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1797 Status: OR 698 WTPZ31 KNHC 170228 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NORA ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT TUE SEP 16 1997 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM PUNTA MALDONADO TO LAZARO CARDENAS AND HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.8 WEST OR ABOUT 340 MILES...545 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES ...185 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. HURRICANE RAIN BANDS ARE SPREADING OVER PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MEXICO ACCOMPANIED BY THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...14.5 N...102.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM PDT...WEDNESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627910-20306>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 11:00:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA20232; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 21:52:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6317657 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 21:50:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA43986 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 21:50:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA09126 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 21:50:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709170250.VAA09126@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 21:50:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Discussion Number 30 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 71c73a5756d377b15d339cf8c1125700 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1354 Status: OR 060 WTPZ44 KNHC 170250 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 30 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT TUE SEP 16 1997 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 270/05. THERE IS NOT MUCH GUIDANCE AVAILABLE...BUT THE LITTLE THAT IS SHOWS RATHER SLOW MOTION. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS MOSTLY WESTWARD SINCE THE SYSTEM IS SHALLOW. THE SAME SHIP AS EARLIER...3ERJ8...REPORTED 33 KNOTS AT 00Z AND LINDA IS BEING KEPT AT TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY A LITTLE LONGER. HOWEVER THE DEEP CONVECTION IS GONE AND LINDA IS IN THE PROCESS OF BEING REDUCED TO A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 17/0300Z 22.8N 127.1W 35 KTS 12HR VT 17/1200Z 22.8N 128.0W 30 KTS 24HR VT 18/0000Z 22.8N 129.1W 30 KTS 36HR VT 18/1200Z 22.9N 130.1W 25 KTS 48HR VT 19/0000Z 23.0N 131.2W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 20/0000Z 23.5N 133.5W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627911-20306>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 10:59:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA21060; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 21:53:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6317662 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 21:52:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA35050 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 21:50:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA09130 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 21:50:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709170250.VAA09130@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 21:50:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Forecast/advisory Number 30 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 786c187bb64073fda30e8ca223358f08 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1583 Status: OR 061 WTPZ24 KNHC 170251 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1497 0300Z WED SEP 17 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 127.1W AT 17/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT.......175NE 150SE 150SW 175NW 12 FT SEAS..175NE 150SE 150SW 175NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 127.1W AT 17/0300Z AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 126.9W FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 22.8N 128.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 22.8N 129.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 22.9N 130.1W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.8N 127.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 23.0N 131.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 23.5N 133.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627244-20313>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 12:21:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA43536; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 23:15:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6318160 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 23:13:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA29582 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 23:13:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id XAA09260 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 1997 23:13:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709170413.XAA09260@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 23:13:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fdcd24114f9ada9cae4013f3c9995db8 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1228 Status: OR 667 ABPZ20 KNHC 170411 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE SEP 16 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON DEVELOPING TROPICAL STORM NORA LOCATED ABOUT 340 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO...AND ON WEAKENING TROPICAL STORM LINDA LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM NORA CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ31 KNHC AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCPEP1. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM NORA CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ21 KNHC AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP1. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627270-20306>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 13:22:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA21978; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 00:12:34 -0500 Message-Id: <199709170512.AAA21978@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Sep 1997 00:01:45 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 15 Sep 1997 to 16 Sep 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 5ea9d6bbc9a594650dbb7ca8136ac691 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 30534 Status: OR There are 6 messages totalling 745 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Bobby Eddins Chase Web Site 2. WX-TALK Digest - 14 Sep 1997 to 15 Sep 1997 3. ASOS Commissioning Notice 4. WeatherPlanner (tm) 5. IWIN Graphics Version No longer available? 6. verification of TC warmer water +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 05:29:09 -0500 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Bobby Eddins Chase Web Site Bobby Eddins, a chaser and SKYWARN spotter out of Fort Worth, has developed a very nice web site. Take a look: http://www.whytel.com/users/beddins/ He has some impressive images! Sam Barricklow http://www.pulse.net/storm/wxlinks.htm ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 09:14:45 -0500 From: Mark Prater Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 14 Sep 1997 to 15 Sep 1997 This Comment is from Mark Prater... I've read all of the discussions, good and bad about the winter which is ahead for North Alabama (For those Locals)! Still the discussion around the country is how much "El Camino" will effect our weather overall. Well, Like the car/truck, we're not really sure what to think. I know this is a major change in the weather pattern, and certainly should be looked at....Plus add moisture levels in our area over time, etc, etc, etc. But, like the forecast of Dr. Gray on hurricanes, change it as the season moves on to cover the bases!!! Maybe we should wait and see what happens!!! Timing cold air arrival and moisture this far south is a "real treat." Great words from a Meteorologist! I know! But, I'll be the first to admit our weather here in North Alabama tetors on snow, ice, etc. every year. Occasionally we'll get an inch or two of snow. Occasional an inch of ice! Once a century a blizzard.(1993) Since the information of El NinoWe've already had School Superintendants, Mayors, Law Enforcement asking should they be prepaired because of El Nino. My response is, "to always be prepaired regardless of what could happen with warm water 5000 miles west of here." For all of you who place your name and reputation out there trying to inform the public of weather year round...You realize either way, forecasting or not, we'll continue to take a verbal beating for trying. I've read many of the negative comments on this page, and heard them in person. But, those are the folks who keep tuning in for the forecast!!!!!! Just a thought! The door is open for opposing comments!!! Thanks to Chris Novy, WX-Talk, and all of you for this forum to speak out. Weather on... Mark Prater Broadcast Meteorologist ABC 33/40 Birmingham, Ala markp@abc3340.com >---------- >From: Automatic digest processor[SMTP:LISTSERV@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU] >Sent: Tuesday, September 16, 1997 12:00 AM >To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests >Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 14 Sep 1997 to 15 Sep 1997 > >There are 12 messages totalling 535 lines in this issue. > >Topics of the day: > > 1. WX-TALK Digest - 13 Sep 1997 to 14 Sep 1997 > 2. Articles from students for InterMet > 3. TV Met Jobs Available > 4. verification of TC warmer water (4) > 5. ASOS Commissioning Notice > 6. Bad N. Alabama Winter? (2) > 7. Independent NASA Satellite Measurements Confirm El Nino is Back and >Strong > (fwd) > 8. '97 hurricane season update & Gray's forecasts... > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > >---------------------------------------------------------------------- > >Date: Sun, 14 Sep 1997 23:20:01 -0600 >From: James Richardson >Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 13 Sep 1997 to 14 Sep 1997 > >>This is from San Diego, 1120 PDT. We've just returned from a >>southwest-facing beach where we walked the dog. The water remains 73 >>degrees and fairly calm, the waves are small but the surfers >>still hopeful. The sky is full of cirrus and altocumulus and alto stratus >>making a grand swirling arm from the south. The winds are rather >>calm and humidity is uncharacteristically palpable for the region. > >Just heard wire reports of 3 people being swept off the rocks near Newport >Beach from the surf caused by Linda. Serious injs reported. > >Jim<< > >^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ >James L. Richardson Satellite Newsfeed Buff > >Administrator satellite newsfeeds list-serv; to subscribe send to >newsfeeds-request@fnl.net with ONLY the word Subscribe in the body of the >message. > >jimmnn@frii.com http://www.frii.com/~rmedic > >Paramedic & Founder Mountain NewsNet > "Colorado's Emergency Incident Paging Notification System" >970-586-4325 Voice 970-586-4357 Fax > "In God we Trust ALL others we Monitor" >^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ > >------------------------------ > >Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 01:16:08 GMT >From: InterMet >Subject: Articles from students for InterMet > > >InterMet (International Meteorology) is looking for meteorology >articles written by students from all levels. If you are working on a >school project related to meteorology and want to publish your work >please do not hesitate to contact InterMet at: > > intermet@magma.ca > > It is FREE to read and publish in InterMet. > >For more details about InterMet: > > http://www.magma.ca/~intermet/ > > Bernard Miville > Editor >-- > >________________________________________ > > InterMet > International Meteorology Magazine > > http://www.magma.ca/~intermet/ > intermet@magma.ca >________________________________________ > >------------------------------ > >Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 10:35:50 +0500 >From: Chris Novy >Subject: TV Met Jobs Available > >The following job announcements appeared in today's edition of >SHOPTALK (See http://www.tvspy.com). The first job is at my station's >competition. I don't have any more details as to what shift it is. > >..Chris.. > >METEOROLOGIST/WEATHER ANCHOR (WPSD) >Immediate opening for a Meteorologist/Weather Anchor for NBC affiliate >in 79th DMA. Requires proficiency in "State-of-the-Art" computer >weather preparation. Significant "ON-AIR" experience at a commercial >television station A MUST. Degree. Send resume/tapes to: Dan Steele, >Operations & Program Manager, WPSD-TV, P.O. Box 1197, Paducah, KY >42002-1197 M/F, EOE,ADA > >METEOROLOGIST (WVEC) >A. H. Belo owned WVEC-TV in Norfolk, Virginia has an >immediate opening for a weekend Meteorologist. If you're a >great forecaster who loves the challenge that comes with >hurricane season, this is the place to be. We have all the tools >to do the job right including one of the only Kavouras Nexrad >generation radars operating in North America. Our gang just >won another award for severe storm coverage. We're looking for >a talented, degreed Meteorologist to join the team. One year >broadcast experience, AMS Seal and knowledge of Kavouras >weather system desired. News reporting experience a plus. >Please send resume and non-returnable VHS tape to Human >Resources, WVEC-TV, 613 Woodis Avenue, Norfolk, Virginia >23510. EOE > >*====================================================================* >Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu >Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu >Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) >Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) >Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 >*====================================================================* > >------------------------------ > >Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 13:26:38 -0700 >From: Stephen Hodanish >Subject: verification of TC warmer water > >The other day Gilbert wrote: > >snip... > >.... One interesting factor that I have seen >other powerful hurricanes do is actually push warmer water out ahead of >the storm, as the cyclonic flow around the hurricane literally changes the >currents of water around it. > >Gilbert, could you please verify this with refereed literature. > >Thanks > >Stephen Hodanish >NWS/MLB > >------------------------------ > >Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 14:03:40 -0400 >From: Miles Schumacher >Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice > > The following site will become an ASOS commissioned site at 1800 UTC > on 15 September 1997. > > PALMER MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (PAAQ) > PALMER... AK > > Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX > >------------------------------ > >Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 14:06:58 -0500 >From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" >Subject: Re: verification of TC warmer water > >On Mon, 15 Sep 1997, Stephen Hodanish wrote: > >> The other day Gilbert wrote: >> >> snip... >> >> .... One interesting factor that I have seen >> other powerful hurricanes do is actually push warmer water out ahead of >> the storm, as the cyclonic flow around the hurricane literally changes the >> currents of water around it. >> >> Gilbert, could you please verify this with referenced literature. > >Nope, I can't, just a personal observation; at least it seems that is what >is going on. In any event, although I haven't checked it with Linda yet, >I'll do that today. > >Gilbert > >***************************************************************************** >** >Gilbert Sebenste ******** >Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** >Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** >URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** >SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * >THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * >Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * >***************************************************************************** >** > >------------------------------ > >Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 14:39:18 -0500 >From: Mark Mears >Subject: Bad N. Alabama Winter? > >>Good morning. The local prognosticators are predicting a harsh winter here >>in the mountains of northeast Alabama. They say we will have a lot of ice >>and snow as well as colder temperatures. I think they're getting their info >>from wooly worms or the alminac but they claim El Nino is to blame. >> >>Does anyone care to comment how El Nino will affect our weather in Alabama? >> >>Bob Crowell >> > >The first winter I spent in this part of the country (Southern Middle >Tennessee) was the winter of 82-83. I've heard recently that this was a >strong El Nin~o year. Interestingly, it's the only winter of the last 15 >when I didn't see even so much as a dusting of snow on the ground. > >-- > >Mark Mears >President >Aninoquisi >112 Bruce Street >Huntland, TN 37345 >931.469.7024 >http://www.edge.net/asd/ > >------------------------------ > >Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 20:01:19 +0000 >From: Scott Bachmeier >Subject: Re: verification of TC warmer water > >>> other powerful hurricanes do is actually push warmer water out ahead of >>> the storm, as the cyclonic flow around the hurricane literally changes >>>the >>> currents of water around it. >> >> Gilbert, could you please verify this with referenced literature. >> > >Like Gilbert, I cannot cite a journal reference, but I do recall NHC >discussions >to this effect when Hurricane Marilyn was approaching the mid-Atlantic >coast in 1995 -- upwelling of cooler water in the aftermath of Hurricane Luis >(over the same region a week or two earlier) was likely a factor in >modulating >the intensity of Marilyn. > >-Scott > > >-- >Scott Bachmeier | NWS FIRSTT Program >CIMSS | University of Wisconsin - Madison >asb@ty.ssec.wisc.edu | www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb > >------------------------------ > >Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 15:15:25 -0500 >From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" >Subject: Re: verification of TC warmer water > >On Mon, 15 Sep 1997, Scott Bachmeier wrote: > >> Like Gilbert, I cannot cite a journal reference, but I do recall NHC >> discussions >> to this effect when Hurricane Marilyn was approaching the mid-Atlantic >> coast in 1995 -- upwelling of cooler water in the aftermath of Hurricane >>Luis >> (over the same region a week or two earlier) was likely a factor in >>modulating >> the intensity of Marilyn. >> >> -Scott > >Scott, I can't reference this either, but I also saw this on TPC >discussions as well. In fact, I think this was the smae one where I also >noticed the warmer waters being pushed out ahead of the storm. > >We'll see what happens...looks like another tropical depression is about >to form west of Mexico. Clear banding of showers and thunderstorms toward >a common center... > >Gilbert > >***************************************************************************** >** >Gilbert Sebenste ******** >Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** >Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** >URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** >SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * >THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * >Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * >***************************************************************************** >** > >------------------------------ > >Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 20:24:10 +0000 >From: Scott Bachmeier >Subject: Re: Bad N. Alabama Winter? > >>> The local prognosticators are predicting a harsh winter here >>> in the mountains of northeast Alabama. They say we will have a >>> lot of ice and snow as well as colder temperatures. >>> Does anyone care to comment how El Nino will affect our >>> weather in Alabama? >>> > >"Typical" ENSO-related effects over North America include >(a) an active subtropical jet along the Gulf coast region, and >(b) a zonal character to the flow along the US-Canada border. > >While (a) would likely bring the hills of northeast Alabama >more precipitation than normal, (b) would tend to minimize >the severity and southern extent of arctic air necessary >to realize said precipitation in a frozen/freezing form. > >In short, your prognosticators are bored, whimsical, and >perhaps ill-informed...but they could be right. > >Scott, pondering the ENSO effects on the Packers win/loss ratio > > > > > >-- >Scott Bachmeier | NWS FIRSTT Program >CIMSS | University of Wisconsin - Madison >asb@ty.ssec.wisc.edu | www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb > >------------------------------ > >Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 16:41:09 -0400 >From: "Todd L. Sherman" >Subject: Independent NASA Satellite Measurements Confirm El Nino is Back and > Strong (fwd) > >Since there seems to be considerable talk of El-Nino, here's a current >related NASA News brief about it that I received today in my INBOX. -Todd > >/-----------------------------------------------------------------\ >| Todd L. Sherman, A.R.S. KB4MHH -\\- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | >| -//- Home Page URL: http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | >| Permission to use the above info for inclusion in any mailing | >| lists, so as to send me ad-mail personally, is NOT granted. | >\-----------------------------------------------------------------/ > >---------- Forwarded message ---------- >Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 15:05:24 -0400 (EDT) >From: >To: undisclosed-recipients: >Subject: Independent NASA Satellite Measurements Confirm El Nino is > Back and Strong > >Douglas Isbell >NASA Headquarters, Washington, DC September 15, 1997 >(Phone: 202/358-1753) > >Mary Hardin >Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA >(Phone: 818/354-5011) > > >RELEASE: 97-200 > >INDEPENDENT NASA SATELLITE MEASUREMENTS CONFIRM EL NINO IS BACK AND STRONG > > Pacific Ocean sea-surface height measurements and >atmospheric water vapor information taken from two independent >Earth-orbiting satellites are providing more convincing evidence >that the weather-disrupting phenomenon known as El Nino is back >and strong. > > "The new data collected since April 1997 confirm what we >had earlier speculated upon and what the National Oceanic and >Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has predicted -- a full-blown El >Nino condition is established in the Pacific," said >Dr. Lee-Lueng Fu, project scientist for the U.S./French satellite >TOPEX/POSEIDON satellite at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory >(JPL), Pasadena, CA. > > The five years of global ocean topography observations made >by TOPEX/POSEIDON have been a boon for El Nino researchers, who >have been able to track three El Nino events since the satellite's >launch in August 1992. > > "The recent data are showing us that a large warm water >mass with high sea-surface elevations, about six inches (15 >centimeters) above normal, is occupying the entire tropical >Pacific Ocean east of the international date line. In fact, the >surface area covered by the warm water mass is about one-and-a- >half times the size of the continental United States," Fu said. >"We watched this warm water mass travel eastward from the western >Pacific along the equator earlier this spring. Right now, sea- >surface height off the South American coast is 10 inches (25 >centimeters) higher than normal, which is comparable with the >conditions during the so-called 'El Nino of the century' in 1982-83." > > In addition, recent atmospheric water vapor data collected >from NASA's Upper Atmosphere Research Satellite (UARS) show tell- >tale signs of an El Nino condition in the tropical Pacific Ocean. > > "The Microwave Limb Sounder experiment on UARS is >detecting an unusually large build-up of water vapor in the >atmosphere at heights of approximately eight miles (12 kilometers) >over the central-eastern tropical Pacific. Not since the last >strong El Nino winter of 1991-92 have we seen such a large build- >up of water vapor in this part of the atmosphere," said JPL's Dr. >William Read. "Increased water vapor at these heights can be >associated with more intense wintertime storm activity from the >'pineapple express,' a pattern of atmospheric motions that brings >tropical moisture from Hawaii to the southwestern United States. >This phenomenon is an example of how the ocean and atmosphere work >together to dictate the severity of El Nino events." > > An El Nino is thought to be triggered when steady westward >blowing trade winds weaken and even reverse direction. This >change in the winds allows the large mass of warm water that is >normally located near Australia to move eastward along the equator >until it reaches the coast of South America. This displaced pool >of unusually warm water affects evaporation, where rain clouds >form and, consequently, alters the typical atmospheric jet stream >patterns around the world. The change in the wind strength and >direction also impacts global weather patterns. > > In May, NOAA issued an advisory regarding the presence of >the early indications of El Nino conditions. Subsequent El Nino >forecast activities supported by NOAA indicate the likelihood of a >moderate or strong El Nino in late 1997. The forecast model >operated at NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Prediction >used data collected by the TOPEX/POSEIDON satellite. > > "The added amount of oceanic warm water near the Americas, >with a temperature between 70-85 degrees Fahrenheit, is about 30 >times the volume of water in all the U.S. Great Lakes combined," >said Dr. Victor Zlotnicki, a TOPEX/POSEIDON investigator at JPL. >"The difference between the current, abnormally high amount of >heat in the near-surface waters and the usual amount of heat in >the same area is about 93 times the total energy from fossil fuels >consumed by the United States in 1995." > > On-going NOAA advisories on El Nino conditions are available >on the Internet at the following URL: > >http://nic.fb4.noaa.gov:80/products/analysis_monitoring/ensostuff/index.html > > The climatic event has been given the name El Nino, a Spanish >term for a "boy child," because the warm current first appeared >off the coast of South America around Christmas. Past El Nino >events have often caused unusually heavy rain and flooding in >California, unseasonably mild winters in the Eastern United States >and severe droughts in Australia, Africa and Indonesia. Better >predictions of extreme climate episodes like floods and droughts >could save the United States billions of dollars in damage costs. >El Nino episodes usually occur approximately every two to seven years. > > Developed by NASA and the French Centre National d'Etudes >Spatiales (CNES), the TOPEX/POSEIDON satellite uses an altimeter >to bounce radar signals off the ocean's surface to get precise >measurements of the distance between the satellite and the sea >surface. These data are combined with measurements from other >instruments that pinpoint the satellite's exact location in space. >Every ten days, scientists produce a complete map of global ocean >topography, the barely perceptible hills and valleys found on the >sea surface. With detailed knowledge of ocean topography, >scientists can then calculate the speed and direction of worldwide >ocean currents. > > The Microwave Limb Sounder instrument was originally >designed to study atmospheric ozone depletion, but scientists have >devised new ways of using the data to study atmospheric water >vapor. The Upper Atmosphere Research Satellite is completing its >sixth year of operation after being designed for only a two-year >mission, and is conducting an extended mission of longer-term >global monitoring. > > The Jet Propulsion Laboratory, a division of the >California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, manages the >TOPEX/POSEIDON mission and the MLS instrument for NASA's Mission >to Planet Earth enterprise, Washington, DC. The UARS satellite is >managed by NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD. > > NASA's Mission to Planet Earth is a long-term science >research program designed to study the Earth's land, oceans, air, >ice and life as a total system. > > -end- > >------------------------------ > >Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 19:46:13 -0400 >From: Chris Landsea >Subject: '97 hurricane season update & Gray's forecasts... > >Hi Wx-talkers, > >With the demise of Erika (finally) and mid-season upon us, here's the >update of the Atlantic season so far and our seasonal hurricane >forecasts... > >+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ >+ >1997 Atlantic Hurricane Season - (as of 9/15/97) > >Ana TS - Jun30-Jul4 40 2.0 NSD 0 HD 0 IHD 0 HDP >Bill H-1 - Jul11-13 65 1.2 NSD 0.5 HD 0 IHD 1.3 HDP >Claudette TS - Jul13-16 40 1.8 NSD 0 HD 0 IHD 0 HDP >Danny H-1 - Jul16-26 70 4.5 NSD 1.5 HD 0 IHD 2.6 HDP >Erika H-3 - Sep3-15 110 12.2 NSD 6.5 HD 2.2 IHD 20.2 HDP >-------------------------------------------------------------------- >5 NS, 3 H, 1 IH 21.8 NSD 8.5 HD 2.2 IHD 24.1 HDP > > > >GRAY RESEARCH TEAM'S ATLANTIC BASIN HURRICANE FORECAST FOR '97 SEASON >(seasonal totals as of 9/15/97) > >Tropical Cyclone 12/6/96 4/4/97 6/6/97 8/6/97 1997 >Parameter (1950-90 Average) Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Total >--------------------------- -------- -------- -------- -------- ----- >Named Storms (9.3) 11 11 11 11 5 >Named Storm Days (46.9) 55 55 55 45 22 >Hurricanes (5.8) 7 7 7 6 3 >Hurricane Days (23.7) 25 25 25 20 8 >Intense Hurricanes (2.2) 3 3 3 2 1 >Intense Hurricane Days (4.7) 5 5 5 3 2 >Hurricane Destruction Potential (70.6) 75 75 75 60 24 >Net Tropical Cyclone Activity (100%) 110% 110% 110% 100% 46% >+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ >+ > >It's worth pointing out that based upon NTC (Net Tropical Cyclone activity), >1997 is already more active than 1946 (39%), 1962 (33%), 1968 (40%), >1972 (28%), 1982 (37%), 1986 (38%) and 1994 (36%). If one instead prefers >the use of Hurricane Days (HD) as a measure of overall seasonal activity, >then 1997 is already more active than 1946 (6 days), 1970 (7 days), >1972 (6 days), 1977 (7 days), 1982 (6 days), 1983 (4 days), 1987 (5 days) >and 1994 (7 days). > >For more info on the seasonal hurricane forecasts, surf to: > http://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/forecasts/index.html > >Best regards, >chris >***************************************************************************** >Chris Landsea >NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 >4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 >Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov >***************************************************************************** > "Whenever there is the first hint of a counter-clockwise symbol on a >weather map that a hurricane might hit land, `Mr. Hard News' is down there >wrapped around a lamp post." >--- Tom Brokaw reacting to Dan Rather calling NBC Nightly News "news-lite" > >------------------------------ > >End of WX-TALK Digest - 14 Sep 1997 to 15 Sep 1997 >************************************************** > ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 14:55:35 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site became an ASOS commissioned site at 1800 UTC on 16 September 1997. MCCALL AIRPORT (KMYL) MCCALL... ID Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 21:35:09 CDT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: WeatherPlanner (tm) Maybe this subject has been done here, and I missed it, as I do occasionally not read wx-talk posts too carefully, but can someone clue me in on exactly what the folks at WeatherPlanner do? I notice they invoke the name of Krick in their on-line spiel, so I can guess at how they arrive at their (dare I call them forecasts?) guesses. I think one can get a feel for the forecasts they put out by looking at the phrases in their on-line glossary, i.e., "Above Normal", "Chance", "Changeable", "Data Not Available", "Generally", "Significant" and "Non- Significant" Precipitation. It's nice that you can get this all with a credit card on a secure web site, too! The things that some people will pay for.... :) Scott ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 20:24:47 -0700 From: A Lieberman Subject: Re: IWIN Graphics Version No longer available? (Remove xx to email) wrote: > > Recently while attempting to check on some wx data sources I tried to > use the NWS IWIN Graphics version, and it now asks for a UserName and > Password!??! Is this no longer available? http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/graphicsversion/main.html seem to work fine for me. No password requested at any menu option.... Hope this helps Allen -- http://www.bright.net/~lieberma/ Come visit my homepage!!! Any unsolicited COMMERCIAL Email will be replied with a complaint to the postmaster of the sender! ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 16 Sep 1997 21:33:24 -0600 From: Matt Rehwald Subject: Re: verification of TC warmer water > Date: Mon, 15 Sep 1997 15:15:25 -0500 > From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" > Subject: Re: verification of TC warmer water > > On Mon, 15 Sep 1997, Scott Bachmeier wrote: > > > Like Gilbert, I cannot cite a journal reference, but I do recall NHC > > discussions > > to this effect when Hurricane Marilyn was approaching the mid-Atlantic > > coast in 1995 -- upwelling of cooler water in the aftermath of Hurricane Luis > > (over the same region a week or two earlier) was likely a factor in modulating > > the intensity of Marilyn. > > > > -Scott > > Scott, I can't reference this either, but I also saw this on TPC > discussions as well. In fact, I think this was the smae one where I also > noticed the warmer waters being pushed out ahead of the storm. > > We'll see what happens...looks like another tropical depression is about > to form west of Mexico. Clear banding of showers and thunderstorms toward > a common center... > > Gilbert Interesting...I haven't thought about that aspect of cyclones, but at least in a shallow layer of water I can see how currents would be disrupted, given the fact that we have strong winds acting against 2-4 mph ocean currents. No, I can't cite any references on this either, except for my own deductive reasoning. This phenomenon should be visible to some extent in the stratus/cumulus patterns on visible sat pics, depending on pre-existing conditions. I'll have to look into this... Matt ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Matt Rehwald The Home Office: Forecaster, Weatherbank Inc. 330 Crestview Drive Edmond, OK <*> PO Box 2772 synoptic@xmission.com Park City, UT 84060-2772 ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 15 Sep 1997 to 16 Sep 1997 ************************************************** From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627252-20306>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 13:27:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA39318; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 00:21:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6318814 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 00:20:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA42262 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 00:20:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id AAA09398 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 00:20:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709170520.AAA09398@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Sep 1997 00:20:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 82c45a443b50f408c7ea63a6bcd3ab7a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1688 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 055 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 170153Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 170151Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 170000Z8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02C (OLIWA) WAS LOCATED AT 36.3N2 136.1E1 MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02C (OLIWA) WARNING NR 58 (WTPN32 PGTW 170300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 170000Z8 TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WAS LOCATED AT 25.4N1 147.9E1 MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 80 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 22 (WTPN31 PGTW 170300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627270-20312>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 13:31:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA29680; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 00:22:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6318821 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 00:22:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA35348 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 00:20:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id AAA09397 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 00:20:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709170520.AAA09397@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Sep 1997 00:20:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b8240f42659a755367d1115b79a717b4 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1634 Status: OR 055 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 170153Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 170151Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 170000Z8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02C (OLIWA) WAS LOCATED AT 36.3N2 136.1E1 MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02C (OLIWA) WARNING NR 58 (WTPN32 PGTW 170300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 170000Z8 TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WAS LOCATED AT 25.4N1 147.9E1 MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 80 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 22 (WTPN31 PGTW 170300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627328-20306>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 14:08:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA21812; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 01:01:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6319136 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 01:00:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA43738 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 01:00:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA09418 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 01:00:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709170600.BAA09418@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Sep 1997 01:00:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Intermediate Advisory Number 3a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: afd3955e38e8d4ce7433f0119de2802d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1762 Status: OR 639 WTPZ31 KNHC 170600 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NORA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 PM PDT TUE SEP 16 1997 ...NORA HAS MOVED LITTLE... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM PUNTA MALDONADO TO LAZARO CARDENAS AND HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES. AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.8 WEST OR ABOUT 340 MILES...545 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. NORA HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO RESUME TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES ...185 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. OUTER RAIN BANDS ARE SPREADING OVER PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MEXICO ACCOMPANIED BY THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...14.5 N...102.8 W. MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT...WEDNESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627280-20312>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 14:24:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA25690; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 01:15:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6319222 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 01:15:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA44360 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 01:15:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA09446 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 01:14:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709170614.BAA09446@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Sep 1997 01:14:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 02c (oliwa) Warning Nr 059 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d0a7203801cf0af8ae0d7f17c3377f85 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1603 Status: OR 078 WTPN32 PGTW 170900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02C (OLIWA) WARNING NR 059 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- 37.8N8 138.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 37.8N8 138.1E3 --- 06 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 39.1N3 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION 38.4N5 139.1E4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02C (OLIWA) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 19 KNOTS AND CONTINUES WEAKENING. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS FORECAST TO BE COMPLETE WITHIN 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z IS 12 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON DAVID (21W) (WTPN31 PGTW) WARNINGS AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627318-20312>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 14:42:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA36554; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 01:25:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6319264 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 01:25:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA43680 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 01:25:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA09454 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 01:25:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709170625.BAA09454@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Sep 1997 01:25:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 02c (oliwa) Warning Nr 059 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c967f3b4751d6869ea26dfe7f4d7e154 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1601 Status: OR 359 WTPN32 PGTW 170900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02C (OLIWA) WARNING NR 059 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- 37.8N8 138.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 37.8N8 138.1E3 --- 06 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 39.1N3 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION 38.4N5 139.1E4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02C (OLIWA) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 19 KNOTS AND CONTINUES WEAKENING. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS FORECAST TO BE COMPLETE WITHIN 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z IS 12 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON DAVID (21W) (WTPN31 PGTW) WARNINGS AND SIX- HOURLY UPDAS FOR FURTHER DETAILS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627328-20309>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 16:49:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA35386; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 02:31:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6319431 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 02:31:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA20490 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 02:31:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA09496 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 02:31:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709170731.CAA09496@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Sep 1997 02:31:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon David (21w) Warning Nr 023 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d771aad776c424d33b071c7744126b2a X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3585 Status: OR 843 WTPN31 PGTW 170900 1. TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- 25.8N5 146.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 245 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.8N5 146.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 27.5N4 143.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 275 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 240 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 30.5N8 142.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 235 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 34.9N6 143.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 205 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 33 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 40.0N4 148.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 38 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 50.8N3 164.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION 26.2N0 145.5E5 TYPHOON DAVID (21W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TURNING NORTHWARD, THEN NORTHEASTWARD AND ACCELERATE. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL INCREASE ABOVE THIS SYSTEM AFTER 12 HOURS. THIS WILL CAUSE TYPHOON DAVID (21W) TO BEGIN TO WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8), 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4), 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6) AND 180900Z8 (DTG 180751Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627919-20312>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 16:53:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA35262; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 03:31:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6319529 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 03:30:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA26750 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 03:30:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA09689 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 03:30:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709170830.DAA09689@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Sep 1997 03:30:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d194811ddf803fcf3f406b7877ce6012 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1830 Status: OR 703 WTPZ31 KNHC 170830 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NORA ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT WED SEP 17 1997 ...NORA MOVING LITTLE...GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER-ORGANIZED... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM PUNTA MALDONADO TO LAZARO CARDENAS AND HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.7 WEST OR ABOUT 355 MILES...570 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. NORA HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS BUT A NORTWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO RESUME TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES ...185 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. OUTER RAIN BANDS ARE SPREADING OVER PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MEXICO ACCOMPANIED BY THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...14.3 N...102.7 W. MOVEMENT... NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM PDT. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627321-20312>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 17:36:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA22008; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 03:32:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6319534 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 03:31:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA33968 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 03:31:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA09702 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 03:31:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709170831.DAA09702@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Sep 1997 03:31:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Forecast/advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 47c379dc0898e1b18e89359ba2ec5ef9 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1986 Status: OR 740 WTPZ21 KNHC 170831 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 0900Z WED SEP 17 1997 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM PUNTA MALDONADO TO LAZARO CARDENAS AND HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 102.7W AT 17/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 102.7W AT 17/0900Z AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 102.6W FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 14.9N 103.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 16.0N 104.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 17.0N 105.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 102.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 18.0N 106.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 19.5N 109.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627915-20306>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 16:55:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA32432; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 03:36:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6319543 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 03:35:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA43902 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 03:35:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA09710 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 03:35:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709170835.DAA09710@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Sep 1997 03:35:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Discussion Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 77f0baed701ae0184074b05a72f5dfcd X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1972 Status: OR 751 WTPZ41 KNHC 170834 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT WED SEP 17 1997 THE CENTER IS NOT WELL-DEFINED...BUT BEST ESTIMATES INDICATE LITTLE MOVEMENT OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. LATEST RUNS OF THE TRACK PREDICTION MODELS ARE ALL TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS NHC FORECAST...SO THE CURRENT OFFICIAL FORECAST IS ALSO ADJUSTED TO THE LEFT. THIS IS CLOSE TO THE LATEST GFDL MODEL TRACK. THE NCEP GLOBAL MODEL 500 MB PROGNOSIS SUGGESTS THAT THERE WILL BE ENOUGH OF A RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF NORA TO KEEP THE TRACK NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. HOWEVER...SINCE THERE IS UNCERTAINTY IN THESE FORECASTS...INTERESTS IN MEXICO SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS STORM. WATCHES/WARNINGS REMAIN IN PLACE ALONG THE COAST. THE STORM IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER-ORGANIZED. THERE IS NO CDO AT PRESENT BUT BANDING FEATURES ARE STARTING TO BECOME MORE PROMINENT. CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS A T3.0 ON THE DVORAK SCALE...45 KNOTS. SINCE VERTICAL SHEAR AND SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE...CONTINUED GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS PREDICTED. THE FORECAST FOR NORA TO BECOME A HURRICANE IN 36 HOURS IS PROBABLY A CONSERVATIVE ONE. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 17/0900Z 14.3N 102.7W 45 KTS 12HR VT 17/1800Z 14.9N 103.2W 50 KTS 24HR VT 18/0600Z 16.0N 104.2W 60 KTS 36HR VT 18/1800Z 17.0N 105.3W 65 KTS 48HR VT 19/0600Z 18.0N 106.5W 70 KTS 72HR VT 20/0600Z 19.5N 109.0W 85 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627915-20309>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 16:50:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA29608; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 03:41:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6319558 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 03:39:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA13638 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 03:39:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA09715 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 03:39:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709170839.DAA09715@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Sep 1997 03:39:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Forecast/advisory Number 31 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7736cebef815e597ec44007d0543e260 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1594 Status: OR 840 WTPZ24 KNHC 170838 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1497 0900Z WED SEP 17 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 127.5W AT 17/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT 34 KT.......175NE 150SE 150SW 175NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 175SE 175SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 127.5W AT 17/0900Z AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 127.2W FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 22.8N 128.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 22.8N 129.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 23.0N 130.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.8N 127.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 23.2N 132.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 23.5N 134.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626709-20309>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 16:50:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA26870; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 03:43:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6319565 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 03:42:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA09676 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 03:42:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA09723 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 03:42:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709170842.DAA09723@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Sep 1997 03:42:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Discussion Number 31 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f293b469ab9d90df06dc56f9f4ff3aa7 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1656 Status: OR 913 WTPZ44 KNHC 170841 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 31 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT WED SEP 17 1997 THE LARGE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION OF LINDA IS SLOW TO WIND DOWN. SATELLITE ESTIMATES HAVE BEEN INDICATING THAT THE SYSTEM IS BELOW TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY...BUT THE DVORAK TECHNIQUE MAY NOT BE VALID WHEN NO DEEP CONVECTION IS PRESENT. SINCE THE EARLIER...00Z...SHIP REPORT INDICATED 33 KNOTS OVER THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE CYCLONE...IT IS ASSUMED THAT STRONGER WINDS WERE PROBABLY OCCURRING OVER THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE. LINDA IS KEPT AT MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH FOR NOW BUT FURTHER WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED AND THE SYSTEM SHOULD BE DISSIPATING SOON. LINDA IS DRIFTING WESTWARD. A SLOW WESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST. IT IS ASSUMED THAT THIS SHALLOW CYCLONE WILL CONTINUED TO BE CARRIED ALONG BY THE LOW-LEVEL EASTERLIES. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 17/0900Z 22.8N 127.5W 35 KTS 12HR VT 17/1800Z 22.8N 128.0W 30 KTS 24HR VT 18/0600Z 22.8N 129.0W 30 KTS 36HR VT 18/1800Z 23.0N 130.5W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 19/0600Z 23.2N 132.0W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 20/0600Z 23.5N 134.5W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627484-20306>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 18:06:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA29478; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 05:02:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6320257 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 05:00:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA21998 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 05:00:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA09778 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 05:00:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709171000.FAA09778@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Sep 1997 05:00:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a47c535e2eab8f96005860771521d5fc X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 690 Status: OR 121 ABPA20 PHNL 171000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210AM HST WEDNESDAY SEPTEMBER 17 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH THURSDAY. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627922-20313>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 18:42:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA36442; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 05:32:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6320350 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 05:31:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA36400 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 05:31:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA09797 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 05:31:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709171031.FAA09797@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Sep 1997 05:31:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: dd5d454400c5d353d99975a6870875e2 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1227 Status: OR 726 ABPZ20 KNHC 171030 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED SEP 17 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON DEVELOPING TROPICAL STORM NORA LOCATED ABOUT 355 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO...AND ON WEAKENING TROPICAL STORM LINDA LOCATED ABOUT 1130 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM NORA CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ31 KNHC AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCPEP1. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM NORA CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ21 KNHC AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP1. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628021-20309>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 19:42:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id GAA25748; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 06:35:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6320683 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 06:33:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id GAA22014 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 06:33:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id GAA09834 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 06:33:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709171133.GAA09834@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Sep 1997 06:33:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Intermediate Advisory Number 4a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0da8e34f19e0f30efaf7594abcedf08d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1734 Status: OR 801 WTPZ31 KNHC 171133 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NORA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT WED SEP 17 1997 ...NORA NEARLY STATIONARY...GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER-ORGANIZED... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM PUNTA MALDONADO TO LAZARO CARDENAS AND HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES. AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.7 WEST OR ABOUT 355 MILES...570 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. NORA HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS BUT A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO RESUME TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES ...185 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. OUTER RAIN BANDS OF NORA COULD SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MEXICO TODAY. REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...14.3 N...102.7 W. MOVEMENT... NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628128-20306>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 21:39:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA35310; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 08:27:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6321547 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 08:27:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA26068 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 08:27:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id IAA09931 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 08:27:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709171327.IAA09931@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Sep 1997 08:27:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon David (21w) Warning Nr 024 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 71b8eb0b7e5ead2378f211ac412d185d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3145 Status: OR 678 WTPN31 PGTW 171500 1. TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 024 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 26.5N3 145.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.5N3 145.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 27.9N8 143.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 30.5N8 141.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 34.4N1 142.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 195 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 25 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 38.6N7 145.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 47.3N4 158.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION 26.8N6 144.6E5 TYPHOON DAVID (21W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4), 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6), 180900Z8 (DTG 180751Z2) AND 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628115-20312>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 22:55:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA08108; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 09:47:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6322105 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 09:44:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA28482 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 09:44:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA10114 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 09:44:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709171444.JAA10114@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Sep 1997 09:44:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 974b0a0ccb27f15c80908517913ae036 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1840 Status: OR 436 WTPZ31 KNHC 171441 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NORA ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT WED SEP 17 1997 ...NORA MOVING LITTLE...AND STRENGTHENING... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM PUNTA MALDONADO TO LAZARO CARDENAS AND HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.5 WEST OR ABOUT 355 MILES ...570 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. NORA HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS...BUT IS EXPECTED TO RESUME A NORTHWESTWARD DRIFT LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR ...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND NORA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES ...185 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. OUTER RAIN BANDS OF NORA COULD SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MEXICO TODAY. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...14.2 N...102.5 W. MOVEMENT... NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628098-20306>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 22:57:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA41742; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 09:50:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6322123 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 09:48:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA42358 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 09:44:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA10122 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 09:44:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709171444.JAA10122@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Sep 1997 09:44:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Forecast/advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 34e9db1d436d82879b396893f0a373ff X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2098 Status: OR 442 WTPZ21 KNHC 171443 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 1500Z WED SEP 17 1997 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM PUNTA MALDONADO TO LAZARO CARDENAS AND HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 102.5W AT 17/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT...NEARLY STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 102.5W AT 17/1500Z AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 102.6W FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 14.7N 103.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 15.8N 103.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 16.9N 104.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 102.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 18.0N 105.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 20.0N 108.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628144-20306>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 22:55:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA43662; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 09:48:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6322110 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 09:47:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA33394 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 09:44:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA10118 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 09:44:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709171444.JAA10118@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Sep 1997 09:44:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Discussion Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6700da84c2861b9e224333aebfba62be X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1894 Status: OR 441 WTPZ41 KNHC 171442 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT WED SEP 17 1997 DEEPEST CONVECTION IS NOW MUCH MORE CONCENTRATED NEAR THE CENTER... AND BANDING FEATURES LOOK MORE IMPRESSIVE. INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 55 KNOTS ...IN AGREEMENT WITH LATEST TAFB ESTIMATE. THE CYCLONE IS OVER 29 TO 30C WATER AND THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW PATTERN IS WELL ESTABLISHED. CONTINUED STRENGTHENING WILL OCCUR AND NORA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. SATELLITE CENTER FIXES HAVE SHOWN LITTLE MOVEMENT OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO MOVE THE MID LEVEL HIGH CURRENTLY OVER NORTHERN MEXICO EASTWARD AND WEAKEN IT. HOWEVER... LAST NIGHTS MRF...NOGAPS...AND UKMET DO NOT SHOW THE TROUGH NEAR THE U.S. WEST COAST PICKING UP THE TROPICAL CYCLONE...AND INDICATE A SLOW NORTHWESTWARD MOTION FOR NORA THAT KEEPS THE CENTER OFFSHORE. ON THE OTHER HAND...THE GFDL MODEL TURNS NORA MORE TOWARD THE NORTH IN ANOTHER 12 HOURS OR SO AND BRINGS THE CENTER NEAR CABO CORRIENTES NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. OUR OFFICIAL TRACK LEANS TOWARD THE GFDL. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 17/1500Z 14.2N 102.5W 55 KTS 12HR VT 18/0000Z 14.7N 103.0W 65 KTS 24HR VT 18/1200Z 15.8N 103.7W 70 KTS 36HR VT 19/0000Z 16.9N 104.5W 75 KTS 48HR VT 19/1200Z 18.0N 105.5W 80 KTS 72HR VT 20/1200Z 20.0N 108.0W 90 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628149-20309>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 23:00:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA21768; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 09:52:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6322142 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 09:50:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA44446 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 09:44:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA10126 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 09:44:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709171444.JAA10126@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Sep 1997 09:44:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Linda Discussion Number 32 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9357a9edd8b75d8d2a061e7ee0c2df4d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1497 Status: OR 443 WTPZ44 KNHC 171444 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 32 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT WED SEP 17 1997 SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW A LARGE...MOSTLY LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER...THERE IS NO DEEP CONVECTION AND THEREFORE MOST SATELLITE ANALYSTS ARE NOT EVEN CLASSIFYING THE SYSTEM ON THE DVORAK TECHNIQUE. IN THE ABSENCE OF ANY SHIP REPORTS...LINDA IS BEING DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITH 30 KNOT SUSTAINED WINDS AND GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. LINDA WAS ONCE SO POWERFUL THAT IT IS STILL EXPECTED TO TAKE SOME TIME TO SPIN DOWN. LINDA IS CONTINUING TO DRIFT WESTWARD. THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW SHOULD CONTINUE THIS GENERAL MOTION UNTIL THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 17/1500Z 23.0N 128.0W 30 KTS 12HR VT 18/0000Z 23.2N 128.6W 30 KTS 24HR VT 18/1200Z 23.3N 129.6W 30 KTS 36HR VT 19/0000Z 23.5N 130.7W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 19/1200Z 23.8N 132.1W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 20/1200Z 24.5N 134.5W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628040-20312>; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 23:01:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA15886; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 09:54:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6322155 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 09:52:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA42432 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 09:44:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA10130 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 09:44:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709171444.JAA10130@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Sep 1997 09:44:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Linda Forecast/advisory Number 32 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e1b41344cd9e9b720c3c584ec02c559d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1498 Status: OR 466 WTPZ24 KNHC 171445 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1497 1500Z WED SEP 17 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 128.0W AT 17/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 128.0W AT 17/1500Z AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 127.7W FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 23.2N 128.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 23.3N 129.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 23.5N 130.7W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.0N 128.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 23.8N 132.1W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 24.5N 134.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628007-20312>; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 01:45:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA26528; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 12:28:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6323891 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 12:27:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA36912 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 12:27:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA10800 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 12:26:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709171726.MAA10800@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Sep 1997 12:26:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0425b730e87b3f7183ab352f48f49675 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1226 Status: OR 609 ABPZ20 KNHC 171724 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED SEP 17 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON DEVELOPING TROPICAL STORM NORA LOCATED ABOUT 355 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO...AND ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA LOCATED ABOUT 1165 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM NORA CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ31 KNHC AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCPEP1. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM NORA CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ21 KNHC AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP1. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628091-20309>; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 01:46:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA22886; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 12:35:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6323949 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 12:34:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA24230 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 12:32:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA10879 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 12:32:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709171732.MAA10879@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Sep 1997 12:32:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0f26b5dfc7d331ffa9439d8fd68a9b92 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 939 Status: OR 663 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171800Z/181800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/HONG/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628122-20313>; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 01:47:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA35428; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 12:34:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6323942 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 12:32:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA24706 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 12:32:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA10880 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 12:32:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709171732.MAA10880@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Sep 1997 12:32:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4f349ef4cf3602addfeb88926b54002b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 990 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 663 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171800Z/181800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/HONG/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628052-20313>; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 02:07:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA40886; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 12:45:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6324023 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 12:44:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA31188 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 12:44:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA10908 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 12:44:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709171744.MAA10908@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Sep 1997 12:44:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Intermediate Advisory Number 5a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d33c7e7016c473665e563bb108064d65 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1784 Status: OR 835 WTPZ31 KNHC 171743 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NORA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT WED SEP 17 1997 ...NORA NEARLY STATIONARY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM PUNTA MALDONADO TO LAZARO CARDENAS AND HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES. AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.5 WEST OR ABOUT 355 MILES ...570 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. NORA HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR THE PAST 12 TO 18 HOURS...BUT IS EXPECTED TO RESUME A NORTHWESTWARD DRIFT LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS ...AND NORA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES ...185 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. OUTER RAIN BANDS OF NORA COULD SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MEXICO TODAY. REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...14.2 N...102.5 W. MOVEMENT... NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628245-20313>; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 04:09:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA16394; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 14:55:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6325239 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 14:54:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA14206 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 14:54:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id OAA11232 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 14:54:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709171954.OAA11232@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Sep 1997 14:54:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon David (21w) Warning Nr 025 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6dab05e7fb5b949216ff507d6113b417 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3253 Status: OR 607 WTPN31 PGTW 172100 1. TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 025 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- 27.2N1 143.6E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 27.2N1 143.6E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 28.7N7 142.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 31.2N6 141.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 35.5N3 142.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 31 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 40.3N7 147.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 190 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 37 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 49.2N5 164.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 172100Z1 POSITION 27.6N5 143.3E1 TYPHOON DAVID (21W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. WIND RADII ADJUSTED BASED ON A 171248Z MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS FROM WMO=S 47981 AND 47971. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6), 180900Z8 (DTG 180751Z2), 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9) AND 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628162-20313>; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 04:33:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA44196; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 15:19:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6325438 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 15:18:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA24054 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 15:17:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA11270 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 15:17:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709172017.PAA11270@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Sep 1997 15:17:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Forecast/advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6a5b1a3b8c8fbcf1b7ecd96aba052d29 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2113 Status: OR 056 WTPZ21 KNHC 172018 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 2100Z WED SEP 17 1997 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM PUNTA MALDONADO TO LAZARO CARDENAS. THE HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 102.7W AT 17/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT...NEARLY STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 200SE 200SW 200NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 102.7W AT 17/2100Z AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 102.7W FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 15.0N 103.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 16.0N 104.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 17.0N 105.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 102.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 18.1N 106.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 20.5N 110.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628238-20306>; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 04:30:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA32580; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 15:21:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6325446 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 15:19:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA32512 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 15:18:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA11275 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 15:18:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709172018.PAA11275@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Sep 1997 15:18:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Discussion Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cec6db5bfe446555b8793ba309986b6d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2212 Status: OR 057 WTPZ41 KNHC 172017 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT WED SEP 17 1997 DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS CONCENTRATED NEAR THE CENTER...AND BANDING FEATURES ARE IMPRESSIVE. INITIAL INTENSITY IS 55 KNOTS...IN AGREEMENT WITH SATELLITE ESTIMATES FROM SAB...AFGWC...AND TAFB. THE CYCLONE IS OVER 29 TO 30C WATER AND THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW PATTERN IS FAIRLY WELL ESTABLISHED. CONTINUED STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR AND NORA IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE HAS MOVED LITTLE OVER THE PAST 18 HOURS...BUT ALL GUIDANCE NOW INDICATES A RESUMPTION OF THE NORTHWESTWARD MOTION. THE MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE OVER NORTHERN MEXICO IS FORECAST TO REMAIN ANCHORED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...FINALLY WEAKENING LATER IN THIS FORECAST PERIOD. THE TROUGH CURRENTLY MOVING ONTO THE U.S. WEST COAST DOES NOT APPEAR TO EXTEND FAR ENOUGH TO THE SOUTH TO TURN NORA INTO MAINLAND MEXICO. OUR CURRENT TRACK IS A BLEND OF THE GUIDANCE AND CLOSEST TO THE DEEP LAYER BAM. IF IS COMFORTING TO SEE THE TREND OF THE GFDL...WHICH EARLIER INDICATED A MORE NORTHWARD MOTION TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO...AND IS NOW EVEN TO THE LEFT OF THE OTHER MODELS. GIVEN THE CURRENT TRACK...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO PUNTA MALDONADO. THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES REMAINS IN EFFECT. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 17/2100Z 14.2N 102.7W 55 KTS 12HR VT 18/0600Z 15.0N 103.5W 65 KTS 24HR VT 18/1800Z 16.0N 104.5W 70 KTS 36HR VT 19/0600Z 17.0N 105.5W 75 KTS 48HR VT 19/1800Z 18.1N 106.8W 80 KTS 72HR VT 20/1800Z 20.5N 110.0W 90 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628193-20312>; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 04:34:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA34078; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 15:23:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6325482 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 15:21:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA09362 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 15:19:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA11280 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 15:19:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709172019.PAA11280@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Sep 1997 15:19:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c7bd1c494088a3aadc2d3d673206dabf X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1920 Status: OR 100 WTPZ31 KNHC 172019 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NORA ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT WED SEP 17 1997 ...NORA NEARLY STATIONARY OFF SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM PUNTA MALDONADO TO LAZARO CARDENAS. THE HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.7 WEST OR ABOUT 355 MILES...570 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. NORA HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR THE PAST 18 HOURS...BUT IS EXPECTED TO RESUME A NORTHWESTWARD DRIFT LATER TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... AND NORA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES ...185 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. OUTER RAIN BANDS OF NORA COULD SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MEXICO TONIGHT. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...14.2 N...102.7 W. MOVEMENT... NEARLY STATIONARY BUT EXPECTED TO RESUME A DRIFT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628311-20306>; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 04:57:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA41976; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 15:40:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6325569 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 15:39:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA23052 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 15:39:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA11318 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 15:39:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709172039.PAA11318@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Sep 1997 15:39:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Linda Discussion Number 33 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ab307eb56022e8e04ecd8c336f2328d3 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1489 Status: OR 353 WTPZ44 KNHC 172039 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 33 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT WED SEP 17 1997 SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW A LARGE...MOSTLY LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION THAT IS BECOMING ELONGATED NORTH/SOUTH. THE CENTER IS LOSING DEFINITION...AND IN FACT THE SATELLITE FIXES ARE ABOUT 85 MILES APART. DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN ABSENT FOR OVER 24 HOURS...AND MOST SATELLITE ANALYSTS ARE NOT EVEN CLASSIFYING THE SYSTEM ON THE DVORAK TECHNIQUE. LINDA WILL CONTINUE TO SPIN DOWN WHILE SLOWLY MOVING GENERALLY TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST IN THE LOW LEVEL FLOW. THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED ON LINDA. FUTURE INFORMATION WILL BE CONTAINED IN THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC AND UNDER AFOS HEADER NFDHSFEP1. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 17/2100Z 23.6N 128.2W 30 KTS 12HR VT 18/0600Z 23.7N 128.8W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 18/1800Z 24.0N 129.8W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 19/0600Z 24.5N 131.0W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628232-20306>; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 04:50:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA41944; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 15:42:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6325575 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 15:41:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA15418 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 15:39:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA11324 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 15:39:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709172039.PAA11324@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Sep 1997 15:39:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Linda Forecast/advisory Number 33 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fbfbd80e9e28b24dd643dc5a0de6c49c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1499 Status: OR 383 WTPZ24 KNHC 172040 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1497 2100Z WED SEP 17 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 128.2W AT 17/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 128.2W AT 17/2100Z AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 128.0W FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 23.7N 128.8W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 24.0N 129.8W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 24.5N 131.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.6N 128.2W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION WILL BE CONTAINED IN THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC AND UNDER AFOS HEADER NFDHSFEP1. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628068-20313>; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 06:02:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA15740; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 16:56:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6326230 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 16:55:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA35870 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 16:55:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA11631 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 16:55:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709172155.QAA11631@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Sep 1997 16:55:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 996be062588aa1217ede0172a0b2ccbc X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 687 Status: OR 745 ABPA20 PHNL 172200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210PM HST WEDNESDAY SEPTEMBER 17 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH THURSDAY. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626107-18173>; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 07:44:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA12356; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 18:31:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6326851 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 18:29:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id SAA23510 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 18:29:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id SAA12082 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 18:29:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709172329.SAA12082@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Sep 1997 18:29:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Intermediate Advisory Number 6a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1fb7ad0a0fb1808e5782c9bbf3bcf8eb X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1763 Status: OR 617 WTPZ31 KNHC 172330 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NORA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT WED SEP 17 1997 ...NORA REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY OFF SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO... A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES. AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.7 WEST OR ABOUT 355 MILES...570 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. NORA HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR THE PAST 21 HOURS...BUT IS EXPECTED TO RESUME A NORTHWESTWARD DRIFT LATER TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... AND NORA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES ...185 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. OUTER RAIN BANDS OF NORA COULD SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MEXICO TONIGHT. REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...14.2 N...102.7 W. MOVEMENT... NEARLY STATIONARY BUT EXPECTED TO RESUME A DRIFT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE AT 8 PM PDT. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627012-18174>; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 07:44:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA24944; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 18:35:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6326874 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 18:33:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id SAA04828 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 18:33:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id SAA12087 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 18:33:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709172333.SAA12087@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Sep 1997 18:33:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: facd33d92ba888c64e7b0b4fc8667c28 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 992 Status: OR 687 ABPZ20 KNHC 172333 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED SEP 17 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM NORA LOCATED ABOUT 355 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM NORA CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ31 KNHC AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCPEP1. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 10:16:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627934-18174>; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 10:04:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA44090; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 20:50:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6328068 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 20:50:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA14360 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 20:50:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id UAA12420 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 20:50:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709180150.UAA12420@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Sep 1997 20:50:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon David (21w) Warning Nr 026 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e4e8643e2bfbd8ca0ba91570b6c2132a X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2764 Status: OR 248 WTPN31 PGTW 180300 1. TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 026 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 28.4N4 142.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.4N4 142.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 30.5N8 141.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 33.2N8 141.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 37.2N2 144.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 33 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 42.4N0 149.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION 28.9N9 142.2E9 TYPHOON DAVID IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN 48 HOURS AS IT RECURVES. A 48 HOUR FORECAST IS PROVIDED BECAUSE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE 30 KNOTS OR LESS AFTER THIS TIME. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z9 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8 (DTG 180751Z2), 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9), 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5) AND 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 11:02:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627094-18174>; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 10:44:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA23394; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 21:31:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6328268 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 21:30:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA18160 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 21:30:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA12474 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 21:29:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709180229.VAA12474@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Sep 1997 21:29:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Advisory Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0a91f800d419d82d4aa6ae839ec44663 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1666 Status: OR 071 WTPZ31 KNHC 180230 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NORA ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT WED SEP 17 1997 A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.0 WEST OR ABOUT 335 MILES...540 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. NORA IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH... 4 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES ...185 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. OUTER RAIN BANDS OF NORA COULD SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MEXICO TONIGHT. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...14.4 N...103.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM PDT...THURSDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 11:02:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626054-18173>; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 10:43:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA23452; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 21:33:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6328273 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 21:31:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA22804 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 21:30:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA12478 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 21:30:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709180230.VAA12478@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Sep 1997 21:30:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Discussion Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 789934f649e78f1d103b7e54f547a66c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1949 Status: OR 072 WTPZ41 KNHC 180230 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT WED SEP 17 1997 DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS CONCENTRATED NEAR THE CENTER...AND BANDING FEATURES REMAIN IMPRESSIVE. HOWEVER INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS AT 55 KNOTS...IN AGREEMENT WITH SATELLITE ESTIMATES FROM SAB...AFGWC...AND TAFB. THE CYCLONE REMAINS OVER VERY WARM WATER. HOWEVER THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW PATTERN APPEARS TO BE IMPEDED IN THE NORTHERN QUADRANT BY NORTHEASTERLY FLOW FROM AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTHWEST FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO. IF NORA MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AS FORECAST THIS IMPEDIMENT MAY DISAPPEAR AND CONTINUED STRENGTHENING SHOULD OCCUR. NORA IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE HAS MOVED LITTLE OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS...BUT A POSSIBLE DRIFT TO THE NORTHWEST MAY BE OCCURRING. ALL GUIDANCE INDICATES A RESUMPTION OF THE NORTHWESTWARD MOTION. OUR CURRENT TRACK IS A BLEND OF THE GUIDANCE AND OUR 72-HR POSITION IS VERY CLOSE TO THE GFDL 72-HR POSITION. SINCE THE STORM REMAINS NEAR THE COAST...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN A HURRICANE WATCH FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/0300Z 14.4N 103.0W 60 KTS 12HR VT 18/1200Z 14.7N 103.5W 65 KTS 24HR VT 19/0000Z 15.4N 104.6W 70 KTS 36HR VT 19/1200Z 16.3N 105.9W 75 KTS 48HR VT 20/0000Z 17.4N 107.4W 80 KTS 72HR VT 21/0000Z 20.0N 111.0W 90 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 11:02:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627254-18174>; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 10:42:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA23306; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 21:34:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6328278 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 21:33:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA37736 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 21:31:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA12482 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 1997 21:31:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709180231.VAA12482@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 17 Sep 1997 21:31:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Forecast/advisory Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 965ce71595142c985dcd2459d16e9f5d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2025 Status: OR 105 WTPZ21 KNHC 180231 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 0300Z THU SEP 18 1997 A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 103.0W AT 18/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..240NE 200SE 200SW 240NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 103.0W AT 18/0300Z AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 102.9W FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 14.7N 103.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 15.4N 104.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 16.3N 105.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 103.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 17.4N 107.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 20.0N 111.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 14:54:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <631553-18174>; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 14:07:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA29576; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 01:00:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6329501 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 00:59:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA24090 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 00:59:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id AAA12715 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 00:58:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709180558.AAA12715@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 00:58:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Advisory Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ff26a5b6916dc9e858256c01c3617444 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1669 Status: OR 820 WTPZ31 KNHC 180559 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NORA ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT WED SEP 17 1997 ...NORA NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH...STILL DRIFTING VERY SLOWLY... A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES. AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.4 WEST OR ABOUT 345 MILES...555 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. NORA DRIFTED WESTWARD DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. A SLOW WESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY...AND NORA WILL PROBABLY BECOME A HURRICANE ON THURSDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES ...185 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. OUTER RAIN BANDS OF NORA COULD SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MEXICO ON THURSDAY. REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...14.3 N...103.4 W. MOVEMENT...DRIFTING WESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT...THURSDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 14:54:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626097-18174>; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 14:23:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA43494; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 01:15:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6329522 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 01:14:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA18110 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 01:14:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA12736 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 01:14:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709180614.BAA12736@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 01:14:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d5d1d212c9b03a4dac3e1ccc717f226c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1624 Status: OR 269 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 170753Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 180151Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 170600Z4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02C (OLIWA) WAS LOCATED AT 37.8N8 138.1E3 MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 19 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02C (OLIWA) WARNING NR 59 (WTPN32 PGTW 170900)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 180000Z8 TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WAS LOCATED AT 28.4N4 142.5E2 MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 26 (WTPN31 PGTW 180300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 18 14:54:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628014-18173>; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 14:25:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA43356; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 01:17:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6329527 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 01:16:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA24256 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 01:14:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA12737 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 01:14:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709180614.BAA12737@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 01:14:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bd4e8d902aff783c1c75b0812777b19e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1678 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 269 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 170753Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 180151Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 170600Z4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02C (OLIWA) WAS LOCATED AT 37.8N8 138.1E3 MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 19 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02C (OLIWA) WARNING NR 59 (WTPN32 PGTW 170900)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 180000Z8 TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WAS LOCATED AT 28.4N4 142.5E2 MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 26 (WTPN31 PGTW 180300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 09:27:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626047-18172>; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 16:22:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA43446; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 03:13:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6329804 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 03:12:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA08586 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 03:12:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA12973 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 03:12:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709180812.DAA12973@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 03:12:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon David (21w) Warning Nr 027 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f914c1b7b409238bcbf76d3d405961b4 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2944 Status: OR 640 WTPN31 PGTW 180900 1. TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 027 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- 29.0N1 141.6E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.1N2 142.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 32.2N7 141.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 36.7N6 143.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 37 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 42.8N4 148.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 40 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 48.0N2 157.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION 29.9N0 141.7E3 TYPHOON DAVID (21W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TURNING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE RAPIDLY AS IT ENTERS THE DEEP LAYER WESTERLY STEERING FLOW TO ITS NORTH. OVERALL ACCELERATION ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN INCREASED SINCE OUR LAST WARNING, CONSISTENT WITH DYNAMIC GUIDANCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z5 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9), 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5), 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7) AND 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 09:27:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626052-18169>; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 16:58:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA34536; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 03:32:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6329825 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 03:31:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA08644 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 03:31:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA12987 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 03:31:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709180831.DAA12987@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 03:31:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1713179239c0194665c188a1eb83c03f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2093 Status: OR 936 WTPZ41 KNHC 180831 TCDEP1 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT THU SEP 18 1997 LATEST INTENSITY ESTIMATE FROM TAFB MIAMI IS 65 KNOTS SO NORA IS UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE. NO EYE IS EVIDENT BUT NORA CONTINUES TO HAVE INTENSE CENTRAL CONVECTION ON IR IMAGERY. THE CENTER IS EMBEDDED IN VERY COLD...LOWER THAN -80C...CLOUD TOPS. ALTHOUGH OUTFLOW IS SOMEWHAT INHIBITED TO THE NORTH...IT SEEMS LIKELY THAT STRENGTHENING WILL CONTINUE. MOTION CONTINUES SLOW. ALTHOUGH CENTER FIXES ARE STILL SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN...NORA APPARENTLY DRIFTED A BIT TO THE WEST A FEW HOURS AGO. IT NOW APPEARS TO BE MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. THE NCEP GLOBAL MODEL PREDICTION SHOWS THAT THE 500 MB TROUGH CURRENTLY CROSSING THE U.S. WEST COAST WILL LEAVE A WEAK CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BEHIND OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA...WHILE THE MAIN PART OF THE TROUGH CONTINUES EASTWARD AT HIGHER LATITUDES. THIS WEAK CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO HAVE A TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTHWARD TO NEAR 25N LATITUDE IN ABOUT 3 DAYS. IT IS TOO EARLY TO TELL WHETHER THIS TROUGH WILL INFLUENCE THE MOTION OF NORA AND TURN IT MORE TO THE NORTH NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE LATEST NOGAPS MODEL RUN SUGGESTS THAT IT WILL. HOWEVER...MOST OF OUR TRACK MODELS SHOW A GENERAL NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IN 1 TO 3 DAYS...AS DOES THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/0900Z 14.5N 103.7W 65 KTS 12HR VT 18/1800Z 14.5N 104.0W 70 KTS 24HR VT 19/0600Z 15.2N 105.0W 75 KTS 36HR VT 19/1800Z 16.0N 106.0W 80 KTS 48HR VT 20/0600Z 17.0N 107.5W 85 KTS 72HR VT 21/0600Z 19.5N 110.5W 100 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 09:27:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626016-18169>; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 16:53:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA04748; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 03:35:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6329830 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 03:33:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA04610 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 03:33:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA12991 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 03:33:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709180833.DAA12991@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 03:33:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e33303c79d974bc0eb8f03bc3ef8b6f7 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1766 Status: OR 963 WTPZ31 KNHC 180832 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT THU SEP 18 1997 ...NORA BECOMES A HURRICANE... A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.7 WEST OR ABOUT 325 MILES...525 KM...SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH ... 6 KM/HR...AND A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES. OUTER RAIN BANDS OF NORA COULD SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MEXICO TODAY. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...14.5 N...103.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM PDT. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 09:27:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626062-18173>; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 17:01:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA04814; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 03:36:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6329835 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 03:35:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA26890 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 03:33:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA12995 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 03:33:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709180833.DAA12995@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 03:33:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: eaa680c83b399e681a24686ccfa5e40d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2053 Status: OR 964 WTPZ21 KNHC 180833 TCMEP1 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 0900Z THU SEP 18 1997 A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 103.7W AT 18/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..200NE 200SE 200SW 250NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 103.7W AT 18/0900Z AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 103.4W FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 14.5N 104.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 15.2N 105.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 16.0N 106.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 103.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 17.0N 107.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 19.5N 110.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 09:27:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626085-18174>; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 17:50:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA26938; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 04:48:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6330218 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 04:47:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA14346 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 04:47:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA13085 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 04:47:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709180947.EAA13085@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 04:47:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cb557ea7f52c387b92380f3e5853f734 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 688 Status: OR 168 ABPA20 PHNL 171000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST THURSDAY SEPTEMBER 18 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH FRIDAY. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 09:27:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626072-18172>; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 18:34:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA09378; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 05:28:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6330344 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 05:26:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA23406 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 05:26:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA13112 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 05:26:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709181026.FAA13112@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 05:26:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2259babadbf4bc4f24fc1e2cc4330d58 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 909 Status: OR 037 ABPZ20 KNHC 181024 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU SEP 18 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NORA...RECENTLY UPGRADED FROM A TROPICAL STORM...LOCATED ABOUT 335 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 09:27:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627098-24344>; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 18:48:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA44058; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 05:46:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6330422 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 05:45:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA04842 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 05:45:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA13145 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 05:45:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709181045.FAA13145@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 05:45:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8acc51b82a35ca66c1fd4f95d3382489 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 688 Status: OR 326 ABPA20 PHNL 181000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST THURSDAY SEPTEMBER 18 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH FRIDAY. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 09:27:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625951-25622>; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 19:46:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id GAA04524; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 06:40:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6330669 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 06:38:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id GAA43310 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 06:38:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id GAA13169 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 06:38:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709181138.GAA13169@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 06:38:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Intermediate Advisory Number 8a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4cfbcdf69f26c687abe9215c6c42085b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1780 Status: OR 312 WTPZ31 KNHC 181138 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT THU SEP 18 1997 ...NORA MEANDERING... A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES. AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.6 WEST OR ABOUT 345 MILES...555 KM...SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. NORA HAS BEEN MEANDERING FOR THE PAST FEW HOURS...SHOWING LITTLE OVERALL MOVEMENT. A SLOW WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY TODAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES. OUTER RAIN BANDS OF NORA COULD SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MEXICO TODAY. REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...14.1 N...103.6 W. MOVEMENT... NEARLY STATIONARY...BUT EXPECTED TO BEGIN A SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 09:27:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626149-25622>; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 21:50:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA30054; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 08:35:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6331167 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 08:34:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA23280 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 08:34:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id IAA13270 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 08:34:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709181334.IAA13270@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 08:34:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon David (21w) Warning Nr 028 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3b55df4e6d411d8a7fee6e2ed0ae5cb9 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2832 Status: OR 455 WTPN31 PGTW 181500 1. TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 028 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 30.4N7 141.6E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.4N7 141.6E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 33.3N9 141.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 38.2N3 144.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 43 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 44.4N2 152.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 46 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 49.3N6 163.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION 31.1N5 141.6E2 TYPHOON DAVID (21W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS. 21W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWARD FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND THEN NORTHEASTWARD THEREAFTER. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL NEAR THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z2 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5), 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7), 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3) AND 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 09:27:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627077-25623>; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 22:55:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA29452; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 09:45:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6331844 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 09:43:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA44148 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 09:43:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA13429 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 09:43:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709181443.JAA13429@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 09:43:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Advisory Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 44ffa074732c0c7c3b076e3f78373ca4 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1897 Status: OR 001 WTPZ31 KNHC 181443 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT THU SEP 18 1997 ...NORA MOVING LITTLE...AND STRENGTHENING... A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.5 WEST OR ABOUT 340 MILES...545 KM...SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. NORA HAS BEEN MEANDERING FOR THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...SHOWING LITTLE OVERALL MOVEMENT. A SLOW WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES...230 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 979 MB...28.91 INCHES. OUTER RAIN BANDS OF NORA COULD SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MEXICO TODAY. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...14.2 N...103.5 W. MOVEMENT... NEARLY STATIONARY...BUT EXPECTED TO BEGIN A SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 979 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 09:27:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627567-25625>; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 23:03:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA25380; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 09:46:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6331852 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 09:45:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA42556 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 09:44:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA13437 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 09:44:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709181444.JAA13437@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 09:44:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3b01f154d16437d814981ad0cc68c8ed X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2091 Status: OR 002 WTPZ41 KNHC 181444 TCDEP1 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT THU SEP 18 1997 SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A BANDING TYPE EYE AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 75 KNOTS...IN AGREEMENT WITH LATEST DVORAK ESTIMATE FROM TAFB. THE EYE IS LARGE AND RATHER RAGGED LOOKING BUT WILL LIKELY BECOME BETTER DEFINED WITH TIME. THE HURRICANE IS OVER WARM ...29 TO 30C...WATER AND THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW PATTERN IS BECOMING EVEN BETTER ESTABLISHED. CONTINUED STRENGTHENING WILL OCCUR AND THE WIND FIELDS WILL LIKELY EXPAND. NORA HAS BEEN MEANDERING FOR OVER 24 HOURS...WITH LITTLE OVERALL MOVEMENT. A DEEP-LAYER-MEAN ANTICYCLONE OVER NORTHERN MEXICO AND TEXAS HAS BEEN BLOCKING NORA FROM MOVING NORTHWARD TOWARD THE MEXICAN COAST. THIS ANTICYCLONE IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY MOVE EASTWARD...WHILE A 500 MB LOW CUTS OFF AT THE BASE OF THE TROUGH CURRENTLY NEAR THE U.S. WEST COAST. THE RESULTING STEERING FOR NORA SHOULD BE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WHICH IS INDICATED BY ALL OF THE GUIDANCE MODELS. OUR OFFICIAL FORECAST IS IN THE MIDDLE OF THE PACK OF THE GUIDANCE MODELS...AND IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY... AND IN FACT SIMILAR TO THE FORECAST FROM ABOUT 24 HOURS AGO. IT IS NOT CLEAR IF THE CUTOFF LOW WILL EVENTUALLY TURN NORA MORE TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR THE END OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/1500Z 14.2N 103.5W 75 KTS 12HR VT 19/0000Z 14.4N 104.0W 85 KTS 24HR VT 19/1200Z 14.7N 104.6W 90 KTS 36HR VT 20/0000Z 15.9N 105.8W 95 KTS 48HR VT 20/1200Z 17.3N 107.1W 100 KTS 72HR VT 21/1200Z 20.5N 110.0W 100 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 09:27:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627094-25624>; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 22:58:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA15622; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 09:48:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6331863 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 09:47:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA16464 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 09:45:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA13448 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 09:45:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709181445.JAA13448@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 09:45:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a74285080657ddeecf59fd08c575644e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2026 Status: OR 028 WTPZ21 KNHC 181445 TCMEP1 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 1500Z THU SEP 18 1997 A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 103.5W AT 18/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT...NEARLY STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..275NE 275SE 275SW 275NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 103.5W AT 18/1500Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 103.5W FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 14.4N 104.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 14.7N 104.6W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 175SW 175NW FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 15.9N 105.8W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 175SW 175NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 103.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 17.3N 107.1W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 20.5N 110.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 09:27:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627918-25623>; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 00:51:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA31604; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 11:34:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6332615 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 11:33:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA12958 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 11:30:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id LAA13807 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 11:30:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709181630.LAA13807@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 11:30:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bc6746544e54e3d09ebf04324d0c0699 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1002 Status: OR 265 ABPZ20 KNHC 181630 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU SEP 18 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NORA LOCATED ABOUT 340 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THE REMNANT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION FORMERLY ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA IS LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES WEST OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 09:27:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628099-25625>; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 01:32:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA27082; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 12:28:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6333337 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 12:26:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA17098 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 12:23:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA13983 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 12:23:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709181723.MAA13983@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 12:23:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ad68e67af26755bac82eb07ac943e3cc X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 949 Status: OR 299 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/191800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/EIBLING/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 09:27:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628030-25624>; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 01:31:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA27088; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 12:26:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6333329 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 12:25:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA19660 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 12:23:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA13982 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 12:23:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709181723.MAA13982@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 12:23:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 193bcf30b63c1fe4c8d73fdfac20809f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1000 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 299 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/191800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/EIBLING/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 09:27:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628131-25623>; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 01:57:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA24150; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 12:45:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6333474 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 12:42:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA23400 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 12:42:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA14014 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 12:42:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709181742.MAA14014@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 12:42:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Intermediate Advisory Number 9a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fd029a9563d980db08d53d85cc654b94 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1915 Status: OR 575 WTPZ31 KNHC 181742 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT THU SEP 18 1997 ...NORA REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY... A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES. AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.5 WEST OR ABOUT 340 MILES...545 KM...SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. NORA HAS BEEN MEANDERING FOR THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...SHOWING LITTLE OVERALL MOVEMENT. A SLOW WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES...230 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 979 MB...28.91 INCHES. RADAR IMAGES FROM ACAPULCO INDICATE SOME OF THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF NORA CURRENTLY SPREADING OVER PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MEXICO PRIMARILY IN THE STATE OF GUERRERO. REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...14.2 N...103.5 W. MOVEMENT... NEARLY STATIONARY...BUT EXPECTED TO BEGIN A SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 979 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 09:27:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628146-25625>; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 03:44:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA37796; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 14:32:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6334034 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 14:31:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA34436 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 14:31:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id OAA14425 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 14:31:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709181931.OAA14425@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 14:31:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon David (21w) Warning Nr 029 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9eaeeea2f113eb8c5912bf9ac59744a3 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2810 Status: OR 096 WTPN31 PGTW 182100 1. TYPHOON DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 029 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- 32.2N7 141.5E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 32.2N7 141.5E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 36.5N4 143.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 37 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 42.4N0 149.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 40 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 47.4N5 158.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 43 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 51.5N1 170.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION 33.3N9 142.0E7 TYPHOON DAVID (21W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 17 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN MOVING NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. DAVID IS FORECAST TO BE EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 48- HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z8 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7), 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3), 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0) AND 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 09:27:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628237-25623>; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 04:35:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAB26472; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 15:21:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6334867 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 15:20:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA15166 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 15:19:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA14519 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 15:19:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709182019.PAA14519@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 15:19:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Advisory Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b4d78c90d4d1cdfc870f29afb2a5b8ae X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1817 Status: OR 893 WTPZ31 KNHC 182019 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT THU SEP 18 1997 ...NORA STRENGTHENS...WHILE REMAINING NEARLY STATIONARY... A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.6 WEST OR ABOUT 355 MILES...570 KM...SOUTH OF MANZANILLO. STEERING CURRENTS REMAIN WEAK...AND NORA HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR ...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES...230 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES. OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM NORA ARE SPREADING ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHWEST MEXICO...PRIMARILY IN THE STATE OF GUERRERO. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...14.0 N...103.6 W. MOVEMENT ...NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 970 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 09:27:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628237-25622>; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 04:36:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA37674; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 15:23:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6334872 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 15:21:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA41820 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 15:20:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA14523 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 15:19:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709182019.PAA14523@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 15:19:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 80ab6f906faaa47d12fcb01f14d452b3 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2435 Status: OR 894 WTPZ41 KNHC 182020 TCDEP1 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT THU SEP 18 1997 SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE EYE BECOMING BETTER DEFINED. INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 90 KNOTS...IN AGREEMENT WITH LATEST DVORAK ESTIMATES. THIS MORNING THE NAVY PROVIDED AN 85 GHZ IMAGE FROM A DMSP POLAR ORBITING SATELLITE THAT SHOWED A LARGE DIAMETER EYE AND AN EXCELLENT RAINBAND STRUCTURE. THE EYE HAS BECOME SMALLER AS THE HURRICANE HAS STRENGTHENED. CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST SINCE THE SYSTEM REMAINS OVER WARM WATER AND HAS ESTABLISHED AN EXCELLENT OUTFLOW PATTERN. THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER THE SOUTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO WILL LIKELY ENHANCE THE OUTFLOW OVER THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE HURRICANE. NORA HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR OVER 12 HOURS. THE TRACK PREDICTION MODELS WERE INITIALIZED WITH NO INITIAL MOTION...AND THEY CONTINUE TO INSIST ON A GRADUAL MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHWEST...AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE 500 MB ANTICYCLONE CURRENTLY OVER NORTHERN MEXICO. OUR CURRENT TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS TRACK AND IN FACT IS SIMILAR TO THE TRACK 24 HOURS AGO. IT IS ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN THE DEEP LAYER BAM AND THE GFDL. THE UKMET MODEL HAS THE SAME IDEA BUT IS SLOWER. IT REMAINS TO BE SEEN WHETHER THE 500 MB LOW THAT IS FORECAST TO CUTOFF OVER THE SOUTHWEST U.S. WILL PULL NORA NORTHWARD TOWARD BAJA OR THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA AFTER THIS FORECAST PERIOD. IT IS NOTED THAT THE AVIATION RUN OF THE MEDIUM RANGE FORECAST MODEL CONTINUES TO HAVE SOME INITIALIZATION PROBLEMS. THERE IS A FICTITIOUS VORTEX TO THE SOUTHWEST OF NORA THAT STEERS THE HURRICANE MORE TOWARD THE WEST THAN INDICATED BY THE OTHER MODELS. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/2100Z 14.0N 103.6W 90 KTS 12HR VT 19/0600Z 14.3N 104.0W 95 KTS 24HR VT 19/1800Z 14.8N 104.7W 100 KTS 36HR VT 20/0600Z 16.0N 105.8W 105 KTS 48HR VT 20/1800Z 17.4N 107.1W 110 KTS 72HR VT 21/1800Z 20.5N 109.5W 110 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 09:27:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628201-25622>; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 04:38:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA31736; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 15:25:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6334917 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 15:24:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA37674 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 15:21:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA14530 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 15:20:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709182020.PAA14530@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 15:20:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5ae5875f5c95bed6a2e37ba592a8f065 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2046 Status: OR 912 WTPZ21 KNHC 182021 TCMEP1 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 2100Z THU SEP 18 1997 A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 103.6W AT 18/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT...NEARLY STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 250SE 250SW 300NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 103.6W AT 18/2100Z AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 103.6W FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 14.3N 104.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 14.8N 104.7W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 175SW 175NW FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 16.0N 105.8W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 175SW 175NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 103.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 17.4N 107.1W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 20.5N 109.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 09:27:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628243-25625>; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 04:49:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA44234; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 15:40:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6335126 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 15:38:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA19158 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 15:38:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA14557 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 15:38:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709182038.PAA14557@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 15:38:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bff1ac3d47d83294d25db3724bc2122a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2598 Status: OR 236 WTPZ41 KNHC 182038 COR TCDEP1 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT THU SEP 18 1997 SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE EYE BECOMING BETTER DEFINED. INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 90 KNOTS...IN AGREEMENT WITH LATEST DVORAK ESTIMATES. THIS MORNING THE NAVY PROVIDED AN 85 GHZ IMAGE FROM A DMSP POLAR ORBITING SATELLITE THAT SHOWED A LARGE DIAMETER EYE AND AN EXCELLENT RAINBAND STRUCTURE. THE EYE HAS BECOME SMALLER AS THE HURRICANE HAS STRENGTHENED. CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST SINCE THE SYSTEM REMAINS OVER WARM WATER AND HAS ESTABLISHED AN EXCELLENT OUTFLOW PATTERN. THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER THE SOUTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO WILL LIKELY ENHANCE THE OUTFLOW OVER THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE HURRICANE. NORA HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR OVER 12 HOURS. THE TRACK PREDICTION MODELS WERE INITIALIZED WITH NO INITIAL MOTION...AND THEY CONTINUE TO INSIST ON A GRADUAL MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHWEST...AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE 500 MB ANTICYCLONE CURRENTLY OVER NORTHERN MEXICO. OUR CURRENT TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS TRACK AND IN FACT IS SIMILAR TO THE TRACK 24 HOURS AGO. IT IS ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN THE DEEP LAYER BAM AND THE GFDL. THE UKMET MODEL HAS THE SAME IDEA BUT IS SLOWER. IT REMAINS TO BE SEEN WHETHER THE 500 MB LOW THAT IS FORECAST TO CUTOFF OVER THE SOUTHWEST U.S. WILL PULL NORA NORTHWARD TOWARD BAJA OR THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA AFTER THIS FORECAST PERIOD. IT IS NOTED THAT THE AVIATION RUN OF THE MEDIUM RANGE FORECAST MODEL CONTINUES TO HAVE SOME INITIALIZATION PROBLEMS. THERE IS A FICTITIOUS VORTEX TO THE SOUTHWEST OF NORA THAT STEERS THE HURRICANE MORE TOWARD THE WEST THAN INDICATED BY THE OTHER MODELS. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH EFFECTIVE AT 2100Z. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/2100Z 14.0N 103.6W 90 KTS 12HR VT 19/0600Z 14.3N 104.0W 95 KTS 24HR VT 19/1800Z 14.8N 104.7W 100 KTS 36HR VT 20/0600Z 16.0N 105.8W 105 KTS 48HR VT 20/1800Z 17.4N 107.1W 110 KTS 72HR VT 21/1800Z 20.5N 109.5W 110 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 09:27:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628238-25622>; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 04:53:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA25502; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 15:43:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6335168 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 15:41:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA26596 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 15:41:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA14571 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 15:41:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709182041.PAA14571@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 15:41:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Advisory Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 805ce37af2faa9c99cb85e8e625ba672 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1995 Status: OR 253 WTPZ31 KNHC 182041 COR TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT THU SEP 18 1997 ...CORRECTION TO WATCH/WARNING PARAGRAPH... ...NORA STRENGTHENS...WHILE REMAINING NEARLY STATIONARY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH EFFECTIVE AT 2100Z. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR WAVES AND SWELLS GNERATED BY HURRICANE NORA IS ISSUED FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.6 WEST OR ABOUT 355 MILES...570 KM...SOUTH OF MANZANILLO. STEERING CURRENTS REMAIN WEAK...AND NORA HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR ...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES...230 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES. OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM NORA ARE SPREADING ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHWEST MEXICO...PRIMARILY IN THE STATE OF GUERRERO. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...14.0 N...103.6 W. MOVEMENT ...NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 970 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 09:27:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628197-25625>; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 04:58:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA43628; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 15:45:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6335225 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 15:44:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA19604 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 15:43:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA14575 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 15:43:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709182043.PAA14575@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 15:43:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d5ff86d7a58837cf983682a27a527c20 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2131 Status: OR 278 WTPZ21 KNHC 182043 COR TCMEP1 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 2100Z THU SEP 18 1997 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH EFFECTIVE AT 2100Z. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 103.6W AT 18/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT...NEARLY STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..250NE 250SE 250SW 300NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 103.6W AT 18/2100Z AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 103.6W FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 14.3N 104.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 14.8N 104.7W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 175SW 175NW FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 16.0N 105.8W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 175SW 175NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 103.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 17.4N 107.1W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 20.5N 109.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 09:27:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628243-25625>; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 06:06:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA33480; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 17:03:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6336190 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 17:01:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA26022 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 17:01:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA14716 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 17:01:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709182201.RAA14716@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 17:01:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 88c94f4d3b418ff3721a68b8ebb258e4 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 883 Status: OR 505 ABPA20 PHNL 182200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST THU SEP 18 1997 AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED NEAR 22N177W SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. A WEAK DISTURBANCE NEAR 04N167W IS DRIFTING SLOWLY WEST AND IS ALSO SHOWING NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH FRIDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 09:27:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626030-26926>; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 06:41:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA44536; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 17:32:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6336408 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 17:30:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA41606 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 17:30:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA14756 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 17:30:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709182230.RAA14756@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 17:30:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d3307ea4b6df5a20b868bc72f7285d18 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1001 Status: OR 097 ABPZ20 KNHC 182229 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU SEP 18 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NORA LOCATED ABOUT 330 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THE REMNANT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION FORMERLY ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA IS LOCATED ABOUT 720 MILES WEST OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 09:27:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626108-26933>; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 07:52:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA18956; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 18:42:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6336716 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 18:40:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id SAA20756 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 18:40:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id SAA14939 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 18:40:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709182340.SAA14939@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 18:40:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Intermediate Advisory Number 10a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b105574f54dd3657bdca69214000c98b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1879 Status: OR 416 WTPZ31 KNHC 182341 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT THU SEP 18 1997 ...SLOW MOVING NORA GENERATING DANGEROUS COASTAL SURF CONDITIONS... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR WAVES AND SWELLS GNERATED BY HURRICANE NORA REMAINS IN AFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO. AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.9 WEST OR ABOUT 325 MILES...525 KM...SOUTH OF MANZANILLO. STEERING CURRENTS REMAIN WEAK...AND NORA HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES. OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM NORA ARE SPREADING ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHWEST MEXICO...PRIMARILY IN THE STATE OF GUERRERO. REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...14.2 N...103.9 W. MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 970 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 09:37:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626150-26926>; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 09:32:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA30064; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 20:21:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6337763 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 20:21:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA28754 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 20:21:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id UAA15058 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 20:21:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709190121.UAA15058@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 20:21:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm David (21w) Warning Nr 030 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 873786233ed9208c2b4b4ce45c28175c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2156 Status: OR 253 WTPN31 PGTW 190300 1. TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 030 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 21W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 33.8N4 142.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 33.8N4 142.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 37.9N9 146.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 38 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 43.4N1 153.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 45 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 48.6N8 164.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 34.8N5 143.7E5 TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 19 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE RAPIDLY AND COMPLETE TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW WITHIN 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z0 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3), 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0), 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6) AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 11:18:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626187-26926>; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 10:42:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA30192; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 21:32:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6338463 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 21:30:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA25502 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 21:30:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA15179 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 21:30:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709190230.VAA15179@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 21:30:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4c7945226495ac0fcfd857bf4f7cc75d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1813 Status: OR 870 WTPZ41 KNHC 190231 TCDEP1 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU SEP 18 1997 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A RAGGED EYE. CURRENT INTENSITY NUMBERS REFLECT THIS BUT PROBABLY IS A SHORT TERM ADJUSTMENT. INTENSITY REMAINS AT 90 KNOTS. CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST SINCE THE SYSTEM REMAINS OVER WARM WATER AND HAS ESTABLISHED AN EXCELLENT OUTFLOW PATTERN. THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER THE SOUTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO...WHICH...LAST NIGHT...SEEMED TO BE IMPEDING THE INTENSIFICATION PROCESS...WILL LIKELY ENHANCE THE OUTFLOW OVER THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE HURRICANE. NORA HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 18 HOURS. THE TRACK PREDICTION MODELS WERE INITIALIZED WITH 280/02. THEY CONTINUE TO INSIST ON A GRADUAL MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHWEST...AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE 500 MB ANTICYCLONE CURRENTLY OVER NORTHERN MEXICO. OUR CURRENT TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS TRACK BUT SLOWER AND A LITTLE SOUTH. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/0300Z 14.3N 104.0W 90 KTS 12HR VT 19/1200Z 14.4N 104.2W 95 KTS 24HR VT 20/0000Z 14.6N 104.8W 100 KTS 36HR VT 20/1200Z 15.3N 105.7W 105 KTS 48HR VT 21/0000Z 16.2N 107.1W 110 KTS 72HR VT 22/0000Z 19.0N 110.0W 110 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 11:18:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626170-26926>; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 10:42:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA29954; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 21:35:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6338485 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 21:33:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA30576 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 21:33:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA15187 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 21:33:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709190233.VAA15187@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 21:33:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f41100bbeb5135b8e02522b201e3707b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2148 Status: OR 895 WTPZ21 KNHC 190232 TCMEP1 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 0300Z FRI SEP 19 1997 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. THE AREA WARNED EXTENDS FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 104.0W AT 19/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......140NE 100SE 100SW 140NW 12 FT SEAS..300NE 250SE 250SW 300NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 104.0W AT 19/0300Z AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 103.9W FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 14.4N 104.2W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 120SE 120SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 14.6N 104.8W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...160NE 130SE 130SW 160NW FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 15.3N 105.7W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 150SE 150SW 175NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 104.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 16.2N 107.1W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 19.0N 110.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 11:18:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626169-26931>; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 10:43:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAB30122; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 21:36:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6338490 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 21:35:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA41856 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 21:33:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA15191 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 21:33:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709190233.VAA15191@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 21:33:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Advisory Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d14f542e96bf07c55ee985ac39d888a6 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1918 Status: OR 896 WTPZ31 KNHC 190233 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU SEP 18 1997 ...SLOW MOVING NORA GENERATING DANGEROUS COASTAL SURF CONDITIONS... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. THE AREA WARNED EXTENDS FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.0 WEST OR ABOUT 330 MILES...530 KM...SOUTH OF MANZANILLO. STEERING CURRENTS REMAIN WEAK...AND NORA HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES. OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM NORA ARE SPREADING ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHWEST MEXICO...PRIMARILY IN THE STATE OF GUERRERO. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...14.3 N...104.0 W. MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 970 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM PDT...FRIDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 12:01:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626259-26931>; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 12:01:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA22866; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 22:53:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6338925 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 22:52:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA12022 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 22:52:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA15278 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 1997 22:52:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709190352.WAA15278@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 22:52:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 191c5571c2aca69fb23226e851bfe102 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1001 Status: OR 339 ABPZ20 KNHC 190352 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU SEP 18 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NORA LOCATED ABOUT 330 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THE REMNANT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION FORMERLY ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA IS LOCATED ABOUT 675 MILES WEST OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 13:22:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626282-26926>; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 13:13:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA36020; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 00:07:57 -0500 Message-Id: <199709190507.AAA36020@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Sep 1997 00:01:49 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 17 Sep 1997 to 18 Sep 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: e8e672381337df6fa958297ea9ab34d5 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 8045 Status: OR There are 5 messages totalling 184 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. New Weather Reference Books Available 2. Doppler radar footage needed 3. Cool new "weather-related" toy 4. Griffiss AFB 88D Status 5. plotting software +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 16:18:27 +0000 From: "H. MICHAEL MOGIL" Subject: New Weather Reference Books Available How The Weatherworks is pleased to announce the availability of two new weather reference books in its soon-to-be-released fall 1997 catalog. (1) An Introduction to Weather Satellite Image Interpretation - a comprehensive, introductory look at weather satellites. The book covers the foundations of remote sensing, types of satellites and the basics of image interpretation. There is a heavy emphasis on the role geography plays in satellite imagery interpretation for both meteorological and oceanographic applications. The book includes a fully indexed glossary and comes with an interactive CD-ROM. It's ideal for science teachers, undergraduate and graduate students, television meteorologists, and others interested in knowing more about satellite image interpretation. 256pp; >200 b/w photos; CD-ROM (Mac and PC compatible) paperback $29.95 plus shipping** hardback $65.00 plus shipping** (2) The Handy Weather Answer Book - Got a weather question? Chances are this book will have the answer! Want to know where the world's driest spots are located, try page 122; curious about the "brown cloud," look to page 279; need some information about salaries of private sector meteorologists, it's there on pages 366 and 367. Filled with a cornucopia of weather facts and trivia, this book really entertains as well as informs. Ideal for teachers, television weather broadcasters and others who sometimes need a capsulized answer to a weather question. >400pp; >100 illustrations; dozens of tables; extensive bibliography. paperback $16.95 plus shipping** **shipping: up to $34.99 $6 $35.00 - $79.99 $8 above $80.00 10% Maryland residents please add 5% sales tax. Discount pricing available for larger orders. How The Weatherworks accepts the following credit cards: VISA, Mastercard, and Discover; we also accept checks and purchase orders (net 30 days). -- Mike Mogil weather educator HOW THE WEATHERWORKS 1522 Baylor Avenue Rockville, MD 20850 301-762-SNOW or 301-251-0242 hmmogil@weatherworks.com http://www.weatherworks.com ****** ****** ****** ****** If you think education is expensive, try ignorance! ****** ****** ****** ****** ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 17:27:12 +0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Doppler radar footage needed I received a call from someone needing video footage (or a sequence of images that can be animated) of a radar velocity display showing a clearly-defined mesocyclone or TVS signature. I've got some footage but unfortunately it has raster sweep interference --despite my camera's variable speed shutter. I fact, I've yet to see a video camera that can properly sync to a WSR-88D display station. The folks wanting the video say they cannot use it if it has raster scan. If no video is available I can animate GIF and JPG images. Any help will be appreciated. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 18:01:09 +0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Cool new "weather-related" toy I was walking through our mall yesterday and saw a cool "weather-related" toy at Spencer Gifts (a national chain store). It was so cool in fact that my credit card leaped right out of my wallet and through the magnetic stripe reader before I even knew what was happening. ;-) The toy is called Luminglas and produces a beautiful "lightning" display. It works by passing high voltage through tiny glass-like beads sandwiched between two 21" circular plates of glass. A power supply module sits on the back side of the glass controls the pattern and audio sensitivity (the gizmo responds to sounds). The Luminglas produces amazing lightning-like patterns in either white or neon blue (depending upon which unit you buy). When you touch the surface of the glass the lightning arcs to where your finger contacts the glass (with no harm to you of course). The display is very bright, totally silent, and generates little heat. I had difficulty deciding which color to buy (I spent 1/2 hour pondering). While the blue one looked the best (and blue is my favorite color) I decided to go with the white one because it looks more like real lightning and would better fit the weather theme of my office. The Luminglas is not a plasma ball but operates on a similar principal. The box it came in says Luminglas units were used in the movie "Star Trek First Contact". I remember noticing the displays when I saw the movie and wondered how they did the effect. Now I know! I paid around $200 for my Luminglas. Yea, it's a lot of money but it will help me get through the long, cold, stormless, winter ahead! It's also one heck of a conversation piece. If you don't have a Spencer Gifts near you try contacting Hoffman Products International in Dallas, TX at (214) 634-1961. ***DISCLAIMER: I have no connection to Spencer Gifts or Hoffman Products. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 21:52:18 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Griffiss AFB 88D Status GRIFFIS AFB/FT. DRUM WSR-88D RELOCATION STATUS WSH has finalized the station location information for the former Griffis AFB/Ft. Drum WSR-88D. Here’s the scoop: Location Latitude Longitude SID Height Montague, NY 43-45-21N 75-40-48W KTYX 597.4 meters Site Elevation - 562.7 meters Tower Height - 30 meters (+4.7 meter pedestal) Hereafter this WSR-88D will be referred to as the Montague/Ft. Drum WSR-88D and please take special note of the brand new site ID of KTYX; KRMX will no longer be used to identify this system. System acceptance is still scheduled for 11/14/97. However, the relocation contractor has been coming in ahead of schedule during other recent installations. Thus, nearby PUP sites may have access as early as mid-October. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 21:41:22 -0400 From: James Subject: plotting software Does anyone know of any software I can download off the net that will let me create maps like the ones you see on television or The Weather Channel? I've tried Digital Atmosphere, but it wasn't quite what I was looking for. Thanks James ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 17 Sep 1997 to 18 Sep 1997 ************************************************** From - Fri Sep 19 14:07:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627146-26931>; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 14:00:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA15996; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 00:42:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6339719 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 00:41:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA24892 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 00:40:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id AAA15464 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 00:40:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709190540.AAA15464@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Sep 1997 00:40:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Intermediate Advisory Number 11a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ec7786c5fffd8183f7f6cea91327e3be X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1860 Status: OR 329 WTPZ31 KNHC 190541 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 PM PDT THU SEP 18 1997 ...NORA NEARLY STATIONARY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. THE AREA WARNED EXTENDS FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO. AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.0 WEST OR ABOUT 330 MILES...530 KM...SOUTH OF MANZANILLO. STEERING CURRENTS REMAIN WEAK...AND NORA HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES. OUTER RAIN BANDS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS FROM NORA ARE SPREADING ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHWEST MEXICO...PRIMARILY IN THE STATE OF GUERRERO. REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...14.3 N...104.0 W. MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 970 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT AT 2 AM PDT...FRIDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 16:13:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628244-26926>; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 16:12:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA31136; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 03:03:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6340164 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 03:03:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA30054 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 03:02:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA15723 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 03:02:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709190802.DAA15723@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Sep 1997 03:02:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm David (21w) Warning Nr 031 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 20ce7ee2c0dde35a34ba8e765f913e77 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2091 Status: OR 129 WTPN31 PGTW 190900 1. TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 031 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- 36.0N9 143.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 24 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 36.0N9 143.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 40.6N0 148.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 40 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 45.5N4 156.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 40 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 49.1N4 167.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION 37.1N1 145.0E0 TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 24 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 36 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z6 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW(IO)30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0), 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6), 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9) AND 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 16:21:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627832-26931>; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 16:18:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA41882; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 03:10:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6340197 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 03:10:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA09602 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 03:10:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA15737 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 03:10:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709190810.DAA15737@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Sep 1997 03:10:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropic Sustained Winds Based On One-minute Average To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7de7ea4e809147d0e4de4035e57a28ad X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1572 Status: OR 289 WTPN31 PGTW 190900 1. TROPIC SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- 36.0N9 143.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 24 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 36.0N9 143.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 40.6N0 148.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 40 KTS --- 24 HRS, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 40 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 49.1N4 167.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION 37.1N1 145.0E0 TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTH5YUTMLKJIGED0805 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 17:08:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625961-26933>; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 16:51:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA41830; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 03:32:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6340288 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 03:31:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA28698 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 03:31:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA15758 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 03:31:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709190831.DAA15758@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Sep 1997 03:31:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Advisory Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 52ae142ca6e3ba6c1386c64f4b1cf36e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1809 Status: OR 681 WTPZ31 KNHC 190831 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT FRI SEP 19 1997 ...NORA REFUSES TO MOVE... A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA IS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS MEANDERING NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.0 WEST OR ABOUT 330 MILES...530 KM...SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. NORA HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. NORA SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES. OUTER RAIN BANDS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS FROM NORA ARE SPREADING ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHWEST MEXICO...PRIMARILY IN THE STATE OF GUERRERO. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...14.4 N...104.0 W. MOVEMENT... NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 970 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 17:08:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625966-26929>; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 16:56:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA38880; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 03:34:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6340295 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 03:33:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA38720 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 03:32:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA15762 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 03:32:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709190832.DAA15762@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Sep 1997 03:32:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a3ad3c6c2d8fcedf76c2227815167ad7 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2150 Status: OR 694 WTPZ41 KNHC 190832 TCDEP1 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT FRI SEP 19 1997 NORA HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN STRENGTH AS SUGGESTED BY DVORAK T- NUMBERS. THE EYE IS LARGE AND DIFFUSE AND THE DEEP CONVECTION IS NOT AS STRONG AS 12 HOURS AGO. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW ARE WELL ESTABLISHED AND SINCE THE OCEAN IS WARM...FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE. HOWEVER...SINCE NORA HAS BEEN IN THE SAME AREA FOR ALMOST A DAY...THE UPWELLING COULD DELAY THE INTENSIFICATION PROCESS. STEERING CURRENTS ARE PROBABLY WEAK OR BALANCED. THEREFORE...LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY. A STRONG AND WARM HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM ANCHORED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. IS NOT FORECAST TO MOVE ANYTIME SOON. THIS HIGH BECOMES MORE PRONOUNCED ABOVE 500 MB...INDICATING THAT IT IS A WARM HIGH AND...IN GENERAL...LITTLE MOTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE SYSTEMS. GIVEN THIS PATTERN...NORA SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE VERY SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE HIGH AS INDICATED IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. TRACK MODELS INSIST ON MOVING NORA BETWEEN THE NORTHWEST AND THE WEST-NORTHWEST BRINGING THE HURRICANE SOUTH AND NOT TOO FAR FROM THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA BY 72 HOURS. REPORTS FROM SHIP (PGRO) INDICATE THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOT TOO FAR FROM THE COAST OF THE STATE OF GUERRERO PROBABLY ASSOCIATED WITH RAINBANDS. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/0900Z 14.4N 104.0W 90 KTS 12HR VT 19/1800Z 14.5N 104.0W 95 KTS 24HR VT 20/0600Z 15.2N 104.9W 100 KTS 36HR VT 20/1800Z 16.5N 106.0W 105 KTS 48HR VT 21/0600Z 17.5N 107.5W 110 KTS 72HR VT 22/0600Z 19.5N 110.0W 110 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 17:08:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625969-26931>; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 16:51:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA41812; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 03:35:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6340301 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 03:34:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA09546 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 03:32:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA15766 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 03:32:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709190832.DAA15766@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Sep 1997 03:32:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d559a3dc02233e49acc59721e35a22d5 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2102 Status: OR 695 WTPZ21 KNHC 190832 TCMEP1 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 0900Z FRI SEP 19 1997 A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA IS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 104.0W AT 19/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......140NE 100SE 100SW 140NW 12 FT SEAS..300NE 250SE 250SW 300NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 104.0W AT 19/0900Z AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 104.0W FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 14.5N 104.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 120SE 120SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 15.2N 104.9W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...160NE 130SE 130SW 160NW FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 16.5N 106.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 150SE 150SW 175NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 104.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 17.5N 107.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 19.5N 110.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 17:31:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625967-26933>; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 17:30:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA12838; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 04:25:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6340930 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 04:23:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA12938 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 04:23:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA15815 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 04:23:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709190923.EAA15815@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Sep 1997 04:23:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 31d7906c84d909bfeefb5e5a343fff86 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2354 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 560 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 190151Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z8 TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WAS LOCATED AT 33.8N4 142.7E4 MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 19 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 30 (WTPN31 PGTW 190300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF SCATTERED CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 15N6 169E6. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DEVELOPMENT BEING INHIBITED BY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF SCATTERED CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13N4 112E4. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THIS TO BE AN AREA OF RELATIVELY WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 17:36:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625951-26929>; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 17:34:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA12874; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 04:26:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6340935 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 04:25:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA18060 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 04:23:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA15814 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 04:23:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709190923.EAA15814@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Sep 1997 04:23:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5dc65563eebb3998c64fa9b0ade584f1 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2300 Status: OR 560 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 190151Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z8 TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WAS LOCATED AT 33.8N4 142.7E4 MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 19 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 30 (WTPN31 PGTW 190300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF SCATTERED CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 15N6 169E6. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DEVELOPMENT BEING INHIBITED BY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF SCATTERED CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13N4 112E4. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THIS TO BE AN AREA OF RELATIVELY WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 18:06:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625965-26933>; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 18:03:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA35362; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 04:36:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6340955 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 04:35:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA14578 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 04:35:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA15827 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 04:35:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709190935.EAA15827@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Sep 1997 04:35:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3864e50b3ea8f44e3b7802fc0e8b55da X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 857 Status: OR 831 ABPZ20 KNHC 190934 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI SEP 19 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NORA LOCATED ABOUT 330 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 19 17:59:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625967-26929>; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 17:54:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA09690; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 04:52:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6340980 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 04:51:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA36016 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 04:51:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA15844 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 04:51:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709190951.EAA15844@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Sep 1997 04:51:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6529a9a5c859091fddf0cbeee8ef1417 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 774 Status: OR 021 ABPA20 PHNL 191000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST FRI SEP 19 1997 A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 23N177W SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH SATURDAY. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626079-18158>; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 22:57:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA25950; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 09:49:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6342961 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 09:47:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA26008 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 09:47:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA16171 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 09:47:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709191447.JAA16171@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Sep 1997 09:47:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Advisory Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 04ae975183bd7c1ecdee7cdeafdd5e87 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1810 Status: OR 800 WTPZ31 KNHC 191447 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI SEP 19 1997 ...NORA NEARLY STATIONARY AND A LITTLE WEAKER... A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA IS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.1 WEST OR ABOUT 330 MILES...530 KM...SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. NORA REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY. A SLOW NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 974 MB...28.76 INCHES. HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS FROM NORA ARE LOCATED OFFSHORE AT THIS TIME...BUT RAIN BANDS COULD SPREAD OVER THE COAST OF SOUTHWEST MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...14.4 N...104.1 W. MOVEMENT ...NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 974 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626132-18158>; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 22:55:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA31120; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 09:50:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6342972 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 09:49:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA41700 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 09:48:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA16176 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 09:48:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709191448.JAA16176@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Sep 1997 09:48:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 48a37277d6d82991266cd989472dd18e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2108 Status: OR 826 WTPZ21 KNHC 191448 TCMEP1 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 1500Z FRI SEP 19 1997 A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA IS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 104.1W AT 19/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT...NONE...STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 974 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......175NE 100SE 100SW 140NW 12 FT SEAS..175NE 100SE 100SW 140NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 104.1W AT 19/1500Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 104.1W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 14.7N 104.3W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...175NE 100SE 100SW 140NW FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 15.6N 105.1W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...175NE 100SE 100SW 140NW FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.9N 106.2W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 100 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...175NE 100SE 100SW 140NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 104.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 17.8N 107.1W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 19.5N 108.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626147-18160>; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 22:56:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA10332; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 09:52:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6342996 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 09:50:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA41722 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 09:48:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA16180 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 09:48:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709191448.JAA16180@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Sep 1997 09:48:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 38afb1142799db19edd80b02775eeb80 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2456 Status: OR 827 WTPZ41 KNHC 191449 TCDEP1 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI SEP 19 1997 DEEP CONVECTION HAS BECOME NEARLY NON-EXISTENT IN THE NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND THE CENTER...WHILE EASY TO LOCATE...DOES NOT APPEAR QUITE AS WELL-FORMED THIS MORNING. DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS HAVE DROPPED OFF A LITTLE AND THE INITIAL WIND SPEED IS NOW ESTIMATED TO BE 85 KT. AS NOTED IS THE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THIS WEAKENING IS RELATED TO THE PROLONGED SLOW MOVEMENT OF NORA...KEEPING THE HURRICANE OVER RELATIVELY COOL UPWELLED WATERS. THE HURRICANE REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY. THE UPPER LOW TO OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE HAS MOVED A LITTLE NORTHWARD DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. A DRY ANTICYCLONE AND RIDGE ARE ORIENTED FROM WSW TO ENE TO THE NORTH OF NORA. ONCE AGAIN THE INITIALIZATIONS OF THE MRF AND AVN ARE SUSPECT. THE 00Z MRF AND 06Z AVN CONTAIN NORA AND A SECOND...UNSUBSTANTIATED VORTEX...TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE HURRICANE. ON A BROADER SCALE...THE MODELS SHOW THE HIGH CENTER MOVING TOWARD THE EAST OVER THE NEXT 72 HOURS. THEY ALSO SHOW A WEAKNESS OR CUT-OFF LOW STAYING BEHIND THE WEST COAST TROUGH...TO THE WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE MRF MOVES THE COMBINED MODEL REAL/SPURIOUS CIRCULATION SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST BETWEEN THESE FEATURES. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST AND TRACK MODELS...NOGAPS AND THE UKMET IN GENERAL ALSO SHOW NORA GRADUALLY APPROACHING THE SOUTHERN PART OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. GIVEN THAT THE HURRICANE IS CURRENTLY STATIONARY AND THAT UPPER-LEVEL LOWS ARE NOT OFTEN CORRECTLY FORECAST...THE LONG-TERM TRACK OF NORA REMAINS UNCERTAIN. NORA COULD RESTRENGTHEN WHEN IT MOVES AWAY FROM THE LOCAL COOL POOL OF UPWELLED WATERS. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/1500Z 14.4N 104.1W 85 KTS 12HR VT 20/0000Z 14.7N 104.3W 85 KTS 24HR VT 20/1200Z 15.6N 105.1W 90 KTS 36HR VT 21/0000Z 16.9N 106.2W 90 KTS 48HR VT 21/1200Z 17.8N 107.1W 90 KTS 72HR VT 22/1200Z 19.5N 108.5W 90 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626156-18160>; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 23:18:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA36054; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 10:04:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6343164 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 10:04:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA32858 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 10:03:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id KAA16235 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 10:03:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709191503.KAA16235@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Sep 1997 10:03:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm David (21w) Warning Nr 032 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f6be9ac80f32a69efae581bb4eb6a40f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1735 Status: OR 085 WTPN31 PGTW 191500 1. TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 032 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- 38.8N9 147.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 36 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 360 NM SE 180 NM E LSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 38.8N9 147.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 45.1N0 152.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 360 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 37 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 49.9N2 161.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 35 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: RM --- 51.2N8 172.0E0 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626079-18159>; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 23:23:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA38216; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 10:07:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6343251 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 10:07:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA10254 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 10:07:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id KAA16247 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 10:07:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709191507.KAA16247@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Sep 1997 10:07:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm David (21w) Warning Nr 032 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 853c67743fb8e220da62843f9fa410a5 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2984 Status: OR 125 WTPN31 PGTW 191500 1. TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 032 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- 38.8N9 147.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 36 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 360 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 38.8N9 147.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 45.1N0 152.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 360 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 37 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 49.9N2 161.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 35 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 51.2N8 172.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 34 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 52.0N7 177.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 33 KTS --- 60 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 51.3N9 166.3W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION 40.4N8 148.8E1 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) IS MOVING RAPIDLY TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 36 KNOTS. MAXIMUM WIND INTENSITY WAS INCREASED BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY TECHNIQUE FOR A CYCLONE TRANSITIONING INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM WITH THIS FORWARD SPEED. WIND RADII EXPANDED TO ACCOUNT FOR NUMEROUS SHIP REPORTS SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM=S CENTER. THIS FORECAST EXPECTS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION TO BE COMPLETED WITHIN 24 HOURS; HOWEVER, STORM TO GALE FORCE WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AFTER THIS PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6), 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9), AND 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626079-18159>; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 23:45:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA15518; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 10:36:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6343655 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 10:36:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA38686 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 10:33:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id KAA16370 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 10:33:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709191533.KAA16370@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Sep 1997 10:33:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm David (21w) Warning Nr 032 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8b2adbe49d50c32818c6462dd5ef5162 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3113 Status: OR 763 WTPN31 PGTW 191500 1. TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 032 PAGE 03 RUHGSGG7586 UNCLAS 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- 38.8N9 147.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 36 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 360 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 38.8N9 147.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 45.1N0 152.9E7 PAGE 04 RUHGSGG7586 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 360 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 37 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 49.9N2 161.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 35 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 51.2N8 172.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 34 KTS --- PAGE 05 RUHGSGG7586 UNCLAS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 52.0N7 177.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 33 KTS --- 60 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 51.3N9 166.3W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION 40.4N8 148.8E1 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) IS MOVING RAPIDLY TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 36 KNOTS. MAXIMUM WIND INTENSITY WAS INCREASED BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY TECHNIQUE FOR A CYCLONE TRANSITIONING INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM WITH THIS FORWARD SPEED. WIND RADII EXPANDED TO ACCOUNT FOR PAGE 06 RUHGSGG7586 UNCLAS NUMEROUS SHIP REPORTS SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM'S CENTER. THIS FORECAST EXPECTS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION TO BE COMPLETED WITHIN 24 HOURS; HOWEVER, STORM TO GALE FORCE WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AFTER THIS PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6), 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9), AND 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5).// BT #7586 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626079-18161>; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 01:15:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA24090; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 12:10:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6344606 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 12:08:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA24226 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 12:08:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA16627 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 12:08:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709191708.MAA16627@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Sep 1997 12:08:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 45559b9cadd315ab2583d49787bef368 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 862 Status: OR 646 ABPZ20 KNHC 191706 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI SEP 19 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NORA LOCATED ABOUT 330 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626079-18161>; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 01:23:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA12372; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 12:21:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6344676 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 12:19:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA31720 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 12:19:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA16651 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 12:19:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709191719.MAA16651@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Sep 1997 12:19:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b15fc83a9b65768044bd55ccf8a4e8f4 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1550 Status: OR 854 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13N4 83E1. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A PERSISTENT AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH LOW-LEVEL TROUGHING IN THE WESTERN BAY OF BENGAL. SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I) INDICATES NO ORGANIZED CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR FROM THE NORTHEAST REMAINS MODERATELY STRONG. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/EIBLING/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626179-18161>; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 01:27:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA12460; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 12:22:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6344681 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 12:21:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA41194 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 12:19:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA16650 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 12:19:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709191719.MAA16650@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Sep 1997 12:19:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 866823e116d85cdf8d441927f8459b1d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1601 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 854 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13N4 83E1. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A PERSISTENT AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH LOW-LEVEL TROUGHING IN THE WESTERN BAY OF BENGAL. SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I) INDICATES NO ORGANIZED CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR FROM THE NORTHEAST REMAINS MODERATELY STRONG. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/EIBLING/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627008-18158>; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 04:00:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA24642; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 14:47:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6346191 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 14:47:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA42286 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 14:47:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id OAA17101 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 14:47:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709191947.OAA17101@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Sep 1997 14:47:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm David (21w) Warning Nr 033 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8c55ba0888f100423936ffe15d235fe3 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2749 Status: OR 876 WTPN31 PGTW 192100 1. TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 033 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- 42.0N6 150.2E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 38 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 360 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 42.0N6 150.2E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 47.3N4 157.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 360 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 36 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 50.6N1 166.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 35 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 51.3N9 177.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 32 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 51.3N9 171.7W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 54 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 54 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 50.6N1 167.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION 43.3N0 151.9E6 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) IS CONTINUING TO MOVE RAPIDLY TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 38 KNOTS. THE SURFACE LOW NOW APPEARS TO BE SEPARATING FROM ITS UPPER LEVEL CIRCULATION AS IT UNDERGOES EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. THIS TRANSITION IS EXPECTED TO BE COMPLETED WITHIN 18 HOURS BY 20/1200Z. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9) AND 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627004-18159>; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 04:45:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA12874; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 15:37:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6346648 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 15:36:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA24842 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 15:36:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA17815 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 15:36:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709192036.PAA17815@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Sep 1997 15:36:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e9bf6db06779803d4a98fe489c3dfd22 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2089 Status: OR 297 WTPZ21 KNHC 192031 TCMEP1 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 2100Z FRI SEP 19 1997 A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA IS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 104.2W AT 19/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT....NONE...STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 974 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......175NE 100SE 100SW 140NW 12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 300SW 300NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 104.2W AT 19/2100Z AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 104.2W FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 15.0N 104.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...175NE 100SE 100SW 140NW FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 15.7N 105.1W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...175NE 100SE 100SW 140NW FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 16.4N 105.6W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 100 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...175NE 100SE 100SW 140NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 104.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 17.3N 106.2W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 19.5N 108.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627008-18161>; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 04:49:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA35468; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 15:41:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6346663 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 15:40:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA25900 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 15:36:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA17819 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 15:36:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709192036.PAA17819@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Sep 1997 15:36:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Advisory Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9bc5197045c740933b89e3757a600595 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1758 Status: OR 298 WTPZ31 KNHC 192032 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI SEP 19 1997 ...NORA STILL NEARLY STATIONARY... A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA IS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.2 WEST OR ABOUT 320 MILES...515 KM...SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. NORA REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY. A SLOW NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLIGHT WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 974 MB...28.76 INCHES. HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS FROM NORA ARE LOCATED OFFSHORE AT THIS TIME...BUT RAIN BANDS COULD SPREAD OVER THE COAST OF SOUTHWEST MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...14.5 N...104.2 W. MOVEMENT... STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 974 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627009-18160>; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 04:50:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA40140; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 15:39:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6346653 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 15:37:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA37150 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 15:36:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA17823 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 15:36:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709192036.PAA17823@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Sep 1997 15:36:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e43c129e415297563459c55c5f860dd2 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1750 Status: OR 299 WTPZ41 KNHC 192030 TCDEP1 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI SEP 19 1997 NOT MUCH FOUND TO CHANGE IN THIS ADVISORY. NORA IS STILL NEARLY STATIONARY...PERHAPS INCHING TOWARD THE NW OR WNW. THERE REMAINS LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CIRCULATION CENTER AND DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE STILL CONSISTENT WITH WIND SPEEDS OF ABOUT 85 KT. THE 12Z AVN PROVIDES A SOLUTION THAT IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS GUIDANCE...BUT IT AGAIN STARTS FROM A BAD INITIALIZATION NEAR THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HENCE...THE SHORT-TERM AVN FORECAST WILL BE IGNORED. IN THE LONG-TERM...IT IS HARD TO KNOW WHETHER THE RUN-TO- RUN CONSISTENCY WILL END UP RESULTING IN A SERIES OF GOOD FORECASTS OR BAD FORECASTS FROM THE MODEL. MOST OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE... INCLUDING THE UKMET AND NOGAPS...CONTINUE TO SHOW A SLOW NORTHWEST MOTION. SO DOES THE OFFICIAL FORECAST...BUT AT A SOMEWHAT SLOWER PACE. THE GFDL TRACK GOES MORE TO THE WEST AT FIRST AND THEN TOWARD THE NORTH. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/2100Z 14.5N 104.2W 85 KTS 12HR VT 20/0600Z 15.0N 104.6W 80 KTS 24HR VT 20/1800Z 15.7N 105.1W 85 KTS 36HR VT 21/0600Z 16.4N 105.6W 90 KTS 48HR VT 21/1800Z 17.3N 106.2W 90 KTS 72HR VT 22/1800Z 19.5N 108.0W 90 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626403-18158>; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 05:04:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA26814; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 15:48:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6346747 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 15:47:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA08004 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 15:47:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA17876 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 15:47:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709192047.PAA17876@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Sep 1997 15:47:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 74762cb6195294ccb691c4d4ab89d31b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2138 Status: OR 507 WTPZ21 KNHC DDHHMM COR TCMEP1 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 2100Z FRI SEP 19 1997 ...CORRECT RADII IN SE AND SW QUADRANTS... A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA IS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 104.2W AT 19/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT....NONE...STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 974 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......175NE 100SE 100SW 140NW 12 FT SEAS..300NE 420SE 420SW 300NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 104.2W AT 19/2100Z AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 104.2W FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 15.0N 104.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...175NE 100SE 100SW 140NW FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 15.7N 105.1W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...175NE 100SE 100SW 140NW FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 16.4N 105.6W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 100 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...175NE 100SE 100SW 140NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 104.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 17.3N 106.2W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 19.5N 108.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627009-18158>; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 06:01:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA41156; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 16:57:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6347280 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 16:56:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA44122 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 16:56:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA18164 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 16:56:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709192156.QAA18164@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Sep 1997 16:56:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 24e226632337fab1df5c795663f686d2 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 801 Status: OR 848 ABPA20 PHNL 192200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST FRI SEP 19 1997 A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 22N179W IS DRIFTING WEST SLOWLY AND SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH SATURDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625924-23653>; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 06:44:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA42600; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 17:37:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6347953 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 17:34:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA38868 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 17:34:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA18228 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 17:34:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709192234.RAA18228@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Sep 1997 17:34:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4c688f6e61fd161b50a45a6962571ebe X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 860 Status: OR 641 ABPZ20 KNHC 192234 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI SEP 19 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NORA LOCATED ABOUT 330 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626143-23642>; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 09:32:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA15528; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 20:21:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6349634 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 20:20:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA24136 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 20:20:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id UAA18525 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 20:20:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709200120.UAA18525@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Sep 1997 20:20:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm David (21w) Warning Nr 034 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f83633ef6bf0913f70f616544371a731 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2225 Status: OR 400 WTPN31 PGTW 200300 1. TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 034 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- 43.7N4 155.4E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 40 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 350 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 43.7N4 155.4E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 48.2N4 165.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 38 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 50.8N3 176.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 36 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 51.3N9 172.3W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 34 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 51.4N0 161.4W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION 44.8N6 157.9E2 TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 40 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE EAST DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD AND SLOWLY WEAKEN. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS EXPECTED TO BE COMPLETE WITHIN 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNING AT 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626308-23650>; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 10:41:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA40226; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 21:33:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6350324 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 21:31:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA20408 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 21:30:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA18587 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 21:30:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709200230.VAA18587@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Sep 1997 21:30:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Advisory Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 13d4a9ee87b6b46a484de3d8655c8f82 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1888 Status: OR 938 WTPZ31 KNHC 200230 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI SEP 19 1997 ...NORA DRIFTING NORTHWESTWARD...WEAKENING SLIGHTLY... A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA IS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.6 WEST OR ABOUT 270 MILES...430 KM...SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. NORA IS MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH ... 6 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED AND ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES. HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS FROM NORA ARE LOCATED OFFSHORE AT THIS TIME...BUT RAIN BANDS COULD SPREAD OVER THE COAST OF SOUTHWEST MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...15.2 N...104.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 90 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 980 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT...SATURDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626310-23642>; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 10:43:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA40440; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 21:31:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6350319 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 21:30:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA31658 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 21:30:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA18591 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 21:30:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709200230.VAA18591@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Sep 1997 21:30:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 897cee7455d907e13f20d87b2d58269c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1315 Status: OR 939 WTPZ41 KNHC 200230 TCDEP1 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI SEP 19 1997 NORA APPEARS TO BE MOVING EVER SO SLOWLY TOWARD THE NW. VERY LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION IS PRESENT NEAR THE EYE AND THE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES SUGGEST THAT SOME WEAKENING HAS TAKEN PLACE. INITIAL INTENSITY IS 80 KTS. MODEL GUIDANCE IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. MOST OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE... INCLUDING THE UKMET AND NOGAPS...CONTINUE TO SHOW A SLOW NORTHWEST MOTION. SO DOES THE OFFICIAL FORECAST...BUT AT A SLOWER PACE. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/0300Z 15.2N 104.6W 80 KTS 12HR VT 20/1200Z 15.7N 105.0W 75 KTS 24HR VT 21/0000Z 16.4N 105.6W 80 KTS 36HR VT 21/1200Z 17.3N 106.3W 85 KTS 48HR VT 22/0000Z 18.3N 107.1W 90 KTS 72HR VT 23/0000Z 20.4N 108.6W 90 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626299-4698>; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 10:45:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA08092; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 21:34:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6350331 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 21:33:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA24264 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 21:30:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA18595 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 21:30:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709200230.VAA18595@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Sep 1997 21:30:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7995b97e078afdec81e4e7fd10e6e7e4 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2112 Status: OR 940 WTPZ21 KNHC 200231 TCMEP1 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 0300Z SAT SEP 20 1997 A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA IS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 104.6W AT 20/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 95 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......175NE 100SE 100SW 140NW 12 FT SEAS..300NE 420SE 420SW 300NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 104.6W AT 20/0300Z AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 104.5W FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 15.7N 105.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...175NE 100SE 100SW 140NW FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.4N 105.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...175NE 100SE 100SW 140NW FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 17.3N 106.3W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...175NE 100SE 100SW 140NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 104.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 18.3N 107.1W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 20.4N 108.6W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626372-4696>; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 12:22:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAB44282; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 23:16:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6350886 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 23:14:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA37222 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 23:14:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id XAA18662 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 1997 23:14:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709200414.XAA18662@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 19 Sep 1997 23:14:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5af8957652bafcd7098dc12ac17669f8 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 856 Status: OR 827 ABPZ20 KNHC 200411 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI SEP 19 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NORA LOCATED ABOUT 270 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626391-4698>; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 13:07:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA42692; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 00:04:35 -0500 Message-Id: <199709200504.AAA42692@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 00:01:47 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 18 Sep 1997 to 19 Sep 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: c1ca45329ca1e8fcd9789c398989e344 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 5882 Status: OR There are 3 messages totalling 169 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Chaser top 10,some rehash 2. SAME question (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 18 Sep 1997 23:25:29 -0500 From: Damon Hynes Subject: Chaser top 10,some rehash This is a multi-part message in MIME format. --------------22607E17D66 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit -- ~~~~~ Men talk; Nature acts. --------------22607E17D66 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii; name="top10.txt" Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Content-Disposition: inline; filename="top10.txt" ================================================================ T H E T O P F I V E L I S T In Dolby Stereo where available ================================================================ Sponsored by Windows Sources How to Add Crop Marks to a Page in Word http://www4.zdnet.com/chkpt/wnsa970918/www.winsources.com ================================================================ September 18, 1997 NOTE: Today's list is a "Top 5 Classic", originally published on May 15, 1996. All previous Top 5 Lists can be found in the Archive section of our website, at: http://www.topfive.com The Top 17 Rejected Titles for the Movie "Twister" 17> "Totally Gone With The Wind" 16> "Lift and Separate" 15> "Boys on the Side -- Of My Barn" 14> "Summer Film So Full of Special Effects We Couldn't Fit in the Plot" 13> "The Weather Channel: The Movie" 12> "Schindler's Twist" 11> "Field of Debris" 10> "Dead Man Flying" 9> "I, Cumulus" 8> "One House Flew Over the Cuckoo's Nest" 7> "The Splintered Bridges of Madison County" 6> "Wizard of Oz II: The Search For Toto" 5> "Killer Genuine Draft" 4> "Four Weddings & A Funnel" 3> "Indiana Jones and the Trailer Park of Doom" 2> "A Funnel Thing Happened On The Way To The Farm" and the Number 1 Rejected Title for the Movie "Twister..." 1> "Roofless in Seattle" [ This list copyright 1996 by Chris White and Ziff Davis, Inc. ] [ The Top Five List top5@walrus.com http://www.topfive.com ] [ To forward or repost, please include this section. ] --------------22607E17D66-- ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 19 Sep 1997 12:30:37 -0500 From: Mark Mears Subject: SAME question My local Radio Shack finally got in one of the new SAME wx-radios. It seems to work just as advertised... pretty cool! I have a slight problem though. I live in a county at the extreme south-west corner of the coverage area for my "local" transmitter. Worse yet, I live in the extreme south-west corner of the county! I know that some counties' FIPS codes are broadcast by 2 different transmitters. It would be highly useful to me if the station responsible for my area were to include the county immediately to the west (Lincoln Co, TN) so that I might have a heads-up on any severe stuff headed this way. Does anyone know who I might contact regarding this problem? Do local NWS offices have the ability to make a change like this? Thanks in advance. -- Mark Mears President Aninoquisi 112 Bruce Street Huntland, TN 37345 931.469.7024 http://www.edge.net/asd/ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 19 Sep 1997 16:02:41 +0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Re: SAME question Mark Mears wrote... >I know that some counties' FIPS codes are broadcast by 2 different >transmitters. It would be highly useful to me if the station responsible >for my area were to include the county immediately to the west (Lincoln Co, >TN) so that I might have a heads-up on any severe stuff headed this way. > >Does anyone know who I might contact regarding this problem? Do local NWS >offices have the ability to make a change like this? Mark: It is possible for NWS office "A" to transmit the warnings of NWS office "B" on the weather radio operated by NWS office "A". This is the case with our local office in Paducah, KY. Warnings for Randolph County, Illinois issued by the NWS in St. Louis Missouri and transmitted over the weather radio operated by the Paducah office. My suggestion would be to contact (write) your local office (the one that operates the transmitter nearest to you) and ask them to add the "foreign" county to their NWR warning responsibility list. Your request will be more likely honored if 1) the weather radio has good signal coverage (not marginal) in your area --in other words the change will benefit more than just you-- and 2) you can muster up the support of some local emergency managers and politicians. Transmitting the warnings of another NWS office, while technically possible, can cause some administrative/procedural headaches for your NWS office. Having the support of others will help your voice be heard. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 18 Sep 1997 to 19 Sep 1997 ************************************************** From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626486-4698>; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 14:03:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA29332; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 00:58:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6351367 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 00:55:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA29252 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 00:55:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id AAA19161 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 00:55:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709200555.AAA19161@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 00:55:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bfb4683da7b4e5fed72c7d35fe30b962 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3411 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 528 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 200151Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2 TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WAS LOCATED AT 43.7N4 155.4E5 MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 40 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 34 (WTPN31 PGTW 200300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13N4 148E3. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, SATELLITE- DERIVED CLOUD WIND DRIFT DATA AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS SUGGEST A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PRESENT IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. SATELLITE- DERIVED UPPER-LEVEL WIND DATA INDICATE STRONG UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS PRESENT ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23N5 179E7 IS NOW NEAR 23N5 178E6. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PRESENT IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO REMAIN SPARSE NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 171E9 IS NOW NEAR 18N9 170E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY THAT THIS AREA CONTINUES TO BE POORLY ORGANIZED. SATELLITE-DERIVED UPPER-LEVEL WIND DATA SHOW UPPER-LEVEL CONVERGENCE IS PRESENT ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 112E4 IS NOW NEAR 12N3 111E3. SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS SHOW THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. HOWEVER, THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE SCATTERED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626489-4696>; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 14:11:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA29228; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 01:00:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6351372 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 00:59:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA44098 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 00:55:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id AAA19162 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 00:55:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709200555.AAA19162@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 00:55:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b8e32a36c82688f01c67a2afc80f94af X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3357 Status: OR 528 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 200151Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2 TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WAS LOCATED AT 43.7N4 155.4E5 MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 40 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 34 (WTPN31 PGTW 200300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13N4 148E3. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, SATELLITE- DERIVED CLOUD WIND DRIFT DATA AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS SUGGEST A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PRESENT IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. SATELLITE- DERIVED UPPER-LEVEL WIND DATA INDICATE STRONG UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS PRESENT ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23N5 179E7 IS NOW NEAR 23N5 178E6. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PRESENT IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO REMAIN SPARSE NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 171E9 IS NOW NEAR 18N9 170E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY THAT THIS AREA CONTINUES TO BE POORLY ORGANIZED. SATELLITE-DERIVED UPPER-LEVEL WIND DATA SHOW UPPER-LEVEL CONVERGENCE IS PRESENT ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 112E4 IS NOW NEAR 12N3 111E3. SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS SHOW THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. HOWEVER, THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE SCATTERED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626506-4696>; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 15:33:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA37430; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 02:20:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6351542 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 02:18:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA24748 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 02:18:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA19205 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 02:18:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709200718.CAA19205@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 02:18:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm David (21w) Warning Nr 035 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9b0320ca9ef262b2199772b7943a9044 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2633 Status: OR 476 WTPN31 PGTW 200900 1. TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 035 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- 47.2N3 159.3E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 42 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 350 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 47.2N3 159.3E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 50.2N7 170.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 39 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 50.9N4 177.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 36 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 50.2N7 166.2W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 42 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 34 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 42 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 49.4N7 161.1W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION 48.0N2 162.1E0 TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 42 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 200530Z0 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT 35 KNOT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN CONFIRMED USING 192341Z SATELLITE SCATTEROMETRY DATA. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING. TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING RAPIDLY NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AND SLOWLY WEAKEN. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS EXPECTED TO BE COMPLETE IN 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627162-4698>; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 16:17:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA29226; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 03:13:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6351683 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 03:10:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA38872 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 03:10:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA19387 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 03:10:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709200810.DAA19387@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 03:10:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 35c2bab7e863bd3937fdca0892cd7272 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3415 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 166 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 200151Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2 TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WAS LOCATED AT 43.7N4 155.4E5 MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 40 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 34 (WTPN31 PGTW 200300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13N4 148E3. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, SATELLITE- DERIVED CLOUD WIND DRIFT DATA AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS SUGGEST A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PRESENT IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. SATELLITE- DERIVED UPPER-LEVEL WIND DATA INDICATE STRONG UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS PRESENT ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23N5 179E7 IS NOW NEAR 23N5 178E6. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PRESENT IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO REMAIN SPARSE NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 171E9 IS NOW NEAR 18N9 170E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY THAT THIS AREA CONTINUES TO BE POORLY ORGANIZED. SATELLITE-DERIVED UPPER-LEVEL WIND DATA SHOW UPPER-LEVEL CONVERGENCE IS PRESENT ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 112E4 IS NOW NEAR 12N3 111E3. SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS SHOW THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. HOWEVER, THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE SCATTERED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627098-4695>; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 16:24:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA29420; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 03:16:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6351688 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 03:13:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA37590 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 03:10:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA19386 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 03:10:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709200810.DAA19386@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 03:10:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 34e345478201b1be18a84d2b228b50d4 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3361 Status: OR 166 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 200151Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2 TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WAS LOCATED AT 43.7N4 155.4E5 MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 40 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 34 (WTPN31 PGTW 200300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13N4 148E3. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, SATELLITE- DERIVED CLOUD WIND DRIFT DATA AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS SUGGEST A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PRESENT IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. SATELLITE- DERIVED UPPER-LEVEL WIND DATA INDICATE STRONG UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS PRESENT ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23N5 179E7 IS NOW NEAR 23N5 178E6. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PRESENT IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO REMAIN SPARSE NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 171E9 IS NOW NEAR 18N9 170E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY THAT THIS AREA CONTINUES TO BE POORLY ORGANIZED. SATELLITE-DERIVED UPPER-LEVEL WIND DATA SHOW UPPER-LEVEL CONVERGENCE IS PRESENT ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 112E4 IS NOW NEAR 12N3 111E3. SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS SHOW THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. HOWEVER, THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE SCATTERED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627337-4697>; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 16:33:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA16558; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 03:28:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6351702 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 03:25:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA38754 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 03:25:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA19406 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 03:25:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709200825.DAA19406@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 03:25:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Advisory Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 93b29fd760dc5275839b3180636ca856 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1788 Status: OR 462 WTPZ31 KNHC 200825 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SAT SEP 20 1997 ...NORA DRIFTING NORTHWESTWARD... A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA IS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.0 WEST OR ABOUT 275 MILES...440 KM..SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH... 7 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TODAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES. HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS FROM NORA ARE LOCATED OFFSHORE AT THIS TIME...BUT RAIN BANDS COULD SPREAD OVER THE COAST OF SOUTHWEST MEXICO TODAY. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...15.2 N...105.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 980 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627337-4695>; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 16:36:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA16472; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 03:31:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6351707 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 03:28:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA39296 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 03:26:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA19410 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 03:26:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709200826.DAA19410@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 03:26:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 354e4e39631f6529c627532849c4d28b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2109 Status: OR 471 WTPZ21 KNHC 200825 TCMEP1 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 0900Z SAT SEP 20 1997 A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA IS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 105.0W AT 20/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......175NE 100SE 100SW 140NW 12 FT SEAS..225NE 420SE 420SW 300NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 105.0W AT 20/0900Z AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 104.9W FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 15.6N 105.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...175NE 100SE 100SW 140NW FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 16.5N 106.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...175NE 100SE 100SW 140NW FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 18.0N 107.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...175NE 100SE 100SW 140NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 105.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 19.5N 109.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 22.5N 110.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627095-4695>; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 16:53:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA16550; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 03:33:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6351712 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 03:31:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA40328 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 03:26:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA19414 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 03:26:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709200826.DAA19414@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 03:26:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3a76c8dcc13d0e09dc4ec9efcf0b46f3 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1824 Status: OR 472 WTPZ41 KNHC 200826 TCDEP1 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SAT SEP 20 1997 NORA HAS A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH A FAIR OUTFLOW. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS BASICALLY DEFINED BY BANDING FEATURES AND NO EYE. SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW THAT DEEP CONVECTION IS MINIMAL AT THIS TIME AND T-NUMBERS ARE BETWEEN 4.0 AND 4.5 SO...WINDS HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED TO 70 KT. THERE IS GOOD POSSIBILITY THAT NORA WILL REGAIN SOME STRENGTH AS SOON AS IT MOVES OVER THE ABOVE NORMAL WARM WATERS WHICH HAVE PREVAILED TO THE SOUTH OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. HOWEVER... THERE MIGHT BE SOME POCKETS OF COOL WATER IN THIS AREA LEFT BY POWERFUL LINDA A FEW DAYS AGO. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT 4 KNOTS. MODELS...INCLUDING THE AVN...ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT THIS MORNING. THEY MOVE NORA TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND THEN NORTH AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF A PERSISTENT HIGH OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES. ON THIS TRACK...NORA SHOULD BE NEAR THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA BY 72 HOURS. RESIDENTS IN THIS AREA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF NORA. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/0900Z 15.2N 105.0W 70 KTS 12HR VT 20/1800Z 15.6N 105.5W 70 KTS 24HR VT 21/0600Z 16.5N 106.5W 80 KTS 36HR VT 21/1800Z 18.0N 107.5W 85 KTS 48HR VT 22/0600Z 19.5N 109.0W 90 KTS 72HR VT 23/0600Z 22.5N 110.0W 90 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626704-4695>; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 17:55:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA22074; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 04:49:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6352029 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 04:46:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA28878 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 04:46:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA19559 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 04:46:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709200946.EAA19559@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 04:46:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 778ab47fa7bb7382e02bd8610c64c89e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 855 Status: OR 741 ABPZ20 KNHC 200946 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT SEP 20 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NORA LOCATED ABOUT 275 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626424-4697>; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 17:57:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA21052; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 04:55:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6352038 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 04:52:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA24764 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 04:52:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA19563 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 04:52:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709200952.EAA19563@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 04:52:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9e2c37970200015fe015b603ad8fb575 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 674 Status: OR 786 ABPA20 PHNL 201000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST SAT SEP 20 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH SUNDAY. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627922-4695>; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 18:19:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA37374; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 05:16:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6352067 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 05:14:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA41728 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 04:59:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA19579 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 04:59:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709200959.EAA19579@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 04:59:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fdd1d902ea397b602c3bca092785b4b1 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3096 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 875 ABPW10 PGTW 200000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200000Z/200600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 191951Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 191800Z9 TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WAS LOCATED AT 42.0N6 150.2E8 MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 38 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 33 (WTPN31 PGTW 192100)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE ABPW IS REISSUED FOR AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 23N5 179E7. 192225Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PRESENT IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. HOWEVER, NO DEEP CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY OCCURRING NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15N6 169E6 IS NOW NEAR 18N9 171E9. 192225Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE SAME IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THIS AREA CONTINUES TO BE POORLY ORGANIZED, WITH MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION SITUATED ABOUT 250 NM EAST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED SATELLITE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS PRESENT ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 112E4 REMAINS NEAR 13N4 112E4. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. HOWEVER, CONVECTION CONTINUES TO BE SCATTERED, WITH LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION CONCENTRATED NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627938-4696>; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 18:19:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA25668; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 05:07:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6352052 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 05:02:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA24648 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 05:00:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA19578 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 04:59:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709200959.EAA19578@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 04:59:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c6b88c1121bf908be712181ce333a4d9 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3042 Status: OR 875 ABPW10 PGTW 200000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200000Z/200600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 191951Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 191800Z9 TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WAS LOCATED AT 42.0N6 150.2E8 MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 38 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 33 (WTPN31 PGTW 192100)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE ABPW IS REISSUED FOR AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 23N5 179E7. 192225Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PRESENT IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. HOWEVER, NO DEEP CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY OCCURRING NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15N6 169E6 IS NOW NEAR 18N9 171E9. 192225Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE SAME IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THIS AREA CONTINUES TO BE POORLY ORGANIZED, WITH MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION SITUATED ABOUT 250 NM EAST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED SATELLITE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS PRESENT ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 112E4 REMAINS NEAR 13N4 112E4. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. HOWEVER, CONVECTION CONTINUES TO BE SCATTERED, WITH LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION CONCENTRATED NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626704-4696>; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 18:05:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA20350; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 05:02:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6352047 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 04:59:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA16126 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 04:59:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA19587 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 04:59:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709200959.EAA19587@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 04:59:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f51832c4c49f62210ba269a7d5fdc8d3 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3100 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 876 ABPW10 PGTW 200000 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200000Z/200600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 191951Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 191800Z9 TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WAS LOCATED AT 42.0N6 150.2E8 MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 38 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 33 (WTPN31 PGTW 192100)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE ABPW IS REISSUED FOR AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 23N5 179E7. 192225Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PRESENT IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. HOWEVER, NO DEEP CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY OCCURRING NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15N6 169E6 IS NOW NEAR 18N9 171E9. 192225Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE SAME IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THIS AREA CONTINUES TO BE POORLY ORGANIZED, WITH MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION SITUATED ABOUT 250 NM EAST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED SATELLITE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS PRESENT ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 112E4 REMAINS NEAR 13N4 112E4. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. HOWEVER, CONVECTION CONTINUES TO BE SCATTERED, WITH LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION CONCENTRATED NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627924-4697>; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 18:16:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA25620; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 05:11:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6352057 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 05:07:09 -0500 Received: from dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.43]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA38872 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 05:04:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.7/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA04176 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 05:04:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA19586 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 04:59:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709200959.EAA19586@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 04:59:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 77200528b10b4304ebf0e01adf4a6a66 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3046 Status: OR 876 ABPW10 PGTW 200000 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200000Z/200600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 191951Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 191800Z9 TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WAS LOCATED AT 42.0N6 150.2E8 MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 38 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 33 (WTPN31 PGTW 192100)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE ABPW IS REISSUED FOR AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 23N5 179E7. 192225Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PRESENT IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. HOWEVER, NO DEEP CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY OCCURRING NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15N6 169E6 IS NOW NEAR 18N9 171E9. 192225Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE SAME IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THIS AREA CONTINUES TO BE POORLY ORGANIZED, WITH MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION SITUATED ABOUT 250 NM EAST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED SATELLITE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS PRESENT ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 112E4 REMAINS NEAR 13N4 112E4. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. HOWEVER, CONVECTION CONTINUES TO BE SCATTERED, WITH LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION CONCENTRATED NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627922-4695>; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 18:17:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA25734; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 05:14:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6352062 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 05:11:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA37214 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 05:07:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA19617 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 05:07:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709201007.FAA19617@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 05:07:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisorz To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 465e7170d1dd2959ea4b2d73e1bd0c1f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2742 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 031 ABPW10 PGTW 200000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORZ TR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200000Z/200600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 191951Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 191800Z9 TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WAS LOCATED AT 42.0N6 150.2E8 MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 38 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 60 KNOTS WITH OUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 33 :<)-0,31 PGTW 192100)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE ABPW IS REISSUED FOR AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 23N5 1797. 192225Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PRESENT IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. HOWEVER, NO DEEP CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY OCCURRING NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED IHPSR-3;3) $8;34< 3,:3 8 0433,5 -?9;3 5#8 653.. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONTQTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 112E4 REMAINS NEAR 13N4 112E4. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTERLM HOWEVER, CONVECTION CONTINUES TOPBE SCATTERED, WITH LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION CONCENTRATED NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (18 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICALDISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE., FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627938-4698>; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 18:27:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA37318; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 05:21:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6352072 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 05:16:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA21088 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 05:07:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA19616 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 05:07:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709201007.FAA19616@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 05:07:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisorz To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2ca819e50136ac7b1577ae6aeefa59d8 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2688 Status: OR 031 ABPW10 PGTW 200000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORZ TR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200000Z/200600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 191951Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 191800Z9 TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WAS LOCATED AT 42.0N6 150.2E8 MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 38 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 60 KNOTS WITH OUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM DAVID (21W) WARNING NR 33 :<)-0,31 PGTW 192100)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE ABPW IS REISSUED FOR AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 23N5 1797. 192225Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PRESENT IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. HOWEVER, NO DEEP CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY OCCURRING NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED IHPSR-3;3) $8;34< 3,:3 8 0433,5 -?9;3 5#8 653.. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONTQTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 112E4 REMAINS NEAR 13N4 112E4. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTERLM HOWEVER, CONVECTION CONTINUES TOPBE SCATTERED, WITH LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION CONCENTRATED NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (18 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICALDISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE., FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628999-4696>; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 22:42:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA41034; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 09:36:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6353268 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 09:35:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA41150 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 09:35:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA19802 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 09:35:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709201435.JAA19802@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 09:35:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d4a18057639348975f243f98db90bc72 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1913 Status: OR 258 WTPZ41 KNHC 201436 TCDEP1 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT SEP 20 1997 THE STRUCTURE OF NORA REMAINS ABOUT THE SAME WITH NO EYEWALL...NO DEEP CONVECTION CLOSE TO THE CENTER...AND FAIRLY STRONG RAIN BANDS AT GREATER RADII. TAFB AND SAB DVORAK T AND CI NUMBERS HAVE LEVELLED OFF AT 4.0...SO THE INITIAL WIND SPEED IS ESTIMATED AT 65 KT. THE HEADING HAS EDGED OVER TO 300 DEGREES...AT 6 KT. THE 06Z AVN RUN IS LIKE THE PREDECESSORS WITH A WEAKNESS IN THE HEIGHT FIELD FORECAST TO DEVELOP TO THE NORTH OF NORA. HENCE...FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...NORA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INITIALLY TOWARD THE WNW TO NW AND THEN MORE TOWARD THE NORTH...IN AGREEMENT WITH MODEL GUIDANCE. IN THE LONGER-TERM...AN OMEGA-LIKE PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN PART OF THE CONTINENT WITH NORA FORECAST TO BE NEARLY DUE SOUTH OF THE ANTICYCLONE BY 72 HOURS...WITH TROUGHS WELL TO THE NE AND NW. IF NORA IS INFLUENCED BY THE TROUGH TO THE NE...IT WOULD LIKELY TURN TOWARD THE NE AND THEN EAST. IF IT IS AFFECTED MORE BY THE TROUGH TO THE NW...IT COULD GET PULLED FARTHER TOWARD THE NW. RESTRENGTHENING IS FORECAST. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/1500Z 15.6N 105.8W 65 KTS 12HR VT 21/0000Z 16.0N 106.6W 65 KTS 24HR VT 21/1200Z 16.8N 107.8W 70 KTS 36HR VT 22/0000Z 17.9N 108.8W 80 KTS 48HR VT 22/1200Z 19.1N 109.4W 85 KTS 72HR VT 23/1200Z 22.5N 109.5W 85 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628999-4696>; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 22:45:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA26948; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 09:41:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6353338 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 09:39:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA37198 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 09:39:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA19808 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 09:39:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709201439.JAA19808@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 09:39:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6a9f06f95e4a77bce4d9a5406c4a0265 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2118 Status: OR 338 WTPZ21 KNHC 201440 TCMEP1 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 1500Z SAT SEP 20 1997 A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA IS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 105.8W AT 20/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..225NE 420SE 420SW 300NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 105.8W AT 20/1500Z AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 105.6W FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.0N 106.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 16.8N 107.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 17.9N 108.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 105.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 19.1N 109.4W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 22.5N 109.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629080-4698>; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 22:47:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA42304; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 09:42:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6353361 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 09:41:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA41528 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 09:41:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA19813 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 09:41:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709201441.JAA19813@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 09:41:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Advisory Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 25083006469bf55d8a63f26b308c2329 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1815 Status: OR 366 WTPZ31 KNHC 201441 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT SEP 20 1997 A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA IS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.8 WEST OR ABOUT 260 MILES...415 KM...TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN BACK TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST THROUGH TONIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES. HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS FROM NORA ARE LOCATED OFFSHORE AT THIS TIME...BUT OUTER RAIN BANDS COULD SPREAD OVER THE COAST OF SOUTHWEST MEXICO TODAY. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...15.6 N...105.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627944-4695>; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 00:47:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA29546; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 11:41:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6354200 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 11:39:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA28554 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 11:38:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id LAA19975 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 11:38:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709201638.LAA19975@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 11:38:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 038756cc1a62e7d3ce225ef42fcfdfb3 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 871 Status: OR 659 ABPZ20 KNHC 201637 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT SEP 20 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NORA LOCATED ABOUT 260 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630399-4696>; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 02:15:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA41960; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 13:14:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6354795 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 13:12:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA24846 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 13:10:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id NAA20127 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 13:10:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709201810.NAA20127@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 13:10:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 516c05c90c26a49b3ec08ebb9c0d331f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1552 Status: OR 228 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 83E1 IS NOW NEAR 14N5 82E0. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A PERSISTENT AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH LOW-LEVEL TROUGHING IN THE WESTERN BAY OF BENGAL. CURRENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY DOES NOT YET INDICATE A CLOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTION. LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/HONG/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628956-4697>; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 02:25:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA25708; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 13:15:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6354806 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 13:14:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA41744 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 13:10:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id NAA20128 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 13:10:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709201810.NAA20128@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 13:10:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4da32ec4510c17365d9b99512c0c2083 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1603 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 228 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 83E1 IS NOW NEAR 14N5 82E0. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A PERSISTENT AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH LOW-LEVEL TROUGHING IN THE WESTERN BAY OF BENGAL. CURRENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY DOES NOT YET INDICATE A CLOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTION. LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/HONG/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630409-4696>; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 04:44:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA42402; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 15:36:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6355542 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 15:34:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA38688 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 15:34:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA20402 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 15:34:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709202034.PAA20402@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 15:34:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 18 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 26338fba88986d54b6d5dd0b661eb2d2 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1579 Status: OR 152 WTPZ41 KNHC 202034 TCDEP1 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT SEP 20 1997 NORA RETAINS A LARGE DIAMETER EYE WITH SOME SUBVORTICES ROTATING AROUND THE CENTER. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS STILL ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KT...WHICH IS WITHIN THE RANGE PROVIDED BY AFGWC...TAFB...AND SAB. RECENT MOTION HAS BEEN 285/6 KT. THE 12Z AVN FORECAST LOOKS MUCH LIKE EARLIER RUNS AND IS CONSISTENT WITH THE PREVIOUS NHC FORECAST. THE TRACK OF NORA IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME MORE NORTHWARD WHEN THE HURRICANE ENCOUNTERS THE WEAKNESS IN THE HEIGHT FIELD FORECAST TO DEVELOP SOUTHWARD FROM THE MIDDLE LATITUDES ALONG 110W. DYNAMIC MODEL TRACK GUIDANCE RESEMBLES THE NHC TRACK BUT WITH THE GFDL CONSIDERABLY FASTER....AND MOST OTHERS CONSIDERABLY SLOWER...THAN THE OFFICIAL FORWARD SPEED. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/2100Z 15.8N 106.5W 65 KTS 12HR VT 21/0600Z 16.2N 107.3W 70 KTS 24HR VT 21/1800Z 17.1N 108.5W 75 KTS 36HR VT 22/0600Z 18.3N 109.5W 80 KTS 48HR VT 22/1800Z 20.0N 110.0W 85 KTS 72HR VT 23/1800Z 23.5N 110.0W 85 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630406-4695>; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 04:44:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA42454; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 15:37:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6355547 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 15:36:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA25640 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 15:34:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA20406 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 15:34:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709202034.PAA20406@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 15:34:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 18 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5455ea6fc73bc07eee4c241db12410a4 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2118 Status: OR 153 WTPZ21 KNHC 202035 TCMEP1 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 2100Z SAT SEP 20 1997 A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA IS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 106.5W AT 20/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..225NE 420SE 420SW 300NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 106.5W AT 20/2100Z AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 106.2W FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 16.2N 107.3W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 17.1N 108.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 18.3N 109.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 106.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 20.0N 110.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 23.5N 110.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630409-4696>; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 04:44:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA42300; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 15:39:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6355556 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 15:37:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA29830 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 15:35:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA20415 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 15:35:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709202035.PAA20415@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 15:35:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Advisory Number 18 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 71e5905409048edd45b0bec0905686dd X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1892 Status: OR 154 WTPZ31 KNHC 202036 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT SEP 20 1997 A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA IS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.5 WEST OR ABOUT 260 MILES...415 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES. RADAR DATA FROM THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF MEXICO INDICATES THAT HEAVY RAIN WITH POSSIBLE STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS IS LOCATED OFFSHORE AT THIS TIME. SOME OUTER RAIN BANDS COULD SPREAD OVER THE COAST OF SOUTHWEST MEXICO TODAY AND TONIGHT. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...15.8 N...106.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD ...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <630424-4695>; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 05:59:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA12956; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 16:57:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6355915 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 16:56:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA37754 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 16:56:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA20618 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 16:56:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709202156.QAA20618@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 16:56:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a4086e24b99077b6f16ea82606cb5654 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 677 Status: OR 416 ABPA20 PHNL 202200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST SAT SEP 20 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH SUNDAY. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628501-4696>; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 06:24:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA31526; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 17:17:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6355946 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 17:14:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA24224 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 17:14:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA20644 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 17:14:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709202214.RAA20644@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 17:14:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 22w Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 98782586e103f146c6e9b2a5ac51a259 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2835 Status: OR 843 WTPN31 PGTW 202100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- 12.7N0 110.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.7N0 110.7E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 12.9N2 110.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 13.2N6 110.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 13.5N9 111.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 13.7N1 111.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 13.9N3 112.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION 12.7N0 110.6E8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA JUST TO THE EAST OF CENTRAL VIETNAM. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 201730Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN WEAK STEERING FLOW FOR THE DURATION OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. IT HAS BEEN DRIFTING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD, BUT IS EXPECTED TO TURN EAST-NORTHEASTWARD DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SLOW INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST DURING THE FIRST 36 HOURS, THEN STRENGTHENING AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THEREAFTER AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES GENERALLY EAST- NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE OPEN SOUTH CHINA SEA. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION FROM AN ANALYSIS OF 201730Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0), 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6), 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3) AND 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625932-29988>; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 06:40:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA38862; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 17:35:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6356085 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 17:32:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA29348 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 17:30:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA20662 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 17:30:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709202230.RAA20662@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 17:30:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 22w Warning Nr 01a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8fd9877ccf01f80c72f890bf20413bbe X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2876 Status: OR 128 WTPN31 PGTW 202100 COR 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNING NR 01A 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- 12.7N0 110.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.7N0 110.7E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 12.9N2 110.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 13.2N6 110.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 13.5N9 111.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 13.7N1 111.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 13.9N3 112.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION 12.7N0 110.6E8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA JUST TO THE EAST OF CENTRAL VIETNAM. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 201730Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN WEAK STEERING FLOW FOR THE DURATION OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. IT HAS BEEN DRIFTING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD, BUT IS EXPECTED TO TURN EAST-NORTHEASTWARD DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SLOW INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST DURING THE FIRST 36 HOURS, THEN STRENGTHENING AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THEREAFTER AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES GENERALLY EAST- NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE OPEN SOUTH CHINA SEA. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION FROM AN ANALYSIS OF 201730Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0), 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6), 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3) AND 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9). 2. JUSTIFICATION: GRAMMAR CORRECTION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625937-29982>; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 06:40:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA28852; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 17:32:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6356063 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 17:30:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA20466 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 17:30:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA20666 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 17:30:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709202230.RAA20666@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 17:30:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a1a1c52b02e4e65c370106b0b126e34e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 862 Status: OR 155 ABPZ20 KNHC 202230 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT SEP 20 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NORA LOCATED ABOUT 270 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625966-29989>; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 09:21:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA27148; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 20:15:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6357107 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 20:12:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA28486 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 20:12:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id UAA20956 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 20:12:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709210112.UAA20956@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 20:12:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 22w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b7e338d7d9e4549d15cb3270a3b47110 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2587 Status: OR 865 WTPN31 PGTW 210300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- 12.5N8 110.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.5N8 110.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 12.8N1 110.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 13.2N6 110.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 13.6N0 110.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 13.9N3 111.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 14.2N7 112.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION 12.6N9 110.4E6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W IS QUASISTATIONARY IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. THIS SYSTEM IS STILL FORECAST TO GRADUALLY TURN EAST-NORTHEASTWARD DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THEN CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY IN THAT DIRECTION FOR THE REMAINDER OF THAT FORECAST PERIOD. GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS DUE TO INTERACTION WITH THE LAND MASS OF VIETNAM. MORE RAPID INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST AFTER 36 HOURS AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES AWAY FROM LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6), 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3), 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9) AND 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625998-29989>; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 10:15:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA38166; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 21:09:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6357567 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 21:06:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA37522 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 21:06:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA21004 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 21:06:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709210206.VAA21004@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 21:06:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: This Warning Supersedes And Cancels Navpacmetoccen West To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3c15de006746b201baced470321aac51 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2980 Status: OR 050 WTPN32 PGTW 210300 THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 202123Z SEP 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 202130 ) 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- 24.0N6 172.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.0N6 172.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 24.8N4 168.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 25.6N3 165.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 26.4N2 162.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 27.4N3 160.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 29.6N7 156.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION 24.2N8 171.2E1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W HAS FORMED SOUTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND AND IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 20 KNOTS. MOTION IN THIS GENERAL DIRECTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY SLOW DOWN DURING THIS TIME FRAME AS WELL. SLOW INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST THROUGH 48 HOURS, THEN STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS FROM THE WEST ARE FORECAST TO INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT THEREAFTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2 (DTG 210753Z8), 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5), 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1) AND 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 202123Z SEP 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 202130) REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626009-29982>; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 10:36:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA42372; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 21:33:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6357668 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 21:31:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA42408 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 21:30:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA21018 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 21:30:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709210230.VAA21018@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 21:30:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Advisory Number 19 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2a09163944f2a505fb860c5a2315d14c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1898 Status: OR 473 WTPZ31 KNHC 210231 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT SEP 20 1997 A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA IS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.0 WEST OR ABOUT 280 MILES...450 KM...SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH ...11 KM/HR...A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES. RADAR DATA FROM THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF MEXICO INDICATES THAT HEAVY RAIN WITH POSSIBLE STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS IS LOCATED OFFSHORE AT THIS TIME. SOME OUTER RAIN BANDS COULD SPREAD OVER THE COAST OF SOUTHWEST MEXICO TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...15.9 N...107.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT...SUNDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626000-29982>; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 10:41:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA27002; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 21:36:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6357690 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 21:34:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA38838 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 21:30:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA21022 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 21:30:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709210230.VAA21022@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 21:30:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 19 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a99c4c10be7d1e13ae33db15caf6802b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1448 Status: OR 510 WTPZ41 KNHC 210231 TCDEP1 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT SEP 20 1997 NORA RETAINS A LARGE DIAMETER EYE WITH DEEP CONVECTION ON THE SOUTHWEST SIDE ONLY. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS STILL ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KT...WHICH IS WITHIN THE RANGE PROVIDED BY AFGWC...TAFB...AND SAB. RECENT MOTION HAS BEEN 290/6 KT. NO MAJOR SURPRISES IN THE GUIDANCE PACKAGE. ALL DYNAMIC MODELS GRADUALLY TURN NORA MORE NORTHWARD IN RESPONSE TO A WEAKNESS IN THE HEIGHT FIELD FORECAST TO DEVELOP SOUTHWARD FROM THE MIDDLE LATITUDES ALONG 110W. NHC OFFICIAL FORECAST RESEMBLES THE COMPOSITE OF THIS ENSEMBLE OF TRACK FORECASTS AND IS SIMILAR TO OUR PREVIOUS TRACK. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/0300Z 15.9N 107.0W 65 KTS 12HR VT 21/1200Z 16.4N 107.8W 70 KTS 24HR VT 22/0000Z 17.5N 109.0W 75 KTS 36HR VT 22/1200Z 18.9N 109.9W 80 KTS 48HR VT 23/0000Z 20.7N 110.1W 85 KTS 72HR VT 24/0000Z 24.3N 109.7W 85 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sun Sep 21 11:40:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626009-29982>; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 10:41:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA29420; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 21:34:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6357674 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 21:33:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA28478 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 21:31:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA21026 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 21:31:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709210231.VAA21026@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 21:31:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 19 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7f8a5c34e87222d2a5de00d290e1d48a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2117 Status: OR 511 WTPZ21 KNHC 210232 TCMEP1 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 0300Z SUN SEP 21 1997 A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA IS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 107.0W AT 21/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 300SW 420NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 107.0W AT 21/0300Z AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 106.7W FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 16.4N 107.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 17.5N 109.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 18.9N 109.9W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 107.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 20.7N 110.1W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 24.3N 109.7W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 10:01:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625985-29982>; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 12:07:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA14050; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 22:59:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6358518 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 22:58:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA20286 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 22:58:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA21117 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 1997 22:58:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709210358.WAA21117@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 22:58:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4a5f4f37a24365ccb8815d81caee49d7 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 863 Status: OR 606 ABPZ20 KNHC 210358 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT SEP 20 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NORA LOCATED ABOUT 280 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 10:01:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626067-29985>; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 13:12:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAB29860; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 00:06:31 -0500 Message-Id: <199709210506.AAB29860@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Sep 1997 00:00:02 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 19 Sep 1997 to 20 Sep 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 07743cd2767edf5cbf25dbb1b4e85d05 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 11317 Status: OR There are 7 messages totalling 295 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. EL NINO 2. EMWIN and other software 3. Inline Images... 4. "Shelter From The Storm!" RECENT UPDATES 5. MAJOR changes with NWS WMO headers for products 6. NWS WMO header changes Part II 7. Cool wx-related toy +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 00:24:38 -0500 From: Dan Satterfield Subject: Re: EL NINO For those interested in El Nino, Gary petti MIC of the NWSFO BHM has put a fascinating paper on the NWS BHM Website about El Nino effects on Alabama. http://www.acesag.auburn.edu/department/nws/elnino/el_nino.html I have also been looking at past data and while it is still incomplete, I have found that during El Nino years, snowfall in Huntsville is well below the normal 4 inches we get on average. Gary's paper was of special interest to those interested in Severe weather....it seems that the number of tornadoes in Alabama almost doubles in El Nino years and for at least 2 years afterward! Dan S _________________________________________________________________ Dan Satterfield Chief Meteorologist WHNT-TV Huntsville, AL ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 00:37:56 -0700 From: Don or Darla Arnold Subject: EMWIN and other software hello out there a couple weeks ago ..yeah i know but i am that far behind..some on tis list i believe made mention of rcving EMWIN via a regular modem using a diferent software teh weathernode..if that is true ple e-mail me with details DON ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 06:35:03 EDT From: Robert Lightbown Subject: Inline Images... I am looking for weather sites that have inline images of the entire Atlantic Ocean. Could someone point me to a good site. Thanks... Robert Lightbown My Tropical Web Page... http://maine.maine.edu/~rlight51/index.html ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 09:08:17 -0700 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: "Shelter From The Storm!" RECENT UPDATES Greetings! Some of the latest additions to "SFTS!". - Wisconsin Storm Chaser Don Lloyds Home Page, "Tornadoes of Wisconsin"! - WTMJ TV-4 Milwaukee - Local Doppler Radar, -60- SECOND UPDATE! - NWS DIFAX Multi Panel Charts - NOAA Space Environment Center, Alerts and Warnings - Civil Emergency Messages - Cooperative New Madrid Seismic Network - Keith Brewster's N0IAW's, Commercial TV Station Chase Guide - OZARES - Ozaukee County Wisconsin A.R.E.S. - Project "MesoWisconsin" - Surface Observations from the NWS, DOT, EPA and more - Monitoring Times Magazine - Grove Enterprises - Xena: Warrior Princess Official Home Page (Oh?) - The Infamous DRUDGE REPORT (news links, Hurricane Chase!, current events) - Mark's Godzilla Page! (Huh?) As you can see there is something for everyone. I've also added the "Live Audio" Syntax (works with most any browser) for your listening pleasure. Now you can browse in leisure with "bumper" music and environmental sound effects. I've also added a web counter that actually works. I was very happy to see how many of you have already visited "SFTS!". Thanks for your past and future support! ************************************************************************* 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA Milwaukee Area Skywarn Assoc./Milwaukee-Waukesha Amateur Radio Emergency Service (A.R.E.S.)/IL Multi-County Warning System E-Mail, bkopp@execpc.com Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" my severe weather and SKYWARN home page! SFTS! http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 14:08:26 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: MAJOR changes with NWS WMO headers for products Hello all, This week I was informed by the National Weather Service (NWS) that between now and the end of April, 1998, many products will be changing their WMO "headers". This includes everything from warnings to forecasts to...well, you name it. This is part 1. I'll send part 2 shortly. Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* FOS/NOAAPORT NOTICE NO. 1123 SEPTEMBER 19... 1997 THE IMPLEMENTATION DATE FOR PHASE 1 OF THE NWS COMMUNICATIONS IDENTIFIER IMPLEMENTATION PLAN HAS BEEN SET FOR TUESDAY NOVEMBER 18 AT 1500 UTC. THIS PHASE INCLUDES GUIDANCE AND PUBLIC FORECASTS. THE GENERIC CHANGES ARE LISTED BELOW. SPECIFIC WMO HEADING CHANGES WILL BE AVAILABLE SHORTLY ON THE NWS SYSTEMS OPERATIONS CENTER CHANGE NOTICES WEB PAGE AT THE FOLLOWING URL. NOTE THE URL SHOULD BE TYPED IN ALL LOWER CASE. HTTP TO WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OSO/NOTICES/NOTICES.SHTML PHASE 1 NOV 18/1500 UTC GUIDANCE FORECASTS / PUBLIC FORECASTS TT WMO HEADING OR AWIPS/AFOS DESCRIPTION II REPRESENTATION CATEGORY FO FOAK15-17 KWNO FBP AK FOUS 24/36/48-HR BNDRY LYR WIND/PRCIP FO 6I FFG FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE FO 7I FFH HEADWATER GUIDANCE FO FOUS40-43 KWNO FOH ETA FOUS FREEZING AND RH FO FOUAII KWNO FRH FOUS RH/TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE FO FOUS50-57 KWNO FTJ FOUS TRAJECTORY FORECAST FO FOUS12/33 KWNO FTP FOUS PROG MAX/MIN TEMP/POP GUIDANCE FOCN10 KWNO PACIFIC NW FOUS MX/MN TEMP/POP GUIDANCE FO FOUS14 CCCC FWC FOUS WIND/CLOUD GUIDANCE FO 5I RDF REVISED DIGITAL FORECAST FO 4I RDG REVISED DIGITAL GUIDANCE FP 4I CCF CODED CITY FORECAST FP FPCN12 CWAO CSC CANADIAN SELECTED CITIES FORECAST FP 7I NOW SHORT TERM FORECAST FP 8I OPU OTHER PUBLIC PRODUCTS FP 4I SCS SELECTED CITIES SUMMARY FP 6I SFP STATE FORECAST FP 4I TAV TRAVELERS FORECAST TABLE FP 8I TVL TRAVELERS FORECAST FP 5I ZVP ZONE FORECAST PLEASE SEE THE NOUS40 KWBC MESSAGE NUMBER 1122 FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THE GENERAL NOTIFICATION AND IMPLEMENTATION SCHEDULE FOR ALL PHASES OF THE IMPLEMENTATION PLAN. IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS PLEASE CONTACT FRED BRANSKI SENIOR DATA MANAGER PHONE 301-713-0864 EXTENSION 146 EMAIL FRED.BRANSKI/AT SYMBOL/NOAA.GOV EMAIL ADDRESS SHOULD BE ALL LOWER CASE RICHARD K. THIGPEN CHIEF NETWORK MONITORING AND ANALYSIS BRANCH SYSTEMS OPERATIONS CENTER RTH WASHINGTON SENDS END NNNN ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 14:09:35 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: NWS WMO header changes Part II Here is part 2 of the message. ...Gilbert... FOS/NOAAPORT NOTICE NO. 1122 SEPTEMBER 19... 1997 THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE NWS COMMUNICATIONS IDENTIFIER IMPLEMENTATION PLAN HAS STARTED. BELOW IS THE GENERAL SCHEDULE FOR NOTIFICATION AND IMPLEMENTATION OF WMO HEADING CHANGES. THE CHANGES ARE ORGANIZED AROUND CATEGORIES OF PRODUCTS AS INDICATED. IMPLEMENTATION OF PHASE 1 IS SCHEDULED FOR TUESDAY NOVEMBER 18 AT 1500 UTC. PHASE 1 INCLUDES GUIDANCE AND PUBLIC FORECASTS. PLEASE SEE NOUS40 KWBC MESSAGE NUMBER 1123 FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THE PHASE 1 HEADING CHANGES. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE SHORTLY ON THE NWS COMMUNICATIONS AND CODES INFORMATION WEB PAGE AT THE FOLLOWING URL. NOTE THE URL SHOULD BE TYPED IN ALL LOWER CASE. HTTP TO WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OSO/COMINFO.SHTML SCHEDULE FOR IMPLEMENTING COMMUNICATION IDENTIFIER CHANGES PHASE N NOTIFY/IMPLEMENT PRODUCT DESCRIPTION PHASE 1 SEP 97/NOV 18/1500 UTC GUIDANCE FORECASTS / PUBLIC FORECASTS PHASE 2 SEP 97/DEC 97 EXTENDED FORECASTS / OTHER FORECASTS / FIRE WEATHER / AG WEATHER PHASE 3 OCT 97/JAN 98 WARNINGS / SEVERE WEATHER / TROPICAL CYCLONE PHASE 4 NOV 97/FEB 98 HYDROLOGICAL PRODUCTS / RADAR / SATELLITE PHASE 5 DEC 97/MAR 98 NOTICES / SIGMETS / AIRMETS / FLIGHT ADVISORIES PHASE 6 JAN 98/APR 98 SURFACE DATA / UPPER AIR PRODUCTS / ANALYSES / CLIMATIC DATA PHASE/S/ IF NEEDED + 1 MONTH/+ 1 MONTH IF AN OPERATIONAL REQUIREMENT ARISES PREVENTING ANY PARTICULAR PRODUCT/S/ FROM CHANGING ITS COMMUNICATIONS IDENTIFIER WHEN SCHEDULED WE WILL SLIP THOSE SPECIFIC PRODUCTS ONE MONTH AT A TIME UNTIL IMPLEMENTED. IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS PLEASE CONTACT FRED BRANSKI SENIOR DATA MANAGER PHONE 301-713-0864 EXTENSION 146 EMAIL FRED.BRANSKI/AT SYMBOL/NOAA.GOV EMAIL ADDRESS SHOULD BE ALL LOWER CASE RICHARD K. THIGPEN CHIEF NETWORK MONITORING AND ANALYSIS BRANCH SYSTEMS OPERATIONS CENTER RTH WASHINGTON SENDS END ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 20 Sep 1997 20:17:20 -0700 From: Brian Garrett Subject: Re: Cool wx-related toy On Fri, 19 Sep 1997, Chris Novy wrote: > > I was walking through our mall yesterday and saw a cool "weather-related" > toy at Spencer Gifts (a national chain store). It was so cool in fact that > my credit card leaped right out of my wallet and through the magnetic stripe > reader before I even knew what was happening. ;-) > > The toy is called Luminglas and produces a beautiful "lightning" display. > It works by passing high voltage through tiny glass-like beads sandwiched > between two 21" circular plates of glass. A power supply module sits on > the back side of the glass controls the pattern and audio sensitivity (the > gizmo responds to sounds). The Luminglas produces amazing lightning-like > patterns in either white or neon blue (depending upon which unit you buy). > When you touch the surface of the glass the lightning arcs to where your You *really* need to get out of that office more often, my friend. :-) Thses gizmos have been on the market at places like Spencer's and The Nature Company, for, oh, about seven or eight years now if not longer. What I *would* like to know, and have never been able to find out, is what gas is used to fill the Luminglass sphere. Can't be neon, the spectrum isn't right. Argon, maybe? Brian Garrett ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 19 Sep 1997 to 20 Sep 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Sep 22 10:01:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626476-29988>; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 14:28:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA25634; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 01:26:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6359331 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 01:24:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA25766 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 01:24:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA21307 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 01:24:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709210624.BAA21307@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Sep 1997 01:24:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3a8fffea4edf24ba9329ce50bf8f242e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3284 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 468 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 210151Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 210153Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WAS LOCATED AT 12.5N8 110.4E6 MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNING NR 02 (WTPN31 PGTW 210300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 210000Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WAS LOCATED AT 24.0N6 172.1E1 MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 20 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNING NR 01 (WTPN32 PGTW 210300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 148E3 IS NOW NEAR 12N3 147E2. SATELLITE-DERIVED CLOUD WIND DRIFT DATA AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PRESENT IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO REMAIN DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23N5 178E6 IS NOW NEAR 24.0N6 172.1E1 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNING NR 01 (WTPN32 PGTW 210300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FUTURE DETAILS. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 170E8 IS NOW NEAR 19N0 170E8. RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. SATELLITE-DERIVED UPPER-LEVEL WIND DATA CONTINUE TO SHOW UPPER-LEVEL CONVERGENCE IS PRESENT ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 111E3 IS NOW NEAR 12.5N8 110.4E6 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNING NR 02 (WTPN31 PGTW 210300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FUTURE DETAILS. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 10:01:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626558-29988>; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 14:35:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA28748; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 01:27:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6359336 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 01:26:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA13992 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 01:24:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA21306 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 01:24:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709210624.BAA21306@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Sep 1997 01:24:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4f978b66060126122739dee114219767 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3230 Status: OR 468 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 210151Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 210153Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WAS LOCATED AT 12.5N8 110.4E6 MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNING NR 02 (WTPN31 PGTW 210300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 210000Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WAS LOCATED AT 24.0N6 172.1E1 MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 20 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNING NR 01 (WTPN32 PGTW 210300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 148E3 IS NOW NEAR 12N3 147E2. SATELLITE-DERIVED CLOUD WIND DRIFT DATA AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PRESENT IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO REMAIN DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23N5 178E6 IS NOW NEAR 24.0N6 172.1E1 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNING NR 01 (WTPN32 PGTW 210300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FUTURE DETAILS. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 170E8 IS NOW NEAR 19N0 170E8. RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. SATELLITE-DERIVED UPPER-LEVEL WIND DATA CONTINUE TO SHOW UPPER-LEVEL CONVERGENCE IS PRESENT ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 111E3 IS NOW NEAR 12.5N8 110.4E6 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNING NR 02 (WTPN31 PGTW 210300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FUTURE DETAILS. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 10:01:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626584-29988>; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 14:41:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA38656; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 01:37:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6359348 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 01:35:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA24596 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 01:33:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA21315 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 01:33:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709210633.BAA21315@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Sep 1997 01:33:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8870ab757619bdc51d39945ba22bab98 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2683 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 675 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETXCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 210151Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 210153Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTEVV NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 <-- .-)-6 A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 21#000Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WAS LOCATED AT 12.5N8 110.4E6 MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTE T 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNING NR 02 (WTPN31 PGTW 210300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 210000Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WAS LOCATED AT 24.0N<0172.1E1 MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 20 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEEOWGQEN4 148E3 IS NOW NEAR 12N3 147E2. SATELLITE-DERIVED CLOUD WIND DRIFT DATA AND SCATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PRESENB IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTIONWH ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO REMAIN DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICAFT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23N5 178E6 IS NOW NEAR 24.0N6 172.1E1 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNING NR 01 (WTPN32 PGTW 210300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FVBA8> KEL THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 170E8 IS NOW NEAR 19N0 170E8. RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. SATELLITE-DERIVED UPPER-LEVEL WIND DATA CONTINUE TO SHOW UPPER-LEVEL CONVERGENCE IS PRESENT ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. -5 (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 111E3 IS NOW NEAR 12.5N8 110.4E6 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPIITEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/BACON// N N +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 10:01:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626578-29989>; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 14:41:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA38770; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 01:34:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6359343 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 01:33:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA26390 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 01:33:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA21314 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 01:33:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709210633.BAA21314@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Sep 1997 01:33:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9c35f85db0bb4ce31793c7f40ffea39f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2629 Status: OR 675 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETXCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 210151Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 210153Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTEVV NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 <-- .-)-6 A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 21#000Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WAS LOCATED AT 12.5N8 110.4E6 MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTE T 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNING NR 02 (WTPN31 PGTW 210300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 210000Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WAS LOCATED AT 24.0N<0172.1E1 MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 20 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEEOWGQEN4 148E3 IS NOW NEAR 12N3 147E2. SATELLITE-DERIVED CLOUD WIND DRIFT DATA AND SCATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PRESENB IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTIONWH ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO REMAIN DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICAFT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23N5 178E6 IS NOW NEAR 24.0N6 172.1E1 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNING NR 01 (WTPN32 PGTW 210300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FVBA8> KEL THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 170E8 IS NOW NEAR 19N0 170E8. RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. SATELLITE-DERIVED UPPER-LEVEL WIND DATA CONTINUE TO SHOW UPPER-LEVEL CONVERGENCE IS PRESENT ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. -5 (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 111E3 IS NOW NEAR 12.5N8 110.4E6 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPIITEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/BACON// N N +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 10:01:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626032-29982>; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 15:23:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA19544; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 02:15:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6359475 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 02:13:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA13110 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 02:13:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA21355 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 02:13:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709210713.CAA21355@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Sep 1997 02:13:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 22w Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: aadb78a4a7fa12aaf2842bfcbf48aa45 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2543 Status: OR 520 WTPN31 PGTW 210900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- 13.0N4 110.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.0N4 110.7E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 13.4N8 111.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 13.8N2 111.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 14.2N7 111.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 14.6N1 112.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 15.3N9 112.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION 13.1N5 110.8E0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W IS DRIFTING SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO COMPLETE ITS TURN AND CONTINUE NORTHEASTWARD. INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST TO BECOME MORE RAPID AFTER 24 HOURS WHEN THIS SYSTEM HAS MOVED FARTHER AWAY FROM LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3), 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9), 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1) AND 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 10:01:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626061-29988>; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 16:04:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA29664; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 02:51:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6359763 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 02:50:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA40090 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 02:50:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA21368 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 02:50:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709210750.CAA21368@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Sep 1997 02:50:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 23w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3cf65b48f8e95172651867648815679c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2725 Status: OR 073 WTPN32 PGTW 210900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- 24.9N5 169.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.9N5 169.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 25.9N6 165.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 27.1N0 162.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 28.4N4 159.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 29.7N8 157.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 33.0N6 156.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION 25.2N9 168.7E2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 21 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING IN THAT GENERAL DIRECTION FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS, THEN TURN NORTHWARD INTO A REGION OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WEAKENED BY AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE SHORT WAVE. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED THROUGH 48 HOURS, THEN THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5), 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1), 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3) AND 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 10:01:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626067-29982>; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 16:24:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA27336; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 03:21:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6359844 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 03:20:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA12924 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 03:20:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA21564 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 03:20:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709210820.DAA21564@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Sep 1997 03:20:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 20 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c4d77f5ad266100ef37b826dafb1ccfe X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1972 Status: OR 604 WTPZ41 KNHC 210820 TCDEP1 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 20 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN SEP 21 1997 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 315/06. THE 00Z AVIATION MODEL SHOWS A WEAKNESS DEVELOPING IN THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE HURRICANE DUE TO A SLOW MOVING CUT OFF LOW OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES. MOST OF THE MODELS SHOW A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND SLIGHTLY FASTER MOVEMENT. THE NOGAPS IS FURTHEST EAST WHILE THE UKMET IS FURTHER WEST AND MUCH SLOWER. THE REST OF THE MODELS ARE CLUSTERD NEAR THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA IN 72 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS IN THE MIDDLE OF THIS CLUSTER IN CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH THE GFLD AND QUITE SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. THERE HAS BEEN A VERY LARGE INCREASE IN DEEP CONVECTION SURROUNDING A LARGE EYE OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. OBJECTIVE T NUMBERS ARE NEAR 7.0 WHILE TAFB AND SAB INTENSITIES ARE A CONSERVATIVE 5.0. THE WIND SPEED IS INCREASED TO 90 KNOTS AND IT COULD GO HIGHER WITH THIS IMPRESSIVE CLOUD PATTERN....VERY WARM SSTS...AND MINIMAL SHEAR FOR THE NEXT 3 DAYS. NORA IS FORECAST TO PASS CLOSE TO SOCORRO ISLAND IN ABOUT 36 HOURS AND THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/0900Z 16.4N 107.1W 90 KTS 12HR VT 21/1800Z 17.1N 107.8W 100 KTS 24HR VT 22/0600Z 18.1N 108.9W 100 KTS 36HR VT 22/1800Z 19.5N 110.0W 100 KTS 48HR VT 23/0600Z 21.2N 110.0W 100 KTS 72HR VT 24/0600Z 24.5N 110.0W 80 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 10:01:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626331-29988>; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 16:25:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA27374; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 03:23:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6359849 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 03:22:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA40092 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 03:20:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA21568 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 03:20:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709210820.DAA21568@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Sep 1997 03:20:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 20 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: db09ccbc1192e6e4afc62a7acfdd9eea X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2245 Status: OR 645 WTPZ21 KNHC 210821 TCMEP1 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 0900Z SUN SEP 21 1997 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE NEARBY REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO FOR WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 107.1W AT 21/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB EYE DIAMETER 40 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT 64 KT....... 50NE 75SE 75SW 50NW 50 KT....... 75NE 100SE 100SW 75NW 34 KT.......150NE 175SE 175SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..3300E 300SE 300SW 400NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 107.1W AT 21/0900Z AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 106.9W FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 17.1N 107.8W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 50NE 75SE 75SW 50NW 50 KT... 75NE 100SE 100SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 175SE 175SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 18.1N 108.9W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 19.5N 110.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 107.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 21.2N 110.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 24.5N 110.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 10:01:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626390-29982>; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 16:39:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA27174; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 03:33:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6359892 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 03:32:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA39936 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 03:32:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA21589 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 03:32:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709210832.DAA21589@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Sep 1997 03:32:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Advisory Number 20 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2397685357297cc8ae483051fadc85ff X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1997 Status: OR 792 WTPZ31 KNHC 210833 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN SEP 21 1997 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE NEARBY REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO FOR WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.1 WEST OR ABOUT 250 MILES...405 KM...SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE AGAIN INCREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY TODAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES. THE RADAR AT CUYUTLAN SHOWS THAT RAINFALL FROM THE OUTER RAINBANDS IS NOT FAR OFFSHORE AND COULD SPREAD INLAND LATER TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF THE PROVINCES OF JALISCO...MICHOACAN...AND GUERRERO. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...16.4 N...107.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 970 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM PDT. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 10:01:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626412-29985>; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 18:00:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA25034; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 04:57:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6360085 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 04:56:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA37798 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 04:56:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA21648 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 04:56:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709210956.EAA21648@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Sep 1997 04:56:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6e11c83bf9399bdf55de6235467823a0 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 673 Status: OR 061 ABPA20 PHNL 211000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST SUN SEP 21 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH MONDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 10:01:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626520-29988>; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 19:16:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id GAA12882; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 06:14:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6360387 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 06:13:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id GAA13828 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 06:13:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id GAA21712 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 06:13:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709211113.GAA21712@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Sep 1997 06:13:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9a881b0396f955ccfa077939ca1ecaa7 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 862 Status: OR 377 ABPZ20 KNHC 211108 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN SEP 21 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NORA LOCATED ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 10:01:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626520-29988>; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 19:52:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id GAA20914; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 06:49:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6360632 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 06:47:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id GAA13884 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 06:47:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id GAA21725 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 06:47:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709211147.GAA21725@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Sep 1997 06:47:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Intermediate Advisory Number 20a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a0b1b5e0218c2e4b32cd280482051d00 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1940 Status: OR 190 WTPZ31 KNHC 211148 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 20A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT SUN SEP 21 1997 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE NEARBY REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO FOR WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.8 WEST OR ABOUT 275 MILES...445 KM...SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY TODAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES. THE RADAR AT CUYUTLAN SHOWS THAT RAINFALL FROM THE OUTER RAINBANDS IS NOT FAR OFFSHORE AND COULD SPREAD INLAND LATER TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF THE PROVINCES OF JALISCO...MICHOACAN...AND GUERRERO. REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...16.6 N...107.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 970 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 10:01:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626530-29989>; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 21:57:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA29614; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 08:45:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6361305 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 08:44:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA24908 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 08:44:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id IAA21802 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 08:44:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709211344.IAA21802@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Sep 1997 08:44:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 22w Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: eba4fbf3bc8548a4167516a48e54fad3 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2337 Status: OR 521 WTPN31 PGTW 211500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- 13.7N1 111.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.7N1 111.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 14.2N7 111.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 14.7N2 112.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 15.3N9 112.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 15.9N5 113.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 17.0N8 114.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 211500Z9 POSITION 13.8N2 111.2E5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9), 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1), 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7) AND 221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 10:01:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626529-29989>; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 22:05:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA26412; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 08:58:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6361448 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 08:56:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA22266 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 08:56:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id IAA21812 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 08:56:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709211356.IAA21812@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Sep 1997 08:56:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 23w Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9924270ce862c0ca0982803b23c6b244 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2538 Status: OR 721 WTPN32 PGTW 211500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- 26.1N9 166.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 28 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 26.1N9 166.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 28.1N1 161.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 29.4N5 159.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 30.3N6 157.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 31.5N9 157.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 34.9N6 158.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 211500Z9 POSITION 26.6N4 165.3E5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 28 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1), 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3), 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9) AND 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 10:01:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626536-29989>; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 22:38:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA25634; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 09:36:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6361504 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 09:34:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA32948 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 09:34:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA21847 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 09:34:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709211434.JAA21847@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Sep 1997 09:34:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Advisory Number 21 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6757b204db90714db6b89a3d1144d472 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2244 Status: OR 596 WTPZ31 KNHC 211435 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN SEP 21 1997 ...NORA STRENGTHENING ...AND MOVING A LITTLE FASTER... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS UPGRADED THE HURRICANE WATCH TO A HURRICANE WARNING FOR SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE NEARBY REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS...EFFECTIVE AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO FOR WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA BY TONIGHT. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.4 WEST OR ABOUT 420 MILES...675 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH ...17 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR ...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE TODAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES. THE RADAR AT CUYUTLAN SHOWS THAT RAINFALL FROM THE OUTER RAINBANDS IS NOT FAR OFFSHORE AND COULD SPREAD INLAND LATER TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF THE PROVINCES OF JALISCO...MICHOACAN...AND GUERRERO. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...17.0 N...108.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 952 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 10:01:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626548-29989>; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 22:41:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA25702; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 09:37:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6361509 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 09:36:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA42492 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 09:35:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA21855 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 09:35:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709211435.JAA21855@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Sep 1997 09:35:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 21 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 82d5eb6c9da83e7dd3f6c82527703ee8 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2141 Status: OR 597 WTPZ41 KNHC 211435 TCDEP1 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 21 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN SEP 21 1997 THE LARGE EYE OF NORA HAS BECOME MORE DISTINCT OVER THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS AND THE CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES SURROUNDING THE EYE HAVE BECOME COLDER. INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 110 KNOTS...WHICH IS A BLEND BETWEEN VARIOUS DVORAK ESTIMATES. THE TRACK MOVES THE HURRICANE OVER 29 TO 30C WATER WHICH...IN THE ABSENCE OF SHEAR... SHOULD ALLOW SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING. THE WEAKENING LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD IS DUE TO THE EXPECTED INVOLVEMENT WITH LAND. THE FORWARD SPEED HAS INCREASED AND THE INITIAL MOTION IS NOW 310/09. OUR TRACK CONTINUES TO SHOW A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IN RESPONSE TO THE DEEP-LAYER-MEAN TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES. ALTHOUGH THE CUT OFF LOW CURRENTLY OVER NORTHERN UTAH MOVES OUT SLOWLY...BOTH THE AVIATION AND NOGAPS MODELS CUT OFF ANOTHER LOW OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA WITHIN 72 HOURS. IF THIS SECOND CUT OFF LOW VERIFIES...NORA SHOULD INDEED TURN MORE TOWARD THE NORTH WITH TIME...MAKING IT A LANDFALL THREAT FOR BAJA. OUR CURRENT TRACK IS IN AGREEMENT WITH MOST GUIDANCE MODELS...ESPECIALLY THE GFDL AND ALL OF THE BAM MODELS. IT IS NOTED THAT THE UKMET MODEL CONTINUES TO BE MUCH SLOWER...AND THE STATISTICAL/DYNAMICAL NHC91 HAS RECENTLY BECOME THE OUTLIER WITH A MORE WESTWARD MOTION AFTER 48 HOURS. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/1500Z 17.0N 108.4W 110 KTS 12HR VT 22/0000Z 17.8N 109.4W 115 KTS 24HR VT 22/1200Z 19.1N 110.3W 120 KTS 36HR VT 23/0000Z 20.8N 110.8W 120 KTS 48HR VT 23/1200Z 22.6N 110.7W 110 KTS 72HR VT 24/1200Z 26.0N 110.0W 85 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 10:01:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626548-29988>; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 22:43:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA42448; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 09:39:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6361516 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 09:37:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA32786 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 09:35:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA21860 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 09:35:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709211435.JAA21860@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Sep 1997 09:35:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 21 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b0bfcd0df6870ba32d64218df6d6698e X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2398 Status: OR 598 WTPZ21 KNHC 211436 TCMEP1 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 1500Z SUN SEP 21 1997 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS UPGRADED THE HURRICANE WATCH TO A HURRICANE WARNING FOR SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE NEARBY REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS...EFFECTIVE AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO FOR WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA BY TONIGHT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 108.4W AT 21/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB EYE DIAMETER 45 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT 64 KT....... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW 50 KT.......100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW 34 KT.......175NE 175SE 125SW 175NW 12 FT SEAS..350NE 250SE 150SW 350NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 108.4W AT 21/1500Z AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 108.0W FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 17.8N 109.4W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 175NW FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 19.1N 110.3W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 175NW FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 20.8N 110.8W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 175NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 108.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 22.6N 110.7W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 26.0N 110.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 10:01:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626582-29982>; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 00:32:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA21600; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 11:28:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6362266 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 11:26:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA42484 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 11:25:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id LAA21987 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 11:25:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709211625.LAA21987@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Sep 1997 11:25:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 09e3d11119603d7b90ba32d20561afff X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1055 Status: OR 603 ABPZ20 KNHC 211625 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN SEP 21 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NORA LOCATED ABOUT 420 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS HAVE INCREASED OVER A BROAD AREA CENTERED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THERE ARE NO SIGNS DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 10:01:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626604-29989>; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 01:55:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA19492; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 12:51:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6362888 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 12:49:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA12816 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 12:48:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA22043 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 12:48:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709211748.MAA22043@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Sep 1997 12:48:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Intermediate Advisory Number 21a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 59c078aee8673089282bf1baad589ee8 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2130 Status: OR 041 WTPZ31 KNHC 211748 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 21A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT SUN SEP 21 1997 ...NORA CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWESTWARD... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS UPGRADED THE HURRICANE WATCH TO A HURRICANE WARNING FOR SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE NEARBY REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO FOR WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA BY TONIGHT. AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.8 WEST OR ABOUT 400 MILES...645 KM...SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH ...17 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR ...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES. THE RADAR AT CUYUTLAN SHOWS THAT RAINFALL FROM THE OUTER RAINBANDS IS NOT FAR OFFSHORE AND COULD SPREAD INLAND LATER TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF THE PROVINCES OF JALISCO...COLIMA...AND MICHOACAN. REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...17.2 N...108.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 952 MB. THE NEXT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER 2 PM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 10:01:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626605-29982>; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 02:16:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA20906; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 13:14:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6363190 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 13:12:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA37686 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 13:12:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id NAA22080 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 13:12:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709211812.NAA22080@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Sep 1997 13:12:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 149a2ad874e9a1081281631ce1c8cf94 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1549 Status: OR 581 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 82E0 IS QUASI-STATIONARY. A 211453Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS AND 211200Z6 SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, ALTHOUGH PRESENT, HAS DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY AND IS NO LONGER INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CENTRAL CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO FORM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/HONG/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 10:01:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626609-29988>; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 02:19:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA20832; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 13:17:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6363195 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 13:14:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA28730 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 13:12:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id NAA22081 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 13:12:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709211812.NAA22081@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Sep 1997 13:12:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 61dc7fbd8109bc7c2ecddbe878714c15 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1600 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 581 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 82E0 IS QUASI-STATIONARY. A 211453Z6 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS AND 211200Z6 SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, ALTHOUGH PRESENT, HAS DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY AND IS NO LONGER INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CENTRAL CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO FORM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/HONG/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 10:01:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626610-29989>; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 03:53:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA24314; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 14:45:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6363980 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 14:43:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA24920 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 14:43:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id OAA22235 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 14:43:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709211943.OAA22235@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Sep 1997 14:43:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 22w Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 13d60903a41ff7c985945db280dc4f44 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2551 Status: OR 587 WTPN31 PGTW 212100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- 14.9N4 111.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.9N4 111.2E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 15.6N2 111.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 16.3N0 111.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 16.9N6 112.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 17.3N1 112.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 17.9N7 113.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 212100Z6 POSITION 15.1N7 111.3E6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. CURRENT FORWARD MOTION IS ENHANCED BY A PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM IS STILL EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE EXTRAPOLATED FROM A 211312Z0 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS. CURRENT MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1), 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7), 221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4) AND 222100Z7 (DTG 221951Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 10:01:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626614-29989>; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 04:16:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA14004; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 15:10:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6364302 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 15:08:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA20946 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 15:08:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA22284 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 15:08:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709212008.PAA22284@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Sep 1997 15:08:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 23w Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 327a2da9786c47bf4b08d75ee3d55e09 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2539 Status: OR 886 WTPN32 PGTW 212100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- 26.7N5 164.7E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 26.7N5 164.7E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 28.3N3 160.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 29.7N8 158.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 31.8N2 157.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 34.2N9 158.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 38.1N2 167.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 212100Z6 POSITION 27.1N0 163.7E7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 20 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3), 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9), 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6) AND 222100Z7 (DTG 221953Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 10:01:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626458-29988>; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 04:45:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA39262; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 15:41:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6364476 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 15:40:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA19692 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 15:40:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA22330 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 15:40:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709212040.PAA22330@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Sep 1997 15:40:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Advisory Number 22 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ce95b0a3a5539cc1204efd08371720fd X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2153 Status: OR 516 WTPZ31 KNHC 212040 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN SEP 21 1997 ...NORA HEADING TOWARD SOCORRO ISLAND... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE NEARBY REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO FOR WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA TONIGHT OR MONDAY. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.4 WEST OR ABOUT 385 MILES...620 KM...SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE 24 TO 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR ...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES. THE RADAR AT CUYUTLAN SHOWS THAT RAINFALL FROM THE OUTER RAINBANDS IS NEAR THE COAST AND COULD SPREAD INLAND LATER TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF THE PROVINCES OF JALISCO...COLIMA...AND MICHOACAN. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...17.4 N...109.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 952 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 10:01:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626452-29988>; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 04:47:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA12468; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 15:43:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6364485 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 15:42:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA20798 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 15:41:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA22340 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 15:41:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709212041.PAA22340@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Sep 1997 15:41:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 22 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0b0dc49dc2405f128f15769331110288 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2488 Status: OR 517 WTPZ41 KNHC 212041 TCDEP1 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 22 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN SEP 21 1997 SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW THAT NORA HAS RETAINED ITS LARGE EYE... ALTHOUGH A LITTLE MORE RAGGED LOOKING THAN BEFORE. ALSO... THE SURROUNDING TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED...WHICH USUALLY SUGGESTS WEAKENING. HOWEVER...IT IS NOT KNOWN IF THIS IS JUST A TEMPORARY CHANGE OR THE BEGINNING OF A TRUE WEAKENING TREND. IT IS INTERESTING TO NOTE THAT NORA IS CURRENTLY CROSSING THE TRACK THAT HURRICANE LINDA MOVED OVER ABOUT 10 DAYS EARLIER. AT THAT TIME ...LINDA WAS A CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE AND LIKELY UPWELLED SOME COOLER WATER THAT NORA IS NOW CROSSING. SHIFOR GUIDANCE SUGGESTS WEAKENING ...SHIPS SUGGESTS STRENGTHENING...AND THE GFDL SHOWS LITTLE CHANGE. ALTHOUGH THERE MAY BE SOME WEAKENING IN THE SHORT TERM DUE TO THE UPWELLED WATER...THE ENVIRONMENT STILL LOOKS FAVORABLE FOR NORA TO MAKE A COMEBACK. ALTHOUGH SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE EXPECTED...RATHER THAN GET TOO FANCY WE WILL MAINTAIN THE CURRENT INTENSITY UNTIL THE CYCLONE BECOMES INVOLVED WITH LAND. THE FORWARD MOTION IS TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 KNOTS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A MID TO UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER NORTHERN UTAH WITH A TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTHWESTWARD TO WEST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA. THE AVN AND GFDL MODELS CUT OFF ANOTHER LOW OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD WHICH WOULD PULL NORA TOWARD THE NORTH. MOST GUIDANCE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW THE GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH...ALTHOUGH A LITTLE SLOWER THAN BEFORE. OUR CURRENT TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS TRACK AND STILL TURNS NORA TOWARD THE BAJA. THE STATISTICAL/DYNAMICAL MODEL REMAINS THE OUTLIER IN THAT IT TURNS NORA TOWARD THE WEST AFTER 24 HOURS. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/2100Z 17.4N 109.4W 110 KTS 12HR VT 22/0600Z 18.2N 110.5W 110 KTS 24HR VT 22/1800Z 19.2N 111.3W 110 KTS 36HR VT 23/0600Z 20.6N 111.7W 110 KTS 48HR VT 23/1800Z 22.2N 111.8W 110 KTS 72HR VT 24/1800Z 26.0N 112.0W 90 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 10:01:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626086-29985>; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 04:49:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA12344; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 15:44:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6364491 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 15:43:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA39304 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 15:42:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA22345 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 15:42:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709212042.PAA22345@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Sep 1997 15:42:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 22 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ea8e1eafa972bc114f2bfd2e80a23924 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2330 Status: OR 518 WTPZ21 KNHC 212042 TCMEP1 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 2100Z SUN SEP 21 1997 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE NEARBY REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO FOR WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA TONIGHT OR MONDAY. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 109.4W AT 21/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 952 MB EYE DIAMETER 45 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT 64 KT....... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT.......100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT.......175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..350NE 350SE 200SW 350NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 109.4W AT 21/2100Z AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 109.0W FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 18.2N 110.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 19.2N 111.3W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 20.6N 111.7W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 109.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 22.2N 111.8W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 26.0N 112.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 10:01:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626458-29985>; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 05:54:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA29250; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 16:51:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6364995 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 16:50:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA37656 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 16:50:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA22431 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 16:50:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709212150.QAA22431@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Sep 1997 16:50:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cd1a1bcf46679964d1d737babec3c6d5 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 686 Status: OR 701 ABPA20 PHNL 212200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST SUNDAY SEPTEMBER 21 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH MONDAY. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 10:01:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626460-29982>; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 06:27:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA20438; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 17:23:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6365131 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 17:22:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA24200 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 17:22:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA22484 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 17:22:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709212222.RAA22484@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Sep 1997 17:22:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 06a59ed5a594a7b73af5c330b4f7ad46 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1031 Status: OR 253 ABPZ20 KNHC 212222 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN SEP 21 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NORA CENTERED ABOUT 385 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 10:01:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626153-18914>; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 08:05:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA26546; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 19:00:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6365597 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 18:59:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id SAA24116 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 18:59:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id SAA22565 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 18:59:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709212359.SAA22565@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Sep 1997 18:59:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Intermediate Advisory Number 22a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 35e8725c3b99dd23c07ee6914835e641 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2172 Status: OR 876 WTPZ31 KNHC 220000 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 22A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT SUN SEP 21 1997 ...NORA HEADING TOWARD SOCORRO ISLAND... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE NEARBY REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO FOR WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA LATER TONIGHT OR ON MONDAY. AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE LARGE EYE OF HURRICANE NORA WAS CENTERED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.8 WEST OR ABOUT 360 MILES...580 KM...SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 105 MILES...170 KM...SOUTHEAST OF SOCORRO ISLAND. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR ...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES. THE RADAR AT CUYUTLAN SHOWS THAT RAINFALL FROM THE OUTER RAINBANDS IS NEAR THE COAST AND COULD SPREAD INLAND LATER TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF THE PROVINCES OF JALISCO AND COLIMA. REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...17.7 N...109.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 952 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 10:01:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626491-18913>; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 09:24:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA40046; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 20:16:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6366350 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 20:14:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA39410 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 20:14:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id UAA22664 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 20:14:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709220114.UAA22664@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Sep 1997 20:14:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 22w Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f42234f1ad1f753ab9d040eb26330449 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2491 Status: OR 195 WTPN31 PGTW 220300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- 15.4N0 111.1E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N0 111.1E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 16.3N0 111.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 17.0N8 111.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 17.5N3 111.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 17.9N7 112.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 18.4N3 112.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION 15.6N2 111.2E5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MOTION IN THIS GENERAL DIRECTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH 72 HOURS, BUT THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY SLOW DOWN WITH TIME AS STEERING FLOW WEAKENS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN INTENSIFYING AFTER 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7), 221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4), 222100Z7 (DTG 221951Z0) AND 230300Z8 (DTG 230151Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ELLA (23W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 10:01:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626564-18914>; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 09:56:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA28422; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 20:49:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6366533 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 20:48:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA40048 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 20:48:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id UAA22702 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 20:48:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709220148.UAA22702@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Sep 1997 20:48:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Ella (23w) Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1dbc0166fce723ba1e1159f6839e9c92 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2934 Status: OR 918 WTPN32 PGTW 220300 1. TROPICAL STORM ELLA (23W) WARNING NR 005 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- 27.1N0 161.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 23 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 27.1N0 161.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 29.1N2 158.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 30.9N2 156.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 33.5N1 156.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 22 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 36.5N4 160.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 40.1N5 173.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION 27.6N5 161.0E8 TROPICAL STORM ELLA (23W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 23 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN SLOWING DOWN WITHIN 12 HOURS, THEN RECURVE THROUGH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS IN 24 TO 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM ELLA (23W) IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGH 24 HOURS, THEN WEAKEN BEYOND 36 HOURS AS UPPER-LEVEL WINDS SHEAR THIS SYSTEM. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS FORECAST TO BEGIN IN 48 HOURS AND BE COMPLETE WITHIN 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9), 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6), 222100Z7 (DTG 221953Z2) AND 230300Z8 (DTG 230153Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 10:47:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626484-18913>; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 10:41:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA20964; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 21:37:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6367295 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 21:35:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA42288 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 21:34:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA22769 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 21:34:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709220234.VAA22769@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Sep 1997 21:34:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 23 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 254085541487ad2cf13cb3c0384f18a6 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2325 Status: OR 865 WTPZ21 KNHC 220233 TCMEP1 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 0300Z MON SEP 22 1997 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE NEARBY REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO FOR WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA EARLY ON MONDAY. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 110.2W AT 22/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 952 MB EYE DIAMETER 45 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT 64 KT....... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT.......100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT.......175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..350NE 350SE 200SW 350NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 110.2W AT 22/0300Z AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 109.8W FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 18.8N 111.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 20.0N 111.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 21.0N 111.8W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 110.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 22.5N 112.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 26.0N 112.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 10:47:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626000-18905>; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 10:43:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA20764; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 21:38:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6367300 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 21:37:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA13010 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 21:36:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA22780 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 21:36:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709220236.VAA22780@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Sep 1997 21:36:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 23 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 930b3fce168955fdd2de6293c4e6f3a4 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2313 Status: OR 892 WTPZ41 KNHC 220237 TCDEP1 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 23 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN SEP 21 1997 CLOUD TOPS AROUND NORAS LARGE EYE HAVE BEEN COOLING AND WARMING OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS OR SO...WITH NO DEFINITE TREND. SINCE THE HURRICANE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING OVER WARM WATERS AND REMAIN IN A LOW SHEAR ENVIRONMENT...IT SHOULD BE ABLE TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY DUE TO EYEWALL REPLACEMENT EVENTS ARE A DEFINITE POSSIBILITY. MOTION CONTINUES TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AROUND 10 KNOTS. THE TRACK FORECAST AND REASONING IS ESSENTIALLY THE SAME AS IN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY PACKAGE. NORA IS EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWARD IN RESPONSE TO A MID-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTHWARD FROM A LOW OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD...AS THE LOW OVER THE U.S. PROGRESSES EASTWARD...THE NCEP GLOBAL MODELS SHOW A MID-LEVEL CYCLONE DEVELOPING NEAR THE CALIFORNIA/MEXICO BORDER. THIS FEATURE COULD CONTINUE TO CARRY NORA NORTHWARD AND INTO BAJA. THIS TRACK IS SHOWN BY THE GFDL...THE MEDIUM BAM...THE AVN MODEL AND LBAR. HOWEVER THE DEEP-LAYER BAM SHOWS A SLOWER AND MORE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION...STAYING OFFSHORE OF BAJA THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. THE U.K. MET. OFFICE MODEL SHOWS A NORTHWARD TRACK TOWARD BAJA...BUT IS RATHER SLOW. FINALLY...THE STATISTICAL/DYNAMICAL MODEL TURNS NORA TOWARD THE WEST...OVER THE OPEN PACIFIC. A HURRICANE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA EARLY ON MONDAY. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/0300Z 18.0N 110.2W 110 KTS 12HR VT 22/1200Z 18.8N 111.0W 110 KTS 24HR VT 23/0000Z 20.0N 111.5W 110 KTS 36HR VT 23/1200Z 21.0N 111.8W 110 KTS 48HR VT 24/0000Z 22.5N 112.0W 110 KTS 72HR VT 25/0000Z 26.0N 112.0W 90 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 10:47:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626507-18914>; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 10:45:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAB20864; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 21:41:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6367329 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 21:39:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA38366 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 21:39:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA22784 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 21:39:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709220239.VAA22784@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Sep 1997 21:39:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Advisory Number 23 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 56dfd8de46d7ed95a58ee1942b80c6e9 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2260 Status: OR 958 WTPZ31 KNHC 220239 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN SEP 21 1997 ...NORA NEARING SOCORRO ISLAND... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE NEARBY REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO FOR WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA EARLY ON MONDAY. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE LARGE EYE OF HURRICANE NORA WAS CENTERED NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.2 WEST OR ABOUT 330 MILES...535 KM...SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 75 MILES...120 KM...SOUTHEAST OF SOCORRO ISLAND. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY ON MONDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. SOCORRO ISLAND RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 53 MPH. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES. THE RADAR AT CUYUTLAN SHOWS THAT RAINFALL FROM THE OUTER RAINBANDS IS NEAR THE COAST AND COULD SPREAD INLAND LATER TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF THE PROVINCES OF JALISCO AND COLIMA. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...18.0 N...110.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 952 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM PDT...MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 13:07:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626617-18913>; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 12:36:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA15892; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 23:33:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6368417 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 23:31:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA22222 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 23:31:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id XAA22880 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 23:31:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709220431.XAA22880@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Sep 1997 23:31:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 27925a1900f333f84fea91429715e78a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1014 Status: OR 079 ABPZ20 KNHC 220431 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN SEP 21 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NORA CENTERED ABOUT 330 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 13:07:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626592-18913>; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 12:44:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA16012; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 23:39:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6368438 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 23:37:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA20284 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 23:33:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id XAA22893 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 23:33:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709220433.XAA22893@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Sep 1997 23:33:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9ed957d8f7bbdb8c648eb2e3d4f3bbd1 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3080 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 082 ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 220151Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 220153Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 220000Z4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WAS LOCATED AT 15.4N0 111.1E4 MOVING NORTH AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNING NR 06 (WTPN31 PGTW 220300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 220000Z4 TROPICAL STORM ELLA (23W) WAS LOCATED AT 27.1N0 161.9E7 MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 23 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM ELLA (23W) WARNING NR 05 (WTPN32 PGTW 220300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 9N9 175E3. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PRESENT IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS AND CONVECTIVE BANDING FEATURES CAN BE OBSERVED IN RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE EXISTS ABOVE THIS AREA OF CONVECTION ... MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 148E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19N0 170E8 IS NOW NEAR 19N0 165E2. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEGUN TO DEVELOP NEAR WHAT WAS A PREVIOUSLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. SATELLITE-DERIVED UPPER-LEVEL WIND DATA SHOW UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS PRESENT ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 13:07:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626581-18911>; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 12:43:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA37374; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 23:36:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6368429 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 23:34:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA26682 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 23:33:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id XAA22892 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 1997 23:33:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709220433.XAA22892@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 21 Sep 1997 23:33:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 45747d9bc487e6d741d3e76c2ca037b8 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3026 Status: OR 082 ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 220151Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 220153Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 220000Z4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WAS LOCATED AT 15.4N0 111.1E4 MOVING NORTH AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNING NR 06 (WTPN31 PGTW 220300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 220000Z4 TROPICAL STORM ELLA (23W) WAS LOCATED AT 27.1N0 161.9E7 MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 23 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM ELLA (23W) WARNING NR 05 (WTPN32 PGTW 220300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 9N9 175E3. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PRESENT IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS AND CONVECTIVE BANDING FEATURES CAN BE OBSERVED IN RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE EXISTS ABOVE THIS AREA OF CONVECTION ... MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 148E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19N0 170E8 IS NOW NEAR 19N0 165E2. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEGUN TO DEVELOP NEAR WHAT WAS A PREVIOUSLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. SATELLITE-DERIVED UPPER-LEVEL WIND DATA SHOW UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS PRESENT ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/WOFFORD/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 13:15:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626615-18913>; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 13:11:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA40088; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 00:08:02 -0500 Message-Id: <199709220508.AAA40088@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 00:02:57 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 20 Sep 1997 to 21 Sep 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 0a1e234faef0a16a5f818e886243bd60 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1979 Status: OR There is one message totalling 30 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. NEMAS Forecasters Needed +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 21 Sep 1997 08:38:38 -0400 From: Matt Rosier Subject: NEMAS Forecasters Needed The North East Meteorological and Astronomical Service (NEMAS) is currently looking for interested applicants from the Mid Atlantic and North East states to open forecast offices within the organization. We are in need of new offices to cover Virginia, Delaware, All of Pennsylvania excluding southeast PA, northern New Jersey, All of New York exluding the New York City area and Long Island, Western Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Northern Connecticut, New Hampshire, Vermont, and Maine. You do not have to have a degree in meteorology or even plan to pursue a career in the field to apply for a forecaster position in NEMAS, applicants of any age displaying a serious interest in weather will be considered for acceptance. If you live in any of these areas and would like to forecast for NEMAS, please e-mail Matt Rosier (mattr@ccpl.carr.lib.md.us) for more information or an application. Please allow one week for processing of applications. NEMAS is a non-profit organization and is in no way related to the National Weather Service or any other government or private agency. NEMAS hires forecasters on a volunteer basis only. Please read the NEMAS disclaimer before using NEMAS products. NEMAS Administrative Staff http://www.cybercomm.net/~tornado/nemas/ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 20 Sep 1997 to 21 Sep 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Sep 22 14:14:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626597-18914>; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 14:04:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA13034; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 01:00:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6368940 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 00:59:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA07978 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 00:58:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id AAA23025 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 00:58:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709220558.AAA23025@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 00:58:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Intermediate Advisory Number 23a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a4606cd4904828c3e0f4e37c6b4e701d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2232 Status: OR 483 WTPZ31 KNHC 220559 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 23A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 PM PDT SUN SEP 21 1997 ...NORA NEARING SOCORRO ISLAND... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE NEARBY REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO FOR WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA ON MONDAY. AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE LARGE EYE OF HURRICANE NORA WAS CENTERED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.4 WEST OR ABOUT 325 MILES ...530 KM...SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 60 MILES...95 KM...SOUTHEAST OF SOCORRO ISLAND. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY ON MONDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. SOCORRO ISLAND SHOULD BE GETTING FAIRLY STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN AT THIS TIME. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES. THE RADAR AT CUYUTLAN SHOWS THAT RAINFALL FROM THE OUTER RAINBANDS IS NEAR THE COAST AND COULD SPREAD INLAND ON MONDAY OVER PORTIONS OF THE PROVINCES OF JALISCO AND COLIMA. REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...18.1 N...110.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 952 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT...MONDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 22 15:44:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626674-18905>; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 15:40:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA26848; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 02:32:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6369252 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 02:30:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA16444 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 02:30:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA23086 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 02:30:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709220730.CAA23086@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 02:30:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 22w Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8b997f86a292cc8103ffbad1db1398b2 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3198 Status: OR 584 WTPN31 PGTW 220900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- 16.0N7 110.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N7 110.7E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 16.9N6 110.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 17.6N4 110.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 18.1N0 110.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 18.5N4 110.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 19.2N2 111.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 220900Z3 POSITION 16.2N9 110.7E9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING INTENSITY HAS BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON 211524Z5 SATELLITE SCATTEROMETRY DATA. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE GENERALLY TOWARD THE NORTH THROUGH 72 HOURS AND SLOW DOWN DURING THAT TIME. GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST THROUGH 48 HOURS, THEN A STEADY INTENSITY AFTERWARD AS THIS SYSTEM INTERACTS WITH HAINAN DAO. FORECAST WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON AN EXTRAPOLATION FROM THE SAME SCATTEROMETRY DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4), 222100Z7 (DTG 221951Z0), 230300Z8 (DTG 230151Z2) AND 230900Z4 (DTG 230751Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ELLA (23W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 09:45:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626679-18913>; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 16:05:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA42512; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 02:56:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6369583 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 02:56:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA14072 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 02:56:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA23107 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 02:56:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709220756.CAA23107@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 02:56:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Ella (23w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d395d99aea055f0267511adec57f45cf X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2745 Status: OR 865 WTPN32 PGTW 220900 1. TROPICAL STORM ELLA (23W) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- 26.8N6 160.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.8N6 160.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 28.2N2 156.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 30.3N6 154.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 34.1N8 156.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 25 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 37.1N1 161.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 40.7N1 176.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220900Z3 POSITION 27.2N1 159.5E0 TROPICAL STORM ELLA (23W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TURN NORTHWARD AND BEGIN WEAKENING WITHIN 24 HOURS. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS FORECAST TO BEGIN IN 42 HOURS AND BE COMPLETE WITHIN 66 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6), 222100Z7 (DTG 221953Z2), 230300Z8 (DTG 230153Z4) AND 230900Z4 (DTG 230753Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 09:45:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626659-3027>; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 16:29:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA16410; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 03:26:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6369670 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 03:24:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA28590 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 03:24:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA23280 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 03:24:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709220824.DAA23280@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 03:24:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 23 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9bae45b95a3b4d4fac94fe60b1a25679 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2315 Status: OR 367 WTPZ21 KNHC 220825 TCMEP1 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 0900Z MON SEP 22 1997 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE NEARBY REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO FOR WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE NEEDED FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 110.8W AT 22/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 MB EYE DIAMETER 45 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT 64 KT....... 50NE 75SE 75SW 50NW 50 KT....... 75NE 100SE 100SW 75NW 34 KT.......125NE 175SE 175SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..125NE 175SE 175SW 125NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 110.8W AT 22/0900Z AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 110.5W FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 18.8N 111.8W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 50NE 75SE 75SW 50NW 50 KT... 75NE 100SE 100SW 75NW 34 KT...125NE 175SE 175SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 19.8N 112.4W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 50NE 75SE 75SW 50NW 50 KT... 75NE 100SE 100SW 75NW 34 KT...125NE 175SE 175SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 21.2N 112.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 110.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 23.1N 112.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 27.0N 113.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 09:45:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626637-3028>; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 16:32:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA16480; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 03:27:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6369675 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 03:26:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA17146 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 03:25:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA23284 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 03:25:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709220825.DAA23284@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 03:25:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 23 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b652c25c2aff9b004008d7235c3457c0 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2296 Status: OR 369 WTPZ41 KNHC 220824 TCDEP1 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 23 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON SEP 22 1997 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 305/08. THE LATEST AVIATION MODEL RUN CONTINUES TO SHOW A WEAKNESS TO THE NORTH OF THE HURRICANE SUCH THAT IT SHOULD TURN NORTHWARD IN ABOUT 24 HOURS AND PERHAPS ACCELERATE AFTER 48 HOURS. THE AVIATION MODEL...GFDL AND UKMET ALL SHOW NORA NEAR CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA IN 72 HOURS. THE NOGAPS IS SLOWER AS BEST AS CAN BE DETERMINED FROM THE 48 HOUR PROG FROM THE FNMOC HOME PAGE. THE LBAR BAROTROPIC MODEL IS FASTER THAN THE OTHER GUIDANCE. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS SHIFTED SOMEWHAT WEST OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE AVIATION...GFDL AND UKMET MODELS. THE GFDL AND AVIATION MODELS SHOW A SLOWER MOTION FOR THE FIRST 24 HOURS AND THE AVIATION MODEL HINTS AT A SMALL CYCLONIC LOOP BEFORE TURNING NORA NORTHWARD. THE CENTER IS WITHIN ABOUT 50 NMI OF SOCORRO ISLAND BUT I COULD NOT FIND A RECENT OBSERVATION FROM THERE. THE FORECAST TRACK ALLOWS ABOUT A DAY BEFORE A WATCH IS REQUIRED FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA. SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW A LARGE AND VERY WELL DEFINED EYE...PERHAPS 50 NMI IN DIAMETER. THE WIND SPEED IS KEPT AT 110 KN0TS AND IS FORECAST TO REMAIN THIS HIGH THROUGH 48 HOURS JUST AS IN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...SINCE SSTS ARE QUITE WARM AND THE VERTICAL SHEAR APPEARS SMALL. THE AVIATION MODEL DOES SHOW 3O KNOTS OR HIGHER WESTERLY WINDS AT 200 MB NEAR THE 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION SO SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST AT 72 HOURS. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/0900Z 18.2N 110.8W 110 KTS 12HR VT 22/1800Z 18.8N 111.8W 110 KTS 24HR VT 23/0600Z 19.8N 112.4W 110 KTS 36HR VT 23/1800Z 21.2N 112.5W 110 KTS 48HR VT 24/0600Z 23.1N 112.5W 110 KTS 72HR VT 25/0600Z 27.0N 113.0W 90 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 09:45:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626710-4455>; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 16:53:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA25018; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 03:34:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6369700 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 03:33:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA36970 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 03:33:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA23288 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 03:33:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709220833.DAA23288@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 03:33:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Advisory Number 23 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3f9e5281ca5139a364df9ae114dc1da4 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2124 Status: OR 490 WTPZ31 KNHC 220833 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON SEP 22 1997 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE NEARBY REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO FOR WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE NEEDED FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.8 WEST OR ABOUT 320 MILES...515 KM...SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS POSITION IS ALSO JUST SOUTH OF SOCORRO ISLAND AND HURRICANE CONDITIONS SHOULD BE OCCURRING THERE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH ...15 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES. THE CUYUTLAN RADAR SHOWS OUTER RAINBANDS NEAR THE COAST AND RAINFALL COULD SPREAD INLAND TODAY OVER JALISCO AND COLIMA PROVINCES. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...18.2 N...110.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 950 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY A COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM PDT. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 09:45:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626688-4455>; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 18:00:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA04626; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 04:58:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6369945 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 04:56:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA29918 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 04:56:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA23345 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 04:56:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709220956.EAA23345@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 04:56:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f723029407c0bd7b16fbaedf12b48a47 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 674 Status: OR 876 ABPA20 PHNL 221000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST MON SEP 22 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 09:45:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626712-4452>; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 18:29:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA14784; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 05:27:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6370185 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 05:26:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA22168 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 05:26:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA23381 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 05:26:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709221026.FAA23381@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 05:26:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3f065306e8821d5cd9032124c84fc837 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1023 Status: OR 478 ABPZ20 KNHC 221026 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON SEP 22 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NORA CENTERED ABOUT 320 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 09:45:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626698-4453>; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 19:54:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id GAA30626; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 06:52:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6370454 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 06:50:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id GAA30670 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 06:50:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id GAA23418 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 06:50:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709221150.GAA23418@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 06:50:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Intermediate Advisory Number 23a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d6513b6971eae9a7a3176ec1202fe246 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2131 Status: OR 981 WTPZ31 KNHC 221151 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 23A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT MON SEP 22 1997 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE NEARBY REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO FOR WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE NEEDED FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.1 WEST OR ABOUT 330 MILES ...530 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS POSITION IS ALSO JUST SOUTH OF SOCORRO ISLAND. SOCORRO IS IN THE LARGE EYE OF NORA AT THIS TIME...BUT HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL AGAIN OCCUR AS THE BACK SIDE OF THE EYE WALL MOVES OVER THE ISLAND. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES. OUTER RAINBANDS ARE CURRENTLY MOVING OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA PENINSULA. REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...18.4 N...111.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 950 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 09:45:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626655-4453>; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 20:02:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id GAA18076; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 06:56:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6370471 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 06:54:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id GAA14626 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 06:54:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id GAA23423 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 06:54:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709221154.GAA23423@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 06:54:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Intermediate Advisory Number 23a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9ef1ca08ae322667aa4e01236770a523 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2161 Status: OR 054 WTPZ31 KNHC 221155 COR TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 23A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT MON SEP 22 1997 ...CORRECTION TO MOTION... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE NEARBY REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO FOR WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE NEEDED FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.1 WEST OR ABOUT 330 MILES ...530 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS POSITION IS ALSO JUST SOUTH OF SOCORRO ISLAND. SOCORRO IS IN THE LARGE EYE OF NORA AT THIS TIME...BUT HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL AGAIN OCCUR AS THE BACK SIDE OF THE EYE WALL MOVES OVER THE ISLAND. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES. OUTER RAINBANDS ARE CURRENTLY MOVING OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA PENINSULA. REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...18.4 N...111.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 950 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 09:45:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626682-4455>; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 22:43:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA42308; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 09:27:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6371400 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 09:27:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA22040 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 09:27:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA23646 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 09:27:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709221427.JAA23646@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 09:27:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 22w Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 22fa35ad38e2fa19f72831fe46b3469b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2774 Status: OR 173 WTPN31 PGTW 221500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- 15.8N4 110.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.8N4 110.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 16.1N8 110.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 16.5N2 109.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 16.9N6 109.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 17.2N0 109.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 17.6N4 110.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 221500Z0 POSITION 15.9N5 110.1E3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W IS QUASISTATIONARY IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z7 (DTG 221951Z0), 230300Z8 (DTG 230151Z2), 230900Z4 (DTG 230751Z8) AND 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ELLA (23W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 09:45:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626700-4453>; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 22:45:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA42492; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 09:29:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6371405 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 09:29:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA34874 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 09:27:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA23651 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 09:27:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709221427.JAA23651@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 09:27:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Ella (23w) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 209d915d68ecb9bdb79317a6eb03fc17 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2290 Status: OR 174 WTPN32 PGTW 221500 1. TROPICAL STORM ELLA (23W) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- 26.9N7 158.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.9N7 158.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 27.5N4 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 29.6N7 154.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 33.1N7 156.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 25 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 36.2N1 161.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 40.0N4 173.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 221500Z0 POSITION 27.1N0 157.4E7 TROPICAL STORM ELLA (23W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z7 (DTG 221953Z2), 230300Z8 (DTG 230153Z4), 230900Z4 (DTG 230753Z0) AND 231500Z1 (DTG 231353Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 09:45:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626749-4453>; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 22:50:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA42986; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 09:43:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6371583 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 09:42:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA08448 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 09:42:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA23779 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 09:42:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709221442.JAA23779@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 09:42:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Advisory Number 24 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a255a0922b184f9488bb3e9a42184a4d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2230 Status: OR 471 WTPZ31 KNHC 221442 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT MON SEP 22 1997 ...NORA MOVING OVER SOCORRO ISLAND... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE NEARBY REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO FOR WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS MAY BE NEEDED FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.4 WEST OR ABOUT 305 MILES...490 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SOCORRO ISLAND WAS RECENTLY IN THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE LARGE EYE OF NORA ...AND SHOULD BE EXPERIENCING THE STRONG WINDS FROM THE BACK SIDE OF THE EYE WALL AT THIS TIME. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH ON TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES. OUTER RAINBANDS ARE CURRENTLY MOVING OVER THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA PENINSULA. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...18.7 N...111.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 950 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 09:45:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626737-4454>; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 22:49:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA42584; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 09:45:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6371592 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 09:44:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA19544 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 09:42:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA23786 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 09:42:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709221442.JAA23786@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 09:42:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 24 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1bdd7e2fd68cf05d3bd9b12b5fe65e16 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2122 Status: OR 472 WTPZ41 KNHC 221442 TCDEP1 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 24 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT MON SEP 22 1997 SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW A LARGE DIAMETER EYE...BUT THE CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST NOW LOOKS THINNER OVER THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT. ALTHOUGH THE T NUMBERS MAY BEGIN TO DECREASE DUE TO THE WARMING OF THE COLD SURROUNDING TEMPERATURES...THIS MAY BE ANOTHER TEMPORARY TREND AND THE DVORAK TECHNIQUE CURRENT INTENSITY NUMBERS WILL BE HELD UP FOR 12 HOURS ANYWAY. THEREFORE... INITIAL INTENSITY WILL REMAIN AT 110 KNOTS ON THIS ADVISORY. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST LATER IN THE PERIOD DUE TO INCREASED UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR AND INVOLVEMENT WITH LAND. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 305/08. THERE IS A WEAKNESS TO THE NORTH OF THE HURRICANE AND NORA IS STILL EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE NORTH DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ALL OF THE DYNAMICAL MODELS...THE GFDL...AVIATION...UKMET...AND NOGAPS...INDICATE THIS. OUR CURRENT TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS TRACK BUT SHIFTED A LITTLE TO THE LEFT. THE GFDL AND AVIATION MODELS ARE A LITTLE FASTER THAN OUR OFFICIAL TRACK...WHILE THE MID AND DEEP LAYER BAMS ARE A LITTLE SLOWER. MOST MODELS INDICATE A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH DEVELOPING TO THE WEST OF THE HURRICANE LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD...AND IF THIS OCCURS THERE SHOULD BE AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AFTER 48 HOURS OR SO. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/1500Z 18.7N 111.4W 110 KTS 12HR VT 23/0000Z 19.3N 112.3W 110 KTS 24HR VT 23/1200Z 20.4N 113.0W 110 KTS 36HR VT 24/0000Z 21.9N 113.3W 105 KTS 48HR VT 24/1200Z 23.7N 113.4W 100 KTS 72HR VT 25/1200Z 28.0N 113.5W 85 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 09:45:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626739-4452>; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 22:56:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA42282; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 09:47:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6371624 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 09:45:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA42374 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 09:42:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA23790 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 09:42:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709221442.JAA23790@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 09:42:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 24 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 86c2d3966f84a9796836db3669dca193 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2321 Status: OR 475 WTPZ21 KNHC 221443 TCMEP1 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 1500Z MON SEP 22 1997 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE NEARBY REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO FOR WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS MAY BE NEEDED FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 111.4W AT 22/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 MB EYE DIAMETER 50 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT 64 KT....... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT.......100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT.......175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..400NE 400SE 300SW 350NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 111.4W AT 22/1500Z AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 111.1W FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 19.3N 112.3W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 20.4N 113.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 21.9N 113.3W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 111.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 23.7N 113.4W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 28.0N 113.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 09:45:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626180-4453>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 00:35:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA24830; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 11:30:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6373103 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 11:29:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA25946 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 11:27:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id LAA24092 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 11:27:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709221627.LAA24092@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 11:27:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ac7daad4fc056e3222b6c2cabee84370 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1020 Status: OR 506 ABPZ20 KNHC 221624 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON SEP 22 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NORA CENTERED ABOUT 305 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 09:45:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626583-4452>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 01:54:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA37700; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 12:49:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6374146 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 12:48:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA39216 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 12:46:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA24407 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 12:46:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709221746.MAA24407@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 12:46:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 872dbb589e5511ced4930636496a3737 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1507 Status: OR 941 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z/231800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 82E0 IS NOW AT 15N6 81E9. A 221441Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS AND 221200Z7 SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DISPLACED APPROXIMATELY 110 NM TO THE EAST OF THE CONVECTION. INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS IS INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/HONG/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 09:45:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626682-4453>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 01:54:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA37814; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 12:48:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6374141 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 12:46:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA25390 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 12:46:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA24406 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 12:46:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709221746.MAA24406@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 12:46:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cb8ba3092c06dc026f3ec6be3ec8b760 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1558 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 941 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z/231800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 82E0 IS NOW AT 15N6 81E9. A 221441Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS AND 221200Z7 SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DISPLACED APPROXIMATELY 110 NM TO THE EAST OF THE CONVECTION. INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS IS INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/HONG/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 09:45:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626583-4453>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 02:02:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA20530; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 13:00:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6374254 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 12:59:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA23088 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 12:57:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA24440 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 12:57:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709221757.MAA24440@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 12:57:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cfe9d381e8877e9b090d2e58892eb006 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1191 Status: OR 207 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z/231800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 14N5 82E0 IS NOW AT 15N6 81E9. A 221441Z4 MICROWAVEH IMAGER PASS AND 221200Z7 SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DISPLACED APPROXIMATELY 110 NM TO TTE EAST OF THE CONVECTION. INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS IS INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS SIO ED TM BE 1002 MB.-. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/HONG/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 09:45:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626247-4453>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 02:01:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA33404; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 12:58:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6374249 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 12:57:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA39210 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 12:57:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA24441 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 12:57:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709221757.MAA24441@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 12:57:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c904629895c3be15dc3f52154e1eede0 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1242 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 207 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z/231800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 14N5 82E0 IS NOW AT 15N6 81E9. A 221441Z4 MICROWAVEH IMAGER PASS AND 221200Z7 SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DISPLACED APPROXIMATELY 110 NM TO TTE EAST OF THE CONVECTION. INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS IS INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS SIO ED TM BE 1002 MB.-. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/HONG/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 09:45:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626247-4453>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 02:09:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA37060; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 13:04:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6374287 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 13:03:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA43606 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 13:03:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id NAA24457 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 13:03:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709221803.NAA24457@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 13:03:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Intermediate Advisory Number 24a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6bfc3182cf2d35ecacbd21d0b119a2df X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2217 Status: OR 347 WTPZ31 KNHC 221804 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 24A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT MON SEP 22 1997 ...NORA MOVING SLOWLY OVER SOCORRO ISLAND... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE NEARBY REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM PUNTA ESTRECHO TO MAZATLAN FOR WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM PUNTA ESTRECHO TO PUNTA MALDONADO HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS MAY BE NEEDED FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.7 WEST OR ABOUT 310 MILES...500 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SOCORRO ISLAND SHOULD BE EXPERIENCING THE STRONG WINDS FROM THE BACK SIDE OF THE EYE WALL AT THIS TIME. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH ON TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES. OUTER RAINBANDS ARE CURRENTLY MOVING OVER THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA PENINSULA. REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...18.8 N...111.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 950 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 09:45:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626759-4455>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 04:03:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA42370; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 14:50:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6375297 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 14:50:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA37222 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 14:50:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id OAA24941 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 14:50:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709221950.OAA24941@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 14:50:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: This Warning Supersedes And Cancels Navpacmetoccen West To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f6dc23258b57c784d1a583374f94853c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2950 Status: OR 847 WTPN33 PGTW 222100 THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 220521Z SEP 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN23 PGTW 220530) 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 001 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- 10.3N4 171.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.3N4 171.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 10.5N6 169.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 11.2N4 167.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 11.9N1 165.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 12.7N0 164.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 14.2N7 160.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 222100Z7 POSITION 10.3N4 170.5E3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8 (DTG 230155Z6), 230900Z4 (DTG 230755Z2), 231500Z1 (DTG 231355Z9) AND 232100Z8 (DTG 231955Z5). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 220521Z SEP 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN23 PGTW 220530) REFER TO TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ELLA (23W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 09:45:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626763-4454>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 04:34:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA35256; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 15:20:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6375547 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 15:20:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA45990 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 15:20:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA25128 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 15:20:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709222020.PAA25128@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 15:20:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Ella (23w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 14a948bdbde3838996e1c663187e7e28 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2287 Status: OR 386 WTPN32 PGTW 222100 1. TROPICAL STORM ELLA (23W) WARNING NR 008 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- 27.6N5 157.1E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 27.6N5 157.1E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 28.6N6 155.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 30.1N4 154.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 32.9N4 155.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 32 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 36.3N2 161.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 34 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 41.2N7 178.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 222100Z7 POSITION 27.9N8 156.6E8 TROPICAL STORM ELLA (23W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8 (DTG 230153Z4), 230900Z4 (DTG 230753Z0), 231500Z1 (DTG 231353Z7) AND 232100Z8 (DTG 231953Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRITZ (22W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 09:45:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626765-4454>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 04:55:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA13128; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 15:47:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6375746 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 15:46:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA42470 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 15:46:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA25585 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 15:45:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709222045.PAA25585@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 15:45:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Advisory Number 25 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 69213085c71d522a7c8faede8e696d59 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2343 Status: OR 745 WTPZ31 KNHC 222047 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON SEP 22 1997 ...EYE OF NORA MOVING SLOWLY AWAY FROM SOCORRO ISLAND... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE NEARBY REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM PUNTA ESTRECHO TO MAZATLAN FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM PUNTA ESTRECHO TO PUNTA MALDONADO HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS MAY BE NEEDED FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA THIS EVENING OR TONIGHT. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.0 WEST OR ABOUT 305 MILES...490 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE CENTRAL CORE OF THIS HURRICANE MOVED OVER SOCORRO ISLAND DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...BUT CONDITIONS THERE SHOULD BE GRADUALLY IMPROVING. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH ...13 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLOW WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 956 MB...28.23 INCHES. OUTER RAINBANDS ARE CURRENTLY MOVING OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA PENINSULA...PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...19.0 N...112.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 956 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 09:45:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626770-4454>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 05:07:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA23074; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 15:49:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6375762 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 15:47:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA28716 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 15:47:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA25589 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 15:47:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709222047.PAA25589@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 15:47:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 25 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d5d28f1bcf1c0c6634675a65f8346d21 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2015 Status: OR 766 WTPZ41 KNHC 222048 TCDEP1 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 25 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON SEP 22 1997 SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE DEEP CONVECTION SURROUNDING THE LARGE EYE OF HURRICANE NORA TO BE WARMING. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 105 KNOTS...AND SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING APPEARS TO BE UNDERWAY. THE RATE OF WEAKENING SHOULD INCREASE LATER IN THE PERIOD AS THE CYCLONE BECOMES INVOLVED WITH LAND AND THE SHEAR INCREASES. INITIAL MOTION IS 310/7...IN RESPONSE TO A CURRENT WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE HURRICANE. THE MODELS HAVE BEEN FORECASTING A SHORTWAVE TROUGH OFF THE COAST OF CALIFORNIA WHICH IS NOW BECOMING VISIBLE ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND IS DEPICTED WELL BY THE SATELLITE WINDS FROM THE UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN SPACE SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING CENTER. ALL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO INDICATE A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IN RESPONSE TO THIS TROUGH...BUT THERE IS CONSIDERABLE SCATTER IN THE TRACKS. OUR CURRENT TRACK IS A REASONABLE BLEND OF THE GUIDANCE. THE MID AND DEEP LAYER BAMS ARE SLOWER AND TO THE LEFT. THE UKMET AND GFDL ARE FASTER AND TO THE RIGHT. THIS CYCLONE HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES NEAR THE END OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/2100Z 19.0N 112.0W 105 KTS 12HR VT 23/0600Z 19.8N 112.7W 100 KTS 24HR VT 23/1800Z 21.1N 113.1W 100 KTS 36HR VT 24/0600Z 22.8N 113.3W 95 KTS 48HR VT 24/1800Z 25.0N 113.4W 90 KTS 72HR VT 25/1800Z 31.0N 114.0W 75 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 09:45:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626763-4452>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 04:59:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA23282; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 15:50:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6375777 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 15:49:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA26060 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 15:48:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA25595 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 15:48:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709222048.PAA25595@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 15:48:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 25 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e602850a15cf50051f7758c255944211 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2417 Status: OR 789 WTPZ21 KNHC 222048 TCMEP1 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 2100Z MON SEP 22 1997 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE NEARBY REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM PUNTA ESTRECHO TO MAZATLAN FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM PUNTA ESTRECHO TO PUNTA MALDONADO HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS MAY BE NEEDED FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA THIS EVENING OR TONIGHT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 112.0W AT 22/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 956 MB EYE DIAMETER 50 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT 64 KT....... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT.......100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT.......175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..400NE 400SE 300SW 350NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 112.0W AT 22/2100Z AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 111.7W FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 19.8N 112.7W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 21.1N 113.1W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 22.8N 113.3W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N 112.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 25.0N 113.4W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 31.0N 114.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 09:45:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626753-4453>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 05:07:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA13166; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 15:51:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6375799 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 15:50:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA26836 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 15:50:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA25601 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 15:50:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709222050.PAA25601@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 15:50:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Fritz (22w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bd393edc695dca5d1a010a9290a3f454 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2829 Status: OR 803 WTPN31 PGTW 222100 1. TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) WARNING NR 009 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- 16.3N0 110.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.3N0 110.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 16.6N3 110.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 17.0N8 110.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 17.4N2 110.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 17.8N6 110.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 18.2N1 110.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 222100Z7 POSITION 16.4N1 110.5E7 TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) IS QUASISTATIONARY IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. WIND RADII ADJUSTED BASED ON 221300Z MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8 (DTG 230151Z2), 230900Z4 (DTG 230751Z8), 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5) AND 232100Z8 (DTG 231951Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ELLA (23W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 09:45:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626763-4453>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 05:58:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA32298; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 16:49:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6376267 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 16:48:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA42932 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 16:47:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA25832 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 16:47:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709222147.QAA25832@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 16:47:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 40e2d6f8a8ce0c3e63f1675acdcb09ee X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 678 Status: OR 831 ABPA20 PHNL 222200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST MON SEP 22 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY. HABLUTZEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 09:45:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626110-16229>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 06:34:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA04630; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 17:29:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6376600 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 17:27:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA22654 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 17:27:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA25885 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 17:27:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709222227.RAA25885@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 17:27:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3d8e850c634e69cb72852c5af86163b2 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1029 Status: OR 540 ABPZ20 KNHC 222226 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON SEP 22 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NORA CENTERED ABOUT 305 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 09:45:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626330-16228>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 08:11:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA31996; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 19:01:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6377236 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 18:59:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id SAA41848 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 18:59:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id SAA26129 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 18:59:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709222359.SAA26129@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 18:59:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Intermediate Advisory Number 25a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 512e48679c4b4ddb2a19ceeb29e2c5e4 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2146 Status: OR 155 WTPZ31 KNHC 230001 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 25A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT MON SEP 22 1997 ...NORA CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY AWAY FROM SOCORRO ISLAND... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE NEARBY REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM PUNTA ESTRECHO TO MAZATLAN FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS MAY BE NEEDED FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA TONIGHT. AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.3 WEST OR ABOUT 290 MILES...470 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH ...13 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLOW WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. CONDITIONS OVER SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE NEIGHBORING ISLANDS SHOULD GRADUALLY IMPROVE TONIGHT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 956 MB...28.23 INCHES. OUTER RAINBANDS ARE CURRENTLY MOVING OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA PENINSULA...PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS. REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...19.3 N...112.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 956 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 11:23:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626413-16229>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 10:26:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA26762; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 21:18:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6378193 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 21:18:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA35182 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 21:18:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA26357 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 21:18:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709230218.VAA26357@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 21:18:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Fritz (22w) Warning Nr 010 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 85dc3f889d1dbad5bf97e8674e20a5a5 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2942 Status: OR 842 WTPN31 PGTW 230300 1. TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) WARNING NR 010 RELOCATED 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- 16.0N7 111.3E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N7 111.3E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 16.4N1 111.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 16.8N5 111.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 17.2N0 111.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 17.7N5 111.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 18.4N3 111.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION 16.1N8 111.3E6 TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTH TO NORTHEASTWARD AND SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z4 (DTG 230751Z8), 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5), 232100Z8 (DTG 231951Z1) AND 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ELLA (23W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) AND REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 11:23:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626420-16229>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 10:28:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA23894; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 21:20:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6378209 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 21:20:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA21214 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 21:19:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA26362 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 21:19:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709230219.VAA26362@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 21:19:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 24w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0d386e5d4c17a29050d13bab2343d471 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2691 Status: OR 843 WTPN33 PGTW 230300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 002 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- 10.4N5 168.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.4N5 168.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 11.1N3 165.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 12.0N3 162.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 13.0N4 160.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 14.0N5 157.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 16.2N9 153.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION 10.6N7 167.6E0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (24W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z4 (DTG 230755Z2) AND 231500Z1 (DTG 231355Z9) AND 232100Z8 (DTG 231955Z5) AND 240300Z9 (DTG 240155Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ELLA (23W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 11:23:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626703-16228>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 10:36:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA31710; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 21:31:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6378271 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 21:30:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA10336 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 21:30:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA26384 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 21:30:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709230230.VAA26384@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 21:30:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Advisory Number 26 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3ac02d0493fc280d1d5ee58fd7b2220c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2380 Status: OR 998 WTPZ31 KNHC 230231 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON SEP 22 1997 ...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE NEARBY REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SOUTH OF LATITUDE 25N AND A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF LATITUDE 25N TO PUNTA EUGENIA. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM PUNTA ESTRECHO TO MAZATLAN FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE LARGE EYE OF HURRICANE NORA WAS CENTERED NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.5 WEST OR ABOUT 285 MILES...455 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. CONDITIONS OVER SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE NEIGHBORING ISLANDS SHOULD GRADUALLY IMPROVE TONIGHT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES. THE OUTER RAINBANDS OF NORA ARE CURRENTLY MOVING OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...19.6 N...112.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 960 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM PDT...TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 11:23:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626436-16220>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 10:38:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA24340; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 21:33:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6378344 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 21:32:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA22700 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 21:31:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA26388 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 21:31:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709230231.VAA26388@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 21:31:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 26 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2758711dc5cf31e67c1cb8c7452f955c X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2424 Status: OR 017 WTPZ21 KNHC 230232 TCMEP1 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 0300Z TUE SEP 23 1997 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE NEARBY REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SOUTH OF LATITUDE 25N AND A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF LATITUDE 25N TO PUNTA EUGENIA. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM PUNTA ESTRECHO TO MAZATLAN FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 112.5W AT 23/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB EYE DIAMETER 50 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT 64 KT....... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT.......100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT.......175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..400NE 500SE 300SW 350NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 112.5W AT 23/0300Z AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 112.3W FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 20.5N 113.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 22.0N 113.2W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 24.0N 113.3W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 112.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 27.0N 113.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 33.0N 113.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 11:23:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626420-16231>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 10:39:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA24540; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 21:35:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6378358 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 21:33:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA23850 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 21:33:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA26393 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 21:33:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709230233.VAA26393@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 21:33:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 26 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4e84459f73a1923d72ed925adb289d5a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2191 Status: OR 046 WTPZ41 KNHC 230234 TCDEP1 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 26 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON SEP 22 1997 CLOUD TOPS OF THE CONVECTION SURROUNDING NORAS EYE HAVE WARMED FURTHER...SO THE HURRICANE HAS LIKELY WEAKENED A BIT MORE. CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN DVORAK SATELLITE ESTIMATES FROM TAFB MIAMI AND SAB WASHINGTON...100 KNOTS. THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW PATTERN REMAINS IMPRESSIVE. SINCE THE HURRICANE IS NOT EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER SIGNIFICANTLY COOLER WATERS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...NOT MUCH FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST UNTIL NORA INTERACTS WITH LAND AND VERTICAL SHEAR INCREASES...WHEN NORA REACHES HIGHER LATITUDES. MOTION CONTINUES NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 7 KNOTS. A MID/UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS CURRENTLY NOTED IN THE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY NEAR 30N 125W. THE LATEST...18Z...RUN OF THE NCEP GLOBAL MODEL PREDICTS THIS SYSTEM TO DIG SOUTHEASTWARD DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS FEATURE SHOULD CAUSE NORA TO TURN TO THE RIGHT...AND THAT IS WHAT IS INDICATED BY MOST OF THE OBJECTIVE TRACK FORECAST MODELS. THE CURRENT OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS BASICALLY AN EXTENSION OF THE PREVIOUS ONE...AND IS CLOSE TO THE U.K. MET. OFFICE AND THE GFDL MODEL TRACKS...ALBEIT NOT QUITE AS FAST AS THE LATTER MODEL NEAR THE END OF THE PERIOD. NORA HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES NEAR THE END OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/0300Z 19.6N 112.5W 100 KTS 12HR VT 23/1200Z 20.5N 113.0W 100 KTS 24HR VT 24/0000Z 22.0N 113.2W 100 KTS 36HR VT 24/1200Z 24.0N 113.3W 95 KTS 48HR VT 25/0000Z 27.0N 113.3W 80 KTS 72HR VT 26/0000Z 33.0N 113.0W 45 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 11:23:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626127-16231>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 11:09:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA19544; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 22:02:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6378638 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 22:02:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA22838 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 22:02:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA26569 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 22:02:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709230302.WAA26569@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 22:02:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Ella (23w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b0c964020cef33b735c67bc9aab9e7b1 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2242 Status: OR 472 WTPN32 PGTW 230300 1. TROPICAL STORM ELLA (23W) WARNING NR 009 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- 28.1N1 156.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 28.1N1 156.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 29.4N5 155.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 31.1N5 153.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 33.5N1 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 30 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 36.7N6 161.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 34 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 41.6N1 177.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION 28.4N4 156.1E3 TROPICAL STORM ELLA (23W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. ELLA IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z4 (DTG 230753Z0), 231500Z1 (DTG 231353Z7), 232100Z8 (DTG 231953Z3) AND 240300Z9 (DTG 240153Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 11:23:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626301-16228>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 11:11:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA19490; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 22:04:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6378643 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 22:03:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA42596 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 22:02:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA26573 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 22:02:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709230302.WAA26573@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 22:02:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 24w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d01ec68b1e242850ed0bdb6b0b86212b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2790 Status: OR 496 WTPN33 PGTW 230300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 002 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHGSGG0146 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- 10.4N5 168.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.4N5 168.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 11.1N3 165.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 12.0N3 162.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS PAGE 03 RUHGSGG0146 UNCLAS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 13.0N4 160.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 14.0N5 157.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 16.2N9 153.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG0146 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION 10.6N7 167.6E0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (24W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z4 (DTG 230755Z2) AND 231500Z1 (DTG 231355Z9) AND 232100Z8 (DTG 231955Z5) AND 240300Z9 (DTG 240155Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ELLA (23W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0146 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 11:23:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626420-16228>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 11:14:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA19486; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 22:05:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6378648 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 22:05:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA42568 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 22:04:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA26577 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 22:04:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709230304.WAA26577@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 22:04:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 24w Warning Nr 002a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 72c70f1a4d09b9873731361e144bdd2c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2772 Status: OR 524 WTPN33 PGTW 230300 COR 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 002A CORRECTED 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- 10.4N5 168.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.4N5 168.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 11.1N3 165.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 12.0N3 162.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 13.0N4 160.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 14.0N5 157.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 16.2N9 153.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION 10.6N7 167.6E0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (24W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z4 (DTG 230755Z2) AND 231500Z1 (DTG 231355Z9) AND 232100Z8 (DTG 231955Z5) AND 240300Z9 (DTG 240155Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ELLA (23W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION: CORRECT MESSAGE HEADER FOR SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 11:50:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626738-16229>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 11:47:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA25906; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 22:38:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6379033 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 22:38:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA21522 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 22:38:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA26599 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 22:38:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709230338.WAA26599@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 22:38:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Fritz (22w) Warning Nr 010 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 54f9bd29a68bc7edf84de965a12a9014 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3041 Status: OR 282 WTPN31 PGTW 230300 1. TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) WARNING NR 010 RELOCATED 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- 16.0N7 111.3E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG0145 UNCLAS PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N7 111.3E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 16.4N1 111.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 16.8N5 111.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS PAGE 04 RUHGSGG0145 UNCLAS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 17.2N0 111.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 17.7N5 111.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 18.4N3 111.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT PAGE 05 RUHGSGG0145 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION 16.1N8 111.3E6 TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTH TO NORTHEASTWARD AND SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z4 (DTG 230751Z8), 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5), 232100Z8 (DTG 231951Z1) AND 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ELLA (23W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) AND REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0145 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 13:31:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626703-16229>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 11:55:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA29652; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 22:47:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6379180 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 22:47:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA24514 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 22:47:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA26608 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 22:47:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709230347.WAA26608@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 22:47:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 61ee344140cfa9a9ced221d3cb5cc631 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2341 Status: OR 393 WTPN32 PGTW 230300 PAGE 02 RUHGSGG0172 UNCLAS 1. TROPICAL STORM ELLA (23W) WARNING NR 009 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- 28.1N1 156.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 28.1N1 156.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 29.4N5 155.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG0172 UNCLAS 240000Z6 --- 31.1N5 153.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 33.5N1 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 30 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 36.7N6 161.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 34 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 41.6N1 177.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL PAGE 04 RUHGSGG0172 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION 28.4N4 156.1E3 TROPICAL STORM ELLA (23W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. ELLA IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z4 (DTG 230753Z0), 231500Z1 (DTG 231353Z7), 232100Z8 (DTG 231953Z3) AND 240300Z9 (DTG 240153Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0172 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 13:31:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626792-16229>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 11:58:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA21514; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 22:50:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6379253 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 22:50:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA23288 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 22:50:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA26613 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 22:50:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709230350.WAA26613@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 22:50:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 24w Warning Nr 002a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 02a57b0b5ef826b4cee5a42fc274ee40 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2871 Status: OR 447 WTPN33 PGTW 230300 COR 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 002A CORRECTED 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHGSGG0173 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- 10.4N5 168.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.4N5 168.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 11.1N3 165.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 12.0N3 162.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS PAGE 03 RUHGSGG0173 UNCLAS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 13.0N4 160.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 14.0N5 157.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 16.2N9 153.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG0173 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION 10.6N7 167.6E0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (24W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z4 (DTG 230755Z2) AND 231500Z1 (DTG 231355Z9) AND 232100Z8 (DTG 231955Z5) AND 240300Z9 (DTG 240155Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ELLA (23W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION: CORRECT MESSAGE HEADER FOR SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// BT #0173 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 13:31:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626778-16231>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 12:08:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA30502; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 23:05:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6379311 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 23:03:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA43652 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 23:03:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id XAA26622 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 1997 23:03:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709230403.XAA26622@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 23:03:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3e38af680bcd70edd707432168def5c5 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1035 Status: OR 649 ABPZ20 KNHC 230403 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON SEP 22 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NORA CENTERED ABOUT 285 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 13:31:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626354-16229>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 13:09:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA46018; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 00:05:36 -0500 Message-Id: <199709230505.AAA46018@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 00:01:19 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 21 Sep 1997 to 22 Sep 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 2cb9c9ecd037d0e35b117f23ec5055a8 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 7041 Status: OR There are 5 messages totalling 179 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 20 Sep 1997 to 21 Sep 1997 2. tornado size not proportional to tornado F-scale (3) 3. Water devils +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 09:20:43 -0400 From: EAGLE241@AOL.COM Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 20 Sep 1997 to 21 Sep 1997 FIPS CODES REVISED AND POSTED ON WEB (www.thuneagle.com) Just a note to the group that (by popular demand!) we have re-sorted, realigned and reposted the US FIPS codes cross indexed by NWS forecast office. The need was for a list sorted alpabetically by state (A-Z) and within each state alpabetically by county (A-Z) with each listing cross indexed to the NWS forecast office with primary warning responsibility. Also, on the first try, a number of the column tabs did not show clearly on the internet. We think we have it in better shape. With a database of over 3500 entries, we know there will be changes and corrections. So, please email any changes and corrections to dgropper@thuneagle.com. Also, the NOAA weather radio maps by FEMA region have been updated. Thanks to all who emailed changes. We hope to have them formated and reposted sometime this week. If all goes well, they will be in easily downloadable GIF or JPEG format (or similar format) this time (as opposed to a scanned in graphic). Thanks again for everyones help and comments. Dan Gropper Thunder Eagle, Inc. dgropper@thuneagle.com www.thuneagle.com 1-888-877-8022 ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 10:38:06 CDT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: tornado size not proportional to tornado F-scale WXtalkers, Below is an example that shows that tornado size (width) is not prorportional to tornado F-scale, as some mistakenly believe... >From NWS Chanhassen, MN (some reports deleted): > >LOCAL STORM REPORT...ADDITION INFORMATION... >NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MINNESOTA >905 PM CDT THU SEP 18 1997 > >TIME(CDT) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... > ....COUNTY LOCATION.... > >0525 PM CAMP RIPLEY JCT MN TORNADO F0 >09/18/97 MORRISON COUNTY 1/2 MILE WIDE > LENGTH 100 YARDS > >09/18/97 4S WAHKON MN TORNADO F1 > 4S ISLE MN 1/4 MILE WIDE > MILLE LACS COUNTY LENGTH 2 MILES > >THIS IS THE FINAL COUNT AND THE FINAL STORM REPORT FROM THE NATIONAL >WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURVEY CREW. I have personally surveyed 7/8 mile wide F1/F2 tornadoes (in heavily-wooded areas...so good chance for high correlation to F-scale and intensity). greg stumpf, NSSL ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 11:35:08 CDT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: Re: tornado size not proportional to tornado F-scale >From: Greg Stumpf > >>From NWS Chanhassen, MN (some reports deleted): >> >>LOCAL STORM REPORT...ADDITION INFORMATION... >>NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MINNESOTA >>905 PM CDT THU SEP 18 1997 >> >>TIME(CDT) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... >> ....COUNTY LOCATION.... >> >>0525 PM CAMP RIPLEY JCT MN TORNADO F0 >>09/18/97 MORRISON COUNTY 1/2 MILE WIDE >> LENGTH 100 YARDS Hmmm...I just looked at this one a little closer....1/2 mile wide yet only 100 yards long? 1/2 mile ~ 800 yards. Did they mix up their width and length? Still, the second example shows what I was talking about. greg stumpf, NSSL ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 15:28:32 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Water devils Hello all, Just saw this ob from Dutch Harbor, AK, and saw this: PADU 2000Z 221955Z 32029G43KT 7SM SCT012 OVC020 09/05 A2898 RMK AO1 1945 WEA -RA/PK WND 32048/40/WTR DEVILS/CIG RDG= What are "water devils"? Are they cold air funnels that hit the water, or are they "dust devils over water" with updrafts so strong it's picking up the water with the circulation? And if it's the latter, isn't it amazing that this is happening in AK? Must be very warm water! 48 degrees fahrenheit isn't very cold... Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 14:56:46 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: tornado size not proportional to tornado F-scale On Mon, 22 Sep 1997, Greg Stumpf wrote: > >From: Greg Stumpf > > > >>From NWS Chanhassen, MN (some reports deleted): > >> > >>LOCAL STORM REPORT...ADDITION INFORMATION... > >>NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MINNESOTA > >>905 PM CDT THU SEP 18 1997 > >> > >>TIME(CDT) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... > >> ....COUNTY LOCATION.... > >> > >>0525 PM CAMP RIPLEY JCT MN TORNADO F0 > >>09/18/97 MORRISON COUNTY 1/2 MILE WIDE > >> LENGTH 100 YARDS > > Hmmm...I just looked at this one a little closer....1/2 mile > wide yet only 100 yards long? 1/2 mile ~ 800 yards. Did they > mix up their width and length? I was looking at that too and was wondering of that report might not perhaps be from an observer who was actually watching a microburst from a distance, but who _thought_ he was watching a tornado, perhaps????? Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman, A.R.S. KB4MHH -\\- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- Home Page URL: http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Permission to use the above info for inclusion in any mailing | | lists, so as to send me ad-mail personally, is NOT granted. | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 21 Sep 1997 to 22 Sep 1997 ************************************************** From - Tue Sep 23 13:48:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626348-16231>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 13:43:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA28140; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 00:40:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6380190 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 00:39:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA24340 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 00:37:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id AAA26778 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 00:37:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709230537.AAA26778@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 00:37:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4a3481f78f6032dd5c91ce1424b19683 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2473 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 529 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 230151Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 230153Z SEP 97// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 230155Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 230000Z5 TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.4N1 111.3E6 MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) WARNING NR 10 (WTPN31 PGTW 230300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 230000Z5 TROPICAL STORM ELLA (23W) WAS LOCATED AT 28.1N1 156.4E6 MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM ELLA (23W) WARNING NR 09 (WTPN32 PGTW 230300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 230000Z5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WAS LOCATED AT 10.4N5 168.4E9, MOVING WESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 02 (WTPN33 PGTW 230300 COR)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 175E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.4N5 168.4E9 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF C (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 02 (WTPN33 PGTW 230300 COR)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19N0 165E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: DUARTE/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 13:48:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626354-16229>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 13:44:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA12818; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 00:37:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6380185 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 00:37:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA24570 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 00:37:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id AAA26777 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 00:37:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709230537.AAA26777@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 00:37:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 189bc8a180f701184a8246ce84f32650 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2419 Status: OR 529 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 230151Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 230153Z SEP 97// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 230155Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 230000Z5 TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.4N1 111.3E6 MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) WARNING NR 10 (WTPN31 PGTW 230300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 230000Z5 TROPICAL STORM ELLA (23W) WAS LOCATED AT 28.1N1 156.4E6 MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM ELLA (23W) WARNING NR 09 (WTPN32 PGTW 230300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 230000Z5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WAS LOCATED AT 10.4N5 168.4E9, MOVING WESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 02 (WTPN33 PGTW 230300 COR)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 175E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.4N5 168.4E9 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF C (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 02 (WTPN33 PGTW 230300 COR)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19N0 165E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: DUARTE/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 14:27:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626496-16228>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 14:09:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA21608; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 01:04:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6380339 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 01:01:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA22780 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 01:01:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA26884 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 01:01:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709230601.BAA26884@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 01:01:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Intermediate Advisory Number 26a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 18b609a682acb0f9e7a7c4a753f26681 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2145 Status: OR 873 WTPZ31 KNHC 230603 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 26A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 PM PDT MON SEP 22 1997 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE NEARBY REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF LATITUDE 25N AND A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF LATITUDE 25N TO PUNTA EUGENIA. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA ESTRECHO TO MAZATLAN FOR LARGE WAVES AND SWELLS. AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.8 WEST OR ABOUT 275 MILES ...450 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING MAY OCCUR ON TUESDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. CONDITIONS OVER SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE NEIGHBORING ISLANDS SHOULD GRADUALLY IMPROVE ON TUESDAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES. THE OUTER RAINBANDS OF NORA ARE CURRENTLY OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS. REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...19.9 N...112.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 960 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 14:27:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626762-16231>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 14:14:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA32666; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 01:10:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6380347 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 01:07:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA31988 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 01:07:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA26888 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 01:07:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709230607.BAA26888@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 01:07:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Intermediate Advisory Number 26a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 11eb84b1e80f257893b997d025f8e882 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2148 Status: OR 972 WTPZ31 KNHC 230607 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 26A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 PM PDT MON SEP 22 1997 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE NEARBY REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF LATITUDE 25N AND A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF LATITUDE 25N TO PUNTA EUGENIA. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA ESTRECHO TO MAZATLAN FOR LARGE WAVES AND SWELLS. AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.8 WEST OR ABOUT 275 MILES ...450 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING MAY OCCUR ON TUESDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. CONDITIONS OVER SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE NEIGHBORING ISLANDS SHOULD GRADUALLY IMPROVE ON TUESDAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES. THE OUTER RAINBANDS OF NORA ARE CURRENTLY OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS. REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...19.9 N...112.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 960 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 15:56:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626786-16228>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 15:56:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA44062; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 02:47:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6380644 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 02:47:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA29960 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 02:47:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA26986 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 02:47:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709230747.CAA26986@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 02:47:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 24w Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 133d452b9d8cc46f4ddb51779d076ad2 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2709 Status: OR 182 WTPN33 PGTW 230900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 003 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- 10.9N0 167.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.9N0 167.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 11.9N1 164.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 12.9N2 161.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 14.1N6 158.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 15.5N1 156.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 18.6N5 151.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 230900Z4 POSITION 11.2N4 166.3E6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z1 (DTG 231355Z9), 232100Z8 (DTG 231955Z5), 240300Z9 (DTG 240155Z7) AND 240900Z5 (DTG 240755Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ELLA (23W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 16:31:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626795-16229>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 16:26:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA19598; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 03:09:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6380690 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 03:09:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA44154 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 03:09:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA27124 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 03:09:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709230809.DAA27124@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 03:09:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Fritz (22w) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c49441c64bfe69eacf63dce13bebcef1 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3250 Status: OR 453 WTPN31 PGTW 230900 1. TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) WARNING NR 011 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- 16.1N8 111.4E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - QUASISTATIONARY POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 111.4E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 16.3N0 111.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 16.8N5 111.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 17.4N2 111.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 17.3N1 110.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 17.0N8 109.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 230900Z4 POSITION 16.1N8 111.4E7 TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) IS QUASISTATIONARY. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD. THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE NORTHWARD OF THE SYSTEM WILL CHANGE THE STEERING ENVIRONMENT FOR TROPICAL STORM FRITZ. NEAR THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK IN A WESTWARD DIRECTION. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY THROUGH THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND BEGIN TO WEAKEN NEAR THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z1 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5), 232100Z8 (DTG 231951Z1), 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3) AND 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ELLA (23W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) AND REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 16:31:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626806-16229>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 16:29:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA12864; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 03:19:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6380709 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 03:19:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA29230 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 03:19:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA27138 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 03:19:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709230819.DAA27138@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 03:19:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Ella (23w) Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3369752cf4efd3973b10fbea75707519 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2250 Status: OR 706 WTPN32 PGTW 230900 1. TROPICAL STORM ELLA (23W) WARNING NR 010 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- 29.0N1 156.2E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 29.0N1 156.2E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 30.6N9 155.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 33.6N2 156.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 36.8N7 159.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 23 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 39.6N8 164.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 42.9N5 177.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 230900Z4 POSITION 29.4N5 156.1E3 TROPICAL STORM ELLA (23W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 8 KNOTS. ELLA IS RECURVING AND IS EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE TOWARDS THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z1 (DTG 231353Z7), 232100Z8 (DTG 231953Z3), 240300Z9 (DTG 240153Z5) AND 240900Z5 (DTG 240753Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 16:31:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626794-16228>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 16:31:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA12288; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 03:23:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6380716 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 03:23:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA19692 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 03:23:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA27144 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 03:23:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709230823.DAA27144@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 03:23:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 24w Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bbd6c2228f92019c28cde71c90570da2 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2808 Status: OR 769 WTPN33 PGTW 230900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 003 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHGSGG0362 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- 10.9N0 167.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.9N0 167.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 11.9N1 164.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 12.9N2 161.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS PAGE 03 RUHGSGG0362 UNCLAS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 14.1N6 158.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 15.5N1 156.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 18.6N5 151.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG0362 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 230900Z4 POSITION 11.2N4 166.3E6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z1 (DTG 231355Z9), 232100Z8 (DTG 231955Z5), 240300Z9 (DTG 240155Z7) AND 240900Z5 (DTG 240755Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ELLA (23W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0362 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 16:55:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626809-16228>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 16:37:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA14746; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 03:28:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6380733 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 03:27:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA19508 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 03:27:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA27148 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 03:27:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709230827.DAA27148@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 03:27:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 27 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: dead29058434f0bb544fc5149fb24175 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2039 Status: OR 793 WTPZ41 KNHC 230827 TCDEP1 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 27 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT TUE SEP 23 1997 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 315/08. THE AVIATION MODEL SHOWS A TROUGH OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST CAUSING THE HURRICANE TO MOVE MOSTLY NORTHWARD FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS WITH SOME ACCELERATION AFTER 36 HOURS OR SO. ALL OF THE TRACK FORECAST MODELS SHOW THIS SAME GENERAL IDEA. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS SHIFTED JUST SLIGHTLY LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE GFLD...UKMET AND NOGAPS MODELS...EXCEPT THE GFDL IS FASTER AFTER 48 HOURS. THE FORECAST TRACK HAS THE CENTER REACHING THE COAST OF CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA IN ABOUT 42 HOURS...SO IT IS NOT YET TIME TO ISSUE HURRICANE WARNINGS FOR BAJA. THE 72 HOUR FORECAST POSITION IS OVER ARIZONA WHICH IMPLIES SOME RAINFALL FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES. CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES ON INFRARED IMAGERY CONTINUE TO BE RATHER WARM AND THE WIND SPEED IS DECREASED TO 95 KNOTS. THE WIND SPEED IS FORECAST TO 90 KNOTS IN 12 HOURS BASED ON THIS TREND...BUT WARM SSTS AND NOT MUCH VERTICAL SHEAR ALLOW FOR THE POSSIBILITY THAT THE HURRICANE WILL RETAIN MUCH OF ITS STRENGTH UNTIL MOVING NORTH OF 25N WHERE THERE IS SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL SHEAR ACCORDING TO THE AVIATION MODEL. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/0900Z 20.2N 113.2W 95 KTS 12HR VT 23/1800Z 21.3N 113.8W 90 KTS 24HR VT 24/0600Z 23.1N 113.8W 90 KTS 36HR VT 24/1800Z 25.3N 113.8W 90 KTS 48HR VT 25/0600Z 28.1N 113.8W 80 KTS 72HR VT 26/0600Z 35.5N 112.2W 25 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 16:55:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626817-16228>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 16:52:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA21574; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 03:33:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6380742 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 03:32:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA24530 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 03:32:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA27153 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 03:32:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709230832.DAA27153@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 03:32:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 27 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4cbbb12cfd3e78edacbf2c4071766e48 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2406 Status: OR 884 WTPZ21 KNHC 230832 TCMEP1 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 0900Z TUE SEP 23 1997 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF LATITUDE 25N AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM LATITUDE 25N NORTHWARD TO PUNTA EUGENIA. A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE NEARBY REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS BUT WILL LIKELY BE LOWERED LATER TODAY. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA ESTRECHO TO MAZATLAN FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 113.2W AT 23/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 MB EYE DIAMETER 50 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT 64 KT....... 50NE 75SE 75SW 50NW 50 KT....... 75NE 100SE 100SW 75NW 34 KT.......125NE 175SE 175SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..400NE 500SE 300SW 350NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 113.2W AT 23/0900Z AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 112.8W FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 21.3N 113.8W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 50NE 75SE 75SW 50NW 50 KT... 75NE 100SE 100SW 75NW 34 KT...125NE 175SE 175SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 23.1N 113.8W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 25.3N 113.8W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 113.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 28.1N 113.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 35.5N 112.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 16:55:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626811-16220>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 16:52:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA15182; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 03:44:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6380747 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 03:43:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA24052 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 03:43:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA27167 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 03:43:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709230843.DAA27167@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 03:43:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Advisory Number 27 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 88761fb9c86a85b7b0b927b04f30ee30 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2278 Status: OR 020 WTPZ31 KNHC 230843 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT TUE SEP 23 1997 ...HURRICANE THREATENS BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF LATITUDE 25N AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM LATITUDE 25N NORTHWARD TO PUNTA EUGENIA. A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE NEARBY REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS BUT WILL LIKELY BE LOWERED LATER TODAY. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA ESTRECHO TO MAZATLAN FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.2 WEST OR ABOUT 280 MILES...450 KM...SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH ...15 KM/HR...AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/HR ...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ONLY SLIGHT ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST FOR TODAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 972 MB...28.70 INCHES. THE OUTER RAINBANDS OF NORA ARE PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. CONDITIONS AT SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE NEARBY ISLANDS SHOULD GRADUALLY IMPROVE TODAY. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...20.2 N...113.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 972 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT ADVISORY AT 8 AM PDT. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 17:55:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626816-16220>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 17:51:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA12816; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 04:48:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6381105 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 04:47:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA32696 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 04:47:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA27224 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 04:47:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709230947.EAA27224@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 04:47:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 71dffaff22350ca55efcc81728a9e42a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 781 Status: OR 078 ABPA20 PHNL 231000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST TUESDAY SEPTEMBER 23 1997 TROPICAL WEATHER IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IS QUIET. THERE ARE NO WELL ORGANIZED DISTURBANCES. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 18:22:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626830-16220>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 18:06:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA24092; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 05:02:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6381144 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 05:00:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA20442 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 05:00:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA27256 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 05:00:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709231000.FAA27256@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 05:00:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5865baef4afe0052b29b69bf1aab1f39 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 845 Status: OR 258 ABPA20 PHNL 231000 COR TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST TUESDAY SEPTEMBER 23 1997 ...DAY IN LAST LINE CHANGED FROM TUESDAY TO WEDNESDAY... TROPICAL WEATHER IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IS QUIET. THERE ARE NO WELL ORGANIZED DISTURBANCES. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 23 18:37:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626835-16220>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 18:36:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA24302; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 05:33:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6381328 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 05:31:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA19686 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 05:29:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA27280 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 05:29:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709231029.FAA27280@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 05:29:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 76f1f67cdf11a026a234bc95da41875f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1034 Status: OR 777 ABPZ20 KNHC 231023 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE SEP 23 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NORA CENTERED ABOUT 280 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 24 09:20:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626831-16229>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 19:58:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id GAA31942; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 06:55:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6381547 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 06:54:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id GAA20326 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 06:54:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id GAA27328 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 06:54:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709231154.GAA27328@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 06:54:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Intermediate Advisory Number 27 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: dbea8a373ea3280c051c9b6c3b44c2ce X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2252 Status: OR 219 WTPZ31 KNHC 231154 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT TUE SEP 23 1997 ...HURRICANE THREATENS BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF LATITUDE 25N AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM LATITUDE 25N NORTHWARD TO PUNTA EUGENIA. A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE NEARBY REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS BUT WILL LIKELY BE LOWERED LATER TODAY. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA ESTRECHO TO MAZATLAN FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.4 WEST OR ABOUT 285 MILES...460 KM...SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH ...15 KM/HR...AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...170 KM/HR ...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES. THE OUTER RAINBANDS OF NORA ARE PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. CONDITIONS AT SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE NEARBY ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO IMPROVE TODAY. REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...20.3 N...113.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 970 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 24 09:20:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626858-16220>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 22:07:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA29306; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 08:57:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6382384 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 08:55:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA12316 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 08:55:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id IAA27525 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 08:55:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709231355.IAA27525@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 08:55:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 23w (ella) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 73b62891e931cd006bc0b5bcf99b7bb0 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2800 Status: OR 744 WTPN32 PGTW 231500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W (ELLA) WARNING NR 011 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 23W 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- 30.3N6 156.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 30.3N6 156.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 32.6N1 157.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 35.7N5 158.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 38.6N7 162.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 231500Z1 POSITION 30.9N2 156.7E9 LATEST ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W (ELLA) IS NOW MORE THAN 90NM TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE NEAREST CONVECTIVE AREA. STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR IS NOW LOCATED OVER THE AREA AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CIRCULATION TO ITS WEST HAS WEAKENED AND STRONG UPPER LEVEL WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH AN APPROACHING FRONT OFF OF JAPAN BEGIN TO AFFECT THE AREA. TD 23W IS NOW EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z IS 06 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z9 (DTG 240153Z5) AND 241500Z2 (DTG 241353Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 24 09:20:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626870-16229>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 22:41:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA31992; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 09:33:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6382731 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 09:32:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA19540 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 09:32:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA27567 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 09:31:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709231431.JAA27567@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 09:31:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Fritz (22w) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 921391b188f29a6d2096ab18c221023f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3203 Status: OR 574 WTPN31 PGTW 231500 1. TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) WARNING NR 012 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- 16.4N1 111.3E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N1 111.3E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 16.8N5 111.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 17.1N9 110.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 17.4N2 110.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 17.6N4 108.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 16.7N4 105.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 231500Z1 POSITION 16.5N2 111.2E5 LATEST INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) IS SHOWING SLIGHTLY BETTER CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION. IT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS BEFORE UPPER LEVEL SHEAR BEGINS TO AFFECT THE REGION. FORECAST IS FOR A SOUTHWEST MOTION AFTER 36 HOURS AS STRONG LOW LEVEL NORTHEAST FLOW PUSHES THE REMAINS OF TS FRITZ INTO VIETNAM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z8 (DTG 231951Z1), 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3), 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9) AND 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W (ELLA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 24 09:20:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626716-16228>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 22:46:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA33332; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 09:43:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6382920 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 09:41:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA35852 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 09:40:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA27592 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 09:40:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709231440.JAA27592@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 09:40:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Advisory Number 28 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b2577e92618960a1a541908b2e241817 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2310 Status: OR 747 WTPZ31 KNHC 231441 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT TUE SEP 23 1997 ...HURRICANE THREATENS BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF LATITUDE 25N AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM LATITUDE 25N NORTHWARD TO PUNTA EUGENIA. A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE NEARBY REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS BUT WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA ESTRECHO TO MAZATLAN FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.6 WEST OR ABOUT 290 MILES...470 KM...SOUTHWEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES. THE OUTER RAINBANDS OF NORA ARE PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. CONDITIONS AT SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE NEARBY ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO IMPROVE TODAY. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...20.4 N...113.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 970 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 24 09:20:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626870-16220>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 22:51:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA29626; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 09:45:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6382953 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 09:43:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA33014 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 09:41:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA27602 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 09:41:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709231441.JAA27602@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 09:41:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 28 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0cf9791285e7723d1faf2c4ae8e8ebbc X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2847 Status: OR 748 WTPZ41 KNHC 231442 TCDEP1 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 28 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT TUE SEP 23 1997 SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE EYE HAS BECOME RAGGED AND THE CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES SURROUNDING THE EYE HAVE WARMED. ALTHOUGH THE DVORAK T NUMBERS ARE DECREASING...THE TECHNIQUE BRINGS THE CURRENT INTENSITY DOWN SLOWLY. FOR DVORAK FANS...THE EYE IS NOW EMBEDDED WITHIN OFF WHITE ON THE DVORAK BD ENHANCEMENT CURVE YIELDING A T4.0...65 KNOTS...WHILE THE CI OR CURRENT INTENSITY NUMBER REMAINS AT 5.0 ...90 KNOTS. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE ANALYSES SHOW A COOL ANOMALY IN THE WAKE OF HURRICANE LINDA THAT NORA IS NOW PASSING OVER. OUR TRACK TAKES THE CENTER OF NORA NORTHWARD BASICALLY ALONG THE 26C ISOTHERM...MEANING THAT THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE WILL BE MOVING OVER WATER TEMPERATURES COOLER THAN 26C. THE MORE STABLE AIR FROM THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE MAY ALREADY BE ENTRAINING INTO THE CIRCULATION OF NORA. THEREFORE...GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST UNTIL THE CYCLONE INTERACTS WITH LAND...FOLLOWED BY RAPID WEAKENING THEREAFTER. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 315/06. THE DYNAMICAL MODELS HAVE DONE A GOOD JOB IN FORECASTING THE MID/UPPER LEVEL CUTOFF LOW OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST. THIS SHOULD TURN NORA MORE TOWARD THE NORTH WITH TIME...AND IS INDICATED BY ALL OF THE GUIDANCE. HOWEVER...THERE IS CONSIDERABLE SCATTER IN THE TRACK PREDICTION MODELS DUE TO DIFFERENCES IN FORWARD MOTION. THE 3-DAY FORECAST POSITIONS RANGE FROM THE NW TIP OF BAJA...TO CENTRAL IDAHO...TO SW COLORADO. OUR FORECAST TRACK IS A BLEND AS USUAL...AND IS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE MID LAYER BAM AND THE NOGAPS MODELS. THE UKMET AND DEEP LAYER BAM ARE TO THE RIGHT...AND THE SHALLOW BAM AND AVN ARE TO THE LEFT. OBVIOUSLY... THE 72 HOUR POSITION SHOULD NOT BE EMPHASIZED AT THIS TIME. THE FOCUS SHOULD NOW BE ON THE POSSIBILITY OF NORA BEING NEAR CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE STRENGTH AS THE CORE APPROACHES THE CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN AROUND 36 HOURS...AND ON THE STRONG POSSIBILITY OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES THEREAFTER. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/1500Z 20.4N 113.6W 90 KTS 12HR VT 24/0000Z 21.2N 114.1W 85 KTS 24HR VT 24/1200Z 23.2N 114.9W 80 KTS 36HR VT 25/0000Z 25.9N 115.4W 75 KTS 48HR VT 25/1200Z 29.3N 115.2W 70 KTS 72HR VT 26/1200Z 37.0N 113.0W 25 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 24 09:20:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626870-16231>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 22:50:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA36906; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 09:47:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6382994 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 09:45:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA15214 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 09:41:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA27608 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 09:41:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709231441.JAA27608@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 09:41:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 28 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9ac5e1ecb6cbaf92871f85175f1692fa X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2417 Status: OR 749 WTPZ21 KNHC 231443 TCMEP1 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 1500Z TUE SEP 23 1997 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF LATITUDE 25N AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM LATITUDE 25N NORTHWARD TO PUNTA EUGENIA. A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE NEARBY REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS BUT WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAIMNS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA ESTRECHO TO MAZATLAN FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 113.6W AT 23/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB EYE DIAMETER 40 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT 64 KT....... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT.......100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT.......175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..400NE 500SE 300SW 350NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 113.6W AT 23/1500Z AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 113.3W FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 21.2N 114.1W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 23.2N 114.9W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 25.9N 115.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.4N 113.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 29.3N 115.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 37.0N 113.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 24 09:20:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626885-16228>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 22:54:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA24524; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 09:49:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6383055 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 09:47:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA41774 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 09:43:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA27626 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 09:43:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709231443.JAA27626@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 09:43:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 23w (ella) Warning Nr 011a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 09162ea916e20a4f514a702ffe5a4987 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2894 Status: OR 781 WTPN32 PGTW 231500 COR 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W (ELLA) WARNING NR 011A CORRECTED DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 23W 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- 30.3N6 156.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 30.3N6 156.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 32.6N1 157.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 35.7N5 158.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 38.6N7 162.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 231500Z1 POSITION 30.9N2 156.7E9 LATEST ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W (ELLA) IS NOW MORE THAN 90NM TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE NEAREST CONVECTIVE AREA. STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR IS NOW LOCATED OVER THE AREA AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CIRCULATION TO ITS WEST HAS WEAKENED AND STRONG UPPER LEVEL WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH AN APPROACHING FRONT OFF OF JAPAN BEGIN TO AFFECT THE AREA. TD 23W IS NOW EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z9 (DTG 240153Z5) AND 241500Z2 (DTG 241353Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION: CORRECTS SEA HEIGHT AND FREQUENCY OF WARNING TIMES FOR OTHER SYSTEMS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 24 09:20:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626842-16229>; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 23:46:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA42620; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 10:31:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6383551 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 10:30:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA29940 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 10:28:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id KAA27719 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 10:28:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709231528.KAA27719@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 10:28:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 24w Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b8fe6afae83aee548a8e101851a63f7e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3032 Status: OR 711 WTPN33 PGTW 231500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 004 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- 11.7N9 166.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.7N9 166.2E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 12.3N6 164.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 13.0N4 163.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 13.7N1 161.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 14.9N4 159.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 19.0N0 156.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 231500Z1 POSITION 11.9N1 165.9E1 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE SLOWLY AS IT MOVES TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 11 KNOTS. FORECAST IS FOR A SLIGHTLY MORE NORTHERLY MOTION IN OUTLOOK PERIOD IN RESPONSE TO TROUGHING EAST OF JAPAN DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z8 (DTG 231955Z5), 240300Z9 (DTG 240155Z7), 240900Z5 (DTG 240755Z3) AND 241500Z2 (DTG 241355Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W (ELLA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 24 09:20:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626908-16229>; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 01:36:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA12342; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 12:28:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6384868 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 12:27:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA14334 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 12:26:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA27979 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 12:26:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709231726.MAA27979@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 12:26:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 388a32ef3baa924c653179317f93ea50 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1029 Status: OR 957 ABPZ20 KNHC 231723 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE SEP 23 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NORA CENTERED ABOUT 290 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 24 09:20:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626938-16229>; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 01:57:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA37496; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 12:51:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6385129 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 12:49:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA26964 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 12:48:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA28022 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 12:48:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709231748.MAA28022@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 12:48:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Intermediate Advisory Number 28a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f6d2a07b6ed4da60e148b3f204fac63d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2260 Status: OR 298 WTPZ31 KNHC 231749 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 28A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT TUE SEP 23 1997 ...HURRICANE THREATENS BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF LATITUDE 25N AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM LATITUDE 25N NORTHWARD TO PUNTA EUGENIA. A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE NEARBY REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS BUT WILL BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA ESTRECHO TO MAZATLAN FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.8 WEST OR ABOUT 280 MILES...450 KM...SOUTHWEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 974 MB...28.76 INCHES. THE OUTER RAINBANDS OF NORA ARE PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. CONDITIONS AT SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE NEARBY ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO IMPROVE TODAY. REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...20.8 N...113.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 974 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 24 09:20:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626938-16229>; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 01:55:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA40030; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 12:54:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6385144 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 12:52:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA19096 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 12:49:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA28027 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 12:49:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709231749.MAA28027@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 12:49:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 82ce00ec08664d673bb80061b7cf8018 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1646 Status: OR 308 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/241800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION AND LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15N6 81E9 IS NOW NEAR 15.5N1 81.5E4. BOTH INFRARED IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA ALONG THE EAST COAST OF INDIA GIVES A RELIABLE POSITION FOR THIS CIRCULATION. ALTHOUGH CONVECTION IS MODERATELY ORGANIZED, A LARGE PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION LIES OVER LAND. PAST 24 HOUR MOTION SUGGEST THE LOW LEVEL WILL SOON BE OVER LAND JUST SOUTH OF MACHILIPATNAM, INDIA (WMO 43185). MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR DUE TO ITS CLOSE PROXIMITY TO LAND. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 24 09:20:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626949-16228>; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 01:56:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA34242; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 12:52:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6385137 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 12:51:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA37526 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 12:49:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA28028 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 12:49:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709231749.MAA28028@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 12:49:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 329486d291b05fc2a638b6bd3dc5946f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1697 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 308 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/241800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION AND LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15N6 81E9 IS NOW NEAR 15.5N1 81.5E4. BOTH INFRARED IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA ALONG THE EAST COAST OF INDIA GIVES A RELIABLE POSITION FOR THIS CIRCULATION. ALTHOUGH CONVECTION IS MODERATELY ORGANIZED, A LARGE PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION LIES OVER LAND. PAST 24 HOUR MOTION SUGGEST THE LOW LEVEL WILL SOON BE OVER LAND JUST SOUTH OF MACHILIPATNAM, INDIA (WMO 43185). MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR DUE TO ITS CLOSE PROXIMITY TO LAND. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 24 09:20:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626947-16229>; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 02:00:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA33318; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 12:57:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6385165 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 12:56:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA34132 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 12:54:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA28038 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 12:54:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709231754.MAA28038@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 12:54:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory Foot To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a1c6ca0fefdf8428c0bf55c62aa877d8 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1342 Status: OR 367 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOOT OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION AND LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15/,6 81E9 IS NOW NEAR 15.5N1 81.5E4. BOTH INFRARED IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA ALONG THE EAST COAST OF INDIA GIVES A RELIABLE POSITION FOR THIS CIRUNN O LIES OVER LAND. PAST 24 HOUR MOTION GLGEST THE LOW LEVEL WILL SOON BE OVER LAND JUST SOUTH OF MACHILIPATNAM, INDIA (WMO 43185). MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLMNE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXTEAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICALLQYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HIDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 24 09:20:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626953-16229>; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 02:05:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA22632; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 12:59:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6385197 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 12:58:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA38738 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 12:54:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA28039 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 12:54:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709231754.MAA28039@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 12:54:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory Foot To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 07382ee00a9b779fbba6cebcb41ae0a2 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1393 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 367 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOOT OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION AND LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15/,6 81E9 IS NOW NEAR 15.5N1 81.5E4. BOTH INFRARED IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA ALONG THE EAST COAST OF INDIA GIVES A RELIABLE POSITION FOR THIS CIRUNN O LIES OVER LAND. PAST 24 HOUR MOTION GLGEST THE LOW LEVEL WILL SOON BE OVER LAND JUST SOUTH OF MACHILIPATNAM, INDIA (WMO 43185). MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLMNE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXTEAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICALLQYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HIDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 24 09:20:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627558-16228>; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 02:06:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA20562; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 13:05:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6385277 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 13:03:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA24832 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 13:00:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id NAA28055 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 13:00:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709231800.NAA28055@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 13:00:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory Foot To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a3de1a823155f06106c0e01330dec766 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1253 Status: OR 491 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOOT OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. (1) THE AREA OF CONVZCTION AND LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15/,6 81E9 IS NOW NEAR 15.5N1 81.5E4. BOTH INFRARED IMAGERY AND AVAILAB3 9 )83 9;34 )-,$. PAST 24 HOUR MOTION GLGEST THE LOW LEVEL WILL SOON BE OVER LA E JUST SOUTH OF MACHILIPATNAM, INDIA (WMO 43185). MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLMNE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXTEAS. -5 SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICNIPJWDONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HIDEORAND/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 24 09:20:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627558-16220>; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 02:10:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAB28038; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 13:07:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6385315 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 13:05:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA12546 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 13:00:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id NAA28056 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 13:00:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709231800.NAA28056@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 13:00:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory Foot To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6438414a1af8db98a18f49199eb543de X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1304 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 491 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOOT OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. (1) THE AREA OF CONVZCTION AND LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15/,6 81E9 IS NOW NEAR 15.5N1 81.5E4. BOTH INFRARED IMAGERY AND AVAILAB3 9 )83 9;34 )-,$. PAST 24 HOUR MOTION GLGEST THE LOW LEVEL WILL SOON BE OVER LA E JUST SOUTH OF MACHILIPATNAM, INDIA (WMO 43185). MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLMNE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXTEAS. -5 SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICNIPJWDONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HIDEORAND/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 24 09:20:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626922-16229>; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 04:23:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA38864; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 15:12:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6386335 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 15:10:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA44052 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 15:10:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA28408 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 15:10:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709232010.PAA28408@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 15:10:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Fritz (22w) Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1606103eefe4cffe00fb93e2bbd811e3 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3324 Status: OR 108 WTPN31 PGTW 232100 1. TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) WARNING NR 013 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231800Z4 --- 16.2N9 111.1E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N9 111.1E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 16.7N4 110.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 17.0N8 110.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 17.3N1 109.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 17.5N3 108.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 16.7N4 105.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 232100Z8 POSITION 16.3N0 111.1E4 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. FORECAST INTENSITIES ARE INCREASED SLIGHTLY FROM LAST WARNING. FORECAST TRACK REMAINS THE SAME. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 23/1800Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3), 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9), 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6) AND 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W (ELLA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 24 09:20:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626897-16228>; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 05:00:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA12466; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 15:47:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6386775 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 15:43:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA12316 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 15:43:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA28589 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 15:43:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709232043.PAA28589@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 15:43:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Advisory Number 29 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f822d649cf7bf7533925d332ed268974 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2283 Status: OR 710 WTPZ31 KNHC 232043 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE SEP 23 1997 ...HURRICANE THREATENS BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING NORTHWARD. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUNTA EUGENIA SOUTHWARD. THE HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM LATITUDE 25N NORTHWARD TO PUNTA EUGENIA. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA ESTRECHO TO MAZATLAN FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR SOCORRO ISLAND AND NEIGHBORING ISLANDS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.0 WEST OR ABOUT 295 MILES...475 KM...SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES. THE OUTER RAINBANDS OF NORA ARE PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...21.0 N...114.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 90 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 976 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 24 09:20:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626897-16220>; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 04:59:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA30072; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 15:49:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6386782 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 15:47:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA31974 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 15:44:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA28595 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 15:44:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709232044.PAA28595@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 15:44:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 29 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2d9a61629080ae1746b749b3230ebb49 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2404 Status: OR 743 WTPZ41 KNHC 232045 TCDEP1 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 29 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE SEP 23 1997 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A WELL DEFINED CIRCULATION BUT THE INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS MINIMAL DEEP CONVECTION. INITIAL INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 80 KNOTS WHICH IS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN VARIOUS DVORAK ESTIMATES. WATER TEMPERATURES ARE 26C OR COOLER TO THE WEST OF THE HURRICANE...AND NORA APPEARS TO BE ENTRAINING MORE STABLE AIR INTO THE CIRCULATION AND IS WEAKENING. HOWEVER...IT WAS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE 24 HOURS AGO AND IS EXPECTED TO ONLY GRADUALLY SPIN DOWN UNTIL MOVING OVER LAND AT WHICH TIME IT WILL WEAKEN VERY QUICKLY. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 325/8. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A MID TO UPPER LEVEL LOW OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST WHICH WILL TURN NORA MORE TOWARD THE NORTH WITH TIME. NEARLY ALL GUIDANCE MODELS MOVE THE CIRCULATION CENTER IN THE GENERAL DIRECTION OF PUNTA EUGENIA AND OVER NORTHERN BAJA BUT DIFFER ON THE FORWARD SPEED. OUR CURRENT TRACK IS CONSISTENT WITH THE PREVIOUS TRACK AND IS IN A BLEND BETWEEN THE MID LAYER BAM ...THE AVN...AND THE UKMET MODELS. THE SURFACE CIRCULATION IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BEFORE 72 HOURS...BUT A POSITION IS GIVEN ANYWAY JUST TO PROVIDE SOME GUIDANCE AND INDICATE THAT DISSIPATION IS NOT EXPECTED IMMEDIATELY AFTER 48 HOURS. INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHWEST U.S. SHOULD REMEMBER THAT A HURRICANE IS NOT A POINT BUT A LARGE CIRCULATION. WE SHOULD NOT FOCUS ON THE PRECISE TRACK...ESPECIALLY BEYOND 48 HOURS...BUT ON THE STRONG POSSIBILITY OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES AFTER THE CYCLONE MOVES OVER BAJA. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/2100Z 21.0N 114.0W 80 KTS 12HR VT 24/0600Z 22.2N 114.5W 75 KTS 24HR VT 24/1800Z 24.6N 114.9W 70 KTS 36HR VT 25/0600Z 27.5N 115.0W 65 KTS 48HR VT 25/1800Z 32.5N 115.0W 55 KTS 72HR VT 26/1800Z 40.5N 111.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 24 09:20:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626897-16220>; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 05:01:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA22216; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 15:52:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6386796 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 15:50:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA22100 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 15:45:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA28611 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 15:45:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709232045.PAA28611@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 15:45:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 29 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 216880040ff20a85f2086c08786ecfef X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2457 Status: OR 744 WTPZ21 KNHC 232046 TCMEP1 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 2100Z TUE SEP 23 1997 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING NORTHWARD. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUNTA EUGENIA SOUTHWARD. THE HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM LATITUDE 25N NORTHWARD TO PUNTA EUGENIA. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA ESTRECHO TO MAZATLAN FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR SOCORRO ISLAND AND NEIGHBORING ISLANDS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 114.0W AT 23/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 95 KT 64 KT....... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT.......100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT.......175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..400NE 500SE 300SW 350NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 114.0W AT 23/2100Z AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 113.7W FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 22.2N 114.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 24.6N 114.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 27.5N 115.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N 114.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 32.5N 115.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 0NE 75SE 0SW 0NW OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 40.5N 111.0W...INLAND...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 24 09:20:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626948-16229>; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 05:56:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA15704; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 16:53:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6387307 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 16:52:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA33804 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 16:52:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA28858 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 16:52:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709232152.QAA28858@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 16:52:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ad4467ccadac826a9bc9f99bb99edbd6 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 687 Status: OR 848 ABPA20 PHNL 232200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST TUESDAY SEPTEMBER 23 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH WEDNESDAY. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 24 09:20:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626056-14681>; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 06:40:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA15970; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 17:37:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6387761 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 17:35:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA37210 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 17:35:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA29032 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 17:35:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709232235.RAA29032@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 17:35:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f160ebc3b0967165f4a6cc4c979a4877 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1025 Status: OR 726 ABPZ20 KNHC 232235 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE SEP 23 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NORA CENTERED ABOUT 295 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 24 09:20:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626251-14679>; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 08:04:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA41802; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 18:56:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6388211 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 18:54:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id SAA39574 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 18:54:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id SAA29262 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 18:54:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709232354.SAA29262@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 18:54:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Intermediate Advisory Number 29a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 920e0024114107674cf56b4220b1a83a X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2096 Status: OR 143 WTPZ31 KNHC 232355 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 29A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT TUE SEP 23 1997 ...NORA MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...THREATENS BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUNTA EUGENIA SOUTHWARD. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM LATITUDE 25N NORTHWARD TO PUNTA EUGENIA. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA ESTRECHO TO MAZATLAN FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.2 WEST OR ABOUT 290 MILES...465 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...18 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES. THE OUTER RAINBANDS OF NORA ARE PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...21.6 N...114.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 90 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 976 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 24 11:04:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626963-14680>; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 10:36:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA33512; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 21:28:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6389266 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 21:27:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA12498 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 21:27:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA29789 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 21:27:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709240227.VAA29789@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 21:27:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Fritz (22w) Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f5611acf9d6dd05bf0d57149831ecb8c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3569 Status: OR 266 WTPN31 PGTW 240300 1. TYPHOON FRITZ (22W) WARNING NR 014 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- 15.9N5 110.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N5 110.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 15.8N4 110.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 15.7N3 110.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 15.4N0 109.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 15.2N8 108.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 15.0N6 106.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION 15.9N5 110.7E9 TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TYPHOON FRITZ (22W). FRITZ IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS THEN MOVING WESTWARD IN THE OUTLOOK PERIOD. TYPHOON FRITZ IS NEAR PEAK INTENSITY AND IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN UPON LANDFALL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z6 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9), 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6), 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2) AND 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W (ELLA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR 12-HOURLY UPDATES AND REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 24 11:04:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626963-14679>; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 10:40:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA09554; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 21:33:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6389286 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 21:31:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA23204 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 21:30:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA29806 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 21:30:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709240230.VAA29806@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 21:30:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 30 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e5c25881cfd4d475bbefd99afd5faa28 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2369 Status: OR 295 WTPZ21 KNHC 240231 TCMEP1 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 0300Z WED SEP 24 1997 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUNTA EUGENIA SOUTHWARD. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WATCH NORTHWARD. A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM LATITUDE 25N NORTHWARD TO PUNTA SAN CARLOS. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA ESTRECHO TO MAZATLAN FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 114.3W AT 24/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 95 KT 64 KT....... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT.......100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT.......175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..400NE 500SE 300SW 350NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 114.3W AT 24/0300Z AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 114.1W FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 23.4N 114.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 26.0N 115.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 28.5N 115.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.0N 114.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 32.5N 114.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 0NE 75SE 0SW 0NW OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 40.0N 110.0W...INLAND...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 24 11:04:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626963-14679>; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 10:42:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA25204; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 21:36:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6389312 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 21:34:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA28390 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 21:31:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA29814 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 21:31:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709240231.VAA29814@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 21:31:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Advisory Number 30 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: acb0e0159ec8979aff034606dbd50ca5 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2212 Status: OR 332 WTPZ31 KNHC 240233 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT TUE SEP 23 1997 ...NORA THREATENS BAJA CALIFORNIA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUNTA EUGENIA SOUTHWARD. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WATCH NORTHWARD. A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM LATITUDE 25N NORTHWARD TO PUNTA SAN CARLOS. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA ESTRECHO TO MAZATLAN FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.3 WEST OR ABOUT 405 MILES...650 KM...SOUTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH ...17 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES. THE OUTER RAINBANDS OF NORA ARE PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...22.0 N...114.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 90 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 976 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM PDT...WEDNESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 24 11:04:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626963-14681>; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 10:40:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA09660; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 21:34:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6389293 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 21:33:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA30014 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 21:32:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA29818 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 21:32:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709240232.VAA29818@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 21:32:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 30 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5acdac1edbad0e642021a5890697e6dd X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2524 Status: OR 333 WTPZ41 KNHC 240233 TCDEP1 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 30 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT TUE SEP 23 1997 NORA HAS PRETTY MUCH MAINTAINED ITS INTENSITY OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. IT STILL LOOKS FAIRLY IMPRESSIVE ON VISIBLE PICTURES. ON THE IR IMAGES WE HAVE SEEN SOME NEW CONVECTION WRAPPING AROUND THE CENTER. CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS 80 KNOTS...CLOSE TO THE DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM TAFB MIAMI AND SAB WASHINGTON. VERTICAL SHEAR IN THE HURRICANES ENVIRONMENT IS FORECAST TO INCREASE. THEREFORE SLOW WEAKENING IS PREDICTED AS IN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. HOWEVER...NORA IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE A HURRICANE FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. MOTION IS NOW NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...330/09. THE CURRENT OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ONE...TURNING NORA NORTHWARD WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS AND INCREASING THE FORWARD SPEED. THIS IS IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH THE OBJECTIVE GUIDANCE MODELS...PARTICULARLY THE GFDL AND U.K. MET. OFFICE MODELS. THE FORECAST SHOWS NORA OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. IN 48 TO 72 HOURS...EVEN THOUGH THE SURFACE CIRCULATION MAY BE MOSTLY DISSIPATED BY THAT TIME. THIS IS TO PROVIDE GUIDANCE TO LOCAL FORECASTERS SINCE NORAS REMNANTS COULD STILL BE A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER MAKER. INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. SHOULD BEAR IN MIND THE FACT THAT A HURRICANE IS NOT A POINT BUT A LARGE CIRCULATION. ONE SHOULD NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT TRACK...ESPECIALLY BEYOND 48 HOURS...BUT ON THE STRONG POSSIBILITY OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES AFTER THE EXPECTED PASSAGE ACROSS BAJA. THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD UP THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...TO NEAR 29.5N...TO BE CONSISTENT WITH THE 36- HOUR FORECAST POINT IN THAT VICINITY. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/0300Z 22.0N 114.3W 80 KTS 12HR VT 24/1200Z 23.4N 114.9W 75 KTS 24HR VT 25/0000Z 26.0N 115.0W 70 KTS 36HR VT 25/1200Z 28.5N 115.0W 65 KTS 48HR VT 26/0000Z 32.5N 114.5W 50 KTS...INLAND 72HR VT 27/0000Z 40.0N 110.0W 20 KTS...INLAND...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 24 11:04:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626964-14680>; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 10:46:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA25260; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 21:39:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6389356 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 21:39:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA33432 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 21:39:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA29846 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 21:39:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709240239.VAA29846@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 21:39:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 24w Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9ba89ead60a75375b3a0b0b1dd9725ab X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3012 Status: OR 480 WTPN33 PGTW 240300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 006 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- 13.3N7 164.7E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.3N7 164.7E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 14.5N0 163.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 15.6N2 161.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 16.8N5 159.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 18.0N9 157.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 21.1N4 154.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION 13.6N0 164.3E4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. TD 24W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AFTER 48 HOURS. THERE IS NO CHANGE IN THE INTENSITY FORECAST FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z6 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z5 (DTG 240755Z3), 241500Z2 (DTG 241355Z0), 242100Z9 (DTG 241955Z6) AND 250300Z0 (DTG 250155Z8). REFER TO TYPHOON FRITZ (22W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W (ELLA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 24 11:54:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626979-14679>; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 11:51:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA25378; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 22:42:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6389759 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 22:41:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA12298 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 22:41:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA00065 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 22:41:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709240341.WAA00065@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 22:41:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 23w (ella) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7dbd1ea339529d1ae1cedf6c0e274589 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2206 Status: OR 630 WTPN32 PGTW 240300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W (ELLA) WARNING NR 012 RELOCATED 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- 36.3N2 160.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 26 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 36.3N2 160.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 38.7N8 165.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 40.2N6 169.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION 36.9N8 162.1E0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W (ELLA) IS MOVING QUICKLY NORTHEASTWARD AT 26 KTS. THE FIRST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATED THAT TD 23W HAD MADE A SIGNIFICANT MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST AND THIS IS THE REASON FOR THE RELOCATED WARNING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z6 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z2 (DTG 241353Z8). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. REFER TO TYPHOON FRITZ (22W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 24 12:25:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626968-14676>; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 12:08:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA25214; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 23:02:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6390075 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 23:01:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA42290 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 23:01:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id XAA00145 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 1997 23:01:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709240401.XAA00145@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 23:01:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 04f053c6662673be73b68d2cbbac3d0f X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1023 Status: OR 924 ABPZ20 KNHC 240402 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE SEP 23 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NORA CENTERED ABOUT 405 MILES SOUTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 24 13:18:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627074-14679>; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 13:11:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA42394; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 00:06:24 -0500 Message-Id: <199709240506.AAA42394@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 00:01:30 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 22 Sep 1997 to 23 Sep 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 08b0e7fd20656ca8aa471badb9a73243 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 10395 Status: OR There are 5 messages totalling 221 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. El Nino Cartoons (2) 2. Verification of TC Cooler Water 3. ASOS Commissioning Notice 4. LOW PRESSURE OVER ALASKA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 22 Sep 1997 22:46:37 -0700 From: Jan Null Subject: El Nino Cartoons I'm seeking any El Nino cartoons which you may have found. I will link to them from the NWS San Francisco Bay Area El Nino Page: http://nws.mbay.net/elnino.html Here are two I have come across: http://cgi.sacbee.com/cgi-bin/renault.cgi?renault082497.jpg http://borgman.enquirer.com/img/daily/1997/09/090497borgman_600x394.jpg Please post or email me directly. Thanks. Regards, jan @@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@ @ Jan Null, CCM email: jnull@home.com @ @ Lead Forecaster, Webmaster jan.null@noaa.gov @ @ National Weather Service voice: 408-656-1710 @ @ San Francisco Bay Area fax: 408-656-1747 @ @ Web Homepage: http://nws.mbay.net/ @ @@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@ ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 09:05:22 EDT From: "Steven M. Babin" Subject: Re: Verification of TC Cooler Water There should be a 'picture of the month' article in the October issue of Monthly Weather Review with many references that discuss the effects of hurricanes on sea surface temperature. The article is 'Satellite imagery of sea surface temperature cooling in the wake of 1996 Hurricane Edouard' by Monaldo, Sikora, Babin, and Sterner. I've attached a list of references below: Anthes, R. A., and S. W. Chang, 1978: Response of the hurricane boundary layer to changes in sea surface temperature in a numerical model. J. Atmos. Sci., 35, 1240-1255. Bernstein, R. L., 1982: Sea surface temperature estimation using the NOAA-6 advanced very high resolution radiometer. J. Geophys. Res., 87, 9455-9465. Black, P. G., and G. J. Holland, 1995: The boundary layer of tropical cyclone Kerry (1979). Mon. Wea. Rev., 123, 2007-2028. Brand, S., 1971: The effects on a tropical cyclone of cooler surface waters due to upwelling and mixing produced by a prior tropical cyclone. J. Appl. Meteor., 10, 865-874. Fedorov, K. N., 1972: The effect of hurricane and typhoons on the upper active ocean layers. Oceanology, 12(3), 329-333. Gosnell, R., C. W. Fairall, and P. J. Webster, 1995: The sensible heat of rainfall in the tropcial ocean. J. Geophys. Res., 100(C9), 18,437-18,442. Hazelworth, J. B., 1968: Water temperature variations resulting from hurricanes. J. Geophys. Res., 73(16), 5105-5123. Price, J. F., 1981: Upper ocean response to a hurricane. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 11, 153-175. Pudov, V. D., A. A. Varfolomeyev, and K. N. Federov, 1978: Vertical structure of the wake of a typhoon in the upper ocean. Oceanology, 18(2), 142-146. Pudov, V. D., 1980: Mesostructure of the temperature and current velocity fields of a baroclinic ocean layer in the wake of typhoon ``Virginia.'' Oceanology, 20(1), 8-13. Sanford, T. B., P. G. Black, J. R. Haustein, J. W. Feeney, G. Z. Forristall, and J. F. Price, 1987: Ocean response to a hurricane, Part I: observations. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 17, 2065-2083. Shay, L. K., P. G. Black, A. J. Mariano, J. D. Hawkins, and R. L. Elsberry, 1992: Upper ocean response to Hurricane Gilbert. J. Geophys. Res., 97, 20,227-20,248. Shay, L. K., S. W. Chang, and R. L. Elsberry, 1990: Free surface effects on the near-inertial ocean current response to a hurricane. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 20, 1405-1424. Shay, L. K., and R. L. Elsberry, 1987: Near-inertial ocean current response to Hurricane Frederic. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 17, 1249-1269. Shay, L. K., R. L. Elsberry, and P. G. Black, 1989: Vertical structure of the ocean current response to a hurricane. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 19, 649-669. Stramma, L., P. Cornillon, and J. F. Price, 1986: Satellite observations of sea surface cooling by hurricanes. J. Geophys. Res., 91, 5031-5035. Hope you find these useful, Steve -- _____________________________________________________________________ / FROM: Steven Babin, MD, PhD Internet: Steven.Babin@jhuapl.edu \ | Office phone: (301)-953-6704 | | Office phone: (410)-792-6704 | | WWW Home page at: | | http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/people/babin/babin.html | | Office address: Ocean Remote Sensing Group | | The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab | | Johns Hopkins Road | | Laurel, MD 20723-6099 | | AD IN THE LONDON TIMES, 1907: | | Men wanted for hazardous journey. Small wages, bitter cold, long | | months of complete darkness, constant danger, safe return doubtful. | | Honour and recognition in case of success. | \ --Sir Ernest Shackleton / <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><>< ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 10:35:16 -0500 From: Jeff from West Chicago Subject: Re: El Nino Cartoons > I'm seeking any El Nino cartoons which you may have found. I will link > to them from the NWS San Francisco Bay Area El Nino Page: > http://nws.mbay.net/elnino.html > check out the CDC Map room, It has an excellent stock of cool graphics and El Nino animations. www.cdc.noaa.gov/~map/maproom/text/climate_products.shtml Later!~ jeff ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 13:38:09 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site will become a commissioned ASOS site at 1800 UTC on 23 September 1997. MEACHAM FIELD (KFTW) FORT WORTH... TX Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 23 Sep 1997 12:59:46 -0900 From: Jan Curtis Subject: LOW PRESSURE OVER ALASKA Greetings from Alaska: At 10AM ADT on 23 September, deep low pressure dominates the entire state of Alaska. Selected stations are provided below: LOCATION TEMP REL WIND PRES VIS. WEATHER KING SALMON 49 94 0 28.67 30 M CLDY KODIAK ARPT 53 96 NE/6 28.68 7 CLDY SAND POINT A 52 87 NW/8 28.71 10 CLDY TOGIAK VILLA 48 87 N/5 28.71 7 CLDY PORT ALSWORT 54 76 ENE/6 28.71 30 CLDY DILLINGHAM A 50 76 N/5 28.72 25 CLDY ILIAMNA ARPT 52 93 ENE/8 28.72 15 LT RAIN HOMER ARPT 52 87 E/6 28.74 30 CLDY ANIAK ARPT 41 86 S/3 28.75 10 CLDY SPARREVOHN A 48 79 ENE/6 28.75 10 M CLDY SOLDOTNA 52 66 0 28.76 10 SUNNY BETHEL ARPT 43 93 N/8 28.77 30 P SUNNY BIG RIVER LA 50 87 N/3 28.79 5 CLDY SEWARD 50 96 0 28.79 8 LT RAIN KENAI MUNI A 52 93 NNE/12 28.79 40 CLDY MINCHUMINA A 43 81 0 28.80 10 SUNNY COLD BAY ARP 47 95 WNW/21 28.81 5 RAIN ANCHORAGE IN 48 96 W/6 28.82 50 P SUNNY ST MARYS ARP 43 93 N/13 28.82 10 M SUNNY ELMENDORF AF 50 87 WSW/3 28.82 35 M SUNNY FAIRBANKS IN 54 64 NE/3 28.83 30 M SUNNY EIELSON AFB 59 47 ENE/5 28.83 35 MCLDY WAINWRIGHT 55 54 ENE/9 28.83 50 M CLDY PALMER MUNI 54 71 NNE/7 28.83 10 CLDY UNALAKLEET A 45 65 ENE/10 28.83 10 P SUNNY GALENA 39 92 SSW/5 28.84 35 M CLOUDY WILLOW ARPT 45 100 NNW/3 28.84 40 P SUNNY HEALY 54 62 SSE/7 28.85 35 CLDY MIDDLETON IS 55 87 SE/23 28.85 5 M SUNNY TANANA 46 65 E/9 28.86 50 CLDY CAPE ROMANZO 42 92 N/36 28.87 3 CLDY DELTA JUNCTI 55 43 SE/19 28.88 35 BL DUST SKWENTNA ARP 48 93 WNW/6 28.88 35 P SUNNY TALKEETNA AR 48 100 NW/6 28.88 15 CLDY WHITTER 52 93 S/3 28.89 1 RAIN MEKORYUK ARP 45 87 N/24 28.90 2 CLDY INDIAN MOUNT 42 76 ENE/19 28.91 10 P SUNNY AMBLER ARPT 43 70 NE/16 28.93 10 CLDY CANTWELL ARP 48 66 SW/5 28.93 10 CLDY CORDOVA-MILE 54 93 E/21 28.94 3 RAIN GULKANA ARPT 48 76 S/12 28.95 50 CLDY NOME ARPT 41 65 N/12 28.95 15 CLDY VALDEZ ARPT 48 93 0 28.97 10 CLDY BETTLES ARPT 41 93 WNW/7 28.98 30 P SUNNY Regards, Jan Curtis ************************************************************* Webmaster for: The Alaska Climate Research Center http://climate.gi.alaska.edu ************************************************************* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 22 Sep 1997 to 23 Sep 1997 ************************************************** From - Wed Sep 24 13:55:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627023-14681>; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 13:47:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA44128; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 00:41:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6390713 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 00:40:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA35370 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 00:40:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id AAA00878 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 00:40:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709240540.AAA00878@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 00:40:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Intermediate Advisory Number 30a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bd060fc37b987b94dbf52b72fadaffcb X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2089 Status: OR 828 WTPZ31 KNHC 240541 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 30A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 PM PDT TUE SEP 23 1997 ...NORA THREATENS BAJA CALIFORNIA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUNTA EUGENIA SOUTHWARD. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM LATITUDE 25N NORTHWARD TO PUNTA SAN CARLOS. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA ESTRECHO TO MAZATLAN FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.5 WEST OR ABOUT 380 MILES...610 KM...SOUTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES. THE OUTER RAINBANDS OF NORA ARE PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...22.4 N...114.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 90 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 976 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT...WEDNESDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 24 14:18:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627048-14680>; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 14:12:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA31556; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 01:08:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6390760 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 01:06:51 -0500 Received: from dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.43]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA42266 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 01:06:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) with ESMTP id BAA18279 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 01:06:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA00939 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 01:01:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709240601.BAA00939@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 01:01:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ee813c00c2ce709a1a7f790641059eb8 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2110 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 094 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 240151Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 240153Z SEP 97// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 240155Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 240000Z6 TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) WAS UPGRADED TO TYPHOON FRITZ. FRITZ, LOCATED AT 15.9N5 110.8E0, WAS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON FRITZ (22W) WARNING NR 14 (WTPN31 PGTW 240300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 240000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W (ELLA), LOCATED AT 36.3N2 160.8E5, WAS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 26 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W (ELLA) WARNING NR 12 (WTPN32 PGTW 240300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 240000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W, LOCATED AT 13.3N7 164.7E8, WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 06 (WTPN33 PGTW 240300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEWIS/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 24 14:18:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627054-14681>; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 14:12:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA29994; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 01:02:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6390748 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 01:01:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA42258 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 01:01:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA00938 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 01:01:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709240601.BAA00938@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 01:01:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7d4e852b41d247664f145398cee4b248 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2056 Status: OR 094 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 240151Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 240153Z SEP 97// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 240155Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 240000Z6 TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) WAS UPGRADED TO TYPHOON FRITZ. FRITZ, LOCATED AT 15.9N5 110.8E0, WAS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON FRITZ (22W) WARNING NR 14 (WTPN31 PGTW 240300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 240000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W (ELLA), LOCATED AT 36.3N2 160.8E5, WAS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 26 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W (ELLA) WARNING NR 12 (WTPN32 PGTW 240300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 240000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W, LOCATED AT 13.3N7 164.7E8, WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 06 (WTPN33 PGTW 240300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEWIS/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 24 17:33:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626663-28880>; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 17:32:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA16052; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 04:23:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6391416 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 04:22:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA34406 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 04:22:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA01595 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 04:22:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709240922.EAA01595@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 04:22:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Fritz (22w) Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bde5db29965929f14cc8db50b3cc988e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3822 Status: OR 071 WTPN31 PGTW 240900 1. TYPHOON FRITZ (22W) WARNING NR 015 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240600Z2 --- 16.0N7 110.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N7 110.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 16.0N7 110.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 16.0N7 109.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 15.9N5 109.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 15.7N3 108.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 15.2N8 106.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 240900Z5 POSITION 16.0N7 110.5E7 TYPHOON FRITZ IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS INCREASED IN INTENSITY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TYPHOON FRITZ IS FORECAST TO TRACK WESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6), 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2), 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4) AND 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W (ELLA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE HOURLY UPDATES AND REFER TO TROPICAL STORM GINGER (24W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 24 17:33:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626335-28877>; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 17:33:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA31780; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 04:24:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6391425 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 04:24:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA34492 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 04:23:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA01599 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 04:23:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709240923.EAA01599@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 04:23:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Ginger (24w) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 50217102d522d810aba854654cfe7267 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3268 Status: OR 073 WTPN33 PGTW 240900 1. TROPICAL STORM GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 007 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240600Z2 --- 14.4N9 163.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.4N9 163.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 16.0N7 161.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 17.4N2 160.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 18.7N6 158.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 20.1N3 157.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 23.0N5 154.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 240900Z5 POSITION 14.8N3 163.3E3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM GINGER (24W). GINGER IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS AND IS FORECASTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. THE INTENSITY AND WIND RADII FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS FORECASTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z2 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z2 (DTG 241355Z0), 242100Z9 (DTG 241955Z6), 250300Z0 (DTG 250155Z8) AND 250900Z6 (DTG 250755Z4). REFER TO TYPHOON FRITZ (22W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W (ELLA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 24 18:05:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627087-28877>; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 17:37:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA09556; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 04:34:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6391472 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 04:32:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA30712 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 04:32:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA01621 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 04:32:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709240932.EAA01621@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 04:32:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 074729d8b02354c7225803b06f961f8b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 690 Status: OR 271 ABPA20 PHNL 241000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210AM HST WEDNESDAY SEPTEMBER 24 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH THURSDAY. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Sep 24 18:05:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627134-28880>; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 17:48:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA37046; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 04:41:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6391486 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 04:40:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA44166 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 04:40:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA01653 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 04:40:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709240940.EAA01653@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 04:40:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 16ceff9c5ea84a983773a93fe1ba446a X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1022 Status: OR 395 ABPZ20 KNHC 240940 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED SEP 24 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NORA CENTERED ABOUT 340 MILES SOUTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 09:49:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627118-28877>; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 20:18:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA15840; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 07:08:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6391956 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 07:07:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA12688 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 07:07:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id HAA02026 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 07:07:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709241207.HAA02026@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 07:07:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Special Forecast/advisory Number 32 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a329c99940ca60ae78b21dbc6a44710f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2641 Status: OR 854 WTPZ21 KNHC 241208 TCMEP1 HURRICANE NORA SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 1200Z WED SEP 24 1997 AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REVISED THEIR WATCHES AND WARNINGS AS FOLLOWS... BAJA CALIFORNIA PACIFIC COAST...HURRICANE WARNING FROM BAHIA BALLENOS TO PUNTA SANTO TOMAS...AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM BAHIA BALLENOS SOUTHWARD TO LATITUDE 24N...AND TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM PUNTA SANTO TOMAS NORTHWARD TO TIJUANA. BAJA CALIFORNIA GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST...HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWARD FROM SANTA ROSALIA...AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTHWARD OF SANTA ROSALIA TO LATITUDE 24N. NORTHWESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST...HURRICANE WATCH NORTHWARD FROM BAHIA KINO. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA ESTRECHO TO MAZATLAN FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 114.8W AT 24/1200Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT 64 KT....... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT.......100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT.......175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..300NE 500SE 300SW 350NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 114.8W AT 24/1200Z AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 114.5W FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 24.5N 115.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 27.2N 115.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 30.0N 115.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N 114.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 34.5N 113.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 42.0N 107.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 09:49:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627140-28877>; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 20:17:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA15718; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 07:10:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6391961 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 07:08:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA12732 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 07:07:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id HAA02030 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 07:07:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709241207.HAA02030@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 07:07:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Special Discussion Number 32 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9b215f45fb1aac9baa5858655bfdfc3f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1075 Status: OR 855 WTPZ41 KNHC 241207 TCDEP1 HURRICANE NORA SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 32 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT WED SEP 24 1997 THE SPECIAL ADVISORY IS BEING ISSUED FOR THE REVISED WATCHES AND WARNINGS ISSUED BY THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO. THE TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECAST REMAIN UNCHANGED. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/1200Z 23.1N 114.8W 75 KTS 12HR VT 24/1800Z 24.5N 115.2W 70 KTS 24HR VT 25/0600Z 27.2N 115.5W 65 KTS 36HR VT 25/1800Z 30.0N 115.0W 60 KTS...INLAND 48HR VT 26/0600Z 34.5N 113.5W 25 KTS...INLAND 72HR VT 27/0600Z 42.0N 107.0W 20 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 09:49:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627128-28878>; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 20:19:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA30056; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 07:13:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6391976 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 07:12:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA31764 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 07:12:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id HAA02047 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 07:12:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709241212.HAA02047@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 07:12:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Special Advisory Number 32 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 71e1b2e91d1c80d057b247231d87a5dd X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2660 Status: OR 049 WTPZ31 KNHC 241213 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT WED SEP 24 1997 ...NORA HEADING FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES... AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REVISED THEIR WATCHES AND WARNINGS AS FOLLOWS... BAJA CALIFORNIA PACIFIC COAST...HURRICANE WARNING FROM BAHIA BALLENOS TO PUNTA SANTO TOMAS...AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM BAHIA BALLENOS SOUTHWARD TO LATITUDE 24N...AND TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM PUNTA SANTO TOMAS NORTHWARD TO TIJUANA. BAJA CALIFORNIA GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST...HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWARD FROM SANTA ROSALIA...AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTHWARD OF SANTA ROSALIA TO LATITUDE 24N. NORTHWESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST...HURRICANE WATCH NORTHWARD FROM BAHIA KINO. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA ESTRECHO TO MAZATLAN FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.8 WEST OR ABOUT 325 MILES...525 KM...SOUTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS NEAR 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH NORA. SOME OUTER RAINBANDS OF NORA CONTINUE TO PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA ...AND NORTHWEST MEXICO. THIS ACTIVITY WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...23.1 N...114.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 976 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 09:49:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627147-28879>; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 22:21:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA10672; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 09:10:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6392699 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 09:10:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA18308 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 09:10:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA02411 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 09:10:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709241410.JAA02411@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 09:10:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 23w (ella) Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b499acad352d3a661a945e22a22afdd6 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2251 Status: OR 495 WTPN32 PGTW 241500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W (ELLA) WARNING NR 013 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- 38.8N9 166.4E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 27 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 38.8N9 166.4E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 41.2N7 173.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 42.4N0 177.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION 39.4N6 168.1E6 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W (ELLA) IS RAPIDLY MOVING TOWARDS THE EAST-NORTHEAST AT 27 KNOTS. IT IS REMAINING JUST SOUTH OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WHILE ITS ASSOCIATED CONVECTION LIES TO ITS EAST AND CONTINUES TO WEAKEN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNING AT 250300Z0 (DTG 250153Z6). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. REFER TO TYPHOON FRITZ (22W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM GINGER (24W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 09:49:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626856-28877>; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 23:15:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA27052; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 10:05:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6393241 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 10:04:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA10540 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 10:04:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id KAA02610 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 10:04:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709241504.KAA02610@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 10:04:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Fritz (22w) Warning Nr 016 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b4469281d33300ebbfab37972db93de1 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2836 Status: OR 765 WTPN31 PGTW 241500 1. TYPHOON FRITZ (22W) WARNING NR 016 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- 15.7N3 109.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N3 109.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 15.6N2 108.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 15.3N9 107.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 14.9N4 106.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION 15.7N3 109.6E6 LATEST ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TYPHOON FRITZ (22W) IS MOVING WEST TOWARDS THE VIETNAM COAST AT 06 KNOTS. IT IS NOW EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS, JUST SOUTH OF DA NANG (WMO 48855). THIS LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO SHOWS THAT TYPHOON FRITZ HAS A 14 NM DIAMETER, CLOUD-FILLED EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2), 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4), 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0) AND 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W (ELLA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM GINGER (24W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 09:49:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627116-28880>; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 23:25:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA26930; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 10:06:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6393246 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 10:06:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA16194 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 10:04:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id KAA02614 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 10:04:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709241504.KAA02614@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 10:04:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Ginger (24w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2a78ef61e6cb3361d121678cf3f3340d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3427 Status: OR 766 WTPN33 PGTW 241500 1. TROPICAL STORM GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 008 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- 14.7N2 162.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N2 162.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 15.5N1 160.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 16.6N3 159.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 17.8N6 157.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 19.0N0 156.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 21.6N9 152.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION 14.9N4 162.2E1 LATEST ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE CENTRAL CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM GINGER (24W) CONTINUES TO INCREASE AND BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITIES REMAIN SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS WARNING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT A 241200Z IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z9 (DTG 241955Z6), 250300Z0 (DTG 250155Z8), 250900Z6 (DTG 250755Z4) AND 251500Z3 (DTG 251355Z1). REFER TO TYPHOON FRITZ (22W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W (ELLA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 09:49:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626856-28879>; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 23:26:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA34228; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 10:18:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6393367 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 10:17:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA25356 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 10:16:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id KAA02666 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 10:16:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709241516.KAA02666@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 10:16:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Advisory Number 33 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 740e81edf83ef5a7e94985588114d23d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2689 Status: OR 097 WTPZ31 KNHC 241442 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT WED SEP 24 1997 ...NORA HEADING FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REVISED THEIR WATCHES AND WARNINGS AS FOLLOWS... BAJA CALIFORNIA PACIFIC COAST...HURRICANE WARNING FROM BAHIA BALLENAS TO PUNTA SANTO TOMAS...AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM BAHIA BALLENAS SOUTHWARD TO LATITUDE 24N...AND TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM PUNTA SANTO TOMAS NORTHWARD TO TIJUANA. BAJA CALIFORNIA GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST...HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWARD FROM SANTA ROSALIA...AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTHWARD OF SANTA ROSALIA TO LATITUDE 24N. NORTHWESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST...HURRICANE WATCH NORTHWARD FROM BAHIA KINO. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA ESTRECHO TO MAZATLAN FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.7 WEST OR ABOUT 295 MILES...475 KM...SOUTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS NEAR 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH NORA. SOME OUTER RAINBANDS OF NORA CONTINUE TO PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA ...AND NORTHWEST MEXICO. THIS ACTIVITY WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...23.5 N...114.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 976 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 09:49:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627116-28878>; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 23:27:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA22148; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 10:20:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6393374 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 10:18:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA19226 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 10:16:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id KAA02674 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 10:16:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709241516.KAA02674@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 10:16:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 33 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c396c381fabb05cb5c250152e52b78c5 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2625 Status: OR 098 WTPZ21 KNHC 241444 TCMEP1 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 1500Z WED SEP 24 1997 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REVISED THEIR WATCHES AND WARNINGS AS FOLLOWS... BAJA CALIFORNIA PACIFIC COAST...HURRICANE WARNING FROM BAHIA BALLENAS TO PUNTA SANTO TOMAS...AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM BAHIA BALLENAS SOUTHWARD TO LATITUDE 24N...AND TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM PUNTA SANTO TOMAS NORTHWARD TO TIJUANA. BAJA CALIFORNIA GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST...HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWARD FROM SANTA ROSALIA...AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTHWARD OF SANTA ROSALIA TO LATITUDE 24N. NORTHWESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST...HURRICANE WATCH NORTHWARD FROM BAHIA KINO. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA ESTRECHO TO MAZATLAN FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 114.7W AT 24/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT 64 KT....... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT.......100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT.......175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..300NE 500SE 300SW 350NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 114.7W AT 24/1500Z AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 114.7W FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 25.2N 115.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 28.3N 115.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 31.0N 115.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 75NE 100SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N 114.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 34.0N 115.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 37.0N 111.5W...INLAND...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 09:49:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627178-28880>; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 23:42:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA36920; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 10:35:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6393523 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 10:33:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAB22148 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 10:33:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id KAA02734 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 10:31:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709241531.KAA02734@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 10:31:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 33 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6b83f73c3d5d6df2de01b54b10edd5ce X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2098 Status: OR 574 WTPZ41 KNHC 241443 TCDEP1 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 33 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT WED SEP 24 1997 THE VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A HEALTHY CIRCULATION ALTHOUGH THE INFRARED PICS SHOW THE DEEP CONVECTION LIMITED TO THE AREA CLOSE TO THE CENTER. INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS AT 75 KNOTS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST ESTIMATES FROM SAB AND TAFB. ONLY GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED UNTIL THE HURRICANE BECOMES INVOLVED WITH LAND. THE WINDS WILL DIMINISH QUICKLY AFTER MOVING INLAND. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 KNOTS. THE GFDL MODEL RUN FROM 0000Z CONTINUES TO MOVE NORA NORTHWARD VERY QUICKLY BUT THE ETA...NGM...AVN...AND UKMET ARE MUCH SLOWER. OUR CURRENT TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS TRACK BUT REFLECTS THE SLOWER FORWARD MOTION. WHAT MAY WELL HAPPEN...IS THAT THE MID LEVEL CIRCULATION AND THE MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWARD AND THEN NORTHEASTWARD...WHILE LEAVING A WEAKENING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION BEHIND. INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. SHOULD BEAR IN MIND THE FACT THAT A HURRICANE IS NOT A POINT BUT A LARGE CIRCULATION. ONE SHOULD NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT TRACK...ESPECIALLY BEYOND 48 HOURS...BUT ON THE STRONG POSSIBILITY OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES AFTER THE EXPECTED PASSAGE ACROSS BAJA. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/1500Z 23.5N 114.7W 75 KTS 12HR VT 25/0000Z 25.2N 115.0W 70 KTS 24HR VT 25/1200Z 28.3N 115.2W 65 KTS 36HR VT 26/0000Z 31.0N 115.5W 60 KTS...INLAND 48HR VT 26/1200Z 34.0N 115.0W 30 KTS...INLAND 72HR VT 27/1200Z 37.0N 111.5W 20 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 09:49:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627194-28879>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 00:55:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA14248; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 11:45:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6394224 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 11:42:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA10700 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 11:42:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id LAA03203 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 11:42:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709241642.LAA03203@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 11:42:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 29c1a036cf9f7a7178eba65f219cfe30 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 1315 Status: OR 309 ABPZ20 KNHC 241643 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED SEP 24 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NORA CENTERED ABOUT 295 MILES SOUTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SATELLITE ANIMATION SUGGESTS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS DEVELOPED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 525 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS CURRENTLY NOT WELL ORGANIZED AND THE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT DOES NOT APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER... THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 09:49:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627918-28879>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 02:00:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA19356; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 12:52:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6394866 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 12:51:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA12332 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 12:51:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA01328 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 12:51:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709241751.MAA01328@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 12:51:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Intermediate Advisory Number 33a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 042d5861830f0eb9ff449ddf5400e99d X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2643 Status: OR 529 WTPZ31 KNHC 241752 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 33A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT WED SEP 24 1997 ...NORA HEADING FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS POSTED THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS... BAJA CALIFORNIA PACIFIC COAST...HURRICANE WARNING FROM BAHIA BALLENAS TO PUNTA SANTO TOMAS...AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM BAHIA BALLENAS SOUTHWARD TO LATITUDE 24N...AND TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM PUNTA SANTO TOMAS NORTHWARD TO TIJUANA. BAJA CALIFORNIA GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST...HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWARD FROM SANTA ROSALIA...AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTHWARD OF SANTA ROSALIA TO LATITUDE 24N. NORTHWESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST...HURRICANE WATCH NORTHWARD FROM BAHIA KINO. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA ESTRECHO TO MAZATLAN FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.7 WEST OR ABOUT 250 MILES... 400 KM...SOUTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 11 MPH...18 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS NEAR 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH NORA. SOME OUTER RAINBANDS OF NORA CONTINUE TO PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA ...AND NORTHWEST MEXICO. THIS ACTIVITY WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...24.2 N...114.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 11 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 976 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 09:50:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628046-28878>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 02:34:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA41034; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 13:30:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6395329 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 13:28:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA39576 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 13:27:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id NAA01492 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 13:27:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709241827.NAA01492@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 13:27:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2fdaa0909ff90fb54b18d6d6c98f07ef X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3246 Status: OR 404 WTIO31 PGTW 241830 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- 17.3N1 83.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N1 83.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 17.9N7 83.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 18.5N4 84.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 19.1N1 84.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 19.9N9 85.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 21.6N9 85.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 241830Z8 POSITION 17.4N3 83.1E2 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 24/1630Z AND SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM KAKINADA (WMO 43189) INDICATE A TROPICAL CYCLONE HAS DEVELOPED ALONG THE EASTERN COAST OF INDIA. INTENSITY ANALYSIS FROM SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGEST MAXIMUM WINDS OF 35 KNOTS ARE LIKELY ALONG THE EASTERN (SEAWARD) SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION. NUMERICAL MODELS INDICATE THAT THE CIRCULATION WILL MOVE PARALLEL TO THE COASTLINE IN A NORTHEASTWARD DIRECTION FOR THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS. ALTHOUGH PART OF THE CIRCULATION IS OVER LAND, SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION IS LIKELY DUE TO FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW AND STRONG LOW LEVEL INFLOW FROM THE SOUTHEAST OVER THE BAY OF BENGAL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250300Z0 (DTG 250157Z0), 250900Z6 (DTG 250757Z6), 251500Z3 (DTG 251357Z3) AND 252100Z0 (DTG 251957Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 09:50:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628046-28878>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 02:37:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA22748; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 13:35:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6395395 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 13:34:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA25532 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 13:33:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id NAA01522 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 13:33:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709241833.NAA01522@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 13:33:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warnint Pdp Qrlw+5 --- 17.3n1 83.0e1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b7fb701c129ef601cf1cd0e750559a37 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2535 Status: OR 557 WTIO31 PGTW 241830 IMMEDIATE DLIVERY REQT ERAGE WARNINT PDP QRLW+5 --- 17.3N1 83.0E1 MOVEMEN S - 045 DEGREES AT 04 (5 098589, -::74-53 59 +85#8, 030 NM POSITIO BASD MOMBI ATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT TV R FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT, 250600Z3 --- 17.9N7 83.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050- I I IIIIII VER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 04 CS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z3- -- 1 55N4 84.1K3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, G STS 055 KT RADQIS OF 035 KT WINDE - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVE WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER L VECTOR TOMAX SV Q SJE2 RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE O OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VCTOR TO 48.HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 19.9N9 85.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR OTMUE0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 0-5 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER AND REMARKS: 241830Z8 POSITION 17.4N3 83.1E2 LATEO S FROM KAKINADA (2.9 43189) INDICATE A TROPICAL CYCLONE HAS EVELOPED ALONG THE EASTERN COAST OF INDIA. INTENSITY UNALYSIS FROM SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGEST MAXIMUM WINDS OF 35 KNOTS ARE LIKELY ALONG THE EASTERN (SEAWARD) SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION. NUMERICAL MODELS INDICATE THAT THE CIRCULATION WILL MOVE PARALLEL TO THE COASTLINE IN A NORTHEASTWARD EIRECTION FOR THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS. ALTHOUGH PART OF THE CIRCIEL INFLOW FROM THE SOUTHEAST OVER THE BAY OF BENGAL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250300Z0 (DTG 250157Z0), 250900Z6 (DTG 250757Z6), 251500Z3 (DTG 251357Z3) AND 252100Z0 (DTG 251957Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 09:50:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628374-28877>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:03:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA27014; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 14:02:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6395793 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 14:00:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA26934 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 14:00:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id OAA01675 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 14:00:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709241900.OAA01675@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 14:00:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 774a3199ac98f09957b7d244e1432fa5 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1515 Status: OR 229 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 241827Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 241800Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WAS LOCATED AT 17.3N1 083.0E1, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 01 (WTIO31 PGTW 241830)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) N0 OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION AND LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.5N1 81.5E4 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF A FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 09:50:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628952-28878>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:09:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA27062; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 14:03:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6395798 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 14:02:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA36920 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 14:00:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id OAA01676 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 14:00:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709241900.OAA01676@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 14:00:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f46744bab0a9a28d3cd22f846bca1217 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1566 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 229 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 241827Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 241800Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WAS LOCATED AT 17.3N1 083.0E1, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 01 (WTIO31 PGTW 241830)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) N0 OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION AND LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.5N1 81.5E4 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF A FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 09:50:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626574-28877>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:57:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA12886; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 14:39:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6396276 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 14:39:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA20512 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 14:39:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id OAA01812 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 14:38:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709241938.OAA01812@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 14:38:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Fritz (22w) Warning Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 71a795602ebb0973bc4f2d5e796fd4c8 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2698 Status: OR 981 WTPN31 PGTW 242100 1. TYPHOON FRITZ (22W) WARNING NR 017 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- 15.6N2 109.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N2 109.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 15.4N0 108.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 15.2N8 107.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 15.1N7 107.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 242100Z9 POSITION 15.5N1 109.2E2 TYPHOON FRITZ (22W) CONTINUES TO TRACK TO THE WEST AT 04 KNOTS WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN INTENSITY. FRITZ IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL IN LESS THAN 12 HOURS TO THE SOUTH OF DA NANG (WMO 48855). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4), 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0), 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W (ELLA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM GINGER (24W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 09:50:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626803-28879>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 04:15:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA12768; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 15:11:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6396601 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 15:09:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA29008 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 15:09:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA01976 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 15:09:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709242009.PAA01976@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 15:09:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f393a3dd7f876f56831b75caec4a2396 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3345 Status: OR 400 WTIO31 PGTW 241830 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- 17.3N1 83.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N1 83.0E1 --- FORECASTS: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG1743 UNCLAS 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 17.9N7 83.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 18.5N4 84.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 19.1N1 84.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG1743 UNCLAS OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 19.9N9 85.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 21.6N9 85.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 241830Z8 POSITION 17.4N3 83.1E2 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 24/1630Z AND SYNOPTIC REPORTS PAGE 05 RUHGSGG1743 UNCLAS FROM KAKINADA (WMO 43189) INDICATE A TROPICAL CYCLONE HAS DEVELOPED ALONG THE EASTERN COAST OF INDIA. INTENSITY ANALYSIS FROM SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGEST MAXIMUM WINDS OF 35 KNOTS ARE LIKELY ALONG THE EASTERN (SEAWARD) SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION. NUMERICAL MODELS INDICATE THAT THE CIRCULATION WILL MOVE PARALLEL TO THE COASTLINE IN A NORTHEASTWARD DIRECTION FOR THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS. ALTHOUGH PART OF THE CIRCULATION IS OVER LAND, SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION IS LIKELY DUE TO FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW AND STRONG LOW LEVEL INFLOW FROM THE SOUTHEAST OVER THE BAY OF BENGAL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250300Z0 (DTG 250157Z0), 250900Z6 (DTG 250757Z6), 251500Z3 (DTG 251357Z3) AND 252100Z0 (DTG 251957Z9).// BT #1743 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 09:50:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627190-28880>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 04:40:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA26412; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 15:20:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6396716 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 15:20:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA18964 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 15:20:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA02039 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 15:20:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709242020.PAA02039@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 15:20:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Ginger (24w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b56115f9cd8893516f4aa24e537e8459 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 3483 Status: OR 590 WTPN33 PGTW 242100 1. TROPICAL STORM GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 009 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- 15.8N4 162.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.8N4 162.3E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 16.5N2 161.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 17.2N0 160.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 18.0N9 158.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 19.0N0 157.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 21.6N9 152.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 242100Z9 POSITION 16.0N7 162.0E9 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL STORM GINGER (24W) IS MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AT 09 KNOTS. THE INITIAL WARNING POSITION WAS READJUSTED SLIGHTLY TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AS ITS CENTRAL CONVECTIVE AREA CONTINUES TO DEVELOP. FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY REMAINS CLOSE TO PREVIOUS FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250300Z0 (DTG 250155Z8), 250900Z6 (DTG 250755Z4), 251500Z3 (DTG 251355Z1) AND 252100Z0 (DTG 251955Z7). REFER TO TYPHOON FRITZ (22W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FORSIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W (ELLA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 09:50:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626574-28880>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 04:43:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA33928; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 15:34:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6396808 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 15:32:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA42292 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 15:30:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA02098 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 15:30:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709242030.PAA02098@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 15:30:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Advisory Number 34 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 05438598bb1752b5848ca3cf2ad784fc X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3229 Status: OR 770 WTPZ31 KNHC 242031 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA ADVISORY NUMBER 34 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT WED SEP 24 1997 ...NORA HEADING FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS POSTED THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS... BAJA CALIFORNIA PACIFIC COAST...HURRICANE WARNING FROM BAHIA BALLENAS TO PUNTA SANTO TOMAS...AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM BAHIA BALLENAS SOUTHWARD TO LATITUDE 24N...AND TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM PUNTA SANTO TOMAS NORTHWARD TO TIJUANA. BAJA CALIFORNIA GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST...HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWARD FROM SANTA ROSALIA...AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTHWARD OF SANTA ROSALIA TO LATITUDE 24N. NORTHWESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST...HURRICANE WATCH NORTHWARD FROM BAHIA KINO. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA ESTRECHO TO MAZATLAN FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.9 WEST OR ABOUT 210 MILES...335 KM...SOUTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF NORA IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER THE NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WITHIN THE NEXT 18 HOURS OR SO. PREPARATIONS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ESPECIALLY STRONG GUSTS ARE LIKELY OVER HIGH TERRAIN. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES. STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE WARNED AREA...AND IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA... ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS NEAR 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH NORA. SOME OUTER RAINBANDS OF NORA CONTINUE TO PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA ...AND NORTHWEST MEXICO. THIS ACTIVITY WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...AND COULD CAUSE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...24.7 N...114.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 976 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 09:50:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628537-28880>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 04:47:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA29250; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 15:35:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6396824 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 15:34:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA28034 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 15:31:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA02112 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 15:31:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709242031.PAA02112@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 15:31:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 34 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 96f745e19178ed9de96cf7d98f055448 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2504 Status: OR 791 WTPZ21 KNHC 242032 TCMEP1 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 2100Z WED SEP 24 1997 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS POSTED THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS... BAJA CALIFORNIA PACIFIC COAST...HURRICANE WARNING FROM BAHIA BALLENAS TO PUNTA SANTO TOMAS...AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM BAHIA BALLENAS SOUTHWARD TO LATITUDE 24N...AND TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM PUNTA SANTO TOMAS NORTHWARD TO TIJUANA. BAJA CALIFORNIA GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST...HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWARD FROM SANTA ROSALIA...AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTHWARD OF SANTA ROSALIA TO LATITUDE 24N. NORTHWESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST...HURRICANE WATCH NORTHWARD FROM BAHIA KINO. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA ESTRECHO TO MAZATLAN FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 114.9W AT 24/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT 64 KT....... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT.......100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT.......175NE 175SE 175SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..300NE 500SE 300SW 350NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 114.9W AT 24/2100Z AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 114.8W FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 27.0N 115.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...150NE 175SE 150SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 30.0N 115.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 125SE 125SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 33.0N 115.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.7N 114.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 36.0N 113.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 09:50:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626574-28880>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 04:50:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA33972; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 15:37:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6396832 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 15:35:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA16090 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 15:34:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA02128 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 15:34:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709242034.PAA02128@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 15:34:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 34 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2ab91fb2587032151f535a2950ab7624 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 2598 Status: OR 835 WTPZ41 KNHC 242036 TCDEP1 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 34 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT WED SEP 24 1997 A WELL DEFINED EYE PERSISTS IN SATELLITE IMAGERY...WITH THE DEEP CONVECTION LIMITED TO THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE. NORA HAS BEEN MOVING OVER WARMER THAN NORMAL WATER TEMPERATURES...AND INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT 75 KNOTS IN AGREEMENT WITH LATEST DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND AFGWC. SHIP ZCBL REPORTED 44 KNOTS...996 MB ...AND 79 SST AT 1800Z ABOUT 90 NMI NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. WEAKENING SHOULD OCCUR AS THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER COOLER WATER NORTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA AND THE CIRCULATION BECOMES MORE INVOLVED WITH LAND. HOWEVER...NORA COULD STILL REACH THE U.S. BORDER AS A WEAKENING TROPICAL STORM. ALTHOUGH THE WINDS WILL DIMINISH QUICKLY AFTER MOVING INLAND...HIGH GUSTS CAN STILL OCCUR OVER HIGHER TERRAIN FOR ANOTHER 12 HOURS OR SO. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 11 KNOTS...WITH SOME ACCELERATION EXPECTED. THERE IS NO CHANGE TO THE LARGE SCALE FEATURES...WITH NORA EXPECTED TO BE STEERED BY THE FLOW BETWEEN THE MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW/TROUGH TO ITS NORTHWEST AND THE HIGH OVER NORTHERN MEXICO. THE GUIDANCE CONTINUES THE NORTHWARD MOTION UNTIL LANDFALL OVER THE NORTHERN BAJA...BUT VARY WITH THE FORWARD SPEED. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST LEANS TOWARD THE FASTER MODELS FOR THE FIRST 24 HOURS...WITH AN INTERMEDIATE SPEED THEREAFTER. ONCE THE CYCLONE MOVES INLAND AND WEAKENS...MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL SPREAD WELL AHEAD OF THE LOW LEVEL CENTER. INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. SHOULD BEAR IN MIND THE FACT THAT A HURRICANE IS NOT A POINT BUT A LARGE CIRCULATION. ONE SHOULD NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT TRACK...ESPECIALLY BEYOND 36 HOURS...BUT ON THE STRONG POSSIBILITY OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES AFTER THE EXPECTED PASSAGE ACROSS BAJA. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/2100Z 24.7N 114.9W 75 KTS 12HR VT 25/0600Z 27.0N 115.0W 70 KTS 24HR VT 25/1800Z 30.0N 115.0W 60 KTS 36HR VT 26/0600Z 33.0N 115.0W 40 KTS...INLAND 48HR VT 26/1800Z 36.0N 113.0W 25 KTS...INLAND 72HR VT 27/1800Z DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 09:51:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628537-28879>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 06:03:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA32306; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 16:58:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6397843 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 16:57:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA22714 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 16:57:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA02596 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 16:57:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709242157.QAA02596@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 16:57:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 40b48c25d2891a7ad1934ce122ebf555 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 675 Status: OR 114 ABPA20 PHNL 242200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST WED SEP 24 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH THURSDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 09:51:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626616-10617>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 06:47:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA21028; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 17:40:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6398217 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 17:38:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA23082 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 17:37:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA02784 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 17:37:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709242237.RAA02784@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 17:37:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9a9845e0c3a9128725d3f9376f077b06 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 1276 Status: OR 921 ABPZ20 KNHC 242237 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED SEP 24 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NORA CENTERED ABOUT 210 MILES SOUTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 525 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. AT THIS TIME...THE ASSOCIATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS NOT WELL-ORGANIZED AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT VERY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER...THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 09:51:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626606-10617>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 08:00:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA21130; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 18:54:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6399047 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 18:51:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id SAA39170 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 18:51:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id SAA03559 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 18:51:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709242351.SAA03559@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 18:51:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Intermediate Advisory Number 34a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d7e87d8645316a5b3266fb7dd5c1f07b X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 Content-Length: 3213 Status: OR 122 WTPZ31 KNHC 242352 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 34A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT WED SEP 24 1997 ...NORA MOVING FASTER...HEADING FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS POSTED THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS... BAJA CALIFORNIA PACIFIC COAST...HURRICANE WARNING FROM BAHIA BALLENAS TO PUNTA SANTO TOMAS...AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM BAHIA BALLENAS SOUTHWARD TO LATITUDE 24N...AND TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM PUNTA SANTO TOMAS NORTHWARD TO TIJUANA. BAJA CALIFORNIA GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST...HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWARD FROM SANTA ROSALIA...AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTHWARD OF SANTA ROSALIA TO LATITUDE 24N. NORTHWESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST...HURRICANE WATCH NORTHWARD FROM BAHIA KINO. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA ESTRECHO TO MAZATLAN FOR THE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE NORA. AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.8 WEST OR ABOUT 140 MILES...225 KM...SOUTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF NORA IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER THE NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS. PREPARATIONS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ESPECIALLY STRONG GUSTS ARE LIKELY OVER HIGH TERRAIN. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES. A STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE WARNED AREA...AND IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS NEAR 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH NORA. SOME OUTER RAINBANDS OF NORA CONTINUE TO PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA ...AND NORTHWEST MEXICO. THIS ACTIVITY WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...AND COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...25.7 N...114.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 976 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 09:51:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626639-10617>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 08:51:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA14486; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 19:38:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6399267 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 19:38:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA29878 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 19:35:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id TAA03923 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 19:35:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709250035.TAA03923@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 19:35:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 23w (ella) Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a6f96442ca1890ef9956c52cc6fdbe2a X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Content-Length: 2210 Status: OR 343 WTPN32 PGTW 250300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W (ELLA) WARNING NR 014 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- 39.8N0 169.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 39.8N0 169.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 40.5N9 173.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 41.1N6 177.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION 40.0N4 170.7E5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W (ELLA) IS MOVING EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THE CLOUDINESS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS BECOMING INDISTINCT FROM THE CLOUDINESS ASSOCIATED WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY JUST TO THE NORTH. THIS SYSTEM IS DISSIPATING AND IS FORECAST TO BE DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER WITHIN 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TYPHOON FRITZ (22W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM GINGER (24W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 10:16:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627051-10618>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 10:07:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA20264; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 20:59:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6400304 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 20:59:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA22266 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 20:59:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id UAA04262 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 20:59:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709250159.UAA04262@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 20:59:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Ginger (24w) Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d0c26445a32e8e7d3ae2320b191cb85c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 538 WTPN33 PGTW 250300 1. TROPICAL STORM GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 010 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- 16.6N3 162.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.6N3 162.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 17.7N5 160.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 18.7N6 159.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 19.5N5 157.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 20.3N5 155.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 22.3N7 152.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION 16.9N6 161.7E5 TROPICAL STORM GINGER (24W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MOTION IN THIS GENERAL DIRECTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH 72 HOURS. INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG 250755Z4), 251500Z3 (DTG 251355Z1), 252100Z0 (DTG 251955Z7) AND 260300Z1 (DTG 260155Z9).REFER TO TYPHOON FRITZ (22W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 10:35:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626726-10617>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 10:19:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA14298; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 21:11:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6400479 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 21:11:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA19400 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 21:11:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA04320 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 21:11:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709250211.VAA04320@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 21:11:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Ginger (24w) Warning Nr 010a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bed01d670de2f9f210e0c31922fe887d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 834 WTPN33 PGTW 250300 COR 1. TROPICAL STORM GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 010A CORRECTED 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- 16.6N3 162.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.6N3 162.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 17.7N5 160.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 18.7N6 159.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 19.5N5 157.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 20.3N5 155.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 22.3N7 152.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION 16.9N6 161.7E5 TROPICAL STORM GINGER (24W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MOTION IN THIS GENERAL DIRECTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH 72 HOURS. INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG 250755Z4), 251500Z3 (DTG 251355Z1), 252100Z0 (DTG 251955Z7) AND 260300Z1 (DTG 260155Z9). REFER TO TYPHOON FRITZ (22W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W (ELLA) WARNING (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. JUSTIFICATION: ADD COMMENT ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W TO END OF REMARKS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 10:35:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626640-10618>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 10:22:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA19302; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 21:13:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6400491 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 21:13:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA38658 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 21:12:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA04325 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 21:12:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709250212.VAA04325@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 21:12:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 23w (ella) Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 565ed2675c243cce65c038a6322e5982 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 835 WTPN32 PGTW 250300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W (ELLA) WARNING NR 014 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHGSGG1942 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- 39.8N0 169.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 39.8N0 169.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 40.5N9 173.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 15 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHGSGG1942 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 41.1N6 177.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION 40.0N4 170.7E5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W (ELLA) IS MOVING EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THE CLOUDINESS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS BECOMING INDISTINCT FROM THE CLOUDINESS ASSOCIATED WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY JUST TO THE NORTH. THIS SYSTEM IS DISSIPATING AND IS FORECAST TO BE DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER WITHIN 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TYPHOON PAGE 04 RUHGSGG1942 UNCLAS FRITZ (22W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM GINGER (24W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #1942 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 10:40:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627052-10619>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 10:41:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA16298; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 21:35:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6400742 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 21:33:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA39394 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 21:30:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA04394 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 21:30:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709250230.VAA04394@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 21:30:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Advisory Number 35 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6b0f7798104d50ab1d88599e3f283633 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 096 WTPZ31 KNHC 250232 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA ADVISORY NUMBER 35 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT WED SEP 24 1997 ...NORA HEADING FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS POSTED THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS... BAJA CALIFORNIA PACIFIC COAST...HURRICANE WARNING FROM BAHIA BALLENAS TO PUNTA SANTO TOMAS...AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM BAHIA BALLENAS SOUTHWARD TO LATITUDE 24N...AND TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM PUNTA SANTO TOMAS NORTHWARD TO TIJUANA. BAJA CALIFORNIA GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST...HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWARD FROM SANTA ROSALIA...AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTHWARD OF SANTA ROSALIA TO LATITUDE 24N. NORTHWESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST...TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH NORTHWARD FROM BAHIA KINO. THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM PUNTA ESTRECHO TO MAZATLAN HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.8 WEST OR ABOUT 90 MILES...140 KM...SOUTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF NORA IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER THE NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. PREPARATIONS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ESPECIALLY STRONG GUSTS ARE LIKELY OVER HIGH TERRAIN. WEAKENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES. A STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE WARNED AREA...AND IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS NEAR 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH NORA. THE RAINBANDS OF NORA ARE MOVING OVER PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...AND NORTHWEST MEXICO...PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS. RAIN IS ALSO SPREADING WELL AHEAD OF NORA INTO SOUTHERN ARIZONA AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...AND COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...26.5 N...114.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 976 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM PDT...THURSDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 11:11:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627135-10619>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 10:49:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA20598; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 21:41:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6400898 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 21:40:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA16146 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 21:31:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA04398 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 21:31:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709250231.VAA04398@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 21:31:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 35 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6fdd7a027b02ba810009b880708881d7 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 125 WTPZ21 KNHC 250232 TCMEP1 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 0300Z THU SEP 25 1997 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS POSTED THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS... BAJA CALIFORNIA PACIFIC COAST...HURRICANE WARNING FROM BAHIA BALLENAS TO PUNTA SANTO TOMAS...AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM BAHIA BALLENAS SOUTHWARD TO LATITUDE 24N...AND TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM PUNTA SANTO TOMAS NORTHWARD TO TIJUANA. BAJA CALIFORNIA GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST...HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWARD FROM SANTA ROSALIA...AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTHWARD OF SANTA ROSALIA TO LATITUDE 24N. NORTHWESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST...TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH NORTHWARD FROM BAHIA KINO. THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM PUNTA ESTRECHO TO MAZATLAN HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 114.8W AT 25/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT 64 KT....... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 50 KT.......100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 34 KT.......175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW 12 FT SEAS..175NE 175SE 300SW 350NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 114.8W AT 25/0300Z AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 114.8W FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 29.0N 114.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...150NE 175SE 150SW 125NW FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 32.2N 114.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT...100NE 125SE 125SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 35.0N 113.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.5N 114.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 37.0N 110.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z...INLAND NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 11:11:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627052-10618>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 10:44:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA34376; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 21:37:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6400766 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 21:35:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA42392 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 21:35:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA04417 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 21:35:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709250235.VAA04417@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 21:35:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 35 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4a8a3fc971cc063a5e783ea69442279e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 202 WTPZ41 KNHC 250235 TCDEP1 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 35 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT WED SEP 24 1997 THE EYE HAS BECOME LESS WELL-DEFINED AND THE SURROUNDING CONVECTION APPEARS TO HAVE WEAKENED SOMEWHAT. HOWEVER DVORAK T-NUMBERS HAVE NOT DECREASED YET...SO CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS HELD AT 75 KNOTS. NORA WILL SOON BE INTERACTING WITH THE LAND MASS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...WHICH SHOULD CAUSE A DECREASE IN INTENSITY. WEAKENING WILL BE RAPID ONCE NORA MOVES OVER THE MAINLAND. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST SHOWS NORA AS A TROPICAL STORM AS IT CROSSES THE U.S. BORDER. HOWEVER...OVER INLAND AREAS...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL LIKELY BE FELT ONLY WITHIN SOME OF THE STRONGER CONVECTIVE CELLS AND NEAR HIGHER TERRAIN. THE HURRICANE HAS ACCELERATED ITS NORTHWARD MOTION TO NEAR 15 KNOTS. THE STEERING MECHANISM REMAINS ABOUT THE SAME AS INDICATED BEFORE. NORA EXPECTED TO BE STEERED BY THE FLOW BETWEEN THE MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW/TROUGH TO ITS NORTHWEST AND THE HIGH OVER NORTHERN MEXICO. THE NCEP GLOBAL MODEL PREDICTS THE TROUGH TO PROGRESS EASTWARD OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA IN 36 TO 48 HOURS. THIS WOULD CAUSE THE TRACK OF NORA TO BEND TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AROUND THAT TIME. THE CURRENT NHC FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ONE...EXCEPT SOMEWHAT FASTER ON ACCOUNT OF THE INCREASED INITIAL SPEED. ALTHOUGH STRONG INLAND WINDS ARE OF SOME CONCERN...THE MAIN THREAT OVER THE U.S. WITH NORA SHOULD BE RAINFALL. INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. SHOULD NOT BE FOCUSSING ON THE PRECISE TRACK OF THE CYCLONE CENTER SINCE THIS IS A LARGE CIRCULATION AND PRECIPITATION WILL SPREAD WELL AHEAD OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER... PARTICULARLY AFTER IT MOVES INLAND. RAINS ARE ALREADY SPREADING WELL OUT AHEAD OF NORA...OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHERN ARIZONA AND CALIFORNIA. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 25/0300Z 26.5N 114.8W 75 KTS 12HR VT 25/1200Z 29.0N 114.8W 65 KTS 24HR VT 26/0000Z 32.2N 114.5W 50 KTS...INLAND 36HR VT 26/1200Z 35.0N 113.0W 30 KTS...INLAND 48HR VT 27/0000Z 37.0N 110.0W 20 KTS...INLAND...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 28/0000Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 12:05:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627207-10614>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 11:36:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA38770; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 22:21:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6401362 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 22:21:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA22078 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 22:21:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA04550 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 22:21:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709250321.WAA04550@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 22:21:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Fritz (22w) Warning Nr 018 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ad53ead9e4576d6e10579390967e6bf0 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 984 WTPN31 PGTW 250300 1. TYPHOON FRITZ (22W) WARNING NR 018 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- 15.5N1 108.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUHGSGG1973 UNCLAS 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N1 108.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 15.3N9 108.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 15.1N7 107.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG1973 UNCLAS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 14.9N4 106.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION 15.5N1 108.6E5 TYPHOON FRITZ (22W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS AND IS NEARING LANDFALL IN CENTRAL VIETNAM JUST TO THE SOUTH OF DA NANG (WMO 48855). MOTION JUST TO THE SOUTH OF WEST IS EXPECTED THROUGH 36 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN WEAKENING RAPIDLY AFTER LANDFALL AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE MOUNTAINOUS INTERIOR OF VIETNAM. TYPHOON FRITZ (22W) IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND WITHIN 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW PAGE 05 RUHGSGG1973 UNCLAS FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0), 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7), 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3) AND 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W (ELLA) WARNING (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM GINGER (24W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #1973 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 13:19:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627212-10617>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 12:32:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA38732; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 23:25:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6401857 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 23:24:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA36456 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 23:22:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id XAA04715 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 1997 23:22:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709250422.XAA04715@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 23:22:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f4e6fc9cd6c7626f92814a55130c7f0c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 091 ABPZ20 KNHC 250422 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED SEP 24 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NORA CENTERED ABOUT 90 MILES SOUTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDERED MILES SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. AT THIS TIME...THE ASSOCIATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS NOT WELL-ORGANIZED AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT VERY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER...THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 13:19:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627155-10619>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 13:07:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA04660; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 00:04:47 -0500 Message-Id: <199709250504.AAA04660@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 00:01:39 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 23 Sep 1997 to 24 Sep 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 95eb539a15c129734a6b9e294116a5db X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 3 messages totalling 86 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. 2. test 3. Model Verification Homepage +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 09:28:25 EDT From: glickman@MIT.EDU Subject: The American Meteorological Society Committee on Probablity and Statistics has organized a short course on "Extreme Value Analysis", to be held on Sunday, 19 October 1997 in Reno, Nevada. Space is still available for registration (in advance until 1 October; on-site thereafter). This short course is designed for graduate students and researchers who work with climate or weather extremes, and who wish to obtain an overview of the methodology and application of extreme value analysis techniques relevant to the atmospheric sciences and related fields. The one-day short course will feature prominent statisticians and climatologists providing half-day sessions on extreme value methods and applications. The short course format will be flexible and interactive, allowing ample time for questions and discussions. Lecture notes will be provided to attendees. For more information, contact Tim Brown at 702-677-3341, or e-mail at: tbwrcc@sage.dri.edu. For registration and hotel information, see the listing on the AMS Home Page at URL: http://www.ametsoc.org/AMS/meet/meetingprogs/reno.html or contact the AMS Meetings Department at 617-227-2426 x305, or via email at: amsmtgs@ametsoc.org This short course is being held just prior to the 10th Conference on Applied Climatology, information about which can be obtained from the AMS at the URL listed above. ------------------------------- Todd Glickman Assistant Executive Director American Meteorological Society Phone: 617-227-2426 x237 Fax: 617-742-8718 Email: glickman@ametsoc.org ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 15:51:48 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: test Ignore this. /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman, A.R.S. KB4MHH -\\- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- Home Page URL: http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Permission to use the above info for inclusion in any mailing | | lists, so as to send me ad-mail personally, is NOT granted. | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 24 Sep 1997 17:30:41 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Model Verification Homepage Hello forecasters, The Model Verification Homepage at Northern Illinois University has many new products and we have also added color contours to our 6 panel and 8 panel images! Starting tomorrow, we will begin to verify the MRF model as well. Also, we have improved navigation to get around from page to page easier! Come see what we are doing at: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/verification/ Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * The Model Verification Homepage: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/verification/ * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 23 Sep 1997 to 24 Sep 1997 ************************************************** From - Thu Sep 25 14:06:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627228-10619>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 13:45:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA34010; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 00:37:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6402435 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 00:35:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA12454 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 00:35:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id AAA05028 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 00:35:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709250535.AAA05028@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 00:35:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Intermediate Advisory Number 35a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0636461cb361cb2d9327e417fedfbeea X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 387 WTPZ31 KNHC 250536 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 35A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 PM PDT WED SEP 24 1997 ...NORA NEARING PUNTA EUGENIA...HEADING FOR THE NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS POSTED THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS... BAJA CALIFORNIA PACIFIC COAST...HURRICANE WARNING FROM BAHIA BALLENAS TO PUNTA SANTO TOMAS...AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM BAHIA BALLENAS SOUTHWARD TO LATITUDE 24N...AND TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM PUNTA SANTO TOMAS NORTHWARD TO TIJUANA. BAJA CALIFORNIA GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST...HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWARD FROM SANTA ROSALIA...AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTHWARD OF SANTA ROSALIA TO LATITUDE 24N. NORTHWESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST...TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH NORTHWARD FROM BAHIA KINO. AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.8 WEST OR ABOUT 30 MILES...50 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PUNTA EUGENIA ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF NORA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. PREPARATIONS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ESPECIALLY STRONG GUSTS ARE LIKELY OVER HIGH TERRAIN. WEAKENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES. A STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE WARNED AREA...AND IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS NEAR 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH NORA. THE RAINBANDS OF NORA ARE MOVING OVER PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...AND NORTHWEST MEXICO...PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS. RAIN IS ALSO SPREADING WELL AHEAD OF NORA INTO SOUTHERN ARIZONA AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...AND COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...27.3 N...114.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 976 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT...THURSDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 14:06:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627209-10617>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 13:58:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA24188; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 00:50:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6402470 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 00:48:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA38884 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 00:48:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id AAA05061 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 00:48:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709250548.AAA05061@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 00:48:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5179fee0abb094517db2b9d84053779e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 575 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 250151Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 250153Z SEP 97// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 250155Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7 TYPHOON FRITZ (22W) WAS LOCATED AT 15.5N1 108.8E7, WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON FRITZ (22W) WARNING NR 18 (WTPN31 PGTW 250300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 250000Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W (ELLA), LOCATED AT 39.8N0 169.7E3, WAS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W (ELLA) WARNING NR 14 (WTPN32 PGTW 240300)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (3) AT 250000Z7 TROPICAL STORM GINGER (24W), WAS LOCATED AT 16.6N3 162.0E9, WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL STORM GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 10A CORRECTED (WTPN33 PGTW 240300 COR)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/HOOVER/BOUCHILLON/BACON/DOBBINS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 14:06:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627220-10617>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 14:00:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA24230; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 00:50:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6402475 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 00:50:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA16098 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 00:48:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id AAA05060 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 00:48:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709250548.AAA05060@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 00:48:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b73a7ada5d1888c88aa67fdffbb49dc6 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 575 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 250151Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 250153Z SEP 97// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 250155Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7 TYPHOON FRITZ (22W) WAS LOCATED AT 15.5N1 108.8E7, WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON FRITZ (22W) WARNING NR 18 (WTPN31 PGTW 250300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 250000Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W (ELLA), LOCATED AT 39.8N0 169.7E3, WAS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W (ELLA) WARNING NR 14 (WTPN32 PGTW 240300)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (3) AT 250000Z7 TROPICAL STORM GINGER (24W), WAS LOCATED AT 16.6N3 162.0E9, WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL STORM GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 10A CORRECTED (WTPN33 PGTW 240300 COR)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/HOOVER/BOUCHILLON/BACON/DOBBINS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 16:05:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627232-10614>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 15:41:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA12404; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 02:33:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6403076 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 02:33:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA24160 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 02:33:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA05310 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 02:32:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709250732.CAA05310@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 02:32:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Ginger (24w) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a33e9758f8f87c47ab030ee0a1d21a21 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 803 WTPN33 PGTW 250900 1. TROPICAL STORM GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- 18.0N9 161.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.0N9 161.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 19.6N6 160.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 20.8N0 159.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 21.6N9 157.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 22.6N0 155.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 24.9N5 153.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 250900Z6 POSITION 18.4N3 161.5E3 TROPICAL STORM GINGER (24W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 72 HOURS AND INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3 (DTG 251355Z1), 252100Z0 (DTG 251955Z7), 260300Z1 (DTG 260155Z9) AND 260900Z7 (DTG 260755Z5). REFER TO TYPHOON FRITZ (22W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 16:17:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627209-10614>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 16:17:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA04794; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:07:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6403169 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:07:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA08616 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:07:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA05550 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:07:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709250807.DAA05550@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:07:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Fritz (22w) Warning Nr 019 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5d8c880b26e38d0876a45f20f4a3db03 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 269 WTPN31 PGTW 250900 1. TYPHOON FRITZ (22W) WARNING NR 019 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- 15.4N0 108.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 010 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N0 108.3E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 15.2N8 107.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 15.1N7 106.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 14.9N4 106.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 250900Z6 POSITION 15.4N0 108.1E0 TYPHOON FRITZ (22W) CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD AND HAS MADE LANDFALL IN CENTRAL VIETNAM. MOTION IN THIS GENERAL DIRECTION IS EXPECTED UNTIL THIS SYSTEM DISSIPATES AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND WITHIN 30 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7), 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3), 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5) AND 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM GINGER (24W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 16:33:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626617-10619>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 16:26:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA15880; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:25:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6403187 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:23:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA15974 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:23:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA05594 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:23:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709250823.DAA05594@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:23:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a507045608716a4d73b241acdd8ddfbd X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 562 WTIO31 PGTW 250900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- 17.4N2 83.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED USING A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.4N2 83.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 17.7N5 83.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 18.2N1 83.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 18.7N6 84.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 19.3N3 85.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 20.5N7 85.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 250900Z6 POSITION 17.5N3 83.1E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B IS DRIFTING VERY SLOWLY NORTHWARD AT 01 KNOT JUST OFF THE COAST OF THE BAY OF BENGAL TO THE SOUTH OF VISHAKHAPATNAM (WMO 43150). THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 250530Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 250300Z0 SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORT FROM VISHAKHAPATNAM (WMO 43150). THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 250530Z VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. FORECAST WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON AN EXTRAPOLATION FROM 241706Z0 SATELLITE SCATTEROMETRY DATA. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN WEAK STEERING FLOW PROVIDED BY A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH 72 HOURS. ONLY SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH 24 HOURS DUE TO THIS SYSTEM=S PROXIMITY TO LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3 (DTG 251357Z3), 252100Z0 (DTG 251957Z9), 260300Z1 (DTG 260157Z1) AND 260900Z7 (DTG 260757Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 18:05:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627237-10619>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 16:53:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA38868; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:36:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6403243 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:35:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA15956 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:34:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA05616 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:34:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709250834.DAA05616@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:34:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Advisory Number 36 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c191dde82dff66b1b49adcca3c851447 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 726 WTPZ31 KNHC 250836 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA ADVISORY NUMBER 36 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT THU SEP 25 1997 ...EYE OF NORA RECENTLY MOVED NEAR PUNTA EUGENIA... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT... BAJA CALIFORNIA PACIFIC COAST...HURRICANE WARNING FROM BAHIA BALLENAS TO PUNTA SANTO TOMAS...AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM BAHIA BALLENAS SOUTHWARD TO LATITUDE 24N...AND TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM PUNTA SANTO TOMAS NORTHWARD TO TIJUANA. BAJA CALIFORNIA GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST...HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWARD FROM SANTA ROSALIA...AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTHWARD OF SANTA ROSALIA TO LATITUDE 24N. NORTHWESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST...TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH NORTHWARD FROM BAHIA KINO. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.8 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES...80 KM...NORTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 21 MPH ...33 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK NORA WILL BE MOVING OVER THE NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. PREPARATIONS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ESPECIALLY STRONG GUSTS ARE LIKELY OVER HIGH TERRAIN. WEAKENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES...230 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES. A STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE WARNED AREA...AND IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS NEAR 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH NORA. THE RAINBANDS OF NORA ARE MOVING OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...AND NORTHWEST MEXICO...PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS. RAIN IS ALSO SPREADING WELL AHEAD OF NORA INTO SOUTHERN ARIZONA AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...AND COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...28.4 N...114.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 980 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM PDT. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 18:05:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627246-10619>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 16:53:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA22124; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:38:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6403265 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:36:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA29378 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:36:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA05633 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:36:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709250836.DAA05633@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:36:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 36 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fc12911f0d2dc7f6f8b22d78b5c32ca6 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 727 WTPZ21 KNHC 250837 TCMEP1 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 0900Z THU SEP 25 1997 THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT... BAJA CALIFORNIA PACIFIC COAST...HURRICANE WARNING FROM BAHIA BALLENAS TO PUNTA SANTO TOMAS...AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM BAHIA BALLENAS SOUTHWARD TO LATITUDE 24N...AND TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM PUNTA SANTO TOMAS NORTHWARD TO TIJUANA. BAJA CALIFORNIA GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST...HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWARD FROM SANTA ROSALIA...AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTHWARD OF SANTA ROSALIA TO LATITUDE 24N. NORTHWESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST...TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH NORTHWARD FROM BAHIA KINO. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N 114.8W AT 25/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT 64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 300SW 350NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N 114.8W AT 25/0900Z AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 114.8W FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 31.2N 114.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 35.0N 113.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 38.5N 110.0W...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.4N 114.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 18:05:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627234-10618>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 16:41:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA38870; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:39:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6403270 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:38:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA38710 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:36:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA05637 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:36:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709250836.DAA05637@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:36:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d80f6cd911e9210f08721b5271a79567 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 747 WTIO31 PGTW 250800 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- 17.4N2 83.0E1 MOVEMZNT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED USING A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WINTD --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 19.3N3 85.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDOO 88 ;3:594 59 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 20.5N7 85.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 250900Z6 POSITION 17.5N3 83.1E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 029 975# 9> ;8#-(#-0-5,-. (WMO 43150). THE WARN ING POSIT N IS BASED ON 250530Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGEJTFASZ 43150). THE WAR ING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 250530Z VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. FORECAST WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON AN EXTRAPOLATION FROM 241706Z0 SATELLITE SCATTEROMETRY DATA. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN WEAK STEERING FLOW PROVIDED BY A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH 72 HOURS. ONLY SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH 24 HOURS DUE TO THIS SYSTEM;S PROXIMITY TO LAND. MAXIMUMVLLNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3 (DTG 251357Z3), 252100Z0 (DTG 251957Z9), 260300Z1 (DTG 260157Z1) AND 260900Z7 (DTG 260757Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 18:05:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627251-10619>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 16:53:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA29524; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:41:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6403277 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:39:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA29520 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:37:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA05641 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:37:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709250837.DAA05641@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:37:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 36 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3ed11b9af97785f45118f4be492ccfce X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 748 WTPZ41 KNHC 250839 TCDEP1 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 36 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT THU SEP 25 1997 THERE ARE NO AVAILABLE SURFACE OBSERVATIONS NEAR NORA BUT SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW THAT THE EYE OF NORA RECENTLY MOVED OVER PUNTA EUGENIA AND IT IS NOW OVER WATER IN THE VICINITY OF BAHIA SEBASTIAN. BEST ESTIMATE OF THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS 70 KNOTS AND WEAKENING IS EXPECTED SOON AS NORA INTERACTS WITH THE LAND MASS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A RAPID WEAKENING IS FORECAST ONCE NORA MOVES OVER THE MAINLAND. NORA COULD STILL BE A TROPICAL STORM AS IT CROSSES THE U.S. BORDER. HOWEVER...OVER INLAND AREAS...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL LIKELY BE FELT ONLY WITHIN SOME OF THE STRONGER CONVECTIVE CELLS AND NEAR HIGHER TERRAIN. THE HURRICANE IS NOW MOVING NORTHWARD AT 18 KNOTS. NORA EXPECTED TO BE STEERED BY THE FLOW BETWEEN THE MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW/TROUGH TO ITS NORTHWEST AND THE HIGH OVER NORTHERN MEXICO. MOST OF THE MODELS INDICATE THAT NORA OR ITS REMNANTS SHOULD TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST EMBEDDED IN THE WESTERLIES WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. IMPORTANT: ALTHOUGH STRONG INLAND WINDS ARE OF SOME CONCERN...THE MAIN THREAT OVER THE U.S. WITH NORA SHOULD BE RAINFALL. INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. SHOULD NOT BE FOCUSSING ON THE PRECISE TRACK OF THE CYCLONE CENTER SINCE THIS IS A LARGE CIRCULATION AND PRECIPITATION WILL SPREAD WELL AHEAD OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER... PARTICULARLY AFTER IT MOVES INLAND. RAINS ARE ALREADY SPREADING WELL OUT AHEAD OF NORA...OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHERN ARIZONA AND CALIFORNIA. SEE INFORMATION FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 25/0900Z 28.4N 114.8W 70 KTS 12HR VT 25/1800Z 31.2N 114.8W 55 KTS 24HR VT 26/0600Z 35.0N 113.0W 30 KTS...INLAND 36HR VT 26/1800Z 38.5N 110.0W DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 18:05:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627120-10617>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 16:44:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA29610; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:42:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6403289 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:41:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA36424 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:41:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA05658 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:41:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709250841.DAA05658@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:41:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8090878b60e9c9ca6cc3c1db45e28026 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 816 WTIO31 PGTW 250800 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYNLONE IN NOYTHIO MAX EUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- 17.4N2 83.0E1 MOVEMZNT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREI AJAGAAA EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 19.3N3 85.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDOO 88 3:594 59 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 20.5N7 85.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 0,7OZZGGUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 250900Z6 ; 98589, 17.5N3 83.1E2 ING POSIT N IS BASED ON 250530Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGEJTFASZ 43150). THE WAR ING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 250530Z VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY- 3-8,< >)92 049;8$3$ ?6 - .8$-LEVELO RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH 72 HOURS. ONLY SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH 24 HOURS DUE TO THIS SYSTEM S PROXIMITY TO LAND. MAXIMUMVLLNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3 (DTG 251357Z3), 252100Z0 (DTG 251957Z9), 260300Z1 (DTG 260157Z1) AND 260900Z7 (DTG 260757Z7).$/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 18:05:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627237-10617>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 17:09:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA08546; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 04:08:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6403384 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 04:06:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA25400 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 04:06:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA05720 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 04:06:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709250906.EAA05720@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 04:06:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 71391ce44d7a522f165f6a045070e6ff X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 057 WTIO31 PGTW 250900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- 17.4N2 83.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED USING A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.4N2 83.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG2250 UNCLAS 251800Z6 --- 17.7N5 83.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 18.2N1 83.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 18.7N6 84.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 04 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHGSGG2250 UNCLAS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 19.3N3 85.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 20.5N7 85.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 250900Z6 POSITION 17.5N3 83.1E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B IS DRIFTING VERY SLOWLY NORTHWARD AT 01 KNOT JUST OFF THE COAST OF THE BAY OF BENGAL TO THE SOUTH OF VISHAKHAPATNAM (WMO 43150). THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 250530Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 250300Z0 SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORT FROM VISHAKHAPATNAM (WMO PAGE 05 RUHGSGG2250 UNCLAS 43150). THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 250530Z VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. FORECAST WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON AN EXTRAPOLATION FROM 241706Z0 SATELLITE SCATTEROMETRY DATA. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN WEAK STEERING FLOW PROVIDED BY A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH 72 HOURS. ONLY SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH 24 HOURS DUE TO THIS SYSTEM'S PROXIMITY TO LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3 (DTG 251357Z3), 252100Z0 (DTG 251957Z9), 260300Z1 (DTG 260157Z1) AND 260900Z7 (DTG 260757Z7).// BT #2250 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 18:05:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627126-10619>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 17:19:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA21504; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 04:16:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6403399 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 04:14:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA08602 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 04:14:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA05739 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 04:14:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709250914.EAA05739@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 04:14:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7f79d1f7f2b32076d73d0deda28b577f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 248 WTIO31 PGTW 250900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- 17.4N2 83.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED USING A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.4N2 83.0E1 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG2250 UNCLAS 251800Z6 --- 17.7N5 83.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 03 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 18.2N1 83.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 04 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 18.7N6 84.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 04 KTS PAGE 04 RUHGSGG2250 UNCLAS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 19.3N3 85.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 9 82827= 63460 42580 42002 10236 20158 84200 333 84825= 63474 42580 61002 10210 20176 86300 333 81925 82626 84827= 63478 42580 52305 10318 20232 39829 40196 85200 333 59005 85825= 63500 42580 61204 10290 20181 82230 333 82830 86360= 63533 41579#61002 10226 20157 70522 86800 333 83824 84625= 63451 42582 30904 10260 20098 38126 40;+8 83100 333 58005 83827= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 18:05:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627126-10617>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 18:04:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA29310; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 04:29:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6403550 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 04:27:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA22574 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 04:27:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA05770 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 04:27:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709250927.EAA05770@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 04:27:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6f1a33530ff9f133e4ba2f29f6b90a26 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 549 ABPZ20 KNHC 250927 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU SEP 25 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NORA CENTERED ABOUT 50 MILES NORTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDERED MILES SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT VERY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Sep 25 18:05:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627230-10614>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 17:59:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA42566; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 04:53:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6403654 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 04:51:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA16088 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 04:51:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA05836 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 04:51:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709250951.EAA05836@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 04:51:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 14c955089394c5d2d6cd2d5b40f6c0de X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 913 ABPA20 PHNL 251000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST THU SEP 25 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH FRIDAY. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 08:43:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627248-10614>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 20:13:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA16070; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 07:03:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6404255 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 07:01:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA31890 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 07:01:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id HAA06138 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 07:01:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709251201.HAA06138@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 07:01:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Intermediate Advisory Number 36a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 219e7da80308eb4d11200bcdd2b6ff8f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 132 WTPZ31 KNHC 251202 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NORA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 36A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT THU SEP 25 1997 ...NORA CENTERED OVER NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...RAINS TO CONTINUE OVER NORTHWESTERN MEXICO AND U.S. SOUTHWEST... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT... BAJA CALIFORNIA PACIFIC COAST...HURRICANE WARNING FROM BAHIA BALLENAS TO PUNTA SANTO TOMAS AND TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM PUNTA SANTO TOMAS NORTHWARD TO TIJUANA. BAJA CALIFORNIA GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST...HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWARD FROM SANTA ROSALIA. NORTHWESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST...TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH NORTHWARD FROM BAHIA KINO. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FROM BAHIA BALLENAS TO SANTA ROSALIA SOUTHWARD HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.6 WEST OR NEAR THE TOWN OF CATAVINA IN BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS POSITION IS ALSO 220 MILES SOUTH OF YUMA ARIZONA. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 24 MPH...39 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF NORA WILL LIKELY CROSS THE EXTREME NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND MOVE INTO NORTHERN SONORA MEXICO AND THEN INTO SOUTHWESTERN ARIZONA LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ESPECIALLY STRONG GUSTS ARE LIKELY OVER HIGH TERRAIN. WEAKENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES...230 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES. A STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE WARNED AREA...PARTICULARLY IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA...AND THE BAHIA SEBASTIAN VIZCAINO ON THE PACIFIC COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS NEAR 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH NORA. THE RAINBANDS OF NORA ARE MOVING OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...AND NORTHWEST MEXICO...PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS. RAIN IS ALSO SPREADING WELL AHEAD OF NORA INTO SOUTHERN ARIZONA AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...AND COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...29.5 N...114.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 24 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 985 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 08:43:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627256-10614>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 22:03:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAB39386; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 08:55:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6405519 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 08:54:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA22692 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 08:54:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id IAA06489 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 08:54:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709251354.IAA06489@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 08:54:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Fritz (22w) Warning Nr 020 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 60d26dbc3a677a6ff84b2d9c30193bfe X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 393 WTPN31 PGTW 251500 1. TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) WARNING NR 020 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON FRITZ (22W) 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- 15.5N1 107.6E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N1 107.6E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 15.5N1 106.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 15.4N0 105.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 30 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 30 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 15.3N9 105.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION 15.5N1 107.3E1 TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3), 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5), AND 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM GINGER (24W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 08:43:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627286-10614>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 23:00:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA25008; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 09:47:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6406304 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 09:47:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA38804 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 09:47:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA06697 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 09:47:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709251447.JAA06697@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 09:47:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Ginger (24w) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8610faaaf0ec656891cd8f78413f9d09 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 470 WTPN33 PGTW 251500 1. TROPICAL STORM GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- 19.1N1 161.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.1N1 161.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 20.4N6 159.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 21.2N5 158.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 22.1N5 157.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 23.2N7 155.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 25.7N4 153.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION 19.4N4 160.7E4 TROPICAL STORM GINGER (24W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN A GENERAL NORTHWESTWARD DIRECTION AS IT SLOWLY INTENSIFIES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z0 (DTG 251955Z7), 260300Z1 (DTG 260155Z9), 260900Z7 (DTG 260755Z5) AND 261500Z4 (DTG 261355Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 08:43:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627269-10614>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 22:58:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA21036; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 09:50:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6406334 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 09:49:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA24308 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 09:48:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA06703 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 09:48:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709251448.JAA06703@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 09:48:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Advisory Number 37 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 33ad0b120a705e06d0c24caba6614518 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 504 WTPZ31 KNHC 251449 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NORA ADVISORY NUMBER 37 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT THU SEP 25 1997 ...NORA AND ITS HEAVIEST RAINS CENTERED OVER NORTHWESTERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA... AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REVISED THEIR WATCHES AND WARNINGS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST NORTH OF 30N LATITUDE. ALL OTHER WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED. WINDS AND SEAS IN THE PREVIOUSLY WARNED AREAS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.6 WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES... 130 KM...SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO PENASCO MEXICO. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 150 MILES TO THE SOUTH OF YUMA ARIZONA. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 24 MPH...39 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF NORA WILL LIKELY MOVE INTO NORTHERN SONORA MEXICO AND THEN INTO SOUTHWESTERN ARIZONA LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. ESPECIALLY STRONG GUSTS ARE LIKELY OVER HIGH TERRAIN. RAPID WEAKENING IS LIKELY AFTER LANDFALL. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES...230 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES. A STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE WARNED AREA...ACCOMPANIED DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS NEAR 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH NORA. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AT YUMA SHOWS LOCAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 INCHES NEAR THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA SHORELINE OF NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. HEAVIEST RAINS ARE LOCATED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD...AND COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO IS POSSIBLE LATER TODAY OVER SOUTHWESTERN AND SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...30.5 N...114.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 24 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 08:43:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627273-10614>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 23:08:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA20312; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 09:58:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6406539 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 09:57:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA21108 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 09:57:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA06747 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 09:57:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709251457.JAA06747@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 09:57:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Discussion Number 37 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4d567659a1cc1597f6509b0cf9786f0f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 597 WTPZ41 KNHC 251457 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 37 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT THU SEP 25 1997 NORA IS ABOUT ON TRACK. WHILE THE CENTER IS NOT YET WELL-DEFINED ON RADAR OR SATELLITE PICTURES...THE ACCELERATION TO THE NORTH APPEARS TO HAVE CONTINUED. THE SPEED IS NOW NEAR 21 KT. THE CENTER IS APPARENTLY EMERGING INTO THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND WILL MAKE ITS FINAL LANDFALL WEST OF PUERTO PENASCO IN A FEW HOURS. NORA WAS LIKELY WEAKENED BY ITS PASSAGE OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE CONVECTIVE PATTERN IS NOW LESS ORGANIZED AND THERE IS NO INDICATION OF AN EYE IN IR IMAGERY. HOWEVER...THE CENTER WAS OVER LAND FOR ONLY A FEW HOURS AND IS NOW OVER THE 30C SSTS OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 60 KT. A RAPID DECREASE IN THE WIND SPEEDS NEAR THE CENTER SHOULD OCCUR AFTER FINAL LANDFALL LATER TODAY...BUT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY TO ACCOMPANY NORA INTO SOUTHWESTERN ARIZONA. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE JUST EAST OF THE CENTER...PROBABLY TO THE EAST OF YUMA. A STORM SURGE OF SEVERAL FEET AND HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR NEAR THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OVER NORTHERN MEXICO. RAINFALL CONTINUES TO BE THE MOST SIGNIFICANT THREAT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES...BUT SHOULD END SHORTLY AFTER THE PASSAGE OF THE CENTER. SEE INFORMATION FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES. LIITLE CHANGE IS MADE TO THE TRACK FORECAST. AFTER LANDFALL...THE GUIDANCE AND OFFICIAL FORECAST SHOW NORA MOVING TOWARD THE NNE TO NE...UNTIL THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DISSIPATES...PROBABLY IN 24 TO 36 HOURS. A QUICK...PRELIMINARY...LOOK AT FORECAST VERIFICATION FOR NORA SHOWS THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TO HAVE BEEN BEST FOR THE SHORT TERM AND THE UKMET BEST AT LONG RANGE. ON AVERAGE... THE AVN HAS HAD THE LARGEST ERRORS. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 25/1500Z 30.5N 114.6W 60 KTS 12HR VT 26/0000Z 33.6N 114.0W 35 KTS...INLAND 24HR VT 26/1200Z 37.3N 112.0W 25 KTS...INLAND 36HR VT 27/0000Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 08:43:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627273-10618>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 23:10:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA29028; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 10:01:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6406626 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 09:59:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA39360 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 09:59:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA06761 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 09:59:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709251459.JAA06761@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 09:59:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Forecast/advisory Number 37 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 847c3d7bb4302419a9765b88e98258d6 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 659 WTPZ21 KNHC 251500 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 1500Z THU SEP 25 1997 AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REVISED THEIR WATCHES AND WARNINGS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST NORTH OF 30N LATITUDE. ALL OTHER WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED. WINDS AND SEAS IN THE PREVIOUSLY WARNED AREAS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 114.6W AT 25/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 21 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT.......125NE 125SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 114.6W AT 25/1500Z AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 114.6W FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 33.6N 114.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 37.3N 112.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z...DISSIPATED A STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA WARNED AREA...ACCOMPANIED BY DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. WINDS AND SEAS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE IN THE PREVIOUSLY WARNED AREAS. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.5N 114.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 08:43:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627287-10617>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 23:38:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA13044; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 10:36:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6407121 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 10:34:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA22770 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 10:34:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id KAA06961 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 10:34:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709251534.KAA06961@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 10:34:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2d63397f5c45e6eb0c1d2c26dc58ca26 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 480 WTIO31 PGTW 251500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- 17.8N6 83.4E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.8N6 83.4E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 18.2N1 83.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 18.7N6 84.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 19.1N1 85.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 19.5N5 85.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 20.5N7 86.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION 17.9N7 83.5E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD UP THE COAST OF INDIA AT 03 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WMO 43150. WIND RADII BASED ON 250220Z MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3), 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5), 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1) AND 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 08:43:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627288-10614>; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 23:43:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA14440; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 10:40:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6407275 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 10:38:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA35106 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 10:38:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id KAA06987 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 10:38:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709251538.KAA06987@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 10:38:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 976c7f8703b47cfb6aeeb9b66f493cd7 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 531 WTIO31 PGTW 251500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- 17.8N6 83.4E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.8N6 83.4E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 18.2N1 83.9E0 PAGE 03 RUHGSGG2445 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 18.7N6 84.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 19.1N1 85.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER PAGE 04 RUHGSGG2445 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 19.5N5 85.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 20.5N7 86.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION 17.9N7 83.5E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD UP THE COAST PAGE 05 RUHGSGG2445 UNCLAS OF INDIA AT 03 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WMO 43150. WIND RADII BASED ON 250220Z MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3), 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5), 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1) AND 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8).// BT #2445 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 08:43:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627289-10617>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 00:05:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA09700; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 11:02:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6407458 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 11:01:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA29528 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 10:59:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id KAA07106 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 10:59:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709251559.KAA07106@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 10:59:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8bcd62fb73b9bfeb84ab6fe35a283156 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 898 WTIO31 PGTW 251500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- 17.8N6 83.4E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 03 /(5 3.8:84:)3 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 18.7N6 84.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 03 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 19.1N1 85.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KO 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER PAGE 04 RUHGSGG2445 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 03 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 85E8 ;0#75-8,3$ 28,$ - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 03 KTS 72 D AVA WIQWPPZ3 --- 20.5N7 86.5E9 MA NDISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION 17.9N7 83.5E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD UP THE COAST PAGE 05 RUHGSGG2445 UNCLAS OF INDIA AT 03 KNOTR. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WMO 43150. WIND RADII BASED ON 250220Z MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3), 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5), 260900Z7 (DTG 2607-8;+1) AND 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8).// BT $2445 N N +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 08:43:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627316-10619>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 00:58:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA39332; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 11:49:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6407886 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 11:48:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA25356 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 11:48:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id LAA07358 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 11:48:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709251648.LAA07358@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 11:48:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 232417c41dae0ff44b5ebb8a598b5dcf X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 868 ABPZ20 KNHC 251648 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU SEP 25 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM NORA...RECENTLY DOWNGRADED FROM A HURRICANE...CENTERED ABOUT 80 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO PENASCO MEXICO...AND 150 MILES SOUTH OF YUMA ARIZONA. A NEARLY STATIONARY TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO CONTINUES TO SHOW SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT VERY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 08:43:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627305-10614>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 01:55:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA10732; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 12:54:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6408973 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 12:52:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA36602 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 12:51:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA07629 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 12:51:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709251751.MAA07629@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 12:51:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a6063f71423d6791f64dbdada32f4d5b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 056 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 251357Z SEP 97 RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AT 251800Z6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WAS LOCATED AT 18.0N9 83.6E7, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 03 (WTIO31 PGTW 251500)) AND SIX HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/HONG/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 08:43:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627341-10617>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 02:00:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA32592; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 12:52:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6408966 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 12:51:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA24554 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 12:51:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA07630 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 12:51:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709251751.MAA07630@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 12:51:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d32e81ac85362c34b2a704f41f7585aa X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 056 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 251357Z SEP 97 RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AT 251800Z6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WAS LOCATED AT 18.0N9 83.6E7, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 03 (WTIO31 PGTW 251500)) AND SIX HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/HONG/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 08:43:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627307-10614>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 02:05:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA10628; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 13:01:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6409077 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 13:00:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA29020 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 12:58:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA07659 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 12:58:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709251758.MAA07659@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 12:58:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7c6ec67eab0dd0a2d36470ae34f7f364 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 159 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 251357Z SEP 97 RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO KOAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AT 251800Z6 TROPICAL CYCLTNE 02B WAS LOCATED AT 18.0N9 83.6E7, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM O SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 03 (WTIO31 ;55-- 2512/ 40745 NIL= TTAA 25121 40754 99880 31083 27005 00037 ///// ///// 85494 26480 28508 70153 10469 27510 50583 12749 27017 40750 23180 25018 30953 39572 25021 25076 46372 25523 20222 51975 26028 15405 59775 25025 106551;((KBKKBHH IIQQQ YTTUY WYPQT UUOOOV TTAA 75121 40766 99867 29872 25010 00037 ///// ///// 85501 26874 27009 70164 10864 29008 50584 12957 25032 40750023972 25042 30953 39770 25040 25076 46171 25531 20221 54370 24557 15403 59573 25555 10653 66966 ///// 88999 77999= TTAA 25121 40800 99845 30478 12003 85492 ///// ///// 70168 13070 19503 50587 10557 26514 40755 22160 26515 30959 39367 28014 25082 43181 26528 20230 51979 25535 15412 62776 25533 10657 70174 25516 88999 77168 25038 40511= TTAA 2512/ 40809 99850 31690 27005 85491 31690 70166 13676 50586 09385 40754 22373 30960 329// 25086 407// 20235 499// 15418 629// 10661 723// 88999= TTAA 2512/ 40841 NIL= TTAA 2512/ 40848 NIL= TTAA 2512/ 40875 NIL= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 08:43:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627340-10614>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 02:05:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA10540; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 13:00:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6409071 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 12:58:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA16970 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 12:58:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA07660 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 12:58:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709251758.MAA07660@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 12:58:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1a7484397d4c8fd6a7602adb10ecdc99 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 159 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/251800Z/261800Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 251357Z SEP 97 RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO KOAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AT 251800Z6 TROPICAL CYCLTNE 02B WAS LOCATED AT 18.0N9 83.6E7, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM O SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 03 (WTIO31 ;55-- 2512/ 40745 NIL= TTAA 25121 40754 99880 31083 27005 00037 ///// ///// 85494 26480 28508 70153 10469 27510 50583 12749 27017 40750 23180 25018 30953 39572 25021 25076 46372 25523 20222 51975 26028 15405 59775 25025 106551;((KBKKBHH IIQQQ YTTUY WYPQT UUOOOV TTAA 75121 40766 99867 29872 25010 00037 ///// ///// 85501 26874 27009 70164 10864 29008 50584 12957 25032 40750023972 25042 30953 39770 25040 25076 46171 25531 20221 54370 24557 15403 59573 25555 10653 66966 ///// 88999 77999= TTAA 25121 40800 99845 30478 12003 85492 ///// ///// 70168 13070 19503 50587 10557 26514 40755 22160 26515 30959 39367 28014 25082 43181 26528 20230 51979 25535 15412 62776 25533 10657 70174 25516 88999 77168 25038 40511= TTAA 2512/ 40809 99850 31690 27005 85491 31690 70166 13676 50586 09385 40754 22373 30960 329// 25086 407// 20235 499// 15418 629// 10661 723// 88999= TTAA 2512/ 40841 NIL= TTAA 2512/ 40848 NIL= TTAA 2512/ 40875 NIL= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 08:43:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627316-10614>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 02:28:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA39474; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 13:08:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6409181 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 13:06:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA11910 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 13:06:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id NAA07697 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 13:06:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709251806.NAA07697@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 13:06:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Intermediate Advisory Number 37a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4ea2f2960ba1e119e9b4066d373780bf X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 333 WTPZ31 KNHC 251807 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NORA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 37A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT THU SEP 25 1997 ...NORA MAKING LANDFALL SOUTH OF YUMA ARIZONA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST NORTH OF 30N LATITUDE. WINDS AND SEAS IN THE PREVIOUSLY WARNED AREAS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE. AT 11 AM PDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORA WAS LOCATED BY THE YUMA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR...AND BY SATELLITE PICTURES...NEAR LATITUDE 31.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.8 WEST OR ON THE SHORELINE OF THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA...ABOUT 65 MILES THE SOUTH OF YUMA ARIZONA. NORA CONTINUES TO ACCELERATE...AND IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 28 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF NORA WILL LIKELY CROSS INTO SOUTHWESTERN ARIZONA NEAR YUMA IN A FEW HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. ESPECIALLY STRONG GUSTS ARE LIKELY OVER HIGH TERRAIN. PUERTO PENASCO MEXICO REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH A FEW HOURS AGO. RAPID WEAKENING WILL BEGIN SHORTLY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. A STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS LIKELY OCCURRING IN THE WARNED AREA...ACCOMPANIED BY DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS NEAR 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH NORA. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AT YUMA SHOWS LOCAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 INCHES NEAR THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA SHORELINE OF NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. HEAVIEST RAINS ARE LOCATED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD...AND COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. SEE STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES. AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO IS POSSIBLE LATER TODAY OVER SOUTHWESTERN AND SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA. REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...31.7 N...114.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 28 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 08:43:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627307-10617>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 03:55:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA15808; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 14:39:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6410748 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 14:38:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA25892 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 14:38:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id OAA08166 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 14:38:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709251938.OAA08166@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 14:38:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Fritz (22w) Warning Nr 021 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c87097bd6cd9c11f651eae26e1037d67 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 509 WTPN31 PGTW 252100 1. TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) WARNING NR 021 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251800Z6 --- 15.5N1 107.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N1 107.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 15.5N1 106.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 15.4N0 105.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 252100Z0 POSITION 15.5N1 106.8E5 TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (24W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN OVER LAND FOR 16 HOURS AND IS EXPECTED TO BE COMPLETELY DISSIPATED WITHIN 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THE SYSTEM IS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM GINGER (24W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 08:43:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627335-10619>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 04:18:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA24470; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 15:17:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6411165 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 15:15:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA31974 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 15:15:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA08377 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 15:15:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709252015.PAA08377@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 15:15:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 970f408f2872b68c695ffeaa04178d7b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 050 WTIO31 PGTW 252100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 004 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251800Z6 --- 18.7N6 85.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.7N6 85.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 19.5N5 86.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 20.3N5 86.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RDIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 21.1N4 87.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 21.9N2 88.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 23.6N1 89.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 252100Z0 POSITION 18.9N8 85.6E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN RELOCATED BASED ON A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL INDICATED BY A 251326Z MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE NORTHEASTWARD AND SLOWLY INTENSIFY UNTIL LANDFALL IS MADE BETWEEN 48 AND 72 HOURS. INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED AT A SLOWER THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE DUE TO THE CLOSE PROXIMITY OF LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1 (DTG 260157Z1), 260900Z7 (DTG 260757Z7), 261500Z4 (DTG 261357Z4) AND 262100Z1 (DTG 261957Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 08:43:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627305-10618>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 04:36:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA24254; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 15:34:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6411428 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 15:32:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA16644 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 15:32:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA08519 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 15:32:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709252032.PAA08519@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 15:32:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b0f4a9509a1467f3628c011b6e3a7290 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 358 WTIO31 PGTW 252000 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 004 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICA CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 251800Z6 --- 18.7N6 85.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 (,. 975#3-5 3.8:84:)3 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.7N6 85.5E8 FORECASTS: 12 H S, VALID AT: 26568 88 RBP C FFR ECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 20.3N5 86.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RDIUS OF 035 KTWI VERIWATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 05 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 21.1N4 87.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 1008,. 975#3-5 3.8:84:)3 9;34 2-534 059 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 21.9N2 88.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER O WIQIPVZ9 --- 23.6N1 89.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE O 029LSE TERE OVER WATER REMARKS: 2-2100Z0 POSITION 18.9N8 85.6E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN RELOCATED BASED ON A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL INDICATED BY A 251326Z MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS9 THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE NORTHEASTWARD AND SLOWLY INTENSIFY UNTIL LANDFALL IS MADE BETWEEN 48 AND 72 HOURS. INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED AT A SLO R THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE DUE TO THE CLOSE PROXIMITY OF LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1 (DTG 260157Z1), 260900Z7 (DTG 260757Z7), 261500Z4 (DTG 261357Z4) AND 262100Z1 (DTG 261957Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 08:43:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626739-10618>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 04:56:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA08000; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 15:40:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6411509 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 15:40:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA44814 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 15:40:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA08594 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 15:40:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709252040.PAA08594@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 15:40:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ginger (24w) Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 225f28eaab3691695639d99333b2d1c9 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 445 WTPN33 PGTW 252100 1. TYPHOON GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 013 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 24W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251800Z6 --- 20.1N3 160.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N3 160.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 21.9N2 159.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 22.9N3 157.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 23.9N4 156.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 25.2N9 155.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 28.1N1 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 252100Z0 POSITION 20.5N7 160.3E0 TYPHOON GINGER (24W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1 (DTG 260155Z9), 260900Z7 (DTG 260755Z5), 261500Z4 (DTG 261355Z2) AND 262100Z1 (DTG 261955Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 08:43:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627357-10618>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 04:58:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA23840; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 15:43:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6411523 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 15:42:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA44852 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 15:40:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA08601 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 15:40:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709252040.PAA08601@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 15:40:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Advisory Number 38 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 149d0eead71a27fba2631ca9463282ae X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 446 WTPZ31 KNHC 252042 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NORA ADVISORY NUMBER 38 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT THU SEP 25 1997 ...NORA WEAKENING OVER LAND...HEAVIEST RAINS MOVING NORTHWARD ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN ARIZONA... AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS. WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE. AT 2 PM PDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.8 WEST OR NEAR YUMA ARIZONA. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 26 MPH...43 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. ESPECIALLY STRONG GUSTS ARE LIKELY OVER HIGH TERRAIN. WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH WERE REPORTED IN THE PAST HOUR AT PHOENIX...WELL EAST OF THE CENTER. FURTHER RAPID WEAKENING IS FORECAST AND NORA WILL LIKELY BE DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN THE NEXT 6 HOURS OR SO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES ...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED LARGER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH NORA. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AT YUMA SHOWS LOCAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 INCHES NEAR THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA SHORELINE OF NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. HEAVIEST RAINS REMAIN TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD...AND COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. SEE STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES. AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO IS POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHWESTERN AND SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...32.7 N...114.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 26 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 993 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 08:43:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627359-10619>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 05:12:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA31782; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 15:57:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6411676 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 15:56:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA04668 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 15:54:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA08660 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 15:54:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709252054.PAA08660@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 15:54:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Discussion Number 38 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5efb465748eb61309d6ec889d9d669ba X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 603 WTPZ41 KNHC 252055 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 38 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT THU SEP 25 1997 RADAR AND SATELLITE DATA SHOW THE CENTER MOVING DUE NORTH. EARLIER...YUMA DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED A LARGE AREA OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ABOUT 4000 FEET ABOVE THE GROUND. THAT AREA APPARENTLY HAS DISSIPATED. THE INNER CIRCULATION IS NOW WEAKENING RAPIDLY AND MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 40 KT. GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO...ESPECIALLY NEAR DEEP CONVECTION AND OVER HIGHER TERRAIN. THE STRONGEST THUNDERSTORMS... AND HEAVIEST RAINS...HAVE BEEN LOCATED TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW THE TRACK OF THE REMNANT CENTER BECOMING NNE OR NE IN ABOUT 12 HOURS...EXCEPT FOR THE GFDL WHICH SHOWS A CONTINUED NORTHWARD MOTION. THE OFFICIAL TRACK IS BETWEEN THESE OPTIONS. EITHER WAY...THE LOCATION OF THE CENTER IS BECOMING LESS AND LESS RELEVANT. RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE MOST SIGNIFICANT THREAT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES...BUT WILL END SHORTLY AFTER THE CENTER MOVES NORTH OF THE AREA. SEE INFORMATION FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES. NORA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH IN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. NOW THAT COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED...THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED 6 HOURS FROM NOW...AT 0300Z. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 25/2100Z 32.7N 114.8W 40 KTS 12HR VT 26/0600Z 36.0N 114.3W 30 KTS...INLAND 24HR VT 26/1800Z 39.0N 112.0W 25 KTS...INLAND...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 27/0600Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 08:43:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627365-10619>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 05:12:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA31934; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 15:56:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6411671 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 15:54:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA45596 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 15:54:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA08662 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 15:54:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709252054.PAA08662@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 15:54:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Forecast/advisory Number 38 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 127a66bc0304966752e99bcd6fda4f5d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 604 WTPZ21 KNHC 252056 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 2100Z THU SEP 25 1997 AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS. WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.7N 114.8W AT 25/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 23 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 25SW 25NW 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 25SW 25NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.7N 114.8W AT 25/2100Z AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 114.8W FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 36.0N 114.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 45 KT FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 39.0N 112.0W...INLAND...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 08:43:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627336-10617>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 05:01:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA31792; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 15:59:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6411699 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 15:57:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA32018 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 15:57:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA08689 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 15:57:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709252057.PAA08689@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 15:57:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ecfec586ee8bdaef901b2dcd3b995943 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 638 WTIO31 PGTW 252100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 004 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251800Z6 --- 18.7N6 85.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.7N6 85.5E8 --- PAGE 03 RUHGSGG2554 UNCLAS FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 19.5N5 86.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 20.3N5 86.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 21.1N4 87.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG2554 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 21.9N2 88.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 23.6N1 89.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 05 RUHGSGG2554 UNCLAS OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 252100Z0 POSITION 18.9N8 85.6E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN RELOCATED BASED ON A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL INDICATED BY A 251326Z MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE NORTHEASTWARD AND SLOWLY INTENSIFY UNTIL LANDFALL IS MADE BETWEEN 48 AND 72 HOURS. INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED AT A SLOWER THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE DUE TO THE CLOSE PROXIMITY OF LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1 (DTG 260157Z1), 260900Z7 (DTG 260757Z7), 261500Z4 (DTG 261357Z4) AND 262100Z1 (DTG 261957Z0).// BT #2554 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 08:43:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627365-10614>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 05:12:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA44036; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 16:10:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6411818 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 16:08:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA12810 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 16:05:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA08777 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 16:05:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709252105.QAA08777@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 16:05:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 311edfc78c6a1a773d8b2287073b92e5 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 765 WTIO31 PGTW 252100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 004 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 251800Z6 -= 260600Z4 --- 19.5N5 86.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE I OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS 24-HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 20.3N5 86.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE T EY HRS, VALID AT: 27060#WPMQN4 87.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG2554 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE O IC YNDVOFGQ C SFR LECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 05 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 21.5N2 88.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 05 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 23.6N1 89.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 05 RUHGSGG2554 UNCLAS OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REMARKS: 252100Z0 POSITIOOLTTHE SYETEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINRISF ARTHEASTWARD AND SLOWLY INTENSIFY UNTIL LANDFALL MADE BETWEEN 48 AND 72 HOURS. INTENSIFICA ON IS EXPECTED AT A SLOWER THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE DUE TO THE CLOSE PROXIMITY OF LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT A 251800Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1 (DTG 260157Z1), 260900Z7 (DTG 260757E7), 261500Z4 (DTG 26135#+4) AND 262100Z1 (DTG 261957Z0).// $2554 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 08:43:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627370-10614>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 06:02:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA41774; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 16:58:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6412305 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 16:57:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA40410 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 16:57:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA09242 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 16:57:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709252157.QAA09242@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 16:57:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ac93e44ef987603e56c00c752d1ff601 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 707 ABPA20 PHNL 252200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST THU SEP 25 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH FRIDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 08:43:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625869-2846>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 07:12:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA13738; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 18:03:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6412921 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 18:01:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id SAA15232 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 18:01:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id SAA09618 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 18:01:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709252301.SAA09618@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 18:01:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d72290d45033598b85e0081994964a35 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 781 ABPZ20 KNHC 252302 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU SEP 25 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON WEAKENING TROPICAL STORM NORA LOCATED NEAR YUMA ARIZONA. A NEARLY STATIONARY TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO...CONTINUES TO SHOW SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT VERY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 11:42:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625866-2849>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 09:44:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA16262; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 20:35:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6414430 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 20:35:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA41830 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 20:35:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id UAA10078 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 20:35:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709260135.UAA10078@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 20:35:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ginger (24w) Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 43e1797a088e4a004378fb1f683ab323 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 628 WTPN33 PGTW 260300 1. TYPHOON GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 20.4N6 160.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.4N6 160.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 21.6N9 158.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 22.8N2 157.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 24.3N9 156.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 25.8N5 155.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 29.1N2 154.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 20.7N9 159.7E2 TYPHOON GINGER (24W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHWEST TO NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED THROUGH 72 HOURS. TYPHOON GINGER HAS RECENTLY DEVELOPED AN EYE AS IT CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY. THIS TREND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH 48 HOURS. BEYOND 48 HOURS, UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BEGIN INCREASING ABOVE THIS SYSTEM, WHICH WILL CAUSE IT TO BEGIN TO SHEAR AND WEAKEN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z7 (DTG 260755Z5), 261500Z4 (DTG 261355Z2), 262100Z1 (DTG 261955Z8) AND 270300Z2 (DTG 270155Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 11:43:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625886-2851>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 10:21:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA26572; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 21:18:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6414708 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 21:17:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA27670 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 21:17:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA10252 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 21:17:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709260217.VAA10252@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 21:17:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8166b3ecdfbcdc0c783c7bee2266f0ed X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 513 WTIO31 PGTW 260300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 19.4N4 86.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.4N4 86.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 20.4N6 87.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 21.1N4 88.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 21.7N0 89.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 22.3N7 90.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 23.4N9 92.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 005 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 19.7N7 86.7E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 252330Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B IS CURRENTLY SITUATED IN STEERING FLOW BETWEEN A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST AND AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH TO THE NORTHWEST. STEERING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS FORECAST THROUGH 72 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM HAS RECENTLY SHOWN SIGNS OF RAPID INTENSIFICATION AND THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK IS A LITTLE FARTHER OFFSHORE. THIS WILL ALLOW TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B TO INTENSIFY AT A MORE RAPID RATE DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS BEFORE IT BEGINS TO APPROACH THE GANGES DELTA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z7 (DTG 260757Z7), 261500Z4 (DTG 261357Z4), 262100Z1 (DTG 261957Z0) AND 270300Z2 (DTG 270157Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 11:43:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625904-2849>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 10:41:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA15918; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 21:35:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6414876 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 21:34:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA21666 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 21:34:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA10308 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 21:34:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709260234.VAA10308@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 21:34:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nora Advisory Number 39 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 502ba2778ac192189def87a66f9e3d62 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 805 WTPZ31 KNHC 260234 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA ADVISORY NUMBER 39 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU SEP 25 1997 ...NORA DYING OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES...STILL A HEAVY RAIN THREAT... NORA HAS WEAKENED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AND IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE IN A DAY OR SO. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.7 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KINGMAN ARIZONA. NORA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 25 MPH AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER WEAKENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED LARGER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH NORA. HEAVIEST RAINS ARE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD AND NORTHEASTWARD...AND COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. SEE STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...35.0 N...114.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 25 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 998 MB. THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON NORA. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THE REMNANTS OF NORA WILL BE CONTAINED IN STORM SUMMARIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER IN WASHINGTON D.C. FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WWUS37 KWBC AND UNDER AFOS HEADER NFDSCCNS1. THE FIRST STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED AT 1 AM PDT. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 11:43:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625918-2852>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 10:44:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA15992; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 21:37:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6414881 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 21:35:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA37290 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 21:34:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA10312 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 21:34:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709260234.VAA10312@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 21:34:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nora Forecast/advisory Number 39 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b50749f8a4ac034d0e46aab52688e05d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 806 WTPZ21 KNHC 260235 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 39 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1697 0300Z FRI SEP 26 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.0N 114.7W AT 26/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 22 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.0N 114.7W AT 26/0300Z AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.0N 114.8W FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 38.0N 113.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z...DISSIPATED THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON NORA. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 11:43:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625913-2851>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 10:47:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA37680; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 21:38:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6414909 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 21:37:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA18144 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 21:37:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA10332 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 21:37:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709260237.VAA10332@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 21:37:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nora Discussion Number 39 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e33deb67a1834601b6e79021f74bce52 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 886 WTPZ41 KNHC 260237 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 39 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU SEP 25 1997 NORA IS BREAKING UP QUICKLY OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES. THE CIRCULATION IS NOT EASILY DISCERNIBLE ON RADAR OR SATELLITE...AND THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON A FEW SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND CONTINUITY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TURN NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD WHILE DISSIPATING. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF NORA WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD AND EASTWARD DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...AND THERE CONTINUES TO BE A FLOOD THREAT. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON NORA. FUTURE INFORMATION ON NORAS REMNANTS WILL BE CONTAINED IN STORM SUMMARIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/0300Z 35.0N 114.7W 30 KTS 12HR VT 26/1200Z 38.0N 113.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 27/0000Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 11:43:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625913-2852>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 10:57:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA21528; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 21:55:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6415059 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 21:54:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA09366 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 21:54:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA10390 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 21:54:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709260254.VAA10390@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 21:54:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhak To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: aa114c57caaf4157c83acb4bbae4d0c0 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 104 WTIO31 PGTW 260300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAK 1. TROPICAL CYVBONE 1:?0,?-$ ,4PT PQ ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONEH2 345#89 WARNING POSITION: 260000Z;## <-.4N4 86.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060,NMRGZL MDBCKD U N BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RDIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHOHIURVIICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.4N4 86.4E8 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 20.4N6 87.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER L M I I GPRT NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR PMSIOC 55 DEG/ 06 KTS 24 HRS VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 21.1N4 88.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUIQRPIP KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS WA PRP NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE C020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM E S V I I IGPTP NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 05 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER HIVPQPOF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 05 IQ 290000Z1 --- 23.4N9 92.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 005 NM ELSEWHER BM SGPMQ FFR PJ<4 8> 035 KT WZSXAVA POP ZH UTHW DMSEXICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 19.7. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 252330Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B IS CURRENTLY SITUATED IN STEERWNG FLOW BETWEEN A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST AND AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH TO THE NORTHWEST. STEERING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS FORECAST THROUGH 72 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM HAS RECENTLY SHOWN SIGNS OF RAPID INTENSIFICATIN AND THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK IS A LITTLE FARTHER OFFSHORE. THIS WILL ALLOW TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B TO INTENSIFY AT A MORE RAPID RATE DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS BEFORE IT BEGINS TO APPROACH THE GANGES DELTA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z7 (DTG 260757Z7), 261500Z4 (DTG 261357Z4), 262100Z1 (DTG 261957Z0) AND 270300Z2 (DTG 2709>2 7/ 7;869 65379 230GPTPPUU TUOIW WOPPARCX9;83 03504 20666 ///// 889 7;/5/.;QXOVH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 11:43:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625921-2849>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 11:18:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA19820; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 22:17:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6415236 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 22:15:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA09452 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 22:12:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA10460 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 22:12:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709260312.WAA10460@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 22:12:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f989716dcb13e3103a0e1ce387a40741 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 446 WTIO31 PGTW 260300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 19.4N4 86.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUHGSGG2710 UNCLAS REPEAT POSIT: 19.4N4 86.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 20.4N6 87.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 21.1N4 88.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER PAGE 04 RUHGSGG2710 UNCLAS 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 21.7N0 89.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 22.3N7 90.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER PAGE 05 RUHGSGG2710 UNCLAS 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 23.4N9 92.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 005 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 19.7N7 86.7E1 PAGE 06 RUHGSGG2710 UNCLAS TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 252330Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B IS CURRENTLY SITUATED IN STEERING FLOW BETWEEN A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST AND AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH TO THE NORTHWEST. STEERING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS FORECAST THROUGH 72 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM HAS RECENTLY SHOWN SIGNS OF RAPID INTENSIFICATION AND THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK IS A LITTLE FARTHER OFFSHORE. THIS WILL ALLOW TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B TO INTENSIFY AT A MORE RAPID RATE DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS BEFORE IT BEGINS TO APPROACH THE GANGES DELTA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z7 (DTG 260757Z7), 261500Z4 (DTG 261357Z4), 262100Z1 (DTG 261957Z0) AND 270300Z2 (DTG 270157Z2).// BT #2710 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 11:43:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625930-2846>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 11:25:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA39972; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 22:24:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6415444 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 22:22:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA26572 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 22:22:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA10484 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 22:22:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709260322.WAA10484@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 22:22:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4c1e9208d44783d9ba68f6fc347f23d7 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 661 WTIO31 PGTW 260300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 19.4N4 86.4E8 ;34 2-534 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 06 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 21.1 LR IIMYE2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS ->(-7<(5, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEM CIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER PAGE 04 RUHGSGG2710 UNCLAS 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 05 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 21.7N0 89.4031 MABD IP J RTC EE LQ W ALKT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 850 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE T A PTP NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATZR VECTOR TO 48DEG/ 05 KTS , VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 22.3N7 90.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER PAGE 05 RUHGSGG2710 UNCLAS $;OSVP C SR OVER WATER PII 14;,NXIOPRPC8 ?.ER WATER RKLI OAWAT 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 05 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 23.4N9 92.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTLCUP KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFCQPLITROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF HA WPCVJBQNL77<,. 975#235 3.8:84:)3 9;34 2-534 005 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035-1(5 28,$ - 090 PM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 19.7N7 86.7E1 PAGE 06 RUHGSGG2710 UNCLAS TROPICAL CYCLONE BPKPJ OVING NO THAST RD A 10 KNOTSBM THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 252330Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B IS CURRENTLY SITUATED IN STEERING FLOW BETWEEN A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST AND AN APPROACHING MID-LETITUDE TROUGHHZM THE NORTHWEST. STEERING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS FORECAST THROUGH 72 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM HAS RECENTLY SHOWNM G UIIIC TROPICAL CYCLONE 0, )2100Z1 (DTG 261957Z0) AND 270300Z2 (DTG 270157Z2).// BT $2710 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 12:30:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625882-2846>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 11:58:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA14336; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 22:50:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6415659 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 22:49:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA20780 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 22:47:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA10550 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 1997 22:47:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709260347.WAA10550@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 22:47:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6fc03507c41fa3fe625a25b1edb7cf30 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 168 ABPZ20 KNHC 260347 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU SEP 25 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED ITS LAST ADVISORY ON WEAKENING TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA LOCATED ABOUT 50 MILES WEST- SOUTHWEST OF KINGMAN ARIZONA. A NEARLY STATIONARY TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO...CONTINUES TO SHOW SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT VERY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 14:08:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625914-2851>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 13:37:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA37748; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 00:20:44 -0500 Message-Id: <199709260520.AAA37748@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 00:08:09 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 24 Sep 1997 to 25 Sep 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: d0d80feb7b9bd7ba59033445b69e2712 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There is one message totalling 22 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Hurrican +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:34:37 -0500 From: Richard Whitenight Subject: Hurrican Is there anyone on the list who can provided me with the text files/track data for the previous 1997 hurricanes, or can tell me where on the Internet that I can surf to in order to download the data for the tracks of each of the previous hurricanes of this year? I've got some good software, but I don't have or did not remember to take the data for this year's storms down. I'd appreciate hearing from someone. You can reach me at either of the below listed Internet address: richard.whitenight@chrysalis.org rwhitenigh@aol.com Richard http://members.aol.com/RWhitenigh/index.html http://members.tripod.com/~RWhitenight/index.html ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 24 Sep 1997 to 25 Sep 1997 ************************************************** From - Fri Sep 26 14:38:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626579-2851>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 14:35:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA37316; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 01:16:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6416642 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 01:16:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA39976 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 01:14:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA11000 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 01:14:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709260614.BAA11000@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 01:14:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ee535b0c5a713c515986038b22d36d32 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 816 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 251951Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 260155Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 251800Z6 TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) WAS LOCATED AT 15.5N1 107.0E8, MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) WARNING NR 21 (WTPN31 PGTW 252100)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 260000Z8 TYPHOON GINGER (24W), WAS LOCATED AT 20.4N6 160.0E7, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 14 (WTPN33 PGTW 240300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/HOOVER/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 14:22:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625957-2851>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 14:21:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA37290; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 01:16:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6416637 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 01:14:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA31014 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 01:14:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA11001 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 01:14:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709260614.BAA11001@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 01:14:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d246c8e553f8cb05ad2badabc762cdaa X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 816 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 251951Z SEP 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 260155Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 251800Z6 TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) WAS LOCATED AT 15.5N1 107.0E8, MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM FRITZ (22W) WARNING NR 21 (WTPN31 PGTW 252100)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 260000Z8 TYPHOON GINGER (24W), WAS LOCATED AT 20.4N6 160.0E7, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 14 (WTPN33 PGTW 240300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/HOOVER/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 15:18:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626726-2852>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 15:13:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA37758; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 02:07:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6416838 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 02:05:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA16718 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 02:05:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA11135 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 02:05:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709260705.CAA11135@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 02:05:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3cf832b131506866aacde29ed18c5411 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 074 WTIO31 PGTW 260900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260600Z4 --- 19.7N7 87.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.7N7 87.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 20.4N6 88.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 21.2N5 89.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 21.9N2 90.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 22.6N0 91.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 23.9N4 93.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 260900Z7 POSITION 19.9N9 87.7E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 260530Z6 SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL IN BANGLADESH IN ABOUT 48 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO DISSIPATE RAPIDLY AFTER MAKING LANDFALL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DTG 261357Z4), 262100Z1 (DTG 261957Z0), 270300Z2 (DTG 270157Z2) AND 270900Z8 (DTG 270757Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 15:18:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625930-2846>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 15:17:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA19746; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 02:15:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6416867 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 02:13:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA20342 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 02:13:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA11154 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 02:13:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709260713.CAA11154@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 02:13:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: de8d92cf80d37eb7f3273d0942d16639 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 263 WTIO31 PGTW 260700 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 260600Z4 --- 19.7N7 87.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 MM ELS CKIYNCG LSWJP CDASIT: 19.7N7 87.4E9 FORECASTS 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 20.4N6 88.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE L 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OFQKT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER OUAII NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 05 KTS PPMM FRN IVEXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 22.6N0 91.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM OI N TH 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 05 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 23.9N4 93.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035T WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REMARKS: 260900( VPOSITION 19.9N9 87.7E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 260530Z6 SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL IN BANGLADESH IN ABOUT 48 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO DISSIPATE RAPIDLY AFTER MAKING LANDFALL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (ETG 261357Z4), 2627 ;+1 (DTG 261957Z0), 270300Z2 (DTG 270157Z2) AND 270900Z8 (DTG 270757Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 16:16:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626720-2849>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 15:48:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA37838; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 02:46:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6417229 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 02:45:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA32418 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 02:45:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA11229 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 02:45:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709260745.CAA11229@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 02:45:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a6905274be4ddb277673d3e36aa7be89 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 828 WTIO31 PGTW 260900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260600Z4 --- 19.7N7 87.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.7N7 87.4E9 PAGE 03 RUHGSGG2893 UNCLAS --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 20.4N6 88.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 21.2N5 89.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 05 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHGSGG2893 UNCLAS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 21.9N2 90.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 22.6N0 91.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER PAGE 05 RUHGSGG2893 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 23.9N4 93.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 260900Z7 POSITION 19.9N9 87.7E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 260530Z6 SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL IN BANGLADESH IN ABOUT 48 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO DISSIPATE RAPIDLY AFTER MAKING LANDFALL. MAXIMUM PAGE 06 RUHGSGG2893 UNCLAS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DTG 261357Z4), 262100Z1 (DTG 261957Z0), 270300Z2 (DTG 270157Z2) AND 270900Z8 (DTG 270757Z8).// BT #2893 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 16:16:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625919-2849>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 16:00:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA32860; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 02:59:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6417257 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 02:57:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA08172 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 02:57:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA11263 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 02:57:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709260757.CAA11263@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 02:57:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6ca6c0ec44013c01b2f33f9799c00cfc X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 964 WTIO31 PGTW 260600 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WQPDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 260600Z4 --- 19.7N7 87.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TOO DIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.7N7 87.4E9 PAGE 03 RUHGSGG2893 UNCLAS FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 20.4N6 .6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NMEHR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 06 KTS 24 HRS, -8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS WHIT KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE P 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 05 KTS PAGE 04 RUHGSGG2893 UNCLAS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 21.9N2 90.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 05) 575#3-5 3.8:84:)3 9;34 2-534 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER PAGE 05 RUHGSGG2893 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 05 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 23.9N4 93.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER O KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE T SED ON 260530Z6 SAOELLITE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN ;6 >=878-48,8,<. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL IN BANGLADESH IN ABOUT 48 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO DISSIPATE RAPIDLY AFTER MAKINGP871>2217 MAXIMUM PAGE 06 RUHGSGG2893 UNCLAS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DTG 261357Z4), 262100Z1 (DTG 261957Z0), 270300Z2 (DTG 270157Z2) AND 270900Z8 (DTG 270757Z8).// BT $2893 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 16:25:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626709-2846>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 16:19:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA27680; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 03:01:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6417279 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 03:01:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA31752 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 03:01:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA11430 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 03:01:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709260801.DAA11430@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 03:01:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ginger (24w) Warning Nr 015 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fe342a3662856239890ef5a912c1ab25 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 028 WTPN33 PGTW 260900 1. TYPHOON GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 015 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260600Z4 --- 20.4N6 160.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.4N6 160.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 21.2N5 159.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 22.2N6 158.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 23.1N6 157.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 24.1N7 155.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 27.1N0 153.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 260900Z7 POSITION 20.6N8 160.1E8 TYPHOON GINGER (24W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THIS WARNING IS RELOCATED BASED ON AN EYE IDENTIFIED IN 260530Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TYPHOON GINGER (24W) IS CONTINUING TO INTENSIFY RAPIDLY AND HAS SLOWED SIGNIFICANTLY DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REACCELERATE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE REBUILDS TO THE NORTHEAST. INTENSIFICATION IS STILL FORECAST THROUGH 48 HOURS, THEN WEAKENING AS THIS SYSTEM BEGINS TO ENCOUNTER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DTG 261355Z2), 262100Z1 (DTG 261955Z8), 270300Z2 (DTG 270155Z0) AND 270900Z8 (DTG 270755Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Sep 26 16:16:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626566-2846>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 16:06:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA14522; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 03:04:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6417288 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 03:03:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA08026 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 03:03:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA11434 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 03:03:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709260803.DAA11434@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 03:03:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 260600z4 --- 19.7n7 87.4e9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4281c888a25c4316cb0f7a8ff3cd5f56 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 061 WTIO31 PGTW 260600 WARNING POSITION: 260600Z4 --- 19.7N7 87.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TOO DIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.7N7 87.4E9 PAGE 03 RUHGSGG2893 UNCLAS FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 20.4N6 .6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 0 75-8,3$ 28,$ - 070 KT, GUSTS WHIT KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE P 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 88# NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PRT DEG/ 05 KTS PAGE 04 RUHGSGG2893 UNCLAS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 21.9N2 90.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PI OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE 9 34 2-534 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER PAGE 05 RUHGSGG2893 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 05 KTS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 23.9N4 93.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST L WQIRCLE OVER WATER O KO MAKINGP871 2217 MAXIMUM PAGE 06 RUHGSGG2893 UNCLAS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DTG 261357Z4), 262100Z1 (DTG 261957Z0), 270300Z2 (DTG 270157Z2) AND 270900Z8 (DTG 270757Z8).// BT 2893 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:51:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626566-2849>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 17:56:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA21646; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 04:53:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6417804 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 04:52:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA32826 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 04:51:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA11692 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 04:51:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709260951.EAA11692@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 04:51:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f8c13f6eb2bf6949d64a3d36f878dd1c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 846 ABPA20 PHNL 261000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST FRI SEP 26 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH SATURDAY. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:51:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627168-2849>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 18:36:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA41610; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 05:22:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6417894 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 05:21:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA32840 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 05:21:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA11773 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 05:21:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709261021.FAA11773@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 05:21:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e79c0b6fb31269a598843d4da3a0f8d1 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 339 ABPZ20 KNHC 261020 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI SEP 26 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A NEARLY STATIONARY TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO...CONTINUES TO SHOW SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT VERY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:51:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627113-2846>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 18:41:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA24280; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 05:31:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6417929 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 05:30:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA16542 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 05:30:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA11802 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 05:30:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709261030.FAA11802@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 05:30:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f1fb7ac539057c6d4f559b91db5a5bfd X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 510 ABPZ20 KNHC 261031 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI SEP 26 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A NEARLY STATIONARY TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES TO THE SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ALTHOUGH UPPER- LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT VERY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM COULD DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:51:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626869-2846>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 22:58:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA32902; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 09:39:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6419376 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 09:38:08 -0500 Received: from dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.43]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA09458 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 09:38:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) with ESMTP id JAA13419 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 09:37:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA12458 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 09:32:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709261432.JAA12458@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 09:32:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ginger (24w) Warning Nr 016 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4d9ca036fed7bcf608ba07f9bbe49bd1 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 196 WTPN33 PGTW 261500 1. TYPHOON GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- 20.6N8 160.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.6N8 160.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 21.2N5 159.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 22.1N5 158.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 23.2N7 157.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 255 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 24.5N1 156.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 255 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 27.6N5 155.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION 20.8N0 160.1E8 TYPHOON GINGER (24W) IS QUASISTATIONARY. THE SYSTEM HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED FOR A 261120Z MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262100Z1 (DTG 261955Z8), 270300Z2 (DTG 270155Z0), 270900Z8 (DTG 270755Z6) AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271355Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:51:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626869-2852>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 22:48:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA24236; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 09:46:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6419442 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 09:45:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA21674 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 09:44:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA12503 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 09:44:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709261444.JAA12503@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 09:44:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3af291442213ecbf0e923d63b0ae223a X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 438 WTIO31 PGTW 261500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- 20.9N1 89.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.9N1 89.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 22.2N6 90.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 23.5N0 92.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 24.4N0 93.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 25.2N9 94.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION 21.2N5 89.8E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 261130Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. DUE TO INCREASED FORWARD MOTION, LANDFALL IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN 24 AND 36 HOURS. THERE ARE NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262100Z1 (DTG 261957Z0), 270300Z2 (DTG 270157Z2), 270900Z8 (DTG 270757Z8) AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271357Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:51:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627232-2852>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 22:54:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA37290; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 09:52:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6419564 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 09:51:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA14196 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 09:50:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA12530 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 09:50:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709261450.JAA12530@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 09:50:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fd8260cf1f4b458d3e019357a75ab48e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 491 WTIO31 PGTW 261500 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 007A 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- 20.9N1 89.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.9N1 89.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 22.2N6 90.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 23.5N0 92.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 24.4N0 93.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 25.2N9 94.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION 21.2N5 89.8E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 261130Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. DUE TO INCREASED FORWARD MOTION, LANDFALL IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN 12 AND 24 HOURS. THERE ARE NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262100Z1 (DTG 261957Z0), 270300Z2 (DTG 270157Z2), 270900Z8 (DTG 270757Z8) AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271357Z5). 2. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: APPROXIMATE TIME OF LANDFALL.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:51:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627232-2846>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 22:55:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA39320; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 09:54:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6419581 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 09:52:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA20760 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 09:51:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA12534 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 09:51:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709261451.JAA12534@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 09:51:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f198ad56899402f38f0980049a85834b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 526 WTIO31 PGTW 261500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REITO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AMERAGE WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- 20.9N1 89.4E1 055 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.9N1 89.4E1 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 22.2N6 90.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 0596E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 06 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION 21.2N5 89.8E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS.. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 261130Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. DUE TO INCREASED FORWARD MOTION, LANDFALL IS EXPEN TO OCCUR BETWEEN 24 AND 36 HOURS. THERE ARE NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFOO MIN. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262100Z1 (DTG 261957Z0), 270300Z2 (DTG 270157Z2), 270900Z8 (DTG 270757Z8) AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271357Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:51:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627211-2852>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 23:12:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA39328; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 09:56:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6419601 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 09:54:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA04394 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 09:51:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA12538 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 09:51:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709261451.JAA12538@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 09:51:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Seventeen-e Discussion Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e842e5f2247b6b51e12f867f43c2767d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 527 WTPZ42 KNHC 261450 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI SEP 26 1997 ADVISORIES FOR THE SYSTEM SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC ARE BEING INITIATED. THE DISTURBANCE HAS RETAINED A SMALL BUT CONCENTRATED AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION AND SHIP OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST AN ASSOCIATED CLOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION WITH MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR 30 KT. THE SYSTEM MOVED EASTWARD YESTERDAY AND IS NOW HEADING SLIGHTLY EAST OF DUE NORTH...010/6 KT. THIS MOTION APPEARS TO HAVE BEEN INDUCED BY AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO THE WNW OF THE DEPRESSION. THE MRF SHOWS A BROAD MONSOON-LIKE FLOW OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC...WESTERN CARIBBEAN AND SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO BUT DOES NOT YET DEPICT THE DETAILS OF THE LOCAL ENVIRONMENT VERY WELL. THE TRACK MODELS USING THE STEERING FLOW OF THE MRF AND UKMET ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT A CONTINUED NORTHWARD HEADING IS LIKELY. THE TROUBLE IS THAT THEY NEARLY ALL TAKE THE TD ALL THE WAY THROUGH THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. WHILE THAT IS POSSIBLE...IT WOULD SEEM UNLIKELY GIVEN THAT A FRONT AND BROAD AREA OF TRAILING NORTHERLY WINDS ARE FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO. ANOTHER POSSIBILITY IS THAT THE TD WILL CONTINUE TO WRAP AROUND THE UPPER LOW AND EVENTUALLY TURN TOWARD THE WNW. THE OFFICIAL TRACK LEANS TOWARD THE LATTER SOLUTION BY SHOWING A NORTHWARD HEADING THAT IS SLOWER THAN THE GUIDANCE...KEEPING THE CYCLONE IN THE PACIFIC. INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST AT ABOUT THE RATE SHOWN BY CLIMATOLOGY. IF THE SYSTEM MOVES MORE RAPIDLY TO THE NORTH THAN FORECAST...THEN COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS COULD BECOME REQUIRED. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/1500Z 11.5N 94.5W 30 KTS 12HR VT 27/0000Z 12.3N 94.5W 35 KTS 24HR VT 27/1200Z 13.1N 94.7W 40 KTS 36HR VT 28/0000Z 13.9N 95.0W 50 KTS 48HR VT 28/1200Z 14.6N 95.4W 55 KTS 72HR VT 29/1200Z 16.0N 96.0W 60 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:51:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627211-2849>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 23:13:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA25084; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 10:03:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6419721 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 10:02:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA37762 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 09:54:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA12548 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 09:54:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709261454.JAA12548@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 09:54:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Seventeen-e Forecast/advisory Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 74ef17203320f3438d5ea090b73300a6 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 550 WTPZ22 KNHC 261453 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1797 1500Z FRI SEP 26 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 94.5W AT 26/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 94.5W AT 26/1500Z AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 94.6W FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 12.3N 94.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 13.1N 94.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 13.9N 95.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.5N 94.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 14.6N 95.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 16.0N 96.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:51:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626818-2852>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 23:01:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA39986; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 09:59:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6419616 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 09:57:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA32196 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 09:56:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA12564 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 09:56:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709261456.JAA12564@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 09:56:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c06348201cb642a7cdc3b4ef4d993a39 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 570 WTIO31 PGTW 261500 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 007A 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON GNE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- 20.9N1 89.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEVKJJ GIIVQJAGKTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WINFHW CSRUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST EEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLMGVZ 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.9N1 89.4E1 FOROOF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 07 KTS - 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 24.4N0 93.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 06 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION 21.2N5 89.8E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 261130ZM VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. DUE TO INCREASED FORWARD MOTION, LANDFALL IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN 12 AND 24 HOURS. TERE ARE NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 2621008 (DTL LWYQOTUZ0), 270300Z2 (DTG 270157Z2), 270900Z8 (DTG 270757Z8) AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271357Z5). 2. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: APPROXIMATE TIME OF LANDFALL.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:51:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627211-2846>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 23:07:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA24832; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 10:05:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6419734 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 10:03:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA32914 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 10:02:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id KAA12611 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 10:02:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709261502.KAA12611@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 10:02:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5af3d1dbc200b7d0b4d4332c7b511406 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 666 WTIO31 PGTW 261500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REITO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AMERAGE WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- 20.9N1 89.4E1 055 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BAD RBMP CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.9N1 89.4E1 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 2700)0Z9 --- 22.2N6 90.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KH M RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 0596E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 06 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION 21.2N5 89.8E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS.. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 261130Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. DUE TO INCREASED FORWARD MOTION, LANDFALL IS EXPEN TO OCCUR BETWEEN 24 AND 36 OURS. THERE ARE NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFOO MIN. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262100Z1 (DTG 261957Z0), 270300Z2 (DTG 270157Z2), 270900Z8 (DTG 270757Z8) AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271357Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:51:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627306-2851>; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 23:10:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA40594; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 10:08:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6419794 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 10:07:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA20704 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 10:03:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id KAA12615 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 10:03:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709261503.KAA12615@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 10:03:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e485132f83760b597461fdbb6cb6b54a X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 687 WTIO31 PGTW 261500 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 007A 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON GNE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITITN: 261200Z1 --- 20.9N1 89.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEVKJJ GIIVQJAGKTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WINFHW CSRUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS WPUT KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHNNDQP7-+ 8 20 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW OREA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 2621008 (DTL LWYQOTUZ0), 270300Z2 (DTG 270157Z2), 270900Z8 (DTG 270757Z8) AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271357Z5). 2. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: APPROXIMATE TIME OF LANDFALL.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:51:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627299-2851>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 00:16:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA39044; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 11:09:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6420931 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 11:07:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA27114 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 11:07:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id LAA12962 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 11:07:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709261607.LAA12962@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 11:07:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c08138909021decf1ee6d7bf4a19933f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 902 WTIO31 PGTW 261500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- 20.9N1 89.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.9N1 89.4E1 PAGE 03 RUHGSGG3262 UNCLAS --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 22.2N6 90.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 23.5N0 92.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 07 KTS PAGE 04 RUHGSGG3262 UNCLAS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 24.4N0 93.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 25.2N9 94.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION 21.2N5 89.8E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 261130Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. DUE TO INCREASED FORWARD PAGE 05 RUHGSGG3262 UNCLAS MOTION, LANDFALL IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN 12 AND 24 HOURS. THERE ARE NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262100Z1 (DTG 261957Z0), 270300Z2 (DTG 270157Z2), 270900Z8 (DTG 270757Z8) AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271357Z5).// BT #3262 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:51:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627294-2849>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 00:20:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA51136; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 11:18:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6421016 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 11:16:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA47658 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 11:16:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id LAA13029 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 11:16:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709261616.LAA13029@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 11:16:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Mconsul Calcutta And Amembassy To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 218d550e48fac3080511d1019c37f1ad X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 089 WTIO31 PGTW 261500 IMMEDIATE DLIVERY REQ TO MCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WRNING NR 007 01 ACTILE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX USTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- 20.9N1 89.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 9;56--53))853 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WI DS - 100 NM SO THYAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.9N1 89.4E1 PAGE 03 RUHGSGG3262 UNCLAS FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 22.2N6 90.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS ZPKT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVERWATER VL 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR OM 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 09 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 23.5N0 92.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 9- 4 ;34 2-534 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 07 KTS PAGE 04 RUHGSGG3262 UNCLAS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 24.4N0 93.6E8 MAX SUSTAI ED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 06 KTS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 25.2N9 94.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION 21.2N5 89.8E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 261130Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. DUE TO INCREASED FORWARD PAGE 05 RUHGSGG3262 UNCLAS MOTION, LANDFALL IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN 12 AND 24 HOURS. THERE ARE NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXI M SIGNIFICANWAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFWFOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262100Z1 (DTG 261957Z0), 270300Z2 (DTG 270157Z2), 270900Z8 (DTG 270757Z8) AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271357ZPTLMXX BT $3262 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:51:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627307-2852>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 00:43:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA48388; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 11:35:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6421176 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 11:34:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA42650 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 11:34:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id LAA13117 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 11:34:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709261634.LAA13117@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 11:34:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e5da41d8a1cd37b15a74dc9c451b8d6b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 551 ABPZ20 KNHC 261631 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI SEP 26 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN-E...LOCATED ABOUT 320 MILES SOUTH OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN-E CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP2. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:51:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627317-2852>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 02:09:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA28594; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 13:07:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6422204 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 13:06:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA28482 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 13:06:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id NAA13945 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 13:06:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709261806.NAA13945@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 13:06:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8a3236fdf6aa3af40b757011698a945d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 182 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 261357Z SEP 97 RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 261200Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WAS LOCATED AT 20.9N1 89.4E1, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 07 (WTIO31 PGTW 261500)) AND SIX HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/HONG/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:51:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627288-2849>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 02:15:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA28534; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 13:09:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6422209 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 13:07:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA47684 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 13:06:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id NAA13944 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 13:06:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709261806.NAA13944@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 13:06:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8717748dcc66eb7d7b9450561680e7ca X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 182 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/261800Z/271800Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 261357Z SEP 97 RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 261200Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WAS LOCATED AT 20.9N1 89.4E1, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 07 (WTIO31 PGTW 261500)) AND SIX HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/HONG/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:51:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627288-2852>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 04:18:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA43874; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 15:11:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6423665 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 15:10:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA44982 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 15:10:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA14795 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 15:10:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709262010.PAA14795@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 15:10:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 09d2a21c3824249b9f4a3ab49886f96c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 813 WTIO31 PGTW 262100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z7 --- 22.1N5 90.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.1N5 90.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 23.4N9 91.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 24.4N0 92.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 25.3N0 93.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 262100Z1 POSITION 22.4N8 91.0E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 261730Z INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 261623Z MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS. LANDFALL IS EXPECTED WITHIN 6 TO 12 HOURS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 (DTG 270157Z2), 270900Z8 (DTG 270757Z8), 271500Z5 (DTG 271357Z5) AND 272100Z2 (DTG 271957Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627340-2851>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 04:52:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA24460; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 15:29:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6423973 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 15:29:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA32598 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 15:29:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA14877 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 15:29:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709262029.PAA14877@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 15:29:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ginger (24w) Warning Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2ad2fe56ed0fec7b596faab64b2036b6 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 153 WTPN33 PGTW 262100 1. TYPHOON GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z7 --- 22.1N5 159.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.1N5 159.8E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 23.2N7 158.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 24.1N7 157.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 25.2N9 157.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 255 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 26.6N4 156.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 255 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 30.3N6 155.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 262100Z1 POSITION 22.4N8 159.6E1 TYPHOON GINGER (24W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z IS 33 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 (DTG 270155Z0), 270900Z8 (DTG 270755Z6), 271500Z5 (DTG 271355Z3) AND 272100Z2 (DTG 271955Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627384-2846>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 06:17:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA44206; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 15:58:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6424283 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 15:56:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA32352 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 15:56:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA15084 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 15:56:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709262056.PAA15084@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 15:56:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Discussion Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5f6e5b968a972b2e409e236a1d4f951f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 430 WTPZ42 KNHC 262055 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI SEP 26 1997 THE SYSTEM RETAINS A SMALL CONCENTRATED AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE CENTER AND A CONVECTIVE BAND TO THE EAST. WHILE CONVECTION TO THE SOUTH AND WEST APPEARS TO BE WEAKENING...DVORAK T-NUMBERS HAVE INCREASED TO 3.0. SHIP ELAC5...LOCATED JUST NW OF THE CENTER POSITION AT 18Z...REPORTED 1006 MB AND WINDS OF 32 KT. WITH THE CYCLONE MOVING NORTHWARD AT ABOUT 7 KT...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE PROBABLY LOCATED TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THIS ADVISORY WILL SHOW 40 KT FOR TROPICAL STORM OLAF. MOST GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW OLAF MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWARD... MAKING LANDFALL IN 24 TO 36 HOURS AND PROGRESSING INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO. HOWEVER...LOW-LEVEL POST-FRONTAL AIR IS PUSHING SOUTHWARD INTO THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO. THAT FLOW COULD STABILIZE PART OF THE INFLOW TO THE STORM AND REDIRECT THE SYSTEM SOUTHWARD. IT WILL ALSO PROVIDE A FLOW THAT IS COUNTER TO THE CIRCULATION ONCE THE CENTER MOVES WEST OF THAT AREA. THIS POTENTIAL INTERACTION COULD ALSO SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM. THE GFDL IS THE ONLY OUTLIER...MOVING THE UPPER LOW WESTWARD AND TURNING OLAF TO THE WEST. THE OFFICIAL TRACK SHOWS A SLOW MOTON THAT BECOMES NORTHWEST. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO IS ISSUING A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/2100Z 12.6N 94.2W 40 KTS 12HR VT 27/0600Z 13.6N 94.3W 45 KTS 24HR VT 27/1800Z 14.8N 95.2W 45 KTS 36HR VT 28/0600Z 15.2N 95.5W 40 KTS 48HR VT 28/1800Z 16.0N 96.3W 25 KTS...INLAND...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 29/1800Z 16.5N 97.0W 20 KTS...INLAND...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627340-2852>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 05:28:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA32454; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 16:00:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6424292 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 15:58:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA27270 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 15:57:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA15093 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 15:57:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709262057.PAA15093@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 15:57:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 33fe0b5269fd03176f368c6d3170dc62 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 431 WTPZ22 KNHC 262056 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1797 2100Z FRI SEP 26 1997 AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 94.2W AT 26/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 94.2W AT 26/2100Z AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 94.2W FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 13.6N 94.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 14.8N 95.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 15.2N 95.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 94.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 16.0N 96.3W...INLAND...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 16.5N 97.0W...INLAND...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627363-2851>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 05:39:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA04460; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 16:07:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6424365 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 16:05:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA37396 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 16:01:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA15123 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 16:01:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709262101.QAA15123@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 16:01:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0de33fef477f5ea3cb75bf41cf706861 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 515 WTPZ32 KNHC 262101 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI SEP 26 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM OLAF MOVING NORTHWARD... AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. SATELLITE DATA AND SHIP REPORTS INDICATE THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN-E HAS STRENGTHENED AND IS NOW TROPICAL STORM OLAF. AT 2 PM PDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.2 WEST OR ABOUT 250 MILES...400 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO. OLAF IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES ... 55 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...12.6 N... 94.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627377-2851>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 05:57:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA23944; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 16:52:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6424963 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 16:51:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA50434 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 16:51:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA15400 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 16:51:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709262151.QAA15400@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 16:51:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1e49f88a0ba63257515adb5d4f7e240a X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 446 WTIO31 PGTW 262100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z7 --- 22.1N5 90.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUHGSGG3417 UNCLAS 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.1N5 90.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 23.4N9 91.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 24.4N0 92.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND PAGE 04 RUHGSGG3417 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 25.3N0 93.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 262100Z1 POSITION 22.4N8 91.0E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 261730Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 261623Z0 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS. LANDFALL IS EXPECTED WITHIN 6 TO 12 HOURS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z7 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 (DTG 270157Z2), 270900Z8 (DTG 270757Z8), 271500Z5 (DTG 271357Z5) AND 272100Z2 (DTG 271957Z1).// BT #3417 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627376-2852>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 06:03:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA52500; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 16:57:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6425020 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 16:55:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA37086 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 16:55:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA15416 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 16:55:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709262155.QAA15416@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 16:55:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ac4f784b22a232bc80484c95f68db208 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 504 ABPA20 PHNL 262200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST FRIDAY SEPTEMBER 26 1997 AN ACTIVE BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE ITCZ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...RUNS FROM 01N 140W TO 04N 153W...ABOUT 1050 MILES SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. THERE ARE NO ORGANIZED TROPICAL DISTURBANCES...THOUGH. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH SATURDAY. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627376-2849>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 06:02:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA41826; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 17:00:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6425117 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 16:58:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA12016 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 16:58:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA15421 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 16:58:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709262158.QAA15421@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 16:58:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 04cd85ff599cb320bc51c613eda7042b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 570 WTIO31 PGTW 262100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROCCAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 261800+7 --- 22.1N5 90.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 17 KTS YHFGR F 050 KT LINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE H OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT I EJ LI QPP NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUHGSGG3417 UNCLAS 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.1N5 90.7E6 FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 23.4N9 91.9E9 9 9;34 2-534 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 24.4N0 92.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND PAGE 04 RUHGSGG3417 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 06 KTS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 25.3N0 93.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 26)100Z1 POSITION 22.4N8 91.0E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 261730Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 261623Z0 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS. LANDFALL IS EXPECTED WITHIN 6 TO 12 HOURS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FOREC ST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z7 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDWTIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WUYNINGS AT 270300Z2 (DTG 270157Z2), 270900Z8 (DTG 270757Z8), 271500Z5 (DTG 271357Z5) AND 272100Z2 (DTG 271957Z1).// BT $3417 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627380-2852>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 06:10:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA41818; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 17:05:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6425205 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 17:03:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA24562 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 17:03:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA15454 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 17:03:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709262203.RAA15454@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 17:03:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 050f1c4adfefaab851e038f32697ea4d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 671 WTIO31 PGTW 262100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROCC T CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WARNING POSITION: 261800+7 --- 22.1N5 9097E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 17 KTS YHFGR F 050 KT LINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAS SEMICIRCLE H OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER OAQIIQUEG71N5 90. FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VA ID AT: 270600Z5 --- 23.4N9 91.9E9 9 9 34 2-534 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER P VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 0 24 HRS, VALID AT: 278800Z8 --- 24.4N0 92.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND PAGE 04 RUHGSGG34 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REMARKS: 26)100Z1 POSITION 22.4N8 91.0E0 TROPICAL CSCLONE 01B IS MOVINL NORTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION ANIMAGERY AND A 261623Z0 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS. LAN DFALL IS EXPECTED WITHIN 6 TO 12 HOURS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FOREC ST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 2+1800Z7 IS GWQ FET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDWTIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WUYNINGS AT 270300Z2 (DTG 270157Z2), 270900Z8 (DTG 270757Z8), 271500Z5 (DTG 271357Z5) AND 272100Z2 (DTG 271957Z1).// BT 3417 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627382-2852>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 06:16:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA25544; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 17:08:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6425224 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 17:07:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA31048 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 17:07:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA15473 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 17:07:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709262207.RAA15473@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 17:07:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c84cd89b4d756b97da7812ecfd8fbb59 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 735 ABPZ20 KNHC 262204 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI SEP 26 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM OLAF LOCATED ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM OLAF CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP2. PUBLIC ADVISORIES CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ32 AND AFOS HEADER CCCTCPEP2. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625883-21040>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 06:39:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA49478; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 17:37:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6425478 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 17:36:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA25600 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 17:36:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA15573 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 17:36:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709262236.RAA15573@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 17:36:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9d5f2b15df5b4df7bb57f8f8e17de97f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 364 WTIO31 PGTW 262100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z7 --- 22.1N5 90.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUHGSGG3417 UNCLAS 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.1N5 90.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 23.4N9 91.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 24.4N0 92.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND PAGE 04 RUHGSGG3417 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 25.3N0 93.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 262100Z1 POSITION 22.4N8 91.0E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 261730Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 261623Z0 MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS. LANDFALL IS EXPECTED WITHIN 6 TO 12 HOURS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z7 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 (DTG 270157Z2), 270900Z8 (DTG 270757Z8), 271500Z5 (DTG 271357Z5) AND 272100Z2 (DTG 271957Z1).// BT #3417 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625925-21039>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 07:41:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA32354; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 18:35:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6425739 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 18:34:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id SAA29828 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 18:34:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id SAA15767 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 18:34:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709262334.SAA15767@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 18:34:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Intermediate Advisory Number 2a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c4745692cec189d73bfa9bea6069f0b8 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 352 WTPZ32 KNHC 262333 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLAF INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT FRI SEP 26 1997 ...TROPICAL STORM OLAF HEADING FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. AT 5 PM PDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.4 WEST OR ABOUT 200 MILES...330 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO. OLAF IS MOVING ON A NORTHWARD TRACK ABOUT 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES ... 55 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...13.2 N... 94.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625978-21040>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 10:42:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA34770; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 21:27:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6426993 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 21:25:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA29846 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 21:25:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA16308 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 21:25:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709270225.VAA16308@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 21:25:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f914588a087f1ec8b223619f9aaa9112 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 509 WTPZ32 KNHC 270224 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI SEP 26 1997 ...OLAF HEADING FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.7 WEST OR ABOUT 180 MILES ...290 KM...SOUTH OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO. OLAF IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK OLAF SHOULD BE VERY CLOSE TO COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA LATE SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...13.7 N... 94.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM PDT...SATURDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625970-21040>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 10:37:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA24430; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 21:29:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6427006 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 21:27:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA34564 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 21:27:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA16312 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 21:27:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709270227.VAA16312@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 21:27:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4e365a49066595a03f7248010f251f14 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 518 WTPZ22 KNHC 270225 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1797 0300Z SAT SEP 27 1997 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 94.7W AT 27/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 94.7W AT 27/0300Z AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 94.6W FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 15.0N 95.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 16.5N 95.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.5N 96.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 94.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 18.0N 96.5W... DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625980-21039>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 10:32:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA12786; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 21:30:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6427013 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 21:29:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA11822 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 21:28:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA16316 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 21:28:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709270228.VAA16316@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 21:28:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8698d093a0560958d3b857315134eb40 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 559 WTIO31 PGTW 270300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- 22.5N9 91.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.5N9 91.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 23.3N8 91.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 24.3N9 92.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 25.3N0 92.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION 22.7N1 91.4E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B HAS MADE LANDFALL IN THE GHANGAS RIVER VALLEY JUST WEST OF CHITTAGONG, BANGLADESH. FIX POSITION IS BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 270000Z9 SYNOPTIC DATA REPORT (47 KNOTS, 988MB) RECEIVED FROM CHITTAGONG (WMO 41978). TC 02B IS MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST AT 6 KNOTS AND WILL CONTINUE IN A NORTHEAST TO NORTH-NORTHEAST DIRECTION. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER LAND WITHIN 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z9 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2) AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625978-21031>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 10:46:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA12594; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 21:32:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6427021 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 21:30:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA41184 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 21:30:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA16343 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 21:30:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709270230.VAA16343@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 21:30:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Discussion Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 88b74b12be61aae41f77d6aeb2c716a6 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 560 WTPZ42 KNHC 270229 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI SEP 26 1997 SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT OLAF CONTINUES TO BE WELL ORGANIZED WITH DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER AND SOME BANDING FEATURES. DVORAK T-NUMBERS ARE 3.0 FROM TAFB AND SAB SUGGESTING WINDS OF 45 KNOTS. SHIP OUJH2 LOCATED ABOUT 75 NMI WEST OF THE CENTER REPORTED 37 KNOTS AND A MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 1006 MB. THEREFORE...INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN INCREASED TO 45 KNOTS AND THE 34-KNOT WIND RADII HAS BEEN ADJUSTED ACCORDINGLY. OLAF COULD STRENGTHEN SOME DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS BEFORE LANDFALL. BEST ESTIMATE OF THE INITIAL MOTION IS 345/08. MOST OF THE MODELS... EXCEPT THE GFDL...BRING OLAF OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE IN 48 HOURS AND THEN SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHEAST OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. OBVIOUSLY...THIS IS ASSUMING THAT OLAF WOULD SURVIVE THE HIGH TERRAIN. HOWEVER...SINCE RELIABLE AND STATE OF THE ART...GFDL MOVES OLAF ON A MORE NORTHWESTERLY TRACK...I WILL TAKE MAY CHANCES...ONE MORE TIME... AND BEND THE TRACK A LITTLE TO THE NORTHWEST INSTEAD OF GOING STRAIGHT NORTH INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST BRINGS OLAF NEAR THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA IN LESS THAN 24 HOURS. DISSIPATION OVER LAND IS EXPECTED IN ABOUT 48 HOURS BUT IF IT MOVES NORTHWARD AND FASTER...IT COULD REGENERATE IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. IT IS TOO SOON TO TELL. PREVIOUS REASONING ABOUT THE NORTHERLY POST FRONTAL SURFACE WINDS OVER TEHUANTEPEC IS STILL VERY VALID AND OLAF COULD SLOW DOWN SIGNIFICANTLY. HOWEVER...I RATHER GO WITH MODELS AT THIS TIME. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/0300Z 13.7N 94.7W 45 KTS 12HR VT 27/1200Z 15.0N 95.0W 50 KTS 24HR VT 28/0000Z 16.5N 95.5W 45 KTS...INLAND 36HR VT 28/1200Z 17.5N 96.0W 20 KTS...INLAND 48HR VT 29/0000Z DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626005-21041>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 10:51:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA12000; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 21:40:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6427081 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 21:40:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA51390 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 21:40:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA16380 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 21:40:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709270240.VAA16380@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 21:40:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Ginger (24w) Warning Nr 018 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ccce2d6894eb7288dabc33dae5268d3b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 790 WTPN33 PGTW 270300 1. SUPER TYPHOON GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- 21.6N9 159.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 255 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.6N9 159.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 22.5N9 157.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 255 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 24.5N1 156.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 255 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 27.4N3 155.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 20 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 31.2N6 157.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 39.1N3 166.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION 21.8N1 158.6E0 SUPER TYPHOON GINGER (24W) HAS INTENSIFIED RAPIDLY DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT IT IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND THEN TURN RAPIDLY TOWARD THE NORTH TO NORTH-NORTHEAST AFTER THIS PERIOD AS IT ACCELERATES INTO THE WESTERLY FLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z9 IS 37 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270900Z8 (DTG 270755Z6), 271500Z5 (DTG 271355Z3), 272100Z2 (DTG 271955Z9) AND 280300Z3 (DTG 280155Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626015-21041>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 11:27:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA32466; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 22:26:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6427300 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 22:24:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA36966 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 22:24:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA16488 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 1997 22:24:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709270324.WAA16488@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 22:24:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 844d1b9be0b1068a970667a0aeb74792 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 508 WTIO31 PGTW 270300 PAGE 02 RUHGSGG3573 UNCLAS IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- 22.5N9 91.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUHGSGG3573 UNCLAS REPEAT POSIT: 22.5N9 91.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 23.3N8 91.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 24.3N9 92.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 05 KTS PAGE 04 RUHGSGG3573 UNCLAS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 25.3N0 92.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION 22.7N1 91.4E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B HAS MADE LANDFALL IN THE GHANGAS RIVER VALLEY JUST WEST OF CHITTAGONG, BANGLADESH. FIX POSITION IS BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 270000Z9 SYNOPTIC DATA REPORT (47 KNOTS, 988MB) RECEIVED FROM CHITTAGONG (WMO 41978). TC 02B IS MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST AT 6 KNOTS AND WILL CONTINUE IN A NORTHEAST TO NORTH-NORTHEAST DIRECTION. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER LAND WITHIN 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z9 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2) AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9).// BT #3573 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626075-21039>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 13:13:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA44220; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 00:06:52 -0500 Message-Id: <199709270506.AAA44220@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 00:02:15 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 25 Sep 1997 to 26 Sep 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: f4da6818b796a8adc14218dd5439e1fe X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 12 messages totalling 429 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 24 Sep 1997 to 25 Sep 1997 (2) 2. Hurrican 3. GMS image of smoke from Indonesian fires 4. TV Met Jobs Available 5. National Weather Associaiton Newsletter, August 1997 6. "Studying Weather Helps Retailers" 7. Majordomo E-mail Weather Service 8. Kelly Report (2) 9. Showalter Index 10. Need old selected cities forecast +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 08:27:05 -0400 From: James Aman Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 24 Sep 1997 to 25 Sep 1997 > Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:34:37 -0500 From: Richard Whitenight Subject: Hurrican > Is there anyone on the list who can provided me with the text files/track data for the previous 1997 hurricanes, or can tell me where on the Internet that I can surf to in order to download the data for the tracks of each of the previous hurricanes of this year? I've got some good software, but I don't have or did not remember to take the data for this year's storms down. I'd appreciate hearing from someone. You can reach me at either of the below listed Internet address: richard.whitenight@chrysalis.org rwhitenigh@aol.com Richard - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HERE'S A QUICK ANSWER: Check out the neat hurricane pages at John Hopkins Univ Applied Physics Lab (JHU/APL) at: http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/hurr/index.html If you click down to a particular storm, one of the available items is a basic track file, which contains time/date, LAT/LON, central pressure, and max winds. In addition, all sorts of track maps and NEAT satellite shots. James Aman, meteorologist jaman@aws.com Automated Weather Source http://www.aws.com/ Manager, technical support department ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 08:27:05 -0400 From: James Aman Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 24 Sep 1997 to 25 Sep 1997 ------ =_NextPart_000_01BCCA56.0022A540 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii" Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit > Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:34:37 -0500 From: Richard Whitenight Subject: Hurrican > Is there anyone on the list who can provided me with the text files/track data for the previous 1997 hurricanes, or can tell me where on the Internet that I can surf to in order to download the data for the tracks of each of the previous hurricanes of this year? I've got some good software, but I don't have or did not remember to take the data for this year's storms down. I'd appreciate hearing from someone. You can reach me at either of the below listed Internet address: richard.whitenight@chrysalis.org rwhitenigh@aol.com Richard - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HERE'S A QUICK ANSWER: Check out the neat hurricane pages at John Hopkins Univ Applied Physics Lab (JHU/APL) at: http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/hurr/index.html If you click down to a particular storm, one of the available items is a basic track file, which contains time/date, LAT/LON, central pressure, and max winds. In addition, all sorts of track maps and NEAT satellite shots. 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AAAAAAAAHgA9AAEAAAAFAAAAUkU6IAAAAAADAA00/TcAACPn ------ =_NextPart_000_01BCCA56.0022A540-- ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 14:28:29 +0200 From: "Hochheimer, Joerg, CR&T/DE" Subject: Re: Hurrican Hi Richard, try the following: http://wxp.atms.purdue.edu/hurricane/ There you'll find almost everything you're looking for. Regards, Joerg HOCHHEIMER@CRT.HOECHST.COM >Date: Thu, 25 Sep 1997 03:34:37 -0500 >From: Richard Whitenight >Subject: Hurrican > >Is there anyone on the list who can provided me with the text files/track >data >for the previous 1997 hurricanes, or can tell me where on the Internet that I >can surf to in order to download the data for the tracks of each of the >previous hurricanes of this year? I've got some good software, but I don't >have or did not remember to take the data for this year's storms down. I'd >appreciate hearing from someone. You can reach me at either of the below >listed Internet address: > > richard.whitenight@chrysalis.org > rwhitenigh@aol.com > >Richard > > http://members.aol.com/RWhitenigh/index.html > http://members.tripod.com/~RWhitenight/index.html > >------------------------------ > ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 15:05:57 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: GMS image of smoke from Indonesian fires A GMS visible image showing the areal extent of smoke from fires in Indonesia can be seen at http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/misc/indonesian_smoke.gif This image was about an hour before the crash of an Indonesian Garuda Airlines Airbus over the northern portions of the island of Sumatra (near Medan). It is possible that the extensive smoke may have contributed to the cause of the crash. See http://cnn.com/WORLD/9709/26/indonesia.crash/index.html -Scott -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS FIRSTT Program CIMSS | University of Wisconsin - Madison asb@ty.ssec.wisc.edu | www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 10:33:19 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Jobs Available The following jobs appeared in today's issue of SHOPTALK. For more information on SHOPTALK see http://www.tvspy.com. ..Chris.. METEOROLOGIST (WJCL) WJCL-TV (ABC) in Savannah, Georgia, seeks experienced applicants for the position of METEOROLOGIST in our three-person weather department. We offer competitive salary and benefits and the latest in weather technology, including exclusive lightning detection capability and a fully-equipped weather center. Minimum qualifications include prior experience as an on-air meteorologist at a commercial television station and the ability to acquire both your AMS and NWA seals. Please send your tape, resume and references to: Dale Cox, News Director; WJCL-TV; 10001 Abercorn St., P.O. Box 61268; Savannah, GA 31420. WJCL-TV is an Equal Opportunity Employer. Females and Minorities are encouraged to apply. Pre-employment background and drug screening are required. MORNING WEATHER ANCHOR (KTKA) Morning Weather Anchor: News Source 49 is looking for someone who can take our hour long morning show to new heights. We need someone who has a passion for weather and can explain it creatively with graphics and maps. You also must be able to interact well with the news anchor in a relaxed morning show setting. The morning weather anchor will also assist chief meteorologist in covering severe weather. A meteorology degree is preferred but not required. If this sounds like the perfect fit, rush your resume and VHS tape to Mike Deines, News Director, KTKA-TV, 101 SE Monroe, Topeka, KS 66603. Women and minorities are encouraged to apply. EOE. Deadline: 10/15/97. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 13:13:49 -0400 From: Floyd Hauth Subject: National Weather Associaiton Newsletter, August 1997 Topics in the August 1997 NWA Newsletter: 1. President's Message on mid-year council meeting. 2. To all Weather Broadcasters. 3. Dates to Remember. 4. Last NEXRAD installed. 5. New NOAA Weather Radios. 6. Preliminary agenda for the 1997 NWA annual meeting in Reno, NV, October 19-24. Includes Boadcaster's Session; Weather Analysis and Forecasting; Radar/WSR-88D; Hydrometeorology; Satellite Applications; Delivery/Display and Manipulation of Meteorlogical Data; Climatology; Training and Education; Climatology; Aviation Weather Services; Customer Service Initiatives; New Technology; and, Numerical Weather Prediction. 7. Annual Meeting registration information. 8. Job Corner. For copies or more information call or email J. Kevin Lavin at: 334-213-0338; email is natweaasoc@aol.com ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 15:48:32 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: "Studying Weather Helps Retailers" AP Article available from TheWire http://wire.ap.org or http://search.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/WAPO/19970926/V000862-092697-id x.html NEW YORK (AP) -- There's no rhyme or reason to the ways of Mother Nature, but some of the nation's retailers are trying to crack her code. Looking to reduce the risks associated with the weather, more merchants now use long-range forecasts to help determine their seasonal merchandise, inventory and sales strategies. Sears, Roebuck & Co. recently saw a summer heat wave coming and decided to skip the traditional mark-down of its fans. Eastern Mountain Sports stocked up on rainwear based on a wet spring forecast. After the skies cleared, the company found itself with a 38 percent sales increase. ``If you can predict the intensity of the seasons and what you predict actually happens, that can do lots for your business,'' said William Ferry, vice president at Mercer Management Consulting. [...] ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 17:25:23 -0400 From: Rob Cermak Subject: Majordomo E-mail Weather Service Hi all, A friend forwarded a news article on a e-mail service that doles out forecasts and warnings as the come in off the weather wire, but locally to Brookhaven, NY and Mount Holly, NJ weather service offices. >>Also read in last nights Gloucester County Times an article about >>Rutgers providing warnings of impending severe weather, hot weather >>warnings, and health alerts via e-mail. They are getting this info from >>NWS in Mt. Holly. Subscribe to Majordomo@tdmx.rutgers.edu and in the >>body put (subscribe severe-wx-snj) with e-mail address. Access is open to everyone send mail to: Majordomo@tdmx.rutgers.edu Particular groups of interest are: forecast-nnj Weather Forecasts for NNJ forecast-snj Weather Forecasts for SNJ severe-wx-nnj NWS Severe Weather Notices severe-wx-snj NWS Severe Weather Notices for NJ - except NE NJ skywarn-nnj NWS Skywarn Status Notices for North-East NJ skywarn-snj NWS Skywarn Status Notices for NJ- except NE NJ Have fun, Rob Cermak -- Rob Cermak Voice: 732-545-9536 Weather Access, Inc. Email: cermak@snow.wxaccess.com V.P. Product Development Web : http://www.wxaccess.com/ Consulting Meteorologist Highland Park, New Jersey ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 16:23:07 -0700 From: kz Subject: Kelly Report Has anyone heard the latest timetable for issuing the Gen. Kelly NWS study report? KZ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 19:04:13 -0400 From: Jonathan Blaes Subject: Showalter Index Do any Weather - Talkers know of a mathematical equation that can be used to explicitly calculate the Showalter Index from Standard / Mandatory levels from a RAOB? ie. can you calculate the SI by an equation with just the 850 T and Td and 500 mb T and Td ? Any suggestions or pointers would be appreciated. Thanks - Jonathan ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 23:02:59 +0000 From: Scott Bachmeier Subject: Re: Kelly Report > Has anyone heard the latest timetable for issuing the Gen. Kelly NWS > study report? Mid-October is the latest estimate... -- Scott Bachmeier | NWS FIRSTT Program CIMSS | University of Wisconsin - Madison asb@ty.ssec.wisc.edu | www.ssec.wisc.edu/~scottb ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 26 Sep 1997 19:54:42 -0400 From: Bill Hipkins Subject: Need old selected cities forecast Does anyone have the SCF's for the period of August 21 through August 31 1997. If so, would you be so kind to email them to me. Thanks! Bill ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 25 Sep 1997 to 26 Sep 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626103-21039>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 13:16:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA36342; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 00:09:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6428022 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 00:08:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA09660 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 00:02:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id AAA16833 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 00:02:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709270502.AAA16833@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 00:02:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 470bb1818b45a2075c09f124c46b2016 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 252 ABPZ20 KNHC 270501 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI SEP 26 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM OLAF LOCATED ABOUT 180 MILES SOUTH OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM OLAF CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP2. PUBLIC ADVISORIES CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ32 AND AFOS HEADER CCCTCPEP2. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626027-21040>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 14:15:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA11934; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 01:08:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6428351 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 01:06:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA39530 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 01:06:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA17028 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 01:06:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709270606.BAA17028@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 01:06:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Intermediate Advisory Number 3a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d5161ddcd51190949bf7d3dc7c00aefa X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 348 WTPZ32 KNHC 270605 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLAF INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 PM PDT FRI SEP 26 1997 ...OLAF HEADING FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.8 WEST OR ABOUT 165 MILES ...265 KM...SOUTH OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO. OLAF IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK OLAF IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA LATE SATURDAY. BASED ON A SHIP REPORT...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH... 96 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE ADDITIONAL CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST ON SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...13.8 N... 94.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627275-21031>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 16:35:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAB36508; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 02:32:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6428522 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 02:30:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA21130 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 02:28:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA17228 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 02:28:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709270728.CAA17228@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 02:28:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d996e517fd52e6fb4023f25b815da4bd X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 476 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 270155Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 270000Z9 SUPER TYPHOON GINGER (24W), WAS LOCATED AT 21.6N9 159.0E5, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 140 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 170 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 18 (WTPN33 PGTW 270300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626895-21031>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 16:51:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA36564; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 02:29:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6428517 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 02:28:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA36492 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 02:28:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA17227 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 02:28:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709270728.CAA17227@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 02:28:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e9ad61d114c9f1c3b6ad3db284a39736 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 476 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 270155Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 270000Z9 SUPER TYPHOON GINGER (24W), WAS LOCATED AT 21.6N9 159.0E5, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 140 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 170 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 18 (WTPN33 PGTW 270300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626895-21031>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 16:35:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA12674; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 03:27:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6428817 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 03:26:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA37030 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 03:24:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA17528 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 03:24:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709270824.DAA17528@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 03:24:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b5a37e03781273b01d70100b0f78660d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 243 WTIO31 PGTW 270900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- 23.7N2 92.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 23.7N2 92.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 25.6N3 93.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 27.2N1 95.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 270900Z8 POSITION 24.2N8 92.6E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B HAS MOVED NORTHEAST INTO INDIA AND IS LOCATED TO THE WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS BORDERING INDIA AND MYANMAR (BURMA). THE POSITION IS BASED ON VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA RECEIVED FROM CHITTAGONG (WMO 41978), DHAKA/TEJGAON (WMO 41923) BANGLADESH, AND KHON KAEN, MYANMAR (WMO 48010). THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627068-21041>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 16:39:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA33460; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 03:27:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6428832 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 03:27:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA24562 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 03:25:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA17542 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 03:25:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709270825.DAA17542@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 03:25:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Ginger (24w) Warning Nr 019 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 65e989dcd4b57c4eefa39b83808d6a67 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 286 WTPN33 PGTW 270900 1. SUPER TYPHOON GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- 22.6N0 158.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.6N0 158.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 24.3N9 157.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 26.3N1 156.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 29.3N4 156.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 21 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 32.7N2 159.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 40.6N0 169.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 270900Z8 POSITION 23.0N5 158.5E9 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT SUPER TYPHOON GINGER (22W) HAS MOVED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS WHILE CONTINUING TO INTENSIFY. FORECAST TRACK REMAINS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS FORECAST WITH A FORWARD ACCELERATION EXPECTED TO BEGIN WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. THE CURRENT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN EXPANDED IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE BASED ON 262328Z3 SCATTEROMETER DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z IS 41 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5 (DTG 271355Z3), 272100Z2 (DTG 271955Z9), 280300Z3 (DTG 280155Z1) AND 280900Z9 (DTG 280755Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627093-21039>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 16:57:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA40416; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 03:51:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6428914 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 03:48:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA27184 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 03:48:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA17596 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 03:48:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709270848.DAA17596@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 03:48:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Discussion Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 66723ec31d827ea83f65e8e46287f880 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 611 WTPZ42 KNHC 270846 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SAT SEP 27 1997 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 340/08...BUT THE CENTER IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE AND IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE MOTION IS MUCH SLOWER. THERE IS A DEEP LAYER MEAN LOW TO THE WEST OF THE STORM WHICH IS FORECAST BY THE AVIATION MODEL TO MOVE WESTWARD. THE STORM ITSELF SHOULD MOVE NORTHWARD FROM THE FLOW ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE LOW. ALL OF THE GUIDANCE MODELS SHOW THIS AND ALSO SHOW SLOWER MOTION AFTER ABOUT 36 HOURS WHEN THE STORM OR ITS REMNANTS REACH THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO WHERE THE STEERING CURRENTS ARE VERY WEAK. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON THE ABOVE REASONING AND IS IN CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH THE GFLD MODEL. A SHIP REPORT OF 55 KNOTS AT 03Z...ALONG WITH A VERY COLD SYMMETRIC CDO...IS THE BASIS FOR INCREASING THE WIND SPEED TO 60 KNOTS. THE IMPRESSIVE CLOUD PATTERN CERTAINLY ALLOWS FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF ANOTHER 5 KNOTS IN THE 18 OR SO HOURS BEFORE LANDFALL. THEREFORE THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS CHANGED TO A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/0900Z 14.2N 94.9W 60 KTS 12HR VT 27/1800Z 15.3N 95.2W 65 KTS 24HR VT 28/0600Z 17.2N 95.1W 30 KTS...INLAND 36HR VT 28/1800Z 18.8N 94.9W 30 KTS 48HR VT 29/0600Z 19.2N 94.7W 35 KTS 72HR VT 30/0600Z 19.7N 94.5W 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627402-21041>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 16:59:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA35204; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 03:54:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6428923 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 03:51:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA32768 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 03:51:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA17614 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 03:51:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709270851.DAA17614@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 03:51:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e7c4c51d372c9761535845e71bfa0d7d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 639 WTPZ22 KNHC 270850 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1797 0900Z SAT SEP 27 1997 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING TO A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 94.9W AT 27/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 94.9W AT 27/0900Z AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 94.8W FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 15.3N 95.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.2N 95.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.8N 94.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 94.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 19.2N 94.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 19.7N 94.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627402-21040>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 17:12:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA27840; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 04:06:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6428955 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 04:03:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA46314 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 04:03:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA17645 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 04:03:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709270903.EAA17645@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 04:03:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 88727110ed90e09a555cb12553a65359 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 783 WTPZ32 KNHC 270902 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SAT SEP 27 1997 ...OLAF THREATENS SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING TO A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.9 WEST OR ABOUT 135 MILES ...220 KM...SOUTH OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO. OLAF IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR ...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF OLAF IS EXPECTD TO REACH THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT. ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION FOR THIS POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS STORM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OLAF COULD STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH OLAF IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD INLAND OVER THE WARNING AREA TODAY AND THERE IS A RISK OF LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. AN OUTER RAINBAND IS ALSO BEGINNING TO AFFECT GUATEMALA. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS MAY OCCUR NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...14.2 N... 94.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 997 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY A COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM PDT. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627403-21039>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 17:21:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA45594; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 04:17:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6429060 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 04:14:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA45710 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 04:14:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA17689 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 04:14:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709270914.EAA17689@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 04:14:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a9665f468a3eee991c4dd0ce0a1acdc1 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 010 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 270155Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 270000Z9 SUPER TYPHOON GINGER (24W), WAS LOCATED AT 21.6N9 159.0E5, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 140 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 170 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 18 (WTPN33 PGTW 270300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: COR FOR SUBJECT LINE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627408-21041>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 17:31:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA45618; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 04:17:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6429065 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 04:17:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA46220 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 04:14:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA17688 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 04:14:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709270914.EAA17688@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 04:14:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8d73349c61a8b9889c4387637548820b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 010 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 270155Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 270000Z9 SUPER TYPHOON GINGER (24W), WAS LOCATED AT 21.6N9 159.0E5, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 140 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 170 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 18 (WTPN33 PGTW 270300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: COR FOR SUBJECT LINE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627407-21039>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 18:10:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA33470; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 04:25:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6429100 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 04:25:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA12620 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 04:18:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA17708 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 04:18:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709270918.EAA17708@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 04:18:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Ginger (24w) Warning Nr 019 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bb452cc0e4298b73c964f9ac47635ddd X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 104 WTPN33 PGTW 270900 1. SUPER TYPHOON GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHGSGG3759 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- 22.6N0 158.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.6N0 158.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 24.3N9 157.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM PAGE 03 RUHGSGG3759 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 26.3N1 156.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 29.3N4 156.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG3759 UNCLAS 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 21 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 32.7N2 159.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 40.6N0 169.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL PAGE 05 RUHGSGG3759 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 270900Z8 POSITION 23.0N5 158.5E9 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT SUPER TYPHOON GINGER (22W) HAS MOVED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS WHILE CONTINUING TO INTENSIFY. FORECAST TRACK REMAINS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS FORECAST WITH A FORWARD ACCELERATION EXPECTED TO BEGIN WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. THE CURRENT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN EXPANDED IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE BASED ON 262328Z3 SCATTEROMETER DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z IS 41 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5 (DTG 271355Z3), 272100Z2 (DTG 271955Z9), 280300Z3 (DTG 280155Z1) AND 280900Z9 (DTG 280755Z7).// BT #3759 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627405-21039>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 17:34:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA33440; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 04:29:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6429119 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 04:28:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA35138 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 04:21:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA17722 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 04:21:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709270921.EAA17722@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 04:21:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c19080a31d984db6136446b8b1523481 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 186 WTIO31 PGTW 270900 PAGE 02 RUHGSGG3760 UNCLAS IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- 23.7N2 92.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER PAGE 03 RUHGSGG3760 UNCLAS REPEAT POSIT: 23.7N2 92.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 25.6N3 93.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 27.2N1 95.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND PAGE 04 RUHGSGG3760 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 270900Z8 POSITION 24.2N8 92.6E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B HAS MOVED NORTHEAST INTO INDIA AND IS LOCATED TO THE WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS BORDERING INDIA AND MYANMAR (BURMA). THE POSITION IS BASED ON VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA RECEIVED FROM CHITTAGONG (WMO 41978), DHAKA/TEJGAON (WMO 41923) BANGLADESH, AND KHON KAEN, MYANMAR (WMO 48010). THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU).// BT #3760 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627408-21041>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 17:45:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA40248; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 04:35:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6429154 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 04:32:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA35182 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 04:22:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA17728 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 04:22:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709270922.EAA17728@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 04:22:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 87d1341db466c58e6d2ae4f0bf97d416 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 188 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 270155Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 270000Z9 SUPER TYPHOON GINGER (24W), WAS LOCATED AT 21.6N9 159.0E5, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 140 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 170 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 18 (WTPN33 PGTW 270300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: COR FOR SUBJECT LINE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627404-21031>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 17:43:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA33314; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 04:30:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6429141 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 04:29:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA46184 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 04:22:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA17727 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 04:22:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709270922.EAA17727@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 04:22:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 21ab1f1f153a9f86b0699599696cef51 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 188 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 270155Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 270000Z9 SUPER TYPHOON GINGER (24W), WAS LOCATED AT 21.6N9 159.0E5, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 140 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 170 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 18 (WTPN33 PGTW 270300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: COR FOR SUBJECT LINE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627407-21031>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 18:13:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA33444; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 05:11:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6429440 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 05:08:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA33004 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 05:08:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA17851 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 05:08:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709271008.FAA17851@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 05:08:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ada2e571a541bc25c1792f8479c81e16 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 920 ABPA20 PHNL 271000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210AM HST SATURDAY SEPTEMBER 27 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH SUNDAY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627400-21031>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 18:21:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA33428; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 05:15:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6429454 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 05:12:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA28898 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 05:12:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA17868 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 05:12:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709271012.FAA17868@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 05:12:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d9e4e45bbf706eabd6dfacc022044a51 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 042 ABPZ20 KNHC 271010 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT SEP 27 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM OLAF LOCATED ABOUT 135 MILES SOUTH OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM OLAF CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22 AND UNDER AFOS HEADER CCCTCMEP2. PUBLIC ADVISORIES CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ32 AND AFOS HEADER CCCTCPEP2. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627400-21031>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 19:57:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id GAA09642; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 06:49:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6429726 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 06:46:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id GAA41776 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 06:46:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id GAA18121 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 06:46:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709271146.GAA18121@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 06:46:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Intermediate Advisory Number 4a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fdba53ae5915ff13fd182845689c6314 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 775 WTPZ32 KNHC 271145 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLAF INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT SAT SEP 27 1997 ...OLAF THREATENS SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION FOR THIS POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS STORM. AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.0 WEST OR ABOUT 125 MILES ...205 KM...SOUTH OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO. OLAF IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR ...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK... THE CENTER OF OLAF IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ESPECIALLY STRONG GUSTS ARE LIKELY OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN. OLAF COULD STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH OLAF IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD INLAND OVER THE WARNING AREA TODAY AND THERE IS A RISK OF LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. AN OUTER RAINBAND IS NEARLY STATIONARY OVER SOUTHWESTERN GUATEMALA. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS COULD OCCUR NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST. REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...14.3 N... 95.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD ... NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 997 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627269-21031>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 21:16:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA46314; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 08:07:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6430235 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 08:07:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA17110 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 08:07:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id IAA18356 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 08:07:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709271307.IAA18356@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 08:07:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Ginger (24w) Warning Nr 020 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3b70a04d3fb69c5aa8e8d5ec76a7784f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 121 WTPN33 PGTW 271500 1. SUPER TYPHOON GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- 23.0N5 158.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.0N5 158.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 24.3N9 156.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 25.9N6 155.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 28.3N3 155.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 29 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 32.8N3 159.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 40.5N9 171.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 271500Z5 POSITION 23.3N8 157.8E1 SUPER TYPHOON GINGER (24W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS REACHED ITS PEAK INTENSITY. SUPER TYPHOON GINGER IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS AND THEN NORTHEASTWARD THEREAFTER AS THE SYSTEM MOVES POLEWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN BEYOND THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z2 IS 40 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z2 (DTG 271955Z9), 280300Z3 (DTG 280155Z1), 280900Z9 (DTG 280755Z7) AND 281500Z6 (DTG 281355Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627417-21040>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 22:55:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA18608; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 09:48:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6431096 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 09:44:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA45016 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 09:44:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA18593 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 09:44:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709271444.JAA18593@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 09:44:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Discussion Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 22ac0182ad054ad3873c802b1ae64f0e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 192 WTPZ42 KNHC 271443 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT SEP 27 1997 OLAF CONTINUES TO GENERATE OCCASIONAL BURSTS OF RATHER FEATURELESS DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER...MAKING IT DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT THE CENTER LOCATION. SATELLITE CLASSIFICATIONS AGAIN SUPPORT USING 60 KT AS THE INITIAL WIND SPEED. THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE WEST. THE ASSOCIATED STEERING IS TAKING OLAF TOWARD THE NNW AT ABOUT 6 KT. MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW LANDFALL LATER TODAY. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST DOES AS WELL. IT ALSO SHOWS A DECELERATION THAT IS SIMILAR TO PREDICTIONS OF THE GFDL...BAMD...AND BAMM. IT IS STILL NOT CLEAR WHETHER THE SYSTEM WILL SURVIVE THE ENCOUNTER WITH LAND...OR WHETHER IT WILL EMERGE INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO AS A SIGNIFICANT FEATURE. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/1500Z 14.7N 95.1W 60 KTS 12HR VT 28/0000Z 15.8N 95.3W 65 KTS 24HR VT 28/1200Z 17.2N 95.3W 30 KTS...INLAND 36HR VT 29/0000Z 18.4N 95.3W 25 KTS...INLAND 48HR VT 29/1200Z 19.1N 95.2W 30 KTS 72HR VT 30/1200Z 19.5N 95.0W 35 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627157-21041>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 23:01:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA18572; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 09:52:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6431103 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 09:49:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA32312 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 09:45:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA18606 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 09:45:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709271445.JAA18606@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 09:45:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 79df666abb2ace87253c30057cec9785 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 193 WTPZ22 KNHC 271444 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1797 1500Z SAT SEP 27 1997 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 95.1W AT 27/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 95.1W AT 27/1500Z AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 95.0W FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 15.8N 95.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.2N 95.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.4N 95.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS COULD OCCUR NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 95.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 19.1N 95.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 19.5N 95.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627414-21039>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 23:36:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA24552; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 10:26:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6431224 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 10:23:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA41966 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 09:49:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA18611 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 09:49:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709271449.JAA18611@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 09:49:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ad24535ea16c65bb8166e699de636450 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 249 WTPZ32 KNHC 271448 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT SEP 27 1997 ...OLAF THREATENING SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION FOR THIS POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS STORM. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.1 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES...170 KM...SOUTH OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO. OLAF IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF OLAF IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ESPECIALLY STRONG GUSTS ARE LIKELY OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN. OLAF COULD STRENGTHEN INTO A HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH OLAF IS BEGINNING TO SPREAD INLAND OVER THE WARNING AREA...WHILE AN OUTER RAINBAND REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY OVER SOUTHWESTERN GUATEMALA. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES... LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN... AND COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS COULD OCCUR NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST...AND WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE BATTERING WAVES. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...14.7 N... 95.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627157-21040>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 23:03:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA52580; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 09:55:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6431110 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 09:52:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA45676 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 09:50:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA18624 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 09:50:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709271450.JAA18624@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 09:50:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8bb952a9093f2a2b28d933f8fda0453b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 250 WTPZ22 KNHC 271449 COR TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1797 1500Z SAT SEP 27 1997 ...CORRECTED 48 HOUR AND 72 HOUR LOCATION INFORMATION... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 95.1W AT 27/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 95.1W AT 27/1500Z AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 95.0W FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 15.8N 95.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.2N 95.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.4N 95.3W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS COULD OCCUR NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 95.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 19.1N 95.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 19.5N 95.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627157-21041>; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 23:41:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA27246; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 10:30:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6431371 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 10:27:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA18542 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 09:55:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA18645 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 09:55:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709271455.JAA18645@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 09:55:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 993f6b39616b4df370d2a0ec88c1a1ff X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 296 WTPZ22 KNHC 271451 COR TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1797 1500Z SAT SEP 27 1997 ...CORRECTED 48 HOUR AND 72 HOUR LOCATION INFORMATION... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 95.1W AT 27/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 95.1W AT 27/1500Z AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 95.0W FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 15.8N 95.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.2N 95.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.4N 95.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS COULD OCCUR NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 95.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 19.1N 95.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 19.5N 95.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626797-21041>; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 00:54:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA32312; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 11:49:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6432272 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 11:46:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA32408 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 11:46:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id LAA19273 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 11:46:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709271646.LAA19273@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 11:46:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 940e7908bb1b2242343765aeee4650af X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 514 ABPZ20 KNHC 271645 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT SEP 27 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM OLAF LOCATED ABOUT 105 MILES SOUTH OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625912-21040>; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 01:40:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA41780; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 12:37:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6432679 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 12:36:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA41962 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 12:36:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA19442 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 12:36:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709271736.MAA19442@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 12:36:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 91d14ee050b738917f4bb16b55c9cda0 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 317 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 270157Z SEP 97 RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 270600Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WAS LOCATED AT 23.7N2 92.3E4 AND WAS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 10 (WTIO31 PGTW 270900)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627276-21041>; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 01:40:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA41906; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 12:39:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6432684 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 12:37:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA09704 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 12:36:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA19441 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 12:36:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709271736.MAA19441@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 12:36:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d6a8168887621cf4a482993a795d04e5 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 317 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/271800Z/281800Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 270157Z SEP 97 RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 270600Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WAS LOCATED AT 23.7N2 92.3E4 AND WAS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 10 (WTIO31 PGTW 270900)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627321-21040>; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 02:14:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA27302; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 13:02:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6432922 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 12:59:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA09492 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 12:59:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA19602 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 12:59:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709271759.MAA19602@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 12:59:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Intermediate Advisory Number 5a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6f20e0807191c2a5bbaef3965bffaebe X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 588 WTPZ32 KNHC 271758 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLAF INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT SAT SEP 27 1997 ...OLAF NEARING COAST OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION FOR THIS POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS STORM. AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.3 WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES...130 KM...SOUTH OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 70 MILES...110 KM SOUTHEAST OF HUATULCO. OLAF IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF OLAF IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ESPECIALLY STRONG GUSTS ARE LIKELY OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN. ALTHOUGH SATELLITE PICTURES SUGGEST THAT OLAF MAY HAVE PEAKED IN INTENSITY...IT STILL COULD STRENGTHEN A LITTLE AND BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH OLAF IS SPREADING INLAND OVER THE WARNING AREA...WHILE AN OUTER RAINBAND REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY OVER SOUTHWESTERN GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...AND COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS COULD OCCUR NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST...AND WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE BATTERING WAVES. REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...15.0 N... 95.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627393-21039>; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 03:38:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA50528; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 14:29:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6433451 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 14:28:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA18596 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 14:27:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id OAA19950 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 14:27:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709271927.OAA19950@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 14:27:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Ginger (24w) Warning Nr 021 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4e378fb748eb2eae12a44a7fc1596fd1 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 608 WTPN33 PGTW 272100 1. SUPER TYPHOON GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271800Z8 --- 23.6N1 157.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.6N1 157.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 24.9N5 156.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 26.6N4 156.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 30.3N6 157.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 27 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 34.2N9 162.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 43.1N8 174.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 272100Z2 POSITION 23.9N4 157.5E8 SUPER TYPHOON GINGER (24W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRACKING NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THEN TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD THEREAFTER. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL NEAR THE 72-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z8 IS 40 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z3 (DTG 280155Z1), 280900Z9 (DTG 280755Z7), 281500Z6 (DTG 281355Z4) AND 282100Z3 (DTG 281955Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627433-21039>; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 04:38:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA20376; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 15:30:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6433907 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 15:29:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA40238 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 15:24:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA20184 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 15:24:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709272024.PAA20184@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 15:24:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1ebf2fdeff504969ef57011fbb550874 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 508 WTPZ32 KNHC 272021 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT SEP 27 1997 ...OLAF WEAKENS JUST OFFSHORE FROM SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO... AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. AT 2 PM PDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF WAS RELOCATED FROM SATELLITE PICTURES NEAR LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.7 WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES...130 KM...SOUTH OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO. OLAF IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT BRINGING THE CENTER OF OLAF ACROSS THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH OLAF IS SPREADING INLAND OVER THE WARNING AREA...WHILE AN OUTER RAINBAND REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY OVER SOUTHWESTERN GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...AND COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...15.0 N... 94.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 996 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627437-21031>; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 04:33:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA32002; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 15:26:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6433864 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 15:25:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA40216 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 15:24:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA20186 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 15:24:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709272024.PAA20186@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 15:24:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 30f7ad531dd8bbcb5e6d515d5dd2f0d4 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 509 WTPZ22 KNHC 272022 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1797 2100Z SAT SEP 27 1997 AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. TROPICAL STORM CENTER RELOCATED NEAR 15.0N 94.7W AT 27/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER RELOCATED NEAR 15.0N 94.7W AT 27/2100Z AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS RELOCATED NEAR 14.7N 94.7W FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 16.1N 94.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 17.3N 94.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 18.2N 95.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 94.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 18.9N 95.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 19.0N 95.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627427-21040>; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 04:39:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA32510; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 15:32:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6433919 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 15:30:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA32056 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 15:24:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA20193 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 15:24:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709272024.PAA20193@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 15:24:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Discussion Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5bb2b13cd1a2404c6f54fa9ff7ce63d0 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 511 WTPZ42 KNHC 272023 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT SEP 27 1997 SATELLITE PICTURES SUGGEST THAT OLAF HAS WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MUCH OF THE DEEP CONVECTION...PARTICULARLY NEAR THE CENTER...HAS DISSIPATED AND THE STRUCTURE LOOKS MUCH LESS COHERENT THAN EARLIER. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE CURRENTLY ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KT. THE CENTER REMAINS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE BUT IS ESTIMATED TO BE A LITTLE TO THE EAST OF THE PREVIOUS SPOT. A SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION IS SHOWN BY THE GUIDANCE AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. THE CURRENT WEAKENING TREND MAKES IT LESS LIKELY THAT THE SYSTEM CAN SURVIVE A CROSSING OF MEXICO...BUT A TRACK FORECAST IS PROVIDED IN CASE THAT OCCURS. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/2100Z 15.0N 94.7W 45 KTS 12HR VT 28/0600Z 16.1N 94.8W 35 KTS 24HR VT 28/1800Z 17.3N 94.9W 25 KTS...INLAND 36HR VT 29/0600Z 18.2N 95.0W 25 KTS...INLAND 48HR VT 29/1800Z 18.9N 95.0W 25 KTS 72HR VT 30/1800Z 19.0N 95.0W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627363-21039>; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 05:52:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA41780; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 16:48:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6434498 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 16:47:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA41914 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 16:47:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA20487 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 16:47:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709272147.QAA20487@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 16:47:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c94b5908d422d35b9822600e6b197a66 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 876 ABPA20 PHNL 272200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST SATURDAY SEPTEMBER 27 1997 THE WEATHER IS QUIET IN THE TROPICAL CENTRAL PACIFIC AGAIN TODAY. THE ITCZ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...IS WEAK AND OVER 1000 MILES SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH SUNDAY. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627439-21039>; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 06:05:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA18660; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 16:58:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6434598 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 16:56:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA34986 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 16:56:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA20521 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 16:56:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709272156.QAA20521@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 16:56:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bc11d35f89c1179c2ab5a33b2fbd872e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 966 ABPZ20 KNHC 272154 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT SEP 27 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM OLAF LOCATED ABOUT 80 MILES SOUTH OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625961-15971>; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 08:13:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA20348; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 19:05:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6435358 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 19:03:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA34564 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 19:03:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id TAA20910 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 19:03:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709280003.TAA20910@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 19:03:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Intermediate Advisory Number 6a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c01265826c139a9394c0765d6f54f517 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 118 WTPZ32 KNHC 280002 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLAF INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT SAT SEP 27 1997 ...OLAF MOVING LITTLE...HEAVY SQUALLS ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. AT 5 PM PDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF WAS ESTIMATED FROM SATELLITE PICTURES NEAR LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.5 WEST OR ABOUT 90 MILES...150 KM...SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO. OLAF HAS BEEN MEANDERING DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT A GENERAL MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR IS EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. THIS SLOW MOTION...WOULD BRING THE CENTER OF OLAF TO THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA A LITTLE BIT LATER THAN ANTICIPATED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH OLAF IS SPREADING INLAND OVER THE WARNING AREA...WHILE ADDITIONAL AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE SPREADING OVER SOUTHWESTERN GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...AND COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...15.0 N... 94.5 W. MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 996 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626006-15968>; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 10:06:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA18616; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 20:56:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6436256 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 20:54:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA39508 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 20:54:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id UAA21183 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 20:54:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709280154.UAA21183@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 20:54:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ginger (24w) Warning Nr 022 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fac01d419e712033787ed1923d6b618f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 197 WTPN33 PGTW 280300 1. TYPHOON GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 24.5N1 157.8E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 005 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.5N1 157.8E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 26.2N0 157.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 28.9N9 157.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 33.2N8 160.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 27 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 37.4N4 164.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 47.1N2 175.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 24.9N5 157.8E1 TYPHOON GINGER (24W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWARD THROUGH THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND THEN TURN NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD THEREAFTER. TYPHOON GINGER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE DECREASING IN INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION NEAR THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z0 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z9 (DTG 280755Z7), 281500Z6 (DTG 281355Z4), 282100Z3 (DTG 281955Z0) AND 290300Z4 (DTG 290155Z2).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626030-15967>; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 10:37:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA45764; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 21:30:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6436476 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 21:28:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA18610 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 21:24:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA21277 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 21:24:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709280224.VAA21277@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 21:24:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Advisory Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6de1582f272034b3219485b5b81d7047 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 769 WTPZ32 KNHC 280222 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT SEP 27 1997 ...OLAF NEARLY STATIONARY... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF WAS MEANDERING NEAR LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.5 WEST OR ABOUT 90 MILES...140 KM...SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO. OLAF HAS BEEN MOVING LITTLE DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN A SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION DURING THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF OLAF SHOULD CROSS THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA ON SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH OLAF IS SPREADING INLAND OVER THE WARNING AREA...WHILE ADDITIONAL AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE SPREADING OVER SOUTHWESTERN GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...AND COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...15.0 N... 94.5 W. MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM PDT...SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626022-15968>; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 10:40:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA16626; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 21:32:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6436519 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 21:31:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA41914 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 21:24:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA21281 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 21:24:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709280224.VAA21281@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 21:24:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f37d6374461007cc33cda1a4337c382a X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 770 WTPZ22 KNHC 280223 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1797 0300Z SUN SEP 28 1997 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 94.5W AT 28/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 94.5W AT 28/0300Z AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 94.5W FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 15.1N 94.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 15.8N 94.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 16.5N 95.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 94.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 17.5N 95.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 18.5N 95.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626013-15967>; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 10:47:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA41922; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 21:40:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6436686 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 21:39:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA33296 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 21:25:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA21294 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 21:25:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709280225.VAA21294@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 21:25:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Discussion Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5e4c910df0d7ad7b6595f03c4154ca47 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 771 WTPZ42 KNHC 280224 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT SEP 27 1997 OLAF STILL MAINTAINS AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER AND THE OUTFLOW IS FAIR. DVORAK T-NUMBERS FROM TAFB AND SAB SUPPORT 45 KNOTS AT THIS TIME. SINCE A PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION IS ALREADY INTERACTING WITH LAND...A GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST. IF OLAF REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY OVER WATER...IT COULD KEEP ITS CURRENT INTENSITY. STEERING CURRENTS COLLAPSED AND CONSEQUENTLY OLAF HAS BEEN MEANDERING DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. MOST OF THE MODELS SUGGEST A SLOW MOTION BETWEEN NORTH AND NORTHWEST OVER LAND AND ONLY THE AVN BRINGS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. EVEN IF THE AVN FORECAST VERIFIES...IT WOULD BE DIFFICULT FOR OLAF TO SURVIVE THE HIGH TERRAIN GIVEN THE PRESENT INTENSITY. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR LITTLE MOTION DURING NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS AND A SLOW NORTH- NORTHWESTERLY TRACK THEREAFTER. THE CENTER OF OLAF SHOULD BE CROSSING THE COAST ON SUNDAY AND THEN WEAKEN. LOW TO MID LEVEL MOIST FLOW INDIRECTLY RELATED TO OLAF PREVAILS OVER CENTRAL AMERICA...PRIMARILY OVER GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR. THIS PATTERN COULD PRODUCE VERY HEAVY OROGRAPHIC RAINS. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 28/0300Z 15.0N 94.5W 45 KTS 12HR VT 28/1200Z 15.1N 94.5W 40 KTS 24HR VT 29/0000Z 15.8N 94.7W 25 KTS...INLAND 36HR VT 29/1200Z 16.5N 95.0W 20 KTS...INLAND 48HR VT 30/0000Z 17.5N 95.0W 20 KTS...INLAND 72HR VT 01/0000Z 18.5N 95.0W 20 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626022-15960>; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 10:43:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA16520; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 21:34:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6436544 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 21:33:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA20456 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 21:32:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA21331 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 21:32:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709280232.VAA21331@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 21:32:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Discussion Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e2232183a20071d2b7c5e3cdbede1e07 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 960 WTPZ42 KNHC 280232 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT SEP 27 1997 ..COR REMOVE WORD INLAND AT 24 HOURS... OLAF STILL MAINTAINS AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER AND THE OUTFLOW IS FAIR. DVORAK T-NUMBERS FROM TAFB AND SAB SUPPORT 45 KNOTS AT THIS TIME. SINCE A PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION IS ALREADY INTERACTING WITH LAND...A GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST. IF OLAF REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY OVER WATER...IT COULD KEEP ITS CURRENT INTENSITY. STEERING CURRENTS COLLAPSED AND CONSEQUENTLY OLAF HAS BEEN MEANDERING DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. MOST OF THE MODELS SUGGEST A SLOW MOTION BETWEEN NORTH AND NORTHWEST OVER LAND AND ONLY THE AVN BRINGS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. EVEN IF THE AVN FORECAST VERIFIES...IT WOULD BE DIFFICULT FOR OLAF TO SURVIVE THE HIGH TERRAIN GIVEN THE PRESENT INTENSITY. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR LITTLE MOTION DURING NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS AND A SLOW NORTH- NORTHWESTERLY TRACK THEREAFTER. THE CENTER OF OLAF SHOULD BE CROSSING THE COAST ON SUNDAY AND THEN WEAKEN. LOW TO MID LEVEL MOIST FLOW INDIRECTLY RELATED TO OLAF PREVAILS OVER CENTRAL AMERICA...PRIMARILY OVER GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR. THIS PATTERN COULD PRODUCE VERY HEAVY OROGRAPHIC RAINS. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 28/0300Z 15.0N 94.5W 45 KTS 12HR VT 28/1200Z 15.1N 94.5W 40 KTS 24HR VT 29/0000Z 15.8N 94.7W 25 KTS 36HR VT 29/1200Z 16.5N 95.0W 20 KTS...INLAND 48HR VT 30/0000Z 17.5N 95.0W 20 KTS...INLAND 72HR VT 01/0000Z 18.5N 95.0W 20 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626008-15967>; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 10:44:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA36178; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 21:37:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6436640 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 21:35:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA25336 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 21:35:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA21348 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 21:35:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709280235.VAA21348@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 21:35:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 05f098756ef0b19ed5fd2d9f44bb532e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 993 WTPZ22 KNHC 280235 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1797 0300Z SUN SEP 28 1997 COR FOR INLAND POSITION A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 94.5W AT 28/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 94.5W AT 28/0300Z AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 94.5W FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 15.1N 94.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 15.8N 94.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT....40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 16.5N 95.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 94.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 17.5N 95.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 18.5N 95.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626008-15967>; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 10:50:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA41930; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 21:38:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6436657 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 21:37:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA21064 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 21:37:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA21353 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 21:37:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709280237.VAA21353@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 21:37:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Discussion Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f53a6de8bba1383235eef289880aebb4 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 994 WTPZ42 KNHC 280236 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT SEP 27 1997 ..COR REMOVE WORD INLAND AT 24 HOURS... OLAF STILL MAINTAINS AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER AND THE OUTFLOW IS FAIR. DVORAK T-NUMBERS FROM TAFB AND SAB SUPPORT 45 KNOTS AT THIS TIME. SINCE A PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION IS ALREADY INTERACTING WITH LAND...A GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST. IF OLAF REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY OVER WATER...IT COULD KEEP ITS CURRENT INTENSITY. STEERING CURRENTS COLLAPSED AND CONSEQUENTLY OLAF HAS BEEN MEANDERING DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. MOST OF THE MODELS SUGGEST A SLOW MOTION BETWEEN NORTH AND NORTHWEST OVER LAND AND ONLY THE AVN BRINGS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. EVEN IF THE AVN FORECAST VERIFIES...IT WOULD BE DIFFICULT FOR OLAF TO SURVIVE THE HIGH TERRAIN GIVEN THE PRESENT INTENSITY. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR LITTLE MOTION DURING NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS AND A SLOW NORTH- NORTHWESTERLY TRACK THEREAFTER. THE CENTER OF OLAF SHOULD BE CROSSING THE COAST ON SUNDAY AND THEN WEAKEN. LOW TO MID LEVEL MOIST FLOW INDIRECTLY RELATED TO OLAF PREVAILS OVER CENTRAL AMERICA...PRIMARILY OVER GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR. THIS PATTERN COULD PRODUCE VERY HEAVY OROGRAPHIC RAINS. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 28/0300Z 15.0N 94.5W 45 KTS 12HR VT 28/1200Z 15.1N 94.5W 40 KTS 24HR VT 29/0000Z 15.8N 94.7W 35 KTS 36HR VT 29/1200Z 16.5N 95.0W 20 KTS...INLAND 48HR VT 30/0000Z 17.5N 95.0W 20 KTS...INLAND 72HR VT 01/0000Z 18.5N 95.0W 20 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626036-15967>; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 12:04:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA42988; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 22:53:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6437219 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 22:51:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA41916 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 22:51:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA21541 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 1997 22:51:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709280351.WAA21541@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 22:51:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0786794f6a52acf711d461281e52633f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 172 ABPZ20 KNHC 280350 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT SEP 27 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM OLAF LOCATED ABOUT 90 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626089-15967>; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 13:15:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA11982; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 00:08:57 -0500 Message-Id: <199709280508.AAA11982@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 00:02:49 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 26 Sep 1997 to 27 Sep 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: c105e934394c67052a50f2288f6c4da0 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 2 messages totalling 40 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Jarrell aftermath... 2. GMS Borneo Smog Image +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 27 Sep 1997 10:15:56 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Jarrell aftermath... In today's Washington Post... http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/WPlate/1997-09/27/075l-092797-idx.html Texas Town Digs Deep in Reconstruction Survivors Remain Dazed From Cruelty of Lethal May Tornado By Sue Anne Pressley Washington Post Staff Writer Saturday, September 27, 1997; Page A03 The Washington Post ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 09:42:23 +0900 From: Tokio Kikuchi Subject: GMS Borneo Smog Image Dear WX-Talkers, A WWW page containing GMS-5 Images of Borneo Smog approaching Peninsular Malaysia is on-line at http://weather.is.kochi-u.ac.jp/events/970926_Borneo_Smog/index.en.html It is also linked from Japanese Weather Page at http://www.is.kochi-u.ac.jp/weather/index.en.html Regards, Tokio Kikuchi Kochi University ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 26 Sep 1997 to 27 Sep 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626064-15968>; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 14:00:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA40334; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 00:52:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6437885 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 00:50:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA45662 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 00:50:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id AAA21926 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 00:50:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709280550.AAA21926@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 00:50:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Intermediate Advisory Number 7a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6931beb6513aa3469f9ab2a5a84fcd73 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 150 WTPZ32 KNHC 280549 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLAF INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 PM PDT SAT SEP 27 1997 ...OLAF NEARLY STATIONARY... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF WAS ESTIMATED TO BE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 94.5 WEST OR ABOUT 90 MILES...140 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO. OLAF HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY BUT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN A SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION ON SUNDAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF OLAF SHOULD CROSS THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA ON SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM ...FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. THE RAINFALL OVER SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO HAS DIMINISHED FOR THE TIME BEING..BUT MORE COULD SPREAD INLAND OVER THE WARNING AREA ON SUNDAY. REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...15.0 N... 94.5 W. MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT...SUNDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626088-15971>; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 14:09:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA46216; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 01:07:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6437917 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 01:05:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA46154 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 01:05:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA21977 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 01:05:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709280605.BAA21977@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 01:05:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7c1755a61df17d57d42d030245a88c3d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 403 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 280155Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 280000Z0 TYPHOON GINGER (24W), WAS LOCATED AT 24.5N1 157.8E1, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 115 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 22 (WTPN33 PGTW 280300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 7N7 174E2. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREA. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626083-15967>; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 14:38:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA46268; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 01:08:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6437922 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 01:07:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA32328 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 01:05:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA21976 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 01:05:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709280605.BAA21976@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 01:05:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4ab68673d1fc318d88a246a763c052a4 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 403 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 280155Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 280000Z0 TYPHOON GINGER (24W), WAS LOCATED AT 24.5N1 157.8E1, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 115 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 22 (WTPN33 PGTW 280300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 7N7 174E2. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREA. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626120-15968>; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 16:44:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA51234; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 03:28:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6438371 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 03:25:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA50906 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 03:25:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA22513 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 03:25:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709280825.DAA22513@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 03:25:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Discussion Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1571ea2676155358a6a53910e402f9db X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 127 WTPZ42 KNHC 280823 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN SEP 28 1997 THE CENTER IS MOST DIFFICULT TO LOCATE ON INFRARED IMAGERY. THE INITIAL MOTION GUESS IS 360/04. THE AVIATION MODEL BUILDS A RIDGE ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO WHICH SHOULD SEVERELY LIMIT ANY SIGNIFICANT NORTHWARD COMPONENT OF MOTION. THE GFDL MODEL MOVES THE STORM ACOSS MEXICO IN 24 HOURS AND LEAVES IT NEAR THE GULF COAST FROM 24 TO 72 HOURS. THE AVIATION MODEL ALLOWS THE CENTER TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO AFTER 48 HOURS. THE NOGAPS MODEL SOMEHOW MANAGES TO MOVE THE STORM SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS THE GENERAL IDEA OF THE GFDL...VERY SLOW MOSTLY NORTHWARD MOTION. THIS TRACK BRINGS THE CENTER INLAND IN 24 HOURS. THE APPEARANCE OF THE STORM ON INFRARED IMAGERY IS VERY RAGGED AND WITHOUT SYMMETRY. IF ADVISORIES WERE NOT BEING ISSUED ON THIS SYSTEM...I WOULD NOT START THEM NOW. HOWEVER THERE IS A SMALL AREA OF VERY COLD TOPS AND THE WIND SPEED IS KEPT AT 45 KNOTS UNTIL AFTER LANDFALL BECAUSE OF THIS DEEP CONVECTION. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 28/0900Z 15.5N 94.6W 45 KTS 12HR VT 28/1800Z 16.1N 94.6W 35 KTS 24HR VT 29/0600Z 17.0N 94.6W 25 KTS...INLAND 36HR VT 29/1800Z 17.8N 94.8W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 30/0600Z 18.5N 95.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 01/0600Z 19.0N 96.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:52:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626120-15967>; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 16:54:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA51406; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 03:31:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6438376 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 03:28:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA34800 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 03:25:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA22517 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 03:25:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709280825.DAA22517@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 03:25:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c07e63344f9b31f9bece009b4269f2cc X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 128 WTPZ22 KNHC 280824 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1797 0900Z SUN SEP 28 1997 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 94.6W AT 28/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 94.6W AT 28/0900Z AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 94.6W FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 16.1N 94.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 0NE 75SE 75SW 0NW FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 17.0N 94.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 17.8N 94.8W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 94.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 18.5N 95.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 19.0N 96.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:53:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626128-15960>; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 16:55:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA51282; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 03:34:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6438381 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 03:31:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA23756 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 03:31:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA22541 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 03:31:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709280831.DAA22541@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 03:31:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 747e303c6035cc4ac65ebc67fdc281fc X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 222 WTPZ32 KNHC 280830 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN SEP 28 1997 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.6 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES... 95 KM...SOUTHEAST OF SALINAS CRUZ MEXICO. OLAF IS DRIFTING SLOWLY NORTHWARD AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST UNTIL THE STORM MOVES INLAND. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM ...FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. THE RAINFALL OVER SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO HAS DIMINISHED FOR THE TIME BEING..BUT MORE COULD SPREAD INLAND OVER THE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...15.5 N... 94.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM PDT. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:53:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626122-15971>; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 17:05:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA51272; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 03:37:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6438386 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 03:34:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA23556 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 03:33:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA22545 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 03:33:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709280833.DAA22545@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 03:33:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ginger (24w) Warning Nr 023 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 54e260aa0f22f51f58afd8c0c12066f1 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 268 WTPN33 PGTW 280900 1. TYPHOON GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- 25.6N3 157.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.6N3 157.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 28.3N3 157.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 32.0N5 159.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 36.8N7 163.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 31 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 41.1N6 169.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 46.9N9 175.3W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 280900Z9 POSITION 26.3N1 157.7E0 TYPHOON GINGER (24W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AND HAS INCREASED SPEED TO 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWARD TO NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AND ACCELERATE. TYPHOON GINGER IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WITHIN THE NEXT 24-HOURS AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 48 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6 (DTG 281355Z4), 282100Z3 (DTG 281955Z0), 290300Z4 (DTG 290155Z2) AND 290900Z0 (DTG 290755Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:53:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626116-15968>; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 17:08:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA23692; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 03:38:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6438398 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 03:37:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA18500 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 03:34:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA22549 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 03:34:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709280834.DAA22549@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 03:34:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Discussion Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4277be08dd131eb661fe4a585bd0b1af X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 273 WTPZ42 KNHC 280832 COR TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN SEP 28 1997 CORRECTION TO 12 HOUR WIND SPEED FORECAST THE CENTER IS MOST DIFFICULT TO LOCATE ON INFRARED IMAGERY. THE INITIAL MOTION GUESS IS 360/04. THE AVIATION MODEL BUILDS A RIDGE ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO WHICH SHOULD SEVERELY LIMIT ANY SIGNIFICANT NORTHWARD COMPONENT OF MOTION. THE GFDL MODEL MOVES THE STORM ACOSS MEXICO IN 24 HOURS AND LEAVES IT NEAR THE GULF COAST FROM 24 TO 72 HOURS. THE AVIATION MODEL ALLOWS THE CENTER TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO AFTER 48 HOURS. THE NOGAPS MODEL SOMEHOW MANAGES TO MOVE THE STORM SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS THE GENERAL IDEA OF THE GFDL...VERY SLOW MOSTLY NORTHWARD MOTION. THIS TRACK BRINGS THE CENTER INLAND IN 24 HOURS. THE APPEARANCE OF THE STORM ON INFRARED IMAGERY IS VERY RAGGED AND WITHOUT SYMMETRY. IF ADVISORIES WERE NOT BEING ISSUED ON THIS SYSTEM...I WOULD NOT START THEM NOW. HOWEVER THERE IS A SMALL AREA OF VERY COLD TOPS AND THE WIND SPEED IS KEPT AT 45 KNOTS UNTIL AFTER LANDFALL BECAUSE OF THIS DEEP CONVECTION. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 28/0900Z 15.5N 94.6W 45 KTS 12HR VT 28/1800Z 16.1N 94.6W 45 KTS 24HR VT 29/0600Z 17.0N 94.6W 25 KTS...INLAND 36HR VT 29/1800Z 17.8N 94.8W 20 KTS...INLAND 48HR VT 30/0600Z 18.5N 95.0W 20 KTS...INLAND 72HR VT 01/0600Z 19.0N 96.0W 20 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:53:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626120-15960>; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 16:56:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA51262; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 03:40:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6438410 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 03:38:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA33414 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 03:34:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA22553 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 03:34:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709280834.DAA22553@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 03:34:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b620464fd0b3e977f4a58430d953d9ab X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 284 WTPZ22 KNHC 280833 COR TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1797 0900Z SUN SEP 28 1997 CORRECTION TO 12 HOUR WIND SPEED FORECAST A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 94.6W AT 28/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 94.6W AT 28/0900Z AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 94.6W FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 16.1N 94.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 0NE 75SE 75SW 0NW FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 17.0N 94.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 17.8N 94.8W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 94.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 18.5N 95.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 19.0N 96.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:53:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626130-15971>; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 18:11:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA27250; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 05:02:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6438836 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 05:00:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA09544 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 05:00:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA22786 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 05:00:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709281000.FAA22786@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 05:00:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0931ee93ba936cacaa5168df09b90bf1 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 538 ABPZ20 KNHC 280959 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN SEP 28 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM OLAF LOCATED ABOUT 60 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:53:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626130-15960>; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 18:14:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA36348; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 05:11:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6438843 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 05:10:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA33482 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 05:10:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA22811 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 05:10:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709281010.FAA22811@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 05:10:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 42b4e63f27da6a1258d96e1767bda742 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 767 ABPA20 PHNL 281000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210AM HST SUNDAY SEPTEMBER 28 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH MONDAY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:53:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626151-15971>; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 20:08:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id GAA36944; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 06:52:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6439090 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 06:51:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id GAA39464 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 06:51:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id GAA23054 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 06:51:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709281151.GAA23054@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 06:51:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Intermediate Advisory Number 8a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ac04cb2797691d3854f41f6f8980d955 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 435 WTPZ32 KNHC 281150 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLAF INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT SUN SEP 28 1997 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.7 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES... 70 KM...SOUTHEAST OF SALINAS CRUZ MEXICO. OLAF IS DRIFTING SLOWLY NORTHWARD AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST UNTIL THE STORM MOVES INLAND. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM ...FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. RAINFALL HAS AGAIN BEGAN TO SPREAD INLAND OVER THE WARNING AREA AND COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...15.7 N... 94.7 W. MOVEMENT... DRIFTING NORTHWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:53:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626125-15967>; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 21:09:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA36114; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 07:59:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6439399 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 07:57:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA51376 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 07:57:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id HAA23210 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 07:57:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709281257.HAA23210@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 07:57:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ginger (24w) Warning Nr 024 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1735916dac33945496c97d42fe1de029 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 349 WTPN33 PGTW 281500 1. TYPHOON GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 024 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- 26.8N6 157.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.8N6 157.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 29.8N9 158.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 33.5N1 160.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 37.6N6 164.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 30 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 41.4N9 170.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 47.2N3 173.9W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 281500Z6 POSITION 27.6N5 157.7E0 TYPHOON GINGER (24W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TURN NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TO NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TYPHOON GINGER IS FORECAST TO BE EXTRATROPICAL NEAR THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z3 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z3 (DTG 281955Z0), 290300Z4 (DTG 290155Z2), 290900Z0 (DTG 290755Z8) AND 291500Z7 (DTG 291355Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:53:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626169-15971>; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 22:38:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA18508; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 09:31:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6439868 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 09:30:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA52484 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 09:30:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA23462 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 09:30:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709281430.JAA23462@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 09:30:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Advisory Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 44740c3ad3e7f4dfbc216b811597b8a1 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 598 WTPZ32 KNHC 281430 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN SEP 28 1997 ...OLAF EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL LATER TODAY... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.6 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES...65 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO. OLAF IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD NEAR 5 MPH ... 7 KM/HR...AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS LIKELY UNTIL THE STORM MOVES INLAND. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE SPREADING INLAND OVER THE WARNING AREA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...16.0 N... 94.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:53:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626165-15967>; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 23:19:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA32896; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 09:33:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6439873 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 09:32:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA27180 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 09:30:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA23466 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 09:30:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709281430.JAA23466@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 09:30:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ffdc1b0d9bd002ac8671bbf80b0eb6d1 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 599 WTPZ22 KNHC 281430 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1797 1500Z SUN SEP 28 1997 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 94.6W AT 28/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 94.6W AT 28/1500Z AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 94.6W FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 16.4N 94.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 0NE 75SE 75SW 0NW FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 17.3N 94.8W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 18.0N 95.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 94.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 18.5N 95.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 19.0N 96.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:53:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626169-15968>; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 22:41:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA32992; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 09:34:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6439878 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 09:33:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA27236 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 09:32:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA23470 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 09:32:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709281432.JAA23470@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 09:32:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Discussion Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5e30bf1e3999bbb1bc2c6b41f30fc98f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 630 WTPZ42 KNHC 281431 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN SEP 28 1997 THE STORM STILL HAS A SMALL AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER AND CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS 45 KNOTS. THE 12Z OBSERVATION FROM BAHIAS DE HUATULCO...ABOUT 125 MILES WEST OF THE CENTER... SHOWED NORTHERELY WINDS OF ONLY 4 KNOTS WITH A 1006.4 MB PRESSURE. HOWEVER THE EXPOSURE OF THAT STATION MAY NOT BE VERY GOOD. OLAF SHOULD MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL MOVING INLAND. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST SHOWS THE SYSTEM DISSIPATING THROUGHOUT THE LATTER PART OF THE PERIOD...HOWEVER THE CYCLONE MAY BE GONE SOONER THAN THAT. MOTION ESTIMATE IS SLOWLY NORTHWARD. THE CURRENT NHC FORECAST IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ONE. MOST OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE SHOWS A TURN TO THE LEFT...IN RESPSONE TO A RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THIS WOULD KEEP THE SYSTEM INVOLVED WITH THE MOUNTAINOUS LAND MASS OF MEXICO. THERE IS STILL A CHANCE THAT OLAF COULD SLIDE TO THE EAST OF THIS RIDGE...AND REDEVELOP OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. THE LATTER SCENARIO LOOKS UNLIKELY AT THIS TIME. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 28/1500Z 16.0N 94.6W 45 KTS 12HR VT 29/0000Z 16.4N 94.6W 40 KTS...INLAND 24HR VT 29/1200Z 17.3N 94.8W 25 KTS...INLAND 36HR VT 30/0000Z 18.0N 95.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 30/1200Z 18.5N 95.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 01/1200Z 19.0N 96.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:53:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626240-15967>; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 00:38:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA52484; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 11:31:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6441111 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 11:29:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA44126 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 11:29:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id LAA23817 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 11:29:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709281629.LAA23817@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 11:29:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1b07335e67fc35bef0e1bf9f4286a27d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 822 ABPZ20 KNHC 281628 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN SEP 28 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM OLAF LOCATED ABOUT 40 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:53:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626245-15971>; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 01:39:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA51378; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 12:35:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6441819 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 12:34:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA28722 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 12:34:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA24016 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 12:34:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709281734.MAA24016@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 12:34:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 86bd142f646d2cc1d6e772c135f45428 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 899 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/281800Z/291800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 01:53:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626245-15968>; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 01:40:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA51430; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 12:37:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6441824 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 12:35:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA34608 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 12:34:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA24017 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 12:34:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709281734.MAA24017@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 12:34:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6ba13a1e40a08a640c3391e412f18e2b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 899 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/281800Z/291800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 02:14:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626259-15960>; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 02:03:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA28766; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 12:41:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6441859 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 12:40:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA32104 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 12:38:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA24041 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 12:38:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709281738.MAA24041@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 12:38:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Vpacmetoccen West Gu//9++63<08946 >94 5#3 8,$8-, To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f2f9f31913966c1d2195004a795799f1 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 949 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/N VPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//9++63<08946 >94 5#3 8,$8-, 9:3-,/281800Z/291800E SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRIC17+,9,3. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.9# 2. ;975# 8,$8-, 9:3-, -43- (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARYC NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 02:14:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626245-15971>; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 02:04:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA34794; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 12:40:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6441854 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 12:38:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA34666 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 12:38:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA24042 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 12:38:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709281738.MAA24042@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 12:38:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Vpacmetoccen West Gu//9++63<08946 >94 5#3 8,$8-, To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0c14e10e0d72788f6b68c88adf995f5c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 949 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/N VPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//9++63<08946 >94 5#3 8,$8-, 9:3-,/281800Z/291800E SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRIC17+,9,3. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.9# 2. ;975# 8,$8-, 9:3-, -43- (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARYC NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 02:14:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626253-15960>; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 02:02:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA46262; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 12:56:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6441909 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 12:54:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA32334 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 12:54:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA24093 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 12:54:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709281754.MAA24093@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 12:54:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Intermediate Advisory Number 9a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ba1d6ad60bbafe70b206a14d2f25d9b7 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 144 WTPZ32 KNHC 281751 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLAF INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT SUN SEP 28 1997 ...OLAF VERY NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.6 WEST. THIS POSITION IS CLOSE TO THE COASTLINE AND ABOUT 40 MILES...65 KM...EAST OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO. OLAF IS DRIFTING SLOWLY NORTHWARD...AND SHOULD MOVE INLAND DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS LIKELY AFTER THE CENTER MOVES INLAND. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE SPREADING INLAND OVER THE WARNING AREA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...16.1 N... 94.6 W. MOVEMENT... DRIFTING NORTHWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 09:43:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626259-15960>; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 03:17:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA25334; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 14:08:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6442304 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 14:06:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA34730 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 14:06:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id OAA24402 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 14:06:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709281906.OAA24402@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 14:06:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ginger (24w) Warning Nr 025 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4cf7ca28f8531db65f202c39b961da70 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 855 WTPN33 PGTW 282100 1. TYPHOON GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 025 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281800Z9 --- 28.2N2 157.6E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 005 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.2N2 157.6E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 32.1N6 159.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 35.7N5 162.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 39.6N8 167.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 31 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 42.5N1 175.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 33 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 45.0N9 167.2W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 282100Z3 POSITION 29.2N3 158.0E4 TYPHOON GINGER (24W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TURN NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TYPHOON GINGER IS FORECAST TO BE EXTRATROPICAL NEAR THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z9 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z4 (DTG 290155Z2), 290900Z0 (DTG 290755Z8), 291500Z7 (DTG 291355Z5) AND 292100Z4 (DTG 291955Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 09:43:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626240-15971>; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 04:48:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA24384; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 15:39:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6442858 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 15:37:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA51406 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 15:37:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA24742 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 15:37:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709282037.PAA24742@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 15:37:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Discussion Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 21b0d88f717d78a3fac908bd23723191 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 269 WTPZ42 KNHC 282037 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN SEP 28 1997 IT IS DIFFICULT TO BE PRECISE WITH ONLY SATELLITE IMAGERY...BUT THE CENTER APPEARS TO BE MOVING INLAND JUST TO THE EAST OF SALINA CRUZ. THEREFORE WEAKENING SHOULD COMMENCE. ASSUMING THAT THE CENTER REMAINS OVER LAND...DISSIPATION SHOULD TAKE PLACE BEFORE THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. IN FACT...GIVEN THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN AHEAD OF OLAF...IT COULD DIE RATHER QUICKLY. THE LATEST RUN OF THE NCEP GLOBAL MODEL CONTINUES TO SHOW A MID- TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS FEATURE SHOULD DISCOURAGE ANY SIGNIFICANT NORTHWARD EXCURSION OF OLAF...OR ITS REMNANTS...INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO. MOST OF THE OBJECTIVE GUIDANCE SHOW A PRONOUNCED LEFTWARD TURN IN THE FORECAST TRACK. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST DOES NOT TURN OLAF AS EMPHATICALLY TO THE WEST SINCE THE GFDL MODEL FORECASTS THE SYSTEM TO BE NEAR THE BAY OF CAMPECHE COAST IN A DAY OR SO. HOWEVER EVEN THAT MODEL DOES NOT MOVE OLAF VERY MUCH INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 28/2100Z 16.2N 94.7W 40 KTS 12HR VT 29/0600Z 16.7N 94.9W 30 KTS...INLAND 24HR VT 29/1800Z 17.5N 95.2W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 30/0600Z 18.2N 95.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 30/1800Z 18.5N 96.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 09:43:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626253-15960>; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 04:49:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA25322; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 15:40:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6442881 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 15:39:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA51206 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 15:38:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA24747 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 15:38:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709282038.PAA24747@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 15:38:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3accfe56e53eb50451ded240a4146c82 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 270 WTPZ22 KNHC 282038 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1797 2100Z SUN SEP 28 1997 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. THIS WARNING WILL LIKELY BE LOWERED SOON. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 94.7W AT 28/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 94.7W AT 28/2100Z AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 94.7W FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 16.7N 94.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 17.5N 95.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 18.2N 95.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 94.7W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 18.5N 96.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 09:43:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626240-15968>; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 04:48:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA25142; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 15:42:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6442888 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 15:41:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA24462 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 15:39:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA24751 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 15:39:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709282039.PAA24751@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 15:39:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Advisory Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ee0d8dea21bbfc46ef279c71d6735ed3 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 317 WTPZ32 KNHC 282039 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN SEP 28 1997 ...OLAF MOVING INLAND... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. THIS WARNING WILL LIKELY BE LOWERED SOON. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.7 WEST. THIS POSITION IS ON THE COAST ABOUT 35 MILES...55 KM...EAST OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO. OLAF IS DRIFTING GENERALLY NORTHWARD AND THIS MOTION WILL BRING THE CENTER FARTHER INLAND TODAY AND TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE TO SPREAD INLAND OVER THE WARNING AREA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...16.2 N... 94.7 W. MOVEMENT... DRIFTING NORTHWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 09:43:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626268-15971>; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 06:03:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA34838; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 16:59:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6443300 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 16:57:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA32144 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 16:57:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA25045 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 16:57:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709282157.QAA25045@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 16:57:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b879a557689bd0095ec0abea28cfd27c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 534 ABPA20 PHNL 282200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST SUN SEP 28 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH MONDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 09:43:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626111-15971>; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 06:13:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA44064; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 17:06:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6443356 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 17:05:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA32234 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 17:05:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA25081 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 17:05:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709282205.RAA25081@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 17:05:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 61f220c80535c3a439b253e18b837ad3 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 665 ABPZ20 KNHC 282203 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN SEP 28 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM OLAF LOCATED ON THE COAST OF MEXICO ABOUT 35 MILES EAST OF SALINA CRUZ. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 09:43:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626001-7299>; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 07:54:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA50460; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 18:43:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6443738 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 18:41:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id SAA32990 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 18:41:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id SAA25589 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 18:41:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709282341.SAA25589@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 18:41:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Intermediate Advisory Number 10a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0c5417990f64c93d6a3f0ab30ae58328 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 378 WTPZ32 KNHC 282341 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLAF INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT SUN SEP 28 1997 ...OLAF ON THE COAST OF MEXICO...MOVING LITTLE... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. THIS WARNING WILL LIKELY BE LOWERED SOON. AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.9 WEST. THIS POSITION IS ON THE COAST JUST EAST OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO. OLAF HAS MOVED LITTLE OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS...BUT IS EXPECTED TO RESUME A DRIFT TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHWEST LATER TONIGHT. THIS MOTION WILL SLOWLY BRING THE CENTER FARTHER INLAND. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS OLAF MOVES INLAND AND THE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY DISSIPATE WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE TO SPREAD INLAND OVER THE WARNING AREA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...16.2 N...94.9 W. MOVEMENT... NEARLY STATIONARY BUT EXPECTED TO RESUME A DRIFT TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 10:11:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625879-7295>; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 10:12:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA27230; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 21:00:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6445679 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 20:58:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA35018 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 20:58:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id UAA26127 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 20:58:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709290158.UAA26127@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 20:58:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ginger (24w) Warning Nr 026 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 77828e717187acd4af20b9d86c1f17f5 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 839 WTPN33 PGTW 290300 1. TYPHOON GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 026 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- 29.5N6 158.6E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.5N6 158.6E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 32.9N4 160.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 37.3N3 165.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 40.9N3 171.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 34 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 44.1N9 179.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 34 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 46.6N6 161.4W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION 30.4N7 159.2E7 TYPHOON GINGER (24W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AND HAS INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED TO 16 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHEAST TO EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AND ACCELERATE. TYPHOON GINGER IS FORECAST TO BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION NEAR THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL AT THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z1 IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290900Z0 (DTG 290755Z8), 291500Z7 (DTG 291355Z5), 292100Z4 (DTG 291955Z1) AND 300300Z6 (DTG 300155Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 14:14:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626141-7292>; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 10:56:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA23922; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 21:49:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6446047 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 21:47:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA25812 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 21:47:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA26294 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 21:47:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709290247.VAA26294@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 21:47:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Advisory Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f66e6edd6b358a683f11275568e6162a X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 755 WTPZ32 KNHC 290246 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN SEP 28 1997 ...OLAF HUGGING THE COAST OF MEXICO...DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.2 WEST. THIS POSITION IS ON THE COAST NEAR SALINA CRUZ MEXICO. OLAF HAS BEEN MEANDERING FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS...WHILE SHOWING LITTLE OVERALL MOVEMENT. IT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN A DRIFT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST LATER TONIGHT. THIS MOTION WILL SLOWLY BRING THE CENTER FARTHER INLAND. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS OLAF INTERACTS WITH LAND...AND THE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY DISSIPATE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE TO SPREAD INLAND OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...PRIMARILY THE STATE OF OAXACA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...16.2 N... 95.2 W. MOVEMENT ...NEARLY STATIONARY BUT EXPECTED TO BEGIN A DRIFT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT...MONDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 14:14:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625879-7295>; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 10:58:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA24060; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 21:50:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6446052 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 21:49:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA19932 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 21:47:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA26298 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 21:47:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709290247.VAA26298@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 21:47:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Discussion Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 157084ed17f3bda2fe26f32c21e9fc45 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 756 WTPZ42 KNHC 290247 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN SEP 28 1997 LAST LIGHT VISIBLE IMAGERY CONTINUED TO SHOW A SMALL BUT WELL- DEFINED CIRCULATION...WHILE INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS ONLY MINIMAL DEEP CONVECTION REMAINING. OLAF IS DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AND THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS. ABOUT HALF OF THE CIRCULATION IS CURRENTLY OVER LAND...AND THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. IT WILL LIKELY BE DECLARED DISSIPATED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS...PROVIDED THE CENTER REMAINS OVER LAND. OLAF DRIFTED NORTHWARD DURING THE DAY...BUT HAS BEEN QUASI- STATIONARY OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. THIS IS TYPICAL OF SLOW MOVING SYSTEMS AS THEY BEGIN TO INTERACT WITH THE LAND. 500 MB HEIGHTS AT VERA CRUZ...MEXICO CITY...AND MANZANILLO FROM 0000Z SOUNDINGS HAVE ALL INCREASED...WHILE THE WINDS HAVE BECOME MORE EASTERLY. THIS INDICATES A STRENGTHENING RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF OLAF THAT APPEARS TO HAVE BLOCKED THE NORTHWARD MOTION THAT OCCURRED DURING MOST OF THE DAY. MOST TRACK PREDICTION MODELS...AS WELL AS OUR OFFICIAL FORECAST...SUGGEST A SLOW NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION SHOULD BEGIN IN RESPONSE TO THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH. ON THIS TRACK ...PART OF THE CIRCULATION IS EXPECTED TO INTERACT WITH TERRAIN OVER 10000 FEET IN ELEVATION...WHICH SHOULD HELP DISRUPT THE CIRCULATION EVEN MORE. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/0300Z 16.2N 95.2W 30 KTS 12HR VT 29/1200Z 16.5N 95.5W 25 KTS...INLAND...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 30/0000Z 17.0N 96.5W 20 KTS...INLAND...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 30/1200Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 14:15:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626116-7292>; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 11:00:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA24040; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 21:53:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6446086 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 21:51:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA44902 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 21:49:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA26303 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 21:49:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709290249.VAA26303@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 21:49:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 31636aa3fcd3e3f0c881b68547da786e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 772 WTPZ22 KNHC 290248 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1797 0300Z MON SEP 29 1997 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 95.2W AT 29/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT...NEARLY STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 95.2W AT 29/0300Z AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 95.0W FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 16.5N 95.5W...INLAND...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 17.0N 96.5W...INLAND...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 95.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 14:15:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626141-7299>; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 11:59:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA25516; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 22:52:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6446579 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 22:50:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA36164 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 22:50:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA26778 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 1997 22:50:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709290350.WAA26778@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 22:50:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bcbf1dc790a632e29cc05b11817ce548 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 907 ABPZ20 KNHC 290348 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN SEP 28 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF LOCATED ON THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR SALINA CRUZ. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 14:15:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626156-7292>; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 13:10:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA16562; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 00:05:39 -0500 Message-Id: <199709290505.AAA16562@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Sep 1997 00:01:25 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 27 Sep 1997 to 28 Sep 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 375efe8e1aac0f006a0518c2dffb459f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 5 messages totalling 88 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Subtropical Jet 2. Weather Station And Grounding??? 3. WX-TALK Digest - 25 Sep 1997 to 26 Sep 1997 4. Weather Radio 5. Broadcast Meteorology +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 09:17:15 -0500 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Subtropical Jet Where is the subtropical jet? It seems overdue, especially since an ENSO event is underway. Sam Barricklow http://www.stormchaser.net/k5kj ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 15:41:35 GMT From: Tony Heatwole Subject: Weather Station And Grounding??? I'm consitering buying a Radio Shack weather station. And I'm wonderig weather it needs to be grounded or not? For lighting portection. Since it does contain metal parts. Any help is appreciated. Thanks a lot in advance and for reading. Nat Heatwole heatwole@clark.net ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 15:02:45 CDT From: Jose Barral Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 25 Sep 1997 to 26 Sep 1997 To: richard.whitenight@chrysalis.org rwhitenigh@aol.com Try "THE EYEWALL" http://www.geocities.com/TheTropics/Shores/7311/ I have found it very remarkable best +-----------------------------------------+ | Nombre: Jose Fernando Barral Caballero | | E-mail: josefo@infosel.net.mx | | http://www.uat.mx/Vinculos/planeta/ | | Tel/Fax: (131) 5-12-15 | | Date: 28/09/97 | | Time: 3:02:45 PM | +-----------------------------------------+ ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 16:59:17 -0700 From: Josiah A Mault Subject: Weather Radio Hi! Does anybody know where I can get a weather radio that has 7 channels and alert that's at a reasonably cheap price and not at RadioShack??? THANKS!! Josiah ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 28 Sep 1997 21:31:33 -0400 From: Michael Brennan Subject: Broadcast Meteorology Hey Wx-Talkers, I'm a junior in the meteorology program at NC State. I'm currently looking for sources for a research paper on broadcast meteorology. I'm especially looking for some broadcast/NWS mets with opinions on the interaction between the NWS and the broadcast industry, and for some insight on the future of the industry. If you could help me out, drop me a line via email at mjbrenna@eos.ncsu.edu Thanks a lot! Mike Brennan ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 27 Sep 1997 to 28 Sep 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Sep 29 14:15:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625947-7292>; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 14:02:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA27684; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 00:58:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6448132 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 00:55:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA27826 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 00:55:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id AAA27195 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 00:55:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709290555.AAA27195@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Sep 1997 00:55:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6c13e2b8046e0453d073e0167074c2b4 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 017 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 290155Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 290000Z1 TYPHOON GINGER (24W), WAS LOCATED AT 29.5N6 158.6E0, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 26 (WTPN33 PGTW 290300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 174E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREA. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 14:15:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625929-7292>; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 14:12:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA50752; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 01:01:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6448137 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 00:58:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA19888 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 00:55:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id AAA27194 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 00:55:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709290555.AAA27194@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Sep 1997 00:55:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cabba22d1de4e26ac88db7f2bfc14aa2 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 017 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z SEP 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 290155Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 290000Z1 TYPHOON GINGER (24W), WAS LOCATED AT 29.5N6 158.6E0, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 26 (WTPN33 PGTW 290300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 174E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREA. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL/EIBLING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 16:27:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626315-7295>; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 16:13:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA45580; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 03:02:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6448703 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 02:59:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA25684 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 02:59:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA27497 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 02:59:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709290759.CAA27497@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Sep 1997 02:59:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ginger (24w) Warning Nr 027 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: be73f9d3d5513f401c700d40e4cda119 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 435 WTPN33 PGTW 290900 1. TYPHOON GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 027 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290600Z7 --- 31.4N8 159.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 22 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 31.4N8 159.8E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 35.9N7 164.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 40.2N6 169.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 43.1N8 177.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 34 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 45.4N3 173.6W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 66 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 36 KTS --- 66 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 45.4N3 158.3W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 290900Z0 POSITION 32.5N0 160.8E5 TYPHOON GINGER (24W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AND HAS ACCELERATED TO 22 KNOTS. TYPHOON GINGER IS FORECAST TO BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL NEAR THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND EXTRATROPICAL BY 301200Z6. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z7 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7 (DTG 291355Z5), 292100Z4 (DTG 291955Z1), 300300Z6 (DTG 300155Z4) AND 300900Z2 (DTG 300755Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 16:55:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626292-7297>; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 16:29:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA13704; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 03:24:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6448844 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 03:21:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA25590 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 03:21:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA27715 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 03:21:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709290821.DAA27715@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Sep 1997 03:21:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Discussion Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: eca7b284d8fc91e9567e528237927332 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 864 WTPZ42 KNHC 290820 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON SEP 29 1997 THE LOW LEVEL CENTER...IF IT STILL EXISTS..IS VERY DIFFICULT TO L0CATE ON INFRARED IMAGERY. IT IS ASSUMED TO BE DRIFTING SLOWLY WESTWARD AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS LOCATED TO ITS NORTH. ALL OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS SHOWS A MODERATE MOSTLY WESTWARD MOTION FOR THE NEXT 3 DAYS EXCEPT THE GFLD WHICH KEEPS THE DEPRESSION ALMOST STATIONARY. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS A SLOW WESTWARD DRIFT. THE CLOUD STRUCTURE REMAINS RAGGED BUT THERE IS SOME DEEP CONVECTION AND A HINT OF CYCLONIC TURNING. WITH AT LEAST HALF OF THE CIRCULATION OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE SHORTLY. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/0900Z 16.1N 95.6W 30 KTS 12HR VT 29/1800Z 16.2N 96.1W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 30/0600Z 16.2N 97.0W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 30/1800Z 16.2N 98.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 01/0600Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 16:55:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626297-7292>; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 16:31:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA44134; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 03:27:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6448863 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 03:24:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA49452 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 03:22:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA27719 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 03:22:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709290822.DAA27719@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Sep 1997 03:22:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3be1dafe5637cc7461cff50327b7e5b8 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 868 WTPZ22 KNHC 290821 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1797 0900Z MON SEP 29 1997 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 95.6W AT 29/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 95.6W AT 29/0900Z AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 95.5W FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 16.2N 96.1W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 16.2N 97.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 16.2N 98.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 95.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 16:55:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626397-7297>; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 16:51:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA52678; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 03:30:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6448905 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 03:27:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA50924 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 03:27:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA27733 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 03:27:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709290827.DAA27733@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Sep 1997 03:27:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Advisory Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c8d80e7ab194f815033174fa240b272a X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 946 WTPZ32 KNHC 290826 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON SEP 29 1997 THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.6 WEST. THIS POSITION IS NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO ABOUT 25 MILES...45 KM...WEST OF SALINA CRUZ. THE DEPRESSION IS DRIFTING SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...16.1 N... 95.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 16:55:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626315-7297>; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 16:52:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA45626; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 03:33:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6448914 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 03:30:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA46154 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 03:29:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA27737 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 03:29:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709290829.DAA27737@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Sep 1997 03:29:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Discussion Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 60b3f217b66ccc1179ef3821b6404202 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 981 WTPZ42 KNHC 290828 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON SEP 29 1997 THE LOW LEVEL CENTER...IF IT STILL EXISTS..IS VERY DIFFICULT TO L0CATE ON INFRARED IMAGERY. IT IS ASSUMED TO BE DRIFTING SLOWLY WESTWARD AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS LOCATED TO ITS NORTH. ALL OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS SHOWS A MODERATE MOSTLY WESTWARD MOTION FOR THE NEXT 3 DAYS EXCEPT THE GFDL WHICH KEEPS THE DEPRESSION ALMOST STATIONARY. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS A SLOW WESTWARD DRIFT. THE CLOUD STRUCTURE REMAINS RAGGED BUT THERE IS SOME DEEP CONVECTION AND A HINT OF CYCLONIC TURNING. WITH AT LEAST HALF OF THE CIRCULATION OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE SHORTLY. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/0900Z 16.1N 95.6W 30 KTS 12HR VT 29/1800Z 16.2N 96.1W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 30/0600Z 16.2N 97.0W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 30/1800Z 16.2N 98.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 01/0600Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 18:10:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626315-7292>; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 17:54:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA29826; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 04:51:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6449752 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 04:48:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA20436 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 04:48:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA27935 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 04:48:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709290948.EAA27935@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Sep 1997 04:48:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 915378804a29f82950f20bccec033af8 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 261 ABPA20 PHNL 291000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST MONDAY SEPTEMBER 29 1997 WEATHER IN THE TROPICAL CENTRAL PACIFIC IS REMARKABLY CALM TONIGHT. THERE ARE NO ORGANIZED TROPICAL DISTURBANCES...IN FACT THERE ARE VERY FEW THUNDERSTORMS AT ALL. I EXPECT NO TROPICAL CYCLONES IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Sep 29 22:21:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626327-7299>; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 18:48:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA24464; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 05:43:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6450033 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 05:40:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA23838 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 05:40:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA28073 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 05:40:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709291040.FAA28073@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Sep 1997 05:40:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 638cf69c4719a6dfda698ab3a2953841 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 245 ABPZ20 KNHC 291038 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON SEP 29 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF LOCATED ON THE COAST OF MEXICO ABOUT 25 MILES WEST OF SALINA CRUZ. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 30 09:05:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626382-7295>; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 22:49:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA28904; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 09:42:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6451989 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 09:39:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA25596 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 09:36:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA28976 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 09:36:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709291436.JAA28976@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Sep 1997 09:36:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Advisory Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7a6f438e23d087ad01f68505bb6e92b9 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 932 WTPZ32 KNHC 291435 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT MON SEP 29 1997 ...OLAF DISSIPATING... AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.0 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES...80 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF HUATULCO MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH ... 9 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS DISSIPATING. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. RAINS OVER SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...16.0 N... 97.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON OLAF...UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 30 09:05:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626077-7297>; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 22:47:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA28912; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 09:39:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6451981 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 09:36:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA42496 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 09:36:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA28980 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 09:36:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709291436.JAA28980@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Sep 1997 09:36:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2477e9035f4f8bcc5aa4e0b54f07b56e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 933 WTPZ22 KNHC 291435 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1797 1500Z MON SEP 29 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 97.0W AT 29/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 100 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 97.0W AT 29/1500Z AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 96.7W FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 16.0N 98.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 97.0W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON OLAF...UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 30 09:05:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625946-7292>; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 22:52:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA41136; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 09:46:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6452026 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 09:43:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA25400 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 09:37:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA28986 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 09:37:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709291437.JAA28986@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Sep 1997 09:37:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Discussion Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9fb5d2e79e06df0aeab52726f04e57a4 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 973 WTPZ42 KNHC 291436 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT MON SEP 29 1997 THE CENTER IS NO LONGER IDENTIFIABLE...EVEN ON HIGH-RESOLUTION VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES. THUS THE CURRENT POSITION IS AN EDUCATED GUESS...AND THE MOTION IS ASSUMED TO BE SLOWLY WESTWARD AS BEFORE. ALTHOUGH THERE IS A CHANCE THAT THE SYSTEM COULD RE-ORGANIZE OVER THE PACIFIC...THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/1500Z 16.0N 97.0W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 12HR VT 30/0000Z 16.0N 98.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 30/1200Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 30 09:05:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626482-7297>; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 23:34:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA13712; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 10:23:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6452531 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 10:21:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA49950 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 10:21:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id KAA29254 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 10:21:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709291521.KAA29254@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Sep 1997 10:21:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ginger (24w) Warning Nr 028 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 78403023a3f30e60e1dd54d3c4563be7 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 813 WTPN33 PGTW 291500 1. TYPHOON GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 028 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- 33.2N8 161.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 25 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 33.2N8 161.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 37.2N2 167.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 41.2N7 173.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 34 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 43.8N5 178.4W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 34 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 44.8N6 168.9W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 34 KTS --- 60 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 44.7N5 159.3W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 291500Z7 POSITION 34.2N9 163.2E2 TYPHOON GINGER (24W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 25 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TYPHOON GINGER IS FORECAST TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL NEAR THE 24- HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z4 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z4 (DTG 291955Z1), 300300Z6 (DTG 300155Z4), 300900Z2 (DTG 300755Z0) AND 301500Z9 (DTG 301355Z7).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG47212721355 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 30 09:05:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626382-7295>; Tue, 30 Sep 1997 00:27:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA27378; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 11:18:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6453324 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 11:17:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA09734 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 11:17:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id LAA29527 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 11:16:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709291616.LAA29527@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Sep 1997 11:16:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d36e1cdb8e23d7130ca13c661447d2f4 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 728 ABPZ20 KNHC 291615 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON SEP 29 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE LAST ADVISORY ON DISSIPATING TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF... LOCATED ABOUT 50 MILES WEST- NORTHWEST OF HUATULCO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 30 09:05:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626489-7297>; Tue, 30 Sep 1997 01:32:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA50576; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 12:30:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6454252 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 12:28:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA52862 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 12:28:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA29964 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 12:28:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709291728.MAA29964@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Sep 1997 12:28:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 74a51f28fe9023940fcf37349935c2d4 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 102 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/291800Z/301800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 30 09:05:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626539-7299>; Tue, 30 Sep 1997 01:33:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA26872; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 12:31:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6454263 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 12:30:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA26792 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 12:28:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA29963 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 12:28:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709291728.MAA29963@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Sep 1997 12:28:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 461ac3e72cd50b479fe12d5e5188bb1d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 102 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/291800Z/301800Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 30 09:05:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626398-7295>; Tue, 30 Sep 1997 04:59:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA41862; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 14:45:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6455455 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 14:31:59 -0500 Received: from dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.43]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA21690 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 14:30:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by dwarf.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) with ESMTP id OAA12024 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 14:30:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id OAA00685 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 14:26:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709291926.OAA00685@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Sep 1997 14:26:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ginger (24w) Warning Nr 029 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6b9223f4bbca163381b12ebe0e54acc0 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 612 WTPN33 PGTW 292100 1. TYPHOON GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 029 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291800Z0 --- 36.1N0 164.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 38 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 36.1N0 164.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 41.2N7 171.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 43.9N6 178.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 44.8N6 173.3W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 30 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 45.2N1 164.8W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 54 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 54 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 45.2N1 160.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 292100Z4 POSITION 37.4N4 166.3E6 TYPHOON GINGER (24W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 38 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD TO EASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND TO WEAKEN. TYPHOON GINGER IS FORECAST TO BE EXTRATROPICAL BY 301200Z6. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z0 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6 (DTG 300155Z4), 300900Z2 (DTG 300755Z0), 301500Z9 (DTG 301355Z7) AND 302100Z6 DTG 301955Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 30 09:05:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626506-7295>; Tue, 30 Sep 1997 05:14:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA41604; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 15:45:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6455606 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 15:43:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA31230 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 15:07:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA01005 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 15:07:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709292007.PAA01005@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Sep 1997 15:07:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ginger (24w) Warning Nr 029 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9aff666cfb423a68ec4e60846a98c12a X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 113 WTPN33 PGTW 292100 1. TYPHOON GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 029 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHGSGG4783 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 291800Z0 --- 36.1N0 164.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 38 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 36.1N0 164.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 41.2N7 171.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG4783 UNCLAS 120 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 43.9N6 178.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 44.8N6 173.3W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 30 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 45.2N1 164.8W9 PAGE 04 RUHGSGG4783 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 54 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 54 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 45.2N1 160.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 292100Z4 POSITION 37.4N4 166.3E6 TYPHOON GINGER (24W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 38 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD TO EASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND TO WEAKEN. TYPHOON GINGER IS FORECAST TO BE EXTRATROPICAL BY 301200Z6. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z0 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6 (DTG 300155Z4), 300900Z2 (DTG 300755Z0), 301500Z9 (DTG 301355Z7) AND 302100Z6 DTG (301955Z3).// PAGE 05 RUHGSGG4783 UNCLAS BT #4783 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 30 09:05:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626705-7297>; Tue, 30 Sep 1997 06:04:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA15812; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 16:54:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6456800 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 16:52:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA14128 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 16:52:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA01483 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 16:52:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709292152.QAA01483@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Sep 1997 16:52:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9c2e84075a32f4c48ece3fd63b057442 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 822 ABPA20 PHNL 292200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST MONDAY SEPTEMBER 29 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 30 09:05:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626705-7297>; Tue, 30 Sep 1997 06:24:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA21452; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 17:15:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6457001 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 17:13:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA25414 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 17:12:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA01568 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 17:12:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709292212.RAA01568@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Sep 1997 17:12:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8abc0ef6a6cdb65284fbee9b64655559 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 191 ABPZ20 KNHC 292209 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON SEP 29 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS EXISTS OFF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO. EMBEDDED WITHIN THIS CLOUDINESS IS THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS NOT ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME...BUT THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REDEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 30 11:21:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626399-25275>; Tue, 30 Sep 1997 10:32:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA50036; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 21:25:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6459645 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 21:23:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA14526 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 21:17:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA02459 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 21:17:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709300217.VAA02459@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Sep 1997 21:17:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ginger (24w) Warning Nr 030 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 949699f31adff3b493553dab1412423c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 778 WTPN33 PGTW 300300 1. TYPHOON GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 030 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- 40.1N5 168.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 46 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 40.1N5 168.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 44.3N1 176.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 34 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 45.3N2 173.7W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 45.5N4 164.8W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 25 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 45.8N7 157.7W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION 41.2N7 170.4E2 TYPHOON GINGER (24W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 46 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS EXPECTED TO BE COMPLETE WITHIN 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z2 (DTG 300755Z0).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 30 12:11:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626502-25275>; Tue, 30 Sep 1997 11:58:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA41582; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 22:50:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6460601 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 22:49:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA22748 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 22:49:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA03682 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 1997 22:48:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709300348.WAA03682@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 29 Sep 1997 22:48:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fadf7f9465781806598bc44858e5947e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 429 ABPZ20 KNHC 300344 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON SEP 29 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS EXISTS OFF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO. EMBEDDED WITHIN THIS CLOUDINESS IS THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF LOCATED ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS NOT ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME...BUT THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REDEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 30 13:17:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626515-25277>; Tue, 30 Sep 1997 13:12:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA47340; Tue, 30 Sep 1997 00:06:17 -0500 Message-Id: <199709300506.AAA47340@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 30 Sep 1997 00:02:53 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 28 Sep 1997 to 29 Sep 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 23b90f21f530eb398b4e46a36273d350 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 3 messages totalling 124 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. TV Met Job Available 2. Weather Station And Grounding??? 3. Weather Radio +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 29 Sep 1997 09:05:53 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: TV Met Job Available The following appeared in SHOPTALK (http://www.tvspy.com) ..Chris.. MORNING METEOROLOGIST (WPBN) Can you handle rapidly-changing Great Lakes weather with accuracy, immediacy and style? We need a versatile forecaster with personality for our newly-expanded morning newscast serving northern Michigan. Meteorology degree or equivalent preferred, AMS Seal a plus. VHS tape & resume to Joe Kirik, News Director, WPBN-TV, 8518 M-72 West, Traverse City, MI 49684. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 29 Sep 1997 22:27:55 GMT From: Bill Ricker Subject: Re: Weather Station And Grounding??? In article <60ltrf$skp@clarknet.clark.net>, Tony Heatwole wrote: > I'm consitering buying a Radio Shack weather station. And I'm wonderig > weather it needs to be grounded or not? For lighting portection. Since it > does contain metal parts. Any help is appreciated. Thanks a lot in advance > and for reading. You can check at the Tandy Support web pages to read the owners manual before you buy what THEY say. http://support.tandy.com/ However, you should know that your local building code / building inspector is likely to answer this question with a resounding yes, and your home insurance carrier is likely to have written in the policy that not only must the unit be UL approved and installed as specified but that you follow local code and the National Electrical Code. As a basic rule of thumb, if it looks like a ground rod to the sky, it ought to be grounded to the ground better than any thing else in the vicinity -- which typically means better than the upstairs bathtub and electrical wiring, and the downspouts (which while perhaps not technically grounded have a pretty short gap at the bottom, run pretty straight, and have a lots of conductive surface area), any of which would be attractive to a charge that had focused on your poor little metal spikey bits. Even if you don't take a direct hit, the electronics in the control box could get really frazled if the wire brings the atmospheric charge down to those static sensitive CMOS components. The FAQ's and history files on the ham mailing lists (seen in USENET at rec.radio.amateur.*) have lots of stuff on this. The ELMERS file lists people around the country willing to answer questions for beginning hams. Finding a ham ELMER who likes to do antenna/ground-field work in your area would be an ideal resource. (Of course, he'll try to convince you you want to put up antennas too... :-) Grounding worries are keeping me from festooning my roof until I can figure out a good ground for the roof... and making me a little worried about my solar panel up there, nice big piece of metal with connections deep into the house but not to good earth ground except through the house. Good luck, Bill N1VUX -- Bill Ricker N1VUX wdr@world.std.com "The freedom of the press belongs http://world.std.com/~wdr to those who own one."--A.J.Liebling ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 29 Sep 1997 22:50:56 GMT From: Bill Ricker Subject: Re: Weather Radio Josiah A Mault rote: > Hi! Does anybody know where I can get a weather radio that has 7 channels > and alert that's at a reasonably cheap price and not at RadioShack??? Well, "reasonable price" tends to mean RadShack for this item. The NOAA/NWS Weather Radio homepage claims to have info on where to buy one, but it doesn't. It says check where electronics are sold or call your local forecast office. They'll tell you to got to Radio Shack, you bet. The only other sources I know of (aside from Marine radios) are even cheesier CB's (which don't do alert) and professional Emergency Mangement / Broadcast gear. The only other vendor of SAME encoded alert radios (so far) or even non-encode (analog) alert radios that I recall is THUNDER EAGLE, INC., http://www.thuneagle.com/ makers of the Weather Eagle radios . The write-ups on these sound great: Their high end model integrates with a radio repeater or phone switch; all their units remember the last warning (upgradeable to last 4 warnings; 90 seconds upgreadable to to 3 minutes). The bad news is their entry level model is $495. There are plans for build-your-own EMWIN decoders that can be connected to a scanner, if there's an VHF/UHF EMWIN net in your area, but then you need software to file the EMWIN postings and a computer and a scanner and ... that's not an alert radio, it's a whole 'nother thing, and although cool, isn't for everyone, and isn't deployed everywhere anyway. The new R/S 120-0249 "Digital 7 channel Weatherradio with SAME Alert" is only $80, is programmable for what counties you want, differntiates between severities of watch/warning to two levels of beep/siren, and displayes the last warning in LCD or LEDs. Not quite EMWIN or ThunderEagle sophisticated, not good enough to run the cable-system's crawl, but pretty fine. Have yet to get to a RS that had it in stock, else I'd have at least one, maybe two. Cheers, Bill N1VUX/SKYWARN -- Bill Ricker N1VUX wdr@world.std.com "The freedom of the press belongs http://world.std.com/~wdr to those who own one."--A.J.Liebling ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 28 Sep 1997 to 29 Sep 1997 ************************************************** From - Tue Sep 30 15:30:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626387-25275>; Tue, 30 Sep 1997 14:38:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA10532; Tue, 30 Sep 1997 01:36:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6461857 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 1997 01:35:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA10480 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 1997 01:35:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA04182 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 1997 01:35:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709300635.BAA04182@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 30 Sep 1997 01:35:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5614953641c5919f1c2ce1e5cfbff71d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 650 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z SEP 97/010600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 300155Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 300000Z1 TYPHOON GINGER (24W), WAS LOCATED AT 40.1N5 168.2E7, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 46 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 30 (WTPN33 PGTW 300300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF SCATTERED CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 17N8 115E7. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 300000Z INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER LOCATED SOUTHWESTWARD OF A DECAYING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. CONVECTION IS NOT WELL DEVELOPED IN THIS SYSTEM, PARTICULARLY TOWARDS THE CENTER. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 08N8 162E9. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE AN AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH AT 300000Z. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1012 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREA. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/HONG/DOBBINS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 30 15:30:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626594-25275>; Tue, 30 Sep 1997 14:44:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA10598; Tue, 30 Sep 1997 01:38:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6461862 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 1997 01:36:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA09714 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 1997 01:35:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA04181 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 1997 01:35:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709300635.BAA04181@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 30 Sep 1997 01:35:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c6a01c2842a9d04575c5198927a3d685 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 650 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z SEP 97/010600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 300155Z SEP 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 300000Z1 TYPHOON GINGER (24W), WAS LOCATED AT 40.1N5 168.2E7, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 46 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 30 (WTPN33 PGTW 300300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF SCATTERED CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 17N8 115E7. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 300000Z INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER LOCATED SOUTHWESTWARD OF A DECAYING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. CONVECTION IS NOT WELL DEVELOPED IN THIS SYSTEM, PARTICULARLY TOWARDS THE CENTER. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 08N8 162E9. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE AN AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH AT 300000Z. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1012 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREA. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/HONG/DOBBINS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Sep 30 17:41:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627070-25270>; Tue, 30 Sep 1997 16:59:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA41656; Tue, 30 Sep 1997 03:43:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6462399 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 1997 03:41:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA21382 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 1997 03:41:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA04645 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 1997 03:41:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709300841.DAA04645@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 30 Sep 1997 03:41:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ginger (24w) Warning Nr 031 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 61cc13c4c2fb45768e1b97da6ed5526b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 838 WTPN33 PGTW 300900 1. TYPHOON GINGER (24W) WARNING NR 031 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z9 --- 43.1N8 172.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 44 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 450 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 300 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 43.1N8 172.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 46.5N5 177.4W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 39 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 47.5N6 166.1W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 36 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 47.5N6 155.4W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 42 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 34 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 42 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 47.0N1 150.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 300900Z2 POSITION 44.0N8 174.9E1 TYPHOON GINGER (24W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 44 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRA-TROPICAL SYSTEM. THE TRANSITION SHOULD BE COMPLETE WITHIN THE NEXT 6 HOURS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. WIND RADII ADJUSTED FOR 292331Z SCATTEROMETER PASS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z IS 24 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER. REFER TO NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI (WWPN30 PHNC 010000Z) FOR FUTURE GALE WARNINGS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 3 09:51:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626610-25270>; Tue, 30 Sep 1997 18:03:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA21416; Tue, 30 Sep 1997 04:56:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6462776 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 1997 04:54:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA50068 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 1997 04:52:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA04819 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 1997 04:52:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709300952.EAA04819@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 30 Sep 1997 04:52:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6c4be07214acce84fbb3a424e2ce24d7 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 955 ABPA20 PHNL 301000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST TUESDAY SEPTEMBER 30 1997 TROPICAL WEATHER REMAINS VERY CALM. THERE ARE NOT EVEN ANY SIGNIFICANT AREAS OF THUNDERSTORMS. I EXPECT NO TROPICAL CYCLONES IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 3 09:51:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626534-25273>; Tue, 30 Sep 1997 18:16:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA41580; Tue, 30 Sep 1997 05:06:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6462852 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 1997 05:04:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA32266 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 1997 05:04:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA04863 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 1997 05:04:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199709301004.FAA04863@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 30 Sep 1997 05:04:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b119dba17a372c5156e91809f12a4410 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 118 ABPZ20 KNHC 301002 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE SEP 30 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS EXISTS OFF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO. EMBEDDED WITHIN THIS CLOUDINESS IS THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF LOCATED ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS NOT WELL-ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME...BUT THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REDEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 3 09:52:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626163-9740>; Thu, 2 Oct 1997 18:03:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA19734; Thu, 2 Oct 1997 04:57:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6491867 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 2 Oct 1997 04:56:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA45030 for ; Thu, 2 Oct 1997 04:56:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA17222 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 2 Oct 1997 04:56:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710020956.EAA17222@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 2 Oct 1997 04:56:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4bb6201d577588f32b23cc60640cdfa3 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 326 ABPZ20 KNHC 020955 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU OCT 2 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER PERSISTS OFF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. A DISORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS IS DRIFTING WESTWARD. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 3 09:52:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626427-9737>; Thu, 2 Oct 1997 18:05:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA19820; Thu, 2 Oct 1997 04:59:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6491872 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 2 Oct 1997 04:57:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA45050 for ; Thu, 2 Oct 1997 04:56:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA17226 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 2 Oct 1997 04:56:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710020956.EAA17226@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 2 Oct 1997 04:56:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8e6615b2496913eb137c154497dbbf81 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 340 ABPA20 PHNL 021000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST THU OCT 2 1997 TWO WEAK DISTURBANCES...ONE NEAR 07N150W AND THE OTHER NEAR 09N140W...HAVE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THEM BUT REMAIN UNORGANIZED. BOTH ARE DRIFTING SLOWLY WESTWARD AND WILL BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. OTHERWISE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH FRIDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 3 09:52:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626773-9742>; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 00:47:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA25026; Thu, 2 Oct 1997 11:37:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6495670 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 2 Oct 1997 11:36:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA09782 for ; Thu, 2 Oct 1997 11:36:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id LAA18592 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 2 Oct 1997 11:36:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710021636.LAA18592@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 2 Oct 1997 11:36:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e2746f924e5930485bca0cbedaab4d41 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 530 ABPZ20 KNHC 021634 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU OCT 2 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER PERSISTS OFF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 1250 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOWS SOME EVIDENCE OF ORGANIZATION. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS LIKELY TO BE SLOW. LITTLE MOVEMENT IS INDICATED AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 3 09:52:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626750-9742>; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 01:28:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA24388; Thu, 2 Oct 1997 12:27:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6496513 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 2 Oct 1997 12:25:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA33822 for ; Thu, 2 Oct 1997 12:25:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA19037 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 2 Oct 1997 12:25:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710021725.MAA19037@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 2 Oct 1997 12:25:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7adf49b6098ed6897dd5527e5a2b94bb X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 330 ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/021800Z/031800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 3 09:52:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626725-9740>; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 01:32:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA24026; Thu, 2 Oct 1997 12:28:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6496520 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 2 Oct 1997 12:27:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA19262 for ; Thu, 2 Oct 1997 12:25:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA19038 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 2 Oct 1997 12:25:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710021725.MAA19038@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 2 Oct 1997 12:25:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d710a860e2f2054ac292468b0eb2b53f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 330 ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/021800Z/031800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 3 09:52:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626779-9737>; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 05:52:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA53406; Thu, 2 Oct 1997 16:49:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6498994 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 2 Oct 1997 16:48:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAB21420 for ; Thu, 2 Oct 1997 16:48:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA20552 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 2 Oct 1997 16:48:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710022148.QAA20552@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 2 Oct 1997 16:48:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b8360dfd99fcbe564b6fe7af25de1a2c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 189 ABPA20 PHNL 022200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST THURSDAY OCTOBER 2 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH FRIDAY. MINOR CIRCULATIONS NEAR 09N150W AND NEAR 11N138W ARE BEING MONITORED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 3 09:52:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626796-9737>; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 06:20:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA18828; Thu, 2 Oct 1997 17:05:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6499154 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 2 Oct 1997 17:03:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA17578 for ; Thu, 2 Oct 1997 17:03:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA20619 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 2 Oct 1997 17:03:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710022203.RAA20619@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 2 Oct 1997 17:03:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 39b0d4224ee8563c937142d6d98bebfa X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 387 ABPZ20 KNHC 022201 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU OCT 2 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER PERSISTS OFF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. A SLOW MOVING TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 1250 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOWS SOME EVIDENCE OF ORGANIZATION. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS LIKELY TO BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 3 11:21:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626811-11161>; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 11:13:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA33368; Thu, 2 Oct 1997 21:58:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6502155 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 2 Oct 1997 21:56:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA48618 for ; Thu, 2 Oct 1997 21:56:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA21764 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 2 Oct 1997 21:56:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710030256.VAA21764@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 2 Oct 1997 21:56:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Hank (25w) Warning Nr 001 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6c6ab20b555dc6ad4822ae843685f8fb X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 442 WTPN31 PGTW 030300 1. TROPICAL STORM HANK (25W) WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z3 --- 14.7N2 112.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N2 112.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 14.4N9 110.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 14.2N7 109.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 14.2N7 108.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 14.3N8 107.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 030300Z6 POSITION 14.6N1 111.7E0 TROPICAL STORM HANK (25W) HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA AND IS JUST EAST OF VIETNAM. LATEST ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CYCLONE IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND NUMEROUS SYNOPTIC SHIP REPORTS. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE AND A NEARBY SHIP REPORT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z3 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6), 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3), 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9) AND 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 3 11:21:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626816-11161>; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 11:16:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA33484; Thu, 2 Oct 1997 22:08:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6502233 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 2 Oct 1997 22:06:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA17434 for ; Thu, 2 Oct 1997 22:05:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA21798 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 2 Oct 1997 22:05:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710030305.WAA21798@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 2 Oct 1997 22:05:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 841fdc4ecd64f0aa5d5b77ddbc932bbc X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 577 ABPZ20 KNHC 030303 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU OCT 2 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER PERSISTS OFF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. A SLOW MOVING TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 1250 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 3 13:58:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626866-11161>; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 13:30:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA39514; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 00:08:23 -0500 Message-Id: <199710030508.AAA39514@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 00:03:12 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 1 Oct 1997 to 2 Oct 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 4f886c4adcef7a12666b9dd61c8de3f5 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 9 messages totalling 502 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. WX-TALK Digest - 30 Sep 1997 to 1 Oct 1997 2. Gridded Data.. 3. Mail Undeliverable: Failure Detected 4. Lightning Special Thursday Evening (2) 5. NSSL/SPC Employees Association merchandise for sale 6. Job Opening 7. Global Warming Feeding Frenzy! (2) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 2 Oct 1997 00:55:53 CST From: Weatherman <954blake@ALPHA.NLU.EDU> Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 30 Sep 1997 to 1 Oct 1997 Anyone know what the ID is for Pascagoula. Mississippi ASOS? Eric Blake ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 2 Oct 1997 00:31:33 -0500 From: Roger Edwards Subject: Re: Gridded Data.. On Wed, 1 Oct 1997, Daniel Dix typed: > how has gridded data seemed to improve/help your forecasts? I am from > the old school with plenty of sfc/upper air analysis and take ponders at > things on the Internet on top of the difax used...trying to keep up, I > guess. It's helped my forecasting by allowing me to quickly examine specific types of derived fields, in convenient formats such as planar loops and forecast soundings, that were not available before. The forecast soundings off gridded model data, in particular, can assist a lot with physical insight as long as known model biases are incorporated and the soundings interactively modified accordingly. [One way to detect such biases is to, over long periods of time and day after day, compare observed soundings with model forecasts for the same places and times!] Information overload really isn't a problem most of the time, as long as I am not extremely rushed for time deadlines (as can happen when the first data from a model run arrives very late -- say, right before the forecast is due). In this age, forecasters must learn to priorotize what to look at and what to save for later if there's time, because there simply is not enough time to examine absolutely everything that could possibly play a tiny role in the forecast! I am -- and always will be -- a staunch believer in HAND ANALYSIS of real-time data, though. Even when the day arrives that oban schemes do a comparable job to an expert human analyst of throwing out bad data and drawing for conceptual understanding, actually *drawing* for the data will still provide a deeper grasp of the situatin than perusing an objectively analyzed map. This is one reason why, at ( ), hand-analyzed national raob maps at every mandatory level still go on the wall every day, twice a day -- and why dozens of hand-analyzed surface maps are done. > > Things like thickness levels, UVV, RH and advection are about the main > things I am interested in. > In aggregate (all forecasts), there is probably no gridded derived field available that I have not looked at; but it varies greatly from situation to situation. For the part of the forecast process involving model data, I like to start with a basic set of 5-10 fields for a convective outlook, for example, but there may be another 20 to 40 more in each forecast. [This is why my forecast composite charts often look like vulture vomit by the time they're done.] There is definitely no appropriate "cookbook" approach to severe weather forecasting -- at least none which won't fail miserably in exceptional events! Thus, those extra 20-40 will not be the same from forecast to forecast; and again, their nature and number will vary according to the situation and time constraints. ---------------------------- *** No disclaimer necessary; this is my personal account! *** "Let's follow this sheriff; ===== Roger Edwards ===== he'll get killed before we do." ( ) Forecaster - current chase partner former NHC Forecaster :::::::::: http://www.wildstar.net/~tornado :::::::::: "I FEAST ON THE SMORGASBORD OF ATMOSPHERIC VIOLENCE." ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 2 Oct 1997 00:55:53 CST From: Weatherman <954blake@ALPHA.NLU.EDU> Subject: Mail Undeliverable: Failure Detected Could not send message to USER: methane Reason for Mail Failure below: ******************************************************** Message not Delivered. Recipient's Mailbox Over Quota. ******************************************************** Anyone know what the ID is for Pascagoula. Mississippi ASOS? Eric Blake +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 2 Oct 1997 05:46:44 -0500 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Lightning Special Thursday Evening Steve Melvin sent me the following message: My name is Steve Melvin. I am a helicopter pilot/storm chaser here in NE Ohio. actually live right on lake erie. I've been chasing storms up here for about 9 years. the A&E Channel did a story on my storm photography this year due to the fact I was struck by a bolt, and captured the one that got me on film. It will air this Thrusday evening @10;00pm eastern time on the A&E Channel. Gene, I haven't heard about the big spotlight used by Midland spotters. Sounds like a great idea? OBTW, whoever misplaced the subtropical jet, please return it. Sam Barricklow http://www.stormchaser.net/k5kj/johnson.htm ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 2 Oct 1997 10:23:36 -0500 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: NSSL/SPC Employees Association merchandise for sale Severe Weather Fanatics, The NSSL/SPC Employees Association (NSEA) regularly sells severe weather photographs and NSSL/SPC clothing as part of its fund-raising efforts. Traditionally, we've only been able to sell this merchandise to individuals who visit the NSSL/SPC in Norman, Oklahoma, or when we take the merchandise to various special functions (such as the TWC Chaser Conference, the StormTrack annual picnic, or various conferences and open houses). Now this merchandise is available on the World Wide Web (WWW)! The 1997 Fall Chase Season is here! Get merchandise now! ********************************************************************* * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW Severe Weather Photo Store * ********************************************************************* The URL for the NSEA Photo Concession Stand is: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/nea/neaphotostand.html ****************************************************************** * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW NSSL/SPC Clothing Store * * * * NSSL SHIRTS...AS SEEN IN THE MOVIE 'TWISTER'!!! * ****************************************************************** The URL for the NSEA Clothing Concession Stand is: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/nea/neaclothing.html Information on the prices of merchandise is on the WWW page. We can only accept orders placed from the WWW page (check or money order only). Information on the NSEA is also available via the first hypertext link on that WWW page. If you have any questions, please contact Greg Stumpf at: gstumpf@rossby.metr.ou.edu We hope that this fundraiser is a success for our organization and we hope you all enjoy the merchandise! Greg Stumpf and Paul Janish, NSSL/SPC Employees Association DISCLAIMER: The NSEA is a non-profit organization not affiliated with NOAA or the U.S. Government. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 2 Oct 1997 09:57:30 -0700 From: Tim McGill Subject: Job Opening Please post the following weather opening: CLTV NEWS has an immediate opneing for a full time Weather Anchor. CLTV NEWS, a regional 24-hour cable news channel located in a state-of-the-art facility in suburban Chicago, has an immediate opening for a weather anchor. Candidates must have at least two years professional broadcasting experience. Meteorology degree and AMS Seal preferred but not necessary. Some general reporting duties included. As part of the Tribune Company, we offer excellent employee benefits, including medical/life/dental: and stock ownership programs. Send non-returnable tapes and resumes to: Tim McGill CLTV News 2000 York Road Suite 114 Oak Brook, IL 60521 Thanks, Tim McGill Chief Meteorologist CLTV News === "And go-cart Mozart was checkin' out the weather chart to see if it was safe to go outside..." "Blinded By The Light"\Bruce Springsteen === "And go-cart Mozart was checkin' out the weather chart to see if it was safe to go outside..." "Blinded By The Light"\Bruce Springsteen _____________________________________________________________________ Sent by RocketMail. Get your free e-mail at http://www.rocketmail.com ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 2 Oct 1997 20:39:26 -0700 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: Global Warming Feeding Frenzy! This might be a good time to send the wife and kiddies to another room, The following is a gentle and reasoned review of some of the Vice Perpetrator's comments after lecturing 100 broadcast meteorologists on the looming specter of global warming. Enter the new era of the "Politicization of Meteorology". > Vice President Al Gore, warning that > overpopulation fosters global warming, > yesterday suggested expanding birth-control and > abortion programs in developing countries to > help reduce the environmental threat. Who in the hell could possibly make the gigantic leap of faith that the ruthless pursuit of abortion in third world countries could possibly have any effect on our weather! > . . . . Noting that Third World nations are > producing too many children too fast -- in > addition to too much pollution -- Mr. Gore said > it is time to ignore the controversy over > family planning and cut out-of-control > population growth. We'll stop the debate just because -he- says so! Duh? The Sierra Club has chimed in with the "threat" of immigration across our Southern border harming the environment. Shall we declare our borders and shores a Free Fire Zone? Don't send end us your tired and huddled masses, we need room for the Snail Darter and the Nevada Stink Beetle. Clear air and a guard tower at every crossing! > . . . . While hosting about 100 TV weathermen > at a White House global-warming conference, Mr. > Gore was asked how to reduce population surges > in developing countries that experts say will lead > to a doubling of Earth's current 5.5 billion > population within 40 years. What in the hell does this have to do with broadcast meteorologists? By the way, food production has always exceeded population growth. Prime farm land in the U.S. is held from production to support high commodity prices. People starve because of civil war and ideologically bankrupt political systems. Been to the Workers Paradise of North Korea lately? South Korea is a bustling economic player while their brethren up North eat grass and each other in a mass starvation disaster. The environment and weather has -nothing- to do with their plight. -snip- > . . . . The issue was the first of several Mr. > Gore and Mr. Clinton touched on as they tried > to persuade the weathermen to warn viewers of > the threat of global warming. Firstly global warming has -never- been firmly established. Secondly, I would question why broadcast meteorologists should be the "messenger boys/girls" of any administration. -snip- > . . . . He added that the weathermen > "appreciated being treated as something other > than airheads." I'll reserve my comments on this one. Although a local "on air" weather personality did show a graphic which illustrated -cactus plants- sprouting up in the formerly bucolic Wisconsin countryside 50 years from now. You make the call sports fans! > . . . . Mr. Gore, using an easel and four > different colored markers, tutored the > forecasters on the issue, and suggested that > changing weather patterns are due to global > warming. Would any dissent have been tolerated at this gathering or did the "Men in Black" reach under their suit jackets in response to any reckless or contentious behavior by the assembled meteorlogical/broadcast horde? > . . . . At one point he seemed to suggest that > global warming was linked to weather-related > deaths, plane crashes and unusual outbreaks of > malaria, but he later said the cause wasn't > clear. El Nino Feeding Frenzy in full freefall. Now let's make the global warming connection while the time is ripe. It's the "Eve of Destruction"! Act now! > . . . . Several of the forecasters said they > believe that weather patterns have changed, > possibly because of the warming of the Earth > due to overpopulation and pollution. I'm getting sick. In the 70's the same crowd expoused -Global Cooling- as the Big Threat to mankind. -major snippage- > . . . . He compared naysayers to tobacco > industry executives who claimed for years that > cigarettes weren't harmful -- even after the > 1964 surgeon general's report linking tobacco > to lung cancer. Oh, just stop it! How many political agendas can they attach to the science of weather?! Emotion versus Science. Shame on those attendees who bought into any of this nonsense. The Vice Perpetrator has four children. Exactly what is the politically correct number of children one should aspire to? What happens when that limit is exceeded? Who decides when my, your or their family is a threat to the environment? Let's put down the brown, red, black, and yellow masses to protect the trees and twigs and our fragile political sensitivities. I remember hearing about the woman from Kenosha Wisconsin who decided not to have children of her own because of the poverty and squaller in Haiti. I'm sure everyone in Haiti is happy to know that her husband was forced to keep it in his pants. I am appalled. A Pox is on our House. Pray for our souls. We now return you to the regularly scheduled edition of Wx-Talk. Thank you for your consideration. Life is good. Enjoy it, don't fear it! ************************************************************************* 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" my severe weather and SKYWARN home page! SFTS! http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 2 Oct 1997 20:41:18 -0700 From: cavataio Subject: Re: Global Warming Feeding Frenzy! Bernie, Are you living on the same planet as the rest of us? Food and population issues have been politicized for a few millenia. Wars are just one symptom. Open your history books. If you don't believe that there are regions in the world where overpopulation contributes to or generates hunger and disease-prone living conditions, then read a little more or watch something other than the Weather Channel and infomercials on your TV. Many women want birth-control but have either little or no education, access, or power (hubby says no). Women don't want their children to starve. Without adequate birth control, pregnancies happen and women seek out abortions, often under the most abominable conditions. On earth, climate conditions play a huge impact on the lifestyle and living conditions of the population in a given region. Most people realize this even without formal training in weather and climate, and often with no formal education at all! Climate change *is* essentially unknown. Here's a sports analogy: Take a pro baseball team and pit it against a team of Little Leaguers. Essentially the outcome of the game is unknown, but I'll reckon that most spectators will put their money on the pros. So it is with global warming. People are suffering in this world, Bernie. With climate change, many will suffer more. The study of meteorolgy and climate has everything to do with human populations and more, like ecosystems and the health of the planet that sustains us. This is not a difficult concept. Shouldn't research be directed ultimately to the well-being of all? Perhaps you simply don't like Al Gore. However, don't throw the baby out with the bathwater. Denial is risky business. Enuf said. Vicki ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 2 Oct 1997 23:51:45 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Lightning Special Thursday Evening On Thu, 2 Oct 1997, Sam Barricklow wrote: > Steve Melvin sent me the following message: > > My name is Steve Melvin. I am a helicopter pilot/storm chaser here in NE > Ohio. actually live right on Lake Erie. I've been chasing storms up here > for about 9 years. The A&E Channel did a story on my storm photography > this year due to the fact I was struck by a bolt, and captured the one > that got me on film. It will air this Thrusday evening @10;00pm eastern > time on the A&E Channel. Okay, I watched this, saw his interesting photo, and immediately these two theories came to my mind. Note though, that I am just your average everyday "layman" but I thought what the heck. I'll give it a shot. I'd be interested in what others think of my theory, too, and would invite comment. I'm assuming people have already seen the special on A&E and so already know about Steve's photo. Of course, I'm kinda doubtful of the "spiritualistic" theory, and so we'll save that one as a last resort. :) Theory number 1: Steve was struck, and it's possible that _as he was being hit_, he either a) bumped the camera with his feet while he was flying backwards or, b) the bolt caused his hand to jerk during the _secondary_ strike, while his hand was still pressing on the cable release, resulting in the mysterious sideways "blurring" of one strike. Steve might not have notice this as the event was happening to him, and considering WHAT was happening to him. Perhaps what he caught could also have been a filament eminating from either himself or his tripod during the strike. High winds or no, perhaps these are so light they need not but a breath to cause movement. Which brings me to... Theory number 2: I recall camera slow-mo's from underneath of those test rocket launches in Arizona designed to attract lightning strikes. Note how as the lightning is striking the rocket, and as it travels down the strand to the ground to where it is now visible on camera, it vaporizes the strand connected to the rocket, and how it moves sideways in the wind at the same time. This lead me to another thought....Most lightning photos are from afar. (Actually, is that caused by wind? or by the motion of the rocket pulling the strand AWAY from the launch platform? or a combination of both?) Could it be that they are so far away that they might not be detecting _motions_ of lightning channels that we thought not there, that are caused by wind motion? That's an interesting thought to me: Do lightning filaments "float" or move in the wind? Being as Steve was kind of, well, "preoccupied" during the time of the strike, it's possible that motion was there but he did not notice it. (No offense by the joke, Steve.) Any comments? especially on the second theory? That IS a pretty neat-looking lightning photo, though. However, I don't think I'm going to try to duplicate it just yet, if noone minds. :) Did it capture an evil spectre on film, though? I can't say they allowed my eyes time enough to gather that as such. :) Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman, A.R.S. KB4MHH -\\- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- Home Page URL: http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Permission to use the above info for inclusion in any mailing | | lists, so as to send me ad-mail personally, is NOT granted. | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 1 Oct 1997 to 2 Oct 1997 ************************************************ From - Fri Oct 3 16:15:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626864-15599>; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 16:03:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA31020; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 02:26:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6503608 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 02:24:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA08638 for ; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 02:24:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA22565 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 02:24:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710030724.CAA22565@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 02:24:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9800a7e27069081f1427755daffbf498 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 276 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z /040600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 030151Z OCT 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 030553Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 030000Z3 TROPICAL STORM HANK (25W), WAS LOCATED AT 14.7N2 112.0E4, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM HANK (25W) WARNING NR 01 (WTPN31 PGTW 030300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR NEAR 15N6 145E0 IS NOW NEAR 18N9 139E3 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 030600)). POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 112E4 IS NOW NEAR 14.7N2 112.0E4 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF A FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR NEAR 04N4 161E8 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREA. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL/EIBLING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 3 16:15:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626875-11166>; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 15:36:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA31066; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 02:27:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6503613 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 02:26:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA25276 for ; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 02:24:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA22564 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 02:24:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710030724.CAA22564@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 02:24:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d5c618dc7c6d1db6f3d7e9596b82b5ed X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 276 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z /040600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 030151Z OCT 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 030553Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 030000Z3 TROPICAL STORM HANK (25W), WAS LOCATED AT 14.7N2 112.0E4, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM HANK (25W) WARNING NR 01 (WTPN31 PGTW 030300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR NEAR 15N6 145E0 IS NOW NEAR 18N9 139E3 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 030600)). POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 112E4 IS NOW NEAR 14.7N2 112.0E4 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF A FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR NEAR 04N4 161E8 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREA. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/SULLINS/HATFIELD/HALL/EIBLING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 3 16:33:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626911-15600>; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 16:25:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA18168; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 03:17:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6503794 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 03:15:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA40400 for ; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 03:15:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA22858 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 03:15:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710030815.DAA22858@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 03:15:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Hank (25w) Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b1750b2d3669632ae85e698102615ca4 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 999 WTPN31 PGTW 030900 1. TROPICAL STORM HANK (25W) WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z9 --- 14.3N8 111.3E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.3N8 111.3E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 14.2N7 110.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 14.1N6 108.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 14.1N6 108.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 030900Z2 POSITION 14.3N8 111.0E3 TROPICAL STORM HANK (25W) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. THE SYSTEM IS NEAR PEAK INTENSITY AND IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY AS THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER VIETNAM WITHIN THE 24-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3), 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9), 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1) AND 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 4 09:37:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626927-15601>; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 17:55:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA11986; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 04:52:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6504072 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 04:51:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA18096 for ; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 04:51:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA23082 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 04:51:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710030951.EAA23082@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 04:51:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7733c9f5bfe5f7a7e8a6b9b19e88363f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 527 ABPA20 PHNL 031000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST FRIDAY OCTOBER 3 1997 MINOR CIRCULATIONS NEAR 09N154W...08N151W AND 10N139W ARE BEING MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. THESE CIRCULATIONS HAVE PERSISTED FOR THE PAST FEW DAYS BUT ASSOCIATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BEEN SPORADIC. OVERALL ORGANIZATION REMAINS POOR. THE FIRST TWO CIRCULATIONS ARE MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD...WHILE THE EASTERNMOST CIRCULATION REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 4 09:37:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626877-15599>; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 18:02:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA18658; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 04:56:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6504085 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 04:55:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA31134 for ; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 04:55:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA23095 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 04:55:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710030955.EAA23095@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 04:55:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b0886859e25d484cb9b736709d0d5cb5 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 569 ABPZ20 KNHC 030953 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FIR OCT 3 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER PERSISTS OFF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. A SLOW MOVING TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 1250 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 4 09:37:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626952-15599>; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 21:25:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA19828; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 08:18:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6505334 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 08:17:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA53250 for ; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 08:17:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id IAA23574 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 08:17:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710031317.IAA23574@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 08:17:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Hank (25w) Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cb4c32e13eea219664f964970d8bf7a4 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 930 WTPN31 PGTW 031500 1. TROPICAL STORM HANK (25W) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- 14.8N3 110.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.8N3 110.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 15.0N6 108.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 15.3N9 107.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 15.7N3 105.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 031500Z9 POSITION 14.8N3 110.1E3 TROPICAL STORM HANK (25W) IS MOVING WESTWARD IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE OVER LAND NEAR THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND TO BE DISSIPATED NEAR THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z6 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9), 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1), 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7) AND 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 4 09:37:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626983-15600>; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 00:57:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA17108; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 11:41:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6507216 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 11:39:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA18886 for ; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 11:39:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id LAA24360 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 11:39:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710031639.LAA24360@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 11:39:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1047f36b4efd9b7bb4b32e131908de4a X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 924 ABPZ20 KNHC 031638 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI OCT 3 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER PERSISTS OFF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 4 09:37:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626998-15599>; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 01:55:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA46654; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 12:52:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6508175 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 12:51:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA50246 for ; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 12:49:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA24626 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 12:49:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710031749.MAA24626@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 12:49:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cb0e6ec420a2c6a1e9f399aaf243cb9a X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 107 ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/031800Z/041800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 4 09:37:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626998-15600>; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 01:56:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA46600; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 12:51:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6508170 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 12:49:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA23884 for ; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 12:49:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA24627 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 12:49:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710031749.MAA24627@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 12:49:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9e4300327f7cb6e4ae8ecfc656efc1be X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 107 ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/031800Z/041800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 4 09:37:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627011-15601>; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 03:43:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA24062; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 14:18:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6509158 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 14:17:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA24122 for ; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 14:16:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id OAA24952 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 14:16:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710031916.OAA24952@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 14:16:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 25w (hank) Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b902bbebd801555804f222aa42eed941 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 238 WTPN31 PGTW 032100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (HANK) WARNING NR 004 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM HANK (25W) 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z2 --- 14.9N4 109.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.9N4 109.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 15.2N8 108.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 15.6N2 106.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 032100Z6 POSITION 15.0N6 109.5E5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (HANK) HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE OVER CENTRAL VIETNAM WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z2 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1), 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7) AND 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 4 09:37:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627035-15599>; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 05:58:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA25154; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 16:48:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6510989 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 16:47:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA10676 for ; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 16:47:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA25661 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 16:47:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710032147.QAA25661@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 16:47:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f948bf66ac828e03c6d9fc34f302dff6 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 587 ABPA20 PHNL 032200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST FRI OCT 3 1997 A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 08N153W HAS ASSOCIATED SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WHICH ARE SLOWLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N137W HAS A WELL-DEVELOPED CIRCULATION BUT LACKS SIGNIFICANT THUNDERSTORM FORMATION. BOTH SYSTEMS ARE NEARLY STATIONARY AND ARE BEING MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 4 09:37:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626858-15600>; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 06:12:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA28240; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 17:00:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6511124 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 16:58:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA38978 for ; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 16:58:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA25704 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 16:58:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710032158.QAA25704@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 16:58:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 01fc36200ec336be84f9d571c76a3e6e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 735 ABPZ20 KNHC 032157 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI OCT 3 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THERE ARE SEVERAL SMALL AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER ACROSS THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC BUT NONE OF THEM ARE SHOWING SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 07:59:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626846-24175>; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 10:36:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA34938; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 21:24:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6512753 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 21:22:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA35840 for ; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 21:22:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA26680 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 21:22:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710040222.VAA26680@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 21:22:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 25w (hank) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 83af9788d3447abefb26c140cc66c341 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 480 WTPN31 PGTW 040300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (HANK) WARNING NR 006 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- 15.8N4 109.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.8N4 109.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 16.5N2 108.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 17.0N8 107.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 17.4N2 106.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER L LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 17.8N6 104.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 040300Z7 POSITION 16.0N7 109.1E1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (HANK) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN RELOCATED TO THE NORTHWEST, THEREFORE LANDFALL EXPECTED TO OCCUR NEAR THE 24 HOUR POSITION. TD 25W (HANK) IS ANTICIPATED TO DISSIPATE WITHIN 48 HOURS. JUSTIFICATION FOR RELOCATION: MORNING VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION EAST OF THE PRIMARY CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7), 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4), 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0) AND 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 07:59:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626754-24172>; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 10:37:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA34836; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 21:25:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6512764 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 21:24:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA48930 for ; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 21:22:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA26684 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 21:22:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710040222.VAA26684@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 21:22:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: This Warning Supersedes And Cancels Navpacmetoccen West To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 80b7dd80ce7dc089748e1d501d5e3cbb X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 511 WTPN32 PGTW 040300 THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 030553Z OCT 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 030600 ) 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- 17.9N7 138.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.9N7 138.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 18.0N9 138.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 18.1N0 137.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 18.2N1 135.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 18.3N2 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 18.4N3 131.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 040300Z7 POSITION 17.9N7 138.6E8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. IT IS ANTICIPATED TO CONTINUE THIS MOVEMENT AND SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040900Z3 (DTG 040753Z9), 041500Z0 (DTG 041353Z6), 042100Z7 (DTG 041953Z2) AND 050300Z8 (DTG 050153Z4). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 030553Z OCT 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 030600). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (HANK) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 07:59:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626754-24176>; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 10:51:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA23446; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 21:42:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6512862 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 21:40:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA44110 for ; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 21:40:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA26737 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 21:40:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710040240.VAA26737@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 21:40:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 25w (hank) Warning Nr 005a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b66c727e78fc8c3d5a6ba6b597f0a7e3 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 844 WTPN31 PGTW 040300 COR 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (HANK) WARNING NR 005A RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- 15.8N4 109.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.8N4 109.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 16.5N2 108.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 17.0N8 107.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 17.4N2 106.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 17.8N6 104.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 040300Z7 POSITION 16.0N7 109.1E1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (HANK) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN RELOCATED TO THE NORTHWEST, THEREFORE LANDFALL EXPECTED TO OCCUR NEAR THE 24 HOUR POSITION. TD 25W (HANK) IS ANTICIPATED TO DISSIPATE WITHIN 48 HOURS. JUSTIFICATION FOR RELOCATION: MORNING VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION EAST OF THE PRIMARY CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7), 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4), 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0) AND 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. 2. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED WARNING NUMBER.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 07:59:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626990-24172>; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 11:21:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA10376; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 22:11:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6513168 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 22:10:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA47182 for ; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 22:10:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA26816 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 22:10:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710040310.WAA26816@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 22:10:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4288e2b565d36e79513e14b885a3348f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 313 ABPZ20 KNHC 040305 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI OCT 3 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THERE ARE SEVERAL SMALL AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER ACROSS THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC BUT NONE OF THEM ARE SHOWING SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 07:59:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626952-24166>; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 11:26:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA13972; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 22:16:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6513186 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 22:15:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA49000 for ; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 22:15:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA26833 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 22:15:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710040315.WAA26833@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 22:15:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d93807e825787f552fcf66deaf4fb876 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 412 ABPZ20 KNHC 040313 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT OCT 4 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THERE ARE SEVERAL SMALL AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER ACROSS THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC BUT NONE OF THEM ARE SHOWING SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 07:59:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626978-24166>; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 11:24:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA14292; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 22:18:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6513191 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 22:17:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA13994 for ; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 22:17:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA26837 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 3 Oct 1997 22:17:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710040317.WAA26837@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 22:17:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: df6fd825a90c289ddd4647b0f613b5e0 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 525 ABPZ20 KNHC 040314 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI OCT 3 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THERE ARE SEVERAL SMALL AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER ACROSS THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC BUT NONE OF THEM ARE SHOWING SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 07:59:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626739-24175>; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 13:17:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA50618; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 00:05:30 -0500 Message-Id: <199710040505.AAA50618@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 4 Oct 1997 00:01:21 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 2 Oct 1997 to 3 Oct 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 3a09524600313a003954018c6678bd07 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 21 messages totalling 643 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. 2. ASOS COMMISSIONING NOTICE 3. What is this? (2) 4. Mail Undeliverable: Failure Detected (5) 5. Politics on Wx-Talk 6. nice weather 7. Mail Failure Notices (5) 8. normals vs. averages (2) 9. Global Warming Feeding Frenzy! (2) 10. Weather instrument placement +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 07:23:29 -0400 From: Pete Winstead Subject: >Perhaps you simply don't like Al Gore. However, don't throw the baby out >with the bathwater. Denial is risky business. > >Enuf said. >Vicki > Very interesting choice of words Vicki. Sounds to me like you are all for throwing the baby out with the bathwater. Pete Winstead ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 09:06:54 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS COMMISSIONING NOTICE The following sites became commissioned ASOS sites at 1800 UTC on 02 October 1997. AUSTIN-BERGSTROM INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT (KBSM) AUSTIN... TX SANTA FE COUNTY MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KSAF) SANTA FE... NM FLYING CLOUD AIRPORT (KFCM) MINNEAPOLIS... MN Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 09:13:04 -0400 From: Mike Harpe Subject: What is this? The meteorology term of the day is: SELONIODS. It came up in the state forecast discussion for Kentucky for today. Mike Harpe ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 09:06:54 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: Mail Undeliverable: Failure Detected Could not send message to USER: methane Reason for Mail Failure below: ******************************************************** Message not Delivered. Recipient's Mailbox Over Quota. ******************************************************** The following sites became commissioned ASOS sites at 1800 UTC on 02 October 1997. AUSTIN-BERGSTROM INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT (KBSM) AUSTIN... TX SANTA FE COUNTY MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KSAF) SANTA FE... NM FLYING CLOUD AIRPORT (KFCM) MINNEAPOLIS... MN Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 09:13:04 -0400 From: Mike Harpe Subject: Mail Undeliverable: Failure Detected Could not send message to USER: methane Reason for Mail Failure below: ******************************************************** Message not Delivered. Recipient's Mailbox Over Quota. ******************************************************** The meteorology term of the day is: SELONIODS. It came up in the state forecast discussion for Kentucky for today. Mike Harpe +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 08:45:52 CDT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Re: What is this? > > The meteorology term of the day is: SELONIODS. It came up in the state > forecast discussion for Kentucky for today. > Rather a poor spelling of solenoids, I would guess. Or is it a new acronym? Spectral Empirical LONgitudinal Irradiated Operational Doppler System? Scott ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 08:53:55 -0500 From: "Jeffrey P. Stewart" Subject: Politics on Wx-Talk Where did the weather go? There is an excellent list on abortion if you want to trade barbs on that subject(Pete). It seems to me Vicki was merely pointing out that one must listen with his/her heart and head ...not just the ears. Pete, I highly doubt anyone is going to interfere with your efforts to breed. However, reproduction has been used for millenia to CONTROL mothers and in some places our human nature combined with an anti-intuitive tendency to crank out far more babies than our food production can support is playing a role in screwing up the environment. An example: destruction of rain forests to farm the land. The rain forests are critical to the health of the environment of this planet. I am getting sick of listening to self-righteous podium pounders telling us that man is not affecting the environment, there is plenty of food for our burgeoning population and smugly maintaining that the loss of 1, 10 or 1000 species of plants/animals doesnt make our home planet a poorer place. Jeff Stewart Back on my medication after sending this.... ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 09:13:04 -0400 From: Mike Harpe Subject: Mail Undeliverable: Failure Detected Could not send message to USER: methane Reason for Mail Failure below: ******************************************************** Message not Delivered. Recipient's Mailbox Over Quota. ******************************************************** Could not send message to USER: methane Reason for Mail Failure below: ******************************************************** Message not Delivered. Recipient's Mailbox Over Quota. ******************************************************** The meteorology term of the day is: SELONIODS. It came up in the state forecast discussion for Kentucky for today. Mike Harpe +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 08:45:52 CDT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Mail Undeliverable: Failure Detected Could not send message to USER: methane Reason for Mail Failure below: ******************************************************** Message not Delivered. Recipient's Mailbox Over Quota. ******************************************************** > > The meteorology term of the day is: SELONIODS. It came up in the state > forecast discussion for Kentucky for today. > Rather a poor spelling of solenoids, I would guess. Or is it a new acronym? Spectral Empirical LONgitudinal Irradiated Operational Doppler System? Scott +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 08:53:55 -0500 From: "Jeffrey P. Stewart" Subject: Mail Undeliverable: Failure Detected Could not send message to USER: methane Reason for Mail Failure below: ******************************************************** Message not Delivered. Recipient's Mailbox Over Quota. ******************************************************** Where did the weather go? There is an excellent list on abortion if you want to trade barbs on that subject(Pete). It seems to me Vicki was merely pointing out that one must listen with his/her heart and head ...not just the ears. Pete, I highly doubt anyone is going to interfere with your efforts to breed. However, reproduction has been used for millenia to CONTROL mothers and in some places our human nature combined with an anti-intuitive tendency to crank out far more babies than our food production can support is playing a role in screwing up the environment. An example: destruction of rain forests to farm the land. The rain forests are critical to the health of the environment of this planet. I am getting sick of listening to self-righteous podium pounders telling us that man is not affecting the environment, there is plenty of food for our burgeoning population and smugly maintaining that the loss of 1, 10 or 1000 species of plants/animals doesnt make our home planet a poorer place. Jeff Stewart Back on my medication after sending this.... +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 09:24:17 -0500 From: "Mathew L. Powers" Subject: nice weather Well so far, the forecast for Chicago to have a below normal fall due to El Nino has not verified. We had a beautiful September that worked out to be right about normal. I think the normal temp is 64.4 and it was 64.2. I guess that's below normal, but lets not be picky. So far October has been awesome with temps forecast today to reach AT LEAST the mid 80's, if not the upper 80's. It's one of those days when I like to take off my meteorology hat and just appreciate the weather. I guess the Global Warming is affecting us more than El Nino. :-) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Matt Powers: powers@weather.cod.edu I still use my 630/942-2590 colored pencils! College of Dupage/NEXLAB (near Chi-town) http://weather.cod.edu/ Multi-County Skywarn http://weather.cod.edu/skywarn/ and Ob's at MDW-Chicago for fun ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 10:47:10 -0400 From: William Hipkins Subject: Mail Failure Notices Is anyone else getting "Mail Failure Notices" from posts on WX-TALK, or is it just me (and AOL?) Bill ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 09:50:56 CDT From: Greg Stumpf Subject: normals vs. averages >Reply-To: "Mathew L. Powers" > >Well so far, the forecast for Chicago to have a below normal fall due >to El Nino has not verified. We had a beautiful September that worked >out to be right about normal. I think the normal temp is 64.4 and it >was 64.2. I guess that's below normal, but lets not be picky. ^^^^^^ No...it was 0.2 degrees below the *average*. The "normal" temperature for a given day (and time of day) is some distribution about the average. 64.2 degrees is normal, as is probably 60 degrees, or 68 degrees, for that date. This is a pet peeve of mine. And I wish the television meteorologists would use the proper term (so that everyone else would too). Suggested reading: http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/~doswell/Normals/normal.html greg stumpf, NSSL ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 08:41:08 -0700 From: kz Subject: Re: Global Warming Feeding Frenzy! cavataio wrote: snip > > Climate change *is* essentially unknown. Here's a sports analogy: > Take a pro baseball team and pit it against a team of Little Leaguers. > Essentially the outcome of the game is unknown, but I'll reckon that most > spectators will put their money on the pros. > I think a better analogy would be pitting a No. 2 pro team with a No. 3 pro team. The outcome could not be predicted. As for global warming, had we had the sophisticated measurements we do today back in the 1930s and 1950s, when it was unusally warm, we could make some real comparisons to today. But we didn't. Global warming is far from certain, as you might know (like the global cooling theories of the 1970s). > So it is with global warming. > > People are suffering in this world, Bernie. With climate change, many > will suffer more. The study of meteorolgy and climate has everything to > do with human > populations and more, like ecosystems and the health of the planet that > sustains us. This is not a difficult concept. Shouldn't research be > directed ultimately to the well-being of all? People have been suffering, it's sad to say, for hundreds, even thousands of years, even before "global warming." There are many reasons other than climate for this, too. Yes, research should be directed to the well-being of all, but let's be more sure of results of that research before we make too many drastic changes to our ways of living. At least, that's the way I look at it. rest snipped KZ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 10:18:33 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Re: Mail Failure Notices At 10:47 AM 10/3/97 -0400, WXCentral@aol.com wrote: >Is anyone else getting "Mail Failure Notices" from posts on WX-TALK, or is >it just me (and AOL?) > >Bill User was bouncing mail back to the list. I have deleted his/her subscription. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 10:22:28 -0500 From: "Mathew L. Powers" Subject: Re: normals vs. averages On Fri, 3 Oct 1997, Greg Stumpf wrote: > > This is a pet peeve of mine. And I wish the television meteorologists > would use the proper term (so that everyone else would too). > oops..That was meant to be somewhat sarcastic. I have the same feelings on average/normal..just didn't come across on the email. Sorry 'bout that. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Matt Powers: powers@weather.cod.edu I still use my 630/942-2590 colored pencils! College of Dupage/NEXLAB (near Chi-town) http://weather.cod.edu/ Multi-County Skywarn http://weather.cod.edu/skywarn/ and Ob's at MDW-Chicago for fun ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 10:44:39 -0500 From: "Jason H. Reeves" Subject: Re: Mail Failure Notices On Fri, 3 Oct 1997, William Hipkins wrote: > Is anyone else getting "Mail Failure Notices" from posts on WX-TALK, or is it > just me (and AOL?) I'm getting them, and it's quite annoying. @&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@& { Jason H. Reeves |"""""""\ } { Technical Assistant - Computing Services | |, } { Home: 718-3707 Work: 575-5736 | |' } { jhr@cavern.uark.edu !--v---v-" } { http://www.uark.edu/~jhr ._--""||| | } { Desktop Unix Support Team (DUST) |-----------------| } &@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@&@ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 11:01:51 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Mail Failure Notices On Fri, 3 Oct 1997, William Hipkins wrote: > Is anyone else getting "Mail Failure Notices" from posts on WX-TALK, or is it > just me (and AOL?) No. There seems to be no discrimination on who gets the failure notices. I'm noting quite a number of list users are getting them, as they are also being bounced into this list. Hasn't happened to myself, yet; but I'm sure it will. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman, A.R.S. KB4MHH -\\- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- Home Page URL: http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Permission to use the above info for inclusion in any mailing | | lists, so as to send me ad-mail personally, is NOT granted. | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 14:44:56 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Mail Failure Notices On Fri, 3 Oct 1997, Todd L. Sherman wrote: > On Fri, 3 Oct 1997, William Hipkins wrote: > > > Is anyone else getting "Mail Failure Notices" from posts on WX-TALK, or is it > > just me (and AOL?) > > No. There seems to be no discrimination on who gets the failure notices. > I'm noting quite a number of list users are getting them, as they are also > being bounced into this list. Hasn't happened to myself, yet; but I'm sure > it will. As a further, I'm noting that these are also users who are subscribed because at other times their mail gets through unbounced. Seems to be a random thing. Something's having fits somewhere. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman, A.R.S. KB4MHH -\\- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- Home Page URL: http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Permission to use the above info for inclusion in any mailing | | lists, so as to send me ad-mail personally, is NOT granted. | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 20:52:47 -0400 From: Michael Harpe Subject: Weather instrument placement I am having a house built. I have already purchased a Davis Weather Instruments weather station with an anemometer, wind vane and rain gauge. I also have an external temperature/humidity sensor. My question is: What's the best placement for the wind instruments? I have a chimney that tops off level with the apex of the roof. I would like to place my instruments up there well clear of the chimney. The site is on a small hill with few trees. Thanks in advance! Mike Harpe ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 21:08:28 -0700 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: Re: Global Warming Feeding Frenzy! Vicki Cavataio wrote in complete and righteous indignation to my thoughtful and reasoned appraisal of the current "global warming" politicization which resulted in the recent indoctrination of 100 broadcast meteorologists on the White House lawn, >Bernie, >Are you living on the same planet as the rest of us? Check with my wife for a more complete and reasoned assessment. >Food and population issues have been politicized for a few millennia. Wars >are just one symptom. Open your history books. Obviously, but the core issue of my original post was the linkage of the unestablished premise of "global warming" with population control and the politicization of weather broadcasters by some transitional political authority. >If you don't believe that there are regions in the world where >overpopulation contributes to or generates hunger and disease-prone living >conditions, then read a little more I never implied that overpopulation, hunger or disease did not exist. My point was that there is little to indicate that the population of this planet has any demonstrable effect on the average temperature of the planet. Especially when natural fluctuations in temperature are considered. We have a very limited database to work with. What makes you think our knowledge lets us look 50 or a 100 years into the future? > or watch something other than the Weather Channel and infomercials on your TV. I don't have cable or DSS. I am however the proud owner of a Ronco Food Dehydrator. It makes great beef jerky and the fruit roll-ups are a big hit with the kids. Healthy and nutritious vittles at a fraction of the supermarket price. I highly endorse it. >Many women want birth-control but have either little or no education, >access, or power (hubby says no). Women don't want their children to >starve. Without adequate birth control, pregnancies happen and women seek >out abortions, often under the most abominable conditions. Some women love their child so much that they practice feticide? Now that's some "tough love"! Again, how do your comments address the supposed notion of global warming? >On earth, climate conditions play a huge impact on the lifestyle and >living conditions of the population in a given region. Most people >realize this even without formal training in weather and climate, and >often with no formal education at all! Again, you are absolutely correct, but what can we prove about supposed global warming? >Climate change *is* essentially unknown. Here's a sports analogy: >Take a pro baseball team and pit it against a team of Little Leaguers. >Essentially the outcome of the game is unknown, but I'll reckon that most >spectators will put their money on the pros. >So it is with global warming. You presume the verdict on global warming is already in, because some politician told you it is?! Duh!? If Ronald Reagan or George Bush told me the planet was "warming up" I would ask them for the facts and not take it on blind faith or political loyalty. Politicians are not scientists. Your analogy is based on the unestablished and highly debatable premise of global warming. The Yankees are a much better bet than global warming and should not be equated with each other. >People are suffering in this world, Bernie. No kidding, did you think I was unaware of that? Oh gosh, maybe I shouldn't have donated all of that time or all of that money I have given to charities over the last few decades of my adult life. I thought Mother Teresa was a big Catholic hoax. Give me a little more credit, please. >With climate change, many will suffer more. The study of meteorology and climate has >everything to do with human populations and more, like ecosystems and the health of the planet that >sustains us. This is not a difficult concept. Shouldn't research be >directed ultimately to the well-being of all? >Perhaps you simply don't like Al Gore. However, don't throw the baby out >with the bathwater. Denial is risky business. > >Enuf said. >Vicki What's happening now is that precious and limited research dollars are being commandeered and squandered by a few extreme liberal interests. If we cannot properly define a problem we cannot even begin to hope for a solution. Emotion and political bias of any nature has no place in scientific or technical endeavors. The same administration that eagerly channels it's energies toward the notion of global warming is stripping resources away from NOAA/NWS. Practical research and funding is being co-opted to finance murky political agendas. Extremists exist on both ends of the political spectrum. Neither should be able to control or dictate the public discourse on substantive issues. Vicki, I appreciate that your thoughts are sincere and heartfelt. Please give others the same benefit of consideration. ************************************************************************* 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" my severe weather and SKYWARN home page! SFTS! http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 2 Oct 1997 to 3 Oct 1997 ************************************************ From - Mon Oct 6 07:59:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626834-24166>; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 15:58:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA50886; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 02:49:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6514919 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 02:47:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA35670 for ; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 02:47:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA27563 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 02:47:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710040747.CAA27563@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 4 Oct 1997 02:47:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 25w (hank) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ea93494452919855201277b1226c77ca X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 533 WTPN31 PGTW 040900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (HANK) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- 16.9N6 108.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.9N6 108.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 18.1N0 106.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 19.1N1 105.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 20.2N4 105.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 21.3N6 105.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 040900Z3 POSITION 17.2N0 108.0E9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (HANK) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY AS IT CONTINUES IN A NORTHWESTWARD DIRECTION THROUGH 24 HOURS, THE APPROXIMATE TIME OF EXPECTED LANDFALL. AFTERWARDS TD 26W (HANK) IS FORECAST TO BEGIN A SLOW TURN NORTHWARDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4), 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0), 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2) AND 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 07:59:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627054-24172>; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 16:33:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA36048; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 03:26:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6515001 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 03:24:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA16096 for ; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 03:22:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA27816 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 03:22:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710040822.DAA27816@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 4 Oct 1997 03:22:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 26w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ba29f90b220fb764bcf53283b4811bcb X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 056 WTPN32 PGTW 040900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- 18.3N2 138.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 138.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 18.7N6 137.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 19.1N1 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 19.4N4 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 19.5N5 133.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 19.5N5 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 040900Z3 POSITION 18.4N3 138.1E3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z0 (DTG 041353Z6), 042100Z7 (DTG 041953Z2), 050300Z8 (DTG 050153Z4) AND 050900Z4 (DTG 050753Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (HANK) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 07:59:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627075-24172>; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 16:34:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA09490; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 03:27:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6515008 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 03:26:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA31230 for ; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 03:23:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA27820 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 03:23:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710040823.DAA27820@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 4 Oct 1997 03:23:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 26w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 881fce79c34dd14c856ab8e7e5865bdc X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 057 WTPN32 PGTW 040900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 07:59:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627098-24175>; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 17:56:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA46620; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 04:54:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6515289 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 04:53:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA14028 for ; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 04:53:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA28049 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 04:53:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710040953.EAA28049@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 4 Oct 1997 04:53:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 34e010430c6ecdf99427b41fac4fad9d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 261 ABPA20 PHNL 041000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST SAT OCT 4 1997 A WEAK DISTURBANCE NEAR 09N153W...700 MILES SOUTH OF HILO...HAS SPORADIC AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AND IS ALMOST STATIONARY. A SECOND DISTURBANCE NEAR 12N137W...1300 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO...REMAINS JUST EAST OF THE BULLETIN AREA. IT IS BETTER ORGANIZED THAN THE FIRST DISTURBANCE...WITH AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS PERSISTING WITHIN 90 MILES OF CENTER...AND IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD. BOTH DISTURBANCES WILL BE WATCHED FOR SIGNS OF FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 07:59:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627099-24172>; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 18:11:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA34846; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 05:04:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6515314 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 05:03:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA46790 for ; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 05:03:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA28088 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 05:03:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710041003.FAA28088@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 4 Oct 1997 05:03:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 18d19fb0ed6a9c00115ff9b4a68be856 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 388 ABPZ20 KNHC 041001 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT OCT 4 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THERE ARE SEVERAL SMALL AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER ACROSS THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC BUT NONE OF THEM ARE SHOWING SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 07:59:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627143-24172>; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 20:54:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA50704; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 07:46:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6515847 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 07:43:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAB34996 for ; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 07:41:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id HAA28500 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 07:41:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710041241.HAA28500@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 4 Oct 1997 07:41:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 25w (hank) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 49bdd1f45b524f86bfae1f02ed86782e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 718 WTPN31 PGTW 041500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (HANK) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- 17.9N7 107.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.9N7 107.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 19.7N7 105.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 21.4N7 103.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 041500Z0 POSITION 18.4N3 106.5E2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (HANK) CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS AND WEAKENING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL IN NORTHERN VIETNAM WITHIN 12 HOURS, THEN CONTINUE MOVING GENERALLY NORTHWEST THROUGH 24 HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (HANK) IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND WITHIN 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 07:59:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627146-24176>; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 22:03:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA28196; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 08:53:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6516350 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 08:50:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA48610 for ; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 08:50:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id IAA28757 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 08:50:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710041350.IAA28757@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 4 Oct 1997 08:50:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 26w Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5ce22549189ad0154ef2cac50dcc60e4 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 567 WTPN32 PGTW 041500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- 18.3N2 138.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 138.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 18.5N4 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 18.8N7 137.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 19.1N1 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 19.3N3 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 19.4N4 131.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 041500Z0 POSITION 18.4N3 138.3E5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS QUASISTATIONARY IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN SLOWLY MOVING WEST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THEN PICK UP SPEED IN THE SAME GENERAL DIRECTION LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE STRENGTHENS TO THE NORTH. MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS FORECAST TO SUPPRESS INTENSIFICATION THROUGH 36 HOURS. AFTER THIS TIME, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS FORECAST TO BEGIN INTENSIFYING AS VERTICAL WIND SHEAR LESSENS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 042100Z7 (DTG 041953Z2), 050300Z8 (DTG 050153Z4), 050900Z4 (DTG 050753Z0) AND 051500Z1 (DTG 051353Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (HANK) WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 07:59:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627169-24176>; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 00:50:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA19376; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 11:44:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6517911 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 11:41:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA33838 for ; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 11:41:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id LAA29288 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 11:41:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710041641.LAA29288@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 4 Oct 1997 11:41:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f50f6b9c7a4587bfb66a3db78b455c1f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 689 ABPZ20 KNHC 041640 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT OCT 4 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1250 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII AND MOVING SLOWLY TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS AND MAY BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. A SMALL AREA OF INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM MAY BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 07:59:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627182-24172>; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 01:12:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA08530; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 12:10:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6518114 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 12:08:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA19384 for ; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 12:08:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA29375 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 12:08:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710041708.MAA29375@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 4 Oct 1997 12:08:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c642720d0611de176d26a92c5ddb9956 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 053 ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/041800Z/051800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 4S4 48E2. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS A CLOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PRESENT IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION AND THAT FAVORABLE UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW EXISTS ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1012 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/HOOVER/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 07:59:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627180-24172>; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 01:13:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAB08670; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 12:11:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6518119 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 12:10:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA47290 for ; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 12:08:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA29376 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 12:08:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710041708.MAA29376@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 4 Oct 1997 12:08:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f011776d967faa3d897e9db59a826bb1 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 053 ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/041800Z/051800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 4S4 48E2. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS A CLOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PRESENT IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION AND THAT FAVORABLE UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW EXISTS ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1012 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/HOOVER/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 07:59:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627217-24172>; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 03:18:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA35652; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 14:11:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6518602 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 14:08:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA35680 for ; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 14:08:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id OAA29981 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 14:08:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710041908.OAA29981@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 4 Oct 1997 14:08:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 26w Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 332460a8eedad368a58a7d03ae337c04 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 471 WTPN32 PGTW 042100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041800Z3 --- 18.2N1 138.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N1 138.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 18.6N5 137.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 18.9N8 136.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 19.1N1 135.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 19.2N2 134.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 19.2N2 131.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 042100Z7 POSITION 18.3N2 138.1E3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W REMAINS QUASISTATIONARY IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE WESTWARD AND GRADUALLY ACCELERATE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST TOWARD THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z8 (DTG 050153Z4), 050900Z4 (DTG 050753Z0), 051500Z1 (DTG 051353Z7) AND 052100Z8 (DTG 051953Z3).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 07:59:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627312-24172>; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 05:55:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA40196; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 16:47:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6519571 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 16:46:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA33910 for ; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 16:46:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA00651 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 16:46:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710042146.QAA00651@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 4 Oct 1997 16:46:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7a93ac5b4b0e9196f0f470c86b596f4f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 946 ABPZ20 KNHC 042144 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT OCT 4 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO IS DRIFTING EASTWARD. THIS SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE VERY WELL ORGANIZED ON SATELLITE IMAGES BUT SURFACE DATA SUGGEST THAT THERE IS NO CLOSED CIRCULATION. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1150 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 07:59:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627312-24175>; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 05:53:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA40208; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 16:50:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6519580 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 16:48:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA49010 for ; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 16:48:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA00661 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 4 Oct 1997 16:48:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710042148.QAA00661@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 4 Oct 1997 16:48:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4033d255de466522252190fa263aa93c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 956 ABPA20 PHNL 042200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST SATURDAY OCTOBER 4 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IN THE EAST PACIFIC ABOUT 1250 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO...NEAR 13N 138W...IS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 10 MILES AN HOUR. THIS DISTURBANCE IS WELL-ORGANIZED AND MAY SOON DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. IF IT DEVELOPS INTO A DEPRESSION EAST OF 140W...THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI WILL START ISSUING BULLETINS ON THE SYSTEM. IF THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST OF 140W IT WILL BECOME THE RESPONSIBILTIIY OF THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 825 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HILO...NEAR 08N 152W REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 07:59:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626654-18861>; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 13:21:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA15916; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 00:13:20 -0500 Message-Id: <199710050513.AAA15916@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 5 Oct 1997 00:03:20 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 3 Oct 1997 to 4 Oct 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: dc836892b2262b0ff6521a7d000744d5 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 9 messages totalling 303 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Global Warming Feeding Frenzy! (2) 2. Weather Obs in METAR format 3. Instruments 4. (no subject) 5. 2 things 6. Global Warming 7. lightning, El-nino and other stuff 8. Political Agendas and Global Warming +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 4 Oct 1997 08:56:25 -0400 From: George Sambataro Subject: Re: Global Warming Feeding Frenzy! Bernie, You hit it on the nose. In general, true liberals hate logic and facts. They deal with the world based on feelings and will distort the facts to advance their agenda. Feelings have no place in science. George >What's happening now is that precious and limited research dollars are >being commandeered and squandered by a few extreme liberal interests. If >we cannot properly define a problem we cannot even begin to hope for a >solution. Emotion and political bias of any nature has no place in >scientific or technical endeavors. ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 4 Oct 1997 09:45:49 CST From: Weatherman <954blake@ALPHA.NLU.EDU> Subject: Weather Obs in METAR format I'm looking for a site on the net besides T A&M that gives a list of surface obs in raw metar format for at least the last 24 hours. Thanks a lot in advance... Oh yeah, I also know about OSU..but that one doesn't generally go back far enough... Eric Blake ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 4 Oct 1997 11:22:30 -0500 From: Matt Biddle Subject: Instruments From: Michael Harpe Subject: Weather instrument placement I am having a house built. I have already purchased a Davis Weather Instruments weather station with an anemometer, wind vane and rain gauge. I also have an external temperature/humidity sensor. My question is: What's the best placement for the wind instruments? I have a chimney that tops off level with the apex of the roof. I would like to place my instruments up there well clear of the chimney. The site is on a small hill with few trees. Thanks in advance! Mike, The best place is on a pole well away from the house. Do you have a TV tower? The roof obviously causes compression. I thought AMS or ANSI had published standards, so you might check. If it is just for fun just get it up as high as possible. If it is for research or official use, if it is not carefully placed, it would invalidate the date. Unfortunately for the raingauge, there is SOOOOO much error, especially for a Davis or similar gauge, so as to be virtually useless. Any wind at all greatly effects the raingauge, with studies showing 20 to 200 % errors. Good Luck. Matt Biddle University of Oklahoma - Geog. ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 4 Oct 1997 16:23:02 -0500 From: Lori Woolf Subject: (no subject) Hello,
I am a graduate student working on an endorsement to my teaching certificate. I have a M.ED already and am working on an Instructional Education endorsment.  My assignment is to subscribe to a list that deals with my research interest, and that is meteorology.  I have to design and put out a web page dealing with that research. So, I need help, I need any weather sites that any of you have run across.  I live in the Texas panhandle and tornadoes are a concern for us naturally, El Nino, lightning, etc.  I would welcome any and all related weather sites. Thank you for your time.

Email:lowo7273@wtmail.wtamu.edu ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 4 Oct 1997 17:40:28 -0500 From: Jeff from West Chicago Subject: Re: Global Warming Feeding Frenzy! > > Vice President Al Gore, warning that > > overpopulation fosters global warming, > > yesterday suggested expanding birth-control and > > abortion programs in developing countries to > > help reduce the environmental threat. > > Who in the hell could possibly make the gigantic leap of faith that the > ruthless pursuit of abortion in third world countries could possibly > have any effect on our weather! > > > . . . . Noting that Third World nations are > > producing too many children too fast -- in > > addition to too much pollution -- Mr. Gore said > > it is time to ignore the controversy over > > family planning and cut out-of-control > > population growth. > > We'll stop the debate just because -he- says so! Duh? The Sierra Club > has chimed in with the "threat" of immigration across our Southern > border harming the environment. Shall we declare our borders and shores > a Free Fire > Zone? Don't send end us your tired and huddled masses, we need room for > the Snail Darter and the Nevada Stink Beetle. Clear air and a guard > tower at every crossing! Well then if not Gore's ideas, what should we do about the problem of over-population? ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 4 Oct 1997 19:15:30 EDT From: "Barry L. Sperling" Subject: 2 things First of all, I would like to skip the political discussions here on wx-talk as they get personal and destroy the ambiance (sp?) of the group. Other groups I've been on have developed all the luster of a freshman dorm at 2 am as these things have taken away the supportive atmosphere, so save those things for personal e-mail. Second, after the comments on the true costs of el-nino, you might want to look up the article on the front page of the business section of the Washington Post for Sunday 10/5 ( I know, this is Saturday, but it was on my lawn at 3 this afternoon! ). It does make the point that there are up-sides to el-nino and also notes a counter-intuitive fact that the expectation of a mild winter in the NE caused a rise in heating oil prices when the storage facilities didn't allocate a lot of space due to the coming warmth and now there is a shortage due to this lack of space. They didn't mention it, but even here the issue of price and effects is clouded as the Iran-Iraq situation is also causing a price rise. The world is a VERY complex feedback system! Barry ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 4 Oct 1997 19:24:50 -0500 From: Don Lloyd Subject: Re: Global Warming Bernie Kopp said: >Vicki Cavataio wrote in complete and righteous indignation to my >thoughtful and reasoned appraisal of the current "global warming" >politicization which resulted in the recent indoctrination of 100 >broadcast meteorologists on the White House lawn, >Obviously, but the core issue of my original post was the linkage >of the unestablished premise of "global warming" with population >control and the politicization of weather broadcasters by some >transitional political authority. The wx people are free to make up their own minds on the material presented, and therefore, the use of the word "indoctrination" is not accurate. Al Gore's credibility is stretched a bit thin at the moment anyway. >I never implied that overpopulation, hunger or disease did not exist. My >point was that there is little to indicate that the population of this >planet has any demonstrable effect on the average temperature of the >planet. Especially when natural fluctuations in temperature are >considered. We have a very limited database to work with. What makes you >think our knowledge lets us look 50 or a 100 years into the future? Suppose we double the population to 11 billion. Double the cars, double the methane producing animals, double the energy needs, double the sewage, double everything, clear the rain forests to make room, throw billions more tons of carbon into the atmosphere and you think there will be no demonstrable effect on the global environment? No doubt you'll say: >but what can we prove about supposed global warming? Nothing. On the other hand, you cannot even begin to disprove it. Stalemate. >What's happening now is that precious and limited research dollars are >being commandeered and squandered by a few extreme liberal interests. If >we cannot properly define a problem we cannot even begin to hope for a >solution. Emotion and political bias of any nature has no place in >scientific or technical endeavors. What a marvellous bit of logic. If we cannot precisely define a problem, we needn't bother trying to solve the problem? Maybe it'll go away, eh? Doesn't exist if you can't see it? Imagine if we'd used the same thinking when a causal link between smoking and cancer first appeared. Not being able to fully define a problem is not an excuse for inaction, though I suspect that if and when global warming becomes a proven effect, we'll do nothing until it's a full-blown crisis anyway. >The same administration that eagerly channels it's energies toward the >notion of global warming is stripping resources away from NOAA/NWS. >Practical research and funding is being co-opted to finance murky >political agendas. Population control and global warming are murky political agendas? Gee, and here I foolishly thought they were important issues. >Extremists exist on both ends of the political spectrum. Neither >should be able to control or dictate the public discourse on >substantive issues. And they don't normally. Congress and the Senate insure that most ideas are suitably bland by the time they become law. *********** Don and Jennie Lloyd (dlloyd@tcccom.net) (KB9OXW) Fond du Lac, Wisconsin Wx/Fx Photography and Presentations http://www.wx-fx.com featuring "The Tornadoes of Wisconsin" *********** ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 4 Oct 1997 21:57:49 -0700 From: Stephen Hodanish Subject: lightning, El-nino and other stuff First, Awhile back, this group was talking about lightning and what the NWS could possibly do to let the public know of its dangers/threats/ltg warnings etc. We at NWS Melbourne Florida are trying to something about the lightning lightning threat through our "Total Lightning Initiative". check our homepage at: http://sunmlb.nws.fit.edu Then click on the "whats new" section. Please send useful comments to me at: steve.hodanish@noaa.gov Second: If you are interested to see how the El-Nino has affected Florida in the past, Go to the same homepage as above and the whats new section and you'll see some nice graphs and past weather history. Third... Are we pushng it a bit too far here with comments like the ones below.... *** What's happening now is that precious and limited research dollars are being commandeered and squandered by a few extreme liberal interests. If ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ we cannot properly define a problem we cannot even begin to hope for a solution. Emotion and political bias of any nature has no place in scientific or technical endeavors. **** Comments like this are NOT necessary. If you think all this garbage we are putting into the air is NOT affecting this planet, you are living in a dream world. If "flaming liberals" are trying to do something about potential future problems, then let them keep on getting the monies! Stephen Hodanish NWS/MLB ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 4 Oct 1997 21:14:48 -0500 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Political Agendas and Global Warming Take a look at this URL if you are concerned about Global Warming: http://www.climatefacts.org./ Have you bought your bicycle yet? Sam Barricklow ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 3 Oct 1997 to 4 Oct 1997 ************************************************ From - Mon Oct 6 07:59:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626988-18861>; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 15:48:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA50232; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 02:36:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6522440 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 02:35:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA50930 for ; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 02:35:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA02099 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 02:35:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710050735.CAA02099@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 5 Oct 1997 02:35:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 26w Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b7d5f10db0efaeaf1458fe4cd90c03fd X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 339 WTPN32 PGTW 050900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050600Z1 --- 17.5N3 137.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.5N3 137.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 17.4N2 136.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 17.3N1 135.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 17.3N1 134.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 17.3N1 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 17.3N1 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 050900Z4 POSITION 17.5N3 137.5E6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS QUASISTATIONARY IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z1 (DTG 051353Z7), 052100Z8 (DTG 051953Z3), 060300Z9 (DTG 060153Z5) AND 060900Z5 (DTG 060753Z1).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 07:59:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627241-18861>; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 18:19:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA50830; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 05:17:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6522987 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 05:16:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA09824 for ; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 05:16:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA02693 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 05:16:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710051016.FAA02693@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 5 Oct 1997 05:16:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9569e6c969aee6b5cae051055c8d8382 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 646 ABPA20 PHNL 051000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST SUNDAY OCTOBER 5 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 14N139W IS NEARLY STATIONARY. THERE IS A FAIR CHANCE THAT IT MAY MOVE WEST AND STRENGTHEN. A WEAK CIRCULATION NEAR 08N153W HAS A POOR CHANCE OF DEVELOPING INTO A SIGNIFICANT SYSTEM. NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH MONDAY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 07:59:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627249-18864>; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 19:08:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA12576; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 05:57:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6523029 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 05:56:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA16110 for ; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 05:56:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA02783 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 05:56:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710051056.FAA02783@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 5 Oct 1997 05:56:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 530235b82ea0c02af698a5f791d0a690 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 254 ABPZ20 KNHC 051055 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN OCT 5 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO IS DRIFTING EASTWARD. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY NOT WELL-ORGANIZED... HOWEVER THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 425 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN OF TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...APPARENTLY THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF...SHOWS SOME SIGNS OF RE-ORGANIZATION. SOME REDEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII IS MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 07:59:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627280-18850>; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 21:02:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA09902; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 07:51:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6523498 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 07:50:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA28252 for ; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 07:50:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id HAA03063 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 07:50:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710051250.HAA03063@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 5 Oct 1997 07:50:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 26w Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f0b741f65ab8cb4da813b1ae00edb66a X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 637 WTPN32 PGTW 051500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z8 --- 17.5N3 137.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.5N3 137.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 17.3N1 137.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 17.1N9 136.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 17.0N8 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 051500Z1 POSITION 17.4N2 137.8E9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W REMAINS QUASISTATIONARY IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 051130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE DATA. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN WEAK STEERING FLOW THROUGH 36 HOURS. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE POLEWARD OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS FORECAST TO STAY WEAK THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH WILL REMAIN TO THE NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IN THE VICINITY OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W. THIS WILL SUPPRESS STRENGTHENING OF STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS FROM THE EAST-NORTHEAST ARE FORECAST TO INHIBIT INTENSIFICATION OF THIS SYSTEM THROUGH 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z9 (DTG 060153Z5) AND 061500Z2 (DTG 061353Z8). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 07:59:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627298-18861>; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 00:46:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA41904; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 11:37:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6524783 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 11:36:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA52746 for ; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 11:34:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id LAA03629 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 11:34:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710051634.LAA03629@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 5 Oct 1997 11:34:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 996895fac44ae2f97b94543b6b57a45c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 189 ABPZ20 KNHC 051633 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN OCT 5 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...CENTERED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO...IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...A TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAY FORM LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN OF TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF...CONTINUES TO RE-ORGANIZE. THIS SYSTEM MAY SOON REDEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS RECENTLY CROSSED 140W LONGITUDE ...INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED SINCE YESTERDAY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 07:59:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627298-18861>; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 01:22:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA25308; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 12:20:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6525069 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 12:19:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA17656 for ; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 12:16:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA03738 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 12:16:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710051716.MAA03738@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 5 Oct 1997 12:16:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a4ba87089ef58b413a86b8d62889680b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 841 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/051800Z/061800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 12N3 97E6. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGEST A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PRESENT IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. SATELLITE- DERIVED WATER VAPOR WIND DATA INDICATE UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE EXISTS ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4S4 48E2 IS NOW NEAR 4S4 44E8. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTIVE AREAL COVERAGE HAS DECREASED WITH THIS SYSTEM DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE SAME IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA IS APPROACHING THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR THE BORDER OF TANZANIA AND KENYA. ACCORDINGLY, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/HOOVER/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 08:00:00 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627298-18861>; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 01:26:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA25204; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 12:19:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6525064 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 12:16:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA25338 for ; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 12:16:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA03739 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 12:16:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710051716.MAA03739@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 5 Oct 1997 12:16:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5b06a8d83cc05a73556da892b1d023dc X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 841 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/051800Z/061800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 12N3 97E6. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGEST A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PRESENT IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. SATELLITE- DERIVED WATER VAPOR WIND DATA INDICATE UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE EXISTS ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4S4 48E2 IS NOW NEAR 4S4 44E8. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTIVE AREAL COVERAGE HAS DECREASED WITH THIS SYSTEM DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE SAME IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA IS APPROACHING THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR THE BORDER OF TANZANIA AND KENYA. ACCORDINGLY, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/HOOVER/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 08:00:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627331-18861>; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 04:41:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA25192; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 15:33:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6526397 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 15:32:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA52774 for ; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 15:32:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA04392 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 15:32:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710052032.PAA04392@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 5 Oct 1997 15:32:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Discussion Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: df88739c1a59e79084fd12e9c313f8bc X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 356 WTPZ42 KNHC 052031 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN OCT 05 1997 SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. THIS IS A SMALL SYSTEM AND VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS DISTINCT BANDING IN THE LOW LEVELS...ALTHOUGH INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION IS LIMITED TO A SMALL AREA NEAR THE CENTER. THIS SYSTEM HAS BEEN TRACKED FOR SEVERAL DAYS AND APPEARS TO BE THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF. THEREFORE...ADVISORIES ARE REINITIATED ON OLAF AND THE NUMBER OF THE CURRENT ADVISORY IS FOURTEEN SINCE THE LAST ADVISORY ON OLAF WAS THIRTEEN. NO OVERALL MOVEMENT HAS BEEN NOTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. STEERING CURRENTS ARE WEAK AND LITTLE MOVEMENT IS EXPECTED IN THE SHORT TERM. THEREAFTER...MOST TRACK PREDICTION MODELS INDICATE A SLOW MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IN RESPONSE TO LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING. THE OFFICIAL TRACK IS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE MID LAYER BAM. THE NWS AVIATION MODEL FORECASTS THE SHEAR TO INCREASE WITH TIME SO NO SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING IS INDICATED ON THIS FORECAST. HOWEVER ...ONLY A LITTLE INCREASE IN DEEP CONVECTION AND OLAF WOULD AGAIN BE UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM STATUS. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 05/2100Z 16.8N 115.6W 30 KTS 12HR VT 06/0600Z 17.0N 115.5W 30 KTS 24HR VT 06/1800Z 18.0N 115.0W 30 KTS 36HR VT 07/0600Z 18.8N 114.5W 30 KTS 48HR VT 07/1800Z 19.6N 114.0W 30 KTS 72HR VT 08/1800Z 20.5N 113.5W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 08:00:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627331-18850>; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 04:44:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA20512; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 15:35:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6526411 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 15:33:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA20556 for ; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 15:33:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA04396 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 15:33:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710052033.PAA04396@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 5 Oct 1997 15:33:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8efd7d00627055614a5ee5fcfac037a5 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 358 WTPZ22 KNHC 052032 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1797 2100Z SUN OCT 05 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 115.6W AT 05/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT...NEARLY STATIONARY... ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 115.6W AT 05/2100Z AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 115.7W FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 17.0N 115.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 18.0N 115.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 18.8N 114.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 115.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 19.6N 114.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 20.5N 113.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 08:00:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627340-18850>; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 06:09:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA44370; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 17:05:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6526936 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 17:04:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA31170 for ; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 17:04:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA04706 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 17:04:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710052204.RAA04706@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 5 Oct 1997 17:04:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 09d95e28374e48d2832b8bb68ee8ab75 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 741 ABPA20 PHNL 052200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST SUNDAY OCTOBER 5 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 900 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO... NEAR 15N 142W...IS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 15 MILES AN HOUR. THIS DISTURBANCE REMAINS WELL-ORGANIZED BUT SMALL. CONDITIONS HAVE BECOME LESS FAVORABLE FOR THE DISTURBANCE TO STRENGTHEN AND BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. A WEAK DISTURBANCE ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH OF HILO...NEAR 08N 154W HAS BECOME EVEN MORE POORLY ORGANIZED THAN IT WAS LAST NIGHT. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 08:00:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625922-4066>; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 07:45:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA21376; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 18:32:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6527343 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 18:31:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id SAA49482 for ; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 18:31:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id SAA04978 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 18:31:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710052331.SAA04978@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 5 Oct 1997 18:31:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2e7d1728088a02cef178f854a0ab7cd2 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 352 ABPZ20 KNHC 052329 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN OCT 5 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF HAVE REGENERATED INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOCATED ABOUT 560 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP2 AND WMO HEADER WPTZ22. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...CENTERED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO...HAS GRADUALLY BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND COULD DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TONIGHT OR MONDAY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 10:33:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625936-4069>; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 09:08:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA44440; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 19:53:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6528000 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 19:52:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA11858 for ; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 19:52:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id TAA05215 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 19:52:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710060052.TAA05215@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 5 Oct 1997 19:52:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: befac99bf8c6a43b220c4ad512ac7b89 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 393 ABPZ20 KNHC 060051 COR TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN OCT 5 1997 CORRECTION TO OLAF WMO HEADER FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF HAVE REGENERATED INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOCATED ABOUT 560 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP2 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ22. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...CENTERED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO...HAS GRADUALLY BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND COULD DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TONIGHT OR MONDAY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 10:33:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626065-4070>; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 10:34:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA15944; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 21:14:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6528750 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 21:13:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA41960 for ; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 21:13:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA05475 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 21:13:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710060213.VAA05475@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 5 Oct 1997 21:13:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 26w Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 309055fb5ca8cebcd0b86b4a75c3b184 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 393 WTPN32 PGTW 060300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- 17.9N7 137.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 01 KT POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.9N7 137.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 17.9N7 137.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 17.8N6 136.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 17.8N6 136.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 060300Z9 POSITION 17.9N7 137.8E9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W REMAINS QUASISTATIONARY IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 0532330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, A 052214Z MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS AND A 051800Z SHIP OBSERVATION AT 18.5N 139.1E. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE AFFECTED BY UPPER LEVEL SHEAR AND HAS ONLY MINIMAL SUSTAINED CONVECTION. IT IS ALSO DIFFICULT TO TRACK AS THERE ARE POSSIBLE MULTIPLE CIRCULATION FEATURES. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z2 (DTG 061353Z8) AND 070300Z0 (DTG 070153Z6). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 12:13:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626003-4066>; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 11:14:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA39372; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 21:31:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6528822 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 21:30:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA53402 for ; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 21:30:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA05532 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 21:30:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710060230.VAA05532@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 5 Oct 1997 21:30:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1f7e47027a6d6b35f4b2cd58d600266d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 658 WTPZ22 KNHC 060229 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1797 0300Z MON OCT 06 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 115.2W AT 06/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST NORTHEAST OR 75 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 115.2W AT 06/0300Z AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 115.4W FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 16.7N 114.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 17.1N 113.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 17.6N 113.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 115.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 18.3N 112.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 19.7N 111.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 12:13:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626102-4072>; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 11:14:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA53252; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 21:33:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6528827 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 21:31:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA53430 for ; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 21:30:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA05536 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 21:30:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710060230.VAA05536@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 5 Oct 1997 21:30:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Discussion Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6396a8020349db3073c294633bcac52b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 659 WTPZ42 KNHC 060230 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN OCT 05 1997 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 090/06. THE GUIDANCE MODELS MOSTLY SHOW A SLOW NORTHEASTWARD MOTION...ONLY THE DEEP BAM AND LBAR SHOW ACCELERATION TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS IN CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH THE CLIPER AND MEDIUM BAM MODELS AND IS TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. THERE REMAINS A SPORADIC AND SMALL AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER. WITH THE 12Z AVIATION MODEL MODEL SHOWING STRONG 200 MB WESTERLIES NEARBY...NO CHANGE IN WIND SPEED IS FORECAST. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/0300Z 16.5N 115.2W 30 KTS 12HR VT 06/1200Z 16.7N 114.5W 30 KTS 24HR VT 07/0000Z 17.1N 113.8W 30 KTS 36HR VT 07/1200Z 17.6N 113.3W 30 KTS 48HR VT 08/0000Z 18.3N 112.7W 30 KTS 72HR VT 09/0000Z 19.7N 111.7W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 12:13:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626027-4070>; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 11:04:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA21296; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 21:50:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6528926 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 21:49:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA40328 for ; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 21:49:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA05598 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 21:49:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710060249.VAA05598@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 5 Oct 1997 21:49:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Eighteen-e Discussion Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 848d0ab1654c73e1c5bcfac1732563da X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 913 WTPZ43 KNHC 060249 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN OCT 05 1997 THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC HAS HAD A GOOD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ON VISIBLE IMAGERY ALL DAY. NOW...A SMALL SYMMETRIC AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR SEVERAL HOURS AND IT IS PRUDENT TO START DEPRESSION ADVISORIES. THE 12Z AVIATION MODEL INDICATES AN ABSENCE OF STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR NEAR THIS SYSTEM AND THE FEW INTENSITY GUIDANCE MODELS AVAILABLE INDICATE SLOW STRENGTHENING...AS DOES THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. THE INITIAL MOTION APPEARS TO BE SLOW EASTWARD. THE TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS ARE DIVERGENT. THE DEEP BAM GOES SOUTHWEST AND THE SHALLOW BAM...CLIPER...AND STATISTICAL/DYNAMICAL MODELS SHOW A NORTHWARD MOTION. THE GFDL AND MEDIUM SHOW LITTLE MOTION. WITH SUCH DIVERSE GUIDANCE THE FORECAST IS TO REMAIN STATIONARY THROUGH 72 HOURS. PERHAPS THE NEXT GUIDANCE BASED ON THE 00Z AVIATION RUN WILL RESOLVE SOME OF THIS DIVERGENCE. SINCE THE FORECAST TRACK DOES NOT THREATEN MEXICO...A PUBLIC ADVISORIES WILL NOT BE ISSUED AT THIS TIME. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/0300Z 12.0N 95.2W 30 KTS 12HR VT 06/1200Z 12.0N 94.5W 35 KTS 24HR VT 07/0000Z 12.0N 94.5W 40 KTS 36HR VT 07/1200Z 12.0N 94.5W 45 KTS 48HR VT 08/0000Z 12.0N 94.5W 50 KTS 72HR VT 09/0000Z 12.0N 94.5W 55 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 12:13:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626003-4070>; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 11:05:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA34964; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 21:52:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6528937 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 21:51:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA20564 for ; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 21:51:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA05612 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 21:50:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710060250.VAA05612@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 5 Oct 1997 21:50:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Eighteen-e-e Forecast/advisory Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: aaf3678ce4b8d5b88d427aabe87ade0c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 939 WTPZ23 KNHC 060250 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1897 0300Z MON OCT 06 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 95.2W AT 06/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 95.2W AT 06/0300Z AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 95.5W FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 12.0N 94.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 40 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 12.0N 94.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 12.0N 94.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N 95.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 12.0N 94.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 12.0N 94.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 13:53:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626300-4072>; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 12:42:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA19246; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 23:04:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6529420 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 23:02:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA50358 for ; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 23:02:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id XAA05798 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 5 Oct 1997 23:02:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710060402.XAA05798@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 5 Oct 1997 23:02:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d59af56a8fb79d25ff48999caa94a29a X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 163 ABPZ20 KNHC 060401 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN OCT 5 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF LOCATED ABOUT 560 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON NEWLY-FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E LOCATED ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON OLAF ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP2 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ22...AND ON EIGHTEEN-E UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP3 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ23. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 13:53:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626017-4066>; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 13:18:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA40772; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 00:05:12 -0500 Message-Id: <199710060505.AAA40772@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 00:01:06 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 4 Oct 1997 to 5 Oct 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 6fbf13e9ddc9fa2cfe7899f60c07f4de X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 9 messages totalling 293 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. 2. WX-TALK Digest - 3 Oct 1997 to 4 Oct 1997 (3) 3. None 4. WX OBS in METAR format 5. Weather Obs in METAR format 6. Great source of detailed weather data 7. Oregon Tornadic Activity +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 5 Oct 1997 04:50:38 -0500 From: Richard Whitenight Subject: I'm trying to locate a site where I can retrieve everyday weather data such as high/low, precip, pressure, humidity, etc, for any particular day. I wanted to start a data base starting this month, but I keep forgetting to record the data when I watch my nightly weather. I live in the Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex, and I've love to find a site where weather data for DFW Airport might be kept. If anyone on this list can help me out, just respond to either of my Internet addresses below. Thanks for taking the time to read this request. Richard richard.whitenight@chrysalis.org rwhitenigh@aol.com rum.runner@juno.com r.whitenight@rocketmail.com ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 5 Oct 1997 07:41:28 +0000 From: "Yerges, Mark" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 3 Oct 1997 to 4 Oct 1997 > > I'm looking for a site on the net besides T A&M that gives a list of > surface obs in raw metar format for at least the last 24 hours. Thanks > a lot in advance... > > Oh yeah, I also know about OSU..but that one doesn't generally go back > far enough... > > Eric Blake > > A good site to find current SA's is at http://meteora.ucsd.edu/weather/observations/airways The site is very reliable and they have archieved data going back at least 5 months. Sincerely, Mark Yerges MYERGES@KAVOURAS.COM ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 5 Oct 1997 09:12:38 -0500 From: Mark_Hofmann Subject: Re: None RE: None BY: richard.whitenight@chrysalis.org > I'm trying to locate a site where I can retrieve everyday weather data such > high/low, precip, pressure, humidity, etc, for any particular day. I wanted > start a data base starting this month, but I keep forgetting to record the d > when I watch my nightly weather. I live in the Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex, > and I've love to find a site where weather data for DFW Airport might be kep > If anyone on this list can help me out, just respond to either of my Interne > addresses below. Thanks for taking the time to read this request. I could use the same information (either graphical or text based) for Baltimore, Maryland. I know that the "Weather Underground" telnet site provides much of this data, but I am always looking for more sources. Try telnet rainmaker.wunderground.com 3000 (for port 3000). They have loads of great data for all locations, but if anyone else has more sources, please let me know.. Thanks.. -=Mark=- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Origin: Weather Station (410)882-8887 / WWIVnet @8304 Fidonet (1:261/1304) Perry Hall, MD "Live Radar/Satellite/Surface/Temps/Conditions/Reports/&More" ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 5 Oct 1997 09:21:08 -0500 From: Dan Satterfield Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 3 Oct 1997 to 4 Oct 1997 While I am not going to get involved in this POLITICAL debate on this forum I must correct a quote I have seen posted several times over the last few days. Vice President Al Gore, warning that > > overpopulation fosters global warming, > > yesterday suggested expanding birth-control and > > abortion programs in developing countries to > > help reduce the environmental threat. He did not say this...in fact he made a point of noting that birth control and and controversial abortion programs were not needed to slow down population growth in 3rd world countries.... I know..I was there. Dan S _________________________________________________________________ Dan Satterfield Chief Meteorologist WHNT-TV Huntsville, AL ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 5 Oct 1997 12:35:50 -0600 From: Albert Pietrycha Subject: Re: WX OBS in METAR format >Date: Sat, 4 Oct 1997 09:45:49 CST >From: Weatherman <954blake@ALPHA.NLU.EDU> >Subject: Weather Obs in METAR format >I'm looking for a site on the net besides T A&M that gives a list of >surface obs in raw metar format for at least the last 24 hours. Thanks >a lot in advance... >Oh yeah, I also know about OSU..but that one doesn't generally go back >far enough... >Eric Blake Peter Neilley at NCAR has developed an excellent program to obtain this and many other types of data. Go to: http://www.rap.ucar.edu/staff/pneilley/weather/ Here you will find a vast list of options and directions to use his program. I hope this helps. --Al Pietrycha ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Albert Pietrycha President, NCAR/RAP American Meteorological Society P.O. Box 3000 Metropolitan State College Boulder, CO 80307-3000 Denver (303) 497-8382 pietrych@ncar.ucar.edu http://www.rap.ucar.edu/staff/pietrych/pietrych.html My opinions only I am not a storm chaser..I'm a storm connoisseur ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 5 Oct 1997 14:44:51 -0500 From: dale reid Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 3 Oct 1997 to 4 Oct 1997 Matt Biddle commented that the Davis type of rain gauge was prone to a wide variation in rain amounts reported. I presume they are of the type with the little tipping bucket, and if so, how does this differ from the RainWise 0.01" raingauge with the deep, 10 or 12" mouth? I have been impressed with the Heath weather station rain guage accuracy as compared to the more traditional rain guages. And while on the subject, how much variation is caused with the approved NOAA type rain guage, based on wind and other factors? I would assume that no matter how you made a guage, execpt if huge, there would be these same type of effects. Anyone know how the official guages were designed and standardized? Dale ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 5 Oct 1997 16:25:57 -0400 From: Paul Ruscher Subject: Weather Obs in METAR format Check out the FSU Weather page - http://www.met.fsu.edu/weather Paul Ruscher / FSU Meteorology / Tallahassee FL 32306-4520 ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 5 Oct 1997 23:51:24 -0400 From: "Marc A. Gindin" Subject: Great source of detailed weather data >I'm trying to locate a site where I can retrieve everyday weather data such as >high/low, precip, pressure, humidity, etc, for any particular day. I wanted to >start a data base starting this month, but I keep forgetting to record the data >when I watch my nightly weather. I live in the Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex, >and I've love to find a site where weather data for DFW Airport might be kept. >If anyone on this list can help me out, just respond to either of my Internet >addresses below. Thanks for taking the time to read this request. > >Richard Might seem a little obvious, but I recommend very highly http://www.accuweather.com. Yep, good old AccuWeather. There is an option there to put together your own page with the information you want it to include for one of any cities you wish. Take a look over there, select Dallas, and set up your page, and I think you'll be quite pleased with the database of information you'll have access to. I was very pleasantly surprised myself... a full year of climactic records, normal highs and lows, precipitation, and much more, broken down by the day. Marc --- Independent Agent, Credit For Security Need a credit card, credit repair, or debt consolidation? http://www.angelfire.com/biz/credit20 ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 01:08:55 GMT From: rjhstorm Subject: Oregon Tornadic Activity Given the near absence of tornadic activity in many high profile locations this year, I want to point out that Oregon has had at least 12 confirmed or probable tornadoes so far this year, with 5 confirmed tornados occurring since September 15th. Of the confirmed events, 5 of these tornados touched down within a 12 mile radius of Salem, Oregon (on 4 different days); and at least 4 touched down In the vicinity of Ontario, Oregon in two seperate events. Apart from being the busiest severe weather season ever recorded in the state, these events also distinguished themselves in that at least 7 of the tornados produced damage to manmade structures. Given that most Oregon tornados are very brief, of F0-F1 intensity, and tend to occur in rural areas, the fact that the majority of them found something to hit in their short lives is extremely unusual. Damage reports ranges from a doghouse in Mcleay - about 5 miles east of Salem, the obligatory mobile home hit in Garibaldi (one person injured), and the destruction of a feed mill, with multiple injuries in Ontario, Oregon (intensity at least F2 - a very strong Oregon nader). Most Oregon tornadoes occur in the cold unstable air after the passing of a cold front, hence their relatively weak, short lifespan. The tornadoes in and near Ontario, Oregon were generated in the more traditional pre-frontal thunderstorms, and so were stronger and of longer duration. That they also created substantial property damage was even more interesting in that most of eastern Oregon is uninhabited and undeveloped. For the first time since I have begun observing and tracking Oregon tornado activity, there have been enough events to look for consistent indicators to help anticipate possible future activity. In NW Oregon, where the cold-core activity was focused, the key indicator appears to be strong shear in the lowest 1-2 kilometers of the atmosphere following the passage of a cold front In the last three events (September 15, 17th and October 1st), the 12Z soundings from Salem, OR showed about 50 to 70 degrees of shear in the lowest portions of the atmosphere. SSW winds of 15 to 25mph at the surface rotated around to WSW and intensified to the 40-60mph range within 4,000 to 6,000ft of altitude. This amount of shear, when combined with the cold-core convection is enough to spin up the brief, weak and often unnoticed tornados in the updrafts of the low-topped cumulonimbus. The weather radars usually don't detect these events since they seldom have any precursors, such as a mesocyclone, and since they only last a few seconds to a few minutes, can frequently go unobserved if they happen out in a farm field or in the forested areas. Since they do occur without warning from otherwise innocuous showers, they are unchasable. I have observed several funnel clouds in and around Corvallis, Oregon over the past 5 years, but none have touched down. The last tornadic event, on October 1st, happened only about 7 miles from where I sat, working on computer quotes, and I didn't find out about it until I got home that evening and checked my e-mail. I guess that means I will either have to keep going to the midwest, in hopes of an event long-lasting enough to allow me to get to it, or keep glancing out my workplace windows on the off chance that one will drop down into the parking lot. Richard Halter Oregon Tornado Chasers' Society ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 4 Oct 1997 to 5 Oct 1997 ************************************************ From - Mon Oct 6 14:34:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626895-4066>; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 14:23:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA20590; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 01:14:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6530290 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 01:13:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA41950 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 01:11:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA06200 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 01:11:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710060611.BAA06200@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 01:11:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 683d869cff3629d2a44256e6d85577ae X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 410 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z /070600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 060153Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 060000Z6, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W, WAS LOCATED AT 17.9N7 137.9E0 AND WAS QUASISTATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WARNING NR 08 (WTPN32 PGTW 060300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 07N7 174E2 WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF AN ASSOCIATED WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. THE CONVECTION IS DISORGANIZED BUT INDICATES GOOD UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 04N4 179E7 WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF AN ASSOCIATED WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. THE CONVECTION IS DISORGANIZED BUT INDICATES GOOD UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/HONG/BOYD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 14:34:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626557-4066>; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 14:26:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA20482; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 01:12:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6530285 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 01:11:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA08654 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 01:11:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA06199 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 01:11:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710060611.BAA06199@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 01:11:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 77e37cb33542d5bb467e1845366b30b8 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 410 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z /070600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 060153Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 060000Z6, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W, WAS LOCATED AT 17.9N7 137.9E0 AND WAS QUASISTATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WARNING NR 08 (WTPN32 PGTW 060300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 07N7 174E2 WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF AN ASSOCIATED WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. THE CONVECTION IS DISORGANIZED BUT INDICATES GOOD UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 04N4 179E7 WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF AN ASSOCIATED WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. THE CONVECTION IS DISORGANIZED BUT INDICATES GOOD UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/HONG/BOYD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 19:17:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627363-4069>; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 16:38:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA41946; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 03:30:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6530892 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 03:29:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA23902 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 03:29:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA06679 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 03:29:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710060829.DAA06679@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 03:29:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: aa885e36c38c2c8aa4a2cdd59064b65e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 050 WTPZ22 KNHC 060828 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1797 0900Z MON OCT 06 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 114.5W AT 06/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 114.5W AT 06/0900Z AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 114.8W FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 16.6N 113.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 17.0N 112.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 17.5N 111.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 114.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 18.0N 110.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 19.5N 108.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 19:17:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627257-4072>; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 16:39:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA41772; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 03:32:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6530897 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 03:30:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA53360 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 03:29:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA06683 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 03:29:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710060829.DAA06683@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 03:29:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Discussion Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f3b5db8ec5d4d58bed974e91f43aad56 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 052 WTPZ42 KNHC 060829 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON OCT 06 1997 THE SATELLITE PRESENTATION GIVES NO DISTINCT PATTERN AT THIS TIME. THERE IS LITTLE EVIDENCE OF BANDING FEATURES...ONLY A CLUSTER OF DEEP CONVECTION A FEW DEGREES IN DIAMETER. THE CENTER OF THE CYCLONE IS PRESUMED TO BE SLIGHTLY TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE CLUSTER CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS RESTRICTED TO THE SOUTH AND WEST. SINCE OLAF IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO BE IN THE VICINITY OF STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD...NO INTENSIFICATION IS PREDICTED. MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO BE EASTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. WHEREAS MOST OF THE GUIDANCE SHOWS A NORTHEASTWARD TURN...BOTH THE GFDL AND AVN MODELS SHOW A SOUTHEASTWARD TURN. IT IS BELIEVED THAT THE LATTER TRACK IS DUE TO THE AVN MODEL INITIALIZATION OF A STRONG LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC VORTEX IN THE VICINITY OF 14N106W. THE FLOW ON THE WEST SIDE OF THIS VORTEX COULD INDUCE AN EQUATORWARD COMPONENT TO THE MOTION OF OLAF. HOWEVER...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST SHOWS A NORTHEASTWARD TURN SINCE THE AVN MODEL INITIALIZATION IN THE AREA SOUTH OF MEXICO DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE REALISTIC. WHAT SEEMS MORE LIKELY IS THAT THE STEERING OF OLAF WILL BE PRIMARILY INFLUENCED BY A BROAD 500 MB TROUGH THAT THE GLOBAL MODEL FORECASTS TO BE NEAR 115W...AND EXTENDING SOUTHWARD THROUGH 20N LATITUDE...IN A DAY OR TWO. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/0900Z 16.5N 114.5W 30 KTS 12HR VT 06/1800Z 16.6N 113.7W 30 KTS 24HR VT 07/0600Z 17.0N 112.5W 30 KTS 36HR VT 07/1800Z 17.5N 111.3W 30 KTS 48HR VT 08/0600Z 18.0N 110.3W 30 KTS 72HR VT 09/0600Z 19.5N 108.0W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 19:17:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627276-4072>; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 16:41:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA11884; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 03:33:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6530910 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 03:32:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA25292 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 03:30:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA06696 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 03:30:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710060830.DAA06696@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 03:30:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Pauline Forecast/advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0f613d34bad63b2b5c2b5ad218db3d9b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 059 WTPZ23 KNHC 060830 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM PAULINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1897 0900Z MON OCT 06 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 94.6W AT 06/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 94.6W AT 06/0900Z AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 94.8W FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 12.0N 93.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 12.5N 93.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 13.2N 93.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.9N 94.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 14.0N 94.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 15.5N 94.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 19:17:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627375-4069>; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 16:57:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA41774; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 03:36:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6530923 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 03:34:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA11982 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 03:34:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA06700 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 03:34:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710060834.DAA06700@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 03:34:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Pauline Discussion Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7f605997ffe9b322ff3951df1e1a4225 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 119 WTPZ43 KNHC 060834 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM PAULINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON OCT 06 1997 THE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED TO DEVELOP. THERE IS NOW A BANDING FEATURE WHICH WRAPS MORE THAN HALFWAY AROUND THE CYCLONE...SIGNIFYING THAT IT HAS LIKELY REACHED TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. THUS THE SYSTEM IS BEING NAMED. THE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS THE AVERAGE OF DVORAK T-NUMBERS FROM TAFB MIAMI AND SAB WASHINGTON. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS NOT PARTICULARLY IMPRESSIVE AT THIS TIME...BUT IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE. FURTHER GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST SINCE THE VERTICAL SHEAR IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE VERY STRONG OVER THE AREA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 090/06. THERE IS NOW A LITTLE BETTER AGREEMENT IN THE GUIDANCE MODELS THAN WE HAD EARLIER...EVEN THOUGH WE STILL HAVE A COUPLE OF OUTLIERS. MOST OF THE OBJECTIVE TRACK PREDICTIONS... INCLUDING THE GFDL... SHOW A GENERAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS. HOWEVER THE DEEP LAYER BAM...U.K. MET AND THE BAROTROPIC MODEL SHOW A SIGNIFICANTLY MORE WESTWARD TRACK THAN THE OTHER MODELS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST SHOWS THE NORTHWARD TURN BUT IS GENERALLY SLOWER THAN THE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS...SINCE THERE STILL A FAIR DEGREE OF DIVERSITY IN THE MODEL TRACKS. INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF PAULINE. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/0900Z 11.9N 94.6W 40 KTS 12HR VT 06/1800Z 12.0N 93.8W 45 KTS 24HR VT 07/0600Z 12.5N 93.8W 50 KTS 36HR VT 07/1800Z 13.2N 93.8W 55 KTS 48HR VT 08/0600Z 14.0N 94.0W 60 KTS 72HR VT 09/0600Z 15.5N 94.5W 70 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 19:17:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627362-4072>; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 18:21:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA49614; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 05:13:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6531333 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 05:12:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA22416 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 05:12:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA06954 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 05:12:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710061012.FAA06954@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 05:12:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0db946db7f94170e8105d0445500fd3c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 751 ABPA20 PHNL 061000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210AM HST MONDAY OCTOBER 6 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 6 19:17:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626831-4069>; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 18:54:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA16008; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 05:42:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6531454 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 05:40:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA49496 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 05:40:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA07021 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 05:40:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710061040.FAA07021@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 05:40:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 45698893585ff8e721e94d7df95adfd2 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 271 ABPZ20 KNHC 061037 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON OCT 6 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF LOCATED ABOUT 530 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM PAULINE LOCATED ABOUT 480 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON OLAF ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP2 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ22...AND ON PAULINE UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP3 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ23. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627345-4069>; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 21:34:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA23950; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 08:15:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6532162 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 08:13:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA16092 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 08:13:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id IAA07384 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 08:13:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710061313.IAA07384@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 08:13:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 26w Warning Nr 009 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 99ab63e87c616601d874feca4c4ece6e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 002 WTPN32 PGTW 061500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WARNING NR 009 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- 19.4N4 136.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.4N4 136.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 19.5N5 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 19.4N4 133.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 18.9N8 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 061500Z2 POSITION 19.4N4 135.7E6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. THIS WARNING IS RELOCATED BASED ON 061130Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE USING THE SAME SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN SHALLOW STEERING FLOW TO THE SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE THROUGH 36 HOURS. AS A RESULT, THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST. UPPER-LEVEL CONVERGENCE IS FORECAST TO PERSIST ABOVE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS WILL CAUSE THIS SYSTEM TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AND BEGIN DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER WITHIN 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0 (DTG 070153Z6) AND 071500Z3 (DTG 071353Z9). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626024-4066>; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 22:42:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA23268; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 09:33:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6532801 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 09:32:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA26394 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 09:32:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA07633 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 09:32:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710061432.JAA07633@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 09:32:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Three-c Forecast/advisory Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1e6e4fd53ff491de36cd015dc611b220 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 774 WTPA23 PHNL 061500 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0397 1500Z MON OCT 06 1997 ...A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEVELOPS IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 146.1W AT 06/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 146.1W AT 06/1500Z AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 145.5W FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 15.6N 148.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 16.2N 150.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 16.8N 152.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 146.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 17.5N 155.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 18.8N 160.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z ROSENDAL CPHC HONOLULU +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627431-4066>; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 22:45:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA33140; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 09:37:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6532835 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 09:35:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA31194 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 09:33:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA07638 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 09:33:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710061433.JAA07638@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 09:33:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Discussion Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ca909a83562d790114bb2f9470418343 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 807 WTPZ42 KNHC 061433 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT MON OCT 06 1997 SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A CLUSTER OF VERY DEEP CONVECTION...BUT A GLANCE AT ONLY ONE EARLY LIGHT VISIBLE PIC STILL SHOWS SOME UNCERTAINTY ON THE LOCATION OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. THE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE DEPENDS IN PART ON THE RELATIONSHIP OF THE CENTER TO THE DEEP CONVECTION. SATELLITE ESTIMATES SHOW MORE THAN THE USUAL SCATTER...WITH T NUMBERS RANGING FROM 1.5 AT THE AFGWC...TO 2.5 AT SAB...TO 3.0 AT TAFB. SINCE WE ARE NOT SURE ON THE CENTER LOCATION AT THIS TIME...I WILL REMAIN CONSERVATIVE AND MAINTAIN THE INITIAL INTENSITY AT 30 KNOTS. IT SHOULD BE NOTED...HOWEVER... THAT IT WOULD NOT TAKE MUCH TO MAKE OLAF A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS FORECAST DUE TO THE STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW EXPECTED DURING THE PERIOD. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 090/05. A BROAD 500 MB TROUGH IS FORECAST TO THE WEST OF OLAF...SO THE TROPICAL CYCLONE SHOULD TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WHICH IS INDICATED BY MOST OF THE GUIDANCE MODELS AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. THE CURRENT TRACK IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS TRACK AND IN CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH THE MID LAYER BAM. THE AVIATION MODEL TURNS OLAF SOUTHEASTWARD...BUT THIS APPEARS TO BE IN RESPONSE TO A FICTITIOUS 850/700 MB VORTEX INITIALIZED BETWEEN OLAF AND PAULINE. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/1500Z 16.2N 114.0W 30 KTS 12HR VT 07/0000Z 16.3N 113.2W 30 KTS 24HR VT 07/1200Z 16.6N 112.1W 30 KTS 36HR VT 08/0000Z 17.2N 110.9W 30 KTS 48HR VT 08/1200Z 17.9N 109.9W 30 KTS 72HR VT 09/1200Z 19.0N 108.5W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627407-4069>; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 22:44:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA40222; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 09:35:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6532814 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 09:34:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA50372 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 09:33:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA07642 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 09:33:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710061433.JAA07642@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 09:33:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1129de9d1e67ff32b9a420fe3fe8a231 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 808 WTPZ22 KNHC 061434 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1797 1500Z MON OCT 06 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 114.0W AT 06/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 114.0W AT 06/1500Z AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 114.3W FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 16.3N 113.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 16.6N 112.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 17.2N 110.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 114.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 17.9N 109.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 19.0N 108.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627037-4066>; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 22:46:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA33254; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 09:38:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6532840 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 09:37:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA09944 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 09:36:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA07664 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 09:36:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710061436.JAA07664@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 09:36:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Pauline Discussion Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bffb5abe97173c3df5b76ae916c1f103 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 865 WTPZ43 KNHC 061436 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM PAULINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT MON OCT 06 1997 PAULINE CONTINUES TO DEVELOP. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A SMALL CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST WITH VERY COLD CLOUD TOPS ALONG WITH INCREASED BANDING FEATURES. INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 55 KNOTS IN AGREEMENT WITH LATEST DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM SAB AND TAFB. THE CYCLONE IS OVER WARM WATER AND ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY IN THE ABSENCE OF STRONG SHEAR...UNTIL BECOMING INVOLVED WITH LAND. OLAF HAS BEEN DRIFTING TOWARD THE EAST. STEERING CURRENTS REMAIN WEAK AND THE MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE SLOW FOR THE SHORT TERM ...BUT AT THE LONGER TIME PERIODS THE FUTURE MOTION BECOMES RATHER UNCERTAIN. MOST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH. HOWEVER...SOME OF THE TRACK PREDICTION MODELS COULD BE BIASED DUE TO A FICTITIOUS 850/700 MB VORTEX NEAR 14N106W IN THE NWS AVIATION MODEL ...WHICH IS BETWEEN PAULINE AND OLAF. THE LBAR AND THE UKMET MODELS ARE THE OUTLIERS WHICH SHOW A MOTION TOWARD WEST-NORTHWEST. THIS COULD OCCUR IF THE FICTITIOUS VORTEX IS DISCOUNTED AND A RIDGE BUILDS IN TO THE NORTH OF THE CYCLONE. FOR NOW WE WILL GO WITH MOST OF THE GUIDANCE WHICH INDICATES A SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH. CURRENT TRACK IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS PACKAGE AND IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE MID LAYER BAM AND THE NAVY NOGAPS...BUT SOMEWHAT SLOWER. INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF PAULINE. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/1500Z 11.8N 94.1W 55 KTS 12HR VT 07/0000Z 11.9N 93.8W 60 KTS 24HR VT 07/1200Z 12.2N 93.5W 65 KTS 36HR VT 08/0000Z 13.2N 93.5W 70 KTS 48HR VT 08/1200Z 14.3N 93.6W 75 KTS 72HR VT 09/1200Z 16.5N 94.5W 60 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626942-4070>; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 22:51:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA41944; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 09:42:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6532864 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 09:40:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA18518 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 09:37:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA07668 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 09:37:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710061437.JAA07668@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 09:37:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Three-c Advisory Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6a5f547ce6e97fd8d4be11c844e08fef X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 899 WTPA33 PHNL 061500 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST MON OCT 06 1997 AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 146.1 WEST OR ABOUT 650 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. ON THE PROJECTED COURSE TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C IS FORECAST TO PASS SOUTH OF SOUTH POINT HAWAII ON WEDNESDAY POSSIBLY BRINGING SOME HEAVY SHOWERS AND GUSTY WINDS TO THE BIG ISLAND ON BOTH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WITH A CHANCE OF SOME HEAVY SHOWERS ON THE OTHER ISLANDS ALSO. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION...15.2 N...146.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM HST. ROSENDAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626942-4070>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 00:00:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA33276; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 09:40:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6532846 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 09:38:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA39312 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 09:37:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA07672 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 09:37:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710061437.JAA07672@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 09:37:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Pauline Forecast/advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ebb9db475f30c8aff4312a74370e71ae X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 900 WTPZ23 KNHC 061436 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM PAULINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1897 1500Z MON OCT 06 1997 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 94.1W AT 06/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 85 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 94.1W AT 06/1500Z AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 94.3W FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 11.9N 93.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 12.2N 93.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 13.2N 93.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.8N 94.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 14.3N 93.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 16.5N 94.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626821-4070>; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 22:51:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA44432; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 09:43:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6532873 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 09:42:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA25286 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 09:41:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA07694 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 09:41:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710061441.JAA07694@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 09:41:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Three-c Discussion Number 1 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 48d2740285b058d07d5e76eb06390a46 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 975 WTPA43 PHNL 061500 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST MON OCT 06 1997 ...A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEVELOPS IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C HAS DEVELOPED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. IT IS FORECAST TO ONLY SLOWLY GAIN STRENGTH AS IT IS LOCATED ADJACENT TO SOME RATHER DRY AIR ACCORDING TO WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SO SOME DETRIMENTAL ENTRAINMENT MAY OCCUR. FURTHER DOWN THE ROAD MORE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS SHOULD EVOLVE. THE TD IS MOVED SOUTH OF THE ISLANDS AT ABOUT 12 KT. ROSENDAL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/1500Z 15.2N 146.1W 25 KTS 12HR VT 07/0000Z 15.6N 148.0W 25 KTS 24HR VT 07/1200Z 16.2N 150.5W 30 KTS 36HR VT 08/0000Z 16.8N 152.9W 30 KTS 48HR VT 08/1200Z 17.5N 155.6W 35 KTS 72HR VT 09/1200Z 18.8N 160.6W 35 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627363-4070>; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 23:43:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA36918; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 10:30:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6533422 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 10:28:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA44098 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 10:28:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id KAA07871 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 10:28:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710061528.KAA07871@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 10:28:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Pauline Discussion Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: db38e584602993a8691bc8778026fd44 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 752 WTPZ43 KNHC 061528 COR TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM PAULINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT MON OCT 06 1997 ...CORRECTION TO STORM NAME IN SECOND PARAGRAPH... PAULINE CONTINUES TO DEVELOP. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A SMALL CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST WITH VERY COLD CLOUD TOPS ALONG WITH INCREASED BANDING FEATURES. INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 55 KNOTS IN AGREEMENT WITH LATEST DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM SAB AND TAFB. THE CYCLONE IS OVER WARM WATER AND ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY IN THE ABSENCE OF STRONG SHEAR...UNTIL BECOMING INVOLVED WITH LAND. PAULINE HAS BEEN DRIFTING TOWARD THE EAST. STEERING CURRENTS REMAIN WEAK AND THE MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE SLOW FOR THE SHORT TERM ...BUT AT THE LONGER TIME PERIODS THE FUTURE MOTION BECOMES RATHER UNCERTAIN. MOST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH. HOWEVER...SOME OF THE TRACK PREDICTION MODELS COULD BE BIASED DUE TO A FICTITIOUS 850/700 MB VORTEX NEAR 14N106W IN THE NWS AVIATION MODEL ...WHICH IS BETWEEN PAULINE AND OLAF. THE LBAR AND THE UKMET MODELS ARE THE OUTLIERS WHICH SHOW A MOTION TOWARD WEST-NORTHWEST. THIS COULD OCCUR IF THE FICTITIOUS VORTEX IS DISCOUNTED AND A RIDGE BUILDS IN TO THE NORTH OF THE CYCLONE. FOR NOW WE WILL GO WITH MOST OF THE GUIDANCE WHICH INDICATES A SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH. CURRENT TRACK IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS PACKAGE AND IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE MID LAYER BAM AND THE NAVY NOGAPS...BUT SOMEWHAT SLOWER. INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF PAULINE. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/1500Z 11.8N 94.1W 55 KTS 12HR VT 07/0000Z 11.9N 93.8W 60 KTS 24HR VT 07/1200Z 12.2N 93.5W 65 KTS 36HR VT 08/0000Z 13.2N 93.5W 70 KTS 48HR VT 08/1200Z 14.3N 93.6W 75 KTS 72HR VT 09/1200Z 16.5N 94.5W 60 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627358-4072>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 00:58:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA38380; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 11:48:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6533996 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 11:47:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA35846 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 11:47:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id LAA08200 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 11:46:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710061646.LAA08200@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 11:46:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a08bc8df3b83b0b3820351af1afdea9d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 093 ABPZ20 KNHC 061645 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON OCT 6 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON STRENGTHENING TROPICAL STORM PAULINE LOCATED ABOUT 310 MILES SOUTH OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO AND ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF LOCATED ABOUT 530 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON OLAF ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP2 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ22...AND ON PAULINE UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP3 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ23. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627404-4069>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 01:03:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA23070; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 12:00:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6534065 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 11:58:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA28728 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 11:58:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id LAA08240 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 11:58:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710061658.LAA08240@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 11:58:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9ca3a335031632f791aa36384045293b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 252 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800Z/071800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 97E6 IS NOW NEAR 17N8 93E2. SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER LIES JUST TO THE WEST OF BURMA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS PRESENT ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. HOWEVER, INTERACTION WITH THE LAND MASS OF BURMA IS SUPPRESSING DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/HOOVER/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627406-4070>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 01:08:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA49602; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 12:01:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6534070 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 12:00:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA17992 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 11:58:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id LAA08241 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 11:58:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710061658.LAA08241@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 11:58:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 335b7c77912686b181312c32b1f050da X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 252 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/061800Z/071800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 97E6 IS NOW NEAR 17N8 93E2. SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER LIES JUST TO THE WEST OF BURMA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS PRESENT ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. HOWEVER, INTERACTION WITH THE LAND MASS OF BURMA IS SUPPRESSING DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/HOOVER/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627358-4070>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 02:04:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA46672; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 12:58:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6534615 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 12:56:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA46826 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 12:56:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA08469 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 12:56:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710061756.MAA08469@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 12:56:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook...updated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7643f860cce4991a29d1102447afa658 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 284 ABPA20 PHNL 061755 AMD TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 755 AM HST MON OCT 6 1997 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECASTS/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C LOCATED NEAR 15.2N146.1E OR ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO AT 1500 UTC. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627358-4066>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 02:40:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA46202; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 13:33:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6534991 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 13:31:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA40996 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 13:30:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id NAA08667 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 13:30:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710061830.NAA08667@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 13:30:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 292db56e7b819f18f032bb51244f5b85 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 177 ABPW10 PGTW 061830 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/061830Z/070600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 061353Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 061200Z9, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WAS LOCATED AT 19.4N4 136.0E0, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WARNING NR 09 RELOCATED (WTPN32 PGTW 061500)) AND TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 07N7 174E2 HAS CONSOLIDATED WITH THE AREA OF CONVECTION CURRENTLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 176E4 AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) THE ABPW IS REISSUED FOR THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 04N4 179E7 THAT IS NOW NEAR 6N6 176E4. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW ABOVE THIS SYSTEM HAS IMPROVED AS WELL. SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS TO THE SOUTH OF THIS SYSTEM=S LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER INDICATE A WIND SURGE FROM THE WEST ALONG THE EQUATOR IS AIDING DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE ABPW IS ALSO REISSUED FOR AN AREA OF CONVECTION THAT HAS PERSISTED FOR AT LEAST 24 HOURS WHICH IS CURRENTLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 173E1. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTIVE AREAL COVERAGE HAS INCREASED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS WITH THIS SYSTEM. SATELLITE-DERIVED WATER VAPOR WIND DATA SHOW THAT GOOD UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE EXISTS ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/HOOVER/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627000-4069>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 02:46:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA49410; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 13:31:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6534983 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 13:30:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA41762 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 13:30:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id NAA08668 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 13:30:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710061830.NAA08668@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 13:30:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e70207c5c540dd23537b20b0091b7c93 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 177 ABPW10 PGTW 061830 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/061830Z/070600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 061353Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 061200Z9, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WAS LOCATED AT 19.4N4 136.0E0, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WARNING NR 09 RELOCATED (WTPN32 PGTW 061500)) AND TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 07N7 174E2 HAS CONSOLIDATED WITH THE AREA OF CONVECTION CURRENTLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 176E4 AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) THE ABPW IS REISSUED FOR THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 04N4 179E7 THAT IS NOW NEAR 6N6 176E4. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW ABOVE THIS SYSTEM HAS IMPROVED AS WELL. SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS TO THE SOUTH OF THIS SYSTEM=S LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER INDICATE A WIND SURGE FROM THE WEST ALONG THE EQUATOR IS AIDING DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE ABPW IS ALSO REISSUED FOR AN AREA OF CONVECTION THAT HAS PERSISTED FOR AT LEAST 24 HOURS WHICH IS CURRENTLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 173E1. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTIVE AREAL COVERAGE HAS INCREASED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS WITH THIS SYSTEM. SATELLITE-DERIVED WATER VAPOR WIND DATA SHOW THAT GOOD UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE EXISTS ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/HOOVER/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627392-4072>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 02:45:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA48336; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 13:41:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6535110 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 13:39:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA33188 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 13:38:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id NAA08733 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 13:38:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710061838.NAA08733@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 13:38:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 33f14fc1656cbd4f53e2070b1df8ca3f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 360 ABPW10 PGTW 061830 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/061830Z/070600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 061353Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 061200Z9, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WAS LOCATED AT 19.4N4 136.0E0, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WARNING NR 09 RELOCATED (WTPN32 PGTW 061500)) AND TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 07N7 174E2 HAS CONSOLIDATED WITH THE AREA OF CONVECTION CURRENTLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 176E4 AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) THE ABPW IS REISSUED FOR THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 04N4 179E7 THAT IS NOW NEAR 6N6 176E4. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW ABOVE THIS SYSTEM HAS IMPROVED AS WELL. SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS TO THE SOUTH OF THIS SYSTEM=S LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER INDICATE A WIND SURGE FROM THE WEST ALONG THE EQUATOR IS AIDING DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE ABPW IS ALSO REISSUED FOR AN AREA OF CONVECTION THAT HAS PERSISTED FOR AT LEAST 24 HOURS WHICH IS CURRENTLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 173E1. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTIVE AREAL COVERAGE HAS INCREASED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS WITH THIS SYSTEM. SATELLITE-DERIVED WATER VAPOR WIND DATA SHOW THAT GOOD UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE EXISTS ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/HOOVER/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627391-4066>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 02:49:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA13118; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 13:39:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6535101 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 13:38:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA44398 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 13:38:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id NAA08732 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 13:38:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710061838.NAA08732@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 13:38:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1d3892fe90397b7bf5bf1927b1275452 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 360 ABPW10 PGTW 061830 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/061830Z/070600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 061353Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 061200Z9, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WAS LOCATED AT 19.4N4 136.0E0, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WARNING NR 09 RELOCATED (WTPN32 PGTW 061500)) AND TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 07N7 174E2 HAS CONSOLIDATED WITH THE AREA OF CONVECTION CURRENTLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 176E4 AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) THE ABPW IS REISSUED FOR THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 04N4 179E7 THAT IS NOW NEAR 6N6 176E4. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW ABOVE THIS SYSTEM HAS IMPROVED AS WELL. SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS TO THE SOUTH OF THIS SYSTEM=S LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER INDICATE A WIND SURGE FROM THE WEST ALONG THE EQUATOR IS AIDING DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE ABPW IS ALSO REISSUED FOR AN AREA OF CONVECTION THAT HAS PERSISTED FOR AT LEAST 24 HOURS WHICH IS CURRENTLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 173E1. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTIVE AREAL COVERAGE HAS INCREASED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS WITH THIS SYSTEM. SATELLITE-DERIVED WATER VAPOR WIND DATA SHOW THAT GOOD UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE EXISTS ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/HOOVER/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627322-4070>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 04:56:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA46836; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 15:45:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6536524 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 15:43:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA46622 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 15:43:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA09581 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 15:43:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710062043.PAA09581@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 15:43:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Discussion Number 18 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5d46827077cb3cadf9b5003935f1160b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 467 WTPZ42 KNHC 062043 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON OCT 06 1997 A SMALL BUT PERSISTENT CLUSTER OF DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS NEAR THE CENTER OF OLAF. INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS AT 30 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS FORECAST DUE TO THE STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW EXPECTED DURING THE PERIOD. OLAF IS STILL DRIFTING TOWARD THE EAST. A BROAD MID LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO THE WEST OF OLAF...SO A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED. OUR CURRENT TRACK IS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE MID LEVEL BAM. IF OLAF WEAKENS FURTHER...THE SHALLOW LAYER STEERING COULD TURN OLAF A LITTLE MORE TO THE RIGHT OF OUR TRACK. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/2100Z 16.0N 113.3W 30 KTS 12HR VT 07/0600Z 16.1N 112.6W 30 KTS 24HR VT 07/1800Z 16.4N 111.6W 30 KTS 36HR VT 08/0600Z 16.8N 110.7W 30 KTS 48HR VT 08/1800Z 17.3N 109.8W 30 KTS 72HR VT 09/1800Z 18.0N 109.0W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627322-4070>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 04:55:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA25032; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 15:47:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6536548 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 15:45:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAB29410 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 15:45:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA09597 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 15:45:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710062045.PAA09597@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 15:45:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 18 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1ca1cf246653eac9d1f138c101eebe24 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 468 WTPZ22 KNHC 062044 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1797 2100Z MON OCT 06 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 113.3W AT 06/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 113.3W AT 06/2100Z AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 113.7W FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 16.1N 112.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 16.4N 111.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 16.8N 110.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 113.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 17.3N 109.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 18.0N 109.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627417-4069>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 04:56:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA19790; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 15:49:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6536567 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 15:48:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA35432 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 15:47:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA09649 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 15:47:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710062047.PAA09649@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 15:47:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Discussion Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 67f85355a31fcee5ddbbfc37245f2737 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 490 WTPZ43 KNHC 062047 TCDEP3 HURRICANE PAULINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON OCT 06 1997 SATELLITE IMAGERY IS SHOWING A HINT OF AN EYE AND PAULINE IS UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE ON THIS ADVISORY. THE CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST IS RATHER SMALL BUT CONTINUES TO SHOW VERY COLD TOPS. BANDING FEATURES ARE IMPRESSIVE AND ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY IN THE ABSENCE OF STRONG SHEAR...UNTIL THE CYCLONE BECOMES INVOLVED WITH LAND. PAULINE HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. STEERING CURRENTS REMAIN WEAK...BUT MOST OF THE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A SLOW MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTHWEST. OUR CURRENT TRACK SHOWS LITTLE OVERALL MOTION FOR THE FIRST 12 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY A SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST WHICH IS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH FORECAST MID AND DEEP LAYER STEERING. THE UKMET MODEL IS EVEN SLOWER AND SHOWS MOVEMENT OF ONLY A COUPLE OF DEGREES DURING THE NEXT 3 DAYS. INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF PAULINE. WE HAVE COORDINATED WITH THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF MEXICO... AND IF A DISTINCT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH BEGINS DURING THE NEXT 6 HOURS...WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MEXICO IN THE VICINITY OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC ON THE NEXT ADVISORY. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/2100Z 12.2N 94.1W 65 KTS 12HR VT 07/0600Z 12.5N 94.1W 75 KTS 24HR VT 07/1800Z 13.2N 94.3W 85 KTS 36HR VT 08/0600Z 14.0N 94.5W 95 KTS 48HR VT 08/1800Z 15.0N 95.0W 100 KTS 72HR VT 09/1800Z 16.5N 96.0W 60 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627322-4069>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 04:56:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA19948; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 15:51:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6536572 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 15:49:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA44408 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 15:48:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA09654 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 15:47:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710062047.PAA09654@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 15:47:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Forecast/advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fa33c5151ece17e0e0ba64f66fc5b7c4 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 491 WTPZ23 KNHC 062047 TCMEP3 HURRICANE PAULINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1897 2100Z MON OCT 06 1997 WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS MAY BE NECESSARY FOR A PORTION OF THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO IN THE VICINITY OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC LATER TONIGHT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 94.1W AT 06/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT...NEARLY STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 94.1W AT 06/2100Z AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 94.1W FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 12.5N 94.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 13.2N 94.3W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 14.0N 94.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.2N 94.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 15.0N 95.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 16.5N 96.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627409-4072>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 05:27:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA28268; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 16:19:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6536834 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 16:18:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA41698 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 16:18:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA09860 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 16:18:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710062118.QAA09860@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 16:18:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Test Discussion Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5098ef9610e964162d92710c10c112ca X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 069 WTPA43 PHNL 062100 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEST DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST MON OCT 06 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 500 MILES EASTSOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND NOT EXPECTED TO BE A HURRICANE THREAT... TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C IS EXPERIENCING SHEARING ALOFT AS ITS CBS HAVE BECOME ISOLATED AND NOW LAG THE DEPRESSIONS CENTER. WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER THE DEPRESSIONS FUTURE COURSE AND WILL LIKELY NOT PROMOTE MUCH FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER WILL GIVE SOME CREDANCE BUT SUBDUE SHIFOR MODEL WHICH INTENSIFIES SYSTEM INTO A TROPICAL STORM...PROJECTED PATH IS ACROSS CONSISTENT 27 DEGREE WATER AND APPEARS REASONABLE IN LIGHT OF THE HIGHS WEAKENING TO ITS NORTH AND SUSTAINED SURFACE TROUGHING WEST OF THE ISLANDS. MATSUDA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/2100Z 15.5N 146.9W 25 KTS 12HR VT 07/0600Z 15.9N 148.8W 25 KTS 24HR VT 07/1800Z 16.6N 151.4W 25 KTS 36HR VT 08/0600Z 17.4N 153.9W 30 KTS 48HR VT 08/1800Z 18.2N 156.1W 30 KTS 72HR VT 09/1800Z 19.9N 160.5W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627419-4069>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 05:27:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA41094; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 16:22:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6536881 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 16:21:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA49912 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 16:21:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA09886 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 16:21:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710062121.QAA09886@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 16:21:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Test Forecast/advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b7369f1a190f98a547683bf3b94ec070 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 115 WTPA23 PHNL 062100 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEST FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0397 2100Z MON OCT 06 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 500 MILES EASTSOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND NOT EXPECTED TO BE A HURRICANE THREAT... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 146.9W AT 06/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 146.9W AT 06/2100Z AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 146.3W FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 15.9N 148.8W MAX WIND 25 KT FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 16.6N 151.4W MAX WIND 25 KT FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 17.4N 153.9W MAX WIND 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 146.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 18.2N 156.1W MAX WIND 30 KT OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 19.9N 160.5W MAX WIND 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627409-4069>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 05:36:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA10406; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 16:31:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6536991 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 16:29:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA53444 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 16:29:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA09985 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 16:29:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710062129.QAA09985@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 16:29:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Three-c Forecast/advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2544df7408c5ed040ad40d542a8831a1 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 224 WTPA23 PHNL 062100 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0397 2100Z MON OCT 06 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 500 MILES EASTSOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND NOT EXPECTED TO BE A HURRICANE THREAT... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 146.9W AT 06/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 146.9W AT 06/2100Z AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 146.3W FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 15.9N 148.8W MAX WIND 25 KT FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 16.6N 151.4W MAX WIND 25 KT FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 17.4N 153.9W MAX WIND 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 146.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 18.2N 156.1W MAX WIND 30 KT OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 19.9N 160.5W MAX WIND 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627420-4069>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 05:39:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA23064; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 16:32:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6537000 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 16:31:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA22606 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 16:30:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA10000 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 16:30:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710062130.QAA10000@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 16:30:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Three-c Advisory Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a84d9f707295765ca0c0d4041cee6356 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 225 WTPA33 PHNL 062100 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST MON OCT 06 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 500 MILES EASTSOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND NOT EXPECTED TO BE A HURRICANE THREAT... AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 146.9 WEST OR ABOUT 500 MILES EASTSOUTHEAST OF HILO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH AND IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY TURN WESTNORTHWEST WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB OR 29.83 INCHES. THE PROJECTED PATH OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PASS SOUTH OF THE ISLANDS WEDNESDAY BRINGING SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TO THE STATE. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...15.5N 146.9W. MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM HST. MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627038-4070>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 06:02:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA21638; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 16:56:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6537322 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 16:55:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA46096 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 16:55:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA10330 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 16:55:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710062155.QAA10330@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 16:55:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Three-c Discussion Number 2 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2bc1ccbfdd2cfac772300f07314395ea X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 608 WTPA43 PHNL 062100 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST MON OCT 06 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 500 MILES EASTSOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND NOT EXPECTED TO BE A HURRICANE THREAT... TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C IS EXPERIENCING SHEARING ALOFT AS ITS CBS HAVE BECOME ISOLATED AND NOW LAG THE DEPRESSIONS CENTER. WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER THE DEPRESSIONS FUTURE COURSE AND WILL LIKELY NOT PROMOTE MUCH FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER WILL GIVE SOME CREDANCE BUT SUBDUE SHIFOR MODEL WHICH INTENSIFIES SYSTEM INTO A TROPICAL STORM...PROJECTED PATH IS ACROSS CONSISTENT 27 DEGREE WATER AND APPEARS REASONABLE IN LIGHT OF THE HIGHS WEAKENING TO ITS NORTH AND SUSTAINED SURFACE TROUGHING WEST OF THE ISLANDS. MATSUDA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/2100Z 15.5N 146.9W 25 KTS 12HR VT 07/0600Z 15.9N 148.8W 25 KTS 24HR VT 07/1800Z 16.6N 151.4W 25 KTS 36HR VT 08/0600Z 17.4N 153.9W 30 KTS 48HR VT 08/1800Z 18.2N 156.1W 30 KTS 72HR VT 09/1800Z 19.9N 160.5W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627275-4070>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 06:04:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA46198; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 16:59:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6537343 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 16:58:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA50932 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 16:58:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA10334 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 16:57:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710062157.QAA10334@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 16:57:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c3abaafea55b6a087ef5938fec7f64ed X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 632 ABPA20 PHNL 062200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST MON OCT 6 1997 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECASTS/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C LOCATED NEAR 15.2N147.6E OR ABOUT 585 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO AT 2100 UTC. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING WEST NEAR 20 MPH. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED NEAR 18N154W IS MOVING WEST NEAR 10 MILES AN HOUR. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625952-24119>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 06:42:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA47108; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 17:38:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6537598 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 17:37:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA44208 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 17:37:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA10566 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 17:37:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710062237.RAA10566@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 17:37:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d15856bf6e3b3050b076e542e5008062 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 395 ABPZ20 KNHC 062235 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON OCT 6 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE PAULINE LOCATED ABOUT 270 MILES SOUTH OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO AND ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON OLAF ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP2 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ22...AND ON PAULINE UNDER AFOS HEADER MIATCMEP3 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ23. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626007-24123>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:57:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA44040; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 20:44:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6538979 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 20:42:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA25242 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 20:42:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id UAA12585 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 20:42:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710070142.UAA12585@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 20:42:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 26w Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c92e01fb7a6382be22f93e2bdf7544ac X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 947 WTPN32 PGTW 070300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- 19.6N6 134.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.6N6 134.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 19.4N4 132.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 18.8N7 131.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION 19.5N5 133.8E5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON A 062330Z4 VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. TD 26W HAS AN EXPOSED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION WHICH CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF WEAKENING DUE TO DECREASING UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND SHEAR KILLING CONVECTION. OUR FORECAST FOR 26W IS FOR IT TO DISSIPATE NEAR THE 24-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626115-24125>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 10:50:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA47316; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 21:42:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6539360 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 21:41:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA20390 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 21:41:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA13029 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 21:41:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710070241.VAA13029@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 21:41:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Forecast/advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7bf7d46dfde5f7b8ff2a82a1cdf3d536 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 060 WTPZ23 KNHC 070241 TCMEP3 HURRICANE PAULINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1897 0300Z TUE OCT 07 1997 WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS MAY BE NECESSARY FOR A PORTION OF THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO IN THE VICINITY OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC LATER TONIGHT OR TOMORROW. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 94.2W AT 07/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..160NE 160SE 160SW 160NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 94.2W AT 07/0300Z AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 94.1W FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 13.0N 94.4W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 13.7N 94.8W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 14.5N 95.3W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 65NE 65SE 65SW 65NW 34 KT...130NE 110SE 110SW 130NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 94.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 15.4N 95.9W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 135 KT 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 17.2N 97.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626014-24122>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 11:04:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA47240; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 21:44:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6539374 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 21:43:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA43818 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 21:43:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA13037 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 21:43:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710070243.VAA13037@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 21:43:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Discussion Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 16fb45f435dc437cb4c1ac0e46377a0d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 095 WTPZ43 KNHC 070242 TCDEP3 HURRICANE PAULINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON OCT 06 1997 SATELLITE IMAGERY DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS HAS SHOWN THAT PAULINE HAS FORMED A SMALL WELL DEFINED EYE WITH VERY COLD CLOUD TOPS. IN ADDITION...THERE IS EXCELLENT OUTFLOW IN ALL QUADRANTS. TAFB AND SAB ESTIMATE T-NUMBERS OF 4.5 PLUS AND OBJECTIVE T-NUMBERS OF AROUND 5 PLUS WERE CALCULATED EARLY IN THE PERIOD AND HAVE INCREASED TO 6 PLUS. THUS...INITIAL INTENSITY WILL BE 80 KTS. SINCE RAPID INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE WE ARE TAKING PAULINE TO A MAJOR STORM IN 24 HOURS. CONTINUED STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY UNTIL THE CYCLONE BECOMES INVOLVED WITH LAND. PAULINE HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. STEERING CURRENTS REMAIN WEAK...BUT MOST OF THE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A SLOW MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTHWEST. OUR CURRENT TRACK SHOWS LITTLE OVERALL MOTION FOR THE FIRST 12 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY A SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST WHICH IS VERY SIMILAR TO OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST. INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF PAULINE. WE HAVE COORDINATED WITH THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF MEXICO... AND IF A DISTINCT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH BEGINS...WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MEXICO IN THE VICINITY OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC LATER TONIGHT OR TOMORROW. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/0300Z 12.6N 94.2W 85 KTS 12HR VT 07/1200Z 13.0N 94.4W 90 KTS 24HR VT 08/0000Z 13.7N 94.8W 100 KTS 36HR VT 08/1200Z 14.5N 95.3W 110 KTS 48HR VT 09/0000Z 15.4N 95.9W 115 KTS 72HR VT 10/0000Z 17.2N 97.1W 50 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626014-24122>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 10:56:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA41214; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 21:46:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6539379 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 21:44:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA43824 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 21:43:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA13041 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 21:43:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710070243.VAA13041@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 21:43:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Discussion Number 19 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d504bb232e92f886ffbd5a6556c2dcf3 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 096 WTPZ42 KNHC 070243 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON OCT 06 1997 A SMALL BUT PERSISTENT CLUSTER OF DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF OLAF. INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS AT 30 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS FORECAST DUE TO THE STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW EXPECTED DURING THE PERIOD. INITIAL MOTION FOR OLAF IS 110/06. A BROAD MID LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO THE WEST OF OLAF...SO A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED. OUR CURRENT TRACK IS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE MID LEVEL BAM AND IS VERY SIMILAR TO OUR PREVIOUS TRACK. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/0300Z 15.7N 112.9W 30 KTS 12HR VT 07/1200Z 15.7N 112.1W 30 KTS 24HR VT 08/0000Z 16.0N 111.2W 30 KTS 36HR VT 08/1200Z 16.5N 110.2W 25 KTS 48HR VT 09/0000Z 17.0N 109.3W 25 KTS 72HR VT 10/0000Z 17.8N 108.5W 25 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626081-24122>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 10:55:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA09554; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 21:48:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6539386 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 21:46:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA09496 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 21:46:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA13057 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 21:46:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710070246.VAA13057@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 21:46:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 19 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ff40f0b2bc85a24d8417dc5f3e0e0a58 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 115 WTPZ22 KNHC 070244 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1797 0300Z TUE OCT 07 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 112.9W AT 07/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST SOUTHEAST OR 110 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 112.9W AT 07/0300Z AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 113.2W FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 15.7N 112.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 16.0N 111.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 16.5N 110.2W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 112.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 17.0N 109.3W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 17.8N 108.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626081-24125>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 10:57:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA10294; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 21:53:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6539432 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 21:51:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA33262 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 21:51:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA13074 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 21:51:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710070251.VAA13074@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 21:51:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Three-c Forecast/advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: edeb337c3ae3ee5edfed5e44bc866a7c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 147 WTPA23 PHNL 070300 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0397 0300Z TUE OCT 7 1997 ...WEAK TROPICAL DEPRESSION 500 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND TO GIVE SHOWERS TO ISLANDS... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 149.4W AT 07/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 149.4W AT 07/0300Z AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 148.6W FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 15.8N 151.9W MAX WIND 30 KT FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 16.6N 154.6W MAX WIND 30 KT FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 17.4N 157.0W MAX WIND 25 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15N 150W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 18.3N 159.2W MAX WIND 25 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626157-24122>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 11:03:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA23728; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 22:00:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6539459 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 21:58:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA40814 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 21:53:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA13079 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 21:52:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710070252.VAA13079@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 21:52:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Three-c Discussion Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b9ac414547d38af743aa862fb189b0f2 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 159 WTPA43 PHNL 070300 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST MON OCT 6 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 500 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND WILL GIVE SHOWERS TO ISLANDS... THE DEPRESSION HAS WEAKENED WITH ONLY ISOLATED CBS IN THE DISTANT VICINITY AND IS MOVING SWIFTLY DUE WESTWARD. SOME FUTURE NORTHWARD BIAS AND SLOWING IN MOVEMENT IS EXPECTED WITH TROUGHING NEAR 170W NUDGING EAST AND DEEPENING THE NEXT 24 TO 30 HOURS. ALTHO SYSTEM NOW UNIMPRESSIVE AND CONTINUES TO DRIVE UNDER SHEARING ALOFT WILL PROLONG DISSIPATION DUE TO PROBABLE OVERNIGHT CB REDEVELOPMENT AND SHIFORS INSISTENT STRENGTHENING. MATSUDA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/0300Z 15.4N 149.4W 25 KTS 12HR VT 07/1200Z 15.8N 151.9W 30 KTS 24HR VT 08/0000Z 16.6N 154.6W 30 KTS 36HR VT 08/1200Z 17.4N 157.0W 25 KTS 48HR VT 09/0000Z 18.3N 159.2W 25 KTS DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625969-24123>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 11:07:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA08660; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 21:58:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6539452 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 21:57:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA08544 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 21:53:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA13083 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 21:53:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710070253.VAA13083@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 21:53:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Three-c Advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 35cf373c2070e15f02e5690ba976ef34 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 164 WTPA33 PHNL 070300 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST MON OCT 6 1997 ...WEAK TROPICAL DEPRESSION 500 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND TO GIVE SHOWERS TO ISLANDS... AT 5 PM HST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 149.4 WEST OR ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH AND IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY MOVE MORE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND SLOW IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010MB OR 29.83 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM HST POSITION...15.4N 149.4W. MOVEMENT TOWARD WEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM HST. MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626079-24123>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 11:07:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA14302; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 22:02:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6539521 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 22:00:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA39080 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 21:57:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA13103 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 21:57:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710070257.VAA13103@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 21:57:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Three-c Forecast/advisory Number 3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 907f5a0aabc5d30cdbd4750197f39726 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 206 WTPA23 PHNL 070300 COR TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0397 0300Z TUE OCT 7 1997 ...CORRECTED FOR INDICATING DISSIPATION ON 48 HOUR POSITION... ...WEAK TROPICAL DEPRESSION 500 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND TO GIVE SHOWERS TO ISLANDS... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 149.4W AT 07/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 149.4W AT 07/0300Z AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 148.6W FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 15.8N 151.9W MAX WIND 30 KT FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 16.6N 154.6W MAX WIND 30 KT FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 17.4N 157.0W MAX WIND 25 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15N 150W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 18.3N 159.2W MAX WIND 25 KT...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626115-24119>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 11:13:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA46760; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 22:05:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6539574 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 22:04:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA46806 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 22:03:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA13131 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 22:03:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710070303.WAA13131@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 22:03:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook...corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 674eb080e4ea5740f29ec487614feff4 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 327 ABPA20 PHNL 070305 COR TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST MON OCT 6 1997 ...CORRECTED 3-C 2100 UTC POSITION... THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECASTS/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C LOCATED NEAR 15.2N147.6W OR ABOUT 585 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO AT 2100 UTC. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING WEST NEAR 20 MPH. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED NEAR 18N154W IS MOVING WEST NEAR 10 MILES AN HOUR. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626264-24123>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 12:34:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA10284; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 23:17:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6540180 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 23:16:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA20276 for ; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 23:13:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id XAA13312 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 6 Oct 1997 23:13:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710070413.XAA13312@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 23:13:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9c647781dc870b8a07144810718a1dde X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 530 ABPZ20 KNHC 070410 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON OCT 6 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE PAULINE LOCATED ABOUT 255 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO AND ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF LOCATED ABOUT 530 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626154-24119>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 13:43:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA08482; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 00:08:01 -0500 Message-Id: <199710070508.AAA08482@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 00:01:38 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 5 Oct 1997 to 6 Oct 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 46172140505d8d88bd53bd55007e798e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 7 messages totalling 336 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. normals vs. averages (2) 2. An apology and a clarification of my position 3. Global Warming Feeding Frenzy! 4. Warmth in the midwest 5. Pixs of 25 May 1997 wedge? 6. PCGridds Upgrade +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 08:45:25 -0400 From: Richard Heim Subject: Re: normals vs. averages By international agreement, climate "normals" are defined as "period averages computed for a uniform and relatively long period comprising at least three consecutive ten-year periods." (WMO, 1984) A normal is the average, by definition. Unfortunately, the public (and others) have erroneously come to see normals as the weather they should "expect." This issue has been discussed for decades, yet the misperception continues. References: World Meteorological Organization, Technical Regulations, Publication No. 49, Geneva, 1984. N.B. Guttman, 1989, Statistical Descriptors of Climate, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, vol. 70, pp. 602-607. http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/ol/climate/research/normals/us/us_normals.html http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/ol/climate/research/normals/wmo-normals.html Richard Heim, NCDC >Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 09:50:56 CDT >From: Greg Stumpf >Subject: normals vs. averages > >>Reply-To: "Mathew L. Powers" >> >>Well so far, the forecast for Chicago to have a below normal fall due >>to El Nino has not verified. We had a beautiful September that worked >>out to be right about normal. I think the normal temp is 64.4 and it >>was 64.2. I guess that's below normal, but lets not be picky. > ^^^^^^ > >No...it was 0.2 degrees below the *average*. The "normal" temperature >for a given day (and time of day) is some distribution about the >average. 64.2 degrees is normal, as is probably 60 degrees, or 68 >degrees, for that date. > >This is a pet peeve of mine. And I wish the television meteorologists >would use the proper term (so that everyone else would too). > >Suggested reading: > > http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/~doswell/Normals/normal.html > >greg stumpf, NSSL > ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 08:50:41 -0400 From: Pete Winstead Subject: An apology and a clarification of my position >Date: Fri, 3 Oct 1997 08:53:55 -0500 >From: "Jeffrey P. Stewart" >Subject: Politics on Wx-Talk > >Where did the weather go? There is an excellent list on abortion if you >want to trade barbs on that subject(Pete). Thanks for the info, I will keep that in mind. Although, I wasn't the one who originally linked abortion to the weather. I was just responding to something that was already on the newsgroup. > It seems to me Vicki was >merely pointing out that one must listen with his/her heart and head ...not >just the ears. I agree wholeheartedly and I consider myself chastened. Point taken. Vicki, I apologize to you and to anyone else who might have been offended by my post I mean this sincerely; however, I do still object to your choice of metaphors, particularly in light of the content of your post. > Pete, I highly doubt anyone is going to interfere with your >efforts to breed. Yes, thank God I live in America where I still have that choice. If I were in China, it would be a different story. All in the name of population control. > However, reproduction has been used for millenia to >CONTROL mothers and in some places our human nature combined with >an anti-intuitive tendency to crank out far more babies than our food >production can support is playing a role in screwing up the environment. >An example: destruction of rain forests to farm the land. The rain >forests are critical to the health of the environment of this planet. Believe it or not, I agree completely with most all of the above. I am not sure I follow the first sentence, but as you pointed out, this is not the place to discuss that. Feel free to email me and clarify what you mean if you wish (That is a serious offer). winstead@essc.psu.edu > I am >getting sick of listening to self-righteous podium pounders telling us that >man is not affecting the environment, there is plenty of food for our >burgeoning population and smugly maintaining that the loss of 1, 10 or >1000 species of plants/animals doesnt make our home planet a poorer >place. I never said any of this. Where did this come from? > >Jeff Stewart >Back on my medication after sending this.... > Once again, I apologize to all who I might have offended. Now my two cents about global warming. As for global warming, THERE IS NO EVIDENCE THAT IT IS HAPPENING. Yes, it is true that we, as humans, are dumping large quantities of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere. This is not a good thing. Yes, SURFACE temperatures have increased over the last hundred years. However, there are other potential explanations for this than global warming. For example, most of these surface temperature sites are located in and around urban areas. Furthermore, it is my impression (I got this off the internet so it may not be true) that the largest warming signal has come from increased minimum temperatures. Could that be urban heat island affects? Finally, the concept of calculating a global mean from unevenly distributed point sources concerns me. I would be more likely to trust satellite data since that truly is a global measure (although not without its own set of problems). But they indicate that temperatures are cooling. Hmmmmmmmm. Now, let me make one thing clear. I am not necessarily discounting the concept of global warming. Theoretically, it makes sense (I am a grad student in meteorology and we did learn about it in a class that I took); however, we also learned that while the concept of the "greenhouse effect" is relatively simple, there are an awful lot of complicating feedbacks that, no matter what anyone tells you, are impossible to predict with the climate models that we use today. Most of these feedbacks can either serve to enhance global warming or reduce or even eliminate the effects of global warming. Furthermore, all of this supposed warming is based upon climate models that have CONSISTENTLY OVERESTIMATED THE AMOUNT OF WARMING. Does this not concern anyone? Come on, everyone who reads this newsgroup knows that the models that we use today, while good, do not accurately predict the weather 5 days in advance. Do we want to trust simpler models with less physics in them to predict what will happen 20 years from now? I don't. This does not mean that we shouldn't do what we can to clean up the environment (within reason), I am all for clean air and clean water. Believe me, as a trout fisherman, I depend on clean flowing streams. However, before we, as a society, sign on to this UN treaty that would make everything we buy more expensive (I am basing this on common sense, not on those adds on the radio, or pulled by CNN) and would not force many countries to do the same, I think we owe it to ourselves and to our children to move carefully. Our freedom and our way of life depend on it. Pete Winstead ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 08:03:21 -0500 From: "Marc C. Levine" Subject: Global Warming Feeding Frenzy! OK, I've sat on the sidelines of this BS long enough. Pick up a dictionary...a liberal is one who is open to new ideas, a conservative is a slave of the past. I happen to be a liberal democrat and have always voted democratic unless the "other person" was more liberal and yet here is the text of a post that I left on the meteorology newsgroup: 1. Imagine a thermometer placed in an instrument shelter many years ago outside of town. The town has expanded. Now that instrument shelter is surrounded by concrete & steel rather that fields. OK, so they move it....to the airport....still not the same as a field outside of town. Now try to resolve whether that 1 degree rise is accurate. Now place that on the scale where we know we have had a mile of ice over the top of us in the past and mankind was nowhere to be found. The factors that control the climate are huge and far from understood. If you think of it as "vectors" the influence of mankind are a tiny little toothpick surrounded be giant redwood vectors and people are running around so convinced that we will make that big a dif. In fact, even if we are affecting anything, maybe since we are in a relatively warm period between ice ages, all we are doing is delaying the next ice age............by a few weeks. Mankind has never gotten over the fact that the earth is not the center of the universe and we keep trying to fool ourselves into thinking mother nature really gives a **** about us. 2. Did anyone here see the rather interesting NOVA about the Himalayas and Tibetian Plateau and the theory of their being the posible cause of the ice ages. If correct this illustrates the same idea I expressed above. The magnitudes of the effects. Yes, we are added CO2 to the atmosphere and if you dump a bucket of water into the ocean, sea level should increase. We are still trying to make ourselves the center of everything. 3. I have attended all of the past 5 Annual AMS conferences (usually held in Jan). I have never met a fellow meteorologist yet where if you took them aside and asked them they would differ in the statement I made above and yet if the cameras on them it's a dif story! Meteorologist are just as much a special interest group as law enforcement or defence. They all push their own agendas. If the people who are supposed to be "experts" give BS up the chain don't be surprised is more BS flows down. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 08:39:17 CDT From: Scott Lindstrom Subject: Warmth in the midwest I read in the paper over the weekend that the 93-degree reading in Rochester MN on Friday was their warmest temperature reading this year!! How many years does the warmest temperature occur in October! Scott ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 10:23:03 -0400 From: Michael Stewart Subject: Pixs of 25 May 1997 wedge? >This is sent from my account for Paul. (Mike S.)< Was wondering if anyone got (and is willing to share) any photographs or video footage of the tornado which traversed Sumner County KS on 25 May 1997? Specifically we're looking for pictures of the "wedge" just prior to it reaching I-35. The only image we have so far, is a *very* brief video clip of the 1/2 mile wide wedge. We're hoping a few of the numerous chasers in the area stayed far enough south to get on this storm. BTW...a quick look at our archive II data on WATADS showed around 80kts rotational velocity gate to gate :) We hope to get some images on our homepage in the near future. Please respond directly for logistical details. Thanks. Paul Howerton Lead Meteorologist email: paul.howerton@noaa.gov NWS Wichita KS voice mail: (316) 942-8483 ext 404 ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 10:43:57 -0600 From: "Ricketts,Steve [Edm]" Subject: Re: normals vs. averages IMHO, this is a classic example of people not tailoring their message to suit their listeners and by not doing so, causing confusion. Sure, I hear you when you say there is an official definition of "normals". But 99% of all people are not aware of that definition and do not understand it. By blaming them for the confusion smacks of elitism. It is not their fault! Here's what Microsoft Bookshelf has to say about "normal": . normal (nôr´mel) adjective 1. Abbr. norm. Conforming with, adhering to, or constituting a norm, standard, pattern, level, or type; typical: normal room temperature; one's normal weight; normal diplomatic relations. Excerpted from The American Heritage® Dictionary of the English Language, Third Edition © 1996 by Houghton Mifflin Company. Electronic version licensed from INSO Corporation; further reproduction and distribution in accordance with the Copyright Law of the United States. All rights reserved. That is, it's something that falls within the realm of being typical. Here in Edmonton in October, it is normal to have temps below zero Celsius and snow (it's just not that frequent). It is also normal to have 25C temps once in a while. But the average temp is about 13C. I think that we should speak in scientific terms when conversing with fellow scientists, but when speaking to the layman, use terms they understand. ..steve +---------------------------------------------------------------------+ | Steve Ricketts | Manager, Northern Alberta Weather Centre | Environment Canada's Prairie and Northern Region, Edmonton, AB | Phone (403)951-8788 FAX 495-2615 e-mail: Steve.Ricketts@ec.gc.ca +---------------------------------------------------------------------+ >---------- >From: Richard Heim[SMTP:rheim@NCDC.NOAA.GOV] >Sent: October 6, 1997 6:45 AM >To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK >Subject: Re: normals vs. averages > >By international agreement, climate "normals" are defined as "period >averages computed for a uniform and relatively long period comprising >at least three consecutive ten-year periods." (WMO, 1984) > >A normal is the average, by definition. Unfortunately, the public >(and others) have erroneously come to see normals as the weather >they should "expect." This issue has been discussed for decades, >yet the misperception continues. > >References: > >World Meteorological Organization, Technical Regulations, > Publication No. 49, Geneva, 1984. > >N.B. Guttman, 1989, Statistical Descriptors of Climate, Bulletin > of the American Meteorological Society, vol. 70, pp. 602-607. > >http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/ol/climate/research/normals/us/us_normals.html > >http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/ol/climate/research/normals/wmo-normals.html > > >Richard Heim, NCDC > ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 13:28:58 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: PCGridds Upgrade Some changes have been made to the 897PCG and posted online last week... Get the upgrade (or full install for those new to PCG) at http://www.nws.noaa.gov/software/pcgridds/index.html Rob ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 5 Oct 1997 to 6 Oct 1997 ************************************************ From - Tue Oct 7 14:25:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626990-24123>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 14:17:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA28814; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 01:15:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6541032 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 01:13:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA35522 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 01:11:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA13930 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 01:11:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710070611.BAA13930@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 01:11:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 30cfe61d0de81acecdc2a6b23ecd1bb1 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 780 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 070153Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070000Z7, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WAS LOCATED AT 19.6N6 134.2E0, MOVING WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WARNING NR 10 (WTPN32 PGTW 070000)) FOR FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 06N6 176E4 THAT IS NOW NEAR 8N8 175E4. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 09 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW ABOVE THIS SYSTEM HAS DECREASED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 173E1 THAT IS NOW NEAR 8S8 175E4. SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGEST THAT A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION DOES EXISTS AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION AND UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAVE IMPROVE OVER THIS LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION OVER THE PAST 12-24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LEWIS/SULLINS/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 14:36:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626092-24122>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 14:27:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA28918; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 01:13:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6541027 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 01:11:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA39360 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 01:11:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA13929 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 01:11:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710070611.BAA13929@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 01:11:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c48ea55c2df959f4b54892b68c692c99 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 780 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 070153Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070000Z7, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WAS LOCATED AT 19.6N6 134.2E0, MOVING WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WARNING NR 10 (WTPN32 PGTW 070000)) FOR FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 06N6 176E4 THAT IS NOW NEAR 8N8 175E4. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 09 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW ABOVE THIS SYSTEM HAS DECREASED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 173E1 THAT IS NOW NEAR 8S8 175E4. SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGEST THAT A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION DOES EXISTS AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION AND UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAVE IMPROVE OVER THIS LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION OVER THE PAST 12-24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LEWIS/SULLINS/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 16:55:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626974-24119>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 16:32:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA33238; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 03:29:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6541418 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 03:28:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA51078 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 03:28:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA14482 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 03:28:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710070828.DAA14482@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 03:28:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Three-c Forecast/advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1f671e0a7d8171d3c286085dd8fb732b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 329 WTPA23 PHNL 070900 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0397 0900Z TUE OCT 07 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND AND MOVING WEST... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 151.1W AT 07/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 M MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 151.1W AT 07/0900Z AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 150.3W FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 15.5N 153.6W MAX WIND 25 KT FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 16.3N 156.6W MAX WIND 25 KT FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 17.3N 159.4W MAX WIND 25 KT...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 151.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 16:55:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627467-24123>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 16:36:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA33136; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 03:33:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6541423 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 03:31:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA52548 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 03:31:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA14499 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 03:31:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710070831.DAA14499@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 03:31:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Three-c Discussion Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: df0ec1e3793897912defe82476d94e84 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 374 WTPA43 PHNL 070900 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST MON OCT 06 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 500 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND WILL GIVE SHOWERS TO ISLANDS... SATELLITE IMAGERY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS SHOWS THAT THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING WEST AT ABOUT 16 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS SHALLOW WITH THE STEERING WINDS BEING THE LOW LEVEL TRADES. COMPUTER MODELS BROADEN A NORTH-SOUTH TROUGH WEST OF HAWAII IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. IN SO DOING...THE RIDGE NORTH OF HAWAII WILL BE ERODED FROM THE WEST RESULTING IN TRADES MORE OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST. THE FORECAST TRACK MAINTAINS THE WESTWARD MOVEMENT THROUGH 12 HOURS THEN GRADUALLY TURNS IT TO THE WEST NORTHWEST IN RESPONSE TO THE BACKING TRADES. THIS TRACK TAKES 3C SOUTH OF HAWAII AND SOUTH OF ALL OBJECTIVE AIDS EXCEPTING CLIPPER. WILL KEEP MAX WINDS AT 25 KNOTS THROUGH 24 HOURS THEN DISSIPATE 3C THEREAFTER. NO DATA T-NUMBER CAN BE DETERMINED USING THE DVORAK TECHNIQUE SINCE THERE ARE NO COLD CLOUDS NEAR THE CENTER. A SMALL CB CLUSTER THAT FORMED NORTHEST OF THE CENTER AROUND 0130 UTC DISSIPATED BY 0430 UTC. POSITION IS BASED ON A WELL-DEFINED EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/0900Z 15.4N 151.1W 25 KTS 12HR VT 07/1800Z 15.5N 153.6W 25 KTS 24HR VT 08/0600Z 16.3N 156.6W 25 KTS 36HR VT 08/1800Z 17.3N 159.4W DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 16:55:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626974-24122>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 16:38:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA24076; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 03:35:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6541428 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 03:33:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA33156 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 03:33:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA14503 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 03:33:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710070833.DAA14503@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 03:33:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Three-c Advisory Number 4 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 625a3f0b5ad7adf0a4dcc45822429ea0 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 397 WTPA33 PHNL 070900 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST MON OCT 06 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND AND MOVING WEST... AT 11 PM HST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 151.1 WEST OR ABOUT 440 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE ISLAND OF HAWAII. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR ANOTHER TWELVE HOURS. THE DEPRESSION IS THEN FORECAST TO TURN TO THE WEST NORTHWEST PARALLEL AND SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM HST POSITION...15.4 N...151.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM HST...TUESDAY. CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 16:55:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627472-24125>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 16:51:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA14836; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 03:46:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6541443 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 03:45:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA33200 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 03:45:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA14548 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 03:45:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710070845.DAA14548@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 03:45:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4bb0b5da28cf82a5770a92746d9df355 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 628 WTPZ33 KNHC 070844 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE PAULINE ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT TUE OCT 07 1997 ...DANGEROUS HURRICANE PAULINE HEADING FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO... AT 2 AM PDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAULINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.3 WEST OR ABOUT 210 MILES...340 KM...SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO. PAULINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PAULINE HAS INTENSIFIED RAPIDLY DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS AND THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE REACHED 130 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES PAULINE A VERY DANGEROUS HURRICANE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 948 MB...27.99 INCHES. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...13.2 N... 94.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 948 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM PDT. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 16:55:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627473-24125>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 16:52:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA50996; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 03:48:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6541448 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 03:46:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA24256 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 03:45:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA14552 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 03:45:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710070845.DAA14552@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 03:45:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Forecast/advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 71bfa31e1745f1ea77869e1355560bf1 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 629 WTPZ23 KNHC 070845 TCMEP3 HURRICANE PAULINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1897 0900Z TUE OCT 07 1997 AT 2 AM PDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 94.3W AT 07/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 94.3W AT 07/0900Z AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 94.2W FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 13.9N 94.5W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 15.2N 95.0W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 16.5N 95.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 94.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 17.5N 96.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 19.0N 97.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 16:55:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626974-24125>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 16:53:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA08602; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 03:49:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6541457 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 03:48:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA46634 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 03:48:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA14557 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 03:48:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710070848.DAA14557@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 03:48:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Discussion Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3d54f2e1b589a06ba29a72651cf55058 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 640 WTPZ43 KNHC 070848 TCDEP3 HURRICANE PAULINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT TUE OCT 07 1997 SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT PAULINE IS INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY. THE LAST SUBJECTIVE T-NUMBER FROM SAB WAS 6.0. TAFB NUMBER IS CONSTRAINED TO 5.5 BUT DATA-T IS 6.0 ON THE DVORAK SCALE. THE OBJECTIVE T-NUMBERS HAVE BEEN OSCILLATING BETWEEN 6.3 AND 6.5 FOR THE PAST SIX HOURS. THIS SUGGESTS THAT THE MAX WINDS ARE AT LEAST 115 KNOTS. THE HURRICANE HAS AN EXCELLENT OUTFLOW...BANDING FEATURES AND A PINHOLE EYE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE. INITIAL MOTION IS 340/05. THERE IS A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES WHICH IS FORECAST TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY. THEREFORE...PAULINE IS LIKELY TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTH NORTHWEST AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THAT HIGH DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO. MOST OF THE MODELS RESPOND TO THE STEERING PRODUCED BY THAT HIGH BY BRINGING PAULINE NEAR THE COAST BETWEEN 24 AND 36 HOURS EXCEPT THE UK MODEL WHICH KEEPS PAULINE OFFSHORE. THE GFDL MODEL HAS THE CENTER CROSSING THE COAST IN ABOUT 24 TO 30 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS CLOSE TO THE GFDL. A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/0900Z 13.2N 94.3W 115 KTS 12HR VT 07/1800Z 13.9N 94.5W 120 KTS 24HR VT 08/0600Z 15.2N 95.0W 120 KTS 36HR VT 08/1800Z 16.5N 95.5W 100 KTS...INLAND 48HR VT 09/0600Z 17.5N 96.0W 45 KTS...INLAND 72HR VT 10/0600Z 19.0N 97.0W 35 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 16:55:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627360-24125>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 16:55:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA17432; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 03:51:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6541464 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 03:49:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA14736 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 03:49:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA14561 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 03:49:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710070849.DAA14561@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 03:49:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Discussion Number 20 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 918b54f082ad0e1ffdd01decaec47d15 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 663 WTPZ42 KNHC 070849 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 20 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT TUE OCT 07 1997 THE CLOUD PATTERN ASSOCIATED WITH OLAF HAS BEEN DISRUPTED BY STRONG UPPER LEVEL WINDS AND IS PRACTICALLY SHAPELESS. THERE IS NO EVIDENCE OF OUTFLOW. INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS AT 30 KNOTS BUT WEAKENING IS FORECAST AND OLAF MAY DISSIPATE BEFORE 72 HOURS. OLAF HAS BEEN MOVING LITTLE BUT IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT EASTWARD... EMBEDDED WITHIN THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. MODELS ARE SUGGESTING TRACKS IN ALL DIRECTIONS AND THIS NORMALLY SUGGESTS THAT A SHEARING ENVIRONMENT WILL PREVAIL. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/0900Z 15.7N 113.0W 30 KTS 12HR VT 07/1800Z 15.7N 112.5W 25 KTS 24HR VT 08/0600Z 16.0N 111.5W 25 KTS 36HR VT 08/1800Z 16.0N 110.5W 25 KTS 48HR VT 09/0600Z 16.5N 109.5W 25 KTS 72HR VT 10/0600Z 17.0N 109.0W 25 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 16:55:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627473-24123>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 16:56:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA33112; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 03:52:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6541469 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 03:51:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA33036 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 03:51:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA14574 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 03:51:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710070851.DAA14574@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 03:51:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 20 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: db18aaff5dbe41594ff3e31daa6ca9e2 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 680 WTPZ22 KNHC 070851 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1797 0900Z TUE OCT 07 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 113.0W AT 07/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 113.0W AT 07/0900Z AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 113.2W FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 15.7N 112.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 16.0N 111.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 16.0N 110.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 113.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 16.5N 109.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 17.0N 109.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 17:23:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627075-24119>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 17:13:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA46648; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 04:09:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6541574 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 04:07:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA29640 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 04:07:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA14620 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 04:07:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710070907.EAA14620@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 04:07:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Forecast/advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4db8b7e649edb311f3405751ed956151 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 934 WTPZ23 KNHC 070907 TCMEP3 HURRICANE PAULINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1897 0900Z TUE OCT 07 1997 ...COR FOR 12 FT SEAS AT 2 AM PDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 94.3W AT 07/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..160NE 160SE 160SW 160NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 94.3W AT 07/0900Z AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 94.2W FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 13.9N 94.5W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 15.2N 95.0W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 16.5N 95.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 94.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 17.5N 96.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 19.0N 97.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 19:08:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626974-24123>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 17:42:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA14840; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 04:37:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6541749 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 04:36:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA12492 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 04:36:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA14693 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 04:36:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710070936.EAA14693@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 04:36:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b491c8acf169301260a78840b4a7bb7a X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 516 ABPZ20 KNHC 070935 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE OCT 7 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON DANGEROUS HURRICANE PAULINE LOCATED ABOUT 210 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO AND ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF LOCATED ABOUT 530 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 7 19:08:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626271-24125>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 18:06:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA39184; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 05:04:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6541868 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 05:03:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA33208 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 05:03:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA14762 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 05:03:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710071003.FAA14762@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 05:03:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7d6542c143eddaba1b4a4b769d2d86ba X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 852 ABPA20 PHNL 071000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210AM HST TUESDAY OCTOBER 7 1997 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C. AT 11 PM HST THE DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 151.1W...ABOUT 440 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII...MOVING WEST AT 18 MPH. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 740 MILES SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND NEAR 08N 157W IS MOVING WEST AT 10 MILES AN HOUR. THIS SYSTEM REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED BUT WE KEEP AN EYE OUT FOR ANY SIGNS OF STRENGTHENING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 03:23:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627508-24122>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 19:45:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id GAA47264; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 06:42:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6542341 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 06:41:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id GAA40818 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 06:41:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id GAA14987 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 06:41:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710071141.GAA14987@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 06:41:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Intermediate Advisory Number 6a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 407bf14f34c1d4dc3847754546dda5bd X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 481 WTPZ33 KNHC 071141 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE PAULINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT TUE OCT 07 1997 ...DANGEROUS HURRICANE PAULINE HEADING FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAULINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.4 WEST OR ABOUT 205 MILES...330 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO. PAULINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PAULINE HAS INTENSIFIED RAPIDLY DURING THE NIGHT AND THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW ESTIMATED AT 130 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES PAULINE A VERY DANGEROUS HURRICANE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 948 MB...27.99 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...13.3 N... 94.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 948 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 03:23:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627539-24123>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 22:34:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA49110; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:27:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6543436 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:25:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA39154 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:25:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA15461 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:25:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710071425.JAA15461@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:25:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Discussion Number 21 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3f0db9354d79ad9545693fc1061d8e8d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 805 WTPZ42 KNHC 071425 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 21 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT TUE OCT 07 1997 A CLUSTER OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS AGAIN DEVELOPED IN ASSOCIATION WITH OLAF. INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 30 KNOTS AND LITTLE SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THIS FORECAST PERIOD...ALTHOUGH A SIGNIFICANT NORTHWARD COMPONENT OF MOTION WOULD BRING THE SYSTEM INTO AN AREA OF INCREASED SHEAR AND IT COULD WEAKEN. CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY EXISTS IN THE CENTER FIX ON INFRARED SATELLITE PICS. BEST GUESS AT INITIAL MOTION IS 090/04. THE MODELS SHOW TREMENDOUS SCATTER WHICH IS TYPICAL FOR SHEARED SYSTEMS. OUR CURRENT FORECAST SHOWS LITTLE OVERALL MOVEMENT...WHICH IS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH THE SHALLOW AND MID LAYER BAM GUIDANCE. THE UKMET AND GFDL MODELS SHOW A SOUTHWARD TRACK...WHILE THE DEEP LAYER BAM AND LBAR INDICATE A MORE NORTHWARD TRACK. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/1500Z 15.7N 112.5W 30 KTS 12HR VT 08/0000Z 15.7N 111.8W 30 KTS 24HR VT 08/1200Z 15.7N 111.4W 30 KTS 36HR VT 09/0000Z 15.8N 111.0W 30 KTS 48HR VT 09/1200Z 15.9N 110.5W 30 KTS 72HR VT 10/1200Z 16.0N 110.0W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 03:23:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626957-24122>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 22:34:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA39396; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:29:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6543441 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:27:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA23306 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:25:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA15465 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:25:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710071425.JAA15465@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:25:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 21 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 423773e1f9793fa3e44593debfd2cabe X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 806 WTPZ22 KNHC 071425 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1797 1500Z TUE OCT 07 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 112.5W AT 07/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 112.5W AT 07/1500Z AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 112.7W FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 15.7N 111.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 15.7N 111.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 15.8N 111.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 112.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 15.9N 110.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 16.0N 110.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 03:23:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626957-24119>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 22:36:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA39338; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:30:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6543446 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:29:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA52526 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:28:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA15480 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:28:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710071428.JAA15480@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:28:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Discussion Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7f616f1227d4df16a3ebf099e5384251 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 825 WTPZ43 KNHC 071427 TCDEP3 HURRICANE PAULINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT TUE OCT 07 1997 SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A SMALL AND VERY WELL DEFINED EYE EMBEDDED IN COLD CONVECTIVE TOPS. INITIAL INTENSITY IS 115 KNOTS IN AGREEMENT WITH LATEST ESTIMATES FROM SAB AND AFGWC. THE UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS BECOME EVEN BETTER DEFINED AND THE SYSTEM IS OVER WARM WATER. ALTHOUGH SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY WILL LIKELY OCCUR...PAULINE IS LIKELY NEAR ITS PEAK INTENSITY. THIS IS A BORDER LINE CATEGORY THREE/CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE...AND SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING IS NOT EXPECTED UNTIL THE CIRCULATION BECOMES INVOLVED WITH LAND. PAULINE HAS BEEN ONLY DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. THE AVIATION MODEL CONTINUES TO SHOW A FICTITIOUS 850/700 MB VORTEX ABOUT 10 DEGREES TO THE WEST OF PAULINE THAT MAY BE ADVERSELY AFFECTING SOME OF THE GUIDANCE MODELS. HOWEVER...THERE IS A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S...AND THE SOUTHEASTERLY STEERING FLOW AROUND THE SOUTHWEST SIDE OF THIS HIGH SHOULD STEER PAULINE GENERALLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST. THIS TRACK IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ADVISORY BUT IS SHIFTED A LITTLE TO THE LEFT. THE DEEP LAYER BAM AND THE UKMET MODELS ARE EVEN MORE TO THE LEFT...KEEPING THE CENTER JUST OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/1500Z 13.5N 94.6W 115 KTS 12HR VT 08/0000Z 14.2N 94.9W 120 KTS 24HR VT 08/1200Z 15.2N 95.5W 120 KTS 36HR VT 09/0000Z 16.2N 96.2W 100 KTS...INLAND 48HR VT 09/1200Z 17.3N 97.1W 45 KTS...INLAND 72HR VT 10/1200Z 19.5N 99.0W 30 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 03:23:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627448-24119>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 22:38:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA23570; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:32:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6543478 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:31:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA21946 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:29:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA15489 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:29:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710071429.JAA15489@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:29:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Forecast/advisory Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cd56b58c5e8a2b2afefc6e81cb9991e1 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 863 WTPZ23 KNHC 071428 TCMEP3 HURRICANE PAULINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1897 1500Z TUE OCT 07 1997 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 94.6W AT 07/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..160NE 160SE 160SW 160NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 94.6W AT 07/1500Z AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 94.5W FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 14.2N 94.9W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 15.2N 95.5W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 16.2N 96.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 40NW 34 KT... 75NE 100SE 100SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N 94.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 17.3N 97.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 19.5N 99.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 45 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 03:23:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627441-24122>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 23:06:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA52486; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:57:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6543652 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:56:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA50464 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:29:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA15499 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:29:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710071429.JAA15499@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:29:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Advisory Number 7 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e9fc37247b9a4301157f035d138caa80 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 864 WTPZ33 KNHC 071430 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE PAULINE ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT TUE OCT 07 1997 ...DANGEROUS HURRICANE PAULINE HEADING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAULINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.6 WEST OR ABOUT 190 MILES ...305 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO. PAULINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH... 7 KM/HR ...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 130 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT PAULINE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A DANGEROUS HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 948 MB...27.99 INCHES. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...13.5 N... 94.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 130 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 948 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 03:23:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627362-24123>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 22:40:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA12294; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:34:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6543485 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:32:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA21942 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:32:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA15520 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:32:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710071432.JAA15520@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:32:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Three-c Discussion Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1891b7f29755b694c42babd72dd49809 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 949 WTPA43 PHNL 071500 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST TUE OCT 07 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND AND MOVING WEST... SATELLITE MOVIE LOOP SHOWS THAT 3C HAS MOVED WEST AT ABOUT 19 KNOTS OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH WILL KEEP THE SYSTEM ON A WESTWARD TRACK FOR ANOTHER 12 HOURS. AFTER THAT...IT SHOULD SLOW A BIT AND TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IN RESPONSE A WEAKENED RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THE FORECAST TRACK IS SOUTH OF MOST OF THE OBJECTIVE AIDS...TAKING 3C PARALLEL TO AND SOUTH OF HAWAII. NO DATA T-NUMBER CAN BE DETERMINED USING THE DVORAK TECHNIQUE SINCE THERE CONTINUES TO BE NO COLD CLOUD TOPS NEAR THE CENTER. POSITION IS BASED ON A WELL-DEFINED BUT MORE RAGGED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. WILL FORECAST 3C TO BE DISSIPATED BY 24 HOURS DUE TO THE LACK OF ANY DEEP CONVECTION. CRAIG FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/1500Z 15.5N 153.1W 25 KTS 12HR VT 08/0000Z 15.8N 156.0W 25 KTS 24HR VT 08/1200Z 16.8N 159.4W DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 03:23:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627495-24125>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 22:44:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA24094; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:37:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6543505 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:35:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA52916 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:32:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA15518 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:32:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710071432.JAA15518@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:32:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Three-c Forecast/advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 45943631efeeef21a2a2be92e37286fc X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 948 WTPA23 PHNL 071500 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0397 1500Z TUE OCT 07 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND AND MOVING WEST... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 153.1W AT 07/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 153.1W AT 07/1500Z AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 152.2W FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 15.8N 156.0W MAX WIND 25 KT FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 16.8N 159.4W MAX WIND 25 KT...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 153.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 03:23:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626271-24123>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 22:43:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA42642; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:38:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6543513 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:37:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA41154 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:32:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA15526 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:32:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710071432.JAA15526@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:32:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Three-c Advisory Number 5 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f8a28b5a5941baddb5df48e51ab8034b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 950 WTPA33 PHNL 071500 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST TUE OCT 07 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND AND MOVING WEST... AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 153.1 WEST OR ABOUT 315 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HILO ON THE ISLAND OF HAWAII. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 21 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ANOTHER 12 HOURS. THREE-C IS THEN FORECAST TO TURN TO THE NORTHWEST PARALLEL TO AND WELL SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION...15.5 N...153.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM HST. CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 03:23:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626044-24122>; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 23:38:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA28400; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 10:31:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6544367 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 10:30:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA13926 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 10:30:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id KAA15886 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 10:30:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710071530.KAA15886@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 10:30:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 755d449e4f3e7f8195de4daf779ce9cc X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 007 ABPZ20 KNHC 071529 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE OCT 7 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON DANGEROUS HURRICANE PAULINE LOCATED ABOUT 190 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO AND ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF LOCATED ABOUT 525 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 03:23:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627525-24119>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 01:57:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA08650; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 12:46:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6546045 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 12:44:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA19286 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 12:44:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA16656 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 12:44:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710071744.MAA16656@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 12:44:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Intermediate Advisory Number 7a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: dad0df2a304959e6fa6ba0ada5bb5f5e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 515 WTPZ33 KNHC 071744 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE PAULINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT TUE OCT 07 1997 ...DANGEROUS HURRICANE PAULINE HEADING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAULINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.9 WEST OR ABOUT 175 MILES ...280 KM...SOUTH OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO. PAULINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH... 7 KM/HR ...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 130 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT PAULINE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A DANGEROUS HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 948 MB...27.99 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...13.7 N... 94.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 130 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 948 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 03:23:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627516-24123>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 02:19:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA12334; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 13:12:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6546343 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 13:11:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA21650 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 13:08:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id NAA16807 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 13:08:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710071808.NAA16807@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 13:08:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2e34e499f6db3ff87e66228172651e04 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 967 ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/071800Z/081800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION AND SURFACE CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17N8 93E2 IS NOW OVER LAND NEAR 21N3 94E3. SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS MIGRATED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AND IS CENTERED OVER WESTERN MYANMAR. CONVECTION AND UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/EIBLING/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 03:23:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627504-24123>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 02:24:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA12458; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 13:10:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6546338 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 13:08:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA32148 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 13:08:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id NAA16806 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 13:08:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710071808.NAA16806@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 13:08:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4710a3fe06ff9abd358879b9ba244ec2 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 967 ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/071800Z/081800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION AND SURFACE CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17N8 93E2 IS NOW OVER LAND NEAR 21N3 94E3. SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS MIGRATED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AND IS CENTERED OVER WESTERN MYANMAR. CONVECTION AND UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/EIBLING/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 10:08:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627553-24119>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 05:00:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA22354; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 15:47:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6548033 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 15:45:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA08564 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 15:45:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA17707 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 15:45:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710072045.PAA17707@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 15:45:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Discussion Number 22 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6be6c760fcc45b641b6ae2eb8532c27c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 031 WTPZ42 KNHC 072045 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 22 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE OCT 07 1997 A SMALL BUT PERSISTENT CLUSTER OF DEEP CONVECTION IS SEEN IN SATELLITE IMAGERY IN THE VICINITY OF THE CENTER OF OLAF. INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS AT 30 KNOTS...IN AGREEMENT WITH LATEST ESTIMATE FROM THE AIR FORCE GLOBAL WEATHER CENTER. CONTINUED SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT AND...IN FACT...COULD LEAD TO DISSIPATION BEFORE THE END OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD. THE CENTER IS RELOCATED SOMEWHAT BASED ON VISIBLE IMAGERY. BEST GUESS AT INITIAL MOTION IS 090/07. THE MODELS SHOW TREMENDOUS SCATTER WHICH IS TYPICAL FOR SHEARED SYSTEMS. THE SHALLOW AND MID LAYER BAM GUIDANCE INDICATES A WESTWARD MOTION...THE LBAR AND CLIPER INDICATE A NORTHWARD MOVEMENT...THE NOGAPS INDICATES A SLOW EASTWARD MOTION...AND THE GFDL ALONG WITH THE AVIATION AND UKMET MODELS SHOW A MORE SOUTHWARD MOTION. OUR CURRENT FORECAST SHOWS LITTLE OVERALL MOVEMENT...AND IS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE NHC90. THERE IS SOME CHANCE THAT A WEAKENING CIRCULATION FROM OLAF COULD INTERACT WITH THE MUCH STRONGER CIRCULATION OF PAULINE NEAR THE END OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/2100Z 15.9N 111.2W 30 KTS 12HR VT 08/0600Z 16.0N 110.0W 30 KTS 24HR VT 08/1800Z 16.0N 109.3W 30 KTS 36HR VT 09/0600Z 15.9N 108.5W 30 KTS 48HR VT 09/1800Z 15.7N 108.0W 30 KTS 72HR VT 10/1800Z 15.5N 107.5W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 10:08:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627547-24125>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 05:03:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA34016; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 15:51:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6548087 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 15:49:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA34588 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 15:46:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA17712 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 15:46:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710072046.PAA17712@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 15:46:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 22 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: dcc6a3171650e397e534b50c504bcdbd X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 052 WTPZ22 KNHC 072046 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1797 2100Z TUE OCT 07 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 111.2W AT 07/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 111.2W AT 07/2100Z AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 111.6W FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 16.0N 110.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 16.0N 109.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 15.9N 108.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 111.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 15.7N 108.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 15.5N 107.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 10:08:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627538-24122>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 05:02:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA26014; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 15:49:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6548059 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 15:47:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA25042 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 15:47:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA17718 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 15:47:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710072047.PAA17718@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 15:47:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Discussion Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 51e7c2e527ceecdca2444a7bb43162bd X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 053 WTPZ43 KNHC 072047 TCDEP3 HURRICANE PAULINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE OCT 07 1997 A SMALL EYE IS STILL HINTED AT IN THE ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY... BUT SURROUNDING CLOUD TOPS HAVE WARMED. INITIAL INTENSITY IS ESTIMATED AT 105 KNOTS WHICH IS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN VARIOUS SATELLITE ESTIMATES. THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS WELL DEFINED AND THE SYSTEM IS OVER WARM WATER. ALTHOUGH SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY WILL LIKELY OCCUR...PAULINE APPEARS TO HAVE PEAKED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. THIS IS STILL A STRONG CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE...AND SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING IS NOT EXPECTED UNTIL THE CIRCULATION BECOMES INVOLVED WITH LAND. THE CENTER OF PAULINE HAS BEEN QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT IS EXPECTED TO RESUME A MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHWEST. THE AVIATION MODEL CONTINUES TO SHOW A FICTITIOUS 850/700 MB VORTEX ABOUT 10 DEGREES TO THE WEST OF PAULINE THAT MAY BE ADVERSELY AFFECTING SOME OF THE GUIDANCE MODELS. HOWEVER...THERE IS A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S...AND THE SOUTHEASTERLY STEERING FLOW AROUND THE SOUTHWEST SIDE OF THIS HIGH SHOULD STEER PAULINE GENERALLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST. THIS TRACK IS SHIFTED A LITTLE TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. THE DEEP LAYER BAM AND THE UKMET MODELS ARE EVEN MORE TO THE LEFT. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/2100Z 13.8N 95.1W 105 KTS 12HR VT 08/0600Z 14.3N 95.5W 105 KTS 24HR VT 08/1800Z 15.3N 96.4W 100 KTS 36HR VT 09/0600Z 16.3N 97.6W 90 KTS...INLAND 48HR VT 09/1800Z 17.5N 99.0W 40 KTS...INLAND 72HR VT 10/1800Z 19.5N 102.0W 25 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 10:08:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627538-24119>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 05:17:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA09864; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 16:00:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6548249 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 15:59:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA18070 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 15:49:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA17723 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 15:49:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710072049.PAA17723@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 15:49:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Forecast/advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b9966de0b7ad813a13a9fb945ef9b94a X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 070 WTPZ23 KNHC 072048 TCMEP3 HURRICANE PAULINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1897 2100Z TUE OCT 07 1997 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 95.1W AT 07/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT...NEARLY STATIONARY BUT EXPECTED TO RESUME A DRIFT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..160NE 160SE 160SW 160NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 95.1W AT 07/2100Z AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 94.9W FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 14.3N 95.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 15.3N 96.4W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 16.3N 97.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 40NW 34 KT... 60NE 100SE 100SW 60NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 95.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 17.5N 99.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 19.5N 102.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 10:08:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627547-24125>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 05:04:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA34012; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 15:53:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6548115 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 15:52:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA32360 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 15:50:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA17738 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 15:50:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710072050.PAA17738@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 15:50:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Advisory Number 8 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 33a283b953aa7750a90d519b38e9d76c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 102 WTPZ33 KNHC 072050 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE PAULINE ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE OCT 07 1997 ..DANGEROUS HURRICANE PAULINE THREATENS SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO.. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAULINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.1 WEST OR ABOUT 160 MILES ...255 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO. PAULINE HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT IS EXPECTED TO RESUME A DRIFT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST LATER TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT PAULINE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A POWERFUL HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 955 MB...28.20 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE. THIS COULD CAUSE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...13.8 N... 95.1 W. MOVEMENT... NEARLY STATIONARY BUT EXPECTED TO RESUME A DRIFT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 10:08:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627556-24125>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 05:05:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA48564; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 15:55:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6548126 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 15:53:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA18090 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 15:52:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA17748 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 15:52:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710072052.PAA17748@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 15:52:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Three-c Discussion Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 433b5e72cfd1d89bfba50f62a361cf7e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 113 WTPA43 PHNL 072100 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST TUE OCT 7 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C DISSIPATING 200 MILES SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND... LITTLE OVERNIGHT CB CELL DEVELOPMENT AND DIMINISHING CIRCULATION INDICATE A FASTLY WEAKENING DEPRESSION 3C. ALTHO ASSOCIATED RAINFALL IS STILL VERY MUCH AN ISLAND CONSIDERATION WE WILL MAKE THIS THE LAST PACKAGE ON THREE-C...PERSISTENT WESTERLY SHEARING FLOW ALOFT SHOULD PREVENT REDEVELOPMENT. MATSUDA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/2100Z 15.7N 154.9W 25 KTS 12HR VT 08/0600Z 16.2N 157.3W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 08/1800Z 17.0N 159.7W 25 KTS...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 10:08:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627553-24125>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 05:06:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA04458; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 15:56:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6548136 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 15:55:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA49706 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 15:53:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA17756 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 15:53:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710072053.PAA17756@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 15:53:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Three-c Forecast/advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 04d682d7f4e3b47ad7fc9039780e906e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 141 WTPA23 PHNL 072100 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI CP0397 2100Z TUE OCT 7 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C DISSIPATING 200 MILES SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 154.9W AT 07/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 154.9W AT 07/2100Z AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 154.1W FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 16.2N 157.3W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 17.0N 159.7W...DISSIPATED MAX WIND 25 KT THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 10:08:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627538-24125>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 05:09:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA04356; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 15:58:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6548149 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 15:56:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA26696 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 15:56:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA17774 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 15:56:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710072056.PAA17774@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 15:56:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Three-c Advisory Number 6 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 16c8d7fe4cbe2ff9257ce527f21ba831 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 159 WTPA33 PHNL 072100 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST TUE OCT 7 1997 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C DISSIPATING 200 MILES SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND... AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 154.9 WEST OR ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 18 MPH AND WILL CURVE MORE TOWARD THE WEST SNORTHWEST AND SLOW WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010MB OR 29.83 INCHES. ALTHOUGH THREE-C IS WEAKENING ITS SHOWERS MAY WELL MOVE OVER THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AND CAUSE SOME SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...15.7N 154.9W. MOVEMENT TOWARD WEST AT 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010MB. THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 10:08:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627565-24122>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 06:05:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA16590; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 16:55:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6548914 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 16:54:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA39314 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 16:54:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA18173 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 16:54:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710072154.QAA18173@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 16:54:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 541d778b1bba5f1b8f3874f4134606b4 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 296 ABPA20 PHNL 072200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST TUE OCT 7 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C...IS CENTERED NEAR 16.2N154.9W OR ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTH OF HILO HAWAII. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES WEST NEAR 22 MPH. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 925 MILES SOUTH OF HILO HAWAII IS MOVING WEST AT 10 MILES AN HOUR. THIS SYSTEM REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC THOUGH WEDNESDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 10:08:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625879-17947>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 06:39:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA52578; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 17:29:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6549341 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 17:28:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA26942 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 17:28:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA18313 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 17:28:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710072228.RAA18313@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 17:28:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 74b0834bc436e1e2c71750bea41e618d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 935 ABPZ20 KNHC 072226 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE OCT 7 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON DANGEROUS HURRICANE PAULINE LOCATED ABOUT 160 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO AND ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF LOCATED ABOUT 485 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 10:08:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625920-17944>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 07:45:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA32092; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 18:36:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6550003 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 18:35:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id SAA51186 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 18:35:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id SAA18576 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 18:35:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710072335.SAA18576@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 18:35:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Intermediate Advisory Number 8a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6ac86a5c6be97d58ef7f9905cf61db39 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 096 WTPZ33 KNHC 072335 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE PAULINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT TUE OCT 07 1997 ..DANGEROUS HURRICANE PAULINE THREATENS SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO.. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. AT 5 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAULINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.4 WEST OR ABOUT 140 MILES ...225 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO. PAULINE HAS BEEN DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS AND THIS SLOW MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT PAULINE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A POWERFUL HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 955 MB...28.20 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE. THIS COULD CAUSE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...13.9 N... 95.4 W. MOVEMENT... DRIFTING NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 15:03:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626340-27478>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 13:52:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA46886; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 00:43:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6553427 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 00:41:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA46962 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 22:11:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA19357 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 22:11:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710080311.WAA19357@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 22:11:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Discussion Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bfa75b5297ec3f0ab1b26c0d8983df11 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 659 WTPZ43 KNHC 080250 TCDEP3 HURRICANE PAULINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT TUE OCT 07 1997 IN THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY HAS SHOWN SOME VERY COLD CLOUD TOPS ON THE EAST SIDE OF PAULINES VERY SMALL EYE. INITIAL INTENSITY IS ESTIMATED AT 100 KNOTS WITH IDENTICAL T-NUMBER CLASSIFICATIONS FROM TAFB AND SAB OF 5.5. THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS WELL DEFINED AND THE SYSTEM IS OVER WARM WATER. ADDITIONAL FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY WILL LIKELY OCCUR. PAULINE REMAINS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE...AND SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING IS NOT EXPECTED UNTIL THE CIRCULATION BECOMES INVOLVED WITH LAND. THE CENTER OF PAULINE HAS BEEN DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. INITIAL MOTION IS 310/05. ALL MODELS EXCEPT NOGAPS AND THE AVN ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT IN MOVING THE SYSTEM TOWARD THE NORTHWEST. THE GFDL HAS AN ACCELERATION PROBLEM IN THE MIDDLE PART OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AND MOVES THE SYSTEM TO FAR TO THE NORTHWEST. THE AVIATION MODEL CONTINUES TO SHOW A FICTITIOUS 850/700 MB VORTEX ABOUT 10 DEGREES TO THE WEST OF PAULINE THAT ULTIMATELY AFFECTS THE TRACK AND FORCES THE SYSTEM INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE IN 72 HOURS. THE NOGAPS SEEMS TO BE SIMILARLY AFFECTED. THE STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S...AND THE SOUTHEASTERLY STEERING FLOW AROUND THE SOUTHWEST SIDE OF THIS HIGH SHOULD STEER PAULINE GENERALLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST. THIS TRACK IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/0300Z 13.9N 95.6W 100 KTS 12HR VT 08/1200Z 14.4N 96.1W 100 KTS 24HR VT 09/0000Z 15.2N 97.0W 100 KTS 36HR VT 09/1200Z 16.2N 98.2W 90 KTS 48HR VT 10/0000Z 17.4N 99.5W 40 KTS...INLAND 72HR VT 11/0000Z 20.0N 103.0W 25 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 15:03:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626314-27478>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 13:55:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA36742; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 00:44:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6553480 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 00:43:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA16512 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 22:11:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA19361 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 22:11:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710080311.WAA19361@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 22:11:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Forecast/advisory Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d7e05def3f9920816362c8045342c10a X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 666 WTPZ23 KNHC 080251 TCMEP3 HURRICANE PAULINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1897 0300Z WED OCT 08 1997 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 95.6W AT 08/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..160NE 160SE 160SW 160NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 95.6W AT 08/0300Z AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 95.4W FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 14.4N 96.1W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 15.2N 97.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 16.2N 98.2W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 40NW 34 KT... 60NE 100SE 100SW 60NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 95.6W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 17.4N 99.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 20.0N 103.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 15:03:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626340-27477>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 13:51:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA21152; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 00:46:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6553496 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 00:45:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA46978 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 22:11:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA19365 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 22:11:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710080311.WAA19365@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 22:11:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Advisory Number 9 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d1ddd0868f2176da3578fa69bf474b2d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 686 WTPZ33 KNHC 080252 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE PAULINE ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT TUE OCT 07 1997 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAULINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.6 WEST OR ABOUT 135 MILES...215 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO. PAULINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH ... 9 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE. THIS COULD CAUSE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...13.9 N... 95.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 960 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM PDT...WEDNESDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 15:03:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626333-27477>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 13:52:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA18096; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 00:48:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6553514 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 00:46:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA16536 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 22:11:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA19370 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 22:11:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710080311.WAA19370@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 22:11:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 23 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d264f389aacd3bab56f95a6d5875e995 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 693 WTPZ22 KNHC 080254 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1797 0300Z WED OCT 08 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 110.9W AT 08/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 100 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 110.9W AT 08/0300Z AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 111.2W FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 15.3N 110.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 15.1N 109.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 15.0N 108.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 110.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 15.0N 107.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 15.0N 107.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 15:03:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626290-27476>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 13:54:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA35400; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 00:50:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6553529 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 00:48:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA33434 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 22:11:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA19371 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 22:11:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710080311.WAA19371@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 22:11:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Discussion Number 23 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5ee4aea81c28c5370b6aa9abe870de4f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 694 WTPZ42 KNHC 080254 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 23 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT TUE OCT 07 1997 SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE SHEARED AND VERY LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION IS PRESENT. INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS AT 30 KNOTS...IN AGREEMENT WITH LATEST ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND SAB. SYSTEM MAY DISSIPATE BEFORE THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. INITIAL MOTION IS 100/06. THE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW TREMENDOUS SCATTER WHICH IS TYPICAL FOR SHEARED SYSTEMS. OUR CURRENT FORECAST SHOWS A SLOW DRIFT TO THE EAST. THERE IS SOME CHANCE THAT A WEAKENING CIRCULATION FROM OLAF COULD INTERACT WITH THE MUCH STRONGER CIRCULATION OF PAULINE NEAR THE END OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/0300Z 15.4N 110.9W 30 KTS 12HR VT 08/1200Z 15.3N 110.1W 30 KTS 24HR VT 09/0000Z 15.1N 109.2W 30 KTS 36HR VT 09/1200Z 15.0N 108.6W 30 KTS 48HR VT 10/0000Z 15.0N 107.9W 30 KTS 72HR VT 11/0000Z 15.0N 107.1W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 12:57:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626288-27477>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 12:44:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA17926; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 23:25:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6552227 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 23:24:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA11994 for ; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 23:12:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id XAA19547 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 7 Oct 1997 23:12:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710080412.XAA19547@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 23:12:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: aa7241a3069a4722bed5a0e7bc7731e6 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 042 ABPZ20 KNHC 080410 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE OCT 7 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON DANGEROUS HURRICANE PAULINE LOCATED ABOUT 135 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO AND ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF LOCATED ABOUT 520 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 13:33:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626282-27477>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 13:19:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA27308; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 00:13:42 -0500 Message-Id: <199710080513.AAA27308@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 00:01:29 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 6 Oct 1997 to 7 Oct 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 9156451460d57b59174d596b71f4f537 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 6 messages totalling 261 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Weather Radio 2. The Normals Dilemma (was Re: normals vs. averages) 3. AP Story: Bad weatherman (2) 4. El Nino in the funnies 5. joke-clean: genius or idiot +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 21:38:58 GMT From: Bill Ricker Subject: Re: Weather Radio In article <3434E36A.7C8C@Mindspring.com>, dbacon@Mindspring.com wrote: > Amateur Electronic Supply (1-800-558-0411) has the Maxon WX-70 for > 39.95! > It has three alerts: tone, LED, and Voice. On the Voice setting the > NOAA turn on for 10mins and the reset itself. 7 Channel, 110V with 9V > battery backup. I'd forgotten they existed, just saw one (three?) given as door-prizes at the Hoss-Traders ham-radio flea-market/hamfest in Rochester, NH this weekend. AES is at http://www.aesham.com/ for the urlishly inclined. Maxon's Web page is http://www.campmor.com/maxon/maxon.cb.wx.html I finally picked up my RS SAME equipped radio ($80) at a road-side RS on the way to the hamfest. It has a two-terminal screwblock on the back panel to control a remote alarm. Once I get a 9V backup into it, I'll program some SAME codes for my SKYWARN counties... it's time to stock up on 9V batteries anyway -- you all change all your smoke detector batteries at spring-forward, fall-back, right??? This MAXON might be a better radio for having in the Office than my older R/S, if I can set it to Voice-on ... I've had officemate seriously annoyd when they couldn't figure out how to silence the alert siren when I wasn't in. :-) 73 from Bill N1VUX/SKWYARN -- Bill Ricker N1VUX wdr@world.std.com "The freedom of the press belongs http://world.std.com/~wdr to those who own one."--A.J.Liebling ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 08:40:04 -0400 From: Richard Heim Subject: The Normals Dilemma (was Re: normals vs. averages) >From: "Ricketts,Steve [Edm]" >Subject: RE: normals vs. averages >Date: Mon, 6 Oct 1997 10:43:57 -0600 > >IMHO, this is a classic example of people not tailoring their message to >suit their listeners and by not doing so, causing confusion. Agreed that there is confusion. > >Sure, I hear you when you say there is an official definition of >"normals". But 99% of all people are not aware of that definition and do >not understand it. By blaming them for the confusion smacks of elitism. >It is not their fault! Placing blame was not my intention, rather educating the readership was. Dr. Helmut E. Landsberg, at one time the Director of Climatology of the U.S. Weather Bureau and Director of the Environmental Data Service, summarized the dilemma quite well: "The layman is often misled by the word. In his every-day language the word normal means something ordinary or frequent. ...When (the meteorologist) talks about 'normal', it has nothing to do with a common event..... For the meteorologist the 'normal' is simply a point of departure or index which is convenient for keeping track of weather statistics..... We never expect to experience 'normal' weather." Landsberg, H.E., 1955: "Weather 'normals' and normal weather," Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin, 1/31/55, pp. 7-8. Okay, this is basically what you said in your post. The reason I'm quoting Dr. Landsberg here is to show that this is nothing new. > >That is, it's something that falls within the realm of being typical. >Here in Edmonton in October, it is normal to have temps below zero >Celsius and snow (it's just not that frequent). It is also normal to >have 25C temps once in a while. But the average temp is about 13C. > >I think that we should speak in scientific terms when conversing with >fellow scientists, but when speaking to the layman, use terms they >understand. > >..steve > Said another way: It might be "normal" for the weather to swing radically between extremes from day to day and year to year, but the "climatic normal" is simply an arithmetic average of what has happened at such a place. This is why it's important to use a measure of the variability of climate (such as the standard deviation and extremes) in conjunction with the climatic normal when studying the climate of a location. But this doesn't really address the terminology problem. There are two different contexts for the word "normal" here. What's the solution? New terminology? Or education on the use of the word "normal"? It would help if those professionals (weathercasters, forecasters, climatologists, etc.) who deal with the public would not propogate the misconception. I doubt that we will solve the problem here, now. But maybe we can take a small step in the right direction? Richard Heim, NCDC DISCLAIMER: The opinions expressed in this email are my own, and do not necessarily reflect the views of my employer. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 10:43:11 -0400 From: Mike Harpe Subject: AP Story: Bad weatherman [From AP wire copy - MEH] Huntsville, Alabama -- The National Weather Service and local emergency officials say an Alabama weatherman is a threat to public safety. Dan Satterfield has issued his own tornado watches and told residents in the Huntsville area to ignore other warnings. He once sent people scrambling to a shelter that wasn't open because there was no official weather service warning. His station contends Satterfield has the equipment and the know-how to make his own predictions. An attorney for the weather service says other than exchanging letters with the station's attorneys, there's not much the agency can do. It's against the law to issue or cancel warnings if it's done in the name of the weather service. But Satterfield hasn't done that. ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 11:45:54 -0400 From: George Sambataro Subject: Re: AP Story: Bad weatherman Wonder what kind of liability he may be setting the station up for. Lots of disclaimers I guess. George At 10:43 AM 10/7/97 -0400, you wrote: >[From AP wire copy - MEH] > >Huntsville, Alabama -- The National Weather Service and local emergency >officials say an Alabama weatherman is a threat >to public safety. > >Dan Satterfield has issued his own tornado watches and told residents in >the Huntsville area to ignore other warnings. He once >sent people scrambling to a shelter that wasn't open because there was >no official weather service warning. > >His station contends Satterfield has the equipment and the know-how to >make his own predictions. > >An attorney for the weather service says other than exchanging letters >with the station's attorneys, there's not much the agency >can do. > >It's against the law to issue or cancel warnings if it's done in the >name of the weather service. But Satterfield hasn't done that. > >+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ >To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with >"unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK >write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html > ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 09:41:22 -0600 From: Matt Parker Subject: El Nino in the funnies Greetings to all! About a month ago, I contributed a rather cynical post to the WX-CHASE discussion group concerning the media's overuse and abuse of the term/concept/event "El Nino" (e.g. El Nino is the demon responsible for any undesirable weather phenomenon). Apparently, non-scientists perceive the barrage to be somewhat humorous as well. Today, in the Rocky Mountain Collegian (student newspaper of CSU), a cartoon to this effect appeared. I'm uncertain if this cartoon appears nationwide or not; the author is Walt Handelsman. (title) "'El Nino' finds its way into the American vernacular" (frame 1: girl speaking) "I got pierced and my Dad went, like, El Nino" (frame 2: bumper sticker) "El Nino happens" (frame 3: wife shouting, husband sighing) "Mother's here!" "...El Nino-in-law" (frame 4: baby has soiled his diaper) "Oophh... El Nino" (frame 5: NBC news desk) "Marv's career's El Nino" (frame 6: couple in bed) "Not tonight dear, I have El Nino" All in all, I thought it was very clever and perceptive. In the Colorado media, El Nino has nearly transcended its scientific meaning and achieved buzzword status. What's next? :) Best regards, Matt =============================================== Matthew D. Parker Graduate Research Assistant Department of Atmospheric Science Colorado State University Fort Collins, Colorado 80523 parker@squall.atmos.colostate.edu office: (970)-491-2560 fax: (970)-491-8449 http://members.tripod.com/~parkerwx/index.html =============================================== text does not represent CSU or Dept. of Atmospheric Science ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 12:32:06 -0500 From: Clay Jones Subject: joke-clean: genius or idiot This came from the Giggles joke list: ---------------- You're a genius if you fly a kite during a thunderstorm, and discover that lighting is electricity--but you're an idiot if you fly a kite during the thunderstorm, and discover that lighting can kill you. ;) darren >>Seven days without laughter makes one weak.--Mort Walker ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ The GIGGLES list is not a tabloid newspaper or reporter. Jokes or stories that would be found in a tabloid or questionable reporting are not permitted on this list. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ --------- End forwarded message ---------- ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 6 Oct 1997 to 7 Oct 1997 ************************************************ From - Wed Oct 8 15:03:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626340-27478>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 13:44:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA32094; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 00:37:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6553301 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 00:35:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA26588 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 00:35:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id AAA19807 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 00:35:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710080535.AAA19807@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 00:35:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Intermediate Advisory Number 9a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a0c9189a57104ee7e83e118ea163eb95 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 446 WTPZ33 KNHC 080536 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE PAULINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 PM PDT TUE OCT 07 1997 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAULINE WAS LOCATED BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.6 WEST OR ABOUT 115 MILES...185 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO. PAULINE HAS BEEN MOVING LITTLE DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR ON WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE. THIS COULD CAUSE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...14.1 N... 95.6 W. MOVEMENT... LITTLE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 960 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT...WEDNESDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 15:03:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626290-27477>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 14:16:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA41066; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 01:15:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6554091 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 01:13:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA40970 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 01:13:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA19919 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 01:13:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710080613.BAA19919@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 01:13:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 09744e991ba33b6b2fc36cb412ef67ce X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 107 WTPS21 PGTW 080530 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 080530Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 125 NM RADIUS OF 7.9S6 170.0E8 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 080430Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 8.0S8 170.0E8. THE SYSTEM IS QUASISTATIONARY. 4. REMARKS: ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 6-HOURS. A SPIRAL LOW-LEVEL INFLOW PATTERN HAS DEVELOPED AROUND THE SYSTEM. THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS INCREASED AND HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. 5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 090521Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 15:03:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626282-27478>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 14:36:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA48234; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 01:34:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6554228 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 01:33:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA27658 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 01:33:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA19999 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 01:33:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710080633.BAA19999@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 01:33:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Rmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 769e37956e70ffb4112cd742711a7124 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 609 WTPS21 PGTW 080530 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 080530Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 125 NM RADIUS OF 7.9S6 170.0E8 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY PAGE 02 RUHGSGG9378 UNCLAS ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 080430Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 8.0S8 170.0E8. THE SYSTEM IS QUASISTATIONARY. 4. REMARKS: ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 6-HOURS. A SPIRAL LOW-LEVEL INFLOW PATTERN HAS DEVELOPED AROUND THE SYSTEM. THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS INCREASED AND HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. 5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 090521Z7.// BT #9378 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 15:03:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626342-27478>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 14:45:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA25490; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 01:43:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6554263 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 01:41:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA25418 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 01:41:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA20033 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 01:41:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710080641.BAA20033@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 01:41:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e2cb0933714593daf9e1ac45e2ed3a6c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 789 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 080530Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 08N8 175E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8N8 178E6. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT TROPTICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 15:03:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626290-27476>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 15:02:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA25584; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 01:44:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6554268 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 01:43:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA27720 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 01:41:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA20032 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 01:41:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710080641.BAA20032@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 01:41:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 90db2227fc9ceeb9404315877cbbf7b0 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 789 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 080530Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 08N8 175E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8N8 178E6. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT TROPTICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 17:19:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626432-27478>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 16:35:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA34808; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 03:28:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6554495 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 03:26:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA40150 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 03:26:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA20428 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 03:26:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710080826.DAA20428@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 03:26:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Discussion Number 24 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 34296060770983af6e47cbc17d1d2c88 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 590 WTPZ42 KNHC 080826 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 24 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT WED OCT 08 1997 THERE IS NOT MUCH TO SAY ABOUT OLAF THAT HAS NOT BEEN ALREADY EXTENSIVELY DISCUSSED. THE CLOUD PATTERN IS SHAPELESS AND CONVECTION ...AS IN THE PREVIOUS DAYS...CONTINUES TO BE INTERMITTENT. THE LOW LEVEL CENTER IS DIFFICULT TO FIND BUT IT SEEMS TO BE CLOSE TO THE CONVECTION. T-NUMBERS ARE BETWEEN 1.5 AND 2.0 ON THE DVORAK SCALE. OLAF APPEARS TO BE MOVING ABOUT 115/04. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST KEEPS OLAF ON A GENERAL EAST SOUTHEAST TO EAST TRACK DURING THE NEXT 72 HOURS. OLAF WILL PROBABLY BE ABSORBED BY THE MUCH LARGER CIRCULATION OF PAULINE AND IT MAY BE DECLARED DISSIPATED BEFORE THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MODELS KEEP SUGGESTING TRACKS IN ALL DIRECTIONS. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/0900Z 15.0N 109.5W 30 KTS 12HR VT 08/1800Z 14.5N 109.0W 30 KTS 24HR VT 09/0600Z 14.5N 108.5W 30 KTS 36HR VT 09/1800Z 14.5N 108.0W 30 KTS 48HR VT 10/0600Z 14.5N 107.5W 30 KTS 72HR VT 11/0600Z 14.5N 106.5W 30 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 17:19:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626426-27479>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 16:44:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA35606; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 03:35:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6554531 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 03:34:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA35600 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 03:31:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA20465 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 03:31:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710080831.DAA20465@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 03:31:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 24 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d141d3b1e756596cb60ebd3f1c8c0520 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 657 WTPZ22 KNHC 080831 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1797 0900Z WED OCT 08 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 109.5W AT 08/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST SOUTHEAST OR 115 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 109.5W AT 08/0900Z AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 109.5W FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 14.5N 109.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 14.5N 108.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 14.5N 108.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 109.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 14.5N 107.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 14.5N 106.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 17:19:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626351-27476>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 16:49:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA49624; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 03:40:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6554567 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 03:39:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA16948 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 03:39:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA20486 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 03:39:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710080839.DAA20486@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 03:39:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Advisory Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 20185f18ce1791b5e71a8e252a33cb67 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 747 WTPZ33 KNHC 080839 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE PAULINE ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT WED OCT 08 1997 ..PAULINE HEADING FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAULINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.8 WEST OR ABOUT 95 MILES ...150 KM...SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO. PAULINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH ... 9 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE. THIS COULD CAUSE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...14.4 N... 95.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 960 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM PDT. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 17:19:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626539-27478>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 16:50:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA34572; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 03:42:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6554572 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 03:40:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA16958 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 03:39:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA20490 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 03:39:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710080839.DAA20490@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 03:39:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Forecast/advisory Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0499c14d160504a43cbc77b146da3722 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 748 WTPZ23 KNHC 080839 TCMEP3 HURRICANE PAULINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1897 0900Z WED OCT 08 1997 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 95.8W AT 08/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..160NE 160SE 160SW 160NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 95.8W AT 08/0900Z AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 95.6W FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 14.8N 96.3W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 15.6N 97.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 16.5N 98.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 40NW 34 KT... 60NE 100SE 100SW 60NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 95.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 17.5N 99.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 19.5N 102.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 17:19:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626351-27478>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 16:51:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA25444; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 03:44:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6554619 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 03:43:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA37806 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 03:43:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA20507 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 03:43:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710080843.DAA20507@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 03:43:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Discussion Number 10 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d8e28e3ee1386bb453972612dae8b44c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 813 WTPZ43 KNHC 080842 TCDEP3 HURRICANE PAULINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT WED OCT 08 1997 THE CLOUD PATTERN ASSOCIATED WITH PAULINE HAS CHANGED LITTLE DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. THE EYE HAS BECOME INTERMITTENT AND THERE PLENTY OF BANDING FEATURES. INITIAL INTENSITY BASED ON SATELLITE ESTIMATES IS 100 KNOTS. THE HURRICANE IS UNDER A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE...SO SHEAR IS NOT A PROBLEM BUT PERHAPS THE INTERACTION WITH THE HIGH TERRAIN AND UPWELLING WILL INHIBIT FURTHER STRENGTHENING. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IS FORECAST BEFORE LANDFALL. PAULINE HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST ABOUT 5 KNOTS...OR LESS. MOST OF THE MODELS...EXCEPT THE AVN AND THE UK BRING PAULINE TO THE COAST IN ABOUT 24 TO 36 HOURS. THE GFDL IS MUCH FASTER THAN THE REST OF THE MODELS. IT BRINGS THE CENTER OF PAULINE INLAND IN ABOUT 18 TO 24 HOURS AND THEN LOSES THE CIRCULATION. LATEST AVAILABLE UNIVERSITY OF MEXICO...UNAM...MODEL RUN MOVES PAULINE ON A NORTHWARD TRACK. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS IN BETWEEN MODELS AND CALLS FOR A GENERAL NORTHWESTWARD TRACK BRINGING THE CENTER OF PAULINE INLAND WITHIN THE WARNING AREA IN 24 TO 36 HOURS. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/0900Z 14.4N 95.8W 100 KTS 12HR VT 08/1800Z 14.8N 96.3W 100 KTS 24HR VT 09/0600Z 15.6N 97.5W 100 KTS 36HR VT 09/1800Z 16.5N 98.5W 75 KTS...INLAND 48HR VT 10/0600Z 17.5N 99.5W 40 KTS...INLAND 72HR VT 11/0600Z 19.5N 102.5W 25 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 17:39:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626423-27476>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 17:33:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA14594; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 04:07:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6554880 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 04:05:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA43740 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 04:05:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA20567 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 04:05:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710080905.EAA20567@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 04:05:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4795f9456f4f37d0b721fe61ef67e395 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 129 ABPZ20 KNHC 080904 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED OCT 8 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON DANGEROUS HURRICANE PAULINE LOCATED ABOUT 95 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO AND ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF LOCATED ABOUT 540 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 17:55:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626397-27479>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 17:55:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA26908; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 04:49:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6555073 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 04:48:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA09666 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 04:48:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA20670 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 04:48:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710080948.EAA20670@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 04:48:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: afabeab2ec60163e31a7e98521df9b15 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 952 ABPA20 PHNL 081000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 8 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 18:47:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627129-27476>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 18:25:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA47698; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 05:23:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6555235 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 05:21:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA26894 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 05:21:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA20772 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 05:21:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710081021.FAA20772@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 05:21:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6cede6aa7a532a63331d7e3822a3a641 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 580 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 080530Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 08N8 175E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8N8 178E6. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT TROPTICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 8 18:47:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626705-27479>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 18:32:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA47866; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 05:25:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6555240 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 05:23:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA39184 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 05:21:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA20771 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 05:21:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710081021.FAA20771@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 05:21:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ebabe10d49eb9744fd5b8c28c9adccd4 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 580 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 080530Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 08N8 175E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8N8 178E6. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT TROPTICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 10:55:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627397-27478>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 19:47:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id GAA32042; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 06:43:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6555686 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 06:41:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id GAA23226 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 06:41:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id GAA20963 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 06:41:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710081141.GAA20963@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 06:41:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Intermediate Advisory Number 10a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a53d5c4789063c0e82bce1b03852c394 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 846 WTPZ33 KNHC 081142 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE PAULINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT WED OCT 08 1997 ..PAULINE HEADING FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAULINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.9 WEST OR ABOUT 85 MILES ...135 KM...SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO. PAULINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH ... 9 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE. THIS COULD CAUSE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...14.6 N... 95.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 960 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT AM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 10:55:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626441-27478>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 19:54:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id GAA44068; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 06:50:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6555722 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 06:49:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id GAA14766 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 06:49:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id GAA20979 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 06:49:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710081149.GAA20979@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 06:49:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Intermediate Advisory Number 10a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 630baf5944e42614ba1f44c4b8aadb79 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 923 WTPZ33 KNHC 081150 COR TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE PAULINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT WED OCT 08 1997 ...CORRECTION TIME OF NEXT ADVISORY IN LAST LINE... ..PAULINE HEADING FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAULINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.9 WEST OR ABOUT 85 MILES ...135 KM...SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO. PAULINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH ... 9 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE. THIS COULD CAUSE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...14.6 N... 95.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 960 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 10:56:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627583-27478>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 22:48:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA24882; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 09:42:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6557206 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 09:40:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA52988 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 09:39:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA21468 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 09:38:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710081438.JAA21468@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 09:38:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Advisory Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4f6a58bb17aa716a3b70f8640ff5f79e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 220 WTPZ33 KNHC 081439 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE PAULINE ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT WED OCT 08 1997 ...DANGEROUS HURRICANE PAULINE HEADING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAULINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.0 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES... 95 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO. PAULINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAULINE WILL APPROACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF PUERTO ANGEL DURING THE DAY. WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE DURING THE DAY WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASE TO NEAR 130 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY WILL LIKELY OCCUR DURING THE DAY...BUT NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE CENTER MOVES OVER LAND. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 948 MB...27.99 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE. THIS COULD CAUSE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. TIDES OF 9 TO 12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST. THESE TIDES WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND VERY DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...14.9 N... 96.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 948 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 10:56:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627563-27476>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 22:48:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA22188; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 09:43:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6557220 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 09:42:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA34742 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 09:39:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA21473 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 09:39:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710081439.JAA21473@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 09:39:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Forecast/advisory Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5adec13394b89972900a75779b43e0a4 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 221 WTPZ23 KNHC 081439 TCMEP3 HURRICANE PAULINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1897 1500Z WED OCT 08 1997 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 96.0W AT 08/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS..160NE 160SE 160SW 160NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 96.0W AT 08/1500Z AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 95.8W FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 15.6N 96.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 16.5N 97.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT... 75NE 100SE 100SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 17.5N 98.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT... 60NE 100SE 100SW 60NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 96.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 18.5N 99.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 20.5N 103.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 10:56:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627581-27479>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 23:09:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA23910; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 10:05:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6557575 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 10:04:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA19214 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 09:41:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA21494 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 09:41:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710081441.JAA21494@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 09:41:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Discussion Number 11 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d06924102e2fd9698347b6c2cd2f9540 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 279 WTPZ43 KNHC 081441 TCDEP3 HURRICANE PAULINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT WED OCT 08 1997 THE EYE HAS BECOME MUCH BETTER DEFINED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 115 KNOTS...WHICH IS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE VARIOUS SATELLITE ESTIMATES. THE INTENSITY FORECAST SHOWS A LITTLE WEAKENING IN THE SHORT TERM SINCE THE CIRCULATION IS BECOMING INVOLVED WITH LAND...BUT THIS IS STILL FORECAST TO BE A DANGEROUS HURRICANE UNTIL THE CENTER MOVES COMPLETELY OVERLAND. RAPID WEAKENING WILL OCCUR THEREAFTER DUE TO THE RUGGED MOUNTAINS OF MEXICO. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 325/6. MOST OF THE GUIDANCE MODELS SUGGEST THAT THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE...ALTHOUGH THE UKMET MODEL STILL KEEPS THE CENTER OFFSHORE. THE TRACK HAS THE CENTER MOVING ONSHORE NEAR PUERTO ANGEL LATER TODAY...BUT THE SLOW MOTION IS ALLOWING THE EYE TO WOBBLE SOME AND THE CENTER COULD STILL MOVE SOME TO THE LEFT OR RIGHT OF OUR TRACK. THE ORIENTATION OF THE COASTLINE ALSO MAKES THE FORECAST OF A PRECISE LANDFALL DIFFICULT...SINCE A LITTLE MOTION TO THE LEFT OF OUR TRACK WOULD ALLOW THE CENTER TO NEARLY PARALLEL THE COAST FOR A WHILE. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/1500Z 14.9N 96.0W 115 KTS 12HR VT 09/0000Z 15.6N 96.5W 105 KTS 24HR VT 09/1200Z 16.5N 97.5W 80 KTS...INLAND 36HR VT 10/0000Z 17.5N 98.5W 50 KTS...INLAND 48HR VT 10/1200Z 18.5N 99.8W 35 KTS...INLAND 72HR VT 11/1200Z 20.5N 103.0W 20 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 10:56:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627593-27478>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 23:00:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA28862; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 09:54:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6557376 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 09:52:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA37382 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 09:48:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA21523 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 09:48:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710081448.JAA21523@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 09:48:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Discussion Number 25 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ebbbc75e79eb190a72f8180cb43b26a4 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 357 WTPZ42 KNHC 081449 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 25 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT WED OCT 08 1997 SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS ONLY A SMALL CLUSTER OF DEEP CONVECTION IN ASSOCIATION WITH OLAF. ALTHOUGH INTERMITTENT BURSTS OF CONVECTION WILL LIKELY STILL OCCUR...THE SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO NOT ONLY INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT BUT WILL LIKELY WEAKEN WHAT IS LEFT OF THIS WEAK TROPICAL CYCLONE. DISSIPATION IS LIKELY WITHIN 24 HOURS OR SO. THE CENTER IS NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE TO FIX ON INFRARED IMAGERY...AND THERE MAY BE SOME RELOCATION NEEDED AFTER VISIBLE IMAGERY BECOMES AVAILABLE. IN FACT...THERE IS ONE SHIP WITH A SOUTH WEST JUST TO THE WEST OF OUR ALLEGED CENTER AND IF THIS IS CORRECT...THERE IS NOT MUCH OF A CENTER LEFT. BEST GUESS AT INITIAL MOTION IS 110/05. OUR TRACK INDICATES THAT THIS GENERAL MOTION WILL LIKELY CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION...ALTHOUGH MODELS KEEP SUGGESTING TRACKS IN ALL POSSIBLE DIRECTIONS. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT A WEAKENING SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS COULD EVENTUALLY BE ABSORBED INTO THE STRONGER PAULINE CIRCULATION. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/1500Z 14.6N 109.2W 30 KTS 12HR VT 09/0000Z 14.5N 108.5W 30 KTS...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 09/1200Z 14.3N 107.8W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 10/0000Z 14.0N 107.0W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 10/1200Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 10:56:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627581-27479>; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 23:08:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA17942; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 10:03:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6557489 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 10:02:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA16120 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 09:50:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA21528 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 09:49:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710081449.JAA21528@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 09:49:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 25 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e9e5f305aa1f92119679931a53dc5e39 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 358 WTPZ22 KNHC 081450 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1797 1500Z WED OCT 08 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 109.2W AT 08/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 90 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST SOUTHEAST OR 105 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 109.2W AT 08/1500Z AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 109.4W FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 14.5N 108.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 14.3N 107.8W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 14.0N 107.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 109.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 10:56:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627582-27478>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 01:08:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA18138; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 12:02:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6559471 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 12:00:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA27702 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 12:00:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA22901 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 12:00:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710081700.MAA22901@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 12:00:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: db16b70c1e1fbfe8f047ad3e0bfd99ee X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 738 ABPZ20 KNHC 081700 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED OCT 8 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON DANGEROUS HURRICANE PAULINE LOCATED JUST SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO AND ON WEAKENING TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF LOCATED ABOUT 575 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 10:56:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626746-27478>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 01:52:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA47800; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 12:45:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6560066 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 12:44:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA36618 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 12:44:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA23101 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 12:44:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710081744.MAA23101@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 12:44:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Intermediate Advisory Number 11a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9da3826f15a6ac3555cf42ab26fcdff1 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 574 WTPZ33 KNHC 081744 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE PAULINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT WED OCT 08 1997 ...DANGEROUS HURRICANE PAULINE HEADING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAULINE WAS LOCATED BY RADAR AND SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.2 WEST OR ABOUT 30 MILES...45 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO. PAULINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CORE OF HURRICANE PAULINE WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF PUERTO ANGEL DURING THE AFTERNOON. WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE AS THE CENTER MOVES CLOSER TO THE COAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED NEAR 125 MPH...200 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY WILL LIKELY OCCUR DURING THE DAY...BUT NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE CENTER MOVES OVER LAND. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE. THIS COULD CAUSE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. TIDES OF 9 TO 12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST. THESE TIDES WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND VERY DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...15.3 N... 96.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 950 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 10:56:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627610-27478>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 04:28:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA49948; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 15:23:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6562738 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 15:21:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA45458 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 15:21:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA23941 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 15:21:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710082021.PAA23941@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 15:21:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2293524c019a1c883298e78e62379d17 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 667 WTPS31 PGTW 082000 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 080521Z OCT 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 080530 ) 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- 6.7S3 168.6E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 6.7S3 168.6E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 7.2S9 167.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 8.1S9 167.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 9.2S1 167.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 10.4S5 167.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 082000Z0 POSITION 6.8S4 168.4E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTHWEST PACIFIC APPROXIMATELY 300NM NORTHEAST OF SANTA CRUZ ISLAND (WMO 91541). POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 081730Z9 AND ERS2 SCATTEROMETER PASSES FROM 072245Z0 AND 081122Z4. INITIAL INTENSITY BASED ON A SHIP REPORT (3EST7) OF OVER 30 KNOTS AND A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS. FORECAST IS FOR A SLOW MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WHILE THE CYCLONE CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE AS IT MOVES OUT OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2) AND 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 080521Z OCT 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 080530).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 10:56:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627633-27477>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 05:17:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA20422; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 15:57:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6563242 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 15:54:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA09304 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 15:43:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA24091 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 15:43:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710082043.PAA24091@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 15:43:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Advisory Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 42fbc8a710b89530633db4eb5020f61c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 975 WTPZ33 KNHC 082043 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE PAULINE ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT WED OCT 08 1997 ...POWERFUL HURRICANE PAULINE BRINGING LIFE-THREATENING WINDS... WAVES...AND FLOODING TO SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAULINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.8 WEST. THIS POSITION IS NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN PUERTO ANGEL AND PUERTO ESCONDIDO. PAULINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS HAVE BEEN REPORTED FROM PUERTO ANGEL. AN UNOFFICIAL REPORT OF GUSTS TO 120 MPH...195 KM/HR...WAS RECENTLY RECEIVED FROM THE HARBOR MASTER AT BAHIA SANTA CRUZ...JUST EAST OF PUERTO ANGEL. THE INNER CORE...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS...WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE COASTAL AREA PRIMARILY FROM HUATULCO WESTWARD TO PUNTA MALDONADO THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. WEAKENING WILL OCCUR AS THE HURRICANE MOVES FARTHER INLAND DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 955 MB...28.20 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE. THIS COULD CAUSE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. TIDES OF 9 TO 12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST. THESE TIDES WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND VERY DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...15.7 N... 96.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 955 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 10:56:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627644-27476>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 05:44:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA15784; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 16:40:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6563947 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 16:37:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA24276 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 15:45:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA24110 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 15:45:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710082045.PAA24110@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 15:45:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Discussion Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2437bbf871bea6ce7c8dd44dcf606d60 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 991 WTPZ43 KNHC 082046 TCDEP3 HURRICANE PAULINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT WED OCT 08 1997 THE EYE HAS BEEN WELL DEFINED IN THE RADAR DATA FROM PUERTO ANGEL AND IN SATELLITE IMAGERY AS THE CORE MOVED ONSHORE...AND HAS JUST RECENTLY BEGUN TO LOSE ITS DEFINITION AS THE CIRCULATION BECOMES MORE INVOLVED WITH LAND. SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WERE REPORTED BY THE METEOROGICAL SERVICE OF MEXICO IN PUERTO ANGEL. AN UNOFFICIAL REPORT OF A GUST TO 120 MPH FROM BAHIA SANTA CRUZ WAS RELAYED FROM THE WEATHER CHANNEL. IN THE ABSENCE OF OTHER SURFACE REPORTS...THE INTENSITY IS ESTIMATED AT 105 KNOTS...WHICH IS SOMEWHAT LOWER THAN MOST 1800Z SATELLITE ESTIMATES. MORE RAPID WEAKENING WILL OCCUR AS THE SYSTEM MOVES FURTHER INLAND OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 315/08. NEARLY ALL OF THE GUIDANCE MODELS CONTINUE THE GENERAL MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHWEST...ALTHOUGH SOME TEMPORARY WOBBLING MAY STILL OCCUR AS THE HURRICANE INTERACTS WITH THE MOUNTAINS. THE CURRENT TRACK REFLECTS THE NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AS WELL...AND IS A LITTLE FASTER THAN PREVIOUS ADVISORY. THE UKMET MODEL HAS BEEN CONSISTENTLY TO THE LEFT OF THE OTHER MODELS... AND IT CONTINUES TO HUG THE COAST FOR ANOTHER 24 TO 36 HOURS. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/2100Z 15.7N 96.8W 105 KTS 12HR VT 09/0600Z 16.4N 97.7W 75 KTS...INLAND 24HR VT 09/1800Z 17.4N 98.9W 50 KTS...INLAND 36HR VT 10/0600Z 18.5N 100.3W 30 KTS...INLAND 48HR VT 10/1800Z 19.5N 101.5W 25 KTS...INLAND 72HR VT 11/1800Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 10:56:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627644-27477>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 05:54:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA24500; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 16:47:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6564083 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 16:44:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA50490 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 15:46:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA24118 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 15:46:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710082046.PAA24118@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 15:46:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Forecast/advisory Number 12 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d46d4182f64f69a29ee3be8a195fc8a4 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 022 WTPZ23 KNHC 082046 TCMEP3 HURRICANE PAULINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1897 2100Z WED OCT 08 1997 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 96.8W AT 08/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 45NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT....... 60NE 100SE 100SW 100NW 12 FT SEAS.. 00NE 160SE 160SW 160NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 96.8W AT 08/2100Z AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 96.4W FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 16.4N 97.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 45NE 60SE 60SW 45NW 34 KT... 60NE 100SE 100SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 17.4N 98.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 34 KT... 50NE 100SE 100SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 18.5N 100.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 96.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 19.5N 101.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 10:56:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626208-27476>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 06:05:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA22984; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 16:58:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6564283 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 16:55:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA28338 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 15:48:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA24122 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 15:47:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710082047.PAA24122@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 15:47:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Discussion Number 26 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ffe689ba9ab7f78cd6bb773f38df9abd X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 023 WTPZ42 KNHC 082048 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 26 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT WED OCT 08 1997 SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS A WEAK CIRCULATION WITH A RAGGED LOOKING CLUSTER OF DEEP CONVECTION. THE INFLOW HAS BEEN CUT OFF BY HURRICANE PAULINE AND THE UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR IS STILL STRONG. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE HAS NOT HAD MUCH ORGANIZATION FOR WELL OVER 24 HOURS...AND THIS IS GOING TO BE THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED ON OLAF UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 115/08 ...AND A WEAKENING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR ANOTHER DAY OR SO UNTIL IT BECOMES ABSORBED INTO THE STRONGER CIRCULATION OF PAULINE. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/2100Z 13.8N 108.1W 30 KTS 12HR VT 09/0600Z 13.3N 107.0W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 09/1800Z 13.0N 105.5W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 10/0600Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 10:56:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627497-27479>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 06:00:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA24422; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 16:51:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6564186 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 16:49:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA44976 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 15:48:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA24127 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 15:48:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710082048.PAA24127@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 15:48:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 26 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 482e0f6ddab9d54f4504d52ad122c861 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 024 WTPZ22 KNHC 082049 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1797 2100Z WED OCT 08 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 108.1W AT 08/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST SOUTHEAST OR 115 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 108.1W AT 08/2100Z AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 108.5W FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 13.3N 107.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 13.0N 105.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 108.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 10:56:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627633-27478>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 05:24:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA26030; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 16:21:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6563582 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 16:20:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA04496 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 16:18:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA24257 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 16:18:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710082118.QAA24257@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 16:18:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9b264d1811b9b3449179e1ab084da81e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 527 WTPS31 PGTW 082000 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 080521Z OCT 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 080530 ) 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P WARNING NR 001 PAGE 02 RUHGSGG9672 UNCLAS 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- 6.7S3 168.6E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 6.7S3 168.6E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 7.2S9 167.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG9672 UNCLAS 091800Z8 --- 8.1S9 167.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 9.2S1 167.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 10.4S5 167.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG9672 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 082000Z0 POSITION 6.8S4 168.4E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTHWEST PACIFIC APPROXIMATELY 300NM NORTHEAST OF SANTA CRUZ ISLAND (WMO 91541). POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 081730Z9 AND ERS2 SCATTEROMETER PASSES FROM 072245Z0 AND 081122Z4. INITIAL INTENSITY BASED ON A SHIP REPORT (3EST7) OF OVER 30 KNOTS AND A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS. FORECAST IS FOR A SLOW MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WHILE THE CYCLONE CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE AS IT MOVES OUT OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2) AND 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 080521Z OCT 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 080530).// BT #9672 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 10:56:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625939-27477>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 06:03:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA23890; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 17:00:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6564341 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 16:58:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA48262 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 16:57:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA24422 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 16:57:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710082157.QAA24422@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 16:57:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9405130ffb1411f4801021fd3cdf89db X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 234 ABPA20 PHNL 082200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 08 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 10:56:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625903-11943>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 07:12:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA45028; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 18:03:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6565531 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 18:00:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id SAA13628 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 18:00:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id SAA24822 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 18:00:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710082300.SAA24822@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 18:00:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b57f4fd783425fb51a679c8ac0e7f86c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 336 ABPZ20 KNHC 082259 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED OCT 8 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON DANGEROUS HURRICANE PAULINE CENTERED ON THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN PUERTO ANGEL AND PUERTO ESCONDIDO. IT HAS ISSUED ITS FINAL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF...DISSIPATING ABOUT 640 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 10:56:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626320-11941>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 08:15:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA47678; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 19:06:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6566243 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 19:05:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA53476 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 19:02:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id TAA25105 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 19:01:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710090001.TAA25105@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 19:01:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Intermediate Advisory Number 12a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b4cbc770d6227f8491c6ee5aa3b59989 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 539 WTPZ33 KNHC 090002 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE PAULINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT WED OCT 08 1997 ...POWERFUL HURRICANE PAULINE BRINGING LIFE-THREATENING WINDS... WAVES...AND FLOODING TO SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA TO PUNTA MALDONADO. WARNINGS COULD BE EXTENDED TO THE NORTHWEST OF PUNTA MALDONADO LATER THIS EVENING OR TONIGHT. AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAULINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.3 WEST. THIS POSITION IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO VERY NEAR PUERTO ESCONDIDO. PAULINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE INNER CORE...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS...WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE COASTAL AREA PRIMARILY FROM HUATULCO WESTWARD TO PUNTA MALDONADO THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTS TO 70 MPH WERE REPORTED AT PUERTO ESCONDIDO ABOUT TWO HOURS AGO...BUT MUCH STRONGER WINDS HAVE LIKELY OCCURRED THERE MORE RECENTLY. WEAKENING WILL OCCUR IF THE HURRICANE MOVES INLAND DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT VERY HIGH GUSTS ARE LIKELY TO PERSIST NEAR THE CENTER OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS... ESPECIALLY OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE. THIS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. TIDES OF 9 TO 12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST. THESE TIDES WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND VERY DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. A REPORT HAS BEEN RECEIVED OF WAIST-DEEP WATER IN SOME PARTS OF THE CITY OF HUATULCO. REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...15.9 N... 97.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 960 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 10:56:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625980-11946>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 10:33:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA20272; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 21:29:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6568569 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 21:27:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA17558 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 21:27:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA25778 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 21:27:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710090227.VAA25778@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 21:27:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Advisory Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: da1930a1b1bf848d82f32c5ce67ac0d8 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 465 WTPZ33 KNHC 090226 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE PAULINE ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT WED OCT 08 1997 ...POWERFUL HURRICANE PAULINE SPREADING LIFE-THREATENING WINDS... WAVES...AND FLOODING ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO COAST TOWARD ACAPULCO... AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWESTWARD TO ZIHUATANEJO...AND DISCONTINUED THE WARNING FROM HUATULCO EASTWARD. THE HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM JUST WEST OF HUATULCO TO ZIHUATANEJO...AND INCLUDES ACAPULCO. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. AT 8 PM PDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAULINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.9 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES...95 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 135 MILES...215 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO. ESTIMATES FROM SATELLITE PICTURES INDICATE THAT PAULINE IS MOVING ROUGHLY ALONG THE SHORELINE TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE INNER CORE...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS...HIGHEST STORM SURGE AND HEAVIEST RAINS...WILL SPREAD UP THE COAST AND COULD REACH THE ACAPULCO AREA THURSDAY MORNING. A SLIGHT TURN INLAND WOULD RESULT IN PAULINE WEAKENING ...BUT WOULD POSE A CONTINUED SERIOUS FLOOD AND WIND THREAT FOR MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. A SLIGHT TURN OFFSHORE WOULD ALLOW PAULINE TO RETAIN MUCH OF ITS CURRENT POTENTIALLY DESTRUCTIVE STRENGTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING WILL OCCUR IF THE CENTER MOVES INLAND. ESPECIALLY STRONG GUSTS ARE LIKELY OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS... MAINLY OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE AND COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. TIDES OF 9 TO 12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST. THESE TIDES WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND VERY DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...16.1 N... 97.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 960 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM PDT...THURSDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 10:56:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625950-11946>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 10:36:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA17524; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 21:30:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6568598 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 21:29:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA17648 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 21:28:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA25782 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 21:28:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710090228.VAA25782@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 21:28:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Forecast/advisory Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 005ea021d0e7f99d9497fe9bab29e5a2 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 495 WTPZ23 KNHC 090227 TCMEP3 HURRICANE PAULINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1897 0300Z THU OCT 09 1997 AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWESTWARD TO ZIHUATANEJO...AND DISCONTINUED THE WARNING FROM HUATULCO EASTWARD. THE HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM JUST WEST OF HUATULCO TO ZIHUATANEJO...AND INCLUDES ACAPULCO. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 97.9W AT 09/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 45NE 60SE 60SW 45NW 34 KT....... 60NE 100SE 100SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 100SE 100SW 60NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 97.9W AT 09/0300Z AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 97.4W FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 16.7N 99.6W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 45NE 60SE 60SW 45NW 34 KT... 60NE 100SE 100SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 17.5N 101.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 45NE 60SE 60SW 45NW 34 KT... 60NE 100SE 100SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 18.4N 103.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 45NE 60SE 60SW 45NW 34 KT... 60NE 100SE 100SW 60NW TIDES OF 9 TO 12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THESE TIDES WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 97.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 19.2N 104.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 45NE 60SE 60SW 45NW OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 22.0N 106.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 45NE 60SE 60SW 45NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 10:56:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626303-11944>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 10:40:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA44828; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 21:35:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6568734 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 21:34:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA33404 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 21:34:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA25798 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 21:34:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710090234.VAA25798@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 21:34:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Discussion Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cfb25db8bb9a05a22d0f0ffc184b638c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 557 WTPZ43 KNHC 090231 TCDEP3 HURRICANE PAULINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT WED OCT 08 1997 ON SATELLITE PICTURES...THE EYE HAS DISAPPEARED AMIDST A BLOWUP OF EXCEPTIONALLY COLD CLOUD TOPS...-91C. WITH NO RECENT SURFACE DATA NOR RADAR DATA FROM PUERTO ANGEL...THE CENTER POSITION CAN ONLY BE ESTIMATED WITH CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY. THIS IS CRITICAL AS A VARIATION OF ONLY ABOUT 20 DEGREES IN THE HEADING COVERS POSSIBILITIES RANGING FROM THE CENTER MOVING BACK OFFSHORE WITH POTENTIAL RESTRENGTHENING...TO ALONG THE COAST WITH GRADUAL WEAKENING...TO FARTHER INLAND WITH RAPID WEAKENING. BEST GUESS IS THAT THE TRACK HAS SHIFTED A LITTLE TO THE LEFT AND THAT THE CENTER IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SHORELINE... AND SOMEWHAT FASTER...300/12 KT. THE ESTIMATED HEADING IS CONSISTENT WITH THE BAM OUTPUT WHICH SHOWS A TRACK ALONG THE COAST FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. OTHER MODELS ARE NOT TOO FAR FROM THIS BUT...AS NOTED ABOVE...EVEN MINOR DIFFERENCES HAVE MAJOR IMPLICATIONS FOR SOUTHERN MEXICO. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE BAM OUTPUT. THIS MEANS THAT THE THREAT OF HURRICANE CONDITIONS LOOMS FOR AREAS FARTHER TO THE NORTHWEST. THE FORECAST TRACK IS A SOMEWHAT LOW PROBABILITY WORST CASE SCENARIO FOR THE COAST...BUT ONE THAT MUST BE DEALT WITH IMMEDIATELY. THEREFORE ...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO ZIHUATANEJO AND...DISCONTINUED IT FROM HUATULCO EASTWARD. THE INTENSITY WILL DECREASE MUCH MORE QUICKLY THAN SHOWN IN THE FORECAST IF PAULINE HEADS INLAND. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 09/0300Z 16.1N 97.9W 100 KTS 12HR VT 09/1200Z 16.7N 99.6W 90 KTS 24HR VT 10/0000Z 17.5N 101.5W 80 KTS 36HR VT 10/1200Z 18.4N 103.4W 70 KTS 48HR VT 11/0000Z 19.2N 104.8W 65 KTS 72HR VT 12/0000Z 22.0N 106.5W 65 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 10:56:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626208-11943>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 10:54:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA33294; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 21:49:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6568821 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 21:47:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA33158 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 21:47:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA25849 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 21:47:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710090247.VAA25849@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 21:47:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Forecast/advisory Number 13 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 413d6924603108d80e7637fead51d581 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 798 WTPZ23 KNHC 090245 COR TCMEP3 HURRICANE PAULINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1897 0300Z THU OCT 09 1997 ...CORRECTED ESTIMATE OF 12 FOOT SEAS RADII... AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWESTWARD TO ZIHUATANEJO...AND DISCONTINUED THE WARNING FROM HUATULCO EASTWARD. THE HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM JUST WEST OF HUATULCO TO ZIHUATANEJO...AND INCLUDES ACAPULCO. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 97.9W AT 09/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 45NE 60SE 60SW 45NW 34 KT....... 60NE 100SE 100SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 160SE 160SW 160NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 97.9W AT 09/0300Z AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 97.4W FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 16.7N 99.6W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 45NE 60SE 60SW 45NW 34 KT... 60NE 100SE 100SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 17.5N 101.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 45NE 60SE 60SW 45NW 34 KT... 60NE 100SE 100SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 18.4N 103.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 45NE 60SE 60SW 45NW 34 KT... 60NE 100SE 100SW 60NW TIDES OF 9 TO 12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THESE TIDES WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 97.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 19.2N 104.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 45NE 60SE 60SW 45NW OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 22.0N 106.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 45NE 60SE 60SW 45NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 10:59:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625922-11946>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 10:57:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA29276; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 21:56:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6568894 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 21:54:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA40024 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 21:54:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA25876 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 21:53:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710090253.VAA25876@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 21:53:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fc37e6926593cf8761bdc974470c73a2 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 884 WTPS31 PGTW 082100 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 080521Z OCT 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 080530) 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P WARNING NR 001A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- 6.7S3 168.6E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 6.7S3 168.6E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 7.2S9 167.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 8.1S9 167.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 9.2S1 167.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 10.4S5 167.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 082000Z0 POSITION 6.8S4 168.4E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTHWEST PACIFIC APPROXIMATELY 300NM NORTHEAST OF SANTA CRUZ ISLAND (WMO 91541). POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 081730Z9 AND ERS2 SCATTEROMETER PASSES FROM 072245Z0 AND 081122Z4. INITIAL INTENSITY BASED ON A SHIP REPORT (3EST7) OF OVER 30 KNOTS AND A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS. FORECAST IS FOR A SLOW MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WHILE THE CYCLONE CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE AS IT MOVES OUT OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: MANOP TIME SHOULD HAVE READ 082100Z1. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2) AND 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 080521Z OCT 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 080530).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 13:10:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626443-11941>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 11:54:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA13206; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 22:48:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6569736 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 22:47:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA25924 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 22:47:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA26075 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 22:47:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710090347.WAA26075@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 22:47:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bf23efb7b4ca614834f216a4cb19765f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 920 ABPZ20 KNHC 090345 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED OCT 8 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON DANGEROUS HURRICANE PAULINE CENTERED ABOUT 60 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO. THE REMNANTS OF OLAF ARE LOCATED ABOUT 680 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 13:10:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626463-11944>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 12:21:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA13072; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 23:16:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6570020 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 23:15:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA43968 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 23:12:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id XAA26201 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 23:12:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710090412.XAA26201@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 23:12:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 84a2f25c2ea867219933e825d02ad137 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 238 ABPW10 PGTW 080230 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/090230Z/090600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 081951Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 8N8 178E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 176E4. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW- LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER WITH CONVECTION LOCATED ABOUT 50NM TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 13:10:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626502-11943>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 12:22:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA35638; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 23:13:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6570013 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 23:12:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA39608 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 23:12:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id XAA26200 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 23:12:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710090412.XAA26200@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 23:12:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4b5a94e874c606c26ada2fa8e18fbd83 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 238 ABPW10 PGTW 080230 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/090230Z/090600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 081951Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 8N8 178E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 176E4. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW- LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER WITH CONVECTION LOCATED ABOUT 50NM TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 13:10:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626522-11946>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 12:43:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA39430; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 23:39:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6570152 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 23:38:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA18232 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 23:35:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id XAA26281 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 23:35:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710090435.XAA26281@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 23:35:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 96201543ba020f00d46254f1d967ae68 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 853 ABPW10 PGTW 080230 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/090230Z/090600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 081951Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 8N8 178E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 176E4. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW- LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER WITH CONVECTION LOCATED ABOUT 50NM TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 13:10:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626463-11941>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 12:51:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA39536; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 23:37:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6570147 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 23:35:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA25910 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 23:35:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id XAA26280 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 23:35:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710090435.XAA26280@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 23:35:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 688bbbbd0d31a6e2d353dfe030f6b104 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 853 ABPW10 PGTW 080230 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/090230Z/090600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 081951Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 8N8 178E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 176E4. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW- LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER WITH CONVECTION LOCATED ABOUT 50NM TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 14:35:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627020-11943>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 13:33:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA18348; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 23:55:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6570227 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 23:54:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA35732 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 23:51:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id XAA26373 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 23:51:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710090451.XAA26373@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 23:51:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5adf9d8eedaf2f08b22a7eca8f77ad17 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 073 ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/081800Z/091800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 14:35:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626554-11944>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 13:33:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA18418; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 23:53:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6570222 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 23:51:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA17046 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 23:51:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id XAA26374 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 23:51:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710090451.XAA26374@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 23:51:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 061814a5464e24e6cc0a7e755e03c248 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 073 ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/081800Z/091800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 14:35:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626614-11944>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 13:33:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA26002; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 00:29:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6570394 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 00:28:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA35808 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 23:52:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id XAA26386 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 23:52:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710090452.XAA26386@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 23:52:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 86d79ef78a019c3345db6b24f1177108 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 098 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 080530Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 08N8 175E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8N8 178E6. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT TROPTICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24-HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 173E1 IS NOW NEAR 8S8 170E8 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS PGTW 080530)). THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICAT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24-HOUR IS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/MALMQUIST/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 13:10:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626457-11941>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 13:10:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA37394; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 00:00:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6570257 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 23:58:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA36830 for ; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 23:52:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id XAA26385 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 8 Oct 1997 23:52:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710090452.XAA26385@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 23:52:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c4e27e2caab247bd044236dd8cfb7bc5 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 098 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 080530Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 08N8 175E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8N8 178E6. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT TROPTICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24-HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10S1 173E1 IS NOW NEAR 8S8 170E8 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS PGTW 080530)). THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICAT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24-HOUR IS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SULLINS/MALMQUIST/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 14:35:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626510-11946>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 13:23:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA09226; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 00:20:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6570330 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 00:19:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA17968 for ; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 00:01:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id AAA26437 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 00:01:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710090501.AAA26437@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 00:01:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f14de818a2622fabf286194a532e34de X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 186 ABPW10 PGTW 090230 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/090230Z/090600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 081951Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 8N8 178E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 176E4. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH CONVECTION LOCATED ABOUT 50NM TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24-HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 10N1 134E8. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO CONSOLIDATE. HOWEVER, THE DISTURBANCE REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 14:35:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626828-11944>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 13:30:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA18312; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 00:23:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6570343 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 00:22:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA09262 for ; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 00:01:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id AAA26436 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 00:01:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710090501.AAA26436@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 00:01:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4322e9244c7e0949b521509b6056ed7c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 186 ABPW10 PGTW 090230 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/090230Z/090600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 081951Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 8N8 178E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 176E4. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH CONVECTION LOCATED ABOUT 50NM TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24-HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 10N1 134E8. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO CONSOLIDATE. HOWEVER, THE DISTURBANCE REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 14:35:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626506-11941>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 13:21:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAB24916; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 00:16:45 -0500 Message-Id: <199710090516.AAB24916@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 00:05:18 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 7 Oct 1997 to 8 Oct 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 294d1fcd8ccea43c4a79832c45d03944 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 10 messages totalling 281 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Student Articles for InterMet 2. Irresponsible wxcasts? 3. El Nino in the funnies 4. WX-TALK Digest - 6 Oct 1997 to 7 Oct 1997 (2) 5. joke-clean: genius or idiot 6. Critics Blast Maverick Weatherman 7. 36HR 900MB PROG 8. ASOS Commissioning Notice 9. Scientific American Article on CO2 and Interglacial Periods +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 02:39:39 GMT From: InterMet Subject: Student Articles for InterMet We are looking for student articles for the next issue of InterMet, International Meteorology Magazine. If you have worked on a meteorology related project and want to publish you report please do not hesitate to sent it to InterMet. It is FREE to publish in or read InterMet. All school levels will be considered. You can view the first issue of InterMet at: http://www.magma.ca/~intermet/ Sincerely yours, Bernard Miville -- ________________________________________ InterMet International Meteorology Magazine http://www.magma.ca/~intermet/ intermet@magma.ca ________________________________________ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 08:14:05 -0500 From: Gary Dobbs Subject: Irresponsible wxcasts? Interesting to see this story finally hitting the national press....I've been moaning and groaning about it for over two years now..... I know Dan, I consider him a friend....but, he knows how vehemently opposed I am to his ongoing practice of ignoring all things governmentally official with weather warnings and "running his own show" with regard to his opinion of what is "watchable or warnable"....... I'm hearing more and more from viewers, turned off by the apparent confusion of messages with our station (ABC) and the NBC affiliate adhering to the premise of "single source NWS authority" on this issue. Perhaps Dan is shooting himself in the foot with all this, but I hope and pray nobody is hurt or worse because "he" issued or cancelled a warning erroneously based on "his" expertise alone. Gary Dobbs Director, Weather Services WAAY TV Huntsville, Ala. >Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 10:43:11 -0400 >From: Mike Harpe >Subject: AP Story: Bad weatherman > >[From AP wire copy - MEH] > >Huntsville, Alabama -- The National Weather Service and local emergency >officials say an Alabama weatherman is a threat >to public safety. > >Dan Satterfield has issued his own tornado watches and told residents in >the Huntsville area to ignore other warnings. He once >sent people scrambling to a shelter that wasn't open because there was >no official weather service warning. > >His station contends Satterfield has the equipment and the know-how to >make his own predictions. > >An attorney for the weather service says other than exchanging letters >with the station's attorneys, there's not much the agency >can do. > >It's against the law to issue or cancel warnings if it's done in the >name of the weather service. But Satterfield hasn't done that. > >-> ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 09:55:38 -0400 From: William E Newkirk Subject: El Nino in the funnies in the same vein.. dana summers' cartoon in the orlando sentinel sunday: unhappy clinton at a podium with a sign labeling the even as a weathercasters convention ... man on the floor asks "Sir, what impact will the El Reno effect have on your administration?" ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 09:59:35 -0500 From: Matt Biddle Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 6 Oct 1997 to 7 Oct 1997 >Date: Tue, 7 Oct 1997 10:43:11 -0400 >From: Mike Harpe >Subject: AP Story: Bad weatherman > >[From AP wire copy - MEH] > >Huntsville, Alabama -- The National Weather Service and local emergency >officials say an Alabama weatherman is a threat >to public safety. > >Dan Satterfield has issued his own tornado watches and told residents in >the Huntsville area to ignore other warnings. He once >sent people scrambling to a shelter that wasn't open because there was >no official weather service warning. > >His station contends Satterfield has the equipment and the know-how to >make his own predictions. > >An attorney for the weather service says other than exchanging letters >with the station's attorneys, there's not much the agency >can do. > >It's against the law to issue or cancel warnings if it's done in the >name of the weather service. But Satterfield hasn't done that. > It is one thing to have the occasional situation where an NWS warning has not been issued and to make call to action statements on air to cover the hole if the situation warrants. It is another to set about on a course to regularly challange NWS for the sake of ratings, publicity, and ego gratification. I have seen some of Mr Satterfields "work" and it is not about weather or safety. It is all about him. This type of tabloid journalism is now creeping into broadcast weather. If these people cared about public safety they would know that despite the warning systems flaws, there are certain aspects related to warning message content and consistency and well as message source that are more important to the risk and action perceptions of the public. I doubt Satterfield and the few like him care. They care about their name recognition and how their new hair gel looks. Satterfield has proudly claimed "NWS and many emergency management agencies are trying to sue him." Perhaps he should more some time with a sociologist or psychologist learning about mass communications and risk perception than with attorneys and station manager weasels. All you need to do is watch one of his "Weather specials" and you will understand that weather is the last thing he is about. But hey - I bet he has great ratings. Apparently weather is good entertainment in Alabama. Matt Biddle Norman, Oklahoma ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 11:31:45 -0700 From: Frank Gouveia Subject: Re: joke-clean: genius or idiot >This came from the Giggles joke list: > >---------------- >You're a genius if you fly a kite during a thunderstorm, and >discover that lighting is electricity--but you're an idiot if you fly a >kite during the thunderstorm, and discover that lighting can kill you. > > >;) >darren >>>Seven days without laughter makes one weak.--Mort Walker Funny, Darren 8-) But, I heard that Ben Franklin didn't sail his kite during an electrical storm. In fact, you can get quite an electrical potential with height under any weather conditions. Frank Gouveia gouveia2@llnl.gov Real-time LLNL Wx at: http://www-erd.llnl.gov/metdat/ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 15:02:54 -0500 From: Phillip Cecil Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 6 Oct 1997 to 7 Oct 1997 > Has anyone heard anything about the Radio Shack Weather Station they > were suppose to be coming out with months ago? Thanks, Phil Cecil ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 16:23:26 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Critics Blast Maverick Weatherman On Wednesday, October 08, 1997 4:05 PM, Todd L. Sherman [SMTP:afn09444@AFN.ORG] wrote: > > ``Should they wait on the weather service or go ahead and > > broadcast a warning?'' said Kevin Knupp, atmospheric science > > professor at the University of Alabama at Huntsville and a member > > of the American Meteorological Society severe weather committee. > > What's wrong with "I've contacted the NWS and given them our own > information and it's probable/likely/there's a good bet they may issue a > watch/warning for....so keep an eye out/tuned to this station and we'll > keep you advised...etc"??? Impatient or not, he should leave the issuing of > the actual watches and warnings to the weather service. I would go somewhere in between -- "It appears to me that a tornado is {possible / probable / likely} with the thunderstorm over Smallville, so even though there is no official warning I would advise you to take cover." I agree that watches and the word WARNING should be restriced to National Weather Service use only, but in some instances NWS doesn't / can't keep a close eye on all places at all times -- and if he is there to cover the events they miss it will add to public safety. Unfortunately it appears Dan is trying to _replace_ NWS which I do not agree with. Rob ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 15:27:33 +0000 From: Jim Raudy Subject: 36HR 900MB PROG We have a need for 3000ft AGL wind/temp 36hour forecast. A 900 or 925mb one would do. No luck on my search. Anybody have any ideas? More than one model would be gravy. Thanks a million. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 20:35:39 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following stations became commissioned ASOS sites at 1800 UTC on 08 October 1997. SUSSEX COUNTY AIRPORT (KGED) GEORGETOWN... DE OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY AIRPORT (KOSU) COLUMBUS... OH Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 20:05:56 -0500 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Scientific American Article on CO2 and Interglacial Periods Does anyone remember an article that was in Scientific American several years ago about CO2 levels during past interglacial warm periods? If so, which issue was it in and who wrote it? Thanks, Sam Barricklow http://www.stormchaser.net/k5kj/chase.htm ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 7 Oct 1997 to 8 Oct 1997 ************************************************ From - Thu Oct 9 14:35:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626510-11943>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 13:40:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA51442; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 00:39:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6570503 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 00:37:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA30504 for ; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 00:15:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id AAA26478 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 00:15:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710090515.AAA26478@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 00:15:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: eb82d7e59724fcf1fef4113b1287a0e7 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 423 WTPS31 PGTW 082100 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 080521Z OCT 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 080530) 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P WARNING NR 001A CORRECTED PAGE 02 RUHGSGG9778 UNCLAS 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- 6.7S3 168.6E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 6.7S3 168.6E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 7.2S9 167.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG9778 UNCLAS 091800Z8 --- 8.1S9 167.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 9.2S1 167.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 10.4S5 167.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG9778 UNCLAS --- REMARKS: 082000Z0 POSITION 6.8S4 168.4E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTHWEST PACIFIC APPROXIMATELY 300NM NORTHEAST OF SANTA CRUZ ISLAND (WMO 91541). POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 081730Z9 AND ERS2 SCATTEROMETER PASSES FROM 072245Z0 AND 081122Z4. INITIAL INTENSITY BASED ON A SHIP REPORT (3EST7) OF OVER 30 KNOTS AND A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS. FORECAST IS FOR A SLOW MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WHILE THE CYCLONE CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE AS IT MOVES OUT OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: MANOP TIME SHOULD HAVE READ 082100Z1. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2) AND 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 080521Z OCT 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 080530).// PAGE 05 RUHGSGG9778 UNCLAS BT #9778 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 14:35:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627052-11944>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 13:50:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA23884; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 00:47:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6570672 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 00:46:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA51228 for ; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 00:44:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id AAA26538 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 00:44:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710090544.AAA26538@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 00:44:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Intermediate Advisory Number 13a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d47b1c2fd537b1995b800d178f11f675 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 888 WTPZ33 KNHC 090542 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE PAULINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 PM PDT WED OCT 08 1997 ...POWERFUL HURRICANE PAULINE NEARING ACAPULCO...SPREADING LIFE-THREATENING WINDS...WAVES...AND FLOODING ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM JUST WEST OF HUATULCO TO ZIHUATANEJO...AND INCLUDES ACAPULCO. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. AT 11 PM PDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAULINE WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.7 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES...115 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO. ESTIMATES FROM SATELLITE PICTURES INDICATE THAT PAULINE IS MOVING ROUGHLY ALONG THE SHORELINE TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE INNER CORE...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS...HIGHEST STORM SURGE AND HEAVIEST RAINS...WILL SPREAD UP THE COAST AND COULD REACH THE ACAPULCO AREA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. A SLIGHT TURN INLAND WOULD RESULT IN PAULINE WEAKENING...BUT WOULD POSE A CONTINUED SERIOUS FLOOD AND WIND THREAT FOR MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. A SLIGHT TURN OFFSHORE WOULD ALLOW PAULINE TO RETAIN MUCH OF ITS CURRENT POTENTIALLY DESTRUCTIVE STRENGTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING WILL OCCUR IF THE CENTER MOVES INLAND. ESPECIALLY STRONG GUSTS ARE LIKELY OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. ACAPULCO RECENTLY REPORTED GUSTS TO 35 MPH...56 KM/HR. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS... MAINLY OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE AND COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. TIDES OF 9 TO 12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST. THESE TIDES WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND VERY DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...16.5 N... 98.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 960 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT...THURSDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 14:35:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627009-11941>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 14:33:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA28478; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 01:31:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6571077 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 01:29:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAB13122 for ; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 01:27:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA26661 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 01:27:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710090627.BAA26661@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 01:27:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 52411f7af19a459f26d93e89055c9f61 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 781 ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 081951Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 8N8 178E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 176E4. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH CONVECTION LOCATED ABOUT 50NM TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24-HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUS LOCATED NEAR 10N1 134E8 REMAINS THERE. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION REMAINS DISORGANIZED. HOWEVER, UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS EVIDENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND 090000Z SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE POSSIBILITY OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24-HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 081800Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02P WAS LOCATED AT 06.7S3 168.6E1, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P WARNING NR 01A (WTPS31 PGTW 082100Z)) AND TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/HONG/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 17:38:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627497-11946>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 14:37:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA48288; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 01:29:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6571072 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 01:27:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA28736 for ; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 01:27:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA26660 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 01:27:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710090627.BAA26660@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 01:27:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2c49e5b671782af570591a55a351c5ce X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 781 ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 081951Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 8N8 178E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 176E4. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH CONVECTION LOCATED ABOUT 50NM TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24-HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUS LOCATED NEAR 10N1 134E8 REMAINS THERE. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION REMAINS DISORGANIZED. HOWEVER, UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS EVIDENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND 090000Z SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE POSSIBILITY OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24-HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 081800Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02P WAS LOCATED AT 06.7S3 168.6E1, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P WARNING NR 01A (WTPS31 PGTW 082100Z)) AND TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/HONG/BOYD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 17:38:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627546-11946>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 16:37:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA28634; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 03:35:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6571929 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 03:34:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA25952 for ; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 03:34:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA27114 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 03:34:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710090834.DAA27114@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 03:34:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Suva To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 88ea57237b5b4371ee59f833f5458dd0 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 037 WTPS31 PGTW 090900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- 8.2S0 169.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 165 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 8.2S0 169.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 8.8S6 169.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 9.4S3 169.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 10.2S3 169.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 11.1S3 169.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION 8.4S2 169.0E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 090530Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. IT IS DIFFICULT TO FIX ON AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE. TC 02P IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY MOVE SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE 24 HOUR POSITION. AFTERWARDS, AN APPROACHING MIDDLE- LATITUDE TROUGH SHOULD DRAW THE TC FURTHER SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5) AND 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 17:38:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627617-11944>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 16:42:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA25658; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 03:37:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6571940 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 03:35:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA23758 for ; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 03:35:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA27134 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 03:35:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710090835.DAA27134@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 03:35:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Advisory Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6d9630986ba11e4db00457db88349b05 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 088 WTPZ33 KNHC 090834 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE PAULINE ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT THU OCT 09 1997 ...HURRICANE PAULINE MOVING NEAR ACAPULCO... AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWESTWARD TO MANZANILLO...AND DISCONTINUED THE WARNING FROM JUST EAST OF PUERTO ESCONDIDO. THE HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM PUERTO ESCONDIDO TO MANZANILLO. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM JUST WEST OF MANZANILLO TO PUERTO VALLARTA. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAULINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.0 WEST OR ABOUT 30 MILES ...50 KM...NORTH NORTHWEST OF ACAPULCO. PAULINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE INNER CORE...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS...HIGHEST STORM SURGE AND HEAVIEST RAINS...WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD UP THE COAST. A SLIGHT TURN INLAND WOULD RESULT IN PAULINE WEAKENING...BUT WOULD POSE A CONTINUED SERIOUS FLOOD AND WIND THREAT FOR MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. A SLIGHT TURN OFFSHORE WOULD ALLOW PAULINE TO RESTRENGTHEN. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH ESPECIALLY STRONG GUSTS OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. A GRADUAL WEAKENING WILL OCCUR IF THE CENTER CONTINUES INLAND. ACAPULCO RECENTLY REPORTED GUSTS TO 59 MPH...95 KM/HR. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS... MAINLY OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE AND COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. TIDES OF 9 TO 12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST. THESE TIDES WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND VERY DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...17.1 N...100.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 970 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM PDT. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 17:38:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627416-11944>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 16:42:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA25806; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 03:39:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6571947 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 03:37:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA28422 for ; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 03:36:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA27138 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 03:36:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710090836.DAA27138@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 03:36:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Forecast/advisory Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3b38fb945333fde85f36d8f1ba1cffa0 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 089 WTPZ23 KNHC 090835 TCMEP3 HURRICANE PAULINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1897 0900Z THU OCT 09 1997 AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWESTWARD TO MANZANILLO...AND DISCONTINUED THE WARNING FROM JUST EAST OF PUERTO ESCONDIDO. THE HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM PUERTO ESCONDIDO TO MANZANILLO. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM JUST WEST OF MANZANILLO TO PUERTO VALLARTA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 100.0W AT 09/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 45NE 60SE 60SW 45NW 34 KT....... 60NE 100SE 100SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 00NE 160SE 160SW 00NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 100.0W AT 09/0900Z AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 99.4W FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 18.0N 101.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 45NE 60SE 60SW 45NW 34 KT... 60NE 100SE 100SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 19.0N 103.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 45NE 60SE 60SW 45NW 34 KT... 60NE 100SE 100SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 20.0N 105.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 45NE 60SE 60SW 45NW 34 KT... 60NE 100SE 100SW 60NW TIDES OF 9 TO 12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THESE TIDES WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 100.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 21.0N 106.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 45NE 60SE 60SW 45NW OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 23.0N 108.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 45NE 60SE 60SW 45NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 17:38:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627635-11946>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 16:43:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA22440; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 03:40:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6571976 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 03:39:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA17030 for ; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 03:38:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA27142 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 03:38:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710090838.DAA27142@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 03:38:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Discussion Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1c6a18362ad82750018384fa9dfe212f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 107 WTPZ43 KNHC 090836 TCDEP3 HURRICANE PAULINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT THU OCT 09 1997 THE CLOUD PATTERN ASSOCIATED WITH PAULINE HAS REMAINED REMARKABLY WELL ORGANIZED DESPITE THE FACT THAT A PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION HAS BEEN OVER LAND DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. THERE ARE NO REPORTS FROM THE AREA OF THE HURRICANE BUT SURFACE DATA FROM ACAPULCO SUGGEST THAT THE CENTER IS PASSING TO THE NORTH OF THAT LOCATION. THE HURRICANE HAS ACCELERATED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...WHILE INTERACTING WITH THE HIGH TERRAIN BUT IS EXPECTED TO RESUME A WEST NORTHWEST TRACK ABOUT 13 KNOTS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL CONTINUE TO BE MOVING OVER LAND...BUT SINCE A LARGE PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION IS OVER WATER ONLY A GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST. HOWEVER...A SMALL DEVIATION TO THE WEST COULD BRING THE CENTER BACK OVER WATER RESULTING IN STRENGTHENING. IF THE HURRICANE MOVES A LITTLE BIT TO THE RIGHT...A MUCH FASTER WEAKENING WILL OCCUR. LATEST BAM MODELS...SUGGEST A TRACK MORE TO THE WEST APPARENTLY RESPONDING TO THE EXPANSION OF A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. IF THIS VERIFIES...PAULINE COULD EASILY MOVE BACK OVER WATER SOONER THAN EXPECTED AND MOVE PARALLEL TO THE COAST. THIS WOULD BE THE WORSE CASE SCENARIO FOR THE COAST. HURRICANE WARNINGS AND WATCHES HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED ACCORDINGLY. IF PAULINE SURVIVES...IT COULD BECOME A POTENTIAL THREAT TO THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND ADJACENT AREAS IN THE NEXT FEW DAYS. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 09/0900Z 17.1N 100.0W 90 KTS 12HR VT 09/1800Z 18.0N 101.5W 80 KTS 24HR VT 10/0600Z 19.0N 103.5W 70 KTS 36HR VT 10/1800Z 20.0N 105.0W 60 KTS 48HR VT 11/0600Z 21.0N 106.5W 65 KTS 72HR VT 12/0600Z 23.0N 108.5W 65 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 17:38:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627643-11941>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 17:04:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA22992; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 04:00:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6572035 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 03:58:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA22262 for ; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 03:58:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA27200 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 03:58:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710090858.DAA27200@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 03:58:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Forecast/advisory Number 14 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f2dfffc86e906afb648fb2465b784b52 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 313 WTPZ23 KNHC 090858 TCMEP3 HURRICANE PAULINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1897 0900Z THU OCT 09 1997 ...COR FOR GUSTS AT 72 H AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWESTWARD TO MANZANILLO...AND DISCONTINUED THE WARNING FROM JUST EAST OF PUERTO ESCONDIDO. THE HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM PUERTO ESCONDIDO TO MANZANILLO. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM JUST WEST OF MANZANILLO TO PUERTO VALLARTA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 100.0W AT 09/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 45NE 60SE 60SW 45NW 34 KT....... 60NE 100SE 100SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 00NE 160SE 160SW 00NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 100.0W AT 09/0900Z AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 99.4W FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 18.0N 101.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 45NE 60SE 60SW 45NW 34 KT... 60NE 100SE 100SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 19.0N 103.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 45NE 60SE 60SW 45NW 34 KT... 60NE 100SE 100SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 20.0N 105.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 45NE 60SE 60SW 45NW 34 KT... 60NE 100SE 100SW 60NW TIDES OF 9 TO 12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THESE TIDES WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 100.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 21.0N 106.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 45NE 60SE 60SW 45NW OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 23.0N 108.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 45NE 60SE 60SW 45NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 17:38:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627539-11943>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 17:27:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA35450; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 04:24:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6572178 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 04:22:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA25904 for ; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 04:22:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA27265 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 04:22:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710090922.EAA27265@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 04:22:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6e5aa4f3e9492c9c7015fe8d812cadf6 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 821 ABPZ20 KNHC 090920 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU OCT 9 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON DANGEROUS HURRICANE PAULINE CENTERED ABOUT 30 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THE REMNANTS OF OLAF ARE LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF REDEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 17:38:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627167-11944>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 17:27:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA25886; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 04:25:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6572187 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 04:24:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA37540 for ; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 04:24:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA27270 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 04:24:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710090924.EAA27270@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 04:24:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Suva To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6798fe616ab8b7e34e8d43683f8fbff8 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 855 WTPS31 PGTW 090900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHGSGG9937 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- 8.2S0 169.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 165 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 8.2S0 169.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 8.8S6 169.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 9.4S3 169.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG9937 UNCLAS 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 10.2S3 169.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 11.1S3 169.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION 8.4S2 169.0E6 PAGE 04 RUHGSGG9937 UNCLAS TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 090530Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. IT IS DIFFICULT TO FIX ON AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE. TC 02P IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY MOVE SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE 24 HOUR POSITION. AFTERWARDS, AN APPROACHING MIDDLE- LATITUDE TROUGH SHOULD DRAW THE TC FURTHER SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5) AND 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4).// BT #9937 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 9 18:07:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627638-11943>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 18:01:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA43826; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 04:59:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6572258 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 04:58:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA25826 for ; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 04:58:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA27356 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 04:58:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710090958.EAA27356@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 04:58:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 294e0e9b12fd81e47396f3bec05fc950 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 350 ABPA20 PHNL 091000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST THU OCT 9 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH FRIDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627371-11943>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 19:53:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id GAA42680; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 06:50:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6572934 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 06:47:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id GAA28618 for ; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 06:47:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id GAA27614 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 06:47:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710091147.GAA27614@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 06:47:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Intermediate Advisory Number 14a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3a020e4a7321857629694857f0f023d9 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 314 WTPZ33 KNHC 091146 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE PAULINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT THU OCT 09 1997 ...HURRICANE PAULINE MOVING ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN ACAPULCO AND ZIHUATANEJO... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUERTO ESCONDIDO TO MANZANILLO. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM JUST WEST OF MANZANILLO TO PUERTO VALLARTA. AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAULINE WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.5 WEST OR JUST INLAND BETWEEN ACAPULCO AND ZIHUATENAJO. PAULINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE INNER CORE...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS...HIGHEST STORM SURGE AND HEAVIEST RAINS...WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD UP THE COAST. A SLIGHT TURN TO THE RIGHT WOULD RESULT IN PAULINE WEAKENING...BUT WOULD POSE A CONTINUED SERIOUS FLOOD AND WIND THREAT FOR MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. A SLIGHT TURN OFFSHORE WOULD ALLOW PAULINE TO RESTRENGTHEN. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH ESPECIALLY STRONG GUSTS OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. A GRADUAL WEAKENING WILL OCCUR IF THE CENTER CONTINUES INLAND. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS TO NEAR 20 INCHES...MAINLY OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE AND COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. TIDES OF 9 TO 12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST. THESE TIDES WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND VERY DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...17.4 N...100.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 975 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627636-11944>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 22:46:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA30630; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 09:37:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6574189 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 09:31:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA48232 for ; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 09:30:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA28132 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 09:30:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710091430.JAA28132@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 09:30:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Advisory Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cd41a346cf673f74c6bf24bdf7497aec X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 421 WTPZ33 KNHC 091430 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE PAULINE ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT THU OCT 09 1997 ...PAULINE WREAKING HAVOC ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO... AT 1500Z...8 AM PDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWESTWARD TO PUERTO VALLARTA...AND DISCONTINUED THE WARNING EAST OF PUNTA MALDONADO. THE HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA MALDONADO TO PUERTO VALLARTA. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAULINE WAS NOT WELL DEFINED BUT WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.2 WEST OR NEAR ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO. PAULINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE INNER CORE...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS...HIGHEST STORM SURGE AND HEAVIEST RAINS...WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD UP THE COAST. A SLIGHT TURN TO THE RIGHT WOULD RESULT IN PAULINE WEAKENING...BUT WOULD POSE A CONTINUED SERIOUS FLOOD AND WIND THREAT FOR MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. A SLIGHT TURN OFFSHORE WOULD ALLOW PAULINE TO RESTRENGTHEN. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH ESPECIALLY STRONG GUSTS OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. A GRADUAL WEAKENING WILL OCCUR IF THE CENTER CONTINUES INLAND. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS TO NEAR 20 INCHES...MAINLY OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE AND COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. ACAPULCO HAS REPORTED OVER 16 INCHES OF RAIN IN THE PAST 24 HOURS. TIDES OF 9 TO 12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST. THESE TIDES WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND VERY DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...17.8 N...101.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 975 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627654-11944>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 22:47:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA32306; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 09:43:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6574225 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 09:40:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA19514 for ; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 09:32:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA28147 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 09:32:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710091432.JAA28147@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 09:32:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Discussion Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8926ae744326fd4131a24137648a56f1 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 500 WTPZ43 KNHC 091431 TCDEP3 HURRICANE PAULINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT THU OCT 09 1997 SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW EXTREMELY COLD CONVECTIVE TOPS ALTHOUGH THE CENTER IS NOT WELL DEFINED. THE RECENT NORTH NORTHWEST WIND FROM ZIHUATANEJO HELPS LOCATE THE CENTER BUT OTHER SURFACE REPORTS ARE SCARCE...THE ACAPULCO RADAR IS NOT OPERATIONAL...AND THE CENTER FIX IS AN ESTIMATE. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 KNOTS. THE NCEP GLOBAL MODEL FROM 0000Z CONTINUES TO SHOW AN ERRONEOUS VORTEX BETWEEN PAULINE AND THE REMAINS OF OLAF WHICH ARE CENTERED NEAR 12N106.5W. UNFORTUNATELY ...THIS ERRONEOUS VORTEX IS THE MODELS DOMINANT FEATURE WITHIN THE AREA OF INTEREST. OUR FORECAST TRACK CONTINUES THE GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION WHICH IS FASTER AND TO THE RIGHT OF ALL OF THE BAM GUIDANCE BUT SLOWER AND TO THE LEFT OF THE STATISTICAL/DYNAMICAL AND BAROTROPIC MODELS. THE GFDL AND UKMET MODELS DISSIPATE THE CYCLONE OVER LAND LATER TODAY. THE INTERACTION WITH LAND IS MAKING DVORAK ESTIMATES DIFFICULT. BEST GUESS AT INITIAL INTENSITY IS 85 KNOTS. IF THE CENTER CONTINUES TO MOVE ALONG THE COAST...A GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD OCCUR. HOWEVER...IF THE CENTER MOVES FARTHER INLAND PAULINE WILL WEAKEN MUCH MORE RAPIDLY. ON THE OTHER HAND...IF THE CENTER MOVES BACK OFFSHORE WE COULD EVEN SEE SOME REGENERATION. THE FORECAST TRACK NECESSITATES EXTENDING THE HURRICANE WARNING. IF PAULINE SURVIVES...IT COULD BECOME A POTENTIAL THREAT TO THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND ADJACENT AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 09/1500Z 17.8N 101.2W 85 KTS...INLAND 12HR VT 10/0000Z 18.8N 103.0W 75 KTS...INLAND 24HR VT 10/1200Z 19.7N 104.8W 65 KTS...INLAND 36HR VT 11/0000Z 20.5N 106.0W 65 KTS 48HR VT 11/1200Z 21.5N 107.0W 65 KTS 72HR VT 12/1200Z 23.5N 109.0W 65 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627636-11943>; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 22:50:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA22896; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 09:47:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6574289 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 09:44:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA19630 for ; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 09:34:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA28152 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 09:34:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710091434.JAA28152@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 09:34:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Forecast/advisory Number 15 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 89c5042aef0cb77aa5abed79c420586b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 516 WTPZ23 KNHC 091432 TCMEP3 HURRICANE PAULINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1897 1500Z THU OCT 09 1997 AT 1500Z...8 AM PDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWESTWARD TO PUERTO VALLARTA...AND DISCONTINUED THE WARNING EAST OF PUNTA MALDONADO. THE HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA MALDONADO TO PUERTO VALLARTA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 101.2W AT 09/1500Z...INLAND POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT....... 45NE 60SE 60SW 45NW 34 KT....... 60NE 100SE 100SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS.. 00NE 100SE 100SW 00NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 101.2W AT 09/1500Z AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 100.6W FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 18.8N 103.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 45NE 60SE 60SW 45NW 34 KT... 60NE 100SE 100SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 19.7N 104.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 45NE 60SE 60SW 45NW 34 KT... 60NE 100SE 100SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 20.5N 106.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW 50 KT... 45NE 60SE 60SW 45NW 34 KT... 60NE 100SE 100SW 60NW TIDES OF 9 TO 12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THESE TIDES WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 101.2W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 21.5N 107.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 23.5N 109.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 60 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627675-11943>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 00:15:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA37480; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 11:08:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6575831 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 11:05:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA14176 for ; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 11:05:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id LAA28597 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 11:05:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710091605.LAA28597@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 11:05:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8c20633e0e4e2ac44fdfd89ebb090ed3 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 144 ABPZ20 KNHC 091603 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU OCT 9 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON DANGEROUS HURRICANE PAULINE CENTERED NEAR ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO. THE REMNANTS OF OLAF ARE LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ASSOCIATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS DIMINISHING BUT A WEAKENING SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD AND THEN EASTWARD AROUND THE CIRCULATION OF PAULINE. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627037-11943>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 01:05:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA43692; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 12:03:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6576642 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 12:01:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA25852 for ; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 12:01:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA28982 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 12:01:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710091701.MAA28982@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 12:01:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 86a567e9633b285d6827971d75b3f04c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 159 ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/091800Z/101800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR AT LEAST 24 HOURS AND IS LOCATED NEAR 3N3 64E0. 091001Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PRESENT IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAVORABLE ABOVE THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/HOOVER/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627347-11943>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 01:07:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA27484; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 12:04:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6576649 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 12:03:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA48890 for ; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 12:01:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA28983 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 12:01:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710091701.MAA28983@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 12:01:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 89f8ac104b2c75ed482e635e328ed68f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 159 ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/091800Z/101800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR AT LEAST 24 HOURS AND IS LOCATED NEAR 3N3 64E0. 091001Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PRESENT IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAVORABLE ABOVE THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/HOOVER/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627669-11941>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 01:56:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA22760; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 12:51:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6577523 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 12:48:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA27886 for ; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 12:48:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA29345 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 12:47:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710091747.MAA29345@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 12:47:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Intermediate Advisory Number 15a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8ab7ed11689873eb8f08f49e43e96cbb X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 985 WTPZ33 KNHC 091746 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE PAULINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT THU OCT 09 1997 ...PAULINE WREAKING HAVOC ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA MALDONADO TO PUERTO VALLARTA. AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAULINE WAS NOT WELL DEFINED BUT WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.6 WEST OR NEAR ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO. PAULINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE INNER CORE...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS...HIGHEST STORM SURGE AND HEAVIEST RAINS...WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD UP THE COAST. A SLIGHT TURN TO THE RIGHT WOULD RESULT IN PAULINE WEAKENING...BUT WOULD POSE A CONTINUED SERIOUS FLOOD AND WIND THREAT FOR MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. A SLIGHT TURN OFFSHORE WOULD ALLOW PAULINE TO RESTRENGTHEN. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED NEAR 95 MPH...150 KM/HR ...WITH ESPECIALLY STRONG GUSTS OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. A GRADUAL WEAKENING WILL OCCUR IF THE CENTER CONTINUES INLAND. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 977 MB...28.85 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS TO NEAR 20 INCHES...MAINLY OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE AND COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. ACAPULCO HAS REPORTED OVER 16 INCHES OF RAIN IN THE PAST 24 HOURS. TIDES OF 5 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST. THESE TIDES WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND VERY DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...18.1 N...101.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...95 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 977 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627699-11941>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:24:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA34952; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 14:22:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6578677 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 14:19:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA44050 for ; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 14:19:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id OAA29925 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 14:19:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710091919.OAA29925@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 14:19:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Suva To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: eccf16ae258e3136885cdcd29acaa39c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 086 WTPS31 PGTW 092100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091800Z8 --- 9.4S3 170.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 9.4S3 170.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 10.6S7 172.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 11.6S8 173.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 12.6S9 174.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 13.4S8 175.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 092100Z2 POSITION 9.7S6 171.1E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 091730Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON AN ANALYSIS OF THE SAME SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS IN DEEP-LAYER STEERING FLOW BETWEEN A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH TO THE SOUTHWEST AND A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST THROUGH 36 HOURS; THEN UPPER- LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE ABOVE THIS SYSTEM AND INHIBIT FURTHER INTENSIFICATION. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON AN EXTRAPOLATION OF CURRENT WIND RADII. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4) AND 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627682-11941>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:56:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA28930; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 14:53:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6579531 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 14:52:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA39442 for ; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 14:51:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id OAA00100 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 14:51:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710091951.OAA00100@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 14:51:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Suva To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0e03a1eac355028a779a8c2ffce9bb4c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 562 WTPS31 PGTW 092100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHGSGG0142 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 091800Z8 --- 9.4S3 170.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 9.4S3 170.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 10.6S7 172.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 07 KTS --- PAGE 03 RUHGSGG0142 UNCLAS 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 11.6S8 173.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 12.6S9 174.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHGSGG0142 UNCLAS 111800Z1 --- 13.4S8 175.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 092100Z2 POSITION 9.7S6 171.1E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 091730Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON AN ANALYSIS OF THE SAME SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS IN DEEP-LAYER STEERING FLOW BETWEEN A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH TO THE SOUTHWEST AND A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST THROUGH 36 HOURS; THEN UPPER- LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE ABOVE THIS SYSTEM AND INHIBIT FURTHER INTENSIFICATION. FORECAST WIND RADII PAGE 05 RUHGSGG0142 UNCLAS ARE BASED ON AN EXTRAPOLATION OF CURRENT WIND RADII. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4) AND 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7).// BT #0142 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627707-11943>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 04:43:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA49740; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 15:32:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6579872 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 15:30:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA10782 for ; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 15:30:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA00301 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 15:30:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710092030.PAA00301@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 15:30:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Advisory Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9252c52dd76cd68cc42d01d5d9f1007f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 220 WTPZ33 KNHC 092029 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE PAULINE ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT THU OCT 09 1997 ...PAULINE CONTINUES WREAKING HAVOC ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA MALDONADO TO PUERTO VALLARTA. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAULINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.0 WEST OR NEAR LAZARO CARDENAS. PAULINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE INNER CORE...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS...HIGHEST STORM SURGE AND HEAVIEST RAINS...WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD UP THE COAST. A SLIGHT TURN TO THE RIGHT WOULD RESULT IN PAULINE WEAKENING...BUT WOULD POSE A CONTINUED SERIOUS FLOOD AND WIND THREAT FOR MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. A SLIGHT TURN OFFSHORE WOULD ALLOW PAULINE TO RESTRENGTHEN. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED TO NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH ESPECIALLY STRONG GUSTS OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. CONTINUED GRADUAL WEAKENING WILL OCCUR UNLESS THE CENTER MOVES BACK OFFSHORE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 978 MB...28.88 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS TO NEAR 20 INCHES...MAINLY OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...ARE OCCURRING IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE HURRICANE AND COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. TIDES OF 5 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST. THESE TIDES WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND VERY DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...18.3 N...102.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 978 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627707-11941>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 04:39:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA24932; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 15:33:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6579886 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 15:32:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA16958 for ; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 15:32:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA00306 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 15:31:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710092031.PAA00306@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 15:31:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Discussion Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3bc39a3ba491bdfcf80edd9bb9c99a14 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 242 WTPZ43 KNHC 092030 TCDEP3 HURRICANE PAULINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT THU OCT 09 1997 SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE COLDEST CONVECTIVE TOPS OFFSHORE... BUT HIGH RESOLUTION VISIBLE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT THE CENTER IS STILL ONSHORE AND CLOSE TO OUR TRACK. THE CENTER ESTIMATE HAS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE ABSENCE OF SURFACE REPORTS NEAR THE CENTER AND LACK OF RADAR IMAGERY. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 11 KNOTS. THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE IN THE SHORT TERM...BUT THERE IS SOME DOUBT WHETHER THE MID-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH NEARING THE U.S. WEST COAST WILL EXTEND FAR ENOUGH SOUTH TO RECURVE PAULINE. THE GLOBAL MODEL SHOWS A NARROW RIDGE BETWEEN THE TROUGH AND PAULINE THROUGH MOST OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD. OUR CURRENT TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE...AND IS TO THE RIGHT OF THE BAM TRACK PREDICTIONS SINCE THOSE MODELS ARE LIKELY CONTAMINATED BY THE SPURIOUS VORTEX TO THE SOUTH OF PAULINE IN THE INITIAL STATE. THERE IS...HOWEVER...A POSSIBILITY THAT A REAL LOW- LEVEL VORTEX...THE REMNANTS OF OLAF TO THE SOUTHWEST...COULD INDUCE A BINARY INTERACTION AND CAUSE PAULINE TO MOVE MORE WESTWARD THAN ANTICIPATED. TECHNICALLY SPEAKING...THE DVORAK TECHNIQUE FOR ESTIMATING INTENSITY IS NOT APPLICABLE WHEN THE CYCLONE IS OVER LAND. BEST GUESS AT INITIAL INTENSITY IS 75 KNOTS...AND THIS IS LIKELY A LIBERAL ESTIMATE. ASSUMING THE CENTER CONTINUES TO MOVE ALONG THE COAST...A GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD OCCUR. HOWEVER...IF THE CENTER MOVES FARTHER INLAND...PAULINE WILL WEAKEN MUCH MORE RAPIDLY. ON THE OTHER HAND...IF THE CENTER MOVES BACK OFFSHORE WE COULD EVEN SEE SOME REGENERATION. IF PAULINE SURVIVES...IT COULD BECOME A POTENTIAL THREAT TO THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND ADJACENT AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ANOTHER CONCERN WILL BE THE POSSIBILITY OF CONSIDERABLE MOISTURE SPREADING INTO PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST U.S. INCLUDING TEXAS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 09/2100Z 18.3N 102.0W 75 KTS...INLAND 12HR VT 10/0600Z 19.0N 103.5W 65 KTS...INLAND 24HR VT 10/1800Z 20.0N 105.0W 60 KTS...INLAND 36HR VT 11/0600Z 20.8N 106.0W 60 KTS 48HR VT 11/1800Z 21.5N 107.0W 60 KTS 72HR VT 12/1800Z 23.5N 108.0W 60 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627682-11941>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 04:40:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA13290; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 15:35:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6579913 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 15:34:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA41190 for ; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 15:34:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA00311 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 15:33:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710092033.PAA00311@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 15:33:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Pauline Forecast/advisory Number 16 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6b2d99550a97f84e536eb049550f8491 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 255 WTPZ23 KNHC 092033 TCMEP3 HURRICANE PAULINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1897 2100Z THU OCT 09 1997 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA MALDONADO TO PUERTO VALLARTA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 102.0W AT 09/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 978 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT....... 45NE 60SE 60SW 45NW 34 KT....... 60NE 100SE 100SW 60NW 12 FT SEAS...00NE 160SE 160SW 00NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 102.0W AT 09/2100Z AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 101.5W FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 19.0N 103.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 50 KT... 45NE 60SE 60SW 45NW 34 KT... 60NE 100SE 100SW 60NW FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 20.0N 105.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 45NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT... 60NE 100SE 100SW 100NW FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 20.8N 106.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW TIDES OF 9 TO 12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THESE TIDES WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 102.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 21.5N 107.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 23.5N 108.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627714-11943>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 06:23:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA26770; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 17:20:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6581148 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 17:18:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA32642 for ; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 17:18:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA00734 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 17:18:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710092218.RAA00734@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 17:18:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2a82afc41e0925d0fb0bf022ffe3fda0 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 973 ABPA20 PHNL 092200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST THURSDAY OCTOBER 9 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH FRIDAY. SEVERAL CLOUD CIRCULATIONS...WITH ATTENDANT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ...SOUTH OF 11N BETWEEN 170W AND 145W ARE BEING MONITORED. VORTICES AS CLOSELY PACKED AS THESE USUALLY INTERACT WITH EACH OTHER...RETARDING OR PREVENTING SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF ANY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626000-27627>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 06:32:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA19316; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 17:26:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6581179 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 17:25:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA48846 for ; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 17:25:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA00768 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 17:25:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710092225.RAA00768@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 17:25:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4b714344acf6fb072c433a0d02b09c46 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 114 ABPZ20 KNHC 092223 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU OCT 9 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE PAULINE CENTERED INLAND NEAR LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO. THE REMNANTS OF OLAF ARE LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ASSOCIATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS DIMINISHED BUT A WEAKENING SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS AND SHOWERS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EASTWARD AROUND THE CIRCULATION OF PAULINE. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626507-27621>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 08:04:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA42620; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 18:55:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6581966 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 18:53:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id SAA33510 for ; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 18:53:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id SAA01053 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 18:53:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710092353.SAA01053@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 18:53:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Pauline Intermediate Advisory Number 16a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3e62e5028838a62dfb49385d2261c988 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 654 WTPZ33 KNHC 092352 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM PAULINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT THU OCT 09 1997 ...PAULINE WEAKENS TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...BUT THREAT OF FLOODS CONTINUES... AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM ZIHUATANEJO TO PUERTO VALLARTA TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. THE WARNING SOUTHEAST OF ZIHUATANEJO HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. AT 5 PM PDT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAULINE WAS LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.5 WEST OR ABOUT 30 MILES...50 KM...NORTH OF PLAYA AZUL MEXICO. PAULINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...PAULINE SHOULD WEAKEN FURTHER BUT THE STRONGEST REMAINING WINDS AND HEAVIEST RAINS...WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD UP THE COAST AND OVER THE ADJACENT HIGH TERRAIN. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH ESPECIALLY STRONG GUSTS OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. CONTINUED GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...MAINLY OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...ARE POSSIBLE AND COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. TIDES OF 2 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA. THESE TIDES WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. WINDS AND SEAS IN THE PREVIOUSLY WARNED AREAS SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE. REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...18.5 N...102.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626128-27621>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 10:30:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA09816; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 21:27:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6583279 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 21:25:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA44290 for ; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 21:25:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA01623 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 21:25:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710100225.VAA01623@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 21:25:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Pauline Advisory Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9ad9503d4bd421577b5416d103a7bb94 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 711 WTPZ33 KNHC 100224 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM PAULINE ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU OCT 09 1997 ...PAULINE GRADUALLY WEAKENING...BUT STILL A FLOOD THREAT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM ZIHUATANEJO TO PUERTO VALLARTA. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAULINE WAS ESTIMATED TO BE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.1 WEST OR INLAND ABOUT 100 MILES...160 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. PAULINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR ...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS COULD STILL OCCUR TONIGHT OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN JUST EAST OF THE CENTER. SOME FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES...230 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...MAINLY OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...ARE POSSIBLE AND COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA. THESE TIDES WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. WINDS AND SEAS IN THE PREVIOUSLY WARNED AREAS SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...18.7 N...103.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM PDT...FRIDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626122-27626>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 10:32:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA42714; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 21:28:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6583290 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 21:27:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA18230 for ; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 21:26:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA01631 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 21:26:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710100226.VAA01631@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 21:26:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Pauline Forecast/advisory Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9e604803a533c8786c7a4552e7ab3708 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 742 WTPZ23 KNHC 100225 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM PAULINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1897 0300Z FRI OCT 10 1997 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM ZIHUATANEJO TO PUERTO VALLARTA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 103.1W AT 10/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT 34 KT....... 50NE 125SE 75SW 50NW 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 150SE 150SW 0NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 103.1W AT 10/0300Z AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 102.6W FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 19.6N 104.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 30NE 125SE 75SW 30NW FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 20.6N 106.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 21.4N 106.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. WINDS AND SEAS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE IN THE PREVIOUSLY WARNED AREAS. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 103.1W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 22.8N 108.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 24.0N 109.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626107-27626>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 10:32:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA42594; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 21:30:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6583336 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 21:29:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA48216 for ; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 21:29:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA01636 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 21:28:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710100228.VAA01636@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 21:28:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5c4ff53dd022d90fb74ef6713629e582 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 761 ABIO10 PGTW 100200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/100200Z/101800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 3N3 64E0 IS QUASI-STATIONARY. A 090230Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A DISTINCT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA. 091621Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASED CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. THE ABIO IS BEING REISSUED FOR PARAGRAPH 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/SULLINS/DEOCARIZA/HONG/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626071-27624>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 10:35:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA44046; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 21:32:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6583345 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 21:31:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA38998 for ; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 21:29:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA01637 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 21:28:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710100228.VAA01637@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 21:28:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bc6adcc2be4dd6169a3ebcd096b66906 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 761 ABIO10 PGTW 100200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/100200Z/101800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 3N3 64E0 IS QUASI-STATIONARY. A 090230Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A DISTINCT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA. 091621Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASED CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. THE ABIO IS BEING REISSUED FOR PARAGRAPH 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/SULLINS/DEOCARIZA/HONG/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626128-27624>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 10:39:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA27764; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 21:34:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6583365 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 21:32:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA23966 for ; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 21:29:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA01647 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 21:29:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710100229.VAA01647@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 21:29:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Pauline Discussion Number 17 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4ea10c9ec147adf56b07dbca41f8c4a3 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 776 WTPZ43 KNHC 100228 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM PAULINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU OCT 09 1997 ALL SATELLITE FIXES...FROM TAFB...SAB...AND AFGWC...INDICATE THAT THE CENTER OF PAULINE IS JUST INLAND AND CONTINUING TO MOVE AT ABOUT 300/11 KT. THE CLOUD PATTERN HAS DETERIORATED CONSIDERABLY OVER THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS. DEEP CONVECTION HAS DIMINISHED AND IS NOT WELL ORGANIZED. THE LAST VISIBLE PICTURES BEFORE SUNSET...HOWEVER... STILL SHOWED A WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION OF LOW TO MID-LEVEL CLOUDS. INITIAL INTENSITY IS ESTIMATED AT 45 KT. IT IS STILL NOT CLEAR WHETHER THE STRONG SHORT-WAVE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST WILL DIRECT PAULINE FARTHER INLAND... WHERE IT WOULD DISSIPATE. THE 18Z AVN HINTS THAT THIS IS THE MOST LIKELY OUTCOME. IF THE TROUGH SWINGS BY...HOWEVER...THEN THE FOLLOWING RIDGE COULD PUSH PAULINE BACK OUT TO SEA. TRACK MODELS SUFFER ONCE AGAIN FROM POOR INITIALIZATION OF THE LARGE-SCALE MODEL. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE RECENT NHC TRACKS AND SHOWS A GENERAL CONTINUATION OF THE CURRENT MOTION FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. WITH THE SYSTEM CENTER EXPECTED TO REMAIN INLAND FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO...FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST. IF THE CENTER EMERGES INTO THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...THEN SOME REGENERATION WOULD BE POSSIBLE. THERE REMAINS A POSSIBILITY OF SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE SPREADING AHEAD OF THE WEST COAST TROUGH INTO PORTIONS OF THE U.S. SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL STATES. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/0300Z 18.7N 103.1W 45 KTS...INLAND 12HR VT 10/1200Z 19.6N 104.5W 35 KTS...INLAND 24HR VT 11/0000Z 20.6N 106.0W 35 KTS 36HR VT 11/1200Z 21.4N 106.9W 35 KTS 48HR VT 12/0000Z 22.8N 108.0W 35 KTS 72HR VT 13/0000Z 24.0N 109.0W 35 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626133-27626>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 11:54:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA13058; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 22:49:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6584061 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 22:48:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA13904 for ; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 22:48:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA01878 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 9 Oct 1997 22:48:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710100348.WAA01878@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 22:48:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5cb36d6abe40db165473f36dd2bb5be1 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 164 ABPZ20 KNHC 100346 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU OCT 9 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM PAULINE CENTERED INLAND MEXICO NEAR 100 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO. THE REMNANTS OF OLAF ARE LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ASSOCIATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS DIMINISHED BUT A WEAKENING SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS AND SHOWERS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EASTWARD AROUND THE CIRCULATION OF PAULINE. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626057-27624>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 13:11:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA04572; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 00:05:05 -0500 Message-Id: <199710100505.AAA04572@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 00:01:51 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 8 Oct 1997 to 9 Oct 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 3c0c97431bcd31d7bdb538b7a8e34d15 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 9 messages totalling 359 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Announcement by EC- Lightning det network 2. Data on CO2 -- response to Barricklow et. al. 3. 1998 AMS Annual Meeting 4. ASOS Commissioning Notice 5. Irresponsible wxcasts? (3) 6. UA sounding in nrn Okla.. 7. Desparately Seeking: 36HR 900MB PROG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 08:41:44 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Re: Announcement by EC- Lightning det network On Thursday, October 09, 1997 8:33 AM, NewsRadio [SMTP:jmckay@INTERLOG.COM] wrote: > Can anyone tell me if in fact the following is true about the US Lightning > detector network in the us? I thought there was a web site that did have > this data for free.... AccuWeather distributes a product via ABCNews online that is national, limited resolution, and updated every few hours. The NLDN operator distributes a national product updated weekly. Rob ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 08:55:19 -0400 From: Steve Young Subject: Data on CO2 -- response to Barricklow et. al. Sam Barricklow asked: >Date: Wed, 8 Oct 1997 20:05:56 -0500 >From: Sam Barricklow >Subject: Scientific American Article on CO2 and Interglacial Periods > >Does anyone remember an article that was in Scientific American several >years ago about CO2 levels during past interglacial warm periods? If >so, which issue was it in and who wrote it? > >Thanks, > >Sam Barricklow Though it may not answer this specific question, a tremendous resource for DATA on carbon dioxide is the Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center (CDIAC) at URL: http://cdiac.esd.ornl.gov/ And take a look at one of the most striking graphics (in my opinion) of the century -- the records from the Mauna Loa observatory of atmospheric CO2 levels at URL: http://cdiac.esd.ornl.gov/trends/co2/sio-mlo-graph.htm Text at: http://cdiac.esd.ornl.gov/trends/co2/sio-mlo.htm CDIAC products on CO2 trends at: http://cdiac.esd.ornl.gov/trends/co2/contents.htm See the info from ice cores at Vostok and elsewhere for levels thousands of years ago. Cheers, Steve Young young.steve@epamail.epa.gov ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 09:55:41 -0700 From: Todd Glickman Subject: 1998 AMS Annual Meeting The 78th Annual Meeting of the AMS will be held 11-16 January 1998 in Phoenix, AZ. Detailed information regarding the Annual Meeting has been posted on the AMS Web Site at: http://www.ametsoc.org/AMS/meeting/98ANN/98annualpage1.html You'll find the following information: * General information for attendees * Preliminary programs for all conferences in PDF format that can be printed out with Adobe Acrobat * Schedule of short courses and workshops * Registration information (including fax-back form); Note: pre-registration deadline for discount is 1 Dec * Hotel locations and registration information (including fax-back form) * Discounted airline and car rental information * Commercial exhibit program Questions may be addressed to the AMS Meetings Department at: email: amsmtgs@ametsoc.org tel: 617-227-2426 x227 fax: 617-742-8718 ========================== Todd Glickman Assistant Executive Director American Meteorological Society 45 Beacon Street Boston, MA 02108 Tel: 617-227-2426 x237 Fax: 617-742-8718 Email: glickman@ametsoc.org WWW: http://www.ametsoc.org/AMS ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 10:04:23 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site will become a commissoned ASOS site at 1800 UTC today, 09 October 1997. KENOSHA REGIONAL AIRPORT (KENW) KENOSHA... WI Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 10:25:29 -0500 From: Ken Poore Subject: Re: Irresponsible wxcasts? Though the topic regarding Dan Satterfield and his controversial position on issuing and canceling weather warnings was beat to death on wx-talk back in early February, I'd like to speak my bit from the 'other' side of issue, just for the record. Most of what has been posted here has been biased against Dan's practices; concern about public confusion, loss of control and consistency with regard to the NWS, loss of life due to wrongly cancelled warnings, TV ratings, personal edification, etc. However, a bunch of folks around here (in the Tennessee Valley) really appreciate what Dan is doing and do not care about all the collateral issues and side-effects. These folks believe in Dan, and believe that Dan is watching out for their best interest, which sometimes include issuing warnings before the NWS has 'officially' recognized a dangerous situation. They know that seconds count, even the seconds between the time that a TV met sees something on his (or the NWS's) radar and can call the NWS. Sure, it is arguable that the line is crossed when Dan uses the word 'warning' when he sees something bad. I can argue either side of that issue. But people respond to 'Warnings', and that response can save lives. I know that other stations say things like 'It looks like a tornado is just outside of Smallville, although the NWS has not issued an official warning, you should take cover immediately.' Yes, that works for most folks, but heck, other than semantics, what's the functional difference between that and a 'Tornado Warning'? People's ears are tuned to 'Warning' around here, and if 'Warning' is what sends them to shelter, then any qualified indication of a tornado should accompany the word 'Warning'. A 'Qualified' indication doesn't mean 'stamped for approval by the NWS', in my opinion. 'Qualified' means that it was issued by somebody that has a formal education in met and has an extensive background in severe weather forecasting. Dan fulfills those requirements, in my opinion, and to a greater extent than most TV mets. However, we're on a slippery slope about who is really qualified, and how that qualification relates to the NWS's role. Many would rather nip it in the bud and say that the NWS is the only qualified organization that can issue warnings, but I think there are exceptions. Ultimately, this is rub I suppose. Because Dan has been here a while, folks generally know about Dan's warnings, and many (most?) folks are aware of what he is doing, largely because his unusual methods have been publicly criticized by the other two network affiliates (in the hope of boosting their own credibility and ratings??). Ultimately though, people choose which channel to watch, and I, for one, like having something a little different to choose from. I have a family to protect, and I appreciate any and all information available regarding severe weather heading my way. I don't believe that the NWS can catch every instance of severe weather as soon as the data that indicates it is available. I like to have 'another set of eyes' looking and analyzing it, and if needed, telling me to head for cover. Thanks for reading and I apologize for the rehash. Ken Poore Harvest, Alabama ken@sirsi.com kwpoore@worldnet.att.net ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 10:34:10 -0500 From: Daniel Dix Subject: UA sounding in nrn Okla.. I am wondering if there is an internet site that displays the UA sounding data for the site ARM in northern Oklahoma (I thinks it near the Lamont area). I see the site on difax at times but can't find the skewt or raw data from the sounding. Thanks in advance for any help. Daniel Dix ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 14:27:40 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Re: Irresponsible wxcasts? On Thu, 9 Oct 1997, Ken Poore wrote: > I know that other stations say things like 'It looks like a tornado is > just outside of Smallville, although the NWS has not issued an official > warning, you should take cover immediately.' Yes, that works for most > folks, but heck, other than semantics, what's the functional difference > between that and a 'Tornado Warning'? People's ears are tuned to 'Warning' > around here, and if 'Warning' is what sends them to shelter, then any > qualified indication of a tornado should accompany the word 'Warning'. A > 'Qualified' indication doesn't mean 'stamped for approval by the NWS', in > my opinion. 'Qualified' means that it was issued by somebody that has a > formal education in met and has an extensive background in severe weather > forecasting. Dan fulfills those requirements, in my opinion, and to a > greater extent than most TV mets. First, I'd like to know who or what organization invented and then went further to define this "Qualified" indication thing? and how come noone else has heard of it? Is this something from the American Met. Assn.? the American Dental Assn., speaking for the NWS and all TV mets everywhere? Where do I find this "official" definition? It really means "formal education" and "has extensive background in severe weather forecasting," eh? I did not know that. Learn something new every day. I hear desparate attempts at justification for a kid who went driving in dad's car without permission... "You could have had an accident!" "Aw dad! Chill out, man! Take a Val!" The only part of this that's missing is the "Go to your room! You're GROUNDED!" part. Does he use the word "Qualified Watch/Warning" on the air? This is akin to the false labelling on the side of some bottles on the store shelves which would like to have you believe they tend to your "living" hair. (Hair is dead as soon as you can see it. There's nothing to "revitalize.") Use the word "Qualified," and the public doesn't know the difference. They think you were authorized to issue the warning for the NWS. To them it's the same thing. I still don't like it. I fear Dan sets an example that someday another met will attempt to follow less "responsibly" than your Dan fellow. And some day, that met is going to be wrong, cause lots of unnecessary fear, panic, pain, suffering, or injury...and who says it has to be bodily? > Because Dan has been here a while, folks generally know about Dan's > warnings, and many (most?) folks are aware of what he is doing, largely > because his unusual methods have been publicly criticized by the other two > network affiliates (in the hope of boosting their own credibility and > ratings??). Ultimately though, people choose which channel to watch, and > I, for one, like having something a little different to choose from. I > have a family to protect, and I appreciate any and all information > available regarding severe weather heading my way. Yes, but you know about things weather, and are aware fo the situation. But how many new residents do you get in your area every month? How long is it estimated before they too become aware of this thing "everyone" knows? What about passer's through? They know this by instinct? And instinctively, they know and understand this American Dental Assn. definition of "Qualified Watch" and "Qualified Warning," right? > I don't believe that > the NWS can catch every instance of severe weather as soon as the data that > indicates it is available. I like to have 'another set of eyes' looking > and analyzing it, and if needed, telling me to head for cover. So say "the NWS hasn't issued any official warning yet, but they _have_ been notified and it very probably they'll be issuing one any minute, but we would _recommend_ that people in the [...] area seek shelter immediately..." And, this does NOT mean sending people to a "designated" shelter on the OEM list which you have no real idea is open or not at the time, or even yet, prepared to act as a shelter yet. You're not OEM. And you have no right to assume you suddenly become the Director of the OEM, either. Don't fall into that sense of godliness. Notify OEM and let _them_ interrupt your broadcast to alert people of the OPENED and CLOSED designated shelters. In my experience, you leave it to a TV station, and they'll screw it up every time. We had people here in Gainesville, once, being directed by a local TV station to a shelter which had been closed. Another shelter had been opened which could better handle things later on. The station, for four hours past that change, was still telling people possibly injured during a _chemical plant fire_ (which was spewing thick clouds of chemical smoke over the NW part of town) to go to that shelter. Seems they didn't even think _OEM_ was sufficient authority to change the sidebar! Only their scanner was. And if they missed the info when it was on another bank because they were listening to something else, it didn't get changed. TV stations can get pretty arrogant, and life threatening, when they want to. TV stations should stay out of the official part of the business as much as they can. It's not their business, unless specifically REQUESTED of them by an official liason. They are part of the emergency plan but they should _wait for their part_ in the script, not fight over when their lines come up. Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman, A.R.S. KB4MHH -\\- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- Home Page URL: http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Permission to use the above info for inclusion in any mailing | | lists, so as to send me ad-mail personally, is NOT granted. | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 14:23:15 -0500 From: "Jeffrey P. Stewart" Subject: Desparately Seeking: 36HR 900MB PROG >>> Jim Raudy 10/08/97 10:27am >>> We have a need for 3000ft AGL wind/temp 36hour forecast. A 900 or 925mb one would do. No luck on my search. Anybody have any ideas? More than one model would be gravy. Thanks a million. Jim: Hmm... couple of suggestions.... 1. Get 850 and 1000 mb charts and interpolate. Numerous sources for this data. 2. If you have any university/NWS contacts: output at almost any level could be generated. I used to use GEMPAK to generate just about anything I needed when I was in school. Talk to any met university cronies and see if they will help. HTH Jeff Stewart ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 9 Oct 1997 17:40:26 -0500 From: Jeff from West Chicago Subject: Re: Irresponsible wxcasts? Let his guy make all the warnings he wants. It will only make people mad at him when there are no tornados to back up his warnings. I doubt he'll have a better record than the weather service, which is top of the line. ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 8 Oct 1997 to 9 Oct 1997 ************************************************ From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626098-27624>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 13:37:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA46588; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 00:33:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6584903 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 00:32:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA37064 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 00:32:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id AAA02289 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 00:32:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710100532.AAA02289@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 00:32:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Pauline Intermediate Advisory Number 17a To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c71e355195b553c76446566741df9cfc X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 060 WTPZ33 KNHC 100530 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM PAULINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 PM PDT THU OCT 09 1997 ...PAULINE WEAKENING OVER THE MOUNTAINS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM ZIHUATANEJO TO PUERTO VALLARTA BUT MAY BE DISCONTINUED FRIDAY MORNING. SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE CENTER OF PAULINE IS RAPIDLY BECOMING DIFFUSE OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND IS VERY DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAULINE APPEARS TO BE CENTERED INLAND MEXICO NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 103.0 WEST OR ABOUT 100 MILES...160 KM...EAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. PAULINE HAS BEEN MEANDERING DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT IS EXPECTED TO RESUME A WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...ON FRIDAY. PAULINE IS WEAKENING RAPIDLY AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES...230 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...MAINLY OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...ARE POSSIBLE AND COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA. THESE TIDES WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...19.0 N...103.0 W. MOVEMENT LITTLE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 1000 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT...FRIDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626098-27626>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 13:55:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA21304; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 00:53:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6584949 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 00:51:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA33404 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 00:51:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id AAA02368 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 00:51:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710100551.AAA02368@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 00:51:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: decbf32eac17a6e057a2fb01bec9f678 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 296 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 091951Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 9N9 176E4 IS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 134E8 IS QUASI-STATIONARY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION HAS DECREASED AND BECOME DISORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:26 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626177-27624>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 14:05:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA21382; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 00:56:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6584954 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 00:53:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA28282 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 00:51:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id AAA02367 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 00:51:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710100551.AAA02367@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 00:51:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ee1272b7cb181c4ec1995a583544ba4f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 296 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 091951Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 9N9 176E4 IS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 134E8 IS QUASI-STATIONARY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION HAS DECREASED AND BECOME DISORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626190-27627>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 14:44:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA14480; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 01:41:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6585075 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 01:39:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA14350 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 01:39:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA02480 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 01:39:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710100639.BAA02480@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 01:39:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 39ddd37ab4429a01590a1dd26452e586 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 462 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 091951Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 9N9 176E4 IS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 134E8 IS QUASI-STATIONARY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION HAS DECREASED AND BECOME DISORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626191-27627>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 14:49:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA26842; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 01:42:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6585080 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 01:41:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA04364 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 01:39:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA02479 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 01:39:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710100639.BAA02479@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 01:39:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e46ec88e9426898d637c50ca2be2106c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 462 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 091951Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 9N9 176E4 IS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 134E8 IS QUASI-STATIONARY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION HAS DECREASED AND BECOME DISORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626246-27621>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 14:48:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA17472; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 01:47:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6585114 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 01:45:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA45706 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 01:44:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA02507 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 01:44:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710100644.BAA02507@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 01:44:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 25322e3c94980b34dd21a500a9b481b5 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 603 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/10060 /110600Z OCT 97// REF/ LTRMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 091951Z OCT 97// RMKS/ PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 9N9:34 IS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDMUJAADJGV UIA FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 134E8 IS QUASIW STATIONARY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION HAS DECREASED AND BECOME DISO O O ZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. MAXPMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN TVOBP KMHH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626246-27621>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 14:56:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA17662; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 01:45:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6585109 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 01:44:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA19336 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 01:44:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA02506 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 01:44:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710100644.BAA02506@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 01:44:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c03da814deaaa6b03580ea57fc8e7352 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 603 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/10060 /110600Z OCT 97// REF/ LTRMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 091951Z OCT 97// RMKS/ PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 9N9:34 IS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDMUJAADJGV UIA FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 134E8 IS QUASIW STATIONARY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION HAS DECREASED AND BECOME DISO O O ZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. MAXPMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN TVOBP KMHH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626507-27627>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 15:35:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA26862; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:33:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6585407 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:30:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA19352 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:30:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA02630 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:30:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710100730.CAA02630@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:30:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4006544f3a88adfeca31941a6a730ac5 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 447 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 091951Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 9N9 176E4 IS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 134E8 IS QUASI-STATIONARY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION HAS DECREASED AND BECOME DISORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 091800Z8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) WAS LOCATED AT 09.4S3 170.7E5, MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P WARNING NR 03 (WTPS31 PGTW 092100Z)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/SULLINS/DEOCARIZA/HONG/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626584-27621>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 15:45:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA14426; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:34:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6585414 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:33:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA51094 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:30:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA02629 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:30:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710100730.CAA02629@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:30:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 285de3c02c86b2b384ccf92f62b05be9 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 447 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 091951Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 9N9 176E4 IS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 134E8 IS QUASI-STATIONARY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION HAS DECREASED AND BECOME DISORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 091800Z8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) WAS LOCATED AT 09.4S3 170.7E5, MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P WARNING NR 03 (WTPS31 PGTW 092100Z)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/SULLINS/DEOCARIZA/HONG/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626593-27627>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 15:43:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAB27692; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:42:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6585500 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:39:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA14564 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:36:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA02651 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:36:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710100736.CAA02651@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:36:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisoryl;6)5#3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0792de1a72b4456fade43678bf9cffa3 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 540 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 COR MSGID/GENADMWN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORYL;6)5#3 23534, 0-:8>8: 9:3-,/100600Z/110600 OCT 97// REF/ -/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 091951Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUNMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 9N9 176E4 IS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 134E8 - 285#8, 5#3 ,3/5 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 09-00 :$7-.4S3 170.7E5, MOVING SOUTHEHIQVNYFD CDUAA B(,95. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P WARNING NR 03 (WTPS31 PGTW 092100Z)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/SULLINS/DEOCARIZA/HONG/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626546-27627>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 15:46:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA19384; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:38:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6585493 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:36:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA14050 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:36:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA02650 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:36:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710100736.CAA02650@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:36:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisoryl;6)5#3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e45c40c3f8773a54814fa78c304c470d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 540 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 COR MSGID/GENADMWN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORYL;6)5#3 23534, 0-:8>8: 9:3-,/100600Z/110600 OCT 97// REF/ -/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 091951Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUNMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 9N9 176E4 IS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 134E8 - 285#8, 5#3 ,3/5 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 09-00 :$7-.4S3 170.7E5, MOVING SOUTHEHIQVNYFD CDUAA B(,95. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P WARNING NR 03 (WTPS31 PGTW 092100Z)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/SULLINS/DEOCARIZA/HONG/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626508-27627>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 15:49:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA26532; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:48:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6585517 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:45:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA45776 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:41:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA02672 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:41:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710100741.CAA02672@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:41:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisoryl 6)5$3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7d47e4197178b67fe5ca108c939c3203 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 618 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 COR MSGID/GENADMWN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORYL 6)5$3 OCT 97// REF/ -/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 091951Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. 5 B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUNMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 9N9 176E -IS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 134E8 - 285$8, 5$3 ,3/5 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): U. TROPICAL CYCT E SUMMARY: (1) AT 09-00 :7-.4S3 170.7E5, 99UNG SOUTHEHIQVNYFD CDUAA????? B(,95. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINBS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS????? WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P WARNING NR 03 (WTPS31 PGTW 092100Z)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (-5 NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. BWOTROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/SULLINS/DEOCARIZA/HONG/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626497-27627>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 15:51:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA26572; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:43:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6585512 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:42:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA26830 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:41:09 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA02671 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:41:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710100741.CAA02671@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:41:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisoryl 6)5$3 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 341d085314526befe4a26977383bdf18 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 618 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 COR MSGID/GENADMWN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORYL 6)5$3 OCT 97// REF/ -/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 091951Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. 5 B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUNMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 9N9 176E -IS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 134E8 - 285$8, 5$3 ,3/5 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): U. TROPICAL CYCT E SUMMARY: (1) AT 09-00 :7-.4S3 170.7E5, 99UNG SOUTHEHIQVNYFD CDUAA????? B(,95. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINBS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS????? WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P WARNING NR 03 (WTPS31 PGTW 092100Z)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (-5 NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. BWOTROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/SULLINS/DEOCARIZA/HONG/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626589-27627>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 15:56:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA51036; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:54:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6585535 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:51:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA38248 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:46:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA02690 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:46:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710100746.CAA02690@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:46:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisoryl 6)53 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 81897764e0f48804ef6984f969033aea X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 677 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 COR MSGID/GENADMWN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORYL 6)53 OCT 97// REF/ -/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 091951Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. 5 BWM TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUNMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 9N9 176E -IS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 134E8 - 2858, 53 ,3/5 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): U. TROPICAL CYCT E SUMMARY: (1) AT 09-00 :7-.4S3 170.7E5, 99UNG SOUTHEHIQVNYFD CDUAA????? B(,95. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINBS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS????? WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P WARNING NR 03 (WTPS31 PGTW 092100Z)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (-5 NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. BWOTROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/SULLINS/DEOCARIZA/HONG/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626508-27626>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 15:56:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA26382; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:49:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6585522 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:48:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA29542 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:46:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA02689 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:46:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710100746.CAA02689@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:46:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisoryl 6)53 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fc30d091199390cd4a175258fcf46267 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 677 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 COR MSGID/GENADMWN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORYL 6)53 OCT 97// REF/ -/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 091951Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. 5 BWM TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUNMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 9N9 176E -IS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 134E8 - 2858, 53 ,3/5 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): U. TROPICAL CYCT E SUMMARY: (1) AT 09-00 :7-.4S3 170.7E5, 99UNG SOUTHEHIQVNYFD CDUAA????? B(,95. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINBS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS????? WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P WARNING NR 03 (WTPS31 PGTW 092100Z)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (-5 NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. BWOTROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/SULLINS/DEOCARIZA/HONG/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626508-27626>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 15:59:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA48194; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:57:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6585563 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:54:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA50554 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:50:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA02713 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:50:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710100750.CAA02713@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:50:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisoryl 6)53 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 08d3e934fa2ad17b6c68c7f589edb60d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 737 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 COR MSGID/GENADMWN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORYL 6)53 OCT 97// REF/ -/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 091951Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. 5 BWM TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUNMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 9N9 176E -IS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 134E8 - 2858, 53 ,3/5 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): U. TROPICAL CYCT E SUMMARY: (1) AT 09-00 :7-.4S3 170.7E5, 99UNG SOUTHEHIQVNYFD CDUAA????? B(,95. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINBS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOOL????? WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P WARNING NR 03 (WTVEQ PGTW 092100Z)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (-5 NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. BWOTROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/SULLINS/DEOCARIZA/HONG/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626546-27627>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 16:18:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA40594; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:10:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6585633 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:08:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA10872 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:50:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA02712 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:50:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710100750.CAA02712@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:50:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisoryl 6)53 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d710ec37e8e54c0d9d0718454d886f97 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 737 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 COR MSGID/GENADMWN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORYL 6)53 OCT 97// REF/ -/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 091951Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. 5 BWM TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUNMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 9N9 176E -IS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 134E8 - 2858, 53 ,3/5 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): U. TROPICAL CYCT E SUMMARY: (1) AT 09-00 :7-.4S3 170.7E5, 99UNG SOUTHEHIQVNYFD CDUAA????? B(,95. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINBS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOOL????? WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P WARNING NR 03 (WTVEQ PGTW 092100Z)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (-5 NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. BWOTROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/SULLINS/DEOCARIZA/HONG/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626508-27624>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 16:07:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA38268; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:05:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6585606 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:03:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA50962 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:55:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA02730 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:55:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710100755.CAA02730@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:55:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisoryl 6)53 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cddb7cfce3c44f35e87d223f76feef76 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 778 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 COR MSGID/GENADMWN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORYL 6)53 OCT 97// REF/ -/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 091951Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. 5 BWM TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUNMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 9N9 176E -IS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 134E8 - 2858, 53 ,3/5 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): U. TROPICAL CYCT E SUMMARY: (1) AT 09-00 :7-.4S3 170.7E5, 99UNG SOUTHEHIQVNYFD CDUAA????? B(,95. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINBS WERE EETII AUAA HARP NIL= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626521-27627>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 16:06:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA50618; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:58:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6585581 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:57:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA13584 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:55:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA02729 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:55:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710100755.CAA02729@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 02:55:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisoryl 6)53 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6ef49bc454872f1c4aacc026f9e12e7f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 778 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 COR MSGID/GENADMWN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORYL 6)53 OCT 97// REF/ -/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 091951Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. 5 BWM TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUNMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 9N9 176E -IS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 134E8 - 2858, 53 ,3/5 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): U. TROPICAL CYCT E SUMMARY: (1) AT 09-00 :7-.4S3 170.7E5, 99UNG SOUTHEHIQVNYFD CDUAA????? B(,95. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINBS WERE EETII AUAA HARP NIL= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626624-27627>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 16:10:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA10744; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:08:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6585624 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:05:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA19276 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:00:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA02756 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:00:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710100800.DAA02756@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:00:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisoryl 6)53 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fbc159fcc4c09d221e17a0784ed6bc46 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 815 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 COR MSGID/GENADMWN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORYL 6)53 OCT 97// REF/ -/(4.; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 16:10:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA51092; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:01:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6585592 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:00:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA40526 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:00:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA02755 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:00:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710100800.DAA02755@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:00:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisoryl 6)53 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 62de3e5e5fd04555ae6cb1a51f4cefd3 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 815 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 COR MSGID/GENADMWN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORYL 6)53 OCT 97// REF/ -/(4.; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 16:30:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA19480; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:26:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6585701 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:25:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA10978 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:25:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA02969 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:25:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710100825.DAA02969@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:25:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Pauline Advisory Number 18 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6fda96197433415df6d2a696c4c4c963 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 303 WTPZ33 KNHC 100824 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAULINE ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT FRI OCT 10 1997 ...PAULINE WEAKENING OVER THE MOUNTAINS.... AT 2 AM PDT..0900Z...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR MEXICO HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED OVER LAND NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 102.7 WEST OR ABOUT 120 MILES...120 KM...EAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN MEANDERING DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE LATER TODAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...19.3 N...102.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626439-27624>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 16:33:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA10664; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:29:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6585708 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:28:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA10780 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:27:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA02974 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:27:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710100827.DAA02974@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:27:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Pauline Discussion Number 18 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 67cb8db6cd94e947b5a01401e16b5100 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 320 WTPZ43 KNHC 100825 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAULINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT FRI OCT 10 1997 SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE REPORTS INDICATE THAT PAULINE IS WEAKENING RAPIDLY OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER...IF IT EXISTS AT ALL...IS POORLY DEFINED BUT THE MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS STILL VIGOROUS AND APPEARS TO BE DRIFTING NORTH NORTHWESTWARD. THERE ARE A FEW PATCHES OF DEEP CONVECTION MAINLY OVER WATER. THE DEPRESSION WAS MEANDERING DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...WHILE INTERACTING WITH THE MOUNTAINS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR A GENERAL NORTHWESTWARD TRACK ABOUT 7 KNOTS AS SUGGESTED BY MOST OF THE MODELS. ON THIS TRACK...PAULINE OR ITS REMNANTS...WILL BE OVER LAND DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS SO DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED IN A DAY OR LESS. IF THE DEPRESSION MOVES ON A MORE WESTWARD TRACK...THE CENTER WILL BE OVER WATER IN A DAY OR TWO AND REGENERATION MAY OCCUR. HOWEVER... IT WOULD TAKE SOME TIME FOR THE BOUNDARY LAYER TO RECOVER...IF AT ALL...FROM THE LAND EFFECT. THERE REMAINS A POSSIBILITY OF MOISTURE SPREADING FROM MEXICO NORTHEASTWARD INTO PORTIONS OF THE U.S. SOUTH-CENTRAL STATES. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/0900Z 19.3N 102.7W 30 KTS 12HR VT 10/1800Z 20.0N 103.5W 25 KTS 24HR VT 11/0600Z 21.0N 104.5W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 11/1800Z 22.5N 105.5W DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626546-27627>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 16:36:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA19592; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:32:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6585725 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:31:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA19516 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:31:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA02992 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:31:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710100831.DAA02992@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:31:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Pauline Advisory Number 18 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1f32b3c3bfc50babe4a7dd99f53d3830 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 388 WTPZ33 KNHC 100830 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAULINE ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT FRI OCT 10 1997 COR FOR UNIT CONVERSION 120 MILES...190 KM... ...PAULINE WEAKENING OVER THE MOUNTAINS.... AT 2 AM PDT..0900Z...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR MEXICO HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED OVER LAND NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 102.7 WEST OR ABOUT 120 MILES...190 KM...EAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN MEANDERING DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE LATER TODAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...19.3 N...102.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626583-27626>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 16:40:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA19498; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:35:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6585730 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:34:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA13636 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:31:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA02996 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:31:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710100831.DAA02996@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:31:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Pauline Forecast/advisory Number 18 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4bc432b507d74fc0d068e38765ec0d34 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 389 WTPZ23 KNHC 100830 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAULINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1897 0900Z FRI OCT 10 1997 AT 2 AM PDT..0900Z...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR MEXICO HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 102.7W AT 10/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 102.7W AT 10/0900Z AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 102.5W FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 20.0N 103.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 21.0N 104.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 22.5N 105.5W...DISSIPATING REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 102.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626583-27627>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 16:46:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA30708; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:44:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6585757 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:41:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA51106 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:38:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA03019 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:38:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710100838.DAA03019@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 03:38:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Suva To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 34f6eaa1c602ce270db63bf166385d7b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 458 WTPS31 PGTW 100900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100600Z7 --- 13.2S6 171.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 170 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.2S6 171.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 15.7S3 172.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 17.6S4 172.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 19.4S4 172.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 21.1S4 173.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 100900Z0 POSITION 13.8S2 171.8E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 18 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 100530Z9 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 100000Z SHIP OBSERVATION LOCATED AT 12.6S 168.6E. TC 02P (LUSI) IS FORECAST TO SLOW AS ITS FORWARD MOTION IS HINDERED BY RIDGING DEVELOPING TO ITS SOUTHEAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7) AND 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z5).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626621-27626>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 17:28:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA38162; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 04:27:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6585939 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 04:24:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA50554 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 04:24:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA03135 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 04:24:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710100924.EAA03135@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 04:24:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Suva To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0cce8ece45b72a3c4d84d18f5bee7c9f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 177 WTPS31 PGTW 100900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHGSGG0445 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 100600Z7 --- 13.2S6 171.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 170 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.2S6 171.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 15.7S3 172.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG0445 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 17.6S4 172.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 19.4S4 172.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 09 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHGSGG0445 UNCLAS EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 21.1S4 173.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 100900Z0 POSITION 13.8S2 171.8E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 18 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 100530Z9 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 100000Z SHIP OBSERVATION LOCATED AT 12.6S 168.6E. TC 02P (LUSI) IS FORECAST TO SLOW AS ITS FORWARD MOTION IS HINDERED BY RIDGING DEVELOPING TO ITS SOUTHEAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7) AND 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z5).// BT #0445 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626589-27627>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 17:32:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA40656; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 04:29:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6585958 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 04:27:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA04438 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 04:27:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA03150 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 04:27:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710100927.EAA03150@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 04:27:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b322e5232d20e14c0dfadf11da589e8c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 248 ABPZ20 KNHC 100926 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI OCT 10 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAULINE CENTERED NEAR 120 MILES EAST OF MANZANILLO. THE REMNANTS OF OLAF ARE LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM IS BEING WATCHED FOR SIGNS OF REDEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626656-27627>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 18:07:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA19510; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 05:04:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6585987 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 05:03:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA30680 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 05:03:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA03242 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 05:03:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710101003.FAA03242@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 05:03:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3a8c1bc8452d595fe7e8d8fcfe91f728 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 721 ABPA20 PHNL 101000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST FRIDAY OCTOBER 10 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH SATURDAY. A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 07N 160W IS NEARLY STATIONARY AND HAS SHOWN SOME INCREASE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS AND WILL BE MONITORED FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626670-27627>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 22:36:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA39052; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 09:30:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6588168 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 09:29:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA32266 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 09:29:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA03896 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 09:29:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710101429.JAA03896@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 09:29:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Pauline Discussion Number 19 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 569b57e0a98cf8cc20a1104ba4ba9633 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 986 WTPZ43 KNHC 101428 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAULINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI OCT 10 1997 TDHE FIRST VISIBLE SATELLITE PICTURES INDICATE THAT THERE IS NO LONGER A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ANYWHERE NEAR WHERE THE REMNANTS OF PAULINE ARE LIKELY TO BE LOCATED. PAULINE IS DECLARED DISSIPATED. THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY. THERE IS CONSIDERABLE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY CONTINUING ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO ESPECIALLY FROM PUERTO VALLAATA NORTHWARD...ALONG WITH A RISK OF FLASH FLOODING IN THIS AREA. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/1500Z DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626670-27626>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 22:37:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA47178; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 09:32:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6588182 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 09:31:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA34858 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 09:29:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA03910 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 09:29:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710101429.JAA03910@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 09:29:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Pauline Forecast/advisory Number 19 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b317ab1c5a032ae99ccf11819a8ac50b X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 017 WTPZ23 KNHC 101429 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAULINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1897 1500Z FRI OCT 10 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DISSIPATED AT 10/1500Z THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627441-27626>; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 22:43:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA40588; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 09:37:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6588209 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 09:35:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA34970 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 09:32:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA03934 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 09:32:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710101432.JAA03934@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 09:32:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Pauline Advisory Number 19 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e6d8a48954ab0a836c0e0c1c30c4ddab X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 083 WTPZ33 KNHC 101432 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAULINE ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI OCT 10 1997 AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS NO LONGER EVIDENT ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND PAULINE IS DECLARED TO BE DISSIPATED OVER SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY TO BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627725-27624>; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 00:18:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA09434; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 11:14:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6589653 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 11:12:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA09298 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 11:12:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id LAA06616 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 11:12:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710101612.LAA06616@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 11:12:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f2377efef91bf30637fb538480505a61 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 810 ABPZ20 KNHC 101607 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI OCT 10 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED ITS LAST ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAULINE. PAULINE HAS DISSIPATED INLAND OVER SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. THE REMNANTS OF OLAF ARE LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND COULD BE REINSTATED AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR STORM LATER TODAY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627717-27627>; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 01:10:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA29538; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 12:07:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6590194 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 12:05:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA42714 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 12:05:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA06808 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 12:05:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710101705.MAA06808@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 12:05:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 51c1b0f632019dbac7be5cf044829412 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 796 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/101800Z/111800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3N3 64E0 IS NOW NEAR 6N6 60E6. BOTH 100930Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 101506Z3 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THE CONTINUED PRESENCE OF A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITHIN THIS AREA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES EXCELLENT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW PERSISTS ABOVE THIS AREA AND THAT THIS OUTFLOW IS BECOMING ANTICYCLONIC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/HOOVER/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627770-27627>; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 01:10:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA29658; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 12:08:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6590201 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 12:07:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA19450 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 12:05:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA06807 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 12:05:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710101705.MAA06807@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 12:05:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 430f2df79f98822b1e7a9c3063678964 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 796 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/101800Z/111800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3N3 64E0 IS NOW NEAR 6N6 60E6. BOTH 100930Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 101506Z3 MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THE CONTINUED PRESENCE OF A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITHIN THIS AREA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES EXCELLENT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW PERSISTS ABOVE THIS AREA AND THAT THIS OUTFLOW IS BECOMING ANTICYCLONIC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/HOOVER/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627810-27621>; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 03:01:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA32522; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 13:58:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6591379 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 13:56:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA29092 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 13:56:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id NAA07318 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 13:56:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710101856.NAA07318@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 13:56:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Suva To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cdfc7ecc64a8dcd91cb6b83029ee1c52 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 143 WTPS31 PGTW 102100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101800Z0 --- 16.0S7 172.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.0S7 172.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 18.9S8 173.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 22.0S4 174.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 25.4S1 174.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 28.6S6 176.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 102100Z4 POSITION 16.7S4 173.0E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 101730Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON AN ANALYSIS OF THE SAME SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING GENERALLY SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS IN STEERING FLOW BETWEEN A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST AND A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH TO THE SOUTHWEST. THIS SYSTEM IS NEAR PEAK INTENSITY AND IS FORECAST TO BEGIN WEAKENING AFTER 12 HOURS AS INCREASING UPPER-LEVEL WINDS FROM THE NORTHWEST BEGIN TO SHEAR IT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z5) AND 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627819-27627>; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 03:16:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA44138; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 14:13:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6591521 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 14:12:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA14666 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 14:12:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id OAA07404 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 14:12:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710101912.OAA07404@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 14:12:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Suva To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d129a4341f23db01883384c1edbeacb3 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 454 WTPS31 PGTW 102100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE PAGE 02 RUHGSGG0631 UNCLAS --- WARNING POSITION: 101800Z0 --- 16.0S7 172.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.0S7 172.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 18.9S8 173.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG0631 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 22.0S4 174.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 25.4S1 174.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHGSGG0631 UNCLAS 121800Z2 --- 28.6S6 176.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 102100Z4 POSITION 16.7S4 173.0E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 101730Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON AN ANALYSIS OF THE SAME SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING GENERALLY SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS IN STEERING FLOW BETWEEN A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST AND A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH TO THE SOUTHWEST. THIS SYSTEM IS NEAR PEAK INTENSITY AND IS FORECAST TO BEGIN WEAKENING AFTER 12 HOURS AS INCREASING UPPER-LEVEL WINDS FROM THE NORTHWEST BEGIN TO SHEAR IT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z5) AND 112100Z5 (DTG PAGE 05 RUHGSGG0631 UNCLAS 111951Z8).// BT #0631 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627834-27621>; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 06:17:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA13860; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 17:15:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6593114 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 17:14:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA25504 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 17:14:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA08041 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 17:14:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710102214.RAA08041@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 17:14:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8410810ef7c3684d7154232f31ce3387 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 519 ABPA20 PHNL 102200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST FRIDAY OCTOBER 10 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH SATURDAY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626042-23413>; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 06:35:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA10922; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 17:31:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6593244 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 17:30:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA50460 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 17:30:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA08097 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 17:30:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710102230.RAA08097@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 17:30:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1e5b1792c34bef5dcc89ad42ba6b0fe3 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 821 ABPZ20 KNHC 102229 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI OCT 10 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE REMNANTS OF OLAF ARE LOCATED ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO...AND HAVE BECOME PART OF A MUCH LARGER AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER THAT CONTINUES TO BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS TO SOME OF THE AREAS PREVIOUSLY HIT BY PAULINE. THE REMNANTS OF OLAF CURRENTLY CONSIST OF A WEAK SURFACE CIRCULATION CENTERED TO THE NORTHEAST OF AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS. SOME REDEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE AS IT MOVES GENERALLY TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626380-23417>; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 11:39:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA14138; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 22:32:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6595828 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 22:31:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA37070 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 22:30:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA09164 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 1997 22:30:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710110330.WAA09164@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 22:30:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: bb637a89bc800925247544ea14bbadba X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 347 ABPZ20 KNHC 110329 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI OCT 10 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE REMNANTS OF OLAF ARE LOCATED ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO...AND HAVE BECOME PART OF A MUCH LARGER MONSOON- LIKE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER THAT CONTINUES TO BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS TO SOME OF THE AREAS PREVIOUSLY HIT BY PAULINE. WHILE THERE HAS BEEN NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE THIS EVENING...SOME REDEVELOPMENT OF THIS TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS POSSIBLE AS IT MOVES GENERALLY TOWARD THE NORTH TO NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626408-23419>; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:16:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA45514; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 00:11:42 -0500 Message-Id: <199710110511.AAA45514@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Oct 1997 00:04:11 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 9 Oct 1997 to 10 Oct 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: fabe915bd7f90ee636028707cec3a0fc X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 2 messages totalling 44 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. NWS Operational Research online... 2. irresponsible weather forecasts +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 09:32:28 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: NWS Operational Research online... A lot of National Weather Service Forecast Offices and related divisions have been putting some well-researched operational documents online. However there is no real central repository, so a search on "Cold-Air Damming" would entail going to about a dozen web sites and hoping to get lucky. I decided to compile a listing of as much research as I could find and place a link in one, easy-to-use spot. Take a look at http://www.skywatch.org/nws/index.html and see if it is useful to you. I welcome any additional URLs -- they need not be hosted on NWS pages but I would like them to apply to operational meteorolgy, as opposed to straight "research." Rob --- Robert P Dale N8GSK rdale@norden1.com Skywatch Weather Services http://www.skywatch.org ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 15:13:05 -0400 From: jared kaplan Subject: Re: irresponsible weather forecasts Talk about Issuing own warnings. Up here in Massachusetts, WFXT-TV (Ch. 25) In boston, issues their own warnings too. They are highly inaccurate to say the least. One time I was watching a show, It was 76 degrees out, and they issued both a sever T-Storm warning, and a winter storm warning, so I hopped on the computer went to a decent radar, and there was no indication of precip falling as ice or snow, and no severe T-storms either. The NWS only had out a potential for T-storms, but not even a watch. At the end, there were no severe T-storms, and no winter weather. Regards, Jared Kaplan jared@sria.com ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 9 Oct 1997 to 10 Oct 1997 ************************************************* From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626364-23418>; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 14:27:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA27702; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 01:23:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6596693 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 01:21:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA31740 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 01:21:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA09725 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 01:21:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710110621.BAA09725@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Oct 1997 01:21:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 422b3b953dd0fad9656fa33cf3993b68 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 449 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 101951Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 134E8 IS DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 04N4 176E4 WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. EQUATORIAL WESTERLIES ARE ENHANCING CONVECTION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES LOW TO MODERATE UPPER LEVEL SHEAR OVER AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 6N6 165E2 WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE AN ASSOCIATED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION. EQUATORIAL WESTERLIES ARE ENHANCING CONVECTION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 101800Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) WAS LOCATED AT 16.0S7 172.8E8, MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P WARNING NR 05 (WTPS31 PGTW 102100Z)) AND TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626628-23418>; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 14:37:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA27650; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 01:26:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6596698 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 01:23:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA13310 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 01:21:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA09724 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 01:21:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710110621.BAA09724@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Oct 1997 01:21:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 33d2ec3efc69e39ed84d2987d7bb354f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 449 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 101951Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 134E8 IS DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 04N4 176E4 WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. EQUATORIAL WESTERLIES ARE ENHANCING CONVECTION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES LOW TO MODERATE UPPER LEVEL SHEAR OVER AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 6N6 165E2 WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE AN ASSOCIATED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION. EQUATORIAL WESTERLIES ARE ENHANCING CONVECTION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 101800Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) WAS LOCATED AT 16.0S7 172.8E8, MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P WARNING NR 05 (WTPS31 PGTW 102100Z)) AND TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626707-23417>; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 16:21:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA22990; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 03:16:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6596905 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 03:14:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA32840 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 03:14:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA10144 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 03:14:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710110814.DAA10144@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Oct 1997 03:14:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c794fb232602005d6f087a539ac953f2 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 515 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 101951Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 134E8 IS DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 04N4 176E4 WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. EQUATORIAL WESTERLIES ARE ENHANCING CONVECTION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES LOW TO MODERATE UPPER LEVEL SHEAR OVER AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 6N6 165E2 WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE AN ASSOCIATED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION. EQUATORIAL WESTERLIES ARE ENHANCING CONVECTION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 101800Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) WAS LOCATED AT 16.0S7 172.8E8, MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P WARNING NR 05 (WTPS31 PGTW 102100Z)) AND TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: MANOP TIME FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626620-23413>; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 16:29:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA22794; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 03:17:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6596910 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 03:16:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA40778 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 03:14:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA10143 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 03:14:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710110814.DAA10143@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Oct 1997 03:14:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1a94da5a34ee2a307b48a6a759500538 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 515 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 101951Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 134E8 IS DISSIPATED AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 04N4 176E4 WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. EQUATORIAL WESTERLIES ARE ENHANCING CONVECTION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES LOW TO MODERATE UPPER LEVEL SHEAR OVER AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 6N6 165E2 WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE AN ASSOCIATED LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION. EQUATORIAL WESTERLIES ARE ENHANCING CONVECTION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 101800Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) WAS LOCATED AT 16.0S7 172.8E8, MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P WARNING NR 05 (WTPS31 PGTW 102100Z)) AND TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: MANOP TIME FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626710-23419>; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 16:35:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA46170; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 03:31:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6596970 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 03:30:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA40808 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 03:29:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA10185 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 03:29:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710110829.DAA10185@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Oct 1997 03:29:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Suva To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3a2b087fcae969e8fe994449db9431f5 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 782 WTPS31 PGTW 110900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- 17.9S7 174.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.9S7 174.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 20.4S6 175.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 22.9S3 175.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 25.5S2 175.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 28.0S0 176.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION 18.5S4 174.5E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE O2B (LUSI) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 110530Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 101800Z0 SHIP OBSERVATION LOCATED AT 16.5S 176.0N. TC 02B IS BEGINNING TO BE AFFECTED BY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. IT IS ANTICIPATED TO WEAKEN AS THE SHEAR INCREASES, AS WELL AS BECOMING MORE INFLUENCED BY LOWER LEVEL STEERING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z8 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8) AND 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626696-23413>; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 16:52:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA04596; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 03:48:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6597311 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 03:47:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA10422 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 03:47:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA10246 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 03:47:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710110847.DAA10246@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Oct 1997 03:47:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Suva To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 42bca851bf6add3789c41bb37e2b1a70 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 036 WTPS31 PGTW 110900 COR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) WARNING NR 006A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- 17.9S7 174.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.9S7 174.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 20.4S6 175.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 22.9S3 175.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 25.5S2 175.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 28.0S0 176.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION 18.5S4 174.5E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 110530Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE ADJUSTED FOR A 101800Z0 SHIP OBSERVATION LOCATED AT 16.5S 176.0N. TC 02P IS BEGINNING TO BE AFFECTED BY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. IT IS ANTICIPATED TO WEAKEN AS THE SHEAR INCREASES, AS WELL AS BECOMING MORE INFLUENCED BY LOWER LEVEL STEERING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z8 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8) AND 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6). JUSTIFICATION: CORRECTED CYCLONE NUMBER AND SPEED IN REMARKS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:54 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626699-23418>; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 17:10:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA27850; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 04:08:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6597389 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 04:06:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA10326 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 04:06:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA10317 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 04:06:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710110906.EAA10317@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Oct 1997 04:06:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Suva To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 43b3d3f966aaa769e753b137b5509a93 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 256 WTPS31 PGTW 110900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHGSGG0837 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- 17.9S7 174.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.9S7 174.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 20.4S6 175.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG0837 UNCLAS 120600Z9 --- 22.9S3 175.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 25.5S2 175.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 28.0S0 176.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- PAGE 04 RUHGSGG0837 UNCLAS REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION 02P 18.5S4 174.5E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 110530Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE ADJUSTED FOR A 101800Z0 SHIP OBSERVATION LOCATED AT 16.5S 176.0N. TC 02P IS BEGINNING TO BE AFFECTED BY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. IT IS ANTICIPATED TO WEAKEN AS THE SHEAR INCREASES, AS WELL AS BECOMING MORE INFLUENCED BY LOWER LEVEL STEERING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z8 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8) AND 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6).// BT #0837 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626699-23419>; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 18:03:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA22804; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 05:01:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6597667 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 04:58:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA26980 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 04:58:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA10431 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 04:58:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710110958.EAA10431@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Oct 1997 04:58:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d54bea43a76d15595fd21d3af3f4d854 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 100 ABPA20 PHNL 111000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST SATURDAY OCTOBER 11 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SUNDAY. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626699-23418>; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 18:14:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAB27498; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 05:10:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6597719 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 05:07:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA40904 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 05:07:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA10471 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 05:07:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710111007.FAA10471@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Oct 1997 05:07:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: dcb6b0b36eb3259dc49c6f87830b2430 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 243 ABPZ20 KNHC 111003 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT OCT 11 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE REMNANTS OF OLAF ARE LOCATED ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD OVER SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS BRINGING HEAVY RAINS AND LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS. SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED AND COULD BE REINSTATED AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AS EARLY AS THIS MORNING. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626727-23419>; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 19:41:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id GAA39598; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 06:33:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6598023 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 06:30:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id GAA10300 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 06:30:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id GAA10657 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 06:30:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710111130.GAA10657@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Oct 1997 06:30:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Special Advisory Number 27 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9f9de8bd6843bdea68dabc5cd196e85f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 791 WTPZ32 KNHC 111130 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT SAT OCT 11 1997 ...OLAF REFUSES TO GO AWAY...EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS OVER SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.0 WEST OR ABOUT 120 MILES...190 KM....SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 14 MPH ...22 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE DEPRESSION SHOULD BE INLAND OVER SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO LATER TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS... OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...MAINLY OVER THE SATES OF COLIMA AND JALISCO AND COULD CAUSE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...17.5 N...104.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626725-23413>; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 19:45:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id GAA39546; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 06:36:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6598030 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 06:33:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id GAA10340 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 06:31:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id GAA10661 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 06:31:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710111131.GAA10661@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Oct 1997 06:31:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Special Forecast/advisory Number 27 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f08cbb9191489c0c553a7e6718e467df X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 836 WTPZ22 KNHC 111131 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1797 1200Z SAT OCT 11 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 104.0W AT 11/1200Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 104.0W AT 11/1200Z AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 103.5W FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 18.5N 104.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 21.0N 105.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 104.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626747-23417>; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 19:47:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id GAA23934; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 06:40:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6598094 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 06:38:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id GAA13162 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 06:36:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id GAA10678 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 06:36:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710111136.GAA10678@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Oct 1997 06:36:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Special Discussion Number 27 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 57cb04d4e3900dee54b22d6fe1c33c75 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 907 WTPZ42 KNHC 111135 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 27 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT SAT OCT 11 1997 SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THERE IS ENOUGH DEEP CONVECTION AND LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION TO ONCE AGAIN REINSTATE OLAF AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS LOCATED ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. SINCE A PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION IS INTERACTING WITH LAND AND THE ENVIRONMENT IS SHEARED...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST. HOWEVER..ANY UNEXPECTED INCREASE IN INTENSITY COULD BRING OLAF BACK TO TROPICAL STORM STATUS. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING NORTHWARD ABOUT 12 KNOTS AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS INDICATED BY MOST OF THE MODELS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION SHOULD REACH THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO LATER TODAY. IT SHOULD BE EMPHASIZED THAT THE MAIN PROBLEM WITH THIS SYSTEM IS THAT IT MAY BRING HEAVY RAINS TO SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO PRIMARILY OVER THE STATES OF COLIMA AND JALISCO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...CAUSING LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/1200Z 17.5N 104.0W 30 KTS 12HR VT 11/1800Z 18.5N 104.5W 30 KTS 24HR VT 12/0600Z 21.0N 105.0W 20 KTS...INLAND AND DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626752-23413>; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 22:38:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA23836; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 09:32:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6598935 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 09:29:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA44382 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 09:29:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA11195 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 09:29:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710111429.JAA11195@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Oct 1997 09:29:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Advisory Number 28 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f903445dcbd4ecad1e313e0332e8d65f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 226 WTPZ32 KNHC 111428 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT OCT 11 1997 ...OLAF EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS OVER SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.3 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES...115 KM...SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 13 MPH ...20 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE DEPRESSION SHOULD BE INLAND OVER SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO LATER TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS... OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...MAINLY OVER THE STATES OF COLIMA AND JALISCO AND COULD CAUSE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...18.0 N...104.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626781-23419>; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 22:41:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA14300; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 09:35:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6598940 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 09:32:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA43876 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 09:29:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA11199 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 09:29:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710111429.JAA11199@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Oct 1997 09:29:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 28 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2f6af0c6ffb9cc83edf9e0eec3eb0af6 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 227 WTPZ22 KNHC 111429 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1797 1500Z SAT OCT 11 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 104.3W AT 11/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 104.3W AT 11/1500Z AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 104.2W FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 19.6N 104.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 22.0N 104.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z...INLAND REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 104.3W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z...INLAND FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z...INLAND NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Sat Oct 11 23:41:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626781-23419>; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 22:45:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA31584; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 09:38:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6598950 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 09:35:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA32956 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 09:30:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA11212 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 09:30:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710111430.JAA11212@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Oct 1997 09:30:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Discussion Number 28 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 881cc84e9faf8e8b21bfa1dbdb760e48 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 246 WTPZ42 KNHC 111430 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 28 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT OCT 11 1997 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGES DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS SHOW THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES NEAR THE CENTER OF OLAF. A SHIP REPORTED 25 KNOTS FROM THE EAST JUST NORTH OF THE CENTER WITH A SURFACE PRESSURE OF 1004 MB. SINCE A PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION IS INTERACTING WITH LAND AND THE ENVIRONMENT IS SHEARED...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST. HOWEVER..ANY UNEXPECTED INCREASE IN INTENSITY COULD BRING OLAF BACK TO TROPICAL STORM STATUS. THE DEPRESSION CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWARD ABOUT 11 KNOTS AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS INDICATED BY MOST OF THE MODELS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION SHOULD REACH THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO LATER TODAY. IT SHOULD BE EMPHASIZED THAT THE MAIN PROBLEM WITH THIS SYSTEM IS THAT IT MAY BRING HEAVY RAINS TO SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO PRIMARILY OVER THE STATES OF COLIMA AND JALISCO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...CAUSING LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/1500Z 18.0N 104.3W 30 KTS 12HR VT 12/0000Z 19.6N 104.7W 30 KTS 24HR VT 12/1200Z 22.0N 104.9W 20 KTS...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626777-23417>; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 00:45:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA40834; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 11:39:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6599933 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 11:37:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA14116 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 11:37:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id LAA11607 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 11:37:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710111637.LAA11607@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Oct 1997 11:37:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: def1d50b9d6834e55968aa873729042c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 521 ABPZ20 KNHC 111635 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT OCT 11 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON REGENERATED TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF WHICH IS LOCATED ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD OVER SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 18 HOURS BRINGING HEAVY RAINS AND LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627863-23417>; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 02:15:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA36844; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:12:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6600552 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:10:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA36734 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:10:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id NAA11970 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:10:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710111810.NAA11970@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:10:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a9ac6f492a1005c86cfb1cc78511dc68 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 053 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z/121800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 60E6 IS NOW NEAR 6N6 59E4. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SCATTEROMETER DATA (101845Z9) INDICATE THE PERSISTENT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND ASSOCIATED CONVECTION HAVE BECOME LESS ORGANIZED. THE SYSTEM IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLY WIND SHEER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10- 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 3S3 53E8. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND SCATTEROMETER DATA (101842Z6) INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH ASSOCIATED CONVECTION. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR AND INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF SHEER FROM THE WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/EIBLING/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627858-23417>; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 02:15:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA36642; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:13:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6600557 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:12:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA29056 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:10:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id NAA11969 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:10:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710111810.NAA11969@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:10:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5166d710a0613324881b36a19c7e2dfb X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 053 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z/121800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 60E6 IS NOW NEAR 6N6 59E4. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SCATTEROMETER DATA (101845Z9) INDICATE THE PERSISTENT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND ASSOCIATED CONVECTION HAVE BECOME LESS ORGANIZED. THE SYSTEM IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLY WIND SHEER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10- 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 3S3 53E8. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND SCATTEROMETER DATA (101842Z6) INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH ASSOCIATED CONVECTION. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR AND INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF SHEER FROM THE WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/EIBLING/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627854-23413>; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 02:22:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA29122; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:21:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6600617 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:20:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA36980 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:20:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id NAA12024 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:20:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710111820.NAA12024@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:20:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e8d376ad034e771d5d0e677049f4ca03 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 255 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z/121800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 60E6 IS NOW NEAR 6N6 59E4. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SCATTEROMETER DATA (101845Z9) INDICATE THE PERSISTENT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND ASSOCIATED CONVECTION HAVE BECOME LESS ORGANIZED. THE SYSTEM IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLY WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10- 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 3S3 53E8. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND SCATTEROMETER DATA (101842Z6) INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH ASSOCIATED CONVECTION. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR AND INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF SHEAR FROM THE WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/EIBLING/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627862-23413>; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 02:24:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA40468; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:22:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6600622 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:21:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA26994 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:20:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id NAA12023 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:20:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710111820.NAA12023@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:20:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e67e8e0d7278f30e7b02db86e37c31dc X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 255 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z/121800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 60E6 IS NOW NEAR 6N6 59E4. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SCATTEROMETER DATA (101845Z9) INDICATE THE PERSISTENT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND ASSOCIATED CONVECTION HAVE BECOME LESS ORGANIZED. THE SYSTEM IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLY WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10- 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 3S3 53E8. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND SCATTEROMETER DATA (101842Z6) INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH ASSOCIATED CONVECTION. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR AND INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF SHEAR FROM THE WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/EIBLING/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627865-23418>; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 02:31:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA46216; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:28:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6600715 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:27:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA32286 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:27:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id NAA12057 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:27:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710111827.NAA12057@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:27:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ab1df53e5e1764a6c8f9a5a52d6180bd X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 491 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z/121800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 60E6 IS NOW NEAR 6N6 59E4. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SCATTEROMETER DATA (101845Z9) INDICATE THE PERSISTENT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND ASSOCIATED CONVECTION HAVE BECOME LESS ORGANIZED. THE SYSTEM IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLY WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10- 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL VRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 8 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 3S3 53E8. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND SCATTEROMETER DATA (101842Z6) INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH ASSOCIATED CONVECTION. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR AND INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF SHEAR FROM THE WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEOCLWSJRGPYNDG RP U ATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 4 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/EIBLING/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627865-23418>; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 02:31:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA36684; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:30:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6600722 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:28:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA10268 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:27:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id NAA12056 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:27:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710111827.NAA12056@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:27:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1443edae1368af82955789d04b30ac6c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 491 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z/121800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 60E6 IS NOW NEAR 6N6 59E4. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SCATTEROMETER DATA (101845Z9) INDICATE THE PERSISTENT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND ASSOCIATED CONVECTION HAVE BECOME LESS ORGANIZED. THE SYSTEM IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLY WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10- 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL VRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 8 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 3S3 53E8. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND SCATTEROMETER DATA (101842Z6) INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH ASSOCIATED CONVECTION. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR AND INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF SHEAR FROM THE WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEOCLWSJRGPYNDG RP U ATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 4 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/EIBLING/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627865-23418>; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 02:37:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA48604; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:35:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6600798 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:34:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA23904 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:34:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id NAA12081 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:34:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710111834.NAA12081@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:34:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significtrmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 397caab71ea2ad8712cdc3a42ec275e1 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 690 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICTRMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 60E6 IS NOW NEAR 6N6 59E4. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SCATTEROMETER DATA (101845Z9) INDICATE THE PERSISTENT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND ASSOCIATED CONVECTION HAVE BECOME LESS ORGANIZED. THE SYSTEM IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF UPPOYQHLEVEL WESTERLY WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10- 15 KNOTS. MINO KWL NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INE AN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUOOMBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 3S3 53E8. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND SCATTEROMETER DATA (101842Z6) INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH ASSOCIATED CO MECTION. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR AND INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF SHEAR FROM THE WEST. MAXIMUM HR Q ISJZ2 $92;-53$ -5 15-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEOCLWSJRGPYNDG RP U ATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 4 HOURS IE POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/EIBLING/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627861-23418>; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 02:38:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA48410; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:37:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6600803 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:35:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA32866 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:34:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id NAA12080 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:34:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710111834.NAA12080@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:34:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significtrmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: dbd2c0d83e44545e01ff4df7d329581f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 690 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICTRMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 60E6 IS NOW NEAR 6N6 59E4. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SCATTEROMETER DATA (101845Z9) INDICATE THE PERSISTENT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND ASSOCIATED CONVECTION HAVE BECOME LESS ORGANIZED. THE SYSTEM IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF UPPOYQHLEVEL WESTERLY WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10- 15 KNOTS. MINO KWL NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INE AN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUOOMBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 3S3 53E8. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND SCATTEROMETER DATA (101842Z6) INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH ASSOCIATED CO MECTION. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR AND INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF SHEAR FROM THE WEST. MAXIMUM HR Q ISJZ2 $92;-53$ -5 15-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEOCLWSJRGPYNDG RP U ATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 4 HOURS IE POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/EIBLING/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627865-23419>; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 02:43:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA13284; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:42:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6600844 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:41:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA40870 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:41:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id NAA12129 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:41:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710111841.NAA12129@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:41:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significtrmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b7f5de87922dabcea930cbaf0c98fbed X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 829 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICTRMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: N NROMETER DATA (101845Z9) INDICATE THE PERSISTENT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND ASSOCIATED CONVECTION HAVE BECOME LESS ORGANIZED. THE SYSTEM IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF UPPOYQHLEVEL WESTERLY WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10- 15 KNOTS. MINO KWL NO OTHER SUSPEC AREAS. 2. SOUTH INE AN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUOOMBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 3S3 53E8. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND SCATTEROMETER DATA (10184-LYL INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH ASSOCIATED CO MECTION. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR AND INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF SHEAR FROM THE WEST. MAXIMUM HR Q ISJZ2 FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/NRLING/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627867-23417>; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 02:46:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA13140; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:44:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6600849 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:42:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA40616 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:41:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id NAA12130 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:41:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710111841.NAA12130@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Oct 1997 13:41:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significtrmks/ To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 693ff1c15fa86d92fcd0904460f69dcb X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 829 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICTRMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: N NROMETER DATA (101845Z9) INDICATE THE PERSISTENT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND ASSOCIATED CONVECTION HAVE BECOME LESS ORGANIZED. THE SYSTEM IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF UPPOYQHLEVEL WESTERLY WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10- 15 KNOTS. MINO KWL NO OTHER SUSPEC AREAS. 2. SOUTH INE AN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUOOMBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 3S3 53E8. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND SCATTEROMETER DATA (10184-LYL INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH ASSOCIATED CO MECTION. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS POOR AND INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF SHEAR FROM THE WEST. MAXIMUM HR Q ISJZ2 FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/NRLING/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626752-23419>; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 04:27:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA24116; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 15:25:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6601254 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 15:23:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA32920 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 15:23:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA12467 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 15:23:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710112023.PAA12467@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Oct 1997 15:23:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 39bb1de82cbef0d2559f9b5492102b90 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 703 WTPS31 PGTW 112100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- 19.2S2 176.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.2S2 176.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 20.6S8 178.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 22.9S3 179.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 25.2S9 179.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 27.8S7 178.4W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION 19.5S5 177.1E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, SCATTEROMETER DATA 11/1124Z0) AND SYNOPTIC DATA FROM NANDI/NADI INTL, FIJI (WMO 91680). THE SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWED A CLEARLY DEFINED CIRCULATION AT 18.4S3 175.6E9. THIS POSITION WAS USED TO DETERMINE BOTH SPEED AND MOTION FOR THIS 18Z WARNING. FORECAST IS FOR A TURN TOWARD A MORE SOUTHERLY MOTION AFTER THE 12 HOUR FORECAST POSITION AS TC 02P (LUSI) IS INFLUENCED BY HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST. THIS INTERACTION WITH THE RIDGE WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING DUE TO STRONG UPPER LEVEL WIND SHEAR FROM THE WEST. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WILL OCCUR WITHIN THE 36 TO 48 HOUR TIME PERIODS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6) AND 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626758-23419>; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 04:58:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA22910; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 15:49:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6601459 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 15:48:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA29778 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 15:45:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA12573 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 15:45:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710112045.PAA12573@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Oct 1997 15:45:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Discussion Number 29 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 15c5c86bb86adf7db1959a07a3b86b44 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 968 WTPZ42 KNHC 112044 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 29 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT OCT 11 1997 AT 1900 UTC A PPI SCAN FROM A MEXICAN WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER OF OLAF WAS TO THE SOUTHEAST OF OUR LAST POSITION. IN SUPPORT OF THIS SURFACE POSITION WAS A SURFACE SHIP WITH WINDS OF 30 KNOTS. THIS RELOCATION OF THE CENTER MEANS THAT THE DEPRESSION IS A GREATER DISTANCE FROM MANZANILLO THAN OUR LAST ADVISORY. DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES NEAR THE CENTER OF OLAF. SINCE A PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION IS INTERACTING WITH LAND AND THE ENVIRONMENT IS SHEARED...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST. HOWEVER..ANY UNEXPECTED INCREASE IN INTENSITY COULD BRING OLAF BACK TO TROPICAL STORM STATUS. THE DEPRESSION CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWARD ABOUT 8 KNOTS AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS INDICATED BY MOST OF THE MODELS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION SHOULD REACH THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO LATER TONIGHT. IT SHOULD BE EMPHASIZED THAT THE MAIN PROBLEM WITH THIS SYSTEM IS THAT IT MAY BRING HEAVY RAINS TO SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO PRIMARILY OVER THE STATES OF COLIMA AND JALISCO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...CAUSING LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/2100Z 17.8N 103.7W 30 KTS 12HR VT 12/0600Z 19.0N 103.8W 25 KTS...INLAND 24HR VT 12/1800Z 20.6N 104.1W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627618-23417>; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 05:03:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA40794; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 15:51:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6601484 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 15:49:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA27044 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 15:46:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA12588 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 15:46:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710112046.PAA12588@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Oct 1997 15:46:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Advisory Number 29 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d6f4cbaa01c7942894d51c5dc00cc1f3 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 999 WTPZ32 KNHC 112046 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT OCT 11 1997 AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.7 WEST OR ABOUT 90 MILES...150 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH ...15 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL THE SYSTEM MOVES INLAND LATER TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS... OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...MAINLY OVER THE STATES OF COLIMA AND JALISCO AND COULD CAUSE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...17.8 N...103.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627396-23418>; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 05:04:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA38376; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 15:53:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6601514 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 15:51:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA40876 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 15:46:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA12592 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 15:46:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710112046.PAA12592@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Oct 1997 15:46:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 29 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 13263d15e7d0514ac46fd78d5cf4459d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 001 WTPZ22 KNHC 112046 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1797 2100Z SAT OCT 11 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 103.7W AT 11/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 103.7W AT 11/2100Z AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 103.6W FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 19.0N 103.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 20.6N 104.1W...INLAND/DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 103.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627889-23417>; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 05:04:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA36710; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 16:00:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6601610 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 15:59:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA21068 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 15:57:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA12664 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 15:57:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710112057.PAA12664@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Oct 1997 15:57:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a2660ebad92f71833e1e1f5d05a10f3c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 097 WTPS31 PGTW 112100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- 19.2S2 176.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM PAGE 02 RUHGSGG1007 UNCLAS POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.2S2 176.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 20.6S8 178.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 22.9S3 179.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE PAGE 03 RUHGSGG1007 UNCLAS 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 25.2S9 179.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 27.8S7 178.4W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: PAGE 04 RUHGSGG1007 UNCLAS 112100Z5 POSITION 19.5S5 177.1E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, SCATTEROMETER DATA 11/1124Z0) AND SYNOPTIC DATA FROM NANDI/NADI INTL, FIJI (WMO 91680). THE SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWED A CLEARLY DEFINED CIRCULATION AT 18.4S3 175.6E9. THIS POSITION WAS USED TO DETERMINE BOTH SPEED AND MOTION FOR THIS 18Z WARNING. FORECAST IS FOR A TURN TOWARD A MORE SOUTHERLY MOTION AFTER THE 12 HOUR FORECAST POSITION AS TC 02P (LUSI) IS INFLUENCED BY HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST. THIS INTERACTION WITH THE RIDGE WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING DUE TO STRONG UPPER LEVEL WIND SHEAR FROM THE WEST. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WILL OCCUR WITHIN THE 36 TO 48 HOUR TIME PERIODS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6) AND 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9).// BT #1007 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627912-23413>; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 06:16:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA21236; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 17:10:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6602095 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 17:09:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA38270 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 17:09:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA12975 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 17:09:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710112209.RAA12975@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Oct 1997 17:09:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 51d8010d0ba47064f26159b50ed07587 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 300 ABPA20 PHNL 112200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST SATURDAY OCTOBER 11 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH SUNDAY. SEVERAL SMALL VORTICES ARE BEING CLOSELY MONITORED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626025-25656>; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 06:39:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA27828; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 17:33:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6602225 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 17:31:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA44396 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 17:31:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA13052 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 17:31:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710112231.RAA13052@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Oct 1997 17:31:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: a9271e2e39dc3cf17af2073e1b24ed0a X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 760 ABPZ20 KNHC 112230 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT OCT 11 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF WHICH IS LOCATED ABOUT 60 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626686-25655>; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 11:22:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA13246; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 22:16:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6604182 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 22:15:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA32498 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 22:11:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA01475 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 22:11:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710120311.WAA01475@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Oct 1997 22:11:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 30 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ea20ea97c87b71598e83cad2331fbabb X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 168 WTPZ22 KNHC 120245 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1797 0300Z SUN OCT 12 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 104.4W AT 12/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 104.4W AT 12/0300Z AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 104.3W FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 19.5N 104.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 20.6N 105.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 21.4N 106.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 104.4W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 22.1N 106.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 23.0N 108.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626686-25656>; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 11:21:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA24194; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 22:13:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6604156 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 22:11:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA48112 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 22:11:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA01473 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 22:11:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710120311.WAA01473@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Oct 1997 22:11:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Advisory Number 30 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9e8a27b3e8a16d3a039d61b7f385f537 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 166 WTPZ32 KNHC 120244 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT OCT 11 1997 ...OLAF CENTERED JUST OFFSHORE... AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.4 WEST OR JUST OFFSHORE...ABOUT 45 MILES...75 KM...SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH ...7 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF OLAF WILL REMAIN NEAR THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF MANZANILLO TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...ESPECIALLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS... MAINLY OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...MAINLY OVER THE STATES OF COLIMA...JALISCO AND WESTERN MICHOACAN. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...18.7 N...104.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD ...NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT...SUNDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626687-25656>; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 11:21:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA27896; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 22:15:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6604162 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 22:13:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA13138 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 22:12:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA01483 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 22:12:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710120312.WAA01483@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Oct 1997 22:12:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Discussion Number 30 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d8a765703e9a27752a472c0f4d14dbd9 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 220 WTPZ42 KNHC 120248 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 30 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT OCT 11 1997 DEEP CONVECTION GRADUALLY INCREASED DURING THE DAY...BOTH IN A SMALL AREA AT THE CIRCULATION CENTER AND IN A BAND TO THE EAST. TAFB AND SAB DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS AT 00Z WERE T2.5 WHILE...KGWC HAD T2.0 A BIT EARLIER. ALL THIS SUGGESTS THAT OLAF IS NEAR TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. THE CENTER IS DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT BECAUSE SURFACE ...RADAR AND SATELLITE DATA GIVE SLIGHTLY DIFFERENT LOCATIONS. ALL...HOWEVER...PUT THE CENTER NEAR THE COAST NOT FAR FROM MANZANILLO. INITIAL MOTION IS 345/4 KT. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE AXIS OF THE STRONG SHORT-WAVE TROUGH TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST. THE 12Z AVN...18Z AVN...AND LBAR SHOW OLAF PICKED UP BY THE TROUGH AND ACCELERATED NORTHEASTWARD. THE OTHER GUIDANCE HAS THE TROUGH BYPASSING OLAF...WITH THE TROPICAL CYCLONE STEERED SLOWLY TOWARD THE NW FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS BY THE RIDGE FOLLOWING THE TROUGH. WITH THE RECENT DECELERATION...THIS IS ALSO THE NHC TRACK...WHICH KEEPS THE DEPRESSION IN THE VICINITY OF THE COAST FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO AND THEN...POTENTIALLY...BACK OVER OPEN WATER. THE SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ALOFT ARE FORECAST TO DECREASE SOMEWHAT IN ABOUT 48 HOURS...SO OLAF COULD RESTRENGTHEN IF IT FOLLOWS THE FORECAST TRACK. IF IT MOVES INLAND AND STAYS THERE...IT SHOULD QUICKLY DISSIPATE. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/0300Z 18.7N 104.4W 30 KTS 12HR VT 12/1200Z 19.5N 104.7W 30 KTS...INLAND 24HR VT 13/0000Z 20.6N 105.2W 25 KTS...INLAND 36HR VT 13/1200Z 21.4N 106.0W 30 KTS 48HR VT 14/0000Z 22.1N 106.7W 35 KTS 72HR VT 15/0000Z 23.0N 108.0W 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626728-25657>; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 12:11:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA38234; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 23:05:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6604653 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 23:03:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA10694 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 23:03:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id XAA01673 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 1997 23:03:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710120403.XAA01673@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 11 Oct 1997 23:03:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b4484153a17f55a850cc614148a0e091 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 474 ABPZ20 KNHC 120402 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT OCT 11 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF WHICH IS LOCATED NEAR MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626771-25652>; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 13:12:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA37104; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 00:07:49 -0500 Message-Id: <199710120507.AAA37104@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 12 Oct 1997 00:00:01 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 10 Oct 1997 to 11 Oct 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: ea0d68829478faa0ecc5b4a4e934603f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 2 messages totalling 52 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. irresponsible weather forecasts 2. NWS Operational Research online... +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 20:28:58 GMT From: SAKABAKBRG Subject: Re: irresponsible weather forecasts > >Talk about Issuing own warnings. Up here in Massachusetts, WFXT-TV (Ch. >25) In boston, issues their own warnings too. They are highly inaccurate >to say the least. One time I was watching a show, It was 76 degrees out, >and they issued both a sever T-Storm warning, and a winter storm warning, >so I hopped on the computer went to a decent radar, and there was no >indication of precip falling as ice or snow, and no severe T-storms >either. The NWS only had out a potential for T-storms, but not even a >watch. At the end, there were no severe T-storms, and no winter weather. I also live in the Boston area, and watch WFXT at night, and I have NEVER seen them issue their own warnings. When an official watch is issued, they put the graphic in the corner of the screen, showing what counties are under the watch, but, to the best of my knowledge, I have never seen them issue their own warning. IMHO, WFXT's weather team is one of the better groups in the Boston area (WHDH is the only one better). I know that FOX tends to get a little sensational at times, but not that outrageous. Scott Kaplan (sakabakbrg@aol.com) "...if you look on the radar, you'll see a squall line coming in from the west, so watch out for thunderstorms, but if you look to the north, you see a squadrom of ICBMs coming in so I wouldn't worry about the storms." ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 11 Oct 1997 07:56:11 -0400 From: Bernard Miville Subject: Re: NWS Operational Research online... I have a list of MetPaper available on the web that might interest you: http://www.magma.ca/~intermet/metpaper.htm Bernard -- --------------------------------------------- InterMet International Meteorology Magazine http://www.magma.ca/~intermet/ intermet@magma.ca --------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 10 Oct 1997 to 11 Oct 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626807-25655>; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 14:12:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA28582; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 01:09:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6605718 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 01:08:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA21038 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 01:05:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA02068 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 01:05:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710120605.BAA02068@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 12 Oct 1997 01:05:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 3a85aa400b03cb621ddf6e820e69989c X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 563 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 111951Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 04N4 176E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 07N7 172E0. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. DEEP CONVECTION IS INCREASING IN AREAL COVERAGE AND ORGANIZATION IN SPITE OF CONTINUED UPPER LEVEL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 165E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 07N7 158E4. VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE INCREASED DEEP CENTRAL CONVECTION IN SPITE OF CONTINUED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 111800Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) WAS LOCATED AT 19.2S2 176.7E1, MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) WARNING NR 07 (WTPS31 PGTW 112100Z)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626825-25652>; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 14:15:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA43798; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 01:08:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6605713 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 01:05:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA38188 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 01:05:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA02067 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 01:05:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710120605.BAA02067@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 12 Oct 1997 01:05:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5059c583c3f62a2a5309d18ecefba9c7 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 563 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 111951Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 04N4 176E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 07N7 172E0. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. DEEP CONVECTION IS INCREASING IN AREAL COVERAGE AND ORGANIZATION IN SPITE OF CONTINUED UPPER LEVEL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 165E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 07N7 158E4. VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE INCREASED DEEP CENTRAL CONVECTION IN SPITE OF CONTINUED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 111800Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) WAS LOCATED AT 19.2S2 176.7E1, MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) WARNING NR 07 (WTPS31 PGTW 112100Z)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626847-25655>; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 15:44:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA44014; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 02:38:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6606160 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 02:36:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA43928 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 02:35:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA02358 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 02:35:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710120735.CAA02358@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 12 Oct 1997 02:35:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Suva To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 51aa7173f409aafbe7fca8402e734690 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 480 WTPS31 PGTW 120900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- 23.8S3 177.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 165 DEGREES AT 25 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 23.8S3 177.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 28.1S1 179.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION 24.9S5 178.3E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) HAS BECOME EXTRATROPICAL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z IS 18 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626864-25656>; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 16:37:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA27462; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 03:31:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6606389 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 03:30:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA27636 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 03:30:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA02681 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 03:30:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710120830.DAA02681@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 12 Oct 1997 03:30:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Suva To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 932e39df918a4695e571b4511d287bd5 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 212 WTPS31 PGTW 120900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- PAGE 02 RUHGSGG1138 UNCLAS WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- 23.8S3 177.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 165 DEGREES AT 25 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 23.8S3 177.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 28.1S1 179.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION 24.9S5 178.3E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) HAS BECOME EXTRATROPICAL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z IS 18 FEET. PAGE 03 RUHGSGG1138 UNCLAS THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU).// BT #1138 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626860-25656>; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 16:47:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA27562; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 03:37:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6606420 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 03:35:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA48220 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 03:35:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA02705 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 03:35:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710120835.DAA02705@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 12 Oct 1997 03:35:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Advisory Number 31 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 73c34e36b985795a8617ea28b32f6538 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 298 WTPZ32 KNHC 120834 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN OCT 12 1997 ...OLAF NEARLY STATIONARY...OFF THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO... AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF WAS LOCATED BY THE CUYUTLAN RADAR OF THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF MEXICO NEAR LATITUDE 18.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.0 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES...95 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MAZANILLO MEXICO. STEERING CURRENTS ARE WEAK...AND THE DEPRESSION HAS BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY. LITTLE OVERALL MOVEMENT IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO...WHICH KEEPS THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN THE VICINITY OF MANZANILLO AT LEAST FOR TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...ESPECIALLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS. ALTHOUGH NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...ONLY A SLIGHT INCREASE IN WINDS WOULD UPGRADE OLAF TO A TROPICAL STORM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS... MAINLY OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...MAINLY OVER THE STATES OF COLIMA...JALISCO AND WESTERN MICHOACAN. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...18.2 N...104.0 W. MOVEMENT... NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626873-25652>; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 16:48:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA27634; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 03:38:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6606425 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 03:37:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA38256 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 03:35:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA02709 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 03:35:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710120835.DAA02709@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 12 Oct 1997 03:35:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Discussion Number 31 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: aa92a5da803160871bf41b1131dd5ef3 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 299 WTPZ42 KNHC 120834 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 31 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN OCT 12 1997 A COUPLE OF SMALL CLUSTERS OF DEEP CONVECTION HAVE DEVELOPED IN ASSOCIATION WITH OLAF...BUT THE CYCLONE DOES NOT SHOW MUCH OVERALL ORGANIZATION ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. HOWEVER...THE CENTER HAS BEEN FAIRLY WELL DEFINED ON THE CUYUTLAN RADAR DURING MOST OF THE NIGHT. THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF MEXICO HAS DONE AN EXCELLENT JOB IN PROVIDING RADAR IMAGERY EVERY 15 MINUTES AND THESE DATA HAVE BEEN INVALUABLE IN DETERMINING THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. IN FACT...THE RADAR CENTER WAS OVER 125 MILES FROM ONE OF THE SATELLITE FIXES AT THE SAME TIME...AND THE INITIAL POSITION WAS RELOCATED SOMEWHAT BASED ON THE RADAR FIXES. THE CENTER HAS BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS... AS THE TROUGH TO THE NORTH BYPASSES THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. IF OLAF CAN MAINTAIN ITS IDENTITY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO...IT SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST IN RESPONSE TO BUILDING HEIGHTS OVER NORTHERN MEXICO. OUR CURRENT TRACK IS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST UKMET MODEL AND IS ALSO MIDWAY BETWEEN THE MID LAYER BAM AND THE STATISTICAL/DYNAMICAL P91E MODELS. INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS AT 30 KNOTS...WHICH IS A COMPROMISE AMONG DVORAK ESTIMATES. T NUMBERS RANGE FROM 1.5 AT AFGWC TO 2.0 AT TAFB TO 2.5 AT SAB. ALTHOUGH IT WOULD NOT TAKE MUCH TO MAKE OLAF A TROPICAL STORM...THE MAIN FOCUS SHOULD REMAIN ON THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN AND NOT THE WIND. OLAF IS A SMALL SYSTEM AND IF IT DRIFTS ONLY A LITTLE MORE TOWARD THE NORTH AND BECOMES MORE INVOLVED WITH LAND ...IT COULD DISSIPATE SOON. THIS SCENARIO IS SUGGESTED BY THE NOGAPS MODEL WHICH LOSES THE CIRCULATION QUICKLY AND THE LATEST GFDL MODEL RUN WHICH DISSIPATES THE SYSTEM BY 1200Z TODAY. HOWEVER ...OLAF HAS BEEN RATHER TENACIOUS AND IN FACT HAS BEEN WITH US AN IDENTIFIABLE SYSTEM SINCE THE 26TH OF SEPTEMBER. THE COURSE OF LEAST REGRET IS TO HANG ON TO THE CIRCULATION...AND ALLOW FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME STRENGTHENING IF THE SYSTEM SURVIVES LONG ENOUGH TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE INFLUENCE OF LAND. MAYFIELD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/0900Z 18.2N 104.0W 30 KTS 12HR VT 12/1800Z 18.5N 104.0W 30 KTS 24HR VT 13/0600Z 18.8N 104.5W 30 KTS 36HR VT 13/1800Z 19.2N 105.5W 30 KTS 48HR VT 14/0600Z 19.5N 107.0W 35 KTS 72HR VT 15/0600Z 20.5N 109.5W 40 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626876-25657>; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 17:00:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA48260; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 03:40:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6606432 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 03:38:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA38266 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 03:35:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA02713 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 03:35:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710120835.DAA02713@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 12 Oct 1997 03:35:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 31 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f67a678931e67fd9fe5443f5e6339c1d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 300 WTPZ22 KNHC 120835 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1797 0900Z SUN OCT 12 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 104.0W AT 12/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT...NEARLY STATIONARY... ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 104.0W AT 12/0900Z AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 103.9W FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 18.5N 104.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 18.8N 104.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 19.2N 105.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 104.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 19.5N 107.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 20.5N 109.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626885-25657>; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 18:07:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA32444; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 05:00:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6606847 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 04:59:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA47964 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 04:59:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA02939 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 04:59:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710120959.EAA02939@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 12 Oct 1997 04:59:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 640ddbc0d79a6bc06982371605f0b7e1 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 499 ABPA20 PHNL 121000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 AM HST SUNDAY OCTOBER 12 1997 AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 08N 161W SHOWS SIGNS OF LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC ROTATION. IT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE DISTURBANCE WILL BE MONITORED FOR ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. OTHERWISE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH MONDAY. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626891-25657>; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 18:10:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA40762; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 05:03:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6606860 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 05:01:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA38362 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 05:01:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA02968 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 05:01:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710121001.FAA02968@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 12 Oct 1997 05:01:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 59d1d8aefce06e2aef773d4c8907e327 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 551 ABPZ20 KNHC 121000 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN OCT 12 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF WHICH IS LOCATED NEAR MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626487-25655>; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 18:25:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA44468; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 05:18:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6606923 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 05:16:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA34908 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 05:16:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA03006 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 05:16:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710121016.FAA03006@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 12 Oct 1997 05:16:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6047ff0e6efcc19539bea9b375159bbd X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 822 ABPZ20 KNHC 121010 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN OCT 12 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF WHICH IS LOCATED NEAR MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626927-25655>; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 22:38:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA26694; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 09:34:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6608497 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 09:32:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA44538 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 09:32:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA03676 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 09:32:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710121432.JAA03676@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 12 Oct 1997 09:32:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Discussion Number 32 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ae7168a61ceb434f7bba370272f20ed3 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 023 WTPZ42 KNHC 121431 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 32 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN OCT 12 1997 THE FIRST VISIBLE SATELLITE PICTURES SUGGEST THAT THERE IS NO LONGER A WELL DEFINED SURFACE CIRCULATION. IF THERE IS ONE...SATELLITE A SINGLE SHIP REPORT INDICATES THAT THE CENTER IS LOCATED ON THE MEXICAN COAST OR JUST INLAND JUST SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO. IF A CIRCULATION DOES EXIST...THE GUIDANCE MODELS SHOW A SLOW MOSTLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOVEMENT FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS. THIS IS RELATED TO THE 06Z AVIATION MODEL RUN SHOWING A NARROW RIDGE CONTINUING BETWEEN THE DEPRESSION AND A DEEP SHORT WAVE TROUGH TO THE NORTH. THE FORECAST TRACK IS ADJUSTED ABOUT 75 NAUTICAL MILES TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND IS MORE OR LESS IN THE MIDDLE OF THE GUIDANCE MODELS. THE FORECAST TRACK BRINGS THE DEPRESSION BACK OVER WATER AND SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AFTER 36 HOURS. THE ABOVE FORECAST IS A STRATEGY OF LEAST REGRET. THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO IS THAT OLAF IS DISSIPATING OVER LAND...BUT I WILL WAIT UNTIL THE NEXT ADVISORY AND MORE VISIBLE IMAGERY BEFORE DECLARING OLAF DISSIPATED. IN ANY CASE THERE IS CONSIDERABLE DEEP CONVECTION OVER SOUTHWEST MEXICO AND FLASH FLOODING IS THE PRIMARY WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/1500Z 18.7N 103.8W 30 KTS 12HR VT 13/0000Z 18.7N 104.0W 30 KTS...INLAND 24HR VT 13/1200Z 19.5N 104.8W 30 KTS...INLAND 36HR VT 14/0000Z 20.0N 106.0W 30 KTS... 48HR VT 14/1200Z 21.5N 107.5W 35 KTS... 72HR VT 15/1200Z 22.0N 110.0W 40 KTS... +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626943-25657>; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 22:40:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA48466; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 09:36:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6608504 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 09:35:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA48444 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 09:33:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA03684 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 09:33:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710121433.JAA03684@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 12 Oct 1997 09:33:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 32 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 21a7db1840306104f112dbb6f460e7b7 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 037 WTPZ22 KNHC 121433 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1797 1500Z SUN OCT 12 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 103.8W AT 12/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 100 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 103.8W AT 12/1500Z AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 103.9W FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 18.7N 104.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 19.5N 104.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 20.0N 106.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 103.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 21.5N 107.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 22.0N 110.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626916-25656>; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 22:56:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA09954; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 09:50:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6608696 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 09:49:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA26666 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 09:49:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA03726 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 09:49:15 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710121449.JAA03726@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 12 Oct 1997 09:49:15 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Advisory Number 32 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cfc7e6bd1f440bdc0d7d090e1df25f72 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 444 WTPZ32 KNHC 121448 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN OCT 12 1997 AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.8 WEST. THIS POSITION IS ON THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO ABOUT 50 MILES...85 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO. THE DEPRESSION IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH ... 7 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THE CENTER INLAND TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IF THE DEPRESSION CONTINUES INLAND...DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... INCLUDING THE STATES OF JALISCO...COLIMA AND MICHOACAN. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...18.7 N...103.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626972-25656>; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 01:14:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA48450; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 12:09:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6609847 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 12:07:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA27834 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 12:07:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA04186 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 12:07:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710121707.MAA04186@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 12 Oct 1997 12:07:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b6f19ddce0b043b360b53bf4e47eebe5 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 086 ABPZ20 KNHC 121704 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN OCT 12 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF WHICH IS LOCATED NEAR MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627011-25655>; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 01:56:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA33994; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 12:54:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6610338 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 12:52:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA24158 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 12:52:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA04361 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 12:52:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710121752.MAA04361@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 12 Oct 1997 12:52:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9ba6b902bcf08a1f6fa406f83f982e5e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 859 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/121800Z/131800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 59E4 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND ASSOCIATED CONVECTION HAVE PERSISTED WITH LITTLE TO NO CHANGE IN INTENSITY. THE SYSTEM REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLY WIND SHEER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10-15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 3S3 53E8 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES A PERSISTENT WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH ASSOCIATED CONVECTION. THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE IN THE SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM THE PREVIOUS 24 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS POOR DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF WIND SHEER FROM THE WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/EIBLING/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626992-25655>; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 02:05:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA48818; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 12:55:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6610343 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 12:54:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA48732 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 12:52:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA04360 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 12:52:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710121752.MAA04360@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 12 Oct 1997 12:52:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1f76d95b5dc8bc245ce11015677d1494 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 859 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/121800Z/131800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 59E4 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND ASSOCIATED CONVECTION HAVE PERSISTED WITH LITTLE TO NO CHANGE IN INTENSITY. THE SYSTEM REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLY WIND SHEER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10-15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 3S3 53E8 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES A PERSISTENT WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH ASSOCIATED CONVECTION. THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE IN THE SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM THE PREVIOUS 24 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS POOR DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF WIND SHEER FROM THE WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/EIBLING/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627651-25655>; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 04:33:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA34914; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 15:29:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6611532 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 15:27:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA13288 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 15:27:28 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA05315 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 15:27:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710122027.PAA05315@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 12 Oct 1997 15:27:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Advisory Number 33 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5e47cb78d0a275a9f3199319b4dd0f20 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 858 WTPZ32 KNHC 122027 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN OCT 12 1997 AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF HAS DISSIPATED INLAND OVER SOUTHWEST MEXICO. THE REMNANTS OF OLAF CONSIST OF SOME AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN NEAR THE COASTAL STATES OF JALISCO...COLIMA...MICHOACAN AND GUERRERO. THIS RAIN COULD SPREAD INLAND AND CAUSE FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY TO BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM...UNLESS REGENERATION... AGAIN...OCCURS. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627677-25655>; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 04:39:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA31494; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 15:32:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6611582 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 15:31:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA21392 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 15:30:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA05333 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 15:30:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710122030.PAA05333@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 12 Oct 1997 15:30:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Discussion Number 33 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 387b9646ac06cc1b6744abaaa301e7bc X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 909 WTPZ42 KNHC 122030 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 33 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN OCT 12 1997 VISIBLE SATELLITE PICTURES SHOW THAT THERE IS NO LONGER A WELL- DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH OLAF AND THE REMNANT CYCLONIC ROTATION IS LOCATED WELL INLAND OVER SOUTHWEST MEXICO. MOST OF THE GUIDANCE MODELS SHOW A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION TO THE REMNANT OF OLAF FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS AND THIS WOULD BRING THE SYSTEM BACK OVER THE WATER. IF THIS OCCURS...THERE COULD BE A REGENERATION OF OLAF. BUT FOR THE PRESENT...OLAF HAS DISSIPATED INLAND AND THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A FAIR AMOUNT OF DEEP CONVECTION OVER SOUTHWEST MEXICO. HOWEVER THE CUYUTLAN RADAR INDICATES VERY LITTLE PRECIP OVER LAND AS OF 1845Z. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/2100Z DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627651-25655>; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 04:38:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA14136; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 15:34:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6611620 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 15:33:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA17628 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 15:31:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA05339 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 15:31:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710122031.PAA05339@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 12 Oct 1997 15:31:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 33 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f95601a2e017bd6a9fec2318cb4d882d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 946 WTPZ22 KNHC 122031 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1797 2100Z SUN OCT 12 1997 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER DISSIPATED INLAND 12/2100Z THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 08:09:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627739-25655>; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 06:00:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA44432; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 16:57:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6612612 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 16:55:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA19792 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 16:55:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA05700 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 16:55:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710122155.QAA05700@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 12 Oct 1997 16:55:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7dbab88b209cd107cafc53ecdbf29750 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 169 ABPA20 PHNL 122200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST SUN OCT 12 1997 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 10.5N 163W IS MOVING WEST SLOWLY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO FORM JUST EAST OF THE CENTER BUT THE SYSTEM REMAINS UNORGANIZED AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH MONDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 14:25:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627110-788>; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 11:58:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA40686; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 22:44:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6616173 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 22:42:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA48524 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 22:42:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA06874 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 1997 22:42:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710130342.WAA06874@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 12 Oct 1997 22:42:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ba934c8a3b56467fcbf61bbcb729c048 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 238 ABPZ20 KNHC 130341 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN OCT 12 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF ARE PRODUCING CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 14:25:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627150-789>; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 13:16:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA10540; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 00:12:10 -0500 Message-Id: <199710130512.AAA10540@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Mon, 13 Oct 1997 00:03:07 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 11 Oct 1997 to 12 Oct 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 7e06272339a9bfdf019a62cfdb98f0f7 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 2 messages totalling 52 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. irresponsible weather forecasts 2. Funnel cloud video grabs +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sun, 12 Oct 1997 07:25:41 -0700 From: wxman Subject: Re: irresponsible weather forecasts I watch it too sometimes. It is true that they do put the NWS warnings on the bottom of the screen, and then the map, but you watch this winter, especially towards spring, you will see many warning issued by them flying accross the bottom of the screen. Regards, Jared KAplan ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 12 Oct 1997 23:19:23 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Funnel cloud video grabs Would some of you mind taking a look at some grabs I had made of a funnel cloud that appeared here in Gainesville in August for me? It's about ten grabs of about 25K each and they're zipped up into a 300K file. It looks okay on my monitor but looked better on my brother's, and I just want to know how they look on the monitors of others. If you all think they look acceptable enough I'll go ahead and use them on a future page I'd like to create. This is nothing especially spectacular. Just a funnel that appeared for a few seconds and disappeared behind an approaching gust front. In fact, being inexperienced and never having seen a funnel with my own eyes before, I was hesitant to report it as such...thought it more probably an illusion of scud formations or something. But, if some of you in here would have a look at them and give me your opinions, I'd appreciate it. You'll find them at -- http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/files/weather/ Thanks, Todd /-----------------------------------------------------------------\ | Todd L. Sherman, A.R.S. KB4MHH -\\- E-mail: afn09444@afn.org | | -//- Home Page URL: http://www.afn.org/~afn09444/ -\\- | | Permission to use the above info for inclusion in any mailing | | lists, so as to send me spam-mail personally, is NOT granted. | \-----------------------------------------------------------------/ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 11 Oct 1997 to 12 Oct 1997 ************************************************** From - Mon Oct 13 14:25:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627169-788>; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 13:35:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA52950; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 00:30:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6617081 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 00:29:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA09948 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 00:25:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id AAA07312 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 00:25:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710130525.AAA07312@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 13 Oct 1997 00:25:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 5616e270ff5cffb26ed5f4aca2e0ffdd X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 187 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 120751Z OCT 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 130355Z OCT 97// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 130453Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 07N7 172E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.6N7 167.9E3 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 130400)). POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 07N7 158E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.5N6 154.1E1 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF C (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 130500)). THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) HAS BECOME EXTRATROPICAL. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) WARNING NR 08 (WTPS31 PGTW 120900Z)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/SULLINS/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 14:25:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627160-786>; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 13:37:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA43796; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 00:29:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6617060 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 00:26:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA18394 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 00:25:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id AAA07311 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 00:25:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710130525.AAA07311@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 13 Oct 1997 00:25:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0103b2c5cc52d7f48632c6701794ce84 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 187 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 120751Z OCT 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 130355Z OCT 97// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 130453Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 07N7 172E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.6N7 167.9E3 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 130400)). POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 07N7 158E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.5N6 154.1E1 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF C (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 130500)). THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) HAS BECOME EXTRATROPICAL. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 02P (LUSI) WARNING NR 08 (WTPS31 PGTW 120900Z)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/SULLINS/SANCHEZ/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 16:52:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627220-786>; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 16:31:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA22706; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 03:16:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6618085 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 03:14:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA22556 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 03:14:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA07952 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 03:14:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710130814.DAA07952@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 13 Oct 1997 03:14:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: This Warning Supersedes And Cancels Navpacmetoccen West To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0dcb47b12ebfcc3f948371debd848457 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 339 WTPN31 PGTW 130900 THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 130455Z OCT 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 130500 ) 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- 10.8N9 153.1E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.8N9 153.1E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 11.9N1 150.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 13.0N4 148.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 13.9N3 146.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 14.8N3 143.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 16.5N2 139.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION 11.1N3 152.5E3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W HAS FORMED TO THE NORTH OF THE CAROLINE ISLANDS AND IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 130530Z2 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN DEEP-LAYER STEERING FLOW TO THE SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. ACCORDINGLY, IT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 72 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT LESS THAN A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE BECAUSE IT IS STILL ORGANIZING. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON AN EXTRAPOLATION USING AN ANALYSIS OF 130530Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4), 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0), 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2) AND 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 130455Z OCT 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 130500).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 17:10:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627164-787>; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 17:00:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA48646; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 03:54:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6618216 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 03:51:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA52864 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 03:51:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id DAA08059 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 03:51:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710130851.DAA08059@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 13 Oct 1997 03:51:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: This Warning Supersedes And Cancels Navpacmetoccen West To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 656d016f883c3b36fce56528d69be048 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 793 WTPN33 PGTW 130900 THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 130355Z OCT 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 130400) 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- 11.6N8 167.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.6N8 167.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 13.2N6 164.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 14.1N6 162.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 14.7N2 160.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 15.2N8 158.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 16.0N7 153.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION 12.0N3 166.5E8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28W HAS FORMED IN THE MARSHALL ISLANDS AND IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 130530Z2 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO STEER GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 72 HOURS AND REMAIN TO THE SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WHILE DOING SO. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON AN EXTRAPOLATION USING 130530Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 (DTG 131359Z2), 132100Z7 (DTG 131959Z8), 140300Z8 (DTG 140159Z0) AND 140900Z4 (DTG 140759Z6). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 130355Z OCT 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 130400). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 18:27:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627193-788>; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 17:33:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA10692; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 04:18:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6618267 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 04:15:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA44490 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 04:13:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA08122 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 04:13:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710130913.EAA08122@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 13 Oct 1997 04:13:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: This Warning Supersedes And Cancels Navpacmetoccen West To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4e442fe21d87ddedabea075e79cb7292 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 275 WTPN32 PGTW 130900 COR THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 130355Z OCT 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 130400) 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28W WARNING NR 001A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- 11.6N8 167.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.6N8 167.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 13.2N6 164.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 14.1N6 162.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 14.7N2 160.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 15.2N8 158.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 16.0N7 153.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION 12.0N3 166.5E8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28W HAS FORMED IN THE MARSHALL ISLANDS AND IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 130530Z2 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO STEER GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 72 HOURS AND REMAIN TO THE SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WHILE DOING SO. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON AN EXTRAPOLATION USING 130530Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 (DTG 131359Z2), 132100Z7 (DTG 131959Z8), 140300Z8 (DTG 140159Z0) AND 140900Z4 (DTG 140759Z6). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 130355Z OCT 97 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 130400). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION: CORRECTED MANOP HEADER.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 18:27:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627239-788>; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 18:07:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA18310; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 05:05:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6618569 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 05:04:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA44324 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 05:04:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA08256 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 05:04:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710131004.FAA08256@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 13 Oct 1997 05:04:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 4d13227ffbb8a4998fc332902683174f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 137 ABPA20 PHNL 132200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST MONDAY OCTOBER 13 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 18:27:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626643-786>; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 18:20:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA25034; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 05:18:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6618603 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 05:16:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA44446 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 05:16:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA08296 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 05:16:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710131016.FAA08296@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 13 Oct 1997 05:16:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6e22c0287c9ef0b49cb250d68cb65692 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 389 ABPZ20 KNHC 131016 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON OCT 13 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF ARE CONTRIBUTING TO CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 23:05:47 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626134-787>; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 21:59:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA19944; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 08:46:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6620317 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 08:43:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA38274 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 08:43:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id IAA08879 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 08:43:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710131343.IAA08879@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 13 Oct 1997 08:43:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 27w Warning Nr 002 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: cf06b43b9aa7267431bb84f788a1c1e7 X-Status: X-UID: 6 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 109 WTPN31 PGTW 131500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNING NR 002 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- 10.6N7 151.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.6N7 151.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 11.2N4 149.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 11.9N1 147.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 12.6N9 145.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 13.4N8 143.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 14.4N9 138.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION 10.7N8 151.0E7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. WE HAVE RELOCATED THE SYSTEM CENTER A LITTLE FARTHER SOUTH CLOSER TO THE SOUTHERNMOST BAND OF CONVECTION. UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD AND THE CONVECTIVE PATTERN HAS BECOME MORE SYMMETRICAL, AND THIS SYSTEM COULD REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY IN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z7 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0), 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2), 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8) AND 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Mon Oct 13 23:05:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627303-789>; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 22:26:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA46432; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 09:15:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6620766 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 09:12:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA40856 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 09:12:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id JAA09025 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 09:12:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710131412.JAA09025@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 13 Oct 1997 09:12:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 28w Warning Nr 002 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6e0c42ced97efe0aae4b44407d0003c2 X-Status: X-UID: 7 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 571 WTPN32 PGTW 131500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- 11.4N6 166.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.4N6 166.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 12.3N6 164.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 12.9N2 162.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 13.6N0 160.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 14.5N0 157.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 16.4N1 152.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION 11.6N8 166.0E3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28W HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AND BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD AND THE CONVECTIVE PATTERN HAS BECOME LESS ELONGATED AND MORE SYMMETRICAL. SATELLITE IMAGERY DURING THE PAST 2 HOURS INDICATES A CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE MAY BE DEVELOPING AND TD 28W COULD REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY DURING THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (DTG 131953Z2), 140300Z8 (DTG 140153Z4), 140900Z4 (DTG 140753Z0) AND 141500Z1 (DTG 141353Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 14 01:57:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627197-788>; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 01:04:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA16856; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 11:59:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6622201 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 11:57:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA20994 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 11:57:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id LAA09904 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 11:57:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710131657.LAA09904@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 13 Oct 1997 11:57:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 24a426229a20826cbdb6e36e4a84984d X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 743 ABPZ20 KNHC 131656 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON OCT 13 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MEXICO...PREVIOUSLY ASSOCIATED WITH OLAF...HAVE BECOME DISORGANIZED. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 14 10:15:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627178-789>; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 05:49:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA23288; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 16:26:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6625135 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 16:24:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA45678 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 16:24:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA11280 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 16:24:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710132124.QAA11280@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 13 Oct 1997 16:24:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 28w Warning Nr 003 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6c9110b6adf7f5dbfcb66f2256c04c05 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 531 WTPN32 PGTW 132100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28W WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- 11.9N1 166.1E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.9N1 166.1E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 12.7N0 164.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 13.3N7 162.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 14.1N6 160.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 14.9N4 157.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 16.4N1 151.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION 12.1N4 165.7E9 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 131730Z5 INDICATES THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28W IS MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AT 09 KNOTS. THIS INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION IS CONTINUING TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY WITHIN THE NEXT SIX HOURS. FORECAST TRACK REMAINS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS FORECAST AS TD 28W IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ITS FORWARD SPEED TO 14 KNOTS AS IT MOVES MORE INTO THE INFLUENCE OF THE STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8 (DTG 140153Z4), 140900Z4 (DTG 140753Z0), 141500Z1 (DTG 141353Z7) AND 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG17442861953 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 14 10:15:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626526-786>; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 05:35:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA21594; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 16:28:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6625170 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 16:27:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA52610 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 16:27:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA11299 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 16:27:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710132127.QAA11299@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 13 Oct 1997 16:27:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 137386b298d74c55b6076480c273244e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 613 ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/131800Z/141800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 59E4 HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 3S3 53E8 HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/STEWART/HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/HALL// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG17492861751 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 14 10:15:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626526-788>; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 05:40:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA21570; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 16:30:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6625175 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 16:28:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA45730 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 16:27:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA11300 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 16:27:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710132127.QAA11300@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 13 Oct 1997 16:27:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9c88f5052e320acbca334a18a2562d98 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 613 ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/131800Z/141800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 59E4 HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 3S3 53E8 HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/STEWART/HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/HALL// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG17492861751 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 14 10:15:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627201-787>; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 06:05:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA25504; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 16:53:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6625593 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 16:52:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA22866 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 16:50:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA11391 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 16:50:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710132150.QAA11391@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 13 Oct 1997 16:50:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 74eb5393dfc72f6ac6c6fd4cc862c895 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 997 ABPA20 PHNL 132200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST MON OCT 13 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 14 10:15:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625870-9325>; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 06:37:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA34002; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 17:28:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6625964 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 17:26:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA29672 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 17:25:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA11515 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 17:25:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710132225.RAA11515@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 13 Oct 1997 17:25:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fb1ce93f07baddc17193ae7690c1eced X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 635 ABPZ20 KNHC 132224 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON OCT 13 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 14 11:18:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626703-9324>; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 11:10:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA36464; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 22:01:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6628897 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 21:58:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA36438 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 21:58:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id VAA12680 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 21:57:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710140257.VAA12680@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 13 Oct 1997 21:57:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 28w Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: efd914cd0557c4d2bd1ffe67ef3f473e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 327 WTPN32 PGTW 140300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28W WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- 12.0N3 165.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.0N3 165.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 12.5N8 164.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 13.0N4 162.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 13.8N2 160.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 14.7N2 157.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 16.5N2 151.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION 12.1N4 165.4E6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28W (TD 28W) IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. TD 28W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SPEED UP AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE STRENGTHENS, THEN SLOW DOWN TOWARD 72 HOURS AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WEAKENS IN RESPONSE TO THE APPROACH OF A MID-LATITUDE SYSTEM. INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 (DTG 140753Z0), 141500Z1 (DTG 141353Z7), 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3) AND 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG18422870153 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 14 12:13:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627031-9325>; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 11:55:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA29272; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 22:52:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6629525 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 22:52:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA47160 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 22:52:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id WAA13046 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 1997 22:51:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710140351.WAA13046@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 13 Oct 1997 22:51:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: e9259402daef6c9cf39a731a170e10b0 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 387 ABPZ20 KNHC 140351 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON OCT 13 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Tue Oct 14 13:22:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626313-9316>; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 13:15:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAB46492; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 00:10:07 -0500 Message-Id: <199710140510.AAB46492@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Oct 1997 00:00:42 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 12 Oct 1997 to 13 Oct 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 109ac41de3d69caf246134a445c2bed3 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 9 messages totalling 480 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Funny FP3 (3) 2. FEMA's First Live Audio Broadcast via Internet 3. More El Nino yucks 4. Hurricane Luis (1995) info needed 5. KGAN.com-- Now faster...please help us. 6. "Political Storm Hits Weather Agency" 7. Home Weather Station Question +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 13 Oct 1997 00:51:42 -0500 From: Jason Kelley Subject: Funny FP3 Hello all... Just a little note to those of you who enjoy the lighter side of meteorology....this guy at WSFO BHM has been doing FP3's with a little injected humor for a good while...his forecaster code is (evidently) 65, and he calls himself "I-sixtyfive" (a local interstate highway that runs through BHM)...I check out the fp3 regularly from BHM, just to get a little humor in my otherwise boring existance...here is a good one from last night... FPUS3 KBHM 120819 SFDBHM STATE FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM, AL 317 AM CDT SUN OCT 12 1997 LIEUTENANT COMMANDER'S LOG - STARDATE 10121997: FOUNDER'S ATTACK OF THE WEATHER SUPPRESS UNIT HAS LEFT MUCH OF THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE AT RISK OF THE UNCONTROLLED FORCES OF NATURE. AS A RESULT...WILL HAVE TO USE AN OLDER SET OF SECONDARY SUBSYSTEMS AND GENERATE A LOWER RESOLUTION NUMERICAL/GRAPHICAL FORECAST GUIDANCE. THE UNSUPPRESS AREA HAS BEEN BROKEN INTO SECTIONS...AND I HAVE BEEN ASSIGNED AN AREA ONCE KNOW AS THE STATE OF ALABAMA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FOR SOME REASON...FOUR SMALL SECTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA. WOULD RATHER BE THROWN INTO A PIT OF JEM'HADARS THAN TO USE THESE OLDER COMPUTERS. ANALYSIS SHOWS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING. AT THE SURFACE BROAD AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES. AFTER WAITING A LONG 5 NANOSECONDS FOR THE MODELS TO BE GENERATED... SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE MONDAY. THE MODELS DISAGREE SLIGHTLY ON POSITIONING OF COLD FRONT BY MONDAY EVENING. ETA SHOWING COLD FRONT ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER BY 0000 UTC...WHILE THE AVN HAS FRONT NEAR A BNA-HSV-JAN LINE. WILL PROBABLY USE A MIXED OF THE TWO. EXPECT CONVECTION TO OCCUR ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT AS IT MOVES INTO THE FORECAST SECTOR MONDAY LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING. ALSO...BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AHEAD OF THE APPROACH FRONTAL SYSTEM THROUGH MONDAY. BEING REASSIGN TO MONITOR APPROACHING CONVECTION USING AN OLD SENSING DEVICE CALLED THE WSR-88D? GO FIGURE. END LOG. NUMBERS MAY CHANGE. ONE_OF_I65 HSV BB 084/063 078/056 069 65013 BHM BB 084/066 080/058 071 65013 MGM BB 087/063 084/059 075 65012 MOB BB 084/068 083/063 075 65-23 CSG BB 087/064 084/060 076 6500-= .BHM... AL...NONE. FL...NONE. GA...NONE. anybody else know of FP3's like these? I really like them.... Jason Kelley Baron Services Huntsville, AL jason@baronservices.com ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 13 Oct 1997 05:24:43 -0500 From: John Lamb Subject: Re: Funny FP3 The last paragraph of this morning's summary for MN had an interesting criminal twist to it this morning...was rather cute. 892 ABUS30 KMSP 130929 SWSMN MINNESOTA WEATHER SUMMARY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHANHASSEN/TWIN CITIES MN 435 AM CDT THU OCT 9 1997 ...WIND ADVISORY FOR WESTERN THIRD OF MINNESOTA THROUGH THIS EVENING... ...FREEZE ADVISORY SOUTHERN HALF OF MINNESOTA TONIGHT... A STRONG COLD FRONT BROUGHT A 30 TO 40 DEGREE TEMPERATURE DROP TO MANY LOCATIONS ACROSS THE GOPHER STATE LAST NIGHT. BEFORE THE COLD FRONT MOVED THROUGH TEMPERATURES WERE IN THE 60S WITH LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS AND A STRONG SOUTHERLY WIND. ONCE THE COLD FRONT MOVED THROUGH TAMPERERS DROPPED QUICKLY INTO THE 30S WITH A MIXTURE OF LIGHT RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS AND STRONG NORTHWESTERLY WIND WERE EXPERIENCED. THAT'S RIGHT...SNOW. MANY LOCATIONS IN WEST CENTRAL SAW SOME LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES THIS MORNING. [...] AS A RESULT OF THESE UNUSUALLY COLD TEMPERATURES A FREEZE ADVISORY FOR THE SOUTHERN HALF OF MINNESOTA HAS BEEN ISSUED. SO ANY OUTDOOR PLANTS THAT YOU WOULD LIKE TO SAVE FROM THE FREEZING TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE BROUGHT INSIDE OR PROTECTED. A FREEZE ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE STATE WERE NOT ISSUED BECAUSE THEY HAVE ALREADY SEEN PLANT KILLING TAMPERERS. ^^^^^^^^^ TIPTON I thought people in Minnesota were kind and caring people, not murdering plant tamperers. :) it's 5.30am and I thought it was funny, especially on the heels of the Star Trek FP3. (I won't comment on where they were...) John ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 13 Oct 1997 10:12:33 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: FEMA's First Live Audio Broadcast via Internet Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 12:33:01 -0400 (EDT) From: Emergency Information Media Affairs Please Note: This release is being sent to both the FEMA news list and the Situation report list to ensure all interested users are aware of this important event.  Apologies to those subscribed to both lists that receive two copies. EL NINO COMMUNITY PREPAREDNESS SUMMIT WILL BE BROADCAST LIVE VIA THE INTERNET WASHINGTON October 10, 1997 - The Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) will conduct its first live audio broadcast via the Internet on October 14, 1997.  FEMA will provide Internet users with live coverage from noon to 3:00 p.m. EDT of the El Nino Community Preparedness Summit at the Santa Monica Civic Auditorium, Santa Monica, Calif. FEMA will transmit a signal from the Summit via satellite to Internet users around the world.  This important summit will focus on measures that individuals, communities, businesses and others can take to prepare for the potential effects of El Nino. Several hundred persons representing a wide range of concerned groups, government agencies, communities and businesses will participate in the Summit, which will consist of a moderator-led discussion among panelists and participants. Internet users can access this broadcast via the FEMA Web site at http://www.fema.gov/  The RealAudio player software needed to hear the Summit proceedings is available at no cost from the RealAudio Web site at http://www.realaudio.com/ Please Note:   Regular El Nino climate updates and predictions for the coming seasons are available via NOAA's Climate Prediction Center web site at http://nic.fb4.noaa.gov under the section entitled El Nino. Radio actualities with information from NOAA and FEMA about El Nino are available on the FEMA Radio Network (1-800-323-5248).   Additional information is available on the FEMA World Wide Web Internet site at http://www.fema.gov, and from FEMA's Fax-on-Demand system at (202) 646-FEMA. Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) Office of Emergency Information & Media Affairs --- Washington, D.C.
*====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 13 Oct 1997 11:16:40 -0500 From: Jeff from West Chicago Subject: More El Nino yucks check out this weeks issue of the Onion (www.theonion.com). There's a cool infographic on how the west will cope with harsher weather due to El Nino. Later - jeff ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 13 Oct 1997 11:26:35 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Hurricane Luis (1995) info needed I received the following e-mail. Apparently Daniel Stauffer needs to know what kind of warnings were actually available for Hurricane Luis back in 1995. I am attaching his original message to me. If anyone has information they would like to share with Daniel please e-mail him directly at: = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = Subject: Hurricane Luis 1997 Date: Fri, 10 Oct 1997 08:48:03 +-100 Attention Chris Novy  -  urgent Hi I send you this E-Mail because I believe that you can help me, or can pass my questions to someone who can help. I'm the manager of a tour operator in Switzerland and we are owner of a hotel complex and a  marina in Antigua. In September 1995 we have been surprised by LUIS. At that time I didn't have the informations I have today because I didn't have the internet connection. So Antigua informed us when hurricane warning was declared. BW flight left Zürich the 3rd of September at 14.35 local time (GMT +2) they arrived at 17.50 Antigua local time (AST?) Hurricane watch was declared at 9/3 0900 UTC. We didn't get any information about hurr watch. Hurricane warning was declared at 9/04 0000 UTC. We have received the official information when the passengers from BW flight arrived in Antigua. Antigua Airport was closed  in the evening of the 3rd  Sept. Can you provide information about probabilities. From when on was the probability high enough, so that the tour operator had to cancel the vacation? As you can see BWIA decided to fly in, and the plane left Antigua before Luis came in. Do you have any similar cases in the USA? We had 20 clients at the Club Antigua, so as other TO's from Switzerland. We decided to refund the part of the land-arrangement to these clients as a commercial gesture. One of our guests didn't accept and we are having a court case now. Their lawyer now found an institute in GB (Forecasting Systems Branch, Meteorological Office, Bracknell) who send the following statement, that they use as an evidence now: The following questions have been asked: 1.  How was the probability of a landfall 4 days before guests arrived in Antigua (9/1/95)? 2.  How was the probability of a landfall the 3rd of Sept. time of departure in Zurich? Julian Heming of the mentioned institute: "In answer to your question on specific forecast tracks, our forecasts for tropical storms are currently deterministic, so I cannot give probability figures for particular forecasts. However, our deterministic forecast from 000 GMT 1st Sept. valid at 00 GMT 5th Sept, just before the strike in Antigua, had a positional error of just 68km. Our 2 day forecast for 00 GMT 3rd Sept valid at the same time had a positional error of 60km. These figures are extremely low compared to average." We think Mr Hemming is related to the plaintiff. Can you please comment this report. How was the probability that Luis could have a trajectory like: IRIS, ARTHER, HORTENSE. As I know some of the hurricanes produces sudden changes of trajectory. Do you have other examples. I know I have a lot of questions that I cannot answer myself. I progressed enormous since LUIS, and now observe storms in the Caribbean basin with Hurrtrak but I need the help of a real EXPERT. Thanks in advance Daniel H. Stauffer Manager of UNIVERSAL AIR TOURS LTD FL 9490 Vaduz Phone + 41 75 232 03 20 Fax +41 75 233 29 19
*====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 13 Oct 1997 11:59:17 -0500 From: Scott Hall Subject: KGAN.com-- Now faster...please help us. I'd like to thank all the weather fans who have helped make KGAN.com one of the most popular weather spots on the Internet. I'm hoping you might be able to help me now as we work to improve our site. I am glad that so many of you like our 15-minute update radar images and other products. Many of you sent in e-mail messages expressing your support for our radar products. I used those messages to convince our bosses that the products are worth the cost. We've now become so popular that our server was overwhelmed during storms. We've been working hard to resolve that problem. We've now split some of the content onto another server, which should speed up response for our visitors. Here's my request: Could you let me know if you have any troubles reaching the site? Things seem to be working well for us, but the critical time is during a storm. If you have any slow or stalled downloads during storms (or other times), please send me an e-mail and let me know. You can reach me at shall@kgan.com. We'll continue to work to add new content to our site and keep it responding promptly. While we are focused on eastern Iowa, we appreciate all of you who make use of our national, Midwest, and Iowa focused radar images. Thanks again for your support. Please let me know if you see any problems on our site. Scott Scott Hall (shall@kgan.com) Meteorologist/New Media Director KGAN-TV Cedar Rapids, IA ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 13 Oct 1997 15:01:45 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: "Political Storm Hits Weather Agency" AP Article, available from any AP search engine or http://search.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/WAPO/19971013/V000365-101397-id x.html By Randolph E. Schmid Associated Press Writer Monday, October 13, 1997; 2:41 p.m. EDT WASHINGTON (AP) -- The National Weather Service is struggling through a storm that brings rising political pressures and tightening purse strings. The agency's director is already a casualty and long-term modernization efforts could be slowed. The long-term forecast for the agency may depend on an independent review by retired Brig. Gen. Jack Kelly. The former director of the Air Force Air Weather Service was asked to evaluate the civilian agency in June, when then-Director Elbert W. Friday was reassigned. His report is expected later this month. [...] ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 13 Oct 1997 15:19:42 -0600 From: DJACOBER Subject: Home Weather Station Question Hello out there! I was just killing some time earlier today and I walk into a Radio Shack Store to look around. Recently I have been interested in building a weather station at my new that I am building. So I thought I would look at any model RS may have. I found a WX-200 or WS-200 (I can't remember right now). It seems to do everything I want a station like that to do, including interfacing with my PC. Do any of you have any pros, cons, or other suggestions regarding this particular model? It is about half the coast of some other Davis models out there. I do realize that a cheaper deal isn't always a better deal. Please let me know what you all think as this is an investment that I will have to live with and be happy with for a long time. Thanks In advance! "David Jacober-Pueblo, Colorado U.S.A. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 13 Oct 1997 21:45:53 GMT From: matt crowther Subject: Re: Funny FP3 In article <3441B6EE.E2C39593@baronservices.com>, Jason Kelley wrote: > Hello all... > > Just a little note to those of you who enjoy the lighter side of > meteorology....this guy at WSFO BHM has been doing FP3's with a little > injected humor for a good while...his forecaster code is (evidently) 65, > and he calls himself "I-sixtyfive" (a local interstate highway that runs > through BHM)...I check out the fp3 regularly from BHM, just to get a > little humor in my otherwise boring existance...here is a good one from > last night... > > > FPUS3 KBHM 120819 > SFDBHM > STATE FORECAST DISCUSSION > NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM, AL > 317 AM CDT SUN OCT 12 1997 > > LIEUTENANT COMMANDER'S LOG - STARDATE 10121997: > > FOUNDER'S ATTACK OF THE WEATHER SUPPRESS UNIT HAS LEFT MUCH OF THE > NORTHERN HEMISPHERE AT RISK OF THE UNCONTROLLED FORCES OF NATURE. AS > A RESULT...WILL HAVE TO USE AN OLDER SET OF SECONDARY SUBSYSTEMS AND > GENERATE A LOWER RESOLUTION NUMERICAL/GRAPHICAL FORECAST GUIDANCE. > THE UNSUPPRESS AREA HAS BEEN BROKEN INTO SECTIONS...AND I HAVE BEEN > ASSIGNED AN AREA ONCE KNOW AS THE STATE OF ALABAMA...THE FLORIDA > PANHANDLE AND FOR SOME REASON...FOUR SMALL SECTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL > GEORGIA. WOULD RATHER BE THROWN INTO A PIT OF JEM'HADARS THAN TO USE > THESE OLDER COMPUTERS. > > ANALYSIS SHOWS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES ACROSS THE AREA THIS > MORNING. AT THE SURFACE BROAD AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES. AFTER > WAITING A LONG 5 NANOSECONDS FOR THE MODELS TO BE GENERATED... > SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE > MONDAY. THE MODELS DISAGREE SLIGHTLY ON POSITIONING OF COLD FRONT BY > MONDAY EVENING. ETA SHOWING COLD FRONT ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER BY > 0000 UTC...WHILE THE AVN HAS FRONT NEAR A BNA-HSV-JAN LINE. WILL > PROBABLY USE A MIXED OF THE TWO. EXPECT CONVECTION TO OCCUR ALONG AND > AHEAD OF THE FRONT AS IT MOVES INTO THE FORECAST SECTOR MONDAY LATE > AFTERNOON/EVENING. ALSO...BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AHEAD OF THE > APPROACH FRONTAL SYSTEM THROUGH MONDAY. > > BEING REASSIGN TO MONITOR APPROACHING CONVECTION USING AN OLD SENSING > DEVICE CALLED THE WSR-88D? GO FIGURE. END LOG. > > NUMBERS MAY CHANGE. ONE_OF_I65 > HSV BB 084/063 078/056 069 65013 > BHM BB 084/066 080/058 071 65013 > MGM BB 087/063 084/059 075 65012 > MOB BB 084/068 083/063 075 65-23 > CSG BB 087/064 084/060 076 6500-= > > .BHM... > AL...NONE. > FL...NONE. > GA...NONE. > > anybody else know of FP3's like these? I really like them.... > The BHM office occasionally will put out a tongue-in-cheek fp3, I do not know if it is the same guy, but they are very entertaining. My favorite fp3 of all time.... remember the TV movie, "The Day After", about a nuclear war, the plot was centered around Kansas and the missle silos there. The Fp3 that night out of KTOP.... KS....Gone Matt -- Matt Crowther TWC meteorologist, Amusement park enthusiast Storm Chaser Crowthe@ix.netcom.com Atlanta, GA ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 12 Oct 1997 to 13 Oct 1997 ************************************************** From - Tue Oct 14 15:11:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627232-9316>; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 14:30:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA36386; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 01:23:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6631022 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 01:21:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA18174 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 01:21:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id BAA13717 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 01:21:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710140621.BAA13717@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Oct 1997 01:21:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 28w Warning Nr 004 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ff6859deb54a0ea6e8050b71a591ba83 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 119 WTPN32 PGTW 140300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28W WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- 12.0N3 165.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT PAGE 03 RUHGSGG1842 UNCLAS REPEAT POSIT: 12.0N3 165.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 12.5N8 164.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 13.0N4 162.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 13.8N2 160.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG1842 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 14.7N2 157.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 16.5N2 151.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE PAGE 05 RUHGSGG1842 UNCLAS 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION 12.1N4 165.4E6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28W (TD 28W) IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. TD 28W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SPEED UP AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE STRENGTHENS, THEN SLOW DOWN TOWARD 72 HOURS AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WEAKENS IN RESPONSE TO THE APPROACH OF A MID-LATITUDE SYSTEM. INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 (DTG 140753Z0), 141500Z1 (DTG 141353Z7), 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3) AND 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// PAGE 06 RUHGSGG1842 UNCLAS AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG13302870153 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 14 15:50:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627298-9316>; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 15:50:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA28238; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 02:39:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6631320 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 02:37:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA49134 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 02:37:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id CAA13902 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 02:37:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710140737.CAA13902@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Oct 1997 02:37:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 768 WTPN31 PGTW 140900 1. TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- 12.1N4 147.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF ?RADAR AND SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.1N4 147.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 13.1N5 144.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 13.8N2 141.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 14.3N8 139.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 14.7N2 137.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 15.3N9 133.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION 12.4N7 146.2E3 TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN THIS GENERAL COURSE THROUGH 72 HOURS AND GRADUALLY DECELERATE AS STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WEAKENS. TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5), 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1), 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3) AND 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG19682870751 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 14 17:17:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627288-24873>; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 17:17:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA29434; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 04:05:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6631737 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 04:03:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA16996 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 04:03:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA14275 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 04:03:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710140903.EAA14275@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Oct 1997 04:03:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Joan (28w) Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 942 WTPN32 PGTW 140900 1. TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 005 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- 12.3N6 164.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG1996 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.3N6 164.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 12.7N0 163.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 13.3N7 161.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHGSGG1996 UNCLAS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 14.2N7 158.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 15.1N7 155.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 05 RUHGSGG1996 UNCLAS 170600Z4 --- 16.9N6 150.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION 12.4N7 164.5E6 TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING. TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND INTENSIFYING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 (DTG 141353Z7), 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3), 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5) AND 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #1996 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 14 17:35:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626692-24873>; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 17:34:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA34024; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 04:14:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6631776 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 04:13:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA14728 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 04:13:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA14311 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 04:13:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710140913.EAA14311@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Oct 1997 04:13:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Joan (28w) Warning Nr 005 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 158 WTPN32 PGTW 140900 1. TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 005 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- 12.3N6 164.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.3N6 164.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 12.7N0 163.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 13.3N7 161.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 14.2N7 158.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 15.1N7 155.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 16.9N6 150.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION 12.4N7 164.5E6 TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING. TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND INTENSIFYING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 (DTG 141353Z7), 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3), 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5) AND 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG19962870753 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 14 18:10:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627339-24874>; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 18:10:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA25370; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 04:58:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6632487 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 04:58:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA46590 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 04:58:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id EAA14424 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 04:58:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710140958.EAA14424@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Oct 1997 04:58:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 852 ABPZ20 KNHC 140957 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE OCT 14 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 14 18:08:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627076-24874>; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 18:08:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA28370; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 05:05:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6632518 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 05:05:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA28608 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 05:05:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id FAA14465 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 05:05:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710141005.FAA14465@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Oct 1997 05:05:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 950 ABPA20 PHNL 141000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210AM HST TUESDAY OCTOBER 14 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH WEDNESDAY. TWO WEAK DISTURBANCES NEAR 10N160W ARE WEAKENING. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 14 20:48:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627263-24873>; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 20:48:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id HAA48146; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 07:40:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6633743 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 07:39:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id HAA43926 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 07:39:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id HAA14843 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 07:39:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710141239.HAA14843@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Oct 1997 07:39:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 253 WTPN31 PGTW 141500 1. TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- 12.4N7 145.5E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND DOPPLER RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.4N7 145.5E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 13.2N6 142.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 13.9N3 140.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 14.4N9 137.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 14.7N2 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 15.1N7 131.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION 12.6N9 144.8E7 TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) HAS TRACKED STEADILY WESTWARD DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS AND SLOWLY INTENSIFIED. A SMALL TRANSIENT EYE FEATURE HAS BEEN APPARENT IN RADAR IMAGERY FOR MORE THAN 9 HOURS. HOWEVER, DOPPLER WIND ESTIMATES SUGGEST THAT PEAK WINDS NEAR THE 5 NM DIAMETER EYE ARE ONLY AROUND 50 KNOTS. IVAN IS A VERY COMPACT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITH A SMALL WIND FIELD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1), 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3), 50900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9) AND 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 14 21:26:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627107-24873>; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 21:25:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA23120; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 08:19:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6633985 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 08:17:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA28664 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 08:17:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id IAA14958 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 08:17:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710141317.IAA14958@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Oct 1997 08:17:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Joan (28w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 392 WTPN32 PGTW 141500 1. TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- 12.8N1 163.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.8N1 163.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 13.1N5 161.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 13.5N9 158.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 13.9N3 156.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 14.3N8 154.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 15.0N6 150.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION 12.9N2 162.7E6 TROPICAL STORM JOAN IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. WIND RADII ADJUSTED SMALLER USING ANALYSIS OF INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL STORM JOAN SHOULD CONTINUE A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD AS IT REMAINS SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3), 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5), 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1) AND 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8).REFER TO TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 14 22:03:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627336-24873>; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 22:02:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA48762; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 08:49:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6634341 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 08:47:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA09334 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 08:47:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id IAA15111 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 08:47:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710141347.IAA15111@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Oct 1997 08:47:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 105 WTPN31 PGTW 141500 1. TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- 12.4N7 145.5E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND DOPPLER RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.4N7 145.5E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 13.2N6 142.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 13.9N3 140.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 14.4N9 137.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 14.7N2 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 15.1N7 131.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION 12.6N9 144.8E7 TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) HAS TRACKED STEADILY WESTWARD DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS AND SLOWLY INTENSIFIED. A SMALL TRANSIENT EYE FEATURE HAS BEEN APPARENT IN RADAR IMAGERY FOR MORE THAN 9 HOURS. HOWEVER, DOPPLER WIND ESTIMATES SUGGEST THAT PEAK WINDS NEAR THE 5 NM DIAMETER EYE ARE ONLY AROUND 50 KNOTS. IVAN IS A VERY COMPACT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITH A SMALL WIND FIELD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1), 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3), 50900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9) AND 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG21212871351 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 14 21:58:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627476-24873>; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 21:58:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA09322; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 08:50:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6634356 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 08:49:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA17604 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 08:48:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id IAA15121 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 08:48:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710141348.IAA15121@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Oct 1997 08:48:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Joan (28w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 106 WTPN32 PGTW 141500 1. TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- 12.8N1 163.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.8N1 163.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 13.1N5 161.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 13.5N9 158.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 13.9N3 156.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 14.3N8 154.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 15.0N6 150.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION 12.9N2 162.7E6 TROPICAL STORM JOAN IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. WIND RADII ADJUSTED SMALLER USING ANALYSIS OF INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL STORM JOAN SHOULD CONTINUE A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD AS IT REMAINS SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3), 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5), 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1) AND 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8).REFER TO TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG21222871353 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 14 22:05:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627777-24873>; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 22:05:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA24348; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 08:55:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6634471 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 08:54:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA48258 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 08:51:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id IAA15135 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 08:51:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710141351.IAA15135@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Oct 1997 08:51:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 124 WTPN31 PGTW 141500 1. TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- 12.4N7 145.5E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF PAGE 03 RUHGSGG2121 UNCLAS SATELLITE AND DOPPLER RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.4N7 145.5E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 13.2N6 142.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 13.9N3 140.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG2121 UNCLAS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 14.4N9 137.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 14.7N2 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE PAGE 05 RUHGSGG2121 UNCLAS 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 15.1N7 131.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION 12.6N9 144.8E7 TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) HAS TRACKED STEADILY WESTWARD DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS AND SLOWLY INTENSIFIED. A SMALL TRANSIENT EYE FEATURE HAS BEEN APPARENT IN RADAR IMAGERY FOR MORE THAN 9 HOURS. HOWEVER, DOPPLER WIND ESTIMATES PAGE 06 RUHGSGG2121 UNCLAS SUGGEST THAT PEAK WINDS NEAR THE 5 NM DIAMETER EYE ARE ONLY AROUND 50 KNOTS. IVAN IS A VERY COMPACT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITH A SMALL WIND FIELD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1), 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3), 50900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9) AND 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #2121 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 14 22:05:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627748-24874>; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 22:05:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA31496; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 08:57:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6634483 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 08:55:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA44396 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 08:54:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id IAA15148 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 08:54:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710141354.IAA15148@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Oct 1997 08:54:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Joan (28w) Warning Nr 006 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 219 WTPN32 PGTW 141500 1. TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- 12.8N1 163.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG2122 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.8N1 163.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 13.1N5 161.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 13.5N9 158.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- PAGE 04 RUHGSGG2122 UNCLAS 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 13.9N3 156.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 14.3N8 154.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 05 RUHGSGG2122 UNCLAS 171200Z1 --- 15.0N6 150.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION 12.9N2 162.7E6 TROPICAL STORM JOAN IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. WIND RADII ADJUSTED SMALLER USING ANALYSIS OF INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL STORM JOAN SHOULD CONTINUE A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD AS IT REMAINS SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3), 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5), 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1) AND 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8).REFER TO TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// PAGE 06 RUHGSGG2122 UNCLAS BT #2122 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 15 00:46:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627782-24875>; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 00:46:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA36554; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 11:39:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6637037 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 11:39:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA36530 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 11:39:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id LAA15911 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 11:39:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710141639.LAA15911@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Oct 1997 11:39:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 341 ABPZ20 KNHC 141638 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE OCT 14 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED JUST OFFSHORE FROM SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...BETWEEN MANZANILLO AND ZIHUATANEJO...APPEARS TO BE RELATED TO THE REMNANTS OF OLAF. WHILE SHIP REPORTS DO NOT SHOW A WELL- ORGANIZED SURFACE CIRCULATION...SATELLITE PICTURES AND RADAR DATA FROM MEXICO HAVE SHOWN A GRADUAL INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ...AND THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE...FOR THE FOURTH TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 15 01:56:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626933-24874>; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 01:56:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA34872; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 12:55:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6637830 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 12:54:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA09660 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 12:54:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA16288 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 12:54:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710141754.MAA16288@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Oct 1997 12:54:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 584 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 15 01:57:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627800-24875>; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 01:57:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA35034; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 12:54:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6637825 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 12:54:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA39098 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 12:54:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id MAA16289 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 12:54:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710141754.MAA16289@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Oct 1997 12:54:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 584 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 15 04:00:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627299-24874>; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 04:00:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA21378; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 14:47:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6638834 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 14:47:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA25454 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 14:47:01 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id OAA16789 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 14:46:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710141946.OAA16789@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Oct 1997 14:46:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 885 WTPN31 PGTW 142100 1. TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- 12.7N0 143.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND DOPPLER RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 005 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.8N1 143.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 13.4N8 141.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 14.0N5 138.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 14.4N9 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 14.6N1 133.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 14.9N4 130.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION 12.9N2 143.1E9 TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) IS LOCATED 80 NM SOUTHWEST OF GUAM. IVAN HAS TRACKED STEADILY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND SLOWLY INTENSIFIED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. OVERALL SYSTEM ORGANIZATION CONTINUES TO IMPROVE WHILE A SMALL, 5 NM DIAMETER TRANSIENT EYE FEATURE REMAINS APPARENT IN RADAR IMAGERY. DOPPLER VELOCITIES OF 65-70 KNOTS AT 5,000 FEET AND A 141730Z6 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T3.5 (55 TO 60 KNOTS) ARE THE BASIS FOR OUR WARNING INTENSITY. IVAN IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS AND GRADUALLY DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE AXIS EAST OF THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS. OUR FORECAST TRACK IS SUPPORTED BY ALL OF OUR DYNAMIC AIDS AND THE GENERAL TREND OF THE NUMERICAL MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z4 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3), 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9), 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6) AND 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 15 04:49:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627814-24872>; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 04:49:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA26944; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 15:35:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6639290 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 15:35:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA34836 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 15:35:03 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA16952 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 15:35:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710142035.PAA16952@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Oct 1997 15:35:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 623 WTPN31 PGTW 142100 1. TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- 12.7N0 143.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND DOPPLER RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 005 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.8N1 143.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 13.4N8 141.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 14.0N5 138.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 14.4N9 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 14.6N1 133.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 14.9N4 130.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION 12.9N2 143.1E9 TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) IS LOCATED 80 NM SOUTHWEST OF GUAM. IVAN HAS TRACKED STEADILY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND SLOWLY INTENSIFIED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. OVERALL SYSTEM ORGANIZATION CONTINUES TO IMPROVE WHILE A SMALL, 5 NM DIAMETER TRANSIENT EYE FEATURE REMAINS APPARENT IN RADAR IMAGERY. DOPPLER VELOCITIES OF 65-70 KNOTS AT 5,000 FEET AND A 141730Z6 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T3.5 (55 TO 60 KNOTS) ARE THE BASIS FOR OUR WARNING INTENSITY. IVAN IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS AND GRADUALLY DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE AXIS EAST OF THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS. OUR FORECAST TRACK IS SUPPORTED BY ALL OF OUR DYNAMIC AIDS AND THE GENERAL TREND OF THE NUMERICAL MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z4 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3), 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9), 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6) AND 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG22452871951 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 15 04:44:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627800-24873>; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 04:44:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA10686; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 15:36:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6639302 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 15:36:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA25516 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 15:36:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA16967 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 15:36:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710142036.PAA16967@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Oct 1997 15:36:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Joan (28w) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 645 WTPN32 PGTW 142100 1. TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- 13.2N6 162.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N6 162.3E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 13.3N7 160.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 13.6N0 157.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 13.9N3 155.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 14.3N8 153.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 15.2N8 149.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION 13.2N6 161.7E5 TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE WARNING INTENSITY AND POSITION ARE BASED UPON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 141730Z6. TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z4 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5), 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1), 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8) AND 152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 15 05:51:32 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627915-24873>; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 05:51:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA14512; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 16:48:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6639897 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 16:48:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA49044 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 16:48:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA17615 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 16:48:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710142148.QAA17615@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Oct 1997 16:48:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 857 ABPA20 PHNL 142200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST TUESDAY OCTOBER 14 1997 YESTERDAY THERE WAS A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS WITH A DOUBLE CENTER. LAST NIGHT THE NORTHEAST CENTER DISSIPATED AND THE SOUTHWESTERN CENTER BECAME BETTER ORGANIZED ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI NEAR 09N 166W. THIS DISTURBANCE HAS SOME POTENTIAL TO STRENGTHEN AND BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 15 06:01:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627873-24874>; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 06:01:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA32784; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 16:52:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6639920 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 16:52:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA22764 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 16:52:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id QAA17633 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 16:52:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710142152.QAA17633@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Oct 1997 16:52:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Joan (28w) Warning Nr 007 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 876 WTPN32 PGTW 142100 1. TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- 13.2N6 162.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N6 162.3E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 13.3N7 160.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 13.6N0 157.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 13.9N3 155.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 14.3N8 153.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 15.2N8 149.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION 13.2N6 161.7E5 TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE WARNING INTENSITY AND POSITION ARE BASED UPON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 141730Z6. TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z4 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5), 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1), 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8) AND 152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG22472871953 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 15 06:34:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625883-2042>; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 06:34:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA47250; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 17:27:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6640177 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 17:27:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA09850 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 17:27:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA17777 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 17:27:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710142227.RAA17777@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Oct 1997 17:27:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 587 ABPZ20 KNHC 142225 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE OCT 14 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 275 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...APPARENTLY THE REMNANTS OF OLAF...IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW A DECREASE IN THE ASSOCIATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO REGENERATE AGAIN INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 15 11:42:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625931-18315>; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 11:42:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA47228; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 22:38:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6643763 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 22:38:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA48988 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 22:38:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA18884 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 22:38:09 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710150338.WAA18884@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Oct 1997 22:38:09 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 395 ABPZ20 KNHC 150337 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE OCT 14 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...APPARENTLY THE REMNANTS OF OLAF...IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO REGENERATE AGAIN INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 15 12:13:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626723-18318>; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 12:13:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA48176; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 23:04:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6643942 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 23:04:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA09936 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 22:58:25 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA18968 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 22:58:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710150358.WAA18968@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Oct 1997 22:58:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 630 WTPN31 PGTW 150300 1. TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- 12.9N2 142.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.9N2 142.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 13.2N6 140.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 13.4N8 137.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 13.6N0 135.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 13.7N1 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 13.8N2 129.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION 13.0N4 142.0E7 TROPICAL STORM IVAN IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AND INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z6 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9), 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6), 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2) AND 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4). REFER TO TROPICALSTORM JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG23762880151 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 15 12:12:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626895-18316>; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 12:12:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA22722; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 23:05:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6643966 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 23:05:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA36982 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 23:00:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA18988 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 23:00:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710150400.XAA18988@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Oct 1997 23:00:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Joan (28w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 688 WTPN32 PGTW 150300 1. TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- 13.3N7 161.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.3N7 161.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 13.5N9 160.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 13.8N2 158.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 14.3N8 156.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 14.9N4 154.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 16.0N7 149.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION 13.3N7 161.4E2 TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE AND TRACK WEST- NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z6 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1), 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8), 152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4) AND 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG23832880153 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 15 12:12:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627373-18317>; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 12:12:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA17614; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 23:04:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6643911 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 23:04:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA31660 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 23:04:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA19014 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 23:04:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710150404.XAA19014@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Oct 1997 23:04:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Joan (28w) Warning Nr 008 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 740 WTPN32 PGTW 150300 1. TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- 13.3N7 161.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: PAGE 03 RUHGSGG2383 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.3N7 161.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 13.5N9 160.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 13.8N2 158.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE PAGE 04 RUHGSGG2383 UNCLAS 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 14.3N8 156.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 14.9N4 154.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE PAGE 05 RUHGSGG2383 UNCLAS VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 16.0N7 149.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION 13.3N7 161.4E2 TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE AND TRACK WEST- NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z6 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1), 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8), 152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4) AND 160300Z0 PAGE 06 RUHGSGG2383 UNCLAS (DTG 160153Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #2383 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 15 12:30:44 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627407-18316>; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 12:30:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA43798; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 23:21:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6644228 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 23:20:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA25600 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 23:20:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA19079 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 1997 23:20:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710150420.XAA19079@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 14 Oct 1997 23:20:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Kzoa Sigmet Oscar 08 Valid 15/0330z To 15/0930z Pgum- To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 150 WTPN31 PGTW 150330 KZOA SIGMET OSCAR 08 VALID 15/0330Z TO 15/0930Z PGUM- OAKLAND OCEANIC FIR. TROP STORM IVAN LOCATED AT 12.9N 142.6E AT 15/0000Z. MAX SUSTAINED WNDS 55 KT GUST 70 KT. FCST POSIT AT 15/1200Z 13.2N 140.2E. ACT TS OBS BY SATELLITE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 15.3N 140.0E TO 16.4N 144.0E TO 14.7N 146.0E TO 12.1N 141.4E TO 14.3N 140.0E AND BACK TO 15.3N 140.0E. MAX TOPS FL480. MOV WNW 11 KT. NC.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 15 13:31:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627770-18315>; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 13:31:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA10600; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 00:12:38 -0500 Message-Id: <199710150512.AAA10600@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 00:06:26 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 13 Oct 1997 to 14 Oct 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O There are 8 messages totalling 229 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Wichita Radar Online 2. Water capacity 3. Setting the record straight about water capacity 4. Are WSO's still around? (2) 5. Scientist Gore... 6. ASOS Commissioning Notice 7. Any ASOS Electronics Techs? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Tue, 14 Oct 1997 15:22:00 UT From: eric elwell Subject: Wichita Radar Online Just thought I would pass along that during times of stormy weather in South Central Kansas, we now put our station's live radar on the Internet. We have it updated every 3 to 7 minutes. When there are no storms in the area, we send over our SkyCam image instead. We hope to have both the radar and skycam on the Internet (at the same time) soon. However, only one at a time for now. To access the radar (skycam) image, go to www.kake.com and click on the "skytracker" link. Any questions, just email me. Eric - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Eric W. Elwell - - Meteorologist -=ams=- - - - - KAKE-TV Channel 10 (ABC Kansas) - - Wichita, Kansas - - Email: stormguy@msn.com - - Email Pager: wic8311733@lcspage.com - - Work Phone (Voice Mail) 316-946-1378 - - Amateur Radio # KD4BNT - ----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 14 Oct 1997 08:25:59 -0700 From: Mike Martin Subject: Water capacity Water capacity, as I understand it, is the amount of water that air can hold at a given temperature. And I have seen all the charts that show that as the temp increases, the water capacity also increases, and this is shown with a parabolic curve. My question is this: Is there a formula for actually quantifying this relationship? If I have the temp and the dew point, I can calculate the relative humidity if I have the water capacities. If you can get me that formula, I will be eternally grateful. And my students will, too. They will be doing the calculating. Lucky them. :) Again, I've seen the charts, I don't want those. Thanks..... -- ******************************************************** Michael Martin Porterville High School Science Department 465 W. Olive Ave. Porterville, CA 93257 phone - 209.783.2311 fax - 209.782.7215 email - mmartin@porterville.k12.ca.us Web site - http://porterville.k12.ca.us/phs/phssci.html ******************************************************** Earthquakes don't kill people, buildings do. "A lion eating an animal is nothing compared to a lava flow eating a big building" - Maurice Krafft "A thing of beauty is not a thing to ignore" - Hothouse Flowers When you were born, you cried and the world rejoiced. Live your life in such a way that when you die, the world will cry and you will rejoice. ******************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 14 Oct 1997 10:43:48 -0700 From: Mike Martin Subject: Setting the record straight about water capacity Before anyone else gets to me, let me set the record straight. I know that relative humidity is defined as the ratio of vapor pressure and the saturation vapor pressure. I know that there is no such thing as "water capacity". I use the term because it is understandable. But if I use the "official" formula with high school sophomores and juniors who are non-college prep, they won't get it. You have to make it simple for them to learn it. If I was teaching an honors class with kids that are going to Stanford next year, then yes, I'll call it vapor pressure and saturation vapor pressure. But the kids I have now won't get it. So let me rephrase the question I originally posted. Does anyone kow of a formula to find the vapor pressure at a given temp and standard atmospheric pressure? There, did I word it correctly? Excuse my sarcasm, but I'm a little flustered by all the mess I've caused. I don't believe in nor condone teaching bad science, but I believe in making it understandable. Especially to the non-college prep. Thanks for letting me get this off my chest. -- ******************************************************** Michael Martin Porterville High School Science Department 465 W. Olive Ave. Porterville, CA 93257 phone - 209.783.2311 fax - 209.782.7215 email - mmartin@porterville.k12.ca.us Web site - http://porterville.k12.ca.us/phs/phssci.html ******************************************************** Earthquakes don't kill people, buildings do. "A lion eating an animal is nothing compared to a lava flow eating a big building" - Maurice Krafft "A thing of beauty is not a thing to ignore" - Hothouse Flowers When you were born, you cried and the world rejoiced. Live your life in such a way that when you die, the world will cry and you will rejoice. ******************************************************** ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 14 Oct 1997 16:52:44 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Are WSO's still around? I was under the impression that most WSO's have been closed (I know they are around here) but the Washington Post article had this to close: The 10-year, $4.5 billion modernization is winding down, though its toughest political hurdle remains -- the closing of more than 160 weather offices as it centralizes around the modern equipment. Typical bad journalism? Rob --- Robert P Dale N8GSK rdale@norden1.com Skywatch Weather Services http://www.skywatch.org ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 14 Oct 1997 16:54:45 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Scientist Gore... http://search.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/WAPO/19971014/V000008-101497-id x.html Gore Links El Nino, Global Warming By Ron Fournier AP Political Writer Tuesday, October 14, 1997; 2:14 p.m. EDT LOS ANGELES (AP) -- Vice President Al Gore suggested today that global warming may be making the El Nino weather phenomenon more severe and frequent. In a speech to a conference of state and federal officials preparing for the prospect of severe weather next year, Gore said scientists have not determined whether El Nino -- a vast pool of water in the Pacific -- is linked to global warming. ``But if the pattern that's held since the late '70s continues to hold true, then we will look back (at today's conference) as a real turning point when we begin to prepare for events like this that become more commonplace,'' Gore said. ``I hope they don't become more commonplace, but that's what the pattern appears to indicate,'' he said. The remarks are part of the administration's effort to raise alarm bells among Americans about global warming caused by the buildup of greenhouse gas emissions. [...] ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 14 Oct 1997 16:45:01 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site became an commissioned ASOS site at 1800 UTC on 14 October 1997. MERRILL FIELD (PAMR) ANCHORAGE... AK Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 14 Oct 1997 19:53:24 -0500 From: USA CONNECT Subject: Any ASOS Electronics Techs? Would like to strike up chat with any present or former NWS ASOS Electronic Technicians. Please reply by e-mail. Thanks, Jim ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 14 Oct 1997 22:32:45 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: Are WSO's still around? On Tue, 14 Oct 1997, Robert P Dale wrote: > I was under the impression that most WSO's have been closed (I know they > are around here) but the Washington Post article had this to close: > > The 10-year, $4.5 billion modernization is winding down, though its > toughest political hurdle remains -- the closing of more than 160 weather > offices as it centralizes around the modern equipment. > > Typical bad journalism? I think so. I know Fort Wayne, IN is still open until North Webster spins up; I believe South Bend, IN is now closed; I think that's it... Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 13 Oct 1997 to 14 Oct 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 15 13:18:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627376-18317>; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 13:18:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA40070; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 00:16:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6644884 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 00:16:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA22708 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 00:13:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA19332 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 00:13:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710150513.AAA19332@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 00:13:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 903 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 150151Z OCT 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 150153Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WAS LOCATED AT 12.9N2 142.6E3, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 08 (WTPN31 PGTW 150300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 13.3N7 161.8E6, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM (28W) WARNING NR 08 (WTPN32 PGTW 150300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/EIBLING/BACON// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG24292880551 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 15 13:26:41 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627402-18316>; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 13:26:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA14250; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 00:17:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6644891 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 00:16:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA13746 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 00:13:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA19331 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 00:13:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710150513.AAA19331@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 00:13:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 903 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 150151Z OCT 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 150153Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WAS LOCATED AT 12.9N2 142.6E3, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 08 (WTPN31 PGTW 150300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 13.3N7 161.8E6, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM (28W) WARNING NR 08 (WTPN32 PGTW 150300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/EIBLING/BACON// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG24292880551 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 15 15:45:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627383-18315>; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 15:45:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA09444; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 02:31:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6645937 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 02:30:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA48586 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 02:30:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA19699 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 02:30:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710150730.CAA19699@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 02:30:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 772 WTPN31 PGTW 150900 1. TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 009 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 27W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 13.2N6 141.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N6 141.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 13.8N2 138.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 14.2N7 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 14.7N2 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 15.0N6 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 15.5N1 128.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION 13.4N8 140.6E1 TYPHOON IVAN (27W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z2 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6), 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2), 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4) AND 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 15 16:19:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627330-18316>; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 16:19:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA09234; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 03:14:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6646062 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 03:14:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA52736 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 03:14:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA19954 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 03:14:05 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710150814.DAA19954@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 03:14:05 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Joan (28w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 320 WTPN32 PGTW 150900 1. TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 13.5N9 160.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N9 160.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 13.8N2 158.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 14.3N8 156.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 14.8N3 154.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 15.4N0 151.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 16.7N4 146.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION 13.6N0 160.1E8 TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WESTWARD TO WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AND INTENSIFY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z2 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8), 152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4), 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z6) AND 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2). REFER TO TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 15 16:33:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626769-18318>; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 16:33:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA23174; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 03:27:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6646101 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 03:27:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA40550 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 03:27:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA19994 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 03:27:00 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710150827.DAA19994@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 03:27:00 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 538 WTPN31 PGTW 150900 1. TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 009 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 27W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 13.2N6 141.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N6 141.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 13.8N2 138.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 14.2N7 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 14.7N2 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 15.0N6 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 15.5N1 128.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION 13.4N8 140.6E1 TYPHOON IVAN (27W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z2 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6), 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2), 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4) AND 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG25042880651 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 15 16:52:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627883-18318>; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 16:52:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA25816; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 03:45:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6646132 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 03:45:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA32708 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 03:45:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA20053 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 03:45:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710150845.DAA20053@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 03:45:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Joan (28w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 781 WTPN32 PGTW 150900 1. TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 13.5N9 160.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N9 160.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 13.8N2 158.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 14.3N8 156.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 14.8N3 154.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 15.4N0 151.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 16.7N4 146.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION 13.6N0 160.1E8 TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WESTWARD TO WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AND INTENSIFY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z2 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8), 152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4), 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z6) AND 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2). REFER TO TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG25292880753 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 15 18:09:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626347-18316>; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 18:09:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA16496; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 05:07:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6646545 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 05:05:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA09272 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 05:05:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA20264 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 05:05:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710151005.FAA20264@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 05:05:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 035 ABPZ20 KNHC 151005 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED OCT 15 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...APPARENTLY THE REMNANTS OF OLAF...IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO REGENERATE AGAIN INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 15 22:19:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625877-18318>; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 22:18:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA50536; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 09:09:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6648041 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 09:09:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA22348 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 09:09:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA20973 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 09:09:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710151409.JAA20973@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 09:09:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Joan (28w) Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 669 WTPN32 PGTW 151500 1. TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- 13.4N8 159.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.4N8 159.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 13.4N8 157.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 13.6N0 154.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 13.7N1 152.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 14.1N6 150.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 15.8N4 145.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 151500Z2 POSITION 13.4N8 158.8E2 TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) HAS TRACKED DUE WEST DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS WHILE RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING. A WELL-DEFINED EYE HAS BECOME APPARENT IN SSM/I 85GHZ SATELLITE IMAGERY, BUT NOT IN INFRARED IMAGERY. JOAN IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD OR A LITTLE SOUTH OF DUE WEST FOR THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS AND THEN GRADUALLY TURN MORE TO THE WEST- NORTHWEST AND TRACK CLOSE TO SAIPAN IN 72 HOURS. THIS TRACK IS FARTHER SOUTH THAN OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST, BUT IS SUPPORTED BY OUR VARIOUS DYNAMIC MODELS AND RECENT TREND IN SATELLITE FIX POSITIONS. JOAN WILL LIKELY REACH TYPHOON INTENSITY BY THE NEXT WARNING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z9 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4), 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z6), 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2) AND 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9). REFER TO TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 15 22:35:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626466-18318>; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 22:35:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA48866; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 09:29:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6648298 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 09:28:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA20380 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 09:28:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA21037 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 09:28:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710151428.JAA21037@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 09:28:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 138 WTPN31 PGTW 151500 1. TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- 13.8N3 140.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.9N3 140.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 14.2N7 137.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 14.6N1 135.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 15.0N6 133.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 15.4N0 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 16.5N2 128.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 151500Z2 POSITION 14.0N5 139.5E8 TYPHOON IVAN IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z9 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2), 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4), 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0) AND 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 15 22:47:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626296-18318>; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 22:47:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA50502; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 09:41:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6648378 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 09:41:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA16944 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 09:40:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA21080 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 09:40:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710151440.JAA21080@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 09:40:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Joan (28w) Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 337 WTPN32 PGTW 151500 1. TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- 13.4N8 159.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.4N8 159.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 13.4N8 157.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 13.6N0 154.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 13.7N1 152.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 14.1N6 150.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 15.8N4 145.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 151500Z2 POSITION 13.4N8 158.8E2 TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) HAS TRACKED DUE WEST DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS WHILE RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING. A WELL-DEFINED EYE HAS BECOME APPARENT IN SSM/I 85GHZ SATELLITE IMAGERY, BUT NOT IN INFRARED IMAGERY. JOAN IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD OR A LITTLE SOUTH OF DUE WEST FOR THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS AND THEN GRADUALLY TURN MORE TO THE WEST- NORTHWEST AND TRACK CLOSE TO SAIPAN IN 72 HOURS. THIS TRACK IS FARTHER SOUTH THAN OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST, BUT IS SUPPORTED BY OUR VARIOUS DYNAMIC MODELS AND RECENT TREND IN SATELLITE FIX POSITIONS. JOAN WILL LIKELY REACH TYPHOON INTENSITY BY THE NEXT WARNING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z9 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4), 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z6), 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2) AND 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9). REFER TO TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG26432881353 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 15 23:42:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626588-18315>; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 23:42:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA47950; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 10:34:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6648768 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 10:34:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA25494 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 10:33:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA21285 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 10:33:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710151533.KAA21285@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 10:33:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 010 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 367 WTPN31 PGTW 151500 1. TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- 13.8N3 140.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.9N3 140.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 14.2N7 137.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 14.6N1 135.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 15.0N6 133.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 15.4N0 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 16.5N2 128.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 151500Z2 POSITION 14.0N5 139.5E8 TYPHOON IVAN IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z9 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2), 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4), 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0) AND 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG26662881351 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 16 01:02:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626875-18317>; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 01:01:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA09966; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 11:56:11 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6650047 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 11:56:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA47964 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 11:55:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA21710 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 11:55:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710151655.LAA21710@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 11:55:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 815 ABPZ20 KNHC 151653 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED OCT 15 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...APPARENTLY THE REMNANTS OF OLAF...IS CENTERED ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA AND IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. SATELLITE PICTURES INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM IS UNDERGOING SOME WIND SHEAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT WINDS ARE GENERALLY LESS THAN 20 MPH. REDEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM APPEARS LESS LIKELY AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 16 01:42:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626441-18317>; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 01:42:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA34966; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 12:36:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6650825 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 12:36:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA48958 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 12:35:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA21914 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 12:35:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710151735.MAA21914@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 12:35:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 577 ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/151800Z/161800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 16 01:48:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626545-18317>; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 01:48:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA50534; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 12:36:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6650820 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 12:35:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA46404 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 12:35:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA21913 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 12:35:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710151735.MAA21913@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 12:35:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 577 ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/151800Z/161800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 16 02:04:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626861-18318>; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 02:03:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA19558; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 12:51:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6651024 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 12:51:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA17486 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 12:51:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA21995 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 12:51:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710151751.MAA21995@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 12:51:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 782 WTPN31 PGTW 150900 1. TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 009 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 27W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 13.2N6 141.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM PAGE 03 RUHGSGG2504 UNCLAS POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N6 141.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 13.8N2 138.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: PAGE 04 RUHGSGG2504 UNCLAS 160600Z3 --- 14.2N7 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 14.7N2 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 15.0N6 132.4E0 PAGE 05 RUHGSGG2504 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 15.5N1 128.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION 13.4N8 140.6E1 TYPHOON IVAN (27W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 PAGE 06 RUHGSGG2504 UNCLAS KNOTS. CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z2 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6), 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2), 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4) AND 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG27012880651 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 16 03:01:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626970-18318>; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 03:01:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA29558; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 13:53:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6651726 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 13:53:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA29774 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 13:53:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA22311 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 13:53:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710151853.NAA22311@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 13:53:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 223 WTPN31 PGTW 150900 1. TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 009 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 27W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 13.2N6 141.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N6 141.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 13.8N2 138.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 14.2N7 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 14.7N2 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 15.0N6 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 15.5N1 128.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION 13.4N8 140.6E1 TYPHOON IVAN (27W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z2 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6), 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2), 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4) AND 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG27362880651 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 16 03:57:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627793-18315>; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 03:57:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA44202; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 14:48:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6652599 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 14:48:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA17554 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 14:48:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA22517 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 14:47:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710151947.OAA22517@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 14:47:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 167 WTPN32 PGTW 152100 1. TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 011 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 28W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- 13.4N8 158.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.4N8 158.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 13.3N7 155.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 13.4N8 153.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 13.8N2 151.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 14.3N8 148.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 16.0N7 144.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 152100Z9 POSITION 13.4N8 157.6E9 TROPICAL STORM JOAN HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED INTO TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WHILE TRACKING DUE WEST DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. CLOUD TOPS HAVE COOLED AGAIN TO AS COLD AS -88C AND SSM/I SATELLITE DATA INDICATES JOAN HAS A WELL- DEFINED, CLOUD COVERED EYE. OUR WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T4.0 (65 TO 70 KNOTS) AND THE EYE FEATURE IN SSM/I IMAGERY. TYPHOON JOAN (28W) IS EXPECTED TO TRACK BASICALLY WESTWARD AROUND THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH SITUATED ALONG 20.0N2 LATITUDE AND THEN GRADUALLY GAIN LATITUDE AFTER 48 HOURS. IN 60 TO 72 HOURS, TYPHOON JOAN IS EXPECTED TO TRACK JUST NORTH OF SAIPAN. OUR FORECAST TRACK IS CONSISTENT WITH THE RECENT JGSM AND JTYM MODELS, AND ALSO WITH THE CURRENT DOMINANT RIDGE SYNOPTIC PATTERN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z5 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z6), 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2), 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9) AND 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5). REFER TO TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 16 04:24:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627402-18318>; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 04:24:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA48214; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 15:14:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6652878 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 15:13:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA28942 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 15:13:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA22609 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 15:13:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710152013.PAA22609@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 15:13:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 511 WTPN31 PGTW 152100 1. TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- 14.1N6 139.3E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N6 139.3E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 14.4N9 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 14.8N3 135.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 15.2N8 133.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 15.6N2 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 16.5N2 128.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 152100Z9 POSITION 14.2N7 138.8E0 TYPHOON IVAN (27W) HAS CONTINUED TO MOVE WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE WARNING INTENSITY AND POSITION ARE BASED UPON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 151730Z7. TYPHOON IVAN (27W) IS EXPECTED TO STEADILY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TYPHOON IVAN (27W) IS EXPECTED TO SLOW ITS FORWARD SPEED BY 72 HOURS AS IT MOVES TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. RECURVATURE IS NOT ANTICIPATED DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z5 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4), 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0), 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7) AND 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3). REFER TO TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 16 05:06:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626353-18318>; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 05:05:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA17450; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 15:52:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6653222 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 15:52:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA13590 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 15:52:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA22753 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 15:52:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710152052.PAA22753@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 15:52:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 091 WTPN31 PGTW 152100 1. TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- 14.1N6 139.3E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N6 139.3E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 14.4N9 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 14.8N3 135.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 15.2N8 133.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 15.6N2 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 16.5N2 128.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 152100Z9 POSITION 14.2N7 138.8E0 TYPHOON IVAN (27W) HAS CONTINUED TO MOVE WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE WARNING INTENSITY AND POSITION ARE BASED UPON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 151730Z7. TYPHOON IVAN (27W) IS EXPECTED TO STEADILY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TYPHOON IVAN (27W) IS EXPECTED TO SLOW ITS FORWARD SPEED BY 72 HOURS AS IT MOVES TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. RECURVATURE IS NOT ANTICIPATED DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z5 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4), 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0), 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7) AND 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3). REFER TO TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG27712881951 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 16 05:54:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626353-18315>; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 05:54:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA40632; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 16:49:13 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6653656 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 16:48:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA25700 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 16:48:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA23128 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 16:48:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710152148.QAA23128@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 16:48:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 040 ABPA20 PHNL 152200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1210 PM HST WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 15 1997 A BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE 700 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI HAS BULGED NORTHWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. THERE ARE NO ORGANIZED TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH THURSDAY. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 16 06:16:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626474-18317>; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 06:15:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA36410; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 17:12:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6653939 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 17:11:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA50982 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 17:11:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA23214 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 17:11:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710152211.RAA23214@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 17:11:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 354 ABPZ20 KNHC 152211 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED OCT 15 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...APPARENTLY THE REMNANTS OF OLAF...IS CENTERED ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND IS MOVING WESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF REDEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 16 08:33:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626276-26020>; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 08:33:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA23878; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 19:26:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6655295 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 19:26:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA23844 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 19:26:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA23771 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 19:26:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710160026.TAA23771@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 19:26:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 133 WTPN32 PGTW 152100 1. TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 011 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 28W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- 13.4N8 158.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.4N8 158.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 13.3N7 155.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 13.4N8 153.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 13.8N2 151.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 14.3N8 148.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 16.0N7 144.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 152100Z9 POSITION 13.4N8 157.6E9 TROPICAL STORM JOAN HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED INTO TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WHILE TRACKING DUE WEST DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. CLOUD TOPS HAVE COOLED AGAIN TO AS COLD AS -88C AND SSM/I SATELLITE DATA INDICATES JOAN HAS A WELL- DEFINED, CLOUD COVERED EYE. OUR WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T4.0 (65 TO 70 KNOTS) AND THE EYE FEATURE IN SSM/I IMAGERY. TYPHOON JOAN (28W) IS EXPECTED TO TRACK BASICALLY WESTWARD AROUND THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH SITUATED ALONG 20.0N2 LATITUDE AND THEN GRADUALLY GAIN LATITUDE AFTER 48 HOURS. IN 60 TO 72 HOURS, TYPHOON JOAN IS EXPECTED TO TRACK JUST NORTH OF SAIPAN. OUR FORECAST TRACK IS CONSISTENT WITH THE RECENT JGSM AND JTYM MODELS, AND ALSO WITH THE CURRENT DOMINANT RIDGE SYNOPTIC PATTERN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z5 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z6), 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2), 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9) AND 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5). REFER TO TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG27662881953 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 16 09:27:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627455-26022>; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 09:27:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA14110; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 20:17:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6655902 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 20:17:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA48388 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 20:17:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA24001 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 20:17:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710160117.UAA24001@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 20:17:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 640 WTPN31 PGTW 160300 1. TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 13.9N3 137.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.9N3 137.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 14.2N7 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 14.5N0 133.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 15.0N6 131.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 15.4N0 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 16.2N9 127.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION 14.0N5 137.3E4 TYPHOON IVAN (27W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. IVAN IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST THROUGH THE 24- HOURS FORECAST POSITION AND WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THEREAFTER. 27W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0), 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7), 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3) AND 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5). REFER TO TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 16 10:06:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627513-26021>; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 10:05:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA48138; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 21:03:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6656505 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 21:03:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA28398 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 21:03:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA24181 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 21:03:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710160203.VAA24181@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 21:03:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 694 ABPA20 PHNL 160200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 PM HST WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 15 1997 A BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE THAT BULGED NORTHWARD LAST NIGHT HAS DISSIPATED SINCE THIS MORNING. THERE ARE NO ORGANIZED TROPICAL DISTURBANCES IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH FRIDAY. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 16 10:34:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627562-26022>; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 10:34:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA23922; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 21:25:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6656766 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 21:25:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA44128 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 21:25:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA24267 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 21:25:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710160225.VAA24267@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 21:25:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 156 WTPN32 PGTW 160300 1. TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 13.4N8 157.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.4N8 157.2E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 13.4N8 155.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 13.6N0 152.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 13.9N3 150.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 14.7N2 148.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 16.5N2 144.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM WEST QUADRANT 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM WEST QUADRANT 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION 13.4N8 156.7E9 TYPHOON JOAN (28W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. JOAN (28W) HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AND WILL CONTINUE THIS TREND THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST. JOAN (28W) IS FORECAST TO TRACK WESTWARD AND BEGIN TO TRACK WEST- NORTHWESTWARD NEAR THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2), 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9), 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5) AND 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7). REFER TO TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 16 11:14:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627980-26021>; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 11:14:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA21526; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 22:05:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6657059 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 22:05:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA48500 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 22:04:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA24405 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 22:04:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710160304.WAA24405@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 22:04:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 572 WTPN31 PGTW 160300 1. TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 13.9N3 137.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.9N3 137.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 14.2N7 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 14.5N0 133.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 15.0N6 131.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 15.4N0 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 16.2N9 127.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION 14.0N5 137.3E4 TYPHOON IVAN (27W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. IVAN IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST THROUGH THE 24- HOURS FORECAST POSITION AND WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THEREAFTER. 27W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0), 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7), 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3) AND 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5). REFER TO TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG28872890151 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 16 11:13:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627973-26022>; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 11:13:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA17520; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 22:05:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6657069 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 22:05:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA28284 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 22:04:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA24409 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 22:04:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710160304.WAA24409@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 22:04:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 578 WTPN32 PGTW 160300 1. TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 13.4N8 157.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.4N8 157.2E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 13.4N8 155.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 13.6N0 152.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 13.9N3 150.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 14.7N2 148.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 16.5N2 144.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM WEST QUADRANT 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM WEST QUADRANT 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION 13.4N8 156.7E9 TYPHOON JOAN (28W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. JOAN (28W) HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AND WILL CONTINUE THIS TREND THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST. JOAN (28W) IS FORECAST TO TRACK WESTWARD AND BEGIN TO TRACK WEST- NORTHWESTWARD NEAR THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2), 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9), 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5) AND 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7). REFER TO TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG29122890153 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 16 11:16:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627975-26020>; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 11:16:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA23948; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 22:08:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6657107 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 22:08:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA44410 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 22:08:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA24426 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 22:08:23 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710160308.WAA24426@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 22:08:23 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 011 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 810 WTPN31 PGTW 152100 1. TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- 14.1N6 139.3E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N6 139.3E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 14.4N9 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 14.8N3 135.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 15.2N8 133.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 15.6N2 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 16.5N2 128.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 152100Z9 POSITION 14.2N7 138.8E0 TYPHOON IVAN (27W) HAS CONTINUED TO MOVE WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE WARNING INTENSITY AND POSITION ARE BASED UPON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 151730Z7. TYPHOON IVAN (27W) IS EXPECTED TO STEADILY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TYPHOON IVAN (27W) IS EXPECTED TO SLOW ITS FORWARD SPEED BY 72 HOURS AS IT MOVES TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. RECURVATURE IS NOT ANTICIPATED DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z5 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4), 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0), 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7) AND 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3). REFER TO TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG28862881951 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 16 12:02:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628013-26022>; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 11:58:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA32682; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 22:52:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6657523 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 22:52:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA09338 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 22:52:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA24550 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 1997 22:52:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710160352.WAA24550@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 22:52:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 667 ABPZ20 KNHC 160351 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED OCT 15 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...APPARENTLY THE REMNANTS OF OLAF...IS LOCATED ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND IS MOVING WESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF REDEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 16 13:20:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628062-26020>; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 13:20:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAB28386; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 00:06:53 -0500 Message-Id: <199710160506.AAB28386@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Oct 1997 00:02:05 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 14 Oct 1997 to 15 Oct 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 13 messages totalling 701 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Are WSO's still around? (2) 2. WX-TALK Digest - 13 Oct 1997 to 14 Oct 1997 3. Scientist Gore... (2) 4. NASA Aviation Weather Workshop 5. Quote of the day regarding (what else?) El Nino 6. Dew Formation? 7. NSSL/SPC Merchandise for sale 8. More El Nino hype (2) 9. El Nino Feeding Frenzy Ad Nauseum 10. El Nino...Fact or Fiction +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 00:48:23 -0500 From: Douglas Butts Subject: Re: Are WSO's still around? > > The 10-year, $4.5 billion modernization is winding down, though its > > toughest political hurdle remains -- the closing of more than 160 weather > > offices as it centralizes around the modern equipment. > > Typical bad journalism? > I think so. I know Fort Wayne, IN is still open until North Webster spins > up; I believe South Bend, IN is now closed; I think that's it... Not exactly, Gilbert... The WSO in Huntsville, AL is still very much a fully-functional WSO. It'll be "alive and kicking" until WFO Birmingham takes over their 10 county warning area (I believe) at some point next year. Doug ----- ...Standard Disclaimer Applies... ----------------Douglas A. Butts, Jr. ** Meteorologist------------------ Graduate Student ** Texas A&M University dbutts@nimbus.met.tamu.edu My Homepage ** http://www.geocities.com/CollegePark/Quad/9306 ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 00:53:00 -0500 From: Dan Satterfield Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 13 Oct 1997 to 14 Oct 1997 Regarding still open WSO's... The Huntsville WSO is still open and NWS warning responsibility will not transfer until Dec 2 1997. The Hytop Nexrad is 30 miles from HSV but the data is not available in the WSO here. _________________________________________________________________ Dan Satterfield Chief Meteorologist WHNT-TV Huntsville, AL ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 01:12:50 -0500 From: "Gilbert L. Sebenste" Subject: Re: Are WSO's still around? On Wed, 15 Oct 1997, Douglas Butts wrote: > Not exactly, Gilbert... > > The WSO in Huntsville, AL is still very much a fully-functional WSO. > It'll be "alive and kicking" until WFO Birmingham takes over their 10 > county warning area (I believe) at some point next year. > > Doug Arrrgh, forgot about that one. If I recall, it doesn't even get the live NEXRAD feed from Hytop. Thanks Doug for reminding me! Gilbert ******************************************************************************* Gilbert Sebenste ******** Internet: sebenste@geog.niu.edu (My opinions only!) ***** Owner of the Storm Chaser Homepage/SCH Canada *** URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/chaser.html ** SCH Canada URL: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/chaser/canada * THE STORM MACHINE: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/machine/ * Never rage against THE STORM MACHINE! * ******************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 05:48:01 -0500 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: Scientist Gore... How does the Global Warming crowd explain the Little Ice Age that was associated with the Maunder Sun Spot Minimum? (Maybe there was insufficient greenhouse gas?) How 'bout a presidential ticket comprised of Gore and Quayle? They seem to have similar IQs, about the same knowledge base, a firm grasp on reality and they are both highly charismatic speakers. Which one would be the presidential candidate? Sam Barricklow http://www.stormchaser.net/k5kj/chase.htm ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 14 Oct 1997 17:35:33 -0400 From: Dave Pace Subject: NASA Aviation Weather Workshop Dear Aviation Weather and Safety Enthusiast, As part of the NASA Aviation Safety Program, the NASA Langley Research Center is planning a workshop in Aviation Weather INformation (AWIN) and would like to invite your participation. This workshop will be held on November 5-6, 1997 at the Langley Research Center in Hampton, Virginia. The attached Microsoft Word version 6.0 document has details and includes a registration form. If you have trouble loading the attachment, please contact Sonya Herrin or Judy Cole at (757) 865-7604, fax (757) 865-8721, or herrin@stcnet.com and state your fax or mailing address for a printed announcement. Please return the registration form by October 24, 1997. Please feel free to distribute/forward this e-mail to every one in your organization or group that you feel might be interested. I apologize for multiple copies that you may receive as I have used several mailing lists that may contain your e-mail, fax, or regular mailing address. Best Regards, Charles H. Scanlon NASA Langley Research Center begin 660 email_no.doc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ubject: Quote of the day regarding (what else?) El Nino I read something in the sports section this morning, about the groundskeeper at Qualcomm stadium in San Diego where the Super Bowl will be held in January. He said, and I paraphrase: "If I hear 'El Nino' one more time I'm gonna throw up" Scott ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 10:49:26 -0400 From: Robert P Dale Subject: Dew Formation? Anyone know of any research / papers / etc. on dew formation? I have a client who needs a daily forecast of dew (for the next morning )on a roofing project, and other than the "standard dew" predictors I wonder what else is out there to help with this special case... Rob --- Robert P Dale N8GSK rdale@norden1.com Skywatch Weather Services http://www.skywatch.org ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 09:51:46 -0500 From: Greg Stumpf Subject: NSSL/SPC Merchandise for sale Severe Weather Fanatics, The NSSL/SPC Employees Association (NSEA) regularly sells severe weather photographs and NSSL/SPC clothing as part of its fund-raising efforts. Traditionally, we've only been able to sell this merchandise to individuals who visit the NSSL/SPC in Norman, Oklahoma, or when we take the merchandise to various special functions (such as the TWC Chaser Conference, the StormTrack annual picnic, or various conferences and open houses). Now this merchandise is available on the World Wide Web (WWW)! The 1997 Fall Chase Season is here! Get merchandise now! ** New stock in the store for fall/winter: long-sleeve tees and sweatshirts! Limited time only! ** ********************************************************************* * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW Severe Weather Photo Store * ********************************************************************* The URL for the NSEA Photo Concession Stand is: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/nea/neaphotostand.html ****************************************************************** * The NSSL/SPC Employees Association WWW NSSL/SPC Clothing Store * * * * NSSL SHIRTS...AS SEEN IN THE MOVIE 'TWISTER'!!! * ****************************************************************** The URL for the NSEA Clothing Concession Stand is: http://taiga.geog.niu.edu/nea/neaclothing.html Information on the prices of merchandise is on the WWW page. We can only accept orders placed from the WWW page (check or money order only). Information on the NSEA is also available via the first hypertext link on that WWW page. If you have any questions, please contact Greg Stumpf at: gstumpf@rossby.metr.ou.edu We hope that this fundraiser is a success for our organization and we hope you all enjoy the merchandise! Greg Stumpf and Paul Janish, NSSL/SPC Employees Association DISCLAIMER: The NSEA is a non-profit organization not affiliated with NOAA or the U.S. Government. ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 17:47:36 -0400 From: Tim Vasquez <71611.2267@COMPUSERVE.COM> Subject: More El Nino hype Clueless media comment of the day: "Nice weather here, with the El Nino taking a much-needed break this afternoon." -Mike Morgan, Channel 4 weather, OKC, 10/15/97 Tim Vasquez author, WeatherGraphix Norman, OK Digital Atmosphere 71611.2267@compuserve.com (888) 388-0070 (405) 573-0700 WeatherGraphix/Digital Atmosphere -- http://www.telepath.com/tvasquez/ StormTrack Online -- http://www.telepath.com/storm/ ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 16:59:58 -0500 From: Gayland Kitch Subject: Re: More El Nino hype > Clueless media comment of the day: > > "Nice weather here, with the El Nino taking a much-needed break this > afternoon." -Mike Morgan, Channel 4 weather, OKC, 10/15/97 Hmmmm...most of us take breaks in "nice" weather spots, like S. Padre, etc. Wonder where El Nino would take a break???? Gayland Kitch KC5MMU Moore, Oklahoma ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 18:28:26 -0400 From: "Marc A. Gindin" Subject: Re: Scientist Gore... The politicization of this whole affair is becoming more laughable than anything else. I present the following obvious questions in reference to this article: * Gore positions himself as the Environmentalist, does he not? Does he have ANY IDEA what he's talking about? Apparently not. * The last time I checked, El Nino has documented occurrences hundreds of years ago. But global warming, in Gore's theory, must be a pretty recent problem since it results from pollutants. Well, those two conditions being the case, what link could there possibly be? * Why does the Clinton administration continue to insult the intelligence of Americans? And for that matter, why does the media continue to do the same? We can't "beat El Nino." We can't even predict with any accuracy what its results are going to be in any one area. Why invent a crisis before there truly is one? Perhaps the question is, why politicize an issue that has nothing to do with politics? I guess you do whatever raises your approval rating. There's a lot more I could say, but it wouldn't be relevant to this list. I just get angry when a theory like global warming gets blown out of proportion without any proof or even evidence for the purpose of making an administration look good. Marc --- Bad credit or bankruptcy? Let us help! http://www.beevy.com/card_search/usa?68-7184 ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 17:50:35 -0700 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: El Nino Feeding Frenzy Ad Nauseum More utterings from the Vice Perpetrator, > "In the face of this kind of natural disaster, it's only human for some of > us to be tempted to feel powerless against the forces of nature, but we > know better than that," For more on these apocalyptic musings visit Matt Drudge's always informative and amusing web site at, http://www.drudgereport.com/ ************************************************************************* 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" my severe weather and SKYWARN home page! SFTS! http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Wed, 15 Oct 1997 20:55:29 -0500 From: James Derek Dodson Subject: El Nino...Fact or Fiction Wednesday, October 15, 1997 >From Derek Dodson Subject: El Nino....Someone Please Stop The Media Just thought I would display a few topics off the newswire...if this thing gets any more exciting we will be chasing El Niño.... "LIMA, Peru - Like a veteran general going to battle, President Alberto Fujimori has marshaled his troops to fight the next big threat to his country - the warm water mass called El Nino." We are now at WAR...CNN will likely start covering this much like they did the Persian Gulf War. We can only hope! "SANTA MONICA, Calif. - Raising the prospect of killer floods and devastating droughts, Vice President Al Gore suggested Tuesday that global warming may be adding muscle to El Nino weather effects." Yeah and money in the pockets of all the environmentalists who want to see massive changes in public policy. I am sure that Al Gor has not political motivation behind all of these El Niño speeches...especially now that HE has linked El Niño to global Warming! "The first time Fred Peterson met El Nino, the result was disaster: 2,400 acres of shriveled corn and soybeans." He met El Niño??? Possibly he could meet with Vice President Gore and they could reach some sort of settlement? "Americans everywhere are scratching their heads, nervously wondering what to make of the strange weather event with a Spanish name." I am scratching my head wondering why they keep sending Jim Cantore all over the place on The Weather Channel...and When CNN is going to start reporting facts instead of trying to scare the American public to death! "And as soon as Americans get used to El Nino, there's another climatic shaker in the wings. It's the mirror opposite of El Nino, when the Pacific waters turn colder than usual and play the same weather tricks, in reverse - rain where it was dry, and vice versa". Oh please someone stop them....I can not take another year of this crap! If I have to hear a year of La Niña. I think I will sell my Television!!!!! That is the way I see it! Derek Dodson derekd@midwest.net Hey I just call them the way I see them....by the way...MY NEPHEW IS GOING AS EL NINO FOR HALLOWEEN!!!!! Cheers ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 14 Oct 1997 to 15 Oct 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 16 13:55:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628061-26017>; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 13:55:09 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA44280; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 00:52:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6658398 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 00:51:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA44258 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 00:51:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA24925 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 00:51:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710160551.AAA24925@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Oct 1997 00:51:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 791 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 160151Z OCT 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 160153Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160000Z7 TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WAS LOCATED AT 13.9N3 137.9E0, MOVING WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 85 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 12 (WTPN31 PGTW 160300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 160000Z7 TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 13.4N8 157.2E5, MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 85 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 12 (WTPN32 PGTW 160300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEWIS/SULLINS/SANCHEZ/HONG/UROGI +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 16 13:59:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628080-26021>; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 13:59:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA34834; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 00:52:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6658403 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 00:52:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA35040 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 00:51:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA24924 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 00:51:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710160551.AAA24924@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Oct 1997 00:51:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 791 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 160151Z OCT 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 160153Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160000Z7 TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WAS LOCATED AT 13.9N3 137.9E0, MOVING WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 85 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 12 (WTPN31 PGTW 160300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 160000Z7 TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 13.4N8 157.2E5, MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 85 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 12 (WTPN32 PGTW 160300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEWIS/SULLINS/SANCHEZ/HONG/UROGI +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 16 16:02:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627733-26020>; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 16:02:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA14116; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 03:00:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6658973 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 03:00:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA29642 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 03:00:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA25405 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 03:00:06 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710160800.DAA25405@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Oct 1997 03:00:06 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 176 ABPA20 PHNL 160800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST WED OCT 15 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH FRIDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 16 17:06:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628154-26021>; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 17:06:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA21274; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 03:50:27 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6659197 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 03:50:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA48390 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 03:50:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA25677 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 03:50:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710160850.DAA25677@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Oct 1997 03:50:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 043 WTPN31 PGTW 160900 1. TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 14.6N1 136.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.6N1 136.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 15.1N7 134.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 15.6N2 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 16.1N8 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 16.8N5 129.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 18.2N1 127.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION 14.7N2 135.6E5 TYPHOON IVAN (27W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATED LITTLE INTENSIFICATION DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. HOWEVER, IVAN IS FORECASTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE ENTIRE PERIOD AND SLOWLY GAIN LATITUDE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7), 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3), 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1). REFER TO TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 16 17:32:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628099-26020>; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 17:32:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA48456; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 03:51:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6659202 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 03:51:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA28982 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 03:51:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA25681 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 03:51:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710160851.DAA25681@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Oct 1997 03:51:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 044 WTPN32 PGTW 160900 1. TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE ARAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 13.6N0 155.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.6N0 155.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 13.8N2 153.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 14.0N5 151.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 14.3N8 149.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 14.9N4 147.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 16.7N4 144.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM WEST QUADRANT 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM WEST QUADRANT 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION 13.6N0 155.4E5 TYPHOON JOAN (28W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. JOAN (28W) WILL CONTINUE TRACKING WESTWARD THROUGH THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND THEN WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THEREAFTER. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN INTENSITY FORECAST WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9), 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5), 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3). REFER TO TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 16 18:16:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628674-26022>; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 18:09:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA36416; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 04:59:41 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6659527 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 04:59:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA26924 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 04:59:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA25835 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 04:59:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710160959.EAA25835@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Oct 1997 04:59:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 217 WTPN32 PGTW 160300 1. TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 13.4N8 157.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.4N8 157.2E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 13.4N8 155.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 13.6N0 152.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 13.9N3 150.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 14.7N2 148.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 16.5N2 144.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM WEST QUADRANT 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM WEST QUADRANT 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION 13.4N8 156.7E9 TYPHOON JOAN (28W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. JOAN (28W) HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AND WILL CONTINUE THIS TREND THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST. JOAN (28W) IS FORECAST TO TRACK WESTWARD AND BEGIN TO TRACK WEST- NORTHWESTWARD NEAR THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2), 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9), 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5) AND 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7). REFER TO TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG29122890153 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 16 18:16:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628111-26020>; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 18:16:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA47248; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 05:14:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6659594 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 05:14:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA28766 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 05:14:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA25891 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 05:14:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710161014.FAA25891@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Oct 1997 05:14:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 514 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 160151Z OCT 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 160153Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160000Z7 TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WAS LOCATED AT 13.9N3 137.9E0, MOVING WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 85 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 12 (WTPN31 PGTW 160300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 160000Z7 TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 13.4N8 157.2E5, MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 85 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 12 (WTPN32 PGTW 160300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEWIS/SULLINS/SANCHEZ/HONG/UROGI// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG32752890551 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 16 18:28:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627090-26020>; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 18:28:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA47222; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 05:14:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6659589 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 05:14:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA47196 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 05:14:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA25890 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 05:14:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710161014.FAA25890@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Oct 1997 05:14:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 514 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 160151Z OCT 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 160153Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160000Z7 TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WAS LOCATED AT 13.9N3 137.9E0, MOVING WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 85 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 12 (WTPN31 PGTW 160300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 160000Z7 TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 13.4N8 157.2E5, MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 85 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 12 (WTPN32 PGTW 160300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEWIS/SULLINS/SANCHEZ/HONG/UROGI// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG32752890551 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 16 18:27:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628081-26021>; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 18:27:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA28244; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 05:24:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6659621 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 05:24:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA27114 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 05:22:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA25919 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 05:22:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710161022.FAA25919@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Oct 1997 05:22:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 651 ABPZ20 KNHC 161021 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU OCT 16 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...APPARENTLY THE REMNANTS OF OLAF...IS LOCATED ABOUT 215 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND IS MOVING WESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF REDEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 16 18:58:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627952-26020>; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 18:58:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA43996; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 05:45:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6659761 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 05:45:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA09920 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 05:45:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA25976 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 05:45:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710161045.FAA25976@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Oct 1997 05:45:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 084 WTPN32 PGTW 160900 1. TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 13.6N0 155.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.6N0 155.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 13.8N2 153.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 14.0N5 151.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 14.3N8 149.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 14.9N4 147.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 16.7N4 144.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM WEST QUADRANT 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM WEST QUADRANT 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION 13.6N0 155.4E5 TYPHOON JOAN (28W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. JOAN (28W) WILL CONTINUE TRACKING WESTWARD THROUGH THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND THEN WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THEREAFTER. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN INTENSITY FORECAST WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9), 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5), 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3). REFER TO TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG32602890753 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 16 18:54:30 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627204-26017>; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 18:54:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA44046; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 05:46:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6659766 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 05:46:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA44026 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 05:46:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA25980 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 05:46:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710161046.FAA25980@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Oct 1997 05:46:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 013 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 109 WTPN31 PGTW 160900 1. TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 14.6N1 136.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.6N1 136.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 15.1N7 134.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 15.6N2 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 16.1N8 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 16.8N5 129.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 18.2N1 127.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION 14.7N2 135.6E5 TYPHOON IVAN (27W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATED LITTLE INTENSIFICATION DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. HOWEVER, IVAN IS FORECASTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE ENTIRE PERIOD AND SLOWLY GAIN LATITUDE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7), 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3), 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1). REFER TO TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG32612890751 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 16 19:35:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628123-26017>; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 19:35:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id GAA26770; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 06:28:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6660034 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 06:28:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id GAA46464 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 06:28:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id GAA26068 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 06:28:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710161128.GAA26068@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Oct 1997 06:28:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 813 WTPN31 PGTW 150900 1. TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 009 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 27W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 13.2N6 141.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N6 141.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 13.8N2 138.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 14.2N7 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 14.7N2 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 15.0N6 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 15.5N1 128.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION 13.4N8 140.6E1 TYPHOON IVAN (27W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z2 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6), 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2), 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4) AND 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG25042880651 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 16 21:57:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628143-26017>; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 21:57:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA29900; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 08:54:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6660891 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 08:54:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA29624 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 08:54:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA26489 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 08:54:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710161354.IAA26489@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Oct 1997 08:54:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 461 ABPA20 PHNL 161400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 AM HST THU OCT 16 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH FRIDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 16 22:43:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628177-26017>; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 22:43:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA29838; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 09:31:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6661311 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 09:30:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA26902 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 09:30:15 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA26618 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 09:30:14 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710161430.JAA26618@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Oct 1997 09:30:14 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 226 WTPN31 PGTW 161500 1. TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- 14.5N0 134.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N0 134.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 14.8N3 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 15.0N6 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 15.3N9 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 15.6N2 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 16.7N4 126.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION 14.6N1 134.2E0 TYPHOON IVAN (27W) IS MOVING ON A WESTERLY TRACK AT 14 KNOTS. THE FORECAST POSITIONS INDICATE THE TRACK WILL SLOW TO 5 KNOTS AT THE 72 HOUR POSITION AS THE SYSTEM IS BLOCKED FROM THE NORTH BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND TO THE WEST BY A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AT AN AVERAGE RATE WITH THE PEAK INTENSITY OCCURRING BETWEEN 36 AND 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3), 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5), 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1) AND 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8). REFER TO TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 16 22:56:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628158-26017>; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 22:56:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA04474; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 09:44:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6661533 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 09:44:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA09830 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 09:44:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA26682 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 09:43:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710161443.JAA26682@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Oct 1997 09:43:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 014 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 454 WTPN32 PGTW 161500 1. TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- 13.8N2 154.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.8N2 154.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 13.9N3 152.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 14.2N7 150.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 14.7N2 148.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 15.5N1 146.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 18.2N1 143.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION 13.8N2 154.1E1 SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 161130Z2 INDICATES THAT TYPHOON JOAN (28W) HAS INTENSIFIED RAPIDLY DURING THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS AND NOW HAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 125 KNOTS. JOAN IS EXPECTED TO REACH ITS PEAK INTENSITY WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS FORECAST WITH A SLOW TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IN THE OUTLOOK PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5), 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7), 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3) AND 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0). REFER TO TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 16 23:41:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628214-26020>; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 23:41:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id KAA25566; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 10:33:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6662213 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 10:33:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id KAA18100 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 10:33:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id KAA26861 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 10:33:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710161533.KAA26861@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Oct 1997 10:33:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 012 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 487 WTPN32 PGTW 160300 1. TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 13.4N8 157.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.4N8 157.2E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 13.4N8 155.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 13.6N0 152.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 13.9N3 150.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 14.7N2 148.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 16.5N2 144.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM WEST QUADRANT 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM WEST QUADRANT 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION 13.4N8 156.7E9 TYPHOON JOAN (28W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. JOAN (28W) HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AND WILL CONTINUE THIS TREND THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST. JOAN (28W) IS FORECAST TO TRACK WESTWARD AND BEGIN TO TRACK WEST- NORTHWESTWARD NEAR THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2), 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9), 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5) AND 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7). REFER TO TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG29122890153 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 17 01:05:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627449-26017>; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 01:05:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA48394; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 12:01:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6663102 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 12:00:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA28886 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 12:00:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA27452 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 12:00:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710161700.MAA27452@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Oct 1997 12:00:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 109 ABPZ20 KNHC 161659 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU OCT 16 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...APPARENTLY THE REMNANTS OF OLAF...IS LOCATED ABOUT 275 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND IS MOVING WESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF REDEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 17 01:36:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626271-26017>; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 01:36:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA40646; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 12:33:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6663464 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 12:32:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA40576 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 12:32:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA27566 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 12:32:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710161732.MAA27566@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Oct 1997 12:32:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 709 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 17 01:38:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627478-26017>; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 01:37:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA32528; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 12:35:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6663480 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 12:35:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA32112 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 12:32:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA27565 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 12:32:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710161732.MAA27565@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Oct 1997 12:32:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 709 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 17 04:21:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628308-26020>; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 04:21:05 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA04468; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 15:09:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6665278 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 15:09:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA32738 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 15:08:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA28222 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 15:08:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710162008.PAA28222@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Oct 1997 15:08:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 706 WTPN31 PGTW 162100 1. TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- 14.6N1 133.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.6N1 133.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 14.9N4 131.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 15.1N7 129.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 15.4N0 127.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 15.7N3 126.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 17.0N8 125.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 162100Z0 POSITION 14.7N2 132.6E2 TYPHOON IVAN (27W) CONTINUES TO MOVE ON A WESTERLY TRACK AT 15 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND HAS A CURRENT INTENSITY OF 115 KNOTS BASED ON 161730Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY OF A WELL DEFINED EYE. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 36 HOUR POSITION AT AN AVERAGE CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS WARNING WITH THE SYSTEM SLOWING TO A FORWARD SPEED OF 5 KNOTS AT THE 48 HOUR POSITION DUE TO A BLOCKING HIGH TO THE NORTH AND WEST. THIS SYSTEM MAY BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY TOWARDS THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z6 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5), 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1), 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8) AND 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 28W (JOAN) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 17 04:19:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628305-26021>; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 04:19:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA04542; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 15:09:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6665292 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 15:09:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA23976 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 15:09:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA28236 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 15:09:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710162009.PAA28236@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Oct 1997 15:09:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 015 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 723 WTPN32 PGTW 162100 1. TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- 13.8N2 153.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.8N2 153.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 14.0N5 151.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 14.5N0 148.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 15.2N8 146.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 15.8N4 144.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 17.9N7 140.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 162100Z0 POSITION 13.8N2 152.8E6 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TYPHOON JOAN (28W) IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST AT 13 KNOTS. INTENSITY HAS REMAINED THE SAME DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS, HOWEVER IT IS STILL EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AS CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE. FORECAST TRACK IS SLIGHTLY FASTER THAN PREVIOUS FORECAST TO ACCOUNT FOR CURRENT MOTION AND IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE NEW SET OF NUMERICAL MODELS BASED AT 161200Z0. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z6 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7), 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3), 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0) AND 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6). REFER TO TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 17 06:26:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628221-26017>; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 06:26:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA48042; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 17:22:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6666720 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 17:21:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA18034 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 17:21:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA28920 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 17:21:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710162221.RAA28920@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Oct 1997 17:21:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 857 ABPZ20 KNHC 162220 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU OCT 16 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF...LOCATED A LITTLE OVER 300 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...HAVE DISSIPATED AT THIS TIME. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 17 10:03:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626119-18431>; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 10:03:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA48498; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 20:59:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6668669 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 20:59:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA46342 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 20:58:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA29611 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 20:58:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710170158.UAA29611@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Oct 1997 20:58:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 682 ABPA20 PHNL 170200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 PM HST THU OCT 16 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 17 12:19:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626322-18436>; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 12:19:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA14188; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 22:10:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6669320 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 22:10:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA22614 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 22:10:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA29837 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 22:10:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710170310.WAA29837@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Oct 1997 22:10:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 016 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 886 WTPN31 PGTW 170300 1. SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 14.7N2 131.6E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N2 131.6E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 14.8N3 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 15.0N6 127.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 15.2N8 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 15.7N3 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 17.0N8 124.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION 14.7N2 131.0E5 SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD THROUGH THE 24-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD AND THEN GRADUALLY TURN WEST- NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD. SUPER TYPHOON IVAN IS NEAR PEAK INTENSITY AND WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN NEAR THE 12- HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1), 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8), 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4) AND 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 28W (JOAN) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG43142900151 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 17 11:50:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626352-18431>; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 11:50:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA50476; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 22:20:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6669360 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 22:20:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA18186 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 22:20:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA29870 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 22:20:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710170320.WAA29870@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Oct 1997 22:20:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 009 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 037 WTPN31 PGTW 150900 1. TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 009 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 27W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 13.2N6 141.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N6 141.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 13.8N2 138.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 14.2N7 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 14.7N2 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 15.0N6 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 15.5N1 128.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION 13.4N8 140.6E1 TYPHOON IVAN (27W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z2 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6), 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2), 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4) AND 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG25042880651 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 17 12:12:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626333-18434>; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 12:12:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA40650; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 23:06:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6669812 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 23:06:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA47286 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 23:06:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA00004 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 23:06:41 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710170406.XAA00004@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Oct 1997 23:06:41 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 854 ABPZ20 KNHC 170405 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU OCT 16 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 17 12:17:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626322-18436>; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 12:17:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA25834; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 23:10:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6669838 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 23:10:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA40664 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 23:10:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA00019 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 23:10:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710170410.XAA00019@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Oct 1997 23:10:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 977 ABPZ20 KNHC 170409 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU OCT 16 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 17 12:38:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626363-18431>; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 12:38:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA22446; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 23:26:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6669946 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 23:24:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA14130 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 23:24:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA00051 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 1997 23:24:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710170424.XAA00051@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 16 Oct 1997 23:24:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 016 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 359 WTPN32 PGTW 170300 1. TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 14.1N6 151.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N6 151.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 14.5N0 148.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 15.2N8 146.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 16.0N7 144.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 16.9N6 142.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 18.7N6 139.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION 14.2N7 150.9E5 TYPHOON JOAN (28W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK WESTWARD THROUGH THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THEREAFTER. TYPHOON JOAN (28W) IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 12-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD THEN BEGIN TO SLOWLY WEAKEN. TYPHOON JOAN (28W) HAS ACCELERATED OVER THE PASS SIX HOURS, BUT IS FORECAST TO SLOW DOWN AS THE SYSTEM BEGINS ITS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7 (DTG 170753Z3), 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0), 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6) AND 180300Z2 (DTG 180153Z8). REFER TO TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG42762900153 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 17 13:17:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626349-18438>; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 13:16:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA28834; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 00:11:03 -0500 Message-Id: <199710170511.AAA28834@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Oct 1997 00:04:50 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 15 Oct 1997 to 16 Oct 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 5 messages totalling 236 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. [Fwd: Re: Scientist Gore...] 2. El Nino...Fact or Fiction 3. Are WSO's still Around 4. El Nino. 5. More El Nino hype +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 16 Oct 1997 06:09:26 -0500 From: Sam Barricklow Subject: [Fwd: Re: Scientist Gore...] Sam Barricklow wrote: > > Good Morning, > > I've deleted many WX-Talk mailings recently as a > result of the political rants. My intention with the Quayle/Gore comment > was to add a little humor to the discussion. Global Warming has become > a real political issue because the politicians are pushing their political > agendas and using global warming to legitimize their agendas. > > The science on both sides of the issue seems rather shallow. More > in-depth study is needed. In the mean time, there are plenty of other > real proven reasons to reduce pollution. I live within a mile of a > major freeway in Garland, on the northern edge of Dallas, close enough > to smell, hear and see the pollution. I don't need global warming to > tell me that changes are needed. > > I do feel that the global warming proponents need to provide more > evidence that the CO2 contribution by man is the "major" reason behind > the current increase. An article in Scientific American back in the > late 80s or early 90s presented research on CO2 levels over the last > several hundred thousand years and ten or so ice ages and intergalcial > periods. CO2 peaked during the interglacial warm periods and reached a > minimum during the periods of glaciation. There was at least one > previous interglacial period where the CO2 level was higher than it is > now, and we are at or just past the peak of this cycle. (These cycles > are caused by periodic changes in the shape of the Earth's orbit around > the sun and periodic changes in the tilt of the Earth's spin axis. There > is likely also a contribution from variations in solar radiation.) Not > being a climatologist myself, I was hoping to find someone via WX-Talk > who is and address these issues in a sane fashion. (This from previous > unanswered posts.) > > The so called "Little Ice Age" that occurred several hundred years ago > must have occurred as a result of natural processes and not as a result > of man's influence on nature. My intent again was to generate > discussion about the reasons behind these natural events and how they > might relate to the current situation, not to generate more political > rants. > > While I agree that we are in a warm period, with increased CO2 levels, > some of which may be the result of human activity, I am uncertain that enough > evidence exists to justify the political reaction and media hype that is > occurring, especially when faced with a U.N. treaty that will > significantly impact every American's life. I don't mind making changes > and agree that pollution is a major problem. But I also believe that the > global warming issue has become a political expedient to push agendas > that may not be of benefit to me and most other Americans. Then add to > that the ignorance of our political leaders. > > Dan Quayle dispayed his ignorance a few years ago. My son found a > report on one of his best and sent it to me. > > Here it is... > > After George Bush had unveiled his plan to build a manned space station > that would serve as a prelude to sending astronauts to the Moon and > eventually sending them on to Mars, Vice President Quayle was interviewed on CNN. > > One question had to do with whether Quayle believed that it was feasible > to send people to Mars. > > "Mars is in essentially the same orbit [as Earth]," the vice president > answered. "Mars is somewhat the same distance from the Sun, which is > very important. We have seen pictures where there are canals, we believe, and > water. If there is water, that means there is oxygen. If oxygen," Quayle > added, straight-faced, "that means we can breathe." And where earthlings > could breathe, he indicated, they could function quite nicely indeed. > > Gore seems to be in the same boat with Quayle, as far as scientific > knowledge is concerned. It seems that leaders of both > political parties have extremely limited scientific knowledge to base > their views (and actions) on. I would just like to see the real science > presented more accurately by the media and the politicians. > > In the interim, we need encourage the immediate development and use of > alternative clean energy sources to reduce pullution and reduce > dependence on fossil fuels. Heavily taxing existing energy sources is a > negative approach that will adversely affect our economy. > It should also be advantageous to slow the eventual desertification > of the Amazon basin and other tropical forests. (I wonder how atmospheric > oxygen levels are changing. It would seem that oxygen levels should be > dropping as a result of the huge numbers of trees that are cut every year.) > > Sam Barricklow > http://www.stormchaser.net/k5kj/chase.htm ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 16 Oct 1997 09:20:00 -0500 From: "Padgett, James G." Subject: Re: El Nino...Fact or Fiction Derek Dodson wrote: >"And as soon as Americans get used to El Nino, there's another climatic >shaker in the wings. It's the mirror opposite of El Nino, when the >Pacific waters turn colder than usual and play the same weather tricks, >in reverse - rain where it was dry, and vice versa". >Oh please someone stop them....I can not take another year of this crap! >If I have to hear a year of La Nina. I think I will sell my >Television!!!!! Well get ready for it buddy. This morning, on a CNN Headline News spot, El Nino's "sinister sister" was featured. Viewers were told that, according to predictions, El Nino would start to fade next spring only to be replaced by the equally potentially disastrous La Nina. A Texas farmer was featured who had suffered through the great 1980 drought and heat wave, which was of course caused by La Nina. And then the 1995 Atlantic hurricane season was offered as an example of a typical La Nina hurricane season. In other words, the gist of the message was that if the "little boy" doesn't get you, the "little girl" will. Wonder if then a "certain political figure" will be advocating an acceleration of global warming to combat the cooling of the Pacific waters???? ;-) >Hey I just call them the way I see them....by the way...MY NEPHEW IS >GOING AS EL NINO FOR HALLOWEEN!!!!! And of course your niece (if you have one) is going as LA NINA!! :) Cheers Gary ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 16 Oct 1997 10:24:36 -0700 From: James Kaplan Subject: Re: Are WSO's still Around > > > The 10-year, $4.5 billion modernization is winding down, though its > > > toughest political hurdle remains -- the closing of more than 160 weather > > > offices as it centralizes around the modern equipment. > > > Typical bad journalism? Not exactly. Many offices which appear to be gone are still there on paper waiting to be officially decertified. For example, the South Bend, IN office recently had its staff drawn down to 0, but the office will still exist on the books until sometime after the North Webster, IN office has spun up next year. SImilarly, although I think they are now all formally closed, a number of Illinois WSO's were still on the books a year or more (I"m pretty sure) after the last people left. This decertification process can be sticky, though I am not privy to the details. So I can easily see how there might still be 160 left on the books, especially in that I believe there are more actual functioning WSO's in the Alaska, Pacific and Western (?) regions, in addition to "Ghost" WSO's. Jim Kaplan ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 16 Oct 1997 10:52:48 -0500 From: "Mathew L. Powers" Subject: El Nino. And the beat goes on. Just to add to the El Nino stories.. I had TWO calls yesterday asking me if the warm Lake Michigan water temperatures this year were a result of El Nino. The second caller was this guy who was all pissed off b/c he assumed that El Nino would keep Lake Michigan warm all winter, thus keeping him from doing any ice-fishing. I told them both, "No, warm temperatures in the Great Lakes occur a few years before the ice age begins, so expect a cold weather in about 5 years". I couldn't help myself, I've just had it up to here with hearing about El Nino. I suppose the next big blockbuster movie will be "EL NINO: THE END OF THE CALIFORNIA" and then of course, you would have "EL NINO II: LA NINA AND THE RETURN OF CALIFORNIA" ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Matt Powers: powers@weather.cod.edu I still use my 630/942-2590 colored pencils! College of Dupage/NEXLAB (near Chi-town) http://weather.cod.edu/ Multi-County Skywarn http://weather.cod.edu/skywarn/ and Ob's at MDW-Chicago for fun ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 16 Oct 1997 10:32:16 -0700 From: kz Subject: Re: More El Nino hype Tim Vasquez wrote: > > Clueless media comment of the day: > > "Nice weather here, with the El Nino taking a much-needed break this > afternoon." -Mike Morgan, Channel 4 weather, OKC, 10/15/97 > > Tim Vasquez author, WeatherGraphix > Norman, OK Digital Atmosphere > 71611.2267@compuserve.com (888) 388-0070 (405) 573-0700 > WeatherGraphix/Digital Atmosphere -- http://www.telepath.com/tvasquez/ > StormTrack Online -- http://www.telepath.com/storm/ > Yes, folks, we are lucky indeed to be living in the "Age of Paranoia"! KZ ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 15 Oct 1997 to 16 Oct 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 17 14:38:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626334-18431>; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 14:38:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA43988; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 01:30:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6670887 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 01:30:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA28702 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 01:28:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA00438 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 01:28:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710170628.BAA00438@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Oct 1997 01:28:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 639 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 170151Z OCT 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 170153Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 170000Z8 SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WAS LOCATED AT 14.7N2 131.6E1, MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 130 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 16 (WTPN31 PGTW 170300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 170000Z8 TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 14.1N6 151.6E3, MOVING WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 125 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 16 (WTPN32 PGTW 170300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: DUARTE/SULLINS/SANCHEZ/HONG/UROGI// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG48522900551 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 17 14:47:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626023-18438>; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 14:47:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id BAA43950; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 01:30:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6670882 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 01:28:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id BAA28188 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 01:28:42 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id BAA00436 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 01:28:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710170628.BAA00436@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Oct 1997 01:28:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 639 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 170151Z OCT 97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 170153Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 170000Z8 SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WAS LOCATED AT 14.7N2 131.6E1, MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 130 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 16 (WTPN31 PGTW 170300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 170000Z8 TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 14.1N6 151.6E3, MOVING WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 125 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 16 (WTPN32 PGTW 170300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: DUARTE/SULLINS/SANCHEZ/HONG/UROGI// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG48522900551 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 17 17:11:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626839-18436>; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 17:10:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA50978; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 04:04:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6671329 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 04:03:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA50644 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 04:03:55 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA01017 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 04:03:54 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710170903.EAA01017@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Oct 1997 04:03:54 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 268 ABPA20 PHNL 170800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000PM HST THURSDAY OCTOBER 16 1997 TROPICAL WEATHER IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC REMAINS QUIET WITH NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH SATURDAY. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 17 18:17:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626617-18436>; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 18:17:01 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA43708; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 05:08:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6671571 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 05:08:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA24486 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 05:08:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA01171 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 05:08:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710171008.FAA01171@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Oct 1997 05:08:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 368 ABPZ20 KNHC 171007 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI OCT 17 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 17 19:09:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626617-18436>; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 19:09:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA43840; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 05:56:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6671953 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 05:56:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA09224 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 05:51:07 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA01271 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 05:51:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710171051.FAA01271@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Oct 1997 05:51:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 131 WTPN31 PGTW 170900 1. SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- 14.7N2 130.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N2 130.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 14.7N2 128.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 14.9N4 127.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 15.2N8 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 15.8N4 125.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 17.4N2 123.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION 14.7N2 130.0E4 SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD THROUGH THE 24- HOUR FORECAST PERIOD AND THEN GRADUALLY TURN WEST- NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD. SUPER TYPHOON IVAN IS NEAR PEAK INTENSITY AND WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN NEAR THE 12- HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z4 IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8), 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4), 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6) AND 180900Z8 (DTG 180751Z2). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG51492900751 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 17 19:09:29 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627088-18436>; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 19:09:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA21602; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 05:53:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6671866 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 05:53:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA51116 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 05:51:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA01276 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 05:51:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710171051.FAA01276@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Oct 1997 05:51:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 017 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 132 WTPN32 PGTW 170900 1. SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- 14.4N9 150.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.4N9 150.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 15.1N7 147.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 15.7N3 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 16.5N2 143.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 17.5N3 142.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 19.5N5 138.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION 14.6N1 149.3E7 SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) IS MOVING WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST AT 16 KNOTS. SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE 48 HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND THEN BEGIN TO TURN NORTHWESTWARD. THE SYSTEM IS NEAR PEAK INTENSITY AND IS FORECAST TO BEGIN WEAKENING NEAR THE 12-HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z IS 37 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0), 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6), 180300Z2 (DTG 180153Z8) AND 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG51502900753 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 17 21:25:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627169-18434>; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 21:24:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA47106; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 08:21:36 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6673129 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 08:21:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA22510 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 08:21:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA01654 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 08:21:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710171321.IAA01654@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Oct 1997 08:21:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 803 ABPA20 PHNL 171400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 AM HST FRIDAY OCTOBER 17 1997 AN AREA OF ACTIVE THUNDERSTORMS HAS FORMED 1000 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI. THIS THUNDERSTORM AREA IS POORLY ORGANIZED AND IS NOT LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH SATURDAY. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 18 00:48:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625869-18436>; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 00:48:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA47998; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 11:40:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6674900 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 11:40:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA04452 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 11:40:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA02360 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 11:40:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710171640.LAA02360@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Oct 1997 11:40:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Kzoa Sigmet Oscar 18 Valid 171613z To 172130z Pgum- To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 6 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 782 WTPN31 PGTW 171500 KZOA SIGMET OSCAR 18 VALID 171613Z TO 172130Z PGUM- OAKLAND OCEANIC FIR. SUPER TYPHOON IVAN LOCATED AT 14.4N 129.6E AT 17/1200Z. MAX SUSTAINED WNDS 155 KT GUST 190 KT. FCST POSIT AT 18/0000Z 14.3N 128.4E. ACT TS OBS BY SATELLITE WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER. MAX TOPS FL500. MOV W 9 KT. NC.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 18 00:53:40 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627577-18436>; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 00:53:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA23058; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 11:49:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6674989 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 11:48:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA27126 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 11:48:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA02381 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 11:48:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710171648.LAA02381@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Oct 1997 11:48:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 7 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 908 ABPZ20 KNHC 171647 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI OCT 17 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 18 00:59:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627582-18436>; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 00:59:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA48822; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 11:51:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6675131 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 11:51:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA23136 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 11:50:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA02397 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 11:50:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710171650.LAA02397@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Oct 1997 11:50:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 018 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 9 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 939 WTPN31 PGTW 171500 1. SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 018 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 14.4N9 129.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.4N9 129.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 14.3N8 128.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 14.4N9 127.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 14.7N2 126.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 15.1N7 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 15.9N5 124.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION 14.4N9 129.3E5 SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AND NOW HAS AN INTENSITY OF 155 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS A WELL DEFINED 22 NM EYE. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A TRACK SLIGHTLY TO THE SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST POSITION WHICH ACCOUNTS FOR A MORE WESTERLY TRACK THROUGH THE 36 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. THE REMAINING FORECAST PHILOSOPHY IS THE SAME WITH STY IVAN SLOWLY WEAKENING AFTER 12 HOURS AND SLOWING AS IT IS BLOCKED BY HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING TO THE NORTH AND WEST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z1 IS 31 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4), 180300Z2 (DTG180151Z6), 180900Z8 (DTG 180751Z2) AND 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG63342901647 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 18 00:59:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627585-18436>; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 00:58:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA29308; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 11:52:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6675230 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 11:52:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA40512 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 11:52:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA02403 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 11:52:51 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710171652.LAA02403@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Oct 1997 11:52:51 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 018 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 8 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 940 WTPN31 PGTW 171500 1. SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 018 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 14.4N9 129.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.4N9 129.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 14.3N8 128.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 14.4N9 127.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 14.7N2 126.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 15.1N7 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 15.9N5 124.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION 14.4N9 129.3E5 SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AND NOW HAS AN INTENSITY OF 155 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS A WELL DEFINED 22 NM EYE. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A TRACK SLIGHTLY TO THE SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST POSITION WHICH ACCOUNTS FOR A MORE WESTERLY TRACK THROUGH THE 36 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. THE REMAINING FORECAST PHILOSOPHY IS THE SAME WITH STY IVAN SLOWLY WEAKENING AFTER 12 HOURS AND SLOWING AS IT IS BLOCKED BY HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING TO THE NORTH AND WEST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z1 IS 31 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4), 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6), 180900Z8 (DTG 180751Z2) AND 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG56352901351 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 18 00:59:50 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627585-18434>; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 00:59:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA43850; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 11:53:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6675277 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 11:53:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA09270 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 11:53:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA02407 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 11:53:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710171653.LAA02407@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Oct 1997 11:53:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 018 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 10 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 966 WTPN32 PGTW 171500 1. SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 018 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 14.8N3 148.8E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 160 KT, GUSTS 195 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.8N3 148.8E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 15.4N0 146.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 160 KT, GUSTS 195 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 16.1N8 144.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 17.1N9 142.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 18.1N0 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 20.4N6 138.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION 14.9N4 148.2E5 SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) HAS REACHED THE HIGHEST INTENSITY - 160 KNOTS - OBSERVED IN THE PAST TWO YEARS. STY JOAN CONTINUES ON A WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK AND HAS SLOWED SLIGHTLY TO 14 KNOTS. FORECAST TRACK AND WIND RADII PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME AS THE PREVIOUS WARNING. CLOSEST POINT OF APPROACH TO SAIPAN (WMO 91232) IS EXPECTED 23 NM NORTHEAST OF THE ISLAND BY 18 OCT, 0300Z (1300 LOCAL). PEAK INTENSITY IS FORECAST TO BE SUSTAINED FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS BEFORE A GRADUAL WEAKENING OCCURS THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE WARNING PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z1 IS 36 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6), 180300Z2 (DTG 180153Z8), 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4) AND 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG56362901353 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 18 02:43:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626164-18431>; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 02:42:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA23200; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 13:32:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6676211 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 13:31:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA24972 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 13:31:53 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA02845 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 13:31:52 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710171831.NAA02845@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Oct 1997 13:31:52 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 018 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 11 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 991 WTPN32 PGTW 171500 1. SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 018 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 14.8N3 148.8E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 160 KT, GUSTS 195 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.8N3 148.8E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 15.4N0 146.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 160 KT, GUSTS 195 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 16.1N8 144.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 17.1N9 142.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 18.1N0 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 20.4N6 138.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION 14.9N4 148.2E5 SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) HAS REACHED THE HIGHEST INTENSITY -160 KNOTS- OBSERVED IN THE PAST TWO YEARS. STY JOAN CONTINUES ON A WEST-NORTWEST TRACK AND HAS SLOWED SLIGHTLY TO 14 KNOTS. FORECAST TRACK AND WIND RADII PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME AS THE PREVIOUS WARNING. CLOSEST POINT OF APPROACH TO SAIPAN (WMO 91232) IS EXPECTED 23 NM NORTHEAST OF THE ISLAND BY 18 OCT, 0300Z (1300 LOCAL). PEAK INTENSITY IS FORECAST WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS BEFORE A GRADUAL WEAKENING OCCURS THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE WARNING PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z1 IS 36 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z1 (DTG 171953Z6), 180300Z2 (DTG 180153Z8), 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4) AND 81500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1). REFER TO SUPER TYPHHON IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG65652901648 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 18 04:12:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627593-18436>; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 04:12:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA20346; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 14:58:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6676715 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 14:57:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA17244 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 14:57:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA03244 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 14:57:27 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710171957.OAA03244@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Oct 1997 14:57:27 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 019 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 15 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 406 WTPN31 PGTW 172100 1. SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 019 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- 14.6N1 128.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 160 KT, GUSTS 195 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.6N1 128.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 14.6N1 127.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 14.8N3 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 15.3N9 125.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 16.3N0 124.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 19.0N0 125.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 172100Z1 POSITION 14.6N1 128.0E1 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) NOW HAS A MAXIMUM INTENSITY OF 160 KNOTS. THIS IS NEAR THE HIGHEST ESTIMATE POSSIBLE WITH THE CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY TECHNIQUE. FORWARD SPEED HAS NOW SLOWED TO 10 KNOTS AND THE FORECAST IS FOR CONTINUED SLOWING FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS THE STEERING FLOW IS EXPECTED TO BE FAIRLY WEAK. AN EVENTUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED AFTER SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) MAKES ITS TURN FIRST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z7 IS 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6), 180900Z8 (DTG 180751Z2), 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9) AND 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 18 04:01:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627593-18431>; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 04:01:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA17332; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 14:59:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6676722 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 14:58:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA40610 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 14:58:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA03248 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 14:58:53 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710171958.OAA03248@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Oct 1997 14:58:53 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 12 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 463 ABPA20 PHNL 172000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST FRIDAY OCTOBER 17 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 18 04:03:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627594-18434>; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 04:03:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA46496; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 15:01:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6676733 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 15:01:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA40570 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 15:01:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA03283 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 15:01:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710172001.PAA03283@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Oct 1997 15:01:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 13 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 486 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171800Z/181800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/REEVES/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 18 04:04:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627594-18434>; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 04:03:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA46528; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 15:01:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6676738 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 15:01:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA24952 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 15:01:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA03282 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 15:01:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710172001.PAA03282@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Oct 1997 15:01:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 14 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 486 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/171800Z/181800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/REEVES/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 18 04:28:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627594-18431>; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 04:28:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA21160; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 15:21:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6676969 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 15:21:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA09366 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 15:21:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA03460 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 15:21:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710172021.PAA03460@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Oct 1997 15:21:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 019 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 17 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 863 WTPN32 PGTW 172100 1. SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 019 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- 15.3N9 147.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.3N9 147.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 16.1N8 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 17.3N1 141.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 18.6N5 139.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 19.9N9 138.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 23.5N0 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 172100Z1 POSITION 15.5N1 146.4E5 SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) HAS REACHED PEAK INTENSITY AND IS NOW 140 KNOTS AND HAS A 25 NM EYE. CLOSEST POINT TO SAIPAN (WMO 91232) IS EXPECTED TO BE 23 NM TO THE NORTH AT 172300Z3. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND NEXRAD RADAR REPORTS RECEIVED FROM ANDERSEN AIR FORCE BASE, GUAM. FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN SLOWLY THROUGH THE 48 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD AND WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY AFTER IT VEERS TO A NORTHERLY TRACK AT THE 72 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z7 IS 32 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2 (DTG 180153Z8), 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4), 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1) AND 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 18 09:18:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628756-8381>; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 08:03:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA29400; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 17:46:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6678008 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 17:46:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA25792 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 17:46:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA04238 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 17:46:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710172246.RAA04238@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Oct 1997 17:46:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 19 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 191 ABPZ20 KNHC 172245 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI OCT 17 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 18 09:18:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <629220-8380>; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 09:07:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA27066; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 19:53:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6678733 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 19:52:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA40608 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 19:52:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA04772 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 19:52:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710180052.TAA04772@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Oct 1997 19:52:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 020 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 20 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 331 WTPN32 PGTW 180300 1. SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 020 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 16.0N7 145.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N7 145.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 17.3N1 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 18.7N6 141.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 20.0N2 139.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 22.5N9 138.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 28.7N7 143.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION 16.3N0 145.1E1 SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM HAS TURNED A LITTLE MORE TOWARD THE NORTH DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE EYE HAS JUST PASSED THROUGH THE MARIANA ISLANDS TO THE NORTH OF SAIPAN. SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE GRADUALLY TURNING NORTH DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS, THEN RECURVE THROUGH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS AND ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARD. THIS SYSTEM HAS REACHED PEAK INTENSITY AND WILL CONTINUE WEAKENING THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z IS 32 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4), 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1), 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7) AND 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 18 09:58:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626005-8381>; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 09:57:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA47104; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 20:46:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6679050 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 20:44:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA48536 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 20:44:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA04930 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 20:44:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710180144.UAA04930@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Oct 1997 20:44:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 020 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 22 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 683 WTPN31 PGTW 180300 1. SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 020 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 14.9N4 127.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.9N4 127.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 15.3N9 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 15.6N2 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 16.1N8 124.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 17.1N9 124.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 19.3N3 125.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION 15.0N6 127.0E0 SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLOW ITS FORWARD MOTION DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THEN TURN SLOWLY NORTHWARD. A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN AND BECOME THIS SYSTEM=S PRIMARY STEERING INFLUENCE BEYOND 24 HOURS. SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) HAS REACHED PEAK INTENSITY AND IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN THROUGH 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z IS 32 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8 (DTG 180751Z2), 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9), 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5) AND 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 18 10:01:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626397-8382>; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 10:00:56 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA40478; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 20:55:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6679083 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 20:55:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA31236 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 20:55:17 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA04997 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 20:55:16 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710180155.UAA04997@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Oct 1997 20:55:16 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 23 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 820 ABPA20 PHNL 180200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 PM HST FRIDAY OCTOBER 17 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 18 11:53:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626419-8381>; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 11:53:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA10414; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 22:50:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6680049 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 22:49:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA43868 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 22:49:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA05346 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 1997 22:49:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710180349.WAA05346@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 17 Oct 1997 22:49:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 25 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 973 ABPZ20 KNHC 180349 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI OCT 17 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 18 15:28:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625998-8382>; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 15:28:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA20076; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 00:06:05 -0500 Message-Id: <199710180506.AAA20076@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Oct 1997 00:00:03 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 16 Oct 1997 to 17 Oct 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Status: X-UID: 28 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O There are 7 messages totalling 301 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. ASOS commissioning notice 2. Lightning detection equipment 3. File attachments in WX-* lists? 4. El Nino and the broadcast community 5. OLD weather data 6. ASOS Commissioning Notice 7. Hurricane Season 1997 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 17 Oct 1997 06:21:11 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS commissioning notice The following sites became commissioned ASOS sites at 1800 UTC on 15 October 1997. KLAMATH FALLS INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT (KLMT) KLAMATH FALLS... OR DAYTON WRIGHT BROTHERS AIRPORT (KMGY) DAYTON... OH Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 17 Oct 1997 08:07:58 -0500 From: Gayland Kitch Subject: Lightning detection equipment Our Parks & Recreation Director has asked me if there are any sensors/warning devices which would provide advance notice of lightning moving into the area. Specifically, they would like to have a warning device that would give them enough lead time to move participants/spectators to cover from outdoor sporting events (softball/football/soccer, etc.). In the past (in other cities), the Parks Director has used a 10-count rule: When you see lightning, begin counting. If the accompanying thunder is heard prior to 10, the fields are cleared. Our EOC does have access to NWS radar; however, the EOC is at present an 8-5 operation except during severe weather or emergencies. The EOC does not currently have access to the lightning detection network data. I would suspect that any device would need to be simple enough not to require a lot of interpretation, as what the Parks Director envisions is putting the device at the fields and having it monitored by persons from the sports associations (there is not a Parks Dept. person on-duty all the time, either). I realize that there's not going to be something that's 100% accurate, foolproof, and simple - but I'd welcome your suggestions and/or experiences. Thanks in advance! Gayland Kitch Emergency Manager The City of Moore, Oklahoma 405 793-5062 ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 17 Oct 1997 08:43:28 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Re: File attachments in WX-* lists? Mark D. Conner wrote me... >I subscribe to the WX-* lists as a digest, so any attachments (uuencode or >MIME) come out as a big section of garbage.  I'm not sure what your >thoughts on this are, but my opinion is that the lists should be straight >ASCII text rather than the mixture of uuencode, MIME, and HTML I see on >occasion. > >Some mailers seem to send both text and HTML in the same message, which is >a pain. Mark: ALL messages to LISTSERV (WX-TALK...WX-CHASE...) should be sent as plain text. Some mail clients do a better job than others when you attempt to attach a document to outgoing mail. Some clients paste a copy of the attachment into the outgoing document as it's being sent while others attach a string of MIME codes. For Windows or Mac users I suggest using the old fashioned cut and paste technique instead of using any built-in attach features (unless you know for sure your attach works well with LISTSERV). The same goes for attaching HTML documents or things like UUENCODED photos. LISTSERV is a pretty dumb animal so you've got to keep your mail simple. Also consider that some WX-***** subscribers son't have access to the latest, most sophisticated, e-mail clients. They may, in fact, be receiving WX-TALK via an old teletype machine at sea. This is another reason to keep things simple. ..Chris.. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 17 Oct 1997 09:03:44 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: El Nino and the broadcast community The following articles appeared in SHOPTALK --a TV News Magazine. The broadcast community apparently is at odds about El Nino's effects and the coverage it's receiving. For more info on SHOPTALK see http://www.tvspy.com. ..Chris.. = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = Regarding Rich Apuzzo's commentary on the" Global Warming, let's invite TV wxdudes/dudetts to the White House"..... We spent several hours at NOAA in Silver Springs listening to leading scientists and their 40 year study regarding the effects of humankind's 30 percent contribution to greenhouse gases.  THEN, we attended a briefing with Clinton/Gore to hear how this administration plans to address what may be an environmental nightmare for generations ahead. Yes, most of those gases are natural....the concern has to do with the spiraling world population growth and thus the resultant increase in manmade greenhouse gases and in only a few years to come..... Problem is.....if they are correct...it will take a few years to arrest the current rate of increased carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, not to mention the increased rate due to normal living of a growing world populace. It's unfortunate that so many folks are willing to dispell this whole notion of a problem brewing due to involvement of politicians..... I'm sorry, but I don't subscribe to the line of "let's invent a global environmental problem so we can offer a fix" politics.  I don't care who, if anybody, gets credit for some foresight here....but, I'm not going to shut my mind to a group of credible scientists in this field who are trying to find some avenue of waking the world to a potential catastrophe...if not for US then for my grandchildren. Why do many of us listen to pundits like Rush Limbaugh and others when THEY decide an issue like this can only be ridiculous due to interest of politicians. Why can't we, in this industry, keep open minds!? Gary Dobbs Chief Meteorologist WAAY TV Huntsville, Ala.                               o o o o o Dear Don and Laura, Steven McQuinn posted what I thought was an overheated (!) response in the 10/15 edition of SHOP TALK about the Clinton Administration¹s appeal to weathercasters. In it, Mr. McQuinn accuses people like me of taking "cheap shots" at the weathercasters who were merely "cover(ing) their own beat" by having attended this month¹s White House briefing on climate change. He also asks who might be better qualified to report on this subject than weathercasters? Well, if one were to judge by the comments of two weathercasters present at the White House briefing (as described in the Washington Post), it wouldn't be a "cheap shot" at all to suggest that those individuals could use a refresher course in Journalism 101. For instance, the Chief Meteorologist of WYOU (Scranton, Pa.) was quoted as saying that he had been skeptical about global warming until he heard "the president and vice president state emphatically that the scientific debate is over", and "well, that went a long way toward convincing (him)." An unnamed weatherman was quoted in the same article as asking Vice President Gore, "if 'you guys' had given any more thought to what to say at the Kyoto conference in December." Those are hardly the comments or questions of journalists who are knowledgable about the climate change issue and I hope those statements were misquoted or taken out of context.  Mr. McQuinn seems to think weathercasters should serve as cheerleaders for the administration's position on global warming rather than as journalists investigating contrasting claims in an important issue. As for "cover(ing) their beat", I suspect the opportunity to deliver a live standup from the grounds of the White House had a lot more to do with the attendance of the weathercasters (perhaps this was their News Director's decision) than a desire to report on global warming. I must admit I watch weather reporters regularly in the Washington, D.C. area, and they perform a wonderful and difficult job with aplomb. But while they show lots of videos of hurricanes and tornadoes, and banter about forecasts for holiday weekends and sporting events, they have yet to produce many in-depth stories on the many aspects of climate change. Mr. McQuinn¹s rhetorical barrage about the "forces organizing against the global warming treaty" who are "seeking to distort and thereby discredit the aggregate judgment of the climate research community by exploiting the testimony of dissenters" needs comment and perspective. "Forces" organize against government actions, plans, treaties or policies all the time. This is not new. It¹s called democracy, and I don't think many of our readers want to cede the right to "organize" against government policies they disagree with anytime soon. Secondly, the climate research community is not nearly as unanimous or as certain in their views about global warming as Mr. McQuinn suggests. Even advocates of the warming theory urge caution and point out the caveats, assumptions, uncertainties and nuances of computer climate modeling upon which the climate change theory is based. Read the May 16, 1997, issue of Science Magazine, p.1040-1042, for some views on this subject that never get expressed in the mainstream media, let alone television weather forecasts! Such things as "aggregate judgement" and "consensus" work much better in politics than in science where researchers are supposed to aim for truths, not bureaucratic compromises. No doubt the "aggregate judgement" of scientists in 1543 was that the Sun revolved around the Earth. But when one man, Copernicus, "organized" to "discredit" the theory that same year, it did not matter what the "consensus" of scientists thought, they were wrong. And as far "exploiting the testimony of dissenters" goes, I rarely hear or read in the mainstream press or electronic media any objective or serious examination of the views held by those scientists and researchers who question all or part of current climate change theory. Most are written off either as industry shills or right-wing kooks, while the press routinely and uncritically reports the views of global warming advocates. Quite frankly, I would like to see a much wider range of views "exploited" so a thorough debate can be held and result in a proper response to the slight warming trend of the past 100 years. No one can deny the trend has taken place, it's our response and how serious this is which needs to be investigated thoroughly. Until then, I'll be waiting for some "excellence" on this issue from science journalists, and if weathercasters can serve in this capacity, more power to them. But from what I¹ve heard so far, they¹re not "running" with "their" story at all. And if some are, I trust they will bring the basic practices of journalism along with them.     Neal Lavon Cedar Avenue Takoma Park, Maryland, USA *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 17 Oct 1997 13:41:58 -0700 From: Don or Darla Arnold Subject: OLD weather data HI all do you have a yen for old weather data, if so then this is the place for you don http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/ enjoy!!!! ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 17 Oct 1997 16:07:11 -0400 From: Miles Schumacher Subject: ASOS Commissioning Notice The following site became a commissioned ASOS site at 1800 UTC today, 17 October 1997 WAKEFIELD MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KAKQ) WAKEFIELD... VA Miles Schumacher - WSFO DMX ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 17 Oct 1997 17:50:21 -0400 From: Chris Phillips Subject: Hurricane Season 1997 Hello Everybody I am really suprised at the number and history of the hurricanes for this season. One thing that suprises me even more though, is that we have had a basically dry summer and it doesn't look as if the winter is going to be much wetter or cold as normal, now why is that? Is it solely due to the "El Nino"? Could it be the Greenhouse Effect? or could it be something else? If anybody has any ideas why Eastern North Carolina has turned out this way, please by all means reply, I am thirsty for knowledge and the water fountain seems to have gone out of order locally! Have a good one and happy hunting! Chris Phillips, Central Atlantic Storm Investigators Member NWS-Newport Advanced SKYWARN Spotter Web page: http://www.geocities.com/CapeCanaveral/Lab/2473 Email Addresses: stormchaser@coastalnet.com weatherfreak@hotmail.com ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 16 Oct 1997 to 17 Oct 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 18 13:18:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626510-8377>; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 13:18:11 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA27112; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 00:15:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6680489 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 00:15:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA27078 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 00:15:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA05678 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 00:15:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710180515.AAA05678@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Oct 1997 00:15:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 26 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 460 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/180151ZOCT97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/180153ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, STY IVAN (27W) WRNG NR 20. REF B, STY JOAN (28W) WRNG NR 20// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 180000Z9 SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WAS LOCATED AT 14.9N4 127.3E3, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 150 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 180 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 20 (WTPN31 PGTW 180300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 180000Z9 SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.0N7 145.7E7, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 135 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 165 KNOTS. SEE REF B (SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 20 (WTPN32 PGTW 180300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 18 14:17:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626478-8382>; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 14:17:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA29708; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 00:15:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6680494 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 00:15:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA36548 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 00:15:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA05677 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 00:15:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710180515.AAA05677@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Oct 1997 00:15:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 27 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 460 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/180151ZOCT97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/180153ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, STY IVAN (27W) WRNG NR 20. REF B, STY JOAN (28W) WRNG NR 20// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 180000Z9 SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WAS LOCATED AT 14.9N4 127.3E3, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 150 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 180 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 20 (WTPN31 PGTW 180300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 180000Z9 SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.0N7 145.7E7, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 135 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 165 KNOTS. SEE REF B (SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 20 (WTPN32 PGTW 180300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 18 15:29:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626478-8377>; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 15:29:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA30466; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 02:23:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6680914 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 02:23:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA10718 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 02:22:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05998 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 02:22:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710180722.CAA05998@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Oct 1997 02:22:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 29 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 085 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/180151ZOCT97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/180153ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, STY IVAN (27W) WRNG NR 20. REF B, STY JOAN (28W) WRNG NR 20// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 180000Z9 SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WAS LOCATED AT 14.9N4 127.3E3, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 150 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 180 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 20 (WTPN31 PGTW 180300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 180000Z9 SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.0N7 145.7E7, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 135 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 165 KNOTS. SEE REF B (SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 20 (WTPN32 PGTW 180300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/EIBLING/BACON// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG64812910551 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 18 15:31:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626458-8381>; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 15:31:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA28962; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 02:23:54 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6680921 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 02:23:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA28380 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 02:22:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05997 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 02:22:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710180722.CAA05997@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Oct 1997 02:22:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 30 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 085 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/180151ZOCT97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/180153ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, STY IVAN (27W) WRNG NR 20. REF B, STY JOAN (28W) WRNG NR 20// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 180000Z9 SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WAS LOCATED AT 14.9N4 127.3E3, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 150 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 180 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 20 (WTPN31 PGTW 180300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 180000Z9 SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.0N7 145.7E7, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 135 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 165 KNOTS. SEE REF B (SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 20 (WTPN32 PGTW 180300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/EIBLING/BACON// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG64812910551 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 18 16:04:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625959-8380>; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 16:04:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA21474; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 02:27:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6680930 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 02:26:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA29136 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 02:26:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA06013 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 02:26:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710180726.CAA06013@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Oct 1997 02:26:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 021 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 33 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 114 WTPN32 PGTW 180900 1. TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 021 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- 16.5N2 144.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N2 144.3E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 17.8N6 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 19.3N3 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 21.3N6 138.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 24.5N1 140.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 29.7N8 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION 16.8N5 143.7E5 SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) CONTINUES TRACKING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT A CURRENT SPEED OF 14 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWARD, THEN NORTHEASTWARD AND ACCELERATE. SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) SHOULD BEGIN TO SLOWLY WEAKEN WITHIN 12 HOURS, THEN CONTINUE WEAKENING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z IS 33 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1), 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7), 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9) AND 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 18 15:49:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626614-8381>; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 15:49:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA23094; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 02:46:04 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6680957 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 02:46:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA30756 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 02:45:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA06061 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 02:45:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710180745.CAA06061@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Oct 1997 02:45:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 31 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 371 ABPA20 PHNL 180800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST FRIDAY OCTOBER 17 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...ITCZ...A BAND OF LAYERED CLOUDS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS...STRETCHES IN A CONTINUOUS BAND FROM THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA TO 700 MILES SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TO NEAR POHNPEI...A DISTANCE OF ABOUT 8000 MILES. TROPICAL CYCLONES SOMETIMES START WITHIN THE ITCZ...BUT TONIGHT THE ITCZ CONTAINS NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 18 16:11:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625959-8381>; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 16:11:53 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA48406; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 02:59:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6680997 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 02:59:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA24572 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 02:59:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA06083 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 02:59:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710180759.CAA06083@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Oct 1997 02:59:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 021 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 34 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 510 WTPN31 PGTW 180900 1. TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 021 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- 15.2N8 126.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N8 126.3E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 15.8N4 125.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 16.4N1 124.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 17.1N9 124.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 18.1N0 124.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 20.3N5 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION 15.4N0 126.0E9 SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TURNING NORTHWARD THROUGH 36 HOURS, THEN MOVE NORTHEASTWARD. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED THROUGH 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9), 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5), 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7) AND 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 18 16:43:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626114-8381>; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 16:43:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA28402; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 03:28:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6681040 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 03:28:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA10716 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 03:28:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA06310 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 03:28:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710180828.DAA06310@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Oct 1997 03:28:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 021a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 37 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 057 WTPN31 PGTW 180900 COR 1. SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 021A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- 15.2N8 126.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N8 126.3E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 15.8N4 125.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 16.4N1 124.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 17.1N9 124.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 18.1N0 124.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 20.3N5 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION 15.4N0 126.0E9 SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TURNING NORTHWARD THROUGH 36 HOURS, THEN MOVE NORTHEASTWARD. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED THROUGH 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9), 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5), 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7) AND 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECT WARNING TITLE TO SUPER TYPHOON.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 18 16:39:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625959-8377>; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 16:39:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA23118; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 03:29:39 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6681046 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 03:29:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA28220 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 03:29:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA06314 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 03:29:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710180829.DAA06314@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Oct 1997 03:29:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 021a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 36 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 058 WTPN32 PGTW 180900 COR 1. SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 021A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- 16.5N2 144.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N2 144.3E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 17.8N6 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 19.3N3 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 21.3N6 138.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 24.5N1 140.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 29.7N8 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION 16.8N5 143.7E5 SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) CONTINUES TRACKING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT A CURRENT SPEED OF 14 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWARD, THEN NORTHEASTWARD AND ACCELERATE. SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) SHOULD BEGIN TO SLOWLY WEAKEN WITHIN 12 HOURS, THEN CONTINUE WEAKENING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z IS 33 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1), 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7), 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9) AND 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECT WARNING TITLE TO SUPER TYPHOON.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 18 18:02:39 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626527-8381>; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 18:02:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA48626; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 05:00:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6681264 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 05:00:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA30598 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 04:59:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA06544 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 04:59:40 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710180959.EAA06544@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Oct 1997 04:59:40 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 38 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 418 ABPZ20 KNHC 180959 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT OCT 18 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 18 22:11:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627068-8377>; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 22:10:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA31292; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 08:56:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6681904 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 08:56:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA30502 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 08:56:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA07157 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 08:56:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710181356.IAA07157@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Oct 1997 08:56:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 022 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 41 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 827 WTPN32 PGTW 181500 1. SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 022 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 17.1N9 143.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N9 143.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 18.5N4 140.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 20.2N4 139.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 22.4N8 139.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 25.6N3 140.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 31.4N8 150.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION 17.4N2 142.5E2 SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) HAS RE-INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS WHILE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A DIGITAL DVORAK VALUE OF 7.4 (150 KNOTS) AT 181130Z4. WIND RADII ADJUSTED USING ANALYSIS OF INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE TRACK FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z IS 33 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7), 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9), 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5) AND 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 18 22:37:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627135-8377>; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 22:37:26 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA31406; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 09:04:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6681923 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 09:04:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA17564 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 09:04:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA07176 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 09:04:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710181404.JAA07176@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Oct 1997 09:04:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 43 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 991 ABPA20 PHNL 181400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 AM HST SATURDAY OCTOBER 18 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...ITCZ...A BAND OF LAYERED CLOUDS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS...STRETCHES IN A CONTINUOUS BAND FROM THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA TO 700 MILES SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TO NEAR POHNPEI...A DISTANCE OF ABOUT 8000 MILES. AN AREA OF ACTIVE THUNDERSTORMS HAS DEVELOPED ALONG THE ITCZ 1000 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI. THIS DISTURBANCE IS POORLY ORGANIZED AND IS NOT LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 18 22:29:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625980-8382>; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 22:29:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA04388; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 09:19:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6682021 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 09:19:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA04360 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 09:19:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA07217 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 09:19:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710181419.JAA07217@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Oct 1997 09:19:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 022a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 42 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 315 WTPN32 PGTW 181500 COR 1. SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 022A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 17.1N9 143.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N9 143.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 18.5N4 140.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 20.2N4 139.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 22.4N8 139.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 25.6N3 140.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 31.4N8 150.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION 17.4N2 142.5E2 SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) HAS RE-INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS WHILE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A DIGITAL DVORAK VALUE OF 7.4 (150 KNOTS) AT 181130Z4. WIND RADII ADJUSTED USING ANALYSIS OF INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE TRACK FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z IS 33 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7), 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9), 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5) AND 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED FOR WAVE HEIGHT WARNING HEADER IN REMARKS SECTION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 18 22:39:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627064-8380>; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 22:39:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA40504; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 09:30:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6682094 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 09:30:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA29422 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 09:29:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA07247 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 09:29:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710181429.JAA07247@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Oct 1997 09:29:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 022 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 44 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 534 WTPN31 PGTW 181500 1. SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 022 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 15.6N2 125.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N2 125.3E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 16.6N3 123.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 17.5N3 123.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 18.5N4 123.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 19.7N7 124.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 22.2N6 126.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION 15.9N5 124.9E6 SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. WARNING INTENSITY BASED UPON DIGITAL DVORAK INFRARED SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 7.3 (145 KNOTS) AT 181130Z4. THE SYSTEM HAS RE-INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) IS EXPECTED TO TRACK A LITTLE FURTHER WEST THAN OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST. OTHERWISE, THERE ARE NO OTHER CHANGES TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5), 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7), 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3) AND 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 19 00:42:46 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627337-8381>; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 00:42:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA29404; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 11:36:52 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6682688 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 11:36:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA17610 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 11:36:44 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA07731 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 11:36:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710181636.LAA07731@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Oct 1997 11:36:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 45 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 815 ABPZ20 KNHC 181634 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT OCT 18 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 19 02:31:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627245-8382>; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 02:31:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA28480; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 13:26:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6683103 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 13:25:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA48600 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 13:25:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA08304 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 13:25:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710181825.NAA08304@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Oct 1997 13:25:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 46 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 993 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/191800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 19 02:31:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627488-8377>; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 02:31:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA48394; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 13:25:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6683093 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 13:25:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA24026 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 13:25:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA08303 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 13:25:30 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710181825.NAA08303@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Oct 1997 13:25:30 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 47 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 993 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/191800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 19 02:31:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627337-8377>; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 02:31:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA48424; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 13:25:55 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6683098 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 13:25:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA29412 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 13:25:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA08311 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 13:25:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710181825.NAA08311@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Oct 1997 13:25:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 48 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 994 ABPW10 PGTW 181730 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/181730Z/190600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181351ZOCT97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181353ZOCT97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 181200Z2 SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WAS LOCATED AT 15.6N2 125.3E1, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 145 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 175 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 22 (WTPN31 PGTW 181500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 181200Z2 SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 17.1N9 143.1E9, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 150 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 180 KNOTS. SEE REF B (SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 22A (WTPN32 PGTW 181500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR MORE THAN 12 HOURS NEAR 07.0N7 179.9E6. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 181200Z2 SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IN THE MONSOON TROUGH UNDERNEATH WEAK UPPER LEVEL DIFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUANCE OF THIS ADVISORY IS PARAGRAPH 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 19 02:32:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627404-8382>; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 02:32:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA23130; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 13:26:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6683108 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 13:26:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA28646 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 13:25:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA08312 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 13:25:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710181825.NAA08312@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Oct 1997 13:25:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 49 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 994 ABPW10 PGTW 181730 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/181730Z/190600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181351ZOCT97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181353ZOCT97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 181200Z2 SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WAS LOCATED AT 15.6N2 125.3E1, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 145 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 175 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 22 (WTPN31 PGTW 181500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 181200Z2 SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 17.1N9 143.1E9, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 150 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 180 KNOTS. SEE REF B (SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 22A (WTPN32 PGTW 181500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR MORE THAN 12 HOURS NEAR 07.0N7 179.9E6. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 181200Z2 SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IN THE MONSOON TROUGH UNDERNEATH WEAK UPPER LEVEL DIFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUANCE OF THIS ADVISORY IS PARAGRAPH 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 19 02:41:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627404-8382>; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 02:41:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA23208; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 13:37:14 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6683147 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 13:37:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA48504 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 13:37:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA08370 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 13:36:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710181836.NAA08370@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Oct 1997 13:36:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 50 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 392 ABPW10 PGTW 181730 29<8$/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE HGWESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) OIVAN ()7W) WAS LOCATE AT 15.6N2 125.3E1, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 K OTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 145 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 175 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 22 (WTPN31 PGTW 181500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FUROHER DETAILS. (2) AT 181200Z2 SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 17.1N9 143.7;-9, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MWJIGKNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 150 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 180 KNOTS. SEE REF B (SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 22A (WTPN32 PGTW 181500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. BWM TROP CAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1?) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR MORE THAN 12 HOURS NEAR 07.0N7 179.9E6. INFRARED SET EA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL NYCLONEPDEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSIECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN OUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMA LN NONE 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUANCE OF THIS ADVISORY IS PARAGRAPH 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: STEW SNQCOCKS/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 19 02:45:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627539-8382>; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 02:45:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA23182; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 13:37:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6683142 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 13:37:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA04470 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 13:37:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA08369 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 13:36:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710181836.NAA08369@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Oct 1997 13:36:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 51 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 392 ABPW10 PGTW 181730 29<8$/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE HGWESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) OIVAN ()7W) WAS LOCATE AT 15.6N2 125.3E1, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 K OTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 145 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 175 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 22 (WTPN31 PGTW 181500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FUROHER DETAILS. (2) AT 181200Z2 SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 17.1N9 143.7;-9, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MWJIGKNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 150 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 180 KNOTS. SEE REF B (SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 22A (WTPN32 PGTW 181500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. BWM TROP CAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1?) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR MORE THAN 12 HOURS NEAR 07.0N7 179.9E6. INFRARED SET EA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL NYCLONEPDEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSIECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN OUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMA LN NONE 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUANCE OF THIS ADVISORY IS PARAGRAPH 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: STEW SNQCOCKS/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 19 03:59:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627290-8377>; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 03:59:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA23234; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 14:57:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6683576 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 14:57:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA40620 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 14:57:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA08752 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 14:57:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710181957.OAA08752@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Oct 1997 14:57:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 52 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 909 ABPA20 PHNL 182000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST SATURDAY OCTOBER 18 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. CLUSTERS OF CONVECTIVE CLOUDS SOUTHWEST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE ISLANDS...BETWEEN 10N AND 05N FROM THE DATELINE TO 130W...SHOW NO SIGNIFICANT ROTATION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 19 04:05:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627393-8382>; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 04:05:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA23082; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 14:59:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6683581 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 14:59:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA17428 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 14:59:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA08772 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 14:59:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710181959.OAA08772@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Oct 1997 14:59:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 023 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 53 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 964 WTPN32 PGTW 182100 1. SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 023 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- 17.7N5 141.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N5 141.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 19.3N3 139.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 21.1N4 138.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 23.6N1 139.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 26.2N0 141.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 32.2N7 151.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION 18.1N0 141.3E9 SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A DIGITAL DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 7.2 (145 KNOTS). MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 892 MB. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW AND TURN MORE NORTHWARD NEAR THE AXIS OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IN 24 HOURS. SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) SHOULD WEAKEN AND TURN MORE NORTHEASTWARD AFTER 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z8 IS 33 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9), 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5), 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2) AND 192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 19 04:26:10 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627070-8377>; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 04:26:03 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA46350; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 15:20:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6683615 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 15:20:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA28668 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 15:20:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA08923 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 15:20:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710182020.PAA08923@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Oct 1997 15:20:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 022 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 54 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 234 WTPN31 PGTW 181500 1. SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 022 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 15.6N2 125.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N2 125.3E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 16.6N3 123.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 17.5N3 123.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 18.5N4 123.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 19.7N7 124.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 22.2N6 126.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION 15.9N5 124.9E6 SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. WARNING INTENSITY BASED UPON DIGITAL DVORAK INFRARED SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 7.3 (145 KNOTS) AT 181130Z4. THE SYSTEM HAS RE-INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) IS EXPECTED TO TRACK A LITTLE FURTHER WEST THAN PREVIOUS FORECAST. OTHERWISE, THERE ARE NO OTHER CHANGES TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5), 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7), 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3) AND 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 19 05:15:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627539-8377>; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 05:15:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA40560; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 16:09:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6683811 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 16:09:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA28572 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 16:06:24 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA09153 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 16:05:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710182105.QAA09153@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Oct 1997 16:05:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 023 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 55 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 617 WTPN31 PGTW 182100 1. SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 023 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- 16.0N7 124.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N7 124.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 16.9N6 123.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 18.0N9 123.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 19.2N2 124.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 20.6N8 125.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 23.0N5 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION 16.2N9 124.3E0 SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. STY IVAN=S (27W) INTENSITY HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS DUE TO SHEAR FROM THE OUTFLOW OF STY JOAN (27W). SUPER TYPHOON IVAN=S FOWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO SLOW OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT BEGINS A MORE NORTHWARD TRACK IN A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. BY 36 HOURS THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TURN TO A MORE NORTHEASTWARD MOTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z8 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7), 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3), 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0) AND 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. // +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 19 06:40:51 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625885-7457>; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 06:40:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA17610; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 17:38:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6684328 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 17:38:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA48566 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 17:38:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA09514 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 17:38:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710182238.RAA09514@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Oct 1997 17:38:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 56 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 077 ABPZ20 KNHC 182236 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT OCT 18 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 19 09:11:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626036-7457>; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 09:11:35 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id TAA48828; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 19:59:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6684883 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 19:59:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id TAA04520 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 19:59:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id TAA09956 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 19:59:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710190059.TAA09956@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Oct 1997 19:59:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 024 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 57 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 110 WTPN31 PGTW 190300 1. SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 024 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 16.6N3 124.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.6N3 124.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 17.6N4 123.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 18.5N4 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 19.6N6 123.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 20.8N0 124.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 22.9N3 126.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 16.9N6 124.0E7 SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ITS GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS, THEN CONTINUE MOVING NORTHEASTWARD. SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING AS IT NEARS LUZON DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. INCREASING UPPER-LEVEL WINDS BEYOND 48 HOURS SHOULD WEAKEN IT FURTHER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3), 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0), 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6) AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 19 09:21:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626071-7461>; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 09:21:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA17620; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 20:01:40 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6684913 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 20:01:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA23234 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 20:01:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA09973 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 20:01:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710190101.UAA09973@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Oct 1997 20:01:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 58 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 212 ABPA20 PHNL 190200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 PM HST SATURDAY OCTOBER 18 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION NEAR 05N178W WILL LIKELY CROSS THE DATELINE BEFORE STRENGTHENING. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 19 10:06:43 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626071-7457>; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 10:06:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA20016; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 20:59:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6685513 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 20:59:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA28446 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 20:59:48 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA10102 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 20:59:47 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710190159.UAA10102@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Oct 1997 20:59:47 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 024 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 60 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 580 WTPN32 PGTW 190300 1. SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 024 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 18.1N0 140.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.1N0 140.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 19.5N5 139.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 21.6N9 138.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 24.7N3 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 23 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 27.6N5 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 31.8N2 155.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 18.4N3 140.3E8 SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TURN NORTHWARD DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THEN IT WILL TURN NORTHEASTWARD AFTER 24 HOURS AND ACCELERATE. SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) IS CURRENTLY MAINTAINING ITS INTENSITY BUT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING SIGNIFICANTLY AFTER IT PASSES NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS IN ABOUT 24 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WITHIN 60 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z IS 33 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5), 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2), 192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8) AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 19 11:54:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626573-7462>; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 11:54:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA21522; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 22:50:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6686148 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 22:50:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAB30972 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 22:50:37 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA10520 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 1997 22:50:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710190350.WAA10520@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 18 Oct 1997 22:50:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 61 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 251 ABPZ20 KNHC 190334 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT OCT 18 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 19 15:15:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626175-7460>; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 15:15:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA47294; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 00:04:43 -0500 Message-Id: <199710190504.AAA47294@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Oct 1997 00:00:01 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 17 Oct 1997 to 18 Oct 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Status: X-UID: 64 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O There are 4 messages totalling 114 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Global Warming Feeding Frenzy -Clarification- 2. "Super" Typhoon criteria 3. Warming from pavement 4. El Nino in the funnies +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 18 Oct 1997 01:00:29 -0700 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: Global Warming Feeding Frenzy -Clarification- I found this tidbit interesting, > Why do many of us listen to pundits like Rush Limbaugh and others when > THEY decide an issue like this can only be ridiculous due to interest > of politicians. > > Why can't we, in this industry, keep open minds!? > > Gary Dobbs > Chief Meteorologist > WAAY TV > Huntsville, Ala. Keeping an open mind includes not automatically dismissing dissenting opinions. I've also been critical of the current politicization of the weather science, especially since most of the greenhouse gasses are being spewed by the politicians. Speaking for only myself, and as someone who enjoys tuning in Rush almost every day, I would submit the following, - I do have an open mind. - No one can tell me -how- I should think. - I crap bigger than Rush. I apologize if I was too blunt, but it saves bandwidth on occasions. ************************************************************************* 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA Skywarn Spotter, Ditto Head, All Around Regular Guy, Wiener Dog Owner Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" my severe weather and SKYWARN home page! SFTS! http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 17 Oct 1997 23:57:28 GMT From: David Haines Subject: "Super" Typhoon criteria I noticed today that Typhoons Ivan and Joan have both been officially designated "super typhoons" with max sustained winds of 160 and 140 knots respectively. Just curious -- what is the threshold for a super typhoon? Is there a correlation with the Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale? (A so-called "major hurricane" is S-S category 3 or higher.) If there's no S-S correlation, why was the particular threshold adopted? -------------------------- "The legend lives on from the Chippewa on down Of the big lake they call Gitchy Goomy. The lake, it is said, never gives up her dead When the skies of November turn gloomy." -- Gordon Lightfoot ----------------- To reply by E-mail, "decaffeinate" the address. All flames automatically forwarded to president@whitehouse.gov with the subject line "I'M COMING AFTER YOU NOW!!" ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 18 Oct 1997 09:28:46 -0700 From: kz Subject: Warming from pavement Everyone knows that it's very hot just above paved highways and parking lots (with full sun). Has anyone done a study on the effect all this asphalt has on global warming, if any. Surely it adds some heat to official temperatures taken in larger cities and at airports - on a summer day its like having a furnace under your feet. Is the official temperature in industrialized nations with lots of paved roads, parking lots, airports, etc. higher than in those countries with few of these features? Could global warming partially be affected by this reflective heat as well as Co2 and other natural causes? If so, then why do we continue to spend billions a year to build more of these heat island highways and parking lots? KZ ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 19 Oct 1997 00:10:16 GMT From: David Haines Subject: Re: El Nino in the funnies William E Newkirk wrote in article <8525652A.004C3366.00@mbnotes.cca.rockwell.com>... > in the same vein.. > > dana summers' cartoon in the orlando sentinel sunday: > > unhappy clinton at a podium with a sign labeling the even as a > weathercasters convention ... man on the floor asks "Sir, what impact will > the El Reno effect have on your administration?" Even better: The 10/17 Sentinel cartoon, in which a schoolkid tries to blame his lousy grades on El Nino! ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 17 Oct 1997 to 18 Oct 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 19 13:30:07 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628444-7462>; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 13:25:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA23888; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 00:20:12 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6686587 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 00:19:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA22532 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 00:19:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA10832 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 00:19:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710190519.AAA10832@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Oct 1997 00:19:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 62 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 075 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/190151ZOCT97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/190153ZOCT97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0 SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.6N3 124.2E9, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 140 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 170 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 24 (WTPN31 PGTW 190300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 190000Z0 SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 18.1N0 140.7E2, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 145 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 175 KNOTS. SEE REF B (SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 24 (WTPN32 PGTW 190300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY NEAR 7.0N7 180E9 REMAINS NEAR THAT LOCATION. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 190000Z0 SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS SHOW A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS COLLOCATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS IMPROVED ABOVE THIS DISTURBANCE DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 19 13:47:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626314-7460>; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 13:46:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA23914; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 00:20:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6686592 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 00:20:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA26882 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 00:19:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA10831 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 00:19:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710190519.AAA10831@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Oct 1997 00:19:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 63 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 075 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/190151ZOCT97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/190153ZOCT97// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0 SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.6N3 124.2E9, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 140 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 170 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 24 (WTPN31 PGTW 190300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 190000Z0 SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 18.1N0 140.7E2, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 145 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 175 KNOTS. SEE REF B (SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 24 (WTPN32 PGTW 190300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY NEAR 7.0N7 180E9 REMAINS NEAR THAT LOCATION. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 190000Z0 SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS SHOW A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS COLLOCATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS IMPROVED ABOVE THIS DISTURBANCE DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 19 15:43:48 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626256-7462>; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 15:43:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA31490; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 02:21:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6686862 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 02:20:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA40684 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 02:20:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA11154 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 02:20:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710190720.CAA11154@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Oct 1997 02:20:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 025 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 67 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 491 WTPN31 PGTW 190900 1. SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 025 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- 17.2N0 123.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.2N0 123.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 18.6N5 122.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 20.0N2 123.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 21.0N3 124.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 21.9N2 126.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 23.9N4 129.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION 17.5N3 123.3E9 SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 190530Z8 SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN CONFIRMED USING A 190300Z3 SURFACE REPORT FROM APARRI/LUZON ISLAND (WMO 98232) AND 181430Z7 SATELLITE SCATTEROMETRY DATA. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS STILL EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHEASTWARD AND WEAKEN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0), 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6), 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9) AND 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 19 15:32:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626185-7457>; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 15:32:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA31574; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 02:22:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6686875 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 02:22:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA31550 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 02:22:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA11160 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 02:22:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710190722.CAA11160@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Oct 1997 02:22:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 65 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 514 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/190151ZOCT97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/190153ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, STY IVAN (27W) WRNG NR 24. REF B, STY JOAN (28W) WRNG NR 24.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0 SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.6N3 124.2E9, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 140 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 170 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 24 (WTPN31 PGTW 190300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 190000Z0 SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 18.1N0 140.7E2, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 145 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 175 KNOTS. SEE REF B (SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 24 (WTPN32 PGTW 190300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY NEAR 7.0N7 180E9 REMAINS NEAR THAT LOCATION. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 190000Z0 SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS SHOW A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS COLLOCATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS IMPROVED ABOVE THIS DISTURBANCE DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/EIBLING/BACON// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG77792920551 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 19 15:33:09 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626175-7457>; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 15:33:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA31598; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 02:22:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6686880 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 02:22:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA30528 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 02:22:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA11159 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 02:22:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710190722.CAA11159@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Oct 1997 02:22:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 66 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 514 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/190151ZOCT97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/190153ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, STY IVAN (27W) WRNG NR 24. REF B, STY JOAN (28W) WRNG NR 24.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0 SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.6N3 124.2E9, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 140 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 170 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 24 (WTPN31 PGTW 190300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 190000Z0 SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 18.1N0 140.7E2, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 145 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 175 KNOTS. SEE REF B (SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 24 (WTPN32 PGTW 190300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY NEAR 7.0N7 180E9 REMAINS NEAR THAT LOCATION. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 190000Z0 SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS SHOW A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS COLLOCATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS IMPROVED ABOVE THIS DISTURBANCE DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/EIBLING/BACON// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG77792920551 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 19 15:59:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626165-7460>; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 15:59:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA10630; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 02:55:51 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6687032 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 02:55:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA29300 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 02:55:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA11245 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 02:55:42 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710190755.CAA11245@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Oct 1997 02:55:42 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 68 Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 978 ABPA20 PHNL 190800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST SATURDAY OCTOBER 18 1997 TWO AREAS OF CONVECTION SHOW SOME SIGNS OF LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC ROTATION. ONE IS NEAR 08N 179W AND THE OTHER NEAR 09N 163W. THE FORMER IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD AND THE LATTER IS ALMOST STATIONARY. NEITHER HAS SHOWN ANY SIGNS OF STRENGTHENING OVER THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 19 16:32:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626076-7457>; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 16:32:49 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA23846; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 03:13:32 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6687051 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 03:13:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA17940 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 03:13:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA11531 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 03:13:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710190813.DAA11531@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Oct 1997 03:13:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 025 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 70 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 273 WTPN32 PGTW 190900 1. SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 025 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- 18.5N4 139.8E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.5N4 139.8E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 19.7N7 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 22.5N9 137.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 25.7N4 140.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 26 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 28.2N2 145.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 33.2N8 158.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION 18.8N7 139.3E6 SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 190530Z SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED USING SATELLITE SCATTEROMETRY DATA. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS STILL FORECAST TO TURN NORTHEASTWARD, THEN ACCELERATE WHILE WEAKENING. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS FORECAST TO BEGIN WITHIN 60 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z IS 38 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2), 192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8), 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1) AND 200900Z1 (DTG 200753Z7). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 19 18:32:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626124-7462>; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 18:32:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA28422; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 05:29:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6687327 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 05:29:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA04596 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 05:29:10 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA11882 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 05:29:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710191029.FAA11882@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Oct 1997 05:29:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 496 ABPZ20 KNHC 191029 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN OCT 19 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 19 21:45:45 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626175-7457>; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 21:45:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA26920; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 08:34:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6688063 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 08:33:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA14328 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 08:33:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA12319 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 08:33:44 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710191333.IAA12319@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Oct 1997 08:33:44 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 026 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 783 WTPN32 PGTW 191500 1. SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 026 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- 19.0N0 138.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.0N0 138.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 20.9N1 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 23.5N0 137.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 25.7N4 140.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 23 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 28.3N3 144.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 33.4N0 157.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION 19.5N5 138.4E6 DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS, SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS AND HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY. CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 191130Z5 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI 7.0 (140 KNOTS). NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE FORECAST TRACK. JOAN HAS REMAINED ABOVE SUPER TYPHOON INTENSITY (130 KNOTS) FOR MORE THAN 60 HOURS AND THERE ARE NO INDICATIONS THAT SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING WILL OCCUR THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z3 IS 35 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8), 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1), 200900Z1 (DTG 200753Z7) AND 201500Z8 (DTG 201353Z4). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 19 21:55:05 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626124-7457>; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 21:55:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA40614; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 08:49:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6688124 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 08:49:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA21652 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 08:49:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA12372 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 08:49:01 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710191349.IAA12372@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Oct 1997 08:49:01 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 026 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 114 WTPN31 PGTW 191500 1. SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 026 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- 17.6N4 122.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N4 122.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 18.5N4 122.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 19.9N9 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 21.0N3 124.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 22.0N4 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 23.9N4 129.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION 17.8N6 122.6E1 SUPER TYPHOON IVAN (27W) HAS SLOWED AND TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS BEGINNING TO INTERACT WITH THE NORTHEAST COAST OF LUZON WHICH IS CAUSING IT TO WEAKEN. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST OTHER THAN IVAN TRACKING CLOSER TO THE LUZON COAST OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z3 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6), 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9), 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5) AND 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 19 21:57:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626124-7462>; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 21:57:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA29192; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 08:56:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6688139 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 08:56:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA46568 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 08:56:08 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA12400 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 08:56:08 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710191356.IAA12400@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Oct 1997 08:56:08 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 217 ABPA20 PHNL 191400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 AM HST SUNDAY OCTOBER 19 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 20 01:53:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627153-7460>; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 01:53:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA43838; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 11:35:26 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6689387 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 11:35:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA24876 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 11:35:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA12818 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 11:35:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710191635.LAA12818@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Oct 1997 11:35:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 996 ABPZ20 KNHC 191635 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN OCT 19 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 20 01:51:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626733-7462>; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 01:51:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA24454; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 12:47:28 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6689855 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 12:47:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA23904 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 12:47:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA13295 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 12:47:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710191747.MAA13295@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Oct 1997 12:47:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 177 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 20 02:12:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626644-7457>; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 02:12:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA24482; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 12:47:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6689860 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 12:47:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA24418 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 12:47:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA13296 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 12:47:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710191747.MAA13296@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Oct 1997 12:47:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 177 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 20 03:47:59 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626581-7460>; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 03:47:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA24356; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 14:41:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6690400 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 14:41:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA24844 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 14:41:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA13683 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 14:41:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710191941.OAA13683@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Oct 1997 14:41:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 027 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 422 WTPN32 PGTW 192100 1. SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 027 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- 19.5N5 138.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.5N5 138.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 21.1N4 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 23.2N7 136.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 25.1N8 138.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 27.3N2 142.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 32.4N9 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION 19.9N9 137.7E8 SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) CONTINUES TRACKING TO THE NORTHWEST AT 9 KNOTS. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI 7.0 (140 KNOTS) AT 191730Z1. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) IS APPROACHING THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS AS INDICATED BY ITS SLOWER FORWARD SPEED. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO OUR PREVIOUS TRACK FORECAST EXCEPT TO BRING THE 12 AND 24 HOUR POSITIONS A LITTLE FURTHER WEST. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS GOOD TO EXCELLENT IN ALL QUADRANTS. JOAN SHOULD WEAKEN LITTLE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS, BUT MORE STEADILY AFTER 36 HOURS DUE TO INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z9 IS 35 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1), 200900Z1 (DTG 200753Z7), 201500Z8 (DTG 201353Z4) AND 202100Z5 (DTG 201953Z0). REFER TO TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 20 04:01:49 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627643-7460>; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 04:01:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA30468; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 14:59:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6690550 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 14:59:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA29932 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 14:59:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA13730 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 14:59:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710191959.OAA13730@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Oct 1997 14:59:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 673 ABPA20 PHNL 192000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST SUNDAY OCTOBER 19 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 20 04:27:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627703-7457>; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 04:27:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA43882; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 15:21:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6690771 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 15:21:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA21590 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 15:21:04 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA13825 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 15:21:03 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710192021.PAA13825@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Oct 1997 15:21:03 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 027 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 952 WTPN31 PGTW 192100 1. TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 027 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- 18.0N9 122.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.0N9 122.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 18.9N8 122.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 20.0N2 122.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 20.8N0 123.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 21.6N9 125.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 23.3N8 128.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION 18.2N1 122.3E8 THE FORWARD SPEED OF TYPHOON IVAN (27W) HAS SLOWED TO 5 KNOTS WHILE TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY INTERACTING WITH THE NORTHEAST COAST OF LUZON AND THIS IS REFLECTED IN OUR LOWER WARNING INTENSITY. TYPHOON JOAN WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN STEADILY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS DUE TO ITS INTERACTION WITH LAND. BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION, TYPHOON IVAN WILL HAVE MOVED AWAY FROM LUZON BUT WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN DUE TO INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE TRACK FORECAST TAKES IVAN SLOWLY NORTHWARD THROUGH THE 24 HOUR POSITION, THEN TURNS NORTHEASTWARD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z9 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9), 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5), 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2) AND 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 20 06:40:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626041-349>; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 06:39:57 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA48684; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 17:36:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6691451 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 17:36:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA48590 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 17:35:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA14515 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 17:35:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710192235.RAA14515@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Oct 1997 17:35:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 127 ABPZ20 KNHC 192236 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN OCT 19 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 20 09:34:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626674-348>; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 09:34:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA20262; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 20:26:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6692775 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 20:25:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA14092 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 20:25:46 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA15093 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 20:25:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710200125.UAA15093@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Oct 1997 20:25:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 028 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 981 WTPN31 PGTW 200300 1. TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 028 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- 18.5N4 122.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.5N4 122.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 19.4N4 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 20.6N8 121.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 21.6N9 122.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 22.3N7 124.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 23.7N2 127.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION 18.7N6 121.9E3 TYPHOON IVAN (27W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS AND IS ENTERING THE BABUYAN CHANNEL. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ITS GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE EAST- NORTHEAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THEN CONTINUE EAST- NORTHEASTWARD. TYPHOON IVAN (27W) IS EXPECTED TO STOP WEAKENING AS IT REEMERGES OVER WATER, THEN BEGIN WEAKENING AGAIN IN ABOUT 36 HOURS AS UPPER-LEVEL WINDS BEGIN TO SHEAR IT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5), 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2), 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8) AND 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W)) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 20 09:53:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626707-346>; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 09:53:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA25728; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 20:50:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6692965 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 20:50:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA24428 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 20:50:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA15176 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 20:50:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710200150.UAA15176@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Oct 1997 20:50:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 528 ABPA20 PHNL 200200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 PM HST SUNDAY OCTOBER 19 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 20 10:31:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626718-349>; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 10:31:25 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA31232; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 21:13:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6693073 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 21:13:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA44252 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 21:13:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA15243 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 21:13:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710200213.VAA15243@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Oct 1997 21:13:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 028 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-Status: X-UID: 2 Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 977 WTPN32 PGTW 200300 1. SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 028 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- 20.1N3 137.5E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N3 137.5E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 21.8N1 136.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 24.2N8 137.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 26.3N1 140.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 25 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 28.6N6 145.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 33.5N1 157.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION 20.5N7 137.3E4 SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TURNING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST, THEN BEGIN ACCELERATING IN THAT GENERAL DIRECTION IN ABOUT 24 HOURS. SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN, THEN WEAKEN MORE RAPIDLY AFTER IT PASSES TO THE NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS IN ABOUT 24 HOURS. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS FORECAST TO BEGIN IN 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 37 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1 (DTG 200753Z7), 201500Z8 (DTG 201353Z4), 202100Z5 (DTG 201953Z0) AND 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2). REFER TO TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 20 11:45:58 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626747-349>; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 11:45:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA31402; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 22:39:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6693691 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 22:38:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA20390 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 22:37:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA15622 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 22:37:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710200337.WAA15622@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Oct 1997 22:37:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 371 ABPZ20 KNHC 200335 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN OCT 19 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 20 11:56:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626587-348>; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 11:56:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA17520; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 22:45:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6693781 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 22:45:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA17482 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 22:45:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA15650 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 1997 22:45:21 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710200345.WAA15650@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 19 Oct 1997 22:45:21 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 028 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 547 WTPN31 PGTW 200300 1. TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 028 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- 18.5N4 122.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.5N4 122.0E5 PAGE 03 RUEOMCA2104 UNCLAS --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 19.4N4 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 20.6N8 121.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 07 KTS PAGE 04 RUEOMCA2104 UNCLAS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 21.6N9 122.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 22.3N7 124.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 08 KTS --- PAGE 05 RUEOMCA2104 UNCLAS 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 23.7N2 127.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION 18.7N6 121.9E3 TYPHOON IVAN (27W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS AND IS ENTERING THE BABUYAN CHANNEL. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ITS GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE EAST- NORTHEAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THEN CONTINUE EAST- NORTHEASTWARD. TYPHOON IVAN (27W) IS EXPECTED TO STOP WEAKENING AS IT REEMERGES OVER WATER, THEN BEGIN WEAKENING AGAIN IN ABOUT 36 HOURS AS UPPER-LEVEL WINDS BEGIN TO SHEAR IT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT PAGE 06 RUEOMCA2104 UNCLAS 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5), 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2), 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8) AND 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W)) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #2104 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 20 13:52:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627691-349>; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 13:52:17 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA50222; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 00:43:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6694437 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 00:43:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA36832 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 00:42:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA16014 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 00:42:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710200542.AAA16014@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Oct 1997 00:42:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 562 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/200151ZOCT97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/200153ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, TY IVAN (27W) WRNG NR 28. REF B, STY JOAN (28W) WRNG NR 28.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2 TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WAS LOCATED AT 18.5N4 122.0E5, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 110 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 135 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 28 (WTPN31 PGTW 200300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 200000Z2 SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 20.1N3 137.5E6, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 140 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 170 KNOTS. SEE REF B (SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 28 (WTPN32 PGTW 200300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY NEAR 7N7 180E9 REMAINS QUASISTATIONARY NEAR THAT LOCATION. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 200000Z2 SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PRESENT IN THIS AREA, ALTHOUGH MOST OF THIS AREA=S DEEP CONVECTION HAS SUBSIDED DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS DECREASED ALOFT DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 20 15:23:03 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626788-349>; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 15:23:00 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA40688; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 02:15:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6694798 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 02:15:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA31452 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 02:15:18 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA16249 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 02:15:17 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710200715.CAA16249@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Oct 1997 02:15:17 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 029 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 538 WTPN31 PGTW 200900 1. TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 029 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- 18.7N6 121.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.7N6 121.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 19.7N7 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 20.8N0 121.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 21.8N1 122.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 22.4N8 124.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 23.6N1 126.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION 19.0N0 121.8E2 TYPHOON IVAN (27W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. CURRENT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED USING 200300Z5 SURFACE REPORTS SURROUNDING THIS SYSTEM. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING. TYPHOON IVAN (27W) IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY TURN NORTHEASTWARD AND CONTINUE GENERALLY WEAKENING THROUGH 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2), 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8), 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0) AND 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 20 15:58:13 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627793-347>; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 15:58:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA10716; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 02:47:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6695059 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 02:47:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA30912 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 02:47:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA16323 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 02:47:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710200747.CAA16323@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Oct 1997 02:47:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 029 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 053 WTPN32 PGTW 200900 1. SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 029 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- 20.8N0 137.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N0 137.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 22.9N3 136.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 25.4N1 138.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 27.4N3 142.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 25 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 29.6N7 147.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 33.9N5 159.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION 21.3N6 137.0E1 SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS STILL FORECAST TO TURN EAST- NORTHEASTWARD DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THEN ACCELERATE. SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z IS 35 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8 (DTG 201353Z4), 202100Z5 (DTG 201953Z0), 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2) AND 210900Z2 (DTG 210753Z8). REFER TO TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 20 16:06:55 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627867-347>; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 16:06:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA47294; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 02:57:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6695129 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 02:56:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA20380 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 02:56:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA16346 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 02:56:36 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710200756.CAA16346@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Oct 1997 02:56:36 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 113 ABPA20 PHNL 200800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST SUNDAY OCTOBER 19 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 20 21:38:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627075-346>; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 21:38:27 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA48760; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 08:25:15 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6696547 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 08:24:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA40494 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 08:24:57 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA17429 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 08:24:56 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710201324.IAA17429@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Oct 1997 08:24:56 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 030 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 003 WTPN31 PGTW 201500 1. TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 030 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- 18.9N8 121.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.9N8 121.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 19.6N6 121.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 20.4N6 122.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 21.3N6 122.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 22.0N4 124.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 23.4N9 127.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION 19.1N1 121.9E3 TYPHOON IVAN (27W) IS DRIFTING NORTHWARD AT 3 KNOTS. THE WARNING INTENSITY AND POSITION ARE BASED ON A COMBINATION OF 201130Z7 SATELLITE IMAGERY AT AND 200900Z1 SYNOPTIC DATA. TYPHOON IVAN IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY THROUGH THE 24 HOUR POSITION. BY 36 HOURS, IVAN IS EXPECTED TO TRACK A LITTLE FASTER AND TURN NORTHEASTWARD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8), 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0), 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6) AND 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 20 22:00:38 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628089-347>; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 22:00:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA36738; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 08:55:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6696782 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 08:55:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA28528 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 08:55:22 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA17573 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 08:55:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710201355.IAA17573@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Oct 1997 08:55:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 770 ABPA20 PHNL 201400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 AM HST MONDAY OCTOBER 20 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 20 22:10:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627775-347>; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 22:10:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA36850; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 08:58:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6696808 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 08:58:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA21208 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 08:58:40 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA17577 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 08:58:39 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710201358.IAA17577@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Oct 1997 08:58:39 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 030 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 792 WTPN32 PGTW 201500 1. SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 030 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- 21.5N8 136.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.5N8 136.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 23.5N0 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 25.5N2 138.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 27.2N1 140.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 21 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 28.9N9 145.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 33.1N7 157.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION 22.0N4 136.6E6 SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) IS TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TAKE A MORE NORTHEASTWARD TRACK AND ACCELERATE AFTER THE 24 HOUR POSITION. BY 36 HOURS, SUPER TYPHOON JOAN IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY DUE TO INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 135 KNOTS IS BASED UPON A DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI 7.0 (140 KNOTS) AT 201130Z7. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 35 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5 (DTG 201953Z0), 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2), 210900Z2 (DTG 210753Z8) AND 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5). REFER TO TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 21 01:12:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627790-346>; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 01:12:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA28986; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 12:03:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6698982 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 12:02:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA31480 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 12:02:43 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA18866 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 12:02:34 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710201702.MAA18866@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Oct 1997 12:02:34 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 281 ABPZ20 KNHC 201703 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON OCT 20 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 21 01:40:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627639-349>; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 01:40:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA04462; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 12:36:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6699185 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 12:36:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA28958 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 12:35:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA18993 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 12:35:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710201735.MAA18993@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Oct 1997 12:35:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 887 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 21 01:42:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627636-349>; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 01:41:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id MAA04430; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 12:36:16 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6699180 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 12:35:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id MAA17952 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 12:35:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id MAA18992 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 12:35:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710201735.MAA18992@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Oct 1997 12:35:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 887 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 21 03:50:11 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <628208-347>; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 03:50:10 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id OAA22774; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 14:46:42 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6700751 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 14:46:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id OAA48812 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 14:46:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id OAA19584 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 14:46:07 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710201946.OAA19584@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Oct 1997 14:46:07 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 500 ABPA20 PHNL 202000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST MONDAY OCTOBER 20 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE TROPICAL WEATHER REMAINS QUITE PLACID WITH NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 21 04:34:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626591-346>; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 04:34:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA22724; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 15:24:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6701119 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 15:23:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA44164 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 15:23:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA19792 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 15:23:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710202023.PAA19792@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Oct 1997 15:23:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 031 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 039 WTPN31 PGTW 202100 1. TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 031 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- 19.5N5 122.1E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.5N5 122.1E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 20.4N6 122.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 21.3N6 122.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 21.9N2 124.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 22.5N9 125.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 23.5N0 128.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION 19.7N7 122.2E7 TYPHOON IVAN (27W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A DVORAK SATELLITE ESTIMATE OF CI 4.5 (80 KNOTS) AT 201730Z3. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT IVAN IS STARTING TO REORGANIZE NOW THAT IT HAS MOVED AWAY FROM THE COAST OF LUZON. AS A RESULT, THERE MAY BE SEVERAL CIRCULATION CENTERS MAKING IVAN DIFFICULT TO POSITION. OUR WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. WIND RADII WERE ADJUSTED TO MATCH THE DEEP CONVECTIVE PATTERN IN INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 201500Z8 SYNOPTIC REPORTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO OUR PREVIOUS TRACK FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z1 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0), 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6), 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3) AND 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 21 04:38:42 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627606-349>; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 04:38:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA09936; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 15:26:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6701141 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 15:26:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA44220 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 15:26:02 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA19821 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 15:26:02 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710202026.PAA19821@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Oct 1997 15:26:02 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 031 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 055 WTPN32 PGTW 202100 1. SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 031 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- 22.3N7 136.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.3N7 136.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 24.1N7 137.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 26.0N8 138.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 27.7N6 141.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 21 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 29.4N5 145.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 33.4N0 158.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION 22.8N2 136.7E7 SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 8 KNOTS. JOAN IS EXPECTED TO TAKE A MORE NORTHEASTERLY TRACK AS IT MOVES AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS AND THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST. THE SYSTEM HAS RE-INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS BASED ON A DVORAK SATELLITE ESTIMATE OF 7.0 (140 KNOTS) AT 201730Z3 AND A SMALLER EYE DIAMETER OF 26 NM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 2018001Z IS 35 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2), 210900Z2 (DTG 210753Z8), 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5) AND 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1). REFER TO TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 21 10:20:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626537-24532>; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 10:20:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA25634; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 21:14:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6704362 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 21:14:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA25600 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 21:14:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA21202 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 21:14:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710210214.VAA21202@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Oct 1997 21:14:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 253 ABPA20 PHNL 210200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 PM HST MONDAY OCTOBER 20 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE TROPICAL WEATHER REMAINS QUITE PLACID WITH NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 21 10:47:04 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626537-24535>; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 10:47:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA25364; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 21:20:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6704401 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 21:20:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA04480 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 21:19:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA21227 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 21:19:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710210219.VAA21227@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Oct 1997 21:19:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 032 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 369 WTPN32 PGTW 210300 1. SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 032 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- 23.1N6 137.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.1N6 137.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 24.9N5 137.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 26.9N7 139.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 28.6N6 143.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 22 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 30.3N6 147.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 33.6N2 159.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION 23.5N0 137.3E4 SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) IS MOVING TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 9 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN SUPER TYPHOON INTENSITY WITH MAXIMUM WINDS ESTIMATED AT 135 KNOTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A WELL-DEFINED 26 NM EYE WITH A SYMMETRIC EYE-WALL CLOUD PATTERN. MOVEMENT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS INDICATES STY JOAN HAS MOVED POLEWARD OF THE SUB- TROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. THROUGH THE INITIAL 36 HOUR FORECAST POSITIONS, THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN FORWARD SPEEDS OF ONLY 13 TO 17 KNOTS DUE TO LOW-LEVEL BLOCKING TO THE EAST. STY JOAN WILL BEGIN TO ACCELERATE AFTER THIS PERIOD AS IT BECOMES EMBEDDED IN THE DEEP WESTERLY FLOW. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AT THE 48 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z3 IS 31 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2 (DTG 210753Z8), 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5), 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1) AND 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3). REFER TO TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 21 11:05:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626701-24528>; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 11:05:15 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA44386; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 21:50:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6704656 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 21:50:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA20304 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 21:50:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA21335 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 21:50:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710210250.VAA21335@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Oct 1997 21:50:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 032 Relocated To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 850 WTPN31 PGTW 210300 1. TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 032 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- 19.5N5 123.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.5N5 123.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 20.1N3 125.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 20.3N5 127.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 20.9N1 128.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 21.8N1 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 23.7N2 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION 19.7N7 123.8E4 LATEST VISUAL AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT MUCH OF THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TYPHOON IVAN=S (27W) EYE HAS WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY OVER NIGHT. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NOW EXPOSED AND FURTHER TO THE EAST THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. TYPHOON IVAN IS NOW MOVING SHARPLY TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST AT 11 KNOTS. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES NOW INDICATE THAT IVAN IS AT MINIMUM TYPHOON INTENSITY AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THE PRESENT WEAKENING TREND. IVAN IS FORECAST TO MOVE IN A SIMILAR DIRECTION TO SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) BUT AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z3 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6), 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3), 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9) AND 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 21 11:54:56 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626483-15304>; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 11:54:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA21354; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 22:51:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6705059 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 22:51:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA22352 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 22:51:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA21501 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 1997 22:50:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710210350.WAA21501@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 20 Oct 1997 22:50:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 977 ABPZ20 KNHC 210350 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON OCT 20 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 21 13:21:08 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626866-15303>; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 13:21:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA17460; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 00:05:20 -0500 Message-Id: <199710210505.AAA17460@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Oct 1997 00:00:03 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 19 Oct 1997 to 20 Oct 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 7 messages totalling 219 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. "Super" Typhoon criteria (2) 2. WX-TALK Digest - 18 Oct 1997 to 19 Oct 1997 3. FW: El Nino caused by UFO exhaust 4. Weather Job Available 5. Handheld lightning detector 6. Weather Lists and other information requested +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 20 Oct 1997 07:03:00 -0500 From: "Padgett, James G." Subject: Re: "Super" Typhoon criteria >From: David Haines >To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TALK >Subject: "Super" Typhoon criteria >Date: Friday, October 17, 1997 6:57PM >I noticed today that Typhoons Ivan and Joan have both been officially >designated "super typhoons" with max sustained winds of 160 and 140 knots >respectively. Just curious -- what is the threshold for a super typhoon? Is >there a correlation with the Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale? (A so-called >"major hurricane" is S-S category 3 or higher.) If there's no S-S >correlation, why was the particular threshold adopted? The supertyphoon criteria for the WESTPAC dates back to the mid-1960s or earlier, and is used as an official classification for typhoons whose maximum sustained winds (1-min avg) are estimated to reach or exceed 130 kts (150 mph). It is used by the USAF/USN's Joint Typhoon Warning Center on Guam. The familiar Saffir/Simpson scale in vogue in the U.S. didn't make an appearance until the mid-1970's. The JTWC forecasters do not use the S/S scale in their warnings. NOTE: There is also a 5-category scale used by Australian forecasters to classify tropical cyclones in their region. Check out Chris Landsea's FAQ at http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/ ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 20 Oct 1997 07:54:03 -0500 From: "Marc C. Levine" Subject: Re: WX-TALK Digest - 18 Oct 1997 to 19 Oct 1997 Rule 1, El Nino did it! Rule 2, If El Nino didn't do it, then Atmospheric Warming did! >After CNN's special on El Nino last week, I am convinced that everything >that happens must be linked to El Nino....even if it isn't. >So, my wife and I have decided that whenever anyone asks us a question, >our answer will be El Nino. For example, when we decide to take off >from work, it won't be "we were sick." Nope, it will be "El Nino is >acting up." If we overdraw our checking account, we'll ask for special >dispensation because of El Nino. >You all catch my drift. Flip Wilson used to blame it on something hot, >down under ("The Devil Made Me Do It"). We'll stick with El Nino, >thanks! >Mike ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 20 Oct 1997 10:06:51 -0400 From: Chris Landsea Subject: Re: "Super" Typhoon criteria On Fri, 17 Oct 1997, David Haines wrote: > I noticed today that Typhoons Ivan and Joan have both been officially > designated "super typhoons" with max sustained winds of 160 and 140 knots > respectively. Just curious -- what is the threshold for a super typhoon? Is > there a correlation with the Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale? (A so-called > "major hurricane" is S-S category 3 or higher.) If there's no S-S > correlation, why was the particular threshold adopted? >From the ************************************************* FAQ: HURRICANES, TYPHOONS, AND TROPICAL CYCLONES ************************************************* http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/tcfaqHED.html ***************************************************************************** Subject: A3) What is a super-typhoon? A "super-typhoon" is a term utilized by the U.S. Joint Typhoon Warning Center in Guam for typhoons that reach maximum sustained 1-minute surface winds of at least 130 kt (240 km/h). This is the equivalent of a strong Saffir-Simpson category 4 or category 5 hurricane in the Atlantic basin or a category 5 severe tropical cyclone in the Australian basin. ***************************************************************************** I don't know why 130 kt is chosen. Best regards, chris ***************************************************************************** Chris Landsea NOAA AOML/Hurricane Research Division Voice: (305) 361-4357 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway Fax: (305) 361-4402 Miami, Florida 33149 Internet: landsea@aoml.noaa.gov ***************************************************************************** "The Florida straits were as dangerous as the Florida Indians. There [was]... the extraordinary danger of hurricanes in the tropic latitudes, that could blow up almost without warning from June to November, gray screaming whirlpools of wind more than a hundred miles an hour, dragging in their centers a mound of sea water and blowing before them the high ungovernable ships like dried leaves onto that deadly line of reef and rock." - _The Everglades: River of Grass_ - Marjory Stoneman Douglas - 1947 ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 20 Oct 1997 13:10:50 -0600 From: "Ricketts,Steve [Edm]" Subject: FW: El Nino caused by UFO exhaust "El Nino caused by UFO exhaust, secret memo reveals!" according to the Weekly World News >Check this out at http://wwnonline.com/special.htm ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 20 Oct 1997 16:30:59 -0500 From: Chris Novy Subject: Weather Job Available MORNING WEATHER ANCHOR/REPORTER KTVN-TV, the CBS affiliate in Reno-Lake Tahoe, has an opening for a morning weather anchor.  Severe weather coverage is critical in our area.  We have the technology and the tools.  We need someone with creativity, energy and enthusiasm.  AMS and knowledge of Kavouris are a plus.  Send tape and resume to Nancy Cope, News Director, KTVN-TV, PO Box 7220, Reno, Nevada 89510. No  phone calls please.  EOE. *====================================================================* Chris Hayes Novy - WA9V Internet: chris@siu.edu Southern Illinois Univ. chris@lib.siu.edu Systems Administration Phone: (618) 453-1683 (work) Morris Library (618) 457-6149 (home) Carbondale, IL 62901-6632 FAX: (618) 453-3440 *====================================================================* ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 20 Oct 1997 19:23:16 -0400 From: James Aman Subject: Handheld lightning detector > Date: Fri, 17 Oct 1997 08:07:58 -0500 > From: Gayland Kitch > Subject: Lightning detection equipment > Our Parks & Recreation Director has asked me if there are any > sensors/warning devices which would provide advance notice of lightning > moving into the area. Specifically, they would like to have a warning > device that would give them enough lead time to move > participants/spectators to cover from outdoor sporting events > (softball/football/soccer, etc.). > Gayland Kitch > Emergency Manager > The City of Moore, Oklahoma > 405 793-5062 One answer that comes to my mind is a hand-held lightning detector such as the "SkyScan" unit. Our company tested one of these last year, and it seemed to work fairly well. It broke down the ranges of the lightning strike, and you could set an audible alarm for lightning occuring inside one of the ranges. Believe it or not, it was reviewed in the March, 1996 issue of HANG GLIDING magazine starting on page 40 -- perhaps your local library might have back issues that far back. However, other than my perception that it worked OK, and the magazine review; I have no scientific data that shows how accurate a hand-held device like the SkyScan is. Our company does not sell this device any more, but an Internet search came up with this phone number for SkyScan: 813-988-2154. (Also was reviewed in BOATING in August 0f 1996). James Aman, meteorologist jaman@aws.com Automated Weather Source http://www.aws.com/ Manager, technical support department ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 20 Oct 1997 21:02:43 -0500 From: James Derek Dodson Subject: Weather Lists and other information requested October 20, 1997 Subject: Request for information on weather lists and Winter Storm Information From: Derek Dodson At: derekd@midwest.net His Weather Home Page For Portions Of The Ohio Valley http://members.tripod.com/~wx1/index.html I am looking for information on any lists concerning regional weather. I am interesting in information from anywhere in the United States. I understand that there are some really good lists currently being sent out from the NE United States. If anyone has any information on this subject please let me know. Also please include a description of the list. I am also looking for information on Winter Storm Discussions and Web Sites that provide TIMELY winter storm information for the upcoming season! Any suggestions please let me know. Thank You Ahead Of Time derekd@midwest.net http://members.tripod.com/~wx1/index.html ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 19 Oct 1997 to 20 Oct 1997 ************************************************** From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 21 13:39:28 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626738-15303>; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 13:39:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA25368; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 00:37:00 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6705872 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 00:36:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA22502 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 00:36:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA21890 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 00:36:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710210536.AAA21890@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Oct 1997 00:36:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 893 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210151ZOCT97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210153ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, TY IVAN (27W) WRNG NR 32. REF B, STY JOAN (28W) WRNG NR 32.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z3 TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.5N5 123.3E9, MOVING EAST AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 70 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 32 (WTPN31 PGTW 210300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 210000Z3 SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 23.1N6 137.1E2, MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 135 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 165 KNOTS. SEE REF B (SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 32 (WTPN32 PGTW 210300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY NEAR 7N7 180E9 REMAINS QUASISTATIONARY NEAR THAT LOCATION. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS BEEN SHEARED. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 21 13:51:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626830-15301>; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 13:51:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA25392; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 00:37:10 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6705877 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 00:37:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA44520 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 00:36:34 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA21889 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 00:36:33 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710210536.AAA21889@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Oct 1997 00:36:33 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 893 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210151ZOCT97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210153ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, TY IVAN (27W) WRNG NR 32. REF B, STY JOAN (28W) WRNG NR 32.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z3 TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.5N5 123.3E9, MOVING EAST AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 70 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 32 (WTPN31 PGTW 210300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 210000Z3 SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 23.1N6 137.1E2, MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 135 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 165 KNOTS. SEE REF B (SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 32 (WTPN32 PGTW 210300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY NEAR 7N7 180E9 REMAINS QUASISTATIONARY NEAR THAT LOCATION. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS BEEN SHEARED. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 21 16:16:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626917-6515>; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 16:16:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA20238; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 02:51:34 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6706590 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 02:51:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA28662 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 02:51:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA22302 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 02:51:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710210751.CAA22302@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Oct 1997 02:51:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 033 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 704 WTPN32 PGTW 210900 1. SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 033 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- 24.1N7 137.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.1N7 137.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 26.0N8 138.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 28.1N1 141.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 30.1N4 145.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 26 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 32.1N6 151.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 35.0N8 165.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION 24.6N2 137.7E8 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 210530Z1 INDICATES THAT SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) IS MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT JOAN HAS A MAXIMUM INTENSITY OF 130 KNOTS AND A WELL DEVELOPED 45NM DIAMETER EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z9 IS 36 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5), 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1), 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3) AND 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9). REFER TO TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 21 16:16:25 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626928-6515>; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 16:16:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA44396; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 02:59:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6706605 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 02:59:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA47962 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 02:59:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA22316 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 02:59:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710210759.CAA22316@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Oct 1997 02:59:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 033 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 800 WTPN31 PGTW 210900 1. TYPHOON IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 033 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- 19.9N9 124.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.9N9 124.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 20.5N7 125.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 21.1N4 127.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 21.8N1 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 22.8N2 131.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 25.2N9 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION 20.1N3 124.4E1 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 210530Z1 INDICATES THAT TYPHOON IVAN IS MOVING TOWARDS THE EAST-NORTHEAST AT 08 KNOTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES A MAXIMUM INTENSITY OF 65 KNOTS. THIS IMAGERY SHOWS THAT IVAN HAS A VERY LARGE LIGHT WIND CENTER. STRONGEST WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE BETWEEN 50 TO 90NM AWAY FROM THE CIRCULATION=S CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z9 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3), 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9), 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1) AND 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 22 23:38:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626841-16713>; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 18:35:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA28806; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 05:33:23 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6707240 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 05:33:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA47988 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 05:33:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA22852 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 05:33:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710211033.FAA22852@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Oct 1997 05:33:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 6b7b30ba9ed58308d76b25fc4063d623 X-Status: X-UID: 3 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 353 ABPZ20 KNHC 211033 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE OCT 21 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 22 23:38:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626986-16713>; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 21:35:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA17414; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 08:33:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6708232 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 08:33:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA25834 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 08:33:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA23281 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 08:33:19 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710211333.IAA23281@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Oct 1997 08:33:19 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b3ac4398425b5460a5d67a737ed89579 X-Status: X-UID: 5 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 843 ABPA20 PHNL 211400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 AM HST TUESDAY OCTOBER 21 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 22 23:38:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626967-16714>; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 21:50:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA20274; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 08:44:07 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6708269 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 08:43:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA17652 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 08:43:58 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA23315 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 08:43:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710211343.IAA23315@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Oct 1997 08:43:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 034 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 1eedafcfd722c262a74a374ca3508605 X-Status: X-UID: 6 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 129 WTPN32 PGTW 211500 1. SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 034 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- 25.0N7 138.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.0N7 138.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 26.9N7 140.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 28.6N6 144.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 30.2N5 149.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 27 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 31.6N0 155.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 35.9N7 168.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 211500Z9 POSITION 25.5N2 138.9E1 SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) HAS ACCELERATED NORTHEASTWARD WHILE MAINTAINING ITS INTENSITY. JOAN=S EYE HAS BECOME MORE CLOUD FILLED, BUT CONVECTIVE BURSTS WITH CLOUD TOPS TO -86C PERSIST IN THE NORTHEAST EYEWALL. OUR WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON THE STRONG EYE PATTERN AND SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T6.5 (127 KNOTS) FROM BOTH JTWC AND KGWC. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST OTHER THAN TO TRACK JOAN A LITTLE FARTHER SOUTH THROUGH 24 HOURS BASED ON THE RECENT TREND IN SATELLITE FIXES SHOWING A SLIGHTLY SHARPER TURN THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z6 IS 32 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1), 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3), 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9) AND 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 22 23:38:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626868-16713>; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 22:25:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA29154; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 09:19:43 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6708589 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 09:19:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA29136 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 09:19:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA23466 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 09:19:37 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710211419.JAA23466@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Oct 1997 09:19:37 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 034 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 957df102ae4047f7f8e920288db624dd X-Status: X-UID: 7 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 881 WTPN31 PGTW 211500 1. TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 034 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 27W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- 20.1N3 124.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N3 124.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 20.7N9 125.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 21.2N5 127.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 22.0N4 129.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 22.8N2 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 25.6N3 135.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 211500Z9 POSITION 20.3N5 124.9E6 TYPHOON IVAN HAS WEAKENED TO TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WHILE TRACKING SLOWLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. OUR WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 211130Z8 SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 4.0 (65 KNOTS) AND 3.5 (55 KNOTS) FROM JTWC AND KGWC, RESPECTIVELY. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z6 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9), 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1), 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7) AND 221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 22 23:38:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626658-16713>; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 00:53:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA44014; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 11:47:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6710202 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 11:47:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA27568 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 11:47:05 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA24232 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 11:47:04 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710211647.LAA24232@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Oct 1997 11:47:04 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2950cb2fac5ff28bd78ff53146af1228 X-Status: X-UID: 8 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 477 ABPZ20 KNHC 211647 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE OCT 21 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 22 23:38:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627011-16715>; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 04:09:24 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA43904; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 15:06:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6712333 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 15:05:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA17508 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 15:05:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id PAA01190 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 15:05:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710212005.PAA01190@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Oct 1997 15:05:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 78a5424f1156b3571f6806656ed8e14a X-Status: X-UID: 9 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 937 ABPA20 PHNL 212000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST TUESDAY OCTOBER 21 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL WEATHER HAS BECOME A LITTLE MORE ACTIVE SINCE YESTERDAY. AREAS OF ACTIVE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...ITCZ...1100 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND AND 1100 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI BUT THESE THUNDERSTORM AREAS REMAIN POORLY ORGANIZED. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 22 23:38:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625984-29972>; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 06:30:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA09880; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 17:26:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6713802 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 17:26:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA24962 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 17:26:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.6) id RAA01556 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 17:26:10 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710212226.RAA01556@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Oct 1997 17:26:10 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0184478790b5ac864edbfdabc4eb06b4 X-Status: X-UID: 10 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 089 ABPZ20 KNHC 212226 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE OCT 21 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 22 23:38:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626429-29971>; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 10:27:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA24980; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 21:21:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6715890 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 21:21:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA40564 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 21:21:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA02020 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 21:21:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710220221.VAA02020@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Oct 1997 21:21:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7e39b1beeb9561e7e472e011812b429f X-Status: X-UID: 11 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 084 ABPA20 PHNL 220200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 PM HST TUESDAY OCTOBER 21 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS FORMED 835 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO NEAR 10N 148W. THERE IS A SMALL AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE CENTER OF THE DISTURBANCE AND AN AREA OF SHOWERS THAT EXTENDS OUT TO 385 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO. THE DISTURBANCE IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST AT 15 MILES AN HOUR. THIS SYSTEM WILL STRENGTHEN SLOWLY IF AT ALL. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 22 23:38:18 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626929-29967>; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 11:40:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA43848; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 22:24:56 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6716438 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 22:24:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA47912 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 22:24:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA02254 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 22:24:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710220324.WAA02254@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Oct 1997 22:24:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 036 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 51e5b66eb6e6a6d5398c6d503b2ad5d8 X-Status: X-UID: 13 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 092 WTPN32 PGTW 220300 1. TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 036 PAGE 02 RUHGSGG1797 UNCLAS 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- 26.9N7 141.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.9N7 141.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 29.3N4 144.9E8 PAGE 03 RUHGSGG1797 UNCLAS MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 31.1N5 149.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 32.6N1 155.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT PAGE 04 RUHGSGG1797 UNCLAS BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 28 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 34.2N9 162.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 38.9N0 174.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: PAGE 05 RUHGSGG1797 UNCLAS 220300Z7 POSITION 27.5N4 142.0E7 LATEST ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TYPHOON JOAN (28W) IS CONTINUING TO MOVE RAPIDLY TOWARDS THE EAST-NORTHEAST AT 17 KNOTS AS IT BECOMES EMBEDDED IN THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLY FLOW. THIS IMAGERY SHOWS THAT CONVECTION AROUND THE CENTER REMAINS STRONG AND WELL ORGANIZED WITH A MAXIMUM WIND INTENSITY ESTIMATED IN EXCESS OF 100 KNOTS. THIS FORECAST IS FOR JOAN TO TRANSITION INTO AN INTENSE EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z4 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9), 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6), 222100Z7 (DTG 221953Z2) AND 230300Z8 (DTG 230153Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #1797 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 22 23:38:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626122-29970>; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 11:55:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA10578; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 22:51:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6716683 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 22:51:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA21568 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 22:51:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA02273 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 1997 22:51:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710220351.WAA02273@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 21 Oct 1997 22:51:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b888e02dcc00e8c50b90cb0db0e0a9ff X-Status: X-UID: 15 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 493 ABPZ20 KNHC 220352 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE OCT 21 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 22 23:38:19 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626997-29972>; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 13:24:34 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA21476; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 00:06:15 -0500 Message-Id: <199710220506.AAA21476@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Oct 1997 00:02:09 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 20 Oct 1997 to 21 Oct 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 09d52a1040661f699d8dcf3b37b2d866 X-Status: X-UID: 17 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 3 messages totalling 516 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. NASA Aviation Weather Workshop 2. Lightning Detection From Space -Optical Transient Detection- 3. FW: El Nino caused by UFO exhaust +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 20 Oct 1997 10:35:02 -0400 From: Dave Pace Subject: NASA Aviation Weather Workshop Dear Aviation Weather and Safety Enthusiast, As part of the NASA Aviation Safety Program, the NASA Langley Research Center is planning a workshop in Aviation Weather INformation (AWIN) and would like to invite your participation. This workshop will be held on November 5-6, 1997 at the Langley Research Center in Hampton, Virginia. NASA AWIN Workshop (Aviation Weather INformation) November 5-6, 1997 NASA Langley Research Center Pearl Young Theater 5A North Dryden Street, Bldg 1202A Hampton, Virginia 23681-0001 Objective A NASA sponsored Workshop on Aviation Weather INformation (AWIN) will be conducted November 5-6, 1997 at the NASA Langley Research Center, Pearl I. Young Theater, 5A North Dryden Street, Bldg 1202A, Hampton, Virginia. The purpose of this workshop is to get interested parties together to discuss topics in the AWIN element of the NASA Aviation Safety Program and to encourage those interested parties to participate in the development, prototyping, and implementation of AWIN systems that enhance aviation safety. The AWIN element addresses strategic weather information and turbulence as presented in the ASIST Weather Investment Recommendations. Icing Systems and Synthetic Vision will be covered under separate future workshops. This workshop will emphasize airborne utilization of aviation weather information including data dissemination, cockpit systems, intelligent aids, weather providers, enhanced weather products, worldwide weather information, and weather sensors. A preliminary NASA Research Announcement (NRA) which solicits proposals from groups of interested parties will be discussed. Watch http://www.hq.nasa. gov/office/aero/oastthp/curevent/asist.htm for further information. Foreign Participation Foreign Nationals who wish to participate in this workshop should call Sonya Herrin or Judy Cole (757) 864-7604 not later than October 20, 1997 for access information to the NASA Langley Research Center Pearl I. Young Theater. Registration Fee Participants are encouraged to pre-register by mailing in the attached form with a registration fee of $10.00. All checks should be made payable to "NASA Langley Conference Center". Lodging A block of sleeping rooms has been set aside at the Hampton Holiday Inn (1815 West Mercury Boulevard, Hampton, Virginia). The special rate is $59 for single occupancy. A state sales tax of 10% will be added to room rates and related room charges. This room block is reserved through October 17, 1997. It is the responsibility of each participant to reserve and guarantee room reservations. Please call the reservations numbers (800) 842-9370 or (757) 838-0200 and identify yourself as an AWIN Workshop participant to receive the prearranged group rate. Any changes with individual reservations should be made directly with the hotel. Check in time is 4:00 p.m. Check out time is 12:00 noon. Transportation Bus transportation will be provided free of charge from the Holiday Inn Hampton each day of the workshop. The bus will depart promptly at 7:15 am each morning and return at the close of each day's program. Tentative Agenda Wednesday, November 5, 1997 1. Registration (begins at 7:30) 2. Welcome, Introductions, Purpose 3. NWS and FAA Aviation Weather Research 4. Lunch 5. FAA FIS Policy 6. Air Transport and General Aviation Prospectives Thursday, November 6, 1997 1. Registration (begins at 7:30) 2. Datalink/Communications, Cockpit Systems, Intelligent Aids, Weather Providers 3. Lunch 4. Enhanced Weather Products, Worldwide Weather Information, Sensors and Turbulence 5. Wrap-up Session ADJOURN (5pm) For additional information contact: Technical Information: Charles Scanlon, NASA Langley Research Center E-Mail: c.h.scanlon@larc.nasa.gov Phone: (757) 864-2034 Fax: (757) 864-8858 Administrative Information: Sonya Herrin / Judy Cole E-Mail: herrin@stcnet.com Phone: (757) 865-7604 Fax: (757) 865-8721 Please feel free to distribute/forward this e-mail to every one in your organization or group that you feel might be interested. I apologize for multiple copies that you may receive as I have used several mailing lists that may contain your e-mail, fax, or regular mailing address. Best Regards, Charles H. Scanlon NASA Langley Research Center begin 660 email_no.doc M>UQR=&8Q7&%NUQF;VYT=&)L>UQF,%QFUPJ7'!A;F]S92 P,C R,#8P,S U,#0P-3 R,#,P-'U4:6UEUQS M='EL97-H965T>UQN;W=I9&-T;'!A'0P(&AE861I;F<@,3M]>UQS,EQK965P;EQN;W=I M9&-T;'!A'0P M(&AE861I;F<@-CM]>UPJ7&-S,3 @7&%D9&ET:79E($1E9F%U;'0@4&%R86=R M87!H($9O;G0[?7M<'0Q-2!";V1Y(%1E>'0[ M?7M<*EQCUPJ7&-S,3<@7&%D9&ET:79E(%QU;%QC9C$R(%QS8F%S961O;C$P M($9O;&QO=V5D2'EP97)L:6YK.WU]>UPJ7&QIUQL979E;'1E>'1<)S R7"UQL:7-T;F%M92 [?5QL M:7-T:60Q-C0T,C8T-S8U?7U[7"I<;&ES=&]V97)R:61E=&%B;&5[7&QIUQO<&5R871OUQCUQR979T:6U< M>7(Q.3DW7&UO,3!<9'DX7&AR.%QM:6XS.'U[7'!R:6YT:6U<>7(Q.3DW7&UO M,3!<9'DV7&AR.%QM:6XR,'U[7'9EUQN;V9C:&%R#!<96YD;FAEUPJ7'!NUQP;G1X=&$@+GU]>UPJ7'!N'1A M("Y]?7M<*EQP;G-E8VQV;#-<<&YD96-<<&YS=&%R=#%<<&YI;F1E;G0W,C!< M<&YH86YG>UQP;G1X=&$@+GU]>UPJ7'!N'1A("E]?7M<*EQP;G-E8VQV M;#5<<&YD96-<<&YS=&%R=#%<<&YI;F1E;G0W,C!<<&YH86YG>UQP;G1X=&(@ M*'U[7'!N='AT82 I?7U[7"I<<&YS96-L=FPV7'!N;&-L=')<<&YS=&%R=#%< M<&YI;F1E;G0W,C!<<&YH86YG>UQP;G1X=&(@*'U[7'!N='AT82 I?7U[7"I< M<&YS96-L=FPW7'!N;&-R;5QP;G-T87)T,5QP;FEN9&5N=#'1A M("E]?7M<*EQP;G-E8VQV;#E<<&YL8W)M7'!N'1B("A]>UQP;G1X=&$@*7U]7'!AUQF,5QF2!297-E87)C:"!#96YT97(L(%!E87)L($DN M(%EO=6YG(%1H96%T97(L(#5!($YO61E;B!3=')E970L($)L9&<@ M,3(P,D$L($AA;7!T;VXL(%9I7-T96US(&%N9"!3>6YT:&5T:6,@ M5FES:6]N('=I;&P@8F4@8V]V97)E9"!U;F1E2!.05-!(%)EUQF,%QF2!#;VQE("@W-3UQF,%QFPI<<&%R('U<<&%R9%QP;&%I;B!<U!A2!#;VYF97)E;F-E($-E M;G1E2!";W5L979A2!Y;W5RT%N>2!C M:&%N9V5S('=I=&@@:6YD:79I9'5A;"!R97-EUQT86(@0G5S('1R86YS<&]R=&%T:6]N('=I M;&P@8F4@<')O=FED960@9G)E92!O9B!C:&%R9V4@9G)O;2!T:&4@2&]L:61A M>2!);FX@2&%M<'1O;B!E86-H(&1A>2!O9B!T:&4@=V]R:W-H;W N("!4:&4@ M8G5S('=I;&P@9&5P87)T('!R;VUP=&QY(&%T(#2P@ M3F]V96UB97(@-2P@,3DY-PI<<&%R('U<<&%R9%QP;&%I;B!<;F]W:61C=&QP M87)<=VED8W1L<&%R7&%D:G5S=')I9VAT(%QC9W)I9"!["EQP87(@>UQP;G1E M>'1<<&%R9%QP;&%I;EQC9W)I9"!<:&EC:%QA9C!<9&)C:%QA9C!<;&]C:%QF M," Q+EQT86)]?5QP87)D(%QF:2TS-C!<;&DQ,#@P7&YO=VED8W1L<&%R7'=I M9&-T;'!AUPJ7'!N(%QP;FQV;&)O9'E<:6QV M;#!<;',Q7'!N'1A("Y]?5QLU)E9VES=')A=&EO M;B H8F5G:6YS(&%T(#UQP;G1E>'1<<&%R9%QP;&%I;EQC M9W)I9"!<:&EC:%QA9C!<9&)C:%QA9C!<;&]C:%QF," R+EQT86)]?5QP87)D M(%QF:2TS-C!<;&DQ,#@P7&YO=VED8W1L<&%R7'=I9&-T;'!A'1A("Y] M?5QLU=E;&-O;64L($EN=')O9'5C=&EO;G,L(%!U M#$P.#![7"I< M<&X@7'!N;'9L8F]D>5QI;'9L,%QLUQP;G1X=&$@+GU]7&QS,5QA9&IU0I<<&%R('M<<&YT97AT7'!A#$P.#![7"I< M<&X@7'!N;'9L8F]D>5QI;'9L,%QLUQP;G1X=&$@+GU]7&QS,EQA9&IU#$P.#![7"I<<&X@7'!N;'9L8F]D>5QI M;'9L,%QLUQP;G1X=&$@+GU]7&QS,EQA9&IU5QI;'9L,%QLUQP;G1X M=&$@+GU]7&QS,EQA9&IU5QI;'9L,%QL MUQP;G1X=&$@+GU]7&QS,EQA9&IU5QI;'9L,%QLUQP;G1X=&$@ M+GU]7&QS,EQA9&IUUQB7&9S,C @"EQP87(@?5QP M87)D7'!L86EN(%QS-%QS;#,V,%QS;&UU;'0Q7&ME97!N7&YO=VED8W1L<&%R M7'=I9&-T;'!AT%D9')EPI< M<&%R('U<<&%R9%QP;&%I;B!<#I?7U]? M7U]?7U]?7U]?7U]?7U]?7U]?"EQP87(@?5QP87)D(%QN;W=I9&-T;'!AUQB("HJ*BHJ*BHJ*BHJ*BHJ*BHJ*BHJ M*BHJ*BHJ*BHJ*BHJ*BHJ*BHJ*BHJ*BHJ*BHJ*BHJ*BHJ*BHJ*BHJ"EQP87(@ M4F5G:7-TUQB(%QT M86(@7'1A8B!]>UQC9W)I9# @7'4Q,CA<)S@P($D@=VEL;"!P87D@;VXMUQB($)A M9&=E($EN9F]R;6%T:6]N.@I<<&%R('U<<&%R9"!<;F]W:61C=&QP87)<=VED M8W1L<&%R7&%D:G5S=')I9VAT('M<8B!.86UE.E]?7U]?7U]?7U]?7U]?7U]? M7U]?7U]?7U]?7U]?7U]?7U]?7U]?7U]?7U]?7U]?7U]?7U]?7PI<<&%R(%QT M86(@*%!R:6YT(&%S(&ET('-H;W5L9"!A<'!E87(@;VX@8F%D9V4L($QI;6ET M(#$U(&QE='1EF%T:6]N.E]?7U]?7U]?7U]?7U]? M7U]?7U]?7U]?7U]?7U]?7U]?7U]?7U]?7U]?7U]?7U]?7PI<<&%R(%QT86(@ M*%!R:6YT(&%S(&ET('-H;W5L9"!A<'!E87(@;VX@8F%D9V4L($QI;6ET(#$U M(&QE='1EU-C:65N8V4@86YD(%1E8VAN;VQO9WD@0V]R<&]R871I;VX*7'!AUQB M($9OU1E8VAN M:6-A;"!);F9O6$@2&5R2!#;VQE"EQP87(@(" @("!%+4UA:6PZ(&AE Subject: Lightning Detection From Space -Optical Transient Detection- What provides CG -and- CC lightning data many orders of magnitude greater than the so called Lightning Detection Network? The Optical Transient Detector (OTD)! A promising new technology sure to add greatly to severe storm research. "The Optical Transient Detector (OTD), the world's first space-based sensor capable of detecting and locating lightning events in the daytime as well as during the nighttime with high detection efficiency was designed and built at Marshall Space Flight Center (MSFC)....." Check out the OTD website for more information, http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/otd.html and more info at, http://wwwssl.msfc.nasa.gov/newhome/headlines/essd4feb97_1.htm At this time OTD is a research tool and not an operational system, thus real time data is not yet possible. However plans are underway to launch new systems which would provide that capability. The web sites above do however, illustrate some interesting correlations between CC/CG lightning and tornadic activity. This appears to be a -very- viable technology with many applications that would allow a better understanding of the correlation between lightning and severe weather. ************************************************************************* 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee Wisconsin, USA Milwaukee Area Skywarn Assoc. (MASA)/Milwaukee-Waukesha Amateur Radio Emergency Service (A.R.E.S.)/IL Multi-County Warning System E-Mail, bkopp@execpc.com Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" my severe weather and SKYWARN home page! SFTS! http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* ------------------------------ Date: Tue, 21 Oct 1997 18:08:31 -0700 From: Bernie Kopp KB9KEF Subject: FW: El Nino caused by UFO exhaust > From: "Ricketts,Steve [Edm]" > Subject: FW: El Nino caused by UFO exhaust > > "El Nino caused by UFO exhaust, secret memo reveals!" according to the > Weekly World News > > >Check this out at http://wwnonline.com/special.htm Leave it to the WEEKLY WORLD NEWS to provide a superior assessment of El-Nino than the Dominant Media Culture or the current Political Leadership Cabal has been able to foister on the public. What are the home delivery subscription rates? :-) ************************************************************************* 73! Bernie Kopp KB9KEF - Milwaukee (Convective Free Zone) Wisconsin, USA Advanced Skywarn Spotter, All Around Regular Guy, Weiner Dog Owner Visit "Shelter From The Storm!" my severe weather and SKYWARN home page! SFTS! http://www.execpc.com/~bkopp "... It will be foul weather today: for the sky is red and lowering. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky, but can ye not discern the signs of the times?" Matthew 16:.2.3 KJV ************************************************************************* ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 20 Oct 1997 to 21 Oct 1997 ************************************************** From - Wed Oct 22 23:38:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627022-4280>; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 15:42:55 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA17404; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 02:41:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6717491 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 02:40:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA22672 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 02:40:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA02465 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 02:39:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710220739.CAA02465@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Oct 1997 02:39:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2e707e5adcacbce6119fe828328888f9 X-Status: X-UID: 18 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 894 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/SHANCHEZ/HONG/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 22 23:38:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627049-4278>; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 15:44:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA17200; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 02:43:06 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6717496 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 02:41:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA24978 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 02:40:00 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA02466 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 02:39:59 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710220739.CAA02466@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Oct 1997 02:39:59 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 84f6c41a009fd13e28bb1c28941fde08 X-Status: X-UID: 19 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 894 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/SHANCHEZ/HONG/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 22 23:38:20 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627060-4277>; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 15:59:46 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA14220; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 02:58:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6717550 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 02:56:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA24914 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 02:56:35 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA02483 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 02:56:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710220756.CAA02483@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Oct 1997 02:56:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: deca8d2350a619ce45f5956ae2529a47 X-Status: X-UID: 20 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 249 ABPA20 PHNL 220800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST TUESDAY OCTOBER 21 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 09N148W IS BEING MONITORED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 22 23:38:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626772-4280>; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 16:21:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA29018; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 03:19:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6717569 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 03:17:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA17154 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 03:17:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA02660 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 03:17:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710220817.DAA02660@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Oct 1997 03:17:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: aada0582a601ceb0ec2bc846f997318b X-Status: X-UID: 22 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 646 ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/220151ZOCT97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/220153ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, TS IVAN (27W) WRNG NR 32. REF B, TY JOAN (28W) WRNG NR 32.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 220000Z4 TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WAS LOCATED AT 20.6N8 126.5E4, MOVING EAST-NORTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 36 (WTPN31 PGTW 220300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 220000Z4 TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 26.9N7 141.1E7, MOVING EAST-NORTHEAST AT 17 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 115 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 36 (WTPN32 PGTW 220300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED ON 20 OCT NEAR 7N7 180E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8N8 171E9. ANIMATED VISUAL IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA FROM MAJURO ATOLL (WMO 91376) INDICATE A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS PRESENT. BOTH ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS DERIVED FROM THIS WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOW THAT MODERATE SOUTHEAST TO NORTHWEST VERTICAL SHEAR IS PRESENT OVER THE CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW IS ANTICYCLONIC ACROSS THIS REGION WHICH IS HELPING TO INDUCE THIS CONVECTION. CONVECTION IS PRIMARILY NORTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER AND NOT ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 22 23:38:21 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627061-4278>; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 16:27:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA29048; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 03:19:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6717574 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 03:19:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA19968 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 03:17:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA02659 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 03:17:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710220817.DAA02659@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Oct 1997 03:17:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 64dd982c7d6b94b1e88f230a35cb66fa X-Status: X-UID: 23 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 646 ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/220151ZOCT97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/220153ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, TS IVAN (27W) WRNG NR 32. REF B, TY JOAN (28W) WRNG NR 32.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 220000Z4 TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WAS LOCATED AT 20.6N8 126.5E4, MOVING EAST-NORTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 36 (WTPN31 PGTW 220300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 220000Z4 TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 26.9N7 141.1E7, MOVING EAST-NORTHEAST AT 17 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 115 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 36 (WTPN32 PGTW 220300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED ON 20 OCT NEAR 7N7 180E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8N8 171E9. ANIMATED VISUAL IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA FROM MAJURO ATOLL (WMO 91376) INDICATE A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS PRESENT. BOTH ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS DERIVED FROM THIS WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOW THAT MODERATE SOUTHEAST TO NORTHWEST VERTICAL SHEAR IS PRESENT OVER THE CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW IS ANTICYCLONIC ACROSS THIS REGION WHICH IS HELPING TO INDUCE THIS CONVECTION. CONVECTION IS PRIMARILY NORTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER AND NOT ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/HATFIELD/HALL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 22 23:38:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627095-4278>; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 17:02:48 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA28474; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 03:52:38 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6717624 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 03:52:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA20008 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 03:52:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA02691 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 03:52:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710220852.DAA02691@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Oct 1997 03:52:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 037 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9406da6de7af952768e2bf186a79efb7 X-Status: X-UID: 25 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 276 WTPN31 PGTW 220900 1. TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 037 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- 21.3N6 127.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.3N6 127.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 22.5N9 129.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 23.9N4 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 25.4N1 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 27.0N9 138.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 30.3N6 146.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220900Z3 POSITION 21.6N9 127.8E8 ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) IS MOVING TOWARDS THE EAST-NORTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS. THIS IMAGERY SHOWS A LARGE PARTIALLY EXPOSED CIRCULATION CENTER WITH A RING OF CONVECTION OUT APPROXIMATELY 60NM FROM THE CENTER. STRONGEST CONVECTION REMAINS IN THE WESTERN HALF OF THE CIRCULATION, HOWEVER, STRONG WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED ANYWHERE WITHIN THIS RING OF CONVECTION. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS EXPECTED TO BE COMPLETE WITHIN THE NEXT 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4), 222100Z7 (DTG 221951Z0), 230300Z8 (DTG 230151Z2) AND 230900Z4 (DTG 230751Z8). REFER TO TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 22 23:38:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627087-4280>; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 17:05:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA28584; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 03:54:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6717631 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 03:54:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA36696 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 03:53:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA02695 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 03:53:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710220853.DAA02695@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Oct 1997 03:53:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 037 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f15e5ae859360fb0dfe1a4dfa40e402d X-Status: X-UID: 26 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 324 WTPN32 PGTW 220900 1. TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 037 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- 28.2N2 143.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.2N2 143.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 30.3N6 147.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 31.8N2 153.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 32.5N0 159.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 26 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 34.4N1 165.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 39.5N7 178.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220900Z3 POSITION 28.7N7 144.2E1 TYPHOON JOAN (28W) IS ACCELERATING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 20 KNOTS. AT 220300Z7 IT PASSED APPROXIMATELY 25NM NORTH OF CHICHI-JIMA (WM0 47971) WHICH HAD A PRESSURE OF 973 MB AND A GRADIENT WIND IN EXCESS OF 80 KNOTS. TYPHOON JOAN IS FINALLY SHOWING SIGNS OF WEAKENING AS IT MOVES INTO MID-LATITUDE WESTERLY FLOW. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS EXPECTED TO BE COMPLETE WITHIN THE NEXT 42 TO 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6), 222100Z7 (DTG 221953Z2), 230300Z8 (DTG 230153Z4) AND 230900Z4 (DTG 230753Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 22 23:38:22 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627099-4278>; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 17:17:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id EAA48122; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 04:06:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6717689 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 04:06:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id EAA28604 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 04:05:51 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id EAA02705 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 04:05:50 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710220905.EAA02705@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Oct 1997 04:05:50 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 037 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b60067826d349e6fc5d9caaa4dfda00a X-Status: X-UID: 27 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 568 WTPN32 PGTW 220900 1. TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 037 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- 28.2N2 143.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.2N2 143.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 30.3N6 147.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 31.8N2 153.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 32.5N0 159.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 26 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 34.4N1 165.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 39.5N7 178.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220900Z3 POSITION 28.7N7 144.2E1 TYPHOON JOAN (28W) IS ACCELERATING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 20 KNOTS. AT 220300Z7 IT PASSED APPROXIMATELY 25NM NORTH OF CHICHI-JIMA (WM0 47971) WHICH HAD A PRESSURE OF 973 MB AND A GRADIENT WIND IN EXCESS OF 80 KNOTS. TYPHOON JOAN IS FINALLY SHOWING SIGNS OF WEAKENING AS IT MOVES INTO MID-LATITUDE WESTERLY FLOW. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS EXPECTED TO BE COMPLETE WITHIN THE NEXT 42 TO 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6), 222100Z7 (DTG 221953Z2), 230300Z8 (DTG 230153Z4) AND 230900Z4 (DTG 230753Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// DUPE ALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 22 23:38:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627087-4279>; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 18:28:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA36700; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 05:25:31 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6718018 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 05:25:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA28488 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 05:25:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA02763 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 05:25:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710221025.FAA02763@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Oct 1997 05:25:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 96510a7e5b53f210e00bed03a746b140 X-Status: X-UID: 29 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 208 ABPZ20 KNHC 221024 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED OCT 22 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 22 23:38:23 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627144-4278>; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 21:50:29 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id IAA14116; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 08:46:48 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6719228 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 08:46:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id IAA22532 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 08:46:39 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA02924 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 08:46:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710221346.IAA02924@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Oct 1997 08:46:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 37ef40c924eec939eaba9f29866f61af X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 113 ABPA20 PHNL 221400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 AM HST WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 22 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS SOUTH OF 10N SHOW NO SIGNIFICANT ROTATION. FAR TO THE NORTHWEST...TYPHOON JOAN IS EXPECTED TO BE EXTRATROPICAL BEFORE CROSSING THE INTERNATIONAL DATE LINE INTO THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 22 23:38:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626690-4277>; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 22:39:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA40692; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 09:30:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6719456 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 09:30:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA46524 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 09:30:32 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA03073 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 09:30:31 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710221430.JAA03073@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Oct 1997 09:30:31 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 038 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f0f6555cfc60fe93c3b01a29e0415040 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 101 WTPN31 PGTW 221500 1. TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 038 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- 21.7N0 127.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.7N0 127.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 22.9N3 129.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 24.2N8 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 25.5N2 135.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 26.9N7 138.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 29.5N6 145.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 221500Z0 POSITION 22.0N4 127.8E8 TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. CONVECTION HAS RECENTLY SHOWN A DECREASE IN INTENSITY IN SPITE OF WEAKENED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS EXPECTED TO BE COMPLETE WITHIN 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z7 (DTG 221951Z0), 230300Z8 (DTG 230151Z2), 230900Z4 (DTG 230751Z8) AND 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5). REFER TO TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Wed Oct 22 23:38:24 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626605-4277>; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 22:37:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA46380; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 09:31:50 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6719463 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 09:31:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAB21272 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 09:31:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA03077 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 09:31:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710221431.JAA03077@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Oct 1997 09:31:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 038 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0532b8d0a7e014cd7ea497580ab87261 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 168 WTPN32 PGTW 221500 1. TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 038 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- 29.1N2 145.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 22 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.1N2 145.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 31.0N4 149.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 31.8N2 155.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 33.2N8 160.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 25 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 35.1N9 166.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 40.1N5 177.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 221500Z0 POSITION 29.6N7 146.4E5 TYPHOON JOAN (28W) IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 22 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN SIGNIFICANT INTENSITY THROUGHOUT EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION. THIS IS EXPECTED TO BE COMPLETE NEAR 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z7 (DTG 221953Z2), 230300Z8 (DTG 230153Z4), 230900Z4 (DTG 230753Z0) AND 231500Z1 (DTG 231353Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 23 09:23:31 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627069-4277>; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 00:23:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA21702; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 11:18:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6720616 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 11:18:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA48562 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 11:18:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA03324 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 11:18:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710221618.LAA03324@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Oct 1997 11:18:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 74b65afceffc93a42ceb6fdaba6db164 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 058 ABPZ20 KNHC 221614 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED OCT 22 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 23 09:23:33 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627205-4279>; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 02:44:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA30700; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 13:39:08 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6722951 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 13:39:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA47980 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 13:38:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA03701 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 13:38:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710221838.NAA03701@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Oct 1997 13:38:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 19d76a7c7bc34f38de520a0259c13953 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 910 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z/231800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNSFORD/SANCHEZ/HONG/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 23 09:23:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627191-4280>; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 02:49:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA30674; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 13:39:02 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6722946 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 13:38:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA26968 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 13:38:45 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA03700 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 13:38:43 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710221838.NAA03700@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Oct 1997 13:38:43 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0af4e1ba47efd3eb76d75664fb2e3535 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 910 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z/231800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNSFORD/SANCHEZ/HONG/UROGI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 23 09:23:35 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627214-4279>; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 04:07:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA21092; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 15:04:20 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6723792 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 15:04:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA40528 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 15:04:06 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA03918 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 15:03:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710222003.PAA03918@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Oct 1997 15:03:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 19d7f15d38c4b306af202c649a4d6504 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 389 ABPA20 PHNL 222000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 22 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THERE ARE A LOT MORE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE TROPICS SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THAN THERE WERE A FEW DAYS AGO BUT THESE THUNDERSTORM AREAS REMAIN POORLY ORGANIZED. ONE AREA OF ACTIVE THUNDERSTORMS IS ABOUT 950 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO AND ANOTHER IS ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF HILO. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 23 09:23:36 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627220-4280>; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 04:48:52 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA43986; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 15:35:29 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6724058 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 15:35:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA22388 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 15:31:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA03976 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 15:31:57 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710222031.PAA03976@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Oct 1997 15:31:57 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 039 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c0cf5dfca34af6f312a4f484df6e1b9f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 892 WTPN31 PGTW 222100 1. TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 039 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- 22.8N2 128.4E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.8N2 128.4E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 24.0N6 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 25.3N0 134.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 26.6N4 138.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 27.8N7 141.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 29.9N0 149.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 222100Z7 POSITION 23.1N6 129.1E3 TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. CONVECTION IS CONCENTRATED ON THE NORTHWEST SIDE. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS EXPECTED TO BE COMPLETE NEAR 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8 (DTG 230151Z2), 230900Z4 (DTG 230751Z8), 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5) AND 232100Z8 (DTG 231951Z1). REFER TO TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 23 09:23:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627215-4280>; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 06:03:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id QAA09862; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 16:50:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6725198 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 16:49:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id QAA28188 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 16:49:54 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id QAA04274 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 16:49:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710222149.QAA04274@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Oct 1997 16:49:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 039 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 37e26782535abd39c9d045de32303bab X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 175 WTPN32 PGTW 222100 1. TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 039 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- 29.4N5 147.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 080 DEGREES AT 22 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.4N5 147.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 30.5N8 152.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 31.5N9 158.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 33.0N6 164.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 25 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 35.2N0 169.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 66 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 66 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 39.6N8 177.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 222100Z7 POSITION 29.7N8 149.1E5 TYPHOON JOAN (28W) IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 22 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS EXPECTED TO BE COMPLETE WITHIN 36 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN SIGNIFICANT STRENGTH THROUGH THE TRANSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8 (DTG 230153Z4), 230900Z4 (DTG 230753Z0), 231500Z1 (DTG 231353Z7) AND 232100Z8 (DTG 231953Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 23 09:23:37 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625865-22951>; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 06:48:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id RAA48928; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 17:40:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6726115 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 17:40:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id RAA48136 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 17:40:47 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id RAA04382 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 17:40:45 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710222240.RAA04382@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Oct 1997 17:40:45 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f306cac6487473165d078bfa685c8188 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 072 ABPZ20 KNHC 222240 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED OCT 22 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 23 10:45:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626683-22951>; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 10:38:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA28554; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 21:13:49 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6728198 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 21:13:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA10542 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 21:13:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA04841 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 21:13:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710230213.VAA04841@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Oct 1997 21:13:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 040 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: b2e1b5ba0fe0e6e74419155441bdb646 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 964 WTPN32 PGTW 230300 1. TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 040 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- 29.5N6 150.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 085 DEGREES AT 23 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.5N6 150.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 29.9N0 153.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 30.6N9 158.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 32.1N6 163.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 25 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 34.9N6 168.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 60 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 38.8N9 173.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION 29.6N7 151.2E9 TYPHOON JOAN (28W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 23 KNOTS. TYPHOON JOAN IS FORECAST TO TURN NORTHEASTWARD AFTER 24 HOURS, THEN CONTINUE MOVING IN THAT DIRECTION. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING THROUGH 48 HOURS, THEN HOLD ITS INTENSITY AS AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS FORECAST TO BE COMPLETE IN 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z4 (DTG 230753Z0), 231500Z1 (DTG 231353Z7), 232100Z8 (DTG 231953Z3) AND 240300Z9 (DTG 240153Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 23 12:15:14 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625971-22951>; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 11:02:38 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id VAA26900; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 21:56:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6728472 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 21:55:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id VAA31234 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 21:55:56 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA04880 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 21:55:55 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710230255.VAA04880@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Oct 1997 21:55:55 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 040 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 7533fbe1a5cc87868a898c6eeace8529 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 234 WTPN31 PGTW 230300 1. TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 040 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- 23.2N7 129.2E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.2N7 129.2E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 24.6N2 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 26.0N8 134.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 27.2N1 137.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 28.1N1 140.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 29.4N5 148.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION 23.5N0 129.7E9 TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING GENERALLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH 72 HOURS AND ACCELERATE. TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AND BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WITHIN 24 HOURS. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS FORECAST TO BE COMPLETE WITHIN 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z4 (DTG 230751Z8), 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5), 232100Z8 (DTG 231951Z1) AND 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3). REFER TO TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 23 12:15:16 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626710-22954>; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 11:09:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA10718; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 22:02:33 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6728525 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 22:02:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA36534 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 22:02:14 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA04890 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 22:02:13 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710230302.WAA04890@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Oct 1997 22:02:13 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 040a Corrected To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: c8a68317221a43e933b9726127966b80 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 486 WTPN32 PGTW 230300 COR 1. TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 040A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- 29.5N6 150.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 085 DEGREES AT 23 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.5N6 150.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 29.9N0 153.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 30.6N9 158.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 32.1N6 163.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 25 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 34.9N6 168.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 60 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 38.8N9 173.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION 29.6N7 151.2E9 TYPHOON JOAN (28W) IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 23 KNOTS. TYPHOON JOAN IS FORECAST TO TURN NORTHEASTWARD AFTER 24 HOURS, THEN CONTINUE MOVING IN THAT DIRECTION. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING THROUGH 48 HOURS, THEN HOLD ITS INTENSITY AS AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS FORECAST TO BE COMPLETE IN 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z4 (DTG 230753Z0), 231500Z1 (DTG 231353Z7), 232100Z8 (DTG 231953Z3) AND 240300Z9 (DTG 240153Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION: TO CORRECT THE FIRST SENTENCE OF WARNING REMARKS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 23 12:15:15 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626692-22954>; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 11:08:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA20094; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 22:06:19 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6728579 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 22:06:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA44132 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 22:06:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA04903 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 22:06:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710230306.WAA04903@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Oct 1997 22:06:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 0b29c45e3b1997df4935600e159d202e X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 799 ABPA20 PHNL 230200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 0400 PM HST WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 22 1997 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. SOME AREAS OF THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST IN THE TROPICS SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS BUT THESE THUNDERSTORM AREAS REMAIN POORLY ORGANIZED. ONE AREA OF ACTIVE THUNDERSTORMS IS ABOUT 925 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO AND ANOTHER IS ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF HILO. BOTH AREAS ARE MOVING WEST SLOWLY AND WEAKENING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 23 12:15:17 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626543-22951>; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 12:15:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id XAA48276; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 23:11:59 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6729059 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 23:11:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id XAA17538 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 23:11:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id XAA04992 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 1997 23:11:46 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710230411.XAA04992@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 22 Oct 1997 23:11:46 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 2e38e1b39e47cf96dc44edc15c9b173f X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 589 ABPZ20 KNHC 230338 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED OCT 22 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 23 17:33:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626180-22955>; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 13:51:30 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA32600; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 00:47:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6729514 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 00:46:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA14388 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 00:46:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA05191 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 00:46:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710230546.AAA05191@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Oct 1997 00:46:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 08b582b57e4091bfd16abd293d59c984 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 860 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/230151ZOCT97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/230153ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, TS IVAN (27W) WRNG NR 40. REF B, TY JOAN (28W) WRNG NR 40.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 230000Z5 TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WAS LOCATED AT 23.2N7 129.2E4, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 40 (WTPN31 PGTW 230300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 230000Z5 TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 29.5N6 150.3E9, MOVING EASTWARD AT 23 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 95 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 115 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 40 (WTPN32 PGTW 230300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 171E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8N8 175E9. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT CONVECTIVE AREAL COVERAGE AND LEVEL OF ORGANIZATION HAS NOT IMPROVED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS, EVEN THOUGH SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS SUGGEST A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PRESENT. SATELLITE-DERIVED UPPER-LEVEL WIND DATA INDICATE UPPER- LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS PRESENT ABOVE THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR AT LEAST 24 HOURS AND IS LOCATED NEAR 7S7 179W7. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGEST A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS COLLOCATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE EXISTS ABOVE THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 23 17:33:57 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626779-22951>; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 13:53:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA32628; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 00:47:22 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6729519 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 00:47:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA17462 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 00:46:27 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA05192 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 00:46:26 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710230546.AAA05192@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Oct 1997 00:46:26 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: de1c047bf581f43cf88866dcbfab59f5 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 860 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/230151ZOCT97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/230153ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, TS IVAN (27W) WRNG NR 40. REF B, TY JOAN (28W) WRNG NR 40.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 230000Z5 TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WAS LOCATED AT 23.2N7 129.2E4, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 40 (WTPN31 PGTW 230300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 230000Z5 TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 29.5N6 150.3E9, MOVING EASTWARD AT 23 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 95 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 115 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 40 (WTPN32 PGTW 230300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 171E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8N8 175E9. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT CONVECTIVE AREAL COVERAGE AND LEVEL OF ORGANIZATION HAS NOT IMPROVED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS, EVEN THOUGH SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS SUGGEST A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PRESENT. SATELLITE-DERIVED UPPER-LEVEL WIND DATA INDICATE UPPER- LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS PRESENT ABOVE THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR AT LEAST 24 HOURS AND IS LOCATED NEAR 7S7 179W7. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGEST A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS COLLOCATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE EXISTS ABOVE THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 23 17:34:01 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626742-22954>; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 15:43:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA28414; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 02:30:46 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6729954 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 02:30:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA30946 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 02:30:33 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05275 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 02:30:32 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710230730.CAA05275@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Oct 1997 02:30:32 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 041 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: da1ed8d5acce4e102258a8b46fd992ae X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 140 WTPN31 PGTW 230900 1. TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 041 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- 24.0N6 130.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.0N6 130.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 25.5N2 132.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 26.9N7 135.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 28.3N3 139.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 20 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 29.7N8 143.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 32.6N1 153.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 230900Z4 POSITION 24.4N0 130.9E3 TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AND SLOWLY WEAKEN. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS FORECAST TO BEGIN IN 18 HOURS AND BE COMPLETE WITHIN 42 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5), 232100Z8 (DTG 231951Z1), 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3) AND 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9). REFER TO TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 23 17:34:02 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626742-22956>; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 15:57:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id CAA31678; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 02:56:05 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6729983 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 02:56:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id CAA21164 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 02:55:59 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA05291 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 02:55:58 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710230755.CAA05291@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Oct 1997 02:55:58 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 693467549e56990036e4b4079420ee17 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 486 ABPA20 PHNL 230800 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST WED OCT 22 1997 AREAS OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST IN THE TROPICS SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS BUT THESE THUNDERSTORM AREAS REMAIN POORLY ORGANIZED. ONE AREA IS ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KONA AND THE OTHER IS ABOUT 975 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO. BOTH AREAS ARE DRIFTING WEST SLOWLY AND SHOW LITTLE OR NO SIGN OF DEVELOPMENT. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 23 17:34:06 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626709-22954>; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 16:31:12 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id DAA36398; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 03:13:18 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6730019 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 03:13:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id DAA21532 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 03:13:13 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id DAA05468 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 03:13:12 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710230813.DAA05468@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Oct 1997 03:13:12 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 041 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ed3e4c25c74d8e836c56924a563f92df X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 753 WTPN32 PGTW 230900 1. TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 041 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- 29.7N8 153.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 085 DEGREES AT 25 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.7N8 153.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 30.2N5 159.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 31.5N9 165.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 33.6N2 172.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 32 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 36.6N5 179.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 54 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 34 KTS --- 54 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 38.2N3 176.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 230900Z4 POSITION 29.8N9 154.7E7 TYPHOON JOAN (28W) IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 25 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST TRACK REASONING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH 36 HOURS, THEN EAST-NORTHEASTWARD. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS STILL EXPECTED. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS FORECAST TO BE COMPLETE IN 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z1 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z1 (DTG 231353Z7), 232100Z8 (DTG 231953Z3), 240300Z9 (DTG 240153Z5) AND 240900Z5 (DTG 240753Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Thu Oct 23 18:37:34 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627123-22955>; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 18:04:04 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id FAA52788; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 05:01:47 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6730327 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 05:01:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id FAA14370 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 05:01:41 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id FAA05577 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 05:01:28 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710231001.FAA05577@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Oct 1997 05:01:28 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 9efa705db928850d01a2a0ffa2ebf797 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 427 ABPZ20 KNHC 231002 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU OCT 23 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 23 22:12:35 1997 X-UIDL: 6dc44eb0164266e4005d23bcdd0ef80a Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627293-22955>; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 22:12:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA50252; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 09:00:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6731894 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 09:00:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA09238 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 09:00:30 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA05842 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 09:00:24 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710231400.JAA05842@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Oct 1997 09:00:24 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 042 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 535 WTPN31 PGTW 231500 1. TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 042 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- 25.1N8 131.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.1N8 131.8E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 27.0N9 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 28.7N7 139.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 30.3N6 143.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 23 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 32.0N5 148.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 35.6N4 159.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 231500Z1 POSITION 25.6N3 132.6E2 TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY OTHER THAN TS IVAN (27W) ACCELERATING AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER SPEED BY 72 HOURS. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION SHOULD BE COMPLETE BY 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z8 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z8 (DTG 231951Z1), 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3), 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9) AND 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6). REFER TO TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 23 22:03:25 1997 X-UIDL: 7882924926747d6ce66374c4acaf8fb3 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627264-22955>; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 22:03:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA51094; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 09:01:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6731908 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 09:01:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA36476 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 09:01:26 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA05846 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 09:01:25 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710231401.JAA05846@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Oct 1997 09:01:25 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 636 ABPA20 PHNL 231400 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 AM HST THU OCT 23 1997 TWO AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER CONTAINING SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...ONE ABOUT 875 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KONA AND ANOTHER ABOUT 950 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO...REMAIN POORLY ORGANIZED. BOTH ARE DRIFTING SLOWLY WEST AND SHOW NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 23 22:45:55 1997 X-UIDL: 88471c84f4a8ea16b8d8397585d6aad5 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627293-22955>; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 22:45:51 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id JAA31530; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 09:31:21 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6732150 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 09:31:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id JAA04368 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 09:31:12 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA05911 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 09:31:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710231431.JAA05911@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Oct 1997 09:31:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 042 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 322 WTPN32 PGTW 231500 1. TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 042 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- 29.6N7 154.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.6N7 154.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 29.8N9 158.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 30.6N9 163.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 31.8N2 170.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 32 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 34.4N1 177.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 231500Z1 POSITION 29.6N7 155.7E8 TYPHOON JOAN (28W) IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. EXTRA- TROPICAL TRANSITION SHOULD BE COMPLETE BY 18 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z8 (DTG 231953Z3), 240300Z9 (DTG 240153Z5), 240900Z5 (DTG 240753Z1) AND 241500Z2 (DTG 241353Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 24 00:47:06 1997 X-UIDL: b14681b532f5c31e5302ee192c7593d7 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627246-22956>; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 00:46:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id LAA39122; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 11:41:37 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6733645 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 11:41:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id LAA22720 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 11:41:31 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id LAA06444 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 11:41:29 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710231641.LAA06444@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Oct 1997 11:41:29 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 751 ABPZ20 KNHC 231642 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU OCT 23 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 24 02:15:07 1997 X-UIDL: a63f2043abc6fd1754abc9061dffb664 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625891-22951>; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 02:14:58 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA20366; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 13:13:09 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6734512 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 13:13:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA14268 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 13:10:29 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA06644 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 13:10:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710231810.NAA06644@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Oct 1997 13:10:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 208 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/241800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/LUNSFORD/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 24 02:15:17 1997 X-UIDL: 8e7db670d3d802cceafc1c6fa8cb7e1c Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627246-22954>; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 02:15:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id NAA20292; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 13:12:58 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6734500 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 13:12:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id NAA36518 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 13:10:23 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id NAA06645 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 13:10:22 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710231810.NAA06645@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Oct 1997 13:10:22 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 208 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/231800Z/241800Z OCT 97// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/LUNSFORD/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 24 04:02:39 1997 X-UIDL: 153061a62060fda035d5beb5787272a7 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627309-22951>; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 04:02:32 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA47192; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 15:00:35 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6735983 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 15:00:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA47932 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 15:00:16 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA07158 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 15:00:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710232000.PAA07158@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Oct 1997 15:00:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 331 ABPA20 PHNL 232000 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST THU OCT 23 1997 TWO AREAS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ONE CENTERED NEAR 07N 150W AND THE OTHER AT 07N 166W...SHOW SIGNS OF LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC TURNING. THE SYSTEMS ARE MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THEM FOR ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENTS. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 24 05:03:39 1997 X-UIDL: e287a544487fe655654bce528be0e7eb Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626683-22954>; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 05:03:39 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA25612; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 15:54:03 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6736444 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 15:53:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA04556 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 15:53:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA07327 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 15:53:49 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710232053.PAA07327@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Oct 1997 15:53:49 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 043 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 086 WTPN32 PGTW 232100 1. TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 043 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231800Z4 --- 29.6N7 157.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.6N7 157.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 30.1N4 162.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 31.0N4 167.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 32.7N2 173.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 28 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 35.0N8 179.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 232100Z8 POSITION 29.7N8 158.3E7 TYPHOON JOAN (28W) IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 21 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY AT 231730Z6. TYPHOON JOAN (28W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AN EASTWARD TRACK FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS, THEN TURN EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AS IT COMPLETES ITS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY THE 48 HOUR POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z9 (DTG 240153Z5), 240900Z5 (DTG 240753Z1), 241500Z2 (DTG 241353Z8) AND 242100Z9 (DTG 241953Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 24 05:06:00 1997 X-UIDL: ee5ca28ba6b15064123338a4a47797e1 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <627256-22955>; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 05:05:59 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id PAA28316; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 15:57:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6736490 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 15:57:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id PAA48776 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 15:57:21 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id PAA07352 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 15:57:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710232057.PAA07352@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Oct 1997 15:57:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 043 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 136 WTPN31 PGTW 232100 1. TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 043 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231800Z4 --- 25.5N2 132.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.5N2 132.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 26.9N7 135.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 28.4N4 138.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 30.0N3 142.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 23 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 31.8N2 147.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 66 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 66 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 34.2N9 155.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 232100Z8 POSITION 25.8N5 133.4E1 TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE FORWARD MOTION OF TS IVAN (28W) HAS SLOWED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, AND THIS IS REFLECTED IN OUR FORECAST TRACK. DUE TO UPPER LEVEL WEST TO SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR, THE SYSTEM EXHIBITS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 231730Z6. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3), 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9), 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6) AND 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2). REFER TO TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 24 07:12:43 1997 X-UIDL: 16698ad59299021cbd3d5e56b043bc92 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625875-16284>; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 07:12:40 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id SAA29860; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 18:07:57 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6738172 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 18:07:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id SAA14226 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 18:07:50 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id SAA07742 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 18:07:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710232307.SAA07742@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Oct 1997 18:07:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 337 ABPZ20 KNHC 232304 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU OCT 23 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... SATELLITE PICTURES SHOW AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS CENTERED ABOUT 1150 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH A MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCE...AND THERE IS NO EVIDENCE OF A SURFACE CIRCULATION. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 24 09:25:44 1997 X-UIDL: 3519e3966577a4430899c7e481d498cb Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626015-16285>; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 09:25:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA14242; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 20:15:30 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6739196 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 20:15:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA29840 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 20:15:20 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA07886 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 20:15:20 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710240115.UAA07886@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Oct 1997 20:15:20 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Ivan (27w) Warning Nr 044 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 381 WTPN31 PGTW 240300 1. TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 044 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- 26.1N9 134.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 26.1N9 134.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 27.2N1 136.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 28.4N4 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 29.6N7 144.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 31.2N6 148.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 60 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 33.0N6 152.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED;INDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION 26.4N2 134.8E6 TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 232330Z3 SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN EXPANDED USING TWO 231800Z4 SURFACE SHIP REPORTS TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH 60 HOURS AS IT SLOWLY WEAKENS. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS FORECAST TO BEGIN WITHIN 12 HOURS AND BE COMPLETE WITHIN 30 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9), 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6), 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2) AND 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4). REFER TO TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 24 09:48:54 1997 X-UIDL: 952ca49306cda06b90bb509ae70890b1 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625901-16275>; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 09:48:50 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA26734; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 20:36:24 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6739394 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 20:36:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA22620 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 20:36:19 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA07908 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 20:36:18 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710240136.UAA07908@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Oct 1997 20:36:18 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Joan (28w) Warning Nr 044 To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 944 WTPN32 PGTW 240300 1. TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 044 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- 29.6N7 159.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 23 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.6N7 159.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 29.9N0 165.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 30.8N1 171.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 32.2N7 178.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION 29.7N8 161.3E1 TYPHOON JOAN (28W) IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 23 KNOTS. ACCELERATION AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST IS FORECAST THROUGH 36 HOURS. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS WELL DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. HOWEVER, THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REMAIN INTENSE AS AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS FORECAST TO BE COMPLETE WITHIN 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 24 09:58:44 1997 X-UIDL: a79ea720a8857dc22b1de8549e8cce1f Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <625901-16283>; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 09:58:36 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA10070; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 20:56:44 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6739518 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 20:56:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA31550 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 20:56:38 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA07941 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 20:56:38 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710240156.UAA07941@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Oct 1997 20:56:38 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 311 ABPA20 PHNL 240200 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 PM HST THU OCT 23 1997 TWO AREAS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ONE CENTERED NEAR 07N 150W AND THE OTHER AT 07N 166W...SHOW SIGNS OF LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC TURNING. THE SYSTEMS ARE NEARLY STATIONARY AT THIS TIME. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THEM FOR ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENTS. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 24 12:18:27 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626720-16275>; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 11:50:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id WAA13458; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 22:47:25 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6740297 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 22:46:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id WAA47208 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 22:46:36 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA08234 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 1997 22:46:35 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710240346.WAA08234@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 23 Oct 1997 22:46:35 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: f3b30bba3d0d75ddddc6abb29ca02a69 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 213 ABPZ20 KNHC 240343 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU OCT 23 1997 FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE... SATELLITE PICTURES SHOW AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS CENTERED ABOUT 1050 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH A MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCE...AND THERE IS NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION AND NO EVIDENCE OF A SURFACE CIRCULATION. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. MAYFIELD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 24 13:27:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626448-12199>; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 13:28:07 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA13368; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 00:21:17 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6740894 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 00:21:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA36534 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 00:00:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA08356 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 00:00:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710240500.AAA08356@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Oct 1997 00:00:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: 8baae62ccfc2abb9f5e1e4141151b116 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 471 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/240151ZOCT97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/240153ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, TS IVAN (27W) WRNG NR 44. REF B, TY JOAN (28W) WRNG NR 44.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 240000Z6 TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WAS LOCATED AT 26.1N9 134.1E9, MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 44 (WTPN31 PGTW 240300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 240000Z6 TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 29.6N7 159.9E4, MOVING EASTWARD AT 23 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 44 (WTPN32 PGTW 240300)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 175E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8N8 172E0. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SOME INCREASE IN DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. HOWEVER, THIS CONVECTION HAS NOT BECOME MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE SURFACE TO 200 MB EXISTS ABOVE THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7S7 179W7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11S2 178E6. SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS SUGGEST A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER REMAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION, ALTHOUGH ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER HAS DIMINISHED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. SATELLITE-DERIVED WATER VAPOR WIND DATA INDICATE MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS PRESENT ABOVE THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 24 13:50:52 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626448-12199>; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 13:29:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA18288; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 00:21:45 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6740901 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 00:21:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA43700 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 00:00:11 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA08355 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 00:00:11 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710240500.AAA08355@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Oct 1997 00:00:11 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: fcb8be2f92e8dd4c722c31e1f5e48945 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 471 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600Z OCT 97// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/240151ZOCT97// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/240153ZOCT97// NARR/REF A, TS IVAN (27W) WRNG NR 44. REF B, TY JOAN (28W) WRNG NR 44.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 240000Z6 TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WAS LOCATED AT 26.1N9 134.1E9, MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 44 (WTPN31 PGTW 240300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 240000Z6 TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 29.6N7 159.9E4, MOVING EASTWARD AT 23 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 44 (WTPN32 PGTW 240300)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (3) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 175E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8N8 172E0. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SOME INCREASE IN DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. HOWEVER, THIS CONVECTION HAS NOT BECOME MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE SURFACE TO 200 MB EXISTS ABOVE THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7S7 179W7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11S2 178E6. SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS SUGGEST A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER REMAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF CONVECTION, ALTHOUGH ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER HAS DIMINISHED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. SATELLITE-DERIVED WATER VAPOR WIND DATA INDICATE MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS PRESENT ABOVE THIS AREA OF CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 24 13:27:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626106-12197>; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 13:24:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA13484; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 00:18:23 -0500 Message-Id: <199710240518.AAA13484@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Oct 1997 00:09:51 -0500 Reply-To: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk Sender: WX-TALK General weather discussions and talk From: Automatic digest processor Subject: WX-TALK Digest - 21 Oct 1997 to 23 Oct 1997 To: Recipients of WX-TALK digests X-UIDL: 5973b5c7c1e28fd0bc68c04dd641f642 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR There are 5 messages totalling 185 lines in this issue. Topics of the day: 1. Storm Report -230926 -- Oh, calm down now! 8-) (2) 2. NWS report released 3. El-Nino Again (Sorry..) 4. Gen. Kelly's report +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TALK send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-talk" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TALK write chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Thu, 23 Oct 1997 10:41:16 -0400 From: "Todd L. Sherman" Subject: Storm Report -230926 -- Oh, calm down now! 8-) Well now, HERE'S a helpful LSR!... Not "#-INCH HAIL," not "TORNADO," not "##MPH WIND GUST"...but simply "THUNDERSTORMS!" Wow! Didn't know we should be reporting just those. Guess we should update our SKYWARN spotting criteria. 8?) Next LSR from there will be "THUNDER HEARD" or "LIGHTNING SEEN." ;-) Guess they don't get much in the way of things thunder-ful in WA. :-) Todd ---------- Forwarded message ---------- ZCZC DD+ 7433 WWUS30 KSEA 231426 LSRSEA PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA 730 AM PST THU OCT 23 1997 TIME(PDT) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS... ....COUNTY LOCATION.... 0715 AM CLEARVIEW WA THUNDERSTORM 10/23/97 SNOHOMISH 0730 AM CLEARVIEW WA THUNDERSTORM 10/23/97 SNOHOMISH NNNN ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 23 Oct 1997 10:10:10 -0500 From: Steve Adams Subject: Re: Storm Report -230926 -- Oh, calm down now! 8-) >Well now, HERE'S a helpful LSR!... Not "#-INCH HAIL," not "TORNADO," not >"##MPH WIND GUST"...but simply "THUNDERSTORMS!" Wow! Didn't know we should >be reporting just those. Guess we should update our SKYWARN spotting >criteria. 8?) Next LSR from there will be "THUNDER HEARD" or "LIGHTNING >SEEN." ;-) > Have you also noticed that Seattle is the ONLY WSFO in the country that can't seem to get their LSRs in the correct format? They're supposed to be in a standard format with specific info in specific columns so that it can be processed at SPC in an automated fashion. I've pointed this out to them in numerous e-mails, but to no avail. Seattle is also infamous for reporting stuff like "heavy rain", associated with ".15 inches in last 45 minutes". Not my definition of "heavy".... ;-) Maybe the pollution in Pudget Sound is giving off fumes that affects their brains... ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen D. Adams Vice President - Research and Development Agricultural Weather Information Service, Inc. ph: (334) 826-2149 (voice) email: sadams@awis.com (334) 826-2152 (FAX) http://www.awis.com ---------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 23 Oct 1997 18:06:01 -0400 From: Rick McCoy Subject: NWS report released Exciting news today as General Jack kellys report was released on the hill. Kelly gave a thumbs up on the future of the Weather Service by reporting on all the issues that we along with Governors, Congressmen, Senators and all of you across the country had raised an issue on. Although I have not seen the complete report, which by the way will be available tomorrow on the weather services' public affairs web page; I have been filled in on some of the issues by my Congressional contacts on the Hill. An issue that we had been arguing was to keep the 4 regional offices in the US which included keeping the Southern Region office and not consider a 3 regional structure. Kelly advised that the 4 offices should remain. Thus, the Fort Worth regional office should remain fully staffed and functional as the Regional Directors had originally said and many individuals had argued for. Another issue included the prediction centers and the cutting of staff or products. Kelly reported they must stay strong and fully staffed emphasizing this point with the National Hurricane Center. Kelly indicated that management of the Weather Service needed to be corrected. He said the field offices and regional structure were doing the right things necessary to make the agency work proficiently and for protecting the public but it was the higher management that could not answer questions on why decisions were made or things were done. The issue of needing more money in FY-98 was a point that he covered. He stated that the weather service was in need of an additional $20 Million above the Presidents budget. This was a strong point that we argued with the General and have been raising this issue with Congress. (Now that Congress has the Generals report, we will have alot more ammunition in requesting this increase). Secretary of Commerce Dailey applauded the Generals report and backed it 100%. He stated that he felt it was necessary to create a new position within the agency and that being a FISCAL OFFICER. Good job Mr. Secretary!!! He also will be working now to get a new Director named. Again, this is only preliminary information according to my Congressional sources and I won't be able to really respond until I see the complete report tommorrow. But from this information I have, I think we can be very happy with the outcome. I wish to commend many of you on our National committee who have been working with me in lobbying on these issues. Also to all of you in your own way who have been doing your part to keep the weather service alive and strong. Together, everyone is making a difference and we will continue to have the greatest weather service in the world. Please keep in mind our work continues as we remind Congress that the additional funds as noted in the generals report must be appropriated. I will respond with more info. once I read the entire report. Rick W. McCoy President National Emergency Management Council for Americans United in Maintaining the Weather Service ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 23 Oct 1997 18:21:45 -0500 From: mark_hofmann Subject: El-Nino Again (Sorry..) I hate to bring this up again, but I don't know about anyone else's area, but here in Maryland I have heard many conflicting reports of how El Nino will effect our weather this winter. I have read that we had a blizzard each winter we had an El Nino, and I have also read that it could be a very warm winter with no precip! Any long range predictions for the Maryland area? I for one would like to see a blizzard. -=Mark Hofmann=- .-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-. . Origin: Weather Station 410-882-8887 / WWIVnet @8304 Fidonet (1:261/1304) . . Perry Hall, MD "Live Radar/Satellite/Surface/Temps/Conditions/Rpts/&More". .-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-. ------------------------------ Date: Thu, 23 Oct 1997 18:08:52 -0400 From: Chris Taylor Subject: Gen. Kelly's report Hi all: General Kelly's report on the NWS is out and is available at ftp.werh.noaa.gov It's about 90 pages long... Let's hope it's favorable.... Chris Taylor *************************************************************************** Chris Taylor Email: chtaylor@ix.netcom.com Coordinator, NW Ohio Skywarn WWW page: http://www2.netcom/~chtaylor/ Asst. EC, Lucas Co. - Skywarn Packet: N8WGB@W8HHF.#tol.oh.usa.na NWOhio Skywarn Net page: http://skywarn.home.ml.org *************************************************************************** ------------------------------ End of WX-TALK Digest - 21 Oct 1997 to 23 Oct 1997 ************************************************** From - Fri Oct 24 13:27:12 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626568-12197>; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 13:28:22 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA50284; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 00:22:53 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6740953 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 00:22:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA26956 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 00:10:52 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA08370 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 00:10:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710240510.AAA08370@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Oct 1997 00:10:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/sigpxwrpqtezoct97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: d78419f05ad588ec1b655e54d1fdc8fb X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC 662 ABPW10 PGTW 240500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGPXWRPQTEZOCT97// NAR /REFPA, TS IVAN (27W) WRNG NR 44. REF B, TY JOAN (28W) UWJ N 44.// RMKS/ 1. WESD N NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULU GL AT 240000Z6 TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WES LO C RB CDUINKWN9 134.1E9, MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WE E DZETS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 44 (WTPN31 PGTW 240300)) 7 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 240000Z6 TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 29.6N7 159.9E4, MOVING EASTWARD AT 23 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 44 (WTPN32 PGTW 240300)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEMWM KEL NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TRVPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARVC KQL THE YN F CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 175E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEARTIN8 172E0. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SOME INCREASE IN DEEP CONVECTION OWNEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DURQNG THE PASTGMZHOURS. HOWE VER; THIS CONVECTION HAS NOT BECOME MUCH BETMER ORGANIZED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SAT II P AGERY INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE SURFACE TO 200 MT EXISTS ABOVE THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUS INED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTKM MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. - (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST O 135E): A. TRMPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:-NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7S7 179W7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11S2 178E6. SURFACE SNOPTIC REPORTS SUGGEST A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CON C EL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAB RYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html. From - Fri Oct 24 13:50:53 1997 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <626523-12198>; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 13:31:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id AAA50312; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 00:23:01 -0500 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 6740958 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 00:22:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id AAA50506 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 00:10:49 -0500 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id AAA08369 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 1997 00:10:48 -0500 (CDT) Message-ID: <199710240510.AAA08369@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 24 Oct 1997 00:10:48 -0500 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/sigpxwrpqtezoct97// To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL X-UIDL: ca5f3d8471f9cc79f654ecb5c7938ef6 X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR 662 ABPW10 PGTW 240500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGPXWRPQTEZOCT97// NAR /REFPA, TS IVAN (27W) WRNG NR 44. REF B, TY JOAN (28W) UWJ N 44.// RMKS/ 1. WESD N NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULU GL AT 240000Z6 TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WES LO C RB CDUINKWN9 134.1E9, MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WE E DZETS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM IVAN (27W) WARNING NR 44 (WTPN31 PGTW 240300)) 7 HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 240000Z6 TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 29.6N7 159.9E4, MOVING EASTWARD AT 23 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON JOAN (28W) WARNING NR 44 (WTPN32 PGTW 240300)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEMWM KEL NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TRVPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARVC KQL THE YN F CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 175E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEARTIN8 172E0. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SOME INCREASE IN DEEP CONVECTION OWNEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DURQNG THE PASTGMZHOURS. HOWE VER; THIS CONVECTION HAS NOT BECOME MUCH BETMER ORGANIZED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SAT II P AGERY INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE SURFACE TO 200 MT EXISTS ABOVE THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUS INED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTKM MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. - (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST O 135E): A. TRMPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:-NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7S7 179W7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11S2 178E6. SURFACE SNOPTIC REPORTS SUGGEST A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CON C EL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAB RYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MCELROY/EIBLING/BACON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html.